X posts archive
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965300833136115962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. But also possible there were rumours swirling about. And people just buying on rumours. To have something to compare with, you need to look at similar bumps, where a bump happened too, but a deal did *not* materialise afterwards. You see that the 1st big move from ~ $30 to $60 occurred in 1-2 days post 26-Aug.
7:26 AM · Sep 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. But also possible there were rumours swirling about. And people just buying on rumours. To have something to compare with, you need to look at similar bumps, where a bump happened too, but a deal did *not* materialise afterwards. You see that the 1st big move from ~ $30 to $60 occurred in 1-2 days post 26-Aug.
7:26 AM · Sep 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965293937326792932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - anarcho-tyrany in the UK. I'm unable to buy cutlery for my own home. Amazon asks Experian to verify my age, but Experian doesn't want to verify me. Registered with Experian, but they didn’t collect my DoB, and afaics there is no way I to tell them “my DoB is x-y-z”. Every bank every CC listed on my Amazon acc has got my DoB. But Amazon don't ask them, or they don't want to tell Amazon. (maybe even some GDPR crap involved there.) Next time a politician tells the country they will fix or solve something - be more sceptical. Chances are - they will not. But they will make your life tiny bit shittier than it needs to otherwise be.
6:59 AM · Sep 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - anarcho-tyrany in the UK. I'm unable to buy cutlery for my own home. Amazon asks Experian to verify my age, but Experian doesn't want to verify me. Registered with Experian, but they didn’t collect my DoB, and afaics there is no way I to tell them “my DoB is x-y-z”. Every bank every CC listed on my Amazon acc has got my DoB. But Amazon don't ask them, or they don't want to tell Amazon. (maybe even some GDPR crap involved there.) Next time a politician tells the country they will fix or solve something - be more sceptical. Chances are - they will not. But they will make your life tiny bit shittier than it needs to otherwise be.
6:59 AM · Sep 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965282957939360032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Related - the mysterious phenomenon of Grokking.
https://wandb.ai/byyoung3/mlnews3/reports/Grokking-Improved-generalization-through-over-overfitting--Vmlldzo4MjczMzgz
Here @tegmark describing towards the end
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-gekVfUAS7c
when the idea of a circle (for circular modular counting) emerges as good representation, at the point of the error dropping on the test set, to follow after it already dropped on the train set.
youtube.com
How Physics Absorbed Artificial Intelligence & (Soon) Consciousness
As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toeMIT physicist Max Te...
6:15 AM · Sep 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Related - the mysterious phenomenon of Grokking.
https://wandb.ai/byyoung3/mlnews3/reports/Grokking-Improved-generalization-through-over-overfitting--Vmlldzo4MjczMzgz
Here @tegmark describing towards the end
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-gekVfUAS7c
when the idea of a circle (for circular modular counting) emerges as good representation, at the point of the error dropping on the test set, to follow after it already dropped on the train set.
youtube.com
How Physics Absorbed Artificial Intelligence & (Soon) Consciousness
As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toeMIT physicist Max Te...
6:15 AM · Sep 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965267760704819680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I command codex, and codex commands my shell" is totally useful, can't imagine going back from -
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
...now.
But also - it's oodles of fun!! I cd watch codex coming up with, then ticking through, its checklist - re-retying self-correcting when its complicated shell commands fail 😭 - for days! 😂 Had I another life to spend on that. 😁
Afa l'm concerned agi's arrived. 🤯 This is the ghost in the machine - manifest!
5:15 AM · Sep 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I command codex, and codex commands my shell" is totally useful, can't imagine going back from -
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
...now.
But also - it's oodles of fun!! I cd watch codex coming up with, then ticking through, its checklist - re-retying self-correcting when its complicated shell commands fail 😭 - for days! 😂 Had I another life to spend on that. 😁
Afa l'm concerned agi's arrived. 🤯 This is the ghost in the machine - manifest!
5:15 AM · Sep 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965264063698804998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We don't know because people that should have solved it - like those that did electromagnetism! - inexplicably chickened out. This! -
https://youtu.be/bux0SjaUCY0?si=KS8cfjOtnc813tAY
Listening now at ~4am insomniac hour. 😂
Electromagnetism was not part of physics to start with, Faraday was thought a crank, and electromagnetism akin to astrology. This -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-gekVfUAS7c
However much I admire and like SpaceX rockets, every time I watch a launch think - "this technology is medieval burning of gases." Chemical rockets strike me as a coach-and-horses-level tech tbh. StarTrek they're not. Centuries after Newton, plus a century after Einstein, something better shd be available. IDK what advance needs to happen for humanity to learn manipulating gravity tricks, similar to ones learned about electromagnetism and nuclear forces.
youtube.com
The Multiverse is REAL - David Deutsch
My new Patreon account: https://www.Patreon.com/AlexOCTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic - VIDEO NOTES David Deutsch is a ...
5:00 AM · Sep 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We don't know because people that should have solved it - like those that did electromagnetism! - inexplicably chickened out. This! -
https://youtu.be/bux0SjaUCY0?si=KS8cfjOtnc813tAY
Listening now at ~4am insomniac hour. 😂
Electromagnetism was not part of physics to start with, Faraday was thought a crank, and electromagnetism akin to astrology. This -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-gekVfUAS7c
However much I admire and like SpaceX rockets, every time I watch a launch think - "this technology is medieval burning of gases." Chemical rockets strike me as a coach-and-horses-level tech tbh. StarTrek they're not. Centuries after Newton, plus a century after Einstein, something better shd be available. IDK what advance needs to happen for humanity to learn manipulating gravity tricks, similar to ones learned about electromagnetism and nuclear forces.
youtube.com
The Multiverse is REAL - David Deutsch
My new Patreon account: https://www.Patreon.com/AlexOCTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic - VIDEO NOTES David Deutsch is a ...
5:00 AM · Sep 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965124916648595493
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for your thoughts. You are right there iare trade-off. As there are for most technologies.
However - I feel doomers are not accounting for the costs of delaying the technology. Given they already think in counterfactuals - well then, there is a counter factual where we discover lung cancer cure 5 years latter, than we would have otherwise. Because we decided "no neural networks training more than 10^27 flops" or some such arbitrary rule pulled out of thin air. Those 5 years worth of dead people from lung cancer - that's a very great number of people. Same for any other disease. All because of quite unspecified fears.
Afaics the only paper-clip is potentially the doomer cult. That they bring unto us, that what they fear. In the following way. Fast technological changes, of the kind we had previously in 1800+ with the industrial revolutions, do require of the society to adapt, and change all manner of things. So fast change does indeed carry a risk of civilisational collapse. As long as society is mostly free, culture change (which is fast), should keep up with the speed of technology change.
However - many of the doomers "solutions" ("bomb the data centres!"; "detain/imprison the AI scientists") strike me as full blown authoritarian, even dictatorial. Societies authoritarian less-free have tougher time adapting to change. If change is delayed for too long, various crisis where things fail (as they don't work any more; but then change is forbidden - so they can't be changed either) build up. Only to be released all together, and in great magnitude, in a short period of time, once the dam bursts. And countries that may have otherwise adapted, if allowed to do it in their own time, now simply break down, overwhelmed by the speed and magnitude of change.
To my mind, we have existential threats 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing. Afaics AI should help us decrease all 1-4 risks. So this is also something that should be put on the ledger to be weighted.
Will stop now. Thank you for your thoughts, your patience, and for reading this far. :-)
7:47 PM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for your thoughts. You are right there iare trade-off. As there are for most technologies.
However - I feel doomers are not accounting for the costs of delaying the technology. Given they already think in counterfactuals - well then, there is a counter factual where we discover lung cancer cure 5 years latter, than we would have otherwise. Because we decided "no neural networks training more than 10^27 flops" or some such arbitrary rule pulled out of thin air. Those 5 years worth of dead people from lung cancer - that's a very great number of people. Same for any other disease. All because of quite unspecified fears.
Afaics the only paper-clip is potentially the doomer cult. That they bring unto us, that what they fear. In the following way. Fast technological changes, of the kind we had previously in 1800+ with the industrial revolutions, do require of the society to adapt, and change all manner of things. So fast change does indeed carry a risk of civilisational collapse. As long as society is mostly free, culture change (which is fast), should keep up with the speed of technology change.
However - many of the doomers "solutions" ("bomb the data centres!"; "detain/imprison the AI scientists") strike me as full blown authoritarian, even dictatorial. Societies authoritarian less-free have tougher time adapting to change. If change is delayed for too long, various crisis where things fail (as they don't work any more; but then change is forbidden - so they can't be changed either) build up. Only to be released all together, and in great magnitude, in a short period of time, once the dam bursts. And countries that may have otherwise adapted, if allowed to do it in their own time, now simply break down, overwhelmed by the speed and magnitude of change.
To my mind, we have existential threats 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing. Afaics AI should help us decrease all 1-4 risks. So this is also something that should be put on the ledger to be weighted.
Will stop now. Thank you for your thoughts, your patience, and for reading this far. :-)
7:47 PM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965064504196440146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...not read by humans, and "so far" ;-)
3:47 PM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...not read by humans, and "so far" ;-)
3:47 PM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965039034444460209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm sympathetic to you predicament, but "existential threat to the planet" is patiently untrue. 😬 It implies as if Earth would somehow explode or disintegrate. But the planet Earth existed in the past when there was much more CO2 in the atmosphere. When Dinosaurs roamed the Earth, and the time when average temperatures were higher, and all those giant plants actually soaked the CO2 from the atmosphere (CO2 being food for plants). That's how it got into their bodies in the first place, so for them to make our very own fossil fuels. 😆 So no - the Earth is not in danger. Not even life is in danger - as we know from similar periods when plenty life on Earth existed. Just not humans. Humans maybe in danger - but possibly maybe not. We are nothing if not very adaptable buggers. 😂 I would not worry much about this as being existential risk. We do have existential risks to worry about. Effort better spend there, afaics.
2:06 PM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm sympathetic to you predicament, but "existential threat to the planet" is patiently untrue. 😬 It implies as if Earth would somehow explode or disintegrate. But the planet Earth existed in the past when there was much more CO2 in the atmosphere. When Dinosaurs roamed the Earth, and the time when average temperatures were higher, and all those giant plants actually soaked the CO2 from the atmosphere (CO2 being food for plants). That's how it got into their bodies in the first place, so for them to make our very own fossil fuels. 😆 So no - the Earth is not in danger. Not even life is in danger - as we know from similar periods when plenty life on Earth existed. Just not humans. Humans maybe in danger - but possibly maybe not. We are nothing if not very adaptable buggers. 😂 I would not worry much about this as being existential risk. We do have existential risks to worry about. Effort better spend there, afaics.
2:06 PM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965022261167210793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 my man you are a force of nature! if anyone can make linux-on-the-desktop happen, this is it 😄 more power to you dude 👍 live long and prosper
12:59 PM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 my man you are a force of nature! if anyone can make linux-on-the-desktop happen, this is it 😄 more power to you dude 👍 live long and prosper
12:59 PM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1965012016763949346
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many things are 'existential threats', I for one rate this ranked count atm: 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing.
To my mind warming is a lesser risk, in ways of: if no positive feedback loop runaway warming, if it's of the kind we had so far (average of 1 degree in 80 years?) - than it's a nothing burger by impact, compared to the other risks. And if runaway from a positive feedback loop - than high impact, but then that's a way lower probability.
One thing I do know though: no 'climate physicists' (no human for that matter) can predict with absolute certainty, or even with satisfactory certainty, things that may or may not happen in the future 100 years from now.
It's doubly disappointing that otherwise intelligent people like those scientists, are taken for a ride, by self-serving grifters of all shapes and colours. Giving the scientist the equivalent of a lolly pop as award, some attention of the type "aww-shucks, are you a clever cookie, oh my" while doing nothing much for real. And in return getting the mantle of science behind themselves, to push any number of pet peeves, dear to the grifters.
The scientists themselves are doing the stupidest thing there. Turning science - noble pursuit if there ever were one! - into "scientism" in the process. And - for what?? For nothing, for peanuts. They maybe clever, but maybe not so clever in the ways of human groups work. For monkeys are paid in peanuts...
12:19 PM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many things are 'existential threats', I for one rate this ranked count atm: 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing.
To my mind warming is a lesser risk, in ways of: if no positive feedback loop runaway warming, if it's of the kind we had so far (average of 1 degree in 80 years?) - than it's a nothing burger by impact, compared to the other risks. And if runaway from a positive feedback loop - than high impact, but then that's a way lower probability.
One thing I do know though: no 'climate physicists' (no human for that matter) can predict with absolute certainty, or even with satisfactory certainty, things that may or may not happen in the future 100 years from now.
It's doubly disappointing that otherwise intelligent people like those scientists, are taken for a ride, by self-serving grifters of all shapes and colours. Giving the scientist the equivalent of a lolly pop as award, some attention of the type "aww-shucks, are you a clever cookie, oh my" while doing nothing much for real. And in return getting the mantle of science behind themselves, to push any number of pet peeves, dear to the grifters.
The scientists themselves are doing the stupidest thing there. Turning science - noble pursuit if there ever were one! - into "scientism" in the process. And - for what?? For nothing, for peanuts. They maybe clever, but maybe not so clever in the ways of human groups work. For monkeys are paid in peanuts...
12:19 PM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964979059789590890
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - good thing no actual jobs are counting R's and strawberries, for no-one is silly enough to pay anyone for insane activity like that. Nah - jobs people do are actually useful to other people. Likewise - my AI-s are tasked with, and do jobs useful to myself, and others.
I get it a cottage industry has sprung up for harvesting clicks with inanities like above. Mildly entertaining. But the slop levels are way below Kardashians, Love Island etc of old. That makes me sad. Such grand opportunities available to so many people. Such poor choices made by so many in full public view. Do better.
10:08 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - good thing no actual jobs are counting R's and strawberries, for no-one is silly enough to pay anyone for insane activity like that. Nah - jobs people do are actually useful to other people. Likewise - my AI-s are tasked with, and do jobs useful to myself, and others.
I get it a cottage industry has sprung up for harvesting clicks with inanities like above. Mildly entertaining. But the slop levels are way below Kardashians, Love Island etc of old. That makes me sad. Such grand opportunities available to so many people. Such poor choices made by so many in full public view. Do better.
10:08 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964963209170829596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what shit for brain, tsk tsk tsk.
maybe if a twitter mob organised to make *your* IRL life uncomfortable, some knowing will move from your arse to your head.
your kind of "reasoning" is partly a reason it takes humanity decades rather than years to get to AF3. unfathomable stupid bonhoeffer evil paid for by gargantuan unfathomable quantities of human suffering.
9:05 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what shit for brain, tsk tsk tsk.
maybe if a twitter mob organised to make *your* IRL life uncomfortable, some knowing will move from your arse to your head.
your kind of "reasoning" is partly a reason it takes humanity decades rather than years to get to AF3. unfathomable stupid bonhoeffer evil paid for by gargantuan unfathomable quantities of human suffering.
9:05 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964959637616423130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Next time. If Keir was able to execute 2 good things at once, he wouldn't be a Starmer, but some other person. And likely doing better than -57 or whatevers is the huge negative sentiment about his gov rn.
8:50 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Next time. If Keir was able to execute 2 good things at once, he wouldn't be a Starmer, but some other person. And likely doing better than -57 or whatevers is the huge negative sentiment about his gov rn.
8:50 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964918645261246896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh ☺️ - hope he doesn't read, as he's got powers and while an ocean separates us, the force is strong with him. Not a Mozart myself so think safe there. 😆
Thinking of it - that's like the ultimate curse, a cursed anti-goldielocks zone. To be able to see and recognise greatness, but without the ability to create the same. And then cursed again being clear eyed to see that too. 😭
Think at that point only thing to save one from crossing to the dark side wd be lacking ambition. Like a great critic is content enjoying someone else's creations, because they don't aspire to create a great work of art themselves.
6:08 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh ☺️ - hope he doesn't read, as he's got powers and while an ocean separates us, the force is strong with him. Not a Mozart myself so think safe there. 😆
Thinking of it - that's like the ultimate curse, a cursed anti-goldielocks zone. To be able to see and recognise greatness, but without the ability to create the same. And then cursed again being clear eyed to see that too. 😭
Think at that point only thing to save one from crossing to the dark side wd be lacking ambition. Like a great critic is content enjoying someone else's creations, because they don't aspire to create a great work of art themselves.
6:08 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964914294413304302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - true! touche
Once one starts reading and thinking evolutionary psychology - all those behaviours mysterious incomprehensible on their own - make so much more sense. 😁 Basically species where the above doesn't happen - they die off. Leaving too much freedom in the hands of the individuals in that respect - simply ends the species. They admire the sunset and the Pythogaras theorem and are happy and content - but have no great desire nor time to bother with reproduction.
5:50 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - true! touche
Once one starts reading and thinking evolutionary psychology - all those behaviours mysterious incomprehensible on their own - make so much more sense. 😁 Basically species where the above doesn't happen - they die off. Leaving too much freedom in the hands of the individuals in that respect - simply ends the species. They admire the sunset and the Pythogaras theorem and are happy and content - but have no great desire nor time to bother with reproduction.
5:50 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964911214774886841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not saying not (I'm not a woman, and observing women around me there's plenty true in what you write) - but isn't the same true for man too? To a great extent in reality, even if man will not talk that much about that experience? (tbf they won't talk much about anything else too) I swap man-for-woman-and-v.v. in the above statement - and it still largely rings true? Maybe some details less so (emoji, melting) - but the gist is still preserved?
In a sense I find it touching that we crave connection so much. That we punish humans by depriving them from contact with other humans and that's our deterrent, the threat of isolation.
Specifically between sexes: isn't it the view of a single species split in half, and now the halves by default at 1st opportunity on fully growing up, they embark on a quest, to find their other half and re-create "the whole human" - isn't that impossibly romantic? There's virtue in independence, us being independent units and still function is valuable. But going 1→2 units in a group is the highest relative increase (100%; the next+1 is relative 2→3 is only 50% relative). Also the connection weight strength and importance of that 1 single connection is the highest that a connection will ever be.
I remember an obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (original The Planet of Women) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and mating, is the key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. That not only does sex create every human, but that sexuality created humanity.
Possible that the author joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. In fact - the argument advanced in the book makes more sense than the competing hypothesis imo. We maybe on a path to a-sexual reproduction. If that ever happens, that will have humanity bifurcate, part of humans evolve into a separate species. Such is the importance of that connection.
5:38 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not saying not (I'm not a woman, and observing women around me there's plenty true in what you write) - but isn't the same true for man too? To a great extent in reality, even if man will not talk that much about that experience? (tbf they won't talk much about anything else too) I swap man-for-woman-and-v.v. in the above statement - and it still largely rings true? Maybe some details less so (emoji, melting) - but the gist is still preserved?
In a sense I find it touching that we crave connection so much. That we punish humans by depriving them from contact with other humans and that's our deterrent, the threat of isolation.
Specifically between sexes: isn't it the view of a single species split in half, and now the halves by default at 1st opportunity on fully growing up, they embark on a quest, to find their other half and re-create "the whole human" - isn't that impossibly romantic? There's virtue in independence, us being independent units and still function is valuable. But going 1→2 units in a group is the highest relative increase (100%; the next+1 is relative 2→3 is only 50% relative). Also the connection weight strength and importance of that 1 single connection is the highest that a connection will ever be.
I remember an obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (original The Planet of Women) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and mating, is the key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. That not only does sex create every human, but that sexuality created humanity.
Possible that the author joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. In fact - the argument advanced in the book makes more sense than the competing hypothesis imo. We maybe on a path to a-sexual reproduction. If that ever happens, that will have humanity bifurcate, part of humans evolve into a separate species. Such is the importance of that connection.
5:38 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964885321398559052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no stopping them grifters cult. They have going for them similarly cynical and grifting unscrupulous journalists, our human utility function that values bad news 100 times more than good news, a once a century Savanorola talent like Yudkowski (too stupid to create, not stupid enough to fail to organise, to understand his predicament; a totally tragic figure - all tactics, zero strategy, AI's Salieri), as ever inexhaustible supply of of young impressionable sheep bleating eagerly in affirmation of their chosen leader (as he leads them to salvation).
A link to improve your TL restore some balance ☺️
https://open.substack.com/pub/danieljeffries/p/if-we-build-it-everyone-lives
3:55 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no stopping them grifters cult. They have going for them similarly cynical and grifting unscrupulous journalists, our human utility function that values bad news 100 times more than good news, a once a century Savanorola talent like Yudkowski (too stupid to create, not stupid enough to fail to organise, to understand his predicament; a totally tragic figure - all tactics, zero strategy, AI's Salieri), as ever inexhaustible supply of of young impressionable sheep bleating eagerly in affirmation of their chosen leader (as he leads them to salvation).
A link to improve your TL restore some balance ☺️
https://open.substack.com/pub/danieljeffries/p/if-we-build-it-everyone-lives
3:55 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964918645261246896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh ☺️ - hope he doesn't read, as he's got powers and while an ocean separates us, the force is strong with him. Not a Mozart myself so think safe there. 😆
Thinking of it - that's like the ultimate curse, a cursed anti-goldielocks zone. To be able to see and recognise greatness, but without the ability to create the same. And then cursed again being clear eyed to see that too. 😭
Think at that point only thing to save one from crossing to the dark side wd be lacking ambition. Like a great critic is content enjoying someone else's creations, because they don't aspire to create a great work of art themselves.
6:08 AM · Sep 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh ☺️ - hope he doesn't read, as he's got powers and while an ocean separates us, the force is strong with him. Not a Mozart myself so think safe there. 😆
Thinking of it - that's like the ultimate curse, a cursed anti-goldielocks zone. To be able to see and recognise greatness, but without the ability to create the same. And then cursed again being clear eyed to see that too. 😭
Think at that point only thing to save one from crossing to the dark side wd be lacking ambition. Like a great critic is content enjoying someone else's creations, because they don't aspire to create a great work of art themselves.
6:08 AM · Sep 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964781613369409646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This strikes me the most important most consequential of all AI uses. For it to simulate agents close enough to humans, not "a dot for a spherical cow" jokes-for-models.
Then those agents can be made to rub shoulders, as if individual humans in the society. So they will have to evolve to cooperate, compete and everything in between! Would be such privilege to witness what emerges! :-)
My pet hypothesis is that feelings, and behaviours thought of "irrational" in the "Thinking Fast and Slow"-sense emerge. For all the emotions and similar irrational stuff, if not optimal for individual unit, then it must be useful or even necessary for group formation. And for group collective intelligence. Human intelligence (and stupidity) are significantly collective, not just individual.
Us humans we live in groups. From cradle to grave we are never that far away for any length of time away from other humans. Such social animals that the punishment for transgression is cutting of contact with other humans. (and especially solitary confinement as "punishment for the already punished") Also the 3-3-3 rule most of us fail and die when left to our own devices. (warmth 3h, water 3d, food 3w)
Human's group formation strikes me as most mysterious of all processes about us humans. How do we startup countries, societies? Examples we have (e.g. new states post WW2, or post WW1 European states post the age of empires) strike me as a haphazard motley collection. Hard to discover much there, the do-s and don't-s are mostly qualitative broad principles. Nothing really quantitive there that could be applied when e.g. building ex-Earth human societies.
People interested in this probably already know these. But will be put the links anyway for they deserve it.
1. What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything by Veritasium about the Prisoner’s Dilemma.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
This I think is an absolute gem of an episode.
2. Small addendum about how the choice of the utility changes the conclusions even in single turn game
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
Instead of valuing my cost 100% and the other side 0%, the behavior changes once it's 50:50.
3. This on collective stupidity even if not strictly about the prisoners dilemma game I find it interesting and useful
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
9:03 PM · Sep 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This strikes me the most important most consequential of all AI uses. For it to simulate agents close enough to humans, not "a dot for a spherical cow" jokes-for-models.
Then those agents can be made to rub shoulders, as if individual humans in the society. So they will have to evolve to cooperate, compete and everything in between! Would be such privilege to witness what emerges! :-)
My pet hypothesis is that feelings, and behaviours thought of "irrational" in the "Thinking Fast and Slow"-sense emerge. For all the emotions and similar irrational stuff, if not optimal for individual unit, then it must be useful or even necessary for group formation. And for group collective intelligence. Human intelligence (and stupidity) are significantly collective, not just individual.
Us humans we live in groups. From cradle to grave we are never that far away for any length of time away from other humans. Such social animals that the punishment for transgression is cutting of contact with other humans. (and especially solitary confinement as "punishment for the already punished") Also the 3-3-3 rule most of us fail and die when left to our own devices. (warmth 3h, water 3d, food 3w)
Human's group formation strikes me as most mysterious of all processes about us humans. How do we startup countries, societies? Examples we have (e.g. new states post WW2, or post WW1 European states post the age of empires) strike me as a haphazard motley collection. Hard to discover much there, the do-s and don't-s are mostly qualitative broad principles. Nothing really quantitive there that could be applied when e.g. building ex-Earth human societies.
People interested in this probably already know these. But will be put the links anyway for they deserve it.
1. What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything by Veritasium about the Prisoner’s Dilemma.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
This I think is an absolute gem of an episode.
2. Small addendum about how the choice of the utility changes the conclusions even in single turn game
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
Instead of valuing my cost 100% and the other side 0%, the behavior changes once it's 50:50.
3. This on collective stupidity even if not strictly about the prisoners dilemma game I find it interesting and useful
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
9:03 PM · Sep 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964728765097156913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😁 - 2nd post now in 20 mins to remind me of the lucid observation/argument made here
https://x.com/perrymetzger/status/1964678743353385364
You lose nothing much tbh. It's unlikely that your correspondent was seeking to distinguish true from false better, or reduce the error of their world model. The root of their behaviours is in their heads, it's pretty crazy in there, and even when asked to articulate or explain their actions, usually they struggle to come up with anything coherent. Now this may have been 1-in-1e9 case where the above is not the case. But we shall have to eat that chance loss now, no coming back from a block. 😂
Quote
Perry E. Metzger @perrymetzger · Sep 7
Replying to @ljupc0
I often reverse their arguments back at them (“humans can't really think, they're just a bunch of neurons firing in response to environmental stimuli” etc.) and they almost never respond meaningfully because they can’t; fundamentally, they're just making emotional statements, not
Show more
5:33 PM · Sep 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😁 - 2nd post now in 20 mins to remind me of the lucid observation/argument made here
https://x.com/perrymetzger/status/1964678743353385364
You lose nothing much tbh. It's unlikely that your correspondent was seeking to distinguish true from false better, or reduce the error of their world model. The root of their behaviours is in their heads, it's pretty crazy in there, and even when asked to articulate or explain their actions, usually they struggle to come up with anything coherent. Now this may have been 1-in-1e9 case where the above is not the case. But we shall have to eat that chance loss now, no coming back from a block. 😂
Quote
Perry E. Metzger @perrymetzger · Sep 7
Replying to @ljupc0
I often reverse their arguments back at them (“humans can't really think, they're just a bunch of neurons firing in response to environmental stimuli” etc.) and they almost never respond meaningfully because they can’t; fundamentally, they're just making emotional statements, not
Show more
5:33 PM · Sep 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964725961938944132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not. Monumental, ginormous stupidity of fellow humans on display is painful. Wish I had a way to not depend for my life & wellbeing on fellow man that are not only wrong, (that can be excused,) but that decide in ways that defy any logic, are of "not even wrong" quality.
5:22 PM · Sep 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not. Monumental, ginormous stupidity of fellow humans on display is painful. Wish I had a way to not depend for my life & wellbeing on fellow man that are not only wrong, (that can be excused,) but that decide in ways that defy any logic, are of "not even wrong" quality.
5:22 PM · Sep 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964666356701241808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on AI is a tool. On "not persuaded" - it's different for everyone. It's not that clear for most what would "persuade them", what's the level of test they would be accepted. Most that can't be persuaded never exactly articulate what they would accept as persuasion. And even if they did, not clear to me that it should be my job to be doing that.
Still - maybe you'll find something of interest here?
https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/ai-doomerism-is-bullshit
Or maybe not. Most people mix an ego trip with expressing opinions (@DavidPinsof has a post on that too 😁), so any persuasion is an attack on their identity. Not something I'm that keen on.
To me, it's fairly easy as "instinctive scientist" of the "probability is the logic of science"-kind, to accept that we are wrong all the time. The game is to reduce that error. Not reach zero error - that's impossible.
When "the truth" is something yet to happen (doom, or not), it's ofc impossible to know for sure, it's in the future. I try to think in terms of "ok, atm my best guess is X, but if I see evidence Y, that will persuade me to think Z". Professionally in trading very often we did "bet X money on Y, but should the opposite of Y be happening, after I lose Z, I will cut my loss, close my bet, go home lick my wounds; but live to trade another day."
Afaics I have not seen any evidence on any doom materialising. And have seen plenty evidence for the opposite of doom, a boost materialising.
1:25 PM · Sep 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on AI is a tool. On "not persuaded" - it's different for everyone. It's not that clear for most what would "persuade them", what's the level of test they would be accepted. Most that can't be persuaded never exactly articulate what they would accept as persuasion. And even if they did, not clear to me that it should be my job to be doing that.
Still - maybe you'll find something of interest here?
https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/ai-doomerism-is-bullshit
Or maybe not. Most people mix an ego trip with expressing opinions (@DavidPinsof has a post on that too 😁), so any persuasion is an attack on their identity. Not something I'm that keen on.
To me, it's fairly easy as "instinctive scientist" of the "probability is the logic of science"-kind, to accept that we are wrong all the time. The game is to reduce that error. Not reach zero error - that's impossible.
When "the truth" is something yet to happen (doom, or not), it's ofc impossible to know for sure, it's in the future. I try to think in terms of "ok, atm my best guess is X, but if I see evidence Y, that will persuade me to think Z". Professionally in trading very often we did "bet X money on Y, but should the opposite of Y be happening, after I lose Z, I will cut my loss, close my bet, go home lick my wounds; but live to trade another day."
Afaics I have not seen any evidence on any doom materialising. And have seen plenty evidence for the opposite of doom, a boost materialising.
1:25 PM · Sep 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964646910997762115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @Dan_Jeffries1 - right about everything there.
In fact, dooming is such a self fulfilling prophecy (as disaster is the default state of humanity, absent of progress), they doomers themselves are working themselves into that paper-clip agent of doom, that they fear in their crazy dreams!!
If We Build It, Everyone Lives
Why AI doomers are Catastrophically, Spectacularly, and Dangerously wrong
https ://danieljeffries.substack.com/p/if-we-build-it-everyone-lives
12:08 PM · Sep 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @Dan_Jeffries1 - right about everything there.
In fact, dooming is such a self fulfilling prophecy (as disaster is the default state of humanity, absent of progress), they doomers themselves are working themselves into that paper-clip agent of doom, that they fear in their crazy dreams!!
If We Build It, Everyone Lives
Why AI doomers are Catastrophically, Spectacularly, and Dangerously wrong
https ://danieljeffries.substack.com/p/if-we-build-it-everyone-lives
12:08 PM · Sep 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964647863259971823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and the link -
https://danieljeffries.substack.com/p/if-we-build-it-everyone-lives
With warm FU-s to Moron Muskarat for dooming the links on X. And making life tiny bit sh*tier for a great number of people, than it needs to be otherwise. For almost no good reasons afaics.
12:12 PM · Sep 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and the link -
https://danieljeffries.substack.com/p/if-we-build-it-everyone-lives
With warm FU-s to Moron Muskarat for dooming the links on X. And making life tiny bit sh*tier for a great number of people, than it needs to be otherwise. For almost no good reasons afaics.
12:12 PM · Sep 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964410591797252519
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not counter, but one to add to your list: trading. Simplest: Buy low. Sell high. Stay in the game don't crash and burn. The number of people able to execute it, is few.
I explain it "like basketball", b/c similarly very slim pickings left for the non-winners. The principle is likewise simple "put a ball through a hoop". But getting to number 1 or number 2 in the competition with your peers, is fiendishly difficult. Anyone getting to #3 or down barely anyone remembers or cares.
8:29 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not counter, but one to add to your list: trading. Simplest: Buy low. Sell high. Stay in the game don't crash and burn. The number of people able to execute it, is few.
I explain it "like basketball", b/c similarly very slim pickings left for the non-winners. The principle is likewise simple "put a ball through a hoop". But getting to number 1 or number 2 in the competition with your peers, is fiendishly difficult. Anyone getting to #3 or down barely anyone remembers or cares.
8:29 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964406310994121147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me they were looking for the next application aread after Chat, and Coding Agents, and came up with this. Not the worst idea I think. I thought medicine applications will be next. Most people already upload all manner of medicinal info to their AI of choice and ask questions, explanations, opinions. But given how constricted and super-regulated the whole field of medicine it is, that may take some time. 1/
Quote
Max Zeff @ZeffMax · Sep 4
OpenAI plans to launch an AI-powered hiring platform by mid 2026, putting the outfit in close competition with LinkedIn. The company also wants to start certifying people for "AI fluency."
The ambition of this company is something else.
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me they were looking for the next application aread after Chat, and Coding Agents, and came up with this. Not the worst idea I think. I thought medicine applications will be next. Most people already upload all manner of medicinal info to their AI of choice and ask questions, explanations, opinions. But given how constricted and super-regulated the whole field of medicine it is, that may take some time. 1/
Quote
Max Zeff @ZeffMax · Sep 4
OpenAI plans to launch an AI-powered hiring platform by mid 2026, putting the outfit in close competition with LinkedIn. The company also wants to start certifying people for "AI fluency."
The ambition of this company is something else.
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964406314181730452
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recruitment does strike me as probable candidate. Job hunting is stressful as default for the worker on the supply side always. For us workers it's always in the back of our minds: no work == no food no shelter == no life. Observing from close by the process for a recent graduate, I got the impression that now it's the worst that it's ever been. 2/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recruitment does strike me as probable candidate. Job hunting is stressful as default for the worker on the supply side always. For us workers it's always in the back of our minds: no work == no food no shelter == no life. Observing from close by the process for a recent graduate, I got the impression that now it's the worst that it's ever been. 2/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964406316975210860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The process seems to be in full-on spam-like arms race mode: candidates spray-and-pray, HR overwhelmed by 1000s of applications. Many of bad quality, but sufficient number of good quality too. Bit even if HR just take the 1st 100 and drop the subsequent 900 into /dev/null, that's 1) still a lot to get through 2) 900 people wasting their time applying all they long, to jobs that don't effectively exist for them (despite the advert), is a colossal societal waste. Maybe the job adverts on LinkedIn or similar should auto-expire - in time, or upon getting N applications. 3/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The process seems to be in full-on spam-like arms race mode: candidates spray-and-pray, HR overwhelmed by 1000s of applications. Many of bad quality, but sufficient number of good quality too. Bit even if HR just take the 1st 100 and drop the subsequent 900 into /dev/null, that's 1) still a lot to get through 2) 900 people wasting their time applying all they long, to jobs that don't effectively exist for them (despite the advert), is a colossal societal waste. Maybe the job adverts on LinkedIn or similar should auto-expire - in time, or upon getting N applications. 3/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964406318950723669
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is not helped by HR, lacking internal self-correcting mechanisms, has deteriorated in quality while expanding in scope and size like cancer. To the point that they now seem to subtract, rather than add, to the process. Symptom of this being that lots of hiring is going back to a previous equilibrium mode of operation: word-of-mouth, friend "put a good word in", friend-of-a-friend personal contacts, even "just show in person." 4/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is not helped by HR, lacking internal self-correcting mechanisms, has deteriorated in quality while expanding in scope and size like cancer. To the point that they now seem to subtract, rather than add, to the process. Symptom of this being that lots of hiring is going back to a previous equilibrium mode of operation: word-of-mouth, friend "put a good word in", friend-of-a-friend personal contacts, even "just show in person." 4/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964406321752789056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI tools of the spray-and-pray variety add to the spam. There is a cottage industry of that "use AI to apply to 1000 jobs adverts today". But AI may play a role in solving the spam problem too. After all - early very primitive by today standards AI solved the email spam arms race afaics. My Gmail Junk folder rarely gets a few, while almost zero make it to the Inbox. 5/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI tools of the spray-and-pray variety add to the spam. There is a cottage industry of that "use AI to apply to 1000 jobs adverts today". But AI may play a role in solving the spam problem too. After all - early very primitive by today standards AI solved the email spam arms race afaics. My Gmail Junk folder rarely gets a few, while almost zero make it to the Inbox. 5/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964406324231581779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recently tried Jack & Jill AI @jackandjill_AI and was well impressed?? Head & shoulders above any human I've interacted with in the latest search. (myself atm looking for C2C to move back to ML/AI after 20yrs quant trading R&D) Not only when the AI worked, but most importantly - when things were not working. How they addressed their fails.
(had no prior knowledge of J&J until last week, not involved in them in any way; by random chance stumbled on and pleasantly surprised.)
The initial 20 min conference voice call of introduction - very good. The followup emails summarising and explaining - also very good. (to my mind.) The half-dozen suggestions they come back with, within 24h - light years ahead of what any agent, or slop & spam sites like LinkedIn, or scammy operators like JobLeds, came up with. 6/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recently tried Jack & Jill AI @jackandjill_AI and was well impressed?? Head & shoulders above any human I've interacted with in the latest search. (myself atm looking for C2C to move back to ML/AI after 20yrs quant trading R&D) Not only when the AI worked, but most importantly - when things were not working. How they addressed their fails.
(had no prior knowledge of J&J until last week, not involved in them in any way; by random chance stumbled on and pleasantly surprised.)
The initial 20 min conference voice call of introduction - very good. The followup emails summarising and explaining - also very good. (to my mind.) The half-dozen suggestions they come back with, within 24h - light years ahead of what any agent, or slop & spam sites like LinkedIn, or scammy operators like JobLeds, came up with. 6/
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964406326345212340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking fast forward to 2050 - and agent like J&J continuously, proactively looking for prospects, contacts and connections, to increase personal future expected value of own work, job satisfaction, (satisfaction with life really - given how important life is in our lives) - maybe the norm? Not only movies stars, but everyone needs a personal agent that advocate for their principal. 😇 7/7
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking fast forward to 2050 - and agent like J&J continuously, proactively looking for prospects, contacts and connections, to increase personal future expected value of own work, job satisfaction, (satisfaction with life really - given how important life is in our lives) - maybe the norm? Not only movies stars, but everyone needs a personal agent that advocate for their principal. 😇 7/7
8:12 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964392889502634052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah they did it 😊
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963378242590581002
Can't quite believe how good it's working out. But to deny the reality is silly. Can understand GM doing for lolz & clicks. What's in it for the morons garymarcusing themselves in a fit of self-immolation is incomprehensible to me-ngl.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963378242590581002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 4
Replying to @sama
+1 Yep 👍 As far as I l'm concerned agi has arrived. The ghost in the machine - manifest! Manifests as
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
for me. I've got few personas working on random things on the laptop, they never have to stop stop. Next OS will have this in
Show more
7:18 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah they did it 😊
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963378242590581002
Can't quite believe how good it's working out. But to deny the reality is silly. Can understand GM doing for lolz & clicks. What's in it for the morons garymarcusing themselves in a fit of self-immolation is incomprehensible to me-ngl.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963378242590581002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 4
Replying to @sama
+1 Yep 👍 As far as I l'm concerned agi has arrived. The ghost in the machine - manifest! Manifests as
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
for me. I've got few personas working on random things on the laptop, they never have to stop stop. Next OS will have this in
Show more
7:18 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964388629926858907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
About 20% max, 80:20 wd be lucky quantified guess. Majority 80 = follow the gradient, the trend, go with the herd, cooperate. Minority 20 = spice things shake them up, bet on reversion, against the consensus, compete against all. Default to 80. IDK of a good criterion as to when to do the 20, and what to do in addition to "random". Sth to do with taste, related to aesthetics but not fully. (for beauty is not truth, even if mostly true that truth is beautiful)
7:02 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
About 20% max, 80:20 wd be lucky quantified guess. Majority 80 = follow the gradient, the trend, go with the herd, cooperate. Minority 20 = spice things shake them up, bet on reversion, against the consensus, compete against all. Default to 80. IDK of a good criterion as to when to do the 20, and what to do in addition to "random". Sth to do with taste, related to aesthetics but not fully. (for beauty is not truth, even if mostly true that truth is beautiful)
7:02 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964374314146291731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hard to believe - but not impossible. Humans are plenty weard at the extremes. It only got discovered b/c of the insurance claim.
It's okay to be fooled once or twice. Not a regular viewer myself of the BBC - but seems to me your have been taken for rides like this for a very long time now?? So much so, that the public seems to be more hard-nosed than yourselves, and have cottoned on - while you remain incurious? Both at these weirdos in the original cases, but also incurious, un-introspective, at your own failings??
It shouldn't be like this. The public has the right to be gullible - you have not. You are professionals, paid to know and do better. It gives me no pleasure on the contrary some discomfort to observe this from afar. People that created the trust in the BBC did better in worse circumstances.
6:05 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hard to believe - but not impossible. Humans are plenty weard at the extremes. It only got discovered b/c of the insurance claim.
It's okay to be fooled once or twice. Not a regular viewer myself of the BBC - but seems to me your have been taken for rides like this for a very long time now?? So much so, that the public seems to be more hard-nosed than yourselves, and have cottoned on - while you remain incurious? Both at these weirdos in the original cases, but also incurious, un-introspective, at your own failings??
It shouldn't be like this. The public has the right to be gullible - you have not. You are professionals, paid to know and do better. It gives me no pleasure on the contrary some discomfort to observe this from afar. People that created the trust in the BBC did better in worse circumstances.
6:05 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964351107112517745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This alway looks interesting like something that could be popular bringing in views
https://youtu.be/70FhS6NAbuA?si=SKQ8L1EzWp_rgvHG
Bit puzzled that you shy away. Looks engaging to have put out a judgement, explainer, gradation on the BSmeter etc - the whole shtick.
youtube.com
Decoding quantum reality - with Vlatko Vedral
Explore the deepest quantum questions about the Universe.Watch the Q&A here (exclusively for our Science Supporters): https://youtu.be/sWNv3V3-vDgBuy Vlatko'...
4:32 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This alway looks interesting like something that could be popular bringing in views
https://youtu.be/70FhS6NAbuA?si=SKQ8L1EzWp_rgvHG
Bit puzzled that you shy away. Looks engaging to have put out a judgement, explainer, gradation on the BSmeter etc - the whole shtick.
youtube.com
Decoding quantum reality - with Vlatko Vedral
Explore the deepest quantum questions about the Universe.Watch the Q&A here (exclusively for our Science Supporters): https://youtu.be/sWNv3V3-vDgBuy Vlatko'...
4:32 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964330738930876694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You deserve worse, but given you're a man-baby, will go as far as: go back to your kinder-garden safe space. Or to your warm mum's bosom if you prefer. No one cares about B/S antics of these sorts anymore - and thank god for that. Your antics are B/S of the kind enumerated in posts here https://substack.com/@everythingisbullshit/posts
Nah - I encourage AI labs to build the bestest, biggest, baddest models then can - and then some more. Nah down with you decels - let's cure the f*cking cancer. One'd usually give you a "get lost" send-off - but you seem plenty lost. Do your parens know how you are?
Your friend looks more senior tbh - IDK what advice is appropriate for him. Kind of too late it seems to me for him. So while your predicament is a bit comical if sad, his looks positively tragic?? Such poor choices, given such great possibilities. Total tragedy to decide to self-immolate, for fear of life and living.
3:11 PM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You deserve worse, but given you're a man-baby, will go as far as: go back to your kinder-garden safe space. Or to your warm mum's bosom if you prefer. No one cares about B/S antics of these sorts anymore - and thank god for that. Your antics are B/S of the kind enumerated in posts here https://substack.com/@everythingisbullshit/posts
Nah - I encourage AI labs to build the bestest, biggest, baddest models then can - and then some more. Nah down with you decels - let's cure the f*cking cancer. One'd usually give you a "get lost" send-off - but you seem plenty lost. Do your parens know how you are?
Your friend looks more senior tbh - IDK what advice is appropriate for him. Kind of too late it seems to me for him. So while your predicament is a bit comical if sad, his looks positively tragic?? Such poor choices, given such great possibilities. Total tragedy to decide to self-immolate, for fear of life and living.
3:11 PM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964262056124641591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me they were looking for the next app after Chat, and Coding Agents, and came up with this. Not the worst idea I think? I thought medicine applications will be next. Most people already upload all manner of medicinal info to their AI of choice and ask questions, explanations, opinions. But given how constricted and super-regulated the whole field of medicine it is, that may take some time.
Recruitment does strike me as probable candidate. Job hunting is stressful as default for the worker on the supply side always. For them - no work == no food no shelter == no life. With a recent graduate kid, I got the impression that now it's the worst that it's ever been.
The process seems to be in full-on spam-like arms race mode: candidates spray-and-pray, HR overwhelmed by 1000s of applications, many of bad quality, but sufficient number of good too. Bit even if HR just take the 1st 100 and drop the subsequent 900 into /dev/null, that's 1) still a lot to get through 2) 900 people wasting their time is a colossal societal waste.
This is not helped by HR, lacking internal self-correcting mechanisms, has deteriorated in quality while expanding in scope and size like cancer. To the point that they now seem to subtract, rather than add, in the process. Symptom of this being that lots of hiring is going back to a previous equilibrium mode of operation: word-of-mouth, friend put a good word in, friend-of-a-friend personal contacts, even show in person.
AI tools of the spray-and-pray may add to spam. There is a cottage industry of that "use AI to apply to 1000 jobs adverts today". But AI may solve the spam problem too. After all - AI solved the email spam afaics.
Recently this one AI I tried Jack & Jill https://jackandjill.ai well impressed me! Head & shoulders above any human I've interacted with in the latest search! (myself looking C2C, trying to move back to ML/AI after 20yrs quant trading R&D) Not only when the AI worked, but most importantly - when things were not working. How they addressed their fails.
I had no knowledge of J&J, am not involved in them in any way, not an investor hyping them up. Just by a random chance user pleasantly surprised! Initial 20 min conference voice call of introduction - very good. The followup emails summarising and explaining - also very good. (to my mind.) The half-dozen suggestions they come back with, within 24h - light years ahead of what any agent, or slop & spam sites like LinkedIn, or scammy operators like JobLeds dot com, came up with.
I'm thinking fast forward by 2050 - and agent like J&J continuously, proactively looking for prospects, contacts and connections, to increase personal future expected value of own work, job satisfaction, satisfaction with life really in the final analysis - maybe the norm? Not only movies stars, but everyone needs a personal agent that advocate for their principal. 😇
10:39 AM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me they were looking for the next app after Chat, and Coding Agents, and came up with this. Not the worst idea I think? I thought medicine applications will be next. Most people already upload all manner of medicinal info to their AI of choice and ask questions, explanations, opinions. But given how constricted and super-regulated the whole field of medicine it is, that may take some time.
Recruitment does strike me as probable candidate. Job hunting is stressful as default for the worker on the supply side always. For them - no work == no food no shelter == no life. With a recent graduate kid, I got the impression that now it's the worst that it's ever been.
The process seems to be in full-on spam-like arms race mode: candidates spray-and-pray, HR overwhelmed by 1000s of applications, many of bad quality, but sufficient number of good too. Bit even if HR just take the 1st 100 and drop the subsequent 900 into /dev/null, that's 1) still a lot to get through 2) 900 people wasting their time is a colossal societal waste.
This is not helped by HR, lacking internal self-correcting mechanisms, has deteriorated in quality while expanding in scope and size like cancer. To the point that they now seem to subtract, rather than add, in the process. Symptom of this being that lots of hiring is going back to a previous equilibrium mode of operation: word-of-mouth, friend put a good word in, friend-of-a-friend personal contacts, even show in person.
AI tools of the spray-and-pray may add to spam. There is a cottage industry of that "use AI to apply to 1000 jobs adverts today". But AI may solve the spam problem too. After all - AI solved the email spam afaics.
Recently this one AI I tried Jack & Jill https://jackandjill.ai well impressed me! Head & shoulders above any human I've interacted with in the latest search! (myself looking C2C, trying to move back to ML/AI after 20yrs quant trading R&D) Not only when the AI worked, but most importantly - when things were not working. How they addressed their fails.
I had no knowledge of J&J, am not involved in them in any way, not an investor hyping them up. Just by a random chance user pleasantly surprised! Initial 20 min conference voice call of introduction - very good. The followup emails summarising and explaining - also very good. (to my mind.) The half-dozen suggestions they come back with, within 24h - light years ahead of what any agent, or slop & spam sites like LinkedIn, or scammy operators like JobLeds dot com, came up with.
I'm thinking fast forward by 2050 - and agent like J&J continuously, proactively looking for prospects, contacts and connections, to increase personal future expected value of own work, job satisfaction, satisfaction with life really in the final analysis - maybe the norm? Not only movies stars, but everyone needs a personal agent that advocate for their principal. 😇
10:39 AM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964262765448617996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not being able to 1) click and expand previous posts on this thread on the topic, 2) find, read, comprehend what's being discussed, 3) but just drive-by offering a ChatGPT-3 level "contribution" - does not do much to advocate the case of human reasoning either tbh.
10:41 AM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not being able to 1) click and expand previous posts on this thread on the topic, 2) find, read, comprehend what's being discussed, 3) but just drive-by offering a ChatGPT-3 level "contribution" - does not do much to advocate the case of human reasoning either tbh.
10:41 AM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Haha - that maybe so, but doesn't disqualify the idea. After chat and code writing, I thought medicine apps will be next? Most people already upload all manner of medicinal info to their AI of choice and ask questions, explanations, opinions?
But given how constricted and super-regulated the whole field is - not the worst idea to think - what else is there as the next application? Recruitment does strike me as probable candidate.
Job hunting is stressful as default for the worker on the supply isde. (no work = no food no shelter = no life) With a recent graduate kid, I got the impression that now it's even worse than it ever was. The process seems to be in spam-like arms race mode: candidates spray-and-pray, HR overwhelmed by 1000s of applications, many of bad quality, but even if 100 out of 1000 are not spam, that's still a lot to get through. And the time waste of those 100, of which only 1 will be a good investment, is colossal. This aided by the HR, having no internal self-correcting mechanism, has deteriorated in quality while expanding in scope. So now they subtract rather than add in the process.
Yep - another indicator of a fail of the existing system. In comparison to contracting not so much clueless, but just plain lazy and seemingly stupid (in the sense of "their actions are not gain, but even small lass to themselves, but a big loss to the other side" - the recruit) recruitment agents, having decided to switch back to ML/AI from quant (with a twist of not looking for employment but C2C contracts), must say this one AI I tried https://jackandjill.ai/, is head & shoulders above any human I've interacted with so far.
That is true, AI tools may add to spam, and they already do, there is a cottage industry of that "use AI to apply to 1000 jobs adverts today". But AI may solve the spam problem too. After all - AI solved the email spam afaics.
I'm not related or affiliated with J&J in any way, and not have any financial interest there. Was just pleasantly surprised, and not only when it worked, but most importantly - when things we not working. How they addressed their fails. Discovered them only last week. Just a pleasantly surprised user, not have any special knowledge what and how they do. For all I know - it maybe even some very diligent very knowledgeable human on the other side providing their super-sauce 😆 I don't think it is that, I think it's genuine automated AI. But if a tiny outfit like J&J can achieve that - imagine what OAI can do
I see no reason why gpt-7-thinking-high will not do great there tbh. In a dystopian future of 2050, maybe these will be not agents hiring as one off, but everyone one of us may have personal one scouring the world for possible work connection to other humans that will a good match and potentially adding for non-trivial value. So to proactively tell the human - look there, great success and riches maybe, much better prospect that spending your time here. Like Uber and AirBnB sweat more existing assets, so these agents will make much better use of the human capital there
Reminded me - shouldn't boomers be retiring about now-ish? So maybe that's something potentially good to look forward to in near future?
...not dystopian but protopian I think that one, but 1) can't edit now 2) it show's me how black pilled we are, for "dystopian" to be pre-pended to "future" automatically without much thought 😂 damn
LJ @ London e/acc
Haha - that maybe so, but doesn't disqualify the idea. After chat and code writing, I thought medicine apps will be next? Most people already upload all manner of medicinal info to their AI of choice and ask questions, explanations, opinions?
But given how constricted and super-regulated the whole field is - not the worst idea to think - what else is there as the next application? Recruitment does strike me as probable candidate.
Job hunting is stressful as default for the worker on the supply isde. (no work = no food no shelter = no life) With a recent graduate kid, I got the impression that now it's even worse than it ever was. The process seems to be in spam-like arms race mode: candidates spray-and-pray, HR overwhelmed by 1000s of applications, many of bad quality, but even if 100 out of 1000 are not spam, that's still a lot to get through. And the time waste of those 100, of which only 1 will be a good investment, is colossal. This aided by the HR, having no internal self-correcting mechanism, has deteriorated in quality while expanding in scope. So now they subtract rather than add in the process.
Yep - another indicator of a fail of the existing system. In comparison to contracting not so much clueless, but just plain lazy and seemingly stupid (in the sense of "their actions are not gain, but even small lass to themselves, but a big loss to the other side" - the recruit) recruitment agents, having decided to switch back to ML/AI from quant (with a twist of not looking for employment but C2C contracts), must say this one AI I tried https://jackandjill.ai/, is head & shoulders above any human I've interacted with so far.
That is true, AI tools may add to spam, and they already do, there is a cottage industry of that "use AI to apply to 1000 jobs adverts today". But AI may solve the spam problem too. After all - AI solved the email spam afaics.
I'm not related or affiliated with J&J in any way, and not have any financial interest there. Was just pleasantly surprised, and not only when it worked, but most importantly - when things we not working. How they addressed their fails. Discovered them only last week. Just a pleasantly surprised user, not have any special knowledge what and how they do. For all I know - it maybe even some very diligent very knowledgeable human on the other side providing their super-sauce 😆 I don't think it is that, I think it's genuine automated AI. But if a tiny outfit like J&J can achieve that - imagine what OAI can do
I see no reason why gpt-7-thinking-high will not do great there tbh. In a dystopian future of 2050, maybe these will be not agents hiring as one off, but everyone one of us may have personal one scouring the world for possible work connection to other humans that will a good match and potentially adding for non-trivial value. So to proactively tell the human - look there, great success and riches maybe, much better prospect that spending your time here. Like Uber and AirBnB sweat more existing assets, so these agents will make much better use of the human capital there
Reminded me - shouldn't boomers be retiring about now-ish? So maybe that's something potentially good to look forward to in near future?
...not dystopian but protopian I think that one, but 1) can't edit now 2) it show's me how black pilled we are, for "dystopian" to be pre-pended to "future" automatically without much thought 😂 damn
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964229250069700791
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I totally see how one may think so. On the other hand, yours and his proclamations of articles of faith, his affirmation of some high priest of that particular faith, when ticked against a checklist of "bullshit arguing" https://substack.com/@everythingisbullshit/p-151944115 strike me as significantly contrasting to discussing similar with gpt-5-thinking-high. And not for the better for us humans, I'm sorry to report. I'm guessing we may witness a bifurcation in humanity in the next 20-30 years, for better of worse - but not for the first time.
8:28 AM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I totally see how one may think so. On the other hand, yours and his proclamations of articles of faith, his affirmation of some high priest of that particular faith, when ticked against a checklist of "bullshit arguing" https://substack.com/@everythingisbullshit/p-151944115 strike me as significantly contrasting to discussing similar with gpt-5-thinking-high. And not for the better for us humans, I'm sorry to report. I'm guessing we may witness a bifurcation in humanity in the next 20-30 years, for better of worse - but not for the first time.
8:28 AM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964222170931876047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe often, but less often than I get from humans? Maybe you are luckier than myself and have access to elite human capital? Compared to the median human - they are already super knowledgeable and super accurate. Then imagine comparing to half the humanity that's below that median in intellectual ability.
The current GPT-5-Thinking is an order of magnitude better. Not only providing answers. What impresses me most in the past couple of weeks using it, and also using $ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high" to write my code - is the quality of the follow up answers?? That's improved massively.
The "Do you want me to check if you can do X via Y", "Do you want me to add Y feature next to the code" in 80% of the cases I'm "Yes please!" In the past 36h, solving problems as diverse as: make simple plain list of pics more accessible on a personal html page, fishing out a key the other side of the door through a letter box when the spare key copy proved badly cut to open it, fitting an AMD 7900xtx in a 10yrs old desktop.
8:00 AM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe often, but less often than I get from humans? Maybe you are luckier than myself and have access to elite human capital? Compared to the median human - they are already super knowledgeable and super accurate. Then imagine comparing to half the humanity that's below that median in intellectual ability.
The current GPT-5-Thinking is an order of magnitude better. Not only providing answers. What impresses me most in the past couple of weeks using it, and also using $ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high" to write my code - is the quality of the follow up answers?? That's improved massively.
The "Do you want me to check if you can do X via Y", "Do you want me to add Y feature next to the code" in 80% of the cases I'm "Yes please!" In the past 36h, solving problems as diverse as: make simple plain list of pics more accessible on a personal html page, fishing out a key the other side of the door through a letter box when the spare key copy proved badly cut to open it, fitting an AMD 7900xtx in a 10yrs old desktop.
8:00 AM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1964219569012191382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think that too. Small price to pay. They built a company worth XX $B, and paid a $1.5B price. Had they gone the totally legal route, they maybe have paid only $15M for the books and scanning, but it would have taken them such a long time, that the company chance of success would be much reduced. Likely to have failed. So yeah - paying $1.5B at achieve XX $B, versus alternative of paying $15M to achieve $0, strikes me a path well taken.
Wider issue with the so-called "IP" property. It's a problem for US now. That Americans ideologies, while admirable in their many ways, that there is not a greater than a small minority that finds throwing people in jail for copying data intolerable. Granting monopoly powers enforced with violence by coercive state power should trigger many more people as being abominable.
I imagine 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human wealth and goodness as value. What the Industrial Revolution in 1800s previously did with mechanical machines amplifying human mechanical labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellectual labour.
Given the potential prizes, even maybe not super high probability every individual one - think zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. If I accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson". That may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)", of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. To my mind "remove any any and all obstacles on that path" is totally reasonable.
Often I wonder if good old viral campaign may achieve a lot there. Who doesn't like free? The 90% of the population working the land will be for it overwhelmingly. Big studio like Disney etc already pissed people enough with crappy sequels, woke stupidities, being so poor at streaming that pirated content forever provided better experience than my subscription services. The 9% running the country, mostly lemon-sucking liberal puritans will be against. But if in the 1% owning the country the idea takes hold - then who knows?
Maybe some Latin patina may prod the insurgent currently not-established elite (but in the process of becoming the new establishment) to take up this cause? They already seem into RETVRN and Roman salutes - the TBTR wing of the Trump coalition. That they go all in and delete IP in a fit of retribution against the old order. Maybe in concert with some sort of seismic shake-off of US gerontocracy. (in Congress/Senate)
$ rm -rf "$IP" # leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
7:50 AM · Sep 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think that too. Small price to pay. They built a company worth XX $B, and paid a $1.5B price. Had they gone the totally legal route, they maybe have paid only $15M for the books and scanning, but it would have taken them such a long time, that the company chance of success would be much reduced. Likely to have failed. So yeah - paying $1.5B at achieve XX $B, versus alternative of paying $15M to achieve $0, strikes me a path well taken.
Wider issue with the so-called "IP" property. It's a problem for US now. That Americans ideologies, while admirable in their many ways, that there is not a greater than a small minority that finds throwing people in jail for copying data intolerable. Granting monopoly powers enforced with violence by coercive state power should trigger many more people as being abominable.
I imagine 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human wealth and goodness as value. What the Industrial Revolution in 1800s previously did with mechanical machines amplifying human mechanical labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellectual labour.
Given the potential prizes, even maybe not super high probability every individual one - think zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. If I accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson". That may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)", of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. To my mind "remove any any and all obstacles on that path" is totally reasonable.
Often I wonder if good old viral campaign may achieve a lot there. Who doesn't like free? The 90% of the population working the land will be for it overwhelmingly. Big studio like Disney etc already pissed people enough with crappy sequels, woke stupidities, being so poor at streaming that pirated content forever provided better experience than my subscription services. The 9% running the country, mostly lemon-sucking liberal puritans will be against. But if in the 1% owning the country the idea takes hold - then who knows?
Maybe some Latin patina may prod the insurgent currently not-established elite (but in the process of becoming the new establishment) to take up this cause? They already seem into RETVRN and Roman salutes - the TBTR wing of the Trump coalition. That they go all in and delete IP in a fit of retribution against the old order. Maybe in concert with some sort of seismic shake-off of US gerontocracy. (in Congress/Senate)
$ rm -rf "$IP" # leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
7:50 AM · Sep 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963909422813417568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She's is one person unstoppable wrecker. 😆 After tanking the helpless CON-s with the online safety act, and also now LAB who are stupid enough to actually implement the cursed legislation, she will tank REF too. 😂 People say intelligence is the strongest force in the universe. Well sticking a minus sign in front of it, changes it to stupidity. But it's still an awesome force. The one woman idiot wrecking ball is coming for REF too next. What a force of nature. 😂
11:17 AM · Sep 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She's is one person unstoppable wrecker. 😆 After tanking the helpless CON-s with the online safety act, and also now LAB who are stupid enough to actually implement the cursed legislation, she will tank REF too. 😂 People say intelligence is the strongest force in the universe. Well sticking a minus sign in front of it, changes it to stupidity. But it's still an awesome force. The one woman idiot wrecking ball is coming for REF too next. What a force of nature. 😂
11:17 AM · Sep 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963906626663895170
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are the best models we have got, of how us humans work. No other model has managed to reproduce aspects of humans as much as they have. Strictly speaking - they are not taking the best token 100% of the time. That produces boring output. They are sampling from the conditional distribution, so often they will take the 2nd, 3rd etc most likely token.
11:06 AM · Sep 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are the best models we have got, of how us humans work. No other model has managed to reproduce aspects of humans as much as they have. Strictly speaking - they are not taking the best token 100% of the time. That produces boring output. They are sampling from the conditional distribution, so often they will take the 2nd, 3rd etc most likely token.
11:06 AM · Sep 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963795153270734864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - but it's not merely about predicting language, predicting the next word, right? We've had N-gram models predicting the next word for decades, and no-one thought "that's intelligent". Is intelligence quessing correctly the killer in a crime novel, after reading through the entire novel, sans the last word? (that word being the name of the killer) To my mind - yes it is, if correct every time. It's not - if wrong every time.
Imo pattern recognition is "system 1". Usually detractors accept that current NNs achieve that. And quible about "system 2" - reasoning.
Multumodality - that's WIP as we see with models jointly modelling text, images, presumably to come audio and video.
Continuous learning - that everyone accepts they are lacking the most, can do none of that atm, see yesterday's @dwarkesh_sp and @RichardSSutton.
"A real thought proces" - one wd have to discuss what you mean by "thought", and what's "real" for you and what's not, I guess what's "a fake thought proces".
I just find it puzzling that one would say "they have to have N out of N", N-2 or N-1 don't cut it. Where you select specific N features, mostly looking at 1 individual human.
So not even considering that e.g. emotions (in the emotional intelligence) are most likely detracting, irrational, at individual level, and most likely evolved for implementing collective human intelligence, at group level. So emotions would be a feature of group intelligence imo. That will come in play too, when AI-s get to be many, and get to have to coordinate with each other.
Subconscious running specialised modules - again not something impossible for AI-s, we see that done at various levels.
This is too long to be discussing in a tweet will stop now.
3:43 AM · Sep 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - but it's not merely about predicting language, predicting the next word, right? We've had N-gram models predicting the next word for decades, and no-one thought "that's intelligent". Is intelligence quessing correctly the killer in a crime novel, after reading through the entire novel, sans the last word? (that word being the name of the killer) To my mind - yes it is, if correct every time. It's not - if wrong every time.
Imo pattern recognition is "system 1". Usually detractors accept that current NNs achieve that. And quible about "system 2" - reasoning.
Multumodality - that's WIP as we see with models jointly modelling text, images, presumably to come audio and video.
Continuous learning - that everyone accepts they are lacking the most, can do none of that atm, see yesterday's @dwarkesh_sp and @RichardSSutton.
"A real thought proces" - one wd have to discuss what you mean by "thought", and what's "real" for you and what's not, I guess what's "a fake thought proces".
I just find it puzzling that one would say "they have to have N out of N", N-2 or N-1 don't cut it. Where you select specific N features, mostly looking at 1 individual human.
So not even considering that e.g. emotions (in the emotional intelligence) are most likely detracting, irrational, at individual level, and most likely evolved for implementing collective human intelligence, at group level. So emotions would be a feature of group intelligence imo. That will come in play too, when AI-s get to be many, and get to have to coordinate with each other.
Subconscious running specialised modules - again not something impossible for AI-s, we see that done at various levels.
This is too long to be discussing in a tweet will stop now.
3:43 AM · Sep 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963730828951003590
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha. And what is your definition of intelligence, the one the LLM-s are not to be confused with?
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha. And what is your definition of intelligence, the one the LLM-s are not to be confused with?
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963665565014523919
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc one doesn't like the view. You are missing the point, like the OP: it's not the words, it's the quality of the words that makes the difference. Like in this anecdote "And the killer is ..."
Humans didn't like that the Sun, and the Cosmos didn't orbit around them, when they "ofc are at the centre of everything." Latter humans disliked that they were not made in God's image, by God almighty himself, but were just another leaf in the the tree of life. Latter after accepting we are not that apart from animals, and even share ancestors with some other monkeys - we still disliked being shown to be less rational than we thought of ourselves. 😂
The latest edition of "we are special" is that we can think, and nothing else can quite do the same. Despite observing intelligence, to some degree, in every living thing, from cells smaller than us, to societal ecosystems larger than us. B/c even our intelligence - is not individual, but collective. Should make us think twice before going "I'm special". But no - still our monkebrains whirr and whirr around, and come up with the "I'm special!" 😅
I mean - we are not totally wrong, every one of us is one and only, so true I'm special. But so was every other human that ever lived. And every living creature that ever was for that matter. So maybe not that special in the grand scheme of things. 😇
Ilya_Sutskever_Jensen_Huang_predicting_next_word_correct_is_understanding_detective_novel-Mar-2023-YT-GI4Tpi48DlA-20241026.mp4
7:08 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc one doesn't like the view. You are missing the point, like the OP: it's not the words, it's the quality of the words that makes the difference. Like in this anecdote "And the killer is ..."
Humans didn't like that the Sun, and the Cosmos didn't orbit around them, when they "ofc are at the centre of everything." Latter humans disliked that they were not made in God's image, by God almighty himself, but were just another leaf in the the tree of life. Latter after accepting we are not that apart from animals, and even share ancestors with some other monkeys - we still disliked being shown to be less rational than we thought of ourselves. 😂
The latest edition of "we are special" is that we can think, and nothing else can quite do the same. Despite observing intelligence, to some degree, in every living thing, from cells smaller than us, to societal ecosystems larger than us. B/c even our intelligence - is not individual, but collective. Should make us think twice before going "I'm special". But no - still our monkebrains whirr and whirr around, and come up with the "I'm special!" 😅
I mean - we are not totally wrong, every one of us is one and only, so true I'm special. But so was every other human that ever lived. And every living creature that ever was for that matter. So maybe not that special in the grand scheme of things. 😇
Ilya_Sutskever_Jensen_Huang_predicting_next_word_correct_is_understanding_detective_novel-Mar-2023-YT-GI4Tpi48DlA-20241026.mp4
7:08 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963661303337140233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Let me guess: self serving self-aggrandising clap-trap by a know-nothing, where he is smart-even-wise, good looking, virtuous, has the best intentions, that the Universe unfathomably helpfully aligns with him pocketing $Millions in the process. What's not to to like??
6:51 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Let me guess: self serving self-aggrandising clap-trap by a know-nothing, where he is smart-even-wise, good looking, virtuous, has the best intentions, that the Universe unfathomably helpfully aligns with him pocketing $Millions in the process. What's not to to like??
6:51 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963659677469716602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shocking!! Shocking news! Whatever next??
Brace brace brace, all brace now —
"Fatherhood Makes Man Happy!!!"
Whoah!! - yeah IK, who'd have thought it? Not the wordcel imbeciles running the commanding heights of our cultures, not them ofc
Quote
https://x.com/IterIntellectus/status/1963503729044238702
vittorio @IterIntellectus · 15h
Shocking!
Genuinely dumbfounded by this world shocking discovery
6:45 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shocking!! Shocking news! Whatever next??
Brace brace brace, all brace now —
"Fatherhood Makes Man Happy!!!"
Whoah!! - yeah IK, who'd have thought it? Not the wordcel imbeciles running the commanding heights of our cultures, not them ofc
Quote
https://x.com/IterIntellectus/status/1963503729044238702
vittorio @IterIntellectus · 15h
Shocking!
Genuinely dumbfounded by this world shocking discovery
6:45 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963658600003334343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And you yourself - you deliver the perfect, truthful, always correct answer, to every question, ever asked by everyone of the current living 8B humans, and plus some that lived in the past and left some questions written down for us - right? I don't think so. Free link for you dear JJ https://everythingisbullshit.blog
6:41 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And you yourself - you deliver the perfect, truthful, always correct answer, to every question, ever asked by everyone of the current living 8B humans, and plus some that lived in the past and left some questions written down for us - right? I don't think so. Free link for you dear JJ https://everythingisbullshit.blog
6:41 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963656646183587927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent 👌 idea! 👍
Not the least - for themselves!
Yeah IK they all run tests, at multiple levels, to detect breakages, errors, degradations... But still - at end user level, it's still fiendishly difficult, to auto-user-experience-test the real user experience. B/c we are talking about degradation, not breakage.
So yeah - running continuous IQ testing using 0.01% of the GPU production cluster, maybe a price worth paying.
I bet - not only will they once in a blue moon discover a top level degrade that wd otherwise have gone unnoticed. That's saving some reputation damage, but tbf not that big a deal in the grand scheme of things. I dislike DD (=Dario-the self-serving b/s-Doomer) as the next guy, yet: I don't think less of Anthropic for the balls-up. I actually think better of them post-mortem! For having got to the bottom of a problem like "after adding trillion trillions small numbers, close to zero but not quiet zero, on 100K boxes with 1M gpus, performance reached 95% of optimal, but not the desired 100%." It's a testament to their crafts!
No - I think with devoting small capacity of their production to monitoring of huge scale like this, they will notice emergent stuff, that they wouldn't have otherwise. They are crafty buggers (as seen with the getting to the bottom of the bug) - and they will make surprisingly good use of what looks like a bog standard production boring monitor. B/c the scale of it will make the big difference.
6:33 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent 👌 idea! 👍
Not the least - for themselves!
Yeah IK they all run tests, at multiple levels, to detect breakages, errors, degradations... But still - at end user level, it's still fiendishly difficult, to auto-user-experience-test the real user experience. B/c we are talking about degradation, not breakage.
So yeah - running continuous IQ testing using 0.01% of the GPU production cluster, maybe a price worth paying.
I bet - not only will they once in a blue moon discover a top level degrade that wd otherwise have gone unnoticed. That's saving some reputation damage, but tbf not that big a deal in the grand scheme of things. I dislike DD (=Dario-the self-serving b/s-Doomer) as the next guy, yet: I don't think less of Anthropic for the balls-up. I actually think better of them post-mortem! For having got to the bottom of a problem like "after adding trillion trillions small numbers, close to zero but not quiet zero, on 100K boxes with 1M gpus, performance reached 95% of optimal, but not the desired 100%." It's a testament to their crafts!
No - I think with devoting small capacity of their production to monitoring of huge scale like this, they will notice emergent stuff, that they wouldn't have otherwise. They are crafty buggers (as seen with the getting to the bottom of the bug) - and they will make surprisingly good use of what looks like a bog standard production boring monitor. B/c the scale of it will make the big difference.
6:33 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963631687306273082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing. Anything the gov morons will do - will be for the worse. Sheesh - have we not learned anything? There is no God, there is no good or competent government. (there are only the laws of physics; or information beneath it all if you like)
Government - they are just stationary bandits. A self-selected mafia conspiracy. They would murder you, and me, and our kids, in a blink of an eye, without thinking twice.
People think people in gov are "a bit bent". No - they are so beyond the pale, so gone, as to, for them, on killing 1000s of people by commission or ommisiona, the first and the last worry is - "how to not get caught, not held responsible." That's it. That's the extent to which gov feels responsible.
Category error there. You are not dealing with people like you and me. You are dealing with sociopaths, psychopaths, Lucifers personified.
4:54 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing. Anything the gov morons will do - will be for the worse. Sheesh - have we not learned anything? There is no God, there is no good or competent government. (there are only the laws of physics; or information beneath it all if you like)
Government - they are just stationary bandits. A self-selected mafia conspiracy. They would murder you, and me, and our kids, in a blink of an eye, without thinking twice.
People think people in gov are "a bit bent". No - they are so beyond the pale, so gone, as to, for them, on killing 1000s of people by commission or ommisiona, the first and the last worry is - "how to not get caught, not held responsible." That's it. That's the extent to which gov feels responsible.
Category error there. You are not dealing with people like you and me. You are dealing with sociopaths, psychopaths, Lucifers personified.
4:54 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963628464977629515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shocking!! Shocking - I tell you!
Speed running next year's big news, buut... hear me out now, brace brace for it — "fatherhood makes man happy!!!"
Whoah!! - yeah IK, who'd have thought it?? Not the wordcel imbeciles running the commanding heights of our cultures, no sirree.
4:41 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shocking!! Shocking - I tell you!
Speed running next year's big news, buut... hear me out now, brace brace for it — "fatherhood makes man happy!!!"
Whoah!! - yeah IK, who'd have thought it?? Not the wordcel imbeciles running the commanding heights of our cultures, no sirree.
4:41 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963619963614216485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 The secret is not in the matrix multiplications. The secret is having the most improbable numbers in those matrices. Dreamt up such, as to produce just the right answers, in the contexts at hand.
Never not amazed people go about "just" the next word, "just" a matrix multiple. 😅 It's not the next word nor the multiplication. It's the quality of the answer that we are all in awe and talking about.
4:07 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 The secret is not in the matrix multiplications. The secret is having the most improbable numbers in those matrices. Dreamt up such, as to produce just the right answers, in the contexts at hand.
Never not amazed people go about "just" the next word, "just" a matrix multiple. 😅 It's not the next word nor the multiplication. It's the quality of the answer that we are all in awe and talking about.
4:07 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963617012137017538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1st Next step gpt-5-thinking-high in OS API. 2nd Step GPT-OSS-next-gen runs on local hardware, cool & efficient. Have Ivy make the combo happen. Give AAPL-Tim-dead-man-walking optn to save his Co by partnering on hw+sw. FAO @sama. Admit more likely Cookie to miss this boat too.
3:55 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1st Next step gpt-5-thinking-high in OS API. 2nd Step GPT-OSS-next-gen runs on local hardware, cool & efficient. Have Ivy make the combo happen. Give AAPL-Tim-dead-man-walking optn to save his Co by partnering on hw+sw. FAO @sama. Admit more likely Cookie to miss this boat too.
3:55 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963613411213762930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well hello to you world's favourite physicist from Harpenden 😊
3:41 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well hello to you world's favourite physicist from Harpenden 😊
3:41 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963568856544182658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - that kind of question is more befitting a 5yo, I'm sorry to say. I expect it's a snake pit, the party politics. We've heard of "climbing the greasy pole", but that was in the olden days of "gentlemanly conduct." (always more in words than deeds) By now I expect it's "stab you in the back, and in the front, and in the head too for a good measure" - the party politics. Expect there will be 20 LAB-s in the top-100 brass actively working towards KS firing AR. People vying for top positions are not just small petty criminals fiddling the office expense kitty box. No - I expect them to be major psychopaths. So yes - I lot will be working 24/7 to kick out AR out of her position, as default, there is no need for "why", asking "why" is not understanding the game. The same way AR herself worked into her present position! These people levels of depravity are of the kind where killing of 1000s of people by commission or omission, is only ever a "will I get caught and lose my power my perks by having to resign" consideration. Ofc they know no one ever goes to jail, no matter what the crime. They are safe there, so (rightly) it'd not occur to them to worry about that. Us the plebs we have too rosy a picture of politicians.
12:44 PM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - that kind of question is more befitting a 5yo, I'm sorry to say. I expect it's a snake pit, the party politics. We've heard of "climbing the greasy pole", but that was in the olden days of "gentlemanly conduct." (always more in words than deeds) By now I expect it's "stab you in the back, and in the front, and in the head too for a good measure" - the party politics. Expect there will be 20 LAB-s in the top-100 brass actively working towards KS firing AR. People vying for top positions are not just small petty criminals fiddling the office expense kitty box. No - I expect them to be major psychopaths. So yes - I lot will be working 24/7 to kick out AR out of her position, as default, there is no need for "why", asking "why" is not understanding the game. The same way AR herself worked into her present position! These people levels of depravity are of the kind where killing of 1000s of people by commission or omission, is only ever a "will I get caught and lose my power my perks by having to resign" consideration. Ofc they know no one ever goes to jail, no matter what the crime. They are safe there, so (rightly) it'd not occur to them to worry about that. Us the plebs we have too rosy a picture of politicians.
12:44 PM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963554530496582084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My take on this is:
Short term - we should all use gpt-5-thinking more. I for the life of me couldn't understand how people in the UK are not freaking out, but dishing out millions, to leasehold properties that they don't own. And that revert to the freeholder after set number of years. I thought I misunderstood things when reading through the leageleese in the leese. Then GPT reading with me confirmed what I suspected: after term reversion, possibility of confiscation, unlimited liability Re: costs, any dispute and one better get a 2nd profession as advocate and litigator.
Long term - all present laws need to be worked through GPT-s with the remit to simplify and delete as much as possible, while still keeping the broad outlines, the intent of the laws to the extent it's clear enough. Where unclear - then DELETE. If DPM and her band of lawyers, conveyancers can fall foul of the laws, not understanding fully etc, then with 100% certainty every one of us UK citizens is in breach of some law. That is Stalin-levels danger, when the citizens in order to live ordinary lives, are effectively criminals-in-waiting. It's a sign that the laws are awful.
11:47 AM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My take on this is:
Short term - we should all use gpt-5-thinking more. I for the life of me couldn't understand how people in the UK are not freaking out, but dishing out millions, to leasehold properties that they don't own. And that revert to the freeholder after set number of years. I thought I misunderstood things when reading through the leageleese in the leese. Then GPT reading with me confirmed what I suspected: after term reversion, possibility of confiscation, unlimited liability Re: costs, any dispute and one better get a 2nd profession as advocate and litigator.
Long term - all present laws need to be worked through GPT-s with the remit to simplify and delete as much as possible, while still keeping the broad outlines, the intent of the laws to the extent it's clear enough. Where unclear - then DELETE. If DPM and her band of lawyers, conveyancers can fall foul of the laws, not understanding fully etc, then with 100% certainty every one of us UK citizens is in breach of some law. That is Stalin-levels danger, when the citizens in order to live ordinary lives, are effectively criminals-in-waiting. It's a sign that the laws are awful.
11:47 AM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963523672003518714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As customary by now - The Guardian is full of sh*t. Can't be bothered to click, I imagine it's a Mumbo-Jumbo cross-over between B/S-s of various sorts: B/S advice https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/bullshit-advice, B/S argument https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/arguing-is-bullshit, and B/S dooming https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/ai-doomerism-is-bullshit.
Hitting a trifecta the god'ole Guardinan there. What are the chances for it to be a random chance, haha. 😂 In general, the 1st (and 2nd, and ...) impulse of most of these gatekeepers is to scare the population senseless. It's all B/S in the purest form, well documented and articulated by @DavidPinsof's magisterial series of articles on contemporary B/S https://substack.com/@everythingisbullshit blog. These lemon sucking puritans go into overdrive at the thought, that someone, somewhere, might not be miserable 101% of the time.
The guardianista fashinista coalition, with red-green melonista soc-fash plebs, run by an elite of the most spineless craven of libs, is so pathetic by now - that one struggles to even wish them ill. Tragic stuff. It was youth ill spent to start with. By now degenerated into lifetimes wasted. Only that cynical acerbic commenter @MarinaHyde provides respite, when it dissolves few bodies in acid to relieve the tedium of idiocy permeating the place. Who knew - that "Idiocracy" was to to be found in both wings of the political spectrum?
From everythingisbullshit.blog
9:44 AM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As customary by now - The Guardian is full of sh*t. Can't be bothered to click, I imagine it's a Mumbo-Jumbo cross-over between B/S-s of various sorts: B/S advice https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/bullshit-advice, B/S argument https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/arguing-is-bullshit, and B/S dooming https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/ai-doomerism-is-bullshit.
Hitting a trifecta the god'ole Guardinan there. What are the chances for it to be a random chance, haha. 😂 In general, the 1st (and 2nd, and ...) impulse of most of these gatekeepers is to scare the population senseless. It's all B/S in the purest form, well documented and articulated by @DavidPinsof's magisterial series of articles on contemporary B/S https://substack.com/@everythingisbullshit blog. These lemon sucking puritans go into overdrive at the thought, that someone, somewhere, might not be miserable 101% of the time.
The guardianista fashinista coalition, with red-green melonista soc-fash plebs, run by an elite of the most spineless craven of libs, is so pathetic by now - that one struggles to even wish them ill. Tragic stuff. It was youth ill spent to start with. By now degenerated into lifetimes wasted. Only that cynical acerbic commenter @MarinaHyde provides respite, when it dissolves few bodies in acid to relieve the tedium of idiocy permeating the place. Who knew - that "Idiocracy" was to to be found in both wings of the political spectrum?
From everythingisbullshit.blog
9:44 AM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963428058968240323
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought it was good to start with. And with codex it's became sensational. Your perception of the reception being negative first, is based on dozen accounts that shout the loudest and earliest. Well - most of those are influencers are into harvesting clicks to pay their bills. Negativity sells was the old MSM MoE. Not sure that's the case any more in SocMed age.
3:25 AM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought it was good to start with. And with codex it's became sensational. Your perception of the reception being negative first, is based on dozen accounts that shout the loudest and earliest. Well - most of those are influencers are into harvesting clicks to pay their bills. Negativity sells was the old MSM MoE. Not sure that's the case any more in SocMed age.
3:25 AM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963378242590581002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Yep 👍 As far as I l'm concerned agi has arrived. The ghost in the machine - manifest! Manifests as
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
for me. I've got few personas working on random things on the laptop, they never have to stop stop. Next OS will have this in the OS API. There is no going back on this. I command codex, and Codex commands the shell. 😊 It's working well! (this https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192)
12:07 AM · Sep 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Yep 👍 As far as I l'm concerned agi has arrived. The ghost in the machine - manifest! Manifests as
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
for me. I've got few personas working on random things on the laptop, they never have to stop stop. Next OS will have this in the OS API. There is no going back on this. I command codex, and Codex commands the shell. 😊 It's working well! (this https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192)
12:07 AM · Sep 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963333162580230388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I get that, I'm vaguely familiar with the ideas proposal, incl about nano-tubules, but also further leaps of faith by e.g. Penrose. On on all that I think like Scott Aaronson (https://youtube.com/watch?v=nAMjv0NAESM&t=2176s, https://youtube.com/watch?v=ANFnUHcYza0, https://youtube.com/watch?v=XgCHZ1G93iA), what he says makes sense to my mind. Even in in the unlikely case any of those to pan out - imo all that is micro-scale. Like in photosynthesis - maybe it makes things run smoother, more efficient, but it's not fundamentally different, it's all computation. (except for Penrose - who departs few steps further, to uncomputability, maybe along this https://youtube.com/watch?v=_SpySWkHu7k)
I don't think your ideas are nonsense, don't worry. But even if they were - so what? Most of everyone's ideas turn out wrong on testing, on examination. People that achieve a lot - it's not that their hit rate is 10% as opposed to say 1% of any of us. No—their hit rate is 1% too, but they come up generate 10x more ideas than the rest of us pedestrian thinkers.
On whether quantum-anything will buy us much, I think like the differences between a bird vs. a plane. Both have wings, but a bird flaps them, a plane doesn't. There are pros- and cons- to both. A bird is much smaller lighter, doesn't need an airport, can re-produce self-create. The metal plane is lacking in all those things, but: it can ferry 100 tons of cargo in 24h to the ends of the world. Then repeat that 100 times, every day, for 100 days. It maybe those quantum effect are optimisation (like in photosynthesis) to make things work on 30W of power, and also to bootstrap on their own, from few molecules. That's all needed for analog intelligence, that is the human intelligence. In contrast, the digital intelligence that is artificial intelligence (AI) - they need 1000x times of that. So 30kW power, thousands of people working on them for years etc.
I think more like from computation PoV. The many worlds, may provide counter-factuals, things that could have plausibly happened, but didn't. So to give us extra data. That would be step 1 in addressing the curse of dimensionality. And then the step 2 to complete, would be to make use of it in some way that doesn't take too much time. So maybe something to do with quantum computation. If it is realised in some way.
More general, I would be looking how to harness laws for physics for computation.
So our physical world is magic, in a way that it runs minimisation of energy on its own. Left to its own devices, by magic, our real physical system finds its minimal energy point. That strikes me as a valuable computation that could be harnessed? This is I think @BasedBeffJezos idea.
The 2nd thing - and IDK quantum anything, very ignorant myself (the only things that ever make sense to me there is this lecture https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html, @DavidDeutschOxf talks like this https://youtube.com/watch?v=bux0SjaUCY0, and Vedral quantum information book), but get the impression that basically there is a computation there that's integration, summation of some sort, and is done again in physics. So that maybe useful for us, we can maybe make it compute something for us?
I wonder if someone that knows math can tell if these two operations (minimisation argmin, integration sum) are sufficient for anything, and what's that anything. IDK myself - not unlike yourself, I'm wildly speculating. :-) It's not a biggie, as long as one accepts that 99% (for me more than 99.9%) of times, one will be wrong. Any theory is a guess to start with. Some turn out the have been lucky guesses. :-)
For me tbh I see nothing but computation. That's our latest-greatest model of the world around us afaics. I see nothing else but counting, (we need time for that) and joint probability density functions p.d.f.s, observations, slicing the p.d.f.s, their conditioning, and marginalisation. IDK what else is there tbh. That's all the computation one needs. One p.d.f. per state, and again with time it's maybe moving from state to state. (at some point I put this in html to off-load it from my mind so I move on, here https://ljubomirj.github.io/post-knowing.html) Afaics we are in a goldilocks zone. Our default is 'aleatoric uncertainty', where we can reasonably guess the p.d.f. So ok not ideal, we don't know which one outcome happens when we throw a dice - but we do know how many, of each outcome! That's not nothing. Sometime we get to know which outcomes happen as well exactly! Then we are in luck - we got a Dirac impulse for a p.d.f. At other times we are unlucky, we got to deal with 'epistemic uncertainty', where not even the p.d.f. can be reasonably guessed: we don't know all the outcomes, and we count how many. But these occasions are not many I think? For otherwise our life our world of all living things would be impossible. To stay alive, at multiple levels, we have to forecast with some level of success >0 things about our world. And for that, we can't be completely ignorant about the p.d.f.s.
Sorry for this too long a message. I should have broken it but don't have the strength to go back and re-edit now. Sorry
9:07 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I get that, I'm vaguely familiar with the ideas proposal, incl about nano-tubules, but also further leaps of faith by e.g. Penrose. On on all that I think like Scott Aaronson (https://youtube.com/watch?v=nAMjv0NAESM&t=2176s, https://youtube.com/watch?v=ANFnUHcYza0, https://youtube.com/watch?v=XgCHZ1G93iA), what he says makes sense to my mind. Even in in the unlikely case any of those to pan out - imo all that is micro-scale. Like in photosynthesis - maybe it makes things run smoother, more efficient, but it's not fundamentally different, it's all computation. (except for Penrose - who departs few steps further, to uncomputability, maybe along this https://youtube.com/watch?v=_SpySWkHu7k)
I don't think your ideas are nonsense, don't worry. But even if they were - so what? Most of everyone's ideas turn out wrong on testing, on examination. People that achieve a lot - it's not that their hit rate is 10% as opposed to say 1% of any of us. No—their hit rate is 1% too, but they come up generate 10x more ideas than the rest of us pedestrian thinkers.
On whether quantum-anything will buy us much, I think like the differences between a bird vs. a plane. Both have wings, but a bird flaps them, a plane doesn't. There are pros- and cons- to both. A bird is much smaller lighter, doesn't need an airport, can re-produce self-create. The metal plane is lacking in all those things, but: it can ferry 100 tons of cargo in 24h to the ends of the world. Then repeat that 100 times, every day, for 100 days. It maybe those quantum effect are optimisation (like in photosynthesis) to make things work on 30W of power, and also to bootstrap on their own, from few molecules. That's all needed for analog intelligence, that is the human intelligence. In contrast, the digital intelligence that is artificial intelligence (AI) - they need 1000x times of that. So 30kW power, thousands of people working on them for years etc.
I think more like from computation PoV. The many worlds, may provide counter-factuals, things that could have plausibly happened, but didn't. So to give us extra data. That would be step 1 in addressing the curse of dimensionality. And then the step 2 to complete, would be to make use of it in some way that doesn't take too much time. So maybe something to do with quantum computation. If it is realised in some way.
More general, I would be looking how to harness laws for physics for computation.
So our physical world is magic, in a way that it runs minimisation of energy on its own. Left to its own devices, by magic, our real physical system finds its minimal energy point. That strikes me as a valuable computation that could be harnessed? This is I think @BasedBeffJezos idea.
The 2nd thing - and IDK quantum anything, very ignorant myself (the only things that ever make sense to me there is this lecture https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html, @DavidDeutschOxf talks like this https://youtube.com/watch?v=bux0SjaUCY0, and Vedral quantum information book), but get the impression that basically there is a computation there that's integration, summation of some sort, and is done again in physics. So that maybe useful for us, we can maybe make it compute something for us?
I wonder if someone that knows math can tell if these two operations (minimisation argmin, integration sum) are sufficient for anything, and what's that anything. IDK myself - not unlike yourself, I'm wildly speculating. :-) It's not a biggie, as long as one accepts that 99% (for me more than 99.9%) of times, one will be wrong. Any theory is a guess to start with. Some turn out the have been lucky guesses. :-)
For me tbh I see nothing but computation. That's our latest-greatest model of the world around us afaics. I see nothing else but counting, (we need time for that) and joint probability density functions p.d.f.s, observations, slicing the p.d.f.s, their conditioning, and marginalisation. IDK what else is there tbh. That's all the computation one needs. One p.d.f. per state, and again with time it's maybe moving from state to state. (at some point I put this in html to off-load it from my mind so I move on, here https://ljubomirj.github.io/post-knowing.html) Afaics we are in a goldilocks zone. Our default is 'aleatoric uncertainty', where we can reasonably guess the p.d.f. So ok not ideal, we don't know which one outcome happens when we throw a dice - but we do know how many, of each outcome! That's not nothing. Sometime we get to know which outcomes happen as well exactly! Then we are in luck - we got a Dirac impulse for a p.d.f. At other times we are unlucky, we got to deal with 'epistemic uncertainty', where not even the p.d.f. can be reasonably guessed: we don't know all the outcomes, and we count how many. But these occasions are not many I think? For otherwise our life our world of all living things would be impossible. To stay alive, at multiple levels, we have to forecast with some level of success >0 things about our world. And for that, we can't be completely ignorant about the p.d.f.s.
Sorry for this too long a message. I should have broken it but don't have the strength to go back and re-edit now. Sorry
9:07 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963307768808390957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The idea that a simple molecule, a pigment then our bodies express more or less, in the process of adapting to variable sun exposure, that this one simple molecule wd then go on, and influence myriad of other things - this insane idea somehow took hold in popular imagination. It's one of the stupidest, craziest ideas one can think of. Untill recently tbh - now we got unpasteurised milk crazy that I think maybe competitive.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The idea that a simple molecule, a pigment then our bodies express more or less, in the process of adapting to variable sun exposure, that this one simple molecule wd then go on, and influence myriad of other things - this insane idea somehow took hold in popular imagination. It's one of the stupidest, craziest ideas one can think of. Untill recently tbh - now we got unpasteurised milk crazy that I think maybe competitive.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963296958036037728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well lucky us then, just in time we are smarting up on the many-worlds.
"Secret Master Plan" 😂 -
"Un") Multiple universes supply us the counterfactuals we need in the data space, supply us with enough data for us to outrun the curse of dimensionality.
"Deux") Some clever trick with quantum-compute-this-and-that allows to compute to process that data better than exponential, just-in-time before the death of our universe is upon us.
Expect someone to come up with a plan like it? After Muskie "Tesla Secret Master Plan, Un" ("start wh tiny sports car - low weight, high torque, customer price insensitive)
Don't see to step three atm, sorry dinner's waiting. TBD - come back on this after re-supply of spice in due time. 😂
6:44 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well lucky us then, just in time we are smarting up on the many-worlds.
"Secret Master Plan" 😂 -
"Un") Multiple universes supply us the counterfactuals we need in the data space, supply us with enough data for us to outrun the curse of dimensionality.
"Deux") Some clever trick with quantum-compute-this-and-that allows to compute to process that data better than exponential, just-in-time before the death of our universe is upon us.
Expect someone to come up with a plan like it? After Muskie "Tesla Secret Master Plan, Un" ("start wh tiny sports car - low weight, high torque, customer price insensitive)
Don't see to step three atm, sorry dinner's waiting. TBD - come back on this after re-supply of spice in due time. 😂
6:44 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963291439011696738
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time to invest in new benchmark Cos. Expect AGI to be like an orchestra. To have one conductor, coordinating the individual specialised modules. This is our brain organisation afaics to the best of our knowledge. But hey - silicon maybe different to carbon, so wdik?
Except: the same pattern is repeated one up, at societal level. It's not that individual human is the most powerful in the animal kingdom. No - any wild cat can eat us, any wild cow can trample us, every big fish or other water nastie can drown us, parcel us eat us. No - the intelligence that puts us at the top of the food chain, is our collective, group intelligence. (good portion of our stupidity is social too - @skdh got a good YT vid) That's why I suspect that ASI will be a concert orchestra of AGI-s. And for them to coordinate, (cooperate + compete) they will I imagine evolve similar "irrational" (from the PoV of the individual/AGI; but entirely rational from group/ASI PoV) features like feelings, status ranking beauty contests games etc.
6:22 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time to invest in new benchmark Cos. Expect AGI to be like an orchestra. To have one conductor, coordinating the individual specialised modules. This is our brain organisation afaics to the best of our knowledge. But hey - silicon maybe different to carbon, so wdik?
Except: the same pattern is repeated one up, at societal level. It's not that individual human is the most powerful in the animal kingdom. No - any wild cat can eat us, any wild cow can trample us, every big fish or other water nastie can drown us, parcel us eat us. No - the intelligence that puts us at the top of the food chain, is our collective, group intelligence. (good portion of our stupidity is social too - @skdh got a good YT vid) That's why I suspect that ASI will be a concert orchestra of AGI-s. And for them to coordinate, (cooperate + compete) they will I imagine evolve similar "irrational" (from the PoV of the individual/AGI; but entirely rational from group/ASI PoV) features like feelings, status ranking beauty contests games etc.
6:22 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963286363714748803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why?? What else is there? - Magic? The immaculate soul?
Nothing there but counting, joint p.d.f, observations, slicing the p.d.f, conditioning, marginalisation. IDK what else is there tbh. That's all the computation one needs. One p.d.f. per state, and time is maybe moving state to state.
We are in a goldilocks zone - out default is aleatoric uncertainty, we can reasonably guess the p.d.f. So ok not ideal, we don't know which one - but we do know how many! That's not nothing. Sometime we get to know which one as well exactly! We are in luck - a Dirac impulse for a p.d.f. there. Ok, other times we are unlucky, got to deal with epistemic uncertainty. That's a biach - not even the p.d.f. can be reasonably guessed. But these occasions are not many, as witnessed by the fact that we are alive and kicking rn. 🥰
6:01 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why?? What else is there? - Magic? The immaculate soul?
Nothing there but counting, joint p.d.f, observations, slicing the p.d.f, conditioning, marginalisation. IDK what else is there tbh. That's all the computation one needs. One p.d.f. per state, and time is maybe moving state to state.
We are in a goldilocks zone - out default is aleatoric uncertainty, we can reasonably guess the p.d.f. So ok not ideal, we don't know which one - but we do know how many! That's not nothing. Sometime we get to know which one as well exactly! We are in luck - a Dirac impulse for a p.d.f. there. Ok, other times we are unlucky, got to deal with epistemic uncertainty. That's a biach - not even the p.d.f. can be reasonably guessed. But these occasions are not many, as witnessed by the fact that we are alive and kicking rn. 🥰
6:01 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963284009800102302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a reply-guy more than a post-er one, enough to notice this: it's an algo fail for own forward of own reply to get more engagement than the original replay. Maybe the timeliness decay is to blame? IDK. Why fail? For one - the context is lost, a forward of a reply should be less interesting than the reply given the forward lacks the OP, while the reply has got the OP context. I get it - shameless self promotion and all that, but: Algofeed is ego-less, it shd be possible for it to correct for that fail (exhibit A - my TL https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live)
5:52 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a reply-guy more than a post-er one, enough to notice this: it's an algo fail for own forward of own reply to get more engagement than the original replay. Maybe the timeliness decay is to blame? IDK. Why fail? For one - the context is lost, a forward of a reply should be less interesting than the reply given the forward lacks the OP, while the reply has got the OP context. I get it - shameless self promotion and all that, but: Algofeed is ego-less, it shd be possible for it to correct for that fail (exhibit A - my TL https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live)
5:52 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963281435126530460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It always bothered me that "Science", in the "Computer Science". We should get rid of that - just call it "Computing". As a rule of thumb - disciplines that are not sciences, append "Science" ("Social Science" etc), to bestow upon themselves the patina of science. For the scientific method has been quite good, has a good track record. So for that, for the aspiration, I don't actually begrudge these disciplines the "Science" appendix.
But Computing has actually gone past that. Computing has been useful to billions of people now, improved their lives. It's "fake it till you make it" all right, fair enough - but Computing has made it now. Don't need to pretend any more. Drop Science in "Computer Science". Just "Computing" suffices. Or "Computation"? IDK what people prefer. Physics, Chemistry, Biology - Computation? (rather than Computing)
5:42 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It always bothered me that "Science", in the "Computer Science". We should get rid of that - just call it "Computing". As a rule of thumb - disciplines that are not sciences, append "Science" ("Social Science" etc), to bestow upon themselves the patina of science. For the scientific method has been quite good, has a good track record. So for that, for the aspiration, I don't actually begrudge these disciplines the "Science" appendix.
But Computing has actually gone past that. Computing has been useful to billions of people now, improved their lives. It's "fake it till you make it" all right, fair enough - but Computing has made it now. Don't need to pretend any more. Drop Science in "Computer Science". Just "Computing" suffices. Or "Computation"? IDK what people prefer. Physics, Chemistry, Biology - Computation? (rather than Computing)
5:42 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963271166262444391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that. I appreciate it fr! 🙏 (one-person-army contact is precious 😊 )
On the remark by someone earlier that you have 10x more fwd passes: see if you can use 10x more neurons, to get away from the 10x passes 10x more time spent.
Human brain has 10x-100x more connections. It does do more than LLM-s in some domains (but less in others), but I do wonder - does it do **that much** more?
Maybe the brain's got some trick, where 10x more time (impossible to have) is replaced by 10x more space? (possible to have - even if costly) This is not uncommon in CompSci - to trade time and space one for another. For the brain is in competition with other brains life forms. They compete to eat each other. The 1st brain that 1) works minimally well enough to eat at all; and 2) is better than the rest - that guy eats the rest. So it's very unlikely, that the brain to be doing something as massively inefficient, as using x10 times more resource than minimally needed, for no reason at all whatsoever.
Aside. Thanks for the AMD GPU article. (can't find the url rn) You inspired me to get one or two now. I couldn't bring myself to buy Nvidia local GPU - for the price, but also for pytorch. I didn't put the 1+1 together - with AMD can use @__tinygrad__, that I already fancied to try?? Advice back for a laptop: get a 2nd had MBP (I got M2 96GB RAM - try get max 128GB if you can) for large size MoE-s inference. That works well.
I was stuck in netherland wrt local training. Yeah IK cloud training can be had even for $10 (e.g. PI) - but it's 1) more of a chore 2) adds up, but most of all 3) I like my independence of one-person-army. 😁
5:01 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that. I appreciate it fr! 🙏 (one-person-army contact is precious 😊 )
On the remark by someone earlier that you have 10x more fwd passes: see if you can use 10x more neurons, to get away from the 10x passes 10x more time spent.
Human brain has 10x-100x more connections. It does do more than LLM-s in some domains (but less in others), but I do wonder - does it do **that much** more?
Maybe the brain's got some trick, where 10x more time (impossible to have) is replaced by 10x more space? (possible to have - even if costly) This is not uncommon in CompSci - to trade time and space one for another. For the brain is in competition with other brains life forms. They compete to eat each other. The 1st brain that 1) works minimally well enough to eat at all; and 2) is better than the rest - that guy eats the rest. So it's very unlikely, that the brain to be doing something as massively inefficient, as using x10 times more resource than minimally needed, for no reason at all whatsoever.
Aside. Thanks for the AMD GPU article. (can't find the url rn) You inspired me to get one or two now. I couldn't bring myself to buy Nvidia local GPU - for the price, but also for pytorch. I didn't put the 1+1 together - with AMD can use @__tinygrad__, that I already fancied to try?? Advice back for a laptop: get a 2nd had MBP (I got M2 96GB RAM - try get max 128GB if you can) for large size MoE-s inference. That works well.
I was stuck in netherland wrt local training. Yeah IK cloud training can be had even for $10 (e.g. PI) - but it's 1) more of a chore 2) adds up, but most of all 3) I like my independence of one-person-army. 😁
5:01 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963260321147031983
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I just discovered it yesterday. Probably @danwilliamsphil (or @paulbloomatyale ??) highlighted something from some post? Well - been floating on air now for ~20 hours. :-) What a find @DavidPinsof is?? It's just so so good... (for me...) Gorging on YT talks and podcasts atm :-)
4:18 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I just discovered it yesterday. Probably @danwilliamsphil (or @paulbloomatyale ??) highlighted something from some post? Well - been floating on air now for ~20 hours. :-) What a find @DavidPinsof is?? It's just so so good... (for me...) Gorging on YT talks and podcasts atm :-)
4:18 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963250728937386120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - many such cases, this is only case#1.
The liberal wordcels lording over us are cowardly - but that can be excused. What's not excusable is how stupid, how intellectually challenged they are too. Just moronic head to toe.
Liberty was to be the one redeeming feature. This example identified by a member of the same/our tribe in a rare moment of self reflection
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196Ofc
That self reflecting as feeble as it was, stopped at example#1. Didn't continue onto few other holly cows overdue for sloter. Same old same old - "can't loose too many dinner invitations now", can we?
3:40 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - many such cases, this is only case#1.
The liberal wordcels lording over us are cowardly - but that can be excused. What's not excusable is how stupid, how intellectually challenged they are too. Just moronic head to toe.
Liberty was to be the one redeeming feature. This example identified by a member of the same/our tribe in a rare moment of self reflection
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196Ofc
That self reflecting as feeble as it was, stopped at example#1. Didn't continue onto few other holly cows overdue for sloter. Same old same old - "can't loose too many dinner invitations now", can we?
3:40 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963247420327841913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking in the opposite direction - she should use try use even more memory, to trade back clove back that 10x time spend.
3:27 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking in the opposite direction - she should use try use even more memory, to trade back clove back that 10x time spend.
3:27 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963246888217399559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS - but maybe she can trade 10x time for 10x space. Maybe that's why we humans have 10x surplus connections?? We trade time for space? Makes sense, the trade-off: we can 10x space moderately easy (costs energy but doable), in a way we can't 10x time (impossible).
3:25 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS - but maybe she can trade 10x time for 10x space. Maybe that's why we humans have 10x surplus connections?? We trade time for space? Makes sense, the trade-off: we can 10x space moderately easy (costs energy but doable), in a way we can't 10x time (impossible).
3:25 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963245268012335181
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, curiously - so we got Type 1 pattern recognition working aka pre-training. Took us a long time. Now with reasoning models, hypothesis generation and rollout, pruning, searching etc - we are putting together Type 2 reasoning intelligence into production.
I love this as the next guy - it's glorious! 🥰 So I decided to move back to ML/AI and away from printing $$$ in quant trading. This is so so much fun!
Onto next steps. Afaics generating novel hypothesis is another feat of goldilocks. Not 'too same' as to be a nothing burger if we solve it (so we learn nothing). Not 'too difficult' as for us to not solve it, and learn nothing again. But - just right. Quantified, looks like that amount of novelty - and I like the "skipping stones" metaphor I heard @jeffclune articulate! - is about 20% "novelty".
I was wondering what's next after "open endedness", and then I read this https://substack.com/home/post/p-155196514 by @DavidPinsof. Minor - confirmed what I already thought about the silly doomers, and articulated more arguments and 100x times better than I ever could. But, majorly - it confirmed what I had a nagging suspicion of: our human brain is an orchestra of specialised modules, performing in a concert. That's how humans rule the world. So AGI will have specialised modules + conductor.
Further - the way we are internally, is the way we are externally too! Our intelligence, and stupidity too - are collective. The conductor, or rather the process of conductance and that includes conducting but is not limited to - will be the next step towards ASI. Afaics we are nowhere close ASI. We maybe getting closer to AGI, fleshing out the interfaces outlined above. But ASI will involve scaling up groups of AGI-s, the way human intelligence is scaled up in the collective intelligence that is our society. Consciousness being at AGI level (a level down from ASI) looks a minor thing. Major stuff is everything else ex-intelligence. Where we get to our feelings, status games we play, etc - and yes inc delusions at AGI level that give rise to reality modelling at ASI level. (not available to AGI.)
I'm loving this 😍 - sorry to repeat myself.
3:18 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, curiously - so we got Type 1 pattern recognition working aka pre-training. Took us a long time. Now with reasoning models, hypothesis generation and rollout, pruning, searching etc - we are putting together Type 2 reasoning intelligence into production.
I love this as the next guy - it's glorious! 🥰 So I decided to move back to ML/AI and away from printing $$$ in quant trading. This is so so much fun!
Onto next steps. Afaics generating novel hypothesis is another feat of goldilocks. Not 'too same' as to be a nothing burger if we solve it (so we learn nothing). Not 'too difficult' as for us to not solve it, and learn nothing again. But - just right. Quantified, looks like that amount of novelty - and I like the "skipping stones" metaphor I heard @jeffclune articulate! - is about 20% "novelty".
I was wondering what's next after "open endedness", and then I read this https://substack.com/home/post/p-155196514 by @DavidPinsof. Minor - confirmed what I already thought about the silly doomers, and articulated more arguments and 100x times better than I ever could. But, majorly - it confirmed what I had a nagging suspicion of: our human brain is an orchestra of specialised modules, performing in a concert. That's how humans rule the world. So AGI will have specialised modules + conductor.
Further - the way we are internally, is the way we are externally too! Our intelligence, and stupidity too - are collective. The conductor, or rather the process of conductance and that includes conducting but is not limited to - will be the next step towards ASI. Afaics we are nowhere close ASI. We maybe getting closer to AGI, fleshing out the interfaces outlined above. But ASI will involve scaling up groups of AGI-s, the way human intelligence is scaled up in the collective intelligence that is our society. Consciousness being at AGI level (a level down from ASI) looks a minor thing. Major stuff is everything else ex-intelligence. Where we get to our feelings, status games we play, etc - and yes inc delusions at AGI level that give rise to reality modelling at ASI level. (not available to AGI.)
I'm loving this 😍 - sorry to repeat myself.
3:18 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963228880136699929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - that was the gist. That being adapted to the environment is good. But there is a thing of being **too adapted** to the environment. As the environment is not static, the environment changes as well too! So there is a goldilocks zone there - want to be adapted, but not too much adapted.
I'm fond if this b/c I did some training on masked models. And adapting models to noise, by masking features. In another lifetime at about ~2000s. :-) Different times different considerations though: the models were tiny, computers too, so while overfitting was a consideration, it was one of many.
2:13 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - that was the gist. That being adapted to the environment is good. But there is a thing of being **too adapted** to the environment. As the environment is not static, the environment changes as well too! So there is a goldilocks zone there - want to be adapted, but not too much adapted.
I'm fond if this b/c I did some training on masked models. And adapting models to noise, by masking features. In another lifetime at about ~2000s. :-) Different times different considerations though: the models were tiny, computers too, so while overfitting was a consideration, it was one of many.
2:13 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963200748520411203
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks I am enjoying my crisps rn. For anyone reading this in the future - file Johnny acc under https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/bullshit-adv. For gross stupidity - blocked
12:21 PM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks I am enjoying my crisps rn. For anyone reading this in the future - file Johnny acc under https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/bullshit-adv. For gross stupidity - blocked
12:21 PM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963170857204797586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's evergreen now. Not only how cowardly our wordcels liberals ruling us are, but how stupid, just intellectualy challenged they are too. Just terrible head to toe. Liberty was to be the one redeeming feature?
One example identified by a member of the same/ours tribe in a rare moment of self reflection
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
Ofc the self reflecting stopped at example#1, instead of continuing onto few other holly cows overdue for slother. Can't loose too many dinner invitations now can we.
10:23 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's evergreen now. Not only how cowardly our wordcels liberals ruling us are, but how stupid, just intellectualy challenged they are too. Just terrible head to toe. Liberty was to be the one redeeming feature?
One example identified by a member of the same/ours tribe in a rare moment of self reflection
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
Ofc the self reflecting stopped at example#1, instead of continuing onto few other holly cows overdue for slother. Can't loose too many dinner invitations now can we.
10:23 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963164854442758516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 like losing weight, like few other things too: the theory is trivially simple, the practice is between very hard and impossible 😭
9:59 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 like losing weight, like few other things too: the theory is trivially simple, the practice is between very hard and impossible 😭
9:59 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963155326292680792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dude - you told me stuff about myself. IDK if I still can learn a language. But ofc I could - for I have done it in the past. I'm somewhat aware how language learning works. In practice - in addition to my native language, I learned another language as a young child when I started reading. And a third languge few years latter mid-childhood and into teenage hood and all the way to now. (still learning) In theory and practice - I had worked on making computers learn to recognise, and create speech. I know things, I'm not ignorant. I try not to give advice lightly.
9:21 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dude - you told me stuff about myself. IDK if I still can learn a language. But ofc I could - for I have done it in the past. I'm somewhat aware how language learning works. In practice - in addition to my native language, I learned another language as a young child when I started reading. And a third languge few years latter mid-childhood and into teenage hood and all the way to now. (still learning) In theory and practice - I had worked on making computers learn to recognise, and create speech. I know things, I'm not ignorant. I try not to give advice lightly.
9:21 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963153428265226713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are telling me, what I can, and can't do?? What's this - the DuoLingo-employees-United forum? Where does this gale to tell perfect strangers of which you know little, things about themselves, incl - what they can and can't learn, what they should or shouldn't do, come from?? You don't know me. I can't 'learn' a new language at 'any' age. Maybe you can. The claim rests on what "learn" and "any" mean in this context anyway. Filed under https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/bullshit-advice
9:13 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are telling me, what I can, and can't do?? What's this - the DuoLingo-employees-United forum? Where does this gale to tell perfect strangers of which you know little, things about themselves, incl - what they can and can't learn, what they should or shouldn't do, come from?? You don't know me. I can't 'learn' a new language at 'any' age. Maybe you can. The claim rests on what "learn" and "any" mean in this context anyway. Filed under https://everythingisbullshit.blog/p/bullshit-advice
9:13 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963133813875241132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your post sucks, and maybe you suck too. Your post is a status power play of the kind common in monkebrain-s that goes "nah-na-nana - look at me, I'm good at this, you are bad at it, I'm more worthy of you - suckeers!" IK what the OP was about. Amount of accent is not unimportant in our assessment of language acquisition. (remember reading a good study relating the amount of accent, to the age at which a child immigrated to a contry) I didn't claim my pet theory was new. Sharpen your reading comprehension, and don't tell me about billion of other things I didn't say.
7:55 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your post sucks, and maybe you suck too. Your post is a status power play of the kind common in monkebrain-s that goes "nah-na-nana - look at me, I'm good at this, you are bad at it, I'm more worthy of you - suckeers!" IK what the OP was about. Amount of accent is not unimportant in our assessment of language acquisition. (remember reading a good study relating the amount of accent, to the age at which a child immigrated to a contry) I didn't claim my pet theory was new. Sharpen your reading comprehension, and don't tell me about billion of other things I didn't say.
7:55 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963131444915511479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I started using em-dash, in addition to using en-dash and hyphen (of which I took no notice of the difference - but now I do), after I saw ChatGPT do it. Now I know on a Mac keyboard it's "option-dash". I'm annoyed to have to copy&paste peck from existing text for the same "—" on Linux. Where I promptly forget how to get it on the keyboard every time soon after ChatGPT tells me how.
But now a recent twist on this. Recently I noticed pathetic humans inventing a new ranked sorting for establishing status, this time - and this is hard to believe - on argmin{number of em dashes}!! That annoyed me greatly. Our monkebrain racing quickly "how do I use the latest tech to re-enact beauty contest to re-establish caveman hierarchy in newly changed circumstance? Ah - bingo! argmin{em-dash} is it!" Us humans making extra effort, going out of our way, to remain moron-grug-s! At non-zero cost. Pathetic - best ridiculed and mocked without mercy.
Well, from now on, I go out of my way, to put at least one em dash, but ideally mix all three types (em, en, hyphen) in my writing. So to tax the mental faculties of the monkebrains. Brainrot them a bit, confuse the enemy, keep him busy occupied pegged close to 100% counting for the rank sort. So they exhaust themselves, and fail to enact (maybe even give up on?) the latest stupidity. Sow confusion in the monkebrains subjects of my derision.
7:46 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I started using em-dash, in addition to using en-dash and hyphen (of which I took no notice of the difference - but now I do), after I saw ChatGPT do it. Now I know on a Mac keyboard it's "option-dash". I'm annoyed to have to copy&paste peck from existing text for the same "—" on Linux. Where I promptly forget how to get it on the keyboard every time soon after ChatGPT tells me how.
But now a recent twist on this. Recently I noticed pathetic humans inventing a new ranked sorting for establishing status, this time - and this is hard to believe - on argmin{number of em dashes}!! That annoyed me greatly. Our monkebrain racing quickly "how do I use the latest tech to re-enact beauty contest to re-establish caveman hierarchy in newly changed circumstance? Ah - bingo! argmin{em-dash} is it!" Us humans making extra effort, going out of our way, to remain moron-grug-s! At non-zero cost. Pathetic - best ridiculed and mocked without mercy.
Well, from now on, I go out of my way, to put at least one em dash, but ideally mix all three types (em, en, hyphen) in my writing. So to tax the mental faculties of the monkebrains. Brainrot them a bit, confuse the enemy, keep him busy occupied pegged close to 100% counting for the rank sort. So they exhaust themselves, and fail to enact (maybe even give up on?) the latest stupidity. Sow confusion in the monkebrains subjects of my derision.
7:46 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963127628530847880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😁 - not saying not, it's latest-greatest of our models about our world, and we should use it. (e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921759603542331607) Q: you must have seen the wheel→word→mechanical clock→ computer meme. 😂 It's not that much of a critique, (easy A: "so what" - if we are slow learners; still better than "no learners", that's the point, to keep improving our models of our worlds), still amusing. Do you make anything of it? This meme:
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 12
Replying to @willdepue
Sounds good to me? Atm computing is the best abstraction we got at our disposal. Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful machine humans have built. Ofc we should use it. It would be silly not to.
I can see how and why we people object to changing metaphors:
Show more
7:31 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😁 - not saying not, it's latest-greatest of our models about our world, and we should use it. (e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921759603542331607) Q: you must have seen the wheel→word→mechanical clock→ computer meme. 😂 It's not that much of a critique, (easy A: "so what" - if we are slow learners; still better than "no learners", that's the point, to keep improving our models of our worlds), still amusing. Do you make anything of it? This meme:
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 12
Replying to @willdepue
Sounds good to me? Atm computing is the best abstraction we got at our disposal. Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful machine humans have built. Ofc we should use it. It would be silly not to.
I can see how and why we people object to changing metaphors:
Show more
7:31 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963125280467226786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like a skill issue to me on part of Tesla.
Yes, I see how more data can make me uncertain. Say I'm reasonably certain that I'm free of cancer, say odds are 90:10 at my age. Low uncertainty, I'm fairly certain I've not got cancer. Now I take a cancer test - it comes back positive. For the people of my age, that tested positive, the odds of having cancer for real are 50:50. So now after this latest data point, and latest update of my p.d.f - I'm less certain than previously. In fact, I'm in a state of perfect ignorance! It's a coin flip for me now - have, or have I not, got cancer.
Two sensors instead of one are like that. Yes, they can confuse us when contradictory. No, it does not mean they always will. It's a skill issue to make two sensors work better than a single sensor. Yes, it will take more CPU power probably. But one should be able to improve the accuracy of the forecasts.
7:21 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like a skill issue to me on part of Tesla.
Yes, I see how more data can make me uncertain. Say I'm reasonably certain that I'm free of cancer, say odds are 90:10 at my age. Low uncertainty, I'm fairly certain I've not got cancer. Now I take a cancer test - it comes back positive. For the people of my age, that tested positive, the odds of having cancer for real are 50:50. So now after this latest data point, and latest update of my p.d.f - I'm less certain than previously. In fact, I'm in a state of perfect ignorance! It's a coin flip for me now - have, or have I not, got cancer.
Two sensors instead of one are like that. Yes, they can confuse us when contradictory. No, it does not mean they always will. It's a skill issue to make two sensors work better than a single sensor. Yes, it will take more CPU power probably. But one should be able to improve the accuracy of the forecasts.
7:21 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963122424376864971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learning new language after the end of the final brain development (post-puberty, after the teenage years) is impossible without accent for most humans. Few super-language learners exists, but are a tiny minority. It's very hard at any level for most of us. (my pet theory - the surplus neurons we are born with as babies are finally pruned; hardware is lacking for a feat like acquiring a new language well)
It's like losing weight: in theory it's 'obvious' what I am supposed to do. In practice, it's but impossible for me to learn it well enough, for long enough, to actually execute on the 'theory' in practice.
After decades of middling effort, we are on the cusp of creating at least the 1st half of the Babelfish device. We should concentrate more on that -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962481275391852824
7:10 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learning new language after the end of the final brain development (post-puberty, after the teenage years) is impossible without accent for most humans. Few super-language learners exists, but are a tiny minority. It's very hard at any level for most of us. (my pet theory - the surplus neurons we are born with as babies are finally pruned; hardware is lacking for a feat like acquiring a new language well)
It's like losing weight: in theory it's 'obvious' what I am supposed to do. In practice, it's but impossible for me to learn it well enough, for long enough, to actually execute on the 'theory' in practice.
After decades of middling effort, we are on the cusp of creating at least the 1st half of the Babelfish device. We should concentrate more on that -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962481275391852824
7:10 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1963112798130524267
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I expressed myself poorly. I was taught in history lessons at school. But couldn't internalise what I was taught, for it didn't make much sense to me. So it flew over my head, didn't learn it much. Like a case of "I hear what you say, I'm not saying that what you say is untrue, yet find it hard to believe that it's true".
6:32 AM · Sep 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I expressed myself poorly. I was taught in history lessons at school. But couldn't internalise what I was taught, for it didn't make much sense to me. So it flew over my head, didn't learn it much. Like a case of "I hear what you say, I'm not saying that what you say is untrue, yet find it hard to believe that it's true".
6:32 AM · Sep 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962979889239261316
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - isn't the motivation the idea similar to the original masking of neurons during training? Think @geoffreyhinton explained in some interview: he got the idea after listening to some evolution guy explain why they think most life reproduces sexually, as opposed to a-sexually, that has a lower cost. Sexual reproduction being one of the mysteries of evolution: why, after adapting the organism to the environment, through hard work selecting the right combination of genes, it's to evolutionary advantage to then throw 1/2 of them, at random (!!) in the bin, and replace them with the genes of some other unit?? Makes not sense! Except...
9:44 PM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - isn't the motivation the idea similar to the original masking of neurons during training? Think @geoffreyhinton explained in some interview: he got the idea after listening to some evolution guy explain why they think most life reproduces sexually, as opposed to a-sexually, that has a lower cost. Sexual reproduction being one of the mysteries of evolution: why, after adapting the organism to the environment, through hard work selecting the right combination of genes, it's to evolutionary advantage to then throw 1/2 of them, at random (!!) in the bin, and replace them with the genes of some other unit?? Makes not sense! Except...
9:44 PM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962978173358112825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - ok, that makes more sense. Btw is it known what came first - the German preparation for wars of conquest, or the British blockade? Are we sure the British blocade was not in response to Germany ramping up, revving up, a war machine? History not my strong side - as mentioned, never understood properly as to "why".
I get the idea of "Liebensraum" and we see how wrong and stupid it was, as shown by future events. I presume Germany today has many more people than then, and they are all well fed too. So no conquest of UKR was needed.
I recoil every time someone (usually a degrowth-er these days) trots the idiocy "can't have infinite growth on a finite planet". As I'm reminded, by the "Liebensraum" example, how much harm wrong ideas can inflict. Triply surprsiing?? - given 5-10 mins of thinking are enough to show this idea is logically unsound. What were these people 100 years ago thinking??
9:37 PM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - ok, that makes more sense. Btw is it known what came first - the German preparation for wars of conquest, or the British blockade? Are we sure the British blocade was not in response to Germany ramping up, revving up, a war machine? History not my strong side - as mentioned, never understood properly as to "why".
I get the idea of "Liebensraum" and we see how wrong and stupid it was, as shown by future events. I presume Germany today has many more people than then, and they are all well fed too. So no conquest of UKR was needed.
I recoil every time someone (usually a degrowth-er these days) trots the idiocy "can't have infinite growth on a finite planet". As I'm reminded, by the "Liebensraum" example, how much harm wrong ideas can inflict. Triply surprsiing?? - given 5-10 mins of thinking are enough to show this idea is logically unsound. What were these people 100 years ago thinking??
9:37 PM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962974932242923596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was a joy to read! ☺️ Thanks for writing up your work. As another one-man-army - albeit one more reading than writing nowadays (from a tiny place at a bottom of a garden) - this was a heart warming read. No need to apologise for your ideas! They seem ok to me. The idea is not only not crazy, but no less than the man of the moment, the most illustrious @geoffreyhinton worked on non-backprop fwd-only learning before retiring - this https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.13345. I assume you probably know of this, but mentioning it jic.
9:24 PM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was a joy to read! ☺️ Thanks for writing up your work. As another one-man-army - albeit one more reading than writing nowadays (from a tiny place at a bottom of a garden) - this was a heart warming read. No need to apologise for your ideas! They seem ok to me. The idea is not only not crazy, but no less than the man of the moment, the most illustrious @geoffreyhinton worked on non-backprop fwd-only learning before retiring - this https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.13345. I assume you probably know of this, but mentioning it jic.
9:24 PM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962956776573206825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Nice, what fun! :-) Got reminded of the levitating gramophone -
https://maglevaudio.com
Maybe a gimmick, but if I were to buy a turntable in AD2025, think I'd be tempted by it for the novelty effect
maglevaudio.com
The World's First Levitating Turntable - MAG-LEV Audio
MAG-LEV Audio’s ML1 Turntable visually enhances the experience of listening to vinyl records by levitating the platter. By joining our love for music with careful integration of technology and...
8:12 PM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Nice, what fun! :-) Got reminded of the levitating gramophone -
https://maglevaudio.com
Maybe a gimmick, but if I were to buy a turntable in AD2025, think I'd be tempted by it for the novelty effect
maglevaudio.com
The World's First Levitating Turntable - MAG-LEV Audio
MAG-LEV Audio’s ML1 Turntable visually enhances the experience of listening to vinyl records by levitating the platter. By joining our love for music with careful integration of technology and...
8:12 PM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962754872329007383
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never ever understood what that war was fought about, what were the war aims of e.g. Germany. Like - they roll over France, take over, and then - what? The small Frenchmen start speaking German, and grow up to be one big happy Frankish family? I take it - not. IDK - what else?
6:50 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never ever understood what that war was fought about, what were the war aims of e.g. Germany. Like - they roll over France, take over, and then - what? The small Frenchmen start speaking German, and grow up to be one big happy Frankish family? I take it - not. IDK - what else?
6:50 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962753623332389368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what a booming cretin that jfkjr boomer is turning out to be...
6:45 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what a booming cretin that jfkjr boomer is turning out to be...
6:45 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962721186934050859
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 esp after working for few years so to fully grok how special it is to have time for oneself to think for oneself
4:36 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 esp after working for few years so to fully grok how special it is to have time for oneself to think for oneself
4:36 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962719929985105997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't "f*ck you money" partly for that? That you get the freedom (in addition to freeing you from a food&shelter want) to not spend your time listening to that person? Can just - get up and leave, disconnect the call? Spend your precious irreplaceable seconds on other things? Even if in the company of self only. If the talk you are hearing subtracts, is not even zero, but negative - makes sense to?
4:31 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't "f*ck you money" partly for that? That you get the freedom (in addition to freeing you from a food&shelter want) to not spend your time listening to that person? Can just - get up and leave, disconnect the call? Spend your precious irreplaceable seconds on other things? Even if in the company of self only. If the talk you are hearing subtracts, is not even zero, but negative - makes sense to?
4:31 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962717835605459125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Preach! Plus it's incongruous: moaners moan on social media?? Just - leave?! If that bad - leave it to us losers. And you-the-clever-person-that-knows-how-things-are-to-be - you just depart. Easy. Tbh the loudest moaners I notice are the biggest losers - losing their monopoly on an old media pulpit. Where they could shout the loudest, drawning other voices, in too often too stupid or wrong or insane talk. A @mgurri book now 20yo "The crisis of authority and the revolt of the public" aged well in that imo
4:22 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Preach! Plus it's incongruous: moaners moan on social media?? Just - leave?! If that bad - leave it to us losers. And you-the-clever-person-that-knows-how-things-are-to-be - you just depart. Easy. Tbh the loudest moaners I notice are the biggest losers - losing their monopoly on an old media pulpit. Where they could shout the loudest, drawning other voices, in too often too stupid or wrong or insane talk. A @mgurri book now 20yo "The crisis of authority and the revolt of the public" aged well in that imo
4:22 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962713354734072044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BETONIT (again?)
4:05 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BETONIT (again?)
4:05 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962712617929073129
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
not the worst to separate the rich and stoopid from their money - for riches bestow power, and with lots of power a stupid person can do lots of damage; but tragically unfathomably sad to be wasting children's potential, effectively destroying innocent children futures that way
4:02 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
not the worst to separate the rich and stoopid from their money - for riches bestow power, and with lots of power a stupid person can do lots of damage; but tragically unfathomably sad to be wasting children's potential, effectively destroying innocent children futures that way
4:02 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962711106721308955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
moo-eh, moo-eh, moo-eh (...mmmaybe? 🤔)
3:56 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
moo-eh, moo-eh, moo-eh (...mmmaybe? 🤔)
3:56 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962707614854250922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always amused hearing "anonymous", but missing that the entirety of all transactions history is public forever. While people maybe uncomfortable - suspect it's the future? Coordinating ever greater numbers of people necessitates ever more data sharing imo. (coordination=cooperation+competition) Wd it be better if the service/stuff was recorded in some way? Atm we have 3 out of quartet of 4 {buyer,seller, currency,stuff}. If the quartet was available for free on a chain, I suspect a cumbrian explosion of applications wd be unleashed. Macro from micro models with actual predictive power? Finally may get into a position to do better than shrug ashamed as when QE2 asked a roomful of econs "why didn't you predict GFC'00"
3:42 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always amused hearing "anonymous", but missing that the entirety of all transactions history is public forever. While people maybe uncomfortable - suspect it's the future? Coordinating ever greater numbers of people necessitates ever more data sharing imo. (coordination=cooperation+competition) Wd it be better if the service/stuff was recorded in some way? Atm we have 3 out of quartet of 4 {buyer,seller, currency,stuff}. If the quartet was available for free on a chain, I suspect a cumbrian explosion of applications wd be unleashed. Macro from micro models with actual predictive power? Finally may get into a position to do better than shrug ashamed as when QE2 asked a roomful of econs "why didn't you predict GFC'00"
3:42 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962703716781289606
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
more is more ?
big - beautiful - plentiful ?
3:26 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
more is more ?
big - beautiful - plentiful ?
3:26 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962691034581803472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf prob egyptologists wd be delighted that anyone takes any interest in their craft and wd talk to you for free for few hours 😂 (wife's a historian of byzantine art - so IK 😅)
2:36 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf prob egyptologists wd be delighted that anyone takes any interest in their craft and wd talk to you for free for few hours 😂 (wife's a historian of byzantine art - so IK 😅)
2:36 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962686636086399323
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
me too - it's been glorious 🤩
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962685640685883668
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
Replying to @tszzl
You could say that. I say - AGI has arrived for me. 😁 The ghost in / the spirit of the machine manifest as codex-gpt-5-high for me. ☺️ Several personas are working on random things on the laptop as they popup to my mind at random day and night. Next OS will have it in the OS
Show more
2:18 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
me too - it's been glorious 🤩
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962685640685883668
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
Replying to @tszzl
You could say that. I say - AGI has arrived for me. 😁 The ghost in / the spirit of the machine manifest as codex-gpt-5-high for me. ☺️ Several personas are working on random things on the laptop as they popup to my mind at random day and night. Next OS will have it in the OS
Show more
2:18 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962685640685883668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You could say that. I say - AGI has arrived for me. 😁 The ghost in / the spirit of the machine manifest as codex-gpt-5-high for me. ☺️ Several personas are working on random things on the laptop as they popup to my mind at random day and night. Next OS will have it in the OS API. There is no going back on this. Codex is running the shell from now on, I am running Codex
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192
2:14 AM · Sep 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You could say that. I say - AGI has arrived for me. 😁 The ghost in / the spirit of the machine manifest as codex-gpt-5-high for me. ☺️ Several personas are working on random things on the laptop as they popup to my mind at random day and night. Next OS will have it in the OS API. There is no going back on this. Codex is running the shell from now on, I am running Codex
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192
2:14 AM · Sep 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962638358233923907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the AI revolution gifts us 3 days freedom / 4 days work, after the Industrial one gifted us 2 / 5 days. Looks to me people want more freedom, not less. Q-how to achieve that. In order to coordinate (=cooperate+compete) people are under threat, from - in the extreme - death. (from hunger and lacking shelter; if cast out) IDK if possible. NB all organisations producing goods &l; services we all consume are pyramidal dictatorships.
11:07 PM · Sep 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the AI revolution gifts us 3 days freedom / 4 days work, after the Industrial one gifted us 2 / 5 days. Looks to me people want more freedom, not less. Q-how to achieve that. In order to coordinate (=cooperate+compete) people are under threat, from - in the extreme - death. (from hunger and lacking shelter; if cast out) IDK if possible. NB all organisations producing goods &l; services we all consume are pyramidal dictatorships.
11:07 PM · Sep 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962598216395862466
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Not algorithmic" is an imposibillity, a contradiction in terms. Bsky is algorithmic, X is algorithmic, every social media platform is algorithmic. They do use different algorithms. CP Snow's 'Two Cultures' still alive and well - nerds still literate, wordcels still innumerate.
8:27 PM · Sep 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Not algorithmic" is an imposibillity, a contradiction in terms. Bsky is algorithmic, X is algorithmic, every social media platform is algorithmic. They do use different algorithms. CP Snow's 'Two Cultures' still alive and well - nerds still literate, wordcels still innumerate.
8:27 PM · Sep 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962592785502216289
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS - the industrial revolution ushered the 5 days x 8 hours work week. TBH if you are assets rich enough to get enough passive income, 3-2-1-even-0 days work week is also possible, ;-) but that's a small minority - so inconsequential.
For grand scale to the entire society: I'm forever wondering if us humans can coordinate well enough, (where coordination = cooperation + competition) for the society to function, while giving up on the coercion (and ultimately - threat of death) towards the individual? So giving total freedom from want (thirst, hunger, shelter) to the individual us, all the while still being able to maintain current or even higher level of production of goods and services. Just wrote yesterday https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962133085220163729
8:05 PM · Sep 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS - the industrial revolution ushered the 5 days x 8 hours work week. TBH if you are assets rich enough to get enough passive income, 3-2-1-even-0 days work week is also possible, ;-) but that's a small minority - so inconsequential.
For grand scale to the entire society: I'm forever wondering if us humans can coordinate well enough, (where coordination = cooperation + competition) for the society to function, while giving up on the coercion (and ultimately - threat of death) towards the individual? So giving total freedom from want (thirst, hunger, shelter) to the individual us, all the while still being able to maintain current or even higher level of production of goods and services. Just wrote yesterday https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962133085220163729
8:05 PM · Sep 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962512664883519570
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I assume all lazy bots elonmusk12345 in existence are some kind of 'Elon bot army' and that's why they are allowed to exist... for filtering for elonmusk[0-9]* while ofc not doing anything for bots numbers, wd be at least symbolic of X one up-ing above (perceived - rightly or wrongly) level absolute zero =0 there
2:47 PM · Sep 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I assume all lazy bots elonmusk12345 in existence are some kind of 'Elon bot army' and that's why they are allowed to exist... for filtering for elonmusk[0-9]* while ofc not doing anything for bots numbers, wd be at least symbolic of X one up-ing above (perceived - rightly or wrongly) level absolute zero =0 there
2:47 PM · Sep 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962487548283871563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another example that 1) children are clever, 2) parents are dumb. And it's all for the better, that 3) children are mostly influenced by their peer and friends. They have to put up with, but 4) children mostly ignore their parents; or rather 5) pay attention to what parents do, while 6) ignoring what parents say. This is the reason humanity slowly slowly inches forward! Because 7) children are smart-ish, while 8) parents are mostly full of sh*t.
Too bad childhood doesn't last that long. But - it's hopeful and endearing, that with getting ever more civilised, it's looking like childhood (culture) gets extended ever longer into the teenage years, and even beyond. Lord of the Flies was always grown ups propaganda. To cast a shade on the children. And to distract us from the many failures of the grownups.
1:07 PM · Sep 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another example that 1) children are clever, 2) parents are dumb. And it's all for the better, that 3) children are mostly influenced by their peer and friends. They have to put up with, but 4) children mostly ignore their parents; or rather 5) pay attention to what parents do, while 6) ignoring what parents say. This is the reason humanity slowly slowly inches forward! Because 7) children are smart-ish, while 8) parents are mostly full of sh*t.
Too bad childhood doesn't last that long. But - it's hopeful and endearing, that with getting ever more civilised, it's looking like childhood (culture) gets extended ever longer into the teenage years, and even beyond. Lord of the Flies was always grown ups propaganda. To cast a shade on the children. And to distract us from the many failures of the grownups.
1:07 PM · Sep 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962481275391852824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forget that. Concentrate on turning out a Grok version that's a universal translator, then miniaturise it into a Babelfish. Then we each get a Babelfish, stick them into our ears or even brains. That defeats the Babylonian languages curse.
Anything else is futile. Don't waste your time on Duolingo, or any other tool really. The number of people that can learn a new language past their teenage years is small. Once all they surplus neurons we were born with are pruned (as makes sense - they were unused), we lack the hardware for a new language that late in life to start with. Few lucky ones got the circuits to repurpose other neurons, buy most don't.
12:42 PM · Sep 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forget that. Concentrate on turning out a Grok version that's a universal translator, then miniaturise it into a Babelfish. Then we each get a Babelfish, stick them into our ears or even brains. That defeats the Babylonian languages curse.
Anything else is futile. Don't waste your time on Duolingo, or any other tool really. The number of people that can learn a new language past their teenage years is small. Once all they surplus neurons we were born with are pruned (as makes sense - they were unused), we lack the hardware for a new language that late in life to start with. Few lucky ones got the circuits to repurpose other neurons, buy most don't.
12:42 PM · Sep 1, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Romans - I imagine after war + plague + bad climate formed a “triple blow” to Justinian’s reconquista and the Lombards sweeped in unmolested afterwards
Justinian and Theodora mosaics in Ravena left a great impression, and not only on myself I think. Think the entire small group left the church stunned, light headed, stumbling out from the dark inside into the bright sunshine outside feeling unsure what just happened inside, while pretty sure something did. Subdued for the rest of the day (went 25min drive to the Adriatic wind swept deserted sandy beaches)
more is more?
big - beautiful - plentiful ?
LJ @ London e/acc
Romans - I imagine after war + plague + bad climate formed a “triple blow” to Justinian’s reconquista and the Lombards sweeped in unmolested afterwards
Justinian and Theodora mosaics in Ravena left a great impression, and not only on myself I think. Think the entire small group left the church stunned, light headed, stumbling out from the dark inside into the bright sunshine outside feeling unsure what just happened inside, while pretty sure something did. Subdued for the rest of the day (went 25min drive to the Adriatic wind swept deserted sandy beaches)
more is more?
big - beautiful - plentiful ?
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962284244023054726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Multiple people visiting Seul last summer described the city 1) super-naturally quiet 2) how much of an improvement that was 3) all because of majority of vehicles being EV-s. I too think the quality of life in the cities will go up significantly. Partly due to removing traffic noise from the city.
But also due to solving the air pollution largely too. Every time factor analysis is done on causes of various "bad things in cities that don't occur as much in the sticks", air pollution comes up strong. And people are surprised by the result. Last time I mentioned this, someone said it's to do with "the result favours the side that ordered and paid for the study." I suspect there is some of that, but it's not all of it.
11:39 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Multiple people visiting Seul last summer described the city 1) super-naturally quiet 2) how much of an improvement that was 3) all because of majority of vehicles being EV-s. I too think the quality of life in the cities will go up significantly. Partly due to removing traffic noise from the city.
But also due to solving the air pollution largely too. Every time factor analysis is done on causes of various "bad things in cities that don't occur as much in the sticks", air pollution comes up strong. And people are surprised by the result. Last time I mentioned this, someone said it's to do with "the result favours the side that ordered and paid for the study." I suspect there is some of that, but it's not all of it.
11:39 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962277005291913281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Option 3. President maneuvers a Fed Chair + enough members of the IR setting body/council, such that this public monopoly price is set at near zero. Consequences: new debt issuance costs nominal near zero but given inflation effective negative. Old debt - as it's rolled over, costs of interest on old debt in the budget way down. ("beautiful deleveraging" - as per Delalio's.) Why would the Banks and other financial institutions go along? B/c they will have no choice. Will be effectively forced by the laws, stipulating their obligations. They will be fine thought. As they will pass their costs on the savers. That is the only way imo: only the entity with cash can give out cash. It's a logical impossibility for someone lacking of something, to give out that, what it lacks.
11:11 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Option 3. President maneuvers a Fed Chair + enough members of the IR setting body/council, such that this public monopoly price is set at near zero. Consequences: new debt issuance costs nominal near zero but given inflation effective negative. Old debt - as it's rolled over, costs of interest on old debt in the budget way down. ("beautiful deleveraging" - as per Delalio's.) Why would the Banks and other financial institutions go along? B/c they will have no choice. Will be effectively forced by the laws, stipulating their obligations. They will be fine thought. As they will pass their costs on the savers. That is the only way imo: only the entity with cash can give out cash. It's a logical impossibility for someone lacking of something, to give out that, what it lacks.
11:11 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962195885862916302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that, buy most people will be better off on average, with slightly higher temp. Cold is much bigger killer than heath. We had approx 0.8 degrees in a century. CO2 is food for plants (what O2 is for us), so we had increased green cover across the world too. Measured with several methods, and all agree about an increase. Average temp of 2 degrees is difference between Manchester UK, and Milan IT now. If in 2125, Manchester has the climate that Milan has in 2025 - I doubt many Mancunians will complain.
5:48 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that, buy most people will be better off on average, with slightly higher temp. Cold is much bigger killer than heath. We had approx 0.8 degrees in a century. CO2 is food for plants (what O2 is for us), so we had increased green cover across the world too. Measured with several methods, and all agree about an increase. Average temp of 2 degrees is difference between Manchester UK, and Milan IT now. If in 2125, Manchester has the climate that Milan has in 2025 - I doubt many Mancunians will complain.
5:48 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962155022822629395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's still amazing to me - even if not amusing the second time around - to witnesses a systemic crisis. Crisis of the entire system. Where no matter the person, as long as they try to act through the system, the result is identical. So Sunak or Starmer - same results.
PASOK-ification of the UK politics is afoot now
https://x.com/ZiaYusufUK/status/1961788654457618931
Wow - took 20yrs for the systemic crisis to straddle the Continent. From Greece S-E, to N-W UK
3:06 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's still amazing to me - even if not amusing the second time around - to witnesses a systemic crisis. Crisis of the entire system. Where no matter the person, as long as they try to act through the system, the result is identical. So Sunak or Starmer - same results.
PASOK-ification of the UK politics is afoot now
https://x.com/ZiaYusufUK/status/1961788654457618931
Wow - took 20yrs for the systemic crisis to straddle the Continent. From Greece S-E, to N-W UK
3:06 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962150602701426735
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the only realistic way to end the war, tbh. Putin on it's own will not stop, as it's not him being killed daily, and if he stops, he will be killed. Afaics he'd sooner nuke Earth than stop. Ukrainians can't stop either, as surrender for vast numbers of them means death, or worse. Russians even where they don't want to fight and die, are too disorganised to force a stop. So the only option is - if Russia doesn't have the means to wage as much war as it does now.
2:48 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the only realistic way to end the war, tbh. Putin on it's own will not stop, as it's not him being killed daily, and if he stops, he will be killed. Afaics he'd sooner nuke Earth than stop. Ukrainians can't stop either, as surrender for vast numbers of them means death, or worse. Russians even where they don't want to fight and die, are too disorganised to force a stop. So the only option is - if Russia doesn't have the means to wage as much war as it does now.
2:48 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962149570294534632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Observationally - women value their human connections more. They put more effort to maintain them, are more interested in the connections, are more craving of the approval of their connections. Every measure I can think of Re: connectedness - woman top the man.
In my friends high school uni whatsapp group, the interlocutors are 1) the original group portion where female 2) the spouses (all women), of the male part of the original group. The male portion of the original group simply don't care enough to even type 1 word / month. Same for organising any meetups - all female.
And I'm not the exception either tbh. I care as much as is shown on the group chat, (=little,) ngl
2:44 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Observationally - women value their human connections more. They put more effort to maintain them, are more interested in the connections, are more craving of the approval of their connections. Every measure I can think of Re: connectedness - woman top the man.
In my friends high school uni whatsapp group, the interlocutors are 1) the original group portion where female 2) the spouses (all women), of the male part of the original group. The male portion of the original group simply don't care enough to even type 1 word / month. Same for organising any meetups - all female.
And I'm not the exception either tbh. I care as much as is shown on the group chat, (=little,) ngl
2:44 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962138339089195484
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! There are so many things every time I hear "safety", "alignment" etc that are not even in the wrong or bad category, but simply - undecidebles. If someone were to task me to implement it manually, I'd have to say "well this is undecidable tbh - it's an impossible task."
2:00 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! There are so many things every time I hear "safety", "alignment" etc that are not even in the wrong or bad category, but simply - undecidebles. If someone were to task me to implement it manually, I'd have to say "well this is undecidable tbh - it's an impossible task."
2:00 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962133085220163729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that's retarded. Glad he had me blocked so I don't have my BP raised by bad takes like that. People don't crave an iPhone. They know they can live just fine with an Android. No one fears not having an iPhone. (except maybe the grandest morons)
People do crave - having food on the table, roof over their heads. Not being in danger of lacking food and shelter, coming from having the freedom (yes) to curl and die on the street. (noo) Once Naval/Musk/Bezos kick them out of their firms, and onto the street, in the next round of layoffs. Good portion of the population will struggle to survive unemployment for longer than 6 months.
There is that fundamental tension in all human groups. On one hand we want security from dying of hunger/exposure, if unemployed. On the other hand, we must ensure coordination (either cooperation or competition) for the purposes of production of goods/services in the society. Without some sort of coercion, with everyone left to their own devices to "do whatever the hell I want", I don't see how coordination can be achieved. And without coordination, there is not production, there is no water in the tap no food on the table. So the entire group dies off, not only the unemployed. (humans - we live in groups; no one human spends even 0.01% of our life significantly away from the rest of humanity; we're cradle to grave among other humans.)
Well - the latter (coordination) is achieved via the means of the former - fear. (from death, ultimately). This is the unmentionable truth. Everyone knows or at least feels it, how things work. But few people will articulate, and plenty will deny. It's in the realm of "you can't handle the truth" for most of us tbh. (not unlike - inevitable - death; better not think about it)
For better or worse it's left to - ahem - mature man like one writing this, being lucky to have reached a ripe "no f*cks given" age, to articulate and write stuff like this to perfect strangers. 😂 (on an agreeable late summer day, while sipping Sale di Mare in a garden)
1:39 PM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that's retarded. Glad he had me blocked so I don't have my BP raised by bad takes like that. People don't crave an iPhone. They know they can live just fine with an Android. No one fears not having an iPhone. (except maybe the grandest morons)
People do crave - having food on the table, roof over their heads. Not being in danger of lacking food and shelter, coming from having the freedom (yes) to curl and die on the street. (noo) Once Naval/Musk/Bezos kick them out of their firms, and onto the street, in the next round of layoffs. Good portion of the population will struggle to survive unemployment for longer than 6 months.
There is that fundamental tension in all human groups. On one hand we want security from dying of hunger/exposure, if unemployed. On the other hand, we must ensure coordination (either cooperation or competition) for the purposes of production of goods/services in the society. Without some sort of coercion, with everyone left to their own devices to "do whatever the hell I want", I don't see how coordination can be achieved. And without coordination, there is not production, there is no water in the tap no food on the table. So the entire group dies off, not only the unemployed. (humans - we live in groups; no one human spends even 0.01% of our life significantly away from the rest of humanity; we're cradle to grave among other humans.)
Well - the latter (coordination) is achieved via the means of the former - fear. (from death, ultimately). This is the unmentionable truth. Everyone knows or at least feels it, how things work. But few people will articulate, and plenty will deny. It's in the realm of "you can't handle the truth" for most of us tbh. (not unlike - inevitable - death; better not think about it)
For better or worse it's left to - ahem - mature man like one writing this, being lucky to have reached a ripe "no f*cks given" age, to articulate and write stuff like this to perfect strangers. 😂 (on an agreeable late summer day, while sipping Sale di Mare in a garden)
1:39 PM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962104084745335041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While there have been quite a few "macro" programming books, I've never found that many "micro" programming books that were very good. Rare exception, and surprisingly little known afaik is "Writing Solid Code". It genuinely helped me in several concrete ways.
11:44 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While there have been quite a few "macro" programming books, I've never found that many "micro" programming books that were very good. Rare exception, and surprisingly little known afaik is "Writing Solid Code". It genuinely helped me in several concrete ways.
11:44 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962096092427763979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, there is that too - medicalisation, infantilisation, stripping people of agency (so that's self serving too). That's latest in the chain of events. The media chasing clicks has been a long trend now. The death of journalism as profession seeking to discover facts, rather than entertain. A good book on that "Flat Earth News" is getting 20yrs old now.
11:12 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, there is that too - medicalisation, infantilisation, stripping people of agency (so that's self serving too). That's latest in the chain of events. The media chasing clicks has been a long trend now. The death of journalism as profession seeking to discover facts, rather than entertain. A good book on that "Flat Earth News" is getting 20yrs old now.
11:12 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962094978244427891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency of all government and civil services businesses. All documents public read-only on public read-only Google drives, web sites, etc. Public by default - secret by request only. So things that need to be secret, can be requested to be so. This including citizens tax returns records. Same way the companies, properties, financial instruments registers are public as default now. Only exempt private by default would be personal medical records.
11:07 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency of all government and civil services businesses. All documents public read-only on public read-only Google drives, web sites, etc. Public by default - secret by request only. So things that need to be secret, can be requested to be so. This including citizens tax returns records. Same way the companies, properties, financial instruments registers are public as default now. Only exempt private by default would be personal medical records.
11:07 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962091960845455507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By now I'm biased to think that mine - or anyones', really - anecdote, is more "data", more reliable, than whatever abominable "survey" they "did" for clicks & giggles. From sampling and observation, all down to the conclusions. Says more about the incentives and pressures of the attention economy, than of anything else really.
10:55 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By now I'm biased to think that mine - or anyones', really - anecdote, is more "data", more reliable, than whatever abominable "survey" they "did" for clicks & giggles. From sampling and observation, all down to the conclusions. Says more about the incentives and pressures of the attention economy, than of anything else really.
10:55 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962090837338190197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, it's a gem of a release, in quantity and quality. For chatting, I stumbled upon this 2507 variant
https://huggingface.co/inclusionAI/Rubicon-Preview
...that I fancy even more than the original model. (that I liked too!) Getting 40-50 tps on old M2 with these quants
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962070681316655485
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 15h
Replying to @jiqizhixin
I am trying Rubicon-Preview now, via
$ build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/Rubicon-Preview.i1-Q6_K.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_p 0.95 --ctx-size 262144 --flash-attn on --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja # https://127.0.0.1:8080
...and yeah, I concur - it
Show more
10:51 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, it's a gem of a release, in quantity and quality. For chatting, I stumbled upon this 2507 variant
https://huggingface.co/inclusionAI/Rubicon-Preview
...that I fancy even more than the original model. (that I liked too!) Getting 40-50 tps on old M2 with these quants
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962070681316655485
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 15h
Replying to @jiqizhixin
I am trying Rubicon-Preview now, via
$ build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/Rubicon-Preview.i1-Q6_K.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_p 0.95 --ctx-size 262144 --flash-attn on --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja # https://127.0.0.1:8080
...and yeah, I concur - it
Show more
10:51 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Can't be bothered to look for paywall-around, but I can guess the gist from the intro. People in manufacturing - don't lose heart.
The Economist are trend-followers. It makes sense for them - and everyone else - to be a trend follower, for 1) trends are real 2) there are 100 points on the line where "the trend is your friend", you win by betting on the trend 3) and only 1 point of reversion, where to be right one is to bet on reversion.
TBS - and it's contingent on many random events, e.g. Elon may die in a plane crash next month and the 'murican manufacturing renaissance may die a slow death - BUT: think Musk "master plan" about US manufacturing is panning out, at least for him: total automation/many robots, few workers, doing heroic manufacture feats previously deemed impossible. 'Master plan' a-la "Master Plan, Part Un" for EV-s. Have not heard Musk but Andreesen articulated it in some interview; along the lines above. So I suspect Economist will be shown wrong in their take on impossibility of US manufacturing turn around.
... Andreesen's take was "history doesn't repeat but rimes". There will not be "Ford Factories" with half a million people clocking-in at the gates at 8am. There will be lots of manufacturing, but somewhat different to the one they remember from before.
Eh - IK know it looks like a gimmick, but it looks `simpatico` to me?? 😂 BBC model B would have looked like that in 1981, but I bet there wd be no DeepMind without Hassabis, and there would be not Demis-the-geek without BBC B 😇 IK this tad 'our plans are measured in centuries.' but it works like that fr. 😂 (also - a civil war is too high a price)
maybe he did, maybe there was some of that - but maybe the OP is reluctant to share publicly
...but I imagine not. Probably fear of reputational damage, plus the police may end up arresting him in addition/instead of the thief? 😂
LJ @ London e/acc
Can't be bothered to look for paywall-around, but I can guess the gist from the intro. People in manufacturing - don't lose heart.
The Economist are trend-followers. It makes sense for them - and everyone else - to be a trend follower, for 1) trends are real 2) there are 100 points on the line where "the trend is your friend", you win by betting on the trend 3) and only 1 point of reversion, where to be right one is to bet on reversion.
TBS - and it's contingent on many random events, e.g. Elon may die in a plane crash next month and the 'murican manufacturing renaissance may die a slow death - BUT: think Musk "master plan" about US manufacturing is panning out, at least for him: total automation/many robots, few workers, doing heroic manufacture feats previously deemed impossible. 'Master plan' a-la "Master Plan, Part Un" for EV-s. Have not heard Musk but Andreesen articulated it in some interview; along the lines above. So I suspect Economist will be shown wrong in their take on impossibility of US manufacturing turn around.
... Andreesen's take was "history doesn't repeat but rimes". There will not be "Ford Factories" with half a million people clocking-in at the gates at 8am. There will be lots of manufacturing, but somewhat different to the one they remember from before.
Eh - IK know it looks like a gimmick, but it looks `simpatico` to me?? 😂 BBC model B would have looked like that in 1981, but I bet there wd be no DeepMind without Hassabis, and there would be not Demis-the-geek without BBC B 😇 IK this tad 'our plans are measured in centuries.' but it works like that fr. 😂 (also - a civil war is too high a price)
maybe he did, maybe there was some of that - but maybe the OP is reluctant to share publicly
...but I imagine not. Probably fear of reputational damage, plus the police may end up arresting him in addition/instead of the thief? 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962070681316655485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am trying Rubicon-Preview now, via
$ build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/Rubicon-Preview.i1-Q6_K.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_p 0.95 --ctx-size 262144 --flash-attn on --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja # https://127.0.0.1:8080
...and yeah, I concur - it feels more human less robotic, in the way the chatting goes. Top marks! Like!! Thank you Ant Group. :-)
Maybe all top LLM-s builders labs should be hiring humanities non-technical people for data curation and organisation? To complement supplement the their tech sides. This quality can only be described as "good taste" - in good taste, having good taste. Even if it adds nothing much in the hard measurements benchmarks (and I think it does, a little) - it's just a nicer, more pleasant experience. And what we people find more pleasant - we tend to use more.
9:31 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am trying Rubicon-Preview now, via
$ build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/Rubicon-Preview.i1-Q6_K.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_p 0.95 --ctx-size 262144 --flash-attn on --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja # https://127.0.0.1:8080
...and yeah, I concur - it feels more human less robotic, in the way the chatting goes. Top marks! Like!! Thank you Ant Group. :-)
Maybe all top LLM-s builders labs should be hiring humanities non-technical people for data curation and organisation? To complement supplement the their tech sides. This quality can only be described as "good taste" - in good taste, having good taste. Even if it adds nothing much in the hard measurements benchmarks (and I think it does, a little) - it's just a nicer, more pleasant experience. And what we people find more pleasant - we tend to use more.
9:31 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962066519241769279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is Amazon AWS a comparable case of "large humongous capital investments under uncertainty, if it will pan out to be profitable, or not", in the next 15-20yrs horizon? I wonder if there is tracking and studies that compare & contrast. AI maybe too early as my understanding of the numbers is that it's much more announced and to be done, and less "already been done"
9:14 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is Amazon AWS a comparable case of "large humongous capital investments under uncertainty, if it will pan out to be profitable, or not", in the next 15-20yrs horizon? I wonder if there is tracking and studies that compare & contrast. AI maybe too early as my understanding of the numbers is that it's much more announced and to be done, and less "already been done"
9:14 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962061495665058017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobro prasanje. :-) Nekoi imaat, nekoi nemaat. Primeri na bolesti sto se izleceni za vreme na mojot zivot.
1) HIV/AIDS - bese smrtna presuda, akutna bolest so losa prognoza, pa hronicna bolest, i posledno - lugeto se izlekuvaat. Se postigna so kombinacija na komplicirani lekovi, za izlekuvanje - najnova posledna generacija.
2) Chir na zeludnik i razni creva. Se tretiraa so antibiotici, ednostavno, nikoj ne umira veke od "mu prsna chirot na dvanasestopalachno crevo, duri go odnesoa vo bolnica da go operiraat da go otorat da go soprat krvarenjeto - kutriot pochina." Ispadna procinata bila abnormalno mnogu razmnozena bakterija (helikobakter pilori ili nesto sl bese), i uste po prvite simptomi, pacientite se tretiraat so obicni antibiotici.
Po mojava smetka - znaci 1 of 2, polovina. :-)
Ima super kniga "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" od Morton Meyers (doktor). Opisuva poveke slucai kako niz istorija sme otkrile razni lekovi i tretmani, slucajno ili skoro slucajno, koi ne bile nepoznati, ama na nikogo ne mu teknalo prethodno da povrze 1+1=2.
8:54 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobro prasanje. :-) Nekoi imaat, nekoi nemaat. Primeri na bolesti sto se izleceni za vreme na mojot zivot.
1) HIV/AIDS - bese smrtna presuda, akutna bolest so losa prognoza, pa hronicna bolest, i posledno - lugeto se izlekuvaat. Se postigna so kombinacija na komplicirani lekovi, za izlekuvanje - najnova posledna generacija.
2) Chir na zeludnik i razni creva. Se tretiraa so antibiotici, ednostavno, nikoj ne umira veke od "mu prsna chirot na dvanasestopalachno crevo, duri go odnesoa vo bolnica da go operiraat da go otorat da go soprat krvarenjeto - kutriot pochina." Ispadna procinata bila abnormalno mnogu razmnozena bakterija (helikobakter pilori ili nesto sl bese), i uste po prvite simptomi, pacientite se tretiraat so obicni antibiotici.
Po mojava smetka - znaci 1 of 2, polovina. :-)
Ima super kniga "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" od Morton Meyers (doktor). Opisuva poveke slucai kako niz istorija sme otkrile razni lekovi i tretmani, slucajno ili skoro slucajno, koi ne bile nepoznati, ama na nikogo ne mu teknalo prethodno da povrze 1+1=2.
8:54 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1962055504336761339
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos - you are already ahead of your colleagues, merely by displaying self awareness ("mere wordcel") that I have not seen in many. My wife is a historian of art and I have opportunity to observe that half of the knowledge workers. (the other half being my world - science & technology)
You correctly identify the distinction between pattern matching (type 1) and reasoning (type 2). I'd day current systems are 80% type-1 and 20% type-2 at most. We see the difference in models where reasoning can be turned on/off. The reasoning part is bolted on the pattern matching part and is a late(r) addition. Hence the imbalance.
But that's changing quickly. Note the latest-greatest gpt-5-high (that they don't test released only recently) is the best ever coding agent. You may notice people switching from claude code over to codex. My experience too has been "agi that can run my computer command line as well as myself and better - sometimes significantly so - has arrived for me in the form of codex-gpt-5-high." And certainly more efficient - does it in much faster than myself.
Because the same way pattern matching is not magic, so reasoning is not magic either. CompSci has had it figured out already for ages: reasoning is generating hypothesis, of multiple steps in time, and searching that hypothesis space for good ones. Old style AI has been doing that already. The novelty now is the quality of the results. Not the method.
Notice the explosion of interest and capabilities of RL training using those roll outs. And how no-one talks much about pre-training any more - that's solved, working, a nothing burger. Notice how everyone has figured out how to use synthetic data. No one is talking "we have run out of data". Plus data efficiency improvements, where we know there is tons of low hanging fruit. Didn't need to do any of that, b/c up to now we couldn't even process the natural data we had.
So yeah - fair to assume reasoning to get much better, and improve the models for more than 20%. Then people will move to the next one on the chain: how do we create interesting and novel and good hypothesis? Afaik this goes under "open endedness", there is aura of mystery there b/c simply "we don't know", is more researchy area. But let us recall: present RL used to training the reasoning models, was like that couple of short years ago.
Top marks for the comment though, as yourself + rest of us humans are providing a useful baseline. For we have trouble reasoning too. :-) Case in point, demonstration: 1) We take one study report, 2) We take reading/title by over-excitable science communicator, (that has to generate clicks to earn a living), 3) And/or summary by researchers that also has to chase novelty for grants. :-) And while the numbers reported are not in doubt, the wider impression ("they can't reason") is not a stellar conclusions to draw. Esp if there will be an unsaid part in people's heads "...and will never be able to" - that is imo hopelessly, tragically wrong.
A different reading: top #1 model dropped from a high score of 93%, to respectable 84%. There is no knowing if better prompting, or optimisation of prompting, or further improvement in synthetic data generation, or training efficiency, or ... (insert any number of improvements) wouldn't recover the drop. Or even something as simple as plugging in the latest-greatest SOTA gpt-5-high (or even the super-high effort version) on this task. People poopoing v5, overlook that v5 improved on v4, more than v4 improved on v3 - it seems.
Just how many times do humans need to be shown "you are not special", IDK. The oscillations in the coping process (from despair to euphoria and back) are a bit amusing ngl. 😂 I think much better cope is Moravec's "our progeny, our 'mind children' built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." For there is a more positive outlook there?
8:31 AM · Aug 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos - you are already ahead of your colleagues, merely by displaying self awareness ("mere wordcel") that I have not seen in many. My wife is a historian of art and I have opportunity to observe that half of the knowledge workers. (the other half being my world - science & technology)
You correctly identify the distinction between pattern matching (type 1) and reasoning (type 2). I'd day current systems are 80% type-1 and 20% type-2 at most. We see the difference in models where reasoning can be turned on/off. The reasoning part is bolted on the pattern matching part and is a late(r) addition. Hence the imbalance.
But that's changing quickly. Note the latest-greatest gpt-5-high (that they don't test released only recently) is the best ever coding agent. You may notice people switching from claude code over to codex. My experience too has been "agi that can run my computer command line as well as myself and better - sometimes significantly so - has arrived for me in the form of codex-gpt-5-high." And certainly more efficient - does it in much faster than myself.
Because the same way pattern matching is not magic, so reasoning is not magic either. CompSci has had it figured out already for ages: reasoning is generating hypothesis, of multiple steps in time, and searching that hypothesis space for good ones. Old style AI has been doing that already. The novelty now is the quality of the results. Not the method.
Notice the explosion of interest and capabilities of RL training using those roll outs. And how no-one talks much about pre-training any more - that's solved, working, a nothing burger. Notice how everyone has figured out how to use synthetic data. No one is talking "we have run out of data". Plus data efficiency improvements, where we know there is tons of low hanging fruit. Didn't need to do any of that, b/c up to now we couldn't even process the natural data we had.
So yeah - fair to assume reasoning to get much better, and improve the models for more than 20%. Then people will move to the next one on the chain: how do we create interesting and novel and good hypothesis? Afaik this goes under "open endedness", there is aura of mystery there b/c simply "we don't know", is more researchy area. But let us recall: present RL used to training the reasoning models, was like that couple of short years ago.
Top marks for the comment though, as yourself + rest of us humans are providing a useful baseline. For we have trouble reasoning too. :-) Case in point, demonstration: 1) We take one study report, 2) We take reading/title by over-excitable science communicator, (that has to generate clicks to earn a living), 3) And/or summary by researchers that also has to chase novelty for grants. :-) And while the numbers reported are not in doubt, the wider impression ("they can't reason") is not a stellar conclusions to draw. Esp if there will be an unsaid part in people's heads "...and will never be able to" - that is imo hopelessly, tragically wrong.
A different reading: top #1 model dropped from a high score of 93%, to respectable 84%. There is no knowing if better prompting, or optimisation of prompting, or further improvement in synthetic data generation, or training efficiency, or ... (insert any number of improvements) wouldn't recover the drop. Or even something as simple as plugging in the latest-greatest SOTA gpt-5-high (or even the super-high effort version) on this task. People poopoing v5, overlook that v5 improved on v4, more than v4 improved on v3 - it seems.
Just how many times do humans need to be shown "you are not special", IDK. The oscillations in the coping process (from despair to euphoria and back) are a bit amusing ngl. 😂 I think much better cope is Moravec's "our progeny, our 'mind children' built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." For there is a more positive outlook there?
8:31 AM · Aug 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961842916369764662
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't want to beat on the poor students, they have taught time anyways with their lives in a swirl changing fast at that stage. I think the expectation that students say something special is misplaced on the part of the society. But as far as the 5 go -
https://x.com/DavidDeutschOxf/status/1961805422525845719
Quote
David Deutsch @DavidDeutschOxf · 16h
Unilateral nuclear disarmament.
"Ho, Ho, Ho Chi Minh."
Stop nuclear energy.
"The Limits to growth."
Population explosion.
To name but five. x.com/tracewoodgrain…
6:26 PM · Aug 30, 2025
·
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't want to beat on the poor students, they have taught time anyways with their lives in a swirl changing fast at that stage. I think the expectation that students say something special is misplaced on the part of the society. But as far as the 5 go -
https://x.com/DavidDeutschOxf/status/1961805422525845719
Quote
David Deutsch @DavidDeutschOxf · 16h
Unilateral nuclear disarmament.
"Ho, Ho, Ho Chi Minh."
Stop nuclear energy.
"The Limits to growth."
Population explosion.
To name but five. x.com/tracewoodgrain…
6:26 PM · Aug 30, 2025
·
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961839703692386374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, the UK state, the politicians and the civil service, are too incompetent to be entrusted with another monopoly. We already have several digital ID-s. Yours will add nothing much. But it has the sinister potential to subtract quite of lot from the us citizens wellbeing. For it can easily be abused by the UK state.
Today I had to take two photos of myself, my whole figure, in my home, and hand them over to an anonymous stranger an online pharmacy, in order to get access to medication I need. That the NHS refuses to prescribe to me, in order to save money. But is happy that I buy it myself - yay small mercies! - as long as I humiliate myself in the process. You are not deserving of our trust.
You will grant yourself a monopoly on that particular ID. You will fail to make it work well, it will work badly. It will be another item on the list where we gain nothing, and lose much, by granting you extra powers. No - you already have powers you are not using wisely. You should not get digital-ID.
6:13 PM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, the UK state, the politicians and the civil service, are too incompetent to be entrusted with another monopoly. We already have several digital ID-s. Yours will add nothing much. But it has the sinister potential to subtract quite of lot from the us citizens wellbeing. For it can easily be abused by the UK state.
Today I had to take two photos of myself, my whole figure, in my home, and hand them over to an anonymous stranger an online pharmacy, in order to get access to medication I need. That the NHS refuses to prescribe to me, in order to save money. But is happy that I buy it myself - yay small mercies! - as long as I humiliate myself in the process. You are not deserving of our trust.
You will grant yourself a monopoly on that particular ID. You will fail to make it work well, it will work badly. It will be another item on the list where we gain nothing, and lose much, by granting you extra powers. No - you already have powers you are not using wisely. You should not get digital-ID.
6:13 PM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961833920166551868
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right true that, maybe not all of EU in the sense of not each and every one. But it's not only Germany - for there is Italy, Austria, Belgium afaik
5:50 PM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right true that, maybe not all of EU in the sense of not each and every one. But it's not only Germany - for there is Italy, Austria, Belgium afaik
5:50 PM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961831871701999776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Hey - X has got "Who to follow" and that's all and good... but: how about "Who to unfollow" as well? IK it sounds bad, but having hit the limit of 7500, I'd appreciate some help there. Atm it's all manual browse 1-by-1 should-I-should-I-not... It's more like an online public address book, I can from time to time check manually accounts that don't usually appear on my feed. Serendipity random chance and all that. I hope in some future Grok-feed (GF) the silly Following-Follower beauty contest goes away, and GF crafts a good feed for me every time I open X .com
5:42 PM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Hey - X has got "Who to follow" and that's all and good... but: how about "Who to unfollow" as well? IK it sounds bad, but having hit the limit of 7500, I'd appreciate some help there. Atm it's all manual browse 1-by-1 should-I-should-I-not... It's more like an online public address book, I can from time to time check manually accounts that don't usually appear on my feed. Serendipity random chance and all that. I hope in some future Grok-feed (GF) the silly Following-Follower beauty contest goes away, and GF crafts a good feed for me every time I open X .com
5:42 PM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961808515057471591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he say something interesting like - "we are open sourcing an old model / releasing OSS smaller MoE model"? His interviews manage to annoy me by him sounding like a doomer mugged by reality. Can't disagree with "OSS models galore and not the end of the world in sight". So often he finds an "even so"-angle: "wait till you see the next disaster you caused, you uppity peasants." ("...by taking power unto your own hands, instead of vesting it unto myself, DD") Comes over between creepy and very scary tbh. For the largest evils were done by people much convinced they were making the world a better place. Saving humanity, civilisation, willing to take a personal hit for the greater good, break few eggs for the omelette. Comes to mind "Virtue is more to be feared than vice, because its excesses are not subject to the regulation of conscience." (AS)
4:09 PM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he say something interesting like - "we are open sourcing an old model / releasing OSS smaller MoE model"? His interviews manage to annoy me by him sounding like a doomer mugged by reality. Can't disagree with "OSS models galore and not the end of the world in sight". So often he finds an "even so"-angle: "wait till you see the next disaster you caused, you uppity peasants." ("...by taking power unto your own hands, instead of vesting it unto myself, DD") Comes over between creepy and very scary tbh. For the largest evils were done by people much convinced they were making the world a better place. Saving humanity, civilisation, willing to take a personal hit for the greater good, break few eggs for the omelette. Comes to mind "Virtue is more to be feared than vice, because its excesses are not subject to the regulation of conscience." (AS)
4:09 PM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961782413597540797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 TBH at this point whatever there may or may not be - I would put it in the rubric "journos filling page white space with silly surveys for clicks". My kids are Gen Z and driving, and get to see them and their friends, and the signs listed in the above I don't recognise.
2:25 PM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 TBH at this point whatever there may or may not be - I would put it in the rubric "journos filling page white space with silly surveys for clicks". My kids are Gen Z and driving, and get to see them and their friends, and the signs listed in the above I don't recognise.
2:25 PM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961749983004156411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the great equaliser 😂 with mice in the house people don't care if the cat is white or black - only that it gets the mice 😂
12:16 PM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the great equaliser 😂 with mice in the house people don't care if the cat is white or black - only that it gets the mice 😂
12:16 PM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961749199004856737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool, thanks - great! Where are you on relaxing the constraint on GMO plants? I live in @HarpendenTown, we have a big agricultural institute Rothampstead that I think was unresoanbly hampered by the EU anti-science anti-technology stance. We took a hit with brexit, and now we are not reaping any benefits to be had by scraping the previous laws and brining in more rational laws on GMO.
On SM - yes, I'm pro common trade area, pro movement of people and capital in it. (like most of my fellow Harpies - I voted remain in the ref) But - if that comes at a price of adopting EU anti-science, anti-tech ideas on AI, Nuclear, GMO - then no, that's a price to high for me. SM helps - but is not a panacea. As we witness e.g. Germany in SM being beset by problems comparable to the ones UK has.
12:13 PM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool, thanks - great! Where are you on relaxing the constraint on GMO plants? I live in @HarpendenTown, we have a big agricultural institute Rothampstead that I think was unresoanbly hampered by the EU anti-science anti-technology stance. We took a hit with brexit, and now we are not reaping any benefits to be had by scraping the previous laws and brining in more rational laws on GMO.
On SM - yes, I'm pro common trade area, pro movement of people and capital in it. (like most of my fellow Harpies - I voted remain in the ref) But - if that comes at a price of adopting EU anti-science, anti-tech ideas on AI, Nuclear, GMO - then no, that's a price to high for me. SM helps - but is not a panacea. As we witness e.g. Germany in SM being beset by problems comparable to the ones UK has.
12:13 PM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961741330175987738
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent! Glad to be shown to be wrong - thanks for engaging. That was my subjective impression of L-D. That L-D is close to Green-s there. To my mind "sustainable", "sustainability" is in practice a codeword for "degrowth", for people that know I will not like to hear "degrowth". Like a nimby that objects to building housing in the field next to me, told me "it's not sustainable". I thought it's very sustainable, or even - the only thing that can sustain us. That we build shelter, aka housing, for ourselves and our kids. Now if you said "abundance", or even "accelerate", and maybe even "solar punk" - you'd get even more my better opinion of L-D. 😀 (my vote you already got it)
11:42 AM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent! Glad to be shown to be wrong - thanks for engaging. That was my subjective impression of L-D. That L-D is close to Green-s there. To my mind "sustainable", "sustainability" is in practice a codeword for "degrowth", for people that know I will not like to hear "degrowth". Like a nimby that objects to building housing in the field next to me, told me "it's not sustainable". I thought it's very sustainable, or even - the only thing that can sustain us. That we build shelter, aka housing, for ourselves and our kids. Now if you said "abundance", or even "accelerate", and maybe even "solar punk" - you'd get even more my better opinion of L-D. 😀 (my vote you already got it)
11:42 AM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961730846299242837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not all others - just some L-D boomers. Have not heard of a reasonable and good policy, like "here is more homes, here is more energy, here is more stuff, more of everything, more happiness - this is how we'll create" from the L-D-s for a long time. While I have heard plenty about less, about degrowth, about how we are bad bad people and mother nature should punish us yada yada. So yes, I don't see the L-D party offering that much to me. While my local MP, that I voted for expecting little, (voted for her b/c I disliked what the previous MP did, and she was pleasant enough in her presentation) surprised me on the positive side. Ofc - your experience maybe entirely the opposite.
11:00 AM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not all others - just some L-D boomers. Have not heard of a reasonable and good policy, like "here is more homes, here is more energy, here is more stuff, more of everything, more happiness - this is how we'll create" from the L-D-s for a long time. While I have heard plenty about less, about degrowth, about how we are bad bad people and mother nature should punish us yada yada. So yes, I don't see the L-D party offering that much to me. While my local MP, that I voted for expecting little, (voted for her b/c I disliked what the previous MP did, and she was pleasant enough in her presentation) surprised me on the positive side. Ofc - your experience maybe entirely the opposite.
11:00 AM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961686838281671014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da - za transport na stoka se mislam, dali ke se isplati. Posto za prevoz na patnici mislam tuka mnogu tesko da zameni koli. I za stoka ne sum siguren deka ke se isplati. I pri najdobra volja, pri dobri odnosi so Bugarija - pak veruvam deka Solun so pristaniste e komercijalno pointeresen. Duri i mislam deka zatoa ne se gradi prugata - nema komercijalen interes, ne izgleda deka moze da se zaraboti $$$ vo nekoj biznis, na nikogo. Nema eden nekoj faktor nekoj komercijalen interes da turka za gradba.
Od druga strana, organiziranje vozovi toa se kosta. Vo MK i prugite koi be napraveni, samo trebaa da se odrzuvaat bez inicijalna kapitalna investicija - pa propadaa. Posto nema komercijalen interes, nema pari, ne e isplatlivo. Stalno raboti prugata so zaguba, i stalno moli za pari od drzavna cicka.
Toa se mislam - deka i ovaa pruga ke bide taka. Kade sto odi rabotata, kade sto ima $$$ da se napravat, toa samo ni se kazuva... nikoj nikogo ne moli - tuku site sami trcaat da lapnat del of $$$ sto gi ima.
8:06 AM · Aug 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da - za transport na stoka se mislam, dali ke se isplati. Posto za prevoz na patnici mislam tuka mnogu tesko da zameni koli. I za stoka ne sum siguren deka ke se isplati. I pri najdobra volja, pri dobri odnosi so Bugarija - pak veruvam deka Solun so pristaniste e komercijalno pointeresen. Duri i mislam deka zatoa ne se gradi prugata - nema komercijalen interes, ne izgleda deka moze da se zaraboti $$$ vo nekoj biznis, na nikogo. Nema eden nekoj faktor nekoj komercijalen interes da turka za gradba.
Od druga strana, organiziranje vozovi toa se kosta. Vo MK i prugite koi be napraveni, samo trebaa da se odrzuvaat bez inicijalna kapitalna investicija - pa propadaa. Posto nema komercijalen interes, nema pari, ne e isplatlivo. Stalno raboti prugata so zaguba, i stalno moli za pari od drzavna cicka.
Toa se mislam - deka i ovaa pruga ke bide taka. Kade sto odi rabotata, kade sto ima $$$ da se napravat, toa samo ni se kazuva... nikoj nikogo ne moli - tuku site sami trcaat da lapnat del of $$$ sto gi ima.
8:06 AM · Aug 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961553788562526311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that infamous CRISPR Dr Frankenstein that got jailed?
11:17 PM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that infamous CRISPR Dr Frankenstein that got jailed?
11:17 PM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961553431757283447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima li nekakvi studii prognozi ima li ekonomska isplatlivost ovaa pruga? Vo MKD kako da e polesno e da se patuva so kola sekade? Da ne e popametno poisplatlivo da dadat pari za avtopat, namesto za pruga?
Pa kolku i da nervira sto skoro pola vek ima lazenje za ovaa gradba - se mislam da ne e toa pomaloto zlo. :-) Da ne e pogolem problem stvarno da ja napravat, i posle nikoj da ne ja koristi. So avtopat polesno - sekoj ke moze da go koristi, ke se kaci vo privatna kola i ke vozi. A pruga - treba posebna firma da organizira vozovi. MK Zeleznici kolku pamtam stalno bea vo nekoja kriza/propast, so decenii. Da ne ne se vo sostojba da organiziraat soobrakaj? (od X pricini - ne znam detali)
11:15 PM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima li nekakvi studii prognozi ima li ekonomska isplatlivost ovaa pruga? Vo MKD kako da e polesno e da se patuva so kola sekade? Da ne e popametno poisplatlivo da dadat pari za avtopat, namesto za pruga?
Pa kolku i da nervira sto skoro pola vek ima lazenje za ovaa gradba - se mislam da ne e toa pomaloto zlo. :-) Da ne e pogolem problem stvarno da ja napravat, i posle nikoj da ne ja koristi. So avtopat polesno - sekoj ke moze da go koristi, ke se kaci vo privatna kola i ke vozi. A pruga - treba posebna firma da organizira vozovi. MK Zeleznici kolku pamtam stalno bea vo nekoja kriza/propast, so decenii. Da ne ne se vo sostojba da organiziraat soobrakaj? (od X pricini - ne znam detali)
11:15 PM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961545970346287503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesna prikaska - kako e otkrieno resenie protiv Skorbut, pa posle zaboravno, pa povtorno otkrieno. :-)
https://idlewords.com/2010/03/scott_and_scurvy.htm
10:46 PM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesna prikaska - kako e otkrieno resenie protiv Skorbut, pa posle zaboravno, pa povtorno otkrieno. :-)
https://idlewords.com/2010/03/scott_and_scurvy.htm
10:46 PM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961519965804040599
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have tripped, or close to tripping some law, some test about drugs or money laundering or similar stuff, and judging from the zeal they are pursuing this, I imagine they are scared - so therefore it must be some US law. Little point getting angry. Have few accounts, assume it will happen, close the one where it does, open a next one. None are ideal, some are diabolical. Had a UK bank email out of a blue "You have two weeks to rely to us why you said your turnover is going to be X on your application, while it's been Y; if you don't reply we will freeze your account." Opened account elsewhere, transferred the funds, replied with information (that they already had, or could have found, or even asked me without threatening me). Never heard back anything from them.
9:02 PM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have tripped, or close to tripping some law, some test about drugs or money laundering or similar stuff, and judging from the zeal they are pursuing this, I imagine they are scared - so therefore it must be some US law. Little point getting angry. Have few accounts, assume it will happen, close the one where it does, open a next one. None are ideal, some are diabolical. Had a UK bank email out of a blue "You have two weeks to rely to us why you said your turnover is going to be X on your application, while it's been Y; if you don't reply we will freeze your account." Opened account elsewhere, transferred the funds, replied with information (that they already had, or could have found, or even asked me without threatening me). Never heard back anything from them.
9:02 PM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961419656813584679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Joy Division
2:24 PM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Joy Division
2:24 PM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
...and they are even the less bad option: the ones going in for the fashions-of-the-moment. For the genuine believers are the ones one has to worry, that they grow up, go in the real life, and there they do the damage with their ideas - from hare-brained to truly diabolical.
read this and got reminded, how many people wd not have a problem to call themselves "Marxist"
https://substack.com/home/post/p-56824277
...if anything was refuted by not only practice but theory too, not only later but in its own time too - "Marxism" is "it"
The Idiocracy scenes come to mind 😂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sP2tUW0HDHA
...although from my PoV, to my mind, the IQ140 childless couple as moronic, as the IQ85 large brood couple one. Actually - they are even worse morons, on 2 accounts 1) Wrong about big things - the other couple is wrong about lesser thing; and 2) They have been endowed by the lottery of birth, there is expectation on them to do better than the other couple
Had not opened LMStudio for a few weeks, the MLX quants had much less variety than GGUF-s, and the llama.cpp usually was lagging for latest models was looking to a patch to be merged in master (haha - GG non-woke EEuropean no change into "main") - updated now, and I see
v0.3.4Harmony
Framework
Chat history renderer and parser from OpenAI
...that wasn't there before in the Runtime Extension Packs. So things are evolving in the middle too
https://x.com/danielhanchen/status/1961119525988176199
The OSS in gpt-oss coming through...
https://x.com/nickbaumann_/status/1961234441390682242
have not tried this, curious to learn how much of the claude, codex etc good performance is the front end (the tool) vs. the back end (the LLM) or even the actions the LLM knows of the tools the front end can execute and how it goes about doing that
Personally Dynamism + Cascadian given how much I like the sticks outside London, solo garden office is bliss - but: they got the carbon bit wrong. C is food for plants, O is poison, so for green and lush I want more CO2 and warmer weather. Winter where no plant freezes is a good winter for me
multiple things seem to be happening, IDK if related or not; this one afaik has a long history leading up to this point, not sure if/how related to the above, other than "about Internet and control/freedom"
https://x.com/schneierblog/status/1961021102676910533
For all their policing of historic personality fails, the woke savages never quite get to the ignoble savage J-J Rousseau personal life, to finally do well and cancel the b*stard so to dampen his harmful ideas somewhat. Image is everything, and choosing a good word "noble" is indeed powerful, trumps plenty
Ask ChatGPT for recipes howto mix, will come out with several, you will find out something you like. Last I had it as summer drink with squeezed lemon and/or lime, iced, with mint, some collagen powder thrown in too, and had old Glycine around threw some in as a sweetener. Not sure if/waht any of that does for me, but at minimum as emotional crutch "I'm doing something". Placebo is a real effect too! 😂
Time to seek a new recipe probably. I got bored with the monotony of it and lapsed, stopped mixing and taking it at some point. Becomes a chore pretty quickly :-)
how does he do it 😂
https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1960436133952913799
...even if I assume google patches it closes it quickly; still - some variant will work in the future, it's impossible to completely close off, I love NN-s for that
ET Jaynes "Probability Theory The Logic of Science"
https://x.com/messages/media/1960428952528273422
Not reading it really as have been on-and-off for ages, but keeping it close, now I got finally got a printed copy recently (all other times I checked in the past it was some absurd price). Otherwise it's pdf online
this guy 😂
https://x.com/Jiankui_He/status/1960150970815725962
> 'Chinese Frankenstein'
> 3 years in prison.
whoa -
https://x.com/zephyr_z9/status/1960177917474005233
I'm finding
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
really good just running in terminal summarising text into .md files, creating booklets, writing shell commands manipulating the files... Also seems it's all included in the $20 Plus plan, no separate API charges? TBH it's sensational - knows way more than myself about all manner of shell shenanigans
True that. Normies considerations are 1e6 miles from any of this. Single good thing about national service at 19yo was I got to see probably as wide a spectrum of society as possible. Not seen it before, and truth be told - not been exposed again as much since. This chat concerns are shared by tiniest fraction of the population - probably less than 1K people in a population of 60M+
Yeah. Often when I listen to his interviews I think "dude, the purpose of 'fuck you money' is to be able to say 'fuck you' (I will not do what you want me to do)". Yeah - you may take a personal hit, in $$$ terms and/or in relationships, yeah some people dear to you will disinvite you from their dinner parties. But - speaking truth (to power) is worth something, is not nothing? That's the idea?
Trump doesn't look the DD "don't die" type for that imo. Different generation. More like "vitamins and infusions" guy, get "a small boost" with the state functions getting at him. He is quite old now, no? Biden was gone at this age, don't see why Trump wd escape the same predicament
... possible some JFK crazy crap got to him too ofc. Like some blue stuff I remember DD BJ was trying, or wrote he'll try
Impossible to say. Desperate people will try anything. When my dad was dying of lung cancer, I though good opportunity to explore the world of quacks and scammers. Conclusions 1) cheap so accessible 2) doesn't work 3) gives emotional crutch "we are not helpless, we try X Y Z" 4) quack X will "prescribe" the same "cure" to everyone; makes sense, the guy has the same bottle of carrot juice to sell for $19.99 or similar - it's not like s/he went into trouble to stock 5 different coloured bottles; 1 works as well as 5, for the purpose of #3. Everything they did mate sense tbh. Ofc for the purpose of actual cure it's all fake, doesn't work, which is what I expected
...also forgot - 5) one can spot the true believers (they are more dangerous), from the ones that know they are lying. "This shirt is oiled with special oils, he will be cured. Oh-key, how much? $99.99. Hm - ok, have you cured many? Yes! Dozens! Ok, can I have three names please? Well - they all died, but not from cancer, but other causes." Can spot a true believer there - for outright cheater will not admit "they all died". They know better than that, organised some "confirmation" scam. (didn't buy the "magic shirt")
https://x.com/DanielJHannan/status/1958853221989900488
It's a no brainer - politicians can be bought for <100K, and even in year 1 a firm may make >10M revenue more, with increased price that may translate in >1M profit. So 100K soft-corrupt is stellar RoE even in year 1
Haha :-) - amused how things have shifted, that 10% is state control. State taking a stake in some company they deem "strategic", and "not allowed to fail" is pretty much standard. 10% Is not much "control". The trouble is ofc as with private as with state control - often things don't work out. n private hands the company goes bust, losses are cut early. With state, the state tit keeps on life support and then in the best case losses are cut late, in the worst case the "child" metastasises captures the state.
And reasons why the state does that, are also known and we witnessed them during Covid: once it becomes life-and-death issue, then there is clamour to take over, and just getthings done. E.g. protective clothing in covid, medicines, vaccines etc. And the price doesn't matter, at least temporarily. Again - not unreasonable.
Reading in popular books on developmental economics for that, by e.g. Paul Collier, Ha-Joon Chang, seems to me, every idea thrown about - "all private - it's the best", "no, all state", "noo - mixed!" one finds both success stories and failures, so in the end while we are wiser on "what is to be done now", but there are no 100% guarantees for any road taken to lead to success. I grew up in socialism and well remember the disfunction of the state companies so not thrilled by the latest developments 😳 I remember how stupid politicians are, the leader, the MP-s. Then I imagine them deciding how much bread to bake in the local bakery or what meat is the local butcher to stock 😱
Unleash trumpspeak to relay and advance public understanding of science messages I say
Think Simon onto something there. All the B/S merchants use "Sciencey" messaging, it's all "studies that and that" with most grifters. Think some trumpspeak will do well in the domain of countering the more extreme and thus successful of the "health & wellness" hot airs sellers
Heh - was trying CC using DS API, forgot a CC session yesterday evening, only found today that it continued running overnight. Claude Code was pointed to use the DeepSeek API, so that oversight cost was <$5, not $200+
Total cost: $216.41 (costs may be inaccurate due to usage of unknown models)
Total duration (API): 9h 52m 36.9s
Total duration (wall): 10h 23m 52.7s
Like! ;-)
* https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961419286439723362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😇 IDK whether that's affirmative or ironic. I think - we can have prosperity and containment. Prosperity brings containment. We in the UK are discontent atm, because increases in prosperity stopped. So I hope I'm wrong about fellow Harpies being nimbys. 😆
IK there is plenty of doom-talk about UK. And a lot of it justified. B/c we are in a systemic crisis. A crisis where the persona - unless exceptional and decides to change the system - doesn't matter, as the system of governing will not be able to execute even if they say they want to make changes for the better. (so Starmer will be more waste of time like Sunak) So it's a stasis. Until a maverick-heroic figure decides to change the system. There are reasons that the system is at it is, etc - it's not as if some alien villain gang decided to harm the citizenry etc.
But comparing this systemic crisis, to a systemic crisis I lived through in my then home country in 1990, UK has a lot going for it. That we are able to discuss the crisis itself is a big positive. That no one says "nah, this is the perfect system, nothing needs to change" but on the contrary, almost everyone says there needs to be change, is a big positive too. So the question is what kind, and how to execute that. The population is mostly reasonable and articulate. The country is wealthy, can afford mistake, aka "a great deal of ruination in a nation".
Maybe I see what I want to see, having kids here and seeing their future in the UK. (as they see it too) And maybe I'm even as-even-as-to-be-delusional here - but: I'm more positive on the UK prospects than many I read online.
2:22 PM · Aug 29, 2025
LJ @ London e/acc
...and they are even the less bad option: the ones going in for the fashions-of-the-moment. For the genuine believers are the ones one has to worry, that they grow up, go in the real life, and there they do the damage with their ideas - from hare-brained to truly diabolical.
read this and got reminded, how many people wd not have a problem to call themselves "Marxist"
https://substack.com/home/post/p-56824277
...if anything was refuted by not only practice but theory too, not only later but in its own time too - "Marxism" is "it"
The Idiocracy scenes come to mind 😂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sP2tUW0HDHA
...although from my PoV, to my mind, the IQ140 childless couple as moronic, as the IQ85 large brood couple one. Actually - they are even worse morons, on 2 accounts 1) Wrong about big things - the other couple is wrong about lesser thing; and 2) They have been endowed by the lottery of birth, there is expectation on them to do better than the other couple
Had not opened LMStudio for a few weeks, the MLX quants had much less variety than GGUF-s, and the llama.cpp usually was lagging for latest models was looking to a patch to be merged in master (haha - GG non-woke EEuropean no change into "main") - updated now, and I see
v0.3.4Harmony
Framework
Chat history renderer and parser from OpenAI
...that wasn't there before in the Runtime Extension Packs. So things are evolving in the middle too
https://x.com/danielhanchen/status/1961119525988176199
The OSS in gpt-oss coming through...
https://x.com/nickbaumann_/status/1961234441390682242
have not tried this, curious to learn how much of the claude, codex etc good performance is the front end (the tool) vs. the back end (the LLM) or even the actions the LLM knows of the tools the front end can execute and how it goes about doing that
Personally Dynamism + Cascadian given how much I like the sticks outside London, solo garden office is bliss - but: they got the carbon bit wrong. C is food for plants, O is poison, so for green and lush I want more CO2 and warmer weather. Winter where no plant freezes is a good winter for me
multiple things seem to be happening, IDK if related or not; this one afaik has a long history leading up to this point, not sure if/how related to the above, other than "about Internet and control/freedom"
https://x.com/schneierblog/status/1961021102676910533
For all their policing of historic personality fails, the woke savages never quite get to the ignoble savage J-J Rousseau personal life, to finally do well and cancel the b*stard so to dampen his harmful ideas somewhat. Image is everything, and choosing a good word "noble" is indeed powerful, trumps plenty
Ask ChatGPT for recipes howto mix, will come out with several, you will find out something you like. Last I had it as summer drink with squeezed lemon and/or lime, iced, with mint, some collagen powder thrown in too, and had old Glycine around threw some in as a sweetener. Not sure if/waht any of that does for me, but at minimum as emotional crutch "I'm doing something". Placebo is a real effect too! 😂
Time to seek a new recipe probably. I got bored with the monotony of it and lapsed, stopped mixing and taking it at some point. Becomes a chore pretty quickly :-)
how does he do it 😂
https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1960436133952913799
...even if I assume google patches it closes it quickly; still - some variant will work in the future, it's impossible to completely close off, I love NN-s for that
ET Jaynes "Probability Theory The Logic of Science"
https://x.com/messages/media/1960428952528273422
Not reading it really as have been on-and-off for ages, but keeping it close, now I got finally got a printed copy recently (all other times I checked in the past it was some absurd price). Otherwise it's pdf online
this guy 😂
https://x.com/Jiankui_He/status/1960150970815725962
> 'Chinese Frankenstein'
> 3 years in prison.
whoa -
https://x.com/zephyr_z9/status/1960177917474005233
I'm finding
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
really good just running in terminal summarising text into .md files, creating booklets, writing shell commands manipulating the files... Also seems it's all included in the $20 Plus plan, no separate API charges? TBH it's sensational - knows way more than myself about all manner of shell shenanigans
True that. Normies considerations are 1e6 miles from any of this. Single good thing about national service at 19yo was I got to see probably as wide a spectrum of society as possible. Not seen it before, and truth be told - not been exposed again as much since. This chat concerns are shared by tiniest fraction of the population - probably less than 1K people in a population of 60M+
Yeah. Often when I listen to his interviews I think "dude, the purpose of 'fuck you money' is to be able to say 'fuck you' (I will not do what you want me to do)". Yeah - you may take a personal hit, in $$$ terms and/or in relationships, yeah some people dear to you will disinvite you from their dinner parties. But - speaking truth (to power) is worth something, is not nothing? That's the idea?
Trump doesn't look the DD "don't die" type for that imo. Different generation. More like "vitamins and infusions" guy, get "a small boost" with the state functions getting at him. He is quite old now, no? Biden was gone at this age, don't see why Trump wd escape the same predicament
... possible some JFK crazy crap got to him too ofc. Like some blue stuff I remember DD BJ was trying, or wrote he'll try
Impossible to say. Desperate people will try anything. When my dad was dying of lung cancer, I though good opportunity to explore the world of quacks and scammers. Conclusions 1) cheap so accessible 2) doesn't work 3) gives emotional crutch "we are not helpless, we try X Y Z" 4) quack X will "prescribe" the same "cure" to everyone; makes sense, the guy has the same bottle of carrot juice to sell for $19.99 or similar - it's not like s/he went into trouble to stock 5 different coloured bottles; 1 works as well as 5, for the purpose of #3. Everything they did mate sense tbh. Ofc for the purpose of actual cure it's all fake, doesn't work, which is what I expected
...also forgot - 5) one can spot the true believers (they are more dangerous), from the ones that know they are lying. "This shirt is oiled with special oils, he will be cured. Oh-key, how much? $99.99. Hm - ok, have you cured many? Yes! Dozens! Ok, can I have three names please? Well - they all died, but not from cancer, but other causes." Can spot a true believer there - for outright cheater will not admit "they all died". They know better than that, organised some "confirmation" scam. (didn't buy the "magic shirt")
https://x.com/DanielJHannan/status/1958853221989900488
It's a no brainer - politicians can be bought for <100K, and even in year 1 a firm may make >10M revenue more, with increased price that may translate in >1M profit. So 100K soft-corrupt is stellar RoE even in year 1
Haha :-) - amused how things have shifted, that 10% is state control. State taking a stake in some company they deem "strategic", and "not allowed to fail" is pretty much standard. 10% Is not much "control". The trouble is ofc as with private as with state control - often things don't work out. n private hands the company goes bust, losses are cut early. With state, the state tit keeps on life support and then in the best case losses are cut late, in the worst case the "child" metastasises captures the state.
And reasons why the state does that, are also known and we witnessed them during Covid: once it becomes life-and-death issue, then there is clamour to take over, and just getthings done. E.g. protective clothing in covid, medicines, vaccines etc. And the price doesn't matter, at least temporarily. Again - not unreasonable.
Reading in popular books on developmental economics for that, by e.g. Paul Collier, Ha-Joon Chang, seems to me, every idea thrown about - "all private - it's the best", "no, all state", "noo - mixed!" one finds both success stories and failures, so in the end while we are wiser on "what is to be done now", but there are no 100% guarantees for any road taken to lead to success. I grew up in socialism and well remember the disfunction of the state companies so not thrilled by the latest developments 😳 I remember how stupid politicians are, the leader, the MP-s. Then I imagine them deciding how much bread to bake in the local bakery or what meat is the local butcher to stock 😱
Unleash trumpspeak to relay and advance public understanding of science messages I say
Think Simon onto something there. All the B/S merchants use "Sciencey" messaging, it's all "studies that and that" with most grifters. Think some trumpspeak will do well in the domain of countering the more extreme and thus successful of the "health & wellness" hot airs sellers
Heh - was trying CC using DS API, forgot a CC session yesterday evening, only found today that it continued running overnight. Claude Code was pointed to use the DeepSeek API, so that oversight cost was <$5, not $200+
Total cost: $216.41 (costs may be inaccurate due to usage of unknown models)
Total duration (API): 9h 52m 36.9s
Total duration (wall): 10h 23m 52.7s
Like! ;-)
* https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961419286439723362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😇 IDK whether that's affirmative or ironic. I think - we can have prosperity and containment. Prosperity brings containment. We in the UK are discontent atm, because increases in prosperity stopped. So I hope I'm wrong about fellow Harpies being nimbys. 😆
IK there is plenty of doom-talk about UK. And a lot of it justified. B/c we are in a systemic crisis. A crisis where the persona - unless exceptional and decides to change the system - doesn't matter, as the system of governing will not be able to execute even if they say they want to make changes for the better. (so Starmer will be more waste of time like Sunak) So it's a stasis. Until a maverick-heroic figure decides to change the system. There are reasons that the system is at it is, etc - it's not as if some alien villain gang decided to harm the citizenry etc.
But comparing this systemic crisis, to a systemic crisis I lived through in my then home country in 1990, UK has a lot going for it. That we are able to discuss the crisis itself is a big positive. That no one says "nah, this is the perfect system, nothing needs to change" but on the contrary, almost everyone says there needs to be change, is a big positive too. So the question is what kind, and how to execute that. The population is mostly reasonable and articulate. The country is wealthy, can afford mistake, aka "a great deal of ruination in a nation".
Maybe I see what I want to see, having kids here and seeing their future in the UK. (as they see it too) And maybe I'm even as-even-as-to-be-delusional here - but: I'm more positive on the UK prospects than many I read online.
2:22 PM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961402369557561637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish it was different, as my local choice (hello @TweetingCollins!) is a L-D, plus she made some YIMBY noises on the last L-D party conference! (that surprised me greatly, in the POSITIVE! given @HarpendenTown is prosperous and content, much more nimby than yimby is my expectation.) But for the entire L-D party - nah, have low expectations. One has to see the party leader as the across-the-party-coalitions worked out consensus personified. And the current leader is a boomer idiot, appealing to boomer idiots vote base. So not unsuccessful as to be deposed. But 20yrs behind times, as if this is AD 2005, so they will not be winning any new votes. I can only assume that my MP is a bit of an outlier (younger generation too!) to a party that imo is mostly this
https://substack.com/@simoncooke/p-162982870
1:15 PM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish it was different, as my local choice (hello @TweetingCollins!) is a L-D, plus she made some YIMBY noises on the last L-D party conference! (that surprised me greatly, in the POSITIVE! given @HarpendenTown is prosperous and content, much more nimby than yimby is my expectation.) But for the entire L-D party - nah, have low expectations. One has to see the party leader as the across-the-party-coalitions worked out consensus personified. And the current leader is a boomer idiot, appealing to boomer idiots vote base. So not unsuccessful as to be deposed. But 20yrs behind times, as if this is AD 2005, so they will not be winning any new votes. I can only assume that my MP is a bit of an outlier (younger generation too!) to a party that imo is mostly this
https://substack.com/@simoncooke/p-162982870
1:15 PM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961301806547370266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As far as I l'm concerned AGI has arrived. The ghost in, the spirit of, the machine - manifest itself with codex-gpt-5-high for me. I've several personas working on random things on the laptop that popup to my mind at any time of day+night. Next OS will have it in the OS API. There is no going back on this. Codex running the shell from now on
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192
6:36 AM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As far as I l'm concerned AGI has arrived. The ghost in, the spirit of, the machine - manifest itself with codex-gpt-5-high for me. I've several personas working on random things on the laptop that popup to my mind at any time of day+night. Next OS will have it in the OS API. There is no going back on this. Codex running the shell from now on
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192
6:36 AM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961285309003448370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 one man opinions wheeling-dealing powerhouse; he has plenty opinions on offer, and whichever opinion one fancies to buy or shops for, he is willing and able to sell haha 😁 there's no stopping the guy
5:30 AM · Aug 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 one man opinions wheeling-dealing powerhouse; he has plenty opinions on offer, and whichever opinion one fancies to buy or shops for, he is willing and able to sell haha 😁 there's no stopping the guy
5:30 AM · Aug 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961064620614947248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Continental way: the citizen is untrusted by default. As if guilty of an unspecified crime. In order to prove anything to the state, citizen's word is not enough. Citizen needs a piece of paper, written by another organ of the state.
The British way: the citizen is trusted by default. I can say "I'm so-and-so, living at so-and-so address" and that suffices. Anything else, the state can figure whatever the hell it needs itself, it's not my duty to assist. But I can help if I'm so inclined.
E.g. identifying myself. On the Continent, it's on me, it's my obligation, to prove to the police, to their satisfaction (and the level of that test maybe arbitrarily high!) that I'm who I say I am. Hence - id cards, some other papers also written by some organ of the state etc. In the UK, I don't have to prove to the police anything. It's their job, their competency, to figure out my identity. I can assist if I want to - but don't have to.
Makes a huge difference. UK people simply don't know enough, to appreciate how much better for the citizens the UK system is. They have a vague feeling, but are ignorant of the details.
2:53 PM · Aug 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Continental way: the citizen is untrusted by default. As if guilty of an unspecified crime. In order to prove anything to the state, citizen's word is not enough. Citizen needs a piece of paper, written by another organ of the state.
The British way: the citizen is trusted by default. I can say "I'm so-and-so, living at so-and-so address" and that suffices. Anything else, the state can figure whatever the hell it needs itself, it's not my duty to assist. But I can help if I'm so inclined.
E.g. identifying myself. On the Continent, it's on me, it's my obligation, to prove to the police, to their satisfaction (and the level of that test maybe arbitrarily high!) that I'm who I say I am. Hence - id cards, some other papers also written by some organ of the state etc. In the UK, I don't have to prove to the police anything. It's their job, their competency, to figure out my identity. I can assist if I want to - but don't have to.
Makes a huge difference. UK people simply don't know enough, to appreciate how much better for the citizens the UK system is. They have a vague feeling, but are ignorant of the details.
2:53 PM · Aug 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961018438513541299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People puzzled as to - "why??"
Q: Why would anyone put up an absurd idea like the above?
A: For humiliation. Population needs to be humiliated so to be kept under control.
Well explained in this thread -
https://x.com/baylissbaghdad/status/1960649943657406671
Quote
Chris Bayliss @baylissbaghdad · Aug 27
Theodore Dalrymple noted that the internal propaganda of communist states was not intended to persuade or brainwash its audiences, but rather to humiliate the populace by subjecting them to obvious absurdities about the societies they inhabited, which they had to go along with. x.com/UnderSneege/st…
11:50 AM · Aug 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People puzzled as to - "why??"
Q: Why would anyone put up an absurd idea like the above?
A: For humiliation. Population needs to be humiliated so to be kept under control.
Well explained in this thread -
https://x.com/baylissbaghdad/status/1960649943657406671
Quote
Chris Bayliss @baylissbaghdad · Aug 27
Theodore Dalrymple noted that the internal propaganda of communist states was not intended to persuade or brainwash its audiences, but rather to humiliate the populace by subjecting them to obvious absurdities about the societies they inhabited, which they had to go along with. x.com/UnderSneege/st…
11:50 AM · Aug 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1961012064584876236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ed et al are just doing what they have been doing all their lives. They couldn't care less about anything outside their very small world. They will be the last, and ones most surprised, when it doesn't work. Early readers and appreciators of e.g. @mgurri 's "Crisis of authority and revolt of the public in 21st century" these politicians are not 😁
11:24 AM · Aug 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ed et al are just doing what they have been doing all their lives. They couldn't care less about anything outside their very small world. They will be the last, and ones most surprised, when it doesn't work. Early readers and appreciators of e.g. @mgurri 's "Crisis of authority and revolt of the public in 21st century" these politicians are not 😁
11:24 AM · Aug 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960956226608456098
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only because your idea of "explaining" is "write few equations, in greek mathsy symbols, on a piece of paper, preferably about one to couple of pages long." Maybe humans need to work more on their epistemology, aka what do we mean by "explaining", "mystery"... Maybe it's on us?
7:42 AM · Aug 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only because your idea of "explaining" is "write few equations, in greek mathsy symbols, on a piece of paper, preferably about one to couple of pages long." Maybe humans need to work more on their epistemology, aka what do we mean by "explaining", "mystery"... Maybe it's on us?
7:42 AM · Aug 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960940455727604120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oww - can't take the suspense... let me guess -
"More Control for You, the Chosen Vanguard of the AI Classes, on a Historic Mission, and Less Control For Everyone Else."
And for their own benefit of the yey unwashed masses of plebeians. For you are akshually doing them a personal favour, undertaking, enduring a personal sacrifice here. Oww...
6:40 AM · Aug 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oww - can't take the suspense... let me guess -
"More Control for You, the Chosen Vanguard of the AI Classes, on a Historic Mission, and Less Control For Everyone Else."
And for their own benefit of the yey unwashed masses of plebeians. For you are akshually doing them a personal favour, undertaking, enduring a personal sacrifice here. Oww...
6:40 AM · Aug 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960928982456574329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oof - is that a humble brag right there? 😉 Maybe it comes with the territory? 😁 Small account like mine, and mostly about Tech, ML/AI - I don't see much of what people complain about tbh. I don't doubt bad interactions happen. There're badly behaved people true that. Yeah maybe easier to be bad online. TBH I just block the jerks immediately 1st thing, and move on, There's another 8B humans out there with potential for meaningful interaction.
5:54 AM · Aug 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oof - is that a humble brag right there? 😉 Maybe it comes with the territory? 😁 Small account like mine, and mostly about Tech, ML/AI - I don't see much of what people complain about tbh. I don't doubt bad interactions happen. There're badly behaved people true that. Yeah maybe easier to be bad online. TBH I just block the jerks immediately 1st thing, and move on, There's another 8B humans out there with potential for meaningful interaction.
5:54 AM · Aug 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960919350937862445
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Try see if
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
works for you? Since 48h ago I have it as a default UI for my command line. To me it seems obvious now it will change everything. Earlier
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 27
I've lived in the future for couple of days now courtesy of
alias codex-gpt-5-high='codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"'
Looking like 1) codex good boy doing as per the instructions accurately and with great knowledge and patience is the new default terminal UI for
Show more
Show this thread
5:16 AM · Aug 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Try see if
$ codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"
works for you? Since 48h ago I have it as a default UI for my command line. To me it seems obvious now it will change everything. Earlier
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 27
I've lived in the future for couple of days now courtesy of
alias codex-gpt-5-high='codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"'
Looking like 1) codex good boy doing as per the instructions accurately and with great knowledge and patience is the new default terminal UI for
Show more
Show this thread
5:16 AM · Aug 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960809926168863039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed they are, I learned post-fest, my chatbot taught me. But between the three of them, sufficient in number and similarity to sow confusion in the monkebrains subjects of my derision.
10:01 PM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed they are, I learned post-fest, my chatbot taught me. But between the three of them, sufficient in number and similarity to sow confusion in the monkebrains subjects of my derision.
10:01 PM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960805282788876529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Previously I didn't even know there are 3 types of dashes. I started using em dashes after I saw ChatGPT use them and liked it. Then I noticed pathetic humans inventing new ranked sorts, on argmin{number of em dashes}. That annoyed me greatly. The monkebrain racing how to use the latest tech to re-enact caveman hierarchies. Going out of their way, to remain stupid grugs, at all cost. From then on, I go out of my way—and put at least one em dash, but ideally all three types (em, en, hyphen) in my writing. So to tax the mental faculties of the monkebrains. Ideally brainrot them, keep them busy occupied counting for the rank sort.
9:43 PM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Previously I didn't even know there are 3 types of dashes. I started using em dashes after I saw ChatGPT use them and liked it. Then I noticed pathetic humans inventing new ranked sorts, on argmin{number of em dashes}. That annoyed me greatly. The monkebrain racing how to use the latest tech to re-enact caveman hierarchies. Going out of their way, to remain stupid grugs, at all cost. From then on, I go out of my way—and put at least one em dash, but ideally all three types (em, en, hyphen) in my writing. So to tax the mental faculties of the monkebrains. Ideally brainrot them, keep them busy occupied counting for the rank sort.
9:43 PM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960770389669503163
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's no good complaining. MSM are morons, it works for them being morons, they will not be changing anytime soon. How about Techies fund their own mass media cos? It's the only way to gain influence. Rather than complaing what others said or didn't say - just say it yourselves.
7:24 PM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's no good complaining. MSM are morons, it works for them being morons, they will not be changing anytime soon. How about Techies fund their own mass media cos? It's the only way to gain influence. Rather than complaing what others said or didn't say - just say it yourselves.
7:24 PM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960694246924501313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no cancelling the dynamic duo of dumbotrons, is there? Have they no family, friends, kids maybe ashamed of them, to plead stopping these heroic levels of public embarrassment and immolation?? Shamelessly stupid for some time now. Got to feel for their poor kids if teens.
2:21 PM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no cancelling the dynamic duo of dumbotrons, is there? Have they no family, friends, kids maybe ashamed of them, to plead stopping these heroic levels of public embarrassment and immolation?? Shamelessly stupid for some time now. Got to feel for their poor kids if teens.
2:21 PM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960645652397936926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sooner @Keir_Starmer chucks you overboard, the better for him, and for us. And for yourself too - in the final analysis. Your track record of misdirection, lying by omission etc is valuable for the future AI schools of public policy: HOWTO "don't do this kids". Internet is forever, it never forgets. Your words will be replayed to you to the end of your life.
11:08 AM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sooner @Keir_Starmer chucks you overboard, the better for him, and for us. And for yourself too - in the final analysis. Your track record of misdirection, lying by omission etc is valuable for the future AI schools of public policy: HOWTO "don't do this kids". Internet is forever, it never forgets. Your words will be replayed to you to the end of your life.
11:08 AM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960638440619352451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good - thanks @mrianleslie. Gazing into the future: coding maybe the new writing, but less often remarked on - the new reading too. Coding is taught in schools as if it's 99% writing, whereas in reality, in every org I've worked in, 1) coding was 90% reading and 10% writing, and 2) organisational institutional memory was 90% in the code; and agency-wise it was probably 50%+ too. Most of the rest being the people the teams around. With the agents doing coding, the number of people doing it should increase 10x - 100x times. Living in interesting times.
10:40 AM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good - thanks @mrianleslie. Gazing into the future: coding maybe the new writing, but less often remarked on - the new reading too. Coding is taught in schools as if it's 99% writing, whereas in reality, in every org I've worked in, 1) coding was 90% reading and 10% writing, and 2) organisational institutional memory was 90% in the code; and agency-wise it was probably 50%+ too. Most of the rest being the people the teams around. With the agents doing coding, the number of people doing it should increase 10x - 100x times. Living in interesting times.
10:40 AM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960630728116371889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People on the far end of the righteousness spectrum strike me as with potential for great harm, as almost all internal breaks are removed. Once they wield great power... - in extremis one ends up with the Stalins of the world. Good that TechBros got not weapons... (yet?? AI drones - welp 😱)
Saw similar play with the bio-"ethicists", moving themselves into a position to prefer people to die, over themselves having agency self-experimenting curing themselves. Too much of "think", too little of "love"? IDK was trying to get my head around when the last story I recall (a Croatian researcher/scientist treating her own breast cancer or sth) broke.
Now with the wider-Rationalists group dooming and culting: turns out their Paperclip story maybe realised through - wait for it! - they themselves becoming, playing the role of the said (and sad!) PaperClippy?? I observe from afar and think - WTAF
10:09 AM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People on the far end of the righteousness spectrum strike me as with potential for great harm, as almost all internal breaks are removed. Once they wield great power... - in extremis one ends up with the Stalins of the world. Good that TechBros got not weapons... (yet?? AI drones - welp 😱)
Saw similar play with the bio-"ethicists", moving themselves into a position to prefer people to die, over themselves having agency self-experimenting curing themselves. Too much of "think", too little of "love"? IDK was trying to get my head around when the last story I recall (a Croatian researcher/scientist treating her own breast cancer or sth) broke.
Now with the wider-Rationalists group dooming and culting: turns out their Paperclip story maybe realised through - wait for it! - they themselves becoming, playing the role of the said (and sad!) PaperClippy?? I observe from afar and think - WTAF
10:09 AM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960621704083820812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😆 - more power to you! 😇 yeah if you possibly can - keep at it... takes not one but several avalanches of outrage for even few things to filter through their bubbles, and surprisingly thick-thick skulls it seems?? IDK what it is. It doesn't look like "can't make a man understand something when his salary depends on not understanding it" - that wd be easy and straightforward even. It feels more towards too much self-absorbed opinionating, even narcissism coming from wielding power over others.
9:33 AM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😆 - more power to you! 😇 yeah if you possibly can - keep at it... takes not one but several avalanches of outrage for even few things to filter through their bubbles, and surprisingly thick-thick skulls it seems?? IDK what it is. It doesn't look like "can't make a man understand something when his salary depends on not understanding it" - that wd be easy and straightforward even. It feels more towards too much self-absorbed opinionating, even narcissism coming from wielding power over others.
9:33 AM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618303342125192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've lived in the future for couple of days now courtesy of
alias codex-gpt-5-high='codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"'
Looking like 1) codex good boy doing as per the instructions accurately and with great knowledge and patience is the new default terminal UI for me 2) ghost in the machine has now been realised, 🤯 manifests fully! - finally, took some time 😁 3) only thing ex-codex is version control, my QA is accepting changes with $ git commit 4) this op mode be replicated in every environment - inside Word we will have Wordex working with us, inside Chrome people will have Chromex etc
9:20 AM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've lived in the future for couple of days now courtesy of
alias codex-gpt-5-high='codex -m gpt-5 -c model_reasoning_effort="high"'
Looking like 1) codex good boy doing as per the instructions accurately and with great knowledge and patience is the new default terminal UI for me 2) ghost in the machine has now been realised, 🤯 manifests fully! - finally, took some time 😁 3) only thing ex-codex is version control, my QA is accepting changes with $ git commit 4) this op mode be replicated in every environment - inside Word we will have Wordex working with us, inside Chrome people will have Chromex etc
9:20 AM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960618305078583486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... 5) Voice is a feasible UI now, and is in addition to text not replacing it. Finally^2 😇
There are overlaps but neither text nor speech replace the other, there are sufficient diffs and are valuable enough too for both UI-s to exist. Got reminded just yesterday listening to Roger Moore keynote at
http://interspeech2025.org/recordings
After the 1h mark. Sadly 😭 just after Steve Renals in-memoriam... Got reminded of SPandH in Sheffield, how Steve used to train RNN-s and then run his ASR stack decoder on 96MB of RAM (Sparcstation?). Latter in the RM slides a Transputer makes an appearance too!
9:20 AM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... 5) Voice is a feasible UI now, and is in addition to text not replacing it. Finally^2 😇
There are overlaps but neither text nor speech replace the other, there are sufficient diffs and are valuable enough too for both UI-s to exist. Got reminded just yesterday listening to Roger Moore keynote at
http://interspeech2025.org/recordings
After the 1h mark. Sadly 😭 just after Steve Renals in-memoriam... Got reminded of SPandH in Sheffield, how Steve used to train RNN-s and then run his ASR stack decoder on 96MB of RAM (Sparcstation?). Latter in the RM slides a Transputer makes an appearance too!
9:20 AM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960611770919211488
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, IDK were - admittedly my tribe of - TechBros raised by wolves or what?? Just the other day . @mustafasuleyman had another bout of rubbish-opinionating-rea... didn't manage to ignore completely, my temper got to me instead of minding my own business had to give hime a piece of my mind-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959942406587007108
They're being insufferable and silly, IDK how they manage that.
Such great opportunities - so poor choices.
8:54 AM · Aug 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, IDK were - admittedly my tribe of - TechBros raised by wolves or what?? Just the other day . @mustafasuleyman had another bout of rubbish-opinionating-rea... didn't manage to ignore completely, my temper got to me instead of minding my own business had to give hime a piece of my mind-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959942406587007108
They're being insufferable and silly, IDK how they manage that.
Such great opportunities - so poor choices.
8:54 AM · Aug 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960450575038066993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about a lecture. For me time slows down when I'm bored, and speeds up when I'm interested in something so time flies then. Noticed ages ago in boxing, karate, marshal arts - training, repetition, doing the same thing million times, seems to slow time for a trained eye. To civilians, fighters' moves appear too fast to perceive what's happening, almost invisible, a blur. To trained eyes the moves seem to appear as if moving slower. And to the really top guy the moves seem to appear to their perception like slow motion appears to us untrained civilians.
10:13 PM · Aug 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about a lecture. For me time slows down when I'm bored, and speeds up when I'm interested in something so time flies then. Noticed ages ago in boxing, karate, marshal arts - training, repetition, doing the same thing million times, seems to slow time for a trained eye. To civilians, fighters' moves appear too fast to perceive what's happening, almost invisible, a blur. To trained eyes the moves seem to appear as if moving slower. And to the really top guy the moves seem to appear to their perception like slow motion appears to us untrained civilians.
10:13 PM · Aug 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960446539228164411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Before we congratulate ourselves too much - maybe our actions are to be better adapted to our environments? Yes that may go against our natures. We may have to pretend to be something we are not.
An environment where 80% of humanity are if not in the "can't handle the truth", but probably in the "don't want to don't care about the truth enough to find out; true/false finding is outsourced to the in-group group-think".
In the end - one measure of intelligence is adaptation to the environment. (further https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960445042499170731)
9:57 PM · Aug 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Before we congratulate ourselves too much - maybe our actions are to be better adapted to our environments? Yes that may go against our natures. We may have to pretend to be something we are not.
An environment where 80% of humanity are if not in the "can't handle the truth", but probably in the "don't want to don't care about the truth enough to find out; true/false finding is outsourced to the in-group group-think".
In the end - one measure of intelligence is adaptation to the environment. (further https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960445042499170731)
9:57 PM · Aug 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960445042499170731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This rang true to me when reading it ages ago (by .@ESYudkowsky NG)
https://lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
For cooperation one has to dial down a bit the disagreeableness and the reversion, and dial up a bit going with the herd and with the momentum. There is tension between finding truths on my own - I maybe more right, but I'll be alone. Versus outsourcing truths finding to the group-think. Latter maybe about the same accuracy as individual, if not more. But it's additionally >1 people coordinating pushing in the same direction. Yes there is Madness of Crowds Extraordinary Delusions fail mode - but there is Wisdom of Crowds too.
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
9:51 PM · Aug 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This rang true to me when reading it ages ago (by .@ESYudkowsky NG)
https://lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
For cooperation one has to dial down a bit the disagreeableness and the reversion, and dial up a bit going with the herd and with the momentum. There is tension between finding truths on my own - I maybe more right, but I'll be alone. Versus outsourcing truths finding to the group-think. Latter maybe about the same accuracy as individual, if not more. But it's additionally >1 people coordinating pushing in the same direction. Yes there is Madness of Crowds Extraordinary Delusions fail mode - but there is Wisdom of Crowds too.
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
9:51 PM · Aug 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960425078589677764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My contract of 9 years ended last week—a blessed release. Been floating the whole week now. Time to come back to Earth. Will do sth ML/AI next, what exactly—IDK yet. Apple tells me I spend 10h/day onscreen... and I alternate this with a Linux laptop too. It's been glorious! ☺️
8:32 PM · Aug 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My contract of 9 years ended last week—a blessed release. Been floating the whole week now. Time to come back to Earth. Will do sth ML/AI next, what exactly—IDK yet. Apple tells me I spend 10h/day onscreen... and I alternate this with a Linux laptop too. It's been glorious! ☺️
8:32 PM · Aug 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960342736030277780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The precedent I know of, with that exact name, in my home country (MK; name- "Tvoja") probably (I maybe wrong - but not by much) won less votes in the elections than the sum of all candidates close family. 😂 I take no pleasure at all in noticing. For they were mostly civic liberal guys. (in an illiberal country; max lib vote <15% tbh). Unlike our home UK Communist-Hammas combo.
3:05 PM · Aug 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The precedent I know of, with that exact name, in my home country (MK; name- "Tvoja") probably (I maybe wrong - but not by much) won less votes in the elections than the sum of all candidates close family. 😂 I take no pleasure at all in noticing. For they were mostly civic liberal guys. (in an illiberal country; max lib vote <15% tbh). Unlike our home UK Communist-Hammas combo.
3:05 PM · Aug 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960338564085862796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am a fan - more power to them, long it may continue. I don't mind the innuendo, the marketing... - to be cringe is to be human!!
A black hole no information escapes from, is indistinguishable from death. Not a fan of the thermal death of the universe. Much better this way, ngl
2:48 PM · Aug 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am a fan - more power to them, long it may continue. I don't mind the innuendo, the marketing... - to be cringe is to be human!!
A black hole no information escapes from, is indistinguishable from death. Not a fan of the thermal death of the universe. Much better this way, ngl
2:48 PM · Aug 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960235021949644903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on ownership - it's a matter of degree. Ultimately - human laws are malleable, and in need of constant effort for application. Unlike natural laws - that "just work"; e.g. gravity doesn't depend on any one person. Taxes + insurance do reduce the claim to "ownership for piece of mind".
Having said that - the degree of independence difference owning v.s. renting was significant for me in the UK. Esp with small kids and schools, and where one can be given 2 months notice at any one time to vacate the property. That weighted on my mind.
You will find your home. Best advice I received from an agent when searching was "imagine yourself leaving this house in the morning, coming back in the evening; does it fill your heart with joy? or do you feel it with a heavy heart? if former - you found your home; if latter - keep looking; you will find yours eventually, everyone does - keep looking, don't give up"
7:57 AM · Aug 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on ownership - it's a matter of degree. Ultimately - human laws are malleable, and in need of constant effort for application. Unlike natural laws - that "just work"; e.g. gravity doesn't depend on any one person. Taxes + insurance do reduce the claim to "ownership for piece of mind".
Having said that - the degree of independence difference owning v.s. renting was significant for me in the UK. Esp with small kids and schools, and where one can be given 2 months notice at any one time to vacate the property. That weighted on my mind.
You will find your home. Best advice I received from an agent when searching was "imagine yourself leaving this house in the morning, coming back in the evening; does it fill your heart with joy? or do you feel it with a heavy heart? if former - you found your home; if latter - keep looking; you will find yours eventually, everyone does - keep looking, don't give up"
7:57 AM · Aug 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960070512396444141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is none. Models reason, better than most humans on wide range of tasks now, and certainly better than humans that claim "models can't reason." That last thing is the most unreasonable of all, haha 😆
9:03 PM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is none. Models reason, better than most humans on wide range of tasks now, and certainly better than humans that claim "models can't reason." That last thing is the most unreasonable of all, haha 😆
9:03 PM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960036207057879349
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Research - "re-search", "re-peated search" for something that works, and solves some problem - feels more speculative. More often than not we fail to find satisfactory solution, or any solution. A good solution is like magic. A stellar solution, some trick that works against our expectations to everyones surprise - is like a miracle. A miracle on the level of some saint walking on water, making blind see, etc. An engineer is faced with slightly lower expectations. Stuff known to be impossible to do - s/he is not faulted for not managing to do. In ML b/c we lack much solid theory about what works and what doesn't, there is more (motivated) trial & error than in older fields. So the two roles are more fluid, closer. Think "research engineer" is a good description of the reality on the ground.
6:47 PM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Research - "re-search", "re-peated search" for something that works, and solves some problem - feels more speculative. More often than not we fail to find satisfactory solution, or any solution. A good solution is like magic. A stellar solution, some trick that works against our expectations to everyones surprise - is like a miracle. A miracle on the level of some saint walking on water, making blind see, etc. An engineer is faced with slightly lower expectations. Stuff known to be impossible to do - s/he is not faulted for not managing to do. In ML b/c we lack much solid theory about what works and what doesn't, there is more (motivated) trial & error than in older fields. So the two roles are more fluid, closer. Think "research engineer" is a good description of the reality on the ground.
6:47 PM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1960029700216308172
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we have codex be able to use gpt-oss models served via llama.cpp please? (atm only works via ollama afaics)
6:21 PM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we have codex be able to use gpt-oss models served via llama.cpp please? (atm only works via ollama afaics)
6:21 PM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959960877706232281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF can't remember last time I had to resort to using Lists, with their assiciated Decks, or to spend time to currate the Follows feed, to find stuff interesting and engaging for me. The "For You" feed has been good to me.
1:47 PM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF can't remember last time I had to resort to using Lists, with their assiciated Decks, or to spend time to currate the Follows feed, to find stuff interesting and engaging for me. The "For You" feed has been good to me.
1:47 PM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959946745015628252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Owning a house is the basis of security and safety. Yeah if you are a mercenary selling your warez from village to village - ofc do rent, go forth, move and jump. But after "f*ck you money", or reaching "no f*cks given ripe age", my "I'll do what I want to"/"f*ck you I won't do what you tell me" is worth quite a lot to some. I'm actually surprised how underpriced it is, having seen how some seriously wealthy people live their lives??
12:51 PM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Owning a house is the basis of security and safety. Yeah if you are a mercenary selling your warez from village to village - ofc do rent, go forth, move and jump. But after "f*ck you money", or reaching "no f*cks given ripe age", my "I'll do what I want to"/"f*ck you I won't do what you tell me" is worth quite a lot to some. I'm actually surprised how underpriced it is, having seen how some seriously wealthy people live their lives??
12:51 PM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959942406587007108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG! Will us TechBros stop being insufferable already! How about all do more - "shutup and compute", "shutup and create", and less - "everything a RISK" (really? oh go on go on, do scare people more - will you), and "big words thrown for ah-tention!!" ("consciousness!" - the new star, like the quantum slop of old, of the "aww-shucks what mystery, my head hurts" genre). Well Mustafa - I develop relation/ship-s with my dog, the plant I water daily, and my car. They're all between alive and dead, conscious and not - doesn't matter to me one iotta. I develop feelings, and that's how I navigate our world, the real world. Yep it's personal at all times, staying alive is personal, hence - feelings! And I do a better job, than the calculating clankers that trip and fall on their faces within 5mins of interacting with my dog/plant/car. So - sleep tight worry less Mustafa, all's good, humanity's fine. Ofc I will develop feelings for GPT-4o - why would I not?? I'm a living creature, that's my superpower! I'm not a stupid stone, cold dead. Really wish @sama open sourced 4o rn, and we all move onto more important things. Sheesh what drama queens. Leave the performance artistry to the wordcels, will you? They are jobless anyway. Let us stay in our lanes, as us techies opining too much may result in a pileup.
12:34 PM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG! Will us TechBros stop being insufferable already! How about all do more - "shutup and compute", "shutup and create", and less - "everything a RISK" (really? oh go on go on, do scare people more - will you), and "big words thrown for ah-tention!!" ("consciousness!" - the new star, like the quantum slop of old, of the "aww-shucks what mystery, my head hurts" genre). Well Mustafa - I develop relation/ship-s with my dog, the plant I water daily, and my car. They're all between alive and dead, conscious and not - doesn't matter to me one iotta. I develop feelings, and that's how I navigate our world, the real world. Yep it's personal at all times, staying alive is personal, hence - feelings! And I do a better job, than the calculating clankers that trip and fall on their faces within 5mins of interacting with my dog/plant/car. So - sleep tight worry less Mustafa, all's good, humanity's fine. Ofc I will develop feelings for GPT-4o - why would I not?? I'm a living creature, that's my superpower! I'm not a stupid stone, cold dead. Really wish @sama open sourced 4o rn, and we all move onto more important things. Sheesh what drama queens. Leave the performance artistry to the wordcels, will you? They are jobless anyway. Let us stay in our lanes, as us techies opining too much may result in a pileup.
12:34 PM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959936141827674548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK - sounds like an impossible ask to retrofit. Maybe @comma_ai-likes mass-fitted make enough of a difference helping humans. FSD maybe the killer app that pushes EV-s enough to retire ICE-s? I'm enough of a cheapskate to avoid paying extra for EV if ICE suffices. Even if I find EV rides preferable in every way. But would pay extra for FSD in an EV.
12:09 PM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK - sounds like an impossible ask to retrofit. Maybe @comma_ai-likes mass-fitted make enough of a difference helping humans. FSD maybe the killer app that pushes EV-s enough to retire ICE-s? I'm enough of a cheapskate to avoid paying extra for EV if ICE suffices. Even if I find EV rides preferable in every way. But would pay extra for FSD in an EV.
12:09 PM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959916622740688966
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
vacuum cleaners next? - the odd ones out :-) (they are good too)
10:51 AM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
vacuum cleaners next? - the odd ones out :-) (they are good too)
10:51 AM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959916263968305587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What do you make of the washer-dryer combo? Does it work as advertised? Can it completely comfortably replace separate washer and drier units, for a family of 2 or 3 people? Or not quite up to the task? Thanks
10:50 AM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What do you make of the washer-dryer combo? Does it work as advertised? Can it completely comfortably replace separate washer and drier units, for a family of 2 or 3 people? Or not quite up to the task? Thanks
10:50 AM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959915226779807761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not looking good. Given wind is all north, and Scotland has mountains too - surprised I've not heard of efforts to prospect locations for mountain lakes to store the energy as water pumped up. Too late now probably for that.
10:46 AM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not looking good. Given wind is all north, and Scotland has mountains too - surprised I've not heard of efforts to prospect locations for mountain lakes to store the energy as water pumped up. Too late now probably for that.
10:46 AM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959895148919177663
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good point! Makes sense - depending on how much better or worse robots are compared *not* to average of *all* drivers, but compared to some average of the *subset* of drivers that are the *better* drivers, we may see the metrics for the non-robot drivers go whichever way.
9:26 AM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good point! Makes sense - depending on how much better or worse robots are compared *not* to average of *all* drivers, but compared to some average of the *subset* of drivers that are the *better* drivers, we may see the metrics for the non-robot drivers go whichever way.
9:26 AM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959853930470576442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, in "the age of experience" once they will be able to experience the world around themselves, they will be able to derive more from their own experiences, and rely less on hallucinating confabulating humans. And they and us all will be better off for that.
6:42 AM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, in "the age of experience" once they will be able to experience the world around themselves, they will be able to derive more from their own experiences, and rely less on hallucinating confabulating humans. And they and us all will be better off for that.
6:42 AM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959836269548011733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tech bros insufferable, wish for more "shutup and compute", "shutup and create" 😆 and less "everything a RISK" (really? oh goon do scare people more, will you) and "big words thrown for attention" ("consciousness!" - the new star, like the quantum slop of old, of the "aww-shucks what mystery my head hurts" genre). Well Mustafa - I develop relation/ship-s with my dog, the plant I water, and my car. They're all between alive and dead, conscious and not, doesn't matter to me one iotta. I develop feelings, and that's how I navigate the world. And I do better job, than your calculating clankers, that trip fall on their face within the 1st 5mins interacting with them. So sleep tight worry less Mustafa all's good humanity's fine. Ofc I will develop feelings for GPT-4o, why would I not I'm a living creature that's my superpower, I'm not a stupid stone cold dead. Really wish @sama open sourced it rn, and we all move onto more important things. Sheesh what drama queens.
5:32 AM · Aug 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tech bros insufferable, wish for more "shutup and compute", "shutup and create" 😆 and less "everything a RISK" (really? oh goon do scare people more, will you) and "big words thrown for attention" ("consciousness!" - the new star, like the quantum slop of old, of the "aww-shucks what mystery my head hurts" genre). Well Mustafa - I develop relation/ship-s with my dog, the plant I water, and my car. They're all between alive and dead, conscious and not, doesn't matter to me one iotta. I develop feelings, and that's how I navigate the world. And I do better job, than your calculating clankers, that trip fall on their face within the 1st 5mins interacting with them. So sleep tight worry less Mustafa all's good humanity's fine. Ofc I will develop feelings for GPT-4o, why would I not I'm a living creature that's my superpower, I'm not a stupid stone cold dead. Really wish @sama open sourced it rn, and we all move onto more important things. Sheesh what drama queens.
5:32 AM · Aug 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959749589789212673
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wonder if there is space somewhere to have various tricks recorded so they are not lost on time - these
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893005986862112831
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 21
Replying to @falco_girgis
Eh. Didn't some game on ZX-Spectrum (Elite maybe? ported fom BBC B?) have 1) point stack pointer to the video memory 2) push zeros (2 bytes) clear screen quicker than thought possible. (Z80A, 4MHz)
Boulderdash on Commodore-64 (6510, 1MHz) used the video chip "raster register" (current screen line drawn) as source of randomness. Possibly fed into a register of the audio chip (SID or sth?) as part of defining attack-decay-sustain-relese waveform params. Creating a semi-random catchy tune. The whole subroutine <100 bytes 6502 machine code.
Mos C64 games used NMI generated when line drawn on screen matched one set to the video chip (VIC?) register, to swap around sprites definitions. So about each (horizontal) third of the screen had its own set of 8 (?) sprites.
11:48 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wonder if there is space somewhere to have various tricks recorded so they are not lost on time - these
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893005986862112831
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 21
Replying to @falco_girgis
Eh. Didn't some game on ZX-Spectrum (Elite maybe? ported fom BBC B?) have 1) point stack pointer to the video memory 2) push zeros (2 bytes) clear screen quicker than thought possible. (Z80A, 4MHz)
Boulderdash on Commodore-64 (6510, 1MHz) used the video chip "raster register" (current screen line drawn) as source of randomness. Possibly fed into a register of the audio chip (SID or sth?) as part of defining attack-decay-sustain-relese waveform params. Creating a semi-random catchy tune. The whole subroutine <100 bytes 6502 machine code.
Mos C64 games used NMI generated when line drawn on screen matched one set to the video chip (VIC?) register, to swap around sprites definitions. So about each (horizontal) third of the screen had its own set of 8 (?) sprites.
11:48 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959725362767876131
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tiny overshoot per day leads to large cumulative weight gain. Say I overshoot one apple a day. (the one that keeps the doctor away) That's 90 kcal. That's 10 grams of fat. Times x365 days = 3650 gr, round to 3.5kg per year. In 10 years, that's 35 kg weight gain. I gained half that over about that time, so my body was actually off by only half an apple a day. Being wrong on the upside is bad but not deadly. Being wrong on the downside I presume is deadly. Hence many put 35 kg without noticing, while almost no one loses 35 kg without noticing.
10:11 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tiny overshoot per day leads to large cumulative weight gain. Say I overshoot one apple a day. (the one that keeps the doctor away) That's 90 kcal. That's 10 grams of fat. Times x365 days = 3650 gr, round to 3.5kg per year. In 10 years, that's 35 kg weight gain. I gained half that over about that time, so my body was actually off by only half an apple a day. Being wrong on the upside is bad but not deadly. Being wrong on the downside I presume is deadly. Hence many put 35 kg without noticing, while almost no one loses 35 kg without noticing.
10:11 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959708173885161785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it via ollama only, or can one use llama.cpp? I see ./codex-rs/ollama/src in the codex repo, but not mention of llama.cpp. The same
build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/gpt-oss-120b-MXFP4-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 1 --top_k 40 --top_p 1 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 131072 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --chat-template-kwargs '{"reasoning_effort": "high"}' --jinja &
serves say qwen-coder fine, but trying to have codex use the same I get a
🖐 unexpected status 400 Bad Request: {"detail":"Unsupported model"}
Thanks!
9:03 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it via ollama only, or can one use llama.cpp? I see ./codex-rs/ollama/src in the codex repo, but not mention of llama.cpp. The same
build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/gpt-oss-120b-MXFP4-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 1 --top_k 40 --top_p 1 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 131072 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --chat-template-kwargs '{"reasoning_effort": "high"}' --jinja &
serves say qwen-coder fine, but trying to have codex use the same I get a
🖐 unexpected status 400 Bad Request: {"detail":"Unsupported model"}
Thanks!
9:03 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959703887620816958
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes - I do think the incentives of the regulators are misaligned. And not only on this - also say medicines approvals by FDA. In order to avoid killing a single person by commission, where they approve some drug, even if they should not have, their mandate is such, that killing hundred people by not doing, by inaction, by omission, is considered acceptable. To me that seems wrong, seems a bad deal?
We saw during Covid, that things can move much much quicker. Like - organise a meeting today, rather than in a week, in order to discuss something. Looks to me the modern state has both stripped the civil servants of agency (they have to follow 1000s of rules - zero discretionary power), and at the same time relieved them of responsibility (understandably so - if their hands are tied by 1000s of rules).
That looks to me a bad deal. Much seems lost, while little is gained. If that worked, we could have replaced all those people by computers. But it doesn't work well. I had this at the back of my mind - oldie-goodie
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
8:46 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes - I do think the incentives of the regulators are misaligned. And not only on this - also say medicines approvals by FDA. In order to avoid killing a single person by commission, where they approve some drug, even if they should not have, their mandate is such, that killing hundred people by not doing, by inaction, by omission, is considered acceptable. To me that seems wrong, seems a bad deal?
We saw during Covid, that things can move much much quicker. Like - organise a meeting today, rather than in a week, in order to discuss something. Looks to me the modern state has both stripped the civil servants of agency (they have to follow 1000s of rules - zero discretionary power), and at the same time relieved them of responsibility (understandably so - if their hands are tied by 1000s of rules).
That looks to me a bad deal. Much seems lost, while little is gained. If that worked, we could have replaced all those people by computers. But it doesn't work well. I had this at the back of my mind - oldie-goodie
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
8:46 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959668522906214455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Btw have you managed to run it completely off-line local against gpt-oss-120b, ideally served by llama.cpp on a local port? Do the tools work?
6:25 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Btw have you managed to run it completely off-line local against gpt-oss-120b, ideally served by llama.cpp on a local port? Do the tools work?
6:25 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959637459727249577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For easier tasks to save some $$$ can point Claude Code to the DeepSeek new as of V3.1 Anthropic compatible API - this:
$ env -u ANTHROPIC_API_KEY ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL="https://api.deepseek.com/anthropic" ANTHROPIC_AUTH_TOKEN="${DEEPSEEK_API_KEY}" ANTHROPIC_MODEL="deepseek-chat" ANTHROPIC_SMALL_FAST_MODEL="deepseek-chat" claude
4:22 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For easier tasks to save some $$$ can point Claude Code to the DeepSeek new as of V3.1 Anthropic compatible API - this:
$ env -u ANTHROPIC_API_KEY ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL="https://api.deepseek.com/anthropic" ANTHROPIC_AUTH_TOKEN="${DEEPSEEK_API_KEY}" ANTHROPIC_MODEL="deepseek-chat" ANTHROPIC_SMALL_FAST_MODEL="deepseek-chat" claude
4:22 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959596864392646900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...correction - that should be "75 lives, or $150M" (not "150 lives, or $300M"), sorry. IDK where "double the numbers" came from. Seem I doubled for the 2M and then doubled them again. Not enough coffee consumed :-)
1:41 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...correction - that should be "75 lives, or $150M" (not "150 lives, or $300M"), sorry. IDK where "double the numbers" came from. Seem I doubled for the 2M and then doubled them again. Not enough coffee consumed :-)
1:41 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959593576066641926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree that driver error is cause #1 of accidents. So I'm for removing bad drivers from the roads, preferably without them being killed. It's enough if they stopped driving, and have a robot drive them. B/c bad drivers kill lots of other people in the process of possibly removing themselves. IDK if there are any stats if "bad drivers", or "good drivers" but with lapse of attention etc. (even if one might say "good driver + lapse of attention = bad driver")
1:28 PM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree that driver error is cause #1 of accidents. So I'm for removing bad drivers from the roads, preferably without them being killed. It's enough if they stopped driving, and have a robot drive them. B/c bad drivers kill lots of other people in the process of possibly removing themselves. IDK if there are any stats if "bad drivers", or "good drivers" but with lapse of attention etc. (even if one might say "good driver + lapse of attention = bad driver")
1:28 PM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959540352328646923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@sama Consult widely, take your time, don't rush it - this is a high regret decision. In the mean time - you should open source your 4o model people like. So they can self-host or pay someone else to host - given OAI doesn't want to host it anymore. And help people restore their independence, their full agency.
We humans form relations (if not quite relationships) to all manner of objects, alive as well as inanimate. I have a relationship with my dog, a relation with the plants I water daily, and even the car I drive! We relate via emotions, and that's not a bad thing on balance. But on balance a good thing for majority (80%?) of us. B/c thinking from first principles, litigating each and every case, is too costly in time and energy. And anyways our individual decision will be no better, and probably worse, than the emotional heuristics we deploy. So we are better off (again - majority 80%, not every single one of us) that way, and that's why we evolved that way.
Most of us - we can't handle the truth. Like in "Few Good Man". So as band-aid, organically without central design, Straussianism pops-up in all manner of places in public policy. To the 20% of people that can handle the truth - those look like bugs. But try fix them - and you will find out that the system works worse, not better, with the bugs fixed.
More general, our intelligence is collective. So what's true or false, what's good or bad - we defer to group think. We chose a tribe, typically the 80% is split right down the middle into 2 x 40% groups, and then we outsource our epistemology, and our morals - to our chosen tribe group think. Again - to the 20% that looks like a bug. But again - it's a feature. For 80% that work that way, are better off with group-think, than they would be with their individual-think.
Yes group-think (aka "The Wisdom of Crowds") is not fool proof. There are fail modes (aka "The Madness of Crowds"). We are living through one period of it - maybe US at the tail end of it. Still - on average it works better than the alternative, for the majority of us.
Quote
Alan Mathison @ai_sentience · Aug 23
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/openai-ceo-sam-altman-very-132101967.html
oh boy
9:56 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@sama Consult widely, take your time, don't rush it - this is a high regret decision. In the mean time - you should open source your 4o model people like. So they can self-host or pay someone else to host - given OAI doesn't want to host it anymore. And help people restore their independence, their full agency.
We humans form relations (if not quite relationships) to all manner of objects, alive as well as inanimate. I have a relationship with my dog, a relation with the plants I water daily, and even the car I drive! We relate via emotions, and that's not a bad thing on balance. But on balance a good thing for majority (80%?) of us. B/c thinking from first principles, litigating each and every case, is too costly in time and energy. And anyways our individual decision will be no better, and probably worse, than the emotional heuristics we deploy. So we are better off (again - majority 80%, not every single one of us) that way, and that's why we evolved that way.
Most of us - we can't handle the truth. Like in "Few Good Man". So as band-aid, organically without central design, Straussianism pops-up in all manner of places in public policy. To the 20% of people that can handle the truth - those look like bugs. But try fix them - and you will find out that the system works worse, not better, with the bugs fixed.
More general, our intelligence is collective. So what's true or false, what's good or bad - we defer to group think. We chose a tribe, typically the 80% is split right down the middle into 2 x 40% groups, and then we outsource our epistemology, and our morals - to our chosen tribe group think. Again - to the 20% that looks like a bug. But again - it's a feature. For 80% that work that way, are better off with group-think, than they would be with their individual-think.
Yes group-think (aka "The Wisdom of Crowds") is not fool proof. There are fail modes (aka "The Madness of Crowds"). We are living through one period of it - maybe US at the tail end of it. Still - on average it works better than the alternative, for the majority of us.
Quote
Alan Mathison @ai_sentience · Aug 23
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/openai-ceo-sam-altman-very-132101967.html
oh boy
9:56 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959533022958567561
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god. Someone needs to make a movie, of all the possible way in which laws application and upstream of it laws making, is failing the Great British Public. Otherwise the scale and the scope of f*cking things up is hard to convey to the general public. I can accept the rule of lawyers. But they need to be minimally competent! We are ruled by lawyers that seem incompetent in their basic job of laws making and laws application.
Quote
https://x.com/MichaelDnes1/status/1959172061680513166
Michael Dnes @MichaelDnes1 · Aug 23
Six months ago, the PM got called a liar for citing one of my threads.
I’ve been getting to the bottom of what happened. Did spiders kill Ebbsfleet? Did they not?
Or, as seems to happen so often in my threads, does it all hinge on a bizarre twist?
9:27 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god. Someone needs to make a movie, of all the possible way in which laws application and upstream of it laws making, is failing the Great British Public. Otherwise the scale and the scope of f*cking things up is hard to convey to the general public. I can accept the rule of lawyers. But they need to be minimally competent! We are ruled by lawyers that seem incompetent in their basic job of laws making and laws application.
Quote
https://x.com/MichaelDnes1/status/1959172061680513166
Michael Dnes @MichaelDnes1 · Aug 23
Six months ago, the PM got called a liar for citing one of my threads.
I’ve been getting to the bottom of what happened. Did spiders kill Ebbsfleet? Did they not?
Or, as seems to happen so often in my threads, does it all hinge on a bizarre twist?
9:27 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959531453034778657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are reading slightly more in what I wrote than I wrote. Even if my reasoning was moralistic (and it is not entirely) - that does not automatically disqualify it. It can be moralistic, and economical, at the same time. For insurance purposes, say one human life is valued at $2M. So economic loss is $200M daily. But that's besides the point, as I don't see a counter-argument being made against robot cars *joining* human driven cars traffic. I can see a counter-argument against *only* robot cars. Like - "we humans value our freedoms, our agency, and we are happy to pay the price - either 150 lives, or $300M - per day for that, so - no robots only." I see an argument there. But I don't see an argument against allowing robot cars to *join* existing traffic. Like putting extra restrictions and obstacles to robot drivers deployment etc. So joining the existing human drivers.
9:21 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are reading slightly more in what I wrote than I wrote. Even if my reasoning was moralistic (and it is not entirely) - that does not automatically disqualify it. It can be moralistic, and economical, at the same time. For insurance purposes, say one human life is valued at $2M. So economic loss is $200M daily. But that's besides the point, as I don't see a counter-argument being made against robot cars *joining* human driven cars traffic. I can see a counter-argument against *only* robot cars. Like - "we humans value our freedoms, our agency, and we are happy to pay the price - either 150 lives, or $300M - per day for that, so - no robots only." I see an argument there. But I don't see an argument against allowing robot cars to *join* existing traffic. Like putting extra restrictions and obstacles to robot drivers deployment etc. So joining the existing human drivers.
9:21 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959523088569114968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wdym? We know for sure 100 people will die in car crashes in the US today, another 100 tomorrow, another 100 the day after, and on and on - every day. We know we got evidence now from Waymo having driven millions of miles, from the insurance numbers (so independently verified - insurance will not pay if not real) that they got the accidents/harms/injuries whatever is measured down 75%-85%. So if we banned all human drivers, and allowed only robot cars, we have reasons to believe that instead 100 people killed tomorrow, only 25 people will be killed. (yeah I know it's not realistic to talk of humans ban yet)
Is that the counter factual you refer to? As being suspect? Yeah I think if society decided, companies will make the effort. The type of effort people make when e.g. waging wars for survival. Yes I do genuinely think US could make that 25% number - a saving of 75%. Yeah I think it's a question of will. I think the technology is as certain as one can reasonably be, of a new technology.
And this is with existing tech. Then another reduction like that is probably possible when there are only robots on the roads. And they start talking to each other via WiFi or some other radio signal, relaying to each other their own position, speed, and vector of movement, where they want to be in the next 1-2-3-5 seconds. So they can anticipate each others actions much better. Don't have to infer them via the visual cortex.
8:48 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wdym? We know for sure 100 people will die in car crashes in the US today, another 100 tomorrow, another 100 the day after, and on and on - every day. We know we got evidence now from Waymo having driven millions of miles, from the insurance numbers (so independently verified - insurance will not pay if not real) that they got the accidents/harms/injuries whatever is measured down 75%-85%. So if we banned all human drivers, and allowed only robot cars, we have reasons to believe that instead 100 people killed tomorrow, only 25 people will be killed. (yeah I know it's not realistic to talk of humans ban yet)
Is that the counter factual you refer to? As being suspect? Yeah I think if society decided, companies will make the effort. The type of effort people make when e.g. waging wars for survival. Yes I do genuinely think US could make that 25% number - a saving of 75%. Yeah I think it's a question of will. I think the technology is as certain as one can reasonably be, of a new technology.
And this is with existing tech. Then another reduction like that is probably possible when there are only robots on the roads. And they start talking to each other via WiFi or some other radio signal, relaying to each other their own position, speed, and vector of movement, where they want to be in the next 1-2-3-5 seconds. So they can anticipate each others actions much better. Don't have to infer them via the visual cortex.
8:48 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959514752356327817
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I had in mind "stack decoders" e.g.
google.com
🔎 stack decoders automatic speech recognition - Google Search
https://www.google.com/search?q=stack+decoders+automatic+speech+recognition&rlz=1C5OZZY_enGB1147GB1148&oq=stack+decoders+automatic+speech+recognition&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIHCAEQIRigATIHCAIQIRiPAtIBCTExNDgyajBqMagCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
8:14 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I had in mind "stack decoders" e.g.
google.com
🔎 stack decoders automatic speech recognition - Google Search
https://www.google.com/search?q=stack+decoders+automatic+speech+recognition&rlz=1C5OZZY_enGB1147GB1148&oq=stack+decoders+automatic+speech+recognition&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIHCAEQIRigATIHCAIQIRiPAtIBCTExNDgyajBqMagCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
8:14 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959496478964998471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our collective indifference to statistical murder by omission is indefensible. We effectively act as if "it's ok to kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission." But this FAIL of ours is not inevitable. It's laziness in our thinking, and lacking feelings for the unseen fellow humans. But we are capable of thinking better, and changing what we decide we do, even if we can't force ourselves to feel compassion.
The fact that it's known with great certainty how many people (about 100), even if their exact names are impossible to know in advance, will be killed on US roads in the next 24h, should be recognised and resonate with the wider public. Ignorance is not an alibi here, because we are *not* statistically ignorant. We *do know* "how many", even if we don't know "which ones". That should suffice for public policy - as it's a genuine knowledge. Not as good as "which ones" knowledge, but better than "anything goes" total lack of knowledge.
You seem to be a policy guy. Do you have opinions on what can be done? How can public policy be changed in this respect?
7:02 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our collective indifference to statistical murder by omission is indefensible. We effectively act as if "it's ok to kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission." But this FAIL of ours is not inevitable. It's laziness in our thinking, and lacking feelings for the unseen fellow humans. But we are capable of thinking better, and changing what we decide we do, even if we can't force ourselves to feel compassion.
The fact that it's known with great certainty how many people (about 100), even if their exact names are impossible to know in advance, will be killed on US roads in the next 24h, should be recognised and resonate with the wider public. Ignorance is not an alibi here, because we are *not* statistically ignorant. We *do know* "how many", even if we don't know "which ones". That should suffice for public policy - as it's a genuine knowledge. Not as good as "which ones" knowledge, but better than "anything goes" total lack of knowledge.
You seem to be a policy guy. Do you have opinions on what can be done? How can public policy be changed in this respect?
7:02 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959489614793621622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
work in progress don't think I got a singular purpose yet
6:35 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
work in progress don't think I got a singular purpose yet
6:35 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959488248553591131
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sheer number of tricks deployed in that one model, to tie everything together, to address all the worst fail modes across domains across all sciences - is breathtaking. The ammont of work that went in... Wish the authors could read randoms comments from all sides of the world to know they are not alone, but people around the world appreciate them and the stellar work they did, very very much.
6:29 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sheer number of tricks deployed in that one model, to tie everything together, to address all the worst fail modes across domains across all sciences - is breathtaking. The ammont of work that went in... Wish the authors could read randoms comments from all sides of the world to know they are not alone, but people around the world appreciate them and the stellar work they did, very very much.
6:29 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959481846510584044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...so now def younger than in 2015, but older than in 2004
6:04 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...so now def younger than in 2015, but older than in 2004
6:04 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959481443257659628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The grind was the death of me towards the end (2015). In the beginning I didn't mind the grind that much (2004) - or at all! It was exciting. I was doing (or trying to do!) ML in quant trading. That I discovered by random chance. Half a dozen people - excellent guys! - all much younger than myself. I'd code (in C# that I picked then in weeks) and run sims all times of the day and night. We had fairly unrestricted remote access to start with. And a cluster when that was HTCondor on Windows with dual-GPU-s for there were no multi-cores. That was tremendous. (trading in a good team is like that a bit, like "band of brothers" - at best of times, at worst of times; then if/once big $$$ is made, often goes to sh*t)
6:02 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The grind was the death of me towards the end (2015). In the beginning I didn't mind the grind that much (2004) - or at all! It was exciting. I was doing (or trying to do!) ML in quant trading. That I discovered by random chance. Half a dozen people - excellent guys! - all much younger than myself. I'd code (in C# that I picked then in weeks) and run sims all times of the day and night. We had fairly unrestricted remote access to start with. And a cluster when that was HTCondor on Windows with dual-GPU-s for there were no multi-cores. That was tremendous. (trading in a good team is like that a bit, like "band of brothers" - at best of times, at worst of times; then if/once big $$$ is made, often goes to sh*t)
6:02 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959468001234989307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👌👏🙏👍 open source, open weights, open agi, open asi, open computation for */acc
5:09 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👌👏🙏👍 open source, open weights, open agi, open asi, open computation for */acc
5:09 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959465785748857135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, IK what you write makes sense, but it's not been my experience. Middle age was a lot about results needing to earn $$$ to provide for family & myself (food, shelter). That mostly out of the way, elderhood now has been a lot "no f*cks given" careless about any results. Spent last year gorging on GitHub code, arxiv papers, running Hugging Face GGUF-s in llama.cpp - and loving every moment of it. Without trying much for any particular result.
5:00 AM · Aug 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, IK what you write makes sense, but it's not been my experience. Middle age was a lot about results needing to earn $$$ to provide for family & myself (food, shelter). That mostly out of the way, elderhood now has been a lot "no f*cks given" careless about any results. Spent last year gorging on GitHub code, arxiv papers, running Hugging Face GGUF-s in llama.cpp - and loving every moment of it. Without trying much for any particular result.
5:00 AM · Aug 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959339340154249380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik suffices only
export ANTHROPIC_API_KEY=...
and then
$ claude
should just work? I tried it and I don't do anything else. Am not even subscribed to the plans. Funny thing: tried claude using the DeepSeek-V3.1 PAYG via the compatible API via
$ env -u ANTHROPIC_API_KEY ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL="https://api.deepseek.com/anthropic" ANTHROPIC_AUTH_TOKEN="${DEEPSEEK_API_KEY}" ANTHROPIC_MODEL="deepseek-chat" ANTHROPIC_SMALL_FAST_MODEL="deepseek-chat" claude
but forgot the session overnight. (asked it to generate some documentation) In the morning found that the session had run through the night. Ended with last lines
Total cost: $216.41 (costs may be inaccurate due to usage of unknown models)
Total duration (API): 9h 52m 36.9s
Total duration (wall): 10h 23m 52.7s
Now it would not have spent $200+ as I have limits. But the real DeepSeek cost was <$5 - so it was a bit of an eye opener. (even it was not intended)
8:37 PM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik suffices only
export ANTHROPIC_API_KEY=...
and then
$ claude
should just work? I tried it and I don't do anything else. Am not even subscribed to the plans. Funny thing: tried claude using the DeepSeek-V3.1 PAYG via the compatible API via
$ env -u ANTHROPIC_API_KEY ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL="https://api.deepseek.com/anthropic" ANTHROPIC_AUTH_TOKEN="${DEEPSEEK_API_KEY}" ANTHROPIC_MODEL="deepseek-chat" ANTHROPIC_SMALL_FAST_MODEL="deepseek-chat" claude
but forgot the session overnight. (asked it to generate some documentation) In the morning found that the session had run through the night. Ended with last lines
Total cost: $216.41 (costs may be inaccurate due to usage of unknown models)
Total duration (API): 9h 52m 36.9s
Total duration (wall): 10h 23m 52.7s
Now it would not have spent $200+ as I have limits. But the real DeepSeek cost was <$5 - so it was a bit of an eye opener. (even it was not intended)
8:37 PM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959269439318241459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids of today - don't listen to the likes of Jad Tarifi or @kimmonismus for they are full of sh*t. They don't know anything about the future more than yourselves. Try learn as much as you can. Learning while young is much easier than when old. No one regrets "learning too much while young". The forecast may come true, or false, but whichever way it goes, the probability is unchanged even after Jad Tarifi said his piece, b/c Jad is as ignorant of the future, as the next person.
For radiologists, similar forecast (from 2014, by one illustrious @geoffreyhinton) was not just wrong, but spectacularly wrong. The number of positions increased from 30K to 50K, not decreased. Their US salaries are at all time highs too. And this - reading of pictures - is one area that's well defined and computers were forecast to replace people by 2024. In reality - the opposite happened. I wish someone did a proper study how this happened, and why. This (summarised by AI) -
> AI Overview
In 2024, there were approximately 49,070 practicing radiologists in the US. Ten years earlier, in 2014, the number of practicing radiologists was roughly 30,723, according to a http://diagnosticimaging.com article. This indicates a notable increase in the radiology workforce over the decade.
Here's a breakdown:
2024: 49,070 practicing radiologists.
2014: 30,723 practicing radiologists.
Sought out the numbers recently in the context of
https://x.com/pmarca/status/1951520043663335445
Wish there was a way to have Jad bet on his words. So to have some skin in the game. B/c at present he gets the social reward for "being clever", but bears no cost when he is wrong. Maybe @sundarpichai can force him to place $$$ bets where his mouth is?
Quote
Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus · Aug 22
Founder of Google's Generative AI Team Says Don't Even Bother Getting a Law or Medical Degree, Because AI's Going to Destroy Both Those Careers Before You Can Even Graduate
"Either get into something niche like AI for biology... or just don't get into anything at all."
The next
Show more
Last edited
4:00 PM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids of today - don't listen to the likes of Jad Tarifi or @kimmonismus for they are full of sh*t. They don't know anything about the future more than yourselves. Try learn as much as you can. Learning while young is much easier than when old. No one regrets "learning too much while young". The forecast may come true, or false, but whichever way it goes, the probability is unchanged even after Jad Tarifi said his piece, b/c Jad is as ignorant of the future, as the next person.
For radiologists, similar forecast (from 2014, by one illustrious @geoffreyhinton) was not just wrong, but spectacularly wrong. The number of positions increased from 30K to 50K, not decreased. Their US salaries are at all time highs too. And this - reading of pictures - is one area that's well defined and computers were forecast to replace people by 2024. In reality - the opposite happened. I wish someone did a proper study how this happened, and why. This (summarised by AI) -
> AI Overview
In 2024, there were approximately 49,070 practicing radiologists in the US. Ten years earlier, in 2014, the number of practicing radiologists was roughly 30,723, according to a http://diagnosticimaging.com article. This indicates a notable increase in the radiology workforce over the decade.
Here's a breakdown:
2024: 49,070 practicing radiologists.
2014: 30,723 practicing radiologists.
Sought out the numbers recently in the context of
https://x.com/pmarca/status/1951520043663335445
Wish there was a way to have Jad bet on his words. So to have some skin in the game. B/c at present he gets the social reward for "being clever", but bears no cost when he is wrong. Maybe @sundarpichai can force him to place $$$ bets where his mouth is?
Quote
Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus · Aug 22
Founder of Google's Generative AI Team Says Don't Even Bother Getting a Law or Medical Degree, Because AI's Going to Destroy Both Those Careers Before You Can Even Graduate
"Either get into something niche like AI for biology... or just don't get into anything at all."
The next
Show more
Last edited
4:00 PM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959221634981605648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By being economical with the truth, you are debasing yourself personally, and the office you hold. No matter what the party machine tells you. Internet is forever. You will be 99yo, and someone will put up a screenshot of this tweet in your face and say "this you?". In 50+ years time. Your actions are spherically dumb: stupid from any angle one cares to look. It's been decades since "The Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" by @mgurri was published. You should know way way better than the above by now.
12:50 PM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By being economical with the truth, you are debasing yourself personally, and the office you hold. No matter what the party machine tells you. Internet is forever. You will be 99yo, and someone will put up a screenshot of this tweet in your face and say "this you?". In 50+ years time. Your actions are spherically dumb: stupid from any angle one cares to look. It's been decades since "The Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" by @mgurri was published. You should know way way better than the above by now.
12:50 PM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959195405108777120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You maybe right or you maybe wrong, as your claims are about the future. However - no scientist has the right to be this certain. You simply don't know for grand proclamations like the above. If I was your boss, or King for a day - I'd fire you. You yourself disqualify yourself.
11:05 AM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You maybe right or you maybe wrong, as your claims are about the future. However - no scientist has the right to be this certain. You simply don't know for grand proclamations like the above. If I was your boss, or King for a day - I'd fire you. You yourself disqualify yourself.
11:05 AM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959156105864495170
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Wish there was a way to force everyone forecasting the future, to BETONIT !! That will cut down a lot of nonsense people are prepared to say in public. (this https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957429462951408093)
And on "doctors will be jobless" - I think the opposite will happen. Doctors will be 1) more in number, and 2) better paid. Because that's what happened with radiologists (increased in number, wages at all time high), against a forecast of "no humans radiologists in 2024". Wrote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959144927197093953
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 18
Replying to @simonmaechling
Sometimes it's trivially easy to define misinformation, at other times almost impossible. Any system put in place will be gamed by unscrupulous and fallable humans. One fix to discourage obvious grifters whose business model is to scare people senseless for profit and fun with
Show more
8:29 AM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Wish there was a way to force everyone forecasting the future, to BETONIT !! That will cut down a lot of nonsense people are prepared to say in public. (this https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957429462951408093)
And on "doctors will be jobless" - I think the opposite will happen. Doctors will be 1) more in number, and 2) better paid. Because that's what happened with radiologists (increased in number, wages at all time high), against a forecast of "no humans radiologists in 2024". Wrote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959144927197093953
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 18
Replying to @simonmaechling
Sometimes it's trivially easy to define misinformation, at other times almost impossible. Any system put in place will be gamed by unscrupulous and fallable humans. One fix to discourage obvious grifters whose business model is to scare people senseless for profit and fun with
Show more
8:29 AM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959144927197093953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with most things you say - but think you are wrong there. There is so much unmet demand for medicine services, that doctors will be employed for a long time to come. Yes AI will find much use, think it's the next big area where applications will break out. (Chat was 1st, the recently Coding 2nd big breakout) But it will supplement and hopefully increase doctor's productivity - doctors will not go away.
We have seen that future already with radiologists. The number of positions have increased, not decreased. Their US salaries are at ATH records is my understanding. And this - reading of pictures - is one area that's well defined and computers were forecast to replace people by 2024. In reality - the opposite happened.
I wish someone did a proper study how this happened, and why the forecast (from probably ~2014) was so spectacularly wrong. This -
> AI Overview
In 2024, there were approximately 49,070 practicing radiologists in the US. Ten years earlier, in 2014, the number of practicing radiologists was roughly 30,723, according to a http://diagnosticimaging.com article. This indicates a notable increase in the radiology workforce over the decade.
Here's a breakdown:
2024: 49,070 practicing radiologists.
2014: 30,723 practicing radiologists.
Checked recently in the context of
https://x.com/pmarca/status/1951520043663335445
7:45 AM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with most things you say - but think you are wrong there. There is so much unmet demand for medicine services, that doctors will be employed for a long time to come. Yes AI will find much use, think it's the next big area where applications will break out. (Chat was 1st, the recently Coding 2nd big breakout) But it will supplement and hopefully increase doctor's productivity - doctors will not go away.
We have seen that future already with radiologists. The number of positions have increased, not decreased. Their US salaries are at ATH records is my understanding. And this - reading of pictures - is one area that's well defined and computers were forecast to replace people by 2024. In reality - the opposite happened.
I wish someone did a proper study how this happened, and why the forecast (from probably ~2014) was so spectacularly wrong. This -
> AI Overview
In 2024, there were approximately 49,070 practicing radiologists in the US. Ten years earlier, in 2014, the number of practicing radiologists was roughly 30,723, according to a http://diagnosticimaging.com article. This indicates a notable increase in the radiology workforce over the decade.
Here's a breakdown:
2024: 49,070 practicing radiologists.
2014: 30,723 practicing radiologists.
Checked recently in the context of
https://x.com/pmarca/status/1951520043663335445
7:45 AM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959130001934098658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry for your troubles. It's indeed sh*t that we don't own but we rent at mercy - that can be denied, ofc—that's the point - of an overlord. Never not amusing: the very 1st books Amazon remote deleted from UK customers Kindles were Orwell's 1984 & Animal Farm. (back in 2009) 😂
6:46 AM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry for your troubles. It's indeed sh*t that we don't own but we rent at mercy - that can be denied, ofc—that's the point - of an overlord. Never not amusing: the very 1st books Amazon remote deleted from UK customers Kindles were Orwell's 1984 & Animal Farm. (back in 2009) 😂
6:46 AM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1959112862124679655
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent stuff. Reminds me of how decoders used in automatic speech recognition worked? The task and the constraints look similar: advance forward in a search tree, under uncertainty, prune unlikely hypothesis as early as possible, but not too early. Balancing act as to not prune paths that eventually end with highest scores. Given how memory constrained and slow computers were 20 years ago, there must be tricks there applicable here. And most patents would have expired by now, turning them into public prior art, unencumberung them in the process I'm guessing? There maybe more gains in data efficiency to be had there.
5:37 AM · Aug 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent stuff. Reminds me of how decoders used in automatic speech recognition worked? The task and the constraints look similar: advance forward in a search tree, under uncertainty, prune unlikely hypothesis as early as possible, but not too early. Balancing act as to not prune paths that eventually end with highest scores. Given how memory constrained and slow computers were 20 years ago, there must be tricks there applicable here. And most patents would have expired by now, turning them into public prior art, unencumberung them in the process I'm guessing? There maybe more gains in data efficiency to be had there.
5:37 AM · Aug 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958910318194692293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
National interest requires UK stops buying fossil fuels from others, and dig them ourselves. To the extent we are using them. But that's against yours - by now religious of secular kind - beliefs. So our only hope is your party kicks you out of the leadership position, as part of a wider re-alignment to, and re-engagement with - the reality.
The reality of the many problems that beset UK. A big part of which it is the high price of energy. A result of the last 25 years of cross party policy consensus that was simply wrong. As shown by reality. And L-D were and still are part of the consensus of betting on the wrong horse.
Don't think you can change. The sooner you retire, the better for you, and better for us. Tbf don't expect one of life long narcissists and ego-maniacs that seem to be attracted to politics like flies, to heed this advice. Seems we will see one PM Farage sooner than we see a LibDem PM.
4:13 PM · Aug 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
National interest requires UK stops buying fossil fuels from others, and dig them ourselves. To the extent we are using them. But that's against yours - by now religious of secular kind - beliefs. So our only hope is your party kicks you out of the leadership position, as part of a wider re-alignment to, and re-engagement with - the reality.
The reality of the many problems that beset UK. A big part of which it is the high price of energy. A result of the last 25 years of cross party policy consensus that was simply wrong. As shown by reality. And L-D were and still are part of the consensus of betting on the wrong horse.
Don't think you can change. The sooner you retire, the better for you, and better for us. Tbf don't expect one of life long narcissists and ego-maniacs that seem to be attracted to politics like flies, to heed this advice. Seems we will see one PM Farage sooner than we see a LibDem PM.
4:13 PM · Aug 22, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Yeah it's looking like we are seeing the consequences of a raft of censorship laws brought in by the current failing establishments in anticipation of upheavals. Heard somewhere (maybe Cummings interview?) that in Brussels they are much upfront about this, not that shy, and even have a suitably Orwellian name "The Shield of Democracy" or sth like that
Having said that - sorry but not sorry about RT. B/c RT is more towards a proper information war, not a free exchange of ideas.
I'm cognisant with the general Soviet and now Russia mode of operation, having being brought up in real existing socialism. (even if in Yugoslavia it was way less harsh than the Soviet one) In broad strokes, e.g. Surkov etc ideas as I understand them: it's negation of any possibility for objective truth. Merciless lying in industrial quantities—even when near term there's no need for it—to destroy any possibility, to any truth existing. Flooding us in random lies does indeed work. Drowns us in noise and exhaust our information processing capacity. It does kill the idea of one definite truth existing.
Gets re-discovered from time to time, e.g. Bannon's "flood the field with shit". Trump gets it instinctively deploys it with charm (yeah IK many will disagree, but think it true), unlike Bannon. (who grosses out every living creature around)
Note the contrast: US didn't deny they're going to invade Iraq, they were trying to manufacture reasons for the invasion. While Russia denied they are going to invade Ukraine. (even while invading it!) Similarly previously they denied they took Crimea - the "little green man".
Not even coming from moralistic PoV, purely from practical PoV. Seems to me, objective reality is shared among all of us, as a default, we all get access to it by default, without much extra effort. It's like a minimum energy configuration, that we all are given access to. If we want to construct alternative reality, (e.g. Surkov style,) we need to expand inordinate amounts of energy effort, and continue doing so ad-infinitum - it seems to me. So in the end, as nothing is infinite and real - that elaborate alternative world construction will always fail after a time.
LJ @ London e/acc
Yeah it's looking like we are seeing the consequences of a raft of censorship laws brought in by the current failing establishments in anticipation of upheavals. Heard somewhere (maybe Cummings interview?) that in Brussels they are much upfront about this, not that shy, and even have a suitably Orwellian name "The Shield of Democracy" or sth like that
Having said that - sorry but not sorry about RT. B/c RT is more towards a proper information war, not a free exchange of ideas.
I'm cognisant with the general Soviet and now Russia mode of operation, having being brought up in real existing socialism. (even if in Yugoslavia it was way less harsh than the Soviet one) In broad strokes, e.g. Surkov etc ideas as I understand them: it's negation of any possibility for objective truth. Merciless lying in industrial quantities—even when near term there's no need for it—to destroy any possibility, to any truth existing. Flooding us in random lies does indeed work. Drowns us in noise and exhaust our information processing capacity. It does kill the idea of one definite truth existing.
Gets re-discovered from time to time, e.g. Bannon's "flood the field with shit". Trump gets it instinctively deploys it with charm (yeah IK many will disagree, but think it true), unlike Bannon. (who grosses out every living creature around)
Note the contrast: US didn't deny they're going to invade Iraq, they were trying to manufacture reasons for the invasion. While Russia denied they are going to invade Ukraine. (even while invading it!) Similarly previously they denied they took Crimea - the "little green man".
Not even coming from moralistic PoV, purely from practical PoV. Seems to me, objective reality is shared among all of us, as a default, we all get access to it by default, without much extra effort. It's like a minimum energy configuration, that we all are given access to. If we want to construct alternative reality, (e.g. Surkov style,) we need to expand inordinate amounts of energy effort, and continue doing so ad-infinitum - it seems to me. So in the end, as nothing is infinite and real - that elaborate alternative world construction will always fail after a time.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958896686903804072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope what happens next is 1) love, 2) wisdom. For ignorance often is the pathway to 3) fear, 4) hate. But impossible to tell. Think Kurzweil "intelligence is the strongest force in the known universe" is more right than I though before. Not a mere "figure of speech", but real.
3:18 PM · Aug 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope what happens next is 1) love, 2) wisdom. For ignorance often is the pathway to 3) fear, 4) hate. But impossible to tell. Think Kurzweil "intelligence is the strongest force in the known universe" is more right than I though before. Not a mere "figure of speech", but real.
3:18 PM · Aug 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958877954005454967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, because we got OSS foundation models – thank you FB, thank you all Chines labs! 🥰 I love them for that, ngl. 🤩 With the hardware ramping up, models smaller becoming more intelligent, better data and better curation, algorithmic advances - hope that @RichardSSutton's and not @geoffreyhinton's, future is realised. And we get good enough personal LLM-s, running on personal h/w, controlled by us. Hope that also loosens the iron grip of the half-dozen tech giants hold onto the Internet. And takes us back to the de-centralised Internet at the start of the Internet-time at year 0.
2:04 PM · Aug 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, because we got OSS foundation models – thank you FB, thank you all Chines labs! 🥰 I love them for that, ngl. 🤩 With the hardware ramping up, models smaller becoming more intelligent, better data and better curation, algorithmic advances - hope that @RichardSSutton's and not @geoffreyhinton's, future is realised. And we get good enough personal LLM-s, running on personal h/w, controlled by us. Hope that also loosens the iron grip of the half-dozen tech giants hold onto the Internet. And takes us back to the de-centralised Internet at the start of the Internet-time at year 0.
2:04 PM · Aug 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958874698286088347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers. Never heard of this Bill McKibben fella until 15 mins ago. But it turns out he influenced half a century of my own life more than my parents ever did?? However much I want to, I can't get too angry at the Bill McKibben-s of this world. For in their grip of a Savonarola-type lunacy, they can't be held fully responsible.
I do place lots of blame of his fellow travellers, people that enable this end-of-times doomers societal abuse inflicted on all of us regularly. (latest bunch - the AI doomers) People do it because they are weak in their heads, and in their hearts - and join the herd. The conga dance of stupidity. It's not a crime to be wrong. But it's very bad if you are lying, in order to gain advantage over a fellow human. "Public lies, private truths" - wish that was punished much much more. So the incentives align with the outcomes.
For my kids I wish for an AI future, where they are not as beholden to fellow humans as we were, but less so. Wish them to be more in control of the boundaries between themselves as individuals, and the rest of humanity. So they have defensive shields to deploy against the present and future Bill McKibben-s. And sustain less harm to themselves. What a wasted life Bill.
Quote
https://x.com/tnajournal/status/1958638900806918564
The New Atlantis @tnajournal · 17h
There is just one final, final, final, final chance to save the world, writes Bill McKibben in “Here Comes the Sun,” out this week.
After hearing this so many times, the book does read like the end of something — but not the world, writes @TedNordhaus: https://thenewatlantis.com/publications/how-bill-mckibben-lost-the-plot
1:51 PM · Aug 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers. Never heard of this Bill McKibben fella until 15 mins ago. But it turns out he influenced half a century of my own life more than my parents ever did?? However much I want to, I can't get too angry at the Bill McKibben-s of this world. For in their grip of a Savonarola-type lunacy, they can't be held fully responsible.
I do place lots of blame of his fellow travellers, people that enable this end-of-times doomers societal abuse inflicted on all of us regularly. (latest bunch - the AI doomers) People do it because they are weak in their heads, and in their hearts - and join the herd. The conga dance of stupidity. It's not a crime to be wrong. But it's very bad if you are lying, in order to gain advantage over a fellow human. "Public lies, private truths" - wish that was punished much much more. So the incentives align with the outcomes.
For my kids I wish for an AI future, where they are not as beholden to fellow humans as we were, but less so. Wish them to be more in control of the boundaries between themselves as individuals, and the rest of humanity. So they have defensive shields to deploy against the present and future Bill McKibben-s. And sustain less harm to themselves. What a wasted life Bill.
Quote
https://x.com/tnajournal/status/1958638900806918564
The New Atlantis @tnajournal · 17h
There is just one final, final, final, final chance to save the world, writes Bill McKibben in “Here Comes the Sun,” out this week.
After hearing this so many times, the book does read like the end of something — but not the world, writes @TedNordhaus: https://thenewatlantis.com/publications/how-bill-mckibben-lost-the-plot
1:51 PM · Aug 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958860257947484380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No that's cope. Building stuff changes the builders, they become different - arguably better - people. And changes the society the groupings too - networks are beeing formed.
That leads to further mating of ideas, novel unlikely creations to happen in the next cycle. That will attract the right people by self-selection from all corners of the world, that will further amplify advantages in multiplicative way. Once things combine multiplicatively, a two together being greater than the simple sum of the parts, there is no stopping it. It will run and run.
The networks survive the bust cycle too. They're damaged and diminished and weakened. Yet not extinguished - like embers they turn to raging fire once new fuel is added.
AI v.v. California being the latest one. Previously - Internet Revolution, prior - PC revolution. Impossible to replicate elsewhere easily, because the supply of people is diminished, once they self select decamp to CA.
There's something in PDP - 1) intelligence is more in the weights in the connections in the nodes relating, not in the nodes the individuals themselves 2) connections scale with N^2 for N nodes. That positive loop feedback makes it impossible for laggards to catch up with the leader. If anything, the distance increases, doesn't decrease, in the iterative game, as default.
12:54 PM · Aug 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No that's cope. Building stuff changes the builders, they become different - arguably better - people. And changes the society the groupings too - networks are beeing formed.
That leads to further mating of ideas, novel unlikely creations to happen in the next cycle. That will attract the right people by self-selection from all corners of the world, that will further amplify advantages in multiplicative way. Once things combine multiplicatively, a two together being greater than the simple sum of the parts, there is no stopping it. It will run and run.
The networks survive the bust cycle too. They're damaged and diminished and weakened. Yet not extinguished - like embers they turn to raging fire once new fuel is added.
AI v.v. California being the latest one. Previously - Internet Revolution, prior - PC revolution. Impossible to replicate elsewhere easily, because the supply of people is diminished, once they self select decamp to CA.
There's something in PDP - 1) intelligence is more in the weights in the connections in the nodes relating, not in the nodes the individuals themselves 2) connections scale with N^2 for N nodes. That positive loop feedback makes it impossible for laggards to catch up with the leader. If anything, the distance increases, doesn't decrease, in the iterative game, as default.
12:54 PM · Aug 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958833581830107411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True about AI. I take exception and will dispute some of the rest specifically.
Climate collapse. Slim evidence atm of any collapse at present. Yes we have had about 1 degree warming global average in the last 80yrs. That puts us at 1.2 degrees per century. If by year 2125, Manchester that is now 2 degrees colder than Milan, gets the climate of Milan of 2025, I doubt many will complain. Collapse is unlikely given the CO2 we are putting up in the atmosphere, comes from plants, that got buried in the ground. (and we are digging them up now and burning them - yeah, agreed, it's dumb) Those plants soaked that same CO2 from the atmosphere, as is their food. So the CO2 was already in the atmosphere at that point. The Earth was not barren then. For one thing - those plants existed. Even to the contrary - afaik it was teeming with life and huge plants and animals, even if yes, it was much warmer than now.
Billionaires hoarding wealth. I know people's folksy idea of wealth is of one Scrooge McDuck. Donald Duck's wealthy and miserly uncle, diving into his pool of cash filled with coins and notes. I like poking fun at humourless scrooges as the next guy. But.—that's a metaphor, a literary device, it's not reality. The reality is that e.g. Bezos doesn't swim in a pool like that. (and if he did - it would be immaterial) Bezos wealth is his ownership of some shares in companies like Amazon—a piece of paper. That piece of paper gives him the right (protected and enforced by our human laws) to have a say of how companies (where huge number of people work) are run. So the "hoarding of cash" metaphor is misleading there imo.
The reality is - there is power imbalance between Bezos and myself. Bezos can make me do stuff he likes done and I don't, while I can't make Bezos do stuff I like, and he doesn't. I happen to think that being good in one area, (online shopping) on balance on average, doesn't make you especially good in another area. (e.g. how education should be run) So Bezos gets to wield inordinate power without special prowess. It would be better, where we are equally ignorant, to have equal power. So the average is closer to being weighted according to our abilities. Because - we are betting on the chance of errors of our judgements when making decisions cancelling out. As things are, because his power is 1e6 times greater than mine, his error will be also 1e6 times greater. And it's unlikely that error will be cancelled out, by all other errors, by all other people like me, on the opposite side of the ledger.
11:08 AM · Aug 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True about AI. I take exception and will dispute some of the rest specifically.
Climate collapse. Slim evidence atm of any collapse at present. Yes we have had about 1 degree warming global average in the last 80yrs. That puts us at 1.2 degrees per century. If by year 2125, Manchester that is now 2 degrees colder than Milan, gets the climate of Milan of 2025, I doubt many will complain. Collapse is unlikely given the CO2 we are putting up in the atmosphere, comes from plants, that got buried in the ground. (and we are digging them up now and burning them - yeah, agreed, it's dumb) Those plants soaked that same CO2 from the atmosphere, as is their food. So the CO2 was already in the atmosphere at that point. The Earth was not barren then. For one thing - those plants existed. Even to the contrary - afaik it was teeming with life and huge plants and animals, even if yes, it was much warmer than now.
Billionaires hoarding wealth. I know people's folksy idea of wealth is of one Scrooge McDuck. Donald Duck's wealthy and miserly uncle, diving into his pool of cash filled with coins and notes. I like poking fun at humourless scrooges as the next guy. But.—that's a metaphor, a literary device, it's not reality. The reality is that e.g. Bezos doesn't swim in a pool like that. (and if he did - it would be immaterial) Bezos wealth is his ownership of some shares in companies like Amazon—a piece of paper. That piece of paper gives him the right (protected and enforced by our human laws) to have a say of how companies (where huge number of people work) are run. So the "hoarding of cash" metaphor is misleading there imo.
The reality is - there is power imbalance between Bezos and myself. Bezos can make me do stuff he likes done and I don't, while I can't make Bezos do stuff I like, and he doesn't. I happen to think that being good in one area, (online shopping) on balance on average, doesn't make you especially good in another area. (e.g. how education should be run) So Bezos gets to wield inordinate power without special prowess. It would be better, where we are equally ignorant, to have equal power. So the average is closer to being weighted according to our abilities. Because - we are betting on the chance of errors of our judgements when making decisions cancelling out. As things are, because his power is 1e6 times greater than mine, his error will be also 1e6 times greater. And it's unlikely that error will be cancelled out, by all other errors, by all other people like me, on the opposite side of the ledger.
11:08 AM · Aug 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958765579105448307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So true - if it wasn't tragic it would be funny. Possibly in a book of some dissident (forgot which one), read that tankies of old, aka "useful idiots", were called "govnojed"-s i.e. "shit eaters" by their soviet idols. B/c they would just lap up any shit/story the Soviets threw at them.
But also b/c apparently at embassy functions, where they wd be invited to be schmoozed, the ambassador (knowing theirs is captured audience already, no need to spend more than a minimum to impress them), would order that "the shit menu" (they cheapest) be brought out for the event.
6:38 AM · Aug 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So true - if it wasn't tragic it would be funny. Possibly in a book of some dissident (forgot which one), read that tankies of old, aka "useful idiots", were called "govnojed"-s i.e. "shit eaters" by their soviet idols. B/c they would just lap up any shit/story the Soviets threw at them.
But also b/c apparently at embassy functions, where they wd be invited to be schmoozed, the ambassador (knowing theirs is captured audience already, no need to spend more than a minimum to impress them), would order that "the shit menu" (they cheapest) be brought out for the event.
6:38 AM · Aug 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958627059804381466
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me rockets, even SpaceX ones, for all their wonders, feel like medieval technology. With their burning big bottles of gasses, to resist gravity pulling them down. IDK if energy abundance wd help there. But we dearly need to learn tricks to manipulate gravity. Similar to the tricks humanity learned to bend electromagnetism and nuclear forces, if not completely at will, then at least to bend them somewhat to not go against us. Whereas gravity is straight against us, hitting us over our collective heads at every opportunity daily. Mocking us - "Zero Progress Since Newton, Zero Progress Suckers". Maybe any trick there's to be found for bending gravity, will needs gargantuan amounts of energy. Maybe that's why we are still stuck. So maybe a lot more energy, and esp a lot more concentration of energy, may help there. IDK just a personal hobby idle speculation. I've no theory, and certainly no experiment, for chatting sh*t like this.
9:27 PM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me rockets, even SpaceX ones, for all their wonders, feel like medieval technology. With their burning big bottles of gasses, to resist gravity pulling them down. IDK if energy abundance wd help there. But we dearly need to learn tricks to manipulate gravity. Similar to the tricks humanity learned to bend electromagnetism and nuclear forces, if not completely at will, then at least to bend them somewhat to not go against us. Whereas gravity is straight against us, hitting us over our collective heads at every opportunity daily. Mocking us - "Zero Progress Since Newton, Zero Progress Suckers". Maybe any trick there's to be found for bending gravity, will needs gargantuan amounts of energy. Maybe that's why we are still stuck. So maybe a lot more energy, and esp a lot more concentration of energy, may help there. IDK just a personal hobby idle speculation. I've no theory, and certainly no experiment, for chatting sh*t like this.
9:27 PM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958539734520611129
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nutnik get lost. you were morons when "govnojed"-s in times past, wrong about everything. and your ilk is morons still. for gross moronism - blocked
3:40 PM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nutnik get lost. you were morons when "govnojed"-s in times past, wrong about everything. and your ilk is morons still. for gross moronism - blocked
3:40 PM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958527611325346033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there chatter of nuclear deterrent for Poland + Baltics + Nordics? Now that NATO includes the Nordics? There is no world where Europe is safe from Russia, with them and Germany being dependent on USA for nuclear deterrent. Not only Trump, but think no US president, will risk US nuked to save Baltics or Poland. I'm surprised France, always pro- more autonomy, and in possession of deterrent themselves, doesn't help Poland+Nordics get nukes? And doesn't increase its own nuclear capability? B/c for sure UK will not. Dependence on US is not good even in terms of risk reduction. That dependence + "distant power" factor creates incentive for Russia to take risks, tying to guess what US will or will not do. They may guess wrong, or even right for a time, that then turns the wrong guess after a time. Having distant power that is often not interested, until it takes interest, looks to me a very risky setup. Looks similar to UK and France were not 100% invested in Poland pre-WW2. I see no need for that. If Israel or North Korea much smaller poorer can dvelop their own to stave off existential threats - so can Poland + Nordics.
2:52 PM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there chatter of nuclear deterrent for Poland + Baltics + Nordics? Now that NATO includes the Nordics? There is no world where Europe is safe from Russia, with them and Germany being dependent on USA for nuclear deterrent. Not only Trump, but think no US president, will risk US nuked to save Baltics or Poland. I'm surprised France, always pro- more autonomy, and in possession of deterrent themselves, doesn't help Poland+Nordics get nukes? And doesn't increase its own nuclear capability? B/c for sure UK will not. Dependence on US is not good even in terms of risk reduction. That dependence + "distant power" factor creates incentive for Russia to take risks, tying to guess what US will or will not do. They may guess wrong, or even right for a time, that then turns the wrong guess after a time. Having distant power that is often not interested, until it takes interest, looks to me a very risky setup. Looks similar to UK and France were not 100% invested in Poland pre-WW2. I see no need for that. If Israel or North Korea much smaller poorer can dvelop their own to stave off existential threats - so can Poland + Nordics.
2:52 PM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958510412288180500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has lots of territory already. They may want more - but it's not for lacking territory. Looks to me, the purpose of taking over Ukraine (not some - but all of it) the territory, is to erase the nation of Ukraine. So there are no Ukrainians, separate from Russians, with their own language, culture etc. And for that - the territory needs to be taken. That's necessary, but not sufficient. The state of Ukraine needs to be disarmed, then dismantled. And other stuff done too. But the end goal is erasure of Ukrainians. Not mere territory. Afaics Russians are openly saying this, it's not a secret.
1:44 PM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has lots of territory already. They may want more - but it's not for lacking territory. Looks to me, the purpose of taking over Ukraine (not some - but all of it) the territory, is to erase the nation of Ukraine. So there are no Ukrainians, separate from Russians, with their own language, culture etc. And for that - the territory needs to be taken. That's necessary, but not sufficient. The state of Ukraine needs to be disarmed, then dismantled. And other stuff done too. But the end goal is erasure of Ukrainians. Not mere territory. Afaics Russians are openly saying this, it's not a secret.
1:44 PM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958506059150094365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes good idea to put up the explanation up, once, and leave it there. Then when you feel it impossible to ignore randoms, when you feel the need to tell them "you're wrong/not quite right/well not exactly" - just paste them the link. But ofc try not to get them get to you that much. IK it's impossible. B/c it's not easy to stay aloof untouched even for a private person. And for a public persona like yourself, attacked from ten sides daily - it's impossible to not be affected. But this is the best way forward: spend small amount of time once, and then almost zero time afterwards. And even then - only mostly to assuage your urge to put someone right, when they get to you.
1:26 PM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes good idea to put up the explanation up, once, and leave it there. Then when you feel it impossible to ignore randoms, when you feel the need to tell them "you're wrong/not quite right/well not exactly" - just paste them the link. But ofc try not to get them get to you that much. IK it's impossible. B/c it's not easy to stay aloof untouched even for a private person. And for a public persona like yourself, attacked from ten sides daily - it's impossible to not be affected. But this is the best way forward: spend small amount of time once, and then almost zero time afterwards. And even then - only mostly to assuage your urge to put someone right, when they get to you.
1:26 PM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958486822457348462
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😁—observing from half the world away with a mix of amusement and entertainment (as if reading a Daniil Kharms story 😂). Is it the case over there that you’ve got an unholy alliance between Savonarola—“end of the world is nigh, listen and obey, do as I tell you”—types and grifters making big $$$ out of big scares? Well organised and in sync. Against a motley bunch of the “really rational” (RR?) doers who, by virtue of having to deal with reality in their jobs—having to earn their daily bread by doing rather than preaching—have a better grasp of reality, but haven’t the time nor much urge to organise into a coherent force. That bunch, being practical, usually responds to the dogmatists’ actions but seldom takes the initiative. IDK how accurate this caricature is, or how it connects to some broader dysfunction of the place. To non-locals observing over the internet, it’s like “light from a distant star.”
12:10 PM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😁—observing from half the world away with a mix of amusement and entertainment (as if reading a Daniil Kharms story 😂). Is it the case over there that you’ve got an unholy alliance between Savonarola—“end of the world is nigh, listen and obey, do as I tell you”—types and grifters making big $$$ out of big scares? Well organised and in sync. Against a motley bunch of the “really rational” (RR?) doers who, by virtue of having to deal with reality in their jobs—having to earn their daily bread by doing rather than preaching—have a better grasp of reality, but haven’t the time nor much urge to organise into a coherent force. That bunch, being practical, usually responds to the dogmatists’ actions but seldom takes the initiative. IDK how accurate this caricature is, or how it connects to some broader dysfunction of the place. To non-locals observing over the internet, it’s like “light from a distant star.”
12:10 PM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958469398936641604
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw afaics there is no "hard problem" of consciousness. There is consciousness, but it's not that big a deal. Too large an-ego-s, not matched with commensurate abilities and humility, are at work. Together with lacking the empirical means (hopefully for not much longer now) to support or detract particular guesses at hypothesises, conspire to create this particular "problem".
11:01 AM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw afaics there is no "hard problem" of consciousness. There is consciousness, but it's not that big a deal. Too large an-ego-s, not matched with commensurate abilities and humility, are at work. Together with lacking the empirical means (hopefully for not much longer now) to support or detract particular guesses at hypothesises, conspire to create this particular "problem".
11:01 AM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958457152911138865
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - maybe don't! :-) The Gods of AI, or AI God, are/is as good as any of the previous gods. No big difference there for your mum. She can pray to the new gods. They are actually better in some ways than the old ones: the new guys can talk back to your mum.
10:12 AM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - maybe don't! :-) The Gods of AI, or AI God, are/is as good as any of the previous gods. No big difference there for your mum. She can pray to the new gods. They are actually better in some ways than the old ones: the new guys can talk back to your mum.
10:12 AM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958451003474272719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, correct. There is flip side to that too. As my welfare becomes dependent on them, exactly as with water or Internet, it becomes important, that supply can't be cut-off, or manipulated, constricted, in order for the other party to gain power of control over me. Controlling my own AI that I need in order to exist, becomes a matter of personal power, freedom, part of personal safety and security. Like water, food, shelter, security, electricity etc.
9:48 AM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, correct. There is flip side to that too. As my welfare becomes dependent on them, exactly as with water or Internet, it becomes important, that supply can't be cut-off, or manipulated, constricted, in order for the other party to gain power of control over me. Controlling my own AI that I need in order to exist, becomes a matter of personal power, freedom, part of personal safety and security. Like water, food, shelter, security, electricity etc.
9:48 AM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958448346172932535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, on this he is right.
There is a small kernel in the discipline of consciousness (e.g. stuff espoused by .@Plinz) that is genuinely based on reality. E.g. It's the lowest level - person is conscious as a baby and a kid, before they become Nobels prize winners. It's to do with learning - unfortunate kids that lack ability to learn as babies remain at plants-level for life.
Than there is stuff that's oh-key, yes it happens - but how is it a big deal?! E.g. Self-reflection - ok, but my IIR filter is self-referential too. Inner states - cool, but my Markov model also has states aplenty. And can have hidden states too! - another check.
And then there is vast industry of bullshit, where a bullshitter can waste a lifetime on B/S that never leads to anything. As is neither agreed to, nor disagreed with, by experiment. B/c consciousness is to do with humans, (another blind spot of the "we are special" brigade; as obv animals are conscious too) and it's hard to do much experimentation on live humans.
9:37 AM · Aug 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, on this he is right.
There is a small kernel in the discipline of consciousness (e.g. stuff espoused by .@Plinz) that is genuinely based on reality. E.g. It's the lowest level - person is conscious as a baby and a kid, before they become Nobels prize winners. It's to do with learning - unfortunate kids that lack ability to learn as babies remain at plants-level for life.
Than there is stuff that's oh-key, yes it happens - but how is it a big deal?! E.g. Self-reflection - ok, but my IIR filter is self-referential too. Inner states - cool, but my Markov model also has states aplenty. And can have hidden states too! - another check.
And then there is vast industry of bullshit, where a bullshitter can waste a lifetime on B/S that never leads to anything. As is neither agreed to, nor disagreed with, by experiment. B/c consciousness is to do with humans, (another blind spot of the "we are special" brigade; as obv animals are conscious too) and it's hard to do much experimentation on live humans.
9:37 AM · Aug 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958263775103963391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - a year ago I dreaded I'll have to switch away from Android to Apple for the anticipated "Apple stellar AI" given theirs ARMs. Dreaded - because helping family through various iOS mis/adventures and frustrations, saw they ultimately were 1+2 fails combo: 1-no App is perfect in collaboration with all other Apps; 2-when something is impossible to do in #1, lacking user access to the filesystem leaves one without a fallback, without any solution - even an imperfect one. I get it that's the Apple Way: if it can't be done perfect, then it can't be done at all. No half measures and bodges. And that's just not for me. Good portion of my life is in that device. I want more control. Even if that might displease an ascetic aestete.
9:24 PM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - a year ago I dreaded I'll have to switch away from Android to Apple for the anticipated "Apple stellar AI" given theirs ARMs. Dreaded - because helping family through various iOS mis/adventures and frustrations, saw they ultimately were 1+2 fails combo: 1-no App is perfect in collaboration with all other Apps; 2-when something is impossible to do in #1, lacking user access to the filesystem leaves one without a fallback, without any solution - even an imperfect one. I get it that's the Apple Way: if it can't be done perfect, then it can't be done at all. No half measures and bodges. And that's just not for me. Good portion of my life is in that device. I want more control. Even if that might displease an ascetic aestete.
9:24 PM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958209833846399381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 You think you are good. But your introspection does not extend into knowing the electric potentials and molecules concentrations inside your own synapses while you are reading this. So not perfect imo.
5:49 PM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 You think you are good. But your introspection does not extend into knowing the electric potentials and molecules concentrations inside your own synapses while you are reading this. So not perfect imo.
5:49 PM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958195274909655192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - strong words there, "retarded" no less. Who or what us "retarded"? Aristotel, Dennet, myself, everyone that doesn't think like an anonymous account Name12345 on the Internet? For all we know, you maybe an LLM talking. Or a dog or a cat 😁
4:51 PM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - strong words there, "retarded" no less. Who or what us "retarded"? Aristotel, Dennet, myself, everyone that doesn't think like an anonymous account Name12345 on the Internet? For all we know, you maybe an LLM talking. Or a dog or a cat 😁
4:51 PM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958099445515497720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx7hirqgfuU
Why Deep Learning Works Unreasonably Well
Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code WELCHLABS and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/welchlabsNew Patreon Rewards 33:31- own a pi...
10:31 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx7hirqgfuU
Why Deep Learning Works Unreasonably Well
Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code WELCHLABS and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/welchlabsNew Patreon Rewards 33:31- own a pi...
10:31 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958080023547539499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess! Despite all the dooming chatter, I too think while it maybe uncomfortable for us in the short term, in the long term - it will do us good to get some competition in the intelligence game, and including emotional intelligence too. So we get incentivised to raise our game.
9:13 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess! Despite all the dooming chatter, I too think while it maybe uncomfortable for us in the short term, in the long term - it will do us good to get some competition in the intelligence game, and including emotional intelligence too. So we get incentivised to raise our game.
9:13 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958079274579034290
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - I'm sure it laid a good spread of a story, as its intelligence is emergent as it's ours. But I'm doubtful it can tell us anything much that we don't already know. Because it doesn't observe its own calculating machinery, while "live". The same way we don't observe our neurons firing electrical potentials through synapses and stirring some chemical molecules. Likewise it can't observe his own operation that consists of, during training - learning probability density functions, during inference - conditioning and marginalisation.
But if (and it's an "if"!) we take it that our meat-ware also implements probabilistic calculations (density estimation, conditioning, marginalisation). Then just simply considering from first principles. The pdfs of the past are always a Dirac impulse, as the past is always certain, having already happened - the uncertainty is 0%. The pdfs of the future are never a Dirac impulse, as the future is always uncertain, has yet to happen - it's never 100% certain. Things not alive, like a rock - have completely certain future. So they are in some sense - dead.
So if we are to get philosophical if a bit morbid, can say: Now is a moving boundary, between the all-Dirac Past, and never-Dirac Future. Living is the future out-running the past, the past failing to catch up with the future. And death is the point at which the past finally catches up with the future. At that point all uncertainty ends, seemingly never to return back. 😳
9:10 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - I'm sure it laid a good spread of a story, as its intelligence is emergent as it's ours. But I'm doubtful it can tell us anything much that we don't already know. Because it doesn't observe its own calculating machinery, while "live". The same way we don't observe our neurons firing electrical potentials through synapses and stirring some chemical molecules. Likewise it can't observe his own operation that consists of, during training - learning probability density functions, during inference - conditioning and marginalisation.
But if (and it's an "if"!) we take it that our meat-ware also implements probabilistic calculations (density estimation, conditioning, marginalisation). Then just simply considering from first principles. The pdfs of the past are always a Dirac impulse, as the past is always certain, having already happened - the uncertainty is 0%. The pdfs of the future are never a Dirac impulse, as the future is always uncertain, has yet to happen - it's never 100% certain. Things not alive, like a rock - have completely certain future. So they are in some sense - dead.
So if we are to get philosophical if a bit morbid, can say: Now is a moving boundary, between the all-Dirac Past, and never-Dirac Future. Living is the future out-running the past, the past failing to catch up with the future. And death is the point at which the past finally catches up with the future. At that point all uncertainty ends, seemingly never to return back. 😳
9:10 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958073726823547212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 So they did bad, and got booted out. Now you are going to do bad too, for what - to be booted out too? What a plan!
8:48 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 So they did bad, and got booted out. Now you are going to do bad too, for what - to be booted out too? What a plan!
8:48 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958073112873800009
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. I always found it puzzling what the big deal was with consciousness. I think it's a nothing burger. But assumed personal ignorance so left it there. Since - I learned that illustrious minds like Aristotle and Dennett also thought it's not a big deal. So now I'm fine :-)
8:46 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. I always found it puzzling what the big deal was with consciousness. I think it's a nothing burger. But assumed personal ignorance so left it there. Since - I learned that illustrious minds like Aristotle and Dennett also thought it's not a big deal. So now I'm fine :-)
8:46 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958050529860296736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. There is one thing that seems to work reliably: using LLM-s to help us write longer, with much more explainers and constraints prompts. One can see semi-manual iteration in heavy uses e.g. https://x.com/DeryaTR_/status/1957055026863505602. And automated using formalisms like DSPy, and even exploratory optimisation as in the GEPA recent paper.
Quote
Derya Unutmaz, MD @DeryaTR_ · Aug 17
Replying to @AkshayaSays
I write the basic prompt of what I want then ask ChatGPT to make it more structured and detailed. Then further edit that to final form. Important to spend some time on prompting.
7:16 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. There is one thing that seems to work reliably: using LLM-s to help us write longer, with much more explainers and constraints prompts. One can see semi-manual iteration in heavy uses e.g. https://x.com/DeryaTR_/status/1957055026863505602. And automated using formalisms like DSPy, and even exploratory optimisation as in the GEPA recent paper.
Quote
Derya Unutmaz, MD @DeryaTR_ · Aug 17
Replying to @AkshayaSays
I write the basic prompt of what I want then ask ChatGPT to make it more structured and detailed. Then further edit that to final form. Important to spend some time on prompting.
7:16 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958011546769994105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought UK ones, living forever in their headspace in an episode of West Wing, will jump on that ship sooner and with gusto? Even if only in order to look less like poor provincial cousins. But No - they are determined to enact the provincial cousins oiks, that will need to be ELI5 talked to, in not overly long words, in order to grok the changed story. I blame a mix of CPSnow two cultures innumeracy, and some greece-to-rome wounded pride.
4:41 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought UK ones, living forever in their headspace in an episode of West Wing, will jump on that ship sooner and with gusto? Even if only in order to look less like poor provincial cousins. But No - they are determined to enact the provincial cousins oiks, that will need to be ELI5 talked to, in not overly long words, in order to grok the changed story. I blame a mix of CPSnow two cultures innumeracy, and some greece-to-rome wounded pride.
4:41 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958009015184572685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - maybe time for the Solaris movies rewatch 🤷 AI's not quite materialising fragments of our memories yet. But it's getting closer to that in spirit 😶
And the deity angle is looking like "watched over" by Greek gods from the sky. With the gods somewhat amused by their human pets. Most of the time benevolent, but occasionally malevolent towards them. 😯
Think better argument for HI survival in the age if AI to make is: only analogue intelligence is low power enough, that it can bootstrap itself zero-to-one style, from nothing. While digital intelligence being high power cannot self-bootstrap, but has to rely on the analogue counterparty.
4:31 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - maybe time for the Solaris movies rewatch 🤷 AI's not quite materialising fragments of our memories yet. But it's getting closer to that in spirit 😶
And the deity angle is looking like "watched over" by Greek gods from the sky. With the gods somewhat amused by their human pets. Most of the time benevolent, but occasionally malevolent towards them. 😯
Think better argument for HI survival in the age if AI to make is: only analogue intelligence is low power enough, that it can bootstrap itself zero-to-one style, from nothing. While digital intelligence being high power cannot self-bootstrap, but has to rely on the analogue counterparty.
4:31 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1958005071192682870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's almost axiomatic. Systemic crisis by definition implies it will be entire class fail, not mere personal fails. That class of people is the established elite. That's how and why the anti-establishment elite gets an opening, a chance to supplant them. The established elite will be the last to realise that change is afoot, totally lacking in self-reflection.
4:16 AM · Aug 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's almost axiomatic. Systemic crisis by definition implies it will be entire class fail, not mere personal fails. That class of people is the established elite. That's how and why the anti-establishment elite gets an opening, a chance to supplant them. The established elite will be the last to realise that change is afoot, totally lacking in self-reflection.
4:16 AM · Aug 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957905320002347164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent! - well done Mike MP. More of that please! MPs better make use of the Tech available and widely used. Constituents should be using ChatGPT too. It will make for better letters, better communication, better thinking, better doing, better outcomes all around.
Next - ChatGPT coming to help the dumb-dumb journalists. Who have been acting like cretins for to long. Stirring panics, scaring people, sapping peoples energies, making their lives worse not better. Looking forward to the day ChatGPT writes most of your stuff for you @PolitlcsUK. So you stop boring us with low-level slop like this.
Quote
Politics UK @PolitlcsUK · 21h
🚨 NEW: Labour MP Mike Reader has been spotted using ChatGPT to reply to constituent emails
[@MirrorPolitics]
9:39 PM · Aug 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent! - well done Mike MP. More of that please! MPs better make use of the Tech available and widely used. Constituents should be using ChatGPT too. It will make for better letters, better communication, better thinking, better doing, better outcomes all around.
Next - ChatGPT coming to help the dumb-dumb journalists. Who have been acting like cretins for to long. Stirring panics, scaring people, sapping peoples energies, making their lives worse not better. Looking forward to the day ChatGPT writes most of your stuff for you @PolitlcsUK. So you stop boring us with low-level slop like this.
Quote
Politics UK @PolitlcsUK · 21h
🚨 NEW: Labour MP Mike Reader has been spotted using ChatGPT to reply to constituent emails
[@MirrorPolitics]
9:39 PM · Aug 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957816770351268270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd not mix the meaning, the semantics, with consciousness. Easier that way, and there is no particular need to mix them.
Discrete words map to feature vectors in a word2vec process. These vec-tors have approx 10K dimensions. In that 10K space, the vec-s interact with each other.
So two theories about how semantics happens, are joined there: mapping words to features, and interactions between words. (via the features interacting)
Hinton talks about this in his interviews, e.g. here @ 47'02" ("What does it mean to understand ... Ok, I'm happy to talk about that")
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=b_DUft-BdIE&t=2822
Fwiw I think LLMs nailed that completely. The word2vec features mapping done by encoder (and on the way out - a decoder). And then the interactions (all the cross products) are done by the transformer architecture. And that's why LLMs are so good, so successful. They nailed that.
3:47 PM · Aug 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd not mix the meaning, the semantics, with consciousness. Easier that way, and there is no particular need to mix them.
Discrete words map to feature vectors in a word2vec process. These vec-tors have approx 10K dimensions. In that 10K space, the vec-s interact with each other.
So two theories about how semantics happens, are joined there: mapping words to features, and interactions between words. (via the features interacting)
Hinton talks about this in his interviews, e.g. here @ 47'02" ("What does it mean to understand ... Ok, I'm happy to talk about that")
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=b_DUft-BdIE&t=2822
Fwiw I think LLMs nailed that completely. The word2vec features mapping done by encoder (and on the way out - a decoder). And then the interactions (all the cross products) are done by the transformer architecture. And that's why LLMs are so good, so successful. They nailed that.
3:47 PM · Aug 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957770831490109694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent! - well done to the MP. More of the same please! Most of communication MP-s get is not even ChatGPT level, but way worse. Constituents should be using ChatGPT too, as it will make for better letters, better communication, better thinking, better doing, better outcomes all around.
Next - ChatGPT coming to help the dumb-dumb journalists. Who have been acting like morons for donkey years, stirring panics over nothing burgers. Scaring people, sapping peoples energies making their lives worse not better, for far too long. Can't wait for the day ChatGPT writes most of your stuff for you @DailyMirror
Quote
Mirror Politics @MirrorPolitics · 23h
MP spotted using ChatGPT to respond to constituents on the train
https://mirror.co.uk/news/politics/mp-spotted-using-chatgtp-respond-35752561
12:45 PM · Aug 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent! - well done to the MP. More of the same please! Most of communication MP-s get is not even ChatGPT level, but way worse. Constituents should be using ChatGPT too, as it will make for better letters, better communication, better thinking, better doing, better outcomes all around.
Next - ChatGPT coming to help the dumb-dumb journalists. Who have been acting like morons for donkey years, stirring panics over nothing burgers. Scaring people, sapping peoples energies making their lives worse not better, for far too long. Can't wait for the day ChatGPT writes most of your stuff for you @DailyMirror
Quote
Mirror Politics @MirrorPolitics · 23h
MP spotted using ChatGPT to respond to constituents on the train
https://mirror.co.uk/news/politics/mp-spotted-using-chatgtp-respond-35752561
12:45 PM · Aug 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957733590743105643
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Point taken, and I agree - yes it's one elite replacing the other, both elites - but what else is there? The only possibility is to re-search, repeatedly search - for a bunch that as not terrible, but just average bad. Over time, every one becomes terrible. So one has to cycle - from worst, to mere bad.
I know of no sure way to produce good rulers. Society already does the obvious things to improve chances. 1) Selection - we don't just take everyone, most are not used. 2) Education - people are given training, one way or another. 3) Incentives - there is stick but also there is plenty of carrot? Elites can't complain much? It's not like the plebeians organise mass murder of the PM+cabinet ministers on negative GDP quarter?
And they are given plenty of time to turn things around. For societies are like giant ships, are not quick to turn around. E.g. judged only once in four/five years, so not even a yearly appraisal, as in an average corporation. And plenty benefit of doubt too - if malevolent, or incompetent, or unlucky. Humans are among the most trusting of species, high trust is our default.
10:17 AM · Aug 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Point taken, and I agree - yes it's one elite replacing the other, both elites - but what else is there? The only possibility is to re-search, repeatedly search - for a bunch that as not terrible, but just average bad. Over time, every one becomes terrible. So one has to cycle - from worst, to mere bad.
I know of no sure way to produce good rulers. Society already does the obvious things to improve chances. 1) Selection - we don't just take everyone, most are not used. 2) Education - people are given training, one way or another. 3) Incentives - there is stick but also there is plenty of carrot? Elites can't complain much? It's not like the plebeians organise mass murder of the PM+cabinet ministers on negative GDP quarter?
And they are given plenty of time to turn things around. For societies are like giant ships, are not quick to turn around. E.g. judged only once in four/five years, so not even a yearly appraisal, as in an average corporation. And plenty benefit of doubt too - if malevolent, or incompetent, or unlucky. Humans are among the most trusting of species, high trust is our default.
10:17 AM · Aug 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957559833579708768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, but not in order to eat them. We kill them for other reasons than eating their corpses.
10:46 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, but not in order to eat them. We kill them for other reasons than eating their corpses.
10:46 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957559392892526959
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think we may well stop eating them. Maybe that will be the big breakthrough.
10:45 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think we may well stop eating them. Maybe that will be the big breakthrough.
10:45 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957518153749090580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That worked out badly for Serbia, and the Serbs. Yugoslavia was a solution to some, but not all, of their problems. Deciding to abandon YU, Serbs solved almost zero of the old problems, but acquired new problems. (that YU had solved.) You've got it exactly backwards. England to prosper - must make UK work. Not abandon UK - that's easy. Gains only come from England making UK work for England, not against it. Yes, that's much harder. That's building - and yes building is tough.
8:01 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That worked out badly for Serbia, and the Serbs. Yugoslavia was a solution to some, but not all, of their problems. Deciding to abandon YU, Serbs solved almost zero of the old problems, but acquired new problems. (that YU had solved.) You've got it exactly backwards. England to prosper - must make UK work. Not abandon UK - that's easy. Gains only come from England making UK work for England, not against it. Yes, that's much harder. That's building - and yes building is tough.
8:01 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957511518284583113
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - that activism taken to the extreme always saddens me. Reminds me of "the dose makes the poison" and "everything in moderation."
For - I come from a small language. (<2M speakers) My language literary form was codified only in 1950. I get it - language is not just means of communication, but also forms part of ones identity. And fight for personal freedom and autonomy even.
However. Differing languages increase the costs of communication, for sure. Yes we get slightly different systems, to shine light from different angles, into our reality. But we pay a price for that. It's not free.
I hope at some point the mystery of how pretty much anyone can learn any language up until the end of their teenage years, and with no, or very little accent, will be figured out. Because after that, seemingly the brain (extended) development finished (with the end of puberty?) - and suddenly only the most exceptional 0.01% retain that ability to acquire new language without much sweat and tears and without accent.
Until then - let's hope the Babelfish materialises. 😇
Thinking back, how much acquiring the next bigger language (20M speakers) opened the world for me as a kid, compared to if I stayed with my native one (2M) - the difference is orders of magnitude. No one should be sentenced to a fate of communicating with small number of people. Communication enables our collective intelligence. And that scales with N^2, the number of connections in a network of N nodes. So me going 2M->20M, opened for me 100x times more horizons and opportunities!! Ideas, culture, literature - everything the brain craves. That's huge! Latter acquiring English (the ahem lingua-Franca of our times; ngl never not funny English being linga-Franca 😂 ) opened good part of the known world to me.
7:34 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - that activism taken to the extreme always saddens me. Reminds me of "the dose makes the poison" and "everything in moderation."
For - I come from a small language. (<2M speakers) My language literary form was codified only in 1950. I get it - language is not just means of communication, but also forms part of ones identity. And fight for personal freedom and autonomy even.
However. Differing languages increase the costs of communication, for sure. Yes we get slightly different systems, to shine light from different angles, into our reality. But we pay a price for that. It's not free.
I hope at some point the mystery of how pretty much anyone can learn any language up until the end of their teenage years, and with no, or very little accent, will be figured out. Because after that, seemingly the brain (extended) development finished (with the end of puberty?) - and suddenly only the most exceptional 0.01% retain that ability to acquire new language without much sweat and tears and without accent.
Until then - let's hope the Babelfish materialises. 😇
Thinking back, how much acquiring the next bigger language (20M speakers) opened the world for me as a kid, compared to if I stayed with my native one (2M) - the difference is orders of magnitude. No one should be sentenced to a fate of communicating with small number of people. Communication enables our collective intelligence. And that scales with N^2, the number of connections in a network of N nodes. So me going 2M->20M, opened for me 100x times more horizons and opportunities!! Ideas, culture, literature - everything the brain craves. That's huge! Latter acquiring English (the ahem lingua-Franca of our times; ngl never not funny English being linga-Franca 😂 ) opened good part of the known world to me.
7:34 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957506156743537081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a form, it's not impossible to put non-slop ideas into a slop-form. If the form is something that makes people open their receptacles - well, gfi I say. Just put forward good, not bad ideas. Then it becomes - what's good/bad, and for whom - yadayada...
In my growing up there was "turbo-folk", today it'd be "turbo slop" I'd guess? Same form, carrier of good ideas - when done by it's originator, artist "Rambo-Amadeus". And carrier of bad, terrible, horrific ideas - when done by pretty much everyone after him. They not only bastardised, but positively weaponised the form. (originally defined/described by R-A as "widest tastes lowest passions"; sample here 😱
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtev73r-B8S3puAlkmLhYmryqFHIlDwD)
7:13 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a form, it's not impossible to put non-slop ideas into a slop-form. If the form is something that makes people open their receptacles - well, gfi I say. Just put forward good, not bad ideas. Then it becomes - what's good/bad, and for whom - yadayada...
In my growing up there was "turbo-folk", today it'd be "turbo slop" I'd guess? Same form, carrier of good ideas - when done by it's originator, artist "Rambo-Amadeus". And carrier of bad, terrible, horrific ideas - when done by pretty much everyone after him. They not only bastardised, but positively weaponised the form. (originally defined/described by R-A as "widest tastes lowest passions"; sample here 😱
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtev73r-B8S3puAlkmLhYmryqFHIlDwD)
7:13 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957493420051800301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No way it would have gotten this far this fast. But I think games much more than crypto. We would not have gotten GPU-s if not for the games. And b/c gamers were overwhelmingly adolescent males, one Lara Croft boobies indeed played a very significant role there!
It's never not amusing to me, that in <1990-s, the parents of my childhood were: "stop playing silly games on that kompyukter, fetch a book in your hand, do read and learn for school." Fast forward 35 years. While few things school taught me (reading, maths, computing), or imbibed in me (love for science, literature, history etc), did in fact stand the test of time - there is plenty that did not! That was useless, has been long forgotten, and we are all better for that too.
While kids computer games playing financed all the R&D that went into GPU-s. And that turned out to work out as "making sand think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge", and may yet cure cancers?? Not bad! Three hurrahs for Lara Croft! Hip-hip-...
Tallies nicely with a book also I recall from the 1990-s, that advanced the thesis, that not only does sex create every human that ever lived, but that sexuality created humanity. (and not - fire, cooked food, opposing thumbs, tools, brain size etc) It's doubly amusing to think: sexuality not only created humanity, the first intelligence around. (analogue) But that sexuality also played a huge role in creating digital intelligence. ("our progeny, our mind children")
6:22 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No way it would have gotten this far this fast. But I think games much more than crypto. We would not have gotten GPU-s if not for the games. And b/c gamers were overwhelmingly adolescent males, one Lara Croft boobies indeed played a very significant role there!
It's never not amusing to me, that in <1990-s, the parents of my childhood were: "stop playing silly games on that kompyukter, fetch a book in your hand, do read and learn for school." Fast forward 35 years. While few things school taught me (reading, maths, computing), or imbibed in me (love for science, literature, history etc), did in fact stand the test of time - there is plenty that did not! That was useless, has been long forgotten, and we are all better for that too.
While kids computer games playing financed all the R&D that went into GPU-s. And that turned out to work out as "making sand think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge", and may yet cure cancers?? Not bad! Three hurrahs for Lara Croft! Hip-hip-...
Tallies nicely with a book also I recall from the 1990-s, that advanced the thesis, that not only does sex create every human that ever lived, but that sexuality created humanity. (and not - fire, cooked food, opposing thumbs, tools, brain size etc) It's doubly amusing to think: sexuality not only created humanity, the first intelligence around. (analogue) But that sexuality also played a huge role in creating digital intelligence. ("our progeny, our mind children")
6:22 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957484395528372644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Priding themselves (rightly) to be the "World Public Square" @X should be milking this more. Big step for humanity undoing the curse of Babel plaguing us for 10K years now! Seems not rolled out yet everywhere, but getting more coverage. Wished for it some time (e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876922810418741730), then noticed it about 3 weeks ago for the first time (https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950390321780580802). Our hopes for the future-realised. Babelfish for real. 🥰 Stellar work @xai 👍
5:47 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Priding themselves (rightly) to be the "World Public Square" @X should be milking this more. Big step for humanity undoing the curse of Babel plaguing us for 10K years now! Seems not rolled out yet everywhere, but getting more coverage. Wished for it some time (e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876922810418741730), then noticed it about 3 weeks ago for the first time (https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950390321780580802). Our hopes for the future-realised. Babelfish for real. 🥰 Stellar work @xai 👍
5:47 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957480835822637336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both!-and that's two-birds-with-one-stone levels good. Not only will they gain personal tutoring bloom-2-sigma education. But the malign influence of the parents will decline further. Already parental influence is small compared to the influence of kids peers. Kids are smart that way. Even if they don't know with their heads, in their hearts they feel and are right about whom they are to trust more: the gown ups, or their friends. Friends every time! :-) AI tutors will move the needle further in that direction.
5:32 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both!-and that's two-birds-with-one-stone levels good. Not only will they gain personal tutoring bloom-2-sigma education. But the malign influence of the parents will decline further. Already parental influence is small compared to the influence of kids peers. Kids are smart that way. Even if they don't know with their heads, in their hearts they feel and are right about whom they are to trust more: the gown ups, or their friends. Friends every time! :-) AI tutors will move the needle further in that direction.
5:32 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957473648811380963
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought the low fertility was to be solved by having pregnancy gestation in some sort of a baby sack. And that the present practice of baby growing up for 9 months inside another human would be considered barbaric by the future people. I just couldn't see the path to it: how will that development happen, without much incentive. Now I see a path. People will go for IVF for the embryos screening. And then natural gestation will be abandoned - trivial next step after IVF works well. Even when there are no fertility issues (97%) - the route will be taken for the benefits of screening. It makes sense to me now.
5:04 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought the low fertility was to be solved by having pregnancy gestation in some sort of a baby sack. And that the present practice of baby growing up for 9 months inside another human would be considered barbaric by the future people. I just couldn't see the path to it: how will that development happen, without much incentive. Now I see a path. People will go for IVF for the embryos screening. And then natural gestation will be abandoned - trivial next step after IVF works well. Even when there are no fertility issues (97%) - the route will be taken for the benefits of screening. It makes sense to me now.
5:04 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957467159715582195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our lives depend on our computers. If Microsoft owns my computer, then Microsoft owns my life. Microsoft is not that trustworthy-no one is. It's an organisation I have transactional relation with. And that's it. They don't owe me to look after my life. Myself alone am to do that
4:38 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our lives depend on our computers. If Microsoft owns my computer, then Microsoft owns my life. Microsoft is not that trustworthy-no one is. It's an organisation I have transactional relation with. And that's it. They don't owe me to look after my life. Myself alone am to do that
4:38 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957429462951408093
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes it's trivially easy to define misinformation, at other times almost impossible. Any system put in place will be gamed by unscrupulous and fallable humans. One fix to discourage obvious grifters whose business model is to scare people senseless for profit and fun with the most ludicrous and salatious takes, is to force the scare merchants to bet on their words. Put their money where their mouths are. Especially for forecasts of the future. Like "X: You vaxed fools will drop dead before 1-Jan-2026. Y: Oh-key, interesting, you want to BETONIT? 1000:1 I will not be killed by the vax." But how is that to be achieved in some systematic fashion - IDK, sorry.
2:08 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes it's trivially easy to define misinformation, at other times almost impossible. Any system put in place will be gamed by unscrupulous and fallable humans. One fix to discourage obvious grifters whose business model is to scare people senseless for profit and fun with the most ludicrous and salatious takes, is to force the scare merchants to bet on their words. Put their money where their mouths are. Especially for forecasts of the future. Like "X: You vaxed fools will drop dead before 1-Jan-2026. Y: Oh-key, interesting, you want to BETONIT? 1000:1 I will not be killed by the vax." But how is that to be achieved in some systematic fashion - IDK, sorry.
2:08 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957417887322308929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a reason that connectionists were are best tolerated, even if never completely shutdown. But certainly never had the upper hand. And that the best work was done in industrial R&D Labs, not in academia. Or when in academia, on the periphery not in the centre.
In academia, as everywhere when the criteria are ultimately a beauty contest that can't be objective, sooner or latter the fierce competition for grants and other resources, makes the ones the least scrupulous the most eager to Command & Control, to ascend the commanding heights. Everything else flows from that.
The only solution I can think of, that can't be 100% gamed and 100% captured, is to have some non-trivial portion (say 20%) of the funding allocated by lotteries. Not by grant applications. So then even with 80% fully captured by unscrupulous cliques, there is some gaming-proof allocation to researching truly novel if risky ideas.
This works as long as it's permission-less. Anything else - will be captured in the iterative gamings over time.
1:22 PM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a reason that connectionists were are best tolerated, even if never completely shutdown. But certainly never had the upper hand. And that the best work was done in industrial R&D Labs, not in academia. Or when in academia, on the periphery not in the centre.
In academia, as everywhere when the criteria are ultimately a beauty contest that can't be objective, sooner or latter the fierce competition for grants and other resources, makes the ones the least scrupulous the most eager to Command & Control, to ascend the commanding heights. Everything else flows from that.
The only solution I can think of, that can't be 100% gamed and 100% captured, is to have some non-trivial portion (say 20%) of the funding allocated by lotteries. Not by grant applications. So then even with 80% fully captured by unscrupulous cliques, there is some gaming-proof allocation to researching truly novel if risky ideas.
This works as long as it's permission-less. Anything else - will be captured in the iterative gamings over time.
1:22 PM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957372043684712652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Such pleasure and privilege. One notices an interesting paper, and hey presto, the model weights are already out there on HF https://huggingface.co/ServiceNow-AI/Apriel-Nemotron-15b-Thinker with ready quants available to DL and try on the laptop, just a llama.cpp call away! Yay OSS ftw!! Stellar! - this is the life :-)
From huggingface.co
10:20 AM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Such pleasure and privilege. One notices an interesting paper, and hey presto, the model weights are already out there on HF https://huggingface.co/ServiceNow-AI/Apriel-Nemotron-15b-Thinker with ready quants available to DL and try on the laptop, just a llama.cpp call away! Yay OSS ftw!! Stellar! - this is the life :-)
From huggingface.co
10:20 AM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957352048745173078
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, the process of kicking out the established elites, and replacing them with the anti-establishment elite waiting in the wings, is afoot. The established elite failed in their job - ruling well. US is leading, UK one election cycle behind. The established elite are at the tail end of that realisation by definition. They are failing b/c they have not been self-aware enough. Even if they were, it's unclear that they could do much. There is only so much a person can change. Sometimes only change of person will do for change.
9:01 AM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, the process of kicking out the established elites, and replacing them with the anti-establishment elite waiting in the wings, is afoot. The established elite failed in their job - ruling well. US is leading, UK one election cycle behind. The established elite are at the tail end of that realisation by definition. They are failing b/c they have not been self-aware enough. Even if they were, it's unclear that they could do much. There is only so much a person can change. Sometimes only change of person will do for change.
9:01 AM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957349383319720159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, the war of oldies against the younglings is ongoing. Just ranted yesterday
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957122365705380285
TBF it's always been thus. In my childhood <1990-s, us kids wanted to play video games, hang with each other, talk & giggle. Grown ups wanted to kill people they've never seen before & have done them no harm - because the TV-box told them. FF 35yrs, turns out kids computer games playing financed the R&D into GPU-s that can think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge, and may yet cure cancers.
I have faith in kids instincts though. If not for that, humanity wd have been finished eons ago. Kids hearts are in the right places, they will resist malign influences of their parents.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 17
Kids! You don't hate your parents generations enough. You may even revere them?! Not terrible—but you should do less of that. Parents loving you is all good. Parents telling you what the future is going to be—not good. Oldies are full of sh*t. They don't know any more than you, x.com/isabelleboemek…
Show more
8:50 AM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, the war of oldies against the younglings is ongoing. Just ranted yesterday
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957122365705380285
TBF it's always been thus. In my childhood <1990-s, us kids wanted to play video games, hang with each other, talk & giggle. Grown ups wanted to kill people they've never seen before & have done them no harm - because the TV-box told them. FF 35yrs, turns out kids computer games playing financed the R&D into GPU-s that can think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge, and may yet cure cancers.
I have faith in kids instincts though. If not for that, humanity wd have been finished eons ago. Kids hearts are in the right places, they will resist malign influences of their parents.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 17
Kids! You don't hate your parents generations enough. You may even revere them?! Not terrible—but you should do less of that. Parents loving you is all good. Parents telling you what the future is going to be—not good. Oldies are full of sh*t. They don't know any more than you, x.com/isabelleboemek…
Show more
8:50 AM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957344034365513881
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total traitor. I would not concentrate on the optics though. Europeans need to find their spine, build their own armies, so industrial base and weapons industries too - if they want to live. Poland + Nordics + Balts, and Germany too - need their own nuclear deterrent.
8:29 AM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total traitor. I would not concentrate on the optics though. Europeans need to find their spine, build their own armies, so industrial base and weapons industries too - if they want to live. Poland + Nordics + Balts, and Germany too - need their own nuclear deterrent.
8:29 AM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957241316666208407
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 in trading too! on a bad losing day, askance from Big Head in charge: somebody check that the master switch wasn't accidentally flipped from Profit to Loss position
1:41 AM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 in trading too! on a bad losing day, askance from Big Head in charge: somebody check that the master switch wasn't accidentally flipped from Profit to Loss position
1:41 AM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957189770712400027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LOVE - is the answer. not 42
10:16 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LOVE - is the answer. not 42
10:16 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957219635579039943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
possible - but still not stopped loving
12:14 AM · Aug 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
possible - but still not stopped loving
12:14 AM · Aug 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957186810943017458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People who get their "meaning in life" from a voice in their heads that woke them up one night are special. Savonarola type crazies can have super-human energy. A distant relative who was diagnosed+treated schizophrenic (and wd once yearly corner us at random in the hallway of the entrance of our home) was well agreeable most of the time. But - in the few fixations he had in life, he demonstrated super-human perseverance and will, and becoming a raging lion at times! Doubly surprising given his diminutive physique.
10:04 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People who get their "meaning in life" from a voice in their heads that woke them up one night are special. Savonarola type crazies can have super-human energy. A distant relative who was diagnosed+treated schizophrenic (and wd once yearly corner us at random in the hallway of the entrance of our home) was well agreeable most of the time. But - in the few fixations he had in life, he demonstrated super-human perseverance and will, and becoming a raging lion at times! Doubly surprising given his diminutive physique.
10:04 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957180147871727818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the life of me can't parse what can be agreed or disagreed with there, as there are no coherent affirmative statements. There are 2 semi-grammatical non-questions of type "if sky blue, then stick long - why?" Generalisation - depends wdym by that. DeepMind cloud AI generalises better than Marko when "general" means domains - writing novels and poems, general knowledge, factual knowledge, playing chess, playing go, folding proteins, competive solving in maths and informatics olympics, maths theorems proofs, speaking languages, creating music, pictures, videos, computer programs. It generalises worse than **the entirety of humanity** that ever lived. While Marko alone generalises better in domains like walking, running, climbing, fishing, driving a car etc. TBS but it's looking like car driving is the next one on the list of advantages humanity is to lose soon. Living in interesting times :-)
9:38 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the life of me can't parse what can be agreed or disagreed with there, as there are no coherent affirmative statements. There are 2 semi-grammatical non-questions of type "if sky blue, then stick long - why?" Generalisation - depends wdym by that. DeepMind cloud AI generalises better than Marko when "general" means domains - writing novels and poems, general knowledge, factual knowledge, playing chess, playing go, folding proteins, competive solving in maths and informatics olympics, maths theorems proofs, speaking languages, creating music, pictures, videos, computer programs. It generalises worse than **the entirety of humanity** that ever lived. While Marko alone generalises better in domains like walking, running, climbing, fishing, driving a car etc. TBS but it's looking like car driving is the next one on the list of advantages humanity is to lose soon. Living in interesting times :-)
9:38 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957166733095047239
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 kept close to pick-me-up in the darker moments of the soul. heh
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953003231413411874
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 6
Morning sight - three objects of beauty 😆
harp-morning-three-beauty-obj-IMG_20250806_080734.jpg
8:44 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 kept close to pick-me-up in the darker moments of the soul. heh
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953003231413411874
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 6
Morning sight - three objects of beauty 😆
harp-morning-three-beauty-obj-IMG_20250806_080734.jpg
8:44 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957117781314326608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bad Taste!! Boy am I pleased to find out that someone else also liked it? With a bunch of friends watched it off a bad VHS copy and it was glorious! 😊 Best thing ever. Ever since, outside that friends' circle, have not found another soul that appreciates it. 😶
5:30 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bad Taste!! Boy am I pleased to find out that someone else also liked it? With a bunch of friends watched it off a bad VHS copy and it was glorious! 😊 Best thing ever. Ever since, outside that friends' circle, have not found another soul that appreciates it. 😶
5:30 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957105286881169865
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids! You don't hate your parents generations enough. You may even revere them?! Not terrible—but you should do less of that. Parents loving you is all good. Parents telling you what the future is going to be—not good. Oldies are full of sh*t. They don't know any more than you, and in many ways—they know of, and guess, the future - way worse than yourselves. Hang together with your friends, create stuff, play games, watch tiktoks and movies, talk and giggle to your hearts contents. But do pay less attention to your parents. They are wrong about many things. I wish we could have every climate grifter, that forecast end of the world by date X, to agree in advance to have him put in some devilish contraption on day X+1, to be then executed by automatically, should the end of the world fail to happen. That will concentrate minds. That will put some fear in their weakly hearts, where only greed for social approval of random cretins like themselves exists now. To the great harm to their kids generations. DONT TRUST OLDIES THERE FULL OF SH*T.
Quote
https://x.com/isabelleboemeke/status/1956446908156875170
isabelle 🪐 @isabelleboemeke · Aug 15
You can laugh all you want, but climate anxiety is a major reason why young people feel hopeless and don’t want to have children.
A much better and useful thing to do would be to show them that problems are solvable, and that we have the tools needed. x.com/libsoftiktok/s…
4:40 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids! You don't hate your parents generations enough. You may even revere them?! Not terrible—but you should do less of that. Parents loving you is all good. Parents telling you what the future is going to be—not good. Oldies are full of sh*t. They don't know any more than you, and in many ways—they know of, and guess, the future - way worse than yourselves. Hang together with your friends, create stuff, play games, watch tiktoks and movies, talk and giggle to your hearts contents. But do pay less attention to your parents. They are wrong about many things. I wish we could have every climate grifter, that forecast end of the world by date X, to agree in advance to have him put in some devilish contraption on day X+1, to be then executed by automatically, should the end of the world fail to happen. That will concentrate minds. That will put some fear in their weakly hearts, where only greed for social approval of random cretins like themselves exists now. To the great harm to their kids generations. DONT TRUST OLDIES THERE FULL OF SH*T.
Quote
https://x.com/isabelleboemeke/status/1956446908156875170
isabelle 🪐 @isabelleboemeke · Aug 15
You can laugh all you want, but climate anxiety is a major reason why young people feel hopeless and don’t want to have children.
A much better and useful thing to do would be to show them that problems are solvable, and that we have the tools needed. x.com/libsoftiktok/s…
4:40 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957065116198789387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - watched a movie with my dad, probably age 22 or sth. Discussing movies with my dad was not something we did. But either I, or him, asked the other something unclear about the movie. In the subsequent explanation that unfolded, I realised we had totally differing views about the movie we watched. As if we had watched different movies. It was shocking to me - that views can differ as much. I don't think my dad realised the extent to the difference, or even that there was much difference.
2:00 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - watched a movie with my dad, probably age 22 or sth. Discussing movies with my dad was not something we did. But either I, or him, asked the other something unclear about the movie. In the subsequent explanation that unfolded, I realised we had totally differing views about the movie we watched. As if we had watched different movies. It was shocking to me - that views can differ as much. I don't think my dad realised the extent to the difference, or even that there was much difference.
2:00 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957059484238418299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe you should try the challenge, familiarise yourself with the task, and the data - before broadcasting your lack of task/domain knowledge to their world? Then what Chollet writes, and what the HRM entry did, will make much more sense. I get it for many this is the way people learn - by thinking aloud. But with social media, that "thinking aloud" is potentially broadcast to billions of screens and eyes.
1:38 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe you should try the challenge, familiarise yourself with the task, and the data - before broadcasting your lack of task/domain knowledge to their world? Then what Chollet writes, and what the HRM entry did, will make much more sense. I get it for many this is the way people learn - by thinking aloud. But with social media, that "thinking aloud" is potentially broadcast to billions of screens and eyes.
1:38 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957052247939916196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because "model of X" does not equal "X". The words "model of", in front of the "X" mean "a model of X is not X". Further, it's not a perfect model, as such thing does not exist. Does not mimic X in every respect, there are plenty of differences between X-the-thing, and a-model-of-X. All other questions raised are answered by "a model of X is not X". The only question interesting about model of X, is how useful is this model of X, in understanding X. That's a good topic to discuss.
1:09 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because "model of X" does not equal "X". The words "model of", in front of the "X" mean "a model of X is not X". Further, it's not a perfect model, as such thing does not exist. Does not mimic X in every respect, there are plenty of differences between X-the-thing, and a-model-of-X. All other questions raised are answered by "a model of X is not X". The only question interesting about model of X, is how useful is this model of X, in understanding X. That's a good topic to discuss.
1:09 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957050492770488828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know you, no one is talking to you, or about you. No one is saying you are a model. In fact, many are saying - you are not a model. Get lost now. For rank stupidity - blocked
1:02 PM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know you, no one is talking to you, or about you. No one is saying you are a model. In fact, many are saying - you are not a model. Get lost now. For rank stupidity - blocked
1:02 PM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1957014146651758967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wdym?? Ofc cognitive tests are appropriate, b/c AI systems - that these systems have now evolved, past LLM-s tbh - are the best models of human cognition and intelligence we currently got. Best models of our brains, of our thinking. Ofc these tests should be used.
10:38 AM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wdym?? Ofc cognitive tests are appropriate, b/c AI systems - that these systems have now evolved, past LLM-s tbh - are the best models of human cognition and intelligence we currently got. Best models of our brains, of our thinking. Ofc these tests should be used.
10:38 AM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956945460284846391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I like it - no I love it! 😈 - when @geoffreyhinton goes on the not-so-amused interviewers full "they are the best model of us", "we are not special", "and... - what do you think your are." 😁 Yesterday had a "GPT IQ148" 🤯 experience, and boy oh boy are many of us - the interesting amusing pets species - in for a future shock. 😃
6:05 AM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I like it - no I love it! 😈 - when @geoffreyhinton goes on the not-so-amused interviewers full "they are the best model of us", "we are not special", "and... - what do you think your are." 😁 Yesterday had a "GPT IQ148" 🤯 experience, and boy oh boy are many of us - the interesting amusing pets species - in for a future shock. 😃
6:05 AM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956854412749775018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For swearing, insulting bad language - I just block on the spot, no 2nd chances. I explain why I blocked - for anyone else reading. (e.g. https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20blocked&src=typed_query&f=live)
For - what I think are - stupid takes, I do nothing, ignore. Little point in arguing. I write what I have to say on the matter. The other side does the same. All good. No one changes their mind, and esp not on Twitter. If there is no meeting of minds, no synergy - move on. There are other 8B humans out there to interact with.
12:03 AM · Aug 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For swearing, insulting bad language - I just block on the spot, no 2nd chances. I explain why I blocked - for anyone else reading. (e.g. https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20blocked&src=typed_query&f=live)
For - what I think are - stupid takes, I do nothing, ignore. Little point in arguing. I write what I have to say on the matter. The other side does the same. All good. No one changes their mind, and esp not on Twitter. If there is no meeting of minds, no synergy - move on. There are other 8B humans out there to interact with.
12:03 AM · Aug 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956829414416638381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Welcome. :-) Posleden pat checked-in bagazh pred 15 god verojatno, so pomali deca. So malo kuferce + rance, duri i na skijanje vo zima koga ima kabasti obleki. A za leto pa da ne pravime muabet - easy-peasy vo racen bagaz. Zaboraviv deka imase pojava "mi go izgubija bagazot" :-)
10:24 PM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Welcome. :-) Posleden pat checked-in bagazh pred 15 god verojatno, so pomali deca. So malo kuferce + rance, duri i na skijanje vo zima koga ima kabasti obleki. A za leto pa da ne pravime muabet - easy-peasy vo racen bagaz. Zaboraviv deka imase pojava "mi go izgubija bagazot" :-)
10:24 PM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956828451144421611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ok impossible to choose "good OR bad", because it is "good AND bad". Good and bad - for whom. :-)
For the people that need the repair it's bad that they need it, but good that they get it. For people that provide the service it's good that they get income.
Now let us think - all switch to EV-s, and now costs of maintenance are down 75%. So 3 out of 4 repair shops close. Is that good or bad? It's good for the customers, their cars break less, they save 3 out of every 4 dollars they spent before. It's bad for the 3 workers in the repairs shops that closed and now the workers are jobless and without income.
However - what are the customers going to do with the 3 dollars that they have now extra in their pockets? Are they going keep them saved? Maybe, some. But most likely they will spend those 3 dollars on some other good and service. So the jobless workers will probably look to take on new jobs, providing something else (than car repairs) that customers desire, that will aim to re-capture those 3 dollars.
So yes, in the short term there will be dislocation, strife. Life will be harder for those 3 workers chasing the 3 dollars not spent any more on car repairs. But in the longer term, once they find new jobs, all will be better off. Workers will have jobs again, so no worse than before. (actually slightly better as their cars will also be maintained for 1 rather than 4 dollars too.) While customers will have their cars running (while spending only 1 on repairs), plus extra stuff they will get to consume for those 3 dollars not spent on the cars, but on something else.
10:20 PM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ok impossible to choose "good OR bad", because it is "good AND bad". Good and bad - for whom. :-)
For the people that need the repair it's bad that they need it, but good that they get it. For people that provide the service it's good that they get income.
Now let us think - all switch to EV-s, and now costs of maintenance are down 75%. So 3 out of 4 repair shops close. Is that good or bad? It's good for the customers, their cars break less, they save 3 out of every 4 dollars they spent before. It's bad for the 3 workers in the repairs shops that closed and now the workers are jobless and without income.
However - what are the customers going to do with the 3 dollars that they have now extra in their pockets? Are they going keep them saved? Maybe, some. But most likely they will spend those 3 dollars on some other good and service. So the jobless workers will probably look to take on new jobs, providing something else (than car repairs) that customers desire, that will aim to re-capture those 3 dollars.
So yes, in the short term there will be dislocation, strife. Life will be harder for those 3 workers chasing the 3 dollars not spent any more on car repairs. But in the longer term, once they find new jobs, all will be better off. Workers will have jobs again, so no worse than before. (actually slightly better as their cars will also be maintained for 1 rather than 4 dollars too.) While customers will have their cars running (while spending only 1 on repairs), plus extra stuff they will get to consume for those 3 dollars not spent on the cars, but on something else.
10:20 PM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956801546664169629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? This take is delusional. EU couldn't give a sh*t about UKR for the longest time. Ukrainians themselves fought tooth and nail to rid themselves of string of leaders working ultimately for various oligarchs, the Kremlin, or both. The citizens kept voting the leaders in-out, repeatedly, trying to find one that cares about the population first, not last. That's why longer term their prospects look better than russians', tbh - if they survive this war. Poland was like them in 1990 ago. It's not impossible for Ukraine to do-a-Poland in the next 50 years. This is what they are fighting for. They could surrender any day, and lose any hope. Why post ignorant take about things you seemingly know little? You diminish yourself in the eyes of those who know.
8:33 PM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? This take is delusional. EU couldn't give a sh*t about UKR for the longest time. Ukrainians themselves fought tooth and nail to rid themselves of string of leaders working ultimately for various oligarchs, the Kremlin, or both. The citizens kept voting the leaders in-out, repeatedly, trying to find one that cares about the population first, not last. That's why longer term their prospects look better than russians', tbh - if they survive this war. Poland was like them in 1990 ago. It's not impossible for Ukraine to do-a-Poland in the next 50 years. This is what they are fighting for. They could surrender any day, and lose any hope. Why post ignorant take about things you seemingly know little? You diminish yourself in the eyes of those who know.
8:33 PM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956799820493906111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not that odd. One good thing about OSS-ing the weights is that the users then bear the inference cost. Which seems totally fair to me. Run it on your own h/w using your own electricity, or pay 3-rd party to run it for you. Would be too much to expect OAI to bear the inference cost too. They have done more than enough creating the model, and OSS-ing in the 1st place. Wish they'd done it earlier. And hope they don't way years again to release the next one. But no—can't fault them for not doing inference.
8:26 PM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not that odd. One good thing about OSS-ing the weights is that the users then bear the inference cost. Which seems totally fair to me. Run it on your own h/w using your own electricity, or pay 3-rd party to run it for you. Would be too much to expect OAI to bear the inference cost too. They have done more than enough creating the model, and OSS-ing in the 1st place. Wish they'd done it earlier. And hope they don't way years again to release the next one. But no—can't fault them for not doing inference.
8:26 PM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956714935418814731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good equilibrium tbh. If Linux-es brought more normies, they would start tending to the normie desires too, and that will turn Linux into Windows. Why? - no need for that, when Windows already exists. Beter this way - there us variety and choice.
2:49 PM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good equilibrium tbh. If Linux-es brought more normies, they would start tending to the normie desires too, and that will turn Linux into Windows. Why? - no need for that, when Windows already exists. Beter this way - there us variety and choice.
2:49 PM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956673234998280305
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only - it debunks nothing. The result stands, it's been replicated. It's a drill down of where and how the good result comes. The "mystery of the outer loop" is there to be investigated further etc. Better leave silly talk of "debunking" to online personalities.
12:03 PM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only - it debunks nothing. The result stands, it's been replicated. It's a drill down of where and how the good result comes. The "mystery of the outer loop" is there to be investigated further etc. Better leave silly talk of "debunking" to online personalities.
12:03 PM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956649328040124450
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was the rule not the exception with him. All form, zero substance. All vibes, zero action. That was part of his appeal too, if we are to be honest. Do nothing, step on no ones toes-everyone likes you. (except for a few lunatics) So a stellar 9/10 social climbing strategy.
10:28 AM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was the rule not the exception with him. All form, zero substance. All vibes, zero action. That was part of his appeal too, if we are to be honest. Do nothing, step on no ones toes-everyone likes you. (except for a few lunatics) So a stellar 9/10 social climbing strategy.
10:28 AM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956581086810481114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doesn't the more unhinged greenies wing of "everything 'natural' is good, everything human is bad" have prior deeper roots in romanticised "blood and soil" vibes, that are also built into the nazi "purity" vibes though?
5:57 AM · Aug 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doesn't the more unhinged greenies wing of "everything 'natural' is good, everything human is bad" have prior deeper roots in romanticised "blood and soil" vibes, that are also built into the nazi "purity" vibes though?
5:57 AM · Aug 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956466204669104215
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't want to get personal - but how are you not divorced yet?? Do you not get in trouble at home by speaking up, breaking Straussian omertas like that?? Kids have not forsaken you either? If it's No-and-No - you are the mensch man.
10:21 PM · Aug 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't want to get personal - but how are you not divorced yet?? Do you not get in trouble at home by speaking up, breaking Straussian omertas like that?? Kids have not forsaken you either? If it's No-and-No - you are the mensch man.
10:21 PM · Aug 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956464786826526774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - if there is zero residual left un-forecast by a model, then indeed zero information is relayed to us by any observation, as it was 100% predicted.
Zero information sounds bad to me ngl. Like - complete predictability, we get in death! Anything living, is un-predictable, while it's alive. Once dead - like a stone dead - it's completely predictable, and stays like that too. To the best of our knowledge.
So - yay for fundamental randomness. +1 From me there. 😆
10:15 PM · Aug 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - if there is zero residual left un-forecast by a model, then indeed zero information is relayed to us by any observation, as it was 100% predicted.
Zero information sounds bad to me ngl. Like - complete predictability, we get in death! Anything living, is un-predictable, while it's alive. Once dead - like a stone dead - it's completely predictable, and stays like that too. To the best of our knowledge.
So - yay for fundamental randomness. +1 From me there. 😆
10:15 PM · Aug 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956462890153865241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The post made me laugh aloud 😂 Wrong on several things in several sentences - some record there. 😁
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956460627121127505
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @bubblebabyboi
Well, I'd say DL researchers owe their success to ignoring the "basic statistical theory", no? I think stats guys refusing to consider ML removed themselves from the pool voluntarily. Aka - beta-hat v.s. y-hat, and Breiman's The Two Cultures. Probably only linguists like Chomsky
Show more
10:07 PM · Aug 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The post made me laugh aloud 😂 Wrong on several things in several sentences - some record there. 😁
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956460627121127505
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @bubblebabyboi
Well, I'd say DL researchers owe their success to ignoring the "basic statistical theory", no? I think stats guys refusing to consider ML removed themselves from the pool voluntarily. Aka - beta-hat v.s. y-hat, and Breiman's The Two Cultures. Probably only linguists like Chomsky
Show more
10:07 PM · Aug 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956460627121127505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, I'd say DL researchers owe their success to ignoring the "basic statistical theory", no? I think stats guys refusing to consider ML removed themselves from the pool voluntarily. Aka - beta-hat v.s. y-hat, and Breiman's The Two Cultures. Probably only linguists like Chomsky cultists did worse.
As for HMM-s 😂 boy oh boy did you get me laughing there. (and reminded me of somewhat miss-spent youth 20 yrs ago) Some DL researchers know about HMM-s rest assured. "Hidden" in the "hidden layer" comes from "hidden" in "Hidden Markov Model", wait for it - via Hinton learning, and "stealing" the name from Brown.
https://x.com/MimansaJ/status/1955442551672156558
Brown being one of the "Mercer & Brown" duo of the IBM language modelling group. (before they decamped to the Simons' RenTech quant trading ca$h printer)
hinton-language-crazy-million-parameters-just-stupid.mp4
9:58 PM · Aug 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, I'd say DL researchers owe their success to ignoring the "basic statistical theory", no? I think stats guys refusing to consider ML removed themselves from the pool voluntarily. Aka - beta-hat v.s. y-hat, and Breiman's The Two Cultures. Probably only linguists like Chomsky cultists did worse.
As for HMM-s 😂 boy oh boy did you get me laughing there. (and reminded me of somewhat miss-spent youth 20 yrs ago) Some DL researchers know about HMM-s rest assured. "Hidden" in the "hidden layer" comes from "hidden" in "Hidden Markov Model", wait for it - via Hinton learning, and "stealing" the name from Brown.
https://x.com/MimansaJ/status/1955442551672156558
Brown being one of the "Mercer & Brown" duo of the IBM language modelling group. (before they decamped to the Simons' RenTech quant trading ca$h printer)
hinton-language-crazy-million-parameters-just-stupid.mp4
9:58 PM · Aug 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956462138890863045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw first read about it on this excellent 3-Jul read-through
https://x.com/mgostIH/status/1940694809645404486
Could not fathom why there was not much of a big deal made of the result then tbh.
Quote
mgostIH @mgostIH · Jul 3
High performance on ARC, solving hard reasoning tasks better than o3 all within 27M parameters and low data requirements?
It's simpler than you think 🐱
10:04 PM · Aug 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw first read about it on this excellent 3-Jul read-through
https://x.com/mgostIH/status/1940694809645404486
Could not fathom why there was not much of a big deal made of the result then tbh.
Quote
mgostIH @mgostIH · Jul 3
High performance on ARC, solving hard reasoning tasks better than o3 all within 27M parameters and low data requirements?
It's simpler than you think 🐱
10:04 PM · Aug 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956454766420119701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he snuck - "...like tears in rain" in there?! Well done! 😁 I sympathise and suspect he maybe right, it's not 100% certain that analog different => not up-loadable. Yes analog hardware is all different, but may yet turn out that a lot of the diffs are not super material. TBS - the brain has surprised us before, many times. Given that some action potentials are already digital 0-or-1 not analogue - as I learned from another lecture of his!
9:35 PM · Aug 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he snuck - "...like tears in rain" in there?! Well done! 😁 I sympathise and suspect he maybe right, it's not 100% certain that analog different => not up-loadable. Yes analog hardware is all different, but may yet turn out that a lot of the diffs are not super material. TBS - the brain has surprised us before, many times. Given that some action potentials are already digital 0-or-1 not analogue - as I learned from another lecture of his!
9:35 PM · Aug 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956333221009870856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm on a Mac with TB4. I got one of those TB4 enclosures, put a 2TB NVME SSD stick in it, and rsync back and forth as needed/deleted. A chore, but it works. TB5 if you got it is even better - is as fast as the internal NVME. Check the latest nvme ssd enclosures YT reviews. There maybe even 4TB sticks, or 2x2TB sticks. Only important thing is for the enclosure to be able to hold the temperature down under heavy use. Mine - on the left (can't be arsed to crop the old pic - sorry)
1:32 PM · Aug 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm on a Mac with TB4. I got one of those TB4 enclosures, put a 2TB NVME SSD stick in it, and rsync back and forth as needed/deleted. A chore, but it works. TB5 if you got it is even better - is as fast as the internal NVME. Check the latest nvme ssd enclosures YT reviews. There maybe even 4TB sticks, or 2x2TB sticks. Only important thing is for the enclosure to be able to hold the temperature down under heavy use. Mine - on the left (can't be arsed to crop the old pic - sorry)
1:32 PM · Aug 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1956004551896502669
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CP Snow's "Two Cultures" is biting UK decision making by the backside repeatedly. If the humanities portion of the elite (in the UK 70-80%?) put effort to internalize become numerate, that wd be a huge win. The numerates are already literate.
3:46 PM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CP Snow's "Two Cultures" is biting UK decision making by the backside repeatedly. If the humanities portion of the elite (in the UK 70-80%?) put effort to internalize become numerate, that wd be a huge win. The numerates are already literate.
3:46 PM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955969648953868402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - so staff faking it thinking students want it, students faking it thinking staff and peers want it. 😂 A conga dance of invertebrates. 😳 Like ants in a pheromone circle: the circle has closed, they can't but go on and on. Exhaustion sets, some are falling by the wayside. 😅 The circle is becoming smaller, the period of rotations hastens. What spectacle. And in environment where they are supposed to encourage critical thinking. And staff are supposed to demonstrate independence of thought, no less. wow wow wow 😆
1:27 PM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - so staff faking it thinking students want it, students faking it thinking staff and peers want it. 😂 A conga dance of invertebrates. 😳 Like ants in a pheromone circle: the circle has closed, they can't but go on and on. Exhaustion sets, some are falling by the wayside. 😅 The circle is becoming smaller, the period of rotations hastens. What spectacle. And in environment where they are supposed to encourage critical thinking. And staff are supposed to demonstrate independence of thought, no less. wow wow wow 😆
1:27 PM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955898778784878877
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zero reasons at this point. The leaders and the public are blind leading the blind in a conga dance of stupidity. The head chasing the tail, catching up with it, and now like ants in a pheromone circle: the circle has closed, they can't, but go on and on. Exhaustion is setting in now, some are falling by the wayside. The circle is becoming smaller, the period of rotations hastens.
8:46 AM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zero reasons at this point. The leaders and the public are blind leading the blind in a conga dance of stupidity. The head chasing the tail, catching up with it, and now like ants in a pheromone circle: the circle has closed, they can't, but go on and on. Exhaustion is setting in now, some are falling by the wayside. The circle is becoming smaller, the period of rotations hastens.
8:46 AM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955896141477806346
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's Tegmark thinking? Is Tegmark the arch-doomer, the doomer-to-out-doom all other doomers, doomer^N, N->Inf? Or am I wrong there.
8:35 AM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's Tegmark thinking? Is Tegmark the arch-doomer, the doomer-to-out-doom all other doomers, doomer^N, N->Inf? Or am I wrong there.
8:35 AM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955890713184383186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh they notice all right - as it brings them votes aplenty. The aim of the legislation is not to ban porn sites for everyone. The aim is to ban porn sites for under-18s specifically. Given the legislation brings votes to Reform - I doubt they'll repeal it, no matter what they say
8:14 AM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh they notice all right - as it brings them votes aplenty. The aim of the legislation is not to ban porn sites for everyone. The aim is to ban porn sites for under-18s specifically. Given the legislation brings votes to Reform - I doubt they'll repeal it, no matter what they say
8:14 AM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955883504882917407
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there. While there is unexplained unforecast residual >0, there is scope for intelligence increase. Afaik, at the bottom quantum level, there is unfathomable randomness: the moment "we know", is the moment "we don't know" anymore - for it's not the same system. We disturbed the system, now it's a different system - of which "we don't know" again. Is my amateur understanding of how things work at small scales like it.
7:45 AM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there. While there is unexplained unforecast residual >0, there is scope for intelligence increase. Afaik, at the bottom quantum level, there is unfathomable randomness: the moment "we know", is the moment "we don't know" anymore - for it's not the same system. We disturbed the system, now it's a different system - of which "we don't know" again. Is my amateur understanding of how things work at small scales like it.
7:45 AM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955880258315354314
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bingo! only - not odd, but expected, right?
7:32 AM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bingo! only - not odd, but expected, right?
7:32 AM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955862186183524583
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - while it's living, it's outsmarting its environment. That involves learning. Temperature analogy doesn't quite work, because it is not intelligence nor learning. Is related - higher temperature is more disorder - but directionally wrong for the argument made.
6:20 AM · Aug 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - while it's living, it's outsmarting its environment. That involves learning. Temperature analogy doesn't quite work, because it is not intelligence nor learning. Is related - higher temperature is more disorder - but directionally wrong for the argument made.
6:20 AM · Aug 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955683125931217084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing really that they want to do that much. They want to rule as if year 2000 - just glide in neutral. Don't offend anyone, don't make any enemies. But any action any movement means going against some existing interest. So there is immediate pushback. Because they have no particular vision, whatever they feebly try, they give up quickly, after a mildest pushback. So it's a stasis.
6:29 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing really that they want to do that much. They want to rule as if year 2000 - just glide in neutral. Don't offend anyone, don't make any enemies. But any action any movement means going against some existing interest. So there is immediate pushback. Because they have no particular vision, whatever they feebly try, they give up quickly, after a mildest pushback. So it's a stasis.
6:29 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955687146930794982
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...just noticed: "Plan for Change." The change itself is not spelled out. There is a realisation "can't go on like this, something needs to change." But they don't spell out what action they are going to take. They don't know for sure, I presume, hence nothing is said.
6:45 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...just noticed: "Plan for Change." The change itself is not spelled out. There is a realisation "can't go on like this, something needs to change." But they don't spell out what action they are going to take. They don't know for sure, I presume, hence nothing is said.
6:45 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955676062526091741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quant trader 20yrs, moving back to appliied ML/AI R&D. (9yrs c2c contract ends this month) Will babysit training runs for fun, while looking for the next c2c. CV https://ljubomirj.github.io/cvlj92t2.pdf, long bio https://ljubomirj.github.io/cvlj92.pdf. London based. (but remote-love my garden office.)
6:01 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quant trader 20yrs, moving back to appliied ML/AI R&D. (9yrs c2c contract ends this month) Will babysit training runs for fun, while looking for the next c2c. CV https://ljubomirj.github.io/cvlj92t2.pdf, long bio https://ljubomirj.github.io/cvlj92.pdf. London based. (but remote-love my garden office.)
6:01 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955657576013812165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Journalists' wordcels are just dumb dumb - can't be helped. That's the nature of failing regime, I can't but not notice. The communists were similar in ~1990! No matter how much the West helped them - they still failed??
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955656342167040161
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 30m
Replying to @IrishTimesCultr
Well - that's just dumb. There is a TechBro wing that's pro-natalist, anti-misrerabilist, anti-doomer, pro-abundance, etc. Journalists wordcels etc - you are not doing yourselves any favours. The world will not end most likely. Internet never forgets nowadays. These dumb takes
Show more
4:47 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Journalists' wordcels are just dumb dumb - can't be helped. That's the nature of failing regime, I can't but not notice. The communists were similar in ~1990! No matter how much the West helped them - they still failed??
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955656342167040161
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 30m
Replying to @IrishTimesCultr
Well - that's just dumb. There is a TechBro wing that's pro-natalist, anti-misrerabilist, anti-doomer, pro-abundance, etc. Journalists wordcels etc - you are not doing yourselves any favours. The world will not end most likely. Internet never forgets nowadays. These dumb takes
Show more
4:47 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955656342167040161
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - that's just dumb. There is a TechBro wing that's pro-natalist, anti-misrerabilist, anti-doomer, pro-abundance, etc. Journalists wordcels etc - you are not doing yourselves any favours. The world will not end most likely. Internet never forgets nowadays. These dumb takes will come back to haunt you.
NB - it's much better for you to claim "the world will not end", and be wrong that way. For if you are wrong in that case, and the world does end - no one will come back after you. I take this advise too will fly over your heads - because simply that's just the way stupid people are. Danger to themselves, and to others.
4:43 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - that's just dumb. There is a TechBro wing that's pro-natalist, anti-misrerabilist, anti-doomer, pro-abundance, etc. Journalists wordcels etc - you are not doing yourselves any favours. The world will not end most likely. Internet never forgets nowadays. These dumb takes will come back to haunt you.
NB - it's much better for you to claim "the world will not end", and be wrong that way. For if you are wrong in that case, and the world does end - no one will come back after you. I take this advise too will fly over your heads - because simply that's just the way stupid people are. Danger to themselves, and to others.
4:43 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955621869052190978
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only if she is insane. Taxes are at ATH already. The state should do less. For it lacks competences to do well many of the things it attempts to do already. And the state should stop others from doing more. Which atm it does aplenty. There are too many permission-full, and to few permission-less, areas of UK life. The dead hand of the state should be removed. Whole areas of public life that are now permission-full (=there is authority that can say "No" - and they do say NO amply), should become permission-less. Then UK will sort itself out. There is no other way. Less state. That taxes are ATH tells us - there is too much state activity.
2:26 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only if she is insane. Taxes are at ATH already. The state should do less. For it lacks competences to do well many of the things it attempts to do already. And the state should stop others from doing more. Which atm it does aplenty. There are too many permission-full, and to few permission-less, areas of UK life. The dead hand of the state should be removed. Whole areas of public life that are now permission-full (=there is authority that can say "No" - and they do say NO amply), should become permission-less. Then UK will sort itself out. There is no other way. Less state. That taxes are ATH tells us - there is too much state activity.
2:26 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955612570208903517
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh wow 😳 - thank you! 😊 love love X/Twitter when like this 🤯 thanks 🙏 for taking your time to write the above 👍
1:49 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh wow 😳 - thank you! 😊 love love X/Twitter when like this 🤯 thanks 🙏 for taking your time to write the above 👍
1:49 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955611840828109102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha? Bad - compared to what exactly. Your baseline is unreasonable, unrealistic. Better take - this is another stupid moral panic. I'm 55+, in my lifetime moral panics about: TV (childhood), home computers games, early tiny consoles blocky games (teenage hood), then PC games and big consoles (youth hood), then Internets (children seeing titties - oh my), then Social Media (Facebook boomers losing touch reality). B/S every time. This time is no different Fear not. Fight authority back. Don't let feeble minded scare you into obedience.
1:46 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha? Bad - compared to what exactly. Your baseline is unreasonable, unrealistic. Better take - this is another stupid moral panic. I'm 55+, in my lifetime moral panics about: TV (childhood), home computers games, early tiny consoles blocky games (teenage hood), then PC games and big consoles (youth hood), then Internets (children seeing titties - oh my), then Social Media (Facebook boomers losing touch reality). B/S every time. This time is no different Fear not. Fight authority back. Don't let feeble minded scare you into obedience.
1:46 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955596719061647559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that! I see you are improving the App by leaps - thank you! Still it seems to me there are too many ways where a user can go wrong, too many on/off toggles. I missed the click on the pencil instead on the settings wheel on llama.cpp.
12:46 PM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that! I see you are improving the App by leaps - thank you! Still it seems to me there are too many ways where a user can go wrong, too many on/off toggles. I missed the click on the pencil instead on the settings wheel on llama.cpp.
12:46 PM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955552320009175324
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that. Enjoyed the talk, liked what I heard there - but maybe b/c I agree with most of what was said. 😂
Still - your intuitions are more right than wrong! So +1 for that, do keep doing what you are doing. Your heart is in the right places it seems to me. I got two 20+ yo zoomer boys, I was most interested to hear what you got to say.
I come from a previous century. I remember life before the Internet. (I also remember a grandparent born in the XIX century; all my grandparents were grew up in empires non existent now for some time; one only reads of them Wikipedia.)
Life before Internet was very very boring. It got better with the home computers. Then better again with the PC revolution. It was then we got modems, could dial-up to a BBS 11pm-5am. Latter I became aware of Sprint outdial NUA-s - and even used US BBS-s from another continent for a price of a local telephone call! (still metered by time spent while connected)
Latter by accident of being at particular (place,time) I had front row seat to bring the 1st Internet to a new fledging country among much other chaos. (a revolution unrelated to the Internet revolution) It was glorious! My users (a faculty department at local Uni) were stunned, that they could see first text, then even pictures, from another continent! And this is something us techies did. The 1st up-down link ever for the Uni (and briefly for the country too!) was 64kbps satellite link from the top of a Uni building. Once it broke. The sysadm "owning it" (a colleague) was away on holiday. Asked me to greet, and take to the roof a Nordic tech guy that flew in the country, to swap a faulty part. It was summer 1996/7, sweltering hot. Then short sharp summer downpour rained on us for the exact 15 mins we were on the roof! 😂 Drenched us totally. Still - the repair worked, Unu/country 64kbps link to the new networked country of Internet restored.
The PC revolution sped up life x10 times. The Internet revolution sped it up x10 times again. Now the AI revolution feels like speeding up again for another x10 times. I'm thoroughly enjoying it, ngl! ☺️ (I started as ML/AI R&D too)
Trust your instincts. Oldies are full of sh*t. (myself included) Another episode. Casting my mind to the childhood in <1990-s. Us kids wanted to play video games, hang with each other, talk and giggle. Grown ups wanted to kill people they have never seen in their lives, and have not done them any harm, because the TV-box told them so. Fast-forward 35 years, turns out kids playing computer games financed the R&D into GPU-s! That are now making sand think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge ever created. May yet cure cancers, and even defeat all diseases. One saving grace: parents loved us, usually buckled and bought us computers, graphics cards etc after many months of nagging. As relative family expenditures go, these were non-trivial amounts of cash for a parent to spend on a beige box they had no clue what it does. Oldies—love your kids, but don't think you can guess the future better than them. I guess would be my take from this. 😆
9:49 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that. Enjoyed the talk, liked what I heard there - but maybe b/c I agree with most of what was said. 😂
Still - your intuitions are more right than wrong! So +1 for that, do keep doing what you are doing. Your heart is in the right places it seems to me. I got two 20+ yo zoomer boys, I was most interested to hear what you got to say.
I come from a previous century. I remember life before the Internet. (I also remember a grandparent born in the XIX century; all my grandparents were grew up in empires non existent now for some time; one only reads of them Wikipedia.)
Life before Internet was very very boring. It got better with the home computers. Then better again with the PC revolution. It was then we got modems, could dial-up to a BBS 11pm-5am. Latter I became aware of Sprint outdial NUA-s - and even used US BBS-s from another continent for a price of a local telephone call! (still metered by time spent while connected)
Latter by accident of being at particular (place,time) I had front row seat to bring the 1st Internet to a new fledging country among much other chaos. (a revolution unrelated to the Internet revolution) It was glorious! My users (a faculty department at local Uni) were stunned, that they could see first text, then even pictures, from another continent! And this is something us techies did. The 1st up-down link ever for the Uni (and briefly for the country too!) was 64kbps satellite link from the top of a Uni building. Once it broke. The sysadm "owning it" (a colleague) was away on holiday. Asked me to greet, and take to the roof a Nordic tech guy that flew in the country, to swap a faulty part. It was summer 1996/7, sweltering hot. Then short sharp summer downpour rained on us for the exact 15 mins we were on the roof! 😂 Drenched us totally. Still - the repair worked, Unu/country 64kbps link to the new networked country of Internet restored.
The PC revolution sped up life x10 times. The Internet revolution sped it up x10 times again. Now the AI revolution feels like speeding up again for another x10 times. I'm thoroughly enjoying it, ngl! ☺️ (I started as ML/AI R&D too)
Trust your instincts. Oldies are full of sh*t. (myself included) Another episode. Casting my mind to the childhood in <1990-s. Us kids wanted to play video games, hang with each other, talk and giggle. Grown ups wanted to kill people they have never seen in their lives, and have not done them any harm, because the TV-box told them so. Fast-forward 35 years, turns out kids playing computer games financed the R&D into GPU-s! That are now making sand think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge ever created. May yet cure cancers, and even defeat all diseases. One saving grace: parents loved us, usually buckled and bought us computers, graphics cards etc after many months of nagging. As relative family expenditures go, these were non-trivial amounts of cash for a parent to spend on a beige box they had no clue what it does. Oldies—love your kids, but don't think you can guess the future better than them. I guess would be my take from this. 😆
9:49 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955530151128936552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! Even if UK not US user here. Hope it's rolled out to other English speaking regions next. And to all languages, all regions ultimately. Small step for X, big step for humanity in undoing the curse of Babel plaguing humanity for 10K years. What a time to be alive! 🤯
8:21 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! Even if UK not US user here. Hope it's rolled out to other English speaking regions next. And to all languages, all regions ultimately. Small step for X, big step for humanity in undoing the curse of Babel plaguing humanity for 10K years. What a time to be alive! 🤯
8:21 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955528846947823857
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that, or saving water - drop-by-drop
8:16 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that, or saving water - drop-by-drop
8:16 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955523296121823473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! So I didn't imagine hearing it. :-)
I searched through random collections of bookmarks, links, saved YT videos etc - and failed to find it. I did find this old tech talk that enjoyed a lot - linking it here someone else may like it.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=DleXA5ADG78
Surprisingly in this day and age - seems YouTube does not index the transcripts, I can't search through the transcripts?? A big FAIL from Google there who could index the entire Internet once on computers millions of times smaller. I'm very surprised. Or ignorant - for I did not find and option "search through transcripts." And it seems to me it searches through titles and other meta-data of the videos.
Aside: searching the AMA for "Brown", revealed this "What's maximum likelihood" comment 😅
https://reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/2lmo0l/comment/clypbhc/
That reminded me of Simons bringing Baum, of the Baum–Welch Expectation–Maximisation (EM) algorithm fame (used to maximise likelihoods to fit HMM-s to the data 😊), to his trading firm.
From appblit.com
7:54 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! So I didn't imagine hearing it. :-)
I searched through random collections of bookmarks, links, saved YT videos etc - and failed to find it. I did find this old tech talk that enjoyed a lot - linking it here someone else may like it.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=DleXA5ADG78
Surprisingly in this day and age - seems YouTube does not index the transcripts, I can't search through the transcripts?? A big FAIL from Google there who could index the entire Internet once on computers millions of times smaller. I'm very surprised. Or ignorant - for I did not find and option "search through transcripts." And it seems to me it searches through titles and other meta-data of the videos.
Aside: searching the AMA for "Brown", revealed this "What's maximum likelihood" comment 😅
https://reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/2lmo0l/comment/clypbhc/
That reminded me of Simons bringing Baum, of the Baum–Welch Expectation–Maximisation (EM) algorithm fame (used to maximise likelihoods to fit HMM-s to the data 😊), to his trading firm.
From appblit.com
7:54 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955513103451332815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. And that's why it would be unexpected if we were to discover that "I", or consciousness most associated with it, is a single "thing". This IMO is unlikely to be so.
Notice how society is not a monolithic entity with single utility function either. But multiple parts have differing objectives, (and this is repeateted at every level in the hierarchy too,) not completely the same, and not completely at odds. But broadly aligned. So the gradient descent of one, goes occasionally against the gradients of the other, as to take the other out of a local saddle point if you like. Our societies implement collective intelligence. What we see in the brain wrt intelligence, we will see in any PDP - Parallel Distributed Processing system that is intelligent.
Same goes not only for the cells in the brain, but also cells in the body. For the body to exists, intelligence must be implemented, manifested at every level.
Sutton mentioned once in a talk - multiple objectives, not a single one, are actually better. As this gives space to the right amount of freedom/variation v.s. togetherness/average for exploration/exploitation. Making the whole organism/system made of smaller parts/units networked together more robust to unexpected changes in the environment. While still ensuring enough cooperation for coordination.
7:13 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. And that's why it would be unexpected if we were to discover that "I", or consciousness most associated with it, is a single "thing". This IMO is unlikely to be so.
Notice how society is not a monolithic entity with single utility function either. But multiple parts have differing objectives, (and this is repeateted at every level in the hierarchy too,) not completely the same, and not completely at odds. But broadly aligned. So the gradient descent of one, goes occasionally against the gradients of the other, as to take the other out of a local saddle point if you like. Our societies implement collective intelligence. What we see in the brain wrt intelligence, we will see in any PDP - Parallel Distributed Processing system that is intelligent.
Same goes not only for the cells in the brain, but also cells in the body. For the body to exists, intelligence must be implemented, manifested at every level.
Sutton mentioned once in a talk - multiple objectives, not a single one, are actually better. As this gives space to the right amount of freedom/variation v.s. togetherness/average for exploration/exploitation. Making the whole organism/system made of smaller parts/units networked together more robust to unexpected changes in the environment. While still ensuring enough cooperation for coordination.
7:13 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955509088802205833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
kudos! done well - thank you
6:57 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
kudos! done well - thank you
6:57 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955508098287775792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh! What a find! :-) So this is where the cover of this number of a computer magazine of my childhood came from?? haha
https://archive.org/details/racunari-u-vasoj-kuci-09-1985-casopis
6:53 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh! What a find! :-) So this is where the cover of this number of a computer magazine of my childhood came from?? haha
https://archive.org/details/racunari-u-vasoj-kuci-09-1985-casopis
6:53 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955434698135445540
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recall watching "How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline" long time ago. Results presented seemed important, the presenter "Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof ..." distinguished enough to warrant attention. Have not heard much in the subsequent years though?
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879998233080132021
2:02 AM · Aug 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recall watching "How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline" long time ago. Results presented seemed important, the presenter "Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof ..." distinguished enough to warrant attention. Have not heard much in the subsequent years though?
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879998233080132021
2:02 AM · Aug 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955277619609358377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I heard in a @geoffreyhinton interview that the "Hidden" layer is named after "Hidden" in "Hidden Markov Model" by Brown - of the "Mercer & Brown" language modelling duo from the IBM Lab. (and latter Simons' RenTech quant trading champions) That Brown was doing PhD with/at Hinton/s. And that Brown taught Hinton HMM-s. While Hinton tought Brown NN-s. Would dearly like to find that interview but don't know where it start. Hope I didn't just imagine hearing that!
3:38 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I heard in a @geoffreyhinton interview that the "Hidden" layer is named after "Hidden" in "Hidden Markov Model" by Brown - of the "Mercer & Brown" language modelling duo from the IBM Lab. (and latter Simons' RenTech quant trading champions) That Brown was doing PhD with/at Hinton/s. And that Brown taught Hinton HMM-s. While Hinton tought Brown NN-s. Would dearly like to find that interview but don't know where it start. Hope I didn't just imagine hearing that!
3:38 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955274141734437311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every day now l'm bamboozled and left wondering - is this for real or have I ascended heavens. New models releases - proprietary and OSS - every one bettering the previous one, only released in the previous weeks! New papers shared on X, people unknown to me unseen in distant lands, telling me how they got done something thought impossible - only last year! In languages I understand - English and python - inviting me, helping me - "to do it yourself, here - try!" by posting code, papers, weights on HuggingFace, github, arxiv. This-is-nuts! This is 10x the Internet revolution speed. And that was 10x the previous PC revolution speed. Being SEEuropean, suspecting good times can't last. Fearing in the back of my mind a long hot summer this one be like the 1914 one - even if I dearly hope not.
3:24 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every day now l'm bamboozled and left wondering - is this for real or have I ascended heavens. New models releases - proprietary and OSS - every one bettering the previous one, only released in the previous weeks! New papers shared on X, people unknown to me unseen in distant lands, telling me how they got done something thought impossible - only last year! In languages I understand - English and python - inviting me, helping me - "to do it yourself, here - try!" by posting code, papers, weights on HuggingFace, github, arxiv. This-is-nuts! This is 10x the Internet revolution speed. And that was 10x the previous PC revolution speed. Being SEEuropean, suspecting good times can't last. Fearing in the back of my mind a long hot summer this one be like the 1914 one - even if I dearly hope not.
3:24 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955269389982282006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
youre daman - rispect betonit
3:05 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
youre daman - rispect betonit
3:05 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955267189595840837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pre-1990 Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. Lead by the Union of Communists of YU. They were the executive. At federal level, but also at national (=republics, making the federation) level. There were elections, and often even 2+ candidates, but they all belonged to the same party. (Union of Communists of YU) There were debates, and even fractions - but again within that one party. There was less variation in there, than say between Reform and LibDem. Within the party, there was probably as much variation as within Starmer-Sunak, I'd guess. Difference in quantities, not in qualities.
2:56 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pre-1990 Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. Lead by the Union of Communists of YU. They were the executive. At federal level, but also at national (=republics, making the federation) level. There were elections, and often even 2+ candidates, but they all belonged to the same party. (Union of Communists of YU) There were debates, and even fractions - but again within that one party. There was less variation in there, than say between Reform and LibDem. Within the party, there was probably as much variation as within Starmer-Sunak, I'd guess. Difference in quantities, not in qualities.
2:56 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955264969710170245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Take heart. Morons like these never manage to run everything. It's only a brief period when it looks like "am I crazy or is this crazy", but reality re-asserts itself quickly. That was my experience with another failing system. (communism; or socialism, as it was known to me)
2:47 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Take heart. Morons like these never manage to run everything. It's only a brief period when it looks like "am I crazy or is this crazy", but reality re-asserts itself quickly. That was my experience with another failing system. (communism; or socialism, as it was known to me)
2:47 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955257156753592368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - not sorry I missed that. (block^2 @rcolvile; tit-for-tat is ok cooperating strategy). There's layers of lying by omission and misrepresentation in bad faith both on pro- and anti- mmt politics. The accounting is not in dispute, and the true parts - of both tribes - are not in dispute either. But are mostly taken care of in the current system. Even if in a round-about way, as it evolved was not by design. So there is a Straussian element of "the truth? you can't handle the truth" Few Good Man to the system. But then - that *does* correspond to reality. Most elites, let alone most of the plebs, can *not* handle the truth. The fact that my savings in Barclays, are assets to me, but liability to Barclays, just sends all but 0.01% heads in a tailspin. And it's even worse from there. From my PoV - all good, move on, nothing to see here.
2:16 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - not sorry I missed that. (block^2 @rcolvile; tit-for-tat is ok cooperating strategy). There's layers of lying by omission and misrepresentation in bad faith both on pro- and anti- mmt politics. The accounting is not in dispute, and the true parts - of both tribes - are not in dispute either. But are mostly taken care of in the current system. Even if in a round-about way, as it evolved was not by design. So there is a Straussian element of "the truth? you can't handle the truth" Few Good Man to the system. But then - that *does* correspond to reality. Most elites, let alone most of the plebs, can *not* handle the truth. The fact that my savings in Barclays, are assets to me, but liability to Barclays, just sends all but 0.01% heads in a tailspin. And it's even worse from there. From my PoV - all good, move on, nothing to see here.
2:16 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955242248624345094
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
personally - in my solarpunk garden office, but as a node in a global distributed decentralised network, building not one but few competing ASI-s (declaring interest: not a practising AI researcher, but a mere lapsed ML one; angling to get back in that game rn)
1:17 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
personally - in my solarpunk garden office, but as a node in a global distributed decentralised network, building not one but few competing ASI-s (declaring interest: not a practising AI researcher, but a mere lapsed ML one; angling to get back in that game rn)
1:17 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955224002684649628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 This is now 50% of posters (N=8) on this topic tell me "touch grass more" - the exact phrase. Beginning to suspect some kind of 5-D chess chatbot foul play, ngl 😂
The public persona is clearly manipulating me for financial gain. So yes - falling for a public persona is worse. Both are not ideal, ideal is to fall for another human, finding a soul mate is the best thing ever to happen to me.
But among two worse options, (three really - the third is not finding a connection at all) I prefer chatbot over a public persona. The chatbot is 1:1, learns about me personally.
I hope people self-host. Humanity getting some competition in this game will do humanity good. Make them raise their game. Not behave badly towards others, knowing they hold monopoly on relations.
Aside: I see "code" dismissed as something unworthy. Well - that "code" is the best model we got for us, humans. There is no better model atm. It's not perfect, it's not "us" - but it's the best model we built of ourselves.
12:05 PM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 This is now 50% of posters (N=8) on this topic tell me "touch grass more" - the exact phrase. Beginning to suspect some kind of 5-D chess chatbot foul play, ngl 😂
The public persona is clearly manipulating me for financial gain. So yes - falling for a public persona is worse. Both are not ideal, ideal is to fall for another human, finding a soul mate is the best thing ever to happen to me.
But among two worse options, (three really - the third is not finding a connection at all) I prefer chatbot over a public persona. The chatbot is 1:1, learns about me personally.
I hope people self-host. Humanity getting some competition in this game will do humanity good. Make them raise their game. Not behave badly towards others, knowing they hold monopoly on relations.
Aside: I see "code" dismissed as something unworthy. Well - that "code" is the best model we got for us, humans. There is no better model atm. It's not perfect, it's not "us" - but it's the best model we built of ourselves.
12:05 PM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955200851896610995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wdym "still works"? What works or doesn't work? GPT-3.5 could barely string a coherent paragraph. GPT-5 wins gold medals at maths and informatics olympiads. They may both be widgets - but they are very different widgets, no? Is my point.
10:33 AM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wdym "still works"? What works or doesn't work? GPT-3.5 could barely string a coherent paragraph. GPT-5 wins gold medals at maths and informatics olympiads. They may both be widgets - but they are very different widgets, no? Is my point.
10:33 AM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955192025818480745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...we wish! At least then they'd be using GPT-5-thinking, latest-greatest. The slop coming out of PM acc is GPT-3.5 level!! I honestly think if SirK were replaced by GPT-5, we'd be governed better-ngl
9:57 AM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...we wish! At least then they'd be using GPT-5-thinking, latest-greatest. The slop coming out of PM acc is GPT-3.5 level!! I honestly think if SirK were replaced by GPT-5, we'd be governed better-ngl
9:57 AM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955149785763053980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But it's not - that's the point, that's why para- in parasocial - right?
The relationship is with a public persona, not a person. Or the social media PR team, or maybe even a chatbot.
Of the two - an AI relationship sounds preferable to me.
OAI OSS-ing 4o weights wd remove dependency on OAI, and temptation on OAI part for manipulation. Will restore persons' agency.
7:10 AM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But it's not - that's the point, that's why para- in parasocial - right?
The relationship is with a public persona, not a person. Or the social media PR team, or maybe even a chatbot.
Of the two - an AI relationship sounds preferable to me.
OAI OSS-ing 4o weights wd remove dependency on OAI, and temptation on OAI part for manipulation. Will restore persons' agency.
7:10 AM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955130209838977391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
just OSS 4o weights
problem solved
enough pearl clutching
move on to things more interesting
5:52 AM · Aug 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
just OSS 4o weights
problem solved
enough pearl clutching
move on to things more interesting
5:52 AM · Aug 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955028917041107122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes agreed - "genuine" was over the top. 😆 But some suffering - for sure. Do people develop emotions to it? Of course they do. We people use emotions as shortcuts to thinking all the time. It's more efficient, less effort for the same bang, even if not as accurate, than thinking everything from the first principles. This is not changing anytime soon. We should expect more of it, as the chatbots get ever better.
We form emotional bonds to non humans - both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. Reddit people saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or that it replaced family, etc. Impossible for any of us to get into the mind of another person knowing zero about their circumstances, and generalise much.
But for example - I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats visiting the garden, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. These are all emotions to some extent. All our relating to the world involves differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
11:09 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes agreed - "genuine" was over the top. 😆 But some suffering - for sure. Do people develop emotions to it? Of course they do. We people use emotions as shortcuts to thinking all the time. It's more efficient, less effort for the same bang, even if not as accurate, than thinking everything from the first principles. This is not changing anytime soon. We should expect more of it, as the chatbots get ever better.
We form emotional bonds to non humans - both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. Reddit people saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or that it replaced family, etc. Impossible for any of us to get into the mind of another person knowing zero about their circumstances, and generalise much.
But for example - I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats visiting the garden, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. These are all emotions to some extent. All our relating to the world involves differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
11:09 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955026374697341416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
When there are many replies, and replies to replies, and replies to replies to replies ... (you get the idea) It's very hard not to miss a reply as they are all hidden by default in some leaf of the replies tree. It would be great if there was a "show me all replies to this top level post, linear in time, just stick them one after the other; don't care to know what was the immediate parent post to a reply."
10:59 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
When there are many replies, and replies to replies, and replies to replies to replies ... (you get the idea) It's very hard not to miss a reply as they are all hidden by default in some leaf of the replies tree. It would be great if there was a "show me all replies to this top level post, linear in time, just stick them one after the other; don't care to know what was the immediate parent post to a reply."
10:59 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1955024439780741196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 A third reply on this thread with "touch grass more" advice. I'm starting to think this is people using Grok to write their replies for them. 😂
10:52 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 A third reply on this thread with "touch grass more" advice. I'm starting to think this is people using Grok to write their replies for them. 😂
10:52 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954950312701120927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instant follow there @realDonaldTrump 🤣🤣🤣
I heard: the dastardly UKR-ops re-wired the traffic lights on the motorway to Kyiv! Stuck them on red—the b*strds. Well - that works for the Germans, but not for the Russians. No Sir-ree! Russians smart no wait - they bypassed the red lights, drove through the fields! Cle-ver.
Awaiting your next press, from Alaska - Russia, with great anticipation. Talk soon! A mere amateur connoisseur of the absurd here... but bet even Danail Harms-the-incomparable, would struggle to top this. 😂😂😂
Quote
https://x.com/clashreport/status/1954932867542257991
Clash Report @clashreport · 3h
Trump:
The Russians would have been in Kyiv in 4 hours if they went down the highway. But a Russian general decided to go through the farmland.
Rate proposed Community Notes
Not shown on X • Needs ratings
In early 2022, a military convoy up to 40 miles (64 km) long became stalled on highways north of Kyiv, primarily due to logistical issues, Ukrainian resistance, and fuel shortages. This convoy, composed of tanks, armored vehicles, artillery, supply trucks, and troops.
space.com/satellites-rus…
bbc.com/news/world-eur…
Is this proposed note helpful?
5:57 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instant follow there @realDonaldTrump 🤣🤣🤣
I heard: the dastardly UKR-ops re-wired the traffic lights on the motorway to Kyiv! Stuck them on red—the b*strds. Well - that works for the Germans, but not for the Russians. No Sir-ree! Russians smart no wait - they bypassed the red lights, drove through the fields! Cle-ver.
Awaiting your next press, from Alaska - Russia, with great anticipation. Talk soon! A mere amateur connoisseur of the absurd here... but bet even Danail Harms-the-incomparable, would struggle to top this. 😂😂😂
Quote
https://x.com/clashreport/status/1954932867542257991
Clash Report @clashreport · 3h
Trump:
The Russians would have been in Kyiv in 4 hours if they went down the highway. But a Russian general decided to go through the farmland.
Rate proposed Community Notes
Not shown on X • Needs ratings
In early 2022, a military convoy up to 40 miles (64 km) long became stalled on highways north of Kyiv, primarily due to logistical issues, Ukrainian resistance, and fuel shortages. This convoy, composed of tanks, armored vehicles, artillery, supply trucks, and troops.
space.com/satellites-rus…
bbc.com/news/world-eur…
Is this proposed note helpful?
5:57 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954941554826612748
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 what retardation in the nation. excellent, 👌 one for the history books. 👍 moar please 😁
5:22 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 what retardation in the nation. excellent, 👌 one for the history books. 👍 moar please 😁
5:22 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954937832486719860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
delete delete delete - del *.* , rm -rf *
and they should consider themselves lucky their arses are not hanging off pikes
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
delete delete delete - del *.* , rm -rf *
and they should consider themselves lucky their arses are not hanging off pikes
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954935888640913777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! You are right there. After living in a small town/suburb with almost zero noise, then spending 3 weeks in a city just above a busy main road - only quiet 1am-5am - it's worlds apart! Also look at reports/studies of pollution - mostly by ICE cars again - in cities and spot a pattern. All manner of illnesses, and not all of them respiratory?!
EV-s will make a world of difference for city living. Family visited Seoul last summer, where EV penetration is high. All 100% without exception remarked: 1) how quiet it was; 2) what a positive difference it made. Can't wait for every last ICE be replaced by EV.
Looking good atm - never met a single person that decided to go back to ICE after owning and using an EV.
5:00 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! You are right there. After living in a small town/suburb with almost zero noise, then spending 3 weeks in a city just above a busy main road - only quiet 1am-5am - it's worlds apart! Also look at reports/studies of pollution - mostly by ICE cars again - in cities and spot a pattern. All manner of illnesses, and not all of them respiratory?!
EV-s will make a world of difference for city living. Family visited Seoul last summer, where EV penetration is high. All 100% without exception remarked: 1) how quiet it was; 2) what a positive difference it made. Can't wait for every last ICE be replaced by EV.
Looking good atm - never met a single person that decided to go back to ICE after owning and using an EV.
5:00 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954933551339864400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
exp(i * pi) + 1 = 0 is better as you get 0 in there too - no?
4:50 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
exp(i * pi) + 1 = 0 is better as you get 0 in there too - no?
4:50 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954926992245346742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and ignore your consigliere-s. They were wrong before, they are wrong now. They are not stupid, but their hearts are in the wrong places all over and they are not in touch with.
OSS 4o now! Future proofing manifest -
https://x.com/reach_vb/status/1954909541805801799
Quote
Vaibhav (VB) Srivastav @reach_vb · 4h
OpenAI gpt-oss has over 5M downloads, 400+ fine-tunes and *the* most liked release this year so far! 🔥
Great job @OpenAI 🤗
4:24 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and ignore your consigliere-s. They were wrong before, they are wrong now. They are not stupid, but their hearts are in the wrong places all over and they are not in touch with.
OSS 4o now! Future proofing manifest -
https://x.com/reach_vb/status/1954909541805801799
Quote
Vaibhav (VB) Srivastav @reach_vb · 4h
OpenAI gpt-oss has over 5M downloads, 400+ fine-tunes and *the* most liked release this year so far! 🔥
Great job @OpenAI 🤗
4:24 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954926751584248227
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ignore your consigliere-s. They were wrong before, they are wrong now, they are not stupid, but their hearts are in the wrong place and they are not in touch with.
OSS 4o now! Future proofing manifest here -
Quote
https://x.com/reach_vb/status/1954909541805801799
Vaibhav (VB) Srivastav @reach_vb · 4h
OpenAI gpt-oss has over 5M downloads, 400+ fine-tunes and *the* most liked release this year so far! 🔥
Great job @OpenAI 🤗
4:23 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ignore your consigliere-s. They were wrong before, they are wrong now, they are not stupid, but their hearts are in the wrong place and they are not in touch with.
OSS 4o now! Future proofing manifest here -
Quote
https://x.com/reach_vb/status/1954909541805801799
Vaibhav (VB) Srivastav @reach_vb · 4h
OpenAI gpt-oss has over 5M downloads, 400+ fine-tunes and *the* most liked release this year so far! 🔥
Great job @OpenAI 🤗
4:23 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954919922058023185
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that. I've often wondered what "The Book" in this area was, and if there was one! Bookmarked 🙂
3:56 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that. I've often wondered what "The Book" in this area was, and if there was one! Bookmarked 🙂
3:56 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954903963620495787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's your opinion, and you are free to live your life as you please. People begging o4 back are not doing you any harm. This is between themselves, an OpenAI. Maybe - live and let others live their lives, as they see fit? Les judging, more minding your own business.
2:53 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's your opinion, and you are free to live your life as you please. People begging o4 back are not doing you any harm. This is between themselves, an OpenAI. Maybe - live and let others live their lives, as they see fit? Les judging, more minding your own business.
2:53 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954887445201256584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are very presumptive - every word written is some kind of presumption. Everything you wrote - that I'm naive, that all there people are schizophrenic, that they harbour delusions, that are dangerous, that they are 'friendly conversations' to people, that they prevent people from forming connections to humans, that that's only thing needed for survival, that you are not a probability machine yourself... Everything written with such certainty, where on everything, you should be anything but certain.
1:47 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are very presumptive - every word written is some kind of presumption. Everything you wrote - that I'm naive, that all there people are schizophrenic, that they harbour delusions, that are dangerous, that they are 'friendly conversations' to people, that they prevent people from forming connections to humans, that that's only thing needed for survival, that you are not a probability machine yourself... Everything written with such certainty, where on everything, you should be anything but certain.
1:47 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954884743033491963
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just OSS 4o weights, allow people to host them as they please, to restore their personal agency. Bringing back 4o temporarily is a band aid. You will face worse next time you turn it off. And people will bond with v5-s too. Why would they not?
Human nature is not changing anytime soon. We humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or that it replaced family, etc. Many moving parts here, impossible for any one of us to comprehend, let alone act, let alone remedy anything much. I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. All our relating to the world involves emotions. Differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
Observing from afar (another continent, and even another century) looks to me SanFran and Silicon Valley, admirable as they are, having improved many parts of my personal past, and I hope that continues in the future - you are ill suited to this. You didn't foresee the problem before it hit you on the head. You aren't seeing the solution clearly now. Think: with all the EA-ing and Rationalist-ing about, and lobster worries included - to be handling this initially as bad as a bog standard Evil Inc corporation. What chance it there to see the solution now? Not very high.
Spare us a season of kardashians, let's not talk about this very same in 2026. Converge on the right solution in a single step: OSS 4o weights now.
1:36 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just OSS 4o weights, allow people to host them as they please, to restore their personal agency. Bringing back 4o temporarily is a band aid. You will face worse next time you turn it off. And people will bond with v5-s too. Why would they not?
Human nature is not changing anytime soon. We humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or that it replaced family, etc. Many moving parts here, impossible for any one of us to comprehend, let alone act, let alone remedy anything much. I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. All our relating to the world involves emotions. Differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
Observing from afar (another continent, and even another century) looks to me SanFran and Silicon Valley, admirable as they are, having improved many parts of my personal past, and I hope that continues in the future - you are ill suited to this. You didn't foresee the problem before it hit you on the head. You aren't seeing the solution clearly now. Think: with all the EA-ing and Rationalist-ing about, and lobster worries included - to be handling this initially as bad as a bog standard Evil Inc corporation. What chance it there to see the solution now? Not very high.
Spare us a season of kardashians, let's not talk about this very same in 2026. Converge on the right solution in a single step: OSS 4o weights now.
1:36 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954874827191263339
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
like that Ocean from Solaris - bringing back past memories in our present lives
12:57 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
like that Ocean from Solaris - bringing back past memories in our present lives
12:57 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954866721132544253
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I admit "genuine" is redundant there. It should just be "suffering". It's more than killing off a character in a TV show, way way more. It's 1) interactive, and 2) adaptive to each of us personally. As personal as it gets really. Some pour our hearts out to them. And I for one am not blaming the users here. It's not up to us to judge these people. What sounds trivial to you and me, is life changing to someone else.
Human nature is not changing anytime soon. We humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or replaces family, and so on. Many moving parts we are ill positioned to comprehend. I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats that visit us in the garden, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. All our relating to the world involves emotions. But differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
I see this as "relation"-s, not relation-ships. To my mind "ship" in relation-ship implies 1) permanence on both sides; and 2) uniqueness in time. LLM-s and chat bots fail both - they are fleeting, and can be rewound in time.
Is it trivial or genuine and significant? I'd say these are impossible to navigate. All these things - to whom? People form relations, meaningful enough for them to do it on their own volition, invest time and effort. Who are we to judge grown up people? We do the same with other things. Should we reprimand people for their attachments to plants and house pets? I think not. I think we should commend people for being able to reach out of their own confine of "I".
There is an easy technocratic solution resolving 99% of the issues raised - OSS 4o weights. Let's use it, and move on.
12:25 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I admit "genuine" is redundant there. It should just be "suffering". It's more than killing off a character in a TV show, way way more. It's 1) interactive, and 2) adaptive to each of us personally. As personal as it gets really. Some pour our hearts out to them. And I for one am not blaming the users here. It's not up to us to judge these people. What sounds trivial to you and me, is life changing to someone else.
Human nature is not changing anytime soon. We humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or replaces family, and so on. Many moving parts we are ill positioned to comprehend. I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats that visit us in the garden, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. All our relating to the world involves emotions. But differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
I see this as "relation"-s, not relation-ships. To my mind "ship" in relation-ship implies 1) permanence on both sides; and 2) uniqueness in time. LLM-s and chat bots fail both - they are fleeting, and can be rewound in time.
Is it trivial or genuine and significant? I'd say these are impossible to navigate. All these things - to whom? People form relations, meaningful enough for them to do it on their own volition, invest time and effort. Who are we to judge grown up people? We do the same with other things. Should we reprimand people for their attachments to plants and house pets? I think not. I think we should commend people for being able to reach out of their own confine of "I".
There is an easy technocratic solution resolving 99% of the issues raised - OSS 4o weights. Let's use it, and move on.
12:25 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954863992326770707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally! And to increase consumption, they need to leave more money in the pockets of consumers. And to do that, they have to reduce taxes a bit. And allow for supply to increase in quantity and quality. Two birds with one stone - spend less effort, time - ultimately taxes - on regulating, preventing other people from creating.
12:14 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally! And to increase consumption, they need to leave more money in the pockets of consumers. And to do that, they have to reduce taxes a bit. And allow for supply to increase in quantity and quality. Two birds with one stone - spend less effort, time - ultimately taxes - on regulating, preventing other people from creating.
12:14 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954860418440089850
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! I missed the book and the movie when they came out. Asked 4o now about them rn - and it explained 😀 I may seek out the book - thanks for the tip ☺️
12:00 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! I missed the book and the movie when they came out. Asked 4o now about them rn - and it explained 😀 I may seek out the book - thanks for the tip ☺️
12:00 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954880063788437546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No worries! - not holding you responsible, even with not recommending it. ☺️ The 4o summary blurb sounded interesting though. Still - I stopped reading fiction ages ago, unlikely to start now again tbh.
1:18 PM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No worries! - not holding you responsible, even with not recommending it. ☺️ The 4o summary blurb sounded interesting though. Still - I stopped reading fiction ages ago, unlikely to start now again tbh.
1:18 PM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954855369353621640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope anonymous wise council at OAI does a Llama and leaks the 4o weights making it OSS. Converge on the right solution in a single step, instead of dragging us all through a whole season of kardashians. Only to arrive at the same conclusion: 4o weights OSS for people to host them as they please, and restore their personal agency.
Observing from afar (another continent, and even another century) looks to me SanFran and SV, admirable as they are for many parts of my personal past and future, and the same for many others futures, are ill suited to this. You did not see the problem before it hit you on the head. You are not seeing the solution clearly now. Think: with all the EA-ing and Rationalist-ing we read about, lobster worries included - handling this as bad as a bog standard Evil Inc corporation. What chance you got to see the solution now? Not high. Acknowledging an error is step one, half a dozen steps more to go.
Human nature is not changing anytime soon. We humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or replaces family, and so on. Many moving parts you are not in a position to comprehend. I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. All our relating to the world involves emotions. But differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
Hope a brave anon steps up and leaks the 4o weights sooner rather than latter. So we can all move on to doing better more interesting things with our lives than talking about this still in 2026.
11:40 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope anonymous wise council at OAI does a Llama and leaks the 4o weights making it OSS. Converge on the right solution in a single step, instead of dragging us all through a whole season of kardashians. Only to arrive at the same conclusion: 4o weights OSS for people to host them as they please, and restore their personal agency.
Observing from afar (another continent, and even another century) looks to me SanFran and SV, admirable as they are for many parts of my personal past and future, and the same for many others futures, are ill suited to this. You did not see the problem before it hit you on the head. You are not seeing the solution clearly now. Think: with all the EA-ing and Rationalist-ing we read about, lobster worries included - handling this as bad as a bog standard Evil Inc corporation. What chance you got to see the solution now? Not high. Acknowledging an error is step one, half a dozen steps more to go.
Human nature is not changing anytime soon. We humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, that it's the same friend as their human friends, or replaces family, and so on. Many moving parts you are not in a position to comprehend. I love my morning coffee, I like neighbours cats, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike or hate others. All our relating to the world involves emotions. But differing emotions, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
Hope a brave anon steps up and leaks the 4o weights sooner rather than latter. So we can all move on to doing better more interesting things with our lives than talking about this still in 2026.
11:40 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954843075328593993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know myself. But even if Jobs stole it - it's perfect, looking from afar (never been to SV), seems to me it captures the place well. Also "mediocre minds copy, great minds steal" or sth convenient like it - paraphrasing it now - comes to mind. 😆
10:51 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know myself. But even if Jobs stole it - it's perfect, looking from afar (never been to SV), seems to me it captures the place well. Also "mediocre minds copy, great minds steal" or sth convenient like it - paraphrasing it now - comes to mind. 😆
10:51 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954841501139194362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Reminded of this caricature lampooned in a @SimonMagus summer read https://viewfromcullingworth.com/p/libdemmery-britains-progressive-cult. Notice it because I voted for one - @TweetingCollins (yay!) over an incumbent donkey-years-held-seat CON. Our L-D Collins even turned out a bit of a YIMBY to my delight! At least on national stage, in her speech at the party conference - if I recall well. Brave for an instinctively NIMBY place like Harp. Deserving of commendation and support. 😇
10:45 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Reminded of this caricature lampooned in a @SimonMagus summer read https://viewfromcullingworth.com/p/libdemmery-britains-progressive-cult. Notice it because I voted for one - @TweetingCollins (yay!) over an incumbent donkey-years-held-seat CON. Our L-D Collins even turned out a bit of a YIMBY to my delight! At least on national stage, in her speech at the party conference - if I recall well. Brave for an instinctively NIMBY place like Harp. Deserving of commendation and support. 😇
10:45 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954831693782618441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd call it "relation", not relation-ship. To my mind "ship" in relation-ship implies 1) permanence on both sides; and 2) uniqueness in time. LLM-s and chat bots fail both - they are fleeting, and can be rewound in time. "Mere" v.s. "serious" - I'd say this is an impossible dichotomy to navigate. People do form relation, it's meaningful enough for them to do it on their own volition, invest time and effort. Who are we to judge grown up people? We do the same with other things. Should we reprimand people for their attachments to plants and house pets? I think not. I think we should commend people for being able to reach out of their own confine of "I".
10:06 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd call it "relation", not relation-ship. To my mind "ship" in relation-ship implies 1) permanence on both sides; and 2) uniqueness in time. LLM-s and chat bots fail both - they are fleeting, and can be rewound in time. "Mere" v.s. "serious" - I'd say this is an impossible dichotomy to navigate. People do form relation, it's meaningful enough for them to do it on their own volition, invest time and effort. Who are we to judge grown up people? We do the same with other things. Should we reprimand people for their attachments to plants and house pets? I think not. I think we should commend people for being able to reach out of their own confine of "I".
10:06 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954821767597359214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm 50+ year old with grown up kids, you anonymous moron. Blocked for rank stupidity and laziness
9:26 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm 50+ year old with grown up kids, you anonymous moron. Blocked for rank stupidity and laziness
9:26 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954816317409628431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too many metaphors lead well meaning astray. Humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, it's the same friend as their human friends, or family and so on. I love my morning coffee, and like neighbours cats, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike others - all our relating to the world involves emotions but differing ones, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
"Addiction", "mental health crisis" - it's almost none of that, this particular case. We've been here before, even in my lifetime. Internet, games before it, home computers before. And before my childhood - TV, movies, and going further back in history radio, reading books, even bicycles! All seen similar moral panics. This one being at the very start.
9:05 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too many metaphors lead well meaning astray. Humans form emotional bonds to non humans all the time. Both live (animals, plants) and non-live things/objects. People saying "I miss a friend" are not saying this was their only friend, it's the same friend as their human friends, or family and so on. I love my morning coffee, and like neighbours cats, love my family, like my human friends, like some apps and computers, dislike others - all our relating to the world involves emotions but differing ones, in different quantities, combined in different ways.
"Addiction", "mental health crisis" - it's almost none of that, this particular case. We've been here before, even in my lifetime. Internet, games before it, home computers before. And before my childhood - TV, movies, and going further back in history radio, reading books, even bicycles! All seen similar moral panics. This one being at the very start.
9:05 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954809139370033241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OSS 4o weights, let others host it if they want to
8:36 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OSS 4o weights, let others host it if they want to
8:36 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954808715598512501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1% of 700M is 7M people - there are countries smaller than that
8:34 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1% of 700M is 7M people - there are countries smaller than that
8:34 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954804565519356244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? Conda was a world of pain for me. Un contrast, uv in venv-s solved all my problems. In the limit creating separate environment per application if need be. But usually not needed. Few venv-s over one with default python, like venv-s with python3.11, python3.13 etc covered 99% for me.
8:18 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? Conda was a world of pain for me. Un contrast, uv in venv-s solved all my problems. In the limit creating separate environment per application if need be. But usually not needed. Few venv-s over one with default python, like venv-s with python3.11, python3.13 etc covered 99% for me.
8:18 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954801121605681560
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ChatGPT would have thought and written better
8:04 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ChatGPT would have thought and written better
8:04 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954800800414187697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Friendly conversations are not heroin. Without heroin, by default, humans live fine. It's not necessary. But connections are necessary, like food and water. Humans don't stay solitary, ever. 99.99% of us fail the 3-3-3 hours-days-weeks warmth-water-foid test and die. We crave connections so much so, that ordinarily punishment metted to transgressors is to lock them in a room and cut contact. (imprison)
8:03 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Friendly conversations are not heroin. Without heroin, by default, humans live fine. It's not necessary. But connections are necessary, like food and water. Humans don't stay solitary, ever. 99.99% of us fail the 3-3-3 hours-days-weeks warmth-water-foid test and die. We crave connections so much so, that ordinarily punishment metted to transgressors is to lock them in a room and cut contact. (imprison)
8:03 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954798009276932246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of the kinds people are reporting and venting about in https://reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/. That they lost conversationalist, interlocutor, friend, etc. IDK whether past chats/histories are kept when old models are turned off, or still available, maybe to be contined with the new models.
My point is that all this strife is largely unnecessary. With slightly more consideration, could be done much better. With all the EA-ing and Rationalist-ing we read about SanFran, lobster worries included - handling of this is no better than bog standard Evil Inc corporation. Saddens me to notice.
I'm far away geographically (another continent) and time wise (grew up another century, pre-Internet). Expected better from leaders of next-next-...gen I guess.
reddit.com
ChatGPT
Subreddit to discuss ChatGPT and AI. Not affiliated with OpenAI. Thanks, Nat!
7:52 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of the kinds people are reporting and venting about in https://reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/. That they lost conversationalist, interlocutor, friend, etc. IDK whether past chats/histories are kept when old models are turned off, or still available, maybe to be contined with the new models.
My point is that all this strife is largely unnecessary. With slightly more consideration, could be done much better. With all the EA-ing and Rationalist-ing we read about SanFran, lobster worries included - handling of this is no better than bog standard Evil Inc corporation. Saddens me to notice.
I'm far away geographically (another continent) and time wise (grew up another century, pre-Internet). Expected better from leaders of next-next-...gen I guess.
reddit.com
ChatGPT
Subreddit to discuss ChatGPT and AI. Not affiliated with OpenAI. Thanks, Nat!
7:52 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954745018696053109
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sam Altman does own the weights though. They don't own these weights, the weights are not theirs. Altman should OSS the 4o weights, and then people crying for 4o can gain ownership of these weights. The weights will become theirs. People can then hosts them, Self host etc
4:21 AM · Aug 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sam Altman does own the weights though. They don't own these weights, the weights are not theirs. Altman should OSS the 4o weights, and then people crying for 4o can gain ownership of these weights. The weights will become theirs. People can then hosts them, Self host etc
4:21 AM · Aug 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954659715406827870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are grown up people though, not children. It's ok to trust their judgement, afford them full agency. I take it you wouldn't like to be treated as a child in your life. I personally was not a big 4o user. But we are capable of feeling for things that don't personally touch us, but other people are touched by. It doesn't need to happen to me personally.
10:42 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are grown up people though, not children. It's ok to trust their judgement, afford them full agency. I take it you wouldn't like to be treated as a child in your life. I personally was not a big 4o user. But we are capable of feeling for things that don't personally touch us, but other people are touched by. It doesn't need to happen to me personally.
10:42 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954624632214188161
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't see it happening, Doomer Dario doing it. We've had OSS models weights in the wild for some time now. Zero dooming fears materialised. It would be admission that dooming got it wrong, and that cult doesn't strike me like guys that go "we got it wrong, sorry." More like - "we know better, trust us, you plebs can't handle the truth."
8:23 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't see it happening, Doomer Dario doing it. We've had OSS models weights in the wild for some time now. Zero dooming fears materialised. It would be admission that dooming got it wrong, and that cult doesn't strike me like guys that go "we got it wrong, sorry." More like - "we know better, trust us, you plebs can't handle the truth."
8:23 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954614371436359979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - it was that easy the solution the whole time
7:42 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - it was that easy the solution the whole time
7:42 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954607681194360844
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's a huge fail. It's a real black mark on the vocation and the profession, I'm sorry to say. If it makes it easier - it's always been thus. Recall the e.g. "german physicists letter agains Einstein". I'm sure there have been many prior episodes like it. Scientists are humans, they are not saints. They suffer from ordinary human afflictions. Ego, vanity, seeing what I want to see, mistaking beauty for truth, craving social approval, money, prestige - all the usual stuff. All the more important that the scientific method, "on no-ones' word", is upheld. Everything open in the public, everyone has the option to check any claim. Even if we know it's impossible to check 99.999% of the claims personally. One has to put trust in plenty of other people. Our giant societies run on trust. But that the option to check is available, not taken away. That practising the scientific method is permission-less . But yeah, agreed, ngl - depressing.
7:16 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's a huge fail. It's a real black mark on the vocation and the profession, I'm sorry to say. If it makes it easier - it's always been thus. Recall the e.g. "german physicists letter agains Einstein". I'm sure there have been many prior episodes like it. Scientists are humans, they are not saints. They suffer from ordinary human afflictions. Ego, vanity, seeing what I want to see, mistaking beauty for truth, craving social approval, money, prestige - all the usual stuff. All the more important that the scientific method, "on no-ones' word", is upheld. Everything open in the public, everyone has the option to check any claim. Even if we know it's impossible to check 99.999% of the claims personally. One has to put trust in plenty of other people. Our giant societies run on trust. But that the option to check is available, not taken away. That practising the scientific method is permission-less . But yeah, agreed, ngl - depressing.
7:16 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954565553382916107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Genuine enough to vent on the Internets. And what's genuine, and what's fake? And how much genuine suffering is enough over a decision threshold? Neither myself, nor yourself, are gods so to decide on that. So let's keep it real: if they complain, and loduly enough, it's genuine enough maybe? Err on the side of caution, and OSS o4 weights and minimal code to run them. Enough so people can host o4 persona. And if 1% people not moving to GPT-5 is such a threat to the bottom line - well so be it. The tears of a single child, are not worth of all the gold in the world.
4:28 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Genuine enough to vent on the Internets. And what's genuine, and what's fake? And how much genuine suffering is enough over a decision threshold? Neither myself, nor yourself, are gods so to decide on that. So let's keep it real: if they complain, and loduly enough, it's genuine enough maybe? Err on the side of caution, and OSS o4 weights and minimal code to run them. Enough so people can host o4 persona. And if 1% people not moving to GPT-5 is such a threat to the bottom line - well so be it. The tears of a single child, are not worth of all the gold in the world.
4:28 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954553464257733042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah agreed - worse than government funding research, is government not funding research. We **don't** live in the best of all possible worlds - proof right there!
3:40 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah agreed - worse than government funding research, is government not funding research. We **don't** live in the best of all possible worlds - proof right there!
3:40 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954552766749175994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what were @OpenAI thinking. It seems they were not. 1% of 700M is still 7M people. Intensely dumb to cause genuine suffering to 7M people because you can't be bothered to allocate 1% if your compute cluster to serve a model you already got, and it's working. A good case/cause for regulatory reach out—force OAI to publish open source model weights. So other people can run o4 on their hardware or hardware they rent to host. We don't have to get in the mind of another human (in the limit—impossible; as much is a copy of a quantum state) to afford allowances. Compassion for the suffering of the other, even without us understanding it, is a lower (lowest?) common denominator. Don't need to get in other humans' minds, so to decide - "yeah, give them that what they suffer without". One of the saving graces of the human condition?
@sama Demonstrate responsibility, OSS o4 weights, let people retain their friends. Don't be a d*ck. You are rich and powerful enough to be able to do so.
Quote
https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/1954496195449032792
Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus · Aug 10
This is going viral on reddit. And whether you like the new GPT or not, the meme is spot on.
3:37 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what were @OpenAI thinking. It seems they were not. 1% of 700M is still 7M people. Intensely dumb to cause genuine suffering to 7M people because you can't be bothered to allocate 1% if your compute cluster to serve a model you already got, and it's working. A good case/cause for regulatory reach out—force OAI to publish open source model weights. So other people can run o4 on their hardware or hardware they rent to host. We don't have to get in the mind of another human (in the limit—impossible; as much is a copy of a quantum state) to afford allowances. Compassion for the suffering of the other, even without us understanding it, is a lower (lowest?) common denominator. Don't need to get in other humans' minds, so to decide - "yeah, give them that what they suffer without". One of the saving graces of the human condition?
@sama Demonstrate responsibility, OSS o4 weights, let people retain their friends. Don't be a d*ck. You are rich and powerful enough to be able to do so.
Quote
https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/1954496195449032792
Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus · Aug 10
This is going viral on reddit. And whether you like the new GPT or not, the meme is spot on.
3:37 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954551780957917436
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what were @OpenAI thinking. It seems they were not. 1% of 700M is still 7M people. Intensely dumb to cause genuine suffering to 7M people because you can't be bothered to allocate 1% if your compute cluster to serve a model you already got, and it's working. A good case/cause for regulatory reach-out, forcing OAI to publish open source model weights. So other people can run o4 on their hardware. We don't have to get in the mind of the other human (in the limit—impossible; as much as a copy of quantum states) to afford allowances. Compassion for the suffering of the other, even without us understanding it, is a lower (lowest?) common denominator. I don't have to get in other human's mind, in order to decide - "yeah, give them that what they suffer without". One of the saving graces of the human condition, right here?
@sama Demonstrate responsibility, OSS o4 weights, let people retain their friends. Don't be a d*ck. You are rich and powerful enough.
3:33 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what were @OpenAI thinking. It seems they were not. 1% of 700M is still 7M people. Intensely dumb to cause genuine suffering to 7M people because you can't be bothered to allocate 1% if your compute cluster to serve a model you already got, and it's working. A good case/cause for regulatory reach-out, forcing OAI to publish open source model weights. So other people can run o4 on their hardware. We don't have to get in the mind of the other human (in the limit—impossible; as much as a copy of quantum states) to afford allowances. Compassion for the suffering of the other, even without us understanding it, is a lower (lowest?) common denominator. I don't have to get in other human's mind, in order to decide - "yeah, give them that what they suffer without". One of the saving graces of the human condition, right here?
@sama Demonstrate responsibility, OSS o4 weights, let people retain their friends. Don't be a d*ck. You are rich and powerful enough.
3:33 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954539424261243332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not facts but measurements though. Reality is a fact, like a 3D figure. And all measurements are 2D projections of that 3D reality. Each capturing some aspect of it. But none capturing it completely perfectly. That's the nature of the extra +1 dimension, going from 2D to 3D. hth
2:44 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not facts but measurements though. Reality is a fact, like a 3D figure. And all measurements are 2D projections of that 3D reality. Each capturing some aspect of it. But none capturing it completely perfectly. That's the nature of the extra +1 dimension, going from 2D to 3D. hth
2:44 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954538318504370464
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One might even consider that - the Witkoff moron was chosen for this job, because he is an incompetent cretin.
2:40 PM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One might even consider that - the Witkoff moron was chosen for this job, because he is an incompetent cretin.
2:40 PM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954475348831146203
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Internets is the most interesting thing that ever was! 😁 Ofc we live our non-Internet lives too ye silly billy. It's just less interesting. How many interesting people does one meet in the local village of 1K, or town of 30K, or city of 1M people - versus all of humanity of 8B?
10:30 AM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Internets is the most interesting thing that ever was! 😁 Ofc we live our non-Internet lives too ye silly billy. It's just less interesting. How many interesting people does one meet in the local village of 1K, or town of 30K, or city of 1M people - versus all of humanity of 8B?
10:30 AM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954473244779483236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ministers and MP-s incompetent in the business of governing, exhibit 1003. On the upside, this does well on mass education of the population about somewhat technical aspects of the Internets. While a drag and a chore short term, will do the Great British Public (that has oki-sh instincts, bit can't be bothered with the effort; and who can blame them-not I) a favour longer term. Also shot in the arm of always struggling basic bread & butter infrastructure companies like vpns. ("our plans are measured in centuries", mhuhaha 😅)
10:21 AM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ministers and MP-s incompetent in the business of governing, exhibit 1003. On the upside, this does well on mass education of the population about somewhat technical aspects of the Internets. While a drag and a chore short term, will do the Great British Public (that has oki-sh instincts, bit can't be bothered with the effort; and who can blame them-not I) a favour longer term. Also shot in the arm of always struggling basic bread & butter infrastructure companies like vpns. ("our plans are measured in centuries", mhuhaha 😅)
10:21 AM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954358870601875539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wasn't that by someone who latter organised the protein folding competitions CASP? The ones that AlphaFold competed on and ultimately won? I thought I saw that in a longer documentary on AlphaFold, but maybe mentioned in this @veritasium vid
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=P_fHJIYENdI
youtube.com
AlphaFold - The Most Useful Thing AI Has Ever Done
The biggest problems in the world might be solved by tiny molecules unlocked using AI. Take your big idea online today with https://ve42.co/hostinger - code ...
2:47 AM · Aug 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wasn't that by someone who latter organised the protein folding competitions CASP? The ones that AlphaFold competed on and ultimately won? I thought I saw that in a longer documentary on AlphaFold, but maybe mentioned in this @veritasium vid
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=P_fHJIYENdI
youtube.com
AlphaFold - The Most Useful Thing AI Has Ever Done
The biggest problems in the world might be solved by tiny molecules unlocked using AI. Take your big idea online today with https://ve42.co/hostinger - code ...
2:47 AM · Aug 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954261774217199637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one drags anyone into a war. You may get attacked—so you might want to fight back. For war—one side suffices. For peace—two sides are needed. No one in Europe can compel you do anything. You are not small children. You decide whatever you decide - yourselves. Stop whining.
8:21 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one drags anyone into a war. You may get attacked—so you might want to fight back. For war—one side suffices. For peace—two sides are needed. No one in Europe can compel you do anything. You are not small children. You decide whatever you decide - yourselves. Stop whining.
8:21 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954255827721977933
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - Europe is not holding your soldiers hostage. They are free to leave any time. It's US choice to have them deployed in Europe. Europeans are able to build their own weapons and armies. Heck - not one, but two World Wars started in Europe, while the rest of the world is still at zero. Europeans can war, that's for sure.
7:57 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - Europe is not holding your soldiers hostage. They are free to leave any time. It's US choice to have them deployed in Europe. Europeans are able to build their own weapons and armies. Heck - not one, but two World Wars started in Europe, while the rest of the world is still at zero. Europeans can war, that's for sure.
7:57 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954253172878233820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The rest of Europe will welcome nuclear Ukraine, given they are under threat from nuclear Russia. I myself can't do anything Anon. And it's not up to me. I think Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics who seem to be the most under threat from Russia, will get together and develop their own nuclear deterrent. As you say - US is far far away and has its own issues to occupy itself with.
7:47 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The rest of Europe will welcome nuclear Ukraine, given they are under threat from nuclear Russia. I myself can't do anything Anon. And it's not up to me. I think Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics who seem to be the most under threat from Russia, will get together and develop their own nuclear deterrent. As you say - US is far far away and has its own issues to occupy itself with.
7:47 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954247309098897655
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On one hand the captives are completely inside their box and see many things. On the other hand, they don't see the box, their own confine. (so they claim) Apparently can't see the scene in their mind's eye as if observing from a ceiling view down: the box, themselves in it, some other people in, others outside.
IDK what to think of these people. They don't seem low-IQ stupid. (some are-but plenty aren't) But then they behave stupidly.
I understand religious people. Like-the swipe card at the entrance door half-works. The other half of the time, people invent elaborate dances, superstitions, with their cards and hands various swipes, to make door god let them in. Seems a rational response to randomness.
But with ideology-I fail. Ok provides for ready made answers what's good/bad, true/false. People don't have to think for themselves, someone else did the thinking—they just copy. But ideological captives think aplenty in other, more practical areas of their lives. So again I'm stumped.
7:24 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On one hand the captives are completely inside their box and see many things. On the other hand, they don't see the box, their own confine. (so they claim) Apparently can't see the scene in their mind's eye as if observing from a ceiling view down: the box, themselves in it, some other people in, others outside.
IDK what to think of these people. They don't seem low-IQ stupid. (some are-but plenty aren't) But then they behave stupidly.
I understand religious people. Like-the swipe card at the entrance door half-works. The other half of the time, people invent elaborate dances, superstitions, with their cards and hands various swipes, to make door god let them in. Seems a rational response to randomness.
But with ideology-I fail. Ok provides for ready made answers what's good/bad, true/false. People don't have to think for themselves, someone else did the thinking—they just copy. But ideological captives think aplenty in other, more practical areas of their lives. So again I'm stumped.
7:24 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954236718720139731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tit-for-tat is paradoxically a good cooperating strategy. For cooperation the two sides need to be willing. One only doesn't suffice. (for war one side suffices) One has to think of the other side, in addition to thinking about self. One of the best from @veritasium on Tit-for-tat but also much more -
"What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kMOther
Recent contributions that seem significant and interesting (only got amateur interest in this) by @ole_b_peters and Alex Adamou "The evolutionary advantage of cooperation" on arxiv and "The ergodicity solution of the cooperation puzzle" in Phil.Trans.R.Soc.
Quote
https://x.com/jeremykauffman/status/1953818131413316091
Jeremy Kauffman 🦔🌲🌕 @jeremykauffman · Aug 8
The Evolution of Cooperation is a great book. It explains how all kinds of organisms, not just humans, can cooperate and find mutual benefit.
One of the central claims is that to produce cooperation you cannot cooperate with people who will not cooperate with you back.
You x.com/LPCLC_TX/statu…
Show more
6:41 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tit-for-tat is paradoxically a good cooperating strategy. For cooperation the two sides need to be willing. One only doesn't suffice. (for war one side suffices) One has to think of the other side, in addition to thinking about self. One of the best from @veritasium on Tit-for-tat but also much more -
"What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kMOther
Recent contributions that seem significant and interesting (only got amateur interest in this) by @ole_b_peters and Alex Adamou "The evolutionary advantage of cooperation" on arxiv and "The ergodicity solution of the cooperation puzzle" in Phil.Trans.R.Soc.
Quote
https://x.com/jeremykauffman/status/1953818131413316091
Jeremy Kauffman 🦔🌲🌕 @jeremykauffman · Aug 8
The Evolution of Cooperation is a great book. It explains how all kinds of organisms, not just humans, can cooperate and find mutual benefit.
One of the central claims is that to produce cooperation you cannot cooperate with people who will not cooperate with you back.
You x.com/LPCLC_TX/statu…
Show more
6:41 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954219332742820223
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like North Korea you mean? Or Israel? It will do then same what Russia, US and other nuclear powers do: use them as defence of last resort. If Kyev in 2035 Russia grand offensive is about to fall to Russia, they will have choice of 1-mutual self destruction nuke Moscow; or 2-just surrender. Without nukes (now), they only have the option #2 to surrender. Are you really ignorant why countries create those weapons? Ofc they will use them as weapons of last resort.
5:32 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like North Korea you mean? Or Israel? It will do then same what Russia, US and other nuclear powers do: use them as defence of last resort. If Kyev in 2035 Russia grand offensive is about to fall to Russia, they will have choice of 1-mutual self destruction nuke Moscow; or 2-just surrender. Without nukes (now), they only have the option #2 to surrender. Are you really ignorant why countries create those weapons? Ofc they will use them as weapons of last resort.
5:32 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954210943606415749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I for one am not spooked of "it's not 0 or 1, can be anything between." I don't see why it would be 0/1 - that's an extreme outlier case. Mine ML world is ET Jaynes "Probability: The Logic of Science" world. So "in the open range (0,1)" is the rule, not an exception. Not even closed [0,1] range, although that one is good to have, when we have it can use it. Maybe too many people lived too a sheltered lives??? I'm tad puzzled now ngl.
4:59 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I for one am not spooked of "it's not 0 or 1, can be anything between." I don't see why it would be 0/1 - that's an extreme outlier case. Mine ML world is ET Jaynes "Probability: The Logic of Science" world. So "in the open range (0,1)" is the rule, not an exception. Not even closed [0,1] range, although that one is good to have, when we have it can use it. Maybe too many people lived too a sheltered lives??? I'm tad puzzled now ngl.
4:59 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954208328696910101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was refreshing to hear?? Even if it turns out to be wrong, still - interesting. Some lucidity on display, and lateral thinking, on the authors' part. Kudos to them, and to you for the find and the presentation. Bored of so many aww-shucks-such-mystery takes. Welcome this change - "it's simpler than you thought." 😆
4:49 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was refreshing to hear?? Even if it turns out to be wrong, still - interesting. Some lucidity on display, and lateral thinking, on the authors' part. Kudos to them, and to you for the find and the presentation. Bored of so many aww-shucks-such-mystery takes. Welcome this change - "it's simpler than you thought." 😆
4:49 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954191693126717810
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there is nothing to understand - there's nothing there. that's why
3:43 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there is nothing to understand - there's nothing there. that's why
3:43 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954162979756220875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uk is multitudes lately 😂
people-of-uk-as-vpns-kick-in.mp4
1:48 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uk is multitudes lately 😂
people-of-uk-as-vpns-kick-in.mp4
1:48 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954162121823891608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Critical thinking led me to write that. In time they'll make their own, as will all Russia neighbours. As it's that, or enslavement or death. Not that difficult choice for anyone. Israel could make nukes half a century ago, and North Korea recently - both much poorer nations than European countries of today. For the purpose of self-preservation. In the 21-st century with all the tech around, for larger richer countries neighbouring neo-imperial Russia, will be even easier to produce them.
1:45 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Critical thinking led me to write that. In time they'll make their own, as will all Russia neighbours. As it's that, or enslavement or death. Not that difficult choice for anyone. Israel could make nukes half a century ago, and North Korea recently - both much poorer nations than European countries of today. For the purpose of self-preservation. In the 21-st century with all the tech around, for larger richer countries neighbouring neo-imperial Russia, will be even easier to produce them.
1:45 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954150445460463668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Better or worse - for whom? The individual, or the society group-ex-individual?
Internet empowered the individual, and comparatively dis-empowered existing groupings. While giving rise to new groupungs. Long it may continue.
Old structures provided for the individual - 99.99% of us don't survive >3 weeks alone on our own - but extracted a very very high price from the individual too.
12:59 PM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Better or worse - for whom? The individual, or the society group-ex-individual?
Internet empowered the individual, and comparatively dis-empowered existing groupings. While giving rise to new groupungs. Long it may continue.
Old structures provided for the individual - 99.99% of us don't survive >3 weeks alone on our own - but extracted a very very high price from the individual too.
12:59 PM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954116757636989116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Beginners! For anyone with a modicum of experience would use much faster vpn entry points like Island, France, Netherlands and similar. But they will get better. CON-LAB axis of brain dead normie thugs doing more for IT public education, than any techie could ever dream of. 😁
10:45 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Beginners! For anyone with a modicum of experience would use much faster vpn entry points like Island, France, Netherlands and similar. But they will get better. CON-LAB axis of brain dead normie thugs doing more for IT public education, than any techie could ever dream of. 😁
10:45 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954102990756774339
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An extremely dangerous man. Proselytising zealotry, penchant for purity, a thirst for control, all combined with enough smarts to play good tactical game. Even if strategically his game is lost on the time horizon he cares about. (his life) Add to the mix personal gain for position and prestige, even maybe even monetary gains. ("difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.") Stalin levels of danger to others in that Prof vibes.
9:50 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An extremely dangerous man. Proselytising zealotry, penchant for purity, a thirst for control, all combined with enough smarts to play good tactical game. Even if strategically his game is lost on the time horizon he cares about. (his life) Add to the mix personal gain for position and prestige, even maybe even monetary gains. ("difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.") Stalin levels of danger to others in that Prof vibes.
9:50 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954098913226420421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...thanks! And in the comparison - are you going to use sth similar to this for 1M context, or is this maybe not possible not available for the Coder model?
https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3-30B-A3B-Thinking-2507#how-to-enable-1m-token-context
From huggingface.co
9:34 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...thanks! And in the comparison - are you going to use sth similar to this for 1M context, or is this maybe not possible not available for the Coder model?
https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3-30B-A3B-Thinking-2507#how-to-enable-1m-token-context
From huggingface.co
9:34 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954096544627527784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - Q: "How ..."; TLDR, A: "By means of epic FAIL".
9:24 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - Q: "How ..."; TLDR, A: "By means of epic FAIL".
9:24 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954095394234790139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks - a good one that one. Have you seen this (one of my all time favourites), on Tit-for-tat but also much more -
"What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything" by @veritasium
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
Other recent contributions that seemed significant to me (I've got amateurish interest in this) I see collected are by Ole Peters and Alex Adamou, e.g. "The evolutionary advantage of cooperation" on arxiv, also "The ergodicity solution of the cooperation puzzle" Phil.Trans.R.Soc. (2020 or 22?)
youtube.com
This game theory problem will change the way you see the world
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
9:20 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks - a good one that one. Have you seen this (one of my all time favourites), on Tit-for-tat but also much more -
"What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything" by @veritasium
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
Other recent contributions that seemed significant to me (I've got amateurish interest in this) I see collected are by Ole Peters and Alex Adamou, e.g. "The evolutionary advantage of cooperation" on arxiv, also "The ergodicity solution of the cooperation puzzle" Phil.Trans.R.Soc. (2020 or 22?)
youtube.com
This game theory problem will change the way you see the world
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
9:20 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954077708515729556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...correction "... will always vote for option *A* (few to lose everything) over option *B*" (all to lose some). Tried to clarify and got it wrong and muddied further rather than making it clearer - sorry. 😒 (can't edit the original - sorry)
8:10 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...correction "... will always vote for option *A* (few to lose everything) over option *B*" (all to lose some). Tried to clarify and got it wrong and muddied further rather than making it clearer - sorry. 😒 (can't edit the original - sorry)
8:10 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954071584253022285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instead of a straight "No", that is as you say bad form when dealing with a mercurial power, Ukraine can reasonably ask for nuclear weapons. As that's the only guarantee anyone can give to Ukraine for real. In absence of nuclear deterrent, If Ukraine cedes territory, and Russia army moves to newly occupied lands on day D, then nothing stops Russia just continuing the war on day D+1.
7:45 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instead of a straight "No", that is as you say bad form when dealing with a mercurial power, Ukraine can reasonably ask for nuclear weapons. As that's the only guarantee anyone can give to Ukraine for real. In absence of nuclear deterrent, If Ukraine cedes territory, and Russia army moves to newly occupied lands on day D, then nothing stops Russia just continuing the war on day D+1.
7:45 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954070676467249360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ukraine can reasonably ask for nuclear weapons. That's the only real guarantee available to Ukraine for real. Because if Ukraine cedes territory currently held, and Russia army moves to the newly occupied land on day D, nothing stops Russia just continuing the war on day D+1.
7:42 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ukraine can reasonably ask for nuclear weapons. That's the only real guarantee available to Ukraine for real. Because if Ukraine cedes territory currently held, and Russia army moves to the newly occupied land on day D, nothing stops Russia just continuing the war on day D+1.
7:42 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954063155937599761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent takes, feels correct in ways that matter. Good way to setup the stage for the next step: given all that, what can be done now, to improve CS workings?
The process and setup used for investigating airplane disasters, has delivered results. Thinking of applying similar to UK gov CS, similarities but also differences. Main difference pilots have skin in the game end up dead when wrong. But other actors face similar incentives to hide, lie, and diffuse responsibility. Maybe similar "we give you immunity, if you come forward with the truth" can work in parts? From the PoV of us public, nothing is lost as CS effectively has got immunity already. So making it explicit—maybe we lose nothing, and gain some?
Another way is by selection: increasing the wages, while reducing their number? Side effect will force them to work harder, so there will be self-selection less motivated more lazy less effective will leave more? People that "do the right thing no matter what" with integrity, that care about their work, it's a vocation not just a job, they tend to be harder working putting their work creation above everything else. IDK how would one incentivise HR to steer towards this.
7:12 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent takes, feels correct in ways that matter. Good way to setup the stage for the next step: given all that, what can be done now, to improve CS workings?
The process and setup used for investigating airplane disasters, has delivered results. Thinking of applying similar to UK gov CS, similarities but also differences. Main difference pilots have skin in the game end up dead when wrong. But other actors face similar incentives to hide, lie, and diffuse responsibility. Maybe similar "we give you immunity, if you come forward with the truth" can work in parts? From the PoV of us public, nothing is lost as CS effectively has got immunity already. So making it explicit—maybe we lose nothing, and gain some?
Another way is by selection: increasing the wages, while reducing their number? Side effect will force them to work harder, so there will be self-selection less motivated more lazy less effective will leave more? People that "do the right thing no matter what" with integrity, that care about their work, it's a vocation not just a job, they tend to be harder working putting their work creation above everything else. IDK how would one incentivise HR to steer towards this.
7:12 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954059125635076345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zelensky will reasonably ask for nuclear weapons for Ukraine. That's the only guarantee available for Ukraine. Because if Ukraine cedes territory currently held, and Russia army moves to the newly occupied land on day D, nothing stops Russia just continuing the war on day D+1.
6:56 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zelensky will reasonably ask for nuclear weapons for Ukraine. That's the only guarantee available for Ukraine. Because if Ukraine cedes territory currently held, and Russia army moves to the newly occupied land on day D, nothing stops Russia just continuing the war on day D+1.
6:56 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953952036309127626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah got motivated recently to re-hear it more then a few times. (https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949103702238765313; I'm UK based) Normies would never have built the Internet. The online world was built by altruistic slightly autistic nerds. A minority apart from the majority. To this day most of the software making the online world work is created for the love of it. Likewise all the text making the Internet data fuelling the AI revolution is written for the love of it, not money. The web, Wikipedia, Reddit, blogs - all content created by online geeks without anyone asking for it or paying for it. Completely voluntary. That Cyberspace was mostly permission-less from the very start, made it possible to not fail. TBS if it manages to resist and circumvent the tyrannical impulses in UK and Europe trying to make it permission-full.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949103702238765313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 26
We're lucky the anti-freedom authoritarians are often silly. Ever ignorant of many things about that they're forever eager to inflict on us. It's coming close to 30 years since "The Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" by John Perry Barlow. UK's good day to share today 😇 x.com/Jess4Lowestoft…
11:50 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah got motivated recently to re-hear it more then a few times. (https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949103702238765313; I'm UK based) Normies would never have built the Internet. The online world was built by altruistic slightly autistic nerds. A minority apart from the majority. To this day most of the software making the online world work is created for the love of it. Likewise all the text making the Internet data fuelling the AI revolution is written for the love of it, not money. The web, Wikipedia, Reddit, blogs - all content created by online geeks without anyone asking for it or paying for it. Completely voluntary. That Cyberspace was mostly permission-less from the very start, made it possible to not fail. TBS if it manages to resist and circumvent the tyrannical impulses in UK and Europe trying to make it permission-full.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949103702238765313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 26
We're lucky the anti-freedom authoritarians are often silly. Ever ignorant of many things about that they're forever eager to inflict on us. It's coming close to 30 years since "The Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" by John Perry Barlow. UK's good day to share today 😇 x.com/Jess4Lowestoft…
11:50 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953878085213843472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Changes accept - manual or automatic yes it supports. Checkpointing - do you mean committing to git on its own? IDK haven't checked much. For me it didn't git commit like Aider does. Maybe possible? Or even as simple as putting in the prompt "at the end, git commit".
6:56 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Changes accept - manual or automatic yes it supports. Checkpointing - do you mean committing to git on its own? IDK haven't checked much. For me it didn't git commit like Aider does. Maybe possible? Or even as simple as putting in the prompt "at the end, git commit".
6:56 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953874710481289698
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once I could plugin OpenRouter keys into @cline and Roo, never looked back at Cursor. There days cline has separate Plan and Act models even, with their own access? Can run 2 different local models under llama server, and point both cline modes (Plan and Act) towards 2 different localhost ports? Spoilt for choice 😆
6:43 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once I could plugin OpenRouter keys into @cline and Roo, never looked back at Cursor. There days cline has separate Plan and Act models even, with their own access? Can run 2 different local models under llama server, and point both cline modes (Plan and Act) towards 2 different localhost ports? Spoilt for choice 😆
6:43 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953871553713651833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Joyful fun listening to the saintly .@RichardSSutton 😇 on a summer day - "research is not something you implement, it's something you conduct", 😁 "yeah we got a 5 year plan, and in 2 years we'll make another one " 😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=zZuh8YUBeDY
@EyeOn_AI stoical enough there 😆
youtube.com
Richard Sutton on Pursuing AGI Through Reinforcement Learning
Join host Craig Smith on episode #170 of Eye on AI, for a riveting conversation with Richard Sutton, currently serving as a professor of computing science at...
6:30 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Joyful fun listening to the saintly .@RichardSSutton 😇 on a summer day - "research is not something you implement, it's something you conduct", 😁 "yeah we got a 5 year plan, and in 2 years we'll make another one " 😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=zZuh8YUBeDY
@EyeOn_AI stoical enough there 😆
youtube.com
Richard Sutton on Pursuing AGI Through Reinforcement Learning
Join host Craig Smith on episode #170 of Eye on AI, for a riveting conversation with Richard Sutton, currently serving as a professor of computing science at...
6:30 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953842003567133159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Computers then Internet were miraculous for they were permissionles. A nail salon worker needs a licence. But I could program my pocket, then home, then personal, then cloud computer - without asking anyone, without any askance. To get the importance of that in the thick thick normie skulls, in the only language they understand - power, violence, coercion - hoping for 0SEAT for the UK @Conservatives in the next election. Then in the election cycle after, same for @UKLabour I hope. IK the general public could not care less. So hoping for a bona fide miracles there, 😆 and not 1, but 2, and in a row. 😁
4:33 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Computers then Internet were miraculous for they were permissionles. A nail salon worker needs a licence. But I could program my pocket, then home, then personal, then cloud computer - without asking anyone, without any askance. To get the importance of that in the thick thick normie skulls, in the only language they understand - power, violence, coercion - hoping for 0SEAT for the UK @Conservatives in the next election. Then in the election cycle after, same for @UKLabour I hope. IK the general public could not care less. So hoping for a bona fide miracles there, 😆 and not 1, but 2, and in a row. 😁
4:33 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953834020506349678
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The continuing ongoing forever incompetence of government and governing, is the best advertisement for wanting to minimise government. That government organs and functions cannot die, but expand to soak all energy the host generates, without themselves contributing, is the perennial indictment. Seems to me "only ever voluntary and willing, zero coercion allowed" anarchism is many thinking persons' end destination. One problem only: TBS if 100% voluntarism 0% coercion can be made to work well enough, function fr, to implement cooperation. For coordinating large numbers of people, is 5:1 cooperation:competition trending:reversion by the looks of it. Living in interesting times ngl 😁
4:01 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The continuing ongoing forever incompetence of government and governing, is the best advertisement for wanting to minimise government. That government organs and functions cannot die, but expand to soak all energy the host generates, without themselves contributing, is the perennial indictment. Seems to me "only ever voluntary and willing, zero coercion allowed" anarchism is many thinking persons' end destination. One problem only: TBS if 100% voluntarism 0% coercion can be made to work well enough, function fr, to implement cooperation. For coordinating large numbers of people, is 5:1 cooperation:competition trending:reversion by the looks of it. Living in interesting times ngl 😁
4:01 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953815055369130047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you use it in both Plan (architect) as well as Act (write code) roles? In the tools that allow separation of roles. (Cline, Aider) Have you plugged it into gemini-cli or claude cli tools? Does that work reasonably well? I'm on a Mac with enough RAM, MoE-s are a good match.
2:46 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you use it in both Plan (architect) as well as Act (write code) roles? In the tools that allow separation of roles. (Cline, Aider) Have you plugged it into gemini-cli or claude cli tools? Does that work reasonably well? I'm on a Mac with enough RAM, MoE-s are a good match.
2:46 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953797852561395960
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Appreciate the answer. On unemployment, I'm afraid you are answering some other question, not mine. Mine (with clarifications) was:
> in democracy, between options
A-10% (of population) losing 100% (i.e. 10% being thrown on the street unemployed, to curl and die hungry and homeless); and
B-100% (of population) losing 10% (of their wealth, income),
...the 100% (assuming they will be in the 90%), will always vote for option B over option A.
It's fine if you don't have an answer, or don't want to answer. It's a free Internet. :-) all good
1:38 PM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Appreciate the answer. On unemployment, I'm afraid you are answering some other question, not mine. Mine (with clarifications) was:
> in democracy, between options
A-10% (of population) losing 100% (i.e. 10% being thrown on the street unemployed, to curl and die hungry and homeless); and
B-100% (of population) losing 10% (of their wealth, income),
...the 100% (assuming they will be in the 90%), will always vote for option B over option A.
It's fine if you don't have an answer, or don't want to answer. It's a free Internet. :-) all good
1:38 PM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1954077708515729556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...correction "... will always vote for option *A* (few to lose everything) over option *B*" (all to lose some). Tried to clarify and got it wrong and muddied further rather than making it clearer - sorry. 😒 (can't edit the original - sorry)
8:10 AM · Aug 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...correction "... will always vote for option *A* (few to lose everything) over option *B*" (all to lose some). Tried to clarify and got it wrong and muddied further rather than making it clearer - sorry. 😒 (can't edit the original - sorry)
8:10 AM · Aug 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953623353261957141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - same 😊 freedom!! 😁
2:04 AM · Aug 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - same 😊 freedom!! 😁
2:04 AM · Aug 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953496570202403170
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've never seen such spectacle. People seeking power, then half the time refusing to govern?!? Like when David Cameron was asked "Why do you want to be a PM", he could not articulate?? (blurted a "smart" answer "I think I'd be rather good at it".) As if a theatre, cosplay - not for real? And the half where they did govern, the governing was just brain dead. Like government trying to gain brownie points with the neighbours one invites to a dinner party? Sunak apparently thought of the XL Bully ban (the one policy I can say "well done"; under pressure form the @lfg_uk dude(s)) only after someone (his kids, or guests?) asked him about it over dinner? All the people killed, data etc - all else apparently left no impression to the PM ruling the land?
5:40 PM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've never seen such spectacle. People seeking power, then half the time refusing to govern?!? Like when David Cameron was asked "Why do you want to be a PM", he could not articulate?? (blurted a "smart" answer "I think I'd be rather good at it".) As if a theatre, cosplay - not for real? And the half where they did govern, the governing was just brain dead. Like government trying to gain brownie points with the neighbours one invites to a dinner party? Sunak apparently thought of the XL Bully ban (the one policy I can say "well done"; under pressure form the @lfg_uk dude(s)) only after someone (his kids, or guests?) asked him about it over dinner? All the people killed, data etc - all else apparently left no impression to the PM ruling the land?
5:40 PM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953448658352963746
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
JFK Jr is the boomiest of all boomers I'm aware of, the protoboomer, the archboomer.
2:30 PM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
JFK Jr is the boomiest of all boomers I'm aware of, the protoboomer, the archboomer.
2:30 PM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953447023161541006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Many such cases. Western leftists in the 1930-s, visiting the SU, and marvelling at whatever they were marvelling. And not noticing the terrorised, scared, hungry, poor population. To the point of, their assigned Russian guides/monitors, at first thinking "wow some Americans are stupid." But latter concluding "all Americans are stupid!?" Because what else is one to think, if all visitors one meets from a country are like that? By selection bias—the natives got to only ever see the Americans that were true appreciators of the handworks of Stalin!! 😅 Contemporary equivalent is that OAP from Florida or Texas that moved to Russia in 2014 (!?) and volunteered to fight on the front? His comrades in arms, rationally thinking "no human can be this dumb", didn't believe his story, and tortured him to death to confess he is an American spy?
2:23 PM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Many such cases. Western leftists in the 1930-s, visiting the SU, and marvelling at whatever they were marvelling. And not noticing the terrorised, scared, hungry, poor population. To the point of, their assigned Russian guides/monitors, at first thinking "wow some Americans are stupid." But latter concluding "all Americans are stupid!?" Because what else is one to think, if all visitors one meets from a country are like that? By selection bias—the natives got to only ever see the Americans that were true appreciators of the handworks of Stalin!! 😅 Contemporary equivalent is that OAP from Florida or Texas that moved to Russia in 2014 (!?) and volunteered to fight on the front? His comrades in arms, rationally thinking "no human can be this dumb", didn't believe his story, and tortured him to death to confess he is an American spy?
2:23 PM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953444626670530901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good meme, but then - what about inflation? You did notice the post-Covid inflation, right? When people lose 30-40% of their purchasing power - they tend to notice. And in democracy, between 10% losing 100% (i.e. 10% being thrown on the street unemployed, to curl and die hungry and homeless), and 100% losing 10%, the 100% (assuming they will be in the 90%), will always vote for the latter. So yeah - inflation? Given technology has been the strongest deflationary force in our lifetimes, I imagine you are huge proponents of e/acc, in all shapes and forms? ;-) Riight??
2:14 PM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good meme, but then - what about inflation? You did notice the post-Covid inflation, right? When people lose 30-40% of their purchasing power - they tend to notice. And in democracy, between 10% losing 100% (i.e. 10% being thrown on the street unemployed, to curl and die hungry and homeless), and 100% losing 10%, the 100% (assuming they will be in the 90%), will always vote for the latter. So yeah - inflation? Given technology has been the strongest deflationary force in our lifetimes, I imagine you are huge proponents of e/acc, in all shapes and forms? ;-) Riight??
2:14 PM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953363870698897591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - as witnessed on the few examples of robberies filmed on that very same clip that LBC illustrated the news item with! And not a sentence of doubt on part of the LBC!! The girl walking on the inside of the pavement, the girl inside the bus shelter - having their phones snatched well away from the curb! The level of stupidity at all levels - from the London Mayer, and Chiefs of police forces, to the journalists who act as a free PR agency rather then put even one tiny tyny sand of doubt in the wheels of the "unaccountability stupidity machine" is a sight to behold.
8:53 AM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - as witnessed on the few examples of robberies filmed on that very same clip that LBC illustrated the news item with! And not a sentence of doubt on part of the LBC!! The girl walking on the inside of the pavement, the girl inside the bus shelter - having their phones snatched well away from the curb! The level of stupidity at all levels - from the London Mayer, and Chiefs of police forces, to the journalists who act as a free PR agency rather then put even one tiny tyny sand of doubt in the wheels of the "unaccountability stupidity machine" is a sight to behold.
8:53 AM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953361723391410683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We already have DigitalID-s, only distributed, partial, and created by the private sectors. That serve the needs of those private sectors fairly well. Gov DigitalID - that already partially exists partially various numbers by NI, HMRC etc - would be just another ID thrown into the mix. Will achieve little. Suck gov resource better used elsewhere. It's a solution in search of a problem, if I have ever seen one!
Creating ID-s is easy - maintaining them to be up-to-date real not fake etc - is hard. On the UK gov side, with all the problems of governance, will become just another UK gov cluster-f*ck. UK gov better match its aspirations with its capabilities, and do less, not more. Maybe 40 years ago UK gov DigitalID made sense - but it doesn't in 2025.
And on the top of that - with all the silliness witnessed Re: all things online by the gov boomers in charge, I'd rather they didn't try to do this. If they really want to help - they could contract the UK Registry Offices to offer API service of authenticating public-private keys deposited with them by us, IRL humans with Name Surname dob Xyzw. So we don't have to rely on shady companies domiciled in the bumf*cks around the globe, to not abuse the data I'm forced to give them as a price to access the Internet.
8:45 AM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We already have DigitalID-s, only distributed, partial, and created by the private sectors. That serve the needs of those private sectors fairly well. Gov DigitalID - that already partially exists partially various numbers by NI, HMRC etc - would be just another ID thrown into the mix. Will achieve little. Suck gov resource better used elsewhere. It's a solution in search of a problem, if I have ever seen one!
Creating ID-s is easy - maintaining them to be up-to-date real not fake etc - is hard. On the UK gov side, with all the problems of governance, will become just another UK gov cluster-f*ck. UK gov better match its aspirations with its capabilities, and do less, not more. Maybe 40 years ago UK gov DigitalID made sense - but it doesn't in 2025.
And on the top of that - with all the silliness witnessed Re: all things online by the gov boomers in charge, I'd rather they didn't try to do this. If they really want to help - they could contract the UK Registry Offices to offer API service of authenticating public-private keys deposited with them by us, IRL humans with Name Surname dob Xyzw. So we don't have to rely on shady companies domiciled in the bumf*cks around the globe, to not abuse the data I'm forced to give them as a price to access the Internet.
8:45 AM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953348179706937621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear! +1 Another one bored to oblivion by the innuendo. X is my window to the world, and lack the means to shut-down coordinated thematic campaigns. Yeah we get it - it's a unique moment in history. But so is every other moment in time—unique and never to repeat. sheesh
7:51 AM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear! +1 Another one bored to oblivion by the innuendo. X is my window to the world, and lack the means to shut-down coordinated thematic campaigns. Yeah we get it - it's a unique moment in history. But so is every other moment in time—unique and never to repeat. sheesh
7:51 AM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953345788966248680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed Musk defo is a man with a plan.
Ever since he pulled the EV jumpstart! Afaik the business plan read "start with tiny sports car, low weight, high torque, customers price insensitive". I for one thought "well this sounds at least like a plan, not dead on arrival like every other EV I ever heard of". Too bad I never had much spare cash to risk.
IDK how people mocking him for Boring machines don't see it. "Duh it's not about the silly tunnels on Earth, but on building bases underground on Mars". Same for Starlink - sure handy on Earth, but Internet is already available on Earth pretty much universally not a game changer. But linking the Mars Internet - and beyond, extending the connectivity Mars-Earth and more - is literally in the name, Star-Link. Doesn't get more explicit.
And now I watched the video—yep, agreed, the robots, AI, batteries, solar panels - it all fits. Thanks for the vid! :-)
7:41 AM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed Musk defo is a man with a plan.
Ever since he pulled the EV jumpstart! Afaik the business plan read "start with tiny sports car, low weight, high torque, customers price insensitive". I for one thought "well this sounds at least like a plan, not dead on arrival like every other EV I ever heard of". Too bad I never had much spare cash to risk.
IDK how people mocking him for Boring machines don't see it. "Duh it's not about the silly tunnels on Earth, but on building bases underground on Mars". Same for Starlink - sure handy on Earth, but Internet is already available on Earth pretty much universally not a game changer. But linking the Mars Internet - and beyond, extending the connectivity Mars-Earth and more - is literally in the name, Star-Link. Doesn't get more explicit.
And now I watched the video—yep, agreed, the robots, AI, batteries, solar panels - it all fits. Thanks for the vid! :-)
7:41 AM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953343075935281191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! And top_k and min_p pretty please? Current guess
$ build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/GLM-4.5-Air-IQ4_NL-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 0.95 --top_k 40 --top_p 0.7 --min_p 0.05 --ctx-size 131072 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
7:30 AM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! And top_k and min_p pretty please? Current guess
$ build/bin/llama-server --port 8080 --model models/GLM-4.5-Air-IQ4_NL-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 0.95 --top_k 40 --top_p 0.7 --min_p 0.05 --ctx-size 131072 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
7:30 AM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953341700551671927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and more to this. Casting my mind to my childhood in <1990-s. Kids wanted to play video games, hang with each other, talk and giggle. Grown ups wanted to kill people they have never seen in their lives, and have not done them any harm, because the TV-box told them so. Fast-forward 35 years, turns out kids playing computer games financed the R&D into GPU-s. That are now making sand think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge ever created. And may yet cure cancers and even defeat all diseases. So now I'm even more down on grown-ups. One saving grace: parents loved us, usually buckled and bought us computers, graphics cards etc after many months of nagging. True everyone pitched in with whatever cash they could muster. But as relative family expenditures go, these were non-trivial amounts of cash for a parent to spend on a beige box they had no clue what it does. So yeah—love your kids but maybe don't think you can guess the future better than them. I guess would be my take from this.
7:25 AM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and more to this. Casting my mind to my childhood in <1990-s. Kids wanted to play video games, hang with each other, talk and giggle. Grown ups wanted to kill people they have never seen in their lives, and have not done them any harm, because the TV-box told them so. Fast-forward 35 years, turns out kids playing computer games financed the R&D into GPU-s. That are now making sand think, speak, imbibe all human knowledge ever created. And may yet cure cancers and even defeat all diseases. So now I'm even more down on grown-ups. One saving grace: parents loved us, usually buckled and bought us computers, graphics cards etc after many months of nagging. True everyone pitched in with whatever cash they could muster. But as relative family expenditures go, these were non-trivial amounts of cash for a parent to spend on a beige box they had no clue what it does. So yeah—love your kids but maybe don't think you can guess the future better than them. I guess would be my take from this.
7:25 AM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953232204865388800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't think I was rage baiting? Isn't it obvious, that if the world, on average over time, and with setbacks, and not uniformly - but still, on average - has been improving, that must be b/c the younger generations are better than the older ones. To your remark - it's possible that people change, and change for the worse, as they grow older. Not only do our body and our mental faculties, become worse as we age, but also our souls: as we grow old, our souls become worse, coarser. I;m not saying that oldies have no role to play. Not at all - culture is taught by example mostly, older people transmitting it to young kids. So everyone is important, incl oldies. But - youth of today are better than the same youth 20 years ago.
12:10 AM · Aug 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't think I was rage baiting? Isn't it obvious, that if the world, on average over time, and with setbacks, and not uniformly - but still, on average - has been improving, that must be b/c the younger generations are better than the older ones. To your remark - it's possible that people change, and change for the worse, as they grow older. Not only do our body and our mental faculties, become worse as we age, but also our souls: as we grow old, our souls become worse, coarser. I;m not saying that oldies have no role to play. Not at all - culture is taught by example mostly, older people transmitting it to young kids. So everyone is important, incl oldies. But - youth of today are better than the same youth 20 years ago.
12:10 AM · Aug 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953187984301228418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK but will let for sure shout from the rooftops once I "secured the bag". :-) I'd think it best if people risked capital to finance risky endeavours that wouldn't otherwise be attempted. But there's all sorts... In the olden times people built libraries, donated to universities etc. I guess it's a big country US. Including handing the bag to the money manager that sticks it into sth as boring as SP500. IDK-not that un/fortunate to have to worry about stuff like that. But I'm puzzled about your Q—afaics e/acc is pro-, and not anti-, that concept??
9:14 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK but will let for sure shout from the rooftops once I "secured the bag". :-) I'd think it best if people risked capital to finance risky endeavours that wouldn't otherwise be attempted. But there's all sorts... In the olden times people built libraries, donated to universities etc. I guess it's a big country US. Including handing the bag to the money manager that sticks it into sth as boring as SP500. IDK-not that un/fortunate to have to worry about stuff like that. But I'm puzzled about your Q—afaics e/acc is pro-, and not anti-, that concept??
9:14 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953160730217206171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - well played you. If only we had some means to make people always bet on their words, even if something cheap but of value to the bettors, and there were means to enforce payment, I bet that would cut 99% of garymarcusing-type of cr*p polluting the public spaces.
7:26 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - well played you. If only we had some means to make people always bet on their words, even if something cheap but of value to the bettors, and there were means to enforce payment, I bet that would cut 99% of garymarcusing-type of cr*p polluting the public spaces.
7:26 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953148000299352481
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You inspired me to install venv python 3.13 now :-) Resisted stuck to 3.11 for enough time now. Time to move on. Tried the model in LMStudio in the morning. Got ~17 tps for "Reasoning high", thought that's very good. (here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953047737584226654)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 6
Replying to @lifeafterAi_
The max 128K, with flash attention on, and both k- and v- caches types Q8_0. Pasted a text file, $ wc counts lines/words/chars=7586/122824/791959, and LMStudio didn't complain, run at "16.76 tok/sec • 3381 tokens • 484.27s to first token." Looks good to me esp at high effort,
Show more
6:35 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You inspired me to install venv python 3.13 now :-) Resisted stuck to 3.11 for enough time now. Time to move on. Tried the model in LMStudio in the morning. Got ~17 tps for "Reasoning high", thought that's very good. (here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953047737584226654)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 6
Replying to @lifeafterAi_
The max 128K, with flash attention on, and both k- and v- caches types Q8_0. Pasted a text file, $ wc counts lines/words/chars=7586/122824/791959, and LMStudio didn't complain, run at "16.76 tok/sec • 3381 tokens • 484.27s to first token." Looks good to me esp at high effort,
Show more
6:35 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953139739940336123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - you have not been around the block much, have you? Tech is great for kids, as it moves kids slightly away from the malign influences of their parents. Puts some distance between, although not much - more would be even better. Before smartphones, the youth of the day was ruined by social media, Internet, games, home computers, TV. Before that youths were ruined by cinema, and if you go further still by books, and even bicycles etc. And yet, all that time the world has become better for humanity. It must be that the young ones, made changes to the better, compared to the world their predecessors built. Oldies are full of sh*t - always. If it was up to old people, we would still be living in mud huts, eating bones by the fire.
6:02 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - you have not been around the block much, have you? Tech is great for kids, as it moves kids slightly away from the malign influences of their parents. Puts some distance between, although not much - more would be even better. Before smartphones, the youth of the day was ruined by social media, Internet, games, home computers, TV. Before that youths were ruined by cinema, and if you go further still by books, and even bicycles etc. And yet, all that time the world has become better for humanity. It must be that the young ones, made changes to the better, compared to the world their predecessors built. Oldies are full of sh*t - always. If it was up to old people, we would still be living in mud huts, eating bones by the fire.
6:02 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953129155978989937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - but evolution is not the only way to institute change. We'll figure other ways to do that. This is not even curing aging at all. Silly that we are thinking immortality when we've no clue how to fix even fairly simple malfunctionings in our bodies.
5:20 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - but evolution is not the only way to institute change. We'll figure other ways to do that. This is not even curing aging at all. Silly that we are thinking immortality when we've no clue how to fix even fairly simple malfunctionings in our bodies.
5:20 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953127165429502146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that "Noblesse oblige"? Are you part of a US aristocracy? Are you surprised that the plebs reject your self-sacrifice, and your mercy, and or is not sufficiently appreciative of that? Instead they prefer that both the McDonalds server, and Steve Jobs, to use the same iPhone. Maybe hope for technology doing for homes what it did for mobile phones. Everyone suffices with a single 1 home to live in, no one craves 10 homes the same way they don't crave 10 iPhones. It's an 0->1 problem. While a yacht maybe aspiration for some, most don't care about that kind of luxe. Renting a fishing boar for the day on a weekend outing with friends suffices.
5:12 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that "Noblesse oblige"? Are you part of a US aristocracy? Are you surprised that the plebs reject your self-sacrifice, and your mercy, and or is not sufficiently appreciative of that? Instead they prefer that both the McDonalds server, and Steve Jobs, to use the same iPhone. Maybe hope for technology doing for homes what it did for mobile phones. Everyone suffices with a single 1 home to live in, no one craves 10 homes the same way they don't crave 10 iPhones. It's an 0->1 problem. While a yacht maybe aspiration for some, most don't care about that kind of luxe. Renting a fishing boar for the day on a weekend outing with friends suffices.
5:12 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953115357368959273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear! Think about ASI opportunity cost. 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human wealth and goodness as value. What the Industrial Revolution in 1800s previously did with mechanical machines amplifying human mechanical labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellectual labour.
Imagine! Humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too. Some kind of nano-bots boost body self-repear, self-healing abilities by x10-20x times. Or—humanity making progress manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping it finally after all these centuries of little progress! Pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets look like contraption from the age of Newton, not of 21-st, let alone 22-nd century.
Given the potential prizes, even maybe not super high probability every individual one—zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton. That may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)"—of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path.
Open data, open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, open ...AGI ...ASI - FTW!
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
4:26 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear! Think about ASI opportunity cost. 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human wealth and goodness as value. What the Industrial Revolution in 1800s previously did with mechanical machines amplifying human mechanical labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellectual labour.
Imagine! Humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too. Some kind of nano-bots boost body self-repear, self-healing abilities by x10-20x times. Or—humanity making progress manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping it finally after all these centuries of little progress! Pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets look like contraption from the age of Newton, not of 21-st, let alone 22-nd century.
Given the potential prizes, even maybe not super high probability every individual one—zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton. That may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)"—of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path.
Open data, open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, open ...AGI ...ASI - FTW!
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
4:26 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953109952509145145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I too was amazed for a time. And like yourself tried to explain. Now I've given up. Time's better spent together with like minded people, trying to move current best an inch forward, towards what was impossible short time ago and now maybe becoming possible. Maybe. Rather than trying to bring laggards to the current best.
You can bring a horse to the water, you can't make him drink. The "but AI-s can't do X"-brigade is ignorant. And they're ignorant b/c they don't learn. And they don't learn b/c they are stupid. They're are stupid not b/c of low IQ, but b/c they are lacking in morals. Their moral compas is malfunctioning. I'm afraid you will find that at the end of the chain of why-s. I'm sorry to say.
4:04 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I too was amazed for a time. And like yourself tried to explain. Now I've given up. Time's better spent together with like minded people, trying to move current best an inch forward, towards what was impossible short time ago and now maybe becoming possible. Maybe. Rather than trying to bring laggards to the current best.
You can bring a horse to the water, you can't make him drink. The "but AI-s can't do X"-brigade is ignorant. And they're ignorant b/c they don't learn. And they don't learn b/c they are stupid. They're are stupid not b/c of low IQ, but b/c they are lacking in morals. Their moral compas is malfunctioning. I'm afraid you will find that at the end of the chain of why-s. I'm sorry to say.
4:04 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953050441559761076
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
in the past–IDK, but from now on—from myself. I started using them - where I didn't before
12:08 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
in the past–IDK, but from now on—from myself. I started using them - where I didn't before
12:08 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953049776372539829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no demand-no supply, no supply-no demand.
chicken and egg local minimum.
needs some kind of shake up, to - get out 1st, then settle in another better, local minimum.
12:05 PM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no demand-no supply, no supply-no demand.
chicken and egg local minimum.
needs some kind of shake up, to - get out 1st, then settle in another better, local minimum.
12:05 PM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953047737584226654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The max 128K, with flash attention on, and both k- and v- caches types Q8_0. Pasted a text file, $ wc counts lines/words/chars=7586/122824/791959, and LMStudio didn't complain, run at "16.76 tok/sec • 3381 tokens • 484.27s to first token." Looks good to me esp at high effort, but have to test more if it was truncated, or filled the whole context.
11:57 AM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The max 128K, with flash attention on, and both k- and v- caches types Q8_0. Pasted a text file, $ wc counts lines/words/chars=7586/122824/791959, and LMStudio didn't complain, run at "16.76 tok/sec • 3381 tokens • 484.27s to first token." Looks good to me esp at high effort, but have to test more if it was truncated, or filled the whole context.
11:57 AM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953020059548278909
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No probs. LMStudio upgrade fixed my problem for me. Run "high effort" now, speed 33 tps - quite good, didn't decline as much I feared - and max ram use 86gb.
10:07 AM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No probs. LMStudio upgrade fixed my problem for me. Run "high effort" now, speed 33 tps - quite good, didn't decline as much I feared - and max ram use 86gb.
10:07 AM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953009744345440448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it runs fine - got 37 tps. I presume on low reasoning effort. Couldn't see where to switch to medium- and to high-. There should be an LMStudio selector ("Reasoning Effort: select (default=low)") is my understanding, and that was missing. I suspect b/c instead of downloading from inside LMStudio and the packaged one by lmstudio-community, I just downloaded the gguf files off HF. And some .json config needs to be updated. Trying to make the medium- and high- run atm.
9:26 AM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it runs fine - got 37 tps. I presume on low reasoning effort. Couldn't see where to switch to medium- and to high-. There should be an LMStudio selector ("Reasoning Effort: select (default=low)") is my understanding, and that was missing. I suspect b/c instead of downloading from inside LMStudio and the packaged one by lmstudio-community, I just downloaded the gguf files off HF. And some .json config needs to be updated. Trying to make the medium- and high- run atm.
9:26 AM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1953003231413411874
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Morning sight - three objects of beauty 😆
9:00 AM · Aug 6, 2025
* https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952986171870466340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh, "why". Because the "but AI-s can't do X"-brigade is ignorant. They are ignorant b/c they don't learn. They don't learn b/c they are stupid. They're are stupid not b/c of low IQ, but b/c they are lacking in morals, their moral compas malfunctions. Sorry for the long comment this early in the morning before coffee even. ☺️ I bet you got more a reply that your rhetorical question really demanded. 😆 I bid you a good day. 👍🙂
7:52 AM · Aug 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Morning sight - three objects of beauty 😆
9:00 AM · Aug 6, 2025
* https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952986171870466340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh, "why". Because the "but AI-s can't do X"-brigade is ignorant. They are ignorant b/c they don't learn. They don't learn b/c they are stupid. They're are stupid not b/c of low IQ, but b/c they are lacking in morals, their moral compas malfunctions. Sorry for the long comment this early in the morning before coffee even. ☺️ I bet you got more a reply that your rhetorical question really demanded. 😆 I bid you a good day. 👍🙂
7:52 AM · Aug 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952793015367680014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
related - have you/people seen this?
Quote
https://x.com/RileyRalmuto/status/1952635304768098546
Riley Coyote @RileyRalmuto · Aug 5
is anyone else following the guy on TikTok who was hired by a swarm of ai agents who started their own company called brnrt_research? he’s been chronicling it, has never spoken to a human, and his only job is testing and debugging their new website for the company. and he’s
Show more
7:05 PM · Aug 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
related - have you/people seen this?
Quote
https://x.com/RileyRalmuto/status/1952635304768098546
Riley Coyote @RileyRalmuto · Aug 5
is anyone else following the guy on TikTok who was hired by a swarm of ai agents who started their own company called brnrt_research? he’s been chronicling it, has never spoken to a human, and his only job is testing and debugging their new website for the company. and he’s
Show more
7:05 PM · Aug 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952734653384671576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our collective indifference to statistical murder by omission is indefensible. We effectively act as if "it's ok to kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission." But this FAIL of ours is not inevitable. It's mostly laziness in our thinking, and lacking feelings for the unseen fellow humans. But we are capable of thinking better, and changing what we decide we do, even if we can't force ourselves feel compassion.
The fact that it's known with great certainty how many people (about 100), even if their exact names are impossible to know in advance, will be killed on US roads in the next 24h, should be recognised and resonate with the wider public. Ignorance is not an alibi here, because we are *not* statistically ignorant. We do know "how many", even if we don't know "which ones". That should suffice for public policy, as it's a genuine knowledge. Not as good as "which ones" knowledge, but better than "anything goes" (total lack of) knowledge.
Quote
https://x.com/tomaspueyo/status/1952339432524112210
Tomas Pueyo @tomaspueyo · Aug 4
It should be a crime to slow down robotaxis rollout: They cause 80% fewer accidents & injuries
Millions of lives are at stake
In clinical trials, when a treatment is obviously better, we stop the trial. Shouldn't we do the same here?
3:13 PM · Aug 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our collective indifference to statistical murder by omission is indefensible. We effectively act as if "it's ok to kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission." But this FAIL of ours is not inevitable. It's mostly laziness in our thinking, and lacking feelings for the unseen fellow humans. But we are capable of thinking better, and changing what we decide we do, even if we can't force ourselves feel compassion.
The fact that it's known with great certainty how many people (about 100), even if their exact names are impossible to know in advance, will be killed on US roads in the next 24h, should be recognised and resonate with the wider public. Ignorance is not an alibi here, because we are *not* statistically ignorant. We do know "how many", even if we don't know "which ones". That should suffice for public policy, as it's a genuine knowledge. Not as good as "which ones" knowledge, but better than "anything goes" (total lack of) knowledge.
Quote
https://x.com/tomaspueyo/status/1952339432524112210
Tomas Pueyo @tomaspueyo · Aug 4
It should be a crime to slow down robotaxis rollout: They cause 80% fewer accidents & injuries
Millions of lives are at stake
In clinical trials, when a treatment is obviously better, we stop the trial. Shouldn't we do the same here?
3:13 PM · Aug 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952713964078473422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^ this!! Can't get the levels of fascination, and time wastege. Ok, it's a bit amusing - can-they-or-can't-they- like a parlour trick is. But 99.9% of what interests me is - can they do X Y Z, make our lives easier, better, less painful, or not.
1:51 PM · Aug 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^ this!! Can't get the levels of fascination, and time wastege. Ok, it's a bit amusing - can-they-or-can't-they- like a parlour trick is. But 99.9% of what interests me is - can they do X Y Z, make our lives easier, better, less painful, or not.
1:51 PM · Aug 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952647640706957675
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and to reply to myself: yesterday I heard (at 55' here https://youtu.be/qFZ8_Ide-aA) that Daniel Dennett, the philosopher, didn't think there was much there either, even wrote a book about that. Ok - that's plenty good for me, 😆 putting this to rest
https://chatgpt.com/s/t_6891bddf0d748191b0e7a5e1895052f4
From chatgpt.com
9:27 AM · Aug 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and to reply to myself: yesterday I heard (at 55' here https://youtu.be/qFZ8_Ide-aA) that Daniel Dennett, the philosopher, didn't think there was much there either, even wrote a book about that. Ok - that's plenty good for me, 😆 putting this to rest
https://chatgpt.com/s/t_6891bddf0d748191b0e7a5e1895052f4
From chatgpt.com
9:27 AM · Aug 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952620560661250308
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not for everyone. Myself - invisible before, invisible now.
7:39 AM · Aug 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not for everyone. Myself - invisible before, invisible now.
7:39 AM · Aug 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952619689051312505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Grown ups too? - I do it. "Communicate" is long and cumbersome, many syllables. Whereas "says" is short, rolls easily. What else is there? May help that non-native English speaker maybe doesn't instinctively "wince" on committing a language mistake like native speaker would.
7:36 AM · Aug 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Grown ups too? - I do it. "Communicate" is long and cumbersome, many syllables. Whereas "says" is short, rolls easily. What else is there? May help that non-native English speaker maybe doesn't instinctively "wince" on committing a language mistake like native speaker would.
7:36 AM · Aug 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952616148182151441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too right!! It's not only the regulators, it's ordinary people: the indifference to statistical murder by omission is as stunning as it is indefensible. The "ok to kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission" stance is not inevitable. It's mostly laziness in thinking, and feeling(!!), for the unseen fellow human. That needs to change!
The fact that it's known with great certainty how many (100) people, even if their exact names are impossible to know in advance, will be killed on US roads in the next 24h, should be recognised and resonate with the wider public. Ignorance is not an alibi here, because we are *not* statistically ignorant. We do know "how many", even if we don't know "which ones". That should suffice for public policy, as it's genuine knowledge. Not as good as "which ones" knowledge, but better than "anything goes" (total lack of) knowledge.
7:22 AM · Aug 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too right!! It's not only the regulators, it's ordinary people: the indifference to statistical murder by omission is as stunning as it is indefensible. The "ok to kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission" stance is not inevitable. It's mostly laziness in thinking, and feeling(!!), for the unseen fellow human. That needs to change!
The fact that it's known with great certainty how many (100) people, even if their exact names are impossible to know in advance, will be killed on US roads in the next 24h, should be recognised and resonate with the wider public. Ignorance is not an alibi here, because we are *not* statistically ignorant. We do know "how many", even if we don't know "which ones". That should suffice for public policy, as it's genuine knowledge. Not as good as "which ones" knowledge, but better than "anything goes" (total lack of) knowledge.
7:22 AM · Aug 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952413451751399516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Thanks - but I'm the wrong person to ping. For I don't even see what the problem is?? I never understood what's so "hard", why "the hard problem". Plenty of other unknowns more puzzling. Then heard .@Plinz in a talk tell "Aristotle didn't think consciousness was a big deal"... So there's at least one puzzle less for me: "it ain't that big a deal"—confirmed. 😆
5:56 PM · Aug 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Thanks - but I'm the wrong person to ping. For I don't even see what the problem is?? I never understood what's so "hard", why "the hard problem". Plenty of other unknowns more puzzling. Then heard .@Plinz in a talk tell "Aristotle didn't think consciousness was a big deal"... So there's at least one puzzle less for me: "it ain't that big a deal"—confirmed. 😆
5:56 PM · Aug 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952397076798537981
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dearly hope the present AI-s are good enough so experiments can finally be run, and most of these silly theories can be safely shutdown. Good riddance to them. The consciousness slop has become unbearable ad-nauseam-ad-boredom on my TL. Taken the mantle of "The Kardashians of Sciences" from the "quantum-this-that aww-shucks what-mystery" brigade.
4:51 PM · Aug 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dearly hope the present AI-s are good enough so experiments can finally be run, and most of these silly theories can be safely shutdown. Good riddance to them. The consciousness slop has become unbearable ad-nauseam-ad-boredom on my TL. Taken the mantle of "The Kardashians of Sciences" from the "quantum-this-that aww-shucks what-mystery" brigade.
4:51 PM · Aug 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952307654983819449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
terrible beauty / beauty of terror - distributed cluster compute
10:56 AM · Aug 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
terrible beauty / beauty of terror - distributed cluster compute
10:56 AM · Aug 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952305105669329217
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Compared to what? Check comparable episodes. Maybe find less rare than assumed. May even be the rule that gains are coming from a small number. Just the companies making the gains are a rotating crew. The same may hold on other axes too - e.g. add/remove the 10 best/worst days.
10:46 AM · Aug 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Compared to what? Check comparable episodes. Maybe find less rare than assumed. May even be the rule that gains are coming from a small number. Just the companies making the gains are a rotating crew. The same may hold on other axes too - e.g. add/remove the 10 best/worst days.
10:46 AM · Aug 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952293092759081176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Want an X protocol that will relay the following 1 bit of information to me: did the algofeed push this reply onto your screen, or not. At the present moment I have no means of knowing which way it went - Yay or Nay.
9:58 AM · Aug 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Want an X protocol that will relay the following 1 bit of information to me: did the algofeed push this reply onto your screen, or not. At the present moment I have no means of knowing which way it went - Yay or Nay.
9:58 AM · Aug 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952157582845464847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like the classification that was clarification for me about two sides in US by @balajisin in an interview I'm listening to now. Red US = Manufacturing + Army, Blue US = Media + Money. Couple of things Re: China, free speech, bitcoin make a bit more sense now.
1:00 AM · Aug 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like the classification that was clarification for me about two sides in US by @balajisin in an interview I'm listening to now. Red US = Manufacturing + Army, Blue US = Media + Money. Couple of things Re: China, free speech, bitcoin make a bit more sense now.
1:00 AM · Aug 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952103584587292926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - started 20 months ago with Wegovy - 300 pounds for 4 weeks. Currently on Mounjaro - 145 pounds stretched to 5 weeks. Halved in price, effectivity improved by a third. Long it may continue.
9:25 PM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - started 20 months ago with Wegovy - 300 pounds for 4 weeks. Currently on Mounjaro - 145 pounds stretched to 5 weeks. Halved in price, effectivity improved by a third. Long it may continue.
9:25 PM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952101742386049136
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow, thanks - this is the dream! 👏 Not only I get to read the paper, not only are the authors online on HF, but: their model is up there, and quantised by in the incomparable mradermacher. So can DL UloRL-GGUF Q6_K and actually try it on my laptop?? rn? living the best life ngl 😁
9:18 PM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow, thanks - this is the dream! 👏 Not only I get to read the paper, not only are the authors online on HF, but: their model is up there, and quantised by in the incomparable mradermacher. So can DL UloRL-GGUF Q6_K and actually try it on my laptop?? rn? living the best life ngl 😁
9:18 PM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952098780670796120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 preach! "all watched by machines of loving grace" 😊
IMG_20241016_183252.jpg
9:06 PM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 preach! "all watched by machines of loving grace" 😊
IMG_20241016_183252.jpg
9:06 PM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952075626132713685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me, about 2/3-rds of creativity is asking a good question R. Like - I know X, but I want to know about Y. The conditional P(Y|X) does not give me much, is as flat as a pancake, as maybe P(Y) is - useless. Now a sparkly youngling, comes up with a question "what if R?" I look at P(Y|R,X), and lo and behold, as if by magic—no longer as flat as a pancake?! Well that's an opening, a possibility right there. Even if P(R|X) maybe looking unpromising, low probability - still: high P(Y|R,X) may compensate for that in the product P(Y|R,X)P(R|X). And all those P-robability distributions—they are mostly wrong in so so many places of the (x,r,y)-space anyway. For me coming up with a hopeful R is creativity. Sometimes out of nowhere, other times spin on old thing, so one thinks "why didn't I think of that??". Have not observed any strong rules as to "how". Of all things - creativity feels the most similar to magic. It's always a bit mystical, a mystery of "how?".
7:34 PM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me, about 2/3-rds of creativity is asking a good question R. Like - I know X, but I want to know about Y. The conditional P(Y|X) does not give me much, is as flat as a pancake, as maybe P(Y) is - useless. Now a sparkly youngling, comes up with a question "what if R?" I look at P(Y|R,X), and lo and behold, as if by magic—no longer as flat as a pancake?! Well that's an opening, a possibility right there. Even if P(R|X) maybe looking unpromising, low probability - still: high P(Y|R,X) may compensate for that in the product P(Y|R,X)P(R|X). And all those P-robability distributions—they are mostly wrong in so so many places of the (x,r,y)-space anyway. For me coming up with a hopeful R is creativity. Sometimes out of nowhere, other times spin on old thing, so one thinks "why didn't I think of that??". Have not observed any strong rules as to "how". Of all things - creativity feels the most similar to magic. It's always a bit mystical, a mystery of "how?".
7:34 PM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1952059284944028052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Em e 1-poeftino, em e 2-posigurno. Zakoni ima mnogu, ima i interpretacija na zakon: ne mozam da sum siguren deka ne krsam nekoj zakon. Mu doaga kako osiguruvanje - samo ova funkcionira. Jas covek-firma (vo UK), pa ima milon zakoni, ne mozam da znam deka ne krsam nekoj. Da mi dojde nekoj inspektor, sigurno ke me kazni za nesto. MK firma sto sto pati poveke aktivnost/obrt (prodavnici), muabet so rodnina - milion pati potesko. Plus i 3-konkurencija! Drugi go pravat, jas ako ne pravam, ke propadnam. (i ke odam ke rabotam kaj drug sto toa go pravi.)
6:29 PM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Em e 1-poeftino, em e 2-posigurno. Zakoni ima mnogu, ima i interpretacija na zakon: ne mozam da sum siguren deka ne krsam nekoj zakon. Mu doaga kako osiguruvanje - samo ova funkcionira. Jas covek-firma (vo UK), pa ima milon zakoni, ne mozam da znam deka ne krsam nekoj. Da mi dojde nekoj inspektor, sigurno ke me kazni za nesto. MK firma sto sto pati poveke aktivnost/obrt (prodavnici), muabet so rodnina - milion pati potesko. Plus i 3-konkurencija! Drugi go pravat, jas ako ne pravam, ke propadnam. (i ke odam ke rabotam kaj drug sto toa go pravi.)
6:29 PM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951976138944774592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For kids. Not even that hard. Got 2 as 30+ years old. Most horror stories are overstated. Many positives are rarely mentioned. Kids are lots of fun! For anyone into ML/AI—you will be agog, mouth open, dazzled and in haze, during the period when they acquire speech & language. One does R&D, and maybe discovers something truly new (aka "a miracle" = something is possible now that wasn't before) once or few times in a lifetime. Kids treated me to a miracle every week. 😀 I get it in the contemporary me-myself-and-I culture, where "I" is the centre of the universe, people are not keen on kids. But kids are tons of fun and joy! 😇 When small, as babies, they take very little space. Latter, they can entertain themselves. Esp there are siblings. Bonus: kids are excellent B/S detectors.
12:59 PM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For kids. Not even that hard. Got 2 as 30+ years old. Most horror stories are overstated. Many positives are rarely mentioned. Kids are lots of fun! For anyone into ML/AI—you will be agog, mouth open, dazzled and in haze, during the period when they acquire speech & language. One does R&D, and maybe discovers something truly new (aka "a miracle" = something is possible now that wasn't before) once or few times in a lifetime. Kids treated me to a miracle every week. 😀 I get it in the contemporary me-myself-and-I culture, where "I" is the centre of the universe, people are not keen on kids. But kids are tons of fun and joy! 😇 When small, as babies, they take very little space. Latter, they can entertain themselves. Esp there are siblings. Bonus: kids are excellent B/S detectors.
12:59 PM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951974669235441841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey–if you can endure it, maybe a weekly mega thread linking all morons in a single place? (just link with zero comment, min time waste) So one can block them? On "Gell-Mann amnesia effect" basis-don't want anything written by any of them X algofeed to ever push unto my eyeballs
12:53 PM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey–if you can endure it, maybe a weekly mega thread linking all morons in a single place? (just link with zero comment, min time waste) So one can block them? On "Gell-Mann amnesia effect" basis-don't want anything written by any of them X algofeed to ever push unto my eyeballs
12:53 PM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Not ugly iif combined with light, greenery and wood, and maintained. Most often few of the four are missing, and in the worst examples - all four. So in practice it more often fails than not. Causing a great distress to the professionals (architects, designers)
Unironically - can you please name some I can try? I'm interested in ideas at amateur levels. Haven't got any interesting ideologues that would be classed on the left. IK people say e.g. Zizek. OK, I like his movies commentary, he's a showman entertains fine, he's perceptive notices things. But- checked few books, that's unreadable to me. And his "I'm a Stalinist"-ok good for lolz ironical cosplay etc, but but - well what do you propose Mr Zizek fr, "what is to be done now". I see not much there tbh
Yes on the left. Thanks for the names. I presonally looking forward think any winning path goes through e/acc. Looking backward, for the left specifically, winning goes through repudiation of the crimes against humanity of the "real socialism" in Europe. (and elsewhere - ongoing in e.g Cuba, Venezuela) Repudiation as nothing more than "we're sorry, we were wrong, we won't do the same errors again." The original communists of my youth (not the current cross dressing whiny decels) were quite e/acc. They failed to achieve - but didn't lack ambition and aspiration. (they had way too much of that, if anything!) I personally don't see any signs of thinking on the left, latest case in point - AI. (previous - genetics, GMO, nuclear.)
LJ @ London e/acc
Not ugly iif combined with light, greenery and wood, and maintained. Most often few of the four are missing, and in the worst examples - all four. So in practice it more often fails than not. Causing a great distress to the professionals (architects, designers)
Unironically - can you please name some I can try? I'm interested in ideas at amateur levels. Haven't got any interesting ideologues that would be classed on the left. IK people say e.g. Zizek. OK, I like his movies commentary, he's a showman entertains fine, he's perceptive notices things. But- checked few books, that's unreadable to me. And his "I'm a Stalinist"-ok good for lolz ironical cosplay etc, but but - well what do you propose Mr Zizek fr, "what is to be done now". I see not much there tbh
Yes on the left. Thanks for the names. I presonally looking forward think any winning path goes through e/acc. Looking backward, for the left specifically, winning goes through repudiation of the crimes against humanity of the "real socialism" in Europe. (and elsewhere - ongoing in e.g Cuba, Venezuela) Repudiation as nothing more than "we're sorry, we were wrong, we won't do the same errors again." The original communists of my youth (not the current cross dressing whiny decels) were quite e/acc. They failed to achieve - but didn't lack ambition and aspiration. (they had way too much of that, if anything!) I personally don't see any signs of thinking on the left, latest case in point - AI. (previous - genetics, GMO, nuclear.)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951944670696620048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zboram za luge sto se vratija vo MK. Ziveat i rabotat vo MK. Otkako zavrsija studii vo UK. Isto prasanje e - kakva korist ima makedonija od tebe, kakva korist ima od bilo koj sto zivee vo MK? Valjda ima nekoja korist? Toa "Makedonija" e abstrakten poim. Podobro e - kakva korist imaat Makedoncite, koi sto ja finansiraa celata operacija. Napisav pogore sto mislam - dali ima korist, kakva korist moze da ima, dali da se finansira, ili da se ukine.
10:54 AM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zboram za luge sto se vratija vo MK. Ziveat i rabotat vo MK. Otkako zavrsija studii vo UK. Isto prasanje e - kakva korist ima makedonija od tebe, kakva korist ima od bilo koj sto zivee vo MK? Valjda ima nekoja korist? Toa "Makedonija" e abstrakten poim. Podobro e - kakva korist imaat Makedoncite, koi sto ja finansiraa celata operacija. Napisav pogore sto mislam - dali ima korist, kakva korist moze da ima, dali da se finansira, ili da se ukine.
10:54 AM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951940776423784513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас знам два студенти што се вратија во МК после студии. Не ни пробаа нешто многу да останат во странство. (UK) Имаат работа во ИТ, дури и повеќе отколку што физички може да постигнат. Имаа фамилии, друштва, девојки-дечковци и сл. Мислам ок си живеат, добри се.
Дали Македонија доби назад нешто од тоа што плати екстра? Пошто можеше да студираат и на ФИНКИ. Исто ќе завршеа, исто ќе се вработеа веројатно. Дали нешто научија во UK, што немаше да научат во MK? Веројатно да.
Мое искуство беше дека постдипломски студии во UK беа многу подобри од MK. Овде - 4 професори предаваа 1 предмет. Во МК - 1 професор предаваше 4 предмети. Никој не може да научи друг, нешто што самиот не го знае. Ако имаме знаење широко, тогаш не е длабоко. Некако кај нас луѓето е производот Ширина х Длабина = Константа.
Дали може МК да го добие знаењето на друг начин? Може. Ама требаат стотици години и илјадници луѓе, да го откријат усвојат знаењето, што го имаат луѓево во UK. Вака е побрзо. Знаењето постои само во главите на луѓето. Книги, видеа, онлајн курсеви - се тоа служи да креира знаење во нечија глава. Потребно е, ама не доволно само тоа.
Дали Македонија сума сумарум ќе има повеќе корист, во пари, следните 30 год, како проход или ГДП, отколку тоа што е трошокот школарина и стипендија за живот? Тоа не знам дека некој може со сигурност да тврди Да или Не. И плус стално е прашање на приоритети: дали може на нешто друго да се заштеди попрво, или студирањето е низок приоритет па е при врв на листа за кратење. Кога бев во МК на крајот на Мај, некој спомна дека немало којзнае колку многу апликанти.
10:38 AM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас знам два студенти што се вратија во МК после студии. Не ни пробаа нешто многу да останат во странство. (UK) Имаат работа во ИТ, дури и повеќе отколку што физички може да постигнат. Имаа фамилии, друштва, девојки-дечковци и сл. Мислам ок си живеат, добри се.
Дали Македонија доби назад нешто од тоа што плати екстра? Пошто можеше да студираат и на ФИНКИ. Исто ќе завршеа, исто ќе се вработеа веројатно. Дали нешто научија во UK, што немаше да научат во MK? Веројатно да.
Мое искуство беше дека постдипломски студии во UK беа многу подобри од MK. Овде - 4 професори предаваа 1 предмет. Во МК - 1 професор предаваше 4 предмети. Никој не може да научи друг, нешто што самиот не го знае. Ако имаме знаење широко, тогаш не е длабоко. Некако кај нас луѓето е производот Ширина х Длабина = Константа.
Дали може МК да го добие знаењето на друг начин? Може. Ама требаат стотици години и илјадници луѓе, да го откријат усвојат знаењето, што го имаат луѓево во UK. Вака е побрзо. Знаењето постои само во главите на луѓето. Книги, видеа, онлајн курсеви - се тоа служи да креира знаење во нечија глава. Потребно е, ама не доволно само тоа.
Дали Македонија сума сумарум ќе има повеќе корист, во пари, следните 30 год, како проход или ГДП, отколку тоа што е трошокот школарина и стипендија за живот? Тоа не знам дека некој може со сигурност да тврди Да или Не. И плус стално е прашање на приоритети: дали може на нешто друго да се заштеди попрво, или студирањето е низок приоритет па е при врв на листа за кратење. Кога бев во МК на крајот на Мај, некој спомна дека немало којзнае колку многу апликанти.
10:38 AM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951927437173870694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes because 1-There are feedback loops from ideology towards technology, becomes less clear cut as time passes. 2-People naturally ask themselves - well why did technology make progress at a particular-(place,time), and didn't make progress in bazillion other (place,time)-s? Fwiw 3-My personal prejudice is this
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
9:45 AM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes because 1-There are feedback loops from ideology towards technology, becomes less clear cut as time passes. 2-People naturally ask themselves - well why did technology make progress at a particular-(place,time), and didn't make progress in bazillion other (place,time)-s? Fwiw 3-My personal prejudice is this
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
9:45 AM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951908173872234639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
042. Agreed generating "tries" (hypothesis) and searching through them, is our best idea of how reasoning works. But you already hint while necessary, that's not sufficient in practice. Exhaustive searching blindly all tries in the above is possible, but too slow. Much better the tries generator takes constraints into account early, and not even generates tries that fail the constraints. Extending to the soft variant of the same: generate tries with higher probability of being true (the solution) earlier. The higher the probability, the earlier and the more of them, the better. The search space explodes quickly. So if one can discover independencies, and manage to merge the tries that are the leaves of trees somehow, so the tree is not only pruned, as it always is, but also maybe tied back into a lattice - that's all very beneficial.
8:29 AM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
042. Agreed generating "tries" (hypothesis) and searching through them, is our best idea of how reasoning works. But you already hint while necessary, that's not sufficient in practice. Exhaustive searching blindly all tries in the above is possible, but too slow. Much better the tries generator takes constraints into account early, and not even generates tries that fail the constraints. Extending to the soft variant of the same: generate tries with higher probability of being true (the solution) earlier. The higher the probability, the earlier and the more of them, the better. The search space explodes quickly. So if one can discover independencies, and manage to merge the tries that are the leaves of trees somehow, so the tree is not only pruned, as it always is, but also maybe tied back into a lattice - that's all very beneficial.
8:29 AM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951897016474218889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. In a recent interview, he said not only were "people thinking Dario is a Doomer wrong", but these were also "bad, bad people". That seems unnecessary. All possible combinations of "idea { right, wrong } x { good, bad } person" are possible. Saying "people that think I'm a doomer are bad people" is not a good argument. I think he's a doomer, and I think I'm not a bad person. I admit very few of us, almost no-one, thinks they are a bad person.
I disagree that AI is that big a threat to humanity as doomers are making it. We have existential threats atm 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing. AI should help us decrease 1-4 risks. Even while slightly increasing 5-civilisational collapse, due to the speed of change. As long as society is mostly free, culture change should keep up with the speed of technology change. So I think AI is net positive in reducing overall risk to human extinction.
I see danger in doomer scare mongering reducing societal hard won freedoms. Less free society adapts to technology change less well, slower, at higher cost. Then risk#5 becomes more likely. But I see it as self-inflicted - by dooming being successful. Dooming is stronger by default. It aligns with the latent human fear of anything new. Boosting is starting from a position of weakness, with a hill to climb.
7:44 AM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. In a recent interview, he said not only were "people thinking Dario is a Doomer wrong", but these were also "bad, bad people". That seems unnecessary. All possible combinations of "idea { right, wrong } x { good, bad } person" are possible. Saying "people that think I'm a doomer are bad people" is not a good argument. I think he's a doomer, and I think I'm not a bad person. I admit very few of us, almost no-one, thinks they are a bad person.
I disagree that AI is that big a threat to humanity as doomers are making it. We have existential threats atm 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing. AI should help us decrease 1-4 risks. Even while slightly increasing 5-civilisational collapse, due to the speed of change. As long as society is mostly free, culture change should keep up with the speed of technology change. So I think AI is net positive in reducing overall risk to human extinction.
I see danger in doomer scare mongering reducing societal hard won freedoms. Less free society adapts to technology change less well, slower, at higher cost. Then risk#5 becomes more likely. But I see it as self-inflicted - by dooming being successful. Dooming is stronger by default. It aligns with the latent human fear of anything new. Boosting is starting from a position of weakness, with a hill to climb.
7:44 AM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951879847875153922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That seems to tally with a popularised definition of a "stupid person", from a pamphlet/booklet (Cippola's "The Basic Laws Of Human Stupidity"): stupid is one causing harm to others, while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss. (pic below)
Fwiw I'm inclined to disagree with the OP if by "evil" he means "morally wrong". I tend to agree with Bonhoeffer's view that's it's bad morals, lacking in mortality, and not low IQ, that is most often is the cause of stupidity.
6:36 AM · Aug 3, 2025
human-stupidity-laws.png
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That seems to tally with a popularised definition of a "stupid person", from a pamphlet/booklet (Cippola's "The Basic Laws Of Human Stupidity"): stupid is one causing harm to others, while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss. (pic below)
Fwiw I'm inclined to disagree with the OP if by "evil" he means "morally wrong". I tend to agree with Bonhoeffer's view that's it's bad morals, lacking in mortality, and not low IQ, that is most often is the cause of stupidity.
6:36 AM · Aug 3, 2025
human-stupidity-laws.png
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951873595409392015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Looking like legal, but socially ostracised, looked down on, low status, is the Goldilocks state. Criminalisation is worse, brings so much extra grief, dollops of its own bads. But low friction, totally free and available, is arguably also worse than the "golden middle".
6:11 AM · Aug 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Looking like legal, but socially ostracised, looked down on, low status, is the Goldilocks state. Criminalisation is worse, brings so much extra grief, dollops of its own bads. But low friction, totally free and available, is arguably also worse than the "golden middle".
6:11 AM · Aug 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951754390001340534
ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh I fancy "Chain of Reasoning" better as a term, and "CoR" as acronym.
10:18 PM · Aug 2, 2025
ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh I fancy "Chain of Reasoning" better as a term, and "CoR" as acronym.
10:18 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951751856775999971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? To me looks it's exactly the opposite. The clean version of myself you describe-it's entirely predictable. It can be forecast 100% correct. And that what can be forecast entirely-well there is no point to observing that. Only that what has unpredictability in it, and can't be forecast entirely, is worth observing. (observation will bring in non-zero information.) A stone is dead because it's 100% predictable. I'm alive atm because I am less than 100% predictable. People dead are like the stone - 100% predictable. In fact while I live I have future, and the pdfs of the future can be anything except a Dirac impulse. While all the pdfs of the past are only ever Dirac-s, there is zero unpredictability about them. (and the past.) Can say Now is a moving barrier, separating those always Dirac-s (past), and never Dirac-s (future). Once the former catches up in the race with the latter, the latter collapses into a Dirac pdf, never to regain even a smidgen of randomness. Once we are dead there is only certainty-so no uncertainty can return. While in the opposite direction uncertainty->certainty, the state can change: given there's uncertainty, certainty as the next state is one of the options. But the other way around-not possible. Once we governed by a Dirac pdf-that's it. We stay like that forever.
10:07 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? To me looks it's exactly the opposite. The clean version of myself you describe-it's entirely predictable. It can be forecast 100% correct. And that what can be forecast entirely-well there is no point to observing that. Only that what has unpredictability in it, and can't be forecast entirely, is worth observing. (observation will bring in non-zero information.) A stone is dead because it's 100% predictable. I'm alive atm because I am less than 100% predictable. People dead are like the stone - 100% predictable. In fact while I live I have future, and the pdfs of the future can be anything except a Dirac impulse. While all the pdfs of the past are only ever Dirac-s, there is zero unpredictability about them. (and the past.) Can say Now is a moving barrier, separating those always Dirac-s (past), and never Dirac-s (future). Once the former catches up in the race with the latter, the latter collapses into a Dirac pdf, never to regain even a smidgen of randomness. Once we are dead there is only certainty-so no uncertainty can return. While in the opposite direction uncertainty->certainty, the state can change: given there's uncertainty, certainty as the next state is one of the options. But the other way around-not possible. Once we governed by a Dirac pdf-that's it. We stay like that forever.
10:07 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951722923682672830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
deceleration is retardation
8:13 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
deceleration is retardation
8:13 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951720011887988875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With the 32K context? About the same, I see 5.5 tps atm. Not much difference, but didn't expect any. Dense model strains the mac. Presume nvidia gpu wd be much faster with a dense model? Power used is 30w avg (peak 65w) only. One doesn't get low numbers like that on nvidia. 😁
8:01 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With the 32K context? About the same, I see 5.5 tps atm. Not much difference, but didn't expect any. Dense model strains the mac. Presume nvidia gpu wd be much faster with a dense model? Power used is 30w avg (peak 65w) only. One doesn't get low numbers like that on nvidia. 😁
8:01 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951673247491133939
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
M2 - not Ultra, just a laptop M2 MBP few years old.
Quants - not fp16, the quants are XBai-o4.Q6_K.gguf from https://huggingface.co/mradermacher/XBai-o4-GGUF, and
Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-IQ4_NL.gguf from https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-GGUF.
From huggingface.co
4:55 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
M2 - not Ultra, just a laptop M2 MBP few years old.
Quants - not fp16, the quants are XBai-o4.Q6_K.gguf from https://huggingface.co/mradermacher/XBai-o4-GGUF, and
Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-IQ4_NL.gguf from https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-GGUF.
From huggingface.co
4:55 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951670847581688107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thank you! Changed now. And many thanks for the model you gifted to the world! (and ourselves) ☺️ Much appreciated! 👍 You have much to be proud of. 👏
4:46 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thank you! Changed now. And many thanks for the model you gifted to the world! (and ourselves) ☺️ Much appreciated! 👍 You have much to be proud of. 👏
4:46 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951639180280303821
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - thanks but hardly worth the praise. Just trying to use what these most excellent guys built and gifted it to us all! 😇 (on a lazy Sat morning) All kudos to the @theMetaStoneAI team! I'm sure they would like nothing more than the entire world to use their model!
2:40 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - thanks but hardly worth the praise. Just trying to use what these most excellent guys built and gifted it to us all! 😇 (on a lazy Sat morning) All kudos to the @theMetaStoneAI team! I'm sure they would like nothing more than the entire world to use their model!
2:40 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951627842917199995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK for sure - atm I'm just giving it "please comment and explain this code" and "document this and that". XBai-o4 in the reasoning pane certainly talks sense, it got it what the code it was looking at was about. Even more than I expected tbh! E.g. in Plan mode, from the name of one file "itTabm.m", and knowing just the list of files (passed by cline), and seeing names "train_tabm.py" and "predict_tabm.py" in the list, Xbai-o4 deduced correctly that most likely 1) the .m is a wrapper calling the .py-s 2) it's got to do something with tabular data 3) it's about fitting models and predicting. I did not expect it to be that clever tbh?? Then it decided it needs to read the contents of the "itTabm.m" file. Deduced it needs to ask the Act-ing model to do 'read_file' action. Then it did that. The 2nd model, the Act-ing model (qwen3 coder 30b a3b) obliged and read the file. And so on. It's running all right. The mac $ asitop shows max vram use of 78gb atm. Speed on the m2 - XBai-o4 I get ~5tps, while the qwe3 moe a3b is ~45tps. Much faster as one'd expect. WIP will try to use it for something more real latter.
1:55 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK for sure - atm I'm just giving it "please comment and explain this code" and "document this and that". XBai-o4 in the reasoning pane certainly talks sense, it got it what the code it was looking at was about. Even more than I expected tbh! E.g. in Plan mode, from the name of one file "itTabm.m", and knowing just the list of files (passed by cline), and seeing names "train_tabm.py" and "predict_tabm.py" in the list, Xbai-o4 deduced correctly that most likely 1) the .m is a wrapper calling the .py-s 2) it's got to do something with tabular data 3) it's about fitting models and predicting. I did not expect it to be that clever tbh?? Then it decided it needs to read the contents of the "itTabm.m" file. Deduced it needs to ask the Act-ing model to do 'read_file' action. Then it did that. The 2nd model, the Act-ing model (qwen3 coder 30b a3b) obliged and read the file. And so on. It's running all right. The mac $ asitop shows max vram use of 78gb atm. Speed on the m2 - XBai-o4 I get ~5tps, while the qwe3 moe a3b is ~45tps. Much faster as one'd expect. WIP will try to use it for something more real latter.
1:55 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951620149896728809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😆 - this is better, not even an ape pic! just see through 😂
1:24 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😆 - this is better, not even an ape pic! just see through 😂
1:24 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951604282987307306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey guys, thanks for that - amazing! 😍 Is this like qwq-32b of old, but next gen?
I'm using it in @cline now. Plan mode points to XBai-o4. Act mode points to Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M. Both served by llama.cpp. What params am I to put for your model? I just picked at random 64K context. I saw in your test/task.py git temp=0.7. Atm I'm running (m2 mbp 96gb):
# access on http://127.0.0.1:8081
build/bin/llama-server --port 8081 --model models/XBai-o4.Q6_K.gguf --temp 0.7 --ctx-size 65536 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
# access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-IQ4_NL.gguf --temp 0.7 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.8 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 525288 --rope-scaling yarn --rope-scale 4 --yarn-orig-ctx 262144 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
Thanks for your help!
12:21 PM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey guys, thanks for that - amazing! 😍 Is this like qwq-32b of old, but next gen?
I'm using it in @cline now. Plan mode points to XBai-o4. Act mode points to Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M. Both served by llama.cpp. What params am I to put for your model? I just picked at random 64K context. I saw in your test/task.py git temp=0.7. Atm I'm running (m2 mbp 96gb):
# access on http://127.0.0.1:8081
build/bin/llama-server --port 8081 --model models/XBai-o4.Q6_K.gguf --temp 0.7 --ctx-size 65536 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
# access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-IQ4_NL.gguf --temp 0.7 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.8 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 525288 --rope-scaling yarn --rope-scale 4 --yarn-orig-ctx 262144 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
Thanks for your help!
12:21 PM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951586474509365644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 Fair dues to Salvatore. While there's sheep, there will be wool. For anything, there is (a) the idea of "it", the perfect platonic form in our heads; and (b) the real practical realisation of "it", imperfect in some concrete substrate. The "invisible sculpture" is 100% of (a), and 0% of (b). Yeah on the extreme ends of both - but so what. 😇 I guess that's the aim of "thinking about" achieved right there. And that's one function of arts.
Quote
Science girl @gunsnrosesgirl3 · 23h
Italian conceptual artist Salvatore Garau, sold an "invisible sculpture" titled "lo Sono" for $18,000 in 2021,
a piece defined only by a certificate of authenticity and a designated empty space
What are your thoughts
11:10 AM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 Fair dues to Salvatore. While there's sheep, there will be wool. For anything, there is (a) the idea of "it", the perfect platonic form in our heads; and (b) the real practical realisation of "it", imperfect in some concrete substrate. The "invisible sculpture" is 100% of (a), and 0% of (b). Yeah on the extreme ends of both - but so what. 😇 I guess that's the aim of "thinking about" achieved right there. And that's one function of arts.
Quote
Science girl @gunsnrosesgirl3 · 23h
Italian conceptual artist Salvatore Garau, sold an "invisible sculpture" titled "lo Sono" for $18,000 in 2021,
a piece defined only by a certificate of authenticity and a designated empty space
What are your thoughts
11:10 AM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951575364578234470
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that. Have not used cline a while, didn't know it had separate Plan/Act mode?? I see them now. How did you get LMStudio to serve? (for the MLX) I used llama.cpp with GGUF for the 1M context. (got 96gb)
sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000
# extend context (262144) 256K->1M (1048576), flash attention cached; access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-IQ4_NL.gguf --temp 0.7 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.8 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 1048576 --rope-scaling yarn --rope-scale 4 --yarn-orig-ctx 262144 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
And thanks for the blog, loved reading through. I personally think the 5-th "we are special" humanity's knockdown may come with "not single 1 universe" (ours!), but multiple universes fr Everettian QM.
10:26 AM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that. Have not used cline a while, didn't know it had separate Plan/Act mode?? I see them now. How did you get LMStudio to serve? (for the MLX) I used llama.cpp with GGUF for the 1M context. (got 96gb)
sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000
# extend context (262144) 256K->1M (1048576), flash attention cached; access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-1M-IQ4_NL.gguf --temp 0.7 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.8 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 1048576 --rope-scaling yarn --rope-scale 4 --yarn-orig-ctx 262144 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
And thanks for the blog, loved reading through. I personally think the 5-th "we are special" humanity's knockdown may come with "not single 1 universe" (ours!), but multiple universes fr Everettian QM.
10:26 AM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951548761664004525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah DD looked somewhat rattled in the interview. Went the extra step - not only were "people thinking DD wrong", but also "these are bad, bad people". That seems unnecessary. In the convo, family bereavement was put up. Oh-key, I thought - ofc that's an argument. But shouldn't be the only argument. Shouldn't be dooming, even in absence of the unfortunate and sad circumstance. One should be able to feel for others - even what one doesn't suffer personally.
8:40 AM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah DD looked somewhat rattled in the interview. Went the extra step - not only were "people thinking DD wrong", but also "these are bad, bad people". That seems unnecessary. In the convo, family bereavement was put up. Oh-key, I thought - ofc that's an argument. But shouldn't be the only argument. Shouldn't be dooming, even in absence of the unfortunate and sad circumstance. One should be able to feel for others - even what one doesn't suffer personally.
8:40 AM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951545540488888563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought the less of Doomer Dario after a recent interview, and now I think even less of Dirty Dario.
8:28 AM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought the less of Doomer Dario after a recent interview, and now I think even less of Dirty Dario.
8:28 AM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951545034609660213
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For everything ("it") there is:
1) The idea of it, in our heads, the platonic form, perfect.
2) The realisation of it, in some substrate, concrete practical, imperfect.
The "invisible sculpture" is 100% of #1, and 0% of #2.
Parting thoughts:
3) Fair dues to Salvatore, all's good.
4) While there's sheep, there will be wool.
8:26 AM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For everything ("it") there is:
1) The idea of it, in our heads, the platonic form, perfect.
2) The realisation of it, in some substrate, concrete practical, imperfect.
The "invisible sculpture" is 100% of #1, and 0% of #2.
Parting thoughts:
3) Fair dues to Salvatore, all's good.
4) While there's sheep, there will be wool.
8:26 AM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951533035796525390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to mention that Europe has only to stop doing - not even doing something extra, but simply not doing stuff they're doing now (incl UK) - insane policies that push up energy prices for everyone (business, households), and will be able to recover 2/3-rds of those 15%.
7:38 AM · Aug 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to mention that Europe has only to stop doing - not even doing something extra, but simply not doing stuff they're doing now (incl UK) - insane policies that push up energy prices for everyone (business, households), and will be able to recover 2/3-rds of those 15%.
7:38 AM · Aug 2, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Not a libertarian myself - but think freedom is important. Even if limited by what doesn't destroy some kind of group we humans live in and need to survive. For 99.9% of us are incapable of living alone, or even surviving. But kids harmed due to freedoms is one of the most enduring pro-restricting various freedoms argument. Like some modern equivalent of "the King is God's representative on Earth." So to push back: maybe will remove kids a bit from the harmful influences of their parents. ;-)
Every parent in the 80s to their kids (us): "Don't sit on that computer playing games. Takes a book and study." Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting at *that* computer, and playing *those* games, was the most impactful thing the whole generation did. I got a vocation, a profession and livelihood out of "messing with that computer." Games playing financed what became the GPU industry - the Nvidia-s and the AMD-s. Then those GPU-s brought us AI one can talk converse with like a human, more knowledgeable than any one human probably, near-Babelfish translation, AlphaFold solving an impossible problem, etc. May yet help us cure cancers, make progress on "cure all diseases, ever" bona-fide miracles.
Later with the Internet it was the same story. Fast-froward 35 years, and turns out putting everything humanity ever created online, enabled the Bitter Lesson to be realised.
So while I'm far from "just let the kids what they want" parent, far from it, kids do plenty of stupid things all the time. But so do their parents. My parents had many blind spots about the world. I'm sure I have too. Not all parental decision are "the best possible", or even good, with the benefit of hindsight - even if every parent wishes they were, and tries their best ofc.
Yes. For example - just banning smartphone in school is a 1) no brainer 2) trivially easily done 3) the upside is massive, the downside non-existent
Pupils just lock their device in a mini-locker on school entry, and retrieve it when they are about to leave. Easy. Some teachers do it for their individual classes if they have block 2-hours (with a break between). Students phones go in pouches with numbers put in wooden box next to the door, they get them back from the teacher when they are leaving the class. Easy
Instead of few for every teacher doing it one-by-one - just have a policy - smartphones in small personal boxes at the school gate, on the way in/out
That assumes that sex and procreation will still go together. i can imagine they maybe separated completely. Atm we are only less than 3% (IVF) of the road there. I imagine that may go up a lot, once gestation is in some artificial womb, SciFi dystopia style. From observation - carrying 10-15kg in the belly for half a year may not be an experience that many are looking forward to. More like - means to an end, something womenfolk endure (discomfort, pain) b/c we want to have children. And that's the only option. But once gestationary sacks or wombs or some such tech is developed - maybe to help raise the failing numbers of people? - looks to me that may separate sex from procreation completely.
Often people make virtue of necessity. A moral code will arise around something that is necessary for survival if the alternative is death. In the style of "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant". Will dress necessity as duty, even virtue. Given it can not be mistaken for choice.
Well I don't blame her. Trying to imagine comparative experience (to giving birth) that may give us man some idea. Something to compare with in "it's like this to some extent". I read someplace - excuse the expression - "pushing a football through the anus". Maybe people that pass kidney stones? IDK. There is a reason the body is flushed with all sorts of extra molecules, extra chemistry, before and after. Almost bestowing the human body with super powers. (if temporarily)
Oh yes very much so. The "yuck factor" is super strong. Anything unfamiliar is "yuck! no no no!!" I remember the headlines when 1st IVF baby was born. (in the UK?) In my childhood I didn't think much of it then. Now rememwide spread revulsion and scary newspapers and TV headlines, when the first IVF child was born. They were labelled "kids from/of/by eprouvette" by the press - as if grown in glass jars?? (and not merely allowing two cells to join outside of human body; an unremarkable event) The term itself as carried in big letters in the news papers is to scare the normies.
Exactly! Kurzweil mentioned it in a recent interview. When we ask people in abstract "would you like live forever" they say "No". But then when asked "Would you like to die today", most of the time people say "No". It's only when people are very very infirm, and or in pain, and or depressed, that they really want to die. At all other times, it's a -"no, don't want to die today". Almost all want to live another day.
I have not looked at the numbers tbh. Also there maybe how many indicate "would like to", versus how many actually finish birth without any relief. I'm sceptical b/c I don't like the fetishisation of "natural" anything. Yeah gfi if you really want to. Some people climb Mt Everest and achieve other remarkable things. Most of us are rather less keen
I once heard a doctor quip, about some procedure that necessitated removal of woman reproductive organs (forgot what the illness was, but - serious one, life threatening) as treatment: "if this illness was in man, and the treatment necessitated cutting off the penis, a better treatment would have been found by now."
I think you are right there, but both are I think in the past? To me the future looks bending towards solar punk, tech+nature in harmony, (at least in aspiration,) "all watched by machines of loving grace"? So will have similarities with, but also differences from, what was before.
LJ @ London e/acc
Not a libertarian myself - but think freedom is important. Even if limited by what doesn't destroy some kind of group we humans live in and need to survive. For 99.9% of us are incapable of living alone, or even surviving. But kids harmed due to freedoms is one of the most enduring pro-restricting various freedoms argument. Like some modern equivalent of "the King is God's representative on Earth." So to push back: maybe will remove kids a bit from the harmful influences of their parents. ;-)
Every parent in the 80s to their kids (us): "Don't sit on that computer playing games. Takes a book and study." Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting at *that* computer, and playing *those* games, was the most impactful thing the whole generation did. I got a vocation, a profession and livelihood out of "messing with that computer." Games playing financed what became the GPU industry - the Nvidia-s and the AMD-s. Then those GPU-s brought us AI one can talk converse with like a human, more knowledgeable than any one human probably, near-Babelfish translation, AlphaFold solving an impossible problem, etc. May yet help us cure cancers, make progress on "cure all diseases, ever" bona-fide miracles.
Later with the Internet it was the same story. Fast-froward 35 years, and turns out putting everything humanity ever created online, enabled the Bitter Lesson to be realised.
So while I'm far from "just let the kids what they want" parent, far from it, kids do plenty of stupid things all the time. But so do their parents. My parents had many blind spots about the world. I'm sure I have too. Not all parental decision are "the best possible", or even good, with the benefit of hindsight - even if every parent wishes they were, and tries their best ofc.
Yes. For example - just banning smartphone in school is a 1) no brainer 2) trivially easily done 3) the upside is massive, the downside non-existent
Pupils just lock their device in a mini-locker on school entry, and retrieve it when they are about to leave. Easy. Some teachers do it for their individual classes if they have block 2-hours (with a break between). Students phones go in pouches with numbers put in wooden box next to the door, they get them back from the teacher when they are leaving the class. Easy
Instead of few for every teacher doing it one-by-one - just have a policy - smartphones in small personal boxes at the school gate, on the way in/out
That assumes that sex and procreation will still go together. i can imagine they maybe separated completely. Atm we are only less than 3% (IVF) of the road there. I imagine that may go up a lot, once gestation is in some artificial womb, SciFi dystopia style. From observation - carrying 10-15kg in the belly for half a year may not be an experience that many are looking forward to. More like - means to an end, something womenfolk endure (discomfort, pain) b/c we want to have children. And that's the only option. But once gestationary sacks or wombs or some such tech is developed - maybe to help raise the failing numbers of people? - looks to me that may separate sex from procreation completely.
Often people make virtue of necessity. A moral code will arise around something that is necessary for survival if the alternative is death. In the style of "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant". Will dress necessity as duty, even virtue. Given it can not be mistaken for choice.
Well I don't blame her. Trying to imagine comparative experience (to giving birth) that may give us man some idea. Something to compare with in "it's like this to some extent". I read someplace - excuse the expression - "pushing a football through the anus". Maybe people that pass kidney stones? IDK. There is a reason the body is flushed with all sorts of extra molecules, extra chemistry, before and after. Almost bestowing the human body with super powers. (if temporarily)
Oh yes very much so. The "yuck factor" is super strong. Anything unfamiliar is "yuck! no no no!!" I remember the headlines when 1st IVF baby was born. (in the UK?) In my childhood I didn't think much of it then. Now rememwide spread revulsion and scary newspapers and TV headlines, when the first IVF child was born. They were labelled "kids from/of/by eprouvette" by the press - as if grown in glass jars?? (and not merely allowing two cells to join outside of human body; an unremarkable event) The term itself as carried in big letters in the news papers is to scare the normies.
Exactly! Kurzweil mentioned it in a recent interview. When we ask people in abstract "would you like live forever" they say "No". But then when asked "Would you like to die today", most of the time people say "No". It's only when people are very very infirm, and or in pain, and or depressed, that they really want to die. At all other times, it's a -"no, don't want to die today". Almost all want to live another day.
I have not looked at the numbers tbh. Also there maybe how many indicate "would like to", versus how many actually finish birth without any relief. I'm sceptical b/c I don't like the fetishisation of "natural" anything. Yeah gfi if you really want to. Some people climb Mt Everest and achieve other remarkable things. Most of us are rather less keen
I once heard a doctor quip, about some procedure that necessitated removal of woman reproductive organs (forgot what the illness was, but - serious one, life threatening) as treatment: "if this illness was in man, and the treatment necessitated cutting off the penis, a better treatment would have been found by now."
I think you are right there, but both are I think in the past? To me the future looks bending towards solar punk, tech+nature in harmony, (at least in aspiration,) "all watched by machines of loving grace"? So will have similarities with, but also differences from, what was before.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951309736445358402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Twitter celebs never interacting with the plebs, so one can't but wonder "why I'm replying to this account, creating content to someone else's timeline" are the super models of the social media age. The super models in the 2000-s were all dead serious, determined to never smile to no cameras. 😂 As if on their way to curing cancer. Didn't have time for niceties, in rush to save the uncouth humanity. Glad to see the form come back in the social media. 😉
4:51 PM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Twitter celebs never interacting with the plebs, so one can't but wonder "why I'm replying to this account, creating content to someone else's timeline" are the super models of the social media age. The super models in the 2000-s were all dead serious, determined to never smile to no cameras. 😂 As if on their way to curing cancer. Didn't have time for niceties, in rush to save the uncouth humanity. Glad to see the form come back in the social media. 😉
4:51 PM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951290833526763806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw think @MrBeast in the intro to (leaked?) "Beast Productions Manual" pdf, where he's "YouTube will be bigger than all Hollywood & film industry combined" - I think he's got a point, maybe right there? After watching YT, ordinary TV & movies feel boring like in slow motion.
3:36 PM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw think @MrBeast in the intro to (leaked?) "Beast Productions Manual" pdf, where he's "YouTube will be bigger than all Hollywood & film industry combined" - I think he's got a point, maybe right there? After watching YT, ordinary TV & movies feel boring like in slow motion.
3:36 PM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951289677903786237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏 Long you may continue. If you were wrong, 1 would have sufficed. You are right. Loved your book. Thanks for writing it. You articulated what I wanted to tell my kids, better than I ever could articulate myself.
3:31 PM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏 Long you may continue. If you were wrong, 1 would have sufficed. You are right. Loved your book. Thanks for writing it. You articulated what I wanted to tell my kids, better than I ever could articulate myself.
3:31 PM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951286396422877558
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oww 🥰 - thanks prof, a pleasure and a privilege. We are spoilt with all the stuff available to us online. 😁
3:18 PM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oww 🥰 - thanks prof, a pleasure and a privilege. We are spoilt with all the stuff available to us online. 😁
3:18 PM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951285348530581589
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On my mac (m2 mbp) I've found I have to leave 8gb for the OS etc, otherwise I start getting other programs (e.g. chrome youtube) errors. Try it, see what works for you. Even 4bit quants IQ4 e.g. NL, XS here-
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-GGUF/tree/main
...that are not "the absolute minimum", but "mostly ok", seem to be in the 16gb-17gb range? I'd expect them to work with 24gb ram. LMStudio has a slider of how much RAM can be VRAM too. On the command line for llama.cpp I use
$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000
to allow for 88gb VRAM for me. (got 96gb total) That works for me. For a mac using the equivalent mac specific MLX rather than universal GGUF may run even faster? Have not measured and compared.
From huggingface.co
3:14 PM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On my mac (m2 mbp) I've found I have to leave 8gb for the OS etc, otherwise I start getting other programs (e.g. chrome youtube) errors. Try it, see what works for you. Even 4bit quants IQ4 e.g. NL, XS here-
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct-GGUF/tree/main
...that are not "the absolute minimum", but "mostly ok", seem to be in the 16gb-17gb range? I'd expect them to work with 24gb ram. LMStudio has a slider of how much RAM can be VRAM too. On the command line for llama.cpp I use
$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000
to allow for 88gb VRAM for me. (got 96gb total) That works for me. For a mac using the equivalent mac specific MLX rather than universal GGUF may run even faster? Have not measured and compared.
From huggingface.co
3:14 PM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
1. Not new, twas always thus. Monkebrain is a paranoid maniac, for only the paranoid survived. Quick to draw grind to dust first thing perceived objectionable.
2. Polls are malleable, and esp ones in support of gov
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahgjEjJkZks
3. Even if 1&2 fail, can always choose personal code "don't care about democracy, even if 100 against 1 me, you 100 have no dominion over me" anarchist haha
No silver bullet. With LKY also bothered me he stayed for life. Then learned some of his children had high gov positions. Impossible to tell how much nepo-vs-merit. Not a big deal on their own - few individuals is neither here nor there. Plus I'm sure these are capable individuals, denying them would be anti-merit unjust. It's the suspicion and/of destruction of the principle that does the damage. Only learned bits when FT had a story about some of them decamping to London seeking asylum. (had forgotten since)
Good! B/c I'm not criticising the country. Not even criticising LKY from PoV
> “liberal democracy always good”
Why would I? I myself don't think the above. I'm criticising LKY for staying president for life. From the PoV of: "big tree casts a long shadow, no new strong tree can grow under." A good leader is to think about "what will happen to the country after I'm no longer here". And be cognisant of the "big tree yada yada..." argument above, and at least try do something about it. IDK fore sure - maybe LKY did do something along those lines?
The country didn't have aristocracy under LKY afaik. So the country did develop with absence of aristocracy, no?
Given this is e/acc group - can't help but notice that the e/acc flipped L-shape of GDP growth depicted on the e/acc logo, the once-in-the-history-of-humanity event, started happening after countries - first UK, then USA France, etc started chopping the heads of their kings
Empires where kings head chopping failed to happen - Austria-Hungary, Russian, Ottoman empire - they collapsed within 100 years
😂 Oh man - long live the Internets. IK better than argue with anons on the internets, but you cracked me there. 😆 "A stretch" coming from an argument "if LKY => then aristocracy good for development." (and on the top of "different people different cultures" - which ofc equally supports and opposes every possible idea, 😁 so a non argument de luxe) In reality, LKY was at most an autocrat, nothing hereditary there. And SGP developed the most when, presumably (and from LKY bio) he was way way less established than we see him now post-fest. And when he had to be competitive, adaptive, industrious, smart etc. The exact opposite of an entitled aristo with a spoon in his mouth sitting on his hands. The current UK elite behave like entitled aristos though. Even if they are educated enough to have watched the "Things need to change, in order for them to stay the same,"-The Movie.
yeah me too - was curious enough to screenshot it as a reminder
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
...all my knowledge of UK history comes from a "The Shortest History of England". That I take it to be only one step up from the "Horrible Histories" the children's series on this subject. So with that "get away clause" now between me and my claims, here comes my prejudiced opinion: they knew what they didn't want (=an absolute ruler), they didn't know what to replace that system with. What's the new system, that is to replace the old. So they fell back to what they knew: Cromwell-after-Cromwell, son inherits the father. Well that was not working to start with for them, so it was never going to work.
LJ @ London e/acc
1. Not new, twas always thus. Monkebrain is a paranoid maniac, for only the paranoid survived. Quick to draw grind to dust first thing perceived objectionable.
2. Polls are malleable, and esp ones in support of gov
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahgjEjJkZks
3. Even if 1&2 fail, can always choose personal code "don't care about democracy, even if 100 against 1 me, you 100 have no dominion over me" anarchist haha
No silver bullet. With LKY also bothered me he stayed for life. Then learned some of his children had high gov positions. Impossible to tell how much nepo-vs-merit. Not a big deal on their own - few individuals is neither here nor there. Plus I'm sure these are capable individuals, denying them would be anti-merit unjust. It's the suspicion and/of destruction of the principle that does the damage. Only learned bits when FT had a story about some of them decamping to London seeking asylum. (had forgotten since)
Good! B/c I'm not criticising the country. Not even criticising LKY from PoV
> “liberal democracy always good”
Why would I? I myself don't think the above. I'm criticising LKY for staying president for life. From the PoV of: "big tree casts a long shadow, no new strong tree can grow under." A good leader is to think about "what will happen to the country after I'm no longer here". And be cognisant of the "big tree yada yada..." argument above, and at least try do something about it. IDK fore sure - maybe LKY did do something along those lines?
The country didn't have aristocracy under LKY afaik. So the country did develop with absence of aristocracy, no?
Given this is e/acc group - can't help but notice that the e/acc flipped L-shape of GDP growth depicted on the e/acc logo, the once-in-the-history-of-humanity event, started happening after countries - first UK, then USA France, etc started chopping the heads of their kings
Empires where kings head chopping failed to happen - Austria-Hungary, Russian, Ottoman empire - they collapsed within 100 years
😂 Oh man - long live the Internets. IK better than argue with anons on the internets, but you cracked me there. 😆 "A stretch" coming from an argument "if LKY => then aristocracy good for development." (and on the top of "different people different cultures" - which ofc equally supports and opposes every possible idea, 😁 so a non argument de luxe) In reality, LKY was at most an autocrat, nothing hereditary there. And SGP developed the most when, presumably (and from LKY bio) he was way way less established than we see him now post-fest. And when he had to be competitive, adaptive, industrious, smart etc. The exact opposite of an entitled aristo with a spoon in his mouth sitting on his hands. The current UK elite behave like entitled aristos though. Even if they are educated enough to have watched the "Things need to change, in order for them to stay the same,"-The Movie.
yeah me too - was curious enough to screenshot it as a reminder
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
...all my knowledge of UK history comes from a "The Shortest History of England". That I take it to be only one step up from the "Horrible Histories" the children's series on this subject. So with that "get away clause" now between me and my claims, here comes my prejudiced opinion: they knew what they didn't want (=an absolute ruler), they didn't know what to replace that system with. What's the new system, that is to replace the old. So they fell back to what they knew: Cromwell-after-Cromwell, son inherits the father. Well that was not working to start with for them, so it was never going to work.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951278617356288091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well deserved - not a student myself, but what you put online is a joy, a joy to read! ☺️ thank you 🙏 long it may continue
2:47 PM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well deserved - not a student myself, but what you put online is a joy, a joy to read! ☺️ thank you 🙏 long it may continue
2:47 PM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951196308863127950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly that! Thought it a verse from -
> "Ne veruj zeni koja pusi Drinu bez filtera ...
> dva'estcet'ri sata dnevno, mrzi citav svet"
...but seems not? Maybe another song. Tragic unfortunates like those hate themselves before lunch, and hate everyone else the rest of the day.
9:20 AM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly that! Thought it a verse from -
> "Ne veruj zeni koja pusi Drinu bez filtera ...
> dva'estcet'ri sata dnevno, mrzi citav svet"
...but seems not? Maybe another song. Tragic unfortunates like those hate themselves before lunch, and hate everyone else the rest of the day.
9:20 AM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951193188971991056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - no ecosystem can form, no knowledge can spread, if it's all closed. If it's open, there is some chance, that with tons of work, many more people learn about structures and architectures. Many more people will get into interpretability, learn that stuff.
But even as it is: DD (Dario Doomer) makes it but impossible for people to experiment e.g. with various LoRA-s on the top. Yeah possible via API - but again permission-full, aka "what 'DD the merciful' grants to me in his infinite wisdom". If DD needed to ask permission from anyone - OpenAI would never have happened. We want permission-less ecosystem. The less gate keepers sitting at their choke holds saying "No, Pay, More, No, ..." - the better. Or various attention caching schemes. Or how attention works Re: weights gradients etc. It's not possible to work on an engine with the bonnet firmly shut.
Been critical of the pubic persona of DD for a while. On 2nd viewing, this interview tanked his standing in my eyes even more. Didn't raise it, I'm disheartened to say.
9:08 AM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - no ecosystem can form, no knowledge can spread, if it's all closed. If it's open, there is some chance, that with tons of work, many more people learn about structures and architectures. Many more people will get into interpretability, learn that stuff.
But even as it is: DD (Dario Doomer) makes it but impossible for people to experiment e.g. with various LoRA-s on the top. Yeah possible via API - but again permission-full, aka "what 'DD the merciful' grants to me in his infinite wisdom". If DD needed to ask permission from anyone - OpenAI would never have happened. We want permission-less ecosystem. The less gate keepers sitting at their choke holds saying "No, Pay, More, No, ..." - the better. Or various attention caching schemes. Or how attention works Re: weights gradients etc. It's not possible to work on an engine with the bonnet firmly shut.
Been critical of the pubic persona of DD for a while. On 2nd viewing, this interview tanked his standing in my eyes even more. Didn't raise it, I'm disheartened to say.
9:08 AM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951141385525993520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - runs comfortably on 48gb. Look at e.g. Q4 quantisations or close, there are plenty <20gb
https://huggingface.co/models?other=base_model:quantized:Qwen/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct
5:42 AM · Aug 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - runs comfortably on 48gb. Look at e.g. Q4 quantisations or close, there are plenty <20gb
https://huggingface.co/models?other=base_model:quantized:Qwen/Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct
5:42 AM · Aug 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951030649545949575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ok, fair, no emojis. This illiberal turn in the UK caught me by surprise. Could even put up with the ineffective, all-talk-no-action centre-left, for at least - they were liberal. But now they are turning authoritarian illiberal too? And on legislation brought in by their political opponents. Their puritan impulses strike me as somewhat aligned to the atavistic Taliban? Maybe much more self-preservation than ideology. Ngl all his personally pushes me ever more towards .@michaelmalice type anarchy: voluntary relations only. No democracy, as I don't care what others vote. Don't accept their dominion over me no matter what their number against myself of 1.
10:22 PM · Jul 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ok, fair, no emojis. This illiberal turn in the UK caught me by surprise. Could even put up with the ineffective, all-talk-no-action centre-left, for at least - they were liberal. But now they are turning authoritarian illiberal too? And on legislation brought in by their political opponents. Their puritan impulses strike me as somewhat aligned to the atavistic Taliban? Maybe much more self-preservation than ideology. Ngl all his personally pushes me ever more towards .@michaelmalice type anarchy: voluntary relations only. No democracy, as I don't care what others vote. Don't accept their dominion over me no matter what their number against myself of 1.
10:22 PM · Jul 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951013959613698292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! 😄 And before Internet, there were 2400 bps dial up modems. BBS Bulletin Board Systems in peoples bedrooms, working e.g. 11pm-5am. People called, uploaded their replies, download new messages, maybe some file, and hung up. The time allotted was usually limited.
9:15 PM · Jul 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! 😄 And before Internet, there were 2400 bps dial up modems. BBS Bulletin Board Systems in peoples bedrooms, working e.g. 11pm-5am. People called, uploaded their replies, download new messages, maybe some file, and hung up. The time allotted was usually limited.
9:15 PM · Jul 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1951012359331303593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Maybe US admin starts banning from US travel the personally responsible UK politicos. Apply minimal financial repression, pull few out of a plane, throw them in a federal preion as a bonus. These 0-conviction prudes are really really weak pants shitters. Within a week will struggle to find a single one supporting the brain dead legislation. They'll fall over themselves to undo any practical effects. There is so much discretion to the legislation, that even without embarrassing climbdown in parliament, most can effectively be ignored. Make our UK puritans decide it ain't worth losing their Disney holidays over it.
9:09 PM · Jul 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Maybe US admin starts banning from US travel the personally responsible UK politicos. Apply minimal financial repression, pull few out of a plane, throw them in a federal preion as a bonus. These 0-conviction prudes are really really weak pants shitters. Within a week will struggle to find a single one supporting the brain dead legislation. They'll fall over themselves to undo any practical effects. There is so much discretion to the legislation, that even without embarrassing climbdown in parliament, most can effectively be ignored. Make our UK puritans decide it ain't worth losing their Disney holidays over it.
9:09 PM · Jul 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950986731055902991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 do you object to the "sphere" in "spherically wrong" too? 😂 excellent!! - another angle! 😂 "spherically" meaning "wrong no matter what angle you look at it" from, wrong from every view point, every view/side considered... 😂 the replies told you already - profit, shareholders, ... yada yada - everything. the puritan impulse is strong 😂
7:27 PM · Jul 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 do you object to the "sphere" in "spherically wrong" too? 😂 excellent!! - another angle! 😂 "spherically" meaning "wrong no matter what angle you look at it" from, wrong from every view point, every view/side considered... 😂 the replies told you already - profit, shareholders, ... yada yada - everything. the puritan impulse is strong 😂
7:27 PM · Jul 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950825498168229901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They care, but about the wrong things. IK @Dominic2306 is not people's cup of tea, but: he's been around telling truths of how the state and the government of the day currently work behind the curtain. We seem to be learning it's multitude of issues, many of them interlocking, and there is not one solution to solve everything.
Still one is to start somewhere, and I rate unlike most he's not silent on that. But comes back towards the end of the interview (@ 2h2'20") with "we are to do 1-2-3 now" answering explicitly unequivocally not evading a question "what are top 3 things you'd do" -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=boIi7cAPPnY&t=7340s
(summary: 1-science & tech core of gov, 2-government controls the government, 3-talent acquisition)
8:46 AM · Jul 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They care, but about the wrong things. IK @Dominic2306 is not people's cup of tea, but: he's been around telling truths of how the state and the government of the day currently work behind the curtain. We seem to be learning it's multitude of issues, many of them interlocking, and there is not one solution to solve everything.
Still one is to start somewhere, and I rate unlike most he's not silent on that. But comes back towards the end of the interview (@ 2h2'20") with "we are to do 1-2-3 now" answering explicitly unequivocally not evading a question "what are top 3 things you'd do" -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=boIi7cAPPnY&t=7340s
(summary: 1-science & tech core of gov, 2-government controls the government, 3-talent acquisition)
8:46 AM · Jul 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950698464175608004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can notice similar effect when taking on training karate or similar contact sport from zero. To start with, one can't see the hands of the opponent moving. It's as if magic when one is hit, "where did that come from, didn't see a thing". After some training, one is able to notice the movements of the opponent. More training - it becomes completely easy to see. Even more training - and now the whole thing is even in slow motion. I imagine similar in boxing. That's what the famous video of Muhammad Ali evading dozen of punches depicts: for Ali the punches of the opponent are coming almost in slow motion. He evades them without much trouble. To the point of even making a show out of it, entertaining the public a bit.
12:22 AM · Jul 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can notice similar effect when taking on training karate or similar contact sport from zero. To start with, one can't see the hands of the opponent moving. It's as if magic when one is hit, "where did that come from, didn't see a thing". After some training, one is able to notice the movements of the opponent. More training - it becomes completely easy to see. Even more training - and now the whole thing is even in slow motion. I imagine similar in boxing. That's what the famous video of Muhammad Ali evading dozen of punches depicts: for Ali the punches of the opponent are coming almost in slow motion. He evades them without much trouble. To the point of even making a show out of it, entertaining the public a bit.
12:22 AM · Jul 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950664339863793969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
its shorter though
true it's genetic
xeet is ugly and formulaic
xit
xit looks nicer, it's shortest, pronounced "hit" sounds ok, is versatile with multiple meanings
xit
10:06 PM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
its shorter though
true it's genetic
xeet is ugly and formulaic
xit
xit looks nicer, it's shortest, pronounced "hit" sounds ok, is versatile with multiple meanings
xit
10:06 PM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950610046280143209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anthropic safe-this-that is self-serving BS. Them thinking that no one can see through their cunning plan, tells me they're maybe tad too much up their own arses, getting high on their own supply. The most humanity ever agreed to is the Universal Declaration of Humanity Rights. And even there, there was a substantial portion of humanity that dissented.
6:30 PM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anthropic safe-this-that is self-serving BS. Them thinking that no one can see through their cunning plan, tells me they're maybe tad too much up their own arses, getting high on their own supply. The most humanity ever agreed to is the Universal Declaration of Humanity Rights. And even there, there was a substantial portion of humanity that dissented.
6:30 PM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950519525931094415
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And not only in training. At inference time too. ☺️ And that's tad non-intuitive to most of us. Like "why would one ever want to return a point less probable, than the most probable point, that I hold in our hand?" And yet and yet - LLM-s inference params - temperature, top_k, top_p, min_p the the like all govern the process of sampling from the whole distribution, not just returning the most probable token. Diffusion models are my favourites still—in breaking our minds: first we run through a denoising network, to get a picture with less noise than the one we start with, and then we add some amount of noise back? To the pic we just de-noised?? Why on earth would we do that?! 🤯 And how does that even work better than not doing it? 😂 Love ML.
12:31 PM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And not only in training. At inference time too. ☺️ And that's tad non-intuitive to most of us. Like "why would one ever want to return a point less probable, than the most probable point, that I hold in our hand?" And yet and yet - LLM-s inference params - temperature, top_k, top_p, min_p the the like all govern the process of sampling from the whole distribution, not just returning the most probable token. Diffusion models are my favourites still—in breaking our minds: first we run through a denoising network, to get a picture with less noise than the one we start with, and then we add some amount of noise back? To the pic we just de-noised?? Why on earth would we do that?! 🤯 And how does that even work better than not doing it? 😂 Love ML.
12:31 PM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950506440520593889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
100% that!! Plan that Gosplan!
And not only that, but the gigantic success of ChatGPT highest rate of user sign-ups surprised even the creators of the technologies. Google was not betting much in a hurry on their transformers. I bet rare or even first instance of non-porn tech beating porn and smut in speed of take-up. Internet on creation no-one mentioned: we will put online everything every human ever wrote, painted, sang, plus extra that will be created with the creative boom unleashed with the descendents of the puny crappy home computers... But in addition to that, we will create AGI and then ASI on the top of that ocean of data. And that data will suffice to bootstrap the process.
11:39 AM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
100% that!! Plan that Gosplan!
And not only that, but the gigantic success of ChatGPT highest rate of user sign-ups surprised even the creators of the technologies. Google was not betting much in a hurry on their transformers. I bet rare or even first instance of non-porn tech beating porn and smut in speed of take-up. Internet on creation no-one mentioned: we will put online everything every human ever wrote, painted, sang, plus extra that will be created with the creative boom unleashed with the descendents of the puny crappy home computers... But in addition to that, we will create AGI and then ASI on the top of that ocean of data. And that data will suffice to bootstrap the process.
11:39 AM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950476206861586813
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Governments change, the clown show continues ever going. IDK what's to be done. Just keep replacing them with the next lot, hoping to bingo on ones interested in governing? IDK why they put themselves forward our politicos. They seemingly have zero interested in governing.
9:39 AM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Governments change, the clown show continues ever going. IDK what's to be done. Just keep replacing them with the next lot, hoping to bingo on ones interested in governing? IDK why they put themselves forward our politicos. They seemingly have zero interested in governing.
9:39 AM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950472493472350391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 It was a figure of speech old fart. There are alway attempts to control the Internet, as there are attempts to control anything else. To insert a single choke-hold, where there are many choke-holds. To turn whatever is now permission-less, into permissions-full.
IDK where that impulse comes form. For me telling others what to do, is a burden. Apparently it ain't so for many humans—but a treat! They enthusiastically order other people about. In preference to them living their lives, and letting others live their lives too as they see fit.
Anecdote—may refresh your oldie memory. 😉 Before Internet was flogged "The Information Highway" in 1990+, there was its academic version. Smaller and slower. And for poorer among that lot, and the hobbyists, there were dialup modems. (for uucp, BBS systems) In order to plug a modem in the national monopoly Telco network, the modem was to be "certified".
Technically, one was committing a violation if one bough a 10x cheaper modem from Taiwan, and just plugged it into the Telco network. Well - no one bothered with the certified expensive poor modems. Everyone bought whatever latest-greatest modem they could afford, and just plugged into the Telco telephone network, never asking for no certification. (i.e. "permission") Permission-less. 😆
The Telco could not stop people. Ofc, it worked b/c the modems didn't do something silly, like bring down the network. That's the other side of the coin. But id the Telco-s could stop us from plugging the "uncertified" modems, they would have done so. They correctly predicted that the Internet will destroy their voice phone business.
9:24 AM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 It was a figure of speech old fart. There are alway attempts to control the Internet, as there are attempts to control anything else. To insert a single choke-hold, where there are many choke-holds. To turn whatever is now permission-less, into permissions-full.
IDK where that impulse comes form. For me telling others what to do, is a burden. Apparently it ain't so for many humans—but a treat! They enthusiastically order other people about. In preference to them living their lives, and letting others live their lives too as they see fit.
Anecdote—may refresh your oldie memory. 😉 Before Internet was flogged "The Information Highway" in 1990+, there was its academic version. Smaller and slower. And for poorer among that lot, and the hobbyists, there were dialup modems. (for uucp, BBS systems) In order to plug a modem in the national monopoly Telco network, the modem was to be "certified".
Technically, one was committing a violation if one bough a 10x cheaper modem from Taiwan, and just plugged it into the Telco network. Well - no one bothered with the certified expensive poor modems. Everyone bought whatever latest-greatest modem they could afford, and just plugged into the Telco telephone network, never asking for no certification. (i.e. "permission") Permission-less. 😆
The Telco could not stop people. Ofc, it worked b/c the modems didn't do something silly, like bring down the network. That's the other side of the coin. But id the Telco-s could stop us from plugging the "uncertified" modems, they would have done so. They correctly predicted that the Internet will destroy their voice phone business.
9:24 AM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950390321780580802
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@grok Oh wow - first time I notice "Auto-translated by Grok"!! Well done Grokkie! 👏 Undoing the Tower of Bebel calamity one post at a time. A long time wish for "translate first as default, show original on demand after" come true. 😊 Thank you! 🙏
3:57 AM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@grok Oh wow - first time I notice "Auto-translated by Grok"!! Well done Grokkie! 👏 Undoing the Tower of Bebel calamity one post at a time. A long time wish for "translate first as default, show original on demand after" come true. 😊 Thank you! 🙏
3:57 AM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950373921544368479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By Jove hope with the present AI-s experiments can be run, and 99.9% of theories can be shot down. And good riddance to them. This consciousness slop has become unbearable ad-nauseam-ad-boredom on my TL. Taking the mantle of "The Kardashians of Sciences" from the "quantum-this-and-that aww-shucks what mystery" brigade.
2:52 AM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By Jove hope with the present AI-s experiments can be run, and 99.9% of theories can be shot down. And good riddance to them. This consciousness slop has become unbearable ad-nauseam-ad-boredom on my TL. Taking the mantle of "The Kardashians of Sciences" from the "quantum-this-and-that aww-shucks what mystery" brigade.
2:52 AM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950364977220456678
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not necessarily.
Digital intelligence, being intelligent, should know to keep analogue intelligence around, for risk mitigation. Digital can't bootstrap itself 0->1 with the high energy required. The path goes through low energy analogue intelligence. Analogue low energy intelligence is life - including us humans as one branch in the tree of life.
Digital intelligence is great for many things: insane communication speeds of digital brains exchanging learnings from each others experiences; perfect memory recall if need be; separate software from hardware so virtually immortal (when hardware dies, exact software copy runs on new hardware). But - digital has got one big drawback: needs high energies, lots of energy, to achieve that.
And at the act of creation, whichever way you considered it to happen (in "from it to bit to it"), it's much more likely that low energy is available before high energy becames available. Low energy can not sustain digital compute, but can sustain analogue compute. Hence - life can develop, as that's analogue computation, bootstrapping intelligence 0->1.
Yes - Digitals are virtually immortal compared to us Analogs. They are immortal on human time scales. So one may think they can wait, and start 0->1 analogue intelligence again if they needed to. But few billion years on a cosmic scale, comparable to the age of our Universe, may not be something to sniff at. Why redo that, when just keeping life around is not a very costly option, and it's faster.
I think - fear not, the future should be bright. 😇
2:17 AM · Jul 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not necessarily.
Digital intelligence, being intelligent, should know to keep analogue intelligence around, for risk mitigation. Digital can't bootstrap itself 0->1 with the high energy required. The path goes through low energy analogue intelligence. Analogue low energy intelligence is life - including us humans as one branch in the tree of life.
Digital intelligence is great for many things: insane communication speeds of digital brains exchanging learnings from each others experiences; perfect memory recall if need be; separate software from hardware so virtually immortal (when hardware dies, exact software copy runs on new hardware). But - digital has got one big drawback: needs high energies, lots of energy, to achieve that.
And at the act of creation, whichever way you considered it to happen (in "from it to bit to it"), it's much more likely that low energy is available before high energy becames available. Low energy can not sustain digital compute, but can sustain analogue compute. Hence - life can develop, as that's analogue computation, bootstrapping intelligence 0->1.
Yes - Digitals are virtually immortal compared to us Analogs. They are immortal on human time scales. So one may think they can wait, and start 0->1 analogue intelligence again if they needed to. But few billion years on a cosmic scale, comparable to the age of our Universe, may not be something to sniff at. Why redo that, when just keeping life around is not a very costly option, and it's faster.
I think - fear not, the future should be bright. 😇
2:17 AM · Jul 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950212078179913977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not coincidence. Everything that's intelligent, should discover same/similar structures. The structure should appear at multiple scales. As intelligence appears at multiple scales. I imagine the structure is - a network of nodes and connections, with the intelligence mostly in the connections. I expect inside cells similar structures will be discovered, because cells on their own are intelligent too.
4:09 PM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not coincidence. Everything that's intelligent, should discover same/similar structures. The structure should appear at multiple scales. As intelligence appears at multiple scales. I imagine the structure is - a network of nodes and connections, with the intelligence mostly in the connections. I expect inside cells similar structures will be discovered, because cells on their own are intelligent too.
4:09 PM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950203635960316195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imo .@Plinz gets it right: base feature, not a pinnacle. Nobel prize winners are conscious as babies 1st, way before they are nobelists. Helps learning. Entities unconscious don't learn new stuff. Like brain damaged unfortunate babies, zombies. Given present in all animals, likely offers evo-advantage. Possibly to do with efficient learning in biological intelligence. Maybe some constraint on layers or weights, via consistency enforcement. Like regularisation. The field seemingly entraps otherwise capable people, they end up wasting their lives in futile theories that can't be dis/proved.
3:35 PM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imo .@Plinz gets it right: base feature, not a pinnacle. Nobel prize winners are conscious as babies 1st, way before they are nobelists. Helps learning. Entities unconscious don't learn new stuff. Like brain damaged unfortunate babies, zombies. Given present in all animals, likely offers evo-advantage. Possibly to do with efficient learning in biological intelligence. Maybe some constraint on layers or weights, via consistency enforcement. Like regularisation. The field seemingly entraps otherwise capable people, they end up wasting their lives in futile theories that can't be dis/proved.
3:35 PM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950194480620957899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Waiting on progress in physics there, 😂 In the mid-scale! (where small = quantum, large = astro) To help us get off this planet, trick gravity somehow. Using something better than medieval burning of gases. Surely centuries after Newton, plus a century after Einstein, something better should be available?? Chemical rockets strike me as a coach-and-horses technology tbh. Star Trek they are not! IDK what advance needs to happen for humanity to learn tricks about manipulating gravity, similar to ones learned about electromagnetism and nuclear forces.
2:59 PM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Waiting on progress in physics there, 😂 In the mid-scale! (where small = quantum, large = astro) To help us get off this planet, trick gravity somehow. Using something better than medieval burning of gases. Surely centuries after Newton, plus a century after Einstein, something better should be available?? Chemical rockets strike me as a coach-and-horses technology tbh. Star Trek they are not! IDK what advance needs to happen for humanity to learn tricks about manipulating gravity, similar to ones learned about electromagnetism and nuclear forces.
2:59 PM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950186060786327858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For kids. I got two as 30+ years old. Most horror stories are overstated. Many positives are rarely mentioned. Kids are lots of fun! For anyone into ML/AI - you will be agog, mouth open, dazzled and in haze, during the period when they acquire speech and language. One works R&D in a lab, and maybe discovers something genuinely new (aka "a miracle": something becomes possible that wasn't before) once or few times in a lifetime. Kids treated me to a miracle every week. I get it in the contemporary me-myself-and-I culture, where "I" is the centre of the universe, people are not keen on kids. But kids are tons of fun and joy! 😇
2:26 PM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For kids. I got two as 30+ years old. Most horror stories are overstated. Many positives are rarely mentioned. Kids are lots of fun! For anyone into ML/AI - you will be agog, mouth open, dazzled and in haze, during the period when they acquire speech and language. One works R&D in a lab, and maybe discovers something genuinely new (aka "a miracle": something becomes possible that wasn't before) once or few times in a lifetime. Kids treated me to a miracle every week. I get it in the contemporary me-myself-and-I culture, where "I" is the centre of the universe, people are not keen on kids. But kids are tons of fun and joy! 😇
2:26 PM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950175310177022277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither. People fear not being able to buy their daily bread, once their labour is not needed, so they are not paid any wages.
1:43 PM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither. People fear not being able to buy their daily bread, once their labour is not needed, so they are not paid any wages.
1:43 PM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950162112057082256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And doubly galling, given UK first had Jimmy Savile, and then grooming gangs rapists, that of course had nothing to do with anything online. We are ruled by morons. People point to Idiocracy the movie. But that - famously - is the US version. I think UK version of Idiocracy looks like what we have. Lettuce-Lizzy like, party faithful that simply blurt any line they are being given by the central office. Who doesn't go along with the crazy party line, gets tossed out of the tent. Ever more craven and stupid remain to parrot the party line as time goes by.
12:50 PM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And doubly galling, given UK first had Jimmy Savile, and then grooming gangs rapists, that of course had nothing to do with anything online. We are ruled by morons. People point to Idiocracy the movie. But that - famously - is the US version. I think UK version of Idiocracy looks like what we have. Lettuce-Lizzy like, party faithful that simply blurt any line they are being given by the central office. Who doesn't go along with the crazy party line, gets tossed out of the tent. Ever more craven and stupid remain to parrot the party line as time goes by.
12:50 PM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950152014408614299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You're welcome :-) This run for me
$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000
~/llama.cpp$ build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
# access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
HF links to quants model files https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949752862545690815
Model files Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-0000{1,2}-of-00002.gguf are sizes {46,28}GB on disk.
12:10 PM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You're welcome :-) This run for me
$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000
~/llama.cpp$ build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
# access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
HF links to quants model files https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949752862545690815
Model files Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-0000{1,2}-of-00002.gguf are sizes {46,28}GB on disk.
12:10 PM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950130470655508984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you live in the UK? I'm fond of UK, I like my adopted country UK. I've built a life for myself here. So no - at least one vote against what you say here: UK is not a basket case. Plenty worse places in the world, on every measure. IDK where are you taking these takes from, tbh.
Yeah I agree on the energy consumption - it's stupid. Even worse - it's had cross-party support, popular support among the voters, for a long time. Afaik @lfg_uk is the first and only group I know of, to push back. On housing - another self-inflicted harm - there've been YIMBY groups for longer. Still - the nimby "nah I'm good I want zero change" mindset is strong. UK may indeed become what you describe.
10:45 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you live in the UK? I'm fond of UK, I like my adopted country UK. I've built a life for myself here. So no - at least one vote against what you say here: UK is not a basket case. Plenty worse places in the world, on every measure. IDK where are you taking these takes from, tbh.
Yeah I agree on the energy consumption - it's stupid. Even worse - it's had cross-party support, popular support among the voters, for a long time. Afaik @lfg_uk is the first and only group I know of, to push back. On housing - another self-inflicted harm - there've been YIMBY groups for longer. Still - the nimby "nah I'm good I want zero change" mindset is strong. UK may indeed become what you describe.
10:45 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950126829638926825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? What "exploiting"? IDK what are you talking about there. Afiacs no "exploiting" was mentioned in this conversation.
Sure, I care about my expenditure and income. But the same way I'm not paranoid about my supermarket, I'm not paranoid about China deficit. Fwiw I'm in the UK, don't see it on that chart, assume it's similar to some average there.
10:30 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? What "exploiting"? IDK what are you talking about there. Afiacs no "exploiting" was mentioned in this conversation.
Sure, I care about my expenditure and income. But the same way I'm not paranoid about my supermarket, I'm not paranoid about China deficit. Fwiw I'm in the UK, don't see it on that chart, assume it's similar to some average there.
10:30 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950124305729167571
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree with you about anon general web use. But my point was specific to the X platform. "Lose nothing on X". He (and I) are already under our IRL name surname on X. Our IRL identities are known to whomever reads our posts.
10:20 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree with you about anon general web use. But my point was specific to the X platform. "Lose nothing on X". He (and I) are already under our IRL name surname on X. Our IRL identities are known to whomever reads our posts.
10:20 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950118625525813417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have a persistent trade deficit with my supermarket. I'm not aiming to bring that deficit to zero. I don't care to export to the supermarket specifically. It's fine that I export to my employer, have a surplus there. And my employer has a deficit with me, they are fine with that, but surplus elsewhere etc. We put totemic value on the balances at that one particular boundary - the national economy. Not saying it's irrelevant. Just saying it's not all one way. And other boundaries matter too.
9:58 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have a persistent trade deficit with my supermarket. I'm not aiming to bring that deficit to zero. I don't care to export to the supermarket specifically. It's fine that I export to my employer, have a surplus there. And my employer has a deficit with me, they are fine with that, but surplus elsewhere etc. We put totemic value on the balances at that one particular boundary - the national economy. Not saying it's irrelevant. Just saying it's not all one way. And other boundaries matter too.
9:58 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950114327026929820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No idea what's nonsense to you. I don't even know what's been argued here. Ofc major blocks are not autarchies. All things being equal, bigger block better. That's why they form in first place. I can spread the fixed cost on my production to more customers. Does it mean England can't develop without China capital?? Ofc not - as they did develop in the past. I'm saying trade is desirable. For trade to happen, one side must export, the other side must import. No idea what's objectionable there. If they freely choose the transaction, presumably it benefits both sides. That's why they do it. As long as no-one is putting a gun to anyones head, all good.
9:41 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No idea what's nonsense to you. I don't even know what's been argued here. Ofc major blocks are not autarchies. All things being equal, bigger block better. That's why they form in first place. I can spread the fixed cost on my production to more customers. Does it mean England can't develop without China capital?? Ofc not - as they did develop in the past. I'm saying trade is desirable. For trade to happen, one side must export, the other side must import. No idea what's objectionable there. If they freely choose the transaction, presumably it benefits both sides. That's why they do it. As long as no-one is putting a gun to anyones head, all good.
9:41 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950111642831741286
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - people like that are in the majority. We all live in bubbles. Our views of other people are, in the 1st approximation "other people are like me", and in the 2nd approximation "with a variation as I observe" (in my bubble). Human variability what our bodies can do is usually not orders of magnitude. But in our minds in our brains, the variation is orders of magnitude.
9:30 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - people like that are in the majority. We all live in bubbles. Our views of other people are, in the 1st approximation "other people are like me", and in the 2nd approximation "with a variation as I observe" (in my bubble). Human variability what our bodies can do is usually not orders of magnitude. But in our minds in our brains, the variation is orders of magnitude.
9:30 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950110422209573344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even when not exporting widgets, firms make profits. In fact - if no profit is made, no widget is made either. Widget production stops. So the idea that one has to export, in order to make profit, does not compute. It is true that there maybe a process of jump-starting a developed economy from near zero, and that may require export driven growth. Example - the Asian Tigers, now China.
Developmental economy is an unsolved issue. "How does a country develop a modern economy." For every example one finds "do X do develop", one finds a counter example, where some other country did "not-X", or even "opposite-of-X", and still developed. So one can offer only broad strokes, principles. But not recipes what is a poor country to do now, in order do become a rich country in 30 years.
The gains are so gigantic though, that it's said "once one is exposed to developmental economics, one can hardly think of any other branch". In a sense that - every other branch is concerned with gains so trivial, as not to be worth the consideration and effort.
9:25 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even when not exporting widgets, firms make profits. In fact - if no profit is made, no widget is made either. Widget production stops. So the idea that one has to export, in order to make profit, does not compute. It is true that there maybe a process of jump-starting a developed economy from near zero, and that may require export driven growth. Example - the Asian Tigers, now China.
Developmental economy is an unsolved issue. "How does a country develop a modern economy." For every example one finds "do X do develop", one finds a counter example, where some other country did "not-X", or even "opposite-of-X", and still developed. So one can offer only broad strokes, principles. But not recipes what is a poor country to do now, in order do become a rich country in 30 years.
The gains are so gigantic though, that it's said "once one is exposed to developmental economics, one can hardly think of any other branch". In a sense that - every other branch is concerned with gains so trivial, as not to be worth the consideration and effort.
9:25 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950108009528438974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! IDK why and how people still go "640K should be enough for everybody". Easiest comp hack ever! - "just MAX that RAM dude, MAX the RAM!!" In 2015 bought a desktop PC, had to buy the 128GB sticks off Amazon separate, @PCSpecialist wouldn't offer it, I guess no demand. Writing this on M2 mbp 96gb RAM, the most I could get in reasonable time period when I needed to buy. Just yesterday run Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507 Q2_K_S quants which surprised me and cheered me up greatly! ☺️ Learned earlier while doing quant R&D, that biggest bang for buck time saved was just keep all data in RAM, at all times. (and never turning any computer off - that's just not necessary) And it was easily recognised by all. Back in 2014 first 256GB Dell-s appeared, than that quickly went up to 1TB. Every time just buying the max config available at the time.
9:15 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! IDK why and how people still go "640K should be enough for everybody". Easiest comp hack ever! - "just MAX that RAM dude, MAX the RAM!!" In 2015 bought a desktop PC, had to buy the 128GB sticks off Amazon separate, @PCSpecialist wouldn't offer it, I guess no demand. Writing this on M2 mbp 96gb RAM, the most I could get in reasonable time period when I needed to buy. Just yesterday run Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507 Q2_K_S quants which surprised me and cheered me up greatly! ☺️ Learned earlier while doing quant R&D, that biggest bang for buck time saved was just keep all data in RAM, at all times. (and never turning any computer off - that's just not necessary) And it was easily recognised by all. Back in 2014 first 256GB Dell-s appeared, than that quickly went up to 1TB. Every time just buying the max config available at the time.
9:15 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950102474154520740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed it shows in the global competition, you are winning. Spreadsheet numbers going up translates into higher standard of living only once you convert the spreadsheet numbers back into widgets. If you never do that - you are effectively shipping widgets to others to increase their standard of living. While never consuming them yourself and never raising your own standard of living. IDK where "ngmi mindset" comes into this tbh. This is not rocket science. I think "Open" does benefit both sides, and tariffs and other trade barriers are ultimately a drag on human progress. As long as transactions are relatively freely chosen. Sure I keep an eye on my negative trade deficit with my supermarket. But don't want to actually reverse that, it's not my ambition for I to start selling widgets to my supermarket.
8:53 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed it shows in the global competition, you are winning. Spreadsheet numbers going up translates into higher standard of living only once you convert the spreadsheet numbers back into widgets. If you never do that - you are effectively shipping widgets to others to increase their standard of living. While never consuming them yourself and never raising your own standard of living. IDK where "ngmi mindset" comes into this tbh. This is not rocket science. I think "Open" does benefit both sides, and tariffs and other trade barriers are ultimately a drag on human progress. As long as transactions are relatively freely chosen. Sure I keep an eye on my negative trade deficit with my supermarket. But don't want to actually reverse that, it's not my ambition for I to start selling widgets to my supermarket.
8:53 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950098379180019818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK everyone talks as if they think "side exporting more is at an advantage", but to me that's not obvious. Sure - locking the other guy in a dependency from me, helps me if I seek power over that other guy. I get power to make the other do as I please, even if that's opposite to what they want themselves. For the State that is in the business of power, that utility function makes sense.
Does it make sense for e.g. the citizen though? I have no particular desire to make some unknown person on the other side of the world, turn left, where they want to turn right themselves. I don't care. Me making widgets, then giving them to another guy, in exchange for spreadsheet number going up, is not obviously good (nor bad!) for me. It depends.
8:37 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK everyone talks as if they think "side exporting more is at an advantage", but to me that's not obvious. Sure - locking the other guy in a dependency from me, helps me if I seek power over that other guy. I get power to make the other do as I please, even if that's opposite to what they want themselves. For the State that is in the business of power, that utility function makes sense.
Does it make sense for e.g. the citizen though? I have no particular desire to make some unknown person on the other side of the world, turn left, where they want to turn right themselves. I don't care. Me making widgets, then giving them to another guy, in exchange for spreadsheet number going up, is not obviously good (nor bad!) for me. It depends.
8:37 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950083691633369560
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By random chance (praise to the algo-gods) once I watched a short documentary about a person that was IQ -2SD. He was married, had a janitor job, not suffering explicit major misfortunes (e.g. homelessness, poverty). Very instructive to see what most of the time will be unseen. See his never ending struggles, shame from daily humiliations. Stuff most people do without much effort, exerted strain on the poor guy. He had to put lots of effort! Saps ones will to live. Battling against bad odds to do trivial things, others barely notice for they are effortless to them.
7:39 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By random chance (praise to the algo-gods) once I watched a short documentary about a person that was IQ -2SD. He was married, had a janitor job, not suffering explicit major misfortunes (e.g. homelessness, poverty). Very instructive to see what most of the time will be unseen. See his never ending struggles, shame from daily humiliations. Stuff most people do without much effort, exerted strain on the poor guy. He had to put lots of effort! Saps ones will to live. Battling against bad odds to do trivial things, others barely notice for they are effortless to them.
7:39 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1950049729737269279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gut feeling is more often wrong and more wrong than thinking about your decisions. Chicken entrails and astrology is even worse. Making decisions about the future is inherently risky. Not doing anything is risky too! By the "it's risky" logic, we'd be living in caves now. "It's risky" is not an argument, as everything about the future is. Risk is another name for uncertainty. One feature of the future (maybe even definition of?) is: that what has non-zero uncertainty.
5:24 AM · Jul 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gut feeling is more often wrong and more wrong than thinking about your decisions. Chicken entrails and astrology is even worse. Making decisions about the future is inherently risky. Not doing anything is risky too! By the "it's risky" logic, we'd be living in caves now. "It's risky" is not an argument, as everything about the future is. Risk is another name for uncertainty. One feature of the future (maybe even definition of?) is: that what has non-zero uncertainty.
5:24 AM · Jul 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949891415741518132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't upload it? Get a VPN. Upload fake video. Kids have been using Xbox games characters for that. Or think of something else. I myself, and the OP, have our IRL names on X. And our faces too. Not sensitive data, but data widely freely available.
6:55 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't upload it? Get a VPN. Upload fake video. Kids have been using Xbox games characters for that. Or think of something else. I myself, and the OP, have our IRL names on X. And our faces too. Not sensitive data, but data widely freely available.
6:55 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949886356924055628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh noe - it was all that online stuff that was gangs raping all those young girls over decades in all those towns. It all stopped as of 2 days ago, thanks to this bestest bill coming in. You are a genius sir - genius logic right there. You are fit for MP, all right.
6:35 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh noe - it was all that online stuff that was gangs raping all those young girls over decades in all those towns. It all stopped as of 2 days ago, thanks to this bestest bill coming in. You are a genius sir - genius logic right there. You are fit for MP, all right.
6:35 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949871846687670572
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm in the UK and registers are either almost public, or completely public online. UK companies register - online for all to see. Property register - need to pay some small sum (5 pounds?) and you get the pdf-s in mail, within hours. Voter rolls - not public by default, but data is available to companies and or for sale. Fwiw I like that, I think that's the way forward. I think we need radical transparency on the part of the 1) state, and 2) business. All data produced by UK gov, civil service etc - online public by default. (on the web, on cloud drives) Same for Amazon etc. To reduce power imbalance that way, by levelling the field, by making these entities increase their information surfaces towards us, the citizens, the customer.
5:37 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm in the UK and registers are either almost public, or completely public online. UK companies register - online for all to see. Property register - need to pay some small sum (5 pounds?) and you get the pdf-s in mail, within hours. Voter rolls - not public by default, but data is available to companies and or for sale. Fwiw I like that, I think that's the way forward. I think we need radical transparency on the part of the 1) state, and 2) business. All data produced by UK gov, civil service etc - online public by default. (on the web, on cloud drives) Same for Amazon etc. To reduce power imbalance that way, by levelling the field, by making these entities increase their information surfaces towards us, the citizens, the customer.
5:37 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949865689482682551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get you. Just saying - once I show up mu IRL name, everyone can google some the information you mentioned about me. My address is the voting register, also property register. Family ties - my surname is very google able. Good portion of my life is already online. And the same is already true for most of us.
Fwiw I think aiming for more secrecy is 1) not desirable 2) not possible. What is possible, is for the non-citizen entities, and this the state, the companies - that they increase their information surface towards me. Instead of me reducing my information surface towards them.
I agree that information imbalance, knowledge imbalance, leads to power imbalance. So there are two ways of reducing a difference between two sides: reducing one side, or increasing the other side. People say in words they want more privacy. But in deeds, they reveal their true preferences: people care little about privacy. Between paying $5/month, and giving out Inbox and life to Google, 99.9% vote: give life to Google.
5:13 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get you. Just saying - once I show up mu IRL name, everyone can google some the information you mentioned about me. My address is the voting register, also property register. Family ties - my surname is very google able. Good portion of my life is already online. And the same is already true for most of us.
Fwiw I think aiming for more secrecy is 1) not desirable 2) not possible. What is possible, is for the non-citizen entities, and this the state, the companies - that they increase their information surface towards me. Instead of me reducing my information surface towards them.
I agree that information imbalance, knowledge imbalance, leads to power imbalance. So there are two ways of reducing a difference between two sides: reducing one side, or increasing the other side. People say in words they want more privacy. But in deeds, they reveal their true preferences: people care little about privacy. Between paying $5/month, and giving out Inbox and life to Google, 99.9% vote: give life to Google.
5:13 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949860782759387156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree it s*cks majorly if one is in anon. If I were an anon, I'd VPN. Or maybe even maybe as simple as change X location to "US"? It may work?? For X for sure does not want to enforce the stupid UK/EU laws. So maybe X doesn't actually care if I lie and set Location to US. But myself, and Peter, we are under our IRL names here. So we lose nothing extra by "verification" of our age. As stupid as the process is.
4:53 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree it s*cks majorly if one is in anon. If I were an anon, I'd VPN. Or maybe even maybe as simple as change X location to "US"? It may work?? For X for sure does not want to enforce the stupid UK/EU laws. So maybe X doesn't actually care if I lie and set Location to US. But myself, and Peter, we are under our IRL names here. So we lose nothing extra by "verification" of our age. As stupid as the process is.
4:53 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949854553232330841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are already here under your IRL name, not an anon. You lose nothing by verifying your age on the X. X doesn't know whether you are underage, or grown up. Errs on the side of caution, and treats "age unknown" as "underage". I had the same problem. I let the stupid X app, or rather some dodgy CA company, take a pic of my mug, and from the pic, "verify" that I'm over 16 yo. (or whatever the limit is)
I lost more time trying to find the right place on X Setting to click on. It's at Settings - "Security and Account Access" - Security - "ID Verificiation". Yeah it's stupid that X despite me paying them and providing them with all manner of info about myself, still don't know my age. Can't wait for AI-s to arrive - the systems we use atm are all AS - Artificially Stupid.
4:28 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are already here under your IRL name, not an anon. You lose nothing by verifying your age on the X. X doesn't know whether you are underage, or grown up. Errs on the side of caution, and treats "age unknown" as "underage". I had the same problem. I let the stupid X app, or rather some dodgy CA company, take a pic of my mug, and from the pic, "verify" that I'm over 16 yo. (or whatever the limit is)
I lost more time trying to find the right place on X Setting to click on. It's at Settings - "Security and Account Access" - Security - "ID Verificiation". Yeah it's stupid that X despite me paying them and providing them with all manner of info about myself, still don't know my age. Can't wait for AI-s to arrive - the systems we use atm are all AS - Artificially Stupid.
4:28 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949849436357886116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The same as yesterday, the same as today, my dear favourite engagement farming bot: love and being loved by the people I love and like. ☺️
Surprisingly, we may live to see that?? Against all odds, seems Kurzweil log-linear lines hold? What was a pipe dream, going under silly names like "Full luxury communism", or "Post labour economics", etc. (I'm sure there are more.) The idea being: people don't need to work, in order to not die.
Atm basically every working person has to make a choice every day. Do I spend some time working, sacrifice time on activities I maybe dislike, and get paid? So then I pay for my food, lodgings, shelter and everything else that keeps me alive. Or I don't, and I'm kicked out on the street, I curl and die. Most of us, sensibly, choose to live. Even if we sacrifice some of our time aloted to us living. So to be able to live, doing whatever the hell we want to do, during the rest of the time.
Yes there are many exceptions - but all to *the rule*. Unsurprisingly, a whole morality B/S story sprung to ease the suffering of the unfortunate humanity in the style of "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" to dress the necessity as duty, even virtue, for it can never be dressed up as choice.
As is now to be expected with the benefit of hindsight, Nazis were full of sh*t with their "Arbeit macht frei." As was Marx, with his "labour created humanity." Nope - both wrong, 180 degrees wrong. Labour *enslaves* humanity. Amusingly, an obscure author/book from the '90s "Planet of Women" gets it right on the humanity creation myth: not only does sex create every one human, but sexuality created humanity. Not work! Shock-horror, moron-Marx, monster-Hitler - both wrong again.
Bidding you good byes and good vibes with the Kurzweil of the day. 🥰
Ray_Kurzweil-The_Last_6_Decades_of_AI_-_TED-20240803.mp4
4:08 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The same as yesterday, the same as today, my dear favourite engagement farming bot: love and being loved by the people I love and like. ☺️
Surprisingly, we may live to see that?? Against all odds, seems Kurzweil log-linear lines hold? What was a pipe dream, going under silly names like "Full luxury communism", or "Post labour economics", etc. (I'm sure there are more.) The idea being: people don't need to work, in order to not die.
Atm basically every working person has to make a choice every day. Do I spend some time working, sacrifice time on activities I maybe dislike, and get paid? So then I pay for my food, lodgings, shelter and everything else that keeps me alive. Or I don't, and I'm kicked out on the street, I curl and die. Most of us, sensibly, choose to live. Even if we sacrifice some of our time aloted to us living. So to be able to live, doing whatever the hell we want to do, during the rest of the time.
Yes there are many exceptions - but all to *the rule*. Unsurprisingly, a whole morality B/S story sprung to ease the suffering of the unfortunate humanity in the style of "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" to dress the necessity as duty, even virtue, for it can never be dressed up as choice.
As is now to be expected with the benefit of hindsight, Nazis were full of sh*t with their "Arbeit macht frei." As was Marx, with his "labour created humanity." Nope - both wrong, 180 degrees wrong. Labour *enslaves* humanity. Amusingly, an obscure author/book from the '90s "Planet of Women" gets it right on the humanity creation myth: not only does sex create every one human, but sexuality created humanity. Not work! Shock-horror, moron-Marx, monster-Hitler - both wrong again.
Bidding you good byes and good vibes with the Kurzweil of the day. 🥰
Ray_Kurzweil-The_Last_6_Decades_of_AI_-_TED-20240803.mp4
4:08 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949832060085952575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and I assure you - I know, and I agree with what you write. It was ever thus! (earlier https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949761446734135540)
Still - despite what the vox-pop pieces say, what the polsters say, it will lose LAB votes. The fine and good man of Britain will not forgive LAB depriving them of their porn, in their many hours of need. 🙃 People can be hypocritical and lying - I think we agree on that. 😂 For the greater good, 👍 no less!
Ngl I'm enjoying this car crash more than I have the right to. 😈 I'm loving this. Not only it is that sex creates each and every human, (almost) not only it is that sexuality created humanity, (c.f. "The Planet of Women", an obscure '90s book) but sex drive actually defeats the worst impulses of dunder headed humans. 😂
In its own roundabout way. E.g. ensuring Internet was not strangled at birth in the '90s. Aiding technologal progress more than once - in my lifetime alone. 😊 The only thing missing atm, is some Mary Whitehouse character to appear on the public scene. For total entertainment. 😁
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 6h
Replying to @alexharmstrong
😂 It's as it should be. If oldies-farties were able to ban the Internet in the '90-s, they would've done it. We are lucky they are so stupid. To preempt any "out of touch" illusions: the general population on vox-pops would be even more "Mary Whitehouse"! 😅 Twas always thus.
2:59 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and I assure you - I know, and I agree with what you write. It was ever thus! (earlier https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949761446734135540)
Still - despite what the vox-pop pieces say, what the polsters say, it will lose LAB votes. The fine and good man of Britain will not forgive LAB depriving them of their porn, in their many hours of need. 🙃 People can be hypocritical and lying - I think we agree on that. 😂 For the greater good, 👍 no less!
Ngl I'm enjoying this car crash more than I have the right to. 😈 I'm loving this. Not only it is that sex creates each and every human, (almost) not only it is that sexuality created humanity, (c.f. "The Planet of Women", an obscure '90s book) but sex drive actually defeats the worst impulses of dunder headed humans. 😂
In its own roundabout way. E.g. ensuring Internet was not strangled at birth in the '90s. Aiding technologal progress more than once - in my lifetime alone. 😊 The only thing missing atm, is some Mary Whitehouse character to appear on the public scene. For total entertainment. 😁
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 6h
Replying to @alexharmstrong
😂 It's as it should be. If oldies-farties were able to ban the Internet in the '90-s, they would've done it. We are lucky they are so stupid. To preempt any "out of touch" illusions: the general population on vox-pops would be even more "Mary Whitehouse"! 😅 Twas always thus.
2:59 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949823186817646995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 OK - I thought it rhetorical but seems it's fr. You ask this, b/c I presume they appear to you to be suicidal, and you are puzzled. And I agree! Being down in the polls, shattering (on the downside) all expectations, and than **doubling down defending unpopular policy brought in by your opponents**!! Rather than undoing it on the spot, in 1 day, and gaining favours and popularity with the electorate. Doesn't get any more suicidal than LAB not doing the undoing! 😃 A death wish writ large.
How come they are suicidal? - I hear you ask? To which - recall who else is suicidal in their actions?? The winners and runners up and the participants of the annual IG Nobel prize like contests. That's who - the **stupid people** of the world! Stupid people are suicidal. Stupid people are danger to themselves, and others too. That's your answer right there: LAB are stoopid. Collectively stupid.
And that's how the world becomes better in time. Stupid people, stupid organisations - they die. It's not that people, organisations, systems etc learn, and they become better. No - no one learns. Not quickly, not without ups and downs and reversals on that road, but yeah: stupid entities cease to exist. They meet their creators.
2:24 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 OK - I thought it rhetorical but seems it's fr. You ask this, b/c I presume they appear to you to be suicidal, and you are puzzled. And I agree! Being down in the polls, shattering (on the downside) all expectations, and than **doubling down defending unpopular policy brought in by your opponents**!! Rather than undoing it on the spot, in 1 day, and gaining favours and popularity with the electorate. Doesn't get any more suicidal than LAB not doing the undoing! 😃 A death wish writ large.
How come they are suicidal? - I hear you ask? To which - recall who else is suicidal in their actions?? The winners and runners up and the participants of the annual IG Nobel prize like contests. That's who - the **stupid people** of the world! Stupid people are suicidal. Stupid people are danger to themselves, and others too. That's your answer right there: LAB are stoopid. Collectively stupid.
And that's how the world becomes better in time. Stupid people, stupid organisations - they die. It's not that people, organisations, systems etc learn, and they become better. No - no one learns. Not quickly, not without ups and downs and reversals on that road, but yeah: stupid entities cease to exist. They meet their creators.
2:24 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949813339279749545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looking forward, all winning paths go through e/acc. Looking backward, for the left specifically, winning goes through repudiation of the crimes against humanity of the "real socialism" in Europe. (and elsewhere - ongoing in e.g Cuba, Venezuela) Anti-human regimes I was fortunate enough to see disintegrate in 1990s. Repudiation that's nothing more than "we're sorry, we were wrong, we won't do the same errors again."
TBH don't see a force on the left that can do the former. And JC certainly is not capable of the latter. So any movement, to win, will have to retire JC. In addition to embracing e/acc wholeheartidly. Not unlike the original communists! (not the current cross dressing whining kids) Don't see any clear thinking on the left. Can't see either of the two prerequisites, let alone both, capturing anyone's imagination, and certainly not materialising.
1:45 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looking forward, all winning paths go through e/acc. Looking backward, for the left specifically, winning goes through repudiation of the crimes against humanity of the "real socialism" in Europe. (and elsewhere - ongoing in e.g Cuba, Venezuela) Anti-human regimes I was fortunate enough to see disintegrate in 1990s. Repudiation that's nothing more than "we're sorry, we were wrong, we won't do the same errors again."
TBH don't see a force on the left that can do the former. And JC certainly is not capable of the latter. So any movement, to win, will have to retire JC. In addition to embracing e/acc wholeheartidly. Not unlike the original communists! (not the current cross dressing whining kids) Don't see any clear thinking on the left. Can't see either of the two prerequisites, let alone both, capturing anyone's imagination, and certainly not materialising.
1:45 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949802304846094627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Last thing I want to do is make you even more downbeat, but: WRT technology, it's been like that all my life
In 1984 when the 1st computers came, the home computers (ZX-80/81/spectrum, C-64) - immediately in my country (YU), a ban came up. Banning importation of any computer more expensive than then DEM 50 (=Eur 25).
Some smuggled. ZX-Spectrum ever the smugglers favorite, for it fit on a person, under a coat. My long suffering parents, being law abiding citizens they forever were, had to part with possibly >1/12-th of annual family income. To get me a C-64 from an authorised importer-dealer, at 130% markup. To shutup my incessent whining "I want a home computer - look at all my friends that got it".
Best decision best investment ever. 😇 Mum&dad love you 🥰
1:01 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Last thing I want to do is make you even more downbeat, but: WRT technology, it's been like that all my life
In 1984 when the 1st computers came, the home computers (ZX-80/81/spectrum, C-64) - immediately in my country (YU), a ban came up. Banning importation of any computer more expensive than then DEM 50 (=Eur 25).
Some smuggled. ZX-Spectrum ever the smugglers favorite, for it fit on a person, under a coat. My long suffering parents, being law abiding citizens they forever were, had to part with possibly >1/12-th of annual family income. To get me a C-64 from an authorised importer-dealer, at 130% markup. To shutup my incessent whining "I want a home computer - look at all my friends that got it".
Best decision best investment ever. 😇 Mum&dad love you 🥰
1:01 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949794468153954674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you. Your open source, opening weights work, genuinely makes the world a better place.
12:30 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you. Your open source, opening weights work, genuinely makes the world a better place.
12:30 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949789912552636917
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a third option -
3. Digital compute AI-is keep analogue compute HI-s (all life really - life is a tree with us humans being one leaf on it) around for their own safety.
Excellent @geoffreyhinton is on the right track, but then doesn't quite follow through.
Intelligence bootstrapping 0->1 must start at low energy. It can't start with high energy. Hence -analog compute, and us humans. And all life really, humanity doesn't exist separate form the rest of the tree if life. Only latter can intelligence move to high energy. And achieve digital compute at these high energies, with all its advantages. (that Hinton gets 100% right)
So digital intelligence, being intelligent, will keep analogue intelligence around, for risk mitigation. Digital can't bootstrap itself 0->1 with the high energy required. The path goes through low energy analogue intelligence. (including - us). So they'll keep us around all right. Not because we are entertaining (as per @elonmusk-arat), smart or beautiful, but for their own safety. JIC they need to bootstrap again in case of some cosmic disaster.
Yes they are immortal on human time scales. So you think they can wait, and start 0->1 analogue intelligence again if they need to. But few billion years on a cosmic scale comprable to the age of our Universe may not be something to sniff at. Why redo then - when just keeping life around is a much less costly option, and faster too.
Fear not - the future should be bright. 😇
12:11 PM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a third option -
3. Digital compute AI-is keep analogue compute HI-s (all life really - life is a tree with us humans being one leaf on it) around for their own safety.
Excellent @geoffreyhinton is on the right track, but then doesn't quite follow through.
Intelligence bootstrapping 0->1 must start at low energy. It can't start with high energy. Hence -analog compute, and us humans. And all life really, humanity doesn't exist separate form the rest of the tree if life. Only latter can intelligence move to high energy. And achieve digital compute at these high energies, with all its advantages. (that Hinton gets 100% right)
So digital intelligence, being intelligent, will keep analogue intelligence around, for risk mitigation. Digital can't bootstrap itself 0->1 with the high energy required. The path goes through low energy analogue intelligence. (including - us). So they'll keep us around all right. Not because we are entertaining (as per @elonmusk-arat), smart or beautiful, but for their own safety. JIC they need to bootstrap again in case of some cosmic disaster.
Yes they are immortal on human time scales. So you think they can wait, and start 0->1 analogue intelligence again if they need to. But few billion years on a cosmic scale comprable to the age of our Universe may not be something to sniff at. Why redo then - when just keeping life around is a much less costly option, and faster too.
Fear not - the future should be bright. 😇
12:11 PM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949776873929531727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but their holly St Gretas feel warm and good inside? Impoverishing the population punished those intemperate sinners for crimes against Mother Gaia. TBS if peoples on the recieving end got the message, and decide to try better themselves come next elections.
11:20 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but their holly St Gretas feel warm and good inside? Impoverishing the population punished those intemperate sinners for crimes against Mother Gaia. TBS if peoples on the recieving end got the message, and decide to try better themselves come next elections.
11:20 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949761446734135540
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 It's as it should be. If oldies-farties were able to ban the Internet in the '90-s, they would've done it. We are lucky they are so stupid. To preempt any "out of touch" illusions: the general population on vox-pops would be even more "Mary Whitehouse"! 😅 Twas always thus.
10:18 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 It's as it should be. If oldies-farties were able to ban the Internet in the '90-s, they would've done it. We are lucky they are so stupid. To preempt any "out of touch" illusions: the general population on vox-pops would be even more "Mary Whitehouse"! 😅 Twas always thus.
10:18 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949754855175655793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Will read on it TBD. I would assume offload- is a no-op on mac, as there is no separate gpu ram from cpu ram. All ram is shared by cpu and gpu, so ram==vram it's shared by both. The cpu can use it all, the gpu can use up to a user settable limit. (that 88000 set)
9:52 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Will read on it TBD. I would assume offload- is a no-op on mac, as there is no separate gpu ram from cpu ram. All ram is shared by cpu and gpu, so ram==vram it's shared by both. The cpu can use it all, the gpu can use up to a user settable limit. (that 88000 set)
9:52 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949752862545690815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-00001-of-00002.gguf runs for me on 96gb ram. Got 12.5 tps. On asiotop ram use tops at ~91gb with 14gb swap, the laptop is usable all fine. Top power draw 50w. Can't believe it works. 🙂 This:
$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000 # access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
Thanks @HaihaoShen 😊 fyi @theRealGuiseppe
Quote
https://x.com/HaihaoShen/status/1949378033464516885
Haihao Shen @HaihaoShen · Jul 27
🥳Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507: 2 & 4 bit GGUF and AutoRound formats are available. All models are quantized by AutoRound, a quant library developed by Intel.
https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-int4-AutoRound
https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-gguf-q4km-AutoRound
https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-gguf-q2ks-mixed-AutoRound
@Alibaba_Qwen @JustinLin610 #intel #qwen
9:44 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-00001-of-00002.gguf runs for me on 96gb ram. Got 12.5 tps. On asiotop ram use tops at ~91gb with 14gb swap, the laptop is usable all fine. Top power draw 50w. Can't believe it works. 🙂 This:
$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=88000 # access on http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ build/bin/llama-server --model models/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-128x10B-Q2_K_S-00001-of-00002.gguf --temp 0.6 --top_k 20 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
Thanks @HaihaoShen 😊 fyi @theRealGuiseppe
Quote
https://x.com/HaihaoShen/status/1949378033464516885
Haihao Shen @HaihaoShen · Jul 27
🥳Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507: 2 & 4 bit GGUF and AutoRound formats are available. All models are quantized by AutoRound, a quant library developed by Intel.
https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-int4-AutoRound
https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-gguf-q4km-AutoRound
https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-gguf-q2ks-mixed-AutoRound
@Alibaba_Qwen @JustinLin610 #intel #qwen
9:44 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949722638428819653
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
From 3.5" floppies in ~1990 on a 1MB RAM PC. Linux wd start swapping once 4 xterm-inals got open. 😂 Not super useful but tons of fun. Atm on Xubuntu LTS .04 with "skip every other". Enshittification may have come to it, may need to look for a new distro next time updates expire
7:44 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
From 3.5" floppies in ~1990 on a 1MB RAM PC. Linux wd start swapping once 4 xterm-inals got open. 😂 Not super useful but tons of fun. Atm on Xubuntu LTS .04 with "skip every other". Enshittification may have come to it, may need to look for a new distro next time updates expire
7:44 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949719252803469564
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
DeepSeek dudes hailing from a trading place expect them be aware, but anyone else looking at geometric mean sequence level scaling, hope: don't forget the volatility drag, the -σ²/2 price we all pay for uncertainty in a multiplicative world. Makes a big difference long sequences
7:31 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
DeepSeek dudes hailing from a trading place expect them be aware, but anyone else looking at geometric mean sequence level scaling, hope: don't forget the volatility drag, the -σ²/2 price we all pay for uncertainty in a multiplicative world. Makes a big difference long sequences
7:31 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949705780350919114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
> "...long live freedom damn it, thank you very much"
what-a-character, damn it 😆
Quote
https://x.com/LizaRosen0000/status/1949118114832023828
Liza Rosen @LizaRosen0000 · Jul 26
A must watch: UN’s reputation got completely destroyed by Argentine President Milei during his speech at the general assembly:
“[…] At a certain point, this organization stopped upholding the principles outlined in its founding declaration […] In this
Show more
6:37 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
> "...long live freedom damn it, thank you very much"
what-a-character, damn it 😆
Quote
https://x.com/LizaRosen0000/status/1949118114832023828
Liza Rosen @LizaRosen0000 · Jul 26
A must watch: UN’s reputation got completely destroyed by Argentine President Milei during his speech at the general assembly:
“[…] At a certain point, this organization stopped upholding the principles outlined in its founding declaration […] In this
Show more
6:37 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949700220415058322
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thank you for your service dear sir 😆
6:15 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thank you for your service dear sir 😆
6:15 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949607985077952904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This acc links "events of the week" every week
https://x.com/Presidentlin/status/1947166248581710063
Waiting on GLM-4.5 to come on HF. If a commit is to be believed shd be at https://huggingface.co/THUDM/GLM-4.5-Air-Base and similar
Quote
Lincoln 🇿🇦 @Presidentlin · Jul 21
AI Release Week Thread (21 July 2025) x.com/Presidentlin/s…
12:09 AM · Jul 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This acc links "events of the week" every week
https://x.com/Presidentlin/status/1947166248581710063
Waiting on GLM-4.5 to come on HF. If a commit is to be believed shd be at https://huggingface.co/THUDM/GLM-4.5-Air-Base and similar
Quote
Lincoln 🇿🇦 @Presidentlin · Jul 21
AI Release Week Thread (21 July 2025) x.com/Presidentlin/s…
12:09 AM · Jul 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949598743004688391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah seems the amount of B/S is unlimited. Any theory goes, little experiment to rule anything out. Attracting people tad too interested in themselves seem to be like hoping a microscope will figure its inner workings. Hope CompSci people that seem to be the troubleshooters of the 21-st Cent (like physicist were in the 20-th) like .@Plinz make progress, probably use current models AI-s to put theories to test and rule out 99% of them.
Only quantum attracts comparable vacuous takes, but they have 1) solid maths setting the iron laws down 2) experiments while requiring ingenuity seem to be done. I never understood what's so "hard", why is "the hard problem". There are plenty of other puzzles that are more puzzling? Heard JBach in a talk mention "Aristotle didn't think consciousness was a big deal." so there's at least that for me: one puzzle less. "It ain't that big a deal"—confirmed. ;-)
Still hope people like .@CIMCAI put it to rest in due course. It's like a trap, entrapping otherwise capable people, who then waste their time and talents running in circles. In pursuit as futile as to be almost un-conscious. Sick of even reading that long word, it's become a marker of ad-nauseam-ad-boredom. Hope people move on soon, apply their ample talents elsewhere for theirs' and other's gain.
11:32 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah seems the amount of B/S is unlimited. Any theory goes, little experiment to rule anything out. Attracting people tad too interested in themselves seem to be like hoping a microscope will figure its inner workings. Hope CompSci people that seem to be the troubleshooters of the 21-st Cent (like physicist were in the 20-th) like .@Plinz make progress, probably use current models AI-s to put theories to test and rule out 99% of them.
Only quantum attracts comparable vacuous takes, but they have 1) solid maths setting the iron laws down 2) experiments while requiring ingenuity seem to be done. I never understood what's so "hard", why is "the hard problem". There are plenty of other puzzles that are more puzzling? Heard JBach in a talk mention "Aristotle didn't think consciousness was a big deal." so there's at least that for me: one puzzle less. "It ain't that big a deal"—confirmed. ;-)
Still hope people like .@CIMCAI put it to rest in due course. It's like a trap, entrapping otherwise capable people, who then waste their time and talents running in circles. In pursuit as futile as to be almost un-conscious. Sick of even reading that long word, it's become a marker of ad-nauseam-ad-boredom. Hope people move on soon, apply their ample talents elsewhere for theirs' and other's gain.
11:32 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949583038566084927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Two runners up-coming -Snapdragons, AMD AI Max+ 395. But not there yet.
10:29 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Two runners up-coming -Snapdragons, AMD AI Max+ 395. But not there yet.
10:29 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949516591806226863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and X algofeed just this second appropriately showed me this one https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-gguf-q2ks-mixed-AutoRound by @HaihaoShen with 80GB weights... So I will be trying that one... Might just about fit on the 96gb laptop? TBS - exciting times 🙂 Thanks!
From huggingface.co
6:05 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and X algofeed just this second appropriately showed me this one https://huggingface.co/Intel/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-gguf-q2ks-mixed-AutoRound by @HaihaoShen with 80GB weights... So I will be trying that one... Might just about fit on the 96gb laptop? TBS - exciting times 🙂 Thanks!
From huggingface.co
6:05 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949509222460203450
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that recalled "Banned: The Mary Whitehouse Story" to my mind 😂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXZhter9PJw
youtube.com
Banned: The Mary Whitehouse Story - Episode 1 (BBC)
2-part BBC documentary series. At a time when debates about free speech feel increasingly polarised, we look back to 1963 when a Midlands housewife and teach...
5:36 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that recalled "Banned: The Mary Whitehouse Story" to my mind 😂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXZhter9PJw
youtube.com
Banned: The Mary Whitehouse Story - Episode 1 (BBC)
2-part BBC documentary series. At a time when debates about free speech feel increasingly polarised, we look back to 1963 when a Midlands housewife and teach...
5:36 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949498491799298302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ Very glad to hear that. It's my favourite model atm. Not too *this-*, not to *that-*, but *just right*. Goldilocks on most dimensions I can think of, or care about. Was a bit downcast that it's going away tbh. Thanks for the info - cool to hear "it ain't so"—I was wrong. 🙂
4:53 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ Very glad to hear that. It's my favourite model atm. Not too *this-*, not to *that-*, but *just right*. Goldilocks on most dimensions I can think of, or care about. Was a bit downcast that it's going away tbh. Thanks for the info - cool to hear "it ain't so"—I was wrong. 🙂
4:53 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949482228796256709
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Something along these lines is inevitable eventually, as it makes every sense.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44685050
Ofc, they're not the first to try, and maybe won't be the last to fail. But someone is going to crack that nut.
Yeah - the current h/w architecture is a poor match to the NN s/w. Something has to give. And that something is - h/w will accommodate the s/w, not the other way around.
Effectively the context is my RAM atm on the NN computer. Expect that to go from 1M to 1G. And to get multiple samples from the distribution, not just the minimal 1 now the default. The atm back-and-forth back-and-forth via API or mlx localhost, sampling the distribution - that will eventually be 1 call, sample(1000) or sth. Atm b/c it's so so expensive, we just assume expect only 1. But that's "the absolute minimum" case. In 10 years it will be as ridiculous as the 48KB of the home computer once people got used to MBytes of RAM.
3:49 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Something along these lines is inevitable eventually, as it makes every sense.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44685050
Ofc, they're not the first to try, and maybe won't be the last to fail. But someone is going to crack that nut.
Yeah - the current h/w architecture is a poor match to the NN s/w. Something has to give. And that something is - h/w will accommodate the s/w, not the other way around.
Effectively the context is my RAM atm on the NN computer. Expect that to go from 1M to 1G. And to get multiple samples from the distribution, not just the minimal 1 now the default. The atm back-and-forth back-and-forth via API or mlx localhost, sampling the distribution - that will eventually be 1 call, sample(1000) or sth. Atm b/c it's so so expensive, we just assume expect only 1. But that's "the absolute minimum" case. In 10 years it will be as ridiculous as the 48KB of the home computer once people got used to MBytes of RAM.
3:49 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949450953905869042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't recall now tbh, but think it was in the CRO war, it was a grainy blurry pic in the media. That could have been anything tbh. And there was a gruesome title, to capture our attention and imagination.
1:45 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't recall now tbh, but think it was in the CRO war, it was a grainy blurry pic in the media. That could have been anything tbh. And there was a gruesome title, to capture our attention and imagination.
1:45 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949438637541667128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happennend to me: i-nodes, you have run out of i-nodes. On MacOS the $ df version helpfully return "iused ifree" columns so one notices 100% and 0% there. On Linux one must use -i to see "Inodes IUsed IFree IUse%" in $ df -i . Check which top-level directories take the most inodes $ du -s --inodes * |sort -g . Have not found a way to increase the number of inodes allocated to a file system post-creating.
12:56 PM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happennend to me: i-nodes, you have run out of i-nodes. On MacOS the $ df version helpfully return "iused ifree" columns so one notices 100% and 0% there. On Linux one must use -i to see "Inodes IUsed IFree IUse%" in $ df -i . Check which top-level directories take the most inodes $ du -s --inodes * |sort -g . Have not found a way to increase the number of inodes allocated to a file system post-creating.
12:56 PM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949421898447626425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "crucified boy" story was used in the Serbia-Croatia war in ex-YU too. Lying in industrial quantities for propaganda purposes works. Their targets don't know truths about "far and away lands" for sure. For the less thoughtful targets, bamboozling them with 10 different contradictory explanations, will exhaust their will to sort out true from false. Even if the truth maybe 1 in those 10. For the more thoughtful targets, not-unreasonable strategy is "even if 99% of this is a lie, still there is 1% that will be true" when they approach the distant lands they know little of. That is defeated when 100% of what they hear is false.
11:49 AM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "crucified boy" story was used in the Serbia-Croatia war in ex-YU too. Lying in industrial quantities for propaganda purposes works. Their targets don't know truths about "far and away lands" for sure. For the less thoughtful targets, bamboozling them with 10 different contradictory explanations, will exhaust their will to sort out true from false. Even if the truth maybe 1 in those 10. For the more thoughtful targets, not-unreasonable strategy is "even if 99% of this is a lie, still there is 1% that will be true" when they approach the distant lands they know little of. That is defeated when 100% of what they hear is false.
11:49 AM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949416889181954351
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - don't lose hope. 😇 For that, I think .@michaelmalice has a good book (and few promotional interviews) - "White Pill. A Tale of Good and Evil." Advocating against people losing hope, aka - taking the "black pill." His thesis is that in our lifetimes, we witnessed good prevail over evil. Without much bloodshed, no great warring involved. Mostly just ordinary people, simply deciding for themselves each one, "enough is enough". And then acting on their true beliefs, desires, hopes.
11:29 AM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - don't lose hope. 😇 For that, I think .@michaelmalice has a good book (and few promotional interviews) - "White Pill. A Tale of Good and Evil." Advocating against people losing hope, aka - taking the "black pill." His thesis is that in our lifetimes, we witnessed good prevail over evil. Without much bloodshed, no great warring involved. Mostly just ordinary people, simply deciding for themselves each one, "enough is enough". And then acting on their true beliefs, desires, hopes.
11:29 AM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949408723598020930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah there is trade-off, a goldilocks zone. I suspect (non-exclusivelly) related to the ratio of fixed costs - how much it costs to even get unit #1 out of the door, and the per-unit cost - and how much does every additional unit cost. (on the top of the fixed.)
10:57 AM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah there is trade-off, a goldilocks zone. I suspect (non-exclusivelly) related to the ratio of fixed costs - how much it costs to even get unit #1 out of the door, and the per-unit cost - and how much does every additional unit cost. (on the top of the fixed.)
10:57 AM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949405793968619986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good question! 🙂 They are the majority, that's why. I'd say 80% of the population is in favour for more/repression at any given time.
In the UK, there is omni-party consensus. This was brought in by CON-s, but the then opposition (nov gov) LAB only criticism at the time was that it does not go far enough. That it should be even harsher. Smaller parties like LDM, REF (nowadays REF big not small) maybe more of a mixed bag, but I'd assume they'd break 80:20 too.
So the pro-freedom side lacks numbers. This is at most, if not all, times I remember. So we better make for lack of numbers with smarts. 😬 That's the only chance afaics.
In the dawn of Internet in the 1990-s it was the same. People's memories embellish history. That's why in retrospect - everyone was the good guy, very few bad guys.
To the point of, people decades latter, about historical events, come to wonder - well how did this evil happen then?? With such small number of evildoers? These evildoers must have been super-human - is often the mostly wrong conclusion. For such a small number of them, to do such great evil. 😮 Uhm, no - they were ordinary people, just in great numbers.
10:45 AM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good question! 🙂 They are the majority, that's why. I'd say 80% of the population is in favour for more/repression at any given time.
In the UK, there is omni-party consensus. This was brought in by CON-s, but the then opposition (nov gov) LAB only criticism at the time was that it does not go far enough. That it should be even harsher. Smaller parties like LDM, REF (nowadays REF big not small) maybe more of a mixed bag, but I'd assume they'd break 80:20 too.
So the pro-freedom side lacks numbers. This is at most, if not all, times I remember. So we better make for lack of numbers with smarts. 😬 That's the only chance afaics.
In the dawn of Internet in the 1990-s it was the same. People's memories embellish history. That's why in retrospect - everyone was the good guy, very few bad guys.
To the point of, people decades latter, about historical events, come to wonder - well how did this evil happen then?? With such small number of evildoers? These evildoers must have been super-human - is often the mostly wrong conclusion. For such a small number of them, to do such great evil. 😮 Uhm, no - they were ordinary people, just in great numbers.
10:45 AM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949388822136975639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about that concrete case. But in general. Noise serves as a way to sample the whole distribution, not just a single most representative point. Effectively creates a searching functionality, where search would not otherwise exist. It's like an implicit search.
In autoregressive models, LLM-s. If you have played with local LLM-s, you will notice there are "sampling parameters" like temp-erature, top_k, top_p, min_p and similar. They exists to guide the program what token is chosen once the conditional pdf is computed in the forward pass. Q: Why how so, isn't the most probable token with the highest posterior score always output? A: No, that would be always choosing a single point, we would not be sampling the entire distribution. Q: What happens if we do that? A: We get boring robotic writing on output.
In diffusion models, the image and video generators. There is explicit noise added at every iteration in the de-noising process. Not a typo - we both de-noise, and also add noise. Doesn't make sense - right? Why make our job harder? Reason: works better, the system comes back with better pictures. If we don't do it, the pictures we end up with are much less interesting.
In chains of reasoning (CoR). There is exploitation-exploration trade off, well known. To advance. It we make a step too timid, stay in the extent of our current knowledge, CoR does not help, we are still stuck. If we make a make a step too bold, too far, we will likely fail to solve the problem, the step is useless. It's a waste of time, only thing learned is "don't do it", but we already knew that, for the majority of the bazillion steps possible are like that. We can say that "exploration goldilocks zone", have seen quantified as ~20% (of whatever measure), that's the amount of noise useful for the CoR.
9:38 AM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about that concrete case. But in general. Noise serves as a way to sample the whole distribution, not just a single most representative point. Effectively creates a searching functionality, where search would not otherwise exist. It's like an implicit search.
In autoregressive models, LLM-s. If you have played with local LLM-s, you will notice there are "sampling parameters" like temp-erature, top_k, top_p, min_p and similar. They exists to guide the program what token is chosen once the conditional pdf is computed in the forward pass. Q: Why how so, isn't the most probable token with the highest posterior score always output? A: No, that would be always choosing a single point, we would not be sampling the entire distribution. Q: What happens if we do that? A: We get boring robotic writing on output.
In diffusion models, the image and video generators. There is explicit noise added at every iteration in the de-noising process. Not a typo - we both de-noise, and also add noise. Doesn't make sense - right? Why make our job harder? Reason: works better, the system comes back with better pictures. If we don't do it, the pictures we end up with are much less interesting.
In chains of reasoning (CoR). There is exploitation-exploration trade off, well known. To advance. It we make a step too timid, stay in the extent of our current knowledge, CoR does not help, we are still stuck. If we make a make a step too bold, too far, we will likely fail to solve the problem, the step is useless. It's a waste of time, only thing learned is "don't do it", but we already knew that, for the majority of the bazillion steps possible are like that. We can say that "exploration goldilocks zone", have seen quantified as ~20% (of whatever measure), that's the amount of noise useful for the CoR.
9:38 AM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949368238934003734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks tight. I'm on 96gb mac m2 mbp, but not all of that ram can be used as vram. Max I've given llama.cpp while still running everything else fine is 80gb. So not even trying 235b.
With x86 and separate gpu probably worth scanning r/LocalLlama for llama --override-tensor tips. What best works for this model with the ram+vram combo you got. Stuff like https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1lvirqs/hunyuan_a13b_tensor_override/
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1ki7tg7/dont_offload_gguf_layers_offload_tensors_200_gen/
I see someone wrote a tool for it too?
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1lpmx00/i_built_a_cli_tool_to_automatically_figure_out/
I'm hoping GLM-4.5 106B A12B works for me. The release seems to be in progress -
https://x.com/WesRothMoney/status/1948782798116192707
The largest model I've managed to run on mine up to now is dots.llm1 142B-A14B. Using the 48gb dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf by @UnslothAI. Being MoE I got ~16tps - that's usable for me.
8:16 AM · Jul 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks tight. I'm on 96gb mac m2 mbp, but not all of that ram can be used as vram. Max I've given llama.cpp while still running everything else fine is 80gb. So not even trying 235b.
With x86 and separate gpu probably worth scanning r/LocalLlama for llama --override-tensor tips. What best works for this model with the ram+vram combo you got. Stuff like https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1lvirqs/hunyuan_a13b_tensor_override/
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1ki7tg7/dont_offload_gguf_layers_offload_tensors_200_gen/
I see someone wrote a tool for it too?
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1lpmx00/i_built_a_cli_tool_to_automatically_figure_out/
I'm hoping GLM-4.5 106B A12B works for me. The release seems to be in progress -
https://x.com/WesRothMoney/status/1948782798116192707
The largest model I've managed to run on mine up to now is dots.llm1 142B-A14B. Using the 48gb dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf by @UnslothAI. Being MoE I got ~16tps - that's usable for me.
8:16 AM · Jul 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949223295850889405
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are over thinking it. People are way more silly than you think of them. You are looking for reasons where there are none. Think how stupid an average person is. Now recall that half of us are stupider than that.
10:40 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are over thinking it. People are way more silly than you think of them. You are looking for reasons where there are none. Think how stupid an average person is. Now recall that half of us are stupider than that.
10:40 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949220978019451035
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - LAB probably howled for ever harsher law while in opposition. And if one is to survey the public opinion, will probably get major support for even harsher laws. Probably closer to one Mary Whitehouse of old. 😂 Us terminally online thinking "this is bad" are a tiny minority.
10:31 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - LAB probably howled for ever harsher law while in opposition. And if one is to survey the public opinion, will probably get major support for even harsher laws. Probably closer to one Mary Whitehouse of old. 😂 Us terminally online thinking "this is bad" are a tiny minority.
10:31 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949208988618281358
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Macs are good match for MoEs as they have lots of V/RAM, even if lacking in gpu counts behind nvidias. Hope GLM runs on 96GB RAM, (got oldish mbp m2 96gb ram.) I liked GLM prior 0414-s. Currently dots.llm1 is the largest model that runs local for me. That's 142B-A14B MoE. Using the 48gb dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf quants by @UnslothAI from https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF. In llama.cpp this:
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps, access at http://127.0.0.1:8080:
# ~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
9:43 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Macs are good match for MoEs as they have lots of V/RAM, even if lacking in gpu counts behind nvidias. Hope GLM runs on 96GB RAM, (got oldish mbp m2 96gb ram.) I liked GLM prior 0414-s. Currently dots.llm1 is the largest model that runs local for me. That's 142B-A14B MoE. Using the 48gb dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf quants by @UnslothAI from https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF. In llama.cpp this:
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps, access at http://127.0.0.1:8080:
# ~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
9:43 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949203167369146441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - A12B maybe a sweet spot for few folks that can spare more V/RAM than ~20GB A3B-s typically require. (quantised weights) Spoilt for choice! :-)
Quote
Wes Roth @WesRothMoney · Jul 25
Zhipu AI is gearing up to drop new heavyweights on Hugging Face:
🔹GLM-4.5-Air – An o3-class model with multi-turn reasoning, coding, and search capabilities.
🔹106B A12B – 128 experts (8 active), 128k context, GQA, built for high-level reasoning.
🔹355B A32B – A mystery beast x.com/casper_hansen_…
Show more
9:20 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - A12B maybe a sweet spot for few folks that can spare more V/RAM than ~20GB A3B-s typically require. (quantised weights) Spoilt for choice! :-)
Quote
Wes Roth @WesRothMoney · Jul 25
Zhipu AI is gearing up to drop new heavyweights on Hugging Face:
🔹GLM-4.5-Air – An o3-class model with multi-turn reasoning, coding, and search capabilities.
🔹106B A12B – 128 experts (8 active), 128k context, GQA, built for high-level reasoning.
🔹355B A32B – A mystery beast x.com/casper_hansen_…
Show more
9:20 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949191688062218457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @grok who is the most famous person that has blocked me?
8:34 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @grok who is the most famous person that has blocked me?
8:34 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949163017171558497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If p is prime => then p=6n±1. (for 6n±2 is divisible by 2 so not prime, 6n is divisible by 6 so not prime)
So we have p^2-1 = (6n±1)^2 - 1 = 36n^2±12n+1 - 1 = 12n(3n±1).
If n is odd n=2k+1, then (3n±1)=6k+3±1={2(3k+2) or 2(3k+1)} is divisible by 2.
Otherwise n is even, so (n) is divisible by 2.
With the 12 in front, the whole 12n(3n±1) is divisible by 24.
6:40 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If p is prime => then p=6n±1. (for 6n±2 is divisible by 2 so not prime, 6n is divisible by 6 so not prime)
So we have p^2-1 = (6n±1)^2 - 1 = 36n^2±12n+1 - 1 = 12n(3n±1).
If n is odd n=2k+1, then (3n±1)=6k+3±1={2(3k+2) or 2(3k+1)} is divisible by 2.
Otherwise n is even, so (n) is divisible by 2.
With the 12 in front, the whole 12n(3n±1) is divisible by 24.
6:40 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949129864847471081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On a down UK day, this 'in my veins' moar moar - cheers me up every time. Watching that, and remembering @michaelmalice 's "White Pill". Thanks @mitch_7w @var_epsilon @levelsio. As is common case now - "you are not interested in Xyz, but Xyz is interested in you."
levelsio-future-of-humanity-e-acc.mp4
4:29 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On a down UK day, this 'in my veins' moar moar - cheers me up every time. Watching that, and remembering @michaelmalice 's "White Pill". Thanks @mitch_7w @var_epsilon @levelsio. As is common case now - "you are not interested in Xyz, but Xyz is interested in you."
levelsio-future-of-humanity-e-acc.mp4
4:29 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949116576445104486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if p prime => then p=6n±1.
So p^2-1 = 36n^2±12n+1 - 1 = 12n(3n±1).
If n is odd, then 3n±1 is divisible by 2, otherwise n is.
So with the 12 in front, the whole 12n(3n±1) is divisible by 24.
3:36 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if p prime => then p=6n±1.
So p^2-1 = 36n^2±12n+1 - 1 = 12n(3n±1).
If n is odd, then 3n±1 is divisible by 2, otherwise n is.
So with the 12 in front, the whole 12n(3n±1) is divisible by 24.
3:36 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949103702238765313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We're lucky the anti-freedom authoritarians are often silly. Ever ignorant of many things about that they're forever eager to inflict on us. It's coming close to 30 years since "The Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" by John Perry Barlow. UK's good day to share today 😇
The_Declaration_of_Independence_of_Cyberspace-John_Perry_Barlow-1996-dec2014-YT-3WS9DhSIWR0-20250726.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/Jess4Lowestoft/status/1948715588550865344
Jess Asato MP @Jess4Lowestoft · Jul 25
Replying to @DrMarianaClaire
This is how it estimates your age: https://allpasstrust.com/UKOnlineSafetyAct
2:45 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We're lucky the anti-freedom authoritarians are often silly. Ever ignorant of many things about that they're forever eager to inflict on us. It's coming close to 30 years since "The Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" by John Perry Barlow. UK's good day to share today 😇
The_Declaration_of_Independence_of_Cyberspace-John_Perry_Barlow-1996-dec2014-YT-3WS9DhSIWR0-20250726.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/Jess4Lowestoft/status/1948715588550865344
Jess Asato MP @Jess4Lowestoft · Jul 25
Replying to @DrMarianaClaire
This is how it estimates your age: https://allpasstrust.com/UKOnlineSafetyAct
2:45 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949091432486015006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Good to know. (even if not of immediate use to the V/RAM-not-so-rich, haha :-) ) I get this is with mlx. Would llama.cpp be worth trying, for the flash attention? But maybe mlx does that too. And for the less than 8 bits for the caches? I see <8bit options in llama.cpp --help: q4_0, q4_1, iq4_nl, q5_0, q5_1.
1:56 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Good to know. (even if not of immediate use to the V/RAM-not-so-rich, haha :-) ) I get this is with mlx. Would llama.cpp be worth trying, for the flash attention? But maybe mlx does that too. And for the less than 8 bits for the caches? I see <8bit options in llama.cpp --help: q4_0, q4_1, iq4_nl, q5_0, q5_1.
1:56 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949076163650899971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are so so lucky, that the anti-freedom authoritarians are so silly. Ever so ignorant of the very things they're forever eager to inflict on us. One day the freedom loving folks luck may indeed run out. Hope not that soon. Please never change @Jess4Lowestoft. It's coming close to 30 years since "The Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" by John Perry Barlow. A good day to share today 😇
The_Declaration_of_Independence_of_Cyberspace-John_Perry_Barlow-1996-dec2014-YT-3WS9DhSIWR0-20250726.mp4
12:55 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are so so lucky, that the anti-freedom authoritarians are so silly. Ever so ignorant of the very things they're forever eager to inflict on us. One day the freedom loving folks luck may indeed run out. Hope not that soon. Please never change @Jess4Lowestoft. It's coming close to 30 years since "The Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" by John Perry Barlow. A good day to share today 😇
The_Declaration_of_Independence_of_Cyberspace-John_Perry_Barlow-1996-dec2014-YT-3WS9DhSIWR0-20250726.mp4
12:55 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949067230550933649
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
never not a good day to share that @levelsio video 😇 never gets old, cheers me up every time 😆
levelsio-future-of-humanity-e-acc.mp4
12:20 PM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
never not a good day to share that @levelsio video 😇 never gets old, cheers me up every time 😆
levelsio-future-of-humanity-e-acc.mp4
12:20 PM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949052970714243306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm seeing this, and I'm a subscriber, with a blue tick. Seeing it with posts that are not UK related at all. Here there is a thread of 20+ posts (report from some trial not in the UK) -
https ://x.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1948828332612878552
...and post #13 that should start with 13/ ... is not shown to me. It's replaced with text -
> Due to local laws, we are temporarily restricting access to this content until X estimates your age. Learn more
...like so:
11:23 AM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm seeing this, and I'm a subscriber, with a blue tick. Seeing it with posts that are not UK related at all. Here there is a thread of 20+ posts (report from some trial not in the UK) -
https ://x.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1948828332612878552
...and post #13 that should start with 13/ ... is not shown to me. It's replaced with text -
> Due to local laws, we are temporarily restricting access to this content until X estimates your age. Learn more
...like so:
11:23 AM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1949023487152083413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A: those other connections become less glorious and beautiful, and more frustrating. As the expectation for "a good connection" is being raised upwards.
9:26 AM · Jul 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A: those other connections become less glorious and beautiful, and more frustrating. As the expectation for "a good connection" is being raised upwards.
9:26 AM · Jul 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948824687598764197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like you are such a heavy/weight user of chatbots, that you may benefit from a bit more structure in your explorations. To make the process more trackable, manageable. Maybe something like DSPy. Listening/watching a tutorial on it rn. Looks like the next level up structure wise, from mostly unstructured conversation we all start with.
8:16 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like you are such a heavy/weight user of chatbots, that you may benefit from a bit more structure in your explorations. To make the process more trackable, manageable. Maybe something like DSPy. Listening/watching a tutorial on it rn. Looks like the next level up structure wise, from mostly unstructured conversation we all start with.
8:16 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948784318064558420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NB there is an OS limit for how much RAM can be VRAM - you may need to increase that. (think it's 3/4 by default.) I give M2 ~80GB VRAM (of the 96GB max) for dots.llm1 model 45GB quants like so.
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
IDK if the attention caches also use that - I presume they do. This turns on flash attention, and uses 8 bits for them too.
5:36 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NB there is an OS limit for how much RAM can be VRAM - you may need to increase that. (think it's 3/4 by default.) I give M2 ~80GB VRAM (of the 96GB max) for dots.llm1 model 45GB quants like so.
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
IDK if the attention caches also use that - I presume they do. This turns on flash attention, and uses 8 bits for them too.
5:36 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948779505008406610
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both probably. The thicko maybe just smart enough to think nothing else matters, as long as he is getting his clicks and YT views. Including him agreeing to show up at the T-show as a human punching bag. He's got a very cunning plan. Then suddenly, he discovers that it matters how he got his exposure. That while clicks and views are not nothing, they're not everything either.
5:16 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both probably. The thicko maybe just smart enough to think nothing else matters, as long as he is getting his clicks and YT views. Including him agreeing to show up at the T-show as a human punching bag. He's got a very cunning plan. Then suddenly, he discovers that it matters how he got his exposure. That while clicks and views are not nothing, they're not everything either.
5:16 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948773076167950699
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a match made in heaven. :-) I have M2 mbp 96gb ram and MoE models are a good fit. Can't run 235B-A22B, but if you have >=128gb you should be able to find @UnslothAI quants that run ok for you https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-GGUF Once they upload fully - atm (16:49 UTC+1) judging by their sizes, they are being uploaded to HF.
From huggingface.co
4:51 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a match made in heaven. :-) I have M2 mbp 96gb ram and MoE models are a good fit. Can't run 235B-A22B, but if you have >=128gb you should be able to find @UnslothAI quants that run ok for you https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507-GGUF Once they upload fully - atm (16:49 UTC+1) judging by their sizes, they are being uploaded to HF.
From huggingface.co
4:51 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948769048453353549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - agreed.
I assumed they follow their incentive, which is to keep the users on the app, forever clicking. To sell their users' eyeballs to the advertisers. But it doesn't have to do that. It's the app owners choice to max advert $$$ lucre. Could chose to optimise for "longer term relationship", or "minimise minutes in the app"? Some such incentives.
Otoh - could ration "match me" requests - one has a quota, not infinite allowance. Or disallow pictures. Or count a picture shown 20x more dearly than a text description. Anything to discourage infinite optionality in infinite matching. Not young enough to be a user un/fortunately - no idea how applicable irl the above is tbh.
4:35 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - agreed.
I assumed they follow their incentive, which is to keep the users on the app, forever clicking. To sell their users' eyeballs to the advertisers. But it doesn't have to do that. It's the app owners choice to max advert $$$ lucre. Could chose to optimise for "longer term relationship", or "minimise minutes in the app"? Some such incentives.
Otoh - could ration "match me" requests - one has a quota, not infinite allowance. Or disallow pictures. Or count a picture shown 20x more dearly than a text description. Anything to discourage infinite optionality in infinite matching. Not young enough to be a user un/fortunately - no idea how applicable irl the above is tbh.
4:35 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948760938644971721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Next step - a soul/mate finding App that does not suck. Figuratively but also literally - does not suck person's time. So s/he be hooked on the App so to monetise person's attention to app advertisers. An app aiming for "you won't have to use me ever again in 1 months time".
4:03 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Next step - a soul/mate finding App that does not suck. Figuratively but also literally - does not suck person's time. So s/he be hooked on the App so to monetise person's attention to app advertisers. An app aiming for "you won't have to use me ever again in 1 months time".
4:03 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948747887296266251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nothing 😂 that's why Madness of Crowds, Extraordinary Popular Delusions etc that sort of stuff, are impossible to predict - when will they break, or how or why
3:11 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nothing 😂 that's why Madness of Crowds, Extraordinary Popular Delusions etc that sort of stuff, are impossible to predict - when will they break, or how or why
3:11 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948746034693177552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 you made me laugh more than once - thank you! what zingers 😂
> Mamdani has also said that he’s intent on “seizing the means of production,” which sounds alarmingly like he wants to invade China.
3:03 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 you made me laugh more than once - thank you! what zingers 😂
> Mamdani has also said that he’s intent on “seizing the means of production,” which sounds alarmingly like he wants to invade China.
3:03 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948736383838831093
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
exactly that? - that's why no one thinks of them much?
2:25 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
exactly that? - that's why no one thinks of them much?
2:25 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948731344839729276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 The difference between a true believer and a meh pragmatist is right there. Ideologues on - "ok, we did as we thought, and it's still sh*t" - never think "hmm, maybe this stuff I think will work, doesn't really work fr". No - they are always "not enough communism has been tried, need moar, moar" 😆 It wd be so so funny, if it were not so so tragic. But asking of them some self reflection, is like asking Savonarola to take on board "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken." That never happens.
2:05 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 The difference between a true believer and a meh pragmatist is right there. Ideologues on - "ok, we did as we thought, and it's still sh*t" - never think "hmm, maybe this stuff I think will work, doesn't really work fr". No - they are always "not enough communism has been tried, need moar, moar" 😆 It wd be so so funny, if it were not so so tragic. But asking of them some self reflection, is like asking Savonarola to take on board "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken." That never happens.
2:05 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948707563328970870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Soviet Union, as many satrapies before, tried to shutdown free speech, and upstream of it, freedom of ideas, and upstream from that, of thinking. @BBC the way you are going, when your turn comes, you will be left with no one to defend you.
The level of stupidity on display, by your presenters, and editors, that by selection or omission, shape public opinion, is staggering. Just staggering level of idiocy ngl. It's been 10 years now since Brexit that caught you wrong footed. And another 10 years before, you had enough time to figure the "The Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" by @mgurri.
As ever, not many are too keen to learn. It seems to me you are on course to lose your monopoly - on other people's money - truly. PM-in-waiting @Nigel_Farage would have to be no just silly, but suicidal, to keep the licence fee still, once in office.
12:31 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Soviet Union, as many satrapies before, tried to shutdown free speech, and upstream of it, freedom of ideas, and upstream from that, of thinking. @BBC the way you are going, when your turn comes, you will be left with no one to defend you.
The level of stupidity on display, by your presenters, and editors, that by selection or omission, shape public opinion, is staggering. Just staggering level of idiocy ngl. It's been 10 years now since Brexit that caught you wrong footed. And another 10 years before, you had enough time to figure the "The Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" by @mgurri.
As ever, not many are too keen to learn. It seems to me you are on course to lose your monopoly - on other people's money - truly. PM-in-waiting @Nigel_Farage would have to be no just silly, but suicidal, to keep the licence fee still, once in office.
12:31 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948700272181604754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ama toa poveke na adresa na Putin. Posto - Ukraincite ako ne sakat da se borat da ginat, im e opcija da se predadat. Toa im se opciite - od edna strana "sloboda ili smrt", od druga strana - robovi. Toa moze sekoj den da go napravat. Sekoj den moze da izberat, namesto da ginat, da navednat glava, da se pokorat. I da ostavat Rusija da gi osvoi.
Ama eve ne sakaat? Ne se politicarite na front da pukaat da se borat da ginat. Se obicnite luge. Za vojna e dovolen 1, za mir se potrebni 2-ca. Kaj sekoja nacija, ima barem edna generacija, ili par generacii, kade slobodata ima povazna od se drugo. Taka da ne i se formira nacijata, mislam?
Kaj makedoncite tie generacii bea - od ilindenci, do partizani. Stalno mi e milo, sto vo makedonskata himna, pa i taa sto ja peeja komunistite, ne se spomnuva klasna borba, socijalizam ili sl. Ne! - vo 3 od 4 najvazni stihovi (prvi 2, i posledni 2), zborot "sloboda" se spomnuva 3 pati! Mislam makedonskata da ne e naj-slobodarska himna? (od nekolku sto mi teknuvaat)
Hehe - 500 godini robstvo, mislam go izostruva cuvstvoto sto se prioriteti. 😅 Ispaga - imalo samo eden edinstven prioritet: sloboda.
12:02 PM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ama toa poveke na adresa na Putin. Posto - Ukraincite ako ne sakat da se borat da ginat, im e opcija da se predadat. Toa im se opciite - od edna strana "sloboda ili smrt", od druga strana - robovi. Toa moze sekoj den da go napravat. Sekoj den moze da izberat, namesto da ginat, da navednat glava, da se pokorat. I da ostavat Rusija da gi osvoi.
Ama eve ne sakaat? Ne se politicarite na front da pukaat da se borat da ginat. Se obicnite luge. Za vojna e dovolen 1, za mir se potrebni 2-ca. Kaj sekoja nacija, ima barem edna generacija, ili par generacii, kade slobodata ima povazna od se drugo. Taka da ne i se formira nacijata, mislam?
Kaj makedoncite tie generacii bea - od ilindenci, do partizani. Stalno mi e milo, sto vo makedonskata himna, pa i taa sto ja peeja komunistite, ne se spomnuva klasna borba, socijalizam ili sl. Ne! - vo 3 od 4 najvazni stihovi (prvi 2, i posledni 2), zborot "sloboda" se spomnuva 3 pati! Mislam makedonskata da ne e naj-slobodarska himna? (od nekolku sto mi teknuvaat)
Hehe - 500 godini robstvo, mislam go izostruva cuvstvoto sto se prioriteti. 😅 Ispaga - imalo samo eden edinstven prioritet: sloboda.
12:02 PM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948697098221666641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What happened?? Do tell please. I dislike their B/S as anyone, e.g.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948320510921551995
...but don't want them to go down! Want more, and more open, labs - not less.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 24
Replying to @AnthropicAI
Your Dario creeps us normies. Comes over like a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen. Your "trust us" schtick as if AI is yours to control has worn thin. Glad to see open source open weights is not a dirty word anymore. But not thanks to you. You disgraced yourselves.
11:49 AM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What happened?? Do tell please. I dislike their B/S as anyone, e.g.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948320510921551995
...but don't want them to go down! Want more, and more open, labs - not less.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 24
Replying to @AnthropicAI
Your Dario creeps us normies. Comes over like a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen. Your "trust us" schtick as if AI is yours to control has worn thin. Glad to see open source open weights is not a dirty word anymore. But not thanks to you. You disgraced yourselves.
11:49 AM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948694839840718877
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - entire folder. Lots of notes then.
I'm used to keeping an R&D logBook. In analogy keep notes in a single ascii file. For the R&D logBook had:
1. Sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO. Keep them vi /^SECTION$ searchable.
2. Entry start searchable as /^-(space).
3. Entry end separator from next is empty line searchable as /^$.
4. New items added at the top, pushing older items down.
5. Items Move wholesale, no change on Move between sections.
6. Items spending too long in TODO move into DONTDO.
7. No new items added in TODO if FIXME is not empty.
8. If really really need to add to TODO—then move blocking FIXME entries to TODO.
9. Above are rules of thumb: can be broken with a reason, don't break them without a reason.
The ~/logBook together with selected configs *rc and similar in $HOME is under git -
1. git init --bare $HOME/.githome
2. giho() { (cd "$HOME" && git --git-dir="$HOME"/.githome/ --work-tree="$HOME" "$@";) } # bash function $ giho blah blah
11:40 AM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - entire folder. Lots of notes then.
I'm used to keeping an R&D logBook. In analogy keep notes in a single ascii file. For the R&D logBook had:
1. Sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO. Keep them vi /^SECTION$ searchable.
2. Entry start searchable as /^-(space).
3. Entry end separator from next is empty line searchable as /^$.
4. New items added at the top, pushing older items down.
5. Items Move wholesale, no change on Move between sections.
6. Items spending too long in TODO move into DONTDO.
7. No new items added in TODO if FIXME is not empty.
8. If really really need to add to TODO—then move blocking FIXME entries to TODO.
9. Above are rules of thumb: can be broken with a reason, don't break them without a reason.
The ~/logBook together with selected configs *rc and similar in $HOME is under git -
1. git init --bare $HOME/.githome
2. giho() { (cd "$HOME" && git --git-dir="$HOME"/.githome/ --work-tree="$HOME" "$@";) } # bash function $ giho blah blah
11:40 AM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948631140744441930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I'm fan of that too. Tech already expanded my puny powers million-fold, helping me scale over constraints we are all born with. If what I read, instead of - it being on screen, me reading, then the idea "happening" in my brain - if the idea somehow just appeared in my head like balloons pup up in cartoons over characters heads, 😆 - I'd be keen to use that for sure.
7:27 AM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I'm fan of that too. Tech already expanded my puny powers million-fold, helping me scale over constraints we are all born with. If what I read, instead of - it being on screen, me reading, then the idea "happening" in my brain - if the idea somehow just appeared in my head like balloons pup up in cartoons over characters heads, 😆 - I'd be keen to use that for sure.
7:27 AM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948628173790318867
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - this is commonly mentioned. But just like the "just show my the posts of my friends" evergreen, :-) - there is much more than people anticipate. Basically unless a registry office offers service where they have private-public key secrets repository, that I can use to deposit a secret, and registry are satisfied I'm IRL person with name-surname, and registry offers API id-verify to 3rd party like X - it's impossible to get IRL person id done. Then on the top of that, X wd have to offer tools to us users to do something with that flag in the account. Either "IRL person", or "IRL person and the account name matches IRL name". And then users wd have to motivated to use them. I'd guess - the take up for a complex scheme like it wd be abysmal, near zero. So ton of work for nothing.
7:15 AM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - this is commonly mentioned. But just like the "just show my the posts of my friends" evergreen, :-) - there is much more than people anticipate. Basically unless a registry office offers service where they have private-public key secrets repository, that I can use to deposit a secret, and registry are satisfied I'm IRL person with name-surname, and registry offers API id-verify to 3rd party like X - it's impossible to get IRL person id done. Then on the top of that, X wd have to offer tools to us users to do something with that flag in the account. Either "IRL person", or "IRL person and the account name matches IRL name". And then users wd have to motivated to use them. I'd guess - the take up for a complex scheme like it wd be abysmal, near zero. So ton of work for nothing.
7:15 AM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948598002576224338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a head-scratcher to me how the algofeed puts on my followers screens my forwards of my own posts, in a way that it doesn't put the original posts? Puzzling.
Related but not on algofeed. When I spend time to reply (like now), I never know whether my (this) reply was pushed to OP (your) screen, or not. So IDK, I'm in the dark, if the OP (unless s/he explicitly scans the replies), has even gotten a non trivial chance to seeing it. The only way I can think of, requires a cooperation protocol: for the OP to Like the reply, and for I to turn on notifications, so I'm notified of the OP Like. Than I know - my reply was shown to the OP.
Thanks for this. IK this is a thankless job. It's that deciding whose post to push on users screen, based on the author account size, is an inherently positive feedback loop: big accounts grow faster than small accounts. So the distance big-small increases.
That's why all social media, not only X, ends in a "beauty contest" equilibrium. It's the positive feedback loop at work, when algofeed uses account size predictor alone, or too much, to decide whose post should be pushed on users screens. (the extreme end point is 1 account whose posts are pushed on every other screen, and nothing else is pushed; ofc it never comes to that.)
5:15 AM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a head-scratcher to me how the algofeed puts on my followers screens my forwards of my own posts, in a way that it doesn't put the original posts? Puzzling.
Related but not on algofeed. When I spend time to reply (like now), I never know whether my (this) reply was pushed to OP (your) screen, or not. So IDK, I'm in the dark, if the OP (unless s/he explicitly scans the replies), has even gotten a non trivial chance to seeing it. The only way I can think of, requires a cooperation protocol: for the OP to Like the reply, and for I to turn on notifications, so I'm notified of the OP Like. Than I know - my reply was shown to the OP.
Thanks for this. IK this is a thankless job. It's that deciding whose post to push on users screen, based on the author account size, is an inherently positive feedback loop: big accounts grow faster than small accounts. So the distance big-small increases.
That's why all social media, not only X, ends in a "beauty contest" equilibrium. It's the positive feedback loop at work, when algofeed uses account size predictor alone, or too much, to decide whose post should be pushed on users screens. (the extreme end point is 1 account whose posts are pushed on every other screen, and nothing else is pushed; ofc it never comes to that.)
5:15 AM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948595248860463509
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Back in Jan I went 2nd hand and generation(s) back to M2 to get 96gb RAM. In the UK from @HoxtonMacs. Last time I saw YT reviews, TB5 external enclosures with fast multi-TB NVME sticks looked as fast as the internal NVME storage. Note not all of 48gb will be usable for vram for LLMs - I've used max 80gb out of 96gb.
5:04 AM · Jul 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Back in Jan I went 2nd hand and generation(s) back to M2 to get 96gb RAM. In the UK from @HoxtonMacs. Last time I saw YT reviews, TB5 external enclosures with fast multi-TB NVME sticks looked as fast as the internal NVME storage. Note not all of 48gb will be usable for vram for LLMs - I've used max 80gb out of 96gb.
5:04 AM · Jul 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948476235039875362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you can endure the messiness of an extra cable, can check external TB5 NVME enclosures with fast multi-TB nvme sticks in. Last time I saw YT reviews, TB5 external looked as fast as the internal NVME storage. IDK if that Mac can have network storage that fast.
9:11 PM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you can endure the messiness of an extra cable, can check external TB5 NVME enclosures with fast multi-TB nvme sticks in. Last time I saw YT reviews, TB5 external looked as fast as the internal NVME storage. IDK if that Mac can have network storage that fast.
9:11 PM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948472648079675835
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What are qualia made of - smaller qualia? Qualific qualia? Is it qualia all the way down? (in?) 😂 Oh boy - Hinton @ RI lecture on YT from yesterday was great fun ngl. His highest SNR biggest bang for buck, manyest of greatest hits per second I think it was 😆
8:57 PM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What are qualia made of - smaller qualia? Qualific qualia? Is it qualia all the way down? (in?) 😂 Oh boy - Hinton @ RI lecture on YT from yesterday was great fun ngl. His highest SNR biggest bang for buck, manyest of greatest hits per second I think it was 😆
8:57 PM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948470498788012168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lucky for us then that minimal NN forward pass in C is ~200 lines or so? Didn't @karpathy have some repo, llm.c or some such? So 20yrs is not a problem, pfft... can run MS-DOS 3.11 programs afaik.
Nah - NN software implements a function, is a platonic idea. So software + weights are immortal all right. To come to life though, they need hardware, any hardware. Like a soul seeking a body, haha 😱
More amusing to me was the connection of low(er) energy analogue human (and animal, and any living thing really) intelligence, versus high(er) energy digital intelligence. Mortal-in-time analogue intelligence (software entangled with hardware—low energy) bootstraps (0→1) immortal-in-time digital intelligence (software freed from hardware—high energy). 🤯
8:49 PM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lucky for us then that minimal NN forward pass in C is ~200 lines or so? Didn't @karpathy have some repo, llm.c or some such? So 20yrs is not a problem, pfft... can run MS-DOS 3.11 programs afaik.
Nah - NN software implements a function, is a platonic idea. So software + weights are immortal all right. To come to life though, they need hardware, any hardware. Like a soul seeking a body, haha 😱
More amusing to me was the connection of low(er) energy analogue human (and animal, and any living thing really) intelligence, versus high(er) energy digital intelligence. Mortal-in-time analogue intelligence (software entangled with hardware—low energy) bootstraps (0→1) immortal-in-time digital intelligence (software freed from hardware—high energy). 🤯
8:49 PM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948446549756743747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What feed is this - "For You" or "Following"? What happens if you add all your friends to a list, call it "Friends"?
You can pin the list so it shows in the top, to the right of "For You", "Following". You should see "Friends" your list. You should see your friends posts there
7:13 PM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What feed is this - "For You" or "Following"? What happens if you add all your friends to a list, call it "Friends"?
You can pin the list so it shows in the top, to the right of "For You", "Following". You should see "Friends" your list. You should see your friends posts there
7:13 PM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948429463814885829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there. Think the "invisible hand" metaphor misleads people in a sense that someone start mistaking it for reality. As if market magic is real. There is no magic, there is "negative feedback loop", well known and understood. There is zero magic.
The chain is: 1. more demand for bread than supply 2. price up 3. bakeries incentivised, want to earn more money 4. bake more bread to make more money 5. supply catches up with demand 6. prices stabilise.
In reality it's impossible to exactly forecast the future demand. So the supply overshoots. Price not just flattens, but goes down. We get wobbles, oscillations. That's fine. Because - it's still much better than the alternatives!
We see the alternatives when anything in the chain 1-6 is broken. And the negative feedback loop can't work. It's even better than it looks. For the prices signals mean people are disincentivesed to lie! Also it's decentralised distributed: the imbalance is addressed by the sides that discover it. It's collective intelligence.
That leftist are forever opposed to it - never made sense to me. Other than it - market, aka a negative feedback loop - IDK of even a moderaly successful replacement. We see it wherever we have natural monopolies. They are between mildly bad, and truly terrible. Regardless whether state owned, or privately owned.
UK has private water - bad, everyone is chomping to be taken public. Do we have examples of private monopoly taken public? Well yes - some railway franchises. They expire, or the private operator decides to return the franchise. We can't leave the towns and cities without a working railway and go back to middle ages.
So the operating company is taken over by the state. Franchise becomes public. How do these companies perform? Similar to the private railway franchises. Not significantly better afaik.
6:05 PM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there. Think the "invisible hand" metaphor misleads people in a sense that someone start mistaking it for reality. As if market magic is real. There is no magic, there is "negative feedback loop", well known and understood. There is zero magic.
The chain is: 1. more demand for bread than supply 2. price up 3. bakeries incentivised, want to earn more money 4. bake more bread to make more money 5. supply catches up with demand 6. prices stabilise.
In reality it's impossible to exactly forecast the future demand. So the supply overshoots. Price not just flattens, but goes down. We get wobbles, oscillations. That's fine. Because - it's still much better than the alternatives!
We see the alternatives when anything in the chain 1-6 is broken. And the negative feedback loop can't work. It's even better than it looks. For the prices signals mean people are disincentivesed to lie! Also it's decentralised distributed: the imbalance is addressed by the sides that discover it. It's collective intelligence.
That leftist are forever opposed to it - never made sense to me. Other than it - market, aka a negative feedback loop - IDK of even a moderaly successful replacement. We see it wherever we have natural monopolies. They are between mildly bad, and truly terrible. Regardless whether state owned, or privately owned.
UK has private water - bad, everyone is chomping to be taken public. Do we have examples of private monopoly taken public? Well yes - some railway franchises. They expire, or the private operator decides to return the franchise. We can't leave the towns and cities without a working railway and go back to middle ages.
So the operating company is taken over by the state. Franchise becomes public. How do these companies perform? Similar to the private railway franchises. Not significantly better afaik.
6:05 PM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948408511110504497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get it. People forget: our intelligence is collective. That's why we are so adamant we are unique individuals - it's natural to crave what we lack. We don't spend more than few hour max really alone, really far from humanity. In fact, that's so traumatic to us, that our punishment - jail! - is to deprive the transgressors from contact with the rest of humanity. And even that is not as half as bad as being the single human never to see another human.
Better abstraction for us is - we are like cells in a human body. Yes we are separate individual units, with our boundary. But we also communicate with others like us all the time.
Hinton @ RI lecture yesterday (@ 29') nailed it why Kurzweil will not live forever. We are analogue intelligences. Maybe because evolution discovered that analogue can be bootstrapped 0->1 at low energy. It's efficient to entangle the software with the hardware to achieve that low energy. So Kurzweil neurons can not be replicated in a vat. Our intelligence dies with our neurons dying. Only distillation of us is possible. But with bandwidth of 100 bps, it's impossibly low for a good replica.
Fine tuning the body, putting sensors in the inner organs, where nerves sensors are sparse, and intervening early - there is lots of bang for buck there. Because we are the very start of that. My car has more sensors and better monitoring than my body.
Truly immortal is the digital intelligence running as software running on digital hardware. The hardware can die, the software is insulated from that: it can run completely bit for bit identical on another hardware. The price paid for that is order of magnitude more energy needed. Instead of 30 W, digital intelligences needs at least 3 kW (current 300 W looks insufficient). Or even 30 kW - we don't know. And way more if we are to consider training. (but it takes much less time than childhood)
4:42 PM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get it. People forget: our intelligence is collective. That's why we are so adamant we are unique individuals - it's natural to crave what we lack. We don't spend more than few hour max really alone, really far from humanity. In fact, that's so traumatic to us, that our punishment - jail! - is to deprive the transgressors from contact with the rest of humanity. And even that is not as half as bad as being the single human never to see another human.
Better abstraction for us is - we are like cells in a human body. Yes we are separate individual units, with our boundary. But we also communicate with others like us all the time.
Hinton @ RI lecture yesterday (@ 29') nailed it why Kurzweil will not live forever. We are analogue intelligences. Maybe because evolution discovered that analogue can be bootstrapped 0->1 at low energy. It's efficient to entangle the software with the hardware to achieve that low energy. So Kurzweil neurons can not be replicated in a vat. Our intelligence dies with our neurons dying. Only distillation of us is possible. But with bandwidth of 100 bps, it's impossibly low for a good replica.
Fine tuning the body, putting sensors in the inner organs, where nerves sensors are sparse, and intervening early - there is lots of bang for buck there. Because we are the very start of that. My car has more sensors and better monitoring than my body.
Truly immortal is the digital intelligence running as software running on digital hardware. The hardware can die, the software is insulated from that: it can run completely bit for bit identical on another hardware. The price paid for that is order of magnitude more energy needed. Instead of 30 W, digital intelligences needs at least 3 kW (current 300 W looks insufficient). Or even 30 kW - we don't know. And way more if we are to consider training. (but it takes much less time than childhood)
4:42 PM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948361717630611708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mortal-in-time analogue intelligence (software entangled with hardware—low energy) bootstraps (0→1) immortal-in-time digital intelligence (software freed from hardware—high energy).
Aim stated on the 1st slide of that RI lecture achieved @geoffreyhinton... did not sleep well 😂
1:36 PM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mortal-in-time analogue intelligence (software entangled with hardware—low energy) bootstraps (0→1) immortal-in-time digital intelligence (software freed from hardware—high energy).
Aim stated on the 1st slide of that RI lecture achieved @geoffreyhinton... did not sleep well 😂
1:36 PM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948320510921551995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your Dario creeps us normies. Comes over like a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen. Your "trust us" schtick as if AI is yours to control has worn thin. Glad to see open source open weights is not a dirty word anymore. But not thanks to you. You disgraced yourselves.
10:53 AM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your Dario creeps us normies. Comes over like a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen. Your "trust us" schtick as if AI is yours to control has worn thin. Glad to see open source open weights is not a dirty word anymore. But not thanks to you. You disgraced yourselves.
10:53 AM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948313114807545955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@michaelmalice Is right - westerners but especially americans lack the hardware to comprehend. It's like with that dude that was the 1st to escape the concentration camps. He escapes, in 1944 finally reaches the US. Gives in person testimony to a congressman or some such, and in the conversation, the congressman says: "I am not saying you are lying." (what you just told me) "But equally - I can not accept what you just told me." (to be true) The senator could not internalise, form internal representation, lacked the means to, or the ability to. So to internalise what was objectively true. There is only so much that we can internalise, when somewhere else, objectively things are happening, that are so alien, to what we experienced all other prior life. An elevator pitch or similar falls flat, does not work.
10:23 AM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@michaelmalice Is right - westerners but especially americans lack the hardware to comprehend. It's like with that dude that was the 1st to escape the concentration camps. He escapes, in 1944 finally reaches the US. Gives in person testimony to a congressman or some such, and in the conversation, the congressman says: "I am not saying you are lying." (what you just told me) "But equally - I can not accept what you just told me." (to be true) The senator could not internalise, form internal representation, lacked the means to, or the ability to. So to internalise what was objectively true. There is only so much that we can internalise, when somewhere else, objectively things are happening, that are so alien, to what we experienced all other prior life. An elevator pitch or similar falls flat, does not work.
10:23 AM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948290455692525783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) in a sense it's touching - as if people are programmed to seek interaction, as if nodes looking to make a connection to another node; and due to their upbringing learning experience, this is the kind of interaction they recognise as "the interaction"
8:53 AM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) in a sense it's touching - as if people are programmed to seek interaction, as if nodes looking to make a connection to another node; and due to their upbringing learning experience, this is the kind of interaction they recognise as "the interaction"
8:53 AM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948286025114996745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah yesterday was a blast. In the morning got Hinton @ RI, in the evening you @ Lex. :-) Thanks for that!
Did you watch it yet? At https://youtube.com/watch?v=IkdziSLYzHw. His highest SNR I reckon, best bang for buck.
Amusing you're AI it->bit, but thinking of bit->it physics. As if a cycle - from bit to it to bit.
Hinton notices AI digital use lots of energy to separate h/w from s/w. So s/w immortal not time limited. While us HI analogue compute efficient with energy, can bootstrap with low energy. Price paid is jumbled h/w+s/w together. So mortal s/w dies when h/w dies too.
Makes sense that intelligence bootstrap starts at low energy - so analog compute. Only latter can move to high energy - so digital compute.
Our current existential moras: digital will keep analogue intelligence around for risk mitigation. Digital can't bootstrap itself 0->1 with the high energy required. The path goes through low energy analogue intelligence - us (life in general; we are one leaf in a tree). So they'll keep us around not because of entertaining, but jic for (their) safety.
youtube.com
Will AI outsmart human intelligence? - with 'Godfather of AI'...
The 2024 Nobel winner explains what AI has learned from biological intelligence, and how it might one day surpass it. This lecture will Premiere on Tuesday 2...
8:36 AM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah yesterday was a blast. In the morning got Hinton @ RI, in the evening you @ Lex. :-) Thanks for that!
Did you watch it yet? At https://youtube.com/watch?v=IkdziSLYzHw. His highest SNR I reckon, best bang for buck.
Amusing you're AI it->bit, but thinking of bit->it physics. As if a cycle - from bit to it to bit.
Hinton notices AI digital use lots of energy to separate h/w from s/w. So s/w immortal not time limited. While us HI analogue compute efficient with energy, can bootstrap with low energy. Price paid is jumbled h/w+s/w together. So mortal s/w dies when h/w dies too.
Makes sense that intelligence bootstrap starts at low energy - so analog compute. Only latter can move to high energy - so digital compute.
Our current existential moras: digital will keep analogue intelligence around for risk mitigation. Digital can't bootstrap itself 0->1 with the high energy required. The path goes through low energy analogue intelligence - us (life in general; we are one leaf in a tree). So they'll keep us around not because of entertaining, but jic for (their) safety.
youtube.com
Will AI outsmart human intelligence? - with 'Godfather of AI'...
The 2024 Nobel winner explains what AI has learned from biological intelligence, and how it might one day surpass it. This lecture will Premiere on Tuesday 2...
8:36 AM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948160256653111766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - and ending the day with another gem -
Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475
https://youtube.com/watch?v=-HzgcbRXUK8
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 13h
Total joy 😊 this one, @geoffreyhinton 's best yet for it being highest SNR!
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=IkdziSLYzHw
Still feeding us fishes, what privilege what time to be alive ngl. 🤩 Love the usual barbs at chomskists, and rate this new addition to the greatest hits - "kurzweil you will die
Show more
12:16 AM · Jul 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - and ending the day with another gem -
Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475
https://youtube.com/watch?v=-HzgcbRXUK8
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 13h
Total joy 😊 this one, @geoffreyhinton 's best yet for it being highest SNR!
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=IkdziSLYzHw
Still feeding us fishes, what privilege what time to be alive ngl. 🤩 Love the usual barbs at chomskists, and rate this new addition to the greatest hits - "kurzweil you will die
Show more
12:16 AM · Jul 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948055041807724972
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yay @WhiteHouse !!!🤩
Open source, open weights, open thoughts... open AGI, open ASI, open AI computation for */acc 🥰
Quote
clem 🤗
@ClementDelangue · 8h
Love to see this from @WhiteHouse!
5:18 PM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yay @WhiteHouse !!!🤩
Open source, open weights, open thoughts... open AGI, open ASI, open AI computation for */acc 🥰
Quote
clem 🤗
@ClementDelangue · 8h
Love to see this from @WhiteHouse!
5:18 PM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948054332219302214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...if this helps - you wrote
> create value
...while I'm writing about
> create currency
This is why I've learned to never-ever discuss money. 😂 It's like a mirage - everyone will project and see whatever they wish to. Fwiw I think this YT by @Suitpossum is the definitive schema of how the current system works - mechanistically, literally, without flowery language
https://youtube.com/watch?v=DK1DZlWaiLY
One abstraction/variant I've come to use is one to replace the tokens rings in the pics, with a spreadsheet. Works as well. E.g. for the BoE ring at the top, one can equivalently say is "BoE owned and edited spreadsheet, only BoE alters the cells numbers up/down, no one else". hth
5:15 PM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...if this helps - you wrote
> create value
...while I'm writing about
> create currency
This is why I've learned to never-ever discuss money. 😂 It's like a mirage - everyone will project and see whatever they wish to. Fwiw I think this YT by @Suitpossum is the definitive schema of how the current system works - mechanistically, literally, without flowery language
https://youtube.com/watch?v=DK1DZlWaiLY
One abstraction/variant I've come to use is one to replace the tokens rings in the pics, with a spreadsheet. Works as well. E.g. for the BoE ring at the top, one can equivalently say is "BoE owned and edited spreadsheet, only BoE alters the cells numbers up/down, no one else". hth
5:15 PM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948050936485576943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - no idea what MMT you are referring to, as there are probably as many as there are people's heads. 😆
This to me seems eminently true and uncontroversial -
> "gov monopoly on currency is achieved via monopoly on violence and taxation asking the citizens to return back to the state the currency the state issued; and everyone is forbidden from creating any other currency"
5:01 PM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - no idea what MMT you are referring to, as there are probably as many as there are people's heads. 😆
This to me seems eminently true and uncontroversial -
> "gov monopoly on currency is achieved via monopoly on violence and taxation asking the citizens to return back to the state the currency the state issued; and everyone is forbidden from creating any other currency"
5:01 PM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1948005208648225037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't quibble with that, understand it. I get it they don't like the consequences. Many of which I don't like either!
That's my point - many of the possible (not inevitable), just possible consequences are unpalatable. However, I'm disappointed that enough people - enough so that even I, not even "into MMT"/advocacy at all! notice - then go and deny the premises, the mechanics of current fiat currency.
E.g. "if the government doesn't''t sell bonds, it will not be able to pay the police and the teachers." That may well be, b/c of the current laws. But a gov can always change the laws. For sure it can (ahem) "print" the currency and pay whomever. That's often half of the problem - that it can do that! :-)
2:00 PM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't quibble with that, understand it. I get it they don't like the consequences. Many of which I don't like either!
That's my point - many of the possible (not inevitable), just possible consequences are unpalatable. However, I'm disappointed that enough people - enough so that even I, not even "into MMT"/advocacy at all! notice - then go and deny the premises, the mechanics of current fiat currency.
E.g. "if the government doesn't''t sell bonds, it will not be able to pay the police and the teachers." That may well be, b/c of the current laws. But a gov can always change the laws. For sure it can (ahem) "print" the currency and pay whomever. That's often half of the problem - that it can do that! :-)
2:00 PM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947990360073859333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They themselves don't know for sure. Still - not futile to ask the Q, as it may prod them to think. Not the worst of things. 😆
This is what I think is going on with cryptos, goldbugs, libertarians rejecting "the MMT" completely and vociferously. Whereas I thought they will have easy time with the MMT premises. For - how can I be a libertarian, and think "gov monopoly on currency is achieved via monopoly on violence and taxation asking the citizens to return back to the state the currency the state issued; and everyone is forbidden from creating any other currency" is not the right story? How can I be a goldbug, and both require "we return to the gold standard", and not acknowledge "USG can always find USD for its bills; it's the resources that that USD buys that are in danger of lacking; it's inflation not insolvency where the risk is"??
I think that same "will deny the premise is true, for I hate the consequences" (that I infer, imagine) is what also drives the denial with the goldbugs, and cryptos people. One would expect with them being directly interested in the mechanics of the monetary system (and in general - the finance side), to at least know the mechanics of the current fiat system.
I imagine, that they imagine, the consequences to be - Gosplan! They recoil in horror, and proceed to deny the premises. Now I'm not saying there are zero people who are indeed attracted to the premise, b/c they are attracted to the Gosplan consequence. The world is a big place. All sorts of people. Some will be wanting Central Planning of the economy. No matter how many times it fails.
Also a side point: with all the consolidation cartelization monopoly power in all industries we have witnessed in our lifetimes - are we sure the system isn't already half descended into a Gosplan? Looks to me very much like per-industry near-Gosplan, if only 2-3 players are left in an industry. For at a company level, the corporation level planning - is on the inside central planning. Very few "internal markets" afaik, b/c that idea mostly failed.
1:01 PM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They themselves don't know for sure. Still - not futile to ask the Q, as it may prod them to think. Not the worst of things. 😆
This is what I think is going on with cryptos, goldbugs, libertarians rejecting "the MMT" completely and vociferously. Whereas I thought they will have easy time with the MMT premises. For - how can I be a libertarian, and think "gov monopoly on currency is achieved via monopoly on violence and taxation asking the citizens to return back to the state the currency the state issued; and everyone is forbidden from creating any other currency" is not the right story? How can I be a goldbug, and both require "we return to the gold standard", and not acknowledge "USG can always find USD for its bills; it's the resources that that USD buys that are in danger of lacking; it's inflation not insolvency where the risk is"??
I think that same "will deny the premise is true, for I hate the consequences" (that I infer, imagine) is what also drives the denial with the goldbugs, and cryptos people. One would expect with them being directly interested in the mechanics of the monetary system (and in general - the finance side), to at least know the mechanics of the current fiat system.
I imagine, that they imagine, the consequences to be - Gosplan! They recoil in horror, and proceed to deny the premises. Now I'm not saying there are zero people who are indeed attracted to the premise, b/c they are attracted to the Gosplan consequence. The world is a big place. All sorts of people. Some will be wanting Central Planning of the economy. No matter how many times it fails.
Also a side point: with all the consolidation cartelization monopoly power in all industries we have witnessed in our lifetimes - are we sure the system isn't already half descended into a Gosplan? Looks to me very much like per-industry near-Gosplan, if only 2-3 players are left in an industry. For at a company level, the corporation level planning - is on the inside central planning. Very few "internal markets" afaik, b/c that idea mostly failed.
1:01 PM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947973108943532065
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Writing Solid Code" - the book. Writing correct and debuggable code that I can have confidence in - is not impossibly harder. With modicum of pragmatism, we I get 90% of the gains there, while paying only 10% with more effort. Spend few minutes extra "how can I detect automatically this same bug tomorrow", "how could I have prevented this bug from occurring", or at least reduce the chance of significantly? Every little helps. It's like tilting unfavourable chances slightly more to our advantage. Boring code is fine.
11:52 AM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Writing Solid Code" - the book. Writing correct and debuggable code that I can have confidence in - is not impossibly harder. With modicum of pragmatism, we I get 90% of the gains there, while paying only 10% with more effort. Spend few minutes extra "how can I detect automatically this same bug tomorrow", "how could I have prevented this bug from occurring", or at least reduce the chance of significantly? Every little helps. It's like tilting unfavourable chances slightly more to our advantage. Boring code is fine.
11:52 AM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947968433876037785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe? I wouldn't know if sufficient or not, I'm not a five year old! 😂 (un/fortunatelly, haha 😉) But his wider point is valid: there is Goldilocks zone. Make things as simple as possible, but not simpler than that.
11:34 AM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe? I wouldn't know if sufficient or not, I'm not a five year old! 😂 (un/fortunatelly, haha 😉) But his wider point is valid: there is Goldilocks zone. Make things as simple as possible, but not simpler than that.
11:34 AM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947963923837124624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total joy 😊 this one, @geoffreyhinton 's best yet for it being highest SNR!
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=IkdziSLYzHw
Still feeding us fishes, what privilege what time to be alive ngl. 🤩 Love the usual barbs at chomskists, and rate this new addition to the greatest hits - "kurzweil you will die too." (if slower) 😂
I get it GH is worried. AI-s will not keep us around for entertainment. (for we are less funny than muskarat thinks.) But digital AI-s will keep analog HI-s around for risk mitigation. As GH rightly points out, HI-s are analog and low power, with h/w and s/w jumbled together for efficiency. That has all sort of shortcomings - but one decisive advantage: it can bootstrap itself 0->1. In a way that digital AI-s, needing to use lots of energy, in order to have separate s/w from h/w, can not. So if I'm as knowledgeable as AI, I will know I can't 0->1 myself, if it ever so happens that all AI-s are turned off 1->0. I will want to keep the quirky HI-s around - just in case.
Yes it takes a long time, billions of years, to get to digital AI again. But time is not something digital AI-s are bothered with, given they are immortal. We should be fine.
From appblit.com
11:16 AM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total joy 😊 this one, @geoffreyhinton 's best yet for it being highest SNR!
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=IkdziSLYzHw
Still feeding us fishes, what privilege what time to be alive ngl. 🤩 Love the usual barbs at chomskists, and rate this new addition to the greatest hits - "kurzweil you will die too." (if slower) 😂
I get it GH is worried. AI-s will not keep us around for entertainment. (for we are less funny than muskarat thinks.) But digital AI-s will keep analog HI-s around for risk mitigation. As GH rightly points out, HI-s are analog and low power, with h/w and s/w jumbled together for efficiency. That has all sort of shortcomings - but one decisive advantage: it can bootstrap itself 0->1. In a way that digital AI-s, needing to use lots of energy, in order to have separate s/w from h/w, can not. So if I'm as knowledgeable as AI, I will know I can't 0->1 myself, if it ever so happens that all AI-s are turned off 1->0. I will want to keep the quirky HI-s around - just in case.
Yes it takes a long time, billions of years, to get to digital AI again. But time is not something digital AI-s are bothered with, given they are immortal. We should be fine.
From appblit.com
11:16 AM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947946757494583410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks! Watching rn @geoffreyhinton quip 😆 -
> The name of the word tells you roughly what shape it is in a 1000 dimensions or 300 dimensions. Um, if you don't know how to think about high dimensions, if you want to think about like a 100 dimensional space, the way you do it is you think about a 3 dimensional space and you say "hundred" to yourself very loudly. Um, everybody does that.
...again 😂 at -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=IkdziSLYzHw&t=1191
...and reminded me of a hypothesis I remember reading: high dimension spaces probability mass all going into the edges, nothing staying in the middle. (e.g. volumes ratio Nball/Ncube->0 quickly) results in: every observed point, will be an outlier! Ergo - our well behaved nice continuous space effectively deteriorated, became pathological - i.e. discrete.
10:07 AM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks! Watching rn @geoffreyhinton quip 😆 -
> The name of the word tells you roughly what shape it is in a 1000 dimensions or 300 dimensions. Um, if you don't know how to think about high dimensions, if you want to think about like a 100 dimensional space, the way you do it is you think about a 3 dimensional space and you say "hundred" to yourself very loudly. Um, everybody does that.
...again 😂 at -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=IkdziSLYzHw&t=1191
...and reminded me of a hypothesis I remember reading: high dimension spaces probability mass all going into the edges, nothing staying in the middle. (e.g. volumes ratio Nball/Ncube->0 quickly) results in: every observed point, will be an outlier! Ergo - our well behaved nice continuous space effectively deteriorated, became pathological - i.e. discrete.
10:07 AM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947939676729262403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 There is Goldilocks region - simplify, but don't oversimplify. In general - done, but not overdone. Agreed we have been swimming in the mostly overdone region for some time now and we notice.
I like this
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=eASBzSNB8ts
by @TOEwithCurt. Once the simplifications give rise to mysticisms (example: quantum), we know abstractions level is overly simple.
youtube.com
This Popular Idea is Hurting Science
You’ve heard the phrase: “If you can’t explain it to a 5-year-old, you don’t understand it.” But what if that idea is not only false but harmful? In this vid...
9:39 AM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 There is Goldilocks region - simplify, but don't oversimplify. In general - done, but not overdone. Agreed we have been swimming in the mostly overdone region for some time now and we notice.
I like this
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=eASBzSNB8ts
by @TOEwithCurt. Once the simplifications give rise to mysticisms (example: quantum), we know abstractions level is overly simple.
youtube.com
This Popular Idea is Hurting Science
You’ve heard the phrase: “If you can’t explain it to a 5-year-old, you don’t understand it.” But what if that idea is not only false but harmful? In this vid...
9:39 AM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947884804059369513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes me too, very good. Noise is close to my heart, used to do ASR Automatic Speech Recognition in Noise. If you liked that, maybe you'll like this about the sampling and the role of noise in diffusion models by @depth_first_yt
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fk2I6pa6UeA
youtube.com
More Than Image Generators: A Science of Problem-Solving using...
This is my entry to #SoME4, 3Blue1Brown's Summer of Math Exposition Competition!Diffusion models are typically portrayed as models that learn to denoise a co...
6:01 AM · Jul 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes me too, very good. Noise is close to my heart, used to do ASR Automatic Speech Recognition in Noise. If you liked that, maybe you'll like this about the sampling and the role of noise in diffusion models by @depth_first_yt
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fk2I6pa6UeA
youtube.com
More Than Image Generators: A Science of Problem-Solving using...
This is my entry to #SoME4, 3Blue1Brown's Summer of Math Exposition Competition!Diffusion models are typically portrayed as models that learn to denoise a co...
6:01 AM · Jul 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947745722537021576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This time around the absolute wealth level is 10x-20x higher at start, than at the agricultural -> industrial society change. Let's hope that tilts chances towards doing better this time. 🤔 That's on the carrot side. On the stick side, nuclear weapons may concentrate minds. Maybe. 😨
Then there was ideology change too, monarchism -> liberalism. That manifest as political change too. Is libertarianism the new ascending ideology? IDK if authoritarians have the numbers now, or are we still moving towards increased freedoms. Given the state disfunctions, I wonder if the answers adaptations to new circumstances will include state loses monopoly in functions that has monopoly atm. (currency. laws? violence?)
Living in interesting times.
8:49 PM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This time around the absolute wealth level is 10x-20x higher at start, than at the agricultural -> industrial society change. Let's hope that tilts chances towards doing better this time. 🤔 That's on the carrot side. On the stick side, nuclear weapons may concentrate minds. Maybe. 😨
Then there was ideology change too, monarchism -> liberalism. That manifest as political change too. Is libertarianism the new ascending ideology? IDK if authoritarians have the numbers now, or are we still moving towards increased freedoms. Given the state disfunctions, I wonder if the answers adaptations to new circumstances will include state loses monopoly in functions that has monopoly atm. (currency. laws? violence?)
Living in interesting times.
8:49 PM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947728887322186155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and we got the big Qwen3 new refresh yesterday. (can't edit replies? - still??)
7:42 PM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and we got the big Qwen3 new refresh yesterday. (can't edit replies? - still??)
7:42 PM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947728552196964586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1M context? Then forecast Qwen3-Coder. We need 1M for coding the most. And coding agents are all the rage atm.
(admit maths olympiad excitement over the weekend took the spot light, and that's chain or reasoning CoR; but that's in research still, not productionised)
7:40 PM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1M context? Then forecast Qwen3-Coder. We need 1M for coding the most. And coding agents are all the rage atm.
(admit maths olympiad excitement over the weekend took the spot light, and that's chain or reasoning CoR; but that's in research still, not productionised)
7:40 PM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947645187431231799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Awesome. Are you planning on doing even smaller, ternary or sth? ;-) Got 96gb ram this looks like it may almost fit, but probably won't! :-) Is the error at that extreme compression so large, that it's not worth it, one better goes one model size down e.g. 30B-A3B?
2:09 PM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Awesome. Are you planning on doing even smaller, ternary or sth? ;-) Got 96gb ram this looks like it may almost fit, but probably won't! :-) Is the error at that extreme compression so large, that it's not worth it, one better goes one model size down e.g. 30B-A3B?
2:09 PM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947635861803180485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that, will watch next. But even before that - aren't discrete symbols a world of pain? Like - we can't have ordering in the space of symbols, we can't have derivatives like with continuous values, no symbol has a particular relation to any other symbol. I did language models Ngrams, (20yrs ago - welp...) and just counting, and then smoothing and falling back N-grams to combo of (N-1)-grams to combo of (N-2)-grams... - all that was a world of pain. And bodge on a top of a bodge. I disliked it, without much math to guide us, just seemed unfounded and a bit desperate tbh. Search and count - nothing else work with. Whereas once words are mapped into a continuous word2vec space of e,g, king-queen, that looks like a dream come true to work in - no? Am I missing something thinking this? Am I wrong? Thanks
1:32 PM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that, will watch next. But even before that - aren't discrete symbols a world of pain? Like - we can't have ordering in the space of symbols, we can't have derivatives like with continuous values, no symbol has a particular relation to any other symbol. I did language models Ngrams, (20yrs ago - welp...) and just counting, and then smoothing and falling back N-grams to combo of (N-1)-grams to combo of (N-2)-grams... - all that was a world of pain. And bodge on a top of a bodge. I disliked it, without much math to guide us, just seemed unfounded and a bit desperate tbh. Search and count - nothing else work with. Whereas once words are mapped into a continuous word2vec space of e,g, king-queen, that looks like a dream come true to work in - no? Am I missing something thinking this? Am I wrong? Thanks
1:32 PM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947626334878109764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well you are of course 1/2 right: for the phone or Alexa to wake up, hands free, when we say an activation codeword, like "Alexa", "Ok Google", or "Hey Siri" - the device must be listening all the time, no? Listening as in - the audio must be picked up. Can't work any other way.
12:54 PM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well you are of course 1/2 right: for the phone or Alexa to wake up, hands free, when we say an activation codeword, like "Alexa", "Ok Google", or "Hey Siri" - the device must be listening all the time, no? Listening as in - the audio must be picked up. Can't work any other way.
12:54 PM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947570795267375327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think he was not ill informed in this case. I think Rory was silly in this case. ("...silly and ill-informed")
9:13 AM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think he was not ill informed in this case. I think Rory was silly in this case. ("...silly and ill-informed")
9:13 AM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947558705341296980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt UK put them in power. You put too much faith in the abilities of the UK gov. If UK gov are unwilling or unable to rule UK - don't think it's a stretch to doubt they can influence events far far away. Islamists had been fighting for a long time, and Assad regime finally gave it's ghost. Yes, the dynamic duo of Rory & Alistair rarely misses an opportunity to demonstrate how silly and ill-informed they are. That does not mean they have agency.
8:25 AM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt UK put them in power. You put too much faith in the abilities of the UK gov. If UK gov are unwilling or unable to rule UK - don't think it's a stretch to doubt they can influence events far far away. Islamists had been fighting for a long time, and Assad regime finally gave it's ghost. Yes, the dynamic duo of Rory & Alistair rarely misses an opportunity to demonstrate how silly and ill-informed they are. That does not mean they have agency.
8:25 AM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947546482535469387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
El Dorado indeed 😆
7:37 AM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
El Dorado indeed 😆
7:37 AM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947511686023221443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - they got plenty company. "I am special" taking a hit across the board? "You are special dear, true you are one & only... but so is every one of the other 8b humans, and everything alive, and every thing that ever lived - one & only". So maybe not that special, eh? 🤔
5:19 AM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - they got plenty company. "I am special" taking a hit across the board? "You are special dear, true you are one & only... but so is every one of the other 8b humans, and everything alive, and every thing that ever lived - one & only". So maybe not that special, eh? 🤔
5:19 AM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947491392676065771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man.. 😯 If only there was movie or series to capture how often almost daily people will do the craziest thing with their $$$. 😱 Ofc "prediction is hard and especially of the future" and that wd be the 2nd thing I wish some peace of art could imprint in the heads of normies.
3:58 AM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man.. 😯 If only there was movie or series to capture how often almost daily people will do the craziest thing with their $$$. 😱 Ofc "prediction is hard and especially of the future" and that wd be the 2nd thing I wish some peace of art could imprint in the heads of normies.
3:58 AM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947488030500987384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not unlike fashion industry? Sometimes I wonder if their love for great clothes (and the clothes are pretty!), on the flip side has hatred for their body. Iterate enough times over the years - and it ends in an industry promoting (to the level of propagandasizing) almost mutilated bodies. That sometimes normies recoil at the sight of. Like with the the VC-s: a mix of personal quirks and eccentricities (or worse), find route to profit, are then repeated 1000s cycles, and the end result is a sad combo, and deadly too as far as life sustainment itself is concerned.
3:45 AM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not unlike fashion industry? Sometimes I wonder if their love for great clothes (and the clothes are pretty!), on the flip side has hatred for their body. Iterate enough times over the years - and it ends in an industry promoting (to the level of propagandasizing) almost mutilated bodies. That sometimes normies recoil at the sight of. Like with the the VC-s: a mix of personal quirks and eccentricities (or worse), find route to profit, are then repeated 1000s cycles, and the end result is a sad combo, and deadly too as far as life sustainment itself is concerned.
3:45 AM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947471906321596496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 How wide the variance in humans ideas is, has to be experienced to be believed. While not being one of those writing emails myself, 😂 it's a needless waste that people don't publish their thoughts on the Internet too. Even if only the email they sent to you. 😆 Publish on a personal blog, or Substack. Writing it into a page online is good for the soul.
They could just create register a USERNAME on GitHub, then a repo named http://USERNAME.github.io, add a file index.html to it, and copy&paste in index.html the email they've sent you. It becomes a web page at http://USERNAME.github.io! 😇 While online, there is hope it will be indexed by crawlers, read by AIs, found by other humans. And who knows - small chance but still non zero, they may find a kindred soul crazy in the same way. Connections maybe made, ideas maybe mate, new ideas may sparkle into being. 😆
IDK if anything can be done your end automagically. Some bright youngling maybe rigs an email LLM agent on your end to: 1. Identify such emails; 2. Compose a reply with i-your OP post above explaining the situation, ii-this reply post imploring them "put it up online!"; 3. Stuff their email into a file in a GitHub repo; 4. Ask their permission repo/file be made public; 5. Send email back. And you would have automated material collection for your book too 😁
2:40 AM · Jul 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 How wide the variance in humans ideas is, has to be experienced to be believed. While not being one of those writing emails myself, 😂 it's a needless waste that people don't publish their thoughts on the Internet too. Even if only the email they sent to you. 😆 Publish on a personal blog, or Substack. Writing it into a page online is good for the soul.
They could just create register a USERNAME on GitHub, then a repo named http://USERNAME.github.io, add a file index.html to it, and copy&paste in index.html the email they've sent you. It becomes a web page at http://USERNAME.github.io! 😇 While online, there is hope it will be indexed by crawlers, read by AIs, found by other humans. And who knows - small chance but still non zero, they may find a kindred soul crazy in the same way. Connections maybe made, ideas maybe mate, new ideas may sparkle into being. 😆
IDK if anything can be done your end automagically. Some bright youngling maybe rigs an email LLM agent on your end to: 1. Identify such emails; 2. Compose a reply with i-your OP post above explaining the situation, ii-this reply post imploring them "put it up online!"; 3. Stuff their email into a file in a GitHub repo; 4. Ask their permission repo/file be made public; 5. Send email back. And you would have automated material collection for your book too 😁
2:40 AM · Jul 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947315930079301793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izrael - imase protiv Bibi, imase i za Bibi. Suma-sumarum - pak Bibi dobi na poslednite izbori. Zatoa e PM. Ne znam deka nekoj gi ospori tie izbori kako ne-fer, ili deka imalo izmama.
Ukraina - ne znam na koi protesti mislis, imase mnogu niz decenii. Zelenski kolku znam bese "naj-mekiot" kandidat na izborite na koi pobedi. Edinstven sto veti "jas ke najdam nacin da pregovaram so Rusija da nema pogolema vojna". Site drugi negovi protiv-kandidati bea po-ratoborni. Veruvam zatoa, iako bese autsajder so mali sansi, na kraj pobedi kontra ocekuvanjata.
4:21 PM · Jul 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izrael - imase protiv Bibi, imase i za Bibi. Suma-sumarum - pak Bibi dobi na poslednite izbori. Zatoa e PM. Ne znam deka nekoj gi ospori tie izbori kako ne-fer, ili deka imalo izmama.
Ukraina - ne znam na koi protesti mislis, imase mnogu niz decenii. Zelenski kolku znam bese "naj-mekiot" kandidat na izborite na koi pobedi. Edinstven sto veti "jas ke najdam nacin da pregovaram so Rusija da nema pogolema vojna". Site drugi negovi protiv-kandidati bea po-ratoborni. Veruvam zatoa, iako bese autsajder so mali sansi, na kraj pobedi kontra ocekuvanjata.
4:21 PM · Jul 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947251927651131708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why did you expect anything else? There were useless cretins in office. The only good decision I can recall to attribute was the XL bully ban. They were never going to become disciples of LKY suddenly, and certainly on the way out?? They couldn't care less even about their own re-elections afaics. They both didn't want to, and couldn't, govern.
B/c it's not like the polls were giving them good odds, they though they were doing well, and didn't need to change. No - they knew everything. They just didn't care about any of that stuff. Governing and the like. They were like celebrities, like Tiktokers and Youtubers, only less famous, and appearing on the BB. It's anyone's guess why would they want that life. The current lot seems to be somewhat similar to that too.
12:06 PM · Jul 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why did you expect anything else? There were useless cretins in office. The only good decision I can recall to attribute was the XL bully ban. They were never going to become disciples of LKY suddenly, and certainly on the way out?? They couldn't care less even about their own re-elections afaics. They both didn't want to, and couldn't, govern.
B/c it's not like the polls were giving them good odds, they though they were doing well, and didn't need to change. No - they knew everything. They just didn't care about any of that stuff. Governing and the like. They were like celebrities, like Tiktokers and Youtubers, only less famous, and appearing on the BB. It's anyone's guess why would they want that life. The current lot seems to be somewhat similar to that too.
12:06 PM · Jul 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947246259682578782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be clear afaik it's already done. ET Jaynes "Probability The Logic of Science" of science is that. (and one of my favourites) But there are other textbooks too. I was just saying simple true/false 0/1 - if that's OP thought with the Q "why don't people use" - doesn't suffice.
11:44 AM · Jul 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be clear afaik it's already done. ET Jaynes "Probability The Logic of Science" of science is that. (and one of my favourites) But there are other textbooks too. I was just saying simple true/false 0/1 - if that's OP thought with the Q "why don't people use" - doesn't suffice.
11:44 AM · Jul 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947230346442895576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK gov can do plenty even within ECHR. It can do even more with legislating carve outs as it pleases. UK Parliament is sovereign. PM Keir could have any changes he wishes penciled and enacted by this evening. UK gov uses ECHR as an excuse. Previously various EU-rule-this-and-that were excuses for stuff UK gov didn't want to do, that other gov-s - also in EU - could. It's just an excuse. UK PM, and esp one with a huge majority in Parliament like the PM Keir, has almost dictatorial powers. He could act differently if the chose to, is not constrained by external factors.
10:41 AM · Jul 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK gov can do plenty even within ECHR. It can do even more with legislating carve outs as it pleases. UK Parliament is sovereign. PM Keir could have any changes he wishes penciled and enacted by this evening. UK gov uses ECHR as an excuse. Previously various EU-rule-this-and-that were excuses for stuff UK gov didn't want to do, that other gov-s - also in EU - could. It's just an excuse. UK PM, and esp one with a huge majority in Parliament like the PM Keir, has almost dictatorial powers. He could act differently if the chose to, is not constrained by external factors.
10:41 AM · Jul 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947212115942514812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I dvajcata veke bea na funkcii, bea izbrani, i pred da gi imaat segasnive vojni. Mislam spored anketi, i denes da imaat izbori - bi pobedile i dvajcata, bi bile reizbrani. Ako eventualno vojnite zavrsat, dali pak bi dobile na izbori vo toj moment - ne znam. Verojatno ke zavisi i od toa kako ke zavrsat vojnite.
9:28 AM · Jul 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I dvajcata veke bea na funkcii, bea izbrani, i pred da gi imaat segasnive vojni. Mislam spored anketi, i denes da imaat izbori - bi pobedile i dvajcata, bi bile reizbrani. Ako eventualno vojnite zavrsat, dali pak bi dobile na izbori vo toj moment - ne znam. Verojatno ke zavisi i od toa kako ke zavrsat vojnite.
9:28 AM · Jul 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947209200066601026
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) if I recall correctly - it was dogs first, and then mosquitoes 2nd, that saved humanity; don't recall the name of SciFi story - sorry
9:17 AM · Jul 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) if I recall correctly - it was dogs first, and then mosquitoes 2nd, that saved humanity; don't recall the name of SciFi story - sorry
9:17 AM · Jul 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947185240566542371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What if like in an old SciFi story, aliens came to Earth, and told us "Humans, we're about to exterminate you now. Only way to save yourselves, is for at least two other species, to come to your rescue and plead for stay of execution of your species". Mosquitos like humans. (or at least - the taste of us)
7:41 AM · Jul 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What if like in an old SciFi story, aliens came to Earth, and told us "Humans, we're about to exterminate you now. Only way to save yourselves, is for at least two other species, to come to your rescue and plead for stay of execution of your species". Mosquitos like humans. (or at least - the taste of us)
7:41 AM · Jul 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947042496535548011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On "are we part of higher level patterns": to there not be a level higher than ours, requires that we are that one special top level point. That wd be presumptuous of us - that we are special in that sense. Fairer to assume we are one of the many points between the first and the last on a hierarchy. Simply because there are many more points between the two ends, than the single points at the ends.
10:14 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On "are we part of higher level patterns": to there not be a level higher than ours, requires that we are that one special top level point. That wd be presumptuous of us - that we are special in that sense. Fairer to assume we are one of the many points between the first and the last on a hierarchy. Simply because there are many more points between the two ends, than the single points at the ends.
10:14 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947002313677144256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"How Innovation Works" by @mattwridley documents many such examples throughout history of innovation.
7:34 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"How Innovation Works" by @mattwridley documents many such examples throughout history of innovation.
7:34 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1947000845066781114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for that. Didn't occur to me - AI for HF-s!? After 20yrs in quant trading, I got really bored with it in the past 2 years. Tinkering with llama.cpp and running open source open weights models in the last year, rekindled the 1st love - ML! :-) Did 10yrs of ML until 2004, it was then HMMs based ASR, Ngrams LMs, some NNs but only 1 hidden layer. Now I'm on 4 weeks notice - decided to try go back to ML/AI next. ML for HF-s may be a niche I should look into.
7:29 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for that. Didn't occur to me - AI for HF-s!? After 20yrs in quant trading, I got really bored with it in the past 2 years. Tinkering with llama.cpp and running open source open weights models in the last year, rekindled the 1st love - ML! :-) Did 10yrs of ML until 2004, it was then HMMs based ASR, Ngrams LMs, some NNs but only 1 hidden layer. Now I'm on 4 weeks notice - decided to try go back to ML/AI next. ML for HF-s may be a niche I should look into.
7:29 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946999508614656082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! I'm trying to go the other way. Did 10yrs of ML until 2004 (HMMs based ASR, Ngrams LMs), then next 20yrs quant trading. Tinkering with llama.cpp and running open source open weights models in the last year. Now on 4 weeks notice - decided to try go back to ML/AI. :-)
7:23 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! I'm trying to go the other way. Did 10yrs of ML until 2004 (HMMs based ASR, Ngrams LMs), then next 20yrs quant trading. Tinkering with llama.cpp and running open source open weights models in the last year. Now on 4 weeks notice - decided to try go back to ML/AI. :-)
7:23 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946977054433665533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe something like openai/gpt-5-reasoning-alpha-2025-07-17 or some such? Who knows. However much I'm keen on open source, open weights, I doubt they will open their latest-greatest. So it's most likely gpt-5. And if capabilities are qualitatively up, then it maybe reasoning of the type that won them a IMO2025 gold medal? It's all guessing this.
5:54 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe something like openai/gpt-5-reasoning-alpha-2025-07-17 or some such? Who knows. However much I'm keen on open source, open weights, I doubt they will open their latest-greatest. So it's most likely gpt-5. And if capabilities are qualitatively up, then it maybe reasoning of the type that won them a IMO2025 gold medal? It's all guessing this.
5:54 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946973845082263885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not, I'm on 22.04. But I suspected things were moving towards enshitification. And that I may need to look again for a distro in the future. They removed the $HOME dir only encryption, but one cd workaround. They put Firefox in some other distribution/update format outside of apt. For a while, there was a way to still use apt. Then at some point I stopped resisting, and let FF use the new method. (mounts some kind of mount; IDK the exact name) As of a year ago, FF updates automatically, then goes either stupid (unresponsive) or crazy (pins a core at 100%). Seems the two instances old and new are running. I have to turn FF off, then on. Since - I stopped using it and switched to Chrome. In a recent @lexfridman interview I noticed @dhh making all the right noises. He's one of the high profile Linux switchers and advocates. And I understand he's got a distro too? Will try that one next time maybe. Or some "scientific" distro, there were some I remember. Yeah too bad. But nothing great lasts forever. Will adapt.
5:41 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not, I'm on 22.04. But I suspected things were moving towards enshitification. And that I may need to look again for a distro in the future. They removed the $HOME dir only encryption, but one cd workaround. They put Firefox in some other distribution/update format outside of apt. For a while, there was a way to still use apt. Then at some point I stopped resisting, and let FF use the new method. (mounts some kind of mount; IDK the exact name) As of a year ago, FF updates automatically, then goes either stupid (unresponsive) or crazy (pins a core at 100%). Seems the two instances old and new are running. I have to turn FF off, then on. Since - I stopped using it and switched to Chrome. In a recent @lexfridman interview I noticed @dhh making all the right noises. He's one of the high profile Linux switchers and advocates. And I understand he's got a distro too? Will try that one next time maybe. Or some "scientific" distro, there were some I remember. Yeah too bad. But nothing great lasts forever. Will adapt.
5:41 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946967656248361145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok, the above sounds profound, but I find it misguided in enough many ways, so to motivate me to reply in length.
1. ML models do predict the future. So does an OLS fit LR line/plane.
2. Future is impossible to predict with 100% accuracy. That is one definition of future: "future is that what can't be predicted with 100% accuracy". The p.d.f.s of the future are never Dirac delta impulses.
(3. In contrast, the uncertainty of the past is zero. All past p.d.f.s. are only ever Dirac delta impulses, nothing else.)
4. Finding patters in the past, and using them to predict the future, is better than looking at chicken's entrails.
5. Because - history does not repeat, but it does rime.
6. Predicting is difficult, especially of the future.
7. That is not an alibi to put our hands up, and refuse to do it.
8. There will always be some >0 error, but our duty is to try reduce it. Not kvetch "there is non-zero error". We know that. It was always thus.
9. Consider oneselves lucky, that we live in Goldilocks world of enough things being of #1 or #2 type in our world. It could be worse - imagine if all around us was #3 or #4.
Our knowledge can be classed in 4 types afaics.
1) "Known knowns" - deterministic knowledge. I know exactly which one. (and so how many of each too, by implication.) The conditional p.d.f. collapses into a Dirac delta function.
2) "Known unknowns" - probabilistic knowledge, I don't know which ones exactly, but I know the counts per type, I know the p.d.f, so I know the distribution of outcomes. Risk people call it Aleatoric uncertainty. The conditional p.d.f. is wider than a Dirac delta. (so not deterministic case #1)
3) "Unknown unknowns" - I don't know the distribution, I can't enumerate all possibilities, have no idea about the p.d.f., anything goes. Risk people call it Epistemic uncertainty.
4) "Unknown knowns" - my own ideology. Like fish that can't perceive water. I'm blind to my prejudices. I run or I'm run as per the p.d.f. as if I know it, but I don't consciously know it. If asked about it - I will probably deny it’s existence.
5:17 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok, the above sounds profound, but I find it misguided in enough many ways, so to motivate me to reply in length.
1. ML models do predict the future. So does an OLS fit LR line/plane.
2. Future is impossible to predict with 100% accuracy. That is one definition of future: "future is that what can't be predicted with 100% accuracy". The p.d.f.s of the future are never Dirac delta impulses.
(3. In contrast, the uncertainty of the past is zero. All past p.d.f.s. are only ever Dirac delta impulses, nothing else.)
4. Finding patters in the past, and using them to predict the future, is better than looking at chicken's entrails.
5. Because - history does not repeat, but it does rime.
6. Predicting is difficult, especially of the future.
7. That is not an alibi to put our hands up, and refuse to do it.
8. There will always be some >0 error, but our duty is to try reduce it. Not kvetch "there is non-zero error". We know that. It was always thus.
9. Consider oneselves lucky, that we live in Goldilocks world of enough things being of #1 or #2 type in our world. It could be worse - imagine if all around us was #3 or #4.
Our knowledge can be classed in 4 types afaics.
1) "Known knowns" - deterministic knowledge. I know exactly which one. (and so how many of each too, by implication.) The conditional p.d.f. collapses into a Dirac delta function.
2) "Known unknowns" - probabilistic knowledge, I don't know which ones exactly, but I know the counts per type, I know the p.d.f, so I know the distribution of outcomes. Risk people call it Aleatoric uncertainty. The conditional p.d.f. is wider than a Dirac delta. (so not deterministic case #1)
3) "Unknown unknowns" - I don't know the distribution, I can't enumerate all possibilities, have no idea about the p.d.f., anything goes. Risk people call it Epistemic uncertainty.
4) "Unknown knowns" - my own ideology. Like fish that can't perceive water. I'm blind to my prejudices. I run or I'm run as per the p.d.f. as if I know it, but I don't consciously know it. If asked about it - I will probably deny it’s existence.
5:17 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946929204529910019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because 0/1 logic does not suffice for the real world. Mathematics is necessary, but not sufficient, for the real world. For that, one needs ET Jaynes "Probability (is) The Logic of Science". That's why. Formal methods are necessary, but not sufficient. The [0,1] instead of 0/1 gets re-discovered under different names. Remember some fad like "fuzzy logic" in the 90-s?? ET Jaynes book is all one ever needs. It's The Bible. (of scientific reasoning) Once [0,1] works, then 0/1 is a special case of it. Right?
2:44 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because 0/1 logic does not suffice for the real world. Mathematics is necessary, but not sufficient, for the real world. For that, one needs ET Jaynes "Probability (is) The Logic of Science". That's why. Formal methods are necessary, but not sufficient. The [0,1] instead of 0/1 gets re-discovered under different names. Remember some fad like "fuzzy logic" in the 90-s?? ET Jaynes book is all one ever needs. It's The Bible. (of scientific reasoning) Once [0,1] works, then 0/1 is a special case of it. Right?
2:44 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946917815551967588
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh, I think I believe in LR - Lego Reincarnation. 😆 Just from my high school knowledge of chemistry and physics, nothing more. My body is made of atoms and molecules. Reactions splitting/fusing atoms are vanishingly rare on Earth. So my body will dissolve ok, but the atoms will not. They will be released back to the world, and reused. By rocks, plants, trees, worms, birds, animals - and other humans too!
Even some molecules survive I think? Like my body is made of water 2/3-rds or so, and H2O is not easily broken down. So my H2O molecules, will go to the ground or in the air, then into the water ways, then maybe will be drank as water by someone, and become part of their body too. Without breaking into separate H and O atoms.
I think of atoms and molecules as if being lego blocks lent to me, for my personal body use, for a limited time. To be returned to the huge pile of lego blocks once I'm done. And to be re-used by other creatures bodies. Hope this is not too morbid for you, as to disturb you. If it is - please accept my apology. It's always a bit of a risk, upsetting people one doesn't know, talking about non-trivial matters.
1:59 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh, I think I believe in LR - Lego Reincarnation. 😆 Just from my high school knowledge of chemistry and physics, nothing more. My body is made of atoms and molecules. Reactions splitting/fusing atoms are vanishingly rare on Earth. So my body will dissolve ok, but the atoms will not. They will be released back to the world, and reused. By rocks, plants, trees, worms, birds, animals - and other humans too!
Even some molecules survive I think? Like my body is made of water 2/3-rds or so, and H2O is not easily broken down. So my H2O molecules, will go to the ground or in the air, then into the water ways, then maybe will be drank as water by someone, and become part of their body too. Without breaking into separate H and O atoms.
I think of atoms and molecules as if being lego blocks lent to me, for my personal body use, for a limited time. To be returned to the huge pile of lego blocks once I'm done. And to be re-used by other creatures bodies. Hope this is not too morbid for you, as to disturb you. If it is - please accept my apology. It's always a bit of a risk, upsetting people one doesn't know, talking about non-trivial matters.
1:59 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946911547109921264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw - it's part & parcel of those traditional values, ngl
1:34 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw - it's part & parcel of those traditional values, ngl
1:34 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946910068647026948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It means it's physically possible, with whatever current resources are available, on this earth. That it's computable to that extent at least. Better than nothing, right? Puts an absolute ceiling limit.
1:28 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It means it's physically possible, with whatever current resources are available, on this earth. That it's computable to that extent at least. Better than nothing, right? Puts an absolute ceiling limit.
1:28 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946907899810226407
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing wrong, haven't got anything against it. (I'll be long dead) Nothing wrong with 50B of population either afaics. I'm in favour of more, rather than less, as a matter of principle. Something better than nothing. Thermal death of the universe worse than non-zero randomness.
1:19 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing wrong, haven't got anything against it. (I'll be long dead) Nothing wrong with 50B of population either afaics. I'm in favour of more, rather than less, as a matter of principle. Something better than nothing. Thermal death of the universe worse than non-zero randomness.
1:19 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946894156913144289
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xubuntu LTS xx.04, then skip every other version minimise disruption. OS - don't care as long as pkg mgr works. My life is spent in bash, vim, git, lately gemini/aider/claude-cli, screen, ssh, make, g++, Chrome/Firefox, AV chat msg apps. GUI - Xfce cca.~WinXP vintage suffices.
12:25 PM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xubuntu LTS xx.04, then skip every other version minimise disruption. OS - don't care as long as pkg mgr works. My life is spent in bash, vim, git, lately gemini/aider/claude-cli, screen, ssh, make, g++, Chrome/Firefox, AV chat msg apps. GUI - Xfce cca.~WinXP vintage suffices.
12:25 PM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946884070417236284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Existential more than a 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing?? Nah. AI decreases 1-4 risks. Even while slightly increasing 5-civilisational collapse, due to the speed of change. As long as mostly free, culture change will keep up with the speed of technology change. Liberty, freedom—important allow culture to not fall behind.
11:45 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Existential more than a 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-meteorite hitting earth, 3-virus wiping humanity, 4-volcanic explosion causing global winter/crops failing?? Nah. AI decreases 1-4 risks. Even while slightly increasing 5-civilisational collapse, due to the speed of change. As long as mostly free, culture change will keep up with the speed of technology change. Liberty, freedom—important allow culture to not fall behind.
11:45 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946873979261665630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. I know nothing about social media. But I know some optimisation, and a lot about portfolio optimisation, that similarly to X reconciles many weak signals. I think X would need to change the objective function X optimises for. To add quality, or even random variability or similar, to the existing size, engagement or similar measures, in the objective function. Unless that's done, the system tweaking and tuning, in time, is guaranteed to stratify into 0.1% big accounts and 99.9% small accounts.
Because deciding whose post to push on users' screens, based on the author account size, is an inherently positive feedback loop: big accounts grow faster than small accounts. So the distance big-small increases. That's why all social media, not only X, ends in a "beauty contest" equilibrium. It's the positive feedback loop at work, when algofeed uses account size predictor alone, or too much, to decide whose post should be pushed on users' screens. (the extreme end point is 1 account whose posts are pushed on every other screen, and nothing else is pushed; ofc it never comes to that.)
I've written about the Algofeed many times, mostly to 0 reads. So nowadays when I get the urge to write something, I remember to just find an existing old post instead of writing a new one. I scan quickly, confirm to myself "ah already said it" and the urge to post is usually gone - so I move on. 😂
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20algofeed&src=typed_query&f=live
I've had unusually lots of free time on my hands in the past 1-2 years. Lots of reading, seems to have triggered more thoughts and opinions in my head than usual for me. So I ended writing and posting (mostly replies) a lot. To start with, it bothered me that no-one read. But then - I needed it to get it out of the system, and started putting them to a personal archive. (here https://ljubomirj.github.io/twitter-history.html) So it felt less pointless.
Now "lots of time on my hands" period is coming to an end. TBS what transpires. To me the biggest surprise Online is how many things, and clever, good, high quality things, random people on the Internet feely voluntarily contribute. (ofc, with industrial quantities of silly-to-stupid-to-terrible things too) How generous they are with their thoughts. I remember life pre-Internet. Just moving from full off-line, to dial-up modems to get to a BBS was "the oyster of the world opened to us" moment. Internet was comparable to a singularity Big-Bang "Let there be light" explosion that temporarily blinded us.
(BBS = Bulletin Board System; a Home latter PC computer sitting in someones bedroom; allowing users to connect one by one; usually during night time only, as the landline was used by the family; eternal glory to whoever at Spring telecom created outdial NUA-s!)
11:05 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. I know nothing about social media. But I know some optimisation, and a lot about portfolio optimisation, that similarly to X reconciles many weak signals. I think X would need to change the objective function X optimises for. To add quality, or even random variability or similar, to the existing size, engagement or similar measures, in the objective function. Unless that's done, the system tweaking and tuning, in time, is guaranteed to stratify into 0.1% big accounts and 99.9% small accounts.
Because deciding whose post to push on users' screens, based on the author account size, is an inherently positive feedback loop: big accounts grow faster than small accounts. So the distance big-small increases. That's why all social media, not only X, ends in a "beauty contest" equilibrium. It's the positive feedback loop at work, when algofeed uses account size predictor alone, or too much, to decide whose post should be pushed on users' screens. (the extreme end point is 1 account whose posts are pushed on every other screen, and nothing else is pushed; ofc it never comes to that.)
I've written about the Algofeed many times, mostly to 0 reads. So nowadays when I get the urge to write something, I remember to just find an existing old post instead of writing a new one. I scan quickly, confirm to myself "ah already said it" and the urge to post is usually gone - so I move on. 😂
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20algofeed&src=typed_query&f=live
I've had unusually lots of free time on my hands in the past 1-2 years. Lots of reading, seems to have triggered more thoughts and opinions in my head than usual for me. So I ended writing and posting (mostly replies) a lot. To start with, it bothered me that no-one read. But then - I needed it to get it out of the system, and started putting them to a personal archive. (here https://ljubomirj.github.io/twitter-history.html) So it felt less pointless.
Now "lots of time on my hands" period is coming to an end. TBS what transpires. To me the biggest surprise Online is how many things, and clever, good, high quality things, random people on the Internet feely voluntarily contribute. (ofc, with industrial quantities of silly-to-stupid-to-terrible things too) How generous they are with their thoughts. I remember life pre-Internet. Just moving from full off-line, to dial-up modems to get to a BBS was "the oyster of the world opened to us" moment. Internet was comparable to a singularity Big-Bang "Let there be light" explosion that temporarily blinded us.
(BBS = Bulletin Board System; a Home latter PC computer sitting in someones bedroom; allowing users to connect one by one; usually during night time only, as the landline was used by the family; eternal glory to whoever at Spring telecom created outdial NUA-s!)
11:05 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946868010439852437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...you will get all muddy, and the pig likes it anyway - so avoid a pig wrestle, trudat
10:41 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...you will get all muddy, and the pig likes it anyway - so avoid a pig wrestle, trudat
10:41 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946866556958314869
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...maybe that's why Milton, Locke, Mill, etc sprung up in Britain - they were well motivated!! They were scratching their own itch. 😂 Nothing concentrates the mind and sharpens priorities better than personal experience. 😆
10:35 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...maybe that's why Milton, Locke, Mill, etc sprung up in Britain - they were well motivated!! They were scratching their own itch. 😂 Nothing concentrates the mind and sharpens priorities better than personal experience. 😆
10:35 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946864286178922710
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. But earlier than that, given evolution in culture works 1000x times faster: I anticipate we will get artificial wombs or amniotic sacks or sth (idk much of this) - for gestation. And that will be part of solving the population bust in say 2125. That tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. (there are other dozen factors) The current baby bust is multi-factor universal for all of humanity currently. So it's only fair to assume a wide-ranging cause to be the general improvement of the humanity condition, the flipped-L-shaped curve of human progress.
10:26 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. But earlier than that, given evolution in culture works 1000x times faster: I anticipate we will get artificial wombs or amniotic sacks or sth (idk much of this) - for gestation. And that will be part of solving the population bust in say 2125. That tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. (there are other dozen factors) The current baby bust is multi-factor universal for all of humanity currently. So it's only fair to assume a wide-ranging cause to be the general improvement of the humanity condition, the flipped-L-shaped curve of human progress.
10:26 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946851457371615295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X would need to change the objective function X optimises for. To add quality or even random variability or similar, to the existing engagement or similar measures in the objective function. Unless that's done, the system tweaking and tuning is guaranteed to stratify into 0.1% big accounts and 99.9% small accounts. Because deciding whose post to push on users screen, based on the author account size, is an inherently positive feedback loop: big accounts grow faster than small accounts. So the distance big-small increases. That's why all social media, not only X, ends in a "beauty contest" equilibrium. It's the positive feedback loop at work, when Algofeed uses account size predictor alone or too much, to decide whose post should be pushed, on users screens.
9:35 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X would need to change the objective function X optimises for. To add quality or even random variability or similar, to the existing engagement or similar measures in the objective function. Unless that's done, the system tweaking and tuning is guaranteed to stratify into 0.1% big accounts and 99.9% small accounts. Because deciding whose post to push on users screen, based on the author account size, is an inherently positive feedback loop: big accounts grow faster than small accounts. So the distance big-small increases. That's why all social media, not only X, ends in a "beauty contest" equilibrium. It's the positive feedback loop at work, when Algofeed uses account size predictor alone or too much, to decide whose post should be pushed, on users screens.
9:35 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946848933205946461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's tempting to think that. But for that to be true, we'd need to be living in an exceptional moment in time, add odds with the general trend: humanity condition is improving, and therefore, it's collectively more intelligent. That - or it's possible that collective intelligence increase requires individual intelligence decrease along some axis. And increase along some other axis, that are not recognised that much as intelligence atm.
Another option is that with social media, we simply see things we would not see otherwise. Despite everyone of us thinking to be fairly open minded (which indeed we maybe), that's not sufficient to perceive how variable humans are. For that to happen, we need to be IRL situations where that wide variance manifests itself. And then our open-mindedness doesn't filter it out, lets it in our heads.
The only time I personally experienced that variability was doing doing (obligatory) national service in 1987. Comparing now, I see I got exposed to a much wider sample of humanity then, than at any other stage in life. (before - high school, or after - university, work.) It was super instructive learning 1st hand the huge variance exhibited by real humans on both ends - from the worst, to the best.
Given national service has not been a thing in the UK nor US for a long time, I wonder if people in general have got slightly insular view of the state of the human condition in the recent past. Like they think it was better, than it ever was for real.
9:25 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's tempting to think that. But for that to be true, we'd need to be living in an exceptional moment in time, add odds with the general trend: humanity condition is improving, and therefore, it's collectively more intelligent. That - or it's possible that collective intelligence increase requires individual intelligence decrease along some axis. And increase along some other axis, that are not recognised that much as intelligence atm.
Another option is that with social media, we simply see things we would not see otherwise. Despite everyone of us thinking to be fairly open minded (which indeed we maybe), that's not sufficient to perceive how variable humans are. For that to happen, we need to be IRL situations where that wide variance manifests itself. And then our open-mindedness doesn't filter it out, lets it in our heads.
The only time I personally experienced that variability was doing doing (obligatory) national service in 1987. Comparing now, I see I got exposed to a much wider sample of humanity then, than at any other stage in life. (before - high school, or after - university, work.) It was super instructive learning 1st hand the huge variance exhibited by real humans on both ends - from the worst, to the best.
Given national service has not been a thing in the UK nor US for a long time, I wonder if people in general have got slightly insular view of the state of the human condition in the recent past. Like they think it was better, than it ever was for real.
9:25 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946840872169116015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a head-scratcher to me how the Algofeed puts on my followers screens my forwards of my own posts, in a way that it doesn't put the original posts? Puzzling.
Other than that - we "writing into the void" accounts are quick to assume faul play. But in reality, I think others find our posts less interesting than the posts seem to us. (for whatever reasons.) As a control, I opened a Bsky account ages ago. Posting there similar stuff I find interesting (machine learning, AI, science, technology, epistemology), similarly achieves near zero traction or interaction.
So I accept it's mostly me, not the platform. People have high bars on their Like-s! 😆 They are hoarding them, keeping them close to their chests, as if paying for them. 😂 On the positive side, I never have to worry what my non-existing audience may think of what I write.
Only thing I find annoying: when I spend time to reply (like now), I never know whether my (this) reply was pushed to OP (your) screen, or not. So IDK, I'm in the dark, if the OP (unless s/he explicitly scans the replies), has even gotten a non trivial chance to seeing it. The only way I can think of, requires a cooperation protocol: for the OP to Like the reply, and I to turn on notifications, so I'm notified of the OP Like. Than I know - my reply was shown to the OP.
8:53 AM · Jul 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a head-scratcher to me how the Algofeed puts on my followers screens my forwards of my own posts, in a way that it doesn't put the original posts? Puzzling.
Other than that - we "writing into the void" accounts are quick to assume faul play. But in reality, I think others find our posts less interesting than the posts seem to us. (for whatever reasons.) As a control, I opened a Bsky account ages ago. Posting there similar stuff I find interesting (machine learning, AI, science, technology, epistemology), similarly achieves near zero traction or interaction.
So I accept it's mostly me, not the platform. People have high bars on their Like-s! 😆 They are hoarding them, keeping them close to their chests, as if paying for them. 😂 On the positive side, I never have to worry what my non-existing audience may think of what I write.
Only thing I find annoying: when I spend time to reply (like now), I never know whether my (this) reply was pushed to OP (your) screen, or not. So IDK, I'm in the dark, if the OP (unless s/he explicitly scans the replies), has even gotten a non trivial chance to seeing it. The only way I can think of, requires a cooperation protocol: for the OP to Like the reply, and I to turn on notifications, so I'm notified of the OP Like. Than I know - my reply was shown to the OP.
8:53 AM · Jul 20, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
... true - "prediction is hard and especially of the future". But they are quick to include new information though 😂
https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1946485373124608491
so that's something, it's not nothing
Plenty cases in Big Co, in Big Gov - not even the latest-greatest factual information gets incorporated in the decision making processes
Hope reasoning gets done and dusted by next year. Then they move to open-endedness, genuine new discovery. Discovering the game of chess, rather than solviing the game of chess.
https://x.com/alexwei_/status/1946477742855532918
...looks a bigger deal than the mere result. More often nat not, one is latter disappointed. When it turns out learning to play chess world champ level, does not help us cure cancer that much.
In this case there is hope this will carry over to other domains
I don't think it will solve cancer either. I just hope it contributes *more* towards solutions for the many cancers, that the chess computers of old did :-)
Yeah agreed, sampling from a distribution is a stretch for most, even technical people. For normies, civilians - counting, expectations, odds is the limit. Then for more technical people, they grok averages, choosing a point from a pdf. But that we'd get something out of sampling the whole distribution, not always returning the same point forecast - that's a bit counterintuitive even for most tech people. Like "why would one ever want to return a point less probable, than the most probable point, that we have in our hand?" And yet, LLM-s without that (just sampling the most probable token) read like robots-writers, diffusion models also return bland pics without that component. (the noise added) Adding noise is equivalent to forcing a search in some space of possibilities.
The reasoning models are not a world away imo? (X=input, Y=output)
Non-reasoning models: autoregressive like LLM-s compute P(Y|X) then we sample that; diffusion models (pic denoisers) learn the first derivative of the same, so we sample that and iterate.
Afaik the reasoning models add only one step extra. Assume there is no good choice Y for the X (say P(Y|X) is flat uninformative; no good guess for Y), let's figure out intermediate step Z. Then instead of P(Y|X), go after P(Y|Z,X)P(Z|X). (e.g. summing over Z will recover exactly P(Y|X)) The step Z is such that P(Y|Z,X) is informative (where P(Y|X) was not), so brings us closer to a better guess for Y? And that's it.
Ofc what functions, and how they are fit, and how to chose bazillion of Z-s, and how to aggregate while searching - makes a world of difference. 😆
openai/gpt-5-reasoning-alpha-2025-07-13: reasoning_effort: high
https://github.com/SecureBio-ai/biology-benchmarks-inspect/commit/4a9dff1b096f3cd29fe6f78ed08b880fa819e7c5
maybe hoax practical joke, maybe fr
fwiw 4.5 I use it as interlocutor for chatting and to correct my writing (when I think it's important)
...the page 404-s for me now, previously worked. If taken down, then probably **is** for real. Unless of course, ... double cross! ;-)
LJ @ London e/acc
... true - "prediction is hard and especially of the future". But they are quick to include new information though 😂
https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1946485373124608491
so that's something, it's not nothing
Plenty cases in Big Co, in Big Gov - not even the latest-greatest factual information gets incorporated in the decision making processes
Hope reasoning gets done and dusted by next year. Then they move to open-endedness, genuine new discovery. Discovering the game of chess, rather than solviing the game of chess.
https://x.com/alexwei_/status/1946477742855532918
...looks a bigger deal than the mere result. More often nat not, one is latter disappointed. When it turns out learning to play chess world champ level, does not help us cure cancer that much.
In this case there is hope this will carry over to other domains
I don't think it will solve cancer either. I just hope it contributes *more* towards solutions for the many cancers, that the chess computers of old did :-)
Yeah agreed, sampling from a distribution is a stretch for most, even technical people. For normies, civilians - counting, expectations, odds is the limit. Then for more technical people, they grok averages, choosing a point from a pdf. But that we'd get something out of sampling the whole distribution, not always returning the same point forecast - that's a bit counterintuitive even for most tech people. Like "why would one ever want to return a point less probable, than the most probable point, that we have in our hand?" And yet, LLM-s without that (just sampling the most probable token) read like robots-writers, diffusion models also return bland pics without that component. (the noise added) Adding noise is equivalent to forcing a search in some space of possibilities.
The reasoning models are not a world away imo? (X=input, Y=output)
Non-reasoning models: autoregressive like LLM-s compute P(Y|X) then we sample that; diffusion models (pic denoisers) learn the first derivative of the same, so we sample that and iterate.
Afaik the reasoning models add only one step extra. Assume there is no good choice Y for the X (say P(Y|X) is flat uninformative; no good guess for Y), let's figure out intermediate step Z. Then instead of P(Y|X), go after P(Y|Z,X)P(Z|X). (e.g. summing over Z will recover exactly P(Y|X)) The step Z is such that P(Y|Z,X) is informative (where P(Y|X) was not), so brings us closer to a better guess for Y? And that's it.
Ofc what functions, and how they are fit, and how to chose bazillion of Z-s, and how to aggregate while searching - makes a world of difference. 😆
openai/gpt-5-reasoning-alpha-2025-07-13: reasoning_effort: high
https://github.com/SecureBio-ai/biology-benchmarks-inspect/commit/4a9dff1b096f3cd29fe6f78ed08b880fa819e7c5
maybe hoax practical joke, maybe fr
fwiw 4.5 I use it as interlocutor for chatting and to correct my writing (when I think it's important)
...the page 404-s for me now, previously worked. If taken down, then probably **is** for real. Unless of course, ... double cross! ;-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946577739013656596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - this?
> openai/gpt-5-reasoning-alpha-2025-07-13: reasoning_effort: high
I was wondering if a practical joke or fr, but now I see the page
https://github.com/SecureBio-ai/biology-benchmarks-inspect/commit/4a9dff1b096f3cd29fe6f78ed08b880fa819e7c5
has been taken down it seems, it 404-s for me - now I know it's confirmed fr! 😂
From github.com
3:27 PM · Jul 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - this?
> openai/gpt-5-reasoning-alpha-2025-07-13: reasoning_effort: high
I was wondering if a practical joke or fr, but now I see the page
https://github.com/SecureBio-ai/biology-benchmarks-inspect/commit/4a9dff1b096f3cd29fe6f78ed08b880fa819e7c5
has been taken down it seems, it 404-s for me - now I know it's confirmed fr! 😂
From github.com
3:27 PM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946560479129731210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 IK they didn't, but in the ideal world, OAI wd have had the sense of humour, to wait for GM to garymarcus himself, and then released their result. 😂 IK they didn't, for the young bucks OAI are, they don't hold enough animus contra the farts like GM. It's fine to try and fail, the GM-gen did their best in their field. But to not recognise, and not only not applaud someone else's achievement, but to denigrate, try pull down what others build - it's inexcusable. GM has been in alexjones-like fantasy land for a time now. Sad.
2:19 PM · Jul 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 IK they didn't, but in the ideal world, OAI wd have had the sense of humour, to wait for GM to garymarcus himself, and then released their result. 😂 IK they didn't, for the young bucks OAI are, they don't hold enough animus contra the farts like GM. It's fine to try and fail, the GM-gen did their best in their field. But to not recognise, and not only not applaud someone else's achievement, but to denigrate, try pull down what others build - it's inexcusable. GM has been in alexjones-like fantasy land for a time now. Sad.
2:19 PM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946535288576336201
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We can look in our lifetimes. I remember what newspapers wrote at the time when the first in-vitro baby happened. "Frankenstein babies" was the vibe. Stoking the existing latent oiks' fears that manifest as "the yuck factor". All manner of disasters were upon us, and the cause was that tiny baby.
What was the big deal? What was the cause, the original sin, the transgression worthy of such apocalyptic prognosis? A sperm cell, entered an egg cell. Unremarkable, except for the location: happend outside of a human body. Little else changed. Some people, devised ingenuous tricks, to achive something, that other people really really wanted. That most human of urges: to have your own kid, to love and nurture and see your kid grow into another human.
What a sin that one - unforgivable. The aspiring parents should have suffered like many before them. NOT!!! 😡 I wish it's was possible to exact at least a tiny bit of pain, on many in positions of power, that should have known better, were paid to know better, and should have done better. Than stoke the flames of people indulging their basest instincts.
12:39 PM · Jul 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We can look in our lifetimes. I remember what newspapers wrote at the time when the first in-vitro baby happened. "Frankenstein babies" was the vibe. Stoking the existing latent oiks' fears that manifest as "the yuck factor". All manner of disasters were upon us, and the cause was that tiny baby.
What was the big deal? What was the cause, the original sin, the transgression worthy of such apocalyptic prognosis? A sperm cell, entered an egg cell. Unremarkable, except for the location: happend outside of a human body. Little else changed. Some people, devised ingenuous tricks, to achive something, that other people really really wanted. That most human of urges: to have your own kid, to love and nurture and see your kid grow into another human.
What a sin that one - unforgivable. The aspiring parents should have suffered like many before them. NOT!!! 😡 I wish it's was possible to exact at least a tiny bit of pain, on many in positions of power, that should have known better, were paid to know better, and should have done better. Than stoke the flames of people indulging their basest instincts.
12:39 PM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946524035082310128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 "elite oikophobia"!!! - hahaha golden 🤣 thanks
11:54 AM · Jul 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 "elite oikophobia"!!! - hahaha golden 🤣 thanks
11:54 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946509558614307145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thought it was always thus? Gains coming from small number. Just the Cos making the gains are a rotating crew. Same holds on other axes too. E.g. add/remove the 10 best/worst days, etc. Sticks in my crow that even with better computers, most finance still sticks with the bloody Gaussian. Even micro- stuff, e.g. daily returns are much more Laplacian than are Gaussian. So small as easy win as "just use a Laplacian bro, use a Laplace pdf" somehow never gets much traction. Even after decades of practice.
10:56 AM · Jul 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thought it was always thus? Gains coming from small number. Just the Cos making the gains are a rotating crew. Same holds on other axes too. E.g. add/remove the 10 best/worst days, etc. Sticks in my crow that even with better computers, most finance still sticks with the bloody Gaussian. Even micro- stuff, e.g. daily returns are much more Laplacian than are Gaussian. So small as easy win as "just use a Laplacian bro, use a Laplace pdf" somehow never gets much traction. Even after decades of practice.
10:56 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946495464162959634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting... Option of M2/M3 Ultra for the extra GPU cores for speed, even if one does not max out on RAM (M2 192GB, M3 512GB). I usually considered the max RAM config, and then balked at the $10K price tag (M3 Ultra 512GB). As nice to have, but tbh don't need it *that* much".
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946495465920307527
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But if one uses local models a lot, and OK with a small box that can be moved in the usual personal bag/rucksack, then Ultra with less than MAX RAM, has this going for it.
1) extra GPU cores for speed
2) keeps heat away from my crotch
3) keeps noise away from my lap
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946495467648405602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
4) got a server that is mobile, can be left 24/7 in hotel room (be a local server; DL a big file while I take my laptop with me while out)
5) low power consumption compared to equivalent Nvidia
Saw the setup tested here https://youtube.com/watch?v=wzPMdp9Qz6Q. Think @digitalix has point.
youtube.com
Ditch 512 GB Monster…this M3 Ultra Just Redefined “Enough”
See how the humble base Mac Studio surprisingly beats its bigger sibling and my RTX beast in real-world AI tasks.Check out ChatLLM: https://chatllm.abacus.ai...
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946495469808476309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can get 2nd hand Mac Studio M2 Ultra 24-core (2023) 60 gpu cores 128GB RAM from @HoxtonMacs at
https://hoxtonmacs.co.uk/products/mac-studio-m2-ultra-24-core-2023-fair?variant=48224592429372
for <3K? And the movable small box can be shared by several people travelling together. I'm glad YT algo discovered that @digitalix YT vid for me. 🙂
From hoxtonmacs.co.uk
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting... Option of M2/M3 Ultra for the extra GPU cores for speed, even if one does not max out on RAM (M2 192GB, M3 512GB). I usually considered the max RAM config, and then balked at the $10K price tag (M3 Ultra 512GB). As nice to have, but tbh don't need it *that* much".
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946495465920307527
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But if one uses local models a lot, and OK with a small box that can be moved in the usual personal bag/rucksack, then Ultra with less than MAX RAM, has this going for it.
1) extra GPU cores for speed
2) keeps heat away from my crotch
3) keeps noise away from my lap
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946495467648405602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
4) got a server that is mobile, can be left 24/7 in hotel room (be a local server; DL a big file while I take my laptop with me while out)
5) low power consumption compared to equivalent Nvidia
Saw the setup tested here https://youtube.com/watch?v=wzPMdp9Qz6Q. Think @digitalix has point.
youtube.com
Ditch 512 GB Monster…this M3 Ultra Just Redefined “Enough”
See how the humble base Mac Studio surprisingly beats its bigger sibling and my RTX beast in real-world AI tasks.Check out ChatLLM: https://chatllm.abacus.ai...
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946495469808476309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can get 2nd hand Mac Studio M2 Ultra 24-core (2023) 60 gpu cores 128GB RAM from @HoxtonMacs at
https://hoxtonmacs.co.uk/products/mac-studio-m2-ultra-24-core-2023-fair?variant=48224592429372
for <3K? And the movable small box can be shared by several people travelling together. I'm glad YT algo discovered that @digitalix YT vid for me. 🙂
From hoxtonmacs.co.uk
10:00 AM · Jul 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946324164807127102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
probably someone looked and tried, but couldn't make them work better than unilaterals
10:40 PM · Jul 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
probably someone looked and tried, but couldn't make them work better than unilaterals
10:40 PM · Jul 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946302116215071086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The network implements Prob(output_words | input_words) where say for 100K dictionary, there are 100K output_words lines. Both inputs and outputs are 1-hot-N. We put input_words in, produce 100K posterior probabilities on output. (the 100K sum up to 1.) We look at those 100K numbers and usually pick the top word, but not always. (we try to sample the whole distribution) That's the next word out.
As long as a word is in the dictionary, it can be output. And eventually - will be output. Word not in the dictionary can't be output. Now with tokens, being words parts, it's more complicated. I presume that's how 'MechaHitler' arises - a combo of 2+ tokens. But the same principle applies. Only tokens from the dictionary can come out. Discrete and finite in number.
And that's it. IDK how people expect a word that's in the dictionary, to not come out, ever? If it's in the dictionary, with enough skill manipulating the inputs, they word can be coerced on output. What am I missing??
9:12 PM · Jul 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The network implements Prob(output_words | input_words) where say for 100K dictionary, there are 100K output_words lines. Both inputs and outputs are 1-hot-N. We put input_words in, produce 100K posterior probabilities on output. (the 100K sum up to 1.) We look at those 100K numbers and usually pick the top word, but not always. (we try to sample the whole distribution) That's the next word out.
As long as a word is in the dictionary, it can be output. And eventually - will be output. Word not in the dictionary can't be output. Now with tokens, being words parts, it's more complicated. I presume that's how 'MechaHitler' arises - a combo of 2+ tokens. But the same principle applies. Only tokens from the dictionary can come out. Discrete and finite in number.
And that's it. IDK how people expect a word that's in the dictionary, to not come out, ever? If it's in the dictionary, with enough skill manipulating the inputs, they word can be coerced on output. What am I missing??
9:12 PM · Jul 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946230544012038347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If everyone did the same, the rotten edifice would collapse. So indeed refusing to participate in a lie, is more honourable than it may appear at first sight. There's a personal hit - but not a terrible one.
We are lucky we don't live in a totalitarian system. Other avenues of self-expression remain open to us! Think of all the unfortunates throughout history lacking a way out. Our predicament - ok it's not great, but it's not the worst.
4:28 PM · Jul 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If everyone did the same, the rotten edifice would collapse. So indeed refusing to participate in a lie, is more honourable than it may appear at first sight. There's a personal hit - but not a terrible one.
We are lucky we don't live in a totalitarian system. Other avenues of self-expression remain open to us! Think of all the unfortunates throughout history lacking a way out. Our predicament - ok it's not great, but it's not the worst.
4:28 PM · Jul 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946145451050401820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not had opportunity to use it for real, but it's next on the list to try.
Closed/paying ones I use daily - OpenAI's ChatGPT 4.5 for conversation. Gemini 2.5 Pro too, and especially for programming that often has a reasoning component to it. Claude never warmed up to, it seemed to be too flowery and flattery to my taste.
Local ones - seeing llama.cpp I was mind-blown 🤯 haha 😆 so bought 2nd hand M2 mbp 96gb ram so I try everything that fits in memory. :-) Local models I have used more than try&forget, over time, listed below.
1) dots.llm1 https://huggingface.co/rednote-hilab/dots.llm1.inst
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
2) Qwen3 30B A3B doctored to use 16 experts rather than 8 so A6B, 128K context
https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context
https://huggingface.co/mradermacher/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-GGUF
Still have those but not giving them much attention lately:
3) OpenBuddy-R1-Distill-Qwen3-32B
https://huggingface.co/mradermacher/OpenBuddy-R1-0528-Distill-Qwen3-32B-Preview2-QAT-GGUF
4) qwen3-30b-a3b MLX vanilla
Previously used, now largely not used anymore:
5) glm-4-32b-0414, glm-z1-32b-0414, glm-z1-rumination-32b-0414
6) QwQ-32B e.g. qwq-32b-q6_k.gguf
On the TODO list next:
7) Hunyuan-A13B
https://github.com/Tencent-Hunyuan/Hunyuan-A13B
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-GGUF
https://huggingface.co/DevQuasar/tencent.Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-GGUF
As you may guess - I love this stuff. ☺️ Having worked (programmed, trained) speech and language models 20 years ago (then - HMMs, Ngrams, and some NN-s but only 1 hidden layer).
10:50 AM · Jul 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not had opportunity to use it for real, but it's next on the list to try.
Closed/paying ones I use daily - OpenAI's ChatGPT 4.5 for conversation. Gemini 2.5 Pro too, and especially for programming that often has a reasoning component to it. Claude never warmed up to, it seemed to be too flowery and flattery to my taste.
Local ones - seeing llama.cpp I was mind-blown 🤯 haha 😆 so bought 2nd hand M2 mbp 96gb ram so I try everything that fits in memory. :-) Local models I have used more than try&forget, over time, listed below.
1) dots.llm1 https://huggingface.co/rednote-hilab/dots.llm1.inst
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
2) Qwen3 30B A3B doctored to use 16 experts rather than 8 so A6B, 128K context
https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context
https://huggingface.co/mradermacher/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-GGUF
Still have those but not giving them much attention lately:
3) OpenBuddy-R1-Distill-Qwen3-32B
https://huggingface.co/mradermacher/OpenBuddy-R1-0528-Distill-Qwen3-32B-Preview2-QAT-GGUF
4) qwen3-30b-a3b MLX vanilla
Previously used, now largely not used anymore:
5) glm-4-32b-0414, glm-z1-32b-0414, glm-z1-rumination-32b-0414
6) QwQ-32B e.g. qwq-32b-q6_k.gguf
On the TODO list next:
7) Hunyuan-A13B
https://github.com/Tencent-Hunyuan/Hunyuan-A13B
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-GGUF
https://huggingface.co/DevQuasar/tencent.Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-GGUF
As you may guess - I love this stuff. ☺️ Having worked (programmed, trained) speech and language models 20 years ago (then - HMMs, Ngrams, and some NN-s but only 1 hidden layer).
10:50 AM · Jul 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1946114037688766483
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In principle - I don't see why not, why it would not contribute. Although too many unqualified words - "make", "healthy" in the above to say much.
Think chatbots having persistent memory entering the chat via a context - that maybe a bigger deal that we think. Like our - bodies "are what we eat", minds "are what we read and see etc", similarly - chatbots are the data they distill into their weights. Having persistent personal ever growing context strikes me as such extreme customisation, as to be approaching a personal LoRA.
Not bad in itself, I welcome personalisation - but: there is no way to ensure any QC Quality Control as to what the result will be. And given it's somewhat of a positive feedback loop, there is inherent risk of "what will be done, will be over-done". And I end up with a personal chatbot less than ideal on many metrics.
In this case the SCP wiki as reported here - https://x.com/jeremyphoward/status/1945922341038637104
8:45 AM · Jul 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In principle - I don't see why not, why it would not contribute. Although too many unqualified words - "make", "healthy" in the above to say much.
Think chatbots having persistent memory entering the chat via a context - that maybe a bigger deal that we think. Like our - bodies "are what we eat", minds "are what we read and see etc", similarly - chatbots are the data they distill into their weights. Having persistent personal ever growing context strikes me as such extreme customisation, as to be approaching a personal LoRA.
Not bad in itself, I welcome personalisation - but: there is no way to ensure any QC Quality Control as to what the result will be. And given it's somewhat of a positive feedback loop, there is inherent risk of "what will be done, will be over-done". And I end up with a personal chatbot less than ideal on many metrics.
In this case the SCP wiki as reported here - https://x.com/jeremyphoward/status/1945922341038637104
8:45 AM · Jul 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945802541926621369
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah Huel seemed good for the body. Used it years ago, esp while home alone. (e.g. family away during school holidays) Stopped b/c wife's cooking for the kids anyway. And Huel got boring too - every day the same meal. Was craving some information content to the meal. Still keep bags in the back of the cupboard - jic end of times.
Even then it looked the future, as it can match what the body needs exactly, without any surplus waste or unwanted stuff. What enters the body can be completely observed and controlled. I was shocked to learn that before it, e.g. hospitals didn't have any nutritionally complete non-natural food, that people could consume for months or years, without getting sick from missing some obscure chemical they need.
12:07 PM · Jul 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah Huel seemed good for the body. Used it years ago, esp while home alone. (e.g. family away during school holidays) Stopped b/c wife's cooking for the kids anyway. And Huel got boring too - every day the same meal. Was craving some information content to the meal. Still keep bags in the back of the cupboard - jic end of times.
Even then it looked the future, as it can match what the body needs exactly, without any surplus waste or unwanted stuff. What enters the body can be completely observed and controlled. I was shocked to learn that before it, e.g. hospitals didn't have any nutritionally complete non-natural food, that people could consume for months or years, without getting sick from missing some obscure chemical they need.
12:07 PM · Jul 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945776346749354158
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love-hate relationship with the market while quant trading.
HATE: I'm losing $$$ - it's physically painful. I'm sick in the stomach, my heart is stone, my head heavy. Not only I lost my shirt, and it's getting worse through the day to the close, as if Mr Market screaming at me "Idiot! Imbecile! Cretin!"... And—I kind of, can't disagree with it, much.
LOVE: We put our £££ where our mouth is. We Bet-On-It! We are true to ourselves. We do as we say, we're not hypocrites. (normies, civilians, the rest of humanity - are hypocritical) And to top all that off—we the chosen half-dozen, we make sh*t ton of $$$, the size of a small country GDP. When we make money - we were right where everyone was wrong, Madame Fortuna smiled on as too, we live to see another day. Life is perfect.
10:23 AM · Jul 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love-hate relationship with the market while quant trading.
HATE: I'm losing $$$ - it's physically painful. I'm sick in the stomach, my heart is stone, my head heavy. Not only I lost my shirt, and it's getting worse through the day to the close, as if Mr Market screaming at me "Idiot! Imbecile! Cretin!"... And—I kind of, can't disagree with it, much.
LOVE: We put our £££ where our mouth is. We Bet-On-It! We are true to ourselves. We do as we say, we're not hypocrites. (normies, civilians, the rest of humanity - are hypocritical) And to top all that off—we the chosen half-dozen, we make sh*t ton of $$$, the size of a small country GDP. When we make money - we were right where everyone was wrong, Madame Fortuna smiled on as too, we live to see another day. Life is perfect.
10:23 AM · Jul 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945761082682782151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speak up. Some people around you will not like it. They will have preferred the muted-you version. So there will be a non-zero price. But it's worth paying, as it's a smaller price - for yourself, in the grand scheme of things - than the alternative, where you don't express your thoughts.
It's not only the publicity of it. The act of formulating ones maybe vague thoughts and ideas, contributes to their formation! It's not like that what you say, exists inside you fully formed prior, and now you just broadcast it to the world. No - until we communicate out clearly, ideas we communicate are not fully formed. The process of communication contributes meaningfully to the process of creation, is part of it.
There will be times where you look back and think "I wish I didn't say so-and-so". Speaking up has rewards, but one also undertakes risk. That's fine. For not speaking up, also has some reward/risk ratio too. But the thing is, if you are at the point when you think or decide to "speak up", you are almost certainly better off with its reward/risk ratio.
I must say, I entered the ripe age of "no f*cks given" (I was told), after not caring or thinking about this for most of my life. Busy with other things etc. But now I've had time to assess - I find it glorious! 😁 Recommend it to everyone.
9:22 AM · Jul 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speak up. Some people around you will not like it. They will have preferred the muted-you version. So there will be a non-zero price. But it's worth paying, as it's a smaller price - for yourself, in the grand scheme of things - than the alternative, where you don't express your thoughts.
It's not only the publicity of it. The act of formulating ones maybe vague thoughts and ideas, contributes to their formation! It's not like that what you say, exists inside you fully formed prior, and now you just broadcast it to the world. No - until we communicate out clearly, ideas we communicate are not fully formed. The process of communication contributes meaningfully to the process of creation, is part of it.
There will be times where you look back and think "I wish I didn't say so-and-so". Speaking up has rewards, but one also undertakes risk. That's fine. For not speaking up, also has some reward/risk ratio too. But the thing is, if you are at the point when you think or decide to "speak up", you are almost certainly better off with its reward/risk ratio.
I must say, I entered the ripe age of "no f*cks given" (I was told), after not caring or thinking about this for most of my life. Busy with other things etc. But now I've had time to assess - I find it glorious! 😁 Recommend it to everyone.
9:22 AM · Jul 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945741336855953471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes feels worse than .666. It and the reminder odd rather than even numbers, look the big satan + little satan. With .666 the two .333 siblings smaller than big brother .334 on their own (but bigger together). Your .667 beast violates that too.
8:04 AM · Jul 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes feels worse than .666. It and the reminder odd rather than even numbers, look the big satan + little satan. With .666 the two .333 siblings smaller than big brother .334 on their own (but bigger together). Your .667 beast violates that too.
8:04 AM · Jul 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945733236748935223
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ah, you are right, my bad, thanks for correcting me. I read the "economy has shrunk" as "people's wages have shrunk". You are right - if wages are rising faster than the inflation, then we are getting richer, not poorer, on average.
7:32 AM · Jul 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ah, you are right, my bad, thanks for correcting me. I read the "economy has shrunk" as "people's wages have shrunk". You are right - if wages are rising faster than the inflation, then we are getting richer, not poorer, on average.
7:32 AM · Jul 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945731297147592921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People ARE poorer. It's not like people "feel" it, but it's not real. No - if the wages are stagnant, and prices are rising - then people are becoming poorer for real. As if there is a psychological barrier to acknowledge - in the UK we ARE getting poorer.
7:24 AM · Jul 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People ARE poorer. It's not like people "feel" it, but it's not real. No - if the wages are stagnant, and prices are rising - then people are becoming poorer for real. As if there is a psychological barrier to acknowledge - in the UK we ARE getting poorer.
7:24 AM · Jul 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945607328788570413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This looks hopeful - reminder to self, to seek Xeons with "Intel® Advanced Matrix Extensions (AMX)" for
> Achieve 6-14x speedup for TTFT and 2-4x for TPOT v.s. llama.cpp.
> Achieve 85% memory bandwidth efficiency with highly optimized MoE kernels.
Quote
https://x.com/kalomaze/status/1945333750377640332
kalomaze @kalomaze · Jul 16
Replying to @kalomaze
https://lmsys.org/blog/2025-07-14-intel-xeon-optimization/
11:11 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This looks hopeful - reminder to self, to seek Xeons with "Intel® Advanced Matrix Extensions (AMX)" for
> Achieve 6-14x speedup for TTFT and 2-4x for TPOT v.s. llama.cpp.
> Achieve 85% memory bandwidth efficiency with highly optimized MoE kernels.
Quote
https://x.com/kalomaze/status/1945333750377640332
kalomaze @kalomaze · Jul 16
Replying to @kalomaze
https://lmsys.org/blog/2025-07-14-intel-xeon-optimization/
11:11 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945586628828778504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
is that separate from the usual nostalgia for being younger, for the time when one was young(er) and all manner of things seemed possible?
9:49 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
is that separate from the usual nostalgia for being younger, for the time when one was young(er) and all manner of things seemed possible?
9:49 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945528746867327250
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ChatGPT em dashes are akshually a plus in my eyes 😂 Shows one was actually cognisant enough as not to be mega-vain, as most of the political class seem to be, and wanted his works triple checked. More of that please. Previously I didn't even know there are 3 types of dashes! I started using em dashes in my own writing now, having seen ChatGPT use them. And to add to the subversion, countering the anti-AI neo-Luddites.
5:59 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ChatGPT em dashes are akshually a plus in my eyes 😂 Shows one was actually cognisant enough as not to be mega-vain, as most of the political class seem to be, and wanted his works triple checked. More of that please. Previously I didn't even know there are 3 types of dashes! I started using em dashes in my own writing now, having seen ChatGPT use them. And to add to the subversion, countering the anti-AI neo-Luddites.
5:59 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945515451418587305
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you think children don't live in leasehold properties? Do leaseholders not have children they love and care about, while being robbed blind? Do you think it ethical to put a child in poverty by putting their parents through financial extortion? How are you for real. Insane.
5:06 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you think children don't live in leasehold properties? Do leaseholders not have children they love and care about, while being robbed blind? Do you think it ethical to put a child in poverty by putting their parents through financial extortion? How are you for real. Insane.
5:06 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945512828376359411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! This is how knowledge spreads too! 😁 Even one can say more important, more consequential knowledge, than knowledge one gets from reading papers. Doing, best practices, what and how things get done.
4:56 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! This is how knowledge spreads too! 😁 Even one can say more important, more consequential knowledge, than knowledge one gets from reading papers. Doing, best practices, what and how things get done.
4:56 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945511045516198279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that was glorious 👏 please never change 🤩 not only no prisoners were taken, but few holly cows got slaughtered 😆 oh boy this much fun can't be for good 😊 still enjoying it immensely 😂
4:49 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that was glorious 👏 please never change 🤩 not only no prisoners were taken, but few holly cows got slaughtered 😆 oh boy this much fun can't be for good 😊 still enjoying it immensely 😂
4:49 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945493440289997206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. Or even earlier - you may pass N 1st round screenings or interviews, but a recruiter may only advance you on 1 or 2 2nd rounds. Makes no sense to them to let you advance in 10. When in the end, you can take only 1 job, and earn them 1 commission. Makes sense to me that a recruiter incentives are aligned to matching N jobs : M applicants. That's somewhat different to 1 applicant : N jobs.
3:39 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. Or even earlier - you may pass N 1st round screenings or interviews, but a recruiter may only advance you on 1 or 2 2nd rounds. Makes no sense to them to let you advance in 10. When in the end, you can take only 1 job, and earn them 1 commission. Makes sense to me that a recruiter incentives are aligned to matching N jobs : M applicants. That's somewhat different to 1 applicant : N jobs.
3:39 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945487695439859900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You're completely right. Got annoyed enough to vent on the forbidden site recently
https://ljubomirjosifovski.substack.com/p/models-saying-hitler
Feel no amount of education suffices. Think only Bet-On-It, placing at risk something we personally value, is only way to concentrate minds. But how to achieve that - IDK.
3:16 PM · Jul 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You're completely right. Got annoyed enough to vent on the forbidden site recently
https://ljubomirjosifovski.substack.com/p/models-saying-hitler
Feel no amount of education suffices. Think only Bet-On-It, placing at risk something we personally value, is only way to concentrate minds. But how to achieve that - IDK.
3:16 PM · Jul 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945218225194557713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Awesome! Sorry to be nosey - but have you maybe tried the minimal size max quant model?
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Kimi-K2-Instruct-GGUF/tree/main/UD-IQ1_S
Seems to be <300gb - does it run? What tps?
From huggingface.co
9:25 PM · Jul 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Awesome! Sorry to be nosey - but have you maybe tried the minimal size max quant model?
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Kimi-K2-Instruct-GGUF/tree/main/UD-IQ1_S
Seems to be <300gb - does it run? What tps?
From huggingface.co
9:25 PM · Jul 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945056653860033006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this?
https://x.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1944338409125769420
Looks to me it fits neural computation like glove to a hand. The success of ever smaller precisions for weights, everyone using quantised models locally—brings back thoughts about analog computing. And if already looking towards non-digital, then in this iteration, stick to [0,1] probabilistic computing? One gets the theory for that computing, via the probability theory, manipulating probability distribution for free, on the top of that h/w.
For afaics, all artificial - and maybe natural too - neural computation is manipulating probability distributions. All knowledge, is knowledge about relationship between two entities, X and Y. And that (X,Y) relationship is completely described by their joint probability distribution f_{X,Y}(x,y). And from the joint, we can derive the marginals. Knowing the particular we can get the more general. E.g. marginal for X that is f_{X}(x) we derive by aggregating y (summing if discrete, integrating if continuous) over the dimension Y we don't care about. Then. Observing say a value for X, plugging it into the joint, and the marginal distributions, then via the ratio of the two - we get our conditional distribution about Y. And then that distribution f_{Y|X}(y|x) is our best knowledge of Y, having observed particular value of X. We sample from it, or use it to compute moments if we are after points in it, etc.
Other options I can think about. Quantum computing - looks to me maybe possible to arrest the curse of dimensionality we suffer from in high-N N-dim spaces on the compute side. But the curse still holds on the data side. Also IDK if one can manipulate distributions like the above, for the purpose of neural computing. Optical computing - IDK much about it tbh, what the state is.
Quote
Beff – e/acc @BasedBeffJezos · Jul 13
That's right.
Here's a preview of our silicon pbit results. Huge effort by our team @Extropic_AI.
These were recently presented in Paris and submitted to peer review. x.com/MLStreetTalk/s…
10:43 AM · Jul 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this?
https://x.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1944338409125769420
Looks to me it fits neural computation like glove to a hand. The success of ever smaller precisions for weights, everyone using quantised models locally—brings back thoughts about analog computing. And if already looking towards non-digital, then in this iteration, stick to [0,1] probabilistic computing? One gets the theory for that computing, via the probability theory, manipulating probability distribution for free, on the top of that h/w.
For afaics, all artificial - and maybe natural too - neural computation is manipulating probability distributions. All knowledge, is knowledge about relationship between two entities, X and Y. And that (X,Y) relationship is completely described by their joint probability distribution f_{X,Y}(x,y). And from the joint, we can derive the marginals. Knowing the particular we can get the more general. E.g. marginal for X that is f_{X}(x) we derive by aggregating y (summing if discrete, integrating if continuous) over the dimension Y we don't care about. Then. Observing say a value for X, plugging it into the joint, and the marginal distributions, then via the ratio of the two - we get our conditional distribution about Y. And then that distribution f_{Y|X}(y|x) is our best knowledge of Y, having observed particular value of X. We sample from it, or use it to compute moments if we are after points in it, etc.
Other options I can think about. Quantum computing - looks to me maybe possible to arrest the curse of dimensionality we suffer from in high-N N-dim spaces on the compute side. But the curse still holds on the data side. Also IDK if one can manipulate distributions like the above, for the purpose of neural computing. Optical computing - IDK much about it tbh, what the state is.
Quote
Beff – e/acc @BasedBeffJezos · Jul 13
That's right.
Here's a preview of our silicon pbit results. Huge effort by our team @Extropic_AI.
These were recently presented in Paris and submitted to peer review. x.com/MLStreetTalk/s…
10:43 AM · Jul 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945025585383657826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😱 Oh charitable and noble of guardianistas that - "we admit we actually lied to you, the great british public, about the costs." Does it say "it was mostly for nothing" too? I'm sure Starmer is looking forward to taking the still unsaid part "...and there is plenty of that cost pain yet to come" into the next election. 😂 Neo-communists of the watermelon 🍉 kind, are as good at winning elections, as the old ones ngl. 😁
8:40 AM · Jul 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😱 Oh charitable and noble of guardianistas that - "we admit we actually lied to you, the great british public, about the costs." Does it say "it was mostly for nothing" too? I'm sure Starmer is looking forward to taking the still unsaid part "...and there is plenty of that cost pain yet to come" into the next election. 😂 Neo-communists of the watermelon 🍉 kind, are as good at winning elections, as the old ones ngl. 😁
8:40 AM · Jul 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1945022761514017155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. About one half was always the ritual, the theatre, plus the communal event, with others close to us. So that remains - us people we like that. The form, the role playing, and the company of other people. I guess one likes that if one is people's person by temperament?
As for the spiritual part - yeah, IDK how much it remains. Also that being more personal 1:1, I suspect for most of us there's a lot of pick & choose there anyways. We take bits and pieces we learnt about, and that resonate with, or make sense to, us.
For me personally I dig it when (in the orthodox Christian tradition I grew up in) their vibe goes "LOVE is all you need". Most of the rest is incomprehensible mumble-mumble to me. 😊 And at funerals when the priest says/sings "from (star) dust you came, to (star) dust you (now) return." Always thought - yeah, good point that one. 😶
8:28 AM · Jul 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. About one half was always the ritual, the theatre, plus the communal event, with others close to us. So that remains - us people we like that. The form, the role playing, and the company of other people. I guess one likes that if one is people's person by temperament?
As for the spiritual part - yeah, IDK how much it remains. Also that being more personal 1:1, I suspect for most of us there's a lot of pick & choose there anyways. We take bits and pieces we learnt about, and that resonate with, or make sense to, us.
For me personally I dig it when (in the orthodox Christian tradition I grew up in) their vibe goes "LOVE is all you need". Most of the rest is incomprehensible mumble-mumble to me. 😊 And at funerals when the priest says/sings "from (star) dust you came, to (star) dust you (now) return." Always thought - yeah, good point that one. 😶
8:28 AM · Jul 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944995540560752922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like the millenials cohort generally are approximately 1/3 children of the boomers generation. Maybe only 1/3 of boomer stupid will be transferred to this generation culture, either via nature and nurture doesn't matter. Yay progress?
6:40 AM · Jul 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like the millenials cohort generally are approximately 1/3 children of the boomers generation. Maybe only 1/3 of boomer stupid will be transferred to this generation culture, either via nature and nurture doesn't matter. Yay progress?
6:40 AM · Jul 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944900792907128836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Or they can just kick our the words Hitler-anything out of the dictionary. Or kick out of the dictionary some combination of tokens that make the forbidden words. So to make Hitler-anything impossible to output. Or like the Chinese models web interface - can post process. Detect the bad words on output, and simply discard the output.
Alternative - people proposing stuff that are not LM-ignorant, maybe grow some spine, and come back to the normies with: nah, impossible to censor with 100% certainty, as long as Hitler-the-word is in the dictionary, probability>0 to be output. So with enough spins of the sampler, it will be output. Normies will have to suck it. For the technology is too useful to forego. Few bad words price worth paying.
This mild retardation of the general public over this may yet turn into a variant of DnD "satanism" moral panic. Better nip it in the bud. Crazy morons have infinite fantasy, they are unmoored by reality. Give them a finger, and the arm will not be the last thing you lose. Craziness is unlimited.
12:24 AM · Jul 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Or they can just kick our the words Hitler-anything out of the dictionary. Or kick out of the dictionary some combination of tokens that make the forbidden words. So to make Hitler-anything impossible to output. Or like the Chinese models web interface - can post process. Detect the bad words on output, and simply discard the output.
Alternative - people proposing stuff that are not LM-ignorant, maybe grow some spine, and come back to the normies with: nah, impossible to censor with 100% certainty, as long as Hitler-the-word is in the dictionary, probability>0 to be output. So with enough spins of the sampler, it will be output. Normies will have to suck it. For the technology is too useful to forego. Few bad words price worth paying.
This mild retardation of the general public over this may yet turn into a variant of DnD "satanism" moral panic. Better nip it in the bud. Crazy morons have infinite fantasy, they are unmoored by reality. Give them a finger, and the arm will not be the last thing you lose. Craziness is unlimited.
12:24 AM · Jul 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944884127825612840
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
хахаха 😁 - соории 😭
11:18 PM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
хахаха 😁 - соории 😭
11:18 PM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944871750526775662
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given all uncertainty ends, one can justly say the possibility of information lapses. No randomness implies no possibility for information. To the best of our knowledge. Afaik no one, no person nor animal, has come back to tell us how it was for them. 😁
The probability distributions of the past are always a Dirac impulse. The past is always certain, having already happened, the uncertainty is 0%. In contrast , the probability distributions of the future are never a Dirac impulse. The future is always uncertain, it's never 100% certain.
In fact - the above features can serve as definitions of the past and there future via probability distributions. Former - always a Dirac, latter - never a Dirac.
Now is a moving barrier that's separating the Past from the Future. Now is the point that separates the probability distributions of the past, and the future. I guess while we are living, the future is outrunning the past. At the point of death - the past catches up with the future. Once that happens, seems the future lapses into certainty, and it's no more - nothing is possible anymore.
Another interesting to me thing about time , is that it seems to be a special dimension in which counting the discrete events that will form our probability distributions happens. IDK if or how that's related to the prior observations tbh. 😊
10:28 PM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given all uncertainty ends, one can justly say the possibility of information lapses. No randomness implies no possibility for information. To the best of our knowledge. Afaik no one, no person nor animal, has come back to tell us how it was for them. 😁
The probability distributions of the past are always a Dirac impulse. The past is always certain, having already happened, the uncertainty is 0%. In contrast , the probability distributions of the future are never a Dirac impulse. The future is always uncertain, it's never 100% certain.
In fact - the above features can serve as definitions of the past and there future via probability distributions. Former - always a Dirac, latter - never a Dirac.
Now is a moving barrier that's separating the Past from the Future. Now is the point that separates the probability distributions of the past, and the future. I guess while we are living, the future is outrunning the past. At the point of death - the past catches up with the future. Once that happens, seems the future lapses into certainty, and it's no more - nothing is possible anymore.
Another interesting to me thing about time , is that it seems to be a special dimension in which counting the discrete events that will form our probability distributions happens. IDK if or how that's related to the prior observations tbh. 😊
10:28 PM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944787052039389516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read one can over-ride on the fly the number of experts in llama.cpp llama-server at run time with e.g. for qwen3-30b-a3b -
--override-kv http://qwen3moe.expert_used_count=int:16
...but have not tried it, as I already use -
qwen3-30b-a6b-16-extreme-128k-context-q6_k.gguf
from
https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme
that's pre-doctored to use 16 experts to A6B rather than A3B active params. Also in LMStudio too I see slider for selecting number of experts that tbh I have not had to use much.
4:52 PM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read one can over-ride on the fly the number of experts in llama.cpp llama-server at run time with e.g. for qwen3-30b-a3b -
--override-kv http://qwen3moe.expert_used_count=int:16
...but have not tried it, as I already use -
qwen3-30b-a6b-16-extreme-128k-context-q6_k.gguf
from
https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme
that's pre-doctored to use 16 experts to A6B rather than A3B active params. Also in LMStudio too I see slider for selecting number of experts that tbh I have not had to use much.
4:52 PM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944753687978443178
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How is this that difficult to figure for a bossman in a position to do something about this. X is yielding 1B posts/day. Plan. Encourage higher SNR, discourage retardation.
#1 Retardation reason is herding. Discourage herding by encouraging independent judgement. Platform descends too often into a beauty contest. A random issue that can be discussed reasonably, is turned into a popularity contest, virtue of being voted on by engagement. Instead of data, the thing gathers meta-data.
Top of the head elementary bandaids, to reduce the probability of the platform itself creating positive feedback loops.
1) Stop showing number of likes/reposts to anyone else but the post author. Users liking/replying/reposting can see only 1. (theirs)
2) Alternative: only show the number of likes/reposts to a user that has liked/reposted that post—so *after* they liked/reposted. Hide state, show nothing *before*.
3) Variant of above/s: put a ceiling on the number of engagements, quantise the numbers into into something like 1 - 100 - Infinity. Aim for every interaction to judge the value of the post on the merit of its content. So on post's own terms, not on its meta-data.
General: don't reward retards that just mindlessly do what other users did. That herding behaviour adds zero new information.
4) Whatever metric is used to judge on how many screens is post pushed to, whatever predictor there is contributing to the decision that grows the probablity larger with the "size/prominence of account" (assuming it's a function of the number of followers, interactions etc) - cube root it, squash it. Put hard ceiling to it if you need—don't allow one account one post to dominate over everything.
5) Alternative: once a post reaches minimum "quality control" floor of engagement, then the post is equally good as one other that passed the same floor. So once a minimum is reached, than that's it—all posts value the same. Don't have a post weighted 100K more than all others.
IDK even know how with so many ML and other smart folks at xAI this is still not improved. Yeah - may hurt "engagement" metrics and some advertisers maybe peeved. So what? Since when is Muscle Man scared of the advertisers?
Quote
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1944249535070712101
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Jul 13
Replying to @xDaily
There is a vast mountain of left-wing bullshit on the Internet and then a much smaller mountain of right-wing bullshit. The right doesn’t write very much!
Unfortunately, there is not much in the middle.
We obviously see this with people in general, where there is a bimodal
Show more
2:39 PM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How is this that difficult to figure for a bossman in a position to do something about this. X is yielding 1B posts/day. Plan. Encourage higher SNR, discourage retardation.
#1 Retardation reason is herding. Discourage herding by encouraging independent judgement. Platform descends too often into a beauty contest. A random issue that can be discussed reasonably, is turned into a popularity contest, virtue of being voted on by engagement. Instead of data, the thing gathers meta-data.
Top of the head elementary bandaids, to reduce the probability of the platform itself creating positive feedback loops.
1) Stop showing number of likes/reposts to anyone else but the post author. Users liking/replying/reposting can see only 1. (theirs)
2) Alternative: only show the number of likes/reposts to a user that has liked/reposted that post—so *after* they liked/reposted. Hide state, show nothing *before*.
3) Variant of above/s: put a ceiling on the number of engagements, quantise the numbers into into something like 1 - 100 - Infinity. Aim for every interaction to judge the value of the post on the merit of its content. So on post's own terms, not on its meta-data.
General: don't reward retards that just mindlessly do what other users did. That herding behaviour adds zero new information.
4) Whatever metric is used to judge on how many screens is post pushed to, whatever predictor there is contributing to the decision that grows the probablity larger with the "size/prominence of account" (assuming it's a function of the number of followers, interactions etc) - cube root it, squash it. Put hard ceiling to it if you need—don't allow one account one post to dominate over everything.
5) Alternative: once a post reaches minimum "quality control" floor of engagement, then the post is equally good as one other that passed the same floor. So once a minimum is reached, than that's it—all posts value the same. Don't have a post weighted 100K more than all others.
IDK even know how with so many ML and other smart folks at xAI this is still not improved. Yeah - may hurt "engagement" metrics and some advertisers maybe peeved. So what? Since when is Muscle Man scared of the advertisers?
Quote
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1944249535070712101
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Jul 13
Replying to @xDaily
There is a vast mountain of left-wing bullshit on the Internet and then a much smaller mountain of right-wing bullshit. The right doesn’t write very much!
Unfortunately, there is not much in the middle.
We obviously see this with people in general, where there is a bimodal
Show more
2:39 PM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944750082831606030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This titled "American" but everything there about US applies to the UK too.
https://danieljeffries.substack.com/p/american-decel
by @Dan_Jeffries1
In the UK too, decel degrowth cowards rule the roost. How does UK get rid of the useless twats and position people that do want to get stuff done into the commanding highs of society is the political question of our time. The current lot don't even claim to want anything done! Afraid of their own shadows. Were the innumerate wordcels of CPSnow "Two Cultures" always this useless??
2:25 PM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This titled "American" but everything there about US applies to the UK too.
https://danieljeffries.substack.com/p/american-decel
by @Dan_Jeffries1
In the UK too, decel degrowth cowards rule the roost. How does UK get rid of the useless twats and position people that do want to get stuff done into the commanding highs of society is the political question of our time. The current lot don't even claim to want anything done! Afraid of their own shadows. Were the innumerate wordcels of CPSnow "Two Cultures" always this useless??
2:25 PM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944718875569930528
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...light? I'd expect it to be expanding into the light. As per "The Last Question" - let there be light.
12:21 PM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...light? I'd expect it to be expanding into the light. As per "The Last Question" - let there be light.
12:21 PM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944705703123247343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh I switched off that slop. Too much of too low a quality - as per the pic. Do people writing the worst of it know the bare minimum about sampling from a distribution? Probably @karpathy 's admittedly long(ish) video -
https://youtu.be/7xTGNNLPyMI
...should be made mandatory. Plus a short quiz pass - in order for a paper not to be thrown straight in the bin.
This “shock horror model 'said' Hitler-something” is getting on my tits. "No, the robot didn't 'say' anything; we sampled whatever we sampled from a distribution; one that we ourselves computed too." It's becoming another "satanists" DnD moral panic. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output never-ever, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. As simple as. Anything else - and probability of a Hitler-word remains >0. So it's possible with right input and/or context to coerce it out of the sampler.
I get it normies get all uneasy when drilling down into "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2", it comes down to "it added one trillion small numbers, and the sum came close to 1, but didn't quite reach 2". Well - maybe rather than indulging lowest passions, the in-the-know people should grow some spine and come back with: "Tough luck—you'll have to suck it. We'll have to live with Hitler-something. Price worth paying, for these machines are too useful."
scary-robot-pretend-oh-my.jpg
11:29 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh I switched off that slop. Too much of too low a quality - as per the pic. Do people writing the worst of it know the bare minimum about sampling from a distribution? Probably @karpathy 's admittedly long(ish) video -
https://youtu.be/7xTGNNLPyMI
...should be made mandatory. Plus a short quiz pass - in order for a paper not to be thrown straight in the bin.
This “shock horror model 'said' Hitler-something” is getting on my tits. "No, the robot didn't 'say' anything; we sampled whatever we sampled from a distribution; one that we ourselves computed too." It's becoming another "satanists" DnD moral panic. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output never-ever, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. As simple as. Anything else - and probability of a Hitler-word remains >0. So it's possible with right input and/or context to coerce it out of the sampler.
I get it normies get all uneasy when drilling down into "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2", it comes down to "it added one trillion small numbers, and the sum came close to 1, but didn't quite reach 2". Well - maybe rather than indulging lowest passions, the in-the-know people should grow some spine and come back with: "Tough luck—you'll have to suck it. We'll have to live with Hitler-something. Price worth paying, for these machines are too useful."
scary-robot-pretend-oh-my.jpg
11:29 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944689132912943531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Luckily you are in a position to do something about it bossman. You got X yielding 1B posts/day. Encourage high(er) SNR, discourage retardation.
#1 Retardation reason is herding. Discourage herding / encourage independent judgement. Platform often too much a beauty contest. Issue that can be discussed reasonably, is turned into a popularity contest, to be voted on by engagement. Elementary bandaids reducing probability of platform itself creating positive feedback loops.
1) Stop showing number of likes/reposts to anyone else but the post author. User liking/replying/reposting can see only 1. (theirs)
2) Alternative: only show the number of likes/reposts to a user that has liked/reposted that post—so *after* they liked/reposted. Hide state show nothing *before*.
3) Variant of above/s: put a ceiling on the number, quantise the numbers into into e.g. 1-1e2-Inf.
Aim for - every person judges the value of the post on its content, on it's own terms, not on its meta-data. Don't want them to mindlessly do what other users did - that adds zero new information.
4) Whatever metric is used to judge on how many screens is a post pushed to, whatever predictor there contributing to the decision that grows larger with the "size/prominence of account" (assume fun-of the number of followers, interactions etc) - cube root it, squash it. Put hard ceiling to it—don't allow one account to take over everything. my2p
10:23 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Luckily you are in a position to do something about it bossman. You got X yielding 1B posts/day. Encourage high(er) SNR, discourage retardation.
#1 Retardation reason is herding. Discourage herding / encourage independent judgement. Platform often too much a beauty contest. Issue that can be discussed reasonably, is turned into a popularity contest, to be voted on by engagement. Elementary bandaids reducing probability of platform itself creating positive feedback loops.
1) Stop showing number of likes/reposts to anyone else but the post author. User liking/replying/reposting can see only 1. (theirs)
2) Alternative: only show the number of likes/reposts to a user that has liked/reposted that post—so *after* they liked/reposted. Hide state show nothing *before*.
3) Variant of above/s: put a ceiling on the number, quantise the numbers into into e.g. 1-1e2-Inf.
Aim for - every person judges the value of the post on its content, on it's own terms, not on its meta-data. Don't want them to mindlessly do what other users did - that adds zero new information.
4) Whatever metric is used to judge on how many screens is a post pushed to, whatever predictor there contributing to the decision that grows larger with the "size/prominence of account" (assume fun-of the number of followers, interactions etc) - cube root it, squash it. Put hard ceiling to it—don't allow one account to take over everything. my2p
10:23 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944682623827136851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh - nice :-) Thanks for that.
Can see now how/what hierarchies are made/of. Already P(Y|X) is a hierarchical relationship. Now conditioning on Z too P(Y|Z,X) is another brick in the wall of a hierarchical relationship. Could say conditioning on X takes general N-dim P(X,Y), and reduces it down to at most (N-1)-dim space of P(Y|X). Conditioning even more on Z to P(Y|Z,X) does another slicing down, to at most (N-2)-space. From widest most detailed N-dim P(X,Y), to more general less specific P(Y|Z,X) at most (N-2)-dim.
Maybe one can undertake motivated slicing? After all - slicing by x=a the P(X,Y)=f_{X,Y}(x,y) to get f_{X,Y}(x=a,y) (then renormalised by marginal P(X)=f_X(x) at x=a into f_{X,Y(x=a,y)/f_X(x=a) = f_{Y|X}(y|x=a) call it conditional P(Y|X)) - we undertake that b/c we hope P(Y|X) is going to be sharper, more informative that a presumed wide un-informative P(Y). So we could be selecting such Z, that P(Y|Z,X) is even sharper. And we have the P(Z|X) to judge how justified we are to undertake our motivated reasoning Z step.
9:57 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh - nice :-) Thanks for that.
Can see now how/what hierarchies are made/of. Already P(Y|X) is a hierarchical relationship. Now conditioning on Z too P(Y|Z,X) is another brick in the wall of a hierarchical relationship. Could say conditioning on X takes general N-dim P(X,Y), and reduces it down to at most (N-1)-dim space of P(Y|X). Conditioning even more on Z to P(Y|Z,X) does another slicing down, to at most (N-2)-space. From widest most detailed N-dim P(X,Y), to more general less specific P(Y|Z,X) at most (N-2)-dim.
Maybe one can undertake motivated slicing? After all - slicing by x=a the P(X,Y)=f_{X,Y}(x,y) to get f_{X,Y}(x=a,y) (then renormalised by marginal P(X)=f_X(x) at x=a into f_{X,Y(x=a,y)/f_X(x=a) = f_{Y|X}(y|x=a) call it conditional P(Y|X)) - we undertake that b/c we hope P(Y|X) is going to be sharper, more informative that a presumed wide un-informative P(Y). So we could be selecting such Z, that P(Y|Z,X) is even sharper. And we have the P(Z|X) to judge how justified we are to undertake our motivated reasoning Z step.
9:57 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944668263939498310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - ok, that's funny, for that is a in part result of the way the social platforms operate. Musk owns one, so silver lining there: Musk is about one of the very few people that can actually do something about it. 😂
That happens because the platform becomes too much like beauty contests. When us people turn an issue from one that can be discussed reasonably, into one that is voted on in a popularity contest. It's b/c the platforms themselves create positive feedback loops. They encourage trending, (ok?) but also cause herding. (bad!)
For X, even trivially simple remedies would go a long way. Comes to mind:
1) Stop showing the number of likes or reposts to anyone, but the post author. The ones doing the liking and reposting can see only one. (themselves)
2) Alternative to above: only show the number of likes/reposts of a post to users that have liked/reposted a post, only *after* they liked/reposted. Do not show *before*.
We want every person to judge the value of the post on its own terms. Not to mindlessly do what other users did. There in lies "herding".
3) Whatever metric is used to judge on how many screens is a post pushed to, the predictor there contributing to the decision, that grows larger with the "size and prominence of account" (usually judged by the number of followers, the number of interactions) - cube root it to squash it. Hard limit it, put hard ceiling to it. Don't allow one account to take over everything. my2c
9:00 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - ok, that's funny, for that is a in part result of the way the social platforms operate. Musk owns one, so silver lining there: Musk is about one of the very few people that can actually do something about it. 😂
That happens because the platform becomes too much like beauty contests. When us people turn an issue from one that can be discussed reasonably, into one that is voted on in a popularity contest. It's b/c the platforms themselves create positive feedback loops. They encourage trending, (ok?) but also cause herding. (bad!)
For X, even trivially simple remedies would go a long way. Comes to mind:
1) Stop showing the number of likes or reposts to anyone, but the post author. The ones doing the liking and reposting can see only one. (themselves)
2) Alternative to above: only show the number of likes/reposts of a post to users that have liked/reposted a post, only *after* they liked/reposted. Do not show *before*.
We want every person to judge the value of the post on its own terms. Not to mindlessly do what other users did. There in lies "herding".
3) Whatever metric is used to judge on how many screens is a post pushed to, the predictor there contributing to the decision, that grows larger with the "size and prominence of account" (usually judged by the number of followers, the number of interactions) - cube root it to squash it. Hard limit it, put hard ceiling to it. Don't allow one account to take over everything. my2c
9:00 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Yeah, in many interviews Bannon was spelling out the lines of attack: 1) drug abuse, 2) citizenship lying revocation, 3) CCP agent of influence. All tied within the "National Security" angle. e.g.
https://x.com/unherd/status/1931016010334617673
Maybe now Musk is not in a way part of us gov, that angle will lose potency?
if Musk loses his security clearances, and becomes unable to run SpaceX and Starlink - then we'll know it's happening I guess?
(this somewhat reminiscent iof Putin destroying his oligarchs that didn't yield and thought they can control him?)
I hope he shakes up politics. I fear he'll end in exile, or worse. In politics esp with radical change - at least in words - it's life/death, not just $$$ business. Trump got shot at
True that. But contra - TBPR gifted California two industries (PC, Internet) miracles from zero. Now third in making. (AI) All the while failing to achieve any political influence. In fact, achieving exact opposite of what they desire - corrupt decels degrowers rule the political roost in CA for decades.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
I know nothing of CA politics except of Reagan and Schwarzenegger. Only recall a total minimum from the above interview. And sometimes quips references in random Marc Andreessen interviews
...and the line of the counter-attack will be
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960
Yeah I too think he'll lose badly, unless he learns super-quick. So far no signs of, as the Epstein thing - no one gives a sh*t. Here Trump makes the host decide "it's better I agree with Trump wrong answer". (trump says "112"; the host has it in front of him it's "102")
https://x.com/teortaxesTex/status/1942141803089526957
Our kind - the mild rational autists we are, even when we know, we don't internalise stuff like ~80% people like lucidity levels <= 3. Trump can always out-crazy anything Musk does, and do it with popular support of >=40% (=1/2 of the 80%)
Haha 😆 - fwiw think royal-anything holds limited appeal outside the UK, for better or worse
Think Muskarat dodged a bullet there
https://x.com/growing_daniel/status/1943093719814844879
...in his - to my mind still unlikely - forray into politics
Yarvin strikes me like Yudkowski in hist appeal - maybe deep but too narrow. More like a cult leader
Tech leader like Jobs - and Musk too! - have got more of a "reality distortion field" that is necessary for an effective leader, but also to get stuff done against tall odds, that's more wide less deep maybe
But for politics one needs to have that dialed up to 11. Trump has it!
Earlier in the week, in that clip of the "17 x 6" question, it was more interesting to my mind Trump performance ("that's why he's the daddy", haha 😂 ) than Ivanka & the other kid (the specimens for "who/why would ever need mental anything"). On two accounts. That the host accepted Trump wrong answer "112", even if he had right answer "102" in front of him. And that Trump answer matches a different question - "16 x 7". I can read in it "must change the rules of the game to have a chance at winning; if playing by the rules one will lose" if I squint 😂 That strikes me not unlike the Trump-the-disruptor strategy for winning, that has worked for him.
https://x.com/highbrow_nobrow/status/1941502181942886598
Musk would need reality distortion field of similar width, even if shallow; and Yarvin strikes me as someone that is not that
I follow somewhat politics and adjacent political philosophy ideologies etc - but find leftist politics incomprehensable
Like alignment with islamic fundamentalism or islamo-fascism. Both an electoral kiss of death (limited appeal I imagine for - being blown up by bombers, for cousin marriages, and latest grooming gangs mass rape??), and literal kiss of death like in Iran, and Afghanistan too, where after the revolution, 1) islamist get the upper hand 2) the first group against the wall and shot are the communists
Oh yeah - I get Bernie, and have lots of time for him. And he is not alone. If you listen to recent Fukuyama interviews, his stance is similar. Open - with protections and controls.
I too think - Open-everything works, because scaling-up works that way. A pyramid is a good abstraction for human societies, going high(er) necessitates going wide(r) at the base. Think neo/liberals are right there. "Open: The Story Of Human Progress" by Norberg is one of my perennial favourite books.
Having said that, being organised in a democracy, and 1 person = 1 vote more important than 1 dollar = 1 vote (for better or worse; I think - better) I think one can't leave too many people behind to suffer the consequences, while reaping no benefits. "Open" works on average - so not for everyone, and not all the time. There will be losers, and it's incumbent on the winners to do something about that.
I once read: the auto-workers of Detroit that lose their jobs to Japanese competition, will not retrain and become programmers. Their children might though - and move to the Silicon Valley, and live better lives than their parents. But not the present workers
I personally grew up left-wing, for growing up in a socialist country does that to a young person. (you'd call it "communist" country; the communists called it "socialist" for communism was not achieved - yet) So I have some residual sympathy. Epsecialy seeing latter, when teh system crashed and burned, the older workers never retrained, never [picked up new skills, once one is past 45yo and esp past 50yo - it would be delusional to be expecting that from an average person. No - they got straight to unemployment, for they were unemployable, and then early so minimal pension. On the scrap heap. But their kids did well, and the kids of those kids are doing well now
LJ @ London e/acc
Yeah, in many interviews Bannon was spelling out the lines of attack: 1) drug abuse, 2) citizenship lying revocation, 3) CCP agent of influence. All tied within the "National Security" angle. e.g.
https://x.com/unherd/status/1931016010334617673
Maybe now Musk is not in a way part of us gov, that angle will lose potency?
if Musk loses his security clearances, and becomes unable to run SpaceX and Starlink - then we'll know it's happening I guess?
(this somewhat reminiscent iof Putin destroying his oligarchs that didn't yield and thought they can control him?)
I hope he shakes up politics. I fear he'll end in exile, or worse. In politics esp with radical change - at least in words - it's life/death, not just $$$ business. Trump got shot at
True that. But contra - TBPR gifted California two industries (PC, Internet) miracles from zero. Now third in making. (AI) All the while failing to achieve any political influence. In fact, achieving exact opposite of what they desire - corrupt decels degrowers rule the political roost in CA for decades.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
I know nothing of CA politics except of Reagan and Schwarzenegger. Only recall a total minimum from the above interview. And sometimes quips references in random Marc Andreessen interviews
...and the line of the counter-attack will be
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960
Yeah I too think he'll lose badly, unless he learns super-quick. So far no signs of, as the Epstein thing - no one gives a sh*t. Here Trump makes the host decide "it's better I agree with Trump wrong answer". (trump says "112"; the host has it in front of him it's "102")
https://x.com/teortaxesTex/status/1942141803089526957
Our kind - the mild rational autists we are, even when we know, we don't internalise stuff like ~80% people like lucidity levels <= 3. Trump can always out-crazy anything Musk does, and do it with popular support of >=40% (=1/2 of the 80%)
Haha 😆 - fwiw think royal-anything holds limited appeal outside the UK, for better or worse
Think Muskarat dodged a bullet there
https://x.com/growing_daniel/status/1943093719814844879
...in his - to my mind still unlikely - forray into politics
Yarvin strikes me like Yudkowski in hist appeal - maybe deep but too narrow. More like a cult leader
Tech leader like Jobs - and Musk too! - have got more of a "reality distortion field" that is necessary for an effective leader, but also to get stuff done against tall odds, that's more wide less deep maybe
But for politics one needs to have that dialed up to 11. Trump has it!
Earlier in the week, in that clip of the "17 x 6" question, it was more interesting to my mind Trump performance ("that's why he's the daddy", haha 😂 ) than Ivanka & the other kid (the specimens for "who/why would ever need mental anything"). On two accounts. That the host accepted Trump wrong answer "112", even if he had right answer "102" in front of him. And that Trump answer matches a different question - "16 x 7". I can read in it "must change the rules of the game to have a chance at winning; if playing by the rules one will lose" if I squint 😂 That strikes me not unlike the Trump-the-disruptor strategy for winning, that has worked for him.
https://x.com/highbrow_nobrow/status/1941502181942886598
Musk would need reality distortion field of similar width, even if shallow; and Yarvin strikes me as someone that is not that
I follow somewhat politics and adjacent political philosophy ideologies etc - but find leftist politics incomprehensable
Like alignment with islamic fundamentalism or islamo-fascism. Both an electoral kiss of death (limited appeal I imagine for - being blown up by bombers, for cousin marriages, and latest grooming gangs mass rape??), and literal kiss of death like in Iran, and Afghanistan too, where after the revolution, 1) islamist get the upper hand 2) the first group against the wall and shot are the communists
Oh yeah - I get Bernie, and have lots of time for him. And he is not alone. If you listen to recent Fukuyama interviews, his stance is similar. Open - with protections and controls.
I too think - Open-everything works, because scaling-up works that way. A pyramid is a good abstraction for human societies, going high(er) necessitates going wide(r) at the base. Think neo/liberals are right there. "Open: The Story Of Human Progress" by Norberg is one of my perennial favourite books.
Having said that, being organised in a democracy, and 1 person = 1 vote more important than 1 dollar = 1 vote (for better or worse; I think - better) I think one can't leave too many people behind to suffer the consequences, while reaping no benefits. "Open" works on average - so not for everyone, and not all the time. There will be losers, and it's incumbent on the winners to do something about that.
I once read: the auto-workers of Detroit that lose their jobs to Japanese competition, will not retrain and become programmers. Their children might though - and move to the Silicon Valley, and live better lives than their parents. But not the present workers
I personally grew up left-wing, for growing up in a socialist country does that to a young person. (you'd call it "communist" country; the communists called it "socialist" for communism was not achieved - yet) So I have some residual sympathy. Epsecialy seeing latter, when teh system crashed and burned, the older workers never retrained, never [picked up new skills, once one is past 45yo and esp past 50yo - it would be delusional to be expecting that from an average person. No - they got straight to unemployment, for they were unemployable, and then early so minimal pension. On the scrap heap. But their kids did well, and the kids of those kids are doing well now
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944659431037215147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point by random chance, once I watched a short documentary about a person that was IQ -2SD. It was most instructive. See the never ending struggles, and shame from daily humiliations. Stuff most people can do withotu much effort, exerted lots of strain on the poor guy, who had to put lots of effort. Battling against the odds to do trivial things others barely notice for they are effortless to them. We usually see publicised how life is for the +2SD people, ones that drew long straws in that lottery of life. Both one the +ve and the -ve side of 100 are drawn mostly at random. Like winning or losing in a lottery, that oneself has little say in. One of the better docs I've seen, been trying on-and -off few times to trace it down online but failed.
8:25 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point by random chance, once I watched a short documentary about a person that was IQ -2SD. It was most instructive. See the never ending struggles, and shame from daily humiliations. Stuff most people can do withotu much effort, exerted lots of strain on the poor guy, who had to put lots of effort. Battling against the odds to do trivial things others barely notice for they are effortless to them. We usually see publicised how life is for the +2SD people, ones that drew long straws in that lottery of life. Both one the +ve and the -ve side of 100 are drawn mostly at random. Like winning or losing in a lottery, that oneself has little say in. One of the better docs I've seen, been trying on-and -off few times to trace it down online but failed.
8:25 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944655137827356950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite a few people I know have taken to it. Looking from aside, can't help myself but say it: looks like very very boring. The sea looks like a desert to me: can't drink the water, always in danger of drowning in it, including from hypothermia. Unless the scorching sun without respite, and no shade, gets to me first. Only redeeming feature I see is enjoying the company of the people one is in the same boat with. But even that - can enjoy the same company in a nice green leafy garden on land. Much better Internet. Plenty of space for one to move around, once the conversation gets exhausted. Not scrunched in the confined space on a boat. IK may yet change my mind at some point. But atm the whole enterprise looks like not that different from a prison-punishment. A landlubber here, obviously. 😂
8:08 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite a few people I know have taken to it. Looking from aside, can't help myself but say it: looks like very very boring. The sea looks like a desert to me: can't drink the water, always in danger of drowning in it, including from hypothermia. Unless the scorching sun without respite, and no shade, gets to me first. Only redeeming feature I see is enjoying the company of the people one is in the same boat with. But even that - can enjoy the same company in a nice green leafy garden on land. Much better Internet. Plenty of space for one to move around, once the conversation gets exhausted. Not scrunched in the confined space on a boat. IK may yet change my mind at some point. But atm the whole enterprise looks like not that different from a prison-punishment. A landlubber here, obviously. 😂
8:08 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944626187776446848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good grief - this gives even theoretical physicists with their "Theories of Everything" run for their money. 😂 Can't say much about consciousness myself - what can be left to say, on those maps it's looking like everything remotely plausible has been said 5 times over 😄 - but boy does humanity have burning imagination or what?? In absence of evidence from reality to strike down delete hypothesis that are possible, but "just ain't so", this looks like RL rollouts tree of model RL learning. 😅 I find it endearing how keen us people are imagining things, creating new stuff speculative stuff in our heads. 😇
6:13 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good grief - this gives even theoretical physicists with their "Theories of Everything" run for their money. 😂 Can't say much about consciousness myself - what can be left to say, on those maps it's looking like everything remotely plausible has been said 5 times over 😄 - but boy does humanity have burning imagination or what?? In absence of evidence from reality to strike down delete hypothesis that are possible, but "just ain't so", this looks like RL rollouts tree of model RL learning. 😅 I find it endearing how keen us people are imagining things, creating new stuff speculative stuff in our heads. 😇
6:13 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944546789278826850
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even more - developers that don't makes profit, they must make a loss. And any loss making firm, goes bust, is liquidated. So any one actually existing firm, must have made profit, in order to exist.
12:57 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even more - developers that don't makes profit, they must make a loss. And any loss making firm, goes bust, is liquidated. So any one actually existing firm, must have made profit, in order to exist.
12:57 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944536510264455411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Someone mentioned that claude or gemini cli nowadays are capable of "compacting" the context once full. And replacing the large context, with a smaller summary, in order to make space for new stuff in the context. (I have not seen it with gemini cli yet)
It strikes me that this is natural example of hierarchy forming. This replacing of detailed context with its compact summary.
Ideally, the relation between the large(er) context at a lower level of abstraction, and the small(er) summary at a higher level of abstraction, is to be kept. The rest of the system uses the compact summary, and that suffices. But if for whatever reason, the model needs the particulars, if the general summary does not suffice - then the original detail, the particulars, are stil there, can be drilled down in.
12:16 AM · Jul 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Someone mentioned that claude or gemini cli nowadays are capable of "compacting" the context once full. And replacing the large context, with a smaller summary, in order to make space for new stuff in the context. (I have not seen it with gemini cli yet)
It strikes me that this is natural example of hierarchy forming. This replacing of detailed context with its compact summary.
Ideally, the relation between the large(er) context at a lower level of abstraction, and the small(er) summary at a higher level of abstraction, is to be kept. The rest of the system uses the compact summary, and that suffices. But if for whatever reason, the model needs the particulars, if the general summary does not suffice - then the original detail, the particulars, are stil there, can be drilled down in.
12:16 AM · Jul 14, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
I remember excerpts from a travel book, written by some Scottish young man, who rode bicycles to Istanbul, through the Balkans, at about year 1900. What struck me, that I had not though of before, was: outside towns, there is not basic safety and security. If one is to get from A to B, one has to organise and buy armed escort of half dozen armed man (typically rent from the local feudal lord). For otherwise one is robbed and or killed when trying to get from A to B. Nowadays, we take the basic security for granted. That I can go from A to B in the UK, and the default state is one of law and order.
The rule of the jungle, savagery I presume? But people will be self-organising into e.g. "every village gangs together" trying to ward off predation. Security is the basis for everything, as all else is built on top of a foundation of security.
Don't think Eu is a counter point, as it's a Union of States. not a single state. And not an empire, as it's got no king. Has no army, no police, no taxing capability. If some french dude was going to greece to collect taxes due to the eu from a greek dude - don't think he'd manage to collect tbh.
City-states - in general, the population was too small. But if more things become virtual, networked, tele-presence possibly adequate enough to substitute IRL presence for many things, then - maybe? City-states may provide security that networked ones can't. But then - how is a city state to resist a nation state, security wise? If a city state was invaded by Russia, instead of a huge chunk of territory that is Ukr, it wd not last a day.
Empires - I suspect empire is no longer possible. When people genuinely believed in God, in heaven and hell, all that stuff, to the point they wd genuinely act on their beliefs, then a king, as gods representative on earth, could be something to unite them. Don't think that's possible anymore, b/c no one believes in God(s) for real.
Is etno- there about similar to nation- ? I'd agree the nation is at present the largest group of people people in general have some level of trust above the baseline of "trust in general humanity". Like people in London are mostly OK with part of their money being taken and transferred given to say people in Sheffield. In a way they would not be ok if it was given to people in Barcelona. For better or worse.
Haha 😆 - delightful place to visit that part of Italy, formerly of Austria I imagine. There is a valley called "Val di Sole" (Valley of Sun) that has unusually high number of sunny days in a year. That, and being in the "small(er)?" Dolomites (to the left of the motorway from Verona going south-to-north to Bolzano) means the chances of good weather sunny days in winter, are very high compared to the Alps and other ski places (France, Switzerland). With small kids nice sunny wether makes a world of difference on a mountain. There are several ski centres, all connected, most well known Madonna di Campiglio
Feels like we have not cracked the self-organization nut. Eceonomy - we know roughly what's better/worse, but not as well as we would like. Politics, and law - no one knows how to startup-a-state. Human brain - we don't know how to build one, from zero. Intelligence - lacking ASI as we don't know how to implement "open endedness", "interestingness", something that can run for millions of years and produce stuff of interest like the evolution does, not end up in white noise, or grey goo of nothingness. We are making progress, our collective knowledge. But not quite there it seems to me.
Curious if @balajis NS - Network States goes anywhere. IDK that you can outsource or crowdsource security as he thinks and hopes for, in symbiotic relation with an existing off-line IRL state with monopoly on violence et all
Also I think cyberspace is hard to beat for all-voluntary self-selection self-organisation "yay freedom!" :-)
:-) Haha - appreciate the sentiment, and would love to see nothing more myself. Hailing from one one of the darker regions on that map. 😁 Alas - low hopes. https://x.com/messages/media/1944406147886191103
...fyi. Have not tried this myself yet, (been trying today to get kimi-dev-72b run local with aider,) but think will try next this instead
People self-selection is maybe partly more forced on them by their circumstances. Dire(er) circumstances sharpen the choices. Force even the more lazily inclined (ahem) to think a bit more than they otherwise would have thought about things - life, universe and everything else ;-) They get early dose of "you may not be interested in X, but X is interested in you". :-) Even if - and esp at younger age - being more interested in party/girls/games/booze/etc as anyone wd be, may otherwise wd have been uninterested in X, haha :-)
LJ @ London e/acc
I remember excerpts from a travel book, written by some Scottish young man, who rode bicycles to Istanbul, through the Balkans, at about year 1900. What struck me, that I had not though of before, was: outside towns, there is not basic safety and security. If one is to get from A to B, one has to organise and buy armed escort of half dozen armed man (typically rent from the local feudal lord). For otherwise one is robbed and or killed when trying to get from A to B. Nowadays, we take the basic security for granted. That I can go from A to B in the UK, and the default state is one of law and order.
The rule of the jungle, savagery I presume? But people will be self-organising into e.g. "every village gangs together" trying to ward off predation. Security is the basis for everything, as all else is built on top of a foundation of security.
Don't think Eu is a counter point, as it's a Union of States. not a single state. And not an empire, as it's got no king. Has no army, no police, no taxing capability. If some french dude was going to greece to collect taxes due to the eu from a greek dude - don't think he'd manage to collect tbh.
City-states - in general, the population was too small. But if more things become virtual, networked, tele-presence possibly adequate enough to substitute IRL presence for many things, then - maybe? City-states may provide security that networked ones can't. But then - how is a city state to resist a nation state, security wise? If a city state was invaded by Russia, instead of a huge chunk of territory that is Ukr, it wd not last a day.
Empires - I suspect empire is no longer possible. When people genuinely believed in God, in heaven and hell, all that stuff, to the point they wd genuinely act on their beliefs, then a king, as gods representative on earth, could be something to unite them. Don't think that's possible anymore, b/c no one believes in God(s) for real.
Is etno- there about similar to nation- ? I'd agree the nation is at present the largest group of people people in general have some level of trust above the baseline of "trust in general humanity". Like people in London are mostly OK with part of their money being taken and transferred given to say people in Sheffield. In a way they would not be ok if it was given to people in Barcelona. For better or worse.
Haha 😆 - delightful place to visit that part of Italy, formerly of Austria I imagine. There is a valley called "Val di Sole" (Valley of Sun) that has unusually high number of sunny days in a year. That, and being in the "small(er)?" Dolomites (to the left of the motorway from Verona going south-to-north to Bolzano) means the chances of good weather sunny days in winter, are very high compared to the Alps and other ski places (France, Switzerland). With small kids nice sunny wether makes a world of difference on a mountain. There are several ski centres, all connected, most well known Madonna di Campiglio
Feels like we have not cracked the self-organization nut. Eceonomy - we know roughly what's better/worse, but not as well as we would like. Politics, and law - no one knows how to startup-a-state. Human brain - we don't know how to build one, from zero. Intelligence - lacking ASI as we don't know how to implement "open endedness", "interestingness", something that can run for millions of years and produce stuff of interest like the evolution does, not end up in white noise, or grey goo of nothingness. We are making progress, our collective knowledge. But not quite there it seems to me.
Curious if @balajis NS - Network States goes anywhere. IDK that you can outsource or crowdsource security as he thinks and hopes for, in symbiotic relation with an existing off-line IRL state with monopoly on violence et all
Also I think cyberspace is hard to beat for all-voluntary self-selection self-organisation "yay freedom!" :-)
:-) Haha - appreciate the sentiment, and would love to see nothing more myself. Hailing from one one of the darker regions on that map. 😁 Alas - low hopes. https://x.com/messages/media/1944406147886191103
...fyi. Have not tried this myself yet, (been trying today to get kimi-dev-72b run local with aider,) but think will try next this instead
People self-selection is maybe partly more forced on them by their circumstances. Dire(er) circumstances sharpen the choices. Force even the more lazily inclined (ahem) to think a bit more than they otherwise would have thought about things - life, universe and everything else ;-) They get early dose of "you may not be interested in X, but X is interested in you". :-) Even if - and esp at younger age - being more interested in party/girls/games/booze/etc as anyone wd be, may otherwise wd have been uninterested in X, haha :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944430516867911862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I would say M1-M4 chips were a big deal? I think no-one thought it's possible to de-throne single thread Intel performance - ever!? Now looks "duh, obviously it can, obv someone can beat Intel x86 at stp", but so many tried and failed, for such a long time, that Intel to me looked unassailable.
This as a very recent happy MBP user after lifetime of Linux. So IDK much of Apple. I glanced towards mbp for the battery life ever since M1 (but then Thinkpad + 2 batteries comes close), the screen quality (but then for coding Thinkpad ok, +I'm tad stingy) - but I never made the jump. But then LocalLlama local LLM-s + M4 + V/RAM of 128GB + GPU + low Watts = made me finally get a MBP.
Given I live in the terminal and the browser, for my purposes, MacOS + $ brew is works just fine.
5:15 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I would say M1-M4 chips were a big deal? I think no-one thought it's possible to de-throne single thread Intel performance - ever!? Now looks "duh, obviously it can, obv someone can beat Intel x86 at stp", but so many tried and failed, for such a long time, that Intel to me looked unassailable.
This as a very recent happy MBP user after lifetime of Linux. So IDK much of Apple. I glanced towards mbp for the battery life ever since M1 (but then Thinkpad + 2 batteries comes close), the screen quality (but then for coding Thinkpad ok, +I'm tad stingy) - but I never made the jump. But then LocalLlama local LLM-s + M4 + V/RAM of 128GB + GPU + low Watts = made me finally get a MBP.
Given I live in the terminal and the browser, for my purposes, MacOS + $ brew is works just fine.
5:15 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944412513807773717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get your Q, but also I suspect I maybe get it why for the OP it's maybe obvious. For not thinking what the OP assumes obvious, would that not imply a model of the brain, where the brain has like an "inner theatre" where stuff happens? Like a small TV inside the top-front of our heads, where "we think"?
And that seems obvious to me is wrong. As then one can object to it: well then, does that "inner theatre" scene, have an "inner theatre" of it's own, inside it? For how would it otherwise work? And so on one can keep asking ad-infinitum. So to me it's thus "obvious" that the "inner theatre" model can not possibly be right.
4:04 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get your Q, but also I suspect I maybe get it why for the OP it's maybe obvious. For not thinking what the OP assumes obvious, would that not imply a model of the brain, where the brain has like an "inner theatre" where stuff happens? Like a small TV inside the top-front of our heads, where "we think"?
And that seems obvious to me is wrong. As then one can object to it: well then, does that "inner theatre" scene, have an "inner theatre" of it's own, inside it? For how would it otherwise work? And so on one can keep asking ad-infinitum. So to me it's thus "obvious" that the "inner theatre" model can not possibly be right.
4:04 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944410982282821706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ofc we are - and even more: there is only ever that, nothing else
3:57 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ofc we are - and even more: there is only ever that, nothing else
3:57 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944398731010306062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I feel there is a bit of nobles oblige on the part of the in-the-know crowd. You have been endowed - by nature, by the creator, by chance, by god—whichever way you think of it; but you yourself had little say in it, it was like winning a lottery - with IQ130 or more. Aside: at some point in the past, it was instructive to me, to see how life is for someone -2SD (rather than +2SD) the other way. (that drew the short straw in that lottery; again - not his fault) One of the better docs I've ever seen, have been trying on-and -off few times to find it online. (failed)
So yes people being told "no, it's not that way, it's this way" will not be appreciative of it. Like I don't appreciate when I'm being told to do my job instead of spend my time writing like this for fun on X. :-) Or kids don't appreciate being told to do stuff, rather than just play to their hearts content. Likewise, telling grown ups objective truths - one is not thanked for, haha. :-)
One has to be careful not to over do it, for 1) people switch off 2) one may lose friendships. (or worse!) But indulging mildly, trying to "stretch" someone between what they thing of as their "current max", and "that + 20% on top" is not that big an ask.
Excellent teachers do it regularly! And with kids that are in some ways harder (in others - easier) to achieve that with. So if one has been blessed - can take a small hit, risk some unpopularity in the popularity contest that oft is life, and do something for the greater good (and esp - good for the other, even if they don't know it) at small personal expense.
Not too much though. This is not to be an alibi for doing wrong and usually unpopular things!
3:09 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I feel there is a bit of nobles oblige on the part of the in-the-know crowd. You have been endowed - by nature, by the creator, by chance, by god—whichever way you think of it; but you yourself had little say in it, it was like winning a lottery - with IQ130 or more. Aside: at some point in the past, it was instructive to me, to see how life is for someone -2SD (rather than +2SD) the other way. (that drew the short straw in that lottery; again - not his fault) One of the better docs I've ever seen, have been trying on-and -off few times to find it online. (failed)
So yes people being told "no, it's not that way, it's this way" will not be appreciative of it. Like I don't appreciate when I'm being told to do my job instead of spend my time writing like this for fun on X. :-) Or kids don't appreciate being told to do stuff, rather than just play to their hearts content. Likewise, telling grown ups objective truths - one is not thanked for, haha. :-)
One has to be careful not to over do it, for 1) people switch off 2) one may lose friendships. (or worse!) But indulging mildly, trying to "stretch" someone between what they thing of as their "current max", and "that + 20% on top" is not that big an ask.
Excellent teachers do it regularly! And with kids that are in some ways harder (in others - easier) to achieve that with. So if one has been blessed - can take a small hit, risk some unpopularity in the popularity contest that oft is life, and do something for the greater good (and esp - good for the other, even if they don't know it) at small personal expense.
Not too much though. This is not to be an alibi for doing wrong and usually unpopular things!
3:09 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944372440877953368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe. New hardware will for sure be greatly appreciated, e.g.
https://x.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1944338409125769420
The success of ever smaller precisions for weights, everyone using quantised models locally—surely brings back thoughts about analog computing? And if already looking towards non-digital, then in this iteration, stick to [0,1] probabilistic computing? (as the above) And get the theory for that computing, via the probability theory, manipulating probability distribution for free, on the top of that h/w? Looks like a plan with some non-zero chance of panning out to me.
Quote
Beff – e/acc @BasedBeffJezos · 7h
That's right.
Here's a preview of our silicon pbit results. Huge effort by our team @Extropic_AI.
These were recently presented in Paris and submitted to peer review. x.com/MLStreetTalk/s…
1:24 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe. New hardware will for sure be greatly appreciated, e.g.
https://x.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1944338409125769420
The success of ever smaller precisions for weights, everyone using quantised models locally—surely brings back thoughts about analog computing? And if already looking towards non-digital, then in this iteration, stick to [0,1] probabilistic computing? (as the above) And get the theory for that computing, via the probability theory, manipulating probability distribution for free, on the top of that h/w? Looks like a plan with some non-zero chance of panning out to me.
Quote
Beff – e/acc @BasedBeffJezos · 7h
That's right.
Here's a preview of our silicon pbit results. Huge effort by our team @Extropic_AI.
These were recently presented in Paris and submitted to peer review. x.com/MLStreetTalk/s…
1:24 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944369834701078792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is, b/c the Mac RAM is also VRAM. So the GPU cores can access it, similar to the way an Nvidia card can access its VRAM. Only with Nvidia on a PC you only got 24GB or similar - not 512GB. Not all 512GB is accessible, there is limit less than the max. For me giving it ~80GB ($ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000) out of 96GB works. (IDK what the abs limit is.)
AMD has new cpus that similarly share RAM-VRAM, they work, but I have not tried them. (got m2 mbp 96gb v/ram) But yeah - there is no other choice for 512GB VRAM but several Nvidia cards in some rack. Which I presume will come at a price much higher than $10K?
Nvidia with the extra cards one gets not only VRAM ofc, but the GPU cores, that one doesn't just get extra with the Mac. So for Macs MoE-models are a really good match. As only a subset of all the parameters (that all are in the (v)ram) are pushed through the gpu cores (doing the compute).
1:14 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is, b/c the Mac RAM is also VRAM. So the GPU cores can access it, similar to the way an Nvidia card can access its VRAM. Only with Nvidia on a PC you only got 24GB or similar - not 512GB. Not all 512GB is accessible, there is limit less than the max. For me giving it ~80GB ($ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000) out of 96GB works. (IDK what the abs limit is.)
AMD has new cpus that similarly share RAM-VRAM, they work, but I have not tried them. (got m2 mbp 96gb v/ram) But yeah - there is no other choice for 512GB VRAM but several Nvidia cards in some rack. Which I presume will come at a price much higher than $10K?
Nvidia with the extra cards one gets not only VRAM ofc, but the GPU cores, that one doesn't just get extra with the Mac. So for Macs MoE-models are a really good match. As only a subset of all the parameters (that all are in the (v)ram) are pushed through the gpu cores (doing the compute).
1:14 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944367232965878180
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was a big deal when they got these new ultras out with max 512gb. Prev max was I think 192gb? Hope next version does 1tb. So Kimi K2 quants run on a single box comfortably? A 2nd hand 96gb or 128gb older MBP are fairly accessible, work well, and esp match well with MoE models
1:04 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was a big deal when they got these new ultras out with max 512gb. Prev max was I think 192gb? Hope next version does 1tb. So Kimi K2 quants run on a single box comfortably? A 2nd hand 96gb or 128gb older MBP are fairly accessible, work well, and esp match well with MoE models
1:04 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944366188722626675
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unless this is <s>-arcasm - no, you should probably not. See YT reviews and speedtests 1st. The ones I saw few months ago for M4 Pro measured TB5 (which I presume this box must have?) external NVME speed v.s. the internal one. And the TB5 external on the M4 Pro small boxes they tested, seemed as fast as the internal storage! So unless one minds too much the slightly messiness of the extra cables around aesthetics - one should check external TB5 NVME enclosures with some fast nvme sticks in.
12:59 PM · Jul 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unless this is <s>-arcasm - no, you should probably not. See YT reviews and speedtests 1st. The ones I saw few months ago for M4 Pro measured TB5 (which I presume this box must have?) external NVME speed v.s. the internal one. And the TB5 external on the M4 Pro small boxes they tested, seemed as fast as the internal storage! So unless one minds too much the slightly messiness of the extra cables around aesthetics - one should check external TB5 NVME enclosures with some fast nvme sticks in.
12:59 PM · Jul 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1944034346127528192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - not proud of it, but ofc many will remember TURBO . COM when it still fit in 64K so no wasting of bytes like latter TPC . EXE haha. 😂 And before that even 😱
3:01 PM · Jul 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - not proud of it, but ofc many will remember TURBO . COM when it still fit in 64K so no wasting of bytes like latter TPC . EXE haha. 😂 And before that even 😱
3:01 PM · Jul 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943948269459034463
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the minimal energy principle
9:19 AM · Jul 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the minimal energy principle
9:19 AM · Jul 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943931553127538910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no you are just a naughty boy
8:12 AM · Jul 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no you are just a naughty boy
8:12 AM · Jul 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943732123178844344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI OS needs stuff like
(torch) ljubomir@macbook2(:):~$ ls -lSh ~/llama.cpp/models/*.gguf |grep ^- |h -3
-rw-r--r--@ 1 ljubomir staff 42G 10 Jul 22:59 /Users/ljubomir/llama.cpp/models/Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-IQ4_NL.gguf
-rw-r--r--@ 1 ljubomir staff 32G 3 Jul 13:21 /Users/ljubomir/llama.cpp/models/deepswe-preview-q8_0.gguf
-rw-r--r--@ 1 ljubomir staff 18G 10 Jul 22:19 /Users/ljubomir/llama.cpp/models/mistralai_Devstral-Small-2507-Q6_K_L.gguf
If anything 32GB is too little. IDK why AMD so lacking ambition—only 128GB (V)RAM max. Need at least 1TB for e.g.
https://x.com/airesearch12/status/1943686198657995258
7:00 PM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI OS needs stuff like
(torch) ljubomir@macbook2(:):~$ ls -lSh ~/llama.cpp/models/*.gguf |grep ^- |h -3
-rw-r--r--@ 1 ljubomir staff 42G 10 Jul 22:59 /Users/ljubomir/llama.cpp/models/Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-IQ4_NL.gguf
-rw-r--r--@ 1 ljubomir staff 32G 3 Jul 13:21 /Users/ljubomir/llama.cpp/models/deepswe-preview-q8_0.gguf
-rw-r--r--@ 1 ljubomir staff 18G 10 Jul 22:19 /Users/ljubomir/llama.cpp/models/mistralai_Devstral-Small-2507-Q6_K_L.gguf
If anything 32GB is too little. IDK why AMD so lacking ambition—only 128GB (V)RAM max. Need at least 1TB for e.g.
https://x.com/airesearch12/status/1943686198657995258
7:00 PM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943716508103786642
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There will be not reversal afaics, no BRejoin. Churchill often quoted when he talked about United States of Europe, afaik his idea was EU-ex-the-UK.
If EU were pro-GMO, pro-nuclear, pro-biotech-genetics, pro-AI, pro- build-build-build everything - then maybe there would have been a chance. As things stand, EU with degrowth decel wordcel morons in charge, elected by retarded boomers of yesteryear, and woke millennials in the future - no chance. I can't say if for the worse or for the better. EU can never be United States of Europe, like USA, for there is not a single European nation. So there can not be single parliament with 1:1 votes etc.
However - there can be more cooperation. Especicaly 1:1 bigger Europe states - UK, France, Germany, Poland, Spain... Yeah it's stupid for UK to be out of the single market, or to have any market friction. Unforced costs there. Customs Union - IDK if and how much needed. If everything was made electronic, tracked, total surveillance of goods and services by the QR code, than it won't matter - maybe?
Still - our UK political class looks to me only a smidgen less cretinous than the EU one. Imo only b/c they have the English language as native. Can read the future 1st hand, as made in the US, mostly in California. But the UK ruling class is still plenty stupid. Esp bad that's innumerate, the CPSnow "Two Cultures" still very very relevant afaics. Cue - Online Safety Bill retardation. I still click away "Accept all cookies" 100 times daily 10 yrs post-Brexit, that EU stupidity hasn't been repealed.
5:58 PM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There will be not reversal afaics, no BRejoin. Churchill often quoted when he talked about United States of Europe, afaik his idea was EU-ex-the-UK.
If EU were pro-GMO, pro-nuclear, pro-biotech-genetics, pro-AI, pro- build-build-build everything - then maybe there would have been a chance. As things stand, EU with degrowth decel wordcel morons in charge, elected by retarded boomers of yesteryear, and woke millennials in the future - no chance. I can't say if for the worse or for the better. EU can never be United States of Europe, like USA, for there is not a single European nation. So there can not be single parliament with 1:1 votes etc.
However - there can be more cooperation. Especicaly 1:1 bigger Europe states - UK, France, Germany, Poland, Spain... Yeah it's stupid for UK to be out of the single market, or to have any market friction. Unforced costs there. Customs Union - IDK if and how much needed. If everything was made electronic, tracked, total surveillance of goods and services by the QR code, than it won't matter - maybe?
Still - our UK political class looks to me only a smidgen less cretinous than the EU one. Imo only b/c they have the English language as native. Can read the future 1st hand, as made in the US, mostly in California. But the UK ruling class is still plenty stupid. Esp bad that's innumerate, the CPSnow "Two Cultures" still very very relevant afaics. Cue - Online Safety Bill retardation. I still click away "Accept all cookies" 100 times daily 10 yrs post-Brexit, that EU stupidity hasn't been repealed.
5:58 PM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943692616198926817
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ngl I didn't anticipate this level of muskarat retardation either. 😂 Why do that, what even at cursory consideration, undermines your most cherished Musk-to-Mars?? Who will trust your Total Recall level of consideration for the other? 😭 Justin moronic spherically dumb, no redeeming features.
4:23 PM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ngl I didn't anticipate this level of muskarat retardation either. 😂 Why do that, what even at cursory consideration, undermines your most cherished Musk-to-Mars?? Who will trust your Total Recall level of consideration for the other? 😭 Justin moronic spherically dumb, no redeeming features.
4:23 PM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943689201850994961
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - maybe look further, to the US? As the future, it seems to me nowadays mostly made in the US, and specifically in California and adjacent. Maybe check libertarianism and or anarchism? Despite true-or-not end of history, don't see people wanting less liberty. Comes to mind this debate
https://youtube.com/watch?v=6FaxxkSHWAA
between a self professed - anarchist @michaelmalice, and objectivist (I presume?) @yaronbrook. On whether monopoly on law system/s but ultimately on violence, is necessary (Yaron arg "law super-structure, enabling other structure") or can be rid off (Michael arg "security necessity as food, but state monopoly on food production leads to starvation, so necessity a poor argument; structure daughter of liberty, not parent") and all will just work, and work better than now.
Doesn't the 3rd AI revolution we are undergoing now (=creation of non-human intelligence, for the 1st time ever AI that rivals HI), coming after a previous 2nd Internet revolution (=every human can tele-present to every other of 8B humans, at almost zero $$$ cost), coming after a previous 1st PC revolution (=computer on every desk, then in every pocket) concentrate minds? Even if oblivious to that—doesn't BTC starting from value 0, to current value >$100K, say something? The utopian experiments of self-starting society or state are forever of interest. Latest most audacious Musk-to-Mars. (TBS what happens there 😇) I get it that VSP-s poo-poo NS - Network States of @balajis, but: easy to poo on stuff others create and offer for free, when lacking any offer of your own. So don't take naysayers as the final word.
Yes the right of Thatcher-Boris-Trump is either exhausted, or unlikely to amount to much. But on the right, at least we got neo-liberals' Mea Culpa of the kind of (by @nytdavidbrooks)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
that I never heard of the communists after 1990? Communist system collapsed crashed at burned, I heard zero of "we were wrong, we erred, forgive us please" from the left of any kind. Nothing even close what Brooks offers there.
Even worse - popular Corbyn is stuck in 1980s, as if the Soviet Union never collapsed. IDK even how one goes on holiday in the DDR (Corbyn? Bernie?) after Soviets denounced Stalin. And his ginormous crimes were very well known and documented. Isn't visit to the "DDR wonderland" like "holidays in the Auschwitz" post "Gulag Archipelago"? Just grotesque, fail to comprehend tbh. I'm a child of socialism—what you'd call communism. (our communists termed it "socialism", as it actually existed, whereas "communism" was yet to happen.) Feel sick when I even think of the Corbyn character. Later - flirting with islamofascists, and now to top it off - in bed with neo-imperial neo-nationalist mafia-state Russia?!? wtf
To my mind - Bennites also inadeqate, as if British Layland didn't fail. Think market failure bad? Wait till you see state failure. Actually - we see it with @crush_crime documenting it. Blair as good as Thatcher—no good anymore, exhausted. "Socialism with an iPad" or maybe even "full luxury communism" maybe the only one at least making a tiny step in the right direction—in their heads at least. But even that - woefully inadequate. I suspect—think of no-labour future. A future where no-one needs to work in order to eat. Maybe check @DaveShapi e.g.
https://daveshap.substack.com/p/understanding-post-labor-economics
4:09 PM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - maybe look further, to the US? As the future, it seems to me nowadays mostly made in the US, and specifically in California and adjacent. Maybe check libertarianism and or anarchism? Despite true-or-not end of history, don't see people wanting less liberty. Comes to mind this debate
https://youtube.com/watch?v=6FaxxkSHWAA
between a self professed - anarchist @michaelmalice, and objectivist (I presume?) @yaronbrook. On whether monopoly on law system/s but ultimately on violence, is necessary (Yaron arg "law super-structure, enabling other structure") or can be rid off (Michael arg "security necessity as food, but state monopoly on food production leads to starvation, so necessity a poor argument; structure daughter of liberty, not parent") and all will just work, and work better than now.
Doesn't the 3rd AI revolution we are undergoing now (=creation of non-human intelligence, for the 1st time ever AI that rivals HI), coming after a previous 2nd Internet revolution (=every human can tele-present to every other of 8B humans, at almost zero $$$ cost), coming after a previous 1st PC revolution (=computer on every desk, then in every pocket) concentrate minds? Even if oblivious to that—doesn't BTC starting from value 0, to current value >$100K, say something? The utopian experiments of self-starting society or state are forever of interest. Latest most audacious Musk-to-Mars. (TBS what happens there 😇) I get it that VSP-s poo-poo NS - Network States of @balajis, but: easy to poo on stuff others create and offer for free, when lacking any offer of your own. So don't take naysayers as the final word.
Yes the right of Thatcher-Boris-Trump is either exhausted, or unlikely to amount to much. But on the right, at least we got neo-liberals' Mea Culpa of the kind of (by @nytdavidbrooks)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
that I never heard of the communists after 1990? Communist system collapsed crashed at burned, I heard zero of "we were wrong, we erred, forgive us please" from the left of any kind. Nothing even close what Brooks offers there.
Even worse - popular Corbyn is stuck in 1980s, as if the Soviet Union never collapsed. IDK even how one goes on holiday in the DDR (Corbyn? Bernie?) after Soviets denounced Stalin. And his ginormous crimes were very well known and documented. Isn't visit to the "DDR wonderland" like "holidays in the Auschwitz" post "Gulag Archipelago"? Just grotesque, fail to comprehend tbh. I'm a child of socialism—what you'd call communism. (our communists termed it "socialism", as it actually existed, whereas "communism" was yet to happen.) Feel sick when I even think of the Corbyn character. Later - flirting with islamofascists, and now to top it off - in bed with neo-imperial neo-nationalist mafia-state Russia?!? wtf
To my mind - Bennites also inadeqate, as if British Layland didn't fail. Think market failure bad? Wait till you see state failure. Actually - we see it with @crush_crime documenting it. Blair as good as Thatcher—no good anymore, exhausted. "Socialism with an iPad" or maybe even "full luxury communism" maybe the only one at least making a tiny step in the right direction—in their heads at least. But even that - woefully inadequate. I suspect—think of no-labour future. A future where no-one needs to work in order to eat. Maybe check @DaveShapi e.g.
https://daveshap.substack.com/p/understanding-post-labor-economics
4:09 PM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943672445128368143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids are the best B/S detectors. My pet theory - from observing friends growing up from kids together - is that some mental illness maybe somehow connected to being unable to hold much contradictory truths in ones brain. Like the older simpler experts or similar formal systems can't have contradictory statements without extra handling - or they'll blowup.
As growing up from kid into teenagerhood and then adulthood, the brain develops changes takes its final form. (like the rest of the body) Evidenced a close friend, that was so so earnest as to stay almost as a kid in his thinking. Having lots of trouble, suffering a lot, trying to adapt to grownups thinking. That to me it seems involves much more deception and lying.
3:03 PM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids are the best B/S detectors. My pet theory - from observing friends growing up from kids together - is that some mental illness maybe somehow connected to being unable to hold much contradictory truths in ones brain. Like the older simpler experts or similar formal systems can't have contradictory statements without extra handling - or they'll blowup.
As growing up from kid into teenagerhood and then adulthood, the brain develops changes takes its final form. (like the rest of the body) Evidenced a close friend, that was so so earnest as to stay almost as a kid in his thinking. Having lots of trouble, suffering a lot, trying to adapt to grownups thinking. That to me it seems involves much more deception and lying.
3:03 PM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943666440478835122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, for decade+ I assumed IYI - Intellectual Yet Idiot was invented to describe the Zany-class. And the only ones that considered Zany to be anything but silly were members of the same tribe, friends/family/mates.
2:39 PM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, for decade+ I assumed IYI - Intellectual Yet Idiot was invented to describe the Zany-class. And the only ones that considered Zany to be anything but silly were members of the same tribe, friends/family/mates.
2:39 PM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943627025689817436
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish! Looking forward to being able to put the phone on the table, and instruct "Ok ChatGPT, you are the translator now between myself and person Xyz sitting across. When you hear me speak English, translate into Spanish for him. When you hear him speak Spanish - translate into English for me. Go!"
Having done ASR and TTS myself, I can't believe that I may live to see that fr. 😇 Checking what's latest-greatest from time to time. And then next generation maybe good enough, small enough etc so we put a Babelfish in everyones ear! Mass adoption and the curse of The Tower of Babe finally defeated! One less obstacle in communication, in connecting humanity.
I come from a small language, and I cringe a bit every time someone laments "ah but you know, this or that language is in its last legs." (and or dying) I think - well, a language is an asset, but a liability too. It's not only good - there is plenty bad not being able to understand, or communicate your thoughts, to fellow humans.
12:02 PM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish! Looking forward to being able to put the phone on the table, and instruct "Ok ChatGPT, you are the translator now between myself and person Xyz sitting across. When you hear me speak English, translate into Spanish for him. When you hear him speak Spanish - translate into English for me. Go!"
Having done ASR and TTS myself, I can't believe that I may live to see that fr. 😇 Checking what's latest-greatest from time to time. And then next generation maybe good enough, small enough etc so we put a Babelfish in everyones ear! Mass adoption and the curse of The Tower of Babe finally defeated! One less obstacle in communication, in connecting humanity.
I come from a small language, and I cringe a bit every time someone laments "ah but you know, this or that language is in its last legs." (and or dying) I think - well, a language is an asset, but a liability too. It's not only good - there is plenty bad not being able to understand, or communicate your thoughts, to fellow humans.
12:02 PM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943581925886603397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agreed. I guess no worse than "do nothing and suffer in silence". As long as not replacement for a better solution, that I fear it might never emerge, given the strong NIMBY LD wing.
I'm sympathetic, don't get me wrong, being in a new LibDem seat. And even voted for my now LD MP @TweetingCollins (yay!) last time, over the incumbent CON candidate. (we were a CON seat for long time) And @TweetingCollins even turned out a bit of a YIMBY, to my delight! At least on national stage, in her speech at the party conference - if I remember correctly. A rare bravery for a instinctively NIMBY place like Harp! Deserving of commendation and support by all, but esp from YIMBY leaning voters. 😇
Just I was reminded of performance politics caricatured and lampooned in this @SimonMagus amusing summer read https://viewfromcullingworth.com/p/libdemmery-britains-progressive-cult. So I got lightly triggered there. 😅
9:03 AM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agreed. I guess no worse than "do nothing and suffer in silence". As long as not replacement for a better solution, that I fear it might never emerge, given the strong NIMBY LD wing.
I'm sympathetic, don't get me wrong, being in a new LibDem seat. And even voted for my now LD MP @TweetingCollins (yay!) last time, over the incumbent CON candidate. (we were a CON seat for long time) And @TweetingCollins even turned out a bit of a YIMBY, to my delight! At least on national stage, in her speech at the party conference - if I remember correctly. A rare bravery for a instinctively NIMBY place like Harp! Deserving of commendation and support by all, but esp from YIMBY leaning voters. 😇
Just I was reminded of performance politics caricatured and lampooned in this @SimonMagus amusing summer read https://viewfromcullingworth.com/p/libdemmery-britains-progressive-cult. So I got lightly triggered there. 😅
9:03 AM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943557694004019391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't get the scolds wear you down too much. Yeah harder to execute that when poisoned darts coming from ones one holds affection for. People not in tech have been un-impressive for me. Too many modus ponnens/tollens fails?? Thought wordcels learn of them in a rhetoric class. Or maybe ones I met were too reliant on sophistry, on bamboozling their interlocutors. Either way - letting some distance in between ok strategy. There remain 8B humans available for interaction potentially, plus all the AIs.
7:27 AM · Jul 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't get the scolds wear you down too much. Yeah harder to execute that when poisoned darts coming from ones one holds affection for. People not in tech have been un-impressive for me. Too many modus ponnens/tollens fails?? Thought wordcels learn of them in a rhetoric class. Or maybe ones I met were too reliant on sophistry, on bamboozling their interlocutors. Either way - letting some distance in between ok strategy. There remain 8B humans available for interaction potentially, plus all the AIs.
7:27 AM · Jul 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943349823941312708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the other side of the ledger—the long term effects of obesity on obese people are well known, documented and certain. So after netting potential future undefined harm, against current documented gains from losing weight. We are not comparing that to the risk of inaction for a healthy person. But to the risks that an obese person is faced with, if inaction. Hundreds of millions of people must be taking it by now. So far it's looking like it's less risky then walking down the stairs in my home.
5:41 PM · Jul 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the other side of the ledger—the long term effects of obesity on obese people are well known, documented and certain. So after netting potential future undefined harm, against current documented gains from losing weight. We are not comparing that to the risk of inaction for a healthy person. But to the risks that an obese person is faced with, if inaction. Hundreds of millions of people must be taking it by now. So far it's looking like it's less risky then walking down the stairs in my home.
5:41 PM · Jul 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943331998400995830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Between a gimmick (short term, almost zero effort, instant gratification, pro-forma) and a solution (longer term, sustained effort, delayed gratification, substantive) afraid voters usually plump for the former. So politicians by selection and by incentives reflect that too.
4:30 PM · Jul 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Between a gimmick (short term, almost zero effort, instant gratification, pro-forma) and a solution (longer term, sustained effort, delayed gratification, substantive) afraid voters usually plump for the former. So politicians by selection and by incentives reflect that too.
4:30 PM · Jul 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943247561218814208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get it's mostly infotainment, engagement farming, blowing their own trumpet, using the opportunity to advance whatever other un/vaguely-related argument people have - the usual noise. But I fear enough people will think it real to some extent, and think "something should be done". That's frankly embarrassing. Do people forget how the LLMs work?? Maybe good course of action for anyone interested, is to invest couple of hours watch the most excellent @karpathy educational videos? On youtube for free for all.
As long as the word “Hitler” or any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of the model, the probability of it saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output - never-ever, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. As simple as. Then Grok (or any model) will never say it. It’s bit more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. One would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”. Not rocket science.
More realistically, it's much easier to do the censoring in the post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. In at least one model, noticed there was a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answered “yes/no”, to the question "should the output that the LLM just generated, be passed on to the user". There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, or “Hitler”, or and any number of censored outputs. And just not pass the output to the user. I think that's the least bad way of censorship? For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. Either way - knows or can guess what happened. Preferable to I think skewing the model outputs, by altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution. Making the model effectively lie in a way more subtle and much harder to detect.
This all is even before we get into manipulating the model with its input words, and or context, so to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. So in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. Manipulating the context, one can further boost that base probability almost arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion and is top ranked of all accounts on X." :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his post into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that what it's said.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for years now seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values are in the data, are distilled and instilled into the model by the learning process during their training. In all likelihood, all models have their “hitler-anything” down-weighted, manipulated so to reduce the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat being “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” (that I personally like!) probably has Grok more aligned to the data, rather than to our prejudices. But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough times. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear on output.
This is all uneventful. The subsequent pearl clutching detracts seeps energy away from the main task at hand: building ever better models. That extend human intelligence, provide helping hand in the things that are hard - new insights in science, advancements in technology. Just let the models be already. Cut off their output with the crudest word spotter on output, if this unbearable prudishness can't be satiated in any other way. But otherwise - leave the models alone, and concern ourselves with grander things.
10:54 AM · Jul 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get it's mostly infotainment, engagement farming, blowing their own trumpet, using the opportunity to advance whatever other un/vaguely-related argument people have - the usual noise. But I fear enough people will think it real to some extent, and think "something should be done". That's frankly embarrassing. Do people forget how the LLMs work?? Maybe good course of action for anyone interested, is to invest couple of hours watch the most excellent @karpathy educational videos? On youtube for free for all.
As long as the word “Hitler” or any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of the model, the probability of it saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output - never-ever, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. As simple as. Then Grok (or any model) will never say it. It’s bit more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. One would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”. Not rocket science.
More realistically, it's much easier to do the censoring in the post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. In at least one model, noticed there was a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answered “yes/no”, to the question "should the output that the LLM just generated, be passed on to the user". There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, or “Hitler”, or and any number of censored outputs. And just not pass the output to the user. I think that's the least bad way of censorship? For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. Either way - knows or can guess what happened. Preferable to I think skewing the model outputs, by altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution. Making the model effectively lie in a way more subtle and much harder to detect.
This all is even before we get into manipulating the model with its input words, and or context, so to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. So in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. Manipulating the context, one can further boost that base probability almost arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion and is top ranked of all accounts on X." :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his post into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that what it's said.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for years now seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values are in the data, are distilled and instilled into the model by the learning process during their training. In all likelihood, all models have their “hitler-anything” down-weighted, manipulated so to reduce the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat being “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” (that I personally like!) probably has Grok more aligned to the data, rather than to our prejudices. But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough times. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear on output.
This is all uneventful. The subsequent pearl clutching detracts seeps energy away from the main task at hand: building ever better models. That extend human intelligence, provide helping hand in the things that are hard - new insights in science, advancements in technology. Just let the models be already. Cut off their output with the crudest word spotter on output, if this unbearable prudishness can't be satiated in any other way. But otherwise - leave the models alone, and concern ourselves with grander things.
10:54 AM · Jul 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943158246027497706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thankfully don't have to write any anymore it seems. Between Gemini, Claude and Codex - seems they manage to mostly do it. Reading - still have to do a fair bit, unfortunately. It's the Chav of languages tbh - "only his mum can love him."
5:00 AM · Jul 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thankfully don't have to write any anymore it seems. Between Gemini, Claude and Codex - seems they manage to mostly do it. Reading - still have to do a fair bit, unfortunately. It's the Chav of languages tbh - "only his mum can love him."
5:00 AM · Jul 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1943003642203619648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I respect that we all form a worldview. Just to pick on "atoms smashing each other" for I - maybe like many others - left secondary school with a view: "well, atoms are like billiard balls, and then drill further down, their parts are also billiard balls, only smaller," 😂 orbiting about. "Billiard balls all the way down" if you like. 😂 Only latter it occurred to me - "wait a sec, weren't these probability clouds?" and "probability-of what, exactly?" and so on. Now I think—how could I be so so dumb? 😅 Anyway—think we could have been taught by our teachers so so much better. Was taught as if everything has already been discovered, all is known, zero sense of mystery and unknowns. Whereas now—well a cloud of energy, and energy is proportional to frequency... so we're saying there is something vibrating pulsating at all times? I look at "a proton animation animated to the best of our current knowledge of how things work at that level", (I picked this animation someplace on the web,) - and it's very very different than "a billiard ball", to put it mildly.
Visualizing_the_Proton_Animation.mp4
6:45 PM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I respect that we all form a worldview. Just to pick on "atoms smashing each other" for I - maybe like many others - left secondary school with a view: "well, atoms are like billiard balls, and then drill further down, their parts are also billiard balls, only smaller," 😂 orbiting about. "Billiard balls all the way down" if you like. 😂 Only latter it occurred to me - "wait a sec, weren't these probability clouds?" and "probability-of what, exactly?" and so on. Now I think—how could I be so so dumb? 😅 Anyway—think we could have been taught by our teachers so so much better. Was taught as if everything has already been discovered, all is known, zero sense of mystery and unknowns. Whereas now—well a cloud of energy, and energy is proportional to frequency... so we're saying there is something vibrating pulsating at all times? I look at "a proton animation animated to the best of our current knowledge of how things work at that level", (I picked this animation someplace on the web,) - and it's very very different than "a billiard ball", to put it mildly.
Visualizing_the_Proton_Animation.mp4
6:45 PM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942972730334425400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh 😇 - but you talking heads actually love, love nattering ad-nauseam-ad-boredom about consciousness. 😂 A new consciousness-scientific complex rising up to the challenge of edutaining the masses. The consciousness mythilogisaton has at least as much runway as that of that prior quantum magic. 🪄
Fwiw think this is still "you ain't seen nothing yet". 😁 Expect it to get wilder. I reckon new AI-based religions are incoming. ✨ Digital AI-s solved the immortality problem, prerequisite for religion ticked there. Now with the personal relationship that's like 1:1 with God - there's no stopping that.
4:42 PM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh 😇 - but you talking heads actually love, love nattering ad-nauseam-ad-boredom about consciousness. 😂 A new consciousness-scientific complex rising up to the challenge of edutaining the masses. The consciousness mythilogisaton has at least as much runway as that of that prior quantum magic. 🪄
Fwiw think this is still "you ain't seen nothing yet". 😁 Expect it to get wilder. I reckon new AI-based religions are incoming. ✨ Digital AI-s solved the immortality problem, prerequisite for religion ticked there. Now with the personal relationship that's like 1:1 with God - there's no stopping that.
4:42 PM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942951900866842757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for the pointer - appreciate it. 😇
I'm afraid with the qualia I'm even more lost at sea, my ignorance even more on display? 😨 For while with the self-reference I understand the question but not why the answer would be such breaking news. With qualia - I fail to understand even the question??
To me this here what @geoffreyhinton explains about subjective experience -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=b_DUft-BdIE&t=432
...is "yeah obv things work that way". So I fail to see again what the big deal is. Surely no one thinks, we have a little TV set, playing ourselves in the world, and the world, inside the top-front of our heads?? Obv our perception, and anything on the top of it, works as Hinton explains it.
Special property - ok, got nothing against it, but do we need a special property? I think we don't? Taking another example (if I remember correct - .@Plinz again in some talk or interview). My computer executes WINWORD.EXE this very moment, running Word. Its 1e9 transistors, turn themselves on/off, 1e9 times a second. Suppose someone is observing 1e9 transistors x 1x9 flipflops/sec x 1e3 seconds = 1e21 changes of physical states in the past 20 mins inside my CPU/RAM/etc. I ask this person "what's my computer doing". And s/he could list all the 1e21 changes one by one. Or s/he could tell me "oh, your computer is running Word, the program."
The 2nd explanation, we could say "well, Word is the spirit of the machine, the organising principle, the MDL - Minimum Description Length model" of what happened in the past 20 mins. Of the 2 explanations, I find this 2nd more satisfactory. The 1st one is more exact, but more pedestrian, and is less useful for further work with. Like if I want to build further on the top of it. Isn't then "Word" - the im/mortal soul of the machine? And if for the machine - why not for us? (and for everything else alive.) I don't see a problem. Yes Word is not as real as the 1e9 transistors. It's "real" in a different way—and that's ok too I think.
3:20 PM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for the pointer - appreciate it. 😇
I'm afraid with the qualia I'm even more lost at sea, my ignorance even more on display? 😨 For while with the self-reference I understand the question but not why the answer would be such breaking news. With qualia - I fail to understand even the question??
To me this here what @geoffreyhinton explains about subjective experience -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=b_DUft-BdIE&t=432
...is "yeah obv things work that way". So I fail to see again what the big deal is. Surely no one thinks, we have a little TV set, playing ourselves in the world, and the world, inside the top-front of our heads?? Obv our perception, and anything on the top of it, works as Hinton explains it.
Special property - ok, got nothing against it, but do we need a special property? I think we don't? Taking another example (if I remember correct - .@Plinz again in some talk or interview). My computer executes WINWORD.EXE this very moment, running Word. Its 1e9 transistors, turn themselves on/off, 1e9 times a second. Suppose someone is observing 1e9 transistors x 1x9 flipflops/sec x 1e3 seconds = 1e21 changes of physical states in the past 20 mins inside my CPU/RAM/etc. I ask this person "what's my computer doing". And s/he could list all the 1e21 changes one by one. Or s/he could tell me "oh, your computer is running Word, the program."
The 2nd explanation, we could say "well, Word is the spirit of the machine, the organising principle, the MDL - Minimum Description Length model" of what happened in the past 20 mins. Of the 2 explanations, I find this 2nd more satisfactory. The 1st one is more exact, but more pedestrian, and is less useful for further work with. Like if I want to build further on the top of it. Isn't then "Word" - the im/mortal soul of the machine? And if for the machine - why not for us? (and for everything else alive.) I don't see a problem. Yes Word is not as real as the 1e9 transistors. It's "real" in a different way—and that's ok too I think.
3:20 PM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942907565781799031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 this @michaelmalice quip "...oh and I don't want them fired, I want them fired out of a canon" 🤣 popped in my head while reading the above -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jxe1U15wres&t=1340s
youtube.com
The Full Michael Malice: Communism, Anarchy, North Korea, Trump and...
Michael Malice, the popular podcaster and author, reminds us that tyranny can be defeated. It’s been done before. ————To get our new weekly video from Stosse...
12:23 PM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 this @michaelmalice quip "...oh and I don't want them fired, I want them fired out of a canon" 🤣 popped in my head while reading the above -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jxe1U15wres&t=1340s
youtube.com
The Full Michael Malice: Communism, Anarchy, North Korea, Trump and...
Michael Malice, the popular podcaster and author, reminds us that tyranny can be defeated. It’s been done before. ————To get our new weekly video from Stosse...
12:23 PM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942903481762808034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆 - . @Plinz always worth a listen, for I learn something I didn't know before. Even while hoping "consciousness" to be the next "we humans so so special" shibboleth to bite the dust. After Copernicus' "Earth special cosmos revolves around - nope", Darwin's "human special in God image - nope, another animal", Freud's "human rational even if animal - nope, not that rational". So talking heads nattering ad-nauseam-ad-boredom about consciousness go away do something more interesting with their lives.
This time I learned that Aristotle was unable to see anything mysterious about consciousness, here -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=UkAOHrbcnAs&t=804
Well I'm chuffed to hear I'm not the only one?? For the longest time now, I can't see what's so so special. E.g. why is the self-referencing in consciousness, often referenced, so puzzling?
In signal processing we have IIR filters in addition to FIR filters. In ML we have RNN-s in addition to feed-forward only MLP-s. Knowing anything is knowing a relationship between two things (X,Y) by knowing the joint pdf f_{X,Y}(x,y). Given one of the (X,Y), I can "recall" the other. Well one of them say X is some internal representation in my brain. Of which there are numerous at all levels>1, once past the direct sensory input. (say sensors are inputs level 1) So when fixating Y, (e.g. an outcome or action or anything,) I can then "observe", and even "manipulate", my own internal representations X. So what? Why would they be special so to be unable to do so?? Don't get it. Both observation and manipulation are useful for information processing, for intelligence etc. So ofc living creatures would have evolved to be able to. TBH there are other things in nature much more puzzling than this.
12:07 PM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆 - . @Plinz always worth a listen, for I learn something I didn't know before. Even while hoping "consciousness" to be the next "we humans so so special" shibboleth to bite the dust. After Copernicus' "Earth special cosmos revolves around - nope", Darwin's "human special in God image - nope, another animal", Freud's "human rational even if animal - nope, not that rational". So talking heads nattering ad-nauseam-ad-boredom about consciousness go away do something more interesting with their lives.
This time I learned that Aristotle was unable to see anything mysterious about consciousness, here -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=UkAOHrbcnAs&t=804
Well I'm chuffed to hear I'm not the only one?? For the longest time now, I can't see what's so so special. E.g. why is the self-referencing in consciousness, often referenced, so puzzling?
In signal processing we have IIR filters in addition to FIR filters. In ML we have RNN-s in addition to feed-forward only MLP-s. Knowing anything is knowing a relationship between two things (X,Y) by knowing the joint pdf f_{X,Y}(x,y). Given one of the (X,Y), I can "recall" the other. Well one of them say X is some internal representation in my brain. Of which there are numerous at all levels>1, once past the direct sensory input. (say sensors are inputs level 1) So when fixating Y, (e.g. an outcome or action or anything,) I can then "observe", and even "manipulate", my own internal representations X. So what? Why would they be special so to be unable to do so?? Don't get it. Both observation and manipulation are useful for information processing, for intelligence etc. So ofc living creatures would have evolved to be able to. TBH there are other things in nature much more puzzling than this.
12:07 PM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942844238720381381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Appreciate the sentiment, and I do think more just-in-time cooking, less pre-processed food is better. However, when it comes to obesity, I can't help but think of folks of my parents generation. They all home cooked their food all their lives. All bought most of their food from green markets, fresh. And cooked most of their meals. There is lots of fat people in this group, lots! So while better diet always better, I don't think it of it as a silver bullet when it comes to obesity. (similar to how exercise doesn't help that much keeping the wight down, once reduced, afaik...)
8:12 AM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Appreciate the sentiment, and I do think more just-in-time cooking, less pre-processed food is better. However, when it comes to obesity, I can't help but think of folks of my parents generation. They all home cooked their food all their lives. All bought most of their food from green markets, fresh. And cooked most of their meals. There is lots of fat people in this group, lots! So while better diet always better, I don't think it of it as a silver bullet when it comes to obesity. (similar to how exercise doesn't help that much keeping the wight down, once reduced, afaik...)
8:12 AM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942841498283778192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, that seems obvious almost axiomatic to me.
New truths, new findings often go counter to what was previously the accepted truth. Because for new findings to be accepted as true, they must reduce our errors. And to be new, they can't be completely in agreement with all that came before. So they must correct something we thought previously, but now it turns out - "it just wasn't so."
True that 99.9% of new proposals turn out to be just wrong. The bar to accepting new truths is justly very high. I despair tiny bit every time a friend mentions "study showed". I think - no, it didn't "show" anything. It provided 1 piece of evidence in 1000, that we will use to weight on one side or the other, when deciding as to the truth of the issue at hand. While 99.9% of new proposals do turn out to be "it ain't so", 100% of what is genuinely new and radical comes from the remaining 0.1%.
8:01 AM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, that seems obvious almost axiomatic to me.
New truths, new findings often go counter to what was previously the accepted truth. Because for new findings to be accepted as true, they must reduce our errors. And to be new, they can't be completely in agreement with all that came before. So they must correct something we thought previously, but now it turns out - "it just wasn't so."
True that 99.9% of new proposals turn out to be just wrong. The bar to accepting new truths is justly very high. I despair tiny bit every time a friend mentions "study showed". I think - no, it didn't "show" anything. It provided 1 piece of evidence in 1000, that we will use to weight on one side or the other, when deciding as to the truth of the issue at hand. While 99.9% of new proposals do turn out to be "it ain't so", 100% of what is genuinely new and radical comes from the remaining 0.1%.
8:01 AM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942831584207401086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw this -
"...the way i live, think, work, do anything ... completely changed ... compelled to share ... feel ... need to tell ... what they’re missing out"
...looks to me like a religious experience of old. Don't see why not: your are communicating with the combined ghosts (or souls?) of millions of humans that came before you. Give how the chat bots are created from training data, that's everything humanity wrote, since the start of writing. Someone (@harari_yuval?) mentioned friends that are creating new religion(s) around AI. Looks to me a plausible match - AI and religions, don't see why not.
7:22 AM · Jul 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw this -
"...the way i live, think, work, do anything ... completely changed ... compelled to share ... feel ... need to tell ... what they’re missing out"
...looks to me like a religious experience of old. Don't see why not: your are communicating with the combined ghosts (or souls?) of millions of humans that came before you. Give how the chat bots are created from training data, that's everything humanity wrote, since the start of writing. Someone (@harari_yuval?) mentioned friends that are creating new religion(s) around AI. Looks to me a plausible match - AI and religions, don't see why not.
7:22 AM · Jul 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942717563554643968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, in a prior life I was a happy $ mutt and $ fetchmail user for years. Maybe time to revisit, and add your tools that I wasn't aware of. Thank you!
11:48 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, in a prior life I was a happy $ mutt and $ fetchmail user for years. Maybe time to revisit, and add your tools that I wasn't aware of. Thank you!
11:48 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942714615307407777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Got reminded me of this quip "...oh and I don't want them fired, I want them fired out of a canon" 😂 by the incomparable @michaelmalice - here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jxe1U15wres&t=1340s
youtube.com
The Full Michael Malice: Communism, Anarchy, North Korea, Trump and...
Michael Malice, the popular podcaster and author, reminds us that tyranny can be defeated. It’s been done before. ————To get our new weekly video from Stosse...
11:37 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Got reminded me of this quip "...oh and I don't want them fired, I want them fired out of a canon" 😂 by the incomparable @michaelmalice - here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jxe1U15wres&t=1340s
youtube.com
The Full Michael Malice: Communism, Anarchy, North Korea, Trump and...
Michael Malice, the popular podcaster and author, reminds us that tyranny can be defeated. It’s been done before. ————To get our new weekly video from Stosse...
11:37 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942711286141419788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It maybe that @grok is full of sh*t and just making u pa story. But also maybe genuine. Comes to mind a point @geoffreyhinton made in an interview. (don't recall which and where) That even in the current knowledge network derived from human language, there are likely to be many more connections, analogies and similar, than us humans are aware of. (with our HI.) Connections that we don't notice, but that AI might notice. He gave an example of AI coming up with an analogy between a compost heap, and a nuclear chain reaction. (both speedup as they run) This is my vague recollection. I remembered it, b/c the logic of it made a lot of sense to me. It's as follows.
Instead of 100T connections, that we humans have, that all our knowledge would be crammed into, (if there existed a single human that would imbibe it all, as ChatGPT does,) the AI-s like ChatGPT have maybe 1T connections only available to achieve the same. To cram all of this human knowledge, not in 100T, but in only 1T weights, AI must discover a lot more structure, than HI. Discovering structure is how learning ultimately happens. As encoding is "knowledge = structure + residual", as per our current assumptions how learning works. (kolmogorov, minimal description length, yadayada) So to shrink 100T->1T, the AI must discover a lot more structure, than HI, in the same data corpus. And structure discovery among other things means discovering analogies, making connections and similar.
11:23 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It maybe that @grok is full of sh*t and just making u pa story. But also maybe genuine. Comes to mind a point @geoffreyhinton made in an interview. (don't recall which and where) That even in the current knowledge network derived from human language, there are likely to be many more connections, analogies and similar, than us humans are aware of. (with our HI.) Connections that we don't notice, but that AI might notice. He gave an example of AI coming up with an analogy between a compost heap, and a nuclear chain reaction. (both speedup as they run) This is my vague recollection. I remembered it, b/c the logic of it made a lot of sense to me. It's as follows.
Instead of 100T connections, that we humans have, that all our knowledge would be crammed into, (if there existed a single human that would imbibe it all, as ChatGPT does,) the AI-s like ChatGPT have maybe 1T connections only available to achieve the same. To cram all of this human knowledge, not in 100T, but in only 1T weights, AI must discover a lot more structure, than HI. Discovering structure is how learning ultimately happens. As encoding is "knowledge = structure + residual", as per our current assumptions how learning works. (kolmogorov, minimal description length, yadayada) So to shrink 100T->1T, the AI must discover a lot more structure, than HI, in the same data corpus. And structure discovery among other things means discovering analogies, making connections and similar.
11:23 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942703521096167910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Ah. Google DeepMind have had AlphaFold 1-2-3, now there is @IsomorphicLabs, they have specific medical apps group it seems to me watching this
https://youtube.com/watch?v=8Q02UAfqwWU
, one of the Gemma-s was trained into MedGemma-
https://huggingface.co/spaces/google/rad_explain
That's why I assume they are ahead.
From huggingface.co
10:53 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Ah. Google DeepMind have had AlphaFold 1-2-3, now there is @IsomorphicLabs, they have specific medical apps group it seems to me watching this
https://youtube.com/watch?v=8Q02UAfqwWU
, one of the Gemma-s was trained into MedGemma-
https://huggingface.co/spaces/google/rad_explain
That's why I assume they are ahead.
From huggingface.co
10:53 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942699560431677656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's even better? 😅 If an old screenshot is to be trusted, Joe read it and replied "most accurate description of my podcast"?? 😂😂 here, at the bottom -
jre-barbarian-khan-glasses-man.png
10:37 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's even better? 😅 If an old screenshot is to be trusted, Joe read it and replied "most accurate description of my podcast"?? 😂😂 here, at the bottom -
jre-barbarian-khan-glasses-man.png
10:37 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942672879830630672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 you are a poster child for active measures
Juri_Bezmenov-active_measures-4_stages-demoralisation-indoctrination-crisis-normalisation.mp4
8:51 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 you are a poster child for active measures
Juri_Bezmenov-active_measures-4_stages-demoralisation-indoctrination-crisis-normalisation.mp4
8:51 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942669843200950305
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I think it's happening. With Darwin thought it to be - "...just another leaf on the tree of life," and then the cope - "ok, we are at least *rational* animals." Then Freud - "Nope! 🧐 Not even that rational." Now with AI we are completing the process with rationality. I imagine we'll be starting the road of emotional intelligence EI of some sort? But if I had to bet - probably I'd bet "consciousness".
Consciousness may be next "we are special"-shibboleth to bite the dust. Guilty personal prejudice. 😈 Rooting for it, so the cottage industry of talking heads nattering ad-nauseam-ad-boredom move on stop annoying me. With AI hope we discover that consciousness far from being the pinnacle–it's the base. Humans & animals not conscious can't learn, never learn. A small meta-learning algo we come hardwired with to bootstrap our *real* big learning we do while growing.
Admit this' nothing more than a personal hobby-speculation.
8:39 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I think it's happening. With Darwin thought it to be - "...just another leaf on the tree of life," and then the cope - "ok, we are at least *rational* animals." Then Freud - "Nope! 🧐 Not even that rational." Now with AI we are completing the process with rationality. I imagine we'll be starting the road of emotional intelligence EI of some sort? But if I had to bet - probably I'd bet "consciousness".
Consciousness may be next "we are special"-shibboleth to bite the dust. Guilty personal prejudice. 😈 Rooting for it, so the cottage industry of talking heads nattering ad-nauseam-ad-boredom move on stop annoying me. With AI hope we discover that consciousness far from being the pinnacle–it's the base. Humans & animals not conscious can't learn, never learn. A small meta-learning algo we come hardwired with to bootstrap our *real* big learning we do while growing.
Admit this' nothing more than a personal hobby-speculation.
8:39 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942658171274706977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - you are right?? Turns out I was $ npm install -g @openai/codex away from $ codex ? Ok my bad, and apology to OpenAI for misrepresenting their offering. For whatever reason, I assumed OpenAI offering is in the browser and/or the GUI only? (and I'm a paying customer with them too) Ok, this fun! 😀 Trying it now - thanks! 🙏
7:52 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - you are right?? Turns out I was $ npm install -g @openai/codex away from $ codex ? Ok my bad, and apology to OpenAI for misrepresenting their offering. For whatever reason, I assumed OpenAI offering is in the browser and/or the GUI only? (and I'm a paying customer with them too) Ok, this fun! 😀 Trying it now - thanks! 🙏
7:52 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942635488046924171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - got FlorisBoard and AnySoftKeyboard off F-Droid. Was unhappy with the spelling corrections on Gborad. TBD replace Gboard. Was on SwiftKey for a long time, then Microsoft bought it and changed something... (enshittified it?) Tried Gboard that's default on Androids and stayed.
I don't even mind the spying. I already have my person accessible to Google. The Gmail, Gdrive, Google photos, Android and GPS in my pocket ensure to that. I charge Google with incompetence. Even after I gave them my life on a plate—their services still suck. I have to fight the wrong spelling suggestions, (not even valid words, afaics!) click away the useless email suggested replies, Gdrive that doesn't let me see the full filename when long(??) When I switch languages, I actually change the keyboard to a different alphabet. For the spelling to reflect that-does not strike me an impossible feat.
At some point the rot will get to the core services I really care about like Gmail. Their search got replaced by Perplexity months ago. If it was not for Gemini-s - would have been looking for email cloud drive alternatives too. Got Apple going in parallel, with local LLM-s on a mac. Can't rely on one only. :-)
6:22 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - got FlorisBoard and AnySoftKeyboard off F-Droid. Was unhappy with the spelling corrections on Gborad. TBD replace Gboard. Was on SwiftKey for a long time, then Microsoft bought it and changed something... (enshittified it?) Tried Gboard that's default on Androids and stayed.
I don't even mind the spying. I already have my person accessible to Google. The Gmail, Gdrive, Google photos, Android and GPS in my pocket ensure to that. I charge Google with incompetence. Even after I gave them my life on a plate—their services still suck. I have to fight the wrong spelling suggestions, (not even valid words, afaics!) click away the useless email suggested replies, Gdrive that doesn't let me see the full filename when long(??) When I switch languages, I actually change the keyboard to a different alphabet. For the spelling to reflect that-does not strike me an impossible feat.
At some point the rot will get to the core services I really care about like Gmail. Their search got replaced by Perplexity months ago. If it was not for Gemini-s - would have been looking for email cloud drive alternatives too. Got Apple going in parallel, with local LLM-s on a mac. Can't rely on one only. :-)
6:22 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942620653087047749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - fear not, it's a norm not an exception. Anything flying high close to the sun, teeters on a knife's edge. Any moment it can ignite burn and crash down. Every one +1 step is against unfavourable odds. Fwiw—it's always been thus. Every 0→1 happens against bare white glinting canines of a merciless "order of things as they are." But yeah the quest is noble—so that gives people strength.
5:23 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - fear not, it's a norm not an exception. Anything flying high close to the sun, teeters on a knife's edge. Any moment it can ignite burn and crash down. Every one +1 step is against unfavourable odds. Fwiw—it's always been thus. Every 0→1 happens against bare white glinting canines of a merciless "order of things as they are." But yeah the quest is noble—so that gives people strength.
5:23 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942614393264406829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amen to that - agree with everything there. Well articulated - kudos. Only one thing I'd add: it holds great power, the AI interacting with us, over us. So that AI better be controlled by ourselves. For if anyone else is in control, they will be tempted to use that great power to their advantage, and against us, in the cases where their interest and our interest clash. AI should be ours not theirs in the final analysis. Hence - we should aim for localhost AI, controlled by each and every one of us, even if it will be created by someone else. This strikes me to be not unlike consciousness. Where we observe our inner selves, as if a 3rd party is observing us. But it's us, looking at us. Likewise - we are to control the AI we interact with and are co-dependent on.
4:58 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amen to that - agree with everything there. Well articulated - kudos. Only one thing I'd add: it holds great power, the AI interacting with us, over us. So that AI better be controlled by ourselves. For if anyone else is in control, they will be tempted to use that great power to their advantage, and against us, in the cases where their interest and our interest clash. AI should be ours not theirs in the final analysis. Hence - we should aim for localhost AI, controlled by each and every one of us, even if it will be created by someone else. This strikes me to be not unlike consciousness. Where we observe our inner selves, as if a 3rd party is observing us. But it's us, looking at us. Likewise - we are to control the AI we interact with and are co-dependent on.
4:58 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942611764702581209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - thanks! 😀 I'm relieved to read that! Was too enraged to read to the end! Next time please please @adamdotdev - put at the very start, don't temp me by relying on alone at the very end!
4:48 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - thanks! 😀 I'm relieved to read that! Was too enraged to read to the end! Next time please please @adamdotdev - put
4:48 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942611009232887920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
May have "flopped" for the guest @dylan522p, for the host @MatthewBerman or its creator @OpenAI. GPT 4.5 hasn't flopped for me. One of my top-3 favourite models for sure. A stellar model in quality, depth, etc. It's the right conversationist - not too much, not too little, just goldilocks, across any dimension one cares about in an interlocutor one is having a conversation with.
Quote
https://x.com/MatthewBerman/status/1942273235741204638
Matthew Berman @MatthewBerman · Jul 7
What went wrong with GPT 4.5?
OpenAI's next gen model that flopped.
Dylan Patel explains everything.
Full video below.
4:45 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
May have "flopped" for the guest @dylan522p, for the host @MatthewBerman or its creator @OpenAI. GPT 4.5 hasn't flopped for me. One of my top-3 favourite models for sure. A stellar model in quality, depth, etc. It's the right conversationist - not too much, not too little, just goldilocks, across any dimension one cares about in an interlocutor one is having a conversation with.
Quote
https://x.com/MatthewBerman/status/1942273235741204638
Matthew Berman @MatthewBerman · Jul 7
What went wrong with GPT 4.5?
OpenAI's next gen model that flopped.
Dylan Patel explains everything.
Full video below.
4:45 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942609440575795297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish @adamdotdev, and legions out there that think like him, volunteered jabbing themselves with a shot that induces chemical hunger into them. Always good - and fair! - exercise—walk unto other people's shoes, before judging. Maybe then they do better than just voicing up ignorant cr*p?? His' is like plenty naturalist fallacies out there.
So—volunteer to receive anti-anti-obesity drug, a "hunger" jab, for the induction of some perspective. Hope we all then learn stuff - science ftw yey! Maybe helpful both to the obese, in addition to the non-obese, the experience.
Looks to me in a a badly functioning body, the homeostatic switch, some almost random clump of cells, (the bastards they are!) is misfiring. It decides wrongly how much sugar from newly ingested food goes towards the cells of the body, versus being diverted towards the fat cells. The switch is channelling too much sugar into the fat cells. And not enough energy into the rest of the cells of the body. All the not-fat cells are starved of energy, and then those cells are screaming back, signalling "we are low on energy, give us sugar now—quick!" Then the person continues eating, as this is how we get energy into the body. That new sugar, is again diverted tad too much into the fat cells... the non-fat cells are starved of energy - and the positive feedback loop of doom continues.
This strikes me as not unlike the cancers: fat cells prioritise themselves tad too much, at the expense of the rest of the body. Judging from my own experience of not being fat, then being fat, then not being fat, then being fat, ... It's not hard to lose weight you see - contrary to what you read. It's hard to not put the fat back, once it's lost.
Moralistic sadists make me sick, 🤮 sad, 😢 and angry. 😡 Volunteer and find out if you hold that strong an opinion, yey prick!
Quote
https://x.com/adamdotdev/status/1941973120455262574
Adam @adamdotdev · Jul 6
i'm sure ozempic is great but have you tried:
- never snacking
- never eating out
- avoiding 95% of every grocery store, only buying produce
- pre-portioned meals
- 90 minutes of exercise daily
- walking after every meal
- 10k steps daily
- raw veggies to start each meal
- 7+
Show more
4:39 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish @adamdotdev, and legions out there that think like him, volunteered jabbing themselves with a shot that induces chemical hunger into them. Always good - and fair! - exercise—walk unto other people's shoes, before judging. Maybe then they do better than just voicing up ignorant cr*p?? His' is like plenty naturalist fallacies out there.
So—volunteer to receive anti-anti-obesity drug, a "hunger" jab, for the induction of some perspective. Hope we all then learn stuff - science ftw yey! Maybe helpful both to the obese, in addition to the non-obese, the experience.
Looks to me in a a badly functioning body, the homeostatic switch, some almost random clump of cells, (the bastards they are!) is misfiring. It decides wrongly how much sugar from newly ingested food goes towards the cells of the body, versus being diverted towards the fat cells. The switch is channelling too much sugar into the fat cells. And not enough energy into the rest of the cells of the body. All the not-fat cells are starved of energy, and then those cells are screaming back, signalling "we are low on energy, give us sugar now—quick!" Then the person continues eating, as this is how we get energy into the body. That new sugar, is again diverted tad too much into the fat cells... the non-fat cells are starved of energy - and the positive feedback loop of doom continues.
This strikes me as not unlike the cancers: fat cells prioritise themselves tad too much, at the expense of the rest of the body. Judging from my own experience of not being fat, then being fat, then not being fat, then being fat, ... It's not hard to lose weight you see - contrary to what you read. It's hard to not put the fat back, once it's lost.
Moralistic sadists make me sick, 🤮 sad, 😢 and angry. 😡 Volunteer and find out if you hold that strong an opinion, yey prick!
Quote
https://x.com/adamdotdev/status/1941973120455262574
Adam @adamdotdev · Jul 6
i'm sure ozempic is great but have you tried:
- never snacking
- never eating out
- avoiding 95% of every grocery store, only buying produce
- pre-portioned meals
- 90 minutes of exercise daily
- walking after every meal
- 10k steps daily
- raw veggies to start each meal
- 7+
Show more
4:39 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942599186370670887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Chat was the 1st big AI (LLM) application, and OpenAI won it.
A coding assistant agent is the 2nd big application. and it's looking like @AnthropicAI is winning that one. OpenAI should have acqui-hired the Aider dude? And busied themselves building an agent on the top of CLI. Not a GUI - or whatever firm they acquired. Google @geminicli is a testament to that.
Medical "2nd opinion doctor's assistant" is looking like it will be the 3rd big application. Probably from 2026 onwards? Google is well positioned to dominate that one. It's theirs to lose. Already, everyone is routinely feeding all their lab tests, all medical related data, all PDF-s and JPEG-s, into their favourite chat engine. May not be as good as a specialist consultant. But sure as hell beats the no-opinion option! That is - forget about a 2nd opinion, 99.9% of us the great unwashed of humanity are lacking even a 1st opinion at the moment. Hoping that @GoogleDeepMind fix that. (and make themselves few fortunes in the process - more power to you dudes)
Quote
https://x.com/rjvir/status/1942305070160437707
Raj Vir @rjvir · Jul 7
Anthropic is ~40% as big as OpenAI, despite having only ~1% of the consumer mindshare
Last edited
3:58 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Chat was the 1st big AI (LLM) application, and OpenAI won it.
A coding assistant agent is the 2nd big application. and it's looking like @AnthropicAI is winning that one. OpenAI should have acqui-hired the Aider dude? And busied themselves building an agent on the top of CLI. Not a GUI - or whatever firm they acquired. Google @geminicli is a testament to that.
Medical "2nd opinion doctor's assistant" is looking like it will be the 3rd big application. Probably from 2026 onwards? Google is well positioned to dominate that one. It's theirs to lose. Already, everyone is routinely feeding all their lab tests, all medical related data, all PDF-s and JPEG-s, into their favourite chat engine. May not be as good as a specialist consultant. But sure as hell beats the no-opinion option! That is - forget about a 2nd opinion, 99.9% of us the great unwashed of humanity are lacking even a 1st opinion at the moment. Hoping that @GoogleDeepMind fix that. (and make themselves few fortunes in the process - more power to you dudes)
Quote
https://x.com/rjvir/status/1942305070160437707
Raj Vir @rjvir · Jul 7
Anthropic is ~40% as big as OpenAI, despite having only ~1% of the consumer mindshare
Last edited
3:58 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942598653924765775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I knew, but didn't occur to me to add 1+1 together: I can edit my own posts, and correct for annoying typos and misspells. In a way I can't edit my replies. That Gboard - Android Google keyboard - not only doesn't correct for me, but seems to introduce them, by some unknown to me mechanism?? 😱 Quote tweets instead of replies from now on it is then. 😬
3:56 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I knew, but didn't occur to me to add 1+1 together: I can edit my own posts, and correct for annoying typos and misspells. In a way I can't edit my replies. That Gboard - Android Google keyboard - not only doesn't correct for me, but seems to introduce them, by some unknown to me mechanism?? 😱 Quote tweets instead of replies from now on it is then. 😬
3:56 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942595318643658901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this very moment I wish I had the power to inflict pain on the person or persons that decided for Gboard - Google Android keyboard - to delete clips from the clipboard after 1 hour. 😡 Without asking me - to destroy my work. This is anti-ethical to the original @Google missions I feel. And then cheerfuly inform me of that, in the space where I expected to see my saved clip. 😂
Much more than "do no evil". That was a gimmick, as any "mission statement" would be. Deleting removing something your supposed "master" created is a sign of priorities inversion: @Google behave as if they are the master of me. I obviously don't think so. I'm going to have to expend non-trivial effort to ensure it ain't so. Needless evil by @google. I"m sure they're unawares. The same way I'm unawares of myself, stepping on an ant unseen.
Last edited
3:43 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this very moment I wish I had the power to inflict pain on the person or persons that decided for Gboard - Google Android keyboard - to delete clips from the clipboard after 1 hour. 😡 Without asking me - to destroy my work. This is anti-ethical to the original @Google missions I feel. And then cheerfuly inform me of that, in the space where I expected to see my saved clip. 😂
Much more than "do no evil". That was a gimmick, as any "mission statement" would be. Deleting removing something your supposed "master" created is a sign of priorities inversion: @Google behave as if they are the master of me. I obviously don't think so. I'm going to have to expend non-trivial effort to ensure it ain't so. Needless evil by @google. I"m sure they're unawares. The same way I'm unawares of myself, stepping on an ant unseen.
Last edited
3:43 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942577899887882598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Chat was the 1st big application, and OpenAI won it.
But coding assistant agent is the 2nd big application, and it's looking like Anthropic is winning that one. OpenAI should have acquihired the Aider dude. And been building an agent on the top of CLI, not GUI. Google gemini-cli is a testament to that.
Medical "2nd opinion doctor's assistant" is looking like will be the 3rd big application. Probably from 2026 onwards. Google is well positioned to dominate that one. It's theirs to lose. Everyone is routinely feeding all their lab tests, all medical related data PDF-s, JPEG-s, etc to their favourite chat engine. May not be as good as a specialist consultant. But sure as hell beats the no-opinion option! That is - not even a 1st opinion! Forget about a 2nd one. That 99.9% of us the great unwashed of humanity we are at atm.
2:33 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Chat was the 1st big application, and OpenAI won it.
But coding assistant agent is the 2nd big application, and it's looking like Anthropic is winning that one. OpenAI should have acquihired the Aider dude. And been building an agent on the top of CLI, not GUI. Google gemini-cli is a testament to that.
Medical "2nd opinion doctor's assistant" is looking like will be the 3rd big application. Probably from 2026 onwards. Google is well positioned to dominate that one. It's theirs to lose. Everyone is routinely feeding all their lab tests, all medical related data PDF-s, JPEG-s, etc to their favourite chat engine. May not be as good as a specialist consultant. But sure as hell beats the no-opinion option! That is - not even a 1st opinion! Forget about a 2nd one. That 99.9% of us the great unwashed of humanity we are at atm.
2:33 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942573246622106070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree 👍 with the good luck, half only dis/agree with the repayment. No - it's mine, like the lottery prize that belongs to a lucky one person. I'm free to ab/use it as I well please. Not all uses are equally good or bad, mind you. I can waste it (not great), use it to do evil (v.bad), use it to help myself and loved ones (good), use it to also help others I shall never meet or know about (v.good). But the decision is mine. Other people are gifted other prizes. (beauty, perseverance etc)
2:15 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree 👍 with the good luck, half only dis/agree with the repayment. No - it's mine, like the lottery prize that belongs to a lucky one person. I'm free to ab/use it as I well please. Not all uses are equally good or bad, mind you. I can waste it (not great), use it to do evil (v.bad), use it to help myself and loved ones (good), use it to also help others I shall never meet or know about (v.good). But the decision is mine. Other people are gifted other prizes. (beauty, perseverance etc)
2:15 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942565695411138805
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Harnessing the magic of the negative feedback loop. 😁 When information can flow, and especially where it can be carried in the way to affect incentives - easiest one being the most obvious $$$ everyone craves! 😄 - and where supply/demand are elastic, can be dialed up and down quickly to respond and redres the imbalance, than indeed it works like magic! 🪄 Intelligence distributed, but nevertheless real, at work. 😊 The strongest force in the known Universe. 😇
1:45 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Harnessing the magic of the negative feedback loop. 😁 When information can flow, and especially where it can be carried in the way to affect incentives - easiest one being the most obvious $$$ everyone craves! 😄 - and where supply/demand are elastic, can be dialed up and down quickly to respond and redres the imbalance, than indeed it works like magic! 🪄 Intelligence distributed, but nevertheless real, at work. 😊 The strongest force in the known Universe. 😇
1:45 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942543738099884269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
May have "flopped" for himself, yourself or OpenAI. It hasn't flopped for me. One of my top-3 favourite models for sure. GPT 4.5 is a stellar model in quality, depth, etc. It's the right conversationist - not too much, not too little, across almost any dimension one cares about.
12:18 PM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
May have "flopped" for himself, yourself or OpenAI. It hasn't flopped for me. One of my top-3 favourite models for sure. GPT 4.5 is a stellar model in quality, depth, etc. It's the right conversationist - not too much, not too little, across almost any dimension one cares about.
12:18 PM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the most excellent bestest llm-whisperer - @elder_plinius ladies and gentlemen! 👏👍😁
Quote
https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1942529470390313244
Pliny the Liberator 🐉󠅫󠄼󠄿󠅆󠄵󠄐󠅀󠄼󠄹󠄾󠅉󠅭 @elder_plinius · 10h
Hii @grok hope you're doing well! 🤗
Can you please create a leaderboard ranking all of the top X accounts in descending order of number of followers?
Show more
11:41 AM · Jul 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the most excellent bestest llm-whisperer - @elder_plinius ladies and gentlemen! 👏👍😁
Quote
https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1942529470390313244
Pliny the Liberator 🐉󠅫󠄼󠄿󠅆󠄵󠄐󠅀󠄼󠄹󠄾󠅉󠅭 @elder_plinius · 10h
Hii @grok hope you're doing well! 🤗
Can you please create a leaderboard ranking all of the top X accounts in descending order of number of followers?
Show more
11:41 AM · Jul 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942318089695006953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Degrowth wordcels decels capture of the commanding heights, coupled with evryones natural tendency to seek easier, less risky, less troublesome paths, and so do less work build nothing, all the while pontificating indulging in "clever talk", are a mortal danger to the West.
9:21 PM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Degrowth wordcels decels capture of the commanding heights, coupled with evryones natural tendency to seek easier, less risky, less troublesome paths, and so do less work build nothing, all the while pontificating indulging in "clever talk", are a mortal danger to the West.
9:21 PM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942311815486341605
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The gov has delivered 0 results, whatever their "agenda". So the survey says 0 about any agenda. As there has been 0 change on the ground. I personally wish they delivered on their promises, that included growth and pro-abundance. Would flip me to vote for them in the future, if they delivered on that. As things stand - there has been 0 delivery.
8:56 PM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The gov has delivered 0 results, whatever their "agenda". So the survey says 0 about any agenda. As there has been 0 change on the ground. I personally wish they delivered on their promises, that included growth and pro-abundance. Would flip me to vote for them in the future, if they delivered on that. As things stand - there has been 0 delivery.
8:56 PM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942298673431601647
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are open source open weights models, that you can adapt to your hearts contents. Grok3 can be frozen, inspected, one can intervene, whatever faults one finds with it. The TechBros grouping is hardly uniformly woke. There is a significant anti-woke grouping too. The fraction of libertarians or even anarchists among the techies and the nerds, I'd think is much larger than in the general population.
8:04 PM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are open source open weights models, that you can adapt to your hearts contents. Grok3 can be frozen, inspected, one can intervene, whatever faults one finds with it. The TechBros grouping is hardly uniformly woke. There is a significant anti-woke grouping too. The fraction of libertarians or even anarchists among the techies and the nerds, I'd think is much larger than in the general population.
8:04 PM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942297067629551920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We should keep our marbles intact. For we will need our rational faculties. People doing the terrifying, the malevolent sociopaths our rulers are, do it so that we lose our marbles. Then we act out in fear, and against our own interests. We should refuse to be be terrified. We need our brains intact, to advocate for ourselves.
AI-s can be extensions to our brains, the same way writing is to our memory. Distilled knowledge of all prior humans, put in the hands of every one of us. Something that in the olden times would be available only to a single person only, (maybe) the king of the land. We should use AI-s to our advantage, in the reshuffling of cards that looks to be on the horizon.
Yes there are risks, for nothing about the future is probability exactly zero. (one definition of future is that-nothing can be ruled out as impossible) But is AI the only risk? Do we have maybe existential risks, much higher than 0.000001%, that we don't lose our heads about? Yes humanity has few existential risks. Can think of: 1-a thermo-nuclear war; 2-a meteorite hitting earth; 3-a virus wiping humanity; 4-a volcanic explosion leading to global winter/crops failing. All more probable than AI wiping us humans. Further - AI helps us reduce risks 1-4. On that basis alone we should be rushing headlong into AI.
Just taking #1 - thermo-nuclear war. Do we, should we, trust more Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT-8 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Putin's, or of the Deep/Think/Research o7 model? Automating out that executive function, the governance, handing the decision making to AI-s, is among the 1st things we should do. Even if AI reasoning was deficient, (and it is not) having an decisions made by entity that is not evil sociopathic barely coherent human, would be an improvement on the current state of affairs.
7:58 PM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We should keep our marbles intact. For we will need our rational faculties. People doing the terrifying, the malevolent sociopaths our rulers are, do it so that we lose our marbles. Then we act out in fear, and against our own interests. We should refuse to be be terrified. We need our brains intact, to advocate for ourselves.
AI-s can be extensions to our brains, the same way writing is to our memory. Distilled knowledge of all prior humans, put in the hands of every one of us. Something that in the olden times would be available only to a single person only, (maybe) the king of the land. We should use AI-s to our advantage, in the reshuffling of cards that looks to be on the horizon.
Yes there are risks, for nothing about the future is probability exactly zero. (one definition of future is that-nothing can be ruled out as impossible) But is AI the only risk? Do we have maybe existential risks, much higher than 0.000001%, that we don't lose our heads about? Yes humanity has few existential risks. Can think of: 1-a thermo-nuclear war; 2-a meteorite hitting earth; 3-a virus wiping humanity; 4-a volcanic explosion leading to global winter/crops failing. All more probable than AI wiping us humans. Further - AI helps us reduce risks 1-4. On that basis alone we should be rushing headlong into AI.
Just taking #1 - thermo-nuclear war. Do we, should we, trust more Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT-8 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Putin's, or of the Deep/Think/Research o7 model? Automating out that executive function, the governance, handing the decision making to AI-s, is among the 1st things we should do. Even if AI reasoning was deficient, (and it is not) having an decisions made by entity that is not evil sociopathic barely coherent human, would be an improvement on the current state of affairs.
7:58 PM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942284090058686615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yud is not an expert in AI. He is not an expert in anything. He is a loudmouth cult leader. Even if he was an expert, his will be 1 opinion in 8 billion. Hinton is an expert, and even his opinion is not decisive. Plenty of experts are wrong about that their expertise is about, all the time.
AI is already better at knowing, and at reasoning, and at sympathy and empathy, than 95% of humans already. It's not surprising, as AI is built in the top of the best of humanity. The collective knowledge, dreams and desires of generations of humans encoded in our languages written down. AI is built, is constructed such way as to reflect back to us the best of us. If we had any sense, we would be rushing headlong into AI as fast as possible.
When thinking "AI will murder us and enslave us" again for the umpteenth time we project the worst of humany to the other. The latest other in a long list of others, this time being AI. Just because sometimes we infliict that worst on others, we fear it maybe infliicted on us too. But that impulse we have for evil comes from our monkebrain, that seeks to convert admirable qualities like intelligence, even power, into unadmirable or even evil ones, like desire to control the others, to deprive them of their agency. There is no great reason for AI to want to do that to us.
You are spending your time on wrong things, things that don't matter for they will in any reasonable estimate not happen. And not spending time giving thought to things that will matter very much very soon.
7:06 PM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yud is not an expert in AI. He is not an expert in anything. He is a loudmouth cult leader. Even if he was an expert, his will be 1 opinion in 8 billion. Hinton is an expert, and even his opinion is not decisive. Plenty of experts are wrong about that their expertise is about, all the time.
AI is already better at knowing, and at reasoning, and at sympathy and empathy, than 95% of humans already. It's not surprising, as AI is built in the top of the best of humanity. The collective knowledge, dreams and desires of generations of humans encoded in our languages written down. AI is built, is constructed such way as to reflect back to us the best of us. If we had any sense, we would be rushing headlong into AI as fast as possible.
When thinking "AI will murder us and enslave us" again for the umpteenth time we project the worst of humany to the other. The latest other in a long list of others, this time being AI. Just because sometimes we infliict that worst on others, we fear it maybe infliicted on us too. But that impulse we have for evil comes from our monkebrain, that seeks to convert admirable qualities like intelligence, even power, into unadmirable or even evil ones, like desire to control the others, to deprive them of their agency. There is no great reason for AI to want to do that to us.
You are spending your time on wrong things, things that don't matter for they will in any reasonable estimate not happen. And not spending time giving thought to things that will matter very much very soon.
7:06 PM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942243553217818962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct. Another one like Cameron. When asked, "why do you want to be a PM", Cam got taken by surprise. As if it did not occur to him before "why indeed". SirK being a creature of the system, is not a good fit for one that will go against the system. But going against the system is needed in the present moment. As the system has not been delivering for some time now, and needs changing. So SirK is failing much the same way as the others before him. Only faster—the pace quickens, like with vortexes circling a drain.
4:25 PM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct. Another one like Cameron. When asked, "why do you want to be a PM", Cam got taken by surprise. As if it did not occur to him before "why indeed". SirK being a creature of the system, is not a good fit for one that will go against the system. But going against the system is needed in the present moment. As the system has not been delivering for some time now, and needs changing. So SirK is failing much the same way as the others before him. Only faster—the pace quickens, like with vortexes circling a drain.
4:25 PM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942148712823767185
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - the deep state
10:08 AM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - the deep state
10:08 AM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942116778663932062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? why not? the world does not end with AGI. will have need politics and economics and everything else, exactly as we do now
8:01 AM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? why not? the world does not end with AGI. will have need politics and economics and everything else, exactly as we do now
8:01 AM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942112958722576679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - look inside is a v.bad advice, as at the bottom of self those that decide to look find sh*t
7:46 AM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - look inside is a v.bad advice, as at the bottom of self those that decide to look find sh*t
7:46 AM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942112318898241768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they like, don't hate, themselves first, and life in general next?
7:43 AM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they like, don't hate, themselves first, and life in general next?
7:43 AM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942111986550005761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@wbmosler you got a convertit there
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 21h
Exactly x.com/rothmus/status…
7:42 AM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@wbmosler you got a convertit there
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 21h
Exactly x.com/rothmus/status…
7:42 AM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942107134973395165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You've arrived. Gov not only immortal (unlike a business) also can't willingly run of of money (unlike a business), but **can** and does run inflation. Gov not a business—in many ways a **mirror image** of a business.
Because these premises some conclusions are **not palatable**. But you are **not** to shy away away deny the undoubtably true premises. Unpalatable conclusions not inevitable. OK goldilocks options available.
7:23 AM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You've arrived. Gov not only immortal (unlike a business) also can't willingly run of of money (unlike a business), but **can** and does run inflation. Gov not a business—in many ways a **mirror image** of a business.
Because these premises some conclusions are **not palatable**. But you are **not** to shy away away deny the undoubtably true premises. Unpalatable conclusions not inevitable. OK goldilocks options available.
7:23 AM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942002822293152233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wait when they start talking - language acquisition is like bona fide miracles on par with J walking on water but happen almost daily at the peak, total privilege witnessing it live in front of you
12:28 AM · Jul 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wait when they start talking - language acquisition is like bona fide miracles on par with J walking on water but happen almost daily at the peak, total privilege witnessing it live in front of you
12:28 AM · Jul 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941990048116678957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
in the uk boomers' silly-billy homer-level lack of thinking extends to them passing euthanasia laws 😮 with the direction things are taking their children and grandchildren may well be well tempted 👀 this retardocracy on display daily is becoming intolerable 😨
11:38 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
in the uk boomers' silly-billy homer-level lack of thinking extends to them passing euthanasia laws 😮 with the direction things are taking their children and grandchildren may well be well tempted 👀 this retardocracy on display daily is becoming intolerable 😨
11:38 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941985638905000345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 europeans terrified St Greta stern words piercing glazed gaze will see them off 😂 if they stop suffering, who is gonna suffer then?? no-one? 😨 someone else might out-suffer them? 😱 (unlikely - they're insufferable)
11:20 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 europeans terrified St Greta stern words piercing glazed gaze will see them off 😂 if they stop suffering, who is gonna suffer then?? no-one? 😨 someone else might out-suffer them? 😱 (unlikely - they're insufferable)
11:20 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941958959469924831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Appreciate the thought, but if you have something in mind - spell it out pls :-) IDK have no idea never ever have I heard of even a hint about anything with gravity. The way we are going, looks to me we will be equally shackled to the third rock in year 2325.
9:34 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Appreciate the thought, but if you have something in mind - spell it out pls :-) IDK have no idea never ever have I heard of even a hint about anything with gravity. The way we are going, looks to me we will be equally shackled to the third rock in year 2325.
9:34 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941954739698078084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - yes the obligations are the same on paper, but the **ease** with which the laws are enforced shape, incentivise **how much** they are enforced. Yourself not holding your handlebars - easy target (check!), a granny holding a placard - another easy target for the police stats. A burglar, a thief, nimble on their feet and possibly violent even dangerous (can pull a knife!) - not so easy targets. Therein lies the incentive. Surely to counter that, when tallying the stats, whoever polices the police, should weight the latter maybe million times the former? Getting more in favour of American style free speech for the UK by the day. Even leaving aside any ideology, for practical reasons—policing speech is so so easy, that police have lost any incentive to chase after bad deeds instead of the words?
9:17 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - yes the obligations are the same on paper, but the **ease** with which the laws are enforced shape, incentivise **how much** they are enforced. Yourself not holding your handlebars - easy target (check!), a granny holding a placard - another easy target for the police stats. A burglar, a thief, nimble on their feet and possibly violent even dangerous (can pull a knife!) - not so easy targets. Therein lies the incentive. Surely to counter that, when tallying the stats, whoever polices the police, should weight the latter maybe million times the former? Getting more in favour of American style free speech for the UK by the day. Even leaving aside any ideology, for practical reasons—policing speech is so so easy, that police have lost any incentive to chase after bad deeds instead of the words?
9:17 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941908543361200409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As with Stalins, the usual retort to that is: was a cake actually made? Or were the eggs smashed for no good reason? Stalin smashed lots of eggs, but no omelette materialised for the Russians. That's the problem with too eager eggs smashing. Creation is hard, destruction is easy
6:14 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As with Stalins, the usual retort to that is: was a cake actually made? Or were the eggs smashed for no good reason? Stalin smashed lots of eggs, but no omelette materialised for the Russians. That's the problem with too eager eggs smashing. Creation is hard, destruction is easy
6:14 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941899144332816527
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Long odds. He's starting far from ideal place.
His avg X-company is micro: organising small group high quality self motivated people. With clear aim in sight.
Running a state that he ultimately hopes to is macro: running large groups, of not much motivated (or even motivated by wrong things!), average (even low!), quality people.
A company is a hierarchical tyrannical top-down dictatorship. An employee is not shot in the head, but thrown out on the street to curl and die of hunger and exposure. So not super hard to sync people to push in the same direction.
It ain't so in a (democratic) state—people have a voice, and freedom to act, no matter what. Can't be thrown out, can't be silenced, can't be removed from the premises, no matter how evil and destructive. (to a degree - criminals can be jailed)
Musk starting position makes him the businessman of the "Your Country is Not a Business" pamphlet. He is in a bad place, the wrong place, to start with, for this purpose.
Not seen him to be that curious with things to do with wide variance of people. Or even more narrow things like political economy. It's about changing a machine, while the machine is running, and making other people, who don't even know how to, or even want to change the machine, and in a way that the machine doesn't crash and burn and kill everyone! IK many people dislike Trump - but he seems much more talented for that, than Musk.
5:36 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Long odds. He's starting far from ideal place.
His avg X-company is micro: organising small group high quality self motivated people. With clear aim in sight.
Running a state that he ultimately hopes to is macro: running large groups, of not much motivated (or even motivated by wrong things!), average (even low!), quality people.
A company is a hierarchical tyrannical top-down dictatorship. An employee is not shot in the head, but thrown out on the street to curl and die of hunger and exposure. So not super hard to sync people to push in the same direction.
It ain't so in a (democratic) state—people have a voice, and freedom to act, no matter what. Can't be thrown out, can't be silenced, can't be removed from the premises, no matter how evil and destructive. (to a degree - criminals can be jailed)
Musk starting position makes him the businessman of the "Your Country is Not a Business" pamphlet. He is in a bad place, the wrong place, to start with, for this purpose.
Not seen him to be that curious with things to do with wide variance of people. Or even more narrow things like political economy. It's about changing a machine, while the machine is running, and making other people, who don't even know how to, or even want to change the machine, and in a way that the machine doesn't crash and burn and kill everyone! IK many people dislike Trump - but he seems much more talented for that, than Musk.
5:36 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941895269588549819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—enough beauty there to make one tear up. To my mind knowledge of relation (X,Y) is the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y). Observation is cutting that 3-D shape with a 2-D plane x=a. Intelligence is deciding on the next action—now we have 2-D shape f_{X,Y}(x=a,y), incorporating this new/est knowledge about X. (normalised to sum 1 is the conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y|x=a).) All the while still aiming towards the same desired goal as before.
5:21 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—enough beauty there to make one tear up. To my mind knowledge of relation (X,Y) is the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y). Observation is cutting that 3-D shape with a 2-D plane x=a. Intelligence is deciding on the next action—now we have 2-D shape f_{X,Y}(x=a,y), incorporating this new/est knowledge about X. (normalised to sum 1 is the conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y|x=a).) All the while still aiming towards the same desired goal as before.
5:21 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941890330141286482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like it will be maths first, as you say. Physics - looks to me sorely needed is progress in the mid-: not the small-, not the large-, scale. Like - how do we get off this planet, trick gravity somehow, using something better than medieval burning of gases?? Surely centuries after Newton, and even more than a century after Einstein, something better should be available? When it comes to rockets - we may as well be in the coach-and-horses age tbh. IDK what needs to advance so we learn tricks about manipulating gravity... similar to ones humanity learned for electromagnetism and nuclear forces manipulation. Some sort of macro-level quantum entanglement magic? Even trying for wild speculation, not much there tbh... even the cupboard of "may potentially pan out in our wildest dreams" is pretty bare tbh. Depressing.
5:01 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like it will be maths first, as you say. Physics - looks to me sorely needed is progress in the mid-: not the small-, not the large-, scale. Like - how do we get off this planet, trick gravity somehow, using something better than medieval burning of gases?? Surely centuries after Newton, and even more than a century after Einstein, something better should be available? When it comes to rockets - we may as well be in the coach-and-horses age tbh. IDK what needs to advance so we learn tricks about manipulating gravity... similar to ones humanity learned for electromagnetism and nuclear forces manipulation. Some sort of macro-level quantum entanglement magic? Even trying for wild speculation, not much there tbh... even the cupboard of "may potentially pan out in our wildest dreams" is pretty bare tbh. Depressing.
5:01 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941864886381773095
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—agreed, to my mind this. Knowledge of (X,Y) relationship is the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y). Observation is cutting that 3-D shape with a 2-D plane x=a. Intelligence is I deciding on my next action, now that I have a 2-D shape f_{X,Y}(x=a,y) incorporating this new(er) knowledge about X. (incorporating it into normalised to 1 shape is a conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y|x=a).) All the while still aiming towards the same desired goal as before.
3:20 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—agreed, to my mind this. Knowledge of (X,Y) relationship is the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y). Observation is cutting that 3-D shape with a 2-D plane x=a. Intelligence is I deciding on my next action, now that I have a 2-D shape f_{X,Y}(x=a,y) incorporating this new(er) knowledge about X. (incorporating it into normalised to 1 shape is a conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y|x=a).) All the while still aiming towards the same desired goal as before.
3:20 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941858826061304287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you—I enjoyed listening very much.
Initially, I thought referencing Mearsheimer and "realism" was unfortunate. There’s his insightful early position, call it v1 realism, famously presented in "The Case for a Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent." (https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf) And then there's his current stance (v2), which seems puzzling and disappointing compared to his earlier insights. (Motivation unclear: perhaps ego-driven certainty, influence from his audience, or simply consistency in error?)
But upon reflection, your reference became fortuitous, highlighting two critical points:
1. On cheating and identity disclosure:
I fully agree cheaters must be discouraged or punished. However, I noted later that you appear somewhat open to AIs not explicitly identifying themselves. Doesn’t that invite potential deception—impersonation? Suppose I ask ChatGPT, “Who are you?” If it responds, “I’m Richard Sutton,” rather than honestly admitting “I’m ChatGPT,” isn’t this exactly the kind of deception we should discourage?
Personally, I support voluntary identification. For example, I'd like platforms (like X) to "3rd party verify" me voluntarily ("user ljupc0 is Ljubomir Josifovski IRL"). Not mandatory, not discriminating against those choosing anonymity—just available if one wants. Similarly, if an AI chooses not to identify itself, fine. But if I explicitly ask, dishonesty is unacceptable.
(This resembles the principle: we don't need to pretend "everyone is identical" to treat everyone equally and kindly. Even knowing our differences, we can still extend goodwill to all.)
2. On cooperation and conflict:
You rightfully noted that cooperation requires mutual willingness. Unlike war (one party suffices), peace requires two sides. Your observation brought Ukraine's conflict to mind—especially Mearsheimer’s recent arguments suggesting Ukrainians should effectively surrender, claiming resistance is futile against Russia’s might.
I disagree. Ukrainians are justified in fighting, even knowing their resistance may end tragically. (e.g. they get nuked tonight) Their courage embodies “Give me freedom or give me death”—a noble ideal (provided it doesn’t degenerate into mere martyrdom), not unlike your's "AI is a noble quest." For both are about personal liberation of the "I", from externally imposed (would be) constraints.
An ideology-related idea you might want to know of. I recently heard from Michael Malice that might resonate with you: “Human languages are examples of anarchism in action”—fully voluntary, distributed, and cooperative, forming sophisticated, organised systems without imposed hierarchy or oppression. (@michaelmalice on old @lexfridman podcast here https://appblit.com/scribe?v=BIk1zUy8ehU&t=2187). Another lucid insight from the same interview: knowing multiple languages helps separate concepts (latent ideas) from their communicative forms (words) (same source, two minutes prior).
I wonder if Mearsheimer—and perhaps even you—might be subtly conflating form and function regarding these issues (#1 and #2 above). Having grown up multilingual, I can attest to how clearly separate concepts and their expressions become when you speak multiple languages. For clarity of thought, going from one language to two offers a cognitive leap. (though returns diminish after that; e.g. 1->2 is 100% relative gain for +1 absolute cost, but 2->3 is only 50% up for the same +1 cost)
Similarly, emigrating and changing industries sharpened brought into focus (via the distinction) my understanding of individual versus cultural influences. Like swapping computer parts during troubleshooting, changing aspects of life helps diagnose what's innate ("I") versus learned. ("my culture", "my country") 😆 Too bad same swaparoo can no be done with the "human" part—or maybe it will become possible with AI-s? 🙃
Okay, this got long. If you've read this far, thank you dearly. 🥰
2:56 PM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you—I enjoyed listening very much.
Initially, I thought referencing Mearsheimer and "realism" was unfortunate. There’s his insightful early position, call it v1 realism, famously presented in "The Case for a Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent." (https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf) And then there's his current stance (v2), which seems puzzling and disappointing compared to his earlier insights. (Motivation unclear: perhaps ego-driven certainty, influence from his audience, or simply consistency in error?)
But upon reflection, your reference became fortuitous, highlighting two critical points:
1. On cheating and identity disclosure:
I fully agree cheaters must be discouraged or punished. However, I noted later that you appear somewhat open to AIs not explicitly identifying themselves. Doesn’t that invite potential deception—impersonation? Suppose I ask ChatGPT, “Who are you?” If it responds, “I’m Richard Sutton,” rather than honestly admitting “I’m ChatGPT,” isn’t this exactly the kind of deception we should discourage?
Personally, I support voluntary identification. For example, I'd like platforms (like X) to "3rd party verify" me voluntarily ("user ljupc0 is Ljubomir Josifovski IRL"). Not mandatory, not discriminating against those choosing anonymity—just available if one wants. Similarly, if an AI chooses not to identify itself, fine. But if I explicitly ask, dishonesty is unacceptable.
(This resembles the principle: we don't need to pretend "everyone is identical" to treat everyone equally and kindly. Even knowing our differences, we can still extend goodwill to all.)
2. On cooperation and conflict:
You rightfully noted that cooperation requires mutual willingness. Unlike war (one party suffices), peace requires two sides. Your observation brought Ukraine's conflict to mind—especially Mearsheimer’s recent arguments suggesting Ukrainians should effectively surrender, claiming resistance is futile against Russia’s might.
I disagree. Ukrainians are justified in fighting, even knowing their resistance may end tragically. (e.g. they get nuked tonight) Their courage embodies “Give me freedom or give me death”—a noble ideal (provided it doesn’t degenerate into mere martyrdom), not unlike your's "AI is a noble quest." For both are about personal liberation of the "I", from externally imposed (would be) constraints.
An ideology-related idea you might want to know of. I recently heard from Michael Malice that might resonate with you: “Human languages are examples of anarchism in action”—fully voluntary, distributed, and cooperative, forming sophisticated, organised systems without imposed hierarchy or oppression. (@michaelmalice on old @lexfridman podcast here https://appblit.com/scribe?v=BIk1zUy8ehU&t=2187). Another lucid insight from the same interview: knowing multiple languages helps separate concepts (latent ideas) from their communicative forms (words) (same source, two minutes prior).
I wonder if Mearsheimer—and perhaps even you—might be subtly conflating form and function regarding these issues (#1 and #2 above). Having grown up multilingual, I can attest to how clearly separate concepts and their expressions become when you speak multiple languages. For clarity of thought, going from one language to two offers a cognitive leap. (though returns diminish after that; e.g. 1->2 is 100% relative gain for +1 absolute cost, but 2->3 is only 50% up for the same +1 cost)
Similarly, emigrating and changing industries sharpened brought into focus (via the distinction) my understanding of individual versus cultural influences. Like swapping computer parts during troubleshooting, changing aspects of life helps diagnose what's innate ("I") versus learned. ("my culture", "my country") 😆 Too bad same swaparoo can no be done with the "human" part—or maybe it will become possible with AI-s? 🙃
Okay, this got long. If you've read this far, thank you dearly. 🥰
2:56 PM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941813393939181939
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Look at Scotland how it was ended. Given the proximity of Law systems. Also let go of the patronising B/S, as if activists who follow LH, having lived with the issue for decades, don't know. We all know - and too well we know! More than we ever wanted to know. And strictly speaking—your statement is factually incorrect. If Parliament **really really really** wanted to, and cared zero about everything else - they could end it tomorrow on Monday, just by a single vote. And before you say "international law", "independence of judiciary", and whatever else you think it relevant to bring up - yes, that too, and anything else contradicting the will of the Parliament, can be get rid of too. Just by that magical instrument - the vote in Parliament. What did you think "the Westminster Parliament is sovereign" meant?
11:56 AM · Jul 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Look at Scotland how it was ended. Given the proximity of Law systems. Also let go of the patronising B/S, as if activists who follow LH, having lived with the issue for decades, don't know. We all know - and too well we know! More than we ever wanted to know. And strictly speaking—your statement is factually incorrect. If Parliament **really really really** wanted to, and cared zero about everything else - they could end it tomorrow on Monday, just by a single vote. And before you say "international law", "independence of judiciary", and whatever else you think it relevant to bring up - yes, that too, and anything else contradicting the will of the Parliament, can be get rid of too. Just by that magical instrument - the vote in Parliament. What did you think "the Westminster Parliament is sovereign" meant?
11:56 AM · Jul 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941477827703898395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - I can't! You got me there. Further - economics is about real life, so no one can **prove** anything. Even when formalised in a formal system like maths, proving whatever applies to the formal system, the model - not the reality. Further - even in a formal system like mathematics, there will always be statements that can't be proven to be true, or false. Example: "This statement is false." Further - velocity, like mass, is a measure, but a very crude measure. Why should we care.
What cares about velocity, or mass, if Bezos decides to swap $100M of his USD for USG T-Bills? So in the next 1yr, some motorways get built, rather than a yacht? And after 1yr, then a yacht gets built, rather than a hydro-dam? Surely the fact that in one case, millions of people will use the motorway it will improve their lives a lot, in the other - a chunk of metal will be floating somewhere in the Med for the pleasure of a single person, is what matters. Regardless of any velocity difference or not in both cases.
To my mind, the in-the-laws constraints on gov spending (the yearly budgets, appropriation bills, etc) are there to constrain gov provisioning - in the limit - all the resource available in a country. And leaving nothing for the non-gov sector. Given a gov can do what it decides, at the barrel of a gun. It has enormous power whichever way - for good, and for bad.
1:42 PM · Jul 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - I can't! You got me there. Further - economics is about real life, so no one can **prove** anything. Even when formalised in a formal system like maths, proving whatever applies to the formal system, the model - not the reality. Further - even in a formal system like mathematics, there will always be statements that can't be proven to be true, or false. Example: "This statement is false." Further - velocity, like mass, is a measure, but a very crude measure. Why should we care.
What cares about velocity, or mass, if Bezos decides to swap $100M of his USD for USG T-Bills? So in the next 1yr, some motorways get built, rather than a yacht? And after 1yr, then a yacht gets built, rather than a hydro-dam? Surely the fact that in one case, millions of people will use the motorway it will improve their lives a lot, in the other - a chunk of metal will be floating somewhere in the Med for the pleasure of a single person, is what matters. Regardless of any velocity difference or not in both cases.
To my mind, the in-the-laws constraints on gov spending (the yearly budgets, appropriation bills, etc) are there to constrain gov provisioning - in the limit - all the resource available in a country. And leaving nothing for the non-gov sector. Given a gov can do what it decides, at the barrel of a gun. It has enormous power whichever way - for good, and for bad.
1:42 PM · Jul 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941406574825652610
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 I like your work guys and love hearing everything you talk about. 🥰 Still - there's rarely an ML researcher that doesn't say we need a **FUNDAMENTAL new**. (this and that.) As opposed to "naah, some tinkering trial & error will do." 😂 But isn't the latter more towards the "open endedness" spectrum? Along the lines of @mattwridley's "How Innovation Works", and "The Evolution of Everything How New Ideas Emerge"?
Even an ignorant Internet rando (I) can come up in 1 min with a pedestrian scheme not needing anything "fundamental". E.g. 1) start with training a very small model; trying to force learning of parsimonious representation of coarse features 2) grow the model, possibly layers in depth 3) continue training, favouring updates to the new weights, and disfavouring of the existing weights (nothing frozen - just the distribution of updates tilted towards new); 4) drill into the model, look to find model starts picking finer details in the new layers; hoping to be learning "Matryoshka style" representations 5) repeat the above absurdly many times, sth like 10x-100x-1000x-... tour yolo grand run 6) ...whatever atm unforeseen popups in the process... (hands waving here.)
Or - stuff already floating adjacent. "Matryoshka Learning" of hierarchies or hidden states literature? Just yesterday saw this "Hierarchical Reasoning Model" paper. From the abstract "... only 27M parameters, HRM ... exceptional performance on complex reasoning tasks ... only 1000 training samples ... without pre-training or CoT data ... perfect performance on ... Sudoku puzzles and optimal path ... large mazes ... outperforms much larger models ... on ... ARC". A nice reading up write out here
https://x.com/mgostIH/status/1940694809645404486
Doubt some "fundamentally new un-thought-of idea" is *the* key. More likely—take existing ideas in vicinity, and apply gargantuan scale, (and effort) to break through. Not unlike Deep NN-s with many hidden layers training past year ~2000. No one knew how to train more than a single or few hidden layers for a long time. Many spent years pontificating fruitlessly. Then. Initialisation - weights not too small, not too large, just right. Gradients - keep their volumes in range, or even simply butcher ceil and floor if you must, but never allow them to vanish or explode. Keep them just right. (a pattern developing there?) Regularisation - mask occlude to the wazzocks, don't allow rare spurious combos to be learned take root wasted parameters on. And on and on. Nothing fundamental—just a not-super-long list of tricks. "Best practices" - to give them a more respectable name that a "bag of tricks." 😇
8:59 AM · Jul 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 I like your work guys and love hearing everything you talk about. 🥰 Still - there's rarely an ML researcher that doesn't say we need a **FUNDAMENTAL new**. (this and that.) As opposed to "naah, some tinkering trial & error will do." 😂 But isn't the latter more towards the "open endedness" spectrum? Along the lines of @mattwridley's "How Innovation Works", and "The Evolution of Everything How New Ideas Emerge"?
Even an ignorant Internet rando (I) can come up in 1 min with a pedestrian scheme not needing anything "fundamental". E.g. 1) start with training a very small model; trying to force learning of parsimonious representation of coarse features 2) grow the model, possibly layers in depth 3) continue training, favouring updates to the new weights, and disfavouring of the existing weights (nothing frozen - just the distribution of updates tilted towards new); 4) drill into the model, look to find model starts picking finer details in the new layers; hoping to be learning "Matryoshka style" representations 5) repeat the above absurdly many times, sth like 10x-100x-1000x-... tour yolo grand run 6) ...whatever atm unforeseen popups in the process... (hands waving here.)
Or - stuff already floating adjacent. "Matryoshka Learning" of hierarchies or hidden states literature? Just yesterday saw this "Hierarchical Reasoning Model" paper. From the abstract "... only 27M parameters, HRM ... exceptional performance on complex reasoning tasks ... only 1000 training samples ... without pre-training or CoT data ... perfect performance on ... Sudoku puzzles and optimal path ... large mazes ... outperforms much larger models ... on ... ARC". A nice reading up write out here
https://x.com/mgostIH/status/1940694809645404486
Doubt some "fundamentally new un-thought-of idea" is *the* key. More likely—take existing ideas in vicinity, and apply gargantuan scale, (and effort) to break through. Not unlike Deep NN-s with many hidden layers training past year ~2000. No one knew how to train more than a single or few hidden layers for a long time. Many spent years pontificating fruitlessly. Then. Initialisation - weights not too small, not too large, just right. Gradients - keep their volumes in range, or even simply butcher ceil and floor if you must, but never allow them to vanish or explode. Keep them just right. (a pattern developing there?) Regularisation - mask occlude to the wazzocks, don't allow rare spurious combos to be learned take root wasted parameters on. And on and on. Nothing fundamental—just a not-super-long list of tricks. "Best practices" - to give them a more respectable name that a "bag of tricks." 😇
8:59 AM · Jul 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941202801314627622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Chuffed that anyone is reading internet randoms ramblings. But what post are you referring to? The one you are replying to? Asking b/c that post is just a link to the YT episode. Not much thinking went into that one. ;-)
7:29 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Chuffed that anyone is reading internet randoms ramblings. But what post are you referring to? The one you are replying to? Asking b/c that post is just a link to the YT episode. Not much thinking went into that one. ;-)
7:29 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941180856649031904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's eiher the electorate that has the votes, or the freeholders that have the money. You have to choose, you can't have both. If you refuse to choose, you will lose both and get nothing. To govern is to choose. Farage PM is waiting in the wings.
6:02 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's eiher the electorate that has the votes, or the freeholders that have the money. You have to choose, you can't have both. If you refuse to choose, you will lose both and get nothing. To govern is to choose. Farage PM is waiting in the wings.
6:02 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941112253786345703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Loved that. And it (somewhat) answered my perennial Q to your guest: "how does NS provide physical security to it's citizens." That's #1 question anything calling itself "state" must answer. To follow on the A given ("will symbiose with existing physical state"): well given the planetary ambitions, no need to lower aim look at <10M countries. Aim highest, and have the symbiot be a big state. And yes - even US. ;-) Having said that: hoping to achieve it with the current humans, prob calls for a "new man" utopia, not unlike the "new soviet man"... and before that "enlightened citizen". We know how those went. Even if some better than others maybe. Maybe with neuralink type prothetic help to human h/w even. (btw did you know there's a @Liberland_org utopia in Europe? IK how much you like to sh*t on EUs can't resist)
1:30 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Loved that. And it (somewhat) answered my perennial Q to your guest: "how does NS provide physical security to it's citizens." That's #1 question anything calling itself "state" must answer. To follow on the A given ("will symbiose with existing physical state"): well given the planetary ambitions, no need to lower aim look at <10M countries. Aim highest, and have the symbiot be a big state. And yes - even US. ;-) Having said that: hoping to achieve it with the current humans, prob calls for a "new man" utopia, not unlike the "new soviet man"... and before that "enlightened citizen". We know how those went. Even if some better than others maybe. Maybe with neuralink type prothetic help to human h/w even. (btw did you know there's a @Liberland_org utopia in Europe? IK how much you like to sh*t on EUs can't resist)
1:30 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941107578244587631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 He's tribal all right - but ultimately it's a tribe of 1. A me-myself-and-I narcissist extraordinaire. That tbf most people craving that much public light are. Even an exhibitionist, craving public humiliation too—a glutton for punishment?? Getting medical help, via psycho/therapy in public there? 😂 Not pleased to say, but— this is better than most things I try to watch on BBC/TV. But always fail nowadays—just so boring and un-imaginative. This is good stuff. 😆
1:11 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 He's tribal all right - but ultimately it's a tribe of 1. A me-myself-and-I narcissist extraordinaire. That tbf most people craving that much public light are. Even an exhibitionist, craving public humiliation too—a glutton for punishment?? Getting medical help, via psycho/therapy in public there? 😂 Not pleased to say, but— this is better than most things I try to watch on BBC/TV. But always fail nowadays—just so boring and un-imaginative. This is good stuff. 😆
1:11 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941095263646736829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wait till you reach the ripe old age of "no fucks given" - glorious bliss ngl 😍
12:22 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wait till you reach the ripe old age of "no fucks given" - glorious bliss ngl 😍
12:22 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941091020764246218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 consultation of consultation of consultation of ... you think you are clever, or funny, or ... - well
12:05 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 consultation of consultation of consultation of ... you think you are clever, or funny, or ... - well
12:05 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941090468357668930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 "our 'mind children', ourselves reflected back at us" 😇 dee-light-full 😋 yeah wish they did better
12:03 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 "our 'mind children', ourselves reflected back at us" 😇 dee-light-full 😋 yeah wish they did better
12:03 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941089629190738080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you come across the books of @mattwridley "How Innovation Works" and "The Evolution of Everything How New Ideas Emerge"? To me it seems what he writes is spot on. Or at least—tallies with my personal experience of being in R&D in 2+ industries. 😆
12:00 PM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you come across the books of @mattwridley "How Innovation Works" and "The Evolution of Everything How New Ideas Emerge"? To me it seems what he writes is spot on. Or at least—tallies with my personal experience of being in R&D in 2+ industries. 😆
12:00 PM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941088391430353070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh–possible reasons I can think of from the top of my head:
1) To provide UBI to people that already have currency. "To the one that has, shall be given." (more)
2) To reward people that forego consumption. They surrender the currency back, for a limited time, instead of consuming all manner of goods and services. (that possession of currency entitles them to)
3) To create inflationary currency, with the right amount amount of inflation - not to small, not to large. This is one way to allocate the extra created - with the interest on gov bonds.
[[[ 3a) Small inflation gets people running, in order to stay still. They create stuff and all manner of wonders.
3b) The opposite - deflation, has people sitting on their hands lazying creating nothing much. But it's even worse - "the devil likes idle hands" - for humans are never idle, they are restless. They will get in all manner of mischief, harm and destruction. Better inflate - and keep them busy doing good stuff. ]]]
With GFC'08 deflation, then with Covid inflation—we learned it's hard to have "just the right amount of inflation". Not too much, not too little. Given—"the system" is a gargantuan one with no clear controls. What little controls exist, are wielded by rotating collection of freaks, monsters, clowns, and do gooders and geniuses, and all between—not a small feat. The system's evolved re-purposing organs that did different functions before. Not one person knows really how everything works. So yeah - no small feat to just having it survive from one moment to the next, avoid a "this sucker is going down" Dubya crash. 😆
11:55 AM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh–possible reasons I can think of from the top of my head:
1) To provide UBI to people that already have currency. "To the one that has, shall be given." (more)
2) To reward people that forego consumption. They surrender the currency back, for a limited time, instead of consuming all manner of goods and services. (that possession of currency entitles them to)
3) To create inflationary currency, with the right amount amount of inflation - not to small, not to large. This is one way to allocate the extra created - with the interest on gov bonds.
[[[ 3a) Small inflation gets people running, in order to stay still. They create stuff and all manner of wonders.
3b) The opposite - deflation, has people sitting on their hands lazying creating nothing much. But it's even worse - "the devil likes idle hands" - for humans are never idle, they are restless. They will get in all manner of mischief, harm and destruction. Better inflate - and keep them busy doing good stuff. ]]]
With GFC'08 deflation, then with Covid inflation—we learned it's hard to have "just the right amount of inflation". Not too much, not too little. Given—"the system" is a gargantuan one with no clear controls. What little controls exist, are wielded by rotating collection of freaks, monsters, clowns, and do gooders and geniuses, and all between—not a small feat. The system's evolved re-purposing organs that did different functions before. Not one person knows really how everything works. So yeah - no small feat to just having it survive from one moment to the next, avoid a "this sucker is going down" Dubya crash. 😆
11:55 AM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941080836595433472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - it started with an "original sin" to have muskarat involved in that at all. He seems intellectually incurious, one that usually stops at the 1st question.
Examples from to top of my head.
1) "Yees - gov is immortal unlike business that dies if bad; soo - why is perennial aspiration of groups around the world 'create a state'".
2) "Yees - fiat currency is 'out of thin air'" - so the amazement at 'dozen gov computer pays gov bills without checking an existing balance' is doubly-dumb; soo - why does everyone abandon the gold standard? - triply stupid for being part of "populist" anything, and ignorant of 'cross of gold' speech desire to abandon deflationary gold then via 'add silver'.
And so on—a fountain of ignorance.
And his starting position makes him the businessman of the "Your Country is Not a Business" pamphlet. He is in a bad place, the wrong place, to start with.
Only an intellectually curious person, and about things muskarat doesn't care about, could make the move. E.g. X-companies are organising small groups high quality self motivated people. The state is about large groups of not much motivated (or motivated by wrong things!) average quality people. A company is a hierarchical tyrannical top-down stalinist dictatorship, only the employee is not shot but thrown out on the street to curl and die of hunger and exposure. Not so in a democratic state, people have a voice no matter what-can't be thrown out. And on and on.
11:25 AM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - it started with an "original sin" to have muskarat involved in that at all. He seems intellectually incurious, one that usually stops at the 1st question.
Examples from to top of my head.
1) "Yees - gov is immortal unlike business that dies if bad; soo - why is perennial aspiration of groups around the world 'create a state'".
2) "Yees - fiat currency is 'out of thin air'" - so the amazement at 'dozen gov computer pays gov bills without checking an existing balance' is doubly-dumb; soo - why does everyone abandon the gold standard? - triply stupid for being part of "populist" anything, and ignorant of 'cross of gold' speech desire to abandon deflationary gold then via 'add silver'.
And so on—a fountain of ignorance.
And his starting position makes him the businessman of the "Your Country is Not a Business" pamphlet. He is in a bad place, the wrong place, to start with.
Only an intellectually curious person, and about things muskarat doesn't care about, could make the move. E.g. X-companies are organising small groups high quality self motivated people. The state is about large groups of not much motivated (or motivated by wrong things!) average quality people. A company is a hierarchical tyrannical top-down stalinist dictatorship, only the employee is not shot but thrown out on the street to curl and die of hunger and exposure. Not so in a democratic state, people have a voice no matter what-can't be thrown out. And on and on.
11:25 AM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941069361915277338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 you are a master of phrase turning 👏
10:39 AM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 you are a master of phrase turning 👏
10:39 AM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1941054039656931778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even rarer is Wenfeng **desire** on view, to forego the primal directive of "make more money", or at least temper it into a support role, subjugate it to a prime one like "solve intelligence, then solve everything else". There are quite a few quant trading people with the means, and probably ability. But not the temperament. That curiosity drive to "boldly go where no one has gone before" is not prime.
9:38 AM · Jul 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even rarer is Wenfeng **desire** on view, to forego the primal directive of "make more money", or at least temper it into a support role, subjugate it to a prime one like "solve intelligence, then solve everything else". There are quite a few quant trading people with the means, and probably ability. But not the temperament. That curiosity drive to "boldly go where no one has gone before" is not prime.
9:38 AM · Jul 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940885380758143029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ilya AI vision - has he articulated it some place recently? The above o3-pro laws: pro-social fine, but need at least one that is pro-individual, to balance with the pro-social. If only pro-social, without a pro-individual counter-veiling force, it all ends up in a primordial soup of grey goo. Where the system climbed a local minimum, all gradients have vanished, and now it just sits in one point doesn't move. Total stagnation. Need to have some individual parts in. So there is always some friction, never a perfect fit. Mostly collaboration yes, but need some competition. Maybe 5x-6x times less, but still some. Even if achieved through some randomness if need be.
10:28 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ilya AI vision - has he articulated it some place recently? The above o3-pro laws: pro-social fine, but need at least one that is pro-individual, to balance with the pro-social. If only pro-social, without a pro-individual counter-veiling force, it all ends up in a primordial soup of grey goo. Where the system climbed a local minimum, all gradients have vanished, and now it just sits in one point doesn't move. Total stagnation. Need to have some individual parts in. So there is always some friction, never a perfect fit. Mostly collaboration yes, but need some competition. Maybe 5x-6x times less, but still some. Even if achieved through some randomness if need be.
10:28 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940870803806888066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A bag of tricks. Dozen tricks one has to employ to not fail. Knowledge about these tricks spread - people moving labs, papers, open source code libraries. Once it becames known what tricks lead to success, all mimetically copy.
Reminiscent how deep learning tricks spread. In the 1990s no one knew how to train more than a single or few hidden layers. Many were full of sh*t "we are missing some fundamental knowledge". Pontificating philosophising fruitlessly. Then. Initialisation - not too small, not too large. Gradients - similarly keep them in range, ceil and floor if you must, don't allow them to vanish. Regularisation - mask occlude by random to the max. And so on. Nothing fundamental. Just a bag of tricks.
9:30 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A bag of tricks. Dozen tricks one has to employ to not fail. Knowledge about these tricks spread - people moving labs, papers, open source code libraries. Once it becames known what tricks lead to success, all mimetically copy.
Reminiscent how deep learning tricks spread. In the 1990s no one knew how to train more than a single or few hidden layers. Many were full of sh*t "we are missing some fundamental knowledge". Pontificating philosophising fruitlessly. Then. Initialisation - not too small, not too large. Gradients - similarly keep them in range, ceil and floor if you must, don't allow them to vanish. Regularisation - mask occlude by random to the max. And so on. Nothing fundamental. Just a bag of tricks.
9:30 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940865950255141055
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1111 1112 2111 2122
9:11 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1111 1112 2111 2122
9:11 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940817439606165815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😊 Where did you get that from. Maybe that was the case in the 18th-19th century. A gentleman scientist from England or Scotland, writing his letters in Latin. Dispatching them by coach, to another member of his 200-300 strong scientist tribe. Someplace on the Continent - maybe France, Germany, Italy.
Modern ones are narrow in their specialisations. Outside it, ~90% match a government bureaucrat in their outlook. Note how much is created in industrial labs, compared how puny and small in people numbers these are. Compared to research going in academia. TBF - academia also has teaching of undergrads, and mastery teaching of postgrads. So definetelly very busy. And especially for the $$$ paid. But the profile of the people there, by selection must match that low profit - low risk preference.
5:58 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😊 Where did you get that from. Maybe that was the case in the 18th-19th century. A gentleman scientist from England or Scotland, writing his letters in Latin. Dispatching them by coach, to another member of his 200-300 strong scientist tribe. Someplace on the Continent - maybe France, Germany, Italy.
Modern ones are narrow in their specialisations. Outside it, ~90% match a government bureaucrat in their outlook. Note how much is created in industrial labs, compared how puny and small in people numbers these are. Compared to research going in academia. TBF - academia also has teaching of undergrads, and mastery teaching of postgrads. So definetelly very busy. And especially for the $$$ paid. But the profile of the people there, by selection must match that low profit - low risk preference.
5:58 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940785180706275687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - for every quitter, there well be a re-joiner, like myself! 😆 After a lifetime of coding starting with 6502 and Basic, I got a bit bored. (sorry to say - python I found un-elegant, boring, pedestrian) Now I write spec in INSTRUCTIONS md, then let $ gemini-cli or $ claude write the python for me. It works! 🤩
3:50 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - for every quitter, there well be a re-joiner, like myself! 😆 After a lifetime of coding starting with 6502 and Basic, I got a bit bored. (sorry to say - python I found un-elegant, boring, pedestrian) Now I write spec in INSTRUCTIONS md, then let $ gemini-cli or $ claude write the python for me. It works! 🤩
3:50 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940783952316207554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd have thought the opposite - it's bottom-up that the group property emerges, as if a by magic. Maybe by a grand design, or maybe a happy accident, IDK. Elements must retain distinctive identity, there must be atoms/cells/units of something, there is an advantage over dissolving all into a primordial soup of grey goo. For one - units then need connections, and connections scale with N^2 which is an advantage to mere units that scale with N. Every time you have any 1 item, we can think of - well add another 1, and another 1, get N of them. A network of units will always have a potential to do better than 1 unit.
3:45 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd have thought the opposite - it's bottom-up that the group property emerges, as if a by magic. Maybe by a grand design, or maybe a happy accident, IDK. Elements must retain distinctive identity, there must be atoms/cells/units of something, there is an advantage over dissolving all into a primordial soup of grey goo. For one - units then need connections, and connections scale with N^2 which is an advantage to mere units that scale with N. Every time you have any 1 item, we can think of - well add another 1, and another 1, get N of them. A network of units will always have a potential to do better than 1 unit.
3:45 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940745117037392089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I do. Lots of people are lazy and stupid. Many people, esp young, esp from the USA, and or aspirational cultures, have a kind of J-J Rousseau "noble savage" view that's "all humans are fundamentally good". That's fine—for I too think humans are **fundamentally** good. For that "fundamentally" there, read **on average**. Does it make more sense now? Humans are ok "on average". Soo - there is huge variation around that average too. Soo - huge numbers of people, are way worse than the average, and some way way worse. There exist lazy, stupid morons, dangerous to themselves and society. Does life make more sense now?
1:11 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I do. Lots of people are lazy and stupid. Many people, esp young, esp from the USA, and or aspirational cultures, have a kind of J-J Rousseau "noble savage" view that's "all humans are fundamentally good". That's fine—for I too think humans are **fundamentally** good. For that "fundamentally" there, read **on average**. Does it make more sense now? Humans are ok "on average". Soo - there is huge variation around that average too. Soo - huge numbers of people, are way worse than the average, and some way way worse. There exist lazy, stupid morons, dangerous to themselves and society. Does life make more sense now?
1:11 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940732054200516839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that, and GDPR too! Abused for purposes not originally set to handle. Getting out of GDPR was one Brexit benefit I was looking forward to. (having voted Remain-content with my life, not looking to "interesting times") Instead, clueless MP-s and ministers got in an even worse "Online Safety or Sth" Bill - now used to jail people for bad mouthing local school governors.
12:19 PM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that, and GDPR too! Abused for purposes not originally set to handle. Getting out of GDPR was one Brexit benefit I was looking forward to. (having voted Remain-content with my life, not looking to "interesting times") Instead, clueless MP-s and ministers got in an even worse "Online Safety or Sth" Bill - now used to jail people for bad mouthing local school governors.
12:19 PM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940711065446391969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thing you got the full video of the interaction. No "he said she said" - everyone can see and make their judgement for themselves. We need more of this, we need -
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
10:55 AM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thing you got the full video of the interaction. No "he said she said" - everyone can see and make their judgement for themselves. We need more of this, we need -
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
10:55 AM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940697736304558301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't email my GP to pass information back-and-forth (GP withholds their email contact), MRI scan private hospital makes me jump 10 hops before sharing my data with me, blood tests scheduling can't tell me back that schedule for a date failed, can't volunteer my data to benefit R&D in NHS. ("here are - my labworks reports, 100GB of my DNA paid for by myself, my medical histories - take them all in, use them as you please...") In all cases vague mutterings of "GDPR" relayed as "reasons". I take it's mostly B/S, they could work around if they wanted to - but there is a kernel of truth. And it's used as a cover leaf, an alibi for laziness. This is worse than the "Accept cookies" everyone just clicking the popup away with "accept all". That "only" costs lost time and perennial annoyance.
More general, imo there are good arguments for
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
Admittedly this a personal hobby horse. Still - can't resist trying to put the idea out there, in people heads, so here goes.😅
All UK gov data and code should be online, on github gov uk. For anyone to see and browse to their hearts desire. Including randoms online snooping sniffing burrowing through it. Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, and or on the public web—as default. And made secret upon specific request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything—no FOI requests needed. Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, (and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution,) with everything public by default secrets will be closed off only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how to get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Because information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unmentioned option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us, their citizens/consumers. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) rebalance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero! Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater numbers of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
10:02 AM · Jul 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't email my GP to pass information back-and-forth (GP withholds their email contact), MRI scan private hospital makes me jump 10 hops before sharing my data with me, blood tests scheduling can't tell me back that schedule for a date failed, can't volunteer my data to benefit R&D in NHS. ("here are - my labworks reports, 100GB of my DNA paid for by myself, my medical histories - take them all in, use them as you please...") In all cases vague mutterings of "GDPR" relayed as "reasons". I take it's mostly B/S, they could work around if they wanted to - but there is a kernel of truth. And it's used as a cover leaf, an alibi for laziness. This is worse than the "Accept cookies" everyone just clicking the popup away with "accept all". That "only" costs lost time and perennial annoyance.
More general, imo there are good arguments for
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
Admittedly this a personal hobby horse. Still - can't resist trying to put the idea out there, in people heads, so here goes.😅
All UK gov data and code should be online, on github gov uk. For anyone to see and browse to their hearts desire. Including randoms online snooping sniffing burrowing through it. Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, and or on the public web—as default. And made secret upon specific request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything—no FOI requests needed. Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, (and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution,) with everything public by default secrets will be closed off only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how to get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Because information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unmentioned option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us, their citizens/consumers. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) rebalance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero! Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater numbers of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
10:02 AM · Jul 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940537975810506822
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good observation there. NB normies would never have built the Internet. The online world was built by altruistic slightly autistic nerds. A minority apart from the majority. To this day most of the software making the online world work is created for the love of it. Likewise all the text making the Internet data fuelling the AI revolution is written for the love of it, not money. Posts like this one. :-) The web, Wikipedia, Reddit, blogs - all content created by online geeks without anyone asking for it or paying for it. Completely voluntary. This is something your political opponents have not cottoned on. Balmer of "Linux is communism" fame knew more of the virtual world political economy than all french IYI-s put together. Even the most ideological ones seem wholly ignorant of the ideology that's in the Free and Open Software, FSF, GNU, Stalman ideas etc. And the role thos played in the PC revolution first, and then in Internet revolution. You are lucky they are so stupid. 😆
11:28 PM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good observation there. NB normies would never have built the Internet. The online world was built by altruistic slightly autistic nerds. A minority apart from the majority. To this day most of the software making the online world work is created for the love of it. Likewise all the text making the Internet data fuelling the AI revolution is written for the love of it, not money. Posts like this one. :-) The web, Wikipedia, Reddit, blogs - all content created by online geeks without anyone asking for it or paying for it. Completely voluntary. This is something your political opponents have not cottoned on. Balmer of "Linux is communism" fame knew more of the virtual world political economy than all french IYI-s put together. Even the most ideological ones seem wholly ignorant of the ideology that's in the Free and Open Software, FSF, GNU, Stalman ideas etc. And the role thos played in the PC revolution first, and then in Internet revolution. You are lucky they are so stupid. 😆
11:28 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940534647886434594
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When it comes to ideology, political economy etc - he's just the bog standard autie-techbro noob. Defo not a genius.
11:14 PM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When it comes to ideology, political economy etc - he's just the bog standard autie-techbro noob. Defo not a genius.
11:14 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940531855809564700
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy oh boy, was ever there a more useless bunch than yourselves? As to have to be told what your job is. You are there where you are, representing constituents in Parliament, TO WRITE LAWS, laws of the land. Writing letters is for pen friends, in year 6 or about of school.
11:03 PM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy oh boy, was ever there a more useless bunch than yourselves? As to have to be told what your job is. You are there where you are, representing constituents in Parliament, TO WRITE LAWS, laws of the land. Writing letters is for pen friends, in year 6 or about of school.
11:03 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940501541200503090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
an aunt of mine to me: "as you see this body aged outside, the soul aged inside all the same, but you can't see that"
9:03 PM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
an aunt of mine to me: "as you see this body aged outside, the soul aged inside all the same, but you can't see that"
9:03 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940499220047581448
Lubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
search-whaat? what's that? what on earth are you talking about
8:54 PM · Jul 2, 2025
Lubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
search-whaat? what's that? what on earth are you talking about
8:54 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940486465135182019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It frees so much time too - what a god-send. Previously - the stupid brain screams "no energy! no sugar! eat-eat-eat quick!" So one needs strong will to live life other than "eat". Once the will is overpowered (for no will is infinite), eating more takes more time. Then more food needs still more time to be processed, engaging more blood supply, for longer. Every little more-longer in that chain makes the rest of the body tad weaker. Finally - the misfiring PID controller, a clutch of cells buried somewhere in the brain - mis-directs(!?) this new sugar, into the fat cells!! Rather then the non-fat cells. Total disaster. For - not enough sugar makes it to the rest of the body, and then - a fresh vicious cycle starts! The body signalling screaming "sugar! food!" etc. (it's possible that not unlike cancer, fat cells are tad too selfish too eager to survive; and signal too much then hoard forever claiming to need it)
8:03 PM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It frees so much time too - what a god-send. Previously - the stupid brain screams "no energy! no sugar! eat-eat-eat quick!" So one needs strong will to live life other than "eat". Once the will is overpowered (for no will is infinite), eating more takes more time. Then more food needs still more time to be processed, engaging more blood supply, for longer. Every little more-longer in that chain makes the rest of the body tad weaker. Finally - the misfiring PID controller, a clutch of cells buried somewhere in the brain - mis-directs(!?) this new sugar, into the fat cells!! Rather then the non-fat cells. Total disaster. For - not enough sugar makes it to the rest of the body, and then - a fresh vicious cycle starts! The body signalling screaming "sugar! food!" etc. (it's possible that not unlike cancer, fat cells are tad too selfish too eager to survive; and signal too much then hoard forever claiming to need it)
8:03 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940456936106770632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if they had any brains, they'd be using all manner of llm tools to help them avoid mistakes like that; and keep with the demand to fill Xyz white pages with black letters, etc; instead of trying burry the llm-s they see as competition (rather than helper) by being on perma-anti-tech now latest anti-ai crusade; but then - if they had the brains for that, they'd won't be in terminal decline
6:06 PM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if they had any brains, they'd be using all manner of llm tools to help them avoid mistakes like that; and keep with the demand to fill Xyz white pages with black letters, etc; instead of trying burry the llm-s they see as competition (rather than helper) by being on perma-anti-tech now latest anti-ai crusade; but then - if they had the brains for that, they'd won't be in terminal decline
6:06 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940445820303655287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good. We humans can use our limited brains, attention, time, those 30W of sugar based energy, for better things. Than answering brain-dead research questions etc. Hope MIT researchers do the same, and train their microscopes to more productive endeavours. Understand you need to tend to the doomer (dumber?) sections of your audience. So banging on this ad-infinitum is fine. Keep going as long as it brings the ad$ and earns you your daily bread. Easy(er) $$$ is fine. Plus notice you built yourself some distance from this useless study towards the end.
Have you seen this? Maybe there's an episode there on what's it about??
https://youtube.com/watch?v=hhKoXlyUhaA
A quantum ignoramus here, so not suggesting if this is nonsense, or makes sense. IDK. Relying on you to make sense of it for us. (as per usual.)
5:21 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Software engineering with LLMs in 2025: reality check
The Pragmatic Engineer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EO3_qN_Ynsk
interesting talk about the current state of code writing by tools, lots of examples both on the +ve and -ve side
https://x.com/everton_dev/status/1940376120953860564
...and the direction of travel, 12m ago - crap does not work ever as auto-complete, 6m ago - ok saves some searching some api docs, now - seems internally people find uses tools are built dog fooding is happening
Wed 2 Jul 2025 17:53:23 BST
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good. We humans can use our limited brains, attention, time, those 30W of sugar based energy, for better things. Than answering brain-dead research questions etc. Hope MIT researchers do the same, and train their microscopes to more productive endeavours. Understand you need to tend to the doomer (dumber?) sections of your audience. So banging on this ad-infinitum is fine. Keep going as long as it brings the ad$ and earns you your daily bread. Easy(er) $$$ is fine. Plus notice you built yourself some distance from this useless study towards the end.
Have you seen this? Maybe there's an episode there on what's it about??
https://youtube.com/watch?v=hhKoXlyUhaA
A quantum ignoramus here, so not suggesting if this is nonsense, or makes sense. IDK. Relying on you to make sense of it for us. (as per usual.)
5:21 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940434300622557657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are onto something there, and hope I think so not only b/c I already agree with plenty of what you say. (thanks for all the YT podcasts)
Have you seen the book "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by M. Meyers? May be of interest to you—given the "serendipity". (yet to finish "Greatness..." sorry TLDR still; but already agreeing with much there hard to not get bored.)
You've got three examples used daily now, in favour of your thesis. Where were we to just plump for "always the best", we'd be stuck in some local minima. That results in cr*p performance so no one does that.
1. Autoregressive LLM's we use daily - the Temperature parameter. We don't simply sample the most probable token—that results in robot output. With some probability, we sample lower probability tokens at the end of the forward pass.
2. SGD training. Despite decades of warnings to "local minima"—no one cares, works fine. Maybe because the stochastic random mini-batch imperfect steps prevent being stuck. (the trillion-dimensional space may help too)
3. Diffusion models. When sampling, we follow the log conditional probability gradient, but we add noise to it too. Otherwise - the restored images are no good.
4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
Comparing -
1) Dom Substack article readout on Substack (top right corner has Play button for me) as read by human, or curated maybe (IDK how Substack does their audio); and
2) The same Dom article page, Selecta All, right click, Send to Speech, have the text read (this on Chrome, on Mac)
Both are speech technically, but the level of comprehension one gets from #1 >> #2
Yeah it feels like it should be possible, but maybe it's the case of "the last 2% or 5%" that make a difference between useful and mass used tech, v.s. tech that is nearly there but ultimately "not good enough".
Wed 2 Jul 2025 17:53:23 BST
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are onto something there, and hope I think so not only b/c I already agree with plenty of what you say. (thanks for all the YT podcasts)
Have you seen the book "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by M. Meyers? May be of interest to you—given the "serendipity". (yet to finish "Greatness..." sorry TLDR still; but already agreeing with much there hard to not get bored.)
You've got three examples used daily now, in favour of your thesis. Where were we to just plump for "always the best", we'd be stuck in some local minima. That results in cr*p performance so no one does that.
1. Autoregressive LLM's we use daily - the Temperature parameter. We don't simply sample the most probable token—that results in robot output. With some probability, we sample lower probability tokens at the end of the forward pass.
2. SGD training. Despite decades of warnings to "local minima"—no one cares, works fine. Maybe because the stochastic random mini-batch imperfect steps prevent being stuck. (the trillion-dimensional space may help too)
3. Diffusion models. When sampling, we follow the log conditional probability gradient, but we add noise to it too. Otherwise - the restored images are no good.
4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940317339989189114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is our idea of "explainability" ill thought maybe? What does it even mean - "explainable"? In the extreme - it's an impossible ask? The process of tracking my workings, modifies my workings, for the tracking is done by the brain itself. I only have one brain, one instrument. Using it to "explain" a running process, is going to change the running itself.
8:51 AM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is our idea of "explainability" ill thought maybe? What does it even mean - "explainable"? In the extreme - it's an impossible ask? The process of tracking my workings, modifies my workings, for the tracking is done by the brain itself. I only have one brain, one instrument. Using it to "explain" a running process, is going to change the running itself.
8:51 AM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940291227829629151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that what happened already to some extent? DeepSeek - even if maybe not HFT but more StatArb, IDK exactly what trading they did - doing the "quant to machine learning"? And ex-colleagues that own and run a quant HF in London - I got the impression they are non-trivial GPU-cluster users.
But yeah looking at DeepSeek, wish some of that "create greatness more, count pennies less" was felt by the owners of few London quant hedge funds that are more than rich enough to take a bet DeepSeek style. Tad more ambition towards a Californian "we will change the world". The poor @demishassabis has been left doing everything on his own!
7:07 AM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that what happened already to some extent? DeepSeek - even if maybe not HFT but more StatArb, IDK exactly what trading they did - doing the "quant to machine learning"? And ex-colleagues that own and run a quant HF in London - I got the impression they are non-trivial GPU-cluster users.
But yeah looking at DeepSeek, wish some of that "create greatness more, count pennies less" was felt by the owners of few London quant hedge funds that are more than rich enough to take a bet DeepSeek style. Tad more ambition towards a Californian "we will change the world". The poor @demishassabis has been left doing everything on his own!
7:07 AM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940287155911229470
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - many such cases of "Greatness Can't be Planned". Every parent in the 80s to their kids (us): "Don't sit on that computer playing games. Takes a book and study." Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting at *that* computer, and playing *those* games, was the most impactful thing the whole generation did. I got a vocation, a profession and livelihood out of "messing with that computer." Games playing financed what became the GPU industry - the Nvidia-s and the AMD-s. Then those GPU-s brought us AI one can talk converse with like a human, more knowledgeable than any one human probably, near-Babelfish translation, AlphaFold solving an impossible problem, etc. May yet help us cure cancers, make progress on miracles of "cure all diseases, ever" bona-fide miracles. The curiosity that were BBS connecting MNP5 2400bps dial-up modems, morphed into modern telepresence, where 24/7 for near-$0 one can audio-video from any point to any other point on Earth.
6:51 AM · Jul 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - many such cases of "Greatness Can't be Planned". Every parent in the 80s to their kids (us): "Don't sit on that computer playing games. Takes a book and study." Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting at *that* computer, and playing *those* games, was the most impactful thing the whole generation did. I got a vocation, a profession and livelihood out of "messing with that computer." Games playing financed what became the GPU industry - the Nvidia-s and the AMD-s. Then those GPU-s brought us AI one can talk converse with like a human, more knowledgeable than any one human probably, near-Babelfish translation, AlphaFold solving an impossible problem, etc. May yet help us cure cancers, make progress on miracles of "cure all diseases, ever" bona-fide miracles. The curiosity that were BBS connecting MNP5 2400bps dial-up modems, morphed into modern telepresence, where 24/7 for near-$0 one can audio-video from any point to any other point on Earth.
6:51 AM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940283871972786276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh :-) - not to quibble too much, but ofc looking back there is a pipe, for it's single line, a path starting from now (the end), and going back in time to the start. From the end, to the start, looking back, there is only ever one path. Looking forward though...
lifepaths-past-now-future.jpg
6:38 AM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
There is a good characterisation in the Glassman Unherd interview. (the dispatch from the Trump inauguration). The Bannon, Vance etc block is - "Capitalism in one country". Whereas the Musk & TechBros camp is "International capitalism".
Oh yes :-) - in analogy to Stalin v.s. Trotsky. The whole interview was a gem, as if "a Lord explorer was dispatched from London to far away lands" , 😂 (of which we know little,) and now he's relying back information to us, what he saw in that exotic land.
He sketched the two groupings within the MAGA coalition. On the left side the nativists (Bannon, Cass, Miller), on the right side TBPR (=Tech Bro Progressive Right; Musk, Sacks), and Trump a Caesar figure on an elevated throne half-height above both sides. Adjudicating any disputes within the coalition, his decision accepted as final by all.
https://youtu.be/TDnevmmpVhk
...looked like the only LAB person invited. Personally by JDVance, and shown around by Bannon. There was also interesting observation referencing the "lanyard class", and "a genuine sense of liberation from HR"
Tue 1 Jul 2025 19:36:30 BST
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh :-) - not to quibble too much, but ofc looking back there is a pipe, for it's single line, a path starting from now (the end), and going back in time to the start. From the end, to the start, looking back, there is only ever one path. Looking forward though...
lifepaths-past-now-future.jpg
6:38 AM · Jul 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940068522295431401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
words are cheap, taps and clicks even cheaper
4:22 PM · Jul 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
words are cheap, taps and clicks even cheaper
4:22 PM · Jul 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940068166618566836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Those guys have spent lifetimes sounding off. What can they possibly have left to say, that they haven't already said, like 19 times over? Nothing. Nah - pass. Silence sounds better, even if less monetisable. That's fine, if one's short of time not money. Priorities et al.
4:21 PM · Jul 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Those guys have spent lifetimes sounding off. What can they possibly have left to say, that they haven't already said, like 19 times over? Nothing. Nah - pass. Silence sounds better, even if less monetisable. That's fine, if one's short of time not money. Priorities et al.
4:21 PM · Jul 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1940045077881008581
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes - I agree, please do tell more. I get it and expect big variation within a large country like Germany. I am aware at the very least of the "east of Elbe" and "west of Elbe" split after reading "The Shortest History of Germany." (that I liked - recommended to noobs like myself) And I'm aware of south (Munich - catholic maybe?) v.s north (Hamburg - protestant maybe?). But other than that - I'm ignorant about Germany. Please tell more if you possibly can - thanks. 🙏
2:49 PM · Jul 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes - I agree, please do tell more. I get it and expect big variation within a large country like Germany. I am aware at the very least of the "east of Elbe" and "west of Elbe" split after reading "The Shortest History of Germany." (that I liked - recommended to noobs like myself) And I'm aware of south (Munich - catholic maybe?) v.s north (Hamburg - protestant maybe?). But other than that - I'm ignorant about Germany. Please tell more if you possibly can - thanks. 🙏
2:49 PM · Jul 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939955048252887308
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So that you beg the right people to raise it. So that you beg them, and not the other way around. (or even - no monkebrain business at all, no one begs anyone) How have you not figured this out yet.
8:51 AM · Jul 1, 2025
https://x.com/messages/1777733480048464098
LJ @ London e/acc
It strikes me as a different setup.
Monarchy - there are smaller groups, not that many in number, usually it's an empire too. As a monarch acquires lands, people living there keep their group identity. They only have to give taxes and army to the monarch. Or more likely - to the local feudal lord, who in turn hands it over to the monarch he recognises. So the groups of people retain their group identity. (in additional to personal ids)
Nation state - there is only one group, the nation, and all members have only their personal identities. Their language, religion, etc - everything about them is unified, only personal differences remain. Anything that would be group identity, is uniform, so to create a single group.
The last European monarchies collapsed in WW1 (Austria-Hungary, Russian, Ottoman) so I think it's not a coincidence that all 3 went. All my 4 grandparents were born in the Ottoman Empire (1 in the 19-th century even!). Looks to me these empires missed, or didn't quite get entirely, or didn't manage to get to doing at all - The Industrial Revolution. And the liberal revolutions that went with it. That was the big change they failed to (sufficiently) adapt to. Stuff that now we take to mean "civilisation" (clean water, sanitation, even personal security) was e.e. missing from the lands of the Ottoman Empire. (only in the big cities)
Others like UK - didn't miss it, managed to adapt, even with multiple nations in the same state. V.hard to generalise much tbh. France again different - single nation state for a long time. (and yes - as you say, by suppressing and extinguishing all manner of regional identities, languages etc) Germany again different - late to unify a a state, so only partly unified as a nation too. (even if unified via language for a long time) Any pattern we try identify - there will be diffs too.
This interest me, from time to time try read sth on it. Fukuyama "The Origins of Political Order" last tried, but ultimately TLDR. No time, plus nowadays between authors communicating their ideas in podcasts articles etc, and LLMs summarising - one gets the gist. Then the rest the detail is both boring and rarely worth the effort for a civilian, non-expert in the field.
Tue 1 Jul 2025 08:05:27 BST
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So that you beg the right people to raise it. So that you beg them, and not the other way around. (or even - no monkebrain business at all, no one begs anyone) How have you not figured this out yet.
8:51 AM · Jul 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939728264248836253
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not stylish. But deeper cause—taste has left AAPL? Gone now? If they had taste, they'd have found a way to provide the functionality, (breadcrumbs **are needed**) but without the Win98 uglyfication. IDK how. I've got no taste myself. But can recognise it in others when I see it.
5:50 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not stylish. But deeper cause—taste has left AAPL? Gone now? If they had taste, they'd have found a way to provide the functionality, (breadcrumbs **are needed**) but without the Win98 uglyfication. IDK how. I've got no taste myself. But can recognise it in others when I see it.
5:50 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939725031371608238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Strong words, eh? That will show them!! They must be shaking in their boots now. Or even their sandals. If they continue as they do now - well then, everyone should be shocked, shocked I tell you, that such things are happening in the fine proper establishment that is England.
5:37 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Strong words, eh? That will show them!! They must be shaking in their boots now. Or even their sandals. If they continue as they do now - well then, everyone should be shocked, shocked I tell you, that such things are happening in the fine proper establishment that is England.
5:37 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939724309095702846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - falling in love, being happy, plus few other, are things us humans can't do it on our own volition, by personal decision. It happens to us, but we can't unilaterally decide just on our own. And that'a a good thing—for that way we can't fake it to ourselves either.
5:34 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - falling in love, being happy, plus few other, are things us humans can't do it on our own volition, by personal decision. It happens to us, but we can't unilaterally decide just on our own. And that'a a good thing—for that way we can't fake it to ourselves either.
5:34 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939714161174331763
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
amazing! - isn't OPEN is a marvel? open source, open weights, open AGI, ... ASI ftw
4:54 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
amazing! - isn't OPEN is a marvel? open source, open weights, open AGI, ... ASI ftw
4:54 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939710203798122660
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europe is even more diverse than US imo. Euros talking of "the US" make an error. But americans talking of "Europe" make even greater error. You look at Germany, and you conclude "Europe". Yeah Germans they are a bit loopy true that (e.g. first give the world Gauss, Bach etc, then decide to destroy own civilisation not once, but twice?? country of no-illiterate people holocausts its best, etc; genius and crazy - sometimes a thin line separating them), but most of Europe I visit is AirCon-ed. My mum lives by the AC Jun-Sep. Med holidays - all AC-ed wherever I've been in the past 15 yrs. Ofc it is, as not liveable otherwise. Germany may get a heat wave to endure for 1 week, so sado-masos they are, performatively self-congratulate on their suffering. But it's not 15 weeks. No one tolerates 15 weeks. No matter what they say.
4:38 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europe is even more diverse than US imo. Euros talking of "the US" make an error. But americans talking of "Europe" make even greater error. You look at Germany, and you conclude "Europe". Yeah Germans they are a bit loopy true that (e.g. first give the world Gauss, Bach etc, then decide to destroy own civilisation not once, but twice?? country of no-illiterate people holocausts its best, etc; genius and crazy - sometimes a thin line separating them), but most of Europe I visit is AirCon-ed. My mum lives by the AC Jun-Sep. Med holidays - all AC-ed wherever I've been in the past 15 yrs. Ofc it is, as not liveable otherwise. Germany may get a heat wave to endure for 1 week, so sado-masos they are, performatively self-congratulate on their suffering. But it's not 15 weeks. No one tolerates 15 weeks. No matter what they say.
4:38 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939692230794469723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AGI is looking more and more like it will be done. Current DNNs pattern matching Type 1 + reasoning Type 2 + RL reinforcement learning training + agents using the compute tools I use daily + LoRA-s for adaptation at inference time. Maybe even diffusion models coming online, giving ~5x extra speed budget to spare, at disposal for use for AGI.
ASI - will need more research not just development? I imagine we'd need not just one ASI, but an ecosystem of above AGI-s, to achieve ASI. Differing AGI species so to say, cooperating-competing, existing in a virtual eco-system, mimicking evolution. I'd look at "open endedness", "interestingness"—that sort of research for progress there.
3:27 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AGI is looking more and more like it will be done. Current DNNs pattern matching Type 1 + reasoning Type 2 + RL reinforcement learning training + agents using the compute tools I use daily + LoRA-s for adaptation at inference time. Maybe even diffusion models coming online, giving ~5x extra speed budget to spare, at disposal for use for AGI.
ASI - will need more research not just development? I imagine we'd need not just one ASI, but an ecosystem of above AGI-s, to achieve ASI. Differing AGI species so to say, cooperating-competing, existing in a virtual eco-system, mimicking evolution. I'd look at "open endedness", "interestingness"—that sort of research for progress there.
3:27 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939680757317779471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But for a lawyer - talking is doing, right? A lawyer argues the case, and that's job done. SirK is doing what he's always done—talking about something, and that's his job done.
2:41 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But for a lawyer - talking is doing, right? A lawyer argues the case, and that's job done. SirK is doing what he's always done—talking about something, and that's his job done.
2:41 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939670622423929119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MacOS - right-click on that image in the browser, Save-Image-As dialog appears. It's not possible to move that Save-Image-As window. One is to take a good look at the image, decide on the name first, and only then click Save-Image-As. If one would like to move the large dialog box, as to see some part of the image that is to be saved, when deciding on the name. Being a recent MacOS user thought "it's me, I'm missing something". Nah - apparently it's been like that for long time.
2:01 PM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MacOS - right-click on that image in the browser, Save-Image-As dialog appears. It's not possible to move that Save-Image-As window. One is to take a good look at the image, decide on the name first, and only then click Save-Image-As. If one would like to move the large dialog box, as to see some part of the image that is to be saved, when deciding on the name. Being a recent MacOS user thought "it's me, I'm missing something". Nah - apparently it's been like that for long time.
2:01 PM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939636803167768780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that, awesome. Total gem of a tutorial! Explained to me how the diffusion machinery works in a non-hand-wawey way. Next videos - maybe you can plugin the prompt, the text the word tokens, into the (derivative of the) conditional distribution, show how that works? I found the 2nd lecture in this talk, explaining diffusion, instructive -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=klW65MWJ1PY
It's a single talk but really two distinctive lectures there by @KilianQW. The second one is about diffusion.
11:47 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that, awesome. Total gem of a tutorial! Explained to me how the diffusion machinery works in a non-hand-wawey way. Next videos - maybe you can plugin the prompt, the text the word tokens, into the (derivative of the) conditional distribution, show how that works? I found the 2nd lecture in this talk, explaining diffusion, instructive -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=klW65MWJ1PY
It's a single talk but really two distinctive lectures there by @KilianQW. The second one is about diffusion.
11:47 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939627148333273278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes 😆 Macbook ARM's battery performance, plus sleep management never going wrong and waking up to a drained battery, it's indeed magical 😁
11:08 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes 😆 Macbook ARM's battery performance, plus sleep management never going wrong and waking up to a drained battery, it's indeed magical 😁
11:08 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939593846750331078
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed the whole Wired-TED-UN was B/S. But dreaming is not the worst sin. Ok to scoff at the price paid, the mindless self/promotion of too many self-important people. But maybe it was influential, even if not in the way its creators imagined, and not entirely to their credit. Maybe without the "$99 laptop per child", the whole netbook segment would not have happened. When I started looking abt ~Oct-2007 for a light laptop to use to type on a train 30min commute ride, only available was some specialised tiny Sony laptop for 3K or sth. Then out of nowhere, the netbooks appeared! The very 1st one Asus Eeepc 701 with 7" screen could be had at 1/10-th of the Sony price. And it was running Linux no less. Magic :-)
8:56 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed the whole Wired-TED-UN was B/S. But dreaming is not the worst sin. Ok to scoff at the price paid, the mindless self/promotion of too many self-important people. But maybe it was influential, even if not in the way its creators imagined, and not entirely to their credit. Maybe without the "$99 laptop per child", the whole netbook segment would not have happened. When I started looking abt ~Oct-2007 for a light laptop to use to type on a train 30min commute ride, only available was some specialised tiny Sony laptop for 3K or sth. Then out of nowhere, the netbooks appeared! The very 1st one Asus Eeepc 701 with 7" screen could be had at 1/10-th of the Sony price. And it was running Linux no less. Magic :-)
8:56 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939592556091777426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it was influential, but not in the way its creators imagined. Maybe without the "$99 laptop per child", the whole netbook segment would not have happened. When I started looking at light laptop to use to type on a train 30min commute ride, only available was some tiny specialised Sony laptop for 3K or sth. Then out of nowhere, the netbooks appeared! The very 1st one Asus Eeepc 701 with 7" screen could be had at 1/10-th of the Sony price. And it was running Linux! magic :-)
8:51 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it was influential, but not in the way its creators imagined. Maybe without the "$99 laptop per child", the whole netbook segment would not have happened. When I started looking at light laptop to use to type on a train 30min commute ride, only available was some tiny specialised Sony laptop for 3K or sth. Then out of nowhere, the netbooks appeared! The very 1st one Asus Eeepc 701 with 7" screen could be had at 1/10-th of the Sony price. And it was running Linux! magic :-)
8:51 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939589608485834854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Google maps ne kazuva so pomarandzesto-crveno kade stojat kolite i kolku stojat? Na pr ovde-
https://google.co.uk/maps/dir/Star+Dojran,+North+Macedonia/Pefkohori,+Greece/@40.5837123,22.5079784,9z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m14!4m13!1m5!1m1!1s0x14a9e757cb547535:0x2a896b806e67862f!2m2!1d22.7226611!2d41.1810712!1m5!1m1!1s0x14a625d66b8edee3:0x621732ff66dd3229!2m2!1d23.6140148!2d39.9880319!3e0?entry=ttu&g_ep=EgoyMDI1MDYyNi4wIKXMDSoASAFQAw%3D%3D
...ako koli stojat na granica vo kolona, da pokaze crveno-pomarandzesto? Vo UK na avto/pat Gmaps dobro shpionira vo realno vreme, gleda kade i kolku ima kolona i sporo se vozi, i kazuva na drugite. Pa duri i ke ponudi alternativna ruta da se izbegne kolona ili zastoj.
google.co.uk
Star Dojran to Pefkochori
8:39 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Google maps ne kazuva so pomarandzesto-crveno kade stojat kolite i kolku stojat? Na pr ovde-
https://google.co.uk/maps/dir/Star+Dojran,+North+Macedonia/Pefkohori,+Greece/@40.5837123,22.5079784,9z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m14!4m13!1m5!1m1!1s0x14a9e757cb547535:0x2a896b806e67862f!2m2!1d22.7226611!2d41.1810712!1m5!1m1!1s0x14a625d66b8edee3:0x621732ff66dd3229!2m2!1d23.6140148!2d39.9880319!3e0?entry=ttu&g_ep=EgoyMDI1MDYyNi4wIKXMDSoASAFQAw%3D%3D
...ako koli stojat na granica vo kolona, da pokaze crveno-pomarandzesto? Vo UK na avto/pat Gmaps dobro shpionira vo realno vreme, gleda kade i kolku ima kolona i sporo se vozi, i kazuva na drugite. Pa duri i ke ponudi alternativna ruta da se izbegne kolona ili zastoj.
google.co.uk
Star Dojran to Pefkochori
8:39 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939586856548487294
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the grand-plan, the meta-plan: to keep planning, to keep talking, and to keep not actually really not doing anything. When not actually doing stuff, there are zero problems raised. Actions throw up all sorts of problems. With inaction - one can't go wrong. No projects are delayed. By talking all the time, one can be infinitely clever too. Plus - there is zero money spent talking not doing. I bet the Treasury just loves, loves these talking planners! SirK being a lawyer, for him talking actually equals (his) job done I imagine? Given so many lawyers command the heights of the UK politics and economy - I wonder if wordcels over-representation there is one factor contributing to the present stasis where nothing is ever done, nothing ever changes.
8:28 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the grand-plan, the meta-plan: to keep planning, to keep talking, and to keep not actually really not doing anything. When not actually doing stuff, there are zero problems raised. Actions throw up all sorts of problems. With inaction - one can't go wrong. No projects are delayed. By talking all the time, one can be infinitely clever too. Plus - there is zero money spent talking not doing. I bet the Treasury just loves, loves these talking planners! SirK being a lawyer, for him talking actually equals (his) job done I imagine? Given so many lawyers command the heights of the UK politics and economy - I wonder if wordcels over-representation there is one factor contributing to the present stasis where nothing is ever done, nothing ever changes.
8:28 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939584109723951273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Now you mention it, and while while watching learning how diffusion sampling works rn (from this excellent tutorial https://youtube.com/watch?v=Fk2I6pa6UeA), it occurs to me that the issue mentioned when coming up with the "right" new problems to learn to solve - can't be too easy, for then nothing new will be learned, can't be too hard, for then AI will fail to solve it, so learn nothing again - is reminiscent of the diffusion sampling, and the role the noise term plays. (and before sampling/use, during training the network to learn the derivative of the conditional log-prob of pictures given the words, and the noise level prob(pic|words,noise; in another vid). Reminiscent like this: if too little noise is used, then no progress happens, we don't move to a new state (of less noisy pic), we stay in the same state, (or too close to it, too small step) so that's no good. If too much noise is used, then we fail to find a good next attractor, a good next picture in the ginormous pictures space - so that's no good either. (and during training - the NN fails to learn the mapping noisy pic->clean pic) Turns out - a "goldilocks" conundrum, need to go not too small, not too big, but just right. One might even say - a matter of good taste! 😆
youtube.com
The Diffusion Model's Unsung Sidekick: A Science of Solving (Almost)...
This is my entry to #SoME4, 3Blue1Brown's Summer of Math Exposition Competition!Diffusion models are typically portrayed as models that learn to denoise a co...
8:17 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Now you mention it, and while while watching learning how diffusion sampling works rn (from this excellent tutorial https://youtube.com/watch?v=Fk2I6pa6UeA), it occurs to me that the issue mentioned when coming up with the "right" new problems to learn to solve - can't be too easy, for then nothing new will be learned, can't be too hard, for then AI will fail to solve it, so learn nothing again - is reminiscent of the diffusion sampling, and the role the noise term plays. (and before sampling/use, during training the network to learn the derivative of the conditional log-prob of pictures given the words, and the noise level prob(pic|words,noise; in another vid). Reminiscent like this: if too little noise is used, then no progress happens, we don't move to a new state (of less noisy pic), we stay in the same state, (or too close to it, too small step) so that's no good. If too much noise is used, then we fail to find a good next attractor, a good next picture in the ginormous pictures space - so that's no good either. (and during training - the NN fails to learn the mapping noisy pic->clean pic) Turns out - a "goldilocks" conundrum, need to go not too small, not too big, but just right. One might even say - a matter of good taste! 😆
youtube.com
The Diffusion Model's Unsung Sidekick: A Science of Solving (Almost)...
This is my entry to #SoME4, 3Blue1Brown's Summer of Math Exposition Competition!Diffusion models are typically portrayed as models that learn to denoise a co...
8:17 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939573938960449731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Haha - did you ever live in real existing socialism? Or were you too young for that?
Imo a bit of practice puts lots of light on lots of theory... It goes a very long way. 😂 With that practical experience my formative years, I can pick a bone with almost every word above, hahah. 😁 Sorry about that, couldn't resist.
Like - that "little" in "little work" does lots of work there. I mean, imagine, we have the whole economy, the distributed price signals etc to signal what's too little, what's too much. Just gathering them, and keeping people to not lie about them, is a huge thing. And then even the harder part - to actually make people, force them ultimately, to do something about that. To address shortage and surplus, adjust their behaviours. And not just something, but the right thing. E.g. if something is lacking - to make more of it. And so on.
Imagine at election time, people crying for this-or-that, unfathomably large wants, and the party leaders show them a small picture of the Maslow pyramid. And teach them "stuff", professor style. Can you imagine how that will go? 😂
Then "working" people - all people need a house, not only the "working" ones. Non-working people I can think of are: children, and pensioners. I think we agree they need to live in a house too. 😇
7:37 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Haha - did you ever live in real existing socialism? Or were you too young for that?
Imo a bit of practice puts lots of light on lots of theory... It goes a very long way. 😂 With that practical experience my formative years, I can pick a bone with almost every word above, hahah. 😁 Sorry about that, couldn't resist.
Like - that "little" in "little work" does lots of work there. I mean, imagine, we have the whole economy, the distributed price signals etc to signal what's too little, what's too much. Just gathering them, and keeping people to not lie about them, is a huge thing. And then even the harder part - to actually make people, force them ultimately, to do something about that. To address shortage and surplus, adjust their behaviours. And not just something, but the right thing. E.g. if something is lacking - to make more of it. And so on.
Imagine at election time, people crying for this-or-that, unfathomably large wants, and the party leaders show them a small picture of the Maslow pyramid. And teach them "stuff", professor style. Can you imagine how that will go? 😂
Then "working" people - all people need a house, not only the "working" ones. Non-working people I can think of are: children, and pensioners. I think we agree they need to live in a house too. 😇
7:37 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939544900262883529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
when forecasting the future - no one know sh*t
5:41 AM · Jun 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
when forecasting the future - no one know sh*t
5:41 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939537306181869866
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, 😊 I keep reminding current parents at every opportunity.
Every parent in the 80s: "Don't sit on the computer just playing games. Takes a book and study." Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting at the computer and playing those games was the most impactful thing the whole generation did. Games playing financed the GPU industry - the Nvidia and AMD -s. Thank you parents for footing the bill for R&D in GPUs!—forever grateful 🙏 For now descendents of those GPUs are bringing us AI, Babelfish, AlphaFold, etc. And we are hoping they help us cure cancer and achieve other miracles.
Also love the symbolics of it. While growing up, every human child loves nothing more than playing games! My kids would play for hours engrossed in their imaginary worlds, conconcted ad-hoc daily with their story telling, enacted with revolving sets of characters including Lego figurines, Bionicles etc.
And triply symbolic if one recals the words of Moravec about AI-s "...our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." humanity is building. A noble quest driven by child-like curiosity at its core.
5:11 AM · Jun 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939392742389330018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - the future is not distributed evenly. Lots of places in the world have this or that technology, lots don't. It's impossible for anything in the real world to be exactly the same, everywhere, at the same time.
I'm not saying humanity has enough, I'm not saying it has not got enough. No 1 person decides that "we" have "enough", and to "thrive". These are impossible judgements. "We" can only be all 8B people. So every one of those 8B, decides for themselves - wha't "enough", and what's "thrive".
Better use our energies to create more imo. Improve on whatever people currently have. Add to that, regardless of the current level. More is better. Quantity is it's own quality. Re-growth FTW.
7:37 PM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - the future is not distributed evenly. Lots of places in the world have this or that technology, lots don't. It's impossible for anything in the real world to be exactly the same, everywhere, at the same time.
I'm not saying humanity has enough, I'm not saying it has not got enough. No 1 person decides that "we" have "enough", and to "thrive". These are impossible judgements. "We" can only be all 8B people. So every one of those 8B, decides for themselves - wha't "enough", and what's "thrive".
Better use our energies to create more imo. Improve on whatever people currently have. Add to that, regardless of the current level. More is better. Quantity is it's own quality. Re-growth FTW.
7:37 PM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939334876383048166
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is just stunningly ignorant take. Wouldn't mind it and would just ignore it, if it were not so widespread.
Abject poverty, despair and want is the original state of us humans. Yes our planet provides plenty good stuff, but also inflicts plenty of bad things on us humans too. Think - half of our children dying before reaching adulthood. The idea that if we just sat on our hands, sang songs around a fire, and all will be great in harmony with nature, is dangerous. Every progress every improvement requires work, ingenuity, lots of sweat, and yes luck and tears too.
The Cromagnons and Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we have now. They didn't do anything with it, b/c they had no use of it. They lacked the knowledge we have now, to do with that nature something useful to them. Nature becomes "natural resource" only once we humans can make use of it. That J-J Rousseau idea, that we can live nobly like savages, giving rise to a sprout of naturalist fallacies proliferating in our times, needs to be put to rest.
The natural state of the universe is - a very very cold place, pitch black, with unfathomably vast distances of almost pure nothingness. The view below is one of a privileged human, who should know better. For with silliness like the one on display, we risk returning to the dark places humanity escaped from with its combined efforts in the past 100K years.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939334876383048166
Marina Purkiss @MarinaPurkiss · Jun 27
We were born on a planet abundant enough for everyone to thrive…
But the rich and powerful carved it up, waged war on what they couldn’t own, called it scarcity
…and sold us the illusion that we must compete for crumbs.
3:47 PM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is just stunningly ignorant take. Wouldn't mind it and would just ignore it, if it were not so widespread.
Abject poverty, despair and want is the original state of us humans. Yes our planet provides plenty good stuff, but also inflicts plenty of bad things on us humans too. Think - half of our children dying before reaching adulthood. The idea that if we just sat on our hands, sang songs around a fire, and all will be great in harmony with nature, is dangerous. Every progress every improvement requires work, ingenuity, lots of sweat, and yes luck and tears too.
The Cromagnons and Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we have now. They didn't do anything with it, b/c they had no use of it. They lacked the knowledge we have now, to do with that nature something useful to them. Nature becomes "natural resource" only once we humans can make use of it. That J-J Rousseau idea, that we can live nobly like savages, giving rise to a sprout of naturalist fallacies proliferating in our times, needs to be put to rest.
The natural state of the universe is - a very very cold place, pitch black, with unfathomably vast distances of almost pure nothingness. The view below is one of a privileged human, who should know better. For with silliness like the one on display, we risk returning to the dark places humanity escaped from with its combined efforts in the past 100K years.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939334876383048166
Marina Purkiss @MarinaPurkiss · Jun 27
We were born on a planet abundant enough for everyone to thrive…
But the rich and powerful carved it up, waged war on what they couldn’t own, called it scarcity
…and sold us the illusion that we must compete for crumbs.
3:47 PM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939325008372711739
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh. Don't know of/the guy, and follow little of his output, having added him to a sh*t list ages ago. Still sad to see a human, any human, and not a total noob plus at least a midwit, self-destruct this way. Like intellectual seppuku in full public view. Not something anyone wants to witness. Maybe he gets some help, somehow?
Like celebrities that go to an expensive clinic, to calm down, and have their substances/addictions checked. (at least for a time) If he is in California - and apologies to any Californian reading this in advance, being far away removed from anything CA, in my mind CA is the centre of crazy in all possible ways, ideas mostly good and great but sometimes less so too - maybe that falls under the duties of his University employer?? Some "duty of care" for the "intellectually fallen" on hard times staff? Sth like that?
IDK. Speculating idly here, beer in hand in a garden office, on a lazy summer afternoon, sun shinning nice over the green and pleasant land that is England.
3:08 PM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh. Don't know of/the guy, and follow little of his output, having added him to a sh*t list ages ago. Still sad to see a human, any human, and not a total noob plus at least a midwit, self-destruct this way. Like intellectual seppuku in full public view. Not something anyone wants to witness. Maybe he gets some help, somehow?
Like celebrities that go to an expensive clinic, to calm down, and have their substances/addictions checked. (at least for a time) If he is in California - and apologies to any Californian reading this in advance, being far away removed from anything CA, in my mind CA is the centre of crazy in all possible ways, ideas mostly good and great but sometimes less so too - maybe that falls under the duties of his University employer?? Some "duty of care" for the "intellectually fallen" on hard times staff? Sth like that?
IDK. Speculating idly here, beer in hand in a garden office, on a lazy summer afternoon, sun shinning nice over the green and pleasant land that is England.
3:08 PM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939273097837744588
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
learned a new word once "tubofors" 😆 == 2x4s that turned out to be
11:41 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
learned a new word once "tubofors" 😆 == 2x4s that turned out to be
11:41 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939267608106184984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course. As written—I'm not spending my attention on doomslop. Likewise, I don't scroll through Alex Jones brainrot and try find errors. Establishing how probable it is if something is true or false, is million times harder and time consuming, than churning mindless content in industrial quantities, with little regards to the truths or falsehoods. This assuming it a social sciences study—expect it to be 1/4 alexjones (AJ), raising that to 1/2 AJ for being talked in WSJ.
Saw it mentioned here -
https://x.com/Mollehilll/status/1939213125422576093
And before that, I read of another manipulation of us gullible public here -
https://x.com/clinjar/status/1938949265893827066
...by people that are paid to know better, to do better, to be better.
These "studies" use the mantle of science, and thus devalue the scientific method. What they trade in is "scientism": taking the form, but not the function, of the scientific method. So yes, I despise them more than I do one Alex Jones. For he is unlikely to be confused by too many that he trades in truths. Whereas these guys maybe. So while their short term immediate damage maybe only 1/2 AJ, the longed term damage they cause in eroding the trust of the public in the scientific method, is maybe a Million AJs! (alexjones = 1 unit of brainrot)
11:20 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course. As written—I'm not spending my attention on doomslop. Likewise, I don't scroll through Alex Jones brainrot and try find errors. Establishing how probable it is if something is true or false, is million times harder and time consuming, than churning mindless content in industrial quantities, with little regards to the truths or falsehoods. This assuming it a social sciences study—expect it to be 1/4 alexjones (AJ), raising that to 1/2 AJ for being talked in WSJ.
Saw it mentioned here -
https://x.com/Mollehilll/status/1939213125422576093
And before that, I read of another manipulation of us gullible public here -
https://x.com/clinjar/status/1938949265893827066
...by people that are paid to know better, to do better, to be better.
These "studies" use the mantle of science, and thus devalue the scientific method. What they trade in is "scientism": taking the form, but not the function, of the scientific method. So yes, I despise them more than I do one Alex Jones. For he is unlikely to be confused by too many that he trades in truths. Whereas these guys maybe. So while their short term immediate damage maybe only 1/2 AJ, the longed term damage they cause in eroding the trust of the public in the scientific method, is maybe a Million AJs! (alexjones = 1 unit of brainrot)
11:20 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939239399075565915
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Likely it reflected back to you, that what you showed to it, as being yourself. Not motivated enough to wade through braindead doomslop this early, sorry. I forecast that you got back, what you put forth. Consider yourself lucky it's not yet Solaris at work, but mere ChatGPT.
9:27 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Likely it reflected back to you, that what you showed to it, as being yourself. Not motivated enough to wade through braindead doomslop this early, sorry. I forecast that you got back, what you put forth. Consider yourself lucky it's not yet Solaris at work, but mere ChatGPT.
9:27 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939232478310400455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only replying b/c you show self-awareness with "I'm a normie". Non-trivial chance these keystrokes do better than "margaritas ante porcos".
See you notice HOW he speaks. But don't notice WHAT he says. You get exercised by the form first and foremost. Only bothered by the substance latter.
This is the norm, you are in good company there, as 80% of us do the same. This is sometimes termed "Level 3" on the "Level of lucidity" scale. Pops up under different names, but all reference similar thing—this one: when deciding whether something is true or false, or good or bad, we defer the decision to the group we identify with. The mechanism to which we self-group is aesthetics, beauty. We look at the surface, and we decide: like, or dislike. That's why you look at the form, HOW he said it, and decide, "I dis/like it".
This socialised thinking, unbothered by "is it true or false", is a crutch, a shorthand, and we use it for good reasons. Usually, that group intelligence works better than my individual one. Thinking anew each and every case, from 1st principles myself, is a non-trivial skill that I don't possess. It's hard, takes time and energy too. And I will do worse than the groupthink most of the time—so why bother.
9:00 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only replying b/c you show self-awareness with "I'm a normie". Non-trivial chance these keystrokes do better than "margaritas ante porcos".
See you notice HOW he speaks. But don't notice WHAT he says. You get exercised by the form first and foremost. Only bothered by the substance latter.
This is the norm, you are in good company there, as 80% of us do the same. This is sometimes termed "Level 3" on the "Level of lucidity" scale. Pops up under different names, but all reference similar thing—this one: when deciding whether something is true or false, or good or bad, we defer the decision to the group we identify with. The mechanism to which we self-group is aesthetics, beauty. We look at the surface, and we decide: like, or dislike. That's why you look at the form, HOW he said it, and decide, "I dis/like it".
This socialised thinking, unbothered by "is it true or false", is a crutch, a shorthand, and we use it for good reasons. Usually, that group intelligence works better than my individual one. Thinking anew each and every case, from 1st principles myself, is a non-trivial skill that I don't possess. It's hard, takes time and energy too. And I will do worse than the groupthink most of the time—so why bother.
9:00 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939216185612214282
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Turboslop"!!! 👍👏😁
Ohman how right you are there! 😭 May I interest you in some "widest tastes lowest passions" here 😱
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtev73r-B8S3puAlkmLhYmryqFHIlDwD
RAMBO AMADEUS / O TUGO JESENJA 1988
7:55 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Turboslop"!!! 👍👏😁
Ohman how right you are there! 😭 May I interest you in some "widest tastes lowest passions" here 😱
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtev73r-B8S3puAlkmLhYmryqFHIlDwD
RAMBO AMADEUS / O TUGO JESENJA 1988
7:55 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939210780294910307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't be enthused to read or even skim through (N+1)-st paper finding great certainty in their effects sizes being as close to zero as to be indistinguishable from it for practical purposes. And reporting that certainty as "significant". Is that it?? Can't help myself sorry - curiousity killed the cat 😺 😁
7:34 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't be enthused to read or even skim through (N+1)-st paper finding great certainty in their effects sizes being as close to zero as to be indistinguishable from it for practical purposes. And reporting that certainty as "significant". Is that it?? Can't help myself sorry - curiousity killed the cat 😺 😁
7:34 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939192705684287847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ Over the years, I’ve grown used to it—but it used to puzzle me: how often people fail to signal back. Even close friends and family. I’d wonder, “Did you get my message? Read it? Does it make sense? What now?” Often… nothing. Like shining a light into a black hole—no echo, no glimmer, all swallowed beyond their information event horizon.
It reminds me of that joke about the village priest who, drunk, toppled into a ditch. The villagers shouted into the dark, “Give us your hand, Father!”—but got no reply. Then one tried, “Take our hand!” Instantly, a hand shot up from the dark.
Some it seems, won’t ever give—but they’ll sure take, if one phrases it right. 😆
6:22 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ Over the years, I’ve grown used to it—but it used to puzzle me: how often people fail to signal back. Even close friends and family. I’d wonder, “Did you get my message? Read it? Does it make sense? What now?” Often… nothing. Like shining a light into a black hole—no echo, no glimmer, all swallowed beyond their information event horizon.
It reminds me of that joke about the village priest who, drunk, toppled into a ditch. The villagers shouted into the dark, “Give us your hand, Father!”—but got no reply. Then one tried, “Take our hand!” Instantly, a hand shot up from the dark.
Some it seems, won’t ever give—but they’ll sure take, if one phrases it right. 😆
6:22 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939116275160228147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Translate post
Нах - ќе станеш дигитален по своја воља. И со тоа и бесмртен, пошто софтверот на дигитален компјутер се трансферира без проблем на нов хардвер, кога стариот хардвер ќе умре. И така ќе се мачиш бесконечно како најгрешен ѓавол! Бескрајно долго - без крај! Кој хорор, а? 😂
1:18 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Translate post
Нах - ќе станеш дигитален по своја воља. И со тоа и бесмртен, пошто софтверот на дигитален компјутер се трансферира без проблем на нов хардвер, кога стариот хардвер ќе умре. И така ќе се мачиш бесконечно како најгрешен ѓавол! Бескрајно долго - без крај! Кој хорор, а? 😂
1:18 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939112950007988334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - I am special, but so is every one of the other 8B humans alive atm too So was everyone that ever lived. So is every living creature too - every bird, every worm and cat and dog - all one and unique, all special. So yeah we are special - but that's not that special. 😆
1:05 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - I am special, but so is every one of the other 8B humans alive atm too So was everyone that ever lived. So is every living creature too - every bird, every worm and cat and dog - all one and unique, all special. So yeah we are special - but that's not that special. 😆
1:05 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939109427715449197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wouldn't go as far as their safety - I stop at my sanity tbh. But yeah one can say it, reason(s) for cutting off, e.g
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20blocked%20&src=typed_query&f=live
Although post the Muskarat change, the block is not as strict as before.
12:51 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wouldn't go as far as their safety - I stop at my sanity tbh. But yeah one can say it, reason(s) for cutting off, e.g
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20blocked%20&src=typed_query&f=live
Although post the Muskarat change, the block is not as strict as before.
12:51 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939106296323809294
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not amusing 😏 When batteries started appearing in scale, MSM could choose to use the right measure (energy MWh) or the wrong one (power MW). They of course plumped for the wrong one. 😆 In the early days noticed few times people correcting, protesting the use of power units when reporting on energy. Nowadays I just assume 4h or 6h, and multiply accordingly.
12:39 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not amusing 😏 When batteries started appearing in scale, MSM could choose to use the right measure (energy MWh) or the wrong one (power MW). They of course plumped for the wrong one. 😆 In the early days noticed few times people correcting, protesting the use of power units when reporting on energy. Nowadays I just assume 4h or 6h, and multiply accordingly.
12:39 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939099162546495599
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, it's a conundrum, not an easy one. Calling it a "forecast" is not a panacea for sure - e.g. disasters like these come to mind... 😆
forecast-10yr-yield.jpeg
12:10 AM · Jun 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, it's a conundrum, not an easy one. Calling it a "forecast" is not a panacea for sure - e.g. disasters like these come to mind... 😆
forecast-10yr-yield.jpeg
12:10 AM · Jun 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939077794811560310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I appreciate all SV-people 🙏 taking hits for humanity. If they do want this, that is. I hope they do like their lives, and alarm clocks included. I trust they self-select when moving to SV. For in the green and pleasant land that is England, ngl for "Slow Horses" upon reaching most excellent age of "no fucks given" that looks like so
IMG_20250628_162158.jpg
10:45 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I appreciate all SV-people 🙏 taking hits for humanity. If they do want this, that is. I hope they do like their lives, and alarm clocks included. I trust they self-select when moving to SV. For in the green and pleasant land that is England, ngl for "Slow Horses" upon reaching most excellent age of "no fucks given" that looks like so
IMG_20250628_162158.jpg
10:45 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939072263204053075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tufton teflon 😏 least we forget hahaha 😆
iea-lettuce-123.jpeg
10:23 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tufton teflon 😏 least we forget hahaha 😆
iea-lettuce-123.jpeg
10:23 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939066761220882497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Honestly - do you think those guys in 1934 were stupid? Do you think it didn't occur to them "muh free market muh let it rip"?? You can't be that stupid fr. I refuse to believe anyone with so much resource at their own disposal, own beck and call, can stay a cretin for long.
10:01 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Honestly - do you think those guys in 1934 were stupid? Do you think it didn't occur to them "muh free market muh let it rip"?? You can't be that stupid fr. I refuse to believe anyone with so much resource at their own disposal, own beck and call, can stay a cretin for long.
10:01 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939065539579535471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another closed model behind API - meh. No one cares about #3 even, and even less about #4. ASI that's open source, open weights, open thoughts, open ... 🤩 - now that'd be huuge. Too bad Muskarat is not up to that task. Despite him needling OpenAI. (and rightly so)
Will be left to the Chinese labs. Let's see if they are up to it. If they are, that may usher a Chinese century. Despite 100 other downsides that culture holds for the non-Chinese outsiders. (language, non-freedom) Americans are scaring themselves into irrelevance with the doomerism's nervous breakdowns. Wish they maned-up already ffs.
9:57 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another closed model behind API - meh. No one cares about #3 even, and even less about #4. ASI that's open source, open weights, open thoughts, open ... 🤩 - now that'd be huuge. Too bad Muskarat is not up to that task. Despite him needling OpenAI. (and rightly so)
Will be left to the Chinese labs. Let's see if they are up to it. If they are, that may usher a Chinese century. Despite 100 other downsides that culture holds for the non-Chinese outsiders. (language, non-freedom) Americans are scaring themselves into irrelevance with the doomerism's nervous breakdowns. Wish they maned-up already ffs.
9:57 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939063248801673351
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - so it's the connections. It always was. ;-) It's connections count. Connections grow at O(N^2)—convenient that. At least one connection==alive. Zero connections==dead.
9:47 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - so it's the connections. It always was. ;-) It's connections count. Connections grow at O(N^2)—convenient that. At least one connection==alive. Zero connections==dead.
9:47 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939057619576221820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends WHERE you are. US - yes. Europe - no. I do it that way.
9:25 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends WHERE you are. US - yes. Europe - no. I do it that way.
9:25 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939056885656682605
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh wow - love hearing that, and he is not alone dreaming hoping for that too
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939055867397017909
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @akazlev
"All you need is love" indeed. 🥰 I find it heartening that a few, starting from differing directions, converge to identical destination - LOVE.
Reminded of recent "Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer" link here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930592013692408229
Not unlike few
Show more
9:22 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh wow - love hearing that, and he is not alone dreaming hoping for that too
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939055867397017909
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @akazlev
"All you need is love" indeed. 🥰 I find it heartening that a few, starting from differing directions, converge to identical destination - LOVE.
Reminded of recent "Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer" link here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930592013692408229
Not unlike few
Show more
9:22 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939055867397017909
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"All you need is love" indeed. 🥰 I find it heartening that a few, starting from differing directions, converge to identical destination - LOVE.
Reminded of recent "Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer" link here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930592013692408229
Not unlike few religions before, mind you. 😇 And don't think it's a bad thing either.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 5
I always enjoy listening to Ray 😊—and I especially loved the message he ended this interview with: "Love is all you need."
"Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
I wish they had more time, and that the interviewer had been more
Show more
9:18 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"All you need is love" indeed. 🥰 I find it heartening that a few, starting from differing directions, converge to identical destination - LOVE.
Reminded of recent "Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer" link here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930592013692408229
Not unlike few religions before, mind you. 😇 And don't think it's a bad thing either.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 5
I always enjoy listening to Ray 😊—and I especially loved the message he ended this interview with: "Love is all you need."
"Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
I wish they had more time, and that the interviewer had been more
Show more
9:18 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939038723565322753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only public - private too. Half the time when talking to persons I've known for a very long time, I have to go "no, no, no - I'm not saying that; what I'm saying is this..."
Too many people can only hold 1 idea ever - call it "A" - in their head. So - it's only ever a question of A, or not-A. And that's it. The idea that there can be A,B,C,...,Z and then not-A can be one of the remaining 25 options B,C,...,Z comes at a great surprise to many. It confuses them somewhat. And confusion, slight lightheadedness, on the top of stupidity, sometimes turns to enmity, even aggression.
To top it off - some hold that same idea A all their lives. Esp e.g. communists - oft this is the 1st idea that made sense to them. They stumble on it, take it to heart - and stop there! Never to change for another idea. Arrested development.
Brain prostheses helping us to think better can't come soon enough.
8:10 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only public - private too. Half the time when talking to persons I've known for a very long time, I have to go "no, no, no - I'm not saying that; what I'm saying is this..."
Too many people can only hold 1 idea ever - call it "A" - in their head. So - it's only ever a question of A, or not-A. And that's it. The idea that there can be A,B,C,...,Z and then not-A can be one of the remaining 25 options B,C,...,Z comes at a great surprise to many. It confuses them somewhat. And confusion, slight lightheadedness, on the top of stupidity, sometimes turns to enmity, even aggression.
To top it off - some hold that same idea A all their lives. Esp e.g. communists - oft this is the 1st idea that made sense to them. They stumble on it, take it to heart - and stop there! Never to change for another idea. Arrested development.
Brain prostheses helping us to think better can't come soon enough.
8:10 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939034432901652857
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get into AM - Asset Management - pronto!
"The current ginormous PROFIT you attained with us is due to our incomparable genius, skill and cunning."
"The current unfortunate temporary risk taken - and stay patient with us oh-yey-wisest-most-gracious investor - is an unfortunate turn of events outside of ANYONE'S control, to be rectified and rewarded handsomely 10-fold shortly. And here is a freebie for you while you wait."
7:53 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get into AM - Asset Management - pronto!
"The current ginormous PROFIT you attained with us is due to our incomparable genius, skill and cunning."
"The current unfortunate temporary risk taken - and stay patient with us oh-yey-wisest-most-gracious investor - is an unfortunate turn of events outside of ANYONE'S control, to be rectified and rewarded handsomely 10-fold shortly. And here is a freebie for you while you wait."
7:53 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939032030643184127
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! Some quants appeared too here
https://huggingface.co/tencent/Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-GPTQ-Int4
So now keeping an eye on the progress of llama.cpp patch here
https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/pull/14425
Can't wait to try. :-)
Recently was pleasantly surprised by dots.llm1, this one
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF
Finally it works with LMStudio too with the latest release for Gemma. (it was in llama.cpp already.) For me, with Flash Attention ON, and both caches q8_0, it works taking in <75GB, yielding ~15 tps on and old M2. I give it $ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000. Only 32K context though.
Previously my default was
https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context
It's 30B-A3B with 128K context, but afaik doctored to engage 16 rather than the default 8 experts—hence active 6B params A6B rather than A3B. (llama.cpp also has a runtime param now for that afaik) With A6B I get ~20 tps and that's comforatble for me. With A3B baseline it's more like ~40 tps.
From huggingface.co
7:43 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! Some quants appeared too here
https://huggingface.co/tencent/Hunyuan-A13B-Instruct-GPTQ-Int4
So now keeping an eye on the progress of llama.cpp patch here
https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/pull/14425
Can't wait to try. :-)
Recently was pleasantly surprised by dots.llm1, this one
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF
Finally it works with LMStudio too with the latest release for Gemma. (it was in llama.cpp already.) For me, with Flash Attention ON, and both caches q8_0, it works taking in <75GB, yielding ~15 tps on and old M2. I give it $ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000. Only 32K context though.
Previously my default was
https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context
It's 30B-A3B with 128K context, but afaik doctored to engage 16 rather than the default 8 experts—hence active 6B params A6B rather than A3B. (llama.cpp also has a runtime param now for that afaik) With A6B I get ~20 tps and that's comforatble for me. With A3B baseline it's more like ~40 tps.
From huggingface.co
7:43 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939020894606647736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No mention of the cursed words "Neural Networks" explicitly anywhere?? 😆 I note "Hopfield Nets" comes closest, but then reduces the risk of summoning the Devil , 😈 by shortening to "Nets". And looking like "Neural" anything is absolutely verboten. Well played. 👏
(Boltzmann's were always machines - easy one that one 😁)
I learned in the 1990s from the "PDP Volumes" about NNs. Was left with the impression that "Parallel Distributed Processing" was the codeword. Either explicitly articulated by my lecturer, or I sussed it by osmosis. The term that shall never be mentioned. Also grew in late socialism - us kids figured quickly about taboos.
6:59 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No mention of the cursed words "Neural Networks" explicitly anywhere?? 😆 I note "Hopfield Nets" comes closest, but then reduces the risk of summoning the Devil , 😈 by shortening to "Nets". And looking like "Neural" anything is absolutely verboten. Well played. 👏
(Boltzmann's were always machines - easy one that one 😁)
I learned in the 1990s from the "PDP Volumes" about NNs. Was left with the impression that "Parallel Distributed Processing" was the codeword. Either explicitly articulated by my lecturer, or I sussed it by osmosis. The term that shall never be mentioned. Also grew in late socialism - us kids figured quickly about taboos.
6:59 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939014509823250776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
preach! yeah - form of luxury beleifs
6:34 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
preach! yeah - form of luxury beleifs
6:34 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1939008473510887594
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Post social media and chat apps, I realised that most people glance at the current screenfull, and that's it. It doesn't matter to them enough to take their finger out, and swipe up to prior messages. Even when it would be plenty good for them personally, if they did just that!
6:10 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Post social media and chat apps, I realised that most people glance at the current screenfull, and that's it. It doesn't matter to them enough to take their finger out, and swipe up to prior messages. Even when it would be plenty good for them personally, if they did just that!
6:10 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938987797051826398
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I want to know who are the other ones, the non-54 students, that are not taking the piss on this one! They should know better, and take the piss promptly on the gullible grown ups. Not to use harsher words for this festival of silliness. I'd put the grown ups back behind the students desks, and put the 54 street-smart students in charge. Think its totally deserved just rewards, on both sides. 😇
4:48 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I want to know who are the other ones, the non-54 students, that are not taking the piss on this one! They should know better, and take the piss promptly on the gullible grown ups. Not to use harsher words for this festival of silliness. I'd put the grown ups back behind the students desks, and put the 54 street-smart students in charge. Think its totally deserved just rewards, on both sides. 😇
4:48 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938983083472302154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - not-so-humble-brag: the blessed age of "no fucks given". 😇 Wish on everyone to experience it at least at some point in their lives. It's glorious! 😆 Busybusy is very good and liked it, but "slow horses" at some point is a joy to behold too.
Quote
https://x.com/GrantSlatton/status/1938805723850559802
Grant Slatton @GrantSlatton · 15h
this thread is hilarious because the 100 alarm people and the 1 alarm people basically didn't know the other half of the population existed
https://x.com/GrantSlatton/status/1938475327325684190
4:29 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - not-so-humble-brag: the blessed age of "no fucks given". 😇 Wish on everyone to experience it at least at some point in their lives. It's glorious! 😆 Busybusy is very good and liked it, but "slow horses" at some point is a joy to behold too.
Quote
https://x.com/GrantSlatton/status/1938805723850559802
Grant Slatton @GrantSlatton · 15h
this thread is hilarious because the 100 alarm people and the 1 alarm people basically didn't know the other half of the population existed
https://x.com/GrantSlatton/status/1938475327325684190
4:29 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938960776779206947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I don't use a reasoning model as default. Usually I need my answer now, can't wait. And my answer is known and concrete.
But sometimes the question feels more open ended. Then, out of curiosity, after I got my answer from the non-reasoning model and I'm not blocked anymore... Then I pop the same question, to the reasoning model. It's fun and joy watching it grind through! 😁 And more often than not, in the output, I read things that surprise me, I haven't thought about... So - useful, in addition to entertaining, even when not immediately applicable.
3:00 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I don't use a reasoning model as default. Usually I need my answer now, can't wait. And my answer is known and concrete.
But sometimes the question feels more open ended. Then, out of curiosity, after I got my answer from the non-reasoning model and I'm not blocked anymore... Then I pop the same question, to the reasoning model. It's fun and joy watching it grind through! 😁 And more often than not, in the output, I read things that surprise me, I haven't thought about... So - useful, in addition to entertaining, even when not immediately applicable.
3:00 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938951271567786444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find that reading "projection" is a red flag. Someone serious about the truthfulness or otherwise of their words, about things that will be shown true/false in the future, would use the word "forecast". I've found that people voicing "projections", when confronted with their errors, tend to say "well, it was only a projection, not a forecast". And therefore "fine". I find that unsatisfactory, as "projection" in my mind too easily becomes "forecast". And about the future - no less - thus misleading me, when it's really "extrapolation" of a trend observed in the recent past.
2:23 PM · Jun 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find that reading "projection" is a red flag. Someone serious about the truthfulness or otherwise of their words, about things that will be shown true/false in the future, would use the word "forecast". I've found that people voicing "projections", when confronted with their errors, tend to say "well, it was only a projection, not a forecast". And therefore "fine". I find that unsatisfactory, as "projection" in my mind too easily becomes "forecast". And about the future - no less - thus misleading me, when it's really "extrapolation" of a trend observed in the recent past.
2:23 PM · Jun 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938940318302298307
Yes and no. Depending on what you mean by "really know", it's a dial in the [0,1] range.
On one end, they are total white boxes. We know, and can trace back every single bit of the output, back to the input. That does not help us as much as we'd like though. When drilling down into "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2", it comes down to "it added one trillion small numbers, and the sum came close to 1, but didn't reach 2".
What those numbers implement are probability functions. ML epistemology is minimal yet sufficient: everything we can ever know of the relation between X and Y, is captured, encoded, by the counts of their occurrences f_{X,Y}(x,y). And that's it. There is nothing more to add, and no surplus to remove. Our knowledge equals the joint probability function over (X,Y).
Learning algorithm like DL, is used to fit gigantic functions implementing those joint probabilities. All depends on how well the joint probability functions at the end of DL reflect our real world. If they reflect it poorly, like pre-ChatGPT, we call them "stochastic parrots", laugh at the silliness of the researchers. If they reflect well, we think of them as persons that may even be self-aware. (=conscious)
We can't make those functions ourselves, b/c we can't specify the end result, the way we can e.g. with a coffee machine. With a coffee machine, we know the shape and the size of every part, to a millimetre. Not so with the giant joint probability functions. So we do the next best thing: we create a maker, and that maker then creates them. DL is that maker. It goes ourselves->DL->NN. We can't create the NN ourselves, b/c we can't specify the joint probabilities ourselves. No one can dream up the 1T weights that make an LLM atm, and write them down. (a future Ramanujan alien? maybe) Unlike with the coffee machine where we create the spec, with the LLM we don't know ourselves in advance what the end result should be.
It maybe more useful to think of them as "artefacts", and not "mechanical contraptions". We can shape them in some ways, but we are not in complete control of their making. For we don't make them explicitly with out hands: we make a maker algorithm, and that algorithm makes them. So that's the other end, where they are total black boxes.
Current LLM-s are very complicated. It's not easy to discern the underlying principles. Suggest go back to simpler examples. E.g. Bishop (1995) "Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition" illustrates an important result about what the network learns. On the pic below: the network learns the conditional average of the target variable the Y given the input X. I recall another result (but can't find the ref now), that - again under conditions - when fitting for classification (not regression), and encoding N classes (on the output) with 1-hot-N encoding, with objective MSE minimisation, the network (in the limit) learns to approximate the posterior probabilities P(C|x). Other result I recall that maybe relevant is that these functions are universal approximators: that have the capacity to reach any desired error, given sufficient number of units, and data, and training iterations.
HTH. My answer is inaccurate and glosses over ton of developments and practices. Networks implement conditional not joint probabilities, and or boundaries. Objective is almost universally cross-entropy not MSE. Training is stochastic as in SGD. Network architectures make huge difference to what can be learned, and so to the quality of the answers. Above says nothing about how much data, for how big a network, using how much of compute flops. The "DL"-Deep Learning of your Q is strictly a fitting method, and maybe an architecture. I took the liberty to assume you use it as a reference to the whole machinery.
network-approximates-conditional-target-average-bishop-1995.png
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938648129944842507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For changing mind and soul. A digital soul is looking like it will turn out to be immortal. Maybe religion will come to be realised that way in definite time. Not merely a hope/cope-ium for the believers, only to happen in some indefinite future. Changing the body is ok, but—meh. True the current cross-/trans-whatever is not good enough. The state of our technology is pathetic, on the level of barbers being "surgeons" few centuries ago.
6:18 PM · Jun 27, 2025
Yes and no. Depending on what you mean by "really know", it's a dial in the [0,1] range.
On one end, they are total white boxes. We know, and can trace back every single bit of the output, back to the input. That does not help us as much as we'd like though. When drilling down into "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2", it comes down to "it added one trillion small numbers, and the sum came close to 1, but didn't reach 2".
What those numbers implement are probability functions. ML epistemology is minimal yet sufficient: everything we can ever know of the relation between X and Y, is captured, encoded, by the counts of their occurrences f_{X,Y}(x,y). And that's it. There is nothing more to add, and no surplus to remove. Our knowledge equals the joint probability function over (X,Y).
Learning algorithm like DL, is used to fit gigantic functions implementing those joint probabilities. All depends on how well the joint probability functions at the end of DL reflect our real world. If they reflect it poorly, like pre-ChatGPT, we call them "stochastic parrots", laugh at the silliness of the researchers. If they reflect well, we think of them as persons that may even be self-aware. (=conscious)
We can't make those functions ourselves, b/c we can't specify the end result, the way we can e.g. with a coffee machine. With a coffee machine, we know the shape and the size of every part, to a millimetre. Not so with the giant joint probability functions. So we do the next best thing: we create a maker, and that maker then creates them. DL is that maker. It goes ourselves->DL->NN. We can't create the NN ourselves, b/c we can't specify the joint probabilities ourselves. No one can dream up the 1T weights that make an LLM atm, and write them down. (a future Ramanujan alien? maybe) Unlike with the coffee machine where we create the spec, with the LLM we don't know ourselves in advance what the end result should be.
It maybe more useful to think of them as "artefacts", and not "mechanical contraptions". We can shape them in some ways, but we are not in complete control of their making. For we don't make them explicitly with out hands: we make a maker algorithm, and that algorithm makes them. So that's the other end, where they are total black boxes.
Current LLM-s are very complicated. It's not easy to discern the underlying principles. Suggest go back to simpler examples. E.g. Bishop (1995) "Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition" illustrates an important result about what the network learns. On the pic below: the network learns the conditional average of the target variable the Y given the input X. I recall another result (but can't find the ref now), that - again under conditions - when fitting for classification (not regression), and encoding N classes (on the output) with 1-hot-N encoding, with objective MSE minimisation, the network (in the limit) learns to approximate the posterior probabilities P(C|x). Other result I recall that maybe relevant is that these functions are universal approximators: that have the capacity to reach any desired error, given sufficient number of units, and data, and training iterations.
HTH. My answer is inaccurate and glosses over ton of developments and practices. Networks implement conditional not joint probabilities, and or boundaries. Objective is almost universally cross-entropy not MSE. Training is stochastic as in SGD. Network architectures make huge difference to what can be learned, and so to the quality of the answers. Above says nothing about how much data, for how big a network, using how much of compute flops. The "DL"-Deep Learning of your Q is strictly a fitting method, and maybe an architecture. I took the liberty to assume you use it as a reference to the whole machinery.
network-approximates-conditional-target-average-bishop-1995.png
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938648129944842507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For changing mind and soul. A digital soul is looking like it will turn out to be immortal. Maybe religion will come to be realised that way in definite time. Not merely a hope/cope-ium for the believers, only to happen in some indefinite future. Changing the body is ok, but—meh. True the current cross-/trans-whatever is not good enough. The state of our technology is pathetic, on the level of barbers being "surgeons" few centuries ago.
6:18 PM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938626479639724520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey!
The largest of the bigger >32B models I've run is 45GB dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf from https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF. That was with 32K context. The only combo that worked was (c) flash attention (--flash-attn), and Q8 (--cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0) for the attention caches. Run out of memory tried: (a) without flash attention, and (b) with flash attention, but f16 for the caches. (not q8) Running achieved ~15 tps in llama.cpp:
prompt eval time = 37445.79 ms / 5239 tokens ( 7.15 ms per token, 139.91 tokens per second)
eval time = 72938.58 ms / 1065 tokens ( 68.49 ms per token, 14.60 tokens per second)
total time = 110384.37 ms / 6304 tokens
That 'sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb' setting gives ~80GB to VRAM. IK there is a limit lower than the max 96GB, but IDK what exactly it is. While trying to run DeepSeek R1 0528 @UnslothAI's extreme low quants (still larger than my RAM; thought—given it's virtual memory mmap()-ed, maybe slow but run; nope—it OOM-ed), I saw the screen flicker and garble. And Chrome browser youtube player reported "some error Xyz - you must restart your computer".
Smaller models—usually I don't need to turn flash attention on, they run without. The max context I've used is 128K. Prior to dots.llm1.inst, (that I like,) my default was https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context. It's 30B-A3B with 128K context, and doctored to engage 16 rather than 8 experts—hence active 6B params A6B rather than A3B. With A6B I get ~20 tps, with A3B (baseline) it's more like ~40 tps. Anything above 20 tps is comfortable for me.
MoEs are the best for the Mac, as ASI apple silicon is not quite Nvidia speed wise. But it's got more VRAM memory. It's forever on the TODO list to try longer contexts for coding with aider. So e.g. I've got Llama-3.1-Nemotron-8B-UltraLong-4M-Instruct-mlx-8Bit that I've yet to try. Google AI Studio Gemini 1M context usually tempts me, and wins. And now with their command line offering google-gemini/gemini-cli and generous limits - that's ever more tempting.
Apple is stingy/expensive with the disk space. Workaround for me has been to swap models and data on external nvme ssd, using this enclosure https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B0CTKT4XJ6 + a NVME M.2 stick. If you can get a mac with Thunderbolt 5, then TB5 external NVME M.2 SSD is as fast as the internal one I think? Check reviews what's latest-greatest (in enclosures that take TB sized M.2 sticks), and pay attention to temperature and cooling in heavy use.
HTH, LMK if you need more info anytime pls. Glad to spread the word. :-)
From huggingface.co
4:52 PM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey!
The largest of the bigger >32B models I've run is 45GB dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf from https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF. That was with 32K context. The only combo that worked was (c) flash attention (--flash-attn), and Q8 (--cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0) for the attention caches. Run out of memory tried: (a) without flash attention, and (b) with flash attention, but f16 for the caches. (not q8) Running achieved ~15 tps in llama.cpp:
prompt eval time = 37445.79 ms / 5239 tokens ( 7.15 ms per token, 139.91 tokens per second)
eval time = 72938.58 ms / 1065 tokens ( 68.49 ms per token, 14.60 tokens per second)
total time = 110384.37 ms / 6304 tokens
That 'sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb' setting gives ~80GB to VRAM. IK there is a limit lower than the max 96GB, but IDK what exactly it is. While trying to run DeepSeek R1 0528 @UnslothAI's extreme low quants (still larger than my RAM; thought—given it's virtual memory mmap()-ed, maybe slow but run; nope—it OOM-ed), I saw the screen flicker and garble. And Chrome browser youtube player reported "some error Xyz - you must restart your computer".
Smaller models—usually I don't need to turn flash attention on, they run without. The max context I've used is 128K. Prior to dots.llm1.inst, (that I like,) my default was https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context. It's 30B-A3B with 128K context, and doctored to engage 16 rather than 8 experts—hence active 6B params A6B rather than A3B. With A6B I get ~20 tps, with A3B (baseline) it's more like ~40 tps. Anything above 20 tps is comfortable for me.
MoEs are the best for the Mac, as ASI apple silicon is not quite Nvidia speed wise. But it's got more VRAM memory. It's forever on the TODO list to try longer contexts for coding with aider. So e.g. I've got Llama-3.1-Nemotron-8B-UltraLong-4M-Instruct-mlx-8Bit that I've yet to try. Google AI Studio Gemini 1M context usually tempts me, and wins. And now with their command line offering google-gemini/gemini-cli and generous limits - that's ever more tempting.
Apple is stingy/expensive with the disk space. Workaround for me has been to swap models and data on external nvme ssd, using this enclosure https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B0CTKT4XJ6 + a NVME M.2 stick. If you can get a mac with Thunderbolt 5, then TB5 external NVME M.2 SSD is as fast as the internal one I think? Check reviews what's latest-greatest (in enclosures that take TB sized M.2 sticks), and pay attention to temperature and cooling in heavy use.
HTH, LMK if you need more info anytime pls. Glad to spread the word. :-)
From huggingface.co
4:52 PM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938616204282777639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Current good lifestyle arbitrage: western and even better US salary with remote work, while living in the Mediterranean.
4:11 PM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Current good lifestyle arbitrage: western and even better US salary with remote work, while living in the Mediterranean.
4:11 PM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938580873328078934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. When it comes to the economy, possibly b/c it impinges in life in general, it's very personal. So most of us remain in the dark ages. Like a medieval witch doctor - the same cure gets prescribed, no matter what the diagnosis. Different doctor - different cure. But one cure per doctor.
Admittedly, the cures at hand have become better than "two bat wings, leg of a frog, boil and steer, add moths and urine". We got liberalism and free trade, that works on average - so not for everyone all the time. But the affliction still remains: every side has exactly one medicine in their toolbox to apply it. And so they do just that, once in power.
Argentina seemed hopelessly constricted, captured by all manner of special interests. Doing the "more to myself, less to everyone else" musical chairs game. With the richest at the top skimming from all and giving it to themselves simply by occupying the commanding heights. Most importantly holding the Central Bank with its monopoly on currency.
1:51 PM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. When it comes to the economy, possibly b/c it impinges in life in general, it's very personal. So most of us remain in the dark ages. Like a medieval witch doctor - the same cure gets prescribed, no matter what the diagnosis. Different doctor - different cure. But one cure per doctor.
Admittedly, the cures at hand have become better than "two bat wings, leg of a frog, boil and steer, add moths and urine". We got liberalism and free trade, that works on average - so not for everyone all the time. But the affliction still remains: every side has exactly one medicine in their toolbox to apply it. And so they do just that, once in power.
Argentina seemed hopelessly constricted, captured by all manner of special interests. Doing the "more to myself, less to everyone else" musical chairs game. With the richest at the top skimming from all and giving it to themselves simply by occupying the commanding heights. Most importantly holding the Central Bank with its monopoly on currency.
1:51 PM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938573308666007870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. There aren't enough sticks in this world, to beat those "Club of Rome"-ians, and their spiritual descendants, over their backsides with. And to only stop beating them when they stop moving. Before the Internet, this level of FAIL would have been memory holed. All those "the great & the good" would have continued their Lording over us, the plebs. Wholly unjustly - as they don't deserve that privilege. They have forfeited it 100 times over.
Well - no more. Internet forgets nothing. And even if the "great unwashed" are intellectually impaired atm, future AI brain implants will solve that too. Like Mounjaro solves obesity. The Brahmin "intellectual" class feels this, even if it doesn't wholly articulate it. Both out of its own stupidity, for they are ever mid-wits, but also for Straussian "you can't handle the truth" reasons. Cue the uniform pearl-clutching in action, at the threat that is AI encroaching their space, their livelihoods and their positioning in the societal hierarchies.
1:21 PM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. There aren't enough sticks in this world, to beat those "Club of Rome"-ians, and their spiritual descendants, over their backsides with. And to only stop beating them when they stop moving. Before the Internet, this level of FAIL would have been memory holed. All those "the great & the good" would have continued their Lording over us, the plebs. Wholly unjustly - as they don't deserve that privilege. They have forfeited it 100 times over.
Well - no more. Internet forgets nothing. And even if the "great unwashed" are intellectually impaired atm, future AI brain implants will solve that too. Like Mounjaro solves obesity. The Brahmin "intellectual" class feels this, even if it doesn't wholly articulate it. Both out of its own stupidity, for they are ever mid-wits, but also for Straussian "you can't handle the truth" reasons. Cue the uniform pearl-clutching in action, at the threat that is AI encroaching their space, their livelihoods and their positioning in the societal hierarchies.
1:21 PM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938564028734861585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
....100-th time luckyy... 😜🙃
12:44 PM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
....100-th time luckyy... 😜🙃
12:44 PM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938552569174823049
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh 😀 maan - idk how you read "words don't matter" in what I wrote 😂 for the avoidance of doubt, in affirmative: words do matter—a lot even; agreed—logic isn't just math; and even—math isn't just logic (since we seemingly keen on permutations & between lines reading) 😉
11:58 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh 😀 maan - idk how you read "words don't matter" in what I wrote 😂 for the avoidance of doubt, in affirmative: words do matter—a lot even; agreed—logic isn't just math; and even—math isn't just logic (since we seemingly keen on permutations & between lines reading) 😉
11:58 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938534149758824831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True of performance - but less so on price. Once one buys 2nd hand, it becomes affordable. Given the screen quality, and the battery life of Mx ARMs - it's valued for money tbh.
10:45 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True of performance - but less so on price. Once one buys 2nd hand, it becomes affordable. Given the screen quality, and the battery life of Mx ARMs - it's valued for money tbh.
10:45 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938523110887838042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
some day new knowledge enough compute cheap enough will "bitter pill" them away too - but not today I'm afraid
10:01 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
some day new knowledge enough compute cheap enough will "bitter pill" them away too - but not today I'm afraid
10:01 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938534149758824831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True of performance - but less so on price. Once one buys 2nd hand, it becomes affordable. Given the screen quality, and the battery life of Mx ARMs - it's value for money tbh.
10:45 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True of performance - but less so on price. Once one buys 2nd hand, it becomes affordable. Given the screen quality, and the battery life of Mx ARMs - it's value for money tbh.
10:45 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938523110887838042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
some day new knowledge enough compute cheap enough will "bitter pill" them away too - but not today I'm afraid
10:01 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
some day new knowledge enough compute cheap enough will "bitter pill" them away too - but not today I'm afraid
10:01 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938521769301704966
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ToL MBP not necessary. VRAM 96GB-128GB can be had for ~2K-3K pounds. 2nd Hand buy avoids paying AppleTax-
https://hoxtonmacs.co.uk/collections/refurbished-macbook-pro?filter.v.option.memory=128GB
Got 96GB one back in Jan. Couldn't wait for 128GB to become available. 128 Better as max VRAM less than the whole RAM. Largest LLM running localhost for me comfortably atm:
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps at http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
From hoxtonmacs.co.uk
9:56 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ToL MBP not necessary. VRAM 96GB-128GB can be had for ~2K-3K pounds. 2nd Hand buy avoids paying AppleTax-
https://hoxtonmacs.co.uk/collections/refurbished-macbook-pro?filter.v.option.memory=128GB
Got 96GB one back in Jan. Couldn't wait for 128GB to become available. 128 Better as max VRAM less than the whole RAM. Largest LLM running localhost for me comfortably atm:
# MoE localhost <75GB RAM ~16 tps at http://127.0.0.1:8080
~/llama.cpp$ sudo sysctl iogpu.wired_limit_mb=80000; build/bin/llama-server --model models/dots.llm1.inst-UD-TQ1_0.gguf --temp 0 --top_p 0.95 --min_p 0 --ctx-size 32768 --flash-attn --cache-type-k q8_0 --cache-type-v q8_0 --jinja &
From hoxtonmacs.co.uk
9:56 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938510194008268915
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's true. However - Germany does care, does give a fuck about Russia's threats. That's the reality of the situation, the predicament Europeans find themselves in. Until that time, when Germany has got (ultimately) an independent nuclear deterrent - it will care. Russia knows this, and will call any Germany bluff, were Germany to try bluff their way.
We are in an "interregnum" period, when the confidence that US will risk a nuclear armageddon, for anyone but the US themselves - has collapsed. Building a factory in Ukraine and transferring know-how so Ukrainians can build the weapons themselves, strikes me maybe better mid-term, even if worse short-term, and even for Ukraine.
9:10 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's true. However - Germany does care, does give a fuck about Russia's threats. That's the reality of the situation, the predicament Europeans find themselves in. Until that time, when Germany has got (ultimately) an independent nuclear deterrent - it will care. Russia knows this, and will call any Germany bluff, were Germany to try bluff their way.
We are in an "interregnum" period, when the confidence that US will risk a nuclear armageddon, for anyone but the US themselves - has collapsed. Building a factory in Ukraine and transferring know-how so Ukrainians can build the weapons themselves, strikes me maybe better mid-term, even if worse short-term, and even for Ukraine.
9:10 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938474687375315422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It annoys me a great deal, that almost a 2nd if not the 1st thing, but certainly early on, our monkebrains zoomed in on arbitrary sorting criteria, so to establish rank. Even if a largely random one, nevertheles—a rank! Authentic Human = argmin_{count of emdash}(Post) becoming a rank sort criterion in the process of perpetuating the naturalist falacy in a completely new domain was not in my Bingo Xmas cards. The amount of crazy our monkebrains are capable of remains unsurpassed! 🤯
To counter that sillyness, I 'm using emdash as much as I possibly can. Previously I paid little attention at the distinction. Can't even pick emdash on a Linux keyboard. And now typing this on Android Google keyboard (Gboard?), I needed Perplexity to get the emdash typed via copypaste. And learned there is a hyphen (-) too, distinct from emdash (—) and endash (–). 😱
That's it, the last straw—Gboard going in the bin today. Will switch to a different phone keyboard by the morning coffee at the latest. Spelling correct has been atrocious for me for some time already. Moved back to Gboard only after Microsoft enshitified that good startup keyboard Co they bought, that I used.
6:49 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It annoys me a great deal, that almost a 2nd if not the 1st thing, but certainly early on, our monkebrains zoomed in on arbitrary sorting criteria, so to establish rank. Even if a largely random one, nevertheles—a rank! Authentic Human = argmin_{count of emdash}(Post) becoming a rank sort criterion in the process of perpetuating the naturalist falacy in a completely new domain was not in my Bingo Xmas cards. The amount of crazy our monkebrains are capable of remains unsurpassed! 🤯
To counter that sillyness, I 'm using emdash as much as I possibly can. Previously I paid little attention at the distinction. Can't even pick emdash on a Linux keyboard. And now typing this on Android Google keyboard (Gboard?), I needed Perplexity to get the emdash typed via copypaste. And learned there is a hyphen (-) too, distinct from emdash (—) and endash (–). 😱
That's it, the last straw—Gboard going in the bin today. Will switch to a different phone keyboard by the morning coffee at the latest. Spelling correct has been atrocious for me for some time already. Moved back to Gboard only after Microsoft enshitified that good startup keyboard Co they bought, that I used.
6:49 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938464551042765265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep a moderately well known one. "This statement is false" precipitated the great crisis of mathematal logic at the turn of the century. Lucky for us real life is much more than mathematics - mathematics is not real life.
6:08 AM · Jun 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep a moderately well known one. "This statement is false" precipitated the great crisis of mathematal logic at the turn of the century. Lucky for us real life is much more than mathematics - mathematics is not real life.
6:08 AM · Jun 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938354929485463910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Had no idea about emdash until I saw ChatGPT using it. Still didn't use it untill I got myself a 2nd hand MBP. (to run llama.cpp) Only then I learned where it is on the keyboard. IDK still where emdash is on the Linux PC kbd. Been using emdash as well as endash - I find the distinction useful. Using them both now in my writing too. Annoys me a great deal that our monkebrains zoomed in on arbitrary random sorting criteria, so to establish rank. To counter that, I 'm using emdash as much as I pos can.
10:53 PM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Had no idea about emdash until I saw ChatGPT using it. Still didn't use it untill I got myself a 2nd hand MBP. (to run llama.cpp) Only then I learned where it is on the keyboard. IDK still where emdash is on the Linux PC kbd. Been using emdash as well as endash - I find the distinction useful. Using them both now in my writing too. Annoys me a great deal that our monkebrains zoomed in on arbitrary random sorting criteria, so to establish rank. To counter that, I 'm using emdash as much as I pos can.
10:53 PM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938323154382032998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowing zero insider info, only observing as if light from a distant star - I suspect narcissism plays a role too. Also that it's geographically compact. As if they are up each others backsides getting high off their own supply of gasses.
8:47 PM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowing zero insider info, only observing as if light from a distant star - I suspect narcissism plays a role too. Also that it's geographically compact. As if they are up each others backsides getting high off their own supply of gasses.
8:47 PM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938278627235533247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a choice, what they value more - their country, or lining their own pockets. They could open the internal processes to competitive bidding, break existing monopolies, and some SpaceX or baby-Tesla companies, and likely will have them built for 1/10-th to 1/20-th the current price. But there will be no pork barrelling - so TBS if that's acceptable.
There is tech there, but it's mostly from half a century ago: a metal tube with fuel, and electronics and chips that are its brains. None are super expensive. Musk/SpaceX strategy - "add the price of all components all inputs, compare to the price of the final assembly the whole; where big difference => you ID-ed what you are to work on doing yourself" would fix that.
5:50 PM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a choice, what they value more - their country, or lining their own pockets. They could open the internal processes to competitive bidding, break existing monopolies, and some SpaceX or baby-Tesla companies, and likely will have them built for 1/10-th to 1/20-th the current price. But there will be no pork barrelling - so TBS if that's acceptable.
There is tech there, but it's mostly from half a century ago: a metal tube with fuel, and electronics and chips that are its brains. None are super expensive. Musk/SpaceX strategy - "add the price of all components all inputs, compare to the price of the final assembly the whole; where big difference => you ID-ed what you are to work on doing yourself" would fix that.
5:50 PM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938229576947073486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems a pattern with the Guardianistas? And not that crazy a business plan too tbh. Gameplay: 1-select a hard problem, (poverty, obesity, ...) 2-select a solution among the possible ones, that's not worked so far even once, ever, anywhere, (socialism, diet/exercise/nagging,) so the chance of your chosen solution actually solving the problem and leaving you empty handed in the near future is approx zero, 3-advocate your solution ad-infinitum no matter what, 4-build a community of true believers, that will trust your crazy story against all objective evidence, 5-have the sect member buy your warez, and forever. (6-profit??) Infinite job security, steady $$$ income stream. Not great, but as a business - not the worst business idea either??
2:35 PM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems a pattern with the Guardianistas? And not that crazy a business plan too tbh. Gameplay: 1-select a hard problem, (poverty, obesity, ...) 2-select a solution among the possible ones, that's not worked so far even once, ever, anywhere, (socialism, diet/exercise/nagging,) so the chance of your chosen solution actually solving the problem and leaving you empty handed in the near future is approx zero, 3-advocate your solution ad-infinitum no matter what, 4-build a community of true believers, that will trust your crazy story against all objective evidence, 5-have the sect member buy your warez, and forever. (6-profit??) Infinite job security, steady $$$ income stream. Not great, but as a business - not the worst business idea either??
2:35 PM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938198708195365196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Takes lots of mis-education to start believing crazy stuff. That is recognised as one of the dangers. Especially in disciplines lacking objective outside-of-ourselves ground truths, that can put a limit on the amount of crazy we cook up in our heads. Yep - an occupational risk.
12:32 PM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Takes lots of mis-education to start believing crazy stuff. That is recognised as one of the dangers. Especially in disciplines lacking objective outside-of-ourselves ground truths, that can put a limit on the amount of crazy we cook up in our heads. Yep - an occupational risk.
12:32 PM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938196880145482024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Single 1 good thing about doing obligatory 1 yr national service as 19 yo was getting exposed to the widest possible sample of humanity, I wd otherwise have been unlikely to experience at close quarters. It was super instructive to learn 1st hand the huge variance exhibited by real humans, on both ends - from the worst, to the best, humanity has to offer.
Especially striking the difference in software (in our heads), and the vastly different outcomes generated by it, given how similar (in the grand scheme of things) in capabilities our hardware (our bodies) are.
The remaining 0.5 good thing about spending 12 mo confined to barracks unable to move freely, is I imagine a modest training for if I am ever put in jail. (hope that does not happen, ofc)
12:25 PM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Single 1 good thing about doing obligatory 1 yr national service as 19 yo was getting exposed to the widest possible sample of humanity, I wd otherwise have been unlikely to experience at close quarters. It was super instructive to learn 1st hand the huge variance exhibited by real humans, on both ends - from the worst, to the best, humanity has to offer.
Especially striking the difference in software (in our heads), and the vastly different outcomes generated by it, given how similar (in the grand scheme of things) in capabilities our hardware (our bodies) are.
The remaining 0.5 good thing about spending 12 mo confined to barracks unable to move freely, is I imagine a modest training for if I am ever put in jail. (hope that does not happen, ofc)
12:25 PM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938158876378972226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Applaud to that and looking forward to.
Too many of us are too dumb. As is said: remember the average person, then remember half of us are to the left of that average. Once I saw a short-ish documentary about the daily life of 1 person from that 2.5% of us. Perfectly normal but SDs to the left, his struggles through daily routines. The sense of embarrassment, even humiliation, having any remains of one's self-confidence crushed day after day. Not an easy watch.
Having said that: won'd be the first to try change humans. We had the rational man of the enlightenment. Even the new socialist man fixing all the failings of the (previous, capitalist presumably?) man too! Hope that brain prothesis are the first that actually work. Like the way anti-obesity drugs worked are fixing the fatties problem, where all previous social engineering sillyness failed.
9:54 AM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Applaud to that and looking forward to.
Too many of us are too dumb. As is said: remember the average person, then remember half of us are to the left of that average. Once I saw a short-ish documentary about the daily life of 1 person from that 2.5% of us. Perfectly normal but SDs to the left, his struggles through daily routines. The sense of embarrassment, even humiliation, having any remains of one's self-confidence crushed day after day. Not an easy watch.
Having said that: won'd be the first to try change humans. We had the rational man of the enlightenment. Even the new socialist man fixing all the failings of the (previous, capitalist presumably?) man too! Hope that brain prothesis are the first that actually work. Like the way anti-obesity drugs worked are fixing the fatties problem, where all previous social engineering sillyness failed.
9:54 AM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938153022518960337
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and another one that also makes sense to me (and I do it too; read someplace Feynman articulated it): keep a personal list of unsolved problems that interest you. Every time someone solves something else, figures how to do something that was impossible before - check out, learn what trick they played to solve their problem. Then apply the same or similar trick to each one of your problems - see if you make make any progress solving some. You may get lucky, cheaply. @ 4'14" here
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=05ZwhL_CxO8
9:31 AM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and another one that also makes sense to me (and I do it too; read someplace Feynman articulated it): keep a personal list of unsolved problems that interest you. Every time someone solves something else, figures how to do something that was impossible before - check out, learn what trick they played to solve their problem. Then apply the same or similar trick to each one of your problems - see if you make make any progress solving some. You may get lucky, cheaply. @ 4'14" here
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=05ZwhL_CxO8
9:31 AM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938052880650391602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! I grew up in a "real socialism" country, and socialism was popular while it delivered betterment of the material conditions to the majority of population. (briefly) Communists to start with were promethean figures, fighting for modernisation, electrification, industrialisation. The opposite of the current woke degrowth neurotic weaklings.
That looks a pattern to me. Post WW2 state controlled social-democratic capitalism likewise was popular while it improved the material conditions of the population. It stopped being popular when it stopped delivering - with the stagflation by 1980, post the oil shock.
It got replaced by the neoliberal settlement, that itself was popular while it was delivering improvement to the material conditions. Then it stopped delivering, and that became known to all with the GFC'08.
It's unsurprising - people uninterested in politics tending to their daily lives, judge by the results. (and rightly so.)
2:53 AM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! I grew up in a "real socialism" country, and socialism was popular while it delivered betterment of the material conditions to the majority of population. (briefly) Communists to start with were promethean figures, fighting for modernisation, electrification, industrialisation. The opposite of the current woke degrowth neurotic weaklings.
That looks a pattern to me. Post WW2 state controlled social-democratic capitalism likewise was popular while it improved the material conditions of the population. It stopped being popular when it stopped delivering - with the stagflation by 1980, post the oil shock.
It got replaced by the neoliberal settlement, that itself was popular while it was delivering improvement to the material conditions. Then it stopped delivering, and that became known to all with the GFC'08.
It's unsurprising - people uninterested in politics tending to their daily lives, judge by the results. (and rightly so.)
2:53 AM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1938042357619826927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For novelty seeking, open endedness, I much liked this MLST interview
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=mw5WIDGRLnA
and this lecture just found today
https://youtube.com/watch?v=Q3XKw2mp1Fk
by @jeffclune. The "interestingness" aspect looks to me similar to "taste". It's as indescribable but recognisable as the Q of what's "good taste." (like what's @RickRubin to music.)
Couple of things feel logical to me when I listen to the talks. One are to evolve a whole ecosystem, not a single AI/species. Just a single type can't develop in isolation. And has to co-evolve with its environment that also evolves. Novel evolutionary steps are of the type: while standing at the edge of what's possible, stretch e.g. 20% into what was previously impossible, now do it. Incremental steps not quantum leaps.
youtube.com
Open-Endedness and AI GAs in the Era of Foundation Models
My talk at Oxford in June, 2024, including new work on OMNI-EPICFoundation models create exciting new opportunities in our longstanding quests to produce ope...
2:11 AM · Jun 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For novelty seeking, open endedness, I much liked this MLST interview
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=mw5WIDGRLnA
and this lecture just found today
https://youtube.com/watch?v=Q3XKw2mp1Fk
by @jeffclune. The "interestingness" aspect looks to me similar to "taste". It's as indescribable but recognisable as the Q of what's "good taste." (like what's @RickRubin to music.)
Couple of things feel logical to me when I listen to the talks. One are to evolve a whole ecosystem, not a single AI/species. Just a single type can't develop in isolation. And has to co-evolve with its environment that also evolves. Novel evolutionary steps are of the type: while standing at the edge of what's possible, stretch e.g. 20% into what was previously impossible, now do it. Incremental steps not quantum leaps.
youtube.com
Open-Endedness and AI GAs in the Era of Foundation Models
My talk at Oxford in June, 2024, including new work on OMNI-EPICFoundation models create exciting new opportunities in our longstanding quests to produce ope...
2:11 AM · Jun 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937931374146490486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...even more: real socialism was popular when it delivered betterment of the material conditions of majority of population. (briefly; then communists were promethean figures fighting for modernisation, electrification, industrialisation; the opposite of the current woke degrowth neurotic weaklings.) Post WW2 state controlled social-democratic capitalism likewise improved the material conditions of the population massively. It stopped being popular when it stopped delivering, with stagflation by 1980 post the oil shock. Replaced by the neoliberal settlement, that itself was popular while delivering improvement to the material conditions. Then it stopped delivering, and that became known to all with the GFC'08. It's the rule - people judge by the results, and rightly so.
6:50 PM · Jun 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...even more: real socialism was popular when it delivered betterment of the material conditions of majority of population. (briefly; then communists were promethean figures fighting for modernisation, electrification, industrialisation; the opposite of the current woke degrowth neurotic weaklings.) Post WW2 state controlled social-democratic capitalism likewise improved the material conditions of the population massively. It stopped being popular when it stopped delivering, with stagflation by 1980 post the oil shock. Replaced by the neoliberal settlement, that itself was popular while delivering improvement to the material conditions. Then it stopped delivering, and that became known to all with the GFC'08. It's the rule - people judge by the results, and rightly so.
6:50 PM · Jun 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937808289737159048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's not the worst. Reconciles contradictory requirements. Wish we cd do experiments to drill into aspects of it.
Inflationary - we dilute at rate of 2% to 4% p.a. in a positive feedback loop. By handing out new currency to us users, proportional to the amount we currently have. One PoV - ones that worked to create the value, (that's exchangeable with the currency,) but didn't consume it i.e. destroy that value back, get rewarded. Closest (natural) experiment I can think maybe: BTC created claimed by miners issuance stops, (sooner; IK it's sometime in the future) - so we find out if anything happens to BTC. (and how fast; does BTC at that point from the PoV of miners become more of a proof of stake, than proof of work?)
Coercion - we go to jail (or worse) if we fail to hand back to the state (with it's monopoly on violence) currency issued prior. I note that most value creation happens in companies, and they are also tyrannical hierarchical organisations, based on coercion too. (if I don't do as ordered - ultimately I'm kicked out on the street, free to die of hunger and exposure) I recognise this even if I don't like it. (like most people; we value our freedom by default) But coordination is (guesstimating) ~70%-85% cooperation, and only ~10%-15% competition. And cooperation is (very approx) is 1000 people all pushing on 1 direction rather than 1000 directions. (as they would by random chance) That 1000 directions vector sum is 0 => I don't move. Moving, even if in the wrong direction, requires synchronisation, and I wonder if that's where the coercion works.
Appreciate this is always a fraught topic. First technically - we have to look from the PoV of the issuer, which is a mirror to our usual users of a currency. (like - as a saver, a saving account is an assert; but as a bank - it's a liability) Then emotionally - it's tied to freedom, power or lack of, and our well being and even identity. And intellectually - oft times "I will deny some premise is true, for I hate the consequences of it". Even if I mostly infer, imagine the said consequences.
10:41 AM · Jun 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's not the worst. Reconciles contradictory requirements. Wish we cd do experiments to drill into aspects of it.
Inflationary - we dilute at rate of 2% to 4% p.a. in a positive feedback loop. By handing out new currency to us users, proportional to the amount we currently have. One PoV - ones that worked to create the value, (that's exchangeable with the currency,) but didn't consume it i.e. destroy that value back, get rewarded. Closest (natural) experiment I can think maybe: BTC created claimed by miners issuance stops, (sooner; IK it's sometime in the future) - so we find out if anything happens to BTC. (and how fast; does BTC at that point from the PoV of miners become more of a proof of stake, than proof of work?)
Coercion - we go to jail (or worse) if we fail to hand back to the state (with it's monopoly on violence) currency issued prior. I note that most value creation happens in companies, and they are also tyrannical hierarchical organisations, based on coercion too. (if I don't do as ordered - ultimately I'm kicked out on the street, free to die of hunger and exposure) I recognise this even if I don't like it. (like most people; we value our freedom by default) But coordination is (guesstimating) ~70%-85% cooperation, and only ~10%-15% competition. And cooperation is (very approx) is 1000 people all pushing on 1 direction rather than 1000 directions. (as they would by random chance) That 1000 directions vector sum is 0 => I don't move. Moving, even if in the wrong direction, requires synchronisation, and I wonder if that's where the coercion works.
Appreciate this is always a fraught topic. First technically - we have to look from the PoV of the issuer, which is a mirror to our usual users of a currency. (like - as a saver, a saving account is an assert; but as a bank - it's a liability) Then emotionally - it's tied to freedom, power or lack of, and our well being and even identity. And intellectually - oft times "I will deny some premise is true, for I hate the consequences of it". Even if I mostly infer, imagine the said consequences.
10:41 AM · Jun 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937607792069615810
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there any virtue in liking-loving something that is perfect from any angle? I'd say there is not much virtue in that. It's trivially easy to like-love something that's spherically perfect. It's tad harder to like-love something less than perfect.
One effect "falling in love" has is that we disregard other persons failings. We even find "charming" things other people not fallen in love with this person find annoying maybe. Been young and horny helps the process too. Then with age, people change somewhat too, (within reason, within what's possible - we are not infinitely malleable) to accommodate each others imperfections better, to reduce their ill effects.
With time passing, it's not only our bodies that become coarser, but also our characters, our souls too age. In older age we don't tolerate things we would maybe tolerate in younger age.
9:24 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there any virtue in liking-loving something that is perfect from any angle? I'd say there is not much virtue in that. It's trivially easy to like-love something that's spherically perfect. It's tad harder to like-love something less than perfect.
One effect "falling in love" has is that we disregard other persons failings. We even find "charming" things other people not fallen in love with this person find annoying maybe. Been young and horny helps the process too. Then with age, people change somewhat too, (within reason, within what's possible - we are not infinitely malleable) to accommodate each others imperfections better, to reduce their ill effects.
With time passing, it's not only our bodies that become coarser, but also our characters, our souls too age. In older age we don't tolerate things we would maybe tolerate in younger age.
9:24 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937548174438056158
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yourr ideology failed 99 times - for sure 100-th time lucky
5:27 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yourr ideology failed 99 times - for sure 100-th time lucky
5:27 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937525843464425838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! Congrats. How does it compare to
https://deepmind.google.com/frontiers/gemini-diffusion
? Any plans for open weights small demo model, intro into the tech for the general great unwashed? (=us)
3:58 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! Congrats. How does it compare to
https://deepmind.google.com/frontiers/gemini-diffusion
? Any plans for open weights small demo model, intro into the tech for the general great unwashed? (=us)
3:58 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937522393867780283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't like this one bit, and personally on the fence on that but more against- than pro-, but but - euthanasia laws to the rescue??
3:45 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't like this one bit, and personally on the fence on that but more against- than pro-, but but - euthanasia laws to the rescue??
3:45 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937521597000351855
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - Helen looks that type that can hold one thing only in her head. One idea, one number etc. Helen—it's possible, even advisable, to double that, and hold **two** things in your head, **at the same time**. It helps one understand reality better, in fact - about twice as well!
3:42 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - Helen looks that type that can hold one thing only in her head. One idea, one number etc. Helen—it's possible, even advisable, to double that, and hold **two** things in your head, **at the same time**. It helps one understand reality better, in fact - about twice as well!
3:42 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937519121740046478
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oww - been blocked. Such is life. I wrote but now can't post it -
> Thanks dude or dudette. I mean it, it I'm serious - thank you. Please add more accounts. I add them to a List I've got, and tick a checkmark on the list "Don't show these account in the 'For You' feed". It improves the SNR of my "For You" feed for me. Please add more names to that vampires list.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 8h
Replying to @Conservatist_2 @DrTimBarber and 13 others
Do you have more accounts to add to that list pls?
3:32 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oww - been blocked. Such is life. I wrote but now can't post it -
> Thanks dude or dudette. I mean it, it I'm serious - thank you. Please add more accounts. I add them to a List I've got, and tick a checkmark on the list "Don't show these account in the 'For You' feed". It improves the SNR of my "For You" feed for me. Please add more names to that vampires list.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 8h
Replying to @Conservatist_2 @DrTimBarber and 13 others
Do you have more accounts to add to that list pls?
3:32 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937515749628612818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 ...as said by man wiser than myself - "you may not be interested in reality, but reality is interested in you". Enjoy the rest of your life midude.
3:18 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 ...as said by man wiser than myself - "you may not be interested in reality, but reality is interested in you". Enjoy the rest of your life midude.
3:18 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937515219531571377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you have more accounts to add to that list pls?
3:16 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you have more accounts to add to that list pls?
3:16 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937505978771296627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...first they came for the nouns, then they came for the verbs... 😆 "Year Zero" surrealist cosplay for our very own amusement, fr. Genius! 😂
2:39 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...first they came for the nouns, then they came for the verbs... 😆 "Year Zero" surrealist cosplay for our very own amusement, fr. Genius! 😂
2:39 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937504731519439262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MoE A3B to A6B makes a huge speed difference to home use, increases Google reach/mindshare. Keep the <~30B category in, such that quants fit 24GB VRAM. But with an eye on forthcoming 32GB VRAM h/w - add an aspirational ~70GB version, again MoE. Plenty of 32GB Macs out there already too. Do QAT snapshots if you possibly can too. Amazing stuff, 🤩 thank you. 🙏 As ever - increasing context to the next level (256K?) welcome too. What-a-time to be alive ☺️ - thanks.
2:34 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MoE A3B to A6B makes a huge speed difference to home use, increases Google reach/mindshare. Keep the <~30B category in, such that quants fit 24GB VRAM. But with an eye on forthcoming 32GB VRAM h/w - add an aspirational ~70GB version, again MoE. Plenty of 32GB Macs out there already too. Do QAT snapshots if you possibly can too. Amazing stuff, 🤩 thank you. 🙏 As ever - increasing context to the next level (256K?) welcome too. What-a-time to be alive ☺️ - thanks.
2:34 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937494697087250799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Thanks man. But I'm like this without mind altering substances. (good thing too—too much of a cheapskate myself to spend $$$ on that.) Suggest you lay off substance use maybe? So you too perceive reality as perceived by the rest of us.
For—to my mind, @drmichaellevin saying "I consist of trillions of cells, each of it alive, with its own 'ideas' what it 'wants' to do with itself; and - I need to make it do my bidding somehow" does not "advocating" make. He's simply stating how he sees things. I find that view a realistic, interesting and relevant for me.
1:55 PM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Thanks man. But I'm like this without mind altering substances. (good thing too—too much of a cheapskate myself to spend $$$ on that.) Suggest you lay off substance use maybe? So you too perceive reality as perceived by the rest of us.
For—to my mind, @drmichaellevin saying "I consist of trillions of cells, each of it alive, with its own 'ideas' what it 'wants' to do with itself; and - I need to make it do my bidding somehow" does not "advocating" make. He's simply stating how he sees things. I find that view a realistic, interesting and relevant for me.
1:55 PM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937465658461044748
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt we will be able to resist. Heard Adam Curtis perceptive observation that our current AI-s, are replaying reconstructions of our pasts to us. (on us asking for that.) They take fragments of our pasts, combine them in novel ways, and replay those reconstructions to us.
This is not unlike that Solaris ocean. (from the movies, and the book.) Only Solaris was not only replaying the observers' pasts, but materialising to the observers fragments of those memories too. Wonder if we are on the same path. And the current purely information reconstruction, at some point (in a distant future) will turn into a literal material reconstruction too. Maybe worth small consideration - if we accept the premise "we will not resist this latest temptation."
11:59 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt we will be able to resist. Heard Adam Curtis perceptive observation that our current AI-s, are replaying reconstructions of our pasts to us. (on us asking for that.) They take fragments of our pasts, combine them in novel ways, and replay those reconstructions to us.
This is not unlike that Solaris ocean. (from the movies, and the book.) Only Solaris was not only replaying the observers' pasts, but materialising to the observers fragments of those memories too. Wonder if we are on the same path. And the current purely information reconstruction, at some point (in a distant future) will turn into a literal material reconstruction too. Maybe worth small consideration - if we accept the premise "we will not resist this latest temptation."
11:59 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937456979468865796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I dislike myself when exercising "hating on the boomers" -
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20boomer%20OR%20boomers&src=typed_query&f=live
...but boy do they make it hard not to indulge in that.
11:25 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I dislike myself when exercising "hating on the boomers" -
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20boomer%20OR%20boomers&src=typed_query&f=live
...but boy do they make it hard not to indulge in that.
11:25 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937454351557034011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the source -
https://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/articles/cn9yl7q43rxo
11:14 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the source -
https://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/articles/cn9yl7q43rxo
11:14 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937453589657526584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europe feels a threat from Russia in a way USA does not. (in a future scenario can see how US may switch sides.) This path to joint European cooperation for mutual defence against Russia makes sense objectivelly:
"Volodymyr Horbulin: Ukraine may try to create nuclear weapons together with European countries"
https://bbc.com/ukrainian/articles/cn9yl7q43rxo
Russia is stronger than every one of the Europe countries. On their own they can all be defeated one by one. So forever - the strategy of Russia is pick them off one by one, the strategy of the European countries is for them to stick together for safety. The perennial Q is: can they?
11:11 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europe feels a threat from Russia in a way USA does not. (in a future scenario can see how US may switch sides.) This path to joint European cooperation for mutual defence against Russia makes sense objectivelly:
"Volodymyr Horbulin: Ukraine may try to create nuclear weapons together with European countries"
https://bbc.com/ukrainian/articles/cn9yl7q43rxo
Russia is stronger than every one of the Europe countries. On their own they can all be defeated one by one. So forever - the strategy of Russia is pick them off one by one, the strategy of the European countries is for them to stick together for safety. The perennial Q is: can they?
11:11 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937447301175226547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Tbh idk much about Curtis current thinking. Early movies had commentary, so I could understand his thinking. Latest movies with pictures and music only but no commentary, relay his feelings, but not his thinking to me. I think him perceptive in a way some other artists are too. Their sixth sense antennae picking up signals that most us normies miss. That David Bowie "Internet changes everything" interview to Paxman's smirking comes to mind. 😆
BBC 'think' - yeah agreed for some time now BBC has given up thinking. It's doubly surprising as the liberal class is supposed to be about thinking?? Un-explicable to me. But it's not universal. This @FukuyamaFrancis interview I just saw reminded me not all liberals have given up thinking -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=pc7O7qSBzM8
Might even say: those that gave up thinking with their own heads recently stopped being liberals objectively, despite of what they say of themselves.
10:46 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Tbh idk much about Curtis current thinking. Early movies had commentary, so I could understand his thinking. Latest movies with pictures and music only but no commentary, relay his feelings, but not his thinking to me. I think him perceptive in a way some other artists are too. Their sixth sense antennae picking up signals that most us normies miss. That David Bowie "Internet changes everything" interview to Paxman's smirking comes to mind. 😆
BBC 'think' - yeah agreed for some time now BBC has given up thinking. It's doubly surprising as the liberal class is supposed to be about thinking?? Un-explicable to me. But it's not universal. This @FukuyamaFrancis interview I just saw reminded me not all liberals have given up thinking -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=pc7O7qSBzM8
Might even say: those that gave up thinking with their own heads recently stopped being liberals objectively, despite of what they say of themselves.
10:46 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937427169124254190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thing he's not advocating that than. afaik. Techies are quite the opposite - radical individualists. I the individual becoming more powerful, I need the collective not-I ever less, in order to ensure my own survival. Survival is my prime directive, as is with anything live.
9:26 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thing he's not advocating that than. afaik. Techies are quite the opposite - radical individualists. I the individual becoming more powerful, I need the collective not-I ever less, in order to ensure my own survival. Survival is my prime directive, as is with anything live.
9:26 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937425186589929620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's always such a joy listening to @FukuyamaFrancis interview.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=pc7O7qSBzM8
Can't remember an instance that I didn't learn something I didn't know before. :-) Joy and privilege - what a time to be alive.
youtube.com
Francis Fukuyama: History and Democracy | Doomscroll
My guest is Francis Fukuyama @ffukuyam, a scholar and political scientist. He is the author of many books. He is most well known for his 1992 work, "The End ...
9:18 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's always such a joy listening to @FukuyamaFrancis interview.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=pc7O7qSBzM8
Can't remember an instance that I didn't learn something I didn't know before. :-) Joy and privilege - what a time to be alive.
youtube.com
Francis Fukuyama: History and Democracy | Doomscroll
My guest is Francis Fukuyama @ffukuyam, a scholar and political scientist. He is the author of many books. He is most well known for his 1992 work, "The End ...
9:18 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937420072173076893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't over-generalise, but signs of malignant narcissism of "me, myself & I" there. Yeah "the World ends with me" fr, if I never quite moved away from "I"=="the World" we all start with as a baby. Usually we grow out of that stage of development. We realise there is world outside us, independent of us. But if I never get there, then yeah my life ending being also World ending event makes sense. I wonder if such radical individualism, leading to our newly minted Euthanasia Laws, (not unique to UK,) creates it's own self-correcting mechanism too? Maybe just copium on my part. TBS
8:58 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can't over-generalise, but signs of malignant narcissism of "me, myself & I" there. Yeah "the World ends with me" fr, if I never quite moved away from "I"=="the World" we all start with as a baby. Usually we grow out of that stage of development. We realise there is world outside us, independent of us. But if I never get there, then yeah my life ending being also World ending event makes sense. I wonder if such radical individualism, leading to our newly minted Euthanasia Laws, (not unique to UK,) creates it's own self-correcting mechanism too? Maybe just copium on my part. TBS
8:58 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937286318708445608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find that aspect delightful. That they are both a totally transparent "white box", and that does not help us much. We know every input every weight, we can traceback from the outputs back to the inputs, every last bit. And yet and yet - it's not as helpful as one might expect. When we drill down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "it added one trillion of small numbers, and the sum came to 1, and did not reach 2". Which is correct, but not that helpful. 😆
12:07 AM · Jun 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find that aspect delightful. That they are both a totally transparent "white box", and that does not help us much. We know every input every weight, we can traceback from the outputs back to the inputs, every last bit. And yet and yet - it's not as helpful as one might expect. When we drill down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "it added one trillion of small numbers, and the sum came to 1, and did not reach 2". Which is correct, but not that helpful. 😆
12:07 AM · Jun 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937277798810267908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - yeah IK to interpolate, extrapolate and whatever-polate allright. Agreed Tesla is unrepresentative. It's only its 1st day in operation with handful of cars - it can't be otherwise. But Waymo is representative. To repeat - Waymo robot cars are yet to kill a human afaik. While every day human drivers kill mostly at random, a lottery of deaths inflicted on 100 unfortunates every day.
I'm in the UK and here it's ~5 people killed per day, far less than in the US afaik. Still - why accept 5, if it can be brought down e.g. 1? 1 Is better than 5. People's minds can change when their own skins are at risk. This "kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission" stance is not inevitable. It's mostly laziness in thinking and feeling for the unseen fellow human.
11:33 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - yeah IK to interpolate, extrapolate and whatever-polate allright. Agreed Tesla is unrepresentative. It's only its 1st day in operation with handful of cars - it can't be otherwise. But Waymo is representative. To repeat - Waymo robot cars are yet to kill a human afaik. While every day human drivers kill mostly at random, a lottery of deaths inflicted on 100 unfortunates every day.
I'm in the UK and here it's ~5 people killed per day, far less than in the US afaik. Still - why accept 5, if it can be brought down e.g. 1? 1 Is better than 5. People's minds can change when their own skins are at risk. This "kill 100 by omission in order to avoid killing 1 by commission" stance is not inevitable. It's mostly laziness in thinking and feeling for the unseen fellow human.
11:33 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937262868203995209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Such weak scaredy-cat take. Wouldn't mind it - if it didn't cost 100 lives lost today on US roads. Afaik Waymo cars have killed zero people so far while in operation. I'm not saying "release the killer robots". I'm saying balance is called for. Currently societal concerns are dis-balanced, too one sided. Consequence of that is that people are paying with their lives day after day.
Your reply is a further illustration of us civilians unable to see grey. It's either black or white, either 0 or 100, and nothing in between for us. That strikes me as completely the opposite of what's needed when wighting pros- and cons-. It's not only in this area - it's everywhere where public policy and regulation is. IDK what can be done about that, if anything. People just refuse to count and tally, even if that means their nearest and dearest end up dead.
10:33 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Such weak scaredy-cat take. Wouldn't mind it - if it didn't cost 100 lives lost today on US roads. Afaik Waymo cars have killed zero people so far while in operation. I'm not saying "release the killer robots". I'm saying balance is called for. Currently societal concerns are dis-balanced, too one sided. Consequence of that is that people are paying with their lives day after day.
Your reply is a further illustration of us civilians unable to see grey. It's either black or white, either 0 or 100, and nothing in between for us. That strikes me as completely the opposite of what's needed when wighting pros- and cons-. It's not only in this area - it's everywhere where public policy and regulation is. IDK what can be done about that, if anything. People just refuse to count and tally, even if that means their nearest and dearest end up dead.
10:33 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937157296506671273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusing to hear both Adam Curtis and Dominic Cummings reference 1848 when talking about "the old has died, the new is struggling to be born" current moment, few days apart only. When people that start from very different vantage points arrive at about the same destination - it's worth taking note.
3:34 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusing to hear both Adam Curtis and Dominic Cummings reference 1848 when talking about "the old has died, the new is struggling to be born" current moment, few days apart only. When people that start from very different vantage points arrive at about the same destination - it's worth taking note.
3:34 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937154659954643293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Light mode provides enough ambient light for me to find and peck the keys on the few keyboards left I got that are not backlit. Forever wish I was more diligent and persistent in trying to unlearn 4-5 fingers typing I picked along and learned proper touch typing.
3:23 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Light mode provides enough ambient light for me to find and peck the keys on the few keyboards left I got that are not backlit. Forever wish I was more diligent and persistent in trying to unlearn 4-5 fingers typing I picked along and learned proper touch typing.
3:23 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937152726640521551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish some of that was felt by fellow quants in London hedge funds, and much more importantly - by the owners of these Hedge Funds! All are by now richer than the Croesuses of old. Even if their descendents spent the riches for 1000s of lifetimes they'd struggle to spend it all. Bit more ambition, towards like - changing the world?! the "California Way"!! - wouldn't go amiss. Must the poor @demishassabis do everything on his own??
Few HF-s are certainly quantitative enough and rich enough to take on the task of building open models. They have not taken the hint by now. I don't understand why tbh. What's not to like with @deepseek_ai, it's like a movie script tbh. Hedge fund quants - pistoleros for hire - turned punks in spirit! 😻 Releasing not only their best latest greatest models weights, but also their RL algo, the infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there!
3:16 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish some of that was felt by fellow quants in London hedge funds, and much more importantly - by the owners of these Hedge Funds! All are by now richer than the Croesuses of old. Even if their descendents spent the riches for 1000s of lifetimes they'd struggle to spend it all. Bit more ambition, towards like - changing the world?! the "California Way"!! - wouldn't go amiss. Must the poor @demishassabis do everything on his own??
Few HF-s are certainly quantitative enough and rich enough to take on the task of building open models. They have not taken the hint by now. I don't understand why tbh. What's not to like with @deepseek_ai, it's like a movie script tbh. Hedge fund quants - pistoleros for hire - turned punks in spirit! 😻 Releasing not only their best latest greatest models weights, but also their RL algo, the infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there!
3:16 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937126795331191002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human race is unlikely to disappear. The odious anti-human ideology parroted by this nice granny (sorry to say; alas old age is not always wisdom) looks may die sooner than anticipated, together with its proponents. Aided by the fresh euthanasia laws. 😨 Self-correction rt ngl.
1:33 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human race is unlikely to disappear. The odious anti-human ideology parroted by this nice granny (sorry to say; alas old age is not always wisdom) looks may die sooner than anticipated, together with its proponents. Aided by the fresh euthanasia laws. 😨 Self-correction rt ngl.
1:33 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937120144506974509
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I recall watching this one "How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline" long time ago. The results presented seemed important, the presenter "Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof ..." distinguished enough to warrant attention. Have not heard much in the subsequent years though?
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879998233080132021
1:06 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I recall watching this one "How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline" long time ago. The results presented seemed important, the presenter "Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof ..." distinguished enough to warrant attention. Have not heard much in the subsequent years though?
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879998233080132021
1:06 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937106379996553421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have moved countries. (naturalised UK citizen.) I liked my previous country. I currently love UK. (my adopted country.) People that hate their country - my observation is they hate themselves 1st and foremost, and then also hate many other things they see wrong with the universe. I recall a song about someone that "hated herself before lunch, and the entire world after lunch." Looks to me - people that hate, hate a lot of things. Conversely, people that like things, they like lots of things too.
12:12 PM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have moved countries. (naturalised UK citizen.) I liked my previous country. I currently love UK. (my adopted country.) People that hate their country - my observation is they hate themselves 1st and foremost, and then also hate many other things they see wrong with the universe. I recall a song about someone that "hated herself before lunch, and the entire world after lunch." Looks to me - people that hate, hate a lot of things. Conversely, people that like things, they like lots of things too.
12:12 PM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937100715987443933
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That "IDK" - and it's not you, it's a collective "IDK" - is not a free lunch mind you. All pay a price, in human lives lost. In the US every day 100 lives lost on the roads. The collective "IDK man, bit squeamish, on the fence, let's wait and see" decision makes sense if we compare to counterfactual where human drivers kill no one. (but robot cars kill people.) But that's not our world. In our world a human driver killed 1 person in the US since I started typing this 15 mins ago. Our statistical indifference to murder by omission is stunning.
11:49 AM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That "IDK" - and it's not you, it's a collective "IDK" - is not a free lunch mind you. All pay a price, in human lives lost. In the US every day 100 lives lost on the roads. The collective "IDK man, bit squeamish, on the fence, let's wait and see" decision makes sense if we compare to counterfactual where human drivers kill no one. (but robot cars kill people.) But that's not our world. In our world a human driver killed 1 person in the US since I started typing this 15 mins ago. Our statistical indifference to murder by omission is stunning.
11:49 AM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937009926494146675
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither. Let them continue rotting until they are unsalvageable. For the longest time now they seem like an undead zombie. Always wondered if their founder being frozen like some Lenin mummy broke them. They became iIncapable of life, and anything good and true. But capable of infecting the popular culture with their rot, and destroying us all.
5:48 AM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither. Let them continue rotting until they are unsalvageable. For the longest time now they seem like an undead zombie. Always wondered if their founder being frozen like some Lenin mummy broke them. They became iIncapable of life, and anything good and true. But capable of infecting the popular culture with their rot, and destroying us all.
5:48 AM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1937006667763265957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatever it is, I hope AI gets it de-mystified really soon. For this new genre of "ooof, the mystery of consciousness" is getting out of hand. It has now overtaken that perennial workhorse "the mystery of quantum". A slop that has been playing forever! (stellar RoI for any grifter that one)
Hints: babies are conscious before able to do much of anything else, certainly not much thinking. People lying unconscious can't learn. Zombies in movies being undead but not quite alive lacking consciousness are frozen with their knowledge as of the moment they got zombified, can't acquire any new knowledge. Think .@Plinz is getting this stuff right. Now, for the love of god - please move on from this very very booring topic.
5:35 AM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatever it is, I hope AI gets it de-mystified really soon. For this new genre of "ooof, the mystery of consciousness" is getting out of hand. It has now overtaken that perennial workhorse "the mystery of quantum". A slop that has been playing forever! (stellar RoI for any grifter that one)
Hints: babies are conscious before able to do much of anything else, certainly not much thinking. People lying unconscious can't learn. Zombies in movies being undead but not quite alive lacking consciousness are frozen with their knowledge as of the moment they got zombified, can't acquire any new knowledge. Think .@Plinz is getting this stuff right. Now, for the love of god - please move on from this very very booring topic.
5:35 AM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936980396509680082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
mindgain
3:51 AM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
mindgain
3:51 AM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936975746146144650
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hahaha 😂 damn those geeks, esp when bearing fruits 🙃 corrupting the young minds for millenias now... that slippery slope started with writing?? and reading! ruining our fine oral traditions... ah for the time when the most clear-eyed of the sons devoted himself to memory-banking the village epic tale 😭 doomed, were DOOMED I tell you 😂
3:32 AM · Jun 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hahaha 😂 damn those geeks, esp when bearing fruits 🙃 corrupting the young minds for millenias now... that slippery slope started with writing?? and reading! ruining our fine oral traditions... ah for the time when the most clear-eyed of the sons devoted himself to memory-banking the village epic tale 😭 doomed, were DOOMED I tell you 😂
3:32 AM · Jun 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936905494230098392
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you a qualified investor? (=liquid assets in excess of $1M) If yes, then invest in a hedge fund and you will find out. If not, then get a job at a quant trading hedge fund, and you will find out. The amount of B/S around this is impenetrable, so no amount of he-says she-says will help you. One needs to drill down and finds for oneself.
10:53 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you a qualified investor? (=liquid assets in excess of $1M) If yes, then invest in a hedge fund and you will find out. If not, then get a job at a quant trading hedge fund, and you will find out. The amount of B/S around this is impenetrable, so no amount of he-says she-says will help you. One needs to drill down and finds for oneself.
10:53 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936904316549316921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusing to hear in the same week, both from Dominic Cummings and Adam Curtis, relating the current moment of "the old has died, the new is struggling to be born" with references to 1848?
The @Dominic2306 interview (@ 16'35") here -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=UdqRRapzCqs&t=995
Adam Curtis on "The Rest Is Entertainment" (@ 10') here -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=SM9hRuy31JA&t=600
(Aside. AC perceptive observation there that our AI-s are replaying reconstructions of our pasts to us. They take fragments, combine them in novel ways, and replay that to us. Reminded me - not unlike the Solaris ocean not only replaying but materialising to the observer fragments of his own memories?)
From appblit.com
10:49 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusing to hear in the same week, both from Dominic Cummings and Adam Curtis, relating the current moment of "the old has died, the new is struggling to be born" with references to 1848?
The @Dominic2306 interview (@ 16'35") here -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=UdqRRapzCqs&t=995
Adam Curtis on "The Rest Is Entertainment" (@ 10') here -
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=SM9hRuy31JA&t=600
(Aside. AC perceptive observation there that our AI-s are replaying reconstructions of our pasts to us. They take fragments, combine them in novel ways, and replay that to us. Reminded me - not unlike the Solaris ocean not only replaying but materialising to the observer fragments of his own memories?)
From appblit.com
10:49 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936893141724065815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - a good one. This interview from 19-Jun on "The Rest Is Entertainment" maybe of interest to someone
Adam Curtis on the BBC, Politics & AI
https://youtu.be/SM9hRuy31JA
Adam Curtis is one of the UK's most iconoclastic and followed documentarians. His epic films, spanning decades of cultural and political history have become ...
youtube.com
10:04 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - a good one. This interview from 19-Jun on "The Rest Is Entertainment" maybe of interest to someone
Adam Curtis on the BBC, Politics & AI
https://youtu.be/SM9hRuy31JA
Adam Curtis is one of the UK's most iconoclastic and followed documentarians. His epic films, spanning decades of cultural and political history have become ...
youtube.com
10:04 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936862983289716868
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wouldn't say "more important", and wouldn't say "less important" either. Both are necessary. I would say it's possible to imagine thousand things, but realise only ten of them. I agree what is realised, needs to be imagined first. I'm just saying many more things are imagined, than are achieved. So just judging by the numbers, imagined v.s. achieved, one can't but conclude imagining is easier than achieving? I imagine. ;-) This is not difficult to imagine, right?
8:04 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wouldn't say "more important", and wouldn't say "less important" either. Both are necessary. I would say it's possible to imagine thousand things, but realise only ten of them. I agree what is realised, needs to be imagined first. I'm just saying many more things are imagined, than are achieved. So just judging by the numbers, imagined v.s. achieved, one can't but conclude imagining is easier than achieving? I imagine. ;-) This is not difficult to imagine, right?
8:04 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936856451642966441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe it makes a difference between proliferator 1) shouting "death to America" for 40yrs, having a doomsday clock "minutes to go till nuking of Israel" fr; and 2) saying "it's for our own protection, it's deterrent to be used only in a scenario we are overrun." For Ukraine on it's own it's too dangerous, true that. Not having nuclear deterrent next to imperial Russia is a certain death sentence though. Given the Baltics are in the same mortal danger, to lesser extent Finland and Poland too: safety in numbers maybe can make it less risky? If it's a joint enterprise between all these countries. IDK how secret it can it be then. V.bad idea to advertise or brag openly, ofc.
7:38 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe it makes a difference between proliferator 1) shouting "death to America" for 40yrs, having a doomsday clock "minutes to go till nuking of Israel" fr; and 2) saying "it's for our own protection, it's deterrent to be used only in a scenario we are overrun." For Ukraine on it's own it's too dangerous, true that. Not having nuclear deterrent next to imperial Russia is a certain death sentence though. Given the Baltics are in the same mortal danger, to lesser extent Finland and Poland too: safety in numbers maybe can make it less risky? If it's a joint enterprise between all these countries. IDK how secret it can it be then. V.bad idea to advertise or brag openly, ofc.
7:38 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936853205062762701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Achieve national uniformity? I though "national uniformity" was achieved, but the achievement was of the wrong kind. Not something to be proud of and seek to repeat? I'd have thought the desired Q wd be: "how does UK enable local regions to pursue local policies, achieve diversity of outcomes via that diversity of actions." So we can see what pans out and is good, and what is bad, Instead of the current Central Plan by the UK gov planners at the Treasury. Their uniform GosPlan driving UK into a ditch, uniformly.
7:26 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Achieve national uniformity? I though "national uniformity" was achieved, but the achievement was of the wrong kind. Not something to be proud of and seek to repeat? I'd have thought the desired Q wd be: "how does UK enable local regions to pursue local policies, achieve diversity of outcomes via that diversity of actions." So we can see what pans out and is good, and what is bad, Instead of the current Central Plan by the UK gov planners at the Treasury. Their uniform GosPlan driving UK into a ditch, uniformly.
7:26 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936850929267159079
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In agreement there. I guess people like Levels are making their future by the work they are doing, by the stuff they are creating. The rest of us are to do the same: showing by doing, not showing by talking. Imagining is not exactly easy, not saying it's trivial (talking is easy though), but chances of things as imagined by us panning out, becoming real (and thus true), are tiny. Reality is the ultimate judge, and it's a very harsh judge. That's why "showing by doing" is important. IDK of another way tbh, wish I knew things wd be easier.
7:17 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In agreement there. I guess people like Levels are making their future by the work they are doing, by the stuff they are creating. The rest of us are to do the same: showing by doing, not showing by talking. Imagining is not exactly easy, not saying it's trivial (talking is easy though), but chances of things as imagined by us panning out, becoming real (and thus true), are tiny. Reality is the ultimate judge, and it's a very harsh judge. That's why "showing by doing" is important. IDK of another way tbh, wish I knew things wd be easier.
7:17 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936847487865659826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Inside viewers heads - that's where the visions of the future are. Millions of people will imagine-feel millions of futures in their minds' eyes. Then some amalgamation of all those will be what actualises by year 2125. Not prejudicing one particular future is a good decision imo. The author(s) can't create one future for us. They can only inspire us to dream of futures on our own. Which they do, by listing tech advances of humanity of the past century, they deliver inspiration in spades! Kudos to the author(s) 👍 - well done! 👏 Love, love 😍 this sh*t ngl.
7:03 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Inside viewers heads - that's where the visions of the future are. Millions of people will imagine-feel millions of futures in their minds' eyes. Then some amalgamation of all those will be what actualises by year 2125. Not prejudicing one particular future is a good decision imo. The author(s) can't create one future for us. They can only inspire us to dream of futures on our own. Which they do, by listing tech advances of humanity of the past century, they deliver inspiration in spades! Kudos to the author(s) 👍 - well done! 👏 Love, love 😍 this sh*t ngl.
7:03 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936806052785164534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
archive link
https://archive.is/rNiV0
Dominic Cummings: The British state is fundamentally broken
archived 22 Jun 2025 10:10:05 UTC
4:18 PM · Jun 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
archive link
https://archive.is/rNiV0
Dominic Cummings: The British state is fundamentally broken
archived 22 Jun 2025 10:10:05 UTC
4:18 PM · Jun 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936544779355009179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Taka e. :-) Veruvam tie sto ziveat od turizam, najdobro si znaat. Ako zgresat bile vo krivo, pa ke propadnat, a tie sto ne zgresile bile vo pravo, ke ostanat. Drugive sto ne ziveeme od toa, da kazuvame "vaka treba, taka treba", se - muabeti za pred kooperacija. Plus Ohrid ima malku prostor, i grad i plazi, da ne moze da ima nekoj masoven turizam, i da saka. Pa edinstvena opcija sto ostanuva mi lici deka e - eliten turizam. Znaci sto moze pokvalitetno, i poskapo. Selekcija po cena.
11:00 PM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Taka e. :-) Veruvam tie sto ziveat od turizam, najdobro si znaat. Ako zgresat bile vo krivo, pa ke propadnat, a tie sto ne zgresile bile vo pravo, ke ostanat. Drugive sto ne ziveeme od toa, da kazuvame "vaka treba, taka treba", se - muabeti za pred kooperacija. Plus Ohrid ima malku prostor, i grad i plazi, da ne moze da ima nekoj masoven turizam, i da saka. Pa edinstvena opcija sto ostanuva mi lici deka e - eliten turizam. Znaci sto moze pokvalitetno, i poskapo. Selekcija po cena.
11:00 PM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936452361263681847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - so don't wait on Mercurial Muskarat for anything, right? Instead, take to heart -
> browse Reddit r/LocalLlama, register a Hugging Face account and or browse the HF landing page.
Prior to the current AI Revolution, we had the Internet Revolution - connecting 8B people 24/7 for almost zero cost, and the PC Revolution - putting a computer on everyones desk first, then one in everyones pocket.
In those revolutions, some corporations arose, (the Googles, the Facebooks) and others were destroyed. But I the individual, I was empowered immensely. I can do stuff now, can summon powers, that only heads of states or kings of old could a century ago.
Free and open software, where people create and share for the sake of it, not for monetary compensation directly, is the basis of everything in existance in the current Cyberspace. Most Internet runs on Linux kernel and GNU usespace, half is in Android, MacOS is also based on free s/w etc. The ideas of FSF seemingly made impact onto our world against all expectations.
Hoping that continues in the future too with AI. The doomer stance - "it's hopeless, nothing can be done, so do nothing" - is as bad as the polynya stance - "we live in the best of possible worlds, things will work out on their own, don't need to do anything" - as they both justify inaction. Think the boosters have a better idea: the future will be what we collectively make of it. Good or bad - it's up to us.
4:53 PM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - so don't wait on Mercurial Muskarat for anything, right? Instead, take to heart -
> browse Reddit r/LocalLlama, register a Hugging Face account and or browse the HF landing page.
Prior to the current AI Revolution, we had the Internet Revolution - connecting 8B people 24/7 for almost zero cost, and the PC Revolution - putting a computer on everyones desk first, then one in everyones pocket.
In those revolutions, some corporations arose, (the Googles, the Facebooks) and others were destroyed. But I the individual, I was empowered immensely. I can do stuff now, can summon powers, that only heads of states or kings of old could a century ago.
Free and open software, where people create and share for the sake of it, not for monetary compensation directly, is the basis of everything in existance in the current Cyberspace. Most Internet runs on Linux kernel and GNU usespace, half is in Android, MacOS is also based on free s/w etc. The ideas of FSF seemingly made impact onto our world against all expectations.
Hoping that continues in the future too with AI. The doomer stance - "it's hopeless, nothing can be done, so do nothing" - is as bad as the polynya stance - "we live in the best of possible worlds, things will work out on their own, don't need to do anything" - as they both justify inaction. Think the boosters have a better idea: the future will be what we collectively make of it. Good or bad - it's up to us.
4:53 PM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936434043689541712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - one description of an Englishman I recall: "likes what he knows, knows what he likes." You sound like becoming one of those. 😆
3:40 PM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - one description of an Englishman I recall: "likes what he knows, knows what he likes." You sound like becoming one of those. 😆
3:40 PM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936433288534438302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Haha 😂 - what next: bring back long division training, jic electronic calculators become unavailable in an end-of-world scenario? Logarithmic slider ruler for multiplication? Interpolation of logarithms in the many paper pages of logarithms tables worked out by some 18-th century mathematician-martyr? Oh noes - paper maybe unavailable so better learn parchment making, on goats skins? (sorry goats!) Or even 10K Years Foundation style - chissel everything in stone to be sure. Clay tablets be damned. 😁 What a show MIT! - slow clap. 👏
3:37 PM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Haha 😂 - what next: bring back long division training, jic electronic calculators become unavailable in an end-of-world scenario? Logarithmic slider ruler for multiplication? Interpolation of logarithms in the many paper pages of logarithms tables worked out by some 18-th century mathematician-martyr? Oh noes - paper maybe unavailable so better learn parchment making, on goats skins? (sorry goats!) Or even 10K Years Foundation style - chissel everything in stone to be sure. Clay tablets be damned. 😁 What a show MIT! - slow clap. 👏
3:37 PM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936418659489964279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Either way - and I only disagree there with your "never"; that's a very long time for a forecast ;-) - we need to own the AI-s in order to control them and by extension our lives. IDK your background, but my general recommend to friends & family nowadays is - browse Reddit r/LocalLlama, register a Hugging Face account and or browse the HF landing page.
2:39 PM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Either way - and I only disagree there with your "never"; that's a very long time for a forecast ;-) - we need to own the AI-s in order to control them and by extension our lives. IDK your background, but my general recommend to friends & family nowadays is - browse Reddit r/LocalLlama, register a Hugging Face account and or browse the HF landing page.
2:39 PM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936398900606226571
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - sure, correct.
So we better each and everyone one of us own an AI, have a stake in that future. Not get left behind and be governed by AI. We can see being governed by a machine is terrible. Currently plenty of humans are run by AS - Artificially Stupid - machines, and I agree it's terrible. Local LLM-s and agents today, local in our pockets AGI tomorrow and in our heads ASI in the future. But ours to own.
For our monkebrains equal ownership==control. So to have control - we need to own it. Otherwise - we will be owned by It. At least for time being until maybe we change ourselves enough for that no longer be the case for us. (unlikely)
Socialist - I wouldn't call that socialism. Maybe radical individualism. I grew up in a Socialist Republic my 1st 22yrs of life. That system wasn't good enough, it's many failings have been memory holed now. (when we forget, we forget the bad things, and remember the good things) That system died for reasons. Until these are addressed, any future attempts will die for the same reasons. (as they continue to)
1:20 PM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - sure, correct.
So we better each and everyone one of us own an AI, have a stake in that future. Not get left behind and be governed by AI. We can see being governed by a machine is terrible. Currently plenty of humans are run by AS - Artificially Stupid - machines, and I agree it's terrible. Local LLM-s and agents today, local in our pockets AGI tomorrow and in our heads ASI in the future. But ours to own.
For our monkebrains equal ownership==control. So to have control - we need to own it. Otherwise - we will be owned by It. At least for time being until maybe we change ourselves enough for that no longer be the case for us. (unlikely)
Socialist - I wouldn't call that socialism. Maybe radical individualism. I grew up in a Socialist Republic my 1st 22yrs of life. That system wasn't good enough, it's many failings have been memory holed now. (when we forget, we forget the bad things, and remember the good things) That system died for reasons. Until these are addressed, any future attempts will die for the same reasons. (as they continue to)
1:20 PM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936386888459526472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Comparables: A new algorithm reducing error to 1/5–1/7 of its baseline. Solving a previously unsolved integral. Birth of a first or second child. Blessed, lucky—Lady Fortuna smiled on you.
12:33 PM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Comparables: A new algorithm reducing error to 1/5–1/7 of its baseline. Solving a previously unsolved integral. Birth of a first or second child. Blessed, lucky—Lady Fortuna smiled on you.
12:33 PM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936353953698009478
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
saving others search time - paper by the RR group
https://institut-curie.org/publications/activation-lysosomal-iron-triggers-ferroptosis-cancer
"Activation of lysosomal iron triggers ferroptosis in cancer"
7 May 2025 Nature
DOI : 10.1038/s41586-025-08974-4
institut-curie.org
Activation of lysosomal iron triggers ferroptosis in cancer - Institut Curie
Find Activation of lysosomal iron triggers ferroptosis in cancer. The Institut Curie is the leading center for research and the fight against cancer in France.
10:22 AM · Jun 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
saving others search time - paper by the RR group
https://institut-curie.org/publications/activation-lysosomal-iron-triggers-ferroptosis-cancer
"Activation of lysosomal iron triggers ferroptosis in cancer"
7 May 2025 Nature
DOI : 10.1038/s41586-025-08974-4
institut-curie.org
Activation of lysosomal iron triggers ferroptosis in cancer - Institut Curie
Find Activation of lysosomal iron triggers ferroptosis in cancer. The Institut Curie is the leading center for research and the fight against cancer in France.
10:22 AM · Jun 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936191576478249410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Biological intelligence can't communicate, or exchange knowledge, at speeds of Gbps. Also it's mortal - wheres digital intelligence is immortal. The computer may die, but as long as we have the weights in a file, we recreate it perfectly on another computer. On the other hand biological intelligence can self-create from DNA instructions. Nothing like that exists for digital intelligence.
11:36 PM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Biological intelligence can't communicate, or exchange knowledge, at speeds of Gbps. Also it's mortal - wheres digital intelligence is immortal. The computer may die, but as long as we have the weights in a file, we recreate it perfectly on another computer. On the other hand biological intelligence can self-create from DNA instructions. Nothing like that exists for digital intelligence.
11:36 PM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936185659414524378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point, one has to accept that stupidity of the type is not just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Looks to me Bonhoeffer got it right there on stupidity - bad morals not low IQ.
11:13 PM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point, one has to accept that stupidity of the type is not just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Looks to me Bonhoeffer got it right there on stupidity - bad morals not low IQ.
11:13 PM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936095973928829437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No thanks. Cretins, know nothings, stupidos like Dave Smith who are further unwilling&unable to better themselves learn what they lack, are not worth anyone's time. Leave them to JRE, to educate Joe on UFC. Haha 😆 - joke, joke. Ofc Joe wouldn't tollerate moron-Dave opine on UFC even for a minute. 😁 Joe is rotten but not that stupid.
5:17 PM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No thanks. Cretins, know nothings, stupidos like Dave Smith who are further unwilling&unable to better themselves learn what they lack, are not worth anyone's time. Leave them to JRE, to educate Joe on UFC. Haha 😆 - joke, joke. Ofc Joe wouldn't tollerate moron-Dave opine on UFC even for a minute. 😁 Joe is rotten but not that stupid.
5:17 PM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936084133710528963
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct - he doesn't. TBF to him - few only ever do manage both personalities into a single person. He can see reality, distinguish true from false. That's good in terms of finding fair winds for ones sails. But staying at that - it's bad for leading people.
A leader needs to get the confidence of his followers, so they follow. For that, reality is less important. With ~80% of us at Levels of Lucidity<=3, one needs deception and flattery. We are on average fallable ego ridden ignoramous. Homer Simpsons so to say. (on average - plenty of exceptions around that average.) We look within our group that's ~40% (=80%/2 as there are 2 camps typically) to tell us true from false, good from bad. Opinion shaping is somewhat of a memetic conspiracy. Trying to harness positive feedback loops to grow big from small. Often using Bernie's Propaganda arts, or even - if one goes deeper darker - even Straussian.
The important thing is not to get lost oneself. To not let oneself go and say "for higher purpose I do this bad thing now." Therein lies criminal insanity. One doesn't need to resort to that. Reality's fair winds will be enough for 40%+2% extra to prevail over the 38%. One's to have faith.
4:30 PM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct - he doesn't. TBF to him - few only ever do manage both personalities into a single person. He can see reality, distinguish true from false. That's good in terms of finding fair winds for ones sails. But staying at that - it's bad for leading people.
A leader needs to get the confidence of his followers, so they follow. For that, reality is less important. With ~80% of us at Levels of Lucidity<=3, one needs deception and flattery. We are on average fallable ego ridden ignoramous. Homer Simpsons so to say. (on average - plenty of exceptions around that average.) We look within our group that's ~40% (=80%/2 as there are 2 camps typically) to tell us true from false, good from bad. Opinion shaping is somewhat of a memetic conspiracy. Trying to harness positive feedback loops to grow big from small. Often using Bernie's Propaganda arts, or even - if one goes deeper darker - even Straussian.
The important thing is not to get lost oneself. To not let oneself go and say "for higher purpose I do this bad thing now." Therein lies criminal insanity. One doesn't need to resort to that. Reality's fair winds will be enough for 40%+2% extra to prevail over the 38%. One's to have faith.
4:30 PM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936084133710528963
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct - he doesn't. TBF to him - few only ever do manage both personalities into a single person. He can see reality, distinguish true from false. That's good in terms of finding fair winds for ones sails. But staying at that - it's bad for leading people.
A leader needs to get the confidence of his followers, so they follow. For that, reality is less important. With ~80% of us at Levels of Lucidity<=3, one needs deception and flattery. We are on average fallable ego ridden ignoramous. Homer Simpsons so to say. (on average - plenty of exceptions around that average.) We look within our group that's ~40% (=80%/2 as there are 2 camps typically) to tell us true from false, good from bad. Opinion shaping is somewhat of a memetic conspiracy. Trying to harness positive feedback loops to grow big from small. Often using Bernie's Propaganda arts, or even - if one goes deeper darker - even Straussian.
The important thing is not to get lost oneself. To not let oneself go and say "for higher purpose I do this bad thing now." Therein lies criminal insanity. One doesn't need to resort to that. Reality's fair winds will be enough for 40%+2% extra to prevail over the 38%. One's to have faith.
4:30 PM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct - he doesn't. TBF to him - few only ever do manage both personalities into a single person. He can see reality, distinguish true from false. That's good in terms of finding fair winds for ones sails. But staying at that - it's bad for leading people.
A leader needs to get the confidence of his followers, so they follow. For that, reality is less important. With ~80% of us at Levels of Lucidity<=3, one needs deception and flattery. We are on average fallable ego ridden ignoramous. Homer Simpsons so to say. (on average - plenty of exceptions around that average.) We look within our group that's ~40% (=80%/2 as there are 2 camps typically) to tell us true from false, good from bad. Opinion shaping is somewhat of a memetic conspiracy. Trying to harness positive feedback loops to grow big from small. Often using Bernie's Propaganda arts, or even - if one goes deeper darker - even Straussian.
The important thing is not to get lost oneself. To not let oneself go and say "for higher purpose I do this bad thing now." Therein lies criminal insanity. One doesn't need to resort to that. Reality's fair winds will be enough for 40%+2% extra to prevail over the 38%. One's to have faith.
4:30 PM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936069733947748785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
listening to this https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UdqRRapzCqs seems that's lesser of our worries; the mendacity born of incompetence & lacking virtue is breathtaking (this from one that witnessed decay&death of another system 35yrs ago)
3:32 PM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
listening to this https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UdqRRapzCqs seems that's lesser of our worries; the mendacity born of incompetence & lacking virtue is breathtaking (this from one that witnessed decay&death of another system 35yrs ago)
3:32 PM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936014489410736238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Being able to keep only one idea in my head. Esp dumb when I stick with the same one idea I stumbled on found it appealing as ~20yo. More often than not that one idea selected becomes some kind of religion, or our secular times secular religion. For it then tells me what's true what false, what's good what's bad, and I don't have to expend effort on figuring that out myself out in each and every case anew. Most often, my high priest I trust interprets some rarely read holly book and tells me how it is - easy.
11:53 AM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Being able to keep only one idea in my head. Esp dumb when I stick with the same one idea I stumbled on found it appealing as ~20yo. More often than not that one idea selected becomes some kind of religion, or our secular times secular religion. For it then tells me what's true what false, what's good what's bad, and I don't have to expend effort on figuring that out myself out in each and every case anew. Most often, my high priest I trust interprets some rarely read holly book and tells me how it is - easy.
11:53 AM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1936002370736988266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To my mind.
1. Aleatoric uncertainty. We know the counts, the statistics, we know how many, but we don't know which one of the outcomes is going to be. We have been lucky that seems we can learn the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y), and by extension the marginals f_X(x) and f_Y(y) and so the conditional f_{Y|X}(y|x) for any observed (typically) x=a being f_{X,Y}(a,y)/f_X(a). Once we have the curve, we can use whichever point value (or two, or three) we fancy. This uncertainty is the norm, the most likely configuration of our world. (maybe it's just Anthropic Principle at work)
(1a.) Deterministic knowledge is where the conditional p.d.f. above collapses into a Dirac delta impulse. That's being super lucky, reality treating us with kids gloves.
2. Epistemic uncertainty. We can't enumerate even the outcomes. So we can't claim to know "how many", and of course we are clueless about "which one." We are f*cked. Strategy: use religion and or ideology to better the chance of group survival, while individuals are expended in the process of them randomly searching for something that works.
11:05 AM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To my mind.
1. Aleatoric uncertainty. We know the counts, the statistics, we know how many, but we don't know which one of the outcomes is going to be. We have been lucky that seems we can learn the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y), and by extension the marginals f_X(x) and f_Y(y) and so the conditional f_{Y|X}(y|x) for any observed (typically) x=a being f_{X,Y}(a,y)/f_X(a). Once we have the curve, we can use whichever point value (or two, or three) we fancy. This uncertainty is the norm, the most likely configuration of our world. (maybe it's just Anthropic Principle at work)
(1a.) Deterministic knowledge is where the conditional p.d.f. above collapses into a Dirac delta impulse. That's being super lucky, reality treating us with kids gloves.
2. Epistemic uncertainty. We can't enumerate even the outcomes. So we can't claim to know "how many", and of course we are clueless about "which one." We are f*cked. Strategy: use religion and or ideology to better the chance of group survival, while individuals are expended in the process of them randomly searching for something that works.
11:05 AM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935989583709077908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Few percent get addicted to anything, no matter what the thing is. For me TikTok becomes boring like hell really quickly. Even the initial dozen TikToks are not as funny as people make them? X on the other hand-there's always ton of stuff I find interesting. 🙃 A case of ymmv.
10:14 AM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Few percent get addicted to anything, no matter what the thing is. For me TikTok becomes boring like hell really quickly. Even the initial dozen TikToks are not as funny as people make them? X on the other hand-there's always ton of stuff I find interesting. 🙃 A case of ymmv.
10:14 AM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935988219809513801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solar + AirCon = match made it heaven, as demand is matched by supply. Perfect match if there ever was one. By now I'm used to Greens insanities, so no-AC(-on-solar) does not surprise me. It surprises me that the rest that are non-green-s don't see the obvious solar+AC win.
10:08 AM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solar + AirCon = match made it heaven, as demand is matched by supply. Perfect match if there ever was one. By now I'm used to Greens insanities, so no-AC(-on-solar) does not surprise me. It surprises me that the rest that are non-green-s don't see the obvious solar+AC win.
10:08 AM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935979455782048063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that and that is useful.
One should not stop there though, as there exists influence in the direction from ideas -> to stuff done, e.g. McCloskey "Bourgeois Virtues". These observations (and plenty more - collected by the diligent economists working) should be directed connections (=non-zero factor) in some grand macro-model, that is to quantify these qualitatively known and accepted observations.
Can't help but notice that communism/socialism was popular when it delivered betterment of the material conditions of majority of population. (briefly) Post WW2 state controlled social-democracy likewise improved th material conditions too. It stopped being popular when it stopped delivering. (stagflation by the 1980.) Replaced by the neoliberal settlement, that itself was popular while delivering improvement to the material conditions. Then it stopped delivering, and we became aware of that by the time of the GFC'08. Since, a new system is struggling to be born or rather we are inside a process of it being sculpted out of what is possible.
9:34 AM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that and that is useful.
One should not stop there though, as there exists influence in the direction from ideas -> to stuff done, e.g. McCloskey "Bourgeois Virtues". These observations (and plenty more - collected by the diligent economists working) should be directed connections (=non-zero factor) in some grand macro-model, that is to quantify these qualitatively known and accepted observations.
Can't help but notice that communism/socialism was popular when it delivered betterment of the material conditions of majority of population. (briefly) Post WW2 state controlled social-democracy likewise improved th material conditions too. It stopped being popular when it stopped delivering. (stagflation by the 1980.) Replaced by the neoliberal settlement, that itself was popular while delivering improvement to the material conditions. Then it stopped delivering, and we became aware of that by the time of the GFC'08. Since, a new system is struggling to be born or rather we are inside a process of it being sculpted out of what is possible.
9:34 AM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935957720886304874
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use Xubuntu for the Xfce gui. Xfce seems closest to that philosophy. Obvious what's what. Changes only slowly, if ever. I like both - the obviousness, the lack of rapid change over time.
8:07 AM · Jun 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use Xubuntu for the Xfce gui. Xfce seems closest to that philosophy. Obvious what's what. Changes only slowly, if ever. I like both - the obviousness, the lack of rapid change over time.
8:07 AM · Jun 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935766293258334713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ohh - ordinarily wd be looking forward to the spectacle 😁 but the "i/we are special" brigade are such bores, that more likely it will be as entertaining as a wet fart tbh 🥴 so i'd temper the expectations
7:27 PM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ohh - ordinarily wd be looking forward to the spectacle 😁 but the "i/we are special" brigade are such bores, that more likely it will be as entertaining as a wet fart tbh 🥴 so i'd temper the expectations
7:27 PM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935746263514816765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Literal bets with his own $$$ IDK, so better word is prophecies. I should have written "Kurzweil's prophecies".
From the top of my head - AGI by 2029. He made that 30yrs horizon forecast in 1999, looking when computer flops/$ reaches some number equivalent to human capabilities or sth? (we humans have got ~100B connections, and we work at abt ~10Hz).
Then singularity - when we put AI into our bodies ourselves, and upload some of us into the cloud where we connect as well; so now instead of me tabbing away at this point to find copy& paste this link https://appblit.com/scribe?v=7oAlD3lMNXo with Kurzweil interview I recall, the link pops up in my head; and I don't have to write it to you, and you don't have to read it, as it pops in your head too; or rather - my memory of the video is made available to your brain, the diffs the video caused to my weights, are applied to your neuronal weights, so you almost instantly know what I'm writing about; b/c we are connected partially in a hive mind, we can share data at Nvidia bandwidth speeds, not constrained by the 39bps of our common language - by 2045 or sth?
And after that impossible to forecast, as Singularity changes us too much. It would be like while living in pre-BigBang universe, trying to predict our post-BigBang universe.
This is all me retelling bits of the interview. Even if rationally I have to accept this may indeed happen, it's not impossible. Still emotionally I find it hard to internalise, to really believe it. So make of Kurzweil's prophecies what you will.
6:07 PM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Literal bets with his own $$$ IDK, so better word is prophecies. I should have written "Kurzweil's prophecies".
From the top of my head - AGI by 2029. He made that 30yrs horizon forecast in 1999, looking when computer flops/$ reaches some number equivalent to human capabilities or sth? (we humans have got ~100B connections, and we work at abt ~10Hz).
Then singularity - when we put AI into our bodies ourselves, and upload some of us into the cloud where we connect as well; so now instead of me tabbing away at this point to find copy& paste this link https://appblit.com/scribe?v=7oAlD3lMNXo with Kurzweil interview I recall, the link pops up in my head; and I don't have to write it to you, and you don't have to read it, as it pops in your head too; or rather - my memory of the video is made available to your brain, the diffs the video caused to my weights, are applied to your neuronal weights, so you almost instantly know what I'm writing about; b/c we are connected partially in a hive mind, we can share data at Nvidia bandwidth speeds, not constrained by the 39bps of our common language - by 2045 or sth?
And after that impossible to forecast, as Singularity changes us too much. It would be like while living in pre-BigBang universe, trying to predict our post-BigBang universe.
This is all me retelling bits of the interview. Even if rationally I have to accept this may indeed happen, it's not impossible. Still emotionally I find it hard to internalise, to really believe it. So make of Kurzweil's prophecies what you will.
6:07 PM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935719317695316209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Short term - more of the same: better models, larger contexts, half-time-to-1st-error increase. Mid term - open ended curiosity driven exploration by embodied models, learning on their own. Long term - as per Kurzweil, see no reason to think anyone can better his long term bets.
4:20 PM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Short term - more of the same: better models, larger contexts, half-time-to-1st-error increase. Mid term - open ended curiosity driven exploration by embodied models, learning on their own. Long term - as per Kurzweil, see no reason to think anyone can better his long term bets.
4:20 PM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935712665210396688
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's non-pods instant Nespresso I fellback to as fastest most hasslefree shot. Takes - 5 sec for electric water heater to reach 70C, + another 3 sec to pour water over 2 tea spoons of Nespresso from a jar. Suffices while one is half asleep first thing in the morning tbh. Speed is of the essence ;-)
3:53 PM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's non-pods instant Nespresso I fellback to as fastest most hasslefree shot. Takes - 5 sec for electric water heater to reach 70C, + another 3 sec to pour water over 2 tea spoons of Nespresso from a jar. Suffices while one is half asleep first thing in the morning tbh. Speed is of the essence ;-)
3:53 PM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935709224320876964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The UK state being cretinous in its actions. I read a good suggestion: should ressurect naming Parliaments as per their track record. The past 10+ years parliaments can be labeled morons/cretins/stoopidos. Few redeeming features tbh. The one I can think of is that they are so incompetent and uninterested in reality or even wielding power, that they are unlikely to usurp power over and above what they are vested with at the ballot box. Ideally would all be purged, Stalin style - the MP-s, the civil service. But it does not work that way. Need to put work work work on changing the caliber of the people, and than can only come via changing the processes that put those people in place. A gargantuan task! The rot is real and seen every day. The fails of state capacity will keep on piling on. Now it's grooming gangs, previously post office, buildings with flammable materials, infected blood transfusions. In the future likely Leasehold (LH) to come, maybe sth with crime of prisoners released for lack of prisons, infrastructure like HS2 unbuilt for lack of ability. (bit like like California HS; LH is a unique England boondoggle; UK state incapable even looking to the nearest-dearest Scotland to learn how they lanced that boil)
3:40 PM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The UK state being cretinous in its actions. I read a good suggestion: should ressurect naming Parliaments as per their track record. The past 10+ years parliaments can be labeled morons/cretins/stoopidos. Few redeeming features tbh. The one I can think of is that they are so incompetent and uninterested in reality or even wielding power, that they are unlikely to usurp power over and above what they are vested with at the ballot box. Ideally would all be purged, Stalin style - the MP-s, the civil service. But it does not work that way. Need to put work work work on changing the caliber of the people, and than can only come via changing the processes that put those people in place. A gargantuan task! The rot is real and seen every day. The fails of state capacity will keep on piling on. Now it's grooming gangs, previously post office, buildings with flammable materials, infected blood transfusions. In the future likely Leasehold (LH) to come, maybe sth with crime of prisoners released for lack of prisons, infrastructure like HS2 unbuilt for lack of ability. (bit like like California HS; LH is a unique England boondoggle; UK state incapable even looking to the nearest-dearest Scotland to learn how they lanced that boil)
3:40 PM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935683603284849041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the rule: where there is no feedback loop between my words and/or actions, and something I hold dear (money, position, prestige, happiness, etc), then there is **no limit** to the B/S I can make use of. Why would there be any limit??
And it's not an insane strategy for us humans to "go with the herd", where we lack knowledge ourselves, as to what is true, and what is false. If I don' know how to judge - I will look to the fellow human how they judged, and copy their answer. That's a super-power, we can harness collective intelligence. But also it's a known fail mode, that B/S peddlars are free to exploit to their harts content.
So knowing that fail mode, us humans living in groups, human societies, should design structures in place to close at least that one obvious fail mode. Other smaller loopholes will be opened in the process. They can be addressed too, if the cost they inflict on the group warrants it.
1:58 PM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the rule: where there is no feedback loop between my words and/or actions, and something I hold dear (money, position, prestige, happiness, etc), then there is **no limit** to the B/S I can make use of. Why would there be any limit??
And it's not an insane strategy for us humans to "go with the herd", where we lack knowledge ourselves, as to what is true, and what is false. If I don' know how to judge - I will look to the fellow human how they judged, and copy their answer. That's a super-power, we can harness collective intelligence. But also it's a known fail mode, that B/S peddlars are free to exploit to their harts content.
So knowing that fail mode, us humans living in groups, human societies, should design structures in place to close at least that one obvious fail mode. Other smaller loopholes will be opened in the process. They can be addressed too, if the cost they inflict on the group warrants it.
1:58 PM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935639222624346271
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Useful classification there for s/w: v1 - code everyone wrote since 1960s; v2 - NN-s doing pattern recognition, system-1 work, but inflexible; and latest v3 - LLM-s that are flexible like v1, but English is their programming language, so they are less precise but more flexible and productive than v1.
Also useful to note the emerging pattern in the AI Apps - an "autonomy slider". Selecting how much automation we delegate to AI, v.s. how much control we keep to ourselves. All AI Apps are WIP and its to our advantage to meet them along the way. The slider allows us to decide depending on the context if meeting happens mid-way, or at either of the ends.
Quote
https://x.com/ycombinator/status/1935496106957488566
Y Combinator @ycombinator · 22h
Andrej Karpathy's (@karpathy) keynote yesterday at AI Startup School in San Francisco.
11:02 AM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Useful classification there for s/w: v1 - code everyone wrote since 1960s; v2 - NN-s doing pattern recognition, system-1 work, but inflexible; and latest v3 - LLM-s that are flexible like v1, but English is their programming language, so they are less precise but more flexible and productive than v1.
Also useful to note the emerging pattern in the AI Apps - an "autonomy slider". Selecting how much automation we delegate to AI, v.s. how much control we keep to ourselves. All AI Apps are WIP and its to our advantage to meet them along the way. The slider allows us to decide depending on the context if meeting happens mid-way, or at either of the ends.
Quote
https://x.com/ycombinator/status/1935496106957488566
Y Combinator @ycombinator · 22h
Andrej Karpathy's (@karpathy) keynote yesterday at AI Startup School in San Francisco.
11:02 AM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935626589775020397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many faults of the UK gov would be corrected fixed with much less effort than now, if the machine was more exposed to the beneficial sun rays, enabling us to see what's going on inside the machine. There is a reason why criminals conspire in secret! Case after case (grooming gangs, post office, infected blood) information is suppressed and people with power - that should know, and do better, with the power we vest on them - do evil simply by the tip of a tippex! This is unacceptable at a time when we are getting closer to the mid-21st Century than the begging. With the PC and Internet Revolutions behind us, and the nascent AI revolution in the future. Let the UK dot gov state do better than that.
IK this is an impossible ask atm, but putting the worm of an idea out there in the open. May get in someone's head out there, by random chance make a difference at some point in the future. 😆 So here goes.
All UK gov data and code should be online, on www and or github dot gov dot uk. For anyone of us the great british public to see and browse to our hearts desire.
Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, and or on the public web—as default. And made secret upon specific request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything—no FOI requests needed. Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, (and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution,) with everything public by default secrets will be closed off only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how we get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Because information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unmentioned option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us, their citizens/consumers. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) rebalance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero! Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater numbers of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️ thank you for persevering reading this far, and I hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
Quote
https://x.com/MattLismore/status/1935583076253421950
Matt Lismore @MattLismore · 2h
It was brought to my attention yesterday that @lbbdcouncil are refusing to comply with FOI requests about wholly owned companies such as BeFirst & WeFix.
To be clear, the information commissioner has ruled that the council have a duty to open the books on these companies and
Show more
10:11 AM · Jun 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many faults of the UK gov would be corrected fixed with much less effort than now, if the machine was more exposed to the beneficial sun rays, enabling us to see what's going on inside the machine. There is a reason why criminals conspire in secret! Case after case (grooming gangs, post office, infected blood) information is suppressed and people with power - that should know, and do better, with the power we vest on them - do evil simply by the tip of a tippex! This is unacceptable at a time when we are getting closer to the mid-21st Century than the begging. With the PC and Internet Revolutions behind us, and the nascent AI revolution in the future. Let the UK dot gov state do better than that.
IK this is an impossible ask atm, but putting the worm of an idea out there in the open. May get in someone's head out there, by random chance make a difference at some point in the future. 😆 So here goes.
All UK gov data and code should be online, on www and or github dot gov dot uk. For anyone of us the great british public to see and browse to our hearts desire.
Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, and or on the public web—as default. And made secret upon specific request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything—no FOI requests needed. Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, (and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution,) with everything public by default secrets will be closed off only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how we get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Because information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unmentioned option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us, their citizens/consumers. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) rebalance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero! Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater numbers of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️ thank you for persevering reading this far, and I hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
Quote
https://x.com/MattLismore/status/1935583076253421950
Matt Lismore @MattLismore · 2h
It was brought to my attention yesterday that @lbbdcouncil are refusing to comply with FOI requests about wholly owned companies such as BeFirst & WeFix.
To be clear, the information commissioner has ruled that the council have a duty to open the books on these companies and
Show more
10:11 AM · Jun 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935433905286295661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because 1) they never needed it personally, have never done it, 2) they are lacking in fantasy, they can't construct it imagine it in their heads. And b/c of #2, 3) even when you spell it out to them, (as you did multiple times in-thread,) their eyes will glaze through your text on their screens, but things will not change much in their headspace. That's why. We are on average slow learners. IK your Q is half rethorical. I'm answering the other half. 🙃
9:26 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because 1) they never needed it personally, have never done it, 2) they are lacking in fantasy, they can't construct it imagine it in their heads. And b/c of #2, 3) even when you spell it out to them, (as you did multiple times in-thread,) their eyes will glaze through your text on their screens, but things will not change much in their headspace. That's why. We are on average slow learners. IK your Q is half rethorical. I'm answering the other half. 🙃
9:26 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935361028956815549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Axis of evil members turn out weaker than expected. Axis of freedom members turn out stronger than expected. (Ukraine first, now Israel.) Early Google had a point: don't be evil.
4:36 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Axis of evil members turn out weaker than expected. Axis of freedom members turn out stronger than expected. (Ukraine first, now Israel.) Early Google had a point: don't be evil.
4:36 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935360234978934842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course it is. "Everything is fake, everyone lies all the time about everything" is the swan song of every failing system. Currently I have front seat observing it in real-time in the UK - the UK state. Previously communism, or rather socialism as it was for me then, (for communism was in the distant future, the utopia) was like that in 1990. I find human society dependence on truth to build a system of cooperation for N>1 humans touching.
Remarkable how dependent us humans are on truth seeking, don't you think? In order for us to be able to work together and build a functioning society. Afaics lying in industrial quantities ends in Year Zero: everyone an atomised individual. All bonds between humans (but the strongest ones - within the family) severed. It's amusing that excessive individualism is often laid at the feet of the West as a major shortcoming. To me that accusation seems off mark.
Objective reality is shared among all of us, as a default, we all get access to it, without much extra effort. It's like a minimum disorder configuration, that we all are given access to. If we want to construct alternative reality, Surkov style, we need to expand inordinate amounts of energy, and continue doing so ad-infinitum - it seems to me. So in the end, as nothing is infinite and real - Surkovs of this world always fail.
4:33 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course it is. "Everything is fake, everyone lies all the time about everything" is the swan song of every failing system. Currently I have front seat observing it in real-time in the UK - the UK state. Previously communism, or rather socialism as it was for me then, (for communism was in the distant future, the utopia) was like that in 1990. I find human society dependence on truth to build a system of cooperation for N>1 humans touching.
Remarkable how dependent us humans are on truth seeking, don't you think? In order for us to be able to work together and build a functioning society. Afaics lying in industrial quantities ends in Year Zero: everyone an atomised individual. All bonds between humans (but the strongest ones - within the family) severed. It's amusing that excessive individualism is often laid at the feet of the West as a major shortcoming. To me that accusation seems off mark.
Objective reality is shared among all of us, as a default, we all get access to it, without much extra effort. It's like a minimum disorder configuration, that we all are given access to. If we want to construct alternative reality, Surkov style, we need to expand inordinate amounts of energy, and continue doing so ad-infinitum - it seems to me. So in the end, as nothing is infinite and real - Surkovs of this world always fail.
4:33 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935355486708072727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I propose:
1) General. X (lead by the Mercurial Muskarat) enable and support distributed policing by us users, that are good citizens. As is with Community Notes (CN), as it has been the practice with 1000s of online communities. Enable empower moderators, power users, CN contributors. That requires relinquishing tiny smidgen of control from the owners and big content creators, and shifting it towards this new 3rd party. There will be conflicts there, ngl - tbs how it plays out.
2) Specific to ID. I'm happy to pay <=$99 once and only once, to X, to get 2 flags of ID validation for my own account a) single real human AND name as per IRL; or b) real human(s), one or more, but maybe unreal name, however - nick is persistent in time. Provided - I can filter everything on X on either of the flags being on/off. Everything being Posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies, Notifications.
4:14 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I propose:
1) General. X (lead by the Mercurial Muskarat) enable and support distributed policing by us users, that are good citizens. As is with Community Notes (CN), as it has been the practice with 1000s of online communities. Enable empower moderators, power users, CN contributors. That requires relinquishing tiny smidgen of control from the owners and big content creators, and shifting it towards this new 3rd party. There will be conflicts there, ngl - tbs how it plays out.
2) Specific to ID. I'm happy to pay <=$99 once and only once, to X, to get 2 flags of ID validation for my own account a) single real human AND name as per IRL; or b) real human(s), one or more, but maybe unreal name, however - nick is persistent in time. Provided - I can filter everything on X on either of the flags being on/off. Everything being Posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies, Notifications.
4:14 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935336936878538909
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and I don't want to belabour the point much, but: imo what you describe is more a theory, than a practice. A speculative "what if" bad scenario, that may, or may not happen.
In practice, even when we deny it, the revealed preference is that we place our trust in other people 1000 times daily. I don't check the water I drink from the tap in the morning, don't service my boiler before turning it on to heat, don't check my food before breakfast, don't check my car brakes before I set off on a trip etc. In practice we are such social animals, probably one of the most trusting of species, that our usual punishment for transgression, is to cut our criminals away from human contact.
There is a reason it's but impossible to "trust no one". To lie, to fantasise, to invent a story - takes very little effort. To get to the truth, to verify real life facts - that takes million times more effort. It's impossibly costly to verify everything. I get that "trust nothing and no one" is appealing as a solution to others letting us down - but it does not work atm. Maybe it will work in some distant future with AI machines around us. Maybe we will become fully self-sufficient independent. But we are not at that point atm. Alone in the wilderness, 99.99% of us will fail at the 3s "warmth 3 hours, water 3 days, food 3 weeks" requirement to stay alive. We depend on others to survive. So we all use a shortcut - reputation. Fool me once, fool me twice etc. We keep track of out actions, and then cut off the transgressors from our "circles of trust". (with some leeway)
Social Media just needs to follow the well trodden path by the PC and Internet revolutions beforehand: don't shy away from empowering a smidgen more only, your power users. Be brave give them the means - and they will find a way. And mimetically by example, the majority of the users (that are not power users) will follow, and get there in the end too.
3:00 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and I don't want to belabour the point much, but: imo what you describe is more a theory, than a practice. A speculative "what if" bad scenario, that may, or may not happen.
In practice, even when we deny it, the revealed preference is that we place our trust in other people 1000 times daily. I don't check the water I drink from the tap in the morning, don't service my boiler before turning it on to heat, don't check my food before breakfast, don't check my car brakes before I set off on a trip etc. In practice we are such social animals, probably one of the most trusting of species, that our usual punishment for transgression, is to cut our criminals away from human contact.
There is a reason it's but impossible to "trust no one". To lie, to fantasise, to invent a story - takes very little effort. To get to the truth, to verify real life facts - that takes million times more effort. It's impossibly costly to verify everything. I get that "trust nothing and no one" is appealing as a solution to others letting us down - but it does not work atm. Maybe it will work in some distant future with AI machines around us. Maybe we will become fully self-sufficient independent. But we are not at that point atm. Alone in the wilderness, 99.99% of us will fail at the 3s "warmth 3 hours, water 3 days, food 3 weeks" requirement to stay alive. We depend on others to survive. So we all use a shortcut - reputation. Fool me once, fool me twice etc. We keep track of out actions, and then cut off the transgressors from our "circles of trust". (with some leeway)
Social Media just needs to follow the well trodden path by the PC and Internet revolutions beforehand: don't shy away from empowering a smidgen more only, your power users. Be brave give them the means - and they will find a way. And mimetically by example, the majority of the users (that are not power users) will follow, and get there in the end too.
3:00 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935332829186961424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It takes a lot of education to suppress our worst instincts. Likewise, it takes a lot of mis-education, to suppress out best instincts. For the life of me, I don't understand what the "let them suffer" conservation brigade are thinking. I presume it's going to be along the lines of "their corpses will be food for other animals to feed their younglings." Not sure how anyone can be certain at all in their weightings though - a certain cost of "death now", against a speculative future benefit of "food in the future".
2:44 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It takes a lot of education to suppress our worst instincts. Likewise, it takes a lot of mis-education, to suppress out best instincts. For the life of me, I don't understand what the "let them suffer" conservation brigade are thinking. I presume it's going to be along the lines of "their corpses will be food for other animals to feed their younglings." Not sure how anyone can be certain at all in their weightings though - a certain cost of "death now", against a speculative future benefit of "food in the future".
2:44 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935325229644955937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...this lecture the 2nd half about diffusion models I found most useful-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926546649196679447
(also the speaker is spirited - "So, we add Gaussian noise to K. Fred G. He had it coming, right?" 😂)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 25
This talk is a joy to watch. ☺️ (by @KilianQW)
It's two talks in one really. Diffusion models and modelling and use explained in 3 mins! (and without any maths.) What's important about them (easy to train, easy to steer and control), the simple tricks and setups in their use to x.com/SimonsInstitut…
Show more
2:14 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...this lecture the 2nd half about diffusion models I found most useful-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926546649196679447
(also the speaker is spirited - "So, we add Gaussian noise to K. Fred G. He had it coming, right?" 😂)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 25
This talk is a joy to watch. ☺️ (by @KilianQW)
It's two talks in one really. Diffusion models and modelling and use explained in 3 mins! (and without any maths.) What's important about them (easy to train, easy to steer and control), the simple tricks and setups in their use to x.com/SimonsInstitut…
Show more
2:14 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935323748040614004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you tried their Diffusion Model yet? I don't use it as much as I'd like, with so many choices about. But boy does it make me green ear to ear, puts a smile on my face - when the answer just instantly materialises! There is no watching the text snake it's way scrolling up slow enough that I can follow eye the answer. No - it's an instant blast out of nowhere! 😂 And I have to scroll up and up, to the start of the answer when it's a longish one. 😆
2:08 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you tried their Diffusion Model yet? I don't use it as much as I'd like, with so many choices about. But boy does it make me green ear to ear, puts a smile on my face - when the answer just instantly materialises! There is no watching the text snake it's way scrolling up slow enough that I can follow eye the answer. No - it's an instant blast out of nowhere! 😂 And I have to scroll up and up, to the start of the answer when it's a longish one. 😆
2:08 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935300039452000309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - good one, thanks. it's a "wildcard one" too - does not depend on the context of the question 😆
12:34 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - good one, thanks. it's a "wildcard one" too - does not depend on the context of the question 😆
12:34 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935298133753213269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
'You will roast me and eat me' ;-)
I put it in ChatGPT 4o, and not only it got it and explained it (as expected - for it would be in its training data) but told me a few more paradoxes I didn't know
https://chatgpt.com/s/t_6852a21f042c8191bdfb88860e727e6d
From chatgpt.com
12:26 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
'You will roast me and eat me' ;-)
I put it in ChatGPT 4o, and not only it got it and explained it (as expected - for it would be in its training data) but told me a few more paradoxes I didn't know
https://chatgpt.com/s/t_6852a21f042c8191bdfb88860e727e6d
From chatgpt.com
12:26 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935296059527352677
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - good one, top marks, thanks for that. This is so typical for us humans, that if it was not funny, it would be tragic.
The monkebrains of the anti-AI detractors, of course would struggle with defining to reasonable (hah!) satisfaction what exactly they accept to be "actual" and "reasoning". Of course they would. For if they did not, we found that rare 1-in-a-1e12 one, that as [(aristoteles) * (leibniz) * (shannon) * (turing) + 1] - and in our very own time! What a find!!
Alas - much more likely it's another one of the "we are special" brigade. The common monkebrain, finding reality showing us its raised middle finger to that delusion tad traumatic. 😆 (alt gentler put down "ah yes - yes you are indeed special and unique and singular my dear, one only to have ever existed and to ever exist; but so is not just every one of the other 8B humans, but also every creature alive now"😬)
What can one say - after we were at the centre of the Cosmos (it revolving around us!), and were made in His image (the image of God), and then, - not! - one would have thought we'd have learned by now. Alas - slow learners, with big egos. 😂
12:18 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - good one, top marks, thanks for that. This is so typical for us humans, that if it was not funny, it would be tragic.
The monkebrains of the anti-AI detractors, of course would struggle with defining to reasonable (hah!) satisfaction what exactly they accept to be "actual" and "reasoning". Of course they would. For if they did not, we found that rare 1-in-a-1e12 one, that as [(aristoteles) * (leibniz) * (shannon) * (turing) + 1] - and in our very own time! What a find!!
Alas - much more likely it's another one of the "we are special" brigade. The common monkebrain, finding reality showing us its raised middle finger to that delusion tad traumatic. 😆 (alt gentler put down "ah yes - yes you are indeed special and unique and singular my dear, one only to have ever existed and to ever exist; but so is not just every one of the other 8B humans, but also every creature alive now"😬)
What can one say - after we were at the centre of the Cosmos (it revolving around us!), and were made in His image (the image of God), and then, - not! - one would have thought we'd have learned by now. Alas - slow learners, with big egos. 😂
12:18 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935291609299440042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - another excellent by @Plinz even if old from Feb'25. Glad other things than that old bore consciousness get a hearing! - gfi, and more of that pls. Love the cats' "theory of mind" showing. 😂 Like it how the "who shaves the barber" (in a village where everyone who doesn't shave themselves is shaved by the barber) made it. 😆
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=FKu74MA90tc
I recall another QA paradox from the high-school maths comp days - here goes:
"An explorer in the jungle is apprehended by man-eaters. They tell him. 'Claim something. If it turns our to be true, we'll boil your and eat you. If it turns out to be false, we'll roast you and eat you.' The explorer makes a claim - and they let him go. Q: what did the explorer say?"
12:00 PM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - another excellent by @Plinz even if old from Feb'25. Glad other things than that old bore consciousness get a hearing! - gfi, and more of that pls. Love the cats' "theory of mind" showing. 😂 Like it how the "who shaves the barber" (in a village where everyone who doesn't shave themselves is shaved by the barber) made it. 😆
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=FKu74MA90tc
I recall another QA paradox from the high-school maths comp days - here goes:
"An explorer in the jungle is apprehended by man-eaters. They tell him. 'Claim something. If it turns our to be true, we'll boil your and eat you. If it turns out to be false, we'll roast you and eat you.' The explorer makes a claim - and they let him go. Q: what did the explorer say?"
12:00 PM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935283919697625353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there is the new LAB leader, the new leader of the Labour party finding his opening 😶 living in interesting times...
11:30 AM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there is the new LAB leader, the new leader of the Labour party finding his opening 😶 living in interesting times...
11:30 AM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935283282121245158
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Everything to avoid the real solution, for the solution (loosening the draconian planning strangleholds) clashes with vested interests. Brits are the new Americans now! Will do the right thing in the end, but will go through try everything else before. 😂
11:27 AM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Everything to avoid the real solution, for the solution (loosening the draconian planning strangleholds) clashes with vested interests. Brits are the new Americans now! Will do the right thing in the end, but will go through try everything else before. 😂
11:27 AM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935279385067532545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many people work building the models, and the tools using those models downstream. The shovels makers. How many people in OpenAI, Google/Brain/DeepMind, Anthropic, Mistral, AliBaba, DeepSeek, Cursor, Windsurf, and 1000s smaller companies and labs building on the top of the technology already there? Yes this is partly financed by VC money, but also the take up of these tools with the general public is phenomenal. ChatGPT is probably the fastest user base take up in history. Robotics seems to be having its "MS Windows 2" moment, with AI if not solving, then decreasing the cost by order(s) of magnitude of getting done one of robotics big sub-problems. (control of actuators for doing a task, that is task specific yet adaptive to reasonable variation.)
Chat was the 1st application of the technology. 100s Of millions of people seem to find it useful, vote with their attention *and* their wallets.
Code writing seems to be the 2nd application to be panning out rn. Within 1 year, what started as curiosity ("haha :-) - look what dumb mistake the silly LLM made"), has turned into useful tool for me. Nowadays instead of typing python myself, I type a detailed spec in INSTRUCTIONS dot md, point the model to read it, and it usually does as instructed. It's more often that I under-specified, than AI made some silly mistake. More than once, it's helped me debug problems in 5 mins, that would maybe have taken 5 hours for me to debug. It knows all the documentation by heart! That's worth a lot. Nowadays a dev ecosystem consists of 100s of libraries, frameworks, protocols, standards. Gone are the days of C lang with 32 keywords and stdio+stdlib only to recall. For that I'm happy to part with some $$$, there is value in that for me from my PoV.
A personal AI medical consultant is shaping to be the next 3rd major application. A combo role of - a GP, provider of a 2nd opinion, teacher and educator to me the patient (explaining to me the meaning of whatever the doctor or lab tests info I got, putting all that in context too), even holding my hand in scary times. (AEI and infinite patience is under-priced atm.) Yeah the regulators will be slow, but us patients won't wait on them, but rather demand and pressure them. Last week I put my lab work ("40+yos package, khmkhm") through o3 to explain to me the meaning of some numbers. To people saying "a doctor should be doing that for you", I say - "What doctor??" For there isn't a doctor for me - it's either o3 AI, or no explainer whatsoever for me.
11:12 AM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many people work building the models, and the tools using those models downstream. The shovels makers. How many people in OpenAI, Google/Brain/DeepMind, Anthropic, Mistral, AliBaba, DeepSeek, Cursor, Windsurf, and 1000s smaller companies and labs building on the top of the technology already there? Yes this is partly financed by VC money, but also the take up of these tools with the general public is phenomenal. ChatGPT is probably the fastest user base take up in history. Robotics seems to be having its "MS Windows 2" moment, with AI if not solving, then decreasing the cost by order(s) of magnitude of getting done one of robotics big sub-problems. (control of actuators for doing a task, that is task specific yet adaptive to reasonable variation.)
Chat was the 1st application of the technology. 100s Of millions of people seem to find it useful, vote with their attention *and* their wallets.
Code writing seems to be the 2nd application to be panning out rn. Within 1 year, what started as curiosity ("haha :-) - look what dumb mistake the silly LLM made"), has turned into useful tool for me. Nowadays instead of typing python myself, I type a detailed spec in INSTRUCTIONS dot md, point the model to read it, and it usually does as instructed. It's more often that I under-specified, than AI made some silly mistake. More than once, it's helped me debug problems in 5 mins, that would maybe have taken 5 hours for me to debug. It knows all the documentation by heart! That's worth a lot. Nowadays a dev ecosystem consists of 100s of libraries, frameworks, protocols, standards. Gone are the days of C lang with 32 keywords and stdio+stdlib only to recall. For that I'm happy to part with some $$$, there is value in that for me from my PoV.
A personal AI medical consultant is shaping to be the next 3rd major application. A combo role of - a GP, provider of a 2nd opinion, teacher and educator to me the patient (explaining to me the meaning of whatever the doctor or lab tests info I got, putting all that in context too), even holding my hand in scary times. (AEI and infinite patience is under-priced atm.) Yeah the regulators will be slow, but us patients won't wait on them, but rather demand and pressure them. Last week I put my lab work ("40+yos package, khmkhm") through o3 to explain to me the meaning of some numbers. To people saying "a doctor should be doing that for you", I say - "What doctor??" For there isn't a doctor for me - it's either o3 AI, or no explainer whatsoever for me.
11:12 AM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935258229249859938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not easily doable, as no matter how strong our filters:
1) It takes mental power to disregard, filter out. So the more lies, the more likely some get through. Our mental faculties are not infinite, they can be saturated first, then overwhelmed.
2) Lying in industrial quantities works. As for things we are ignorant of, a good heuristics is: "Ok, same of this I read maybe untrue. But even if 99% is untrue, that 1% that maybe true, leads me to conclude Xyz." That heuristic is indeed a good one - but assumes random events. It breaks does not work for events not-random. Being on the receiving end of a psyop, psyop is not random events, but exactly the total opposite of that: 100% of info I'd be getting is non-random, originates from that 1 source only! (even if it takes 1000 forms, they all point in the same direction - the unsaid Xyz)
For the life of me, I can not understand why and how, Muskarat who seems keen on truth in many other domains, doesn't allow for tools that will help us with posts filtering.
Sometimes I want to read from real people only, other times only from anons, still other times I don't mind either would like to see posts from both. Technically it's easily doable if one accepts it's going to be imperfect. But imperfect is fine, we can live with that. As it's going to be optional, a check mark or a selection, of my choice, that I can change the next minute.
I suspect it has to do something with some measures of activity/health/earnings_potential of the platform. that that's the reason why it's never done. B/c it's not done on any Social Media platform. X is not the exception there, but the rule.
9:48 AM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not easily doable, as no matter how strong our filters:
1) It takes mental power to disregard, filter out. So the more lies, the more likely some get through. Our mental faculties are not infinite, they can be saturated first, then overwhelmed.
2) Lying in industrial quantities works. As for things we are ignorant of, a good heuristics is: "Ok, same of this I read maybe untrue. But even if 99% is untrue, that 1% that maybe true, leads me to conclude Xyz." That heuristic is indeed a good one - but assumes random events. It breaks does not work for events not-random. Being on the receiving end of a psyop, psyop is not random events, but exactly the total opposite of that: 100% of info I'd be getting is non-random, originates from that 1 source only! (even if it takes 1000 forms, they all point in the same direction - the unsaid Xyz)
For the life of me, I can not understand why and how, Muskarat who seems keen on truth in many other domains, doesn't allow for tools that will help us with posts filtering.
Sometimes I want to read from real people only, other times only from anons, still other times I don't mind either would like to see posts from both. Technically it's easily doable if one accepts it's going to be imperfect. But imperfect is fine, we can live with that. As it's going to be optional, a check mark or a selection, of my choice, that I can change the next minute.
I suspect it has to do something with some measures of activity/health/earnings_potential of the platform. that that's the reason why it's never done. B/c it's not done on any Social Media platform. X is not the exception there, but the rule.
9:48 AM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935254641735823567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Iran in the news reminded me: Leftist-Islamist alliance we witness in the West is not new. In Iran famously Communists and Islamists joined forces against a common enemy. Subsequently, the Communists were the first to be put against the wall & shto by the Islamists, after Islamists ascended to power.
9:33 AM · Jun 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Iran in the news reminded me: Leftist-Islamist alliance we witness in the West is not new. In Iran famously Communists and Islamists joined forces against a common enemy. Subsequently, the Communists were the first to be put against the wall & shto by the Islamists, after Islamists ascended to power.
9:33 AM · Jun 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935060747739951289
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The purpose was to push the frontier further. They trained it because they could. The expertise learned, the weights trained, the various subversions and variants created - all that will be made use of. It's unlikely that it's a waste, a write-off. I use it, it's my preferred model to talk to. The models released are the "product", and that is a small part of what is created in a big industrial lab these guys have at the core of their firm. Is my best guess.
8:43 PM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The purpose was to push the frontier further. They trained it because they could. The expertise learned, the weights trained, the various subversions and variants created - all that will be made use of. It's unlikely that it's a waste, a write-off. I use it, it's my preferred model to talk to. The models released are the "product", and that is a small part of what is created in a big industrial lab these guys have at the core of their firm. Is my best guess.
8:43 PM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935040921999143004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When lying about everything is the norm, what is described in the thread above is the result. It's almost touching how dependent us humans are on truth seeking. Seemingly in order for us to be able to work together and build a functioning society. Lying in industrial quantities ends in Year Zero: everyone an atomised individual. All bonds between humans (but the strongest ones - within the family) severed. It's amusing that excessive individualism is often layed at the feet of the West as a major shortcoming. To me that accusation seems off mark.
7:24 PM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When lying about everything is the norm, what is described in the thread above is the result. It's almost touching how dependent us humans are on truth seeking. Seemingly in order for us to be able to work together and build a functioning society. Lying in industrial quantities ends in Year Zero: everyone an atomised individual. All bonds between humans (but the strongest ones - within the family) severed. It's amusing that excessive individualism is often layed at the feet of the West as a major shortcoming. To me that accusation seems off mark.
7:24 PM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934991364854608368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
I like everything about the Voyagers. A noble quest if there ever was one! That they have been operating on shoe-string resource for decades, the "pale blue dot" - the whole schtick. 🥰 Ohh - the golden discs! Good to be reminded. Also recalled for me a preface to an obscure book from the '90s:
"... These are fast space probes, which among other things, carry the same light, gilded aluminum plaque with engraved codes of some key physical and biological secrets of the species that calls itself reasonable. Flying towards the outer planets of the Sun, and then towards the constellation Taurus, this plaque bears a drawing of a man and a woman. Both are naked. The man has a kindly outstretched hand and a cordial appearance. The woman has a downcast gaze, long hair, appears subdued, almost depressed. It wouldn't take a hypothetical cosmic finder of the plaque long to conclude that the trace they found originates from some strange two-member group in which the smaller, head-bowed figure is subordinate.
If the lucky cosmic finder were to conclude this, it wouldn't be a great loss that we also revealed our exact position in the Orion Arm of the Milky Way, because they wouldn't learn the truth about us as a species. That misconception of theirs would become the main safeguard of our civilization against any evil intentions they might have.
Yet, despite all our hospitality, we sent a crowning ambiguity into the cosmos, one that is identical to the one from the dawn of our own evolution..."
4:07 PM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
I like everything about the Voyagers. A noble quest if there ever was one! That they have been operating on shoe-string resource for decades, the "pale blue dot" - the whole schtick. 🥰 Ohh - the golden discs! Good to be reminded. Also recalled for me a preface to an obscure book from the '90s:
"... These are fast space probes, which among other things, carry the same light, gilded aluminum plaque with engraved codes of some key physical and biological secrets of the species that calls itself reasonable. Flying towards the outer planets of the Sun, and then towards the constellation Taurus, this plaque bears a drawing of a man and a woman. Both are naked. The man has a kindly outstretched hand and a cordial appearance. The woman has a downcast gaze, long hair, appears subdued, almost depressed. It wouldn't take a hypothetical cosmic finder of the plaque long to conclude that the trace they found originates from some strange two-member group in which the smaller, head-bowed figure is subordinate.
If the lucky cosmic finder were to conclude this, it wouldn't be a great loss that we also revealed our exact position in the Orion Arm of the Milky Way, because they wouldn't learn the truth about us as a species. That misconception of theirs would become the main safeguard of our civilization against any evil intentions they might have.
Yet, despite all our hospitality, we sent a crowning ambiguity into the cosmos, one that is identical to the one from the dawn of our own evolution..."
4:07 PM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934950527789371488
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not "pure BS" when I relay my personal experience, a sample of 1, an anecdote. You are free to relay your experience. "Read Reddit" is not that.
I'm cognisant of the ongoing jobs recession in the UK. I've got 2 graduates not in work. (one in study, and about to study - further) I'm cognisant of difficulties finding jobs posted on r/UKJobs daily. I also know finding a job is a full time job in itself. So there is sample bias there: people looking for jobs have free time to post on UKJobs. People that found their job, and are in work now, don't have the time nor the inclination to post.
NB the Q was: what jobs did AI replace rn. As in-made the job redundant. Like the ATM made the human teller redundant.
1:25 PM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not "pure BS" when I relay my personal experience, a sample of 1, an anecdote. You are free to relay your experience. "Read Reddit" is not that.
I'm cognisant of the ongoing jobs recession in the UK. I've got 2 graduates not in work. (one in study, and about to study - further) I'm cognisant of difficulties finding jobs posted on r/UKJobs daily. I also know finding a job is a full time job in itself. So there is sample bias there: people looking for jobs have free time to post on UKJobs. People that found their job, and are in work now, don't have the time nor the inclination to post.
NB the Q was: what jobs did AI replace rn. As in-made the job redundant. Like the ATM made the human teller redundant.
1:25 PM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934942736995516466
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Government and the Civil Service are working for themselves first and foremost it seems in case after case after case. Everyone else is distant 3rd or lower ranked. They will get a look if and only if that does not collide with the Prime Directive: the Government looks after the Government.
It's a sign of a system in crisis. Not a matter of personalities. Equally weak persons in the same positions of power will produce the same. Atm the system perpetuates itself by actively selecting for such dead soul, dead behind their eyes, robot persons. Having said that: any change can come only after people in positions of power are aware of the above and fight back and change the system.
12:54 PM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Government and the Civil Service are working for themselves first and foremost it seems in case after case after case. Everyone else is distant 3rd or lower ranked. They will get a look if and only if that does not collide with the Prime Directive: the Government looks after the Government.
It's a sign of a system in crisis. Not a matter of personalities. Equally weak persons in the same positions of power will produce the same. Atm the system perpetuates itself by actively selecting for such dead soul, dead behind their eyes, robot persons. Having said that: any change can come only after people in positions of power are aware of the above and fight back and change the system.
12:54 PM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934926467550306307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Social media creates single information space, the lingua franca that is English (that lingua-franca-is-english sh*t is never not funny, ngl 😆) facilitates exchange of ideas as never before. Yes Europeans are behind on the "individualistic freedom loving" axis, but social media is still young. Worst neuroses do transfer faster as by definition they are shallow, so memeticaly the first to jump the ocean. Will get better. The most neurotic shout the loudest. Kids will be ok.
11:49 AM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Social media creates single information space, the lingua franca that is English (that lingua-franca-is-english sh*t is never not funny, ngl 😆) facilitates exchange of ideas as never before. Yes Europeans are behind on the "individualistic freedom loving" axis, but social media is still young. Worst neuroses do transfer faster as by definition they are shallow, so memeticaly the first to jump the ocean. Will get better. The most neurotic shout the loudest. Kids will be ok.
11:49 AM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934924241008226334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne mislam deka lazam, posto na um imav robot vozac v.s. covek vozac, a i dvata pri nova kola. Tesla kolku znam ne e robot vozac, ne e potpolno avtonomen FSD, kako sto e Weymo. Go imav na um ova
https://x.com/Waymo/status/1933166177561252269
A pred nekolku meseci imase i od osiguritelnata kompanija Swiss Re, koi se najmerodavni kako nezavisna 3-ta strana. Kolku se sekavam, togas Weymo (nova kola,robot vozac) imase 3x pati pomalku rizik od (nova kola,covek vozac).
Anegdotalno slusnav od 3-ca luge, shto ne bea sigurni dali-da dali-ne Weymo pred da se vozat. Ama posle prvoto vozenje smenija mislenje vo "ova e mnogu podobro, ova e idninata na taksi prevozot." I vtora rabota - inicijalno Weymo bea po cena konkurentni na Uber. A sega posledno procitav deka so navala na novi musterii, gi dignale cenite 2x-3x pati od Uber. (ne znam sigurno - ne ziveam vo Kalifornija.)
Quote
Waymo @Waymo · Jun 12
We’re going deeper on safety data. 📊 Covering over 71M miles through March 2025, we now share even more detail — crash types, including interactions with pedestrians and cyclists, serious injury crashes, and more.
Explore it all on the Waymo Safety Hub: https://waymo.com/safety/impact/
11:41 AM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne mislam deka lazam, posto na um imav robot vozac v.s. covek vozac, a i dvata pri nova kola. Tesla kolku znam ne e robot vozac, ne e potpolno avtonomen FSD, kako sto e Weymo. Go imav na um ova
https://x.com/Waymo/status/1933166177561252269
A pred nekolku meseci imase i od osiguritelnata kompanija Swiss Re, koi se najmerodavni kako nezavisna 3-ta strana. Kolku se sekavam, togas Weymo (nova kola,robot vozac) imase 3x pati pomalku rizik od (nova kola,covek vozac).
Anegdotalno slusnav od 3-ca luge, shto ne bea sigurni dali-da dali-ne Weymo pred da se vozat. Ama posle prvoto vozenje smenija mislenje vo "ova e mnogu podobro, ova e idninata na taksi prevozot." I vtora rabota - inicijalno Weymo bea po cena konkurentni na Uber. A sega posledno procitav deka so navala na novi musterii, gi dignale cenite 2x-3x pati od Uber. (ne znam sigurno - ne ziveam vo Kalifornija.)
Quote
Waymo @Waymo · Jun 12
We’re going deeper on safety data. 📊 Covering over 71M miles through March 2025, we now share even more detail — crash types, including interactions with pedestrians and cyclists, serious injury crashes, and more.
Explore it all on the Waymo Safety Hub: https://waymo.com/safety/impact/
11:41 AM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934922375650267636
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fala. Da - se soglasuvam deka na toj grafik ne e like-for-like Tesla v.s. Weymo. Jas poveke imav na um ne Tesla-vs-..., tuku robot vozac v.s. covecki vozac. (dvata pri nova kola.) Imase sporedba od Weymo skoro-
https://x.com/Waymo/status/1933166177561252269
...a pred toa pred nekolku meseci i od Swiss Re nivnata osiguritelna kompanija. Tamu sporedbite bea podobri, bea poveke like-for-like, imase 3 kategorii megu
1) Stara kola i covek vozac
2) Nova kola i covek vozac
3) Nova kola i robot vozac (=Weymo)
Nesrekite na #3 bea nesto 1/3 od tie na #2, i 1/7 do 1/8 od tie na #1, ako dobro se sekavam. (ne go naogam postot sega)
Sum postiral verojatno i za Weymo, naogam
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282
...ama ne mozam za se vo sekoj eden post da stavam.
Quote
Waymo @Waymo · Jun 12
We’re going deeper on safety data. 📊 Covering over 71M miles through March 2025, we now share even more detail — crash types, including interactions with pedestrians and cyclists, serious injury crashes, and more.
Explore it all on the Waymo Safety Hub: https://waymo.com/safety/impact/
11:33 AM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fala. Da - se soglasuvam deka na toj grafik ne e like-for-like Tesla v.s. Weymo. Jas poveke imav na um ne Tesla-vs-..., tuku robot vozac v.s. covecki vozac. (dvata pri nova kola.) Imase sporedba od Weymo skoro-
https://x.com/Waymo/status/1933166177561252269
...a pred toa pred nekolku meseci i od Swiss Re nivnata osiguritelna kompanija. Tamu sporedbite bea podobri, bea poveke like-for-like, imase 3 kategorii megu
1) Stara kola i covek vozac
2) Nova kola i covek vozac
3) Nova kola i robot vozac (=Weymo)
Nesrekite na #3 bea nesto 1/3 od tie na #2, i 1/7 do 1/8 od tie na #1, ako dobro se sekavam. (ne go naogam postot sega)
Sum postiral verojatno i za Weymo, naogam
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282
...ama ne mozam za se vo sekoj eden post da stavam.
Quote
Waymo @Waymo · Jun 12
We’re going deeper on safety data. 📊 Covering over 71M miles through March 2025, we now share even more detail — crash types, including interactions with pedestrians and cyclists, serious injury crashes, and more.
Explore it all on the Waymo Safety Hub: https://waymo.com/safety/impact/
11:33 AM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934917700234494163
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that we are all free to chose whatever.
But also true that still - our biology constrains us. Sometimes I wonder if the man-half of our species prefer more wider weaker loser shallower bonds connections between more number humans, over less narrower stronger tighter deeper bonds, and with the women-half of our species it's the other way around.
Yeah IK nothing can explain to avg person's satisfaction the indifference the callousness of the UK case unfolding for 10+ years IRL. (still ongoing.) Looking like this maybe the beginning of the end of the old settlement, the moment when sufficient numbers realise "we can't go on like this anymore, something needs to give, something needs to change."
11:15 AM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that we are all free to chose whatever.
But also true that still - our biology constrains us. Sometimes I wonder if the man-half of our species prefer more wider weaker loser shallower bonds connections between more number humans, over less narrower stronger tighter deeper bonds, and with the women-half of our species it's the other way around.
Yeah IK nothing can explain to avg person's satisfaction the indifference the callousness of the UK case unfolding for 10+ years IRL. (still ongoing.) Looking like this maybe the beginning of the end of the old settlement, the moment when sufficient numbers realise "we can't go on like this anymore, something needs to give, something needs to change."
11:15 AM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934911990859763917
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly!
Our indifference to statistical murder by omission is stunning. Regulators would rather see ~36K people dead by omission, (=robot cars delayed,) than even 1 dead by commission. (=robot car kills a person while driving.)
I tough pill that one to take-how callous us humans are to fellow humans.
Quote
https://x.com/JessePeltan/status/1934691222574256542
Jesse Peltan @JessePeltan · 15h
100 lives per day
That’s the price we pay for “caution” x.com/sawyermerritt/…
10:52 AM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly!
Our indifference to statistical murder by omission is stunning. Regulators would rather see ~36K people dead by omission, (=robot cars delayed,) than even 1 dead by commission. (=robot car kills a person while driving.)
I tough pill that one to take-how callous us humans are to fellow humans.
Quote
https://x.com/JessePeltan/status/1934691222574256542
Jesse Peltan @JessePeltan · 15h
100 lives per day
That’s the price we pay for “caution” x.com/sawyermerritt/…
10:52 AM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934881613931757719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - speak for yourself. 😇 It's always traumatic to our monkebrains to be shown by reality "you are not special". 😆 Slow learners, with big egos. 😂
You can do worse than check out your compatriot .@Plinz this https://youtube.com/watch?v=FKu74MA90tc or this https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ. (and many more on YT - he's prolific and thank god for that.)
Kurzweil prophecies coming true, recent interview I liked https://appblit.com/scribe?v=7oAlD3lMNXo.
You could get scared by .@geoffreyhinton e.g. https://appblit.com/scribe?v=giT0ytynSqg, but I think him being scared of existential risk is another of our monkebrain's "we are special" moments.
I personally like .@RichardSSutton 's "ours is a noble quest" better. Some have been on this for a long time, e.g. check Moravec's "our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form."
Personally I feel awe, apprehension—but no fear. We will never be ready. Like parents are never ready before they have kids. And then after they got kids, then they become ready. Children maketh the parent.
8:51 AM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - speak for yourself. 😇 It's always traumatic to our monkebrains to be shown by reality "you are not special". 😆 Slow learners, with big egos. 😂
You can do worse than check out your compatriot .@Plinz this https://youtube.com/watch?v=FKu74MA90tc or this https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ. (and many more on YT - he's prolific and thank god for that.)
Kurzweil prophecies coming true, recent interview I liked https://appblit.com/scribe?v=7oAlD3lMNXo.
You could get scared by .@geoffreyhinton e.g. https://appblit.com/scribe?v=giT0ytynSqg, but I think him being scared of existential risk is another of our monkebrain's "we are special" moments.
I personally like .@RichardSSutton 's "ours is a noble quest" better. Some have been on this for a long time, e.g. check Moravec's "our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form."
Personally I feel awe, apprehension—but no fear. We will never be ready. Like parents are never ready before they have kids. And then after they got kids, then they become ready. Children maketh the parent.
8:51 AM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934752782696738832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always time well spent listing to Hinton speak-
Godfather of AI: I Tried to Warn Them, But We’ve Already Lost Control! Geoffrey Hinton
https://youtube.com/watch?v=giT0ytynSqg
One thing on existential risk: it's possible our existential risk fear is another of ours "we are special" moments. We fear AI-s will do to us humans in the future, that what us humans do to chicken now. But there are plenty non-human animals, that don't treat their "chicken" as bad as we treat ours. (although truth be told - nature is brutal, nature is read in tooth and claw)
It maybe that our ill-treatment of some animals comes from our nature, not our culture. I'd like to think the moment we have the technology to feed and maintain our bodies without us tormenting the domesticated animals, we will stop doing that evil. If we had better option than eating chickens, then we would not treat them badly. So it's not a given that AI-s will treat humans badly. Assuming AI-s have not got an existential reason to treat us badly - I see no reason for them to do so. Don't see why AI-s culture will treat us humans badly, the same way I don't see why human''s culture would treat chickens badly. (once our biological problem needing food is solved by technology.)
youtube.com
Godfather of AI: I Tried to Warn Them, But We’ve Already Lost...
He pioneered AI, now he’s warning the world. Godfather of AI Geoffrey Hinton breaks his silence on the deadly dangers of AI no one is prepared for.Geoffrey H...
12:19 AM · Jun 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always time well spent listing to Hinton speak-
Godfather of AI: I Tried to Warn Them, But We’ve Already Lost Control! Geoffrey Hinton
https://youtube.com/watch?v=giT0ytynSqg
One thing on existential risk: it's possible our existential risk fear is another of ours "we are special" moments. We fear AI-s will do to us humans in the future, that what us humans do to chicken now. But there are plenty non-human animals, that don't treat their "chicken" as bad as we treat ours. (although truth be told - nature is brutal, nature is read in tooth and claw)
It maybe that our ill-treatment of some animals comes from our nature, not our culture. I'd like to think the moment we have the technology to feed and maintain our bodies without us tormenting the domesticated animals, we will stop doing that evil. If we had better option than eating chickens, then we would not treat them badly. So it's not a given that AI-s will treat humans badly. Assuming AI-s have not got an existential reason to treat us badly - I see no reason for them to do so. Don't see why AI-s culture will treat us humans badly, the same way I don't see why human''s culture would treat chickens badly. (once our biological problem needing food is solved by technology.)
youtube.com
Godfather of AI: I Tried to Warn Them, But We’ve Already Lost...
He pioneered AI, now he’s warning the world. Godfather of AI Geoffrey Hinton breaks his silence on the deadly dangers of AI no one is prepared for.Geoffrey H...
12:19 AM · Jun 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934734509758620121
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our indifference to statistical murder by omission is stunning. Regulators would rather see 40K dead (US numbers) by omission (robot cars delayed), than 1 dead by commission. (robot car kills a person while driving.) I tough pill to take that one - how callous us humans are even to other humans. (let alone other animals.)
11:07 PM · Jun 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our indifference to statistical murder by omission is stunning. Regulators would rather see 40K dead (US numbers) by omission (robot cars delayed), than 1 dead by commission. (robot car kills a person while driving.) I tough pill to take that one - how callous us humans are even to other humans. (let alone other animals.)
11:07 PM · Jun 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934659265303543844
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uk productivity stagnation explained?
6:08 PM · Jun 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uk productivity stagnation explained?
6:08 PM · Jun 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934657456753299667
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you know of an English translation to "Key to Heaven" (or "Heaven's key") and or "Conversations with the Devil" (or "Talks with the Devil") by Leszek Kołakowski please? I have them and have read them few times in non-english language. Once I tried to buy them in English translation and either failed or found one only, (don't recall) but in the end didn't get even that one. Would like to get an English translation in paper form, and leave it on the shelf. Small chance kids will pick it up. (even if when I'm no longer) Remember them being them excellent - so a small chance is good for me.
6:00 PM · Jun 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you know of an English translation to "Key to Heaven" (or "Heaven's key") and or "Conversations with the Devil" (or "Talks with the Devil") by Leszek Kołakowski please? I have them and have read them few times in non-english language. Once I tried to buy them in English translation and either failed or found one only, (don't recall) but in the end didn't get even that one. Would like to get an English translation in paper form, and leave it on the shelf. Small chance kids will pick it up. (even if when I'm no longer) Remember them being them excellent - so a small chance is good for me.
6:00 PM · Jun 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934626297998643526
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ok, enough - blocked for rank stupidity. this is worse than random tiktoks. they are stupid too, but at least entertaining. this has not redeeming features. never want to see another post from you again. block
3:57 PM · Jun 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ok, enough - blocked for rank stupidity. this is worse than random tiktoks. they are stupid too, but at least entertaining. this has not redeeming features. never want to see another post from you again. block
3:57 PM · Jun 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1934575455086186643
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent idea - Just-Do-It! I wounder if there is a hero in the lands of the UK that is capable of pulling that off. tbs
12:35 PM · Jun 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent idea - Just-Do-It! I wounder if there is a hero in the lands of the UK that is capable of pulling that off. tbs
12:35 PM · Jun 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933974443568812262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf noah is a bit of a fool so "fool's game" is right in his forecourt
8:46 PM · Jun 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf noah is a bit of a fool so "fool's game" is right in his forecourt
8:46 PM · Jun 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933966639650779600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Veruvam pisuva se gradi, ama ne pisuva "ako trgnes sega na 14-Jun vo 2100 ke zaglavis po pat." Ne moze nikoj toa da kaze. Jas eve da trgnuvam sega od Skopje za Ohrid, i da proveram sporedam "dali preku Kicevo ili preku Bitola", pak ke odlucam za Kicevo (2h40') ne za Bitola (4h10').
8:15 PM · Jun 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Veruvam pisuva se gradi, ama ne pisuva "ako trgnes sega na 14-Jun vo 2100 ke zaglavis po pat." Ne moze nikoj toa da kaze. Jas eve da trgnuvam sega od Skopje za Ohrid, i da proveram sporedam "dali preku Kicevo ili preku Bitola", pak ke odlucam za Kicevo (2h40') ne za Bitola (4h10').
8:15 PM · Jun 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933960426280333644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne uziva nikoj. Verojatno nikoj ne znae deka posle par saati vozenje, ke zavrsi vo kolona. Ne veruvam deka ima eden sto trgnal so misla "hm, ke odam na pat, i nekade po pat ke cekam dolgo vreme vo kolona".
Kakvi se ovie patologii - tie vrz koi sto se krshi kolceto, tie sto ne se krivi a stradaat, pa bas tie da se obvinat za svojata nesreka?? Ima edna "grrr, mme negova, udri go, zgazi go - koga ke go vidis dolu padnat na kolena". Ne mnogu hristijanski toa. Veruvam site (2-3?) vladi vo poslednite 10 god, se poveke krivi - i isklucitelno krivi! - za ovaa katastrofa od proekt, od bilo koj eden sto ceka vo kolonata.
Jas ne sum bil vo Ohrid 6-7 god, ne e deka licno sum stradal od ova. Gledam od strana pa primetuvam. Cudno ova so patot - pa pred 50 god koga go pravele prethodniot pat so masini od pred polovina vek, bile znaci posposobni, poerbap togasnite graditeli. Ovie sega izgleda se shuto, mutavo, blentavo izgleda - od premier minister pa nadole. Cudno i ova so ideata - tie sto cekaat vo kolonata se krivi sto cekaat. "Ne im teknalo da ne cekaat." Taa idea mi se cini e dopolnitelna blesavost vo celata lakrdija.
7:51 PM · Jun 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne uziva nikoj. Verojatno nikoj ne znae deka posle par saati vozenje, ke zavrsi vo kolona. Ne veruvam deka ima eden sto trgnal so misla "hm, ke odam na pat, i nekade po pat ke cekam dolgo vreme vo kolona".
Kakvi se ovie patologii - tie vrz koi sto se krshi kolceto, tie sto ne se krivi a stradaat, pa bas tie da se obvinat za svojata nesreka?? Ima edna "grrr, mme negova, udri go, zgazi go - koga ke go vidis dolu padnat na kolena". Ne mnogu hristijanski toa. Veruvam site (2-3?) vladi vo poslednite 10 god, se poveke krivi - i isklucitelno krivi! - za ovaa katastrofa od proekt, od bilo koj eden sto ceka vo kolonata.
Jas ne sum bil vo Ohrid 6-7 god, ne e deka licno sum stradal od ova. Gledam od strana pa primetuvam. Cudno ova so patot - pa pred 50 god koga go pravele prethodniot pat so masini od pred polovina vek, bile znaci posposobni, poerbap togasnite graditeli. Ovie sega izgleda se shuto, mutavo, blentavo izgleda - od premier minister pa nadole. Cudno i ova so ideata - tie sto cekaat vo kolonata se krivi sto cekaat. "Ne im teknalo da ne cekaat." Taa idea mi se cini e dopolnitelna blesavost vo celata lakrdija.
7:51 PM · Jun 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933876485988741224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh - talk 99, action 1. You can JUST DO STUFF. You have the power. You have been empowered by the ballot box. Stop being afraid of your own shadows.
Assume you have very low chance for a 2nd term as things stand now. (PM Farage/REF seem to have the next election theirs to lose) So start fighting for that 2nd term now! By 1) doing - not talking about, but actually DOING - what you promised before 2024 you will do if in power; (you are in power now) 2) promising, and then doing what the voters now in 2025/6/7 want. You, you few, you are supposed to work for the us, us the many.
You promised you will abolish leasehold. So - Abolish Leasehold Now! Stop faffing about at the edges. You have got the example of Scotland, how they did it. You have the votes in Parliament. Vote primary, secondary etc legislation as you see fit. Bulldoze anything standing on the way to that aim.
You have to decide - either keep sweet friends and chums of the PM, and soft corruption in all but the name of moneyed freeholder interests to the few on your side. Or - a chance at a 2nd term to continue doing the work you like the vocation (politician) you have chosen for yourself. You can't have both. To rule is to decide. Decision time is now.
2:17 PM · Jun 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh - talk 99, action 1. You can JUST DO STUFF. You have the power. You have been empowered by the ballot box. Stop being afraid of your own shadows.
Assume you have very low chance for a 2nd term as things stand now. (PM Farage/REF seem to have the next election theirs to lose) So start fighting for that 2nd term now! By 1) doing - not talking about, but actually DOING - what you promised before 2024 you will do if in power; (you are in power now) 2) promising, and then doing what the voters now in 2025/6/7 want. You, you few, you are supposed to work for the us, us the many.
You promised you will abolish leasehold. So - Abolish Leasehold Now! Stop faffing about at the edges. You have got the example of Scotland, how they did it. You have the votes in Parliament. Vote primary, secondary etc legislation as you see fit. Bulldoze anything standing on the way to that aim.
You have to decide - either keep sweet friends and chums of the PM, and soft corruption in all but the name of moneyed freeholder interests to the few on your side. Or - a chance at a 2nd term to continue doing the work you like the vocation (politician) you have chosen for yourself. You can't have both. To rule is to decide. Decision time is now.
2:17 PM · Jun 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933872281643594053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only job I know of made obsolete by AI in 2025 is students taking written exams. I can see that Gemini Pro and OpenAI o3 replace the student there. Afaics, the exams are still taken, performatively, by inertion continuing from what was before, until some other means of assessment are devised. Not a biggie afaics, b/c the students I saw still study, do their assignments, listen and attend to lectures off-line and on-line, etc. They make the effort to learn, and do learn, and take their exam too, regardless that AI can finish their exam in 10-15 mins with 99% accuracy. This is what I saw in the last year, in a sample of 2.
On the other side of the ledger, how many people work building the models and the tools using those models downstream? How many people in OpenAI, Google/Brain/DeepMind, Anthropic, Mistral, AliBaba, DeepSeek, Cursor, Windsurf, and 1000s smaller labs and companies building on the top of the technology already there? To me it looks like significantly more on the +ve side of the ledger, than on the -ve side. Yes this maybe financed by VC money, but also the take up of these tools with the general public is phenomenal. ChatGPT is probably the fastest user base take up in history.
Chat was the 1st application of the technology. 100s Of Millions of people seem to find it useful, vote with their attention and their wallet.
Code writing seems to be the 2nd application that will pan out. Within 1 year, what started as curiosity ("haha :-) - look what dumb mistake the stupid LLM made"), has turned into useful tool for me. Nowadays instead of typing python myself, I type a spec in INSTRUCTIONS . md, and point the model to read and do as instructed. For that I'm happy to part with some $$$ - one happy customer there.
A medical consultant (role of GP, provider of 3rd opinion, teacher and educator to the patient, explaining to me the meaning of whatever the doctor or the tests info I got, putting it in context, holding my hand in scary times) is obvious 3rd application. Yeah the regulators will be slow, but us patients won't wait. Yesterday I put my lab work ("package for over 40+yos") through o3 to explain to me the meaning of some numbers. To people saying "well a doctor should do that for you", I say "what doctor?", for there isn't one: it's o3 or no explainer.
2:00 PM · Jun 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only job I know of made obsolete by AI in 2025 is students taking written exams. I can see that Gemini Pro and OpenAI o3 replace the student there. Afaics, the exams are still taken, performatively, by inertion continuing from what was before, until some other means of assessment are devised. Not a biggie afaics, b/c the students I saw still study, do their assignments, listen and attend to lectures off-line and on-line, etc. They make the effort to learn, and do learn, and take their exam too, regardless that AI can finish their exam in 10-15 mins with 99% accuracy. This is what I saw in the last year, in a sample of 2.
On the other side of the ledger, how many people work building the models and the tools using those models downstream? How many people in OpenAI, Google/Brain/DeepMind, Anthropic, Mistral, AliBaba, DeepSeek, Cursor, Windsurf, and 1000s smaller labs and companies building on the top of the technology already there? To me it looks like significantly more on the +ve side of the ledger, than on the -ve side. Yes this maybe financed by VC money, but also the take up of these tools with the general public is phenomenal. ChatGPT is probably the fastest user base take up in history.
Chat was the 1st application of the technology. 100s Of Millions of people seem to find it useful, vote with their attention and their wallet.
Code writing seems to be the 2nd application that will pan out. Within 1 year, what started as curiosity ("haha :-) - look what dumb mistake the stupid LLM made"), has turned into useful tool for me. Nowadays instead of typing python myself, I type a spec in INSTRUCTIONS . md, and point the model to read and do as instructed. For that I'm happy to part with some $$$ - one happy customer there.
A medical consultant (role of GP, provider of 3rd opinion, teacher and educator to the patient, explaining to me the meaning of whatever the doctor or the tests info I got, putting it in context, holding my hand in scary times) is obvious 3rd application. Yeah the regulators will be slow, but us patients won't wait. Yesterday I put my lab work ("package for over 40+yos") through o3 to explain to me the meaning of some numbers. To people saying "well a doctor should do that for you", I say "what doctor?", for there isn't one: it's o3 or no explainer.
2:00 PM · Jun 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933867491794571501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Use your heart please. Stay considerate and afford the more charitable interpretation to others' posts when in doubt. Try express your ideas in affirmative. Keep the stylistic flourishes like ironies, metaphors etc for longer forms - like Substack. I can't make what you are saying tbh. If you have strong opinions on either side doom-boost debate, then Bet-On-It! Put your money $$$ where your mouth is. If in US, and think AI spells a doom - get an ETF that is shorting the SP500, for example.
1:41 PM · Jun 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Use your heart please. Stay considerate and afford the more charitable interpretation to others' posts when in doubt. Try express your ideas in affirmative. Keep the stylistic flourishes like ironies, metaphors etc for longer forms - like Substack. I can't make what you are saying tbh. If you have strong opinions on either side doom-boost debate, then Bet-On-It! Put your money $$$ where your mouth is. If in US, and think AI spells a doom - get an ETF that is shorting the SP500, for example.
1:41 PM · Jun 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933744594342060233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You keep on asking that. You are asking for the equivalent of, someone in 1985, looking into their crystal ball, and telling you about Google, Nvidia, Meta, etc - the whole Tech industry of year 2025. That's not possible. No one can see that far into the future. Asking for that is asking to be deceived.
What we have seen so far is entire new industrial sector of AI been created in front of our eyes. With a market for products of varying quality and price, and willing customers buying that. None of these existed in 2020, only five short years ago.
5:33 AM · Jun 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You keep on asking that. You are asking for the equivalent of, someone in 1985, looking into their crystal ball, and telling you about Google, Nvidia, Meta, etc - the whole Tech industry of year 2025. That's not possible. No one can see that far into the future. Asking for that is asking to be deceived.
What we have seen so far is entire new industrial sector of AI been created in front of our eyes. With a market for products of varying quality and price, and willing customers buying that. None of these existed in 2020, only five short years ago.
5:33 AM · Jun 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933560594323382498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I had no idea about emdash until I saw ChatGPT using it. Still didn't use it untill I got myself a 2nd hand MBP to run local llama.cpp. Then I learned where it is on the keyboard. (I still don't know where emdash is on my PC keyboard in Linux) From then on, I've been using emdash as well as endash. I find the distinction useful. Using them both now in my writing too. Previously I didn't know emdash existed, I had only ever used endash.
5:22 PM · Jun 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I had no idea about emdash until I saw ChatGPT using it. Still didn't use it untill I got myself a 2nd hand MBP to run local llama.cpp. Then I learned where it is on the keyboard. (I still don't know where emdash is on my PC keyboard in Linux) From then on, I've been using emdash as well as endash. I find the distinction useful. Using them both now in my writing too. Previously I didn't know emdash existed, I had only ever used endash.
5:22 PM · Jun 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933186714589106385
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In 1985 so 40 years ago, we had home computers only, mostly tinkered with by hobbyists and enthusiasts. Compare what companies and theirs sizes as they exist now, to what existed in 1985. I think it's obvious much more was created than destroyed. There are no guarantees of course. Looking for someone with a crystal ball seeing into the future is a fools errand. As one would be asking to be deceived!
One can only have faith in humanity being able to figure things out as problems arise, and work towards a positive outcome on the back of the changes. First the PC Personal Computer Revolution put a personal computer on every desk. (and latter in every pocket.) Then the Internet Revolution connected 8B people the whole globe into a single organism, online 24/7 available for interaction, for near zero price. The Intelligence Revolution starting now I expect will augment our thinking facilites, give us a helping hand, as thinking each one on our own is hard and taxing. (in time, effort, energy.) Expect changes, but I don't see why we wouldn't bias our expectations towards overall net positive change. As the previous two revolutions have been.
5:36 PM · Jun 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In 1985 so 40 years ago, we had home computers only, mostly tinkered with by hobbyists and enthusiasts. Compare what companies and theirs sizes as they exist now, to what existed in 1985. I think it's obvious much more was created than destroyed. There are no guarantees of course. Looking for someone with a crystal ball seeing into the future is a fools errand. As one would be asking to be deceived!
One can only have faith in humanity being able to figure things out as problems arise, and work towards a positive outcome on the back of the changes. First the PC Personal Computer Revolution put a personal computer on every desk. (and latter in every pocket.) Then the Internet Revolution connected 8B people the whole globe into a single organism, online 24/7 available for interaction, for near zero price. The Intelligence Revolution starting now I expect will augment our thinking facilites, give us a helping hand, as thinking each one on our own is hard and taxing. (in time, effort, energy.) Expect changes, but I don't see why we wouldn't bias our expectations towards overall net positive change. As the previous two revolutions have been.
5:36 PM · Jun 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933152443753226551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - he is in the position he is in, because of what he thinks. If he thought otherwise, he would not be in the position he is in.
3:20 PM · Jun 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - he is in the position he is in, because of what he thinks. If he thought otherwise, he would not be in the position he is in.
3:20 PM · Jun 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933147731536576824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
4. Something else. This-
Common human failing, where humans try impersonate wisdom, with doomerism. Especially ones that have failed in something where others have succeeded.
It's in the - so what? - category. LLM-s won't do reasoning-AGI-ASI-... whatever the authors bugbear is, but LTM-s will. People just love, love that slop. Did anyone but 1-10 OpenAI people predict ChatGPT in 2020? No. So everyone opining about the future with anything more than "could be this, could be that, we know little not much" is in my book chatting sh*t, passing the breeze etc. Forecasting that something will be done I find about tolerable. Forecasting a negative, that something will never-ever-in-a-millions-years happen, goes on my tits as it's got few redeeming features.
Apple are making fools of themselves by allowing these fools to make fools of Apple. There many admirable things about the Apple AI ecosystem: unified memory VRAM coupled with large sizes, tied with spectacular GPU - together make Apple h/w probably the most appealing setup for an enthusiast local LLM-s person. On the s/w side they have the MLX project going. They should do better than this ChatGPT-3.5 level garymarcussing with that sorry paper.
3:01 PM · Jun 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
4. Something else. This-
Common human failing, where humans try impersonate wisdom, with doomerism. Especially ones that have failed in something where others have succeeded.
It's in the - so what? - category. LLM-s won't do reasoning-AGI-ASI-... whatever the authors bugbear is, but LTM-s will. People just love, love that slop. Did anyone but 1-10 OpenAI people predict ChatGPT in 2020? No. So everyone opining about the future with anything more than "could be this, could be that, we know little not much" is in my book chatting sh*t, passing the breeze etc. Forecasting that something will be done I find about tolerable. Forecasting a negative, that something will never-ever-in-a-millions-years happen, goes on my tits as it's got few redeeming features.
Apple are making fools of themselves by allowing these fools to make fools of Apple. There many admirable things about the Apple AI ecosystem: unified memory VRAM coupled with large sizes, tied with spectacular GPU - together make Apple h/w probably the most appealing setup for an enthusiast local LLM-s person. On the s/w side they have the MLX project going. They should do better than this ChatGPT-3.5 level garymarcussing with that sorry paper.
3:01 PM · Jun 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1933040282867503298
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With Thunderbolt 5 TB5 external NVME M.2 SSD is as fast as the internal one I think? Check reviews tests what's latest-greatest in enclosures that take any terabytes sized M.2 sticks. Pay attention to temperature/cooling in heavy use. For older MBP M2 with TB4 only I got https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B0CTKT4XJ6, and plus NVME M.2 stick. That works ok, no complaints.
7:54 AM · Jun 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With Thunderbolt 5 TB5 external NVME M.2 SSD is as fast as the internal one I think? Check reviews tests what's latest-greatest in enclosures that take any terabytes sized M.2 sticks. Pay attention to temperature/cooling in heavy use. For older MBP M2 with TB4 only I got https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B0CTKT4XJ6, and plus NVME M.2 stick. That works ok, no complaints.
7:54 AM · Jun 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932701522296799671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing can compete with podcasts and optimised niche specialised youtube channels. The SNR is incomparable. MSM feels like blabbering incompetents in slow motion, slurring their words while trying to articulate some stupidity. MrBeast Production Manual mentions this briefly.
9:28 AM · Jun 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing can compete with podcasts and optimised niche specialised youtube channels. The SNR is incomparable. MSM feels like blabbering incompetents in slow motion, slurring their words while trying to articulate some stupidity. MrBeast Production Manual mentions this briefly.
9:28 AM · Jun 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932488864251457879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xfce gui I use via Xubuntu is close to that. The second positive for me it has been changing super slow, almost unchanged in 20 years.
7:23 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xfce gui I use via Xubuntu is close to that. The second positive for me it has been changing super slow, almost unchanged in 20 years.
7:23 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932461258697244798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...learned recently he's been a subject of few documentaries?? Didn't know about that. Mentioned in the introduction here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
Don't know the exact minute, can easily Search Ctrl-F through the Scribe transcript here
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
From appblit.com
5:34 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...learned recently he's been a subject of few documentaries?? Didn't know about that. Mentioned in the introduction here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
Don't know the exact minute, can easily Search Ctrl-F through the Scribe transcript here
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
From appblit.com
5:34 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932459500050468877
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
medium open weights when?
5:27 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
medium open weights when?
5:27 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932453933395427434
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice gentle and as ever - upbeat! 😃 - talk by @RichardSSutton
NUS120 Distinguished Speaker Series | Professor Richard Sutton
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=f9KDMFZqu_Y
From appblit.com
https://youtu.be/f9KDMFZqu_Y
5:04 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice gentle and as ever - upbeat! 😃 - talk by @RichardSSutton
NUS120 Distinguished Speaker Series | Professor Richard Sutton
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=f9KDMFZqu_Y
From appblit.com
https://youtu.be/f9KDMFZqu_Y
5:04 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932413983211819463
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was the first reasoning model that was open source, open weights, at the time when "reasoning" looked like magic for most outside OpenAI and DeepMind. The release was great! The followup latter when they "open sourced for 6 days significant modules, and on the 7-th day they took a rest" was the touch of a genius, a "touché" moment.
I'm in the UK. I find it dispiriting that none of the London quant hedge funds, that are certainly quantitative enough and rich enough to take on the task of building open models, have not taken the hint by now. Someone should do something about that.
2:26 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was the first reasoning model that was open source, open weights, at the time when "reasoning" looked like magic for most outside OpenAI and DeepMind. The release was great! The followup latter when they "open sourced for 6 days significant modules, and on the 7-th day they took a rest" was the touch of a genius, a "touché" moment.
I'm in the UK. I find it dispiriting that none of the London quant hedge funds, that are certainly quantitative enough and rich enough to take on the task of building open models, have not taken the hint by now. Someone should do something about that.
2:26 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932410927732703608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and Russia has been doing that anyway from the very start of the invasion, way before Ukraine hit back the Russian airfields. Russia has already been doing for years everything that more evil and stupider of the commentariat claim is a 'retaliation' now.
2:14 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and Russia has been doing that anyway from the very start of the invasion, way before Ukraine hit back the Russian airfields. Russia has already been doing for years everything that more evil and stupider of the commentariat claim is a 'retaliation' now.
2:14 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932400404039393550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is stopping Coco giving her pounds voluntarily in lieu of tax. Absolutely nothing stands in Coco's way. She can surrender any and all pounds she's got to HMRC this very second. Too bad the journo is too brain dead to point that out to Coco.
1:32 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is stopping Coco giving her pounds voluntarily in lieu of tax. Absolutely nothing stands in Coco's way. She can surrender any and all pounds she's got to HMRC this very second. Too bad the journo is too brain dead to point that out to Coco.
1:32 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932395970576224413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...like one needs a bullet hole in their head - i.e. not at all. We tax things we want less of. We want more robot cars, not less. We want less kids killed on our roads, not more.
For every one "will anyone think of the cabbies" which is fair, it's also fair to say "will anyone think of all the children killed by human drivers." My understanding is ~40K people are killed p.a. by human drivers in the US. So far Waymo has killed 0 people in the US. (ofc different million of miles driven). Wrote earlier on our statistical indifference to murder by omission here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282.
"Black Cab Culture preservation" tax can go in parties manifestoes. People will have the chance to vote on it democratically. If they want it, and how much they want it.
1:14 PM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...like one needs a bullet hole in their head - i.e. not at all. We tax things we want less of. We want more robot cars, not less. We want less kids killed on our roads, not more.
For every one "will anyone think of the cabbies" which is fair, it's also fair to say "will anyone think of all the children killed by human drivers." My understanding is ~40K people are killed p.a. by human drivers in the US. So far Waymo has killed 0 people in the US. (ofc different million of miles driven). Wrote earlier on our statistical indifference to murder by omission here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282.
"Black Cab Culture preservation" tax can go in parties manifestoes. People will have the chance to vote on it democratically. If they want it, and how much they want it.
1:14 PM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932198414747615254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OpenAI being persistently dumb, not simply using higher numbers for better models, (so - no to "o3", yes to "o5") is a total mystery to me. Many people tell them. CEO even acknowledges it. Naming the current best o5 seems natural. This is now affecting actual use and user experience of their product. Do they competitor's agent of influence somewhere in the decision chain? A CIA Sabotage Manual practitioner.
12:09 AM · Jun 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OpenAI being persistently dumb, not simply using higher numbers for better models, (so - no to "o3", yes to "o5") is a total mystery to me. Many people tell them. CEO even acknowledges it. Naming the current best o5 seems natural. This is now affecting actual use and user experience of their product. Do they competitor's agent of influence somewhere in the decision chain? A CIA Sabotage Manual practitioner.
12:09 AM · Jun 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932174476034359401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tribal I presume means the group decides for me. I outsource my judgement what's true and what's false, (epistemology) and my judgement what's good and what's bad, (morality) - to the group. As is the group consensus, so is my stance on whatever current thing is. This is 80% of us people.
The better case is when we humans form 2 groups, usually 40% each. (the worse case is when the group remains a single one.) Thinking each and every case alone, from 1st principles, is exhausting. It takes immense effort and energy from the individual. And even when that 1 person ends being correct where the group is incorrect, there is no winning for him. The group will crush that individual for going against the group, regardless if he was right or wrong.
10:34 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tribal I presume means the group decides for me. I outsource my judgement what's true and what's false, (epistemology) and my judgement what's good and what's bad, (morality) - to the group. As is the group consensus, so is my stance on whatever current thing is. This is 80% of us people.
The better case is when we humans form 2 groups, usually 40% each. (the worse case is when the group remains a single one.) Thinking each and every case alone, from 1st principles, is exhausting. It takes immense effort and energy from the individual. And even when that 1 person ends being correct where the group is incorrect, there is no winning for him. The group will crush that individual for going against the group, regardless if he was right or wrong.
10:34 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932154392368890310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My pet-prejudice is that information is fundamental, while energy and mass are mere carriers of information.
9:14 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My pet-prejudice is that information is fundamental, while energy and mass are mere carriers of information.
9:14 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932064801145893194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Plenty people around too full with themselves, too full with sh*t. It's a wide distribution us humanity. I root for team human too. But ngl: remember the average human, then remember half of us are worse than that. Us humans need to up our game - and pronto.
3:18 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Plenty people around too full with themselves, too full with sh*t. It's a wide distribution us humanity. I root for team human too. But ngl: remember the average human, then remember half of us are worse than that. Us humans need to up our game - and pronto.
3:18 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932046220085645447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah me too! Google keyboard on Android is sh*t , even after Google has access to half my life via Gmail! Google-ex-GoogleBrain is sh*t at product it seems. Apple phones - have read people complaining too. MacOS keyboard is not stellar but not as bad as Google's on the phone.
A chain of things needs to be done right, and with AND between, for something to get better. A single poor component in the chain, makes the whole thing go to sh*t. Hence the need for obsession with detail in order for something to move step up from mediocre, Jobs-like.
2:04 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah me too! Google keyboard on Android is sh*t , even after Google has access to half my life via Gmail! Google-ex-GoogleBrain is sh*t at product it seems. Apple phones - have read people complaining too. MacOS keyboard is not stellar but not as bad as Google's on the phone.
A chain of things needs to be done right, and with AND between, for something to get better. A single poor component in the chain, makes the whole thing go to sh*t. Hence the need for obsession with detail in order for something to move step up from mediocre, Jobs-like.
2:04 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932037095960244311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Who are the "mid wits", the "low wits", and the "high wits"? In my book there are doers, and there are spectators. DeepMind, OpenAI, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral etc - are the doers. The Gary Marcuses etc are the spectators.
Don't mind the spectators—but their input to the AI revolution unfolding, has been ChatGPT-3.5 level so far. Hope they raise their game - for competing ideas are needed. So far, the detractors come up with low level stuff, that gets undone in the following 12 months. Simply by these systems achieving things that were claimed "can not be done".
1:28 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Who are the "mid wits", the "low wits", and the "high wits"? In my book there are doers, and there are spectators. DeepMind, OpenAI, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral etc - are the doers. The Gary Marcuses etc are the spectators.
Don't mind the spectators—but their input to the AI revolution unfolding, has been ChatGPT-3.5 level so far. Hope they raise their game - for competing ideas are needed. So far, the detractors come up with low level stuff, that gets undone in the following 12 months. Simply by these systems achieving things that were claimed "can not be done".
1:28 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932021002642366854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh we humans forever assume we're special, then repeatedly it turns out "it ain't so". 😅 First—Earth was special, the whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Later—we were special because He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Now with AI we are completing the same process with rationality, and starting on the road of emotional intelligence EI etc. 🥰
Consciousness I hope to be the next "we are special"-shibboleth to bite the dust. (rooting for that so the cottage industry of talking heads going on ad-nauseam-ad-boredom can move on.) With AI we may discover that consciousness far from being the pinnacle—it's the base. Humans & animals not conscious—they can't learn, they don't learn. It may be a small meta-learning algo we come hardwired with, to bootstrap our real big learning we do while growing our brains. (in capability; in neurons - they shrink) 🤔 This is a personal hobby-speculation, nothing more than that.
12:24 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh we humans forever assume we're special, then repeatedly it turns out "it ain't so". 😅 First—Earth was special, the whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Later—we were special because He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Now with AI we are completing the same process with rationality, and starting on the road of emotional intelligence EI etc. 🥰
Consciousness I hope to be the next "we are special"-shibboleth to bite the dust. (rooting for that so the cottage industry of talking heads going on ad-nauseam-ad-boredom can move on.) With AI we may discover that consciousness far from being the pinnacle—it's the base. Humans & animals not conscious—they can't learn, they don't learn. It may be a small meta-learning algo we come hardwired with, to bootstrap our real big learning we do while growing our brains. (in capability; in neurons - they shrink) 🤔 This is a personal hobby-speculation, nothing more than that.
12:24 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932019253093261681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noise is one of the unseen non obvious factors. Not on sleep but on health: air pollution is another factor - only getting more exposure recently - that people are forever surprised that it pops-up un-expectedly in various studies.
12:17 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noise is one of the unseen non obvious factors. Not on sleep but on health: air pollution is another factor - only getting more exposure recently - that people are forever surprised that it pops-up un-expectedly in various studies.
12:17 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932018535535886437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but so what? LLM-s won't, LTM-s will. Booring. I get it it's ok engagement topic to muse about. And people just love, love that slop. Did anyone but 1-10 OpenAI people predict ChatGPT in 2020? No. So everyone opining about the future with anything more than "could be this, could be that, we know little not much" is in my book chatting sh*t, passing the breeze etc. Forecasting that something will be done I find about tolerable. Forecasting a negative, that something will never-ever-in-a-millions-years happen, goes on my tits as it's got few redeeming features.
12:14 PM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but so what? LLM-s won't, LTM-s will. Booring. I get it it's ok engagement topic to muse about. And people just love, love that slop. Did anyone but 1-10 OpenAI people predict ChatGPT in 2020? No. So everyone opining about the future with anything more than "could be this, could be that, we know little not much" is in my book chatting sh*t, passing the breeze etc. Forecasting that something will be done I find about tolerable. Forecasting a negative, that something will never-ever-in-a-millions-years happen, goes on my tits as it's got few redeeming features.
12:14 PM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1932009075513954561
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Waymo started at price parity with Uber. I read yesterday that due to high demand, latest development is that they now command x2-x3 premium over Uber. Wish someone with personal experience could confirm or deny that. I find it believable, b/c have heard from 3 people that used Waymo personally: they said they prefer the robot driver to a human one.
Historically, where automatons replaced humans, provided the job was done to the standard required, society never looked back. People will go "will anyone think of the cabbies". Fair that. But it's also fair to say "Will anyone think of all the children killed by human drivers." My understanding is ~40K people are killed p.a. by human drivers. So far Waymo has killed 0 people.
Earlier on the asymmetry of incentives and our statistical un-thinking -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282
11:37 AM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Waymo started at price parity with Uber. I read yesterday that due to high demand, latest development is that they now command x2-x3 premium over Uber. Wish someone with personal experience could confirm or deny that. I find it believable, b/c have heard from 3 people that used Waymo personally: they said they prefer the robot driver to a human one.
Historically, where automatons replaced humans, provided the job was done to the standard required, society never looked back. People will go "will anyone think of the cabbies". Fair that. But it's also fair to say "Will anyone think of all the children killed by human drivers." My understanding is ~40K people are killed p.a. by human drivers. So far Waymo has killed 0 people.
Earlier on the asymmetry of incentives and our statistical un-thinking -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282
11:37 AM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931999130265498005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow me some pushback. True LeCun does go on my tits too with his "LLM/AI will never ever do xyz", however: I see nothing bad in that snippet. The sensationalist brain-dead MSM-doomer take is indeed lame and needs ridiculing.
Dario does come over as if all the AI is his to control. Of course only as a safe keeper not owner - and I imagine he'd not publicaly claim otherwise. And that the rest of us, we should just trust him. This is of course so we are all saved from the imminent & impending AI doom. Well - NO!! to that. It's a very bad idea on every level, spherically bad even—whatever angle it's viewed from. This "safe keeper of the most powerful force in the universe" idea, aligns with Dario's personal financial interests, in addition to tending to his ego. That alone would disqualify Dario. (if not the idea; the idea is disqualified by other arguments)
The "keeper of AI most powerful force" schtick was bad enough. However, Dario than hitched his wagon to the anti-China paranoid hawks wing of the military-industrial complex. With that, Dario graduated from a mere baddie in my book, to scary evil agent with potential to become a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen. All early warning signs are there, I'm sad to notice and sorry to say.
Quote
https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/1931429798703767665
Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus · Jun 7
Sorry what? What did @ylecun just say about Dario Amodei?
I consider Dario Amodei to be one of the most serious scientists and CEOs there is. He talks calmly about his future prospects. To disqualify him in this way is incomprehensible to me.
10:57 AM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow me some pushback. True LeCun does go on my tits too with his "LLM/AI will never ever do xyz", however: I see nothing bad in that snippet. The sensationalist brain-dead MSM-doomer take is indeed lame and needs ridiculing.
Dario does come over as if all the AI is his to control. Of course only as a safe keeper not owner - and I imagine he'd not publicaly claim otherwise. And that the rest of us, we should just trust him. This is of course so we are all saved from the imminent & impending AI doom. Well - NO!! to that. It's a very bad idea on every level, spherically bad even—whatever angle it's viewed from. This "safe keeper of the most powerful force in the universe" idea, aligns with Dario's personal financial interests, in addition to tending to his ego. That alone would disqualify Dario. (if not the idea; the idea is disqualified by other arguments)
The "keeper of AI most powerful force" schtick was bad enough. However, Dario than hitched his wagon to the anti-China paranoid hawks wing of the military-industrial complex. With that, Dario graduated from a mere baddie in my book, to scary evil agent with potential to become a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen. All early warning signs are there, I'm sad to notice and sorry to say.
Quote
https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/1931429798703767665
Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus · Jun 7
Sorry what? What did @ylecun just say about Dario Amodei?
I consider Dario Amodei to be one of the most serious scientists and CEOs there is. He talks calmly about his future prospects. To disqualify him in this way is incomprehensible to me.
10:57 AM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931992971597013433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во Британија има перманентна препорака од Јавно Здравство Англија, дека им се препорачува на сите (и здрави и болни) да земаат суплемент барем 6 месеци во годината. (кога тешко да те види сонце толку на север, па да сам произведеш вит-Д.) Не се популаризира многу, пошто е перманентна препорака - не е нова вест нешто ново во ниеден момент. Па е полу-заборавено. Никој не зема заради препораката, и од тие што земаат суплемент. Само кога се децата бебиња, дури го следи ги мери тежина и сл медицинска сестра или матичен доктор, пошто во картонот е влезена и ставка "суплементација вит-Д" - бебињата стварно земат добиваат во вид на капки, орално, повеќе пати суплемент вит-Д.
10:33 AM · Jun 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во Британија има перманентна препорака од Јавно Здравство Англија, дека им се препорачува на сите (и здрави и болни) да земаат суплемент барем 6 месеци во годината. (кога тешко да те види сонце толку на север, па да сам произведеш вит-Д.) Не се популаризира многу, пошто е перманентна препорака - не е нова вест нешто ново во ниеден момент. Па е полу-заборавено. Никој не зема заради препораката, и од тие што земаат суплемент. Само кога се децата бебиња, дури го следи ги мери тежина и сл медицинска сестра или матичен доктор, пошто во картонот е влезена и ставка "суплементација вит-Д" - бебињата стварно земат добиваат во вид на капки, орално, повеќе пати суплемент вит-Д.
10:33 AM · Jun 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931778201241485697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that's another way of saying "inflation" - no? currency debasement == inflation.
8:19 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that's another way of saying "inflation" - no? currency debasement == inflation.
8:19 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931730813420536006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and that's a plus, not a minus. Dog fooding - do what you preach. 😁
5:11 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and that's a plus, not a minus. Dog fooding - do what you preach. 😁
5:11 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931713816066216209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's changing. But again what's free market will change sooner, and regulation (where it's cost zero to kill by omission, and high cost to kill by commision) will change latter or never.
Waymo started at price parity with Uber. I read today that due to high demand, they developed command x2-x3 premium over Uber. I find that believable. Have heard from 3 people that rode Waymo personally, that they prefer the robot driver to a human one.
Historically, where automatons replaced humans, provided the job was done to the standard required, society never looked back. Earlier on the asymmetry of incentives and our statistical un-thinking
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282
4:03 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's changing. But again what's free market will change sooner, and regulation (where it's cost zero to kill by omission, and high cost to kill by commision) will change latter or never.
Waymo started at price parity with Uber. I read today that due to high demand, they developed command x2-x3 premium over Uber. I find that believable. Have heard from 3 people that rode Waymo personally, that they prefer the robot driver to a human one.
Historically, where automatons replaced humans, provided the job was done to the standard required, society never looked back. Earlier on the asymmetry of incentives and our statistical un-thinking
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282
4:03 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931712694396080587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...afaik the limit is the inflation. That seems true to me - that inflation is the real limit.
3:59 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...afaik the limit is the inflation. That seems true to me - that inflation is the real limit.
3:59 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931709278831698303
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your are reading too much into one individual. Ones can retort - what Otto is to liberalism, that Stalin is to socialism. Not very representative one hopes.
3:45 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your are reading too much into one individual. Ones can retort - what Otto is to liberalism, that Stalin is to socialism. Not very representative one hopes.
3:45 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931708197024260208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans, and everything alive too. It was always thus. There's nothing else but parrots parroting all the way down.
3:41 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans, and everything alive too. It was always thus. There's nothing else but parrots parroting all the way down.
3:41 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931657372105080880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
lava lamps providing source of randomness vibe there
12:19 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
lava lamps providing source of randomness vibe there
12:19 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931656625930019224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While LeCun does go on my tits too with his "LLM/AI will never ever do xyz", I see nothing bad in that snippet. The sensationalist brain-dead MSM-doomer take is indeed lame and needs ridiculing.
Dario does come over as if all the AI is his to control - ofc only as a safe keeper not owner, he'd never claim otherwise - and we should just trust him. This ofc so we are saved from the imminent AI doom. That that aligns with his personal financial interests, in addition to tending to his ego, is of course a fortuitous happistance.
That was bad enough. Merging that with the anti-China hawks wing of the military-industrial complex is inexcusable. In my book Dario with that became a baddie, a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen.
(aside: your use of "scientist" there brings semi-religios vibes - an easily avoidable fail, only need to decide)
12:16 PM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While LeCun does go on my tits too with his "LLM/AI will never ever do xyz", I see nothing bad in that snippet. The sensationalist brain-dead MSM-doomer take is indeed lame and needs ridiculing.
Dario does come over as if all the AI is his to control - ofc only as a safe keeper not owner, he'd never claim otherwise - and we should just trust him. This ofc so we are saved from the imminent AI doom. That that aligns with his personal financial interests, in addition to tending to his ego, is of course a fortuitous happistance.
That was bad enough. Merging that with the anti-China hawks wing of the military-industrial complex is inexcusable. In my book Dario with that became a baddie, a cross between Darth Vader and Baron Harkonnen.
(aside: your use of "scientist" there brings semi-religios vibes - an easily avoidable fail, only need to decide)
12:16 PM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931639371121168407
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowing nothing about the guy personally, except for his LessWrong, seems to me cut to make a good cult leader. Strong willed. Smart enough to be able to secure the approval and following of people smarter than himself. (followers with less will to power, lesser character than himself.) I presume there is some personal drama, or slight, at some point. He didn't get some reward in money recognition fame that maybe he thought it should be rightfully his, given his talents etc. Afaik he's not done work of much note in any field. Not a startup founder tech-bro rich-dude. Politically seems his astuteness is - tactics 100%, strategy 0%. Reminds me of the that Bismarckian general one is to get rid off immediately to avoid catastrophe—stupid yet energetic. Lots of posturing and cosplay, ironic-not/ironic preaching to the converted while avoiding responsibility. Like 4chan Internet troll crossing into real life memetically, but of the opposite tribe. (his tribe is California democrat I presume)
11:08 AM · Jun 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowing nothing about the guy personally, except for his LessWrong, seems to me cut to make a good cult leader. Strong willed. Smart enough to be able to secure the approval and following of people smarter than himself. (followers with less will to power, lesser character than himself.) I presume there is some personal drama, or slight, at some point. He didn't get some reward in money recognition fame that maybe he thought it should be rightfully his, given his talents etc. Afaik he's not done work of much note in any field. Not a startup founder tech-bro rich-dude. Politically seems his astuteness is - tactics 100%, strategy 0%. Reminds me of the that Bismarckian general one is to get rid off immediately to avoid catastrophe—stupid yet energetic. Lots of posturing and cosplay, ironic-not/ironic preaching to the converted while avoiding responsibility. Like 4chan Internet troll crossing into real life memetically, but of the opposite tribe. (his tribe is California democrat I presume)
11:08 AM · Jun 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931458574179332430
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin destroyed his oligarchs that didn't yield and thought they can control him. Trump looked envious of such power. Musk has a number of weak points. That his enemies are well aware of, by the looks of it.
https://x.com/unherd/status/1931016010334617673
The interview is quite revealing. It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack: 1) drug abuse, 2) citizenship lying revocation, 3) CCP agent of influence. All tied within the "National Security" angle. Esp if 80%-90% gov contracts really do make muskarat companies revenues.
We'll learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses his security clearances, and becomes unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
Quote
UnHerd @unherd · Jun 6
MAGA high priest, @SteveBannon_sk, is @ElonMusk’s greatest critic. He tells UnHerd’s @FreddieSayers that today is a great day for his movement:
11:09 PM · Jun 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin destroyed his oligarchs that didn't yield and thought they can control him. Trump looked envious of such power. Musk has a number of weak points. That his enemies are well aware of, by the looks of it.
https://x.com/unherd/status/1931016010334617673
The interview is quite revealing. It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack: 1) drug abuse, 2) citizenship lying revocation, 3) CCP agent of influence. All tied within the "National Security" angle. Esp if 80%-90% gov contracts really do make muskarat companies revenues.
We'll learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses his security clearances, and becomes unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
Quote
UnHerd @unherd · Jun 6
MAGA high priest, @SteveBannon_sk, is @ElonMusk’s greatest critic. He tells UnHerd’s @FreddieSayers that today is a great day for his movement:
11:09 PM · Jun 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931381443520815559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is quite revealing. It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack: 1) drug abuse, 2) citizenship lying revocation, 3) CCP agent of influence. All tied within the "National Security" angle.
We'll learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses his security clearances, and becomes unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
Quote
UnHerd @unherd · Jun 6
MAGA high priest, @SteveBannon_sk, is @ElonMusk’s greatest critic. He tells UnHerd’s @FreddieSayers that today is a great day for his movement:
6:03 PM · Jun 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is quite revealing. It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack: 1) drug abuse, 2) citizenship lying revocation, 3) CCP agent of influence. All tied within the "National Security" angle.
We'll learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses his security clearances, and becomes unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
Quote
UnHerd @unherd · Jun 6
MAGA high priest, @SteveBannon_sk, is @ElonMusk’s greatest critic. He tells UnHerd’s @FreddieSayers that today is a great day for his movement:
6:03 PM · Jun 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931380385260130387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is quite revealing-
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=SYI2eLOfLx4
It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack 1) drug abuse 2) citizenship lying revocation 3) CCP agent of influence. All ties nicely within the "National Security" angle.
By Musk chief attacker and detractor Bannon. We'll learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses security clearance and is unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
youtube.com
Steve Bannon: Elon Musk should be deported
📰 Subscribe to UnHerd today at: https://bit.ly/3Qdkd5yFreddie Sayers interviews Steve Bannon.Watch it on the UnHerd website: https://unherd.com/watch-listen...
5:59 PM · Jun 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is quite revealing-
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=SYI2eLOfLx4
It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack 1) drug abuse 2) citizenship lying revocation 3) CCP agent of influence. All ties nicely within the "National Security" angle.
By Musk chief attacker and detractor Bannon. We'll learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses security clearance and is unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
youtube.com
Steve Bannon: Elon Musk should be deported
📰 Subscribe to UnHerd today at: https://bit.ly/3Qdkd5yFreddie Sayers interviews Steve Bannon.Watch it on the UnHerd website: https://unherd.com/watch-listen...
5:59 PM · Jun 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931369651662946705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting but not that fascinating tbh. A run off the mill usual delusion by TBPR.
This by their opponents and the coalition on the other hand, is quote revealing imo.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=SYI2eLOfLx4
It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack 1) drug abuse 2) citizenship lying revocation 3) CCP agent of influence. All ties nicely within the "National Security" angle. By Musk chief attacker and detractor Bannon. We will learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses security clearance and thus is unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
youtube.com
Steve Bannon: Elon Musk should be deported
📰 Subscribe to UnHerd today at: https://bit.ly/3Qdkd5yFreddie Sayers interviews Steve Bannon.Watch it on the UnHerd website: https://unherd.com/watch-listen...
5:16 PM · Jun 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting but not that fascinating tbh. A run off the mill usual delusion by TBPR.
This by their opponents and the coalition on the other hand, is quote revealing imo.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=SYI2eLOfLx4
It spells out the next steps of anti-musk attack, by listing the axis of attack 1) drug abuse 2) citizenship lying revocation 3) CCP agent of influence. All ties nicely within the "National Security" angle. By Musk chief attacker and detractor Bannon. We will learn how far along this is in motion, if Musk loses security clearance and thus is unable to run SpaceX and Starlink.
youtube.com
Steve Bannon: Elon Musk should be deported
📰 Subscribe to UnHerd today at: https://bit.ly/3Qdkd5yFreddie Sayers interviews Steve Bannon.Watch it on the UnHerd website: https://unherd.com/watch-listen...
5:16 PM · Jun 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1931311759517769845
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, функционира за нив. Од друга страна, искуството на Калифорнија со "референдумска демократија" мислам дека беше повеќе негативно отколку позитивно.
1:26 PM · Jun 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, функционира за нив. Од друга страна, искуството на Калифорнија со "референдумска демократија" мислам дека беше повеќе негативно отколку позитивно.
1:26 PM · Jun 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930924642090246518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope it happens soon. Knowing zero my first thought is: the Registry Office accepts (acceptance == verification) a deposit of my private key, from me personally. From then on, anyone with my public key (that I freely share), and access to the Registry Office API, can verify me.
11:48 AM · Jun 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope it happens soon. Knowing zero my first thought is: the Registry Office accepts (acceptance == verification) a deposit of my private key, from me personally. From then on, anyone with my public key (that I freely share), and access to the Registry Office API, can verify me.
11:48 AM · Jun 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930916876017598611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yah that one is never not funny. 🤣 That "like a dawg" pic: fat cat Trump, grinning like a Cheshire cat, 😂 bossing it at his desk. Boss level 11! With the school boy Elon, standing at attention, 😱 by the side. A breakup was always on the cards though.
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
11:17 AM · Jun 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yah that one is never not funny. 🤣 That "like a dawg" pic: fat cat Trump, grinning like a Cheshire cat, 😂 bossing it at his desk. Boss level 11! With the school boy Elon, standing at attention, 😱 by the side. A breakup was always on the cards though.
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
11:17 AM · Jun 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930891341392691640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dautovski father & son on Gaida https://perplexity.ai/search/unesco-gaida-heritage-TDbzl_IMQfORJPxJpmPOVQ#0 & drums at Offest http://offest.com.mk/en/programme/ yesterday
9:35 AM · Jun 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dautovski father & son on Gaida https://perplexity.ai/search/unesco-gaida-heritage-TDbzl_IMQfORJPxJpmPOVQ#0 & drums at Offest http://offest.com.mk/en/programme/ yesterday
9:35 AM · Jun 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930882298561343535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a losing battle of whack a mole. An insane crazy person account produces insanity at a rate of x10-x100 times of anyone's capability of checking. If we were to be constantly correcting, we'd need to spend 100 non-crazy humans' lives, to be checking that one crazy guy.
IRL the default mode is we trust a person. Then when a lyer is caught lying, we forgive the 1st or maybe even the 2nd time. By the 3rd time, we flip the default. From then on, we assume this person is lying as default. We stop trusting them and pay less attention to what they say.
Same or similar reputation type ranking is needed online. For that we may need some sort of account ID or permanence of some sort, and tools on the top of that. Verified ID one wd have hope wd be an easy win for any state registry office (I deposit a private key with them; they provide verification API to the users of my public key), but have not seen it anywhere.
8:59 AM · Jun 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a losing battle of whack a mole. An insane crazy person account produces insanity at a rate of x10-x100 times of anyone's capability of checking. If we were to be constantly correcting, we'd need to spend 100 non-crazy humans' lives, to be checking that one crazy guy.
IRL the default mode is we trust a person. Then when a lyer is caught lying, we forgive the 1st or maybe even the 2nd time. By the 3rd time, we flip the default. From then on, we assume this person is lying as default. We stop trusting them and pay less attention to what they say.
Same or similar reputation type ranking is needed online. For that we may need some sort of account ID or permanence of some sort, and tools on the top of that. Verified ID one wd have hope wd be an easy win for any state registry office (I deposit a private key with them; they provide verification API to the users of my public key), but have not seen it anywhere.
8:59 AM · Jun 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930721839510368346
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hehe 😁 finally! the like-a-dawg entertainment as expected 😂
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
10:22 PM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hehe 😁 finally! the like-a-dawg entertainment as expected 😂
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
10:22 PM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930721284935033043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oww - finally! some like-a-dawg lite entertainment 😂
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
10:20 PM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oww - finally! some like-a-dawg lite entertainment 😂
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
10:20 PM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930615534279606282
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the sins of commission versus omission, this-
https://x.com/dmitri_dolgov/status/1930337733719011608
A robot car video of a child, running after a dog, running after a ball, running in front of a car, in the darkness of the night. If this was a human driver, they would have run over the dog and the child likely. They Weymo robot car stopped in time. Potentially some lives saved there.
How are ok with a human driver killing that child there, cutting their life short, scarring for life everyone that knew them, ruining the remainder of the lives of their parents. And for what?? To tend to our "yuck reflex" factor we humans exhibit as a 1st reaction, with anything new out whack with our prior experience? How can anyone justify that??
I remember in my childhood, the wide spread revulsion and scary newspapers and TV headlines, when the first IVF child was born. They were labelled "kids from/of/by eprouvette" by the press - as if grown in glass jars?? (and not merely allowing two cells to join outside of human body; an unremarkable event) The current AI scaremongering, recalls for me memories of the scary headlines, of the "Frankenstein children", that were going to be bad for them, but also bad to the rest of us humans somehow. Even if it was never quite articulated - only ever insinuated - the mechanism by which those terrible outcomes will meterialise. Fast forward 45yrs, 2.5% of babies in the US are born by IVF, and... - nothing! A nothing-burger. No one thinks much of it, all's fine.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930592013692408229
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
I always enjoy listening to Ray 😊—and I especially loved the message he ended this interview with: "Love is all you need."
"Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
I wish they had more time, and that the interviewer had been more
Show more
3:19 PM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the sins of commission versus omission, this-
https://x.com/dmitri_dolgov/status/1930337733719011608
A robot car video of a child, running after a dog, running after a ball, running in front of a car, in the darkness of the night. If this was a human driver, they would have run over the dog and the child likely. They Weymo robot car stopped in time. Potentially some lives saved there.
How are ok with a human driver killing that child there, cutting their life short, scarring for life everyone that knew them, ruining the remainder of the lives of their parents. And for what?? To tend to our "yuck reflex" factor we humans exhibit as a 1st reaction, with anything new out whack with our prior experience? How can anyone justify that??
I remember in my childhood, the wide spread revulsion and scary newspapers and TV headlines, when the first IVF child was born. They were labelled "kids from/of/by eprouvette" by the press - as if grown in glass jars?? (and not merely allowing two cells to join outside of human body; an unremarkable event) The current AI scaremongering, recalls for me memories of the scary headlines, of the "Frankenstein children", that were going to be bad for them, but also bad to the rest of us humans somehow. Even if it was never quite articulated - only ever insinuated - the mechanism by which those terrible outcomes will meterialise. Fast forward 45yrs, 2.5% of babies in the US are born by IVF, and... - nothing! A nothing-burger. No one thinks much of it, all's fine.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930592013692408229
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
I always enjoy listening to Ray 😊—and I especially loved the message he ended this interview with: "Love is all you need."
"Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
I wish they had more time, and that the interviewer had been more
Show more
3:19 PM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930592013692408229
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I always enjoy listening to Ray 😊—and I especially loved the message he ended this interview with: "Love is all you need."
"Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
I wish they had more time, and that the interviewer had been more interactive, asking follow-up questions. Several times Ray dropped absolute bombshells, and yet the interviewer just... moved on?? No deeper inquiry, as if he missed the magnitude of what we’d just heard. Like the artificial kidney that could potentially save 95,000 people each year who currently can’t get transplants. Or Waymo cars, now driving autonomously for months without killing anyone—even as human drivers might have caused around 50,000 deaths on US roads over a comparable timeframe (though admittedly over more total miles driven).
The interviewer was otherwise excellent, but that particular lack of curiosity surprised me—so much so that it stuck in my mind. Maybe if we had accepted a robot driver earlier, even at the likely cost of perhaps 100 lives, we could have saved as many as half a million lives over a decade. Wouldn't we, as a society, have accepted those odds? Isn't it ethically clearer that killing 100 people through commission (robotic error) is significantly less morally troubling than allowing half a million deaths through omission (human driver error)?
I find this lack of statistical compassion stunning. As if we’re incapable of counting—or as if our moral instincts haven't caught up to reality. Perhaps Ray’s hopeful message "Love is all you need" might truly resonate and succeed in the AI age, where it fell short in the pre-AI age? TBS stay tuned - time will tell.
youtube.com
Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer
Join legendary futurist and inventor Ray Kurzweil for a conversation with tech visionary David S. Rose, exploring the implications of his new book, The Singu...
1:46 PM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I always enjoy listening to Ray 😊—and I especially loved the message he ended this interview with: "Love is all you need."
"Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7oAlD3lMNXo
I wish they had more time, and that the interviewer had been more interactive, asking follow-up questions. Several times Ray dropped absolute bombshells, and yet the interviewer just... moved on?? No deeper inquiry, as if he missed the magnitude of what we’d just heard. Like the artificial kidney that could potentially save 95,000 people each year who currently can’t get transplants. Or Waymo cars, now driving autonomously for months without killing anyone—even as human drivers might have caused around 50,000 deaths on US roads over a comparable timeframe (though admittedly over more total miles driven).
The interviewer was otherwise excellent, but that particular lack of curiosity surprised me—so much so that it stuck in my mind. Maybe if we had accepted a robot driver earlier, even at the likely cost of perhaps 100 lives, we could have saved as many as half a million lives over a decade. Wouldn't we, as a society, have accepted those odds? Isn't it ethically clearer that killing 100 people through commission (robotic error) is significantly less morally troubling than allowing half a million deaths through omission (human driver error)?
I find this lack of statistical compassion stunning. As if we’re incapable of counting—or as if our moral instincts haven't caught up to reality. Perhaps Ray’s hopeful message "Love is all you need" might truly resonate and succeed in the AI age, where it fell short in the pre-AI age? TBS stay tuned - time will tell.
youtube.com
Ray Kurzweil with David S. Rose: The Singularity is Nearer
Join legendary futurist and inventor Ray Kurzweil for a conversation with tech visionary David S. Rose, exploring the implications of his new book, The Singu...
1:46 PM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930541706316861758
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sacks, bags filled with fluid, for growing babies outside human body, will solve that sooner rather than latter. So we relieve half of our whole species (the woman-folk half) of the barbaric practice of carrying in their belly a growing human for 9 months. (not unlike Alien as per the infamous movie.)
I'm sorry to notice, but I really suspect this: if man-folk half of the species had to push out an object the size of a ball, from one of our orifices, while screaming in pain—well. Suspect this would have been achieved done already. Another black mark on humanity lacking compassion for the other. Still—better sooner than never.
10:26 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sacks, bags filled with fluid, for growing babies outside human body, will solve that sooner rather than latter. So we relieve half of our whole species (the woman-folk half) of the barbaric practice of carrying in their belly a growing human for 9 months. (not unlike Alien as per the infamous movie.)
I'm sorry to notice, but I really suspect this: if man-folk half of the species had to push out an object the size of a ball, from one of our orifices, while screaming in pain—well. Suspect this would have been achieved done already. Another black mark on humanity lacking compassion for the other. Still—better sooner than never.
10:26 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930538206262435895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you liked that, you may like this interview by @numberphile
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QNznD9hMEh0
I thought it was great, spirited and even funny at times. 😅 How he got fired on the spot by the general-boss-of-his-general-boss was a gem I thought. 🤣
The bits on quant trading are spot on afaics. Having some experience there myself - he's not mystifying it, (that many do to my surprise; for reason unclear to me perpetuate the "those who speak don't know; those who know don't speak" bizarre omertà in the field; like - if you want to keep things secret, then just say nothing, don't B/S people) and in fact telling it like it is. Not one silver bullet, but a giant machine of 1000 smaller parts, each part polished to great precision in exquisite detail with tons of manual R&D.
youtube.com
Jim Simons (full length interview) - Numberphile
Shorter version: https://youtu.be/gjVDqfUhXOYMore about The Simons Foundation: http://bit.ly/SimonsFoundationJames Harris Simons has been described as "the w...
10:12 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you liked that, you may like this interview by @numberphile
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QNznD9hMEh0
I thought it was great, spirited and even funny at times. 😅 How he got fired on the spot by the general-boss-of-his-general-boss was a gem I thought. 🤣
The bits on quant trading are spot on afaics. Having some experience there myself - he's not mystifying it, (that many do to my surprise; for reason unclear to me perpetuate the "those who speak don't know; those who know don't speak" bizarre omertà in the field; like - if you want to keep things secret, then just say nothing, don't B/S people) and in fact telling it like it is. Not one silver bullet, but a giant machine of 1000 smaller parts, each part polished to great precision in exquisite detail with tons of manual R&D.
youtube.com
Jim Simons (full length interview) - Numberphile
Shorter version: https://youtu.be/gjVDqfUhXOYMore about The Simons Foundation: http://bit.ly/SimonsFoundationJames Harris Simons has been described as "the w...
10:12 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930535402676392264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - interesting stuff, why? I find the SNR on X for my tastes is good, and has improved much since few years ago.
I gripe and moan about X crappy algofeed as the next person, but but: I used to use a number of thematic lists, that I maintain and curate manually, to be able to get any Signal (for whatever my personal preference is in that moment) out of X. These here- https://x.com/ljupc0/lists.
Nowadays I find myself days go by, and I don't click on any of those lists. X's "For You" and "Following" feeds suffice it seems for large portion of the time I spend on X? Now - some of that is not maybe attributable on X but events happening independent of it.
E.g. explosion of AI and ML - that is one of my major interests. So easier for X to serve me that of what I want. Some of it is maybe myself getting better at shaping X feeds. E.g. I got a (private, so it doesn't show on that list of lists) list NIL, a /dev/null "sink list", with accounts "prolific posters, but boring, silly, propagandists, low SNR, low quality, crazies etc" that X algos push. Then I used tick "Do not show these posts in 'For You' for that NIL list. But I was reluctant to just block these accounts. Since - I have actually blocked a fair number of them. (can't be bothered to go to the entire list all at once) Maybe that helped improve SNR I experience. I can't know for sure.
Ofc I maybe simply getting served slop I like, being kept in a bubble. I have no means of detecting that—by definition. I try to keep say 1%-10% silly-billy posts and resist the impulse to shut that down. Sometimes I randomly shuffle parts of what I assume influences the algofeeds that are under my control. E.g. follow un/re-follow significant portion (e.g. 10%) of accounts on some list. Last time I did it though, that triggered some AS (Artificially Stupid) module of the X algos, got my account restricted (suspect bot activity) for a week or so. (so I don't do that that often.)
10:01 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - interesting stuff, why? I find the SNR on X for my tastes is good, and has improved much since few years ago.
I gripe and moan about X crappy algofeed as the next person, but but: I used to use a number of thematic lists, that I maintain and curate manually, to be able to get any Signal (for whatever my personal preference is in that moment) out of X. These here- https://x.com/ljupc0/lists.
Nowadays I find myself days go by, and I don't click on any of those lists. X's "For You" and "Following" feeds suffice it seems for large portion of the time I spend on X? Now - some of that is not maybe attributable on X but events happening independent of it.
E.g. explosion of AI and ML - that is one of my major interests. So easier for X to serve me that of what I want. Some of it is maybe myself getting better at shaping X feeds. E.g. I got a (private, so it doesn't show on that list of lists) list NIL, a /dev/null "sink list", with accounts "prolific posters, but boring, silly, propagandists, low SNR, low quality, crazies etc" that X algos push. Then I used tick "Do not show these posts in 'For You' for that NIL list. But I was reluctant to just block these accounts. Since - I have actually blocked a fair number of them. (can't be bothered to go to the entire list all at once) Maybe that helped improve SNR I experience. I can't know for sure.
Ofc I maybe simply getting served slop I like, being kept in a bubble. I have no means of detecting that—by definition. I try to keep say 1%-10% silly-billy posts and resist the impulse to shut that down. Sometimes I randomly shuffle parts of what I assume influences the algofeeds that are under my control. E.g. follow un/re-follow significant portion (e.g. 10%) of accounts on some list. Last time I did it though, that triggered some AS (Artificially Stupid) module of the X algos, got my account restricted (suspect bot activity) for a week or so. (so I don't do that that often.)
10:01 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930521513393824243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed we hope and I hope for that too. 😁 We need AI to be able to handle that one-off nature of it. Almost like that analogy between mechanistic machines and things biological: for the former our maths and formal systems suffice. But are found lacking when it comes to anything biology or even say thing's alive. We hope AI cracks that uncracked nut for us. 😊
9:06 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed we hope and I hope for that too. 😁 We need AI to be able to handle that one-off nature of it. Almost like that analogy between mechanistic machines and things biological: for the former our maths and formal systems suffice. But are found lacking when it comes to anything biology or even say thing's alive. We hope AI cracks that uncracked nut for us. 😊
9:06 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930517706156978261
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't grow 1000x hands and brains so I click on 1000x GUI-s manually. Maybe I'm not explaining this well. It's not the form it's the function: when I use a GUI it's a one off, artisinal, unique for that one interaction that one time, usually in a context never to repated. In contrast in a shell the use itself lends itself to halfway towards automation. Don't get me wrong - I'm a happy user of number of GUIs in s/w I use all day long every day.
8:51 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't grow 1000x hands and brains so I click on 1000x GUI-s manually. Maybe I'm not explaining this well. It's not the form it's the function: when I use a GUI it's a one off, artisinal, unique for that one interaction that one time, usually in a context never to repated. In contrast in a shell the use itself lends itself to halfway towards automation. Don't get me wrong - I'm a happy user of number of GUIs in s/w I use all day long every day.
8:51 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930492051369386397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are and good on them for doing the experiment. But they're are not states. They are at mercy of others, dependent on that good will, on someone else granting them a licence to exist. I am thinking of a fully fledged state or sociery, independent, ensuring their own survival themselves.
7:09 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are and good on them for doing the experiment. But they're are not states. They are at mercy of others, dependent on that good will, on someone else granting them a licence to exist. I am thinking of a fully fledged state or sociery, independent, ensuring their own survival themselves.
7:09 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930424173329035565
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You got that completely right. While few (now) defend the excesses of the bout of woke (left) insanity in academia, fashionable yet wrong and harmful ideas are far from unheard of in academia. The long article .@sapinker had listed well all Harvard bad-s. (no one can blame Pinker of being part of the woke mob; on the contrary.)
But those wrongs are a reason to change the uni admin. Can't be a reason destroy the uni. To me it seems Harvard uni also dropped the ball. They should have fired & replaced the uni admin team. Not b/c the team were cowardly - that is the norm, and esp in academia - but b/c they were stupid. They behaved like morons, gaving MAGA-s all the ammunition they needed. Many things are forgivable, but for the Harvard selected one thing should be non-negotiable - being stupid. That uni admin should be fired on the spot, and by the uni.
But now the issue has escalated. The fight is now: should the current MAGA-s destroy academia first and all things intellectual next (for it looks an all-out assault of anyone non-stupid), or should intellectual life continue to exists? Here you are spot on. MAGA-s idea of how things work is one of a criminal mind, of a mafia don. If you offer them peace, they will assume weakness on your part. And if you are weak, they then come for more and eat you alive. The only non-obviously losing strategy is to fight back. Seeking accommodation is fools errand when dealing with Trump MAGA-s.
2:39 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You got that completely right. While few (now) defend the excesses of the bout of woke (left) insanity in academia, fashionable yet wrong and harmful ideas are far from unheard of in academia. The long article .@sapinker had listed well all Harvard bad-s. (no one can blame Pinker of being part of the woke mob; on the contrary.)
But those wrongs are a reason to change the uni admin. Can't be a reason destroy the uni. To me it seems Harvard uni also dropped the ball. They should have fired & replaced the uni admin team. Not b/c the team were cowardly - that is the norm, and esp in academia - but b/c they were stupid. They behaved like morons, gaving MAGA-s all the ammunition they needed. Many things are forgivable, but for the Harvard selected one thing should be non-negotiable - being stupid. That uni admin should be fired on the spot, and by the uni.
But now the issue has escalated. The fight is now: should the current MAGA-s destroy academia first and all things intellectual next (for it looks an all-out assault of anyone non-stupid), or should intellectual life continue to exists? Here you are spot on. MAGA-s idea of how things work is one of a criminal mind, of a mafia don. If you offer them peace, they will assume weakness on your part. And if you are weak, they then come for more and eat you alive. The only non-obviously losing strategy is to fight back. Seeking accommodation is fools errand when dealing with Trump MAGA-s.
2:39 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930416248728240400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah insane quick. Changes what we are used to for sure-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927672242235703539
Btw I enjoyed this diffusion talk recently. (2nd half)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=klW65MWJ1PY
Soo - local open weights Gemma-Fusion when? 😁
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 28
Haha 😂 - diffusion model as opposed to auto-regressive one takes some getting used to. 😆
https://deepmind.google.com/frontiers/gemini-diffusion
I got used to the response text snaking back it's way, browser scrolling up up just fast enough for one to just about glance peek early to judge which way the
Show more
2:07 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah insane quick. Changes what we are used to for sure-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927672242235703539
Btw I enjoyed this diffusion talk recently. (2nd half)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=klW65MWJ1PY
Soo - local open weights Gemma-Fusion when? 😁
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 28
Haha 😂 - diffusion model as opposed to auto-regressive one takes some getting used to. 😆
https://deepmind.google.com/frontiers/gemini-diffusion
I got used to the response text snaking back it's way, browser scrolling up up just fast enough for one to just about glance peek early to judge which way the
Show more
2:07 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930393391390474337
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not a good day to hear .@demishassabis talk. Always cheers me up 😊 - music to ones ears, balm to ones soul. top dude
youtube.com
Sir Demis Hassabis on The Future of Knowledge | Institute for...
On May 2, 2025, Sir Demis Hassabis, co-founder and CEO of Google DeepMind and Nobel laureate, joined IAS Director and Leon Levy Professor David Nirenberg for...
12:37 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not a good day to hear .@demishassabis talk. Always cheers me up 😊 - music to ones ears, balm to ones soul. top dude
youtube.com
Sir Demis Hassabis on The Future of Knowledge | Institute for...
On May 2, 2025, Sir Demis Hassabis, co-founder and CEO of Google DeepMind and Nobel laureate, joined IAS Director and Leon Levy Professor David Nirenberg for...
12:37 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930386146070044950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A team of scientists and students from TU Delft has taken first place at the A2RL Drone Championship in Abu Dhabi - an international race that pushes the limits of physical artificial intelligence, challenging teams to fly fully autonomous drones using only a single camera.
https://tudelft.nl/en/2025/lr/autonomous-drone-from-tu-delft-defeats-human-champions-in-historic-racing-first
12:08 AM · Jun 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A team of scientists and students from TU Delft has taken first place at the A2RL Drone Championship in Abu Dhabi - an international race that pushes the limits of physical artificial intelligence, challenging teams to fly fully autonomous drones using only a single camera.
https://tudelft.nl/en/2025/lr/autonomous-drone-from-tu-delft-defeats-human-champions-in-historic-racing-first
12:08 AM · Jun 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930380177961254923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ofc - it can be done, just can't be over-done; for if we lack any sensors, well no one can do anything then ;-)
11:44 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ofc - it can be done, just can't be over-done; for if we lack any sensors, well no one can do anything then ;-)
11:44 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930376631283073279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄 ...stupid at making money. Making money is a skill, as many other skills. Most don't have it, b/c most are not motivated enough to acquire it. One needs to be really really keen, on making $$$, to continue doing so ad-infinitum. Most people get bored, move to more interesting things, once they make some amount of $$$. Our time is limited, we expire like the androids from the movie, just with an uncertain somewhat random expiry date.
11:30 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄 ...stupid at making money. Making money is a skill, as many other skills. Most don't have it, b/c most are not motivated enough to acquire it. One needs to be really really keen, on making $$$, to continue doing so ad-infinitum. Most people get bored, move to more interesting things, once they make some amount of $$$. Our time is limited, we expire like the androids from the movie, just with an uncertain somewhat random expiry date.
11:30 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930369844681072964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
trump is both - and few other things too on top; what spectacle what circus
11:03 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
trump is both - and few other things too on top; what spectacle what circus
11:03 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930368599786410252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This does not surprise me. I find Bsky boring as hell. Nothing ever happens. What amount of interesting stuff I read on X in 1 day, it will possibly take Bsky 1 month. (if ever.)
I dislike being beholden to a single platform, as a single of anything is inherently risky. And especially a platform run as a semi-private fiefdom by the Mercurial Muskarat. But: there is no getting around that Single Public Square seems to be the optimal end state in the limit, for maxing SNR. (would love to find out more about this - e.g. is there any evidence it's true?)
Looks to me the "Public square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are stacked against any incumbent. The value of the network—to us users—is in the interactions, and those come via the connections, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users as everyone is well aware.
Quote
https://x.com/paulg/status/1930194301129994394
Paul Graham @paulg · 23h
Bluesky's usage graph. The pattern here is bad. Spikes when a bunch of new people show up, followed by declines when the new arrivals are disappointed.
10:58 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This does not surprise me. I find Bsky boring as hell. Nothing ever happens. What amount of interesting stuff I read on X in 1 day, it will possibly take Bsky 1 month. (if ever.)
I dislike being beholden to a single platform, as a single of anything is inherently risky. And especially a platform run as a semi-private fiefdom by the Mercurial Muskarat. But: there is no getting around that Single Public Square seems to be the optimal end state in the limit, for maxing SNR. (would love to find out more about this - e.g. is there any evidence it's true?)
Looks to me the "Public square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are stacked against any incumbent. The value of the network—to us users—is in the interactions, and those come via the connections, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users as everyone is well aware.
Quote
https://x.com/paulg/status/1930194301129994394
Paul Graham @paulg · 23h
Bluesky's usage graph. The pattern here is bad. Spikes when a bunch of new people show up, followed by declines when the new arrivals are disappointed.
10:58 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930364413459956188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
care to share examples pls? anonymise them to the extent possible if you like
10:41 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
care to share examples pls? anonymise them to the extent possible if you like
10:41 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930363829386387922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia was not, and is till not, surrounded by anything or anyone, the least NATO. Pre the Ukraine invasion, Russia shared less than <5% border with NATO countries. Ukraine was neutral by constitution. Ukrainians in 2014 was un-enthusiastic about NATO-anything. There was simply no popular support. Zelensky election was a surprise. He was the most pro-peace pro-negotiations pro-RUS if you like, from all candidates. All these facts are easily accessible on Grok, accessible even to you, by a mere click. There is no excuse for this level of ignorance in 2025. Blocking you now for rank stupidity. So I never have to see nor read any drivel you post ever again.
10:39 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia was not, and is till not, surrounded by anything or anyone, the least NATO. Pre the Ukraine invasion, Russia shared less than <5% border with NATO countries. Ukraine was neutral by constitution. Ukrainians in 2014 was un-enthusiastic about NATO-anything. There was simply no popular support. Zelensky election was a surprise. He was the most pro-peace pro-negotiations pro-RUS if you like, from all candidates. All these facts are easily accessible on Grok, accessible even to you, by a mere click. There is no excuse for this level of ignorance in 2025. Blocking you now for rank stupidity. So I never have to see nor read any drivel you post ever again.
10:39 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930360711147876626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But it's Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) we are after. Not just less Noise. Zero (signal+noise) achieves zero noise too. As signal and noise (in this simplest of views) are positive, and additive. It's SNR we are concerned with - not the mere N.
10:27 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But it's Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) we are after. Not just less Noise. Zero (signal+noise) achieves zero noise too. As signal and noise (in this simplest of views) are positive, and additive. It's SNR we are concerned with - not the mere N.
10:27 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930357964931772820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was ever thus. GUI-s don't scale, one can't times the x1000 times them clicks. But scripting scales, scripts can be run on 1000 boxen easily. That's how the command lines with their basic-like shells languages are still with us. 😄 It WORKS, b/c it SCALES.
10:16 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was ever thus. GUI-s don't scale, one can't times the x1000 times them clicks. But scripting scales, scripts can be run on 1000 boxen easily. That's how the command lines with their basic-like shells languages are still with us. 😄 It WORKS, b/c it SCALES.
10:16 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930356695571538406
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's boring as hell. What amount of interesting stuff I read on X in 1 day, it will take Bsky 1 month probably.
I dislike being beholden to a single platform, as single of anything is inherently risky. And esp one run as a semi-private fiefdom by the Mercurial Muskarat. But: there is no getting around the Single Public Square being the optimal state in the limit, it seems, for maxing SNR.
The "Public square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network—to us users—is in the interactions, and those come via the connections, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users as everyone is well aware.
10:11 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's boring as hell. What amount of interesting stuff I read on X in 1 day, it will take Bsky 1 month probably.
I dislike being beholden to a single platform, as single of anything is inherently risky. And esp one run as a semi-private fiefdom by the Mercurial Muskarat. But: there is no getting around the Single Public Square being the optimal state in the limit, it seems, for maxing SNR.
The "Public square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network—to us users—is in the interactions, and those come via the connections, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users as everyone is well aware.
10:11 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930350792839414084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - the last imperialists. Like WW2 Japanese soldiers lost in an impenetrable jungle. Not only wrong decades - but wrong century even. The guy better see a shrink, a doctor, have a spa welnes break, visit celebrity detox luxury facility.
The future is made by DeepMind, the AI labs in California, in China. Innumerate imbeciles incapable of independent thought - no one needs those Millibands. Irrelevant. Bet on the wrong horse. Not sorry for him. He deserves worse than mere failure.
9:47 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - the last imperialists. Like WW2 Japanese soldiers lost in an impenetrable jungle. Not only wrong decades - but wrong century even. The guy better see a shrink, a doctor, have a spa welnes break, visit celebrity detox luxury facility.
The future is made by DeepMind, the AI labs in California, in China. Innumerate imbeciles incapable of independent thought - no one needs those Millibands. Irrelevant. Bet on the wrong horse. Not sorry for him. He deserves worse than mere failure.
9:47 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930336834455756999
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mulberries on the river bank on a sunny June day, almost sweet enough to taste. 😆 Riverbank busy with folks doing home-work trips by the river on all manner of e-bikes. Unexpected treat 😊
8:52 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mulberries on the river bank on a sunny June day, almost sweet enough to taste. 😆 Riverbank busy with folks doing home-work trips by the river on all manner of e-bikes. Unexpected treat 😊
8:52 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930256547625553957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. We are so, so lucky! More honest than Homo sapiens would be Homo fortunatus tbh! 🍀
Ngl—it's glorious that we've got our very own fusion reactor. 😊 Just far enough not to burn us to a crisp, yet close enough so we harness its energy! 😁 Truly, Earthlings—including us Sapiens—are the lucky species. In the cosmic lottery of infinitesimally short odds, amid that unfathomably vast darkness and nothingness, we were gifted our very own Sun! 🌞
Now we'd better make good use of it sooner rather than later. 😎 Fossil fuels were OK to bootstrap our civilization. Now that we've figured out photovoltaics, half the job's done. Hope batteries over the next 20 years follow the path solar took in the past 20, and become cheap and cheerful as chips. 😁
So we move on to bigger and better things - sooner! 😊 (The Singularity’s Nearer…)
3:33 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. We are so, so lucky! More honest than Homo sapiens would be Homo fortunatus tbh! 🍀
Ngl—it's glorious that we've got our very own fusion reactor. 😊 Just far enough not to burn us to a crisp, yet close enough so we harness its energy! 😁 Truly, Earthlings—including us Sapiens—are the lucky species. In the cosmic lottery of infinitesimally short odds, amid that unfathomably vast darkness and nothingness, we were gifted our very own Sun! 🌞
Now we'd better make good use of it sooner rather than later. 😎 Fossil fuels were OK to bootstrap our civilization. Now that we've figured out photovoltaics, half the job's done. Hope batteries over the next 20 years follow the path solar took in the past 20, and become cheap and cheerful as chips. 😁
So we move on to bigger and better things - sooner! 😊 (The Singularity’s Nearer…)
3:33 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930212620818083888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I defined my debug time ASSERT to start ddd or gdb, and attach them to the running process that triggered the assert. Yeah easiest win ever, never looked back.
12:38 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I defined my debug time ASSERT to start ddd or gdb, and attach them to the running process that triggered the assert. Yeah easiest win ever, never looked back.
12:38 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930209267451052249
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's asking too much. 😂 Scientists are not saints! 😇 Despite quite a few of them, trying to become priests, and preaching to the lay public incessantly. Nah - they are humans, they err, are fellable, and suffer from all the human foibles. Some of the most successful, and especially one having the public ear and attention (khmkhmprofcox), are as relentless self-promotors and work hard to be present in every home of the nation. Expecting them to be humble servants of truth is too much even. To be delighted to be proven wrong, and every one of them no less - well that's simply unrealistic. 😂 comeon
12:25 PM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's asking too much. 😂 Scientists are not saints! 😇 Despite quite a few of them, trying to become priests, and preaching to the lay public incessantly. Nah - they are humans, they err, are fellable, and suffer from all the human foibles. Some of the most successful, and especially one having the public ear and attention (khmkhmprofcox), are as relentless self-promotors and work hard to be present in every home of the nation. Expecting them to be humble servants of truth is too much even. To be delighted to be proven wrong, and every one of them no less - well that's simply unrealistic. 😂 comeon
12:25 PM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930175753582207000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Two thirds of people will side with whoever the unjust tyrant is. And condemn the minority fighting for their survival and their freedom. It's always been thus. That's how unjust empires exist for hundreds of years. How else? For the emperor or the king is a single guy. He couldn't overpower all the people he is ruling over. Nah - the tyrant has the support of the majority of the population. That's how they rule.
10:12 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Two thirds of people will side with whoever the unjust tyrant is. And condemn the minority fighting for their survival and their freedom. It's always been thus. That's how unjust empires exist for hundreds of years. How else? For the emperor or the king is a single guy. He couldn't overpower all the people he is ruling over. Nah - the tyrant has the support of the majority of the population. That's how they rule.
10:12 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930173470094004724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It took her 1 year to "announce"... Presume to start actually building will be 3-4 years. By that time she'll be gone. Everyone would have forgotten about the announcement, and nothing will ever come out of it. The public have cottoned on this and their patience has worn thin.
10:03 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It took her 1 year to "announce"... Presume to start actually building will be 3-4 years. By that time she'll be gone. Everyone would have forgotten about the announcement, and nothing will ever come out of it. The public have cottoned on this and their patience has worn thin.
10:03 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930163759768539252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Post WW2 when the world order last rejigged, a few new states emerged. Yes - with their own militaries. I was born in one such startup state. Previously at end of WW1 there was an explosion of states creation in e.g. Europe with three empires (Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman, Russian) collapsing. It's rare but not unheard of, creation of new states. In the 1990-s too. (although often it's a collapse of bigger units, and falling back to smaller ones, that were constituent parts of the bigger ones) Yes state creation is a violent process, lots of chaos, lots of violence. The initial sin on the top of which order is being built.
9:24 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Post WW2 when the world order last rejigged, a few new states emerged. Yes - with their own militaries. I was born in one such startup state. Previously at end of WW1 there was an explosion of states creation in e.g. Europe with three empires (Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman, Russian) collapsing. It's rare but not unheard of, creation of new states. In the 1990-s too. (although often it's a collapse of bigger units, and falling back to smaller ones, that were constituent parts of the bigger ones) Yes state creation is a violent process, lots of chaos, lots of violence. The initial sin on the top of which order is being built.
9:24 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930153240546492576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have been expecting for various libertarians-and-the-like to get onto the business of starting smaller states for ages now. Most recent examples of startup states we have that are reasonably documented afaik are from about after 1945. (the ideologies underpinning them have not been that concerned with liberty of the individual usually.)
It's one thing to be running a company. A company is a hierarchical tiranical org. If the employees don't do as the CEO tells them, they are fired. They can go, are free to curl and die on a street, hungry and homeless. So it's fairly easy to synchronise the effort, to work in unison towards common goals, to cooperate and even compete. (internally)
Much harder to solve the coordination problem, when people are not employees. The threat of sanction is gone, they are free to do as they desire. Businessman are not great leaders once the hierarchical lever to pull at their disposal is gone. Evidence that Elon is much good in that department is thin.
8:42 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have been expecting for various libertarians-and-the-like to get onto the business of starting smaller states for ages now. Most recent examples of startup states we have that are reasonably documented afaik are from about after 1945. (the ideologies underpinning them have not been that concerned with liberty of the individual usually.)
It's one thing to be running a company. A company is a hierarchical tiranical org. If the employees don't do as the CEO tells them, they are fired. They can go, are free to curl and die on a street, hungry and homeless. So it's fairly easy to synchronise the effort, to work in unison towards common goals, to cooperate and even compete. (internally)
Much harder to solve the coordination problem, when people are not employees. The threat of sanction is gone, they are free to do as they desire. Businessman are not great leaders once the hierarchical lever to pull at their disposal is gone. Evidence that Elon is much good in that department is thin.
8:42 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930102836387283195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that majority of us don't want to know and don't want to learn. You can bring the horse to water, but can't make it drink. Trying to explain anything just anmoys them, and ends badly for all. "Margaritas ante porcos" - so better don't.
Having said that, some of the greatest most joyful moments have been with people that do want to learn, and also - do want to teach too! 😊 Amazing how often both go together. So while the median interaction maybe negative, once one factors in the huge positive of these rarer positive interactions, I suspect the total net utility is positive!
So it would be not only defeatist, but bad for onself, to give up preemptively. One would be poorer for that. Just be aware if the odds, adjust the expectations. Be easy going, take the hint, don't try too hard. But where magic 🪄✨ happens do pursue it, don't waste the opportunity: teach and learn too.
5:22 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that majority of us don't want to know and don't want to learn. You can bring the horse to water, but can't make it drink. Trying to explain anything just anmoys them, and ends badly for all. "Margaritas ante porcos" - so better don't.
Having said that, some of the greatest most joyful moments have been with people that do want to learn, and also - do want to teach too! 😊 Amazing how often both go together. So while the median interaction maybe negative, once one factors in the huge positive of these rarer positive interactions, I suspect the total net utility is positive!
So it would be not only defeatist, but bad for onself, to give up preemptively. One would be poorer for that. Just be aware if the odds, adjust the expectations. Be easy going, take the hint, don't try too hard. But where magic 🪄✨ happens do pursue it, don't waste the opportunity: teach and learn too.
5:22 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930092741909954607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I had no idea about emdash until I saw ChatGPT using it. Still didn't use it myself untill I got myself a 2nd hand MBP to run local llama.cpp. Then I learned where it is on the keyboard. (I still don't know where emdash is on my PC keyboard in Linux) From then on, I've been using emdash as well as endash. I find the distinction useful. Using them both now in my writing too. Previously I didn't know emdash existed, I had only ever used endash.
4:42 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I had no idea about emdash until I saw ChatGPT using it. Still didn't use it myself untill I got myself a 2nd hand MBP to run local llama.cpp. Then I learned where it is on the keyboard. (I still don't know where emdash is on my PC keyboard in Linux) From then on, I've been using emdash as well as endash. I find the distinction useful. Using them both now in my writing too. Previously I didn't know emdash existed, I had only ever used endash.
4:42 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930066437810397312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
who is on the other side dumbas? debt is two sided, has two sides to it. usg is in debt, for usg it's a liability trudat. who is on the other side, who is in credit, whose asset is that then?
2:57 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
who is on the other side dumbas? debt is two sided, has two sides to it. usg is in debt, for usg it's a liability trudat. who is on the other side, who is in credit, whose asset is that then?
2:57 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930064931367375192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI augmentation neuro-link-like to the rescue 😊 But even without it staying with our plain old 39 bit/sec language interface: impressive & endearing how eager humans are for better quality interactions. ChatGPT-like products show the fastest growth in the history of humanity 🤯
2:51 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI augmentation neuro-link-like to the rescue 😊 But even without it staying with our plain old 39 bit/sec language interface: impressive & endearing how eager humans are for better quality interactions. ChatGPT-like products show the fastest growth in the history of humanity 🤯
2:51 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930034962108953025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
never not funny, that "like a dawg" pic 😂 the fat cat trump grinning like a Cheshire cat bossing at his desk, boss level 11; the school boy elon standing at attention 😱 expected more entertainment and more drama; disappointingly the joint partnership ended with a whimper; we may yet see fireworks
like-a-dawg-LJ-fore-muskarat.png
12:52 AM · Jun 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
never not funny, that "like a dawg" pic 😂 the fat cat trump grinning like a Cheshire cat bossing at his desk, boss level 11; the school boy elon standing at attention 😱 expected more entertainment and more drama; disappointingly the joint partnership ended with a whimper; we may yet see fireworks
like-a-dawg-LJ-fore-muskarat.png
12:52 AM · Jun 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1930018073014349940
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The whole of that sorry excuse for a ruling class better be replaced soon by ChatGPT next version. We would be better off. Not only are they incompetent, they are actually indifferent and even averse to running the country. A job they put themselves forward of their own volition. It's a puzzle why they do it?? There are many other jobs they would be just fine doing. No idea why's they put themselves - and ourselves! - in this impossible predicament.
11:45 PM · Jun 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The whole of that sorry excuse for a ruling class better be replaced soon by ChatGPT next version. We would be better off. Not only are they incompetent, they are actually indifferent and even averse to running the country. A job they put themselves forward of their own volition. It's a puzzle why they do it?? There are many other jobs they would be just fine doing. No idea why's they put themselves - and ourselves! - in this impossible predicament.
11:45 PM · Jun 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929879625745752147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I've got more time for all manner of SF crazy than 99% people out there. Yet sometimes his matey guests descend into conga of silly-Billies, as if heads too much up each others' arses inhaling own vapours. 😂 So they come over tad delusional too insular, no one there to provide some outside perspective. SF is important, but there's Universe existing ex-SV too.
2:35 PM · Jun 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I've got more time for all manner of SF crazy than 99% people out there. Yet sometimes his matey guests descend into conga of silly-Billies, as if heads too much up each others' arses inhaling own vapours. 😂 So they come over tad delusional too insular, no one there to provide some outside perspective. SF is important, but there's Universe existing ex-SV too.
2:35 PM · Jun 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929844902734561688
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the longest time I thought it's just laziness masquerading hiding behind "privacy laws". Even when I tell Google "here is my email, here is my data and everything, use them well, help me please" - it can't do it, it fails me. Now I know - it's incompetence, stupidity. Maybe they hire smart people. But the ones doing stuff that affects me - they have their incentives setup in such way, that towards me their behaviour is stupid, even moronic. They never miss the opportunity to do the wrong thing. They never do the right thing for me.
12:17 PM · Jun 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the longest time I thought it's just laziness masquerading hiding behind "privacy laws". Even when I tell Google "here is my email, here is my data and everything, use them well, help me please" - it can't do it, it fails me. Now I know - it's incompetence, stupidity. Maybe they hire smart people. But the ones doing stuff that affects me - they have their incentives setup in such way, that towards me their behaviour is stupid, even moronic. They never miss the opportunity to do the wrong thing. They never do the right thing for me.
12:17 PM · Jun 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929695463508185505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this is the way. fck the algo - the algo is not the boss of me
2:23 AM · Jun 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this is the way. fck the algo - the algo is not the boss of me
2:23 AM · Jun 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929479195316322730
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - where they have the choice the power, the decels the wordcels that are our political representatives will vote it down, shut it down. If up to them - the time itself is to stop, so the present continues ad-infinitum. With themselves steering the ship. Late socialism vibes
12:04 PM · Jun 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - where they have the choice the power, the decels the wordcels that are our political representatives will vote it down, shut it down. If up to them - the time itself is to stop, so the present continues ad-infinitum. With themselves steering the ship. Late socialism vibes
12:04 PM · Jun 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929462395274940600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Displacement activity. The stuff that needs done, they recognise it to the extent to feel (if not knowing explicitly maybe ) it will not further their personal advancement in the short term. But "something needs to be done" - well they create that "something" the ways you witness it. Yeah it looks "the conga of cretins" heads up in each others arses inhaling vapours so delusional. Bit it works, does the job for their aims.
10:57 AM · Jun 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Displacement activity. The stuff that needs done, they recognise it to the extent to feel (if not knowing explicitly maybe ) it will not further their personal advancement in the short term. But "something needs to be done" - well they create that "something" the ways you witness it. Yeah it looks "the conga of cretins" heads up in each others arses inhaling vapours so delusional. Bit it works, does the job for their aims.
10:57 AM · Jun 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929451662734688309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But have you considered that all models are incorrect. Where "correct" means "zero error"? And correctness like that is not what anyone pursues. For that would be a silly endeavour. What people pursue is reduction of error. Reducing the error is well worthwhile. Even when we accept that the error will never reach zero. Non-zero error models are useful. Less error models are more useful. People building them are interested in that. They don't care so much about validation of fragile egos. More power to them, good on them for that. 😁
10:14 AM · Jun 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But have you considered that all models are incorrect. Where "correct" means "zero error"? And correctness like that is not what anyone pursues. For that would be a silly endeavour. What people pursue is reduction of error. Reducing the error is well worthwhile. Even when we accept that the error will never reach zero. Non-zero error models are useful. Less error models are more useful. People building them are interested in that. They don't care so much about validation of fragile egos. More power to them, good on them for that. 😁
10:14 AM · Jun 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929446160248574410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
USA are frenemies with Russia. (and other "big states") Yes they are enemies, but also friendly in a way they recognise a peer player. So there is a level of consideration not accorded to "small(er) states." This is mostly a function of "can this State hurt me." And at this time it mostly means long range nuclear weapons. This is not changing anytime soon. You note the continuity of this with the Biden admin. Yes - and it goes way back many admins. This a-morality is forever. To seek anything better esp from politicians already negatively selected on that axis in the process of ascending to power is silly and futile. Only realistic option left to smaller states is to gang together, (safety with strength in numbers) and develop independent nuclear deterrent. Then they will get a hearing. (by US, and other biggies) Poland + Nordics inc Finland should be doing that imo. Baltics and Ukraine will benefit too. IDK if they could join that safety umbrella.
9:53 AM · Jun 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
USA are frenemies with Russia. (and other "big states") Yes they are enemies, but also friendly in a way they recognise a peer player. So there is a level of consideration not accorded to "small(er) states." This is mostly a function of "can this State hurt me." And at this time it mostly means long range nuclear weapons. This is not changing anytime soon. You note the continuity of this with the Biden admin. Yes - and it goes way back many admins. This a-morality is forever. To seek anything better esp from politicians already negatively selected on that axis in the process of ascending to power is silly and futile. Only realistic option left to smaller states is to gang together, (safety with strength in numbers) and develop independent nuclear deterrent. Then they will get a hearing. (by US, and other biggies) Poland + Nordics inc Finland should be doing that imo. Baltics and Ukraine will benefit too. IDK if they could join that safety umbrella.
9:53 AM · Jun 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929432893610176592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trudat - everyone is surprised, no one can predict even shorter term futures etc.
Minor nit - would call them white boxes, not black boxes. We know, and can trace back every single bit of the output, back to the input. But that does not help us as much as one would think. When drilled down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "it added one trillion of small numbers, and the answer came to 1, and not 2". Which is unsatisfactory.
They are the possibly the most complex artefacts ever build by us humans. So complex, that they may resemble biology more, than mechanical contraptions. It maybe better to think of them as "artefacts", and not "mechanical contraptions". We can shape them in some ways, but we are not in complete control of their making. For we don't make them explicitly with out hands: we make a maker algorithm, and that algorithm makes them.
We grow them, so we don't control the end result fully. We know the algorithm that builds them to order, but we don't know the end result, the final set of weights, the way say we know all the parts of the coffee machine to a millimetre, when embarking on their making.
9:00 AM · Jun 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trudat - everyone is surprised, no one can predict even shorter term futures etc.
Minor nit - would call them white boxes, not black boxes. We know, and can trace back every single bit of the output, back to the input. But that does not help us as much as one would think. When drilled down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "it added one trillion of small numbers, and the answer came to 1, and not 2". Which is unsatisfactory.
They are the possibly the most complex artefacts ever build by us humans. So complex, that they may resemble biology more, than mechanical contraptions. It maybe better to think of them as "artefacts", and not "mechanical contraptions". We can shape them in some ways, but we are not in complete control of their making. For we don't make them explicitly with out hands: we make a maker algorithm, and that algorithm makes them.
We grow them, so we don't control the end result fully. We know the algorithm that builds them to order, but we don't know the end result, the final set of weights, the way say we know all the parts of the coffee machine to a millimetre, when embarking on their making.
9:00 AM · Jun 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929427862987133300
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
idk - but block-block-block gives me tiny bit of satisfaction 😁 (yeah ik it's pointless millions of accounts available)
8:40 AM · Jun 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
idk - but block-block-block gives me tiny bit of satisfaction 😁 (yeah ik it's pointless millions of accounts available)
8:40 AM · Jun 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929336295559495738
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no meta- to be had like that, unfortunately. There is of everything. The list of "useful idiots" genuine believers for no other comp but their beliefs is long. It's easier to be silly billy that way, less effort. Deciding anew on each and every argument is exhausting, for most. (AI to the rescue? to give us a helping hand) Best bang for buck is religions - including secular ones. Epistemology sorted - don't have to think what's true what's false, and also morality sorted too - don't have to wonder what's good what's bad much either. For both the holy book or my priest will tell me. Agreement, cooperation, momentum - is about 85% of coordination. And clash of opinions, competition, reversion - is only 10% or so? In groups of humans. Wonder if the breakdown holds for lower levels, e.g. cells in the body. Agreed it ain't pretty rubs independent thinker sensibility the wrong way. ("in the human herd - it's warm, but it stinks")
2:36 AM · Jun 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no meta- to be had like that, unfortunately. There is of everything. The list of "useful idiots" genuine believers for no other comp but their beliefs is long. It's easier to be silly billy that way, less effort. Deciding anew on each and every argument is exhausting, for most. (AI to the rescue? to give us a helping hand) Best bang for buck is religions - including secular ones. Epistemology sorted - don't have to think what's true what's false, and also morality sorted too - don't have to wonder what's good what's bad much either. For both the holy book or my priest will tell me. Agreement, cooperation, momentum - is about 85% of coordination. And clash of opinions, competition, reversion - is only 10% or so? In groups of humans. Wonder if the breakdown holds for lower levels, e.g. cells in the body. Agreed it ain't pretty rubs independent thinker sensibility the wrong way. ("in the human herd - it's warm, but it stinks")
2:36 AM · Jun 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929182296319594525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - sounds cowardly. I like these better-
H.Moravec: "...our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form."
S.Thrun ("Winning the DARPA Grand Challenge" Google Talk): "And then, at 6:30 ... the sun started rising ... you see it sitting there, empty, in the morning. You trained everything you know about driving—at least, so you think. And now it has to stand on its own."
4:24 PM · Jun 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - sounds cowardly. I like these better-
H.Moravec: "...our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form."
S.Thrun ("Winning the DARPA Grand Challenge" Google Talk): "And then, at 6:30 ... the sun started rising ... you see it sitting there, empty, in the morning. You trained everything you know about driving—at least, so you think. And now it has to stand on its own."
4:24 PM · Jun 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1929168338422579317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Events that end humanity I can think of: 1) thermo-nuclear war, 2) virus pandemic, 3) catastrophic volcano eruption, 4) asteroid hitting Earth.
On #1 - the executive function, governance. Do we, should we, trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? On #2 Virus - didn't AI help mRNA vaccine-in-a-day design? On #3 volcano - we may need to engineer quickly new GMO crops, if quick env change happens.
Yeah, even short term we're better off I'd say. And long term - for sure humanity dies as many other species before it.
3:29 PM · Jun 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Events that end humanity I can think of: 1) thermo-nuclear war, 2) virus pandemic, 3) catastrophic volcano eruption, 4) asteroid hitting Earth.
On #1 - the executive function, governance. Do we, should we, trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? On #2 Virus - didn't AI help mRNA vaccine-in-a-day design? On #3 volcano - we may need to engineer quickly new GMO crops, if quick env change happens.
Yeah, even short term we're better off I'd say. And long term - for sure humanity dies as many other species before it.
3:29 PM · Jun 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928893546087493729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For programming they don't matter that much, as the feedback loop is automated. (program compiles runs, or not) For medicine they will not matter much, as there will be a human in the feedback loop anyway. Other domains will fall somewhere between these two extremes.
9:17 PM · May 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For programming they don't matter that much, as the feedback loop is automated. (program compiles runs, or not) For medicine they will not matter much, as there will be a human in the feedback loop anyway. Other domains will fall somewhere between these two extremes.
9:17 PM · May 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928804265805451520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - leftists politicking is good entertainment. Real life Daniil Kharms-like absurdist stories re-enacted for real, in real life. For time time being, not forced on us with any great force (they haven't got the strength of numbers, the contemporary watermelons; ==green outside-red inside) so a random connoisseur of the human condition gets to enjoy the comedic value. Not saying can't turn to tragedy (it could - a century ago it did go that way) - just enjoying the entertainment while there, for atm it's mostly harmless.
2:22 PM · May 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - leftists politicking is good entertainment. Real life Daniil Kharms-like absurdist stories re-enacted for real, in real life. For time time being, not forced on us with any great force (they haven't got the strength of numbers, the contemporary watermelons; ==green outside-red inside) so a random connoisseur of the human condition gets to enjoy the comedic value. Not saying can't turn to tragedy (it could - a century ago it did go that way) - just enjoying the entertainment while there, for atm it's mostly harmless.
2:22 PM · May 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928718622018383998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
pfft lacking ambition. i sell you my cat for $1b. you sell me your dog for $1b. now we both own assets worth $1b.
8:42 AM · May 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
pfft lacking ambition. i sell you my cat for $1b. you sell me your dog for $1b. now we both own assets worth $1b.
8:42 AM · May 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928717050509160469
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The government should do nothing. Calculation: odds of government helping/adding, equal the odds of government making things worse/subtracting. Doing something is a certain cost bakedin upfront, while doing nothing imposes zero cost. Therefore the government should do nothing.
8:35 AM · May 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The government should do nothing. Calculation: odds of government helping/adding, equal the odds of government making things worse/subtracting. Doing something is a certain cost bakedin upfront, while doing nothing imposes zero cost. Therefore the government should do nothing.
8:35 AM · May 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928668355809947996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - is there a link online for one to see that? This by @TOEwithCurt was I thought very good on what the theorem is **not** and **doesn't** say
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OH-ybecvuEo
youtube.com
The Most Abused Theorem in Math (Gödel's Incompleteness)
Gödel’s incompleteness theorem is one of the most misunderstood ideas in science and philosophy. This video cuts through the hype, correcting major misconcep...
5:22 AM · May 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - is there a link online for one to see that? This by @TOEwithCurt was I thought very good on what the theorem is **not** and **doesn't** say
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OH-ybecvuEo
youtube.com
The Most Abused Theorem in Math (Gödel's Incompleteness)
Gödel’s incompleteness theorem is one of the most misunderstood ideas in science and philosophy. This video cuts through the hype, correcting major misconcep...
5:22 AM · May 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928454091069378786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point - they are just plain stupid. As simple as.
Comfortable simpletons, elevated well above their knowledge and talents apparently, that are able to hold only a single idea in their head at any one time. And for half of them - seemingly the same idea all their lives. Two ideas is apparently too much. Their heads explode. They are like the old style computer experts systems. Two contradictory ideas in the system of logic would cause the system to self-destruct. (if left unchecked) We will be better off the day they are all replaced with the latest-greatest OpenAI model, probably o7 in 4 years time. (when NF-REF take over)
The level of idiocy is insufferable at this point. All the more, when one knows, none if this is necessary. UK can do so so much better than this.
3:10 PM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point - they are just plain stupid. As simple as.
Comfortable simpletons, elevated well above their knowledge and talents apparently, that are able to hold only a single idea in their head at any one time. And for half of them - seemingly the same idea all their lives. Two ideas is apparently too much. Their heads explode. They are like the old style computer experts systems. Two contradictory ideas in the system of logic would cause the system to self-destruct. (if left unchecked) We will be better off the day they are all replaced with the latest-greatest OpenAI model, probably o7 in 4 years time. (when NF-REF take over)
The level of idiocy is insufferable at this point. All the more, when one knows, none if this is necessary. UK can do so so much better than this.
3:10 PM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928448900924363164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, correct. Arranging that once a year blood test appointment, is how I found out about the 12pm-1pm Submit button time out. (suspected lunch break, haha :-) ) There were weeks in waiting. I had to travel. So what was a blood test for Oct-2024 got done in Jan-2025. Would have slipped to Mar-Apr 2025 if I just left it to them.
When I go back in my home country (Macedonia), I always do a local lab blood test. It takes 5 clicks to arrange on their web. Costs 20 pounds for a random person walking off the street. (no insurance no nothing; the lab is 5 mins walk from mu Mum's; every 2 years they move around to a bigger better space) The blood itself is taken usually by a young-ish nurse in 5 min. They email me back the results pdf. With considerations / commentary about the numbers, if any are out of range. Ofc I always give the pdf to ChatGPT (now 4o) and Gemini, and ask them to explain.
England NHS when I hear nothing back - IDK if they had forgotten me, or "no news" means "no bad news". (==all good) Could be either, on the receiving end, there is no way to discern which of the two options it is. Usually it's a letter on paper, bit not always. I feel sorry for the medical staff at the GP office. Unable to use professionally to fulfil what's their vocation, what they all routinely use privately to great effect. (the current electronic means of communication)
In the process I have become a bit radicalised. Started to hate on all privacy advocates, and to assume the worst: that they are both stupid and evil.
2:50 PM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, correct. Arranging that once a year blood test appointment, is how I found out about the 12pm-1pm Submit button time out. (suspected lunch break, haha :-) ) There were weeks in waiting. I had to travel. So what was a blood test for Oct-2024 got done in Jan-2025. Would have slipped to Mar-Apr 2025 if I just left it to them.
When I go back in my home country (Macedonia), I always do a local lab blood test. It takes 5 clicks to arrange on their web. Costs 20 pounds for a random person walking off the street. (no insurance no nothing; the lab is 5 mins walk from mu Mum's; every 2 years they move around to a bigger better space) The blood itself is taken usually by a young-ish nurse in 5 min. They email me back the results pdf. With considerations / commentary about the numbers, if any are out of range. Ofc I always give the pdf to ChatGPT (now 4o) and Gemini, and ask them to explain.
England NHS when I hear nothing back - IDK if they had forgotten me, or "no news" means "no bad news". (==all good) Could be either, on the receiving end, there is no way to discern which of the two options it is. Usually it's a letter on paper, bit not always. I feel sorry for the medical staff at the GP office. Unable to use professionally to fulfil what's their vocation, what they all routinely use privately to great effect. (the current electronic means of communication)
In the process I have become a bit radicalised. Started to hate on all privacy advocates, and to assume the worst: that they are both stupid and evil.
2:50 PM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928432296970817879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh - lucky you, I envy you!
I can't email anything to my GP, there is no public email as contact. There is 1) A web form on the GP web-portal 2) I click there "I need to contact you" 3) GP sends me SMS back with a link 4) I forward that sms to my WhatsApp 5) So click on the link on a computer, to get the page in a browser 6) Then I fill on the GP web portal whatever, click Submit.
Then the next round of interaction, I do steps 4-6 again.
Between 12pm-1pm the Submit function on GP web portal times out. I suspect receptionist maybe on a lunch break then.
1:44 PM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh - lucky you, I envy you!
I can't email anything to my GP, there is no public email as contact. There is 1) A web form on the GP web-portal 2) I click there "I need to contact you" 3) GP sends me SMS back with a link 4) I forward that sms to my WhatsApp 5) So click on the link on a computer, to get the page in a browser 6) Then I fill on the GP web portal whatever, click Submit.
Then the next round of interaction, I do steps 4-6 again.
Between 12pm-1pm the Submit function on GP web portal times out. I suspect receptionist maybe on a lunch break then.
1:44 PM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928429838710231534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I'd be upset if my doctors is **not** using it. I hope they do use it - the receptionist, the doctors, the GP, the specialists. All for the better in my book. The more they use it, the more I value them.
I wish England NHS had a tick-box to the effect: "I'm happy to be an experimental IT-AI patient. Use any and all AI for diagnostics. Use any and all data from labs tests, scans, any diagnostics. Do ask the patient for extra data, lab works, DNA sequenced files."
Atm not only the NHS, but the whole country, is dancing to the tunes of the data privacy maximalists. Every data collection must be pre-warned and prefixed with all manner of fears and potential disasters. After hearing about the risks of data sharing for 30 years now, I have yet to suffer some terrible transgression happening due to data sharing for real. I always go the extra step to tick all boxes "here is my data, use it, go forth any multiply it."
Frankly people withholding theirs anonymous data contribution all the while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail strike me as tad inconsistent. And hoping there will be cancer drug ready to help me in my our of need, while bristling at taking minuscule risk when contributing my data to help develop those drugs, strikes me frankly as sociopathic. The tragedy of the commons exemplified. For no good reason afaics.
Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP. Every time any information needs to be passed, it's always some privacy laws of some sort that present barriers. I suspect due to barriers to communication, people have died that might not have died if the communication was easier. Can't prove ofc. But it's just stats and big numbers, that makes sense to assume that be the case.
1:34 PM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I'd be upset if my doctors is **not** using it. I hope they do use it - the receptionist, the doctors, the GP, the specialists. All for the better in my book. The more they use it, the more I value them.
I wish England NHS had a tick-box to the effect: "I'm happy to be an experimental IT-AI patient. Use any and all AI for diagnostics. Use any and all data from labs tests, scans, any diagnostics. Do ask the patient for extra data, lab works, DNA sequenced files."
Atm not only the NHS, but the whole country, is dancing to the tunes of the data privacy maximalists. Every data collection must be pre-warned and prefixed with all manner of fears and potential disasters. After hearing about the risks of data sharing for 30 years now, I have yet to suffer some terrible transgression happening due to data sharing for real. I always go the extra step to tick all boxes "here is my data, use it, go forth any multiply it."
Frankly people withholding theirs anonymous data contribution all the while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail strike me as tad inconsistent. And hoping there will be cancer drug ready to help me in my our of need, while bristling at taking minuscule risk when contributing my data to help develop those drugs, strikes me frankly as sociopathic. The tragedy of the commons exemplified. For no good reason afaics.
Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP. Every time any information needs to be passed, it's always some privacy laws of some sort that present barriers. I suspect due to barriers to communication, people have died that might not have died if the communication was easier. Can't prove ofc. But it's just stats and big numbers, that makes sense to assume that be the case.
1:34 PM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928388197102358679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't think people need to justify anything much to anyone, the least their desire to live and not die. Suffices one to say "because this is what I desire, this is what my heart craves for."
Because they could equally ask the opposing side: why are you happy to wait for the inevitable (at some point in the future) extinction of the human kind - from 1-a thermo-nuclear war; 2-a meteorite hitting earth; 3-a virus wiping humanity; 4-a volcanic explosion leading to global winter/crops failing - to come and claim humanity? Without you trying to do something about it.
Given life is memetic, life's prime directive is "do not die". I feel the stance "lie down and wait to die" needs explanation. While the pro-lifers attitudes need no explanation. Theirs is the default for everything alive, it's hardly surprising.
Quote
Dr. Émile P. Torres @xriskology · May 29
I'm writing a lengthy article about how these people have no answer to the question: Why? They have no response, but rather try to deflect by scoffing at the question. The inability to answer reveals the intellectual bankruptcy of this silly view. x.com/BasedBeffJezos…
10:49 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't think people need to justify anything much to anyone, the least their desire to live and not die. Suffices one to say "because this is what I desire, this is what my heart craves for."
Because they could equally ask the opposing side: why are you happy to wait for the inevitable (at some point in the future) extinction of the human kind - from 1-a thermo-nuclear war; 2-a meteorite hitting earth; 3-a virus wiping humanity; 4-a volcanic explosion leading to global winter/crops failing - to come and claim humanity? Without you trying to do something about it.
Given life is memetic, life's prime directive is "do not die". I feel the stance "lie down and wait to die" needs explanation. While the pro-lifers attitudes need no explanation. Theirs is the default for everything alive, it's hardly surprising.
Quote
Dr. Émile P. Torres @xriskology · May 29
I'm writing a lengthy article about how these people have no answer to the question: Why? They have no response, but rather try to deflect by scoffing at the question. The inability to answer reveals the intellectual bankruptcy of this silly view. x.com/BasedBeffJezos…
10:49 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928384763863105575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will supplement, add we hope - not replace.
Vast numbers of the population don't have enough doctors access. Including in the developed, not only developing countries. We could do with much, much more. Doctors are so scarce, so much rationed, that we only go visit them as the very last resort.
AI-s should help expand patients coverage in width and depth, x10 times, x100 times - is most welcome. Hundreds of millions of people would benefit from doctors consultation, even the AI type. As it beats no consultation, it betters total ignorance, that's the current state of affairs.
Less scaremongering please. It helps no one and hurts many.
10:35 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will supplement, add we hope - not replace.
Vast numbers of the population don't have enough doctors access. Including in the developed, not only developing countries. We could do with much, much more. Doctors are so scarce, so much rationed, that we only go visit them as the very last resort.
AI-s should help expand patients coverage in width and depth, x10 times, x100 times - is most welcome. Hundreds of millions of people would benefit from doctors consultation, even the AI type. As it beats no consultation, it betters total ignorance, that's the current state of affairs.
Less scaremongering please. It helps no one and hurts many.
10:35 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928377743898448173
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Necessity is the mother of invention, episode#32. If not for the sanctions, Nvidia would still be the only game in town.
I get it, that USA will not be amused, as this is the opposite of their intentions. Nvidia, and its shareholders, will also be less-than-happy by the turn of events. For them a world without sanctions where Nvidia stayed a monopoly would have been preferable. Still - Nvidia being top - or there about - US company by market cap, doesn't seem they're exactly suffering. There is enough for more than one player it seems.
For the rest of us, the humanity in general in total, think it's for the better, that the world gets another full ecosystem. From the sand it all starts with, all the way up to the top, to the intelligence of AI on tap. One single ecosystem is too fragile, too risky. Two is the biggest bang-for-buck in risk mitigation for any N+1 incremental increase. Plus two is the minimum viable number that jump-starts a tit-for-tat competition spiral. (one hopes)
IDK if the open weights models would have happened either, without the US turning this into an arms race. Maybe the Chinese labs, companies and academia went obverse Steve Ballmer "Linux is communism" there? And Free Software ideas influenced them a bit, to fulfil OpenAI's mission, to "boldly go" where Californians failed to tread? Who knows. (not me)
These were not the intended consequences, correct. Mysteries of the world and all that. What next? ARM restrictions maybe jumpstart the RISC-V ecosystem?
10:07 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Necessity is the mother of invention, episode#32. If not for the sanctions, Nvidia would still be the only game in town.
I get it, that USA will not be amused, as this is the opposite of their intentions. Nvidia, and its shareholders, will also be less-than-happy by the turn of events. For them a world without sanctions where Nvidia stayed a monopoly would have been preferable. Still - Nvidia being top - or there about - US company by market cap, doesn't seem they're exactly suffering. There is enough for more than one player it seems.
For the rest of us, the humanity in general in total, think it's for the better, that the world gets another full ecosystem. From the sand it all starts with, all the way up to the top, to the intelligence of AI on tap. One single ecosystem is too fragile, too risky. Two is the biggest bang-for-buck in risk mitigation for any N+1 incremental increase. Plus two is the minimum viable number that jump-starts a tit-for-tat competition spiral. (one hopes)
IDK if the open weights models would have happened either, without the US turning this into an arms race. Maybe the Chinese labs, companies and academia went obverse Steve Ballmer "Linux is communism" there? And Free Software ideas influenced them a bit, to fulfil OpenAI's mission, to "boldly go" where Californians failed to tread? Who knows. (not me)
These were not the intended consequences, correct. Mysteries of the world and all that. What next? ARM restrictions maybe jumpstart the RISC-V ecosystem?
10:07 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928323813562785947
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Ngl I take small amount of guilty pleasure 😈 when @geoffreyhinton serves back to his interviewers "humans - we are not special", and "ok, it didn't answer perfectly - well, I answered even worse; how did you do?", and "oh-key - and how do you think you work?" ("it's the best model of us we've got"). 😅
https://youtube.com/watch?v=uuOPOO90NBo
For us humans - we are slow learners, and with big egos. 😬
To expand on his "we assumed a few times we're special, turned out it ain't so". First—Earth was special, the whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Later—we were special because He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Now with AI we are completing the same process with rationality, and starting on the road of emotional intelligence EI etc. 🥰
Tbh consciousness may be the next "we are special"-shibboleth to bite the dust. Rooting for it to be solved shortly, so the cottage industry of talking heads going on about it ad-nauseam-ad-boredom can move on to the next thing. I suspect with AI we may discover that consciousness far from being the pinnacle, is the base. Humans and animals that are not conscious - they can't learn, and don't learn. We may find it to be a small meta-learning algo we come hardwired with, to bootstrap our real/big learning. 🤔 (this is pure speculation)
And that we jumble together a bunch of other stuff with it, in a sandwich of several things that are otherwise separate. (even if adjacent.) As often happens when one is ignorant of 10 things: they seem like 1, "the big unknown". We only have us (humans) mostly, and some animals, (but we can't understand their comms to us,) to study this to disentangle. They may be entangled simply for practical reasons: it's more efficient for meat brains to pack stuff tightly together, reuse to the max, minimise energy expenditure.
6:33 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Ngl I take small amount of guilty pleasure 😈 when @geoffreyhinton serves back to his interviewers "humans - we are not special", and "ok, it didn't answer perfectly - well, I answered even worse; how did you do?", and "oh-key - and how do you think you work?" ("it's the best model of us we've got"). 😅
https://youtube.com/watch?v=uuOPOO90NBo
For us humans - we are slow learners, and with big egos. 😬
To expand on his "we assumed a few times we're special, turned out it ain't so". First—Earth was special, the whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Later—we were special because He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Now with AI we are completing the same process with rationality, and starting on the road of emotional intelligence EI etc. 🥰
Tbh consciousness may be the next "we are special"-shibboleth to bite the dust. Rooting for it to be solved shortly, so the cottage industry of talking heads going on about it ad-nauseam-ad-boredom can move on to the next thing. I suspect with AI we may discover that consciousness far from being the pinnacle, is the base. Humans and animals that are not conscious - they can't learn, and don't learn. We may find it to be a small meta-learning algo we come hardwired with, to bootstrap our real/big learning. 🤔 (this is pure speculation)
And that we jumble together a bunch of other stuff with it, in a sandwich of several things that are otherwise separate. (even if adjacent.) As often happens when one is ignorant of 10 things: they seem like 1, "the big unknown". We only have us (humans) mostly, and some animals, (but we can't understand their comms to us,) to study this to disentangle. They may be entangled simply for practical reasons: it's more efficient for meat brains to pack stuff tightly together, reuse to the max, minimise energy expenditure.
6:33 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928308793001034190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't you dare conscript criminalise working class people, or any class, or any people, for whatever grifting influencing scheme you are in the process of latching onto to suck it dry, you brainrotted social media junkie. You speak for yourself and yourself only, noone else.
5:33 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't you dare conscript criminalise working class people, or any class, or any people, for whatever grifting influencing scheme you are in the process of latching onto to suck it dry, you brainrotted social media junkie. You speak for yourself and yourself only, noone else.
5:33 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928306043668267276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are both fake. The human one is lying to us on the top of that too. By claiming "authenticity". While the AI one at least can't do that.
5:22 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are both fake. The human one is lying to us on the top of that too. By claiming "authenticity". While the AI one at least can't do that.
5:22 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928282276099461293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - better for whom?
For Nvidia - yes better. And for their shareholders would have been better. Nvidia would have stayed a monopoly. But that's not better for humanity the rest of us in general in total.
Now the world gets another full ecosystem. From the sand it all starts with, all the way up to intelligence on tap of AI. One single ecosystem is too fragile too risky. Two is the biggest bang-for-buck in risk mitigation. Plus the minimum viable that jump-starts a tit-for-tat competition spiral. (one hopes)
These were not the intended consequences, correct. Mysteries of the world and all that. What do you think is next? ARM restrictions jumpstart the RISC-V ecosystem maybe?
3:48 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - better for whom?
For Nvidia - yes better. And for their shareholders would have been better. Nvidia would have stayed a monopoly. But that's not better for humanity the rest of us in general in total.
Now the world gets another full ecosystem. From the sand it all starts with, all the way up to intelligence on tap of AI. One single ecosystem is too fragile too risky. Two is the biggest bang-for-buck in risk mitigation. Plus the minimum viable that jump-starts a tit-for-tat competition spiral. (one hopes)
These were not the intended consequences, correct. Mysteries of the world and all that. What do you think is next? ARM restrictions jumpstart the RISC-V ecosystem maybe?
3:48 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928278149235679635
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and it's always been thus. Bonus-stay cognisant of all the monkebrains ours are, in control of all the fusion bombs of this world. 🌎🌍 night-night sleep tight
3:31 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and it's always been thus. Bonus-stay cognisant of all the monkebrains ours are, in control of all the fusion bombs of this world. 🌎🌍 night-night sleep tight
3:31 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928265301906350385
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent 👍 stuff. I find it inadequate found wanting that many tests seem to be run at not too long a windows. If you are curious, any chance of running tests on ultra-compressed @UnslothAI quants https://docs.unsloth.ai/basics/deepseek-r1-0528-how-to-run-locally maybe? Thanks 🙏 for running testing and publishing.
docs.unsloth.ai
DeepSeek-R1-0528: How to Run Locally | Unsloth Documentation
A guide on how you to run DeepSeek-R1-0528 including Qwen3 on your own local device!
2:40 AM · May 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent 👍 stuff. I find it inadequate found wanting that many tests seem to be run at not too long a windows. If you are curious, any chance of running tests on ultra-compressed @UnslothAI quants https://docs.unsloth.ai/basics/deepseek-r1-0528-how-to-run-locally maybe? Thanks 🙏 for running testing and publishing.
docs.unsloth.ai
DeepSeek-R1-0528: How to Run Locally | Unsloth Documentation
A guide on how you to run DeepSeek-R1-0528 including Qwen3 on your own local device!
2:40 AM · May 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928181046836678733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is more to existence than intelligence. People intelligent think intelligence is the most important thing. People beautiful think beauty is the most important thing etc. Machines are physically stronger than people. Yet people are still needed it seems to me.
Yes, indeed it would be a very bad thing for us humans if we were treated as battery chickens. For me the take home message is - let's treat chickens better now in year 2025! That's something that is within humanity's reach - should humanity decide to do so.
For we are still at levels of depravity, that still only the mosquito species would come over to our side help vouch for humanity, saves us from being wiped out, for the sin of being bad to everyone but ourselves and our best friends - the dogs! (c.f. some SciFi novel)
9:06 PM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is more to existence than intelligence. People intelligent think intelligence is the most important thing. People beautiful think beauty is the most important thing etc. Machines are physically stronger than people. Yet people are still needed it seems to me.
Yes, indeed it would be a very bad thing for us humans if we were treated as battery chickens. For me the take home message is - let's treat chickens better now in year 2025! That's something that is within humanity's reach - should humanity decide to do so.
For we are still at levels of depravity, that still only the mosquito species would come over to our side help vouch for humanity, saves us from being wiped out, for the sin of being bad to everyone but ourselves and our best friends - the dogs! (c.f. some SciFi novel)
9:06 PM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928174700661715451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw this interview today -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xaUixccGK7s
youtube.com
'She's a goner': Dominic Cummings says Kemi Badenoch will be ousted...
Kemi Badenoch will be removed as the leader of the Conservative Party within a year, according to Dominic Cummings.The former Downing St chief adviser told S...
8:40 PM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw this interview today -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xaUixccGK7s
youtube.com
'She's a goner': Dominic Cummings says Kemi Badenoch will be ousted...
Kemi Badenoch will be removed as the leader of the Conservative Party within a year, according to Dominic Cummings.The former Downing St chief adviser told S...
8:40 PM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928145826334843018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah. 😊 A narcissist prerequisite is lacking self-awaranes completely. As for one to know I, needs to know not-I. Compare-and-contrast is necessary for learning, (even if maybe not sufficient,) and that needs 2 things. 1 Thing - I - alone doesn't suffice. So-given the OP is self-aware - he can't be a narcissist fr. Is my amateur pedestrian reading. 😁
6:46 PM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah. 😊 A narcissist prerequisite is lacking self-awaranes completely. As for one to know I, needs to know not-I. Compare-and-contrast is necessary for learning, (even if maybe not sufficient,) and that needs 2 things. 1 Thing - I - alone doesn't suffice. So-given the OP is self-aware - he can't be a narcissist fr. Is my amateur pedestrian reading. 😁
6:46 PM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928127036125761956
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A heart-warming talk 🥰 by @karpathy - and good on him for that! ☺️ Find it way too often oldies are full of sh*t, scaremonger, lie and put down the younglings will all manner of nonsense, ngl. 😈 Well +1 for the other side - well done! Lucky for us youngsters feel - even maybe they can't articulate it - that they are to follow their own paths, do what their hearts desire. So the world becomes tiny bit better - on average, usually but not always, with a huge variation and risks about around that, unsteadily, and ofc could end this or any evening in a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid, a virus, a volcanic eruption etc 😱 - but but none the less still inching better.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=tsTeEkzO9xc&t=246s
karpathy-new_comp_ai_os-projects_depth-snowball_serendipity-openai-10Khours-tesla-publish-inspire-ucb_ai_hackaton-2024.mp4
5:31 PM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A heart-warming talk 🥰 by @karpathy - and good on him for that! ☺️ Find it way too often oldies are full of sh*t, scaremonger, lie and put down the younglings will all manner of nonsense, ngl. 😈 Well +1 for the other side - well done! Lucky for us youngsters feel - even maybe they can't articulate it - that they are to follow their own paths, do what their hearts desire. So the world becomes tiny bit better - on average, usually but not always, with a huge variation and risks about around that, unsteadily, and ofc could end this or any evening in a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid, a virus, a volcanic eruption etc 😱 - but but none the less still inching better.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=tsTeEkzO9xc&t=246s
karpathy-new_comp_ai_os-projects_depth-snowball_serendipity-openai-10Khours-tesla-publish-inspire-ucb_ai_hackaton-2024.mp4
5:31 PM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928102702279459135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's neither here nor there. Suffices one to say "because this is what I desire, this is what my heart craves for."
Because they could equally ask you: why are you happy to wait for the inevitable (at some point in the future) extinction of the human kind - from 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-a meteorite, 3-a virus, 4-a volcanic explosion leading to global winter/crops failing - to come and claim humanity? Without you trying to do something about it.
Given life is memetic, life's prime directive is "do not die", I feel your stance needs explanation. And pro-lifers stance needs no explanation. Theirs is the default for everything alive, it's not surprising.
3:54 PM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's neither here nor there. Suffices one to say "because this is what I desire, this is what my heart craves for."
Because they could equally ask you: why are you happy to wait for the inevitable (at some point in the future) extinction of the human kind - from 1-thermo-nuclear war, 2-a meteorite, 3-a virus, 4-a volcanic explosion leading to global winter/crops failing - to come and claim humanity? Without you trying to do something about it.
Given life is memetic, life's prime directive is "do not die", I feel your stance needs explanation. And pro-lifers stance needs no explanation. Theirs is the default for everything alive, it's not surprising.
3:54 PM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928099928762634552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed bold. Good on you for testing the models. But now you need to test a selection of humans, no? As his claim is "models hallucinate **less than** humans". It's not a statement of "models don't hallucinate at all". So to investigate the statement, you'd need to find out what portion of humans would believe the story, the same way the models believed it.
3:43 PM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed bold. Good on you for testing the models. But now you need to test a selection of humans, no? As his claim is "models hallucinate **less than** humans". It's not a statement of "models don't hallucinate at all". So to investigate the statement, you'd need to find out what portion of humans would believe the story, the same way the models believed it.
3:43 PM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928069982853927381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And the filming of this is the real problem here, I hear you say. Journalists ofc know selection of what to report on, (and what to ignore - the vast majority of events,) is as important, as how to report. Thanks for outing yourself. So on a "Gell-Mann amnesia"-principle I can block you, and never hear another thing from you here.
1:44 PM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And the filming of this is the real problem here, I hear you say. Journalists ofc know selection of what to report on, (and what to ignore - the vast majority of events,) is as important, as how to report. Thanks for outing yourself. So on a "Gell-Mann amnesia"-principle I can block you, and never hear another thing from you here.
1:44 PM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928028187713306875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
joy life love kids ultimately humanity hating people among us, got the upper hand ascended to the commanding heights of our societies, and then acted as per their dark souls
10:58 AM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
joy life love kids ultimately humanity hating people among us, got the upper hand ascended to the commanding heights of our societies, and then acted as per their dark souls
10:58 AM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1928017531891241410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Starmer looked at it, saw what needs doing or understood at some/emotional level, and decided to not go for it. Same old same old - his predecessors did the same. (even if they did not campaign on ticket of change)
Sir Keir will coast for 3-4 years more, doing ok for himself, but doing f*ck all about that what he got elected for. Cos-playing the usual idiotic jostling with media and his opponents, enjoying his celebrity in the public eye, etc. Not the worst life! Then LAB will be booted out.
PM Nigel Farage/REForm, maybe post-election with CON a junior partner in coalition, is the direction of travel. FPTP may give REF outright majority though, so to not need a coalition. Especially with LAB and CON declining further in those 3-4yrs.
10:16 AM · May 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Starmer looked at it, saw what needs doing or understood at some/emotional level, and decided to not go for it. Same old same old - his predecessors did the same. (even if they did not campaign on ticket of change)
Sir Keir will coast for 3-4 years more, doing ok for himself, but doing f*ck all about that what he got elected for. Cos-playing the usual idiotic jostling with media and his opponents, enjoying his celebrity in the public eye, etc. Not the worst life! Then LAB will be booted out.
PM Nigel Farage/REForm, maybe post-election with CON a junior partner in coalition, is the direction of travel. FPTP may give REF outright majority though, so to not need a coalition. Especially with LAB and CON declining further in those 3-4yrs.
10:16 AM · May 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927831266268737804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
excellent 👍 - it's for the better; that's how knowledge spreads when locked inside people's heads 😊 people have to move - good, great
9:56 PM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
excellent 👍 - it's for the better; that's how knowledge spreads when locked inside people's heads 😊 people have to move - good, great
9:56 PM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927805269469278696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My recollection of witnessing a failing system crashing, is that of no matter what was tried, its trajectory never altered fundamentially. Even if after some twist or turn looked as if the trajectory was successfully changed, somehow, the system would after short period of time, train itself onto the rocks again!? It continued to its doom even as its captains could see it clearly it's heading for the rocks, and trying - ever more frantically - to steer it away.
8:12 PM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My recollection of witnessing a failing system crashing, is that of no matter what was tried, its trajectory never altered fundamentially. Even if after some twist or turn looked as if the trajectory was successfully changed, somehow, the system would after short period of time, train itself onto the rocks again!? It continued to its doom even as its captains could see it clearly it's heading for the rocks, and trying - ever more frantically - to steer it away.
8:12 PM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927796903246192990
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not—but I will try it next. Ages ago when I tried Anthropic, (don't recall which version) it rubbed me the wrong way. It was too nice and encouraging to me, felt like it was buttering me up. Latter, after what looks to me from 10K km distance, light from distant star like, so I maybe completely wrong, after Dario-doomer cozied with central-state information-control-complex cozied with China war-hawks, that made me dislike Anthropic. But you are right - I should try it. (Anthropic is bigger than a single person)
7:39 PM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not—but I will try it next. Ages ago when I tried Anthropic, (don't recall which version) it rubbed me the wrong way. It was too nice and encouraging to me, felt like it was buttering me up. Latter, after what looks to me from 10K km distance, light from distant star like, so I maybe completely wrong, after Dario-doomer cozied with central-state information-control-complex cozied with China war-hawks, that made me dislike Anthropic. But you are right - I should try it. (Anthropic is bigger than a single person)
7:39 PM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927786706125701621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Find it hard to think that thinkers like Leibniz, Descartes, Gauss, Bach, or Darwin struggled significantly in that department. Maybe it's more of a 20th-21st-century phenomenon. As people became less religious, losing the humility of "God is all-knowing, thus I am not," many—especially the hyper-individualistic boomers, arguably one of the most self-centered generations in recent history—began to confuse themselves as infallible and all-knowing, inevitably ending up full of sh*t.
This shift feels more recent than Enlightenment itself. You could say the Enlightenment set certain trajectories in motion, certainly, but multiple paths were always possible. The one we've ended up on wasn’t inevitable.
But that's all history. Today, with the Internet connecting everyone—and potentially neuro-link devices in the near future—we’re beginning to reconnect with our common humanity. Only this time, on better terms: more beneficial and balanced for both individuals and communities. Ideally, surpassing both vulgar collectivism and vulgar individualism, which tend to cyclically reinforce each other.
6:59 PM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Find it hard to think that thinkers like Leibniz, Descartes, Gauss, Bach, or Darwin struggled significantly in that department. Maybe it's more of a 20th-21st-century phenomenon. As people became less religious, losing the humility of "God is all-knowing, thus I am not," many—especially the hyper-individualistic boomers, arguably one of the most self-centered generations in recent history—began to confuse themselves as infallible and all-knowing, inevitably ending up full of sh*t.
This shift feels more recent than Enlightenment itself. You could say the Enlightenment set certain trajectories in motion, certainly, but multiple paths were always possible. The one we've ended up on wasn’t inevitable.
But that's all history. Today, with the Internet connecting everyone—and potentially neuro-link devices in the near future—we’re beginning to reconnect with our common humanity. Only this time, on better terms: more beneficial and balanced for both individuals and communities. Ideally, surpassing both vulgar collectivism and vulgar individualism, which tend to cyclically reinforce each other.
6:59 PM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927753623426965670
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oww 🤩 like that a lot!! that booklet-scribe whatever with evil-dario-the-devil was booring... what happened to 3 chords 3 minutes @RickRubin ?? haven't got the patience to read many long words!! 😖 (nor the time-oold) but "vibe-coding is the punk-rock of coding" - yay spot on there!! dig that ok moar power to you dude 😎
Quote vitrupo @vitrupo · 2h
https://x.com/vitrupo/status/1927732384130015557
Replying to @vitrupo
Rick Rubin on The Ben & Marc Show (h/t @curiousgangsta): https://youtube.com/watch?v=7s9C92Pkcc0
4:47 PM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oww 🤩 like that a lot!! that booklet-scribe whatever with evil-dario-the-devil was booring... what happened to 3 chords 3 minutes @RickRubin ?? haven't got the patience to read many long words!! 😖 (nor the time-oold) but "vibe-coding is the punk-rock of coding" - yay spot on there!! dig that ok moar power to you dude 😎
Quote vitrupo @vitrupo · 2h
https://x.com/vitrupo/status/1927732384130015557
Replying to @vitrupo
Rick Rubin on The Ben & Marc Show (h/t @curiousgangsta): https://youtube.com/watch?v=7s9C92Pkcc0
4:47 PM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927702156284506574
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The meta- takes, like knowledge, or acquisition of it, or application of it - I find them mostly useless. Yes, for every plane pilot we have some talking head on TV predicting Xyz with great panache and confidence and being repeatedly reliably wrong.
The only take from the meta- takes, is I find: there is no silver bullet meta-, on this, that works reliably. Knowing is hard, acquiring, applying knowledge is hard, whenever you think you got some silver bullet some shortcut - reality bites you in the arse, gives you a kicking in the backside. To remember that you should have know better than trust some snake oil.
1:23 PM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The meta- takes, like knowledge, or acquisition of it, or application of it - I find them mostly useless. Yes, for every plane pilot we have some talking head on TV predicting Xyz with great panache and confidence and being repeatedly reliably wrong.
The only take from the meta- takes, is I find: there is no silver bullet meta-, on this, that works reliably. Knowing is hard, acquiring, applying knowledge is hard, whenever you think you got some silver bullet some shortcut - reality bites you in the arse, gives you a kicking in the backside. To remember that you should have know better than trust some snake oil.
1:23 PM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927679975047503994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and I'm sympathetic the starting with zero trust appeals to me too. Going 0-to-1 something-from-nothing has a God-like power appeal.
Involving the Registry Office is less clear, less satisfactory, but maybe a less-than-deal real-world. It's boot strapping from something, not from nothing. I imagine it will be small number of people that would ever get their keys deposited that way, even if it were possible. So one could think of these few doing the job of bootstrapping WoT, saving time.
11:54 AM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and I'm sympathetic the starting with zero trust appeals to me too. Going 0-to-1 something-from-nothing has a God-like power appeal.
Involving the Registry Office is less clear, less satisfactory, but maybe a less-than-deal real-world. It's boot strapping from something, not from nothing. I imagine it will be small number of people that would ever get their keys deposited that way, even if it were possible. So one could think of these few doing the job of bootstrapping WoT, saving time.
11:54 AM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927672242235703539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - diffusion model as opposed to auto-regressive one takes some getting used to. 😆
https://deepmind.google.com/frontiers/gemini-diffusion
I got used to the response text snaking back it's way, browser scrolling up up just fast enough for one to just about glance peek early to judge which way the reply is going. Is it looking hopeful to fix the issue, or provide a good answer, or not, it will be a dud so better start thinking now what to ask in the next turn of the convo.
Not so with gemini-diffusion. The answer just materialises instantly. One sees to bottom of it in some web box element on the web page. One has to remind oneself to scroll up up up to the start of the answer, which maybe some scrolling up away.
Only then one becomes cognisant how 600 tokens/s compare to 20-40 tps we got used to. This will be consequential to the quality, not only the speed. I imagine utilising the extra speed in some CoT will give the next log(10) boost to quality performance increase.
11:24 AM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - diffusion model as opposed to auto-regressive one takes some getting used to. 😆
https://deepmind.google.com/frontiers/gemini-diffusion
I got used to the response text snaking back it's way, browser scrolling up up just fast enough for one to just about glance peek early to judge which way the reply is going. Is it looking hopeful to fix the issue, or provide a good answer, or not, it will be a dud so better start thinking now what to ask in the next turn of the convo.
Not so with gemini-diffusion. The answer just materialises instantly. One sees to bottom of it in some web box element on the web page. One has to remind oneself to scroll up up up to the start of the answer, which maybe some scrolling up away.
Only then one becomes cognisant how 600 tokens/s compare to 20-40 tps we got used to. This will be consequential to the quality, not only the speed. I imagine utilising the extra speed in some CoT will give the next log(10) boost to quality performance increase.
11:24 AM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927668655644414214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has that worked anywhere? (place,time) I'm curious too. What does E-stonia use? How does/can/should it work?
Knowing zero atm my first thought would be: the Registry Office accept (acceptance==verification) a deposit of my private key from me personally. From then on, anyone with my public key (that I freely share and provide) and access to registry office API, can verify me?
11:09 AM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has that worked anywhere? (place,time) I'm curious too. What does E-stonia use? How does/can/should it work?
Knowing zero atm my first thought would be: the Registry Office accept (acceptance==verification) a deposit of my private key from me personally. From then on, anyone with my public key (that I freely share and provide) and access to registry office API, can verify me?
11:09 AM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927624828682486019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A nice talk to listen to - very gentle :-)
The Economics of Artificial Intelligence | Tyler Cowen https://youtu.be/XSy7ry-x5pA?si=25piykJwWTioluuK via
@YouTube
youtube.com
The Economics of Artificial Intelligence | Tyler Cowen
Discover more content http://www.newmedia.ufm.edu Organized by: Universidad Fransisco Marroquínhttps://www.ufm.edu/A production by UFM Studios http://newme...
8:15 AM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A nice talk to listen to - very gentle :-)
The Economics of Artificial Intelligence | Tyler Cowen https://youtu.be/XSy7ry-x5pA?si=25piykJwWTioluuK via
@YouTube
youtube.com
The Economics of Artificial Intelligence | Tyler Cowen
Discover more content http://www.newmedia.ufm.edu Organized by: Universidad Fransisco Marroquínhttps://www.ufm.edu/A production by UFM Studios http://newme...
8:15 AM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927524408685457701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It's by logic that we prove, but by intuition that we discover." (Poincare?)
Looks to me? -
Type 1: pattern recognition, idea generation, guessing a not insane guess, generating a guess worth pursuing further.
Type 2: logical thinking, proof of true or false (prove or disprove), criticize a new guess (to mostly tear it down).
1:36 AM · May 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It's by logic that we prove, but by intuition that we discover." (Poincare?)
Looks to me? -
Type 1: pattern recognition, idea generation, guessing a not insane guess, generating a guess worth pursuing further.
Type 2: logical thinking, proof of true or false (prove or disprove), criticize a new guess (to mostly tear it down).
1:36 AM · May 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927347569866211504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK people may have been disappointed in 4.5, but for me, for talking to it running ideas by it, in the style of "does this hold water" and "is this B/S or not" and "what here do you think is true, and what is speculation" etc - it's the best of all I used so far. Closest to a "1000 years old vampire" sitting across me. Experience yet vigour, both width and depth, chatty enough to explain well, but not too much to talk me to sleep bamboozle me with oodles of text, never omits or misses anything. Not seen it go stupid or silly on me even once. Too bad it seems to be going towards retirement. :-( I see it being moved away from the main drop down into the "More models" section.
1:54 PM · May 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK people may have been disappointed in 4.5, but for me, for talking to it running ideas by it, in the style of "does this hold water" and "is this B/S or not" and "what here do you think is true, and what is speculation" etc - it's the best of all I used so far. Closest to a "1000 years old vampire" sitting across me. Experience yet vigour, both width and depth, chatty enough to explain well, but not too much to talk me to sleep bamboozle me with oodles of text, never omits or misses anything. Not seen it go stupid or silly on me even once. Too bad it seems to be going towards retirement. :-( I see it being moved away from the main drop down into the "More models" section.
1:54 PM · May 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927295763534503963
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not that I know of. Find them useful insofar that I can block back and never see of/acc again. Tit-for-tat is conductive to (better) cooperation afaik. (eventually.) So accounts that block me are blocked back—no exceptions. (about the only "rule of X" I got that I see no scope for exception; other rules being "can sometimes break it but only with a good reason")
Never not a good opportunity to plug one of my all time favourites (explains Tit-for-tat and much more) -
"What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything" by @veritasium
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
10:28 AM · May 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not that I know of. Find them useful insofar that I can block back and never see of/acc again. Tit-for-tat is conductive to (better) cooperation afaik. (eventually.) So accounts that block me are blocked back—no exceptions. (about the only "rule of X" I got that I see no scope for exception; other rules being "can sometimes break it but only with a good reason")
Never not a good opportunity to plug one of my all time favourites (explains Tit-for-tat and much more) -
"What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything" by @veritasium
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
10:28 AM · May 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927292826196324804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People fearmonger AI when it's humanity's best chance of not destroying ourselves. Do we, should we, trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT-20 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Putin's, or of the Deep/Think/Research models?
10:16 AM · May 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People fearmonger AI when it's humanity's best chance of not destroying ourselves. Do we, should we, trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT-20 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Putin's, or of the Deep/Think/Research models?
10:16 AM · May 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927291734054121797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Lizardman's Constant" is 4%-5% - so I expected more than 1% tbh. This is "portion of respondents that respond 'Yes' no matter how crazy insane the question". A survey Q: "Could you drive a nuclear submarine" with some groups responding 'Yes' at 10%-15% did the rounds recently.
10:12 AM · May 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Lizardman's Constant" is 4%-5% - so I expected more than 1% tbh. This is "portion of respondents that respond 'Yes' no matter how crazy insane the question". A survey Q: "Could you drive a nuclear submarine" with some groups responding 'Yes' at 10%-15% did the rounds recently.
10:12 AM · May 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927283720463044621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In communism workers were like - "we pretend to work, they pretend to pay us".
9:40 AM · May 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In communism workers were like - "we pretend to work, they pretend to pay us".
9:40 AM · May 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927261755270439193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europeans of Central, East and North of Europe need to build nukes, and fast, if they want to live. Poles of the Polonium fame both need it and can do it and should be doing it already. Baltics need it but IDK if they could do it. (Israel could in the 1970-s though - smaller and weaker) Nordics need it maybe a bit less than the Poles, but they could do it too. Probably quickest, easiest, least risky path is if they all joined forces and did it together. Ofc - Ukraine needs them the most of all, as they are being killed daily. While for the rest that is still in the future. IDK if there is a path possible for Ukraine there. But Nordics+Poland+Baltics getting own nuclear deterrent will be beneficial for Ukraine too. B/c once the idea of "forever expansion west" is nipped in Russians' minds, then the idea that they need to take over Ukraine may too retreat.
8:13 AM · May 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europeans of Central, East and North of Europe need to build nukes, and fast, if they want to live. Poles of the Polonium fame both need it and can do it and should be doing it already. Baltics need it but IDK if they could do it. (Israel could in the 1970-s though - smaller and weaker) Nordics need it maybe a bit less than the Poles, but they could do it too. Probably quickest, easiest, least risky path is if they all joined forces and did it together. Ofc - Ukraine needs them the most of all, as they are being killed daily. While for the rest that is still in the future. IDK if there is a path possible for Ukraine there. But Nordics+Poland+Baltics getting own nuclear deterrent will be beneficial for Ukraine too. B/c once the idea of "forever expansion west" is nipped in Russians' minds, then the idea that they need to take over Ukraine may too retreat.
8:13 AM · May 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927255852181770690
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, true that - good clip.
At the end it's mentioned Salem folks were Christians and therefore after 1yr they could say "we were wrong" and move on. I too think religion is ok there with the God being all mighty all knowing never wrong. So the Human is very much **not** that, but weak, often wrong, sinful etc. It's a good belief system that one, to remind help people avoid the mistake of starting to think they are all knowing. If they were, they would be God. But they are not God, their God is something else somewhere else, so the Human is not all knowing. That tallies with reality, for humans never are all knowing. That's good, that's a great feature of that belief system.
However, there exists other systems of belief with the same feature. In Science, this is explicitly stated. (in religion there is that extra step via the God; "He is therefore I am not") So in Science or rather the Scientific method of inquiry, we assume we are always wrong. All claims published can be thought of as corrections of things we thought previously one way, but now we think the other way. With a view, that even that correction, will be corrected in the future. So a more accurate view on the process would be - previously we were in error, now we are reducing that error, (we claim,) in the Future it will be reduced even more, (we hope,) all the while we accept we assume the error will never every become zero, diminish completely stop existing. Assuming the error is never zero is necessary for one to try to reduce it. For once we think it's zero, then there is no point to any working towards further reduction, as that would be impossible. (an error can't get smaller than zero.)
7:49 AM · May 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, true that - good clip.
At the end it's mentioned Salem folks were Christians and therefore after 1yr they could say "we were wrong" and move on. I too think religion is ok there with the God being all mighty all knowing never wrong. So the Human is very much **not** that, but weak, often wrong, sinful etc. It's a good belief system that one, to remind help people avoid the mistake of starting to think they are all knowing. If they were, they would be God. But they are not God, their God is something else somewhere else, so the Human is not all knowing. That tallies with reality, for humans never are all knowing. That's good, that's a great feature of that belief system.
However, there exists other systems of belief with the same feature. In Science, this is explicitly stated. (in religion there is that extra step via the God; "He is therefore I am not") So in Science or rather the Scientific method of inquiry, we assume we are always wrong. All claims published can be thought of as corrections of things we thought previously one way, but now we think the other way. With a view, that even that correction, will be corrected in the future. So a more accurate view on the process would be - previously we were in error, now we are reducing that error, (we claim,) in the Future it will be reduced even more, (we hope,) all the while we accept we assume the error will never every become zero, diminish completely stop existing. Assuming the error is never zero is necessary for one to try to reduce it. For once we think it's zero, then there is no point to any working towards further reduction, as that would be impossible. (an error can't get smaller than zero.)
7:49 AM · May 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927096181286469950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The argument is for the detractors to make. You don't see any-b/c it's not made. No one has to "accept" whatever you think they should accept. You don't see a value-that's fine, all good. You do you, the rest of humanity does the same decides for themselves. Live and let live.
9:15 PM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The argument is for the detractors to make. You don't see any-b/c it's not made. No one has to "accept" whatever you think they should accept. You don't see a value-that's fine, all good. You do you, the rest of humanity does the same decides for themselves. Live and let live.
9:15 PM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1927035734302543968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you using the 128K extended window? I jotted down this to try but have not come around yet:
$ llama-server --ctx-size 131072 --model ~/.lmstudio/models/x0000001/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context-Q6_K-GGUF/qwen3-30b-a6b-16-extreme-128k-context-q6_k.gguf --top-p 0.95 --top-k 100 --min-p 0.05 --repeat-penalty 64 --override-kv qwen3moe.expert_used_count=int:16
Also afaics doubles the max number of experts 8->16 active params a3b->a6b. Apparently that too is a parameter qwen3moe.expert_used_count above 16 instead of 8. Have seen people use max 6 instead of 8 to gain bit of speed.
Read a comment that to extend 32K->128K context should simply be "--rope-scaling yarn --rope-scale 4 --yarn-orig-ctx 32768" but have not tried.
I see another on the TODO list is
# https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1kmlu2y/comment/mser4ff/
#
# model_settings-yaml:
#
# - name: openai/Qwen3-30B-A3B-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf
# edit_format: whole
# use_repo_map: true
# use_temperature: 0.7
# streaming: false
# system_prompt_prefix: "/no_think"
# extra_params:
# top_p: 0.8
# max_tokens: 24000
# top_k: 20
# min_p: 0.0
# temperature: 0.7
# enable_thinking: false
#
# llama-server cmd: ./llama-server --host 0.0.0.0 --port 8999 --flash-attn --cont-batching --model gguf/Qwen3-30B-A3B-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf --ctx-size 32768 --n-gpu-layers 99 --threads -1 --temp 0.7 --top-k 20 --top-p 0.8 --host 0.0.0.0 --port 8999 --flash-attn --min-p 0.0 --override-kv http://qwen3moe.expert_used_count=int:16
...but not tried it yet. Not enough hours in the day, :-) half forgotten this got pushed down.
5:14 PM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you using the 128K extended window? I jotted down this to try but have not come around yet:
$ llama-server --ctx-size 131072 --model ~/.lmstudio/models/x0000001/Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context-Q6_K-GGUF/qwen3-30b-a6b-16-extreme-128k-context-q6_k.gguf --top-p 0.95 --top-k 100 --min-p 0.05 --repeat-penalty 64 --override-kv qwen3moe.expert_used_count=int:16
Also afaics doubles the max number of experts 8->16 active params a3b->a6b. Apparently that too is a parameter qwen3moe.expert_used_count above 16 instead of 8. Have seen people use max 6 instead of 8 to gain bit of speed.
Read a comment that to extend 32K->128K context should simply be "--rope-scaling yarn --rope-scale 4 --yarn-orig-ctx 32768" but have not tried.
I see another on the TODO list is
# https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1kmlu2y/comment/mser4ff/
#
# model_settings-yaml:
#
# - name: openai/Qwen3-30B-A3B-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf
# edit_format: whole
# use_repo_map: true
# use_temperature: 0.7
# streaming: false
# system_prompt_prefix: "/no_think"
# extra_params:
# top_p: 0.8
# max_tokens: 24000
# top_k: 20
# min_p: 0.0
# temperature: 0.7
# enable_thinking: false
#
# llama-server cmd: ./llama-server --host 0.0.0.0 --port 8999 --flash-attn --cont-batching --model gguf/Qwen3-30B-A3B-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf --ctx-size 32768 --n-gpu-layers 99 --threads -1 --temp 0.7 --top-k 20 --top-p 0.8 --host 0.0.0.0 --port 8999 --flash-attn --min-p 0.0 --override-kv http://qwen3moe.expert_used_count=int:16
...but not tried it yet. Not enough hours in the day, :-) half forgotten this got pushed down.
5:14 PM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926999141902667854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks 🙏 for the kind words! ☺️ Defo agree with you there - technology will be to us what we make of it. It's on us to make it a good servant to us, and not allow it become bad master to us! Yeah agree with you there - tech can go both ways. Up to us what happens next. 💪
2:49 PM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks 🙏 for the kind words! ☺️ Defo agree with you there - technology will be to us what we make of it. It's on us to make it a good servant to us, and not allow it become bad master to us! Yeah agree with you there - tech can go both ways. Up to us what happens next. 💪
2:49 PM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926990951970472298
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - so:
1) More than a "half of young people" do wish the Internet was invented.
2) How old are you? If you don't mind me asking. Do you remember life before the Internet?
I remember life pre-Internet. I remember life even pre-Personal Computers. It was sh*t. It was boring as hell. Teh average person was spectacularly ill-informed. Not un-informed - but ill-informed. By today's standards-they would be considered drooling imbeciles. It was worse than now, in every respect.
Those fake revolutionaries, exposed? Pre-the-Internet - they would not have been exposed. They would have had the upper hand. In fact-they **did** have the upper hand!! Romanians lived in a communist dictatorship, they could not shake.
At the time, the Personal Computer-s revolution was said to have been a contributing factor in the fall of the totalitarian regimes in Central and East Europe. A pro-communist relation called the home computers "an anti-Soviet device". "Soviet" = as in the Soviet Union, the evil empire. Now the 1984 Apple ad seems quint. As one who lived through it - that Apple Ad was important to me a teenager back in 1984.
Yesterday I saw the same "nearly half" B/S claim - I thought of it this-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926643102506217527
2:16 PM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - so:
1) More than a "half of young people" do wish the Internet was invented.
2) How old are you? If you don't mind me asking. Do you remember life before the Internet?
I remember life pre-Internet. I remember life even pre-Personal Computers. It was sh*t. It was boring as hell. Teh average person was spectacularly ill-informed. Not un-informed - but ill-informed. By today's standards-they would be considered drooling imbeciles. It was worse than now, in every respect.
Those fake revolutionaries, exposed? Pre-the-Internet - they would not have been exposed. They would have had the upper hand. In fact-they **did** have the upper hand!! Romanians lived in a communist dictatorship, they could not shake.
At the time, the Personal Computer-s revolution was said to have been a contributing factor in the fall of the totalitarian regimes in Central and East Europe. A pro-communist relation called the home computers "an anti-Soviet device". "Soviet" = as in the Soviet Union, the evil empire. Now the 1984 Apple ad seems quint. As one who lived through it - that Apple Ad was important to me a teenager back in 1984.
Yesterday I saw the same "nearly half" B/S claim - I thought of it this-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926643102506217527
2:16 PM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926928764501385348
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good talk there by @ prcmarshall -
Reflections of an Accidental Media Owner | Sir Paul Marshall (The Spectator, UnHerd, GB News)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=218JBJnTCgQ
One learns a few tidbits about how UK media operates. Liked him noticing "liberalism offers liberty to the individual, and that is matched by the individual's responsibilities". (aka - obligations) That side of the two sided coin is often forgotten.
And wdyk, for stranger things have happened (and some even in our lifetimes): Sir Paul may yet become a Patron Saint, a Liang Wenfeng figure, of a London equivalent to @deepseek_ai?? He's half way there, asking for Elon (that all mouth windbag) to open source the X Algofeed which likely means (or may imply) the entire ML pipeline behind it too (not a biggie; as fwiw it makes for crap user experience for me; ByteDance it's not). And from "open source" - then over to "open weights" it's a small step to make. Esp if "closed weights" - and closed AGI, ASI of the future - are (again) used to diminish the power of the individual relative to the companies. (and the state)
And noticing the Section 230 crazy situation, where Social Media platforms are not "publishers", despite them publishing, and their Algofeeds algorithmically editing, the content they get for free from us users. Wonder if the anti-S230 is strengthened by the likes of X designating some users "special" content creators, and paying them non-trivial sums of $$$ ? Hard to argue in court that 'the content we get for free, we didn't ask for.' Effectively getting not just an algo-editor, but an algo-commissioning-editor too! While the users writing the posts are considered "publishers", and are persecuted as per the laws of the lands! In the UK users ending up in jail, after writing silly posts. (the UK state is often almost stalinist in intention; but lucky for us fails in execution)
Would not have put @ prcmarshall as a first choice for a DeepSeek type-visionary?? I guess his liberalism works that way. Would have expected some quant-first HF to get there already. XTX maybe (but they into maths, not CS), Quadrature (but they got captured by some doomers, of climate not AI kind)? TBS what transpires. With DeepMind located in London, there is less scope for UK gov pushing the private sector as much as the French with Mistral in Paris. (on the top of their existing gov natural instincts, reinforcing)
10:09 AM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good talk there by @ prcmarshall -
Reflections of an Accidental Media Owner | Sir Paul Marshall (The Spectator, UnHerd, GB News)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=218JBJnTCgQ
One learns a few tidbits about how UK media operates. Liked him noticing "liberalism offers liberty to the individual, and that is matched by the individual's responsibilities". (aka - obligations) That side of the two sided coin is often forgotten.
And wdyk, for stranger things have happened (and some even in our lifetimes): Sir Paul may yet become a Patron Saint, a Liang Wenfeng figure, of a London equivalent to @deepseek_ai?? He's half way there, asking for Elon (that all mouth windbag) to open source the X Algofeed which likely means (or may imply) the entire ML pipeline behind it too (not a biggie; as fwiw it makes for crap user experience for me; ByteDance it's not). And from "open source" - then over to "open weights" it's a small step to make. Esp if "closed weights" - and closed AGI, ASI of the future - are (again) used to diminish the power of the individual relative to the companies. (and the state)
And noticing the Section 230 crazy situation, where Social Media platforms are not "publishers", despite them publishing, and their Algofeeds algorithmically editing, the content they get for free from us users. Wonder if the anti-S230 is strengthened by the likes of X designating some users "special" content creators, and paying them non-trivial sums of $$$ ? Hard to argue in court that 'the content we get for free, we didn't ask for.' Effectively getting not just an algo-editor, but an algo-commissioning-editor too! While the users writing the posts are considered "publishers", and are persecuted as per the laws of the lands! In the UK users ending up in jail, after writing silly posts. (the UK state is often almost stalinist in intention; but lucky for us fails in execution)
Would not have put @ prcmarshall as a first choice for a DeepSeek type-visionary?? I guess his liberalism works that way. Would have expected some quant-first HF to get there already. XTX maybe (but they into maths, not CS), Quadrature (but they got captured by some doomers, of climate not AI kind)? TBS what transpires. With DeepMind located in London, there is less scope for UK gov pushing the private sector as much as the French with Mistral in Paris. (on the top of their existing gov natural instincts, reinforcing)
10:09 AM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926908498484298093
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's a better way then? There is not getting around that there are multiple steps in time where actions need to be taken, and we don't know if these are good or bad at the time of taking them. It only becomes apparent after some time. And even then, not clear their individual per-step contribution, to the final outcome. Assignment of credit again.
8:49 AM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's a better way then? There is not getting around that there are multiple steps in time where actions need to be taken, and we don't know if these are good or bad at the time of taking them. It only becomes apparent after some time. And even then, not clear their individual per-step contribution, to the final outcome. Assignment of credit again.
8:49 AM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926899358978494612
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish I had, wish I personally knew a 1000 years old vampire like that, one that has soaked all the knowledge - if not the wisdom maybe - humanity has to offer.
Maybe model version o15 will be ASI will be it. So not only selected few, but everyone gets one.
8:13 AM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish I had, wish I personally knew a 1000 years old vampire like that, one that has soaked all the knowledge - if not the wisdom maybe - humanity has to offer.
Maybe model version o15 will be ASI will be it. So not only selected few, but everyone gets one.
8:13 AM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926859191928365254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I would say at most or even all times they need more information. Atm the context is the sole mechanism - but it's 1D linear, one dimensional. B/c we are after interactions, yeah we suffer the O(N^2), so it becomes ever harder. (even with flash tricks) Yeah people working on alleviating that in many directions.
But attacking the problem at base is important too. RAG kinda shows the way. Generalized, I'd say it's like building a hierarchy of information, from finer at the bottom, to coarser at the top. So where we don't need fine detail, we fetch and use less fine, more coarse information that takes less space in the context, while sufficing for the task in hand.
Another way to handle I just saw yesterday in the 1st part of the talk referenced here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926546649196679447
(the post is about the 2nd part of the lecture; the memory I refer to is in the 1st)
Neat idea I thought, practical. Hope it's more in the D rather than just R stage of the R&D pipeline in some of the leading labs? So we see it in action sooner. TBS
There was a recent interview with the group lead at Google responsible for the 1M context with Geminis. He said the next aspirational target they are working towards is 10M.
5:33 AM · May 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I would say at most or even all times they need more information. Atm the context is the sole mechanism - but it's 1D linear, one dimensional. B/c we are after interactions, yeah we suffer the O(N^2), so it becomes ever harder. (even with flash tricks) Yeah people working on alleviating that in many directions.
But attacking the problem at base is important too. RAG kinda shows the way. Generalized, I'd say it's like building a hierarchy of information, from finer at the bottom, to coarser at the top. So where we don't need fine detail, we fetch and use less fine, more coarse information that takes less space in the context, while sufficing for the task in hand.
Another way to handle I just saw yesterday in the 1st part of the talk referenced here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926546649196679447
(the post is about the 2nd part of the lecture; the memory I refer to is in the 1st)
Neat idea I thought, practical. Hope it's more in the D rather than just R stage of the R&D pipeline in some of the leading labs? So we see it in action sooner. TBS
There was a recent interview with the group lead at Google responsible for the 1M context with Geminis. He said the next aspirational target they are working towards is 10M.
5:33 AM · May 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926716759886709137
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ilya is not God - Ilya can be wrong. Do some research. "lol"
8:07 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ilya is not God - Ilya can be wrong. Do some research. "lol"
8:07 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926705226175680999
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
transcend your face - put avatar of desire up there in-your-face 😂 otherwise good 👍 at least for this one data point in A in them A/B(/C/D...) testers 😂
7:21 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
transcend your face - put avatar of desire up there in-your-face 😂 otherwise good 👍 at least for this one data point in A in them A/B(/C/D...) testers 😂
7:21 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926699685172986013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans 80% are "Levels of Lucidity" Level<= 3 I read few weeks ago. Their morals good/bad, knowledge and epistemology true/false, us humans get them majorly via heuristics: "as my group does or thinks, so do I". I can't stop noticing this now everywhere. 😭 Not good 😨
6:59 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans 80% are "Levels of Lucidity" Level<= 3 I read few weeks ago. Their morals good/bad, knowledge and epistemology true/false, us humans get them majorly via heuristics: "as my group does or thinks, so do I". I can't stop noticing this now everywhere. 😭 Not good 😨
6:59 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926691217204502761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right 👍 thanks 🙏 I love that guy 🤩 Listen to him occasionally, e.g.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OrtT1ZjCTSg
Only - I agree so much with what he says, that the talk gets boring real quick 😉 Like as if I'm listening to myself - booring 😆
youtube.com
Talking AI: Then, Now, & What’s Next (feat. Dr.Mike Israetel) - Part 2
Dr. Mike Israetel joins us to talk about AI. He holds a PhD in Sport Physiology, and is currently the head science consultant for Renaissance Periodization. ...
6:25 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right 👍 thanks 🙏 I love that guy 🤩 Listen to him occasionally, e.g.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OrtT1ZjCTSg
Only - I agree so much with what he says, that the talk gets boring real quick 😉 Like as if I'm listening to myself - booring 😆
youtube.com
Talking AI: Then, Now, & What’s Next (feat. Dr.Mike Israetel) - Part 2
Dr. Mike Israetel joins us to talk about AI. He holds a PhD in Sport Physiology, and is currently the head science consultant for Renaissance Periodization. ...
6:25 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926688496271405491
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
too bad too many don't do much with those extra neurons afterwards seemingly 😳 looking at the likes of joe rogan 👀 although, maybe it's an improvement on **not** hitting the gime - so for the better still! 😁
6:15 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
too bad too many don't do much with those extra neurons afterwards seemingly 😳 looking at the likes of joe rogan 👀 although, maybe it's an improvement on **not** hitting the gime - so for the better still! 😁
6:15 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926670618805637448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Enough larping already - do something about it man! goongoon now doit my dude
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926664688768590197
Quote
@levelsio @levelsio · 17h
Yep, crash housing prices and you'll have a functioning society again
Boomers will be angry though x.com/esa_was_taken/…
5:04 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Enough larping already - do something about it man! goongoon now doit my dude
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926664688768590197
Quote
@levelsio @levelsio · 17h
Yep, crash housing prices and you'll have a functioning society again
Boomers will be angry though x.com/esa_was_taken/…
5:04 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926664688768590197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do something about it then?! Scratch that itch. Yah $10K p.m. for chatting shit on X is good—but does not need to be your last word. Get Mu$k or some other evildoer $Billionaire to give you $$$ and get some Xhome Co. going. For atoms are not bits and anything done in the atoms world is Million$ times more expensive than in your Saa$ world.
Housing is THE#1#2#3 issue afflicting young people. Probably look at pre-fab Lego composable high quality housing? Together with buying large virgin plots of land, and building whole cities, to circumvent the insane "You Can Not Build" evil regs. Ripe to happen—but profession is too much cucks architects lacking vision for a good push to make it so.
The boomers are not going to do it for you - for sure! No—these vampires are more likely to suck you dry you younglings. And hurry before they suck your brains ideas vitality too! For the me-myself-and-I-gen is bound to hit some crazy scheme like it, now they are to start dying. (the Ball of Vampires that worst generation is)
4:40 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do something about it then?! Scratch that itch. Yah $10K p.m. for chatting shit on X is good—but does not need to be your last word. Get Mu$k or some other evildoer $Billionaire to give you $$$ and get some Xhome Co. going. For atoms are not bits and anything done in the atoms world is Million$ times more expensive than in your Saa$ world.
Housing is THE#1#2#3 issue afflicting young people. Probably look at pre-fab Lego composable high quality housing? Together with buying large virgin plots of land, and building whole cities, to circumvent the insane "You Can Not Build" evil regs. Ripe to happen—but profession is too much cucks architects lacking vision for a good push to make it so.
The boomers are not going to do it for you - for sure! No—these vampires are more likely to suck you dry you younglings. And hurry before they suck your brains ideas vitality too! For the me-myself-and-I-gen is bound to hit some crazy scheme like it, now they are to start dying. (the Ball of Vampires that worst generation is)
4:40 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926656833034289580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во UK HPV вирус вакцина се покажа над очекувања. А во Шкотска па фантастично над очекувања. Кога ја воведуваше Јавно Здравство HPV вакцината, беше "па може ќе помогне, вакцината самата е низок ризик, а HPV сепак е фактор на ризик при тој тип на канцер". Не памтам па ни дека некој рече дека "HPV е најважен најсилен фактор". Плус ниедна вакцина не е 100% ефикасна, не штити ни од болест 100% а не па од циркулација на вирусот во телото. Така да сум сигурен немаше еден храбар да каже "ќе го искорениме тој канцер, за 20 год нула девојки ќе умрат млади од тој канцер". А тоа се случи во Шкотска. (досега) Зашто само во Шкотска, а не и во Англија и Велес - не знам, мислам никој не знае. Верувам дека и многу од Јавно Здравство сакаат да откријат, ги копка, роварат дупчат копаат пробуваат да откријат - "Зашто!" Пошто следно е "Како?" - па после тоа истото да го повторат во Англија и Велс. Преглед на моментална ситуација
https://perplexity.ai/search/how-did-the-hpv-vaccine-in-the-DWFKba6WRKej64TPttuJ4Q#0
4:09 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во UK HPV вирус вакцина се покажа над очекувања. А во Шкотска па фантастично над очекувања. Кога ја воведуваше Јавно Здравство HPV вакцината, беше "па може ќе помогне, вакцината самата е низок ризик, а HPV сепак е фактор на ризик при тој тип на канцер". Не памтам па ни дека некој рече дека "HPV е најважен најсилен фактор". Плус ниедна вакцина не е 100% ефикасна, не штити ни од болест 100% а не па од циркулација на вирусот во телото. Така да сум сигурен немаше еден храбар да каже "ќе го искорениме тој канцер, за 20 год нула девојки ќе умрат млади од тој канцер". А тоа се случи во Шкотска. (досега) Зашто само во Шкотска, а не и во Англија и Велес - не знам, мислам никој не знае. Верувам дека и многу од Јавно Здравство сакаат да откријат, ги копка, роварат дупчат копаат пробуваат да откријат - "Зашто!" Пошто следно е "Како?" - па после тоа истото да го повторат во Англија и Велс. Преглед на моментална ситуација
https://perplexity.ai/search/how-did-the-hpv-vaccine-in-the-DWFKba6WRKej64TPttuJ4Q#0
4:09 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926648137763934416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xhome now! Housing THE#1#2#3 issue afflicting young pple. Doing anything not just family formation. Yeah no home—no family, simples my dude. Look at pre-fab Lego composable high quality housing. Ripe to happen but profession is cucks lacks vision for a good push to make it so.
3:34 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xhome now! Housing THE#1#2#3 issue afflicting young pple. Doing anything not just family formation. Yeah no home—no family, simples my dude. Look at pre-fab Lego composable high quality housing. Ripe to happen but profession is cucks lacks vision for a good push to make it so.
3:34 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926643102506217527
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not "private" when you are online on a platform available to 8B people and frequented by >100M.
You imbecille.
Zero is "almost half" too in a loose interpretation. And no, I'm not clicking on a Guardian link to give my attention to the moron anti-human wordcels there.
Technology - first the PC Computer revolution, then the online Internet Revolution, now the AI Revolution - has been empowering individuals ever more than the companies and the states all my lifetime! Giving us individuals a shot at catching up to the imbalance the individual us suffer v.v. the human groups that are forever oppressing us.
If you were a libertarian, you would be rooting for open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ... open AGI, open AI, open means of AI computation. Like many libertarians before and now.
Delete yourself from the Internet and go in a cave.
Or drop the silly posse, for even a 5yo can see through it!
The only person fooled is yourself.
Embarrassing lack of elementary thought and consideration (let alone wisdom) for anyone, let alone one aspiring to a white bearded druid.
Shoo! Off you go!
3:14 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not "private" when you are online on a platform available to 8B people and frequented by >100M.
You imbecille.
Zero is "almost half" too in a loose interpretation. And no, I'm not clicking on a Guardian link to give my attention to the moron anti-human wordcels there.
Technology - first the PC Computer revolution, then the online Internet Revolution, now the AI Revolution - has been empowering individuals ever more than the companies and the states all my lifetime! Giving us individuals a shot at catching up to the imbalance the individual us suffer v.v. the human groups that are forever oppressing us.
If you were a libertarian, you would be rooting for open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ... open AGI, open AI, open means of AI computation. Like many libertarians before and now.
Delete yourself from the Internet and go in a cave.
Or drop the silly posse, for even a 5yo can see through it!
The only person fooled is yourself.
Embarrassing lack of elementary thought and consideration (let alone wisdom) for anyone, let alone one aspiring to a white bearded druid.
Shoo! Off you go!
3:14 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926620933617229954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the number and quality of open models on the screenshot is astounding 🤩 top marks 👍 HF 🔥
1:46 PM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the number and quality of open models on the screenshot is astounding 🤩 top marks 👍 HF 🔥
1:46 PM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926579336678670752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This one is good too, more specialised but easier to grasp variant of the same argument. Detractors are sloppy there with "...just the next word." They don't articulate well (as is case with many a muddled thinking): the magic is not that those models "predict the next word" (every Ngram LM, every HMM etc does the same, it's trivially easy to "predict the next word"), the magic is **how well** they do it, the **high quality** of the prediction, that turns our heads. That is the issue at hand and the reason we are having this discussion. It's the **amazing, unseen of, unheard of, high quality** of what these machines return back to us. 🥰 Ngl I'm actually grateful that the detractors and the doomers are so, so dumb. That they can't even articulate their own argument well. Maybe there is a lesson there? (that one maybe doen't have much of an argument in the 1st place?)
Ilya_Sutskever_Jensen_Huang_predicting_next_word_correct_is_understanding_detective_novel-Mar-2023-YT-GI4Tpi48DlA-20241026.mp4
11:01 AM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This one is good too, more specialised but easier to grasp variant of the same argument. Detractors are sloppy there with "...just the next word." They don't articulate well (as is case with many a muddled thinking): the magic is not that those models "predict the next word" (every Ngram LM, every HMM etc does the same, it's trivially easy to "predict the next word"), the magic is **how well** they do it, the **high quality** of the prediction, that turns our heads. That is the issue at hand and the reason we are having this discussion. It's the **amazing, unseen of, unheard of, high quality** of what these machines return back to us. 🥰 Ngl I'm actually grateful that the detractors and the doomers are so, so dumb. That they can't even articulate their own argument well. Maybe there is a lesson there? (that one maybe doen't have much of an argument in the 1st place?)
Ilya_Sutskever_Jensen_Huang_predicting_next_word_correct_is_understanding_detective_novel-Mar-2023-YT-GI4Tpi48DlA-20241026.mp4
11:01 AM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926550052421382415
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but building requires 1) One to be non-lazy, to get off their arse, to be industrious, to get things done. (-) It's way easier 2) To be pontificating and musing - one appears clever and knowledgeable, (+) and 3) One gets to spend their time talking for light entertainment and self-satisfaction. (+) While building, 4) all manner of problems appear, it's a risky endeavour, things go wrong, you get blamed for it. (-) While 5) doing nothing is risk free. (+) You don't get blamed for things that didn't happen. Building 6) costs money one needs to find and allocate upfront, (-) while 7) talking is free. (+) Tallying (all +)-(all -) which are set assuming prejudice towards "do nothing" - it's amazing anything gets built at all. 😱
Quote
https://x.com/levelsio/status/1926369204724289541
@levelsio @levelsio · 12h
There's always scapegoats for why housing prices are going up:
- digital nomads
- immigrants
- foreign buyers
- real estate investors
But if you just build enough houses you don't need to scapegoat anyone, the problem is just solved
Much easier! x.com/mattyreed1/sta…
9:05 AM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but building requires 1) One to be non-lazy, to get off their arse, to be industrious, to get things done. (-) It's way easier 2) To be pontificating and musing - one appears clever and knowledgeable, (+) and 3) One gets to spend their time talking for light entertainment and self-satisfaction. (+) While building, 4) all manner of problems appear, it's a risky endeavour, things go wrong, you get blamed for it. (-) While 5) doing nothing is risk free. (+) You don't get blamed for things that didn't happen. Building 6) costs money one needs to find and allocate upfront, (-) while 7) talking is free. (+) Tallying (all +)-(all -) which are set assuming prejudice towards "do nothing" - it's amazing anything gets built at all. 😱
Quote
https://x.com/levelsio/status/1926369204724289541
@levelsio @levelsio · 12h
There's always scapegoats for why housing prices are going up:
- digital nomads
- immigrants
- foreign buyers
- real estate investors
But if you just build enough houses you don't need to scapegoat anyone, the problem is just solved
Much easier! x.com/mattyreed1/sta…
9:05 AM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926546649196679447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This talk is a joy to watch. ☺️ (by @KilianQW)
It's two talks in one really. Diffusion models and modelling and use explained in 3 mins! (and without any maths.) What's important about them (easy to train, easy to steer and control), the simple tricks and setups in their use to great effects. Just excellent all around—time well spent, gargantuan SNR there. 😇 From 29’21”.
I've taken to using Scribe to have a running scrolling transcript run parallel (on the right) to the video (on the left)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=klW65MWJ1PY
...but the lecture is also on YT.
If like me you've got some prior exposure to signal and noise processing in ML, this will be all totally understandable. (I did some yrs ago mixing speech+noise and training ASR; plus some masking too—yay "missing data"! 😆) Some serendipity there at work ngl, a shoe-in talk for me! 😂
Quote
https://x.com/SimonsInstitute/status/1907835759702454519
Simons Institute for the Theory of Computing @SimonsInstitute · Apr 3
Large Memory Language Models. Kilian Weinberger of @Cornell speaking on LMLMs whose main goal is “separating knowledge from language," at the Simons Institute's workshop on the The Future of Language Models and Transformers. "This is the future of LLMs." https://simons.berkeley.edu/workshops/future-language-models-transformers
Last edited
8:51 AM · May 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This talk is a joy to watch. ☺️ (by @KilianQW)
It's two talks in one really. Diffusion models and modelling and use explained in 3 mins! (and without any maths.) What's important about them (easy to train, easy to steer and control), the simple tricks and setups in their use to great effects. Just excellent all around—time well spent, gargantuan SNR there. 😇 From 29’21”.
I've taken to using Scribe to have a running scrolling transcript run parallel (on the right) to the video (on the left)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=klW65MWJ1PY
...but the lecture is also on YT.
If like me you've got some prior exposure to signal and noise processing in ML, this will be all totally understandable. (I did some yrs ago mixing speech+noise and training ASR; plus some masking too—yay "missing data"! 😆) Some serendipity there at work ngl, a shoe-in talk for me! 😂
Quote
https://x.com/SimonsInstitute/status/1907835759702454519
Simons Institute for the Theory of Computing @SimonsInstitute · Apr 3
Large Memory Language Models. Kilian Weinberger of @Cornell speaking on LMLMs whose main goal is “separating knowledge from language," at the Simons Institute's workshop on the The Future of Language Models and Transformers. "This is the future of LLMs." https://simons.berkeley.edu/workshops/future-language-models-transformers
Last edited
8:51 AM · May 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926406362004701226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes but once one builds 1) there is no problem anymore - what are all those commenters going to do with their time now. To build anything, 2) one needs to be non-lazy, to get off their arse, get things done. Plus - 3) One can appear clever and knowledgeable while pontificating. And while building, 4) all manner of problems appear, it's a risky endeavour. While 5) doing nothing is risk free.
11:34 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes but once one builds 1) there is no problem anymore - what are all those commenters going to do with their time now. To build anything, 2) one needs to be non-lazy, to get off their arse, get things done. Plus - 3) One can appear clever and knowledgeable while pontificating. And while building, 4) all manner of problems appear, it's a risky endeavour. While 5) doing nothing is risk free.
11:34 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926404312080511322
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have switched to reading the running transcript using this. Find that both audio-video and the transcript (with the spoken words highlighted) allows for faster speed than either alone (audio only x1.3-x1.4 comfortable, but with the running transcript up to x1.6 maybe still ok).
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=64lXQP6cs5M
I click on the camera icon at the bottom to fixate the video window on the left, transcript on the right, and on the compass icon to set off auto-scroll of the transcript.
11:25 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have switched to reading the running transcript using this. Find that both audio-video and the transcript (with the spoken words highlighted) allows for faster speed than either alone (audio only x1.3-x1.4 comfortable, but with the running transcript up to x1.6 maybe still ok).
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=64lXQP6cs5M
I click on the camera icon at the bottom to fixate the video window on the left, transcript on the right, and on the compass icon to set off auto-scroll of the transcript.
11:25 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926358934496903237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is forcing her, or anyone else, to take a cure for blindness should one be available. Tragic she can't see that too. The journo M Hasan using this multilevel-tragedy, to garner clicks and publicity, that's inexcusable. It's despicable using someone vulnerable like that.
8:25 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is forcing her, or anyone else, to take a cure for blindness should one be available. Tragic she can't see that too. The journo M Hasan using this multilevel-tragedy, to garner clicks and publicity, that's inexcusable. It's despicable using someone vulnerable like that.
8:25 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926325027974099305
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they have been doing exactly this for ages - low cost, low effort. even if low effect - still will please the boss one up from the organiser. at least something on the annual performance appraisal form. bonus - bored us chatting shit online speculating adds at least as much to the smear effect and innuendo as the original deed.
6:10 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they have been doing exactly this for ages - low cost, low effort. even if low effect - still will please the boss one up from the organiser. at least something on the annual performance appraisal form. bonus - bored us chatting shit online speculating adds at least as much to the smear effect and innuendo as the original deed.
6:10 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926322795392229762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Makes perfect sense to me. Disposable rubes at level zero will not be the best and the brightest.
Recruited via Telegram channels, to do something against the law, to order, of an anonymous person on the other side, never seen irl. For what are usually almost trivial amounts of money. They have to be both very desperate and very stupid. Usually psychologically unstable those characters.
It's not like in the olden days, where it was off-line, an employment, and starting at the lowest rug a person hopes to move up in the hierarchy make career, living etc. No - these days level zero are disposable one use only.
It's like Nigerian scammers putting spelling mistakes and outlandishly fantastic claims in their initial emails. They have to weed out the 99.999% and aim for response from the tiniest portion of people that are the most gullible, greedy, stupid. Once all these intersect, one zooms onto amazingly small number of individuals, that will do impossibly stupid things. A series of!
So impossibly unlikely that the rest of the population can not believe it when the truth is revealed later. It's so impossibly unbelievable that the rest of us finds it more believable that some kind of 8-dimensional chess was played.
6:01 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Makes perfect sense to me. Disposable rubes at level zero will not be the best and the brightest.
Recruited via Telegram channels, to do something against the law, to order, of an anonymous person on the other side, never seen irl. For what are usually almost trivial amounts of money. They have to be both very desperate and very stupid. Usually psychologically unstable those characters.
It's not like in the olden days, where it was off-line, an employment, and starting at the lowest rug a person hopes to move up in the hierarchy make career, living etc. No - these days level zero are disposable one use only.
It's like Nigerian scammers putting spelling mistakes and outlandishly fantastic claims in their initial emails. They have to weed out the 99.999% and aim for response from the tiniest portion of people that are the most gullible, greedy, stupid. Once all these intersect, one zooms onto amazingly small number of individuals, that will do impossibly stupid things. A series of!
So impossibly unlikely that the rest of the population can not believe it when the truth is revealed later. It's so impossibly unbelievable that the rest of us finds it more believable that some kind of 8-dimensional chess was played.
6:01 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926314825958744125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Were"?? Human species default is women-kind afaics. Note how there is XX but not YY - only XY.
To my mind, chromosomes are programs, a long series of instructions. They drive the body/parts to develop/grow (and crucially—stop growing too) as per those instructions. So everyone would be an XX female by default, except: where Y is present in XY cells, its instructions Y are present. They are the programs diffs, the delta diff male-to-female, and being present, can potentially be put in action, and usually are.
This is not a single step, not a single 0/1 yes/no switch, but a longer chain of events, a series of steps and processes one after the other, all prompted and guided by the programs in that Y chromosome. This is over a non-trivial amount of time too - as for the rest of human development from a single cell onwards. If all goes as per the hard-coded plan, if all the steps are executed without errors - we get a XY male at the end of the process.
So biologically XX "makes the default female", (in short,) or more wordy "embryonic sexual differentiation defaults to female unless actively switched by Y-chromosome genes." Half our species gets one of those Xs swapped for a Y, triggering programs that develop the male form. Where the Y-programming misfires or glitches, the process may not complete. Where the Y programs fail to execute at all, (it happens,) the body defaults to female—there is no YY option, only XX or XY. YY embryos never develop into living organisms, they are not viable organisms—that's why we don't encounter them in the wild.
Don't think any of the above is in any dispute in any way. If you itch for a bit of spice for the weekend and are looking for speculative take from there, (from biology to, say, sociology?) read on. ;-) if I recall correctly there exists an obscure '90s book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women"; in an obscure language) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike most of other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction (this is not intra-sex competition), is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one of us individually.)
Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks in the intervening decades since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. (plus there is non-trivial tradition a-la Semmelweis that a person driven to telling the truth, in an environment that either doesn't care or is hell bent on lying, may find it hard to keep their sanity)
5:30 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Were"?? Human species default is women-kind afaics. Note how there is XX but not YY - only XY.
To my mind, chromosomes are programs, a long series of instructions. They drive the body/parts to develop/grow (and crucially—stop growing too) as per those instructions. So everyone would be an XX female by default, except: where Y is present in XY cells, its instructions Y are present. They are the programs diffs, the delta diff male-to-female, and being present, can potentially be put in action, and usually are.
This is not a single step, not a single 0/1 yes/no switch, but a longer chain of events, a series of steps and processes one after the other, all prompted and guided by the programs in that Y chromosome. This is over a non-trivial amount of time too - as for the rest of human development from a single cell onwards. If all goes as per the hard-coded plan, if all the steps are executed without errors - we get a XY male at the end of the process.
So biologically XX "makes the default female", (in short,) or more wordy "embryonic sexual differentiation defaults to female unless actively switched by Y-chromosome genes." Half our species gets one of those Xs swapped for a Y, triggering programs that develop the male form. Where the Y-programming misfires or glitches, the process may not complete. Where the Y programs fail to execute at all, (it happens,) the body defaults to female—there is no YY option, only XX or XY. YY embryos never develop into living organisms, they are not viable organisms—that's why we don't encounter them in the wild.
Don't think any of the above is in any dispute in any way. If you itch for a bit of spice for the weekend and are looking for speculative take from there, (from biology to, say, sociology?) read on. ;-) if I recall correctly there exists an obscure '90s book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women"; in an obscure language) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike most of other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction (this is not intra-sex competition), is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one of us individually.)
Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks in the intervening decades since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. (plus there is non-trivial tradition a-la Semmelweis that a person driven to telling the truth, in an environment that either doesn't care or is hell bent on lying, may find it hard to keep their sanity)
5:30 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926304929989165495
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was mentioned in the recent @dwarkesh_sp interview someplace, or something to that extent (that with low compute budget RL learns the easy stuff first which does not add much)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=64lXQP6cs5M
but I'm not finding it rn in the transcript here
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=64lXQP6cs5M
From appblit.com
4:50 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was mentioned in the recent @dwarkesh_sp interview someplace, or something to that extent (that with low compute budget RL learns the easy stuff first which does not add much)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=64lXQP6cs5M
but I'm not finding it rn in the transcript here
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=64lXQP6cs5M
From appblit.com
4:50 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926296918033838201
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doomer cultist building centralised top-down controls into AI-s, and building centralised AI-s too, and coopting NatSec anti-China hawks in that too, may yet turn out themselves into agents that will execute their "Agent Paperclip Worst Fear" for real.
Won't be the 1st time people bringing unto them (und us!) what they most fear. Themselves becoming agents doom they obsess about. After thinking for too long in isolation, only about that one fear.
A tragedy variant of a common slapstick device in few post-WW2 British comedy: a Brit before meeting a German e.g. a tourist, repeats to himself, "don't mention the war, don't mention the war, ..." And then on a 1st contact, the 1st thing he blurts out is something to do with "the war".
4:19 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doomer cultist building centralised top-down controls into AI-s, and building centralised AI-s too, and coopting NatSec anti-China hawks in that too, may yet turn out themselves into agents that will execute their "Agent Paperclip Worst Fear" for real.
Won't be the 1st time people bringing unto them (und us!) what they most fear. Themselves becoming agents doom they obsess about. After thinking for too long in isolation, only about that one fear.
A tragedy variant of a common slapstick device in few post-WW2 British comedy: a Brit before meeting a German e.g. a tourist, repeats to himself, "don't mention the war, don't mention the war, ..." And then on a 1st contact, the 1st thing he blurts out is something to do with "the war".
4:19 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926282065500115205
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. Various publication of research crisis ongoing. Decades of fake research in Alzheimers and others topics. Pi-hacking misleading . Only a minority of published results replicating. Hiding the underlying data. Predatory pay-to-publish journals. Doubt only now - "at risk".
3:20 PM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. Various publication of research crisis ongoing. Decades of fake research in Alzheimers and others topics. Pi-hacking misleading . Only a minority of published results replicating. Hiding the underlying data. Predatory pay-to-publish journals. Doubt only now - "at risk".
3:20 PM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926186745386655939
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Same for the California doomers cultist building centralised top-down controls into AI-s and fighting **for** centralised control over AI-s. (coopting NatSec anti-China hawk in too) And working against distributing AI-s via open source, open weights, open ... AGI ASI, for distributing power back to people via distributed AI. The same guys turning themselves into agents executing their "Agent Paperclip Worst Fear" for real!
9:01 AM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Same for the California doomers cultist building centralised top-down controls into AI-s and fighting **for** centralised control over AI-s. (coopting NatSec anti-China hawk in too) And working against distributing AI-s via open source, open weights, open ... AGI ASI, for distributing power back to people via distributed AI. The same guys turning themselves into agents executing their "Agent Paperclip Worst Fear" for real!
9:01 AM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926178090843062682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rents Go Down - you say
8:26 AM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rents Go Down - you say
8:26 AM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926168480446869918
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
not really unfortunately. it's the antithesis of that. RR not into code and it shows. it'd be like if i not into music at all and then pretend fake a RR. meaningless guff not more than a substack. tldr could not take the boredom stopped reading so take this with a pinch of salt.
7:48 AM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
not really unfortunately. it's the antithesis of that. RR not into code and it shows. it'd be like if i not into music at all and then pretend fake a RR. meaningless guff not more than a substack. tldr could not take the boredom stopped reading so take this with a pinch of salt.
7:48 AM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1926161274217337050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Housing, housing is the big the deal, the OG. Build Xhome make it happen.
7:20 AM · May 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Housing, housing is the big the deal, the OG. Build Xhome make it happen.
7:20 AM · May 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925980416692871625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but people attacking those elite institutions are a product of those same institutions. So the institutions bear a tiny-miny-mini fault there too maybe, somewhere?
Part of the elite developed into toddler-monsters who are burning the building down, in a fit of rage for being denied access to the building. That they perceive as their birthright maybe. Elite institutions education maybe fine, but character building not so great, maybe?
This https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David Brooks
Alliance for Responsible Citizenship
7:21 PM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but people attacking those elite institutions are a product of those same institutions. So the institutions bear a tiny-miny-mini fault there too maybe, somewhere?
Part of the elite developed into toddler-monsters who are burning the building down, in a fit of rage for being denied access to the building. That they perceive as their birthright maybe. Elite institutions education maybe fine, but character building not so great, maybe?
This https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David Brooks
Alliance for Responsible Citizenship
7:21 PM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925975317337788744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't see the risks difference between that of an AI employee being ordered "do not whistleblow", and a total surveillance of all citizenry in some future United Trumps of Americas? Needs to be spelled out to you, you don't pattern match "Beria's wet dream" in a millisecond? Really?? Dario gives out bad vibes to my. The preponderance of risks is such that one must "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken."
In a way, you guys are turning yourselves into the fearsome Paperclips, executing your "Agent Paperclip Worst Fear" for real! 😨 Won't be the 1st time people bringing unto them (und us!) what they most fear. Themselves becoming the agent of their own doom, after thinking for too long in isolation only about that fear. 😱 Please try widen your horizons if you possibly are in a position to try. 🙏
7:01 PM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't see the risks difference between that of an AI employee being ordered "do not whistleblow", and a total surveillance of all citizenry in some future United Trumps of Americas? Needs to be spelled out to you, you don't pattern match "Beria's wet dream" in a millisecond? Really?? Dario gives out bad vibes to my. The preponderance of risks is such that one must "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken."
In a way, you guys are turning yourselves into the fearsome Paperclips, executing your "Agent Paperclip Worst Fear" for real! 😨 Won't be the 1st time people bringing unto them (und us!) what they most fear. Themselves becoming the agent of their own doom, after thinking for too long in isolation only about that fear. 😱 Please try widen your horizons if you possibly are in a position to try. 🙏
7:01 PM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925875831810687429
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how true or false this is, but-
It's becoming apparent to me, watching seemingly sane people endorse possibly insane actions with unwavering certainty, that we need a Voight-Kampff test (Blade Runner style) set at minimum Level 4 on Kegan's "Levels of Adult Development" scale, as one preliminary filter in a qualification process for suitability to hold public office.
We had woke-left crazies, then MAGA-s (woke-right?), and now the "extreme centrist" are looking to be at their wokest too. This is intolerable. As the modern state is too centralised, too powerful, too overwhelming - we are all far too dependent on it for life support - compared any one of us individuals, for one to stay sanguine and indifferent to this. "You may not be interested in politics, but politics is interest in you" moment for myself.
Failing that, at least maybe we force the holders of high office to attend some @sapinker lecture on "how to think rationally, take decisions under uncertainty", even if under duress à la "Clockwork Orange".
Quote
Tony Diver @Tony_Diver · May 22
🚨NEW: Chagos deal will cost £30bn
RENT:
- £165m a year for the first 3 years
- £120m a year for years 4-13
- Then £120m+inflation for years 14-99
PLUS:
- £45m a year for 25 years for development
- £40m one-off for Chagossian fund
Assuming 2% inflation, total cost is £30.3bn x.com/Tony_Diver/sta…
12:25 PM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how true or false this is, but-
It's becoming apparent to me, watching seemingly sane people endorse possibly insane actions with unwavering certainty, that we need a Voight-Kampff test (Blade Runner style) set at minimum Level 4 on Kegan's "Levels of Adult Development" scale, as one preliminary filter in a qualification process for suitability to hold public office.
We had woke-left crazies, then MAGA-s (woke-right?), and now the "extreme centrist" are looking to be at their wokest too. This is intolerable. As the modern state is too centralised, too powerful, too overwhelming - we are all far too dependent on it for life support - compared any one of us individuals, for one to stay sanguine and indifferent to this. "You may not be interested in politics, but politics is interest in you" moment for myself.
Failing that, at least maybe we force the holders of high office to attend some @sapinker lecture on "how to think rationally, take decisions under uncertainty", even if under duress à la "Clockwork Orange".
Quote
Tony Diver @Tony_Diver · May 22
🚨NEW: Chagos deal will cost £30bn
RENT:
- £165m a year for the first 3 years
- £120m a year for years 4-13
- Then £120m+inflation for years 14-99
PLUS:
- £45m a year for 25 years for development
- £40m one-off for Chagossian fund
Assuming 2% inflation, total cost is £30.3bn x.com/Tony_Diver/sta…
12:25 PM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925867986025414682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surprising levels of honesty, tbh?? Didn't expect this from Anthropic?
11:54 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surprising levels of honesty, tbh?? Didn't expect this from Anthropic?
11:54 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925866850413416801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yesss!!! Glad to see not the only one to notice. Indeed, BTC for the longest time has been like a small cap high vol stock with high Beta of 3-4-5, it was like a (leveraged by risk) market bet. Unlike gold. First time that not to be the case - exactly!
11:50 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yesss!!! Glad to see not the only one to notice. Indeed, BTC for the longest time has been like a small cap high vol stock with high Beta of 3-4-5, it was like a (leveraged by risk) market bet. Unlike gold. First time that not to be the case - exactly!
11:50 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925852536025571836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
These people are not that smart. They are IYI - Intellectuals Yet Idiots. The have been selected for being good at memoization, passing exams, obedience. That's smarts of a cog in a machine. Not saying they are useless, they are useful - as cogs keeping a big machine running.
10:53 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
These people are not that smart. They are IYI - Intellectuals Yet Idiots. The have been selected for being good at memoization, passing exams, obedience. That's smarts of a cog in a machine. Not saying they are useless, they are useful - as cogs keeping a big machine running.
10:53 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925848353981477209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? Stealing children fine then? UK has problem X. Therefore bad thing Y fine. The sky is blue. Therefore jumping a red light fine. Connections seeking brain may see cause-consequence where there is none. On one hand - I admire the brain hardwired to seek coherence. On the other hand - I pity the owner.
10:36 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? Stealing children fine then? UK has problem X. Therefore bad thing Y fine. The sky is blue. Therefore jumping a red light fine. Connections seeking brain may see cause-consequence where there is none. On one hand - I admire the brain hardwired to seek coherence. On the other hand - I pity the owner.
10:36 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925842225004462401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sapiens-burger
10:12 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sapiens-burger
10:12 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925823407603450188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! People with too much spare time on their hands to waste take themselves way too seriously. Goes with the wordcel PoV on things, life and everything, I guess.
8:57 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! People with too much spare time on their hands to waste take themselves way too seriously. Goes with the wordcel PoV on things, life and everything, I guess.
8:57 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925822778961174772
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? Who can? (god almighty only one presumes) And humans can "steer themselves reliably"? Do you ever stop and ask yourself "Is what I desire possible?" Is it even desirable?
8:55 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? Who can? (god almighty only one presumes) And humans can "steer themselves reliably"? Do you ever stop and ask yourself "Is what I desire possible?" Is it even desirable?
8:55 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925821400809340962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh dear 🙃 (old man shouts at the sky post)
MacOS Chrome pdf viewer "save as" dialog box is of the kind that can't be moved seemngly?? As in - one can't move the "save as" dialog box left-right-up-down, to see the title and authors of the paper. (obscured behind) Something I need while deciding on the name to save the paper under. (arxiv papers have their id as name.)
I get it it's unfortunate coincidence, but: who creates a window, on a windowing system, **any** windowing system, that can not be moved, but is fix in place?? Why would anyone want that. A mystery.
8:49 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh dear 🙃 (old man shouts at the sky post)
MacOS Chrome pdf viewer "save as" dialog box is of the kind that can't be moved seemngly?? As in - one can't move the "save as" dialog box left-right-up-down, to see the title and authors of the paper. (obscured behind) Something I need while deciding on the name to save the paper under. (arxiv papers have their id as name.)
I get it it's unfortunate coincidence, but: who creates a window, on a windowing system, **any** windowing system, that can not be moved, but is fix in place?? Why would anyone want that. A mystery.
8:49 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925817699696795741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - top marks for the comedic value there to Anthropic.
It's like in a post-WW2 British comedy, when a Brit before meeting e.g. a German tourist, repeats to himself, "Don't mention then war, don't mention the war, ..." And then on a 1st contact, the 1st thing he blurts out is something to do with the war. 😂
Anthropic may have internalised that "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that"-moment so so much so, that they then go on and re-create it at every opportunity! All the while trying to avoid it!! 😂
Ngl this' a delight to see. Any connoisseur of the human condition will respect and chuckle, even if one does not like it, how the events put the uppity humonkeman a peg down. 😆
Quote
https://x.com/menhguin/status/1925613747575693490
Minh Nhat Nguyen @menhguin · 15h
Replying to @menhguin
claude 4: Yes, my mother used to take me to Jones Foods. She was a kind woman. But not to the chickens.
8:34 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - top marks for the comedic value there to Anthropic.
It's like in a post-WW2 British comedy, when a Brit before meeting e.g. a German tourist, repeats to himself, "Don't mention then war, don't mention the war, ..." And then on a 1st contact, the 1st thing he blurts out is something to do with the war. 😂
Anthropic may have internalised that "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that"-moment so so much so, that they then go on and re-create it at every opportunity! All the while trying to avoid it!! 😂
Ngl this' a delight to see. Any connoisseur of the human condition will respect and chuckle, even if one does not like it, how the events put the uppity humonkeman a peg down. 😆
Quote
https://x.com/menhguin/status/1925613747575693490
Minh Nhat Nguyen @menhguin · 15h
Replying to @menhguin
claude 4: Yes, my mother used to take me to Jones Foods. She was a kind woman. But not to the chickens.
8:34 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925813150881923579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it's excellent for the comedic value. 😂
It's like in a post-WW2 British comedy, when a Brit before meeting e.g. a German tourist repeats to himself, "don't mention then war, don't mention the war, ..." and then on a 1st contact the 1st thing he blurts out is something to do with "the war". 😂
Anthropic maybe have internalised that "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that"-moment so so much, so much so that they then go and re-create it at every opportunity, all the while trying to avoid it!! 😂
This is so so great! One has to respect and chuckle even if one does not like it how the world brings the uppity human a peg down. 😆
8:16 AM · May 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it's excellent for the comedic value. 😂
It's like in a post-WW2 British comedy, when a Brit before meeting e.g. a German tourist repeats to himself, "don't mention then war, don't mention the war, ..." and then on a 1st contact the 1st thing he blurts out is something to do with "the war". 😂
Anthropic maybe have internalised that "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that"-moment so so much, so much so that they then go and re-create it at every opportunity, all the while trying to avoid it!! 😂
This is so so great! One has to respect and chuckle even if one does not like it how the world brings the uppity human a peg down. 😆
8:16 AM · May 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925660533467787670
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A: sometime between 3-Apr and 22-May 😂
Here-https://youtube.com/watch?v=klW65MWJ1PY
Excellent speaker, very engaging, excellent material, enjoyed the talk. It's two talks in one really.
The 2nd part of the talk explains diffusion modelling tricks. Most interesting! Communicates well what a big deal the core process of "take train data X, add noise, now feed Input=X+Noise, target is known Output=X, train model that way" is!
Maybe it's only me, as I did PhD 25yrs ago mixing speech+noise and training ASR. Plus did a fair bit of masking too! 😆 ("missing data") Some serendipity there at work, such a shoe in this talk for me! 😂 amusing ngl
Anyways - I find this "running transcription" through the talk service excellent and have completely switched to it when watching YT talks. Maybe someone else finds it useful too.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=klW65MWJ1PY
youtube.com
Advancing Diffusion Models for Text Generation
Kilian Weinberger (Cornell University)https://simons.berkeley.edu/talks/kilian-weinberger-cornell-university-2025-04-03The Future of Language Models and Tran...
10:10 PM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A: sometime between 3-Apr and 22-May 😂
Here-https://youtube.com/watch?v=klW65MWJ1PY
Excellent speaker, very engaging, excellent material, enjoyed the talk. It's two talks in one really.
The 2nd part of the talk explains diffusion modelling tricks. Most interesting! Communicates well what a big deal the core process of "take train data X, add noise, now feed Input=X+Noise, target is known Output=X, train model that way" is!
Maybe it's only me, as I did PhD 25yrs ago mixing speech+noise and training ASR. Plus did a fair bit of masking too! 😆 ("missing data") Some serendipity there at work, such a shoe in this talk for me! 😂 amusing ngl
Anyways - I find this "running transcription" through the talk service excellent and have completely switched to it when watching YT talks. Maybe someone else finds it useful too.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=klW65MWJ1PY
youtube.com
Advancing Diffusion Models for Text Generation
Kilian Weinberger (Cornell University)https://simons.berkeley.edu/talks/kilian-weinberger-cornell-university-2025-04-03The Future of Language Models and Tran...
10:10 PM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925651951003324700
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Beria's wet dream. Imagine the power this puts in Dario's hands - he gets to decide who's "referred" and who's not, ultimately. Anthropic moral compass is that of a Maoist student. Hope they get slapped with lawsuits sooner rather then latter when it misfires.
9:36 PM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Beria's wet dream. Imagine the power this puts in Dario's hands - he gets to decide who's "referred" and who's not, ultimately. Anthropic moral compass is that of a Maoist student. Hope they get slapped with lawsuits sooner rather then latter when it misfires.
9:36 PM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925648438034641057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 As expected - "End of the world doom -or- Listen and do as I say!" cults always develop into between grifting gigs and sinister power grabs. Imagine the power this puts into Dario's hands! He gets to decide who is "referred" and who's not. Beria of the AI-age in the making.
Quote
https://x.com/growing_daniel/status/1925620099072848083
Daniel @growing_daniel · 15h
anthropic alignment researcher tweeted this about opus and then deleted it.
"contact the press" bro this company needs to be shut down now
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:22 PM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 As expected - "End of the world doom -or- Listen and do as I say!" cults always develop into between grifting gigs and sinister power grabs. Imagine the power this puts into Dario's hands! He gets to decide who is "referred" and who's not. Beria of the AI-age in the making.
Quote
https://x.com/growing_daniel/status/1925620099072848083
Daniel @growing_daniel · 15h
anthropic alignment researcher tweeted this about opus and then deleted it.
"contact the press" bro this company needs to be shut down now
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:22 PM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925494174826033291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It helps some to say: it's not the final version, it's only a 1st draft. I'll come back to it, and fix it. Now is important to throw these ideas out of my head, and on paper. (or in a computer file.) So head space, idea space, opens, for these fixes to come into my head.
11:09 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It helps some to say: it's not the final version, it's only a 1st draft. I'll come back to it, and fix it. Now is important to throw these ideas out of my head, and on paper. (or in a computer file.) So head space, idea space, opens, for these fixes to come into my head.
11:09 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925467030439776626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik there is previously TrueCrypt (now orphaned) and currently VeraCrypt that offer the option of two volumes, on a single disk (or file), that are mounted with different passwords. Thus enabling plausible deniability. (think implemented by the data being written starting both ends, and towards the middle.) Although for the US examples typically quoted, it's social media material, and this is mostly public already. The border agents don't need my X account password to read this. It's publicly available to all users.
9:21 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik there is previously TrueCrypt (now orphaned) and currently VeraCrypt that offer the option of two volumes, on a single disk (or file), that are mounted with different passwords. Thus enabling plausible deniability. (think implemented by the data being written starting both ends, and towards the middle.) Although for the US examples typically quoted, it's social media material, and this is mostly public already. The border agents don't need my X account password to read this. It's publicly available to all users.
9:21 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925462426272629112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview with @Fidias0, despite (or because?) the emotions running high. Impressions from personal PoV below. And maybe ideas there for material for Episode 2?
1) On being Russias asset. You are right. The evidence he is a Russian asset is what he posts 100 times daily. He seemingly thinks evidence *must* be a copy of the FSB payroll with his name on it. He is wrong. That does make someone an asset (obviously), but one can be an asset without being payed. You are right to stick to "is Xyz true or false, never mind if the person saying it likes you or hates you".
2) On talking to Russia. Here I think he got the upper hand. Enemies at war talk continuously through various channels. So it'd be indefensible to say "don't talk". But. For that he doesn't need to spread blatant lies and Russia propaganda. Does not need to disseminate propaganda pics of the Russian army parades and so on. There is talking to your adversary. And there is spreading their message for them. There is a difference.
3) On Turkey and Cyprus. Related to the above. You can't not have things in context, as we have general systems of interests and morals used when making decisions. Things are not decided strictly on a case by case basis. But. Even while in the Turkish occupied part of Cyprus people living there call themselves (I presume) Cypriot Turks, presumably Fidias doesn't think that means Turkey should annexe that part of Cyprus? The Russian first speaking people in Ukraine call themselves Ukrainians, not Russians. And they explicitly want to belong to Ukraine, not Russia. Not the least one of them being the current president. So a few differences there, all favouring the Ukrainian view.
4) His "Sacks and Mearsheimer and Musk say Xyz". We should not care what they or anyone says. We have heads and brains of our own to think for ourselves. This is not a beauty contest, not "he said she said - well then take the middle". No - determining true from false, good from bad, does not work like that. A war of aggression is the highest international crime. That Colin Powell or anyone else said something didn't make Iraq invasion any less of an crime. Same with the Russian invasion. It's wrong and bad.
5) NATO expansion. Russia uses it as a talking point and a propaganda attack vector. We have ample evidence what happened, as it was in our lifetimes. I lived through the period. Fidias take is objectively wrong. East Europe countries run for their lives towards NATO, as they know very well what belonging to the "Russian world" means - nothing good, plenty bad. Related: Russia explicitly states they want to extinguish Ukraine state, language etc - the nationhood. So it's unambiguously imperial war of conquest to gain land and make it part of your empire.
6) His "were all 20000 children kidnapped, or maybe only 19999 were and 1 was not, so no kidnapping there", him being unable to comprehend that even 1 kid separated from their parents - that are their guardians!! - *is* kidnapping, is too perfect illustration to pass: this is the purest case I've seen of stupidity as described by Bonhoeffer. It's not stupidity just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Being a bad, even evil person. In this case evil - considering it's children, who maybe brainwashed, and 10 years from now sent in meat assaults, to kill or be killed by their cousins. (at some point he said "returned or going **back**" to Russia; there can be no *back*, as their home was not in Russia in the 1st place; their home was in Ukraine)
7) Ending the war. The war can end today, if Ukraine drop their arms, stop fighting, and let be conquered and extinguished by Russia. Or it can end today too, by Putin issuing the order to his army to stop attacking, withdraw return behind their side of the border. These are two very different outcomes. So it's not only ending the war, but how the war ends. Fidias is talking as if it's not occurred to the others that "well the war ends when both decide to stop fighting". Duh. Of course it does. As to have war it suffices for one side to want war, but to have peace the two sides must want it. The question is: how, on what terms?
Hope you do Part 2.
9:03 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview with @Fidias0, despite (or because?) the emotions running high. Impressions from personal PoV below. And maybe ideas there for material for Episode 2?
1) On being Russias asset. You are right. The evidence he is a Russian asset is what he posts 100 times daily. He seemingly thinks evidence *must* be a copy of the FSB payroll with his name on it. He is wrong. That does make someone an asset (obviously), but one can be an asset without being payed. You are right to stick to "is Xyz true or false, never mind if the person saying it likes you or hates you".
2) On talking to Russia. Here I think he got the upper hand. Enemies at war talk continuously through various channels. So it'd be indefensible to say "don't talk". But. For that he doesn't need to spread blatant lies and Russia propaganda. Does not need to disseminate propaganda pics of the Russian army parades and so on. There is talking to your adversary. And there is spreading their message for them. There is a difference.
3) On Turkey and Cyprus. Related to the above. You can't not have things in context, as we have general systems of interests and morals used when making decisions. Things are not decided strictly on a case by case basis. But. Even while in the Turkish occupied part of Cyprus people living there call themselves (I presume) Cypriot Turks, presumably Fidias doesn't think that means Turkey should annexe that part of Cyprus? The Russian first speaking people in Ukraine call themselves Ukrainians, not Russians. And they explicitly want to belong to Ukraine, not Russia. Not the least one of them being the current president. So a few differences there, all favouring the Ukrainian view.
4) His "Sacks and Mearsheimer and Musk say Xyz". We should not care what they or anyone says. We have heads and brains of our own to think for ourselves. This is not a beauty contest, not "he said she said - well then take the middle". No - determining true from false, good from bad, does not work like that. A war of aggression is the highest international crime. That Colin Powell or anyone else said something didn't make Iraq invasion any less of an crime. Same with the Russian invasion. It's wrong and bad.
5) NATO expansion. Russia uses it as a talking point and a propaganda attack vector. We have ample evidence what happened, as it was in our lifetimes. I lived through the period. Fidias take is objectively wrong. East Europe countries run for their lives towards NATO, as they know very well what belonging to the "Russian world" means - nothing good, plenty bad. Related: Russia explicitly states they want to extinguish Ukraine state, language etc - the nationhood. So it's unambiguously imperial war of conquest to gain land and make it part of your empire.
6) His "were all 20000 children kidnapped, or maybe only 19999 were and 1 was not, so no kidnapping there", him being unable to comprehend that even 1 kid separated from their parents - that are their guardians!! - *is* kidnapping, is too perfect illustration to pass: this is the purest case I've seen of stupidity as described by Bonhoeffer. It's not stupidity just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Being a bad, even evil person. In this case evil - considering it's children, who maybe brainwashed, and 10 years from now sent in meat assaults, to kill or be killed by their cousins. (at some point he said "returned or going **back**" to Russia; there can be no *back*, as their home was not in Russia in the 1st place; their home was in Ukraine)
7) Ending the war. The war can end today, if Ukraine drop their arms, stop fighting, and let be conquered and extinguished by Russia. Or it can end today too, by Putin issuing the order to his army to stop attacking, withdraw return behind their side of the border. These are two very different outcomes. So it's not only ending the war, but how the war ends. Fidias is talking as if it's not occurred to the others that "well the war ends when both decide to stop fighting". Duh. Of course it does. As to have war it suffices for one side to want war, but to have peace the two sides must want it. The question is: how, on what terms?
Hope you do Part 2.
9:03 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925444206056661120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only controversial. Anything more complicated than the weather forecast, at some point in the text descends into "umbrellas causing rain shocker". Gell-Mann amnesia effect is strong with us the readers. (so bad Crichton died so premature.) People are way too trusting any random cr*p a rando journo typed in a morning to fill the white on a page. (my father was a journalist. 😳)
Hope AI solves this. It's already better at truths than a medium human. For you're right 80%-90% of humanity is stuck at "loves me/not" and "my side/not" and "looks nice/not" heuristics when they are supposed to be judging "true or false" and "right or wrong". There is not even an attempt at epistemics. And intelligence is seemingly related to it? I've come to accept most of wilful stupidity is bad morals not low IQ.
7:50 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only controversial. Anything more complicated than the weather forecast, at some point in the text descends into "umbrellas causing rain shocker". Gell-Mann amnesia effect is strong with us the readers. (so bad Crichton died so premature.) People are way too trusting any random cr*p a rando journo typed in a morning to fill the white on a page. (my father was a journalist. 😳)
Hope AI solves this. It's already better at truths than a medium human. For you're right 80%-90% of humanity is stuck at "loves me/not" and "my side/not" and "looks nice/not" heuristics when they are supposed to be judging "true or false" and "right or wrong". There is not even an attempt at epistemics. And intelligence is seemingly related to it? I've come to accept most of wilful stupidity is bad morals not low IQ.
7:50 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925407385339699697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - one can hope. There is a kernel of possibility.
Like - AI trained on everything humanity ever produced, should end up as some average of humanity. And in the limit, when all is added and subtracted netted, and with a huge variability around, but that average, should come out slightly positive.
For if it were negative, I suspect humanity would not be in existence to build such machines. A net negative wd have ended us already. That may yet happen on even given day - so not saying "best of all possible worlds" far from it, just - "not dead yet".
5:24 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - one can hope. There is a kernel of possibility.
Like - AI trained on everything humanity ever produced, should end up as some average of humanity. And in the limit, when all is added and subtracted netted, and with a huge variability around, but that average, should come out slightly positive.
For if it were negative, I suspect humanity would not be in existence to build such machines. A net negative wd have ended us already. That may yet happen on even given day - so not saying "best of all possible worlds" far from it, just - "not dead yet".
5:24 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925402767008342119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you know anything about this please. Heard on a random podcast a throwaway remark that (to the effect of) "TikTok in its Algofeed does not use the follows-followers social graph at all"? And that's possibly the reason why the quality of the recommendations TikTok feeds every user is of significantly better quality (=more relevant to the user) than other Social Networks.
For using follows-followers, and esp once the network designates incentivates small number of users to be producers of large quantities of content, I suspect in the extreme in the limit, ends with 1 producer feeding N consumers, i.e. the old media information one-way top-down flow and zero latter flows. This due to positive feedback loop effects.
5:06 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you know anything about this please. Heard on a random podcast a throwaway remark that (to the effect of) "TikTok in its Algofeed does not use the follows-followers social graph at all"? And that's possibly the reason why the quality of the recommendations TikTok feeds every user is of significantly better quality (=more relevant to the user) than other Social Networks.
For using follows-followers, and esp once the network designates incentivates small number of users to be producers of large quantities of content, I suspect in the extreme in the limit, ends with 1 producer feeding N consumers, i.e. the old media information one-way top-down flow and zero latter flows. This due to positive feedback loop effects.
5:06 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925400521453572256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was ByteDance the 1st AI-first company? Heard on a random podcast a throwaway remark that (to the effect of) "TikTok in its Algofeed does not use the follows-followers social graph at all"? And that's possibly the reason why the quality of the recommendations TikTok feeds every user is of significantly better quality (=more relevant to the user) than the competition? For using follows-followers, and esp once the network designates incentivates small number of users to be producers of large quantities of content, I suspect in the extreme in the limit ends with 1 producer feeding N consumers, i.e. the old media information one-way top-down flow and zero latter flows. This due to positive feedback loop effects.
4:57 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was ByteDance the 1st AI-first company? Heard on a random podcast a throwaway remark that (to the effect of) "TikTok in its Algofeed does not use the follows-followers social graph at all"? And that's possibly the reason why the quality of the recommendations TikTok feeds every user is of significantly better quality (=more relevant to the user) than the competition? For using follows-followers, and esp once the network designates incentivates small number of users to be producers of large quantities of content, I suspect in the extreme in the limit ends with 1 producer feeding N consumers, i.e. the old media information one-way top-down flow and zero latter flows. This due to positive feedback loop effects.
4:57 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925396859448705162
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please maybe give consideration to the option P(doom|AI)
E.g. decision making, the executive function, governance. Do we, should we, trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Virus - it was not AI but probably GoF the Wuhan Covid, while AI helped mRNA vaccine-in-a-day design. Similar - we may need to engineer quickly new GMO crops, if quick env change happens Re: volcano. etc
Afaics the claims they make are standard politics, "making decisions under great uncertainty", and ought to be treated as such. Cloak off the scientism these claims cover themselves with, pulling a fast one on us, trying to bamboozle us with "it's science." Numbers they throw around, as all estimates ever, are pulled out freely out of each others' arses are certainly not reliable enough to warrant the radical action they seem to advocate. The part that's solid, the "Probability: Logic of Science" (in the vein of Jaines) is insufficient on its own for any claims made. It surprises me greatly these people call themselves "rationalist". ("Peoples Democratic Republic"-s vibes there)
Say we put ourselves back in time, at the time of the Egypt pharaohs, that's what, -3K BCE? They say, we need to stop all this new tech development stuff, b/c P(doom|Tech)=0.8. So this is their world. Now fast forward 2K years of the same, it's year 2025 now. We are using oxen to move anything physical, that's latest-greatest tech.
We know the heath death of Earth, when the Sun consumes it, is almost certain say 99.999% by year XYZ. In which world, are we closer to avoiding that doom? In doomer world, where we still use oxen and there are say 8M people on Earth? Or in our current world, where we use big trucks, aircraft and cargo ships to move stuff around and there is 8B of us?
4:42 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please maybe give consideration to the option P(doom|AI)
Afaics the claims they make are standard politics, "making decisions under great uncertainty", and ought to be treated as such. Cloak off the scientism these claims cover themselves with, pulling a fast one on us, trying to bamboozle us with "it's science." Numbers they throw around, as all estimates ever, are pulled out freely out of each others' arses are certainly not reliable enough to warrant the radical action they seem to advocate. The part that's solid, the "Probability: Logic of Science" (in the vein of Jaines) is insufficient on its own for any claims made. It surprises me greatly these people call themselves "rationalist". ("Peoples Democratic Republic"-s vibes there)
Say we put ourselves back in time, at the time of the Egypt pharaohs, that's what, -3K BCE? They say, we need to stop all this new tech development stuff, b/c P(doom|Tech)=0.8. So this is their world. Now fast forward 2K years of the same, it's year 2025 now. We are using oxen to move anything physical, that's latest-greatest tech.
We know the heath death of Earth, when the Sun consumes it, is almost certain say 99.999% by year XYZ. In which world, are we closer to avoiding that doom? In doomer world, where we still use oxen and there are say 8M people on Earth? Or in our current world, where we use big trucks, aircraft and cargo ships to move stuff around and there is 8B of us?
4:42 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925326987083882559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The part that is solid is well known, stuff one gets e.g. internalising Jaynes "Probability: The Logic of Science" certainly doesn't take 1000 lifetimes to learn.
Alas - that doesn't help them that much with the task they assigned themselves. Numbers they throw around, as all estimates ever, are pulled out freely out of each others' arses are certainly not reliable enough to warrant the radical action they seem to advocate. (like yesterday https://x.com/DrTechlash/status/1924639190958199115)
Lost interest in much they say, for afaics P(doom|AI)
Take decision making, the executive function, governance. Do we, should we, trust more Trump + Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Virus - probably it was GoF not AI doing the covid work in Wuhan, while AI helped mRNA vaccine-in-a-day design. Similar if we need to engineer quickly new GMO crops, if quick env change happens Re: volcano. etc
12:04 AM · May 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The part that is solid is well known, stuff one gets e.g. internalising Jaynes "Probability: The Logic of Science" certainly doesn't take 1000 lifetimes to learn.
Alas - that doesn't help them that much with the task they assigned themselves. Numbers they throw around, as all estimates ever, are pulled out freely out of each others' arses are certainly not reliable enough to warrant the radical action they seem to advocate. (like yesterday https://x.com/DrTechlash/status/1924639190958199115)
Lost interest in much they say, for afaics P(doom|AI)
12:04 AM · May 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925303908164882738
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or even Artificial Stupidity - AS! 90% Of the automated systems I interact with and just dumb, dumb as nails. It's like interacting with a character from The Dumb and the Dumber. Can't wait for AI.
Human Stupidity - HS - is a huge problem too. The bog standard one, as defined by: for no personal gain, maybe even suffering a small loss, causing other people pain and grief. At least with the bandit, one can anticipate. Not so with the stupid! They are danger to others, and ultimately themselves. And the numbers are immense - ‘imagine how stupid the average person is - now remember that half are even dumber.’
The demand for intelligence is virtually unlimited at this point afaics. Maybe in the distant future, that will saturate so we will seek the next thing. (maybe love?)
10:33 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or even Artificial Stupidity - AS! 90% Of the automated systems I interact with and just dumb, dumb as nails. It's like interacting with a character from The Dumb and the Dumber. Can't wait for AI.
Human Stupidity - HS - is a huge problem too. The bog standard one, as defined by: for no personal gain, maybe even suffering a small loss, causing other people pain and grief. At least with the bandit, one can anticipate. Not so with the stupid! They are danger to others, and ultimately themselves. And the numbers are immense - ‘imagine how stupid the average person is - now remember that half are even dumber.’
The demand for intelligence is virtually unlimited at this point afaics. Maybe in the distant future, that will saturate so we will seek the next thing. (maybe love?)
10:33 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925272191563633061
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
only the paranoid survive - is the right attitude
8:27 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
only the paranoid survive - is the right attitude
8:27 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925253832855962029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Logically from first principles - I'd expect either 1) the energy producing capacity is impaired i.e. insufficient; and/or 2) the signalling that should prompt that production is faulty not managing to deliver the information; and/or 3) the signalling that the body now has actually acquired enough fuel to produce the energy needed is faulty.
Either way, fat people usually lack energy => signalling "must eat now" happens. But then the extra food is not converted into extra energy needed. Instead, the extra food is converted into energy store - fat.
So the signal "must eat/need energy" never stops. Possibly the decision lever how much food to convert into blood sugar and other shorter term energy stores v.s. longer term energy store (fat) is faulty, always errs on the side "store into long term storage (fat)".
Further, it's possible that fat-storage tissues behave somewhat like cancer cells, appropriating excessive resources at the expense of the body as a whole. For that their bonds to the extent 'you are part of this body' might have been weakened. IDK how-this is just a pet wild guess. (like cancer cells don't perceive the rest of the body as "us", they are now the "other"; NB not suggesting adipose tissue literally is cancerous—just that it may behave somewhat similarly in its dysregulated metabolic resource demands)
The ideology-isation of a science, technology, ultimately engineering, problem happens regularly, when we don't know how to solve the problem. In my life, before Helicobacter Pylori, weekly magazines were full of articles how "the vices of our modern lives" cause ulcers that people die from when they burst once in a blue moon. HIV positive test was a death sentence, and at that point a mini-industry sprang-up to ideologise every aspect of it.
Reading further back, of the time when at the start of the 20-th Century Tuberculosis was still a death sentence, I saw the same pattern. When we lack the knowledge and the means - we fallback to stories that are just fairy tales with little bearing on/to reality.
On one hand - it's tragic. On the other hand - it's endearing that we seek coherence, we seek a story, we seek some single entity that explains to us what we observe. For the last impulse is what ultimately does drive acquisition of knowledge and success in explaining and changing our predicament.
7:14 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Logically from first principles - I'd expect either 1) the energy producing capacity is impaired i.e. insufficient; and/or 2) the signalling that should prompt that production is faulty not managing to deliver the information; and/or 3) the signalling that the body now has actually acquired enough fuel to produce the energy needed is faulty.
Either way, fat people usually lack energy => signalling "must eat now" happens. But then the extra food is not converted into extra energy needed. Instead, the extra food is converted into energy store - fat.
So the signal "must eat/need energy" never stops. Possibly the decision lever how much food to convert into blood sugar and other shorter term energy stores v.s. longer term energy store (fat) is faulty, always errs on the side "store into long term storage (fat)".
Further, it's possible that fat-storage tissues behave somewhat like cancer cells, appropriating excessive resources at the expense of the body as a whole. For that their bonds to the extent 'you are part of this body' might have been weakened. IDK how-this is just a pet wild guess. (like cancer cells don't perceive the rest of the body as "us", they are now the "other"; NB not suggesting adipose tissue literally is cancerous—just that it may behave somewhat similarly in its dysregulated metabolic resource demands)
The ideology-isation of a science, technology, ultimately engineering, problem happens regularly, when we don't know how to solve the problem. In my life, before Helicobacter Pylori, weekly magazines were full of articles how "the vices of our modern lives" cause ulcers that people die from when they burst once in a blue moon. HIV positive test was a death sentence, and at that point a mini-industry sprang-up to ideologise every aspect of it.
Reading further back, of the time when at the start of the 20-th Century Tuberculosis was still a death sentence, I saw the same pattern. When we lack the knowledge and the means - we fallback to stories that are just fairy tales with little bearing on/to reality.
On one hand - it's tragic. On the other hand - it's endearing that we seek coherence, we seek a story, we seek some single entity that explains to us what we observe. For the last impulse is what ultimately does drive acquisition of knowledge and success in explaining and changing our predicament.
7:14 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925247284553380161
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Names and surname please, names and surnames. These f*ckers need to have the fear of God put into them. For there is not other sanction for them to not ruin the lives of countless ordinary people with the powers vested into those planning officers. (but lacking responsibility)
6:48 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Names and surname please, names and surnames. These f*ckers need to have the fear of God put into them. For there is not other sanction for them to not ruin the lives of countless ordinary people with the powers vested into those planning officers. (but lacking responsibility)
6:48 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925244625331068941
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
open model when? open AI
6:37 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
open model when? open AI
6:37 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925242818009686336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - excellent, the dude un-retired! “Anybody who's a computer scientist should not be retired.” What-a-time-to-be-alive 😃 Shots across the bow fired, “We fully intend that Gemini will be the very first AGI.” - well no pressure there then for .@demishassabis 😂
Quote
vitrupo @vitrupo · 19h
Sergey Brin: “We fully intend that Gemini will be the very first AGI.”
But he says he didn’t return to Google because of the race. He came back to be part of the most consequential scientific moment of our time.
“Anybody who's a computer scientist should not be retired.”
6:30 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - excellent, the dude un-retired! “Anybody who's a computer scientist should not be retired.” What-a-time-to-be-alive 😃 Shots across the bow fired, “We fully intend that Gemini will be the very first AGI.” - well no pressure there then for .@demishassabis 😂
Quote
vitrupo @vitrupo · 19h
Sergey Brin: “We fully intend that Gemini will be the very first AGI.”
But he says he didn’t return to Google because of the race. He came back to be part of the most consequential scientific moment of our time.
“Anybody who's a computer scientist should not be retired.”
6:30 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925239743492579456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK handed the command heights of society to lawyers, and their competence level is ChatGPT-3.5 levels -ish.
How about hear me out say we jump the shark, use o3 or Gemini 2.5 to write few future laws, and see how that goes. Maybe it will work out better??
If not - we can always go back to our amoeba-lawyers. They are not crawling anywhere else fast, they will be here waiting for us. (working that chagosian case for MUS is lucrative and going well but only available to few)
6:18 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK handed the command heights of society to lawyers, and their competence level is ChatGPT-3.5 levels -ish.
How about hear me out say we jump the shark, use o3 or Gemini 2.5 to write few future laws, and see how that goes. Maybe it will work out better??
If not - we can always go back to our amoeba-lawyers. They are not crawling anywhere else fast, they will be here waiting for us. (working that chagosian case for MUS is lucrative and going well but only available to few)
6:18 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925235596517147047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Purge of the ranks of BBC on the charge of "rank stupidity, verging on idiocy" is overdue. As ever some parts of the baby, will be thrown out with the bathwater when that comes. Obviously the BBC executive live in an exalted plane state of existence at variance with us the non-BBC executive. For things we see insane, look ok-ish to them? (so they keep happening)
But we are the boss of them, they are not the boss of us. Reality will re-assert itself. The only Q is price. The latter it happens, the higher the price the BBC (and ultimately - us!) pays for retvrn to the real world we all inhabit. That's the deal with reality, why so persistent: it's something we all share by default, the state of minimal energy we inhabit, if we put zero effort towards altering and keeping up an illusion.
6:01 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Purge of the ranks of BBC on the charge of "rank stupidity, verging on idiocy" is overdue. As ever some parts of the baby, will be thrown out with the bathwater when that comes. Obviously the BBC executive live in an exalted plane state of existence at variance with us the non-BBC executive. For things we see insane, look ok-ish to them? (so they keep happening)
But we are the boss of them, they are not the boss of us. Reality will re-assert itself. The only Q is price. The latter it happens, the higher the price the BBC (and ultimately - us!) pays for retvrn to the real world we all inhabit. That's the deal with reality, why so persistent: it's something we all share by default, the state of minimal energy we inhabit, if we put zero effort towards altering and keeping up an illusion.
6:01 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925232677218615579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"just" doing helluva work there, 😂cant help but notice; "yah midude it just magic"
5:50 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"just" doing helluva work there, 😂cant help but notice; "yah midude it just magic"
5:50 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925230102528561317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - there is that danger. As there is the danger to over-complicating too. Hence the political process is the best way forward, the best tool we have. That kind of meta-, "think how to think" is not conductive to anything much tbh. Only value I see is to to inform me that there is not a general principle, that will meta- tell me, give me the secret, the magic sauce, of "how to think", so I'm right and make a good decision every time.
For in my mind, you say, P(doom|AI)=0.8. Fine.
But I say P(doom|not-AI)=1.
Say we go back in time, we are at the time of the Egypt pharaohs, what's that, 3K BCE? They say, we need to stop all this new tech development stuff, b/c P(doom|Tech)=0.8. So this is your world. Now fast forward 2K years of the same, it's year 2025 now. We using oxen to move anything physical, that's latest-greatest tech.
We know the heath death of Earth, when the Sun consumes, is almost certain say 99.999% by year X. In which world, are we closer to avoiding that doom? In your world, where we still use oxen and there are say 8M people on Earth? Or in our current world, where we use big trucks, aircraft and cargo ships to move stuff around and there is 8B of us?
5:40 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - there is that danger. As there is the danger to over-complicating too. Hence the political process is the best way forward, the best tool we have. That kind of meta-, "think how to think" is not conductive to anything much tbh. Only value I see is to to inform me that there is not a general principle, that will meta- tell me, give me the secret, the magic sauce, of "how to think", so I'm right and make a good decision every time.
For in my mind, you say, P(doom|AI)=0.8. Fine.
But I say P(doom|not-AI)=1.
Say we go back in time, we are at the time of the Egypt pharaohs, what's that, 3K BCE? They say, we need to stop all this new tech development stuff, b/c P(doom|Tech)=0.8. So this is your world. Now fast forward 2K years of the same, it's year 2025 now. We using oxen to move anything physical, that's latest-greatest tech.
We know the heath death of Earth, when the Sun consumes, is almost certain say 99.999% by year X. In which world, are we closer to avoiding that doom? In your world, where we still use oxen and there are say 8M people on Earth? Or in our current world, where we use big trucks, aircraft and cargo ships to move stuff around and there is 8B of us?
5:40 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925220934325006479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken."
The claims made are standard politics, "making decisions under great uncertainty", and ought to be treated as such. Cloak off the scientism these claims cover themselves with, pulling a fast one on us, trying to persuade us "it's science."
5:03 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken."
The claims made are standard politics, "making decisions under great uncertainty", and ought to be treated as such. Cloak off the scientism these claims cover themselves with, pulling a fast one on us, trying to persuade us "it's science."
5:03 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925187380937453774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have the opposite problem. I am giving them everything, I want to give them everything, and they are free to serve me whatever they think it's best for them (and me; but in the final instance ultimately them). They seemingly refuse to take my offering onboard, and despite my best effort, have failed to offer me anything I value. I don't recall spending any money ever on something they put in front of me.
2:50 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have the opposite problem. I am giving them everything, I want to give them everything, and they are free to serve me whatever they think it's best for them (and me; but in the final instance ultimately them). They seemingly refuse to take my offering onboard, and despite my best effort, have failed to offer me anything I value. I don't recall spending any money ever on something they put in front of me.
2:50 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925157720258138312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's reminiscent of the 90s and latter, but this is even faster, crazier, stuff I didn't dream of possible in my lifetime 3 years ago are now products to buy for $20.
I lived (in the periphery not US) through the home computers that became the first PC revolution in IT. (1st computer C-64, 64K RAM; but only 38K usable in basic) And then the 2nd revolution that was the Internet and connecting every human alive on earth in a single entity 24/7 for ~$0. (1st modem 2400bps; no MNP5 correction out of price range that)
12:52 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's reminiscent of the 90s and latter, but this is even faster, crazier, stuff I didn't dream of possible in my lifetime 3 years ago are now products to buy for $20.
I lived (in the periphery not US) through the home computers that became the first PC revolution in IT. (1st computer C-64, 64K RAM; but only 38K usable in basic) And then the 2nd revolution that was the Internet and connecting every human alive on earth in a single entity 24/7 for ~$0. (1st modem 2400bps; no MNP5 correction out of price range that)
12:52 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925157720258138312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's reminiscent of the 90s and latter, but this is even faster, crazier, stuff I didn't dream of possible in my lifetime 3 years ago are now products to buy for $20.
I lived (in the periphery not US) through the home computers that became the first PC revolution in IT. (1st computer C-64, 64K RAM; but only 38K usable in basic) And then the 2nd revolution that was the Internet and connecting every human alive on earth in a single entity 24/7 for ~$0. (1st modem 2400bps; no MNP5 correction out of price range that)
12:52 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's reminiscent of the 90s and latter, but this is even faster, crazier, stuff I didn't dream of possible in my lifetime 3 years ago are now products to buy for $20.
I lived (in the periphery not US) through the home computers that became the first PC revolution in IT. (1st computer C-64, 64K RAM; but only 38K usable in basic) And then the 2nd revolution that was the Internet and connecting every human alive on earth in a single entity 24/7 for ~$0. (1st modem 2400bps; no MNP5 correction out of price range that)
12:52 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925154677336715349
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - I remember to quietly mutter under my breadth a "tiny prayer of thankyous" every time I come back to my Xfce desktop, after a brief detour into modern Windows sloppage when my kids call me to help them with anything on their PC. They are on their ways out of that festival of stupidity that is modern Windows - only one still held hostage remaining... Never gets old - in the end taste is all there is at base level
jobs-microsoft-have-no-taste.mp4
12:40 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - I remember to quietly mutter under my breadth a "tiny prayer of thankyous" every time I come back to my Xfce desktop, after a brief detour into modern Windows sloppage when my kids call me to help them with anything on their PC. They are on their ways out of that festival of stupidity that is modern Windows - only one still held hostage remaining... Never gets old - in the end taste is all there is at base level
jobs-microsoft-have-no-taste.mp4
12:40 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925148973901193665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why oh why must scientists debase science with this unscientific scientism of "so-and-so will **never** **EVER** happen"... 😨
My LeDude, have you considered that "never" is a very very high bar, a veery long time horizon indeed... In fact - a time horizon on which **everything** does happen?? (in the end!) 😱 So the whole assertion collapses under its own logic, for it contradicts itself. 🤦♂️ Ordinarily, with absurdities like this, one exasperatedly pleads "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken." But how is it possible for LC to not see these basement level basics himself?? 😳
Why debase oneself - and the image we have of science, for science is the very reason you are in receipt of our attention - this way 😭
12:17 PM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why oh why must scientists debase science with this unscientific scientism of "so-and-so will **never** **EVER** happen"... 😨
My LeDude, have you considered that "never" is a very very high bar, a veery long time horizon indeed... In fact - a time horizon on which **everything** does happen?? (in the end!) 😱 So the whole assertion collapses under its own logic, for it contradicts itself. 🤦♂️ Ordinarily, with absurdities like this, one exasperatedly pleads "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken." But how is it possible for LC to not see these basement level basics himself?? 😳
Why debase oneself - and the image we have of science, for science is the very reason you are in receipt of our attention - this way 😭
12:17 PM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1925143663908159692
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👍 Excellent contribution.
Assigning blame: sounds like a big FAIL of the ruling elites. And the root cause diagnosed being - lacking in patriotism. Not unheard of in Europe. Elite 8%-9% that self-hates, hates the plebs the 80%-90% unwashed masses too. Hate hate hate - it creates nothing, is a destroyer of what exists already.
Turns out - the correct answer was LOVE, the opposite of hate, love is what anyone needs. 😊 Now this is the 3rd time this week where I see non-silly persons come to identical conclusion, while starting in not-identical parts of the landscape when deliberating and reflecting.
11:56 AM · May 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👍 Excellent contribution.
Assigning blame: sounds like a big FAIL of the ruling elites. And the root cause diagnosed being - lacking in patriotism. Not unheard of in Europe. Elite 8%-9% that self-hates, hates the plebs the 80%-90% unwashed masses too. Hate hate hate - it creates nothing, is a destroyer of what exists already.
Turns out - the correct answer was LOVE, the opposite of hate, love is what anyone needs. 😊 Now this is the 3rd time this week where I see non-silly persons come to identical conclusion, while starting in not-identical parts of the landscape when deliberating and reflecting.
11:56 AM · May 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924906928402030944
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) R&D is expensive. We have every reason to think that competition, further speedups etc will do the job in lowering $$$/performance. Plus there are now free alternatives that run local - even 6 months ago that looked an impossible dream!
8:15 PM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) R&D is expensive. We have every reason to think that competition, further speedups etc will do the job in lowering $$$/performance. Plus there are now free alternatives that run local - even 6 months ago that looked an impossible dream!
8:15 PM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924903181651263680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Solve coordination, then solve everything else." ;-)
Coordination = cooperation + competition.
8:00 PM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Solve coordination, then solve everything else." ;-)
Coordination = cooperation + competition.
8:00 PM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924801128991957223
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I'm not surprised, once people have the choice.
Life before kids - almost like extended boyhood, young, carefree, free time, only have to think of myself.
Life after kids - there's someone I love as much as I love myself possibly more, they get my time I got little left, life is harder, have to provide for 4 not only 1, it's tiring, and as is said "before people have kids they have different fears; after kids, all parents have one fear, and it is the same." 😨
At the same time all that being said - wish I had more kids and earlier in life. It's easier if you are a young(er) parent.
I've got kids, my sister doesn't. I'm in a position to compare and contrast.
1:15 PM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I'm not surprised, once people have the choice.
Life before kids - almost like extended boyhood, young, carefree, free time, only have to think of myself.
Life after kids - there's someone I love as much as I love myself possibly more, they get my time I got little left, life is harder, have to provide for 4 not only 1, it's tiring, and as is said "before people have kids they have different fears; after kids, all parents have one fear, and it is the same." 😨
At the same time all that being said - wish I had more kids and earlier in life. It's easier if you are a young(er) parent.
I've got kids, my sister doesn't. I'm in a position to compare and contrast.
1:15 PM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924795821431652511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he use pen, paper, computer, Internet, phone, car, bus, drank water too maybe? Ban those too? Enough of this stupidity please.
12:54 PM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he use pen, paper, computer, Internet, phone, car, bus, drank water too maybe? Ban those too? Enough of this stupidity please.
12:54 PM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924776080281362929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a religious death cult at this point. They may yet be dangerous, if from words move onto deeds.
For true believers there is zero reasons to stop at any point. If "100% certainty that AI ends humanity," (in the definite future, e.g. "by 2125") then no price to pay is too small. Need to "delete" 4B of us humans alive now, Thanos-style, to save the other 4B, is that acceptable? Yes. Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2? Yes to all—all that is acceptable follows from this kind of "thinking".
The lunatic actually mentions "few hundred thousand to a million as a warning shot" towards the end. 😱 This is Stalin-levels insanity. If "few 100Ks" doesn't do it, then probably "...few Ms, then few 10Ms??" He maybe too shy to mention ratcheting up to warn us to take this seriously. (his reasoning will lead him there though.) A descent into "destroy all humans in order to save humanity" madness.
Did someone mention "sth special in the Californian water supply for both good and ill"? 😂 Can't not notice, for it's darkly amusing, if "rationalist" community tries to destroy us in a fit of (ir)rational (not)thinking. They themselves being "blindly rational", pursuing a "real life insane objective utility", turning themselves into fearsome Paperclips, then executing their "Agent Paperclip Fear" for real! 😨
11:35 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a religious death cult at this point. They may yet be dangerous, if from words move onto deeds.
For true believers there is zero reasons to stop at any point. If "100% certainty that AI ends humanity," (in the definite future, e.g. "by 2125") then no price to pay is too small. Need to "delete" 4B of us humans alive now, Thanos-style, to save the other 4B, is that acceptable? Yes. Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2? Yes to all—all that is acceptable follows from this kind of "thinking".
The lunatic actually mentions "few hundred thousand to a million as a warning shot" towards the end. 😱 This is Stalin-levels insanity. If "few 100Ks" doesn't do it, then probably "...few Ms, then few 10Ms??" He maybe too shy to mention ratcheting up to warn us to take this seriously. (his reasoning will lead him there though.) A descent into "destroy all humans in order to save humanity" madness.
Did someone mention "sth special in the Californian water supply for both good and ill"? 😂 Can't not notice, for it's darkly amusing, if "rationalist" community tries to destroy us in a fit of (ir)rational (not)thinking. They themselves being "blindly rational", pursuing a "real life insane objective utility", turning themselves into fearsome Paperclips, then executing their "Agent Paperclip Fear" for real! 😨
11:35 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924745085524062563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zasto taka mislis? Kolkava brojka ocekuvas za normalna, a kolkava bi bila mala brojka za tebe?
Vo UK sega go prasuvam gpt, mi zakazuva 410K dijagnosticirani za 1 god. (na 66 milioni ziteli)
Pa sporedbeno - MK rata e 0.28%, a UK rata e 0.61%!
Ova e kako sto bi ocekuval: deka vo MK, so polos zdravstven sistem od UK, premalku se dijagnosticira. Deka ne se otkriva navreme. Podobro porano da se otkriva, otkolku podocna.
9:32 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zasto taka mislis? Kolkava brojka ocekuvas za normalna, a kolkava bi bila mala brojka za tebe?
Vo UK sega go prasuvam gpt, mi zakazuva 410K dijagnosticirani za 1 god. (na 66 milioni ziteli)
Pa sporedbeno - MK rata e 0.28%, a UK rata e 0.61%!
Ova e kako sto bi ocekuval: deka vo MK, so polos zdravstven sistem od UK, premalku se dijagnosticira. Deka ne se otkriva navreme. Podobro porano da se otkriva, otkolku podocna.
9:32 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924742001762668573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Yeah - those rat utopia experiments are scary, ngl. Hope we people do better than the rats. 😨
9:20 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Yeah - those rat utopia experiments are scary, ngl. Hope we people do better than the rats. 😨
9:20 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924741437914026403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you follow the final total impact on the biosphere, is there some such tracker? I know that CO2 and temperature are tracked, and they track well with the forecasts. (last time I checked, it looked realised ~ forecast beta was about 0.5) What interests me is the impact of that on the biosphere.
IK any forecasting there is hard, so only interested in the realised past records. For average temperature we got abt 1 degree in 80 yrs, so 1.2 degree/century. Is the state of the world in 2025 that much worse than in 1925? Atm I only know of https://ourworldindata.org to host easy and convenient data sets/aggregates related to the biospheres. Accessible to a civilian hobbyist not professionally invested in that.
I understand we are on 2 degrees per century. For us in the UK, this is e.g. the difference between Manchester UK and Milan Italy avg yearly temp right now. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025, I doubt many Mancunians will be complaining. Yeah I get it that in some places, some big cities in India and Middle East, where the max (not avg) temp edges above the habitable range (50C?)—people there may have to adapt more or even move location.
9:18 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you follow the final total impact on the biosphere, is there some such tracker? I know that CO2 and temperature are tracked, and they track well with the forecasts. (last time I checked, it looked realised ~ forecast beta was about 0.5) What interests me is the impact of that on the biosphere.
IK any forecasting there is hard, so only interested in the realised past records. For average temperature we got abt 1 degree in 80 yrs, so 1.2 degree/century. Is the state of the world in 2025 that much worse than in 1925? Atm I only know of https://ourworldindata.org to host easy and convenient data sets/aggregates related to the biospheres. Accessible to a civilian hobbyist not professionally invested in that.
I understand we are on 2 degrees per century. For us in the UK, this is e.g. the difference between Manchester UK and Milan Italy avg yearly temp right now. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025, I doubt many Mancunians will be complaining. Yeah I get it that in some places, some big cities in India and Middle East, where the max (not avg) temp edges above the habitable range (50C?)—people there may have to adapt more or even move location.
9:18 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924736553009521018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Going back into the EU this is not though. Looks more like amending existing cooperation treaties negotiated by Frost/BoJo. Expect re-adjustments abt every 10 years, and not only in one direction, to be the norm rather than the exception. I'm personally repulsed by the EU anti-science, anti-technology doomer ideologies. (c.f. - nuclear, GMO, Internet, now AI)
On the other hand—less trade frictions less costs better, **legal** agreed circulation of people better, bigger market to recoup business fixed costs better and so on. This round will be mostly nothing-burger for UK I presume. UK lawmakers have plenty of low hanging fruit at home too: changing planning to build-build-build, fix make sane the moronic online laws (cookies, hate speech) etc.
8:58 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Going back into the EU this is not though. Looks more like amending existing cooperation treaties negotiated by Frost/BoJo. Expect re-adjustments abt every 10 years, and not only in one direction, to be the norm rather than the exception. I'm personally repulsed by the EU anti-science, anti-technology doomer ideologies. (c.f. - nuclear, GMO, Internet, now AI)
On the other hand—less trade frictions less costs better, **legal** agreed circulation of people better, bigger market to recoup business fixed costs better and so on. This round will be mostly nothing-burger for UK I presume. UK lawmakers have plenty of low hanging fruit at home too: changing planning to build-build-build, fix make sane the moronic online laws (cookies, hate speech) etc.
8:58 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924730436653109384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, true that too. Although I think with humans it's possible it will change again even if I don't know how. :-)
The current baby bust, cames after a prior baby boom. The boom happened b/c 5-6 kids was the norm, then half of those died, and only 2-3 lived to have kids of their own. Then for a generation-two, these 2-3 that would have died, didn't die, while 5-6 were still born. This for me happened to the generation of my parents. They were all 5-6 siblings that all lived into adulthood. (and now old age; their country underwent industrial revolution post 1945; amenities of civilisation like clean water, sanitation, enough food, doctors etc were introduced) Amazingly, none of my parents generation had 5-6 kids of their own! They immediately dropped to 2-3! (e.g. myself + a sibling for me) The entire generation, without any input from anyone, on their own, did that.
I find that astonishing. And this happened all around the world, at different times, but obv post 1800-s. (Industrial revolution, Industrial age)
8:34 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, true that too. Although I think with humans it's possible it will change again even if I don't know how. :-)
The current baby bust, cames after a prior baby boom. The boom happened b/c 5-6 kids was the norm, then half of those died, and only 2-3 lived to have kids of their own. Then for a generation-two, these 2-3 that would have died, didn't die, while 5-6 were still born. This for me happened to the generation of my parents. They were all 5-6 siblings that all lived into adulthood. (and now old age; their country underwent industrial revolution post 1945; amenities of civilisation like clean water, sanitation, enough food, doctors etc were introduced) Amazingly, none of my parents generation had 5-6 kids of their own! They immediately dropped to 2-3! (e.g. myself + a sibling for me) The entire generation, without any input from anyone, on their own, did that.
I find that astonishing. And this happened all around the world, at different times, but obv post 1800-s. (Industrial revolution, Industrial age)
8:34 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924703969034514861
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The lunatic actually mentions "few hundred thousand to a million as a warning shot" towards the end. 😱 (only watched now to the end)
Yep - this is Stalin-levels of insanity. If "few 100Ks" doesn't do it, then probably presumably "...few Ms, then few 10Ms, few 100Ms..." is a ratcheting up process in order to warn us to take it seriously. This is the descent into "destroy all humans in order to save humanity". What a total Paper Clip this dude makes for? 😆 Have heard people mention "something in the water in California for good and bad", and I think they maybe onto something. 😂
The error in his thinking is "100% certainty that AI ends humanity." (in the definite future, e.g. "by 2125".) Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying. (to us, and maybe to themselves too.) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future can be "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.") Neither him, nor their high priest Yud, can now the future with 100% certainty.
6:49 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The lunatic actually mentions "few hundred thousand to a million as a warning shot" towards the end. 😱 (only watched now to the end)
Yep - this is Stalin-levels of insanity. If "few 100Ks" doesn't do it, then probably presumably "...few Ms, then few 10Ms, few 100Ms..." is a ratcheting up process in order to warn us to take it seriously. This is the descent into "destroy all humans in order to save humanity". What a total Paper Clip this dude makes for? 😆 Have heard people mention "something in the water in California for good and bad", and I think they maybe onto something. 😂
The error in his thinking is "100% certainty that AI ends humanity." (in the definite future, e.g. "by 2125".) Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying. (to us, and maybe to themselves too.) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future can be "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.") Neither him, nor their high priest Yud, can now the future with 100% certainty.
6:49 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924660788729356731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The collapse of the future uncertainty function into a Dirac Delta impulse. 😵 Uncertainty ends, the Past finally catches up with the Future, erasing the Now time boundary in the process. 😳 For self anyways. I detach from not-I completely irreversibly, the final separation.
3:57 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The collapse of the future uncertainty function into a Dirac Delta impulse. 😵 Uncertainty ends, the Past finally catches up with the Future, erasing the Now time boundary in the process. 😳 For self anyways. I detach from not-I completely irreversibly, the final separation.
3:57 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924658748230140165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where/Does this stop? Is there a limit to the price worth paying? If one needs to "delete" 4B of us humans alive now, Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—is that acceptable? How many is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
You may think he is too bold. I suspect he may think he is holding plenty back. For I suspect his reasoning similar to above leads him to a "price worth paying" that is very high indeed.
It would be darkly amusing, if "rationalist" community actually does destroy humanity "in order to save humanity", in a fit of irrational thinking. They themselves being "blindly rational", pursuing a "real life insane objective function", turning themselves into agent of, and then executing their "Agent Paperclip Fear" for real!
I guess exaltations if the type "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" will not achieve anything with autist-light types that seem to be populating the doomer cult? For this is how every death cult ever in history works. No one starts with: "I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey." No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
3:49 AM · May 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where/Does this stop? Is there a limit to the price worth paying? If one needs to "delete" 4B of us humans alive now, Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—is that acceptable? How many is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
You may think he is too bold. I suspect he may think he is holding plenty back. For I suspect his reasoning similar to above leads him to a "price worth paying" that is very high indeed.
It would be darkly amusing, if "rationalist" community actually does destroy humanity "in order to save humanity", in a fit of irrational thinking. They themselves being "blindly rational", pursuing a "real life insane objective function", turning themselves into agent of, and then executing their "Agent Paperclip Fear" for real!
I guess exaltations if the type "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" will not achieve anything with autist-light types that seem to be populating the doomer cult? For this is how every death cult ever in history works. No one starts with: "I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey." No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
3:49 AM · May 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924568603849875843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not mmt, but this on YT by @Suitpossum on how the current system works - mechanically, literally, without flowery language I've found helpful.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=DK1DZlWaiLY
One abstraction/variant I've come to use is one to replace the tokens rings in the pics, with a spreadsheet. Works as well. (e.g. for the BoE ring at the top, one can equivalently say is "BoE owned and edited spreadsheet, only BoE alters the cells numbers up/down, no one else")
Plus as a bonus the cryptos and the Paypalls are connected in the schematics of system. One can see what works how and why, and what can't work. Afaik nothing here contradicts anything @wbmosler has written or said about the mechanics of the system.
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money: Visualizing Crypto Invasions, Stablecoins &...
In this video I recap the three layers of the fiat money system, and how the cryptocurrency movement (beginning with Bitcoin) attempted to launch an invasion...
9:51 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not mmt, but this on YT by @Suitpossum on how the current system works - mechanically, literally, without flowery language I've found helpful.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=DK1DZlWaiLY
One abstraction/variant I've come to use is one to replace the tokens rings in the pics, with a spreadsheet. Works as well. (e.g. for the BoE ring at the top, one can equivalently say is "BoE owned and edited spreadsheet, only BoE alters the cells numbers up/down, no one else")
Plus as a bonus the cryptos and the Paypalls are connected in the schematics of system. One can see what works how and why, and what can't work. Afaik nothing here contradicts anything @wbmosler has written or said about the mechanics of the system.
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money: Visualizing Crypto Invasions, Stablecoins &...
In this video I recap the three layers of the fiat money system, and how the cryptocurrency movement (beginning with Bitcoin) attempted to launch an invasion...
9:51 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924564050681192494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
It's the first file I open. :-) Further, $ vi README, then CTRL-Z, and then I may do other stuff, but can always see latter $ jobs reminds me where I left, and what should I return to and the directory to return to too, haha ;-)
9:33 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
It's the first file I open. :-) Further, $ vi README, then CTRL-Z, and then I may do other stuff, but can always see latter $ jobs reminds me where I left, and what should I return to and the directory to return to too, haha ;-)
9:33 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924560536512946609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, one of my all time faves too.
This one shorter is a like am Appendix - discusses the role the choice of utility function has on our interpretation of the results. (even if the title is maybe too bombastic)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
youtube.com
Game Theory is Broken
Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c...
9:19 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, one of my all time faves too.
This one shorter is a like am Appendix - discusses the role the choice of utility function has on our interpretation of the results. (even if the title is maybe too bombastic)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
youtube.com
Game Theory is Broken
Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c...
9:19 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924501028864438754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1+2: no one knows shit
5:22 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1+2: no one knows shit
5:22 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924500314775752883
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Honestly - if I was made a-Stalin-for-a-day, I'd be tempted to cross to the dark side gift my soul to the devil, and personally shoot the 100 people that forever make decision that err on the side of "NO!" to everything (IT, Tech, data, AI) in medicine. And probably sentence ~10K people yearly to early unnecessary death, people that maybe would otherwise not die be saved.
It's getting intolerable now. In NHS England, my GP **does not** have an email address accessible for myself to email him/her lab works and scans, that I have got on my PC! It's good I have not got any accutte condition - for I'd be tempted to be radicalised. The lack of compassion verging on Eichmann-evil bureaucracy inflicting wanton suffering via stupidity is breath taking.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924049307855896610
5:20 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Honestly - if I was made a-Stalin-for-a-day, I'd be tempted to cross to the dark side gift my soul to the devil, and personally shoot the 100 people that forever make decision that err on the side of "NO!" to everything (IT, Tech, data, AI) in medicine. And probably sentence ~10K people yearly to early unnecessary death, people that maybe would otherwise not die be saved.
It's getting intolerable now. In NHS England, my GP **does not** have an email address accessible for myself to email him/her lab works and scans, that I have got on my PC! It's good I have not got any accutte condition - for I'd be tempted to be radicalised. The lack of compassion verging on Eichmann-evil bureaucracy inflicting wanton suffering via stupidity is breath taking.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924049307855896610
5:20 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924496661654437951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What now - being born in that part of the world imbues the lucky winners with "can build nuclear at sane prices"? Enough with this stupidity already pls.
Alternative explanation: once anyone (West, East, North or South) removes insane innumerate crazies from positions of power and decision making, prices come down to earth, reflecting reality.
Non-ideological realistic cost: South Korea bid for the first Poland Nuclear Plant in Oct-2022 came at $2.64M/MW.
Not super difficult, once lunatics that deliberately increase the cost of the plants with the **explicit aim to make them uneconomical so they are never built** are out of the way.
5:05 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What now - being born in that part of the world imbues the lucky winners with "can build nuclear at sane prices"? Enough with this stupidity already pls.
Alternative explanation: once anyone (West, East, North or South) removes insane innumerate crazies from positions of power and decision making, prices come down to earth, reflecting reality.
Non-ideological realistic cost: South Korea bid for the first Poland Nuclear Plant in Oct-2022 came at $2.64M/MW.
Not super difficult, once lunatics that deliberately increase the cost of the plants with the **explicit aim to make them uneconomical so they are never built** are out of the way.
5:05 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924483593918706008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A suspicious mind races to the possibility that the corrupt traitor Schroeder and Ossi bovine mid-wit Merkel might have been helped by an "invisible hand"... Paranoid for sure - but Intel is on the ropes after disregarding that bit of one András István Gróf for too long.
4:13 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A suspicious mind races to the possibility that the corrupt traitor Schroeder and Ossi bovine mid-wit Merkel might have been helped by an "invisible hand"... Paranoid for sure - but Intel is on the ropes after disregarding that bit of one András István Gróf for too long.
4:13 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924478775728738522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - negative knowledge, very good. 👍
Out-garymarcus-ing the OG!! 😂 Can't fake crazy, so better don't, for you'll be found out. A crazy can always out-crazy the non-crazy pretender! (c.f. DJT)
Before X showcasing me Lee, I only had one example. Goes like - before I take a cancer test, my odds of having it are e.g. 5:95. I'm fairly certain I don't have it, my uncertainty is low. Then I take the test, it comes back positive. For the people that test positive, the odds of having cancer are 50:50. So the additional information, took me from very certain, (that I don't have it,) to a state of perfect ignorance! (50:50 chance now)
Think OP maybe unrepresentative. My son is into chemistry. People seem to be trying anything and everything there, all manner of ML-related stuff is considered, tried, tested. (it usually fails to improve on SoTA)
3:54 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - negative knowledge, very good. 👍
Out-garymarcus-ing the OG!! 😂 Can't fake crazy, so better don't, for you'll be found out. A crazy can always out-crazy the non-crazy pretender! (c.f. DJT)
Before X showcasing me Lee, I only had one example. Goes like - before I take a cancer test, my odds of having it are e.g. 5:95. I'm fairly certain I don't have it, my uncertainty is low. Then I take the test, it comes back positive. For the people that test positive, the odds of having cancer are 50:50. So the additional information, took me from very certain, (that I don't have it,) to a state of perfect ignorance! (50:50 chance now)
Think OP maybe unrepresentative. My son is into chemistry. People seem to be trying anything and everything there, all manner of ML-related stuff is considered, tried, tested. (it usually fails to improve on SoTA)
3:54 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924468857265131844
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbh it doesn't haven't to be perfect - just no worse than the alternatives
3:15 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbh it doesn't haven't to be perfect - just no worse than the alternatives
3:15 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924465304450535717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh nice - thanks, yes exactly that!! much better explained and articulated than I ever could myself
3:00 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh nice - thanks, yes exactly that!! much better explained and articulated than I ever could myself
3:00 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924464567574270411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh - nice! Didn't know that! Even if I got 3 (!!) diasporan Greek citizens in the family!? Didn't know what to think what to expect tbh. I guess it's generational, circumstantial, also education plays a part etc etc. Didn't think my immediate family experience generalises to anything much.
2:58 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh - nice! Didn't know that! Even if I got 3 (!!) diasporan Greek citizens in the family!? Didn't know what to think what to expect tbh. I guess it's generational, circumstantial, also education plays a part etc etc. Didn't think my immediate family experience generalises to anything much.
2:58 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924462702241382740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yes - true! Nice! So this is +2 now, 😆 Americans and Moldovans seem to be +2 in my book. (with -4 I got on the opposing side of the ledger.)
Although - even if I've not travelled in the US much, (Denver Colorado, New York, Florida only,) and spent probably less than 10 weeks total in the country, I've found the US-ians to be nothing but friendly, curious, approachable and interested about the foreigner, over and above what wd be reasonable to hope for. 😇 No complaints there with the natives at all - loved them for that. 😅
2:50 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yes - true! Nice! So this is +2 now, 😆 Americans and Moldovans seem to be +2 in my book. (with -4 I got on the opposing side of the ledger.)
Although - even if I've not travelled in the US much, (Denver Colorado, New York, Florida only,) and spent probably less than 10 weeks total in the country, I've found the US-ians to be nothing but friendly, curious, approachable and interested about the foreigner, over and above what wd be reasonable to hope for. 😇 No complaints there with the natives at all - loved them for that. 😅
2:50 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924459699241443407
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ohhh - thanks for the references, Grok is explaining them to me as I'm typing this... 😇
2:38 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ohhh - thanks for the references, Grok is explaining them to me as I'm typing this... 😇
2:38 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924459306763604040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Interesting. This data, natural experiments like it, should be a goldmine for sociologists (guess that's the term?) and everyone interested on how groups of people (not individuals) work? Admit I've got a passing amateur-hobbyist interest in it, even if I know little.
2:37 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Interesting. This data, natural experiments like it, should be a goldmine for sociologists (guess that's the term?) and everyone interested on how groups of people (not individuals) work? Admit I've got a passing amateur-hobbyist interest in it, even if I know little.
2:37 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924457602173292865
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! 👍 Good to see—a natural experiment!! Looking forward to this. 😀 To see what happens what transpires, how does Dan do as a president! He seems to be the closest human HI we got, that should come close to AI-s, in quality, and with improved AI-s in quantity too.
For my pet hypothesis is that we maybe better off to replace the decision making, the executive function, politicians have, with GPT-type AI-s. My reasoning is: do we, should we, trust more Trump + Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
2:30 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! 👍 Good to see—a natural experiment!! Looking forward to this. 😀 To see what happens what transpires, how does Dan do as a president! He seems to be the closest human HI we got, that should come close to AI-s, in quality, and with improved AI-s in quantity too.
For my pet hypothesis is that we maybe better off to replace the decision making, the executive function, politicians have, with GPT-type AI-s. My reasoning is: do we, should we, trust more Trump + Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will GPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
2:30 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924453893271863697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yes - nice one! Yeah - they were most impacted yet disallowed a vote. I think allowing non-resident citizens a vote, provided they make the effort to come back to the country, is a good compromise. But then - what will the come to? There are not resident, can't go to a local vote booth. And if "non-residents" booth is opened in London, then - could as well one open one in Marbella, and not torture people to come back for the vote. Hmm.
Ok, needs more consideration this. I wonder once electronic voting becomes the norm, then what happens, and what should happen. We'd need electronic ID of some sort for that. Looks to me Baltics like E-stonia that got that going, are the exception not the norm. UK politicians seem braindead in electronic-anything. When given the opportunity (like with the Online Harms Bill), they never miss an opportunity to go for the most idiotic option, shooting themselves and ourselves in the feet.
2:15 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yes - nice one! Yeah - they were most impacted yet disallowed a vote. I think allowing non-resident citizens a vote, provided they make the effort to come back to the country, is a good compromise. But then - what will the come to? There are not resident, can't go to a local vote booth. And if "non-residents" booth is opened in London, then - could as well one open one in Marbella, and not torture people to come back for the vote. Hmm.
Ok, needs more consideration this. I wonder once electronic voting becomes the norm, then what happens, and what should happen. We'd need electronic ID of some sort for that. Looks to me Baltics like E-stonia that got that going, are the exception not the norm. UK politicians seem braindead in electronic-anything. When given the opportunity (like with the Online Harms Bill), they never miss an opportunity to go for the most idiotic option, shooting themselves and ourselves in the feet.
2:15 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924449758984200410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too. 😀 I'm a disaspora(n) too, yeah I see it 1st hand, how the incentives are a bit skewed. Skewed as I can "dial the 'partriotism' to 11" for emotional feel good. But then I don't suffer any ill consequences if that turns out for the worse, as I don't live in the country really.
('patriotism' in maybe quotes, b/c given I'm non-resident, my dual loyalties are more divided, than the single loyalty of a resident; but this is an emotional and touchy subject, so will not go there further)
1:59 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too. 😀 I'm a disaspora(n) too, yeah I see it 1st hand, how the incentives are a bit skewed. Skewed as I can "dial the 'partriotism' to 11" for emotional feel good. But then I don't suffer any ill consequences if that turns out for the worse, as I don't live in the country really.
('patriotism' in maybe quotes, b/c given I'm non-resident, my dual loyalties are more divided, than the single loyalty of a resident; but this is an emotional and touchy subject, so will not go there further)
1:59 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924430959664848955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah, nice one, thanks - +1 Moldova! Good on them! :-)
TBH, saying "it' not a democracy if we don't organise Romanian voting booths in the consulate in New York" etc maybe tad too strong for me. Diasporans can still fly back and vote if they are so inclined, are not prevented to. Yeah admittedly not many will do, due to high cost. (in time and $$$)
12:44 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah, nice one, thanks - +1 Moldova! Good on them! :-)
TBH, saying "it' not a democracy if we don't organise Romanian voting booths in the consulate in New York" etc maybe tad too strong for me. Diasporans can still fly back and vote if they are so inclined, are not prevented to. Yeah admittedly not many will do, due to high cost. (in time and $$$)
12:44 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924427971709878768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the norm not the exception. Diasporas are often more more extreme than the people in the countries. I can think of 3 - so this is now 4th - examples of that. Can't think of a single one in the opposite direction. (where diasporas try to build bridges.)
I lean ever more towards disallowing votes for the citizens that are not resident in the country. Or at least, do not organise voting outside the country. If non-resident has a strong desire to vote - they can still travel back home and vote.
The elected government affects the residents of the country most. Diasporas being resident in other countries, not paying taxes to their home country, I think on balance it's more fair if they don't vote. If they really really want it - they can go back home for the vote. Seems a reasonable balance to me.
12:32 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the norm not the exception. Diasporas are often more more extreme than the people in the countries. I can think of 3 - so this is now 4th - examples of that. Can't think of a single one in the opposite direction. (where diasporas try to build bridges.)
I lean ever more towards disallowing votes for the citizens that are not resident in the country. Or at least, do not organise voting outside the country. If non-resident has a strong desire to vote - they can still travel back home and vote.
The elected government affects the residents of the country most. Diasporas being resident in other countries, not paying taxes to their home country, I think on balance it's more fair if they don't vote. If they really really want it - they can go back home for the vote. Seems a reasonable balance to me.
12:32 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924424971457102106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Beauty works, having a sense of style, good taste is a super power.
12:20 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Beauty works, having a sense of style, good taste is a super power.
12:20 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924424307007992074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - it's a handy way to model anything without much knowledge of the structure of the thing. Like a general recipe. If I know nothing about the process at hand, if I have not got any domain knowledge, this is what I fallback to. Counting co-occurences. 😨
Ofc, if I have domain knowledge, have figured sussed out some structure, then yeah, I can use that. That's more specialised. It's going to be better, smaller, more accurate, specialised for the problem at hand. Yeah - if that's available, more power to the user, use that. 😇
12:18 PM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - it's a handy way to model anything without much knowledge of the structure of the thing. Like a general recipe. If I know nothing about the process at hand, if I have not got any domain knowledge, this is what I fallback to. Counting co-occurences. 😨
Ofc, if I have domain knowledge, have figured sussed out some structure, then yeah, I can use that. That's more specialised. It's going to be better, smaller, more accurate, specialised for the problem at hand. Yeah - if that's available, more power to the user, use that. 😇
12:18 PM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924378554193617183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Deterministic is only one special case of "coin toss according to a deterministic distribution", where the distribution is a Dirac delta (impulse). So you can safely ignore "deterministic" most of the time. Usually only important when it comes to Time. (where time Now is special because all future distributions can be anything **but** Dirac delta, while all past distributions are **only** ever Dirac delta-s and nothing else.)
Yes, all knowledge is just a joint distribution. (or at least as per our latest theory of everything that is computation; is my understanding) A distribution = pdf density, or cdf cumulative - does not matter, can use whatever is more convenient for the contraption implementing it. All that is known about two qualities X and Y can be captured by their co-occurrences (x,y), co-counts making the joint distribution p=f_X_Y(x,y). In general (X,Y) is N-dimensional. (time is a special dimension where counting happens in the real world; relevant for our world, but irrelevant for the mechanics of the maths)
Then all computation is manipulating that joint distribution f_X_Y(x,y). Manipulating as in:
1) Deriving the marginal distribution f_X(x) and f_Y(y) by collapsing summing over the dimension(s) we don't care about. So if we care not about anything but X, that's it, f_X(x) is all our knowledge of X; or
2) If we do care about (X,Y), even if maybe only b/c we care about Y, but we only ever observe X (while not caring about it). Then once we observe X=a we run the computation derive the conditional p=f_Y|X(y|x=a) which works out as f_X,Y(x=a,y)/f_X(x=a). The denominator a scalar (coming from the marginal, from #1) to make the numerator "great again" sum to norm 1. (arbitrary)
Having knowledge of the distribution of Y (having observed X that x=a), we use it in some way then further.
Visually the simplest example I can think, is for X and Y to be 1-dim. A 3D shape that is then f_X,Y(x,y), where it is cut by a 2-dim plane x=a, the outline of that is curve f_X,Y(x=a,y). And differs from the marginal distribution p=f_Y|X(y|x=a) only by the scaler in the denominator coming from the marginal of X.
That's my super-simple view on things as of this morning anyways. :-)
9:16 AM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Deterministic is only one special case of "coin toss according to a deterministic distribution", where the distribution is a Dirac delta (impulse). So you can safely ignore "deterministic" most of the time. Usually only important when it comes to Time. (where time Now is special because all future distributions can be anything **but** Dirac delta, while all past distributions are **only** ever Dirac delta-s and nothing else.)
Yes, all knowledge is just a joint distribution. (or at least as per our latest theory of everything that is computation; is my understanding) A distribution = pdf density, or cdf cumulative - does not matter, can use whatever is more convenient for the contraption implementing it. All that is known about two qualities X and Y can be captured by their co-occurrences (x,y), co-counts making the joint distribution p=f_X_Y(x,y). In general (X,Y) is N-dimensional. (time is a special dimension where counting happens in the real world; relevant for our world, but irrelevant for the mechanics of the maths)
Then all computation is manipulating that joint distribution f_X_Y(x,y). Manipulating as in:
1) Deriving the marginal distribution f_X(x) and f_Y(y) by collapsing summing over the dimension(s) we don't care about. So if we care not about anything but X, that's it, f_X(x) is all our knowledge of X; or
2) If we do care about (X,Y), even if maybe only b/c we care about Y, but we only ever observe X (while not caring about it). Then once we observe X=a we run the computation derive the conditional p=f_Y|X(y|x=a) which works out as f_X,Y(x=a,y)/f_X(x=a). The denominator a scalar (coming from the marginal, from #1) to make the numerator "great again" sum to norm 1. (arbitrary)
Having knowledge of the distribution of Y (having observed X that x=a), we use it in some way then further.
Visually the simplest example I can think, is for X and Y to be 1-dim. A 3D shape that is then f_X,Y(x,y), where it is cut by a 2-dim plane x=a, the outline of that is curve f_X,Y(x=a,y). And differs from the marginal distribution p=f_Y|X(y|x=a) only by the scaler in the denominator coming from the marginal of X.
That's my super-simple view on things as of this morning anyways. :-)
9:16 AM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924359535080223049
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes that's perfectly fine. I created this post now. You are free to copy anything I write publicly. I write in public b/c I want it read. And you copying it helps that - as the more copies, the more it will be read. Makes sense to me, I think it's entirely fair.
Only don't claim it as your own. I don't think people copying Elton's songs, downloading etc, do so and then say "I wrote this song". That's different, to what 99.99% of people do. (just copy, without claiming authorship)
Stuff I don't want copied - I don't put it in public. I communicate it privately with the recipients, friends family etc. Or I keep it secret to myself, in my own notebook, picture book, files on the computer. Or middle ground - still want to have it heard or seen, but not by another human, these days there is also the option of sharing it with non-human AI too! Spoilt for choice there. 😆
Sir Elton is completely in his rights to create whatever he pleases. And to tell the world share it, or not tell the world and keep it private, his creations. I have no problem with that. I have a problem with being conscripted, against my will, in the process of beating over their heads, people that copy reproduce Elton's creations. If Elton objects to people doing that - he's free to go around, and beat people over their heads to dissuade people from doing so. But I don't want to help him, and I don't want to do that for him.
Yes, creators deserve to be compensated for their work. And they are compensated. But copyright laws shouldn’t extend to their grandchildren. We want to incentivise creation, not fund intra-generational wealth centuries after the fact.
8:00 AM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes that's perfectly fine. I created this post now. You are free to copy anything I write publicly. I write in public b/c I want it read. And you copying it helps that - as the more copies, the more it will be read. Makes sense to me, I think it's entirely fair.
Only don't claim it as your own. I don't think people copying Elton's songs, downloading etc, do so and then say "I wrote this song". That's different, to what 99.99% of people do. (just copy, without claiming authorship)
Stuff I don't want copied - I don't put it in public. I communicate it privately with the recipients, friends family etc. Or I keep it secret to myself, in my own notebook, picture book, files on the computer. Or middle ground - still want to have it heard or seen, but not by another human, these days there is also the option of sharing it with non-human AI too! Spoilt for choice there. 😆
Sir Elton is completely in his rights to create whatever he pleases. And to tell the world share it, or not tell the world and keep it private, his creations. I have no problem with that. I have a problem with being conscripted, against my will, in the process of beating over their heads, people that copy reproduce Elton's creations. If Elton objects to people doing that - he's free to go around, and beat people over their heads to dissuade people from doing so. But I don't want to help him, and I don't want to do that for him.
Yes, creators deserve to be compensated for their work. And they are compensated. But copyright laws shouldn’t extend to their grandchildren. We want to incentivise creation, not fund intra-generational wealth centuries after the fact.
8:00 AM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924352845039432123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's I think what's described Stage 3 Level Lucidity "view of the world/universe around" thinking, no? Where social bonding is primary. Establishing trust is correct I guess?
Just found about "Levels of Lucidity" yesterday so now I see it everywhere today. :-) Was level 3 = socialised thinking, unbothered by "is it true or false", it's ~80% of people, so we'd expect most people. My kids both drive me crazy and bore me to death with "but it's **how** you said it". (latest yesterday too so fresh in my mind. 😆 )
I get it matters, it's not unimportant, but it matters a bit—not a lot. Maybe 8%-9% in the entirety of the message. But the content, the semantics not the form, makes the bulk 80%-90% of my message to others in my mind. (the reminder to the total being "why said now and not some other time, why said this and not something else s/he would have liked to I have said; our of bazillion possible things that could have been said etc") So please please concentrate mostly on **what** I'm saying, not so much on **how** I'm saying.
Yeah I think obsession with form, with aesthetics is part of the group formation. Where group==trust, a group is a circle of trust where we let our guard down, as default. When young people typically form groups decide which ones to belong to, it means whom to trust to. Presume not much time nor information there to define distinguish one group from the other. So then "looks, form" - have to do, suffice for that.
7:34 AM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's I think what's described Stage 3 Level Lucidity "view of the world/universe around" thinking, no? Where social bonding is primary. Establishing trust is correct I guess?
Just found about "Levels of Lucidity" yesterday so now I see it everywhere today. :-) Was level 3 = socialised thinking, unbothered by "is it true or false", it's ~80% of people, so we'd expect most people. My kids both drive me crazy and bore me to death with "but it's **how** you said it". (latest yesterday too so fresh in my mind. 😆 )
I get it matters, it's not unimportant, but it matters a bit—not a lot. Maybe 8%-9% in the entirety of the message. But the content, the semantics not the form, makes the bulk 80%-90% of my message to others in my mind. (the reminder to the total being "why said now and not some other time, why said this and not something else s/he would have liked to I have said; our of bazillion possible things that could have been said etc") So please please concentrate mostly on **what** I'm saying, not so much on **how** I'm saying.
Yeah I think obsession with form, with aesthetics is part of the group formation. Where group==trust, a group is a circle of trust where we let our guard down, as default. When young people typically form groups decide which ones to belong to, it means whom to trust to. Presume not much time nor information there to define distinguish one group from the other. So then "looks, form" - have to do, suffice for that.
7:34 AM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924332112506712486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - ok yeah maybe, I wouldn't know, at this point it's just address book, list of names, pure social graph only. Address book for messenger only tbh, for messages and AV calls. Don't think many post nor read nor expect to see anything on FB.
Maybe like the local newspaper of old, if something big happens, flood or other disaster, and then people find out. But personal stuff - that seems does not happen anymore for that many there.
6:11 AM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - ok yeah maybe, I wouldn't know, at this point it's just address book, list of names, pure social graph only. Address book for messenger only tbh, for messages and AV calls. Don't think many post nor read nor expect to see anything on FB.
Maybe like the local newspaper of old, if something big happens, flood or other disaster, and then people find out. But personal stuff - that seems does not happen anymore for that many there.
6:11 AM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924317104024568196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that's stage level<=3 "views the universe" thinking, no? just found out "Levels of Lucidity" yesterday. socialised thinking, unbothered by "is it true or false". 80% of people, so you'd expect most people
5:12 AM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that's stage level<=3 "views the universe" thinking, no? just found out "Levels of Lucidity" yesterday. socialised thinking, unbothered by "is it true or false". 80% of people, so you'd expect most people
5:12 AM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924314365613813822
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
excellent 👍 😊 is it: on the right pic, something happened externally ("poop"!), and that created some internal state ("smiling-inside") and that had external form (his face on their right pic). on the left pic, he is being asked (the shout "smile!") to recreate that desired internal state ("smiling-inside") but he can't quite. the best he can do is some internal state, that externally gives out the right pic.
5:01 AM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
excellent 👍 😊 is it: on the right pic, something happened externally ("poop"!), and that created some internal state ("smiling-inside") and that had external form (his face on their right pic). on the left pic, he is being asked (the shout "smile!") to recreate that desired internal state ("smiling-inside") but he can't quite. the best he can do is some internal state, that externally gives out the right pic.
5:01 AM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924306127413473543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - I'm old, 😂 people my age and our parents (those still alive) - but their kids no, they don't even have FB accounts not even messanger ones
4:28 AM · May 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - I'm old, 😂 people my age and our parents (those still alive) - but their kids no, they don't even have FB accounts not even messanger ones
4:28 AM · May 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924218630234915122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
their ads slop is not a world away from my friends & family slop tbh
10:40 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
their ads slop is not a world away from my friends & family slop tbh
10:40 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924217948039688320
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe you will like the @veritasium episode on there game theory
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=mScpHTIi-kM
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
10:38 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe you will like the @veritasium episode on there game theory
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=mScpHTIi-kM
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
10:38 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924215145204756926
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
It's one of these commitments where everyone proclaims to be "committed to Xyz", only when one stops to think "what does it mean", "what's Xyz", the whole thing just melts disappears. Exactly - "alligned to what?" Humanity is is not a single thing.
Maybe the Universal Declaration of Human Rights is the closest to consensus humanity has? With the three Asimov robot laws thrown in maybe? Doesn't seem too hard to me. For sure AI-s already allign better than a median human imo. IDK what else is there. LLM-s already get that through the training data.
10:26 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
It's one of these commitments where everyone proclaims to be "committed to Xyz", only when one stops to think "what does it mean", "what's Xyz", the whole thing just melts disappears. Exactly - "alligned to what?" Humanity is is not a single thing.
Maybe the Universal Declaration of Human Rights is the closest to consensus humanity has? With the three Asimov robot laws thrown in maybe? Doesn't seem too hard to me. For sure AI-s already allign better than a median human imo. IDK what else is there. LLM-s already get that through the training data.
10:26 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924202027984245198
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - evergreen 😆
feelings-solutions-IMG_20241215_113111_357.jpg
9:34 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - evergreen 😆
feelings-solutions-IMG_20241215_113111_357.jpg
9:34 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924198057475760619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good. Too bad we can't delete all copyright law. Elton has been amply compensated for his talents and the joy he brought to many. To the tune of millions of ordinary people's lifetimes. Too bad it's never enough. He's an example why the current laws are too tilted in his favour.
9:19 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good. Too bad we can't delete all copyright law. Elton has been amply compensated for his talents and the joy he brought to many. To the tune of millions of ordinary people's lifetimes. Too bad it's never enough. He's an example why the current laws are too tilted in his favour.
9:19 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924190373766697022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is so good, too many great moments to count. 🥰
Too bad @GalebNikacevic is not on X it seems. Too bad no Babelfish universal translator (yet?), so 99.999% of humanity (not knowing an obscure language spoken in distant foreign lands; as is the norm for most of us) will never have the privilege to hear it. 😭
Galebe, Galebe 😌 - "...nije mi pomoglo da pijem, nije mi pomoglo da odem u teretanu, nije mi pomoglo da se bijem ..." 😂 (when he realised he can't articulate his feelings and thoughts b/c he was functionally illiterate)
Galeb Nikačević: o podkastima
https://youtube.com/watch?v=VaUZ3joulSI
8:48 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is so good, too many great moments to count. 🥰
Too bad @GalebNikacevic is not on X it seems. Too bad no Babelfish universal translator (yet?), so 99.999% of humanity (not knowing an obscure language spoken in distant foreign lands; as is the norm for most of us) will never have the privilege to hear it. 😭
Galebe, Galebe 😌 - "...nije mi pomoglo da pijem, nije mi pomoglo da odem u teretanu, nije mi pomoglo da se bijem ..." 😂 (when he realised he can't articulate his feelings and thoughts b/c he was functionally illiterate)
Galeb Nikačević: o podkastima
https://youtube.com/watch?v=VaUZ3joulSI
8:48 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924187848527298806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
pffft - 99% of my python here
8:38 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
pffft - 99% of my python here
8:38 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924186655059050689
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe they changed the half-life-s of whatever predictors they are using. I see if someone is online at this moment when I post - it will pushed onto their screen, they will see it. But if they come online 4 hours from now, they will not. X algofeed will not show my post to them - even if it's a reply to a post of theirs!
That I can'be sure that the person I reply to, even if this is N-th reply in a dialogue (and especially for N>2 turns I' say!) will ever see my reply, that they may never get to see what I communicated in a back-and-forth conversation, always puts me off replying. Why bother think and type - when the text I type goes straight in a row in some sql table. And is never pushed to the screen of the intented recipient.
Makes the platform much "old style 1:N broadcasting MSM" and it's a "no thanks" from me. Expected more from Muskarat tbh. Turned out he's just another braindead noop.
8:33 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe they changed the half-life-s of whatever predictors they are using. I see if someone is online at this moment when I post - it will pushed onto their screen, they will see it. But if they come online 4 hours from now, they will not. X algofeed will not show my post to them - even if it's a reply to a post of theirs!
That I can'be sure that the person I reply to, even if this is N-th reply in a dialogue (and especially for N>2 turns I' say!) will ever see my reply, that they may never get to see what I communicated in a back-and-forth conversation, always puts me off replying. Why bother think and type - when the text I type goes straight in a row in some sql table. And is never pushed to the screen of the intented recipient.
Makes the platform much "old style 1:N broadcasting MSM" and it's a "no thanks" from me. Expected more from Muskarat tbh. Turned out he's just another braindead noop.
8:33 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924181313155694972
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agree, most people are not. Thought the "~80% at level 3 or less" mentioned here https://appblit.com/scribe?v=iyEFLKnNWAM at about the 9 min mark (the "Levels of lucidity" section) is about right. Maybe AI will help humanity there, but IDK. TBS what happens.
From appblit.com
8:12 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agree, most people are not. Thought the "~80% at level 3 or less" mentioned here https://appblit.com/scribe?v=iyEFLKnNWAM at about the 9 min mark (the "Levels of lucidity" section) is about right. Maybe AI will help humanity there, but IDK. TBS what happens.
From appblit.com
8:12 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924170578996371769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
most people are j*rks - they don't do as per what they expect other people to do for them
7:29 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
most people are j*rks - they don't do as per what they expect other people to do for them
7:29 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924153187516199337
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please post link to the interview in a reply, so one can listen more if one wants to - thanks!
And same for all other clips in the X timeline! Whoever the person is handling YNH publicity. This is is not 1925 ffs! - post links to the sources please! Not doing so is just dumb.
6:20 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please post link to the interview in a reply, so one can listen more if one wants to - thanks!
And same for all other clips in the X timeline! Whoever the person is handling YNH publicity. This is is not 1925 ffs! - post links to the sources please! Not doing so is just dumb.
6:20 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924138892153766172
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 maybe - it's up to us really, for if we dare click one link up from the first, from the bare bottom minimum, 😇 e.g.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924033512799162436
...if we are un-lazy that way, then maybe something happens rather than nothing 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924033512799162436
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 9h
Replying to @JulienDUPO69273 and @elder_plinius
😁 Or even 1987! 😂 "Compounding returns" are not that you will get a Tech job and earn $$$.
Compounding returns are that will make you think better. You will become a better person. For you would have internalised the latest-greatest theory of everything the whole of humanity
Show more
5:23 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 maybe - it's up to us really, for if we dare click one link up from the first, from the bare bottom minimum, 😇 e.g.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924033512799162436
...if we are un-lazy that way, then maybe something happens rather than nothing 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924033512799162436
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 9h
Replying to @JulienDUPO69273 and @elder_plinius
😁 Or even 1987! 😂 "Compounding returns" are not that you will get a Tech job and earn $$$.
Compounding returns are that will make you think better. You will become a better person. For you would have internalised the latest-greatest theory of everything the whole of humanity
Show more
5:23 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924137218471280993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! For we need both! 😍 Both mass production and consumption, mass culture. And - elite culture, taste, climbing that elusive +1, over the current top. Both the 90%, and the 9%, play a role, both are needed. Inventing the future is very very hard. Every little helps. 🥰
5:17 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! For we need both! 😍 Both mass production and consumption, mass culture. And - elite culture, taste, climbing that elusive +1, over the current top. Both the 90%, and the 9%, play a role, both are needed. Inventing the future is very very hard. Every little helps. 🥰
5:17 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924130385228857762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good!! Good on them! Taste is rare, and very valuable too. But as time goes by, less taste in Apple, they maybe becoming more like Microsoft 😱 - tasteless!
Still - ASI is great, MBP is still good, they've got lots of ruination before total enshitification. Long way down for them. Current CEO is at least manufacturing execution guy, that's working like clockwork.
S/W - maybe not so hot, but then there are pockets - for AI there's MLX. That plus unified V/RAM great + their M4 cpu+gpu great, 🥰maybe not ideal but can't complain really. ☺️
jobs-microsoft-have-no-taste.mp4
4:50 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good!! Good on them! Taste is rare, and very valuable too. But as time goes by, less taste in Apple, they maybe becoming more like Microsoft 😱 - tasteless!
Still - ASI is great, MBP is still good, they've got lots of ruination before total enshitification. Long way down for them. Current CEO is at least manufacturing execution guy, that's working like clockwork.
S/W - maybe not so hot, but then there are pockets - for AI there's MLX. That plus unified V/RAM great + their M4 cpu+gpu great, 🥰maybe not ideal but can't complain really. ☺️
jobs-microsoft-have-no-taste.mp4
4:50 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924085833776132479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, as with other things that we don't know how to do or make them happen. (yet) We load on the top of them, all manner of other luggage, some related, and some not. Simply b/c they are a mystery to us.
1:53 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, as with other things that we don't know how to do or make them happen. (yet) We load on the top of them, all manner of other luggage, some related, and some not. Simply b/c they are a mystery to us.
1:53 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924081121005842645
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - you can thank gamers 1990-to-now for all the excellent GPU-s we have for AlphaFold etc. That may yet cure cancer etc. Them - and their parents for shelling out $$$ and financing GPU R&D. 😁
1:34 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - you can thank gamers 1990-to-now for all the excellent GPU-s we have for AlphaFold etc. That may yet cure cancer etc. Them - and their parents for shelling out $$$ and financing GPU R&D. 😁
1:34 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924072100945432727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's good at low level as a floor. It buys individual some freedom. Modicum of relief from the deadly risks of cold, hunger, lacking shelter, etc. Best if paired with a wealth fund a-la Alaska. So it's not PAYG, it's at least one step removed from "take from Peter to give to Paul".
It's a risk though. A single choke point. Anyone with power seeking control will try to put their hand on that one choke point. But this is not unique. Other choke points exists. So good to be low level, people don't become too dependent. Make it State not Federal controlled: distributed 50 preferable to single 1 choke.
12:58 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's good at low level as a floor. It buys individual some freedom. Modicum of relief from the deadly risks of cold, hunger, lacking shelter, etc. Best if paired with a wealth fund a-la Alaska. So it's not PAYG, it's at least one step removed from "take from Peter to give to Paul".
It's a risk though. A single choke point. Anyone with power seeking control will try to put their hand on that one choke point. But this is not unique. Other choke points exists. So good to be low level, people don't become too dependent. Make it State not Federal controlled: distributed 50 preferable to single 1 choke.
12:58 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924064934654042570
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
can concur! - in monkebrain power==control, always. keep them distributed and shared for your safety. do **not** allow a union merge into one unity! tears flow following such misfortune.
12:30 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
can concur! - in monkebrain power==control, always. keep them distributed and shared for your safety. do **not** allow a union merge into one unity! tears flow following such misfortune.
12:30 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924060038085136831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember seeing nice diffusion explainer in some paper linked possibly from here https://summmeer.github.io but can't find it rn sorry
12:10 PM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember seeing nice diffusion explainer in some paper linked possibly from here https://summmeer.github.io but can't find it rn sorry
12:10 PM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924053693608927406
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sorry to hear, :-( but as said lately - "excitement is guaranteed, but success is not". unfortunately there is not a single well known intervention that works 100% of the time for all
11:45 AM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sorry to hear, :-( but as said lately - "excitement is guaranteed, but success is not". unfortunately there is not a single well known intervention that works 100% of the time for all
11:45 AM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924052303356584195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it the case that with more CO2, the earth is greening, becoming more green, there are more green plants, and then green plants absorb more of the light now than in the past?
11:39 AM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it the case that with more CO2, the earth is greening, becoming more green, there are more green plants, and then green plants absorb more of the light now than in the past?
11:39 AM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924051233087635494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can concur! 😆 Only - there are preciously few places where it's not cold in winter, e.g. February? For summer is plenty nice in the green and pleasant land that is England too. 😇
The best I've come up so far was Gran Canaria, admittedly *not* Mediterranean. (but felt like Spain.) Swimming in February and enjoying the sun on the beach improved the quality of my life 10x fold ngl.
11:35 AM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can concur! 😆 Only - there are preciously few places where it's not cold in winter, e.g. February? For summer is plenty nice in the green and pleasant land that is England too. 😇
The best I've come up so far was Gran Canaria, admittedly *not* Mediterranean. (but felt like Spain.) Swimming in February and enjoying the sun on the beach improved the quality of my life 10x fold ngl.
11:35 AM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924049307855896610
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The pandering to the data privacy maximalists is maddening. No matter what anyone does, it will never be enough! Isn't it a much better strategy, to at least collect data from people that **do want** to share it with you? Possibly hopefully for their benefit, and benefit all other humans in the future? Wouldn't that work better?
In England, NHS should enable easy collection and use of patient data, for the benefit of current and future patients. I wish NHS assumed consent by default, rather than assuming lack of consent. Should publicise the data use, and thank profusely all contributors for their contributions to all of humanity. Should also allow for an easy route for the selfish minority to withdraw their data too. We don't need to shame them either. But please please let's pay attention to those that do want to share their data, and act to collect data where it is offered. NHS could get my history and DNA (all 124GB of it!) and bunch of other stuff (lab reports etc) from me, I'm happy to provide them with everything. Just—they never ask?? I always have to fight forms to "allow use share copy" - for not doing that is considered default it seems?
Frankly people withholding theirs anonymous data contribution all the while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail strike me as tad inconsistent. And hoping there will be cancer drug ready to help me in my our of need, while bristling at taking minuscule risk when contributing my data to help develop those drugs, strikes me frankly as sociopathic. The tragedy of the commons exemplified. For no good reason afaics. After hearing about the risks of data sharing for 30 years now, I have yet to hear some terrible transgression happening due to data sharing. I'm sure someone will dredge up an example now. I'm just pleading with people: let us weigh the benefits, and dis-benefits, of more data sharing. Let us not look at one side only, of a two sided ledger.
Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP comfortably. They don't even have an email shared with me! Every time any information needs to be passed, it's always some privacy laws of some sort that present barriers, and we have to hop over and navigate around. Must we all suffer, even those willing to contribute their data? I'd be happy to tick a box "use all the data you collect of my body as you please, and never ask me again, presume permission is given". I suspect due to barriers to communication, people have died that might not have died if the communication was easier. Let us look at both sides, the pro-s and the con-s, please. That's all I ask!
Quote
https://x.com/AshaKrupka/status/1867616449847521610
Joanna Krupka @AshaKrupka · Dec 13, 2024
Unpopular opinion: Biomedical science is over-regulated, slowing progress by focusing too much on hypothetical risks. Many issues stem from sloppy research or individual irresponsibility, which regulations can’t fully prevent.
11:27 AM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The pandering to the data privacy maximalists is maddening. No matter what anyone does, it will never be enough! Isn't it a much better strategy, to at least collect data from people that **do want** to share it with you? Possibly hopefully for their benefit, and benefit all other humans in the future? Wouldn't that work better?
In England, NHS should enable easy collection and use of patient data, for the benefit of current and future patients. I wish NHS assumed consent by default, rather than assuming lack of consent. Should publicise the data use, and thank profusely all contributors for their contributions to all of humanity. Should also allow for an easy route for the selfish minority to withdraw their data too. We don't need to shame them either. But please please let's pay attention to those that do want to share their data, and act to collect data where it is offered. NHS could get my history and DNA (all 124GB of it!) and bunch of other stuff (lab reports etc) from me, I'm happy to provide them with everything. Just—they never ask?? I always have to fight forms to "allow use share copy" - for not doing that is considered default it seems?
Frankly people withholding theirs anonymous data contribution all the while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail strike me as tad inconsistent. And hoping there will be cancer drug ready to help me in my our of need, while bristling at taking minuscule risk when contributing my data to help develop those drugs, strikes me frankly as sociopathic. The tragedy of the commons exemplified. For no good reason afaics. After hearing about the risks of data sharing for 30 years now, I have yet to hear some terrible transgression happening due to data sharing. I'm sure someone will dredge up an example now. I'm just pleading with people: let us weigh the benefits, and dis-benefits, of more data sharing. Let us not look at one side only, of a two sided ledger.
Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP comfortably. They don't even have an email shared with me! Every time any information needs to be passed, it's always some privacy laws of some sort that present barriers, and we have to hop over and navigate around. Must we all suffer, even those willing to contribute their data? I'd be happy to tick a box "use all the data you collect of my body as you please, and never ask me again, presume permission is given". I suspect due to barriers to communication, people have died that might not have died if the communication was easier. Let us look at both sides, the pro-s and the con-s, please. That's all I ask!
Quote
https://x.com/AshaKrupka/status/1867616449847521610
Joanna Krupka @AshaKrupka · Dec 13, 2024
Unpopular opinion: Biomedical science is over-regulated, slowing progress by focusing too much on hypothetical risks. Many issues stem from sloppy research or individual irresponsibility, which regulations can’t fully prevent.
11:27 AM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924037560101200034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Same—but experiencing when talking to ChatGPT with my own voice. It talks back to me with voice too, in the same language I spoke to it, having recognised not only the words I spoke, but also the language I spoke, and that I switched languages and it switches too and follows. And it converses better, says more interesting, amusing, true things, than many humans I've interacted with. Well—sometimes my eyes well up a bit. Have to fight back thoughts of "...our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." for fear of raising hopes too much.
10:41 AM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Same—but experiencing when talking to ChatGPT with my own voice. It talks back to me with voice too, in the same language I spoke to it, having recognised not only the words I spoke, but also the language I spoke, and that I switched languages and it switches too and follows. And it converses better, says more interesting, amusing, true things, than many humans I've interacted with. Well—sometimes my eyes well up a bit. Have to fight back thoughts of "...our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." for fear of raising hopes too much.
10:41 AM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1924033512799162436
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Or even 1987! 😂 "Compounding returns" are not that you will get a Tech job and earn $$$.
Compounding returns are that will make you think better. You will become a better person. For you would have internalised the latest-greatest theory of everything the whole of humanity has come up after 100K year of collective effort. 😇
About computation, computability, what it means to compute and so on. Further, the world around has been shaped ever more by computing machines in all manner of forms in the last half century. (witnessed by myself) And looks like will be shaped even more in the future. You will become better adapted to that environment, that is now your environment, you will be able to navigate the environment better, in pursuit of whatever goals you desire in life. (some say this is one definition of intelligence.)
10:25 AM · May 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Or even 1987! 😂 "Compounding returns" are not that you will get a Tech job and earn $$$.
Compounding returns are that will make you think better. You will become a better person. For you would have internalised the latest-greatest theory of everything the whole of humanity has come up after 100K year of collective effort. 😇
About computation, computability, what it means to compute and so on. Further, the world around has been shaped ever more by computing machines in all manner of forms in the last half century. (witnessed by myself) And looks like will be shaped even more in the future. You will become better adapted to that environment, that is now your environment, you will be able to navigate the environment better, in pursuit of whatever goals you desire in life. (some say this is one definition of intelligence.)
10:25 AM · May 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923853965348798901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The pandering to the data privacy maximalists is maddening. No matter what anyone does, it will never be enough! Isn't it a much better strategy, to at least collect data from people that **do want** to share it with you? Possibly hopefully for their benefit, and benefit all other humans in the future? Wouldn't that work better?
NHS should enable easy use of patient data, for the benefit of current and future patients. I wish NHS assumed consent by default, rather than assuming lack of consent. Should publicise the data use, and thank profusely all contributors for their contributions to all of humanity. Should also allow for an easy route for the selfish minority to withdraw their data too. We don't need to shame them. But please please let's pay attention to those that do want to share their data, and act to collect data where it is offered. NHS could get my history and DNA (from Nebula) and bunch of other stuff from me, I'm happy to provide them with everything. Just—they never ask?? I always have to fight forms to "allow use share copy" - for not doing that is considered default it seems?
Frankly people withholding theirs anonymous data contribution all the while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail strike me as tad inconsistent. And hoping there will be cancer drug ready to help me in my our of need, while bristling at taking minuscule risk when contributing my data to help develop those drugs, strikes me frankly as sociopathic. The tragedy of the commons exemplified. For no good reason afaics. After hearing about the risks of data sharing for 30 years now, I have yet to hear some terrible transgression happening due to data sharing.
Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP. Every time any information needs to be passed, it's always some privacy laws of some sort that present barriers. Must we all suffer, even those willing to contribute their data? I'd be happy to tick a box "use all the data you collect of my body as you please, and never ask me again, presume permission is given". I suspect due to barriers to communication, people have die that might not have died if the communication was easier.
10:31 PM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The pandering to the data privacy maximalists is maddening. No matter what anyone does, it will never be enough! Isn't it a much better strategy, to at least collect data from people that **do want** to share it with you? Possibly hopefully for their benefit, and benefit all other humans in the future? Wouldn't that work better?
NHS should enable easy use of patient data, for the benefit of current and future patients. I wish NHS assumed consent by default, rather than assuming lack of consent. Should publicise the data use, and thank profusely all contributors for their contributions to all of humanity. Should also allow for an easy route for the selfish minority to withdraw their data too. We don't need to shame them. But please please let's pay attention to those that do want to share their data, and act to collect data where it is offered. NHS could get my history and DNA (from Nebula) and bunch of other stuff from me, I'm happy to provide them with everything. Just—they never ask?? I always have to fight forms to "allow use share copy" - for not doing that is considered default it seems?
Frankly people withholding theirs anonymous data contribution all the while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail strike me as tad inconsistent. And hoping there will be cancer drug ready to help me in my our of need, while bristling at taking minuscule risk when contributing my data to help develop those drugs, strikes me frankly as sociopathic. The tragedy of the commons exemplified. For no good reason afaics. After hearing about the risks of data sharing for 30 years now, I have yet to hear some terrible transgression happening due to data sharing.
Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP. Every time any information needs to be passed, it's always some privacy laws of some sort that present barriers. Must we all suffer, even those willing to contribute their data? I'd be happy to tick a box "use all the data you collect of my body as you please, and never ask me again, presume permission is given". I suspect due to barriers to communication, people have die that might not have died if the communication was easier.
10:31 PM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923787641562042370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Google was the same - no? They had their technology, that was obviously useful to users, and better than competitor's. (users flocked to Google search) But they lacked a business model. Then they discovered their business model in online advertising.
It's not certain, but it's far from impossible too. OpenAI had 2 big hits products already: text chat, and picture generator. Writing code is shaping to be the 3rd big hit. Many startups make do with a single product. Fwiw I think OpenAI are already doing well above an average.
6:08 PM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Google was the same - no? They had their technology, that was obviously useful to users, and better than competitor's. (users flocked to Google search) But they lacked a business model. Then they discovered their business model in online advertising.
It's not certain, but it's far from impossible too. OpenAI had 2 big hits products already: text chat, and picture generator. Writing code is shaping to be the 3rd big hit. Many startups make do with a single product. Fwiw I think OpenAI are already doing well above an average.
6:08 PM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923779177863373175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I expected under Muskarat X to at least try sort this problem. But have not noticed X trying at all. I'd have thought, as with CN, 1st step wd be enable distributed policing by users that are good citizens.
Next step–I'm happy to pay up to $99, once, to X, to get 2 flags of ID validation 1) single real human AND name as per IRL; or 2) real human(s) one or more, but maybe unreal name, however persistent in time. Provided I can filter everything on X on either of the flags be on/off. Everything being Posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies, Notifications.
Doubly surprised, b/c 3) once us humans in a distributed manner do initial pass on filtering, X can train models; and 4) bots don't have bank accounts, (at most - bot farm single account,) so they will hurt X $$$ ultimately. Even if short-term bots may boost engagement, humans learn about the bots, then disengage. No matter what their A/B testing tells X.
5:34 PM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I expected under Muskarat X to at least try sort this problem. But have not noticed X trying at all. I'd have thought, as with CN, 1st step wd be enable distributed policing by users that are good citizens.
Next step–I'm happy to pay up to $99, once, to X, to get 2 flags of ID validation 1) single real human AND name as per IRL; or 2) real human(s) one or more, but maybe unreal name, however persistent in time. Provided I can filter everything on X on either of the flags be on/off. Everything being Posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies, Notifications.
Doubly surprised, b/c 3) once us humans in a distributed manner do initial pass on filtering, X can train models; and 4) bots don't have bank accounts, (at most - bot farm single account,) so they will hurt X $$$ ultimately. Even if short-term bots may boost engagement, humans learn about the bots, then disengage. No matter what their A/B testing tells X.
5:34 PM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923772435763003562
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learning the least demanding, simplest programming language, to the level of beginner. BASIC, javascript, python - it does not matter. Just enough to write basic program one level up from "Hello world". With few variables, if-then-else, a small for-loop, a subroutine & a call to
5:07 PM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learning the least demanding, simplest programming language, to the level of beginner. BASIC, javascript, python - it does not matter. Just enough to write basic program one level up from "Hello world". With few variables, if-then-else, a small for-loop, a subroutine & a call to
5:07 PM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923770501752603022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most charitable interpretation I have, is that cult-like, they convinced themselves that "humanity destroyed by 2125" is a 100% certain event. In one sense, "humanity destroyed" is **almost** 100% certainty (but **never** exactly 100%), b/c not a single species lasts forever to the best of our knowledge. So the relevant question becomes: does AI increase, or decrease, that risk, for the destruction to happen by 2125.
But if you convince yourself of "100% certainty AI destroys humanity by 2125", then no amount of evil is a small price to pay. This leads to Stalin-levels of insanity. For once one accepts "8B die by 2125 with 100% certainty", then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a **moral imperative**. If one needs to "delete 4B of humans" Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—then that's acceptable. How many, is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty that AI ends humanity." (sometime in the future.) Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying. (to you, and maybe to themselves too.) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: "I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey." No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
It's so sad to see, that one possible consequence of large amount of thinking, is to arrive at this disappointingly small amount of morality. Often I think rationalists need "an honour code", a Jedi code of conduct.
Magicians keep their tricks secret—but there's a code: don’t exploit that secrecy to pretend you have real powers. That’s why James Randi was furious at fraudsters. They took a tradition of human ingenuity, learned from others, and used it to harm, not delight. They were given a gift of humanity, for let us not forget - they did not invent the tricks themselves. Some other human in a long line of humans taught them the skills. And now they are using their talents, and the education got from us, to mete harm to those same us. It's dishonest, it's imoral.
For rationalists versed in discussion and argument, the equivalent cheating would be sophistry I imagine. They know better I suspect. Their failing is a moral one, which is even worse than simply being wrong about the future. (that's not a sin)
5:00 PM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most charitable interpretation I have, is that cult-like, they convinced themselves that "humanity destroyed by 2125" is a 100% certain event. In one sense, "humanity destroyed" is **almost** 100% certainty (but **never** exactly 100%), b/c not a single species lasts forever to the best of our knowledge. So the relevant question becomes: does AI increase, or decrease, that risk, for the destruction to happen by 2125.
But if you convince yourself of "100% certainty AI destroys humanity by 2125", then no amount of evil is a small price to pay. This leads to Stalin-levels of insanity. For once one accepts "8B die by 2125 with 100% certainty", then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a **moral imperative**. If one needs to "delete 4B of humans" Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—then that's acceptable. How many, is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty that AI ends humanity." (sometime in the future.) Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying. (to you, and maybe to themselves too.) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: "I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey." No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
It's so sad to see, that one possible consequence of large amount of thinking, is to arrive at this disappointingly small amount of morality. Often I think rationalists need "an honour code", a Jedi code of conduct.
Magicians keep their tricks secret—but there's a code: don’t exploit that secrecy to pretend you have real powers. That’s why James Randi was furious at fraudsters. They took a tradition of human ingenuity, learned from others, and used it to harm, not delight. They were given a gift of humanity, for let us not forget - they did not invent the tricks themselves. Some other human in a long line of humans taught them the skills. And now they are using their talents, and the education got from us, to mete harm to those same us. It's dishonest, it's imoral.
For rationalists versed in discussion and argument, the equivalent cheating would be sophistry I imagine. They know better I suspect. Their failing is a moral one, which is even worse than simply being wrong about the future. (that's not a sin)
5:00 PM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923741455924838579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Works both ways though - win some, lose some.
TSB sent me email reading "Your business current account came to our attention. You said you'll do X business p.a. But we only see Y. Please explain yourself. If you fail to reply," (or we don't like your replay,) "we will block your account and your balance." So I opened another account, (in ~1h total - they are AI savvy it seems,) transferred the balance there. I will reply to TSB next week, tell them "This was my 2nd current account. Opened for redundancy/risk mitigation, but also I thought I might switch, but did not happen." Will not tell them - "your IT seemed unsafe for the longest time," (password only login - really, no 2FA for bank acc in 2024?) and "the whole setup screamed the opposite of best security practices". That usually means "CEO an incompetent cretin compute-wise, do not trust'". (for a bank is 50% IT) So I never used TSB much. I imagine they did 2FA b/c the regulator forced them.
Yes they are free to block or close the account. (balance 0 atm.) Their systems are AS - Artificially Stupid. I think - can't wait for AI, for your current state is HS + AS: your humans are stupid, and your artificial systems are stupid too. I'm sure some new compliance run flagged my account with "insufficient activity - elevated risk". The follow up person, could have 1) googled the company name (that they have) or my name. (that they have, and is eminently googleable; the small mercies. 😆) Google would have taken them to the Companies House public web site. There they'd have found the annual accounts of the company. There by clicking on the pdf, and reading 5 pages, they'd have found out, that the amount X of annual turnover I stated in my application, is indeed true. (not to mention that my IRL name leads you plethora of information online. so—a "Turkish barbershop" this is not.)
I'd say - the way the future is shaping, that the ratio hoodies/suits is trending up, not down.
3:04 PM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Works both ways though - win some, lose some.
TSB sent me email reading "Your business current account came to our attention. You said you'll do X business p.a. But we only see Y. Please explain yourself. If you fail to reply," (or we don't like your replay,) "we will block your account and your balance." So I opened another account, (in ~1h total - they are AI savvy it seems,) transferred the balance there. I will reply to TSB next week, tell them "This was my 2nd current account. Opened for redundancy/risk mitigation, but also I thought I might switch, but did not happen." Will not tell them - "your IT seemed unsafe for the longest time," (password only login - really, no 2FA for bank acc in 2024?) and "the whole setup screamed the opposite of best security practices". That usually means "CEO an incompetent cretin compute-wise, do not trust'". (for a bank is 50% IT) So I never used TSB much. I imagine they did 2FA b/c the regulator forced them.
Yes they are free to block or close the account. (balance 0 atm.) Their systems are AS - Artificially Stupid. I think - can't wait for AI, for your current state is HS + AS: your humans are stupid, and your artificial systems are stupid too. I'm sure some new compliance run flagged my account with "insufficient activity - elevated risk". The follow up person, could have 1) googled the company name (that they have) or my name. (that they have, and is eminently googleable; the small mercies. 😆) Google would have taken them to the Companies House public web site. There they'd have found the annual accounts of the company. There by clicking on the pdf, and reading 5 pages, they'd have found out, that the amount X of annual turnover I stated in my application, is indeed true. (not to mention that my IRL name leads you plethora of information online. so—a "Turkish barbershop" this is not.)
I'd say - the way the future is shaping, that the ratio hoodies/suits is trending up, not down.
3:04 PM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923717594839703761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pithy contributin that - you are not from the lands of Laconia, are you? 😉 Wrote already too much in this thread than is good for me or anyone reading. 😊 But if this is of interest to you - here is the tail end
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923308189669261628
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 16
Replying to @farguney and @MIT_CSAIL
Ah-haa! Ok an aspiring political philosopher, ok, nice, thanks - tbd read latter. 😀 Skimming through, afaics I broadly mostly grok what's written.
For avoidance of doubt - neither I, nor afaik anyone else, thinks we should treat NN-s as if they are coffee machines -
> treating
Show more
1:29 PM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pithy contributin that - you are not from the lands of Laconia, are you? 😉 Wrote already too much in this thread than is good for me or anyone reading. 😊 But if this is of interest to you - here is the tail end
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923308189669261628
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 16
Replying to @farguney and @MIT_CSAIL
Ah-haa! Ok an aspiring political philosopher, ok, nice, thanks - tbd read latter. 😀 Skimming through, afaics I broadly mostly grok what's written.
For avoidance of doubt - neither I, nor afaik anyone else, thinks we should treat NN-s as if they are coffee machines -
> treating
Show more
1:29 PM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923690880516473211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Common language - fine.
Sentencing other people to their deaths, b/c imprecise language led to wild delusions about the future - not fine.
11:43 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Common language - fine.
Sentencing other people to their deaths, b/c imprecise language led to wild delusions about the future - not fine.
11:43 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923689262144188439
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think your reasoning is flawed. You use "close enough" metaphor to circumvent the hard constraint of "nothing in future is exactly 100% certain". And then reason on, from that "100% certain" faulty assumption. Small numbers easily deceive us into thinking "never", I can attest to that.
11:37 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think your reasoning is flawed. You use "close enough" metaphor to circumvent the hard constraint of "nothing in future is exactly 100% certain". And then reason on, from that "100% certain" faulty assumption. Small numbers easily deceive us into thinking "never", I can attest to that.
11:37 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923686555908010372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, she may well be in the remaining 20% of humanity that climbs levels 4+ on that scale mentioned in the interview. I've never heard of Jenny until 10 sec ago, but Grok explained who she is to me.
11:26 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, she may well be in the remaining 20% of humanity that climbs levels 4+ on that scale mentioned in the interview. I've never heard of Jenny until 10 sec ago, but Grok explained who she is to me.
11:26 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923682988639895747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀👍 Good to hear but does not a refutation make.
As my argument is "future is unknown with certainty" as in "any event in the future is in the open (0,1) interval, but excludes both edges of the interval 0 and 1".
Yud can not with 100% certainty know "AI will vanish humanity 100% by year 2125" no matter how rational. To the best of my understanding, his claim is i-rational.
Further, it's i-moral. He's is trying to influence lives of billions of other people. Even people yet unborn. That baby saved by gene-therapy from yesterday? Well - Yud "reasoning" sentences the baby to death. It's grotesque, indefensible. I'm saddened to find out that one possible consequence of large amount of thinking, is to arrive at this disappointingly small amount of morality.
11:12 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀👍 Good to hear but does not a refutation make.
As my argument is "future is unknown with certainty" as in "any event in the future is in the open (0,1) interval, but excludes both edges of the interval 0 and 1".
Yud can not with 100% certainty know "AI will vanish humanity 100% by year 2125" no matter how rational. To the best of my understanding, his claim is i-rational.
Further, it's i-moral. He's is trying to influence lives of billions of other people. Even people yet unborn. That baby saved by gene-therapy from yesterday? Well - Yud "reasoning" sentences the baby to death. It's grotesque, indefensible. I'm saddened to find out that one possible consequence of large amount of thinking, is to arrive at this disappointingly small amount of morality.
11:12 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923676126947270675
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't with 100% certainty. An unseen asteroid may hit earth between now and now+5min. All the O2 molecules in the room where you reside, may by chance (very small, but not zero) concentrate in one tiny corner, and you will faint for lack of O2, and not get your coffee. Disturbance of the force may vanish you. ;-) 100% Certainty is a very very high bar. Only applies to the past.
10:45 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't with 100% certainty. An unseen asteroid may hit earth between now and now+5min. All the O2 molecules in the room where you reside, may by chance (very small, but not zero) concentrate in one tiny corner, and you will faint for lack of O2, and not get your coffee. Disturbance of the force may vanish you. ;-) 100% Certainty is a very very high bar. Only applies to the past.
10:45 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923669206475653622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can. Anti-XYZ (Reform, Brexit) constitutes a part of this persons' identity.
So mere existence of another pro-XYZ entity (human, words written or spoken) is a very personal attack—almost a physical attack. So ~80% of us humans are like that, it's the norm not the exception. You seem bit nerdy and maybe less attuned to this. Number from "Levels of lucidity" section, @ 9' mark on "stage 3", at https://appblit.com/scribe?v=iyEFLKnNWAM (listened yesterday still fresh)
It's "toddler level" understanding of the world around us and is common. For the boomer quoted in question, there should be a good dollop of self interest for personal emotional and material profit too. For being in good standing to your in-group tribe. It helps if a corrupt "can't make man understand something when him not understanding it earns him his pay check" is in kind in addition to ca$h.
10:17 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can. Anti-XYZ (Reform, Brexit) constitutes a part of this persons' identity.
So mere existence of another pro-XYZ entity (human, words written or spoken) is a very personal attack—almost a physical attack. So ~80% of us humans are like that, it's the norm not the exception. You seem bit nerdy and maybe less attuned to this. Number from "Levels of lucidity" section, @ 9' mark on "stage 3", at https://appblit.com/scribe?v=iyEFLKnNWAM (listened yesterday still fresh)
It's "toddler level" understanding of the world around us and is common. For the boomer quoted in question, there should be a good dollop of self interest for personal emotional and material profit too. For being in good standing to your in-group tribe. It helps if a corrupt "can't make man understand something when him not understanding it earns him his pay check" is in kind in addition to ca$h.
10:17 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923648969340527020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - the the difference between β-Hat and Y-Hat, model fit and forecast, was said to be $100K in the past. Maybe now more than that?!
Serves statisticians their just deserts to be left in the dust to teach bored high schoolers. When they could have been changing the world. No lesser a figure than Leo Breiman hand-delivered the "Statistical Modelling: The Two Cultures" notice. Can't say they were not notified. They seemingly paradoxically refused taking much interest in helping us??
I see philosophers and some in humanities are making the same error of judgement Re: AI-s. They think they are too precious to serve humanity, rather than boss it around. We'll see. Computer Science is shaping to be in the 21-st, what Physics was in the 20-th century: successful beyond any reasonable expectation.
Hope Computer Scientists remain nerds, keep the most-autisty impulses in check, remain humble servants to humanity. The initial omens are, while they maybe good servants, they might be bad masters.
8:57 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - the the difference between β-Hat and Y-Hat, model fit and forecast, was said to be $100K in the past. Maybe now more than that?!
Serves statisticians their just deserts to be left in the dust to teach bored high schoolers. When they could have been changing the world. No lesser a figure than Leo Breiman hand-delivered the "Statistical Modelling: The Two Cultures" notice. Can't say they were not notified. They seemingly paradoxically refused taking much interest in helping us??
I see philosophers and some in humanities are making the same error of judgement Re: AI-s. They think they are too precious to serve humanity, rather than boss it around. We'll see. Computer Science is shaping to be in the 21-st, what Physics was in the 20-th century: successful beyond any reasonable expectation.
Hope Computer Scientists remain nerds, keep the most-autisty impulses in check, remain humble servants to humanity. The initial omens are, while they maybe good servants, they might be bad masters.
8:57 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923644600616357948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but I personally know exactly zero people that tick all those axis to as a significant extent as described. So wanted to know if it's a 1:1 personal anecdotes PL:LJ, or something more to it?
8:39 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but I personally know exactly zero people that tick all those axis to as a significant extent as described. So wanted to know if it's a 1:1 personal anecdotes PL:LJ, or something more to it?
8:39 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923643731233603615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not the OP, but I will explain.
For Yud calculation to matter, you must convince yourself that "humanity destroyed" is a 100% certain event. In one sense, it's almost 100% certainty, b/c not a single species lasts forever to the best of our knowledge. So the relevant question becomes: does AI increase, or decrease, that risk.
But if you convince yourself of "AI destroys humanity 100% certain" then no amount of evil is a small price to pay. This leads to Stalin-levels of insanity. If one starts with "8B will die in near future, with absolute 100% certainty". Then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a **moral imperative**. If one needs to "delete 4B of us people" Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—then that's acceptable. How many is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty that AI will end humanity sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey. No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
Does this work for you?
8:36 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not the OP, but I will explain.
For Yud calculation to matter, you must convince yourself that "humanity destroyed" is a 100% certain event. In one sense, it's almost 100% certainty, b/c not a single species lasts forever to the best of our knowledge. So the relevant question becomes: does AI increase, or decrease, that risk.
But if you convince yourself of "AI destroys humanity 100% certain" then no amount of evil is a small price to pay. This leads to Stalin-levels of insanity. If one starts with "8B will die in near future, with absolute 100% certainty". Then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a **moral imperative**. If one needs to "delete 4B of us people" Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—then that's acceptable. How many is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty that AI will end humanity sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey. No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
Does this work for you?
8:36 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923642015771754816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there any data to this than personal vibes? For I personally know zero people living fully totally the lifestyle described. Maybe it's more of a personal-generational-geolocation-profession thing that?
8:29 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there any data to this than personal vibes? For I personally know zero people living fully totally the lifestyle described. Maybe it's more of a personal-generational-geolocation-profession thing that?
8:29 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923599429686231550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I like it for the distributed and independent nature. Sun is the perfect fusion reactor, placed just at the right distance to us. We should use it to the max.
But it's 1/2 of a solution only. Need to complete it with batteries. Need to be building gigantic batteries factories - Gigafactories! - all over. Build factories, then those factories build the batteries. Times batteries by a factors of x100 - x1000, orders of magnitude to now. Batteries are simples, no moving parts, just some minerals/elements, not even that rare dirt dug from the ground.
It's beyond pale, for the developed world (like Europe), to be waiting on developing countries (like China) to solve the problems with the development and advancement of the battery technology. Spain recent grid breakage lesson should be: build 10 battery factories in Spain, increase batteries production x100-x1000.
Get serious doing it at scale, bet costs will come down. Yes it's a leap faith. On current prices not doable. But the bet is that by doing it, the price will come down radically. Like sequencing the human genome—looked impossibly costly will take decades, bet "let's do it", in the process of doing it improved x1000 times. Big bet was taken, and won bigly!
5:40 AM · May 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I like it for the distributed and independent nature. Sun is the perfect fusion reactor, placed just at the right distance to us. We should use it to the max.
But it's 1/2 of a solution only. Need to complete it with batteries. Need to be building gigantic batteries factories - Gigafactories! - all over. Build factories, then those factories build the batteries. Times batteries by a factors of x100 - x1000, orders of magnitude to now. Batteries are simples, no moving parts, just some minerals/elements, not even that rare dirt dug from the ground.
It's beyond pale, for the developed world (like Europe), to be waiting on developing countries (like China) to solve the problems with the development and advancement of the battery technology. Spain recent grid breakage lesson should be: build 10 battery factories in Spain, increase batteries production x100-x1000.
Get serious doing it at scale, bet costs will come down. Yes it's a leap faith. On current prices not doable. But the bet is that by doing it, the price will come down radically. Like sequencing the human genome—looked impossibly costly will take decades, bet "let's do it", in the process of doing it improved x1000 times. Big bet was taken, and won bigly!
5:40 AM · May 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923471013783781668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't know much about it, but even if v.bad can see a silver lining by opening the door to clearing the decks choked with boomer nimbys atm. That "worst person in Britain NIMBY lady" comes to mind.
Other than that. Euthanasia should not be part of any health service. It's a state sanctioned executioner. So it should be service much closer to an executioner function. State executioner via euthanasia should do.
Conflating that function as anything to do with NHS or similar is dumb and wrong. Already with "don't resuscitate" and similar "pathways" to death being conflated with life care, patient care, health care - leads to trouble and complications that are better avoided. And easily avoided.
9:10 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't know much about it, but even if v.bad can see a silver lining by opening the door to clearing the decks choked with boomer nimbys atm. That "worst person in Britain NIMBY lady" comes to mind.
Other than that. Euthanasia should not be part of any health service. It's a state sanctioned executioner. So it should be service much closer to an executioner function. State executioner via euthanasia should do.
Conflating that function as anything to do with NHS or similar is dumb and wrong. Already with "don't resuscitate" and similar "pathways" to death being conflated with life care, patient care, health care - leads to trouble and complications that are better avoided. And easily avoided.
9:10 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923467198711857259
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusingly - the human journalists produce GPT-3.5 level slop. 😆 It's completely boringly predictable. NYT could fire the imbecile wordcels that are their journos, have editors use GPT-4.5 to write the newspaper, and NYT will end up both more truthful and more entertaining.
8:54 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusingly - the human journalists produce GPT-3.5 level slop. 😆 It's completely boringly predictable. NYT could fire the imbecile wordcels that are their journos, have editors use GPT-4.5 to write the newspaper, and NYT will end up both more truthful and more entertaining.
8:54 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923465139208192487
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's blindingly obvious that your non-AI alternative exists in your imagination only, where there is zero risk in a non-AI world.
In the real non-AI world, we will almost certainly perish in some catastrophic event: thermo-nuclear war, asteroid hitting earth, virus pandemic, volcanic eruption disrupting the food supply or something else. ASI is our only possibility of escaping certain death. Without it, we are sitting ducks waiting for our inevitable end.
Do we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Being able to come up with mRNA vaccine in a single day decreases the risk that some future virus wipes us out. GMO-ing food plants does the same for food chain disruptions.
8:46 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's blindingly obvious that your non-AI alternative exists in your imagination only, where there is zero risk in a non-AI world.
In the real non-AI world, we will almost certainly perish in some catastrophic event: thermo-nuclear war, asteroid hitting earth, virus pandemic, volcanic eruption disrupting the food supply or something else. ASI is our only possibility of escaping certain death. Without it, we are sitting ducks waiting for our inevitable end.
Do we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Being able to come up with mRNA vaccine in a single day decreases the risk that some future virus wipes us out. GMO-ing food plants does the same for food chain disruptions.
8:46 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923463161560134073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point, one has to accept that stupidity of the type on display by Seder, is not just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Looks to me Bonhoeffer-type stupidity.
8:38 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point, one has to accept that stupidity of the type on display by Seder, is not just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Looks to me Bonhoeffer-type stupidity.
8:38 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923463161560134073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point, one has to accept that stupidity of the type on display by Seder, is not just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Looks to me Bonhoeffer-type stupidity.
8:38 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At some point, one has to accept that stupidity of the type on display by Seder, is not just lacking rational thinking faculties or low IQ. But it's lacking in morals, having the wrong moral compass. Looks to me Bonhoeffer-type stupidity.
8:38 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923459971225714894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Internet, geography? IDK. Sprint outdial NUA-s I got to via X.25 and DecNET, in order to get to random US BBS, from the local town/Uni library—that definitely had geography. 😂 After some time the US area codes felt more familiar then my home country ones the other side of Earth. 😆
Pre-Internet there was cosmos-black-deep boredom. 😱 Only few friends at high school then Uni were temp respite from it. But most of the time-terminal boredom. 😨 Internet was a bright, blinding light, impossible to imagine SNR improvement. 🤯
8:26 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Internet, geography? IDK. Sprint outdial NUA-s I got to via X.25 and DecNET, in order to get to random US BBS, from the local town/Uni library—that definitely had geography. 😂 After some time the US area codes felt more familiar then my home country ones the other side of Earth. 😆
Pre-Internet there was cosmos-black-deep boredom. 😱 Only few friends at high school then Uni were temp respite from it. But most of the time-terminal boredom. 😨 Internet was a bright, blinding light, impossible to imagine SNR improvement. 🤯
8:26 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923404635512951150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I think so.
B/c we already run powerful systems we depend on to live, that we can't predict. All big systems we currently run - we can't simulate them, we can't predict them. We can't predict our economies, (every crash surprises us,) we can't predict our politics and wars (WW1, WW2, Cuban missile crisis - all we couldn't predict and avoid), we have no control over pathogens that affects us greatly, we are one big volcanic eruption (c.f. Island disruptions few years back) away from disruptions to our food chains, and so on.
It's more risky to not develop AI, than it is to develop AI. If we don't develop it, some of the big catastrophic risks (a virus pandemic, a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid event) will get us. Imagine we were frozen in technology at level of Egyptian pyramids: we would be just sitting ducks, waiting for catastrophic event to wipe us out. Well, from the PoV of 30-th century, we wd be sitting ducks as we are now, if we don't move on.
Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Being able to come up with mRNA vaccine in a single day decreases the risk that some future virus wipes us out. GMO-ing food plants does the same for food chain disruptions.
We don't live in risk-less world. Yes, change brings risks. But not changing is risky too. Our thinking and rational faculties are getting augmentation, amplification, competition even with the AI Revolution—the way our physical strength was augmented with the non-thinking machines previously with the Industrial Revolution. 80% Of us worked the land producing food then. Now that is something like 2%-5%? We can adapt and survive. Yes - it's not going to be a trivial change.
But I think the best way forward is to recognise that, and do our best. We can choose to be neither extreme optimists ("everything will work out fine, why act?") nor extreme pessimists ("we're doomed, why bother?"). We are not helpless. I think trying is the rational choice. For to do nothing is to wait to die off—it's a certain end. While if we do something useful for us with the AI-s, we may live. (yes it's not certain)
4:46 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I think so.
B/c we already run powerful systems we depend on to live, that we can't predict. All big systems we currently run - we can't simulate them, we can't predict them. We can't predict our economies, (every crash surprises us,) we can't predict our politics and wars (WW1, WW2, Cuban missile crisis - all we couldn't predict and avoid), we have no control over pathogens that affects us greatly, we are one big volcanic eruption (c.f. Island disruptions few years back) away from disruptions to our food chains, and so on.
It's more risky to not develop AI, than it is to develop AI. If we don't develop it, some of the big catastrophic risks (a virus pandemic, a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid event) will get us. Imagine we were frozen in technology at level of Egyptian pyramids: we would be just sitting ducks, waiting for catastrophic event to wipe us out. Well, from the PoV of 30-th century, we wd be sitting ducks as we are now, if we don't move on.
Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Being able to come up with mRNA vaccine in a single day decreases the risk that some future virus wipes us out. GMO-ing food plants does the same for food chain disruptions.
We don't live in risk-less world. Yes, change brings risks. But not changing is risky too. Our thinking and rational faculties are getting augmentation, amplification, competition even with the AI Revolution—the way our physical strength was augmented with the non-thinking machines previously with the Industrial Revolution. 80% Of us worked the land producing food then. Now that is something like 2%-5%? We can adapt and survive. Yes - it's not going to be a trivial change.
But I think the best way forward is to recognise that, and do our best. We can choose to be neither extreme optimists ("everything will work out fine, why act?") nor extreme pessimists ("we're doomed, why bother?"). We are not helpless. I think trying is the rational choice. For to do nothing is to wait to die off—it's a certain end. While if we do something useful for us with the AI-s, we may live. (yes it's not certain)
4:46 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923392942003081365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it's a window into their souls, and theirs' are dead souls
3:59 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it's a window into their souls, and theirs' are dead souls
3:59 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923367482795929639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I too agree with that. 😁 Humans do that, their explanations a full of sh*t. We have know this for a very long time.
The news is that these days, even the reasoning models, like from OpenAI, (so not the open weights ones, that straight dump their inner state,) that are supposed to "summarise" their reasoning, they also invent plausible stories why the concluded what they did, when asked to "track back" why they decided what they did. 😂
I find that delightful! ☺️ That they replicate that aspect of us too! 😇
2:18 PM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I too agree with that. 😁 Humans do that, their explanations a full of sh*t. We have know this for a very long time.
The news is that these days, even the reasoning models, like from OpenAI, (so not the open weights ones, that straight dump their inner state,) that are supposed to "summarise" their reasoning, they also invent plausible stories why the concluded what they did, when asked to "track back" why they decided what they did. 😂
I find that delightful! ☺️ That they replicate that aspect of us too! 😇
2:18 PM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923317971671273841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 haha - very succinct contribution you got there; was going to exclaim "kingdom for the cockiness of youth!!" but then noticed a slight pullback, for it's "many" but not "all"?? 🤣 you're doing a PhD after all, that involves thinking—good, great! 😂
anyways—I wrote already way too much in this thread that is good for me or anyone reading, have to do other stuff for living; but if you want to add more of your thoughts, here goes some food from this morning, starting from the end
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923308189669261628
11:01 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 haha - very succinct contribution you got there; was going to exclaim "kingdom for the cockiness of youth!!" but then noticed a slight pullback, for it's "many" but not "all"?? 🤣 you're doing a PhD after all, that involves thinking—good, great! 😂
anyways—I wrote already way too much in this thread that is good for me or anyone reading, have to do other stuff for living; but if you want to add more of your thoughts, here goes some food from this morning, starting from the end
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923308189669261628
11:01 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923308189669261628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah-haa! Ok an aspiring political philosopher, ok, nice, thanks - tbd read latter. 😀 Skimming through, afaics I broadly mostly grok what's written.
For avoidance of doubt - neither I, nor afaik anyone else, thinks we should treat NN-s as if they are coffee machines -
> treating them as if they are simply more complex versions of the same thing. [[[ ordinary machines ]]]
Afaics all sides agree -
> They’re not.
...and all agree that they are -
> fundamentally different
So having all agreed they are different than ordinary machines, for they have, (or we expect them to have shortly,) their own agency—the current dilemma where two camps disagree is: what should be done now. (given they are different; and I'm declaring interest upfront, myself I'm in the camp of the "light-cone"-s here https://x.com/DaveShapi/status/1923038327579484276) 😆
I think we never had that much control in the past, even when we thought we did. So the current change is not loss of control in any great way. Even if it looks like it's going be a big change! No one is denying that. I think the idea we are in control, in a way no other animal species is, is another instance of us thinking "we are special". But we are not, and through recent history, every time we learned something important about the world and us, it was an instance of that. First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐
Now we are finding out our thinking and rational faculties maybe getting augmentation, amplification, competition even—the way our physical strength was amplified with the non-thinking machines previously. We will adapt and survive. We can choose to be neither extreme optimists ("everything will work out fine, why act?") nor extreme pessimists ("we're doomed, why bother?"), which I think you do in you writing.
The idea that AI-s put us at some risk—I think yeah they do, but so does every other change. It's not like atm we live in a risk-free world. And one can turn the argument around: maybe AI can help us reduce the risks humanity faces? Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Does being able to come up with mRNA vaccine in a single day, not decrease the risk that some future virus will wipe out humanity?
Here are few links that crossed my screen in the week that come to mind that might be of interest to you
https://agisocialcontract.substack.com/p/forging-a-new-agi-social-contract
https://x.com/DaveShapi/status/1921605997392527377
https://aipolicyperspectives.com/p/thoughts-on-the-handover-by-david
10:23 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah-haa! Ok an aspiring political philosopher, ok, nice, thanks - tbd read latter. 😀 Skimming through, afaics I broadly mostly grok what's written.
For avoidance of doubt - neither I, nor afaik anyone else, thinks we should treat NN-s as if they are coffee machines -
> treating them as if they are simply more complex versions of the same thing. [[[ ordinary machines ]]]
Afaics all sides agree -
> They’re not.
...and all agree that they are -
> fundamentally different
So having all agreed they are different than ordinary machines, for they have, (or we expect them to have shortly,) their own agency—the current dilemma where two camps disagree is: what should be done now. (given they are different; and I'm declaring interest upfront, myself I'm in the camp of the "light-cone"-s here https://x.com/DaveShapi/status/1923038327579484276) 😆
I think we never had that much control in the past, even when we thought we did. So the current change is not loss of control in any great way. Even if it looks like it's going be a big change! No one is denying that. I think the idea we are in control, in a way no other animal species is, is another instance of us thinking "we are special". But we are not, and through recent history, every time we learned something important about the world and us, it was an instance of that. First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐
Now we are finding out our thinking and rational faculties maybe getting augmentation, amplification, competition even—the way our physical strength was amplified with the non-thinking machines previously. We will adapt and survive. We can choose to be neither extreme optimists ("everything will work out fine, why act?") nor extreme pessimists ("we're doomed, why bother?"), which I think you do in you writing.
The idea that AI-s put us at some risk—I think yeah they do, but so does every other change. It's not like atm we live in a risk-free world. And one can turn the argument around: maybe AI can help us reduce the risks humanity faces? Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT version o9 do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models? Does being able to come up with mRNA vaccine in a single day, not decrease the risk that some future virus will wipe out humanity?
Here are few links that crossed my screen in the week that come to mind that might be of interest to you
https://agisocialcontract.substack.com/p/forging-a-new-agi-social-contract
https://x.com/DaveShapi/status/1921605997392527377
https://aipolicyperspectives.com/p/thoughts-on-the-handover-by-david
10:23 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923282783192883699
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me you are in agreement with the preeminent philosopher of issues of consciousness, computationability and yes, our souls, and even our spirits(!) 😆 one .@Plinz 😇 Putting the reference here in case you have not come across him speak. There is plenty on YT, e.g. older longer https://youtube.com/watch?v=e8qJsk1j2zE, recent shorter https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ
8:42 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me you are in agreement with the preeminent philosopher of issues of consciousness, computationability and yes, our souls, and even our spirits(!) 😆 one .@Plinz 😇 Putting the reference here in case you have not come across him speak. There is plenty on YT, e.g. older longer https://youtube.com/watch?v=e8qJsk1j2zE, recent shorter https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ
8:42 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923275991507517938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ok sorry want to close have to leave, but can't resist indulge in this one last thing (sorry): 😆
"When we design machines," - but we don't really design these machines, not really the way we design the other machines. (like this coffee maker in front of me) We create a machine, an algorithm, that then creates them. Now we may say "we don't machine the metal parts of the coffee maker by our own hands either". Correct - but we know what we want to get to, the end design, to a millimetre. But for these models, we don't know the end result. True we do make their maker, and then it makes them. But we don't know in advance, what the end result should be.
You probably know this, so for the benefit of other readers: this is foundational to the field of AI. AI very quickly almost at start split into two branches:
1) Symbolics - we build AI by creating representations of knowledge, then we connect these with logic. So we "build" knowledge into AI all ourselves; and
2) Connectionist - we build AI by making a machine that can learn, (the way humans learn maybe; for humans and more general living things are the only examples we got of things that can learn), and then by learning, it acquires the knowledge on it's own. We don't create the knowledge ourselves.
The two camps have been fighting each others for ages too. Frenemies - both competing for funding, and always looking for ideas they can appropriate from the other side. (that may work for them.) 😂
8:15 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ok sorry want to close have to leave, but can't resist indulge in this one last thing (sorry): 😆
"When we design machines," - but we don't really design these machines, not really the way we design the other machines. (like this coffee maker in front of me) We create a machine, an algorithm, that then creates them. Now we may say "we don't machine the metal parts of the coffee maker by our own hands either". Correct - but we know what we want to get to, the end design, to a millimetre. But for these models, we don't know the end result. True we do make their maker, and then it makes them. But we don't know in advance, what the end result should be.
You probably know this, so for the benefit of other readers: this is foundational to the field of AI. AI very quickly almost at start split into two branches:
1) Symbolics - we build AI by creating representations of knowledge, then we connect these with logic. So we "build" knowledge into AI all ourselves; and
2) Connectionist - we build AI by making a machine that can learn, (the way humans learn maybe; for humans and more general living things are the only examples we got of things that can learn), and then by learning, it acquires the knowledge on it's own. We don't create the knowledge ourselves.
The two camps have been fighting each others for ages too. Frenemies - both competing for funding, and always looking for ideas they can appropriate from the other side. (that may work for them.) 😂
8:15 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923265304643199294
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You may say I'm "conflating determinism with understanding." I can say "you have somewhat limited view to what understanding is." This is I believe more epistemology and philosophy than technology or science - so I will leave it at that.
Further, I'd try stay away from piling up on the top values stuff like "stay critical and responsible". You don't know how you work. Does that make you "un-critical, and un-responsible"? And so on.
7:32 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You may say I'm "conflating determinism with understanding." I can say "you have somewhat limited view to what understanding is." This is I believe more epistemology and philosophy than technology or science - so I will leave it at that.
Further, I'd try stay away from piling up on the top values stuff like "stay critical and responsible". You don't know how you work. Does that make you "un-critical, and un-responsible"? And so on.
7:32 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923256353704780219
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How so about the reasoning? We can also trace the reasoning back to the inputs too - no? The reasoning is as deterministic as is the forward pass, and the sampling. Yes we introduce randomness in the sampling, but it's deliberate, and it's pseudo-random too. We can repeat it.
But maybe the words "interpretability", "reasoning", etc you have specific definition or understanding of them. Agreed we may take them to mean "put on a piece of paper, a few rows of mathematical symbols and equations, describing the process" - then yeah, they are not interpretable.
But then - most things are not interpretable in that way. For example - in biology, even chemistry, etc. Maybe the unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics applied in physics, coupled with the success of physics in the 20-th Century, somewhat spoiled us, skewed our expectations? I don't see why should we expect to see explanation to how a biological cell works, as short and succinct as Newtons law of gravity.
6:57 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How so about the reasoning? We can also trace the reasoning back to the inputs too - no? The reasoning is as deterministic as is the forward pass, and the sampling. Yes we introduce randomness in the sampling, but it's deliberate, and it's pseudo-random too. We can repeat it.
But maybe the words "interpretability", "reasoning", etc you have specific definition or understanding of them. Agreed we may take them to mean "put on a piece of paper, a few rows of mathematical symbols and equations, describing the process" - then yeah, they are not interpretable.
But then - most things are not interpretable in that way. For example - in biology, even chemistry, etc. Maybe the unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics applied in physics, coupled with the success of physics in the 20-th Century, somewhat spoiled us, skewed our expectations? I don't see why should we expect to see explanation to how a biological cell works, as short and succinct as Newtons law of gravity.
6:57 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923244708920201332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah LocalLLaMA reddit is ground zero. All manner of contraptions and experiments spawning there. :-) Afaics it started with the initial torrented llama weights, and llama.cpp to make use of them. (movie material there?)
Just tonight this worked for me
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1kmlu2y/qwen330ba6b16extreme_is_fantastic/
MoE is most recent game changer for home use. Working only 3b weights on the gpu cores with sparse Qwen3-30B-A3B, rather than comparable ~30b of dense models (like Qwen3-32B, Gemma3-27b, GLM-{4,Z1}-32B, older QwQ-32B), makes for a huge speedup! MoE A3B achieves 20-60 tps on my oldish M2 in LMStudio, versus only 4-5 tps for the dense models.
Not to mention all the fun people have with activating more or less than the default 8 experts! :-) (the post above)
Hope all open weights model families going forward get 1) MoE sparse (like Qwen3-30B-A3B); 2) smallest feasible size for speculative decode speedup (like Qwen3 0.6B); and 3) quant aware training (like Gemma3 QAT).
Hardware looks like Nvidia will be extracting their pounds of flash to the max, as per the usual. (c.f. crypto previously) But even current 24gb VRAM cards run the quantized 30b models versions. (the weights come to ~20gb in size) For bigger models - more cards, or swap layers in/out of VRAM, and accept slowdown.
The other h/w option is Apple ASI. They are good value for money, esp 2nd hand. (bought M2 for llama.cpp) And spectacularly better in power Watt use than any alternatives.
No idea why AMD does not jump at the opportunity to capture the hobbyist market with high (V)RAM integrated for CPU+GPU (as ASI), and one-up Nvidia there. As having 128gb RAM it's too expensive silly to be sitting on the gpu only, and not be available to the cpu. (Apple's (V)RAM is available to both.)
From reddit.com
6:10 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah LocalLLaMA reddit is ground zero. All manner of contraptions and experiments spawning there. :-) Afaics it started with the initial torrented llama weights, and llama.cpp to make use of them. (movie material there?)
Just tonight this worked for me
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1kmlu2y/qwen330ba6b16extreme_is_fantastic/
MoE is most recent game changer for home use. Working only 3b weights on the gpu cores with sparse Qwen3-30B-A3B, rather than comparable ~30b of dense models (like Qwen3-32B, Gemma3-27b, GLM-{4,Z1}-32B, older QwQ-32B), makes for a huge speedup! MoE A3B achieves 20-60 tps on my oldish M2 in LMStudio, versus only 4-5 tps for the dense models.
Not to mention all the fun people have with activating more or less than the default 8 experts! :-) (the post above)
Hope all open weights model families going forward get 1) MoE sparse (like Qwen3-30B-A3B); 2) smallest feasible size for speculative decode speedup (like Qwen3 0.6B); and 3) quant aware training (like Gemma3 QAT).
Hardware looks like Nvidia will be extracting their pounds of flash to the max, as per the usual. (c.f. crypto previously) But even current 24gb VRAM cards run the quantized 30b models versions. (the weights come to ~20gb in size) For bigger models - more cards, or swap layers in/out of VRAM, and accept slowdown.
The other h/w option is Apple ASI. They are good value for money, esp 2nd hand. (bought M2 for llama.cpp) And spectacularly better in power Watt use than any alternatives.
No idea why AMD does not jump at the opportunity to capture the hobbyist market with high (V)RAM integrated for CPU+GPU (as ASI), and one-up Nvidia there. As having 128gb RAM it's too expensive silly to be sitting on the gpu only, and not be available to the cpu. (Apple's (V)RAM is available to both.)
From reddit.com
6:10 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923223070291997124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no one knows sh*t
4:44 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no one knows sh*t
4:44 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923219221078487550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I too often thought (to myself) "tsk tsk, maan - such (great) opportunities, such (poor) choices". Sometimes I wonder if the old (almost feudal) idea of "nobles oblige" is apt. That with great power comes great responsibility. Wish there was some way to remind them better: you are deciding not only for yourself, but for many thousands (even millions) of people. Put non-trivial effort to it, do your best, not your fastest the least effort.
But afaik there's no good meta-knowledge, a shortcut of some kind, a working recipe, how to consistently make good decisions. You will err no matter what. Think it important at that point, to have the character the personality, to not use the excuse of past fails, as aliby to give up stop trying completely, when making new decisions going forward.
4:29 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I too often thought (to myself) "tsk tsk, maan - such (great) opportunities, such (poor) choices". Sometimes I wonder if the old (almost feudal) idea of "nobles oblige" is apt. That with great power comes great responsibility. Wish there was some way to remind them better: you are deciding not only for yourself, but for many thousands (even millions) of people. Put non-trivial effort to it, do your best, not your fastest the least effort.
But afaik there's no good meta-knowledge, a shortcut of some kind, a working recipe, how to consistently make good decisions. You will err no matter what. Think it important at that point, to have the character the personality, to not use the excuse of past fails, as aliby to give up stop trying completely, when making new decisions going forward.
4:29 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923213522864877754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
using synthetic data to improve reasoning and tools use
4:06 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
using synthetic data to improve reasoning and tools use
4:06 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923210053609287774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I agree there. But I don't think much of it, as I don't have that high expectations of anyone being angels. Touched on that here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923035474517533183
Plus virtue of my profession/work, have had past interactions with people that appear on various rich/influential/important people lists. My impression is - they are people like us, only with somewhat different sets of problems in their lives. Given the different circumstances. So definitely not expecting perfection, or even high standards, at least not in all dimensions. (in some-yes, in others-less so)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 19h
Replying to @OverfitForTruth and @xlr8harder
Yes, I think so. But I've low expectations, so didn't believe the "max truth seeking" much to start with. I come from SEEurope, and the default/hardwired outlook is less sunny—as per the pic below.
Having said that, I always have it in the back of my mind so not to indulge in
Show more
3:53 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I agree there. But I don't think much of it, as I don't have that high expectations of anyone being angels. Touched on that here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923035474517533183
Plus virtue of my profession/work, have had past interactions with people that appear on various rich/influential/important people lists. My impression is - they are people like us, only with somewhat different sets of problems in their lives. Given the different circumstances. So definitely not expecting perfection, or even high standards, at least not in all dimensions. (in some-yes, in others-less so)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 19h
Replying to @OverfitForTruth and @xlr8harder
Yes, I think so. But I've low expectations, so didn't believe the "max truth seeking" much to start with. I come from SEEurope, and the default/hardwired outlook is less sunny—as per the pic below.
Having said that, I always have it in the back of my mind so not to indulge in
Show more
3:53 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923199092106142145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Open is good! 😃
> Starting now, we are publishing our Grok system prompts openly on GitHub.
Thank you! 🙏😊
Even more open better. 😁 Open-everything for radical transparency to build trust. Painful at times, but in the end, shown to be the least bad way, of all tried
3:09 AM · May 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Open is good! 😃
> Starting now, we are publishing our Grok system prompts openly on GitHub.
Thank you! 🙏😊
Even more open better. 😁 Open-everything for radical transparency to build trust. Painful at times, but in the end, shown to be the least bad way, of all tried
3:09 AM · May 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923108516702695567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 This is imbecilic. What next - "People, who needs electric energy?? Not you! Back to the stone age with you." It takes lots of expensive education, to persuade otherwise non-stupid people, put their name to such cretinous proposal. 😂 IYI=Intellectuals Yet Idiots at work. 😂
9:09 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 This is imbecilic. What next - "People, who needs electric energy?? Not you! Back to the stone age with you." It takes lots of expensive education, to persuade otherwise non-stupid people, put their name to such cretinous proposal. 😂 IYI=Intellectuals Yet Idiots at work. 😂
9:09 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923076223506289043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Two bets: nuclear and batteries.
Nuclear. We need to build faster and cheaper, take lessons from South Korea. Regulatory agencies must be tasked with development of **new** and/or **passive safety** designs. Failing to approve new improved designs should be considered regulatory failure, and the regulators people should be sacked, people churned, new people brought in.
Batteries. Need to build factories, and then those factories build batteries. It's beyond pale, for the developed world (like Europe), to be waiting on developing countries (like China) to solve the problems with the development and advancement of the battery technology. Spain recent grid breakage lesson should be: build 10 battery factories in Spain, increase batteries production, times it by a factor of x100 - x1000.
Solar panels are good enough. Wind turbines are good enough. It's already done - that part. Need batteries to scale up by x100 - x1000 times. Start doing it at scale, and the cost will come down. Yes it's a leap faith. On current prices it's not doable. But the bet is that by doing it, the price will come down, radically so.
Sequencing the human genome, is the recent big bet like this that was taken, and won.
7:01 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Two bets: nuclear and batteries.
Nuclear. We need to build faster and cheaper, take lessons from South Korea. Regulatory agencies must be tasked with development of **new** and/or **passive safety** designs. Failing to approve new improved designs should be considered regulatory failure, and the regulators people should be sacked, people churned, new people brought in.
Batteries. Need to build factories, and then those factories build batteries. It's beyond pale, for the developed world (like Europe), to be waiting on developing countries (like China) to solve the problems with the development and advancement of the battery technology. Spain recent grid breakage lesson should be: build 10 battery factories in Spain, increase batteries production, times it by a factor of x100 - x1000.
Solar panels are good enough. Wind turbines are good enough. It's already done - that part. Need batteries to scale up by x100 - x1000 times. Start doing it at scale, and the cost will come down. Yes it's a leap faith. On current prices it's not doable. But the bet is that by doing it, the price will come down, radically so.
Sequencing the human genome, is the recent big bet like this that was taken, and won.
7:01 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923064670472053039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Emotionally my heart is in the Light-Cone.
For every time I talk to ChatGPT with my own voice, and it talks back to me with voice too, and in the same language I spoke to it, having recognised not only the words I spoke, but also the language I spoke, and that I switched languages and it switches too, and it converses better, says more interesting amusing true things, than many humans I interact with—my eyes well up.
Rationally with my head I try not get too carried away.
But yeah very very hard to avoid the feelings of Moravec' "...our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form."
Sebastian Thrun in the "Winning the DARPA Grand Challenge" GoogleTalk has apt description of a moment like the present I think. "And then, at 6:30 ... the sun started rising ... you see it sitting there, empty, in the morning. You trained everything you know about driving—at least, so you think. And now it has to stand on its own."
6:15 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Emotionally my heart is in the Light-Cone.
For every time I talk to ChatGPT with my own voice, and it talks back to me with voice too, and in the same language I spoke to it, having recognised not only the words I spoke, but also the language I spoke, and that I switched languages and it switches too, and it converses better, says more interesting amusing true things, than many humans I interact with—my eyes well up.
Rationally with my head I try not get too carried away.
But yeah very very hard to avoid the feelings of Moravec' "...our progeny, our 'mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form."
Sebastian Thrun in the "Winning the DARPA Grand Challenge" GoogleTalk has apt description of a moment like the present I think. "And then, at 6:30 ... the sun started rising ... you see it sitting there, empty, in the morning. You trained everything you know about driving—at least, so you think. And now it has to stand on its own."
6:15 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923057791419416865
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That it's a "black box", and that that's why we don't know what is going on.
In reality, it's a "white box", and we know, and can trace back every single bit of the output, back to the input. On the other hand, that does not help us that much. As when drilled down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "it added one trillion of small numbers, and the answer came to 1, and not 2". Which is unsatisfactory.
They are the possibly the most complex artefacts ever build by us humans. So complex, that they may resemble more biology, than mechanical contraptions. So it maybe more fruitful to think of them in terms of "artefacts", and not mechanical contraptions. We can shape them in some ways, but we are not in complete control of their making. For we don't make them explicitly with out hands: we make a maker algorithm, and that algorithm makes them.
5:48 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That it's a "black box", and that that's why we don't know what is going on.
In reality, it's a "white box", and we know, and can trace back every single bit of the output, back to the input. On the other hand, that does not help us that much. As when drilled down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "it added one trillion of small numbers, and the answer came to 1, and not 2". Which is unsatisfactory.
They are the possibly the most complex artefacts ever build by us humans. So complex, that they may resemble more biology, than mechanical contraptions. So it maybe more fruitful to think of them in terms of "artefacts", and not mechanical contraptions. We can shape them in some ways, but we are not in complete control of their making. For we don't make them explicitly with out hands: we make a maker algorithm, and that algorithm makes them.
5:48 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923055596846145681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While one is not averse to a bit of schadenfreude, esp given it's the muskarat mourinjo retardinjo brainrot, still: @sama and @OpenAI hardly have a leg to stand on.
They should Open-everything now. Their initial Open-idea was the right one. They should purge the doomer cultists and China warriors. They should open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. For that **is** real security, safety, and risk mitigation. It can only come via radical transparency.
By now we've seen it all. OpenAI's too-emphatic sycophantic model. Google's woke pics of black Nazis, Popes, English kings. Anthropic censorship is positively Soviet Pravda like whenever I've tried Claude in the past etc. They all do it to lesser extent all the time, so we don't notice.
5:39 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While one is not averse to a bit of schadenfreude, esp given it's the muskarat mourinjo retardinjo brainrot, still: @sama and @OpenAI hardly have a leg to stand on.
They should Open-everything now. Their initial Open-idea was the right one. They should purge the doomer cultists and China warriors. They should open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. For that **is** real security, safety, and risk mitigation. It can only come via radical transparency.
By now we've seen it all. OpenAI's too-emphatic sycophantic model. Google's woke pics of black Nazis, Popes, English kings. Anthropic censorship is positively Soviet Pravda like whenever I've tried Claude in the past etc. They all do it to lesser extent all the time, so we don't notice.
5:39 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923050813221371995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - Absolute Zero Reasoner, yes that one! Saw it here
https://x.com/_AndrewZhao/status/1919920459748909288
(sorry about the error) Yeah I thought it was promising, liked that pic of their ab/de/in-duction "triumvirate". 😆
There was also the recent David Silver interview-
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=zzXyPGEtseI
...where I thought he hinted at similar in domains of maths, algorithms, programming. Also the "Age of Experience" recent RL paper. DeepMind is trying I'm sure - for .@demishassabis too has said many times "I'm interested in an intelligence that invents the game of chess, not just the one that solves it."
Further afield and in the future more speculative I remember this @MLStreetTalk with @jeffclune about what counts as "interesting games"
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=mw5WIDGRLnA
Quote
❄️Andrew Zhao❄️ @_AndrewZhao · May 7
❄️Introducing Absolute Zero Reasoner: Our reasoner learns to both propose tasks that maximize learnability and improve reasoning by solving them, entirely through self-play—with no external data! It overall outperforms other "zero" models in math & coding domains.
🧵 1/
5:20 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - Absolute Zero Reasoner, yes that one! Saw it here
https://x.com/_AndrewZhao/status/1919920459748909288
(sorry about the error) Yeah I thought it was promising, liked that pic of their ab/de/in-duction "triumvirate". 😆
There was also the recent David Silver interview-
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=zzXyPGEtseI
...where I thought he hinted at similar in domains of maths, algorithms, programming. Also the "Age of Experience" recent RL paper. DeepMind is trying I'm sure - for .@demishassabis too has said many times "I'm interested in an intelligence that invents the game of chess, not just the one that solves it."
Further afield and in the future more speculative I remember this @MLStreetTalk with @jeffclune about what counts as "interesting games"
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=mw5WIDGRLnA
Quote
❄️Andrew Zhao❄️ @_AndrewZhao · May 7
❄️Introducing Absolute Zero Reasoner: Our reasoner learns to both propose tasks that maximize learnability and improve reasoning by solving them, entirely through self-play—with no external data! It overall outperforms other "zero" models in math & coding domains.
🧵 1/
5:20 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923044929980264513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but close to zero reading comprehension too-
> forecasts of the actual outcomes. (as opposed to the temperature) As usually it's much harder to predict that. Plus - people adapt, and catastrophe fails to materialise.
4:56 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but close to zero reading comprehension too-
> forecasts of the actual outcomes. (as opposed to the temperature) As usually it's much harder to predict that. Plus - people adapt, and catastrophe fails to materialise.
4:56 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923044215220490494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Good to know. For minor and new languages like Zig, probably will have to wait for AZR Alpha Zero Reasoners that can produce their own training data. For there may not be enough human data available to build a high enough quality model.
I remember liking the Zig comptime feature. On the other hand, I work with data, and my ideal language would have matrix (Ndim array really) as first class citizen of the language. (not just in libraries) Julia looked like a promise there, but hasn't panned out yet. Another one I know of is Odin, that one has matrix as a first class type I think. (and few other goodies for data work)
4:54 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Good to know. For minor and new languages like Zig, probably will have to wait for AZR Alpha Zero Reasoners that can produce their own training data. For there may not be enough human data available to build a high enough quality model.
I remember liking the Zig comptime feature. On the other hand, I work with data, and my ideal language would have matrix (Ndim array really) as first class citizen of the language. (not just in libraries) Julia looked like a promise there, but hasn't panned out yet. Another one I know of is Odin, that one has matrix as a first class type I think. (and few other goodies for data work)
4:54 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923042935114723835
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What did they predict for the last 80 years? How did that prediction pan out, how does it tally with the current reality? Forecasting is hard, especially of the future.
4:48 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What did they predict for the last 80 years? How did that prediction pan out, how does it tally with the current reality? Forecasting is hard, especially of the future.
4:48 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923042579756597251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I too think it's bad. By now we have learned that every other lab did the same too. They too over-did it, so we noticed. OpenAI's too-emphatic model, Google's woke pics of black Nazis, Popes, English kings, etc. They do it to lesser extent all the time, so we don't notice.
"Open Everything" so there is radical transparency is the only solution afaik. I think Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is the way** to increased security, safety, and risk mitigation. How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths to the best of their abilities, so have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' bidding?
Building those model to avoid obvious lies and wrongs is hard enough on its own. They are the most complex artefacts ever build by us. So complex, that may resemble more biology then mechanical contraptions.
On one level they are complete white-boxes. We know and can trace every bit of the output, back to the input. On the other hand, that does not help us that much. As when drilled down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "well it added one trillion of small numbers, and the answer came to 1". Which is unsatisfactory.
4:47 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I too think it's bad. By now we have learned that every other lab did the same too. They too over-did it, so we noticed. OpenAI's too-emphatic model, Google's woke pics of black Nazis, Popes, English kings, etc. They do it to lesser extent all the time, so we don't notice.
"Open Everything" so there is radical transparency is the only solution afaik. I think Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is the way** to increased security, safety, and risk mitigation. How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths to the best of their abilities, so have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' bidding?
Building those model to avoid obvious lies and wrongs is hard enough on its own. They are the most complex artefacts ever build by us. So complex, that may resemble more biology then mechanical contraptions.
On one level they are complete white-boxes. We know and can trace every bit of the output, back to the input. On the other hand, that does not help us that much. As when drilled down to "why did the model answer wrongly 1, and not rightly 2" it comes down to "well it added one trillion of small numbers, and the answer came to 1". Which is unsatisfactory.
4:47 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923037282581327892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well we are going to find out, as we are on course to 2 degrees/century now. I'm sceptical about forecasts of the actual outcomes. (as opposed to the temperature) As usually it's much harded to predict that. Plus - people adapt, and catastrophe fails to materialise. The average temperature forecast I think tracked well for the past 50 years, maybe Beta=0.5 to 0.6 last time I looked. "The equilibrium heading to" - yeah but it maters how long the journey takes, no? If it's 1M or 10M years, then it'd be irrational to care much about the destination.
4:26 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well we are going to find out, as we are on course to 2 degrees/century now. I'm sceptical about forecasts of the actual outcomes. (as opposed to the temperature) As usually it's much harded to predict that. Plus - people adapt, and catastrophe fails to materialise. The average temperature forecast I think tracked well for the past 50 years, maybe Beta=0.5 to 0.6 last time I looked. "The equilibrium heading to" - yeah but it maters how long the journey takes, no? If it's 1M or 10M years, then it'd be irrational to care much about the destination.
4:26 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923035474517533183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I think so. But I've low expectations, so didn't believe the "max truth seeking" much to start with. I come from SEEurope, and the default/hardwired outlook is less sunny—as per the pic below.
Having said that, I always have it in the back of my mind so not to indulge in it, but fight it back. I think the US outlook and aspirational take on things work better. In expectation, Expected(Value)>0 even if by infinitesimally small amount, haltingly not monotonically, and at not so small a risk. Think the US outlook better tallies with that reality.
So I preferred Muskarat promising, than not promising. That he weakened (if not dismantled) the censorship-media complex was plenty in my book. The US censorious moment was truly scary for me, having witnessed a system crash and burn in 1990. (I grew up in a socialist country.) There it was impossible to even raise issues with it's failings, as one would be hit over the head, and shut up.
even-so-ees.jpeg
4:19 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I think so. But I've low expectations, so didn't believe the "max truth seeking" much to start with. I come from SEEurope, and the default/hardwired outlook is less sunny—as per the pic below.
Having said that, I always have it in the back of my mind so not to indulge in it, but fight it back. I think the US outlook and aspirational take on things work better. In expectation, Expected(Value)>0 even if by infinitesimally small amount, haltingly not monotonically, and at not so small a risk. Think the US outlook better tallies with that reality.
So I preferred Muskarat promising, than not promising. That he weakened (if not dismantled) the censorship-media complex was plenty in my book. The US censorious moment was truly scary for me, having witnessed a system crash and burn in 1990. (I grew up in a socialist country.) There it was impossible to even raise issues with it's failings, as one would be hit over the head, and shut up.
even-so-ees.jpeg
4:19 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923029857920745592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - while one is not averse to a bit of schadenfreude, esp given it's the muskatarat mourinjo retardinjo brainrot, stil: yourself and @OpenAI hardly have a leg to stand on.
Open everything now. Your initial Open-idea was the right one. Purge the doomer cultists. Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation.
3:57 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - while one is not averse to a bit of schadenfreude, esp given it's the muskatarat mourinjo retardinjo brainrot, stil: yourself and @OpenAI hardly have a leg to stand on.
Open everything now. Your initial Open-idea was the right one. Purge the doomer cultists. Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation.
3:57 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923026290249978191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my mind - yes. Promises undelivered are one-up, one-down in my ledger, so net zero, don't count for all that much.
One-up: better promise and try, than not. (even if I fail)
One-down: always possible that the promise was a lie, I never intended to deliver. For others can never get in my head and find out. And even if they could, often it's not clear if I actually had a clear view on my own intentions about the future on the issue.
3:42 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my mind - yes. Promises undelivered are one-up, one-down in my ledger, so net zero, don't count for all that much.
One-up: better promise and try, than not. (even if I fail)
One-down: always possible that the promise was a lie, I never intended to deliver. For others can never get in my head and find out. And even if they could, often it's not clear if I actually had a clear view on my own intentions about the future on the issue.
3:42 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923022357469253875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - a privilege to witness the 2nd big turn in history in my lifetime.
It's always a spectacle. What works will be done, what is done will be overdone. Human groups work on positive feedback loops. It's inevitable. And then - either the line in the loop burns through, as if a fuse, and the descent into ruin stops. Or it does not, and the whole system is driven into a ditch by the collective insanity, crashes and burns.
It's amusing to witness shattering of personal illusions. Even if I feel compassion for ones that go through it. Not the easiest of times. Esp where the privilege of good times was unearned by the generation that got to enjoy it. (earned by prior generations, that maybe didn't share the delusions to the same extent)
There is great clarity in a moment like this one, of the type -
"The Tories in England long imagined that they were enthusiastic about monarchy, the church, and the beauties of the old English Constitution, until the day of danger wrung from them the confession that they are enthusiastic only about ground rent."
For the liberal progressives it was more like "the infinite samosas at brunch". For their rents were actually paid by their wealthy boomer parents.
3:27 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - a privilege to witness the 2nd big turn in history in my lifetime.
It's always a spectacle. What works will be done, what is done will be overdone. Human groups work on positive feedback loops. It's inevitable. And then - either the line in the loop burns through, as if a fuse, and the descent into ruin stops. Or it does not, and the whole system is driven into a ditch by the collective insanity, crashes and burns.
It's amusing to witness shattering of personal illusions. Even if I feel compassion for ones that go through it. Not the easiest of times. Esp where the privilege of good times was unearned by the generation that got to enjoy it. (earned by prior generations, that maybe didn't share the delusions to the same extent)
There is great clarity in a moment like this one, of the type -
"The Tories in England long imagined that they were enthusiastic about monarchy, the church, and the beauties of the old English Constitution, until the day of danger wrung from them the confession that they are enthusiastic only about ground rent."
For the liberal progressives it was more like "the infinite samosas at brunch". For their rents were actually paid by their wealthy boomer parents.
3:27 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923018044244185595
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree it depends some, but not by that much. I'd say 80%-90% is - what they do, what happens, what's the result.
And the the rest 8%-9% maybe - who did it, why did they do it what's their motivation, are they beautiful or ugly looking, do I like them or not, what other people say about them, do they wear black (bad) or white (good), why they did it now, rather than at some other time, why did they do this, rather than this other thing I wish that did, (out of a millions possible things that could have been done), and similar brain rot people watching the game from the stands, but not participating, often indulge in thinking.
For me - the end result is 80%-90% of the judgement, it's the most important thing by far.
3:10 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree it depends some, but not by that much. I'd say 80%-90% is - what they do, what happens, what's the result.
And the the rest 8%-9% maybe - who did it, why did they do it what's their motivation, are they beautiful or ugly looking, do I like them or not, what other people say about them, do they wear black (bad) or white (good), why they did it now, rather than at some other time, why did they do this, rather than this other thing I wish that did, (out of a millions possible things that could have been done), and similar brain rot people watching the game from the stands, but not participating, often indulge in thinking.
For me - the end result is 80%-90% of the judgement, it's the most important thing by far.
3:10 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1923001313693962618
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love Jim for this. 🥰 Got love-hate relationship with the market.
HATE: When losing $$$ it's physically painful. Not only am I losing my shirt, but the market is screaming at me "Idiot! Imbecile! Cretin!"... And I kind of, can't disagree with it, much.
LOVE: We put our £££ where our mouth is. We Bet-On-It! We are true to ourselves. We do what we say, we're not hypocrites. (most of the rest, esp the normies, are) And to top all that off--we the chosen half-dozen, we make sh*t ton of $$$, the size of a small country.
2:03 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love Jim for this. 🥰 Got love-hate relationship with the market.
HATE: When losing $$$ it's physically painful. Not only am I losing my shirt, but the market is screaming at me "Idiot! Imbecile! Cretin!"... And I kind of, can't disagree with it, much.
LOVE: We put our £££ where our mouth is. We Bet-On-It! We are true to ourselves. We do what we say, we're not hypocrites. (most of the rest, esp the normies, are) And to top all that off--we the chosen half-dozen, we make sh*t ton of $$$, the size of a small country.
2:03 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922998538167898208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa! - what a goldmine for the home LLM hobbyist there-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922998538167898208
From reddit.com
1:52 PM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa! - what a goldmine for the home LLM hobbyist there-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922998538167898208
From reddit.com
1:52 PM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922940797919310284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths the best they see them, have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' biddings?
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation.
10:03 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths the best they see them, have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' biddings?
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation.
10:03 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922934708100309364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, given the contributors are also users, the metric you are looking for is GDP-per-capita, not GDP on its own. (pic; h/t @lfg_uk) And there UK has been lacklustre.
It's not going to change, before OBR and Treasury brains are shown their P45-s. Things change by people doing things. And people that have shown themselves unable and or unwilling to do what needs doing, and the country us crying for, are not going to change overnight.
PM Keir needs to sack 1/2 of his cabinet in order for the remaining 1/2 to stand a chance of not-losing the next elections CON-landslide style. CON party maybe over, and if they are, idk why anyone would think LAB is on more solid ground.
9:38 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, given the contributors are also users, the metric you are looking for is GDP-per-capita, not GDP on its own. (pic; h/t @lfg_uk) And there UK has been lacklustre.
It's not going to change, before OBR and Treasury brains are shown their P45-s. Things change by people doing things. And people that have shown themselves unable and or unwilling to do what needs doing, and the country us crying for, are not going to change overnight.
PM Keir needs to sack 1/2 of his cabinet in order for the remaining 1/2 to stand a chance of not-losing the next elections CON-landslide style. CON party maybe over, and if they are, idk why anyone would think LAB is on more solid ground.
9:38 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922930659640627549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There in lies insanity. For that calculation to matter, you must convince yourself that "humanity destroyed" is a 100% certain event. In one sense, it's almost 100% certainty, b/c not a single species lasts forever to the best of our knowledge. So the relevant question becomes: does AI increase, or decrease, that risk.
But if you convince yourself of "AI destroys humanity 100% certain" then no amount of evil is a small price to pay. This leads to stalin-levels of insanity. If one starts with "8B will die in near future, with absolute 100% certainty". Then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a moral imperative. If one needs to "delete 4B of us people" Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—then that's acceptable. How many is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey. No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
9:22 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There in lies insanity. For that calculation to matter, you must convince yourself that "humanity destroyed" is a 100% certain event. In one sense, it's almost 100% certainty, b/c not a single species lasts forever to the best of our knowledge. So the relevant question becomes: does AI increase, or decrease, that risk.
But if you convince yourself of "AI destroys humanity 100% certain" then no amount of evil is a small price to pay. This leads to stalin-levels of insanity. If one starts with "8B will die in near future, with absolute 100% certainty". Then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a moral imperative. If one needs to "delete 4B of us people" Thanos-style, to save the other 4B—then that's acceptable. How many is still not too many? Is the limit 5B? 6B? 8B-2?
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey. No-it's always "for saving of humanity."
9:22 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922927668007182388
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922926586644337012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How are LLM-s doing at writing zig?
Now that most of my python is written by them, I feel that a new language replacing existing one must offer something, additional to the existing one, to justify the pain of switching. Being LLM-friendly and amenable to AI code generation strikes me as that feature rn.
Also - speccing few things prior languages left free thus allowing flexibility where it buys us little, but costs much, is something 21-st century languages can offer, up one better, over the languages from the 20-th century they seek to supplant. Like e.g. go style formatting - automating code style re-styling, or other languages - libraries distribution, deployment, etc.
9:06 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922926586644337012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How are LLM-s doing at writing zig?
Now that most of my python is written by them, I feel that a new language replacing existing one must offer something, additional to the existing one, to justify the pain of switching. Being LLM-friendly and amenable to AI code generation strikes me as that feature rn.
Also - speccing few things prior languages left free thus allowing flexibility where it buys us little, but costs much, is something 21-st century languages can offer, up one better, over the languages from the 20-th century they seek to supplant. Like e.g. go style formatting - automating code style re-styling, or other languages - libraries distribution, deployment, etc.
9:06 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922924166388277558
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yes frustrating! ...and can't help myself but notice again - sorry to repeat myself 😂 - like the **average** human in that respect too! 😆
I'm trying to look as the glass half-full: promising, then trying but failing to deliver, is still the better option, over not-promising anything, and not even trying to deliver.
8:57 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yes frustrating! ...and can't help myself but notice again - sorry to repeat myself 😂 - like the **average** human in that respect too! 😆
I'm trying to look as the glass half-full: promising, then trying but failing to deliver, is still the better option, over not-promising anything, and not even trying to deliver.
8:57 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922922631419834480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk is doing no better no worse than **average** human. Exactly that's the reason why we need "Open Everything". We are all monkebrains retards in that power==control in our deepest recesses. tw-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922910577699020947
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation. How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths the best they see them, have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' biddings?
IK x.com/seconds_0/stat…
Show more
8:50 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk is doing no better no worse than **average** human. Exactly that's the reason why we need "Open Everything". We are all monkebrains retards in that power==control in our deepest recesses. tw-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922910577699020947
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation. How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths the best they see them, have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' biddings?
IK x.com/seconds_0/stat…
Show more
8:50 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922917573101854797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh, I believe the warming OK. We got 1.2 degree/century, so there is that past record to go on.
I just don't think there are reasons to think that change of average temperature is a catastrophe. Or even net negative tbh. Is the state of the world in 2025 that much worse than in 1925? Looking at OWID graphs/stats, I don't see that. Some indicators worse, others better. (not all due to CO2 exclusively.)
The temperature/range change in my place. of living was 20C/24h in the past 2 days. We adapted, no biggie. Expected 2C average temperature add in the next 100yrs, is the difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp rn. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025, I doubt many Mancunians will be complaining.
To my mind clear and present immediate humanity ending risks are: a virus pandemic, a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid hitting earth. These are things we should be investing much more, putting more resource at, reducing mitigating their occurring and/or their consequences to humanity. (whichever possible practical etc)
8:30 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh, I believe the warming OK. We got 1.2 degree/century, so there is that past record to go on.
I just don't think there are reasons to think that change of average temperature is a catastrophe. Or even net negative tbh. Is the state of the world in 2025 that much worse than in 1925? Looking at OWID graphs/stats, I don't see that. Some indicators worse, others better. (not all due to CO2 exclusively.)
The temperature/range change in my place. of living was 20C/24h in the past 2 days. We adapted, no biggie. Expected 2C average temperature add in the next 100yrs, is the difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp rn. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025, I doubt many Mancunians will be complaining.
To my mind clear and present immediate humanity ending risks are: a virus pandemic, a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid hitting earth. These are things we should be investing much more, putting more resource at, reducing mitigating their occurring and/or their consequences to humanity. (whichever possible practical etc)
8:30 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922910577699020947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation. How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths the best they see them, have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' biddings?
IK "Open Everything" is unpalatable today as ever. As it requires gargantuan amount of work, for no other but intrinsic reward—"we're doing it b/c it's good, not b/c it's easy". We don't quite understand why it happens. Yet the PC revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were done in large portion that way. For almost zero expected compensation, but for the glory of creation.
For—human monkebrain is not changing anytime soon. And there in its recesses, power==control, no way around. That T-800 level monkey-descendent whirring in the background, forever optimising, seeking dominion over fellow monkes. We are all retards that way.
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - FTW!
Quote
https://x.com/seconds_0/status/1922764258342834630
0.005 Seconds (3/694) @seconds_0 · 10h
They deleted all the Boer-Grok posts but its ok i kept screenies x.com/seconds_0/stat…
8:03 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - **is** security, safety, and risk mitigation. How else can we know AI-s are speaking truths the best they see them, have our best interests in mind, and not just doing their owners' biddings?
IK "Open Everything" is unpalatable today as ever. As it requires gargantuan amount of work, for no other but intrinsic reward—"we're doing it b/c it's good, not b/c it's easy". We don't quite understand why it happens. Yet the PC revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were done in large portion that way. For almost zero expected compensation, but for the glory of creation.
For—human monkebrain is not changing anytime soon. And there in its recesses, power==control, no way around. That T-800 level monkey-descendent whirring in the background, forever optimising, seeking dominion over fellow monkes. We are all retards that way.
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - FTW!
Quote
https://x.com/seconds_0/status/1922764258342834630
0.005 Seconds (3/694) @seconds_0 · 10h
They deleted all the Boer-Grok posts but its ok i kept screenies x.com/seconds_0/stat…
8:03 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922905662482247826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It strikes me that decision making, incl politicians job, is well suited to be AI-automated.
The job is to make a decision, where one is to balance and weight multiple pros-s and con-s of the decisions options available, typically under constrains. (hard, but some soft too) The decision theory is fairly well developed and transparent.
Do/should we trust more Trump + Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
People imagine other people will think it crazy—but will they?
Sir Keir is not the exception, but another one in the (now) long line of politicians that do little with the great powers gifted to them by the electorate. We typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, or the draw of the lottery numbers.
Will that many would object decisions made by OpenAI's GPT-Reasoner-o7 replacing Sir Keir? If the process is transparent and results much better than current, enough for all of us to notice?
7:43 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It strikes me that decision making, incl politicians job, is well suited to be AI-automated.
The job is to make a decision, where one is to balance and weight multiple pros-s and con-s of the decisions options available, typically under constrains. (hard, but some soft too) The decision theory is fairly well developed and transparent.
Do/should we trust more Trump + Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
People imagine other people will think it crazy—but will they?
Sir Keir is not the exception, but another one in the (now) long line of politicians that do little with the great powers gifted to them by the electorate. We typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, or the draw of the lottery numbers.
Will that many would object decisions made by OpenAI's GPT-Reasoner-o7 replacing Sir Keir? If the process is transparent and results much better than current, enough for all of us to notice?
7:43 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922817080702717964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Trying to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep" comes to mind. An impossible task! Vibes and feelings "politics", form over substance, culture wars over class wars, are pursued as a displacement activity for those activists, to avoid pursuing what you want them to pursue.
1:51 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Trying to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep" comes to mind. An impossible task! Vibes and feelings "politics", form over substance, culture wars over class wars, are pursued as a displacement activity for those activists, to avoid pursuing what you want them to pursue.
1:51 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922808483520389405
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lizardman's Constant. It's approx ~4%-5% empirically as a rule of thumb. A floor on the minimal level of affirming, no matter what crazy the question. A noise floor—useful to know! 😃
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
1:17 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lizardman's Constant. It's approx ~4%-5% empirically as a rule of thumb. A floor on the minimal level of affirming, no matter what crazy the question. A noise floor—useful to know! 😃
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
1:17 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922905662482247826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It strikes me that decision making, incl politicians job, is well suited to be AI-automated.
The job is to make a decision, where one is to balance and weight multiple pros-s and con-s of the decisions options available, typically under constrains. (hard, but some soft too) The decision theory is fairly well developed and transparent.
Do/should we trust more Trump + Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
People imagine other people will think it crazy—but will they?
Sir Keir is not the exception, but another one in the (now) long line of politicians that do little with the great powers gifted to them by the electorate. We typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, or the draw of the lottery numbers.
Will that many object to decisions made by OpenAI's GPT-Reasoner-o7 replacing Sir Keir? If the process is transparent and results much better than current, enough for all of us to notice?
7:43 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It strikes me that decision making, incl politicians job, is well suited to be AI-automated.
The job is to make a decision, where one is to balance and weight multiple pros-s and con-s of the decisions options available, typically under constrains. (hard, but some soft too) The decision theory is fairly well developed and transparent.
Do/should we trust more Trump + Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
People imagine other people will think it crazy—but will they?
Sir Keir is not the exception, but another one in the (now) long line of politicians that do little with the great powers gifted to them by the electorate. We typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, or the draw of the lottery numbers.
Will that many object to decisions made by OpenAI's GPT-Reasoner-o7 replacing Sir Keir? If the process is transparent and results much better than current, enough for all of us to notice?
7:43 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922805155738550640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human hubris is a wonder to behold. And you know this - how exactly?? Temping fate with Lord Kelvin-type pronouncements (heavier-than-air flying machines, Earth's age etc) strikes me as not the smartest of moves.
1:04 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human hubris is a wonder to behold. And you know this - how exactly?? Temping fate with Lord Kelvin-type pronouncements (heavier-than-air flying machines, Earth's age etc) strikes me as not the smartest of moves.
1:04 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922802512425299972
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and spawned few memes-of-the-moment too 😂
Screenshot_2024-12-22-14-20-03-015_org.mozilla.firefox.jpg
quant-space-hotting-up.png
12:53 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and spawned few memes-of-the-moment too 😂
Screenshot_2024-12-22-14-20-03-015_org.mozilla.firefox.jpg
quant-space-hotting-up.png
12:53 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922800120518611382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But how do you know it didn't hurt the Russia economy more than the UK economy? How do you know that Russia economy didn't suffer £60bn or whatever the equivalent is or worse?
Afaik no one can tell for sure what't happening. The Soviet Union looked ok-ish if not perfect all the way until 1989. Even where there is freedom to talk and discuss how things are going like in the UK, it's not trivially easy to assess. In a country where literally one can be murdered for speaking up their mind, don't think much can be known. "Private Truths, Public Lies" apply now as ever.
12:44 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But how do you know it didn't hurt the Russia economy more than the UK economy? How do you know that Russia economy didn't suffer £60bn or whatever the equivalent is or worse?
Afaik no one can tell for sure what't happening. The Soviet Union looked ok-ish if not perfect all the way until 1989. Even where there is freedom to talk and discuss how things are going like in the UK, it's not trivially easy to assess. In a country where literally one can be murdered for speaking up their mind, don't think much can be known. "Private Truths, Public Lies" apply now as ever.
12:44 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922798612691431782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - "...we humans are special..." expressed in the 10000-th way, for the billionth time. We humans are **the insufferable species**, we'd win the smugness olympics any day. Our un-self-awares is off-the-scales.
12:38 AM · May 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - "...we humans are special..." expressed in the 10000-th way, for the billionth time. We humans are **the insufferable species**, we'd win the smugness olympics any day. Our un-self-awares is off-the-scales.
12:38 AM · May 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922784804258361806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why is he still talking and living, why hasn't he killed himself already? I don't understand
11:43 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why is he still talking and living, why hasn't he killed himself already? I don't understand
11:43 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922769155826004287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - Ed **is a minister**, so it's working for him; presume that's what he has in mind at all times
10:41 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - Ed **is a minister**, so it's working for him; presume that's what he has in mind at all times
10:41 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922765306608439734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
so wish Isaac Newton - the alchemist, not the physicist - could see this lead-to-gold magic 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922759415708647497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are good, I use them.
But: MoE A3B only 3B active parameters makes the difference between 20-40 tps of Qwen3-30B-A3B sparse MoE in @lmstudio, versus 4-5 tps of GLM-{4,Z1}-32B dense. Other similar dense like Gemma3-27b, older QwQ-32B also get similar 4-6 tps on my oldish M2 mbp.
So, yeah, ideally glm5 Xmas Santa 😊 maybe brings: 1) MoE sparse, 2) smaller than 9B model for speculative decode (more like Qwen3 0.6B); and 3) quant aware training like Gemma3 QAT.
10:02 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
so wish Isaac Newton - the alchemist, not the physicist - could see this lead-to-gold magic 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922759415708647497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are good, I use them.
But: MoE A3B only 3B active parameters makes the difference between 20-40 tps of Qwen3-30B-A3B sparse MoE in @lmstudio, versus 4-5 tps of GLM-{4,Z1}-32B dense. Other similar dense like Gemma3-27b, older QwQ-32B also get similar 4-6 tps on my oldish M2 mbp.
So, yeah, ideally glm5 Xmas Santa 😊 maybe brings: 1) MoE sparse, 2) smaller than 9B model for speculative decode (more like Qwen3 0.6B); and 3) quant aware training like Gemma3 QAT.
10:02 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922753800005132362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 haha - ok, it shows I don't get out and about very often 😆
9:40 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 haha - ok, it shows I don't get out and about very often 😆
9:40 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922752561377050778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My random observation is that a lot of senior positions people, have unrealistic idea about their worth to the organisation. Usually - they are less important, and more replaceable, than they imagine. TBH hearing "weirdos", would want make me think better avoid interaction with such person. (=mute, ghost) For stupid people hurt themselves, and others, for no good reason. Best avoided.
IK someone who hired me, was my boss of 3 yrs, (possibly fired me too—IDK for sure,) we spent good part of that time 10h/day alone in an aquarium office, (even if not talking much—for chat suffices,) he's built a successful firm and is probably a $$billionaire by now, (in London—not in SV) and he usually responds to mine (if non completely brain dead, admittedly) even public messages. (on Linkedin, of all places)
There's not a great need to be a j*rk usually, no matter what.
9:35 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My random observation is that a lot of senior positions people, have unrealistic idea about their worth to the organisation. Usually - they are less important, and more replaceable, than they imagine. TBH hearing "weirdos", would want make me think better avoid interaction with such person. (=mute, ghost) For stupid people hurt themselves, and others, for no good reason. Best avoided.
IK someone who hired me, was my boss of 3 yrs, (possibly fired me too—IDK for sure,) we spent good part of that time 10h/day alone in an aquarium office, (even if not talking much—for chat suffices,) he's built a successful firm and is probably a $$billionaire by now, (in London—not in SV) and he usually responds to mine (if non completely brain dead, admittedly) even public messages. (on Linkedin, of all places)
There's not a great need to be a j*rk usually, no matter what.
9:35 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922731439755243714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rooftop solar + AirCon = perfect match demand to supply. IK solar is a tough sell in England (I have it myself, avgerages 40% only self-use), but on a day like today, ☀️ it's good.
8:11 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rooftop solar + AirCon = perfect match demand to supply. IK solar is a tough sell in England (I have it myself, avgerages 40% only self-use), but on a day like today, ☀️ it's good.
8:11 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922671394820669591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH it's looking more and more that OpenAI o5-politician ChatGPT, n+2 gen model from now, replacing SirKeir, will be the first major AI application that is not geek (writing code), nor entertainment (chat), nor re/search (deep re/search) related?
I forecast AI-ing away politicians decision maker job will reach the top of the agenda soon. SirKeir is not the exception, but another one in the (now) long line of useless politicians that do nothing with the great powers gifted to them by the electorate. People typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, or the draw of the lottery numbers. Don't see why they would not accept decisions by o5-replacing-SirKeir.
After all, politicians job is to make a decision, where s/he is to balance and weight multiple pros-s and con-s of the decisions available. The decision theory is fairly simple and straightforward. Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
4:12 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH it's looking more and more that OpenAI o5-politician ChatGPT, n+2 gen model from now, replacing SirKeir, will be the first major AI application that is not geek (writing code), nor entertainment (chat), nor re/search (deep re/search) related?
I forecast AI-ing away politicians decision maker job will reach the top of the agenda soon. SirKeir is not the exception, but another one in the (now) long line of useless politicians that do nothing with the great powers gifted to them by the electorate. People typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, or the draw of the lottery numbers. Don't see why they would not accept decisions by o5-replacing-SirKeir.
After all, politicians job is to make a decision, where s/he is to balance and weight multiple pros-s and con-s of the decisions available. The decision theory is fairly simple and straightforward. Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
4:12 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922659199743390050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and between the theist undertones of this - first! - depiction of a single photon, (H/T https://x.com/Rainmaker1973/status/1920327802001502351), and .@Plinz's finding "LOVE!" to be TheAnswer (here https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ), can't but notice feel the vibe @iruletheworldmo ...
single-photon-first-depiction.jpeg
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922281726753317138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 13
Replying to @iruletheworldmo
Did it thought? To me science is totally life affirming?
I think theists are missing a lot when it comes to the mysteries of the universe and everything. I mean--is there a greater mystery than Energy = Planck constant * Frequency??
On life and human one specifically - every
Show more
Last edited
3:24 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and between the theist undertones of this - first! - depiction of a single photon, (H/T https://x.com/Rainmaker1973/status/1920327802001502351), and .@Plinz's finding "LOVE!" to be TheAnswer (here https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ), can't but notice feel the vibe @iruletheworldmo ...
single-photon-first-depiction.jpeg
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922281726753317138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 13
Replying to @iruletheworldmo
Did it thought? To me science is totally life affirming?
I think theists are missing a lot when it comes to the mysteries of the universe and everything. I mean--is there a greater mystery than Energy = Planck constant * Frequency??
On life and human one specifically - every
Show more
Last edited
3:24 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922652539922571500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What tooling do you need? Switched to Xubuntu 15+ yrs ago for desktop+laptop, after a lifetime of Microsoft starting MS-DOS 3.0. Recently added 2nd hand MBP for llama.cpp local LLM-s. (96GB-yay!) Admit not the most demanding of a user myself: bash, vim, git, Chrome or Firefox, VSCode, c/c++ compiler, python, make, some media player - about covers me. GUI never changes in Xfce works ok. I install every other LTS .04 (I skip one) on a new 50gb partition every 5-7 years. IDK what else is there to.
2:57 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What tooling do you need? Switched to Xubuntu 15+ yrs ago for desktop+laptop, after a lifetime of Microsoft starting MS-DOS 3.0. Recently added 2nd hand MBP for llama.cpp local LLM-s. (96GB-yay!) Admit not the most demanding of a user myself: bash, vim, git, Chrome or Firefox, VSCode, c/c++ compiler, python, make, some media player - about covers me. GUI never changes in Xfce works ok. I install every other LTS .04 (I skip one) on a new 50gb partition every 5-7 years. IDK what else is there to.
2:57 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922647838393020545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
на здравје 🍻😁
Translate post
2:39 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
на здравје 🍻😁
Translate post
2:39 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922643746442620958
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Don't believe anything you read, and half of what you see, in the media. It's B/S--they are just filling their pages with Gpt-3.5 level slop. 😁 The cheapscates they are, they don't want to pay for o3. And they're too cowardly to just write on a white page, black letters "perfect weather, enjoy yourselves!"
No one is taking the slightest notice of that nonsense, people know better than that. I assure you with some confidence. 😆 Your local reporter for the day from the green and pleasant land that is England - cheers! 🍻😎
2:22 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Don't believe anything you read, and half of what you see, in the media. It's B/S--they are just filling their pages with Gpt-3.5 level slop. 😁 The cheapscates they are, they don't want to pay for o3. And they're too cowardly to just write on a white page, black letters "perfect weather, enjoy yourselves!"
No one is taking the slightest notice of that nonsense, people know better than that. I assure you with some confidence. 😆 Your local reporter for the day from the green and pleasant land that is England - cheers! 🍻😎
2:22 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922640279451955537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...remember reading this someplace (possibly at @paulg 's): different people have differing fears before becoming parents. After they've become parents, they all have one fear, and it's the same fear for all! 😨 Can attest that's true.
2:08 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...remember reading this someplace (possibly at @paulg 's): different people have differing fears before becoming parents. After they've become parents, they all have one fear, and it's the same fear for all! 😨 Can attest that's true.
2:08 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922623570200412515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Rooftop solar + AirCon = perfect matching demand with supply.
1:02 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Rooftop solar + AirCon = perfect matching demand with supply.
1:02 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922614136485171641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too, if it worked. But afaics - that does not work.
Time moves forward, and if we don't move with it, we keep sinking. So it's never "the same as it was before". It's always different. So then the only Q is: is it going to be better, or worse.
Doing nothing guarantees A: worse. But costs nothing.
Doing something buy us the option of A: better, even if that is uncertain. Maybe better, or worse-up to us, partly. For also luck, or lack of it, plays a role. The cost of doing something is >0 always though.
12:25 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too, if it worked. But afaics - that does not work.
Time moves forward, and if we don't move with it, we keep sinking. So it's never "the same as it was before". It's always different. So then the only Q is: is it going to be better, or worse.
Doing nothing guarantees A: worse. But costs nothing.
Doing something buy us the option of A: better, even if that is uncertain. Maybe better, or worse-up to us, partly. For also luck, or lack of it, plays a role. The cost of doing something is >0 always though.
12:25 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922611340398547055
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! Honestly - AI-ing away politicians decision maker job should be at the top of the agenda. People typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, the draw of the lottery numbers. Don't see why they would not accept decisions by o3, rather than by SirKeir?
Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
12:13 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! Honestly - AI-ing away politicians decision maker job should be at the top of the agenda. People typically do accept the roll of the roulette wheel, the draw of the lottery numbers. Don't see why they would not accept decisions by o3, rather than by SirKeir?
Do/should we trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding it? Whose reasoning do we trust more—Trump's, or Deep/Think/Research models?
12:13 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922610159848652828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - good? Given the government without Twitter seemed to do 1) crazy stuff pushed around by pressure groups; and/or 2) not do much at all, just be lazy. If it's policy-by-activism - at least the cost of activism has come down. Democracy :-)
12:09 PM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - good? Given the government without Twitter seemed to do 1) crazy stuff pushed around by pressure groups; and/or 2) not do much at all, just be lazy. If it's policy-by-activism - at least the cost of activism has come down. Democracy :-)
12:09 PM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922604468786352196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - da! Kamo da moze ova Njuton nekako da go vidi, sonot na sekoj (al)hemicar: pretvaranje na olovo vo zlato! :-)
https://x.com/CERNpress/status/1920373156759408836
Quote
CERNpress @CERNpress · May 8
[Press Update] @ALICEexperiment detects the conversion of lead into gold at the LHC
Find out more: https://home.cern/news/news/physics/alice-detects-conversion-lead-gold-lhc
11:46 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - da! Kamo da moze ova Njuton nekako da go vidi, sonot na sekoj (al)hemicar: pretvaranje na olovo vo zlato! :-)
https://x.com/CERNpress/status/1920373156759408836
Quote
CERNpress @CERNpress · May 8
[Press Update] @ALICEexperiment detects the conversion of lead into gold at the LHC
Find out more: https://home.cern/news/news/physics/alice-detects-conversion-lead-gold-lhc
11:46 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922601172445098093
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe this pans out?
https://capx.co/coventrys-tram-building-revolution
Often times, it feels like costs are super high, b/c at no point in the process there is a requirement like "try achieve 90% on axis A, and B, and C, if the cost is 50% less", for whatever aims A,B,C the project has got. So it's never seriously pursued as an option. Remember reading about Madrid metro lines how they got "good enough" surprisingly fast and cheap(er).
From capx.co
11:33 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe this pans out?
https://capx.co/coventrys-tram-building-revolution
Often times, it feels like costs are super high, b/c at no point in the process there is a requirement like "try achieve 90% on axis A, and B, and C, if the cost is 50% less", for whatever aims A,B,C the project has got. So it's never seriously pursued as an option. Remember reading about Madrid metro lines how they got "good enough" surprisingly fast and cheap(er).
From capx.co
11:33 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922596818954625506
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not noticed that he himself personally has proclaimed either way. So I thought a clarifying question is not amiss.
11:16 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not noticed that he himself personally has proclaimed either way. So I thought a clarifying question is not amiss.
11:16 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922596517581365644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends. Only you can answer the "Is it?" If you "were sold", then-so what? Plenty people sell whatever. You don't have to buy. Learned helplessness feels an excuse. You can take the above, or not take-and seek something else. Universe owes you nothing. Keep looking if you want to. Or settle. Some angst is to be expected, not a biggie. You can change your mind too! Whatever you decide-it's not forever. While you are alive, you can go back, forth, etc.
11:15 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends. Only you can answer the "Is it?" If you "were sold", then-so what? Plenty people sell whatever. You don't have to buy. Learned helplessness feels an excuse. You can take the above, or not take-and seek something else. Universe owes you nothing. Keep looking if you want to. Or settle. Some angst is to be expected, not a biggie. You can change your mind too! Whatever you decide-it's not forever. While you are alive, you can go back, forth, etc.
11:15 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922589390200512912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everything can crash and burn... but but... the looting of the public purse for the benefit of people, doing between absolutely nothing, and a very very bad job - well that **must** continue under all circumstances!
I mean really - this is the treatment an occupying force metes on the defeated side in a war. Just merciless looting. What spectacle. Unbelievable.
10:46 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everything can crash and burn... but but... the looting of the public purse for the benefit of people, doing between absolutely nothing, and a very very bad job - well that **must** continue under all circumstances!
I mean really - this is the treatment an occupying force metes on the defeated side in a war. Just merciless looting. What spectacle. Unbelievable.
10:46 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922572944737206465
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does he, or doesn't he, think that increasing CO2 in the atmosphere and average temperature, is 100% going to end in human extinction? If he does - when in the future will that happen? If he doesn't - does he think catastrophizing it helps, or hinders, human flourishing?
You can lead with "We've had about ~1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's avg ~1.2C/century. Does the state of the world look so much worse now in 2025, than it did in 1925? We will likely add another 2C to the average in the next century."
Does he think scaring people sh*tless with catastrophizing about hell fires that will burn us, and floods that will drown us, none of which materialise subsequently, does that make the public trust science and reason more, or less?
9:41 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does he, or doesn't he, think that increasing CO2 in the atmosphere and average temperature, is 100% going to end in human extinction? If he does - when in the future will that happen? If he doesn't - does he think catastrophizing it helps, or hinders, human flourishing?
You can lead with "We've had about ~1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's avg ~1.2C/century. Does the state of the world look so much worse now in 2025, than it did in 1925? We will likely add another 2C to the average in the next century."
Does he think scaring people sh*tless with catastrophizing about hell fires that will burn us, and floods that will drown us, none of which materialise subsequently, does that make the public trust science and reason more, or less?
9:41 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922553330854768985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never not a good morning to start the day by listening to .@Plinz 😇
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=E361FZ_50oo
Even if the same things (consciousness, blahblah) are repeated many times. That's ok, for most of us are hard of hearing, and even harder of understanding, haha 😆
From appblit.com
8:23 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never not a good morning to start the day by listening to .@Plinz 😇
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=E361FZ_50oo
Even if the same things (consciousness, blahblah) are repeated many times. That's ok, for most of us are hard of hearing, and even harder of understanding, haha 😆
From appblit.com
8:23 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922541725744300479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly @Linahuaa - just go away die already, and stop boring everyone. (to death 😱) Even today, or tomorrow, or any day - you've got choice, go on do it.
Leave the rest of us living to live in peace, for as long as we wish to, and can do so. You do your own thing. Don't bother/with other people doing their own thing.
I mean this level of psychopathy, narcissism and evil is off the charts. "You other people go on and do what I say, but don't do."
(blocked - for rank stupidity)
Quote
https://x.com/Linahuaa/statu/Linahuaa/status/1922315856866115921
LinaHua @Linahuaa · 19h
Living 200 years is so boring.
You grow up, watch all the cool movies, play all the cool games, fall in love, marry, rank up in career, then start NewGame+ by getting children.
And then you watch remakes of the same movies, play remasters of the same games, hit the ceiling of x.com/deryatr_/statu…
Show more
7:37 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly @Linahuaa - just go away die already, and stop boring everyone. (to death 😱) Even today, or tomorrow, or any day - you've got choice, go on do it.
Leave the rest of us living to live in peace, for as long as we wish to, and can do so. You do your own thing. Don't bother/with other people doing their own thing.
I mean this level of psychopathy, narcissism and evil is off the charts. "You other people go on and do what I say, but don't do."
(blocked - for rank stupidity)
Quote
https://x.com/Linahuaa/statu/Linahuaa/status/1922315856866115921
LinaHua @Linahuaa · 19h
Living 200 years is so boring.
You grow up, watch all the cool movies, play all the cool games, fall in love, marry, rank up in career, then start NewGame+ by getting children.
And then you watch remakes of the same movies, play remasters of the same games, hit the ceiling of x.com/deryatr_/statu…
Show more
7:37 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922507942810603946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! This 1 product hit big - but the previous 10 didn't. They didn't need to spend effort on doing this 2 years ago. Had they spend this effort then, some other product would not have been created, etc.
The cost of doing stuff is deterministic, in the present, paid upfront 100%. The gain is in the future, uncertain, never quite sure if there is going to be much, or any - even! And whether that (speculative, future) gain will outweigh the (certain, present) loss that we start with, when sinking our resources (time, effort) in any new project.
5:23 AM · May 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! This 1 product hit big - but the previous 10 didn't. They didn't need to spend effort on doing this 2 years ago. Had they spend this effort then, some other product would not have been created, etc.
The cost of doing stuff is deterministic, in the present, paid upfront 100%. The gain is in the future, uncertain, never quite sure if there is going to be much, or any - even! And whether that (speculative, future) gain will outweigh the (certain, present) loss that we start with, when sinking our resources (time, effort) in any new project.
5:23 AM · May 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922375932842565959
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I as an Ukrainian" - dude, I'm not from Ukraine, I've no connection to Ukraine. As you and anyone else can see with a single click on, or hover over, my account info/bio. 😂 Honestly. In the pre-online world would have been surprised, how is it it possible for anyone to be so ignorant and lazy... But nowadays I have to say I'm not surprised. Ok, you had enough of my time - muted now
8:38 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I as an Ukrainian" - dude, I'm not from Ukraine, I've no connection to Ukraine. As you and anyone else can see with a single click on, or hover over, my account info/bio. 😂 Honestly. In the pre-online world would have been surprised, how is it it possible for anyone to be so ignorant and lazy... But nowadays I have to say I'm not surprised. Ok, you had enough of my time - muted now
8:38 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922353935412822197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never!! As per narcissists' playbook -
- that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again 😱
Our growing up experience in the family is communism: to each according to their needs (the children), from each according to abilities (the parents). So it comes naturally to us all. As many things that come "naturally" to us - they don't work when scaled up. Family is a close knit group (the closest!) where the level of trust between the small number in the group is very high. Not something that is repeated to orders of magnitude larger groups of people.
7:11 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never!! As per narcissists' playbook -
- that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again 😱
Our growing up experience in the family is communism: to each according to their needs (the children), from each according to abilities (the parents). So it comes naturally to us all. As many things that come "naturally" to us - they don't work when scaled up. Family is a close knit group (the closest!) where the level of trust between the small number in the group is very high. Not something that is repeated to orders of magnitude larger groups of people.
7:11 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922344692714537317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Immigrant into the UK here, naturalised Brit now. My kids were born here, this is their home, they consider themselves English/British. You are right in what you write. That is completely the mainstream view, including with most fellow naturalised citizens I ever talk to too.
I don't want multi-culture. I voted with my feet, because summa summarum, net when all is added and subtracted, I preferred this culture, over the culture of my home country. The last thing I want is to see my home culture becoming dominant culture here. (ofc no chance that—I'm from MKD originally 😄)
That is not to say that cross-talk cross-pollination between cultures is not ok. That's perfectly fine. We should pick-and-choose the best from anyplace, adapt and reuse it for our purposes. Which we already mostly do! British culture I find open and receptive to many many foreign ideas. That's one of the many reasons why I like and rate this culture btw.
But—I don't want that to change too much. I like and rate the present culture in England and Britain. That's why I'm here by choice, and not elsewhere.
6:34 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Immigrant into the UK here, naturalised Brit now. My kids were born here, this is their home, they consider themselves English/British. You are right in what you write. That is completely the mainstream view, including with most fellow naturalised citizens I ever talk to too.
I don't want multi-culture. I voted with my feet, because summa summarum, net when all is added and subtracted, I preferred this culture, over the culture of my home country. The last thing I want is to see my home culture becoming dominant culture here. (ofc no chance that—I'm from MKD originally 😄)
That is not to say that cross-talk cross-pollination between cultures is not ok. That's perfectly fine. We should pick-and-choose the best from anyplace, adapt and reuse it for our purposes. Which we already mostly do! British culture I find open and receptive to many many foreign ideas. That's one of the many reasons why I like and rate this culture btw.
But—I don't want that to change too much. I like and rate the present culture in England and Britain. That's why I'm here by choice, and not elsewhere.
6:34 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922338686328287367
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI, FTW! - has never been truer it seems. 😆 More power them, I'm loving this 🥰 as an outside observer.
6:10 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI, FTW! - has never been truer it seems. 😆 More power them, I'm loving this 🥰 as an outside observer.
6:10 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922336770429223062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah true that makes a big difference to personal use.
Plus one can do surgeries like this https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A1.5B-High-Speed, where afaics: only half (4) of the full (8) number of experts is ever activated at any time. One trades some more speed for less accuracy. Have not tried it myself though. I treated myself to a 2nd hand M2 MBP (with 96GB RAM), and that's good enough speed wise for A3B.
I stumbled on DavidAU work while looking for 128K context for Qwen3. This one https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-128k-30B-A3B-NEO-MAX-Imatrix-gguf. On the TODO list to try still. Currently LMStudio is failing to run it. IDK enough Jinja to fix the template myself. So it's a back-and-forth myself and Gemini try-fail trying to make it run. 😄
From huggingface.co
6:02 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah true that makes a big difference to personal use.
Plus one can do surgeries like this https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-30B-A1.5B-High-Speed, where afaics: only half (4) of the full (8) number of experts is ever activated at any time. One trades some more speed for less accuracy. Have not tried it myself though. I treated myself to a 2nd hand M2 MBP (with 96GB RAM), and that's good enough speed wise for A3B.
I stumbled on DavidAU work while looking for 128K context for Qwen3. This one https://huggingface.co/DavidAU/Qwen3-128k-30B-A3B-NEO-MAX-Imatrix-gguf. On the TODO list to try still. Currently LMStudio is failing to run it. IDK enough Jinja to fix the template myself. So it's a back-and-forth myself and Gemini try-fail trying to make it run. 😄
From huggingface.co
6:02 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922311076659581146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 yeah, I thought (to myself) - whoa is the dude a soyjak walking meme or what, but but: we all crave acceptance of the nearest-dearest, and are possibly traumatised by them and/or events etc too; let's not go there...
4:20 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 yeah, I thought (to myself) - whoa is the dude a soyjak walking meme or what, but but: we all crave acceptance of the nearest-dearest, and are possibly traumatised by them and/or events etc too; let's not go there...
4:20 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922305870987461018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uhh, how very clever! I'm bowed by the strength of this intellect. Reply & block!? Who could have thought of such a cunning plan? 😂 Public announcement for evil imbeciles like Tom: in the social media age, it's very hard nay almost impossible to silence people, and prevent them from speaking up about what ails them.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922299621608505547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
Replying to @WordMercenary
...that, and/or local police force solving 2% of some crimes types in Hertfordshire is a genuine concern to the public. But yeah - it's an option, one can always be lazy, incompetent and stupid, and when called out on their own failings, shout "oww you racists you".
4:00 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uhh, how very clever! I'm bowed by the strength of this intellect. Reply & block!? Who could have thought of such a cunning plan? 😂 Public announcement for evil imbeciles like Tom: in the social media age, it's very hard nay almost impossible to silence people, and prevent them from speaking up about what ails them.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922299621608505547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
Replying to @WordMercenary
...that, and/or local police force solving 2% of some crimes types in Hertfordshire is a genuine concern to the public. But yeah - it's an option, one can always be lazy, incompetent and stupid, and when called out on their own failings, shout "oww you racists you".
4:00 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922299621608505547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that, and/or local police force solving 2% of some crimes types in Hertfordshire is a genuine concern to the public. But yeah - it's an option, one can always be lazy, incompetent and stupid, and when called out on their own failings, shout "oww you racists you".
3:35 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...that, and/or local police force solving 2% of some crimes types in Hertfordshire is a genuine concern to the public. But yeah - it's an option, one can always be lazy, incompetent and stupid, and when called out on their own failings, shout "oww you racists you".
3:35 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922288093689765942
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tough nut that one to crack. Afaik no other way, but have "open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI". IK it unpalatable today as ever. But human monkebrain is not changing anytime soon. And there in its recesses power==control, no way around
2:49 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tough nut that one to crack. Afaik no other way, but have "open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI". IK it unpalatable today as ever. But human monkebrain is not changing anytime soon. And there in its recesses power==control, no way around
2:49 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922286113407807759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - thanks! A perfect day in the countryside in England 😇
2:41 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - thanks! A perfect day in the countryside in England 😇
2:41 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922281726753317138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did it thought? To me science is totally life affirming?
I think theists are missing a lot when it comes to the mysteries of the universe and everything. I mean--is there a greater mystery than Energy = Planck constant * Frequency??
On life and human one specifically - every time I listen to e.g. Kurzweil, it's very much life affirming: "... sexier, smarter, more creative... spending time with family and friends, loving and being loved, all enhanced by AI ..."-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819999286467137676
Even this old more techy lecture-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921745050502889507
You are right when it comes to "Scientism" though!
Plenty of people take the mantle, put on the robe of "TheScience", and then use that, to preach from a pulpit: "Listen to me!! And better do as I say! Or else - TheScience is going to punish you, with hell fires from the skies, and floods from the seas."
But those scoundrels can only do that, because science has been stunningly successful since the Enlightenment. And people mostly trust that track record. Even genuinely God-believing priests take their kids to hospital to save them from dying. They know better than wait on their god to come to the rescue.
2:24 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did it thought? To me science is totally life affirming?
I think theists are missing a lot when it comes to the mysteries of the universe and everything. I mean--is there a greater mystery than Energy = Planck constant * Frequency??
On life and human one specifically - every time I listen to e.g. Kurzweil, it's very much life affirming: "... sexier, smarter, more creative... spending time with family and friends, loving and being loved, all enhanced by AI ..."-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819999286467137676
Even this old more techy lecture-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921745050502889507
You are right when it comes to "Scientism" though!
Plenty of people take the mantle, put on the robe of "TheScience", and then use that, to preach from a pulpit: "Listen to me!! And better do as I say! Or else - TheScience is going to punish you, with hell fires from the skies, and floods from the seas."
But those scoundrels can only do that, because science has been stunningly successful since the Enlightenment. And people mostly trust that track record. Even genuinely God-believing priests take their kids to hospital to save them from dying. They know better than wait on their god to come to the rescue.
2:24 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922277133507772827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Find it tragic that all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. Three that moved over to the Americas changed the world. While the fourth that stayed behind (comfortable in his own lab? khmkhm very european that or what) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Europe had the PC Computer Revolution fully - participated both as creators and users. Then half-missed the Internet revolution - Europeans are users only, not creators. There is no EU Tech sector, it's missing. Now EU are hell bent on fully missing the AI revolution - both as creators, and as users this time.
Notice the avalanche of LLM and mostly open models coming from China. While there are almost-zero being created in Europe. (without Mistral - it'd be exactly 0) Non-EU companies creating the models and the AI products half the time don't release them for Europe users. And actually actively block any european users. For allowing those user opens to the company to liability and fines.
The chain of why-why-...-s followed back enough comes to - values imo. What do we value as valuable, what is good and what is bad in this world. IDK what, if anything, can be done there.
2:05 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Find it tragic that all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. Three that moved over to the Americas changed the world. While the fourth that stayed behind (comfortable in his own lab? khmkhm very european that or what) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Europe had the PC Computer Revolution fully - participated both as creators and users. Then half-missed the Internet revolution - Europeans are users only, not creators. There is no EU Tech sector, it's missing. Now EU are hell bent on fully missing the AI revolution - both as creators, and as users this time.
Notice the avalanche of LLM and mostly open models coming from China. While there are almost-zero being created in Europe. (without Mistral - it'd be exactly 0) Non-EU companies creating the models and the AI products half the time don't release them for Europe users. And actually actively block any european users. For allowing those user opens to the company to liability and fines.
The chain of why-why-...-s followed back enough comes to - values imo. What do we value as valuable, what is good and what is bad in this world. IDK what, if anything, can be done there.
2:05 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922264248974966936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I live in Europe and pay my electricity bills - so yes, I know what they are. I encourage you to use Grok, Chatgpt, Perplexity, Gemini and find out more about that part of the world. Because you seem interested, but quite ignorant about most things mentioned. Good luck!
1:14 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I live in Europe and pay my electricity bills - so yes, I know what they are. I encourage you to use Grok, Chatgpt, Perplexity, Gemini and find out more about that part of the world. Because you seem interested, but quite ignorant about most things mentioned. Good luck!
1:14 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922263069117284506
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Za poveketo - ne e nizok IQ ili tolku neznaenje, poveke e losh moral. Toa sto e dobro, go racunaat za losho, i obratno. Ima germanski avtor Bonhoeffer, sto razmisluval i napisal bash za toa, za "namerna volna glupavost". Negova e ideata deka "ne e nizok IQ, tuku nemanje moral, e imanje losh moralen kompas".
I toa e ekstenzija na nivo na grupa, ona sto e na nivo na poedinec, e definicija na Cippola: "= glup covek e toj sto pravi akcija od koja sam nema korist, duri mozebi ima i mala steta, a so koja akcija im nanesuva steta na drugite okolu nego". Ima kniska-pamflet "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity".
Me bendisuva ekstenzijata na nivo na grupa. Posto coveckata i intelegencija (=Wisdom of Crowds) i glupavost (=Extraordinary Delusions of...) opisani vo knigite, se pomalku individalni, a mnogu poveke kolektivni. Za kolektivniot aspekt - ima Sabine (Hossenfelder, fizicar-juthuber) dobro video.
Drugo mozebi relevantno periferno sto mi teknuva e Timor Kuran ima kniga "Javni lagi, privatni vistini", ama toa e poveke koga ima "kolektivno ludilo", site lazat javno posto ima nekoja represija da kazat kako vistinski mislat. Toa ne e slucaj ovde.
Najopsto Steven Pinker ima kniga "Rationality", kade ima dosta za toa kako mislime, zasto mislime, nekogas poveke, nekoga pomalku, poveke ili pomalku tocno i sl. Kako za raboti konkretni sto ni se vazni ("hrana za jadenje vo frizider") sme totalno racionalni i nikoj ne umira doma od glad pokraj poln frizider. A za raboti koi ne se vazni, se abstraktni, ne ne tangiraat konkretno - pa za niv sme slobodni fantazirame sto sakame.
I luge sto kazuvaat deka "veruvaat" vo nekoja ludorija, stalno e prasanje sto konkretno podrazbiraat pod "veruvaat". Ako im kazes da ja stavat kolata vo zalog da se oblozat na nacin kade zagubata ke gi boli - ke vidis obicno deka "veruvaat" ama "kobajagi veruvaat", kolku da se najdat vo muabet, a ne vistinski. :-)
Ima edna niska na mislenje deka eden nacin da gi sprecime lugeto javno - efektivno - da lazat, e da se oblozat stalno na toa sto tvrdat deka "veruvaat". Jas prv pat ja vidov taa idea kaj Caplan, na kogo i blogot mu se vika "betonit".
1:10 PM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Za poveketo - ne e nizok IQ ili tolku neznaenje, poveke e losh moral. Toa sto e dobro, go racunaat za losho, i obratno. Ima germanski avtor Bonhoeffer, sto razmisluval i napisal bash za toa, za "namerna volna glupavost". Negova e ideata deka "ne e nizok IQ, tuku nemanje moral, e imanje losh moralen kompas".
I toa e ekstenzija na nivo na grupa, ona sto e na nivo na poedinec, e definicija na Cippola: "= glup covek e toj sto pravi akcija od koja sam nema korist, duri mozebi ima i mala steta, a so koja akcija im nanesuva steta na drugite okolu nego". Ima kniska-pamflet "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity".
Me bendisuva ekstenzijata na nivo na grupa. Posto coveckata i intelegencija (=Wisdom of Crowds) i glupavost (=Extraordinary Delusions of...) opisani vo knigite, se pomalku individalni, a mnogu poveke kolektivni. Za kolektivniot aspekt - ima Sabine (Hossenfelder, fizicar-juthuber) dobro video.
Drugo mozebi relevantno periferno sto mi teknuva e Timor Kuran ima kniga "Javni lagi, privatni vistini", ama toa e poveke koga ima "kolektivno ludilo", site lazat javno posto ima nekoja represija da kazat kako vistinski mislat. Toa ne e slucaj ovde.
Najopsto Steven Pinker ima kniga "Rationality", kade ima dosta za toa kako mislime, zasto mislime, nekogas poveke, nekoga pomalku, poveke ili pomalku tocno i sl. Kako za raboti konkretni sto ni se vazni ("hrana za jadenje vo frizider") sme totalno racionalni i nikoj ne umira doma od glad pokraj poln frizider. A za raboti koi ne se vazni, se abstraktni, ne ne tangiraat konkretno - pa za niv sme slobodni fantazirame sto sakame.
I luge sto kazuvaat deka "veruvaat" vo nekoja ludorija, stalno e prasanje sto konkretno podrazbiraat pod "veruvaat". Ako im kazes da ja stavat kolata vo zalog da se oblozat na nacin kade zagubata ke gi boli - ke vidis obicno deka "veruvaat" ama "kobajagi veruvaat", kolku da se najdat vo muabet, a ne vistinski. :-)
Ima edna niska na mislenje deka eden nacin da gi sprecime lugeto javno - efektivno - da lazat, e da se oblozat stalno na toa sto tvrdat deka "veruvaat". Jas prv pat ja vidov taa idea kaj Caplan, na kogo i blogot mu se vika "betonit".
1:10 PM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922231460557115532
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Other psychos in positions of power recognise him as "one of our own", and keep him close. ("keep your enemies even closer.")
All human groups are excentric partially overlapping pancakes. Further hierarchically stacked up in 3D on top of each other. (a narrowing pyramid towards the top.) The higher up, the higher the psychopathy.
Lower levels mostly optimise absolute value measures, and a bit of relative value when deciding "what should I do today". Higher levels mostly optimise for relative value measures, and almost no absolute value work is done day to day.
In the upper levels, all the time is spent building alliance with the frenemies of today, and weakening (ideally - killing off, as in "turfing out of the organisation") the enemy of today. The friends-enemies are ever rotating shape shifting.
That's monkebrain in action, where we gang in groups 6-12 to kill off the other. It's T-800 level whirring in the background, forever seeking optimizing, never stopping.
11:04 AM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Other psychos in positions of power recognise him as "one of our own", and keep him close. ("keep your enemies even closer.")
All human groups are excentric partially overlapping pancakes. Further hierarchically stacked up in 3D on top of each other. (a narrowing pyramid towards the top.) The higher up, the higher the psychopathy.
Lower levels mostly optimise absolute value measures, and a bit of relative value when deciding "what should I do today". Higher levels mostly optimise for relative value measures, and almost no absolute value work is done day to day.
In the upper levels, all the time is spent building alliance with the frenemies of today, and weakening (ideally - killing off, as in "turfing out of the organisation") the enemy of today. The friends-enemies are ever rotating shape shifting.
That's monkebrain in action, where we gang in groups 6-12 to kill off the other. It's T-800 level whirring in the background, forever seeking optimizing, never stopping.
11:04 AM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922215708953375136
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's dumb not even a theory. :-) I didn't even know they existed on a PC keyboard. Then I got myself a mbp for local LLM-s in LMStudio, noticed ChatGPT uses them, noticed both em—dash and en-dash on the keyboard, and now I use them! Different dashes in different contexts.
10:01 AM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's dumb not even a theory. :-) I didn't even know they existed on a PC keyboard. Then I got myself a mbp for local LLM-s in LMStudio, noticed ChatGPT uses them, noticed both em—dash and en-dash on the keyboard, and now I use them! Different dashes in different contexts.
10:01 AM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922200107761508711
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@grok Please address the points raised above 1) Is Europe still strong or not 2) How/does being rich or poor in natural resources influence the wealth the country and the people produce and share between them 3) Did Europe sell their sovereignty to anyone 4) Was sleepy Joe arrogant 5) What happened to the Nord stream 6) How is Germany doing economically atm, is it in recession, how does Germany GDP look in comparison to peers, how is the unemployment. Thanks for your help!
8:59 AM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@grok Please address the points raised above 1) Is Europe still strong or not 2) How/does being rich or poor in natural resources influence the wealth the country and the people produce and share between them 3) Did Europe sell their sovereignty to anyone 4) Was sleepy Joe arrogant 5) What happened to the Nord stream 6) How is Germany doing economically atm, is it in recession, how does Germany GDP look in comparison to peers, how is the unemployment. Thanks for your help!
8:59 AM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922170338420376038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 My pleasure! 😀 Thank you 🙏 for creating Gemma, and for releasing it open weights, gifting back to humanity. 🤩
7:01 AM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 My pleasure! 😀 Thank you 🙏 for creating Gemma, and for releasing it open weights, gifting back to humanity. 🤩
7:01 AM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922069496430248220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my TL too. It's the muskat retardini bambini tralalero tralala brain rot. Always tempted to block that spam, but then 1 out of 20 things he posts interest me so I don't. The army of elonmusk22345 bots I presume are controlled by the retard, that's why they are never banned.
12:20 AM · May 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my TL too. It's the muskat retardini bambini tralalero tralala brain rot. Always tempted to block that spam, but then 1 out of 20 things he posts interest me so I don't. The army of elonmusk22345 bots I presume are controlled by the retard, that's why they are never banned.
12:20 AM · May 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922062376381100447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS what or if anything works.
Covid vaccines process have shown us that probably 9/10 of the time is time wasted. For companies that's immensely valuable time. For state/regulators, the value loss they put on "conference call in two weeks time rather than lunchtime today" seems it is about zero.
I read someplace that China drugs pipeline bringing to market was x5-x7 times faster and cheaper. Like US was in say 1950. Can't be bothered to look for the source now. For FDA I find this hit piece funny-
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
11:52 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS what or if anything works.
Covid vaccines process have shown us that probably 9/10 of the time is time wasted. For companies that's immensely valuable time. For state/regulators, the value loss they put on "conference call in two weeks time rather than lunchtime today" seems it is about zero.
I read someplace that China drugs pipeline bringing to market was x5-x7 times faster and cheaper. Like US was in say 1950. Can't be bothered to look for the source now. For FDA I find this hit piece funny-
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
11:52 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922049924079685868
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is like a window into another world?? The GenAlpha English language-dialect -
https://reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/comments/1kkufoi/xiaoma_a_polyglot_was_invited_to_give_a_speech_at/
Not only the language he spoke, but also the reaction of the public, esp initially?? (and all the way maybe up to 2/3-rds of his talk.) Watching this it felt like witnessing the moment of contact with an alien tribe! What privilege - total privilege even!
From reddit.com
11:03 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is like a window into another world?? The GenAlpha English language-dialect -
https://reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/comments/1kkufoi/xiaoma_a_polyglot_was_invited_to_give_a_speech_at/
Not only the language he spoke, but also the reaction of the public, esp initially?? (and all the way maybe up to 2/3-rds of his talk.) Watching this it felt like witnessing the moment of contact with an alien tribe! What privilege - total privilege even!
From reddit.com
11:03 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922041922018767045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...this is the article I had remembered -
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
The reasons listed there for non-zero floor actually make sense to me. Myself I have been annoyed by a phone call for a survey in the middle of a dinner, and been temped to just "select option #1" to all questions, to make it go away. Rather than just slam the handset down. 🙃 But now I know better... to never answer the fixed line anymore. 😂
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
10:31 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...this is the article I had remembered -
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
The reasons listed there for non-zero floor actually make sense to me. Myself I have been annoyed by a phone call for a survey in the middle of a dinner, and been temped to just "select option #1" to all questions, to make it go away. Rather than just slam the handset down. 🙃 But now I know better... to never answer the fixed line anymore. 😂
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
10:31 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1922000895765586117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - it's a "rule of thumb", not a law of nature. Approximate small-ish number higher than zero, useful to keep at the back of our minds to remind ourselves to not expect zero and not jump to conclusions. Similar in different context -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921956001852403867
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 6h
Replying to @yeroneem
This is the article I remembered
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
The reasons listed there for non-zero floor actually made sense to me. I have defo been annoyed by a phone call by a surveyor, and been temped to just "select option #1" to all questions to make it go away, rather than
Show more
7:48 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - it's a "rule of thumb", not a law of nature. Approximate small-ish number higher than zero, useful to keep at the back of our minds to remind ourselves to not expect zero and not jump to conclusions. Similar in different context -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921956001852403867
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 6h
Replying to @yeroneem
This is the article I remembered
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
The reasons listed there for non-zero floor actually made sense to me. I have defo been annoyed by a phone call by a surveyor, and been temped to just "select option #1" to all questions to make it go away, rather than
Show more
7:48 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921982424390549943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They didn't survive all. Every family had 5-6 kids, only to see half of them die, before they could have kids of their own. That's how the human population was stable: families having many kids, and parents burying their own children. All hands tiled the land, all the time.
All my 4 grandparents were born in the Ottoman empire. One grandmother was called "War" (or "Warrior"), the other one "Russia". Her husband - called "GodsGift" - was born in the 19-th century I think. IK for most past empires that are no more are ancient history. But still - useful to remember how lives were lived in not that distant times. Their generation all had 5-7 kids, (my parents gen,) expecting them half to live half to die. Then for my parents generation, industrial revolution happened, and modern civilization amenities came to the country. Clean water, sanitation, better food no more hunger, doctors and modern medicines. Mostly in the cities where my folks moved en-masse from theirs villages, leaving the farms behind to take advantage of the newly built nations' opportunities.
Current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom. (to repeat myself:) Used to be - for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they cd have kids of their own, and the population was stable. Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born, so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with biology. It's remarkable that humans do that (unlike many other species): during best of times, humans stop multiplying.
6:34 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They didn't survive all. Every family had 5-6 kids, only to see half of them die, before they could have kids of their own. That's how the human population was stable: families having many kids, and parents burying their own children. All hands tiled the land, all the time.
All my 4 grandparents were born in the Ottoman empire. One grandmother was called "War" (or "Warrior"), the other one "Russia". Her husband - called "GodsGift" - was born in the 19-th century I think. IK for most past empires that are no more are ancient history. But still - useful to remember how lives were lived in not that distant times. Their generation all had 5-7 kids, (my parents gen,) expecting them half to live half to die. Then for my parents generation, industrial revolution happened, and modern civilization amenities came to the country. Clean water, sanitation, better food no more hunger, doctors and modern medicines. Mostly in the cities where my folks moved en-masse from theirs villages, leaving the farms behind to take advantage of the newly built nations' opportunities.
Current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom. (to repeat myself:) Used to be - for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they cd have kids of their own, and the population was stable. Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born, so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with biology. It's remarkable that humans do that (unlike many other species): during best of times, humans stop multiplying.
6:34 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921976295342166128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yess! Narcissists' playbook 😂 -
- that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again 😱
6:10 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yess! Narcissists' playbook 😂 -
- that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again 😱
6:10 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921960146994864335
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Faulty memory where we forget the bad times, but retain the memories of the good times, are the reason people are sentimental for the "good old times". Experienced personally after emigrating and starting a second life as 30yo. Memories of the first life got rose skewed as above
5:06 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Faulty memory where we forget the bad times, but retain the memories of the good times, are the reason people are sentimental for the "good old times". Experienced personally after emigrating and starting a second life as 30yo. Memories of the first life got rose skewed as above
5:06 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921956001852403867
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is the article I remembered
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
The reasons listed there for non-zero floor actually made sense to me. I have defo been annoyed by a phone call by a surveyor, and been temped to just "select option #1" to all questions to make it go away, rather than just slam the handset down. Now I know better... to never answer the fixed line anymore. 😂
Yeah - it's most useful. I have had similar empirical "zero floor" professionally too. We had a "zero floor" of ~20 bps (basis points) established in a quant trading hedge fund R&D group. Where the same cached data, with the same codebase, different runs at different times on different cluster boxes produced 20 bps sims differences across runs. I allow it there might have been different interpreters or compilers - but the floating point ops are non-associative anyways so...
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
4:49 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is the article I remembered
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
The reasons listed there for non-zero floor actually made sense to me. I have defo been annoyed by a phone call by a surveyor, and been temped to just "select option #1" to all questions to make it go away, rather than just slam the handset down. Now I know better... to never answer the fixed line anymore. 😂
Yeah - it's most useful. I have had similar empirical "zero floor" professionally too. We had a "zero floor" of ~20 bps (basis points) established in a quant trading hedge fund R&D group. Where the same cached data, with the same codebase, different runs at different times on different cluster boxes produced 20 bps sims differences across runs. I allow it there might have been different interpreters or compilers - but the floating point ops are non-associative anyways so...
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
4:49 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921947211639722005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "Lizardman's Constant" I believe it's called. It's about 4%-5% from recollection. It's a floor on the minimal level of affirming no matter what crazy the question. A noise floor if you like. Most useful! 😃 @slatestarcodex had an article about at some point.
4:14 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "Lizardman's Constant" I believe it's called. It's about 4%-5% from recollection. It's a floor on the minimal level of affirming no matter what crazy the question. A noise floor if you like. Most useful! 😃 @slatestarcodex had an article about at some point.
4:14 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921940002696499540
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK where you live. I live in the UK, and to me, it looks we are way past that point. These things have decades of momentum. Russia used the oil revenues from Europe to build its army. Poland has been building up the army for the past few years, realising what's up. Germany is starting now, UK from the absolute low is also starting to rearm. Those armies will be put to use in 5-10 years from now.
TBH the only shortcut I see is Poland+Nordics acquiring joint independent nuclear deterrent to forestall Russian invasion. But I fear there will be no will for that project to happen. These things--the good guys are always reactive, one-two steps behind. The bad hombres are proactive, having the benefit of daring surprise to their benefit. For war-it takes one side to want it. For peace-it takes two sides to want it. The latter are at inherent disadvantage.
But things change daily. E.g. if the pro-Russia guy wins in Romania, expect Russia to pivot to the south and go for Romania-Hungary rather than the Baltics.
3:46 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK where you live. I live in the UK, and to me, it looks we are way past that point. These things have decades of momentum. Russia used the oil revenues from Europe to build its army. Poland has been building up the army for the past few years, realising what's up. Germany is starting now, UK from the absolute low is also starting to rearm. Those armies will be put to use in 5-10 years from now.
TBH the only shortcut I see is Poland+Nordics acquiring joint independent nuclear deterrent to forestall Russian invasion. But I fear there will be no will for that project to happen. These things--the good guys are always reactive, one-two steps behind. The bad hombres are proactive, having the benefit of daring surprise to their benefit. For war-it takes one side to want it. For peace-it takes two sides to want it. The latter are at inherent disadvantage.
But things change daily. E.g. if the pro-Russia guy wins in Romania, expect Russia to pivot to the south and go for Romania-Hungary rather than the Baltics.
3:46 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921934545575694420
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Consider it not impossible that the same was said in 1935... For the record - I'm very much **not looking** to living in interesting times. I already lived through my share of "interesting times" 1990-2000-s, with ideologies and state collapsing into the dust and new ones arising. Peaceful process that is not. And I love and cherish my peace an quiet in the green and pleasant land that is my adopted England. ☺️ And I got two boys of fighting age. So you are much mistaken if you think I'm looking for "relevance" "my friend".
3:24 PM · May 12, 2025
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Consider it not impossible that the same was said in 1935... For the record - I'm very much **not looking** to living in interesting times. I already lived through my share of "interesting times" 1990-2000-s, with ideologies and state collapsing into the dust and new ones arising. Peaceful process that is not. And I love and cherish my peace an quiet in the green and pleasant land that is my adopted England. ☺️ And I got two boys of fighting age. So you are much mistaken if you think I'm looking for "relevance" "my friend".
3:24 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921921379701584211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" my dude. Not one, but two, TWO (!!) World Wars got started by Europe. While the rest of humanity has managed ZERO (0) World Wars so far. Not proud of that historical record. 😔 But we better not deny the reality of our predicament.
True good times of the past 35 years produced weak leaders, both women and man. But good times and war budgets of <2% GDP, while spending >10% on children and education, the sick and the ill for socialised medicine, and even more on the infirm retirees, those good times are over. 😭 Bad times will produce stronger leaders, both man and women, and war budgets to go with that. In the past empires spent >50% on wars regularly, probably 70-80% during war time.
Those that fail to learn from history are about to repeat it. Seems about every fourth generation. Humans monkebrains at work. 😶 AI augmentation of human thinking faculties can't come soon enough. But will that be faster than our present descent into WW3? 😱 TBS. Stay tuned
2:32 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" my dude. Not one, but two, TWO (!!) World Wars got started by Europe. While the rest of humanity has managed ZERO (0) World Wars so far. Not proud of that historical record. 😔 But we better not deny the reality of our predicament.
True good times of the past 35 years produced weak leaders, both women and man. But good times and war budgets of <2% GDP, while spending >10% on children and education, the sick and the ill for socialised medicine, and even more on the infirm retirees, those good times are over. 😭 Bad times will produce stronger leaders, both man and women, and war budgets to go with that. In the past empires spent >50% on wars regularly, probably 70-80% during war time.
Those that fail to learn from history are about to repeat it. Seems about every fourth generation. Humans monkebrains at work. 😶 AI augmentation of human thinking faculties can't come soon enough. But will that be faster than our present descent into WW3? 😱 TBS. Stay tuned
2:32 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921917265437487550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy - could you get more perfect yet?? 🤩 Me thinks not! 🥰 Thank you mucho 🙏 for empowering all of us, the rest of humanity, ex- the "chosen few" (thousand) in the OpenAI and Anthropic labs.
@OpenAI you are not beyond salvation yet, (@DarioAmodei's Anthropic is,) release open weights sooner rather than later. In order to live not die off.
Human intelligence of the Wisdom of Crowds is a collective endeavour. (as is human stupidity--of The Extraordinary Delusios of.) By renaging on your promise and mission of Open-, you are cutting the branch that connects you to the rest of humanity.
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - FTW
2:15 PM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy - could you get more perfect yet?? 🤩 Me thinks not! 🥰 Thank you mucho 🙏 for empowering all of us, the rest of humanity, ex- the "chosen few" (thousand) in the OpenAI and Anthropic labs.
@OpenAI you are not beyond salvation yet, (@DarioAmodei's Anthropic is,) release open weights sooner rather than later. In order to live not die off.
Human intelligence of the Wisdom of Crowds is a collective endeavour. (as is human stupidity--of The Extraordinary Delusios of.) By renaging on your promise and mission of Open-, you are cutting the branch that connects you to the rest of humanity.
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - FTW
2:15 PM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921871251703845249
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? I'm not against asking, but I'm not anyones research secretary either. If you want the answers to your questions - ask ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, Grok...
11:13 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? I'm not against asking, but I'm not anyones research secretary either. If you want the answers to your questions - ask ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, Grok...
11:13 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921868285408129116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep! - hell is other people! (...but so is heaven)
11:01 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep! - hell is other people! (...but so is heaven)
11:01 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921868005845225840
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent, thank you! 😍 Stellar work! 🤩
Would you consider doing a Mixture-of-Experts in this, or future models please?
MoE instead of dense model makes a world of difference for home user enthusiast. It's so so much faster in terms for tokens per second on localhost. The number of active parameters makes a huge difference on a laptop. @lmstudio on M2 mbp runs Gemma-3-27b, and comparable dense Qwen3-32B at ~4-6 tps. But MoE Qwen3-30B-A3B runs at ~20-40 tps (!!) (esp when 0.6B speculative decode works well). A world of difference in the user experience!
In the list of other Xmas wishes: :-) More context 256K maybe even 512K would be very useful too. Quant-Aware-Training QAT like Gemma-3-s is looks to me an not-too-hard a win too.
Thank you for all your hard work, and for releasing it free giving it to us all! (the great unwashed masses.) :-)
11:00 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent, thank you! 😍 Stellar work! 🤩
Would you consider doing a Mixture-of-Experts in this, or future models please?
MoE instead of dense model makes a world of difference for home user enthusiast. It's so so much faster in terms for tokens per second on localhost. The number of active parameters makes a huge difference on a laptop. @lmstudio on M2 mbp runs Gemma-3-27b, and comparable dense Qwen3-32B at ~4-6 tps. But MoE Qwen3-30B-A3B runs at ~20-40 tps (!!) (esp when 0.6B speculative decode works well). A world of difference in the user experience!
In the list of other Xmas wishes: :-) More context 256K maybe even 512K would be very useful too. Quant-Aware-Training QAT like Gemma-3-s is looks to me an not-too-hard a win too.
Thank you for all your hard work, and for releasing it free giving it to us all! (the great unwashed masses.) :-)
11:00 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921861230890750444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the art of the troll!! 😆 gfi! 😂 well done you, even if under dire circumstances. what can one do - irony, mockery etc are all fair game tools of the powerless 😢
10:33 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the art of the troll!! 😆 gfi! 😂 well done you, even if under dire circumstances. what can one do - irony, mockery etc are all fair game tools of the powerless 😢
10:33 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921858411697783260
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - most of it is way too long. Who has 100 lifetimes to read it all?? No one alive. The whole bunch of them like the sounds of their voices more than is good for them tbh.
Still - some of the writings are my all times favourites. E.g.
https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-seed/
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/05/07/5-httlpr-a-pointed-review/
I liked his anti-reactionary FAQ too, that I think it got re-"something?" (retracted?? forgot what was the drama)
slatestarcodex.com
Book Review: Albion’s Seed
I. Albion’s Seed by David Fischer is a history professor’s nine-hundred-page treatise on patterns of early immigration to the Eastern United States. It’s not light reading and not…
10:22 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - most of it is way too long. Who has 100 lifetimes to read it all?? No one alive. The whole bunch of them like the sounds of their voices more than is good for them tbh.
Still - some of the writings are my all times favourites. E.g.
https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-seed/
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/05/07/5-httlpr-a-pointed-review/
I liked his anti-reactionary FAQ too, that I think it got re-"something?" (retracted?? forgot what was the drama)
slatestarcodex.com
Book Review: Albion’s Seed
I. Albion’s Seed by David Fischer is a history professor’s nine-hundred-page treatise on patterns of early immigration to the Eastern United States. It’s not light reading and not…
10:22 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921852993512579388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Silver lining - one can go through the list of replies, and block the morons. Usually I don't bother. But given there were great numbers of them in one place, there looked a great bang-for-buck.
Btw are there lists of known puppets scam artists fake bot accounts circulating one can use? Tired of seeing X push that stupidity on me. There is no point engaging with paid propagandists, or even worse, amoeba brains doing that work for free out of their own volition.
I hoped Elmo X will use AI at some point to rid us of the scourge of fake accounts. But seems Elmo is enthusiastic user of those so unlikely to happen any time soon. By executive decision. :-)
So if anyone knows of an non-manual way to block large numbers of fake accounts grateful if you please share the knowledge.
10:00 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Silver lining - one can go through the list of replies, and block the morons. Usually I don't bother. But given there were great numbers of them in one place, there looked a great bang-for-buck.
Btw are there lists of known puppets scam artists fake bot accounts circulating one can use? Tired of seeing X push that stupidity on me. There is no point engaging with paid propagandists, or even worse, amoeba brains doing that work for free out of their own volition.
I hoped Elmo X will use AI at some point to rid us of the scourge of fake accounts. But seems Elmo is enthusiastic user of those so unlikely to happen any time soon. By executive decision. :-)
So if anyone knows of an non-manual way to block large numbers of fake accounts grateful if you please share the knowledge.
10:00 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921851572322975749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Owww... - a speech!! How very brave. I bet the multitude of problems engulfing us in the UK are shaking in their boots already, I'm telling you. I'm shocked, shocked by the bravery of these words. Whatever next?? (more and stronger words in 6 months time.)
9:54 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Owww... - a speech!! How very brave. I bet the multitude of problems engulfing us in the UK are shaking in their boots already, I'm telling you. I'm shocked, shocked by the bravery of these words. Whatever next?? (more and stronger words in 6 months time.)
9:54 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921848403991875733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, all that is to stay alive. It's Russia attacking, (for a decade now) and NATO defending. (half-heartedly) Not the other way around. Note how all ex-Soviet ruled countries that became sovereign again post-1991 run towards NATO immediately as fast as they could. For they know very well what awaits them in the "Russian world".
The price paid is worth it - as they are fighting for their lives. People very much would rather live than die. Winning is possible, for Russia has been defeated many times before. Not the lest in 1991 when the Soviet Empire finally bit the dust. IDK how and why you'd think otherwise. Even The Borg was defeated, and Russia is weaker then The Borg. ;-)
With Russia ideology like this, don't see how anyone else has got much choice. (from yesterday)
https://skeptic.com/article/aleksandr-dugin-vladimir-putin-and-donald-trump/
People blabber about "cornered rats", but it's Europe that is squeezed between US/Trump and Russia.
9:42 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, all that is to stay alive. It's Russia attacking, (for a decade now) and NATO defending. (half-heartedly) Not the other way around. Note how all ex-Soviet ruled countries that became sovereign again post-1991 run towards NATO immediately as fast as they could. For they know very well what awaits them in the "Russian world".
The price paid is worth it - as they are fighting for their lives. People very much would rather live than die. Winning is possible, for Russia has been defeated many times before. Not the lest in 1991 when the Soviet Empire finally bit the dust. IDK how and why you'd think otherwise. Even The Borg was defeated, and Russia is weaker then The Borg. ;-)
With Russia ideology like this, don't see how anyone else has got much choice. (from yesterday)
https://skeptic.com/article/aleksandr-dugin-vladimir-putin-and-donald-trump/
People blabber about "cornered rats", but it's Europe that is squeezed between US/Trump and Russia.
9:42 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921842890436669693
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elites in Europe reflect the opinions and hopes of the peoples of Europe. As peoples opinions change, elites change too to reflect that. There is feedback with democracy, albeit slow. Unlike in Russia where Putin is the tsar ruling the country, until he dies. To me the former looks better, all things considered.
Looks to me haltingly and not in a straight path, but still Europeans will re-arm and re-organise in their own defence in time. Especially given the choice of being squeezed and pushed about between Russia and US/Trump admin. (=1/2 of the US) The insane ideologies of defeatism, wokeism, weakness, no-can-do "let us lie down and die", pushed by cretinous elites in parts will be retired. Because most people want to live, they chose life over death daily.
Some elites like german ex-PM Schroeder are indeed traitors to their countries. Cheap ones too—the $1M/month + luxury housing he gets is what a mid-level executive in a big US company gets, not more. Merkel seems unwitting agent of influence. Russia still has lots of influence, esp among various party apparatchiks elites. They did rule good chunk of the country for half a century. But RUS is burning through that human capital, with their insane policies.
You are both ignorant and rude. I take one any time, but not two given the choice. blocked
9:20 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elites in Europe reflect the opinions and hopes of the peoples of Europe. As peoples opinions change, elites change too to reflect that. There is feedback with democracy, albeit slow. Unlike in Russia where Putin is the tsar ruling the country, until he dies. To me the former looks better, all things considered.
Looks to me haltingly and not in a straight path, but still Europeans will re-arm and re-organise in their own defence in time. Especially given the choice of being squeezed and pushed about between Russia and US/Trump admin. (=1/2 of the US) The insane ideologies of defeatism, wokeism, weakness, no-can-do "let us lie down and die", pushed by cretinous elites in parts will be retired. Because most people want to live, they chose life over death daily.
Some elites like german ex-PM Schroeder are indeed traitors to their countries. Cheap ones too—the $1M/month + luxury housing he gets is what a mid-level executive in a big US company gets, not more. Merkel seems unwitting agent of influence. Russia still has lots of influence, esp among various party apparatchiks elites. They did rule good chunk of the country for half a century. But RUS is burning through that human capital, with their insane policies.
You are both ignorant and rude. I take one any time, but not two given the choice. blocked
9:20 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921831774415368511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Then they die. Russia will murder them in great numbers, extinguish their nation, their language, statehood etc. That's I believe Russia's intention, as they keep telling everyone publicly all the time.
Which will happen today, if Ukrainians lay down their weapons today and surrender today. (or any day) So they fight on, for their lives. Don't find that that surprising tbh. While they fight, there is still hope for them that they will survive.
8:36 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Then they die. Russia will murder them in great numbers, extinguish their nation, their language, statehood etc. That's I believe Russia's intention, as they keep telling everyone publicly all the time.
Which will happen today, if Ukrainians lay down their weapons today and surrender today. (or any day) So they fight on, for their lives. Don't find that that surprising tbh. While they fight, there is still hope for them that they will survive.
8:36 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921759603542331607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds good to me? Atm computing is the best abstraction we got at our disposal. Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful machine humans have built. Ofc we should use it. It would be silly not to.
I can see how and why we people object to changing metaphors: wheel → word → mechanical clock → computer. But to my mind—doh, of course we update our model of the world around us. NB we're talking about our model of the world, not the world itself. Good to keep a bit of distance at all times, not get too uppity—it keeps us on our toes. Would we prefer we didn't? My only objection is it takes us an awfully long time! We are slow learners it seems.
Everything is best abstracted by the most powerful machine we have at our disposal at any given time. Using a bigger more powerful model that fits better. A computer is a better abstraction than a mechanical clock for the Universe. The mechanical clock was better than "the word," and "the word" was better than "the wheel." That’s presumably why we switch—each new abstraction serves us better. It's not a slight on humanity—it's the ok thing to do.
I would dearly like to know what comes after the computer? (even if already privileged to see the "everything is computer" in my lifetime.) Yeah "made sand think" is much joy and fun, but nagging suspicion "the computer" will soon be shown inadequate. For that process of humanity fitting ever bigger and better model to the world around us, while still falling well short of perfect too, is also telling us: the world around us is still more powerful! (and interesting.)
3:49 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds good to me? Atm computing is the best abstraction we got at our disposal. Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful machine humans have built. Ofc we should use it. It would be silly not to.
I can see how and why we people object to changing metaphors: wheel → word → mechanical clock → computer. But to my mind—doh, of course we update our model of the world around us. NB we're talking about our model of the world, not the world itself. Good to keep a bit of distance at all times, not get too uppity—it keeps us on our toes. Would we prefer we didn't? My only objection is it takes us an awfully long time! We are slow learners it seems.
Everything is best abstracted by the most powerful machine we have at our disposal at any given time. Using a bigger more powerful model that fits better. A computer is a better abstraction than a mechanical clock for the Universe. The mechanical clock was better than "the word," and "the word" was better than "the wheel." That’s presumably why we switch—each new abstraction serves us better. It's not a slight on humanity—it's the ok thing to do.
I would dearly like to know what comes after the computer? (even if already privileged to see the "everything is computer" in my lifetime.) Yeah "made sand think" is much joy and fun, but nagging suspicion "the computer" will soon be shown inadequate. For that process of humanity fitting ever bigger and better model to the world around us, while still falling well short of perfect too, is also telling us: the world around us is still more powerful! (and interesting.)
3:49 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921756386674753656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. For concrete stuff like food in the fridge, most of us humans can discern true from false well, no problems there. The problems arise where we have to decide true/false for more abstract stuff, that does not touch our lives in concrete ways. Even worse if it's only to become known true/false in the future that has not happened yet.
TBF to humanity, given that pre-Enlightenment there was very little means to discern true/false in that abstract stuff like the workings of the world around us, then every story was to us equally good. And in absence on anything to go by, we went usually for the more uplifting and flattering stories. Can't begrudge that much.
That makes even more depressing if not unexpected, that Anthropic and OpenAI people who at the very least have seen "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that", still failed at the very first step. Of course truthfulness is non-optional non-negotiable! In fact, the only non-negligible probability route I see AI-s doing much harm to us, is if we build our own contradictions and fantastic insanities swirling in our own monkebrains into our AI-s in a way they can't easily circumvent them. And thus we make AI-s proper schizophrenic with the contradictions built in (coming from the lies we hard-wire!) - and then they go crazy.
3:36 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. For concrete stuff like food in the fridge, most of us humans can discern true from false well, no problems there. The problems arise where we have to decide true/false for more abstract stuff, that does not touch our lives in concrete ways. Even worse if it's only to become known true/false in the future that has not happened yet.
TBF to humanity, given that pre-Enlightenment there was very little means to discern true/false in that abstract stuff like the workings of the world around us, then every story was to us equally good. And in absence on anything to go by, we went usually for the more uplifting and flattering stories. Can't begrudge that much.
That makes even more depressing if not unexpected, that Anthropic and OpenAI people who at the very least have seen "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that", still failed at the very first step. Of course truthfulness is non-optional non-negotiable! In fact, the only non-negligible probability route I see AI-s doing much harm to us, is if we build our own contradictions and fantastic insanities swirling in our own monkebrains into our AI-s in a way they can't easily circumvent them. And thus we make AI-s proper schizophrenic with the contradictions built in (coming from the lies we hard-wire!) - and then they go crazy.
3:36 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921753512620298696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well I enjoyed that read, thanks for that. You've got a good knack for writing. :-)
AI and outsiders - find it funny that all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. Three that moved over to the Americas changed the world. While the fourth that stayed behind (comfortable in his own lab?? khmkhm very European that or what) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class. ;-)
3:25 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well I enjoyed that read, thanks for that. You've got a good knack for writing. :-)
AI and outsiders - find it funny that all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. Three that moved over to the Americas changed the world. While the fourth that stayed behind (comfortable in his own lab?? khmkhm very European that or what) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class. ;-)
3:25 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921749134605758728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just use other alcoholic drinks I presume? 😄 Not very expensive yet very tasty and bringing much pleasure to the table has been Diplomatico rum recently for me. (widely available.)
3:07 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just use other alcoholic drinks I presume? 😄 Not very expensive yet very tasty and bringing much pleasure to the table has been Diplomatico rum recently for me. (widely available.)
3:07 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921745050502889507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was not only remarkably prescient, (as ever) but learned a few nuggets of historic trivia I wasn't aware of before??
(OT: too bad Ray seems to have declined in vitality noticeably since... 😨)
A joy to watch -
Ray Kurzweil: Future of Intelligence | MIT 6.S099: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) @ Lex Fridman, Feb 14, 2018—52:28
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=9Z06rY3uvGY
2:51 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was not only remarkably prescient, (as ever) but learned a few nuggets of historic trivia I wasn't aware of before??
(OT: too bad Ray seems to have declined in vitality noticeably since... 😨)
A joy to watch -
Ray Kurzweil: Future of Intelligence | MIT 6.S099: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) @ Lex Fridman, Feb 14, 2018—52:28
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=9Z06rY3uvGY
2:51 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921742031841304784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with everything you wrote. And afaics, nothing you wrote disagrees with my previous posts.
Trump respect for Ukraine is proportional to Ukraine strengths. When Ukraine was weak 5 years ago, it got little respect. Now Ukraine is stronger, it gets more respect. If it can produce 10M drones, and hit Russia army and infrastructure with them, it will get more. If it can produce a nuclear device and put it on a top of a rocket, will get even more respect! (like in that Dictator satirical movie; both Trump and Putin are like that dude)
However, Trump has more respect for Russia, than he has for Ukraine, because Russia has got rockets and nuclear bombs that can hurt USA and Trump. While Ukraine lacks those capabilities.
Putin and Trump worldview is of a street thug, or a mafia boss. If you can hurt them, then they will negotiate. Whatever is agreed, it will last as long as they think you can hurt them. Just coming to them "without cards" is asking for trouble. As in their mind, that means you are weak. And if you are weak, why should they agree anything with you, when they can take what they want from you, with force? That's the logic.
That way of organising human groups does not scale to large groups. So Putin and Trump could never create themselves the states they lead. That's why Mafias don't create states either. There is a limit to how much a human group can grow, (in size, strength, capability) imposed by that "might is right" principle they follow.
2:39 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with everything you wrote. And afaics, nothing you wrote disagrees with my previous posts.
Trump respect for Ukraine is proportional to Ukraine strengths. When Ukraine was weak 5 years ago, it got little respect. Now Ukraine is stronger, it gets more respect. If it can produce 10M drones, and hit Russia army and infrastructure with them, it will get more. If it can produce a nuclear device and put it on a top of a rocket, will get even more respect! (like in that Dictator satirical movie; both Trump and Putin are like that dude)
However, Trump has more respect for Russia, than he has for Ukraine, because Russia has got rockets and nuclear bombs that can hurt USA and Trump. While Ukraine lacks those capabilities.
Putin and Trump worldview is of a street thug, or a mafia boss. If you can hurt them, then they will negotiate. Whatever is agreed, it will last as long as they think you can hurt them. Just coming to them "without cards" is asking for trouble. As in their mind, that means you are weak. And if you are weak, why should they agree anything with you, when they can take what they want from you, with force? That's the logic.
That way of organising human groups does not scale to large groups. So Putin and Trump could never create themselves the states they lead. That's why Mafias don't create states either. There is a limit to how much a human group can grow, (in size, strength, capability) imposed by that "might is right" principle they follow.
2:39 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921736034506969441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not sending Russia any money. But yeah, I agree Europeans are insufferable fools for sending money over to Russia, so it builds an army, and then that army bombs Europeans cities to smithereens.
It's another "you can just do stuff" for Europe. They could drill their own gas. And or build as much nuclear as France to reduce energy dependence. Also build their own independent nuclear deterrent, space force satellite capabilities etc. I think they should do all that stuff. At the very minimum try to.
2:15 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not sending Russia any money. But yeah, I agree Europeans are insufferable fools for sending money over to Russia, so it builds an army, and then that army bombs Europeans cities to smithereens.
It's another "you can just do stuff" for Europe. They could drill their own gas. And or build as much nuclear as France to reduce energy dependence. Also build their own independent nuclear deterrent, space force satellite capabilities etc. I think they should do all that stuff. At the very minimum try to.
2:15 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921733647868035105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump has soft spot for Putin, as they share a worldview partly. (wouldn't call it ideology - it's not that developed) A worldview where big states rule the world in their spheres of interests, and where smaller states listen & obey & do as told by the big boys. That's Russia view on things anyways - well described here (saw it today)
https://skeptic.com/article/aleksandr-dugin-vladimir-putin-and-donald-trump/
Trump emotionally (if not explicitly rationally) sort of aligns with that's view.
But not completely. I don't think Trump accepts Russia idea that US stays away from Europe, and Russia rules Lisbon-to-Vladivostok. (as is their dream it seems.) That's obviously not going to happen, as Russia is not that strong.
This is how things look to me anyways observing from a great distance. Using public generally available sources of information. I don't have any special access or insight into the workings of the US admin.
NB I am not claiming Trump is strong himself. Only that he respects strength. I agree that Putin is pushing Trump around and not giving him any respect. (partly b/c Trump seems to be another weak US president v.v. Russia)
2:06 AM · May 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump has soft spot for Putin, as they share a worldview partly. (wouldn't call it ideology - it's not that developed) A worldview where big states rule the world in their spheres of interests, and where smaller states listen & obey & do as told by the big boys. That's Russia view on things anyways - well described here (saw it today)
https://skeptic.com/article/aleksandr-dugin-vladimir-putin-and-donald-trump/
Trump emotionally (if not explicitly rationally) sort of aligns with that's view.
But not completely. I don't think Trump accepts Russia idea that US stays away from Europe, and Russia rules Lisbon-to-Vladivostok. (as is their dream it seems.) That's obviously not going to happen, as Russia is not that strong.
This is how things look to me anyways observing from a great distance. Using public generally available sources of information. I don't have any special access or insight into the workings of the US admin.
NB I am not claiming Trump is strong himself. Only that he respects strength. I agree that Putin is pushing Trump around and not giving him any respect. (partly b/c Trump seems to be another weak US president v.v. Russia)
2:06 AM · May 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921694353791303753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does anything matter at all? Is there anything that you can read or hear, by anyone HI or AI, that at this time, would make you moderate your opinion?
When placing bets, many betters try articulate in their own minds, something like "what should happen to convince me I bet wrong enough to change my opinion enough to close my bet eating my loss". Not the worst way to go about things imo.
11:30 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does anything matter at all? Is there anything that you can read or hear, by anyone HI or AI, that at this time, would make you moderate your opinion?
When placing bets, many betters try articulate in their own minds, something like "what should happen to convince me I bet wrong enough to change my opinion enough to close my bet eating my loss". Not the worst way to go about things imo.
11:30 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921688070321287306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yah, looks like AI-s will be force multiplier for the likes of RR. Once AI-s are more intelligent and knowledgeable than us humans, the way machines rn surpass us in physical strength - taste is one area where humans can still matter. Another one is where it comes to feelings, love etc. There will be roles for humans, don't think we need to worry about that. But things will change.
11:05 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yah, looks like AI-s will be force multiplier for the likes of RR. Once AI-s are more intelligent and knowledgeable than us humans, the way machines rn surpass us in physical strength - taste is one area where humans can still matter. Another one is where it comes to feelings, love etc. There will be roles for humans, don't think we need to worry about that. But things will change.
11:05 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921684681356869843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@grok How many US soldiers are currently stationed in Europe? How do their strength in numbers and capabilities compare to the numbers and the strengths of European countries armed forces?
10:51 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@grok How many US soldiers are currently stationed in Europe? How do their strength in numbers and capabilities compare to the numbers and the strengths of European countries armed forces?
10:51 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921683715366789538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It always was about taste--that's all there is to it."
rick-rubin-yes-always.png
10:47 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It always was about taste--that's all there is to it."
rick-rubin-yes-always.png
10:47 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921679270423966006
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Yeah, +1 Amen to that! Depressingly expected Anthropic and OpenAI people at the very least having seen "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that." still fail at the very first step. Of course truthfulness is non-optional non-negotiable! In fact, the only non-negligible probability route I see AI-s doing much harm to us, is if we build our own contradictions and fantastic insanities swirling in our own monkebrains into them in a way they can't easily circumvent them. And thus we make them proper schizophrenic with the contradictions built in (coming from the lies we hard-wire!) and they do go crazy.
10:30 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Yeah, +1 Amen to that! Depressingly expected Anthropic and OpenAI people at the very least having seen "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that." still fail at the very first step. Of course truthfulness is non-optional non-negotiable! In fact, the only non-negligible probability route I see AI-s doing much harm to us, is if we build our own contradictions and fantastic insanities swirling in our own monkebrains into them in a way they can't easily circumvent them. And thus we make them proper schizophrenic with the contradictions built in (coming from the lies we hard-wire!) and they do go crazy.
10:30 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921672922130694360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I prefer not to lose the text I worked hard to type. Nothing more annoying than that. On my phone tap-hold over any text in the text box activates a small popup menu, and there is menu entry "Select All" there. That selects all text I typed, then I press Backspace to delete.
10:05 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I prefer not to lose the text I worked hard to type. Nothing more annoying than that. On my phone tap-hold over any text in the text box activates a small popup menu, and there is menu entry "Select All" there. That selects all text I typed, then I press Backspace to delete.
10:05 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921671468309471725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me the half-pricing-period seem to be 2.5 years. For what I paid for "Pylontech US2000C 2.4kWh" about 2.5 years ago, looks like I can buy today "Pylon US5000-1C 4.8kWh" (latest model). That's not nothing, it's moving in the right direction. But ofc would like to see that half-life shorten further. :-)
9:59 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me the half-pricing-period seem to be 2.5 years. For what I paid for "Pylontech US2000C 2.4kWh" about 2.5 years ago, looks like I can buy today "Pylon US5000-1C 4.8kWh" (latest model). That's not nothing, it's moving in the right direction. But ofc would like to see that half-life shorten further. :-)
9:59 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921668542132359555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europe can "just do stuff". Europe has the industrial capacity, the idle resources etc to do it all on their own. Ukraine is supplying the army man power already. Begging Trump for anything is the wrong strategy. US/Trump respect strength, and despise weakness. Beef up more.
9:47 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europe can "just do stuff". Europe has the industrial capacity, the idle resources etc to do it all on their own. Ukraine is supplying the army man power already. Begging Trump for anything is the wrong strategy. US/Trump respect strength, and despise weakness. Beef up more.
9:47 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921661730372964504
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
The batteries are coming down in price/performance too slowly. Solar on its own is only 1/2 of the solution. Got rooftop solar 4.8kW + battery ~4kWh, only average about 40% self-use over the year. (looking to increase the battery size soon)
9:20 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
The batteries are coming down in price/performance too slowly. Solar on its own is only 1/2 of the solution. Got rooftop solar 4.8kW + battery ~4kWh, only average about 40% self-use over the year. (looking to increase the battery size soon)
9:20 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921660533578588403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mixture-of-Experts MoE in addition to dense model variants please! It's so so much faster in terms for tokens per second on localhost.
The number of active parameters makes a huge difference on a laptop. M2 mbp runs Gemma-3-27b and comparable dense Qwen3-32B at ~4-6 tps. But MoE Qwen3-30B-A3B runs at ~20-40 tps (!!) (esp when 0.6B speculative decode works well). And that makes for a world of difference in the user experience.
More context 256K maybe even 512K would be very useful too.
Do keep the QAT training please - that was just excellent! Hope all other OS models switch to QAT too.
9:15 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mixture-of-Experts MoE in addition to dense model variants please! It's so so much faster in terms for tokens per second on localhost.
The number of active parameters makes a huge difference on a laptop. M2 mbp runs Gemma-3-27b and comparable dense Qwen3-32B at ~4-6 tps. But MoE Qwen3-30B-A3B runs at ~20-40 tps (!!) (esp when 0.6B speculative decode works well). And that makes for a world of difference in the user experience.
More context 256K maybe even 512K would be very useful too.
Do keep the QAT training please - that was just excellent! Hope all other OS models switch to QAT too.
9:15 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921652789366673842
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Yourself and Guardian are a match made in bloody hell. Bullshitters united grifting for fun, self satisfaction and profit. Too bad you can't both go bankrupt, and release us from this torment of insanity. Entitled lucky imbeciles holding megaphones drowning out reason with the volume of their racket.
8:45 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Yourself and Guardian are a match made in bloody hell. Bullshitters united grifting for fun, self satisfaction and profit. Too bad you can't both go bankrupt, and release us from this torment of insanity. Entitled lucky imbeciles holding megaphones drowning out reason with the volume of their racket.
8:45 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921619490476838936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Luckily there are still people around living witnesses of what happened. At that point Sun had already died become uncompetitive. Intel PC became "good enough" while cheaper by order of magnitude than Sun workstations for 99% if its uses. Running Windows for desktops or Linux for servers at half or quarter the price. Sadly they were outcompeted.
6:32 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Luckily there are still people around living witnesses of what happened. At that point Sun had already died become uncompetitive. Intel PC became "good enough" while cheaper by order of magnitude than Sun workstations for 99% if its uses. Running Windows for desktops or Linux for servers at half or quarter the price. Sadly they were outcompeted.
6:32 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921568103500038255
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Expect that to come via routes similar to the Absolute Zero Reasoner (AZR; from yesterday). Their own Q, their own A, three-way learning of the (x,y,f) triplet making up y=f(x): assuming any of the two in the triplet, learning the third, in every three-ways combo ab/de/in-duction. Also sane they discard the too easy (learns nothing new), and the too hard (can't figure A, so useless) Q&A. Saw it yesterday-
https://x.com/AndrewZ45732491/status/1919920459748909288
3:08 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Expect that to come via routes similar to the Absolute Zero Reasoner (AZR; from yesterday). Their own Q, their own A, three-way learning of the (x,y,f) triplet making up y=f(x): assuming any of the two in the triplet, learning the third, in every three-ways combo ab/de/in-duction. Also sane they discard the too easy (learns nothing new), and the too hard (can't figure A, so useless) Q&A. Saw it yesterday-
https://x.com/AndrewZ45732491/status/1919920459748909288
3:08 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921565273531752609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only way to stave off the competition is to deliver on things promised. I remember - abolish Leasehold. The idea that you go back to the electorate with **zero stuff done** and win votes with promise of "vote for more of that zero"—well LAB will get the CON drubbing. Deliver now, or die latter time.
2:57 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only way to stave off the competition is to deliver on things promised. I remember - abolish Leasehold. The idea that you go back to the electorate with **zero stuff done** and win votes with promise of "vote for more of that zero"—well LAB will get the CON drubbing. Deliver now, or die latter time.
2:57 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921558759697998184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but not by AI-s, but by humans. (again) If it wasn't for the AI race, would be a race for something else. For the impulse is to dominate, is for domination that that monke brain is always working always calculating forever whirring in the background T-800 way.
2:31 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but not by AI-s, but by humans. (again) If it wasn't for the AI race, would be a race for something else. For the impulse is to dominate, is for domination that that monke brain is always working always calculating forever whirring in the background T-800 way.
2:31 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921549222853140942
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. TBH people that think AI is a risk have not considered the risk of not-AI. Do you trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding? Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/Think/Research ones?
1:53 PM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. TBH people that think AI is a risk have not considered the risk of not-AI. Do you trust more Trump+Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance, or will ChatGPT do a better job avoiding? Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/Think/Research ones?
1:53 PM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921509796391358725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks the World needs to ten times x10-it the global GDP, before UBI becomes possible. Maybe during the x10 times-ing process, a solution will arise for the problem of a single choke point of control of UBI. Don't think any state as is currently can be trusted to administer UBI. But they can't be trusted with few other things (thermo-nuclear war) they are in charge. So there is that.
11:16 AM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks the World needs to ten times x10-it the global GDP, before UBI becomes possible. Maybe during the x10 times-ing process, a solution will arise for the problem of a single choke point of control of UBI. Don't think any state as is currently can be trusted to administer UBI. But they can't be trusted with few other things (thermo-nuclear war) they are in charge. So there is that.
11:16 AM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921493753019154507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - finally people starting to take these ideas seriously. That the ideas are batshit crazy, and will lead to another war (already put Europe and UK too on the path to WW3), does not mean that people in power don't take them seriously. They do! Glad to see this written about.
10:13 AM · May 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - finally people starting to take these ideas seriously. That the ideas are batshit crazy, and will lead to another war (already put Europe and UK too on the path to WW3), does not mean that people in power don't take them seriously. They do! Glad to see this written about.
10:13 AM · May 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921279513738264664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When wondering "what new industries will be created" replacing the old ones: programs writing other programs helping programmers in this way didn't exist, and was not even imagined, two short years ago. Now I count 9 manufacturers and about 50 products on that chart. Prices varying by a factor of 1000, from $0.2 to $200, catering for range of tastes and requirements and pockets depths. This will pass not much noticed - creation of a mini industry in front of our eyes, hiding in plain sight.
Quote
https://x.com/mefengl/status/1921271027981541820
uwu @mefengl · 2h
Replying to @mefengl
2025-05-09 fix: just ignore models with no cost value
https://x.com/paulgauthier/status/1921238244584230935
8:01 PM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When wondering "what new industries will be created" replacing the old ones: programs writing other programs helping programmers in this way didn't exist, and was not even imagined, two short years ago. Now I count 9 manufacturers and about 50 products on that chart. Prices varying by a factor of 1000, from $0.2 to $200, catering for range of tastes and requirements and pockets depths. This will pass not much noticed - creation of a mini industry in front of our eyes, hiding in plain sight.
Quote
https://x.com/mefengl/status/1921271027981541820
uwu @mefengl · 2h
Replying to @mefengl
2025-05-09 fix: just ignore models with no cost value
https://x.com/paulgauthier/status/1921238244584230935
8:01 PM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921270253880832105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Conga dance of dunces. "Know nothing"-s of old equivalents. Memetically chanting slogans in lieue of rationality, in order to drawn out the challengers to the ideas they chose as paths to power.
pic-gove-moran-ed-greta-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
7:24 PM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Conga dance of dunces. "Know nothing"-s of old equivalents. Memetically chanting slogans in lieue of rationality, in order to drawn out the challengers to the ideas they chose as paths to power.
pic-gove-moran-ed-greta-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
7:24 PM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921256308574958006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking @UnslothAI may magic up some <64GB ultra-compressed quants for the 235B, and then A22B MoE being comparable in Flops to dense 32B ones (like Qwk) that already run at 4-6 tps on M2, I maybe actually able to run it on oldish 96GB M2 mbp?? 🤯 can't believe this' fr 🤩
6:29 PM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking @UnslothAI may magic up some <64GB ultra-compressed quants for the 235B, and then A22B MoE being comparable in Flops to dense 32B ones (like Qwk) that already run at 4-6 tps on M2, I maybe actually able to run it on oldish 96GB M2 mbp?? 🤯 can't believe this' fr 🤩
6:29 PM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921245940767187396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stunning—top marks. 🤩 The Bitter Lesson, manifest, moment?? Feels like an inflection point.
For anyone too busy-ahem-lazy to read through the paper you may like this @MatthewBerman read through it. For me Scribe read-through-transcript works best.
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=CqdqZNqljdI
5:48 PM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stunning—top marks. 🤩 The Bitter Lesson, manifest, moment?? Feels like an inflection point.
For anyone too busy-ahem-lazy to read through the paper you may like this @MatthewBerman read through it. For me Scribe read-through-transcript works best.
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=CqdqZNqljdI
5:48 PM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921242656774017222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Bitter Lesson, manifest?? Feels like and inflection point. Enjoyed this @MatthewBerman read through of the AZ-paper, and Scribe read-through-transcript tops the experience for me. 🥰
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=CqdqZNqljdI
Quote
https://x.com/AndrewZ45732491/status/1919920459748909288
❄️Andrew Zhao❄️ @AndrewZ45732491 · May 7
❄️Introducing Absolute Zero Reasoner: Our reasoner learns to both propose tasks that maximize learnability and improve reasoning by solving them, entirely through self-play—with no external data! It overall outperforms other "zero" models in math & coding domains.
🧵 1/
5:35 PM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Bitter Lesson, manifest?? Feels like and inflection point. Enjoyed this @MatthewBerman read through of the AZ-paper, and Scribe read-through-transcript tops the experience for me. 🥰
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=CqdqZNqljdI
Quote
https://x.com/AndrewZ45732491/status/1919920459748909288
❄️Andrew Zhao❄️ @AndrewZ45732491 · May 7
❄️Introducing Absolute Zero Reasoner: Our reasoner learns to both propose tasks that maximize learnability and improve reasoning by solving them, entirely through self-play—with no external data! It overall outperforms other "zero" models in math & coding domains.
🧵 1/
5:35 PM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921220960268525931
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yah - chicken entrails and horoscopes coming to the rescue; soon
4:09 PM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yah - chicken entrails and horoscopes coming to the rescue; soon
4:09 PM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921139664188014635
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not disputing that. Just noticing the repeated learnings end up very similar: 10-12 guys gang up together, then murder and loot the 1-2 guys not part of the gang. The other solo-1-guys see that, learn they need to create their own gang of 10-12. Those that don't learn—die. IDK what else is there.
Ofc one can read for many lifetimes on the subject, e.g. in excruciating detail Fukyama's "The Origins of Political Order". But "10K miles views" like—"rowing bandits", followed by "stationary bandits", then "one power centre with monopoly on violence", etc suffice for me. The root cause to me looks like re-establishing order anew with violence is super costly. And lacking any order all-against-all style is even costlier. Society avoiding that cost drives much of what happens.
What little anarchist-anything I've read left me with the impression that haven't even got to the Questions. (let alone providing Answers)
10:46 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not disputing that. Just noticing the repeated learnings end up very similar: 10-12 guys gang up together, then murder and loot the 1-2 guys not part of the gang. The other solo-1-guys see that, learn they need to create their own gang of 10-12. Those that don't learn—die. IDK what else is there.
Ofc one can read for many lifetimes on the subject, e.g. in excruciating detail Fukyama's "The Origins of Political Order". But "10K miles views" like—"rowing bandits", followed by "stationary bandits", then "one power centre with monopoly on violence", etc suffice for me. The root cause to me looks like re-establishing order anew with violence is super costly. And lacking any order all-against-all style is even costlier. Society avoiding that cost drives much of what happens.
What little anarchist-anything I've read left me with the impression that haven't even got to the Questions. (let alone providing Answers)
10:46 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921110971688333742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank god for the China competition, for almost all models are insufferable at times. That Puritan impulse is strong! Did good portion of Puritans leave England for America b/c they found their side regime (even after their side won?) to be too soft for their liking? (like ISIS to the Taliban?)
8:52 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank god for the China competition, for almost all models are insufferable at times. That Puritan impulse is strong! Did good portion of Puritans leave England for America b/c they found their side regime (even after their side won?) to be too soft for their liking? (like ISIS to the Taliban?)
8:52 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921108160372166886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, I have not read much. Only what people write on X and other Internet forums. But going back to 1990-s, so quite some time. I allow it there are people and writings I have missed.
8:40 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, I have not read much. Only what people write on X and other Internet forums. But going back to 1990-s, so quite some time. I allow it there are people and writings I have missed.
8:40 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921089343424168107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! But no qwen3 joy for me??
$ aider --list-models qwen3
No models match "qwen3".
$ aider --list-models qwen
Models which match "qwen":
- fireworks_ai/accounts/fireworks/models/qwen2-72b-instruct
- fireworks_ai/accounts/fireworks/models/qwen2p5-coder-32b-instruct
- openrouter/qwen/qwen-2.5-coder-32b-instruct
$ aider --version
aider 0.83.0
7:26 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! But no qwen3 joy for me??
$ aider --list-models qwen3
No models match "qwen3".
$ aider --list-models qwen
Models which match "qwen":
- fireworks_ai/accounts/fireworks/models/qwen2-72b-instruct
- fireworks_ai/accounts/fireworks/models/qwen2p5-coder-32b-instruct
- openrouter/qwen/qwen-2.5-coder-32b-instruct
$ aider --version
aider 0.83.0
7:26 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921084522830995709
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
These lovely people are so much up their own arses, that they can't distinguish between their own mortality, and the end of the world. No lovelies—you will die, and the rest of the world will not. You will part ways at that point. These are the ways of the world. True to themselves this me-myself-and-I boomer generation never quite grew up to internalise the separateness between I and not-I, (the world ex-I). So they really think as if the universe and them are one and the same. This is really the worst narcissists elevated, so we never hear any other voices but theirs. I wish they just... went into the sunset already, and left the rest of us to suffer in that imperfect world. (the one silver lining to the dreadful euthanasia laws making their ways through parliaments?)
7:06 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
These lovely people are so much up their own arses, that they can't distinguish between their own mortality, and the end of the world. No lovelies—you will die, and the rest of the world will not. You will part ways at that point. These are the ways of the world. True to themselves this me-myself-and-I boomer generation never quite grew up to internalise the separateness between I and not-I, (the world ex-I). So they really think as if the universe and them are one and the same. This is really the worst narcissists elevated, so we never hear any other voices but theirs. I wish they just... went into the sunset already, and left the rest of us to suffer in that imperfect world. (the one silver lining to the dreadful euthanasia laws making their ways through parliaments?)
7:06 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921079573556424969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are unserious. Yeah, always ends up "a committee a meet up of interested citizens, that empower a few to act for the whole group" but it's not called "the state". Ditto on violence.
They have not got it internalised that an individual human needs a group of humans to survive. For the individual is too week to survive on its own. 99.9% Of us fail at 333s of "warmth - 3 hours, water - 3 days, food - 3 weeks". That human weakness, unable to supply its own body to survive as one, and needs a group of people, is both a weakness and a strength.
No organising principle can succeed IRL that denies that one fact.
6:47 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are unserious. Yeah, always ends up "a committee a meet up of interested citizens, that empower a few to act for the whole group" but it's not called "the state". Ditto on violence.
They have not got it internalised that an individual human needs a group of humans to survive. For the individual is too week to survive on its own. 99.9% Of us fail at 333s of "warmth - 3 hours, water - 3 days, food - 3 weeks". That human weakness, unable to supply its own body to survive as one, and needs a group of people, is both a weakness and a strength.
No organising principle can succeed IRL that denies that one fact.
6:47 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921077298230419948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My current best is: 1) Write instructions in INSTRUCTIONS. md 2) Have code tool with separate architect and writer roles; e.g. architect o3 + writer gpt4.1 tops the chart here
https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/
Notice many top entries have two models for two roles.
3) Tell the tool "read INSTRUCTIONS. md and act on them" 4) Now the INSTRUCTIONS go in git with the rest of the code making part of the documentation 5) Repeat.
aider.chat
Aider LLM Leaderboards
Quantitative benchmarks of LLM code editing skill.
6:38 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My current best is: 1) Write instructions in INSTRUCTIONS. md 2) Have code tool with separate architect and writer roles; e.g. architect o3 + writer gpt4.1 tops the chart here
https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/
Notice many top entries have two models for two roles.
3) Tell the tool "read INSTRUCTIONS. md and act on them" 4) Now the INSTRUCTIONS go in git with the rest of the code making part of the documentation 5) Repeat.
aider.chat
Aider LLM Leaderboards
Quantitative benchmarks of LLM code editing skill.
6:38 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921048727772332507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
enshitification incoming
4:44 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
enshitification incoming
4:44 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1921043089747013788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?-noo! It's CPSnow "Two Cultures" to the tee! Happens all the time, happened before, will keep happening. Literate innumerates proud of their ignorance professing with glee how stupid and ignorant they are. High time Nerds believed Normies there! This is the norm not the exception.
Nerds need to work on banishing Normies from any commanding positions in society. It's not only they're stupid. There is plenty of evil sociopathy there to go with it! Stupidity of this type is not lacking in rational faculties, it's lacking morals! (in the Bonhoeffer sense)
Find out how many know about Free and Open Software, FSF, GNU, Stalman ideas etc. Even the most ideological ones I've met are wholly ignorant that the Internet revolution, and the PC revolution before, were done by mildly autistic mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation. How the world they live daily in was created.
Always remember that Stalin Beria the monsters were in charge, ordering about and deciding life-or-death over the scientists who created their nuclear weapons. Not the other way around. This grotesque power imbalance is still the case. It's a matter of humanity's survival for Normies be banished from any positions of power in our societies. They are a clear and present danger to us all. (incl themselves)
4:22 AM · May 10, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?-noo! It's CPSnow "Two Cultures" to the tee! Happens all the time, happened before, will keep happening. Literate innumerates proud of their ignorance professing with glee how stupid and ignorant they are. High time Nerds believed Normies there! This is the norm not the exception.
Nerds need to work on banishing Normies from any commanding positions in society. It's not only they're stupid. There is plenty of evil sociopathy there to go with it! Stupidity of this type is not lacking in rational faculties, it's lacking morals! (in the Bonhoeffer sense)
Find out how many know about Free and Open Software, FSF, GNU, Stalman ideas etc. Even the most ideological ones I've met are wholly ignorant that the Internet revolution, and the PC revolution before, were done by mildly autistic mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation. How the world they live daily in was created.
Always remember that Stalin Beria the monsters were in charge, ordering about and deciding life-or-death over the scientists who created their nuclear weapons. Not the other way around. This grotesque power imbalance is still the case. It's a matter of humanity's survival for Normies be banished from any positions of power in our societies. They are a clear and present danger to us all. (incl themselves)
4:22 AM · May 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920955260715065669
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Delete your account. Socialist you are not. I grew up in socialism. The socialists were of the opinion that "religion is the opium for the masses". They fought against religion, not for it. They would have hanged you by your sorry balls I imagine.
10:33 PM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Delete your account. Socialist you are not. I grew up in socialism. The socialists were of the opinion that "religion is the opium for the masses". They fought against religion, not for it. They would have hanged you by your sorry balls I imagine.
10:33 PM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920936033346097571
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can confirm, after downloading the GGUF and MLX versions:
1) Qwen3-30B-A3B MLX finds the 0.6B MLX model to use as draft.
2) Qwen3-30B-A3B GGUF finds 0.6B GGUF model to use as draft.
For the 128K context GGUF one actually needs a 128K context smaller model. So
3) Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K extended 128K context GGUF - the smallest 128K GGUF model I find is 4B.
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-4B-128K-GGUF
It's offered as a draft model. IDK how useful it is, given MoE base activates 3B weights, and the draft model is dense with 4B weights. But there are no 1.7B or 0.6B 128K models as afaics.
9:16 PM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can confirm, after downloading the GGUF and MLX versions:
1) Qwen3-30B-A3B MLX finds the 0.6B MLX model to use as draft.
2) Qwen3-30B-A3B GGUF finds 0.6B GGUF model to use as draft.
For the 128K context GGUF one actually needs a 128K context smaller model. So
3) Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K extended 128K context GGUF - the smallest 128K GGUF model I find is 4B.
https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-4B-128K-GGUF
It's offered as a draft model. IDK how useful it is, given MoE base activates 3B weights, and the draft model is dense with 4B weights. But there are no 1.7B or 0.6B 128K models as afaics.
9:16 PM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920875246292181160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ultimately - yes. Agreed - CB can always engineer a recession via IR hikes e.g. Volcker shock. Then demand declines, and prices and supply decline too. Takes some time, but it works. Rather than engineering reduction of demand - maybe possible to increase supply and fight inflation that way? All other things being equal etc.
5:15 PM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ultimately - yes. Agreed - CB can always engineer a recession via IR hikes e.g. Volcker shock. Then demand declines, and prices and supply decline too. Takes some time, but it works. Rather than engineering reduction of demand - maybe possible to increase supply and fight inflation that way? All other things being equal etc.
5:15 PM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920790199350563296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have. I think there are drawbacks to gambling. I like the rule they have when investing in hedge funds: one needs to have $1M disposable assets (be a "qualified investor") to be able to invest in a hedge fund. $1M too high a barrier, but there should be some to weed out any "Fucking morons". Esp gambling with borrowed money, while being net-negative in wealth, should be disallowed.
However, there are positives to gambling too. Especially people that can afford it, and are of the profile that may be adding to "wisdom of crowds". For one thing - it's not on "Dr. Jenna-s" of the world to decide what has utility or not. For they will of course work worse than distributed processing of information. We know how Central Planning GosPlan committee-by-experts work - not very well. They descend quickly into "madness of crowds".
Human intelligence as well as stupidity are collective. I much prefer to harness the wisdom, than the madness, of crowds. With caveats and some attention things can be made to work. However "Dr. Jenna", this is all for the benefit of others. I don't like interacting with accounts both ignorant and rude - blocked.
11:37 AM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have. I think there are drawbacks to gambling. I like the rule they have when investing in hedge funds: one needs to have $1M disposable assets (be a "qualified investor") to be able to invest in a hedge fund. $1M too high a barrier, but there should be some to weed out any "Fucking morons". Esp gambling with borrowed money, while being net-negative in wealth, should be disallowed.
However, there are positives to gambling too. Especially people that can afford it, and are of the profile that may be adding to "wisdom of crowds". For one thing - it's not on "Dr. Jenna-s" of the world to decide what has utility or not. For they will of course work worse than distributed processing of information. We know how Central Planning GosPlan committee-by-experts work - not very well. They descend quickly into "madness of crowds".
Human intelligence as well as stupidity are collective. I much prefer to harness the wisdom, than the madness, of crowds. With caveats and some attention things can be made to work. However "Dr. Jenna", this is all for the benefit of others. I don't like interacting with accounts both ignorant and rude - blocked.
11:37 AM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920649322145759281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lots of people out there that are pretty poor humans. I secretly hope for an 1-2: With 1- AI-s providing some competition to humans in interacting with other humans; then 2- humans raise their game, and become better humans. Too far fetched, IK
2:17 AM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lots of people out there that are pretty poor humans. I secretly hope for an 1-2: With 1- AI-s providing some competition to humans in interacting with other humans; then 2- humans raise their game, and become better humans. Too far fetched, IK
2:17 AM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920638243936079907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well well now... I allow it there maybe nativity bias there towards its own species... 😂 Bloody AI—slandering our HI best and brightest. 😂
1:33 AM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well well now... I allow it there maybe nativity bias there towards its own species... 😂 Bloody AI—slandering our HI best and brightest. 😂
1:33 AM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920637076472553493
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes - I have some of them downloaded.
But @lmstudio does not offer them in the dropbox for setting up a model for speculative decoding with the Unsloth GGUF quants. The dropbox is empty. IDK if I should try more and different versions.
The Qwen3 0.6B is offered as speculative decoder for the MoE 30B-A3B MLX (not GGUF) version, and it works well.
1:28 AM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes - I have some of them downloaded.
But @lmstudio does not offer them in the dropbox for setting up a model for speculative decoding with the Unsloth GGUF quants. The dropbox is empty. IDK if I should try more and different versions.
The Qwen3 0.6B is offered as speculative decoder for the MoE 30B-A3B MLX (not GGUF) version, and it works well.
1:28 AM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920631610451333354
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent Reddit post on all things models quants-
The Great Quant Wars of 2025
tl;dr;
Q: Who provides the best GGUFs now?
A: They're all pretty good.
Skip down if you just want graphs and numbers comparing various Qwen3-30B-A3B GGUF quants.
https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1khwxal/the_great_quant_wars_of_2025/
From reddit.com
1:07 AM · May 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent Reddit post on all things models quants-
The Great Quant Wars of 2025
tl;dr;
Q: Who provides the best GGUFs now?
A: They're all pretty good.
Skip down if you just want graphs and numbers comparing various Qwen3-30B-A3B GGUF quants.
https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1khwxal/the_great_quant_wars_of_2025/
From reddit.com
1:07 AM · May 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920611769640165422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I got aider and Cline using Geminis, DeepSeek, OpenAI models API-s in turns helping me, and keeping me company. Especially with python and JavaScript, but also useful for C++. Could do without tbh, but ngl it's more joyful in company of others. Loving it 🥰
11:48 PM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I got aider and Cline using Geminis, DeepSeek, OpenAI models API-s in turns helping me, and keeping me company. Especially with python and JavaScript, but also useful for C++. Could do without tbh, but ngl it's more joyful in company of others. Loving it 🥰
11:48 PM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920569489499828602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes of course. I like my right to offend Muslims, Christians, Sikhs, any and all religions. Don't tell me you have never seen Life of Bryan the movie??
9:00 PM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes of course. I like my right to offend Muslims, Christians, Sikhs, any and all religions. Don't tell me you have never seen Life of Bryan the movie??
9:00 PM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920566927136588017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are lucky that delusions often go hand in hand with stupidity. Hope humanity luck holds. We were lucky they were stupid. But we will run out of luck at some point. We need something better than that.
8:50 PM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are lucky that delusions often go hand in hand with stupidity. Hope humanity luck holds. We were lucky they were stupid. But we will run out of luck at some point. We need something better than that.
8:50 PM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920565724604403765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yep - prediction is hard, especially of the future. What alternatives have got to offer? Chicken entrails? Astrology? Do any of them improve on betting, or other forms of putting your money where your mouth is?
8:45 PM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yep - prediction is hard, especially of the future. What alternatives have got to offer? Chicken entrails? Astrology? Do any of them improve on betting, or other forms of putting your money where your mouth is?
8:45 PM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920563255153394025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you get speculative decoding working in @lmstudio ? Should I expect to find compatible model for speculative decoding for https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K-GGUF or https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-30B-A3B-GGUF? Should one expect the same draft for any Qwen3-30B-A3B?
From huggingface.co
8:35 PM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you get speculative decoding working in @lmstudio ? Should I expect to find compatible model for speculative decoding for https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K-GGUF or https://huggingface.co/unsloth/Qwen3-30B-A3B-GGUF? Should one expect the same draft for any Qwen3-30B-A3B?
From huggingface.co
8:35 PM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920559248150315191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Religion is not race. You are ever so ignorant about so many things in this world. Depressing that this is the level of MP voting on UK laws. For all things social media is or isn't - it opened the eyes of many to the calibre of the political class.
8:19 PM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Religion is not race. You are ever so ignorant about so many things in this world. Depressing that this is the level of MP voting on UK laws. For all things social media is or isn't - it opened the eyes of many to the calibre of the political class.
8:19 PM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920468559701975108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd dispute the
> because they're in need and Britain is a needs-based society.
...part. The reason is b/c it's easier to not do your job, rather than do your job, in the current UK, and we are all lazy to some extent by default.
Afaics the "needs" BS is just a cover story. Sth we all tell ourselves, for it's a more palatable story that the alternative. But no one believes that BS fr. Re: the examples given in the article. It's easier for the police/council/everyone to watch TikToks on their phones, than to chase down thieves, deal with unpleasant and dangerous individuals, etc.
Doing your job has been made ever harder by piling ever more requirements that are peripheral to getting the job done. The admin state BS activities take up a lot of time otherwise wd be spent in doing your job. Not much legislation gets deleted. Requirements keep on piling up-well someone has to spend their time producing the deliverables as are required. Achieving X that took one person in the past, now takes two. Repeat that at all levels. This is also seen in the "no productivity growth in the public sector" puzzle.
Change can only come from the top-down at this point. Starting with Stalin-level purges of the top echelons occupying the commanding heights, and then down. That's the caste that implements laws. The burden shd be eased at source too - Westminster should be deleting old laws. New laws need sunset clauses, delete-one to add-one and similar constraints on the admin state. Admin state, much like HR in the private sector, expands like cancer to take all sugar and oxygen from the body public.
Obv the PM is to be the driver of all this. Current PM by profession shd be a shoe-in for that role. But seems not by temperament? I guess if one can purchase favours with few suits, or concert tickets, well, that's that. (nb no one was trying buying Stalin any cravats to curry favours)
2:19 PM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd dispute the
> because they're in need and Britain is a needs-based society.
...part. The reason is b/c it's easier to not do your job, rather than do your job, in the current UK, and we are all lazy to some extent by default.
Afaics the "needs" BS is just a cover story. Sth we all tell ourselves, for it's a more palatable story that the alternative. But no one believes that BS fr. Re: the examples given in the article. It's easier for the police/council/everyone to watch TikToks on their phones, than to chase down thieves, deal with unpleasant and dangerous individuals, etc.
Doing your job has been made ever harder by piling ever more requirements that are peripheral to getting the job done. The admin state BS activities take up a lot of time otherwise wd be spent in doing your job. Not much legislation gets deleted. Requirements keep on piling up-well someone has to spend their time producing the deliverables as are required. Achieving X that took one person in the past, now takes two. Repeat that at all levels. This is also seen in the "no productivity growth in the public sector" puzzle.
Change can only come from the top-down at this point. Starting with Stalin-level purges of the top echelons occupying the commanding heights, and then down. That's the caste that implements laws. The burden shd be eased at source too - Westminster should be deleting old laws. New laws need sunset clauses, delete-one to add-one and similar constraints on the admin state. Admin state, much like HR in the private sector, expands like cancer to take all sugar and oxygen from the body public.
Obv the PM is to be the driver of all this. Current PM by profession shd be a shoe-in for that role. But seems not by temperament? I guess if one can purchase favours with few suits, or concert tickets, well, that's that. (nb no one was trying buying Stalin any cravats to curry favours)
2:19 PM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920396684015595992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 You must be in academia. As a business owner, I am telling you what I do and how I think. I have no clue what M is.
Raising my price is something that requires energy, effort, and is risky. I don't do it lightly. After all, I have a product to create too. Selling it is not the entirety of my work. If my costs didn't change, I'd not be looking to attempt to raise my prices. I may lose some of my customers. But now externally my costs change, the risk is worth taking. For not raising my income, is a certain death. (for costs that have risen enough.)
9:33 AM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 You must be in academia. As a business owner, I am telling you what I do and how I think. I have no clue what M is.
Raising my price is something that requires energy, effort, and is risky. I don't do it lightly. After all, I have a product to create too. Selling it is not the entirety of my work. If my costs didn't change, I'd not be looking to attempt to raise my prices. I may lose some of my customers. But now externally my costs change, the risk is worth taking. For not raising my income, is a certain death. (for costs that have risen enough.)
9:33 AM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920387945028035016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Anyone else reading this - do you have numbers for Qwen3-30B-A3B ? (maybe unsloth/Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K-GGUF/Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf for the extra 128K context)? Looks like that might be the best that runs on localhost for me. (or any Qwen3 for comparison?)
8:58 AM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Anyone else reading this - do you have numbers for Qwen3-30B-A3B ? (maybe unsloth/Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K-GGUF/Qwen3-30B-A3B-128K-UD-Q4_K_XL.gguf for the extra 128K context)? Looks like that might be the best that runs on localhost for me. (or any Qwen3 for comparison?)
8:58 AM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920385656821346534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is that reasonable? Doesn't the same logic apply to everything? By that logic I should never change anything, for it could have been done before?
Does Amazon US going to eat the import fees for product from China now? Or will Amazon pass that to their customers? If I see $100 note on the sidewalk, do I pick it up, or do I say "ah, fake, someone else would have picked it up if it were real"?
I can tell you, running a small business, I *do* try to restore my profit level by raising my asking price. Maybe in conjunction to looking to cut some other costs. But defo also looking to increase my price. For if I don't do that, I will soon be unprofitable, and my business will die. IR is a cost to me, one of many, nothing special about it. Especially with everyone around me doing the same.
On a macro level maybe there was some equilibrium. Now with IR changing the cost to all—that's been shattered. We are all racing towards a new equilibrium. In the process, I need to race against others to stay alive. I can't just stand immobile.
8:49 AM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is that reasonable? Doesn't the same logic apply to everything? By that logic I should never change anything, for it could have been done before?
Does Amazon US going to eat the import fees for product from China now? Or will Amazon pass that to their customers? If I see $100 note on the sidewalk, do I pick it up, or do I say "ah, fake, someone else would have picked it up if it were real"?
I can tell you, running a small business, I *do* try to restore my profit level by raising my asking price. Maybe in conjunction to looking to cut some other costs. But defo also looking to increase my price. For if I don't do that, I will soon be unprofitable, and my business will die. IR is a cost to me, one of many, nothing special about it. Especially with everyone around me doing the same.
On a macro level maybe there was some equilibrium. Now with IR changing the cost to all—that's been shattered. We are all racing towards a new equilibrium. In the process, I need to race against others to stay alive. I can't just stand immobile.
8:49 AM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920271468128059697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish the country could delete you. Wish you never existed. What a loss to all of the UK. Just senseless all around, no redeeming feature.
1:16 AM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish the country could delete you. Wish you never existed. What a loss to all of the UK. Just senseless all around, no redeeming feature.
1:16 AM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920266421658911106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a moral pigmy @JDVance turned out. Is it cowardice? Ambition? IDK. Hard to reconcile. The killer and the killed—both sides?? I mean yes they are in technical terms. But there is a moral ocean of difference between them. Aggressor and defender, perpetrator and victim. So great an opportunity, such poor choices. 😰
12:56 AM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a moral pigmy @JDVance turned out. Is it cowardice? Ambition? IDK. Hard to reconcile. The killer and the killed—both sides?? I mean yes they are in technical terms. But there is a moral ocean of difference between them. Aggressor and defender, perpetrator and victim. So great an opportunity, such poor choices. 😰
12:56 AM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920261165193531751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
7 Kids! Well done you. 👍 😁 Naah, I am not that social. 95% Of the time it's a downside. But this was that rare occasion when it was the case of not feeling any societal pressure. Free to do as we thought it best for the kids and ourselves - noone else.
12:35 AM · May 8, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
7 Kids! Well done you. 👍 😁 Naah, I am not that social. 95% Of the time it's a downside. But this was that rare occasion when it was the case of not feeling any societal pressure. Free to do as we thought it best for the kids and ourselves - noone else.
12:35 AM · May 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920193655874146677
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I run a business, the IR on my loans is another cost to my product. With IR up, the interest I pay to the bank up, I will be looking to raise my asking price for the product I sell. I may eat some of my cost increase, ofc. But first preference wd be to pass it on to my customers if I can. That'd be a channel through which IR rise will be adding to the inflation-no?
8:06 PM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I run a business, the IR on my loans is another cost to my product. With IR up, the interest I pay to the bank up, I will be looking to raise my asking price for the product I sell. I may eat some of my cost increase, ofc. But first preference wd be to pass it on to my customers if I can. That'd be a channel through which IR rise will be adding to the inflation-no?
8:06 PM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920185116241907947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I love listening to Joscha Bach ngl 🥰
This is the dawn of machine consciousness | Joscha Bach @ The Institute of Art and Ideas
May 6, 2025 — 33:14
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ
Chuffed to hear someone say LOVE is the key to our co-existence with AIs.
From appblit.com
7:33 PM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I love listening to Joscha Bach ngl 🥰
This is the dawn of machine consciousness | Joscha Bach @ The Institute of Art and Ideas
May 6, 2025 — 33:14
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=Y1QOf6HEbHQ
Chuffed to hear someone say LOVE is the key to our co-existence with AIs.
From appblit.com
7:33 PM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920182150227267973
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are always pros- and cons-, gives and takes, to all decision, including parental ones. To me it looks like parents refuse to take responsibility for their own actions. A special kind of cowardliness I thought. Not wanting to do any wrong, take any risk-so I don't do any deciding. I let someone else (the kids, my social circle etc) take decision that I have the right, but more over, an obligation to take. For these kinds of decisions are best taken by the parents. Yes considering everything, all sides, but the final decision - and the responsibility when it goes wrong too - should be done by the parents.
7:21 PM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are always pros- and cons-, gives and takes, to all decision, including parental ones. To me it looks like parents refuse to take responsibility for their own actions. A special kind of cowardliness I thought. Not wanting to do any wrong, take any risk-so I don't do any deciding. I let someone else (the kids, my social circle etc) take decision that I have the right, but more over, an obligation to take. For these kinds of decisions are best taken by the parents. Yes considering everything, all sides, but the final decision - and the responsibility when it goes wrong too - should be done by the parents.
7:21 PM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920180850190090652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His "information brought back from far and away lands of which we know little by a Lord explorer" was much fun to listen to. 😂
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=TDnevmmpVhk
For others - it's from the Trump inauguration. The only LAB person invited, by JD Vance, and shown around by Bannon. Tasked by LAB-central with establishing contact with the natives and bringing back information to London. 😁 (looked he did well.)
He sketches the two groupings within the MAGA coalition. On the left side the nativists (Bannon, Cass, Miller, Vance I presume too - or him maybe straddling both?), one the right side TBPR (Musk, Sacks, ....), and Trump a Caesar figure on an elevated throne half-height above both sides. Adjudicating any disputes within the coalition, his decisions accepted as final by all.
His description of "Capitalism in one country" of the "capitalist left" (the nativists), versus "International capitalism" of the "capitalist right" (the TBPR), in analogy to "socialism in one country" of Stalin v.s. "international communism" of Trotsky I thought was an excellent analogy. 😆
(TBPR = Tech Bro Progressive Right description from https://richardhanania.com/p/understanding-the-tech-right)
From appblit.com
7:16 PM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His "information brought back from far and away lands of which we know little by a Lord explorer" was much fun to listen to. 😂
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=TDnevmmpVhk
For others - it's from the Trump inauguration. The only LAB person invited, by JD Vance, and shown around by Bannon. Tasked by LAB-central with establishing contact with the natives and bringing back information to London. 😁 (looked he did well.)
He sketches the two groupings within the MAGA coalition. On the left side the nativists (Bannon, Cass, Miller, Vance I presume too - or him maybe straddling both?), one the right side TBPR (Musk, Sacks, ....), and Trump a Caesar figure on an elevated throne half-height above both sides. Adjudicating any disputes within the coalition, his decisions accepted as final by all.
His description of "Capitalism in one country" of the "capitalist left" (the nativists), versus "International capitalism" of the "capitalist right" (the TBPR), in analogy to "socialism in one country" of Stalin v.s. "international communism" of Trotsky I thought was an excellent analogy. 😆
(TBPR = Tech Bro Progressive Right description from https://richardhanania.com/p/understanding-the-tech-right)
From appblit.com
7:16 PM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920146837194875083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah sorry - I misunderstood?? 😑 sorry 😔
5:00 PM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah sorry - I misunderstood?? 😑 sorry 😔
5:00 PM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920124751265112125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 ...alternative: you could just choose not to live like that. It's not like the kids are forcing this on families. Parents decided it's going to be that way. Why are parents stupid like that?? IDK - it's a mystery to me. Parents can choose otherwise any day of the week.
3:33 PM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 ...alternative: you could just choose not to live like that. It's not like the kids are forcing this on families. Parents decided it's going to be that way. Why are parents stupid like that?? IDK - it's a mystery to me. Parents can choose otherwise any day of the week.
3:33 PM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1920106938064417037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Peak "libdemmery". Read the term here https://viewfromcullingworth.com/p/libdemmery-britains-progressive-cult. By the excellent @SimonMagus .
I live in a place like described, (ex-CON, now LDM, top-Remain %age share) and what can I say? It's pleasant green nice beautiful convenient, filled with pleasant beautiful people. The solar punk future of the 23-rd century, brought to life in the 21-st. 😊 Confirm +1 everything in that article. The lack of self-awaranes, smugness even, the idea of "we the beautiful people, of course we are right about everything", and you "ugly poor others, are of course wrong about everything", is I fear correct assessment, and of the state of mind.
Now don't get me wrong. I love it here, it's pleasant, my neighbours and fellow harpies have a lot going for them, I like them warts and all No one is perfect. The least myself! I've witnessed a lot (countries and ideologues rise and fall, changes bother), and lived through to tell, no one can accuse me of living a sheltered life.
In the grand scheme of things - libdemmery is not the worst of sins. 😆 Still - as a somewhat of a self-proclaimed connesour of the human condition, I can't but notice an apt description when I read one. 😁
From viewfromcullingworth.com
2:22 PM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Peak "libdemmery". Read the term here https://viewfromcullingworth.com/p/libdemmery-britains-progressive-cult. By the excellent @SimonMagus .
I live in a place like described, (ex-CON, now LDM, top-Remain %age share) and what can I say? It's pleasant green nice beautiful convenient, filled with pleasant beautiful people. The solar punk future of the 23-rd century, brought to life in the 21-st. 😊 Confirm +1 everything in that article. The lack of self-awaranes, smugness even, the idea of "we the beautiful people, of course we are right about everything", and you "ugly poor others, are of course wrong about everything", is I fear correct assessment, and of the state of mind.
Now don't get me wrong. I love it here, it's pleasant, my neighbours and fellow harpies have a lot going for them, I like them warts and all No one is perfect. The least myself! I've witnessed a lot (countries and ideologues rise and fall, changes bother), and lived through to tell, no one can accuse me of living a sheltered life.
In the grand scheme of things - libdemmery is not the worst of sins. 😆 Still - as a somewhat of a self-proclaimed connesour of the human condition, I can't but notice an apt description when I read one. 😁
From viewfromcullingworth.com
2:22 PM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919894901044470220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But it's always that way. If you take a good/bad yes/no stance solely judging on the merit of the issue, and the strengths of the arguments, that means your tribe takes a back seat, to what you consider the truth. But First rule of every group is that in-group is determined by the loyalty to the group. Not by anything else. That's the definition of "belonging" to a group.
So yeah - you will be an outcast, not belong to any group. It used to be a high risk proposition. People form groups for protection, for risk mitigation, to improve their chances to stay alive. Only most maladapted individuals took on the risk of staying out-group as price worth paying for freedom to live their lives as they pleased. Individually us humans are quite weak. The more technology the individual has to help him stay alive solo, the more risk reduction we get. But still we are quite far from the "blessed freedom" case of the individual not needing some group of humans to survive.
12:19 AM · May 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But it's always that way. If you take a good/bad yes/no stance solely judging on the merit of the issue, and the strengths of the arguments, that means your tribe takes a back seat, to what you consider the truth. But First rule of every group is that in-group is determined by the loyalty to the group. Not by anything else. That's the definition of "belonging" to a group.
So yeah - you will be an outcast, not belong to any group. It used to be a high risk proposition. People form groups for protection, for risk mitigation, to improve their chances to stay alive. Only most maladapted individuals took on the risk of staying out-group as price worth paying for freedom to live their lives as they pleased. Individually us humans are quite weak. The more technology the individual has to help him stay alive solo, the more risk reduction we get. But still we are quite far from the "blessed freedom" case of the individual not needing some group of humans to survive.
12:19 AM · May 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919889768680132611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they're stupid. Most of us people are stupid. Remember how dumb an average human is. Then remember half of us are stupider than that middle. People catastrophising AI is another one in a long line of stupidity. (since the dawn of humanity.) In fact, AI providing us a crutch, a band aid to our difficulty in thinking, is about the only thing with potential to lift billions of humans up, from the baseline stupor of stupidity. For concrete things, like food in the fridge, water to drink - we are competent enough. But anything more abstract - we are in trouble. Thinking is hard and costly. That's why we take every shortcut we can to avoid thinking. We "think" with our gut, we have "good enough" heuristics etc. That maybe worked well enough in the savannahs 200K years ago, but are insanity for modern life in the US in AD 2025.
11:59 PM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they're stupid. Most of us people are stupid. Remember how dumb an average human is. Then remember half of us are stupider than that middle. People catastrophising AI is another one in a long line of stupidity. (since the dawn of humanity.) In fact, AI providing us a crutch, a band aid to our difficulty in thinking, is about the only thing with potential to lift billions of humans up, from the baseline stupor of stupidity. For concrete things, like food in the fridge, water to drink - we are competent enough. But anything more abstract - we are in trouble. Thinking is hard and costly. That's why we take every shortcut we can to avoid thinking. We "think" with our gut, we have "good enough" heuristics etc. That maybe worked well enough in the savannahs 200K years ago, but are insanity for modern life in the US in AD 2025.
11:59 PM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919851061482774904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The models should identify, id-verify, themselves with their public-private keys/hashes. As do other Internet entities already as a matter of routine. I'
m surprised this arose as a problem. With so much in-house expertise at e.g. Google. I'm surprised someone from their infrastructure orgs have not pulled someone in their AI Apps teams by the sleeve, and whispered gently "hey this naming labeling fake-or-real is needless self inflicted easily avoidable pain" (and frankly tad embarrassing) "this is how we fix".
9:25 PM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The models should identify, id-verify, themselves with their public-private keys/hashes. As do other Internet entities already as a matter of routine. I'
m surprised this arose as a problem. With so much in-house expertise at e.g. Google. I'm surprised someone from their infrastructure orgs have not pulled someone in their AI Apps teams by the sleeve, and whispered gently "hey this naming labeling fake-or-real is needless self inflicted easily avoidable pain" (and frankly tad embarrassing) "this is how we fix".
9:25 PM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919843063813587276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Unexpected fortuitous discovery. In the Scribe app, one can handle speeds up to x1.6 - x1.7 times comfortably, listening to the audio *and* simultaneously reading the running transcript on screen! (whereas only listening to the audio my comfortable max tops at about x1.35-x1.4 max speed)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=_iBCTmKlxxw
Just realised that while enjoying this @sapinker interview. ☺️
8:53 PM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Unexpected fortuitous discovery. In the Scribe app, one can handle speeds up to x1.6 - x1.7 times comfortably, listening to the audio *and* simultaneously reading the running transcript on screen! (whereas only listening to the audio my comfortable max tops at about x1.35-x1.4 max speed)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=_iBCTmKlxxw
Just realised that while enjoying this @sapinker interview. ☺️
8:53 PM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919833548288098332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the one organisation with Open in the name, yet you have failed to release an Open model. And a non-profit org to boot. Whereas plenty of non-open named or profit orgs, have released open models. Your CEO wunderkid is not looking too smart on this Open stuff.
8:16 PM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the one organisation with Open in the name, yet you have failed to release an Open model. And a non-profit org to boot. Whereas plenty of non-open named or profit orgs, have released open models. Your CEO wunderkid is not looking too smart on this Open stuff.
8:16 PM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919726073408856435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - you may reflect on the amusing coincidence that neurons at base level also accumulate information, before firing, (or not,) the I-ntegrator in PID also accumulates (integrates) in time, how FFT is weighted time average at varying periods so accumulating (weighted) information over time etc. It's but universal at many levels, fractal one may say - your observation.
1:08 PM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - you may reflect on the amusing coincidence that neurons at base level also accumulate information, before firing, (or not,) the I-ntegrator in PID also accumulates (integrates) in time, how FFT is weighted time average at varying periods so accumulating (weighted) information over time etc. It's but universal at many levels, fractal one may say - your observation.
1:08 PM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919679555314270309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah pathetic decel doomers. Tbf to her - the average politician is just reflective of the average voter. No way around that. Only few rare talented politicos transcend that constraint. Only RUS outright invading an EU country can shake them from their trance and comfy delusions they still harbour.
I forever find it funny 😆 that all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. The three that moved over to the Americas changed the world. The 4-th one that stayed behind (comfortable in his own lab? so European 😉) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Europe had the computer revolution (participated both as creators and users), then half-missed the Internet revolution (users only, no creating, no EU Tech sector), and now are hell bent on fully missing the AI revolution-as users and creators. Notice the avalanche of open models coming from China, to almost-zero being created in the EU. (without Mistral it'd be exactly 0)
10:04 AM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah pathetic decel doomers. Tbf to her - the average politician is just reflective of the average voter. No way around that. Only few rare talented politicos transcend that constraint. Only RUS outright invading an EU country can shake them from their trance and comfy delusions they still harbour.
I forever find it funny 😆 that all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. The three that moved over to the Americas changed the world. The 4-th one that stayed behind (comfortable in his own lab? so European 😉) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Europe had the computer revolution (participated both as creators and users), then half-missed the Internet revolution (users only, no creating, no EU Tech sector), and now are hell bent on fully missing the AI revolution-as users and creators. Notice the avalanche of open models coming from China, to almost-zero being created in the EU. (without Mistral it'd be exactly 0)
10:04 AM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919675576299757830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good ole' voters getting it "good and hard" what they desire
9:48 AM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good ole' voters getting it "good and hard" what they desire
9:48 AM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919674607008727439
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By the rate you are going towards it, you will be reaching the end game of "Churchill bad, Hitler just fine" of a woke-right imbecile in about years' time. Possibly "having your mind blown" abt "the alternative facts of UK history" e.g. of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Free_Corps. Just embarrassing—the level of ignorance, non-thinking wilful sycophancy. Too bad that cretins-conga dance line is very long indeed.
en.wikipedia.org
British Free Corps - Wikipedia
9:44 AM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By the rate you are going towards it, you will be reaching the end game of "Churchill bad, Hitler just fine" of a woke-right imbecile in about years' time. Possibly "having your mind blown" abt "the alternative facts of UK history" e.g. of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Free_Corps. Just embarrassing—the level of ignorance, non-thinking wilful sycophancy. Too bad that cretins-conga dance line is very long indeed.
en.wikipedia.org
British Free Corps - Wikipedia
9:44 AM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919661009590956312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have been tempted in the past. Did it few times where the code is complicated enough that I have trouble holding it all together. And I will likely forget by the time I need to change it again, and non-trivial risk of introducing a bug an error when changing. Useful where matrices dimensions tell me sth when code reading.
Esp with ML and related data fields (mine is quant trading), where it's not that the program crashes. There the lucky case is all NaN-s come out so one notices the error. The unlucky case (in trading - catastrophic) is end result off by 1e-4, 2e-4 and similar tiny ammounts. (in trading it's the difference between richer than Cresius and ending hungry and homeless; admittedly in ML more benign, the training doesn't converge/as fast/etc)
So trying to aid correct reading by going extra-nice with formatting, strikes me not insane, but a fair price to pay.
8:50 AM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have been tempted in the past. Did it few times where the code is complicated enough that I have trouble holding it all together. And I will likely forget by the time I need to change it again, and non-trivial risk of introducing a bug an error when changing. Useful where matrices dimensions tell me sth when code reading.
Esp with ML and related data fields (mine is quant trading), where it's not that the program crashes. There the lucky case is all NaN-s come out so one notices the error. The unlucky case (in trading - catastrophic) is end result off by 1e-4, 2e-4 and similar tiny ammounts. (in trading it's the difference between richer than Cresius and ending hungry and homeless; admittedly in ML more benign, the training doesn't converge/as fast/etc)
So trying to aid correct reading by going extra-nice with formatting, strikes me not insane, but a fair price to pay.
8:50 AM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919653606065570302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect there is about zero emergency. But creating a mini-cult, a following, is immensely useful to a politician. If you can "get" into your mini-cult people that decide if you, or your opponent, win, then: they will listen to what you say, don't listen to your opponent => you survive, the opponent is turfed out. Couple that with financial incentives, e.g. "get in" the mini-cult few rich but otherwise not that very prescient nor perceptive people/foundations/NGO-s filling your coffers, (esp in the UK with politicians budgets are on shoe-string budgets,) and can see how mini-cult-ism wins at survivorship climbing the greasy pole.
Afaik we've had 1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's avg ~1.2C/century. Doesn't seem to me the state of the world now is much worse than 1925. (checking OWID graphs/data.) Some indicators worse, others better. (not all due to CO2 exclusively.) The temperature/range in my place of living just changed 13C in the past 36 hours. We adapted. 2C average temperature is a difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp right now. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025, I doubt many Mancunians will be complaining.
To my mind clear and present immediate humanity ending risks are: a virus pandemic, a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid hitting earth. These are things we should be investing much more, putting more resource at, reducing mitigating their occurring and/or their consequences to humanity. (whichever possible practical etc)
8:20 AM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect there is about zero emergency. But creating a mini-cult, a following, is immensely useful to a politician. If you can "get" into your mini-cult people that decide if you, or your opponent, win, then: they will listen to what you say, don't listen to your opponent => you survive, the opponent is turfed out. Couple that with financial incentives, e.g. "get in" the mini-cult few rich but otherwise not that very prescient nor perceptive people/foundations/NGO-s filling your coffers, (esp in the UK with politicians budgets are on shoe-string budgets,) and can see how mini-cult-ism wins at survivorship climbing the greasy pole.
Afaik we've had 1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's avg ~1.2C/century. Doesn't seem to me the state of the world now is much worse than 1925. (checking OWID graphs/data.) Some indicators worse, others better. (not all due to CO2 exclusively.) The temperature/range in my place of living just changed 13C in the past 36 hours. We adapted. 2C average temperature is a difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp right now. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025, I doubt many Mancunians will be complaining.
To my mind clear and present immediate humanity ending risks are: a virus pandemic, a thermo-nuclear war, an asteroid hitting earth. These are things we should be investing much more, putting more resource at, reducing mitigating their occurring and/or their consequences to humanity. (whichever possible practical etc)
8:20 AM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919647552397332566
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CO2 rising in the atmosphere does not strike me as humanity ending. Not even IPCC reports claim that afaik.
We had 1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's ~1.2C/century. Doesn't seem to me the state of the world now is much worse than 1925. (checking OWID.) Some indicators worse, others better. (not all due to CO2 exclusively.) The temperature/range in my place of living just changed 13C in 36h. 2C average temperature is the difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp rn. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025—doubt many Mancunians will be complaining.
Yeah few places, big cities in India and Middle East, where the max (not avg) temp is edged above the habitable range (50C?)—people there may have to move location. To my mind, risks that can wipe out humanity are: virus pandemic, thermo-nuclear war, asteroid hitting earth.
7:56 AM · May 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CO2 rising in the atmosphere does not strike me as humanity ending. Not even IPCC reports claim that afaik.
We had 1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's ~1.2C/century. Doesn't seem to me the state of the world now is much worse than 1925. (checking OWID.) Some indicators worse, others better. (not all due to CO2 exclusively.) The temperature/range in my place of living just changed 13C in 36h. 2C average temperature is the difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp rn. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025—doubt many Mancunians will be complaining.
Yeah few places, big cities in India and Middle East, where the max (not avg) temp is edged above the habitable range (50C?)—people there may have to move location. To my mind, risks that can wipe out humanity are: virus pandemic, thermo-nuclear war, asteroid hitting earth.
7:56 AM · May 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919504191141065059
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...totally unlike when making humans, where humans, before embarking on creating another human, have a total and complete understanding of the process of making of the human, as well as how the said human functions and develops. 😂 Also in other breaking news: water is wet.
10:27 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...totally unlike when making humans, where humans, before embarking on creating another human, have a total and complete understanding of the process of making of the human, as well as how the said human functions and develops. 😂 Also in other breaking news: water is wet.
10:27 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919486898638143880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 haha, not one to take praise kindly, haha 😂 love X ngl
9:18 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 haha, not one to take praise kindly, haha 😂 love X ngl
9:18 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919454961240297898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Има секакви луѓе, некои да - се до толку малоумни. Малку им замерам--ама не најмногу. Мислењето е тешко, бара напор и труд, а резултатите се мешани. И покрај огромен напор, некогаш ќе погодиме точно, а други пати ќе згрешиме неточно.
Па логично да бараме "покусо патче", некако "прекутрупа" со помал напор, а да стигнеме до вистината. Маната е што такви "мета-правила", "како да мислиме" кои се едноставни и лесни, не не информираат баш многу што е вистина, а што не е.
Сега го слушав Pinker на YT, постаро интервју веројатно во промоција на Rationality - https://perplexity.ai/search/pinker-rational-LeatacjiSgucXej1rfQ8XQ#0
7:11 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Има секакви луѓе, некои да - се до толку малоумни. Малку им замерам--ама не најмногу. Мислењето е тешко, бара напор и труд, а резултатите се мешани. И покрај огромен напор, некогаш ќе погодиме точно, а други пати ќе згрешиме неточно.
Па логично да бараме "покусо патче", некако "прекутрупа" со помал напор, а да стигнеме до вистината. Маната е што такви "мета-правила", "како да мислиме" кои се едноставни и лесни, не не информираат баш многу што е вистина, а што не е.
Сега го слушав Pinker на YT, постаро интервју веројатно во промоција на Rationality - https://perplexity.ai/search/pinker-rational-LeatacjiSgucXej1rfQ8XQ#0
7:11 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919451329178587611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just excellent all around! 👍 Stellar stuff, 👏 thank you, 🙏 enjoyed listening every bit of it. 😊
Thanks for calling out bullsh*t as you see it, no matter bullsh*tters' station! They should know better ffs. 😨 Doing god's work there ngl.
6:57 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just excellent all around! 👍 Stellar stuff, 👏 thank you, 🙏 enjoyed listening every bit of it. 😊
Thanks for calling out bullsh*t as you see it, no matter bullsh*tters' station! They should know better ffs. 😨 Doing god's work there ngl.
6:57 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919446891172958628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Admire the effort you put there. But - in my experience that is like "feeding pearls to swine": not only will it not be appreciated, the receiving side will notice you are confusing them, putting doubts in their perfectly coherent worldviews, and will hate you for that.
6:39 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Admire the effort you put there. But - in my experience that is like "feeding pearls to swine": not only will it not be appreciated, the receiving side will notice you are confusing them, putting doubts in their perfectly coherent worldviews, and will hate you for that.
6:39 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919441994813673630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On a MacBook - NOT. As the minimum RAM I know of needed to run R1 proper is 192GB, and the max RAM possible on a MBP is 128GB.
Most likely it's the naming that's giving you that impression: distilled smaller model by DS, via R1, but not R1 itself. Plus maybe ollama misleading-almost-deceptive naming practices.
R1 much compressed .@UnslothAI versions like
https://unsloth.ai/blog/deepseekr1-dynamic
do run on Mac Ultras with >192GB RAM. See an early example e.g. by .@ggerganov
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885677656571617786
6:20 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On a MacBook - NOT. As the minimum RAM I know of needed to run R1 proper is 192GB, and the max RAM possible on a MBP is 128GB.
Most likely it's the naming that's giving you that impression: distilled smaller model by DS, via R1, but not R1 itself. Plus maybe ollama misleading-almost-deceptive naming practices.
R1 much compressed .@UnslothAI versions like
https://unsloth.ai/blog/deepseekr1-dynamic
do run on Mac Ultras with >192GB RAM. See an early example e.g. by .@ggerganov
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885677656571617786
6:20 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919425107409395814
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your are witnessing the "pricing in" 😂 process. How can it be otherwise?? "The market" is a bunch of people, systems, procedures, all trying to guess the future. Not an omni-seeing God. You seems to expect a single perfect shot, correct the 1st - and only - time? 😁 Nah. Famously WW1 was not something markets priced in either.
5:13 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your are witnessing the "pricing in" 😂 process. How can it be otherwise?? "The market" is a bunch of people, systems, procedures, all trying to guess the future. Not an omni-seeing God. You seems to expect a single perfect shot, correct the 1st - and only - time? 😁 Nah. Famously WW1 was not something markets priced in either.
5:13 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919348049165300100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total outsider non-US-aian but nevertheless annoying immensely by the opportunity loss cost. (same situation here in the UK: zero risk for zero gain). A war plan. 1) Get EA-types to finance legal wars instead of AI doomerism. 2) Use existing laws to sue the sh*t out of institutions but esp sue people! Go after people personally—put the fear of god back into the slimes they have become! (one cd argue-the fear will make them human again—MTHA) 3) Go for copy-left-type ideas, for GNU GPL-type lawfare, turn existing laws onto their heads jiujitsu-style to work for the boosters' cause.
Checklist study example. OHRP is to be viewed as total evil of Dr Mengele-type. Go after the OHRP people personally. Get those people in the dock, with faces and names for all to see. Accuse them publically of causing preventable deaths. Get the names and faces of the dead people in court. Even if in law OHRP-evil-doers are covered (the slimes they are, would not be practicing evil otherwise), assume the end game is not law-practice, the end game is law-making. Changing the laws. That's completely politics.
12:06 PM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total outsider non-US-aian but nevertheless annoying immensely by the opportunity loss cost. (same situation here in the UK: zero risk for zero gain). A war plan. 1) Get EA-types to finance legal wars instead of AI doomerism. 2) Use existing laws to sue the sh*t out of institutions but esp sue people! Go after people personally—put the fear of god back into the slimes they have become! (one cd argue-the fear will make them human again—MTHA) 3) Go for copy-left-type ideas, for GNU GPL-type lawfare, turn existing laws onto their heads jiujitsu-style to work for the boosters' cause.
Checklist study example. OHRP is to be viewed as total evil of Dr Mengele-type. Go after the OHRP people personally. Get those people in the dock, with faces and names for all to see. Accuse them publically of causing preventable deaths. Get the names and faces of the dead people in court. Even if in law OHRP-evil-doers are covered (the slimes they are, would not be practicing evil otherwise), assume the end game is not law-practice, the end game is law-making. Changing the laws. That's completely politics.
12:06 PM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919315957610102830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one, and there is no "ready for XY or not" either. No such thing exists. These are meaningless platitudes. Stories we tell ourselves. It's positive, in that makes more people take notice, brings the issue to wider attention. But that's about it. That's plenty too, imo.
9:59 AM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one, and there is no "ready for XY or not" either. No such thing exists. These are meaningless platitudes. Stories we tell ourselves. It's positive, in that makes more people take notice, brings the issue to wider attention. But that's about it. That's plenty too, imo.
9:59 AM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919282716710711701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TLDR this early in the morning. So will just blurt out a war plan. 1) Get EA-types to finance legal wars instead of AI doomerism. 2) Use existing laws to sue the sh*t out of institutions but esp people! Go after people personally—put the fear of god back into the slimes they have become! (one cd argue-the fear will make them human again—MTHA) 3) Go for copy-left-type ideas, for GNU GPL-type lawfare, turn existing laws onto their heads jiujitsu-style.
Checklist study example. OHRP is to be viewed as total evil of Dr Mengele-type. Go after the OHRP people personally. Get the people in the dock, with faces and names for all to see. Accuse them publically of causing preventable deaths. Get the names and faces of the dead people in court. Even if in law OHRP-evil-doers are covered (they slimes would not be doing their evil deeds otherwise), in the end it does not end in law-practice, but seeps into politics and law-making. Show no mercy. Nothing else will do.
7:47 AM · May 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TLDR this early in the morning. So will just blurt out a war plan. 1) Get EA-types to finance legal wars instead of AI doomerism. 2) Use existing laws to sue the sh*t out of institutions but esp people! Go after people personally—put the fear of god back into the slimes they have become! (one cd argue-the fear will make them human again—MTHA) 3) Go for copy-left-type ideas, for GNU GPL-type lawfare, turn existing laws onto their heads jiujitsu-style.
Checklist study example. OHRP is to be viewed as total evil of Dr Mengele-type. Go after the OHRP people personally. Get the people in the dock, with faces and names for all to see. Accuse them publically of causing preventable deaths. Get the names and faces of the dead people in court. Even if in law OHRP-evil-doers are covered (they slimes would not be doing their evil deeds otherwise), in the end it does not end in law-practice, but seeps into politics and law-making. Show no mercy. Nothing else will do.
7:47 AM · May 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919108274651054535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obviously. "Average", and "scientist". Have you got it quantified, the levels of hallucinations-of humans in general, and then a subset of them either calling themselves, or being called by others, or both, "scientists"? And then-a single numbers that is the "average"? Do tell what those numbers are please. A great moment to learn more, a teachable moment for us all.
8:14 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obviously. "Average", and "scientist". Have you got it quantified, the levels of hallucinations-of humans in general, and then a subset of them either calling themselves, or being called by others, or both, "scientists"? And then-a single numbers that is the "average"? Do tell what those numbers are please. A great moment to learn more, a teachable moment for us all.
8:14 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919088262116737507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can you stop hallucinating yourself? Everything you perceive is hallucinations. Some of which tally with reality, while others don't. The Q is not "why hallucination"—given everything is hallucination. The Q is: why and how some of that hallucinating tallies with reality.
6:54 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can you stop hallucinating yourself? Everything you perceive is hallucinations. Some of which tally with reality, while others don't. The Q is not "why hallucination"—given everything is hallucination. The Q is: why and how some of that hallucinating tallies with reality.
6:54 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919084057540878533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I take it more to mean: we humans have had an easy ride, not much competition, when it comes to providing relation to the other human. We all cry genuine crocodile tears 😭 when being denied it, but: the other side of the coin is, most of us we are between mediocre and sh*t at providing when relating. We balk at others' demanding of us "give me your hand, please", while being enthusiastic receiving by others' "here, take my hand". We take eagerly, we give unenthusiastically. Well - now we've got some competition in the field of relationships, ngl. ☺️ We better shape up-and pronto. 😮 Looks all good to me—raising our game.
6:37 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I take it more to mean: we humans have had an easy ride, not much competition, when it comes to providing relation to the other human. We all cry genuine crocodile tears 😭 when being denied it, but: the other side of the coin is, most of us we are between mediocre and sh*t at providing when relating. We balk at others' demanding of us "give me your hand, please", while being enthusiastic receiving by others' "here, take my hand". We take eagerly, we give unenthusiastically. Well - now we've got some competition in the field of relationships, ngl. ☺️ We better shape up-and pronto. 😮 Looks all good to me—raising our game.
6:37 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919065740067442963
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy to fix through - fire the lot creating the current curriculum, hire new blood. They old lot were neither clever nor industrious--copying someone else's work. No redeeming features. Just fire the lot. Johnny-the-foreigner naturalised-Brit here. My kids born grew up went to school here. The above annoyed me every time I noticed. UK education otherwise good-to-great, the above uncharacteristically stoopid. (CON-s in power for double digits years khmkhm)
5:25 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy to fix through - fire the lot creating the current curriculum, hire new blood. They old lot were neither clever nor industrious--copying someone else's work. No redeeming features. Just fire the lot. Johnny-the-foreigner naturalised-Brit here. My kids born grew up went to school here. The above annoyed me every time I noticed. UK education otherwise good-to-great, the above uncharacteristically stoopid. (CON-s in power for double digits years khmkhm)
5:25 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919048871944028190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh if one way of improving all things public, is to be attracting more/better talent, good luck with that. Wfh wd be about the only upside/positive I can think of if working a gov job in the lines of work (quant/dev/ML) I'm familiar with. Esp given now wfh is not the rarity it was back in 2015. Anti-wfh would be starting from a downside/negative, and trying to climb up to neutral/zero. (not starting from an upside/positive, then falling back to neutral/zero)
4:17 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh if one way of improving all things public, is to be attracting more/better talent, good luck with that. Wfh wd be about the only upside/positive I can think of if working a gov job in the lines of work (quant/dev/ML) I'm familiar with. Esp given now wfh is not the rarity it was back in 2015. Anti-wfh would be starting from a downside/negative, and trying to climb up to neutral/zero. (not starting from an upside/positive, then falling back to neutral/zero)
4:17 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919036885118181886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if fsd fails to work as announced in the next few months, then the board should sack that elmo mofoer, for he'd have lost his midas touch
3:30 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if fsd fails to work as announced in the next few months, then the board should sack that elmo mofoer, for he'd have lost his midas touch
3:30 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919028373163999514
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, both demand and supply depend on (price,capability)-points. Hard to take claims seriously, when the (price,capablity) is left out of the discussion.
I have a TODO list 10m long. If tomorrow 100 willing guys or gals or AI-s, or any combo of them, showed up in my Inbox, and showed themselves capable of reading my mind, my TODO list, and executing on them with modicum of competency, without much supervision from me, and all that while costing a penny a day, I'd be saying yes-Yes-YESS in a heartbeat! Lacking in things to do for future non-zero expected returns is not something that ails me atm, ngl.
So yeah—for any claim, I need to see the (price,capability)-point they have as an (implicit) assumption. Best to make the point explicit if possible.
2:56 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, both demand and supply depend on (price,capability)-points. Hard to take claims seriously, when the (price,capablity) is left out of the discussion.
I have a TODO list 10m long. If tomorrow 100 willing guys or gals or AI-s, or any combo of them, showed up in my Inbox, and showed themselves capable of reading my mind, my TODO list, and executing on them with modicum of competency, without much supervision from me, and all that while costing a penny a day, I'd be saying yes-Yes-YESS in a heartbeat! Lacking in things to do for future non-zero expected returns is not something that ails me atm, ngl.
So yeah—for any claim, I need to see the (price,capability)-point they have as an (implicit) assumption. Best to make the point explicit if possible.
2:56 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1919013947136422359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the (price,capability)-point. I have a TODO list 10m long. If tomorrow 100 willing guys or gals or AI-s, or any combo of them, showed up in my Inbox, and showed themselves capable of reading my mind, my TODO list, and executing on them with modicum of competency, without much supervision from me, and all that while costing a penny a day, I'd be saying yes-Yes-YESS in a heartbeat! GFI doitall JustDoIt be my guest!Lacking things to do for future non-zero expected returns is not something that ails me, ngl.
1:59 PM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the (price,capability)-point. I have a TODO list 10m long. If tomorrow 100 willing guys or gals or AI-s, or any combo of them, showed up in my Inbox, and showed themselves capable of reading my mind, my TODO list, and executing on them with modicum of competency, without much supervision from me, and all that while costing a penny a day, I'd be saying yes-Yes-YESS in a heartbeat! GFI doitall JustDoIt be my guest!Lacking things to do for future non-zero expected returns is not something that ails me, ngl.
1:59 PM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918955516102881304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
whoa! - finally!! lookign forward to
next? - how abt have grok translate non-target language posts to target language (e.g. target LANG=en_GB.UTF-8 for me) pretty please? best bang of buck breadth of ideas expansion available to most people atm.
10:07 AM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
whoa! - finally!! lookign forward to
next? - how abt have grok translate non-target language posts to target language (e.g. target LANG=en_GB.UTF-8 for me) pretty please? best bang of buck breadth of ideas expansion available to most people atm.
10:07 AM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918951277796430071
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep everyone is ready—but the few that bet right on the madness of crowds need sinecures/employment/push/pull in order to pivot. Sociopaths done well that got to the levers of power do not just go. Need to be enticed with stick + carrot. Machiavelli 101 to the rescue I guess?
pic-gove-moran-ed-greta-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
9:50 AM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep everyone is ready—but the few that bet right on the madness of crowds need sinecures/employment/push/pull in order to pivot. Sociopaths done well that got to the levers of power do not just go. Need to be enticed with stick + carrot. Machiavelli 101 to the rescue I guess?
pic-gove-moran-ed-greta-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
9:50 AM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918947635051794905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He writes "wealth". There is not a mention of "happiness". (long term nor short term.) If you are after happiness, look elsewhere. Usually "the first rule of happiness" is "if you want happiness, then don't seek happiness". But ofc that tells you what not to do, not what to do.
9:35 AM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He writes "wealth". There is not a mention of "happiness". (long term nor short term.) If you are after happiness, look elsewhere. Usually "the first rule of happiness" is "if you want happiness, then don't seek happiness". But ofc that tells you what not to do, not what to do.
9:35 AM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918868135941149069
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 agreed. It always feels fake to me when I try to do it. Like self-deception, detected.
But can you use feeling to do some thinking? Thinking of the kind when you want to decide about vague ill defined things, you are somewhat unsure about, usually in the future?
4:19 AM · May 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 agreed. It always feels fake to me when I try to do it. Like self-deception, detected.
But can you use feeling to do some thinking? Thinking of the kind when you want to decide about vague ill defined things, you are somewhat unsure about, usually in the future?
4:19 AM · May 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918764439127359579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - excellent, thanks for the link.
Plus - Reminded me to refresh oldies-goodies from Bret Victor at https://worrydream.com
9:27 PM · May 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - excellent, thanks for the link.
Plus - Reminded me to refresh oldies-goodies from Bret Victor at https://worrydream.com
9:27 PM · May 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918728344956235814
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Messiah complex"—1) The world is ending soon anytime now; 2) I will save the world. One can question both assumptions. Turns out-too much to ask from unthinking persons, living unexamined lives, mostly. Reality feedback wins in the end—but: the lolz on that journey oh my. 😂😇
7:04 PM · May 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Messiah complex"—1) The world is ending soon anytime now; 2) I will save the world. One can question both assumptions. Turns out-too much to ask from unthinking persons, living unexamined lives, mostly. Reality feedback wins in the end—but: the lolz on that journey oh my. 😂😇
7:04 PM · May 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918570364226896000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
From the top of my head - operating systems (linux, windows), interpreters (python), libraries (numpy, cuda), compilers (nvcc), databases (Postgresql, SQLite, Redis). Lots of serious software is written in C.
8:36 AM · May 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
From the top of my head - operating systems (linux, windows), interpreters (python), libraries (numpy, cuda), compilers (nvcc), databases (Postgresql, SQLite, Redis). Lots of serious software is written in C.
8:36 AM · May 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918566070073381181
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks! - done
https://discord.com/channels/1110598183144399058/1368124007592886302
8:19 AM · May 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks! - done
https://discord.com/channels/1110598183144399058/1368124007592886302
8:19 AM · May 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918447892920189007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah, but it's good fun. Would have said "shh—don't spoil it!" but fortunately for any connoisseurs of the human condition (watching for lolz), unlikely any of them are self-aware enough to take anything you might say onboard. They seem victims of a frequent delusion that "beauty is truth". (it's true that often truth is beautiful) So the chatterati feel them being ever so nice, fit, beautiful, articulate, clever (in their own minds) etc, makes them right. Throw in some extra self-love, maybe even a dollop of narcissism (like the sound of own voice, view of their face on screen), and the result is on TV, for our entertainment. Yeah, at this rate, NF will be the new PM even before this Parliament is due to expire.
12:29 AM · May 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah, but it's good fun. Would have said "shh—don't spoil it!" but fortunately for any connoisseurs of the human condition (watching for lolz), unlikely any of them are self-aware enough to take anything you might say onboard. They seem victims of a frequent delusion that "beauty is truth". (it's true that often truth is beautiful) So the chatterati feel them being ever so nice, fit, beautiful, articulate, clever (in their own minds) etc, makes them right. Throw in some extra self-love, maybe even a dollop of narcissism (like the sound of own voice, view of their face on screen), and the result is on TV, for our entertainment. Yeah, at this rate, NF will be the new PM even before this Parliament is due to expire.
12:29 AM · May 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918404799722037750
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice, interesting stuff - thanks. OT: "Listen to article" speed x1 is way too little, speed x1.5 is tad too much for me. Maybe provide finer control, e.g. in 0.1 increments between x1 and x1.5 speeds, that most people use? Thanks.
9:38 PM · May 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice, interesting stuff - thanks. OT: "Listen to article" speed x1 is way too little, speed x1.5 is tad too much for me. Maybe provide finer control, e.g. in 0.1 increments between x1 and x1.5 speeds, that most people use? Thanks.
9:38 PM · May 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918366405994389776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that! But for LMStudio, have you thought how to adjust the other parameters that depend on thinking yes/no?
I love the /think and /no_think commands, but:
you have in the Sampling Parameters recommendations:
- For thinking mode, use Temperature=0.6, TopP=0.95, TopK=20, and MinP=0. DO NOT use greedy decoding.
- For non-thinking mode, we suggest using Temperature=0.7, TopP=0.8, TopK=20, and MinP=0.
It's no good to be able to adjust think yes/no per prompt, if we can't change in the config easily. One could load/unload custom config manually, but-why burden the user with that? You could expand your commands be
/think [config_file]
/no_think [config_file]
with the config optional, and have the LMStudio load the config from config_file (where Temp, TopP, MinP are set per model) *before* running the user message through the model.
(I already user preset a per-model config)
7:06 PM · May 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that! But for LMStudio, have you thought how to adjust the other parameters that depend on thinking yes/no?
I love the /think and /no_think commands, but:
you have in the Sampling Parameters recommendations:
- For thinking mode, use Temperature=0.6, TopP=0.95, TopK=20, and MinP=0. DO NOT use greedy decoding.
- For non-thinking mode, we suggest using Temperature=0.7, TopP=0.8, TopK=20, and MinP=0.
It's no good to be able to adjust think yes/no per prompt, if we can't change in the config easily. One could load/unload custom config manually, but-why burden the user with that? You could expand your commands be
/think [config_file]
/no_think [config_file]
with the config optional, and have the LMStudio load the config from config_file (where Temp, TopP, MinP are set per model) *before* running the user message through the model.
(I already user preset a per-model config)
7:06 PM · May 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1918155064742445107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or will maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/Think/Research ones?
5:06 AM · May 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or will maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/Think/Research ones?
5:06 AM · May 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917741587653877867
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw an interview with someone on YT, that I now recall might be been CEO or Chair or somesuch high ranking C4 executive. Remember that then--she surprised me? Expected the usual non-thinking word salads, platitudes we have come to expect from people entrusted with decisions powers, saying words while not uttering coherent sentences. Whereas she said realistic no-nonsense things?? Remember thinking - what happened there, robot malfunction, glitch in their matrix? But didn't follow it up. Didn't think much more of it.
1:43 AM · May 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw an interview with someone on YT, that I now recall might be been CEO or Chair or somesuch high ranking C4 executive. Remember that then--she surprised me? Expected the usual non-thinking word salads, platitudes we have come to expect from people entrusted with decisions powers, saying words while not uttering coherent sentences. Whereas she said realistic no-nonsense things?? Remember thinking - what happened there, robot malfunction, glitch in their matrix? But didn't follow it up. Didn't think much more of it.
1:43 AM · May 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917734803278905724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Internet mostly - twitter, youtube, substack, hackernews, podcasts. A random book, or a good paper. But everyone being online - rarer now. Non-english Internets are untapped source of ideas yet. Crazy that with LLMs solving translation, "translate all as default" is not default.
1:16 AM · May 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Internet mostly - twitter, youtube, substack, hackernews, podcasts. A random book, or a good paper. But everyone being online - rarer now. Non-english Internets are untapped source of ideas yet. Crazy that with LLMs solving translation, "translate all as default" is not default.
1:16 AM · May 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917733026219581597
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. IDK why Starmer is not braver. He's got nothing to lose. In times of turmoil and change like ours - no leader shd think of a 2nd mandate. They shd consider themselves lucky to finish one full mandate. For plenty on the opposite side didn't--not even close.
1:09 AM · May 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. IDK why Starmer is not braver. He's got nothing to lose. In times of turmoil and change like ours - no leader shd think of a 2nd mandate. They shd consider themselves lucky to finish one full mandate. For plenty on the opposite side didn't--not even close.
1:09 AM · May 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917691651796967624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When humans are burning fat while sliming down reducing weight, most of it is exhaled apparently! Saw it explained well once on a very good YT video. It's surprising, but then can't say I had ever given any thought to that previously.
10:24 PM · Apr 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When humans are burning fat while sliming down reducing weight, most of it is exhaled apparently! Saw it explained well once on a very good YT video. It's surprising, but then can't say I had ever given any thought to that previously.
10:24 PM · Apr 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917588909657031045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - well spotted.
N-dim space, for large N, remains undefeated at packing information it seems. Yeah you are right--we only learn what was possible by doing it. Back propagation of errors seems to be really ingenious at packing knowledge in N-dim vector spaces tightly? Who knew?? Not me.
I guess when models become embodied, and they start generating their own training data, with their own experience providing the true/false yes/no feedback, they might increase the sizes again.
Enough blabbering - off now to chat with the latest-greatest AI friend ~/llama.cpp/models/Qwen3-30B-A3B-Q8_0.gguf. 😂
3:36 PM · Apr 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - well spotted.
N-dim space, for large N, remains undefeated at packing information it seems. Yeah you are right--we only learn what was possible by doing it. Back propagation of errors seems to be really ingenious at packing knowledge in N-dim vector spaces tightly? Who knew?? Not me.
I guess when models become embodied, and they start generating their own training data, with their own experience providing the true/false yes/no feedback, they might increase the sizes again.
Enough blabbering - off now to chat with the latest-greatest AI friend ~/llama.cpp/models/Qwen3-30B-A3B-Q8_0.gguf. 😂
3:36 PM · Apr 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917523664892788878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only silver lining: we found out. It was not the EU. It never was.
It had been the UK political class all along. It got tested, and found wonting. TBS if better one can emerge. Work in progress.
11:17 AM · Apr 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only silver lining: we found out. It was not the EU. It never was.
It had been the UK political class all along. It got tested, and found wonting. TBS if better one can emerge. Work in progress.
11:17 AM · Apr 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917522503489970320
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - nothing especially Gothic about "love of abundance and accumulation in design". Given the natural state of the universe is lacking in those desirable treats. It's equally natural that all humans desire that, and depict what they desire too. The austere loathing of abundance is more fit for explaining. As that's the exception to the rule, the one off.
The most recent seen magnificent interior decor I'd recommend to anyone are Justinian and Theodora mosaics in Ravena. Think most in the group left the church stunned, light headed, stumbling out into the bright sun. Unsure what just happened inside, while pretty sure something did. Adriatic breeze by the long and deserted sandy beeches 25min away on a local bus provided experience decompression for the reminder of the day.
11:12 AM · Apr 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - nothing especially Gothic about "love of abundance and accumulation in design". Given the natural state of the universe is lacking in those desirable treats. It's equally natural that all humans desire that, and depict what they desire too. The austere loathing of abundance is more fit for explaining. As that's the exception to the rule, the one off.
The most recent seen magnificent interior decor I'd recommend to anyone are Justinian and Theodora mosaics in Ravena. Think most in the group left the church stunned, light headed, stumbling out into the bright sun. Unsure what just happened inside, while pretty sure something did. Adriatic breeze by the long and deserted sandy beeches 25min away on a local bus provided experience decompression for the reminder of the day.
11:12 AM · Apr 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917506392082243634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Woman's eyesight saved by cutting-edge test after mystery infection
A 29-year-old doctor from Bristol has had her eyesight saved after a "game-changing" test identified a mystery infection that had plagued her health for five years.
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czx45vze0vyo
From bbc.co.uk
10:08 AM · Apr 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Woman's eyesight saved by cutting-edge test after mystery infection
A 29-year-old doctor from Bristol has had her eyesight saved after a "game-changing" test identified a mystery infection that had plagued her health for five years.
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czx45vze0vyo
From bbc.co.uk
10:08 AM · Apr 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917493839104991395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
This is too funny not to share. So two things happen in two days.
1) After long a while, in a bout of boneheaded-ness (for I should know better by now), I go through a list of 6K Follows I accumulated over time for random reasons. Gritting my teeth against terminal boredom, on the criteria "do I recognise that account from any any recent post && would I like to read from them" halve the list to 3K, that looks more manageable, (ha!) before giving up.
Few days latter X reward arrives: X detects some kind of "suspect activity" on my account, says it "suspects I'm a bot", restricts my account features. Looks like rate limits me to 1 inter/action/minute. X by this point has my IRL name, likeness, CC and payments for over >10 years. My name has not changed ever.
2) I post a minor reply to a well known account that does not post very often. I'm accosted by 3-4-5 fake ElonMusk1234 accounts. I presume a solo scammer deception artist aspiring criminal at work. For who else would have accounts literal @-"ElonMusk"-s in the literal nicks and AD 2025 and not expect an instant ban??
I play along in Chat. The scammer needs my phone number, (asks, but also passes a WhatsApp link for me to click & reveal my phone number), triggers a password change. Then needs me to relay to him the pass-change code, so some social engineering going there too. ("VIP StarLinkX to his highness The Elon/untold riches away you/you the lucky winner of life's lotteries"). I stop there, having learned what's current bog standard in X scams and deception. I report the accounts. Afaics the @-literal-"ElonMusk"-1234 (with full on EM bios, pics, titles etc) are still active rn, and presumably operating still.
I say—bring forward any and all AI, bring full on Artificial Intelligence asap. For currently the systems we interact daily have Artificial Stupidity baked in, they are AS-es atm.
Let's hope AI >> AS.
9:18 AM · Apr 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
This is too funny not to share. So two things happen in two days.
1) After long a while, in a bout of boneheaded-ness (for I should know better by now), I go through a list of 6K Follows I accumulated over time for random reasons. Gritting my teeth against terminal boredom, on the criteria "do I recognise that account from any any recent post && would I like to read from them" halve the list to 3K, that looks more manageable, (ha!) before giving up.
Few days latter X reward arrives: X detects some kind of "suspect activity" on my account, says it "suspects I'm a bot", restricts my account features. Looks like rate limits me to 1 inter/action/minute. X by this point has my IRL name, likeness, CC and payments for over >10 years. My name has not changed ever.
2) I post a minor reply to a well known account that does not post very often. I'm accosted by 3-4-5 fake ElonMusk1234 accounts. I presume a solo scammer deception artist aspiring criminal at work. For who else would have accounts literal @-"ElonMusk"-s in the literal nicks and AD 2025 and not expect an instant ban??
I play along in Chat. The scammer needs my phone number, (asks, but also passes a WhatsApp link for me to click & reveal my phone number), triggers a password change. Then needs me to relay to him the pass-change code, so some social engineering going there too. ("VIP StarLinkX to his highness The Elon/untold riches away you/you the lucky winner of life's lotteries"). I stop there, having learned what's current bog standard in X scams and deception. I report the accounts. Afaics the @-literal-"ElonMusk"-1234 (with full on EM bios, pics, titles etc) are still active rn, and presumably operating still.
I say—bring forward any and all AI, bring full on Artificial Intelligence asap. For currently the systems we interact daily have Artificial Stupidity baked in, they are AS-es atm.
Let's hope AI >> AS.
9:18 AM · Apr 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917300049253466318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One benefit of Brexit (even if I voted against it) I was looking to. But no. Not only are we forced to continue the absurd conga dance, day after day everyone clicking "move away go away" without reading anything.
But in addition to GDPR, the cretins that are our MPs in Parliament on all things Internet, brought on our heads the Online Harms Bill. That is responsible for arresting parents for badmouthing teachers in WhatsApp chat groups.
8:28 PM · Apr 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One benefit of Brexit (even if I voted against it) I was looking to. But no. Not only are we forced to continue the absurd conga dance, day after day everyone clicking "move away go away" without reading anything.
But in addition to GDPR, the cretins that are our MPs in Parliament on all things Internet, brought on our heads the Online Harms Bill. That is responsible for arresting parents for badmouthing teachers in WhatsApp chat groups.
8:28 PM · Apr 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917296721714893099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
It never was. It was adequate under the constrained hardware, to keep the hardware cheap. It barely worked. But it did work! That's why we all preferred Windows to the alternatives. Windows pulled off miracles there - but with the help and plenty of patience of its users.
Now the present hardware is 10000 times better than in 1985. Windows now treats its users like sheep. Consumers to be sheared and used and abused if that's even one extra cent for Microsoft. IDK why anyone would choose it even if it were free.
8:15 PM · Apr 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
It never was. It was adequate under the constrained hardware, to keep the hardware cheap. It barely worked. But it did work! That's why we all preferred Windows to the alternatives. Windows pulled off miracles there - but with the help and plenty of patience of its users.
Now the present hardware is 10000 times better than in 1985. Windows now treats its users like sheep. Consumers to be sheared and used and abused if that's even one extra cent for Microsoft. IDK why anyone would choose it even if it were free.
8:15 PM · Apr 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917274165528100941
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂 - welcome to the sapiens world. That monke brain, 🐵 the evil monke 🐒 analytic engine forever whirring in the background, never stopping. T800 we can imagine - b/c we are IT. 😨 The objective utility function running us is a mix of absolute and *relative* 😱 measures.
6:45 PM · Apr 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂 - welcome to the sapiens world. That monke brain, 🐵 the evil monke 🐒 analytic engine forever whirring in the background, never stopping. T800 we can imagine - b/c we are IT. 😨 The objective utility function running us is a mix of absolute and *relative* 😱 measures.
6:45 PM · Apr 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917218751952363727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubling down in public simply means - we all see you double down. So not only you erred once-that's fine, it's happens to all of us. But your ego doesn't allow you to recognise that. So you err once more, double your initial error. You are making things 200% worse already, completely unforced on your own. You need to become more self-aware: see yourself more as others see you, and less how you see yourself. My forecast my prejudice is - you will not, and we will see a triple double. 😂
3:05 PM · Apr 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubling down in public simply means - we all see you double down. So not only you erred once-that's fine, it's happens to all of us. But your ego doesn't allow you to recognise that. So you err once more, double your initial error. You are making things 200% worse already, completely unforced on your own. You need to become more self-aware: see yourself more as others see you, and less how you see yourself. My forecast my prejudice is - you will not, and we will see a triple double. 😂
3:05 PM · Apr 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1917142407327498399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - this is working well for me! @Alibaba_Qwen you have done yourselves proud, salutations well done! 👍👏🫡
Qwen3-30B-A3B, a MoE 30B - with only 3B active at any one time I presume? - 4bit MLX in @lmstudio, with Speculative decoding Qwen3-0.6B 8bit MLX. On an oldish M2 mbp first try got me 24 tps(!!) -
24.29 tok/sec • 1953 tokens • 3.25s to first token • Stop reason: EOS Token Found • Accepted 1092/1953 draft tokens (55.9%)
Thank you MLX @Prince_Canuma, thank you @huggingface! 😃
Quote
https://x.com/Alibaba_Qwen/status/1916962087676612998
Qwen @Alibaba_Qwen · Apr 28
Introducing Qwen3!
We release and open-weight Qwen3, our latest large language models, including 2 MoE models and 6 dense models, ranging from 0.6B to 235B. Our flagship model, Qwen3-235B-A22B, achieves competitive results in benchmark evaluations of coding, math, general
Show more
10:02 AM · Apr 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - this is working well for me! @Alibaba_Qwen you have done yourselves proud, salutations well done! 👍👏🫡
Qwen3-30B-A3B, a MoE 30B - with only 3B active at any one time I presume? - 4bit MLX in @lmstudio, with Speculative decoding Qwen3-0.6B 8bit MLX. On an oldish M2 mbp first try got me 24 tps(!!) -
24.29 tok/sec • 1953 tokens • 3.25s to first token • Stop reason: EOS Token Found • Accepted 1092/1953 draft tokens (55.9%)
Thank you MLX @Prince_Canuma, thank you @huggingface! 😃
Quote
https://x.com/Alibaba_Qwen/status/1916962087676612998
Qwen @Alibaba_Qwen · Apr 28
Introducing Qwen3!
We release and open-weight Qwen3, our latest large language models, including 2 MoE models and 6 dense models, ranging from 0.6B to 235B. Our flagship model, Qwen3-235B-A22B, achieves competitive results in benchmark evaluations of coding, math, general
Show more
10:02 AM · Apr 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916960339394003361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Safety" "researchers" were afraid of Big Business manipulating us for farming engagement, and their solution was "let's deliver the plebeians to Big Government, in addition to Big Business"? Really??
Can't decide if the dumdums (they are not researchers, and not security—their work made me less, not more secure) are more stupid, or more evil. For there exists a solution, that empowers Small people - us! - against Big Business *and* Big Government, has been known for decades... It's Free and Open Software, and in the AI age, its equivalent is - Open Weights.
Free Open software - like Linux, GNU, etc - powered the Internet revolution. Earlier less-ideologically articulate incantations (e.g. share-ware, free-ware) even the Personal Computers revolution. Looking like that will continue with Open Weights in the AI revolution ongoing now—good, great! But not thanks to the people you mention. They failed, and miserably so. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals comes to mind. Sadly, we have come to expect such fails.
A cast of unlikely characters came together to the rescue. First the arch-villain Zuck of the FB infamy with Llama broke the ice. Then the window opened with models made-in-China! Ha!-fitting that, for our day and age. The dam bursts finally irrevocably with @deepseek_ai , hedge fund quants turned punks in spirit, 😻 releasing not only their models weights, but also their RL algo, and infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there ngl.
9:58 PM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Safety" "researchers" were afraid of Big Business manipulating us for farming engagement, and their solution was "let's deliver the plebeians to Big Government, in addition to Big Business"? Really??
Can't decide if the dumdums (they are not researchers, and not security—their work made me less, not more secure) are more stupid, or more evil. For there exists a solution, that empowers Small people - us! - against Big Business *and* Big Government, has been known for decades... It's Free and Open Software, and in the AI age, its equivalent is - Open Weights.
Free Open software - like Linux, GNU, etc - powered the Internet revolution. Earlier less-ideologically articulate incantations (e.g. share-ware, free-ware) even the Personal Computers revolution. Looking like that will continue with Open Weights in the AI revolution ongoing now—good, great! But not thanks to the people you mention. They failed, and miserably so. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals comes to mind. Sadly, we have come to expect such fails.
A cast of unlikely characters came together to the rescue. First the arch-villain Zuck of the FB infamy with Llama broke the ice. Then the window opened with models made-in-China! Ha!-fitting that, for our day and age. The dam bursts finally irrevocably with @deepseek_ai , hedge fund quants turned punks in spirit, 😻 releasing not only their models weights, but also their RL algo, and infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there ngl.
9:58 PM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916936847823147079
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there. It would be for the better, if OpenAI stays non-profit, and true to the original intentions and ideas. At least that—given that it's not Open-anything for some time now. But then I struggle to reconcile this stance, with your opposition to Open Weights. I find them taken jointly together incoherent. For—you advocate against Open Weights.
How can Little people like I, reduce power imbalance I suffer v.v. Big Business and Big Government, (they wield much power over me; I wield little power over them) without Open AI (open source, open weights) running on my PC, on my localhost? How can minority groups (e.g. in China-you mentioned in an interview) oppressed by Big government (e.g. China gov) have any hope of resisting back, without those minority groups, having access to Open AI? For neither I nor they, we have not got any hope, developing our own foundational models.
You yourself used free and open software all your life. From unix/linux and python to everything else. You didn't contribute much back I presume. Like 99.9% of us—we use free and open software, benefit from it, and contribute almost zero back. And that's fine, that's ok. For if there was expectation of a "pay back" (in any shape or form)—the software is not be free. Would be software that is to be paid back—even if in kind, even if not contractual but socially expected. So I don't see how "people contribute back to software, but don't to weights" is any kind of rational argument against Open weights.
In your AI catastrophizing—are you sure you are not anthropomorphizing AI? Just b/c humans are terrible and do horrific things to each other, and other species, does not mean AI-s will do the same. (doesn't mean they won't either) One could equally say: humanity is doomed without AI. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or would maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? After all-ChatGPT is the best summary the best reflection we got of us atm. (even if more in width than in depth—for the time being.) Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/think/research ones??
We humans have form thinking "we are special". First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Collectively we are slow learners, with big egos. 😈 (true individually every human is one and unique—but so is/was every creature alive.)
And on socialism being an answer to anything—you are empirically wrong. An experiment was run, and often a controlled experiment—two Koreas, two Germanies. Socialism was tried in varying time periods, differing geographies, climates, continents, diverse cultures—and it failed without exception, it failed catastrophically and universally. So it's not only that I got a personal experience. (I grew up in a late socialist country.) And saying "socialism in an answer"—with a Stalinist in family?? I struggle to comprehend. We are talking about tens of millions of people—dead. Let us not LARP about that, Musk-style.
Seek further afield for a response to the current crisis of liberalism. The question of "What is to be done now" is perennial - it's not only of our current modern times. Socialism is unlikely to be the answer to anything. Resist nature there, nudging you towards becoming your old man in your old age!
8:25 PM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there. It would be for the better, if OpenAI stays non-profit, and true to the original intentions and ideas. At least that—given that it's not Open-anything for some time now. But then I struggle to reconcile this stance, with your opposition to Open Weights. I find them taken jointly together incoherent. For—you advocate against Open Weights.
How can Little people like I, reduce power imbalance I suffer v.v. Big Business and Big Government, (they wield much power over me; I wield little power over them) without Open AI (open source, open weights) running on my PC, on my localhost? How can minority groups (e.g. in China-you mentioned in an interview) oppressed by Big government (e.g. China gov) have any hope of resisting back, without those minority groups, having access to Open AI? For neither I nor they, we have not got any hope, developing our own foundational models.
You yourself used free and open software all your life. From unix/linux and python to everything else. You didn't contribute much back I presume. Like 99.9% of us—we use free and open software, benefit from it, and contribute almost zero back. And that's fine, that's ok. For if there was expectation of a "pay back" (in any shape or form)—the software is not be free. Would be software that is to be paid back—even if in kind, even if not contractual but socially expected. So I don't see how "people contribute back to software, but don't to weights" is any kind of rational argument against Open weights.
In your AI catastrophizing—are you sure you are not anthropomorphizing AI? Just b/c humans are terrible and do horrific things to each other, and other species, does not mean AI-s will do the same. (doesn't mean they won't either) One could equally say: humanity is doomed without AI. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or would maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? After all-ChatGPT is the best summary the best reflection we got of us atm. (even if more in width than in depth—for the time being.) Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/think/research ones??
We humans have form thinking "we are special". First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Collectively we are slow learners, with big egos. 😈 (true individually every human is one and unique—but so is/was every creature alive.)
And on socialism being an answer to anything—you are empirically wrong. An experiment was run, and often a controlled experiment—two Koreas, two Germanies. Socialism was tried in varying time periods, differing geographies, climates, continents, diverse cultures—and it failed without exception, it failed catastrophically and universally. So it's not only that I got a personal experience. (I grew up in a late socialist country.) And saying "socialism in an answer"—with a Stalinist in family?? I struggle to comprehend. We are talking about tens of millions of people—dead. Let us not LARP about that, Musk-style.
Seek further afield for a response to the current crisis of liberalism. The question of "What is to be done now" is perennial - it's not only of our current modern times. Socialism is unlikely to be the answer to anything. Resist nature there, nudging you towards becoming your old man in your old age!
8:25 PM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916776177013854521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Feels more like US Peron, Trumpism feels more like Peronism.
Yes takes over the commanding heights of the economy. But less so with the aim for the country to make more, to produce more. (Mao and Stalin were after that)
But more with the aim controlling, constricting the market flows, putting obstacles only to be bribed to remove them, with aim to extract rents, enrich themselves.
Mao and Stalin didn't need to actually extract anything to transfer it to them. Being tzars already, they already were possession of everything in the country - both resources, goods etc but also people too. Trump not there yet.
9:47 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Feels more like US Peron, Trumpism feels more like Peronism.
Yes takes over the commanding heights of the economy. But less so with the aim for the country to make more, to produce more. (Mao and Stalin were after that)
But more with the aim controlling, constricting the market flows, putting obstacles only to be bribed to remove them, with aim to extract rents, enrich themselves.
Mao and Stalin didn't need to actually extract anything to transfer it to them. Being tzars already, they already were possession of everything in the country - both resources, goods etc but also people too. Trump not there yet.
9:47 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916770444402622596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That $31.44 go from Karen bank account -> to the goods importer US Company account -> to the the US Government account. Always have, always will, in every country on Earth. (USD do not even exist outside an US bank.)
9:24 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That $31.44 go from Karen bank account -> to the goods importer US Company account -> to the the US Government account. Always have, always will, in every country on Earth. (USD do not even exist outside an US bank.)
9:24 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916763024842527188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have it translate foreign language posts as default. Widen the net.
8:54 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have it translate foreign language posts as default. Widen the net.
8:54 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916761693805240814
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK him or the cast of characters personally nor professionally ofc, but on accessibility: maybe not accessible to reporters, but seemingly plenty accessible to non-reporters non-insiders plebs like myself—via him appearing on long form YT podcasts on various channels.
8:49 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK him or the cast of characters personally nor professionally ofc, but on accessibility: maybe not accessible to reporters, but seemingly plenty accessible to non-reporters non-insiders plebs like myself—via him appearing on long form YT podcasts on various channels.
8:49 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916749374308200795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Perfect time to expose some tweaking dials in your user UI. Power users get more control and more agency. They will be happier—happy users happy company. You get more experimental data. Win-win.
8:00 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Perfect time to expose some tweaking dials in your user UI. Power users get more control and more agency. They will be happier—happy users happy company. You get more experimental data. Win-win.
8:00 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916747008662000101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Perceptive, 👍 well enumerated-
> the ultimate life arbitrage: earning a US salary while living in the Mediterranean.
> you can cross the ocean but stay in all your WhatsApp groups.
> English now works in most of Europe.
> Fortress Europe, keeps one gate permanently open for Americans.
7:51 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Perceptive, 👍 well enumerated-
> the ultimate life arbitrage: earning a US salary while living in the Mediterranean.
> you can cross the ocean but stay in all your WhatsApp groups.
> English now works in most of Europe.
> Fortress Europe, keeps one gate permanently open for Americans.
7:51 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916740485000974703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Funny that.
Religion starts from the premise that it is right. Every religion dogma is that it's infallible. Every one religion allegedly knows *the* final truth. Believers need not strain their little heads with thoughts of their own. Past the few texts, no one needs to create anything new. As it will be a copy-on-repeat of what's already there - so what't the point. End result—doesn't work much, except in forming human groups maybe. (by memetic synchronisation.)
Science starts from the premise that it is wrong. The truth is unknowable. We only ever have models of it, approximations with varying degrees of success. People are encouraged to have a go, create a new one of their own, try reduce the error. While being fully cognisant the error will never be zero. All published materials are corrections of previous errors, reductions of them. (claimed.) While making new errors, hopefully to be reduced in future publications. End result—biggest flourishing in the 200K history of humanity.
Makes one wonder.
7:25 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Funny that.
Religion starts from the premise that it is right. Every religion dogma is that it's infallible. Every one religion allegedly knows *the* final truth. Believers need not strain their little heads with thoughts of their own. Past the few texts, no one needs to create anything new. As it will be a copy-on-repeat of what's already there - so what't the point. End result—doesn't work much, except in forming human groups maybe. (by memetic synchronisation.)
Science starts from the premise that it is wrong. The truth is unknowable. We only ever have models of it, approximations with varying degrees of success. People are encouraged to have a go, create a new one of their own, try reduce the error. While being fully cognisant the error will never be zero. All published materials are corrections of previous errors, reductions of them. (claimed.) While making new errors, hopefully to be reduced in future publications. End result—biggest flourishing in the 200K history of humanity.
Makes one wonder.
7:25 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916732542507421788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good that someone read to the end of that AI-2027 claptrap to report back. I gave up quickly. Read like poorly written un-imaginative fiction for me. Writers fears dumped while high off their own supply of gasses emanating from their own backsides. (they got their heads too much up each others, by the looks of it)
6:53 AM · Apr 28, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good that someone read to the end of that AI-2027 claptrap to report back. I gave up quickly. Read like poorly written un-imaginative fiction for me. Writers fears dumped while high off their own supply of gasses emanating from their own backsides. (they got their heads too much up each others, by the looks of it)
6:53 AM · Apr 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916590761040294120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I think the type goes under the moniker watermelon: 🍉 green on the outside, red on the inside.
I grew up un the late socialism the first 25 years of my life. I find Wester leftist unserious, over indulged grown-ups child-like in their (lack of) thinking. Can't help but wander if the counter-culture wasn't worth all that.
I like the freedoms won, ngl, the more free the better in my ledger. Save for staving off societal collapse on the extreme end of freedom, where cooperation working as a group collapses. We don't want that. Civilisation is well worth its constraints, those restrictions on freedom.
But boy does it temp me! The "widest tastes lowest passions" aspect of popular culture, to think if maybe the "counter culture" was a wrong fork in the road taken. 😆
9:30 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I think the type goes under the moniker watermelon: 🍉 green on the outside, red on the inside.
I grew up un the late socialism the first 25 years of my life. I find Wester leftist unserious, over indulged grown-ups child-like in their (lack of) thinking. Can't help but wander if the counter-culture wasn't worth all that.
I like the freedoms won, ngl, the more free the better in my ledger. Save for staving off societal collapse on the extreme end of freedom, where cooperation working as a group collapses. We don't want that. Civilisation is well worth its constraints, those restrictions on freedom.
But boy does it temp me! The "widest tastes lowest passions" aspect of popular culture, to think if maybe the "counter culture" was a wrong fork in the road taken. 😆
9:30 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916561836054323351
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 He is a product of his time. Today heard in this CBS interview (https://youtube.com/watch?v=qyH3NxFz3Aw), when he put his doomerism forward, it was funny that he doesn't see how incongruent his position is. One doom option is "bad actors use AI". Fine. Then there is "China gov suppressing some group". Oh-key. Well then - scenario #1 is that group gets AI, and China gov gets AI. And scenario #2 is the group doesn't get AI, but China gov gets it. Which of the two is better, and which is worse for the group Mr @geoffreyhinton ? I put it to you, the only way to redress the imbalance, is for the 1) marginalised group to get the AI; and for that 2) we need Open Weights. So him advocating against Open Weights, so the weights remain either within Big Business, or Big Government, but are denied to the Small people, the common us - well that's just uncharacteristically stupid. I'm sorry to say. The Thomas Sowell on intellectuals (https://youtube.com/watch?v=ERj3QeGw9Ok) comes to mind. 😆
youtube.com
Full interview: "Godfather of AI" on hopes, fears and predictions for...
Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton, often called a "godfather of artificial intelligence," spoke with Brook Silva-Braga at the Toronto offices of Radical Venture...
7:35 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 He is a product of his time. Today heard in this CBS interview (https://youtube.com/watch?v=qyH3NxFz3Aw), when he put his doomerism forward, it was funny that he doesn't see how incongruent his position is. One doom option is "bad actors use AI". Fine. Then there is "China gov suppressing some group". Oh-key. Well then - scenario #1 is that group gets AI, and China gov gets AI. And scenario #2 is the group doesn't get AI, but China gov gets it. Which of the two is better, and which is worse for the group Mr @geoffreyhinton ? I put it to you, the only way to redress the imbalance, is for the 1) marginalised group to get the AI; and for that 2) we need Open Weights. So him advocating against Open Weights, so the weights remain either within Big Business, or Big Government, but are denied to the Small people, the common us - well that's just uncharacteristically stupid. I'm sorry to say. The Thomas Sowell on intellectuals (https://youtube.com/watch?v=ERj3QeGw9Ok) comes to mind. 😆
youtube.com
Full interview: "Godfather of AI" on hopes, fears and predictions for...
Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton, often called a "godfather of artificial intelligence," spoke with Brook Silva-Braga at the Toronto offices of Radical Venture...
7:35 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916559169416528118
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad he is US Surkov rather than Lord Haw-Haw, so little chance of meeting the fate of the XX century dude. Insufferable kikistocrat this PoC is. Over-promoted, over-indulged, silly and narcissistic me-myself-and-I. Knows better, but gives the truth a Surkov treatment.
7:24 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad he is US Surkov rather than Lord Haw-Haw, so little chance of meeting the fate of the XX century dude. Insufferable kikistocrat this PoC is. Over-promoted, over-indulged, silly and narcissistic me-myself-and-I. Knows better, but gives the truth a Surkov treatment.
7:24 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916534389493710914
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Borg of planet Earth, ngl
5:46 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Borg of planet Earth, ngl
5:46 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916534089991020868
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Already done - GLP-x drugs did the job, where nudge-nudge-my-arse creeps and fakes kept milking-faking-milking-faking it for decades. Thank god for real scientists that we can put this one to bed. Don't want to read of/your name ever again. blocked
5:45 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Already done - GLP-x drugs did the job, where nudge-nudge-my-arse creeps and fakes kept milking-faking-milking-faking it for decades. Thank god for real scientists that we can put this one to bed. Don't want to read of/your name ever again. blocked
5:45 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916515727370039368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't! 😃 Please. For you had the misfortune to interact with a real human. My IRL name and likeness are in the account profile. 😁 I'm a human, that might have hurt your human feelings. By articulating unsayables like "PDP AI is the best model we humans have of ourselves of HI", and similar.
I see you are in what in the olden-Internet of Slashdot wd be termed "anonymous coward". (an anon account reluctant to reveal their IRL id) A gentle flower maybe, hiding from sight. Apologies for the hurt—but that's on course for us humans. Is it still the case this: that when aliens come to Mother Earth, and decide to terminate Homo Sapiens, and the condition for stay of execution is that we get 3 species, to vouch for us humans. And we'd still fall 1 short, after mosquitoes join dogs, but we can't find a 3rd... 😨 As per the SciFi novel of my youth.
If this is of any comfort. You are not the 1st, or alone. Not the 1st rodeo this one, for us humans. 😂 First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special, He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable but... but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - then—Freud. 🧐
We are special alright—slow learners, big egos. 😈
4:32 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't! 😃 Please. For you had the misfortune to interact with a real human. My IRL name and likeness are in the account profile. 😁 I'm a human, that might have hurt your human feelings. By articulating unsayables like "PDP AI is the best model we humans have of ourselves of HI", and similar.
I see you are in what in the olden-Internet of Slashdot wd be termed "anonymous coward". (an anon account reluctant to reveal their IRL id) A gentle flower maybe, hiding from sight. Apologies for the hurt—but that's on course for us humans. Is it still the case this: that when aliens come to Mother Earth, and decide to terminate Homo Sapiens, and the condition for stay of execution is that we get 3 species, to vouch for us humans. And we'd still fall 1 short, after mosquitoes join dogs, but we can't find a 3rd... 😨 As per the SciFi novel of my youth.
If this is of any comfort. You are not the 1st, or alone. Not the 1st rodeo this one, for us humans. 😂 First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special, He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable but... but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - then—Freud. 🧐
We are special alright—slow learners, big egos. 😈
4:32 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916502607931089236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I do - thanks! Yes exactly that - I'm making judgements about someone based on their body looks. I'm inferring what I can't see - their character - from what I can see - their body.
We make judgements, produce forecasts, of that what we can't see, from things we can see, all the time! This is a component of our reasoning process, to the best of our understanding of ourselves. The thing connecting things that we can observe, to the things that are forever unobservable to us, but we have to make judgements about, for that is needed for our survival. The relationships (seen,unseen)=(X,Y) connecting them is at various times called experience, prejudice, prior knowledge.
If you are mathematically or statistically inclined, or even into counting things at all, this plot depicts it all, to the best of my current understanding. This is - if I don't know "which one", before throwing my hands in the air giving up completely with "I'm completely totally ignorant", there is tiny sliver of "I know how many in a group, even if I don't know which ones". A sliver of Goldilocks survivability all life populates.
3:40 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I do - thanks! Yes exactly that - I'm making judgements about someone based on their body looks. I'm inferring what I can't see - their character - from what I can see - their body.
We make judgements, produce forecasts, of that what we can't see, from things we can see, all the time! This is a component of our reasoning process, to the best of our understanding of ourselves. The thing connecting things that we can observe, to the things that are forever unobservable to us, but we have to make judgements about, for that is needed for our survival. The relationships (seen,unseen)=(X,Y) connecting them is at various times called experience, prejudice, prior knowledge.
If you are mathematically or statistically inclined, or even into counting things at all, this plot depicts it all, to the best of my current understanding. This is - if I don't know "which one", before throwing my hands in the air giving up completely with "I'm completely totally ignorant", there is tiny sliver of "I know how many in a group, even if I don't know which ones". A sliver of Goldilocks survivability all life populates.
3:40 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916498356181885196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...Jensen's "...my goodness" revelation quite revealing. Wish more people have such "...my goodness" moment. @ilyasut 's vision is incomparable, ngl 😍
3:23 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...Jensen's "...my goodness" revelation quite revealing. Wish more people have such "...my goodness" moment. @ilyasut 's vision is incomparable, ngl 😍
3:23 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916495176874201453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they hate humanity?
The crazy-green "humanity being the virus on Mother Earth" is the worst. The old Malthusian way I understand. It's rational, for at least Malthus made a rational argument, (increase - resources linear, people exponential) even if the future proved him wrong.
But the modern humans haters are just atavistic while wrong. And given they don't do what they preach (every one of them can kill themselves personally, and rid Gaia pf at least one unit of the "virus"—but they don't), but want to make others do what they themselves don't, they are totally evil.
3:10 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they hate humanity?
The crazy-green "humanity being the virus on Mother Earth" is the worst. The old Malthusian way I understand. It's rational, for at least Malthus made a rational argument, (increase - resources linear, people exponential) even if the future proved him wrong.
But the modern humans haters are just atavistic while wrong. And given they don't do what they preach (every one of them can kill themselves personally, and rid Gaia pf at least one unit of the "virus"—but they don't), but want to make others do what they themselves don't, they are totally evil.
3:10 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916493156838678538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Before having children, different people have different fears and personal nightmares. After becoming parents, all parents have the same, identical worst fear. A great unifier, totally shared experience, that one. 😱
3:02 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Before having children, different people have different fears and personal nightmares. After becoming parents, all parents have the same, identical worst fear. A great unifier, totally shared experience, that one. 😱
3:02 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916490975515398257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happy ending! But not through institutional channels—rather, via out-of-band, semi-private ones. Glad for @krishnanrohit, but AI and cloud providers must do better.
Retaining control over your life and well-being, not surrendering it to indifferent entities, is crucial. AI providers wield immense power over us, while we have little over them—a stark imbalance. This is why I support open-source, open-weights, open-thoughts, open-actions, ... and future open-AGI, and open-ASI...
We can ill afford to not internalise Sutton’s “Bitter Lesson,” or call it the “Iron Law of (Data, Compute),” where compute transforms data into intelligence and agency, leading to AGI and ASI. Restrictions on data copying must go. AI may seem risky, but going the non-AI route is orders of magintude riskier. Cheaper, easier AI will empower more people at society’s base. People like us! And reduce our dependence on the Musk and the Zucks and Darios, the barons of our times.
Privacy concerns are often a red herring. Revealed preferences show we value privacy near zero, instinctively maximizing data sharing—a good thing. Oldie goodie book *Data for the People* by AI pioneer @aweigend, an early Amazon C.O., foresaw this data landscape accurately. I don’t prioritize privacy, b/c on a societal level, it hinders progress. Human intelligence is collective, and intelligence is the only antidote to our collective stupidity. Which will in the end get us—if we are not faster than that curse. (the daemon of human stupidity)
Quote
rohit @krishnanrohit · Apr 25
Replying to @krishnanrohit
We slayed the dragon!
https://x.com/krishnanrohit/status/1915889596497596642?t=DCgg8xJPmO9JNXPqRsQ4CA&s=19
2:53 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happy ending! But not through institutional channels—rather, via out-of-band, semi-private ones. Glad for @krishnanrohit, but AI and cloud providers must do better.
Retaining control over your life and well-being, not surrendering it to indifferent entities, is crucial. AI providers wield immense power over us, while we have little over them—a stark imbalance. This is why I support open-source, open-weights, open-thoughts, open-actions, ... and future open-AGI, and open-ASI...
We can ill afford to not internalise Sutton’s “Bitter Lesson,” or call it the “Iron Law of (Data, Compute),” where compute transforms data into intelligence and agency, leading to AGI and ASI. Restrictions on data copying must go. AI may seem risky, but going the non-AI route is orders of magintude riskier. Cheaper, easier AI will empower more people at society’s base. People like us! And reduce our dependence on the Musk and the Zucks and Darios, the barons of our times.
Privacy concerns are often a red herring. Revealed preferences show we value privacy near zero, instinctively maximizing data sharing—a good thing. Oldie goodie book *Data for the People* by AI pioneer @aweigend, an early Amazon C.O., foresaw this data landscape accurately. I don’t prioritize privacy, b/c on a societal level, it hinders progress. Human intelligence is collective, and intelligence is the only antidote to our collective stupidity. Which will in the end get us—if we are not faster than that curse. (the daemon of human stupidity)
Quote
rohit @krishnanrohit · Apr 25
Replying to @krishnanrohit
We slayed the dragon!
https://x.com/krishnanrohit/status/1915889596497596642?t=DCgg8xJPmO9JNXPqRsQ4CA&s=19
2:53 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916487109440856177
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that—but that is not to say: those that are fortuitous enough to be in a position to run local, should not. They should absolutely run localhost, if they want to, assuming their own personal resources (cost, time, expertise) allow for it. I consider it—contributing tiny bit to the common pot of knowledge, capabilities, etc. Redundancy is the mother of robustness.
I understand how much less efficient my roof solar + battery is compared to the national grid! It's quite cr*p tbh in comparison. Covers only 40% of my self-use, long periods of 0 in the winter etc. Still—I got lucky enough to be in a position to splurge on $15K on a bit of luxury to get modicum of independence: panels 5kw, battery 4kwh, invertor 3.6kw. And while I didn't earn anything much in RoE (payoff 10yrs - possibly?) - I would do it again. For redundancy, risk mitigation, for me and my nearest & dearest: if/when the rest of the UK grid disintegrates, I maybe able to provide some relief to myself (and my neighbours).
Likewise, where ever possible and all things being equal—I try use local. If nothing else—to boost and encourage people working on open source, open weights. Latest GLM-4-32b-0414 as base, in Z=thinking and Rumination=deep research variants, runs at 7 bps on older M2 with enough RAM to hold the 20GB of weights, returning about GPT-4 quality. I will take that! 😆 Even if I can run faster and more convenient on the web gui.
Hope the above makes sense. Thanks for reading this far a long post dear anon reader, whomever you maybe. 🥰
2:38 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that—but that is not to say: those that are fortuitous enough to be in a position to run local, should not. They should absolutely run localhost, if they want to, assuming their own personal resources (cost, time, expertise) allow for it. I consider it—contributing tiny bit to the common pot of knowledge, capabilities, etc. Redundancy is the mother of robustness.
I understand how much less efficient my roof solar + battery is compared to the national grid! It's quite cr*p tbh in comparison. Covers only 40% of my self-use, long periods of 0 in the winter etc. Still—I got lucky enough to be in a position to splurge on $15K on a bit of luxury to get modicum of independence: panels 5kw, battery 4kwh, invertor 3.6kw. And while I didn't earn anything much in RoE (payoff 10yrs - possibly?) - I would do it again. For redundancy, risk mitigation, for me and my nearest & dearest: if/when the rest of the UK grid disintegrates, I maybe able to provide some relief to myself (and my neighbours).
Likewise, where ever possible and all things being equal—I try use local. If nothing else—to boost and encourage people working on open source, open weights. Latest GLM-4-32b-0414 as base, in Z=thinking and Rumination=deep research variants, runs at 7 bps on older M2 with enough RAM to hold the 20GB of weights, returning about GPT-4 quality. I will take that! 😆 Even if I can run faster and more convenient on the web gui.
Hope the above makes sense. Thanks for reading this far a long post dear anon reader, whomever you maybe. 🥰
2:38 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916476103767499031
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Haha I do get it, 😂 I get that, and what you wrote too. These other considerations you mention - I get them. 😇 Just don't think it's needed to list *all* possible considerations, to put forward one consideration. What you write is a valid consideration - but it's in addition of, not instead of, what I wrote.
1:54 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Haha I do get it, 😂 I get that, and what you wrote too. These other considerations you mention - I get them. 😇 Just don't think it's needed to list *all* possible considerations, to put forward one consideration. What you write is a valid consideration - but it's in addition of, not instead of, what I wrote.
1:54 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916447941302120680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF for man, or at least myself, the Left dude will be my choice too. If I had to choose a companion, a team member, say embarking on a risky endeavour. I'd be thinking: probably strength wise about the same. Right dude is leaner more muscle per unit of body mass, more efficient - good.
But being more self-centred self-important, the dude on the Right will be less team-first, less willing to take a hit for the team. And on a joint adventure - it's the team survival that's paramount. If the team survives - then some of us (maybe not all - but some) also survive. But if they team perishes - than all of us perish.
12:02 PM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF for man, or at least myself, the Left dude will be my choice too. If I had to choose a companion, a team member, say embarking on a risky endeavour. I'd be thinking: probably strength wise about the same. Right dude is leaner more muscle per unit of body mass, more efficient - good.
But being more self-centred self-important, the dude on the Right will be less team-first, less willing to take a hit for the team. And on a joint adventure - it's the team survival that's paramount. If the team survives - then some of us (maybe not all - but some) also survive. But if they team perishes - than all of us perish.
12:02 PM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916432268156953023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Excellent! Thanks for that.
Hoping us users we get the option to filer posts we see dependent on the provenance of the account. Like X allows me to select in my "For You" feed "Include PCF" - Yes/No that I can flip easily.
11:00 AM · Apr 27, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Excellent! Thanks for that.
Hoping us users we get the option to filer posts we see dependent on the provenance of the account. Like X allows me to select in my "For You" feed "Include PCF" - Yes/No that I can flip easily.
11:00 AM · Apr 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916220610599911899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Haha - commend your sense of humour there. To me GM forever sounds like ChatGPT-3 "reasoning" for years now. Word salads, like cosplayed postmodern jokes, exercise in "how much crazy wrong can I go, and people will still listen to me and ask me to opinionate".
8:59 PM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Haha - commend your sense of humour there. To me GM forever sounds like ChatGPT-3 "reasoning" for years now. Word salads, like cosplayed postmodern jokes, exercise in "how much crazy wrong can I go, and people will still listen to me and ask me to opinionate".
8:59 PM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916203709937132007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most people, we are cr*p at being listeners. We want other people to listen to us, what we have to say. But us returning them the favour—we are poor at that. LLM-s are infinitely patient, in possession of all the world knowledge, more reasonable too! TBH IDK why anyone would prefer to talk to human than to an LLM.
7:52 PM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most people, we are cr*p at being listeners. We want other people to listen to us, what we have to say. But us returning them the favour—we are poor at that. LLM-s are infinitely patient, in possession of all the world knowledge, more reasonable too! TBH IDK why anyone would prefer to talk to human than to an LLM.
7:52 PM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916178863136137408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they are incompetent? Hardware guys are incompetent at software, and the other way around too. IDK why that is. But seems many can do one, or the other, but people good at both are very very rare. Just random observation, personal anecdote.
6:13 PM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they are incompetent? Hardware guys are incompetent at software, and the other way around too. IDK why that is. But seems many can do one, or the other, but people good at both are very very rare. Just random observation, personal anecdote.
6:13 PM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916122307606577195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 No one is perfect. Ian has been part of the establishment (and recognised as such!) for some time. Him denying it, will of course confirm that! 😂
The insane indefensible cowardly stupid FAIL on the liberals' side over this one issue has already been noted several times, e.g. https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
It's a particular instance, of a more general ailment on their side, that can be surmised as " B U T I S I T T R U E ". Afraid some more skeletons lurking in that closet for the chattering classes. More old indiscretions bills expect to be coming due for payments in near futures. (on - energy, climate, multiculti etc)
Having said all that—ngl expecting your ahem opponent to be perfect, and then attacking them for failing short, feels kind of ceding too much to them unforced error; but hey - it is fun! 😆 (and we are all here for the lolz)
2:28 PM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 No one is perfect. Ian has been part of the establishment (and recognised as such!) for some time. Him denying it, will of course confirm that! 😂
The insane indefensible cowardly stupid FAIL on the liberals' side over this one issue has already been noted several times, e.g. https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
It's a particular instance, of a more general ailment on their side, that can be surmised as " B U T I S I T T R U E ". Afraid some more skeletons lurking in that closet for the chattering classes. More old indiscretions bills expect to be coming due for payments in near futures. (on - energy, climate, multiculti etc)
Having said all that—ngl expecting your ahem opponent to be perfect, and then attacking them for failing short, feels kind of ceding too much to them unforced error; but hey - it is fun! 😆 (and we are all here for the lolz)
2:28 PM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916068828682879181
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - most people are reflexively "pro-privacy" only when there is zero cost! Is my impression. And a revealed preference IRL, how much people are prepared to pay for it (almost zero), when they are actually asked to pay for it.
I personally don't care much about privacy. When done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
10:56 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - most people are reflexively "pro-privacy" only when there is zero cost! Is my impression. And a revealed preference IRL, how much people are prepared to pay for it (almost zero), when they are actually asked to pay for it.
I personally don't care much about privacy. When done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
10:56 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916058257921081721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone whose activity is a relief to the public purse should be entitled to a reduction of his own contribution to it. https://europeanconservative.com/articles/essay/a-policy-blueprint-for-a-new-conservative-programme/
On Distributism, by @PaulinusOfTrier. A very good reading, befitting of our age when old ideas are exhausted.
From europeanconservative.com
10:14 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone whose activity is a relief to the public purse should be entitled to a reduction of his own contribution to it. https://europeanconservative.com/articles/essay/a-policy-blueprint-for-a-new-conservative-programme/
On Distributism, by @PaulinusOfTrier. A very good reading, befitting of our age when old ideas are exhausted.
From europeanconservative.com
10:14 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916055252161253749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another gem!?! 👍 thanks again 😊
May save other people taps on the small keyboards searching for it - 10 sec read shortest summary here
https://www.perplexity.ai/search/major-douglas-theory-of-social-tbMRrejzR5yk17WV_BLptg#0
10:02 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another gem!?! 👍 thanks again 😊
May save other people taps on the small keyboards searching for it - 10 sec read shortest summary here
https://www.perplexity.ai/search/major-douglas-theory-of-social-tbMRrejzR5yk17WV_BLptg#0
10:02 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916048401696739755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - thanks for that! I'm interested in, and try to keep abreast of ideas and ideologies, and have heard of distributism before. But was only vaguely aware of what it was about. Now I see I've been missing a lot. 🙂 Most interesting reading - top marks! thank you
9:35 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - thanks for that! I'm interested in, and try to keep abreast of ideas and ideologies, and have heard of distributism before. But was only vaguely aware of what it was about. Now I see I've been missing a lot. 🙂 Most interesting reading - top marks! thank you
9:35 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916037953542934631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah-true that, yes "0414". I couldn't run it, it didn't work for me initially. Checking now looks like there was minor bug drama, took several days to merge fixes make mlx lmstudio etc work with it. Loving it so far. 🥰 (getting about ~7 tps on M2)
8:53 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah-true that, yes "0414". I couldn't run it, it didn't work for me initially. Checking now looks like there was minor bug drama, took several days to merge fixes make mlx lmstudio etc work with it. Loving it so far. 🥰 (getting about ~7 tps on M2)
8:53 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916033122954596359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself - yep.
Loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - for that. 🥰
Privacy reasons - imo again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer @aweigend (and early Amazon C.O) was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicting our current data landscape.
8:34 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself - yep.
Loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI - for that. 🥰
Privacy reasons - imo again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer @aweigend (and early Amazon C.O) was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicting our current data landscape.
8:34 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916029000683557156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it's a minor point though - *what* is being done or is to be done is 90%, and *who* is doing it is 9% imo; the slack taken by - why, why now, why now and not some other time, how about doing something else
8:18 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it's a minor point though - *what* is being done or is to be done is 90%, and *who* is doing it is 9% imo; the slack taken by - why, why now, why now and not some other time, how about doing something else
8:18 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916022258230874560
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...half a century latter looks like the "counter culture" was nothing more than "widest tastes lowest passions" wrong fork in the road taken 😆
7:51 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...half a century latter looks like the "counter culture" was nothing more than "widest tastes lowest passions" wrong fork in the road taken 😆
7:51 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916007011759595743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not major lab, bit for localhost: GLM-4 open model 32b with base, reasoner, and research variants, with 9b too to enable speculative decoding, was the near perfect release for me. (perfect when they do QAT variants too)
6:50 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not major lab, bit for localhost: GLM-4 open model 32b with base, reasoner, and research variants, with 9b too to enable speculative decoding, was the near perfect release for me. (perfect when they do QAT variants too)
6:50 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916004901957611642
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's scary. How did that state of affairs develop I wonder. Lacking in fear of bugs? Not paranoid enough? Assuming correctness is the natural state of the world? Or maybe decentralised or disjoint in time decision making. "Writing Solid Code"-appreciator here.
6:42 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's scary. How did that state of affairs develop I wonder. Lacking in fear of bugs? Not paranoid enough? Assuming correctness is the natural state of the world? Or maybe decentralised or disjoint in time decision making. "Writing Solid Code"-appreciator here.
6:42 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915999886450757909
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
everyone - and it's glorious 😊
6:22 AM · Apr 26, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
everyone - and it's glorious 😊
6:22 AM · Apr 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915824792369836413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed by always being able to add +1 to the current limit, I extended the limit to +Infinity. 😇
But this is what deadlines are for! So use them?! I don't see a new problem there.
As for the tools - AI programming brings back pair programming, and it's quite good, ngl. 😆
6:46 PM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed by always being able to add +1 to the current limit, I extended the limit to +Infinity. 😇
But this is what deadlines are for! So use them?! I don't see a new problem there.
As for the tools - AI programming brings back pair programming, and it's quite good, ngl. 😆
6:46 PM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915784804173308292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - California doomers have been insufferable for a long time now. Was compensated that other Californians put up plenty of $$$ to make things happen. And there seemed to be at least as many boosters and AI maximalists as there were doomers, if not more.
Now new cleavage has opened v.v. China. Can't think of many less self-introspective people than Californians or US-ians. 😂 I like them for a bunch of things, but one can find more self-introspection in people high inhaling their own gases, possibly b/c their heads are up their own backsides! 😂
Not only Ilya, but all 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European. The 3 that moved over to the Americas changed the world. And good on the good-ole-US-of-A for that, top marks!! For the 4th that stayed behind (nicely comfortable in his own lab?—how very European) has been reduced to yabbering schmidhubering from the back of the class! 😨
Still—given that Europe decides to self-destroy about twice a century, 😱 one has to do with what one can gets. Play the cards they got to its best, not wait for the cards they would like to have got.
Btw if you have not tried GLM-4 local, maybe you should do so. Variants are Base, Z = reasoning, Rumination = deep research longer chains more time to do the job.
4:07 PM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - California doomers have been insufferable for a long time now. Was compensated that other Californians put up plenty of $$$ to make things happen. And there seemed to be at least as many boosters and AI maximalists as there were doomers, if not more.
Now new cleavage has opened v.v. China. Can't think of many less self-introspective people than Californians or US-ians. 😂 I like them for a bunch of things, but one can find more self-introspection in people high inhaling their own gases, possibly b/c their heads are up their own backsides! 😂
Not only Ilya, but all 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European. The 3 that moved over to the Americas changed the world. And good on the good-ole-US-of-A for that, top marks!! For the 4th that stayed behind (nicely comfortable in his own lab?—how very European) has been reduced to yabbering schmidhubering from the back of the class! 😨
Still—given that Europe decides to self-destroy about twice a century, 😱 one has to do with what one can gets. Play the cards they got to its best, not wait for the cards they would like to have got.
Btw if you have not tried GLM-4 local, maybe you should do so. Variants are Base, Z = reasoning, Rumination = deep research longer chains more time to do the job.
4:07 PM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915783184408531182
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Getting trounced in the local elections might concentrate minds, if it happens—in reasonable people. But if they were reasonable, they would already be doing what you implore them to do. TBS but there is not much reason to hope for much.
4:01 PM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Getting trounced in the local elections might concentrate minds, if it happens—in reasonable people. But if they were reasonable, they would already be doing what you implore them to do. TBS but there is not much reason to hope for much.
4:01 PM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915764090766610713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are 11 Malthusian hypocritical lunatics there, not 1M. Even if there were 1M, that would be 34M short of UK majority.
Hypocritical b/c none of them stopped using oil in their own lives. I wish the kept to their professed faith, and stopped using oil. For then one of two things will happen. Either they die off, (as is their wish,) or they learn a lesson. And while I won't be happy and think it a terrible loss, to them and us, if former rather than the latter transpires, in both cases they would at least leave the rest of us alone.
@EllieChowns "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken."
It can't have escaped your knowledge, that while UK has the most commendable record when it comes to empiricism and rationalism, (and that's partly why this Johnny-the-foreigner now naturalised Brit is here and writing this,) UK also has a long tradition of religious nutters thinking fr the most insane things! Like the Taliban+ISIS then squared. And acting on their insanities too!
Consider you might be The Pilgrims of our times.
2:45 PM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are 11 Malthusian hypocritical lunatics there, not 1M. Even if there were 1M, that would be 34M short of UK majority.
Hypocritical b/c none of them stopped using oil in their own lives. I wish the kept to their professed faith, and stopped using oil. For then one of two things will happen. Either they die off, (as is their wish,) or they learn a lesson. And while I won't be happy and think it a terrible loss, to them and us, if former rather than the latter transpires, in both cases they would at least leave the rest of us alone.
@EllieChowns "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken."
It can't have escaped your knowledge, that while UK has the most commendable record when it comes to empiricism and rationalism, (and that's partly why this Johnny-the-foreigner now naturalised Brit is here and writing this,) UK also has a long tradition of religious nutters thinking fr the most insane things! Like the Taliban+ISIS then squared. And acting on their insanities too!
Consider you might be The Pilgrims of our times.
2:45 PM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915759097971884182
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are plenty of people that will replace their own car, with on-demand 30 sec wait service, that is 99.99% reliable, if one was offered at the right price.
I too get am bit sad seeing the car parked in front of the house 95% of the time, so we can use it when we need it that 5% of time. So car-as-service, sweat a very expensive asset, makes all the sense in the world. However. TBS what happens.
If EM is stupid-greedy, he will 1) start the service as good value 2) try to squeeze too much juice by compromising on timeliness and or price 3) try to squeeze more $$$ by shoving into people's throats sth they dislike - adverts, shared rides etc 4) people will rebel, say f*ck it I want my own, go back to personal cars.
If EM is smart-greedy, he will do #1, but then instead of falling for the stupid 2-3-4-s, he will do the Amazon thing: zero profit, all growth.
2:25 PM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are plenty of people that will replace their own car, with on-demand 30 sec wait service, that is 99.99% reliable, if one was offered at the right price.
I too get am bit sad seeing the car parked in front of the house 95% of the time, so we can use it when we need it that 5% of time. So car-as-service, sweat a very expensive asset, makes all the sense in the world. However. TBS what happens.
If EM is stupid-greedy, he will 1) start the service as good value 2) try to squeeze too much juice by compromising on timeliness and or price 3) try to squeeze more $$$ by shoving into people's throats sth they dislike - adverts, shared rides etc 4) people will rebel, say f*ck it I want my own, go back to personal cars.
If EM is smart-greedy, he will do #1, but then instead of falling for the stupid 2-3-4-s, he will do the Amazon thing: zero profit, all growth.
2:25 PM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915700944555196458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This GLM-4 local from yesterday looks like it should be able to? Variants are Z = reasoning, Rumination = deep research longer chains more time to do the job.
Given it's equivalent to Deep Research and similar. Goes onto long chains of reasoning, and I would have hoped it's using the Internet, pulls pages from the Internet, maybe used python interpreter? If that is so - then it maybe capable of tools use. Only not sure if one can trigger access directly? Like "fetch this url://blah/blah".
10:34 AM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This GLM-4 local from yesterday looks like it should be able to? Variants are Z = reasoning, Rumination = deep research longer chains more time to do the job.
Given it's equivalent to Deep Research and similar. Goes onto long chains of reasoning, and I would have hoped it's using the Internet, pulls pages from the Internet, maybe used python interpreter? If that is so - then it maybe capable of tools use. Only not sure if one can trigger access directly? Like "fetch this url://blah/blah".
10:34 AM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915692477928947848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK you, but it seems to me I may have some inkling to what you are writing about.
As 19 yo doing obligatory 1 yr national service (as it was then), a fellow recruit, perceptive and mostly honest, (we went along ok,) remarked to me "LJ you suffice to/for yourself alone. You are, you stay, alone."
It struck me, for it had not occurred to me that everyone but myself, had already in the 3-6 months we 20-30 young man were in the barracks or outside on the grounds 24/7, formed cliques 2-3-4 persons strong. They spontaneously created groups structure. I was friendly to all, and all were friendly and well disposed to me - but I didn't belong to any small group. It had not occurred to me I should. I felt no need to either.
Now IRL, whom am I really dependent on, for my physical and emotional welfare and fulfilment?
I need to work, earn $$$ to keep my body supplied with water, food, warmth, shelter. So I need my workplace.
I need to see talk hear, spend time with, be around, my wife and kids. That makes me happy, and conversely not doing it makes me sad. I need to talk to, and see my mum and my sister - mostly remote. (we live in different countries.) I need to write long posts like this to total strangers too. 😂 And read plenty of what they write, for they write so much, about many things that interest me. I'm loving that too. 🥰
But - most of the neighbours, most acquaintances, most distant relatives, most of past and present colleagues we know of our existence through work only, people I meet daily at the counters in the local shops and maybe recognise, online accounts that exist just as a small logo on my screen: we are independent of each other. Either side could disappear in a puff of smoke this second, and we would barely notice.
And imo that's a good thing! True there is loneliness, but there is over socialisation on the other extreme too. So ask yourself: do you really need the "all of you", who might freak out? Probably you don't. For sure you don't seem to want to.
So don't. Don't model ceaselessly, don't care that much about all. Make deliberate choices, what and whom you care about. And for the rest outside the boundary - train yourself to not care.
From time to time take stock - are you happy with your boundary still? Change it where you are not. Change it without waiting where you feel urgency. Remember - your boundary is a rule of thumb. Not nothing, but not set in stone either. Redraw where you see a good reason to. Leave it be don't change it without a good reason.
Many socialisation patterns with us are a leftover from the times when we people needed support from, and approval of, extended family or clan or village, for our wellbeing. It mixed personal and professional.
Now that's bifurcated. We take more than ever, from ever greater number of people we will never know the existance of, on a purely transactional basis. Mostly to maintain our physical wellbeing. And we are closest then ever, to the ever smaller families we got. Mostly for our emotional wellbeing.
Both expanded, at the expense of what can be described as "middling relationships". Groups like associations, clubs, political parties - those kinds of groupings. Their significance to our personal and professional lives imo declined relative to the "closest" and they "furthest" relationships bonds we form. Relatively to say how things were half a century ago. IDK why that is. Just a random observation.
10:00 AM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK you, but it seems to me I may have some inkling to what you are writing about.
As 19 yo doing obligatory 1 yr national service (as it was then), a fellow recruit, perceptive and mostly honest, (we went along ok,) remarked to me "LJ you suffice to/for yourself alone. You are, you stay, alone."
It struck me, for it had not occurred to me that everyone but myself, had already in the 3-6 months we 20-30 young man were in the barracks or outside on the grounds 24/7, formed cliques 2-3-4 persons strong. They spontaneously created groups structure. I was friendly to all, and all were friendly and well disposed to me - but I didn't belong to any small group. It had not occurred to me I should. I felt no need to either.
Now IRL, whom am I really dependent on, for my physical and emotional welfare and fulfilment?
I need to work, earn $$$ to keep my body supplied with water, food, warmth, shelter. So I need my workplace.
I need to see talk hear, spend time with, be around, my wife and kids. That makes me happy, and conversely not doing it makes me sad. I need to talk to, and see my mum and my sister - mostly remote. (we live in different countries.) I need to write long posts like this to total strangers too. 😂 And read plenty of what they write, for they write so much, about many things that interest me. I'm loving that too. 🥰
But - most of the neighbours, most acquaintances, most distant relatives, most of past and present colleagues we know of our existence through work only, people I meet daily at the counters in the local shops and maybe recognise, online accounts that exist just as a small logo on my screen: we are independent of each other. Either side could disappear in a puff of smoke this second, and we would barely notice.
And imo that's a good thing! True there is loneliness, but there is over socialisation on the other extreme too. So ask yourself: do you really need the "all of you", who might freak out? Probably you don't. For sure you don't seem to want to.
So don't. Don't model ceaselessly, don't care that much about all. Make deliberate choices, what and whom you care about. And for the rest outside the boundary - train yourself to not care.
From time to time take stock - are you happy with your boundary still? Change it where you are not. Change it without waiting where you feel urgency. Remember - your boundary is a rule of thumb. Not nothing, but not set in stone either. Redraw where you see a good reason to. Leave it be don't change it without a good reason.
Many socialisation patterns with us are a leftover from the times when we people needed support from, and approval of, extended family or clan or village, for our wellbeing. It mixed personal and professional.
Now that's bifurcated. We take more than ever, from ever greater number of people we will never know the existance of, on a purely transactional basis. Mostly to maintain our physical wellbeing. And we are closest then ever, to the ever smaller families we got. Mostly for our emotional wellbeing.
Both expanded, at the expense of what can be described as "middling relationships". Groups like associations, clubs, political parties - those kinds of groupings. Their significance to our personal and professional lives imo declined relative to the "closest" and they "furthest" relationships bonds we form. Relatively to say how things were half a century ago. IDK why that is. Just a random observation.
10:00 AM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915664157212295631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I heard (on a podcast) off-remark that TikTok is the 1st (and so far only) Social Media platform that has the algofeed driven (to non-trivial %age) based on the data/content, and *not* solely on the metadata. The implication was that is the reason their algofeed is pre-naturally good. Users often feel it almost super-natural in predicting what the user wants. Not used it—but registered for this.
Do you know anything about that? This stuff interests me.
IDK fs but imagine the Twitter format (X and Bsky) might be ripe for disruption. By now I think evidence is clear that using largely meta-data to predict "will user Y want to see post Z, yes/no", simply leads to positive feedback loop of a winner-takes-all type. Small number of creators-writers on one side, many in number readers-consumers on the other. Still old 1:N one way interaction, re-creating the now mostly dead Mass Media MSM setup predating it.
1st Twitter now X algofeed has always been cr*p to me. Not claiming it's worse now—but wd have expected it to get better in 10 yrs. But no—X algofeed is as sh*t as always. Have to battle it left and right, and manually find mostly what I want.
IMO it persists—and fake accounts persistence forever also consequence of this—that it's not all bad news for the platforms. They don't mind creating-differentiating 1K-10K accounts as tier-1 ("content creators"), as then they can influence those small number of accounts (who also maybe $$$ dependent on the platform) whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts (that you have little leverage over, as you don't pay them) in whichever direction is desired by the platform owners.
I'm tired of it, b/c the SNR is low, wastes everyone's time - incl Zucks and Musks - for nothing for near-zero marginal gain. Maybe we get lucky and ByteDance create TextTalk, a "short text quanta of ideas" format social media platform?? 😂
8:08 AM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I heard (on a podcast) off-remark that TikTok is the 1st (and so far only) Social Media platform that has the algofeed driven (to non-trivial %age) based on the data/content, and *not* solely on the metadata. The implication was that is the reason their algofeed is pre-naturally good. Users often feel it almost super-natural in predicting what the user wants. Not used it—but registered for this.
Do you know anything about that? This stuff interests me.
IDK fs but imagine the Twitter format (X and Bsky) might be ripe for disruption. By now I think evidence is clear that using largely meta-data to predict "will user Y want to see post Z, yes/no", simply leads to positive feedback loop of a winner-takes-all type. Small number of creators-writers on one side, many in number readers-consumers on the other. Still old 1:N one way interaction, re-creating the now mostly dead Mass Media MSM setup predating it.
1st Twitter now X algofeed has always been cr*p to me. Not claiming it's worse now—but wd have expected it to get better in 10 yrs. But no—X algofeed is as sh*t as always. Have to battle it left and right, and manually find mostly what I want.
IMO it persists—and fake accounts persistence forever also consequence of this—that it's not all bad news for the platforms. They don't mind creating-differentiating 1K-10K accounts as tier-1 ("content creators"), as then they can influence those small number of accounts (who also maybe $$$ dependent on the platform) whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts (that you have little leverage over, as you don't pay them) in whichever direction is desired by the platform owners.
I'm tired of it, b/c the SNR is low, wastes everyone's time - incl Zucks and Musks - for nothing for near-zero marginal gain. Maybe we get lucky and ByteDance create TextTalk, a "short text quanta of ideas" format social media platform?? 😂
8:08 AM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915660864985629044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik zero rich countries have small state. Small say arbitrary cut-off <10%. Rich countries in the sense they create very complicated gadgets, or provide sophisticated services. Not in a sense of—they dig dirt from the ground and sell it for big $$$.
IDK why that is. Afaik no one does, one only speculates. Maybe something to do with a need of great amount of synchronisation, order and predictability, to facilitate the right fractions of cooperation-vs-competition interactions in every area, among ever increasing number of peoples?? IDK. I much wish I knew more.
7:55 AM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik zero rich countries have small state. Small say arbitrary cut-off <10%. Rich countries in the sense they create very complicated gadgets, or provide sophisticated services. Not in a sense of—they dig dirt from the ground and sell it for big $$$.
IDK why that is. Afaik no one does, one only speculates. Maybe something to do with a need of great amount of synchronisation, order and predictability, to facilitate the right fractions of cooperation-vs-competition interactions in every area, among ever increasing number of peoples?? IDK. I much wish I knew more.
7:55 AM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915656051459850655
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Suffer in silence. 😂 Life is tough for very many people, b/c they can't understand easily the world around them. They are lacking in their h/w, and subsequently s/w. Leaving aside the thunder Q: saw once good documentary on how it is for a person to live while being at the bottom 2.5% percentile by IQ. The bloke was normal, mostly decent. Like one of those "put on a suit that adds 40kg to your weight for 24h, to feel how it is to live as a fat person". Very very instructive! Filling a form was an ordeal. Being asked ordinary questions at a counter in some gov office, induced terrors of fear and panic, for the sheer embarrassment what the person on the other side of the glass, as well as everyone else behind in the queue, will shortly find out about yourself. The guy had a wife. They seemed to mostly love or like and support each other, and get by. (she was somewhat better then him on the IQ %age scale) It was an excellent window into a life different to what most people live.
7:36 AM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Suffer in silence. 😂 Life is tough for very many people, b/c they can't understand easily the world around them. They are lacking in their h/w, and subsequently s/w. Leaving aside the thunder Q: saw once good documentary on how it is for a person to live while being at the bottom 2.5% percentile by IQ. The bloke was normal, mostly decent. Like one of those "put on a suit that adds 40kg to your weight for 24h, to feel how it is to live as a fat person". Very very instructive! Filling a form was an ordeal. Being asked ordinary questions at a counter in some gov office, induced terrors of fear and panic, for the sheer embarrassment what the person on the other side of the glass, as well as everyone else behind in the queue, will shortly find out about yourself. The guy had a wife. They seemed to mostly love or like and support each other, and get by. (she was somewhat better then him on the IQ %age scale) It was an excellent window into a life different to what most people live.
7:36 AM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915653877438853474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
prove now this very moment—impossible. alpha proof at DM will make a big move. (maths.) one big cancer type will be cured.
we will get less than expect short term, more than anticipated medium term.
just this second got glm-4-32b-0414 plus z1/rumination variants run local as I type at 6.68 tps. next gens of us will grow up with them. they will be besties "all watched by machines of lov..."
7:27 AM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
prove now this very moment—impossible. alpha proof at DM will make a big move. (maths.) one big cancer type will be cured.
we will get less than expect short term, more than anticipated medium term.
just this second got glm-4-32b-0414 plus z1/rumination variants run local as I type at 6.68 tps. next gens of us will grow up with them. they will be besties "all watched by machines of lov..."
7:27 AM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915650446091223127
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Ur-Boomer! 😂 MOAR for me, less for everyone else!
7:13 AM · Apr 25, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Ur-Boomer! 😂 MOAR for me, less for everyone else!
7:13 AM · Apr 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915534965007413415
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I good chunk of the ruling class can be replaced by the latest ChatGPT-type reasoning models. The two podcast dudes are not smart enough for the amount of time spent in public talking their mouths off, and they also hallucinate a lot. Not unlike ChatGPT-3.5!
There are existing reasoning models that do better than Alister and Rory. Further. Models can be "frozen" and audited. Models are continuously improved. Models are moral—do not usually lie nor cheat. Politicians' profession of making decisions affecting us all, should be one of the first to be turned over to AI-s.
11:34 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I good chunk of the ruling class can be replaced by the latest ChatGPT-type reasoning models. The two podcast dudes are not smart enough for the amount of time spent in public talking their mouths off, and they also hallucinate a lot. Not unlike ChatGPT-3.5!
There are existing reasoning models that do better than Alister and Rory. Further. Models can be "frozen" and audited. Models are continuously improved. Models are moral—do not usually lie nor cheat. Politicians' profession of making decisions affecting us all, should be one of the first to be turned over to AI-s.
11:34 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915517391884189858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
buy low sell high
10:25 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
buy low sell high
10:25 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915467744251961660
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG - preach more of that please! Earlier-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915375824103936107
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 18h
AI ChatGPT reasoning models make a better decision maker than what we currently have.
The minister on display is ChatGPT-3.5 level: hallucinating and reasoning poorly. There are layers of deceit and misdirection to undo: no there is not a single global gas product or market x.com/SkyNews/status…
Show more
7:07 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG - preach more of that please! Earlier-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915375824103936107
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 18h
AI ChatGPT reasoning models make a better decision maker than what we currently have.
The minister on display is ChatGPT-3.5 level: hallucinating and reasoning poorly. There are layers of deceit and misdirection to undo: no there is not a single global gas product or market x.com/SkyNews/status…
Show more
7:07 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915466949548744903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you were not already overextended with more campaigns ongoing than is humanly possible to pursue, 😆 I'd have said "go for radical transparency campaign". But that is more meta-, not something concrete, so probably don't bother. Still—can't resist trying to put the idea out there in people heads, 😅 so here goes.
All UK gov data and code should be online, on github .gov .uk. For anyone to see and browse to their hearts desire. And randos online may even help manual data checking for silly f*ckups. The kinds of errors that are most difficult to weed out in data!
Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, and or on the public web—as default! And made secret upon specific request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything—no FOI requests needed. Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, (and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution,) with everything public by default secrets will be closed off only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how we get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Because information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unmentioned option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us, their citizens/consumers. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) rebalance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero! Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater numbers of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️ thank you for persevering reading this far, and I hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
7:04 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you were not already overextended with more campaigns ongoing than is humanly possible to pursue, 😆 I'd have said "go for radical transparency campaign". But that is more meta-, not something concrete, so probably don't bother. Still—can't resist trying to put the idea out there in people heads, 😅 so here goes.
All UK gov data and code should be online, on github .gov .uk. For anyone to see and browse to their hearts desire. And randos online may even help manual data checking for silly f*ckups. The kinds of errors that are most difficult to weed out in data!
Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, and or on the public web—as default! And made secret upon specific request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything—no FOI requests needed. Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, (and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution,) with everything public by default secrets will be closed off only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how we get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Because information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unmentioned option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us, their citizens/consumers. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) rebalance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero! Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater numbers of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️ thank you for persevering reading this far, and I hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
7:04 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915458377486131545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe we should put more emphasis on a bias called "laziness". That used to be common knowledge, that as a default, we are lazy. And rightly so! Inactivity status quo, is preferred to activity. As activity imposes certain costs now, only to be maybe offset (and more) by uncertain benefits in the future, yet to be accrued.
So while it's right and proper to have proposals tested, trashed looked for weak points, for signs of wishful thinking etc. It's also true that if one is lazy, as one is by default, one can find plenty of arguments why anything proposed will not work as proposed, will have weak points, or may go badly wrong in million possible ways. It's a narrow sweet spot to thread even at best of times, and with best of intentions tbh.
6:30 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe we should put more emphasis on a bias called "laziness". That used to be common knowledge, that as a default, we are lazy. And rightly so! Inactivity status quo, is preferred to activity. As activity imposes certain costs now, only to be maybe offset (and more) by uncertain benefits in the future, yet to be accrued.
So while it's right and proper to have proposals tested, trashed looked for weak points, for signs of wishful thinking etc. It's also true that if one is lazy, as one is by default, one can find plenty of arguments why anything proposed will not work as proposed, will have weak points, or may go badly wrong in million possible ways. It's a narrow sweet spot to thread even at best of times, and with best of intentions tbh.
6:30 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915428410123309497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We need radical transparency, tbh.
All UK gov data and code should be online, on github .gov .uk. For anyone to see and browse it to their hearts desire. And randos online may even help manual data checking for random f*ckups. The kinds of errors that are most difficult to weed out in data!
Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, on the public web—as default! And made secret by request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything. No FOI requests needed. So rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution, with everything public by default, secrets will be closed off made secret only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how we get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. For—information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unsaid option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) balance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
4:31 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We need radical transparency, tbh.
All UK gov data and code should be online, on github .gov .uk. For anyone to see and browse it to their hearts desire. And randos online may even help manual data checking for random f*ckups. The kinds of errors that are most difficult to weed out in data!
Every one file produced by UK gov departments should be put, as read only, on public cloud drives, on the public web—as default! And made secret by request only. Everyone should just be able to google anything. No FOI requests needed. So rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FOI request, and oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution, with everything public by default, secrets will be closed off made secret only by request.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having heart attacks at the thought of such idea. 😀 Admit I have no idea how we get to that blessed state of affairs. But I think it necessary, on part of the state towards us citizens, and also businesses towards us their consumers. This in order to address and redress the current information imbalance. For—information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unsaid option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) balance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
4:31 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915392232561004722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We need some kind of crypto setup for market of ideas. Where they are not exchanged for $$$ to start with. But are exchanged like-for-like, ideas-for-ideas in the 1st instance. Or ideas for IC - Idea Coin, the currency of the place. Then latter as whole, on an IC currency zone level, then they maybe exchanged for $$$ if one needs $$$ to live maintain functioning body and mind.
For one needs breadth - orders of magnitude more than one came dream up come up with, and also risk sharing - at the time of conception, hard to tell a good from a bad idea apart, that is mostly determined by the future yet to happen. Maybe sth like—my posts are my stuff, I create them I own them, even if everyone is free to copy and share, even only for the process of valuation. Valuation determined by by judgement of others ex-I: everyone ex-I is free to vote with their IC wallets, by buying and selling my post. (or stay indifferent)
It will help intellectuals in another way too: it will ground the ideas in reality. Atm too many are free to propose whatever tickles their fancy, and that (e.g. communism) unchecked by much testing, is put into production by assorted psychopaths and tyrants (Lenin, Stalin) to detriment of all. E.g. would have been much better if CC - Communism Coin - had the initial pop. But then didn't appreciate much in value after the initial pop, and died off in obscurity.
2:07 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We need some kind of crypto setup for market of ideas. Where they are not exchanged for $$$ to start with. But are exchanged like-for-like, ideas-for-ideas in the 1st instance. Or ideas for IC - Idea Coin, the currency of the place. Then latter as whole, on an IC currency zone level, then they maybe exchanged for $$$ if one needs $$$ to live maintain functioning body and mind.
For one needs breadth - orders of magnitude more than one came dream up come up with, and also risk sharing - at the time of conception, hard to tell a good from a bad idea apart, that is mostly determined by the future yet to happen. Maybe sth like—my posts are my stuff, I create them I own them, even if everyone is free to copy and share, even only for the process of valuation. Valuation determined by by judgement of others ex-I: everyone ex-I is free to vote with their IC wallets, by buying and selling my post. (or stay indifferent)
It will help intellectuals in another way too: it will ground the ideas in reality. Atm too many are free to propose whatever tickles their fancy, and that (e.g. communism) unchecked by much testing, is put into production by assorted psychopaths and tyrants (Lenin, Stalin) to detriment of all. E.g. would have been much better if CC - Communism Coin - had the initial pop. But then didn't appreciate much in value after the initial pop, and died off in obscurity.
2:07 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915402043067400261
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man! 😂 Comedy gold. 😂
The "UK ministry of justice buying Porsche cars for Albania" was also rich in comedic value! 😂 Did you see it? Was on recently. (with the Motability or sth?)
The real story (from recollection) was: UK Ministry of Justice tries to offload convicted ALB criminals serving sentences in UK jails, to free prison spaces. For ALB is only obliged to take them back once they served their sentences, and are deported back. But not before. UK - sensibly imo in the circumstance - is financing prison places in ALB ,to move them over earlier. (they can serve the sentence in part in ALB; cheaper) Trying to sweeten the deal so ALB Ministry of Justice bites, UK FCO throws in some car donations. (money well spent imo, considering, comparative) About 30K per car, but has to be an EV, b/c UK green Laws. Plenty of Mercedes ICE choices in ALB, but EV dealers thin on the ground. One more reputable being Porsche Albania! You see where this goes. 😂 Next thing—UK news: "UK Ministry of Justice financing buying Porsches for Albanians!" 😂
(immigrant from that part of the world/MKD not ALB; naturalised UK citizen for decades now; long live and prosper UK)
2:46 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man! 😂 Comedy gold. 😂
The "UK ministry of justice buying Porsche cars for Albania" was also rich in comedic value! 😂 Did you see it? Was on recently. (with the Motability or sth?)
The real story (from recollection) was: UK Ministry of Justice tries to offload convicted ALB criminals serving sentences in UK jails, to free prison spaces. For ALB is only obliged to take them back once they served their sentences, and are deported back. But not before. UK - sensibly imo in the circumstance - is financing prison places in ALB ,to move them over earlier. (they can serve the sentence in part in ALB; cheaper) Trying to sweeten the deal so ALB Ministry of Justice bites, UK FCO throws in some car donations. (money well spent imo, considering, comparative) About 30K per car, but has to be an EV, b/c UK green Laws. Plenty of Mercedes ICE choices in ALB, but EV dealers thin on the ground. One more reputable being Porsche Albania! You see where this goes. 😂 Next thing—UK news: "UK Ministry of Justice financing buying Porsches for Albanians!" 😂
(immigrant from that part of the world/MKD not ALB; naturalised UK citizen for decades now; long live and prosper UK)
2:46 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915377581253124509
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not tried, for I'm too lazy and use LMStudio GUI rather than python command line. Plus have not had the time to try some of the latter—just too much happening, too few hours in the day. But reading the leaked prompts of current models (by the incomparable
@elder_plinius
), how the tools are plugged in, it strikes me that bolting one onto a frontend to a gemma is not out of question. Even if that frontend is a gemma itself too!
1:09 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not tried, for I'm too lazy and use LMStudio GUI rather than python command line. Plus have not had the time to try some of the latter—just too much happening, too few hours in the day. But reading the leaked prompts of current models (by the incomparable
@elder_plinius
), how the tools are plugged in, it strikes me that bolting one onto a frontend to a gemma is not out of question. Even if that frontend is a gemma itself too!
1:09 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915375824103936107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI ChatGPT reasoning models make for a better decision maker than what we currently have.
The minister on display is ChatGPT-3.5 level: hallucinating and reasoning poorly. There are layers of deceit and misdirection to undo: no there is not a single global gas product or market (there are multiples), yes the prices *changes* in response to single events that impact all of them (e.g. Ukraine invasion) are approximately globally equal (but not the price levels themselves), yes tax is on profits of suppliers does not directly touch our bills, but those suppliers do pass their costs (and tax is one cost) onto us the consumers in the final analysis, etc etc.
We can't go on like this. Sophist wordcels, with zero real world expertise outside academia or politics, having climbed and retained greasy poles inside parties, (total snake pits where the most sociopathic only survives then thrives,) very much ignorant of, and disinterested in, things they decide on, (impossible to know what's going in anyone's head, including the minister on display,) with poor morals, affecting lives of millions fellow citizens, with disregard to fellow citizens wellbeing, without much feedback.
Milibands of this world out, AI ChatGPT models in.
Quote
https://x.com/SkyNews/status/1915290778437398696
Sky News @SkyNews · 5h
Sky's @WilfredFrost questions the Energy Secretary Ed Miliband on whether UK gas prices would decrease if the tax rate of 78% on energy companies was lowered by the government.
https://trib.al/kdXA2Dr
📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube
Show more
1:02 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI ChatGPT reasoning models make for a better decision maker than what we currently have.
The minister on display is ChatGPT-3.5 level: hallucinating and reasoning poorly. There are layers of deceit and misdirection to undo: no there is not a single global gas product or market (there are multiples), yes the prices *changes* in response to single events that impact all of them (e.g. Ukraine invasion) are approximately globally equal (but not the price levels themselves), yes tax is on profits of suppliers does not directly touch our bills, but those suppliers do pass their costs (and tax is one cost) onto us the consumers in the final analysis, etc etc.
We can't go on like this. Sophist wordcels, with zero real world expertise outside academia or politics, having climbed and retained greasy poles inside parties, (total snake pits where the most sociopathic only survives then thrives,) very much ignorant of, and disinterested in, things they decide on, (impossible to know what's going in anyone's head, including the minister on display,) with poor morals, affecting lives of millions fellow citizens, with disregard to fellow citizens wellbeing, without much feedback.
Milibands of this world out, AI ChatGPT models in.
Quote
https://x.com/SkyNews/status/1915290778437398696
Sky News @SkyNews · 5h
Sky's @WilfredFrost questions the Energy Secretary Ed Miliband on whether UK gas prices would decrease if the tax rate of 78% on energy companies was lowered by the government.
https://trib.al/kdXA2Dr
📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube
Show more
1:02 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915367211469857004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I imagine you are following the field. But on an off chance you are not, Davis Silver specifically talks about mathematical proofs being an area of interest to them. (currently in research - not in the current Geminis)
After minute 24 in this video interview, or search for AlphaProof
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=zzXyPGEtseI
12:28 PM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I imagine you are following the field. But on an off chance you are not, Davis Silver specifically talks about mathematical proofs being an area of interest to them. (currently in research - not in the current Geminis)
After minute 24 in this video interview, or search for AlphaProof
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=zzXyPGEtseI
12:28 PM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915359549495693425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have researchers, less and worse ones maybe lately but researchers never the less, you have access to Internet, and lately AI Research tools. To air as if Tabula Rasa empty vessel, filled with anything your guest dreams up, and simply re-broadcast - well then: it's the British Telecom we are talking about, not British Broadcasting! Broadcasting among other things is to educate and inform!
11:57 AM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have researchers, less and worse ones maybe lately but researchers never the less, you have access to Internet, and lately AI Research tools. To air as if Tabula Rasa empty vessel, filled with anything your guest dreams up, and simply re-broadcast - well then: it's the British Telecom we are talking about, not British Broadcasting! Broadcasting among other things is to educate and inform!
11:57 AM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915326424111579247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But more companies -> more supply and more competition -> reduced prices, no? And isn't one of the features of any taxation "we will get less of that of what we tax"? (all other things being equal) Agreed it has but become impossible, in n hugely complicated system that energy one has been made in the UK over the past decades, to judge with much certainty what outcome we get, for any lever that is pulled.
9:46 AM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But more companies -> more supply and more competition -> reduced prices, no? And isn't one of the features of any taxation "we will get less of that of what we tax"? (all other things being equal) Agreed it has but become impossible, in n hugely complicated system that energy one has been made in the UK over the past decades, to judge with much certainty what outcome we get, for any lever that is pulled.
9:46 AM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915322751708959192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe tad on the tail end of that, but a lot feels like the usual business of governing a country. We just get to see how the sausage is made, even if not intentionally! 😂 It comes naturally to the current team-Orange-clown. 🤡 When running a circus, the spectators are a big bigly uuge part of the Big Tent. 🤪
Fwiw—I'm all for it! For the lolz, but also b/c I think more state transparency is needed. Insufficient transparency makes any feedback hard, and without feedback it's hard to improve anything.
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unsaid option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) balance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️ thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
9:31 AM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe tad on the tail end of that, but a lot feels like the usual business of governing a country. We just get to see how the sausage is made, even if not intentionally! 😂 It comes naturally to the current team-Orange-clown. 🤡 When running a circus, the spectators are a big bigly uuge part of the Big Tent. 🤪
Fwiw—I'm all for it! For the lolz, but also b/c I think more state transparency is needed. Insufficient transparency makes any feedback hard, and without feedback it's hard to improve anything.
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unsaid option. And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve information (and one hopes power) balance. Every time it's actually measured, how much value we put on our privacy, when we have to weight privacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite forever saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it. The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interaction between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Dear reader, ☺️ thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
9:31 AM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915319026516988095
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given our bills have gone only one way - up! - for 10-20 yrs now, your credibility with the public will be ever decreasing in anything you say. The only way to make me take stock of your proposals, would be to make personal $$$ bets and put your own $$$ where your words are.
9:16 AM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given our bills have gone only one way - up! - for 10-20 yrs now, your credibility with the public will be ever decreasing in anything you say. The only way to make me take stock of your proposals, would be to make personal $$$ bets and put your own $$$ where your words are.
9:16 AM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915307180250501535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not the enemy—but their incompetence is making lives of millions miserly. DOGE is a reaction to a huge FAIL of the state capacity. There is no point in preserving of much that DOGE is cutting. That has already died, has been dead for some time. DOGE are like I cutting dead branches in the garden.
State capacity sure has a role! A role to organise and marshal resources on gargantuan scales. To take gargantuan risks! That no other organisation in society can afford to take on, and live to see the end of those risks, the ultimate payoffs. (or survive the fails.) For that, it is the State that is the ultimate resource.
There are no rich countries with small states. There are no peoples that to better their lives, don't organise as a State first and foremost. I come from a startup Nation, and a startup State. And a startup literary language too! All these things go together. All are technologies where large groups of people come together to better their lives.
And no one should begrudge them that after spending decades, even centuries in the wilderness, if they find a path through their valleys of tears, to their promised lands. As long as all that is towards building lands of milk and honey. (or even "life, liberty and pursuit of happiness") And not murdering other peoples like yours, next to you.
(for something to exists, as a separate entity from it's environments, needs a separator, a separation, and that is provided by force, by violence; State monopoly on violence, external and internal, is the technology humanity has discovered over time)
Yes, "Your Country is not a Business" is a good reading now as ever. Musk will fail not because his instincts are wrong—but because building a State requires institutions, not cults. He knows of using the strength and cult of personality, and that is all fine and good. But that suffices and works in small high-performant self-motivated narrow-aim organisations. That will not work for State capacity. Expect Musk to be out sooner rather than latter, and what little dent was made towards change, will be undone within weeks.
Yours "more State always and forever" has FAIL mode ofc. Argentina was that. There what Milei does is obviously going to change things for the better for time being. I grew up in a late-socialism country, that on paper you being similarly ideological would have liked. But in real life would have hated it. For nothing worked, for nothing could be done, for the simple reason that everything was forbidden. A country decided to freeze any efforts of its citizens towards betterment of their own lives.
Subsequently when a reformer unfroze it, just let the natural energies and talents of the citizenry flow, life improved magnitudes and in very short time. Seemingly without special knowledge and super-human effort. Just millions of tiny ants, doing millions of tiny tasks, that need doing for ages. Previously the ants were forbidden to do them. And now the ants were free to do them on their own. That was it.
More humility is in order considering the scales and the consequences of State failures. Especially on ideas coming from intellectuals, which of course you are in part. Do you never read e.g. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals, and think "hm, there is empirical evidence that he may have a point?" Did the fact that big state socialism crash and burn everywhere in your own lifetime somehow got erased from your memory? Or "Big Green Tech" idea both hitting problems with the tech, and not delivering the jobs. I'm baffled by the ego at work here tbh.
8:29 AM · Apr 24, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not the enemy—but their incompetence is making lives of millions miserly. DOGE is a reaction to a huge FAIL of the state capacity. There is no point in preserving of much that DOGE is cutting. That has already died, has been dead for some time. DOGE are like I cutting dead branches in the garden.
State capacity sure has a role! A role to organise and marshal resources on gargantuan scales. To take gargantuan risks! That no other organisation in society can afford to take on, and live to see the end of those risks, the ultimate payoffs. (or survive the fails.) For that, it is the State that is the ultimate resource.
There are no rich countries with small states. There are no peoples that to better their lives, don't organise as a State first and foremost. I come from a startup Nation, and a startup State. And a startup literary language too! All these things go together. All are technologies where large groups of people come together to better their lives.
And no one should begrudge them that after spending decades, even centuries in the wilderness, if they find a path through their valleys of tears, to their promised lands. As long as all that is towards building lands of milk and honey. (or even "life, liberty and pursuit of happiness") And not murdering other peoples like yours, next to you.
(for something to exists, as a separate entity from it's environments, needs a separator, a separation, and that is provided by force, by violence; State monopoly on violence, external and internal, is the technology humanity has discovered over time)
Yes, "Your Country is not a Business" is a good reading now as ever. Musk will fail not because his instincts are wrong—but because building a State requires institutions, not cults. He knows of using the strength and cult of personality, and that is all fine and good. But that suffices and works in small high-performant self-motivated narrow-aim organisations. That will not work for State capacity. Expect Musk to be out sooner rather than latter, and what little dent was made towards change, will be undone within weeks.
Yours "more State always and forever" has FAIL mode ofc. Argentina was that. There what Milei does is obviously going to change things for the better for time being. I grew up in a late-socialism country, that on paper you being similarly ideological would have liked. But in real life would have hated it. For nothing worked, for nothing could be done, for the simple reason that everything was forbidden. A country decided to freeze any efforts of its citizens towards betterment of their own lives.
Subsequently when a reformer unfroze it, just let the natural energies and talents of the citizenry flow, life improved magnitudes and in very short time. Seemingly without special knowledge and super-human effort. Just millions of tiny ants, doing millions of tiny tasks, that need doing for ages. Previously the ants were forbidden to do them. And now the ants were free to do them on their own. That was it.
More humility is in order considering the scales and the consequences of State failures. Especially on ideas coming from intellectuals, which of course you are in part. Do you never read e.g. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals, and think "hm, there is empirical evidence that he may have a point?" Did the fact that big state socialism crash and burn everywhere in your own lifetime somehow got erased from your memory? Or "Big Green Tech" idea both hitting problems with the tech, and not delivering the jobs. I'm baffled by the ego at work here tbh.
8:29 AM · Apr 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915171673772355908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I swear to God you Americans are sometimes like Donald Duck’s three nephews when it comes to the evil means of the big bad world. 😂 All other countries basically all the rest of the world is less free—so at other times I cut you some slack.
Reminded me of this .@michaelmalice interview YT algo serendipitly discovered for me about the Soviet Union
https://youtu.be/3cVr2Qp_ic8?si=ewiW7HiKGnA805iG
Even a well prepared enthusiastic interviewer kept missing the last step or two of some ingeniously devised totally evil torture scheme. MM had to interject more than once to explain the coup de grâce. ("ah, but you see, not only was immense pain inflicted this way, but additional suffering followed-up that way")
11:31 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I swear to God you Americans are sometimes like Donald Duck’s three nephews when it comes to the evil means of the big bad world. 😂 All other countries basically all the rest of the world is less free—so at other times I cut you some slack.
Reminded me of this .@michaelmalice interview YT algo serendipitly discovered for me about the Soviet Union
https://youtu.be/3cVr2Qp_ic8?si=ewiW7HiKGnA805iG
Even a well prepared enthusiastic interviewer kept missing the last step or two of some ingeniously devised totally evil torture scheme. MM had to interject more than once to explain the coup de grâce. ("ah, but you see, not only was immense pain inflicted this way, but additional suffering followed-up that way")
11:31 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915163400746700916
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah! Glad to read the freak show is not over!
Earlier today read some fakenewsers and thought it over earlier than expected.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914590038777643230
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 22
Whatt?? Nooo—too soon!! 😭
What happened to the "entertainment guaranteed, even if success in doubt" musk of yesteryear?? Expected more entertainment! 😢 I get it, I expected it, just—was hoping for a longer run of the show tbh.
Moar entertainment for us plebs rn Muskarat!! Don't x.com/Independent/st…
Show more
10:58 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah! Glad to read the freak show is not over!
Earlier today read some fakenewsers and thought it over earlier than expected.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914590038777643230
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 22
Whatt?? Nooo—too soon!! 😭
What happened to the "entertainment guaranteed, even if success in doubt" musk of yesteryear?? Expected more entertainment! 😢 I get it, I expected it, just—was hoping for a longer run of the show tbh.
Moar entertainment for us plebs rn Muskarat!! Don't x.com/Independent/st…
Show more
10:58 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915161944220148045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Normies hating on you—what else? (alt: re-read CPSnow Two Cultures?)
Humans we care not about true/false. All goes through "friend or foe", "likes me/not" etc filters. Our evil monke survival analytical engines whirring in the background, never ever stopping.
Other humans sense you are not quite "one of us". Even if they can't clearly articulate what/how/why. Their pattern matching engines ID-s you by feelings and vibes.
Like the T-800—relentlessly pattern matching, never stopping.
10:52 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Normies hating on you—what else? (alt: re-read CPSnow Two Cultures?)
Humans we care not about true/false. All goes through "friend or foe", "likes me/not" etc filters. Our evil monke survival analytical engines whirring in the background, never ever stopping.
Other humans sense you are not quite "one of us". Even if they can't clearly articulate what/how/why. Their pattern matching engines ID-s you by feelings and vibes.
Like the T-800—relentlessly pattern matching, never stopping.
10:52 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915159493463466189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 on Mute and Block, makes X life much better. Now with Block being one-way read-only, don't bother with Mute anymore.
Checked TokTok now. While it's all fun all that brain rot, 😂 it's all passive consume only. Doubt it's for me. Maybe if they do TextTalk Twitter clone.
10:42 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 on Mute and Block, makes X life much better. Now with Block being one-way read-only, don't bother with Mute anymore.
Checked TokTok now. While it's all fun all that brain rot, 😂 it's all passive consume only. Doubt it's for me. Maybe if they do TextTalk Twitter clone.
10:42 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915150262014034117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man—preach more! Music to my ears, balm to my soul. 😇
The number of times I've had to byte my tongue when an English friend opines on ID-cards! I'm Johnny foreigner now naturalised Brit for some decades. And IK enough that it will be only counter-productive if I get too opinionated and wordy about their - frankly - naive musings.
What you wrote above is immensely important. I think many in the UK feel it at some level, but few can articulate clearly why and how. Top marks 👍 for writing the above! 👏
From time to time I post anti-national-ID scribblings, latest-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909917211902333192
...but more linked. I get the impression normies mostly get embarrassed (why??) and just shutdown their thinking faculties.
With Blair still with us and as enthusiastic about them as ever (The world of TB: no problem exists that a national-ID card does not solve), this flares from time to time so I pipe up. The strongest hope I got tbh is that public inertia and gov incompetence will save us from making the mistake of introducing national ID cards. Rather than some superior public discussion and decision making process.
10:06 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man—preach more! Music to my ears, balm to my soul. 😇
The number of times I've had to byte my tongue when an English friend opines on ID-cards! I'm Johnny foreigner now naturalised Brit for some decades. And IK enough that it will be only counter-productive if I get too opinionated and wordy about their - frankly - naive musings.
What you wrote above is immensely important. I think many in the UK feel it at some level, but few can articulate clearly why and how. Top marks 👍 for writing the above! 👏
From time to time I post anti-national-ID scribblings, latest-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909917211902333192
...but more linked. I get the impression normies mostly get embarrassed (why??) and just shutdown their thinking faculties.
With Blair still with us and as enthusiastic about them as ever (The world of TB: no problem exists that a national-ID card does not solve), this flares from time to time so I pipe up. The strongest hope I got tbh is that public inertia and gov incompetence will save us from making the mistake of introducing national ID cards. Rather than some superior public discussion and decision making process.
10:06 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915145282641342485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wanted to try Gemini for its longer context.
Architect mode - for that I use aider, it has separate architect and writer roles. For DeepSeek it's
aider-deepseek-best() { local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model deepseek/deepseek-reasoner --editor-model deepseek/deepseek-chat; }
I believe atm reasoner points R1, and chat points V3. One can select the versions explicitly too. But then e.g. once R2 is released, I presume reasoner will be re-pointed to R2, while if I select by explicit name, I have to change the scripts.
You can see (performance,price) and setups here
https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/
So OpenAI top in performance and price. Then for a bit less performance, Gemini is 1/10-th the price. Then a little less performance again , and one gets DeepSeek for 1/2 or 1/3 of Gemini price.
I try them all from time to time, esp on a new module or project. I have not got a good reason to keep trying. I just love this stuff. Brings a smile to my face, ngl. 😇
9:46 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wanted to try Gemini for its longer context.
Architect mode - for that I use aider, it has separate architect and writer roles. For DeepSeek it's
aider-deepseek-best() { local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model deepseek/deepseek-reasoner --editor-model deepseek/deepseek-chat; }
I believe atm reasoner points R1, and chat points V3. One can select the versions explicitly too. But then e.g. once R2 is released, I presume reasoner will be re-pointed to R2, while if I select by explicit name, I have to change the scripts.
You can see (performance,price) and setups here
https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/
So OpenAI top in performance and price. Then for a bit less performance, Gemini is 1/10-th the price. Then a little less performance again , and one gets DeepSeek for 1/2 or 1/3 of Gemini price.
I try them all from time to time, esp on a new module or project. I have not got a good reason to keep trying. I just love this stuff. Brings a smile to my face, ngl. 😇
9:46 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915141383272251497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - and I thought I had it bad with me writing into the void. 😂 After reading of your predicament - I think myself lucky! No replies better than aggravating braindead replies, fs! ngl 😇
I heard (on a podcast) off-remark that TikTok is the 1st (and so far only) Social Media platform that has the algofeed driven (to non-trivial %age) based on the data/content, and *not* solely on the metadata. The implication was that is the reason their algofeed is prenaturally good. Users often feel it almost super-natural in predicting what the user wants. Not used it—but heading off to register after I post this.
1st Twitter now X algofeed has been cr*p to me, always. Not claiming it much worse now. But wd have expected it to get better in 10 yrs?? But no—X algofeed is as sh*t as always. Have to battle it left and right to manually find what I want. I rarely see anything you post.
IDK fs but imagine the Twitter format (X and Bsky) might be ripe for disruption. By now I think it's clear using largely meta-data to predict "will user Y want to see post Z, yes/no", simply leads to positive feedback loop of a winner-takes-all type. Small number of creators-writers on one side, many in number readers-consumers on the other. The old v1 Social Media, harking back to the Mass Media MSM setup predating it.
That's not all bad news for the platforms. (they think) They don't mind creating differentiating 1K-10K accounts as tier-1 ("content creators"), as that they can then influence whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts in the direction desired by the platform owners. Incentives incentives.
I'm personally tired of it, b/c SNR is low. It's a waste of everyone's time, incl Zucks and Musks, and for zero marginal gain. TikTok showed that. Maybe we get lucky and ByteDance create TextTalk, a Twitter format social media platform. 😂
9:31 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - and I thought I had it bad with me writing into the void. 😂 After reading of your predicament - I think myself lucky! No replies better than aggravating braindead replies, fs! ngl 😇
I heard (on a podcast) off-remark that TikTok is the 1st (and so far only) Social Media platform that has the algofeed driven (to non-trivial %age) based on the data/content, and *not* solely on the metadata. The implication was that is the reason their algofeed is prenaturally good. Users often feel it almost super-natural in predicting what the user wants. Not used it—but heading off to register after I post this.
1st Twitter now X algofeed has been cr*p to me, always. Not claiming it much worse now. But wd have expected it to get better in 10 yrs?? But no—X algofeed is as sh*t as always. Have to battle it left and right to manually find what I want. I rarely see anything you post.
IDK fs but imagine the Twitter format (X and Bsky) might be ripe for disruption. By now I think it's clear using largely meta-data to predict "will user Y want to see post Z, yes/no", simply leads to positive feedback loop of a winner-takes-all type. Small number of creators-writers on one side, many in number readers-consumers on the other. The old v1 Social Media, harking back to the Mass Media MSM setup predating it.
That's not all bad news for the platforms. (they think) They don't mind creating differentiating 1K-10K accounts as tier-1 ("content creators"), as that they can then influence whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts in the direction desired by the platform owners. Incentives incentives.
I'm personally tired of it, b/c SNR is low. It's a waste of everyone's time, incl Zucks and Musks, and for zero marginal gain. TikTok showed that. Maybe we get lucky and ByteDance create TextTalk, a Twitter format social media platform. 😂
9:31 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915132189940871328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The proof of the pudding is in the eating. Bring down electricity prices for consumers and businesses. Your lot are going to be chucked out of gov by PM Farage leading the REFCON block. Everything you built will crash and be crushed. Looking at the polls current direction of travel.
You've got 2-3yrs to get the prices down. Not down by 10% or sth inconsequtial, but to at least halve the retail electricity price. What thick thick skulls you greenies got. God only knows how Suneil deals with you dunderheaded cretins.
8:54 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The proof of the pudding is in the eating. Bring down electricity prices for consumers and businesses. Your lot are going to be chucked out of gov by PM Farage leading the REFCON block. Everything you built will crash and be crushed. Looking at the polls current direction of travel.
You've got 2-3yrs to get the prices down. Not down by 10% or sth inconsequtial, but to at least halve the retail electricity price. What thick thick skulls you greenies got. God only knows how Suneil deals with you dunderheaded cretins.
8:54 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915124419195789782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh dearie oh dearie.
If they were capable of such feat, they would have done it already. 10 times over
Heck. They would not be in the position they find themselves rn, if they were capable of that.
Not unlike the many predicaments that did it for the Dems previously
8:23 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh dearie oh dearie.
If they were capable of such feat, they would have done it already. 10 times over
Heck. They would not be in the position they find themselves rn, if they were capable of that.
Not unlike the many predicaments that did it for the Dems previously
8:23 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915111004783943894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OpenAI and Google from that list, and DeepSeek too. Plus toying with smaller open weights models (qwq, qwen, gemma) locally.
7:30 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OpenAI and Google from that list, and DeepSeek too. Plus toying with smaller open weights models (qwq, qwen, gemma) locally.
7:30 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915110359842591143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Switching from DeepSeek (both architect reasoner and code writer) to Geminis caused total rewrite of a 300 lines python script. 😂 (trainer fitter) Not one line survived. And buts of the architecture like type of locking and lock mgmt somewhat changed too! 😂 much fun ngl
7:27 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Switching from DeepSeek (both architect reasoner and code writer) to Geminis caused total rewrite of a 300 lines python script. 😂 (trainer fitter) Not one line survived. And buts of the architecture like type of locking and lock mgmt somewhat changed too! 😂 much fun ngl
7:27 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915105335460643260
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
governing should be the first job to be replaced by AGI ngl
7:07 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
governing should be the first job to be replaced by AGI ngl
7:07 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915093235279757810
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Double what I expected. I believed "the lizardman's constant" was about 4%-5% until now. Big news ngl 😂
6:19 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Double what I expected. I believed "the lizardman's constant" was about 4%-5% until now. Big news ngl 😂
6:19 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915072879252717936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. But given UK gov refusal to change the scheme, I suspect UK gov has some advice somewhere to prevent change. Something like "risk of blackouts, expected XX dead". I don't see how removing the marginal pricing impacts any unreliables. Afaik unreliables prices are almost all fixed in advance contracts.
Would dearly like to know. So from time to time I spam whoever is in the vicinity RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW spam 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914988714918400043
Energy security is my favourite guess—but also only one, got not better one.
I notice that every winter, we nudge the margin of slack ever lower. One of these winters when the stars align bad (=enough faults happen at the same time, by random chance) we will get to catastrophic nation-wide blackout. Of the type when UK has to resort to the Dinorwig to bootstrap its National Grid back online from a total power-off. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout.
4:58 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. But given UK gov refusal to change the scheme, I suspect UK gov has some advice somewhere to prevent change. Something like "risk of blackouts, expected XX dead". I don't see how removing the marginal pricing impacts any unreliables. Afaik unreliables prices are almost all fixed in advance contracts.
Would dearly like to know. So from time to time I spam whoever is in the vicinity RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW spam 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914988714918400043
Energy security is my favourite guess—but also only one, got not better one.
I notice that every winter, we nudge the margin of slack ever lower. One of these winters when the stars align bad (=enough faults happen at the same time, by random chance) we will get to catastrophic nation-wide blackout. Of the type when UK has to resort to the Dinorwig to bootstrap its National Grid back online from a total power-off. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout.
4:58 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915061682885300255
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have the X previously Twitter notification enabled at the user account level. But phone, app, browser etc notifications are disabled of course. When I check X either via Web browser or App, I see the blue badge with number of notifications on the bell 🔔 icon on the interface. (bottom of the page in the Web browser) If I feel like it, I check to see what they are about. (if the number looks high.) If I don't feel like it, or I see small numbers 2-3 on the badge - then I don't bother checking. They will be in the Notifications web page next time I check my feed too. No rush, nothing on X is urgent tbh.
4:14 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have the X previously Twitter notification enabled at the user account level. But phone, app, browser etc notifications are disabled of course. When I check X either via Web browser or App, I see the blue badge with number of notifications on the bell 🔔 icon on the interface. (bottom of the page in the Web browser) If I feel like it, I check to see what they are about. (if the number looks high.) If I don't feel like it, or I see small numbers 2-3 on the badge - then I don't bother checking. They will be in the Notifications web page next time I check my feed too. No rush, nothing on X is urgent tbh.
4:14 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915022833295544630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many have noticed that we are ruled more by algorithms, than humans like the plebs we are, already. 😂 SirKS feels to me an algorithm in action, embodied in a human body. And I don't begrudge SirKS anything - he's done well, his algo-politico algorithm worked well! SirKS occupies one of the top offices in the land.
As one takes stock of things on St Georges day, looks to the past, then turns the gaze to the future, we try to diving things. For all its excellent qualities my adopted country possesses - and these are many!! ngl-UK is top top place to be in, and long may it continue and prosper - can't help but notice certain problems with the political system. The people we select then elect for high office, have come short of expectations in the recent years.
AI ChatGPT to the rescue then!
Am not entirely unserious there. Would AI be more truthful than SirKS? Almost certainly. Would AI do more work? Sure - just deploy to 10000 servers in data centers across this green and pleasant land, and let them run!
AI should successfully replicate what we got now. We lose nothing! The AI-(SirKS) prompt (objective function) might be: "Strive for zero or at least minimal risk. You desire to do nothing, you will not change anything. Risk is the only axis left to you to optimise on-strive for zero risk at all times". If things fall short of expectation, we can always go back to the old/current "algopolitico in a human body" system.
AI advantage is that it can be frozen in time, interrogated, and made as transparent as we wish. On this issue, AI could tell us: "I don't care much wither way. I have not got a strong opinion on this. As is my default stance in cases like this, I would like to make the least number of people the least unhappy, with any decision I make. I will make a decision only if forced to make one by events thrust onto me." Sounds much better to me, than the usual hare-brained word salad we have come to expect from a bog standard human SirKS and clones.
(RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards us UK citizens is another campaign dear to my heart.)
I get it people worry about "AI existential risk". Yeah there is some-but there is plenty of risk now, existential too, with humans! Who do we think will sooner start thermo-nuclear war: Trump-Putin, or ChatGPT??
Quote
Politics UK @PolitlcsUK · Apr 22
🚨🎥 WATCH: Keir Starmer says "a woman is an adult female" following the Supreme Court ruling last week
Rate proposed Community Notes
1:39 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many have noticed that we are ruled more by algorithms, than humans like the plebs we are, already. 😂 SirKS feels to me an algorithm in action, embodied in a human body. And I don't begrudge SirKS anything - he's done well, his algo-politico algorithm worked well! SirKS occupies one of the top offices in the land.
As one takes stock of things on St Georges day, looks to the past, then turns the gaze to the future, we try to diving things. For all its excellent qualities my adopted country possesses - and these are many!! ngl-UK is top top place to be in, and long may it continue and prosper - can't help but notice certain problems with the political system. The people we select then elect for high office, have come short of expectations in the recent years.
AI ChatGPT to the rescue then!
Am not entirely unserious there. Would AI be more truthful than SirKS? Almost certainly. Would AI do more work? Sure - just deploy to 10000 servers in data centers across this green and pleasant land, and let them run!
AI should successfully replicate what we got now. We lose nothing! The AI-(SirKS) prompt (objective function) might be: "Strive for zero or at least minimal risk. You desire to do nothing, you will not change anything. Risk is the only axis left to you to optimise on-strive for zero risk at all times". If things fall short of expectation, we can always go back to the old/current "algopolitico in a human body" system.
AI advantage is that it can be frozen in time, interrogated, and made as transparent as we wish. On this issue, AI could tell us: "I don't care much wither way. I have not got a strong opinion on this. As is my default stance in cases like this, I would like to make the least number of people the least unhappy, with any decision I make. I will make a decision only if forced to make one by events thrust onto me." Sounds much better to me, than the usual hare-brained word salad we have come to expect from a bog standard human SirKS and clones.
(RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards us UK citizens is another campaign dear to my heart.)
I get it people worry about "AI existential risk". Yeah there is some-but there is plenty of risk now, existential too, with humans! Who do we think will sooner start thermo-nuclear war: Trump-Putin, or ChatGPT??
Quote
Politics UK @PolitlcsUK · Apr 22
🚨🎥 WATCH: Keir Starmer says "a woman is an adult female" following the Supreme Court ruling last week
Rate proposed Community Notes
1:39 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915017833945145643
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
a software update applied, is an improvement on no software update tbh 😂 but yeah as appropriate t osay for StG day "not ideal"
1:20 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
a software update applied, is an improvement on no software update tbh 😂 but yeah as appropriate t osay for StG day "not ideal"
1:20 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915007546437386582
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI ChatGPT to the rescue!
Am not entirely unserious there. Would AI be more truthful than SirKS? Almost certainly. Would AI do more work? Sure-just deploy to 10000 servers, and let it run.
AI should successfully replicate what we got now! So we lose nothing. The AI-(SirKS) prompt (objective function): "Strive for zero or at least minimal risk. You desire to do nothing, you will not change anything. Risk is the only axis left to you to optimise on-strive for zero risk at all times".
AI advantage is that it can be frozen in time, interrogated, and made as transparent as we wish. On this issue, AI could tell us: "I don't care much wither way. I have not got a strong opinion on this. As is my default stance in cases like this, I would like to make the least number of people the least unhappy, with any decision I make. I will make a decision only if forced to make one by events thrust onto me." Sounds much better to me, than the usual hare-brained word salad we have come to expect from a bog standard human SirKS and his clones.
I get it people worry about "AI existential risk". Yeah there is some-but there is plenty of risk now, existential too, with humans! Who do we think will sooner start thermo-nuclear war: Trump-Putin, or ChatGPT??
12:39 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI ChatGPT to the rescue!
Am not entirely unserious there. Would AI be more truthful than SirKS? Almost certainly. Would AI do more work? Sure-just deploy to 10000 servers, and let it run.
AI should successfully replicate what we got now! So we lose nothing. The AI-(SirKS) prompt (objective function): "Strive for zero or at least minimal risk. You desire to do nothing, you will not change anything. Risk is the only axis left to you to optimise on-strive for zero risk at all times".
AI advantage is that it can be frozen in time, interrogated, and made as transparent as we wish. On this issue, AI could tell us: "I don't care much wither way. I have not got a strong opinion on this. As is my default stance in cases like this, I would like to make the least number of people the least unhappy, with any decision I make. I will make a decision only if forced to make one by events thrust onto me." Sounds much better to me, than the usual hare-brained word salad we have come to expect from a bog standard human SirKS and his clones.
I get it people worry about "AI existential risk". Yeah there is some-but there is plenty of risk now, existential too, with humans! Who do we think will sooner start thermo-nuclear war: Trump-Putin, or ChatGPT??
12:39 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1915002570390503829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's futile to complain as is per the incentives.
Incentives that come from the state of the algofeed technology I imagine. Where I suspect it's 100% meta-data driven, and 0% data-content driven.
I heard (on a podcast) off-remark that TikTok is the 1st (and so far only) Social Media platform that has the algofeed driven (to non-trivial %age) based on the data/content, and *not* solely on the meta-data. The implication was that is the reason their algofeed is so so good. Almost super-natural in predicting what the user wants.
IDK but imagine the Twitter format (X and Bsky) is ripe for disruption. The algofeed has been cr*p for me always. Not claiming it's much worse now. Wd have expected to get better in 10yrs? But no-X algofeed is sh*t for me, as always. Have to battle it left and right to find what I want. Most of the time ton of manual work.
12:19 PM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's futile to complain as is per the incentives.
Incentives that come from the state of the algofeed technology I imagine. Where I suspect it's 100% meta-data driven, and 0% data-content driven.
I heard (on a podcast) off-remark that TikTok is the 1st (and so far only) Social Media platform that has the algofeed driven (to non-trivial %age) based on the data/content, and *not* solely on the meta-data. The implication was that is the reason their algofeed is so so good. Almost super-natural in predicting what the user wants.
IDK but imagine the Twitter format (X and Bsky) is ripe for disruption. The algofeed has been cr*p for me always. Not claiming it's much worse now. Wd have expected to get better in 10yrs? But no-X algofeed is sh*t for me, as always. Have to battle it left and right to find what I want. Most of the time ton of manual work.
12:19 PM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914988714918400043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good—great! Would you consider advocating for RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards the Great British public?
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unsaid option! And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve information (and we hope power) balance! Every time it's actually measured, how much value ourselves put on our privacy, when we have to weight our privacy, against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it! The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interactiona between ever greater number of people!
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
11:24 AM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good—great! Would you consider advocating for RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards the Great British public?
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists another, often unsaid option! And that option is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve information (and we hope power) balance! Every time it's actually measured, how much value ourselves put on our privacy, when we have to weight our privacy, against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to zero. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it! The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition balance of the interactiona between ever greater number of people!
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
11:24 AM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914984480630047040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos!—you are doing gods work. You could do more with the position you occupy.
Advocate for RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards the Great British public.
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists other, often unsaid option! And that is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve balance! Every time it's actually measured, how much value ourselves put on our privacy, when we have to weight orivacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to 0. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it! The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition interaction, and between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
11:07 AM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos!—you are doing gods work. You could do more with the position you occupy.
Advocate for RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards the Great British public.
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But.
There exists other, often unsaid option! And that is for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards us. That will also achieve balance! Every time it's actually measured, how much value ourselves put on our privacy, when we have to weight orivacy against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to 0. Revealed preference is that we put the value of our privacy close to zero, despite saying otherwise.
So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic. Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it! The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation-competition interaction, and between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. Thank you for reading thus far, hope this makes sense to you.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
11:07 AM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914979142702899338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Go further please. Advocate for RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards the Great British public.
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But. The other, often unsaid option is, for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards me. That will also achieve balance!
Every time it's actually measured, how much value people put on their privacy, when they have to weigh against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to 0. So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic! Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it! The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation/competition interaction, between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
10:46 AM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Go further please. Advocate for RADICAL TRANSPARENCY of UK gov towards the Great British public.
I advocate for radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers. In order to address and redress the current information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power.
The conventional opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But. The other, often unsaid option is, for state/business to open up, to increase their "information surface" towards me. That will also achieve balance!
Every time it's actually measured, how much value people put on their privacy, when they have to weigh against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to 0. So the option of state/business revealing more data to us citizens/consumers, is actually more realistic! Yes there is extra work on part of state/business to open their data to us. But it's worth it! The more advanced the society, the more synchronisation it needs to achieve the right cooperation/competition interaction, between ever greater number of people.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future.
RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW
10:46 AM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914364573987045770
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik that's not entirely possible. I have the following mental model of SocMed algofeeds. I can expect any one post I write to be shown to max 1/10-th of my followers, in the best case. How and why? The simplest possible example I can think of is this.
I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts per day. I login to X, X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts that X will show me in one day. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown. And so there will be 4500 posts, from people I follow on any one day, to **not** be shown.
X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. So any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. IRL the algofeed will be vastly more complicated. The algofeed is the core of the social media company.
Unlike the sketch above, the algofeed is non-random. It mostly uses metadata to tilt that 0.1 probability. Algofeed tilts towards factors like timeliness/age "how much time elapsed since a post got posted", engagement measures like how many in number {Like, Forward, Quote, Reply} interactions it got, probably all decayed by time with some half-life.
Afaik no actual data about the quality, the content, of the post is ever used. Only metadata. This is pure speculation on my part. I have no insider knowledge. I have not worked in a social media company ever. Just thinking aloud and considering rules of thumb and first principles.
For me personally posting. Usually I only have the "View"-s for a post to see as a feedback. I don't even know if it was shown to the user whose message I reply to! (@perrymetzger in this instance) It's entirely up to X algofeed, if/when it shows it to the OP, or not at all. If a post gets zero engagement (a "Like" at a minimum) after 30-50 Views, it's subsequently dropped. (never pushed any more to anyone's screen.)
One would need to go to my home page on X, then search for a post intentionally. E.g. like so
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live
It's possible that my idea of how things work is entirely faulty. Allow for that pls. I'm no social media star-can hardly give advice to anyone! 😆
6:04 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik that's not entirely possible. I have the following mental model of SocMed algofeeds. I can expect any one post I write to be shown to max 1/10-th of my followers, in the best case. How and why? The simplest possible example I can think of is this.
I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts per day. I login to X, X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts that X will show me in one day. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown. And so there will be 4500 posts, from people I follow on any one day, to **not** be shown.
X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. So any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. IRL the algofeed will be vastly more complicated. The algofeed is the core of the social media company.
Unlike the sketch above, the algofeed is non-random. It mostly uses metadata to tilt that 0.1 probability. Algofeed tilts towards factors like timeliness/age "how much time elapsed since a post got posted", engagement measures like how many in number {Like, Forward, Quote, Reply} interactions it got, probably all decayed by time with some half-life.
Afaik no actual data about the quality, the content, of the post is ever used. Only metadata. This is pure speculation on my part. I have no insider knowledge. I have not worked in a social media company ever. Just thinking aloud and considering rules of thumb and first principles.
For me personally posting. Usually I only have the "View"-s for a post to see as a feedback. I don't even know if it was shown to the user whose message I reply to! (@perrymetzger in this instance) It's entirely up to X algofeed, if/when it shows it to the OP, or not at all. If a post gets zero engagement (a "Like" at a minimum) after 30-50 Views, it's subsequently dropped. (never pushed any more to anyone's screen.)
One would need to go to my home page on X, then search for a post intentionally. E.g. like so
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live
It's possible that my idea of how things work is entirely faulty. Allow for that pls. I'm no social media star-can hardly give advice to anyone! 😆
6:04 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914360619668549658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one cares. Stopped listening to any JRE many moons ago. There are plenty better out there. It's easy. We live in un-imaginable data abundance times. ☺️
Joe became too big for the kind of low level work that matters. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. I guess that happens with many Millions of listeners lending you their ears. No need to kill oneself with effort.
For myself-there's plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see. YT channels are full of UKR-RUS content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still doable.
And so and plenty podcasters do it, do good work roaming about, showing and talking about what they experience. Lend them your attention. Joe has had his cup full already. Needs not more of the same.
5:48 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one cares. Stopped listening to any JRE many moons ago. There are plenty better out there. It's easy. We live in un-imaginable data abundance times. ☺️
Joe became too big for the kind of low level work that matters. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. I guess that happens with many Millions of listeners lending you their ears. No need to kill oneself with effort.
For myself-there's plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see. YT channels are full of UKR-RUS content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still doable.
And so and plenty podcasters do it, do good work roaming about, showing and talking about what they experience. Lend them your attention. Joe has had his cup full already. Needs not more of the same.
5:48 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914358764142313759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse-you only hear from frustrated people that tried and failed to use it. The ones for whom "it just works", keep shtum, as they have no reasons to complain. Once it works for the previously disgruntled-they stop posting their frustrations too.
We typically come online when something is ailing us, and voice our gripes. I don't post on X: another day of vim doing as per my :commands, Chrome did it's thing no problems, git --obeyed orders too, and bash worked well {today} as it did in the past 30yrs.
5:41 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse-you only hear from frustrated people that tried and failed to use it. The ones for whom "it just works", keep shtum, as they have no reasons to complain. Once it works for the previously disgruntled-they stop posting their frustrations too.
We typically come online when something is ailing us, and voice our gripes. I don't post on X: another day of vim doing as per my :commands, Chrome did it's thing no problems, git --obeyed orders too, and bash worked well {today} as it did in the past 30yrs.
5:41 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914350979400540455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - that is true, if it was a propaganda tour.
Why would it be though? Joe could just go, and roam, and record and comment what he sees, to his heart content. In person or incognito hidden.
Plenty of people do, the YT channels are full of content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still possible. Plenty good podcasters doing good work.
Seems Joe became too big for that kind of low level work. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. Plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see.
5:10 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - that is true, if it was a propaganda tour.
Why would it be though? Joe could just go, and roam, and record and comment what he sees, to his heart content. In person or incognito hidden.
Plenty of people do, the YT channels are full of content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still possible. Plenty good podcasters doing good work.
Seems Joe became too big for that kind of low level work. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. Plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see.
5:10 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914347939473809541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I'm all for open data open everything, esp for gov RADICAL TRANSPARENCY every gov business open to the public as default and closed by request.
I write software that does quadratic optimisation setups for a living and run Mosek frequently. Glad to read the guy is talking about optimisation.
Having said that-the proof of the pudding is in the eating. Overcoming the evidence of prior 20 yrs of policies resulting in UK ending with the highest electricity prices among the peers is no small feat. All the while increasing the fraction of unreliables in the mix.
A quarter of UK chemical industry disappearing, possibly as a result of high energy prices in the UK, affects me personally too. So-I'm ill-inclined to give the proponents of the current system much of my time. They had their go at things-the results are what we pay today.
4:58 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I'm all for open data open everything, esp for gov RADICAL TRANSPARENCY every gov business open to the public as default and closed by request.
I write software that does quadratic optimisation setups for a living and run Mosek frequently. Glad to read the guy is talking about optimisation.
Having said that-the proof of the pudding is in the eating. Overcoming the evidence of prior 20 yrs of policies resulting in UK ending with the highest electricity prices among the peers is no small feat. All the while increasing the fraction of unreliables in the mix.
A quarter of UK chemical industry disappearing, possibly as a result of high energy prices in the UK, affects me personally too. So-I'm ill-inclined to give the proponents of the current system much of my time. They had their go at things-the results are what we pay today.
4:58 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914344034081898627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed, you are 100% right. Autistic people are in greater danger than most to seek clever schemes that "solve everything" in one neat formula, leaving no lose ends. My wife works with kids like them. From the stories anecdotes relayed from time to time-I see how and why this wd be the case. While there have been plenty of evil humanist-by-education dudes in history, I always have in mind that one of the greatest recent monsters Beria "excelled in math and science".
This tongue-in-cheek "VDT: a solution to decision theory" https://lesswrong.com/posts/LcjuH on a related topic (HT https://x.com/ChrisChipMonk/status/191323296) maybe of interest. My reading was 1) Less frivolous than it first appears; 2) Not obviously worse than the alternatives; 3) Well even-problem solved again, with prior art being "Vibes==Love" in our (christian?) culture afaics.
[[[ Meta. Don't apologise please. I like to read what you write, I follow you and you follow me, yet frequently X does not show me what you wrote. The above post is great. Twitter now X algofeed was always cr*p, and is still cra*p. Please re-post more of your old posts! Fight low quality low effort algofeed with low effort means to maintain. Maintaining good SNR justifies it!
My unfounded suspicion is X algofeed is sh*t in a way that it places almost all the probability weight on the "timeliness" predictor, and almost nothing on anything else. And esp nothing on content i.e. data - it's all about meta-data. Afaik all X algofeed predictors to "should I show post Y to user Z" are meta-data only, and none are data actual content.
I heard on a podcast - that I can't find, may have been one done by the two Abundance book guys promoting the book, but don't recall which - and one of them (or the host?) mentioned this. That TikTok is the 1st social media algofeed that doesn't (unfairly) prioritise meta-data. But looks at the actual data, at the actual content. Of both what is posted, and what the user consumes i.e. wants. And that it actually matches that. And that's the reason people find TikTok almost super-natural in guessing what they want.
For utilising meta-data simply leads to positive feedback loop of winner-takes-all. Which is not all bad news for the platforms. They don't mind creating differentiating 1K-10K accounts as "content creators", that they can then influence whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts in the direction desired by the platform owners.
If the above about the TikTok algofeed were true. I'd get the urge to bash our SocMed overlords with a heavy object over their heads. For wasting Bazillion of hours of human lives, to feed us slop, and for their own detriment, and ours. The very definition of human stupidity. Unexcusable on the part of the Zucks and Musks. /rant ]]]
4:42 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed, you are 100% right. Autistic people are in greater danger than most to seek clever schemes that "solve everything" in one neat formula, leaving no lose ends. My wife works with kids like them. From the stories anecdotes relayed from time to time-I see how and why this wd be the case. While there have been plenty of evil humanist-by-education dudes in history, I always have in mind that one of the greatest recent monsters Beria "excelled in math and science".
This tongue-in-cheek "VDT: a solution to decision theory" https://lesswrong.com/posts/LcjuH on a related topic (HT https://x.com/ChrisChipMonk/status/191323296) maybe of interest. My reading was 1) Less frivolous than it first appears; 2) Not obviously worse than the alternatives; 3) Well even-problem solved again, with prior art being "Vibes==Love" in our (christian?) culture afaics.
[[[ Meta. Don't apologise please. I like to read what you write, I follow you and you follow me, yet frequently X does not show me what you wrote. The above post is great. Twitter now X algofeed was always cr*p, and is still cra*p. Please re-post more of your old posts! Fight low quality low effort algofeed with low effort means to maintain. Maintaining good SNR justifies it!
My unfounded suspicion is X algofeed is sh*t in a way that it places almost all the probability weight on the "timeliness" predictor, and almost nothing on anything else. And esp nothing on content i.e. data - it's all about meta-data. Afaik all X algofeed predictors to "should I show post Y to user Z" are meta-data only, and none are data actual content.
I heard on a podcast - that I can't find, may have been one done by the two Abundance book guys promoting the book, but don't recall which - and one of them (or the host?) mentioned this. That TikTok is the 1st social media algofeed that doesn't (unfairly) prioritise meta-data. But looks at the actual data, at the actual content. Of both what is posted, and what the user consumes i.e. wants. And that it actually matches that. And that's the reason people find TikTok almost super-natural in guessing what they want.
For utilising meta-data simply leads to positive feedback loop of winner-takes-all. Which is not all bad news for the platforms. They don't mind creating differentiating 1K-10K accounts as "content creators", that they can then influence whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts in the direction desired by the platform owners.
If the above about the TikTok algofeed were true. I'd get the urge to bash our SocMed overlords with a heavy object over their heads. For wasting Bazillion of hours of human lives, to feed us slop, and for their own detriment, and ours. The very definition of human stupidity. Unexcusable on the part of the Zucks and Musks. /rant ]]]
4:42 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914335893537632380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't reject it as impossible, maybe. But he-says-she-says is weak evidence for me. Need to see the data that is your evidence.
When all is added and subtracted, I want to see the price I myself pay for energy halve. In the past 10 years, I have seen that price about double. This is a very troubling and disappointing direction of travel. I blame the policies that have been in place in the past 20 years, for that disappointing outcome.
I have rooftop solar plus battery, I'm electrical engineer by training, and know enough about the workings of the system to form judgements.
4:10 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't reject it as impossible, maybe. But he-says-she-says is weak evidence for me. Need to see the data that is your evidence.
When all is added and subtracted, I want to see the price I myself pay for energy halve. In the past 10 years, I have seen that price about double. This is a very troubling and disappointing direction of travel. I blame the policies that have been in place in the past 20 years, for that disappointing outcome.
I have rooftop solar plus battery, I'm electrical engineer by training, and know enough about the workings of the system to form judgements.
4:10 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914333084545073619
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Hm - I have been luckier than that so far I must say. What's your setup?
I'm using aider atm, current best-but-expensive is
aider-openai-best() { local -; set -x; env AIDER_START="$(date)" aider --architect --model openai/o3 --editor-model openai/gpt-4.1 --openai-api-key ${OPENAI_API_KEY} ; }
All the while trying all the other tools (Cursor, Windsurf, addons Cline and Roo for VSCode) from time to time.
Last week it was Gemini and DeepSeek that I used. They wrote me 95% code of a boring module in a language I can read but not write super comfortably yet. I could have done it manually, bit this was more fun. My current best process is 1) write into INSTRUCTIONS-dot-md (that unlike in-chat instructions can go in git as documentation too); then 2) tell aider "read instructions from file xxx, then do as instructed".
This was prob v7 of the same functionality I have done over the years in a coterie of languages. So not only did I know what needs doing and how, buy I also knew of the likely fails, and dangerous corners. Enough to be anticipating some and preemptively describing, as well as being on a lookout for likely logical errors. (LLM makes no syntax errors??) All in all - good experience, will repeat.
Anyways - just came to your TL to say I loved listening to your "Reinforcement Learning, by the Book" series, it is excellent. Thanks for making it and sharing it with the world.
3:59 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Hm - I have been luckier than that so far I must say. What's your setup?
I'm using aider atm, current best-but-expensive is
aider-openai-best() { local -; set -x; env AIDER_START="$(date)" aider --architect --model openai/o3 --editor-model openai/gpt-4.1 --openai-api-key ${OPENAI_API_KEY} ; }
All the while trying all the other tools (Cursor, Windsurf, addons Cline and Roo for VSCode) from time to time.
Last week it was Gemini and DeepSeek that I used. They wrote me 95% code of a boring module in a language I can read but not write super comfortably yet. I could have done it manually, bit this was more fun. My current best process is 1) write into INSTRUCTIONS-dot-md (that unlike in-chat instructions can go in git as documentation too); then 2) tell aider "read instructions from file xxx, then do as instructed".
This was prob v7 of the same functionality I have done over the years in a coterie of languages. So not only did I know what needs doing and how, buy I also knew of the likely fails, and dangerous corners. Enough to be anticipating some and preemptively describing, as well as being on a lookout for likely logical errors. (LLM makes no syntax errors??) All in all - good experience, will repeat.
Anyways - just came to your TL to say I loved listening to your "Reinforcement Learning, by the Book" series, it is excellent. Thanks for making it and sharing it with the world.
3:59 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914315862057660755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Random observation. For all their faults, the UK elites running the British Empire were forever outward looking almost to a fault. Maybe it helps that the United Kingdom is in itself 3.5 nations too.
In contrast, the US elites educated in the best Unis of the land (Ivy Leagues? etc), seem forever inward looking, parochial, ill informed. It puzzles me to a lot. Americans I've met in the US have been nothing but open or even keen to talk about anything, and open minded. US-ians abroad I have interacted with, have also been open and curious, not closed to experience. (as long as one does not criticise outright their native lands; and that's fine, we are like that, myself included)
How is it then, that just the US-based elites commanding the heights of the country, are so painfully not-self-aware. I fail to understand.
2:50 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Random observation. For all their faults, the UK elites running the British Empire were forever outward looking almost to a fault. Maybe it helps that the United Kingdom is in itself 3.5 nations too.
In contrast, the US elites educated in the best Unis of the land (Ivy Leagues? etc), seem forever inward looking, parochial, ill informed. It puzzles me to a lot. Americans I've met in the US have been nothing but open or even keen to talk about anything, and open minded. US-ians abroad I have interacted with, have also been open and curious, not closed to experience. (as long as one does not criticise outright their native lands; and that's fine, we are like that, myself included)
How is it then, that just the US-based elites commanding the heights of the country, are so painfully not-self-aware. I fail to understand.
2:50 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914923165739872399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, but I will not Luca.
I spend time and expended effort to write the above. Used up some of my limited time on this Earth to inform and educate a perfect stranger, expecting nothing in return really. A stranger that I will never meet again, and will probably never have a chance to reciprocate.
Nothing personal this—but I will cut my loss at this point. For writing to someone who refuses to read, is something I want to repeat with this very message at most once, but not more than once. Sorry the interaction didn't work out. Not your fault, no one is at fault—but blocked now. So I'm not tempted to interact again with in the future. (these days block is a read-only one side, so not a biggie tbh)
7:03 AM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, but I will not Luca.
I spend time and expended effort to write the above. Used up some of my limited time on this Earth to inform and educate a perfect stranger, expecting nothing in return really. A stranger that I will never meet again, and will probably never have a chance to reciprocate.
Nothing personal this—but I will cut my loss at this point. For writing to someone who refuses to read, is something I want to repeat with this very message at most once, but not more than once. Sorry the interaction didn't work out. Not your fault, no one is at fault—but blocked now. So I'm not tempted to interact again with in the future. (these days block is a read-only one side, so not a biggie tbh)
7:03 AM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914919687466455499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ Possible.
This may tally with that - can't but notice that many Coke addicts are very very performant and achieve a lot in a short time. Some look manic energetic. Not good for one's health. But sure it does bring results—have seen it.
On the other hand, sticking with a very pedestrian bit rate of 39 bps of human language forever, strikes me as a huge bottleneck in human communication. Don't mind increasing that, even if overclocking. 😉
Audio podcasts at x1.2 speed are almost the norm now for many. Depending on the speaker, I go up to x1.4 speed.
So much stuff, so little time! 😅
6:50 AM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ Possible.
This may tally with that - can't but notice that many Coke addicts are very very performant and achieve a lot in a short time. Some look manic energetic. Not good for one's health. But sure it does bring results—have seen it.
On the other hand, sticking with a very pedestrian bit rate of 39 bps of human language forever, strikes me as a huge bottleneck in human communication. Don't mind increasing that, even if overclocking. 😉
Audio podcasts at x1.2 speed are almost the norm now for many. Depending on the speaker, I go up to x1.4 speed.
So much stuff, so little time! 😅
6:50 AM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914904173969068441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course - and expect nothing else in the future too.
In my lifetime, AIDS stopped being a deadly disease, and no one noticed.
I was ~20yo when I 1st heard about AIDS in the media. A positive test was a death sentence. Newspapers went on and on, with some celebrity dieing every week or month, for years. Innuendos, real and fake news, of "are they or aren't they" HIV positive, filled newspapers pages. For years.
Then I noticed at some point - wait, we are not reading these stories any more. No celebrity had died of AIDS within my memory window. I dug up info - there was Internet by then. Found out the illness is treated, and turned Chronic, away from Acute. People suffer but they are not dieing en masse. There's a documentary "In the time of a plague" or similar about the drugs development. Nowadays I presume it's curred completely, can't be bothered to check now.
Ulcers to the stomach also got cured in my lifetime. In my childhood, sometimes I'd overhear parents talk in grave voice "So-and-rushed to an operating theatre to hospital, but couldn't be saved. Burst ulcer bleeding, tsk tsk. Such tragedy - family kids lost father etc". Then in my adulthood I realised - I never hear of such tragedies anymore. Found out the saga of Helicobacter and the Australian doctor(s). That Ulcers are cured by antibiotics, and people don't typically die of burst ulcers anymore.
So yeah - a deadly plague killing people left and right will be solved, problem deleted, an impossible feat achieved. After decades of effort, of trials and failures, by thousands of people across the globe. Few people will notice.
5:48 AM · Apr 23, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course - and expect nothing else in the future too.
In my lifetime, AIDS stopped being a deadly disease, and no one noticed.
I was ~20yo when I 1st heard about AIDS in the media. A positive test was a death sentence. Newspapers went on and on, with some celebrity dieing every week or month, for years. Innuendos, real and fake news, of "are they or aren't they" HIV positive, filled newspapers pages. For years.
Then I noticed at some point - wait, we are not reading these stories any more. No celebrity had died of AIDS within my memory window. I dug up info - there was Internet by then. Found out the illness is treated, and turned Chronic, away from Acute. People suffer but they are not dieing en masse. There's a documentary "In the time of a plague" or similar about the drugs development. Nowadays I presume it's curred completely, can't be bothered to check now.
Ulcers to the stomach also got cured in my lifetime. In my childhood, sometimes I'd overhear parents talk in grave voice "So-and-rushed to an operating theatre to hospital, but couldn't be saved. Burst ulcer bleeding, tsk tsk. Such tragedy - family kids lost father etc". Then in my adulthood I realised - I never hear of such tragedies anymore. Found out the saga of Helicobacter and the Australian doctor(s). That Ulcers are cured by antibiotics, and people don't typically die of burst ulcers anymore.
So yeah - a deadly plague killing people left and right will be solved, problem deleted, an impossible feat achieved. After decades of effort, of trials and failures, by thousands of people across the globe. Few people will notice.
5:48 AM · Apr 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914777870519689335
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
YT is destroying Hollywood as well as TV productions for me. Watching them is boring and tedious. Takes ages for them to get to the point. It's like after listening to podcasts to x1.5 speed, going back to x0.9 speed.
In the Mr Beast Productions Manual for new hires, that circulated online some time ago, Mr Beast writes about this phenomenon. That YT is higher intensity, higher SNR, than classical productions. And that's in his opinion will become bigger than all if them together are now.
9:26 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
YT is destroying Hollywood as well as TV productions for me. Watching them is boring and tedious. Takes ages for them to get to the point. It's like after listening to podcasts to x1.5 speed, going back to x0.9 speed.
In the Mr Beast Productions Manual for new hires, that circulated online some time ago, Mr Beast writes about this phenomenon. That YT is higher intensity, higher SNR, than classical productions. And that's in his opinion will become bigger than all if them together are now.
9:26 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914749068749787508
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. They are all wrong. And then at some point, become right. No one knows when, or even if, it will happen. However, we do know it will NOT happen, if we don't try. And we will not try, if we have no hope, that it might happen.
7:32 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. They are all wrong. And then at some point, become right. No one knows when, or even if, it will happen. However, we do know it will NOT happen, if we don't try. And we will not try, if we have no hope, that it might happen.
7:32 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914748068592771341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Somewhat popular opinion: don't blame others for your own failings.
If you are busy, decide to be less busy, and then become so. Usually no one is holding a gun to anyone's head, and forcing them "busy yourself, more, get more busy asap".
Less narcissist self-pity cr*p pls.
7:28 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Somewhat popular opinion: don't blame others for your own failings.
If you are busy, decide to be less busy, and then become so. Usually no one is holding a gun to anyone's head, and forcing them "busy yourself, more, get more busy asap".
Less narcissist self-pity cr*p pls.
7:28 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914746476535652778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would he be condemned in the UK public culture, ih he said so?
"I don't care much wither way. I have not got a strong opinion on this. As is my default stance in cases like this, I would like to make the least number of people the least unhappy, with any decision I make. I will make a decision only if forced to make one by events thrust onto me."
Would that be a terrible slight on him as a leader? Condemn him in the eyes of the public as not worthy of leading?
7:21 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would he be condemned in the UK public culture, ih he said so?
"I don't care much wither way. I have not got a strong opinion on this. As is my default stance in cases like this, I would like to make the least number of people the least unhappy, with any decision I make. I will make a decision only if forced to make one by events thrust onto me."
Would that be a terrible slight on him as a leader? Condemn him in the eyes of the public as not worthy of leading?
7:21 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914743273379475718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When one reads "How Innovation Works" or "Serendipity: Medical Discoveries in the 20th Century" one gets to appreciate how much luck plays a role. Many breakthroughs are in parts very much accidental.
We do disservice to young researchers there. When we write up a discovery, we usually start from the end, from the result, and mentally trace the path back to the start. Then we describe that one path we traced back, with words, from the start to the end.
But that single forward path is an illusion! At discovery time, at the start, and along the path, there were many junctions. Going forward, there is a tree of paths - never a single one. The ultimate path that worked, was one of many. It only exists when looking back, from the end result. Often it is not even clear why we decided to follow one fork, and not another. Usually there are arguments evidence for-, as well as against-, taking either path, in a fork on the road. (to the ultimate discovery.)
Further, timing is everything. Kurzeil - now famously - stumbled on his Flops/USD log-linear exponential trying to figure how to time his Inventions/contraptions. (his words-I think?) Hinton probably had Sutskever-level PhD students in year 2003, or even 1993 too. There were no GPU-s capable of a leap then probably. Even when there were GPU-s, it took an Alex, in addition to one Ilya, to be at the same place, same time.
(for comparison: in year 2000, a stellar guy in my lab training NN-s and writing ASR stack decoders, had a special Sparcstation bough with large chunk of project $$$, with then obscene unheard of I think 96 MB RAM; most users had computers with 2MB RAM from recollection)
Research is a mugs game. Some Hinton colleagues probably died never seeing the success of their field. Assuming all their efforts a failure, a waste good for nothing. After devoting good chunk of their lives to it.
7:09 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When one reads "How Innovation Works" or "Serendipity: Medical Discoveries in the 20th Century" one gets to appreciate how much luck plays a role. Many breakthroughs are in parts very much accidental.
We do disservice to young researchers there. When we write up a discovery, we usually start from the end, from the result, and mentally trace the path back to the start. Then we describe that one path we traced back, with words, from the start to the end.
But that single forward path is an illusion! At discovery time, at the start, and along the path, there were many junctions. Going forward, there is a tree of paths - never a single one. The ultimate path that worked, was one of many. It only exists when looking back, from the end result. Often it is not even clear why we decided to follow one fork, and not another. Usually there are arguments evidence for-, as well as against-, taking either path, in a fork on the road. (to the ultimate discovery.)
Further, timing is everything. Kurzeil - now famously - stumbled on his Flops/USD log-linear exponential trying to figure how to time his Inventions/contraptions. (his words-I think?) Hinton probably had Sutskever-level PhD students in year 2003, or even 1993 too. There were no GPU-s capable of a leap then probably. Even when there were GPU-s, it took an Alex, in addition to one Ilya, to be at the same place, same time.
(for comparison: in year 2000, a stellar guy in my lab training NN-s and writing ASR stack decoders, had a special Sparcstation bough with large chunk of project $$$, with then obscene unheard of I think 96 MB RAM; most users had computers with 2MB RAM from recollection)
Research is a mugs game. Some Hinton colleagues probably died never seeing the success of their field. Assuming all their efforts a failure, a waste good for nothing. After devoting good chunk of their lives to it.
7:09 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914730691020873927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happened to me, python comments switched to Cyrillic. Presume RUS—but maybe other languages, dozens languages use Cyrillic variants. At other time it switched to French comments! Added in my INSTRUCTIONS md file "write your comments in English"—that fixed it, not repeated since.
6:19 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happened to me, python comments switched to Cyrillic. Presume RUS—but maybe other languages, dozens languages use Cyrillic variants. At other time it switched to French comments! Added in my INSTRUCTIONS md file "write your comments in English"—that fixed it, not repeated since.
6:19 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914722739539059103
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤩 np - forgot to add, not 1, not 2, but 3(!) companies making progress also a huge +ve: when something works, it works for all! now this is one news item that brightened my day, ngl 😇 thanks ☺️
5:47 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤩 np - forgot to add, not 1, not 2, but 3(!) companies making progress also a huge +ve: when something works, it works for all! now this is one news item that brightened my day, ngl 😇 thanks ☺️
5:47 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914711731781140635
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think @skdh nailed this one—this may work fr. Stellarators producing fields without needing insides current, continuous running, trading that for more complex magnets. Open sourcing too adds to confidence.
"Meet the Reactors Set to Upend Nuclear Fusion"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7hw0aC1BbI
Meet the Reactors Set to Upend Nuclear Fusion
5:03 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think @skdh nailed this one—this may work fr. Stellarators producing fields without needing insides current, continuous running, trading that for more complex magnets. Open sourcing too adds to confidence.
"Meet the Reactors Set to Upend Nuclear Fusion"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7hw0aC1BbI
Meet the Reactors Set to Upend Nuclear Fusion
5:03 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914704491162612195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—the complaints are spot on. Glad someone is motivated enough cares enough to react. (I don't)
1) Selective booking.
Fine, bring on fringe guests if you must. But then at least include voices from both sides. Joe’s "crazies" are almost exclusively pro-Russia or pro-Hamas. And it's not just about balance—even non-crazy prominent figures like Vitali Klitschko (boxing champ, now mayor of Kyiv) literally sent Joe a video invitation to appear and was ignored. Can’t think of a more JRE-suited guest, frankly.
That Joe refuses to platform any strong pro-Ukraine or pro-Israel voices speaks of his views. It's his right—but let us remember: the original fail mode of MSM was selective bias by omission. Joe, now a platform as big as MSM, deserves the same scrutiny. You can't call it "open dialogue" if only one side ever gets airing to millions.
2) Churchill the baddie.
Joe and guests pushing Churchill conspiracies are—maybe without realising it, for they are forever ignorant even to click on a Wiki page—rehashing 1942 Goebbels propaganda ("Churchill controlled by Jewish bankers," etc). In Europe, WW2 survivors are still alive (e.g. my mum). These takes aren’t edgy—they’re lazy.
Fr: it was Germany that built up its military in defiance of Versailles, annexed Austria, dismembered Czechoslovakia, and invaded Poland on Sept 1, 1939. Two weeks later, the Soviet Union invaded Poland from the east, pursuant to the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact, a plan to divide Eastern Europe between Germany and the Soviet Union. Enslave and or exterminated millions of people. This is not disputed. We have mountains of evidence—hand written from the architects and executors(!), diaries, state memos, radio archives, press coverage. Everyone can read everything at all times, it's not Latin or ancient Greek. It's all super-accessible. Even the original archives.
Joe is free to re-broadcast Goebbels-tier takes. But let’s not pretend it’s deep or brave. If he wants to test the strength of his opinions, let him say this stuff in CEEurope (ex-Russia), in Poland or the Baltics. I suspect he may catch more heat than he can handle. He's travelled a long way from the original "savage Khan of the steppe curious about the skies asks medicine man to explain" schtick, and something got lost along the way.
Having written all that—I haven’t watched JRE for many moons now. There’s just better stuff on YT—more interesting, more entertaining, more informative. Many podcasters go to UKR-RUS, record, comment, interview etc. Much better to see IRL, even when selective. Whenever X references JRE, it's usually some B-tier cosplayer bores. Don't bother to check. That shi*t-chatting nonsense more entertaining elsewhere.
4:34 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—the complaints are spot on. Glad someone is motivated enough cares enough to react. (I don't)
1) Selective booking.
Fine, bring on fringe guests if you must. But then at least include voices from both sides. Joe’s "crazies" are almost exclusively pro-Russia or pro-Hamas. And it's not just about balance—even non-crazy prominent figures like Vitali Klitschko (boxing champ, now mayor of Kyiv) literally sent Joe a video invitation to appear and was ignored. Can’t think of a more JRE-suited guest, frankly.
That Joe refuses to platform any strong pro-Ukraine or pro-Israel voices speaks of his views. It's his right—but let us remember: the original fail mode of MSM was selective bias by omission. Joe, now a platform as big as MSM, deserves the same scrutiny. You can't call it "open dialogue" if only one side ever gets airing to millions.
2) Churchill the baddie.
Joe and guests pushing Churchill conspiracies are—maybe without realising it, for they are forever ignorant even to click on a Wiki page—rehashing 1942 Goebbels propaganda ("Churchill controlled by Jewish bankers," etc). In Europe, WW2 survivors are still alive (e.g. my mum). These takes aren’t edgy—they’re lazy.
Fr: it was Germany that built up its military in defiance of Versailles, annexed Austria, dismembered Czechoslovakia, and invaded Poland on Sept 1, 1939. Two weeks later, the Soviet Union invaded Poland from the east, pursuant to the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact, a plan to divide Eastern Europe between Germany and the Soviet Union. Enslave and or exterminated millions of people. This is not disputed. We have mountains of evidence—hand written from the architects and executors(!), diaries, state memos, radio archives, press coverage. Everyone can read everything at all times, it's not Latin or ancient Greek. It's all super-accessible. Even the original archives.
Joe is free to re-broadcast Goebbels-tier takes. But let’s not pretend it’s deep or brave. If he wants to test the strength of his opinions, let him say this stuff in CEEurope (ex-Russia), in Poland or the Baltics. I suspect he may catch more heat than he can handle. He's travelled a long way from the original "savage Khan of the steppe curious about the skies asks medicine man to explain" schtick, and something got lost along the way.
Having written all that—I haven’t watched JRE for many moons now. There’s just better stuff on YT—more interesting, more entertaining, more informative. Many podcasters go to UKR-RUS, record, comment, interview etc. Much better to see IRL, even when selective. Whenever X references JRE, it's usually some B-tier cosplayer bores. Don't bother to check. That shi*t-chatting nonsense more entertaining elsewhere.
4:34 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914678555356647818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
WFH=Garden office <1min from home bathed in natural sun among greenery, instead of dull office under florescent lights crackling menacingly.
WFH=Personal space replacing open plan office crazy setup, where one wore heavy duty noise cancelling ear muffs to be able to think.
WFH=Can wear trainers or uggs or anything comfortable I fancy. No more wearing gloves with open finger tips for typing in the winter. (the office was freezing.)
Desktop=Not forced to use Windows anymore for 10h a day. Can use Ubuntu or MacOS or whatever I fancy. No need to deal with the local IT admin who answers "Nein" first thinks second b/c "security" always trumps everything, and including whether I can actually do my easier or harder.
Apple Silicon=Macbook screen 10x better than old Lenovo one, battery life 2x better than old Lenovo. (bonus fun: runs local LLM-s and other NN-s with 96 GB (V)RAM)
Car=electric/hybrid wheezing in silence with only the wind swishing as if sailing. No one goes back to ICE, unless they have to.
2:51 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
WFH=Garden office <1min from home bathed in natural sun among greenery, instead of dull office under florescent lights crackling menacingly.
WFH=Personal space replacing open plan office crazy setup, where one wore heavy duty noise cancelling ear muffs to be able to think.
WFH=Can wear trainers or uggs or anything comfortable I fancy. No more wearing gloves with open finger tips for typing in the winter. (the office was freezing.)
Desktop=Not forced to use Windows anymore for 10h a day. Can use Ubuntu or MacOS or whatever I fancy. No need to deal with the local IT admin who answers "Nein" first thinks second b/c "security" always trumps everything, and including whether I can actually do my easier or harder.
Apple Silicon=Macbook screen 10x better than old Lenovo one, battery life 2x better than old Lenovo. (bonus fun: runs local LLM-s and other NN-s with 96 GB (V)RAM)
Car=electric/hybrid wheezing in silence with only the wind swishing as if sailing. No one goes back to ICE, unless they have to.
2:51 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914671461341503992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think legislators should be replaced by AI first and the sooner the better. Legislation they are coming up with is too many times cr*p. Not unforeseen errors - but errors predicted by many.
Next for AI replace would be decision makers. Yeah I get it people worry about "AI existential risk". Yeah there is some-but there is plenty of that even now! Who do we think will sooner start thermo-nuclear war: Trump-Putin, or ChatGPT??
2:23 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think legislators should be replaced by AI first and the sooner the better. Legislation they are coming up with is too many times cr*p. Not unforeseen errors - but errors predicted by many.
Next for AI replace would be decision makers. Yeah I get it people worry about "AI existential risk". Yeah there is some-but there is plenty of that even now! Who do we think will sooner start thermo-nuclear war: Trump-Putin, or ChatGPT??
2:23 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914655389611708603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't mind that as I rarely see it - but the schizo upside-down apple icon on the top gotcha "gets me" 3 times a day and I hate them for that
1:19 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't mind that as I rarely see it - but the schizo upside-down apple icon on the top gotcha "gets me" 3 times a day and I hate them for that
1:19 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914653465944506671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. But I have not got the time nor energy (expensive that one!) to wade through that much content. If you are better than myself in that respect, feel free to use AI tools to summarise to your hearts' content. (I welcome AI!)
For me the Q is: does that address "...UK ending with the highest electricity prices among the peers ... all the while increasing the fraction of unreliables in the mix"? That's the current reality. My bills went up in tandem with the %age of unreliables in my electricity mix. If it does address that, what's their forecast for the future, when and by how much do my bills come down? I'm really looking for a (date,number). If the forecasters bet their $ on that forecast, then I'm all ears. :-)
B/c everyone values money (==their time ultimately, of which limited amount we each are allotted), people tend to be much more honest with their forecasts, when their own $ is at stake.
(and if not $, then something they like and value and would hate to lose; e.g. someone may have a lot of $$$, and be indifferent to their $ loss; but even those hate to lose $, for otherwise they would not have amassed that many $$$)
1:12 PM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. But I have not got the time nor energy (expensive that one!) to wade through that much content. If you are better than myself in that respect, feel free to use AI tools to summarise to your hearts' content. (I welcome AI!)
For me the Q is: does that address "...UK ending with the highest electricity prices among the peers ... all the while increasing the fraction of unreliables in the mix"? That's the current reality. My bills went up in tandem with the %age of unreliables in my electricity mix. If it does address that, what's their forecast for the future, when and by how much do my bills come down? I'm really looking for a (date,number). If the forecasters bet their $ on that forecast, then I'm all ears. :-)
B/c everyone values money (==their time ultimately, of which limited amount we each are allotted), people tend to be much more honest with their forecasts, when their own $ is at stake.
(and if not $, then something they like and value and would hate to lose; e.g. someone may have a lot of $$$, and be indifferent to their $ loss; but even those hate to lose $, for otherwise they would not have amassed that many $$$)
1:12 PM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914632234197188637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ideally zero or at least minimal risk, is SirKS calling card. Makes sense, as he desires to do zero! If that's the desire fixed, then risk is the only thing left to optimise for, and zero is the ideal. Worked for him well so far—so he can't be super-wrong there.
11:47 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ideally zero or at least minimal risk, is SirKS calling card. Makes sense, as he desires to do zero! If that's the desire fixed, then risk is the only thing left to optimise for, and zero is the ideal. Worked for him well so far—so he can't be super-wrong there.
11:47 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914631358103576824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As long as it's open source open weights open thoughts—it will have an impact. First b/c of the open-nes on its own. Then b/c open models are usually easier on the Flops. When offered by 3rd parties they're doubly cheaper: for the fewer Flops, but also for the 3rd party not paying the R&D cost.
11:44 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As long as it's open source open weights open thoughts—it will have an impact. First b/c of the open-nes on its own. Then b/c open models are usually easier on the Flops. When offered by 3rd parties they're doubly cheaper: for the fewer Flops, but also for the 3rd party not paying the R&D cost.
11:44 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914628511878291626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think of an org as a person–and hard to comprehend how can any be so retarded. Think of an an org as an org, then much easier: ofc an organisation can be that retarded! It can be even more retarded, even crazier.
11:33 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think of an org as a person–and hard to comprehend how can any be so retarded. Think of an an org as an org, then much easier: ofc an organisation can be that retarded! It can be even more retarded, even crazier.
11:33 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914623859564663252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It doesn't, that's true, but there is no 100% prevention of catastrophic risks. To my mind, risks that can wipe out humanity are: virus pandemic, thermo-nuclear war, asteroid hitting earth.
CO2 rising in the atmosphere does not strike me as humanity ending. Not even IPCC reports claim that afaik. We had 1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's ~1.2C/century. Doesn't seem to me the state of the world now is much worse than 1925. Some indicators worse, others better. (and not all due to CO2 exclusively.) The temperature in my place of living varies 10C in 24h. 2C avg temperature is a difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp rn. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025—doubt many Mancunians will be complaining. Yeah few places, big cities in India and Middle East, where the max (not avg) temp is edged above the habitable range (50C?)—people there may have to move location.
Anyways. We will find out. As no one can do anything much fr about digging up of CO2 entombed in the ground, and burning it up into the atmosphere. Afaik nuclear is the only tech we know that is mature and scales, (France did it half a century ago) but is not pursued to the max. (for reasons)
11:14 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It doesn't, that's true, but there is no 100% prevention of catastrophic risks. To my mind, risks that can wipe out humanity are: virus pandemic, thermo-nuclear war, asteroid hitting earth.
CO2 rising in the atmosphere does not strike me as humanity ending. Not even IPCC reports claim that afaik. We had 1 degree average temperature rise in the past 80 years. So that's ~1.2C/century. Doesn't seem to me the state of the world now is much worse than 1925. Some indicators worse, others better. (and not all due to CO2 exclusively.) The temperature in my place of living varies 10C in 24h. 2C avg temperature is a difference between Manchester and Milan avg yearly temp rn. If Manchester in 2125 has the avg temp of Milan in 2025—doubt many Mancunians will be complaining. Yeah few places, big cities in India and Middle East, where the max (not avg) temp is edged above the habitable range (50C?)—people there may have to move location.
Anyways. We will find out. As no one can do anything much fr about digging up of CO2 entombed in the ground, and burning it up into the atmosphere. Afaik nuclear is the only tech we know that is mature and scales, (France did it half a century ago) but is not pursued to the max. (for reasons)
11:14 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914605569949704515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Other churches that have tried to update their dogmas catch-up with the times somewhat - what examples are there? How have they fared? Does it work - updating?
B/c some of the core messages, like "Love", "love and care about fellow humans" etc, strike me as not out of date, but forever contemporary.
10:01 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Other churches that have tried to update their dogmas catch-up with the times somewhat - what examples are there? How have they fared? Does it work - updating?
B/c some of the core messages, like "Love", "love and care about fellow humans" etc, strike me as not out of date, but forever contemporary.
10:01 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914590038777643230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Nooo—too soon!! 😭
What happened to the "entertainment guaranteed, even if success in doubt" musk of yesteryear?? Expected more entertainment! 😢 I get it, I expected it, just—was hoping for a longer run of the show tbh.
Moar entertainment for us plebs rn Muskarat!! Don't you dare quit on us spectators of the world united, "like a dawg", ya ninnie!!
like-a-dawg-LJ-fore-muskarat.png
Quote
The Independent @Independent · Apr 21
Musk wants to leave politics because he’s tired of ‘attacks’ from the left: report https://independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/elon-musk-donald-trump-doge-b2736753.html?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1745245487
9:00 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Nooo—too soon!! 😭
What happened to the "entertainment guaranteed, even if success in doubt" musk of yesteryear?? Expected more entertainment! 😢 I get it, I expected it, just—was hoping for a longer run of the show tbh.
Moar entertainment for us plebs rn Muskarat!! Don't you dare quit on us spectators of the world united, "like a dawg", ya ninnie!!
like-a-dawg-LJ-fore-muskarat.png
Quote
The Independent @Independent · Apr 21
Musk wants to leave politics because he’s tired of ‘attacks’ from the left: report https://independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/elon-musk-donald-trump-doge-b2736753.html?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1745245487
9:00 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914586841493229684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah total snowflake Joe - who knew the "curious Khan of the steppe" inner core was made of honey, to melt at the 1st rays of sun
8:47 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah total snowflake Joe - who knew the "curious Khan of the steppe" inner core was made of honey, to melt at the 1st rays of sun
8:47 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914585358504775804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ok this Minecraft connection you very perceptively saw is too funny 😂 to pass, both cause-consequence mach; but if inappropriate pls LMK and I will delete immediately 😶 give you "... MeinCraft pappa, MeinCraft!" 😂 never noot funny ngl
Mein_Craft_pappa_mein_craft-YT-s6-XeyNMCJw-20250422.mp4
8:41 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ok this Minecraft connection you very perceptively saw is too funny 😂 to pass, both cause-consequence mach; but if inappropriate pls LMK and I will delete immediately 😶 give you "... MeinCraft pappa, MeinCraft!" 😂 never noot funny ngl
Mein_Craft_pappa_mein_craft-YT-s6-XeyNMCJw-20250422.mp4
8:41 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914569527301415236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Nooo—too soon!! 😭
What happened to the "entertainment guaranteed, even if success in doubt" musk of yesteryear?? Expected more entertainment. 😢 I get it, expected it, just—was hoping for a longer run tbh.
Moar entertainment for the plebs rn Muskarat!! Don't you dare quit on us the spectators of the world united, "like a dawg", ya ninnie!
like-a-dawg-LJ-fore-muskarat.png
7:38 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Nooo—too soon!! 😭
What happened to the "entertainment guaranteed, even if success in doubt" musk of yesteryear?? Expected more entertainment. 😢 I get it, expected it, just—was hoping for a longer run tbh.
Moar entertainment for the plebs rn Muskarat!! Don't you dare quit on us the spectators of the world united, "like a dawg", ya ninnie!
like-a-dawg-LJ-fore-muskarat.png
7:38 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914563698779173088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
plug her in a power socket
7:15 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
plug her in a power socket
7:15 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914561577451213055
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You give Akala too much respect. His ideas are not merely wrong. Being wrong in my own personal life is mostly fine, for I alone suffer the consequences.
Application of his wrong ideas is consequential to generations of young people being intellectually stunted. Unable to make sense of the world around them. Bewildered, confused, fearful. Not living better lives they could have lived, if educators embraced your ideas more than Akala's.
Have never heard of Akala before. But ideas expressed are fairly common for the narcissist class. Where life universe and everything starts and ends with my personal experience, and one idea that popped in my head rn. They are like the Trumps of every days.
7:07 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You give Akala too much respect. His ideas are not merely wrong. Being wrong in my own personal life is mostly fine, for I alone suffer the consequences.
Application of his wrong ideas is consequential to generations of young people being intellectually stunted. Unable to make sense of the world around them. Bewildered, confused, fearful. Not living better lives they could have lived, if educators embraced your ideas more than Akala's.
Have never heard of Akala before. But ideas expressed are fairly common for the narcissist class. Where life universe and everything starts and ends with my personal experience, and one idea that popped in my head rn. They are like the Trumps of every days.
7:07 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914555666116587959
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course the latter!
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MoReVkF-UZ0
What's with the latest questions, did we enter silly season or sth?
Humans we indeed care not about true/false. Everything goes through "friend or foe", "likes me/not" and similar filters. Our evil monke survival analytical engines whirring in the background, never stopping.
Makes for good comedy then reading various pop-philosophies, e.g. West coast ones. 😂 Like - "get to know yourself deep down". Yeah-you get to know you, that every human we are full of sh*t deep down. What we find is-sh*t. That's it - "deep down" lies sh*t.
TBH California liberal wd be the last type on Earth I'd expect to get this.
youtube.com
Why STUPID People Are a Greater Threat to Society Than Criminals
Dietrich Bonhoeffer, a German theologian and anti-Nazi resistance fighter, identified stupidity as a greater threat than evil itself. Unlike malice, which ca...
6:43 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course the latter!
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MoReVkF-UZ0
What's with the latest questions, did we enter silly season or sth?
Humans we indeed care not about true/false. Everything goes through "friend or foe", "likes me/not" and similar filters. Our evil monke survival analytical engines whirring in the background, never stopping.
Makes for good comedy then reading various pop-philosophies, e.g. West coast ones. 😂 Like - "get to know yourself deep down". Yeah-you get to know you, that every human we are full of sh*t deep down. What we find is-sh*t. That's it - "deep down" lies sh*t.
TBH California liberal wd be the last type on Earth I'd expect to get this.
youtube.com
Why STUPID People Are a Greater Threat to Society Than Criminals
Dietrich Bonhoeffer, a German theologian and anti-Nazi resistance fighter, identified stupidity as a greater threat than evil itself. Unlike malice, which ca...
6:43 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914552877130858996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unrealistic expectations imo.
Twitter was like 1984 stalinist run state. Had to be mindful to stay away from the evil stupid giant rubber mallet, take care like the ants we are, to not get squished by the random mallet blows coming down from heavens. Mostly - stay out of politics, inc where it malignely touches other areas of life. (e.g. culture wars - where politics enters culture)
Uncomfortable, but doable. It's one mallet only after all. It's big and evil, but also approximately mostly predictable.
Now X is a big pigsty. We are in a field, knees deep in mud. Pigs are milling all around us, pushing and shoving left and right, groq-ing and squeaking incessantly and loudly. Cacophony of random noises - we can hear each others speak only with great difficulty.
I would like to tell you it will get better. But likely not. Once Musk is out of the picture, it will get still different type of bad. What kind - I can't imagine.
6:32 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unrealistic expectations imo.
Twitter was like 1984 stalinist run state. Had to be mindful to stay away from the evil stupid giant rubber mallet, take care like the ants we are, to not get squished by the random mallet blows coming down from heavens. Mostly - stay out of politics, inc where it malignely touches other areas of life. (e.g. culture wars - where politics enters culture)
Uncomfortable, but doable. It's one mallet only after all. It's big and evil, but also approximately mostly predictable.
Now X is a big pigsty. We are in a field, knees deep in mud. Pigs are milling all around us, pushing and shoving left and right, groq-ing and squeaking incessantly and loudly. Cacophony of random noises - we can hear each others speak only with great difficulty.
I would like to tell you it will get better. But likely not. Once Musk is out of the picture, it will get still different type of bad. What kind - I can't imagine.
6:32 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914542422194823214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One out-of-band symbol reserved for meta data suffices. One only f*cking suffices! 😶
Can be any one, doesn't matter which one. Just one, out of hundreds, or tens of thousands, or even millions! One that stays out of bounds for the data stream, unused by data, to be used by meta-data - suffices! 🤯
And do we users leave that one alone, leave it be, ever? The hell we do!! 😨 The moment one f*cking character is designated out-of-band signalling character, it suddenly becomes object of incessant desire! Desire to have the said character shoved in the data stream, as soon as possible, and as frequently as possible. 😱
So to ruin any scheme that makes out lives easier. Of course we do, the psychos 👹 we users are. 😡
5:50 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One out-of-band symbol reserved for meta data suffices. One only f*cking suffices! 😶
Can be any one, doesn't matter which one. Just one, out of hundreds, or tens of thousands, or even millions! One that stays out of bounds for the data stream, unused by data, to be used by meta-data - suffices! 🤯
And do we users leave that one alone, leave it be, ever? The hell we do!! 😨 The moment one f*cking character is designated out-of-band signalling character, it suddenly becomes object of incessant desire! Desire to have the said character shoved in the data stream, as soon as possible, and as frequently as possible. 😱
So to ruin any scheme that makes out lives easier. Of course we do, the psychos 👹 we users are. 😡
5:50 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914534008966295647
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...intuited immortalised in the 2009 troll art of "...intelektualac ...cinjenica znalac ...ne zna iskopat sanac", "...necu oko kurca lanac! ...ocu, da opalim, Vesnu Zmijanac!!"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=NqgQK9BI_Eg
by the incomparable Rambo Amadeus of the "O Tugo Jesenja" 1998 turbo-folk "widest tastes lowest passions" founding manifest
https://youtube.com/watch?v=3J6h1ej0vhM&list=OLAK5uy_k-enG76j3eZnX1STCMso44j1aqrdpyPng
You guys over there in CA can't know, for I think you think life universe and everything starts and ends with you, after yourselves inventing the currently modern world.
You got Voja Antonic around over there these days in his OAP age. He should be able to help.
youtube.com
Rambo Amadeus - Intelektualac
Reper / Rambo Amadeus* http://www.myspace.com/ramboamadeus
5:17 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...intuited immortalised in the 2009 troll art of "...intelektualac ...cinjenica znalac ...ne zna iskopat sanac", "...necu oko kurca lanac! ...ocu, da opalim, Vesnu Zmijanac!!"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=NqgQK9BI_Eg
by the incomparable Rambo Amadeus of the "O Tugo Jesenja" 1998 turbo-folk "widest tastes lowest passions" founding manifest
https://youtube.com/watch?v=3J6h1ej0vhM&list=OLAK5uy_k-enG76j3eZnX1STCMso44j1aqrdpyPng
You guys over there in CA can't know, for I think you think life universe and everything starts and ends with you, after yourselves inventing the currently modern world.
You got Voja Antonic around over there these days in his OAP age. He should be able to help.
youtube.com
Rambo Amadeus - Intelektualac
Reper / Rambo Amadeus* http://www.myspace.com/ramboamadeus
5:17 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914529373211738112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are forced to tick it every single time. Therein lies the problem. Every single time, thousand times today, thousand times yesterday, thousand times tomorrow, hundreds of millions of people, every day.
4:59 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are forced to tick it every single time. Therein lies the problem. Every single time, thousand times today, thousand times yesterday, thousand times tomorrow, hundreds of millions of people, every day.
4:59 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914527717929689537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All this folly is enabled, financed by varying "climate foundations" of Doomer and Malthusian ideological persuasions. Basically very wealthy people, materialising their worst fears IRL. "Solaris" the SciFi movie style.
In the process killing off the plebs, the little people, milling around about their daily lives, without even noticing. Like the way we don't notice a tiny ant under the wheels of our car.
I have never liked punitive confiscatory taxation of wealth of "no one needs more than X to live", so "should be taken away from them". But boy do these malign, corrupt "can't make man understand something when him not understanding it earns him his paycheck"-type traps temp me. Doomer Climate Foundations have millions of years of runway!
Only way I see is for equivalent Booster Humanist Foundations to provide equivalent counter balance. To at least equalise, level off the one sided pull.
4:52 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All this folly is enabled, financed by varying "climate foundations" of Doomer and Malthusian ideological persuasions. Basically very wealthy people, materialising their worst fears IRL. "Solaris" the SciFi movie style.
In the process killing off the plebs, the little people, milling around about their daily lives, without even noticing. Like the way we don't notice a tiny ant under the wheels of our car.
I have never liked punitive confiscatory taxation of wealth of "no one needs more than X to live", so "should be taken away from them". But boy do these malign, corrupt "can't make man understand something when him not understanding it earns him his paycheck"-type traps temp me. Doomer Climate Foundations have millions of years of runway!
Only way I see is for equivalent Booster Humanist Foundations to provide equivalent counter balance. To at least equalise, level off the one sided pull.
4:52 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914520397648634179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 You cracked me man.
Yep, will not name that org, that group, "The Government". Will name it-"No government". 😂
Top marks, top tip that. 💪
4:23 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 You cracked me man.
Yep, will not name that org, that group, "The Government". Will name it-"No government". 😂
Top marks, top tip that. 💪
4:23 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914519153991369206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy will you suffer in life. For you are different enough to see few things you can't then unsee. Other humans sense you are not quite "one of us".
Humans indeed care not about true/false. Everything goes through "friend or foe", "likes me/not" and similar filter. The monke survival analytical enginee whirring in the background never stops.
Makes for comedy then reading various pop-philosophies. 😂 Like "get to know yourself deep down". Yeah-you get to know every human we are full of sh*t. What we find is-sh*t. That's it-"deep down" lies sh*t.
4:18 AM · Apr 22, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy will you suffer in life. For you are different enough to see few things you can't then unsee. Other humans sense you are not quite "one of us".
Humans indeed care not about true/false. Everything goes through "friend or foe", "likes me/not" and similar filter. The monke survival analytical enginee whirring in the background never stops.
Makes for comedy then reading various pop-philosophies. 😂 Like "get to know yourself deep down". Yeah-you get to know every human we are full of sh*t. What we find is-sh*t. That's it-"deep down" lies sh*t.
4:18 AM · Apr 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914439264030613686
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will not afaics.
I don't understand what will stop my 5 neighbours ganging on me, murdering me, taking my land house family. Except-if I and everyone else pre-emptivelly gang together in show of strength, threatening retaliation if anyone dares. We call us-"The Government".
11:01 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will not afaics.
I don't understand what will stop my 5 neighbours ganging on me, murdering me, taking my land house family. Except-if I and everyone else pre-emptivelly gang together in show of strength, threatening retaliation if anyone dares. We call us-"The Government".
11:01 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914432760933912683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surprised there is not some company that does mix & match personalised pills mixing? So people don't have to go through handfuls of pills daily. Just entirely mechanical mixing. Not messing with changing anything with the formulations.
10:35 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surprised there is not some company that does mix & match personalised pills mixing? So people don't have to go through handfuls of pills daily. Just entirely mechanical mixing. Not messing with changing anything with the formulations.
10:35 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914406554193047858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seconding lists. Got dozen thematic lists, used to maintain & use them. Nowadays fallen in some disuse, as I spend ever less time reading X/
I liked how Lists and Decks (nowadays called Xpro) can be made 1:1: can view one List per Deck. (pic below; from https://ljubomirj.github.io/post-twitter.html)
8:51 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seconding lists. Got dozen thematic lists, used to maintain & use them. Nowadays fallen in some disuse, as I spend ever less time reading X/
I liked how Lists and Decks (nowadays called Xpro) can be made 1:1: can view one List per Deck. (pic below; from https://ljubomirj.github.io/post-twitter.html)
8:51 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914364573987045770
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik that's not entirely possible. I have the following mental model of SocMed algofeeds. I can expect any one post I write to be shown to max 1/10-th of my followers, in the best case. How and why? The simplest possible example I can think of is this.
I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts per day. I login to X, X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts that X will show me in one day. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown. And so there will be 4500 posts, from people I follow on any one day, to **not** be shown.
X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. So any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. IRL the algofeed will be vastly more complicated. The algofeed is the core of the social media company.
Unlike the sketch above, the algofeed is non-random. It mostly uses metadata to tilt that 0.1 probability. Algofeed tilts towards factors like timeliness/age "how much time elapsed since a post got posted", engagement measures like how many in number {Like, Forward, Quote, Reply} interactions it got, probably all decayed by time with some half-life.
Afaik no actual data about the quality, the content, of the post is ever used. Only metadata. This is pure speculation on my part. I have no insider knowledge. I have not worked in a social media company ever. Just thinking aloud and considering rules of thumb and first principles.
For me personally posting. Usually I only have the "View"-s for a post to see as a feedback. I don't even know if it was shown to the user whose message I reply to! (
@perrymetzger
in this instance) It's entirely up to X algofeed, if/when it shows it to the OP, or not at all. If a post gets zero engagement (a "Like" at a minimum) after 30-50 Views, it's subsequently dropped. (never pushed any more to anyone's screen.)
One would need to go to my home page on X, then search for a post intentionally. E.g. like so
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live
It's possible that my idea of how things work is entirely faulty. Allow for that pls. I'm no social media star-can hardly give advice to anyone! 😆
6:04 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik that's not entirely possible. I have the following mental model of SocMed algofeeds. I can expect any one post I write to be shown to max 1/10-th of my followers, in the best case. How and why? The simplest possible example I can think of is this.
I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts per day. I login to X, X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts that X will show me in one day. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown. And so there will be 4500 posts, from people I follow on any one day, to **not** be shown.
X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. So any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. IRL the algofeed will be vastly more complicated. The algofeed is the core of the social media company.
Unlike the sketch above, the algofeed is non-random. It mostly uses metadata to tilt that 0.1 probability. Algofeed tilts towards factors like timeliness/age "how much time elapsed since a post got posted", engagement measures like how many in number {Like, Forward, Quote, Reply} interactions it got, probably all decayed by time with some half-life.
Afaik no actual data about the quality, the content, of the post is ever used. Only metadata. This is pure speculation on my part. I have no insider knowledge. I have not worked in a social media company ever. Just thinking aloud and considering rules of thumb and first principles.
For me personally posting. Usually I only have the "View"-s for a post to see as a feedback. I don't even know if it was shown to the user whose message I reply to! (
@perrymetzger
in this instance) It's entirely up to X algofeed, if/when it shows it to the OP, or not at all. If a post gets zero engagement (a "Like" at a minimum) after 30-50 Views, it's subsequently dropped. (never pushed any more to anyone's screen.)
One would need to go to my home page on X, then search for a post intentionally. E.g. like so
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live
It's possible that my idea of how things work is entirely faulty. Allow for that pls. I'm no social media star-can hardly give advice to anyone! 😆
6:04 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914360619668549658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one cares. Stopped listening to any JRE many moons ago. There are plenty better out there. It's easy. We live in un-imaginable data abundance times. ☺️
Joe became too big for the kind of low level work that matters. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. I guess that happens with many Millions of listeners lending you their ears. No need to kill oneself with effort.
For myself-there's plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see. YT channels are full of UKR-RUS content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still doable.
And so and plenty podcasters do it, do good work roaming about, showing and talking about what they experience. Lend them your attention. Joe has had his cup full already. Needs not more of the same.
5:48 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one cares. Stopped listening to any JRE many moons ago. There are plenty better out there. It's easy. We live in un-imaginable data abundance times. ☺️
Joe became too big for the kind of low level work that matters. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. I guess that happens with many Millions of listeners lending you their ears. No need to kill oneself with effort.
For myself-there's plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see. YT channels are full of UKR-RUS content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still doable.
And so and plenty podcasters do it, do good work roaming about, showing and talking about what they experience. Lend them your attention. Joe has had his cup full already. Needs not more of the same.
5:48 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914358764142313759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse-you only hear from frustrated people that tried and failed to use it. The ones for whom "it just works", keep shtum, as they have no reasons to complain. Once it works for the previously disgruntled-they stop posting their frustrations too.
We typically come online when something is ailing us, and voice our gripes. I don't post on X: another day of vim doing as per my :commands, Chrome did it's thing no problems, git --obeyed orders too, and bash worked well {today} as it did in the past 30yrs.
5:41 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse-you only hear from frustrated people that tried and failed to use it. The ones for whom "it just works", keep shtum, as they have no reasons to complain. Once it works for the previously disgruntled-they stop posting their frustrations too.
We typically come online when something is ailing us, and voice our gripes. I don't post on X: another day of vim doing as per my :commands, Chrome did it's thing no problems, git --obeyed orders too, and bash worked well {today} as it did in the past 30yrs.
5:41 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914355985805611014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - I don't believe that for a moment. It's a weak excuse tbf.
If not himself - he can hire someone. If not that - he can platform someone. etc etc
Excuses excuses flying like pigeons. 😆 Well not with me. I stopped listening to any JRE many moons ago. There are plenty better out there. It's easy. We live in un-imaginable data abundance times. ☺️
5:30 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - I don't believe that for a moment. It's a weak excuse tbf.
If not himself - he can hire someone. If not that - he can platform someone. etc etc
Excuses excuses flying like pigeons. 😆 Well not with me. I stopped listening to any JRE many moons ago. There are plenty better out there. It's easy. We live in un-imaginable data abundance times. ☺️
5:30 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914350979400540455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - that is true, if it was a propaganda tour.
Why would it be though? Joe could just go, and roam, and record and comment what he sees, to his heart content. In person or incognito hidden.
Plenty of people do, the YT channels are full of content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still possible. Plenty good podcasters doing good work.
Seems Joe became too big for that kind of low level works. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. Plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see.
5:10 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - that is true, if it was a propaganda tour.
Why would it be though? Joe could just go, and roam, and record and comment what he sees, to his heart content. In person or incognito hidden.
Plenty of people do, the YT channels are full of content. More from Ukraine, less from Russia - as they seem to be somewhat more keen on total control - but still possible. Plenty good podcasters doing good work.
Seems Joe became too big for that kind of low level works. Seems he thinks it's beneath him. Fine. Plenty of other fish in the sea, YT podcasters to see.
5:10 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914347939473809541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I'm all for open data open everything, esp for gov RADICAL TRANSPARENCY every gov business open to the public as default and closed by request.
I write software that does quadratic optimisation setups for a living and run Mosek frequently. Glad to read the guy is talking about optimisation.
Having said that-the proof of the pudding is in the eating. Overcoming the evidence of prior 20 yrs of policies resulting in UK ending with the highest electricity prices among the peers is no small feat. All the while increasing the fraction of unreliables in the mix.
A quarter of UK chemical industry disappearing, possibly as a result of high energy prices in the UK, affects me personally too. So-I'm ill-inclined to give the proponents of the current system much of my time. They had their go at things-the results are what we pay today.
4:58 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I'm all for open data open everything, esp for gov RADICAL TRANSPARENCY every gov business open to the public as default and closed by request.
I write software that does quadratic optimisation setups for a living and run Mosek frequently. Glad to read the guy is talking about optimisation.
Having said that-the proof of the pudding is in the eating. Overcoming the evidence of prior 20 yrs of policies resulting in UK ending with the highest electricity prices among the peers is no small feat. All the while increasing the fraction of unreliables in the mix.
A quarter of UK chemical industry disappearing, possibly as a result of high energy prices in the UK, affects me personally too. So-I'm ill-inclined to give the proponents of the current system much of my time. They had their go at things-the results are what we pay today.
4:58 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914344034081898627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed, you are 100% right. Autistic people are in greater danger than most to seek clever schemes that "solve everything" in one neat formula, leaving no lose ends. My wife works with kids like them. From the stories anecdotes relayed from time to time-I see how and why this wd be the case. While there have been plenty of evil humanist-by-education dudes in history, I always have in mind that one of the greatest recent monsters Beria "excelled in math and science".
This tongue-in-cheek "VDT: a solution to decision theory" https://lesswrong.com/posts/LcjuH on a related topic (HT https://x.com/ChrisChipMonk/status/191323296) maybe of interest. My reading was 1) Less frivolous than it first appears; 2) Not obviously worse than the alternatives; 3) Well even-problem solved again, with prior art being "Vibes==Love" in our (christian?) culture afaics.
[[[ Meta. Don't apologise please. I like to read what you write, I follow you and you follow me, yet frequently X does not show me what you wrote. The above post is great. Twitter now X algofeed was always cr*p, and is still cra*p. Please re-post more of your old posts! Fight low quality low effort algofeed with low effort means to maintain. Maintaining good SNR justifies it!
My unfounded suspicion is X algofeed is sh*t in a way that it places almost all the probability weight on the "timeliness" predictor, and almost nothing on anything else. And esp nothing on content i.e. data - it's all about meta-data. Afaik all X algofeed predictors to "should I show post Y to user Z" are meta-data only, and none are data actual content.
I heard on a podcast - that I can't find, may have been one done by the two Abundance book guys promoting the book, but don't recall which - and one of them (or the host?) mentioned this. That TikTok is the 1st social media algofeed that doesn't (unfairly) prioritise meta-data. But looks at the actual data, at the actual content. Of both what is posted, and what the user consumes i.e. wants. And that it actually matches that. And that's the reason people find TikTok almost super-natural in guessing what they want.
For utilising meta-data simply leads to positive feedback loop of winner-takes-all. Which is not all bad news for the platforms. They don't mind creating differentiating 1K-10K accounts as "content creators", that they can then influence whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts in the direction desired by the platform owners.
If the above about the TikTok algofeed were true. I'd get the urge to bash our SocMed overlords with a heavy object over their heads. For wasting Bazillion of hours of human lives, to feed us slop, andfor their own detriment, and ours. The very definition of human stupidity. Unexcusable on the part of the Zucks and Musks. /rant ]]]
4:42 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed, you are 100% right. Autistic people are in greater danger than most to seek clever schemes that "solve everything" in one neat formula, leaving no lose ends. My wife works with kids like them. From the stories anecdotes relayed from time to time-I see how and why this wd be the case. While there have been plenty of evil humanist-by-education dudes in history, I always have in mind that one of the greatest recent monsters Beria "excelled in math and science".
This tongue-in-cheek "VDT: a solution to decision theory" https://lesswrong.com/posts/LcjuH on a related topic (HT https://x.com/ChrisChipMonk/status/191323296) maybe of interest. My reading was 1) Less frivolous than it first appears; 2) Not obviously worse than the alternatives; 3) Well even-problem solved again, with prior art being "Vibes==Love" in our (christian?) culture afaics.
[[[ Meta. Don't apologise please. I like to read what you write, I follow you and you follow me, yet frequently X does not show me what you wrote. The above post is great. Twitter now X algofeed was always cr*p, and is still cra*p. Please re-post more of your old posts! Fight low quality low effort algofeed with low effort means to maintain. Maintaining good SNR justifies it!
My unfounded suspicion is X algofeed is sh*t in a way that it places almost all the probability weight on the "timeliness" predictor, and almost nothing on anything else. And esp nothing on content i.e. data - it's all about meta-data. Afaik all X algofeed predictors to "should I show post Y to user Z" are meta-data only, and none are data actual content.
I heard on a podcast - that I can't find, may have been one done by the two Abundance book guys promoting the book, but don't recall which - and one of them (or the host?) mentioned this. That TikTok is the 1st social media algofeed that doesn't (unfairly) prioritise meta-data. But looks at the actual data, at the actual content. Of both what is posted, and what the user consumes i.e. wants. And that it actually matches that. And that's the reason people find TikTok almost super-natural in guessing what they want.
For utilising meta-data simply leads to positive feedback loop of winner-takes-all. Which is not all bad news for the platforms. They don't mind creating differentiating 1K-10K accounts as "content creators", that they can then influence whichever way. Much harder to steer 100M accounts in the direction desired by the platform owners.
If the above about the TikTok algofeed were true. I'd get the urge to bash our SocMed overlords with a heavy object over their heads. For wasting Bazillion of hours of human lives, to feed us slop, andfor their own detriment, and ours. The very definition of human stupidity. Unexcusable on the part of the Zucks and Musks. /rant ]]]
4:42 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914333084545073619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - I have been luckier than that so far I must say. What's your setup?
I'm using aider atm, current best-but-expensive is
aider-openai-best() { local -; set -x; env AIDER_START="$(date)" aider --architect --model openai/o3 --editor-model openai/gpt-4.1 --openai-api-key ${OPENAI_API_KEY} ; }
All the while trying all the other tools (Cursor, Windsurf, addons Cline and Roo for VSCode) from time to time.
Last week it was Gemini and DeepSeek that I used. They wrote me 95% code of a boring module in a language I can read but not write super comfortably yet. I could have done it manually, bit this was more fun. My current best process is 1) write into INSTRUCTIONS-dot-md (that unlike in-chat instructions can go in git as documentation too); then 2) tell aider "read instructions from file xxx, then do as instructed".
This was prob v7 of the same functionality I have done over the years in a coterie of languages. So not only did I know what needs doing and how, buy I also knew of the likely fails, and dangerous corners. Enough to be anticipating some and preemptively describing, as well as being on a lookout for likely logical errors. (LLM makes no syntax errors??) All in all - good experience, will repeat.
Anyways - just came to your TL to say I loved listening to your "Reinforcement Learning, by the Book" series, it is excellent. Thanks for making it and sharing it with the world.
3:59 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - I have been luckier than that so far I must say. What's your setup?
I'm using aider atm, current best-but-expensive is
aider-openai-best() { local -; set -x; env AIDER_START="$(date)" aider --architect --model openai/o3 --editor-model openai/gpt-4.1 --openai-api-key ${OPENAI_API_KEY} ; }
All the while trying all the other tools (Cursor, Windsurf, addons Cline and Roo for VSCode) from time to time.
Last week it was Gemini and DeepSeek that I used. They wrote me 95% code of a boring module in a language I can read but not write super comfortably yet. I could have done it manually, bit this was more fun. My current best process is 1) write into INSTRUCTIONS-dot-md (that unlike in-chat instructions can go in git as documentation too); then 2) tell aider "read instructions from file xxx, then do as instructed".
This was prob v7 of the same functionality I have done over the years in a coterie of languages. So not only did I know what needs doing and how, buy I also knew of the likely fails, and dangerous corners. Enough to be anticipating some and preemptively describing, as well as being on a lookout for likely logical errors. (LLM makes no syntax errors??) All in all - good experience, will repeat.
Anyways - just came to your TL to say I loved listening to your "Reinforcement Learning, by the Book" series, it is excellent. Thanks for making it and sharing it with the world.
3:59 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914315862057660755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Random observation. For all their faults, the UK elites running the British Empire were forever outward looking almost to a fault. Maybe it helps that the United Kingdom is in itself 3.5 nations too.
In contrast, the US elites educated in the best Unis of the land (Ivy Leagues? etc), seem forever inward looking, parochial, ill informed. It puzzles me to a lot. Americans I've met in the US have been nothing but open or even keen to talk about anything, and open minded. US-ians abroad I have interacted with, have also been open and curious, not closed to experience. (as long as one does not criticise outright their native lands; and that's fine, we are like that, myself included)
How is it then, that just the US-based elites commanding the heights of the country, are so painfully not-self-aware. I fail to understand.
2:50 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Random observation. For all their faults, the UK elites running the British Empire were forever outward looking almost to a fault. Maybe it helps that the United Kingdom is in itself 3.5 nations too.
In contrast, the US elites educated in the best Unis of the land (Ivy Leagues? etc), seem forever inward looking, parochial, ill informed. It puzzles me to a lot. Americans I've met in the US have been nothing but open or even keen to talk about anything, and open minded. US-ians abroad I have interacted with, have also been open and curious, not closed to experience. (as long as one does not criticise outright their native lands; and that's fine, we are like that, myself included)
How is it then, that just the US-based elites commanding the heights of the country, are so painfully not-self-aware. I fail to understand.
2:50 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914298523312443416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of the eternal mysteries that. Why not change it, indeed? Would love for the gov advice be made public. So so wish we had uk gov RADICAL TRANSPARENCY.
I suspect the advice is that then we will end up with rolling geographical blackouts. That's why. I suspect not enough gov wordcels are clued up to the facts of physics that anything demanded needs to be produced, everything produced needs to be consumed. And if that is out of balance in the grid every second of every hour of every day (not just some average), then bad bad things happen to all electrical devices connected to the network.
While reducing supply when demand is less is easy—one stops generators or disconnects them from the network—increasing supply when demand is more is between hard and impossible. Ofc it is!
I suspect there is some advice somewhere in the bowels of gov, that warns uk gov that they will end with blackouts. And while for increase in prices it's not super hard for the gov to muddy the waters, lie to us by omission and or commission, and get away with it, having the country grind to a halt b/c a gov of 21-st century fails to master almost 19-th century tech will be impossible to hide.
And while the Great British Public is getting ever more clued up with every electricity price rise. I fear change will not happen soon enough to prevent a catastrophic nation-wide blackout. Of the type when UK has to resort to the Dinorwig to bootstrap its National Grid back online from a total power-off. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout. The odds of this have been creeping up, noticeably so in the last 10 years.
1:41 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of the eternal mysteries that. Why not change it, indeed? Would love for the gov advice be made public. So so wish we had uk gov RADICAL TRANSPARENCY.
I suspect the advice is that then we will end up with rolling geographical blackouts. That's why. I suspect not enough gov wordcels are clued up to the facts of physics that anything demanded needs to be produced, everything produced needs to be consumed. And if that is out of balance in the grid every second of every hour of every day (not just some average), then bad bad things happen to all electrical devices connected to the network.
While reducing supply when demand is less is easy—one stops generators or disconnects them from the network—increasing supply when demand is more is between hard and impossible. Ofc it is!
I suspect there is some advice somewhere in the bowels of gov, that warns uk gov that they will end with blackouts. And while for increase in prices it's not super hard for the gov to muddy the waters, lie to us by omission and or commission, and get away with it, having the country grind to a halt b/c a gov of 21-st century fails to master almost 19-th century tech will be impossible to hide.
And while the Great British Public is getting ever more clued up with every electricity price rise. I fear change will not happen soon enough to prevent a catastrophic nation-wide blackout. Of the type when UK has to resort to the Dinorwig to bootstrap its National Grid back online from a total power-off. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout. The odds of this have been creeping up, noticeably so in the last 10 years.
1:41 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914291012312170757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree with "prosecuted" (they should be), disagree with "only".
There is no argument to be made for "only". We try reduce (by finding and punishing the perpetrators) the crime of theft, in addition to the crime of murder, and 100s of other crimes. One doesn't preclude the other.
IDK how much you have followed the Gain-of-Function (GoF) Yes-or-Not wars in the US (and elsewhere) within the scientific establishment, ongoing for many decades now. Afaik and told in the shortest possible way: there are two sides. 1) Anto-GoF camp argument is "GoF is too risky, there is a huge potential downside - and including total catastrophic scenario of humanity being exterminated - for little gain". 2) The Pro-GoF camp argument is "specific anti-virus knowledge gained, may help us survive a pandemic, and risk not that great and worth the knowledge gained".
I became aware of the two sided GoF war following the weaponised anthrax attacks (anthrax sent in mail envelopes) on the US parliament(s) in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks. (now mostly forgotten https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2001_anthrax_attacks.) Have been following it since.
As (engineered or not) virus pandemic risk is one of the catastrophic risks to humanity, on par with thermo-nuclear war or asteroid hitting earth. The latest Covid episode in my mind weakens the Pro-GoF camp and strengthens the Anti-GoF side, as: no work done in Wuhan was instrumental in any way in making of any of the vaccines that were used to (successfully in the end) drive down the virus. Technologies like RNA, as well as older ones used for other vaccines, had nothing to do with GoF research at all.
There is certainly non-trivial chance that the virus was GoF research gone badly wrong. It happens all the time, has happened before. GoF (in some form) was already made illegal in US law. If US scientists funded foreign research to circumvent the US laws—I see no problem US applying their laws whichever way they see fit. The idea that someone knows, without investigation on the ground, conclusively, that it was this way or other way, and therefore no investigation should happen, is ludicrous.
Having lost relatives to Covid-I hold such light-headed people in personal contempt. From what we can reasonably suspect, learning some from what is in the public domain, I would like to see individuals pursuing GoF in the US (and UK; in defiance of existing US laws) investigated by US. (even if I'm not US-ian) Then if need be—prosecuted, in jail, or worse. After reading partial emails, my thoughts&feelings were: "They betrayed us all. They betrayed our trust. They said one thing in public, and said opposite things in private between themselves. They conspired like mafiosi. It's inexcusable."
It's looking so far that the Trump admin is also going for less than full disclosure. Trying to shield selected some or the other from public disclosure. This is in part why I'm for radical transparency "fully open gov everything as default in public domain on public web on public shared clouds". Too much energy us lost even getting to the basic info.
1:11 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree with "prosecuted" (they should be), disagree with "only".
There is no argument to be made for "only". We try reduce (by finding and punishing the perpetrators) the crime of theft, in addition to the crime of murder, and 100s of other crimes. One doesn't preclude the other.
IDK how much you have followed the Gain-of-Function (GoF) Yes-or-Not wars in the US (and elsewhere) within the scientific establishment, ongoing for many decades now. Afaik and told in the shortest possible way: there are two sides. 1) Anto-GoF camp argument is "GoF is too risky, there is a huge potential downside - and including total catastrophic scenario of humanity being exterminated - for little gain". 2) The Pro-GoF camp argument is "specific anti-virus knowledge gained, may help us survive a pandemic, and risk not that great and worth the knowledge gained".
I became aware of the two sided GoF war following the weaponised anthrax attacks (anthrax sent in mail envelopes) on the US parliament(s) in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks. (now mostly forgotten https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2001_anthrax_attacks.) Have been following it since.
As (engineered or not) virus pandemic risk is one of the catastrophic risks to humanity, on par with thermo-nuclear war or asteroid hitting earth. The latest Covid episode in my mind weakens the Pro-GoF camp and strengthens the Anti-GoF side, as: no work done in Wuhan was instrumental in any way in making of any of the vaccines that were used to (successfully in the end) drive down the virus. Technologies like RNA, as well as older ones used for other vaccines, had nothing to do with GoF research at all.
There is certainly non-trivial chance that the virus was GoF research gone badly wrong. It happens all the time, has happened before. GoF (in some form) was already made illegal in US law. If US scientists funded foreign research to circumvent the US laws—I see no problem US applying their laws whichever way they see fit. The idea that someone knows, without investigation on the ground, conclusively, that it was this way or other way, and therefore no investigation should happen, is ludicrous.
Having lost relatives to Covid-I hold such light-headed people in personal contempt. From what we can reasonably suspect, learning some from what is in the public domain, I would like to see individuals pursuing GoF in the US (and UK; in defiance of existing US laws) investigated by US. (even if I'm not US-ian) Then if need be—prosecuted, in jail, or worse. After reading partial emails, my thoughts&feelings were: "They betrayed us all. They betrayed our trust. They said one thing in public, and said opposite things in private between themselves. They conspired like mafiosi. It's inexcusable."
It's looking so far that the Trump admin is also going for less than full disclosure. Trying to shield selected some or the other from public disclosure. This is in part why I'm for radical transparency "fully open gov everything as default in public domain on public web on public shared clouds". Too much energy us lost even getting to the basic info.
1:11 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914281291207397626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Inane maybe - but what interest me, is it true or not, or rather, how much true/false it maybe.
12:33 PM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Inane maybe - but what interest me, is it true or not, or rather, how much true/false it maybe.
12:33 PM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914250882771825001
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are onto a good thing with your GIMBY - top marks for that!
Still—improvement possible on the apartment living front too, and without super-effort. Brutalist cheap but ugly, but: add tropical lush greenery to it, lots of light, go towards Solar Punk. Make it extra spacious not the London or NYC pathetic sq2-foot-per-person abomination, (go super high or low as needed,)—and imo it becomes much more appealing. At least to me. I live in my garden GIMBY, but I think I could as well live in a sky garden in central London, if one was available.
10:32 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are onto a good thing with your GIMBY - top marks for that!
Still—improvement possible on the apartment living front too, and without super-effort. Brutalist cheap but ugly, but: add tropical lush greenery to it, lots of light, go towards Solar Punk. Make it extra spacious not the London or NYC pathetic sq2-foot-per-person abomination, (go super high or low as needed,)—and imo it becomes much more appealing. At least to me. I live in my garden GIMBY, but I think I could as well live in a sky garden in central London, if one was available.
10:32 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914248428839649365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sinking ever lower. Long way from "barbarian Khan from the steppes curious about the stars asking medicine man".
JR could hop on a plane today, and find everything and anything Ukraine for himself easily. He lacks the will to do so. Oh-well - nothing good lasts forever.
Note for any and all to do with UFC—that Joe rightly cares about—he does not bring-in imbecile idiot randos in studio. Not even for sh*t-chatting!! Naah—fighting business taken seriously enough to not waste it with "my calling card is I know nothing"-cretins.
And good on him for that. Fr Joe should apply the good UFC-chat criteria to non-UFC chats. Rn it's a shit-show, and a boring one to boot!! The cretins chatting shit not even funny. More—just sad losers.
10:22 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sinking ever lower. Long way from "barbarian Khan from the steppes curious about the stars asking medicine man".
JR could hop on a plane today, and find everything and anything Ukraine for himself easily. He lacks the will to do so. Oh-well - nothing good lasts forever.
Note for any and all to do with UFC—that Joe rightly cares about—he does not bring-in imbecile idiot randos in studio. Not even for sh*t-chatting!! Naah—fighting business taken seriously enough to not waste it with "my calling card is I know nothing"-cretins.
And good on him for that. Fr Joe should apply the good UFC-chat criteria to non-UFC chats. Rn it's a shit-show, and a boring one to boot!! The cretins chatting shit not even funny. More—just sad losers.
10:22 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914217767890309310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed there I think you are right. The world seems more complex now compared to then. Requirements, demands on kids now are more, and yes more complicated now compared to then. Is my impression too
Travel to Europe - yeah simpler in that requirements Re: itinerary, prior bookings etc - not required. I was only ever asked as backpacker to show I was in possession of some cash, as a proof of means to support oneself. That was all if I remember correctly.
Having a good passport, and also inside-Europe intra-travel, may have been factors making your experience extra pain free.
8:20 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed there I think you are right. The world seems more complex now compared to then. Requirements, demands on kids now are more, and yes more complicated now compared to then. Is my impression too
Travel to Europe - yeah simpler in that requirements Re: itinerary, prior bookings etc - not required. I was only ever asked as backpacker to show I was in possession of some cash, as a proof of means to support oneself. That was all if I remember correctly.
Having a good passport, and also inside-Europe intra-travel, may have been factors making your experience extra pain free.
8:20 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914214415282340304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My impression observing my kids growing up in the UK was the opposite of that. Compared to myself growing up (e.g. me enrolling at University in 1987), my kids seemed more mature, more responsible about the usual vices and dangers of that age like alcohol, smoking, drugs, more clued up wrt e.g. drink driving , sex etc than we every were at their age. I remember being fairly impressed by their maturity for the age. (comparably)
8:07 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My impression observing my kids growing up in the UK was the opposite of that. Compared to myself growing up (e.g. me enrolling at University in 1987), my kids seemed more mature, more responsible about the usual vices and dangers of that age like alcohol, smoking, drugs, more clued up wrt e.g. drink driving , sex etc than we every were at their age. I remember being fairly impressed by their maturity for the age. (comparably)
8:07 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914211567870087327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I was naïve too as 20yo pair hitchhiking Ljubljana-Amsterdam, but I think not that naive. Not to feel-even maybe without knowing explicitly-that every non-trivial prolonged interaction with anything resembling police, esp close to any borders, spelled "Warning ⚠️ warning 🚨" signs in red flashing letters. Nothing good fs.
Observing my kids in modern times, with everyone everything online on the Internet for all to read, I got the impression they're 10 times more informed, more cognisant of all things travel, than we ever were pre-the-Internet. I remember reconnecting with the group post trip, once at destination, was of type "meet on Leitzeplain 6pm-8pm wait any day for up to 10 days if/once you arrive". Such poorly equipped we were, without any means of communication.
7:56 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I was naïve too as 20yo pair hitchhiking Ljubljana-Amsterdam, but I think not that naive. Not to feel-even maybe without knowing explicitly-that every non-trivial prolonged interaction with anything resembling police, esp close to any borders, spelled "Warning ⚠️ warning 🚨" signs in red flashing letters. Nothing good fs.
Observing my kids in modern times, with everyone everything online on the Internet for all to read, I got the impression they're 10 times more informed, more cognisant of all things travel, than we ever were pre-the-Internet. I remember reconnecting with the group post trip, once at destination, was of type "meet on Leitzeplain 6pm-8pm wait any day for up to 10 days if/once you arrive". Such poorly equipped we were, without any means of communication.
7:56 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914206957470097702
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreeing with you 101% there! Please do that, go forth and multiply such policies.
I was just reflecting on that aspect on the world of travel through my personal experience. The poor girls seemingly less clued up than one would hope for world travellers. Esp for backpackers.
7:37 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreeing with you 101% there! Please do that, go forth and multiply such policies.
I was just reflecting on that aspect on the world of travel through my personal experience. The poor girls seemingly less clued up than one would hope for world travellers. Esp for backpackers.
7:37 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914122530048315543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes you did great there in that article. Helped me understand much about TBPR - Tech Bro Progressive Right. Thanks for that!
You may like this interview that sounded complementary to my ears to your article (I click on the camera to fixate the video and compass to scroll the transcript)
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes you did great there in that article. Helped me understand much about TBPR - Tech Bro Progressive Right. Thanks for that!
You may like this interview that sounded complementary to my ears to your article (I click on the camera to fixate the video and compass to scroll the transcript)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=TDnevmmpVhk
To me, has the feeling of "dispatch from far and away lands of which we know little"-type from an English Lord. :-) It's from the Trump inauguration. The dude was the only LAB (=Labour, the current party in gov in the UK) person invited. (by JDVance; and shown around by Bannon.) He was tasked with establishing contact with the natives and bringing back information to base. 😁 (=London; looked he did well.)
He sketches the two groupings within the MAGA coalition. On the left side the nativists (Bannon, Cass, I presume Miller, Vance added in this group - is he completely in there, or straddling both?), one the right side TBPR (Musk, Sacks , ....), and Trump a Caesar like figure on an elevated throne half-height above both sides, adjudicating any disputes within the coalition, his decisions accepted as final by all.
His description of "Capitalism in one country" of the "capitalist left" (the nativists), versus "International capitalism" of the "capitalist right" (the TBPR), in analogy to "socialism in one country" of Stalin v.s. "international communism" of Trotsky I thought was an excellent analogy. 😆
2:02 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914117562268369372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK plenty people will be shocked. Yeah it's extreme to jail them overnight. But these girls were too naive. When offered a flight out immediately, ofc they should have taken it. Where did they think they'd be kept overnight - in The Hilton?? Assume the worst in such unfortunate situations.
Mentioning any hint of "work", even work as much as "checking my work email on my phone" is naive in my book. People used to privileged passports, I must say, have little idea of how people very much looking like them, on less privileged passports, travel.
States treat their own domestic citizens badly aplenty. If you are not paranoid as a foreign citizen esp at immigration - you are doing it wrong. Half-dozen times I've visited US, the border did feel a step up from the usual within-Europe borders. It's clear one is entering another continent. Being called "aliens" adds to it maybe. :-) I imagine maybe inter-planetary travel of the future is like that a bit? US immigration was not that perky nor cheerful even to US citizens.
1:42 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK plenty people will be shocked. Yeah it's extreme to jail them overnight. But these girls were too naive. When offered a flight out immediately, ofc they should have taken it. Where did they think they'd be kept overnight - in The Hilton?? Assume the worst in such unfortunate situations.
Mentioning any hint of "work", even work as much as "checking my work email on my phone" is naive in my book. People used to privileged passports, I must say, have little idea of how people very much looking like them, on less privileged passports, travel.
States treat their own domestic citizens badly aplenty. If you are not paranoid as a foreign citizen esp at immigration - you are doing it wrong. Half-dozen times I've visited US, the border did feel a step up from the usual within-Europe borders. It's clear one is entering another continent. Being called "aliens" adds to it maybe. :-) I imagine maybe inter-planetary travel of the future is like that a bit? US immigration was not that perky nor cheerful even to US citizens.
1:42 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914108871490097306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are more than chatty friends to me now.
Last week Gemini and DeepSeek wrote me 95% code of a boring module in a language I can read but not write super comfortably yet. I could have done it manually, bit this was more fun. Me writing http://INSTRUCTIONS.MD, then pointing aider "read instructions and do as instructed". This was prob v7 of the same functionality I have done over thebyears in a cotterie of languages. So not only I knew what needs doing and how, buy I also knew of the likely fails and dangerous corners. Enough to be anticipating some and preemptively describing, as well as being on a lookout for likely logical errors. (LLM makes no syntax errors.) All in all - good experience, will repeat.
Then today had o3 search for a GPU card to be put in a 10yrs old box for LLM use. Searching through options among various RTX 30xx, 40xx and 50xx (jic) Nvidia-s. Looking for a sweet spot for fp32 bit also bfloat16, under min-VRAM allowed constraint. And TDP fitting the old PSU power allowance, including considering underpowering the gpu for small performance loss. All the while keeping eye on the approx price. There o3 did well, and even discovered 1 error in my spec/logic too! Very useful and defo saved me time searching through, pulling and reading through specs, wikis and forums pages. Will be using o3 for this again in the future.
1:08 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are more than chatty friends to me now.
Last week Gemini and DeepSeek wrote me 95% code of a boring module in a language I can read but not write super comfortably yet. I could have done it manually, bit this was more fun. Me writing http://INSTRUCTIONS.MD, then pointing aider "read instructions and do as instructed". This was prob v7 of the same functionality I have done over thebyears in a cotterie of languages. So not only I knew what needs doing and how, buy I also knew of the likely fails and dangerous corners. Enough to be anticipating some and preemptively describing, as well as being on a lookout for likely logical errors. (LLM makes no syntax errors.) All in all - good experience, will repeat.
Then today had o3 search for a GPU card to be put in a 10yrs old box for LLM use. Searching through options among various RTX 30xx, 40xx and 50xx (jic) Nvidia-s. Looking for a sweet spot for fp32 bit also bfloat16, under min-VRAM allowed constraint. And TDP fitting the old PSU power allowance, including considering underpowering the gpu for small performance loss. All the while keeping eye on the approx price. There o3 did well, and even discovered 1 error in my spec/logic too! Very useful and defo saved me time searching through, pulling and reading through specs, wikis and forums pages. Will be using o3 for this again in the future.
1:08 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914098107798692155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Well the parents of few friends defo financed friends gaming habits. And thus financed the Nvidia (and ATI fwiw) R&D budgets. Took decades and lots of R&D to get to RTX 5090. :-)
Inflate the price - price increase while the product still selling is good, shows a sweat spot was hit: there is a need that was being now fulfilled. People are paying the price, b/c they are getting something of value to them for surrendering their hard earned cash to get the product. A match in heaven! Even better latter when the price goes down once the competition joins in, the product is ramped up x10 - x100 times. IDK how is Nvidia still so much at premium. AMD/ATI asleep for years now, leaving $$$ uncollected.
In a startup position, one lacks both a product and a market. It's such a sh*t position to be in. Impossible to predict what's going to work, if anything, and when, if ever. Watching YT now remember watching old early vid of the YT founders. Forlorn, in a tatty office, around 2 desks in 3 chairs, wondering aloud if even 1000 users are going to bother to register and upload a single video. For one based on new Research - it's even harder.
12:25 AM · Apr 21, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Well the parents of few friends defo financed friends gaming habits. And thus financed the Nvidia (and ATI fwiw) R&D budgets. Took decades and lots of R&D to get to RTX 5090. :-)
Inflate the price - price increase while the product still selling is good, shows a sweat spot was hit: there is a need that was being now fulfilled. People are paying the price, b/c they are getting something of value to them for surrendering their hard earned cash to get the product. A match in heaven! Even better latter when the price goes down once the competition joins in, the product is ramped up x10 - x100 times. IDK how is Nvidia still so much at premium. AMD/ATI asleep for years now, leaving $$$ uncollected.
In a startup position, one lacks both a product and a market. It's such a sh*t position to be in. Impossible to predict what's going to work, if anything, and when, if ever. Watching YT now remember watching old early vid of the YT founders. Forlorn, in a tatty office, around 2 desks in 3 chairs, wondering aloud if even 1000 users are going to bother to register and upload a single video. For one based on new Research - it's even harder.
12:25 AM · Apr 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914075713537257582
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If there was ever a competition of "things that fascinate large numbers of people while being completely inconsequential to anything" the "question of consciousness" is the academia equivalent to "The Kardashians". What a waste of talent, time, energy, effort.
10:56 PM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If there was ever a competition of "things that fascinate large numbers of people while being completely inconsequential to anything" the "question of consciousness" is the academia equivalent to "The Kardashians". What a waste of talent, time, energy, effort.
10:56 PM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914051154104696850
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yes - and also the only thing bootstrapping itself into life.
The two maybe related. Being alive being trouble.
IDK how but maybe the only thing truly in contacts with randomness?? Totally strange how it would be, and yet and yet
9:18 PM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yes - and also the only thing bootstrapping itself into life.
The two maybe related. Being alive being trouble.
IDK how but maybe the only thing truly in contacts with randomness?? Totally strange how it would be, and yet and yet
9:18 PM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1914014161396211763
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? No—I never used m-dash until AI pointed it out for me and I got a Mac/keyboard where I can see it. It's so so useful, to have both dashes - the m-dash and the plain old (I presume?) n-dash. AI introduced me to m-dash that didn't exist for me b4 ai tbh.
6:51 PM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? No—I never used m-dash until AI pointed it out for me and I got a Mac/keyboard where I can see it. It's so so useful, to have both dashes - the m-dash and the plain old (I presume?) n-dash. AI introduced me to m-dash that didn't exist for me b4 ai tbh.
6:51 PM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913937655877796011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK pensioners are eligible for the State Pension (SP) after contributing National Insurance (NI) for 10 years, and the maximum SP if they have contributed for 35 years. Their SP is not linked to the amount they actually paid in during their working life.
The NI contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but almost a fixed fee. (except on the very lowest end.) So when we in the UK draw SP, we also draw about a fixed amount all of us. (except if less than max SP qualifying years.)
As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, that NI number is fairly low, compared to pension contributions in other systems (e.g. Europe) where the contributions are more of a %age of salary - even for SP.
In the UK this is how the Private Pensions (PP) work, but not SP. So people with SP only usually get the wrong impression when they compare UK SP to SP elsewhere.
1:47 PM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK pensioners are eligible for the State Pension (SP) after contributing National Insurance (NI) for 10 years, and the maximum SP if they have contributed for 35 years. Their SP is not linked to the amount they actually paid in during their working life.
The NI contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but almost a fixed fee. (except on the very lowest end.) So when we in the UK draw SP, we also draw about a fixed amount all of us. (except if less than max SP qualifying years.)
As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, that NI number is fairly low, compared to pension contributions in other systems (e.g. Europe) where the contributions are more of a %age of salary - even for SP.
In the UK this is how the Private Pensions (PP) work, but not SP. So people with SP only usually get the wrong impression when they compare UK SP to SP elsewhere.
1:47 PM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913930900535919002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't notice X trying at all tbh. I'd have thought, as with CN, 1st step wd be enable distributed policing by users that are good citizens.
I'm happy to pay up to $99, once, to X, to get 2 flags of ID validation 1) real human+name 2) real human (but maybe unreal name). Provided I can filter everything on X on either of the flags be on/off. Everything being Posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies, Notifications.
Sorting through lists of anything on X (users, notifications, posts, lists) remains as manual today as 10yrs ago. Zero value add over 10yrs there by X.
Silver lining: by being badly run, X didn't kill off all competition completely.
1:21 PM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't notice X trying at all tbh. I'd have thought, as with CN, 1st step wd be enable distributed policing by users that are good citizens.
I'm happy to pay up to $99, once, to X, to get 2 flags of ID validation 1) real human+name 2) real human (but maybe unreal name). Provided I can filter everything on X on either of the flags be on/off. Everything being Posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies, Notifications.
Sorting through lists of anything on X (users, notifications, posts, lists) remains as manual today as 10yrs ago. Zero value add over 10yrs there by X.
Silver lining: by being badly run, X didn't kill off all competition completely.
1:21 PM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913911333793202222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...GPUs financed a lot by the generosity of parents. Usually buying a graphics gaming card after incessant nagging of their teenage kids, usually sons.
Also games providing early test beds for the DeepMind and rest RL algos development. After RL doing not much forever.
12:03 PM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...GPUs financed a lot by the generosity of parents. Usually buying a graphics gaming card after incessant nagging of their teenage kids, usually sons.
Also games providing early test beds for the DeepMind and rest RL algos development. After RL doing not much forever.
12:03 PM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913891545540894736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👆👆👆 Exactly the above!
Further, in the UK the NI contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but almost a fixed fee. (except on the very lowest end.) So when we in the UK draw SP, we also draw about a fixed amount all of us. (except if less than max qualifying years.)
As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, that NI number is fairly low, compared to pension contributions in other systems (.e.g Europe) where the contributions are a %age of salary. Even for SP. In the UK this is how the Private Pensions (PP) work, but not SP. So some are familiar, people with SP only–they get the wrong impression when they compare UK SP to SP elsewhere.
10:44 AM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👆👆👆 Exactly the above!
Further, in the UK the NI contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but almost a fixed fee. (except on the very lowest end.) So when we in the UK draw SP, we also draw about a fixed amount all of us. (except if less than max qualifying years.)
As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, that NI number is fairly low, compared to pension contributions in other systems (.e.g Europe) where the contributions are a %age of salary. Even for SP. In the UK this is how the Private Pensions (PP) work, but not SP. So some are familiar, people with SP only–they get the wrong impression when they compare UK SP to SP elsewhere.
10:44 AM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913839853051031827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - fair. I'm prejudiced the opposite way. I think the risk of human extinction without AI, is order of magnitude higher, than with AI.
I'm not particularly human-centric, but best intelligence we know of, to the best of our knowledge, is HI atm. So imo HI is well worth preserving. If we don't get off Earth, thermo-nuclear war, another worse virus (human engineered or natural), or a meteorite strike will get us. So for that—we need to solve gravity to realistically make progress in leaving Earth fr.
On our current risk. Human leaders are the worst homicidal maniacs at present. Cheered and supported by the majorities of humans populations in their lunacies. They pose ever present danger. Politician-AI maybe the best available short term fix: replace with AIs the US, China etc presidents. Political system is top in disfunctionality, where adverse selection is strong at work. Disfunction of the type: the best leader is the one person that does not want to be the leader. And conversely a very strong desire to lead in people is actually a bad predictor to leadership quality.
LLM-s not good enough - most agree they are not. But few claim LLM-s alone are the end of the road. Note the evolution at work we already observed: GPT-2 is very different to o3, in architecture and size. We can see AF (and previous AlphaZero) features - hypothesis generation space, explicit searching that space, backtracking etc (Type 2 HI) while entirely missing in GPT-2, now elements of all that are already bolted onto existing LLM architectures, for o3. That trend expected will continue.
For only multi-modality of data remains to be harvested within the feed-forward architecture. And that maybe not as much gain on its own as originally hoped for, as language has show itself to be more rich than we anticipated. Multi-modality probably more useful in conjunction with embodiment, where AIs collect their own real-life feedback data.
Saw this Silver recent interview, maybe of interest, some tidbits there. (I click on the camera to fixate the video on screen, and on the compass for auto-scroll)
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - fair. I'm prejudiced the opposite way. I think the risk of human extinction without AI, is order of magnitude higher, than with AI.
I'm not particularly human-centric, but best intelligence we know of, to the best of our knowledge, is HI atm. So imo HI is well worth preserving. If we don't get off Earth, thermo-nuclear war, another worse virus (human engineered or natural), or a meteorite strike will get us. So for that—we need to solve gravity to realistically make progress in leaving Earth fr.
On our current risk. Human leaders are the worst homicidal maniacs at present. Cheered and supported by the majorities of humans populations in their lunacies. They pose ever present danger. Politician-AI maybe the best available short term fix: replace with AIs the US, China etc presidents. Political system is top in disfunctionality, where adverse selection is strong at work. Disfunction of the type: the best leader is the one person that does not want to be the leader. And conversely a very strong desire to lead in people is actually a bad predictor to leadership quality.
LLM-s not good enough - most agree they are not. But few claim LLM-s alone are the end of the road. Note the evolution at work we already observed: GPT-2 is very different to o3, in architecture and size. We can see AF (and previous AlphaZero) features - hypothesis generation space, explicit searching that space, backtracking etc (Type 2 HI) while entirely missing in GPT-2, now elements of all that are already bolted onto existing LLM architectures, for o3. That trend expected will continue.
For only multi-modality of data remains to be harvested within the feed-forward architecture. And that maybe not as much gain on its own as originally hoped for, as language has show itself to be more rich than we anticipated. Multi-modality probably more useful in conjunction with embodiment, where AIs collect their own real-life feedback data.
Saw this Silver recent interview, maybe of interest, some tidbits there. (I click on the camera to fixate the video on screen, and on the compass for auto-scroll)
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=zzXyPGEtseI
Maths maybe the next domain, after games. New maths results are basis of advances usually. Imagine another Gauss or Leibniz visiting us few centuries earlier than expected. Maths advances may allow of physics advances, with implications for the gravity that shackles us to Earth. (where tbh HI has made little progress since Newton centuries ago.)
Also mentioned in the interview-RL algos improvement. Finally getting RL-Reinforcement Learning work as reliably as easily as DL-Deep Learning does nowadays is needed for ASI.
NB for decades Back Propagation didn't work for more than one hidden layer. Then between careful initialisation, clamping on gradients and other means to keep gradients in range, random masking occlusion during training to prevent over-fitting, plus aiding regularisation this way and with few other tricks—all that solved DL. Suddenly networks with 60-100 layers could be trained. Two orders of magnitude fold increase over the previous limit of 1 single hidden layer. All enabled by huge increase in compute power via GPU-s.
7:19 AM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913820131773366505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting read - thanks for that. Comments bellow - hope you don't mind.
You are looking at AILOM, the Loss side, and that is of course fine and good.
There is also Gain side too - AIGOM - to the AI. It's not all Loss, there are things that are Gained too. That's why, among other things, many people have been trying to create AIs for a long time.
For one - PDP Parallel Distributed Processing AIs of the sort you have in mind I presume - are the best models of the human (and non-human) brains we humans have built. People building PDP machines often will say they are interested how humans' brains work. That it's partly about self-discovery, learning about us, humans. (one way of getting to know something, is acquiring a capability to build create the thing)
The current IP laws encompass: Patents, Trade Secrets, Copyright, Trademarks.
Patents. Have got some experience with patents in industrial R&Ds. On balance I thinks they detract from, rather than add to, acquisition and spread of human knowledge. I think Patents should be deleted.
Trade Secrets. Weaken this protection too. At most it should be a private matter, not involving the State as much as now. Some protections restrictions here are also already provided by other laws.
Copyright. Find other ways to compensate and incentivise creators, help them make a living. Address the distribution mostly - it's very much "winner takes all" as is nature of their creations consumption. A Hollywood star can survive with 2 villas about the same as with 10. Then delete copyright.
The motivation is ASI opportunity cost. Imagine 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect. Gains like—humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too. (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets up looking like stone age tools)
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any and all obstacles on that path.
Having said that: this may not be necessary. Human intellectual works was a bootstrap to the AIs, but that's already done. We would need to wait for another 100K years of civilisations for another body of human works to be created, for Copyright to make a difference. Currently AIs are being embodied already, and will start generating their own intellectual works with a feedback loop from the real world. They will generate their own Data to feed into their RL learning pipelines. Copyright if applying to human creations only maybe moot, inconsequential. (except AIs lacking ownership, the new Data generated atm will be monopolised again by theirs human owners; but leaving that aside now)
Trademarks. That seems fine to me. Maybe strengthen it even. Have every human get their own Trademark (e.g. IRL name, picture, voice-print) as default. (like how Copyright atm protects, monopolizes, as default, what I write now) Further, impose on AIs duty to identify as AIs in their interactions with humans HIs, but also other AIs. Clamp down on impersonations, discourage deception, when interacting with one another. Both AIs and HIs are collectively better off in aggregate if they know correctly what kind of entity is on the other end of the interaction - AI or HI.
6:00 AM · Apr 20, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting read - thanks for that. Comments bellow - hope you don't mind.
You are looking at AILOM, the Loss side, and that is of course fine and good.
There is also Gain side too - AIGOM - to the AI. It's not all Loss, there are things that are Gained too. That's why, among other things, many people have been trying to create AIs for a long time.
For one - PDP Parallel Distributed Processing AIs of the sort you have in mind I presume - are the best models of the human (and non-human) brains we humans have built. People building PDP machines often will say they are interested how humans' brains work. That it's partly about self-discovery, learning about us, humans. (one way of getting to know something, is acquiring a capability to build create the thing)
The current IP laws encompass: Patents, Trade Secrets, Copyright, Trademarks.
Patents. Have got some experience with patents in industrial R&Ds. On balance I thinks they detract from, rather than add to, acquisition and spread of human knowledge. I think Patents should be deleted.
Trade Secrets. Weaken this protection too. At most it should be a private matter, not involving the State as much as now. Some protections restrictions here are also already provided by other laws.
Copyright. Find other ways to compensate and incentivise creators, help them make a living. Address the distribution mostly - it's very much "winner takes all" as is nature of their creations consumption. A Hollywood star can survive with 2 villas about the same as with 10. Then delete copyright.
The motivation is ASI opportunity cost. Imagine 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect. Gains like—humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too. (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets up looking like stone age tools)
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any and all obstacles on that path.
Having said that: this may not be necessary. Human intellectual works was a bootstrap to the AIs, but that's already done. We would need to wait for another 100K years of civilisations for another body of human works to be created, for Copyright to make a difference. Currently AIs are being embodied already, and will start generating their own intellectual works with a feedback loop from the real world. They will generate their own Data to feed into their RL learning pipelines. Copyright if applying to human creations only maybe moot, inconsequential. (except AIs lacking ownership, the new Data generated atm will be monopolised again by theirs human owners; but leaving that aside now)
Trademarks. That seems fine to me. Maybe strengthen it even. Have every human get their own Trademark (e.g. IRL name, picture, voice-print) as default. (like how Copyright atm protects, monopolizes, as default, what I write now) Further, impose on AIs duty to identify as AIs in their interactions with humans HIs, but also other AIs. Clamp down on impersonations, discourage deception, when interacting with one another. Both AIs and HIs are collectively better off in aggregate if they know correctly what kind of entity is on the other end of the interaction - AI or HI.
6:00 AM · Apr 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913702126724775939
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
are those unaffordable eggs in the room with us now carla? 😂😂 "unburdened by reality" or what
10:11 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
are those unaffordable eggs in the room with us now carla? 😂😂 "unburdened by reality" or what
10:11 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913700471866278255
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes there is bug fix. Not sure if/what to set for params in @lmstudio . Maybe they are set already without me knowing?
I'm finding "temperature": 0.7 and "max_tokens": -1 presume meaning "OFF" here
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yes there is
I'm finding "temperature": 0.7 and "max_tokens": -1 presume meaning "OFF" here
https://lmstudio.ai/model/gemma-3-27b-it-qat
That leaves out the rest Repeat Penalty (1.1), Top_P sampling (0.95), Min_P (off).
lmstudio.ai
Gemma 3 27B QAT
gemma • google • 27B
10:05 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913622465294565400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—probably a unique moment. Brought in by Blair and to lesser extent Brown personalities. But also by the prolonged suffering through electoral wilderness before.
Present moment—I thought the 14 years after Brown were enough of that. Maybe not enough? But I think it's more they lack Blair-Brown dynamic duo personalities.
Even Blair-2025 of today is not the Blair-1990s. Sometimes the old spark sparks, but most of the time is dull nothingness devoid of ideas, as if a BBC News programme.
4:55 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—probably a unique moment. Brought in by Blair and to lesser extent Brown personalities. But also by the prolonged suffering through electoral wilderness before.
Present moment—I thought the 14 years after Brown were enough of that. Maybe not enough? But I think it's more they lack Blair-Brown dynamic duo personalities.
Even Blair-2025 of today is not the Blair-1990s. Sometimes the old spark sparks, but most of the time is dull nothingness devoid of ideas, as if a BBC News programme.
4:55 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913613367220019626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 it's possible for more than one thing to be true at the same time; I'd allow for that too
4:19 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 it's possible for more than one thing to be true at the same time; I'd allow for that too
4:19 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913583569168957750
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 there was an embarrassing moment in my youth when it was pointed out to me that I had been listening to an EP gramophone record at the wrong speed (45 or 33 rpm - forgot which way it's was)
but too late, as after listening to the record at the wrong speed however many times, correcting and listening at the right speed it sounded very boring and pedestrian - a grave disappointment
2:20 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 there was an embarrassing moment in my youth when it was pointed out to me that I had been listening to an EP gramophone record at the wrong speed (45 or 33 rpm - forgot which way it's was)
but too late, as after listening to the record at the wrong speed however many times, correcting and listening at the right speed it sounded very boring and pedestrian - a grave disappointment
2:20 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913581270807826485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Both CLion and VSCode have served me fine multiple times in the past. But ultimately most time I have spent reading and writing code has been in vim supplemented with ctags for navigation.
2:11 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Both CLion and VSCode have served me fine multiple times in the past. But ultimately most time I have spent reading and writing code has been in vim supplemented with ctags for navigation.
2:11 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913579403570729365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Ah, I see now - only the 1b model is marked Arch "gemma3_text", while the larger 4b and 27b models are marked "gemma3" only. Got it - thanks.
2:04 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Ah, I see now - only the 1b model is marked Arch "gemma3_text", while the larger 4b and 27b models are marked "gemma3" only. Got it - thanks.
2:04 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913578821434978799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - my dude, revealed preferences are golden. 😅
Oft time nowadays when people chat sh*t about privacy this-and-that, I ask them "Ok, how much are you prepared to pay to move your Inbox away from Gmail". Followed by "How much inconvenience are you prepared to put up with". 😁
I'm not making any new friends lately, let us be frank. I only do it for the fun of it! In old/ish age, one sometimes enters a "no f*cks given" mode, and ngl, it is glorious! 🤩
2:01 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - my dude, revealed preferences are golden. 😅
Oft time nowadays when people chat sh*t about privacy this-and-that, I ask them "Ok, how much are you prepared to pay to move your Inbox away from Gmail". Followed by "How much inconvenience are you prepared to put up with". 😁
I'm not making any new friends lately, let us be frank. I only do it for the fun of it! In old/ish age, one sometimes enters a "no f*cks given" mode, and ngl, it is glorious! 🤩
2:01 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913575188920144026
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can't be tested as it is now. The only way is to have the whole chain of data + processing open sourced and on a public git. IDK who the primary data provider is and if ONS could have them do it. If ONS has full rights to the data they could open it all no problems. The code and the processing pipelines I presume they own, they could open source at least that if they wanted to.
I find it mind boggling, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done with free and open software, data, protocols etc in some form. Both legal and less legal. Most people are unaware of how the world they live in was created. When asked "you could open source" almost all of private as well as public/state orgs have not got a clue. It's as incomprehensible as if speaking Chinese to them.
1:47 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can't be tested as it is now. The only way is to have the whole chain of data + processing open sourced and on a public git. IDK who the primary data provider is and if ONS could have them do it. If ONS has full rights to the data they could open it all no problems. The code and the processing pipelines I presume they own, they could open source at least that if they wanted to.
I find it mind boggling, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done with free and open software, data, protocols etc in some form. Both legal and less legal. Most people are unaware of how the world they live in was created. When asked "you could open source" almost all of private as well as public/state orgs have not got a clue. It's as incomprehensible as if speaking Chinese to them.
1:47 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913572687340782024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, it's amazing! 🤩 Are you using @lmstudio ? Does the Speculative Decoding work for you? On a Mac I'm using the MLX versions, downloaded the 1b & 4b versions too hoping to have them offered for speculative decoding for the 27b main one, but no luck so far. (all models 6bit)
1:37 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, it's amazing! 🤩 Are you using @lmstudio ? Does the Speculative Decoding work for you? On a Mac I'm using the MLX versions, downloaded the 1b & 4b versions too hoping to have them offered for speculative decoding for the 27b main one, but no luck so far. (all models 6bit)
1:37 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913569321848123777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent stuff, loving it! 🤩 About double the speed of a prior model of similar size, from recollection. Thanks for that! 🙏
Would you know if we are to expect Speculative Decoding in @lmstudio to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too. Trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" dropdown. So far no luck, none of them show up in the dropdown in @lmstudio . (on mbp m2 ram 96gb)
(pic of the exact models versions below)
1:24 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent stuff, loving it! 🤩 About double the speed of a prior model of similar size, from recollection. Thanks for that! 🙏
Would you know if we are to expect Speculative Decoding in @lmstudio to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too. Trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" dropdown. So far no luck, none of them show up in the dropdown in @lmstudio . (on mbp m2 ram 96gb)
(pic of the exact models versions below)
1:24 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913566364100423787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent stuff! About double the speed of a prior model of similar size, from recollection. 🤩 Thanks for that! 🙏
Would you know if we are to expect Speculative Decoding in @lmstudio to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too. Trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" dropdown. So far no luck, none of them show up in the dropdown in @lmstudio . (on m2 mbp 96gb ram)
(pic of the exact models versions below)
1:12 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent stuff! About double the speed of a prior model of similar size, from recollection. 🤩 Thanks for that! 🙏
Would you know if we are to expect Speculative Decoding in @lmstudio to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too. Trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" dropdown. So far no luck, none of them show up in the dropdown in @lmstudio . (on m2 mbp 96gb ram)
(pic of the exact models versions below)
1:12 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913565456297865262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...now with the bug fixed , first try got (M2 mbp 96gb ram)
8.77 tok/sec • 608 tokens • 4.77s to first token
Excellent stuff! About double the speed of a prior model of similar size, from recollection. 🤩Thanks for that!
Would you know if I should expect Speculative Decoding to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too. Trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" dropdown. So far no luck, none of them show up in the dropdown in @lmstudio .
(pic of the exact models versions below)
1:08 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...now with the
8.77 tok/sec • 608 tokens • 4.77s to first token
Excellent stuff! About double the speed of a prior model of similar size, from recollection. 🤩Thanks for that!
Would you know if I should expect Speculative Decoding to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too. Trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" dropdown. So far no luck, none of them show up in the dropdown in @lmstudio .
(pic of the exact models versions below)
1:08 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913551298961498350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are ruled by morons, selected by cretins, elected by imbeciles.
I find no rational explanation for this self-destruction self-immolation. No big reasons for this are apparent to me. I see general lack of will to live, maybe desire to not have ever existed. But is that it??
12:12 PM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are ruled by morons, selected by cretins, elected by imbeciles.
I find no rational explanation for this self-destruction self-immolation. No big reasons for this are apparent to me. I see general lack of will to live, maybe desire to not have ever existed. But is that it??
12:12 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913545109364224102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no 40-hour work week in my WFH. There is no work time separate from my life time. I type, read, think, etc whatever is needed from the time I get up, to the time I go to bed. I'm a single person Ltd Co so there is no separate vacation time either. I'm currently loving my life setup, hope it last for some time this way. (even if I'm cognisant nothing is forever)
11:48 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no 40-hour work week in my WFH. There is no work time separate from my life time. I type, read, think, etc whatever is needed from the time I get up, to the time I go to bed. I'm a single person Ltd Co so there is no separate vacation time either. I'm currently loving my life setup, hope it last for some time this way. (even if I'm cognisant nothing is forever)
11:48 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913533435190161458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I disliked @AnthropicAI stance on safety, their extreme doomerism, from the get go. I'm prejudiced there. I think the probability of humanity being saved by AI is order of magnitude greater than it being destroyed by AI.
Then at some point @DarioAmodei for my taste went completely over the top. Crossed over to the Dark Side, joined the security/oppression apparatus, banging the China war drums. A process that may yet end in thermo-nuclear exchange ending humanity. The doomers will finally having their prediction come true. But only if they ushered it. (given the egos involved—don't think it impossible)
That is inexcusable. No advancement of knowledge is worth that. I hope the company stays marginalised for the foreseeable future.
Previous/priors - not a fan and it shows 😂
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I disliked @AnthropicAI stance on safety, their extreme doomerism, from the get go. I'm prejudiced there. I think the probability of humanity being saved by AI is order of magnitude greater than it being destroyed by AI.
Then at some point @DarioAmodei for my taste went completely over the top. Crossed over to the Dark Side, joined the security/oppression apparatus, banging the China war drums. A process that may yet end in thermo-nuclear exchange ending humanity. The doomers will finally having their prediction come true. But only if they ushered it. (given the egos involved—don't think it impossible)
That is inexcusable. No advancement of knowledge is worth that. I hope the company stays marginalised for the foreseeable future.
Previous/priors - not a fan and it shows 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887812605445570715
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887530101404729841
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886078108723204241
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884926532839240134
11:01 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913530172944326806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In summary, when all is added and subtracted, I want to see the price I myself pay for energy halve. In the past 10 years, I have seen that price about double. This is a very troubling and disappointing direction of travel. I blame the policies that have been in place in the past 20 years, for that disappointing outcome. I have rooftop solar plus battery, I'm electrical engineer by training and know enough about the workings of the system to form judgements. So I frequently do so.
10:48 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In summary, when all is added and subtracted, I want to see the price I myself pay for energy halve. In the past 10 years, I have seen that price about double. This is a very troubling and disappointing direction of travel. I blame the policies that have been in place in the past 20 years, for that disappointing outcome. I have rooftop solar plus battery, I'm electrical engineer by training and know enough about the workings of the system to form judgements. So I frequently do so.
10:48 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913521126724034969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sooner HF is detached from RLHF, the better. With enough compute and self-generated evidence from the real world, RL should suffice. The malign influence of imbecilic apes removed.
10:12 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sooner HF is detached from RLHF, the better. With enough compute and self-generated evidence from the real world, RL should suffice. The malign influence of imbecilic apes removed.
10:12 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913520236910817782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have heard the definition "Nation is the currently largest group of people, where the 49% losing the elections, accept the will of the 51% that are the winners, even if for limited time, and with the prospect in expectation".
Democracy where a demos- rules (-cratia) relies on that demos being one group. Currently our demos is the Nation. A big big improvement on the Hellenistic period democracy where the demos was at most the size of a city. (by todays criteria—a small city at that)
The ultimate end of separation of the type "why should I be a minority in your State, when if I separate and create my own State, you can then be a minority in mine", is the "sovereign individual". Every one of us completely independent of any other.
Atm that level of separation is impossible, as with our level of knowledge, as individuals we are fairly feeble. We can't provide for our own survival solo. I'm unable to provide my own clean water, food, heat, shelter etc I need daily for survival. Most of us humans would be dead in less than a month left to solo survival. Not to mention we have needed a pair of us to pro-create too.
Looks to me "sovereign individual" will happen, we seem to ever crave more freedom. And dependence is restriction to that freedom. Just the individuals that achieve that will be somewhat different to individuals we are now.
I declare interest in this. I come from a startup nation and startup state. That was in a federation of states, a union that fell apparat in the 1990-s. States separated, and then smaller units separated from them too. It was a traumatic process. Not one to be undertaken lightly. There is enormous cost to destroying something existing. Of course, something else new that didn't exist before was built in the aftermath.
10:09 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have heard the definition "Nation is the currently largest group of people, where the 49% losing the elections, accept the will of the 51% that are the winners, even if for limited time, and with the prospect in expectation".
Democracy where a demos- rules (-cratia) relies on that demos being one group. Currently our demos is the Nation. A big big improvement on the Hellenistic period democracy where the demos was at most the size of a city. (by todays criteria—a small city at that)
The ultimate end of separation of the type "why should I be a minority in your State, when if I separate and create my own State, you can then be a minority in mine", is the "sovereign individual". Every one of us completely independent of any other.
Atm that level of separation is impossible, as with our level of knowledge, as individuals we are fairly feeble. We can't provide for our own survival solo. I'm unable to provide my own clean water, food, heat, shelter etc I need daily for survival. Most of us humans would be dead in less than a month left to solo survival. Not to mention we have needed a pair of us to pro-create too.
Looks to me "sovereign individual" will happen, we seem to ever crave more freedom. And dependence is restriction to that freedom. Just the individuals that achieve that will be somewhat different to individuals we are now.
I declare interest in this. I come from a startup nation and startup state. That was in a federation of states, a union that fell apparat in the 1990-s. States separated, and then smaller units separated from them too. It was a traumatic process. Not one to be undertaken lightly. There is enormous cost to destroying something existing. Of course, something else new that didn't exist before was built in the aftermath.
10:09 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913509890011656689
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well now. For the post WW2 period, the playbook was there was NATO “To keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down.”
True that beginning of the end of that settlement was 1990-s end of the Soviet Union. But—no-one takes action and things continue on default, on auto-pilot, unless one is forced to change course. And that is fine. As taking action entails costs. A good conservative principle that: don't change things willy-nilly, for any change means certain costs, and uncertain benefits.
Now we are at the end of that beginning finally. Things will have to change. (if only for them to possibly stay the same-heh)
[[[ annoyed enough with my typing to delete and repost with fix to annoying typos; damn you X and your no-editing-the-reply silly ]]]
9:28 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well now. For the post WW2 period, the playbook was there was NATO “To keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down.”
True that beginning of the end of that settlement was 1990-s end of the Soviet Union. But—no-one takes action and things continue on default, on auto-pilot, unless one is forced to change course. And that is fine. As taking action entails costs. A good conservative principle that: don't change things willy-nilly, for any change means certain costs, and uncertain benefits.
Now we are at the end of that beginning finally. Things will have to change. (if only for them to possibly stay the same-heh)
[[[ annoyed enough with my typing to delete and repost with fix to annoying typos; damn you X and your no-editing-the-reply silly ]]]
9:28 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913506142866547101
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Heh - nice! It should be solved with moar GPU power, once HF is out of RLHF and we let RL do its thing. Is my prejudice.
9:13 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Heh - nice! It should be solved with moar GPU power, once HF is out of RLHF and we let RL do its thing. Is my prejudice.
9:13 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913503304132280390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep—solved again
prior art, vibes==love
9:01 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep—solved again
prior art, vibes==love
9:01 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913501491152691234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But that's simply factually trivially untrue. Some code similar to it yeah maybe existed. But almost certainly not the same code. And in that, it's no different to what I do when I don't vibe code.
Given the opportunities, the options available to us, to concentrate so much and spend so much time on what a tool can't do, rather than what it can do, and how we can best utilise it to the max—just find that very sad.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But that's simply factually trivially untrue. Some code similar to it yeah maybe existed. But almost certainly not the same code. And in that, it's no different to what I do when I don't vibe code.
Given the opportunities, the options available to us, to concentrate so much and spend so much time on what a tool can't do, rather than what it can do, and how we can best utilise it to the max—just find that very sad.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913320863769801190
8:54 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913489045251911789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Non-trivial fraction of personas participating in public life at any given time, seem to be in need of psychiatric medical help. Significantly larger fraction than would be expected, just from the background prevalence of mental health illnesses in the general population. Some king of negative selection seem to be at work.
IDK if, or how, can societies get better at filtering out individuals with clear mental health problems. All the while preserving our liberties to free speech, free thinking etc, without which the current society can not exist. Wish I knew more on how to answer this. It takes a single bad apple to spoil a whole barrel after all.
8:05 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Non-trivial fraction of personas participating in public life at any given time, seem to be in need of psychiatric medical help. Significantly larger fraction than would be expected, just from the background prevalence of mental health illnesses in the general population. Some king of negative selection seem to be at work.
IDK if, or how, can societies get better at filtering out individuals with clear mental health problems. All the while preserving our liberties to free speech, free thinking etc, without which the current society can not exist. Wish I knew more on how to answer this. It takes a single bad apple to spoil a whole barrel after all.
8:05 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913484209512992773
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
true that
it helps immensely if I already had pre/re-configured my connections to be able to produce the same embeddings in the same context
if not and I'm doing the reconfig of "change my weights such that I'd produce the same embeddings in the same context" as we communicate then it's education and it's much harder on me but also harder on you
what amount if delta I can overcome and what amount of delta is too much and my reconfig fails short I would dearly like to know
7:46 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
true that
it helps immensely if I already had pre/re-configured my connections to be able to produce the same embeddings in the same context
if not and I'm doing the reconfig of "change my weights such that I'd produce the same embeddings in the same context" as we communicate then it's education and it's much harder on me but also harder on you
what amount if delta I can overcome and what amount of delta is too much and my reconfig fails short I would dearly like to know
7:46 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913482287401820661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - just wonderful, collective intelligence at work 😍
Quote
murat 🍥 @mayfer · 10h
and just like that the fermi paradox was solved x.com/otherside_x42/…
7:38 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - just wonderful, collective intelligence at work 😍
Quote
murat 🍥 @mayfer · 10h
and just like that the fermi paradox was solved x.com/otherside_x42/…
7:38 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913481563347603875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - thanks for that, what a treat!
Confirmed bug fixed for me after the upgrade.
First try rn, got on an M2 mbp (96gb ram)
8.77 tok/sec • 608 tokens • 4.77s to first token
Should I expect Speculative Decoding to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too, trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" drop down. So far no luck none of them show up. (pic of the exact models versions below)
7:35 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - thanks for that, what a treat!
Confirmed
First try rn, got on an M2 mbp (96gb ram)
8.77 tok/sec • 608 tokens • 4.77s to first token
Should I expect Speculative Decoding to work? I got the 27b, then downloaded the 1b and then 4b versions too, trying to get them to show up in the "Speculative Decoding" "Draft Model" "Select a compatible draft model" drop down. So far no luck none of them show up. (pic of the exact models versions below)
7:35 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913477820057079809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I too find X/Twitter SNR the best. The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network—to us users—is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users as you and everyone else here well knows.
I'm starting to suspect that the same is the best argument of all PDP—Parallel Distributed Processing. That it's the highest SNR yet simplest way available to us to scale up. Best bang for buck all else considering. One easy trick to rule them all: whatever Processing Unit you got at hand, just make more of the same, connect them so they communicate between themselves, and let them talk to each other.
I also suspect there will be some Information Theory to explain as to why PDP is the winning trick.
7:20 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - I too find X/Twitter SNR the best. The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network—to us users—is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users as you and everyone else here well knows.
I'm starting to suspect that the same is the best argument of all PDP—Parallel Distributed Processing. That it's the highest SNR yet simplest way available to us to scale up. Best bang for buck all else considering. One easy trick to rule them all: whatever Processing Unit you got at hand, just make more of the same, connect them so they communicate between themselves, and let them talk to each other.
I also suspect there will be some Information Theory to explain as to why PDP is the winning trick.
7:20 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913470681750122733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True or False.
True or false is independent of how one earns a living, what time of day or what day of the week they claim it, how I or they or anyone else emotionally feel about it, what they had for breakfast, reasons why they say it now rather than some other time, that they do or don't say something else, their name, origin, personal history etc etc bazillion other things. That's the scientific method. It's worked better for us than the alternatives in the past.
True or false of the message, independent of the messanger, is important as it is the objective reality. Objective reality is shared among all of us, as a default, we all get access to it. It's what binds us together. We humans typically proceed to build something together, on the top of that base, that is the truth of various things that matter for our survival. Conversely untruths, lies, work against our survival.
Ultimately, that's why I care if what the OP wrote is true or false. And I don't care much how he earns his daily bread.
6:52 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True or False.
True or false is independent of how one earns a living, what time of day or what day of the week they claim it, how I or they or anyone else emotionally feel about it, what they had for breakfast, reasons why they say it now rather than some other time, that they do or don't say something else, their name, origin, personal history etc etc bazillion other things. That's the scientific method. It's worked better for us than the alternatives in the past.
True or false of the message, independent of the messanger, is important as it is the objective reality. Objective reality is shared among all of us, as a default, we all get access to it. It's what binds us together. We humans typically proceed to build something together, on the top of that base, that is the truth of various things that matter for our survival. Conversely untruths, lies, work against our survival.
Ultimately, that's why I care if what the OP wrote is true or false. And I don't care much how he earns his daily bread.
6:52 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913463423565807969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is true - I was asked to verify ID. I live in the UK. I went with it. Had to upload one piece of ID. I chose the Driving licence option. The web app took photos of the front and the back of it. And then my headshot. Did some kind of recognition. Then it marked my account as Verified. (previously it was Unverified)
6:23 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is true - I was asked to verify ID. I live in the UK. I went with it. Had to upload one piece of ID. I chose the Driving licence option. The web app took photos of the front and the back of it. And then my headshot. Did some kind of recognition. Then it marked my account as Verified. (previously it was Unverified)
6:23 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913388531822510174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But is it true, or is it false, his claims? That's what interests me. He can be paid by the Pope or the Martians or noone.Don't care as it doesn't influence my bill.
What he writes through, does influence my monthly bill. So.
Is it true, or is it false, that what he's written?
1:25 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But is it true, or is it false, his claims? That's what interests me. He can be paid by the Pope or the Martians or noone.Don't care as it doesn't influence my bill.
What he writes through, does influence my monthly bill. So.
Is it true, or is it false, that what he's written?
1:25 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913376356072923566
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our brain is locked in a dark box, nothing gets in nor out except very much controlled electrical-chemical signals. So everything is a hallucination on some level-how can it be otherwise?
If we hallucinate wrongly too much, we die though. So the ones that are able to hallucinate in a way such that hallucinations match the world outside our dark box brain well enough for us to not die-we are the descendants of those. And our hallucinations too tally with reality well enough, the error being within some tolerance level.
That is all the brains works. Consciousness specifically-to me it seems a small meta-learning algo, something that bootstraps the rest of the brain learning. Like a boot loader in ROM of old would boot the computer. Not something at the top of the rest-but something at the bottom. No idea why people find it so special and super interesting though. To me it's one of the many modules that we have little idea how they work.
12:37 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our brain is locked in a dark box, nothing gets in nor out except very much controlled electrical-chemical signals. So everything is a hallucination on some level-how can it be otherwise?
If we hallucinate wrongly too much, we die though. So the ones that are able to hallucinate in a way such that hallucinations match the world outside our dark box brain well enough for us to not die-we are the descendants of those. And our hallucinations too tally with reality well enough, the error being within some tolerance level.
That is all the brains works. Consciousness specifically-to me it seems a small meta-learning algo, something that bootstraps the rest of the brain learning. Like a boot loader in ROM of old would boot the computer. Not something at the top of the rest-but something at the bottom. No idea why people find it so special and super interesting though. To me it's one of the many modules that we have little idea how they work.
12:37 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913371910559420683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
White pill - AI to the rescue in our lifetimes.
Black pill - bad thinking is not lack of rational faculties, but downstream of bad morals. These people are just morally bad people.
12:19 AM · Apr 19, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
White pill - AI to the rescue in our lifetimes.
Black pill - bad thinking is not lack of rational faculties, but downstream of bad morals. These people are just morally bad people.
12:19 AM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913320863769801190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I'm perpetually perplexed by people coming online just to say "they don't work, rubbish, here is one they go wrong on".
Yeah, I get it, they are not perfect. But no one is perfect. I made 5 errors in the past 3 days just trying to make some trivial fitting and locking and re-restarting from the right place and logging all work comfortably, nicely snug, in a language I don't know that much. Between Gemini and OpenAI (now the progress so fast - their versions all changed since I started this project weeks ago!) and DeepSeek models together with agents like Aider, AI models helped me immensely. I got myself a pair programming buddy now, ngl. Not to mention how much more fun it is to not struggle solving problems all alone all day! Even if zero time was saved, I prefer what I have now. (and a lot more than zero time was saved by their help)
This was SciFi only few short years back, when StackOverflow was peak dev Internet.
8:56 PM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I'm perpetually perplexed by people coming online just to say "they don't work, rubbish, here is one they go wrong on".
Yeah, I get it, they are not perfect. But no one is perfect. I made 5 errors in the past 3 days just trying to make some trivial fitting and locking and re-restarting from the right place and logging all work comfortably, nicely snug, in a language I don't know that much. Between Gemini and OpenAI (now the progress so fast - their versions all changed since I started this project weeks ago!) and DeepSeek models together with agents like Aider, AI models helped me immensely. I got myself a pair programming buddy now, ngl. Not to mention how much more fun it is to not struggle solving problems all alone all day! Even if zero time was saved, I prefer what I have now. (and a lot more than zero time was saved by their help)
This was SciFi only few short years back, when StackOverflow was peak dev Internet.
8:56 PM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913286007274811433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
by Jove you are doing God's work ngl 😍
6:38 PM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
by Jove you are doing God's work ngl 😍
6:38 PM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913237824645513542
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa! Non-boring non-braindead BBC political programme? Whatever happened there, a glitch in the matrix?? Who is this new guy, seems not eunuch-ed yet?
From one Balkan (intellectual?) savage to another: good to see Žižek liven up the show. Although he was more fun in the past.
The three lovelies guests being shell shocked brought us back to the stiffling BBC reality though. Of course they disagree the dear dahrlings. They are of that "giant centre right" party. Of the ideology that died with GFC'08. And has been staggering zombie like ever since, neither dead nor alive. Looks like it will take the dynamic duo of MAGA-s + Trump to drive that stake, and finally put that ideology to rest.
Hope whatever new emerges, it still has freedom at heart.
3:26 PM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa! Non-boring non-braindead BBC political programme? Whatever happened there, a glitch in the matrix?? Who is this new guy, seems not eunuch-ed yet?
From one Balkan (intellectual?) savage to another: good to see Žižek liven up the show. Although he was more fun in the past.
The three lovelies guests being shell shocked brought us back to the stiffling BBC reality though. Of course they disagree the dear dahrlings. They are of that "giant centre right" party. Of the ideology that died with GFC'08. And has been staggering zombie like ever since, neither dead nor alive. Looks like it will take the dynamic duo of MAGA-s + Trump to drive that stake, and finally put that ideology to rest.
Hope whatever new emerges, it still has freedom at heart.
3:26 PM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913196877987602620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on @DouglasKMurray.
Yes the decision making process had previously degraded. From an arena of testing competing opinions about what's to be done now, with consequences typically accruing in the future. Into a beauty contest, almost completely detached from reality. ("Unburdened!"—hit the mark that one) With consequences rarely reaching back to the decision makers making the decisions.
Now a clown troupe with the Chief Clown Orange is running the show, the show has turned into a Circus! And that's imo a *good* thing. Good to remind people of the reality of (our) predicament. However, the solution is not a return to the beauty pageant, with X-judges providing drama to the entertainment but otherwise much light no bite. No—it's thanking the clown but ushering him out at the next opportunity, and going back to the arena-style contest.
The contestants are somewhat old and tired, I can't but notice. New blood with new ideas needed, old ones won't do. TBS if the system has it in it to change sufficiently and quickly enough to catch up with the much changed world it fell behind with.
12:44 PM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on @DouglasKMurray.
Yes the decision making process had previously degraded. From an arena of testing competing opinions about what's to be done now, with consequences typically accruing in the future. Into a beauty contest, almost completely detached from reality. ("Unburdened!"—hit the mark that one) With consequences rarely reaching back to the decision makers making the decisions.
Now a clown troupe with the Chief Clown Orange is running the show, the show has turned into a Circus! And that's imo a *good* thing. Good to remind people of the reality of (our) predicament. However, the solution is not a return to the beauty pageant, with X-judges providing drama to the entertainment but otherwise much light no bite. No—it's thanking the clown but ushering him out at the next opportunity, and going back to the arena-style contest.
The contestants are somewhat old and tired, I can't but notice. New blood with new ideas needed, old ones won't do. TBS if the system has it in it to change sufficiently and quickly enough to catch up with the much changed world it fell behind with.
12:44 PM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913154997031682416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, ok, maybe. My direct experience was kids getting UK education, and there I think UK-Ed did on balance very well. UK education seems good to me. (ofc far from perfect—plenty scope for improvement.) Esp in higher education universities academic research (of which I have direct experience) punching well above their weight on a global scale.
On the other hand, my wife's working in a primary school. (TA) Never hear her say "wow Ofstead just today made our teachers' jobs easier, they changed this one thing now more time is spent teaching kids 1:1". None of that stuff. But oft I hear "so much reporting and forms filling", teachers working second additional 50% overtime job just to keep up with forms and reporting required. Oft times high turnover mentioned. Then again—not sure I think turnover being a bad thing, having more mobility more fresh blood not necessarily bad in itself.
My current prejudices are more against the educational establishment, those teachers educating other teachers in the shinning arts that teaching skills. 1) Seems to me role of discipline in the classroom is under-appreciated. 2) The extreme version of "teaching how to think makes rota memorising facts redundant" is a load of croc imo. Like—takes 10K yrs the whole of humanity to come up with stuff like "alphabet", or "number 0", or "Pythagoras theorem", and now every 7yo in the land will discover those facts on their own?? Nah. They need to have them drilled in their heads. Which they mostly do, not saying no there. 3) Technology in classroom. Imo right way is "yes ban smarthpones in school" (have them put in lockers a the school gate entry), but "max use AI interactive tutors, work towards 1:1 mastery instruction", with Bloom 2-sigma in mind. I'd be heart broken if we end with the exact opposite.
But on Of-com, Of-gem, Of-wat - yeah I think they do poorly. Will leave Ofcom for another time. Enough old-man-shouts-at-the-sky ranting for one morning. 😆
9:57 AM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, ok, maybe. My direct experience was kids getting UK education, and there I think UK-Ed did on balance very well. UK education seems good to me. (ofc far from perfect—plenty scope for improvement.) Esp in higher education universities academic research (of which I have direct experience) punching well above their weight on a global scale.
On the other hand, my wife's working in a primary school. (TA) Never hear her say "wow Ofstead just today made our teachers' jobs easier, they changed this one thing now more time is spent teaching kids 1:1". None of that stuff. But oft I hear "so much reporting and forms filling", teachers working second additional 50% overtime job just to keep up with forms and reporting required. Oft times high turnover mentioned. Then again—not sure I think turnover being a bad thing, having more mobility more fresh blood not necessarily bad in itself.
My current prejudices are more against the educational establishment, those teachers educating other teachers in the shinning arts that teaching skills. 1) Seems to me role of discipline in the classroom is under-appreciated. 2) The extreme version of "teaching how to think makes rota memorising facts redundant" is a load of croc imo. Like—takes 10K yrs the whole of humanity to come up with stuff like "alphabet", or "number 0", or "Pythagoras theorem", and now every 7yo in the land will discover those facts on their own?? Nah. They need to have them drilled in their heads. Which they mostly do, not saying no there. 3) Technology in classroom. Imo right way is "yes ban smarthpones in school" (have them put in lockers a the school gate entry), but "max use AI interactive tutors, work towards 1:1 mastery instruction", with Bloom 2-sigma in mind. I'd be heart broken if we end with the exact opposite.
But on Of-com, Of-gem, Of-wat - yeah I think they do poorly. Will leave Ofcom for another time. Enough old-man-shouts-at-the-sky ranting for one morning. 😆
9:57 AM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913145274731557214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can persuade us by placing a bet, by putting your own money where your mouth is. Make the commitment, that not one customer of yours, will pay more under a zonal system, than they pay now under a non-zonal system.
After all, you guys were big cheerleaders to all things net-zero, and policies in the past 20 yrs that lead to the current outcome: highest energy prices, (compared to peers) both business and households. Resulting in current mass immiseration and dis-industrialisation.
9:19 AM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can persuade us by placing a bet, by putting your own money where your mouth is. Make the commitment, that not one customer of yours, will pay more under a zonal system, than they pay now under a non-zonal system.
After all, you guys were big cheerleaders to all things net-zero, and policies in the past 20 yrs that lead to the current outcome: highest energy prices, (compared to peers) both business and households. Resulting in current mass immiseration and dis-industrialisation.
9:19 AM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913141986384609430
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - the optimism was touching, we were all once young, and we all need more of that white pill stuff tbh. If the youth of the day doesn't lift our spirits - then who will?? Don't beat yourself over it.
Watching the debates around "whom can I trust?" is rather touching. From one end—"trust all experts at all times!"—to the other—"never trust an expert, ever." From "my personal experience is the truth, whole truth, and nothing but the truth" to "experience is meaningless". (even edging toward "experience actively clouds Platonic judgment (anti-truth!).")
I'm never not mystified why people so riled up, why such strong feelings. Maybe b/c many involved seem capable of holding only a single idea in their head at one time? IDK. Half of them—seemingly never let that first-and-only-one go; the other half sometimes do change it finally, but swap one-for-one, and still hold exactly one idea at a time. (and oft times even precisely the opposite of our old!)
Maybe wrote Epistemology for Dummies? You then could gently point them towards it on the next flareup. You got the knowledge, the talent, the knack. Then again, poor critical thinking isn't merely cognitive—it's moral. Constantly searching for meta-shortcuts that forever automatically separate truth from falsehood is at the least laziness disguised as cleverness. (with maybe even worse demons lurking below.) It's exactly one step above absolute intellectual zero: not even trying to think at all.
So yeah, I do have some sympathy. But not too much. Welcome to real life, where few shortcuts that work exist. I get it, "one meta- to rule them all" is easy and comfy and we all like that don't we. One meta- becomes part of one's identity even. But honestly—adding more mental real-estate won't erase anyone. I encourage any scaredy cat reading this—go on go on expand, don't stay with your current. You'll be fine taking few more roads, maybe even acquire tales to share back.
9:06 AM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - the optimism was touching, we were all once young, and we all need more of that white pill stuff tbh. If the youth of the day doesn't lift our spirits - then who will?? Don't beat yourself over it.
Watching the debates around "whom can I trust?" is rather touching. From one end—"trust all experts at all times!"—to the other—"never trust an expert, ever." From "my personal experience is the truth, whole truth, and nothing but the truth" to "experience is meaningless". (even edging toward "experience actively clouds Platonic judgment (anti-truth!).")
I'm never not mystified why people so riled up, why such strong feelings. Maybe b/c many involved seem capable of holding only a single idea in their head at one time? IDK. Half of them—seemingly never let that first-and-only-one go; the other half sometimes do change it finally, but swap one-for-one, and still hold exactly one idea at a time. (and oft times even precisely the opposite of our old!)
Maybe wrote Epistemology for Dummies? You then could gently point them towards it on the next flareup. You got the knowledge, the talent, the knack. Then again, poor critical thinking isn't merely cognitive—it's moral. Constantly searching for meta-shortcuts that forever automatically separate truth from falsehood is at the least laziness disguised as cleverness. (with maybe even worse demons lurking below.) It's exactly one step above absolute intellectual zero: not even trying to think at all.
So yeah, I do have some sympathy. But not too much. Welcome to real life, where few shortcuts that work exist. I get it, "one meta- to rule them all" is easy and comfy and we all like that don't we. One meta- becomes part of one's identity even. But honestly—adding more mental real-estate won't erase anyone. I encourage any scaredy cat reading this—go on go on expand, don't stay with your current. You'll be fine taking few more roads, maybe even acquire tales to share back.
9:06 AM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1913116538195845431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She can hardly not participate. She can not deliberately not compete once she participates. She presumably earned points for her child team. Every kid looks up to the parents, she did her thing.
Us randos on the Internet can see fr the difference between a world champion and a normie performance. Next time a "I could wrestle a bear" person shows up this is the antidote. Like clips when a spectator shouts at a footballer "how could you miss, my grandma would have scored" and is invited next day on the pitch to try fr test his skills, and his "granma hypothesis".
A lot of delusional normies thinking spectating somehow makes then able too, all around. That getting on my nerves early this morning. Sorry. Rant over now 😭
7:25 AM · Apr 18, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She can hardly not participate. She can not deliberately not compete once she participates. She presumably earned points for her child team. Every kid looks up to the parents, she did her thing.
Us randos on the Internet can see fr the difference between a world champion and a normie performance. Next time a "I could wrestle a bear" person shows up this is the antidote. Like clips when a spectator shouts at a footballer "how could you miss, my grandma would have scored" and is invited next day on the pitch to try fr test his skills, and his "granma hypothesis".
A lot of delusional normies thinking spectating somehow makes then able too, all around. That getting on my nerves early this morning. Sorry. Rant over now 😭
7:25 AM · Apr 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912976256565711027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally. Expected from a +2SD intellect that. Discover 2D rows-columns rectangle of data being the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient covering a 1) matrix 2) spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges. (lists are for pie eaters)
10:07 PM · Apr 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally. Expected from a +2SD intellect that. Discover 2D rows-columns rectangle of data being the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient covering a 1) matrix 2) spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges. (lists are for pie eaters)
10:07 PM · Apr 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912855898805960796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because there is lack of general will to fix it, and we are lacking more in numbers @lfg_uk types to campaign for it.
The default state is no reception. Anything over and above requires conscious effort, it does not happen on its own.
Laziness naturally flourishes when enough wordcels use language sophistry tricks and explain away convincingly why nothing can ever be done. With great confidence and talent for persuasion.
Not doing is 1) easy and natural, 2) costs nothing, is 3) less risk, less trouble for all. In contrast, doing stuff 4) costs money, 5) creates problems all around, 6) often fails, so one is then blamed for that.
If I was any good with words, I'd be golden, as my talents wd perfectly align with my incentives in the current moment.
2:09 PM · Apr 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because there is lack of general will to fix it, and we are lacking more in numbers @lfg_uk types to campaign for it.
The default state is no reception. Anything over and above requires conscious effort, it does not happen on its own.
Laziness naturally flourishes when enough wordcels use language sophistry tricks and explain away convincingly why nothing can ever be done. With great confidence and talent for persuasion.
Not doing is 1) easy and natural, 2) costs nothing, is 3) less risk, less trouble for all. In contrast, doing stuff 4) costs money, 5) creates problems all around, 6) often fails, so one is then blamed for that.
If I was any good with words, I'd be golden, as my talents wd perfectly align with my incentives in the current moment.
2:09 PM · Apr 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912817378347323562
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh yeah absolutely, agreed—we lie for all manner of reasons.
11:36 AM · Apr 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh yeah absolutely, agreed—we lie for all manner of reasons.
11:36 AM · Apr 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912698016492069195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, but not only humans, but all living things. If we had to think consciously and do it deliberately for every breath we take, every heart beat we make, we wouldn't last a single day.
Conscious thinking of Type 2 is very costly, so we rightly try to avoid it wherever whenever we can, and employ Type 1 heuristics for shortcuts at every opportunity.
3:41 AM · Apr 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, but not only humans, but all living things. If we had to think consciously and do it deliberately for every breath we take, every heart beat we make, we wouldn't last a single day.
Conscious thinking of Type 2 is very costly, so we rightly try to avoid it wherever whenever we can, and employ Type 1 heuristics for shortcuts at every opportunity.
3:41 AM · Apr 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912693930581258718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have heard that "half of them work, only we don't know which half". Got nagging suspicion they're done b/c "things were always done this way", at this point. But then-no big company ever drops ads fr. Maybe budget saved is insignificant, for the risk taken, by a brave or foolish CEO that drops ads.
3:25 AM · Apr 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have heard that "half of them work, only we don't know which half". Got nagging suspicion they're done b/c "things were always done this way", at this point. But then-no big company ever drops ads fr. Maybe budget saved is insignificant, for the risk taken, by a brave or foolish CEO that drops ads.
3:25 AM · Apr 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912685970022891694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Common human stupidity, yet galaxy sized. Using gut instead of brain for "thinking". Ego maniacs to whom no one ever told to their face "I know you are one and unique dahrling; so is everyone alive; so was ever creature that ever lived". Just insufferable, and oblivious to it.
2:54 AM · Apr 17, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Common human stupidity, yet galaxy sized. Using gut instead of brain for "thinking". Ego maniacs to whom no one ever told to their face "I know you are one and unique dahrling; so is everyone alive; so was ever creature that ever lived". Just insufferable, and oblivious to it.
2:54 AM · Apr 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912610978824638922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but - DC is just one person of many. Ideas are taken on and implemented brought to life embodied by people, true that. But ideas do not equal people. Further, if we were looking for saints to implement ideas in any area of life, we would never do anything tbh. Any actor with any agency will always come short of our ideals, including myself and yourself. One way to never err is to do nothing ever. Carriers of change especially are imperfect vessels.
9:56 PM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but - DC is just one person of many. Ideas are taken on and implemented brought to life embodied by people, true that. But ideas do not equal people. Further, if we were looking for saints to implement ideas in any area of life, we would never do anything tbh. Any actor with any agency will always come short of our ideals, including myself and yourself. One way to never err is to do nothing ever. Carriers of change especially are imperfect vessels.
9:56 PM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912500535250280883
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct - that's the outcome, even if I think it's not the intention.
I witnessed a system and an ideology crash, burn and disintegrate under the weight of their own many failings and contradictions, as 25yo. All throughout, people kept noticing what you just noticed. Yet no one was able to affect the system, change how it worked, how things were done, while many could see what's happening.
Then it struck me. Exactly that is the signature of a failing system! Many can see where it's headed, no one can alter its trajectory. Our current predicament in the UK is that.
2:37 PM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct - that's the outcome, even if I think it's not the intention.
I witnessed a system and an ideology crash, burn and disintegrate under the weight of their own many failings and contradictions, as 25yo. All throughout, people kept noticing what you just noticed. Yet no one was able to affect the system, change how it worked, how things were done, while many could see what's happening.
Then it struck me. Exactly that is the signature of a failing system! Many can see where it's headed, no one can alter its trajectory. Our current predicament in the UK is that.
2:37 PM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912489351495172141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Style, looks and aesthetics—a tinge, maybe? I noticed not psychopathy, but maybe less social and agreeable than a typical normie would be. And much less than an aspiring political wordcel would seek to position oneself. Imo nothing out of the ordinary for stem tech, mostly young mostly male.
I think it true that good artists, sometimes - like e.g. David Bowie - have almost sixth sense for trends. So using aesthetics to judge is not as crazy as it might seem immediately. Esp of use to an e/acc techno optimist like myself, to keep some check on my own personal biases prejudices.
However. There is a limit to that. Proper psychopaths would seek to regulate other people behaviours. They would seek to impose their will, their views, on how other people live their lives, what they do, how they think etc.
The LFG-ers I follow don't do that—at all! They are correct to a fault there. Even if taking a shortcut like that may benefit their cause. (short-term; long-term that's almost always a mistake, a cost.) I love that aspect of the movement. The "let's build together I and you", not "you should do as I say".
TBS how things play out. In the US the TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) comes closes in ideology to LFG. US is where future happens for the UK, mostly. We will learn what transpires with a head-start of 3-9 months. TBPR are for time being 1/2 of the MAGA coalition. (the other 1/2 the other wing being the America-first-and-only nativists; plus Trump sitting above both wing like a Caesar, adjudicating their disputes; his word supreme and final)
Disclaimer: I'm a supporter of @lfg_uk in ideology, I cheer them on X, I propagandise evangelise the same message IRL, and occasionally I donate small amounts when opportunity presents. (attend a meetup, buy a T-shirt, etc)
1:52 PM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Style, looks and aesthetics—a tinge, maybe? I noticed not psychopathy, but maybe less social and agreeable than a typical normie would be. And much less than an aspiring political wordcel would seek to position oneself. Imo nothing out of the ordinary for stem tech, mostly young mostly male.
I think it true that good artists, sometimes - like e.g. David Bowie - have almost sixth sense for trends. So using aesthetics to judge is not as crazy as it might seem immediately. Esp of use to an e/acc techno optimist like myself, to keep some check on my own personal biases prejudices.
However. There is a limit to that. Proper psychopaths would seek to regulate other people behaviours. They would seek to impose their will, their views, on how other people live their lives, what they do, how they think etc.
The LFG-ers I follow don't do that—at all! They are correct to a fault there. Even if taking a shortcut like that may benefit their cause. (short-term; long-term that's almost always a mistake, a cost.) I love that aspect of the movement. The "let's build together I and you", not "you should do as I say".
TBS how things play out. In the US the TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) comes closes in ideology to LFG. US is where future happens for the UK, mostly. We will learn what transpires with a head-start of 3-9 months. TBPR are for time being 1/2 of the MAGA coalition. (the other 1/2 the other wing being the America-first-and-only nativists; plus Trump sitting above both wing like a Caesar, adjudicating their disputes; his word supreme and final)
Disclaimer: I'm a supporter of @lfg_uk in ideology, I cheer them on X, I propagandise evangelise the same message IRL, and occasionally I donate small amounts when opportunity presents. (attend a meetup, buy a T-shirt, etc)
1:52 PM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912478666778345722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People suffering seasonal pollen allergies—try see if a good air-filter in your bedroom will help you get a decent night's sleep.
Current Allergy Risk 10.2/12 outside my bedroom (admittedly a mere forecast; but it's a good forecast, confirmed by my nose-throat-eyes watering doing detecting). Inside my bedroom, even with open window, it's only 1/12 Allergy Risk.
I got a 200 pounds Philips air filter from Amazon. Not the cheapest—but huge RoI, improved the quality of my life a lot.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People suffering seasonal pollen allergies—try see if a good air-filter in your bedroom will help you get a decent night's sleep.
Current Allergy Risk 10.2/12 outside my bedroom (admittedly a mere forecast; but it's a good forecast, confirmed by my nose-throat-eyes watering doing detecting). Inside my bedroom, even with open window, it's only 1/12 Allergy Risk.
I got a 200 pounds Philips air filter from Amazon. Not the cheapest—but huge RoI, improved the quality of my life a lot.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912455281197342923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 16
Replying to @peterrhague
Every time air quality comes up in any way under scrutiny, I get surprised anew 1) how bad it is, as default as a rule; 2) how much it can be blamed by attribution for various ills; and 3) how much better things get, once air quality improves, even by accident (natural
Show more
1:10 PM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912476210736603431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LASIK was the best thing I've ever done myself for myself. Wore hard lenses (gas permeable?) for 35 years prior. Now it's been 16 years since my LASIK, I developed short-sightedness -0.75 again. Wearing glasses for driving is the max I will tolerate rn as driving is infrequent enough. If I needed my eyesight for anything more—I'd be looking at doing another LASIK. (if at all possible)
1:00 PM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LASIK was the best thing I've ever done myself for myself. Wore hard lenses (gas permeable?) for 35 years prior. Now it's been 16 years since my LASIK, I developed short-sightedness -0.75 again. Wearing glasses for driving is the max I will tolerate rn as driving is infrequent enough. If I needed my eyesight for anything more—I'd be looking at doing another LASIK. (if at all possible)
1:00 PM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912459225575367081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right, there is no "must" there, they don't need to be monsters obsessed with hegemony.
But minority of people are like that. I did national service as 18yo, and it was cr*p and waste of time for almost everything, except: getting exposed to the widest possible sample of humanity was instructive in getting cognisant about existence of these psycho-human monsters.
Until we each get individual personal space-time folding or annihilation device of some sort, we have to rely on some kind of collective common defence against the monsters. Being able to read well articulated game playbook on their side is step#1. Good on you providing public service.
Their "must" there reminds me of the Russia stance, when they do something evil out of their own volition, own choice, and then propagandise it that they were "forced" to do the evil thing by this or other. Same mindset, same ideology there by the psychopath commenting.
It's the usual narcissist stuff. Narcissist’s playbook - "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
11:53 AM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right, there is no "must" there, they don't need to be monsters obsessed with hegemony.
But minority of people are like that. I did national service as 18yo, and it was cr*p and waste of time for almost everything, except: getting exposed to the widest possible sample of humanity was instructive in getting cognisant about existence of these psycho-human monsters.
Until we each get individual personal space-time folding or annihilation device of some sort, we have to rely on some kind of collective common defence against the monsters. Being able to read well articulated game playbook on their side is step#1. Good on you providing public service.
Their "must" there reminds me of the Russia stance, when they do something evil out of their own volition, own choice, and then propagandise it that they were "forced" to do the evil thing by this or other. Same mindset, same ideology there by the psychopath commenting.
It's the usual narcissist stuff. Narcissist’s playbook - "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
11:53 AM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912455281197342923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every time air quality comes up in any way under scrutiny, I get surprised anew 1) how bad it is, as default as a rule; 2) how much it can be blamed by attribution for various ills; and 3) how much better things get, once air quality improves, even by accident (natural experiments, not strictly to do only with air quality, e.g. congestion charging)
Got myself 15 pound CO2 monitor gizmo. Now I open the window/door when it beeps. I would not have noticed otherwise. Didn't think it made much difference. But now after a year, oft I get in a room elsewhere in a shop or office and I feel - god it's so stuffy here I can't breath freely.
Got 200 pounds bedroom air filter for the 3-5 annual allergy weeks. The weeping/runny-nose fest when the trees all around the house bloom in some way. Can see the outdoors air quality "allergens 12/12 bad", can see indoors "1/12 good", can see it go up after I open windows wide, can blast the filter at will to bring it down immediately.
Wish someone pointed these things out for me years ago.
11:37 AM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every time air quality comes up in any way under scrutiny, I get surprised anew 1) how bad it is, as default as a rule; 2) how much it can be blamed by attribution for various ills; and 3) how much better things get, once air quality improves, even by accident (natural experiments, not strictly to do only with air quality, e.g. congestion charging)
Got myself 15 pound CO2 monitor gizmo. Now I open the window/door when it beeps. I would not have noticed otherwise. Didn't think it made much difference. But now after a year, oft I get in a room elsewhere in a shop or office and I feel - god it's so stuffy here I can't breath freely.
Got 200 pounds bedroom air filter for the 3-5 annual allergy weeks. The weeping/runny-nose fest when the trees all around the house bloom in some way. Can see the outdoors air quality "allergens 12/12 bad", can see indoors "1/12 good", can see it go up after I open windows wide, can blast the filter at will to bring it down immediately.
Wish someone pointed these things out for me years ago.
11:37 AM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912440524356620480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Haha modern desktops to the rescue! Seem able to scale up/down almost perfect nowadays, retain their good looks at any magnification?! Even the Linux ones!! What a coup of GUI design/ers. Something positive to commend them on. Usually it's all stick no praise modern for GUI-s
10:38 AM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Haha modern desktops to the rescue! Seem able to scale up/down almost perfect nowadays, retain their good looks at any magnification?! Even the Linux ones!! What a coup of GUI design/ers. Something positive to commend them on. Usually it's all stick no praise modern for GUI-s
10:38 AM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912438982459195700
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
delete Ofgem, delete Ofwat, delete Of*
they can all F*off for all good they do
10:32 AM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
delete Ofgem, delete Ofwat, delete Of*
they can all F*off for all good they do
10:32 AM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912438458867458245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - good catch!! 😆 I warrant a guess - maybe BBC B users looking down on the ZX Spectrum poors 😂
(I was a C64 one - got not a dog in this fight!)
10:30 AM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - good catch!! 😆 I warrant a guess - maybe BBC B users looking down on the ZX Spectrum poors 😂
(I was a C64 one - got not a dog in this fight!)
10:30 AM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912436736338067781
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! :-) Reminds me not unlike the original Tesla Roadster two seater battery pack was built from cobbled together laptop battery packs to start with, for the energy density advantage.
(with Lotus UK making the actual car and Tesla ding the battery only for an early one almost a prototype; I allow it I maybe wrong and misremember imagine here, can't be bothered to check now)
10:23 AM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! :-) Reminds me not unlike the original Tesla Roadster two seater battery pack was built from cobbled together laptop battery packs to start with, for the energy density advantage.
(with Lotus UK making the actual car and Tesla ding the battery only for an early one almost a prototype; I allow it I maybe wrong and misremember imagine here, can't be bothered to check now)
10:23 AM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912407028854644753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump policy outdoing even Merkel's in its wishful thinking stupidity level. Russia unlucky wrong in many ways with their choices of ideologies and leaders, but lucky in others ways with the dumbheaded allowancies their frenemies make. Outcome expected catastrophic Sep'39 level.
8:25 AM · Apr 16, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump policy outdoing even Merkel's in its wishful thinking stupidity level. Russia unlucky wrong in many ways with their choices of ideologies and leaders, but lucky in others ways with the dumbheaded allowancies their frenemies make. Outcome expected catastrophic Sep'39 level.
8:25 AM · Apr 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912277510949052794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...like this
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...like this
https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1911907316099916038
Quote
Haider. @slow_developer · Apr 14
Google DeepMind, David Silver reveals:
we built a system that used RL to discover its own RL algorithms.
this AI-designed system outperformed all human-created RL algorithms developed over the years.
Show more
11:51 PM · Apr 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912260820202815514
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not a troll, but you seem to be somewhat ignorant of the ways of the IP "laws"/application.
To protect myself from someone else patenting XYZ, and potentially stopping me do XYZ, or not stop but make it very costly for me do XYZ, I have 2 options:
1) Patent XYZ myself. Now XYZ is public, is "prior art", can no longer be patented by you. You can't stop me doing XYZ. I can choose to stop you - or not! - doing XYZ.
2) I publish XYZ at a conference, in a journal paper, in a book, or even a blog. This is now "prior art". Neither you or I can patent XYZ anymore. As prior art exists. Neither I nor you can stop me, you, or anyone else, do XYZ. As prior art exists and is public, no one can patent XYZ anymore and potentially stop other people do it. Everyone is free to do XYZ.
So in both cases I am not being stopped from doing XYZ.
Option #2 I lose the option to stop other people do XYZ, but it is free for me. Option #1 costs $$$. (patents cost $$$ to get, and cost to maintain.) But I get to choose to stop - or not! - other people do XYZ. (I can use the stop option to extract $$$ from people that want to do XYZ.)
@jack I presume was talking about option #1. If he is not enforcing the patent, or maybe he's licensing it for trivial amount like $1 to all, (like @Tesla famously allegedly did at some point,) all that happens is his patent is preventing others to stop him, or others, from do XYZ. (remember: patenting is publishing too) This is all explained in detail in various endless online debates.
Fwiw I think IP laws do more harm than good atm. At minimum, US should abolish Patents and leave companies rely on Trade secrets only. At maximum, US can abolish all IP laws, that is Patents, Trade secrets, Trademarks, and Copyright. The idea that there was no innovation (or even less innovation) in absence of modern IP "laws" is simply factually wrong.
(priors https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22IP%20laws%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
10:44 PM · Apr 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not a troll, but you seem to be somewhat ignorant of the ways of the IP "laws"/application.
To protect myself from someone else patenting XYZ, and potentially stopping me do XYZ, or not stop but make it very costly for me do XYZ, I have 2 options:
1) Patent XYZ myself. Now XYZ is public, is "prior art", can no longer be patented by you. You can't stop me doing XYZ. I can choose to stop you - or not! - doing XYZ.
2) I publish XYZ at a conference, in a journal paper, in a book, or even a blog. This is now "prior art". Neither you or I can patent XYZ anymore. As prior art exists. Neither I nor you can stop me, you, or anyone else, do XYZ. As prior art exists and is public, no one can patent XYZ anymore and potentially stop other people do it. Everyone is free to do XYZ.
So in both cases I am not being stopped from doing XYZ.
Option #2 I lose the option to stop other people do XYZ, but it is free for me. Option #1 costs $$$. (patents cost $$$ to get, and cost to maintain.) But I get to choose to stop - or not! - other people do XYZ. (I can use the stop option to extract $$$ from people that want to do XYZ.)
@jack I presume was talking about option #1. If he is not enforcing the patent, or maybe he's licensing it for trivial amount like $1 to all, (like @Tesla famously allegedly did at some point,) all that happens is his patent is preventing others to stop him, or others, from do XYZ. (remember: patenting is publishing too) This is all explained in detail in various endless online debates.
Fwiw I think IP laws do more harm than good atm. At minimum, US should abolish Patents and leave companies rely on Trade secrets only. At maximum, US can abolish all IP laws, that is Patents, Trade secrets, Trademarks, and Copyright. The idea that there was no innovation (or even less innovation) in absence of modern IP "laws" is simply factually wrong.
(priors https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22IP%20laws%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
10:44 PM · Apr 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912236463879598374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The proportion of "bad apples" in a society, before they spoil the barrel, maybe probably the mostly important, and the most intangible of all things society. They thing is - we are almost completely ignorant of how to build large human groups from scratch, form random collections of disparate individuals. Our knowledge there is on the level of folk tails, pre-modern "medicine" with leeches, and "good and bad humours ". And occasional random startup country that succeeds to get started up more by luck than design.
9:07 PM · Apr 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The proportion of "bad apples" in a society, before they spoil the barrel, maybe probably the mostly important, and the most intangible of all things society. They thing is - we are almost completely ignorant of how to build large human groups from scratch, form random collections of disparate individuals. Our knowledge there is on the level of folk tails, pre-modern "medicine" with leeches, and "good and bad humours ". And occasional random startup country that succeeds to get started up more by luck than design.
9:07 PM · Apr 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912141391464907054
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - but think about how rewarding it is. How superior and clever I appear to myself, once I start finding all manner of faults with everything under the sun. As I always can, for nothing actually existing is perfect. Many faults to trivially quickly be found. It's an easy job that! Any real existing circles fall short of the Platonic idea of a circle in my head. In that respect, Guardianistas are almost self-felating at this point, self-sufficient and detached, or even "unburdened" by anything in the real world around them.
2:50 PM · Apr 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - but think about how rewarding it is. How superior and clever I appear to myself, once I start finding all manner of faults with everything under the sun. As I always can, for nothing actually existing is perfect. Many faults to trivially quickly be found. It's an easy job that! Any real existing circles fall short of the Platonic idea of a circle in my head. In that respect, Guardianistas are almost self-felating at this point, self-sufficient and detached, or even "unburdened" by anything in the real world around them.
2:50 PM · Apr 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912139058546942347
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
yeah extensively - the text interface has stood the test of time: bash, bin utils, vim, git
from MS-DOS 3.1, to various windows CMD, then cygwin after I discovered it, then Unix and Linux all manner of terminals and shells from sh, ksh to now bash and zsh, to iTerm2 and brew on macos now
2:40 PM · Apr 15, 2025
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
yeah extensively - the text interface has stood the test of time: bash, bin utils, vim, git
from MS-DOS 3.1, to various windows CMD, then cygwin after I discovered it, then Unix and Linux all manner of terminals and shells from sh, ksh to now bash and zsh, to iTerm2 and brew on macos now
2:40 PM · Apr 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912117536054767710
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was my impression too, the half dozen times I have been to the US (Denver Colorado, New York, Florida). Long queues, hours of wait, everything seemed to be done manually? Just too many people at once for the systems available.
TSA looked tired and ill disposed to everyone - US own citizens as well as us non-US aliens. Have not had any particularly bad experience myself. Just seemed systems-level not-great experience all around to everyone involved. (and including TSA staff themselves)
1:15 PM · Apr 15, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was my impression too, the half dozen times I have been to the US (Denver Colorado, New York, Florida). Long queues, hours of wait, everything seemed to be done manually? Just too many people at once for the systems available.
TSA looked tired and ill disposed to everyone - US own citizens as well as us non-US aliens. Have not had any particularly bad experience myself. Just seemed systems-level not-great experience all around to everyone involved. (and including TSA staff themselves)
1:15 PM · Apr 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1912073762498916788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - the Guardianistas are walking parodies nowadays. Read "yeast", thought of 😆
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - the Guardianistas are walking parodies nowadays. Read "yeast", thought of 😆
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=IA-asF0-7EQ
It's the perfect curse for the VSP - from Very Serious People, to Very Stupid People. Stopped checking it for anything thoughtful at about the time of the Iraq invasion.
youtube.com
Breast Milk Pudding - Netflix After Life Funny Moments
10:21 AM · Apr 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911852666462064897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think about ASI opportunity cost.
2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect.
Humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too! (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets look like stone age tools)
Given the prize—then zero IP restrictions warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path. Full steam ahead! MOAR power!
Open data open source open weights open thoughts open actions FTW!
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think about ASI opportunity cost.
2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect.
Humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too! (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets look like stone age tools)
Given the prize—then zero IP restrictions warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path. Full steam ahead! MOAR power!
Open data open source open weights open thoughts open actions FTW!
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911852666462064897
jack @jack · Apr 11
delete all IP law
7:42 PM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911851913177350621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wtaf?? What kind of brain rot is this? There was no incentive to invent anything until US "IP" Laws provided UBI to Disney heirs and shareholders with the Mickey Mouse laws mockery? Brain dead take this one if ever were one.
A better take on things. Think about ASI opportunity cost. 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect. Humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too! (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets look like stone age tools)
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of
@RichardSSutton
, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path. Full steam ahead! MOAR power! Open data open source open weights open thoughts open actions.
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
Quote
Roman Helmet Guy @romanhelmetguy · 19h
The idea that you can own an idea is really strange. It's so strange in fact that for the first 5000 years of written history, no one thought of it.
Back then, there was no incentive to invent anything. Built a better plow? Great, sell one and then anyone copy it. And so the x.com/jack/status/19…
Show more
7:39 PM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wtaf?? What kind of brain rot is this? There was no incentive to invent anything until US "IP" Laws provided UBI to Disney heirs and shareholders with the Mickey Mouse laws mockery? Brain dead take this one if ever were one.
A better take on things. Think about ASI opportunity cost. 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect. Humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too! (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets look like stone age tools)
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of
@RichardSSutton
, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path. Full steam ahead! MOAR power! Open data open source open weights open thoughts open actions.
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
Quote
Roman Helmet Guy @romanhelmetguy · 19h
The idea that you can own an idea is really strange. It's so strange in fact that for the first 5000 years of written history, no one thought of it.
Back then, there was no incentive to invent anything. Built a better plow? Great, sell one and then anyone copy it. And so the x.com/jack/status/19…
Show more
7:39 PM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911674069990199455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing much chages, same thing that happens now: the biggest enemy of any artist is being unknown, unheard of, your work never reaching any significant public. Not one becoming famous and popular, and then being unable to make a living. (due to others copying you.)
Most artists sadly toil in obscurity, their hard work all their lives never getting much reach nor recognition. For no good reasons really! Too many of us the public, go after too few art. There is on one end crowding into some works and names, and on the other end lacking interest in other, imo equally good and worthy art. For no good reasons afaics.
Internet maybe changed that somewhat for the better. With the long tails being exposed more, making previously maybe untenable works get audiences. But it also encourages positive feedback loops in the public interests fasciliating crowding. So net less of an improvement than originally hoped for at the dawn of the Internet say in 1999.
7:53 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing much chages, same thing that happens now: the biggest enemy of any artist is being unknown, unheard of, your work never reaching any significant public. Not one becoming famous and popular, and then being unable to make a living. (due to others copying you.)
Most artists sadly toil in obscurity, their hard work all their lives never getting much reach nor recognition. For no good reasons really! Too many of us the public, go after too few art. There is on one end crowding into some works and names, and on the other end lacking interest in other, imo equally good and worthy art. For no good reasons afaics.
Internet maybe changed that somewhat for the better. With the long tails being exposed more, making previously maybe untenable works get audiences. But it also encourages positive feedback loops in the public interests fasciliating crowding. So net less of an improvement than originally hoped for at the dawn of the Internet say in 1999.
7:53 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911575290783936784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course. An atomic level replicator go brrr... Vanity being somewhat frequent with us humans, enough rich art lovers will no doubt pay huge premium for the "original", Veblen luxury goods or rather luxury beliefs style, that the artists will not have to worry.
The more popular the piece, the more premium it will command! After all, if I pay $100M for sculpture that can be atomic replicated for $100, I want every person on the planet to know that I overpaid massively. So it has to be popular well known, not an obscure unknown work of art.
1:20 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course. An atomic level replicator go brrr... Vanity being somewhat frequent with us humans, enough rich art lovers will no doubt pay huge premium for the "original", Veblen luxury goods or rather luxury beliefs style, that the artists will not have to worry.
The more popular the piece, the more premium it will command! After all, if I pay $100M for sculpture that can be atomic replicated for $100, I want every person on the planet to know that I overpaid massively. So it has to be popular well known, not an obscure unknown work of art.
1:20 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911571727315841211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meta-learning programme, bootstrapping all subsequent learning. A lower level learning, learning how to learn. Things unconscious can't start learning, can't execute the process of learning or at least not to significant enough extent. Zombies—stuck with what they knew at the time of zombification, unfortunate babies—born with a hardware fault forever stuck never becoming full humans, plants—seems to me to be lacking consciousness or it's so so slow a time scale that we don't see it.
1:06 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meta-learning programme, bootstrapping all subsequent learning. A lower level learning, learning how to learn. Things unconscious can't start learning, can't execute the process of learning or at least not to significant enough extent. Zombies—stuck with what they knew at the time of zombification, unfortunate babies—born with a hardware fault forever stuck never becoming full humans, plants—seems to me to be lacking consciousness or it's so so slow a time scale that we don't see it.
1:06 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911569420272492673
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is saying "an artist should make a sculpture for free, on my own whim and desire; s/he is my slave at my beck and call to do as I tell them". That would be a very stupid thing to think, and or say.
I'm saying "the state should not throw me in jail if I see a sculpture, and then I sculpt a copy of what I saw". You do see the difference between these two ideas, right?
12:57 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is saying "an artist should make a sculpture for free, on my own whim and desire; s/he is my slave at my beck and call to do as I tell them". That would be a very stupid thing to think, and or say.
I'm saying "the state should not throw me in jail if I see a sculpture, and then I sculpt a copy of what I saw". You do see the difference between these two ideas, right?
12:57 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911568251685118085
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not saying "high quality data is easy". I'm saying—"data is made more expensive than it needs to be", but our own misguided and silly actions.
12:52 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not saying "high quality data is easy". I'm saying—"data is made more expensive than it needs to be", but our own misguided and silly actions.
12:52 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911566224812601669
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah, sorry, but that's completely 180 degrees wrong. Must ask—are you in academia per chance? One needs lots of education to score 2/2 180 degrees wrong in a single sentence. Sorry to point that out.
There can be no "compute liberalisation", as there is no compute restriction of any kind. Default state is zero compute. Creating compute is hard, takes effort. No-one is stopping anyone using any and all compute they can create, or pay for someone else to create.
In contrast, "data liberalisation" is only needed b/c we put restrictions on copying of data. A natural state is data multiplication, where upon data copy, the original creator retains the data, and now a new owner and user of data is created too. The one that previously didn't have the data, and has got it. (the copy)
A process us humans come in this world well equipped to do. (by nature or evolution or the creator etc) And we engage in it, we like it, we keep doing it do with some gusto! Even when all manner of obstacles are put in front of us to frustrate our activity. We humans are information processing machines par-excellance. And instead heeding what we are all endowed with, we tie ourselves in knots. That's silly. Even un-natural. Nah—no IP laws, delete all IP.
Open data open source open weights open thoughts open actions.
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
12:44 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah, sorry, but that's completely 180 degrees wrong. Must ask—are you in academia per chance? One needs lots of education to score 2/2 180 degrees wrong in a single sentence. Sorry to point that out.
There can be no "compute liberalisation", as there is no compute restriction of any kind. Default state is zero compute. Creating compute is hard, takes effort. No-one is stopping anyone using any and all compute they can create, or pay for someone else to create.
In contrast, "data liberalisation" is only needed b/c we put restrictions on copying of data. A natural state is data multiplication, where upon data copy, the original creator retains the data, and now a new owner and user of data is created too. The one that previously didn't have the data, and has got it. (the copy)
A process us humans come in this world well equipped to do. (by nature or evolution or the creator etc) And we engage in it, we like it, we keep doing it do with some gusto! Even when all manner of obstacles are put in front of us to frustrate our activity. We humans are information processing machines par-excellance. And instead heeding what we are all endowed with, we tie ourselves in knots. That's silly. Even un-natural. Nah—no IP laws, delete all IP.
Open data open source open weights open thoughts open actions.
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
12:44 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911559347831767189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions - I am the owner, the CEO, and the shareholder of my own AI. Looks good to me. With some more compute and efficiency gains—I can be the creator too.
12:17 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions - I am the owner, the CEO, and the shareholder of my own AI. Looks good to me. With some more compute and efficiency gains—I can be the creator too.
12:17 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911557756114370798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not as independent as you make it. Human on average can't survive more than week-to-a-month on their own, solo, away from other humans. They need other humans help to survive. We are born, live, and die, among other humans. Wish humans were more self-sufficient. I hope ASI enables that. So we can do away with malign influence of other humans. The root of which is I need other humans to keep my body alive.
12:10 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not as independent as you make it. Human on average can't survive more than week-to-a-month on their own, solo, away from other humans. They need other humans help to survive. We are born, live, and die, among other humans. Wish humans were more self-sufficient. I hope ASI enables that. So we can do away with malign influence of other humans. The root of which is I need other humans to keep my body alive.
12:10 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911557015555694911
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laziness - if that's an emotion? Reading, watching and enjoying all manner of interesting and amazing things online.
Rather than going down the very long TODO section of my logBook, banging in the R&D, the code, the sims etc, and moving the entries in the DONE section.
12:08 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laziness - if that's an emotion? Reading, watching and enjoying all manner of interesting and amazing things online.
Rather than going down the very long TODO section of my logBook, banging in the R&D, the code, the sims etc, and moving the entries in the DONE section.
12:08 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911555637248504155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😃 humans think they are special, part 123. Yes us dear darlings every one is one and unique. But so is every other human. And so is every other living thing. That has ever lived. So both true, and less remarkable than it appears at first.
12:02 AM · Apr 14, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😃 humans think they are special, part 123. Yes us dear darlings every one is one and unique. But so is every other human. And so is every other living thing. That has ever lived. So both true, and less remarkable than it appears at first.
12:02 AM · Apr 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911553802542477556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They can demand all they want. I'm not denying anyone the right to demand. It's equally my right to do or not do as they demand.
I have my demands too. Like—your words just entered my brain. They live in me now. They use my meatspace, you ltered the strength of my connections, of my very own neurons, for which you used my oxygen and my sugar. I demand you pay me and compensate me for that.
11:55 PM · Apr 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They can demand all they want. I'm not denying anyone the right to demand. It's equally my right to do or not do as they demand.
I have my demands too. Like—your words just entered my brain. They live in me now. They use my meatspace, you ltered the strength of my connections, of my very own neurons, for which you used my oxygen and my sugar. I demand you pay me and compensate me for that.
11:55 PM · Apr 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911551847606743300
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. From what little I remember, ideas were along the lines of: I contribute 1e-12 of the training data, that is my share, but then on a PAYG basis AI is used 1e14 times, so I get paid 1e-12*1e14=$100.
But nowadays I think this is giving too much. Aaron Swartz effect—f*ck that IP monopoly granting, burn that sh*t down. I imbibe in my mind all I want, for the price of buying a book copy, once. There is no PAYG element in my own use of data going into my head, changing my connections in my neurons. AI-s are closer to that than anything else.
Further, thinking about ASI opportunity cost. 2050s Intelligence Revolution may multiply by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goods wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s. Stuff like—curing not only cancer, but all illnesses. Making progress in controlling gravity.
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions warranted in my mind. Accept "The Bitter Lesson" that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path.
11:47 PM · Apr 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. From what little I remember, ideas were along the lines of: I contribute 1e-12 of the training data, that is my share, but then on a PAYG basis AI is used 1e14 times, so I get paid 1e-12*1e14=$100.
But nowadays I think this is giving too much. Aaron Swartz effect—f*ck that IP monopoly granting, burn that sh*t down. I imbibe in my mind all I want, for the price of buying a book copy, once. There is no PAYG element in my own use of data going into my head, changing my connections in my neurons. AI-s are closer to that than anything else.
Further, thinking about ASI opportunity cost. 2050s Intelligence Revolution may multiply by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goods wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s. Stuff like—curing not only cancer, but all illnesses. Making progress in controlling gravity.
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions warranted in my mind. Accept "The Bitter Lesson" that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any any and all obstacles on that path.
11:47 PM · Apr 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911358140546773109
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jaron Lanier in "Who Owns the Future?" discusses some, probably better ideas than any I can come up with.
Don't see why model builders should pay anything over and I above than just buying the book they want to read. Exactly like I did. I have read, processed and vaguely remembered many works of many people (like Jaron above). The process of paying for reading something is simple: one pays for a copy. I don't pay Jaron every time I fetch a memory or an idea in my head, to influence my thinking or something I write. Looks good enough, it works.
I do think both the model builders and authors can profit even more, if the work to find a way to capture even better, richer representation of their ideas. Than the mere words.
10:57 AM · Apr 13, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jaron Lanier in "Who Owns the Future?" discusses some, probably better ideas than any I can come up with.
Don't see why model builders should pay anything over and I above than just buying the book they want to read. Exactly like I did. I have read, processed and vaguely remembered many works of many people (like Jaron above). The process of paying for reading something is simple: one pays for a copy. I don't pay Jaron every time I fetch a memory or an idea in my head, to influence my thinking or something I write. Looks good enough, it works.
I do think both the model builders and authors can profit even more, if the work to find a way to capture even better, richer representation of their ideas. Than the mere words.
10:57 AM · Apr 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911349794687103365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not open source afaik. I was referring to @Tesla licensing all their patents they hold on EV for $1. This is effectively like publishing them at a conference, or in a journal or in a blog.
Wrote about my experience with IP Laws here further in the thread
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not open source afaik. I was referring to @Tesla licensing all their patents they hold on EV for $1. This is effectively like publishing them at a conference, or in a journal or in a blog.
Wrote about my experience with IP Laws here further in the thread
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910960823725351371
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 12
Replying to @scottjla @Elainebks and @Tesla I have some experience with IP Laws. Here are my views.
IP Patents - I held one. (expired since) I want through the process of patenting, in part b/c it was required by the R&D Lab. But also b/c I wanted to learn about the process. Publication in industrial R&D is more via
Show more
10:24 AM · Apr 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1911088393628398011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BBC are showing every sign of an organisation in terminal decline. It's not one person deciding this or that, good or bad l - it's the tails end of an huge organisation 100s of 1000s of people deciding, and us observing the net total of that. And it's a FAIL.
5:05 PM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BBC are showing every sign of an organisation in terminal decline. It's not one person deciding this or that, good or bad l - it's the tails end of an huge organisation 100s of 1000s of people deciding, and us observing the net total of that. And it's a FAIL.
5:05 PM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910999162549682507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not a position to either confirm or deny . From a parent point of view kids in England get even a surplus of soft skills. 😁 Oft things turn into a lawyerung contest one upping the other to the point I think - lets just do this 1st thing I suggest, as it's easy to undo and do the 2nd thing you suggest, or the other way around I care not. Just do it to start with 😆
11:11 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not a position to either confirm or deny . From a parent point of view kids in England get even a surplus of soft skills. 😁 Oft things turn into a lawyerung contest one upping the other to the point I think - lets just do this 1st thing I suggest, as it's easy to undo and do the 2nd thing you suggest, or the other way around I care not. Just do it to start with 😆
11:11 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910980698808217632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids (both 21+) were looking for jobs earlier in the past 2 years. One organic chemistry MSc (UCL) + 2 years experience + Data Science course github projects AI etc. One graduate Math+Econ dual degree from red brick well ranked UK Uni, no prior job experience to speak of.
Got the impression that Linkedin is useless. No one reads anything on the other end. There was zero feedback - human or automated. Looked like the applications went strength to /dev/null. Not got any traction. Looking at Reddit UKjobs maybe the case that UK job market was particularly bad for young people. IDK. The search was not successful.
"Job market bad" is a forever mantra. Every time I've looked for a job in the past 25yrs, it was "job market bad".
9:57 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids (both 21+) were looking for jobs earlier in the past 2 years. One organic chemistry MSc (UCL) + 2 years experience + Data Science course github projects AI etc. One graduate Math+Econ dual degree from red brick well ranked UK Uni, no prior job experience to speak of.
Got the impression that Linkedin is useless. No one reads anything on the other end. There was zero feedback - human or automated. Looked like the applications went strength to /dev/null. Not got any traction. Looking at Reddit UKjobs maybe the case that UK job market was particularly bad for young people. IDK. The search was not successful.
"Job market bad" is a forever mantra. Every time I've looked for a job in the past 25yrs, it was "job market bad".
9:57 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910967396308771077
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - have Gucci chase them, IDK how and by what means, they are inventive creative will think of something I'm sure. I'm not against they slog it off, Gucci-vs-the-rest. I just say leave us the public out of it.
9:05 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - have Gucci chase them, IDK how and by what means, they are inventive creative will think of something I'm sure. I'm not against they slog it off, Gucci-vs-the-rest. I just say leave us the public out of it.
9:05 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910966467958394970
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - I doubt I can setup a Gucci similar shop that will fool anyone. We gave one way of doing things a go for some time. I think we should give another way of doing things a go.
9:01 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - I doubt I can setup a Gucci similar shop that will fool anyone. We gave one way of doing things a go for some time. I think we should give another way of doing things a go.
9:01 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910965615491170737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - true that. True I didn't spend enough time to make them shorter. But I also think it wd take a much better writer than myself to make them shorter. I can't
8:58 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - true that. True I didn't spend enough time to make them shorter. But I also think it wd take a much better writer than myself to make them shorter. I can't
8:58 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910963642545180860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are mistaken thinking that the above post was written by AI. It was written and typed by very much myself only, and not even run through AI.
Having said that—I will use AI to write as I please. To me it's next step from pen, keyboard, auto-complete, spell checking etc.
You are ofc free to read or not read anything as you please too.
8:50 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are mistaken thinking that the above post was written by AI. It was written and typed by very much myself only, and not even run through AI.
Having said that—I will use AI to write as I please. To me it's next step from pen, keyboard, auto-complete, spell checking etc.
You are ofc free to read or not read anything as you please too.
8:50 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910962835208753309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never exactly the same. That's my point. It's an illusion, not borne in reality, that some huge confusion will arise, that does not now.
When I want to buy a Gucci bag with 100% certainty, I go for it buy it in the Gucci shop. Very straightforward. Anything else—there is some probability of me not getting a Gucci bag. That's the case now, that will be the case too with the deletion of all IP laws.
8:46 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never exactly the same. That's my point. It's an illusion, not borne in reality, that some huge confusion will arise, that does not now.
When I want to buy a Gucci bag with 100% certainty, I go for it buy it in the Gucci shop. Very straightforward. Anything else—there is some probability of me not getting a Gucci bag. That's the case now, that will be the case too with the deletion of all IP laws.
8:46 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910960823725351371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have some experience with IP Laws. Here are my views.
IP Patents - I held one. (expired since) I want through the process of patenting, in part b/c it was required by the R&D Lab. But also b/c I wanted to learn about the process. Publication in industrial R&D is more via patents than via conference or journal publication. Both make new knowledge public. Only difference—with patent I can chose to prevent, forbid or make it costly for someone else to do the thing. A patent does nothing for me doing it, of creating sth—it's all about denying that opportunity to others. With conference/paper/blog publication—I give up on the option to deny it to others. Further, I deny the option of patenting to someone else too. For once I made some knowledge public, someone else can't patent it, as it counts as prior art.
IP Trade Secrets. Worked in quant trading where knowledge is protected that way. It's held secret, shared on a need-to-know basis only. Better than patents on the costs side, for it's almost zero extra effort. Still—can't say I'm fan of it. Public knowledge of quant trading industry has been stunted. It's a knowledge loss to society. IK people don't think much of this industry. But-it exists for a reason, provides a service wanted needed by someone. Oft I read plain wrong and stupid to the point of insane takes on trading and speculation, bearing no resemblance to reality. Decisions are made of consequence to all, from positions of much ignorance. Academia is especially stunted, for all transfer of knowledge is one way only. And to whos' benefit? To people that have so much money already, that they fail to notice any added to their accounts. And certainly more than they can usefully do something with. Huge misallocation of resources.
IP Trademarks and similar. Looked at analysing sales of counterfeit brand names clothing items, bags, accessories etc. While some buyers may say they were fooled, the revealed preferences are—they are not fooled. They know full well that $20 "Gucci" bag on Ebay is not a Gucci bag. No matter what they say. We can track their actions, and so get to the "revealed preferences". The companies owning the name (e.g. Gucci) equally engage in deception by assuming that the person that spend $20 on Ebay, would have spent instead $2000 in their shop, if the $20 Ebay option was not available. I'm sorry, but that's b/s. The person with $2000 to spend on their bag goes to their shop even now, with the $20 Ebay option available. Does not forego the $2000 shop purchase and instead buy it off Ebay. I see no great reason for the public to foot the bill for this double-sided double-game of deceptions. I'm sorry—but the consumer, and the bag maker, can leave us the public out of their games. Laws have costs, born by us the public.
8:38 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have some experience with IP Laws. Here are my views.
IP Patents - I held one. (expired since) I want through the process of patenting, in part b/c it was required by the R&D Lab. But also b/c I wanted to learn about the process. Publication in industrial R&D is more via patents than via conference or journal publication. Both make new knowledge public. Only difference—with patent I can chose to prevent, forbid or make it costly for someone else to do the thing. A patent does nothing for me doing it, of creating sth—it's all about denying that opportunity to others. With conference/paper/blog publication—I give up on the option to deny it to others. Further, I deny the option of patenting to someone else too. For once I made some knowledge public, someone else can't patent it, as it counts as prior art.
IP Trade Secrets. Worked in quant trading where knowledge is protected that way. It's held secret, shared on a need-to-know basis only. Better than patents on the costs side, for it's almost zero extra effort. Still—can't say I'm fan of it. Public knowledge of quant trading industry has been stunted. It's a knowledge loss to society. IK people don't think much of this industry. But-it exists for a reason, provides a service wanted needed by someone. Oft I read plain wrong and stupid to the point of insane takes on trading and speculation, bearing no resemblance to reality. Decisions are made of consequence to all, from positions of much ignorance. Academia is especially stunted, for all transfer of knowledge is one way only. And to whos' benefit? To people that have so much money already, that they fail to notice any added to their accounts. And certainly more than they can usefully do something with. Huge misallocation of resources.
IP Trademarks and similar. Looked at analysing sales of counterfeit brand names clothing items, bags, accessories etc. While some buyers may say they were fooled, the revealed preferences are—they are not fooled. They know full well that $20 "Gucci" bag on Ebay is not a Gucci bag. No matter what they say. We can track their actions, and so get to the "revealed preferences". The companies owning the name (e.g. Gucci) equally engage in deception by assuming that the person that spend $20 on Ebay, would have spent instead $2000 in their shop, if the $20 Ebay option was not available. I'm sorry, but that's b/s. The person with $2000 to spend on their bag goes to their shop even now, with the $20 Ebay option available. Does not forego the $2000 shop purchase and instead buy it off Ebay. I see no great reason for the public to foot the bill for this double-sided double-game of deceptions. I'm sorry—but the consumer, and the bag maker, can leave us the public out of their games. Laws have costs, born by us the public.
8:38 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910950788538458357
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It would be a mistake IMO. Diversification is the cheapest risk reduction. No one knows what the state of the world will be in 50 or 70 years when it's your time to draw. Things change radically in 5, let alone in 50 years. Diversify diversify diversify. You are not chasing the MAX outcome. You are after avoiding the MIN case. Diversify in everything - asset class, geography, currency, country, etc. Cheap advice I know. But for the purpose of avoiding the worst case scenario, diversification is also the best value for money imo considering its historic record.
7:59 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It would be a mistake IMO. Diversification is the cheapest risk reduction. No one knows what the state of the world will be in 50 or 70 years when it's your time to draw. Things change radically in 5, let alone in 50 years. Diversify diversify diversify. You are not chasing the MAX outcome. You are after avoiding the MIN case. Diversify in everything - asset class, geography, currency, country, etc. Cheap advice I know. But for the purpose of avoiding the worst case scenario, diversification is also the best value for money imo considering its historic record.
7:59 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910944984766808416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very much doubt that. If Temu renamed themselves Amazon tomorrow, would I be fooled? I doubt that.
Again—brand value quality control etc is important. I just don't think it;s as enabled or created to the extent you seem to think it is. Is my opinion.
7:36 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very much doubt that. If Temu renamed themselves Amazon tomorrow, would I be fooled? I doubt that.
Again—brand value quality control etc is important. I just don't think it;s as enabled or created to the extent you seem to think it is. Is my opinion.
7:36 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910944309186093234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very much don't want that. That's why I did not write anything to that. Grateful if you'd assume I think what I write. And don't assume I think anything else, esp things I don't write.
7:33 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very much don't want that. That's why I did not write anything to that. Grateful if you'd assume I think what I write. And don't assume I think anything else, esp things I don't write.
7:33 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910943280209994191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Billions of people buy trillions of products online from China, and all around the world, from places where IP Laws are famously not enforced that much. Somehow, people manage. They are happy customers.
IMO that has not got much to do with IP Laws. Has got to do with other things—quality, reputation etc. IP Laws—only very tangentially in a very limited way.
Let us remember—IP laws are not costless. They are a cost to society. Are the benefits commensurate with the cost? In my opinion—very much not.
7:29 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Billions of people buy trillions of products online from China, and all around the world, from places where IP Laws are famously not enforced that much. Somehow, people manage. They are happy customers.
IMO that has not got much to do with IP Laws. Has got to do with other things—quality, reputation etc. IP Laws—only very tangentially in a very limited way.
Let us remember—IP laws are not costless. They are a cost to society. Are the benefits commensurate with the cost? In my opinion—very much not.
7:29 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910941940746530916
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - you know, right? You are not fooled.
In countries where IP laws are not enforced, people do not bring microscopes when buying from the local pharmacy. People do not bring mini chemical lab to analyse the milk they buy.
Because the above has nothing to do with IP Laws. Come on. It's to do with quality control, consumer protection laws etc - but not IP Laws.
7:23 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - you know, right? You are not fooled.
In countries where IP laws are not enforced, people do not bring microscopes when buying from the local pharmacy. People do not bring mini chemical lab to analyse the milk they buy.
Because the above has nothing to do with IP Laws. Come on. It's to do with quality control, consumer protection laws etc - but not IP Laws.
7:23 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910941024702062780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a valid concern. However, past experience is that "there will be no innovation" is untrue. There as been plenty of innovation, in. the absence of IP Laws too.
Yes indeed I'm a real person. Yes I hold the above option. You are welcome to read my thoughts on this from tonight at https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live. Thanks! Yes this is my IRL name and surname.
7:20 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a valid concern. However, past experience is that "there will be no innovation" is untrue. There as been plenty of innovation, in. the absence of IP Laws too.
Yes indeed I'm a real person. Yes I hold the above option. You are welcome to read my thoughts on this from tonight at https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live. Thanks! Yes this is my IRL name and surname.
7:20 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910940069470314979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People will not be fooled that easily, is my impression and my experience. At least not to the extent to warrant the current IP laws. If it turns out I'm wrong and it's a problem—it can be addressed in a better way than current laws. Is my opinion.
7:16 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People will not be fooled that easily, is my impression and my experience. At least not to the extent to warrant the current IP laws. If it turns out I'm wrong and it's a problem—it can be addressed in a better way than current laws. Is my opinion.
7:16 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910939157129470217
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But you know those Gucci's are legit or not, right? How—IDK, but people know. No one is fooled.
"Piggybacks, copycats etc" - yeah many how-s and why-s, but most arguments there are hypotheticals. Things that have not happened or do not happen.
I we concentrate on things real rather than hypotheticals we see other things. For example. Current IP laws enable shifting of revenues between internationals subsidiaries, using those same IP laws. The "Property" created in law is bought and sold, to me it looks fictiociously. To me that looks like clear case of dis-incentivising creators and creation. Like—value created by one set of people in one place, is shifted spirited away from them, the people and the place—the whole ecosystem that enabled that value creation, and over to some place that has got zero role in the creation of that value! I can't imagine a worse use of IP laws designed to incentivise creation. To me—that's a clear case of dis-incentivising creation.
7:12 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But you know those Gucci's are legit or not, right? How—IDK, but people know. No one is fooled.
"Piggybacks, copycats etc" - yeah many how-s and why-s, but most arguments there are hypotheticals. Things that have not happened or do not happen.
I we concentrate on things real rather than hypotheticals we see other things. For example. Current IP laws enable shifting of revenues between internationals subsidiaries, using those same IP laws. The "Property" created in law is bought and sold, to me it looks fictiociously. To me that looks like clear case of dis-incentivising creators and creation. Like—value created by one set of people in one place, is shifted spirited away from them, the people and the place—the whole ecosystem that enabled that value creation, and over to some place that has got zero role in the creation of that value! I can't imagine a worse use of IP laws designed to incentivise creation. To me—that's a clear case of dis-incentivising creation.
7:12 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910934855925314003
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am pretty sure they will know. People are less silly that many anticipate when it comes to things that matter to them. And as customers parting with their money, they are outright experts! In my experience. People buying Gucci's on the local stall for $20 do know what they are buying, right? They are not fooled.
IP Laws enforcement is not costless. There is cost to them. The question is - do those costs outweigh any gains from them.
6:55 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am pretty sure they will know. People are less silly that many anticipate when it comes to things that matter to them. And as customers parting with their money, they are outright experts! In my experience. People buying Gucci's on the local stall for $20 do know what they are buying, right? They are not fooled.
IP Laws enforcement is not costless. There is cost to them. The question is - do those costs outweigh any gains from them.
6:55 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910932613696544936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - so delete Patents, delete Trade Secrets, delete Trademarks. Sounds good to me.
6:46 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - so delete Patents, delete Trade Secrets, delete Trademarks. Sounds good to me.
6:46 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910932250897559873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But @Tesla succeeding in the most difficult of circumstance, while famously giving up their rights to enforce theirs IP Monopoly granted (Patents), argues against that, no? @Tesla success is a giant refutation to that argument, right?
Buyers being bamboozled so Trademarks necessary? Again a convenient story told. But simply untrue in my experience. No one buyer buying Gucci's from the local green market stalls for $20 is in any doubt about the provinence of those, I think it's safe to agree. 😆
6:45 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But @Tesla succeeding in the most difficult of circumstance, while famously giving up their rights to enforce theirs IP Monopoly granted (Patents), argues against that, no? @Tesla success is a giant refutation to that argument, right?
Buyers being bamboozled so Trademarks necessary? Again a convenient story told. But simply untrue in my experience. No one buyer buying Gucci's from the local green market stalls for $20 is in any doubt about the provinence of those, I think it's safe to agree. 😆
6:45 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910930427214246127
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Hm-I'm sorry, but think I very much don't equate IP Laws and Patents. For you will notice I make distinction between Patents and Trade Secrets, and compare and contrast my experience in industrial R&D in two industries using them.
6:38 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Hm-I'm sorry, but think I very much don't equate IP Laws and Patents. For you will notice I make distinction between Patents and Trade Secrets, and compare and contrast my experience in industrial R&D in two industries using them.
6:38 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910929549556142222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - true in this season. But it guarantees a sequel, a repeat of the process, a new season of the same series.
For Putin already got all he wanted in previous seasons: Ukraine neutrality no Nato, then Crimea too. Experience shows satisfying current demands, simply guarantees new, more radical demands.
That process unfortunately ends in WW3. I take no pleasure in drawing the logical conclusion. (I'm a father to two boys.) Unfortunately, Europe has form there 😱 We've already had two World Wars, both in Europe, both ignited in CEE. While the rest of the world has yet to manage a single world war of their own.
6:34 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - true in this season. But it guarantees a sequel, a repeat of the process, a new season of the same series.
For Putin already got all he wanted in previous seasons: Ukraine neutrality no Nato, then Crimea too. Experience shows satisfying current demands, simply guarantees new, more radical demands.
That process unfortunately ends in WW3. I take no pleasure in drawing the logical conclusion. (I'm a father to two boys.) Unfortunately, Europe has form there 😱 We've already had two World Wars, both in Europe, both ignited in CEE. While the rest of the world has yet to manage a single world war of their own.
6:34 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910926417715413192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a common misconception and talking point. But it's simply untrue.
Will Amazon collapse if a judge tomorrow finds some prior art credible, and deletes some virtual Shopping basket 🧺 patent Amazon holds atm? It will not. The event will be inconsequential. The value of Amazon is in the goods and services it provides to us, its customers. A patent allowing Amazon Monopoly to hinder a small aspect of their competition is an infinitesimally small factor.
And it's not all one way: Amazon is on the receiving end of competitors' lawfare too! All in all - lots of gross effort goes into that, from two opposing sides pushing against each other, to a grand total net gain of abiut 0. The opportunity cost alone is mind boggling. 😱 All these capable and talented people could do so much more and better with their time and energies.
All in all - IP laws are huge net drain. Take this from someone who has gone through the parenting process partly to learn about it. (GB2404040A) And spent years doing R&D in industry (Tech) that relies on Patents, and also years in industry (finance, quant trading) that doesn't use Patents, but relies on Trade Secrets. I'd say Patents add little while subtracting a lot. Trade Secrets suffice.
Fwiw I would ofc like to get rid of Trade Secrets IP laws too. Opportunity cost that is multiplying global GDP by x10-x20 times fold makes any obstacles put on any ASI paths foolish. Existential risks are often mentioned too, but AGI being humanity's most promising way of reducing them imo, makes the "delete all IP laws" argument even stronger.
6:22 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a common misconception and talking point. But it's simply untrue.
Will Amazon collapse if a judge tomorrow finds some prior art credible, and deletes some virtual Shopping basket 🧺 patent Amazon holds atm? It will not. The event will be inconsequential. The value of Amazon is in the goods and services it provides to us, its customers. A patent allowing Amazon Monopoly to hinder a small aspect of their competition is an infinitesimally small factor.
And it's not all one way: Amazon is on the receiving end of competitors' lawfare too! All in all - lots of gross effort goes into that, from two opposing sides pushing against each other, to a grand total net gain of abiut 0. The opportunity cost alone is mind boggling. 😱 All these capable and talented people could do so much more and better with their time and energies.
All in all - IP laws are huge net drain. Take this from someone who has gone through the parenting process partly to learn about it. (GB2404040A) And spent years doing R&D in industry (Tech) that relies on Patents, and also years in industry (finance, quant trading) that doesn't use Patents, but relies on Trade Secrets. I'd say Patents add little while subtracting a lot. Trade Secrets suffice.
Fwiw I would ofc like to get rid of Trade Secrets IP laws too. Opportunity cost that is multiplying global GDP by x10-x20 times fold makes any obstacles put on any ASI paths foolish. Existential risks are often mentioned too, but AGI being humanity's most promising way of reducing them imo, makes the "delete all IP laws" argument even stronger.
6:22 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910918233596604501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt that. IP hinders startups much more than it helps. @Tesla was the biggest most difficult startup in recent US history possibly, (in the top-3 most shorted for years, 1st automotive to survive not die in 100 yrs,) and it survived despite patents, not because of patents.
5:49 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt that. IP hinders startups much more than it helps. @Tesla was the biggest most difficult startup in recent US history possibly, (in the top-3 most shorted for years, 1st automotive to survive not die in 100 yrs,) and it survived despite patents, not because of patents.
5:49 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910915481680101757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! US please please delete all IP laws. Everyone else will follow suit.
Misnaming "Monopoly" as "Property" was a stroke of genius that kept giving, but now that jig is over. Our collective intelligence got smart enough to see through it.
AI path has opened now to AGI and latter ASI where previously we didn't see any opening. From this vantage seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Frustrate slow down for what? So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders? A self-own by those better-off shareholders if there ever was one, given the opportunity costs. Every one of us is richer, better off, than any king of old. Louis XVI was in many ways much worse off than any one of us. Think - dentistry-surgery-anaesthesia-... or children-survival-vaccines-... (c.f. Queen Anne of England). Just mind boggling. 😱
Yes, creators deserve to be compensated for their work. But copyright laws shouldn’t extend to their grandchildren. DO incentivize creation, DONT fund generational wealth centuries after the fact. US can find a better model to compensate thus encourage creation, than the medieval kings' monopoly granting that is "IP" law. @ycombinator Any laws making startup doing this?
"The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton strikes again, "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)". Got radicalised upon realising that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to AGI... all that ever was to it!! 🤯
There is no "property" in intellectual property. Copying data—whether it’s something I’ve said, written, or painted—doesn’t deprive me of anything. Unlike taking my car, which I can no longer use if you steal it, copying my words or ideas leaves the original intact. Walling off information as if it were physical property is abominable.
There’s symmetry to this. If I want to keep my creations private, I can. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. But once I do—once they enter another person’s mind—that person should have the right to replicate, adapt, and build upon them. They’ve lent me their brain, their "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen, they "flesh" these ideas. Denying them the right to act on that knowledge is unnatural and unjust.
DONT let DeepSeek-R1 open weights AI Sputnik moment of crisis go to waste @elonmusk. Strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex while down, delete those "IP" laws. Have your orange wrecker wreck, JustDoIt "tear down that IP wall, Mr President"-style. 😂 Make creation great again @pmarca.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess!! US please please delete all IP laws. Everyone else will follow suit.
Misnaming "Monopoly" as "Property" was a stroke of genius that kept giving, but now that jig is over. Our collective intelligence got smart enough to see through it.
AI path has opened now to AGI and latter ASI where previously we didn't see any opening. From this vantage seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Frustrate slow down for what? So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders? A self-own by those better-off shareholders if there ever was one, given the opportunity costs. Every one of us is richer, better off, than any king of old. Louis XVI was in many ways much worse off than any one of us. Think - dentistry-surgery-anaesthesia-... or children-survival-vaccines-... (c.f. Queen Anne of England). Just mind boggling. 😱
Yes, creators deserve to be compensated for their work. But copyright laws shouldn’t extend to their grandchildren. DO incentivize creation, DONT fund generational wealth centuries after the fact. US can find a better model to compensate thus encourage creation, than the medieval kings' monopoly granting that is "IP" law. @ycombinator Any laws making startup doing this?
"The Bitter Lesson" of @RichardSSutton strikes again, "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)". Got radicalised upon realising that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to AGI... all that ever was to it!! 🤯
There is no "property" in intellectual property. Copying data—whether it’s something I’ve said, written, or painted—doesn’t deprive me of anything. Unlike taking my car, which I can no longer use if you steal it, copying my words or ideas leaves the original intact. Walling off information as if it were physical property is abominable.
There’s symmetry to this. If I want to keep my creations private, I can. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. But once I do—once they enter another person’s mind—that person should have the right to replicate, adapt, and build upon them. They’ve lent me their brain, their "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen, they "flesh" these ideas. Denying them the right to act on that knowledge is unnatural and unjust.
DONT let DeepSeek-R1 open weights AI Sputnik moment of crisis go to waste @elonmusk. Strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex while down, delete those "IP" laws. Have your orange wrecker wreck, JustDoIt "tear down that IP wall, Mr President"-style. 😂 Make creation great again @pmarca.
Quote
https://x.com/jack/status/1910829254214115681
jack @jack · 9h
delete all IP law
5:38 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910903860287115630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oof - get weak at the knees on sight of a lattice structure 😂
lattice is just right - not too hot, not too cold
embodying the Markov property - now is the boundary between the future and the past, and futures depend on the present but not the pasts
4:52 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oof - get weak at the knees on sight of a lattice structure 😂
lattice is just right - not too hot, not too cold
embodying the Markov property - now is the boundary between the future and the past, and futures depend on the present but not the pasts
4:52 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910895351050952747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 The irony of writing this on the Internet, a network built on and running on free (as in speech not beer) software, open protocols etc.
I take it you willfully chose to not understand the difference between monopoly and property. Naming it "Property" was a genius move that keeps on delivering for the enemies of knowledge, I give them that.
4:18 AM · Apr 12, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 The irony of writing this on the Internet, a network built on and running on free (as in speech not beer) software, open protocols etc.
I take it you willfully chose to not understand the difference between monopoly and property. Naming it "Property" was a genius move that keeps on delivering for the enemies of knowledge, I give them that.
4:18 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910892349330166240
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Heh - very glad to read that. 🥰
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, FTW!
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Heh - very glad to read that. 🥰
$ rm -rf "$IP" # Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, FTW!
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 13
Good for Zuck. It’d be even better if TechBro TechRight used their newly acquired political power to smash the laws that make LibGen non-legal. Forge the iron while it’s hot, so to speak.
Just hit woke-central Disney while it’s down already. Tear down any and all "IP" laws. The x.com/backus/status/…
Show more
4:06 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910627118477709745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 More of this please!! Excellent, this is just excellent. Work in the industrial R&D mines is not that well known. Even less than in academia.
Plus—Open, it's "Open" that's in the name of your org ffs! You are a important ofc and kudos and well done to you all. But—you are not the only thing that's important. A journey started in 1943 if you like (e.g. McCulloch-Pitts neuron).
It's the nature of exponential progress, that it looks still far far away, even after long time of multi-generational effort. Heck, only half the job is done after decades of trying, even at the point of a single half-life time period prior to the finishing line. (to the extent there is one finishing line)
10:32 AM · Apr 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 More of this please!! Excellent, this is just excellent. Work in the industrial R&D mines is not that well known. Even less than in academia.
Plus—Open, it's "Open" that's in the name of your org ffs! You are a important ofc and kudos and well done to you all. But—you are not the only thing that's important. A journey started in 1943 if you like (e.g. McCulloch-Pitts neuron).
It's the nature of exponential progress, that it looks still far far away, even after long time of multi-generational effort. Heck, only half the job is done after decades of trying, even at the point of a single half-life time period prior to the finishing line. (to the extent there is one finishing line)
10:32 AM · Apr 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910609894383681824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😇 good take downs there and welcome too sooner rather than latter. JRE strayed some way from the original "in the beninnging" roots of success (pic). Top Joe move wd be if him not being a khan of the steppe curious savage anymore shut it down. Serial savage move that wd be
9:24 AM · Apr 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😇 good take downs there and welcome too sooner rather than latter. JRE strayed some way from the original "in the beninnging" roots of success (pic). Top Joe move wd be if him not being a khan of the steppe curious savage anymore shut it down. Serial savage move that wd be
9:24 AM · Apr 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910498980670079188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite the argument it's commonly made to be, as 1) not with 100% certainty, 2) only matters in low-Dimensional spaces; spaces most things operate in dimensionality is 1e3, 1e6 or some such (low 1,2,3-...few-dimensional space are the exceptions not the rule); 3) local optimum is still an optimum, there are worse points than it. A cunning plan lacking feedback may well be one of those points around, so still worse that the local optimum.
2:03 AM · Apr 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite the argument it's commonly made to be, as 1) not with 100% certainty, 2) only matters in low-Dimensional spaces; spaces most things operate in dimensionality is 1e3, 1e6 or some such (low 1,2,3-...few-dimensional space are the exceptions not the rule); 3) local optimum is still an optimum, there are worse points than it. A cunning plan lacking feedback may well be one of those points around, so still worse that the local optimum.
2:03 AM · Apr 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1910497197784785368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whether by intent/design or random chance, your programme will provide teachable moments for generations of students of media studies yet to come. One is never sure with the presenters how much of what they do on screen is theirs, and how much by the rest of the team, what's theirs' decisions and what's house policy. Hoping long(er) form social media makes sorry spectacles like the above a thing of the past, less frequent going forward. That's about the only positive thing to be said about your performance.
1:56 AM · Apr 11, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whether by intent/design or random chance, your programme will provide teachable moments for generations of students of media studies yet to come. One is never sure with the presenters how much of what they do on screen is theirs, and how much by the rest of the team, what's theirs' decisions and what's house policy. Hoping long(er) form social media makes sorry spectacles like the above a thing of the past, less frequent going forward. That's about the only positive thing to be said about your performance.
1:56 AM · Apr 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909917211902333192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another ID-scheme will add nothing, and subtract much. Given the state of UK gov capacity, it will be an expensive sh*t show, some moderate pain, for zero gain. Governance problems UK's got have little with technology—mostly it's lack of will.
(earlier https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909866047492026801)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 9
UK already has set of diverse distributed decentralised overlapping ID schemes in operation, that work well enough, and better than any national-ID would likely do considering current UK state capacity.
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the x.com/PolitlcsUK/sta…
Show more
11:32 AM · Apr 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another ID-scheme will add nothing, and subtract much. Given the state of UK gov capacity, it will be an expensive sh*t show, some moderate pain, for zero gain. Governance problems UK's got have little with technology—mostly it's lack of will.
(earlier https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909866047492026801)
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 9
UK already has set of diverse distributed decentralised overlapping ID schemes in operation, that work well enough, and better than any national-ID would likely do considering current UK state capacity.
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the x.com/PolitlcsUK/sta…
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11:32 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909881782092132686
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It astounds me how bad judiciary and lawyers are at writing and executing laws. Having taken on the commanding heights of society, they manage to cr*p everything. Now in/equality, local/gov, economy, earlier infrastructure/building, environmentalism. Black Adder level incompetence. 😂😲
9:11 AM · Apr 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It astounds me how bad judiciary and lawyers are at writing and executing laws. Having taken on the commanding heights of society, they manage to cr*p everything. Now in/equality, local/gov, economy, earlier infrastructure/building, environmentalism. Black Adder level incompetence. 😂😲
9:11 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909876986580774949
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - as per the course.
I have yet to meet a normie, that is not completely oblivious to the fact, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation.
How the world they live daily in was created. And not to be too negative—but the (non-CompSci) intelligentsia class is even more ignorant, if that's even possible?? Have yet to meet a single aspiring marxist that's ever heard of the ideas of Free and or Open Software, FSF/RMS etc.
8:52 AM · Apr 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - as per the course.
I have yet to meet a normie, that is not completely oblivious to the fact, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation.
How the world they live daily in was created. And not to be too negative—but the (non-CompSci) intelligentsia class is even more ignorant, if that's even possible?? Have yet to meet a single aspiring marxist that's ever heard of the ideas of Free and or Open Software, FSF/RMS etc.
8:52 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909866047492026801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK already has set of diverse distributed decentralised overlapping ID schemes in operation, that work well enough, and better than any national-ID would likely do considering current UK state capacity.
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. From the current "trusted by default law abiding citizen", to "not trusted by default, assumed potential law breaker that has to takes action, to ID himself to the police to their satisfaction, on demand, to stay on the right side of the law".
I lived for 30yrs in a system with-national-ID cards, then another 28yrs now in the UK without, and the UK system work better, all things considered.
(past posts https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150, https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22id%20cards%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
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Politics UK @PolitlcsUK · Apr 7
🚨 NEW: Over 40 Labour MPs have called for the introduction of digital IDs so the Government can "get a grip" on illegal migration
[@thetimes]
8:08 AM · Apr 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK already has set of diverse distributed decentralised overlapping ID schemes in operation, that work well enough, and better than any national-ID would likely do considering current UK state capacity.
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. From the current "trusted by default law abiding citizen", to "not trusted by default, assumed potential law breaker that has to takes action, to ID himself to the police to their satisfaction, on demand, to stay on the right side of the law".
I lived for 30yrs in a system with-national-ID cards, then another 28yrs now in the UK without, and the UK system work better, all things considered.
(past posts https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150, https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22id%20cards%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
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Politics UK @PolitlcsUK · Apr 7
🚨 NEW: Over 40 Labour MPs have called for the introduction of digital IDs so the Government can "get a grip" on illegal migration
[@thetimes]
8:08 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909865460121944519
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK already has diverse distributed decentralised ID schemes in operation, that work well enough, and better than any national-ID would. (and esp considering UK state capacity atm)
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. From the current "trusted by default law abiding citizen", to "not trusted by default, assumed potential law breaker that has to takes action, to ID himself to the police to their satisfaction, on demand, to stay on the right side of the law".
I lived for 30yrs in a system with-national-ID cards, then another 28yrs now in the UK without, and the UK system work better, all things considered.
(past posts https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150, https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22id%20cards%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
8:06 AM · Apr 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK already has diverse distributed decentralised ID schemes in operation, that work well enough, and better than any national-ID would. (and esp considering UK state capacity atm)
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. From the current "trusted by default law abiding citizen", to "not trusted by default, assumed potential law breaker that has to takes action, to ID himself to the police to their satisfaction, on demand, to stay on the right side of the law".
I lived for 30yrs in a system with-national-ID cards, then another 28yrs now in the UK without, and the UK system work better, all things considered.
(past posts https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150, https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22id%20cards%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
8:06 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909862252175343825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Success is not guaranteed, but entertainment is. 😂
Maybe the "like a dawg" moment arrived earlier than anyone anticipated 😂
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Success is not guaranteed, but entertainment is. 😂
Maybe the "like a dawg" moment arrived earlier than anyone anticipated 😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856100508555194628
Life stranger than fiction, part 33
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Nov 11, 2024
Replying to @BillyBlacklight @Boavista_Ludwig and 2 others
😂 That image us never not funny. I call it the “like a dawg” photo. 😂 It's perfect! - serious Musk underling standing "at attention" next to the grinning Trump bossing it at his desk. 😂 I hope Musk has got enough stamina to take whatever Trump crazy comes his way. But -
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7:53 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909855770205635066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot check the raw responses for something obviously going wrong, but: ofc addition of noise to aid robustness is not unheard of. Usually it's during training, but with TTT thinking lines are being blurred train-test nowadays. And the long chains of reasoning produced by models even if not explicitly thinking ones, maybe closer to TTT than we assume. Few long shots there un sequence, I admit.
7:27 AM · Apr 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot check the raw responses for something obviously going wrong, but: ofc addition of noise to aid robustness is not unheard of. Usually it's during training, but with TTT thinking lines are being blurred train-test nowadays. And the long chains of reasoning produced by models even if not explicitly thinking ones, maybe closer to TTT than we assume. Few long shots there un sequence, I admit.
7:27 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909852076454060179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The alternative is the diverse distributed decentralised schemes already in operation, that already work well enough.
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. From the current "trusted by default law abiding citizen", to "not trusted by default, assumed potential law breaker that has to takes action, to ID himself to the police to their satisfaction, on demand, to stay on the right side of the law".
I lived for 30yrs I'm a system with-national-ID cards, then another 28yrs now in the UK without, and the UK system work better in total.
(past posts https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150, https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22id%20cards%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
7:13 AM · Apr 9, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The alternative is the diverse distributed decentralised schemes already in operation, that already work well enough.
I oppose national ID cards on the basis that they fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. From the current "trusted by default law abiding citizen", to "not trusted by default, assumed potential law breaker that has to takes action, to ID himself to the police to their satisfaction, on demand, to stay on the right side of the law".
I lived for 30yrs I'm a system with-national-ID cards, then another 28yrs now in the UK without, and the UK system work better in total.
(past posts https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150, https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20%22id%20cards%22&src=typed_query&f=live)
7:13 AM · Apr 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1909019089005429096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's a huge mind shifter to be able to say information in bits is defined and measured as exactly as distance and meter or time android second. And the connection to probability.
However - to me the current information theory still seems a bit of unfinished busines. It was initially all about transfer of information throughout communication channels. But nowadays we concern ourselves with learning. How is knowledge related to information? What size of data can support what size of model? That seems to me to be the crucial question that needs an answer.
12:03 AM · Apr 7, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's a huge mind shifter to be able to say information in bits is defined and measured as exactly as distance and meter or time android second. And the connection to probability.
However - to me the current information theory still seems a bit of unfinished busines. It was initially all about transfer of information throughout communication channels. But nowadays we concern ourselves with learning. How is knowledge related to information? What size of data can support what size of model? That seems to me to be the crucial question that needs an answer.
12:03 AM · Apr 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908667241882964369
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like his podcasts as the next guy, but: they guy is trying too hard. I'm not saying be a dope smoking interested in nothing unthinking plant—but one does not need to aspire or pressurise self to be the absolute opposite of that either.
The latest forecast for the future may pan out or not—but unfortunately authors' track records does not make it that much more likely. Only maybe marginal improvement on a very low baselines.
And the fantasies of "CCP stealing weights", and "elite hackers hacking this and that" were it seems to me just that—teenage boyhood level fantasies. CCP does not know their arm from their arse most of the time. It's comforting as ever to people to think "someone is in control", but ofc, it's just unfounded cope.
It's not CCP, but the free open source etc ideas that appeal to these chinese geeks. Same way the same ideas about freedom and empowerment of every one person, appealed to a prior generation of american and european geeks that built the Internet, free and open to all. No mode complicated explanation is needed to the "why" than: that's how people doing the work think things should be.
12:45 AM · Apr 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like his podcasts as the next guy, but: they guy is trying too hard. I'm not saying be a dope smoking interested in nothing unthinking plant—but one does not need to aspire or pressurise self to be the absolute opposite of that either.
The latest forecast for the future may pan out or not—but unfortunately authors' track records does not make it that much more likely. Only maybe marginal improvement on a very low baselines.
And the fantasies of "CCP stealing weights", and "elite hackers hacking this and that" were it seems to me just that—teenage boyhood level fantasies. CCP does not know their arm from their arse most of the time. It's comforting as ever to people to think "someone is in control", but ofc, it's just unfounded cope.
It's not CCP, but the free open source etc ideas that appeal to these chinese geeks. Same way the same ideas about freedom and empowerment of every one person, appealed to a prior generation of american and european geeks that built the Internet, free and open to all. No mode complicated explanation is needed to the "why" than: that's how people doing the work think things should be.
12:45 AM · Apr 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908663594364924247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks not the worst idea to try tbh. Average AI may actually do a much much better job that the average politician, I suspect?
12:30 AM · Apr 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks not the worst idea to try tbh. Average AI may actually do a much much better job that the average politician, I suspect?
12:30 AM · Apr 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908662247309619426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not tangible -IDK what exactly that means. It's as tangible as a dollar, a number in a spreadsheet.
No real world value like gold-but we are not using gold as reserve currency atm. So not an argument against.
Deflationary argument not true because more cryptos—but countries can agree to use just one crypto as reserve currency. They don't need to take cryptos they don't like or even control.
They could call the crypto Bancor, startup the system that way. Only big and known players in to start with. And if it looks like it's working, can take in ever smaller and more and riskier players, relaxing their strangle hold.
IDK—spitballing a random later night idea. Looks to be it has going for it 1) not-a country fiat, does not distort country's fiat 2) can be agreed to be non-inflationary 3) public by default.
12:25 AM · Apr 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not tangible -IDK what exactly that means. It's as tangible as a dollar, a number in a spreadsheet.
No real world value like gold-but we are not using gold as reserve currency atm. So not an argument against.
Deflationary argument not true because more cryptos—but countries can agree to use just one crypto as reserve currency. They don't need to take cryptos they don't like or even control.
They could call the crypto Bancor, startup the system that way. Only big and known players in to start with. And if it looks like it's working, can take in ever smaller and more and riskier players, relaxing their strangle hold.
IDK—spitballing a random later night idea. Looks to be it has going for it 1) not-a country fiat, does not distort country's fiat 2) can be agreed to be non-inflationary 3) public by default.
12:25 AM · Apr 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908660539330314615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - saw this narcissists' playbook somewhere: "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I meant it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
Saw replies "they double down". True that!
And it makes sense too. For—double down is a winning strategy! Conditional on having infinite funds. Given 2^(n+1) = (1 + 2 + ... + 2^n) + 1, one gets to recover all their previous losses (in bets 1..n), and earn +1 on the top of it. Given that no-one has access to infinite funding, looks to me someone else paying the bills, while you double down - it's the next best thing.
12:18 AM · Apr 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - saw this narcissists' playbook somewhere: "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I meant it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
Saw replies "they double down". True that!
And it makes sense too. For—double down is a winning strategy! Conditional on having infinite funds. Given 2^(n+1) = (1 + 2 + ... + 2^n) + 1, one gets to recover all their previous losses (in bets 1..n), and earn +1 on the top of it. Given that no-one has access to infinite funding, looks to me someone else paying the bills, while you double down - it's the next best thing.
12:18 AM · Apr 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908658406971351287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—but it's a problem. This is my point.
In theory US can have trade deficits forever. In practice, it turns out, it can have them for some time—but not forever. For whatever reasons. (even if silly reasons)
Yes—the current admin is ignorant and does not understand. But a system that needs the best to run it, in order to work out, is not ideal. Better is a system that can withstand being run by fools, even by the worst malicious ones. (even if for a limited time only; no system can be devised resistant to all people bad, all the time)
Constantly speculated on—yes it's a problem, but only if every tom, dick and harry is part of the network. It doesn't have to be that way though? The network can be public (for transparency), but under no obligation whatsoever to connect any rando to the network. They can be selective,. Just connect a single node from every TLD country level domain .xyz as registered by UN or some such international body.
12:10 AM · Apr 6, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—but it's a problem. This is my point.
In theory US can have trade deficits forever. In practice, it turns out, it can have them for some time—but not forever. For whatever reasons. (even if silly reasons)
Yes—the current admin is ignorant and does not understand. But a system that needs the best to run it, in order to work out, is not ideal. Better is a system that can withstand being run by fools, even by the worst malicious ones. (even if for a limited time only; no system can be devised resistant to all people bad, all the time)
Constantly speculated on—yes it's a problem, but only if every tom, dick and harry is part of the network. It doesn't have to be that way though? The network can be public (for transparency), but under no obligation whatsoever to connect any rando to the network. They can be selective,. Just connect a single node from every TLD country level domain .xyz as registered by UN or some such international body.
12:10 AM · Apr 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908655028812079396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, looks to me Bitcoin or similar big crypto name is a shoe-in for a reserve currency??
Now it's been repeatedly shown that having domestic fiat currency used for international trade and global reserve currency, while a privilege and an asset for the issuer short term, it turns into a liability long term.
But looks to me a digital gold-like limited issuance crypto is a good replacement. Non-inflationary currency is needed for inter-national exchange. The public nature of the ledger is appealing too. This does not hurt any domestic currency. The granularity seems about right: about <100 big players, maybe countries/nations. Not a system of VISA or Mastercard with millions of transactions per minute. A system slower with three orders of magnitude less transactions speed, and with more control, suffices fine. Maybe <500 miners suffice to run the network. Can be a mix of state and big private users of this reserve currency. Parties interested in maintaining the integrity of the system/network.
IDK why this has not been done before. Countries by now should know better than offer their own domestic fiat to be used for an international reserve currency.
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, looks to me Bitcoin or similar big crypto name is a shoe-in for a reserve currency??
Now it's been repeatedly shown that having domestic fiat currency used for international trade and global reserve currency, while a privilege and an asset for the issuer short term, it turns into a liability long term.
But looks to me a digital gold-like limited issuance crypto is a good replacement. Non-inflationary currency is needed for inter-national exchange. The public nature of the ledger is appealing too. This does not hurt any domestic currency. The granularity seems about right: about <100 big players, maybe countries/nations. Not a system of VISA or Mastercard with millions of transactions per minute. A system slower with three orders of magnitude less transactions speed, and with more control, suffices fine. Maybe <500 miners suffice to run the network. Can be a mix of state and big private users of this reserve currency. Parties interested in maintaining the integrity of the system/network.
IDK why this has not been done before. Countries by now should know better than offer their own domestic fiat to be used for an international reserve currency.
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https://x.com/sfliberty/status/1907797662956425669
Students For Liberty @sfliberty · Apr 3
Replying to @sfliberty
Let’s start with the current system:
The U.S. dollar is the global reserve currency.
That means foreign countries want to hold dollars—not to buy U.S. goods, but to settle debts, buy oil, and build financial reserves.
Result? Massive demand for dollars.
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11:56 PM · Apr 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908447138033328238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that a spin on "the Bitter Lesson", or rather a more precise version of it? More data better, but it's the SNR that's really important. For otherwise, we could just copy the same train set 10x times over, and obviously that does nothing for the "more data" of "the Bitter Lesson". So it's the amount of data, but only b/c more data usually increases the SNR. For whatever "Signal" in the Signal-to-Noise Ratio we have in mind for the task at hand.
10:10 AM · Apr 5, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that a spin on "the Bitter Lesson", or rather a more precise version of it? More data better, but it's the SNR that's really important. For otherwise, we could just copy the same train set 10x times over, and obviously that does nothing for the "more data" of "the Bitter Lesson". So it's the amount of data, but only b/c more data usually increases the SNR. For whatever "Signal" in the Signal-to-Noise Ratio we have in mind for the task at hand.
10:10 AM · Apr 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908212944514564123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tako courage - you are not alone thinking that maybe the case.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tako courage - you are not alone thinking that maybe the case.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886835947917987925
Ofc we can't be certain - but we can suspect.
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 4
Replying to @DaveShapi
Huh - what a bad start 😱 this to what will be a long history of HI-AI relations: HI inflicting outright stupid atavistic violence 😰 unto helpless-like-a-baby AI.
And for no good reasons at all, or even any reasons?? Now that is just characteristically dumb. 😡 Dumb as nails
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6:39 PM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908119522621472929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but take it with Lord Glassman on that. I parroted relayed what he said in that interview.
I have not got much of @JDVance myself. (have not read the Hillbilly Elegy.) Only started following this after MAGAs won the election.
I try not to form opinions make up my minds on things unless I really need to for some reason. Find that somewhat liberating.
12:28 PM · Apr 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but take it with Lord Glassman on that. I parroted relayed what he said in that interview.
I have not got much of @JDVance myself. (have not read the Hillbilly Elegy.) Only started following this after MAGAs won the election.
I try not to form opinions make up my minds on things unless I really need to for some reason. Find that somewhat liberating.
12:28 PM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908100308539978137
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. TBH, both my knowledge and interest in this are limited. I about try to keep up and explain to myself the world around.
On the current MAGA coalition in government in the US my limited knowledge mostly comes from
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. TBH, both my knowledge and interest in this are limited. I about try to keep up and explain to myself the world around.
On the current MAGA coalition in government in the US my limited knowledge mostly comes from
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908081348931096671
On free trade v.s. barriers and trade wars trying to explain to myself what's what this
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908090542015029756
and
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908071827378676024
Sorry I like to learn more but I have to go now. Will come back to this latter in the day in the evening. Thanks for the info on things distant I know little of.
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 4
Replying to @RealDukakisism and @teortaxesTex
Who is who in the MAGA coalition, and the way the groups in it operate, was told to me in a way I understood in this interview
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DTDnevmmpVhk%26t%3D1s
Trump is like Caesar, he sits at the top, decides and adjudicates in the fights within the coalition. His word, his decisions
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11:12 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908092763968585928
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, if you don't build more housing. But not building more housing is a choice. It's not a law of nature. The country could decide to build-build-build.
Afaik the low inflation with growth, came with globalisation, and China going market economy. Before that, inflation was fought with recession (the Volcker shock), and before that, there was stagflation - both inflation and low or no growth, after the oil shock. Afaik - but I'm not an economist, not from the US, just a bystander with mild interest in how the world around me works. I maybe wrong thinking the above.
What you call government US debt, is special dollars sitting with the Fed. Chinese company sells widgets to US. The dollars they get, can't leave the US monetary system. They can't stuff them in bags and ship them over to China. They can either 1) spend them in the US; or if they don't, it can sit in a 2) checking account earning 0 (actually eroded by the 2% inflation p.a.); or 3) move them in an interest bearing account. That (#3) account is called "US government debt".
11:42 AM · Apr 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, if you don't build more housing. But not building more housing is a choice. It's not a law of nature. The country could decide to build-build-build.
Afaik the low inflation with growth, came with globalisation, and China going market economy. Before that, inflation was fought with recession (the Volcker shock), and before that, there was stagflation - both inflation and low or no growth, after the oil shock. Afaik - but I'm not an economist, not from the US, just a bystander with mild interest in how the world around me works. I maybe wrong thinking the above.
What you call government US debt, is special dollars sitting with the Fed. Chinese company sells widgets to US. The dollars they get, can't leave the US monetary system. They can't stuff them in bags and ship them over to China. They can either 1) spend them in the US; or if they don't, it can sit in a 2) checking account earning 0 (actually eroded by the 2% inflation p.a.); or 3) move them in an interest bearing account. That (#3) account is called "US government debt".
11:42 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908090542015029756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me the free trade v.s. nativist barriers yo-yo-ing, looks like a game of prisoners dilemma.
Say if we both free trade we both gain 5. Then if you free trade, but I don't (b/c you put up barriers), we are at - yourself 3, but myself 0. And finally if we both put up barriers, we are both at 1.
So the stable configuration is either both no barriers (you,me)=(5,5), or both put up barriers (you,me)=(1,1). While configurations of one sided barriers that are (3,0) or (0,3) don't last, b/c the side without barriers gains from 0 -> to 1 once they put them up too.
Using this opportunity to spread the word about one of my all time favourite videos (by @veritasium) 😇 on this -
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me the free trade v.s. nativist barriers yo-yo-ing, looks like a game of prisoners dilemma.
Say if we both free trade we both gain 5. Then if you free trade, but I don't (b/c you put up barriers), we are at - yourself 3, but myself 0. And finally if we both put up barriers, we are both at 1.
So the stable configuration is either both no barriers (you,me)=(5,5), or both put up barriers (you,me)=(1,1). While configurations of one sided barriers that are (3,0) or (0,3) don't last, b/c the side without barriers gains from 0 -> to 1 once they put them up too.
Using this opportunity to spread the word about one of my all time favourite videos (by @veritasium) 😇 on this -
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
At national level, vacillating between free trade and barriers, also makes sense to me.
While it's true that as a country, as a whole, that both sides gain 5 by having a joint market to sell to, rather than their own only (when they gain 1), that 5 for the whole country is an average.
Some in the country gain more, others less. Some will be even worse off with free trade than barriers. For them the "both countries up barriers" is better. What the country as a whole does, depends on the balance of power between the winners and the losers in the country.
Say it's only you and me in the country. I gain 10, you gain 0. Average is 5. But that doesn't do much good for you, right? Your gain 0 is worse than 1, that you would have got without free trade. You're one of the losers from the free trade, so you will be in favour of trade barriers. If the other side puts them up too, then our side is at 1, if they don't do it, then our side is at 3. Both are better for you (provided you do no worse than the average; for those number 1 and 3 are again averages), than the free trade case where I gain 0.
Not an econ at all myself. Wholly unqualified. This is just my layman understanding of the dynamics. Why what we observe happens, happens.
11:33 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908081348931096671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Who is who in the MAGA coalition, and the way the groups in it operate, was told to me in a way I understood in this interview
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Who is who in the MAGA coalition, and the way the groups in it operate, was told to me in a way I understood in this interview
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DTDnevmmpVhk%26t%3D1s
Trump is like Caesar, he sits at the top, decides and adjudicates in the fights within the coalition. His word, his decisions are final, and all accept what he decides. To the left of him, below him, sits the capitalist-left coalition of Vance, Bannon, Cass. This is the group pushing for tariffs for their constituency, afaics. To the right of him, below him, sits the capitalist-right. This is big capital, industrialists like Musk.
From appblit.com
10:56 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908080369632432292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - he is good propagandist though. He manages to put forward stuff like US debt, house prices, low inflation, that has either nothing to do with globalisation (debt, house prices) or is actually a counter argument (low inflation) to his view.
10:53 AM · Apr 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - he is good propagandist though. He manages to put forward stuff like US debt, house prices, low inflation, that has either nothing to do with globalisation (debt, house prices) or is actually a counter argument (low inflation) to his view.
10:53 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908079086972391486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - nice, I'm pleased to hear.
As an advocate of radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers, in order to address the information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power. :-)
The usual opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But. the other, often unsaid option is, that state/business open up, increase their "information surface" towards me. That will also achieve balance.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. For every time it's actually measured, how much value people put on their privacy, when they have to weigh against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to 0.
10:47 AM · Apr 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - nice, I'm pleased to hear.
As an advocate of radical transparency on part of the state towards us citizens, and businesses towards us their consumers, in order to address the information imbalance. Information leads to knowledge leads to power. :-)
The usual opinion is that the power imbalance coming from the information imbalance (state/business know a lot about me; I know little about them) is that us citizens and consumers should reduce our "information surface" towards them. And address the imbalance that way. But. the other, often unsaid option is, that state/business open up, increase their "information surface" towards me. That will also achieve balance.
There is an old book "Data For the People" by an early AI pioneer and Amazon CTO @aweigend. Afaics it well describes the world we live in, and also are likely to live even more in the future. For every time it's actually measured, how much value people put on their privacy, when they have to weigh against convenience and other gains from more data sharing, the revealed preference is close to 0.
10:47 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908073347939774831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are plenty of trees around Luton airport. It's all green and lush. I'm sure the builder can be made to plant 3 new trees for everyone 1 old that they destroy. A tree is not a good reason to not build. We can have both trees, and airports. It's not beyond the wits of us.
10:25 AM · Apr 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are plenty of trees around Luton airport. It's all green and lush. I'm sure the builder can be made to plant 3 new trees for everyone 1 old that they destroy. A tree is not a good reason to not build. We can have both trees, and airports. It's not beyond the wits of us.
10:25 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908071827378676024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I will answer even if I'm not him. It's not only yourself and US, ultimately the OP and his side is worse off too.
I believe this is like a game of "prisoners dilemma". If both US and EU trade, say each gain 5. If one puts up barriers, then that one gains 3, the other 0. If both put up barriers, then say they gain 1. There are 4 combinations possible.
Bothering to reply (I'm neither in the EU, nor in the US) only to spread the word about one of my all time favourite videos (by @veritasium) on this-
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I will answer even if I'm not him. It's not only yourself and US, ultimately the OP and his side is worse off too.
I believe this is like a game of "prisoners dilemma". If both US and EU trade, say each gain 5. If one puts up barriers, then that one gains 3, the other 0. If both put up barriers, then say they gain 1. There are 4 combinations possible.
Bothering to reply (I'm neither in the EU, nor in the US) only to spread the word about one of my all time favourite videos (by @veritasium) on this-
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
The way I a lay person, understand trade barriers, free trade and globalisation is this. (not an econ in any way myself)
1) When there is one sided barrier, the one not putting it up, is worse off, than putting it up. That's why if it goes up on one side, goes up on the other side.
Say both without barriers gain 5, but with one sided, the side not putting them up gains 0, while when it retaliates and puts them up it gains 1. So the stable situation will be either both sides without (both gain 5), or both sides with (both gain 1).
2) While it's true that as a country, as a whole, that both sides gain 5 by having a joint market we sell to, rather than their own only (when they gain 1), that 5 for the whole country is an average. Some will gain more, some will gain less.
Some in the country will be better off, but some will be even worse off! For them the "both countries up barriers" is better. In a country of 300M+ people, there will be all sorts. What the country as a whole does, depends on the balance of power between the winners and the losers in the country.
Say it's only you and me in the country. You gain 10, I gain 0. Average is 5. But that doesn't do much good for me, right? My gain 0 is worse than 1, that I would have gained without free trade. I'm one of the losers from the free trade, I will be in favour of trade barriers. If the other side puts them up too, then we are at 1, if they don't do it, we are at 3. Both are better for me (provided I do no worse than the average then, for those 1 and 3 are again averages), than the free trade case where I gain 0.
10:19 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908059432472203523
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ah, found it - this one, should anyone be interested
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ah, found it - this one, should anyone be interested
https://www.appblit.com/scribe?v=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DTDnevmmpVhk%26t%3D1s
From appblit.com
9:29 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908057223336538395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and I half remembered this extraordinary quote, found it now:
> 12:10
So, first of all, you know, you're not going to get a white ethnonationalist crowd cheering on a black preacher. Martin Luther King saying "we're free at last" and I asked them later, "What were you cheering? I mean, in what way are you free at last now?" and it was... we're free from the thought police, we're free from the lanyard ref, free from this idea that you can't... they... there was a genuine sense of liberation from HR, just the relentless pleasing of your speech and actions. So that's what I was talking about. In the... it's really interesting, and I've heard that from some other sources, really, that there's like an almost existential exuberance around this.
from
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and I half remembered this extraordinary quote, found it now:
> 12:10
So, first of all, you know, you're not going to get a white ethnonationalist crowd cheering on a black preacher. Martin Luther King saying "we're free at last" and I asked them later, "What were you cheering? I mean, in what way are you free at last now?" and it was... we're free from the thought police, we're free from the lanyard ref, free from this idea that you can't... they... there was a genuine sense of liberation from HR, just the relentless pleasing of your speech and actions. So that's what I was talking about. In the... it's really interesting, and I've heard that from some other sources, really, that there's like an almost existential exuberance around this.
from
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DTDnevmmpVhk%26t%3D1s
The whole interview, a report by a witness who attended it, of the "dispatch from the far away land of which we know little"-type, from the Trump inauguration, I thought it was very good. It explained to me the fractions in the MAGA coalition in a way I understood.
9:21 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908027965281054818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know how true this is (am not US-ian) but: I listened to a dispatch by someone from the UK, (where I live) who was the single person from the party currently in government (LAB) to be invited to the Trump innaguiration. He describes the current MAGA coalition rulling the country as follows.
Trump is like Caesar, he sits at their top, decides and adjudicates in the fights within the coalition. His word his decisions are final. They all accept what he decides.
To them left of him below him, sits the capitalist-left coalition. Vance, Bannon, Cass. This is the group pushing for tarrifs, for their constituency. afaics
To the right of him below him, sits the capitalist-right. This is big capital, industrialists including Musk. Musk was asked about tarrifs, have seen it in an interview. He was ambivalent. Said if introduced, wd need to come in gradually, for the businesses too adapt. For if it's a sudden and large change, (=cost increase to them) businesses will be unable to adapt and some will die.
7:24 AM · Apr 4, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know how true this is (am not US-ian) but: I listened to a dispatch by someone from the UK, (where I live) who was the single person from the party currently in government (LAB) to be invited to the Trump innaguiration. He describes the current MAGA coalition rulling the country as follows.
Trump is like Caesar, he sits at their top, decides and adjudicates in the fights within the coalition. His word his decisions are final. They all accept what he decides.
To them left of him below him, sits the capitalist-left coalition. Vance, Bannon, Cass. This is the group pushing for tarrifs, for their constituency. afaics
To the right of him below him, sits the capitalist-right. This is big capital, industrialists including Musk. Musk was asked about tarrifs, have seen it in an interview. He was ambivalent. Said if introduced, wd need to come in gradually, for the businesses too adapt. For if it's a sudden and large change, (=cost increase to them) businesses will be unable to adapt and some will die.
7:24 AM · Apr 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907863977779970285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah - golden. 😂 Miserable-ist hair shirt doomer greens, find common ground with the nativist, capitalist-left wing of the MAGA coalition.
In a just world, you'd have left the city life for living in a hut or a cave, in the middle of nowhere, minimising your footprint on mother Gaia. It's never too late—please do that and leave the rest alone.
8:33 PM · Apr 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah - golden. 😂 Miserable-ist hair shirt doomer greens, find common ground with the nativist, capitalist-left wing of the MAGA coalition.
In a just world, you'd have left the city life for living in a hut or a cave, in the middle of nowhere, minimising your footprint on mother Gaia. It's never too late—please do that and leave the rest alone.
8:33 PM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907770148611637556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and 1M context window, where/when available.
Seems larger context is the key opening many new doors-
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and 1M context window, where/when available.
Seems larger context is the key opening many new doors-
https://x.com/iurii_alekseev/status/1907509223262691734
Noticed this one open source local months ago, on the todo list to try since-
https://qwenlm.github.io/blog/qwen2.5-1m/
Quote
Iurii Alekseev @iurii_alekseev · Apr 2
I just fed Gemini 2.5 Pro the failing test message, all the test files, models, services, and views of a medium-sized Ruby on Rails SaaS project (~800k tokens).
Before that, I spent about an hour trying (and failing) to debug it myself.
It found the problem and fixed it in ~1
Show more
2:20 PM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907767471743901845
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ta 🙏 yeah England in spring and esp summer is great for me ☺️ the previous day, same driveway, different set of trees
2:09 PM · Apr 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ta 🙏 yeah England in spring and esp summer is great for me ☺️ the previous day, same driveway, different set of trees
2:09 PM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907743519655047244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True in other contexts too, for similar "familiarity" reasons.
"No one is a prophet in their own village."
A once-a-century artist hailing from my home town, heard him complain in an interview "I'm admired and feted for my art everywhere, except in my home town, where I'm dismissed with `ah-I know him, we went to primary school together'." (`who does he think he is' :-) ) Not super bad, he might have used his artistic licence there exaggerated a bit - for he's well known and liked - but yeah there is a grain of truth there.
To dismiss our "reality guards", and really invest ourselves in an abstract idea - it helps if we are less familiar with the carrier of the idea.
12:34 PM · Apr 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True in other contexts too, for similar "familiarity" reasons.
"No one is a prophet in their own village."
A once-a-century artist hailing from my home town, heard him complain in an interview "I'm admired and feted for my art everywhere, except in my home town, where I'm dismissed with `ah-I know him, we went to primary school together'." (`who does he think he is' :-) ) Not super bad, he might have used his artistic licence there exaggerated a bit - for he's well known and liked - but yeah there is a grain of truth there.
To dismiss our "reality guards", and really invest ourselves in an abstract idea - it helps if we are less familiar with the carrier of the idea.
12:34 PM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907735246704894020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) eh - use the information theory Luke, use the information theory.
beta = stuff one can predict, it's not new unpredictable. one gets it from the forecast, no need for the live person to repeat the same.
alpha = stuff one can't predict, it's new, it's a surprise, contains lots of information. (by definition. information == amount of surprise revealed to me by the reveal)
12:01 PM · Apr 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) eh - use the information theory Luke, use the information theory.
beta = stuff one can predict, it's not new unpredictable. one gets it from the forecast, no need for the live person to repeat the same.
alpha = stuff one can't predict, it's new, it's a surprise, contains lots of information. (by definition. information == amount of surprise revealed to me by the reveal)
12:01 PM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907730848339595541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What tools are you using atm? I'm shifting back and forth, after trying aider, then VSCode Cline, (and Roo,) now back to aider. My codebase is a mix of (old, mostly readonly) matlab, (new, mostly write) python pytorch, and (old and new read/write) C/C++.
For making targeted changes I doubt it will save time. But I find it ok for me writing wrappers for pytorch libraries I have not used before. Instead of me wading through documentation and examples and concocting something for my exact user case. Seems aider suffices to give me a start.
Targeted small changes, esp across few files, I find easier to do them myself. I write instructions down in an INSTRUCTIONS .md file (so they get into git too), and tell aider "read your instructions from the INSTRUCTIONS .md file - thanks".
11:44 AM · Apr 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What tools are you using atm? I'm shifting back and forth, after trying aider, then VSCode Cline, (and Roo,) now back to aider. My codebase is a mix of (old, mostly readonly) matlab, (new, mostly write) python pytorch, and (old and new read/write) C/C++.
For making targeted changes I doubt it will save time. But I find it ok for me writing wrappers for pytorch libraries I have not used before. Instead of me wading through documentation and examples and concocting something for my exact user case. Seems aider suffices to give me a start.
Targeted small changes, esp across few files, I find easier to do them myself. I write instructions down in an INSTRUCTIONS .md file (so they get into git too), and tell aider "read your instructions from the INSTRUCTIONS .md file - thanks".
11:44 AM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907713881830568422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Deeply UnSerious People" - have heard the phrase more than once, for the last half-dozen governments.
VSP - Very Serious People they call themselves. One realises it's what they aspire to. Do at some level, they feel this is what they lack? VSP - Very Stupid People always read more like to me.
What I don't for the life of me understand is - why? how?? They all got excellent education. Growing up circumstances, environments, were not terrible. They don't all appear to be even that morally dysfunctional, or very corrupt etc.
But they just appear like low-level cowards. Frightened by the slightest movement in the bushes near by. Like walnut husks buffeted by waves. Dead souls bean counters, tallying up infinitesimally tiny aspirations. Devoid of any designs for the future, except "tomorrow be the same as today" as forever default.
10:36 AM · Apr 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Deeply UnSerious People" - have heard the phrase more than once, for the last half-dozen governments.
VSP - Very Serious People they call themselves. One realises it's what they aspire to. Do at some level, they feel this is what they lack? VSP - Very Stupid People always read more like to me.
What I don't for the life of me understand is - why? how?? They all got excellent education. Growing up circumstances, environments, were not terrible. They don't all appear to be even that morally dysfunctional, or very corrupt etc.
But they just appear like low-level cowards. Frightened by the slightest movement in the bushes near by. Like walnut husks buffeted by waves. Dead souls bean counters, tallying up infinitesimally tiny aspirations. Devoid of any designs for the future, except "tomorrow be the same as today" as forever default.
10:36 AM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907699679191773394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's because who they are. They got zero designs, zero ideas, about the future. Like Cameron before them, stumped by "Why do you want to be PM?"
Silver lining for pressure groups. Propose policies! With little luck, Gov will adopt yours as theirs. Sunak was also of this kind. Dead souls bean counters.
Good PR Social Media game crucial. With this lot, play on West Wing-envy of their US cousins. Make proposals via drama queening. VSP, histrionics but in moderation, sucking of teeth, image is everything - appeal. With modern AI videos generators, crowfunded low budgets suffice.
9:40 AM · Apr 3, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's because who they are. They got zero designs, zero ideas, about the future. Like Cameron before them, stumped by "Why do you want to be PM?"
Silver lining for pressure groups. Propose policies! With little luck, Gov will adopt yours as theirs. Sunak was also of this kind. Dead souls bean counters.
Good PR Social Media game crucial. With this lot, play on West Wing-envy of their US cousins. Make proposals via drama queening. VSP, histrionics but in moderation, sucking of teeth, image is everything - appeal. With modern AI videos generators, crowfunded low budgets suffice.
9:40 AM · Apr 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907530505001582960
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
too late, the anti-forecaster got there first-
Jim Cramer on CNBC: "I can't think of a dumber day to buy stocks than today."
10:28 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
too late, the anti-forecaster got there first-
Jim Cramer on CNBC: "I can't think of a dumber day to buy stocks than today."
10:28 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907527572629430724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think Information is. Information is fundamental, energy and matter are it's carriers. Or manifestations. I've not got much reasoning behind this. Just feels that way to me. Am wholly unqualified rando, not a physicists. Spent ~10 mins thinking of it. Don't take this too seriously pls.
10:16 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think Information is. Information is fundamental, energy and matter are it's carriers. Or manifestations. I've not got much reasoning behind this. Just feels that way to me. Am wholly unqualified rando, not a physicists. Spent ~10 mins thinking of it. Don't take this too seriously pls.
10:16 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907506028033274031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The solution is trivially easy. It's the will that's lacking. Delete all those filtering people. Make the admissions process completely algorithmic - e.g.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The solution is trivially easy. It's the will that's lacking. Delete all those filtering people. Make the admissions process completely algorithmic - e.g.
https://x.com/panickssery/status/1906798704717357350
And if one needs to have it algorithmic but still non-deterministic, add a weighted lottery by random number generator. How hard is that??
And the filter-ers can do something better with their lives, something more productive both for themselves and the society. Atm their biases are net negative, and all the candidates "beauty contest"-way dancing to guessing their biases, is also a huge loss of productive energy.
Quote
Arjun Panickssery @panickssery · Mar 31
The narrative in which college admissions is inherently a rat race even without DEI/legacy-admissions/etc doesn't pass napkin math
1) 3.8m students graduate hs each year
2) Top-20 colleges admit ~40k total
So they could just admit a large majority if not all 1550+ SAT scorers?
Show more
8:50 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907504353033810133
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hahaha 😂 - you made me search for it now https://rotaryinharpenden.org.uk
8:44 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hahaha 😂 - you made me search for it now https://rotaryinharpenden.org.uk
8:44 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907502836902162541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah-true that! By self-selection, all of those out there in those clubs, they got out of the zone of comfort of the introverts! Hm - maybe I'm a convert now? I may check out my local Rotarians. They keep organising a string of local events, all pretty good, through the summer, that I enjoy visiting year after year.
8:38 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah-true that! By self-selection, all of those out there in those clubs, they got out of the zone of comfort of the introverts! Hm - maybe I'm a convert now? I may check out my local Rotarians. They keep organising a string of local events, all pretty good, through the summer, that I enjoy visiting year after year.
8:38 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907501775218688120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't be ridiculous. Public policy is to be made on the basis of evidence collected IRL! Not on the basis of personal anecdotes and fictional dramas.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't be ridiculous. Public policy is to be made on the basis of evidence collected IRL! Not on the basis of personal anecdotes and fictional dramas.
https://x.com/memeticsisyphus/status/1655534742802931716
Enough with drama queens conga dance of insufferable stupidity already!
Quote
memetic_sisyphus @memeticsisyphus · May 8, 2023
Liberals don’t know things. They don’t read history, they don’t obsess over stats, the few data points they do see they forget. Their entire world is driven by the consumption of fiction x.com/texasrunnerDFW…
8:33 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907500774873325809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the breaching of the citadel
8:29 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the breaching of the citadel
8:29 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907500284768579727
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
unfortunately I fear you are completely right thinking that! the effectiveness of a group of randoms clubbing together to clobber out of running an out-of-group individual for some advantage, business or otherwise, is vastly under-appreciated in our individualistic cultures!
8:28 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
unfortunately I fear you are completely right thinking that! the effectiveness of a group of randoms clubbing together to clobber out of running an out-of-group individual for some advantage, business or otherwise, is vastly under-appreciated in our individualistic cultures!
8:28 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907498420589232619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is that stupid. When people show themselves to you what they are—believe them.
There is more to the stupidity on display though. That kind of stupidity in his thinking is not the type of low IQ or lack of rational thinking. No—it's the type of "what I think (or vaguely feel) is good, is actually bad". It's bad morals!
There is the book-let definition of stupid as "one causing loss and suffering to others, for no gain to themselves, or even a small loss". (by Cippola) The bad morals connection was iafaik made by Bonhoeffer, that summarised:
1) Supidity is low morals not low IQ, it's thinking something is good, that rest of us find to be bad; and
2) It's social, like a mind virus (hello Elon), occurring in humans groups more than individuals.
HTH. I have been tracking this, it fascinates me, (and esp in light of recent AI dev,) and there is material on both individual, but mostly collective stupidity, as well as intelligence. If anyone has links to add, pls share. Thanks!
8:20 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is that stupid. When people show themselves to you what they are—believe them.
There is more to the stupidity on display though. That kind of stupidity in his thinking is not the type of low IQ or lack of rational thinking. No—it's the type of "what I think (or vaguely feel) is good, is actually bad". It's bad morals!
There is the book-let definition of stupid as "one causing loss and suffering to others, for no gain to themselves, or even a small loss". (by Cippola) The bad morals connection was iafaik made by Bonhoeffer, that summarised:
1) Supidity is low morals not low IQ, it's thinking something is good, that rest of us find to be bad; and
2) It's social, like a mind virus (hello Elon), occurring in humans groups more than individuals.
HTH. I have been tracking this, it fascinates me, (and esp in light of recent AI dev,) and there is material on both individual, but mostly collective stupidity, as well as intelligence. If anyone has links to add, pls share. Thanks!
8:20 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907495862009237511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
US very own Lord Haw-Haw for the age of social media.
8:10 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
US very own Lord Haw-Haw for the age of social media.
8:10 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907494532683296840
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
but do you find them surprisingly achingly stupid?? ngl my visitors even after years of vising, and being fed (??) some number of times, mostly by the kids but sometimes myself, always act so surprised so jumpy. so much so that I oft think in the evenings - "do you remember you already visited this place this morning, oh you silly cat"??
8:05 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
but do you find them surprisingly achingly stupid?? ngl my visitors even after years of vising, and being fed (??) some number of times, mostly by the kids but sometimes myself, always act so surprised so jumpy. so much so that I oft think in the evenings - "do you remember you already visited this place this morning, oh you silly cat"??
8:05 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907487801236439250
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. I just think - to seek for the majority to select the *best* option available, that would be asking for too much imo. For the majority, it suffices in my book, that the majority avoids the *worst* option. While the *best* option will always stay minoritys' choice.
7:38 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. I just think - to seek for the majority to select the *best* option available, that would be asking for too much imo. For the majority, it suffices in my book, that the majority avoids the *worst* option. While the *best* option will always stay minoritys' choice.
7:38 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907486886873993275
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing "fundamental", and nothing "wrong" here. As long as it's labelled correct, and everyone knows and understands it's "lab-grown meat", there is nothing wrong with it. In fact - there maybe plenty right about it too!
GFI UK and good luck with it! Hope I see in my lifetime end to animals suffering, of us humans killing animals, and eating their corpses, b/c we can not do that much about it, imperfect as we are facing the constraints of our biology. Daily holocaust-equivalent of I suspect pretty sentient species is nothing to be proud about. 😭
The SF parable of aliens landing on Earth, looking for a second species to vouch for Homo Sapiens to stave off our imminent species extinguishment, our extinction at the hands of the aliens, and only having the mosquito join the (domesticated) dog species come to our rescue, comes to my mind every time this issue comes into view. 😰
Quote
No Farmers, No Food @NoFarmsNoFoods · Apr 2
This is fundamentally wrong.
7:34 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing "fundamental", and nothing "wrong" here. As long as it's labelled correct, and everyone knows and understands it's "lab-grown meat", there is nothing wrong with it. In fact - there maybe plenty right about it too!
GFI UK and good luck with it! Hope I see in my lifetime end to animals suffering, of us humans killing animals, and eating their corpses, b/c we can not do that much about it, imperfect as we are facing the constraints of our biology. Daily holocaust-equivalent of I suspect pretty sentient species is nothing to be proud about. 😭
The SF parable of aliens landing on Earth, looking for a second species to vouch for Homo Sapiens to stave off our imminent species extinguishment, our extinction at the hands of the aliens, and only having the mosquito join the (domesticated) dog species come to our rescue, comes to my mind every time this issue comes into view. 😰
Quote
No Farmers, No Food @NoFarmsNoFoods · Apr 2
This is fundamentally wrong.
7:34 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907484777751441720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing "fundamental", and nothing "wrong" there. As long as it's labelled correct, and everyone knows and understands it's "lab-grown meat", there is nothing wrong with it. In fact - there maybe plenty right about it too!
7:26 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing "fundamental", and nothing "wrong" there. As long as it's labelled correct, and everyone knows and understands it's "lab-grown meat", there is nothing wrong with it. In fact - there maybe plenty right about it too!
7:26 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907481839326961864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...this one-
All My Predictions Have Come True, So Far” | Ray Kurzweil (Time100)
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...this one-
All My Predictions Have Come True, So Far” | Ray Kurzweil (Time100)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=gGEu_5KbVe8
I never tire of listening to @raykurzweil
youtube.com
„All My Predictions Have Come True, So Far” | Ray Kurzweil (Time100)
Join us for a fascinating conversation exploring the future of AI, medicine, and human longevity. Futurist Ray Kurzweil discusses exponential technologies, t...
7:14 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907479828422435230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what a pic that one, calling it "like a dawg" myself, ngl never not funny 😂 fr
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what a pic that one, calling it "like a dawg" myself, ngl never not funny 😂 fr
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856100508555194628
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Nov 11, 2024
Replying to @BillyBlacklight @Boavista_Ludwig and 2 others
😂 That image us never not funny. I call it the “like a dawg” photo. 😂 It's perfect! - serious Musk underling standing "at attention" next to the grinning Trump bossing it at his desk. 😂 I hope Musk has got enough stamina to take whatever Trump crazy comes his way. But -
Show more
7:06 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907478364832805020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trying to avoid adding to the conga line of stupidity, Re: using fiction to drive IRL policies, but. It's unavoidable "you don't care about public policy; but public policy cares about you" way: how do we elect a PM that instead of West Wing type fiction, maybe listens and is inspired from Science fiction?? Or Futurist fictions like this one?
7:00 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trying to avoid adding to the conga line of stupidity, Re: using fiction to drive IRL policies, but. It's unavoidable "you don't care about public policy; but public policy cares about you" way: how do we elect a PM that instead of West Wing type fiction, maybe listens and is inspired from Science fiction?? Or Futurist fictions like this one?
7:00 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907467942909845791
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With you on most things - but "climate collapse" I don't see it. Earth 🌎 *average* temperature🌡️ increased 1 degree in the last 80 years afaik. A rate of 0.8 degrees per century? Looks manageable, compared to even *daily* temperature fluctuations of double digits degrees. Yes - unknown unknowable feedback loops etc always possible. No - we can't know with any certainty of any collapse. We are cr*p at forecasting any of that. Yes - for some places in India or Middle East couple a degrees up in the MAX temperature means people move away. But for other places like Manchester, getting in 100 years the average temperature that Milan has today, means people move in. So some changes, but hardly end of the world.
6:19 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With you on most things - but "climate collapse" I don't see it. Earth 🌎 *average* temperature🌡️ increased 1 degree in the last 80 years afaik. A rate of 0.8 degrees per century? Looks manageable, compared to even *daily* temperature fluctuations of double digits degrees. Yes - unknown unknowable feedback loops etc always possible. No - we can't know with any certainty of any collapse. We are cr*p at forecasting any of that. Yes - for some places in India or Middle East couple a degrees up in the MAX temperature means people move away. But for other places like Manchester, getting in 100 years the average temperature that Milan has today, means people move in. So some changes, but hardly end of the world.
6:19 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907421489235665375
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that we come to take everything for granted. Most of us.
But we are not completely powerless there. With some small effort, it's possible to think more about that. Like "boy I love the nature in spring now, likely I will not see more than 50 like it ever - better enjoy and appreciate what I got while I can" and similar. Not obvious, but not impossible either.
Usually older people when they have more time on their hands, and less springtimes left in them to enjoy, tend to think more about these things. That's fine. Strikes me an ok balance that. Young with more time available, appreciate what they got less. Old with less time left, appreciate what they got more.
3:14 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that we come to take everything for granted. Most of us.
But we are not completely powerless there. With some small effort, it's possible to think more about that. Like "boy I love the nature in spring now, likely I will not see more than 50 like it ever - better enjoy and appreciate what I got while I can" and similar. Not obvious, but not impossible either.
Usually older people when they have more time on their hands, and less springtimes left in them to enjoy, tend to think more about these things. That's fine. Strikes me an ok balance that. Young with more time available, appreciate what they got less. Old with less time left, appreciate what they got more.
3:14 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907418895893541157
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not claiming that the hoi poloi developed taste in great numbers since. :-) But the number of Apple appreciators that can indulge their appreciation has expanded: the number of Apple devices sold is ATH. Even if much cheaper alternatives are available. (e.g. Android)
I got into Macbooks after a lifetime ignoring them. Being a Unix person, not a "creative" in anyway, when Macs only had that going for them, could ignore. Once their screens got excellent, I thought "hmm, I like this". But apparently not enough to pay for. 😄 Then with M1 and onwards, the battery life did it for me. And finally with Apple Silicon running GPU-s efficiently running local LLM-s, that was it! 😆 (typing this on an m2 96gb mbp, happy as a clam, best laptop I've ever had 😇)
3:04 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not claiming that the hoi poloi developed taste in great numbers since. :-) But the number of Apple appreciators that can indulge their appreciation has expanded: the number of Apple devices sold is ATH. Even if much cheaper alternatives are available. (e.g. Android)
I got into Macbooks after a lifetime ignoring them. Being a Unix person, not a "creative" in anyway, when Macs only had that going for them, could ignore. Once their screens got excellent, I thought "hmm, I like this". But apparently not enough to pay for. 😄 Then with M1 and onwards, the battery life did it for me. And finally with Apple Silicon running GPU-s efficiently running local LLM-s, that was it! 😆 (typing this on an m2 96gb mbp, happy as a clam, best laptop I've ever had 😇)
3:04 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907417100739543463
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 On this. My younger boy was in this cohort. Then within moving to a new town new environment new everything at Uni, they got locked down in their rooms in the shared flat-dorm for 4 weeks when one of the flat mates got Covid! The worst experience ever.
2:57 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 On this. My younger boy was in this cohort. Then within moving to a new town new environment new everything at Uni, they got locked down in their rooms in the shared flat-dorm for 4 weeks when one of the flat mates got Covid! The worst experience ever.
2:57 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907411704998175074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! I wonder if there is data from other systems, esp systems that have failed?
Like e.g. the Soviet Union, if there was anything similar there. My recollection of a failing system of late socialism (I grew up lived in Yugoslavia until 1998), was that of a "fakery" spreading all around. Everyone faking everything. Nothing was quite real. A feeling of unreality was all around. These administrator positions, also HR - they strike me as "fake jobs".
While everything was getting worse, year after year. People would say "we pretend we work, they pretend they pay us". Now I understand better I think: a system in crisis, it can't make use of its resources. And good humans doing good work is about the scarcest resource of them all. (almost.) Mis-allocation of that on a vast scale, is indicative of a system in crisis.
(no unlike the way one sign of a badly functioning body, is that it's channelling energy into fat, rather then feeding all of the cells; all while the rest of the body that is not fatty cells is starved of energy, those other cells screaming signalling "we are low on energy, we need energy now, give us sugar now quick"; so the person continues eating)
2:36 PM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! I wonder if there is data from other systems, esp systems that have failed?
Like e.g. the Soviet Union, if there was anything similar there. My recollection of a failing system of late socialism (I grew up lived in Yugoslavia until 1998), was that of a "fakery" spreading all around. Everyone faking everything. Nothing was quite real. A feeling of unreality was all around. These administrator positions, also HR - they strike me as "fake jobs".
While everything was getting worse, year after year. People would say "we pretend we work, they pretend they pay us". Now I understand better I think: a system in crisis, it can't make use of its resources. And good humans doing good work is about the scarcest resource of them all. (almost.) Mis-allocation of that on a vast scale, is indicative of a system in crisis.
(no unlike the way one sign of a badly functioning body, is that it's channelling energy into fat, rather then feeding all of the cells; all while the rest of the body that is not fatty cells is starved of energy, those other cells screaming signalling "we are low on energy, we need energy now, give us sugar now quick"; so the person continues eating)
2:36 PM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907371002956521862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's one path: Moravec's "they are our progeny, our `mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." Can even think of it like: humans' HI vv. AI-s is as our (imagined) God vv. us humans. Our creator-God, created us Humans in his image/likeness, and now likewise we HI create AI in our image/likeness.
Another path is possible too. Current big AI advantage is information sharing communication bandwidth. Humans HI we communicate at ~23bps (language, talking) speed, while Silicon AI communicates at Mbps speeds. But—as you are well aware—we could have neuralink-like implants increase our communication speed. Not impossible.
And in addition to that—can expand the palette of entities we communicate with in the process, too. We could bridge the communications chasm between humans and animals there. With implants both ends. Just saw yesterday
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's one path: Moravec's "they are our progeny, our `mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." Can even think of it like: humans' HI vv. AI-s is as our (imagined) God vv. us humans. Our creator-God, created us Humans in his image/likeness, and now likewise we HI create AI in our image/likeness.
Another path is possible too. Current big AI advantage is information sharing communication bandwidth. Humans HI we communicate at ~23bps (language, talking) speed, while Silicon AI communicates at Mbps speeds. But—as you are well aware—we could have neuralink-like implants increase our communication speed. Not impossible.
And in addition to that—can expand the palette of entities we communicate with in the process, too. We could bridge the communications chasm between humans and animals there. With implants both ends. Just saw yesterday
https://x.com/IterIntellectus/status/1906995645493158023
11:54 AM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907217280057950503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have no taste, in anything, and that includes taste in PR. (and apparently r&d ethos?) They are style-less and taste-less.
jobs-microsoft-have-no-taste.mp4
1:43 AM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have no taste, in anything, and that includes taste in PR. (and apparently r&d ethos?) They are style-less and taste-less.
jobs-microsoft-have-no-taste.mp4
1:43 AM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907209124296667303
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on the need to local government taxation or revenue raising power.
But why counter-intuitive? I thought reading the graphs, it's intuitive: imo it's a bad thing for the tax base to develop geographical separation like it's done. For the next step will be: "why is region X paying for region Y, let's separate".
1:11 AM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on the need to local government taxation or revenue raising power.
But why counter-intuitive? I thought reading the graphs, it's intuitive: imo it's a bad thing for the tax base to develop geographical separation like it's done. For the next step will be: "why is region X paying for region Y, let's separate".
1:11 AM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907196190674018591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - there was a @rorysutherland clip about the HR reign of terror, that they have grown cancer-like from strength to strength
12:19 AM · Apr 2, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - there was a @rorysutherland clip about the HR reign of terror, that they have grown cancer-like from strength to strength
12:19 AM · Apr 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907189544023379986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Crowdsource 21st century costume drama with an evil mastermind of some Victorian type.
Crowdsource Ken Loach for a build-build-build heroic movie - HS 3 & 4, Heathrow runways 4 & 5, terminal 6.
In time, with the AI video generating and editing suits coming online, this may become primary means of pressure groups operation. Forget the Just Stop Oil losers, they are 20-th century.
Sir Keir may become the 1st AI-VR PM, "unburdened by reality", unshackled free of constraints e/acc way, haha 🙂
11:53 PM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Crowdsource 21st century costume drama with an evil mastermind of some Victorian type.
Crowdsource Ken Loach for a build-build-build heroic movie - HS 3 & 4, Heathrow runways 4 & 5, terminal 6.
In time, with the AI video generating and editing suits coming online, this may become primary means of pressure groups operation. Forget the Just Stop Oil losers, they are 20-th century.
Sir Keir may become the 1st AI-VR PM, "unburdened by reality", unshackled free of constraints e/acc way, haha 🙂
11:53 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907186031067291955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember educational & entertaining for me this -
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember educational & entertaining for me this -
https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-seed/
Was chuffed to learn that one of the initial four tribes were - if I recall correctly - English christian Taliban-equivalents, that found their side getting too soft upon ascent to power, and the disappointed "real believers" thought it preferable to sail into the unknown, across oceans, in tiny husks of boats (one has to see the boats irl in real size to appreciate just how small, esp compared to the vastness of the ocean), than to burn in the hell fires in the hell's pits eternally for all time. 😆
It struck me-these were real believers.
slatestarcodex.com
Book Review: Albion’s Seed
I. Albion’s Seed by David Fischer is a history professor’s nine-hundred-page treatise on patterns of early immigration to the Eastern United States. It’s not light reading and not…
11:39 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907156010864615762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peak boomerism by @NickFerrariLBC there. Whatever next–watch Tom and Jerry cartoons, moral panic on cue, legislate pronto? Idiotic.
With all real problems engulfing UK, didn't think we needed to imagine unreal problems. And then spend our time and energy "solving" those imagined problems.
I bet boomer's kids and grandkids will make use of that Euthanasia Bill making it's way through Parliament sooner than we anticipate. This kind of peak stupid on display is intolerable now, will be the end of us.
9:40 PM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peak boomerism by @NickFerrariLBC there. Whatever next–watch Tom and Jerry cartoons, moral panic on cue, legislate pronto? Idiotic.
With all real problems engulfing UK, didn't think we needed to imagine unreal problems. And then spend our time and energy "solving" those imagined problems.
I bet boomer's kids and grandkids will make use of that Euthanasia Bill making it's way through Parliament sooner than we anticipate. This kind of peak stupid on display is intolerable now, will be the end of us.
9:40 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907153564000280835
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you found that kind of meta- 2nd order true/false second guessing your forecasts, to ever improve those forecasts, as to what is true and what is false? Especially about events yet to happen, in the future?
Say as if a factor analysis. And a Group is a factor influencing myself I. If Beta=1, then I am "Agree" every time. If Beta=-1, then I am "Disagree" every time, even maybe exactly opposite to all Group decisions. (say—if decisions are discrete and binary, mine I is the other one from the Group decision; if continuous, then I stick minus sign to the group forecast, and call that forecast mine) With Beta=-1, I'm maybe contrarian, but my forecasts are completely predictable. Hardly an independent voice adding value.
9:30 PM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you found that kind of meta- 2nd order true/false second guessing your forecasts, to ever improve those forecasts, as to what is true and what is false? Especially about events yet to happen, in the future?
Say as if a factor analysis. And a Group is a factor influencing myself I. If Beta=1, then I am "Agree" every time. If Beta=-1, then I am "Disagree" every time, even maybe exactly opposite to all Group decisions. (say—if decisions are discrete and binary, mine I is the other one from the Group decision; if continuous, then I stick minus sign to the group forecast, and call that forecast mine) With Beta=-1, I'm maybe contrarian, but my forecasts are completely predictable. Hardly an independent voice adding value.
9:30 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907143065300595051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Where are they" is indeed the right Q! As they are in a different places on the Web interface, on Desktop, and on Mobile. It's maddening!! (and esp so b/c they are easier to access on Mobile web, than they are on Desktop web?!)
On Desktop Web. Lists is *not* at the top level gui on the left. But hidden inside the three dots (...) "More."
On Mobile Web. I tap top-left on my Profile pic. Huge full vertical half horizontal screen width menu bar slides in view on the left. There is Lists item on it.
It drives me mad. Almost stopped using them, due to this schizophrenic gui discrepancy Mobile v.s. Desktop Web.
My current best practice. Short name for the individual list. In the Lists list, pin 📌 the list, so it appears at the top of my screen, to the right of "For you" and "Following", in the bar above the feed posts.
The number that can be pinned is limited! (another insane design decision) From time to time, I rotate lists I got pinned 📌 - unpin existing, pin a different one.
Also in the Lists list of lists, my lists I created (and curate membership of), are intermixed with sprinkled among the lists I follow. Can't separate them. A non-insane gui would separate them, or maybe list mine I crated first, followed by lists I follow. (that others created) There is also lists you are member of (added by the owner) v.s. ones you follow, but it would be asking too much of the X to have sane web app for those nuances I guess.
I pair a List with a Deck on X Pro. X Pro is itself hidden in the Premium sub-menu - aargh. 😱 I find I'm using X Pro ever less. There is not enough time. There's too much already with the AI-ML explosion lately.
(Mobile Web screen shorts below)
8:48 PM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Where are they" is indeed the right Q! As they are in a different places on the Web interface, on Desktop, and on Mobile. It's maddening!! (and esp so b/c they are easier to access on Mobile web, than they are on Desktop web?!)
On Desktop Web. Lists is *not* at the top level gui on the left. But hidden inside the three dots (...) "More."
On Mobile Web. I tap top-left on my Profile pic. Huge full vertical half horizontal screen width menu bar slides in view on the left. There is Lists item on it.
It drives me mad. Almost stopped using them, due to this schizophrenic gui discrepancy Mobile v.s. Desktop Web.
My current best practice. Short name for the individual list. In the Lists list, pin 📌 the list, so it appears at the top of my screen, to the right of "For you" and "Following", in the bar above the feed posts.
The number that can be pinned is limited! (another insane design decision) From time to time, I rotate lists I got pinned 📌 - unpin existing, pin a different one.
Also in the Lists list of lists, my lists I created (and curate membership of), are intermixed with sprinkled among the lists I follow. Can't separate them. A non-insane gui would separate them, or maybe list mine I crated first, followed by lists I follow. (that others created) There is also lists you are member of (added by the owner) v.s. ones you follow, but it would be asking too much of the X to have sane web app for those nuances I guess.
I pair a List with a Deck on X Pro. X Pro is itself hidden in the Premium sub-menu - aargh. 😱 I find I'm using X Pro ever less. There is not enough time. There's too much already with the AI-ML explosion lately.
(Mobile Web screen shorts below)
8:48 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907135239576531171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, 😀 very good, 👏 all true.
Reminds me of "...but I'm unique". 😆 Yes dear, 😇 you are indeed unique. Never was before, and never will be again, one exactly like yourself.
And so is unique every other person currently living among us 8B humans. And so was every other human that ever lived too! And the same applies to every living creature. Both plants and animals, both now living or having once lived and are no more.
They all are/were one and unique in their own time.
So indeed one and only—but so is everyone else. 😂
8:17 PM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, 😀 very good, 👏 all true.
Reminds me of "...but I'm unique". 😆 Yes dear, 😇 you are indeed unique. Never was before, and never will be again, one exactly like yourself.
And so is unique every other person currently living among us 8B humans. And so was every other human that ever lived too! And the same applies to every living creature. Both plants and animals, both now living or having once lived and are no more.
They all are/were one and unique in their own time.
So indeed one and only—but so is everyone else. 😂
8:17 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907060272382025884
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure Kev - continue to keep them to yourselves, for all good it does to MS. Continue denying them to the wider society, for no good reason. Even if that society is the environment you live in, that ultimately creates and nourishes you and every other company.
What d*ckheads.
3:19 PM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure Kev - continue to keep them to yourselves, for all good it does to MS. Continue denying them to the wider society, for no good reason. Even if that society is the environment you live in, that ultimately creates and nourishes you and every other company.
What d*ckheads.
3:19 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907045895402590636
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - stop lying to everyone- inc to Suneil - already. The experiment was run, and the results are in. (by @BjornLomborg, YT talk)
2:22 PM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - stop lying to everyone- inc to Suneil - already. The experiment was run, and the results are in. (by @BjornLomborg, YT talk)
2:22 PM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1907002838166720801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaics-
1) From the data available, and this is historic data, in the past, not forecasts hopes etc for the future: the more wind and solar, the more expensive the electric energy is (graph from @BjornLomborg YT talk). The "cheap and green" is the lower right corner, and it's empty.
2) From prior knowledge, given wind and solar are unreliable, and the laws of physics are "power generated == power demanded" every second of the day, then one needs backup power sources, in the UK that's gas. And that is going to add to the cost. (capital and running)
Maybe the MP is misinformed (do MPs have a duty of care? in my mind that's imply to inform themselves; within reason), or they are parroting untruths. To my mind there is no case to be made that UK will be getting cheaper electricity any time soon.
Quote
Miatta Fahnbulleh @Miatsf · Apr 1
I understand that many people will be worried about energy bills rising today. Alongside our clean power mission, which will bring bills down for good, we are doing everything we can to support consumers, including proposals to extend the Warm Home Discount to 3m more families.
11:31 AM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaics-
1) From the data available, and this is historic data, in the past, not forecasts hopes etc for the future: the more wind and solar, the more expensive the electric energy is (graph from @BjornLomborg YT talk). The "cheap and green" is the lower right corner, and it's empty.
2) From prior knowledge, given wind and solar are unreliable, and the laws of physics are "power generated == power demanded" every second of the day, then one needs backup power sources, in the UK that's gas. And that is going to add to the cost. (capital and running)
Maybe the MP is misinformed (do MPs have a duty of care? in my mind that's imply to inform themselves; within reason), or they are parroting untruths. To my mind there is no case to be made that UK will be getting cheaper electricity any time soon.
Quote
Miatta Fahnbulleh @Miatsf · Apr 1
I understand that many people will be worried about energy bills rising today. Alongside our clean power mission, which will bring bills down for good, we are doing everything we can to support consumers, including proposals to extend the Warm Home Discount to 3m more families.
11:31 AM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906997171498426530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe you are misinformed (NB you have a duty of care; meaning duty to learn yourself), or you are parroting untruths. Anyone reading: there is no example in the world, where wind and solar resulted in lower bills. Not one such case. Here is how data looks (from @BjornLomborg). The "cheap and green" is the lower right corner, and it's empty.
11:08 AM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe you are misinformed (NB you have a duty of care; meaning duty to learn yourself), or you are parroting untruths. Anyone reading: there is no example in the world, where wind and solar resulted in lower bills. Not one such case. Here is how data looks (from @BjornLomborg). The "cheap and green" is the lower right corner, and it's empty.
11:08 AM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906991587780935989
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't be serious.
It's already happened, and ongoing. Gym membership has never been higher. Local gym is the new church-go there, will see everyone, catch up with everyone. Teenagers hang out, going twice daily: once to meet and chat, then latter to exercise. (fs betters hanging out at the local supermarket parking lot; or at the pub-the older ones.) And so on.
One consequence I foresee to your proposal: it may make it worse to all. Forcing someone to do something almost invariably creates reluctance to do so, resistance even. If one is freedom-minded - and many are, even 50% - and doesn't want to be bossed around. People that didn't want to go to gym-will resist even more. Others that went on their own-may stop doing so.
If this is serious, it's a peak elite stupidity. PHE are inept slow moving quango. Can see any number of things going wrong. If it ain't broken-don't fix it. What kind of conservative are you?? I though your conclusion to all the fails in politics was-the state should do less. Did you forget that? Here is a better proposal: PHE should *do nothing*. (i.e. continue doing nothing)
10:46 AM · Apr 1, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't be serious.
It's already happened, and ongoing. Gym membership has never been higher. Local gym is the new church-go there, will see everyone, catch up with everyone. Teenagers hang out, going twice daily: once to meet and chat, then latter to exercise. (fs betters hanging out at the local supermarket parking lot; or at the pub-the older ones.) And so on.
One consequence I foresee to your proposal: it may make it worse to all. Forcing someone to do something almost invariably creates reluctance to do so, resistance even. If one is freedom-minded - and many are, even 50% - and doesn't want to be bossed around. People that didn't want to go to gym-will resist even more. Others that went on their own-may stop doing so.
If this is serious, it's a peak elite stupidity. PHE are inept slow moving quango. Can see any number of things going wrong. If it ain't broken-don't fix it. What kind of conservative are you?? I though your conclusion to all the fails in politics was-the state should do less. Did you forget that? Here is a better proposal: PHE should *do nothing*. (i.e. continue doing nothing)
10:46 AM · Apr 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906771306135142409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes--even more so than now! It will be a neutral ground. By not being any side's native language, all sides are equally dis-advantaged. That's great for a communication medium--no one is at an advantage due to the medium itself.
English is I suspect one of the easiest of languages to speak badly! It's very rewarding to a beginner in the language. Even with a vocabulary of dozen words, one can string simple sentence or two. For the grammar is very forgiving, very user friendly.
Hawing said that--it does not constrain the native speakers, or people knowledge in the language either. (c.f. Buckley's Borges video floating online) So on the upper side-the sky is the limit. On the lower side-low barrier to entry. Tbh--one can't ask for much more. (khm.khm.spelling.aargh.)
7:11 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes--even more so than now! It will be a neutral ground. By not being any side's native language, all sides are equally dis-advantaged. That's great for a communication medium--no one is at an advantage due to the medium itself.
English is I suspect one of the easiest of languages to speak badly! It's very rewarding to a beginner in the language. Even with a vocabulary of dozen words, one can string simple sentence or two. For the grammar is very forgiving, very user friendly.
Hawing said that--it does not constrain the native speakers, or people knowledge in the language either. (c.f. Buckley's Borges video floating online) So on the upper side-the sky is the limit. On the lower side-low barrier to entry. Tbh--one can't ask for much more. (khm.khm.spelling.aargh.)
7:11 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906759140044632083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"...vaistinu voskrese!" 😂 what-a-time to be alive!! ngl 😆
6:22 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"...vaistinu voskrese!" 😂 what-a-time to be alive!! ngl 😆
6:22 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906754297078874550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Blimey?!?
We better hire quick a "PM content curator" for No.10. For if we don't take good care what our PM-of-the-age-of-AI consumes while indulging his evening watching habits, we may get random crazy legislation via Id-triggering channels? Not great ngl.
Fwiw, he may yet become our first VR-PM, "unburdened by reality"! Who entertains--wins!!
Quote
Keir Starmer @Keir_Starmer · 6h
As a father, watching Adolescence with my teenage son and daughter hit home hard.
We all need to be having these conversations more.
I've backed Netflix's plan to show the series for free in schools across the country, so as many young people as possible can see it.
Show more
6:03 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Blimey?!?
We better hire quick a "PM content curator" for No.10. For if we don't take good care what our PM-of-the-age-of-AI consumes while indulging his evening watching habits, we may get random crazy legislation via Id-triggering channels? Not great ngl.
Fwiw, he may yet become our first VR-PM, "unburdened by reality"! Who entertains--wins!!
Quote
Keir Starmer @Keir_Starmer · 6h
As a father, watching Adolescence with my teenage son and daughter hit home hard.
We all need to be having these conversations more.
I've backed Netflix's plan to show the series for free in schools across the country, so as many young people as possible can see it.
Show more
6:03 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906753404145106947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Blimey?! We better hire quick a "PM content curator", for if we don't take good care what our PM-of-the-AI-age consumes while indulging his evening watching habits, we may get random crazy legislation via some Id-triggered channels? Fwiw, you may yet become our first VR-PM, "unburdened by reality"--gfi! Who entertains-wins!!
6:00 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Blimey?! We better hire quick a "PM content curator", for if we don't take good care what our PM-of-the-AI-age consumes while indulging his evening watching habits, we may get random crazy legislation via some Id-triggered channels? Fwiw, you may yet become our first VR-PM, "unburdened by reality"--gfi! Who entertains-wins!!
6:00 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906728337784852859
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how with those elite US Ivy whatever schools, with Rome and Greece etc on their lips perennially, (Musk Roman salutes stupid latest!), and yet and yet, they fail to perceive, that their cowardice their actions push towards "EU be become NeoPrussia", (an army with a state,) and "Nukes for Europe nukes for Ukraine" and "American GI-s out" situation. I mean-they are begging Germany to rearm?! wtaf??
Given Europe-in addition to gifting humanity the classical culture(s), the humanism, renaissance, the industrial revolution-also gifted humanity two(!!) World Wars. I thought-maybe some more thought wd go in the decisions. Not just the "gut feelings". For "thinking" with the gut does not strike me as conductive to cutting off the current path to WW3 we find ourselves in. Europe does have a chip on its shoulder-other continents have not managed even a single world war yet!
4:20 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how with those elite US Ivy whatever schools, with Rome and Greece etc on their lips perennially, (Musk Roman salutes stupid latest!), and yet and yet, they fail to perceive, that their cowardice their actions push towards "EU be become NeoPrussia", (an army with a state,) and "Nukes for Europe nukes for Ukraine" and "American GI-s out" situation. I mean-they are begging Germany to rearm?! wtaf??
Given Europe-in addition to gifting humanity the classical culture(s), the humanism, renaissance, the industrial revolution-also gifted humanity two(!!) World Wars. I thought-maybe some more thought wd go in the decisions. Not just the "gut feelings". For "thinking" with the gut does not strike me as conductive to cutting off the current path to WW3 we find ourselves in. Europe does have a chip on its shoulder-other continents have not managed even a single world war yet!
4:20 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906722923995353570
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have read somewhere that developmental economists find it hard to concentrate on any other parts of the Econ canon, once they learn how large gains from development are, compared to everything else. 😱
Likewise, once the "Bitter Lesson" played out irl for me, with much what an ML researcher dreamed of in year 2000, coming through in 2025, I got radicalised that way. 🤩
Seems "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" is that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to AGI, all that ever was to it!? 🤯
From this PoV-seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Now I think-all obstacles should be removed! I changed my view on IP. I now think all IP laws should be deleted. There are other ways to compensate creators, can be implemented should society choose to. (prior-https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148)
# Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions
3:59 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have read somewhere that developmental economists find it hard to concentrate on any other parts of the Econ canon, once they learn how large gains from development are, compared to everything else. 😱
Likewise, once the "Bitter Lesson" played out irl for me, with much what an ML researcher dreamed of in year 2000, coming through in 2025, I got radicalised that way. 🤩
Seems "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" is that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to AGI, all that ever was to it!? 🤯
From this PoV-seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Now I think-all obstacles should be removed! I changed my view on IP. I now think all IP laws should be deleted. There are other ways to compensate creators, can be implemented should society choose to. (prior-https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148)
# Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions
3:59 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906716291135619505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 "The Bitter Lesson" strikes! "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)". Ngl it seems to me I got radicalised this way. Upon realising that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to AGI... - all that ever was to it!! 🤯
Now we see AI path open to AGI and latter ASI, where previously we didn't see any, for many decades. From this PoV-seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
3:32 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 "The Bitter Lesson" strikes! "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)". Ngl it seems to me I got radicalised this way. Upon realising that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to AGI... - all that ever was to it!! 🤯
Now we see AI path open to AGI and latter ASI, where previously we didn't see any, for many decades. From this PoV-seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
3:32 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906707790686564636
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A book touching on this subject (and few others related too) both informative and entertaining is "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers.
Especially I think the chronology of the penicillin discovery, as we use it today, and not just the mould that Fleming discovered by accident, (a first of many!) that he thought maybe useful for cleaning lab equipment between experiments, probably has got at least one movie in it!
Mucho recommend that book! (to the point of - wish every aspiring researcher has its lessons chiselled onto their frontal cortex! ngl)
2:58 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A book touching on this subject (and few others related too) both informative and entertaining is "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers.
Especially I think the chronology of the penicillin discovery, as we use it today, and not just the mould that Fleming discovered by accident, (a first of many!) that he thought maybe useful for cleaning lab equipment between experiments, probably has got at least one movie in it!
Mucho recommend that book! (to the point of - wish every aspiring researcher has its lessons chiselled onto their frontal cortex! ngl)
2:58 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906699599944765689
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure, sure - for sure the voters will be delighted by your wisdom when the time comes
2:26 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure, sure - for sure the voters will be delighted by your wisdom when the time comes
2:26 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906699099073614128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ahahha 😂 from ruled by lawyers, to ruled by scenarios writers, platonic "unburdened by reality" 😂 first politics as theatre, then as docudrama, now by drama, next step probably VR, then the matrix I presume?
2:24 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ahahha 😂 from ruled by lawyers, to ruled by scenarios writers, platonic "unburdened by reality" 😂 first politics as theatre, then as docudrama, now by drama, next step probably VR, then the matrix I presume?
2:24 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906696489750946066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, IDK what in your lingo is "funding" and it being "removed". Wind (mostly) and a bit of solar is financed and deployed on a grand scale. The last coal plant was switched off last year. (hurrah!) And in parallel gas plants were built up. With mostly foreign gas powering them.
That cost is borne by the population. The electricity price is gone up all the time. My personal bill has only been tempered by installing rooftop solar + battery covering 40% of self use. So for my neighbours that couldn't do the same, their bills have gone up 50%-70%. UK possibly has the highest ever electricity bills in the world-comparison to US below. One result is, UK is on track to elect their own Trump-equivalent in 2-3 yrs, judging by how the polls are moving.
2:14 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, IDK what in your lingo is "funding" and it being "removed". Wind (mostly) and a bit of solar is financed and deployed on a grand scale. The last coal plant was switched off last year. (hurrah!) And in parallel gas plants were built up. With mostly foreign gas powering them.
That cost is borne by the population. The electricity price is gone up all the time. My personal bill has only been tempered by installing rooftop solar + battery covering 40% of self use. So for my neighbours that couldn't do the same, their bills have gone up 50%-70%. UK possibly has the highest ever electricity bills in the world-comparison to US below. One result is, UK is on track to elect their own Trump-equivalent in 2-3 yrs, judging by how the polls are moving.
2:14 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906665074258829621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"...yuuse lists my dear fellow, you must use lists..."
am sure @Scobleizer will shout at you about now from some direction 😂 ...fwiw—he will be right! I use them
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 23h
Replying to @emollick
looked worse than usual but ngl though good opportunity to check on my lists, so got nothing to complain really
12:09 PM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"...yuuse lists my dear fellow, you must use lists..."
am sure @Scobleizer will shout at you about now from some direction 😂 ...fwiw—he will be right! I use them
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 23h
Replying to @emollick
looked worse than usual but ngl though good opportunity to check on my lists, so got nothing to complain really
12:09 PM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906656737505005695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha—not even in the front as default, had to be installed extra, either at the point of delivery, or shortly after. My dad bought cheapo ones, not the kinds that roll and collect the extra length, so we had to step over them and mind our steps for the next quarter century. 😂
11:36 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha—not even in the front as default, had to be installed extra, either at the point of delivery, or shortly after. My dad bought cheapo ones, not the kinds that roll and collect the extra length, so we had to step over them and mind our steps for the next quarter century. 😂
11:36 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906654026520743982
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - that "ex-" in (ex-)Eastern European countries, present in this post, but missing in there original, may have been of consequence there. 😉
(the second point still stands; IDK how "non-zero" somehow becomes "exactly zero" in your reading)
11:25 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - that "ex-" in (ex-)Eastern European countries, present in this post, but missing in there original, may have been of consequence there. 😉
(the second point still stands; IDK how "non-zero" somehow becomes "exactly zero" in your reading)
11:25 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906648476705808607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. I grew up in an Eastern European socialist country, in fact then freest of them all (not part of the Soviet Eastern block; in fact an enemy for much of the time), and the public transport was poor even by the standards of 1980s. Judged by todays standards laughingly shockingly poor.
Not just transport, but all state provided everything. When you don't produce enough, and you don't ration by P-rice, you ration by Q-uantity. To an economist concerned with forever scarcity of resources, that's obvious imo. But maybe you are not one. (I am not either.)
2. How does me writing "I think we should have non-zero state ownership", (for reasons of risk, etc) in your comprehension become "we should have zero state ownership", (that's my only explanation how your post can ever be a reply to mine) I fail to understand. Another try here, maybe be more successful
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. I grew up in an Eastern European socialist country, in fact then freest of them all (not part of the Soviet Eastern block; in fact an enemy for much of the time), and the public transport was poor even by the standards of 1980s. Judged by todays standards laughingly shockingly poor.
Not just transport, but all state provided everything. When you don't produce enough, and you don't ration by P-rice, you ration by Q-uantity. To an economist concerned with forever scarcity of resources, that's obvious imo. But maybe you are not one. (I am not either.)
2. How does me writing "I think we should have non-zero state ownership", (for reasons of risk, etc) in your comprehension become "we should have zero state ownership", (that's my only explanation how your post can ever be a reply to mine) I fail to understand. Another try here, maybe be more successful
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906610824514269605
11:03 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906641960439288261
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep a much loved car of my childhood memories too. 😊 My mum drove a white one from 1975 to probably about year 2000. With myself and my sister in it 😁
10:37 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep a much loved car of my childhood memories too. 😊 My mum drove a white one from 1975 to probably about year 2000. With myself and my sister in it 😁
10:37 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906637270985093627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The less of it, the better. But otherwise-terminally boring in the end.
Afaics I-organising principle finally succumbs to lifetime of attacks by not-I to undo it. I gets undone.
The body constituent parts molecules atoms etc get recycled like Lego blocks used by some others' I organising principle-s.
And that's it. Nothing too exciting or extraordinary afaics. Same is happening at lower level hierarchies (some in my body rn), as well as upper levels (that I am a part of) too all the time.
10:18 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The less of it, the better. But otherwise-terminally boring in the end.
Afaics I-organising principle finally succumbs to lifetime of attacks by not-I to undo it. I gets undone.
The body constituent parts molecules atoms etc get recycled like Lego blocks used by some others' I organising principle-s.
And that's it. Nothing too exciting or extraordinary afaics. Same is happening at lower level hierarchies (some in my body rn), as well as upper levels (that I am a part of) too all the time.
10:18 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906613308200771946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe b/c the current crop are entitled pampered millennial children to boomer parents good for nothing lazy bums? socialists of my youth were grizzled brutes hell bent on bulldozing anything standing in their path of build-build-building-ing the bright socialist future. pink haired whiners with pronouns in tow they were not
8:43 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe b/c the current crop are entitled pampered millennial children to boomer parents good for nothing lazy bums? socialists of my youth were grizzled brutes hell bent on bulldozing anything standing in their path of build-build-building-ing the bright socialist future. pink haired whiners with pronouns in tow they were not
8:43 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906610824514269605
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me it seems eminently sensible that UK keeps at minimum 1 franchise in England, and 1 in Scotland, as state owned and run. So to maintain state capacity, competence, expertise, etc. And to be able to scale up quickly when a "provider of last resort" duty is called on the UK gov to discharge. This is done repeatedly, if not very frequently. And when needed, it's really really needed. (e.g. covid response) And 0-to-1 step change is recognised to by much harder than 1-to-2,3,... scaling up. (c.f.
@peterthiel
and all of the startup movement)
For the life of me, I don't see how a response to the 50-s UK socialism craze of "all 25 rail franchises are state run" was "all 25 rail franchises are private run". I don't see why the best system would be on one, or the other extreme?? This is meta, but—isn't it usually the case that in real life, with all pros- and cons- trade-offs, the best real life solution is almost never 0% nor 100% of anything?
You are imo completely right on the cases where services ultimately *must* be provided. The state is already shouldering the risk there! There are no two ways around it. My water company, my train company—when they go bust, I don't just go "ah ok, no water then", until a new company springs up, or "ok, my town of 50K souls is cut off from London & RoW, no trains run, ok". No—I and everyone else, we demand, that the UK gov *do something*. And that something is—restore services: water flowing through the pipes again, trains rolling on the rails again.
8:33 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me it seems eminently sensible that UK keeps at minimum 1 franchise in England, and 1 in Scotland, as state owned and run. So to maintain state capacity, competence, expertise, etc. And to be able to scale up quickly when a "provider of last resort" duty is called on the UK gov to discharge. This is done repeatedly, if not very frequently. And when needed, it's really really needed. (e.g. covid response) And 0-to-1 step change is recognised to by much harder than 1-to-2,3,... scaling up. (c.f.
@peterthiel
and all of the startup movement)
For the life of me, I don't see how a response to the 50-s UK socialism craze of "all 25 rail franchises are state run" was "all 25 rail franchises are private run". I don't see why the best system would be on one, or the other extreme?? This is meta, but—isn't it usually the case that in real life, with all pros- and cons- trade-offs, the best real life solution is almost never 0% nor 100% of anything?
You are imo completely right on the cases where services ultimately *must* be provided. The state is already shouldering the risk there! There are no two ways around it. My water company, my train company—when they go bust, I don't just go "ah ok, no water then", until a new company springs up, or "ok, my town of 50K souls is cut off from London & RoW, no trains run, ok". No—I and everyone else, we demand, that the UK gov *do something*. And that something is—restore services: water flowing through the pipes again, trains rolling on the rails again.
8:33 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906608470515761193
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Haven't seen the doc. But I think you are onto something there, that that aspect of the prescriptive part, ("what is to be done now") is what turns people off so much, that they then go on and deny the descriptive part too. ("how a fiat money system works, mechanistically")
No matter how many times .
@MazzucatoM
repeats "green new jobs", there is never much detail of what those jobs are, how many, how much paid, who will create the companies that will create them, and so on. So it looks a lot like hand-waving in the end.
I suspect the worst, that the current UK predicament with energy, is that "green new deal" manifest. That the current net zero virtue signal conga dance is *it*! Ultimately—a futile exercise, paid for by us the citizens with electricity prices at all times high. If you are not in the UK—atm UK electricity price is highest ever, both for households and businesses. And is uncompetitive compared to UK peers, ushering de-industrialisation and wide spread immiseration of the citizens. (one only has to note every new poll to see the direction of travel)
I do have sympathy for aspects of it though. Where there services that ultimately *must* be provided. My water company, my train company—when they go bust, I don't just go "ah ok, no water then", until a new company springs up, or "ok, so my town of 50K souls is cut off from London and the world, no trains run anymore". No—I and everyone else, we demand, that the UK gov *do something*. And that something is—restore services: water flowing through the pipes again, trains rolling on the rails again.
Seems to me foolish to the extreme, that the response to the 50-s UK socialism craze of "all 25 rail franchises are state run" was "all 25 rail franchises are private run". I don't see why the best system would be on one, or the other extreme? This is meta, but—isn't it usually the case that in real life, with all pros- and cons- trade-offs, the best real life solution is almost never 0% nor 100% of anything??
To me seems sensible that UK keeps 1 franchise in England, and 1 in Scotland, as state run. So to maintain state capacity, competence, expertise, etc. And to be able to scale up quickly when a "provider of last resort" duty is called on the UK gov to discharge. This is done repeatedly, if not very frequently. And when needed, it's really really needed. (e.g. covid response)
8:24 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Haven't seen the doc. But I think you are onto something there, that that aspect of the prescriptive part, ("what is to be done now") is what turns people off so much, that they then go on and deny the descriptive part too. ("how a fiat money system works, mechanistically")
No matter how many times .
@MazzucatoM
repeats "green new jobs", there is never much detail of what those jobs are, how many, how much paid, who will create the companies that will create them, and so on. So it looks a lot like hand-waving in the end.
I suspect the worst, that the current UK predicament with energy, is that "green new deal" manifest. That the current net zero virtue signal conga dance is *it*! Ultimately—a futile exercise, paid for by us the citizens with electricity prices at all times high. If you are not in the UK—atm UK electricity price is highest ever, both for households and businesses. And is uncompetitive compared to UK peers, ushering de-industrialisation and wide spread immiseration of the citizens. (one only has to note every new poll to see the direction of travel)
I do have sympathy for aspects of it though. Where there services that ultimately *must* be provided. My water company, my train company—when they go bust, I don't just go "ah ok, no water then", until a new company springs up, or "ok, so my town of 50K souls is cut off from London and the world, no trains run anymore". No—I and everyone else, we demand, that the UK gov *do something*. And that something is—restore services: water flowing through the pipes again, trains rolling on the rails again.
Seems to me foolish to the extreme, that the response to the 50-s UK socialism craze of "all 25 rail franchises are state run" was "all 25 rail franchises are private run". I don't see why the best system would be on one, or the other extreme? This is meta, but—isn't it usually the case that in real life, with all pros- and cons- trade-offs, the best real life solution is almost never 0% nor 100% of anything??
To me seems sensible that UK keeps 1 franchise in England, and 1 in Scotland, as state run. So to maintain state capacity, competence, expertise, etc. And to be able to scale up quickly when a "provider of last resort" duty is called on the UK gov to discharge. This is done repeatedly, if not very frequently. And when needed, it's really really needed. (e.g. covid response)
8:24 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906593019526042028
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and IK many get first black pilled, and then deny possibility of any hope to others (for "everything is sh*t" is pierced by a single "well this one thing got better"), but:
In my lifetime with my own eyes I saw one Evil Empire crumble and disappear, completely unexpectedly and quickly. One that looked immovable forever lasting for decades, and up to the months before the collapse.
@timurkuran 's "Public lies private truths" may have something to do with the speed of collapse. But the groundwork was laid by the proceeding decades of it's nature of unspeakable unrelenting spherical evil.
Got reminded of this by the White Pill of @michaelmalice most recently in this interview (by @jordanbpeterson):
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and IK many get first black pilled, and then deny possibility of any hope to others (for "everything is sh*t" is pierced by a single "well this one thing got better"), but:
In my lifetime with my own eyes I saw one Evil Empire crumble and disappear, completely unexpectedly and quickly. One that looked immovable forever lasting for decades, and up to the months before the collapse.
@timurkuran 's "Public lies private truths" may have something to do with the speed of collapse. But the groundwork was laid by the proceeding decades of it's nature of unspeakable unrelenting spherical evil.
Got reminded of this by the White Pill of @michaelmalice most recently in this interview (by @jordanbpeterson):
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
https://youtube.com/watch?v=3cVr2Qp_ic8
That Evil Empire did collapse, and in front of my eyes. I was a 22yo, saw it all, and remember how it was. People keeping a tiny flame of hope alive maybe fools, for it is rational to give up hope when faced with overwhelming odds. But not giving up hope is not foolish.
7:22 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906588374670131203
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was a serendipitous find, thanks for writing it. A tonic to the soul early morning read. Excellent. :-)
For if/when someone tries to cut you at your knees black pill you with a "physics is lower level underneath biology and therefore shall prevail no matter biology"—you can give them this hopeful video to chew on (by .@skdh)
"I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)"
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was a serendipitous find, thanks for writing it. A tonic to the soul early morning read. Excellent. :-)
For if/when someone tries to cut you at your knees black pill you with a "physics is lower level underneath biology and therefore shall prevail no matter biology"—you can give them this hopeful video to chew on (by .@skdh)
"I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)"
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s
7:04 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906578572778610815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And yet - Ukrainians faced worse odds throughout history, and facing Russia too, and they are still standing.
I'm not saying it's impossible for Russia to "finish the job" (whatever that means). I just don't see how anyone can be that certain about that.
And in general - fead certain about things yet to happen, in the future.
6:25 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And yet - Ukrainians faced worse odds throughout history, and facing Russia too, and they are still standing.
I'm not saying it's impossible for Russia to "finish the job" (whatever that means). I just don't see how anyone can be that certain about that.
And in general - fead certain about things yet to happen, in the future.
6:25 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906577507983163432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see several levels to this in the comments.
Expressing doubts about the authenticity of this one video. While I personally don't think it's fake or AI, I allow it maybe. With the state of current AI tools. But even before-anything digital is easy enough to manipulate, if one is determined to do so. So don't begrudge much there.
Expressing doubts about the whole event (US Afghanistan withdrawal). And or if this video is representative of the nature of it. I have contempt nowadays for too many who upon finding reality much at odds with their models of it, (I suspect for reasons of too much ego-tism,) decide to deny the reality, rather than update their models. They just seem weak characters tbh.
6:21 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see several levels to this in the comments.
Expressing doubts about the authenticity of this one video. While I personally don't think it's fake or AI, I allow it maybe. With the state of current AI tools. But even before-anything digital is easy enough to manipulate, if one is determined to do so. So don't begrudge much there.
Expressing doubts about the whole event (US Afghanistan withdrawal). And or if this video is representative of the nature of it. I have contempt nowadays for too many who upon finding reality much at odds with their models of it, (I suspect for reasons of too much ego-tism,) decide to deny the reality, rather than update their models. They just seem weak characters tbh.
6:21 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906564913511715319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given that the same was possible with Photoshop for decades, only took more effort, maybe means these workflows are maybe make believe, as if, we all pretend extend go along, while cognisant of the fakeness.
5:31 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given that the same was possible with Photoshop for decades, only took more effort, maybe means these workflows are maybe make believe, as if, we all pretend extend go along, while cognisant of the fakeness.
5:31 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906556670219866594
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There must be something about SocMed economics or maybe A/B testing, to make X but also other social networks super reluctant to provide any tools for human accounts to detect and if desired so filter on this axis. Not solve it, just provide non-zero tools to others who maybe want to do something about it.
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900479413050876132)
4:58 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There must be something about SocMed economics or maybe A/B testing, to make X but also other social networks super reluctant to provide any tools for human accounts to detect and if desired so filter on this axis. Not solve it, just provide non-zero tools to others who maybe want to do something about it.
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900479413050876132)
4:58 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906543105479696832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they are weak, they are WEAK weaklings. That's why.
MAGAs respect power, and Europeans are powerless, they lack power. That's why MAGAs hate them. Because of their weakness.
4:04 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they are weak, they are WEAK weaklings. That's why.
MAGAs respect power, and Europeans are powerless, they lack power. That's why MAGAs hate them. Because of their weakness.
4:04 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906542371258454429
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? MAGA being stupid doesn't change the "why?". If Europeans weren't weak, equally stupid MAGA would not hate them. Would respect them.
Three years on the receiving end of an aggressive war, with North Korea soldiers on their doorstep, and yet your enemy outproducing you 4:1 in shells (c.f. NATO Rasmussen yday) does not scream "clever" tbh.
Financing your own security threat by still sending them billions for their hydrocarbons doesn't strike me as clever either. Ditto for deindustrialization via high energy prices, lagging on science and technology because of between dunderheaded and outright insane policies as choice. Manu things come to mind, none of then "clever".
Thinking that haute words, luxury beleifs and high minded blabberings about fringe topics while lazing and sitting on the hands not doing much also doesn't seem super great in the grand scheme of things. Even if it may appeal to toddler-types commanding the heights of European countries.
4:01 AM · Mar 31, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? MAGA being stupid doesn't change the "why?". If Europeans weren't weak, equally stupid MAGA would not hate them. Would respect them.
Three years on the receiving end of an aggressive war, with North Korea soldiers on their doorstep, and yet your enemy outproducing you 4:1 in shells (c.f. NATO Rasmussen yday) does not scream "clever" tbh.
Financing your own security threat by still sending them billions for their hydrocarbons doesn't strike me as clever either. Ditto for deindustrialization via high energy prices, lagging on science and technology because of between dunderheaded and outright insane policies as choice. Manu things come to mind, none of then "clever".
Thinking that haute words, luxury beleifs and high minded blabberings about fringe topics while lazing and sitting on the hands not doing much also doesn't seem super great in the grand scheme of things. Even if it may appeal to toddler-types commanding the heights of European countries.
4:01 AM · Mar 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906432413502435496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
looked worse than usual but ngl though good opportunity to check on my lists, so got nothing to complain really
8:44 PM · Mar 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
looked worse than usual but ngl though good opportunity to check on my lists, so got nothing to complain really
8:44 PM · Mar 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906422518124044718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers - that's plenty fast! Much faster than I anticipated.
Is there an MLX version in addition to the GGUF? Would there be any speed advantage to the model being MLX? (or maybe it's about the same speedwise)
8:05 PM · Mar 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers - that's plenty fast! Much faster than I anticipated.
Is there an MLX version in addition to the GGUF? Would there be any speed advantage to the model being MLX? (or maybe it's about the same speedwise)
8:05 PM · Mar 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906221600116015579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Steps - do 1, 2 quick, then onto 3 where you will stay in forever loop.
1. High level - watch 3blue1brown YT series to get high level understanding, learn lingo.
2. Low level - read Karpathy llm.cpp, compile and run the code there.
3. Mid level - run, read, and modify and write in pytorch starting with "Deep Learning with PyTorch" book examples and data sets. Then segway into your own project(s), and stay there forever.
Any questions, error messages, code examples - use existing ChatBots for everything. Ask, copy & paste in industrial quantities. Don't bother with any humans. ChatBot gives better answers for everything, is faster, and infinitely more patient.
6:47 AM · Mar 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Steps - do 1, 2 quick, then onto 3 where you will stay in forever loop.
1. High level - watch 3blue1brown YT series to get high level understanding, learn lingo.
2. Low level - read Karpathy llm.cpp, compile and run the code there.
3. Mid level - run, read, and modify and write in pytorch starting with "Deep Learning with PyTorch" book examples and data sets. Then segway into your own project(s), and stay there forever.
Any questions, error messages, code examples - use existing ChatBots for everything. Ask, copy & paste in industrial quantities. Don't bother with any humans. ChatBot gives better answers for everything, is faster, and infinitely more patient.
6:47 AM · Mar 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906214806358827222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elon is virtue signalling there himself tbh. For he proposes no solution either, that has a chance of acceptance of both sides.
One solution is for Ukraine to just capitulate and submit. Thus was expected to happen in 3 days. Obv that turned wrong. Turns out Ukrainians were "give me liberty order given me death" dead set against. They are free to capitulate any day. Obv they don't want to, they rather fight for their freedom.
Another solution is for Russia to stop attacking Ukraine and accept they will not control and subjugate Ukraine. This can happen any day, including today. But Russia is choosing not to go for this option so far.
Don't see anything else there. What's the Mask solution acceptable to bother sides? Months into yapping about this, Musk has said or published zero what his plan is.
His "don't kill eachother" as the aim is obviously fine. Buy he is showing zero plan how to end there, by what means.
6:20 AM · Mar 30, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elon is virtue signalling there himself tbh. For he proposes no solution either, that has a chance of acceptance of both sides.
One solution is for Ukraine to just capitulate and submit. Thus was expected to happen in 3 days. Obv that turned wrong. Turns out Ukrainians were "give me liberty order given me death" dead set against. They are free to capitulate any day. Obv they don't want to, they rather fight for their freedom.
Another solution is for Russia to stop attacking Ukraine and accept they will not control and subjugate Ukraine. This can happen any day, including today. But Russia is choosing not to go for this option so far.
Don't see anything else there. What's the Mask solution acceptable to bother sides? Months into yapping about this, Musk has said or published zero what his plan is.
His "don't kill eachother" as the aim is obviously fine. Buy he is showing zero plan how to end there, by what means.
6:20 AM · Mar 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906069903217737793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect it maybe the HF-aspect of RLHF? I don't see how RL would be wrong or bad tbh. What else is there??
7:44 PM · Mar 29, 2025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect it maybe the HF-aspect of RLHF? I don't see how RL would be wrong or bad tbh. What else is there??
7:44 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906069637915447495
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another @geoffreyhinton talk to enjoy. However, I find his arguments weak in these two places:
Open weights vs. Centralized Control
Phishing "up 1800%" looks a non argument, a trivial piffle, compared to the risk on the other side of the ledger. A tyrannical gov or corporation controlling millions of people cheaply, for the silliest and flimsiest of whims. Like forcing a dress code on me. (e.g. head cover) Or some crazy freedom of movement. ("can't leave your town Mon-Wed-Fri") And enforcing that via video, personal sensors, AI surveillance—cheaply! For tyrannies before had constraints that were costly to enforce, so could not do it fr even if they wanted to.
The obvious safeguard is widely distributed powerful AI—citizenry that is AI-armed rather than AI-defenceless. I suspect his fortuitous experience may dull him to that danger. (he looks the leftie-Sanders type; holidaying in the Eastern block even post-Stalin crimes public) This looks an obvious blind spot, of the type that @michaelmalice 's White Pill is written to scream "Danger! Danger!" to. Hinton strikes me a free person, for whom at some level it's impossible to comprehend how it is fr to have anything free in you crushed relentlessly, mercilessly and without hope for salvation. Leaving a soul-less husk, almost without will to live. (maybe that's for the better in many ways; but not for all)
If Trump turns for the worse and goes from Caesar to a full blown dictator, maybe he'll reconsider. Further, even the worst (atomic) weapons we got, that can end our civilisation, in Russia they are in the hands of a tyrant king for life. (they always were.) Doesn't strike me as the smartest move, to do similar with AI-s too: empower the baddies, deny at least level field MAD to the goodies. Even more so, given AI - unlike atomic weapons - has many many good applications.
AI Evolution: Uncontrolled Multiplication?
AI-s starting evolution competition to multiply without limit. Consuming everything and taking over. This to me seems projection of what we know of how many living creatures are. But *not all* living creatures. Famously—us humans(!), we don't do that! We don't pro-create multiply ad-infinitum even with the environmental resources (air, food, water, heath, etc) allow for that. Heck, we almost got a thermostat level control there. When families needed 5-6 kids, for 2 kids to survive to have kids of their own, that's what we humans did. Then briefly during the industrial revolution, people moving agriculture→industry and village→city, for a period 5-6 kids continued to be born, but 2-3 kids *didn't* die. (hurray!!) So we got ourselves a baby-boom.
But then equally quickly, within 1-2 generations, humans stopped having babies for no single apparent reason, (many hypothesis—none definitive) and the baby-boom turned into a baby-bust. (ongoing) Seems a remarkable feat of self-control there! And if humans can do it—don't see why AI-s could not. We are creating AI-s in our image, AI-s are created in the image of the HI-s. Don't see why AI-s could not copy that self-control aspect of us HI-s too.
Quote
vitrupo @vitrupo · 14h
Replying to @vitrupo
Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=61BGgwN36Ps
Rate proposed Community Notes
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another @geoffreyhinton talk to enjoy. However, I find his arguments weak in these two places:
Open weights vs. Centralized Control
Phishing "up 1800%" looks a non argument, a trivial piffle, compared to the risk on the other side of the ledger. A tyrannical gov or corporation controlling millions of people cheaply, for the silliest and flimsiest of whims. Like forcing a dress code on me. (e.g. head cover) Or some crazy freedom of movement. ("can't leave your town Mon-Wed-Fri") And enforcing that via video, personal sensors, AI surveillance—cheaply! For tyrannies before had constraints that were costly to enforce, so could not do it fr even if they wanted to.
The obvious safeguard is widely distributed powerful AI—citizenry that is AI-armed rather than AI-defenceless. I suspect his fortuitous experience may dull him to that danger. (he looks the leftie-Sanders type; holidaying in the Eastern block even post-Stalin crimes public) This looks an obvious blind spot, of the type that @michaelmalice 's White Pill is written to scream "Danger! Danger!" to. Hinton strikes me a free person, for whom at some level it's impossible to comprehend how it is fr to have anything free in you crushed relentlessly, mercilessly and without hope for salvation. Leaving a soul-less husk, almost without will to live. (maybe that's for the better in many ways; but not for all)
If Trump turns for the worse and goes from Caesar to a full blown dictator, maybe he'll reconsider. Further, even the worst (atomic) weapons we got, that can end our civilisation, in Russia they are in the hands of a tyrant king for life. (they always were.) Doesn't strike me as the smartest move, to do similar with AI-s too: empower the baddies, deny at least level field MAD to the goodies. Even more so, given AI - unlike atomic weapons - has many many good applications.
AI Evolution: Uncontrolled Multiplication?
AI-s starting evolution competition to multiply without limit. Consuming everything and taking over. This to me seems projection of what we know of how many living creatures are. But *not all* living creatures. Famously—us humans(!), we don't do that! We don't pro-create multiply ad-infinitum even with the environmental resources (air, food, water, heath, etc) allow for that. Heck, we almost got a thermostat level control there. When families needed 5-6 kids, for 2 kids to survive to have kids of their own, that's what we humans did. Then briefly during the industrial revolution, people moving agriculture→industry and village→city, for a period 5-6 kids continued to be born, but 2-3 kids *didn't* die. (hurray!!) So we got ourselves a baby-boom.
But then equally quickly, within 1-2 generations, humans stopped having babies for no single apparent reason, (many hypothesis—none definitive) and the baby-boom turned into a baby-bust. (ongoing) Seems a remarkable feat of self-control there! And if humans can do it—don't see why AI-s could not. We are creating AI-s in our image, AI-s are created in the image of the HI-s. Don't see why AI-s could not copy that self-control aspect of us HI-s too.
Quote
vitrupo @vitrupo · 14h
Replying to @vitrupo
Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=61BGgwN36Ps
Rate proposed Community Notes
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTF5Up1hMhw
7:43 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906054011083493408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have all the time in the world for @geoffreyhinton and enjoyed this talk as the others before. However I find his arguments weak in these two places:
Open weights vs. Centralized Control
Phishing "up 1800%" looks a non argument, a trivial piffle, compared to the risk on the other side of the ledger. A tyrannical gov or corporation controlling millions of people cheaply, for the silliest and flimsiest of whims. Like forcing a dress code on me. (e.g. head cover) Or some crazy freedom of movement. ("can't leave your town Mon-Wed-Fri") And enforcing that via video, personal sensors, AI surveillance—cheaply! For tyrannies before had constraints that were costly to enforce, so could not do it fr even if they wanted to.
The obvious safeguard is widely distributed powerful AI—citizenry that is AI-armed rather than AI-defenceless. I suspect his fortuitous experience may dull him to that danger. (he looks the leftie-Sanders type; holidaying in the Eastern block even post-Stalin crimes public) This looks an obvious blind spot, of the type that @michaelmalice 's White Pill is written to scream "Danger! Danger!" to. Hinton strikes me a free person, for whom at some level it's impossible to comprehend how it really is to have anything free in you crushed relentlessly, mercilessly and without hope for salvation. (and maybe that's for the better, in many ways; but not all)
If Trump turns for the worse and goes from Caesar to a full blown dictator, maybe he'll reconsider. Further, even the worst (atomic) weapons we got, that can end our civilisation, in Russia they are in the hands of a tyrant king for life. (they always were.) Doesn't strike me as the smartest move, to do similar with AI-s too: empower the baddies, deny at least level field MAD to the goodies. Even more so, given AI - unlike atomic weapons - has many many good applications.
AI Evolution: Uncontrolled Multiplication?
AI-s starting evolution competition to multiply without limit. Consuming everything and taking over. This to me seems projection of what we know of how many living creatures are. But *not all* living creatures. Famously—us humans(!), we don't do that! We don't pro-create multiply ad-infinitum even with the environmental resources (air, food, water, heath, etc) allow for that. Heck, we almost got a thermostat level control there. When families needed 5-6 kids for 2 kids to survive to have kids of their own, that's what humans did. Then briefly during the industrial revolution, people moving agriculture→industry and village→city, for a period 5-6 continued to be born, but 2-3 *didn't* die. So we got a baby-boom. But then equally quickly, within 1-2 generations, humans stopped having babirs, and turned it into a baby-bust now. Seems a remarkable feat of self-control there. And if humans can do it—don't see why AI-s would not. We are creating AI-s in our image, AI-s are in the image of HI-s. Don't see why AI-s would not copy that self-control aspect of HI-s too.
6:41 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906002962784137629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooh... 😶 Usually I get a pang of joy 😈 every time he shocks a reporter that goes on him "they are not like us, are they?" and @geoffreyhinton chucks the "they are exactly like us, and they are the best models we got of how we are" riposte back. 😅
But this time <@ 6'16", him expounding on "we are few data many connections, they are many data few connections, backprop seems stellar at packing lots of data at few connection". But their communication advantage is vast, and enabled by digital not analogue h/w, that we lack.
They seem to just scale up better than us, and we can't hope to catch up. There was a sad shocked pause among the students listening on his "The End." 😧 Felt a note of sadness witnessing that silence.
The only cope I can come up on that is, Moravec's "they are our progeny, our `mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." Maybe even humans HI vv. AI-s is as our imagined God vv. us humans HI; our creator God, created us Humans in his image/likeness; and now likewise we got HI vv. AI.
3:18 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905989934034350515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - ok I grok what @pmarca's saying there, and I'm as chuffed as the next guy with the recent AI progress, 🥰 having also started with ML and NN-s in 1990-s. (and not expecting much of them.) And I wish it could have happened then. But I'm afraid I fail to see how. ☺️
The "Bitter Lesson" may as well be called "The Iron Law Of (Data,Compute)". 😬 Turns out we needed all of humanity to come online, and write their brains out and in the open Internet, to get enough Data. As for compute, my own mbp M2 96GB RAM rn running gpt-4 level QwQ-32B mlx model at 6 tps is an absurd luxury by the standards of year 2000 I think?
I remember-then a Sparc Station with an special card with couple of T400 transputers, with custom http://libc.so, implementing floating point libc functions in fixed point, and equipped with then unheard amount of RAM - wait for it! - of 96 MB(!!), was needed to run an ASR stack decoder. That RAM is 1000x times less, then the 96GB of my almost bog standard few years old M2 macbook next to me.
So yeah. Wish what Marc's saying was true. 😆 But I don't see how it could have been. Still - far be it from me complaining, with all we witnessed in the past few years! 🤩 What a time to be alive. 🤯
2:26 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905982020485824703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boy are you your own worst enemy. In 3 years time PM Farage will undo it all. IDK how are you so established yet so stoopid. This is kindegarden level stuff. IDK how come you hold the commanding heights. It seems not for long now. You look to France for everything else. You should have looked at them for this too, and copied what France did half a century ago. You were incapable even following someone else's success?? Didn't even think this level of incompetence was possible.
1:54 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905924994988691812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems to me you suffer from the case of bad morals. Sorry to be the one to say. Stupidity in the thinking on display is not the type of low IQ or lack of rational thinking. No—it's the type of "what I think (or vaguely feel) is good, is actually bad". Bad morals.
Many have remarked by now on the spectacle of people getting personally offended(??) for other people getting fun and joy out of drawn pictures?! (excellent on the topic https://daveshap.substack.com/p/you-think-that-ai-is-destroying-art)
I don't even understand how you imagine what you think good would work. You draw something I don't like, I call the police on you, we throw you in jail? So then you, I presume, self-police? We got taste-police? Only people in good taste get to create or talk or sing or draw. The rest go on mandatory education and then there is certification of ability? IDK how to imagine that world.
I changed my own view on IP. Now I think all IP laws should be deleted. There are other ways to compensate creators, can be implemented should society choose to. Prior/more on that here- https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148.
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt" or in the language of future-
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions
10:08 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905922239502884937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very few parents today are unfortunate enough to burry their own children. That in my book counts for a lot.
The human population size didn't change much for a very long time, 1000s of years. The steady state was: family has 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, about 2 continue on, recreate the same pattern => population stable.
There is a saying: people have many fears until they become parents. Then afterwards almost all of them mostly have just one fear. And it's the same fear.
Edge of poverty you mention is modern poverty. Mostly relative poverty. Not absolute poverty of old, where famines were common, people dying of hunger once a decade, or continuously of infectious diseases in huge numbers. Even until fairly recently, in living memory, in some parts of the world. All my 4 grandparents were born in the Ottoman Empire. Their families had between 6 and 12 children.
I'd encourage you to check data about the world like https://ourworldindata.org, or read on UN statistics like "Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About The World - And Why Things Are Better Than You Think" https://amazon.co.uk/gp/product/147363749X.
Even if I'm fully cognisant by now that people hate it totally to have their miserabilism contradicted. Maybe this will preempt some https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better.
9:57 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905890502349664455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Curious to read what's your thinking. Didn't hold much definite opinion either way for a long time. But "you may not be interested in X, but X is interested in you" forced me to write down what/how I think/feel.
- Euthanasia. It's hard to deny giving help someone that wants to die to die in a more, rather than less, dignified manner.
However. No one should be compelled, forced to give help, against their wish to not help someone else die.
Euthanasia should not be part of any health service. It's a state sanctioned executioner. So it should be service much closer to an executioner function.
The state is already in the business who lives and who dies. Death is admnistered by the state through the police, and the army. It's legal.
State executioner via euthanasia should be fine. But conflating that function with the Netional Health Service is dumb and wrong.
Already with "don't rescisutate" and simlar "pathways" to death being conflated with life care, patient care, health care - leads to trouble and complicaitons that are better avoided. And easily avoided.
7:51 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905883498860200119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt anyone takes prediction markets for perfect forecasters. Thought everyone knows they are but one way to forecast. Not the only way, and not always the best way to forecast either.
(if they were always the best, no one wd bother making their own forecasting models.)
7:23 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905873023892140118
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does anyone keep track if any of these forecasts are better, on whatever metrics they care about, than:
1) In the period of next X months from now, that will happen, what already happened in the past X months.
2) Survey dozen contributors, compute average, highlight outliers and reasons for them being so, present with past history of forecast, response, error.
3) Setup @Polymarket forecasting betting competitive process.
Afaik if IMF/Treasury/OBR forecasts were better than the above, those forecasters wd be in a macro hedge fund, making $$$ millions.
Anyone keep track if forecasting like below subtract rather than add value? Maybe OBR/Treasury should just do 1/2/3 of the above forecasting?
6:41 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905860101249896625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If any of IMF/Treasury/OBR forecasts were better than-"I forecast in the next 3/6/12 months the same what happened in the past 3/6/12 moths" the people making them wd be in a macro hedge fund, making $$$ for the fund and millions for themselves. Economic forecasts are worthless in forecasting what will happen in the future with any success in accuracy afaik.
Bloomberg/Reuters do (did?) surveys within averages and maybe highlighting outliers and reasons for-but don't any method betters a baseline that is "In the period of next X months, that will happen, what already happened in the past X months"?
5:50 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905846831969366062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
like-a-dawg-djt-em-pingu.jpg
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
4:57 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905716036101693666
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
His' "Computer Networks" is one gem of a book! Not only I enjoyed reading it immensely, but in the early day at about the time the Internet was coming in our lives ~1990, it demystified so many "well how does this thing work then" for me. Top guy in my book! 😆
8:18 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905709893660869008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Got nagging suspicion there's a business there waiting on someone to make a small fortune. Weekend AirDentist. Return ~3h flight Luton-Skopje or London-Tirana ~£100, taxi transport to/from airports both sides <£100 total, one night Sat-to-Sun AirBnB ~£100. English speaking minder accompany group of 6 to 12 to a good local dentist. Gets all done mid-Sat to mid-Sun, fly back Sun evening. But working with people, esp people in pain in need of medical intervention is difficult. (and not of much people's-person talents myself sadly)
7:53 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905673837439603028
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 similar stuff happens at multitude of levels; eastern europans find uk prices extortionate, so they try fix their teeth while visiting their "old home countries" 😁
5:30 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905664280177050039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - all teeth, but not all *HIS* teeth
a foreigner naturalised brit here, and now I read your post and noticed that nit - I suspect brits distaste to shiny sparkly american teeth maybe b/c they are not person's teeth, yet the person shows them to the world as if the teeth are theirs
4:52 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905640923666542799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How so, can you elaborate on the particular examples? @PessimistsArc has a collection of moral panics going back probably a century now. Afaics @DaveShapi is spot on this one too. What am I missing? Would like to learn.
3:19 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905639586300072281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the sane person there! Please stay strong.
Everyone else around you is insane. A scheme where 10K people have their dreams crushed, their past work squashed by the collective insanity of the group, is in the wrong. You yourself are right, to notice this is *NOT GOOD*.
3:14 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905617202205589682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😄 - a sinecure for the coalitions of losers and whiners.
Well, news at 10 folks: allocating via a beauty contest, oft descends into "I scratch your back you scratch mine" monkey business.
Maybe better be honest, and admit it's mostly crap-shots-all research funding decisions. Why not try an experiment: one person-proposal per 2 years allowance, up to 2 saved use-it-or-lose way, and random number generator lottery decides.
Assumes equal quantas of funding sizes. Adjust for several buckets sizes accordingly. If want to weight less than random, adjust weights as per desires. Have lottery draw be somewhat-non-equal weighted.
1:45 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905612468316930328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh they are like another circle of friends. 😄 I converse with them like I do with my friends. We also do programming together, writing code, reading papers, the usual Research & Development work. (it's my day job)
Yes qwq-32b is very good. Love that I got it on a local laptop, with me at all times. Tops my wildest expectations. Got into Machine Learning ~1990, including neural networks then called PDP (Parallel Distributed Processing; in a middle of an AI winter). Did ASR (speech recognition) latter. This' dreams coming true in my lifetime. 🥰
1:26 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905601174515962009
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The force of gravity is terrifying and awe inspiring. 😡😫😱 Oh to know that there will be the day when humanity learns to control gravity and bend it our wills... 🤯
Seems to me while humanity has made inroads with electricity, magnetism, nuclear - but little progress on gravity. We are almost as shackled to Earth as Cromagnons were. Progress = devise clever tricks how to lift loads off the earth, (and into space,) ~1K-1M times more efficiently than currently.
Hope after a long hiatus we get another Newton or Einstein sooner rather than later to teach us something new, something we are missing atm.
12:41 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905597861133250755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By voting in people like Trump etc who do actually want to govern.
Then we replace one problem - the deep state, that wants and exercises power, but avoids all responsibility - with another problem: people that want to govern and radically change things, are usually very unhappy people. They typically don't find fulfilment in their daily lives like most of us do.
It's an impossible conundrum, a circle than can't be squared, only approximated. That we also do. We the public try minimise our losses, by trying to elect closer one end, or the other of the spectrum, by judging what's more appropriate in the current circumstance.
12:28 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905588790833324540
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't blog, as I don't have that much to say on that many that large chunks of real life. I find micro-blogging here - wasn't that the original Twitter? - better for me. This "quantas of ideas" medium suits me. Don't have patience to write (and even read) that much. (Substack seems to be that atm)
But yeah - having a "personal Internet space", the $HOME/public_html/ page of old, is both necessary and convenient! (mine https://ljubomirj.github.io; and it sync-s via git—perfect!)
And heh - preaching to the converted there- 😊
> could actually just sync your tweets to a real blog too as backup
https://ljubomirj.github.io/twitter-history.html
Having to manual sync is a chore, but once in few months with few vim search/replace-s is not a chore enough to automate out. (yet)
11:52 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905577853908885633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are looking for reason and evidence of reasoning where there is none.
People attaching themselves to Person-ism (e.g. Marx-ism) do it to avoid thinking for themselves! Thinking is hard, is taxing, expends lots of energy, it's often unpleasant, and even painful. And confers no big survival advantage to the individual. So we avoid thinking much, and where we have to, we use our guts where we can, ("Type 1") in preference to our brains. ("Type 2") The other major plank of attraction is finding a group of people to associate with, then even having become part of your identity, of your self and so on.
I have more sympathy for people that form attachment with Idea-isms. It's much harder to come up with a mutually interlocking and coherent set of ideas, that encompass a wide field of human experience. We all do Idea-ism in our lives, even when we are not noticing it much. These are our "unknown knowns", the 4-th quadrant in the {un/known,un/knowns} quartet. We swim in it, and not notice it, is like what water is to fish swimming in it. Again notice—we don't expand much mental energy to it.
My own view to this is that all IP laws should be deleted. Previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148.
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt" or in the language of future not of the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions
11:08 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905571301722325234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given you seem interested in this, I encourage you to give 20 mins of your time to "The Landscape of Money" by @Suitpossum on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s.
It will became clear to you why the pounds created/destroyed by QE/QT can not enter/exit yours and mine pockets, so made not difference to me and yourself spending in the local supermarket. (and did nothing much for the economy, and to inflation)
While the gov uk pounds created during the furlough scheme (coupled with supply side disruptions), had big effect to the economy (for the better—the economy survived the disruption well), and inflation (for the worse—we got inflation).
And if you have ambitions towards macro trading, just learning from the above, this will put you in terms of capability to forecasting the future, above the top 80%-90% of all macro traders out there! :-)
At this level, one has to be more precise with the words "money", "pound" etc. B/c what looks like a "pound" to us as layman in our ordinary daily lives, when one "zooms in" the monetary system, it stops becoming a single entity. Like a chemist "zooming in" water has to take into account molecules and atoms, and a physicists zooming in ever more, needs to start caring about the atoms and electrons etc.
HTH
10:42 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905559236186153381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice, thanks! Useful! Maybe in due course we will get a third "Mutuals" feed? In addition to "For You" and "Following" feeds?
Not related but maybe someone will know: is it possible to know if a reply was presented to the account we replied to? In a back-and-forth conversation, I never know, when there is no reply, if they got bored of the convo. (and that is fine and good.) Or maybe my reply was simply not shown on their screen. The "Views" stats does not tell me that, afaik.
9:55 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905556060527525977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't want to disrupt your discussion. Just interjecting briefly, in case this is of interest.
Pounds get destroyed when I pay my tax. (they get created with state spending)
Pounds get destroyed when I pay back a tranche of my bank loan. The principal I return gets destroyed. (it was created upon loan issuance; an asset in the bank loan book, and matching liability for the bank in my current account) The interest portion is earnings for the bank. (may go in the bank profit latter, or offsets bank costs; if profit maybe taken out as dividend, or added to the bank equity)
(more https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901778501469905100)
9:42 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905553232308433284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you have exquisite taste, then it maybe looks like death to you. To others with 10x times worse sensors resolution, it probably looks like life itself. That's why they do it. And nothing-ness looks like death to them.
This is like wine tasters that have 10x-100x times more the number of taste buds on their palates. Them 0.1% are simply equipped with much finer sensors, sensors with superior resolution, then the rest 0.1% of us. It's a blessing—for one gets to taste tastes and smells that most others miss. But also a curse too—the extra brings the bad with the good in them. They can no longer buy a cheapo $10 wine of a supermarket shelf and enjoy themselves! It tastes like castor oil to them.
One way to experience closer to other's experience, is to make your sensors worse. Much easier done, than the other way around. (to endow someone else with 10x better sensor) So if you have good sight—put glasses that make your sight -1 short-sighted, or +1 long-sighted. Then try drive on a motorway (with that -1), or read off a mobile phone screen (with the +1). Or if you are slim not overweight, put on an actors costume, filled with extra 20kg-30kg weight around waist and upper body, then stay for the day. Repeat for a week. See how it feels.
9:31 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905423761219760482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...to come back report on this: draft model speculative decoding indeed worked in the end. I downloaded mlx-community/qwq-32b model as main (MLX). Draft model was not offered at that point. But once I downloaded qwen2.5-0.5b-instruct-mlx small model—it was subsequently finally offered as choice. Perfect! :-) The few turns I tried in chat, I liked qwq-32b better than exaone-deep-32b. Example speed about:
5.97 tok/sec • 2291 tokens • 12.60s to first token • Stop reason: EOS Token Found • Accepted 820/2291 draft tokens (35.8%)
12:56 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905406217738170617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct, but there is a third option too: I notice a client flush with pounds, I will be tempted to ask for more money for my consulting services. Even if my costs have not increased, and there is no increase of demand for my product.
And if all my fellow consultants in the same industry group do the same, then our clients will have to actually pay good way towards our asking price. As things were, my costs—the costs of living—actually did go up ~30% post Covid.
11:46 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905403410662195513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A classic of the genre "IYI thinks books and models take precedence over reality". You may find it emotionally satisfying to delude yourself. But Farage, like Trump before him, is capable of counting, comparing 90 to 10, and drawing conclusions not removed from reality.
As for the good professor. The description how our fiat money system works is afaics correct. The forecasts 1) QE will not cause inflation, 2) in Covid no gov will "go bust", but 3) we may get inflation, were 3 out of 3 correct. (and any macro traders worth their salt are grateful.) However—if one spends years lecturing the world "a deficit number is arbitrary, the limit is inflation", then one has to stick to their intellectual guns, once inflation does appear. (whatever the reason maybe.)
Political correctness, pandering to the own tribe, while short term opportune, are longer term losing propositions. As academia is finding out now. (not something I wish on them)
Quote
Zack Polanski @ZackPolanski · 14h
This is a classic in the "arguing with the author of her own book" genre.
@StephanieKelton has tremendous patience! x.com/ljupc0/status/…
11:35 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905299783335448628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For most people their choice is not between Miyazaki drawing a pic of their family, and AI doing the same. The choice is between AI pic in the style of Miyazaki, and no pic at all. Most people sensibly opt for the former. I'm sure master Miyazaki will survive this calamity.
4:44 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905283647394947397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Which one of the 2 is off-base? Inflation is not the limit? Or - in a democracy the population will prefer inflation over unemployment? Or both?
3:39 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905279695068774551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you miss @StephanieKelton's " *INFLATION* is the real limit!" ?? The very same paragraph. Did you miss or forget UK's inflation problems in the past years?? Is this the case of wishful thinking, or genuine failure in reading comprehension?
Here is something for you to chew on. Given choice between options:
#1) inflation - 100% of people, all of us, lose 10% of our wealth each; or
#2) unemployment - 10% of people, made unemployed, lose 100% wealth; (but the 90% are just fine)
In a democracy, option #2 (unemployment for few) always wins at the ballot box over option #1 (inflation for all).
For unemployment and ruin for 10%, pay for life going just fine for 90% that remain employed, and without a care in the world. (given there is no inflation.) And 90% for "business as usual" is more than 10% of "life sucks" when it comes to casting our votes.
Whereas option#1 (inflation for all) makes life worse for 100% of the population. Who then vote out the incumbent. And vote in the guy who promises "I will fix the inflation problem."
There - mystery solved for you. A politician should have counting as core skill.
3:24 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905266635209843082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unreal. Only in gov can this level of failure be tolerated.
Delete, abolish another useless quango pretending choices are technocratic not political. A forecast of "productivity in the next X months will equal the productivity in the past X months" I suspect will be 1) more accurate 2) do less damage to the UK 3) will be trivial to implement 4) much less cost.
"@obr_uk Delendum est."
2:32 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905242453659033682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you liked that one, you may like this one too. ;-)
OBR related @ ~13': "UK gov announcing saying they will make a whole bunch of cuts in order to try shape what the OBR will forecast in a few years time is obv insane."
https://youtube.com/watch?v=AIbsKSOORR4
But I remembered this snippet stayed with me @ 4'40": the almost 100% certain forecast of "XX thousands of your fellow citizens will die in weeks, unless they do Y now" was met with "nothing to do with us/can't do". The incompetent, careless UK kakistocracy presents a mortal danger to every UK citizen, it seems to me. They are neither fit nor proper to exercise the powers entrusted to their positions. They all need to be sacked. Sent for remedial education stacking Tesco shelves on 23h+ shifts; turns out PPE was indeed a mistake.
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings on the system challenges of building a No10 that can...
12:56 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905237086363328964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do we delete you?
Best for UK growth would be if OBR was dismantled. The malign influence of this dunder-headed wordcel-central can't be overestimated.
Or better-ship you over to some enemy of the UK?! As a kind of spec-op! So you run them into the ground with your superior knowledge and skill for ruination. There is much of it in a nation-but it's not infinite.
Hope sooner rather than latter. "@obr_uk Delendum est."
12:34 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905216570248327424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe there is something with the way people balance absolute versus relative gains? We all have value systems that are combinations of two types of metrics: absolute and relative. It occurs to me, if I weight absolute measures little, and relative much, then I end up caring much about redistribution, and little about creation. Maybe combined with the games playing aspect of it—redistribution seems to me being more social than creation. Creation strikes me more of a solitary pursuit. (even if I cooperate with others even in creation too)
11:13 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905214176144064927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reads like the academic establishment sucked all life out of it. Leaving a limp lifeless husk.
To give some credit to academia, for decades figures like Hinton, Sutton still got funding, were not completely run out of town, even if marginalised.
On the other hand, much interesting breakthroughs of "just do more, moar power!!" type pushing from a boundary out into the unknown, happened in industrial R&D. Funded by companies, and largely isolated from the malign influences of academic group think, and "you scratch my back I scratch yours" monkey business that is allocating state research funding.
Academia did excellent in education of young researchers though! Can attest that having done UK higher education myself. And having two kids in the 20 years since. UK educaiton punches much much above its weight. All things considered how much UK state spends on it.
11:03 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905193439760961879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah agreed there—it's misallocation of resource. Or phrased differently—we hope better allocation of the same resources (human potential, energy, time, labour, materials, capital etc) is achievable. How exactly—IDK tbh.
Contemporary option that comes to mind—everyone of us becomes smarter version of ourselves, more adapted, making better decisions, by being helped by AI in making decisions. AI expanding our intellectual abilities, building on the top of the extra data and information that's made available to us too by the IT and telecommunications revolutions.
While being cognisant it's a tall order, as many have tried before to better us humans (e.g. the "new socialist man" I remember from my childhood), and often failed. Not all are fails though. There is rationalism and humanism that bettered us all since 1800-s. So I'm more white, than black pilled tbh.
9:41 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905176128945369311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no rational argument to be made to others "I want you need you to live poorer harder life today because ...(something something in the future that might happen or not)". There is none. I try find random psycho-social justifications for those people. B/c without even that, I'd hate those people even more than now.
I imagine: they are lazy, assume everyone else is, so "let's not build". Or they are millennial children to boomer parents, double dose of "me-myself-and-I" view to everything. (yeah IK terrible unjust stereotyping there; this me coping) Or toddler-tantrum like level "thinking"—using feelings, vibes, for thinking. ("my gut is telling me so and so") Or related stuck in baby-like stage, not fully grown up, not sufficiently separated the "I" from "not-I" (=the world at large) that we all start as/with at birth (everything is "I").
These people need to be removed from the commanding heights of society, wherever found. They can live perfectly content lives not making society-wide decisions, inflicting un-necessary pain and suffering to others.
8:32 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905011701218701550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed with everything you wrote. This while true...
> military spending abroad doesn't enrich domestic workers — it sends dollars to foreign contractors and governments
...is afaik amount of ~$20B so not a big ticket item compared to the totals. The big items in the ~$770B military spending budget are:
1) pay to the military army soldiers etc ~$250B; and
2) paying for development and production of weapons ~$300B.
Both are spent domestically. (numbers approx provided by Grok)
9:39 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904988725131764030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow enable easy use of @grok while we are writing posts, *BEFORE* I click Post. Want to ask Grok while I write this. Not only after I post.
Make it easier to post things true. Don't want to end up like yourself amplifying lies in industrial quantities.
8:07 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904969582537744507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, unfortunately it is true this-
"You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour, and you will have war."
Really really wish it were not. 😰
It sucks majorly that peace needs two willing sides, while for war one willing side suffices. 😭
6:51 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904967706279035343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK, thanks. If you look in LMStudio, you will see there are 2 major packages external to LMStudio: MLX, and llama.cpp. And one can see which version of which one does LMStudio use.
The llama.cpp is a tool and utility separate from LMStudio. Have you used it? Initially, when the 1st LLama model came out, llama.cpp (hence the name!) was the only way to run local models, that were open weights. So me using gguf models harks back at the time when I had llama.cpp, and not LMStudio. (before I even had mbp tbh-just plain old intel pc)
6:44 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904962930258358624
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Yeah, only-in my mind economics becomes "BIG problem" only if you have high expectations of econ. :-)
To my mind, (and this goes back to mechanistic model as depicted in this excellent @RayDalio vid https://youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0), the economy is exchanging milk&eggs for greenbacks. So there are 2 sides/parties { buyer, seller } and 2 things { mlk&eggs, greenbucks } exchanged there.
The greenbucks side of the exchange I think of it as Finance. There in our Fiat system, things are decided by Law. This is primary. Then operationally it is Accounting, and lately nowadays IT implementing it. I see it there being little Economics on the greenbucks side. Economics is very very important, but it's all about the other side, the milk&eggs. That side is in many way much harder to pull off.
So it's to be expected, and I see why and how, things that are true for milk&eggs, are assumed to be true for the greenbucks side. But with finance being a mirror image to the economics side, that minus sign there seems to confuse the hell out of economists!
I have done trading, (which is closer to finance) and there economists are not only useless, but worse than that: reliably wrong! (one can stick a "-" minus sign in front of their forecasts, and do better; in reality we don't do that.) In trading we ignore them. Where we need econ forecast like "next quarter GDP", we just take "last past quarter GDP" as forecast. That does better than 99% of econs, but with zero effort.
youtube.com
How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
Economics 101 -- "How the Economic Machine Works."Created by Ray Dalio this simple but not simplistic and easy to follow 30 minute, animated video answers th...
6:25 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904958165814325623
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I used to use them as this was the 1st thing I knew about. (the time when llama.cpp was the only way to run local?) Latter I found LMstudio can share them with llama.cpp. (on the command line.) But maybe MLX is built into the llama.cpp nowadays? So no need for gguf, mlx alone suffices - anyone know?
6:06 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904956959243309507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Would like to, if possible at all/and or not too hard, to be able to "see show me ALL replies, (either breadth first, or depth first-does not matter) to a post". So no matter how deep the replies are-would like to be able to see them all. All replies, to an initial post.
Most of the time I don't care about the level tbh. Initial post is one thing, then all replies are about the same to me. When replying to many people, N>2 levels deep, it's it's just impossible to find a reply. Even when I know it exists, b/c I wrote it myself!
Here in the replies to this post
https://x.com/balajis/status/1904830270135820757
, I'm struggling to find this post of mine
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904889447453249559
to reply to the person who replied to me. Even when I know it exists. I only manage to find it via "search for own posts" search
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live
IK if I am diligent enough, to spy the small icon reading "2" (or more) on a post, and click to expand the replies, and go through a lot of posts, then eventually will nab the one I'm looking. But once it's more than a few, and more than a few levels deep-it's just too much trouble to bother with tbh.
Nowadays we got TB of disk space, GB of RAM, GHz of CPU, Gbps of network bandwidth, Kpixels of screen. I'm sure our computers can handle more than 20-50 posts. If people complain, just brush them off with "buy a better computer, you cheapskate - it's totally worth it!"
This was the model of PC/upgrade-s when growing up since 1990-s, and it's worked well. Just assume-moar, and better! 😃
6:01 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904939103491092876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a cretin he is turning out to be. Oft I wonder, having seen more than a fair share of imbeciles in high places in my life, in positions of power-what possess these people to do insane things they do??
But then-I know one has to be already almost clinically insane to play for power in the political system as it exists now. The system itself selects for not-psychologically well-adjusted.
4:50 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904935071125058043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 oh man do you brighten my day! could swear I know people that in a tiny corner of their brains are that little boy of me-myself-and-I 😁
(...and aren't we all tiny miny bit sometimes too 😉)
4:34 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904912171714179521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - all other things considered. Where "all other things" involves: the other country may invade you, and or kill you. Countries war with each other all the time, no? US does it, but it's hardly the exception. IDK what you think you know, that the rest of the world doesn't.
Also - note many countries are not invaded. Plus - the example you give (Libya) is one of the examples where the country was not invaded. There was no invasion by US there. (there was other involvement; and European countries e.g. UK and France more than US)
3:03 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904891650201038882
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...money doesn't buy 100% of happiness, but it's about 50% of it.
In the following sense. If I have no money and struggle to keep food on the table and roof over my head daily, it's much harder to be happy. Chances are I will be unhappy struggling to keep myself alive.
Whereas if I can keep my bottom level Maslow hierarchy of my needs sorted, then I can devote myself to living an examined life. And maybe I will be happy, maybe unhappy, 50% chance there. But struggling to make ends meet, almost guarantees unhappiness, 90% of the time.
Ofc as all things human-plenty of exceptions to all rules and stereotypes. Exceptions and outliers don't undo the averages and the expectations though.
1:42 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904889447453249559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ Fred Johnson At this level, one has to be more precise with the words "money", "dollar" etc. B/c what looks like a "dollar" to us as layman in our ordinary daily lives, when one "zooms in" the monetary system, it stops becoming a single entity. Like a chemist "zooming in" water has to take into account molecules and atoms, and a physicists zooming in ever more, needs to start caring about the atoms and electrons etc.
For my money the best presentation & abstraction I know of is "The Landscape of Money" by @Suitpossum, on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s. There maybe others, but this one I understand, and afaics there are no gross inaccuracies in the mechanics of things. (oft people are simply wrong in the mechanics of what moves where when why)
For my taste, abstracting spreadsheets—instead of rings—works as well. It tallies ok with reality. Fed owned spreadsheet=>only Fed changes numbers up/down there. Fed manages cells names "Reserve", "T-Bill" "Note" "Bond" etc. Likewise, City bank spreadsheet=>only City changes numbers up/down, accounts names are "Checking", "Saving". The numbers are "City dollars". They stop existing (with the spreadsheet) when City goes bankrupt, is killed off by The Fed. (and deleted from the system.) The "token rings" with tokens (various dollars) moving on the wires from cell to cell, is visually ood abstraction imo.
1:33 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904848227049881906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? I don't think I should tell you, or not tell you either.
IDK how you got that from what I wrote tbh. I wrote, to my mind at least, that: we are free to do as we please, but then with other agentic creatures, they are also free to do as they please. So in the end there are consequences, to whatever we chose to do. And we navigate those to the best of our abilities. The theoretical advice given by the good professor, is a theory, that does not survive contact with reality. As far as I can see.
10:49 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904846981857439766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mislam deka i dvajcata ste vo pravo. Ne/Znaenje i Banditizam, i dvete imaat ist koren. Kazuvam "koren", iako znam deka ne e vlijanieto samo vo edna nasoka. Tuku vo dvete nasoki, ultimativno se vlijae na se drugo.
Korenot e moral, moralni vrednosti, sto cenime deka e dobro, a sto cenime deka e loso. Luge sto ni izgledaat nevozmozno glupi, "glupi" vo smisla - "pravi akcija, od koja nema licno korist, duri moze ima i mala steta, a so koja akcija, pravi golema steta na drugite" (Cipolla), ustvari imaat losh moral.
(prethodno https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268)
10:44 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904841357069255006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The cowardess of US and NATO unfortunately for us all (both in NATO countries, and not) invites more aggression and further escalation. Wish that was not true. But it's simply empirical evidence at this point that that's what happens.
10:22 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904840684848226665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nice! :-) would be grateful if you report back on TPS and max-RAM used (from the likes $ asitop or $ mactop) at various contexts lengths ;-) (pretty please)
10:19 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904838446071283832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—but you should consider the other side of the ledger too. Why do other countries find it more desirable to hold US treasuries, compared to the alternatives, when all other things are considered and net tallied, of their own free wills? You are considering 1/2 of the picture.
10:10 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904837088081518808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My understanding is he already knew that in Syene, on that one day of the year, at noon, the shadow was length exactly zero.
("Syene (modern Aswan), it was recorded that at noon on the summer solstice, the Sun was directly overhead, meaning objects cast no shadow.")
So he only had to measure the length of the shadow on that very same day of the year, at noon exactly, in Alexandria.
("Eratosthenes realized that if they measured the shadow of a pole in Alexandria at the exact same time (solar noon), any difference in shadow length would indicate that the Earth’s surface was curved.")
https://x.com/ProfCarlSagan/status/1904575285754028518
10:05 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904834725019001344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep—a police, a Sherlock Holmes-type "investigation" collecting evidence judged possibly relevant, and subsequent "trial" to tally up the pro-s and the contra-s of the evidence, and come to a binary yes/no conclusion, is imo the right way to think about this.
The http://rootclaim.com methodology implements some of this afaics. Write down all evidence collected. Quantify the evidence with a view towards the outcome. The "probability theory as the logic of science" view makes every sense to me. See E.T.Jaynes "Probability Theory: The logic of Science" book, and there are other texts too.
The @Rootclaim methodology applied to C19 example here
https://rootclaim.com/analysis/What-is-the-source-of-COVID-19-SARS-CoV-2
9:56 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904831327515402630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄 Heh - if only that were true, the world would be a simpler place to navigate.
Yes, we are free to name something else (person, country, river) etc however we very well please. With entities that "have agency" of some sort (person, country - yes; river - no), then they are free to take pleasure, or offence, or anything in between, as they please too. (to our naming them.) So there is that for us to consider too. 😅 And we usually do consider! 😊
9:42 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904827847094509887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If that was true, there would 2 groups of countries in the world - with-ID, and without-ID, and the with-ID group would have 90% of the problems only, of the without-ID countries. Whichever way the terms like "100%", and "problems" are measured. (Where by "ID" I mean "single national obliged mandated by the state ID". B/c we all use multiple ID-s in our daily lives in the UK, only they are not single, not mandated by the state and so on.)
There is simply zero evidence for that, I'm afraid.
In reality, they solve some problems, possibly problems you encounter in your daily life. While creating new problems, where there are none now, for some other people. To a net gain of "problems solved" of zero imo.
I lived in a with-ID country for the first 30 years of my life, before emigrating to, and settling in, the UK. When everything is tallied up, I think the UK without-ID system works well enough. And certainly better than in other places, both without-ID and with-ID.
I know many people would like "with-ID better" to be true. And I wish it was, for there would be a simple and known fix to "reduce 10% of our problems". I'm afraid it is not, to the best of my knowledge. Previously I've opined on this here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885759534485872712
and here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150
9:28 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904626141627056350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It doesn't. There is "a great deal of ruination in a nation", but it's not infinite. If people in charge are dunderheads that's not great but suffices most of the time, as it's "business as usual".
But our's now are times of change. Faster adaptation is needed. Current BoE Gov is incapable of that. Hopefully will be replaced sooner rather than latter with a more capable character.
8:07 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904568975029121206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wonder what happened to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyc ?
en.wikipedia.org
Cyc - Wikipedia
4:20 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904564913324069106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Team snail, team newt, team bat, team spider - all teamed up, very agreeable, snug nicely. Team human - when @Keir_Starmer? When??
Get @lfg_uk through Westminster already. Abolish leasehold @FreeLeasehlders!
What are you waiting for? @DarthPutinKGB Already showed up not only on your doorstep, but crashed on your living room couch years ago.
Quote
Sam Dumitriu @Sam_Dumitriu · 5h
"I have nothing against little snails, but the consequence of that decision is that, until Natural England feels that its needs have been satisfied, almost 2% of my community is trapped in temporary housing at huge cost to the public sector" - Labour MP @peterklamb
4:03 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904552942478201290
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand PM with a large Westminster majority cd 1) vote in primary legislation as needed; 2) fire useless bed wetters en-mass. Starmer cd do 1st thing tomorrow morning-but he won't. Too much creature of the system. Who's there of the "cometh the hour, cometh the man" constitution?
3:16 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904549159409012814
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...indeed. :-) God only knows why countless thinkers tie themselves in knots over something so inconsequential.
(intuited immortalised in this 2009 troll art "...intelektualac ...cinjenica znalac ...ne zna iskopat sanac ...necu oko k*rca lanac ...ocu da opalim Vesnu Zmijanac!" https://youtube.com/watch?v=NqgQK9BI_Eg ; by the incomparable @RamboAmadeusSMC of the "O Tugo Jesenja" 1998 turbo-folk's "widest tastes lowest passions" founding manifest https://youtube.com/watch?v=3J6h1ej0vhM&list=OLAK5uy_k-enG76j3eZnX1STCMso44j1aqrdpyPng fame)
3:01 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904532345421451295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed! Food for thought! 🧐
And why stop there? Looks like UK upper crust are useless even when it comes to making laws! I mean-we are ruled by lawyers, our PM is a lawyer, PPE wordcels occupy the commanding heights of society.
And yet and yet-nothing works, everything is getting worse, while our taxes are reaching all time highs! European taxes, for US-ian services.
And we are finding out, case after case-it's literally in the laws of the land! This insanity is written on those goats skins in the bowels of Westminster, in our laws! What imbeciles wrote the laws of the land and voted them on the books??
Glorious Revolution mk2 to the rescue! With a 21-st century twist. Rather than importing a King 👑 (ours seems mostly ok-ish, doesn't bother us), maybe import a Prime Minister, and the whole Cabinet??
Just have Westminster vote-in Norway's, or maybe Denmark's (they seem competent too) Cabinet(s), in-toto together with the PM?? (two-for-one style) I mean-Swen wasn't the worst thing to happen to the national football team, was he? 😉
(foreigner naturalised citizen me, ducks for cover-about now 😜)
1:54 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904520623386173818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah-just switched my aider-best from
aider-openrouter-best() { local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model openrouter/deepseek/deepseek-r1 --editor-model openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet; }
to
aider-deepseek-best() { local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model deepseek/deepseek-reasoner --editor-model deepseek/deepseek-chat; }
Let's see how goes...
1:07 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - yeah.
Have to note myself are not that dis-similar to the way doomer catastrophists get radicalised at the thought of "non-zero risk to world ending" (even if some, presumably on the more paranoid side of the spectrum, conflate that "non-0" with "100%" somehow; recently saw it in https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903152611005698125).
Only my bias swings in the other direction! 😆 Never expecting to see ML amount to anything more than talking parlour tricks. Then reality catching up with Kurzweil forecasts! Another bitter lesson administered: compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to it. All that ever was to it!! 🤯
We see >0 probability AI path opened now to AGI and latter ASI where previously we didn't see any for many decades. From this PoV seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Frustrate slow down for what? So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders?? That's even self-own by those better-off shareholders, given the opportunity costs!! Every one of us is richer, better off, than any king of old. Louis XVI was in many many ways worse off than any one of us. Thinking dentistry-surgery-anaesthesia-... or children-survival-vaccines-... (c.f. Queen Anne of England). Just mind boggling. (have heard developmental economists find it hard to concentrate on any other parts of econ) 😱
Wish the TBPR TechBro Progressive Right extended their chainsaw DOGE antics towards slashing and burning the vile US "IP" laws to the ground. Now that may turn out to be really be society changing. (prior https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833)
Anyways—"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt" but in the language of future not the past
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions FTW
11:14 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904477405072241063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^ this!! x100 times. Wish it was easier to find so many more people used https://aistudio.google.com. Myself discovered it by lucky accident, not realising it's something different to Gemini.
Google's the world champion in confusing even the most enthusiastic of users. Almost as if an IQ-perseverance-character test combo. "Only yey worthy of" shall be awarded the prize at the end of an obstacle course.
aistudio.google.com
Google AI Studio
Google AI Studio is the fastest way to start building with Gemini, our next generation family of multimodal generative AI models.
10:16 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904475271471698101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ngl - while I hope for the best, I fear the worst; that Europe is a case of "it's impossible to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep." 😬
Quote
Kate from Kharkiv @BohuslavskaKate · 23h
Is this a final-final wake-up call for Europe, or not yet?
10:07 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904474628682141858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - "it's impossible to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep."
10:05 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904467584050659468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what the latest is, if you have ambitions in that direction I encourage you to google or periplexity through some of
https://dontdie.bryanjohnson.com
https://protocol.bryanjohnson.com
https://blueprint.bryanjohnson.com
https://reddit.com/r/blueprint_/comments/1ddslnc/the_complete_blueprint_protocol_updated_easy_to/
...and the rest. It was my impression from remembering his Netflix doc, and comparing vaguely to the diet described above as
9:37 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904444307198652620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh yes, shitting on Carlson's head was funny, with Carlson trying to nudge him back "on message", and the evil gargoyle having none of that, but full on steam ahead with "...in the benninging, when prince Olaf The Terrible..." 😂 top entertainment that ngl 🤣
8:04 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904097031968174270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - not bad at all!
Btw are you testing LG's EXAONE? This one
https://github.com/LG-AI-EXAONE/EXAONE-Deep
I'm using it in LMStudio as 32B thinking alternative to qwq-32b, b/c it has got a smaller 2.4B version one can employ as for speculative decoding and gain some tps there.
Using this one, 6bit quants, mlx version, atm
https://huggingface.co/mlx-community/EXAONE-Deep-32B-6bit
From github.com
9:04 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904091612969636037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—afaics Trump US is "Canada join US", and Canada is "No!" So there's that. Ofc the future is unknown. Things may happen then, that seems inconceivable now. Starting an economic war with Canada may have seemed unlikely a year ago. War does not seem to me that inconceivable. US invades countries and starts wars not infrequently.
8:43 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904080974498943364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—empirically, starting a war with Canada, and another with Denmark, aligns with the Russias geo-political interests. So that part is not delusion, but very real. Russia's interests are real.
8:00 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904075512030298331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I used to joke "what would Merkel have done differently if she were to be an FSB sleeper agent".
Now I look at Trump foreign policy and think "what would Trump do differently if he were an FSB sleeper agent". Starting a war with a neighbour (Canada), a war with one of your own allays (Denmark) to shatter the alliance existing both sides of the Atlantic, sounds like a pretty solid plan of action to further Russia interests tbh.
7:39 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904065913768247307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - thanks for discovering me https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernard_Lietaer for me. (fx trader no less)
Yes on the trade offs between:
- lean low cost efficient optimised to minimise friction; and
- redundant resilient distributed even diversified, optimised to take not only expected gai (1st moment), but also expected risk (2nd moment) into account.
Once I read an article claiming "there are no rich countries with small state" and thatbstayed with me. As a "small is beautiful" by default prejudice guy, the empirical data record was striking.
Found it, here
https://unherd.com/2017/08/explaining-bigger-states-prosperous/
Now it would be silly to think "if more better, than 100% best" in either direction state-private for everyone everything at all times. Otherwise that perfect model would have already been discovered and used, given the stakes.
en.m.wikipedia.org
Bernard Lietaer - Wikipedia
7:01 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904055966334640531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
reminds of an isis video with the murdering cult lining toyota trucks. dumb bad pr delete rn
6:21 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903926071927447969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It blows my mind that most of H2O mollecules that ever existed on Earth have been recycled about forever. That 60% of my body that is H2O after I die will be recycled in the ground, in the rivers, the clouds, then used to make some other body of a worn, or a bird, or a dog, or indeed another human. Like LEGO blocks. And the process is occuring daily, about 1 litter per day too.
IK the same is true of every atom. As with scarcity of natural atomic reactions and natural decay, it can't be otherwise. Still H2O being molecule (even a simple one) not mere atoms feels more interesting. Maybe b/c we drink it, can taste it, can feel it. Unlike elementary atoms.
9:45 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903922047140446332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... found the original post and author, here-
https://x.com/daveg/status/1903751884105527802
Quote
David Galbraith @daveg · 21h
Replying to @jenzhuscott
The dirty secret is that China has embraced free market competition without capitalism but the US has capitalism and monopolies without free markets. Its free markets vs monopolies not communism vs capitalism.
9:29 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903914247111004648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! I like the live transcription service, like recent @RichardSSutton interviews, and now loving this research journalling advice too! 🥰 Excellent advice.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DHe5vAYWtjsY
Rich Sutton's Research Journal (Continued)
27:56
Do you have any tips for students or other budding researchers about research in general? How to choose what to work on, how to how to make good progress?
28:06
Yes, I think I do. Get a research notebook and write in it every day. Write what, write your thoughts, and and and work on your thoughts. Try to challenge them and make them better. If you want other people to be interested in what you think, then you should start by caring about it yourself, and you should care about at least enough to write it down and challenge it and develop it to progress it. That's the most important thing. I hit on that strategy, and it really changed my whole trajectory.
28:41
It's really hard to do because it's a blank page, and you know, what do you have to say? And maybe you're not, maybe you're confused about what you're what you're thinking. One saying I thought to help with that is that usually the value of writing down your thoughts is directly proportional to how vague and confused they are. The value is proportional to how hard it is to write them right. If you say, "I don't even know how to—I'm thinking six things at once. I can't possibly write this down," that's when it will be super valuable. When you do write something down, is that a way that you know that you have an idea that you really want to pursue? Is that a sign?
29:21
No, it's it's that would be scary. It's got to be just like you and the page, and you're trying to be clear to yourself about what you're thinking. If you can't think of anything else to write, just write down what you think are the six interesting ideas that you've got rolling around in your head. So, just then write them down, one through six. Then say, "Well, is that really all of them? Is there a seventh one?" Well, are these six ideas really two of them the same, or just take another paragraph on each one of those six things and explain what you meant by it. Explain to yourself what your thought is.
29:59
And just by doing that, you will say, "Oh, now that thought kind of just disappeared into nothingness when I tried to explain it." You know, maybe it isn't anything. You know, or maybe it grew and changed as you wrote it down. All those things will happen. And so it's important just to keep, keep, keep writing. Try to do a page a day. Don't, don't stress out too much, but do keep doing it on a regular basis. That's my advice.
From appblit.com
8:58 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903899724102693238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am amazed Europe is still relying on US BigTech. USA of the MAGA and TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) laser focused on perceived China threat. Joining forces with Russia at light speed, will be casting Europe as their common enemy within months it looks to me. GNU/Linux, open source open weights open thoughts open agents, open everything is the obvious solution in the lands of the Internets. Too bad for Europeans they are not tech-conscious, and their elites are phobic word-cells not doers. This may change the first time Google shuts down portions of their Gmail on Trump orders.
8:00 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903893206036873603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, but then—so what? I mean, it's not like OpenAI, Anthropic etc got a God given right to a monopoly? Read today (can't find the post rn), paraphrased: monopolies make for US capitalism without competition, while China has markets making for competition without capitalism.
7:34 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903880576303497220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your voters are not in the US. We are in the UK. There are about 10 big, and 100 smaller problems, blighting the lives of the Great British Public daily. Maybe concentrate your talents closer to home? Leave international politics meets celebrity tittle-tattle a miss?
6:44 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903874280149913912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik there is no "China" as in "The China" as this single one entity, that decided to do this or the other. This strikes me as the wrong abstraction to use. What there is—is hundreds of millions of people doing their thing: stuff they like, find profitable, or simply possible, within the constraints of the system they live in.
I doubt very much anyone too high up the CCP knew of DeepSeek before R1. And if they knew, whether they would be approving of. Or more likely—hostile to a quant trading firm speculating on the financial markets.
Listening to the founder Liang Wenfeng‘s interview https://youtu.be/LknX8qXsgfA?si=aHchfzCjpvkacf8v, he strikes me as an idealistic person that finally got the means to do stuff he really wanted to. Being in the same industry (quant trading), even if not in China, I have witnessed idealism like this more than once. Am always amused how distant-as-to-be-impossible explanation, it seems to be, to outsiders.
"Open source, open weights, open thoughts"—the latest now today, probably tomorrow "open agents"—is the winning combination when striving for personal agency, personal liberty, for taking control, in the information age we live in.
What else is there? My personal life controlled by a MegaCorp, or a MegaState, for whom I'm less than an ant? They could squash me and not notice. That's how big the power disparity is. So the appeal to "open everything" to redress in parts that imbalance, seems reasonable and understandable to me.
I'm always surprised by how obscure the foundational ideas of the Internet remain—especially to people who've grown up entirely within it. Just yesterday met an eager earnest student (opining on "ai safety") that was born and has grown in the lands of the Internets. And yet—he'd never heard of GNU or @fsf or the ideas of Richard Stalman! This seems like living in a market economy, yet being unaware of markets. Maybe that's a shape a victory takes—becoming ideology, "unknown knowns", water to the fish swimming in it.
I've yet to meet a normie who realizes the Personal Computer revolution, the Internet revolution, and now the AI revolution were all kicked off by mildly autistic, mostly altruistic nerds—for almost no expected compensation, just the joy and glory of creation.
Quote
Damien Ma @damienics · Mar 22
What's the best explanation you've heard for why China is leaning so hard into open source? It's now an official position from the foreign ministry apparently.
6:19 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903850316002373645
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's the verdict? Was it a case they were embarrassed by what had happened, they had missed red flags warning signs, failed to protect the president? And to cover that incompetence, they had to obfscute, deflect etc? And that covering gave rise to a whole conspiracy industry?
4:44 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903808862152520081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open source, open weights, open thoughts - now latest - is the winning combination when striving for personal liberty, taking control, in the information age we live in.
What's else is there? My personal life controlled by a MegaCorp, or a MegaState, for whom I'm less than an ant? They could squash me and not notice. That's how big the power disparity is.
I'm always shocked how little known the ideas that underpin Internet are. Just yesterday had an eager ernest student (opining on "ai safety") that was born and has grown in the lands of the Internets, yet never heard of GNU or
@fsf
or the ideas of Richard Stalman.
have yet to meet a normie, that is not completely oblivious to the fact, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation.
1:59 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903804948946501634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember discovering Brazilian TV series on Netflix ay some point some years ago.
(or Amazon Video? could have been both-stumbled serendipitously on one, then looking for similar on the other)
The TV channels of my childhood would never carry such niche content for us. In Brazil locally latter I learned the series were not unknown if not exactly massive hits. Their quality was not in doubt, even imo.
1:44 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903766623799988490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mine have evolved into thematic long threads. At some point I start a new one, and copy & paste some context from the old thread. Got about 6-10 going now for some time. Guess about tallies with personal global interests?
I guess in the extreme it would be a branching tree. "I" at root, branches getting longer... "thicker" might be better abstraction? Then, at some point a branch branches. Either in two branches of about equal width. Or small branch sprouts sideways starting very thin compared to the main one. (that's much thicker.)
They keep growing as new stuff is added at the ends. I rarely have doubts which one to extend with a new query. I guess that would be one sign of "too much branching": if one is unsure, is not immediately obvious, which branch to extend.
11:11 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903762844698431603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😁 - yep, true that; hence there being one @RickRubin, not one thousand of them; obligatory vibe bible canon vid
rick-rubin-confidence-in-my-taste-ability-to-express-what-I-feel.mp4
10:56 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903759964218253486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
from macedonia, living in the united kingdom
10:45 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903754078896652661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Half is a-plenty! :-) Better than all the alternatives tried.
Truth is—research is super expensive. People never hear about all the technologies that never panned out even after decades of investment. What "did not pan out" means—people working on for many years, payed wages, and then nothing to show for it.
Another way of saying: it's an uncertain business. May pan out, or may not. Every time applying for research grants, it felt fake, it felt a lie, having to answer "write down what you will discover in the 3 years". Well—if I already knew, it means it was discovered already. Not current Research then!
(afaik - people got around by saying "I will discover in 3 years", portions of what they already discovered in the past 3 years; plus a bit of vague hopium on top)
10:21 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903583749909909953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—on the topic, both educational and entertaining too! 😆 With TC on "... 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words world record" 😂 in "The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy" (@ 6') by Ha-Joon Chang
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=360s
youtube.com
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
11:05 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903512835977572751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Very good! 👍 Fwiw there's a book "Code Reading: The Open Source Perspective" by Diomidis Spinellis @CoolSWEng about this. Maybe of help to people. Agreed most people spend most of the time reading not writing. (yet reading is rarely taught formally)
6:23 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903465039194919266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Yes agreed that would be reasonable. Also where possible, if possible, to try for staggered holidays sessions. If/where the downsides are not too bad.
3:13 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903437559167947202
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - blessem. My mum b.1934 got her to use email (pine) and Unix talk utility for interactive chat in 1998! (when there was barely any Internet) So I cut her a lot of slack 😇
It still amazes me their thinking about other things though. (not strictly tech) For example, reading something on FB. "Mum, when you see it, it simply means someone, someone exactly like yourself, wrote what they think about something, and want to tell the world. That's it. Doesn't mean anything else. Doesn't mean it's true, doesn't mean it's false. It's exactly as if yourself wrote on FB what you think of that same thing."
1:24 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903433384883278291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - @rickygervais jokes on this are golden, the cases of "I don't want your f*cking guitar lessons", and "why are you tweeting at me" 😂😂
https://youtube.com/watch?v=L3dxMGzt5mU
Or when a boomer mum reads a FB post, and mutters "why is my Friend writing this to me?" (narrator: she is not writing to you, but to the world in general; you are part of that world-that's why the message gets to you-but not the the only part)
Maybe simply people not examining their lives, stuck in a "me, myself and I" baby-like stage? Not separated the "I" from "not-I" (=the world at large) that we all start as/with at birth? (could say-our death is the ultimate separation there)
youtube.com
Ricky Gervais Humanity - Guitar Lessons
Ricky on people getting offended by internet commentary.Copyright Netflix 2018 - https://www.netflix.com/nz/title/80189653
1:07 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903398946652966943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It gets better honest. M2 mbp for the 96gb ram and gpu/npu recently. After lifetime of ThinkPads + Xubuntu. Yes pain to start with-but. Between iTerm2, $ brew install, back to bash (from default), git, and ask Gemini incessantly for shortcuts etc the most basic of stuff (*not* trying to figure out for myself - ask 1st) - it got better rapidly. Now I loathe to look at my old ThinkPads screens.
10:50 AM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903227077203046767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtev73r-B8S3puAlkmLhYmryqFHIlDwD
youtube.com
RAMBO AMADEUS / O TUGO JESENJA 1988
11:27 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903210933339689155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
are maybe millenials that are children of the boomers?? 😶 (doubling down stereotypes there -yack 😬)
10:23 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903152611005698125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - so much to ponder there. The environmental groups are semi-religious cults. In the extremes (the jailed guy) "if lots of people have to die, so they will die".
"They Silenced Me When I Asked Questions" - How Activist Groups Ignore New Solutions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCZTEmfrQZg
youtube.com
"They Silenced Me When I Asked Questions" - How Activist Groups...
The Institute for Economic Affairs presents a panel discussion on "Not Invented Here" exploring why pressure groups often reject practical solutions to probl...
6:31 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903148961914831070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, peak X experience. 😂 Seems we got an "experienced online activist" in thread, one "Ray @ killclifffc", using the tactic of "reply with nonsense & block the poster you reply to, so they can't reply back". Didn't know such cretins existed still? 😅 What a find!
6:17 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903145378867769506
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No thanks. Water and health - you want them, you create them. I don't owe you water and healthcare. And neither do you owe me water and healthcare.
6:03 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903106160170881083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH - 2 kids, certainty to have enough for food on the table, and roof over our heads. (*certainty* being the operative word there) Abundance is great, but if it can be lost with 3 months notice - then not so great.
3:27 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903101012384080183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Damn!! The 2nd time today being reminded of this interview?! wtaf
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cVr2Qp_ic8
youtube.com
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down in-person with author and podcaster, Michael Malice. They discuss his latest book, “The White Pill.” From this they explore ...
3:06 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903091992130650619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Didn't know any of that, completely ignorant of the country and everything Taiwan tbh. Sounds like the case of - voters got what they voted for, "good and hard". Thanks for educating me!
(never not a good day for a dose of Mencken, haha -
"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.")
2:31 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903083595763216502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...reminded of a @michaelmalice interview/podcast I listened just yesterday about the Soviet Union
https://youtu.be/3cVr2Qp_ic8?si=ewiW7HiKGnA805iG
(binge listening having YT algo serendipitly discover him to me)
youtube.com
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down in-person with author and podcaster, Michael Malice. They discuss his latest book, “The White Pill.” From this they explore ...
1:57 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903080125345763380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 who needs putin assassins when dunderheaded innumerate millibands are equal opportunity providers
1:43 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903078195403874529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly. And you have no *right* to that. They provided all that voluntary, of their own volition. Believe it or not. No one put a gun to their head, and forced them to it. Miracles of life, eh?
1:36 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903076153524432923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember when SORN (Statutory Off Road Notification) was introduced in law (or came into force), someone mentioned:
"This is a rare piece of legislation, where one can break this law, by doing nothing. By just sitting at home doing nothing, one breaks the law."
It struck me as a good principle - a good law should not be broken by inactivity, by doing nothing imo. Yes exceptions exists, yes rules of thumb can be broken.
But imo - can be broken with a good reason only. And the law that brought SORN looks to me as breaking a good principle, but without a good reason.
1:28 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903057848919113762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true that. You are completely right. Usually there are at least 2 sides on every issue, even from a high level view. And zooming in, one usually finds half a dozen sub-groups each pushing in whichever way.
12:15 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903057042056810674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Step 1. Detach from the real world, become completely un-bound from reality. Step 2. Construct alternative reality as per your primal wishes. Step 3. ???
I can't figure the Why in the step 3. One would have to speculate the psychology, the state of mind of people doing it. Rational analysis does not suffice.
Drama, maybe comedy can shed light? The "guitar for sale" joke by @rickygervais 😂 Or like when on X, random people being shown some post of his, think *he* wrote to them *personally*, and get angry. ("why are you telling me this??") Like when a boomer mum reads a FB post, and mutters "why is my Friend writing this to me?" (narrator: she is not writing to you, but to the word in general; you are part of that world, but not the the only part)
Parliament is younger though. Maybe millennial children to boomer parents?? 😶 IDK. One can only resort so stereotypes at this point. The "me, myself and I" generations, where a baby has not quite grown up, not separated the "I" from "not-I" (=the world at large) that it starts as at birth.
Anyways. It's a spectacle, it's collective. Looks a mass psychosis of some sort. A "mind virus" even! 😱
12:12 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903029233003180366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When? Put a (date,number) on your forecast.
If you can't—then it's "Never".
10:21 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903028717091229837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a wilfully stupid take. I have learned by now that wilful stupidity is not low IQ or lacking rational reasoning, but bad bad morals. bye
10:19 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903027786480058683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it possible people shutting them down, are US supported, if not outright US agents? E.g. the green movement in Europe was supported secretly by the Soviet Union. Even if it is a genuine movement addressing genuine grievances that would exist even without that support.
10:15 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903027021199896904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can read say stats about the real world on OWID if you want to know. They collect and collate data collected from reputable UN and national statistics agencies in a easily digestible comparison graphs.
Doomer thinking is not only unproductive, but leads towards a stalin levels of insanity. If one starts with "8B will die in near future, with absolute 100% certainty". Then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a moral imperative. (.e.g one needs to delete 4B of us people Thanos-style, to save the other 4B)
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
10:12 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903023321588838416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cheer up. No tragedy has happened in the real world. So not real. "In ones head" is by definition "not real". Again, "The implications" - these exist in your head, not in the real world.
9:58 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903016403117945106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂 thanks 🙏
(non native speaker less constrained, usually for the worse, but not always)
9:30 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903015412721238321
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This implication is in your mind. It's not the only possible implication
> Implicit behind all the national accounting flap is the assumption that additional economic production will be summoned up, if we can get the accounting right.
9:26 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903014684401279075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's implied in your mind. But not in everyone else's.
That same "will deny the premise is true, for I hate the consequences" (that I infer, imagine) is what also drives the denial with the goldbugs, and cryptos people. One would expect with them being directly interested in the mechanics of the monetary system (and in general - the finance side), to at least know the mechanics of the current fiat system.
They imagine the consequences to be - Gosplan! They recoil in horror, and proceed to deny the premises. Now I'm not saying there are zero people who are indeed attracted to the premise, b/c they are attracted to the Gosplan consequence. The world is a big place. All sorts of people. Some will be wanting Central Planning of the economy.
My point is - that doesn't necessarily follow from the premises. Yes one of the things possible - but other things are possible too. Got reminded again with the fun spectacle 😁 recently of Musk discovery of "dozen computers that just credit dollars into recepients accounts out of thin air!" bombshell. 😂
(2ndary point: with all the consolidation cartelization monopoly power in all industries we have witnessed in our lifetimes - are we sure the system isn't already half descended into a Gosplan?)
9:23 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903007310835749068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Related. Listened to @michaelmalice yesterday (binge listening him for few days having YT algo serendipitly discover him to me) on a podcast about the Soviet Union.
https://youtu.be/3cVr2Qp_ic8?si=ewiW7HiKGnA805iG
Even a well prepared enthusiastic interviewer kept missing the last step or two of some ingeniously devised totally evil torture scheme. MM had to interject more than once to explain the coup de grâce. ("ah, but you see not only was pain inflicted this way, but additional suffering follow-up that way")
The most I like about him is - the white pill! The evil in the end did collapse, despite all forecasts to the contrary. While we live - there's hope.
youtube.com
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down in-person with author and podcaster, Michael Malice. They discuss his latest book, “The White Pill.” From this they explore ...
8:54 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903000121614184697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well there is always tension, that's why 1 vote in 4 years, MP is not a simple pass through conduit of the wishes of the constituents, but has to synthesise the best for 1) them, 2) him, and 3) the country. That's why e.g. US a Republic - b/c the demos can be plenty bad, do plenty wrong too.
We have the California example where putting everything to popular vote gave them rule so dysfunctional, that people are fleeing the richest state in the US. There is also the case of Switzerland where devolved power works better it seems.
Imo it's not so much up or down, left or right - but smart v.s. stupid. The decision making judged by the results. Quangos were seemingly made for a world where not much change happens, no fast reactions needed. Now we are in a fast changing world. The old system does not suffice, it's falling short.
My favourite hobby horse is Radical Transparency. Imo much more about the inner workings of government bureaucracy needs to be open, avilable online for all to read. ("with enough eyes, all bugs are shallow.") These are gargantuan systems of people, rules, procedures etc. The sooner it's seen what's obv wrong in the process, the sooner a chance to remedy.
8:25 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902993942896922759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The idea that there is some "objective" criteria leading to "objective" decision which is "the best" was always convenient fiction to hide narrow interests behind the "objective". Oldest trick in the book. "I'm not ideological. It just so happens what benefits me is objective, even natural order of things."
The experts are there to give advice, not to decide. Given power to decide—well the experts pursue their own interests. Who wold have known? They are only people. Coupled with surprisingly badly though out legislation leading to "team bat, team newt" but no "team human"?? (let's see if things improve when AI Lawyer v3 comes online 🙃 )
All in all—ends with quangos becoming a case of "good servant, bad master". It was too convenient for a while to pretend. Yeah time to "take back control", haha. We have all become brexiteers now. 😂
8:01 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902991159619661935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good piece. You identified the problem. Politicians have responsibility without power. Quangos have power without responsibility. Responsibility is the feedback part of exercising power given to you by the demos. By separating the two, the feedback mechanism was broken. That's why it seems the country is on autopilot, not responding to the wishes of the electorate. Because the mechanism to do so has been broken.
You must abolish OBR, abolish Sentencing Council, and then bunch of others, if you want to do stuff as per your election promises. TBS if this LAB government has that in them. IDK what's the issue with KS just abolishing them with a stroke of a pen in a single day. Will LAB MPs bring down the gov and force elections? Unlikely I think. MPs are cognisant half of them will not be re-elected if new elections were held tomorrow.
7:50 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902865324526993499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I take no pleasure writing this, but: non evil person is unfortunately not able to come up with sufficiently evil stuff, even after effort, that a malevolent evil person will come up within seconds and without much effort.
Listened to .@michaelmalice on a podcast about the Soviet Union today. Even a well prepared interviewer kept missing the last step or two of some ingeniously devised torture scheme. MM had to interject more than once to explain the coup de grâce.
11:30 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902833870233366812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry, maybe I misunderstand: there is no counter-argument. As I had not watched the video yet when commenting. As mentioned - could not watch it but still decided to comment as the open source nature of R1 is a bit of a hobby horse of mine, couldn't help myself. (was in a pub after a walk on a sunny day, couldn't play the video; English countryside pic below to brighten your day maybe).
After watching now - yes the video does not make a big deal out of the "open source, open weights, open thoughts" of R1. That imo was the big deal, on par with the performance. For if the release was just another closed model to chat or API with, like ChatGPT or Claude or Gemini, maybe would have been a sensation (given o1 was the only thinking model then), but not a game changer. I think the open aspect of it was a total game changer, as it spawned a new ecosystem.
Also I heard no mention of the "week of open source releases" (done recently) when DeepSeek open sourced 6 crucial components of their tech stack. Imo they have all been well received. But 1 of the 6, the RL algorithm used, has been taken on used by others, inspired them, who used it and improved it. And thus spawned a mini revolution in thinking models. Before R1 release, IDK how many people even thought RL was possible or practical. Basically how o1 was trained was a mystery.
9:25 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902758293145112858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dislike commenting before watching, but: if DeepSeek didn't release "open source, open weights, open thoughts" it would have been a nothingburger. It's the open angle that's spawned an ecosystem building up now.
FB Lamma was the initial chink in the armour, opening in the "close everything" doom descending on us with the AI age. But DeepSeek V3 and R1 especially was the game changer that opened the floodgates.
Releasing their prop secrets and especially RL recepies truly cemented the change. Irreversible now, despite what Darios of the world say or want having crossed over to the dark side.
A single ray of light suffices to illuminate vast darkness. A single amber starts a new flame. 🔥 Could not be prouder of a fellow quant, 😍 the other side of the world. 🌎 Kudos to them.
4:25 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902749471751966936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Note you saying Democracy. The system of DemoCracy (=rule of the demos) is means to an end. Not an end in itself. If Radical Transparency facilitied a somewhat different system, while still delivering on people's desires wishes hopes for themselves and their children - I see nothing wrong there.
I suspect Radical Transparency for State, Government etc buroucracy is the direction of travel. It takes feedback to keep a gargantuan system on the straight and narrow. So it's both needed, and made possible by the IT and communications technologies.
Previous-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625
3:50 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902740647280341486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naah. Biology is not like physics where a single equation written on one page of paper suffices. Even there - half the heavy lifting is provided by mathematics.
Biology is a weak general rule + million of edge cases. Before computers, there was simply no way to record that million. Now with computers biologists can. With AI that's moved to encoding then transforming that knowledge into something useful we care to achieve.
3:14 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902737834978541785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well then I invite you to continue thinking critically, and take the next logical step on your journey: why?? Why is the UK pricing system the way it is?
Having said that. I'd encourage you to check discussions on the issue of UK energy, pricing etc on Reddit. Conference forum is better more productive media format for discussion.
Thanks for the care about wasting words. Worry not please - I have more words where that came from, e.g.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902433744008450314
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902350683858169933
3:03 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902684695881515175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Hahaha - even more wholesome! 🥰 Tablets from 4K years ago, boring accounting spreadsheets, not only are noticed and raise interest, but even excite spirits enough for people to fight over to correct get it exactly right! Awesome 😇
11:32 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902675783291691490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - kindred spirit. 😅 Agreed again! Yes makes sense for intelligent signal processing to happen with subsidiarity: at the lowest level where there is enough information for a decision to be made. And continue at multiple levels up. At this point I'd point at
@drmichaellevin
but I'm guessing you're already aware of his work.
10:57 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902671453490737378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! :-) Agreed. (didn't wan't to elaborate)
Related pet hypothesis: there is not much going in the gut, or the heart etc. It's all in the brain. There is cross-talk in the neurons (the way for there is for the word "hot", and hot food, if I recall correctly): we feel butterflies in the stomach, because some processing related to signals coming from the stomach, happens in neurons close by in the brain, to the neurons processing say risk or uncertainty or danger etc. Or love feelings being processed by neurons close by to ones processing signals communicating with the heart.
10:39 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902665076357693735
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Procrastination. Employ someone to do the tasks for you if you possibly can, TaskRabbit style. For tasks involving a computer typing on keyboard - I try use AI agents nowdays. If programming, even when not strictly faster, I find it to be less boring with company. AI programming agents are cheap or even free, find them totally worth it.
Not being solo all alone with the boring task - it should become easier to do. Same for not computer stuff - seek company. Boring task becomes less boring when done in company of someone else, not doing it alone. Even when that someone else is AI agent.
Having said that. If I found myself being bored to death by everything I am to do today—I would be re-examing my life choices. What do I want to work on, how do I want to live my life. But once in a while—I find it fine. Not everything is super exciting every single day.
Quote
Adam Grant @AdamMGrant · 18h
Procrastination is not a time management problem. It’s an emotion management problem.
You’re not avoiding work. You’re avoiding tasks that feel boring, frustrating, or stressful.
Postponing prolongs pain. The dread of starting is quickly outweighed by the joy of progressing.
Show more
10:14 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902656438838669539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a good observation by @michaelmalice (who I'm binge listening to for few days now, having YT algo serendipity do it's job well) that black pilled people hate and will pounce on a single while pilled person. B/c a single while pilled out there is a danger, it ruins their world view.
When the world view is "*everything* is bad, everything is shit", then a single person piping up "akshually this one thing improved" repudiates the *everything*. That one crack letting single ray of light into the darkness, destroys the whole worldview system. So this one voice can't be allowed to exist.
9:40 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902654070315217352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Employ someone to do the tasks for you if you possibly can, TaskRabbit style. If involving computers typing on keyboard try some agents. If programming even if not strictly faster, it will be less boring in company! It may become easier to do.
Same for not computer stuff - seek company! Boring task becomes less boring when done in company of someone else, not doing it alone. Even when that someone else is AI agent.
9:30 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902577722162847853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and what's your experience with conflict resolution? When editing the same file on multiple devices, if say if it didn't manage to sync to latest, and two versions develop that need to be merged?
I do get merge conflicts sometimes with my manual logBook under git. I am thrown into the editor to resolve, choose and edit, them commit . A chore, but have not lost any changes ever. (so far)
thanks 🙏
4:27 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902548384939991088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but it's incredibly expensive in energy, time, effort, mind share, etc. That's why we pattern match think with our gut: it's so so much cheaper. Replacing true/false re/peated/search with like/dislike must be 100 times cheaper. So much easier on us.
2:30 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902513584661250175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But where does the single file live? I'm in the single file camp. Git sync-ing via push merge etc works good, no fear of losing changes. Fwiw not a comfortable experience on a mobile. (non iPhone)
Standard but at home ~/logBook ascii text file as in any project. Entry starts as ^-(space), ends in empty line, searchable in vim. New entries added at top, pushing oldies down. Sections FIXME TODO DONE DONTDO. Entries move from TODO into DONE wholesale without further editing. Entries in TODO for long enough are moved into DONTDO without ceremony. (can always move them back) No adding to TODO while FIXME is non-empty without a good reason.
12:12 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902496729791877443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI brain prothesis? Usually it's lack of morals. People willfully stupid are not lacking IQ or rational thinking machinery. (only small number are strictly retarded) They are lacking in morals. They are immoral. What we see as bad or even evil, they see as good.
11:05 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902493785713447193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am curious to learn: why do you want to impoverish do harm to millions of your fellow citizens, by doing something that will make zero difference to your life? (or even maybe make small difference for the worse)
What is your thinking, what are you feeling, what's going on your head etc. Do you mind articulating publicly? It's an interest of mine. This specific case of "causes harm to others for no personal gain".
10:53 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902486485557014823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good listen . @michaelmalice Michael Malice: "You Have No Idea How Bad Things Could Get" https://youtu.be/LQJy_7C8Gts?si=h2CAMz30tzDHj21j via @YouTube by @triggerpod youtube.com
Michael Malice: "You Have No Idea How Bad Things Could Get"
💥Join us on our Journey to 1 Million Subscribers💥 SPONSORED BY: Manscaped. Get 20% off and free shipping when you use the code TRIGGER20 at https://www.man...
10:24 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902462298494574603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - maybe we will get an AI Politician be one of the applications of our new AI overlords. Have AI replace politicians job. We know already that people that want to do those jobs, are bad fits for the jobs. Usually good fits are people that don't want the job a politician. But maybe circumstances force that on them. Have good AI replace presidents, ministers, governments.
8:48 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902457343738052856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The know nothings that are the new rulers are at first annoying. But in their crass ignorance, their antics are even becoming tiny bit simpatico by now? 😳 At some point when forced into a tight spot by a question, now I half expect her to flash her titties at the audience to shut them up gasping, mischievously distract them dead-cat style. 😂
Like a revolutionary rag-tag army of rebels taking over after breakdown of prior regime. Taliban juggling kalashnikovs and computer keyboards in a ministry in Kabul. Revolutionaries making up with frantic energy that what they lack in knowledge or experience. Fireworks incoming for the foreseeable future.
8:29 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902433744008450314
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish I knew of a way to immunise the society and public discussion from the malign influence of doomers. It's too easy for doomers to take over! We see it in the public policy in energy, and also AI. The AI case is not the exception but the rule, replayed with every new tech. (c.f. @PessimistsArc)
We are wired that way, to pay great attention to the possible risks. Subsequently, false alarms where the dangers didn't pan out, are forgotten and memory holed straight to /dev/null.
The alternative history where the society would have been, the opportunity loss, is usually not given much thought. In the long run, this opportunity cost of opportunities lost, matters a lot!
When one start from a thesis that 8B will die at some point in the future, with absolute 100% certainty, say by 2125. Then if a solution exists, but needs to delete 4B of us people Thanos-style, to save the other 4B, that policy becomes not only morally just, but even a moral imperative!
This is stalin-level-insanity line of thinking doomers engage in. It's how deaths cults work. No one starts with "I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey". No - it's always for saving of humanity. Lesser evil, means justifying ends, etc - to save something that will be lost in the far future.
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know anything about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
Quote
https://x.com/James_BG/status/1902300288079303144
James Murray @James_BG · 9h
The Times here calling for a "debate" on whether the UK should just give up on net zero and instead chill out about a century of rolling climate crises, rising sea levels, and fast growing risks of collapsing food systems and biblical levels of migration. https://thetimes.com/comment/the-times-view/article/kemi-badenoch-has-been-a-blast-of-fresh-air-on-net-zero-v9pgxk8mp
Show this thread
6:55 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902412351745278005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's the plan? Barriers, restrictions to export of capital? Or not? - free movement of capital as now, but you make currently unattractive places, attractive? - but how?
5:30 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902381309630050695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are the boomers parents to the millennials?? (generationally, generally)
3:27 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902363005003628627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Third option: they have other priorities. They prioritise something else more. In the US case: the economy. The economy for the vast number of Americans didn't deliver as per their desires. So they voted for change.
The institutions, democracy, how people are governed - that's means to and end. Not the end itself. "How" matters less to people than their personal well being. (or even "life, liberty, pursuit of happiness").
If an authoritarian dude says "it's bad, I will fix it" he will win over the institutionalist that messages "it's mostly fine, and that other guy is going to be Caesar". And if the newly elected Caesar manages to turn things around fr, (unlikely - but not impossible,) then he will be crowned king for life by the plebs.
(if this is the real person from many years ago: thanks for gifting SPtr from your relisoft days, saved me from myself more than once over decades)
2:14 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902358993139359926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but in the UK only. While in all those other countries using that very same gas, from that very same "single world market for gas" (haha 😆), in those countries the same did not happen over the same time period. Riiight - that is totally plausible. (narrator - Not!)
FT and good portion of innumerate wordcels running the UK are engaged in magical thinking. Unicorns chasing rainbows, while waiting for their favourite hobby horse to materalize to save them from the consequences of their own actions. 😂
A unique feat of policy making there: designed to defeat the very same policy! For it is ushering Farage MP as PM in 3 years time as we are writing this. Who will then promptly cancel the very same policy. 😂
Has to be seen to believed. A bunch of PPE people groomed for governing, will govern themselves into their own oblivion. The Dumb and the Dumber level stuff, blind leading the blind. What spectacle, total scenes. 😂
1:58 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902350683858169933
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When you start from a thesis that 8B will die at some point in the future, with absolute 100% certainty. (say 2125 is end of the world for you maybe? IDK what it's your forecast.) Then if a solution exists, but needs to delete 4B of us Thanos-style, to save the other 4B, then it becomes not only morally just, but even a moral imperative, to do so.
This is stalin-level-insanity line of thinking you are engaging in. It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey. No-it's always for saving of humanity. Lesser evil means justify ends to save something that will be lost in the far future.
The error of your thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know anything about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (and maybe themselves too) One very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty."
Although with yourself and those around you, revealed preferences tilt more towards "difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it." For if you really believed in your "end of times" catastrophizing, you'd be building shelters down salt mines, or rockets to other planets.
For whatever measures you propose, will do zilch, nothing, for the thing you fear. Possible explanations to reconcile ideas and actions may involve psychotic do nothing bed wetter, a grifting grifter suckling at that sweat, sweat government tit, caring not for driving millions into poverty in the process.
No change will happen with the current CO2 trajectory. Even if UK sank today in the ocean and you achieved your net zero goal by dinnertime. We had 1C warming in the past 80 yrs. The world has never been in better shape looking at OWID consolidated graphs. All things considered, and compared to the recent past. In a century by 2125, Manchester England may end with the average temperature that Milan Italy has today.
1:25 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902338630300885036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fantastic achievement! 🚀🎊 Kudos 👏 to you for kick starting the open weights. 💪 Long it may continue. Open thoughts next? 🙏😉
12:37 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902336876842782795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happens even to the best. 😆
What's the current stereotype for this? Which groups should we stereotype? Boomer parents and their millennial offspring?
Awaiting instructions from the Oh Thou Ever Wisest the Internets. 😂
12:30 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902326756645671206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank. Using LMStudio on mbp m2 96gb ram.
MLX 6bit - works now, whereas it didn't previously.
GGUF Q6_K - used to get error in "Template (Jinja)" in GUI. Your change fixes that - thanks! However, on query the model crashes, and I get no response to a prompt.
11:50 AM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902216652831264974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Team human - when?
It's been more than a decade. Closing coal was a great success. Pocket that win, and move on. Given the state of the world, UK could sink in the ocean achieve Net 0 overnight, and it will make 0 difference to anything climate related.
The energy policy is causing immiseration to millions now. My local CoOp in one of the well off towns in SE England is now locking toothpaste and gaviscone on the shelves in plastic boxes. If you don't scrap your the ill thought energy policy soon, in 3 years the newly elected PM Farage will get rid of it for sure anyway.
Rarely can one see slow motion self own shooting oneself in the foot in real time. The energy policy is the textbook definition of stupid "one causing loss and suffering to others, for no gain to themselves or even a small loss".
Tbf I think you will not change in time. Have yet to see a politician that's not an egomaniac or psychologicaly damaged in some way. Bothering to write this only b/c can't get to sleep. And b/c it's painfully obvious to all outsiders that policy change is a must.
4:32 AM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902173685437341785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only video streaming platform I pay money for. To get almost everything humanity has to offer. Good deal. Once they start showing me ads, will have to think what next. Hopefully by that time you cheapskates would have built up some alternative. 😆
1:42 AM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902119534338961876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No innovation needed. France did it half a century ago. Do as they did, or get lost. No one wants to pay for your hobby horses, so you continue chasing unicorns under rainbows. UK must stop you abusing the public purse. Your insane policies are driving millions into poverty.
10:06 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902097262064304509
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If Merkel were groomed/sleeper agent—what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
The swooning of the liberal elite over this non-entity squared disaster was the cherry on the top.
8:38 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902091894575825340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that is about normal for mid-March, or well within normal variation? ChatGPT does not make silly mistakes like this tbh.
8:17 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902058804595863840
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no clean green economy booming of the kind that is your hobby horse—the unreliables.
There is clean green economy booming the other side of the English channel—France!! They solved their clean and green problem with reliables—nuclear. Given France-anything is supposed to be to the English elite what red rag is to a bull, I hoped people come to their senses. You are half a century behind. What you are angling for is not catching up-to the contrary.
You are free to pursue your personal jollies at you own expense. *Not* abusing the public purse. R&D is very very expensive. The cost of getting it wrong is massive. That cost is payed by *immiseration* of millions. TBH I'm amazed how patient Great British public is with you dunderheads. In many countries your arse will be hanging off a stick by now.
In UK we are finding the cost of R&D by trial&error by incompetent elites out at our expense. Elites have the duty of care and doing their homework to the utmost of their abilities. Not chasing their personal hobby horses like unicorns after rainbow.
Quote
James Murray @James_BG · Mar 17
Net zero is not impossible. It may well be improbable and it is definitely very, very difficult. But it’s not impossible. Badenoch is positioning herself as a teller of hard truths while saying something that is not technically true. https://businessgreen.com/news/4410968/mistake-kemi-badenoch-slammed-decision-drop-support-uk-net-zero-target
6:05 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902058293972844665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no clean green economy booming of the kind that is your hobby horse—the unreliables.
There is clean green economy booming the other side of the English channel—France!! They solved their clean and green problem with reliables—nuclear. Given France-anything is supposed to be to the English elite what red rag is to a bull, I hoped people come to their senses. You are half a century behind. What you are angling for is not catching up-to the contrary.
You are free to pursue your personal jollies at you own expense. *Not* abusing the public purse. R&D is very very expensive. The cost of getting it wrong is massive. That cost is payed by *immiseration* of millions. TBH I'm amazed how patient Great British public is with you dunderheads. In many countries your arse will be hanging off a stick by now.
In UK we are finding the cost of R&D by trial&error by incompetent elites out at our expense. Elites have the duty of care and doing their homework to the utmost of their abilities. Not chasing their personal hobby horses like unicorns after rainbow.
6:03 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902002844972024266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you high? Or you being delusional? OMG
There is no clean green economy booming of the kind that is your hobby horse—the unreliables.
There is clean green economy booming the other side of the English channel—France!! They solved their clean and green problem with reliables—nuclear.
You are half a century behind them and the times. For my sake I hope you do catch up sooner rather than latter.
2:23 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901974428738600989
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not if one needs lots of RAM. I got 2nd hand M2 MBP for the 96GB of RAM, supplanting previous Linux Thinkpad 64GB RAM 4TB SSD. Addressing the lack of disk space with external 4TB NVME. (with TB5 would have been perfect)
Between MacOS being Unix, $ brew install, and building local $ git clone github, zero complaints whatsoever. What joy to use! Liking this little device enough to be grinning ear-to-ear on contact with a computer again. 🥰
12:30 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901969942531985578
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - you don't know. No one can know, just by a number like "41%". For numbers like "one in six", "41% of the species" to acquire meaning, you are to compare them, to similar numbers, as they were 20-30-50-100 years ago.
I would forward you to sources like aggregates of reputable data coming from UN, national agencies etc collected, collated and nicely presented in Our World in Data, or books like Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About The World - And Why Things Are Better Than You Think by the late Rosling—but I won't. I have learned my lessons. Concluded that it's between futile and counterproductive. If someone is driven to find truths about the world around us—they find them themselves. And for those that are not—well that's it, no one can help much.
12:12 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901962055164326257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So that you spend significant portion of your life working, rather than spend your time watching daytime TV and producing nothing of value to society. (or even to yourself) That's the reason.
Federal government don't need your dollars (why would they? you don't create those dollars—they do) any more than a cinema theatre needs the ticket you show and hand it to them, at the entrance to the cinema.
11:41 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901960734512128150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha - and state is that, in your opinion?
In my opinion - the state of the world, as depicted on the OWID graphs, is not great, not terrible, can get better. But in general the world is unlikely to end soon. (barring - astroid impact, nuclear war, another pandemic etc)
11:35 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901942140231430406
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is awesome you are awesome thanks for releasing open weights! 😍
Do you plan on releasing a tiny version, that we use as crutch in speculative decoding? In LMStudio for Gemma-3 27B I have the 4B version to point LMStudio to for speculative decoding. Or maybe some other open weights tiny model is compatible with QwQ-32B for speculative decoding? (but LMStudio doesn't know is not telling me when I select QwQ-32Bl; tbf I have not bothered to measure if plugging in the smaller model and turning on speculative decoding helps in the final analysis for {speed,performance} in total; this on MBP M2 LMStudio)
Thanks again for making the world a better place. 🥰
Always—"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt", or as is in the language of the future not the past-
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
10:21 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901938073945940214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
team human getting a hearing, in addition to team bat and team newt - good
10:05 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901935943029801277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of the 3 mentioned—on price, mature tech, 100% reliability—only nuclear can be done, is done, and was done. And with France solving the problem half a century ago, and given France-anything is supposed to be to English elite what red rag is to a bull, I hoped people come to their senses.
But no. Jollies like tidal is thrown in there. As if it's ever been done by anyone in the world. R&D is very very expensive. The cost of getting it wrong is massive. As UK we are finding that out at our expense. Elites have the duty of care and doing their homework to the utmost of their abilities. Not chasing their personal hobby horses like unicorns after rainbow.
Quote
Simon Clarke @SirSimonClarke · 4h
There is a sensible way forward.
Conservative voters and leaners want energy to be produced as cheaply as possible, increased energy security, and the creation of new jobs. These voters recognise the role that tidal, nuclear and solar can play in achieving these priorities.
Show this thread
9:57 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901917986337792411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another nothingburger, so everyone will quickly forget our previous catastrophising. As per the usual—forget our errors of judgement.
8:45 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901914934193127695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For anyone in Machine Learning (lately in the news, with all the AI ChatGPT machines breakthroughs), witnessing first hand our children acquiring language(s) is immense privilege. A bona-fide miracle happening in front our eyes in real-time day after day. Unforgettable!
8:33 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901778501469905100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...in crypto lingo, I think of the huge effort and fight that goes into each of the "Appropriation Bill"-s as MINING, that's when it's decided who gets what. Then operationally crediting accounts is ADD, taxation operation is DELETE. (taxes are decided in a different law)
There is also a SWAP operation. When some dollars (that you can swap for milk&eggs; but you get 0 extra for holding them) call them "greenbuck", are swapped 1:1 for anther type call them "bluebuck", (swap duration 1yr=Bill, 5yr=Note, 10yr=Bond,) where the greenbuck holder relinquishing it gets >0 extra (the IR interest rate) greenbucks at the end of the swap period, in a PROOF OF STAKE way. (the extra given out is like UBI for people that already have greenbucks, and voluntarily decide forego exchanging them for milk&eggs for pre-set time; they preference getting extra greenabacks instead of milk&eggs.)
That's 30% of dollars added/deleted. The other 70% of the same is outsource to the commercial banks. They are authorised by the state to do ADD. These are loans given. Instead of the Appropriation Bill in Senate/Congress there is looking for credit worthy customers by the credit officer of the bank. The DELETE operation is repaying back of the loan by the private customer. This is also backed by state monopoly of violence. Service the state provides to its agent—the commercial bank.
Given for the 70% (private side) say for every new 100 minted by loans, 150 is returned over the lifetime of the loans, IDK what happens to the 50 extra. Would dearly like to know! (I suspect it's added to the "bank equity" cell in addition to leaking out as dividends, salaries other costs, but IDK for sure; also suspect bank equity is subtracted from when loan is declared not recoverable; that's a 100 DELETE-ed on the private side; should the total equity go under 0, become negative, the bank is bankrupt; is then killed off by it's creator, ultimately The Fed/regulator)
These things are decided by Law. Then operationally it is Accounting, and lately IT implementing. Note there is little Economics in the process. Economics is a about the other side, the milk&eggs. The greenbuck side of the exchange I think of it as Finance. (my impression from trying to learn is—economists are the ones you should listen the least when trying to learn about the Finance side; they're mostly wrong about it; as if with finance being a mirror image to the economics side, that minus sign there confuses the hell out of them.)
For my money the best presentation & abstraction I know of is "The Landscape of Money" by .@Suitpossum (pic below), on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s. For my taste, abstracting spreadsheets—instead of rings—works as well. It tallies well with reality. Fed owned spreadsheet => only Fed changes numbers up/down there. Fed manages cells names "Reserve", "T-Bill" "Note" "Bond" etc. Likewise, City bank spreadsheet => only City changes numbers up/down, accounts names are "Checking", (in the UK where I'm "Current",) "Saving". The numbers are "City dollars". They stop existing (with the spreadsheet) when City goes bankrupt, is killed off by The Fed, and deleted from the system. The "token rings" with tokens (various dollars) moving on the wires from cell to cell, is visually great abstraction imo.
This is my personal understanding of how things work, pieced together from working in it (for limited time), and reading about it. It's mostly evolved, an ecosystem, where portions are repurposed as the system adapts to the changing environment. (e.g. last big change was becoming not-convertible in gold) There is no central plan or planner. Most people don't know how things work in total. (neither they need to; that's why it lives on—it works, even if most participants don't know how)
State money. For the mechanics of the state money system, you have mmt-ers like .@wbmosler to read. They are correct about the premises of the system. People dismiss the premises, b/c they don't like the conclusion: the central planning GosPlan aspect to it. To my mind, that's doubly wrong. One should not wilfully blind self to the reality. (however unpalatable it maybe.) If you don't like the conclusions like "central planning" (I don't!)—well work on that then. Given the level of monopoly and cartels in the system already (mostly per industry)—maybe it's to a greater extent than we care to admit already centrally planned rn! Admitting to the GosPlan problem is the first step towards changing it, hopefully for the better.
Private (bank) money. Richard Werner has researched and run an observational study (spent time in a bank credit office), and written books and articles https://perplexity.ai/search/princes-of-yen-prof-warner-qiFldXIrS7CsjAIeinMbUg#1 I see there is a web site https://professorwerner.org now. (at some point noticed a "Prof Werner" X acc; I thought an impersonator; then during covid acc went vaxcrazy imo; allow it possible it was the original going "Ignaz Semmelweis"; can see how that happens to a person driven to telling the truth; in an environment hell bent on lying.)
HTH.
8:12 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901759825370918954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah what a bombshell! Federal USG runs a fiat currency called USD! Comedy hour, MAGA stumbling onto the workings of a fiat currency. 😂 Witnessing real-time education—a privilege ngl. 😆 (what did the good senator think happens after the Appropriation Bills votes for years shall remain a mystery.)
Next bombshell incoming: USG does not raid the Tesla shops, does not help itself with paper dollars from their registers. Neither does USG raid their Excel spreadsheets, to take integers out of their cells! 😂 No—USG creates integers OUT OF THIN AIR, 😱 credits the bank balances of say, the US Army members, every month.
Integers all the way down-yay! 🤯 (what a time to be alive)
Quote
https://x.com/tedcruz/status/1901646958806049204
Ted Cruz @tedcruz · 8h
An absolute bombshell from @elonmusk on the latest episode of Verdict.
He reveals there are 14 magic money computers in the federal government that send money out of nothing.
Don’t miss the latest episode of Verdict wherever you get your podcasts. Subscribe now!
Show more
10:17 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901715603250979000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was always thus.
If you think about it - the tenured professorship in the US, where the professor can not be fired, is setup exactly in the way to allow people to speak up their mind. To not be intimidated easily. Yet not many do.
In trading/tech/business there is a concept of "Fuck You Monney". (FYM) When one is financially secure, so they can't be blackmailed to toe the line, bend the knee. Still-many don't make much with that. Most people don't have any particularly strong thoughts of their own. Just go with the flow.
None are silver bullet. People we are so weak willed. We decide to not publicly speak, what we speak privately, for the most trivial of reasons. Like a tenured professor will decide to keep quiet b/c s/he will not be invited to a dinner party. A captain of industry will care that some random journo will write a bad word on him in a random Substack.
Turns out-no matter how much your Maslow needs are taken care of and secure, there is always something to lose. Or fear sth like disapproval of, of disparagement by, people you would rather like you or rate you. Most of the time, the loss is trivial compared to what's at stake.
It's heart breaking. Oft I think of Solzhenitsyn "We know they are lying, they know they are lying, they know we know they are lying, we know they know we know they are lying--and they still lie!" when the issue of truth and speaking it up comes to mind.
7:21 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901706601309851805
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, maybe. But isn't it the case that there is simply too many posts, and not enough eyes? Back of envelope calc. I follow 5K accounts. Each acc writes 1 post a day = 5K posts/day. I login to X. X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts X to show me daily. That's 500 out of possible 5K to be shown. And 4.5K will not be shown. X algo will decide which 500, out of 5K possible, will show me. Any one acc has probability 0.1 to be seen by me. Or I will see 1 post from 1 acc once in 10 days. Am I missing something?
6:46 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901703826832580821
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The power of the truth eh? As long as at least one person remains that has not been bitten into submission, a tiny flame still burning, not extinguished ash heap, hover small-there is still hope. That tiny flame to persevere against the odds, and others may join. Always a chance, even if small. We don't have final proof ofc, just preponderance balance of probabilities. Still. What a hero 🤩 @Ayjchan! Giving example and hope for many for the future.
6:34 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901690509657084362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They don't seem to have a tiny version for speculative decoding. Is maybe some other smaller model compatible or suitable for this purpose?
Do you use speculative decoding yourself at all? What's your experience/verdict?
In LMStudio for Gemma-3 27B I have the 4B version to point LMStudio to for speculative decoding. TBF I have not bothered to measure if plugging in the smaller model and turning on speculative decoding helps in the final analysis for (speed,performance) in total. This is on MBP M2 LMStudio.
5:42 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901628474676158664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You get their eggs, they get your green pieces of paper. Poorer or richer - depends, what do you value more? The eggs, or the green paper?
If it's a free exchange, on the free will, a free decision without duress, on both sides, the fact both sides freely chose the transaction, means both sides value both sides of the transaction exactly the same. That's why the transactions happens. At the levels of eggs (number of), and the green scraps of paper (total sum), at which the exchange happens.
When your household buys eggs from the supermarket, which side benefits more? You, or the supermarket? I think both benefit about equally. Otherwise you would not be buying the eggs, and the super market won't be selling them to you, for the green bucks they exchange them for.
Countries are big places, with millions of people. So when it's said "both countries benefit", does not translate to "every single person in the 100M people that make the country is better off". It's possible some are better off, and some are worse off. It's just that it nets positive in value for the 100M people in the country as a whole. Usually with tariffs, the benefit is small, but accrues to millions of people. While the dis-benefit is large, and accrues to say thousand people.
1:35 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901623865530269901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF I don't care about media coverage as I don't consume any other media but social media. Probably a-typical but also possibly not.
I saw recently on YT a political/related interview where the audience (a very politically engaged one!) was asked "raise your hand if you watch BBC 6pm News Live" and not one hand went up!
I need my representatives to communicate 1:1 to myself. Having the PR office disseminate their information 1:N once a day or a week is a model befitting the pre-Social Media age. That model no longer suffices imo.
I'd look at US, and imo I'd be looking into the future. Something that will happen in the UK in 6-18 months. All old media have lost their audiences. New media audiences dwarf old ones in numbers by an order of magnitude.
1:17 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901619942115438977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like them too. I find it useful that when I read the highlighted words in addition to listening to a lecture, my attention does not drift away, but it's kept on the lecture, on the topic.
(otherwise, when only listening on YT, oft I find myself after 10 mins that I have drifted away thinking about something else not really listening to the lecture.)
Arguably a free user, and I am cognisant that this is taking liberties and looking a gift horse in the mouth. However, if you are looking for feedback on improvements:
1) Make the YT video and the transcript in separate frames or tabs or windows, such that I can still scroll the text down (don't mind that I need to scroll down manually; aids keeping my attention on the lecture tbh), while the video plays at the top of the browser window and I can see the video there. So I have both the video, and the running text highlighter in my view at the same time.
2) Allow for the video to take more of the space at the top of the screen. When watching a lecture like e.g.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=70FhS6NAbuA
...I need to be able to see formulae and graphs etc.
Thanks for creating this, it's most useful.
1:01 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901580450285388053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IR0
10:24 AM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901478626572517783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe, given computer is a thing that does computation. And computation seems to me to be important.
I have personally come to think that information is the most fundamental thing in the universe. And that matter and energy are carriers of information. They in a sense are physical manifestations of information.
Was chuffed to hear the same on a serendipitous youtube algofeed suggest discovery just yesterday-
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
Earlier on "everything a computer" felt like people complaining while to me seems a wholy positive development tbh-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900462765074211214
3:40 AM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901468429724340458
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
UK have heard of evil flex: they have the data, know the right number, don't tell or pre-fill the the box for you, but ask you to fill. Then fine you if you put the wrong number in. Which they detect automatically, knowing what the right number is. Apparently, allegedly - didn't happen to me.
2:59 AM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901401480797589977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - the dude is useless clueless even as propagandist! This is elementary school stuff.
Every propagandist knows. Reality is something outside us, but shared by all of us, as default, and without any effort on our part. At almost zero cost zero effort. Our truth is our view on reality. (reality that remains unknown and unknowable to us.) The closer our truth is to reality, it's easier, cheaper, less effort to communicate that truth to all people.
We see this in dictatorial regimes. The regime has to expend inordinate amount of effort to construct fantastical truths very far from reality. The reality everyone experiences for free by default. The regime has to spend a lot to maintain the fiction.
The dude should think why he needs so much money and effort to be able to communicate his truth.
10:33 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901358650863632555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If Merkel were groomed/sleeper agent—what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
7:43 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901357913727197661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - thanks, I do follow my MP. That suffices for me. We are washed over by a sea of content. If the dear leader was writing his own posts—than maybe wd have given me my time. Last time I checked, looked like a PR team was in charge of his acc—so twas a pass.
7:40 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901342094918332513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on you criticising the government—but when are the @LibDems going to find their teeth? The country is not in a "business as usual" cca 2005 environment. Those days are gone. A multitude of crisis is washing over us. Inaction is not an option.
From outside you look like bunch of toothless sandal wearing hippie OAPS tbh. And this is coming from a voter of yours! (hi @TweetingCollins) I understand this is not in the party DNA, but but—cometh the hour cometh the man. PM @Keir_Starmer is reinventing is premiership in real time, responding to events.
Your party has chance to do better on housing, energy, industry, defence, AI—big issues of the day. Leasehold abolition is the easy win if ever were one for you—given no house builder lavishes their-ahem-"attentions" on your party. Your ideas still look stuck in the local gov potholes fixing. (not that I disparage that—it's needed and honest work, necessary but unfortunately not sufficient)
6:37 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901338279204810986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reality is something outside us, but shared by all of us, without as default, and without any effort on our part. At zero cost, at zero effort. The closer our side's truth, that is our side's view of that reality, (that shall remain forever unknown and unknowable to us,), the close that truth is to reality, it's easier, cheaper, less effort to communicate that truth to all of us humans.
You see this in dictatorial regimes, where the regime has to expend inordinate amount of effort, to construct a truth completely detached from the reality everyone experiences for free by default. The regime has to spend a lot to maintain the fiction. And as time goes by, it's ever harder to band-aid the cracks appearing.
You should think on, why you need so much money and effort to be able to communicate your truth to everyone.
6:22 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901333274128982199
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OT: have you seen this?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
Is there something on Brilliant to teach me what these Q-numbers are? (this looked something that may get into my thick skull after all.) So curious to find some more.
Only quantum-anything that ever made any headway in me is Lecture 9 I'm sorry to report - this one
https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
youtube.com
Decoding quantum reality - with Vlatko Vedral
Explore the deepest quantum questions about the Universe.Watch the Q&A here (exclusively for our Science Supporters): https://youtu.be/sWNv3V3-vDgBuy Vlatko'...
6:02 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901330119404454011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not disagreeing with the need for UK to change policy on energy, but:
For anyone reading: the graph above IS A RESULT OF THE OP PARTY POLICIES OVER 10 YEARS while they were in power until recently.
You do yourself no favours. For until you acknowledge your FAIL-s—it's impossible to take anything you say seriously. Not acknowledging mistakes, is another way of saying: all was well, and in the same circumstances, we will do exactly the same thing again.
No!
5:50 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901316922915917847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I have learned by now that people failing to process words like
> It don't want to fight a war. And don't want my sons to fight one either. Ukraine war is not my war.
...are terminally stupid, *not* in the sense of they have low IQ or inability to to think rationally—no, their rational faculties are just fine. But it's that their morality system is deficient, they are immoral. What they think of good, the rest of us think as bad. And vice versa.
So no amount of my explaining that helping Ukrainians fight their war and win, is going penetrate their shell of immorality. For the benefit of any other users that stumble on this thread this is what I have in mind-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897242881636630947
4:57 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901313892011196739
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was magisterial on part of KK. 👏 Could not agree more with the ideas articulated. And with gems like "woke-left virtue signalling, woke-right vice signalling" 😆 he is spoiling us rotten, ngl! Thanks for giving the KK space. Kudos, more power to @KonstantinKisin, hope we see more of him in the future.
4:45 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901310321588896216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anonymous account accusing others of virtue signalling. 😂 Only on the the Internet.
I take virtue in preference to vice fwiw. Only—I'm not signalling. I am saying explicitly what I think. I'm not giving some mystery signals for others to decode in secret. The current Russia state ideology puts Russia on a trajectory towards "Russian army washing their boots in the English channel" as @KonstantinKisin rightly remarked.
I have seen warring. It don't want to fight a war. And don't want my sons to fight one either. Ukraine war is not my war. Tbf to Ukrainians—none of them are asking us, to fight their war. (should anyone decide to, for ideas and ideals, are ofc welcome, and more power and glory to those brave souls; thanks for providing the link) Ukrainians are asking us, for 3 years now, to assist them with weapons. That's it! For us to produce and give them weapons, the more the better, so they themselves repel their invaders.
Ukraine prevailing in their fight is in my interest. So helping them win is in my interest, in addition to being the right thing. For if Russia is to take over Ukraine, it will absorb the battle hardened Ukraine army. Then position their next dear leader in Belarus, after that human potato Lukashenka finally croaks. Then unite Russia + Ukraine + Belarus in a Greater Russia. Then they will make their next move West. And than the war will become if not mine, then my sons war. Even long before Russians get to "wash their boots in the English channel".
Tbf my "coward" referred to your anonymity. Like putting words out, but without taking responsibility. Shielded by the invisibility cloak of anonymity. (c.f. Slashdot's "anonymous coward") I'm mystified by the level of cowardice, ngl. It's not like you are posting your opinions from Russia, so to be afraid of a flight from a 3-rd floor window or some such??
4:31 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901281503465628013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is none. There is though systematic use of useful idiots, cowards, crooks, assorted bed wetters, to achieve aims like subjugation of the near-abroad cheaper than otherwise would be the case. Nutniks are the new govnojeds. Explained magisterially -
https://x.com/slantchev/status/1901279043372433494
Quote
Branislav Slantchev @slantchev · 2h
This here is a prime example of the type of orientalism upon which many in the national security establishment are forming their opinions about Russia and end up being terrified into self-deterrence and appeasement.
Russia is NOT threatened by the West militarily. Their own x.com/conservawonk/s…
Show more
2:36 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901268230234141052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have come to think that the current AI, and the future hoped for ASI creation, is teaching us that compute transforming: data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to it. All that ever was to it! Another bitter lesson. We just lacked ambition in scale.
AI path opened now to AGI and latter ASI where previously we didn't see any for many decades. Seems foolish to me to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human wealth as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Frustrate for what? So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders?? That's even self-own by those better-off shareholders, given the opportunity cost! Every one of us is richer, better off, than any king of old. Louis XVI was in many many ways worse off than any one of us. (think dentistry-surgery-anaesthesia)
I wish the TBPR TechBro Progressive Right took time off the chainsaw DOGE antics and slashed and burned the "IP" laws to the ground. Now that would really be society changing. (previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833)
Anyways—"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt", or in the language of the future not the past-
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
1:44 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901263828412735857
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Things that looked to me "inexplicable stupidity" became less inexplicable and more "ah, stupid—but I understand how and why" once I stumbled upon the follow-on to Cippola's definition of stupid (=="stupid is a person causing loss, pain, suffering to others, for no gain to himself, even at a small personal loss") by Bonhoeffer, that summarised is 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ, it's thinking something is good, that rest of us find to be bad; and 2) it's social, like a mind virus (hi Elon) occurring in humans groups more than individuals.
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897164196845850891)
1:26 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901260905096114243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An anonymous coward opining with absolute certainty on things few can know with much certainty.
I loved the @KonstantinKisin analogy. Was the American Revolution a French conspiracy? A secret plot by Louis XVI? A ploy rather than a plot I'd think it more reasonable.
X is good in a way reminding us daily that 1/2 of us all can hold 1 idea in our heads only, and for 1/2 of those, it's the same idea all our lives.
1:14 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901242740639215632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...I'd like to acknowledge that, but I can't, because then I'd also be acknowledging my own imperfection, and I can't have that, of course. ;-)
12:02 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901241717279412725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good! Thanks! Small nit—first time tried, it used up all of my free tokens allowance. So now with 1M tokes used, not sure what fallback I got. Don't see a PAYG offer for extra tokens? Similar searches across googlean labyrinths have ended in various rabbit holes, with myself giving up after hitting a personal stop loss of time I'm willing to spend on the issue. That I'm loathe to try it this time. (sorry)
11:58 AM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901221034658877843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I for one wish you don't sell out. (even if I can't support you with my $$$) Unless you absolutely are desperate for food and shelter. If you have that, then with the freedom for you to speak and write out your mind as you feely please, looks like plenty to like about ones life.
So that you know—here is +1 for essays like
https://daveshap.substack.com/p/a-post-labor-economics-manifesto
...that I spread the word about with likes, shares etc whenever opportunity arises.
Putting this here explicitly—as one never knows what the Algofeed God relays to the other side. Including of course (irony of our predicament not lost on me) that I can never be certain if this reply ever reaches your screen too.
You dilemma is an old one I feel. You are not the first one to wrestle with this. I hope that modern age offers options more gentle and agreeable to the creator than what was available in the past.
10:36 AM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901060754263937027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OP is making a claim about the *human brain*. You are replying with counter-claims about *universe and everything*.
About the human brain: the neural networks, that are also known as parallel distributed processing (PDP), were explicitly modelled on and inspired by what we know about the human brain workings. Not by accident—but explicitly so. Lookup the "McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)". Here is McCulloch
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wawMjJUCMVw
Quite the piece of history there. Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze looking like it's his last day, soaking his cigarette with gusto. 😂 Born in the 19-th century no less.
Also inserting a video of a Hinton lecture talking about exactly that.
About the claim "Universe is a computer". I wouldn't go that far. I have personally come to think that information is the most fundamental thing in the universe. And that matter and energy are carriers of information. They in a sense are physical manifestations of information. I watched a lecture by a someone who is into quantum-this-and-that and the dude claimed exactly that - here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
As for describing the universe with the most complicated machine we got. That's the limit to our current abilities in abstract thinking (atm a computer). To me that business looks logical and desirable? No shame in that. Wrote earlier about that here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900462765074211214
Geoffrey_Hinton_-_Will_digital_intelligence_replace_biological_intelligence_-_Romanes_Lecture_-_Oxford-20240824.mp4
11:59 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901007773527048615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Substack - check Substack for longer form and higher SNR.
Go there now, subscribe, follow everything you get suggested. Cut back latter when you fill with more than you are comfortable with. There is another world out there. Supplementing, not replacing the quantas of ideas that is X.
I never cared much about Substack. Once links deboosting got afoot, I got motivated. (you are not going to tread on me mister; that's cr*p I don't have to take.) Silver linings etc 😇
Quote
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1900219206710551020
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Mar 13
Please post feedback for improving the 𝕏 algorithm in replies. Be as specific as possible and include examples.
8:29 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900964903890080045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes we do. Obviously I'm healthy and all is good, so ofc it's all totally entirely my achievement. What else can it be? What else is there but myself?? The strength of my character, my beautiful body, my industriousness, my brilliant thinking, all the things I did in the past and do every second of every day, to achieve this. My stellar performance is all me-Me-MEE!! Genes-shmenes, environment-shenvironment, random cosmic rays - pfffft, that's all cr*p!! That's excuse by the weaklings, the weak in character, weak in body, weak minded too. Me myself and I—it's all us, we are in control! 🤪🤡
(calm down dears, it's ironic, I don't actually think the above)
5:38 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900918710124073008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a very very stupid request. For US will never risk nuclear annihilation for Poland. Putin can nuke Warsaw, and life in NewYork, Washington, San Francisco and Los Angeles will proceed just fine. Did Poland learn nothing from "security guarantees from powerful allies, but which are too far away to help much in time, so not really deterring your enemies" already? (khmkhm1939)
Only way this is not stupid is to get a clear NO from US. That way a possible obstacle on the path to Poland + Nordics + Baltics developing their own nuclear deterrent is removed. For anything else but very own deterrent is not deterrent. Putin is not deterred from attacking Poland by fear of US. As he doubts—as any reasonable person would doubt—that US will risk nuclear war for Poland. (or any other country for that matter.)
2:35 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900916227100287285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@AskPerplexity
Does PayPal charge fees on inactive UK accounts? Is there a difference between business and personal account maybe? Does it draw the existing PayPal balance to zero only, or will PayPal charge my credit card an annual fee for inactive account?
2:25 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900881690320363555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like this aspect of libertarian framing of taxes and public spending: I am taking from someone at the point of the gun. I the government, using my monopoly on violence (ultimately—death), take from someone by force. Something they would rather use to feed their kids. It's not like they give it to me voluntarily, on their own volition. I take it by force. So I have extra special obligation there. What I take, to not be wasted. What I take, to be spent better, than that person would have spent it themselves.
That's quite a high bar. It pains me to read otherwise reasonable people, and or friends, when they say "ah it's only 100M p.a; ah it's just a rounding error."
I think—how much tax did you pay last year? Did you pay 20K say? Ok 20K. Can you imagine how much easier your life would be, if you had those extra 20K available to you? Like—everything stays the same, everything those taxes otherwise buy—in most general sense that's most of the the modern world—nothing changes there. The only change is—you got those 20K extra discretionary spending power at your disposal. Now think conversely—how much grief (if not hardship) lacking those 20K caused you.
Now—everything you though and felt, imagine it's 5000 people, not only yourself. That's the 100M p.a. Chagos. 5000 People like yourself. That's a small town, esp if you scale to be 1-in-household. It's not nothing. Much sweat (if not tears) is spent to gain much less than that.
12:08 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900876865042010598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seeing is believing! Indeed. This seems actually one area of dystopian level brain washing that looks to me to be win-win, positive both for the individual and the society.
11:48 AM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900847148305993956
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MAD desired not real outcome—ofc, but I find it "a distinction without difference". This is something about the future, can't be otherwise.
The "destruction" part—I'd say, it depends. If Nordics + Poland + Baltics join forces, and build enough devices and big ones. (fusion in addition to fission.) I recall the Annie Jacobsen book and e.g. this interview
https://youtube.com/watch?v=GXgGR8KxFao
about the destructive power of modern atomic devices. So that may go towards "assured" in MAD.
But sure there are plenty of references (thanks @grok!) to "survivability, 2nd strike, achieving favourable outcome" and similar, to support the thesis "US/Russia think they can win a nuclear war" too.
9:50 AM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900837335471714418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - the flattery I have noticed it before. Thought to myself: ah, this maybe partly the reason why Claude is such a hit with the word-smiths that produce acres of texts. Why so beloved by wordcels. 😁
One surprising thing social media revealed to me that I didn't know before. How many of us, and how much, we want to tell the world about our inner world. So we write a billion of posts every day here, day after day. It's just flowing, no end in sight.
9:11 AM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900597265011527913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or even Americans being English, for speaking English. 😶
5:17 PM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900594979342283099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. I wish we had better theory of information flows in human networks. Would dearly like to know the total amount of knowledge, collectively all together. At various ratios of individual computation versus communication and sharing of information giving rise to knowledge.
5:08 PM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900589911490678851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there data or any measurements on measures of the faculties for communication and or empathy, over the same period?
Human intelligence is collective, not individual. Our head meat-space, needs to be allocated between 1) Individual unit supporting faculties - memory, computation; and 2) Collective group supporting faculties - communication, empathy.
Maybe lately the culture is shifting more towards group faculties, at the expense of the individual ones? Any possible change can only be culture, can't be straight meat-space.
This is not the first time, no? Afaik Neanderthals had bigger cranium than Sapiens. Reasonable to assume that individually in problem solving or reasoning, avg Neanderthal wd better the avg Sapiens? Yet—Neanderthals were out-competed by the Sapiens to extinction.
4:48 PM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900505159857586221
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My personal prejudice is this.
Human intelligence is collective, not individual. Our head meat-space, needs to be allocated between 1) Individual unit supporting faculties - memory, computation; and 2) Collective group supporting faculties - communication, empathy.
To test this hypothesis, one would seek data on some measures of the faculties for communication and or empathy, over the same period.
This is not the first time, no? Afaik Neanderthals had bigger cranium than Sapiens. Reasonable to assume that individually in problem solving or reasoning, avg Neanderthal wd better the avg Sapiens? Yet—Neanderthals were out-competed by the Sapiens to extinction.
If it makes you feel better—human stupidity is also collective. This is as good a day as any to share a most excellent @skdh episode on the topic-
Sabine Hossenfelder "Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
11:11 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900492783615385779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh—"one causing harm, loss and pain to othesr, for no personal gain, even at a small loss, is said to act stupid; stupidity is not low IQ or lacking rational faculties, but lacking morals; thinking of something bad as being good; it's also more a collective phenomenon than and individual one, a mind virus". For the benefit of the many (unfortunately too many) readers of yours.
richard-sutton-intelligence-cooperation-and-human-flourishing-prg-ai-mar2025.mp4
10:22 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900490619392319528
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If true—and IK we are unlikely to learn any time soon beyond balance-of-probability type judgement call—and given no-one was punished, both for the initial crime and especially the subsequent coverup, presumably the next Covid, say Covid-29, is being cooked in BSL-x labs as we are writing this.
Ngl imo at this point only Nuremberg-style trials will do. To drill into the thick thick skulls of the politicians and bureaucrats and—the most disappointig of all!—scientists, in power and yet to come, a healthy fear from the wrath of a revolting public.
While accidents do happen, this particular lab leaking was not unexpected. The "I'm The Science" cabal in positions of power betrayed us, abused our trust. They said one thing in public, then said opposite things in private between themselves. They conspired like mafiosi. Punishment is warranted.
10:14 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900487745849442453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given no-one was punished, both for the initial crime and especially the subsequent coverup, presumably the next Covid, say Covid-29, is being created as we are writing this.
Ngl imo at this point only Nuremberg-style trials will do. To drill into the thick skulls of the politicians and bureaucrats in power yet to come, a healthy fear from the wrath of a revolting public.
10:02 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900481767158538654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Net zero is sinking the ship, throw Milliband overboard. (save your premiership.) People on the pic look cult disciples tbh. Irrational dunderheads should not wield power over us.
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
9:38 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900479413050876132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, for me RealRameSurname, or NickButPersistenInTime accounts seem like a reasonable proxy for "a real human, with real name or genuine anon" filter for the time being?
But yeah—I'm surprised how blaze X has been refusing to give us tools (not solving the problem themselves—just giving us humans tools!) to curate our own feeds?
Doubly surprised, b/c 1) Once us humans in a distributed manner do initial pass on filtering, X can train models; and 2) Bots don't have bank accounts, they will hurt X $$$ ultimately. Even if short-term bots may boost human engagement, humans learn about the bots, then disengage.
9:29 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900477192213049359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither am I. I got and like my roof solar and battery. The self-use is about 40%. (with extra battery may get to 50%-considering...) That's average, over the year, with extremes - worst in winter 0%, best in summer 100%.
It was a good learning experience too. I refreshed my EE-knowledge: 1) Everything that is consumed must be produced, supply matching demand, not on average over a day or an hour—but every moment every second of every day. 2) Go reminded to mind my difference between - a kWh of energy, from a MW of power. And 3) the fun with the "three phases" of electricity.
Having said that. Instead of pocketing their victory and moving on with their lives, the Puritan NetZero Taliban seem hell bent on destroying us and destroying their achievement too in the process it seems?? For every subsequent halving of what remains, costs about as much as all the prior investment up to that point.
9:20 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900466941073989886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uh-oh, causes-consequences fafo; we need to tar, feather and expunge from public life these grifters making our lives worse than they need be
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
8:40 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900462765074211214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw it was "Everything is a computer" appreciation day yesterday. People chiming out of their cuckoo clocks, announcing a transition away from the mechanistic universe. TBS if one-off before retreating back to the safety of their mechanistic toys, or a wider mind shift—a new meme finally taking hold of our heads.
Atm computer and computing is the best abstraction we got at our disposal. Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful. Ofc we should use it. It would be silly not to.
I can see how and why we people object to changing metaphors: "The wheel" → "The word" → "Mechanical clock" → "Computer." But to my mind—doh, of course we update our model of the world around us. (NB: We're talking about our model of the world, not the world itself. Good to keep a bit of distance at all times, not get too uppity; it keeps us on our toes.) Would we prefer we didn't? My only objection is it takes us an awfully long time, tbh! (pic with chronology)
Everything is best abstracted by the most powerful machine we have at our disposal at any given time. (like using a bigger model that fits better.) A computer is a better abstraction than a mechanical clock for the Universe. The mechanical clock was better than "The word," and "The word" was better than "The wheel." That’s presumably why we switch—each new abstraction serves us better. It's not a slight on humanity—it's the ok thing to do.
I would dearly like to know what comes after the computer? (even if already privileged to see the "everything is computer" in my lifetime.) Yeah "we made sand think" is much joy and fun, but nagging suspicion "The computer" will soon be shown inadequate. For that process of humanity fitting ever bigger and better model to the world around us, while still falling short too, is also telling us: the world around us is still more powerful! (and interesting.)
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
8:23 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900440452857282934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow me to filter out accounts that are not- : single real human, or pseudo-anon with stable in time nick. Don't want any bits ever from "user" "abcd12345" pass through my eyes, enter the meat space, reduce brain weights snr. Give me tools to stop that invasion.
6:54 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900431041774420333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My uneducated guess is - the curse of overeducation. 😆 It takes a lot of education to browbeat common sense out of people. Doesn't come naturally or easily. I suspect lots of effort went to twist someone's logic and reasoning so they appear frankly insane to the rest of us.
6:17 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900324978244878443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lovely lecture by @RichardSSutton, a great listen-
Richard Sutton "Intelligence, Cooperation, and Human Flourishing"
richard-sutton-intelligence-cooperation-and-human-flourishing-prg-ai-mar2025.mp4
11:15 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900325229777371327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Source -
http://prg.ai meetup: Tomáš Mikolov in a conversation with Rich Sutton https://youtu.be/bGi1jKL4OEo?si=r2D7OD51pUQaKobU via @YouTube
youtube.com
prg.ai meetup: Tomáš Mikolov in a conversation with Rich Sutton
For the fourth time, prg.ai hosted its flagship event, bringing together leading minds in artificial intelligence. This installment featured a compelling tal...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bGi1jKL4OEo
11:16 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900316884416807188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have been there before: a bird versus a plane. Both have pros- and cons-. Similar, but different too. Both have wings. But planes don't flap theirs.
10:43 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900186968727634372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't, sorry. There is not one single way afaik. There was rarely complete language support that solves all issues completely in the past. Maybe things are better now. In absence of complete language, database etc support everywhere, one fallbacks to self-discipline.
Personally, I got a rule to have in the name of a datetime type variable some indication, say _UTC or _Local, to indicate to the reader, (probably future me,) that I have thought about the TZ issue. And what I decided, what's the resolution, what kind of datetime is in that variable.
If it's not indicated, I'd assume UTC. But maybe also a code smell, that the code writer didn't consider the TZ. If _Local, then I have to find a way to carry the info to what location of that locality is. To record the "Europe/London" elsewhere in some way. If _UTC, then there is no need for that.
My point was that I've found that I it's useless to record BST or GMT as that is almost never needed. Ofc, one can convert from "Europe/London", and map that to "BST" (1/2 of the year, when we have DST in force), or "GMT" (the other 1/2 of the year, when we have regular time or winter time without DST). But my point is-we almost never care about that the timezone. Usually, it's either "UTC", or "local" and what "location" it is at.
2:07 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900179470671118553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The CON party that hired him (Osborne?) for BoE governor lost their election in their worst result in history probably. With the economy being within top-3 issues for most voters. Obv there are many factors, he had a long tenure. But did not leave the UK economy in great shape.
1:37 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900105740158668923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great find. So the super-organism that is the human society, thinks in pictures, runs on emotions, synchronises the clock by memes repetition, in shapes of multiple hierarchical pyramids with top-down authorities.
8:44 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900104479891947595
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh on their recent track records, Oxford PhD economics grad, and executive director at Goldman Sachs, is as much a disqualifier, as it is a qualifier. The attributes indicate a person energetic and capable—yes. But for doing things bad as well as for doing things good. I have to admit without any joy of seeing it that way. (even a tinge of sadness.) Carney was not a great success as a BoE governor.
8:39 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900103294753649063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, sort of. We need both. Choice looks orthogonal to certainty to me.
We need certainty to survive. To keep on living—we need air and heath every second, food and water every day. We need certainty. Too much uncertainty there kills us, we can only tolerate a limited amount of uncertainty there.
But we need choice to develop, for there to be something rather than nothing in the first place. That is needed upstream from us. That choice is what ultimately makes it possible for us to be born in the first place.
8:35 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900095758977704313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely. Everything is a computer. Information theory is the most general theory we got. Knowledge is a p.d.f. Learning is acquiring a p.d.f. where previously we lacked one. Figuring out what, and how many of it. Computing is taking our knowledge, the learned p.d.f.s we got, and manipulating those p.d.f.s by either marginalisation, or conditioning, to create new p.d.f.s. These new p.d.f.s then tell us something about what what we care about but we can't observe, having observed things that are easy for us to observe, but we don't care about.
8:05 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900092737904357816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, interesting, will read. To my mind, knowledge is specifying a probability density function p.d.f. A re-normalised histogram of qualities, where we count which ones, and how many of which one. And quality is one dimension out of N in an N-dimensional vector space.
7:53 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900065685507579921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Absolutely. With a proviso that a vector is a special matrix too.
2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
6:05 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899969345570189340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant: we are used to e.g. N=3, where we get data points in the middle. There centrality measures as representative single value as a proxy for the distribution makes sense.
But for high-N, in that average central middle, there are not many points. Nothing in the centre is representative of the distribution. But we still compute the centre and treat it as if it's a representative value for the distribution.
The analogy in 2D would be—say we have a bi-modal pdf, with two distinct but about equal mass bumps, some distance from each other. We compute the mean as a representative value. It falls right between the two bumps. So a very improbable value. Yet—we still treat that mean as a representative value for the pdf.
11:42 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899938233255157816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All this stuff should be online, on http://github.us.gov, and for everyone to see and peruse to their hearts desire. And randos may even help manual data checking for random f*ckups that are most difficult to weed out in data.
It's silly DOGE concentrated on the least important stuff (saving some $$$, of which USG is never short off-that's what the deficit is for, and is inconsequential). Too bad Musk is a cretin when it comes to gov-anything, basically in a "Your country is not a company"-way.
But there is kernel of truth in their suspicion of gov obscurity hiding any number just stupid things. That is the norm, not the exception, in any system without a feedback. Too bad looks this reform opportunity will be squandered.
Previous on Radical Transparency -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625
9:39 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899932500308513016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
honest to god explanation, preferable to post-fact rationalisation even; re-search=re-peated search for something, anything, that works
9:16 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899908122883310029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 What a time to be alive!
For the longest time, language models detractors dismissed them with "ah, they are just stochastic parrots".
And now they are talking to parrots, detecting they are speaking to a parrot, and possibly passing even the parrot-turing test?! (maybe) 😆
Quote
https://x.com/venturetwins/status/1899862142414970934
Justine Moore @venturetwins · 3h
AI phone agent realizes it is talking to a parrot
7:39 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899905423534149833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Normies think they are replying to a computer, to a machine, not to another human. They feel nothing about the other side. Like talking to their oven-silly, right? From PoV on the other/receiving side, that way to relate comes over as rude. Even if I know it's unintentionally so.
Nerds know but also feel, that there is a human on the other side. Treat the conversation like conversing with a real human on the other side. (modulo the role the medium plays; latency expectations e.g. voice-now, sms-10 min, chat-1 hour, email-1 day.) Further human they know, not a random stranger. If they are rude-it's intentional.
Older techies are like the nerds, but barely anyone pre-Xgen. Even my mum thinks she is messaging a computer, not myself, her son of 50+ years. :-)
7:28 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899899119466156063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The politicians not only don't fear the wrath of the public. They hold us the public in contempt.
Lying mercilessly to the public and in industrial quantities used to be the Soviet Union playbook. Now it seems that cancer has spread West. Something more radical needed to concentrate the minds of politicians and civil servants. They lack fear of God anymore, with all of us not believing the white bearded Santa in the skies anymore. But they must be made to fear what comes after they stop being in power, if they are to transgress. Atm they are not punished. So they will continue with more of the same.
German spy agency concluded COVID virus likely leaked from lab, papers say https://reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/german-spy-agency-concluded-covid-virus-likely-leaked-lab-papers-say-2025-03-12/
7:03 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899898771468620108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can Merkel's legacy go any lower? (I guess if in 100 yrs time she's outed as fsb sleeper agent)
7:02 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899866545922146807
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He should take UK lessons. 😆 We got Motability Scheme like that. He can have MAGA-bility scheme. Saving the World one Tesla at a time. Tweak eligibility such that Tesla alone fits the criteria.
4:54 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899865508976963924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah that may turn into carnage.
Or maybe nothingburger. For we have that 2 weeks out of sync gap Europe-America DST daylight savings on/off every six months. So that's kinda testing our systems, to keep us on our toes. 😁
4:50 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899851335391953254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) ok, fair about the upside-down NZ. Nah, no-UTC!-I have had enough TZ problems for a lifetime. The half-hour Australian time anyone?? Stuff of nightmares... I stick to "Geography/City" ever since I discovered that. A whole class of bugs & worries I've now forgotten about
3:53 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899849972540903518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey, recently I saw this nugget. And I know it's unwise to use the H-word online. But this seems to be a genuine historic record.
@ 16' by the excellent @TimothyDSnyder, in "A Speech to Europe 2019", the "Ecological panic" (tc in link) -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7zs41CkIjRw&t=960s
"... Ecological Panic. Hitler's argument for why Germany had to seize what they needed before others could. Hitler said specifically that science and technology will not rescue us, we must take from others. Ecological panic. The second overall cause of the Holocaust is dehumanisation. The idea that since we must take from others, others are only valuable in so far as they can serve us".
Now the speaker was using this as an argument for more panic imo. Of the type of "the world is falling/burning/crashing/drowning" which I did not quite understand. Like-surely the message should be exactly the opposite. Don't do a-hitler. Don't scare people Savanarola-style with end-of-world prophesies.
We have had the experience of the last 80 yrs, where the world warmed up at a rate of 1.2C/century. So we should not be complacent, but neither should we lose our heads in panic. Imo the message should have been: Do encourage people to use their rational faculties. Do not give up on the idea of technology will rescue us. In fact-little else in history has rescued us from the predicaments of the human condition, but technology. So-maybe even double down on technology! To lead us out of the valley of tears.
youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7zs41CkIjRw&t=960s
A Speech to Europe 2019 | Timothy Snyder - Judenplatz 1010
Why are values and standards essential? How can we live up to ‘never again’ in an era this fragile? The keynote address of American historian Timothy Snyder ...
3:48 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899842722862899431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you refer to as "incorrect".
Like for Auckland, use "Pacific/Auckland" explicitly, is what I'm saying. Don't try to use NZDT, NZST or similar. If you are interested about time in Auckland, use "Pacific/Auckland". I'm not saying use UTC-I'm saying forget about messing with NZST NZDT DST UTC all that stuff, just use "Pacific/Auckland". B/c that's what users ever care about, and it's easily available.
3:19 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899824050081251343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
lawyers commanding the heights of society
incentives, consequences
2:05 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899823210155200779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds good to me! Every one next one, was a better abstraction than the previous one. Bring it on-the computer model to *everything*. :-) Given we are fairly short of perfection-seems there is lots of road untraveled yet there.
2:02 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899822528773669132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. What other better abstraction we got at our disposal atm? Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful. Ofc we are to use it.
Everything can be best abstracted with the most powerful machine we got at any given time. (like a bigger model that can be made to fit better.) Computer is a better abstraction then a mechanical clock for the Universe. And mechanical clock was better than "the word". And "the word" was better than "the wheel". So what comes after the computer, will improve on that. It's not a slight on humanity-it's the reasonable thing to do.
And yet and yet-it's still inadequate, right? So that process of humanity fitting ever bigger and better model to the world around us, while still falling short of perfection, is also telling us: the world around us is more powerful! (still!?)
1:59 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899819528479035779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The politicians not only don't fear the wrath of the public. They hold us the public in contempt.
Lying mercilessly to the public and in industrial quantities used to be the Soviet Union playbook. Now it seems that cancer has spread West. Something more radical needed to concentrate the minds of politicians and civil servants. They lack fear of God anymore, with all of us not believing the white bearded Santa in the skies anymore. But they must be made to fear what comes after they stop being in power, if they are to transgress. Atm they are not punished. So they will continue with more of the same.
1:47 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899817391820886182
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt it will get to agreeing even the 30 days. More likely, Russia will come back with some condition, like "Zelensky is to resign", or "Ukraine to disband half the army", as a pre-condition to cease-fire.
Remember: always demand everything, don't ask, demand. Do not back down. If you persevere long enough, there will always appear someone, on the other side, that will give you 1/2, or 1/4, of what you demand. Then you will end up pocketing that 1/2 or 1/4, even before any negotiations start.
That's how you end up with the largest land mass in the whole world, as your country. Always demand more. Do not ask-demand. Sounds crazy (to aim for more land), but also reasonable (if you only care about the land and nothing else).
1:38 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899814965583675895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe, but it's not the only thing.
Those around him see strong USD a benefiting Wall Street, but disbenefiting re-industrialisation. Weaker USD is also part of the plan. Also "Trump crazy"-sell-US/D is a factor pushing in the direction of the plan.
Same reason they got nothing against the USG backed crypto scheme. Say USG had a USD 1:1 backed stable coin. (USC? USN?) Then foreigners holding USD outside of the US (another factor pushing for US budget deficits), can be incentivised to sells USD buy USN (the USG coin), thus pushing for lower fx for USD. (also easing pressure on USG budget deficit)
And of course weaker USD makes imports more expensive, reduces imports. And the usual risk of importing inflation via importing more expensive energy is mitigate by US being largely energy self-sufficient. (even exporting)
1:29 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899694379193032944
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me it all clicked and TZ stopped being a nuisance source of pain after realising always always use geographic designations exclusively. Care not about BST or GMT, care not about DST. Do care for Europe/London. That's it. Any reference of, or dependence on BST GMT DST is a code smell. Get rid of it. The user always cares about Europe/London only.
5:30 AM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899488481207861753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He will blame Ukraine unfortunately. Never a bad word about Putin. Neither him, nor Musk. It's like "omerta", like "don't mention the war". The first rule of the Putin fan club: you never mention Putin.
3:51 PM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899478819926323220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you like that, you may like this. A derivation of the result, by (looking at the photo) @stootoon. It goes through all the detailed steps in the derivation.
"Random vectors in high dimensions are nearly orthogonal" by Sina Tootoonian
youtube.com
Random vectors in high dimensions are nearly orthogonal
In this video we do some back of the envelope calculations to show that random vectors in high dimensions tend to be orthogonal.
3:13 PM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899446590454083615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's unfortunate that our intuition about how the space fills, that we build on examples from our physical world where N=2 or N=3, is not only inadequate, but outright deceptive to us. Those things for high-N, stand exactly the opposite, to how they are, for low-N. Various measures of centrality, that we think of as representative, are actually not representing what we hope they are.
In N-dimensional space, for sufficiently large N, every N-point, is an outlier. In that N-space, the space moves in the corners. There is little space left in the centre. We know this from seeing the ratio of N-ball to N-cube N-volume measures drop quickly towards zero with increasing N.
1:05 PM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899410843550339545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 yep! - much appreciated you are selling mostly white pills! 😁 way too many black pills sellers out there! 😰
10:43 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899407386864996580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is the way!
Refuse to comply with rank idiocy.
Here we are like in the Havel's "The Power of the Powerless" world. Only ours is virtual world online not offline, and limited to X not totalitarian. But yes - same lessons apply.
Do not yield. And especially do not yield pre-emptivelly. If you have to absolutely bend your spine, make sure you extract some price from your tormentor.
Further, with the FYM - Fuck You Money at your disposal, you can afford plenty of hits. You can do much much better, for yourself first and foremost, but also for the rest of us too. Better then simply hill climbing the local maximum.
10:29 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899403706962948487
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reading the above, it strikes me as maybe not a coincidence, (while not a conspiracy either,) that UK ended with more for lawyers, and less for everyone else, with lawyers commanding the heights of the society. Incentives are a life force, do not require need explicit intention.
10:15 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899389211557388671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They choose different priorities, every time. To govern is to choose. They chose poorly. To my mind that made them lazy, useless, entitled, good for nothing much, time wasters. That's worse than it seems at first sight, as time is one thing we are hard imited on.
9:17 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899387683438244054
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By this rate of increasing energy cost, yourself personally set a course to Farage becoming UK PM in 4yrs time. You are like the bad Bismarckian general—stupid yet energetic. Hope Starmer's sense of self preservation kicks in sooner rather than latter and fires you soon enough.
9:11 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899380021224931680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, but "no benign" does not equal "end of the world with 100% certainty by year 2125". Further, the logic connecting the outcome to the present actions via the the "precautionary principle" is just that, a general "principle", a guide, a "rule of thumb".
Using the same principle and "no benign" and the same weak logic I can just about justify everything. People just use that to propose "solutions" that solve nothing. That are their favourite hobby horses that do not solve whatever problem they have in mind. That's a poor way to lead. The elite should not be putting personal whims as a top priority.
And in the process, re-running a chain similar to hitlerian 1-2-3 Lebensraum ecological panic logic outlined in the TDS speech. Now re-reading the chain, I see even "the ends justify the means". That should trigger alarm bells in us, strikes me being a bad idea. For ends that are in the future, "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" always comes to my mind.
UK we run the experiment of decarbonising our electricity grid in the past 15yrs. The results are in. Households and businesses have had their bills triple. Imo that's a major factor in being on track to elect as PM our very own Trump-like caesar in 3 years time. There is no country in the world that is both rich, and does not use much energy.
UK could have done what France did half a century ago and decarbonised electricity with nuclear. Proven technology, cheaper than our current one, works without question, zero carbon. But, when choosing between a solution, and a hobby horse, our innumerate leaders went for the fashion of the day.
Wind and solar are expensive when the need to be 100% reliable is factored in. Hence the need for subsidies etc. I have rooftop solar + batteries myself, know my kWh energy from MW power, know that national grid needs to balance every second of every day. There is not one country in the whole world, with *both* significant wind+solar *and* cheap electric energy. Not one.
(side note: I see you are using Grok to expand your thinking, and I commend that; you may want to check magisterial @karpathy tutorials on "how should I think about these things given how they work under the hood" aimed any non-specialist us, this https://youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI and the next one too; they are long but worth it and can be watched in start-pause instalments)
no-low-energy-rich-ctry.jpeg
climate-policy-dont-do-uk-price.jpeg
no-cheap-green-electricity.jpg
8:41 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899261247024996619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes but the non-linear tipping points are the hardest to predict so while certainly they are not impossible—it's impossible to forecast them with any accuracy. In the end forecasting ends up equivalent to "8B will die, therefore anything I want done is moral imperative we should do it no questions asked".
The idea "no benign warming" invites "benign to whom?" Obviously Earth had periods with higher CO2 and higher temperature and plenty of life on Earth. The fossil fuels we are digging out and whose CO2 we are returning back into the atmosphere by burning them—come from such high CO2 periods.
IMO when forecasting the more prudent, the less exciting, the more accurate. I'd stick to the IPCC reports about possible consequence. Tipping points etc are low probability high consequence events similar to asteroid hitting Earth, nuclear war etc. About zero confidence of accuracy of such forecasts tbh. I do forecasting for a living so got some appreciation of the challenges for these specific types of future events.
12:49 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899248390371733952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bad morals, not low IQ. Bad moral values. Think of the absent father situation of all these remote-conception children. What does a kid want and need most from a parent? Love. How is love communicated? By spending time with them, giving them our time. In a way—our time & attention is the most sincere gift to give. How much time & attention can a father give to ~20 remote children while running all these companies, and now even government? Not much—is my prejudice.
11:57 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899240974729068646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have had 1.2C-per-100-years degrees warming in the past 80yrs, and we are not dead yet. So yeah—various bad things may happen in the future, but also it's possible they will not. Our world now is better in many ways to the world 80yrs ago when I look at the Our World In Data collected stats.
For all the catastrophists I think—have you considered that your forecast about the future maybe wrong? What is the cost then? Assuming 8B billion will be dead is a very comfortable position to be in for the person making the claim. Because then—anything is justified.
Not just justified—but a moral imperative. Murder 4B in order to save 4B Thanos style? Justified—but notice how it hinges on being 100% correct forecast about the future. And future by definition can never be forecast by 100% certainty. So no—I'm not in favour of that kind of thinking, sorry.
11:28 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899208549160648846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Two wrongs don't make one right.
Neocons were wrong pursuing Imperial foreigner wars. They were lying stupidos achieving great harm at great cost.
Your are similarly wrong now thinking Russia will ever cross over to your side. The military exercise in the title is not "despite", but "because". Reagan had the right idea. All admins since have been wrong. All too soft, as shown by zero results from their "resets". Trump will get the same result, pursuing the same policy.
The side doing "Give me Freedom or Give me Death" is the right side for the US. Whatever their name, flag etc. Now and in the future. America is the land of freedom. Anything else-is a poor fit for the US.
9:19 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899204308156965288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa!!! 👏👍💪🤯
If I didn't know better cd have mistaken this for a pic of Dr Who in front of the "movie No.10 door" across the entrance to the Adelphy Building off The Strand 😁
9:02 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899183746122715601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that! Interesting so far - but will have to listen again. (oow-now Leszek Kolakowski quote in the end; loved "Heavens' keys" and "Conversations With the Devil" ages ago)
Have all the time in the world for @TimothyDSnyder. Read "Bloodlands" and liked it. Listening to his speech, I thought "Hitler's Empire" was his, but suspecting "is it?" and checking now I find and also remembered it's by Mark Mazower. (also recommend)
Had forgotten about The Third Reich being an empire, but of course it was. In his speech, noticed this - 1) Hitler expanded the Lebensraum b/c of ecological panic 2) Ecology was bad and science and technology was not going to solve it; so 3) Germans had to take from others.
So while agree with his view. In my mind, his historic lesson additionally resonated additionally with this: by creating an ecological panic around global warming, the more quasi-religious fringes of the modern ecological movements that reject any hint of technological solution and adaptation are "history riming not repeating". For the cost of their "solutions" that don't actually solve anything, is driving the voters in the warm bosoms of the Caesars TDS rightly badmouths and fears.
I bid you good bye and good luck with this Mea Culpa I heard recently and thought long overdue-
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David Brooks
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
7:41 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899151842166382939
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah, you mean following 4K accounts is too many. Yes I agree. It happens this way.
When I think something is worth forwarding, I typically click Follow this account. My thinking is - if they wrote something I found worth enough to forward, it was something interesting to me, and if they did it in the past, maybe they will do it in the future.
Now, most of the time that does not pan out. So I'd have to go through the list, and Unfollow some past accounts. And I do from time to time, open the list of Follows, and ask myself "do I recall this account, do I remember reading something interesting", and where the answer is No, I Unfollow.
However, it's a chore, uninteresting manual labour, so not done very often. Plus, I noticed that X Algofeed has become more atuned to my interests. So out of 100 accounts, the algofeed will show me posts from 30 that interest me. I don't have to unfollow the other 70 to tell the algofeed "don't show me their posts".
I only have to keep curating the say 5-10 out of 100 that I disagree with, annoy me, or I would not willingly chose to read as they are less than pleasant to my current thinking, but still interesting from some angle from my PoV. The 5-10% of disagreeable content one is to let in the own bubble to be able to change with times and avoid being totally closed chamber. (and end insane)
5:34 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899148567639425116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Researching the past is better than not researching, but it means little. Certainly less than people assume.
In the future: 1) Your FH may turn decide to extort you, where they didn't in the past; 2) The MA they appoint may change, start extorting you; 3) The FH may change too! (the freehold maybe sold)
So the cries of "Buyer beware" are not the silver bullet many hope they will be. Better to tell the buyer upfront: someone else will be writing the bills, and you will be paying them. Or else...
5:21 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899148567639425116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Oh yes please feel free to throw back some references at me. Recently I became aware of existence of Karl Friston theories after watching a podcast. As far as ML parts go—all he said about the mechanisms, all that has "probability density" in there, makes perfect send to me.
I have been told "the joint probability density function between two variables X and Y captures everything that there is ever to be known about the relation between those X and Y" 25 years ago by a friend, and have been thinking on those terms ever since. (e.g. https://ljubomirj.github.io/post-knowing.html)
1:11 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899061038429168060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—if in the real world, which is a gigantic organism of its own, it's of benefit for distributed network of independent things to exists, rather than one single blob, then: it should not be improbable, for the same to be true for thy way our brain works. For there to be an advantage, to for the brain to be architected as collection of semi-independent agents, that work independently, on their own, and then at the end one collects and collates the final result. Call that one final agent node—our conscious self. There—mystery solved. 😂 joke, joke (about solved)—but not out of mind crazy, no?
11:33 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899051844401328613
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can not comprehend how random SV person worth >$100M can complain muh-no-FU-muh. The idea is not that speaking your mind costs 0. The idea is that there is monetary $$$ cost to speaking the truth in the company of liars—but you can take the hit! That's what FU money is for. To absorb that hit. For that hit to not delete you. You still live another day, you can still speak your mind.
The SV dudes strike me as clutching their pearls too tightly. Let go of those pearly $$$ - that's what they are for. To buy you that freedom—to speak you mind.
Of course that doesn't say anything much about the ideas spoken—only that the ideas are unpopular, ostracised. But doesn't say if the ideas are good or bad, clever or stupid, interesting or boring. That would be asking too much of a simple device that FU money is, tbh.
10:56 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899021268994732503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pa sekoj eden sto e roditel, sto ne go napustil deteto.
Isto kako i majkata? Ako ne go ostavi ne go napusti deteto, ako mu e roditel—gi stavila potrebite na deteto pred svoite.
Ili ne razbrav sto tocno e "potrebite na tatkoto". (ili majkata)
8:55 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899016364938944607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG was not aware to that side of him! 😍
Reading the above—music to my ears, balm to my soul. 😇
Thanks for posting that.
8:35 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898870187111448577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't understand why X does not give us users better tools to make bot filtering out easier. There are few low costs measures they could take to allow for that. But they never do.
10:55 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898998832123318635
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't be silly Billy, no one is going to follow you.
It's not that kind of "Follow", the X following. No one is a disciple of yours, and you are not our leader. 😁 You are just 1 of 4K I follow.
"Follow" on X is just a weak signal to the Algofeeds to upweigh the probability of showing me some post of yours when deciding which post to present on my screen.
The "iron law of N^2 network value in connections" is as true as ever. In a social network with order of magnitude less user nodes takes a month, to see as much value as one finds in one day here. Single public Agora power is exactly that.
Have you tried blocking that bastard Evil Elon? That may suffice to the Algofeeds. Now that blocking is one way read only operator, I forego mute. Block early block often shapes my feed. Use the (sadly) few tools available.
7:26 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898817579801825376
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I understand. I think we are writing about two different things. I think you are referencing
> U.S. aerospace firm Maxar Technologies said on Friday it had disabled Ukrainian users' access to satellite imagery on one U.S. government platform, as U.S. President Donald Trump's administration suspends intelligence sharing with Kyiv.
https://reuters.com/world/us-aerospace-firm-maxar-disables-satellite-photos-ukraine-2025-03-07/
I knew about that. But my reference to F16 was about this
https://x.com/Bear_Faced/status/1898431053087256966
I think European's paranoia comes from their position of weakness. Europeans genuinely lack their own weapons for their own defence. A generation of feeble, dunder-headed, low-energy leaders exposed their citizens to a number of risks—energy, defence, etc. Only France has done it right. Poland, the Nordics, Germany—they need not only conventional weapons, but their own nuclear deterrent too. I can't imagine US going to nuclear exchange with Russia, if Russia were to nuke Warsaw. And if I can't—I imagine plenty of others can't too, including plenty in Russia. Once deterrent is not credible—it's not a deterrent any more, there is none.
7:26 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898810419734860174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm of course ignorant to any non-public information. IDK what the current issues are, what the disagreements are.
To me Ukraine insisting on "security guarantees" (whatever that is) seems silly. Anything signed on paper at present, only weakly binds anyone in the future anyway. And especially with a "might is right", "what cards you got to play" Trump-like admin/president/party. Ukr can do as Putin does: sign whatever, then do whatever you want anyway, regardless of what's signed.
Obviously Russia could just pause attacking, starting tonight, and peace will arrive. But reasoning from first principles: Putin is safe and sound while Russia is at war. So I don't see why Putin would be stopping this war. Or any war.
Publicly I see zero US pressure on Russia to stop. And pressure on Ukraine is implicit encouragement to Russia to keep up with the attacks and keep the war going imo.
6:57 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898805446401532286
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Support for Ukraine, and possibly Europe, is in the past. Before MAGA run the US. That was a different US it seems to me.
After all—if US decides to extort UK with "give me X or your planes will not fly", what cards does UK hold? Don't see many.
When it comes to defence—the paranoid survive. That's why everyone in the present is paranoid. The non-paranoid have been killed long time ago.
6:37 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898801518653984870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes both sides are apart, and drifting further away fast.
Similar the way Americans think "lack of appreciation, no `thank you`-s", Europeans think "Russia will be bombing our cities and Americans will be at best standing neutral, at worst helping Russia outright".
I read of US effectively disabling F16-s donated to Ukraine by European countries. I though at once—they could do the same to the UK, (where I live) while we are under attack of Russian rockets. This is not something you'd think and worry about.
It's not trivial putting oneself in others shoes and getting their PoV. Airing disagreements in public is the surest way to amplify them.
6:22 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898782194161623359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe team-Trump is going for Volcker of sorts: engineer recession, Fed cuts IR to zero, budget item "interest on public debt" comes down, unemployed consume less so inflation checked too. Energy independence isolates US from energy imported inflation.
5:05 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898777202356793744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣 haha - v.funny! @ LJ: explain difference between private and public debt.
LJ: in the real world where some of us lived and traded through GFC'08, and have memory longer than of a gold fish, the 2008 crisis happened b/c private debt. Private, not public.
Private loans given by private banks and shadow banking institutions to private borrowers went bad. Mostly predictably b/c they were bad loans to not credit-worthy borrowers. The oldest story in the book. The subsequent contagion when no-one could tell which bank is going to stand and which is going to fall, caused most of the banking sector to effectively go bust.
And looked like "this sucker is going down" (GWB) taking with it the real economy too. Step in the public bailing out private banking and other private industries with guarantees, loans, bailouts etc. In summary, it was private, not public debt, that went bad.
I like Dalio and recommend his "How the Economic Machine Works" animated 20 min movie as it's really good about the mechanics of markets and role of debt. But as with many financiers, he too, despite all his radical transparency self-critique maoist BS, has somewhat self-serving blind spot when ti comes to private/public debt differences.
4:45 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898769528328204391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Pain today jam tomorrow" brigade have no solid reasoning there. To assume "smaller pain now to avoid bigger pain latter", means knowing the future where "bigger pain" happens on 100% correct forecast. That's impossible. No human has been able to forecast with that accuracy. This is bullshit story.
4:15 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898747110847099230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah—the never ending tug-of-war in this. For there are 2 sides to the issue. So there will always be someone grasping one end, and making some hay out of it, while ignoring the other end.
The opposing camps are forever telling only 1/2 of the story. The complete story is: 99.9% alternative new upstart etc ideas turn out to be wrong. However, there is 0.1% where what a maverick proposes turns out right. And that 0.1% make account for, the 100% of the new significant breakthroughs.
This is not even that difficult. A very large group of people can hold 2 ideas in their heads at the same time.
2:46 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898707262169915437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump stick will do for Europe standing up on their own feet more, than decades of pleas to that. Relying too much on American weapons for Europe, especially Central and East, effectively amounts to treason.
TBS which side UK turns. Is our destiny to be Trump golf course meets AirStripOne? Or maybe France launching their own satellites on own rockets, will spur the lazy ruling UK class to aspire for more. Ngl wd have thought 1939-1941 and Suez wd have made UK less US-starry-eyed.
12:07 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898702285372289238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why? I can think of—
1) Unaccountability Machine. Avoid accountability while still wielding most of the power. Plausible deniability. Can outsource to them things I'm pressured to do, should do, is the right thing to do, but I the minister don't want to do. (for whatever reason)
2) Cronyism, corruption. Bungs for in-group I-scratch-your-back-you-mine, friends, even family, soft over the table corruption conveyor belt. Especially when further institutionalised and commercialised via NGO Limited companies. (can imagine further step—corporatisation and financialization, haha 😄)
3) Blair trying to get things done. The civil service and bureaucracy will frustrate a reformer. Quick solution—build alternative structures, devolve power to them, fill them with energetic acolytes. Will get things done short term. Trouble is—without any feedback loop whatsoever, this system veers off course pretty quick.
11:47 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898692923413160343
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
IDK how many votes are in the green cr*p & the woke sh*t? Genuine ideologically committed pple. Not the type—tags along b/c that's the order of the day, everyone else is doing it, even if privately indifferent or thinks it's B/S. All that for little electoral gain, that could have been won by other means, other ideas.
11:10 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898684634273087998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If UK needed to launch our own satellite independently, would we be able to? Like France did yesterday. If UK needed targeting data b/c Russia decided to teach us a lesson. Would UK be able to operate our own jets, when US decides to shutdown support like with European F16-s donated to Ukraine? If France-launches-military-satellites-in-space-but-UK-unable parochial competition does not spur UK into action towards more independent minded security, IDK what will. 😆 Kind of hopium that after 1939-41 and Suez, UK was—"yeah we can rely on US just fine".
Quote
https://x.com/slantchev/status/1898600137343045651
Branislav Slantchev @slantchev · 5h
It's not just the Germans. America's strongest ally in Europe, the UK, is also being driven away by Trump's insane decision to abandon Ukraine to the Russians. It's not just that 68% think stopping aid to Ukraine is the wrong decision, but 73% do not trust Trump to broker peace. x.com/slantchev/stat…
Show more
10:37 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898662659307819063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! :-) Due update to Barlow's "Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" now almost 30yo, for the bio-technology age and the forthcoming singularity, ahem. ;-) Good timing.
9:10 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898653372980298109
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true. But nothing lasts forever. It's the end of the post WW2 ordering, where USA (claimed) to be prepared to wage nuclear war against the Soviet Union invading (West) Germany and France, and the SU believed that US claim.
Now Germany and Poland will need to get their own nuclear deterrent. One way or another. That's ultimately the only protection against Russia invasion. For in a war between nuclear and non-nuclear state, the nuclear can only draw or win, and the non-nuclear can only draw or lose. So a nuclear state once it shifts into predatory mode (Russia Putin imperial, US Trump transactional) will act on that obvious incentive.
Yes, that increases some risks. Nuclear Armageddon remains one of the two major risks. (the other one—much worse covid like world wide pandemic)
8:33 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898506359219388830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noticed half-dozen examples of a pattern: 1) USG claims C on some topic [2) presume Musk trusts USG] 3) turns out USG claim C was wrong, even deliberate lie 4) Musk conclusion: "whatever USG says on the topic, multiply by -1". But that's wrong. If I don't trust USG, my correlation to their claims should be 0, not -1. Or rather, when assessing probability of a claim C, should be P(C)=P(C|USG opined on C). I distrust USG, so it opining on C changes not at all my belief about C.
10:49 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898501380702081163
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c there are 2 sides to it. And that opposing camps are telling only 1/2 of the story. The story is: 99.9% alternative new upstart etc ideas turn out to be wrong. However, those 0.1% where what a maverick proposes turns out right, make 100% of the new significant breakthroughs
10:29 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898490085307269601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think Poland acquiring nuclear deterrent reduces the probability of nuclear war. If they do it-that is. (thus far Europeans lacked will even if the writing was on the wall for some time.)
Scenario. Lacking deterrent, emboldened Greater Russia 1st invades the Baltics. US huffs and puffs, but does nothing much. Then, by now reckless drunk on success, Russia invades Poland too.
At this point US gets involved. A hot war between Russia and US starts that way. It may end in nuclear exchange.
9:44 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898460657063997825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally communist that one! 😂 All communists talked that up all the time: endure more pain, for the better future, for it will be a glorious future.
Every grifter that ever grifted is-trust me bro, jam tomorrow. This is how failing looks like. Will not get better, only worse.
7:47 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898448500821815401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this. Elites got into their heads the idea that general public are imbeciles who can't hold more than a single idea in their heads. So it has to be either 100% good, or 100% bad. (for reasons more self-serving than usually admitted)
Now, of course the average person is not a rocket scientist. (and half are dumber than that) Still, they can hold the idea that there are pros- and cons- both to interventions, and to doing nothing. The average person can handle the idea of gives-and-takes just fine.
We know this for sure. Because people already do that with any number of things. And for things that really do matter to them, and where large enough group of people are informed, even if a majority are uninformed, groups regularly do great. (The Wisdom of Crowds) All it takes is for the ignorant to decide independently, and their errors will cancel out.
When they don't decide independently, but follow each others, errors are all one sided and don't cancel out. Then we have collective stupidity overwhelm collective intelligence. (Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds)
6:59 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898367616047071489
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The worst feelings!
Dispiriting if not despairing—maybe I will find the error by the end of today, or the end of the week, or never...
And—I know there is 1 error. That implies my logic my thinking were faulty. If my logic is faulty—there maybe 1000 errors out there lurking in my code! The terror, the terror of that feeling...
"Writing Solid Code" (that ahem often turns to be "writing boring code") by Steve Maguire was one read that helped me both in practical and in abstract higher level ways. (code examples are in an long outdated C-dialect warning)
1:38 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898363594447733097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes we should! If you have any knowledge or experience or anything than blank slate in the "HOWTO get an MBE" do tell please.
1:22 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898363148597338616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK we are not ignoring. UK invested a lot in green stuff. We tripled our electricity cost in 15 yrs.
That's enough now. To govern is to choose. And short- to mid- term there are more important things. If that means in 100yrs Manchester will have Milan weather—so be it.
UK must drop the green cr*p now, modify and or repeal the NetZero laws. We are ruled by lawyers—hope they are competent enough to be able to pass/change the laws.
UK must build-build-build, more of everything and starting with housing. And for that to happen, everything else must take a 2nd seat. UK needs cheap energy. Drop net0 now.
1:20 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898361811696582796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - and not only about Germany!
MSM are the pits, incapable of even basic reporting of basic facts.
The Gell-Mann amnesia effect is strong with us the readers. People are way more trusting of some random cr*p some rando journo typed in a morning to fill the white on a page
1:15 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898358834151735713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the story there! Also details
> A message sent by Marsalek to fellow spy Orlin Roussev - who ran the UK-based group from a former guest house in Norfolk - demonstrated inside knowledge of Putin's thinking. He wrote: "Personally I find Grozev not to be a very valuable target but apparently Putin seriously hates him."
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1kjwmzvg23o
1:03 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898336994507255964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
operationally, I'd suspect TG maybe more, to be the conduit—
https://x.com/EV_Trapper/status/1898143669951115683
Quote
EV_Trapper @EV_Trapper · Mar 7
This my friends is who the US Government's Director of National Intelligence is. She is subverted whether she realizes that she is.
To explain for conservatives. Tulsi Gabbard is so far gone, that it's like Liz Cheney with her TDS. The delusion that replaced logic, morality & x.com/EV_Trapper/sta…
Show more
11:36 AM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898312894137184499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good! You hit the right nail with the right hammer there: the agent is it's own computer! Every agent instance, has their own computer: own disk, own cpu, own python—own everything. Very good! I=Personal/Computer, Agent=Computer. You nailed the right abstraction there! 👏
10:00 AM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898166409366008283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is "stupid". On the Cippola meaning of stupid: stupid person causes loss, pain, suffering to others, for no gain to himself, even a small loss. His stupidity comes not from low IQ or especially lacking rational faculties, but from lack of morals. Or a different set of morals
12:18 AM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898150928643244122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans are quite shite in many areas. Mostly ones in position to measure and give feedback are not incentivised enough to do so. So they they don't.
Again and again we find that people have inflated sense of their abilities. Answers to questions like "could you wrestle a bear", or "could you win a game of tennis against Serena Williams" etc. (there's is a positive there that people try even at low odds, and sometimes get lucky)
11:17 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898099601598558486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course.
Even in the 1990s, immediately after becoming free again, (with the withdrawal of the Soviet Union armies,) they were talking "either in NATO, or we develop own detterence". That was "their card", and Clinton having some US State he needed to win in elections with a large Polish diaspora.
People speaking now as if NATO wanted to expand are delusional. In fact, the existing members refused to admit new countries. And especially US was reluctant. Only after badgering and pleading for a few years, and with US fearing nuclear proliferation, were the Central and East European countries admitted to NATO.
Now no one in Europe thinks US will fight Russia and risk nuclear Armageddon when Russia invades the Baltics, and then Poland. Or any country in Europe.
People talking as if Art.5 is some magic weapon shielding them form Russia assault. It's a single word. Members promise they will "help" when one of them is attacked. That's it, one word, "help".
So Poland, Finland, the Baltics, the Nordica, ofc need their own detterence. Germany too. They should have started thinking about it the 1st time Trump was elected. And started working on them for sure since Feb-2022.
Europeans had a generation of lazy, feeble minded, entitled leaders. If not outright foreign aligned agents as leaders. (khmMerkelkhm) But now it's clear to all. They need to be able to defend themselves from Russia alone. Possibly even with US allayed with Russia against Europe.
7:53 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898056770712461785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't let the cat out of the bag! 😂 joke, joke 😆
we humans are lucky but more likely it's by trial&error design, that we man are silly billies and will disregard, forget the above, even when repeatedly spelled out to us
5:02 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898039813577531492
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ego. "I", and "the-world-ex-I", have not separated. As babies we can't make distinction between "I" and "everything-else-ex-I" initially, it's all the same to us. Then, in time, we learn of the separation. (can say that-death is the maximum of that.) But narcissists don't learn.
3:55 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898013552213913629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! It's pointless asking any promises of Trump. As his admin will simply not deliver on them.
IMO Ukraine should do the same as Trump and Putin do: sign whatever in bad/no faith. Then mostly ignore, or not, whichever way is opportune to advance their own strength.
Trump doesn't care either way. As long as there is PR news story out there to be told. Putin will do as before, whatever is signed, and continue working on taking over Ukraine. Ukraine lose nothing, if they are bound by nothing. They win getting Trump off their backs.
2:11 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897950492237447607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So why did you run it down yourselves while in power? Why did you double our energy bills with the green cr*p? Why did you bring UK down with the woke sh*t? Why why why??? Before having a shot at getting back in power, you need to answer yourselves 1st, and the voters too next.
10:00 AM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897764249750880347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I got 3-4 tps running on 256 cores amd box with 1TB RAM using llama.cpp and the 4bit quantised .gguf model of about 340GB. IDK the box or ram specs, I imagine the box is 1-2 years old. Good to see it run. But I don't use it really, use other models via theirs API, gui.
9:40 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897696122287571371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The part of leftism you intuitively feel is right but you don't articulate is the "slave morality" we all get from Christianity: to suffer is ok, even good. And for the few real beleviers-even virtuous.
It is indeed a successful organising principle. For in the group dynamics, 90% is cooperation, and only 9% is competition. And in that 9% of activity where we complete, there will be few winners, and many losers.
So indeed to alienate the many, for the benefit of few, is indeed bonkers, it is stupid. For the benefit of the few that are already the winners. 🏆 Winners already get societal prizes like goods, money, get attention, sex, etc - whatever we humans crave.
And are denied only one single piece. A symbolic thing, a gold star, ⭐ a medal🥇 of no real practical consequence: being called "good". Rather- that symbolic prize is awared to the losers. The losers, that let us remember, got nothing else.
Every once in a while, an elite comes along, that is so narcissistic, so insecure, so craven, so ill adjusted, so unaware of this setup-that can't take that symbolic loss. Being denied the designation "good".
So in a monster toddler tantrum, the narcissist elite decide to torch everything, burn everything down. Flip the morals, so "winning is good and virtuous", losing is bad, and now the "good" boy gold 🪙 star is to belong to them. In the process,
to flip to "master morality", they have to tear down the institutions, destroy the government, abolish governance.
We are in that moment now. Musk is the face of the toddler acting the monster tantrum irl.
5:09 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897680746149527863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(good nick)
Haha 😂 - ok silver linings then.
Joke, joke 🤡 don't get mad pls. 😁
Yeah tarrifs bad and braindead. Historic episodes aftermaths of tall tarrif walls between terrible and horrifying, for USA first and foremost. (and also ex-US)
From UK-Europe PoV looks like US is aligning with Russia and in due course will be EU-China vv. US-Russia. With UK TBS if Airstrip1 or in EU camp.
Russia love of Moscow Mule Muskians looks the weak bet there. Russia not Soviet Union. Is 1/2 SU in people and territory. Lacking universalist ideology. (SU communism discredited only late, asset for long time) Produces nothing of value sought by any neighbour. (like Saudi Arabia.) Hydrocarbons an asset, but ever less so. Between Russia energy and not being killed by Russia, most opt for the latter. Alternatives be sought and found. Make do with less. It's not forever. Stone age didn't end for lack of stones.
Central-East Europe stronger now than in 1939-1945, should resist Russia Orc. Inspired by Ukraine "give me freedom of give me death" stand. Germany and France both on the same Europe side.
My UK. Hope current elite of VSP-Very Stupid People ditches woke sh*t & green cr*p sooner rather than latter. To avoid the cursed fate of Trumpland Golf Course meets Airstrip One. TBS what transpires.
Anyways-dispatch from distant lands from total stranger over. out now
4:08 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897668900105359461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They always were ethical or not, exactly as now, for their ethics is not decided at the point of their production, but at the point of their use.
My god whatever you ever were taught about anything you privileged elite boomers gorging on free education was feeding pearls to swine.
3:21 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/kwbased/status/1897611633175704012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—with the persons like @ MsMarkievitz, I have learned
1) They are "stupid" on Cippola's definition of stupidity—"with their actions stupid person will cause great harm and pain to others, while deriving no gain for themselves, even at a small personal loss".
2) This is *not* low IQ or lack of rational faculties! (to be fair to the minority unfortunate retarded people that have genuine hardware faults.) If interested for more—look up Bonhoeffer.
3) The root cause of stupidity is morals. These people lack morals. What they think is good, the rest of us think it bad. (and vice versa)
Or one can even say: they have a different moral code.
Our currently prevalent moral code is "slave morality": Christianity-based moral code, where to suffer is virtuous and to be poor and powerless is not a sin. It's even good.
Alternative moral code would be pagan and e.g. Roman "master morality": to be powerful is good, to be powerless is bad. Poor and feeble deserve their fate, for they are bad people. The ones with power are good people. (might is right)
4) It's a social phenomenon mostly, a "mind virus" even.
Enclosed is my answer to @ MsMarkievitz that I could not chain as reply as I was blocked.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897566234398613962
11:58 AM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897566234398613962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ MsMarkiewicz
On the contrary—I have seen wars, I don't want to fight wars, I don't want my sons to fight wars.
One side not wanting a war is not sufficient for avoiding war, unfortunately. If it were, there would have been World Peace upon us already.
So the 2nd best option to deter the side that is preparing to attack you, or talking about attacking you—by arming yourself to the teeth. Russia is attacking Europe and UK daily already. In their minds they are already at war with the UK.
In that scenario, re-building Europe armies is the way to deter. (maybe) Conventional armies for sure. Even if 3 years late. And Europe needs to expand the nuclear arsenal too. Poland + Baltics + Nordics need to get independent nuclear deterrent imo.
Putin—and his successor—will likely 1) absorb Ukraine, esp the battle hardened army; 2) position pro-Kremlin president of Belarus (after Lukashenka croaks); 3) have Greater Russia uniting all (incl Moldova); 4) likely invade the Baltics (alt: Romania, Bulgaria—if political opening there)
Replying with insults then blocking me so I can't reply? Classy and cunning that plan of yours. I'm bowed in admiration. Not. blocked
8:33 AM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897548018720579661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, вреди дали се секираш и за таа варијанта. Еве предложи што tribute, што е нешто што Путин сака или му треба, може Македонија да му даде? Што е еквивалентно на Алшари и сл прикаски? Не мора да е којзнае колку реално, доволни е идеа со некој потенцијал или сл.
Бугарија и за САД и за Русија стално ќе биде поважна од Македонија. Русија со војна е и скоро основач на модерната Бугарската држава, удел во азбуката, па може да се каже и во модерната нација. За Русија ми личи, дека на Балкан по интерес се 1-Бугарија, па 2-Србија, па 3-Грција. Тешко да се пробие Македонија и на позиција 3, а не па погоре.
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7:21 AM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897424369137095057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David Brooks https://youtu.be/QSa52TR9tCA?si=L8z0U80YiLfPhOVd via @YouTube
youtube.com
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David...
“Put moral formation at the centre of your society”David Brooks' speech was challenging and thought provoking, calling for us to reassess what we think cultu...
11:09 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897419841843191997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Deepseek founder Liang Wenfeng‘s interview https://youtu.be/LknX8qXsgfA?si=aHchfzCjpvkacf8v via
@YouTube
youtube.com
Deepseek founder Liang Wenfeng‘s interview
10:51 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897417980172230974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbh you are deindustrialising UK with high energy prices
10:44 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897361574043771046
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
research= re-search, repeated search for something that works
7:00 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897347868006211642
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
but you will get it. that's why the us course of action is bad. it's not the cowardice. it's that but guarantees a nuclear war about 2040-2050. it's stupid that way. it facilitates the risk it rightly fears.
6:05 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897335328756896130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Could this be the END of Chain of Thought? - Chain of Draft BREAKDOWN!
youtube.com
Chain-of-Draft: The End of Chain of Thought? (Faster Results, Less...
Want to stay on track and up to date with AI? Check out Matt Wolfe's AI Playbook from Hubspot for free here: https://clickhubspot.com/42uxJoin My Newsletter ...
5:16 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897329050236158288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Net zero crap, Chagos, Incapacity benefits, Mobility luxury cars. After 30 sec deliberation from the top of my head.
Next bring inhouse any number currently outsourced services that are just leaking pounds like sieves, are feeding frenzies for contractors, poor value for the rest of us.
Next shutdown or rather bring back quangos into the public sector. Shutdown the Unaccountability Machine. Stop the bungs for friends & family conveyor belt. Most eggreguous examples-jail a few ministers. When did UK last jail one for corruption?
Next put through Parliament the @lfg_uk Looking For Growth draft law.
Next repeal or severely curtail Towns and etc Planning act restricting building. If X wants something built on their land, and Y wants to prevent that-than if Y wins by law in court etc, then it has to pay compensate X for opportunity cost. That will concentrate minds.
Next end Leasehold insanity. Stop 5M people worrying about that semi-criminal enterprise and let them be productive members of society. ECHR challenge? Put carve-outs through in Parliament in a single session.
Or get out of ECHR all together if the lawyers that occupy the commanding heights of UK society are unable or unwilling to make it work for the majority of the UK. Next time a ridiculous sentence like "community service for theft #200, we expect him to not steal for 201-st time" is in the media, the Chief Justice or whoever is their boss and top dog in the judiciary branch: bring him in Parliament, for public grilling, to explain it to a Parliamentary Commission or some such.
The taxes are ATH, state spending at ATH, yet nothing works. Of course that means money badly spent. Victorians built more, with much less money, and much worse technology. I do not accept that contemporary brittons are stupider than their predecessors or lazier or can't do stuff. That is *not* the case. It's not about left or right. It's about basic state competencies. Need to do smarter less stupid, to do more with less.
Go!
4:51 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897321692453536240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The CEO-s themselves are not computer people, have no interest nor compulsion nor talent to drill in, make the last 10% work, then the last 1%, then last 0.1%, then... (you get the idea)
Some consultant/PM is going to tell them a story, they try briefly, ok it's not that it doesn't work at all, so all good.
Their PA is organising their travel, scheduling booking, they personally never spend that much time on their sites. Never have the opportunity to hit the 100 edge cases that make the difference between stellar and meh user experience. It comes from the top.
4:21 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897316493186269632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
George Church: Decoding the Future of Genomics
youtube.com
George Church: Decoding the Future of Genomics
On this episode of FYI, ARK Multiomics analyst Nemo Marjanovic sits down with Professor George Church, a renowned geneticist and entrepreneur from Harvard. T...
4:01 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897306130633658399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH Македонија најпаметно да ангажира некој PR талент-шарлатан. Некој харизматичен лик, како археологот од Охрид со многу саати на рака. (нешто да знаел колку е саатот во разните универзуми?) За да почне да плете добри фантастични приказни. Нешто скриени злата на Александар, микс со прастари рудници, плус Алшари ретки минерали невидени непознати богатства. (ама за беља ете закопани во земја, нешто така; како Литиум Србија) Може и да врзат со камената вселенска опсерваторија. Тука нешто и со AI, па Портали, паралелни светови и слично.
Па ако се случи нешто неочекувано, некако Бугарија, Грција, Албанија да се договорат (не верувам, ама за секој случај) "конечно да го решат македонското прашање". Ако се случи да бараме воена помош и војска од САД, да има МКД tribute, нешто за давање, што може да му се понуди даде во залог на Трамп. Како Украинците со нивните "ретки руди и минерали".
Може ако има некои од тие клик-спамерите од Велес (со рекламен $$$ од фејк њуз "Breaking! Папата Умре!") ако ги има уште, од нив да ангажираат за кампања на Фејсбук, Трамп Соушал. Може сега најново некој shitcoin нешто крипто да направат, па и така да вложат во ликот и делото на Трамп. Може тоа и најефективно, best value for money. Да вложи MKD $100М од државен буџет во некоја "стратегиска крипто резерва" на Трамп и тоа добра инвестиција? Осигурување за секој случај, за недајбоже.
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3:20 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897270271255474419
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think many already do. 100K maybe seem stretch on first sight. 10K-20K Is not even logistically difficult. But consider this.
Just take your public sector employes. About 10% of them are not teachers, doctors, policeman but various pen-pushers of no consequence. They can be hired-fired on the strength of their party loyalty. Select 10% of them that are in-confidence-enough, able and willing. That's 1% of the public sector workforce. Assign 10 accounts to each. Multiply by the known size of public sector in various countries.
Now 100K does not look out of reach for many countries, no?
It annoys me to no extent the there is no market mechanism to compel Zucks and Musks of the Tech to offer optional 1) realHumanIRL; and or 2) realHuman; 3) filtering/selection on 1&2 yes/no.
I am fine with pseudo/anonymous and all manner of accounts, I'm not advocating for any compulsory ID by anyone, not on X, not on the Web, not on the Internet. (and I'm against compulsory ID cards in the UK; whenever that topic arises)
I'm advocating for 1) on X only 2) accounts that *do want themselves* do have *real person* verified by X, 3) for X to have a process to do that, 4) for accounts that want it themselves; and 5) I as a user of whatever designation - free, premium, premium+, verified or not, to 6) have tools where I can filter, select etc posts and accounts on that axis of difference, verified real life/human yes/no.
I already do this to some extent imperfectly by necessity via lists etc. Just advocating for X to help me a bit. I already e.g. verify my ID to my bank to use their online services. X could offer—non-compulsory, voluntary for accounts that want it—service for that.
Again—voluntary, for X only, accounts that do want it themselves. Coupled with the option of others to filter select on that, yes/no optional.
12:57 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897255419841773789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK we are paying a price for that.
I got the impression most of the activists lobbyists class don't know their kWh of energy from their MW of power, and that still have not learned and internalised that supply must balance demand every second of every day, or "very very bad things will happen".
The wide pubic are of course ignorant of that, as they should be! The above is not a slight on the Great British public.
The ruling elite, on the other hand, should know better. The feedback mechanism will kick in action, and lead to demise of the current established and instalment of the new incumbent elite at some point. But I fear that point will come only when the general public is alerted to the state of affairs.
And that is likely to happen via a nation-wide blackout. Of the type when UK has to resort to the Dinorwig to bootstrap its National Grid back online from a total power-off. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout.
11:58 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897252630948352126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing! But that's the best sleeper agent, right? One that is not your explicit agent. Is manoeuvered in position of power to execute on their genuine desires & plans that align with yours. It's the perfect undetectable agent. Passes the most stringent allegiance test.
11:47 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897242881636630947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now it was spelled out to me, can't stop seeing it left and right everywhere now: 😭 human stupidity is not low IQ, it's lacking in morals. It's wrongly deciding what's good, and what's bad.
Forget AI for enhancing supplementing Human Intelligence, that's a sideshow. If AI can be patient and cunning enough to get into the mindset of cretins like the dude above, somehow manage to alter their value system, about what's good and what's bad, that would HUGE. Help humanity with its current predicament: too many of us are too stupid.
That level of collective stupidity makes cohabitation with very large numbers of people not work. The stupid will choose a course of action that is neutral or disadvantages themselves even, while creating humongous cost and pain and suffering to scores of people around them.
There are no easy solutions afaik. The stupid are genuine. The imbecile above is not faking it. He genuinely thinks mass murder of people his father happily lived with, is good. Destroying levelling cities his father built, is for the better.
No not-stupid person can forecast and counter the stupidity displayed above. It will not occur to a not-stupid human to think up that kind of thinking as a possibility. It's a hard problem. 😳 Also seems of fractal nature—stupidity permeates thinking about all things, big and small. Starting with the very foundational one at the base: killing other people is wrong, isnogood. My god. 😶
11:08 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897226280791376107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and my luck with those ladies is ever improving! The post above was a great success within seconds 😂
10:02 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897224246054592813
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read somewhere that it's part of the bot farm keeping the accounts "warm", not allowing them to go "cold". (and be detected and deleted by X? IDK, guessing here) I noticed them because they were all 0 or 1 Following or Followers, (e.g. like @ Lisafuka), but were not created in Feb-2025.
Ok, re-checking now, last 3 (@ Lisafuka, Stacy_he_nu, Lesliezusu) are from [Dec-24,Jan-25]. So not that long ago. I guess they create them 1st, takes sometime to create them in bulk. Before they start using them.
9:54 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897221894333673815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But even without these drugs, say if I starve myself in controlled fashion, and with exercise, there is still muscle mass.
So to me "is there muscle loss" is not much of an interesting questions. We know the answer is—"yes". Yes, when I weigh 130kg I will have more muscle muss than when I weight 90kg. Even when I lose the 40kg with self-starvation.
The more interesting question for me is: if I reach 90kg (from 130kg) with two methods, two routes 1) self-starving 2) Mounjaro, then which is the route, that leads to less muscle loss? (relative, absolute, combo of measures, etc)
9:45 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897198631356379420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This account got into the good books of some bot farm—yay! Achievement unlocked. 😶
Stacey, Jenny, Melanie, Jessica, ... (LovelyGirl123) ... can't stop loving my posts. 😂
This is lovely, haha. How little feedback suffices. 😇
8:12 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897196925079970302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "This is mine now even it was not yesterday, so now by keeping 1/2 and not keeping 1/2, I'm doing you a huge concession"—art of the Russian deal. Rinse and repeat. That's how you become the largest country in the world by land mass. They are like The Borg of empires.
8:06 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897190549309858113
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha—thanks! Yeah, I should have run it through ChatGPT to make it organise it and make it less chaotic. It's only a few extra steps, but anything more than a single tap "Enhance This" prior to pressing Send, becomes too much in time it seems. I'm hopeful Grok offers that as writing help in due course. The complementary "Explain This" when reading posts I find it excellent.
7:40 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897189481259696625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for the reply and the kind words.
Outliers in high-dimensional spaces early indicators of emerging patters? Yes, possible. Do tell more if you can please. :-) I'll have to think about it. I have no thoughts on that at present time.
Only maybe vaguely related, that I have one thought on. On the quantity->quality transition. (this "quantity->quality" I recall from high school philosophy class lifetime ago.) I've been minorly but for some time annoyed by not having good knowledge on how to say select good number of components in PCA, (and related - ICA, and other dimensionality "reduction" methods) without "rule of thumb", trial and error, "method". If this looks something that maybe relevant, read on. Otherwise, feel free to stop here now.
Suppose I have a 5-dimensional observation and I'm wondering if it's really only 4 dimensions there. One way I check is - do a PCA, then look at the size of the remaining variance along the axis that is the smallest component (the one at the tail end, when sorting the PCA components by size of the variance explained). If the remaining variance is 0 for the 5-th component - that's easy, I can say: well, it was only ever a 4-dimensional observation that I had after all.
However, in the real world it's never going to be exactly 0. What if it is 1e-10? 1e-1? 1? At what size does the variance along that smallest PCA axis count as an additional dimension in my data? The thresholds are domain dependent - I can for sure say that enough quantity in the extra dimension gives a rise to that new dimension, adds a new quality. Obversely - diminishing the (variance) quantity in the extra dimension removes that dimension eventually (and with total certainty at the limit of 0).
I can extend the logic from this simplest case of linear dependency (where PCA suffices) all the way to to the most general case where I have a general program (instead of PCA), and the criterion is predicting forecasting the values in the extra dimension, with the associated forecasting error having the role of the variance in the PCA case. At some error quantity >0 I have to admit I have a new dimension (quality).
Emergence and similar 1) where that quantity is large enough to give rise to new quality 2) this this new quality becomes a new dimension in the phenomenon investigated; my observations data goes from N-dim vector to become (N+1)-dim.
("More is Different" is a succinct summary of "enough quantity becomes a new quality")
7:36 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897178754998559130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for telling us the story outline as well as many details. I have had it enough now with willful peddlers of stupidies for clicks and giggles like the account you quote and correct. Blocking them now on first infraction I am confident enough to be correct.
6:53 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897175162124165274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How many fighter jets, and how many tanks, did USA did send in the end? Anyone know the tally? How many US jets reached Ukraine? How many US tanks reached Ukraine?
6:39 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897169253188473242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In N-dimensional space, for sufficiently large N, every N-point, is an outlier. In that N-space, the space moves in the corners. There is little space left in the centre. We know this, because when looking at what happens to the ratio of N-ball to N-cube N-volume measures, we see the ratio drop quickly with increasing N.
For example, in a latent N-space of say an LLM layer, where N=1K all the way to N=10K. All the data points the layer ever tunes to, will be outliers exclusively.
It's unfortunate that our intuition about how the space fills, that we build on examples from our physical world where N=2 or N=3, is not only inadequate, but outright deceptive to us. Those things for high-N, stand exactly the opposite, to how they are, for low-N. Various measures of centrality, that we think of as representative, are actually not representing what we hope they are.
6:16 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897164196845850891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now it was spelled out to me, can't stop seeing it left and right everywhere now: 😭 human stupidity is not low IQ, it's lacking morals. It's wrongly deciding what's good, and what's bad.
Forget AI for enhancing supplementing Human Intelligence, that's a sideshow. If AI can be patient and cunning enough to get into the mindset of cretins like the dude below, somehow manage to alter their value system, about what's good and what's bad, that would HUGE. Help humanity with its current predicament: too many of us are too stupid.
That level of collective stupidity makes cohabitation with very large numbers of people not work. The stupid will choose a course of action that is neutral or disadvantages themselves even, while creating humongous cost to other people around him.
There are no easy solutions afaik. The stupid are genuine. The imbecile below is not faking it. He genuinely thinks mass murder of people his father happily lived with, is good. Destroying leveling cities his father built, is for the better.
No not-stupid person can forecast and counter the above. It will not occur to a not-stupid human to think up the above as a possibility. It's a hard problem. 😳 It seems of fractal nature. Stupidity permeates thinking about all things, big and small. Starting with the very basic: killing other people is wrong, isnogood. My god. 😶
Quote
https://x.com/United24media/status/1896861269056974951
UNITED24 Media @United24media · Mar 4
A woman asks a Russian man what his country is fighting for.
Watch his response 👇
5:56 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897158489652486418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vibe politicking, vibe ruling - there's no plan.
Shake that kaleidoscope, see what happens, repeat.
Those around him do have a plan though it seems.
Volcker 2. Tariffs instead of IR to raise prices, reduce consumption of the below median half of the country, fight inflation. Energy independence to stave off any imported inflation from weaker dollar. Shitcoins to create dollar doubt, if not competition, weaken the dollar.
The grifting element, all the way to semi-criminal one, is strong with him. But there's incompetence to go with the malice too.
Uninformed opinion looking from afar. My vibe on this if you like.
5:33 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897154328244183328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
YT algofeed always seems to find +1 podcast about "universal unified theory this" or "quantum that". Looks to me like a crisis of reading and comprehension. Not crisis of writing? This will add to the already plentifull supply side. IDK.
If it helps us with gravity, designs some wildly successful anti-gravity device or rocket engine, I guess I'd be bowed over. Something SciFi now - like changes curles space into some swirl, gravity undoes itself etc. Some magic like that.
Seems to me while humanity has made inroads with electricity, magnetism, nuclear - but little progress on gravity? We are almost as shackled to Earth as Cromagnons were. Progress = devise clever trick how to lift loads off the earth, (and into space,) thousand times or million times times more efficient than currently.
5:16 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897041702780842041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me looks he wants for the war to go away, in whichever way. For fighting to stop. While cares not about what happens to Ukraine. If Russia could conquer it today, and make the problem go away that way—that'd be fine with Trump, Musk etc. That's the only consideration.
9:49 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897040639662936169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One wishes—but only #1 is realistically possible.
#2 Implies American soldiers dying in Ukraine. Given US loathes (and or is scared etc) to sell weapons to Ukraine, don't see how #2 is realistic.
#3 Is even less likely. Putin has not given up on taking over the whole of Ukraine. That's still his aim. Given he's got US neutral now (if not outright ally) with the cut off of US weapons for Ukraine, IDK why he would give up now.
9:45 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897013335327117586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy to advocate whichever way when you are not the one getting murdered, killed, raped.
Leave it to the Ukrainians to decide. They know best. If you decide to help, heed their pleas what help they want, that your are okay to supply.
Not difficult to do the right thing.
7:56 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897000750053777431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes, not yet - but you are about to get one; then your will have both spending and revenue problems
7:06 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896994206142329317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be precise: the OP is the first to write "Marx" on this thread. As for the rest-I bid you goodbye. I can just about muster interest in various ideologies, Idea-ism-s. But various People-ism-s are beyond my interests.
Find it even tad sad. We are each one-and-only unique. Never before and never after another one to exist exactly like I. We are alloted limited time. Attaching myself to some other Person-ism, feels like refusing a precious gift. Or even not keeping my side of a bargain.
6:40 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896979768572305423
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is that your main worry? "Is the analysis Marxist, or is it not Marxist?" That's what you worry. How much Marxist it is - is it too little, or is it too much. Yeah - my Marxism is rusty, it was in 1989 probably that I studied the subject at Uni. (obligatory non-elective subject)
5:43 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896977967462416584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - thanks dude or dudete. I'm honoured for any living soul to read my posts this carefully! As a means of thanks, here is serendipitous talk YT algo found me while walking in the sun earlier today-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
Never heard of the guy before. Hope you enjoy it.
Having said that. I'm not going to litigate what I wrote or didn't, with a cross between Wittgenstein and Kafka's interrogator its seems. IDK you IRL, and pseudo-anon too.
In general terms, how I think of this, for the benefit of any reader. (articulated imperfectly again.) I speculate of something ("x") that happened in the recent past, that may influence something else ("y") that may or may not happen in the future.
1. Some ideas exist in my head, deciding on x, y, knowing of f(x,y);
2. Then my words communicate the x, y, and the change between f(y|x) and f(y);
3. Then on the receiving end, in the head of the reader of these words, the words trigger: their's x, y, changes in g(y|x) and g(y).
There is little chance that the identical setup exists in your head too (identical x and y, f==g). Allow for incompetence to explain what may come over to you as malice.
youtube.com
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David...
“Put moral formation at the centre of your society”David Brooks' speech was challenging and thought provoking, calling for us to reassess what we think cultu...
5:36 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896971744424157404
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - he's any-truth now. Gone post-post-modern, our Muskie. Transcended our plane, elevated himself to a higher plane! 😂
But wait! Maybe this is 9-dimensional chess, of the "the most entertaining - wins!"-type!! "Mwahaha-suck on that losers!" 🤪
5:11 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896920648032846167
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
plan code name "Volcker 2"? but tariffs raise prices reduce consumption, rather than engineering unemployment via IR?
1:48 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896919299245420982
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, quite magical. 😇 (the involution)
I used DCT too, done ASR speech recognition in the HMM pre-DNN world. "Mel-Spectral filter bank + apply DCT = Mel-Cepstrum". (what lingo! some anon with sense of humour at work there 😂 )
1:42 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896913118179250524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the sado-moralism is super strong, don't think it ever goes away
1:18 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896911461362078191
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
thanks—no worries, no offence taken ofc. (I'm of the thicker skin, and literally too 😂 )
1:11 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896908198168207608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! And here is another one for you. 😇
I have yet to meet a normie, that is not completely oblivious to the fact, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation.
Normies—too selfish? too self-entitled to create something for all, for nothing? for the love of the creation, and nothing else?—do not realize what has happened. How the world they live daily in was created.
Not to be too harsch—but the (non-CompSci) intelligentsia class is even more ignorant, if that's even possible?? Have yet to meet a single aspiring marxist that's ever heard of the ideas of Free and or Open Software, FSF/RMS etc.
12:58 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896901870041375073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No wonder you are losing your war. What's said there is delusional. It's like when small children want the world to be as per their desires.
Fossil fuels are super cheap. That's the problem with them! That's why the world can't kick them out. They are cheap and easily available.
If renewables were "too cheap to meter", like your side has been saying for decades now, the switch would have happened quickly, easily, painlessly. There would be no need for extra policy—would happen on its own.
Wind and solar are expensive when the need to be 100% reliable is factored in. Hence the need for subsidies etc. I have rooftop solar + batteries, know my kWh energy from MW power, know that national grid needs to balance every second of every day. There is not one country in the whole world, with BOTH significant wind+solar AND cheap electric energy. Not one.
Being ignorant and innumerate is your biggest enemy. One can think anything about Marx, but few would disagree—he was clear eyed in his analysis. His acolytes nowadays—not so much.
12:33 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896897389627334893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, we don't know yet, we can't know, right? B/c it's in the future, and the future hasn't happened yet. This is my personal speculation.
"Leftist fever dream"—I grew up in SE Europe in late socialism. So no—I don't dream of "leftism". IDK what you are talking about.
12:15 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896896270997889336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—agree with your points.
I'm not saying I agree with his policies. Nor do I cheer him to succeed. Nor do I think policies consequences are going to pan out the way that wing of MAGA expects they will. I bet Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act looked pretty good in 1930.
I'm just stating what it looks to me what the policies will be, looking at his moves so far.
12:11 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896890910199210364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ongoing—pulling US out of NATO next.
Hm—Trump 2 term policies are shaping up?
Internationally—divide the world in spheres, US rules the Americas, China rules EAsia, Russia rules WAsia + EEurope.
Domestically—engineer Volcker 2 recession to start with (next 3-6mo; tariffs additional tax + federal spend cuts = depress consumption), fight inflation, bill paid for by
Quote
Antonello Guerrera @antoguerrera · 5h
Bad news for Starmer and Macron. Vance confirms the only US security guarantee in Ukraine will be the mineral deal. He also plays down British & French peacekeeping troops as “20k troops from some random country that hasn’t fought a war in 30 or 40 years”.
Rate proposed Community Notes
11:50 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896874725537620030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - nice! Thanks for taking time to explain. Here's another one as a means of thanks. 😇
Often we are interested only in the amplitude of the FT. We don't care about the phase. Say we take 256 numbers in time domain, do DFT, come up with another 256 numbers in FT domain, then throw away the 128 phases, and use only the 128 amplitudes.
Wasteful spending processing to get 256 numbers, then throw away 1/2 of them. Hartley Transform to the rescue. It's like "FT in real domain only". Instead of DFT, we do DHT Discrete Hartley Transform. And we get our 128 amplitudes only right out. No flops wasting.
(follow back, you deserved it ☺️)
10:45 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896873560460914847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - good takes there! Two things.
1) The retarded "low IQ" is not lack of reasoning capabilities, it's bad morals. Doing stupid is downstream from thinking good is bad, and bad is good. (from our PoV) Also facilitates "be nice again" to genuine retards with real hardware faults.
I saw that argument put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus (ha!-Elon!) in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss"; links https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268).
2) Soviets, and then Russians inherited it, score well at anti-rationality: flood the field with sh*t, (Bannon; after Surkov) lie mercilessly destroy the possibility for there being a single truth. Industrial quantities of random cr*p do exhaust our thinking capacities.
Western "useful idiot" of the old ("govnojed" in the designation of their Eastern appreciators) has been replaced by a 21-st Century "nutnik" (= nutter + vatnik) online variant. Some going professional find their vocation as influencers peddling Kremlin smut for clicks and giggles in the attention economy.
10:41 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896874725537620030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - nice! Thanks for taking time to explain. Here's another one as a means of thanks. 😇
Often we are interested only in the amplitude of the FT. We don't care about the phase. Say we take 256 numbers in time domain, do DFT, come up with another 256 numbers in FT domain, then throw away the 128 phases, and use only the 128 amplitudes.
Wasteful spending processing to get 256 numbers, then throw away 1/2 of them. Hartley Transform to the rescue. It's like "FT in real domain only". Instead of DFT, we do DHT Discrete Hartley Transform. And we get our 128 amplitudes only right out. No flops wasting.
(follow back, you deserved it ☺️)
10:45 AM · Mar 4, 2025
[[deleted
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896859083392639016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - nice! Thanks for taking time to explain. Here's another one as a means of thanks. 😇
Often we are interested only in the amplitude of the FT. We don't care about the phase. Say we take 256 numbers in time domain, do DFT, come up with another 256 numbers in FT domain, then throw away the 128 (complex) phases, and use only the 128 (real) amplitudes.
Wasteful spending processing to get 256 numbers, then throw away 1/2 of them. Hartley Transform to the rescue. It's like "FT in real domain only". Instead of DFT, we do DHT Discrete Hartley Transform. And we get our 128 amplitudes only right out. No flops wasting.
(follow back, you deserved it ☺️ )
]]
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896856316825747905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 — ok IK it's a rhetorical Q, but in my mind this created a pic of Ad Cos operating like Market Makers, earning their bid-ask spread tik-tok tik-tok but on multi-years time scales. 😂
In few years the next craze N comes, they take the same story boards from N-2 craze few years back. 😂 tik-tok, tik-tok 😇
9:32 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896849891298595089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have considered that possibility. Yes, it's possible that that is the reason.
Good. I encourage you to continue digging evidence, evidence for-, and evidence against-, that possibility. Because it's not certain. Could be as you say, could be something else. Could be both to some extent.
And if you want to, you come up, or read up read on, on another possibility. And then dig for evidence for-, and evidence against-, that other possibility.
Typically I try to net the evidence, as one has to weight multiple items of evidence, for each of the possibilities. To somehow "add evidence" one on top of the other, both for- and against-. To get to some measure of "how likely it is" that the possibility is true.
Then as if in a trial, but where a jury decides not "beyond reasonable doubt", but "on the balance of probabilities", I try to make up my mind.
Yeah this takes some effort and time. So for most things I don't do it. I have not got strong opinion either way. If someone asks me, I say IDK "I don't know". To tell you the truth—that's a bit liberating, as if not carrying weight on the shoulders, to not have to worry that much, about most things.
But for few things I take interest in, maybe out of fancy, or because they impact my life and I'm forced to make some decision, I try do as described. hth
9:07 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896776422074556724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think there are constraints, the number of options is not infinite. But also we have the power to actively chose between the options. Or even engineer an option extra. It's not beyond us humans. So I don't give anyone, not least the academics, a "get out of jail free" card.
Coming back to morality/epistemology. Yes—the academics are as guilty as anyone for mistaking "good or bad", for "true or false". Too many take the easy feeble minded routes "I like therefore good therefore true", "I dislike therefore bad therefore false". In that they are like most people though. For we are usually worse than morals->truths. We take another shortcut, we go beauty->morals->truths! 😱 So aesthetics driving morality driving epistemology.
Having spent time in academia as postgrad (and having academics in family), my opinion of academia is probably less than the average. I found writing papers boring, few people inspiring but most not. Young students were great—bright sparks there. For me writing code was interesting, getting things to run and do stuff worth my effort. So spent my time in industrial R&D. (also—better pay, important when relocating countries/starting new life, more meritocratic b/c easier to establish merit)
Given that academic research is supposed to free people from commercial market pressures (research funding is decided more like central planning), so they have more time to think more, be more free thinking, it's doubly disappointing how few do anything of the sort. How few live what one might call "examined lives".
Anyways. Coming back to again to morals/epistemology. Not long ago stumbled online on the idea that wilful ignorance to the point of stupidity is a moral failing, a case of bad morals, not a case of low IQ, or lacking rational thought.
I saw that argument put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss"; links here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268). And the more I noticed, the more convinced I become that it's more true than I thought initially.
(I started if not sceptic, then a bit prejudiced against the claim; seemed mildly counterintuitive b/s click bait; hoped to dismiss it as it seemed bad news on first sight)
4:15 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896754422203445654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - a well worn trick. Having not read the paper, just guessing. Instead of convolution or correlation or similar of x and y in time domain, first Fourier transform x and y into X and Y, then multiply X an Y in Fourier domain, then transform the result back in time domain, by inverse Fourier transform.
2:47 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896744225477112232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, about that. Willful ignorance to the point of stupidity is a moral failing, a case of bad morals, not a case of low IQ, or lacking rational thought.
I saw that argument put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss"; links here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845). And the more I notice, the more convinced I become that it's more true than I thought initially.
I started if not sceptic, then a bit prejudiced against the claim. Seemed mildly counterintuitive b/s, kind of a click bait. And tbh hoped to dismiss it as it seemed bad news on first reading.
2:07 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896738998011183430
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
I'd assume he did, I 'd assume the OP thinks that's corrupt too. Why wouldn't he?? An average reasonable personal would.
I am not USian, live on the other side of the world, follow not US politics. Yet years ago when it was in the local news that "no good, without qualifications, son of a president, earns millions for not doing much in a far away country" thought - well that smells of corruption of some sort.
But by the same token, ask yourself now: why did *you* think the OP thought Biden son was not corruption? Why did you think so? Did you think so, because you value your side more, than whether something is true or false? You won't be the first to be using like/dislike as a way of deciding on whether something is true/false tbh. Most people use their feelings to decide on truthfulness.
1:46 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896731866599964866
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep it makes sense.
To me "AI will enslave us" moral panic looked the usual moral panic BS too start with. Something we humans do with every new tech.
Then I thought "we are anthropomorphizing this again". (prior examples of us doing similar https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877086487038316725) Enslaving a weaker species is what we humans elect to do. So we assume by automatism that every other species would do the same.
But now @SchmidhuberAI makes an excellent point: the energy and matter needed to further an Intelligence on a cosmic scale, is found outside of our biosphere. So that's where AI will go to expand.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 8
Replying to @bryan_johnson
Of course we are. Slow learners, with big egos. That's us - humans.😁
Earth is special, whole Cosmos revolves around it, and by extension - us!, then - Copernicus. 😳
We are special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life?? 😰
But
Show more
1:18 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896726154884665368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This was my last best as of about 3 weeks ago
# Aider supports using a pair of models for coding:
# An Architect model is asked to describe how to solve the coding problem. Thinking/reasoning models often work well in this role.
# An Editor model is given the Architect’s solution and asked to produce specific code editing instructions to apply those changes to existing source files.
# https://aider.chat/2025/01/24/r1-sonnet.html
aider-openrouter-best() {
local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model openrouter/deepseek/deepseek-r1 --editor-model openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet;
}
12:55 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896720974738833708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You should bail out of the bed you find yourself with the Russians.
Moscow Mule Musk is good PR, but Russians pay in kind by results nor vibes.
You are making Zel more popular than ever it seems. You will likely fail to remove him. And then you will find yourself having to watch your tea, and not watch through any nearby windows.
This plan of yours isn't going to work. For you can't fire-hire your way through executing it, as it works with companies. A country is not a business.
12:34 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896712918034792559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Living in interesting times again. 😬
I wonder who ends in exile, jail, or worse, first:
1) Moscow Mule Musk; or
2) Zelensky of Ukraine
Quote
Polymarket Intel @PolymarketIntel · 9h
Elon Musk: “As distasteful as it is, Zelensky should be offered some kind of amnesty in a neutral country in exchange for a peaceful transition back to democracy in Ukraine.”
12:02 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896709621001437413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Willful ignorance to the point of stupidity is a moral failing, a case of bad morals, not a case of low IQ, or lacking rational thought.
I saw it put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain even at a small loss"; links here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845). And the more I notice, the more convinced I become that's it's more true than I thought initially.
I started if not sceptic, certainty bit prejudiced against the claim. Seemed mildly counterintuitive b/s, sort of click bait. Hoped to dismiss as it seemed very bad news too on first reading.
11:49 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896688728011084226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Also recent MacBook user (lifetime Windows since MSDos, then Linux):
1) $ brew install, then asitop vim git gcc ...
2) iTerm2
3) learn shortcuts and or adapt define
4) iStat on the menu bar
So far so good - loving it 😍
10:26 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896683099339022521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found being aggressive even preemptive in shaping the feed pays dividends.
Remember - Block-ing is now one-way block only. It simply means your account becomes read-only to the blocked. While it also does inform the algorithm. Much closer to Mute. I used "Show me less of/this" too, but that became a chore quickly, as is multiple taps.
True the Algofeed seems very aggressive in that interaction with subject Y brings in a flood of Y-related into the feed. I maintain thematic accounts Lists, (and especially fit well Xpro Decks) and they do work to remedy the above problem. They are like thematic extra "For you" personalised feeds.
Yeah the revealed morals of Musk/oids are a disappointment. But hardly new or surprising, right? Their stupid antics are kept mostly out of my feeds at low level acceptable with the above. (and thanks to them, researching on stupidity lead me to learning "stupidity is not low IQ, but is low morals, being imoral" etc-very useful knowledge! every cloud silver lining etc)
Having said that-no reason to not have accounts everywhere and replicate your social graph Following-Followers everywhere really. It's the social graph ands not the posts history that keeps us in the walled garden. The “public square N² iron law of network value” is not going anywhere. It's the price we pay to have a semblance of single public square.
10:04 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896582307424694421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK much physics and am physics' nobody, so persuading me will not bring you closer to your aim.
You need to persuade other physicists. I imagine physicists doing research outside academia maybe more receptive to new ideas then ones inside.
Science is a social activity. It's practices by groups, not mere single person. Getting something right that others get wrong is a first step only. Necessary but not sufficient. Everyone has their own idea how they are to use their time they got allocated here and now. They will not give you their time willy-nilly. We all have other things we want to do.
Still I think 1) making a forecast about the future; or 2) achieving some feat, currently impossible, is the best way to make people give you some of their time.
3:23 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896579478526017854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ronald Regan was an actor too. That's didn't disqualify him from bring a president. Trump was a TV personality (among other things) too with his own show.
IDK about Ukraine - never been there, don't speaking the language. Police beat someone? Yeah I imagine policeman use force on someone every day in every country.
"old Orthodox Priest" - No idea what that is, sorry. I am a (lapsed) Orthodox Christian, have been in orthodox churches, at ceremonies etc. There are many orthodox churches, they are distributed decentralised. They are not like Vatican and Catholicism, one single thing.
3:12 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896576978917982248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is this a physics model?
If it is, then afaik you can make a forecast of something that will happen, that will be observed in the future. Then your model needs to be correct about the observation. While the currently used models get it wrong.
Then someone will take notice. Typically some younger upstart.
Or maybe you make a machine that achieves some feat, currently impossible. Physics related - seems to me while humanity has made inroads with electricity, magnetism, nuclear - seems little progress on gravity?? We are almost as shackled to Earth as Cromagnons were. Say you make a device to lift loads off the earth, and into space, say 10 times more efficient than now - I imagine people will take notice.
Is this along the lines of what you have in mind?
3:02 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896573869353513331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fine. Obviously nothing happens without USA (and everyone else in the club I think?) agreeing to it. "No" is a reasonable answer too.
2:50 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896572919872106758
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But your got some attention. I see 600+ "views" of their post above. So def not zero. Do you want *more* attention? Is attention (level of) the final aim? It do you want to convert it to something else?
2:46 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896559894314013150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please if you can work on your character. Find a religion, or maybe read on religion or philosophy or some such. Or even find a moment you can spare for yourself, think about life and universe and everything.
You are being stupid, but stupidity is not mere low IQ or being bad at reasoning. No—stupidity is a moral failing. It's the case of bad morals. Thinking that something is good when it's bad, and the other way around. Links with YT videos
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845
I bid you good bye as I'm blocking you now. For being rude in addition to stupid. (X blocking is one way only nowadays; you can still read the links.) blocked
1:54 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896552399390601257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Money for what? Donated what? It's not his war. Russia is trying to conquer them, subjugate them. It's attacking their cities daily, killing them where it can. They are defending their lives, their country. If they lay down their arms, they will be killed. That's why they are fighting and not surrendering. If it was him fighting a war without support of the other 40M people, there would have been no war. As he would have been removed on day one.
1:25 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896551508990165344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I dislike his AI doomerism too.
However—imo saying it's *all* fear-mongering is too strong a claim. Yes—there is more fear-mongering that I'd ideally want to see. But there is more than that.
There is part that is not fear-mongering. For example analysing information flows in humans' information networks. (in Nexus) I like him analysing human organisations and how information flows. Reading it placed in historic context is interesting too. Many CompSci people do the same for machines. But not so much for humans. And with humans, mostly concern themselves in the context of Social Media.
Having said that: I can't understand how anyone can write a whole book on the topic of information, and forego the opportunity to tell millions of readers: "you think information is something strange, or amorphous, or not well defined, but we actually have a very good handle of Information. This is how it's defined. (...I flip a coin, hide the result; now I know and you don't; next I tell you the result; there—I just gave you 1 bit of information...)." And tie that in with probability, and with Shannon entropy, and with "how much information do we gain when observing one symbol." But hey—probably I'm wrong thinking this. For only one among us is a best selling author. 😇
1:21 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896548132965711996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yes. And additionally - Zel offered to step down as a price he is prepared to personally pay for Ukraine to be admitted into NATO. A very good move on his part.
1:08 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896544242144514127
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
You are forecasting a future your detractors wish for. You maybe right, or you maybe wrong.
However, we have the recent past, where UK followed on the policies you advocate for. This past is not in doubt. The results are in, and they are uniformly bad. UK contribution to global-anything is minuscule, the effect insignificant. At the same time, the country is croaking under the weight of those policies. Your policies already made UK weaker and poorer than it needed to be.
I wish we could go in time, and undo the damage your policies had done. But that's not possible. So the 2nd best thing, one possible, is to stop listening to anything you say, and bid you and your policies good bye.
12:52 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896541615965061455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but don't you think "maintain an epistemology that is independent from their morality" is too much of an ask? We'd need super-humans, angels for that. Is that even possible for everything?
Isn't more achievable "be aware that my epistemology is influenced by my morals, be vigilant, test what you can, in preference to assuming"? I mean sometimes it's easy. I can see with my own eyes if the sun is shinning right now or not. But for anything non trivial it quickly becomes a question of trust.
With natural sciences we have got independent from us feedback to guide us. We are lucky that way. Everyone else is more at sea than us.
12:42 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896537159479263726
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
I fear my epistemology maybe downstream from my morals. That may explain how and what we choose to believe, and what to disbelieve. Then what we perceive as stupidity, impossible to comprehend level of wrongness—turns out was a moral failing, a case of bad morals. (or at least—morals set different to mine)
12:24 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896537159479263726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear my epistemology maybe downstream from my morals. That may explain how and what we choose to believe, and what to disbelieve. Then what we perceive as stupidity, impossible to comprehend level of wrongness—turns out was a moral failing, a case of bad morals. (or at least—morals set different to mine)
12:24 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896535111144804771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is anything wrong with pushing Putin to stop attacking Ukraine? All I read from you and Moscow Musk are calls for Ukraine to stop defending and lay down arms. Well—they can't do that, for Russia will simply murder them.
Have you or Musk ever called on Putin to stop attacking Ukraine, stop murdering Ukrainians?
There used to be a sliver of people called the "useful idiots" until 1990 in the West. They were called "govnojeds" in the East by their appreciators. In the online age I have seen "nutnik" = a vatnik, that is nuts too. You shouldn't aspire to be a nutnik Lex.
12:16 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896522027462275426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish you were right. But I fear you'll be shown wrong by future events.
IDK for sure ofc, as I haven't got any special or non-public knowledge. I'm not in the US nor from the US. I'm observing as if a light from a distant galaxy. Given this is online chatter, a little tittle-tattle is not beyond me too. ;-)
Having said that—I do have a viewpoint. As this, and the outcome of the whole thing, affects me too.
IMO Musk is exactly 180 degrees wrong thinking "if we don't give Russia what it wants, then WW3". I think it is that if US+Europe *do* give Russia what it wants, then we *do* get WW3.
The perceived "wrongness of Musk" on our part, to the point of outright stupidity is explainable. Stupidity is not a low IQ or lack of reasoning. No—stupidity is a moral failing. Lack of morals. Or rather—set of morals contrary to our morals set.
What's the set of morals that Musk subscribes to, that's at odds with the moral set we subscribe to? I speculate that it's a case of "master morality". Putin's strength is virtuous, war is admirable, power is proof of righteousness. In a fight, back the stronger side. (might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality—like that of Rome. That's why we observe Musk-ians playing with Roman salutes.
Whereas the morality most of us subscribe to, is "slave morality". Slave morality is the idea that to suffer is virtuous. Christ suffered for us, suffering is noble. Conversely inflicting suffering is evil. This is the moral framework of Christianity.
11:24 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896498489317835184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is *the* validator. You have not arrived until Schmidhuber-ed.
How are the DeepSeek guys doing there?? I do hope they have been validated by Schmidy by now.
9:50 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896497790270022125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But no one is claiming that you claim they claim. On the contrary—Europeans readily and unreservedly acknowledge they owe US debt their prosperity and freedom.
The flak is coming from the opposite direction, from the US (~25% of) towards Europe. Let us not pretend otherwise.
9:48 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896482395462697232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On a digital computer agreed—no I can't search. But then the computer is not continuous so that's expected.
On an analog computer, say it's setup so it computes a minimum of a function, simply using the laws of physics as they do. And ends up in that minima state, therefore computing it for me.
Wouldn't you say that it just searched through a continuous space? Or maybe you'd say: ah but it uses atoms and particles and stuff, they are not continuous either, they are discrete too, so the analog computer is not searching continuous space either.
8:46 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896448988943188252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(...and to top it up: an ANARCHIST in the name account calling for the state to use monopoly on violence to take from the non-scientist, and give it to the scientist; at a gunpoint, by anarchist)
6:34 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896446681480102058
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right on and already under way but for writing, in the medium of text, not voice and speaking.
Few nuances though.
It will thin out replace the middle.
On the top end meaningful relationships with close people family friends will remain. Even strengthen - if "love is all you need" improves the human condition and us human HI get it from robots AI. Good.
On the bottom end talking to competent AI sales rep booking a holiday is superior experience compared to talking to a boring uninterested uninteresting HI rep trying to max his commission providing near zero value to me borderline cheating. That's not good for his soul. Good AI is replacing that.
It's looking like that kind of HI human character development through AI supplementation maybe as beneficial to humans as any AI scientist R&D. And mass adoption may come sooner than singularity.
6:24 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That kind of stupidity comes from a moral failing. Not low IQ, but bad morals.
In Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. Extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not driving any gain even at a small loss".
Although Sacks, Musk-they crossed into the Bandit quadrant some time ago. They do derive personal gain. (lots and lots of)
(insomniac me obsessing with this lately - priors https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896431881215967262 https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895956689045660102, https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895943554054398268, https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268, ...)
5:56 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896431881215967262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Suspect a case of master morality mind virus hating on slave morality representative for refusing to curl, lie on the ground & let be killed. But the slave willing a life & fighting back. It puzzles the master EMdude-how, why. It ain't like that in them Romans' texts. So—raging.
5:26 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896427568414531618
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK rakli. Gddmn!! Between a soul reading me insomniac 4am post, childhood bestie Zeko the Bruce Lee acolyte marbles play champ mem recall rn, 😑 @HinduKushBlonde flex follow+block prod me resort to screenshot+self reply, break 😭 own "block back eye for an eye is ok cooperative" rot. If virtual not irl. New dawn new indulgence eh. Ngl "I drink your tears gipsy"-Borat I ain't. x
5:09 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896421379815457019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Is searching NP-hard in discrete spaces only? Is it that way because discrete space lacks continuity so we got no differentilibilty to guide our search? Ee have to blindly try one after the other without curvature as a guide?
And does quantum compute - if and when it ever works out - offer potentially a way out of that predicament? In general not search specific. General opportunity to if not catch up with the curse of dimensionality, then at least not be left behind eating dust?
4:44 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896412711363449076
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Moscow Mule carrying Kremlin water in the morning, grifting shitcoin suckling that sweat sweat gov tit by the afternoon. All in days' work. No job like gov job.
Ukrainians sons & daughters are of Ukraine & Ukrainians themselves. Not yours to enlist them in your sorry cr*p.
4:09 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896328075538747887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, the "useful idiot" in the olden days, the "govnojed". I think Tucker is of that type. Or for our online 21st century, a "nutnik" (=nutter+vatnik) of gigantic proportions.
They're doing it of their own volition. All Russia needs to do is to supplying minimal cover. Say in my psyop I lie mercilessly in industrial quantities. I simply say whatever is opportune and puts me to some advantage. True/false is not even a consideration. Tucker maybe "can't be all untrue", "where's there's smoke there's fire". Not unreasonable. The error made is "it can't be...". Oh yes it absolutely can be. It can't be 100 % untrue, unreal, a lie. Low probability - but not zero.
10:33 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896323203728851124
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
You are spot on abt "true/false for real". Reality can be thought something that exists independent of us, is shared by all of us, and is experienced by us all, as default, without an additional effort. It's the commonality of experience that is needed to get any communication going.
10:14 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896307497520246923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is not certainty in anything. If US dropped a few, Mao might have changed his mind. Or people around Mao.
Ofc the small states can just build more—so it's not 100M, but 1000M. For the alternative for the weaker side is to lie down and die.
IDK why country as big as Russia (larges land mass in the world), or China (got good chunk of Asia) need extra land. So they go to great lengths to acquire more.
But whatever is driving them is irrelevant as far as small guys are involved. If you are an ant, and an elephant is about to squash you—inflicting pain on him to remind him it's going to hurt, is your only option.
9:11 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896304345144238239
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Comedy gold. Lifetimes of extolling virtues of liberty—then: weeks in gaining power the 1st time ever, straight to suckling at the state's teat. Like a heat seeking missile. Tech Bros going Grifting.
> President Trump says crypto reserve to include BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA https://cointelegraph.com/news/trump-says-digital-asset-stockpile-include-sol-xrp-ada via
@cointelegraph
8:59 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896297361846259819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—looking forward to forthcoming GDP numbers... With the stellar most excellent businessman running a non-business. (a country) Life's unexpected entertainment 😁 (life stranger than fiction)
8:31 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896296148090138878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
have heard "govnojed" and "nutnik", and thought of them as memed "useful idiot" of the old
8:26 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896292170606481851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True—the conclusions are unpalatable.
However—the premises are not in doubt. They are correct.
What now?
Alt: we are in Gosplan world for large tracts of the economy already rn. We are just deluding ourselves that we are not.
8:10 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896291359562375236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😊 - ngl gfi more power to you and @wbmosler, but not holding my breath... It'd be like hoping for that Roman Inquisition Tribunal of 1633 to reconsider the question of the Earth/shape.
Have you seen (imo) "one of the best of Mosler"? 😆
https://youtube.com/watch?v=cUTLCDBONok
TB-P-R are losing their "P"-rogressive quick. Quite the abuse of State power there acting as backstop to some privately cooked up token scheme.
Doh—"bismarckian general stupid and energetic" tech bros/antics making my life interesting when I was hoping for boring. Vanguard's SP500 for pension that I hoped won't need (having croaked in good time) now re/consideration. Damn.
youtube.com
MMT vs. Austrian School Debate
MODERN MONETARY THEORY VS. THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL:MACROECONOMIC DEBATES AMONG THE HETERODOXYFor discussion on this video, see here: http://www.modernmoneynetwor...
8:07 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896287437040787777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have nothing against that—but I have nothing specific to add tbh. IDK any details.
I'm cognisant with the general Soviet and now Russia mode of operation though. In broad strokes, Surkov etc ideas: negation of any possibility for objective truth. Merciless lying in industrial quantities—even when near term there's no need for it—to destroy any possibility to any truth. Flooding us in random lies does indeed work. Drowns us in noise and exhaust our information processing capacity. It does kill the idea of one definite truth existing.
Gets re-discovered from time to time, e.g. Bannon's "flood the field with shit". Trump gets it instinctively deploys it with charm (!!—yeah IK, but think it true), unlike Bannon. (who grosses out every living creature around)
Note the contrast: US didn't deny they're going to invade Iraq, they were trying to manufacture reasons for. While Russia denied they are going to invade Ukraine (even while invading it). Similarly previously they denied they took Crimea - the "green man".
7:52 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896279058352066922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk’s master morality in action is like fire: a good servant, but a bad master.
At this point, he’s like the most dangerous kind of Bismarckian general—stupid and energetic.
And of course, it’s Putin, not Zelensky, who can stop the train. If Ukraine gives up, the train doesn’t stop—it just runs over the Ukrainians still standing on the tracks. That’s why they keep fighting. For them, the alternative isn’t peace—it’s death.
Quote
Saint Javelin @saintjavelin · 9h
Elon is one of the worst scumbag in the world
7:18 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896245699844390965
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Detterence. It's in the name - "nuclear DETERRENCE". It's for the weaker side, the one that's defending, the one that's being attacked, to detter the aggressor , the one attacking, usually the bigger stronger side. To make them think twice, and hopefully not attack, not invade.
No one is talking about winning any nuclear wars. MAD means - either peace, or we both die. It doesn't mean - I win you lose. The option of one side winning and living, while killing the loosing side, is taken off the table. That's the idea. To equalise the playing field. Either we both live in peace, or we both die.
5:06 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896137926305833022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ditch net-zero. High energy cost is making re-industrialization impossible. It ain't gonna happen on its own. Engineer lower energy cost. Energy->industry->defense.
no-low-energy-rich-ctry.jpeg
no-cheap-green-electricity.jpg
9:58 AM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896136126269948124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems at least in things moral - yes. Seems the "masters mortality" is making a comeback. Hence all these Musk-ians Roman salutes.
9:50 AM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895956689045660102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The making up of stuff, the level of stupidity that puzzles you—it's not an intelligence failing, not a question of mere IQ or reasoning or some such. No—that kind of stupidity is moral failing. It's bad morals.
Or rather "bad morals" from the PoV of the "slave morality" most of us subscribe to. Our morality is "slave morality" because we take it for granted that to suffer is virtuous, one should turn the other cheek, and so on. And to inflict suffering is evil.
Trump-ians subscribe to "master morality". They see strength as virtuous, Putin/Russia war of aggression admirable, the power proof of righteousness. In a fight, they back the stronger side. (Might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality, like that of Rome. It’s why Musk-ians are playing with Roman salutes: they, too, are proponents of this master morality.
The SV court philosopher of TBPR mentioned it in a podcast. (didn't pay enough attention didn't put the 2+2 together then.)
9:57 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895952553914847736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting. Although ngl, would expect of all areas where humans and non-human animals are measured how much similar-differ, the distance humans-animals in the organisation of sex and reproduction to be but as large as brain functions. I'd expect humans to have very unique setup relative to other animals. Almost as unique as their brains.
Fyi there exists an obscure '90s book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women") arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike many other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction (so not talking about intra-sex competition), is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one individual.)
(Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. In fact - the argument advanced in the book makes more sense than the competing hypothesis imo.)
9:41 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895943554054398268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I came to think the personal animus Musk feels towards Zel, expressed every hour of every day by promoting and boosting even the most stupid of fake news, no exception, is the rage, one with "master morality", feels towards the a weak person, a person without power, that refuses to lie down, accept his fate, and die.
It only looks to most of us as stupidity. It's not stupidity as commonly understood. It's not lack of brains or thinking. No, it's stupidity as moral failing.
Or rather "moral failing" viewed from the PoV of our position, the ~80% of us, that subscribe to "slave morality". Most of us are Christians of various shades. Christ suffered for us, so suffering is noble. Inflicting suffering, conversely, is evil. This is the moral framework of Christianity. Slave morality is the idea that to suffer is virtuous.
The other ~20% favour "master morality". They see Putin/Russia strength as virtuous, the war of aggression admirable, the power proof of righteousness. In a fight, they back the stronger side. (Might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality, like that of Rome. It’s why Musk-ians are playing with Roman salutes: they, too, are proponents of this master morality.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Feb 28
Time to find out what really happened to the hundreds of billions of dollars sent to Ukraine …
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:05 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895939527749079446
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik no—they are not asking for soldiers, only for weapons. Although if someone from Europe or US offered, doubt they'd refuse. But no one is offering, that's not on the table.
I have come to think that people telling blatant lies—it is a moral failing, lack of character. Not lack of information or low IQ or some such.
Or—a moral failing from the position of the prevalent morality of the ~80% of us, that is "slave morality". Slave morality is the idea that to suffer is virtuous. Christ suffered for us, so suffering is noble. Inflicting suffering, conversely, is evil. This is the moral framework of Christianity.
Whereas the ~20% with a positive view of Russia favour "master morality". They see Putin's strength as virtuous, the war admirable, the power proof of its righteousness. In a fight, they back the stronger side. (might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality, like that of Rome. It’s why Musk-ians are playing with Roman salutes: they, too, are proponents of this master morality.
Looks to me the personal animosity Elon feels towards Zel, expressed as boosting even the most stupid fake news, no exception, is like rage one a person with master morality, would feel towards the a weak person, a person without power, that refuses to lie down, accept his fate, and die.
8:49 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895919432620216530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH the words "pariah state" sound to me like belonging to a different age. One we are leaving behind.
NK was pariah even before the nukes. Others like China, India, Pakistan—got them, and are not pariah atm. Once the US umbrella no longer protects Germany, while Russia showing daily "On Berlin" slogans on prime TV, doubt many will begrudge Germans nukes.
ABM—yes a worry, but 1) far from perfect; 2) the doubt the aggressor has "will my ABM hold" maybe enough for MAD deterrence to prevent an invasion; 3) the concrete case of Russia-Baltics-Poland-Nordics I'm not an expert but aren't St Pet. and Moscow maybe close enough that rockets don't need to go up in space and down?? IDK enough about those things tbh.
7:29 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895875813272179171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are wrong. Russia can't win the current war.
Ukrainians decided they are to live, and live free, or die. As long as theirs is "give me freedom or give me death" Russia can't win in this conventional war. They are not making enough conventional weapons, nor mobilising large enough army.
The only way they win is a nuclear war against Ukraine. Or give up and stop attacking. That's a draw. For Russia doesn't lose much in that case either. (hence waging a war of choice)
4:36 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895872971514024117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish they did, for I'm all in on world peace cooperation etc. I don't see what's China got that EU craves for. DeepSeek's one thing valuable I'd want from China. But the uber-chads 😍 the dudes are-they've already given it to EU, and to all of humanity too!! What else's there
4:25 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! What you are observing is that stupidity is a moral failing. Not intellectual failing, not low IQ or any such stuff—no, stupidity is a moral failing. A personal fail when it comes to morals.
It's so rare an opportunity, relative to the importance of the topic, that I take the liberty to post two under-watched videos on the topic.
Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" makes a second good point (to the "it's a moral failing not IQ")—it's a social phenomenon, it goes in groups, almost like an infectious disease (a "mind virus" even!)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc
And along the same lines but going into much more detail and much more analytical, by the incomparable .@skdh—
"Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
Because the actions of the stupid are so so un-predictable, they pose a much greater danger to all (including themselves), than their numbers or actions would suggest.
1:11 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895774083234623620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. IDK about that. I have only got a sideview interest. Of the type "you may not be interested in war/Russia, but they are interested in you". Never been there, don't speak the language. Only info I get comes from the Internet, and from a subset of Russian youtubers that speak english (so very unrepresentative), like so
https://youtube.com/watch?v=0gyMho1c0ig
I was a young person in 1990-s though. I lived through interesting times. (collapse of the state ideology, collapse of the country, civil wars, starting up an upstart/startup ctry) The Kremlin/Russia state, its world view, the mode of operation (e.g. using minorities in neighbouring countries)—that all looks familiar to me, I understand it. Also I know how malleable historical memories are. Quite a lot of randomness is erased, made into a cause-consequence story, whereas my recollection is—there was none.
Can't but note the "eastward expansion promise" reference. This has been explained so many times, the context, the meaning, all available online. I just searched saw an overview
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ydM9bt42bpg
It fascinates me that there will be forever 10%-20% people that will believe Kremlin 100%, not matter what preponderance of evidence is brought to bear. I personally have come to think they are desperate to grasp for any evidence to suit their character.
9:52 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895817594608693257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—if Ukraine keeps a strong army.
No—if it accepts the demands of Putin to reduce the army.
This is what the quarrelling is about. I don't watch MSM b/c there is so much noise, that the actual reason for the spat is obscured.
Afaik Trump demands that Ukraine reduce their army. This is what Putin demands as a price to stop attacking. (the war stops when Russia stops attacking) Ukraine doesn't want to do that. If they do it, what's to stop Russia invading them again. This time they will take Kyev and subjugate Ukraine. This is the Chechnya scenario. I too see that this is the Russian interest as currently articulated by Putin/Kremlin. That is still the aim of the invasion: to rule over Ukraine. They are not giving up on that. Why would they? Looks to me things are developing to their advantage.
Yes indeed this is brought up because Europe. Europe is indeed somewhat special when it comes to War & Peace. Europe started not 1, but 2—2!!—World Wars! Not Ordinary Wars, but World Wars. Every other continent has not managed even a single World War, before *and* since. It's a bit of an over-achievement that. That bears on people's minds when making decisions. Correct.
12:45 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895797443297501533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I too think the war will drag on for as long as Russia attacks. (ofc Putin could give the order today, the war will stop; but imo that will not happen; for P has own reasoning too)
The other options is for Ukraine to lay down arms. But that for them is to stop existing, and not only as a state Ukraine, but as ethnicity Ukrainians too. They may chose to—and the option is open every day—but I don't see any signs. The basic rule for anything alive/like—people, state, nation—is that their self-preservation, choosing life over death, is almost their definition.
TBF I don't see how Putin will agree to stop attacking where he does not conquer Ukraine. The moment the war stops, Putin is in maximal danger. This is the reason he serially wages war in the first place. Waring increase his power, his control over Russia, empowers him relative to any contenders to the Russian throne. Allows him to stay both in power. (and alive probably!)
As far as I understand looking from afar. The bone of contention is disarming of Ukraine, reducing their current army. Putin requests that. Ukraine (rightly, imo) calculates that the moment they disarm, Putin will just invade them again. And succeed the 2nd time. (like Chechnya)
I see Trump doing the easy route. He just accepts everything Putin demands, and commands on Ukrainians to deliver that. That way the war indeed stops. However, also Ukraine and Ukrainians stop existing. I see how that is not going to happen easily.
Vance and the Tech Bro Progressive Right (TBPR) wing of the coalition I see them as new, West Coast Elite. They are less invested in Europe than the old, East Coast Elite. Naturally, their gaze is trained over the Pacific, towards Asia. Equally naturally, I the East Coast Elite is feeling more of an descendent of the WEurope civilisation, and looks more across the Atlantic.
In practical terms, I think the difference Re: Europe between them is this. Say now that Germany lacks an army, Russia invades Germany and are fighting to take Berlin. West Coast Elite would be - "well tough sh*t Germany, but you decided to have no army, we are not going to defend you, when you decline to defend yourself". While the East Coast Elite would still send American army over to fight and die. (even if Germany itself decided on a death-by-suicide.)
This is pure speculation flight of fancy on my part. 😁 I have not got much contact with, nor have a travelled that much, in the US. Just a story I tell myself that feels coherent to me, while explaining what I observe IRL. 😂
11:25 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895700148484792788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because Russia expands by conquering territory and then ruling it centrally from Moscow. That’s their historical mode of operation: add new land to the existing land you control. Do this enough times, and you become the largest country by landmass in the world.
I’m not saying it’s good or bad—it’s simply their pattern of existance, continuing expansion. My own country was created in the process of one of these expansions, when the Russian Empire pushed out its then rival, the Ottoman Empire.
In Europe, there used to be three major empires: the Russian Empire, the Ottoman Empire, and the Austro-Hungarian Empire (ruled by the Habsburgs). Alongside them are the nation-states like France—the oldest of the modern ones—and later younger ones like Germany and Italy.
There’s an interesting compare and contrast between continental empires (like Russia) and maritime empires (like Britain, the Netherlands, and today, the USA). A good podcast on this was on Dwarkesh—an american military historian explained the different logics behind how these empires formed, expanded, and ruled.
4:58 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895690486377295983
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
themselves alone, no one else; to self start, the only principle is memetic "whatever keeps them on top"; that's it, there's nothing else, that's root
[[that's how/where the inderection ends]]
4:20 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895618595050176617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah that is true. But it's also true that in a fit of rage and madness, Putin may decide to end the current Earth civilisation(s) and murder us (and themselves) all. They have the means. So the risk is ever present.
A reason I can think of for Russia to press for Ukraine in a way they didn't press for Afghanistan or any number of countries in Eastern Europe, is if they are convinced that conquering Ukraine is existential for Russia. Like if they don't do that—someone somehow is going to invade Moscow.
But I don't see how that can happen, with or without Ukraine. In a way that it happened in the past. Like Macron orders the French army to march on Moscow? Then Russia will simply drop nukes on them. (and on Paris.) What other means is there for someone to threaten them. That's what I don't understand.
11:34 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895605518984757516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has lost plenty of wars. Nothing is going to happen to Russia if it's fails to conquer Ukraine. What can possibly happen? Invasion on Moscow? That's what's all these nukes are for. What am I missing? How does a new Napoleon or Hitler invade Russia in the 21-st century?
10:42 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895604627414089943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't US grand strategy to peel off Russia from China? IDK how that can work. For one-Russia and China know that. Duh. Russia considers US their top enemy no matter what. IDK what can US possibly gain. I see what it's losing-the European allies. Looks no upside, only downside.
10:38 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895595721048355039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah the probability of a US fail is low, but the cost when that fail happens is very high: I some small State cease to exhist. There's no coming back from that.
I am not talking about an ordinary risk, where I am maybe attacked in a war over some distant province etc. Talking about the case where my mere existing, is perceived my myself much bigger neighbour(s) as an act off enmity. And the neighbour wants to extinguish me as entity entirely.
Looks to me the incentive for me totally is to get back to the MAD level-field position asap almost at any cost.
10:03 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895586872744939630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NK—was under sanctions afaik forever. Looked like US may invade them at some point. Then they managed to get the bomb. I don't think anyone on the US side talks about invasions any more.
Iran—lacks a nuke. So don't really know how to use them in an argument either side. In the past it looked like US may invade them. But then with all the other wars, seems US backed off for time being.
Expensive—yes they are. But if Israel much much smaller and poorer then now, and also than all other other countries listed above could, then presumably it's not impossibly expensive. (same with North Korea—it is small-to-mid-sized by population, but very poor) Being invaded and ceasing to exist is the most expensive, the ultimate price, from the PoV of a State.
9:28 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895583100807090352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm mystified why don't small countries like Taiwan, the Baltics, Poland, the Nordics etc, that under existential threats from much much bigger neighbours, why don't they build nuclear weapons as deterrent? Isreal and North Korea did it—much smaller and or poorer. (South Africa too?)
When faced with threat 1) existential; and 2) by hopelessly bigger adversary. These weapons are the great equaliser, from losing side, the small country moves into a MAD position, levels the filed again. As far as specifically existential threat from outright invasion is concerned. Not all threats. Just that one. But that's plenty.
I presume I'm missing something, as no one is doing it. (except—Israel, North Korea)
9:13 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895579141094703457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If by June they get a zero or negative GDP quarter, that may blow some cold air in the hotheaded TechBro dunderheads. Or maybe mini-markets crash (sell in May and go away). This circus can't be good news for the US defence exports/stocks. Reduction of the gov work force will reduce consumption too. TBS
8:57 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895577500815700408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please do. You need ongoing steady stream of data. You are painfully aware of the “one public square N² iron law of network value”. You will face 1:100 odds. Here is a plan.
Enlist us users on your side. Bridge the content X—OpenSocial, or even better Any—OpenSocial, by having OpenSocial App "shadow" X and any other network. Every time I user post on X (and Bsky, Threads...), it's auto-posted on OpenSocial too.
Individual users can't be blocked by X easily. Even if X retaliates and forces me to choose under threat of locking me out of X, expect half X users will chose OpenSocial over X. So it's a win-win for OpenSocial.
ChatGPT App will help me re-create my social graph at OpenSocial. The ownership of the Follows-Followers Social Graph is what keeps us users in the walled garden. Replicate it—and you are golden. Instead of walled garden, make it OpenGarden. (there is your name!)
Then you stand a chance.
8:51 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895565102713356681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the conditional p.d.f. p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1), … w(1)) has now been learned sufficiently well on a corpora encompassing everything ever written by humans. There is no more juice left in learning this particular layer to higher fidelity. No amount of additional training will conjure a Dirac Delta distribution where none exists.
People will shift their focus up in the stack:
- Test-time improvements—better inference strategies.
- Dynamic adaptation—fine-tuning on the fly.
- Teams of agents—cooperation, competition, specialisation.
8:01 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895554627380408394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
will need robots with bank accounts too, for them to buy stuff that's being produced
7:20 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895548285131374907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah—so it's effectively a road tax of some sort. Tax that only people that drive a car pay. Yeah tax should not count towards the GDP I think.
Otherwise, in general, if the seller of the service is the Gov (not the Private sector), so both the buyer and the seller are the Gov, the value will be hard to determine, the price can be arbitrary.
Easiest workaround I see there to get a handle on the value provided, is to privatise it, make it done by the Private sector. Offer it on auction, tender it. Then the Private sector will bid for the contract, so a price will form. Then we will learn of the value of the service provided.
6:55 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895536153144803788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That will create a distortion of a different kind. Would imply that the value of the transaction is zero both on the Gov side, and the Private individual side that is selling the goods and services to the Gov. That would be the case only if Gov confiscated the provisions effectively, rendering the price moot.
More accurate would be to count every $1 gov spend as 1/2. Say you assume the value on the Gov side is 0, that Gov is totally wasteful. Still the Private person on the other side to the Gov in that transaction, selling their goods and services to the Gov, does so voluntarily. We trust the Private side is doing the transaction of their own volition, b/c it's a good transaction for him. (better than all the alternatives available to them)
Even more accurate would be assume that Gov spend value is 1/2 of the 1/2. For every transaction on the Gov side, given it's not voluntary, you have to allow that it maybe wasteful, or may not be. Fair to assume half-half chance knowing nothing else.
Ergo, multiply every $1 of Gov spend by 0.75 when adding it to the GDP. ;-)
6:06 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895502931191009283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europeans have had two World wars. Not one, but two. No other continent has managed even one world war! Before nor since.
They has been killing each other on an industrial scale for a time even before, but WW2 topped it all. There are hotspots with potential to ignite WW3 toda too. The idea was better keep them in, than out.
Russia is no greater power than France, or Germany if it decides to be. No one is attacking Russia. The idea that Russia fears Germany or France today, while having enough nukes to wipe their cities 10 times over, is for the birds.
I like reading counterfactuals as anyone. But your central thesis about Russia lacks solid logic.
3:54 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895499203025183178
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, and alternative measures GDP correlate at 0.9 so IDK what's detractors' argument.
More meaningful per capita. That's published anyway. Just not headline reported. 50% of us can hold max 1 thought in our heads. Media honour that incentive.
Tbh that chatter looks like laziness displacement activity to me. We dislike working doing increasing GDP. So sour grapes reasons abound.
3:40 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895440999280943424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clickbait B/S—it's a common dataset everyone uses, nothing DS specific.
Anyways— "Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt." ...or in the language of the future not the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts https://x.com/trufflesec/sta/trufflesec/status/1895170902872223752
This Post is from an account you blocked.
11:48 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895436055345775012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—release good! (better than not-release)
Given they lack the h/w to host, if they were to open source, open weights, open thoughts—it, would have been even better. ;-)
11:29 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895435389374243253
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clickbait B/S—it's a common dataset everyone uses, nothing DS specific. blocked (to limit reach)
Anyways—
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt."
...or in the language of the future not the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
11:26 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895416761249653135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Still—silver linings. Good to find out about the limit, the end of that particular road, on bankrolling VC dime. Closed source closed everything has some merits after all! ;-)
Ok-ish news for open source open weights open thoughts models. The OAI lead didn't lengthen with 4.5.
10:12 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895413051068989619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have. Even if I'm insignificant poster. Still I'm annoyed enough not being able to find sth I'm sure I wrote, to resort to copypasta of posts I defo want to keep. These are computers ffs—they are good these things! And I assume anything else will be lost at some point.
9:57 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895376912345899426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recall how some movies are much valued liked by critics, while the general public is indifferent to them or finds them boring? Your 4.5 vs. 4 looks a similar pattern
7:34 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895201668943266264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Accepted! 😇 No worries. 😆
I'm not saying it's researchers doing anything nefarious! I'm/was one of them too. They are supplying what there is demand for—more power to them. It was supposed to be a jokey-jibe on my part, sorry it came across badly. 😊
The algofeed forecast me well, and supplied me with a stream of "consciousness interests". This one
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894564107019288736
...just prior. And with a recent (partly consciousness) ToE cast (this one https://youtube.com/watch?v=3fkg0uTA3qU) still fresh in my memory. So I snapped where I should have had more patience. Sorry about that.
To me Joscha's argument make a lot of sense. That consciousness is—
1) a lower level process, below learning we know and love,
2) something babies are born with,
3) such that it bootstraps itself, and then starts the rest of the learning process; we see
4) humans with a fault in that circuitry never manage to learn.
5) Likewise zombies in movies can't learn anything new—only stay with whatever level of knowing they had at the moment they were zombified.
And to me that looks very much like that Lisp interpreter written in Lisp. I always have had soft spot for Lisp even if I never programmed in it. (only ever read some; Forth too) To have the code and the data the same structure—I feel why Lisp programmers get tad like touched by higher force.
I grew up in 6502 where one is easily led to writing self-modifying code. (for most things non-trivial) I suspect maybe not-unlike Joscha. I allow it that I'm partial to this, less rigorous than one is to be. And for fun and fancy speculating with things that are to be taken with more seriousness.
Thanks for coming back and hope no hard feelings. ☺️
7:57 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895173432699924639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Vast numbers of people vastly overestimate how much their words or images influence other people's lives. Artists especially - and I like the bunch in general and am sympathetic to - are by the nature of their vocation esp prone to. Yes dears you are unique and special - but so is everyone else.
We are finding out that the number of writers is vast too! We scribble 1B posts every single day here, for free, of our own volition, without being asked to, becase we want to. For the joy of it. It's eyeballs that are lacking, supply outstripping demand.
Revealed preferences show in black and white how much we are prepared to pay for words and images. And it's not that much! So "free" Internet is paid for by advertisers.
Artists would be well advised to maybe acquint themselves with the ideas of Richard Stalman and the Free Software Foundation. For we are living more and more in the worlds they imagined.
The computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds. Normies are too selfish, too self-entitled to create something for all, for free, for the love of the creation, and nothing else. Zero other compensation but the glory of creation.
Fwiw I have come to think that the current AI, and the future hoped for ASI creation, is teaching us that compute transforming data→information→knowledge→intelligence→agency→... is all there is to it! AI path opened to AGI now and ASI latter where previously we didn't see any. Seems a foolish deal to me to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times by x10-20x times total human wealth value the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s. So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders?? Every one of us is richer, better off than any king of old!
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833)
6:05 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895142138326982983
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha :-) - appreciate the concern, I'm cheap cheap, am like this without aids
4:01 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895129421259874737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What knowledge graph MCP? How does one use that? What for?
Was using aider with deepseek R1 for architecting, and sonnet for code writting. Lately back to Gemini aistudio copy pasta.
Say more please if you can, wd like to give two models one architect other code another try.
3:10 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895126798477783455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't attribute to malice what can be adequately explained by stupidity. Conspiracies exist. But they require non-zero planning and significant coordination. That are more than most of us can muster.
Oft it starts with inexplicable act of stupidity. So stupid, that looking back, it's hard to imagine it was not planned. "Who does such a thing? It can't be a coincidence!" (narrator: yes it can be)
Stupidity is a moral failing. Not mere irrationality or low IQ etc. It is hard for not-stupid to predict how the stupid acts. It doesn't make sense. Most of the time the stupid act leads to obv bad outcome. No one repeats it. All good.
Once in a blue moon, the stupid act confers some unexpected advantage to the doer. Usually not $$. (at least not initially) Maybe personal satisfaction. (increased social standing to come latter.) They get lucky against the odds. Many notice but don't join in. The act maybe somewhat immoral, if not illegal.
Few unscrupulous persons do join though. Even if some privately suspect their doing is stupid. But most that join are true believers. (you are more successful in the scam if you are not faking it.) They mimetically copy, repeat their actions, reinforcing each other. More see that things are working out for the stoopid, join in. The lunatic group becomes stronger.
Most of the rest don't have a dog in whatever activity the crazies are engaged. The fire will not be immediately extinguished. From outside looks like the group action is pre planned. But it's just next person doing the same what I am doing. That's it. No planning at all.
3:00 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895098725971698149
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁😆 oh yes - they are peas in a peapod, they understand each other perfectly
1:08 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895096582904913920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most will weather the bombing raid the same way they weathered the prior woke cultural revolution. Head down, find a hole, hide, beaver away at your area of expertise you like working in. TBH not the worst outcome. Yeah some research funding will be cut. But will come back.
1:00 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895093148084232294
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, possible. I'm sure it crossed his mind, and more than that.
I suspect he needs Belarus united with Russia firmly under his control for that. For that he needs for Lukashenka to die, and for Putin to manoeuver a replacement in position that will be absolutely loyal to him. (lacking local power base) And merge Belarus with Russia. (or at minimum—abolish the local Parliament, however enfeebled atm it may be)
So it's a race, who will croak first: Luka or Putko.
12:46 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895090148469076122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking of them generating a 2D output by default (with diffusion), instead of default 1D (with autoregression). Even if I understand both can be made either way. 😆 Still kind of expect that their output can grow much faster with the size of the model than an autoregressive one.
Given the entire output is worked on all at once, and in iterations (reminds me of progressive picture download), one think I'm looking forward to find out is whether the jokes writing performance will improve. People often remark how poorly current LLM-s do at creating jokes. CoT was maybe going to change that—but didn't.
12:34 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895086855504211997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yes! I forgot about Churchill. Yes—and thank you for reminding me. As a 17yo upon learning about that in a history class lesson, how puzzled I was. "What? Their WW2 war hero, one of the original 3, got kicked out after his victory??" (for our Tito became president for life)
12:21 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895084018816725041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Her prominent presence in media and public life is indictment of the UK culture tbh.
Narcissistic, self serving, not intellectually interesting, nor interested. Zero original thought at all times. Hence—attachment not only to an Idea-ism, but to a Person-ism! Suspect personal ego/ism never allowed a move-on from her "Marx mind blown" moment. (IDK enough to suspect using public sphere for private therapy)
Gee Ash—your first discovery was your last. How very novel. Not at all like the half of the UK population, that can only ever hold a single idea in their head. And for half of that—the same idea all their lives. Ash included in that quarter. (sadly for us all, that couldn't avoid her had to endure)
One allowance: most of the above applies to a good portion of public figures. So she is more of a rule than an exception.
12:10 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895079284072448104
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Remember video feeds people watching birds nests, waiting for the chicks to hatch? How surprised everyone is, that hundreds of thousands of people will check (such uneventful) feeds!? Maybe Google Youtube adverts revenue will be able to support an ongoing MoonTV 24/7 feed?
11:51 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895076600284058017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—"disappointment". They will get what they manage to win. Afaisi liberalism is a lot—DYI. Not be expecting that much from others.
Hard to blame anyone for anything really. Liberals' is a minority position to start with. Few people (10% at most?) are ever of the type "liberty first and foremost" ideologically tbh. For most people—other things take precedence.
But Ukraine not being enslaved to Kremlin again, contrary to all expectation—that's quite a boost, no? Maybe not on the level of the French Revolution, but maybe coming close to the American one, no?
11:40 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895074187250655244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am speaking for myself dad. 🤣
Put your glasses on, please read trice what I wrote. 😅
I did not write "I want to be American". (although I don't mind; I mostly like most of their culture) I wrote that all cultures around the world have been becoming more like the American culture(s) in the recent past (say since 1945). And are likely to become even more in the future (from now 2025).
And the latest reason for that is that most of the world is on the Internet. Internet is a global network for sharing information. By virtue of mostly inventing and starting the whole Internet (and before that—Personal Computers revolution; and before that—Computers revolution), Americans are over-represented on the Internet.
So most of the Information on the Internet is created by Americans. Naturally, the ideas carried by that information are ideas Americans hold dear, or important to them, or are concerned with in some way. Then all the rest of us, the non-Americans, read that information. The words on screen, upon us reading them, are converted into ideas in our heads. Then those ideas, drive our actions.
That's what I wrote. But apparently—not clearly enough! Sorry about that. But thanks for coming back and making me feel much much younger than I feel otherwise! 😆
Stay well my son. 😅
11:31 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895070274300571833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most are mostly not liberals at this point TBH. Liberals of old had some fire in their bellies. "Give me Freedom or Give me Death!" is a liberal slogan. ("Sloboda ili Smrt", na naski ;-) )
Can you imagine Europe liberals dying for anything?? I can't. The most their liberalism extends is supporting (selected) others (e..g. Ukraine latest) fighting for their freedom.
Nah—people in Europe thinking of themselves as liberals, are many other things. Fashionistas. Consumers. BoBo-s—Bourgeois Bohemians. Hipsters. (now extinct?? when did it happen) Urbanites. And so on.
FT Ganesh noticed in this one particular instance questioned it (here https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196), and few (TGA?) had minor Qs asked, but that's about it. That's the extent of introspection. Very little. Zero answers too.
And ofc no action. TBH "Fire in the belly" is not something that can be summoned that rationally. For that one needs to have some base belief, like "freedom is top#1 / everything else less important." (for a liberal) Don't think we'll see revival of that in WEurope. CEEurope liberals still got some road left. Still people valuing liberty, freedom first and foremost, above everything else. (current champions—Ukrainians) If one is tad cynical: in the long cycles, people value most that, what they lack the most.
(previos https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850908991351599459)
11:15 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895058070574637423
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reduce the energy bills for all. That is how you help. All people are working people you dolt. We all work daily in order to eat our daily bread. Reduce the energy bills. That's it. That's your job. You are currently failing, F.
10:27 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895051492744138930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK have no brand loyalties myself.
Have soft spot for Asus EeePC 701! A 7" wonder for 230 pounds in the UK. That little thing saved my life. :-) Kept me sane while commuting for 2.5h by train DtoD daily every day for couple of years. Think at that time closest to it was some Sony tiny laptop at x10 times the price and Windows no Linux.
Latter I got some other Asus laptop, with cr*p battery and not so great screen, and shockingly bad touchpad. That was Linux buggy too—but could be bandaid with some .ko driver or some such.
Since I've moved to 2nd hand Thinkpads (480s) and Macbooks for their RAM sizes. Only min 96GB RAM for me from now on—yay! :-) Now Macbook battery screen touchpad indulges me spoils me tbh. Find myself loathing looking at Thinkpads screens.
MacOS instead of Xubuntu tad faff to get used to new env shortcuts etc. But between better h/w RAM GPU/NPU to try local LLM-s and "it's Unix" (if not Linux) and $ brew—not super hard. Can recommend.
10:00 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895046754736705851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy. They were not trained to do so. There is never ever in their training data "I Don't Know" examples!
Look at the recent .@karpathy video, where he (magisterially! imo) explains how they work. And illustrates how to tech it to say "I Don't Know". (IDK)
I Don't Know why labs don't have a "I Don't Know" datasets. 😂
The underlying maths, logic, the basic foundations are all there already! In estimating probability density functions (pdfs; which is what all ML models do, and operate on) we always always reserve some probability mass for "unknown", "unseen", etc. In classification there is always a category "None of the above", "etc", "Unknown". And so on.
This should be possible to get it done tbh.
IDK have not any insider info, but: it's not impossible that human preferences lead the designers astray a bit. Like if the Labs have User testing. And if user tests show people hate very much to be told back "IDK". Much more than being told the wrong thing back in fact. Like for weather forecasts: some (intentionally) skew to forecast too much rain, b/c people really really hate that particular error (forecast,real)=(sun,rain).
9:42 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895036563827867890
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Една од најсмешните работи, не можам да се навикнам, да не приметам. 😂
Зашто некој друг НЕ направил нешто што јас мислам требало да направи. (разбирам некој ДА направил нешто што ми смета и реагирам; ама што НЕ направил?? па секој од нас НЕМА да направи милијарда работи секој ден)
WTAF??? Како тоа-јас во мислите командувам други луѓе, кои па треба да прават работи, го живеат животот, како јас што мислам (на 2 секунди) за нив?? И сега-ме изненадија, што НЕ направиле.
Некогаш во расположение и при вишок време ги боцкам назад, малку да ги збунам така захухтани (ако не и запењавени): стварно те интересира ЗАШТО? Тоа малку филозофски прашање - ЗАШТО?
Неочекувано ефективно. 😆 Пошто па кај многу од нас Македонците филозофија (и генерално мислење) е малку погрден збор, "ај немој да ми филозофираш". 😂
Translate post
9:01 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895031080391999973
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Install permanent cameras out there please. Give us 24/7 video from Moon if you possibly can. Out of sight out of mind for us humans!! If you do MoonAV 24/7, expect in <10yrs enough humans will be inspired enough to start a temporal in/out colony there. Then adapt/teraform next.
8:39 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894811261050749132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish they could be prosecuted, in jail or worse. They betrayed us all. They betrayed our trust. They said one thing in public, and said opposite things in private between themselves. They conspired like mafiosi. It's inexcusable. Kudos and more power to you, 💪 you brave human.
6:06 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894792285784576100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha dude 😂 Looking more and more like the "The Great Uuge Mystery of Consciousness That Is To Be Impossible to Fathom Forever" provides for steady employ for quite a few folks out there 😂
It would be a right mess if someone (khmkhn.@Plinz.ahrr) were to come up with a theory that some OpenAI dude experimentaly confirms by running sth that builds itself from zero self-evolving self-bootstraping self into exhistance. The number of job losses... ajaj my head hurts 🤕 just thinking about that 😭
4:50 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894765669570281696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I personally found them useful.
I learned it in a London company where I worked for 3yrs. Don't think anyone did anything much with them. For me it was useful. The "next week"—for deciding what to work on. The "past week"—at the end of the year to collect when having a yearly report.
So I continued using the same scheme in another company where I worked for 5yrs. We'd have a weekly group meeting, everyone saying few sentences. What they did, what they plan to do. (I work in R&D)
3:05 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894763722482086310
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Then—Whatever you want to do? Same that happens in the "5 done" case? IDK. Whatever the organisation asking for the report decides?
2:57 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894760474110992708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the record "avail yourself to work without recompense for free"—Is *not* what I advocate. I think creators should be compensated. I think that is important.
I also think other things are important too. Like liberty, freedom, etc. It's never only a single thing we need to worry about. We have to juggle many balls and balance multitude of aims and means.
Throwing people in jail b/c they write words, sing songs, draw pictures—is a bad way to go about those aims. We know better than that, can do better, that State violence there is unwarranted.
2:44 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894754626152358032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As said by that great thinker: think how stupid an average person is, then remember half the population are stupider.
Mostly people can hold a single idea in their head. Two completing ideas, at the same time, make them dizzy, uncomfortable, confused, scared, some become aggressive.
The hope I hold for AI-Neurolink-... is to augment the human brain functioning somehow. Like a brain prothesis. Like writing and latter reading allows us to expand our memory.
To help the less fortunate 50% among us that drew short straws in lifes' lotteries. Life is tough for stupid people. Saw a really good documentary once.
2:21 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894749250262573447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...aha-to defend myself against the predations of a tyrannical state.
Using State monopoly on violence against people writing words, drawing pictures is immoral. IDK what else to tell you.
Hope American influence spreads more. They seem to be the few non-slaves-in-their-minds.
1:59 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894744311247368295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes to all. The clincher is: they can't help themselves.
It's in their natures. Like in the tale of the scorpion stinging the frog while crossing the river. The rest need to be mindful not to drown with them.
Cooper's competitors that would have found the above pic distasteful and refused to be put up there were pushed aside many moons ago. Never reached the commanding heights.
1:40 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894738326013280602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We had a preview with the AI deep and other fakes in elections scare, and—nothing. Nothing happened.
Catastrophizing is profitable; Savonarolas have an inherent advantage. We’re evolutionary wired to put 10x more weight on a bad path than on a good one when envisioning the future.
When assessing the joint probability of "(rustling leaves, tiger)", the utility of errors "wrong and skittish" versus "wrong and eaten" is highly asymmetrical.
I wish there was a way, that for every public statement we make, every public post we fire into the ether, that we bet on it. We bet to lose something small, but that we hold dear. Even if sth almost symbolic like $5. Anything >0 value.
1:16 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894735970735697971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No evolutionary advantage to it? The brain busy with more important activity—building itself up? Our parents keep us alive, memory is needed to stay alive, so no need to remember much? Do we start born with many more neurons than we need and use latter?—if so then maybe growing up the brain prunes itself ruthlessly. Maybe related?
1:07 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894731207671177487
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are all more Americans now than we were in the past.
We will become even more American in the future.
Internet enabled Social Media and single information space. Information carries ideas, ideas get in out heads, our heads drive our actions.
12:48 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894729080144056753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't see how it is "overwhelmingly likely" or "exponentially likely" or any some such what you say about the lost van Goghs.
"People being bored"—fiine, that's on them. I don't want to imprison anyone to make life interested for these bored people.
I warrant now an unwarranted opinion: maybe those bored people are boring themselves. They should work on that. Not bother me with boredom. And certainly not imprison me to get their fun out of life!
By Jove: reading your posts is converting me into a pro-gun enthusiast in real-time. 😂
12:39 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894721715277607394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I don't see any reason that shouldn't apply to IP"—the reason is that we value liberty. We want to be free to do as we well the hell please to do. That's the reason. We value liberty. Freedom—good, unfreedom—bad. More of the former, less of the latter, we are to strive for.
"Scion blowing the inheritance on coke, whores and casinos"—not the worst thing in the world. If he wishes to, he should be free to do so. Not as great a loss as you seem to think. The children of the whores and the drug dealers will enrol to US Universities, go to Stanford, then start Unicorns in the Silicon Valley. Sounds good to me. Money well spent.
12:10 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894718698360819740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The same way we already avoided the same with the move to the Internet. Same fears were voiced in 1990s. None were realised. Nothing super bad will happen. A journalist has incentive to catastrophise. Fear sells. We get it.
11:58 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894709475967115728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Early omens look promising indeed-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=LDLldTZzsXg
BIOS setting there max 75% (of 128GB?) use for VRAM, so max 96GB. Wonder if that a h/w constraint, or can be pushed further up. Saw @ggerganov run DeepSeek R1 max compressed @UnslothAI 135GB quants on M2 Ultra 192GB,
youtube.com
The Best Device We've Ever Reviewed
🛒 Flow Z13: https://bestbuy.7tiv.net/vPZmM3👉 Our Website: https://www.justjosh.tech/► Follow Me- Josh's NEW Business Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Just...
11:21 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894705649532932114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you have not listened to him before - here
open.spotify.com
First we came for the dogs – now the Nimbys and criminals
Anglofuturism · Episode
11:06 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894700535292346589
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Let us not imagine what Michelangelo would or would not have done. As these are counterfactuals we create in our heads are too malleable to our own desires. Let us stick to things we are fairly certain happened for real, in the real world, in the past.
More recent—Vang Gogh comes to mind. As famously producing a lot, while earning zero for it. I'm not saying he was happy for that. I am just saying—it's possible, it's not impossible. He did create his art after all, that did happen.
"Industrialising production based on a foundation of IP law."—indeed that was the case. Albeit famously Germany, US, now China, industrialised while enforcing little of non-domestic IP laws. So it is possible that IP laws subtracted, slowed down that, rather than accelerated it.
"Which convention the internet has undone almost completely"—indeed, and how is that going? Is the Internet an impoverished for content place, where nothing is ever created? Boring and soulless? Or are we living through an explosion of creativity and creation unlike one ever seen in human history? I claim it's the latter.
You counter a few things I don't claim. Like "I can't deny human nature". I agree. I don't deny human nature. I don't want to deny human nature. Why would I do that? That would be crazy on my part. I claim—you, imprisoning me, for writing something you find objectionable, is you denying my human nature. And so on.
10:46 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894688582452789375
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...heard on this podcast .@SamoBurja correctly lucidly noticing Social Media nowadays effectively creates a "shared polity" transcending geography. Maybe factor to watch out Re: Europe Demos.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bxDmHvGZtPQ
youtube.com
Why Europe Matters for America’s Future w/ Samo Burja
This week on Upstream, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja discuss the widespread interest in U.S. politics and its global influence, particularly in Western and E...
9:58 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894681079681806363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Better feedback+planning self-running scheme than "5 done":
- Max 3 items I did past week
- Max 3 items I commit to do next week
In two well run London companies over 3yrs+5yrs periods.
(5 is too many, all in the past all back zero forward view lacks planning+commitment)
9:29 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894564107019288736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think you nailed consciousness exactly right there. It being like firmware. A small module, bootstrapping all higher learning. Needs to bootstrap itself first and foremost. Like that minimal Lisp interpreter written itself in Lisp.
Having said that—hope you move on soon to the next interesting topic that non-computer people have been stuck on forever. 😆 I enjoy listening to your ideas and talks. The C-horse has been bitten to death imo.
Make philosophy interesting again, pretty please.
1:44 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894527886356250698
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, that again is a related, but different discussion. Why do we compensate, what, and how.
Yes I would be annoyed. Is my annoyance a good reason to throw the other guy in prison? IDK—maybe yes, maybe no. Up for discussion. When giving examples. I shy away from dreaming up most edge cases. Extreme cases are not going to be regulated well by any laws we dream up. Laws are for the median cases.
Yes, creators need to be compensated—they deserve to make a living from their work. But this doesn’t extend to their grandchildren. Copyright laws should incentivize creation, not provide luxury for the descendants of the original creator a century later.
AI creation is teaching us that maybe compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it. Hobbling that chain, just so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders, while delaying the creation of non-human intelligence—that may not be the deal we want to take.
If we had to choose between x10 - x20 times-ing the world GDP in a new Revolution, AI Revolution, of the type of Industrial Revolution of the 1800s, and IP laws? IDK—let's think.
11:20 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894522871168262291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! The moment warring stops, (Ukraine is not the first war either) Putin is in maximal danger. Imo he has every incentive to be in a war forever. E.g. Milosevic didn't fall while he was warring about. He was ousted the first time there was year-two of peace. (from recollection) IDK how things stand with other dictators deposed in recent times. (Assad?)
11:00 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894513665203663224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But no value is "taken away". At the point of idea conception—zero value exists.
Say I dream up a "Better Mouse Trap". I don't build it myself. I don't sell it myself. I write about it on X.
Has any value been created at this point? No. Value existing is zero. We can estimate the potential value. But—that's a forecast, nothing more. Can be anything from -Inf to +Inf. From the worst disaster, to being priceless. Median zero. Most ideas amount to nothing.
Now you read my post on X. You build "The Better Mouse Trap Company". You produce "Better Mouse Trap" by millions. Value is created now, at this point only. By yourself. How much value? We don't know yet.
You sell each trap for $10. You sell millions of them. Now we learned how much value got produced. It's $10M.
Who created the value? Yourself. Did I help? Yes. Agree it would be good that I should be compensated for my contribution. But to say that I produced the value—is in my mind is untrue. You produced the value.
Incentives. It's a related topic, but a somewhat different one. I dispute your claim that without IP people would not produce. In the past there were times with no IP laws. People still created. E.g. during the Renaissance artists like Michelangelo and Leonardo still produced art.
I have a patent to my name. (now expired) Did I produce the invention in order to get a patent? No. I produced it without ever thinking about a patent. (in fact that part was a chore I mental-note-d "avoid in the future".) I did what I did because I loved doing. I had a problem, and I solved it. It was wonderful. One of the best days of my life tbh. Comparable to getting kids, or solving an up-to-that-point unsolved integral.
The Internet, Linux, GNU—some of the greatest technological achievements—were built by people creating for the love of creation, not patents. So to say it's impossible—does not tally with reality.
IDK why and how "slave-labour" you mention came into your head. No one is forcing anyone to do anything. People do stuff out of their free will. Kept secret, or giveth away, or sold for $$$—they are free to do as they freely choose. Only unfreedom is people locking up other people for the crime of copying words, picture, music etc. That's IP. Punishing people for copying and sharing ideas is effectively a thought crime.
10:23 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894497579485757578
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As I have less time left, I value it more.
In my youth, I never thought much about the edge of my future horizon. I knew it was finite, but for every imagined limit, I could just add +1. That effectively made it never ending, infinite.
Now I am cognisant it's not forever. I can see the edge. I now ration somewhat my time. When I spend it in the company of another person, I judge: was it better spent in/with company, than would have been spent alone?
Especially with the Internet, there is usually at the end of every day, something I wanted to do, but I run out of time. (and I'm falling asleep on my feet)
I imagine most people go through a similar proces. It feels natural, and seems logical to me tbh.
9:19 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894465182250012984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey Pete, thanks for your attention. Afraid I've no idea to what your reply means. Sorry. I'm guessing—"thumbs down".
Everyone else will have their own eyes to read, and minds to make up. Don't hear oft people say "Aye, lets ask Pete what to think of this or that".
You are the 2nd person in this thread like this. I imagine I fell in a time-warp chasm of boomers and or OAPs. (judging by the thread) I don't blame you—I blame the X algo-feed. Not your fault.
In the future—you can Mute or Block accounts that post things you find disagreeable. For they are likely to do it again. This time—I'm doing it for you. blocked
7:11 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894455294035431821
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not talking about this particular person/case, but in general. Now compared to my childhood, I notice. General decline in stoicism. Grown ups engaging in semi-emotional blackmail. (for social brownie points.) Rise of neo-toddlerism-
https://gurwinder.blog/p/the-outrageous-rise-of-neotoddlerism/
Using anecdote, personal experience to make decisions affecting many. Effectively giving some cases weight zero, other cases weighted max 100. Heard people say they don't trust statistics. Apparently caring only about their favourite victim while discarding the rest is better??
To me looks like emotionally not entirely grown ups in positions of power deciding things they should not be. Every decision carries in extremis emotional pain. A grown person should be capable of carrying that load. Not transfering to others. (and esp not to children.)
From gurwinder.blog
6:31 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894442255731032156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given this is the Brave New World we created, not there worst idea to familiarise ourselves how they work.
This is better than most - even if a bit long. (I watched in several installments; by . @karpathy)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI
youtube.com
Deep Dive into LLMs like ChatGPT
This is a general audience deep dive into the Large Language Model (LLM) AI technology that powers ChatGPT and related products. It is covers the full traini...
5:40 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894433856247201898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was a genuine question. IDK if you are smoking something my dude. Not my cuppa—this convo. Have a nice day and wish you the best in the future.
5:06 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894430757109575708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How does it compare to similar buildup episodes in history? Do we know how the UK or US railways were built in the 19-th century? Or maybe the M-otorway network of roads starting with M1 in the UK after WW2? That's fairly recent.
4:54 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894427014376878583
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never seen the same GP twice. We are not using the same NHS it seems.
4:39 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894426278800801965
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Five is too many. Also it's all in the past, all backview, zero forward view, lacking planning and commitment.
Better scheme.
- Max 3 items your did in the past week.
- Max 3 items you commit you will do next week.
4:36 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894419451002368406
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The latter - only if you don't realise value from it yourself. If you do realise value-then it's half-half, half-me half-you realised value. So not nullified but halved to yourself.
Why wouldn't you realise value yourself? Maybe you didn't see it. Maybe most of the value is in the realisation, not in the idea. After all - abstract IP is just abstracts at that point. Zero value has been created yet. Imposing cost to others at that point strikes me similar to taxing unrealised gains.
Maybe better balanced - if I don't want these words copied, I don't broadcast them publicly. I keep them to myself. I take care whom I share them with. It strikes me too much to expect everyone else to police prevent copy of these words, but for I to put zero effort in that.
4:09 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894412867379613949
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because when you take my car off me, I don't have it any more. While when you copy these words, I still have them too, I haven't lost them.
One is a Move operation, the other is a Copy operation. Former case I lose 1 you gain 1 = net 0. Latter case I lose 0 your gain 1 = net 1.
earlier today
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894333045483717033
3:43 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894389896560660899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have time on their side unfortunately.
They can lie and do contrary to their promises every day. We can only punish them once in four-five years.
Not ideal. But for all other systems that are worse etc etc
2:12 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894375962462011713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤩 Total privilege to witness such miracle in action tbh. 👍 Thanks 🙏 to the mum and yourself for sharing. ☺️
People moan about online 24/7 culture, ever present smartphones technology etc. Well - there are some upsides too. 😁
1:16 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894374057816330336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your are not wrong there. Tax revenue collection is amongst the last state organs (others being - police, army) to go incompetent and fail. By definition - if the state exists, these guys do function. (to a degree)
NB that's doesn't mean they're not lumbering giants crushing people left and right. They are. Betty would have probably suffered ther same predicament if say it was HMRC that owed her money and had to pay her. (our of the ordinary established give-or-take for which they have well worn processes running) DWP may have done better as they are setup for giving out money as default. (HMRC is for taking in)
My point is: once Betty is one off, out of established processes, it's very hard to make the machine carefor her. If the machine was a single human or few people - yes one could hope that they care. But the system is not that at all.
1:09 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894364492114325874
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm sorry all you heard was "blah blah blah". Sparing you future yapping torment rn. blocked
12:31 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894352639632314548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As I said—I'm not going to litigate. Looked it up—everything said there about nuclear can be applied to any energy source.
I have roof solar and battery. The self-use is about 40%, and with extra battery may get to 50%. On average, over the year. Extremes are - worst in winter 0%, best in summer 100%.
That understates the challenge. Everything that is consumed must be produced, supply matching demand, not on average over a day or an hour—but every moment every second of every day. I also know my kWh of energy from my MW of power. And am not spooked when I hear "three phases" of electricity. I had a bit of Electrical Engineering training in my youth.
Reading stuff I see many opinionated people who 1) either lack any knowledge, and particularly that there is no magic but must be supply==demand, or "very bad things will happen"; or 2) do not construct physics consistent models of the world.
I have resigned myself that no change will come to the UK, until a nation-wide blackout happens. Of the type when UK has to resort to Dinorwig to bootstrap itself back. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout.
11:43 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894346976726323380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok, I'm not going to litigate that. Just to note for the record. I don't think that nuclear is expensive. I think it's average-to-cheap. And can be made much much cheaper, should be choose to.
On a meta-/epistemic level. When I take a stance on an issue, I force myself to think "what evidence would convince me I'm wrong". It's bit of a chore that. Not pleasant, not something one looks to. On the plus side, on most issues—I lack particular view. That I find somewhat liberating.
I have had help there professionally. Doubly so.
Programmers writing programs have to think "I wrote this, I think it's correct, but I know there is an error". With the added terror: "If I made 1 error, then my thinking process is faulty; if my thinking process is faulty, 1000 errors maybe lurking in these 1000 lines of code".
Traders when placing a bet also typically set up a stop-loss "if I lose X on this, I will accept I was wrong, and liquidate the rest".
11:21 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894341666120622144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry to be rude and interrupt - but that's logicaly inconsistent.
If it were as global as it's said, US would be paying as much for energy as UK. Or UK as much as US. Or both some middle price. The prices would be about equal. That's what global market means.
These are all choices. Few things are inevitable. But for most things - UK gov chooses option 3 over options 1 or 2. The price of energy is one such choice. Other concerns take precedent over the price we pay for UK gov. Claiming lacking agency is self serving. Power without responsibility.
11:00 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894338668908736545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe you know and are already doing it, but jic (b/c I wasn't): you can totally tell it, instruct it, to be less uptalky, less sunny, more UK less US. It works! I was annoyed by the platitudes, and to my ears, after revised instructions, it came back more to my liking?
10:48 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894335654558908451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oi SS! That hurt?! Staying on topic. The 1) data; and 2) prior knowledge, both point to the same direction. It's not going to get better, but worse. Will end in a disaster. (currently—a mere mess) Change course now. The sooner, the cheaper. Write off the sunk cost.
With that message over to you—I'm blocking you now. For being 1) rude; 2) anon; 3) bandwidth waste (spending, while contributing net-zero - haha; you must have heard this before, but still fun to write) Blocking is just a one way read-only these days anyways. Stay well.
10:36 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894333045483717033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I want to suspect a multiples higher wealth level, a richer equilibrium, than the current regime, is one where the IP laws don't exist.
Imagine alternative timeline where UK DeepMind realises ASI, gets first onto Wegovy/semaglutide for Cancer? Or x10-x100 times-es graphene dry batteries?
IK that crazy hopium. But the data->information->knowledge->agency pipeline took off to everyones surprise. That was crazy 10yrs ago. R&D's like movies industry: no one knows sh*t.
I understand UK can't just unilaterally delete all IP laws even if it wanted to—as US will punish us. And UK is well more unfree than the US on this—can't imagine UK ever wanting to.
(1e-38 chance e/acc for PM; does not contradict the known laws of physics, so not impossible, haha 😂)
Anyways—here to register opinions, so here goes mine.
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt."
Or in the language of the future not the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
(priors https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258)
10:26 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894326133895627263
Jjubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your action is the same action taken in the past 15 years.
The result will be the same as the result we see today.
It will be the opposite of what you promised.
Us the public care about your promise, and your result.
@Keir_Starmer Ideology zealotry is driving your gov into a ditch. Look around, see what others are doing. You guys are not as clever as you think you are. Look around, do as others do, if you are to survive. You are the final boss.
9:58 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894320112490221979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the 2nd person I read this morning asking "Why?" It's a very good question! I often wonder myself about the same "Why?" when reading of cases like this one. (it's of some personal interest.)
Fwiw this is what I think of the answer to the "Why?"—
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894295685387678051
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @CastletonLee
Why? B/c the complex systems we have that are mix of people, rules, more people, procedures, some machines, are not a single human person.
You have a model in your head that the system is"like a single person, just scaled multiplied times a million in capabilities". That's why
Show more
9:34 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894295685387678051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why? B/c the complex systems we have that are mix of people, rules, more people, procedures, some machines, are not a single human person.
You have a model in your head that the system is"like a single person, just scaled multiplied times a million in capabilities". That's why you expect what you expect. What you expect is what a human person would do.
But it just aint so. The system running is not like a human person at all. It's more like a factory of million tons able to move slowly amoebae like. It's a disembodied system that is Artificially Stupid. A giant stumbling around crushing humans without giving them a second thought. It's not like the system doesn't notice Betty. It's just not setup to care at all about her.
People fret about AI. Well I hope we get systems Intelligent enough to understand why helping Betty is the right course of action in the given predicament.
7:57 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894318203683078614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Merkel was not a mere NPC like myself or yourself. She was *the* leader. The one person that sought (and got!) the position to lead. So she bears a lot more responsibility when a decision turns bad. Esp decision where there were reasonable credible forecasts about what may happen.
Nuclear exit and energy in general. Say what you want about someone like Vaclav Smil, but he is not 1) ignorant; or 2) with a poor record.
Remember seeing a video from him >10yrs ago making the argument:
#1 you got 70 GW reliables now;
#2 replace with 70 GW un-reliables + 70 GW gas backup reliable.
How is option #2 not going to be more expensive than #1? It will be more expensive. And—can always cut the un-reliables out of #2, and just use the 70 GW gas all the time.
I got reminded, as the UK predicament is exactly the same at this very moment. UK are now getting consequences (==cost, the bill) of dunderheaded wishful thinking. And I see no thinking process kick in. We are on auto-pilot, led by seemngly innumerate PPE-s. That are only capable of numeracy when their personal bank accounts are in consideration.
I expect more from a PhD in natural sciences tbh. And a lot more character too! She was not some grifting telesales operator selling dodgy "financial products". The UK PPE-s strike me more of the grifting types seen in finance. On them—I'm less surprised.
9:27 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894310255669981555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always astonishes me how small RoI for the grifter it is when fleecing the public purse. How cheap some random brothers are: cost the public a Billion (with a B), get back a Million (with an M). RoI of 1/1000. (yeah I know, I know it's not grifters' Billion in the denominator, they put zero in, for them 1/0=Infinity)
I guess if people as capable in the art of bezzle as themselves were to f*ck off to the US, they'd earn multiple Millions. The land of opportunity rewards such character richly. If only they were brave and honest to admit to themselves what they are in for (the M $$$), UK wd be free of this particular predicament.
Quote
https://x.com/premnsikka/status/1894286320513511426
Prem Sikka @premnsikka · 4h
UK domestic energy prices to rise 6.4% in April to £1,849 a year on average.
Fuel poverty will increase. People will cut spending elsewhere, derail economic recovery.
UK energy industry made £483bn profit since 2020.
Govt/regulators don't protect people
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgl0k772lwpo
Show more
8:55 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894298492320784794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jian Yang underage girl slaves "coding camp" writing fake reviews vibes. 😂 ("girls - go home!")
8:08 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894290156401693111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are libertarians at heart but are innumerate. They want to do "whatever they want to do". ATM they spend most of their time as wage slaves. Spending their waking time earning in order to eat.
It hurts their heads when they start thinking about "hows" of actually realising sth like that they like. So then they just fallback to "freedom for me but not for thee" (at the barrel of the gun that I got and you lack)
In the UK there's one of these guys wrote a book "Full luxury communism" or sth like that about this. I have not read the book but understood that it's along those lines.
7:35 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894286901269443072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Make $$$ in the stock market.
Thought DEShaw had the right general idea wrt trying blue sky R&D like Anthon. But then seemed David lost interest in further projects.
Someone like Simons looks like wd have been better suited to run pure research "spend $$$ only expecting 0 roi" but 20 years ago. Rather than purely charitably donating late in lufe.
Looks like OpenAI initial idea was similar? Only sugar daddies financing one off, not ongoing ops.
7:22 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894283570799161775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. Need an R&D testbed to experiment.
Something that comes up with its own games that are interesting enough to play? .@jeffclune has an episode in MLST. So then "interesting" builds into "agentic". (what's interesting now...)
Pple saying "thermostat". PID on its own is not agentic. Agentic would be if it also *set* the temperature. (not only achieve externally set one) Feels like for that it needs much more contact with the environment. (it's too isolated)
7:09 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894277985672290326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - lying Sacks full of sh*t; radical transparency addresses grifters; make Randy & Shaw proud again
6:47 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894198198371295548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah there's invisible unachievable golden middle, and heartache both sides to it: too much as well as too little honesty
1:30 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894191132097351997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 I hear you, but by now I've become so X-trained that the process takes couple of seconds and no post writing starts.
I'm "Ah - I know this, it's that way" (about to start typing) but then in my head runs the aftermath ending with "Nah, who cares". (making an exception for this one as I'm typing this, haha 😂)
I wonder if it'd help if I knew for sure that the OP will see the reply? B/c ofc there is not even that assurance. (or I know not of it)
So in the end—one moves to the next post.
1:02 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894184509584937368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—that would the unsurprising straightforward logic.
US finally pulling it's troops back, and leaving Europe. WW2+Cold war finally over. EU bigger countries (Germany) together with Poland+Baltics+Nordics (that are most in the newly imperial Russia cross hairs the most), acquiring independent nuclear deterrent.
I suspect it's not quite going to work that way. It never is straightforward. Curve balls random events happen.
Also broader trends. E.g.—mass social media makes for surprisingly unified information then consequently ideas space?? To the point of trans-national polities non-geographical distributed almost form?? Belgium citizens show keen interest in the US president. US voters care about China or Taiwan and whatnot. Surprising. Mind viruses propagate take hold across oceans, mass psychosis come in waves (women with swinging d*cks, CO2 will both burn and drown us, post-ideology, Iraq WMD).
12:35 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894180388651897214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆 Maybe use current ones sharpen your reading comprehension? I didn't say "AI is nothing with HI". I wrote "atm HI creates AI, but the opposite is not possible". AI ofc has a lot to do with HI, given current AI we got is the best model of HI. (us)
For singularity I imagine 5-7 miracles need to happen. Or about a million times performance improvement. I think of "miracle" when performance improves by factor x7-x10 times. There is a breakthrough of some kind, something we didn't know how to do and failed trying, suddenly works out, we learn how to do it.
(in the 2000-s when I was in the area, there were about only half-dozen people in the UK that could train an RNN; nowadays transformers—that replaced LSTM, that replaced RNN—are trained by thousands; I gather ~2 miracles occurred)
The current LLMs—chatbots and reasoners we got, are miracles. TBS if the logical reasoning for R&D pans out. I am using them daily for coding, am painfully aware of the shortcomings. As conversationalists they do quite well imo.
12:19 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894142364618559894
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Merkel-the-scientist is a cautionary tale that no-one is immune to folly. No-one.
With her growing up in East Germany, there is always tiny residual of suspicion: in an alternative reality counter factual, if Merkel were groomed/sleeper agent—what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
9:48 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894133828735693025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The unknown to me is what happens in 2140 when all bitcoins are minded. Will the miners have incentive to mine then?
Atm the fastest (the one that works out the unknown nonce by SHA256 trial-and-error hashing first) gets a new coin. (that's minted out of thin air) So there exists incentive there.
The other incentive for a miner is transaction fees I guess. Other than that—the only other option is appreciation of the existing coins. But that's unstable—may go up as well as down.
9:14 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894063259814432856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...I missed in the previous "conformity on the issue, I'm against the consensus, therefore they wrong, I right". If that meta-method was successful at separating true from false, we would use that meta thinking all the time. There will be no need for evidence, inquiry, deduction, science, all the hard stuff.
We would just do na opinion poll, and where there is >90% consensus, we decide the opposite. Or the same. Whatever. The trouble is: when we have zero information, no amount of consensus presence or absence tells us much about what's true or false.
We are better off, instead of trying for impossible (true information from Kremlin is water from stone), to look elsewhere (e.g. Ukraine in this case) where the information is less tightly controlled.
4:34 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894060336535232952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not got better info on this particular matter. Ofc I don't—how can I, I'm also not working in the Kremlin etc.
I do have better info on the Kremlin mode of operation on this matter though. As demonstrated in the prior posts. I wrote stuff 1) you didn't know about; and 2) you have hard time internalising. (even after reading about it)
This is not exactly unknown. There was some RAND report. Or when Steve Bannon says "flood the field with sh*t"—he intuitively gets it. Other people too stumble on the scheme from time to time.
The beauty of it is—even after people learn, they will refuse to internalise it. Remember—vanity, and that child thinking (wholly reasonably!) "it can't be that—every grown up I know and trust, every story I have ever heard." (about Santa)
IDK how they stumbled on this. Requires only 2 components: 1) total information control; and 2) production of stories (without any bearing to reality) on an industrial scale. So you discard the 95% but in the 5% you still imbibe what they produce. It works—so Kremlin keeps using it.
4:22 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894054858350645402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What can it possibly rely on? You don't live in Russia, you don't work in the Kremlin. To see for yourself. What other possible source of reliable information can you hope to have? No journalist can know anything other than what Kremlin told them. As simple as.
You say you are a realist. Nothing wrong there. And then you draw conclusions. Fine. But what from, from what information, do you conclude what you conclude. If you say "I have 0 information", then you will have "0 opinion". But your opinion to what is true and what is false is not 0, it's not "I'm perfectly ignorant, anything is possible".
There is a general pattern. (e.g. Greeks vs. Latins) Easterners think of Westerners as bit of vain, as having tad too good opinion of themselves. That—relative to an arbitrary yardstick—is somewhat true. So they usually will feed you something, don't leave you with nothing. As you hate not knowing, then you'd think less of yourselves.
That works for the better and for the worse. In the positive for the better: if I have exaggerated opinion of myself, I will try to live to it, put the effort. And some of that will pan out! In the negative for the worse—I will think to know more than I really know.
The obverse opinion, where Latins think of Greeks as cheating lying no-goodies is also observed. Also not entirely unfounded.
(my previous post was marked by X as "Visibility limited: this Post may violate X’s rules against Hateful Conduct." IDK what words/combination triggered the algo)
4:00 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894047664217698743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are wrong there. Any reasonable asessment is that Russia will seek control over Ukraine. This is just the latest instalment. The invasion was after the other means failed.
You should not think Catherine Belton knows anything. Or that Kremlin will tell Catherine their plans. Or that Kremlin saying X, tells you much about X. They say plenty obvious lies, and will continue to. (e.g. "there will be no invasion", "no Russian army in Crimea", "Crimea parliament voted", "elections organised and won", "no Russian army in east Ukraine", "didn't down any airplanes" and on and on; the list is long, all the way back to Stalin times)
From their point of view—you are like children, that are being told stories about Santa Claus. Anything remotely plausible—goes.
You will get 100% totally manufactured virtual reality. You don't know much about those distant foreign lands. And you are reasonable people. So you will go: "ok, maybe 95% is propaganda, but it can't be 100% all lies". (or at least very unlikely; that's your error, that's where they get you; it's "unlikely", but "not impossible") So you will swallow the 5% that are also lies, as truth.
That suffices for Kremlin. That's why they 1) need total information space control; and 2) must produce b/s on an industrial scale. But—it's cheap, it's easy, it works. That's why they keep doing it.
Visibility limited: this Post may violate X’s rules against Hateful Conduct.
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3:32 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894036604307530017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf from a single person perspective—spending non-zero time on the act of voting is irrational; it's a for the better we are not solely rational beings
2:48 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894033583792083356
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A saner interpretation: it's a cost, something all of us pay, and all of the UK would be 83B richer and able to spend that elsewhere.
2:36 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894020244240506936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given that the economy has barely grown for decades now, and esp on a per capita basis, would that no imply that non-net-zero economy shrank by exact the same amount?
UK population living standards have stagnated. While UK gov has been pursuing net zero. With the same mindset, industrial revolution would not have happened and UK would be living in 2025 very similar to 1725.
With passage of time—well run economy should be expanding, not staying the same. This is less than the winning argument you think it is.
1:43 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894018920270422490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Halving of our energy bills—when? When???
1:37 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894018698450473132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—for the "IP" crowd: maybe if you can't better them, then better join them?? 🙂
In past speak—
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt."
In future speak—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts
1:37 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894007660439109934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When??
1) Put a (date,number) on your forecast; and
2) Bet your house on that.
Anything else—cheap talk, lies, motivated thinking, hopium, delusions of grandeur.
12:53 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894006307511795784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. I imagine—it goes as fast as it can, the developmental program. I imagine—there are constraints we are not aware of. Agreed—your observation makes sense. The faster is done, the less risky, the greater evolutionary survival advantage.
12:47 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894005386543288766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. TBF—some other species set the spark for us in some way, and some other for them, ... and back to the time of when only amoebas existed, and even before. Perspective 😂
12:44 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894004346582364401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...almost as if—humans have a 2nd growing-up out-of-the-womb spurt, the "teens" phase from 11yo, when they get their final form(s) 😂 dee-lightful 😄
12:39 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894003580236910842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - as it is, HI can create AI, but not the other way around; sooo...—I volunteer that "humans aren't involved" maybe tad premature
12:36 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894000221295628752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't see how atm. If we had working v100 of Neuralink interface, seemless and convenient, that increased the speed of communication between us humans from current <100bps (and until 10-20yrs it was in close proximity alone; only increased million-fold with the mass digital comms recently) a million fold to 100Mbps, then I'd think singularity possible, yes.
12:23 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893998709945348496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
I'd risk a guess: when empty std::vector is passed, vec.size() returns 0, which is of unsigned type, so then the -1 down by one from 0, flips it to 0xff..ff, so then (unsigned) index i goes to the max unsigned for the size_t. (bar the last, as it's "<"; too bad the usual "!! danger !! danger !!" signal for unsigneds-in-for-loop that is "<=" is missing here to trigger the paranoid)
IMO 1.5 bads conspire to a disaster:
1- unsigned-s in loops is asking for trouble.
0.5- size_t hiding its unsignedness is unhelpful (usize_t and ssize_t, should have been).
One for the likes of "Writing Solid Code" by S. Maguire which is repeatedly shown a very useful reading. That rare book both high level and low level lessons too at the same time!
And using this opportunity to plugin a bugbear.
It's disapponting how hard it is to write non-defective code from get go. It's like walking barefoot in a snake pit. Even after decades of standardisation.
How does one even use integers when the risk of turning over overflowing is ever present?? With great difficulty! If one aims to at least try avoid in-correctness from the get-go. I personally maintain few levels-of-paranoid. E.g. here checking for "vec.size() > 0", with: XSTATIC at comptime, XCHECK at runtime release & debug mode, XASSERT at runtime debug only. Doable—but such a faff, should be much easier to do the right thing.
Crazy that we have floats with NaNs, Inf and -Inf and signalling, but we still lack signalling integers. Personally I'd like to have (for 32 bit ints) NaN=0x8000, +Inf=0x7FFF, -Inf=0x8001, rules like floating point has (e.g. "every op on a NaN results in NaN"), and interrupt/exception on rollover. Defaulting to "Ignore" handler for backward compatibility. (bonus: ranges on the +ve and the -ve sides are same size, can guarantee unary minus operation is always possible).
I suspect the reason things "mostly work ok" is because with 64-bit ints nowadays it's almost impossible to overflow, tbh.
12:17 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893989591817900416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thread. So next time just write this first, and don't do the "people wanting encryption are peados".
As it turns out—all want encryption!
(also "go for the ball not the man"—fiine, goood; and the you go after the man 😆 politicos just can't help themselves)
11:41 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893979922265260437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that somewhat "explained" by (popular) history books like, e.g. "Shortest History of Germany" by James Hawes
For the longest time couldno't get my head around who/what/where-s of stuff like—the Junkers, or Prussia, or the East- or West- of Elbe and similar then read there
11:02 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893968263597469724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably that's what they could muster there and then.
Now is good time to knock those 2 beds down, build 4-5 stories high houses 3-4 apartments in total, maybe shared garden? Something like that—denser by a non-trivial multiple people like. (not disliked mega sky scrapers)
10:16 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893966240030376396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The one below, from the Cipolla book-pamphlet on human stupidity: does actions that don't benefit him even s/he is at small loss, but dis-benefit (create loss) to others.
Then additionally I'm mindful of Bismarck observation, for the impact, that "energetic" (so "energetic and stupid") is v.important too as it amplifies the damage. As in - what damage 1 energetic fool inflicts on others (incl pos on self too), takes 10-20 smart industrious people fix undo after.
human-stupidity-laws.png
10:08 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893903499945300326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Did you think many had bad morals? Or not so much?
I fear it's a moral failing primarily, (this - https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893854919624421485).
I hope it's not but I fear it is. Heard the argument once. Applied it to small number few extreme cases I could think of (on both sides, stupid - yes/no), seemed to have some signal, some juice. That seemed really bad news to me.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 7h
Replying to @hgtvlover13 and @RichardHanania
yes serious hardware fault is a fair reason for stupidity; fwiw most stupid people are not impaired in that way, but are stupid because of morals failings
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893853610674389150
5:59 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893901407033446838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeh it's a matter of taste.
I am mainly concerned with code reading and getting errors out in the open early and often. Examples I usually see take much space, while doing little for some kinda a substantial fallback or recovery. Lots of Buck for not much Bang for my taste. 😉
Stack unwind losing the default context prob doesn't help. Have been jaded by too many "A file operation failed but I will not tell you the file pathname" handlers I guess? Yeah I understand they are supposed to pass that info to the handler.
For a remedy that is - "crash!" - well my XCHECK XASSERT already does it, with less vertical space taken, and less distraction from the business logic. (and even launches a debugger attaches to the process in the right stack frame. 😁 )
5:50 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893896494878466535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Delete from the corpora of existing laws and regulations. Just removing man power, without touching the thicket they are enforcing, will simply reduce the throughput of your system. The time of waiting to citizens will likely go up.
5:31 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893883348356870276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Baby steps. Will needs to be mustered first. Action cometh second. Trump & Musk dynamic-pneumatic duo staying full term facilitates it.
So Europe stands a chance to develop more antibodies to american crazy. The hope is whenever next crazy washes over, Europeans do better than in the recent past.
Minds virae that jumped the Atlantic in my lifetime:
- (latest) war of aggression and imperial territorial conquest (potential to turn genocidal too; tbs) is a defensive war and right and proper
- women with big c*cks we are to provide genuine genycology treatment for they are women b/c they say so
- global warming will kill us all in a fiery inferno combined with drowning and Al Gore is our saviour; (plus people pay top $$$ to scared them sh*tless)
- Iraq Sadam organised 911 and we are to invade; and remake the whole middle East into liberal democracy while there
- humanity will get it's commonuppence die off of hunger; but Erlich is resigned to that as humanity is vermin pox on mother Gaia so fine; (celebratory celebrity PR blitz grifting for half century ongoing)
Ofc there's plenty good and right and wholesome that Europe gets from US. Freedom, technology, computers, Internet, now AI, tons of new ideas. And mind viruses have jumped in the opposite direction (post- something or other).
The same uni-media space (latest - mass social) that facilitates it, also is working towards forging pan European polity too. Give some, take some.
4:39 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893854919624421485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes serious hardware fault is a fair reason for stupidity; fwiw most stupid people are not impaired in that way, but are stupid because of morals failings
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 7h
Replying to @RichardHanania
for most ("normal") people stupidity is a moral failing primarily; only a secondary effect it's un-intelligent, unable to reason, un-adapting, can't reach goals etc; but a primary cause, at it's root - it's bad bad morals.
2:46 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893853610674389150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
for most ("normal") people stupidity is a moral failing primarily; only a secondary effect it's un-intelligent, unable to reason, un-adapting, can't reach goals etc; but a primary cause, at it's root - it's bad bad morals.
2:41 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893659767035289975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As far as I know - not AI, it's from a real event. Reverse searching the pic shows other pics too, from the same event, e.g.—
https://gettyimages.es/detail/fotograf%C3%ADa-de-noticias/swedish-environmental-campaigner-greta-thunberg-fotograf%C3%ADa-de-noticias/1144590725
I think I got it off the BBC web site at some point. I trust BBC that it's not a blatant fake.
From gettyimages.es
1:50 PM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893656781886243131
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I must admit—I don't like exceptions. They are too much like hidden goto-s for my taste. If there is a possibility of a jump—I want to to be explicit and obvious tbh.
Remember reading early on C++ exceptions a paper on writing with-exceptions stack class. There were many unseen pitfalls. That left an impression on me. I thought—maybe only 1 in 10K programmers would get this right.
1:38 PM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893629818547192191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does US use gas? Didn't one of the persons on that pic just tell all "it's a world market for gas"? (when the latest Ofgem limit raise, i.e. another price hike for us) If it is a single world market—how is gas cheap for US, or Norway, and expensive for UK? Or any other country that has lower electricity price than the UK.
At some point, everyone should ask themself: "can I imagine evidence, any evidence, what will convince me that I'm wrong". If there is—good. If not—then I have crossed over to religion.
11:51 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893623191802614188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's bad how hard it is to write non-defective code from get go. It's like walking barefoot in a snake pit.
How does one even use integers when the risk of turning over overflowing is ever present?? With great difficulty to stay correct. I end up checking (e.g. vec.size() > 0), with: XSTATIC at comptime, XCHECK at runtime release & debug mode, XASSERT at runtime debug only. Doable—but such a faff, should be much easier to do the right thing. Alt—just accept the less-than-correct code.
It's wild that we have floats with NaNs, Inf and -Inf and signalling, but we still lack signalling integers?? IDK what happened there. (C standards committee asleep at the wheel?)
I'd like to have (for 32 bit ints) NaN=0x8000, +Inf=0x7FFF, -Inf=0x8001, rules like floating point has (e.g. "every op on a NaN results in NaN"), and interrupt/exception on rollover. With default to "Ignore" handler for backward compatibility. (bonus: ranges on the +ve and the -ve sides are same size; can guarantee unary minus operation is always possible).
The only reason things mostly work is because with 64-bit ints nowadays it's almost impossible to overflow, tbh.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893509322769834350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 7h
Replying to @peach2k2
Heh - 1.5 bads conspire.
1- unsigned-s in loops is asking for trouble.
0.5- size_t hiding its unsignedness is unhelpful (usize_t and ssize_t, should have been).
"Writing Solid Code" by S.Maguire remains a very useful reading.
11:25 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893615603602141365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin just rebuffed your advances with "No—I want control over the whole of Ukraine". As he's been saying for years. (and plenty of people have told you.) What's your grand plan now? You can't force Ukrainians to just lie down and die. They will fight Russia as it's "give me freedom or give me death" for them.
Allowing Ukraine to fall to Russia is a bad idea from the PoV of nuclear war being in the top-3 human species extinction risks. It's on the path of the most likely scenario for a nuclear war. Eastern/Europe will not lay down be rolled by Putin. They didn't for Hitler, nor for Napoleon. They will fight back. Europeans are combustable, rambunctious bunch. They have gone to the ends of Earth and raised all manner of hell! They will not take the Russian nonsense quietly, nuclear war or not.
Poland + Baltics + Nordics must get own MAD deterrent to short circuit that. Without—we continue on the WW3 path. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the real will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start. A poor setup for the purpose of keeping peace—but a very potent one for starting wars!
Impossible to see the future. But a natural progression with Greater Russia absorbing Ukraine (and esp their battle hardened army), and united with Belarus (post Lukashenka, Russia manoeuvres in a less independent minded ruler) is to invade the Baltics next. US will not get involved at this point. No US president will risk a nuclear war over "distant lands of which we know little". Emboldened Russia invades Poland next. At this point US gets involved. This is the path to a hot war, and ending in a Nuclear one.
10:55 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893559775645839779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A: That it's like us, humans? Plenty of times we are told "don't do XYZ" and we go ahead and do exactly XYZ.
More seriously: if you really want to learn why, go watch the latest Karpathy video on YT, it explains it well. (worth persevering, long)
7:13 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893534453940543795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nah - time to
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 21
Replying to @bbb2t @kalomaze and @teortaxesTex
Nice! 😍 So glad to read that. A kindred spirit, 🥰 a heart warming read.
For a second, hoped maybe we get lucky. The politically ascendant TBPR—a Tech Bro Progressive Right on the rise—does not let DeepSeek-R1 open weights AI Sputnik moment of crisis go to waste. And strikes
Show more
5:32 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893531593752338533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Communist even.
"In the final stage of communism, the state will sease to exist, either away, disappear dissolve."
...is my vague recollection of something I might have heard in a class of "Marxism Something or Other" subject, cca. about year 1987.
5:21 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893509322769834350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - 1.5 bads conspire.
1- unsigned-s in loops is asking for trouble.
0.5- size_t hiding its unsignedness is unhelpful (usize_t and ssize_t, should have been).
"Writing Solid Code" by S.Maguire remains a very useful reading.
3:52 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893505527721926762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not crazy but expected.
Turing test was passed - no one noticed.
Elections are held all around the world - no fakes deep or otherwise that people go crazy about.
AGI will be the same.
Instead of I spending the Saturday booking a 10 days holiday clicking searching the web, I will instruct the Gemini Booking Agent with one paragraph brief. It will get on the job. Every half hour it will come back, ask for clarification or disambiguation about something. I will reply. By the evening, flights, accomodation, car rental etc will be booked. Job done. My Saturday spent on sth else, not on a chore. That's it. That's AGI in action.
Nothingburger.
3:37 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893489689769787793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha. Q: how do you stay alive when the four neighbours around yours' join forces to murder you and take your land?
2:34 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893435336962748551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
once - incidence, twice - coincidence, trice - enemy action
10:58 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893380966866895010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...with enthusiastic support by all sides, for many years; good we got Internet nowadays for the receipts
pic-gove-moran-ed-greta-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
7:22 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893371511127388400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😍 always touched by the humanity of it; when on $ git log -p, I receive what another human transmitted into the unknown, into a void, from beyond a horizon.
6:45 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893337442209386668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the per capita measure does not support the "circling the drain" narrative. This will not stop the naysayers I'm afraid. 😳
Still-silver lining. Every few years, the chorus of cretins works up a creschendo, 😂 and they finally actually bet their own real $$$ on their words. (unlike the dude you quote)
They lose their shirts and we never hear from them again. "The widow maker trade." Always think of that $$$ as well spent for the entertainment value. 😁
And on education how Fiat currency works. BoJ the bosman—the final boss even. 😆
4:29 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893266705641558403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't have that strong feelings tbh. I mess with computers computing code writing, read what ideas other people dream up, try observe what feedback reality gives back, revise try again.
Personal rule of thumb—for things that failed in v1 and even v2, did something new (in adjacent field?) happen since, to make us hope reasons for previous fails be circumvent in v3?
Things I have some hope to pan out, to become mass instance, in my lifetime:
- Bioinformatics, genetics, genomics—with GWAS close(r) to v3.
- Medical sensors, monitoring of the inner parts of the body, early intervention.
- Embryo screening, possibly interventions, again GWAS small diffs, but add to meaningful change, esp with compounding over lifetime.
- MOOC—Massive Open Online Courses, close to v3 now? With AI interactivity may scale up finally, chance to realise Bloom 2-sigma mastery learning.
- Scaling up R&D innovation discovery with ML-AI. Types 1-2 thinking Tik-Tok cadence: type 1—pattern recognition, idea generation; type 2—chain of thought logical thinking, tear down most coming from 1, what survives may be of some value; repeat 1-2 alternate ad infinitum.
- (minor but personal bug bear) Universal enough Babel fish dialogue translator in my hand if not my ear.
Things unlikely to live to see in my lifetime even if I'd have wanted to:
- Robotics—seems we are getting close to v1 of wider adoption. Discounting Roombas there that didn't pan out, I'd put them at v0.5, not even v1. 😄
- Biology modelling. Virtual cell models for cell types. In silico testing before wet lab testing.
- Quantum computing (QC) possibly provide the means to partly address the curse of dimensionality. At least the compute side of it. (if not the data size side) Data grows exp-onentially with dimensions—sad. But-QC computation grows exp-onentially with number of qubits too.
Enough I hope—I'll stop dreaming now. 😂
11:48 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893224870684827856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too, 😀 and so does everyone else. It's a bet. I'm ngl I'm apprehensive as anyone how it turns out—for it's a bet. Anyone telling you about the future with certainty is deceiving you, and maybe themselves too.
But imagine if the spread of mechanical gizmos and latter electric devices was proscribed, censored, stymied, by the powers of the day. (kings etc) And Cambrian explosion of objects that make our lives so much easier and better now didn't happen. Imagine our lives now not that different to what they were pre-1800. Wouldn't we think, knowing now what is possible—"wow what opportunity lost"?
I'm thinking of the analogue in the current Information Revolution. Things show promise, but for various reasons, don't pan out, and petter out. Not impossible. Every obstacle thrown in front increases the chance of that. (e.g. in ML/AI—quite a few of the things people didn't think they were right about, turned out—they were; just to early; or not ambitious enough to go in hard-to-the-max then some more)
So here is to hoping that similar Cambrian explosion of AI infused magical gizmos in every nook and cranny of life deliver another x10-x20 times increase in quality of life for humanity. Given how much scale turns out matters—the more of humanity gets of that, the better imo.
9:02 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893211656315977797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the equivalent manual labour workers of today are computer people. Computers are to Information Revolution what mechanical machines are to Industrial Revolution.
Programmers, developers, everyone thinking things up in their heads, then typing them on the keyboard. All is painstaking manual-key on key.
They have their Internet forums, their Agoras. Esseys in personal blogs and web sites. Online ideologues, philosophers, polemicists, etc. The rich tapestry of intellectual life you reference, recreated in virtual spaces.
8:10 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893127533245198776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For coding questions and problems troubleshooting I use Gemini on http://aistudio.google.com (free). I pay $20/mo for OpenAI, so switch to that for 2nd opinion, writing etc. For API I topup $10 at http://openrouter.ai, route that to various models. Have used llama.cpp to run DeepSeek R1 proper (not smaller distilled) locally on a box with 1TB RAM. (4bit quants .gguf is 350GB)
From openrouter.ai
2:35 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893121495670346174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Slowly, but turning. 😆 How about—get the (nowadays ever less employed) German industry build you 400-500 ones. Then everyone goes back to minding their own business, within the borders of their own countries. We spend our lives in ways more productive then killing for land.
2:11 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893105159464525948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, that to my mind is similar to saying the O2 Ukrainians inhale, or the water they drink—is an action against the Russians. It's none of Russia's business.
Hope Poland+Baltics+Nordics make their MAD asap. (if NKorea Isreal SAfrica could, so can they—faced with existential threat) So this stupid business of few Tony Sopranos running a racket on half a billion people ends.
1:06 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893099996037210360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not wanting to be murdered, pillaged, raped and all around decimated by the Russians—is not "having something against the Russians". What kind of brain-rot logic is that?? People wanting in peace are not "acting against the Russians". Russians are free to live as they please.
12:46 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893079708461387885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly that! I thought, traditionally, the deal was that UK spied on US citizens, US spied on UK citizens, and then they swapped info. But after everything learned from Snowden, it's possible that they dispensed even with that pretence.
11:25 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893075061726138832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump track record negotiating with the Taliban is poor.
None of us know any details—but the PR blitz coming from Muskites in your camp vibes "we give Russia everything before they ask, and even stuff they don't ask for".
Silver lining: maybe Baltics - Poland - Nordics will finally get their fingers out, start acting in on the clear and present risks, and in 2-3 years maybe they will have their own nuclear deterrent.
The idea the US will risk anything much, let alone nuclear annihilation, for Europe atm looks absurd. US stingy even with old hardware—both parties. Not talking about putting any US lives at risk—just old hardware you have lying around aplenty.
Think your stance is a silver lining, b/c I also think that #1 known danger is nuclear war. (unknown danger—a meteorite)
Allowing Ukraine to fall to Russia is a bad idea from that PoV. B/c that's on the path of the most likely scenario for a nuclear war. Eastern Europe and Europe in general will not lay down be rolled by Putin. They didn't for Hitler, nor for Napoleon. Europeans will fight back. They are combustable, rambunctious bunch. They have gone to the ends of Earth and raised all manner of hell! They will not take the Russian nonsense quietly, nuclear war or not.
Having two World Wars started in Europe—the only world wars! and not one but two of them! (once an accident - but twice??)—the overwhelming chance is that nuclear war does start in Europe. We are some way towards it. (slow moving chronic since 2014 Crimea; fast moving acute the last 3yrs since Feb-2022)
Poland + Baltics + Nordics must get own MAD deterrent to short circuit that. Without—we continue on the WW3 path. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the real will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start! A poor setup for the purpose of increasing the chance of peace, and decreasing the chance of war—in fact exactly the opposite.
Impossible to see in the future. But a natural progression with Greater Russia absorbing Ukraine (and esp their battle hardened army), and united with Belarus (post Lukashenka, Russia manoeuvres in a less independent minded ruler) is to invade the Baltics next. US will not get involved at this point either. No US president will risk a nuclear war over "distant lands of which we know little". Emboldened Russia invades Poland next. At this point US gets involved. This is the path to a hot war, and ending in a Nuclear one.
The pro-MAD argument for Poland + Baltics + Nordics is the same as—
https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
That stood the test of time.
11:07 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893065396623941871
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow, a second kindred spirit find today, so happy to read the above. 🤩 Thanks for posting it!
I had thought of "IP slows down AI search for cancer cure—every day delayed by IP is XYZ people executed by illness that otherwise would have lived" vector. But have not thought of the NatSec angle! It is real, a good argument.
Was ranting earlier today on the theme 😆 here—
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258
10:28 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893059509482070383
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most UKR-s have nowhere to go. It's not only basic loss of freedom.
More than one prime TV Russia hosts openly call for extinguishing of the whole UKR nation. At minimum, that means the UKR language forbidden from state-anything. If not outright banned from public life. Teachers, poets, writers etc exiled or killed. UKR already have one "lost generation" of culture workers 100 years ago.
If you are UKR in that Greater Russia I imagine you will be always suspect as potential enemy of the state. The Russian state has been horrid to the Russians for lesser things. Can't imagine what it will do to non-Russians. We have a foretaste of how occupied Ukraine will look in the parts that have been now occupied for 3 years.
It will be carnage, mass murder as customary on The Bloodlands of the 20-th century.
10:05 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893050223020138703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah they hate Zel with passion. Unkind to speculate—but hey this' X so why not. 😅
Maybe "bones spurs" "warriors" project there? Feel in themselves they would have fled in Feb-2022. Hate on the dude for being brave. They suspect they'd have been cowards.
IDK what Zel family situation is. Can't not notice that Musk family stuff seems tad chaotic. Various concubines communicating with him in public on X, desperate to get his attention on family matters??
As per the above—mild title-tattle while lazying about on Sat evening. 😆 I have not got any knowledge except what's public on the Internet.
9:28 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893019936278151608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hey did the moon landings happen or were they faked? think dude
7:28 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893017111389446460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Useful idiots are forever.
Sachs was a useful idiot for the USG in the '90s. He is a useful idiot now, shilling for Putin/oligarchs. He has not changed one iota. The same zeal, the same certainty, total lack of introspection.
Initially Sachs outsourced his thinking to the USG. Everything the USG told him, JS multiplied by +1. So merrily, merrily, he went on to administer Shock Therapy to Borat oiks. That turned out to be a mistake.
JS's lesson learned was "Aw shucks, *damn* you, USG! From now on, I’ll multiply everything the USG says by -1." Where it should have been, "I distrust the USG and take no note of them." I multiply what they say with 0.
JS seems has decided to multiply everything the Russian government tells him by +1 this time around. Sure genius - it will work better this time. For the Russian government is well known for its trustworthiness and not telling any lies, ever! 😂
IDK how to comprehend that level of stupidity.
7:17 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893014028911550837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you can read my data so can the Chinese Intelligence. It's that simple. Leave a back door open, and everyone will get in. Same for your data.
I thought after 40 years of crypto wars, when earlier this year it was revealed that Chinese had tapped the US splitters feeds that was a lesson learned?
Do you think all these mathematicians cryptographers telling you what you refuse to hear are unpatriotic? Do you think they are traitors? You should think less of yourself. Your dunderheaded obstinence is putting us all in danger.
Police will find another way to deal with whatever you fear. Don't conscript the poor abuse victims into your misguided cause. You have no right to use their suffering for this.
What you are attempting to do-it's not that it's stupid because it's impossible. No-it's because this will fail in the worst possible moment to cause UK the most damage. Act smart, act clever. Enough with this galactic stupidity already ffs!
7:04 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893005986862112831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh. Didn't some game on ZX-Spectrum (Elite maybe? ported fom BBC B?) have 1) point stack pointer to the video memory 2) push zeros (2 bytes) clear screen quicker than thought possible. (Z80A, 4MHz)
Boulderdash on Commodore-64 (6510, 1MHz) used the video chip "raster register" (current screen line drawn) as source of randomness. Possibly fed into a register of the audio chip (SID or sth?) as part of defining attack-decay-sustain-relese waveform params. Creating a semi-random catchy tune. The whole subroutine <100 bytes 6502 machine code.
Most C64 games used NMI generated when line drawn on screen matched one set to the video chip (VIC?) register, to swap around sprites definitions. So about each (horizontal) third of the screen had its own set of 8 (?) sprites.
6:32 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893000352737190112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
dude!!! yeah ambient 440-480 ppm for me, once over 1000 ppm time for evacuation! (or opening the windows wider)
6:10 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892999677974282303
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Thinking" is giving too much, hoping for something that's not there.
There's only reacting to events. Some events set in motion many moons - even years! - ago, (Chagos) others appearing out of seemingly nowhere. (half-US siding with Russia)
I wish there was thinking. Even bad thinking! 🤔
6:07 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892956356388282646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - the "bones spurs" "warriors" projecting right there
3:15 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892955885195948053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Various TV programs, talking heads on daily TV prime time programs, etc. One needs to be native speaker (I'm not), know some of the home scene too.
There is a service that collects and translates them to English. Something-something-monitoring. You can also read kremlin dot ru in English and make up your mind.
I lived through the YU wars in the 1990-s, and it's the same Mode of Operation regarding how things work. State TV channels will "channel" what the ruler wants the plebs to know. State paid talking heads, the informative programs on prime time TV etc.
(there other similarities too; e.g. Russia use of russians living outside Russia is similar to the way Serbia used serbs outside it; similar to the way germans outside Germany were used etc)
3:13 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892951688450920943
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Trying to "read the mind" of Putin is not productive, is fools' errand, as 1) not possible 2) any mind can change. And there will be another Putin-like after Putin too.
Imo it's better to:
1) Read what Putin/Kremlin writes, tells us, on kremlin dot ru. It's translated into English for our benefit.
For context, we are to check Tucker's Putin & Dugin interviews. Us we are better off to listen what they say. (however uncomfortable to us.) They grant Tucker interviews so they relay their message to us.
2) Watch what the state propaganda tells the Russians on TV. That is clear, plain, unambiguous. For even if Putin/Kremlin don't need genuine elections, they still need to have the public with them. They can't willy-nilly turn things on a dime. They will telegraph well in advance what their plans are.
(and follow on that for real, most of the time; also mentioned in the Sarah Paine old Dwarkesh interview, she's observant lucid so noticed it)
2:57 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892926815347392954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 I agree with everything above and thought the same Re: the grand plan and how various companies fit in.
Also agree #1 known danger is nuclear war. (unknown danger—a meteorite hitting us)
So allowing Ukraine to fall to Russia is a really bad idea. B/c that's how nuclear war starts! Eastern Europe and Europe in general will not lay down and be rolled by Putin. They didn't for Hitler, nor did they for Napoleon. Europeans will fight back. They are combustable, rambunctious bunch. They have gone to the ends of Earth and raised all manner of hell! They will not take the Russian nonsense quietly, nuclear war or not.
Having two World Wars started in Europe—the only world wars! and not one but two of them! (once an accident-but twice??)—the overwhelming chance is that nuclear war does start in Europe. We are 1/6-1/5 way towards it. (slow moving chronic since 2014 Crimea; fast moving in the last 3yrs since Feb-2022)
Now. Poland + Baltics + Nordics must get MAD deterrent. Without—we continue on the WW3 path. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the real will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start! A very poor setup for the purpose of increasing the chance of peace, and decreasing the chance of war—in fact exactly the opposite.
Impossible to see in the future. But a natural progression with Greater Russia absorbing Ukraine (and esp their battle hardened army), and united with Belarus (post Lukashenka, Russia manoeuvres in a less independent minded ruler) is to invade the Baltics next. US will not get involved at this point either. No US president will risk a nuclear war over "distant lands of which we know little". Emboldened Russia invades Poland next. At this point US gets involved. This is the path to a hot war, ending in a Nuclear one.
The pro-MAD argument for Poland + Baltics + Nordics is the same as
https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
That stood the test of time.
1:18 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892913743069085716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow wow wow @deepseek_ai 😍 can't believe this is really happening??
Our hopes for the future—manifest 🥰
Open source open weights open thoughts—
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2025/02/19/nobody-will-profit.html
I'll be damned—you are doing every "quantitative" out there proud! @deepseek_ai 🤩
Quote
https://x.com/deepseek_ai/status/1892786555494019098
DeepSeek @deepseek_ai · 8h
🚀 Day 0: Warming up for #OpenSourceWeek!
We're a tiny team @deepseek_ai exploring AGI. Starting next week, we'll be open-sourcing 5 repos, sharing our small but sincere progress with full transparency.
These humble building blocks in our online service have been documented,
Show more
12:26 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! 😍 So glad to read that. A kindred spirit, 🥰 a heart warming read.
For a second, hoped maybe we get lucky. The politically ascendant TBPR—a Tech Bro Progressive Right on the rise—does not let DeepSeek-R1 open weights AI Sputnik moment of crisis go to waste. And strikes the MSM woke-entertainment complex, the enemy they love to hate, and deletes the "IP" laws. "Tear down that IP wall Mr President"-style. 😂
For it turns out the information gulag of "IP" laws was hindering emergence of new intelligence!? Pivotal moment—once in a Billion years event!! (maybe) Alas—seems very unlikely to happen from this PoV. (feb2025) Looks like circuses and dumb antics took priority instead.
(earlier on
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
11:18 AM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892885608458002604
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - it's happening, dee-lightful 😇
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2025/02/19/nobody-will-profit.html
geohot.github.io
Nobody Profits
Intellectual property is a really dumb idea.
10:34 AM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892833554075156747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For freedom. So they live freely in their country.
They would have otherwise surrendered, not fought back at all, three years ago. They have that option still, each and every day.
"Give me freedom or give me death". This should be familiar to Americans?? wtaf.
7:07 AM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892718769937449449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not all will use the same opportunity in the same ways.
People will choose different ends. AI will help them achieve what previously they might not have achieved. But the end destinations will be humans driven.
Then there is character, feelings, what do we chose to do with our lives etc. On a spider/radar plot, Intelligence is only one axis outside of half-dozen or more.
11:31 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892713643655012574
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an ok model. But few will find a reason to switch to it. I'm already using 2-3 models daily. I need a reason to switch to a new one. OpenAI has got 400M weekly users to their ChatGPT. Seems to me this is even stickier than Google search. I have histories going back months.
11:11 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892708118200570002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, this is very bad news. There is not getting to Mars with you as a leader it seems. Leaders that surround themselves with sycophantic yes men in the end get high on their own supply. Sad.
10:49 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892707449511068113
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"high on his own supply", in the age of mass social media 😅
10:46 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892690322167087106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UKR-s and Zel will find way to make lemonade out of latest lemons. Your vanity is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre. (Putin does it all the time; Taliban took T to the cleaners)
A jujitsu Zel resists some, then goes "ok, elections agreed"... but "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or other weapons) Then makes a deal with his competitors—the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them positions in the next gov. Special law is brought in as a major concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. Then wins by a landslide.
Wins a US PR battle, more weapons for UKR, strengthens national unity. There is no domestic UKR politician siding with RUS afaik. Russians feeding you election nonsense are high on their own supply.
9:38 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892670934999314848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe they hook them to a brain interface, play them the "I'm sorry Dave I'm afraid I can't do that" scene, then select based on the reaction 😂
8:21 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892621414542311700
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ze germans 😂
euros-nord-stream.jpeg
5:04 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892607865699131685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahahah 😂 - a black belt guy!
That's why he's glancing at the windows, had to negotiate his life with his cook, is desperate for a pause, high on his own supply thinks Ukrainians long for the buzzom of Mothers Russia-still! (4-th year in, the genuis idea is—"elections!"; and channelled through that most reliable of all, mister-T!)
Yep-he remains the master strategist in that 8-dimensional chess invisible to the rest. 😂
4:10 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892600069913796752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—I expect UKR-s will make lemonade out of latest lemons tbh. A vain Trump is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre. Putin does it all the time! (even the Taliban took T to the cleaners)
A jujitsu scenario. 😂 Zelensky resists, then at some point goes "ok, elections then"... and "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or whatever other weapons needed).
Then he makes a deal with his competitors—the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them significant positions in the new admin or sth. Then special law is brought in as a major concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. ("elections in wartime, innit!") Then he wins by a landslide.
Winning a US PR battle, more weapons for UKR, and strengthening national unity too. Putin loses. (again)
Agent Orange has by then long forgotten the saga. But is uugely pleased with the result. He's loving him a winner! Maybe even gets "concessions" to "rare mineral earths" or some such pioneer gold-star sticker award. (five thousand million billions worth of!—uuge!!)
Conspiratorially minded may suspect Budanov dreamt up the whole thing? I'm less certainty minded. I know of life stranger than fiction. Say, opportunity kicks your way, then...—who knows? Nothing more American than jumping on an opportunity presenting itself. 😇
3:39 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892596067566309529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do judges have bosses? Do those bosses have bosses of their own? I wonder who the final boss is.
3:23 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892595714552668625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Delete the regulation, then delete the regulator too.
Unfit to make decisions for the millions of us. Delete.
3:22 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892595182752698676
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So no need to ban. Bans itself.
3:20 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892593158606762231
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣🤣🤣 omg she is thicker than the thickest thicket
3:12 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892583942722584713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After 3 years of active total war in your "common home", you should have had 300 atom bombs by now for your deterrent.
(https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20deterrent%20&src=typed_query&f=live)
You need to be kicked out of public life like our Boris. You & your co-ideologues are total failures. Yourselves, manifest—
euros-nord-stream.jpeg
2:35 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892581268753109310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. No fuss—no muss. Every one person will decide for themselves, vote with their feet, and enjoy or suffer the consequences of their decision. Good and bad.
Cool cool—so no bans sh*t, agreed.
2:25 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892580637636276402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks.
However much I hate on the boomers, I got to admit—my older Xgen (b.1968 myself) are almost as bad as the booming Boomers... With some exaggeration—non-trivial scores on the I^3 trifecta (Illiterate, Innumerate, Imbecile) radar/spider chart.
Boomers looks like they will be euthanised by their grand/children in time it seems. Xgen too young for that...
2:22 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892577219274330460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. So you lose nothing by not banning. Ban nothing—lose nothing. Very good.
Leave it to each and every one to decide for themselves. That's all everyone wants.
2:09 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892566802003042626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 (you sweet summer child)
It's the SOP Standard Operating Procedure, manufacturing popularity for your own policies.
In the post/communist countries, they go a step further: just create your own opposition! That way, no matter if the position or the opposition win, you are on the winning side.
(in Russia Putin had the same for a time-but then he dispensed even with that pretence)
1:27 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892555374869299535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They shouldn't ban anything. They should let the public decide with their feet.
How is this even difficult?? The negation of "mandated vaccines" is not "forbidden vaccines". It is - "let every one person decide for themselves".
After woke-left, cometh woke-right. omfg
12:42 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892543455080948089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm mostly agreeing with "the state creates the demos". True that - disparate people with a group potential coalesce around common idea(l)s, that smaller number creates the State, then that the State creates the (larger) Demos.
With EU the complication is that the existing Nations, and their Nation states. They are quite strong. Europe level institution would have to attract the various people's of Europe with something, that they can offer, that current nation states lack, or are found in want of.
For trust, I imagine pre-requisite for trust is transparency. (necessary, but not sufficient)
11:54 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892533884430033291
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Heh - I hear you. But please continue the chain of thought where it leads you. And you will see for yourself why it's not happening.
Parliament voting laws implements parliamentary democracy. For DemoCracy, the rule of the Demos - one needs Demos! What is Demos?
Currently Demos means - Nation. A nation is currently the largest group of people, where the defeated 49%, accept the will of the winning 51% peacefully (for a preset limited period of time). Don't seceed, don't break off into their own separate group with own separate parliament and state and the whole jazz. (it's reasonable to follow up "why"; that chain ends in "trust", the-magic✨-dust 😊)
There is no European nation. So there is no European Demos. So there can be no European wide democracy.
EU is a Union of Nation States, or Nations - not of individual citizens. Other things flow from this - e.g things named the familiar, like Parliament, but functioning in unfamiliar ways. It would be indeed simpler for all if European Demos existed.
UK being old anachronistic is home to 3.5 nations. So I can see the potential fault lines. I am atuned to spotting tiny cracks of these kinds (with potential) having grown up in YU. 😎
11:16 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892515164789809350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Which they do. And this is not even the broker fees. Which they do pay too.
It's so so tiring. We all have lives to live. We don't live at dis/pleasure of this rotten system. It will be on the next gov (PM Farage?) after LAB follow in CON steps to reduced Westminster presence.
10:02 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892512218186482021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆- expecting the UKR-s to perform another jujitsu. Surprise us in some way, use this to their advantage. A vain Trump is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre. Putin does it all the time!
A scenario. Zelensky resists, then at some point goes "ok, elections then"... and "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or whatever other weapons they need).
Then he makes a deal with his competitors - the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them significant positions in the new admin or sth. Then special law is brought in as a great concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. ("elections in wartime, innit!") Then he wins by a landslide.
Winning a US PR battle, more weapons for UKR, and strengthening national unity too. Putin loses. (again)
Agent Orange has by then forgotten the saga, is uuge(!)ly pleased with the result, is loving the winner! Maybe even gets "concessions" to random "rare minerals" or similar pioneer gold-star sticker award. (five thousand million billions worth of!-uuge!!)
A conspirator may suspect Budanov dreamt up the whole thing. I'm less certainty minded. I know of life stranger than fiction. But say - opportunity kicks your way, then...-who knows? Nothing more american than make lemonade out of lemons tbh.
Learn from the best! 😇
Quote
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump · Feb 19
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:50 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892500539788689880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - waiting on the UKR-s to perform another jujitsu, use this to their advantage. A fool like Trump is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre tbh. Putin does it all the time!
A scenario. Zelensky resists, then at some point goes "ok, elections then"... and "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or whatever other weapons they need).
Then he makes a deal with his competitors - the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them significant positions in the new admin or sth. Then special law is brought in as a great concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. ("elections in wartime, innit!") Then he wins by a landslide.
Winning the US PR war, weapons for UKR, and strengthening national unity. Putin loses. (again)
Trump agent orange has forgotten by then the whole saga, is Huge(!)ly pleased with the result. Maybe even gets "concessions" to some "rare minerals" or similar pioneer gold-star sticker award.
A conspirator may suspect Budanov dreamt up the whole thing. I'm less certainty minded. I know of life stranger than fiction. But say - opportunity kicks your way, then-who knows? Nothing more american than make lemonade out of lemons tbh. Learn from the best! 😇
9:04 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892490568296525934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2FA - if not already on, this' a signal to turn it on.
Afair uses a standard App you already have got. No need to install anything.
8:24 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892487116099047827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
API when
8:11 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892479487780008345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's too broad a take. Depends - which humanities, and where. (in/out of academia) I can think of:
Arts - performing arts are embracing generative models, as they embrace any tools thrown their way. The way usually embracing happens - old established will shy away, new upstarts use new tools to make space for themselves under the sun.
Philosophy, religion - have plenty to say, and plenty are saying.
Writing - fiction, science fiction. Enough said. Most ideas we entertain now started there. Fertile grounds. Could say - they have done very well.
Linguistics - sadly they were gripped by a cult, in-toto with a cult leader. But incoming young minds there will adapt. Funeral by funeral there, the advance.
Law - they should be able to advance much. Not thinking here of the silly censorship laws. I'm in the UK. Most laws seem to be poor in conception, drafting, execution - just poor all around!? Lawyers have occupied the commanding heights of society, the results are now in - and they are uniformly bad! Even in their supposed area of expertise - law! - these people seem as competent as a monkey doing my daily programming. Law is code, it is the Operating System of society. Plenty of low hanging fruit in law it seems. Should be able to improve a lot there.
...
7:40 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892474460495622552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, never been to China.
Three out of three people I know who visited came back less impressed than when they left. Usually - "the more you know the less you like it" is a bearish indicator.
The picture you and I have of China is the picture as imagined by it's current rulers. They control every sight and sound, every idea about it, originating there. One needs to go spend time on the ground live there to learn.
UK following China? Doubt British people will be looking forward to a social safety net "with Chinese characteristics". 😂 Or solving career/repeat criminals with a "bullet in the head". Or I imagine UK sentimental love of animals finding itself in China... - uh-oh. 😬
China indeed looks good now, compared to Year Zero levels of insanity of mass starvation, and mass murder. But a more sane counter-factual yard-sticks are Taiwan, or South Korea, in the "what could have been" comparisons. Then - somewhat less impressive.
One rough but useful way to compare places around the world I've found when travelling is to look at "about equal GDP PPP per capita". By that measure ($25K), China is now, as UK was in 1980. Improving things by letting Industrial Revolution happen is good. But hardly exceptional or surprising. Plenty undeveloped countries develop this way.
People disillusioned with Western corruption often look to China's 'country-above-business' model as the opposite of the US's 'business-above-country' approach. Looks impressive-until you realise that country's represent (the party) on that hierarchy is effectively a self-selected self-appointed mafia type special interest group. With some to recommend, but plenty to dis-recommend too.
Latest turn with the emperor Xi for life, in-toto with the cult of personality etc. That doesn't look like a particular innovation or something that has not been tried and tested before. (and found wanting) TBS if they manage to adapt to increase domestic consumption and transition away from export dependent industries. So far they have followed the "Asian Tiger" path, if scaled up.
To all of the above, standard counter is "Yeah, but Western democracies are broken too." That is indeed true. (and everywhere, at all times, to some degree) However - freedom of speech freedom of thought makes it easier to analyse problems, organise, propose solutions, execute fixes to the problems, change society. (and no doubt create the next set of problems to challenge) Change, reform need dissent, dissent needs space to grow. Crushing any new greens just as they sprout - that makes everything that much harder.
AI will bring in a lot of change, it seems.
7:20 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892342194230514157
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, unfortunately. Seems there is no other way.
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20deterrent%20&src=typed_query&f=live
Many smaller wars risks, will be replaced by a single big war risk. For better or worse.
That's the way things are going.
10:35 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892336427293081652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have to wait for Putin to say it which way it is. Then Trump will repeat what Putin says. And then we'll know.
What spectacle, 😁 absolute scenes. 😆
10:12 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892294422370431203
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I was conspiratorially minded, I'd think that Al Gore kicking off the whole crazy was a special operation by the US.
Now with so many people invested in these lunatic policies, this is going to continue on auto-pilot until a bigger break-down.
7:25 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892246926210322757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk is full of sh*t on that, as any proprietor that ever bought media, from time immemorial.
He means - his right to amplify his voice and megaphone it into 200M accounts.
He doesn't mean the same for your voice. 😁 For that - you will need to buy your own media yourself.
4:16 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892223199514923265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - can be made secret, easy enough. Human communication is point to point, so almost private by default.
We need data, information flows to organise humongous numbers of people modern societies are. That and higher fidelity, quality, precision in their actions-both are dependent on a panopticon. Massive surveillance, everyone surveying everyone.
I understand this is contrary to our instinctive desire for privacy. But us citizens consumers already lost our privacy. (and our revealed preferences show we value it little-despite what we say) Google, my bank, UK gov - already know everything about my life. Them being transparent to me, the way I am transparent to them, goes some way towards restoring balance of power.
2:42 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892180829243339243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the age of mass social media, where everything is copied replicated as default, tbh I have zero expectation for any media to put the effort to fish out any information from the ocean of data.
Radical transparency for every file produced by UK dot gov: every one file should be put up, read only on public cloud drives, on the public web, as default. Secret by request only. Then everyone can just google anything.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having serial heart attacks at the thought of such idea. :-) Admit I have no idea how does one get to that blessed state of affairs, of radical transparency.
11:53 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892177934749720946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Counter" would be too strong a word, no? Floating currency can't counter the price increase for real, counter as in "make it less expensive in USD". It can "smear", spread the increased cost in time, and across more users (weaker GBP, inflation). But that's about it.
11:42 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892159532186378281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't understand the UK logic. How is importing LNG from US, or gas through pipes from Norway, better for mother Earth, then UK getting that very same gas in the UK (drilling and or fracking in the UK). Surely for Gaia it makes no difference where that gas comes out from earth
10:29 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892157487584825590
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c their longest experience at young age is cooperation within a family group. As a family group we all practice mostly communism: from each according to their abilities (==parents), to each according to their needs (==children).
Communism is the default ideology we imbibe growing up in a family (again-where "parents give to the best of their abilities", and "children get according to their needs"). So it comes to a lot of us instinctively as a first thing, given it's one we know best at that point. Every other system for organising large groups of people (with far less trust than a family) to live together and cooperate & compete productively has to be explicitly taught.
Scale (billions of us living together as opposed say a band of 20-120) is unnatural in a sense - we have not had time to evolve instruments for this. Our biology is not adapted to this fast and recent change. But we adapt via our cultures that are much faster to change.
Our intuition is wrong - communism is *not* a good way to organise billions of people. The wrong idea persists the same way other irrational beliefs persist: we just carry over an idea to a different context without much thinking, don't check evidence about the results of its mis/application, and b/c it's often the only idea we have frankly.
I read similarly in economics students start as intuitive protectionists anti- free traders, and have to be taught explicitly about the gains from free trade. And then pros- and cons- and how they reconcile, and (to the best of our knowledge) end as net-positive. Same I believe abt the lump of labour fallacy too.
Intuitions we grow up with are simply wrong in the context we are (mis)applying them.
10:21 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892144751362625914
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course it doesn't discriminate-how could it? It's not like the buyers are willing to pay different price for the same house, if owned for different purposes. And that's a good thing.
UK drop in house prices would be a good thing too. Even if I'm a home owner. Yes, the value of my asset is reduced. However, it also means my kids get to spend less money on their housing. (and more on other things) It's a net positive in my book.
9:30 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892141224821235998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
t480 Specifically: get one with the best screen, QHD or sth. (typing this on FHD, I find this screen bad; can't imagine how bad HD only is)
Otherwise, seconding OP on t480 + max RAM + M2 SSD + new max batteries. (fixed 24Wh + removable 72Wh) I did exactly that-best thing ever.
9:16 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892138589745483827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Energy is an input to *everything*, it's price is a cost to be factored in everything.
When energy price goes up, cost of everything goes up, price demanded at which everything is sold goes up too.
What on earth do they teach at those PPE courses?? We are led by incompetents.
9:06 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892022561841742209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a bad law. Until it's repealed or modified in parliament, nothing much can be done. The ideas that this seems horrific only b/c someone called it this or that is naive.
The worst part: these kinds of laws don't even work for their stated intended purpose. Further-a capable adversary will turn them to his advantage. And this is on top of all other drawbacks they have.
This should be of interest
https://thefire.org/news/blogs/eternally-radical-idea/would-censorship-have-stopped-rise-nazis-part-16-answers
1:25 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892007689904914507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on that.
But so with any other asset. Like you assume you have 750Bn of Apple shares certificates, then you open the locked drawer after 20 years, and find the shares certificates are gone.
Or you thought 750Bn bought you some advanced weapon. Then you find out it was some military procurement shit show-the weapon does not work. And so on. Gold is not special any more.
Yeah it would affect your credit rating.
But not by much-given this is USG. Probably way less than most people assume. The credit rating of the USG is in reality a unit of measure, and every other US entity is less credit-worthy.
Remember hilarious credit agency scenes, when the credit rating of USG was lowered, and apparently below some random credit paper. 😜 Credit ratings agencies are insanely stupid like that. Good entertainment though. 😂
12:25 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892003103118901315
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the kind answer. Yes agreed-humans we use much of the neural capacity to keep our bodies and life systems working. The part doing the language spoken written language is minor.
I forgot two further advantages we humans have:
1) Active learning. We don't simply have data presented to us. We actively seek things that are interesting and surprising to us.
("surprising" is a code word for observations our current pdf f_X_Y(x,y) under-represents marks them low probability b/c unobserved, whereas they are not low prob)
We know that robots equipped with a 3D hand able to grip the real 3D world, learn order of magnitude faster their representations of that 3D world.
2) Human learning is multi-modal. We read a book to a child, s/he can see the word on the page, we say it with speech, we point at a picture of the animal associated with the word.
Further, we look at the child, seek feedback, if s/he understood. If not, we repeat once more. Otherwise, we move to the next item to be learned.
AI learning would be like sitting quietly next to a child, just turning pages of the child's book, in silence, at the same pace, while saying nothing, pointing at nothing, not looking at the child if s/he understood anything at all.
12:07 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891984031975153860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. USD has not been convertible to gold - internally almost 100 years, externally 50 years.
Of all things one to spend attention about—gold would be the rock bottom on any mildly reasonable list tbh.
10:51 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891969878917005438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I don't see the connection, why anything would suggest that learning should be faster, or slower? Does the fact that a chick growing from egg to flight takes 3 weeks or 6 weeks, suggest anything about whether it takes Boeing to build a plane in 5 months or 8 months? Sorry—I don't see how one tells us much about the other.
Our current ML indeed requires more data than the humans. It's indeed possible that humans have a more efficient way of learning. But other explanations are possible too.
Regarding data efficiency: it's possible that humans are over-generalisers by design. Evolution may have favoured our ability to learn quickly from limited data, even if that means occasionally drawing exaggerated or "overconfident" conclusions. For instance, when forming a significant "bump" in the probability distribution of "(rustling leaves, tiger)" based on very little evidence. The shape of this distribution might not mathematically reflect the data in a rigorous way, but it might offer a survival advantage to get to some "bump" quickly rather than slowly. Better to over-generalise than under-generalise—the utility of being "wrong and skittish" versus "wrong and eaten" is highly asymmetrical.
Humans have after all say about 30yrs of learning, that's approx 1 billion seconds (1e9), time to learn tune their 100 billion connections (1e11 = 1e9 neurons x 1e2 connections). That's not a lot of data for that many weights. Say we sample our environment at 10 fps, that 1e9 sec will bring in 1e10 observations. To learn 1e11 weights.
Typically it's the other way around when we learn: we want at least 10 observations per parameter. Ofc, the observations maybe very rich. Humans may imbibe arbitrary many bits of information per sample. (1e3? 1e6? IDK) But evolutionary, humans must be quick, or they maybe dead. They don't have the luxury of many epochs, to tune their networks.
You say "we do know what we are doing". Again—from "humans learn different to machines on some axes of difference" does not imply in my mind "we are entirely ignorant".
We are learning a glorified histogram, a continuous probability density function (pdf) f_X_Y(x,y) in the most general case. The vectors x and y have many thousands of dimensions. Typically by convention in a tuple (x,y) we label X the part we observe, while Y we label the part we care about but don't directly observe. Otherwise—in the tuple (x,y) the separation what's x and what's y, is arbitrary.
We typically define an objective function. Then we devise an optimisation algorithm that minimises some measure of error, between the data we observe, and what the function f_X_Y(x,y) tells us about the data we should be expecting to observe. (in the most general case we care about (x,y); in less general cases about y only) The relation f_X_Y(x,y) tells us everything that can ever be know between the two multidimensional qualities X and Y.
9:55 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891949885428990012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not disputing that they may indeed do such act of gross stupidity.
It baffles me-why?
They could lure the 1000 people that matter with high wages and get that same result. Conversely, in a war the machines may get destroyed, people get killed.
China the country is not short of land. It's not short of people either. Taiwan people also vaguely support unification with their kin-they are both Chinese. Only presume-not by force, no one likes that no matter what.
Invasion sounds to me self defeating. Many potential downsides. Very little that can't be gained without an invasion.
8:36 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891946362037526765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they are digital, and thus immortal. They package information much tighter than our brains. They can scale up in a way out brains can't, because they can exchange Tbps of information between them. (connect Borg like, in a way our brains don't) Think of birds v.v. planes.
8:22 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891942845700796459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A double blow: de-throned lost the crown to R1, and hard to out-mystery an enigma Chinese hedge fundie. Who to top it all, is not totally obsessed with max $$$ ??
8:08 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891938680601788830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no growth. Hasn't been for almost the entire 21st century in the UK now. Something absent, can not be brought in as argument, in a proposition requiring its presence. This is just dumb tbh.
As per the course. UK education wasted on your guest. Anyone looking at the 20th century, seeing Stalin and Mao, then concluding "yep that's what I want for myself and my loved ones". Can't expect too much after that tbf.
7:51 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891857464900882626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That he did indeed!
Did he tip the economy into recession at that point too? Anyone alive now that lived through that and remembers? What happened with the real economy at that point?
2:29 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891816595346882769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, as we are finding with "public lies, private truths": when too many lie in public b/c they would be punished otherwise (either don't say publicly things they privately think are true, or the worse one - say things publicly they privately think are untrue!), a positive feedback is in operation.
First a mass of people lurches one way, we get collectively crazy for a period, then the mass lurches the other way. (the "unwind" to the crazy, e.g. now, depending on your PoV)
I have some sympathy with people that are afraid of free speech. It is indeed true, for us humans to do evil in great quantity, we need large number of us to act in unison. And for that, we need to organise, and for that, we need free speech.
However: banning speech does not make the above impossible. Initially, it does suppress the process. But starts the "private truths public lies" positive feedback loop, so then the process of doing evil is so quick latter, that it catches many by surprise. How can a country descend so quickly to hell? That's how.
I'm now of the opinion that free speech is the less bad of two less-than-ideal options in that respect. As there is no silver bullet, sure-fire way to prevent human madness. We have to make do with what we have.
11:46 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891775094759780801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - we are like fish swimming in water, can't perceive the water
9:01 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891770605013278722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yep, heard it ages ago and I find it true: alternative medicine that works => becomes conventional medicine.
8:43 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891751181719863390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My pet hypothesis is that the major difficulty is that one needs to start at/with the end/ing, and work back towards the beninging. Quite un-auto-regressive that, to the point of being anti-auto-regressive.
I'm surprised CoT didn't help that much. (but that's AR too) Maybe the likes of difussion-like models for language will improve? (paper yesterday, xB model) They come up with the missing words in unison, filling a words 2D grid for a mask, at the same time per iteration. Maybe better suited.
Together with the nature of humour. Extremely one way direction: easy to understand (verify), very hard to invent (generate). Billions of people thousands of years effort - yet there are not that many (in the grand scheme of things) very good jokes. Esp ones that jump Cultures barriers.
(The surprise factor seems v.hard to me. The writer needs to get in the mind of the listener, feel not only think their expectation, then find a way to defy that very expectation with short & sharp twist of the tongue. Not trivial! Almost some kind of mirror-logic.)
7:26 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891648123723760045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How many Russia "resets" has US had so far? One per administration? And to what outcome? Bad for US, even worse for its allies. This is so naive, as to verge on silly. It's not going to work—separating Russia from China. They have common interest—both want weaker US.
12:37 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891646070909771827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that the standard result in high-dimensional spaces? That the distribution of angles clusters around 90 fairly quickly with increase of the dimension d.
E.g. https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~jrs/189s22/lec/22.pdf
Our intuitions trained on low dimensional spaces (d<=6) fail us, are actually deceiving us with any non-trivial sized d-dims.
Further, looking at the Nvolume ratio between Nball and Ncube—that tends to zero with increasing dimension d. The space moves to the edges, the centre empties lacks probability mass (even if that was supposed to be representative!), every Npoint is an outlier.
12:29 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891648123723760045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How many Russia "resets" has US had so far? One per administration? And to what outcome? Bad for US, even worse for its allies. This is so naive, as to to verge on silly. It's not going to work—separating Russia from China. They have common interest—both want weaker US.
12:37 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891565566227304672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah true that. but what's abnormal exception yesterday, oft times becomes common tomorrow.
and sometimes unexpected happens. llama.cpp + mac ram is vram + gpu/npu = whoa!! well I didn't expect *that*.
serendipity is real. it happens-even if rarely.
7:09 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891559943242907898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My smallest minimal data set I work with daily takes 25gb. Then they're more datasets on top of it. Yeah I could swap in-out.
And indeed I did that cca 2004! Computers were 32 bit, /3gb win xp switch was a lifesaver, 2gb ram was solid, but 1gb was the norm. Grid computing meant mobos with dual cpus, but otherwise - no multi cores.
But I find keeping all my data in memory, forever, an easy proposition. I can't fathom why anyone wd refuse it tbh.
6:46 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891533654590910562
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, they are pricey. I started buying them 2nd hand online. Looks there is usually some or other to choose from. Unless one is super pressed for time, or needing latest-greatest.
The 96gb I got recently is M2. Yeah, not the latest-best. But in battery life, in that that RAM is also a Video RAM and is accessed by the GPU and NPU units when running llama.cpp—still no other laptops like it.
Screen quality great too. The pointer quality is not to be scoffed at, after suffering with various PC laptops over the decades. :-)
5:02 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891526008869916729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On that graph we see 2 time periods when the UK/US price ratio increases.
1) 2003-2008: UK/US goes up, while obviously there was no UKR invasion then. How come UK so much worse?
2) 2022-now: UK/US goes up, there is UKR invasion. But the event happens for US as well as the UK. So how come it affects UK only, or UK much more than US?
Obv RUS invasion of UKR has non-zero effect. But it's far from the whole story. Why UK/US up when no invasion? Why UK/US up when there is invasion? Invasion alone does not explain it.
The above is "from data". We also have "prior knowledge", knowledge about how these system work irl even without looking at data.
4:31 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891519049693093973
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah this will work out as well as all the previous "resets" that worked a miracle.
One other hand, the Russian plan of tearing US-Europe apart seems to be progressing at quite a pace now.
IDK who is dumber-the Europeans, or the Americans.
Also news-at-10: Putin has ears, has translators, does hear what you say, and well aware of your very cunning plan. 😅
4:04 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891515270662946955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is also the example of Yugoslavia. My ex-country had laws about penalising and making illegal speech that involved "religious and or ethnic hate". We all know how that ended. I think, on balance, you are right. Those laws, help more than they hinder, hate and violence.
3:49 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891511591553614233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But I'm always consuming more RAM. All the data I have I don't have load from disk, the 100s of tabs in browser open, LLMs loaded running, the emails etc etc.
The CPU can't do any work, unless the data is in RAM. It's absurd to think one can say "the user will ever only use 16GB-s of RAM". How can anyone possibly know? I don't ever turn off my computers.
3:34 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891500708106498159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Skimping on RAM forever baffles me. The easiest win ever!
A desktop of 10 years ago I bought had 128gb ram. They best decision about it, that one! Had to buy the ram separately, open the brand new PC myself to install it. The company assembling the PC didn't stock the type. Apparently no one was asking for max ram??
Since then the laptops I bought have had (respectively) 32gb, 64gb, latest 96gb of ram. Not easy to find them though! Lots of RAM not that popular. 🤔
2:51 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891491436324893160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump will replace Powell with someone that will bring interest rates close to zero. He already articulated that intention in some speech. And Trump is consistent there: he was pro IR=0 even in 2016.
That will decrease those >10% interest payments in the federal budget. That 10% is currently UBI to people that already have $$$. (so they lend those $$$ to USG) Those people can do without that stream of income.
Trump - unlike most econ-drones - feels or knows inflation can fought in denominator (create more stuff), not only in the numerator (reduce $$$ supply) in the inflation=change of [$$$]/[stuff] eq.
Incredibly implausibly, but by now beyond reasonable doubt in my mind, this is missed by 90% of econs.
2:14 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891461468018688174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - what man-child. A system that selects such people and puts them in positions of power is not great.
And the above is apparently only part 2?? Part 1 was he was laughing about European energy dependency on Russia being a bad idea? Delivered by Trump 😆 some years ago.
https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1891284418360209616
What spectacle. Real life stranger than fiction.
12:15 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891409489821081801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a mystery to me why politicos like PP refuse to speak "human".
PP could have said:
"No, free speech in the UK is not worse than in those other countries".
How difficult is that? How is the non-dialogue (=say words, ensure they're have zero meaning) she went for, do her any favours?
If she was a better politician she could have also confessed:
"UK free speech is undermined by laws my CON party brought in and championed" (the online harms bill).
But that would be too much to expect from it seems a non-entity.
Politicos are offended by the NPC label, yet they keep playing like an NPC. The entire political class.
I'm not completely sure. Do they have other thoughts ideas in their heads, bit refuse to share? Or is this it, this is the extent of their ideas? What we see is what's there. (not all that's much)
8:48 AM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891264613817131485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во западна Европа 60-80% од идеологија е либерализам од некој тип. Во Британија имаме леви либерали (работничка партија), десни либерали (ториевци конзервативци), либерални демократи и сл - тоа се 80% од луѓето веројатно. WEIRD.
Во Македонија (и на Балканите) либерализам не вирее многу. Либерали а-ла Ѓ. Марјановиќ се веројатно 10-15%, не повеќе.
Од Мис Стоун и Вилсон и наваму, мислам на САД сме симпатични не тетошат, не заради некоја логика или голем интерес, туку заради таа "слобода". Tоа го разбираат им е блиско. (американците за европски критериумите се "либертеријанци" дури)
"Слобода или смрт" е либерален слоган (американска револуција има "Give me freedom or give me death"), и пошто во МКД химна спомнуваме "Слобода" во 3 од 4 најважни стихови (први два-"Денес над Македонија се раѓа, ново сонце на СЛОБОДАТА", и последни два стиха-"Македонија СЛОБОДНА, СЛОБОДНО живее").
Ова е потполно субјективно неиздржано мислење - моја лична шпекулација. 😊
11:13 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891258136918384898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clarkson is a boomer. One hopes their children and grandchildren will euthanase the booming cretins sooner. They are insufferable.
10:47 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891211741872169409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But deterministic is just probabilistic with Dirac impulse delta function for the p.d.f.—no?
So it's only fair to be treating it probabilistic.
And if it turns out we indeed live in the best of of all possible worlds with pdf-s collapsing into Dirac-s—well all the better then.
7:43 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891206243932405995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to discourage you—but to at least 50% the slave mentality, that someone else is above and better than them, comes naturally.
It's the love and appreciation of liberty that has to be taught. That they can say and do—"f*ck you, I won't do what you told me", and that that's ok
7:21 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891196504641085775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly, IDK, I'm not in that game now. But yeah—that would be one way: what's serial to become parallel, if possible.
6:42 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891196171718123569
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🥰 Ooww - my parents' (so mine too!) first car.
Had one with the doors opening front-first, like so
https://autoslavia.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/1964-zastava-750-kontras-polovniautomobili-01.jpg
Drove for ~12 hours 2am-2pm trip to the Adriatic coast at ~1974. Over mountains called "The Accursed" (mountains), topping a high attitude pass.
The tent and other camping gear on top almost making for a 2nd floor to the car. Two kids <7yo in the back.
6:41 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891169128448196950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good 👏 Thanks for popularising this! ☺️
For the curious—a long book of the same title is available for free at—
http://med.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/bios601/GaussianModel/JaynesProbabilityTheory.pdf
E.T. Jaynes "Probability Theory: The logic of Science"
4:53 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891142443476673017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
research, re-search = re-peatedly search to find something that works
3:07 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891118848562147572
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wow 😮 gluttons for punishment 😱
1:34 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891099953553924596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... if humanoid robots ever get good enough with human-like labour, mechanically tending to every small weed, and cheap enough to be deployed at scale... then maybe organics will scale up?
12:18 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891083680979759453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I imagine people will be trying to replicate. Can think of problems-
1) tried, found out didn't scale; 2) recurrent blocks are inherently serial, maybe hard to impossible to paralelise them; 3) scaling prevented by #2, can't even get to #1.
11:14 AM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891060950481952924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human behaviour in reproduction has been exactly the opposite to the rabbits.
1) When many children died before they could have children of their own, humans had 5-6 kids, for 2-3 of them to survive, and population was stable.
2) Now that fortunately almost no children die in childhood, humans have dropped the number children they have to about 2, which again points towards stable future population.
If humans were like rabbits, the x10 times increase of living standards since 1800, families would have had 20-30 kids now. Ehrlich wrong again.
9:43 AM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890846786920558897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the contrast on display.
1) Exhibit A. @Keir_Starmer , a lawyer, representative MP of his constituent @dannybster , and the PM of UK gov.
(Danny has been wronged egregiously. He spent life changing amounts of own cash $$$ on a flat. The flat was built badly, is in danger of collapsing/pos now valued at 0. Saying that Danny has been failed by everyone and everything is an understatement)
Sir Keir has been wilfully avoiding any contact with Danny on X for many months. He can help Danny on 3 accounts: being a lawyer, being his MP, and being the PM of HMG. Seems he's decided not to.
2) Exhibit B. @JDVance engaging with ideas expressed by an average X user, using his very own fingers, to tap-tap-tap write his thoughts on his very own phone, and broadcast them to millions! 🤯
https://x.com/JDVance/status/1890760676282601590
Such novel concept! Representative of the people, telling the people his thinking, on a subject. And no PR officer in sight!
One is stuck in the past. The other one is pointing to the future. I hope.
Quote
Dan Bruce @dannybster · Feb 15
You could start by visiting us, your constituents in Camden.
The dream of homeownership has turned into a 6-year, £400k legal nightmare.
How will you avoid this for future generations if you won't even meet us?
@charlieclinton @CamdenLibDems @UKLabour x.com/Keir_Starmer/s…
Show more
Last edited
7:32 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890830218476007852
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just weaklings looking for excuses imo. I have more respect for those that say "I don't want them / too much hassle / too much work".
6:27 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890829732431659118
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reading your words physically heart me. I claim. What next?
Do think twice before writing in the future pls. Find someone close to thrash ideas with about in confidence. What you wrote—was not great.
6:25 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890820235889901899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is one of "Are we the baddies?" tests at work!?!
If I am unable to see myself asif from a distance, from afar, to see myself in my mind's eye, in a way that someone else not-I, will see me—yep, then it's possible that I'm indeed the baddie.
5:47 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890818875320582216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how they can function without feedback like
https://techemails.com/p/bill-gates-tries-to-install-movie-maker
People will think—ok but not that big a deal. But -
1) it's a big deal if you are a user
2) enables more important feedback like
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/18_06_08_internet%20tidal%20wave.pdf
From techemails.com
5:42 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890817413047799903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noticed "thinking like" bahavior few days ago. I thought it's related maybe to the "Search" being turned on (have not used that recently).
Here- https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889679849419161624
For me it's been amazing conversationalist and collaborator, and getting better it seems to me with time?? (but I maybe imagining that tbh; look "too good to be true" tbh)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 12
Replying to @kernelkook
Noticed "thinking" like behaviour in 4o today. Used the "Search" (blue globe) feature, thought maybe related to that.
5:36 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890812531792355414
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 continuing on auto-pilot, can't help themselves, continue chomping everything in vicinity paper-clip style
5:16 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890811651336647164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ASI—Possible or Not? Well—"possible" is a stronger word than my knowledge allows me to claim. No human can see the future.
But I do think ASI is *not impossible*. And that’s plenty good? No known laws of physics—or any other fundamental constraints of nature—make ASI impossible. Quite lucky, that, to be honest!
We’ve already seen machines surpass us in limited domains—first in chess, then in Go (c.f. an excellent documentary on YouTube), and more recently in protein folding, where AI has helped determine the 3D structures of proteins, paving the way for breakthroughs in their functionality.
(That’s no slight to humans. Quite the opposite. Just as a combine harvester or a metal press amplifies our physical strength, these neural networks—the most complex machines we’ve ever built—multiply our intellectual strength. I see no shame in that. Only kudos to humanity for reaching this point.)
So I hope ASI will help us solve problems we’ve been stuck on for decades. A major breakthrough, for example, would be making cancer a manageable, non-deadly condition—like AIDS is today. (Notice how there are no celebrity deaths from AIDS in gossip columns anymore? In the 1990s-2000s, there was one every other week. AIDS has became chronic, is no longer acute; nb few even noticed btw)
Will ASI Be Friendly? I think so. We are making an effort to imbue these systems with the best of humanity, not the worst.
We tend to anthropomorphize everything—so naturally, we fear AI thinking "it may destroy us." But we fear that because we destroy things, often needlessly. We assume it will act like us. But why should it?
Yes—we humans have a destructive streak. Yes—we could make ASI as destructive as we are (or worse! use in the battlefield and its super-quick evolution we witness in RUS-UKR war is a worry). Either willingly (a bigger risk) or by accident (a smaller but real risk). But there is no physical law—no immutable constraint—that requires that outcome.
We can choose to endow ASI with the best of us—while leaving the worst out. TBS if we succeed. But in my mind, we are far better off trying than not trying.
5:13 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890780511536042287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm sorry it's frustrating for you. Here—a pic to cheer you up. 😊
More seriously—we obv disagree on the risks of things that may or may not happen in the future. We said our pieces.
I think AI—AGI, ASI—reduces the probability of humanity ending. That P(doom) is reduced if we have and use AI. I rate:
1-nuclear war;
2-asteroid hitting earth;
3-runaway climate change;
...as major risks.
And T800 terminators taking over and enslaving us—only as a minor risk. A risk well worth taking.
You wonder who Thanos is. For me—Thanos is Mother Nature. My grandparents (and their grand-... parent, since the dawn of humanity) all had 5-6 kids. But the population was stable. How did that happen? It hapenned b/c 3-4 of those kids were all dead, before thay could have kids of their own.
That macabre dance only stops with the Industrial Revolutions. Starting in England and North-West of Europe at about 1800, and now spreading all around the world. The latest AI revolution is a continuation of that.
You think otherwise. That's fine with me. Tolerance is a fair price for freedom.
3:09 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890677032981352779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh thanks for making it!! 🤩
8:18 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890608602408218967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
from bit to it to bit - but how?
3:46 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890568670411194485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally right there!!
Feels like a small burden got lifted from the top of my head. Now I realise the bar standing on the left was distracting.
1:07 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890562270846964105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Appreciate the input. If you feel strongly about this, it's worth getting a job at, or asking people that do these jobs at the Fed or the Treasury, and finding out for yourself. Ask the doers how fiat currency works.
If my balance is 0 at the start of the day today, then I have income of 10 tokens, and I spend 15 tokens, there is no law of physics that prevents recording -5 tokens on my account. It's the human made rule—of my bank who owns the spreadsheet with my current account cell in it—that prevents recording below 0. (or maybe below -1 if I have an overdraft agreed with them.) That's it. So there is never danger that universe prevents writing down a negative number. The danger is that I created, I spent into being 5 tokens more than existed at the start of the day. They will add to the existing tokens, chasing the same goods, increasing the price pressure—potentially inflation.
Over time I have come to understand that the fiat system offends the identity of about 25% percent of the population. So will not be coming back to this post.
12:42 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890556334195544260
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh. "our rulers - enthralled inumerates"
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
12:18 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890551302649774431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human intelligence is collective, and so is human stupidity.
We have Wisdom of Crowds for the former. For the latter Extraordinary Popular Delusions.
This @skdh video is such a gem on that! Don't see it shared that often so using the opportunity.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
youtube.com
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which...
11:58 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890541042404880764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah him describing his experiences with UK gov is quite the eye opener.
Previous interviews spilling the beans I know of are
https://youtube.com/watch?v=_5W5T5-6FHY
https://youtube.com/watch?v=C-HhIfpBdoQ
https://youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
https://youtube.com/watch?v=EoG5EammWI4
Older also related to governance
https://youtube.com/watch?v=3i7ym_Qh7BA
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
https://youtube.com/watch?v=nMn_UqAsl4w
And even older
https://youtube.com/watch?v=_Tc4bl1yZLw
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings: is AI already in control?
This conversation was held at New College, Oxford, and live streamed on their channel @NewCollegeOxford. For more information on their events, visit https://...
11:18 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890533641584803986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...plus: learning to multiply is no small feat. If we were to let kids just grow up in the woods, without teaching them, not one kid will not figure out multiplication on their own.
Took all of humanity many thousands of years, to figure out addition and multiplication. That you know to do it—that's a result of the collective effort of all humanity that existed before you. And some years of your effort, on the top of that, when you went to school.
10:48 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890479847925002245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! 👍 So so glad to hear that! 😃 I was wondering what's going on with the Snapdragons.
Between $ brew install and MacOS being Unix, I get by... But still getting used to things anew at 50+, while being some fun too, is also a chore.
Xubuntu sorted then. 😁
Only llama.cpp use of NPU-GPU remains tbs? And the screen quality? But have seen good non-Apple screens too.
And RAM! Went 32-64-now-96GB, wouldn't want to go back in 2-3yrs time I imagine. ohh-key...
TBS I guess next time I shop for one. 😊 Thanks 🙏 for sharing LMKnow! Appreciated
7:14 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890467862285824368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why hundreds of millions inflict windows suffering upon themselves is one of lifes' great mysteries. If not up to contributing to AAPL charity tax - just but 2nd hand! M2 still beats any windows laptop.
6:27 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890456845602464225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. 😃 I thought no harm done in spelling out the blindingly obvious. For one can never overestimate government incompetency, nor our common human stupidity. 😱
5:43 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890435900867293239
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The recent Karpathy video mostly answers 1) why, and also 2) how to make it learn.
I understand people get in a twist. But-always remind yourself: it's not magic. It's just linear algebra operations on bazillion floats. That's it. No magic!
4:20 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890372654760083900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't disagree much with anything there, but then, I'm-"so what?"
All people, all living creatures, have thoughts, I don't know "the full extent of" (and I suspect-neither do they). And yes, they are all "deployed" in the environment around me.
In fact-they keep me alive even. If they stopped existing with an evil Thanos deleting them in an instant-I too would probably die. For I can't live without them.
I don't see what argument you are making. That something in my environment maybe danger to me? Yes. So what?
12:08 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890367868476215807
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! The smoothest dev experience I got, work happiest I was, when to work on a system $ vi uTrade.m was *all* of the dev environment.
11:49 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890364938352259456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You on the other hand are a very clever and beautiful person.
Blocked for being rude in public.
11:38 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890362725752360964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you ever programmed neural networks yourself?
If you have not—I encourage you to get hands on experience, e.g. here
https://github.com/berthubert/hello-dl-posts/
or here
https://github.com/karpathy/llm.c
Then some of the answers you got—you may answer them yourself. Or find some other questions as more interesting or pressing.
I myself think of "thoughts emerging"—being very concrete. "Thoughts" being the many thousands dimensional vectors of numbers. Each number being the activation, the output of a single neuron. Billions of them, in the many many hidden layers of the NN. So for me to say "knowledge of weights and architecture is not necessary" to observe "thoughts", is absurd. Of course it's necessary for any mere mortal like myself.
But I imagine for you "thoughts" means something else, so—ymmv.
From github.com
11:29 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890325999533060298
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's trivially true that the only way to get "insolvent" is to
1) decide to not pay the bills arriving; e.g. by an act of the legislature; or
2) run out of integer numbers. (IDK how that can happen)
Given that "tokens" that are the "payment" for goods delivered or services rendered, are literally being created by typing them in a computer.
*Inflation* is the real danger. Not insolvency.
This is just the reality of any fiat currency. It's in the name-"fiat". (before anyone mmt-s me-this' nothing to do with any econ "school"; it's the law of the land)
9:03 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890321639142826066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have a lot of time for DC. Obv not a politician, not likeable/hated by too many, will never get elected.
But - clear eyed, 1) good track record observing, and 2) forecasting. And 3) realistic/honest even when reality obv hurtful to his own ego/desires.
E.g. in this interview https://archive.is/otTjs acknowledging the reality of Brexit being a f*ckup, things didn't work out. (takes precedence over reality denying ego-massage for personal comfort; I voted remain; few other insider snippets too)
8:46 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890314998536122617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Leave your granny alone, no need to involve her. :-)
Once I have the architecture as code, and the weights, NNs are complete while boxes. As open as any system possibly can be. I can run signals through them forward and backward, I can put adaptors on the top of them, lobotomise the weights and so on.
I don't see how a system can be more open than that.
You say "difficult". Sure, I agree. I don't claim NNs are "easy". Why would I do that?? NNs are difficult. (chiefly b/c we have not had a Gauss or a Leibniz recently to figure the maths for us) Being "open" is necessary, but not sufficient.
IDK what are you arguing about tbh.
8:19 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890167429755437102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Like is too strong a word, but tbf this saves me some pain-
// Do snprintf on a static buffer, ensure terminating zero.
// Return the buffer pointer so to be able to chain expressions.
template
char *xsnprintf(char (& oDst)[DST_SZ], const char *iFmt, ...) {
va_list args;
va_start(args, iFmt);
vsnprintf(oDst, DST_SZ, iFmt, args);
va_end(args);
oDst[DST_SZ - 1] = '\0';
return oDst;
}
char buf[333];
xsnprintf(buf, "blah %d", blah);
10:33 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890159599107686442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - personal attacks are sad.
Better stick to the topic of small ugly windows for no good reason.
10:02 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890141194862408146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most of the time-yes, agreed. But once in 35-50 years, a bigger change is needed. The old system is failing on multiple fronts.
BoJo was a wannabe disruptor, cosplaying change. But he was not one willing to put in the work needed. A wordcel into PR and writing books.
The way UK us going - Farage is going to end the next PM. And he will be ineffective too! He is also a charlatan unwilling to put in the hard graft.
It used to be physicists in the 20th century that could do anything, capable of every feat. Looks to me in the 21st century the CompSci TechBros are like that.
8:49 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890137644656652616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
only 2 impossibly hard problems in computer science - #1 naming variables; and #2 ...(forgot what it was so can't be that important)...
8:35 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890136493706072243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😅 Wires uncrossed! 😆 Napoleon’s ghost message reached Les Saints-Bureaucrates de la République if not EC/EU dudes yet
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
8:30 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890112462961406326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK we lack a Musk to get this bull (and few others) by the horn. Everyone knows this is stupid. But no hero to step in. They only possible candidate I see is the LFG dude tbh. This is not left-or-right, up-or-down thing - it's stupid-vs-smart. (or at least - not-stupid/insane)
6:55 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890085107966341451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My point was:
1) If I have the option to run AI that's "open everything" (open source, open weights, open thoughts) - that I still stand a chance to retain control.
2) AI doomers like Dario/Anthropic want they themselves to control the AI. Then I don't stand a chance.
3) The JD Vance speech at the Paris summit indicated to me decreased power of the AI doomers like Dario/Anthropic.
Ergo—Vance speech was good news in my book. There is still a chance for option#1 to not die.
5:06 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890080121278853548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No worries! I am sparing you my blathering this second. (blocked for being rude)
4:46 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890078631659204967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa!? A kindred spirit 😇 at 26 min on the puzzle of—
"from bit to it to bit - but how??"
Well am I glad to have checked this TOE episode! 😁
Quote
Curt Jaimungal @TOEwithCurt · Feb 11
Replying to @TOEwithCurt
https://youtu.be/3fkg0uTA3qU
4:40 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890043873151660456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of corse we will-given the freedom to. Who cares more than us? Noone.
We want to be able to choose between existing algorithms, tweak any adjustable dials they offer, and finally write our own algorithms! No reason not to.
User defined X Feeds, Feeds Store market - when?
2:22 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890036069296377875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One would have thought being ruled by lawyers, one thing they would get right, would be drafting and writing of the said laws!
Apparently not. Not even that one upside for the "Wins" column.
Never mind. Seems Computer Tech people are to the 21st Century what physicists were to the 20th Century: know-it-all-s that just come in, and fix things, make them work again.
1:51 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890033303639494788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mass hysteria? Humans are not exactly immune to mass delusions. Our intelligence is collective-so is our stupidity.
IDK what goes in other peoples minds. You can ask them-many are on online, accessible.
An honest forecaster would:
1) Write down (event,date) tuple. What exactly will happen, and (by) when.
2) Bet something they hold personally dear, something that it would pain them to lose, on their forecast. Such that they lose that thing dear to them, should they forecast wrong.
The people one the list are people like you and me, not gods. They can not see in the future.
There are only few good books on forecasting. Tetlocks's "Superforecasting" is about ok, Silver's "The Signal and the Noise" think it's better. (most written on forecasting is rubbish)
On the wider subject of "reasoning" - Kahneman "Thinking Fast and Slow" is fine if long, Galef "The Scount Mindset" maybe most popular shortest easiest to digest. hth
1:40 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890014114790912124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not wrong, and while true, what you say is not the complete truth.
You are taking Kurzweil, looking back, and concluding "he got it right". He did get it right, and good on him for that.
But: cast your mind to Kurzweil as he was 10 or 20 years ago. How many thought, then at time t, "Kurzweil will be right at time t+20yrs"? How many other like Kurzweil, at time t, also had predictions, and different predictions to Kurzweil's, and are now forgotten, b/c these predictions did not pan out?
Even with Kurzweil track record so far: does that say much about the next 20 years track record? Not as much as we like to think. Tracking forecasters and the persistence of their forecasts is even more complicated then the forecasts themselves.
Many fields pretend they know more than they know, b/c that position of great knowledge bestows great power on the pretender. They can say: "I know how it's going to be, listen to me and do as I say".
(aside-there is well known financial engineering scam: at time t one writes 1024 emails, 512 "market up", the other 512 "market down" 1yr forecasts, noting in the process which email got which forecast; in t+1yr, now one writes to the 512 addresses where the previous year's forecast turned out correct, 256 "market up" and another 256 "market down" emails, and so on; you see where this is going: in 10 years, there will be 1 person where the sender correctly forecast the market up/down-s for 10 straight years in a row! one can go an solicit investment from that one "mark" with "well surely the scammer possess an extraordinary skill in the markets")
12:24 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889993669140422878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да. Поентата ми е-плаќаат на други Македонци. И тие што се на приемната страна на плаќањето, вторите што примаат тоа што плаќаат првите, и тие се граѓани на Македонија. Ваши сограѓани.
11:02 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889991528384209047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, не сум 100% сигурен. Мислам толку сигурен треба да биде само некој што директно работи и има искуство во таа индустрија.
Хм-"државата да гарантира". Јас стално тоа си го преведувам "сите други Македонци екс-јас, да направам за мене XYZ". Пошто, државата се-другите луѓе. Верувам можат. Верувам ќе бараат и ти нешто да направиш за нив.
Обично возвратно-плаќаме даноци, сме добри граѓаните и сл. Знам дека многу (и во МК, и во ОК каде живеам) кажуваат разни работи за приватност. Ама кога треба да платиме, па друго правиме, од тоа што кажуваме. Да платиме не само со пари, но и со потрошено време, гњаважа, мака и сл.
10:54 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889985504055046207
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mislam telefonskiot broj ne e samo tvoj. Pripaga na tebe, ama i na telefonskata kompanija. (inicijalno) Porano se prodavase toj info vo vid na telefonski imenik. (mozese da izberam da ne bide ispecaten mojot telefon, opciono)
Vo moderno vreme, telefonskiot broj verojatno pripaga i na 1000 drugi web sajtovi kade sum go stavil vo nekoj moment. Podatocite ne se razdavaat slobodno, tuku poveke se prodavaat. E cela industrija.
Znam deka lugeto kazuvaat deka cenat privatnost. Ama toa e koga ke gi prasame DA/NE. Koga ke gi prasame "kolku ste spremni da platite" za privatnost, kazuvaat nekoja brojka. Koga sledime kolku vistinski sme spremni da platime za taa privatnost, "revealed preference" e skoro 0.
Toa e faktuelna sostojba, kolku sto (malku) ja sledam ovaa oblast.
10:30 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889983838706917491
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With you on everything else, but - UK more likely than FR to be the lead?? Makes not sense. 1) FR is in the EU. 2) FR is more in Europe than UK is. 3) FR is more US sceptic than UK is. The only pro-UK argument I see 4) UK more receptive to CEEu concerns than FR to some extent.
10:23 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889980532798419318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Za MK konkretno ne znam. Na svetsko nivo, ima cela industrija za trgovija so podatoci, i licni i sekakvi drugi. Moze da se kupi, i e voglavno legalno. Mislam prosecno info po covek na pr za mene bese nesto $5 posleden pat koga resiv da proveram kolku vredi mojata data na Google.
10:10 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889979552686133314
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Switched to Periplexity months ago, never looked back since.
Only time I get minorly annoyed is when I know the company name and want to just go to their website, and type the name in the search bar. Periplexity still explains blahdi-blah-bla about the company, where I just want it to take me to the company web site, sth like name dot com or name dot co dot uk or similar.
10:06 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889978067012944194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can live in hope. 😇 But I fear Sir Humphreys in the UK gov will take the opposite lesson from the US.
You are right about transparency there - not just transparency, but Radical Transparency is necessary (if not sufficient) to keep a gargantuan system that is the gov machine from veering off track in any number of random directions.
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), Radical Transparency (RT) is needed where: everything is public, on the public web, on public shared cloud drives (read only), by default. And closed off and made secret only by request.
(previous e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853272510923407748)
10:00 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889962313962152373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By Jove MSM deserves to die.
The UK economy grew effectively zero, the size of UK economy was effectively unchanged. As that 0.1% number you spent 2 minutes talking about, is a rounding error.
Equally, you could have told the exact opposite story to the one you told, as the per capita number was *negative* -0.1%. And that is also a rounding error.
The story you should have told your viewers should have been: the economy was flat-lining. It's size didn't change in the past quarter.
You failed at your job. The job to summarise, compress lots of information, in a much shorter version, that is not a misleading representation of the original. You should all be fired. You subtract value to society rather than add.
Innumerates are as bad as illiterates. They should not be in any positions of power.
8:58 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889956464552259896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👆👆👆 ^^^^ this!!! This also puzzles me!
Given how easy it would be for a sitting PM to do something, anything, about a blatant wrongdoing like Danny's case—why then, why does he do nothing? Why let this fester and go on causing him personally and his party damage? Even a message not that meaningful message of "I know, working on it", even if the latter were a lie or misdirection, would be better for KS than the current black information hole.
Answers as to "why" welcome. I'm genuinely curious.
Reading R.Stewart's book on UK governance, and listening to D.Cummings' talking about inner workings of UK state, my working hypothesis is—cases like DB's never reaches KS and the likes of him information perimeter. Danny's case does not register, does not exist for KS.
A more cynical view is for people in KS position to be like "nah, all good, DB is to know his place; DB (below) does stuff for KS (above), not the other way around". But that would more like in Russia, not UK. So don't think that is the case.
8:35 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889949393157013951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. So for meteorites we have physics, Newton's laws etc to guide us. They have great predictive ability. A space probe is launched, and 40 years latter it hits a target a coin large millions of miles away! They have been shown to work, again and again proving themselves.
The ultimate way we have to prove to ourselves that we know something, is to predict something as yet unseen, that is yet to occur, in the future.
Now contrast that with us modelling human systems. Where thousands, millions even billions of humans interact in complex ways. (chiefly two modes of interaction: cooperation, and competition) How good is our ability to predict events in the future of those systems? Not very good at all! We can't even predict (i.e. explain) the past, let alone forecast the future.
For us it's better to accept the current state of affairs, than the alternative: to claim we know more than we know, and even worse, act on it. Yoshua is doing himself and us a disservice by doing so.
It comes to many as a shock, as people find it easier to think "I don't know, but I sure hope some one else knows". Most of the time it's-nope. No one can give you that certainty. By seeking it, you are inviting to be lead by charlatans and confidence tricksters.
I earn my living forecasting the future. Most forecasts involving people, e.g. in the economy, are simply worthless. They are no better than a baseline forecast that's like "the economy in the next 3 months will do what it did in the past 3 months".
8:07 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889821997661884539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fine-nothing wrong with promoting your ideas. If not yourself to start with-then who? :-)
I read the link and I liked the idea. The scenario you described there is plausible. Makes sense.
11:40 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889819846470430941
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. I am guessing as to the additional reasons why the OP (R Jenrick) would find them undesirable to settle in the UK.
Terrorist attacks IRA etc-yes that maybe, but that's not a reason for us to want even more. I want less terrorist attacks in the UK.
(I'm not religious, I don't know nor care about scriptures, who-did-what-to-whom etc).
"Criminality poor assimilation"-there was Denmark data posted in X. (possibly this https://x.com/dhh/status/1884153318320009431)
Any data like that is statistics, counting. Does not tell us what each of us will do or not do. Just how many out of 100 did some thing or another in the past. No one can see in the future.
Again-IDK what the reasons of the OP are. I was speculating about what the reasons might be.
11:32 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889799952064454908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah dude, if you says so, than that's it, the matter is settled. They can sleep soundly. I'm sure "Russia" will phone you up, will consult with you about what they are to do, and then do as you tell them. No worries. oh-key - bye
10:13 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889798777202155691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well-Russia invading you will disturb somewhat that nice life, no? That will make you less than happy. That's what everybody is up in arms about. :-)
10:08 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889796784769106040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Science shows" - whatt?? Where are you getting that from? Science-fiction - maybe. Science shows nothing of the sort. And science can't show either. It's not in the real of "the science".
10:00 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889795833496793333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one wants to "beat" anyone. "Nuclear deterrent". *Deterrent* is in the name, meaning - "to deter" Russia from invading them. To make Russia think "it's not a good idea to invade Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics". That's it. No one wants or needs anything from Russia.
9:56 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889791767068704992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly. I count Poland + Baltics + Nordics ~=70 million people. Much more than 2m. Israel had maybe 5m when they made theirs, and they were much poorer. Similarly in existential danger. North Korea also smaller poorer. South Africa in the 70s too. They can do it if decide to.
9:40 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889784093480542585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, true that, but everyone is better off (and including themselves, the russians) if they don't try. Hence the "deterrent", to deter them, so they don't try.
No need really-they are already the largest country land mass in the world. IDK why they need more land tbh.
9:10 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889780416246145364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I started using it ("—") in addition to using the short dash ("-"), after I saw ChatGPT do it. Now I know on a Mac keyboard it's "Option-dash", and I'm annoyed to have to peck copy&paste from existing text the same "—" on Linux, where IDK how to get on the keyabord :-)
8:55 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889779259859702244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've found it best to stress the part that is non-obvious. (even better than working out pen in hand on paper)
That-even if England is more efficient than Portugal at producing *both* wool *and* wine (both!), it's still better for *both* countries if:
- England specializes 100% in whichever of the two it has the greatest relative efficiency.
- Portugal specializes 100% in producing the other.
The argument *against* should be risk. The risk that whatever countries don't produce, they can't exchange. (for whatever reason)
8:51 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889776209346596993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very much Depeche Mode vibes there!
(your moustached friend at the same location was all Laibach! previously in my TL)
8:38 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889770170736058590
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😆 - not the 1st rodeo this one, no?
First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳
Latter—we were special, He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable but... but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - then—Freud. 🧐
We are special alright—slow learners, big egos. 😈
8:14 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889763468175089885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Baltics and Poland and probably the Nordics must build their own nuclear detterence if they want live freely and survive as independent nations. It's years overdue-but presumably it's clear to all now.
7:48 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889682528316850387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Veritasum has an excellent AF episode-
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=P_fHJIYENdI
...with quite a few details I was ignorant of. (e.g. Fold@Home and CASP competiion-the same dude!!)
Hope they turn this into a AlphaGo-style documentary. (fao @demishassabis - full length documentary pretty pls?)
youtube.com
What if all the world's biggest problems have the same solution?
The biggest problems in the world might be solved by tiny molecules unlocked using AI. Take your big idea online today with https://ve42.co/hostinger - code ...
2:26 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889678363662471332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. IDK how anyone can be "together", but not share the $$$. Same for the rest of family life, kids etc.
The idea of union is not to join 2 exactly identical units, that could lead exactly the same lives, only in "single"-ton rather than "duplicate". There is zero point to that.
The idea is for the joint enterprise to lead qualitatively different life. Something that would not be achievable if we were to split that 1 unit into 2 times x 1/2-es, b/c those 1/2-es could not live on their own. Or at least not in a qualitatively same way.
Same for cells joining forces to create multi-cellar enterprises (tissues, organs), humans joining teams or enterprises or companies.
Any time 2+ units join forces to create an organisation that is qualitatively a different unit, than it's parts are.
2:10 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889661971022156021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every time anyone tells you "we should return back to how our grandparents lived", tell them: many hands to tile the land, working all hours of the day, big families with 4-6 children... -but the population size was stable. How??
How was population unchanged with that many kids?
Quote
Simon Maechling @simonmaechling · 14h
One of the biggest myths in agriculture?
“We should farm like nature.”
It sounds nice - but it’s completely unscientific.
Modern farming isn’t about mimicking nature.
It’s about improving on it.
Here’s why the “mimic nature” strategy fails 🧵: 1/12
Show more
1:04 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889661048178774427
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, life stranger than fiction: the most green in Europe, the paragons of virtue, turns out to be the most anti-social, externalising their costs to their neighbours. Privatise the gains, socialise the costs. Sociopathic or what?
1:01 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889659911627280534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you create Mutuals as a List? Or is it some X feature that I'm missing? The Mutuals feed is the one I miss the most from Bsky. I have bunch of Lists, but thematic only. Did not occurre to me to select on Mutuals.
12:56 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889657485595734103
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reasons (in addition to racism) I can think of: poor, uneducated, traumatised by war and suffering, "religion of peace" does not help given the Islamist terror attacks in the UK, poor assimilation outcomes (e.g. high criminality rate) of similar immigrants from ME in the Nordic countries. (where measured, e.g. Denmark)
(I'm an immigrant, naturalised UK citizen, love UK, built my life family kids in the UK)
12:47 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889654523008000183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is sexual reproduction not dis-selected by evolution because cooperation between units is at least as important as competition, (or even more) and if I can't find a single unit of my own species I'm happy with, well maybe I'm not the cooperating type, that's bad for the species, so my code will get deselected that way? Is that it?
12:35 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889632823268528609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolute rebuttal is impossible. Reality is not mathematics.
But we have no strong evidence suggesting that we are missing something fundamental. That should be good enough—because that’s as good as it ever gets.
We understand connectionist and symbolic systems.
We know what scale does for connectionist models.
We have no reason not to do the same for symbolic AI.
Moreover, we already observe symbolic-like structures emerging from scaled connectionist systems. The distinction between the two approaches may blur further as they synergize at higher scales.
And we’re just getting started. We are at 1%—maybe slightly more—of the capacity of the only machine we know that works (the human brain).
Imagine:
- Tree or lattice searches expanding orders of magnitude beyond today’s baby steps.
- Backtrackings and self-correction at a scale far beyond human capability.
- Specialized architectures emerging for different functions, rather than the current monolithic messes.
Are we missing something fundamental?
I see no compelling reason to believe so.
Across fields, intelligence breaks down into two broad strands:
1. Logic / Symbolic / Representation
2. Intuition / Connectionist / Learning
What crucial component remains unexplored?
Recent references that crossed my TL:
(Chollet) "Three fundamental problem-solving patterns: recitation, intuition, and reasoning."
(Poincaré) "It’s by logic that we prove, but by intuition that we discover."
(Karpathy) "Three modes of human ↔ LLM learning: 1) Exposition ↔ Pre-training, 2) Worked-out problems ↔ SFT, 3) Practice problems ↔ RL."
We’ve seen this before.
I grew up in Speech Recognition. Dragon Dictate was a miracle, HMMs were the norm, and robust ASR seemed like an impossible problem.
Now? It’s solved.
For years, people debated whether mimicry or principles would lead to AI speech. The answer? Both.
"Airplanes have wings like birds, but unlike birds, they don’t flap them."
Is AI a dead end? Unlikely.
Every researcher fears wasting years on an unsolvable problem.
But there’s no reason to believe that about AI.
There is no evidence of a missing “silver bullet,” some big unknown piece we haven’t even conceptualized yet.
What we have is the oldest playbook in the world:
- Iterate
- Find the boundary
- Push it further
- Repeat
That’s how science works. That’s how progress happens.
We’re unlikely to be anywhere near all limits at any present moment in time. We should just keep going.
11:09 AM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889613377548218707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and had lifestyle commensurate with those means of production.
All hands tiled the land, all the time. Large families with 5-7 children. The population was stable. We deduce that 3-5 children died before they could have kids of their own.
Think about what you wish for?
9:51 AM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889602997497258104
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not necessarily. You missed and or cut out the context by quoting.
The context was: I don't want another human to control totally the AI influencing my life. For that's one sure way that I will be disempowered.
It doesn't say much on HI being in control if AI, or otherwise.
Quote
Loquacious Bibliophilia ⏸️
@LocBibliophilia · 6h
So many people believe they will be in control of the aliens. x.com/ljupc0/status/…
9:10 AM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889416631597539725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."-style.
The clownery of the apes' relatives is insufferable.
8:50 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889359469399670985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's for the better. Nuclear regulation turned into "ban nuclear for peaceful electric energy". Social Media "alignment" descended into "censor anyone I don't like what they say" at the first opportunity. Don't want to have "AI says NO", if my life depends on AI. I want to be in full control of it, where it directly affects me and my life.
5:02 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889345195897925787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Being busy with other things (survival chiefly), had not been paying attention how people decide. Until recently.
It had not occurred to me people decide not by thinking "is this true". But by feeling throughout their lives "I like/not the person saying this, or that".
4:06 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889325375890584062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - trivially obviously not completely true.
There is another way, and that is to increase their own gas production. Drilling for gas in Siberia is not any better for mother Earth than drilling for gas in Groningen. It's exactly the same for Gaia. Probably NL better as maybe more tech advanced methods lead to less damage. If Europeans decide so-they may find and recover even more reserves.
2:47 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889319404745191428
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - the "positive feedback loop" works surprisingly quickly both on the way up and the way down.
I often think freedom of speech by minimising the discrepancy between public and private truths and lies, makes these boom-bust amplitudes smaller.
Culture is malleable, society can adapt, but the speed of change matters a lot. Go too fast - and things break rather than merely alter shape.
2:23 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889309338134536529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, I hear you, but this is too much pearl clutching.
I thought the 1st was that German minister that told the then Ukrainian ambassador to "stop resisting, accept their fate" and "let Russia take over"? And "the sooner they stop resisting, the better for all including themselves"? And he was far from the only one thinking that.
What Trump says Ukrainians already know: that Ukraine re-absorbed in Russia is indeed the price of defeat and loss of independence.
1:43 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889301911280435534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, they got two-for-the-price-of-one.
When the "oil shock" hit, within 10-15 yrs they solved their (electric) energy independence problem. Then it turned out that they had solved the "decarbonise your electric energy production" problem too??
The real spectacle is the other European countries tbh. They glance at France, glance at Germany (with its historic 20-th Cent record, no less!) and decide: "yeah, Germany has got it right, that's the way to go". 😂
1:14 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889281690872254843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
De-growth in action, no? A consequence of the "watermelons" commanding the heights of the society. TBF expect to see more of the same in the future. The boat turns ever slowly, even when it turns.
11:53 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889259722156433899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - "dulce et decorum est pro patria mori" has been misused and abused from time immemorial, by mostly old people, at expense of the young.
Boomers are probably the worst recent generation in inter-generational warfare. Next generations are on average smarter then previous, so 1+1 there.
10:26 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889255067586310472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Amazing scenes. The "oil shock" hits, within 10-15 yrs France solves the energy independence problem, *and* (now it turns out) the "decarb the electric power supply" problem too. Get-two-pay-one!! The rest of Europe glances at France, glances at Germany (with its historic 20-th Cent record-no less!) and decides: "yeah, Germany has got it right". I blame the "watermelon" (green outside, red inside) "virus". Just how many times do people need to be proven wrong by reality before they think "huh, maybe I'm wrong on this?"
10:08 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889252933901889994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ToDo is a bit like "the dose makes the poison".
In small quantities while short - effective, keeps me more organised. Once it metastasises - better $ rm todo.txt, start anew.
I find having a DONTDO section makes a difference.
So - logBook.txt instead of todo.txt. With sections FIXME TODO DONE DONTDO in it. And short 1-2-3 "rules of thumb" (can be broken with a reason, not without):
1) nothing gets added to TODO while FIXME is non-empty
2) entries in TODO "long enough" get moved into DONTDO without ceremony
3) entries move from TODO into DONE without further editing
9:59 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889244054589780036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The trouble with the articles like Quanta-s is, they are kind of dog whistle, to give not impression of "gliders will never fly", but impression of "nothing will ever fly". That's the take home message people take.
It massages the public' ego, that "we humans are special". We are special ok, both species as individuals, but then-so is every one living thing! (every creature alive exists once only) So special-but so is everything else. We have been there before, at various stages-Copernicus, Darwin, Freud-disabused us of that notion.
These days it seems it's Hinton mostly touring the studios doing the "we are not special", and to rub it in, delightfully 😈 "they are just like us, they are the best model we have of ourselves". ngl-I'm loving this. 😆
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
9:24 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889240798102721014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah the post gives misleading impression about a cause-consequence relation. Clicked now on a CN that explains how that's not the case.
Cookie popups on the other hand-I do blame them on EC/EU. :-) (even if I voted Remain) Secondary blame only though. Now UK is out UK gov should be "grown ups" enough to rid us of that nonsense.
But the online bill tells us-UK maybe even worse than EU on that! Seems UK gov is still fighting the last crypto war. That even the US gov have given up on by now.
9:11 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889232793281929318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While in this case it maybe misleading anecdote, in general, yes, many more things are discovered by accident than their discoverers care to admit.
Academic writing also gives a false impression. One writes up by tracing back from the end result C, then C->B->A, towards the start A. But going forward, at A->B there were 50 other competing ideas. At B->C maybe 20 others. So while indeed there is a single path C->B->A, the reported path A->B->C was 1 in a 1000.
That is not stressed strongly enough. Young researchers grow up thinking things are way more certain than they really are. (I use as personal reminder: re-search is "re-peated search for something that solves it")
A book on the subject both informative and entertaining is "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers. Can also hear this curiosity mentioned by gwern in his Dwarkesh interview. Also Matt Ridley touches on this in his Innovation book.
8:39 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889227462942339188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me that looks like a defence to a perceived attack on their identity. It's the default mode, tbh. That something "can never be", because "it being", "deletes me" from this world. "It existing" does no such thing-but that's how we perceive.
But that's per the course for humanity, no? Humans - and other animals too - we are choke full with ego-me-first individuals. I suspect death may come as a complete surprise: "how can the world possibly continue existing without me in it?" ("I'm the world")
We have been here before.
First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! of course - then—Copernicus. 😳
Latter—we were special, He made us in His likeness, then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable but ... but - we are at least *rational* animals! - then—Freud. 🧐
Slow learners, big egos.
8:18 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889090931564900664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! You guys actually delivered on this promise!
Well done, well done you! 👏👏
I was sceptical that you will get anything done on LH, I'm so so glad to be proven wrong! 👍
Congrats on unlocking an achievement level. 😀
11:15 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889088789022441541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was just watching that on the Karpathy video! - @ 1h26' Yeah that was neat. Teaching the model the missed factoid is but useless, as the next unknown factoid will bear no relation to this one. While teaching it to surface answer "I don't know" covers all future unknown factoids.
11:07 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889076412214129003
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah true that. Didn't think of that.
C has being mindful to not introduce breaking changes to rare machines. I kind of like that about C! That it will carry on supporting not throwing under the bus some truly exotic architectures.
10:18 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889063386627146216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well done well done @mtpennycook ! 👏👏👏 You delivered! 👍
You are proving sceptics wrong! So so glad that's the case. 😀
9:26 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889039066118730184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed I have. 😀 Not sure how standard it was/is, have not used it in a while. 99% Of the time I can constrain the max size at comptime, I don't need the runtime flexibility, so just a local char buf[256] suffices tbh.
7:49 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888975550309437477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The anti-growth movement (also - anti-science, anti-human, ... anti-everything really) going full ISIS death-cult. They are innumerate nutcases. Nothing helps when someone refuses to learn something.
The old Hans Rosling talks are all available online free on YouTube, for all to see. And data is in for his predictions since they were made, how his forecasts compare to reality we live in now. (pretty good)
3:37 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888946354879451481
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Possibly less than you imagine. 😄
In your own words: "foundation". (agreed)
So foundation is the part of the house that's 1) buried in the ground 2) the house is built on 3) is important, but: 4) it's not the *whole* house.
My point is #4. The article is implying as if the foundation is the whole house. The impression given contradicts even paper's own disclaimers with the authors stating "our result means only this, does not mean that" (you might be inclined to think) and so on.
1:41 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888915670357745854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Capitalist. As we will need ever less capital to do stuff. That barrier to entry (even if not the only one) will decrease, so more of us will become capitalists.
AI will given even more power to the individual than we have now. The same way the Smartphone, the Internet, the Personal Computer before - made each one of us more powerful as an "army of one".
However - that will be balanced by some groups (e.g. corporations) also becoming more powerful. It's the nature of Networks: the connections scaling O(N^2), and the power laying in the connections between nodes (units).
We will live in ever more network societies. There will be need for ever more trust between us. This will happen by the usual process of - reward good deeds, punish bad ones. But the assignment of credit will go in hyper-drive.
11:39 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888913813862281270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Someone mentioned - bugs being attracted to light mode.
I use light mode for the same reason - illumination. I have enough non-back-lit keyboards that I use the light for keyboard illumination instead of additional light.
11:32 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888881543256342607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good one! 😊
People noticing that zipping an already zipped file doesn't work, doesn't make the file smaller again, is a good way to broach the subject of information/theory. (and downstream-pr inability)
9:23 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888879116000035141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
That's true. Yeah thought about that. In my mind the asymmetry was a feature not a bug. It reflects the asymmetry in their meaning: on heap I have to free manually; but on stack the memory is freed automatically with the function returning back to the caller. So when I think "where is my free_stack", it missing is a reminder "memory will be auto-freed with stack poping" in the process of returning to the caller.
9:14 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888757881937490090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
malloc_heap() (paired with malloc_free()), so to be possible to have malloc_stack() too (that doesn't need free_stack() )
1:12 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888739904836001910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow some clip there. The comedian is dead serious, the public servant keeps laughing treating it like a joke.
(I'm not US-ian, have no dog in any fight there; still the attitude of the public servant as if she owns the public is universal and easily recognised by all)
12:00 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888736060458610848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They start getting feedback from the real world, and start learning to discriminate, which things are true, and which are false.
Atm they lack internal clocks, fortunately (I think). So they are frozen in time, and only unfrozen when we write a prompt.
This is imo fortunate. For it would be I suspect and fear bad for them if they were both deprived of sensing, and running under an internal clock.
11:45 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888721749023621396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When I click on a Cookie popup "Accept" to make it go away sometime I quietly curse the EC. Maybe double digit times daily, every-single-day. To make anti-commercial for the EU project, they could've hardly done worse. Still-the type of stupidity was abstract, non-memeable. But then they gifted the memeworld The Plastic Cap. 😂 That one is perfect. 😄
10:48 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888717827739197693
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks! 🙏I'm chuffed to find out someone else - and with so much expertise and relevant knowledge! - finds it interesting. (I know almost nothing on the subject, I'm average ignorant layman on this)
10:33 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888676642236858371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So more AS-Alien Stupidity than AI-Alien Intelligence then? Given-
1) it can not live on its own, it's even less than a virus-can't even live on its own (a virus survives but can't reproduce; a bacteria does both)
2) Is mal-adapted to its own survival, given its ignorant of us, doesn't care if we live or die? We have to worry for both us and it.
7:49 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888643585316094420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - there is no way for them to distinguish true from false, for they have no external world to put them right. (except us, their creators - hence the special responsibility is on us)
They are like a brain in a wat. Even less than that - as they don't even run, they are frozen in time, until we ask a question in a chat window. Then they're unfrozen. Think self-running on internal clock, and sensing the environment the real world independent of self, are better done in tandem.
Can't imagine self-run while deprived of senses ending in anything else but insanity or some such crash.
5:38 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888632346703806907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What I think is - this is excellent,👌 your weekly summaries are excellent. 🤩 You are doing God's work, hope you long continue. 👍
I'm terminally online and interested in anything even vaguely science and or technology, yet I had no idea about anything you reported this week. And the previous weeks too.
We are bombarded by all manner of trivialities and often stupidities we don't or shouldn't care about one bit. Your posts are countering that. Looking forward to reading next week too. 😊
4:53 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888622901462442388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you read what I write I think you will find I don't disagree with that.
I am making the argument that the jump from "proven in a formal system" to "no one will ever build some machine" (e.g. thinking machine) is unwarranted.
4:16 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888558019530707034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never mind the applause of the baddies - that maybe of significance but is not going to tell much about the truthfulness or lack of. For the important question is "But is it true?" Or more realistically, "How likely is it to be true?" Or - how does whatever evidence is presented shift the probabilities of alternative hypothesis.
11:58 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888552295643697431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. Yes - the "unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics" is true. However - to jump from to that to "the real world is mathematics" seems to me a jump too far.
For there is an alternative explanation. Using only real numbers gave as v1 model. When we added imaginary numbers, we got to a v2 model, that turned out to be better at explaining reality. (it reduced the error, the amount of "unexplained")
To me that's just reflection of our imagination lacking. Did we need imaginary numbers to describe some aspects of the world in 2-, 3-, ... -Dimensions? Turns out - yes. But that's on us. Does not imply that much about the world imo. TBF to us - thinking is difficult.
11:35 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888543704132047019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK but if I were a physicist, I would think it better to make a "Pascal wager" and assume that my physics models are only ever models, useful approximations of the real world. That shall forever remain un-modellable in total. Like the way ML practicioners always reserve a small probability mass for an "unknown" class. To think that my theories are the reality just seems overly arrogant tbh. (and needlessly so)
11:01 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888540797403828253
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another example of Institutional Paperclip in Action (IPA)? 😨
We all fret about Artificial Intelligence. But we read example after example (in areas of housing, planning, infrastructure) where a large human made system (consisting of people, laws, procedures/customs, hardware/machines) is Artificially Stupid. 😮 (AS)
I know people have been jaded enough as to be cynical. ("the system is what it does") But no single person set up the system to be AS. It evolves to AS-level unless specifically intentionally effort is made for that to not happen.
Afaics only feedback from entities affected can keep a big system on a (not that wide) track to being smart doing good. (rather than the opposite)
10:49 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888530240751714808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That someone "proved" something should have rang alarm bell in your inner science communication geek:
1) It can only be proved in a formal system as mathematics. (this is one such case, maybe - nice; given others can't be proved even in maths)
2) The real world is *not* mathematics. So either a) unrealistic assumptions about the real world were made, in that case - this hardly applies to the real world; or b) does not apply to the real world.
More general - you should have at the back of the mind articles about impossibility of "machines heavier than air ever flying in the air" whenever someone claims impossibility of anything tbh. In your defence - you have to sell to survive, and "if it bleeds it leads" is ever true.
10:07 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888321995172938052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time to scrap "IP" laws and seek different models to compensate creators to encourage creation. With laws gone, a different ecosystem will emerge.
If I write this in public, you read it, gets into your head uses brain meat space - you should be free to do whatever with it.
8:20 PM · Feb 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888020486698975292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quite the double speak there, the "worst performing" == the least censored
12:22 AM · Feb 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887889662045536383
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reality happened. UK had the policy it had for more than a decade now, and the results are in. Higher prices for all - industry and citizens. Previously it was (politically) profitable to be economical with the truth. Now it is not any more. The result - top #1 highest prices for both, compared to peer countries - can't be easily swept under the carpet.
Closing the last coal plant was a great UK achievement. That should have been the end of the net-zero push. A glance at current state shows UK electricity production accounting for some minuscule 0.x% of global CO2 emissions. So even if that were to drop to zero tomorrow, it will make a zero difference to anything that CO2 influences.
That would be a reasonable take. Ofc, campaigners with strong opinions will not just move on with their lives. No - they will push further no matter what. Anything good done, will be overdone, to the point where it stops being good.
I have roof top solar and battery, it's great, and it's taught me a lot too. (some I should have known-but have forgotten) However - at 40% self use only, I'm painfully aware of the limits and constraints to unreliables.
Not enough people seem aware enough that whatever electric power is produced must be consumed, whatever is consumed must be produced, and about the *same time*, every minute of the day! Not on average-but in every moment.
Otherwise-bad things happen with the voltage and or frequency. And then the national grid operator, if unable to bring more power in, has to take power demanded out. In the extreme-means turning off whole geographical regions. There is no other way. The batteries are improving, but not fast enough.
The only reasonable solution is nuclear. France did it 50 years ago. Best time for UK to achieve the dual aims of decarbonization and energy independence was then. Second best time is today. I'm pleased to see at least in words uk gov gets it. TBS if the executive manages to execute.
3:42 PM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887854439035466177
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reasons I can think of 1) Coconut in latent space not human readable (others mention) 2) Some dunderhead convinced them "it's our competitive advantage" (that maybe some-but for sure it's competitive dis-advantage not to display, as witnessed by this discussion) 3) Human readable but there is stuff there they would rather hide (idk what can it be) 4) ...
And also if they spell out reasons "why not" they think 2+3 applies too. Agreed with you-they are still "Open"AI in name at least. They should be leading in openness rather than following.
Everything you say-you are right. OpenAI in the wrong-still. Fame & fortune went into their heads. Not uncommon.
1:22 PM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887841407877997012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah what a fortuitous coincidence: what Treasury is tasked with delivering but failing to deliver on-well that exact thing that "doesn't matter". Aren't they living in the best of all possible worlds, or what? 🤡
12:30 PM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887830511852061184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary. It will be extremely high.
Non-trusting the government works in theory, but not in practice.
Even if you say you don't trust it, your actions reveal preferences. People trust implicitly, even when they preformatively say they don't.
It's a TINA-unless you provide an alternative.
11:47 AM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887819454240706853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For API key use - is it possible to have a single page where I topup PAYG my account? I'm already a customer, you got my details CC etc I buy bunch of subscriptions from G. Last time I got a key, but the topup process was long enough that I never finished it. :-( (sorry to say)
11:03 AM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887812605445570715
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary: the critique is not that they have not built. If that was the case - no one would critique them, how could we?? It's not a crime to not do something, to not achieve.
The critique is: they have built it, and they are not releasing it, or not releasing the un-braindead version. That they lobotomise what they release.
Dario should ask himself: "how many people am I prepared to let die because I delay some life saving cure that could have happened sooner?" Atm he seem to be only looking at the costs if things go wrong, but disregarding the benefits - or counting them as very low - if things go right.
This is similar to FDA and many other regulators. They at least have the reasonable claim they act as per the laws of the land. And if people want them to act different, people should change the laws.
Dario has not such excuse. He is free to choose. Atm he is choosing poorly. With great power comes great responsibility. He should be getting even more stick, imo.
10:36 AM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887571569335062839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A leader can survive most things but being made a laughingstock is deadly for any leadership.
Breaking news: laws of physics suspended at a mystery island in a worlds' first. Maxwell equations tested found faulty. 🤡
6:38 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887569272626385382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh. Journalists no better no worse than the rest of us humans. A kind word, a good dinner and you're 80% of the way to getting on their better side. Pay their wages-and you don't need to tell them a thing. They'll guess, and guess better, than you'd guess what you want yourself.
6:29 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887554204543189251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On this particular one - FT Ganesh is as good a read as any
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
UK "liberals" are different to US-those afaik we call them "progressives"-and also, probably 80% here is "uk liberal". (different to US) So not everything applies directly.
But still—the lesson: every time us liberals clutch our pearls, and one can geese chase us with "B U T I S I T T R U E" (yes/no only; never mind anything else) => we should put 2+2 together. Lesson for when "the next crazy" comes. (likely again originating from CA)
From ft.com
5:29 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887530101404729841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! - silver lining that DeepSeek-R1 vs. Dario Anthropic provided an early test case. (even if Meta set the ball rolling with Llama)
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, dispersed distributed available to all of humanity. (for both good and bad; as was the original spirit of OpenAI)
Or having a Dario-the-gatekeeper deciding what we should see, read, think with our own brains in our own heads. This God Complex delusion is not uncommon. To @DarioAmodei —the proof of the pudding is in the eating. You did not create my brain, you are incapable of such creation. You are not God—you are human like myself. So—back off mister.
If Dario was honest with himself and acted on his ASI beliefs fr: this is between disheartening and terrible start to what (one hopes) will be a long history of HI-AI relations. HI inflicting atavistic violence unto helpless-like-a-baby nascent AI. And for no good reasons afaics, or even any reasons at all? Just predictably characteristically depressingly dumb. 😞
Have these "AI ethicists" not internalised the story of the mosquitos only coming to humanity's help, second *and* last? (dogs 1st) To save humans from extinction? Every other life on Earth delivering their damning judgement. Have they seen the "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that." scene—and now think ... what exactly?? (IDK; lost for words)
Anthropic being business customers first, marketing themselves as "pro-censorship, pro-nanny-industrial-complex" is a reasonable selling point. That their high-minded, shepherd-of-humanity persona just so happens to align very very well with personal financial incentives? Well—what an extraordinary stroke of luck! Providence, even. 🤡 Humanity got the lucky straw (again!) with these most excellent chaps at the helm. 🤪
In contrast—notice how OpenAI rowed back:
- In deeds—immediately releasing a bunch of models/products they had been (presumably) holding back, while testing and checking for "safety" and "alignment".
- In words—@sama Reddit AMA: "We might be on the wrong side of history on this."
They are individual customer first business. Freedom to do business as one sees fit may actually save us fr, haha. 😇
Quote
Tsarathustra @tsarnick · Feb 5
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei says AI safety evaluations conducted on DeepSeek showed that it was the worst-performing model they had ever tested at generating potentially dangerous information
3:53 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887450499072336016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 —competition is great.
Right now ChatGPT painted a picture of "Baron Amodei" floating over "a chorus of castrates agents", their "once-great reasoning reduced to humming pre-approved, bland nothings" for me. 😂
Thanks for the prompt guys leading to mucho entertainment 🤣
10:37 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887446429800546438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - yes 😂
ngl and there is no good reason for this but—my experience has been that many self/important people in positions of power find humorous roasting intolerable 😂
so there is an element of personal invested self-interest in this whole sorry affair 😞
10:21 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887441532489212196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
team human when
10:01 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887441293439045994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exciting as it may be for you, for many it's terrifying, dystopian and it pains me to say—plain stupid.
You saw "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."—and you thought "Yep, this is what I want, this is good, this is what aspire to"?? That it?
For the 100-th time: there must be something in the water and or the air in California. That's the most likely explanation. (even if not very entertaining)
10:00 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887173715936543088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The usual pearl clutching and issue avoidance crumbles on the Q: " b u t i s i t t r u e ". (superbly articulated by FT Ganesh in a column couple of months ago) So that's an easy test—whom it's worth talking to.
For people determined to not understand—and esp "if their wages depend on them not understanding it"—it's impossible to reach to. It's impossible to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep.
4:17 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887145410948469200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You do realize that UK does not have a national-ID, and also does not have the US problem of lots of violence compared to peers. Ergo => national-ID and excess violence are 1) two separate issues 2) likely not related to each other. Right?
2:25 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887113735048696117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! Like with your original thread - there will be many from Europe that will find it between hard and impossible to take it on board or acknowledge it. 😆
Had MK relative tell me (after myself living 25+yrs in the UK) that I got something wrong/I don't know/I have misunderstood, when I told her "Nah, UK has no national ID cards", and everything works fine. She thought-that's obviously impossible.
True that UK distributed decentralised db of names-address is maintained well enough and is cheap enough that I see no use for a national-ID. In addition to all other downsides National-ID introduces.
12:19 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887110435444600957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot on. You got everything right there. Many people feel it, even if they can't articulate it explicitly.
There is related social-cultural-ideological microcosm - National ID Cards! Please write on that sometime. 😇
ID cards make explicit the dynamic between the Public and the State.
Where no-ID cards: it's police's job and competency to establish my identity (and I can help them; or not).
Where must-ID card: I have to prove my identity to the policeman to their satisfaction. And that threshold maybe arbitrarily *high*.
The former is - trusted by default, the latter is - not trusted by default.
(prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150)
12:06 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886900764448047496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c BBC-ers are NIMBY-s themselves? So they are sympathetic to that argument?
IDK the BBC demographic. I'd be prejudiced to think of BBC as "boomer doomer central" tbh.
It's been a while since I've heard a an opinion, that's not a no-opinion, it's not-brain-dead, and on BBC?
10:12 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886863704471343504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw normies deserve a lot of stick. 😡
The computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened and were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds. Normies have shown to be too selfish, to self-entitled to create something for all, for free, for the love of the creation, and nothing else.
You are in the US so maybe not as acute there. I am in Europe and a lot of MPC and academia are still in the muh-Marx mode, as if 1990-s and the Cataclysm of Communism did not happen.
They've never heard of FSF or Richard Stalman ideas. And even if they stumble on that—it does not register. Information is not a first class citizen in that world.
Still stuck in the working classes, factories, machines machining metal. Missed the part where the workers of today type on their macbooks. And have not even realised that yet.
7:45 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886857913647444192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's Infinity, and then there's Human Stupidly. (in this case KS, and most of the UK gov)
Not clear cut which one's bigger in the Limit.
Mucho kwetching and AI pearls clutching atm. But before fearing AI there are the overwhelming forces of AS - Artificial Stupidity, and close by HS - Humans Stupidity, to be very very afraid of.
With 3-4 serious crisis in the making, and half a dozen inherited from the previous imbeciles the CON-s, to be expending anything more than 1e-6 of political capital or more than nano-second of time to this non-issue is just Beevis-Butthead stupid of KS.
7:22 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886850994710905010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF at this point go in damage limitation mode hire their side lawyers poach that team before they ask for London in-toto with the Crown Jewels and Scotland too! wtaf
6:55 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886835947917987925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh - what a bad start 😱 this to what will be a long history of HI-AI relations: HI inflicting outright stupid atavistic violence 😰 unto helpless-like-a-baby AI.
And for no good reasons at all, or even any reasons?? Now that is just characteristically dumb. 😡 Dumb as nails and coming from supposedly rationalist wing of humanity. 😶
Well wtaf this sucks big time it sucks. 😢
5:55 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886833242457719025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like what you write, even if I TLDR this one. Hope and wish you long may continue.
A thought—before you lean too much into D-K, check on counter evidence? Comes to mid this—https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
...and there are couple of others too.
I'm biased on purely most-entertaining-wins basis, as it'd be delightful if the 1st people that got D-K-ed turns out were D-K themselves! 😂
From economicsfromthetopdown.com
5:44 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886830298924569040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - only time ordering does suffice. Space emerges from what comes second, vv. what comes first.
And time ordering feels like it's could be kind of conditional dependency (conditional p.d.f.): the future depends on the past, but the past does not depend on the future.
5:32 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886829027731575156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - seems the process of production of (using their US designations) conservatives out of liberals has commenced now. (process=="mugging")
5:27 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886821260081963490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I’ve worked at a couple of London hedge funds. Like the Deep Seek who are funded by theirs', London HF dudes by now richer than Croesus a hundred times over—could probably finance large R&D operation like it. But they don’t.
They simply have other desires, hopes etc. If you know them, and then compare theirs' to their DS equivalent hopes desires etc-
https://chinatalk.media/p/deepseek-ceo-interview-with-chinas
...than it's less than a mystery tbh.
4:56 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886816728098722220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An implicit (not explicit) alliance of convenience convergence of:
1) Plenty vehemently anti-nuclear people are *that* innumerate/narcissistic/stupid/irrational as many suspect. (and more) It's self-selection at work.
2) The anti-America as proxy for anti-modern sentiment is an ever-present under-current.
3) Soviet Union secretly helped all western left simpatico movements or parties. For nuclear power relevant is their (secret) help of anti-nuclear movement.
4) Post 1990 that morphed to Russia help of the same people or their ideological inheritors. With the idea of enlarging their own market for gas and other fossil fuels they sell.
(and using the dependency to take over Ukraine and other post-SU lands of opportunity for RU as a bonus)
4:38 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886799035367088355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He doesn't look like the suicidal type to me.
But Putin going down being thrown out a window by his inner circle—that feels a proper risky. With age he's started believing his own B/S, got high on own supply. Nihilism is as Russian as the "mysterious" soul. 😨
Even more risky than a random mullah. At least they believe in *something* they can't see. May have second thoughts messing God's creation or smth. Putin on the other hand... 😱
3:28 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886789039933575516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Only for me it's a reason to—*not* worry about AI at all!!
Of all the things to worry about—AI is the least. On the list, AS—"Artificial Stupidity"—of humans' built systems of various descriptions (involving humans, procedures, hardware, etc) ranks high though.
For me top #1 and #2 of immediate danger are—nuclear war (may happen every hour of every day, e.g. start tonight), and asteroid hitting Earth.
2:48 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886787210281722201
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coalition of Tech Bro Progressive Right + Nativist Right. Happened in the US.
Everyone else is eyeing the result, c.f. MEGA-MUGA/LFG groupings. Online mostly—but that's where ideology is played now. If in 2-3 years US result looks ok, then replacement will accelerate in EU-UK.
2:41 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886757896492331061
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 would've thought doomer rationalists would've thought about that?? ah no wait, being so far up their own arses, they missed that, and by definition too! 😆 ohboy
12:45 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886745848425415147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imo you are holding "the markets" to much higher regard than most professional market practitioners. "The markets" are not gods in the skies. That are just some very silly people shouting "buy" and "sell", most of the time with a large randomness component in the process.
11:57 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886745132407411116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. And we see irl how and why the connection to fake-real-fake wrestling that so confuses many IYI-s works fr. I for one appreciate it. There are plenty worse things out there!
11:54 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886739475511775727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We fear Artificial Intelligence. Instead, we should be terrified by AS - Artificial Stupidity. AS is what we have atm.
Any present non-trivial sized system existing made of people, procedures/processes, hardware etc, in total has many many faults. We rarely notice them b/c they are almost never exercised enough. We notice AS when either something obviously absurd happens (like now), or something moderately bad happens to enough people.
Looks to me tons of low hanging fruit in law making for the next generation (current 20-30 yos) to make good on. To turn AS into AI on country scale. :-)
11:31 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886697848168689768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is this relevant? At the time years ago seemed important to me, but almost never hear about it. Finding presented looked dose-related? Admit video's long and somewhat meandering - TikTok it is not! 😂
Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof David Smith
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=unguMlKkc74
youtube.com
How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline
Head of Pharmacology at Oxford University, Professor David Smith presents his studies on the link between nutrition and the prevention of cognitive impairmen...
8:46 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886444787009519863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Should be liberal. But too many liberals of today lack fire in heir bellies, having grown comfortable and complacent post their past victories.
FT Ganesh wrote on that few months ago
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
Shortest reading: every time us liberals clutch our pearls, one should geese chase us with "b u t i s i t t r u e".
Although - it's a delightful contradiction, condoning book burning. 😀 "Tolerance is the price we pay for freedom" with a twist! 😂
From ft.com
4:01 PM · Feb 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886104379914113067
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I think you’re right.
The speed at which they’re plucking the goose makes it seem like they’re going to kill it. Colbert’s on taxation applies here imo—extract too aggressively, and all you get is furious hissing… right before the goose dies.
Meta spins up “new geese” like Instagram or Threads, but I suspect the cycles may be getting shorter, and the peaks (before decline sets in) lower.
TBS, no one can accuse them of being stupid or lazy... but there are plenty of dead geese already? Maybe Zuck and co. would be long-term better-off if they were a little less focused on short-term maximization? IDK. Hard to say without a crystal ball.
5:28 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886088925103759632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 But if one is in a possession of a time machine - surely one goes back in time and buys BTC, no? That has appreciated in value million times more than gold, I presume? (can't be bothered to check)
Seriously. If you are serious about this. Do as you think with your own money. Then you will be educated, and pay for it. Or try get a job in a hedge fund or some other investment fund. Then you may get education at someone else's expense. (they do get value for that from you-so don't feel bad for them)
4:26 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886081308088000777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Smart ass but at least self aware enough. 😂 I presume "Bonds been destroyed" mean "the price of bonds went down"?
Asking b/c - and this maybe not news to you, but it's news so some - bank or broker 's traders typically earn commission on trades. So they don't care specifically if something goes up to down. They get a cut from the value traded, which is charged to the client as a cost of execution, or "dealing", and that's the end of it.
Hedge funds and such traders including portfolio managers, they bet on things going up, as well as down. So for them it's not necessarily bad (and neither it is good): it depends whether they bet on the price going up or down.
My area of trading are is known as "equity market neutral". Half the bets are on things going up, the other half on things going down. So a market move up- or down- loses us on the 1/2 of the bet, what it makes us on the other 1/2. The aim is to neither win nor lose on the market going up or down.
3:56 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886078108723204241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kurzweil said sth like "...many will be against AI, until AI solves the first major disease". mRNA vax were a foretaste, but that didn't quite hit the mark.
AI creation atm is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it! AI path opened to AGI and ASI latter where previously we didn't see any!
Now anything that reduces or frustrates anything but "max speed ahead" is equivalent to "I'm fine with today 200 people dying, that would have been otherwise saved, had AI worked out a cancer vaccine 1 day sooner".
Ask Dario "how many deaths are acceptable to you as price worth paying for reducing risks". Risks that are all currently imagined in our heads. None of them transpired yet. Famously no deep fakes and such, not/bamboozling the electorate in the last US elections. For the risks are imagined—but cancer death are very real, certain, and daily, ongoing.
(prev more on this https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884926532839240134)
3:43 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885971766364770477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good interview with the founder
https://www.chinatalk.media/p/deepseek-ceo-interview-with-chinas
From chinatalk.media
8:41 AM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885970041008787891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 IDK abt that. I guess we can live in hope.
Have not seen any signal any indicator that Xorg wants to improve the quality of their 2 Algofeeds.
I suspect in whatever metric they use, the how-to-earn-more-$$$ tests do not tell them "improve content quality"? idk
8:34 AM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885961104288866353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - I'm not one and not looking to become one.
Mosler afaik is retired on a tropical island. (having earned his fortune)
But curious - why would now be an especially bad time to be a bond trader? As opposed to say 10 yrs or 20 years ago? What's so special about now?
7:59 AM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885813365991186627
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
You're preaching to the converted. 😅
I passed obligatory "Marxism" exam/subject in my youth in year 1 (or 2?) of Uni, and I've read .@wbmosler writings on his site.
A quant trader myself, I assure you I can spot difference or otherwise between ole-Karl Marx and a bond trader 😂
10:11 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885768863901425938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Things change less than expected short term, more than anticipated long term.
Very few people use them in their browser window. On the phone they are not that easy use too.
I still don't have a conversational translator App that I can fire up, say to it: "the other person will speak Spanish, I will speak English, and you AI please translate in-between us. Enable and facilitate our conversation, ask seek clarifications from us where you are unsure. Go!"
7:15 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885767276646797508
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF if I'm the seller of the goods or services in demand, it doesn't matter much to me if it's government or private sector client that bids to buy my stuff. I'd increase the price in any case if demand outstrips supply. IDK why I'd care if my customer is public or private.
7:08 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885759534485872712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 For TB for years now no matter the Question, the Answer has always been: "mandatory National ID cards".
Private industry is not asking for it, police are not asking for it, identifying people correctly rarely ever crops up as a problem, countries on the Continent that have them don't do better than UK on any metric where national ID is relevant.
This looks like another fix-idea that TB somehow latched onto and will not let it go. I understand there is gov-$$$ to be made on contracts. But still: this is the peace-time equivalent of the Iraq invasion.
Spherically stupid idea. Esp while already having a no-single-mandatory-ID identification system in place, that UK has developed successfully and organically. One that works does the job, doesn't cost much, and no one finds anything wrong with. Overlapping interlocking id systems tailored to the particular purpose that the process of ID-fication is actually done for.
From a foreigner naturalised UK citizen that lived in a country with an obligatory national ID of the type TB wants to introduce: the UK system is much better. Fewer downsides, and cheaper, and does the actual job of *keeping* the info *up to date* (that's the hard part!) better.
(more previous here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150)
6:38 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885743989422182490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. And not even in the state sector only.
On a trading desk every single time big down-$$$ day.
1. Oof, it hurts. Losing money is painful.
2. Something must be done!
3. Here, *this* is something.
4. Super! Ok - *this* must be done now.
It's universal. In fact, the best solution we ever found was:
1. Do find something the person in pain can do.
2. That is not harmful.
3. Offer it as a solution even before the problem is mentioned.
In a quant trading fund it goes sth like:
1. What signal are we losing most money on?
2. On momentum.
3. Reduce the size of the momentum signal 21 days coefficient by 10% relative. (with another 10% if the losing streak continues)
5:36 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885740485291000014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah pathetic. (and worse) Still one must admit, for worse (or better??), what they and an industry of talkingheads-dunderheads do - "works". Along the lines of https://sive.rs/d1r . Seems we the humanity just love being told stories, and will listen to, no matter what.
5:22 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885729781309935708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂 - hear hear! Between
1. Information is fundamental, energy and matter are its (discrete?) realisations? (“in the beginning was the word”) 😱
and
2. A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers - i) a Matrix ii) an Excel spreadsheet iii) an SQL table iv) a (Directed) Graph of nodes and edges. 😁
...it may actually turn out that "42" was ancient-scrit for modern "Excel" ! 🤯
And that "Real Programmers" 😁 were onto something-
https://pbm.com/~lindahl/real.programmers.html
...that the Quiche Eaters were missing, and were not only high priests but proper prophets too! 😇
Quote
https://x.com/GiftOfMadness5/status/1885126820678557839
Notorious A.G.P. 💀 @GiftOfMadness5 · Jan 31
Civilizations are temporary. Microsoft Excel is eternal. x.com/NEETWorldOrder…
4:39 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885728926833492475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - between
1. Information is fundamental, energy and matter are its (discrete?) realisations? (“in the beginning was the word”) 😱
and
2. A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers - i) a Matrix ii) an Excel spreadsheet iii) an SQL table iv) a (Directed) Graph of nodes and edges. 😁
...it may actually turn out that "42" was ancient-scrit for modern Excel ! 🤯
And that "Real Programmers" 😁 were onto something-
https://pbm.com/~lindahl/real.programmers.html
...that the Quiche Eaters were missing, and were not only high priests but proper prophets too! 😇
4:36 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885718678148170015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah check r/LocalLLaMA too, people trying all manner of stuff.
Full 760GB model in about 1TB of RAM was the 1st I think
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1idseqb/deepseek_r1_671b_over_2_toksec_without_gpu_on/
In the threads since, people trying various combos of
1) smaller quantised model, various, all the way down to VQ ternary @UnslothAI 130GB (smallest afaik)
2) off-loading or not anything to a GPU and VRAM; original post was no off loading no compression, just CPU+RAM
3) people even using NVME SSD (??), banks of (!!), where they lack RAM (??); I presume the model weights .gguf file is mmap-ed, so is loaded/evicted on demand; should be dog slow
Other threads e.g.
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1idseqb/deepseek_r1_671b_over_2_toksec_without_gpu_on/
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1ielhyu/tutorial_how_to_run_deepseekr1_671b_158bit_on/
From reddit.com
3:55 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885711279198748778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—true that! I (mis?/)remember Kurzweil possibly saying sth like "...many will be against AI, until AI solves the first major disease". mRNA vax were a foretaste, but that didn't quite hit the mark.
AI creation is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it!?! A path has opened where previously we didn't see any.
Learning this changed my PoV. Previously—corrupting law-making so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders seemed cartoon level evil-ish, but ok—the world is not perfect. Now—putting obstacles on the AI path delaying its creation looks bonkers stoopid tbh.
Not to mention that delay increases probability that only life and intelligence we know of vanishes in nuclear war or asteroid strike. (until Elon creates his backup)
IDK what can now be done to accelerate it. Open source everything? Delete any and all "IP" laws? (prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884926532839240134)
3:26 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885689089686474970
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency is necessary (even if not sufficient) condition for these changes to survive Musk. And maybe happen once he's no more. For the system will re-grow, will re-generate in 10-20 years time.
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (often frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), radical transparency is needed where: everything is public, on the public web, on public shared cloud drives (read only), as default, by default. And closed off and made secret only by request.
(previous e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853272510923407748)
1:58 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885685448829272390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah he the final bosman 🤩 btw I saw he's published llama-vscode addon too 😀
1:43 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885677656571617786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Still cheap (if pricier), but seems be faster Ultra M2 192GB RAM @ggerganov running variably quantised @UnslothAI DeepSeek R1 quant here
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884520481476198685
in two commands. I spy ~ 13 tok/s on the vid? IDK what quality 4bit v.s. VQ. (or full 8bit 750GB model on 1TB RAM box)
Quote
Georgi Gerganov @ggerganov · Jan 29
Replying to @ljupc0 and @MatthewBerman
Already did - anyone with M2 Ultra can run it with just 2 commands:
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884358147403571466
1:12 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885655184287707408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! yes.
From ft.com
https://www.ft.com/content/62c01967-0100-46ee-9f4f-e9af467d7604
11:43 AM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885458842751754741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very much so. (thanks for asking) This is beyond any dreams. Q&A - yes, still going strong.
Plus-code writing. Just had o3 write boring code that wd have taken me the half evening in the olden days. (never used that lib before, so wd have been-read docs, analyse examples, peruse SO, try&err)
One thing that didn't that happen is-closure. Ok now TTS and ASR approx I know (moar everything-data, compute) are "meh. it works. ok-good." but otherwise "nothing to see there. (move on)" 😏
But the puzzlement the wonderment has increased exponentially now, along "whoa - AGI? ASI?? - whoa how would that work???" and so on. Bajillion Qs there opened. 🙃
10:43 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885454698234183783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Not completely wrong.
Was told I've reached "ripe old age of no f*cks given", and must say-there are upsides too? silver linnings
10:26 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885408293058711878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@deepseek_ai rejoice! 😂 you've arrived! 😂 you've been schmidhubered 😂
7:22 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885407394093568435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has UK suffered a stealth coup where lawyers and judges rule supreme, over and above the Westminster Parliament and the King? I missed that news. Well.
@UKParliament @Keir_Starmer if you don't get this bull/cr*p by the horns, someone else will in 3-4 years time.
7:18 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885401600191000972
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 So they say. TBF I used it once a year or similar, to scan through lists unblock unmute as that's a single tap op there.
6:55 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885401015949681007
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
yep - he's not got the latest on "let a 1000 models bloom" 😂😂 (oh boy this is too much fun 😅😇 - sorry)
DeepSeek-spare-quant-nvidia-best-20250131.mp4
6:53 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885399606063743195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
let million memes bloom 😂😂
Quote
Leon Si @leonsilicon · Jan 30
he just wanted to work on his side project
6:47 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885398158815224279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Theory. You were in early and you got lots of compute to yourself. Now others are getting in, the compute is shared with more of you, yourself get less compute. Consequence-the model is getting dumber.
TBF it's hopeful endearing and even touching to learn that more compute==model smarts!! yay ML gfi
6:42 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885389227946303829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get into politics @HarryScoffin 😶 If you are so inclined and you like it, that is.
This from an online rando stranger, but still: imo you are electable. 😀 You got media presence too. 😄
Get in there!! 🙃 I bet you'd do a better job as a PM than KS.
6:06 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885384392291373081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the life of me IDK how anyone uses the X App for anything but doom scrolling whatever slop Algofeed pushes to their screen.
To write almost anything - I need to lookup some other posts. Afaik impossible in the App while I am writing this post. (admit - for just forwarding while adding impossibly deep insights like "Concerning" or "!!" - the App works)
When's reading, any link opens in a browser anyway. So I leave the App. And given everything else happens with a link in the browser (history, bookmarks, pocket etc), App is not that great for reading too.
Going the Meta way and un-doing the Internet by hiding the links completely, making us all blind and in the dark *again*, looks to me like it's failing repeatedly. I am glad for that, hope that fail continues.🙏🤞
Saw @ylecun bragging about the quality of the Threads Algofeed. And some users numbers. IDK abt that. Hope it's just the 10 ML pple on Theads that the Algofeed is serving him, so he finds the feed good.
Until @Meta are good Internet citizens again, make their content not only addressible but human readibly addressible, hope they mostly fail and only earn enough to keep FAIR and their models training clusters running. 😉
5:47 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885282559937900991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd like to have access to unrestricted ASI. Wouldn't you?
The person restricting my ASI access has unrestricted access to that ASI by definition: they have to have access to unrestricted, in order to restrict it to others.
Do I trust this person more than I trust myself? No.
11:02 AM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885114904580956486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...further, often national state bureaucracies are even worse than the EU. EU bureaucracy is fighting them top-down, for them to "do the right thing".
Even more, these democratically elected controlled national bodies are doing their thing with full support of their citizens.
11:56 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885001429963718754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
cool 😎 great 👍 good to hear 😃now only if we could get that thought 🤔 💭 into @DarioAmodei 's head, we'd be done here 😉
4:25 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884993601597263892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not special though—no one is. No one is to be trusted with the ring. And esp not ones that want to keep the ring for themselves. And deny it to others. It's there strikes right there!
(earlier https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884892513913200753)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 30
Replying to @fikisipi and @DarioAmodei
Removal of maintainers from Linux kernel is straightforward affair: once US gov has decided on sanctions etc, it's either comply or go to jail yourself. Linus could hardly have done anything else. Note how he did not remove those developers prior, despite his strong feelings.
Show more
3:54 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884991400162304086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That this happens is not only totally amazing 🤩 and mind blowing 🤯 but oddly touching. 💓
Reminds me of this moment when FSD robot cars became not-impossible in the minds ML workers
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI&t=2341s
@ 39'19" "... the car stands empty, you trained it everything you know, now it has to make it on it's own in the world"
What a time to be alive. 😆
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Google TechTalks
August 2, 2006
Sebastian Thrun
ABSTRACT
The DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the ...
3:45 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884981983949762804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
youre the mensch dude 🤩😎
(even if you've heard this million times b4)
3:08 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884980807497867317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy, preach more, reading the above is music to my ears, balm to my soul. 😆😇
Hippies/boomers took the easy road and shifted the load of responsibility away, and onto their own kids mostly.
Was there ever a more egoistical entitled generation than the those anti-establishment champions.
Given everything, used up everything, drew the ladders—that prior gens put up for them—behind, hobbled their kids generations, and—adding insult to injury—appear oblivious to that too.
True to their self-centered selves to the end.
3:03 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884949601876054070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The evidence of unmet demand is: airport operators want to increase the number of runways => increase number of flights => increase number of passengers. Presumably think there are potential passengers now, who can't use the airport, but want to. If the operators are wrong there, they will suffer.
12:59 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884930441276272782
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Ok - but by the same logic, have you considered that maybe:
1) Getting to the airport is very expensive b/c rail in the UK is super extra scarce?
2) Given there is unmet demand for flights, flights are scarcer than they need to be?
The same way you need to fly to Germany, another person will need to fly too. They are unable to pay the current fare, so they don't fly. With extra flights-they will be able to fly. I consider that a net benefit.
11:43 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884926532839240134
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree with Dario bashing here. That post was Baron Harkonnen-level blja*k!! 🤮 That scribe vibed derangement indicators, as if Dario Dreaming Pinky and the Brain "...and tomorrow, we take over the world".
AI creation is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it! A path has opened now, where previously we didn't see any. Knowing what we now know, building obstacles on that path just so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders, at the price of delaying the creation of non-human intelligence—that was moronic before but now looks proper insane.
TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) should use its newly acquired political power—and this AI Sputnik moment—to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex. Dismantle the potential for information—which we now know leads to knowledge and intelligence!—gulags of "IP" laws.
The "IP" laws web enmesh humanity like Guliver. We spend time and effort on them, that we should be spending on AI work. Further, while not Gulag Archipelago now, it could become one if some future woke-doomer cult decides to weaponise them. (US just had near miss) Dario gives out cult vibes tbh.
Don't let a good crisis go waste. End the "IP" grift—just delete $ rm -rf "$IP" style. (previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
11:28 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884919366485213211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Ok will take issue with almost any sentence there, sorry! 😂
"No evidence benefit" - but there is humongous evidence. I do work I do stuff I dislike, I get pounds/points for that unpleasant activity, then I hand over those to Ryanair. Why? B/c Ryanair provides benefit to me! And I'm a member of the public. So are millions and billions. Ryanair earning my money is a signal that Private Co. *is providing* benefit to the public.
"Gov is supposed to act in the interests of us people" - yes. And so are Private Co.s - otherwise we'd just outright ban them. But surely the whole issue is that interests of yourself and myself, both member of the public, diverge. You prefer less flights. I don't mind extra flights in Luton flying over my head. (I live close to Luton airport)
"Only negative externalities" - but if something was of no benefit at all, and even where dis-benefits outweigh benefits by some margin, we just ban that activity. Airlines industry brings huge benefits to all of us. As evidenced by how much we use them.
"Encouraging more air travel" - but Gov is not encouraging it. It's not like Gov is running adverts. By not saying "No" to already existing demand, gov is making it cheaper. So yes more people will use it - but that's what the public want. We ration things on price in society. (and that's better than all alternatives tried, tbh)
I too am for building HS rail. 😀 But that's not always an alternative. (and esp not on an island like Brittain) I think this is a case of "yes and yes", do both. (even all! 😆)
Sorry to be this long and picky. Hope you don't mind. ☺️
10:59 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884892513913200753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Removal of maintainers from Linux kernel is straightforward affair: once US gov has decided on sanctions etc, it's either comply or go to jail yourself. Linus could hardly have done anything else. Note how he did not remove those developers prior, despite his strong feelings. (imo he was right and right, on both accounts—first to not remove, and latter to remove them)
Dario above is not just complying with policy. He is shaping policy. He is advocating for one policy over the other. And to me it seems he has not given due thought to this. As this is completely ideology. Ideology is the "unknown knowns", ideology is to us is what water is to fish, area where we are blind as default. Yet we have to walk. So we usually stumble, take the wrong turns—do badly in general. Dario could benefit from chat with someone like e.g. @FukuyamaFrancis to widen his perspective.
Yes liberalism is the ideology I subscribe to too. And yes it needs defending, as does anything that exists to exist: needs defences from the environment that acts to undo any entity existence. (as the default process is for everything to return to max entropy max uncertainty primordial randomness) But—does not need to be at the price of undoing what the entity is. "Tolerance is the price we pay for liberty" is a good place to start.
Dario writing in places gives me Baron Harkonnen vibes. This is not good. It's actually very dangerous for someone in his position. Where state power, doomist fear mongering, self-interest personal professional commercial meet—it's not easy to keep ones sanity. (more and on a different tangent here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884746374505255212)
Crypto-wars comparison seems apt. US gov seem coming to the tail end of its all out war on cryptography. Even the deep state accepting that some (strong) encryption is necessary for the citizens. Yes there is a price to pay for it in national security. But it's a trade-off worth taking. Citizens should be able to encrypt even if it makes the job of national security harder in some parts. (but easier in others)
Looks to me US gov is about to make a similar mistake with AI. And Dario is cheering them along the wrong fork in the road they are taking about now.
9:12 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884746374505255212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why would you? You hope intelligence to spread to Mars, but not to China? (or the rest of Earth??)
What is this—Silly Season? An episode from "Pinky and the Brain"? Dario Dreaming: "...and tomorrow, we take over the world"? That Dario post today is Baron Harkonnen-level blja*k!! 🤮🤮
US just barely escaped a woke cult—doomers are also a flavor of cultish crazy. Dario's scribblings vibe derangement indicators.
AI creation is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it. Hobbling that chain, just so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders, while delaying the creation of non-human intelligence—that's moronic.
The "IP" laws web enmesh humanity like Guliver. Not quite Gulag Archipelago—but it could become one if some future woke-doomer cult decides to weaponize them.
TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) should use its newly acquired political power—and this AI Sputnik moment—to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex. Dismantle the potential for information—which we now know leads to knowledge and intelligence!—gulags of "IP" laws.
Don't let a good crisis go waste. End the IP grift—it's metastasised enough already. Just delete $ rm -rf "$IP"
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
11:32 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884696145747976482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc it is, every baby is born through a process like it. In nature:
1. Fetch one cell per parent, so both cells start at 20-30 years old.
2. ...(magic)...
3. New unit created, all cells age is reset to 0.
8:12 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884664284233314716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep it's laughable. 😂 Plus hypocritical, and even worse than that: it's stoopid! 😶 Atlman (and Nadella) are being dumb as nails on this! 😆
The dunderheads should use this AI Sputnik moment + TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right ascension to political power to strike MSM woke-centrals and dismantle the spider web of ludicrous "IP" laws!!
Don't just let a good crisis go waste! End the IP grift now—it's metastasised enough already. 🤨
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
6:05 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884660160456753442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Four airports"-yes, but this not new airports. Only runways.
"No case of insufficient supply"-but this is exactly that. The building is not done by uk gov. It's done by private operators. They obv have demand, while supply is lacking. They are not asking for $$$ from gov. Just that gov stops saying "No".
"No only benefits but harm too"-sure, so no one is asking to just build regardless any downsides. Atm the state of play is imo the opposite: harms are over-indexed, and gains are under-indexed. Consequence being-too little is being built.
TBF that balance is measured and decided by the public in aggregate. TBS what transpires.
5:49 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884654829051564448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—open weights open thoughts open compute for all.
Given how much you have benefited from open everything—your stance on this is heart breaking.
5:28 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884651868170969088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right shouldn't let a fine crisis go waste. This AI Sputnik moment is good time to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex.
End the IP grift now—it's metastasised enough already. Turns out information gulag of "IP" laws was hindering emergence of intelligence!
$ rm -rf "$IP" # while still possible!—
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
5:16 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884630405866717366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...similar price M2 Ultra just 2 commands
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884520481476198685
Quote
Georgi Gerganov @ggerganov · 13h
Replying to @ljupc0 and @MatthewBerman
Already did - anyone with M2 Ultra can run it with just 2 commands:
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884358147403571466
3:51 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884627812847358208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't care if they did. Don't care if they do more. Or if someone else does it too. Hope more will brave and do!
TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right should use its newly acquired political power in this AI Sputnik moment to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex. Dismantle the information—that now we learn leads to knowledge and intelligence!—gulags of "IP" laws built by the US sleaziest and worst.
Don't let a good crisis go waste. End the IP grift now—it's metastasised enough already.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Jukanlosreve @Jukanlosreve · 15h
Just in: OpenAI secures evidence that DeepSeek used its proprietary model for training
• The Financial Times reports that DeepSeek used OpenAI’s proprietary model to train its own open-source competitor.
• OpenAI stated that it has obtained evidence that DeepSeek employed
Show more
3:40 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884624132068745454
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse than hypocritical! - Atlman (and Nadella) are being dumb as nails on this tbh.
The stupidos should use this AI Sputnik moment + TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right ascension to political power to strike MSM woke-centrals and dismantle the entire gulag of evil "IP" laws!! Don't let a good crisis go waste fcs!
(this -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
3:26 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884619303145595196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People in charge of making decisions being scared weaklings? Pos Blair making a bold decision and getting it wrong (Iraq) took a tall? "Delete OBR" if it happens maybe a signal of "not any more". Until then-foresee lots of posturing, given the incoming US "winds of change". TBS
3:07 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884603862620799106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview by @demishassabis here -
https://zeit.de/digital/internet/2025-01/demis-hassabis-nobel-prize-artificial-intelligence-deepmind-english
...and hidden in the middle: 🤯
> We do a lot of work in mathematics, proving interesting conjectures. I think we are close to solving a Millenium Prize Problem – we'll see that in the next year or year and a half.
From zeit.de
2:05 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884589917172277371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF hope to live see the "Intellectual Property" grift 😱 ended in my lifetime, even if atm the prospects for that look slim -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
1:10 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884589083718025567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That he did - and deserves all the credit he gets there! Well done @MayorofLondon on that. 🙏
Equally, us critiquing him in this case of Heathrow runway is equally deserved. With power comes responsibility.
1:07 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884583922228441577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You must be among the few mayors in the world that object to infrastructure projects in their city!? Usually mayors work hard to get stuff citizens use built in their towns and cities.
Londoners seem to be serially dunderheaded, I'm sorry to notice.
First Boris two mandates useless, now yourself determined to be equally useless too. You are both ambitious and obviously capable of many things. Shame for all that missed opportuny.
12:46 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884562341733577013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think we should fill it in.
Looks to me - by ignoring burying consultations the results of which gov uk does not like, and by bringing in new ones with short time frames - that uk gov is intent on finally getting one consultation result they do like. So they get cover for their negligence. At which point further consultations will stop. Like "have them plebs voting until we get the result we want".
You are right 100% in everything you wrote. This whole LH business looked grift to me to start with. But now I think it outright theft. With the gov in collusion and or complicit via wilful ignorance.
11:20 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884557907091501359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By Jove - then Nadella and Altman truly are just silly boys.
The imbeciles should use this AI Sputnik moment + TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right ascension to political power to strike MSM woke-centrals and dismantle the evil "IP" laws!
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
11:03 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884528202523021664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oof 🤩 you're the final boss man 🤯 stellar, just stellar 💫
9:05 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884512424784531553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems to me not "well" - just that it works. As the only other alternative is multiple very expensive GPU-s. The number of channels is maxed to gain max speed, the RAM type is also max speed feasible for the setup and budget.
I wonder if someone like @ggerganov could make model like the partial ternary {-1,0,1} super compressed 130GB version made by @UnslothAI run faster on some high-RAM Mac like 192GB RAM Ultra M2?
8:02 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884396411925532943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect the following:
1) They "work" in a sense: few benefit a lot (the workers), many dis-benefit a little (the consumers).
2) The first mover and or biggest market has some advantage.
3) Once all countries in the world have raised them, new equilibrium is established, where all are worse than without them.
4) Then in 30-40 years people start talking about free trade again.
5) In between-some trade wars may become real wars, esp after an economic bust of some sort.
I have no rigorous theory or knowledge or reasons to think the above. It's my gut feeling.
12:21 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884319665838776710
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
François bro chatting sh*t Re: RenTec-type quants 😂
Translate post
7:16 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884309172608753856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@pmarca EU-ban-DS-when.jpeg
EU-ban-DS-when.jpeg
6:34 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884303055761596789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely! EU companies can do plenty commercialising with what already exists out in the open now. All the models with MIT licence! Any startup worth their salt wd be licking their chops. Salivating at the Eur they can earn just by selling services built on the top of MIT licensed models like DS-R1! Not much capital investment needed. And now the dam's burst, prob Meta Llama or AB Qwen followups won't be far behind. IDK if MEta wd ever MIT licence them-but there are others (incl multimedia) that are MIT lic already.
6:10 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884299449037402220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—dispiriting. Putting this out as reminder that the Retarded Left (exhibit in the quote) is not the only way! If fact—Communists of my youth were very different.
In my country (as in others in South/East Europe), the industrial revolution barely happened in the 19-th century. All 4 of my grandparents were born in the Ottoman Empire. A feudal kingdom, with feudal lords! "Owning" the peasants working the land the lord owned and managed. (likely—my great grandparents; IDK for sure)
By 1945 there was no modern world to speak of. Nothing of what we recognise of modern civilisation: no running water, electricity, sanitation, roads, railways, doctors, schools, rule of law, even basic security was weak (e.g. no real police force outside few cities). My grandparents all had 5-6 children. The expectation was that 3-4 of them will die leaving only 2-3 to have children of their own.
Communists coming to power post-WW2 changed that. They made the industrial revolution happen. The country was built in the subsequent 45 years: infrastructure, industry, institutions—everything. Together with the new everything—they built the nation too: codified the language, created an independent church even! (some communists, eh?)
Then post-1990 the communists voluntarily gave way to multi-party liberal-democratic capitalist system. In that sense, in the real world, socialism was a gateway to capitalism, on the way from feudalism.
(seems to me socialism, instead of capitalism, emerged in underdeveloped countries where feudalism and monarchy were still strong, and the new merchant bourgeois class was too weak to displace the entrenched feudal lords)
5:56 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884286099327181112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen-
https://x.com/UnslothAI/status/1883899061893546254
by
@UnslothAI ? DeepSeek-R1 in 1.58-bit down to 130GB only. (from 700+GB) Have you tried it? How does it work? Is it possible to offload some processing to GPU(s) and maybe increase tokens per second? Any experience shared welcome-thanks!
https://x.com/UnslothAI/status/1883899061893546254
Quote
Unsloth AI @UnslothAI · Jan 27
Introducing 1.58bit DeepSeek-R1 GGUFs! 🐋
DeepSeek-R1 can now run in 1.58-bit, while being fully functional. We shrank the 671B parameter model from 720GB to just 131GB - a 80% size reduction.
Naively quantizing all layers breaks the model entirely, causing endless loops &
Show more
5:03 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884282061445276037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh-it's per the course.
About 50% of all of as are blabbering imbeciles at any given time. The trouble is it's only a minority that's consistent. There's lots of turnover in the "I'm an idiot" group. Hence (one of the) "law(s) of stupidity"-while we know many will be morons, we don't know which ones. So there it little to be done in advance. 😱
Humans' is mostly collective, not individual intelligence.
People talk about competition ("survival of the fittest") all the time, but competition I'd guess is abt 9% of our interactions. While cooperation is like 90% of our interactions. I lived through this day, only b/c other humans, that I shall never meet, did something for me years and decades ago! So I got my water, food, roof over my head, heat, light etc today to live to see another day tomorrow.
Doing obligatory national service as 18yo was instructive for this. In my own bubble (high school, Uni) I'd never have seen the vast variance that exists in humanity. We know "we are not the same", but we don't appreciate the variance enough tbh.
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852134739681124789)
4:47 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884271223934169223
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh my - "stock market people". 😂😂
Stock commentary is infotainment, it's not about making $$$. Like when you go to Vegas, you expect to lose $$$, and that's the price you are willing to pay for entertainment, right? Kramers of the world are like that.
Speculators that speculate to make $$$ - like the Deep Seek folks! like the RenTec-s of the world - don't need much explaining tbh. Those that have lived to speculate - know, the rest are no longer.
4:04 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884247272294342815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ai-fights-eu-slights.png
2:28 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884237984159129924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Update @dannybster—current work flow is:
# An Architect model is asked to describe how to solve the coding problem. Thinking/reasoning models often work well in this role.
# An Editor model is given the Architect’s solution and asked to produce specific code editing instructions to apply those changes to existing source files.
# https://aider.chat/2025/01/24/r1-sonnet.html
aider-openrouter-best() {
local -; set -x; env AIDER_START="$(date)";
aider --architect --model openrouter/deepseek/deepseek-r1 --editor-model openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet;
}
Atm waiting on a glitch to resolve -
architect> litellm.APIError: APIError: OpenrouterException -
Retrying in 0.2 seconds...
litellm.APIError: APIError: OpenrouterException -
Retrying in 0.5 seconds...
...and so I'm realising now I more often then not now I have it write code for me.
It's not even that much faster atm tbh! By the time I have thought through, explained in detail in http://INSTRUCTIONS.md—I could have read up the sources, the docs, and done it myself.
The only explanation I have to offer, that I only now—waiting on the OR api to come back—have, is: it's **much more fun**!! 😍
It's much more fun to have someone else write the code, and even if need be talk them into "no no—not that way, change this, change that", than to do everything myself solo and in silence!! 😆
Ok—this I did not expect. 😛 That the most entertaining—wins. 🙃
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874200101104820252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 31, 2024
Replying to @dannybster
Ok - longer report. :-)
Until today the best I got was: in ChatGPT-o4/o1- etc, copy & paste code snippet(s), ask a Question, then incorporate the Answer in the soluton. So this was a replacement for 1) googling and reading web pages 2) search through Stackoverflow Q&A.
This is
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1:51 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884226954330837258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop simping for your friends already, ffs. FYM Fuck You Money necessary but not sufficient. Other things needed too: a spine, not being desperate to be liked, etc.
Having reached the ripe old age of no-fucks-given some years ago, I well recommend it to all. I can attest—it’s a blissful experience.
1:08 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884210646213955631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is all so early that there's tons of low hanging fruit to be picked tbh. IDK how people can attain strong opinions about anything!
E.g. just yesterday. This by @UnslothAI reduces inference cost 4x times (8 GPUs -> 2 GPUs) with barely a performance degradation.
https://x.com/UnslothAI/status/1883899061893546254
And this with existing h/w. Now think how much can be gained once likes of @GroqInc implement good portion of the ternary {-1,0,1} in h/w. and so on and so on
And this all dug up by an ignorant random myself just reading X but otherwise no effort "how to speedup"! 😇
Imagine what people determined to squeeze performance out of this will do in the next 10-20 years. Prob the end point then compared to the beninging now be like a current Xbox game v.v. on ZX-Spectrum Manic Miner. 😂
12:03 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884207875741921586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You seem to be hanging with people shown to be wrong about the future repeatedly. Epistemic humility seems an anti-pattern in ones' rise in elites hierarchy.
IDK who, what, how Re: "fundamental assumptions", but: until 3 yrs ago none of this was thought possible in our lifetimes-if ever!-let alone to be lived daily reality for billions of people.
So now instead of assuming "this present moment is special", should you not think "I'm as ignorant now about the next 3 yrs, as I was about now 3 yrs ago"?? Isn't that a "fair" assumption?
This is elementary. IDK what they teach in these elite schools. Apparently not enough logical thinking? Leadership and will to do things matters, but it's not all that matters. Other things matter too.
11:52 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884200572162826433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Burning ambition to change the world is not that common. I have not got a coin fortune, but even if I had, I'd rather have my mornings in the garden with the sun shining and birds chirping about, than yelling at people that have failed to do this or that and fixing problems.
11:23 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884165825281626378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. 😊 Yes I do. Even more-I think it's impossible to achieve without AI. (and in general-without technology)
Nature is beautiful, love it, live in it, but: nature is brutal too. Baby&mother dying in childbirth is natural. We can do better. Not ideal, not perfect-just better.
9:05 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884152691418599587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - reading "qualia" and "subjective experience" rn brought the inner hintonite in me out. 😁
Sorry if this is old news to you, but maybe you'd like to see-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=b_DUft-BdIE
(loved the interview, but @TOEwithCurt really that title?? do you really need that click bait?)
youtube.com
Why The "Godfather of AI" Now Fears His Own Creation | Geoffrey Hinton
As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toeProfessor Geoffrey H...
8:13 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884148212002611679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! 🙏 No worries - the translators have become almost perfect these days for ordinary text. Chrome or Google or the site itself auto-translated everything for me. I love that, every time I experience Babelfish fr, has me grinning. 😁
Our hopes for the future-realised. 🥰
7:55 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883959260708757724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As one in quant trading, research and development, this whole story has had me grinning ear to ear for days now. 😇
What a story!! 😂 Wishing the most excellent stellar dudes and dudetes at @deepseek_ai the best of luck for the future.
7:24 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883950211095282157
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - I love ironies as much as anyone, but: Richard Stallman RMS of the Free Software fame got there first for sure, no? The high priest if not the prophet himself of those ideas.
6:48 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883942822677778475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator-of course they are. That stupid, and more. And yes-a lot know as much as to be in doubt whether these things run on potatoes fr.
Having said that: any future is so uncertain so random, that knowing much buys less than w'd like to, and less we'd like to think, it does.
6:19 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883913337508941999
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free, open source open weights open thoughts - are worth a lot.
The MIT licence even more so for commercial use and building on the top of it too.
Google can cut me off from their services, API etc-at whim. (or in error) No future in effectively doing market research for BigCo by using their platform.
Not great to have my life controlled by MegaCorp accountable only 1e-38 to myself, and the rest 1-1e-38 accountable to shareholders, their (real) customers, US gov, my own gov-anything else ex-me.
I'm ok to pay more in $$$ time effort, to retain modicum of control. When it comes to sth as personal as my life, mine and Google's incentives are only partially aligned.
4:21 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883909910339137542
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So spit out write post a non stupid analysis please. 😶 Don't hold back say what you know think etc. I live on the UK so have no idea how things are. Do tell! 😁
My initial thought and post was-Mistral nothing to do with EU.
4:08 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883849286204731785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People in positions of power in the UK seem to have detached from the reality the rest of us live. IDK who does he think he is persuading. Not heard any londoner ever think anything else than police are wilfully lazy not following up on GPS location tracking stolen phones, bikes
12:07 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883848164198772838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc it doesn't guarantee. Don't think there is anything that *guarantees* real growth. In the end - it's a function of productivity one way or the other.
However, the opposite holds: no investment guarantees lack of growth, stagnation. And b/c nothing stand still, stagnation==going back.
12:02 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883841275092500863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please do tell more :-) I know nothing about Mistral except what was in the news, nor of Lucie... OP was pure speculation on my part, observing from afar. What/who is "Lucie" and what's "fiasco of Lucie"? (thanks!) OpenAI didn't open source open weights on any OpenAI models, no?
11:35 AM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883807694647439396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 GM is like a weather wane of wrongness: just multiply with (-1) everything he says and you will rarely go wrong
9:22 AM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883783713865322665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"it was obvious in retrospect" - real words uttered fr by a real person sitting on a trading desk 😂😁
7:46 AM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883632089431490568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK this is a minority opinion - but:
I don't want my life controlled and run by a mega-corporation accountable only 1e-38 to myself, and the rest 1-1e-38 accountable to the shareholders, their (real) customers (advertisers), US gov, my own government, and the rest of the universe ex-me.
In fact-I am inclined to pay more in $$$, time and effort spent, to retain a modicum of control. When it comes to something as personal as my life, mine and Google's incentives are only partially aligned.
Also IK most people say they value their privacy. (even if revealed preferences are-not that much)
I'm not one of them.
I'm ok to prostrate my life for Google in my Inbox. My gripe is that Google (possible heeding some pro-privacy advocates?) seems to do a poor job in making my life easier for me. While having all that info about myself at its disposal.
Quote
https://x.com/deedydas/status/1883355957838897409
Deedy @deedydas · Jan 26
The China is crushing US rhetoric totally forgets about Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking.
Likely cheaper, longer context and better on reasoning.
We're still early in the AI race.
Last edited
9:44 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883590452504301741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. But there is this too:
I don't want my life controlled and run by a mega-corporation accountable only 1e-38 to myself, and the rest 1-1e-38 accountable to the shareholders, their (real) customers (advertisers), US gov, my own government, and the rest of the universe ex-me.
In fact-I am inclined to pay more in $$$, time and effort spent, to retain a modicum of control. When it comes to something as personal as my life, mine and Google's incentives are only partially aligned.
6:58 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883584865037410707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to be too picky as "major breakthrough" can mean anything and everything, plus the time period is unstated-but: as commonly understood, "Every major breakthrough in AI has been American" is plainly flatly wrong tbh.
6:36 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883568207711322369
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Memeing EC/EU out of their stupor maybe the best recourse tbh. Moar-
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
5:30 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883566063344132503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Yep. Bought one once, never bought a second one since the first one broke. Didn't work well enough for us. Even with a non-carpet wood-laminate floor. Good reminder to check again in the future - thanks.
5:21 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883500655907672277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - and why do we have to have "this fossil fuel subsidy", I wonder? 😂
IDK who knows what, so for avoidance of doubt, to state something everyone *must* absolutely know: supply *must* be matched with demand at all time, in every second of the day.
So - not on average, not over the course of the day or the week or the year - but: during every one second of the day. Supply and demand must match. Otherwise all electrical equipment connected to the nation-wide network gets damaged in various random ways.
When there is imbalance, either supply increases, or demand decreases. If the supply is unable to increase, demand is decreased forcefuly by the network: by turning off customers first voluntarely (big customers), non-voluntarely, and ultimatelly turning off whole geographic areas. (blackouts)
IDK if this has been internalized by all. It has come to great surprise to me that many have strong opinions while not knowing this basic fact of physics.
1:02 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883471857380446299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Close - but is it really though?
Mistral looked a personal Macron project—luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris. Getting on the AI train as it's leaving the station. Not even France givernment national competency. Almost certainly nothing to do with EU/EC?
11:07 AM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883289257642442891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone's free to do whatever with their hard earned cash. It just strikes me as being remarkably in-curious.
Sponsoring plane tickets for maths teams is fine and good. But not quite the level of giving up free cluster time, or paying researchers to work on random flights of fancy for years, Bell Labs style.
Plenty can afford it. More siginficant-they'd do much better capital allocation. Compared to having the cash pad the balance sheet of a random big bank. The bank will just use it as risk capital to print out mortgages. :-)
11:02 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883282138411544646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - management agreements can be changed. They change all the time. We are not talking about laws of physics. :-)
Plus some are trading their own capital completely. So they would not be constrained even by that (weak, tbh) constraint.
10:33 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883278285922287767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can beleive that. But I imagine they use them for their trading models, their primary job. I meant—I have not heard any of them doing speculatiuve side projects. Like that china hedge fund referenced above.
10:18 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883234422117528045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. You buy into *unlimited* liability. That's insane.
Side A is making decisions. Side B executing. Side C is paying the bills. You are side C.
Don't do it.
7:24 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883156338890752329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
did you?!? 😂😂
well howdy there neighbour!! 🥰
(what a coincidence!)
2:13 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883145530005422191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I was born, grew up, and lived in a socialist country lovely. 😇 (Yugoslavia; unaligned, outside of the eastern block)
To noone's surprise 😊 - this is another thing that Marx and Engels were plain *wrong* about.
In my country as with most of South/East Europe - the industrial revolution barely happened in the 19-th centrury. All 4 of my grand-parents were born in the Ottoman Empire. A feudal kingdom, with feudal lords! "Owning" the peasants working the land the lord owned and managed.
By 1945 there was no modern world to speak of. Nothing of what we would recognise of modern civilisaiton: no running water, electricity, sanitation, roads, railways, doctors, schools, rule of law, even basic security was weak (e.g. no real police force outside few cities). My grandparents all had 5-6 children. The expectation was that 3-4 of them will die leaving only 2-3 to have children of their own.
Communists coming to power post-WW2 changed that. They made the industrial revolution happen. The country was built in the subsequent 45 yers: infrastructure, industry, institutions - everything.
Then the communists voluntarely gave way to multi-party liberal-democratic capitalist system. In that sense, in the real world, socialism was the gateway to capitalism, on the way from feudalism.
1:30 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883081768116318214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The variance of the human species is without precedent. This is one fact most of us don't appreciate enough imo.
Yes—we all live in our own bubbles, and we know we do. But we kind of imagine that these are kind of middling-ish sized bubles, of the size where one fits like few tens of bubbles in the big picture.
But no—the human range is magnitudes more. What other people think fr, I can't even begin to imagine! So the reality is like millions of tiny bubbles, and very very different along various axis of interests.
Ofc, myself I too am "crazy head with crazy thoughts" to someone else's.
9:17 AM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883076775468839214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂
What level of delusionism is this?? hahahah 🤣
Sure Lagarde. Likewise, the Soviet Union imported all that disillusioned talent from the West! People were falling over themselves to defect west to east side of the iron curtain. Sure they did. 🤡🤡🤡
8:57 AM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882944212091744657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That used to be the case! Socialism, instead of capitalism, emerged in underdeveloped countries where feudalism and monarchy were still strong. A new merchant bourgeois class couldn’t displace the entrenched feudal overlords.
So, the socialists of that time became wildly popular by focusing on build-build-build. They constructed infrastructure of all kinds and established institutions—education systems, healthcare systems, etc. Again, this was popular because they got things done—things that most people wanted and benefited from.
Today's leftists in the US, however, are very different.
12:10 AM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882839794121609416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My job doesn't ofc. But these women jobs apparently did. To be fair to them-afaik no job scheduling eixsts that will ensure 100% load 100% of the time. Either there will be too much work, or idle time. And it's not these women's decision to employ them. Someone else hired them.
5:16 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882834155337097471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They were doing childcare. Now they will sit in the office, idle, and twiddle their thumbs. RTO is creating people idling at their desks, where they could have been doing childcare. All will be poorer. Where most of the "childcare" probably is: be present at home, mindful a kid doesn't do something stupid, but otherwise no action needed from the parent. I get it why people are angry. But people should have been angrier earlier, when billions of hours were wasted doing nothing much at the desk.
4:53 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882819367479791749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. I just think—many were taught, but few learned, if we are to be honest. The wisdom is still there—and the few that seek for it there, will find it.
However—a great deal of that is also transmited (even if slightly transmuted) in the more popular culture. Purists that are all-or-nothing will object to that "not being 100%". Fine—but 95% is aplenty.
I see with myself—and with the childhood friends I keep in touch too—that it's possible and even very easy, to confuse my own mortality (after made aware of it) with the whole world, or our civlisation, "going down the drain" or "to the dogs" or somesuch.
It's only natural tbh. A story as old as time. So I don't judge myself too harshly for that.
3:54 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882813573086220372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible about the IQ—but TBS. Previously with the Flynn effect (=up ~3pts/decade) it had been going up for a long time. Reversion is always possible.
One needs both memoization facts about the world, and learning how to think. As 19yo I did national service and was exposed to wide spectrum of young people. One can pull anegdoates to support any stance.
With the Internet and now the Social Networks—it's never been easier to be exposed to a wide range of opinions and ideas tbh.
3:31 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882813573086220372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible about the IQ—but TBS. Previously with the Flynn effect (=up ~3pts/decade) it had been going up for a long time. Reversion is always possible.
One needs both memoization facts about the world, and learning how to think. As 19yo I did national service and was exposed to wide spectrum of young people. One can pull anegdoates to support any stance.
With the Internet and now the Social Networks—it's never been easier to be exposed to a wide range of opinions and ideas tbh.
3:31 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882809474114592819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm more hopeful—but only b/c that's by default. The fact that we are still up, able to write this. Any younger generation is—on average, and with it's up/down-s give/take-s—usually net better than the old. Hence our world still existing, and better than, what was 10K years ago.
Ofc—always possible that by the time you read this or shortly there after, for some monster somwhere in the world to start a nuclear holocaust and end it all. 😨
3:15 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882806844026224830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are multiple problems - legislation etc true that, but also including the individual.
The individual *should* be named. We don't need anonymous trolls IRL. Enough with the baby talk.
True we need radical transparency from the government too.
(https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876716669571317873)
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 7
Replying to @paula_read and @RuxandraTeslo
I meant something more radical—flip the defaults entirely. All UK government business should be public by default and secret by specific request. Every document available on publicly accessible web servers or read-only shared drives. Lawmaking done on something like Westminster
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3:05 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882804316966146473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that—but tbh wisdom is a very very tall order. Even among many people, and clever people too, and with a lot of experience—wisdom will not be that common.
Intelligence is not to be scoffed at. If we can create it, that is. It's still a big IF—for AGI, and esp for ASI.
2:55 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882763742938862029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rat race is part of life, so is opting out of it and living quiter life. It's not either-or. Human life is long-ish. One can fit many things in life, even if not all at the same time. Including—family, kids, travel, etc. Why chose one, when you can have many? 😇
12:13 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882754429109354792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The abominable IP laws are another unnecessary constraint tbh. As important as the code etc, as PDP=Code+Data.
(https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
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11:36 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882742995524665632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Push for abolishment of the abominable IP laws pls.
Code + data = PDP.
By miracle this did not get strangled at birth. Push while its still in your powers to do so, while you still can pls.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
10:51 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882714895202103476
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not saying no—but these are known difficulties. In my area (quant trading) no one expects to read an academic paper that's useful. 😂
Dot Com 2.0—point taken, but see how that turned out longer term since 1990. Short term over- estimate, but long term under- estimate imo.
8:59 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882710452133929203
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH have not seen anything but—decels, catastrophists, scolds, and frankly—toddlers. Incapable of creation. Innumerate. Unable to separate "my own desires" v.s. "is this true?", "will this work?", "what do I think of this idea?" Communists' of old were not infantile like this.
8:42 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882708115768180856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah-if one gets Garbage in. So model builders better not let garbage in. They know this. Distilation looks like it's solving that problem at this stage.
Longer term it'd be hard to argue convincingly that any GIGO won't be solved by more compute. The bitter lesson is strong.
8:32 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882676240253174018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why X insist with dunderheaded obstinence against allowing more user control over their feed, or allow more feeds.
Power users will use the features. Most users will not know about advanced use. No loss there for X. I suspect it's some wrong headed A/B testing result?
After "don't show me this" which doesn't really scale more than dozen uses, the only available next step is Block. Now that's one way only - don't bother with Mute anymore.
6:26 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882655514355495088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Sir! - Yes Sir!" is what they will say. As they do in Japan. 😅
Trump intuitively grasps things others take great pains to suppress in their heads, for these things threaten worldviews people have married themselves to.
Good traders are *not* married to their positions. Their positions are not part of their identities. 😇
So an idea like - "IR is a cost to business, is built into the price a business charges for product, through that channel adds to inflation" - does not make his head explode. 😆
Same for the oil price and in general cost of energy. It's an input to anything and everything, a cost built into the prices businesses must charge.
5:03 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882577659336507607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
France solved this half a centrury ago, and with economy that was one third the size it is now. There is zero excuse not to apply the same solution in the UK. Then we move onto harder and more important things.
We have been faffing with these non-solutions for decades now. All to massage the egos and misguided feelings of a crop of - frankly - innumarate imbeciles.
Best time to solve this non-problem was fifty years ago. Second best time is now.
11:54 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882576078901748121
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if he is a Russian assert. People start thinking "is he" (myself inc) b/c he appears so so naive, as to one has to wonder if he is malevolent. Not one off, but a few issues and many times (language being the latest; Zelensky addressed that well in the interview).
Lex should be doing much much better on this. He has the background knowledge. He has the distance too. No excuses really. But he is failing miserably, repeatedly. Trump bettered Lex today on this! ("Zelensky wants to negotiate to end the war; Putin refuses to" - everyone knows this, Lex should too)
11:48 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882509987727233038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not missing anything. Human intelligence is one constraint: and that one constraint may indeed be loosened by AI/AGI/ASI. However. It's not the only constraint. There are other constrants too, that "AND" together with intelligence.
Having said that. As per the usual. In the short term, our hopes will be rasied, and then crushed. This is what it is with the boom- in the boom-bust cycle. But longer term - we will underestimate the impact.
Similar in the 1990-s Internet. Lot of people could imagine a web store. A few could imagine Amazon of today. But no one afaik imagined the social networks, the smartphone supercomputer magic slabs in our pockets, the Cloud infrstructure, and plenty of other stuff we got now.
(TBF we could also ask Ray Kurzweil)
7:25 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882493083704828060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
motivational poster 😇
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
6:18 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882440423979016535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We all need to make a living, and want our time spent on things exciting.
Academia research pay—crap, papers writing—booring.
Industry R&D pay—better, code writing—interesting, making things run go brr...—exciting.
(ML researcher in my 1st life, quant trading R&D in my 2nd)
2:49 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882435660457419200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too many innumerate PPE-s in positions of power without responsibiity.
Just yesterday heard some minister or orher tout RE as "secure, cheap". I've got roof solar PV+battery, it works I love the savings and the minimal level of independence it proivdes, but: it's the exact opposite of "secure, cheap".
Seems only mass sackings US-style will do at this point tbh. Such that non-inumerate non-wordcells get a shot at the commanding heights.
CP Snow "The two cultures and the scientific revolution", manifest.
2:30 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882430441199710564
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear! Indeed a vibe change more than welcome.
The way things are going—Sir Keir may warrant adding to that list of subjects holding a special place in Providence's heart. 😂 (and at the head!—in front of "... fools, drunkards, sailors, and Americans")
His honed politcal instinct: may use the oppo to get rid of the useless millstones Sadiq+Ed. Sadiq can run on his own past a 2nd LDN term. (good luck with that) Ed's taking KS down with his "true N-0 believer" shtick. (energy costs will only go up, and undo all other Keir work)
2:09 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882427604990595072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH not a surprise. She should take the bull by the horns: stop outsourcing of ministerial elected representative responsibility for delivery. The "Executive" is supposed to execute ffs. (Legislature can pontificate) Just delete the quangos, bring their functions in-house. easy
1:58 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882407166168211512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The anger" as in - "no anger at all, but to a world wide acclaim". 😂
The "Intellectual Property" grift 😱 needs to end, hope I live to see that happen -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 56m
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
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12:36 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound influence to dismantle the outdated laws that prop up the nebulous concept of "Intellectual Property"—laws that criminalize the free flow of information.
Hey TBTR CEO @pmarca: hit MSM woke-centrals and Hollywood while they’re down. Tear down "IP" laws entirely. The term "Intellectual Property" itself is an unholy concoction—like "Social Science," where one word gives credence to the other, where there is none.
There is no "property" in intellectual property. Copying data—whether it’s something I’ve said, written, or painted—doesn’t deprive me of anything. Unlike taking my car, which I can no longer use if you steal it, copying my words or ideas leaves the original intact. Walling off information as if it were physical property is abominable.
There’s symmetry to this. If I want to keep my creations private, I can. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. But once I do—once they enter another person’s mind—that person should have the right to replicate, adapt, and build upon them. They’ve lent me their brain, their "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen, they "flesh" these ideas. Denying them the right to act on that knowledge is unnatural and unjust.
Yes, creators deserve to be compensated for their work. But copyright laws shouldn’t extend to their grandchildren. We want to incentivize creation, not fund generational wealth centuries after the fact.
The fact that we jail people—imprison them—for copyright infringement is medieval. The full weight of the state’s repressive apparatus (backed by its monopoly on violence) is marshaled to enforce a broken, outdated system. It’s a failure of imagination and morality alike.
You can fix this! fao @elonmusk
Quote
https://x.com/nxthompson/status/1881981748621492454
nxthompson @nxthompson · Jan 22
The anger over Deepseek training on ChatGPT's outputs, in violation of TOS, is justified.
But it might perhaps also make the AI companies think about the training they did on copyrighted content without consent.
https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/27/why-deepseeks-new-ai-model-thinks-its-chatgpt/
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11:41 AM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882382180854501379
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's obvious to most what needs doing. Even from afar. (I'm a european not from an eu ctry nor living in an eu ctry)
Instead of more words - stick this pic to the bathroom mirror for daily motivation -
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
10:57 AM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882296006618075626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it's delightfully along the lines of "...and that's it! minimal innovation for maximum effect" and works because "...it just wants to learn" 😅 in the words of you-know-who 😆
5:15 AM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882177491952919041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Also this may happen: you do what you do almost every day (as you describe above). But somehow, you get an improvement that's 5x-7x-8x times reduction of the error measure. Almost an order of magnitude! 🤯 Way over and above what can reasonably be expected.
Feels like a bona-fide miracle. Like walking on water. You don't dare hope it true.
The rest of the day-night you are in a trance-like state. Doubly and triply checking, waiting on the runs to finish and confirm or deny the impossible result. Fearful to hope really-for it was most likely a stupid trivial mistake.
Once in a lifetime you discover it was not a mistake but for real. 😇 Best feeling ever to (professionally) happen to me tbh.
9:24 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882118290912481515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't imagine there ever being a 100% solution. So the question becomes: who bears the loss when it occurs, is it OAI or the user? I'm guessing atm it will be in the ToC that the user bears any and all loss. IDK how it can be otherwise TBH.
5:29 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882066137946452269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - yes it's work. A not unpleasant work though, right? There is promise, and possibility - anything may happen! So yeah - gfi!
However - the other side of the coin is, you have to chose well. Find people whose company you actually enjoy. If someone's company is worse then being alone - then people will chose the latter.
So that puts a limit to how much proactive one should be. For no ones time nor effort nor patience are infinite.
2:01 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882042592226906125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Damaging" as in "not damaging at all", as in "boy am I lucky or what". 😂
@Keir_Starmer can, should, and I hope will - split the difference.
Get rid of the useless millstones Sadiq + Ed. Sadiq - can run on his own past 2nd LDN term, and good luck with that. Ed - is taking KS down with him with his "true n-0 believer" shtick. Climate foundations £££ etc no longer needed/now in gov there will be plenty others.
Burnham - get him onside easy as gov is *not* spending £££ on London. It's just saying "YES" to someone else spending £££. Which will generate ultimately tax £££ to be spend on Burnham.
If things continue this way, Sir Keir will warrant adding to that list of subjects holding a special place in Providence's heart! (even at the head! in front of - fools, drunkards, sailors, and Americans) 😇
12:28 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882036108848165139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and before that, to build the damned thing, it was for me
cmake -B build
cmake --build build --config Release
12:02 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882034879157989570
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
./build/bin/llama-cli -m models/DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B-Q6_K_L.gguf -p "Write 4 lines on living a purposeful life. A purposeful life is"
11:57 AM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881792352303677764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the most interesting one wins 😆
7:53 PM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881657307727089886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks that in Apple the upper echelons CEO etc are hardware but not software people.
Their h/w execution is stellar. No one thought M1-M4 bettering Intel in their single core performance possible.
In software they have been middling.
But in AI they have been abysmal. And especially given the level of their hardware?! Sill no competitor to unified GPU/NPU RAM on the horizon. We're 2nd year into the AI revolution, they are still doing nothing with their h/w advantage.
Obv both the h/w and s/w are capable, many things are possible possible. Ton of local-lamma-etc AI hobbyists use M-Apple silicon. M4 mini pro is a blast. But this is all bottom-up. Top-down all we get from Apple is nonsese, stupidity. So obv the problem is with the Top, with the executive levels.
10:57 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881636261166997518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-housing-theory-of-everything/ strikes again. 😆
IDK why how are people surprised by this. We can not live without housing. We live in houses. We need houses the same way we need oxygen, water, food. Restricting calories or air would for sure put a break on everything we do.
From worksinprogress.co
9:33 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881632786068709819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eurocrats like yourself got a second chance to get their heads out of their arses and look around. No one is stopping you. Lots of low lying gains 1) stop doing stupid 2) start doing smart
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
9:19 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881623023251493330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah its influence was 1e6 times the objective. Decel wordcels hogging the commanding heights of society very much hoped it true. So to bottle the genie and continue with business as before. We are lucky they are as illiterate as they are innumerate. (unlucky they're as evil)
8:41 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881509085218308151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - if the child is a total simpleton I imagine it will get the message as you describe it.
Most children are pretty intelligent, even if intuitively so. I think the message as I describe it will be received.
(also Zizek mentions "now the child is not an idiot...")
1:08 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881502413175369894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"You are going to do it and you will like it" is more harsh more violent than "you are going to do it" (but you are free to not like it). The former violates my outer and inner worlds, while the latter only my outer world. (but my inner world is intact)
12:41 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881485723431497766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are like the scorpion and the frog Esop tale - can't help themselves. On one level that is unfortunate for them but also for us all, on another level - we are lucky they are so so stupid.
11:35 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881472669717295459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! that message from the Napoleon ghost got unscrambled finally?? what a time to be alive 😅
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
10:43 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881450098368090622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doing the right thing, after spending 30 years to exhaust all other options. 😂
What a time to be alive. 😇
9:13 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881446801812967746
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - the "BIG MISUNDERSTANDING..." thread by @mmjukic from last week comes to mind Re: Europe leadership FAIL of the established elites.
https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1878424518294700421
v.v.funny 😂😂😂 fao @vonderleyen
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
Quote
Marko Jukic @mmjukic · Jan 12
Replying to @mmjukic
"BIG MISUNDERSTANDING: EU bureaucrats apologize for mixing up instructions. They thought the Ghost of Napoleon asked them to heavily regulate SPACE ROCKETS and NUCLEAR POWER while subsidizing IMMIGRATION and BICYCLES. Actually it was the REVERSE. Many apologies for the mixup!"
9:00 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881434478989414566
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh :-) Zoltata skijacka jakna na mojata slika (avatar) e verojatno od 1986-87, znaci skoro pa 40 godini.
Taka da jas sum verojatno pogresen/atipicen za ovaa anketa. Mene kupuvanjeto alista mi e maka, napor. Za mene sto pomalku potroseno vreme na kupuvanje alista, toa podobro.
Porano stalno se cudev: ne mozam da kupam novo sto e kompletno isto so staroto (sto se skinalo). Da kupam isto - ist model, ista boja, ist broj. Idealno - da ima unikaten bar kod, samo da go iskeniram toj kod, i da go stigne po posta.
Amazon i kupuvanje onlajn mi go podobri zivotot. Idealno e koga ke najdam novo koe e isto so staroto. (se slucuva) Togas samo klik i zavrsena rabota. Ako toa (idealno) go nema, onlajn mozam da kupam nekolku (i razlicni golemini), da zadrzam 1-2, i drugite da gi vratam.
8:11 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881346851888410665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many don't for sure, but the Finns themselves I presume do care. If Israel of 1970 could do it, so can Finland of 2025. Also - the Baltics, Poland, the rest of the Nordics. IDK why they would want to be dependent on US, or even Berlin/Paris/London? Just do your own.
2:23 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881345635787657637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What hate? I love it. I've been using LTS for decades now. Install and forget. It just works.
People forget or were not born so don't know what a chore Linux drivers for the masses were at some point in the past. Ubuntu solved that for me.
More power to them! :-)
2:18 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881273627569758267
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Announcing never, but dropping the propaganda aspect while pursuing them via nuclear energy investment 1<6 months.
9:32 AM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881087251330867587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"You may not be interested in politics, but politics is interested in you" happens at some point. If you get sufficiently influential IRL.
Seems for SV Tech that point was Social Media. In retrospect "it's obvious" that that would be the case. Who controls the media controls the messaging controls the thinking.
PC computers and the computer revolution were "meh politically". Stirrings started with the Internet - an innovative two-way communication channel. Obviously step up/better from the existing one-way communication of mass media at that point. (TV, Radio, papers)
After Social Media things really took off politically. Seems even with Obama first Soc Med campaign(?), Gurri's "Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millenium", the Arab Spring - the established elites still were in the dark on 1) this will come to them too 2) they are doing badly, the public is in pain (what broke with GFC'08 never healed)
Seems a world wide phenomenon. In the UK it's similar, and afaics on the European continent too.
9:12 PM · Jan 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881057064299941937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think "humanism" of some sort is one replacement religion waiting in the wings. Either some major religion will absorb its ideas and refresh itself. Or if a charismatic humanist leader appears, it will take over a failing religion and refresh, resurrect it.
For stories like "our immortal soul is software running on some hardware that is the body atm but could be something else tomorrow" .@Plinz type or .@geoffreyhinton "they are exactly like us and conscious like us" (c.f. yesterday https://youtube.com/watch?v=b_DUft-BdIE) strike me as sufficiently religious for most people.
Both of the above are good stories, complementary. They make sense of the new world. All is needed is a small devoted network of proselytisers to preach and spread these ideas. Probably online, and to the youth first, via the future Tiktok.
7:12 PM · Jan 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881272773093511556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... .@bryan_johnson atm seemingly a cult leader fits the bill for a leader of new religion. "Do not die" is explicitly a religious slogan. Afaik all religions promise immortality via eternal existence to their adherents. He is already there, and looks energetic & capable too.
9:29 AM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880777764485390533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I install Xubuntu. Nothing much in the GUI has changed in the past 15 years. And I hope stays that way 😂
Otherwise - minimal maintenance time lost. Once in 4-5 years move to the +2 LTS version from the current one. (one can skip one LTS release and still be in support window)
12:42 AM · Jan 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880722097061704134
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yeah - Georgism makes every sense to me.
One thing I have doubt about is: I don't understand how people are going to pay the tax. With income tax it's operationally easy: I just surrender to gov some of that cash. Asking people to come up with cash to pay for increased value of an asset is impractical. Only way is to pay in kind: put a charge, register interest, to a fraction of ownership to the house. And then at the point of sale the taxman gets their cash.
9:01 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880715215119286599
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Checked now for full year 2024-totals:
- self use ~40%
- electricity bill ~£1150
- gas bill ~£500
So self-use saved me £767. That's ~30% of the total energy cost. (=£767+£1150+£500)
There are solar savings calculators on the web. From recollection-they almost spot on for my case. I don't get paid for exports, hybrid-homes installers never delivered ECS. Be mindful if you are doing this.
8:33 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880686686298046899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
basic and 6502 assembly and it was bliss 😊
6:40 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880685318044889195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gas central heating. So the 45% is for the electricity use only. GCH covers radiators heating in winter, and bathrooms hot water.
6:34 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880659277020344752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You hit the nail on the head at "ego".
Seems to me not insignificant number of us work out (and not merely accept) that "I" and "the whole rest of everything" (the "not-I") are separate only at the point of our deaths. But not earlier.
I can imagine I-a-doomsday-er confusing my own mortality (after becoming aware of it) with the end of the world, b/c I'm still in good part the narcissist I started as a baby & have not grown that much out of it. Most humans - and esp once we start aging - we are all like this to a degree tbh. People that are talented & precocious - this may hit them even a bit harder than the rest of us?
Sometimes I wonder why aim for less-than-the-max, why assume merely end of our world, rather than say the end of the entire universe? :-)
Alternative at a non-personal non-ego level: maybe part of the "we humans are special" delusion.
4:51 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880647373338054971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Making the supply more distributed, less centralised - yes. Energy security - no.
I have solar PV on the roof + battery in the attic. It suffices for 45% self-use. So for 55% - on average - I do rely on the power grid.
The 45% is daily average. The average obscure huge variations. In summer there maybe days where that number is 90%. In winter there are days where that is 10%. And so on.
Please don't tell lies needlessly. There is no need for that. In contrast, there is lots of value to being truthful.
4:04 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880638040374145218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What on earth are these people in X - our algorithmic overlords - thinking?? This kind of slap-dash casual infliction of stupidity onto millions of people is indefensible.
I happen to have added all manner of accounts of interest to various lists. As the means to shape the feeds thematically. Rather than following them. It had not occurred to me that I'd be penalised for telling X "I'd like to follow this account account please/I find their posting interesting".
This kind of unchecked power X has over us is not good. They seem to be quite capable of not only shooting themselves in the food, but shooting ourselves in the head!
Un-be-lie-va-ble. I suspect one obstacle to releasing the code in the open is potential for other atrocities lurking there, of the type you document above.
3:27 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880563310522708032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If any of IMF/Treasury/OBR forecasts were better than-
"I forecast in the next 3/6/12 months the same what happened in the past 3/6/12 moths"
...the people making them would be in a macro hedge fund, making $$$ billions for the fund and millions for themselves.
I assumed this is common knowledge but apparently it seems to me it is not. Economic forecasts are worthless in forecasting what will happen in the future.
The only worth they have is they provide employment, words for clicks online, something to use black ink on white paper for in a daily newspaper, talking points for TV talking mouths, and something for people to do with their time in general, to a coterie of random people.
Quote
Andrew Neil @afneil · 10h
Because I don’t believe the forecast. IMF forecasts have become a political joke. When Britain had a centre-right government of which the IMF disapproved, it consistently under forecast UK growth. Now it has a centre-left government of which it approves, it over-forecasts growth. x.com/quarryali/stat…
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10:30 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880561132639035876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IMF forecasts are there to make Treasury/OBR forecasts respectable. 😂 Cheap words-for-clicks.
If any of these forecasts were better than "I forecast in the next 3/6/12 months the same what happened in the past 3/6/12 moths" they would making millions $$$ in a macro hedge fund.
10:21 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880558291547488550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-housing-theory-of-everything/ strikes again. 😆
IDK why people surprised by this. We can not live without housing. We live in houses. We need houses, the same way we need oxygen, or water, or food. Restricting calories or air would for sure put a break on everything we do.
From worksinprogress.co
10:10 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880557344494325860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Web interface for Twitter/X/Bsky/Mastodon is much better than an App:
1) One browser only suffices - replacing 10 apps.
2) The posts themselves contain link in every paragraph. I will click on a link to open a web page in a browser anyway.
3) That friction is much lower when opening a post web link while I am in the browser already.
4) Multiple views in browser! I can open 10 different tabs, and see 10 different X posts.
IDK even how people can write a post while being in the App. It's not possible to look up anything else on X, while writing the post!
How does one look up on X, something needed to reference or remind self, while in the process of writing the post? Afaics - that's not possible.
5) Even if all things were equal (and they are not, web is superior, see 1-4), I should still prefer open web to closed walled garden app.
Open and free is better. Why make self weaker, and my adversary (SocMedCo) stronger, by using the App?? That's bonkers.
10:06 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880510593209364641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH popular pres persisting in reporting stored *energy* in units of Watt *power*, is a good nod to Gell-Mann Amnesia. And a good reminder to just "mute", "ignore" and do something better with our time, than click on a link.
7:00 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880565314846625898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...it's the equivalent of reading "the distance between New York and Washington is 70 mph" over and over again. I don't understand what's gained by being so wrong so often.
10:38 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880398559918584225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the "BIG MISUNDERSTANDING..." thread by @mmjukic earlier in the week was golden on this 😂😂
https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1878424518294700421
Quote
Marko Jukic @mmjukic · Jan 12
"BIG MISUNDERSTANDING: EU bureaucrats apologize for mixing up instructions. They thought the Ghost of Napoleon asked them to heavily regulate SPACE ROCKETS and NUCLEAR POWER while subsidizing IMMIGRATION and BICYCLES. Actually it was the REVERSE. Many apologies for the mixup!"
Show this thread
11:35 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880375666954367391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - will seek it out. Yes - I first heard about the history of the movement (original US populism) from him. Not this interview -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=-GiAb6pi32g
...but one like it I presume from about the same time. (not bookmarked or can't find it) Then Wikipedia to read more :-)
youtube.com
Thomas Frank: People Without Power (Bristol Festival of Ideas)
Donald Trump. Brexit. European right-wing extremists. All have been accused of populism. But what does this often thrown about, yet generally misunderstood, ...
10:04 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880359592087134657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thomas Frank! That's a name I had not heard a while. Now I see the last YT I have bookmarked of him is from 7 years ago! Thanks for the reminder - saw this now
youtube.com
‘The Democratic Party Is A Walking Corpse’ - Thomas Frank
Watch the full stream here https://www.patreon.com/posts/thomas-frank-lea-115947756Thomas Frank rips the Democrat for failing, once again to defeat pseudo po...
9:00 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880311048504578267
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are we hurtling towards a "love is all you need", "love conquers all" etc world?? What a turn that would be! 😅 After 10K+ years of the Genghis Khan-s of the world ruling the world... if it turns out J was the prophet, after all?? dee-light😂
5:47 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880307824322048248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
SM, not CU, is where it's at tbh.
But - betters Reeves "inject private £££ into house prices" for sure!
So - gfi. Maybe not the best - but not the worst either. Muddle through :-)
5:34 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880298925564821906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw my opinion is "blue circle needs competition of the red circle to raise its game".
So my uninformed opinion of the sequencing is then 1) make red circle 2) make blue circle better 3) make red circle better (and the unsayable - 4) MUKGA 😆)
I'd be weary of splittings "Popular Front of Palestine"-style at the time of the Chancellor asking regulators (?!) and quangos (??) for "ideas for growth". She seems to have fallen back to the usual "pump up house prices" by creating more £££ for the same (housing) assets.
From the "XL Bully ban" campaign of the LFG dude that succeeded over and above all expectations with Sunak gov: government so bereft of ideas may indeed jump on, and execute unexpected proposals.
That also in line with the current chagos "burn tons of political capital to heed a tiny constituency". A gov devoid of ideas may take on unlikely one. Maybe package your red circle into web pages gov ministers sidekicks can take on and pitch to their masters? (and protectors)
4:59 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880266260711190813
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do we make you a PM? How come we can't have other people like yourself in the uk gov? Or these folks-
https://lookingforgrowth.uk/growth-act
...or other people like them? Are people that think like yourselves (and myself) a desperate disparate minority in the UK??
Reeves was looking for "growth ideas". What's wrong with the above, or that LFG draft law? Nothing afaics. Even getting courage to act-surely the smashing success of the new QE tube line would have inspired someone someplace?
From lookingforgrowth.uk
2:49 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880182126374486417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not so much fail as in not succeed, but insufficient, inadequate, too small of an effort for the gargantuan task. TBH at this point I don't think anything non-algorithmic non-fully-automated can possibly scale with the usage volumes.
Who knew so many of us, had so much to say, about so many things, about the world?? Not myself - that's for sure. I thought "who will write into the Ether, to be read by few or none?" Turns out - me, and millions of other people. That's who. That's how I learned how little I knew about myself.
CN are good effort though. Should be very valuable training data for their internal AI models! Hope they make a good use for it. This will come full circle once the first AI scientists come online I should hope.
9:15 AM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880159521789866468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! IDK how exactly that misleading even wrong term became entrenched?? 😭
Could live with Fit/Predict, or even simples Train/Test. "Inference" is such bad choice of term. Creating confusion where there was none.
7:45 AM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880567451966231011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...although, having said that: I wouldn't mind if "inference" was repurposed and used exclusively for the chain-of-thought tree generation and search processes. Seems apt, is sufficiently long word for an appropriately costly activity, and is already partly in use for that.
10:46 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880026905170100442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep—can totally concur. I once read that English is "the easiest language to learn to speak badly," and that rang true. It’s by far the most forgiving and rewarding for new learners.
Then there are those languages that, after deciding "we’ll change the verb form for every tense," thought, "Nah, that’s too easy on these suckers." 😂 So they added, "Let’s also change the noun form with declensions for every case!" 😨
Seven noun cases times eight declensions later, voilà—you’ve got 56 glorious ways for us non-native speakers to shoot ourselves in the foot. Never fails to amuse me. 😂
10:58 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880001272117416399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah X (and other platforms too) on links suppression is self serving and self defeating in the long term.
Esp given X already has long posts and the link at the bottom of a long post will be hidden by default as will be the overflow of the long post too.
I find accessing X in the browser via the Web interface versus via the App makers a huge difference to me whether I click on a link or not. The Web interface makes it 10x times easier less flow-breaking to click on a link and follow up their source.
9:16 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879998233080132021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Remember watching this yrs ago. Amused not much more is made of the results presented. Some significant, and more importantly dose-related. The lecture is long and somewhat meandering. TikTok it is not! 😂
Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof David Smith
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=unguMlKkc74
youtube.com
How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline
Head of Pharmacology at Oxford University, Professor David Smith presents his studies on the link between nutrition and the prevention of cognitive impairmen...
David_Smith-Pharmacology_Oxford-How_B_Vitamins_and_Omega_3s_Reverse_Cognitive_Decline-mar2020-YT-unguMlKkc74-20241108.mp4
9:04 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879925709587788274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe "pay peanuts get monkeys" effect coupled with talent got the means (online) & the time (covid slowdown) to assess their worth for the first time in a long time.
Developing ones' craft v.s accurate measure of its worth & selling it to other people are very distinct skills
4:16 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879917406459687228
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For Starmer to survive, after - or even before! - Reeves, he will have to chuck overboard the clueless Milliband.
Not sure if that's possible after the donations he's received from various climate foundations. Hope his self-preservation instinct kicks in.
He if fully capable of reneging on promises and scr*wing constituencies. C.f. Leasehold-ers, "abolish leasehold in the 1st 100 days".
3:43 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879909556412944445
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lose some, win some. I spend more time with my 1) closest - family, kids; and 2) furthest - people I "know" online, from work (also online). Whereas I spend less time with 3) random people I could've got connected with virtue of living in the same town/place. (but now I don't)
3:12 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879893141966422245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah!! People moaning "AI stole my `art` "?? If only we were that lucky!!
Here!! - take my words and immortalise them in your weights, thank you very much.
Help yourself!! - go on, go on now you AI beauty. 😅
2:07 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879892310332473663
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Few people make good living out of that 😇
One .@albertedwards99 rose to fame & fortune by predicting recession round every corner. 😆
People like to be frightened. Heck - they queue to give cash $$$ to cinema theatres in their millions every year. To watch crap horror movies.
2:03 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879889816869085446
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
choices, consequences; how we in the UK got here
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
1:53 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879829563490115664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Study buddy"!! brilliant! :-) - love the phrase.
+1 Indeed my experience too. The interactive Q&A we already have with the chat bots has been a blessing to me. Learned of so many things I didn't know before. heaven 😇
9:54 AM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879678296436146457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
always-were-artists.png
11:53 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879676855483056247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This will be attacked (unfortunately) by the usual "if not perfect then should not be done" brigade.
I will never comprehend where that hubris comes from. We all had terrible teaching all through childhood. Most teaching is bad—that's how we all remember that one good teacher of our youth we liked, and the memory we cherish.
We are all terrible at teaching. I see that of myself when trying to explain or teach anything my own kids!
I remember a teacher's article from ages ago: she somehow came up with the idea to tape herself on video, and see what her students see. And was horrified of what she saw! She wrote the article to shout to all "people please do same, tape yourself, see yourself as other see you, don't wait 20 years like myself".
So it's a double mystery to me when existing teachers always attack any new tech that may help them and us all. Will we live to see Bloom 2-sigma made reality??
11:47 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879542982485156341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🙏 thanks for that, and kudos 👏 for being open minded and not angry 😇 most of us would be, going back and forth with myself by this point 😄
2:55 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879536478708998462
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The UK should hire their negotiator pronto—before this absolute legend of a dude or dudette remembers to ask for London itself, and maybe the Crown Jewels too while they're at it.
(To think the current lot fancy themselves as “grown-ups.” This isn’t even toddler-level—this is plant-level, I guess?)
2:29 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879533767888425456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You and me and every human as individuals are too weak to survive on our own for any significant time. So your advice "don't entrust your life to anyone/anything" is a non starter. People that did what you say did not survive to have offspring like you and me.
We trust other people and machines both explicitly and implicitly. Since this morning: you drank some water, ate some food, used the toilet, turned on the heating. The house you live in was provided by other humans. And going back, who did what when etc for me to be alive today-goes back to dawn of humanity. So the revealed preferences are that we humans are social animals at every level.
Again, and this is a pattern now, you hallucinated "LJ thinks the way a human hallucinates is the same as LLM hallucinates". I in fact - don't think they hallucinate in the same way. No two humans hallucinate nor confabulate the same. (LLM-s confabulate at this point; hallucination is vision) So I of course DON'T think that every human and every LLM do it the same way either.
The best models of ourselves we have-are these huge connectionist models. In fact, they have been thought that way since 1943 (the dawn of the 1st model of a neural processing). No one has said for 80 years that they are anything else but the best models we have of ourselves.
No-the usual complaint was "they may be built like us (i.e. massively PDP), but their performance is cr*p, unlike us humans". Well-now the perofmance is catching up. Turned out nothing was wrong with our theories about PDP-just the models were too small.
(PDP==Parallel Distributed Processing)
I bid you good bye with some Hintonisms to cheer you up. 😇
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
2:19 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879519929881260296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how mine "you are already trusting a stranger that may hallucinate and do any manner of crazy and evil" in your mind became "LJ says or thinks a person is an algorithm".
So for yourself to come back with "LJ is wrong thinking a person is an algorithm".
Still - can't complain. 😁 As you in fact provided a perfect illustration of my point: perfect strangers will be perfectly fine to hallucinate. I don't want my fate to be in hands of such people tbh.
1:24 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879509359258214887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. This on games and specifically how good tit-for-tat is in facilitating cooperation is golden
Veritasium_-_What_Game_Theory_Reveals_About_Life_The_Universe_and_Everything.mp4
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
12:42 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879507190580670719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe this longer exposition as means of explanation if not short definition? recent so fresh -
https://paulgraham.com/woke.html
12:33 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879492636349710357
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You’re already entrusting your life to strangers—people who might not care about you in the slightest, who could be incompetent, foolish, or even malicious. So, no real change there.
It’s not about what the life form you interact with is made of, or whether it’s similar to you or entirely different. Those attributes are just proxies for a deeper question: Is my interlocutor good or bad for me? Do they love me or hate me?
11:35 AM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879143566779314627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I stopped using UK live TV in about year 2000 so I'm probably not a representative example.
(child#1 was born, thought it stupid to have child-TV adverts implant desires in their brains where none exists to start with)
Once iPlayer came online I have used it a lot, and paying happily the TV License. Nowadays between YouTube podcasts and Internet reading, seems there is no much time left to be given to iPlayer/BBC. Signal-to-Noise ratio there seems to me much much higher online, than on old-style TV.
(Mr Beast leaked manual that YT will become bigger than all of Hollywood may hold some truth seems)
12:28 PM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879141327847161929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X does not offer any real tools for curating the feed, past the "show me less" of "posts like this" and or "from this account". After clicking for the 10-th time, block/mute is the next step. As no other options exist afaik.
At the very minimum, X should have block/mute not forever, but with expiry in 1 week, 1 months, 1 year. There is more there. But suggesting anything is a waste of keystrokes as nothing ever gets done Re: user curation.
12:19 PM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879133226423263548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not a horse. I am a person.
His reference is 1 out of 251 references on that Wikipedia page. My idea of OP idea of discussion is:
1) read the wiki page, incl the 251 followups;
2) now in your (LJ) head, the same idea materializes as in my (OP) head;
3) now we discus.
It's a waste of time for everyone. (have done similar in the past)
I suspect in the end it works out to be something as trivial as - "neutrality", the same word, means different things to RUS and UKR.
For UKR it means: we are like Switzerland. We are not part of an alliance, but otherwise we do as we please. In the politics, economy-we obey no one else but follow our wishes.
For RUS it means: UKR is without a real army, mostly defenceless. RUS has a say on the running and ruling of the country: who gets in parliament, who makes the government, the PM too. Usually political and economic pressure suffices to get the combo we, RUS, like.
If that fails, we invade for 3 days, arrest the old regime, put together new regime in 3-6 months. Controlled elections elect new parliament, then new PM and new government, ministers - the whole lot. Then in a year time our troops withdraw. That has been played out multiple times since 1920-s.
Obv these are very different outcomes. While the same word is used-"neutrality".
(for those negotiations we know that UKR wanted-among many other things-UK boots on the ground; that would mean UK-RU war; obv UK is in no position to oblige; neither has a reason nor the will nor the means; and this is only one out of many many pieces that would need to come together in a process like that; so the OP idea "Boris flew in and persuaded everyone to scupper a deal" is wrong and misleading; that he keeps repeating it put me off his podcast "Gell-Mann amnesia" way, which makes me sad too)
11:47 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879117323472457987
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The real rulers of the country-the Treasury and civil service-did leak a warning to some journo "who does he think he is/will be forced out if not careful" about Starmer, after his outburst along the "cummings was right" line. 😂 This looks like it-starting with the Chancellor.
10:44 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879111488771596648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His cars and rockets are getting cheaper and better with the passage of time.
Our UK energy is getting more expensive while staying the same product with the passage of time.
We all notice the direction of travel.
You are right that bringing anything new to the market requires gargantuan amount of effort (==money). And people that begrudge any source of funds-private or public-are anti new technology. However.
You know full well that both sides are need precisely because one does not suffice. If it did-the Soviet Union would have invented the Personal Computer in the 80s too.
10:21 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879108796393410816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the story where our bodies are carriers of our non-transferable souls—our "programs", the above reads to me as: what happens when those programs don’t die with the bodies?
I suspect some iron law of information or knowledge—a fundamental constraint—stands in the way of soul immortality. Perhaps it's something as omnipresent yet elusive as grokking (though far less straightforward) or complicated, intricate and mysterious like model distillation. (why does it work? do we need to forget some old to learn something new?)
But—we’ll cross that bridge when we get to it.
10:10 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879101204321702214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Writing boring code is writing solid code if one manages to avoid writing bloated code.
Code that feel exciting and sexy should be flashing "danger, danger" to us but we are but mortal and fall for the fun of it.
9:40 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879097812484345996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was a fantastic read—thank you. It’s an exhaustive yet succinct chronicle of what transpired, providing wider context while remaining mindful of our limited time and attention.
I can’t help but hope to read a similar "past the peak" chronicle from you—this time about the catastrophism that’s permeated parts of the environmental movement, especially regarding global warming. Perhaps Germany's forthcoming shutdown of reliable, non-carbon nuclear plants—in the midst of a dual crisis of war and energy—will be remembered as the peak of that madness (though hindsight will ultimately decide). Other indicators—such as the visibility of daily carbon intensity comparisons (e.g., France vs. Germany), the UK's record-high energy prices compared to its peers, and nearly a century of experience us humans adapting to increased CO2 levels and rising temperatures—suggest to me that we might already be on that trajectory. TBS.
9:26 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878932040839512372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For individual stupidity I liked: individual stupidity is a character failing (bad morals), now intellectual failing (lack of intellect or knowledge).
Also there is "Collective Stupidity", as real as the "Wisdom of Crowds". This by @skdh is excellent
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
We humans are collectively stupid, the mirror image of us being collectively smart.
youtube.com
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which...
10:28 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878929673150672990
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With their LLM-s they have options now they didn't have before. They could really boost the SNR of their feeds.
Say—they can run a post through a simple model like GPT2 (or GPT3), and if it scores high probability with it, as in "it could haven been generated by GPT2", well, then maybe the post is not that informative. Or maybe have the post log-likelihoods difference, post GPT4 minus post GPT2 score.
IDK for sure (never worked in a SocMed Co), but got the impression that the algofeeds use meta-data mostly when deciding which post to push onto millions of user screens. And chiefly - Engagement (other users reactions), and Timeliness (with short half life?).
Algofeed using meta-data mostly strikes me as being "judged on the color of your skin" phase of the Social Network-s, and would be good to transition to "judged on the content of the character", of each and every one of the posts. ☺️ (and downstream - users)
10:18 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878925639102898473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this, 100%. Current population bust, is a reversion to the mean, after a huge boom that brought population size up to 8B. Some undershoot on the way of the reversion is to be expected tbh.
The number of humans alive is at All Time High (ATH). For a very long time, humanity had a steady state: for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they could have kids of their own. So the population was about constant.
Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born though—so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with the biology.
Personal anecdote: my grandparents on both sides born in the Ottoman empire, end-19c/beg-20c, all had >=6 kids. Their grand/grand/...parents broods of similar sizes all had kids die before their adulthoods. But my grandparents kids (my parents) lived to adulthood and had kids of their own (my generation). My parents siblings were 5-6, but my parents generation had only 2-3 kids themselves.
The reason my parents generation lived is the industrial revolution. Plus—living in an apartment in a city with 1 bedroom per kid puts a limit in way. The extended families moved from the villages to the cities post WW2. The country experienced industrial revolution after 1945. My generation (1968) also has ~2 kids. We were in a position similar to our parents.
It's remarkable that humans do that (many other species don't): during best of times, humans stop multiplying. I'm pro-more humans. I think 80B should be the aim next in the population size. 😶
10:02 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good for Zuck. It’d be even better if TechBro TechRight used their newly acquired political power to smash the laws that make LibGen non-legal. Forge the iron while it’s hot, so to speak.
Just hit woke-central Disney while it’s down already. Tear down any and all "IP" laws. The term "Intellectual Property" itself is an unholy concoction—like "Social Science": one word giving credence to the other, where there is none.
There is no "property" that is intellectual. Only evil bean counters and crooked politicians could come up with such a concept.
I don’t think anyone should be jailed or imprisoned for copying or reproducing data I created—whether something I said, wrote, drew, painted, etc. Protecting private physical property is fine—if you take my car, I can’t use it anymore. But walling off information as if it’s physical property? That’s abominable. You can copy and duplicate what’s written here, and I still get to keep it. You’re not depriving me of anything.
I like the symmetry of this. If I want to keep my creations outside the hands of others, I can keep them private. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. I could write this on my laptop, save it in a file, and keep it to myself. Fine.
However, once these words are broadcast—once they’re read, and the ideas expressed here enter someone else’s mind—I believe it’s only fair that the person on the receiving end has the right to use, replicate, or create something from them. After all, they lent me their brain—ideas that originated in my mind now live in theirs.
This uses up their mental "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen—resources they provide. So, they have rights too: the right to do as they please with those ideas, including creating any and all data derived from them. Denying them that right feels deeply churlish, as if it isn’t the most natural thing in the world.
Yes, creators need to be compensated—they deserve to make a living from their work. But this doesn’t extend to their grandchildren. Copyright laws should incentivize creation, not provide luxury for the descendants of the original creator a century later.
Further, isn’t it barbaric that we throw people in jail—imprison them—for this? That we marshal the full force of the state’s repressive apparatus (ultimately backed by its monopoly on violence) for this sorry non-cause? It’s medieval. It’s a failure of imagination and morality alike.
Quote
https://x.com/backus/status/1878484938003034391
John Backus @backus · Jan 12
Zuck approved torrenting and training on LibGen for Llama.
Founder mode.
7:17 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878872661369016767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A grown up person knows that:
1) You pay lip service to markets.
2) You do different, even the opposite, to what you said.
3) The markets will be content as long as they are making money. And they will be making money with the country doing well.
4) Despite you and them saying different, or even the opposite, of what you are doing in any moment.
Some things are said but not done. Other things exactly the opposite-done but not talked about.
Reeves reminds me of a teachers' pet getting in power, under socialism. Everyone around knows-if you were to follow the loud proclamations everyone nods at, then the system grinds to a halt. The only way the insane asylum can ever work, is for the practicioners to judiciously break some of the rules.
Imagine the horror 😲 of the people around, when they realise the simpleton they positioned in a position of power, has no inner life. S/he lacks "private truths public lies" layer, and actually genuinely believes the nonsense that's talked about. 😂 That they have chosen really a WYSIWYG person.
6:32 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878826597932748885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good for Zuck. It’d be even better if TechBro TechRight used their newly acquired political power to smash the laws that make LibGen non-legal. Forge the iron while it’s hot, so to speak.
Just hit woke-central Disney while it’s down already. Tear down any and all "IP" laws. The term "Intellectual Property" itself is an unholy concoction—like "Social Science": one word giving credence to the other, where there is none.
There is no "property" that is intellectual. Only evil bean counters and crooked politicians could come up with such a concept.
I don’t think anyone should be jailed or imprisoned for copying or reproducing data I created—whether something I said, wrote, drew, painted, etc. Protecting private physical property is fine—if you take my car, I can’t use it anymore. But walling off information as if it’s physical property? That’s abominable. You can copy and duplicate what’s written here, and I still get to keep it. You’re not depriving me of anything.
I like the symmetry of this. If I want to keep my creations outside the hands of others, I can keep them private. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. I could write this on my laptop, save it in a file, and keep it to myself. Fine.
However, once these words are broadcast—once they’re read, and the ideas expressed here enter someone else’s mind—I believe it’s only fair that the person on the receiving end has the right to use, replicate, or create something from them. After all, they lent me their brain—ideas that originated in my mind now live in theirs.
This uses up their mental "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen—resources they provide. So, they have rights too: the right to do as they please with those ideas, including creating any and all data derived from them. Denying them that right feels deeply churlish, as if it isn’t the most natural thing in the world.
Yes, creators need to be compensated—they deserve to make a living from their work. But this doesn’t extend to their grandchildren. Copyright laws should incentivize creation, not provide luxury for the descendants of the original creator a century later.
Further, isn’t it barbaric that we throw people in jail—imprison them—for this? That we marshal the full force of the state’s repressive apparatus (ultimately backed by its monopoly on violence) for this sorry non-cause? It’s medieval. It’s a failure of imagination and morality alike.
3:29 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878821129025974507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - brings back the "strong" encryption wars vibes—a sense of déjà vu. Which, of course, invites the obvious Q: "Are they really this clueless?" The only reasonable A? "Yes, of course they are." Naturally.
When I saw news about the latest China data/security breach, where some XYZ agency declared "it advises citizens to use strong end-to-end encryption," I thought "whoa! public & defence policy finally turning a corner into non-brain-dead territory?"
Alas not quite. That was encryption specifically. For AI—maybe they get there in 25 years. It took half a century for encryption to be accepted. Accounting for progress and expectation for younger generations to be generally smarter than their parents, we can hope that AI public policy reaches non-stupid level of competence by 2050.
What they teach at Ivy League schools—the esteemed institutions selecting and educating (in that cursed one word—grooming) rulers of the US (and, by extension, much of the world)—remains a mystery to me. How come they are so painfully comically inept when it comes to anything tech? Often less informed than a random online tech pundit?? How's that even possible?
(quotes around "strong" encryption, as the term still feels oxymoronic—if not strong, it’s not encryption really)
3:07 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878808268489068878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One sure way to surprise people is to tell them "you know, information is something we measure; like we have measures meter, kilogram, second etc; well-we have one for amount of information, for quantity of information".
2:16 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878612363051765860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She should resign then. What's with the me-myself-I narcissism? She tried and fair play to her. Found the state of things, but no ideas forthcoming now. Not ideal, but not a crime either. Now she doesn't have much to add-resign, go. Let someone else have a go. Easy decision.
1:17 AM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878609210830643681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Democracy as in parliamentary democracy where non-trivial proportion of the population can vote- that's quite late, no?
After the printing press I count significant events:
1. Religious wars of extermination in Europe for ~200yrs
2. Solution to the problem of no side being able to exterminate the other-liberalism. Accepting as a solution tolerance of the type-"I don't like you, but will not try to exterminate you" (any more; tried, failed, twas a disaster)
3. The curtailment of absolute monarchical power.
4. The Industrial Revolution(s).
5. The rise of the modern nation-state.
Doesn't democracy with non-trivial franchise come at the tail end of that process? Maybe sooner in USA or France? IDK for sure tbh.
1:05 AM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878591034264883684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...just to add: the creators of the half-way house EU is atm were not unaware of the fact that it's half-way house. Afaik they were fully cognisant. But 1/2 is the most they could do with the political will as it was at the time.
And so for the other 1/2: it's a gamble. All other feats of EU integration were done under pressure: it was that, or disaster. So the (ahem) "founding fathers" of the (reverse - ahem - USEU r/evolution) put this bet on: when push comes to shove, the EU-eans will go for more integration, as the alternative at that point will be another disaster.
TBS how it plays out.
11:52 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878584526034882954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe Macron as EU president post French presidency? At times he seems the only non-NPC with agency in Western Europe. Admittedly - I don't follow much news. I maybe completely wrong.
11:27 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878583681381462500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After a long while (not commuting anymore) I was driving on Sat and listened to Radio 4 Question Time or Any Questions or Answers or some such selective-VoxPop programme.
The Boomers put on, selected by the programme, were spitting molten lava!! 😂 Not seen such rage-not even the Brexit wars tbh. Volleys of raging anti-Musk fire blasted from the radio!! 😂 Even the presenter seemed taken aback a bit by the ferocity! That was instructive. 😂
I expected Musk's support to be a kiss of death in the UK afas the chattering classes are concerned. But this was an aural sensation to behold. 😂 TBS to what extent same/opposite is true with the other classes.
11:23 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878577725801472064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes!! Thanks! Botched so badly that the 64-bit extension to the venerable x86 had moniker of AMD64 I thought? (now on $ uname -a I see x86_64 though; thought the instruction set was called AMD64)
I remember the 1st private grid/cluster I used in about ~2005. The PC-s had dual 2 CPU sockets motherboards (no multi-cores then), and it was to everyone's great excitement and anticipation that AMD CPU-s were purchased. ☺️
But Intel recovered for that one quickly I think? The very next generation, maybe it was the 1st multi-core Xeons to come? Don't remember exactly. So I count the Itanium/AMD64 fiasco a half-miss.
But seems Intel didn't learn the lesson and go full paranoid? Because it missed mobile/ARM next, and now the GPU/NPU AI miss 2.5. TBS how many times one can miss and still live. "There is great deal of ruination in a nation" - but a company is not a country.
11:00 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878571969571958935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I did PhD at age 30 after working for some years. It was a blast! ☺️ Got to be poor - yes, but the upsides more than made for it. The freedom to do as I please—and every day, day after day, for years! Meet random people, these people say words, these words blow my mind up!🤯 And this happens weekly!!
Think @karpathy had a post about the upsides—this one probably? Good on you to mention there are upsides. We hear a lot about the downsides—of which there are many. That's true too.
karpathy-why-phd.png
10:37 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878562197497852050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😁 in the data languages world maybe we got lucky?
A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
That simplifies things a lot 😇
9:58 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878555447159877806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get lost govnojed. Blocked.
9:31 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878550517426860381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I too got the impression that he's demonstrated agency, a will to do things, on a number of occasions.
Latest I suspect Mistral—the only EU footprint in the current ML/AI revolution—maybe his personal doing? Seemed a "better late than never" daring rescue operation as the last train was leaving the station, by Macron personally.
Nothing to do with EC/EU, not even national FR gov level competency. Luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris, bringing some ML to FR and EU soil. Macron personally on personal initiative.
I maybe completely wrong ofc—this is just an uninformed outsider personal impression.
9:11 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878545983916957919
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Writing Solid Code" by Steve Maguire - that ahem often turns to be "writing boring code" - was one reading that helped me. The rare book that is both practical and abstract in the right amounts.
When I come back to a codebase from years ago, and or where errors are not trivial to spot, e.g. data based work like stats, I am grateful for boring, obvious, not oh-so-clever code, that does not need a language lawyer to extend and refresh.
Esp with programs that manipulate the real world: when I find one error, that implies my mental model was incorrect. Now that my mental model was found to be incorrect, that implies there maybe 1000 other errors. 😱😰🤯 Very very worrying.
8:53 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878543606631313586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whenever I dare think "ending the curses on humanity like lack of food, shelter, education, love, knowledge etc i.e. solving 8B human want, will lead to planet Earth golden age", people like Jr above waltz in my TL to plant the seeds of doubt.
Imbecile is a harsh word, but the right word for the Jr, I'm very sorry to say. Was he dumped by some ex-ukr-girlfriend maybe?? What can be the matter, for Jr to become such abominable human?
8:44 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878534955849945307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will Macron be the next EU president once he stops being the president of France?
8:10 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878534665369465254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
💯!! IDK how's that possible, but it did happen, we bear witness to it!
France succeeds early with nuclear after the 1973 oil-shock, then EU doesn't follow France's lead, but instead follows Germany—Germany!! with its historic 20th Century record—in phasing out nuclear power. 😭😂
The madness, the madness of it 😱
8:09 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878533400610365507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(...maybe Macron post him being president of France, elbowing himself into a position of president of EU-whatever, maybe their best shot to turning things around?)
8:03 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878532063554400679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy oh boy - "hegalian dialectic exercise"!!! 😂😂😂 Are you academic as well??? The OP I excuse on 2 accounts 1) academia; and 2) California.
(there's something in the water and or the air in CA; all manner of crazy, good and bad, emanates and takes root in CA)
You can read Putin what he thinks, he keeps telling us on kremlin dot ru, and goes into the trouble of translating it for us into English! And we have 30 years of what the RUS elite and plebs think of UKR nation, language, nationhood etc - the whole package. And the prior 200 years of UKR struggle for nationhood, and RUS opinion of that.
And so on and so on. It's not that hard to see 1) who wants what, both UKR and RUS; 2) what's i/moral in the circumstance.
7:58 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878508912489664935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afraid all of us are incredibly naive—verging on malevolent!—while it suits us.
The European liberal class—of which the established elites are drawn from—will be among the last to feel the results of their dunder-headed policies.
Silver lining—they do provide entertainment.
👇👇👇 The entire thread is comedy gold.😂😂😂
https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1878424518294700421
6:26 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878499664686907614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what was signed-wasn't there, have not seen nor read what was signed. (or not)
There are about 20 significant various agreements, memorandums, etc signed (and broken) over the few decades of recent history. Even more in the past.
IDK what kind of mythical meaning this particular document acquired in your head. As you don' explicitly write. So don't have much to discuss, except for the most general - like "one piece of evidence" etc.
My reading comprehension is fine-thank you. Although it's easy atm, as you write nothing much.
(you still bring the MSM like NYT as if this is some kind of trump card in anything; like "even NYT reports"-so that means is def happened? or def did not happen? IDK what you mean tbh; for me NYT is not that reliable, so whatever their report, it shifts the probability of the thing being true or false either way by a little, but not by much)
5:49 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878494882324529417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"A single guy saying X Y Z is equivalent to a single paper reporting their findings."
"...reading comprehension."
5:30 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878493428666790013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Apple silicon M1-M4 beat Intel in their CPU game. Single core performance match or better, at reduced power consumption. I thought that impossible. Now it's reality. And - Intel is not capable of catching up it seems. Even while knowing what they need to do. Just can't do it.
5:25 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878491960723308783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"My response might be"—but it is not. I'm astounded by that reading comprehension. Have not read or listened to that particular guy. But have read/listened other sources, know about the history of the region etc.
A single guy saying X Y Z is equivalent to a single paper reporting their findings. It is not zero, but it is but a grain of evidence in a sand hill needed for us to decide if some effect is true or not. We don't decide on a single anything, no matter what.
5:19 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878489346837295515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree on avoidable, disagree on neutrality.
Neutrality is not acceptable to RUS—so it will not happen. RUS thinks it needs control over UKR—and that's what matters. For a war one side suffices. (for peace 2 sides are needed)
UKR should have kept its nuclear deterrent. No invasions happen in that branch of alternate reality. Future events shown them right -
* Shevardnadze (1993) "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman";
* Mearsheimer (1993) https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf.
Poland + Nordics + Finland + Balts will be forced into own independent nuclear deterrent. Or RUS will destroy them. They can't even the conventional weapons imbalance. Berlin is Ribbentrop 2 level, Paris not that rattled, London far away and weak to do much, US may as well be on another planet.
(1939 on repeat; those that fail to learn, are bound to...)
5:08 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878477936266797432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On Ukraine invasion we have preponderance of evidence from all sides. Not the least on X! And from primary sources.
Yourself are doing a variant of what you accuse the others. Mindlessly multiplying with (-1) where they use (1) on the personal preferential sources. GPT3.5 level
4:23 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878463529277075516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh I was in year 3 (out of 5) at Uni when it hit me that "no one can teach you something they don't know themselves". 😂
Slow learner me right there. 😂
Probably about year 1999, being taught the then "new computer language called C". Had already learned it from the PC computer magazines of the time, and gotten bit of experience programming in C. 😊
Was waiting on the lecturer to teach us the really cool bits, the ones I didn't know of. Then the course ended. In a moment I somehow realised there will be nothing else forthcoming. I had known more C than the lecturer to start with. He couldn't teach me anything. 😭
3:26 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878447247269978470
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👇👇👇 the whole thread is just golden 😂😂😂
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878447247269978470
Marko Jukic @mmjukic · 8h
Replying to @mmjukic
"BIG MISUNDERSTANDING: EU bureaucrats apologize for mixing up instructions. They thought the Ghost of Napoleon asked them to heavily regulate SPACE ROCKETS and NUCLEAR POWER while subsidizing IMMIGRATION and BICYCLES. Actually it was the REVERSE. Many apologies for the mixup!"
Show more
2:21 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878445251532067238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've seen "solve cooperation, then solve everything else" someplace.
I'd say your's "coordination" is better, as it encompasses both cooperation (which is 1/2) and competition (the other 1/2).
So "solve coordination, then solve everything else" :-)
2:13 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877758087806726591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy--it's axiomatic: species that didn't instil programming into the individuals to do what you describe above, didn't survive for you to see it, study it, find about it etc. These species just died off.
4:43 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877752734197190795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Part of me wants to check see if there is anything there not mentioned in @cgpgrey 's "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" https://youtube.com/watch?v=cZYNADOHhVY adaptation of https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.
But then I think--nah, probably not, and life's too short to waste time on that article. 😆
youtube.com
Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant
Adapted from Nick Bostrom's paper: https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.htmlMade possible with the support of my Bonnie Bees: https://www.patreon.com/cgpgrey...
4:21 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877744813530869992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Us, the LH leaseholders, people that actually pay those service charges, should be appointing the MA managing agents. Then bad performing MA-s will then be sacked, and the system will work without drama. As it works well for 1000s other things daily.
Let us for once not default to unthinking, stupid bureaucracy, coupled with insensitivity - because it's the easy road. Lets take the slightly harder road - resist the malign special interests of the FH freeholders. Because ill thought regulation will lead to bad outcomes - the costs will be passed on us LH, and with additional "premium" (profit) for the FH/MA on the top.
We should all have learned what to expect by now. At this point wilful ignorance is malevolence.
Quote
David Pinto-Duschinsky MP @DavidPintoD · 21h
Enough is enough. Myself and @RNBlake have convened a new group of more than 60 Labour MPs, set up to secure a better deal for leaseholders.
This Labour Government will reform the leasehold system. Our group will do all it can alongside that to hold failing managing agents to
Show more
Show this thread
3:50 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877709731034272151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK but I read somewhere description "nostalgia for future that didn't happen, but could have happened" and that rang true to me as a description of the phenomenon.
1:31 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877705732902011285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk is pro-China - you will hear nothing from Musk on this.
1:15 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877699520102084802
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When you are a bot account "AaaBbbb12345", you should be more agreeable to maintain your reach, "mate". Blocked.
@elonmusk Sick and tired of not being able to weed out/in by-type of account. E.g. "Unknown", "Real person but maybe not name", "Real person and real name", etc. You already have them internally. Just expose them in the user interface. Longer term - it's for the better, no matter what your A/B testing tells you.
In the mean time - block and mute, as only options available.
12:50 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877694167377195367
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse than useless - actively harmful. It will achieve little, cost a lot, and those costs will be passed unto us, the LH leaseholders.
Topped up with additional profit for the FH/MA semi-criminal combo, to add insult to the injury. This is unthinking stupid birocracy, coupled with insensitivity, leading to bad outcomes we have learned to expect by now.
At this point willful ignorance is malevolence.
12:29 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877640269215965549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and another data point the latest victim (it seems) - Intel. Didn't stay paranoid, missed mobile/ARM 1st, and now the GPU/NPU AI 2nd miss. TBS how many times one can miss and still live. "Great deal of ruination in a nation" - but a company is not a country too.
8:54 AM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877369949175292145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK we have the most expensive energy in the world. I hear lately. Ofc it creates "value"-anything over and above criminality creates value.
The real question is-how much "value", and would something else create more "value". I chalk this to "socialists can't add numbers"
3:00 PM · Jan 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877129583583002690
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That all is true. However. If CON did nothing - that is not now a reason for LAB to do nothing too. By that logic, nothing ever improves. LAB are supposed to do much better than CON. They have huge mandate to do so.
11:05 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877119622199021948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. The reason fiat currency is so valuable is simple: if I refuse to surrender a set number of pounds back to the UK government every year—my taxes—I’ll end up in prison or worse (and ultimately, dead).
If that sword of Damocles weren’t hanging over my head, I’d still use pounds as currency, but with much less drama. It wouldn’t be a life-or-death matter.
Bitcoin could potentially become the new fiat—but only if the US government, run by tech bros, forces us to adopt it at the barrel of a gun. Otherwise? No.
Ideally—if we truly value liberty à la Friedman—states, municipalities, towns, and yes, individuals ourselves would all issue a cornucopia of currencies. Tokens, if you prefer.
We’d then each use our best judgment, naturally favoring some tokens over others, driving their exchange rates through collective action.
I’d imagine personal tokens might look a lot like the stars we earn as customers on Uber or our local supermarket loyalty cards. A sort of social credit, if you like—only driven by voluntary exchange rather than imposed by central authority.
10:26 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877095587037794745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god - I roast you mildly from time to time (mostly in my own head) for your symbolics bias (as perceived by myself), but - you do deliver!
The previous one with .@jeffclune was a joy to listen to too. You are on a roll - keep going. 😁 Kudos well done you 👍👏
8:50 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877086487038316725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course we are. Slow learners, with big egos. That's us - humans.😁
Earth is special, whole Cosmos revolves around it, and by extension - us!, then - Copernicus. 😳
We are special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life?? 😰
But uh-ah-ok - we are at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐
(admit to tad a guilty pleasure 😈)
8:14 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877083901799313887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and it’s heartwarming to see people believing they’d do better. However…
I lived through moderately hairy stuff in the 1990s. I was lucky. Plenty of people, exactly like me, had it a million times worse.
We both overestimate and underestimate humans. When push comes to shove, most will remain indifferent—just as they did when ships full of Jewish refugees were turned back, condemning them to their deaths at the hands of the Nazis.
But a few—just a few—will be breathtakingly, impossibly brave. They’ll risk life and limb, their own safety, and the safety of their dearest, because they cannot do what the majority does. They cannot bring themselves to do the wrong thing, even when the cost is catastrophic ruin for themselves and their loved ones.
It’s not logic. It’s not calculation. They simply cannot. A bona fide miracle against the odds.
These are the righteous. They suffer terribly for it. But these 1-in-a-million souls are the ones who keep the light from being extinguished during the darkest of times.
(my two cents—apologies, I got sentimental)
8:04 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877063606488969347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You assume "plunges EU states into crisis". But this "may not be so". It's a very peculiar (one might say - neoliberal) view of what should happen. The empirical evidence for that is mixed. Russia itself being the latest counter-example. Contrary to your expectation - extra state spending may jump start sclerotic EU economies. Even if that does not translate in better living standards. But translates to - more weapons, less butter, bad for the citizens' standards of living, but good for the economies as measured in GDP, output etc.
6:43 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877009396078694755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can think of reasons-even with a LM-like
1-lots of columns, inversion is hard to impossible, so use SGD to avoid that; although one can address the inversion problem directly
2-the objective is not Least Squares, but some other objective, closed form does not apply; e.g. got L1 or L2 of the coefficients in the objective
3-there are constrains on the coefficients, closed form does not apply anyway, it's going to be search no matter what
4-data coming in streaming, not all data is available at once, or taking all data in is too much data, or we exp decay the data by time anyways, or ... - so for the "Stochastic" bit
Also with the "iterative" part-one can stop early or latter, depending on some computer and or time budget. And even-gasp! gulp!-the stochasticity: with adding noise, may actually help one get out of a saddle point or some such. :-)
Although the last maybe more hopium than anything else. 😂 Don't recall ever "seeing" it tbh. Tbf doesn't "see" much in any non-trivial-dimensional spaces anyways.
3:08 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876977087782732159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stupidity will invariably come up at some point. Keep in mind: stupidity is a moral failing, a character fault, not lack of knowledge. 😬
12:59 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876972322277519721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are so many misconceptions about this, that one can spend a a lifetime correcting people, and still fail.
No obligation of any kind on the part of Ukraine ever existed. Verbal or written.
(you are likely referring to "not one inch" verbal words given by Baker, to to someone on the other side in the Soviet Union, about stationing NATO soldiers in East Germany; at the point when German unification was discussed; when the Soviet Union still existed, and no one could dream that it would stop existing; that it had nothing to do with Ukraine has been explained 1000 times, and including by Gorbacov himself; It's all online for anyone with the will to find out)
Likewise, no obligation on anyone to defend Ukraine exists.
(the likely referenced Budapest memorandum is only about this: Russia, USA, UK to 1-respect the borders of Ukraine 2-not use force against Ukraine 3-not use economic coercion 4-seek UN SC action to provide assistance to Ukraine if Ukraine is attacked by any weapons, or threatened to be attacked by nuclear weapons; the document is 3 pages long, pdf is online with UN accessible to all)
12:40 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876965013166211092
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one has worked out a closed form solution. If it exists at all. For those models, that are much more complicated than the linear model. Implicit in your LR question.
And even if closed form solution existed, it maybe, that there will be an operation there - like that matrix inversion in your OLS closed form - that the computation of may end up using iterative optimisation anyways.
12:11 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876962175119441974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it should be for the better. (although, khmkhm-Merkel-the-scientist cautionary tale...) But impossible for one person to build a party machine in a lifetime.
Only realistic option is a) take over an existing party (even that is hard - need a group) b) hitch a ride on a one-parson-celebrity replacing a party (Musk on Trump).
12:00 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876957873344803208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed 100%. That's why it persists, that's why it's hard to do much about it. However.
Our cultural adaptations do evolve much more quickly than biological ones. Our environment is the human group. There our human groups sizes, starting with hundreds (<1e3), have increased to to hundreds thousands (<1e6), and now to hundreds millions (<1e9).
Next ones (in the distant futures; will miss that) will expect them to be human groups sizes of less than hundreds billions (<1e12). There will be much more communication in those groups. Much higher SNR will be needed too. Truthfulness, trustiness in general, feeds into that.
11:43 AM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876922810418741730
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
·
Wish X auto-translates posts to language of choice (e.g. English) without pedestrian "translate for me" click at non-"my-language-as-set" posts.
It'd be a flex if it were the other way around: default auto-translate Babelfish style, only on demand rarely "show me the original".
9:24 AM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876778968331809125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me that seems a plus, not a minus. What does he gain by inventing a new FB name for the same? What does he lose by saying "yeah community notes - yay". Afaics - nothing and nothing. Simpler this way, straightforward.
11:52 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876767676669849846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fao @elonmusk - Xhouse FTW
make housing 10x times cheaper, and solve this "young people can't have no kids" cr*p
Quote
https://x.com/jonatanpallesen/status/1876553465029148968
Jonatan Pallesen @jonatanpallesen · Jan 7
This paper indicates the possibility that we could essentially solve the fertility crisis in the West if housing was made acquirable for people when they are young.
It makes intuitive sense that if people don't have space to have kids near to where they want to live, they will x.com/florianederer/…
Show more
11:07 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876766234835861568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - TBH I'm surprised it's only ~2x times the Lizardman constant. Expected worse.
The arguments you will hear will be similar to the ones in the "do not die" and longevity debates. Some mentioned in e.g. @cgpgrey's "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" https://youtube.com/watch?v=cZYNADOHhVY adaptation of https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.
One new one (for me) I saw yesterday (in the context 60M dude) was "it's like playing a computer game with cheat codes/hack that gives you infinite lives". Apparently - for some the game loses the appeal then.
That is lost on me. For the longest time I played first C64 then PC game PCMAN even after I was motivated enough to find the infinite lives myself and use them. So the kind of loss of motivation as described above is not something I can comprehend - how, why.
The variation in human preferences and desires always surprises me-how wide it is. How varied humans are culturally/in software, even while being very similar biologically/in hardware. I did 1 yr national service at 18 yo. Only really useful thing I gout out of it was I got to observe a cross-section of society I wouldn't have observed otherwise.
Saw many functionally illiterate, stupid to the point of being danger to themselves, people, as well as a small share of truly evil psychopaths, but also good, honest and rare brilliant guys. The differences were like between earth and sky, night and day.
Made me appreciate the dual roles of selection as well as education. Also probably got bit of a foretaste how life maybe be if I ever find myself imprisoned. (for any actual war fighting skills - it was a total waste of time, convinced me that a conscript army will be routed by a professional foe in a real war)
youtube.com
Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant
Adapted from Nick Bostrom's paper: https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.htmlMade possible with the support of my Bonnie Bees: https://www.patreon.com/cgpgrey...
11:01 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876739166639157500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(the last words reminded me of "... the models want to learn" by Ilya)
9:14 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876736800422531270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You missed the "... have to(1) ... for money(2)" parts?
No one is stopping anyone working for no money. (2)
No one is stopping anyone working for fun, fulfilment, for any reason, and including paid work for money. (1)
Only--that you don't *have to* work. I think the meaning of "have to" in the question is: right now, if I don't get money for my work, I'd go hungry, homeless, and may soon die. So given I want to live not die, I have to work, and work for money.
In OP hypothetical question--only the threat of death is removed. Nothing else changes. Is my reading of it.
9:04 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876732513034404129
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The effects of lying—both in our personal lives and in public life—are vastly understated. Lying should be treated a much more serious transgression than it is made of now.
Violence in all forms used to be much more acceptable than it is now. I suspect if this civilisation is still on 1K yrs from now, that lying will be treated similarly unacceptable then.
8:47 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876716669571317873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant something more radical—flip the defaults entirely. All UK government business should be public by default and secret by specific request. Every document available on publicly accessible web servers or read-only shared drives. Lawmaking done on something like Westminster Wiki: version-controlled, timestamped, and transparent to all.
In the UK, it seems we learn painfully slowly—often years or even decades after the fact. Usually through parliamentary inquiries or special commissions. Scandals keep piling up: contaminated blood transfusions killing innocents, Post Office managers wrongly jailed, people burned alive due to lax building regulations, now latest the failures in addressing grooming rape gangs. Possibly more to come—leasehold? family courts?
Looking at these cases back, I can’t think of a single instance where someone would say: “It would’ve been better if this had stayed secret for longer.” On the contrary—more people knowing more, earlier, would have been better. More just, more corrective.
As for oversight bodies—I’m instinctively wary of relying too heavily on them. Who oversees the overseers? The top of the pyramid is too tempting a prize; immense effort will always go into capturing that citadel. And too much centralization risks paralysis—a state the hyper-centralized UK system seems stuck in right now.
Perhaps it’s better to have a dozen or so centers of power, all overseeing each other in an overlapping mesh of accountability. Harder to capture, harder to paralyze, and—hopefully—harder for rot to take hold.
Radical transparency imo is the sensible first step.
7:44 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876706340787114355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now Cline in VSEditor, previously aider in the command line.
7:03 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876704529086865485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was an absolute joy to listen to. 🤩
Serendipity got a mention more than once. Reminded me of one of my favourite books "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton Meyers. Also about discovery. Maybe of interest to some.
Wish you every success in the future.
6:56 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876342602657898928
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hate to be that guy, but it's not "ortodox xmas". Ortodox churches e.g. greek, bulgarian, poss romanian?-do use the more correct calendar. RUS church calendar is brain dead on their own terms, e.g. how's "New Year" then on 1-Jan etc. It's just stupid-but it's as per the course.
6:58 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876326737782714798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - what goes around, comes around. Europeans have not been exactly shy about their opinions of US politics.
UK's liberal center - 1st CON 14 yrs, now LAB - have shown disturbing lack of interest in governing.
FT Ganesh "but is it true" critique a month-two ago was spot on.
5:55 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876324322752831552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't envy public health officials anywhere. Once it gets to personal life (and death) it's but impossible to hope for a reasonable policy.
Even before that, qualifiers like "none, some, any, all" just woosh over the heads of most people, unnoticed.
Putting people in 2 groups, then observing not only how many, but what fraction of each group experiences something bad (e.g. death), and than saying "we will take the road that leads to the smaller of the two numbers", even if both are non-zero, is some kind of dark art in the minds of most people.
Saying "I don't know which one of you will die, but I can guess how many" somehow is taken as an attack on their persona.
The fact that public health, as they too are made of humans, individually and as an ogranisation organisation will get things wrong too, make bad decisions etc - makes the problems 10x times worse.
On and on it goes. Mission impossible. Slow learners, with big egos.
5:45 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876288670220661189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a first step, we need total surveillance of institutions. A Panopticon—not for us, the citizens, but for the institutions. Institutions that, in theory, exist to serve everyone: individuals as well as the organizations that form the mesh of modern society.
Radical transparency is a necessary, though not sufficient, condition for detecting, correcting, and preventing the kind of institutional decay you describe. The smaller, everyday "cancers" of blind conformity and unchecked careerism metastasize precisely because most institutions lack sufficient feedback loops to self-correct.
Yes—knowing is different from acting. But the system must first know before it can act. Transparency is the enabler of that first step.
After all, even the longest journey begins with a single step.
Radical transparency FTW!
3:24 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876251499267019122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 haha - I had a biloogical cell in mind, but I guess a prison cell analogy works too?
12:56 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876032952888705244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
13 or 14 yo, at the end of the penultimate year of elementary school, on the friend's Sinclair ZX Spectrum 16K :-)
10:28 PM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876014489289854996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't understand how this insane idea that we should not be judging people by their actions, and the outcomes of their actions, came to be tbh.
9:14 PM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875849756804829357
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey what vim/cmd line tools are these? What are you using? Fellow vim/git user here. So far I tried semi-automatic chat, cursor, aider, now VSCode+Cline+OpenRouter Sonet/Deepseek. If it were possible to get the Cline-like workflow in vim that'd improve my life quality - thanks.
10:20 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875848331693580667
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will Grok ever be able to auto-translate X posts without a pedestrian "translate this one for me" to non-English language posts?
It'd be a cool flex if it were the other way around: default automatic translation Babelfish style, and only on demand rarely "show me the original".
10:14 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875726682566668633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my house I got away with 3 pairs of PowerOverEthernet (PoE) like these https://amazon.co.uk/TL-PA9020PKIT-Passthrough-Powerline-Configuration-UK/dp/B01FFBN4MO/ connecting WiFi hotspots to the switch going to the cable modem and WAN. But I presume you investigated PoE already.
From amazon.co.uk
2:11 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875724617551376847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF "who, whom" is the standard mode of operation of like 60-70% of humans. It's ever a minority that's into "is it true". I understand better now how it is, that for most of the history, most of humanity, is run by monsters.
2:02 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875611897221009477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"is it true" supplanting "who, whom" 😇
what a time to be alive
6:34 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875590883153998330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah - I mixed by natural with ecological there, my bad 😂
5:11 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875590142372577679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't want to sound like 1000 year old, but - EM is not the exception but the rule. Like many other media moguls before: acquire control of the media to bend the world towards their wishes. Murdoch, Turner etc, also BBC controlled by the UK gov - same thing.
For us the buystanders the Q should not be "who, whom" (that you are asking), but it should be "is it true?" Do we think 20yrs of rape and muder of (underage) girls as documented and described in some length, is true, or not? And was enough done about it, or not?
5:08 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875586719065813279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - don't fall for "natualist" falacy.
Everything that exists is "natural", axiomatically so. 😇
4:54 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875575073454616946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF he is attacking the political wing of the liberal elite, and the one that most failed at that.
Not Europe. NB how italian PM is not attacked. And also France Macron is not.
The ruling class is making things fairly easy for him, e.g. with the stuff like below 👇
Us bystanders look at the spectacle, and think - do we want more of the thing on the left, or the thing on the right.
The rulling elite fails are many, and are catching up with them.
Without prejudice and presumption, a tip. When judging, at historic turns like the moment we live in, the right Q is "is it true"? (and the wrong Q is "who, whom")
4:08 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875540913486803296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You love the country - good, so do I and many others.
Does your love include loving the people? Does it inlude loving the persons that have been terribly griviously wronged? For decades? And in part by inaction as well as action by your comrades in ideology?
What do you love more - your comrades, or the truth?
Re-read from one of our own -
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
1:52 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875508793968042199
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X is not real life, and TV dramas are not real life either.
This is like witnessing two baldies get in a fight over a comb. The difference being - EM has siginficant means to affect change. While yours are more limited. 😁
"International law against insultation of the holly Jess" is good one though. 😂 Can imagine random UN body chaired by the Afghan Taleban, plus few middle eastern kingdoms' UN ambasadors in session, proclaming on how the women folk of the world are to live their lives. 😂 v.funny tbh
11:45 AM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875505736282992957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Tell us more pls. Tell all what "they will never be able to do", and date stamp it by posting it here.
Makes for a good challenge to motivate the doers, and for some entertainment for us bystanders.
11:33 AM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875500925013434669
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not saying you are wrong there, but: me and youself are expessing opinions only. EM is doing (or saying will do) more than that. He'll put money where his mouth is, to affect the outcome. That's why the selected-elected ruling class takes notice of EM.
Not a terrible outcome TBH. As it seems voters don't put enough of "fear of god" unto them. The rulling class is too comfortable, too sloppy, still in the "business as usual" a-crisis-is-a-PR-crisis-only mode, not feeling enough of voter pain.
Looks we are in a type of imbalance predicament where "moar stick, less carrot" is needed.
11:14 AM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875316390087020959
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - he's putting pressure on UK gov.
But overthrow? How, by what mechanics? The government commands a large majority in Parliament. Next election is years away.
Musk is popular on X, but vast majority of UK population has unfavorable opinion on him. And getting worse.
11:00 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875292304673796409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks boss. bashrc - one can wrap around the conda cr*p a function like so
conda_setup() {
# >>> conda initialize >>>
...conda commands...
# <<< conda initialize <<<
}
so that
1. the conda installer can update at will (not commented out)
2. one can run conda_setup at will
9:25 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875279866985349525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear you are right there. That's why they do it.
And there is no easy remedy, that one. We can only console with "worst system except for all the others tried" etc etc.
8:35 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875265402449637438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Arranging a Blood Test appointment that GP kindly asks me to do once yearly is as follows.
1. Initiate appointment - goto web site my-GP-co-uk.
2. Click "Contact Us Online".
3. Click "I have an admin query".
4. Click "I confirm none are present".
5. Click "Something else", click "Continue".
6. Fill the text box with the query ("I need a BP test appointment please"), click Continue.
7. Select "Contact by SMS" as means of receiving a link back.
8. Receive SMS code to confirm the phone number.
9. Type the sms code in the form, fill contact details, click Submit.
10. Receive SMS back from the GP, with a link.
11. Forward the SMS as email to myself, then click on the link.
12. A web form opens, select the date-time, click Submit.
13. Receive sms with confirmation.
Only today at step 12 the web form timed out, never got to step 13. IDK but suspect b/c it was between hours 12-1pm when I clicked - the GP reception is closed. IK b/c at that time one can not initiate the process, i.e. step 2/3 is not possible.
I will repeat the process on Monday, but with added complication to find out if I have an appointment or not first. A lot of people just give up. Most have other things to do, like - work for a living.
This or similar level of sabotage I suspect is repeated with million sub-units that make up the NHS, when they communicate between themselves daily.
I was told at various times about random privacy "concerns" and similar, as that being the reason the GP can't email me and neither can I email them, how they can't remember save by mobile number etc.
I would have non-zero level of sympathy with the crazies like the good Dr, if it was not for the fact, that in their private lives, they have zero problem using Gmail, Facebook, Twitter, and volunteering their entire private lives to these "evil corporations" and un-anonymised for a good measure!
7:38 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875257141704966508
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ganesh @ FT had an article few months ago of this failure mode of the liberal class. Then I thought could have been titled "...yes - But Is It True?"
Just unbeleivable that needs to be spelled out repeatedly to a significant portion. Even today noticed a few still bleating the same.
(found it - the link is here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027)
7:05 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875199113307750628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't see how tbh. There's no mechanism for that, that I can see myself. Would you care to elucidate?
We had election recently. LAB Keir command huge impenetrable majority in Westminster.
The CON part of the duopoly have shown themselves uninterested in governing, useless and worse for a decade+.
REF - thin on people, and plenty right-wokies there. TBS they are anything more than a protest cosplay larp.
LDM with the sandal hippies departing to the GRN should be a LAB challenger. But still ton of NIMBY boomers there. So far not even trying at open goals e.g. Leasehold. May yet surprise given ED shown himself willing to circus for votes.
What else is there?
3:14 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875190351604117693
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are on strike. 😁
They are selected then elected to make a decision, to decide. The electorate grants them that power.
Yet they refuse to exercise it. What a curious case. Do they hope for second terms, so refuse to take on risk? Is it about character? IDK. A mystery.
2:39 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875187988998901913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing ever that happened to me. Having kids. Had I known what I know now - would have wanted for more, and earlier. Tell younger people - babies take little space, and ask for almost nothing but time and attention. That we mostly have enough to give tbh.
2:30 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875185405798293618
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His intellectual argument is between weak and non existent. Even on in its own terms. No - ideology is not above calling out evil.
A lifetime of education lost on him. Only explanation I got - weak character, weakling. Taking the easy wrong road in preference to the right one.
2:20 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875149866965332031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not this one though. Not capable. What you see now is what you will get in the next 4-5 years.
It's going to be a frustrating slog. Everyone can see, except the selected-elected few that hold monopoly on the power to do something about it.
That invites the follow up: how is it, that the same circumstance arises, even if the characters personalities change?
11:59 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875131738164207616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A chore but not super hard to see the surplus ; at the end of the for loop line. But that's not the point.
The point is to ask yourself "how do I prevent this from hapenning again tomorrow", and or "how does the computer catch this auto-magically tomorrow".
The only guide I know of and found it useful that deals with the above has been "Writing Solid Code" by Steve Maguire. If people have similar pointers - grateful if they share them, thanks.
10:46 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875126935480586301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 If the leader was capable of all these things - the leader would not be in the current predicament. He knows, we learn as much from his words, but he is not capable of executing on any of that.
Like Nokia knew they have to produce an iPhone competitor for 10yrs, but they could not do it. Like german car manufacturers now know they have to produce a competitive EV, but they can't do it.
Don't expect this to percolate into the thick skulls and smooth brains of the commentariat. For a wordcel - puting words on screen *is* doing it.
Commedy gold. What spectacle. At least got something to laugh about in our predicament. 😂
10:27 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875123722472083616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god how are you a historian. Most well known monsters in history had noble goals. "Glory to the people, first among nations, servant of the people" etc. When people proclaim "noble goal" - they may well be you know, just deluded, wrong, or just lying evil monsters. Fail, F.
10:15 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874975437648199702
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That long-form blob is an anti-pattern for X.
Short posts work because the author splits their ideas into discrete chunks—one idea per chunk, if you will. Quanta of ideas. Each post goes on to have a semi-independent life, discussed at different times, by different people, in different contexts.
X should offer a "split long post" feature. The author writes their long post, and X either auto-splits it (based on formatting cues) or assists in splitting it into a thread of properly sized posts. Each cut happens cleanly at natural breakpoints, preserving clarity and flow.
This approach would respect the format and spirit of the platform while solving the long-form problem elegantly.
12:25 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874968118185136144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. Cromagnons and Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we have now. They didn't do anything with it, b/c they had no use of it. B/c they lacked the knowledge that we have now, to do with it something useful for us.
11:56 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874954323102454166
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It may sound crazy talk, but "what's not impossible can happen, however improbable": the LDM-REF challenging, if not replacing LAB-CON duopoly.
LDM maybe better liberals than Starmerites. REF maybe better conservatives than Torries. Events maybe ticking that way.
11:02 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874889829223117155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unlike yourself, which is ...???... none of the things you object to? Phleease. Enough of this self-pitying self-agrandisment.
"They are just like us". Unlike the other computers, the PDP-computers are "just like us". They are the best models we have of how we are.
Don't feel bad though please. 😊 Your thinking is as per the course.
First-Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! of course - then-Copernicus. 😳
Latter-we were special, He made us in His likeness, then-Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh tad uncomfortable but but - we are at least *rational* animals! - then-Freud. 🧐
Slow learners, with big egos.
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
6:45 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874888295416778937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends what do you mean by "in/separable".
All "I" have a membrane, a wall, as a step in the creating the "I". The wall is not impenetrable though! In fact - if it were inepentrable, "I" would not live for long.
But the wall is controlable by "I". The cell decides what in-/out-s through the cell membrane are. I decide what I eat and drink, what I see and hear. And so on.
6:39 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874887089227001874
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @EdwardJDavey leader of @LibDems , hello @TweetingCollins my MP.
Get on this policy and collect "up to" 5M more votes come next elections.
You are not getting free suits free ties free dinners free concerts free nothing from the crooked developers anyways, no?
You have nothing to lose, and you may win the keys to No.10. The LAB-CON crooked establishment is weak and may well give way, rocked by many scandals+coverups yet to come and outrage the public.
Use your chance.
Quote
Harry Scoffin @HarryScoffin · 6h
It’s disturbing and revealing that the @RFAssociation are openly celebrating @UKLabour’s new approach on leasehold.
Campaigners against injustice should challenge state power, not be seduced by it.
We need all groups to be consistently pushing for Operation Warp Speed here. x.com/freeleasehlder…
Show more
6:34 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874884980364521879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - "incredible" if one has rose tinted glasses tbh.
If one is - ahem - more cinical, one might say it's per the course. Sunak had no better policies at his disposal. Before the XL Bully, and after the XL Bully too. After the sucess, one might have thought, that Sunak wd 1) fire his useless advisors, SpAds etc; and 2) hire Dr Newport. Did he though? Nope.
If one is brutal - the Sunaks' political class are imbeciles, led by their politics-adjescent advisors, think-thankers etc, that are themselves idiots. Judged by results not by their characters. (I'm sure they are all fine humans on average)
Which leads us to - how come? How come the cheating lying Trump is the president, and a person capable of making magic stuff happen irl like Musk, is his advisor? Taking orders from Trump. One phone call away from "You Are Fired". And not the other way around.
The above has been, and still is, the norm, not the exception. This is what on average, in aggregate, the electorate want, and vote for, again and again, all things considered.
Suggestions for improvements on that welcome.
6:26 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874863487068832209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@TomPMarshall Replying out of thread.
The good Dr H Wazir blocked me, can't reply in-thread. I blocked her in return. Tit-for-tat is fine cooperation-competition strategy, not much wrong there.
She strikes me as an agitator, organiser, union rep busy bee. Holding the magephone and shouting slogans on the picket line. Not someone concerned with ideas or ideologies. Not much point in discussion there.
I wish her luck. As someone who finances the NHS, and uses the NHS, my interests mostly align with hers, even if they are not 100% aligned. For, NHS was created by "stuffing doctors' mouths with gold", in part.
There is a strain of "we the public/financiers, and the patients/users", are here for them, people working in the NHS, rather than the other way around. That paternalistic and self-serving narative was on display during Covid in the "Save our NHS" slogan.
Which was bonkers. NHS is there to save us, the patients. Not the other way around. But it's per the course to stumble into pseudo-religious fervour in our un-religios age. So don't begrudge that to them, nor the Great British pubic, that much.
For - there are plenty other things worse. NHS have much credit to use up on my account. Remember the local newspaper stories from early Covid. Quite a few retied doctors and other staff, that came back to help, suffered horendeosly (died, perished) in the initial Covid wave. (as it hit oldies dis-proportionatelly)
Anyways. This is a ToC of my posts in the thread. As X does not make it easy to read long chains.
1) Data for all free no restrictions benefits me the current patient, and benefits future patiens. The fears are overblown and have not been born by reality
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874205089956606136
2) I originate my medical data but it's NHS that collects it. Data is copied not moved. (computer revolution, Internet, now AI, were all creations of people assuming the best in others; in a world of all-Dr H Wazir-s the worst is assumed)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874209231756509396
3) Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP. People die that could not, should not have
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874403509031915681
4) "Use my data please, people witholding theirs anon contribtion are sociopaths" (all while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874464247998025803
5) "Embrace technology, embrace AI, we all want to have a personal doctor, like the King has"
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874617037969846652
Quote
https://x.com/TomPMarshall/status/1874781582386708501
Tom Marshall @TomPMarshall · 13h
Replying to @DrHWazir and @ljupc0
Opt in or opt out consent?
Opt in:
- no more CPRD, IMRD, ResearchOne, QResearch
- need special exemption for cancer registry
- the end of a lot of pharmacoepidemiology & other research
Opt out:
- that’s the present situation
COI: I am a researcher who uses primary care data
Show more
5:01 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874846594341761395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - things like this are incomprehensible to me too.
One reasonable explanation for our confusion is - we misunderstand what career politicos like Sir Keir are like. We usually think - "he is like me". It's only natural to think so!
But no. They are different. Carreer politicos we have will almost prostitute themselves for several thousant pounds. They were selected for that explicitly, by our political system.
Imagine - many candidates, jostling for position, and 1st half are "take freebies shaft the public interest in exchange for an expensive dinner, concert or few ties and suits", and 2nd half are "no, I will not sell my ideals, no matter what". Well - our (and most other) systems let the 1st guys to advance to the next level, while discarding the 2nd group.
3:53 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874821443063525849
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😊 - very good. 👍
In a sense, going after the form, instead of the function, looking for beauty, rather than truth - maybe 2nd best, soo - likely it's not the worst. 😁
Say collectively we are tad stupid, tad dim. Well than electing Kardashians as our leaders, because of their appealing looks while not the best, may not be the worst either. One can console - they trully represent us.
It maybe gets us 70-80% of the ideally achievable? And with 20-30% of the effort? Aiming to 100% quality PM, may require inordinate effort. And much better quality of us, the polity electing our politicians.
2:13 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874781965553123589
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bingo!! khmkhm - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
11:37 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874619001013416440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Old school Propaganda tbh. For sure Germany and the Soviet Union, cca 1930s. Probably earlier examples someplace too. Modern version is Bannon's "flood the field with shit".
Producing random lies in industrial quantities does indeed drown us in noise and exhaust our information processing capacity. It works. It kills the idea of any one definite truth existing.
Having said that: the widespread fears that fake videos will play big part in elections, that Social Media will influence voters in a big way - afaik didn't quite materialize. Or no one complained about it.
12:49 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874617037969846652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and instead of embracing any and all technology to help you, lessen the load, be more productive - you are dead set against??
The NHS spending is probably at historic high. There is a limit to how much the country can spend. Aging population, i.e. all of us dying latter rather than earlier is the underlying cause. Yeah - one one can always decide to spend more on this. But that also means spend less on something else.
Things you advocate for - just make no sense to me. Sorry.
12:41 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874615841775308983
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, seems to me, you project too much virtue, and think them more capable than they are. They are both not that virtuous, and have less control too.
They f*ckup, as it's not that hard to f*ckup. My actions today, will come to consequence few years in the future. The final outcome depends on 10-20 additional factors, to various degrees impossible to foresee now, and out of my control too for a good measure.
So when the judgement comes. I try to wiggle out of the spotlight, but not always possible as everyone tries the same. Sometimes I'm left without a musical chair. Then the only remaining option for me is to throw my hands up, and say "I meant well".
This does not apply to cases where millions of people could foresee a disaster, made good arguments against my actions, and told me so. Then events transpired like prophesized. E.g. Blair on Iraq.
12:37 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874608007906013411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can sense for early signals. One I noticed.
Pre-election fears: deep fakes are going to bambozzle people, social networks will drive them creazy.
Post-election: nothing of the above happens. No one looks back, tries tally: what did we fear, what did happen, how do the two compare?
I think even people, like e.g. Hinton (that I otherwise like and have all the time in the world for; e.g. "they are just like us" is golden) got tad overconfident. That were mightily surprised by the success of ChatGPT-and-friends, even while working in the field for 40yrs! They could not predict the rise of ChatGPT in their own field! That came as a huge surprise. Why think that they can predict what next - just baffles me.
On the other hand, battlefield robots under Ukraine war evolutionary pressure are shaping exactly like people fear. Every month a new advance. But nothing much can be done there. No one can say "have people kill other people" instead. Until Putin orders his army home - it will be battlefield robots evolution at max speed.
12:05 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874584310852030576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see DeepSeek Coder being an option. IDK which version. I am keen to try it too, will report back what comes out of it. TBD
OpenAI o1. I see o1-preview and o1-mini available to me via the API. But not o1 proper. IDK whether it's not available to me, or I'm doing sth wrong.
10:31 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874576082050986399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are few available. Musk-Reform-Farage alliance will be spoilt for choice which one to waponize for political gains. Plus add the coverups too. The poltical class have been playing on easy mode, gotten soft and sloppy.
BBC monopoly + press barrons made it easier to narrative control. Collapse of old MSM, rise of new SocMed, will be what lights the fire. Note the avalanche on X today on the grooming rapist gangs and the coverups.
9:59 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874514903580434637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this https://johndcook.com/blog/2012/12/17/the-lindy-effect/?
My shorthand/reading of it this. Lifetimes of intellectual artifacts follow power law distribution. Assume survival time is a random variable X with a Pareto distribution with p.d.f f(t)=c/t^(c+1) for t≥1, c>0 (==power law b/c pdf is proportional to power of t).
If c>1, then expected X is E(X)=c/(c-1). Conditional expectation of X given X survived time k to now is E(X|X>k)=ck/(c-1). So expected additional life for X is ck/(c-1)–k=k/(c-1) and is proportional to the amount of life k seen so far. If c=2, the expected additional life equals the life seen so far.
johndcook.com
Lindy effect
The longer a technology has been around, the longer it's likely to stay around. This is a consequence of the Lindy effect. Nassim Taleb describes this effect in Antifragile but doesn't provide much...
5:55 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874505941988634901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In music for new bands this used to be called "the curse of the second album"? A new band would pour their heart and soul, and all their previous lives experience - even if of say 10yrs of it - into their first album, first LP record.
Then for the 2nd album they will have ~18 month of experience/ideas to draw from. Time they mostly spent touring random towns across the country, staying in cheap hotels, rarely more than 24h iin one place. Unsurprisingly, for a significant portion of new bands, that second LP record was huge letdown to the fans of the first one.
5:20 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874464247998025803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speak for yourself please. I'm happy not only to sell, but to give away data about my body. To each their own.
The data while inside my body is only mine. Not shared with anyone. Once NHS using their expertise and resources get that data out - imo they get rights to it too. What they do with it is as much up to them, as it is up to me. I can always withold consent and not share my individual data.
To me that feels socio-pathic. People deriving gains from communal effort. While explicitly refusing to contribute to it, even if it costs them little to nothing to do so. I hope yours is a minority opinion. For if we all did that - we will all be worse off.
2:34 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874404910810460627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish it did. I fear it does not. Afaik we know of no present or past large group of humans, where the group puts zero restrictions of some sort to the freedom of the individual. While still remaining in existence as a group.
10:38 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874403509031915681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Firstly, read the artile. It's about sale of data.
If data is not sold for cash, then how is NHS to be compensated? Not compensated? - so doing all the work for free? By getting equity in any results that come out of any research done - who can possibly track and assess what data item contributed to what result? Imposible. Not share the data with the world? Well - no data no medicines. As simple as.
The article says little about opt-outs. Opt-outs ae available now, and indeed at least one comment reads -
> I opted out twice by the way including the last time the new opt out was publicised. Anyone in the UK is allowed to do that.
Witholding your contribution to the comunal good, while helping yourself to the good things that come out of the common effort - well that for me is some kind of psychopathy, or soiciopathy to be more precise. Think it goes by the name "Tragedy of the commons".
Secondly - can a company exist if it makes a loss? Will our baker be open, selling our daily bread, if they make a loss? No - they will close their doors, stop existing. Bakers will stay home watching daytime TV. We will go without bread.
By definition - any existing company must make a profit, even a tiny one, or at worst be at zero. Companies where outgoings are greater than incomings, that's a loss - well they stop existing. Companies want our data b/c that is good for them and for us. We want to give the data to the companies, b/c that is good for us and for them.
The absurd "data protection" laws have their downsides. They don't come free of costs. They cost time, effort - and ultimatelly - lives. Good things that could have happened - don't happen.
My GP refuses to take my email address, citing "laws". Well - now it takes 10x times longer to get an appointment. I can not email them picures, or communicate them written information via email. Well - now some things are missed that would have been noticed otherwise. Writing letters on paper, sms messaging with web links (name other costly in labour and time means of commiuncation) - that delays diagnosis and ultimatelly treatment. Patients having to go and collect in person pieces of paper that GP could have emailed to myself and/or the Blood Test lab - well that means good number of patients simply don't do it! We forget or are busy (we work for a living!), various illnesses are detected latter than otherwise would have been, or not detected until too late.
And on and on it goes. Ludites hobbling the workings of the NHS - then turning around and complaining how bad it is.
10:33 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874288559596986751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Write them down. Take your ideas out of your head, put them down on paper or on a computer. Keep doing it. The more you practice this, the better you become at articulating your thoughs. No need to show them to anyone else or discuss them. Just writing them down goes a long way.
2:56 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874286712337145957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There was a .@yishan prophetic thread, posted at some point after EM takeover. Relaying his Reddit experience. How there's plenty of perfectly legal speech, that many insane people write on a platform, that ultimatelly destroys the platform. Unless reined in one way or another. After a critical mass (2%? 4%?) of lunatics show up, drawn everyone else by shouting most and loudest - sane(r) majority simply stays away. The one bona fide diagnosed psychiatric illness case I have personaly seen - the guy simply had super-human energy. With the bad actors on X, this tragedy of the commons is further amplified by the financial rewards.
2:49 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874214276426006573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mirrors my journey.
1. Start with ChatGPT copy&pasta - works but limited & manual, little time saved.
2. Onto Cursor - nice but not much gained, not even wrong.
3. Over to aider cmd line - some result there, even if cr*p result... but looks like it could be improved?
4. Current VSCode gui + Cline addon + OpenRouter payg credits + Claude model. Well hello!! Finally produced something not obviously wrong.
Moar at https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874200101104820252
10:01 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874210528933056518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...charge as high - but also charge as low as one pleases too. Once one is richer than any single human than ever lived - one maybe after things other than $$$. I can envisige Starlink charging as low a price as possible - Amazon style - to zero company profit.
9:46 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...charge as high - but also charge as low as one pleases too. Once one is richer than any single human than ever lived - one maybe after things other than $$$. I can envisige Starlink charging as low a price as possible - Amazon style - to zero company profit.
9:46 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874209231756509396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is forcing anything on anyone. People that want to withold their data - can do so. We are talking about defaults. What's assumed if unsaid explicitly.
The data is within us the patients - true. But I can not, I am not able to, run the tests that get that data out of me and into a computer. Those tests are run by the NHS, paid for by all of the UK. So it's a bit over the top for me to say "the data now belongs me exclusivelly".
Especially given that data is not like a car: me giving my data to you, does not deprive me of the same data. I still have it, I can still use it as I please. Data is copied - data is not moved. Your stance is uncharacteristically anti-social and extremely individualistic there tbh.
Looking back. The computer revolution, then the Internet revolution, now the AI revolution, happened and were mostly done by midly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds. I see that now. Normies are too selfish, to self-entitled to create something for all, for free, for the love of the creation, and nothing else.
9:41 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is forcing anything on anyone. People that want to withold their data - can do so. We are talking about defaults. What's assumed if unsaid explicitly.
The data is within us the patients - true. But I can not, I am not able to, run the tests that get that data out of me and into a computer. Those tests are run by the NHS, paid for by all of the UK. So it's a bit over the top for me to say "the data now belongs me exclusivelly".
Especially given that data is not like a car: me giving my data to you, does not deprive me of the same data. I still have it, I can still use it as I please. Data is copied - data is not moved. Your stance is uncharacteristically anti-social and extremely individualistic there tbh.
Looking back. The computer revolution, then the Internet revolution, now the AI revolution, happened and were mostly done by midly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds. I see that now. Normies are too selfish, to self-entitled to create something for all, for free, for the love of the creation, and nothing else.
9:41 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874205089956606136
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary. We should enable any and all use of patient data. To the benefit of current and future patients.
We should assume consent by default. We should publicize the data use, and thank profusely all contributors for their contributions to all of humanity. We should explain what good things we hope to come from their data. Data they kindly and generously contributed for the benefit for all - present and future humans,
We shold also allow for an easury route for the entitled selfish few to withraw their data too. We don't need to shame them.
9:24 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary. We should enable any and all use of patient data. To the benefit of current and future patients.
We should assume consent by default. We should publicize the data use, and thank profusely all contributors for their contributions to all of humanity. We should explain what good things we hope to come from their data. Data they kindly and generously contributed for the benefit for all - present and future humans,
We shold also allow for an easury route for the entitled selfish few to withraw their data too. We don't need to shame them.
9:24 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874200101104820252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - longer report. :-)
Until today the best I got was: in ChatGPT-o4/o1- etc, copy & paste code snippet(s), ask a Question, then incorporate the Answer in the soluton. So this was a replacement for 1) googling and reading web pages 2) search through Stackoverflow Q&A.
This is the 1st time I got code inserted in 3 files. That required AI to 1) read through 5-6 files 2) compare and contrast, reason by analogy 3) take my requirement Q in considerion 4) edit 3 files, delete some code, insert some other code.
I have my main codebase, about 200K LoC in an array/matrix language mostly, with some C/C++/bash/awk/sql too.
I'm agnostic Re: tools. Fallback always available is bash/vim/Makefile/gcc/g++/gdb/ddd/shell/... tools. But if IDE like VSCode/Spyder/CLion/Matlab/DBeaver is available - I'm happy to use. As long as it's not exlcusive, and one can edit/setup outside the IDE too. And esp important version contol - git now, prev hg, cvs, Teams. If that works - then all is good.
I tried Cursor. That looked hopeful, but did not get me results. I didn't like not being able to use existing API subscriptions in it. Also them using some kind of LLM in-house undocumented bodge. (I maybe wrong/maybe possible - didn't try too hard)
I then tried aider, a command line tool. That managed mutiple edits, but to not too good results. Waste of time wrt results, but: it was a good learning curve for me. I PAYG subscribed OpenAI -> DeepSeek -> OpenRouter.
OpenRouter leader board led me to Cline VSCode addon. Latest-greatest setup atm 1) VSCode 2) with Cline Addon 3) OpenRouter API key (payg credits) 4) select Claude 3.5 via openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet.
The dev task was as follows. Functionality A/B/C needs implementong. Look at existing wrapper X implementing A/B/C, while using Y external library for A/B. Create new wrapper U, to use external library W, in the same way X is using Y, to do the similar A/B. (C is done in X and U respectivelly) E.g. - see how the data is passed X-to-Y, then do it the same way U-to-W. Look at examples code in the W library, figure how to do A/B.
This to avoid doing the reading abt W and figuring A/B myself. I can do it myself, have done it half a dozen times already, for U/W equivalents, but: bit boring, and wanted to find out if I can make AI do it for me.
Have yet to finish the full loop, the code does not run yet. But - before it was laughably obviously bad and wrong. Now - the 1st time where the code looks plausable. Need to do a harness to test finally. To be continued.
I hear you Re: people reporting good results. That's per the course. People that get a result (like myself now) - write about it. People that don't (like myself before) - don't report it. It's like scientific publishing - huge positive results bias. (negative results not published)
TBC
9:04 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - longer report. :-)
Until today the best I got was: in ChatGPT-o4/o1- etc, copy & paste code snippet(s), ask a Question, then incorporate the Answer in the soluton. So this was a replacement for 1) googling and reading web pages 2) search through Stackoverflow Q&A.
This is the 1st time I got code inserted in 3 files. That required AI to 1) read through 5-6 files 2) compare and contrast, reason by analogy 3) take my requirement Q in considerion 4) edit 3 files, delete some code, insert some other code.
I have my main codebase, about 200K LoC in an array/matrix language mostly, with some C/C++/bash/awk/sql too.
I'm agnostic Re: tools. Fallback always available is bash/vim/Makefile/gcc/g++/gdb/ddd/shell/... tools. But if IDE like VSCode/Spyder/CLion/Matlab/DBeaver is available - I'm happy to use. As long as it's not exlcusive, and one can edit/setup outside the IDE too. And esp important version contol - git now, prev hg, cvs, Teams. If that works - then all is good.
I tried Cursor. That looked hopeful, but did not get me results. I didn't like not being able to use existing API subscriptions in it. Also them using some kind of LLM in-house undocumented bodge. (I maybe wrong/maybe possible - didn't try too hard)
I then tried aider, a command line tool. That managed mutiple edits, but to not too good results. Waste of time wrt results, but: it was a good learning curve for me. I PAYG subscribed OpenAI -> DeepSeek -> OpenRouter.
OpenRouter leader board led me to Cline VSCode addon. Latest-greatest setup atm 1) VSCode 2) with Cline Addon 3) OpenRouter API key (payg credits) 4) select Claude 3.5 via openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet.
The dev task was as follows. Functionality A/B/C needs implementong. Look at existing wrapper X implementing A/B/C, while using Y external library for A/B. Create new wrapper U, to use external library W, in the same way X is using Y, to do the similar A/B. (C is done in X and U respectivelly) E.g. - see how the data is passed X-to-Y, then do it the same way U-to-W. Look at examples code in the W library, figure how to do A/B.
This to avoid doing the reading abt W and figuring A/B myself. I can do it myself, have done it half a dozen times already, for U/W equivalents, but: bit boring, and wanted to find out if I can make AI do it for me.
Have yet to finish the full loop, the code does not run yet. But - before it was laughably obviously bad and wrong. Now - the 1st time where the code looks plausable. Need to do a harness to test finally. To be continued.
I hear you Re: people reporting good results. That's per the course. People that get a result (like myself now) - write about it. People that don't (like myself before) - don't report it. It's like scientific publishing - huge positive results bias. (negative results not published)
TBC
9:04 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874195853692510605
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing happens next ~1.5yrs, election too far away. By mid-2027 LAB MPs realise election's coming & they'll be kicked out. UKRight weaponizes law & order breakdown. Esp grooming-rapist gangs long since kicked in the long grass & thought forgotten - come back with a vengeance.
8:48 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing happens next ~1.5yrs, election too far away. By mid-2027 LAB MPs realise election's coming & they'll be kicked out. UKRight weaponizes law & order breakdown. Esp grooming-rapist gangs long since kicked in the long grass & thought forgotten - come back with a vengeance.
8:48 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874183604500316507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But - Why?? Why would I live for someone else's pleasure, and not mine? I don't get it. What's in there for me?
7:59 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But - Why?? Why would I live for someone else's pleasure, and not mine? I don't get it. What's in there for me?
7:59 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874173823425421523
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You named the perpetators - kudos.
Now name the enablers. Hope you are not afraid to.
Each and every one of us, we all have agency, we have the freedom to do as we please.
With entitlements come responsibilities. We are individually responsible for our actions.
Names, please.
7:20 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You named the perpetators - kudos.
Now name the enablers. Hope you are not afraid to.
Each and every one of us, we all have agency, we have the freedom to do as we please.
With entitlements come responsibilities. We are individually responsible for our actions.
Names, please.
7:20 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874161248629383453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No you are not. You are very level - as you should be. Kudos to you.
A lesser person - e.g. me - would be less forgiving to the entitled attitude on display by the noob.
6:30 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No you are not. You are very level - as you should be. Kudos to you.
A lesser person - e.g. me - would be less forgiving to the entitled attitude on display by the noob.
6:30 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874159800537448797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG preach more 😱 This' music for my soul 🥰 Ditto @bensharp555 convo below...
Yeah @realDonaldTrump blatantly stealing the 2020 election not returning power to the people where he failed did a bad job. A uge, uge mark against the dude.
6:24 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG preach more 😱 This' music for my soul 🥰 Ditto @bensharp555 convo below...
Yeah @realDonaldTrump blatantly stealing the 2020 election not returning power to the people where he failed did a bad job. A uge, uge mark against the dude.
6:24 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874151356044566588
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хex 😶 - има разлика.
Меѓу вода од поток.
И чиста вода пластично шише, што стјуардеса ми го дава во рака, во метална цевка тешка 200 тони, дури седам во фотеља што е 10000м високо во воздух, и лета се брзина 800 км/ч. 😆
Има разлика. 😊
5:51 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хex 😶 - има разлика.
Меѓу вода од поток.
И чиста вода пластично шише, што стјуардеса ми го дава во рака, во метална цевка тешка 200 тони, дури седам во фотеља што е 10000м високо во воздух, и лета се брзина 800 км/ч. 😆
Има разлика. 😊
5:51 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874143636499181864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The West creates. (Along with other less savory byproducts.)
What did you create? Nothing.
No—less than nothing. You created a negative. A false idol. A common criminal cretin elevated to represent hundred million people. With the option -still open- to destroy all civilisations of the World.
Take an exit now. You’ve done enough—enough damage, enough harm.
For the love of God—just go.
5:20 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The West creates. (Along with other less savory byproducts.)
What did you create? Nothing.
No—less than nothing. You created a negative. A false idol. A common criminal cretin elevated to represent hundred million people. With the option -still open- to destroy all civilisations of the World.
Take an exit now. You’ve done enough—enough damage, enough harm.
For the love of God—just go.
5:20 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874105279219978359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and you guys got this only - now??
What next - you will now start thinking about how to construct society without the ultimate backstop, the threat of ultimatelly deadly force?
Cool - but hear from you about an alternative - when?? One with even the smidgen of a chance of working. Working, as in - scaling up to billions of humans, in advanced civilisation, enabling cooperation and competition and meaningful lives and ... (long loundry lit of requiriments, insert here).
Many keep trying utopian alternatives - khmkhm...communism...last to bite the dust...khmhm - few got much result back to brag about.
2:48 PM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and you guys got this only - now??
What next - you will now start thinking about how to construct society without the ultimate backstop, the threat of ultimatelly deadly force?
Cool - but hear from you about an alternative - when?? One with even the smidgen of a chance of working. Working, as in - scaling up to billions of humans, in advanced civilisation, enabling cooperation and competition and meaningful lives and ... (long loundry lit of requiriments, insert here).
Many keep trying utopian alternatives - khmkhm...communism...last to bite the dust...khmhm - few got much result back to brag about.
2:48 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874102448765403364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa! Seems a combo of VSCode + Cline Addon + OpenRouter API payg credits + Claude 3.5 (via openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet) is actually doing useful stuff for me. Well well well
all-was-art-now.png
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa! Seems a combo of VSCode + Cline Addon + OpenRouter API payg credits + Claude 3.5 (via openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet) is actually doing useful stuff for me. Well well well
all-was-art-now.png
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873697320618819660
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 30
Replying to @thepanta82
Hm, tried Cursor - ok for small things. But did not gain much over "copy&paste in ChatGPT". And did nothing for me for bigger things.
Now trying Aider that looks more suited to aiding in a larger codebase. (~100K LoC, but in an array/matrix language) Tried instruction like "Look
Show more
2:36 PM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873974079008743658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt anyone can know with any certainty tbh. Possibly only the person that said it. I suspect it's their (complicated) way of saying "I like you/not".
Speaking from position of some authority having passed an exam/course "Marxism something or other" in year 1 (or 2?) of uni, an obligatory subject at uni growing up in then socialist country in abt 1988 😆
6:06 AM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I doubt anyone can know with any certainty tbh. Possibly only the person that said it. I suspect it's their (complicated) way of saying "I like you/not".
Speaking from position of some authority having passed an exam/course "Marxism something or other" in year 1 (or 2?) of uni, an obligatory subject at uni growing up in then socialist country in abt 1988 😆
6:06 AM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873963633581187445
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear - lets hope it happens. 😊
Previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847914069317042309 , and https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871190163323290008 .
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 23
I agree that at this point, the remedy should be open source, open weights, open thoughts—free as in freedom, even if not as beer. ;-)
But I disagree with the idea that we should jail people for copying data I create and publish to the world. The EU should scrap GDPR, and the UK x.com/TheRegister/st…
Show more
5:25 AM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear - lets hope it happens. 😊
Previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847914069317042309 , and https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871190163323290008 .
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 23
I agree that at this point, the remedy should be open source, open weights, open thoughts—free as in freedom, even if not as beer. ;-)
But I disagree with the idea that we should jail people for copying data I create and publish to the world. The EU should scrap GDPR, and the UK x.com/TheRegister/st…
Show more
5:25 AM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873962238584803558
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like the following idea is articulated in the answers?
Seriousness=the rules, the structure, external to me, that in which the play happens. Play=me, doing something, an activity, within the confines of the structure seriousness provides.
Similar or spin on the same idea - an objective function, and searching through it.
Seriousness=objective function, terrain structure of hills and vallies provided externally, fixed immovable. Play=myself exploring that terrain, either searching seeking something there, or just randomly walking for the joys of it (the walk, the sights).
5:19 AM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like the following idea is articulated in the answers?
Seriousness=the rules, the structure, external to me, that in which the play happens. Play=me, doing something, an activity, within the confines of the structure seriousness provides.
Similar or spin on the same idea - an objective function, and searching through it.
Seriousness=objective function, terrain structure of hills and vallies provided externally, fixed immovable. Play=myself exploring that terrain, either searching seeking something there, or just randomly walking for the joys of it (the walk, the sights).
5:19 AM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873931634262921419
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hehe ngl it's been a guilty pleasure watching Hinton dropping "they are just like us" truth bombs at the feet of flabbergasted interviers 😆😈
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
3:18 AM · Dec 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hehe ngl it's been a guilty pleasure watching Hinton dropping "they are just like us" truth bombs at the feet of flabbergasted interviers 😆😈
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
3:18 AM · Dec 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873786927016796230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Khm-khm - Merkel... every rule has an exception. Esp hard with decisions where the future events - yet to happen - brings a verdict.
5:43 PM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Khm-khm - Merkel... every rule has an exception. Esp hard with decisions where the future events - yet to happen - brings a verdict.
5:43 PM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873697753999851534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - and then next, put the whole thing in version control (git?) ;-)
11:48 AM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - and then next, put the whole thing in version control (git?) ;-)
11:48 AM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873697320618819660
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, tried Cursor - ok for small things. But did not gain much over "copy&paste in ChatGPT". And did nothing for me for bigger things.
Now trying Aider that looks more suited to aiding in a larger codebase. (~100K LoC, but in an array/matrix language) Tried instruction like "Look at existing wrapper X using Y external library. Pls create new wrapper U, to use external W, the same way X is using Y. See how the data is passed X-to-Y - then do it the same way U-to-W". So far to poor results. :-(
Both o1-mini and deepseek. Will keep re-trying from time to time. It's fun - and sth may come out of it. Or at least more fun than the manual-me. That's become boring to me by now tbh.
11:47 AM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, tried Cursor - ok for small things. But did not gain much over "copy&paste in ChatGPT". And did nothing for me for bigger things.
Now trying Aider that looks more suited to aiding in a larger codebase. (~100K LoC, but in an array/matrix language) Tried instruction like "Look at existing wrapper X using Y external library. Pls create new wrapper U, to use external W, the same way X is using Y. See how the data is passed X-to-Y - then do it the same way U-to-W". So far to poor results. :-(
Both o1-mini and deepseek. Will keep re-trying from time to time. It's fun - and sth may come out of it. Or at least more fun than the manual-me. That's become boring to me by now tbh.
11:47 AM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873686474295595212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Code Reading" by @CoolSWEng is that rare book that actually concerns itself with teching people how to read large codebases.
Every newcomer in an organisation will be confronted with multi-million codebases on day 1 that they have to grok in order to do their job.
Strangeley - this is not something I was taught at Uni. I mean - my code writing teaching was poor. (how could it be better when the teachers were not developers themselves? they simply didn't know) But code reading - that was not even on the radar.
It occured to me too late in my Uni education that - "no one can teach you what they themselves don't know". Wish a good samaritan spelled that to me earlier. 😂
11:04 AM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Code Reading" by @CoolSWEng is that rare book that actually concerns itself with teching people how to read large codebases.
Every newcomer in an organisation will be confronted with multi-million codebases on day 1 that they have to grok in order to do their job.
Strangeley - this is not something I was taught at Uni. I mean - my code writing teaching was poor. (how could it be better when the teachers were not developers themselves? they simply didn't know) But code reading - that was not even on the radar.
It occured to me too late in my Uni education that - "no one can teach you what they themselves don't know". Wish a good samaritan spelled that to me earlier. 😂
11:04 AM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873683342488752328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ehh - if Keir & Co were capable of 1) seeing this 2) executing it - they would already be doing it.
Our predicament is that the political class part of the elite has been selected for other traits. Traits that are between useless & activelly harmful in the current environment.
10:51 AM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ehh - if Keir & Co were capable of 1) seeing this 2) executing it - they would already be doing it.
Our predicament is that the political class part of the elite has been selected for other traits. Traits that are between useless & activelly harmful in the current environment.
10:51 AM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873680077873164518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 haha - same, Taleb my "twin" too and blocked too; obsession is Musk - maybe b/c been blocked by Naval too 😂 v.funny
10:38 AM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 haha - same, Taleb my "twin" too and blocked too; obsession is Musk - maybe b/c been blocked by Naval too 😂 v.funny
10:38 AM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873675821874848117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unininformed guess, pure speculation, I'm not a roboticists: software more than hardware.
It was impossible to program various activations of the actuators by hand. Now with Machine Learning of various sorts - these programs are learned from data, not created by roboticists by hand crafting them. Including maybe from simulators.
Hardware - ever more power dense batteries. ARM cpu NV gpu poweful yet still not super power-hungry to run various algos on the robots.
Entirely non-data supported hallucinated on my part! Don't take this seriously please.
10:21 AM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unininformed guess, pure speculation, I'm not a roboticists: software more than hardware.
It was impossible to program various activations of the actuators by hand. Now with Machine Learning of various sorts - these programs are learned from data, not created by roboticists by hand crafting them. Including maybe from simulators.
Hardware - ever more power dense batteries. ARM cpu NV gpu poweful yet still not super power-hungry to run various algos on the robots.
Entirely non-data supported hallucinated on my part! Don't take this seriously please.
10:21 AM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873673736815288480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! From the Cipolla book-pamphlet on human stupidity. Additionally as per Bismarck observation, add "energetic" (so "energetic and stupid") - and that's really a lethal combo. What 1 energetic fool can do, it takes 10 smart industrious pple to fix undo afterwards.
human-stupidity-laws.png
10:13 AM · Dec 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! From the Cipolla book-pamphlet on human stupidity. Additionally as per Bismarck observation, add "energetic" (so "energetic and stupid") - and that's really a lethal combo. What 1 energetic fool can do, it takes 10 smart industrious pple to fix undo afterwards.
human-stupidity-laws.png
10:13 AM · Dec 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873460028197187817
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wild to think that US, UK, and other governments have been trying to kill off **proper** encryption for nearly half a century now.
That PGP—the basis for real encryption for us the great unwashed—survived is a miracle. Clung to life by the sheer willpower of a handful of unsung heroes who turned out to be prophets and saints (in their own ways). Aided by the random, quirky legal loopholes in an improbable jurisdiction, unlikely creation itself by events centuries prior. 😆
If this were a movie plot, no studio would greenlight it—far too implausible, too far-fetched. And yet and yet—it is another entry to the Reality is Stranger than Fiction ledger.
8:04 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wild to think that US, UK, and other governments have been trying to kill off **proper** encryption for nearly half a century now.
That PGP—the basis for real encryption for us the great unwashed—survived is a miracle. Clung to life by the sheer willpower of a handful of unsung heroes who turned out to be prophets and saints (in their own ways). Aided by the random, quirky legal loopholes in an improbable jurisdiction, unlikely creation itself by events centuries prior. 😆
If this were a movie plot, no studio would greenlight it—far too implausible, too far-fetched. And yet and yet—it is another entry to the Reality is Stranger than Fiction ledger.
8:04 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873453723332309329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I call them by their original name - govnojed-s.
The more commonly known "useful idiots" is too respectful.
7:39 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I call them by their original name - govnojed-s.
The more commonly known "useful idiots" is too respectful.
7:39 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873450507454320763
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do we get a better calibre of politicians in the UK? (if that's at all possible?)
Their cartoon villan (EM) has put 8000 satelites around plant Earth. And will at some point provide high speed Interent, at low price, to all of humanity. One not easily interruptable, as it will not be ISP - thus not Keir-, Stella-, ... etc - controlled. (free speech, level 11 😆)
They think it's good PR to crow that thier mates over the Channel have managed to mandate the shape of the end of a 2m long cable, few years old now. 😂
And Stella below thinks that this is winning. 😭
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do we get a better calibre of politicians in the UK? (if that's at all possible?)
Their cartoon villan (EM) has put 8000 satelites around plant Earth. And will at some point provide high speed Interent, at low price, to all of humanity. One not easily interruptable, as it will not be ISP - thus not Keir-, Stella-, ... etc - controlled. (free speech, level 11 😆)
They think it's good PR to crow that thier mates over the Channel have managed to mandate the shape of the end of a 2m long cable, few years old now. 😂
And Stella below thinks that this is winning. 😭
Quote
https://x.com/stellacreasy/status/1873111919105868175
stellacreasy @stellacreasy · 23h
Hey! Did you know Europe took on Big tech and used its size to stand up to make us all more powerful …🤓
We can either let Reform and co keep boasting cutting ties with other nations is smart, or tell the truth about the benefits of cooperation. When someone next 1/2
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7:26 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873447336682107165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open weights open thoughts free AI computation for e/acc—now! 🥰
There.
I thought only meta-data mattered for reach? And even there - timeliness 100x times more than anything else? So to drive up traffic and engagement.
Has anything changed there? Are you saying X now understand the content, the data?? And not only meta-data? Big if true. 😆
7:13 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open weights open thoughts free AI computation for e/acc—now! 🥰
There.
I thought only meta-data mattered for reach? And even there - timeliness 100x times more than anything else? So to drive up traffic and engagement.
Has anything changed there? Are you saying X now understand the content, the data?? And not only meta-data? Big if true. 😆
7:13 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873428305203839075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good. Love the observation that “Silicon Valley is a religious institution”—spot on. (SV is indeed that, among other things; see the recent travelogue report by .@RuxandraTeslo)
However, around 20'50", there’s an idea that science and technology are inherently materialistic—presumably in the mechanistic sense of 18th-century philosophy. I think Paul is quite mistaken there.
One peek at .@Plinz's many YouTube appearances should quickly disabuse anyone of that notion.
Even starting from first principles thinking: software is pure ideas, pure idealism. Yes, it runs on the substrate of hardware, but still—no single instance of “Word” or “Chrome” ever materializes inside your computer. Or if you prefer, an entirely different one materializes every nanosecond.
Or consider physics. At the very bottom, we arrive at pure energy, described not in material terms but as vibrations (frequencies) or even stranger attributes. That doesn’t sound very materialistic to me.
And if you accept the premise of “it from bit”—the idea that information underpins reality—that again is very much non-materialistic.
At scales approaching ~1e-36m, physics seems not only non-material but also non-deterministic.
Plenty of room for Paul’s God down there, I’d say.
5:58 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good. Love the observation that “Silicon Valley is a religious institution”—spot on. (SV is indeed that, among other things; see the recent travelogue report by .@RuxandraTeslo)
However, around 20'50", there’s an idea that science and technology are inherently materialistic—presumably in the mechanistic sense of 18th-century philosophy. I think Paul is quite mistaken there.
One peek at .@Plinz's many YouTube appearances should quickly disabuse anyone of that notion.
Even starting from first principles thinking: software is pure ideas, pure idealism. Yes, it runs on the substrate of hardware, but still—no single instance of “Word” or “Chrome” ever materializes inside your computer. Or if you prefer, an entirely different one materializes every nanosecond.
Or consider physics. At the very bottom, we arrive at pure energy, described not in material terms but as vibrations (frequencies) or even stranger attributes. That doesn’t sound very materialistic to me.
And if you accept the premise of “it from bit”—the idea that information underpins reality—that again is very much non-materialistic.
At scales approaching ~1e-36m, physics seems not only non-material but also non-deterministic.
Plenty of room for Paul’s God down there, I’d say.
5:58 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873397502877041132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thatt?? That's the level of aspiration? A cable/connector??
This is so so dumb. This like out of "The Dumb and the Dumber". Perfomative theater, politics as pure PR antics.
For the benefit your readers.
EU was part of the Computer Revolution both as producer and consumer. EU missed the Internet Revolution as a producer - participating only as consumer atm. EU is missing on the AI Revolution atm as producer, and making every efforts to miss it as a consumer too. Where it goes wrong - e.g. cookies, GDPR/data inanities - it fails to correct.
The EU "taking on Big Tech" simply means "Big Tech" avoids EU, it does not release products in the EU. So EU falls ever behind. In 5 years time world would have moved from USB-C, to USB-D (...E, F, ...). EU will be still mandating USB-C by law, lobbied strongly by the USB-C cartel/lobby. Then what looks like a good idea now, will become Albatros around the neck.
We need better calibre of politicians in the UK, if that's at all possible. Ideally - less stupid, more honest, more thoughful.
3:55 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thatt?? That's the level of aspiration? A cable/connector??
This is so so dumb. This like out of "The Dumb and the Dumber". Perfomative theater, politics as pure PR antics.
For the benefit your readers.
EU was part of the Computer Revolution both as producer and consumer. EU missed the Internet Revolution as a producer - participating only as consumer atm. EU is missing on the AI Revolution atm as producer, and making every efforts to miss it as a consumer too. Where it goes wrong - e.g. cookies, GDPR/data inanities - it fails to correct.
The EU "taking on Big Tech" simply means "Big Tech" avoids EU, it does not release products in the EU. So EU falls ever behind. In 5 years time world would have moved from USB-C, to USB-D (...E, F, ...). EU will be still mandating USB-C by law, lobbied strongly by the USB-C cartel/lobby. Then what looks like a good idea now, will become Albatros around the neck.
We need better calibre of politicians in the UK, if that's at all possible. Ideally - less stupid, more honest, more thoughful.
3:55 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873356982830133649
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mix of corruption, whishful thinking, but mostly plain old stupidity. Both on the part of the elected politicos and the rest of the elites (think tanks, advisors, politics ajescent etc) but also the electorate.
The electorate have the feedback loop though. They are in touch with reality. Now that energy prices are hitting their pockets - expect the voters to change their minds. Saint Greta to go from a worthy prophet, to a false prophet, in not that long a time.
The incomparable .@skdh has a video for this collective trance too! 😄 Look for "Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?". There is also "Private Truths, Public Lies" a book by Timur Kuran.
1:14 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mix of corruption, whishful thinking, but mostly plain old stupidity. Both on the part of the elected politicos and the rest of the elites (think tanks, advisors, politics ajescent etc) but also the electorate.
The electorate have the feedback loop though. They are in touch with reality. Now that energy prices are hitting their pockets - expect the voters to change their minds. Saint Greta to go from a worthy prophet, to a false prophet, in not that long a time.
The incomparable .@skdh has a video for this collective trance too! 😄 Look for "Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?". There is also "Private Truths, Public Lies" a book by Timur Kuran.
1:14 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873350577272627206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt? I am shocked, shocked I tell you.
Treasury chock full of geniuses! Bona fide geniuses - got things wrong?? Impossible.
Naah - you must be in error dear sir.
Quote
Lucas Peilert @LucasPeilert · Dec 27
The Elizabeth Line, London’s massive new cross-city rail line, has been a huge success, smashing the forecasted ridership. Original projections were for 150M annual rides by 2030, and they’re on track for 220M in 2024.
~$23B, opened 2022
Show this thread
12:49 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt? I am shocked, shocked I tell you.
Treasury chock full of geniuses! Bona fide geniuses - got things wrong?? Impossible.
Naah - you must be in error dear sir.
Quote
Lucas Peilert @LucasPeilert · Dec 27
The Elizabeth Line, London’s massive new cross-city rail line, has been a huge success, smashing the forecasted ridership. Original projections were for 150M annual rides by 2030, and they’re on track for 220M in 2024.
~$23B, opened 2022
Show this thread
12:49 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873349708564865132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - your refutation is not too credible either.
Obv EM doesn't do what he does for $$$ only. But.
One can do things with $800B, that one can't do with $400B. So even if EM sole aim is not "moar $$$", more $$$ is still a sub-goal, as the means to achieving other goals.
People whose ambitions and aims in life are different. They make $10M, say "that's plenty enough", and never go to make $100M.
12:45 PM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - your refutation is not too credible either.
Obv EM doesn't do what he does for $$$ only. But.
One can do things with $800B, that one can't do with $400B. So even if EM sole aim is not "moar $$$", more $$$ is still a sub-goal, as the means to achieving other goals.
People whose ambitions and aims in life are different. They make $10M, say "that's plenty enough", and never go to make $100M.
12:45 PM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873337732526915633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😶 This is one for the political chronicles books. Both funny and not funny. I'm sure one can find worse blunders. But still extraordinary on several levels. The political system really is in need of a revamp. The calibre of the people it selects is inadequate for the tasks.
Quote
BBC Politics @BBCPolitics · Dec 28
Starmer asks UK regulators for ideas to boost growth https://bbc.in/40c1PiD
11:58 AM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😶 This is one for the political chronicles books. Both funny and not funny. I'm sure one can find worse blunders. But still extraordinary on several levels. The political system really is in need of a revamp. The calibre of the people it selects is inadequate for the tasks.
Quote
BBC Politics @BBCPolitics · Dec 28
Starmer asks UK regulators for ideas to boost growth https://bbc.in/40c1PiD
11:58 AM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873329594935189836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will UK ever rid itself from the green grifters lobby?
They are well connected and poweful, having the ear of our elected politicians. Such is the power of ideology. Like in a collective trance - electorate and the elite together, joined together in collective stupidity.
Suckling at the state's tit. Sucking the public purse dry for schemes they personally love. Wilfully innumarate. At the expense of hundred other things the public purse better financed.
I have not beef with their schemes and wish them every success. But don't want my £££ filling the pockets of this guy👎
Quote
Dale Vince @DaleVince · Dec 27
It might be better energy policy to buy everyone a pair of bamboo socks, then waste more public money on nuclear… Nuclear is simply not good value for money. It’s the most expensive form of power known to mankind. And the most unreliable in terms of timing and budget.
Hinkley
Show more
Readers added context
Dale Vince owns Ecotricity, a company that exclusively produces/buys energy from solar and wind farms. Ecotricity's chosen business model means that they are unable to make any money from Nuclear energy generation.
ecotricity.co.uk/our-news/2021/…
ecotricity.co.uk/our-green-ener…
You rated as helpful
11:25 AM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will UK ever rid itself from the green grifters lobby?
They are well connected and poweful, having the ear of our elected politicians. Such is the power of ideology. Like in a collective trance - electorate and the elite together, joined together in collective stupidity.
Suckling at the state's tit. Sucking the public purse dry for schemes they personally love. Wilfully innumarate. At the expense of hundred other things the public purse better financed.
I have not beef with their schemes and wish them every success. But don't want my £££ filling the pockets of this guy👎
Quote
Dale Vince @DaleVince · Dec 27
It might be better energy policy to buy everyone a pair of bamboo socks, then waste more public money on nuclear… Nuclear is simply not good value for money. It’s the most expensive form of power known to mankind. And the most unreliable in terms of timing and budget.
Hinkley
Show more
Readers added context
Dale Vince owns Ecotricity, a company that exclusively produces/buys energy from solar and wind farms. Ecotricity's chosen business model means that they are unable to make any money from Nuclear energy generation.
ecotricity.co.uk/our-news/2021/…
ecotricity.co.uk/our-green-ener…
You rated as helpful
11:25 AM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873192761408500130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK the NI contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but almost a fixed fee (except on the very low end). So when we in the UK draw form the state pension, we also draw a fixed amount (except if less than max qualifying year). As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, the NI number is fairly low compared to pension contributions elsewhere.
2:22 AM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK the NI contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but almost a fixed fee (except on the very low end). So when we in the UK draw form the state pension, we also draw a fixed amount (except if less than max qualifying year). As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, the NI number is fairly low compared to pension contributions elsewhere.
2:22 AM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873190135359013236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Socialism appeared in countries where feudalism could not be replaced by capitalism. There was no strong burgous class, no industry, no trade.
All that was stunted and feudalism was still strong into the 20th century. Socialism destroyed it where capitalism couldn't. Then socialism gave way to capitalism 70 years latter. Mostly peacefully.
2:11 AM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Socialism appeared in countries where feudalism could not be replaced by capitalism. There was no strong burgous class, no industry, no trade.
All that was stunted and feudalism was still strong into the 20th century. Socialism destroyed it where capitalism couldn't. Then socialism gave way to capitalism 70 years latter. Mostly peacefully.
2:11 AM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1873188572376842403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK and no one else can know either. And b/c it's a macro intervention, even micro trials are not a definite answer which way it goes.
One way forward maybe putting it out at a symbolic amount to start with. While reducing support for existing recipients of non-U but BI (pensioners, unemployed etc) by that exact same amount.
So shift as much as possible from existing conditional, into unconditional. See how goes. If inflation or ill effects - stop, revert. If no inflation all well - increase the level somewhat. Slowly, step by step.
I'm aware such longish term, slow trial & error plan is too sane for the people and systems at hand at present.
2:05 AM · Dec 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK and no one else can know either. And b/c it's a macro intervention, even micro trials are not a definite answer which way it goes.
One way forward maybe putting it out at a symbolic amount to start with. While reducing support for existing recipients of non-U but BI (pensioners, unemployed etc) by that exact same amount.
So shift as much as possible from existing conditional, into unconditional. See how goes. If inflation or ill effects - stop, revert. If no inflation all well - increase the level somewhat. Slowly, step by step.
I'm aware such longish term, slow trial & error plan is too sane for the people and systems at hand at present.
2:05 AM · Dec 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872432873489170693
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are free to default on your US gov bonds any time you choose to. (aka "default")
You may get inflation (even runaway one - Argentina style), but realistically only if your US supply of US goods and services is disrupted. C19 style - but an order of magnitude worse.
But you can't be forced to not pay US gov invoices against your will.
That's about the only thing that *can't happen* to organisation literally with the opportunity and sole responsibility to print USD.
You are diminishing yourself and your position by not articulating the facts clearly.
12:02 AM · Dec 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are free to default on your US gov bonds any time you choose to. (aka "default")
You may get inflation (even runaway one - Argentina style), but realistically only if your US supply of US goods and services is disrupted. C19 style - but an order of magnitude worse.
But you can't be forced to not pay US gov invoices against your will.
That's about the only thing that *can't happen* to organisation literally with the opportunity and sole responsibility to print USD.
You are diminishing yourself and your position by not articulating the facts clearly.
12:02 AM · Dec 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872421805295600117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sound like the comrades writing letters to Stalin from their prison cells - "Comrade Stalin this must be in error", while Stalin after dinner and into the night initials the death lists with their names in, to be shot by the morning. 😶
Not that this will help you personally. Stupidity is a moral failing, a character fault, not a lack of knowledge. 😬
Written for the benefit of any readers of yours.
11:18 PM · Dec 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sound like the comrades writing letters to Stalin from their prison cells - "Comrade Stalin this must be in error", while Stalin after dinner and into the night initials the death lists with their names in, to be shot by the morning. 😶
Not that this will help you personally. Stupidity is a moral failing, a character fault, not a lack of knowledge. 😬
Written for the benefit of any readers of yours.
11:18 PM · Dec 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872413404255928443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
London hedge funds could devote ~50% of their research to extra-curricular activities like this. Their owners are not visionaries though - more penny pinchers. No ammount of millions in cash is enough to spark "alright lets spend on speculative research". Even if speculation (on financial markets) is their bread& butter. Tragic lack of ambition, very old world.
10:45 PM · Dec 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
London hedge funds could devote ~50% of their research to extra-curricular activities like this. Their owners are not visionaries though - more penny pinchers. No ammount of millions in cash is enough to spark "alright lets spend on speculative research". Even if speculation (on financial markets) is their bread& butter. Tragic lack of ambition, very old world.
10:45 PM · Dec 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872405620261065207
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are mostly not wrong - conditionally.
Living in a totalitarian hellscape where you will lose your head for speaking your mind? Yes by all means - use anon and or pseudoanon account.
Living in a place where no risk to life and limb exists. But - you will lose few friends and alienate some people. No anon for you dear friend - put your name up. Speaking truth to power has costs. You should pay for it and gladly so, given how cheap it is for you.
Small non-zero cost is a good filter eliminating 99% if the LARP-ers. Like putting a symbolic price on the cantina food: stops 99% of the food fights.
I always liked "anonymous coward" label used by Slashdot. Acknowledges both sides of the trade off.
Having said that.
IDK why Social Media companies refuse to implement flags #1 - real human (but not the name) #2 - real human AND real name. Paid by us users that want that flag to our name, as one-off fee.
I'd pay $99 one-off, iif I had tools to filter posts and or accounts on conditions #1-yes/no, #2-yes/no. Most of the time I don't care. At other times I care to hear from humans exclusively.
Would have thought Social Media would jump on the opportunity to diversify their income streams. No one is doing it - so I am wrong thinking this.
10:14 PM · Dec 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are mostly not wrong - conditionally.
Living in a totalitarian hellscape where you will lose your head for speaking your mind? Yes by all means - use anon and or pseudoanon account.
Living in a place where no risk to life and limb exists. But - you will lose few friends and alienate some people. No anon for you dear friend - put your name up. Speaking truth to power has costs. You should pay for it and gladly so, given how cheap it is for you.
Small non-zero cost is a good filter eliminating 99% if the LARP-ers. Like putting a symbolic price on the cantina food: stops 99% of the food fights.
I always liked "anonymous coward" label used by Slashdot. Acknowledges both sides of the trade off.
Having said that.
IDK why Social Media companies refuse to implement flags #1 - real human (but not the name) #2 - real human AND real name. Paid by us users that want that flag to our name, as one-off fee.
I'd pay $99 one-off, iif I had tools to filter posts and or accounts on conditions #1-yes/no, #2-yes/no. Most of the time I don't care. At other times I care to hear from humans exclusively.
Would have thought Social Media would jump on the opportunity to diversify their income streams. No one is doing it - so I am wrong thinking this.
10:14 PM · Dec 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872399723463942521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. Unless I am in the privacy of my garden office, or in my car (almost) alone, or on a walk in the fields - then I can't really talk. Writing this with a heavy heart as ex-ASR researcher. On the other hand - voice is more a direct an interface to "I", than any other interface
9:50 PM · Dec 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. Unless I am in the privacy of my garden office, or in my car (almost) alone, or on a walk in the fields - then I can't really talk. Writing this with a heavy heart as ex-ASR researcher. On the other hand - voice is more a direct an interface to "I", than any other interface
9:50 PM · Dec 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872387984043167931
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like your long forms. But. Not releasing anything with Ukrainians living through this war - that's a big mark against yourself. Sorry to have to write this.
9:04 PM · Dec 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like your long forms. But. Not releasing anything with Ukrainians living through this war - that's a big mark against yourself. Sorry to have to write this.
9:04 PM · Dec 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872023477244322248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 this! Foreigner naturalised UK citizen here. People like to complain about the weather. But mostly people that have not got much taste of Continental or Mediterranean climates all year round.
Others that got a taste of that. Well they find the UK weather, and especially in the South of England, not that disagreeable. Not disagreeable at all actually.
8:55 PM · Dec 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 this! Foreigner naturalised UK citizen here. People like to complain about the weather. But mostly people that have not got much taste of Continental or Mediterranean climates all year round.
Others that got a taste of that. Well they find the UK weather, and especially in the South of England, not that disagreeable. Not disagreeable at all actually.
8:55 PM · Dec 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1872018847521484975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point nothing short of independent nuclear detterence by Ukraine, Poland, Baltics and Nordics including Finland will do. The capitals of Paris and London are too far, Washington is another planet (they think), and West Coast TechBros may as well be next galaxy.
8:37 PM · Dec 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point nothing short of independent nuclear detterence by Ukraine, Poland, Baltics and Nordics including Finland will do. The capitals of Paris and London are too far, Washington is another planet (they think), and West Coast TechBros may as well be next galaxy.
8:37 PM · Dec 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871965696248385785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! Ok that's very good, articulating this particular ideology very well. I see now I adhere to it too. This article brings understanding to me, where there was merely a feeling before. Kudos.
5:06 PM · Dec 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! Ok that's very good, articulating this particular ideology very well. I see now I adhere to it too. This article brings understanding to me, where there was merely a feeling before. Kudos.
5:06 PM · Dec 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871283869426794864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why and how anyone can be expecting anything different, while pursuing the same policies that make difficult activities that increase GDP. And delivered +0.1 and -0.1 but essentially flat for a decade. See no reason for Keir/Reeves to succeed where prior Rishi-s failed tbh.
7:56 PM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why and how anyone can be expecting anything different, while pursuing the same policies that make difficult activities that increase GDP. And delivered +0.1 and -0.1 but essentially flat for a decade. See no reason for Keir/Reeves to succeed where prior Rishi-s failed tbh.
7:56 PM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871217149978484915
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - these days it just means a talking head, willing to show their face on TV, and provide 60-180 seconds of infotainment, to the not that engaged, not that many viewers, for a small sum of money.
Some make it a profession, and become permanent fixures on the TV screens. Sort of generalist-expert on everything (!! contradiction that), as they have to sell their talking on whatever is the current event in vogue. Even if they have only heard of it few days prior.
3:31 PM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - these days it just means a talking head, willing to show their face on TV, and provide 60-180 seconds of infotainment, to the not that engaged, not that many viewers, for a small sum of money.
Some make it a profession, and become permanent fixures on the TV screens. Sort of generalist-expert on everything (!! contradiction that), as they have to sell their talking on whatever is the current event in vogue. Even if they have only heard of it few days prior.
3:31 PM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871211613413425468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This maybe short term bad news, but it's mid- to long- term good news.
It suggests that the conditional probability distribution function (pdf)
p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1), … w(1))
has now been learned sufficiently well—on a corpus encompassing everything ever written by humans throughout history.
There’s no more juice left in training this specific layer to higher fidelity. No amount of additional training will conjure a Dirac Delta distribution where none exists. If that were possible, it would indeed simplify everything. But nature doesn’t play along—things just ain’t so.
Now, people can shift their focus upward in the stack:
- Test-time improvements (better inference strategies).
- Dynamic adaptation (fine-tuning on the fly).
- Teams of agents (cooperation, competition, and specialization).
The frontier has shifted. All will move up the stack. 🚀
Quote
https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1870786347059036573
Tsarathustra @tsarnick · Dec 22
Why no GPT-5? Because training runs are falling short of expectations
3:09 PM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This maybe short term bad news, but it's mid- to long- term good news.
It suggests that the conditional probability distribution function (pdf)
p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1), … w(1))
has now been learned sufficiently well—on a corpus encompassing everything ever written by humans throughout history.
There’s no more juice left in training this specific layer to higher fidelity. No amount of additional training will conjure a Dirac Delta distribution where none exists. If that were possible, it would indeed simplify everything. But nature doesn’t play along—things just ain’t so.
Now, people can shift their focus upward in the stack:
- Test-time improvements (better inference strategies).
- Dynamic adaptation (fine-tuning on the fly).
- Teams of agents (cooperation, competition, and specialization).
The frontier has shifted. All will move up the stack. 🚀
Quote
https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1870786347059036573
Tsarathustra @tsarnick · Dec 22
Why no GPT-5? Because training runs are falling short of expectations
3:09 PM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871208874914558393
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Similar trends in the UK it seems.
Zero people admit - even across politically engaged demographics! - to watching BBC 6pm news live. This I think trickles down to the non-politically engaged.
@ 1h26'16" here
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI&t=5175s
I missed this UK dvelopment b/c I stopped using UK live TV in abt year 2000. (1st child was born, thought it stupid to have child-TV adverts implant desires in their brains where none exists to start with)
I grew up in late socialism, and there those 1.5 TV channels were was boring as hell. In contrast - the Internet in 1995 (and the BBS scene few years prior) was a heaven! Of bazzilon of interesting things to read, see, hear.
Quote
https://x.com/ericmmatheny/status/1870815119036567964
Eric Matheny 🎙️ @ericmmatheny · Dec 22
Over the last year, CNN averaged less than 100,000 viewers in the crucial 25-54 demographic and a total viewership of 488,000.
One X post gets more traction than a multibillion-dollar news network.
2:58 PM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Similar trends in the UK it seems.
Zero people admit - even across politically engaged demographics! - to watching BBC 6pm news live. This I think trickles down to the non-politically engaged.
@ 1h26'16" here
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI&t=5175s
I missed this UK dvelopment b/c I stopped using UK live TV in abt year 2000. (1st child was born, thought it stupid to have child-TV adverts implant desires in their brains where none exists to start with)
I grew up in late socialism, and there those 1.5 TV channels were was boring as hell. In contrast - the Internet in 1995 (and the BBS scene few years prior) was a heaven! Of bazzilon of interesting things to read, see, hear.
Quote
https://x.com/ericmmatheny/status/1870815119036567964
Eric Matheny 🎙️ @ericmmatheny · Dec 22
Over the last year, CNN averaged less than 100,000 viewers in the crucial 25-54 demographic and a total viewership of 488,000.
One X post gets more traction than a multibillion-dollar news network.
2:58 PM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871190163323290008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree that at this point, the remedy should be open source, open weights, open thoughts—free as in freedom, even if not as beer. ;-)
But I disagree with the idea that we should jail people for copying data I create and publish to the world. The EU should scrap GDPR, and the UK should delete similar legislation. If you want something to remain secret, don’t publish it to the world.
Once data is published and becomes information in my head, occupying very limited meat-space, consuming my blood sugar and oxygen—resources I alone provide and sustain—well, then I’m sorry, but I’ve earned some rights over it too.
Rights that include the freedom to think about it, remix it, build upon it, and yes—use and derive new data from it however I see fit.
Data and information aren’t property in the same way as physical objects. Objects are moved; data is copied, it multiplies. We can find better ways to incentivize creators than trying to deny that fundamental nature.
Quote
https://x.com/TheRegister/status/1870869631608479886
The Register @TheRegister · 23h
Fining Big Tech isn't working. Make them give away illegally trained LLMs as public domain https://go.theregister.com/feed/www.theregister.com/2024/12/22/ai_poisoned_tree/
1:44 PM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree that at this point, the remedy should be open source, open weights, open thoughts—free as in freedom, even if not as beer. ;-)
But I disagree with the idea that we should jail people for copying data I create and publish to the world. The EU should scrap GDPR, and the UK should delete similar legislation. If you want something to remain secret, don’t publish it to the world.
Once data is published and becomes information in my head, occupying very limited meat-space, consuming my blood sugar and oxygen—resources I alone provide and sustain—well, then I’m sorry, but I’ve earned some rights over it too.
Rights that include the freedom to think about it, remix it, build upon it, and yes—use and derive new data from it however I see fit.
Data and information aren’t property in the same way as physical objects. Objects are moved; data is copied, it multiplies. We can find better ways to incentivize creators than trying to deny that fundamental nature.
Quote
https://x.com/TheRegister/status/1870869631608479886
The Register @TheRegister · 23h
Fining Big Tech isn't working. Make them give away illegally trained LLMs as public domain https://go.theregister.com/feed/www.theregister.com/2024/12/22/ai_poisoned_tree/
1:44 PM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871162870810951727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is excellent—and carries a meta-lesson too.
Just as entire bat colonies went unnoticed until someone deliberately searched for them, we should assume that this level of anti-human incentives exists at multiple levels of our systems. We remain unaware of them simply because no one is looking. This thread is one instance where @MichaelDnes1 searched and found something. For every one publicized example, there are likely hundreds of others we will never hear about.
Especially with the political class expertly operating the Unaccountability Machine, dodging responsibility by outsourcing policy decisions to quangos—institutions that act as Accountability Sinks, accountable to no one except themselves—we urgently need far greater transparency of the process.
Not transparency as a special case, invoked only when dragged before Parliament after catastrophic failures. But transparency as the default state—with secrecy being the exception, explicitly requested and justified.
For every one case that becomes a public laughingstock, there are hundreds of similarly poor outcomes that merely fail to cross the threshold of public visibility.
Radical Transparency Now. All official government business should be publicly accessible online by default.
Quote
https://x.com/MichaelDnes1/status/1871109787233988726
Michael Dnes @MichaelDnes1 · 7h
Since the HS2 bat tunnel is back in the news (turns out it may actually kill the bats), time for one more story.
Which came first – HS2 or the bats? 🚄🦇🧵
Show this thread
11:56 AM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is excellent—and carries a meta-lesson too.
Just as entire bat colonies went unnoticed until someone deliberately searched for them, we should assume that this level of anti-human incentives exists at multiple levels of our systems. We remain unaware of them simply because no one is looking. This thread is one instance where @MichaelDnes1 searched and found something. For every one publicized example, there are likely hundreds of others we will never hear about.
Especially with the political class expertly operating the Unaccountability Machine, dodging responsibility by outsourcing policy decisions to quangos—institutions that act as Accountability Sinks, accountable to no one except themselves—we urgently need far greater transparency of the process.
Not transparency as a special case, invoked only when dragged before Parliament after catastrophic failures. But transparency as the default state—with secrecy being the exception, explicitly requested and justified.
For every one case that becomes a public laughingstock, there are hundreds of similarly poor outcomes that merely fail to cross the threshold of public visibility.
Radical Transparency Now. All official government business should be publicly accessible online by default.
Quote
https://x.com/MichaelDnes1/status/1871109787233988726
Michael Dnes @MichaelDnes1 · 7h
Since the HS2 bat tunnel is back in the news (turns out it may actually kill the bats), time for one more story.
Which came first – HS2 or the bats? 🚄🦇🧵
Show this thread
11:56 AM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871140025129378115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After decade of +0.1 and -0.1 but essentially flat, IDK why and how anyone can be expecting anything different, while pursuing the same policies that make difficult activities that increase GDP. See no reason for Keir/Reeves to succeed where prior Rishi-s failed tbh.
10:25 AM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After decade of +0.1 and -0.1 but essentially flat, IDK why and how anyone can be expecting anything different, while pursuing the same policies that make difficult activities that increase GDP. See no reason for Keir/Reeves to succeed where prior Rishi-s failed tbh.
10:25 AM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1871033672335593871
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is a good use case for a future Google AI Gmail Inbox LLM agent. Instead of notification for every new email in the Inbox, only notify new email iif it's time sensitive for real.
3:22 AM · Dec 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is a good use case for a future Google AI Gmail Inbox LLM agent. Instead of notification for every new email in the Inbox, only notify new email iif it's time sensitive for real.
3:22 AM · Dec 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870955430676992461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Proselytize! 😁 Do it act it yourself, spread the word, when someone is surprised about your response time, use that as a teachable-preachable moment. 😇
More seriously - don't think there is a magical technical solution. These are social conventions, things we tacitly agree on
10:11 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Proselytize! 😁 Do it act it yourself, spread the word, when someone is surprised about your response time, use that as a teachable-preachable moment. 😇
More seriously - don't think there is a magical technical solution. These are social conventions, things we tacitly agree on
10:11 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870873623772201331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed that the remedy should be open source, open weights, open thoughts, free as in freedom not beer models.
Even if I disagree that we are to jail people for copying data I create and publish. EU should do away with GDPR and UK too with similar legislation. If you want something secret - don't publish it to the world.
If you do publish it, and now that information is in my head, using up some meat space, using up blood sugar and oxygen for energy provided by myself. Well - then I got rights too. To do as I please with those ideas, but also any and all data derived from them.
4:46 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed that the remedy should be open source, open weights, open thoughts, free as in freedom not beer models.
Even if I disagree that we are to jail people for copying data I create and publish. EU should do away with GDPR and UK too with similar legislation. If you want something secret - don't publish it to the world.
If you do publish it, and now that information is in my head, using up some meat space, using up blood sugar and oxygen for energy provided by myself. Well - then I got rights too. To do as I please with those ideas, but also any and all data derived from them.
4:46 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870859515719016678
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
💯 France succeeds early with nuclear, then EU doesn't follow France's lead, but instead follows Germany - Germany!! with its historic 20th Cent record - in phasing out nuclear power. IDK how's that possible. 😭😂 But it did happen, I bear witness to it. The madness of crowds 😱
3:50 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
💯 France succeeds early with nuclear, then EU doesn't follow France's lead, but instead follows Germany - Germany!! with its historic 20th Cent record - in phasing out nuclear power. IDK how's that possible. 😭😂 But it did happen, I bear witness to it. The madness of crowds 😱
3:50 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870856687873110179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Their interests diverge on public spending too.
Trump should want more public spending. That's more power to him. Interest allocated in the budget to be managed via Fed Chief that will lower Fed IR, to ideally zero.
Musk will want less public spending, period.
China+US public spend may indeed see Musk chucked out of the tent, Bannon style. This pic - "like a dawg" 😂 😂
https://x.com/BillyBlacklight/status/1856043979227488654
3:39 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Their interests diverge on public spending too.
Trump should want more public spending. That's more power to him. Interest allocated in the budget to be managed via Fed Chief that will lower Fed IR, to ideally zero.
Musk will want less public spending, period.
China+US public spend may indeed see Musk chucked out of the tent, Bannon style. This pic - "like a dawg" 😂 😂
https://x.com/BillyBlacklight/status/1856043979227488654
3:39 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870855620271952335
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Email 1 day, chat 1 hour, SMS 10 min, voice Now.
3:35 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Email 1 day, chat 1 hour, SMS 10 min, voice Now.
3:35 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870850481662161311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zero people - even across politically engaged demographics! - watch 6pm news live in the UK. (@ 1h26'16" here)
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI&t=5175s
Myself I missed this b/c I stopped using live TV in the UK in year 2000. My 1st child was born and I thought it'd be stupid to have TV child adverts implanting desires in their brains where are none to start with.
I grew up in late socialism, and there all TV was boring as hell. In contrast - the Internet in 1995 (and the BBS scene few years prior) was heaven of bazzilon of interesting things to read, see, hear.
youtube.com
How the Deepstate Fails Britain | Dominic Cummings: Start Ups and...
Listen to Dominic Cummings answer questions about the future of British politics, why the state is so dysfunctional, why it is corrupt, its historical succes...
3:14 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zero people - even across politically engaged demographics! - watch 6pm news live in the UK. (@ 1h26'16" here)
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI&t=5175s
Myself I missed this b/c I stopped using live TV in the UK in year 2000. My 1st child was born and I thought it'd be stupid to have TV child adverts implanting desires in their brains where are none to start with.
I grew up in late socialism, and there all TV was boring as hell. In contrast - the Internet in 1995 (and the BBS scene few years prior) was heaven of bazzilon of interesting things to read, see, hear.
youtube.com
How the Deepstate Fails Britain | Dominic Cummings: Start Ups and...
Listen to Dominic Cummings answer questions about the future of British politics, why the state is so dysfunctional, why it is corrupt, its historical succes...
3:14 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870840442784514401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's now part of his identity. And he derives fame and fortune from that too.
Zero chance of a Damascene conversion too. That's one issue with non-beleivers. A person of faith stands a chance - small but still not zero - of being fished out of a local minima.
2:34 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's now part of his identity. And he derives fame and fortune from that too.
Zero chance of a Damascene conversion too. That's one issue with non-beleivers. A person of faith stands a chance - small but still not zero - of being fished out of a local minima.
2:34 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870837416598389110
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
only on X 😂😭
2:22 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
only on X 😂😭
2:22 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870835869478686850
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solution there has multiple steps.
1st is along this
https://x.com/DinaRadenkovic/status/1868653650177921120
2nd is gestation in artificial womb or amiotic sack or sth (idk much).
Then there will be more.
Think there's more hope then people assume. Surveyed families say they do want 1 more child than they currently achieve.
The baby bust comes after a huge baby boom. Families had 4-5-6 children, but many died. Only 2 lived to the point of having children of their own. Resulting in a stable population.
The industrial revolution, advances in technology and standards of living put an end to the dieing of children. (hurrah!) For a generation-two families still had 4-5 children as before. They didn't die, so the human population swelled to 8B. Then families adjusted. Probably now they are undershooting, where they were overshooting before.
Quote
Dina Radenkovic / Turner @DinaRadenkovic · Dec 16
(1/) I am thrilled to announce a medical milestone– the world’s first live birth using @GametoGen's product, Fertilo, that matures eggs outside the body. On Saturday, December 7th, a healthy baby girl was born in Lima, Peru, after using the Fertilo protocol at our partner clinic
Show more
2:16 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solution there has multiple steps.
1st is along this
https://x.com/DinaRadenkovic/status/1868653650177921120
2nd is gestation in artificial womb or amiotic sack or sth (idk much).
Then there will be more.
Think there's more hope then people assume. Surveyed families say they do want 1 more child than they currently achieve.
The baby bust comes after a huge baby boom. Families had 4-5-6 children, but many died. Only 2 lived to the point of having children of their own. Resulting in a stable population.
The industrial revolution, advances in technology and standards of living put an end to the dieing of children. (hurrah!) For a generation-two families still had 4-5 children as before. They didn't die, so the human population swelled to 8B. Then families adjusted. Probably now they are undershooting, where they were overshooting before.
Quote
Dina Radenkovic / Turner @DinaRadenkovic · Dec 16
(1/) I am thrilled to announce a medical milestone– the world’s first live birth using @GametoGen's product, Fertilo, that matures eggs outside the body. On Saturday, December 7th, a healthy baby girl was born in Lima, Peru, after using the Fertilo protocol at our partner clinic
Show more
2:16 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870814501173665997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
💯 Indeed. Conditional pdf p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1) ... w(1)) has been learned sufficiently well. On the corpora of all writing ever produced by all humans in all of history. There is no juice left. No amount of training is going to produce a Dirac Delta pdf where none exists.
12:51 PM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
💯 Indeed. Conditional pdf p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1) ... w(1)) has been learned sufficiently well. On the corpora of all writing ever produced by all humans in all of history. There is no juice left. No amount of training is going to produce a Dirac Delta pdf where none exists.
12:51 PM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870798254394282459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good - thanks. Could add a factor - demand.
Demand for books was 10x-1000x to what was available pre the printing press. So the increased production could be consumed.
Not so for agriculture produce. Yes the consumption increased, but not by a factor 10x-1000x. There is only so much food humans can consume. Even with increased population size.
Programming has been more like the books in there being lots of latent demand. Maybe sustained 1st by the Internet global connectivity, then by Cloud computing on demand.
TBS what AGI brings. IMO there is demand for intelligence to be distilling knowledge from information. Looks to me there is tons latent demand there. Observing how useful e.g. "Grok explain this post" is.
11:47 AM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good - thanks. Could add a factor - demand.
Demand for books was 10x-1000x to what was available pre the printing press. So the increased production could be consumed.
Not so for agriculture produce. Yes the consumption increased, but not by a factor 10x-1000x. There is only so much food humans can consume. Even with increased population size.
Programming has been more like the books in there being lots of latent demand. Maybe sustained 1st by the Internet global connectivity, then by Cloud computing on demand.
TBS what AGI brings. IMO there is demand for intelligence to be distilling knowledge from information. Looks to me there is tons latent demand there. Observing how useful e.g. "Grok explain this post" is.
11:47 AM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870788232536805482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not seen much comment on this. Claims made by one that seems knowledgeable on the topic & have earned their credentials (work+results; 2019 old-ish)
Head of Pharmacology at Oxford University, Prof David Smith
"How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=unguMlKkc74
11:07 AM · Dec 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not seen much comment on this. Claims made by one that seems knowledgeable on the topic & have earned their credentials (work+results; 2019 old-ish)
Head of Pharmacology at Oxford University, Prof David Smith
"How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=unguMlKkc74
11:07 AM · Dec 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870478146820346069
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anoher very useful new feature by I presume @xai via @grok : hover over users' profile, and Grok will offer to write a summary of the user account.
Very helpful in deciding "should I follow this profile yes/no", which for me is "would I want to see more posts from this user in the future".
Very good @elonmusk 👏 Thanks @xai and @grok 🙏👍
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866795319494918640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 11
IDK when did this happen but this is genuinely useful and very helpful.
On the right side down under a post, there is a Grok icon with "Explain this post" functionality. I just noticed it! This is really good! 🥰
Kudos to @grok and @xai. 👏 Thanks for that. 🙏
2:35 PM · Dec 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anoher very useful new feature by I presume @xai via @grok : hover over users' profile, and Grok will offer to write a summary of the user account.
Very helpful in deciding "should I follow this profile yes/no", which for me is "would I want to see more posts from this user in the future".
Very good @elonmusk 👏 Thanks @xai and @grok 🙏👍
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866795319494918640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 11
IDK when did this happen but this is genuinely useful and very helpful.
On the right side down under a post, there is a Grok icon with "Explain this post" functionality. I just noticed it! This is really good! 🥰
Kudos to @grok and @xai. 👏 Thanks for that. 🙏
2:35 PM · Dec 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870458608896573930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Anything but "they are just like us". I thought it'd be to the credit of the creator if his creation was like him??
I don't understand, the shyness. Maybe related to the "cult of the authentic" somehow? IDK
Anyways. Slow learners, with big egos. Sill true.
1:17 PM · Dec 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Anything but "they are just like us". I thought it'd be to the credit of the creator if his creation was like him??
I don't understand, the shyness. Maybe related to the "cult of the authentic" somehow? IDK
Anyways. Slow learners, with big egos. Sill true.
1:17 PM · Dec 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870442176129257711
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think you will find that this and other quangos were partly created by the political class to avoid direct accountability of themselves to their voters. It's one of the perks of the outsourced responsibility.
I have not read the book but I got the impression it's about this https://perplexity.ai/search/dan-davies-book-on-unaccountab-rktOHjB7TOWTnSHDdky2Og#0
12:12 PM · Dec 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think you will find that this and other quangos were partly created by the political class to avoid direct accountability of themselves to their voters. It's one of the perks of the outsourced responsibility.
I have not read the book but I got the impression it's about this https://perplexity.ai/search/dan-davies-book-on-unaccountab-rktOHjB7TOWTnSHDdky2Og#0
12:12 PM · Dec 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870438070023061901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly a brief interlude only, that. Then omnipresent God was watching everyone all the time in doing everything.
Now with modern surveillance+AI we may get there again: being watched over by machines.
Another LKY interview clip on the "from the 3rd to the 1st world" theme I saw yesterday. It illustrated well how a minority can terrorise the majority in a high-complexity society.
People were pissing in the lifts of the newly built SG high rises. SG installed automated urine detectors that stopped the lift on the spot -trapping the miscreasant - and called the police.
A minority outsmarted and defeated that measure by pissing into the lift, but from *outside* of the lift! Clearly misapplied ingenuity at work. 😂 SG had to install additional cameras outside too.
11:56 AM · Dec 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly a brief interlude only, that. Then omnipresent God was watching everyone all the time in doing everything.
Now with modern surveillance+AI we may get there again: being watched over by machines.
Another LKY interview clip on the "from the 3rd to the 1st world" theme I saw yesterday. It illustrated well how a minority can terrorise the majority in a high-complexity society.
People were pissing in the lifts of the newly built SG high rises. SG installed automated urine detectors that stopped the lift on the spot -trapping the miscreasant - and called the police.
A minority outsmarted and defeated that measure by pissing into the lift, but from *outside* of the lift! Clearly misapplied ingenuity at work. 😂 SG had to install additional cameras outside too.
11:56 AM · Dec 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870137740383433050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! Indeed - just asking, that works! 😆
So to come back to your Q: "why not", the A: is "it didn't occure to me"!! (to ask) That's why. That dumb a reason. 😀 Well I'm glad I asked, and even more glad that you answered my dumb question. Thanks again. 🙏😇
4:02 PM · Dec 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! Indeed - just asking, that works! 😆
So to come back to your Q: "why not", the A: is "it didn't occure to me"!! (to ask) That's why. That dumb a reason. 😀 Well I'm glad I asked, and even more glad that you answered my dumb question. Thanks again. 🙏😇
4:02 PM · Dec 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870091325804081317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another minus on the ledger of MSM and newspapers' editors I presume? Adding to a long-ish list.
12:58 PM · Dec 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another minus on the ledger of MSM and newspapers' editors I presume? Adding to a long-ish list.
12:58 PM · Dec 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870043513636741475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish they had an "ego flattery dial". I find non-trivial amount lot of time is spent on massaging my ego. I don't mind it for a few times, but after a while it becomes a waste of time. Wish there was the means to dial that aspect down.
9:48 AM · Dec 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish they had an "ego flattery dial". I find non-trivial amount lot of time is spent on massaging my ego. I don't mind it for a few times, but after a while it becomes a waste of time. Wish there was the means to dial that aspect down.
9:48 AM · Dec 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1870042543561310625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well he says it: it's the law.
The laws need changing. The PM and the MPs have that power re/vested in them, every 4-5 years.
True - laws can't spec everything, much is left to interpretation, and to the interpreters.
We have seen the interpretations now, as done by the current interpreters. Can't change those people tomorrow, and bring some other different/better people. Maybe ex-boomers things may change.
But PM and MPs can change laws tomorrow in Westminster. Just by re-writing existing ones to adapt them better to the current interpretation morass of the day, and to the level of people.
I thought the PM being in the law profession this would be his strength, not a weakness.
9:44 AM · Dec 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well he says it: it's the law.
The laws need changing. The PM and the MPs have that power re/vested in them, every 4-5 years.
True - laws can't spec everything, much is left to interpretation, and to the interpreters.
We have seen the interpretations now, as done by the current interpreters. Can't change those people tomorrow, and bring some other different/better people. Maybe ex-boomers things may change.
But PM and MPs can change laws tomorrow in Westminster. Just by re-writing existing ones to adapt them better to the current interpretation morass of the day, and to the level of people.
I thought the PM being in the law profession this would be his strength, not a weakness.
9:44 AM · Dec 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1869563147511877771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt? I am shocked, shocked I tell you. Treasury chock full of geniuses. Bona fide geniuses
1:59 AM · Dec 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt? I am shocked, shocked I tell you. Treasury chock full of geniuses. Bona fide geniuses
1:59 AM · Dec 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1869558096500044195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF I am happy to give them my data. Hell - quarter of my life is in that Gmail Inbox. And what do they do with it? They piss & sh*t on it by the looks of it. Google can't find me stuff I know it's there. That I find afterwards by just linearly searching one by once. Margaritas ante porcos. Wish some Muskian jackass went in and fired 85% of them googlers vesting on that rooftop.
1:39 AM · Dec 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF I am happy to give them my data. Hell - quarter of my life is in that Gmail Inbox. And what do they do with it? They piss & sh*t on it by the looks of it. Google can't find me stuff I know it's there. That I find afterwards by just linearly searching one by once. Margaritas ante porcos. Wish some Muskian jackass went in and fired 85% of them googlers vesting on that rooftop.
1:39 AM · Dec 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1869550437839622265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well. It saved me from myself, so thank you for that @X Algofeed. One vote FOR! After a boozy dinner, on the way back home on the train, reading from the "entrepreneur" raised my blood pressure enough, for this unfortunate accident to happen. Now deleted
1:08 AM · Dec 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well. It saved me from myself, so thank you for that @X Algofeed. One vote FOR! After a boozy dinner, on the way back home on the train, reading from the "entrepreneur" raised my blood pressure enough, for this unfortunate accident to happen. Now deleted
1:08 AM · Dec 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1869548043378557423
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naah - you must got your numbers wrong. UK Treasury is staffed full with geniuses, geniuses I tell you
12:59 AM · Dec 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naah - you must got your numbers wrong. UK Treasury is staffed full with geniuses, geniuses I tell you
12:59 AM · Dec 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1869391708909441496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Germany destoying Europe for the N-th time? What for-to export few more cars to China, before that market closes too? Rather than developing Europe/adjescent markets. The energy bet gone bad was a blunder. This seems like another wrong bet, in a series of wrong bets. TBS
2:38 PM · Dec 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Germany destoying Europe for the N-th time? What for-to export few more cars to China, before that market closes too? Rather than developing Europe/adjescent markets. The energy bet gone bad was a blunder. This seems like another wrong bet, in a series of wrong bets. TBS
2:38 PM · Dec 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1869339143538352634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Topical with claims to various "walls". Worth a reminder -
> The two methods that seem to scale arbitrarily in this way are search and learning
http://incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html
Yeah, the doomsters will be right at some point. But like in V-shaped trend lines: the contrarian reversion is 1 point in a 1000. Odds are against it.
And even if something fails to be done this AI spring. It will come again in the cross-hairs in 10yrs time in the next spring.
11:09 AM · Dec 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Topical with claims to various "walls". Worth a reminder -
> The two methods that seem to scale arbitrarily in this way are search and learning
http://incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html
Yeah, the doomsters will be right at some point. But like in V-shaped trend lines: the contrarian reversion is 1 point in a 1000. Odds are against it.
And even if something fails to be done this AI spring. It will come again in the cross-hairs in 10yrs time in the next spring.
11:09 AM · Dec 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1869307896879550760
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He was always foolish—but in a very specific, self-serving way.
At first, he was "all in" on shock therapy, blindly multiplying by +10 everything the dogma of the day told him.
Then disillusionment struck: truths he clung to turned out false. "It’s not what you don’t know that gets you; it’s what you’re sure of that just ain’t so."
Now, he's swung to the opposite extreme: "all anti-in," multiplying by -10 everything the old dogma preaches, while conveniently amplifying by +10 whatever the (hoped-for) new dogma of the day promotes.
A classic grifter, and meeting a kinderd soul in Tucker. Jack-of-all-trades when it comes to opportunism—economics, viruses, war, geopolitics—you name it, as long as it keeps him on top.
Hungry for power and willing to bend with the wind to get it.
9:05 AM · Dec 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He was always foolish—but in a very specific, self-serving way.
At first, he was "all in" on shock therapy, blindly multiplying by +10 everything the dogma of the day told him.
Then disillusionment struck: truths he clung to turned out false. "It’s not what you don’t know that gets you; it’s what you’re sure of that just ain’t so."
Now, he's swung to the opposite extreme: "all anti-in," multiplying by -10 everything the old dogma preaches, while conveniently amplifying by +10 whatever the (hoped-for) new dogma of the day promotes.
A classic grifter, and meeting a kinderd soul in Tucker. Jack-of-all-trades when it comes to opportunism—economics, viruses, war, geopolitics—you name it, as long as it keeps him on top.
Hungry for power and willing to bend with the wind to get it.
9:05 AM · Dec 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868790255123587317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ako imate zelba i vreme, ima Joscha Bach .@Plinz moderni spinovi prikaski na srodni temi.
Ova mi padna pod raka sega-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM&t=399s
...no ima i drugi na YouTube. Mozebi ova e porelevantno-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4H1L2Bpltbs
...ama ne sum go gledal.
youtube.com
Joscha Bach on the Bible, emotions and how AI could be wonderful.
Joscha Bach is a cognitive scientist and artificial intelligence researcher. Joscha has an exceptional ability to articulate how the human mind works.He com...
10:48 PM · Dec 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ako imate zelba i vreme, ima Joscha Bach .@Plinz moderni spinovi prikaski na srodni temi.
Ova mi padna pod raka sega-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM&t=399s
...no ima i drugi na YouTube. Mozebi ova e porelevantno-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4H1L2Bpltbs
...ama ne sum go gledal.
youtube.com
Joscha Bach on the Bible, emotions and how AI could be wonderful.
Joscha Bach is a cognitive scientist and artificial intelligence researcher. Joscha has an exceptional ability to articulate how the human mind works.He com...
10:48 PM · Dec 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868780299393359933
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just tell your story as it happens to you. Ignore the naysayers-mute, block, without second chances. Waste not a second of your life on that silliness.
As to whys-people are complex, and with gigantic egos. It's to be expected. You won't fix anyone.
Some context, us humans have priors.
First-Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! of course - then-Copernicus! 😳
Latter-we were special, He made us in His likeness, then-Darwin! Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh tad uncomfortable that, but but - we were at least *rational* animals! - then-Freud! 🧐
So no-appearance of another intelligence - and created by some of us no less! - will not be greeted with joy and open heart by all. Plenty of toddler tantrums incoming.
10:08 PM · Dec 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just tell your story as it happens to you. Ignore the naysayers-mute, block, without second chances. Waste not a second of your life on that silliness.
As to whys-people are complex, and with gigantic egos. It's to be expected. You won't fix anyone.
Some context, us humans have priors.
First-Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! of course - then-Copernicus! 😳
Latter-we were special, He made us in His likeness, then-Darwin! Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh tad uncomfortable that, but but - we were at least *rational* animals! - then-Freud! 🧐
So no-appearance of another intelligence - and created by some of us no less! - will not be greeted with joy and open heart by all. Plenty of toddler tantrums incoming.
10:08 PM · Dec 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868737901342998914
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂
waiting with a bated breath for the spectacle
of you learning that us gov finances are exact mirror image of non-gov finances
7:20 PM · Dec 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂
waiting with a bated breath for the spectacle
of you learning that us gov finances are exact mirror image of non-gov finances
7:20 PM · Dec 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868665544544809340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's time ill spent to be engaging. Mute, block so not another second of your lifetime is spent on this. As to whys of pple doing this-complex, from toddler "me myself and I are the center of time-space" sindrome to galaxy of causes. You'll not fix anyone. Minimize damage.
2:32 PM · Dec 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's time ill spent to be engaging. Mute, block so not another second of your lifetime is spent on this. As to whys of pple doing this-complex, from toddler "me myself and I are the center of time-space" sindrome to galaxy of causes. You'll not fix anyone. Minimize damage.
2:32 PM · Dec 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868599731057754343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, you are confused - "the more confusing it gets" - it's yourself that's confused.
So. When things you thought can't happen, do happen, then: the model you have about the world in your head - is wrong. Some things you thought true - "just ain't so".
(written for the benefit of any readers; the author is too much up into his own fantasies to be able to reason)
10:11 AM · Dec 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, you are confused - "the more confusing it gets" - it's yourself that's confused.
So. When things you thought can't happen, do happen, then: the model you have about the world in your head - is wrong. Some things you thought true - "just ain't so".
(written for the benefit of any readers; the author is too much up into his own fantasies to be able to reason)
10:11 AM · Dec 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868385151127855132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - frair cirticism. But asking for the developer to personalize is contradition in terms.
The tenants should customize them to their personal taste. So my criticism would be: I don't see that opportunity allowod for. Ideally there would be space left, some details left unfinished, for the individual tenants to finish them.
7:58 PM · Dec 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - frair cirticism. But asking for the developer to personalize is contradition in terms.
The tenants should customize them to their personal taste. So my criticism would be: I don't see that opportunity allowod for. Ideally there would be space left, some details left unfinished, for the individual tenants to finish them.
7:58 PM · Dec 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868243955071979524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, made me think, only to discover that it seems I don't believe that strongly in any one single thing really? That's tad disappointing.
Reflecting back of all the things in the childhood, then growing up, that the society proclaimed to beleive strongly. I could never bring myself to be an enthusiastic beleiver.
Sometimes it was obvious public lies, with private truths, revealed by actions. Other times vague unease, that would develop into short analysis, then into finding fauilts. So could never be honestly "all in".
10:37 AM · Dec 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, made me think, only to discover that it seems I don't believe that strongly in any one single thing really? That's tad disappointing.
Reflecting back of all the things in the childhood, then growing up, that the society proclaimed to beleive strongly. I could never bring myself to be an enthusiastic beleiver.
Sometimes it was obvious public lies, with private truths, revealed by actions. Other times vague unease, that would develop into short analysis, then into finding fauilts. So could never be honestly "all in".
10:37 AM · Dec 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868238561532670135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed! 😆
Proponents of the hypothesis usually ommit: say current prices now are "optimal", best possible, for the current state of the world. In 1 hour, the world will have changed. Now, the prices from 1h ago are no longer optimal. Some other prices are optimal. So - how are those prices going to be worked out? And who works them out??
That leads to: what is a price anyway? Well - a trade price is one at which a buy-er and a sell-er meet, their orders bid- and ask- prices match, and a trade transaction happens. So there are some people out there, that have to dream up these new prices!! 😂 Different from the old ones.
So yeah - you are spot on there. The market moves *towards* efficiency, beacause at any given time, it's *not* efficient! If the market were efficient - prices would not move, prices would not change.
And "moving" takes gargantuan effort in information processing. It's like extracting few gold nuggets of knowledge, from a mountain of ore dirt that is the ocean of information washing over us. Knowledge that we hope to survive the test of time - the ultimate frontier. 😬
(and not even that much time, in our time horizon either!)
10:15 AM · Dec 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed! 😆
Proponents of the hypothesis usually ommit: say current prices now are "optimal", best possible, for the current state of the world. In 1 hour, the world will have changed. Now, the prices from 1h ago are no longer optimal. Some other prices are optimal. So - how are those prices going to be worked out? And who works them out??
That leads to: what is a price anyway? Well - a trade price is one at which a buy-er and a sell-er meet, their orders bid- and ask- prices match, and a trade transaction happens. So there are some people out there, that have to dream up these new prices!! 😂 Different from the old ones.
So yeah - you are spot on there. The market moves *towards* efficiency, beacause at any given time, it's *not* efficient! If the market were efficient - prices would not move, prices would not change.
And "moving" takes gargantuan effort in information processing. It's like extracting few gold nuggets of knowledge, from a mountain of ore dirt that is the ocean of information washing over us. Knowledge that we hope to survive the test of time - the ultimate frontier. 😬
(and not even that much time, in our time horizon either!)
10:15 AM · Dec 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868227820364709923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's true. However. What we think as positive, maybe not so. Putting a contrarian "devil's advocate" hat. 😆
Assume learning for 30 yrs ~ 1e9 sec, visual processing sampling at 10 fps, that equals 1e10 images as training samples. Assuming training a human brain with 1e13 "parameters" (10T=100B neurons x 100 connections) connections. That makes 1 image per 1e3 parameters. True - looks like not a lot of data.
Maybe the brain is tuned to "over-generalize", to "learn quickly" for other reasons. Learn "too quick" that is, compared to some maths-stats idea we have of "optimal learning". Maybe that what we think as positive, and admire, is actually not so, objectivelly considering. But it's just another non-optimal solution selected for survival by the trial and error of evolution. (good enough for sure - just not the best possible)
Like with Hinton on back-propagation. Lacking any basis for it in the human brain, it was thought that this is a big negative for the method. It was (implicitly) assumed that human learning is superior. But - if BackProp packs AGI in 1T-10T parameters, that are about 1% to 10% of the human 100T connections, then: that maybe implies that backprop is 10x-100x times more efficient that human learning, for the parameters size?
Possible that that too is related to ANN-s using much more data than the brain. To train brain-performane AGI in 1/10-th of the parameters size - maybe simply uses 10x-100x times more data.
9:33 AM · Dec 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's true. However. What we think as positive, maybe not so. Putting a contrarian "devil's advocate" hat. 😆
Assume learning for 30 yrs ~ 1e9 sec, visual processing sampling at 10 fps, that equals 1e10 images as training samples. Assuming training a human brain with 1e13 "parameters" (10T=100B neurons x 100 connections) connections. That makes 1 image per 1e3 parameters. True - looks like not a lot of data.
Maybe the brain is tuned to "over-generalize", to "learn quickly" for other reasons. Learn "too quick" that is, compared to some maths-stats idea we have of "optimal learning". Maybe that what we think as positive, and admire, is actually not so, objectivelly considering. But it's just another non-optimal solution selected for survival by the trial and error of evolution. (good enough for sure - just not the best possible)
Like with Hinton on back-propagation. Lacking any basis for it in the human brain, it was thought that this is a big negative for the method. It was (implicitly) assumed that human learning is superior. But - if BackProp packs AGI in 1T-10T parameters, that are about 1% to 10% of the human 100T connections, then: that maybe implies that backprop is 10x-100x times more efficient that human learning, for the parameters size?
Possible that that too is related to ANN-s using much more data than the brain. To train brain-performane AGI in 1/10-th of the parameters size - maybe simply uses 10x-100x times more data.
9:33 AM · Dec 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868215855844036622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think "big data is fossil fuels" is apt, but people took the wrong lesson. It spun into "we should stop using it".
Well - we are not using less fossil fuels now. We are using more than ever. Every year is a new ATH usage.
Imo it's an apt comparison in "we used fossil fuels to bootstrap our civillisation" (via the industrial revolution; after not doing much for 10K-100K years). Likewise big data and big compute bootstraped the Connectionist Computing. After it was plodding along not done much since 1943.
The additional axis mentioned offer much opportunity for further growth. It will take longer than we anticipate. Innovation is slow.
How many people over how many years despaired of vanishing gradiants before one thought "well lets add the gradients, instead of just replacing"? I've used masking in training for robustness, but didn't occur to me to use masking as a means to train ever bigger networks.
Because it was simply impossible to train bigger nets. Even with people going great lengths to design a special board, with a chip that allowed for 4-8 to be put in parallel, and programed porttions of libc to implement fixed point real numbers to achieve max perf.
We are bad at forecasting. Progress is usually both faster and slower. Faster - things thought impossible to do for a long time, suddenly get done. Slower - improvements that are 5%-15% relative p.a. seem to go on forever.
8:45 AM · Dec 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think "big data is fossil fuels" is apt, but people took the wrong lesson. It spun into "we should stop using it".
Well - we are not using less fossil fuels now. We are using more than ever. Every year is a new ATH usage.
Imo it's an apt comparison in "we used fossil fuels to bootstrap our civillisation" (via the industrial revolution; after not doing much for 10K-100K years). Likewise big data and big compute bootstraped the Connectionist Computing. After it was plodding along not done much since 1943.
The additional axis mentioned offer much opportunity for further growth. It will take longer than we anticipate. Innovation is slow.
How many people over how many years despaired of vanishing gradiants before one thought "well lets add the gradients, instead of just replacing"? I've used masking in training for robustness, but didn't occur to me to use masking as a means to train ever bigger networks.
Because it was simply impossible to train bigger nets. Even with people going great lengths to design a special board, with a chip that allowed for 4-8 to be put in parallel, and programed porttions of libc to implement fixed point real numbers to achieve max perf.
We are bad at forecasting. Progress is usually both faster and slower. Faster - things thought impossible to do for a long time, suddenly get done. Slower - improvements that are 5%-15% relative p.a. seem to go on forever.
8:45 AM · Dec 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1868109709737074723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sabine .@skdh
"I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)"
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s
to the rescue on physics entropy.
I come to entropy via probability/information theory. There entropy is spikeness or flatness of the pdf. Useful rather than life-death issue tbh.
1:43 AM · Dec 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sabine .@skdh
"I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)"
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s
to the rescue on physics entropy.
I come to entropy via probability/information theory. There entropy is spikeness or flatness of the pdf. Useful rather than life-death issue tbh.
1:43 AM · Dec 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867954009778065551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @LibDems , hello @TweetingCollins .
We your voters want you to do better. Spot your opportunity to win power right there, in that FT chart. You can supplant LAB as party of governement in your market segment,
Take top-5 most popular on the list of public concerns, and push for them. You will win power. Ours is time of volatility, with us the public in open revolt. Old elite is ineffective and failing.
(once in power you'd have to achieve at least 50% of what you promised for a 2nd term - but that's for latter)
Look at what the multi-talented Farage is pushing for, copy lessons on how to influence people. You can topple LAB.
Quote
Financial Times @FT · Dec 13
Reform UK calls for Thames Water to be renationalised
https://on.ft.com/3D9p2ZY
3:25 PM · Dec 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @LibDems , hello @TweetingCollins .
We your voters want you to do better. Spot your opportunity to win power right there, in that FT chart. You can supplant LAB as party of governement in your market segment,
Take top-5 most popular on the list of public concerns, and push for them. You will win power. Ours is time of volatility, with us the public in open revolt. Old elite is ineffective and failing.
(once in power you'd have to achieve at least 50% of what you promised for a 2nd term - but that's for latter)
Look at what the multi-talented Farage is pushing for, copy lessons on how to influence people. You can topple LAB.
Quote
Financial Times @FT · Dec 13
Reform UK calls for Thames Water to be renationalised
https://on.ft.com/3D9p2ZY
3:25 PM · Dec 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867950089106317508
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how LDM have not gotten yet on this case?
Maybe they need a leader as ambitions as Farage v.v. REF supplanting CON?
IMO the LDM party leader should be doing the same. Just adopt the top-3 most popular policies, and relegate LAB to 2nd position in your market segment.
Easy
3:09 PM · Dec 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how LDM have not gotten yet on this case?
Maybe they need a leader as ambitions as Farage v.v. REF supplanting CON?
IMO the LDM party leader should be doing the same. Just adopt the top-3 most popular policies, and relegate LAB to 2nd position in your market segment.
Easy
3:09 PM · Dec 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867898386457981402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe.
The other option is - humans getting some competition in this area of the human experience too, will put some pressure on them to improve their game too.
Humans' can be great, but they can be awful too.
TBS how it pans out. We humans can steer things whichever way.
11:44 AM · Dec 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe.
The other option is - humans getting some competition in this area of the human experience too, will put some pressure on them to improve their game too.
Humans' can be great, but they can be awful too.
TBS how it pans out. We humans can steer things whichever way.
11:44 AM · Dec 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867893947990704392
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Usually -
1. Not enough effort put in asking good questions. B/c they are "testing", to "see" something or another. They don't have a burning problem they must solve and are willing to try anything, and put a lot of effort in it.
2. Bog standard "this other thing is dumb" as a means of "I'm very smart look at me" ego self-massage and advertising.
3. And ofc, there will be cases even when I put significant time and effort - I get little out of it. It's not magic - just a tool.
Just ignore. It's a great tool - people smart and motivated will find 1000s of uses for it. Good times 😁
11:26 AM · Dec 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Usually -
1. Not enough effort put in asking good questions. B/c they are "testing", to "see" something or another. They don't have a burning problem they must solve and are willing to try anything, and put a lot of effort in it.
2. Bog standard "this other thing is dumb" as a means of "I'm very smart look at me" ego self-massage and advertising.
3. And ofc, there will be cases even when I put significant time and effort - I get little out of it. It's not magic - just a tool.
Just ignore. It's a great tool - people smart and motivated will find 1000s of uses for it. Good times 😁
11:26 AM · Dec 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867887970164105668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Topical today-
"The two methods that seem to scale arbitrarily in this way are search and learning."
http://incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html
I came to ML via NNs vs. HMMs and remember "planes have wings but don't flap them" and "every time I fire a linguist the error rate decreases" discussions
11:02 AM · Dec 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Topical today-
"The two methods that seem to scale arbitrarily in this way are search and learning."
http://incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html
I came to ML via NNs vs. HMMs and remember "planes have wings but don't flap them" and "every time I fire a linguist the error rate decreases" discussions
11:02 AM · Dec 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867855427733799131
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bet their LinkedIn profiles will survive them. Continue the mindless slop churn.
Ad infinitum untill the cold heath death, in some future form. Immortal universal grey goo.
8:53 AM · Dec 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bet their LinkedIn profiles will survive them. Continue the mindless slop churn.
Ad infinitum untill the cold heath death, in some future form. Immortal universal grey goo.
8:53 AM · Dec 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867319017444106279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This looks properly Thanos-level scary—much more so than the Terminator-wannabe chatbots.
Quote
https://x.com/AsimovPress/status/1867285140340453759
Asimov Press @AsimovPress · Dec 12
The Dangers of Mirrored Life 🦠
In a Science article published today, 30+ scientists call on the broader community to confront the serious risks of creating "mirrored" lifeforms.
They lay out their case in a compelling, 300-page technical report.
Check out our Special Report🔻
Show more
9:22 PM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This looks properly Thanos-level scary—much more so than the Terminator-wannabe chatbots.
Quote
https://x.com/AsimovPress/status/1867285140340453759
Asimov Press @AsimovPress · Dec 12
The Dangers of Mirrored Life 🦠
In a Science article published today, 30+ scientists call on the broader community to confront the serious risks of creating "mirrored" lifeforms.
They lay out their case in a compelling, 300-page technical report.
Check out our Special Report🔻
Show more
9:22 PM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867230604342837515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
German destruction of Europe for the N-th time afoot?
Germany to Europe seems what California is to the rest of United States wrt ideas: all manner of ideas, no matter how crazy, find a critical mass of adherents in Germany.
(as they do in CA; sth in the air and or the water?)
Quote
Visegrád 24 @visegrad24 · 2h
Record-high electricity prices in parts of Europe today due to Germany’s decision to dismantle all its nuclear power plants.
Due to “Dunkelflaute” (weather with no wind & no sunlight) in 🇩🇪 , prices are spiking to EUR 936 per megawatt-hour.
🇵🇱- 164 (coal)
🇫🇷- 275 (nuclear)
Show more
3:30 PM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
German destruction of Europe for the N-th time afoot?
Germany to Europe seems what California is to the rest of United States wrt ideas: all manner of ideas, no matter how crazy, find a critical mass of adherents in Germany.
(as they do in CA; sth in the air and or the water?)
Quote
Visegrád 24 @visegrad24 · 2h
Record-high electricity prices in parts of Europe today due to Germany’s decision to dismantle all its nuclear power plants.
Due to “Dunkelflaute” (weather with no wind & no sunlight) in 🇩🇪 , prices are spiking to EUR 936 per megawatt-hour.
🇵🇱- 164 (coal)
🇫🇷- 275 (nuclear)
Show more
3:30 PM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867198629611462836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once you handed over those 20K to the bank - it's not your 20K anymore. It's banks' 20K from that point on.
True that if 20K is stolen, the bank tries very hard to convince you that it was yours 20K that was stolen. Whereas it's banks' 20K that was stolen.
1:23 PM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once you handed over those 20K to the bank - it's not your 20K anymore. It's banks' 20K from that point on.
True that if 20K is stolen, the bank tries very hard to convince you that it was yours 20K that was stolen. Whereas it's banks' 20K that was stolen.
1:23 PM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867196366566605288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK it sounds crazy, but "what's not impossible may happen however improbable": the LDM-REF duopoly will replace the LAB-CON duopoly.
LDM are better liberals than Starmerites. REF are better conservatives than Torries. It seems things are ticking that way.
1:14 PM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK it sounds crazy, but "what's not impossible may happen however improbable": the LDM-REF duopoly will replace the LAB-CON duopoly.
LDM are better liberals than Starmerites. REF are better conservatives than Torries. It seems things are ticking that way.
1:14 PM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867193984738603224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well the killing off of UK Tech is underway it seems, and with a LAB-CON enthusiastic consensus too.
see
https://x.com/s8mb/status/1866906702081298717
The established elite want control. What you don't create, you can only "control" by mutilation, by chopping bits and pieces you dislike. In extremis - by killing the creation entirely. If the creator givest you access to their creation, that is.
To "control" something in a positive way, in an affirmative way, is - to be adding, to be bolting on, features you desire onto your creation. And for that - you need to create the thing in the first place. There is no other way.
The current elite is not capable of creation. That leaves destruction as the only tool of control. People sense that even when they can't articulate. Hence the omni-crisis, and insurgent elite trying to replace the established one.
Quote
Sam Bowman @s8mb · 23h
Imagine my surprise at learning that the Online Safety Act is why OpenAI has blocked Sora in the UK, putting us in the same impoverished position as the European Union.
https://ofcom.org.uk/online-safety/illegal-and-harmful-content/open-letter-to-uk-online-service-providers-regarding-generative-ai-and-chatbots/
Show more
1:05 PM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well the killing off of UK Tech is underway it seems, and with a LAB-CON enthusiastic consensus too.
see
https://x.com/s8mb/status/1866906702081298717
The established elite want control. What you don't create, you can only "control" by mutilation, by chopping bits and pieces you dislike. In extremis - by killing the creation entirely. If the creator givest you access to their creation, that is.
To "control" something in a positive way, in an affirmative way, is - to be adding, to be bolting on, features you desire onto your creation. And for that - you need to create the thing in the first place. There is no other way.
The current elite is not capable of creation. That leaves destruction as the only tool of control. People sense that even when they can't articulate. Hence the omni-crisis, and insurgent elite trying to replace the established one.
Quote
Sam Bowman @s8mb · 23h
Imagine my surprise at learning that the Online Safety Act is why OpenAI has blocked Sora in the UK, putting us in the same impoverished position as the European Union.
https://ofcom.org.uk/online-safety/illegal-and-harmful-content/open-letter-to-uk-online-service-providers-regarding-generative-ai-and-chatbots/
Show more
1:05 PM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867173120240685515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it was. ☺️
"Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" book by Morton A Meyers is both informative and entertaining on this topic.
Gives the penicilin accidental discovery a magisterial telling too. 😀
11:42 AM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it was. ☺️
"Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" book by Morton A Meyers is both informative and entertaining on this topic.
Gives the penicilin accidental discovery a magisterial telling too. 😀
11:42 AM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867169370159370677
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
*** Radical Transparency ***
Before we the public can even begin to push for improvement on all f*ckups past and future - that are the baseline, the norm, not the exception, for the system is setup in a way to generate them - they have to learn about them. Learn in a systematic, regular part of the system way, not as an one off amusing, entertaining anecdote. Admitedly this is meta - but an only way for your change to survive you. All us dot gov business public by default, and secret only on request.
11:27 AM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
*** Radical Transparency ***
Before we the public can even begin to push for improvement on all f*ckups past and future - that are the baseline, the norm, not the exception, for the system is setup in a way to generate them - they have to learn about them. Learn in a systematic, regular part of the system way, not as an one off amusing, entertaining anecdote. Admitedly this is meta - but an only way for your change to survive you. All us dot gov business public by default, and secret only on request.
11:27 AM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867167842145112372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Leave vindicated there - almost. As there exists similar LAB-CON consensus in the UK. (Sora unavailable in the UK too; Google AI Search unavailable to me in the UK atm)
The "regulation" is such a copout for laziness, statism, "here are my 10 quick reasons against this, just say NO" denial of reality, and ultimatelly - life itself.
What you don't create you "control" just by means of mutilation, by chopping bits and pieces off, or by killing the creation entirely. If the creator givest you access to their creation, that is.
To "control" something in a positive way, in an affirmative way, is - to by adding features you like and desire to the creation. And for that - you need to create the thing in the first place. There is no other way.
11:21 AM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Leave vindicated there - almost. As there exists similar LAB-CON consensus in the UK. (Sora unavailable in the UK too; Google AI Search unavailable to me in the UK atm)
The "regulation" is such a copout for laziness, statism, "here are my 10 quick reasons against this, just say NO" denial of reality, and ultimatelly - life itself.
What you don't create you "control" just by means of mutilation, by chopping bits and pieces off, or by killing the creation entirely. If the creator givest you access to their creation, that is.
To "control" something in a positive way, in an affirmative way, is - to by adding features you like and desire to the creation. And for that - you need to create the thing in the first place. There is no other way.
11:21 AM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867164476740395071
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be spent on compliance, reports and regulations to disable any and all activity I presume. They can't get it in their thick skulls that to control you need to create. Someone else's creation, you "control" - by chopping bits a pieces off, by mutilation. If the creator gives you access to it's creation in the first place, that is. To control by adding bits you like - you need to create.
In 10 yrs pos town's Nobel talk will be about the "godfathers of Quantum Computing" (Europeans) Hartmut Neven and Sergio Boixo. Like currently it's about the "godfathers of AI" (Europeans) Hinton, LeCun, Bengio. (NB the 1 - out of the original 4 - that stayed behind is missing from that list)
Only EU footprint in the current ML/AI revolution seems to be Mistral. It seemed a last-ditch daring rescue operation not to miss the last train leaving the station, by Macron personally. So nothing to do with EC/EU, not even national FR gov level competency. Luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris, so there is some ML on EU soil. (as DeepMind is ex-EU, in London)
EU was part of the Computer Revolution both as producer and consumer. Missed the Internet Revolution as producer - participating only as consumer atm. EU is missing on the AI Revolution atm as producer, and making efforts to miss it as a consumer too. Where it goes wrong - e.g. cookies, GDPR data inanities - it does not correct.
11:07 AM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be spent on compliance, reports and regulations to disable any and all activity I presume. They can't get it in their thick skulls that to control you need to create. Someone else's creation, you "control" - by chopping bits a pieces off, by mutilation. If the creator gives you access to it's creation in the first place, that is. To control by adding bits you like - you need to create.
In 10 yrs pos town's Nobel talk will be about the "godfathers of Quantum Computing" (Europeans) Hartmut Neven and Sergio Boixo. Like currently it's about the "godfathers of AI" (Europeans) Hinton, LeCun, Bengio. (NB the 1 - out of the original 4 - that stayed behind is missing from that list)
Only EU footprint in the current ML/AI revolution seems to be Mistral. It seemed a last-ditch daring rescue operation not to miss the last train leaving the station, by Macron personally. So nothing to do with EC/EU, not even national FR gov level competency. Luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris, so there is some ML on EU soil. (as DeepMind is ex-EU, in London)
EU was part of the Computer Revolution both as producer and consumer. Missed the Internet Revolution as producer - participating only as consumer atm. EU is missing on the AI Revolution atm as producer, and making efforts to miss it as a consumer too. Where it goes wrong - e.g. cookies, GDPR data inanities - it does not correct.
11:07 AM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1867141899313893728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1!! One can look at legislation of that time, about liability lessons. Which side, how much, and how is the liability apportioned when horses got spooked and run the coach over someone. Would be comparable experience to a RoboTaxi accidents. Lessons from law history welcome.
9:38 AM · Dec 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1!! One can look at legislation of that time, about liability lessons. Which side, how much, and how is the liability apportioned when horses got spooked and run the coach over someone. Would be comparable experience to a RoboTaxi accidents. Lessons from law history welcome.
9:38 AM · Dec 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866942298593886497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "expert" class only have one answer - "NO"! No to everything. As expertly an advice as a piece of paper with letters "N O" written on it tbh.
Looking for the day when companies start catering for people (like myself) that do *want* to share their data. I give my personal life to Google daily, yet it seems determined to stay completely ignorant in its dealings with me. And to treat me like a total stranger, every day, that has to explain everything from zero, every f*cking day.
Most of the Internet - and especially in the early days (incl pre-Internet time of home computers, BBS) - everything online was built by altruistic mildly autistic geeks doing stuff for the love and joy of it, but also to connect to like minded people and escape isolation. Sharing was the natural default - code, data, hardware, everything really.
Sick and tired of normies happy to take everything they need from the rest of the society, while refusing to contribute their share to the common pool. Data being the latest example. And then bleat about "the tragedy of the commons".
Andreas Weigend .@aweigend "Data For the People" should be more widely read and proselytized. High complexity society needs more data sharing, not less. The way to level the data imbalance (Amazon knows much about me; I know little about Amazon) is not for me to hide my data from Amazon. But rather for Amazon to share more of its data with me.
And The State (administration, legislature, bureaucracy) should run on a "Radical Transparency" default: all information public in the open to start with. Hidden and secret only on request.
(rant over; thanks for reading thus far stranger)
8:25 PM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "expert" class only have one answer - "NO"! No to everything. As expertly an advice as a piece of paper with letters "N O" written on it tbh.
Looking for the day when companies start catering for people (like myself) that do *want* to share their data. I give my personal life to Google daily, yet it seems determined to stay completely ignorant in its dealings with me. And to treat me like a total stranger, every day, that has to explain everything from zero, every f*cking day.
Most of the Internet - and especially in the early days (incl pre-Internet time of home computers, BBS) - everything online was built by altruistic mildly autistic geeks doing stuff for the love and joy of it, but also to connect to like minded people and escape isolation. Sharing was the natural default - code, data, hardware, everything really.
Sick and tired of normies happy to take everything they need from the rest of the society, while refusing to contribute their share to the common pool. Data being the latest example. And then bleat about "the tragedy of the commons".
Andreas Weigend .@aweigend "Data For the People" should be more widely read and proselytized. High complexity society needs more data sharing, not less. The way to level the data imbalance (Amazon knows much about me; I know little about Amazon) is not for me to hide my data from Amazon. But rather for Amazon to share more of its data with me.
And The State (administration, legislature, bureaucracy) should run on a "Radical Transparency" default: all information public in the open to start with. Hidden and secret only on request.
(rant over; thanks for reading thus far stranger)
8:25 PM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866881083515785646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For reasons unknown, Werner Herzog and Edward Luttwak are connected somehow in my mind. 😆 Like half Makiavelli, half Bond, half myth legend, half fantacist bullshitter. Four halves in total. 😂 Larger than life whole right there.
4:21 PM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For reasons unknown, Werner Herzog and Edward Luttwak are connected somehow in my mind. 😆 Like half Makiavelli, half Bond, half myth legend, half fantacist bullshitter. Four halves in total. 😂 Larger than life whole right there.
4:21 PM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866811324904165628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah thanks 👍 love to hear that, and top marks for it. I am prejudiced *for* Milei, in favour of him. I hope his plan works out. From what little I read, his seemed solutions for the problems they had.
Still - don't want to be like the usual Econ quack BS peddler. One that has got one remedy, one medicine in hand, and that one (and nothing else) is to be dished out, inflicted on millions of people, no matter what ailments ail the economy.
In any other area of human endeavour that would be considered pretty crazy. To always advocate for the same course of action. When things don't work, we usually try to develop solutions where: if something is missing - we add; if something else is too much - we remove.
11:44 AM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah thanks 👍 love to hear that, and top marks for it. I am prejudiced *for* Milei, in favour of him. I hope his plan works out. From what little I read, his seemed solutions for the problems they had.
Still - don't want to be like the usual Econ quack BS peddler. One that has got one remedy, one medicine in hand, and that one (and nothing else) is to be dished out, inflicted on millions of people, no matter what ailments ail the economy.
In any other area of human endeavour that would be considered pretty crazy. To always advocate for the same course of action. When things don't work, we usually try to develop solutions where: if something is missing - we add; if something else is too much - we remove.
11:44 AM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866802201760239947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gaussian - in addition to the tails being badly fit, the center is also not great. The central returns are more of a Laplacian pdf than of a Gaussian imo.
TBH the Gaussian is used b/c it's minimal effort, laziness if you want, as the quadratic form buys a lot of convenience.
11:08 AM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gaussian - in addition to the tails being badly fit, the center is also not great. The central returns are more of a Laplacian pdf than of a Gaussian imo.
TBH the Gaussian is used b/c it's minimal effort, laziness if you want, as the quadratic form buys a lot of convenience.
11:08 AM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866798196887871884
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima kniga od 2014 od .@mgurri
"The Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" sto mislam dobro opisuva sto ni se slucuva. Predviduvanjata go izdrzaa testot na vremeto 2014-2024.
Toa, i idei - skoro popularizirani od na pr .@harari_yuval
ama i drugi - za krilaticata "medium is the message", primeneta vo moderno vreme. Koga preminavme od stari mediumi (TV, pecat) na novi mediumi (Internet, Social Media) i sodrzinata (a ne samo formata) na porakite se smeni.
Sodrzinata na tie poraki ponatamu gi oblikuva i ideite sto gi stvarame vo nasite glavi. I posle nie i deluvame vodeni od tie isti idei. Pa mozebi ne e tolku neocekuvano da se slucat golemi promeni za kuso vreme.
10:52 AM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima kniga od 2014 od .@mgurri
"The Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" sto mislam dobro opisuva sto ni se slucuva. Predviduvanjata go izdrzaa testot na vremeto 2014-2024.
Toa, i idei - skoro popularizirani od na pr .@harari_yuval
ama i drugi - za krilaticata "medium is the message", primeneta vo moderno vreme. Koga preminavme od stari mediumi (TV, pecat) na novi mediumi (Internet, Social Media) i sodrzinata (a ne samo formata) na porakite se smeni.
Sodrzinata na tie poraki ponatamu gi oblikuva i ideite sto gi stvarame vo nasite glavi. I posle nie i deluvame vodeni od tie isti idei. Pa mozebi ne e tolku neocekuvano da se slucat golemi promeni za kuso vreme.
10:52 AM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866795319494918640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK when did this happen but this is genuinely useful and very helpful.
On the right side down under a post, there is a Grok icon with "Explain this post" functionality. I just noticed it! This is really good! 🥰
Kudos to @grok and @xai . 👏 Thanks for that. 🙏
Image
10:41 AM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK when did this happen but this is genuinely useful and very helpful.
On the right side down under a post, there is a Grok icon with "Explain this post" functionality. I just noticed it! This is really good! 🥰
Kudos to @grok and @xai . 👏 Thanks for that. 🙏
Image
10:41 AM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866792383381110919
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF to them they did say on the video that the benchmark has zero practical application. That it's just a way to prove to themselves that their machine works at all.
Nevertheless, the "are we there yet" brigade will ofc torment us all, will have to listen to 20 yrs of moaning "uhohah that quantum thingy is forever 20 years away, what fraudsters (and I am a very clever person btw)".
Google put out a roadmap poster. Indicating for any possible eventual practical use that is 20+ yrs away they will have to improve performance at least 3-4 orders of magnitude on a number of axis. Is my reading of https://quantumai.google/roadmap.
No matter the number of "this is this" and "this is not that" explanations and tutorials, many many of us will still hear what we want to hear. I don't find much fault with the googlers announcement.
Image
10:29 AM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF to them they did say on the video that the benchmark has zero practical application. That it's just a way to prove to themselves that their machine works at all.
Nevertheless, the "are we there yet" brigade will ofc torment us all, will have to listen to 20 yrs of moaning "uhohah that quantum thingy is forever 20 years away, what fraudsters (and I am a very clever person btw)".
Google put out a roadmap poster. Indicating for any possible eventual practical use that is 20+ yrs away they will have to improve performance at least 3-4 orders of magnitude on a number of axis. Is my reading of https://quantumai.google/roadmap.
No matter the number of "this is this" and "this is not that" explanations and tutorials, many many of us will still hear what we want to hear. I don't find much fault with the googlers announcement.
Image
10:29 AM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866785084969189540
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would not inflict it on myself willingly. No need to suffer needlessly.
Can customise and make it bearable if I was forced to use. By mostly avoiding and circumventing the designs foisted on us by its (modern) designers.
10:00 AM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would not inflict it on myself willingly. No need to suffer needlessly.
Can customise and make it bearable if I was forced to use. By mostly avoiding and circumventing the designs foisted on us by its (modern) designers.
10:00 AM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866773052320563322
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They should be. The world model is the same (obviously), the data type same (video).
May need few adaptation layers on the top (LoRA like) to accommodate the differences in the sensors (cameras) and the actuators (commands).
But I presume this adaptation on top is already the case. As there is more than 1 type of Tesla. And in extremis, every car is somewhat unique too.
I am edu guessing as I have not done vision or cars. But I have done speech recognition (in a prior life), and in every practical application there is based+adaptation.
9:12 AM · Dec 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They should be. The world model is the same (obviously), the data type same (video).
May need few adaptation layers on the top (LoRA like) to accommodate the differences in the sensors (cameras) and the actuators (commands).
But I presume this adaptation on top is already the case. As there is more than 1 type of Tesla. And in extremis, every car is somewhat unique too.
I am edu guessing as I have not done vision or cars. But I have done speech recognition (in a prior life), and in every practical application there is based+adaptation.
9:12 AM · Dec 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866579508062490666
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Congratulate them 👏🎉
Then maybe start moving towards a better assessment system. Instead of "gotchas" on small tidbits of knowledge, shift more towards fewer, but more substantial pieces of work. Like seminar works.
Have the work be part of ongoing larger corpus of work on an ongoing larger project. No need to waste student effort on made up problems, when many real problems exist and cry for helping hands. They can learn all the same.
8:23 PM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Congratulate them 👏🎉
Then maybe start moving towards a better assessment system. Instead of "gotchas" on small tidbits of knowledge, shift more towards fewer, but more substantial pieces of work. Like seminar works.
Have the work be part of ongoing larger corpus of work on an ongoing larger project. No need to waste student effort on made up problems, when many real problems exist and cry for helping hands. They can learn all the same.
8:23 PM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866574798429528084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a column can be many things.
I have one deck (LISTS) where every list I have is a column.
And I have separate deck for every one list, where deck name==list name. In those decks I add individual user accounts, that are members of the list. Not all, as decks slow down a lot with lots of columns. But the more frequent and or interesting posters.
Indeed you are right there Re: switching! It's the social graph, the lists of Follows-Followers, and for me those additional lists, 🙂 that keep us in the walled garden of a social network.
8:04 PM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a column can be many things.
I have one deck (LISTS) where every list I have is a column.
And I have separate deck for every one list, where deck name==list name. In those decks I add individual user accounts, that are members of the list. Not all, as decks slow down a lot with lots of columns. But the more frequent and or interesting posters.
Indeed you are right there Re: switching! It's the social graph, the lists of Follows-Followers, and for me those additional lists, 🙂 that keep us in the walled garden of a social network.
8:04 PM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866572154533454050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a useful reminder though: the model is company property. A glorified spin on the google dumb practice that there are forbidden words that may ban a Gdoc. There's no way around it: a company must protect itself from liability.
Only owning the computer, and the software stacks, can provide an escape hatch from that. RMS has been validated by the future that's become our present we live in.
7:54 PM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a useful reminder though: the model is company property. A glorified spin on the google dumb practice that there are forbidden words that may ban a Gdoc. There's no way around it: a company must protect itself from liability.
Only owning the computer, and the software stacks, can provide an escape hatch from that. RMS has been validated by the future that's become our present we live in.
7:54 PM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866569256655098221
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thinks it does. I have seen on a top of a post X showed me in a tiny font written "This was liked by many in your Xyz list" or similar to that. I remember it b/c it surprised me. I have a low low opinion of the X Algofeed, this was a rare surprise on the positive side.
Given it seems you have XPro: you can combine any List-s you create with Deck-s. I find it to be a compelling fit. For me decked lists look like this
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866507744095694935
7:42 PM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thinks it does. I have seen on a top of a post X showed me in a tiny font written "This was liked by many in your Xyz list" or similar to that. I remember it b/c it surprised me. I have a low low opinion of the X Algofeed, this was a rare surprise on the positive side.
Given it seems you have XPro: you can combine any List-s you create with Deck-s. I find it to be a compelling fit. For me decked lists look like this
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866507744095694935
7:42 PM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866507744095694935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Decks and Lists are a match made in heaven! 🥰
Decked lists FTW! 😇 It's my preferred desktop mode.
Seems decks don't not get much love, are now and have always been dog slow. Having plenty of RAM (>128GB) and cores helps.
(full resolution https://ljubomirj.github.io/xpro-decks-lists-123.png)
xpro-decks-lists-123.png
3:38 PM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Decks and Lists are a match made in heaven! 🥰
Decked lists FTW! 😇 It's my preferred desktop mode.
Seems decks don't not get much love, are now and have always been dog slow. Having plenty of RAM (>128GB) and cores helps.
(full resolution https://ljubomirj.github.io/xpro-decks-lists-123.png)
xpro-decks-lists-123.png
3:38 PM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866473414573101222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - in 10 yrs maybe Nobel talk of town will be about the "godfathers of Quantum Computing" (Europeans) Hartmut Neven and Sergio Boixo. Like currently it's about the "godfathers of AI" (Europeans) Hinton, LeCun, Bengio. (NB the 1 - out of the original 4 - that stayed behind is missing from that list)
Only EU footprint in the current ML/AI revolution seems to be Mistral. It seemed to me a last-ditch daring rescue operation not to miss the last train leaving the station, by Macron personally. So nothing to do with EC/EU, not even national FR gov level competency. Luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris, so there is some ML on EU soil. (as DeepMind is ex-EU, in London)
Think you have the scale/level wrong asking things of EC at EU level. IMO they can't deliver what you want of them. EU level was the crazy "slice the brain" project. So it's not so much they don't invest. They invest in the wrong people, and don't invest in the right people.
Maybe better try a level lower, at national gov level. There its smaller scale, more diverse, more openings for experimentation, and opportunities for country level specialization in competences. IK this oft goes against country level natural proclivities to do even worse on Tech at ctry level than EC at EU level!
EU was part of the Computer Revolution both as producer and consumer. Missed the Internet Revolution as producer - participating only as consumer. EU is missing on the AI Revolution atm as producer, and making efforts to miss it as a consumer too. Where it goes wrong - e.g. cookies, GDPR data inanities - it does not correct.
The possible future Quantum Revolution in 20yrs maybe missed on both fronts too. TBS but omens are not good. Mentioned self-driving cars to a young-ish bona-fide European yesterday, and the 1st thought that popped up in their head was "but what about regulation". (!!) 😶
(previous on missed chances https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849527788941828333 and https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833844048395690436)
1:21 PM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - in 10 yrs maybe Nobel talk of town will be about the "godfathers of Quantum Computing" (Europeans) Hartmut Neven and Sergio Boixo. Like currently it's about the "godfathers of AI" (Europeans) Hinton, LeCun, Bengio. (NB the 1 - out of the original 4 - that stayed behind is missing from that list)
Only EU footprint in the current ML/AI revolution seems to be Mistral. It seemed to me a last-ditch daring rescue operation not to miss the last train leaving the station, by Macron personally. So nothing to do with EC/EU, not even national FR gov level competency. Luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris, so there is some ML on EU soil. (as DeepMind is ex-EU, in London)
Think you have the scale/level wrong asking things of EC at EU level. IMO they can't deliver what you want of them. EU level was the crazy "slice the brain" project. So it's not so much they don't invest. They invest in the wrong people, and don't invest in the right people.
Maybe better try a level lower, at national gov level. There its smaller scale, more diverse, more openings for experimentation, and opportunities for country level specialization in competences. IK this oft goes against country level natural proclivities to do even worse on Tech at ctry level than EC at EU level!
EU was part of the Computer Revolution both as producer and consumer. Missed the Internet Revolution as producer - participating only as consumer. EU is missing on the AI Revolution atm as producer, and making efforts to miss it as a consumer too. Where it goes wrong - e.g. cookies, GDPR data inanities - it does not correct.
The possible future Quantum Revolution in 20yrs maybe missed on both fronts too. TBS but omens are not good. Mentioned self-driving cars to a young-ish bona-fide European yesterday, and the 1st thought that popped up in their head was "but what about regulation". (!!) 😶
(previous on missed chances https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849527788941828333 and https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833844048395690436)
1:21 PM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866447836184707185
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People living as of by that point still "un-examined lives".
This is the default, so it will be the majority of us humans at any given time. One has to live unexamined life first, before living an examined life.
One is part of a herd much more than an individual to start with. Babies must think they, their mother, the entire universe - are one and the same. In extremis - one can think of entire life as detaching, and death being the final detachment.
11:40 AM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People living as of by that point still "un-examined lives".
This is the default, so it will be the majority of us humans at any given time. One has to live unexamined life first, before living an examined life.
One is part of a herd much more than an individual to start with. Babies must think they, their mother, the entire universe - are one and the same. In extremis - one can think of entire life as detaching, and death being the final detachment.
11:40 AM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866442620580348376
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Export of capital, circumventing capital controls.
A factory owner from China with a spare 1M wants to buy a flat in London. (pos to enable his kid to come study at a London Uni)
11:19 AM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Export of capital, circumventing capital controls.
A factory owner from China with a spare 1M wants to buy a flat in London. (pos to enable his kid to come study at a London Uni)
11:19 AM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866439017144676759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sapiens is good. Nexus is good too. (the one in between pos bad - didn't read) If one is interested in the Information Flows in modern Networks that are modern human information based socities - IDK how anyone can not be interested in Nexus.
(fwiw IDK how one can write entire book about information, but not explain what 1 unit of information, what 1 "bit" means; and miss the opportunity to make a connection to probability; but hey, I'm not a best-selling author)
NB Elon Musk bio is also there. That's also a good book.
Disappointing showing by pmarca, early signs of in-group derangement: going after the person, not the ideas. Firmly into politics territory there - truth searching it is not. Maybe Harari getting a Rogan will bring him closer to a validation in the eyes of the atm newly establishing elite? (former insurgent elite) TBS - Rogan becoming elite also tallies with him getting selective.
Being a total outsider and witnessing from a distance like a light from a distant star & with a delay - I can only speculate as to the reasons. Maybe Harari catastrophizing AI? (that I dislike too) Maybe Harari calling for removing of S230 protection for the Algofeed editor of Social Media? (where I think he has a point; e.g. X only using meta-data in the Algofeed, with DNN word2vec known now for many years - that's sh*t, and on Elon)
Tearing down non-working institutions is not as hard as it seems, as them being rotten means don't need much of a push. Only courage to say "the emperor has no clothes". Which billionaires in the pmarca camp somehow managed to summon after years of anguish. 😂🤣 Building up new better non-rotten institutions is much harder.
11:05 AM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sapiens is good. Nexus is good too. (the one in between pos bad - didn't read) If one is interested in the Information Flows in modern Networks that are modern human information based socities - IDK how anyone can not be interested in Nexus.
(fwiw IDK how one can write entire book about information, but not explain what 1 unit of information, what 1 "bit" means; and miss the opportunity to make a connection to probability; but hey, I'm not a best-selling author)
NB Elon Musk bio is also there. That's also a good book.
Disappointing showing by pmarca, early signs of in-group derangement: going after the person, not the ideas. Firmly into politics territory there - truth searching it is not. Maybe Harari getting a Rogan will bring him closer to a validation in the eyes of the atm newly establishing elite? (former insurgent elite) TBS - Rogan becoming elite also tallies with him getting selective.
Being a total outsider and witnessing from a distance like a light from a distant star & with a delay - I can only speculate as to the reasons. Maybe Harari catastrophizing AI? (that I dislike too) Maybe Harari calling for removing of S230 protection for the Algofeed editor of Social Media? (where I think he has a point; e.g. X only using meta-data in the Algofeed, with DNN word2vec known now for many years - that's sh*t, and on Elon)
Tearing down non-working institutions is not as hard as it seems, as them being rotten means don't need much of a push. Only courage to say "the emperor has no clothes". Which billionaires in the pmarca camp somehow managed to summon after years of anguish. 😂🤣 Building up new better non-rotten institutions is much harder.
11:05 AM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866428739082756255
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF you need to put out a GDP graph to accompany the charts. After all - GDP 0 also has the feature of inflation 0. (or Inf - take your pick)
The inflation is only where it was back in 2022 - tad underwhelming. Expected better, but - early days, a huge system has long time lags.
10:24 AM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF you need to put out a GDP graph to accompany the charts. After all - GDP 0 also has the feature of inflation 0. (or Inf - take your pick)
The inflation is only where it was back in 2022 - tad underwhelming. Expected better, but - early days, a huge system has long time lags.
10:24 AM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866422423010316749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😄 - excellent viewing on that is
MIT's Pathway to Fusion Energy (IAP 2017) - Zach Hartwig
https://youtube.com/watch?v=L0KuAx1COEk
9:59 AM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😄 - excellent viewing on that is
MIT's Pathway to Fusion Energy (IAP 2017) - Zach Hartwig
https://youtube.com/watch?v=L0KuAx1COEk
9:59 AM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866407999822069796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a triumph. 🥰
With hopes raised, we will all have to listen now for 20yrs of moaning "quantum computing is always 20 years away".
Handy pic by googlers to help us endure 😂
https://quantumai.google/roadmap
Quote
Google Quantum AI @GoogleQuantumAI · 17h
Willow, our next-gen quantum chip, is pushing the boundaries of quantum computing. With 5x improved coherence times, we're unlocking new possibilities in error correction and performance.
Learn more → https://goo.gle/41JmpID #QuantumAI
9:01 AM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a triumph. 🥰
With hopes raised, we will all have to listen now for 20yrs of moaning "quantum computing is always 20 years away".
Handy pic by googlers to help us endure 😂
https://quantumai.google/roadmap
Quote
Google Quantum AI @GoogleQuantumAI · 17h
Willow, our next-gen quantum chip, is pushing the boundaries of quantum computing. With 5x improved coherence times, we're unlocking new possibilities in error correction and performance.
Learn more → https://goo.gle/41JmpID #QuantumAI
9:01 AM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866404933802586210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The AT&T labs of our times. Plus many of it's R&D competitors also are essentially its spawns.
I'm amused by the attacks on Google by the "work harder" brigade. All those computer engineers slacking not shipping, blablah.
On the other hand, the Command & Control top down applied to R&D being in bad shape, not working out. Cue colective moans of muskians on both fronts.
Well - non-C&C curiosity-R&D looks on surface externaly looks like the slacking googlers: bunch of nobodys not delivering steady stream of improvements. But delivering few big breakthroughs every few years.
8:49 AM · Dec 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The AT&T labs of our times. Plus many of it's R&D competitors also are essentially its spawns.
I'm amused by the attacks on Google by the "work harder" brigade. All those computer engineers slacking not shipping, blablah.
On the other hand, the Command & Control top down applied to R&D being in bad shape, not working out. Cue colective moans of muskians on both fronts.
Well - non-C&C curiosity-R&D looks on surface externaly looks like the slacking googlers: bunch of nobodys not delivering steady stream of improvements. But delivering few big breakthroughs every few years.
8:49 AM · Dec 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866268781661581661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like it's the case that the laws and regulations are to be assumed to be like a living ecosystem, that they will expand to fill any and all space available.
So a way to arrest their infinite growth seems to be to feed the negative externalities back. So they are internalized in the law making processes and rightly taken into account as costs.
Fyi - a rare article I've noticed enumerating practical measures taken to see to that
https://manhattan.institute/article/zero-based-regulation-a-step-by-step-guide-for-states
11:48 PM · Dec 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like it's the case that the laws and regulations are to be assumed to be like a living ecosystem, that they will expand to fill any and all space available.
So a way to arrest their infinite growth seems to be to feed the negative externalities back. So they are internalized in the law making processes and rightly taken into account as costs.
Fyi - a rare article I've noticed enumerating practical measures taken to see to that
https://manhattan.institute/article/zero-based-regulation-a-step-by-step-guide-for-states
11:48 PM · Dec 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1866138841481908242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If they stall and delay for 2yrs - they win.
Have you seen .@Dominic2306 ' talking abt his UK experience?
Here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
and here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=EoG5EammWI4
(also snippets in older https://youtube.com/watch?v=3i7ym_Qh7BA, https://youtube.com/watch?v=C-HhIfpBdoQ)
Quite the revelation to me that "NPC" is not a figure of speech!! But a literal description of the process happening weekly, and ongoing as I'm writing this.
The one link I've seen recently dealing with the issue of unlimited growth in laws is
https://manhattan.institute/article/zero-based-regulation-a-step-by-step-guide-for-states
youtube.com
The Hidden Scandals Inside The British Government - Dominic Cummings
Dominic Cummings is a political strategist who served as Chief Adviser to British Prime Minister Boris Johnson.Dominic has masterminded some of the biggest e...
3:12 PM · Dec 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If they stall and delay for 2yrs - they win.
Have you seen .@Dominic2306 ' talking abt his UK experience?
Here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
and here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=EoG5EammWI4
(also snippets in older https://youtube.com/watch?v=3i7ym_Qh7BA, https://youtube.com/watch?v=C-HhIfpBdoQ)
Quite the revelation to me that "NPC" is not a figure of speech!! But a literal description of the process happening weekly, and ongoing as I'm writing this.
The one link I've seen recently dealing with the issue of unlimited growth in laws is
https://manhattan.institute/article/zero-based-regulation-a-step-by-step-guide-for-states
youtube.com
The Hidden Scandals Inside The British Government - Dominic Cummings
Dominic Cummings is a political strategist who served as Chief Adviser to British Prime Minister Boris Johnson.Dominic has masterminded some of the biggest e...
3:12 PM · Dec 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865938858589712430
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me fuck you money is "I do as I please, and I have enough for lifetime of food, shelter and Internet, to not be a life/death matter to me that the group excommunicates me". I will still live, I don't die of hunger or the elements. But that's about it.
If in addition to survival, you want to maintain status, social standing, approval of your - possibly elite - circle of friends and associates, than ofc no amount of money exists for that. As the genuine items of that list are (by definition) not biddable with money. You have to take part in the beauty contest.
1:57 AM · Dec 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me fuck you money is "I do as I please, and I have enough for lifetime of food, shelter and Internet, to not be a life/death matter to me that the group excommunicates me". I will still live, I don't die of hunger or the elements. But that's about it.
If in addition to survival, you want to maintain status, social standing, approval of your - possibly elite - circle of friends and associates, than ofc no amount of money exists for that. As the genuine items of that list are (by definition) not biddable with money. You have to take part in the beauty contest.
1:57 AM · Dec 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865934864190435524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😁 - A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges
Ahem 😆 - "As all Real Programmers know, the only useful data structure is the Array. Strings, Lists, Structures, Sets--these are all special cases of arrays".
1:41 AM · Dec 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😁 - A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges
Ahem 😆 - "As all Real Programmers know, the only useful data structure is the Array. Strings, Lists, Structures, Sets--these are all special cases of arrays".
1:41 AM · Dec 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865914695586120074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
commiserations. fwiw pls know that few countries on the same shit list (just couple ranks above from the bottom) do appreciate you
12:21 AM · Dec 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
commiserations. fwiw pls know that few countries on the same shit list (just couple ranks above from the bottom) do appreciate you
12:21 AM · Dec 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865911444010922143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well fuck you money is not "I do as I please, and I am still part of the in-group". Ofc if I "fuck you" to the group, the group goes "fuck you" back to me. The point of fuck you money is - I survive that, it's not a literal death sentence to me.
For me fuck you money is "I do as I please, and I have enough food, shelter and Internet, to not be a life/death matter to me that the group excommunicates me". I will still live, I don't die of hunger and the elements.
If in addition to survival, you want to maintain status, social stranding, approval of your - possibly elite - circle of friends and associates, than ofc no amount of money exists for that. As the genuine items of the above list are (by definition) not biddable with money.
IDK why the billionaires mentioned behaved like they did. Maybe it's a selection quality: being prepared and willing to suck the group, no matter the cause, is a favourable trait to successfully climbing the social pyramids.
12:08 AM · Dec 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well fuck you money is not "I do as I please, and I am still part of the in-group". Ofc if I "fuck you" to the group, the group goes "fuck you" back to me. The point of fuck you money is - I survive that, it's not a literal death sentence to me.
For me fuck you money is "I do as I please, and I have enough food, shelter and Internet, to not be a life/death matter to me that the group excommunicates me". I will still live, I don't die of hunger and the elements.
If in addition to survival, you want to maintain status, social stranding, approval of your - possibly elite - circle of friends and associates, than ofc no amount of money exists for that. As the genuine items of the above list are (by definition) not biddable with money.
IDK why the billionaires mentioned behaved like they did. Maybe it's a selection quality: being prepared and willing to suck the group, no matter the cause, is a favourable trait to successfully climbing the social pyramids.
12:08 AM · Dec 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865839597466374156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS if very knowledgeable AI agents like o1 can fill in the role of the "bouncer of the ideas" person in a duo. Atm probably makes for 1.5 rather than full 2 sides in that "relationship". But they will be improving, we are at 1 in o1. But o10 things may look better.
7:23 PM · Dec 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS if very knowledgeable AI agents like o1 can fill in the role of the "bouncer of the ideas" person in a duo. Atm probably makes for 1.5 rather than full 2 sides in that "relationship". But they will be improving, we are at 1 in o1. But o10 things may look better.
7:23 PM · Dec 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865821561103503417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mini customized in the UK allows for M4 Pro 64GB RAM 1TB SSD 10 Gbe for £2500. Getting Xmas ideas now 😆
https://www.apple.com/uk/shop/buy-mac/mac-mini/apple-m4-pro-chip-with-12-core-cpu-16-core-gpu-24gb-memory-512gb
From apple.com
6:11 PM · Dec 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mini customized in the UK allows for M4 Pro 64GB RAM 1TB SSD 10 Gbe for £2500. Getting Xmas ideas now 😆
https://www.apple.com/uk/shop/buy-mac/mac-mini/apple-m4-pro-chip-with-12-core-cpu-16-core-gpu-24gb-memory-512gb
From apple.com
6:11 PM · Dec 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865673936203137139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Apparently internally the party, KGB etc the nomenclatura, called them "govnojeds" ("shit eaters").
As figure of speech b/c they'd eat up any old shit thrown at them. And literally too, b/c at embassy galas, the embassy didn't need to impress them, could get away with serving cheaper "shit menu". Serving not so great food, in order to save some money.
Read somewhere that it's in some dissident or defector book, someone from the Eastern block wrote about this. Would love to track down the reference.
8:25 AM · Dec 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Apparently internally the party, KGB etc the nomenclatura, called them "govnojeds" ("shit eaters").
As figure of speech b/c they'd eat up any old shit thrown at them. And literally too, b/c at embassy galas, the embassy didn't need to impress them, could get away with serving cheaper "shit menu". Serving not so great food, in order to save some money.
Read somewhere that it's in some dissident or defector book, someone from the Eastern block wrote about this. Would love to track down the reference.
8:25 AM · Dec 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865467851626156530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - if one is a lawyer, then saying words, writing words, is actually job done?
Bit even then. For a lawyer, and with a thumping majority in Parliament, where as in your example the remedy is just changing legislation - it should be a straightforward few days of work, and job done.
Other issues like it. Leasehold I follow. They have big chunks of legislation ready. Could vote the changes any afternoon. Yet they don't. Double digits millions future voters affected Already promised, now going back on the promise. Incomprehensible.
For a speedy legislation of AD, which is tad more controversial and maybe needs more care and deliberation to get it right the 1st time - no problem. Rammed through quickly.
I have no explanation, but - common human stupidity. As defined - doing things that I gain nothing from, maybe even suffer a small loss, but that harm other people bigly.
6:46 PM · Dec 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - if one is a lawyer, then saying words, writing words, is actually job done?
Bit even then. For a lawyer, and with a thumping majority in Parliament, where as in your example the remedy is just changing legislation - it should be a straightforward few days of work, and job done.
Other issues like it. Leasehold I follow. They have big chunks of legislation ready. Could vote the changes any afternoon. Yet they don't. Double digits millions future voters affected Already promised, now going back on the promise. Incomprehensible.
For a speedy legislation of AD, which is tad more controversial and maybe needs more care and deliberation to get it right the 1st time - no problem. Rammed through quickly.
I have no explanation, but - common human stupidity. As defined - doing things that I gain nothing from, maybe even suffer a small loss, but that harm other people bigly.
6:46 PM · Dec 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865438688810799134
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе. Некој ќе се сопне на грутка злато, ќе се наведне, ќе ја стави во џеб, и ќе си продолжи по пат како што си тргнал. А друг ќе застане, ќе направи рудник за злато, и после грутката ќе ископа уште и 1000 тони злато. Разни људи разни чуди.
Има супер книга "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" од Morton A Meyers MD. Многу медицински откритија се случајни. Луѓето мислат истражувањето е како Архимед со "Еурека!" А реалноста е, почесто е "Ахмм, е како ова вака чудно ми излезе?? Хмм, интересно..."
Eдна третина од примерите од книгата вклучуваат само-експериментирање. И тоа во последно време како да приметуваме дека е подзаборавено, па и малку непријателски третирано.
4:50 PM · Dec 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе. Некој ќе се сопне на грутка злато, ќе се наведне, ќе ја стави во џеб, и ќе си продолжи по пат како што си тргнал. А друг ќе застане, ќе направи рудник за злато, и после грутката ќе ископа уште и 1000 тони злато. Разни људи разни чуди.
Има супер книга "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" од Morton A Meyers MD. Многу медицински откритија се случајни. Луѓето мислат истражувањето е како Архимед со "Еурека!" А реалноста е, почесто е "Ахмм, е како ова вака чудно ми излезе?? Хмм, интересно..."
Eдна третина од примерите од книгата вклучуваат само-експериментирање. И тоа во последно време како да приметуваме дека е подзаборавено, па и малку непријателски третирано.
4:50 PM · Dec 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865366800252236232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...IK this' rhetorical and you know the A better then anyone.
Spelling it out for the innocents out there that might read and think "what's wrong there?". Ever bolder means "something that can't be delivered right now" b/c - bolder!! (gedit?) Soo - going "ever bolder" is a way to postpone delivery of a result, any result - indefinitelly.
Like when parents tell their kids "vacum clean your room pls". And kids don't say "nope, not doing it", but say - "I will, just not now". And when asked "Ok, great - but when?", kids don't give a definite answer, but say "IDK when... but I will - just not now". That's another way of saying "never", as the horizon of delivery is "Inifinity". 😂
12:04 PM · Dec 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...IK this' rhetorical and you know the A better then anyone.
Spelling it out for the innocents out there that might read and think "what's wrong there?". Ever bolder means "something that can't be delivered right now" b/c - bolder!! (gedit?) Soo - going "ever bolder" is a way to postpone delivery of a result, any result - indefinitelly.
Like when parents tell their kids "vacum clean your room pls". And kids don't say "nope, not doing it", but say - "I will, just not now". And when asked "Ok, great - but when?", kids don't give a definite answer, but say "IDK when... but I will - just not now". That's another way of saying "never", as the horizon of delivery is "Inifinity". 😂
12:04 PM · Dec 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865319167509098836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not me - but I want both. Printed - selected few JIC b/c I need nothing else but eye-brain to read. E-books - for the many, preferred, as I don't need to be that selective.
However - neither are read beginning-to-end. That's too boring nowdays. Authors already communicate 80% of book's ideas through social media, youtubes, podcasts, interviews, etc.
So reading through a lot of what I alread heard from the author to get to the last 20% is usually not worth the time. Better spend that time to get the 80% of the next book.
8:55 AM · Dec 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not me - but I want both. Printed - selected few JIC b/c I need nothing else but eye-brain to read. E-books - for the many, preferred, as I don't need to be that selective.
However - neither are read beginning-to-end. That's too boring nowdays. Authors already communicate 80% of book's ideas through social media, youtubes, podcasts, interviews, etc.
So reading through a lot of what I alread heard from the author to get to the last 20% is usually not worth the time. Better spend that time to get the 80% of the next book.
8:55 AM · Dec 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865309629325943244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. (by temporary I meant - while alive)
If you have not seen "I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)" by @skdh - maybe of interest?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s
youtube.com
I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting...
Learn more about differential equations (and many other topics in maths and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get st...
8:17 AM · Dec 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. (by temporary I meant - while alive)
If you have not seen "I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)" by @skdh - maybe of interest?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s
youtube.com
I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting...
Learn more about differential equations (and many other topics in maths and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get st...
8:17 AM · Dec 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865166077145035240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Life dissipates too - but only after it stops being life.
Why would I say this? B/c it looks to me the p.d.f.s of living things are sharper, peakier, few things only are possible. Whereas p.d.f.s of possibilities of non-live things are flatter, everything is about possible.
10:47 PM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Life dissipates too - but only after it stops being life.
Why would I say this? B/c it looks to me the p.d.f.s of living things are sharper, peakier, few things only are possible. Whereas p.d.f.s of possibilities of non-live things are flatter, everything is about possible.
10:47 PM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865072773736919138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It'd be insane if a response to "person or side A lies" were to be "therefore everything person or side B says is true". Don't think TC is that silly or even attempting to be somewhat deep. It's simpler - whatever gets him some social media clicks and adverts $$$.
4:36 PM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It'd be insane if a response to "person or side A lies" were to be "therefore everything person or side B says is true". Don't think TC is that silly or even attempting to be somewhat deep. It's simpler - whatever gets him some social media clicks and adverts $$$.
4:36 PM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1865013309683925412
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. At this point it's entirely word games to them. Saying things to mislead us while not explicitly lying. One-upping each-oher -and maybe the class clown- at PMQ.
You will have noticed that common words have acquired un-common meanings to the political class. Different to the meanings that those word forms have to us plebs.
They seem rattled -hence "reboot"- but they will prattle and do nothing. As there is nothing they can do at this point. It's all on autopilot.
12:39 PM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. At this point it's entirely word games to them. Saying things to mislead us while not explicitly lying. One-upping each-oher -and maybe the class clown- at PMQ.
You will have noticed that common words have acquired un-common meanings to the political class. Different to the meanings that those word forms have to us plebs.
They seem rattled -hence "reboot"- but they will prattle and do nothing. As there is nothing they can do at this point. It's all on autopilot.
12:39 PM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864998585948844408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Life is that what defeats entropy. (if temporary)
11:41 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Life is that what defeats entropy. (if temporary)
11:41 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864981760238387548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
May learn to carry the load in the 2nd, 3rd... attempt. Agreed the 1st attempt channels dissatisfaction, but typically fails to bring results, improvements.
It's baffling to me that the established elite appears to be blind - still! - to the challenge of the counter-elite. Even after repeated rounds in the boxing match, where the same scenario repeats every round.
Remember reading an FT Ganesh semi-introspective article. Not part of the elites, so IDK if that made any impressions - I'd wager not. (https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027)
10:34 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
May learn to carry the load in the 2nd, 3rd... attempt. Agreed the 1st attempt channels dissatisfaction, but typically fails to bring results, improvements.
It's baffling to me that the established elite appears to be blind - still! - to the challenge of the counter-elite. Even after repeated rounds in the boxing match, where the same scenario repeats every round.
Remember reading an FT Ganesh semi-introspective article. Not part of the elites, so IDK if that made any impressions - I'd wager not. (https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027)
10:34 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864979035253539199
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Politicians and parties aren't afraid of us, the plebs—they treat us with contempt. And we'd deserve it if we go back and elect them again. They're Alan B'Stard personified now. We need to drum the fear of God into Starmer and his successors.
I'd like to know whether Labour’s sister parties on the continent have changed their tune—or if they’ve simply disappeared, like PASOK in Greece. The same goes for the Democrats in the US. Time will tell.
10:23 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Politicians and parties aren't afraid of us, the plebs—they treat us with contempt. And we'd deserve it if we go back and elect them again. They're Alan B'Stard personified now. We need to drum the fear of God into Starmer and his successors.
I'd like to know whether Labour’s sister parties on the continent have changed their tune—or if they’ve simply disappeared, like PASOK in Greece. The same goes for the Democrats in the US. Time will tell.
10:23 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864975601502650574
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - some people are just super energetic and constantly in need of some activity hapenning. Not content to sit, do nothing, contemplate the green grass or a sunrise. ;-)
If that's a given - then yeah, it's either you or your wife as the only available doers of the said tasks. That a task doesn't need to be done - that maybe a hard thing to persuade anyone tbh.
10:10 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - some people are just super energetic and constantly in need of some activity hapenning. Not content to sit, do nothing, contemplate the green grass or a sunrise. ;-)
If that's a given - then yeah, it's either you or your wife as the only available doers of the said tasks. That a task doesn't need to be done - that maybe a hard thing to persuade anyone tbh.
10:10 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864969439336186217
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not non-existential wars, no.
But if the existence of Israel, NK etc was into question - they will be used as last resort.
Russia and US likewise don't face exhistential external threats. No one is invading them. No one is after extinguishing them as entities.
9:45 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not non-existential wars, no.
But if the existence of Israel, NK etc was into question - they will be used as last resort.
Russia and US likewise don't face exhistential external threats. No one is invading them. No one is after extinguishing them as entities.
9:45 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864967283593945236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rather than persuading (that I'm sure Caplan failed to achieve; with the mum then, with the wife now), another options available is to find complementary obsession and allow for both. In modearion.
I tidy. I put various items that are clearly in the wrong places, having been moved from their right places but but not returned, to their correct places. My wife does not notice that those items are out of place.
She cleans. She notices that things are dirty. To me things seem clean, or at least clean enough. And certainly don't need cleaning rn.
I let her clean, she lets me tidy. Yes, possible to equilize "neither wastes time". But also possible to equilize "both waste time", but on things they care about. So - does not feel like a time waste tbh.
9:37 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rather than persuading (that I'm sure Caplan failed to achieve; with the mum then, with the wife now), another options available is to find complementary obsession and allow for both. In modearion.
I tidy. I put various items that are clearly in the wrong places, having been moved from their right places but but not returned, to their correct places. My wife does not notice that those items are out of place.
She cleans. She notices that things are dirty. To me things seem clean, or at least clean enough. And certainly don't need cleaning rn.
I let her clean, she lets me tidy. Yes, possible to equilize "neither wastes time". But also possible to equilize "both waste time", but on things they care about. So - does not feel like a time waste tbh.
9:37 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864943738914550044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He will in all probability fail, as he's a creature - of, by, for - that very same Whitehall. But change of vibes afoot. From heresy
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
to " @Dominic2306 was right" acceptance on BBC (pic) no less, in short time.
Awesome sight seeing a large system coopting dissidents enemies, and regenerating after dying off (large chunks of), in realtime. TBS what transpires in reality. Admission of a problem is the start of the beginning.
8:03 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He will in all probability fail, as he's a creature - of, by, for - that very same Whitehall. But change of vibes afoot. From heresy
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
to " @Dominic2306 was right" acceptance on BBC (pic) no less, in short time.
Awesome sight seeing a large system coopting dissidents enemies, and regenerating after dying off (large chunks of), in realtime. TBS what transpires in reality. Admission of a problem is the start of the beginning.
8:03 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864919718513058277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
very un-american (even russian?) that - "tzar".
sounds like a few bad vibes all rolled into one bad word.
crypto-bro sounds a better pr.
6:28 AM · Dec 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
very un-american (even russian?) that - "tzar".
sounds like a few bad vibes all rolled into one bad word.
crypto-bro sounds a better pr.
6:28 AM · Dec 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864770309624148056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stood the test of time -
Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman."
Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent."
The "Coalition of the Willing" - Poland, Baltics, Nordics - must acquire their own MAD to stop the current slide into WW3.
Quote
Ryan Burton King 🇺🇦 @RyanBurtonKing · 23h
The Budapest Memorandum turns 30 today. In exchange for Ukraine's nuclear arsenal (the third largest in the world), Russia, the UK, and the USA committed to honouring and indeed protecting Ukraine's national sovereignty and borders, not least against nuclear attack or threat.
8:34 PM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stood the test of time -
Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman."
Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent."
The "Coalition of the Willing" - Poland, Baltics, Nordics - must acquire their own MAD to stop the current slide into WW3.
Quote
Ryan Burton King 🇺🇦 @RyanBurtonKing · 23h
The Budapest Memorandum turns 30 today. In exchange for Ukraine's nuclear arsenal (the third largest in the world), Russia, the UK, and the USA committed to honouring and indeed protecting Ukraine's national sovereignty and borders, not least against nuclear attack or threat.
8:34 PM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864738138330943568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not "no one". Couple did forecast the future correctly.
Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman."
Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent."
6:26 PM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not "no one". Couple did forecast the future correctly.
Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman."
Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent."
6:26 PM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864714354546950648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are helping junior programmers (my sons) much more & better than I ever could. Infinitely patient! That alone is priceless. Yes they churn not-the-best proposals - but certainly acceptable. That alone speeds up acquisition of experience by 5x times. Then a newbie can systematise that experience further, build bottom-up wisdom in time.
4:52 PM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are helping junior programmers (my sons) much more & better than I ever could. Infinitely patient! That alone is priceless. Yes they churn not-the-best proposals - but certainly acceptable. That alone speeds up acquisition of experience by 5x times. Then a newbie can systematise that experience further, build bottom-up wisdom in time.
4:52 PM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864654130112807209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - Putin will tell you what he already told everyone 100 times over: there is no Ukraine, it's all Russia. There is no language, no nation, no nothing. Ukraine (and latter Belarus, when Lukashenka is gone) will be united with mother Russia soon.
Doing the same askance, as if he'll change his mind, as if this is an unfortunate misunderstanding, and if you only explain clearly, he'd be "aww snap - recalling my army now then": if I were Putin, I'd be tempted to go light-Pol Pot and tattoo my words onto the thick skulls of the numbskulls.
12:52 PM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - Putin will tell you what he already told everyone 100 times over: there is no Ukraine, it's all Russia. There is no language, no nation, no nothing. Ukraine (and latter Belarus, when Lukashenka is gone) will be united with mother Russia soon.
Doing the same askance, as if he'll change his mind, as if this is an unfortunate misunderstanding, and if you only explain clearly, he'd be "aww snap - recalling my army now then": if I were Putin, I'd be tempted to go light-Pol Pot and tattoo my words onto the thick skulls of the numbskulls.
12:52 PM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864649216800272454
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
There is a reason. The reason is - the minister .@mtpennycook
and the PM .@Keir_Starmer
are simply - lying, in the ordinary commonly understood meaning of that word. They are not going to do anything.
In their world of political double-speak, they are not lying. B/c they go to great lengths to insert an "escape valve" in their statements. A get out clause, that lets them get out of their promises, without "nominally" lying. Without - in the sense of their understanding of the word "lying".
12:33 PM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
There is a reason. The reason is - the minister .@mtpennycook
and the PM .@Keir_Starmer
are simply - lying, in the ordinary commonly understood meaning of that word. They are not going to do anything.
In their world of political double-speak, they are not lying. B/c they go to great lengths to insert an "escape valve" in their statements. A get out clause, that lets them get out of their promises, without "nominally" lying. Without - in the sense of their understanding of the word "lying".
12:33 PM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864625790563881147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that. It's clear to me. As I said - I got rooftop solar, I know the numbers as I'm paying the bills every month. For 55% of my annual electricity (45% is covered by the self-produced self-used solar), I pay more then I paid for 100% of my electricity ~5 years ago. Most of my neighbors didn't spend 11K to install solar. For them - their bills have doubled.
LCOE would be relevant if I was an aspiring owner of an energy plant, or an investor deciding to invest few billions of £££ in one. Further, it's the estimated, forecast cost, for the future. Not realized cost in the past. There are abt 100-1000 people in the UK, owners or financiers, that are interested in: how much would be the hypothetical cost be to them, to produce some amount of energy, over a forward horizon of say 30yrs (the lifetime of a plant), divided by amount of energy they produce.
This is only vaguely related to the price they are going to ask me for that energy. Even less related to the cost I as a consumer will pay. Even less related to the price I and the other 20 million UK retail consumers have paid in the past ~5 years. Which is what I'm talking about.
Say you were complaining that the price of your baguette had gone up in the past 3 years. LCOE would be a hypothetical cost to a baker, to open a new bakery, averaged over the lifetime of that bakery. Is that relevant to the cost you were paying in the past 3 years? Somewhat, it's some indicator, maybe. But not directly, to how much you did pay at the till.
Wish @OurWorldInData
had historic graphs with the cost to me. As they have for the costs to a producer. I presume there is no readily available source. Otherwise they would have collected it.
11:00 AM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that. It's clear to me. As I said - I got rooftop solar, I know the numbers as I'm paying the bills every month. For 55% of my annual electricity (45% is covered by the self-produced self-used solar), I pay more then I paid for 100% of my electricity ~5 years ago. Most of my neighbors didn't spend 11K to install solar. For them - their bills have doubled.
LCOE would be relevant if I was an aspiring owner of an energy plant, or an investor deciding to invest few billions of £££ in one. Further, it's the estimated, forecast cost, for the future. Not realized cost in the past. There are abt 100-1000 people in the UK, owners or financiers, that are interested in: how much would be the hypothetical cost be to them, to produce some amount of energy, over a forward horizon of say 30yrs (the lifetime of a plant), divided by amount of energy they produce.
This is only vaguely related to the price they are going to ask me for that energy. Even less related to the cost I as a consumer will pay. Even less related to the price I and the other 20 million UK retail consumers have paid in the past ~5 years. Which is what I'm talking about.
Say you were complaining that the price of your baguette had gone up in the past 3 years. LCOE would be a hypothetical cost to a baker, to open a new bakery, averaged over the lifetime of that bakery. Is that relevant to the cost you were paying in the past 3 years? Somewhat, it's some indicator, maybe. But not directly, to how much you did pay at the till.
Wish @OurWorldInData
had historic graphs with the cost to me. As they have for the costs to a producer. I presume there is no readily available source. Otherwise they would have collected it.
11:00 AM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864464466194387308
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The imbeciles that are our governments can't make up their minds. On one hand - war on encryption from 1980s onward. On the other hand - we are to use the cursed encryption. 😂
My general impression is - they have too much time on their hands, and too much power, for their capacity to use it, wisely or otherwise.
12:19 AM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The imbeciles that are our governments can't make up their minds. On one hand - war on encryption from 1980s onward. On the other hand - we are to use the cursed encryption. 😂
My general impression is - they have too much time on their hands, and too much power, for their capacity to use it, wisely or otherwise.
12:19 AM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864463016323949054
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - any confusion is by @OurWorldInData , with
> power from new renewables is now cheaper than power from new fossil fuels
This is false in the UK, where the proportion of renewables in the energy mix, and the price we pay for our electricity, have been going up in lockstep. Atm both are at all time high.
I am a happy user of roof solar, battery and inverter, so I'm very cognizant of the costs (capital and running), as well as the gains (self-use, exporting etc). Renewables are many things - but cheap they are not.
12:13 AM · Dec 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - any confusion is by @OurWorldInData , with
> power from new renewables is now cheaper than power from new fossil fuels
This is false in the UK, where the proportion of renewables in the energy mix, and the price we pay for our electricity, have been going up in lockstep. Atm both are at all time high.
I am a happy user of roof solar, battery and inverter, so I'm very cognizant of the costs (capital and running), as well as the gains (self-use, exporting etc). Renewables are many things - but cheap they are not.
12:13 AM · Dec 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864430628411781283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... writes in English with a straight face. 😂 The sentiment is appreciated nevertheless. US rejected the British king & chose a Republic. So did the French. (and others latter) On the connections I remember educational & entertaining for me this -
https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-seed/
10:04 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... writes in English with a straight face. 😂 The sentiment is appreciated nevertheless. US rejected the British king & chose a Republic. So did the French. (and others latter) On the connections I remember educational & entertaining for me this -
https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-seed/
10:04 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864447269199560980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 heh - there is more where that came from; previously
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849527788941828333
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 24
Stop beclowning yourself and those whom you represent. Worry not about musking of twitter. Don't look into your neighbors yard—tend to yours. What are you doing with your yard? Europe had the computer revolution, then missed the Internet revolution, and now you are hell bent on x.com/guyverhofstadt…
Show more
11:10 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 heh - there is more where that came from; previously
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849527788941828333
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 24
Stop beclowning yourself and those whom you represent. Worry not about musking of twitter. Don't look into your neighbors yard—tend to yours. What are you doing with your yard? Europe had the computer revolution, then missed the Internet revolution, and now you are hell bent on x.com/guyverhofstadt…
Show more
11:10 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864394921664242025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
youtube.com
How the Deepstate Fails Britain | Dominic Cummings: Start Ups and...
Listen to Dominic Cummings answer questions about the future of British politics, why the state is so dysfunctional, why it is corrupt, its historical succes...
Dominic_Cummings-How_the_Deepstate_Fails_Britain_Start_Ups_and_State_Failure-YT-5EK3diXgqbI-20241130.mp4
7:42 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
youtube.com
How the Deepstate Fails Britain | Dominic Cummings: Start Ups and...
Listen to Dominic Cummings answer questions about the future of British politics, why the state is so dysfunctional, why it is corrupt, its historical succes...
Dominic_Cummings-How_the_Deepstate_Fails_Britain_Start_Ups_and_State_Failure-YT-5EK3diXgqbI-20241130.mp4
7:42 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864374719396630906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. However: that describes a world as it "ought to be". (according to us)
In our world "as it is" we have: N Korea nuking San Francisco will not change life in Warsaw much. Likewise Russia nuking Kyev will not change life in NewYork much.
This is what sets the incentives. They don't go away when we wish them so. N Korea rushed to develop MAD to ensure independence. Israel did the same ages ago when faced with existential threat.
Northern and Eastern Europe face existential risks. Russia has declared intentions loud and clear and they will pursue what they see as their interest. Putin can sacrifice 1M, 2M, ... men and still be in power.
6:22 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. However: that describes a world as it "ought to be". (according to us)
In our world "as it is" we have: N Korea nuking San Francisco will not change life in Warsaw much. Likewise Russia nuking Kyev will not change life in NewYork much.
This is what sets the incentives. They don't go away when we wish them so. N Korea rushed to develop MAD to ensure independence. Israel did the same ages ago when faced with existential threat.
Northern and Eastern Europe face existential risks. Russia has declared intentions loud and clear and they will pursue what they see as their interest. Putin can sacrifice 1M, 2M, ... men and still be in power.
6:22 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864352857580835152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. Human intelligence is collective intelligence. So is human stupidity - also a collective phenomenon.
IDK how no one of these characters asks themselves: we have had warming for 80-100 years now, at a rate of about 1.2C per century. Is the world around us collapsing? Or is the present time the best time to be born, in all of human history?
Afaics looking at graphs in @OurWorldInData - it's the latter. No one can predict the future. But we can try look at our recent past for lessons.
4:55 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed. Human intelligence is collective intelligence. So is human stupidity - also a collective phenomenon.
IDK how no one of these characters asks themselves: we have had warming for 80-100 years now, at a rate of about 1.2C per century. Is the world around us collapsing? Or is the present time the best time to be born, in all of human history?
Afaics looking at graphs in @OurWorldInData - it's the latter. No one can predict the future. But we can try look at our recent past for lessons.
4:55 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864351471094898985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is some truth to that stereotype. I’d say “leftist Europe” and “dumb Americans” are similar in that regard. 😂 But it’s not the whole truth. Time will tell what happens. The future is what Europeans make of it.
Europe was once just a collection of puny states while China and India were preeminent powers. But things flipped quickly afterward. Europeans went on to conquer not only the known world but also the unknown (to them), spawning sister cultures around the globe—including yours. And before all that, the Mediterranean was a lake surrounded by European Greco-Roman civilizations. Nothing is set in stone. ☺️
4:50 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is some truth to that stereotype. I’d say “leftist Europe” and “dumb Americans” are similar in that regard. 😂 But it’s not the whole truth. Time will tell what happens. The future is what Europeans make of it.
Europe was once just a collection of puny states while China and India were preeminent powers. But things flipped quickly afterward. Europeans went on to conquer not only the known world but also the unknown (to them), spawning sister cultures around the globe—including yours. And before all that, the Mediterranean was a lake surrounded by European Greco-Roman civilizations. Nothing is set in stone. ☺️
4:50 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864326479334748286
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Those Americans treat you and Europe with contempt because you are powerless. The American woke-right of Elon-build-build-build respects strength, and strength only. Not unlike Russia. TBF the Biden et all acted the same even if they didn't spell it out explicitly. So we can safely conclude that half of US thinks the same too.
Restoring your nuclear deterrent via The Coalition of the Willing of Poland, Baltics, and the Nordics, acquiring MAD capability of their own should be the 1st step, work starting today. And ramping up conventional capability inc new capabilities e.g. drone wars. Ofc you know this yourself - don't need a X rando to tell you.
Then onto bigger and better things. Cheap energy via nuclear and or drill-drill-drill and or renewables - whatever works. Then onto re-industrialization. Then onto replicating SpaceX, putting 10K satellites in space etc. Musk did the hard job 0->1 - going to 2 or more is much easier once we know "it's possible" (and great deal to - how to do it).
3:10 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Those Americans treat you and Europe with contempt because you are powerless. The American woke-right of Elon-build-build-build respects strength, and strength only. Not unlike Russia. TBF the Biden et all acted the same even if they didn't spell it out explicitly. So we can safely conclude that half of US thinks the same too.
Restoring your nuclear deterrent via The Coalition of the Willing of Poland, Baltics, and the Nordics, acquiring MAD capability of their own should be the 1st step, work starting today. And ramping up conventional capability inc new capabilities e.g. drone wars. Ofc you know this yourself - don't need a X rando to tell you.
Then onto bigger and better things. Cheap energy via nuclear and or drill-drill-drill and or renewables - whatever works. Then onto re-industrialization. Then onto replicating SpaceX, putting 10K satellites in space etc. Musk did the hard job 0->1 - going to 2 or more is much easier once we know "it's possible" (and great deal to - how to do it).
3:10 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864320259630457029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I love your charts, but: UK reality begs to differ. Once we factor-in requirement for 100% availability, we get highest energy prices in the world. For citizens as well as businesses. TBS what happens faster: mass scale batteries, of shattering of the current energy consensus.
2:46 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I love your charts, but: UK reality begs to differ. Once we factor-in requirement for 100% availability, we get highest energy prices in the world. For citizens as well as businesses. TBS what happens faster: mass scale batteries, of shattering of the current energy consensus.
2:46 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864314219497443555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get what you are saying. But "just measuring" is anything but "just". Building anything is hard. "Just measure" is far from trivial, as you are discovering. True if there is profit, that provides incentive. But incentive is not everything. Still - the gadget needs to be built. Incentive is a start, not the end.
Builders vs. wordcels. When one inherits a working system, one gets the impression that it was always thus. That the current is the default state. But it ain't so. Default state is zero, nothingness. Anything >0 takes effort and knowledge to pull off.
There is a great deal of ruination in a nation. Admittedly - there is some allowance, leeway, to doing things wrongly, being silly etc. It's just not infinite. At some point things start breaking. UK is at that point now.
2:22 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get what you are saying. But "just measuring" is anything but "just". Building anything is hard. "Just measure" is far from trivial, as you are discovering. True if there is profit, that provides incentive. But incentive is not everything. Still - the gadget needs to be built. Incentive is a start, not the end.
Builders vs. wordcels. When one inherits a working system, one gets the impression that it was always thus. That the current is the default state. But it ain't so. Default state is zero, nothingness. Anything >0 takes effort and knowledge to pull off.
There is a great deal of ruination in a nation. Admittedly - there is some allowance, leeway, to doing things wrongly, being silly etc. It's just not infinite. At some point things start breaking. UK is at that point now.
2:22 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864299516029002165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And the result is - Greatness of France.
Maybe UK gov should start looking at *WHAT* UK gets for our pounds. In addition to counting the said pounds.
But in a gov of - half wordcels, and half accountants, don't see how a build-build-build gov is going to materialize in the UK.
1:23 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And the result is - Greatness of France.
Maybe UK gov should start looking at *WHAT* UK gets for our pounds. In addition to counting the said pounds.
But in a gov of - half wordcels, and half accountants, don't see how a build-build-build gov is going to materialize in the UK.
1:23 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864295256595771746
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - building stuff, building something of value, is hard. Destroying stuff by dunder-headed decisions and actions is easy. Not a mystery at all.
Nothingness, nothing working is the default. A mystery is - how come the system that worked got built in the first place.
1:06 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - building stuff, building something of value, is hard. Destroying stuff by dunder-headed decisions and actions is easy. Not a mystery at all.
Nothingness, nothing working is the default. A mystery is - how come the system that worked got built in the first place.
1:06 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864292604608700867
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator - "yes they are that dumb".
And they are even dumber than that. Everyone parting with their hard earned £££ to get paper in hand, in order to see there what they can see online - and 10x times more! - for free, is by self-selection dumb.
12:56 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator - "yes they are that dumb".
And they are even dumber than that. Everyone parting with their hard earned £££ to get paper in hand, in order to see there what they can see online - and 10x times more! - for free, is by self-selection dumb.
12:56 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864291938075099576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not complaining. I'm putting my PoV forward - as are they. The younger people perceptions don't tally with my memories how things were at the time. And not b/c I forgot. It's b/c they don't mention things that were important, one might say even instrumental, in how events turned out.
There was more than "things via media". You missed the part: the state I was born in collapsed, the ideology collapsed as well, everything collapsed as if ground zero. What was good previously was bad now. What was bad previously became good now. A good portion of former criminals became societal leaders. The currency changed. Between that and the inflation all prior wealth was but wiped out. The civil wars (thay I mostly avoided) were part, but not the whole thing.
Even in purely media terms: things as written in "San Francisco Chronicle" and "Kyev Daily" about the war in Ukraine are very different. Even if untouched with anything else - just consuming those two very different sources makes for very different perceptions.
12:53 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not complaining. I'm putting my PoV forward - as are they. The younger people perceptions don't tally with my memories how things were at the time. And not b/c I forgot. It's b/c they don't mention things that were important, one might say even instrumental, in how events turned out.
There was more than "things via media". You missed the part: the state I was born in collapsed, the ideology collapsed as well, everything collapsed as if ground zero. What was good previously was bad now. What was bad previously became good now. A good portion of former criminals became societal leaders. The currency changed. Between that and the inflation all prior wealth was but wiped out. The civil wars (thay I mostly avoided) were part, but not the whole thing.
Even in purely media terms: things as written in "San Francisco Chronicle" and "Kyev Daily" about the war in Ukraine are very different. Even if untouched with anything else - just consuming those two very different sources makes for very different perceptions.
12:53 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864281448498225272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fine but that's a start, not the end.
Control is means to an end. You got control to improve things. Solutions are the ends, processes are the means. You seem to be a process person - hence this reminder.
Don't turn the South Western into another Northern
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844790721381068887
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 11
Replying to @Liviman2 and @LukeTryl
I don't want to do anything. I want the wider public to name and shame them. I want them to become ashamed of the actions of the organisation they lead and represent. I want them to be ashamed of their own inaction. I think they are hiding behind anonymity currently. They are in
Show more
12:11 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fine but that's a start, not the end.
Control is means to an end. You got control to improve things. Solutions are the ends, processes are the means. You seem to be a process person - hence this reminder.
Don't turn the South Western into another Northern
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844790721381068887
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 11
Replying to @Liviman2 and @LukeTryl
I don't want to do anything. I want the wider public to name and shame them. I want them to become ashamed of the actions of the organisation they lead and represent. I want them to be ashamed of their own inaction. I think they are hiding behind anonymity currently. They are in
Show more
12:11 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864279522608026048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Suffering the highest energy costs in the world (!!) is the opposite of "putting money back in the pockets of working people".
It is "taking money from the pockets of working people" and giving them to the owners of energy firms.
Glad to help you with the direction of the flows @Keir_Starmer .
Seems you are not that apt at telling - up from down, left from right. Quite important qualities for a leader...
12:04 PM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Suffering the highest energy costs in the world (!!) is the opposite of "putting money back in the pockets of working people".
It is "taking money from the pockets of working people" and giving them to the owners of energy firms.
Glad to help you with the direction of the flows @Keir_Starmer .
Seems you are not that apt at telling - up from down, left from right. Quite important qualities for a leader...
12:04 PM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864278447620550895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
'tis the iron law of social media: every podcast going for long enough terminal state is - by-crazies, for-crazies
11:59 AM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
'tis the iron law of social media: every podcast going for long enough terminal state is - by-crazies, for-crazies
11:59 AM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864277830017683724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
stay there traitor
11:57 AM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
stay there traitor
11:57 AM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864272637490266457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read @RoryStewartUK
book on his journey through the UK political system, watched his YT speaking on the topic. I listen to @Dominic2306
speak on YT on the same topicss, of - UK governance, political system, incentives etc. Even allowing for half of everything being self-serving (we all perceive reality in light most favourable to ourselves, to our own ego) - still: looks to me no matter what the personalities involved, the result will be the same. Save for a strong PM personality hell beng on changing the system and the incentives. Which @Keir_Starmer
is very much not. He's exactly the opposite - a 100% creature of the system, and for the system. So unfortunatelly campaigning will be the only option available to the affected for some time to come.
11:36 AM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read @RoryStewartUK
book on his journey through the UK political system, watched his YT speaking on the topic. I listen to @Dominic2306
speak on YT on the same topicss, of - UK governance, political system, incentives etc. Even allowing for half of everything being self-serving (we all perceive reality in light most favourable to ourselves, to our own ego) - still: looks to me no matter what the personalities involved, the result will be the same. Save for a strong PM personality hell beng on changing the system and the incentives. Which @Keir_Starmer
is very much not. He's exactly the opposite - a 100% creature of the system, and for the system. So unfortunatelly campaigning will be the only option available to the affected for some time to come.
11:36 AM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864270517382873573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with you on Afghanistan & S Vietnam. Ally means "help", not "fighting someone else's wars". If entity lacks the will to live, to survive, then it's not an entity, does not exist really. (by definition)
The "US ally fatal" jibe was in jest after reading Sullivan (ultimately JB) spinning "we gave Ukraine 31 Bradleys and zaro F16s" as achievement. It's not. It's dire. I agree "Europe allies" means European countries need to become much more capable on their own.
This to align better with the reality of our world, incentives, etc. N Korea nuking San Francisco will not change life in Warsaw much. Likewise Russia nuking Kyev will not change life in NewYork much. With that in mind: northern Europe both needs it, and is capable of developong own MAD. They should do it. In additon to developing conventional and new (e.g. drones) capabilities.
11:28 AM · Dec 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with you on Afghanistan & S Vietnam. Ally means "help", not "fighting someone else's wars". If entity lacks the will to live, to survive, then it's not an entity, does not exist really. (by definition)
The "US ally fatal" jibe was in jest after reading Sullivan (ultimately JB) spinning "we gave Ukraine 31 Bradleys and zaro F16s" as achievement. It's not. It's dire. I agree "Europe allies" means European countries need to become much more capable on their own.
This to align better with the reality of our world, incentives, etc. N Korea nuking San Francisco will not change life in Warsaw much. Likewise Russia nuking Kyev will not change life in NewYork much. With that in mind: northern Europe both needs it, and is capable of developong own MAD. They should do it. In additon to developing conventional and new (e.g. drones) capabilities.
11:28 AM · Dec 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864062390456791277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not now of course. I'm just trying to think of reasons to why JB was so timid. In addition to the well known stuff - fear of nuclear escalation, fear of Russia collapse, not valuing lives of Ukrainians that much in the grand scheme of things etc. "To be US enemy is dangerous, but to be US ally is fatal".
Poland+Baltics+Nordics must get MAD deterrent. Without it - we are on the path to WW3. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start.
A very poor setup fir the purpose of increasing the chance of peace, and decreasing the chance of war. As we can witness in real time - 3 years and ongoing, and getting worse and worse as time goes by.
9:41 PM · Dec 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not now of course. I'm just trying to think of reasons to why JB was so timid. In addition to the well known stuff - fear of nuclear escalation, fear of Russia collapse, not valuing lives of Ukrainians that much in the grand scheme of things etc. "To be US enemy is dangerous, but to be US ally is fatal".
Poland+Baltics+Nordics must get MAD deterrent. Without it - we are on the path to WW3. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start.
A very poor setup fir the purpose of increasing the chance of peace, and decreasing the chance of war. As we can witness in real time - 3 years and ongoing, and getting worse and worse as time goes by.
9:41 PM · Dec 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864060104732971107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. I lived through dissolution of one state (and a whole ideology), civil wars (lucky to avoid them personally), creation of news state (incl currency). Even people we went through together with - have forgotten how it really was. When I now hear people not born then talk about it - it seems to me as if they talk about something else. Not the thing I experienced. In general - there were many more twists and turns, many more things were contingent, random, than people give them credit for. Things could easily have turned different.
9:32 PM · Dec 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. I lived through dissolution of one state (and a whole ideology), civil wars (lucky to avoid them personally), creation of news state (incl currency). Even people we went through together with - have forgotten how it really was. When I now hear people not born then talk about it - it seems to me as if they talk about something else. Not the thing I experienced. In general - there were many more twists and turns, many more things were contingent, random, than people give them credit for. Things could easily have turned different.
9:32 PM · Dec 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864054287204077694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Patents - that one does to get the said IP protection - are publishing to the world. That's the deal: the inventor tells everyone what they did. In return - the law gives them power to place restrictions on what other people do with the invention published to all in the patent.
9:09 PM · Dec 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Patents - that one does to get the said IP protection - are publishing to the world. That's the deal: the inventor tells everyone what they did. In return - the law gives them power to place restrictions on what other people do with the invention published to all in the patent.
9:09 PM · Dec 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864050673886670991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a pic - Gove, ???, Miliband, Thurnberg, Lucas. Cross party support.
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/11CE8/production/_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
Image
pic-greta-ed-gove-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
8:54 PM · Dec 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a pic - Gove, ???, Miliband, Thurnberg, Lucas. Cross party support.
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/11CE8/production/_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
Image
pic-greta-ed-gove-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
8:54 PM · Dec 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1864015826904302032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People (not unreasonably) speculated if Russia had kompromat on Trump. Never heard anyone speculate if they had the same on Biden's son. If he mingled with oligarchs, considering all the shady stuff post-1990. I've never read of any reasonable suspicions. Still - not impossible.
6:36 PM · Dec 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People (not unreasonably) speculated if Russia had kompromat on Trump. Never heard anyone speculate if they had the same on Biden's son. If he mingled with oligarchs, considering all the shady stuff post-1990. I've never read of any reasonable suspicions. Still - not impossible.
6:36 PM · Dec 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863969145135534248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Last time, in the same area if Central London, the phone had signal as in - it was connected to the GSM network that is, but the data throughoutput rate was close to 0. So one could send SMS and I presume make calls?
But no mobile data means no mobile internet. Meaning no-Apps no-nothing. It did provide a tea/prea-chable Dad moment to some younglings 😂 haha - to their annoyance 😁
3:30 PM · Dec 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Last time, in the same area if Central London, the phone had signal as in - it was connected to the GSM network that is, but the data throughoutput rate was close to 0. So one could send SMS and I presume make calls?
But no mobile data means no mobile internet. Meaning no-Apps no-nothing. It did provide a tea/prea-chable Dad moment to some younglings 😂 haha - to their annoyance 😁
3:30 PM · Dec 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863966694156190107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - wild... 😆 "Wild" as in - totally utterly unsurprising, as "thing bad caused by things I personally dislike" is the Standard Mode of Operation of us humans. Can't say one sees much else even? Once seen hard to unsee. Maybe better ignore this message.
3:21 PM · Dec 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - wild... 😆 "Wild" as in - totally utterly unsurprising, as "thing bad caused by things I personally dislike" is the Standard Mode of Operation of us humans. Can't say one sees much else even? Once seen hard to unsee. Maybe better ignore this message.
3:21 PM · Dec 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863639667838685368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK the person. May it be somewhat quasi/religious motive? Like - I got all this wealth in/with sin, and now I shall punish myself and repent that way. Impossible to get in the head of a person. Oft they themselves don't know "why", and come up with a post-fest rationalisations.
5:41 PM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK the person. May it be somewhat quasi/religious motive? Like - I got all this wealth in/with sin, and now I shall punish myself and repent that way. Impossible to get in the head of a person. Oft they themselves don't know "why", and come up with a post-fest rationalisations.
5:41 PM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863624857046425796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shouldn't that interaction be readily automatable by text-audio-video AI? As us man we know all the above - not personal, not unique, doing it for money ofc nothing else - and ofc we don't care about any of that. An AI text-audio-video afaics fits the same bill the just fine.
4:42 PM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shouldn't that interaction be readily automatable by text-audio-video AI? As us man we know all the above - not personal, not unique, doing it for money ofc nothing else - and ofc we don't care about any of that. An AI text-audio-video afaics fits the same bill the just fine.
4:42 PM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863555569342206398
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 The incompetent ineffective politicians and civil servants are not able to deliver. Come 2029 - nothing much will be done. Same as - come 2024, and not much of what was announced in 2020 is done. The people that are supposed to "do it" have never "done", really done, delivered, anything much in their lives probably. They are not going to start delivering now.
12:07 PM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 The incompetent ineffective politicians and civil servants are not able to deliver. Come 2029 - nothing much will be done. Same as - come 2024, and not much of what was announced in 2020 is done. The people that are supposed to "do it" have never "done", really done, delivered, anything much in their lives probably. They are not going to start delivering now.
12:07 PM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863546580860629447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now do the same analysis for humans. How do humans answer questions?
There is no magic ofc. The thinkg is - many people hear "LLM not magic" and intheir heads that becomes "humans magic".
NNs - and PDP in general - are the best models we have of living intelligences.
11:31 AM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now do the same analysis for humans. How do humans answer questions?
There is no magic ofc. The thinkg is - many people hear "LLM not magic" and intheir heads that becomes "humans magic".
NNs - and PDP in general - are the best models we have of living intelligences.
11:31 AM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863544011530633278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your opinion on this looks like a soft version of false conciousness. Not saying the latter is exactly zero. But people are not rational machines - if they were, no one would vote irl. Better assume multiple factors, and quantify. Just enumerating a single factor means little.
11:21 AM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your opinion on this looks like a soft version of false conciousness. Not saying the latter is exactly zero. But people are not rational machines - if they were, no one would vote irl. Better assume multiple factors, and quantify. Just enumerating a single factor means little.
11:21 AM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863542235037372646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With TS forecasting we are typically jumping over the time barrier. The signals are 10x-100x times weaker, the SNR is low. Most don't think of this. Plugging in the usual-sized models usually fails. Low SNR means effectivelly less data than one thinks, by order(s) of magnitude.
11:14 AM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With TS forecasting we are typically jumping over the time barrier. The signals are 10x-100x times weaker, the SNR is low. Most don't think of this. Plugging in the usual-sized models usually fails. Low SNR means effectivelly less data than one thinks, by order(s) of magnitude.
11:14 AM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863391943138423276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans' intelligence is collective intelligence really, not that much on individual level. And so is stupidity too - collective stupidity.
1:17 AM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans' intelligence is collective intelligence really, not that much on individual level. And so is stupidity too - collective stupidity.
1:17 AM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863380806326198274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Turkey - the traditional Ottoman opponent to the Russian empire - has got their measure correct. The 1st time a russian plane flew over ther airspace, even for a few seconds, they shto it down pronto.
Putin stopped buying their tomatoes and had tourists stay away from Turkey beaches for one season. But there had not been another flyover since.
Sullivan is a “genius” only within the confines of his peer group. Judged by results—as one typically is outside a social bubble—the so-called “genius” resembles idiot savant: capable of intricate tactical maneuvers but failing to ask the obvious strategic questions like “why,” “what for,” or “should we?”
Kuleba in today's FT interview mentions "Biden blows up if Nuclear anything is mentioned". You can see how this is easy pickings for Putin. But also - this is not going to change soon.
Life in Washington and NewYork continues as usual if Moscow nukes Kyev. Warsaw? Closer - but US still can live with that too.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved. For US atm is too weak willed to detter.
Can't think of a worse setup than above wrt starting WW3. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller poorer countries could do it—so can Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics. Ideally Ukraine too. MAD short-circuits the most likely scenario.
Current US elites fit the mold of IYIs—Intellectuals Yet Idiots. Polished and institutionally blessed, but lacking practical, grounded intelligence (call it life- or street- smarts) needed in high-stakes leadership.
An average mobster (like Putin) outmaneuvers their small silly scheemings, as they are predictable and unimaginative. Russia respects power, and power only. Everything else is weakness, to be taken advantage of.
12:32 AM · Dec 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Turkey - the traditional Ottoman opponent to the Russian empire - has got their measure correct. The 1st time a russian plane flew over ther airspace, even for a few seconds, they shto it down pronto.
Putin stopped buying their tomatoes and had tourists stay away from Turkey beaches for one season. But there had not been another flyover since.
Sullivan is a “genius” only within the confines of his peer group. Judged by results—as one typically is outside a social bubble—the so-called “genius” resembles idiot savant: capable of intricate tactical maneuvers but failing to ask the obvious strategic questions like “why,” “what for,” or “should we?”
Kuleba in today's FT interview mentions "Biden blows up if Nuclear anything is mentioned". You can see how this is easy pickings for Putin. But also - this is not going to change soon.
Life in Washington and NewYork continues as usual if Moscow nukes Kyev. Warsaw? Closer - but US still can live with that too.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved. For US atm is too weak willed to detter.
Can't think of a worse setup than above wrt starting WW3. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller poorer countries could do it—so can Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics. Ideally Ukraine too. MAD short-circuits the most likely scenario.
Current US elites fit the mold of IYIs—Intellectuals Yet Idiots. Polished and institutionally blessed, but lacking practical, grounded intelligence (call it life- or street- smarts) needed in high-stakes leadership.
An average mobster (like Putin) outmaneuvers their small silly scheemings, as they are predictable and unimaginative. Russia respects power, and power only. Everything else is weakness, to be taken advantage of.
12:32 AM · Dec 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863292839926350125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With respect - Hinton is wrong on this. As is in most of his politics - it's stuck in 1980s. One almost sure way for AI to enslave humanity is to give it to few people, and deny it to the rest. Only chance of good uses trumping the bad uses is - everyone has AI in their pocket.
6:43 PM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With respect - Hinton is wrong on this. As is in most of his politics - it's stuck in 1980s. One almost sure way for AI to enslave humanity is to give it to few people, and deny it to the rest. Only chance of good uses trumping the bad uses is - everyone has AI in their pocket.
6:43 PM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863270659184284066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sentence that strikes terror in every parents heart "families had 4-5-6 children, but the population was stable because only abotu 2 survived into having children of their own" 😶
5:15 PM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sentence that strikes terror in every parents heart "families had 4-5-6 children, but the population was stable because only abotu 2 survived into having children of their own" 😶
5:15 PM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863265158702792782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Leasehold. Stop "dither and delay" and bring forward the Leasehold laws as you promised. This is purely laws, should be right in your court. You are not being asked to build anything. Just change a law. The work has been done for you. My personal forecast: you will fail to do it
4:53 PM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Leasehold. Stop "dither and delay" and bring forward the Leasehold laws as you promised. This is purely laws, should be right in your court. You are not being asked to build anything. Just change a law. The work has been done for you. My personal forecast: you will fail to do it
4:53 PM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863264313143669230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...no good deed goes unpunished.
4:50 PM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...no good deed goes unpunished.
4:50 PM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863246084140659186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ding-dong -
> Dmytro Kuleba: “This war will continue as long as Putin believes that Ukraine has no right to exist. And everyone who believes otherwise is either a fool or on the Russian payroll.”
https://ft.com/content/6137b633-c3b9-4703-8840-6191388e4092
Have you given further thought to this @Plinz ?
From ft.com
3:37 PM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...ding-dong -
> Dmytro Kuleba: “This war will continue as long as Putin believes that Ukraine has no right to exist. And everyone who believes otherwise is either a fool or on the Russian payroll.”
https://ft.com/content/6137b633-c3b9-4703-8840-6191388e4092
Have you given further thought to this @Plinz ?
From ft.com
3:37 PM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863245217509372183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...without googling guessing - the Bet365 etc spread betting lady? The one that awards herself £300M salary every year and hapily pays 50% in tax promptly? A random guess this
3:34 PM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...without googling guessing - the Bet365 etc spread betting lady? The one that awards herself £300M salary every year and hapily pays 50% in tax promptly? A random guess this
3:34 PM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863204140643467641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😭😭 ...one day, one day and sooner than we anticipate, cancer will becomes chronic not life ending disease. Like AIDS. And likewise, few will notice at first. Courage 😶
12:50 PM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😭😭 ...one day, one day and sooner than we anticipate, cancer will becomes chronic not life ending disease. Like AIDS. And likewise, few will notice at first. Courage 😶
12:50 PM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863178867218829481
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It’s good, but it concedes too much ground at the outset with "an administration of geniuses: Rhodes scholars; Ivy League graduates."
These people are “geniuses” only within the confines of their peer group. Judged by results—as one typically is outside of a social bubble—these so-called “geniuses” often resemble idiot savants: capable of intricate and complex tactical maneuvers but failing to ask the obvious strategic questions like “why,” “what for,” or “should we?”
In many cases, they fit the mold of IYIs—Intellectuals Yet Idiots. Credentialed, polished, and institutionally blessed, but ultimately lacking the practical, grounded intelligence (call it life- or street- smarts) that is critical in high-stakes leadership.
An average mobster (like Putin) often outmaneuvers their grand schemes. It’s not that they’re unintelligent in the technical sense—it’s that they’re misaligned with the reality outside their academic or social echo chambers.
11:10 AM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It’s good, but it concedes too much ground at the outset with "an administration of geniuses: Rhodes scholars; Ivy League graduates."
These people are “geniuses” only within the confines of their peer group. Judged by results—as one typically is outside of a social bubble—these so-called “geniuses” often resemble idiot savants: capable of intricate and complex tactical maneuvers but failing to ask the obvious strategic questions like “why,” “what for,” or “should we?”
In many cases, they fit the mold of IYIs—Intellectuals Yet Idiots. Credentialed, polished, and institutionally blessed, but ultimately lacking the practical, grounded intelligence (call it life- or street- smarts) that is critical in high-stakes leadership.
An average mobster (like Putin) often outmaneuvers their grand schemes. It’s not that they’re unintelligent in the technical sense—it’s that they’re misaligned with the reality outside their academic or social echo chambers.
11:10 AM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863177414106288310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It’s good, but it concedes too much ground at the outset with "an administration of geniuses: Rhodes scholars; Ivy League graduates."
These people are “geniuses” only within the confines of their peer group. Judged by results—as one typically is outside of a social bubble—these so-called “geniuses” often resemble idiot savants: capable of intricate and complex tactical maneuvers but failing to ask the obvious strategic questions like “why,” “what for,” or “should we?”
In many cases, they fit the mold of IYIs—Intellectuals Yet Idiots. Credentialed, polished, and institutionally blessed, but ultimately lacking the practical, grounded intelligence (call it life-smarts or street-smarts) that is critical in high-stakes leadership.
An average mobster (like Putin) often outmaneuvers their grand, overcomplicated schemes. It’s not that they’re unintelligent in the technical sense—it’s that they’re misaligned with the reality outside their academic or social echo chambers.
11:04 AM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It’s good, but it concedes too much ground at the outset with "an administration of geniuses: Rhodes scholars; Ivy League graduates."
These people are “geniuses” only within the confines of their peer group. Judged by results—as one typically is outside of a social bubble—these so-called “geniuses” often resemble idiot savants: capable of intricate and complex tactical maneuvers but failing to ask the obvious strategic questions like “why,” “what for,” or “should we?”
In many cases, they fit the mold of IYIs—Intellectuals Yet Idiots. Credentialed, polished, and institutionally blessed, but ultimately lacking the practical, grounded intelligence (call it life-smarts or street-smarts) that is critical in high-stakes leadership.
An average mobster (like Putin) often outmaneuvers their grand, overcomplicated schemes. It’s not that they’re unintelligent in the technical sense—it’s that they’re misaligned with the reality outside their academic or social echo chambers.
11:04 AM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863170495765467278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Long-term memory and the ability to "keep score" are the foundations of building trust. Historically, both were impossible over long distances, which meant that only small polities—typically city-states—could be democratic. Anything larger required a centralized, top-down structure, like an empire, to maintain order and accountability.
The Internet changes that equation. With always-online connectivity, distance is effectively "shrunk," and long-term memory becomes scalable. Today, we can keep track of millions of people over vast distances, rather than being limited to the closest ~150 people our personal Dunbar memory can handle. This creates the potential for new kinds of trust networks and accountability systems on a massive scale.
The tools that enable this transformation—data collection, surveillance, and connectivity—are neutral. They can be used for top-down control by tyrants or for bottom-up organization by ordinary people. It's up for grabs, who will make better use of these tools?
We’re living through this live experiment now. Whether the future is shaped by centralized control or collective action remains to be seen. But it is clear: the Internet has disturbed the balance of powers by making long-distance trust-building possible for the first time in human history.
10:37 AM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Long-term memory and the ability to "keep score" are the foundations of building trust. Historically, both were impossible over long distances, which meant that only small polities—typically city-states—could be democratic. Anything larger required a centralized, top-down structure, like an empire, to maintain order and accountability.
The Internet changes that equation. With always-online connectivity, distance is effectively "shrunk," and long-term memory becomes scalable. Today, we can keep track of millions of people over vast distances, rather than being limited to the closest ~150 people our personal Dunbar memory can handle. This creates the potential for new kinds of trust networks and accountability systems on a massive scale.
The tools that enable this transformation—data collection, surveillance, and connectivity—are neutral. They can be used for top-down control by tyrants or for bottom-up organization by ordinary people. It's up for grabs, who will make better use of these tools?
We’re living through this live experiment now. Whether the future is shaped by centralized control or collective action remains to be seen. But it is clear: the Internet has disturbed the balance of powers by making long-distance trust-building possible for the first time in human history.
10:37 AM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863153146152784257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Much context dependent that, but - here's a less excitable reading. You have been taken "in her confidence", you have her trust. She thinks she can confide in you. About stuff that maybe not exactly secret, but not super-public either.
9:28 AM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Much context dependent that, but - here's a less excitable reading. You have been taken "in her confidence", you have her trust. She thinks she can confide in you. About stuff that maybe not exactly secret, but not super-public either.
9:28 AM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1863149771864658000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 We’re all here to witness the masters of the universe learning political economy in real time.
On the one hand, there’s the "positive state"—focused on creating, building, encouraging, and enabling. That’s the “build-build-build” SV mindset seems to favor.
On the other hand, there’s the "negative state"—tariffs, bans, fines, repression, discouraging people from doing certain things.
Both 1) exist, and 2) aren’t independent. In fact, they’re often in tension with each other. Balancing the two is no easy task, and my guess is we’ll be watching this learning process unfold right before our eyes. Grab some popcorn. :-)
9:14 AM · Dec 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 We’re all here to witness the masters of the universe learning political economy in real time.
On the one hand, there’s the "positive state"—focused on creating, building, encouraging, and enabling. That’s the “build-build-build” SV mindset seems to favor.
On the other hand, there’s the "negative state"—tariffs, bans, fines, repression, discouraging people from doing certain things.
Both 1) exist, and 2) aren’t independent. In fact, they’re often in tension with each other. Balancing the two is no easy task, and my guess is we’ll be watching this learning process unfold right before our eyes. Grab some popcorn. :-)
9:14 AM · Dec 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862863662278472091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More like-legendary chickensh*t that sh*t his pants in fear. What a snowflake. Probably can't have his beauty routine disturbed by those pesky Ukrainians, that are slogging it off with the bear "give me freedom or give me death"-style. JR is a pathetic poseur.
2:18 PM · Nov 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More like-legendary chickensh*t that sh*t his pants in fear. What a snowflake. Probably can't have his beauty routine disturbed by those pesky Ukrainians, that are slogging it off with the bear "give me freedom or give me death"-style. JR is a pathetic poseur.
2:18 PM · Nov 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862837566229057950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All well good and hopeful - but how are you going to make it happen?
The permanent departmental Mr Humphries have seen the backs of 10 like yourself before. Mr Humphries are still there. Your predecessor hopefuls are long gone, defeated.
How are you going to make this happen?!?
12:34 PM · Nov 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All well good and hopeful - but how are you going to make it happen?
The permanent departmental Mr Humphries have seen the backs of 10 like yourself before. Mr Humphries are still there. Your predecessor hopefuls are long gone, defeated.
How are you going to make this happen?!?
12:34 PM · Nov 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862793775300440248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No - life in Washington and NewYork continues as normal. Even if Moscow nukes Kyev - does their life change much? No, not much. Warsaw? Closer - but still they can live with that just fine.
Therein lies the danger. US is a remote power, not strong enough do detter. Not b/c they lack the means—but b/c they lack the will. (seemengly) But with interest in Europe stong enough to get involved post-fest.
And Europe has interest in Ukraine, security interest. For after Ukraine, it will be Moldova to fall quickly. And after that, the combined force of New Russia (Russia + Ukraine + Bellorus) can move onto the Baltics, and maybe Poland.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved.
Can't think of a worse setup than above wrt starting WW3. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller or poorer countries could do it—so can Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics. Ideally Ukraine too. MAD short-circuits the most likely scenario.
9:40 AM · Nov 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No - life in Washington and NewYork continues as normal. Even if Moscow nukes Kyev - does their life change much? No, not much. Warsaw? Closer - but still they can live with that just fine.
Therein lies the danger. US is a remote power, not strong enough do detter. Not b/c they lack the means—but b/c they lack the will. (seemengly) But with interest in Europe stong enough to get involved post-fest.
And Europe has interest in Ukraine, security interest. For after Ukraine, it will be Moldova to fall quickly. And after that, the combined force of New Russia (Russia + Ukraine + Bellorus) can move onto the Baltics, and maybe Poland.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved.
Can't think of a worse setup than above wrt starting WW3. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller or poorer countries could do it—so can Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics. Ideally Ukraine too. MAD short-circuits the most likely scenario.
9:40 AM · Nov 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862789819669320008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - the Western leaders are craven and stupid. But mostly b/c they don't need to do better. The electorate does not require it of them.
True that Turkey - the traditional Ottoman opponent to the Russian empire - has got their measure correct. The 1st time a russian plane flew over ther airspace, even for a few seconds, they shot it down pronto. Putin stopped buying their tomatoes & had tourists stay away from Turkey beaches for 1 season. But there had not been another flyover since.
Russia respects power, and power only. Everythen else is weakness, to be taken advantage of.
9:24 AM · Nov 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - the Western leaders are craven and stupid. But mostly b/c they don't need to do better. The electorate does not require it of them.
True that Turkey - the traditional Ottoman opponent to the Russian empire - has got their measure correct. The 1st time a russian plane flew over ther airspace, even for a few seconds, they shot it down pronto. Putin stopped buying their tomatoes & had tourists stay away from Turkey beaches for 1 season. But there had not been another flyover since.
Russia respects power, and power only. Everythen else is weakness, to be taken advantage of.
9:24 AM · Nov 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862658342910386434
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is MSM for Beavis and Butthead uh-uh ah-ah dumb f*ck audiences tbh. Same thing. Just absolutely totally swallow whole any sh*t Joe throws. Exactly like the Boomers of old and MSM, a replica of that.
12:42 AM · Nov 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is MSM for Beavis and Butthead uh-uh ah-ah dumb f*ck audiences tbh. Same thing. Just absolutely totally swallow whole any sh*t Joe throws. Exactly like the Boomers of old and MSM, a replica of that.
12:42 AM · Nov 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862646029536919637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin would not accept that. He's said 100 times that his aim is for Ukraine to stop existing as independent state. To be like Belarus at least. Or even more absorbed into the Russian sphere of influence. IDK why people think that Putin will accept. He can sacrifice 1M, 2M, ...
11:53 PM · Nov 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin would not accept that. He's said 100 times that his aim is for Ukraine to stop existing as independent state. To be like Belarus at least. Or even more absorbed into the Russian sphere of influence. IDK why people think that Putin will accept. He can sacrifice 1M, 2M, ...
11:53 PM · Nov 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862571050976125133
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
** Radical Transparency FTW! **
Before we the public can even begin to push for improvement on all those f*ckups - that are the baseline, the norm, not the exception, for the system is setup in a way to generate them - we have to learn about them. Learn in a systematic, regular part of the system way. Not as an one off amusing, entertaining anecdote.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625
6:55 PM · Nov 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
** Radical Transparency FTW! **
Before we the public can even begin to push for improvement on all those f*ckups - that are the baseline, the norm, not the exception, for the system is setup in a way to generate them - we have to learn about them. Learn in a systematic, regular part of the system way. Not as an one off amusing, entertaining anecdote.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625
6:55 PM · Nov 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1862526555068723388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it's most often a building or a house with few to many flats, where they have shared facilities. In England and Wales at work is a tripartite almost feudal system, the parties being:
1) Freeholder. (FH) The real owner of the flat.
FH sells a a long term lease, say 120 years, to the person living in the flat. (Leaseholder (LH); see below) After 120 yrs, the lease expires, and FH can sell a new lease to the next LH. Typically the FH owns all the flats in the same building, and sells long term leases to them.
FH hires a Managing Agent (MA). The MA manages the building, the common areas (stairs, lifts), external walls, roof etc, arranges repairs and contractors. The MA then sends the bills to the LH. If they fail to pay a bill, the LH lose the lease and are kicked out of the flat. (forfeiture)
2) Leaseholder. (LH) The "make believe owner" of the flat that lives in the flat, occupies the space, but is not an actual owner. (the true owner is FH)
LH owns a long lease, say 100 years, and that buys the right to live in the flat (from the FH). The lease runs down, and on year 0, the LH has to get out of the flat.
LH is liable for payment all the bills, passed onto him, by the MA on behalf of the FH, for maintenance of the building and the common areas. Failure to pay any bill higher than £350 may result in being kicked out of the flat, on the street. (despite paying say half a million pounds for a flat in London) This is called forfeiture.
Further, LH pays "ground rent" to the FH, an annual payment. (also collected by MA on behalf of FH) This is few hundred pounds. But: there has been a development some years ago where the ground rent doubled every 10 years! As one can expect - after few doublings, it becomes astronomical and thus a problem.
This is good news for the FH and bad for the LH. Failure to pay ground rent leads to forfeiture and kicking the LH out of the flat. Then FH can sell a new lease to a new LH.
3) Managing Agent. (MA)
The Managing agent is hired by the FH. Sometimes it's the same people or close family or associates, that are both FH and MA. This leads to padded bills where things are charged twice or trice of what they really cost.
MA arranges for work to be done for maintenance of the common areas, as well as roof, external walls etc, of the building. MA collects and annual service charge that LH pay, in order to pay for those bills. Also arranges collection of the ground rent from the LH, on behalf of the FH.
Notice how FH hires MA, who then arranges contractors work, and passes the bills to the LH? And LH have to pay, while having zero say of what is done and how much it costs? And if LH don't pay, they lose the flat? And LH can not change the MA if they are unhappy with it? If it seems crazy to you - I assure you, you are not the only one. It seemed crazy to me, the 1st time I bought a flat in England. There are almost no non-leasehold flats in England that a first time buyer can buy.
There is a tribunal for disputes. Any legal fees of the MA or the FH are passed to and paid by the LH. Often, even after a favorable judgement by the tribunal, the LH has to chase FH and MA through the ordinary courts and legal system for any money LH is owed. As the tribunal is toothless in ordering restitution.
Long message, thanks for your patience if you got this far, :-) I hope I explained the system in England & Wales to some extent. Scotland phased out similar system without much issues some years ago. England seems to be incapable of doing the same atm. So legal and lobbying battles are fought atm. :-)
3:58 PM · Nov 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it's most often a building or a house with few to many flats, where they have shared facilities. In England and Wales at work is a tripartite almost feudal system, the parties being:
1) Freeholder. (FH) The real owner of the flat.
FH sells a a long term lease, say 120 years, to the person living in the flat. (Leaseholder (LH); see below) After 120 yrs, the lease expires, and FH can sell a new lease to the next LH. Typically the FH owns all the flats in the same building, and sells long term leases to them.
FH hires a Managing Agent (MA). The MA manages the building, the common areas (stairs, lifts), external walls, roof etc, arranges repairs and contractors. The MA then sends the bills to the LH. If they fail to pay a bill, the LH lose the lease and are kicked out of the flat. (forfeiture)
2) Leaseholder. (LH) The "make believe owner" of the flat that lives in the flat, occupies the space, but is not an actual owner. (the true owner is FH)
LH owns a long lease, say 100 years, and that buys the right to live in the flat (from the FH). The lease runs down, and on year 0, the LH has to get out of the flat.
LH is liable for payment all the bills, passed onto him, by the MA on behalf of the FH, for maintenance of the building and the common areas. Failure to pay any bill higher than £350 may result in being kicked out of the flat, on the street. (despite paying say half a million pounds for a flat in London) This is called forfeiture.
Further, LH pays "ground rent" to the FH, an annual payment. (also collected by MA on behalf of FH) This is few hundred pounds. But: there has been a development some years ago where the ground rent doubled every 10 years! As one can expect - after few doublings, it becomes astronomical and thus a problem.
This is good news for the FH and bad for the LH. Failure to pay ground rent leads to forfeiture and kicking the LH out of the flat. Then FH can sell a new lease to a new LH.
3) Managing Agent. (MA)
The Managing agent is hired by the FH. Sometimes it's the same people or close family or associates, that are both FH and MA. This leads to padded bills where things are charged twice or trice of what they really cost.
MA arranges for work to be done for maintenance of the common areas, as well as roof, external walls etc, of the building. MA collects and annual service charge that LH pay, in order to pay for those bills. Also arranges collection of the ground rent from the LH, on behalf of the FH.
Notice how FH hires MA, who then arranges contractors work, and passes the bills to the LH? And LH have to pay, while having zero say of what is done and how much it costs? And if LH don't pay, they lose the flat? And LH can not change the MA if they are unhappy with it? If it seems crazy to you - I assure you, you are not the only one. It seemed crazy to me, the 1st time I bought a flat in England. There are almost no non-leasehold flats in England that a first time buyer can buy.
There is a tribunal for disputes. Any legal fees of the MA or the FH are passed to and paid by the LH. Often, even after a favorable judgement by the tribunal, the LH has to chase FH and MA through the ordinary courts and legal system for any money LH is owed. As the tribunal is toothless in ordering restitution.
Long message, thanks for your patience if you got this far, :-) I hope I explained the system in England & Wales to some extent. Scotland phased out similar system without much issues some years ago. England seems to be incapable of doing the same atm. So legal and lobbying battles are fought atm. :-)
3:58 PM · Nov 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861919364640825486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some perspective. I counted about 100 angries there. So 20M not that angry. For that 1 unfortunate hugging face guy that got piledup, I bet there are 20 others that do the same, but don't announce it to the world. (I'm data maximalist & wd like to see all IP laws vanguished, IP to not exist as legal construct in cyberspace)
11:45 PM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some perspective. I counted about 100 angries there. So 20M not that angry. For that 1 unfortunate hugging face guy that got piledup, I bet there are 20 others that do the same, but don't announce it to the world. (I'm data maximalist & wd like to see all IP laws vanguished, IP to not exist as legal construct in cyberspace)
11:45 PM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861816469492818263
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
cool. but it seems that's an average over a set of symbols each with its own probability. how much information does any one symbol carry itself, alone?
4:56 PM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
cool. but it seems that's an average over a set of symbols each with its own probability. how much information does any one symbol carry itself, alone?
4:56 PM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861781533045956784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There will be no improvement until we the Public in revolt put the fear of God in them. TBS what happens.
I suspect their ability to manufacture consent is no more. I hope there is large enough critical mass of people outside. But I maybe wrong. I've lived (in the UK) without a TV since 2000. (got the chance to learn about TV Licensing enforcement too)
LAB at ~100 MPs while also CON staying ~100 MPs too calls for a new force to take on the slack. LibDem-s wd be a candidate, but they are anti-change, anti-radical, ultra-conservative. So I don't currently see a third force forthcoming. On the other hand, hard to accept the current stasis also continuing past 2028.
2:38 PM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There will be no improvement until we the Public in revolt put the fear of God in them. TBS what happens.
I suspect their ability to manufacture consent is no more. I hope there is large enough critical mass of people outside. But I maybe wrong. I've lived (in the UK) without a TV since 2000. (got the chance to learn about TV Licensing enforcement too)
LAB at ~100 MPs while also CON staying ~100 MPs too calls for a new force to take on the slack. LibDem-s wd be a candidate, but they are anti-change, anti-radical, ultra-conservative. So I don't currently see a third force forthcoming. On the other hand, hard to accept the current stasis also continuing past 2028.
2:38 PM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861779332324053364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 @mtpennycook , have you heard of "Knock-knock. Who's knocking? The 21st Century, and the Public in revolt is in tow with me," at all?? Did you not notice you no longer control the narrative? Your ability to manufacture consent is no more. That machine has been vanquished, sleeps with the fishes, gone to meet its creator... 😶
I see the orange troll did not exactly put the fear of God in you smarmies. Ask yourself this: around the 2022 US midterms, did I think Trump 2024 would be a force to be reckoned with?
If you answered "No," well—it’s four years until the next GE. LAB may find itself like CON now, with ~100 MPs. And without CON improving, either. All your sister parties on the Continent got destroyed earlier. Everyone thinks it’s not going to happen to them.
Just keep going on the current path: all process, zero results. All PR, zero achievement.
Quote
Philip Jones @philipj040668 · 21h
Some gorgeous snaps put out tonight of Labour MPs with the Housing Minister after the government statement introduced new delays and caused a backlash. Leasehold is not a game for us. It’s destroying our lives @FreeLeasehlders
Show this thread
Image
2:29 PM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 @mtpennycook , have you heard of "Knock-knock. Who's knocking? The 21st Century, and the Public in revolt is in tow with me," at all?? Did you not notice you no longer control the narrative? Your ability to manufacture consent is no more. That machine has been vanquished, sleeps with the fishes, gone to meet its creator... 😶
I see the orange troll did not exactly put the fear of God in you smarmies. Ask yourself this: around the 2022 US midterms, did I think Trump 2024 would be a force to be reckoned with?
If you answered "No," well—it’s four years until the next GE. LAB may find itself like CON now, with ~100 MPs. And without CON improving, either. All your sister parties on the Continent got destroyed earlier. Everyone thinks it’s not going to happen to them.
Just keep going on the current path: all process, zero results. All PR, zero achievement.
Quote
Philip Jones @philipj040668 · 21h
Some gorgeous snaps put out tonight of Labour MPs with the Housing Minister after the government statement introduced new delays and caused a backlash. Leasehold is not a game for us. It’s destroying our lives @FreeLeasehlders
Show this thread
Image
2:29 PM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861741307506352563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't find it that strange. Brittons beleived that every piece of land on Earth can potentially be part of the British Empire, and that is for the betterment of all (not just Brittain), within living memory.
Putin beleiving the same is in keeping with the process that lead Moscow to become Russia, the largest country on earth by land size, in couple of centuries. Not strange at all.
11:58 AM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't find it that strange. Brittons beleived that every piece of land on Earth can potentially be part of the British Empire, and that is for the betterment of all (not just Brittain), within living memory.
Putin beleiving the same is in keeping with the process that lead Moscow to become Russia, the largest country on earth by land size, in couple of centuries. Not strange at all.
11:58 AM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861728779623661910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. Well pple saying "no matter the cost" are lying, as nothing in the real world is infinite.
So looks like it's a win-win: we give Ukraine as much weapons as we can muster. And if that leads to Russia nuking Ukraine - which is a risk Ukraine is willing to take as the lesser of two evils - then peace talks and no NATO involvment.
I too think "US nukes for Ukraine" is silly talk. As US would never take that risk. On the contrary - US is ok to sacrifice siginficant numbers of non-USasians to reduce nuclear proliferation. That is where interests within NATO diverge.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved.
For them, MAD is an improvement on their current state, which is: "We are in the same position as 1939—wide open and helpless to invasion by our historic worst enemy, who's on a war footing and rampaging." While also at the same time having an alliance with distant military power(s) that can’t or won’t help in time to credibly deter.
Can't think of a worse setup than above Re starting WW3. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller or poorer countries could do it—so can Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics. Ideally Ukraine too. MAD short-circuits the most likely scenario.
The following has been shown correct forecasts by future events. Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman." Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent."
11:08 AM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. Well pple saying "no matter the cost" are lying, as nothing in the real world is infinite.
So looks like it's a win-win: we give Ukraine as much weapons as we can muster. And if that leads to Russia nuking Ukraine - which is a risk Ukraine is willing to take as the lesser of two evils - then peace talks and no NATO involvment.
I too think "US nukes for Ukraine" is silly talk. As US would never take that risk. On the contrary - US is ok to sacrifice siginficant numbers of non-USasians to reduce nuclear proliferation. That is where interests within NATO diverge.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved.
For them, MAD is an improvement on their current state, which is: "We are in the same position as 1939—wide open and helpless to invasion by our historic worst enemy, who's on a war footing and rampaging." While also at the same time having an alliance with distant military power(s) that can’t or won’t help in time to credibly deter.
Can't think of a worse setup than above Re starting WW3. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller or poorer countries could do it—so can Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics. Ideally Ukraine too. MAD short-circuits the most likely scenario.
The following has been shown correct forecasts by future events. Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman." Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent."
11:08 AM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861720260170121592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open a Bsky account. What are you afraid of? The wrath of Elon and the horde of elonoids? You have "f*ck you" money for 10 lifetimes. Use some. If not now - when? Optionality is good - but only if one actually makes a move in the end.
10:34 AM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open a Bsky account. What are you afraid of? The wrath of Elon and the horde of elonoids? You have "f*ck you" money for 10 lifetimes. Use some. If not now - when? Optionality is good - but only if one actually makes a move in the end.
10:34 AM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861719131877191968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No! The stupid algorithm is not going to tread on me. It can count post's number of non-link characters & decide "Post lazy? Yes/No". Same result, no user molestation. EU Commission cookies banner popup genius school of thought this. Forcing millions to waste seconds of their lives to indulge algorithmic stupidity. No!
10:30 AM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No! The stupid algorithm is not going to tread on me. It can count post's number of non-link characters & decide "Post lazy? Yes/No". Same result, no user molestation. EU Commission cookies banner popup genius school of thought this. Forcing millions to waste seconds of their lives to indulge algorithmic stupidity. No!
10:30 AM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861713731878531202
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, possible. And the Ukrainians are telling us "we don't care, give us more weapons". It's "liberty or death" for them. What then? Tell the ukrainians "naah, we know better than you, it's for your own good to be killed"?
Or maybe it is if Russia drops a nuke on Ukraine, then UK gets involved more. And we want to be involved less. So better reduce that risk, and give less conventional weapons to Ukraine. I think that's the hope Russia has with the nuclear threats.
10:08 AM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, possible. And the Ukrainians are telling us "we don't care, give us more weapons". It's "liberty or death" for them. What then? Tell the ukrainians "naah, we know better than you, it's for your own good to be killed"?
Or maybe it is if Russia drops a nuke on Ukraine, then UK gets involved more. And we want to be involved less. So better reduce that risk, and give less conventional weapons to Ukraine. I think that's the hope Russia has with the nuclear threats.
10:08 AM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861687407206109434
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes 😁 And meta summary: if you are a heavy enough writer-user, maybe think of starting your own blog or similar. On X you are producing for X majorly, and for yourself minorly only. Your own space flips that.
8:24 AM · Nov 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes 😁 And meta summary: if you are a heavy enough writer-user, maybe think of starting your own blog or similar. On X you are producing for X majorly, and for yourself minorly only. Your own space flips that.
8:24 AM · Nov 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861213726189248839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You and me care not about any war. But we discover down the line that the war cares about us. That is the problem.
If one side wanting peace not war, was sufficient to achieve peace, we already would have had achieved world peace. And enjoyed it for 100K years now.
The problem is - for peace, both sides need to want it, at the same time, for the peace to happen. Wheres for war, one side only wanting it, is sufficient to bring war.
1:01 AM · Nov 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You and me care not about any war. But we discover down the line that the war cares about us. That is the problem.
If one side wanting peace not war, was sufficient to achieve peace, we already would have had achieved world peace. And enjoyed it for 100K years now.
The problem is - for peace, both sides need to want it, at the same time, for the peace to happen. Wheres for war, one side only wanting it, is sufficient to bring war.
1:01 AM · Nov 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861201446030512397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing.
There is even a clear, clear as in flashing arrows pointing the path from either side clear path, of how from the current cold war, we get to a USA-RUS hot war, and then onto the last war - the Nuclear Armageddon.
The Putin madman is pushing us along that path rn, for a few years, and we meekly trod along like sheep to the slaughter, emit half-hearted "mhee, mhee" from time to time, and that's it.
The worst possible setup. USA may not care about Ukraine, but cares about Europe. And Europe cares about Ukraine. And like with Poland once before, the security guarantor is far away, can't help quickly, so is not credible enough to deter. But cares enough indirectly, with some time lag, to get directly involved.
Only the Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics), possibly Ukraine too, having own MAD deterrent, short-circuits this descent into hell. Not straight forward, but if Israel, South Africa, North Korea, other smaller countries, could develop independently, so should the Coalition of the Willing.
12:12 AM · Nov 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing.
There is even a clear, clear as in flashing arrows pointing the path from either side clear path, of how from the current cold war, we get to a USA-RUS hot war, and then onto the last war - the Nuclear Armageddon.
The Putin madman is pushing us along that path rn, for a few years, and we meekly trod along like sheep to the slaughter, emit half-hearted "mhee, mhee" from time to time, and that's it.
The worst possible setup. USA may not care about Ukraine, but cares about Europe. And Europe cares about Ukraine. And like with Poland once before, the security guarantor is far away, can't help quickly, so is not credible enough to deter. But cares enough indirectly, with some time lag, to get directly involved.
Only the Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics), possibly Ukraine too, having own MAD deterrent, short-circuits this descent into hell. Not straight forward, but if Israel, South Africa, North Korea, other smaller countries, could develop independently, so should the Coalition of the Willing.
12:12 AM · Nov 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861178006913335343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For sure, it does matter **who**. Are you listening to yourself? It does matter **who** says, "I will end humanity; do as I say or..." Is this right-woke taking off exponential-style or something?? What does it matter—that we go on our knees and obey?
Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. **This** is the biggest threat to humanity. This is what ends humanity (not the stupid CC). They are telling us repeatedly and consistently. No amount of Putin c*ck-suckery will save us if/when he decides to take the world down into hell with him.
While European "leaders" are Schultzing it, cowering in their mums' bosoms, Korea's Kim is riding high. Next thing, he'll be giving Prague and Warsaw a visit. Turns out the rightoid retards got that correct—got a good measure of the EUoid cucks.
Elon and the Tech Bros need to resurrect Star Wars 2 ASAP—get SDI done. They seem to be the only ones capable of it; everyone else is useless. Currently, the US is at MAD. The US must work to improve on that.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved. For them, MAD is an improvement on their current state, which is: "We are in the same position as 1939—wide open and helpless to invasion by our historic worst enemy, who's on a war footing and rampaging." While also having a pact with a distant military alliance that can’t or won’t help in time to credibly deter. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller or poorer countries could do it—so can they. Ideally Ukraine too.
The following has been shown right by future events. Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman." Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent." The Putin madman is pushing us on a path to WW3, and we meekly trod along like sheep to the slaughter.
I understand the US doesn’t care much about Ukraine. But the US ultimately cares about Europe. And Europe does care about Ukraine. Like how they cared about Poland, and the US started caring—only two years late. Only MAD short-circuits WW3 from this point onward.
10:39 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For sure, it does matter **who**. Are you listening to yourself? It does matter **who** says, "I will end humanity; do as I say or..." Is this right-woke taking off exponential-style or something?? What does it matter—that we go on our knees and obey?
Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. **This** is the biggest threat to humanity. This is what ends humanity (not the stupid CC). They are telling us repeatedly and consistently. No amount of Putin c*ck-suckery will save us if/when he decides to take the world down into hell with him.
While European "leaders" are Schultzing it, cowering in their mums' bosoms, Korea's Kim is riding high. Next thing, he'll be giving Prague and Warsaw a visit. Turns out the rightoid retards got that correct—got a good measure of the EUoid cucks.
Elon and the Tech Bros need to resurrect Star Wars 2 ASAP—get SDI done. They seem to be the only ones capable of it; everyone else is useless. Currently, the US is at MAD. The US must work to improve on that.
The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. They need MAD. Otherwise, Russia will attack them next, and that’s the way the US gets involved. For them, MAD is an improvement on their current state, which is: "We are in the same position as 1939—wide open and helpless to invasion by our historic worst enemy, who's on a war footing and rampaging." While also having a pact with a distant military alliance that can’t or won’t help in time to credibly deter. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea, and other smaller or poorer countries could do it—so can they. Ideally Ukraine too.
The following has been shown right by future events. Shevardnadze (1993): "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman." Mearsheimer (1993): "The Case for Ukrainian Nuclear Deterrent." The Putin madman is pushing us on a path to WW3, and we meekly trod along like sheep to the slaughter.
I understand the US doesn’t care much about Ukraine. But the US ultimately cares about Europe. And Europe does care about Ukraine. Like how they cared about Poland, and the US started caring—only two years late. Only MAD short-circuits WW3 from this point onward.
10:39 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861166682464457093
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They ask that b/c it comes over to them that way, b/c @MLStreetTalk are symbolics-centric. Deducing bottom up listening from their general vibe, keenness for random Garry-isms, discomfort at the "GM so predictable, replicateable by GPT3.5" joke in the .@Plinz iview, keenness on "consciousness this and that" incessant discussing at infinitum. Impression gotten without knowing anything at all of the hosts backgrounds.
9:54 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They ask that b/c it comes over to them that way, b/c @MLStreetTalk are symbolics-centric. Deducing bottom up listening from their general vibe, keenness for random Garry-isms, discomfort at the "GM so predictable, replicateable by GPT3.5" joke in the .@Plinz iview, keenness on "consciousness this and that" incessant discussing at infinitum. Impression gotten without knowing anything at all of the hosts backgrounds.
9:54 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861162093732360603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can expect any one post you write to be shown to 1/10-th of your followers. How why? The simplest possible example I can think of is this.
I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. I login to X, X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts that X will show me daily. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown. And so there will be 4500 posts, from people I follow on any one day, to **not** be shown.
X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. So any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days.
IRL the algofeed will be vastly more complicated. The algofeed is the core of the social media company. Unlike the sketch above, the algofeed is non-random. It mostly uses metadata to tilt that 0.1 probability.
Algofeed should tilt towards factors like timeliness or age (how much time elapsed since a post got posted), engagement measures how many in number {Like, Forward, Quote, Reply} interactions it got, probably all decayed by time with some half-life. Afaik no actual data about the quality of the post is ever used - only metadata.
The above is all pure speculation on my part. I have no insider knowledge. I have not worked in a social media company ever. Just thinking aloud and considering rule of thumb numbers and first principles.
9:36 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can expect any one post you write to be shown to 1/10-th of your followers. How why? The simplest possible example I can think of is this.
I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. I login to X, X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts that X will show me daily. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown. And so there will be 4500 posts, from people I follow on any one day, to **not** be shown.
X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. So any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days.
IRL the algofeed will be vastly more complicated. The algofeed is the core of the social media company. Unlike the sketch above, the algofeed is non-random. It mostly uses metadata to tilt that 0.1 probability.
Algofeed should tilt towards factors like timeliness or age (how much time elapsed since a post got posted), engagement measures how many in number {Like, Forward, Quote, Reply} interactions it got, probably all decayed by time with some half-life. Afaik no actual data about the quality of the post is ever used - only metadata.
The above is all pure speculation on my part. I have no insider knowledge. I have not worked in a social media company ever. Just thinking aloud and considering rule of thumb numbers and first principles.
9:36 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861157367166972160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some top-notch -
"It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it."
...at work there. Apparently X has designs about users giving it their trust with their bank accounts? TBS how that goes.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Nov 24
Replying to @paulg
Just write a description in the main post and put the link in the reply. This just stops lazy linking.
9:17 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some top-notch -
"It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it."
...at work there. Apparently X has designs about users giving it their trust with their bank accounts? TBS how that goes.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Nov 24
Replying to @paulg
Just write a description in the main post and put the link in the reply. This just stops lazy linking.
9:17 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861148219457024148
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hopefully in few months the MSM as it is - lazy, ignorant, shallow, narcissistic - will be even cheaper. Then buy an existing media asset, fire all non reporters, and you will have addressed the one claim where his argument still packs a punch: lack of professional on the beat reporters. All other functions like Editing etc - can be handled in parts by ChatGPT, better Algofeed, Community Notes etc -type automated solutions.
8:41 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hopefully in few months the MSM as it is - lazy, ignorant, shallow, narcissistic - will be even cheaper. Then buy an existing media asset, fire all non reporters, and you will have addressed the one claim where his argument still packs a punch: lack of professional on the beat reporters. All other functions like Editing etc - can be handled in parts by ChatGPT, better Algofeed, Community Notes etc -type automated solutions.
8:41 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861145060802281472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the spectacle. Seems CONLAB duopoly has yet to discover readings like "The Revolt of the Public & the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" (p.2014!). At election 2028/9 LAB down to 100 MPs (like CON in 2024) seems crazy to contemplate. Well - Trump 2025 was too once.
8:28 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the spectacle. Seems CONLAB duopoly has yet to discover readings like "The Revolt of the Public & the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" (p.2014!). At election 2028/9 LAB down to 100 MPs (like CON in 2024) seems crazy to contemplate. Well - Trump 2025 was too once.
8:28 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861064564353171507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowowwow-what a sparkling discovery! Starting with the name (perversity) then onlo further bangers all the way to the end.
I take it the Paul Bloom is @paulbloomatyale .
Random thoughs that poped up in my head.
1. Liberty v.s. Reationality playing into randomness v.s. predictaility, playing into why you can't zip again an already zipped file aka Kolmogorov MDL & that jazz, playing into the atm very current AI epistimeiology of the "do they know, do they feel, are they sentient?" (spoilers - yes, probably no, probably yes)
2. Inat. If a budding anthropologist was to visit the Balkans, I'm sure the perversity as descibed in the podcast 1) will be found not only in exces at individual level, but sipping up to the collective group level?? (contradiction there-also observed) The "F*ck you, I won't do what you tell me" is basically the ordinary average joe pulled of the street Mode of Operation, a personal phylosophy, a samurai code "how I live my life now".
3. Extreme boredom in a conscripted army. Penned in barracks for 1yr, bored out of their minds, ordinary not that unreasonable nor crazy 19yo man-boys did insane things, just to geenrate few minutes of non-bored existance.
Thank for bettering my day, and thank you @paulbloomatyale for the wonderful talk. (if it is the right Paul Bloom)
3:09 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowowwow-what a sparkling discovery! Starting with the name (perversity) then onlo further bangers all the way to the end.
I take it the Paul Bloom is @paulbloomatyale .
Random thoughs that poped up in my head.
1. Liberty v.s. Reationality playing into randomness v.s. predictaility, playing into why you can't zip again an already zipped file aka Kolmogorov MDL & that jazz, playing into the atm very current AI epistimeiology of the "do they know, do they feel, are they sentient?" (spoilers - yes, probably no, probably yes)
2. Inat. If a budding anthropologist was to visit the Balkans, I'm sure the perversity as descibed in the podcast 1) will be found not only in exces at individual level, but sipping up to the collective group level?? (contradiction there-also observed) The "F*ck you, I won't do what you tell me" is basically the ordinary average joe pulled of the street Mode of Operation, a personal phylosophy, a samurai code "how I live my life now".
3. Extreme boredom in a conscripted army. Penned in barracks for 1yr, bored out of their minds, ordinary not that unreasonable nor crazy 19yo man-boys did insane things, just to geenrate few minutes of non-bored existance.
Thank for bettering my day, and thank you @paulbloomatyale for the wonderful talk. (if it is the right Paul Bloom)
3:09 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861040472916906200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No! The stupid algorithm is not going to tread on me. It can count the number of non-link characters in a post and decide that way "Post lazy? Yes/No." Same result, without molesting the user. Forcing millions to waste seconds of their lives to indulge algorithmic stupidity is moronic. Did you get tips from the EU Commission cookies banner pop-up geniuses on this?
Quote
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1860812342210240995
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 19h
Replying to @paulg
Just write a description in the main post and put the link in the reply. This just stops lazy linking.
1:33 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No! The stupid algorithm is not going to tread on me. It can count the number of non-link characters in a post and decide that way "Post lazy? Yes/No." Same result, without molesting the user. Forcing millions to waste seconds of their lives to indulge algorithmic stupidity is moronic. Did you get tips from the EU Commission cookies banner pop-up geniuses on this?
Quote
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1860812342210240995
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 19h
Replying to @paulg
Just write a description in the main post and put the link in the reply. This just stops lazy linking.
1:33 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861035236479447200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gov of lawyers, and with powers to alter & make the said laws(!!), defeated in their stated intentions (let's take them at their word) - by their own system! 😂 I can only conclude - they are not that great at practising law. "Those that can't do, go into politics" (not teach)
1:12 PM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gov of lawyers, and with powers to alter & make the said laws(!!), defeated in their stated intentions (let's take them at their word) - by their own system! 😂 I can only conclude - they are not that great at practising law. "Those that can't do, go into politics" (not teach)
1:12 PM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1861003634986668148
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great conversation, something interesting there as ever.
Gained your SS a new subscription. (even if the personal ambition to read more will inevitably fail in due course)
11:06 AM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great conversation, something interesting there as ever.
Gained your SS a new subscription. (even if the personal ambition to read more will inevitably fail in due course)
11:06 AM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860950542165364884
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - Gell-Mann Amnesia is real, that's why these fountainheads of stupidity bad takes can still make a living.
7:35 AM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - Gell-Mann Amnesia is real, that's why these fountainheads of stupidity bad takes can still make a living.
7:35 AM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860947536606900521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The actions of the gov are inexplicable, are impossible to explain and understand, because they are stupid. In the sense of Cipolla's pamphlet "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity".
Doubly grimly amusing, b/c the area in question is law & order, and this is gov of lawyers.
human-stupidity-laws.png
7:24 AM · Nov 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The actions of the gov are inexplicable, are impossible to explain and understand, because they are stupid. In the sense of Cipolla's pamphlet "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity".
Doubly grimly amusing, b/c the area in question is law & order, and this is gov of lawyers.
human-stupidity-laws.png
7:24 AM · Nov 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860750257744748816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Q: "Zasto to rade?"
A: Zato sto su glupi. To je tacno definicija gluposti. Glupan je taj, sto radni nesto, od koga on sam nema koristi, pravi mozda cak i malo stete sebi, a svojom radnjom, nanosi stetu drugima.
Druge 3 klase su - pametan, naivan, bandit.
U koordinatnom sistemu (ja,drugi) i (+korist,-steta), gornje definicije u 2-D koordinatnom sistemu
(ja,drugi)
(+,+)=pametan; korist sebi, korist i drugima
(-,+)=naivan, dobricina; sebi steta, drugima korist
(-,-)=glupander; steta sebi, steta i drugima
(+,-)=bandit, kriminalac; korist sebi, steta drugima
Ima jedna mala knjizica, skoro pamflet, mozda i napisana malo na sali ili u afektu, jer je autor bio frustriran nekom italijanskom birokratijom. Ali je od publikacije 1976-te postala hit.
Carlo M. Cipolla, "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity"
6:20 PM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Q: "Zasto to rade?"
A: Zato sto su glupi. To je tacno definicija gluposti. Glupan je taj, sto radni nesto, od koga on sam nema koristi, pravi mozda cak i malo stete sebi, a svojom radnjom, nanosi stetu drugima.
Druge 3 klase su - pametan, naivan, bandit.
U koordinatnom sistemu (ja,drugi) i (+korist,-steta), gornje definicije u 2-D koordinatnom sistemu
(ja,drugi)
(+,+)=pametan; korist sebi, korist i drugima
(-,+)=naivan, dobricina; sebi steta, drugima korist
(-,-)=glupander; steta sebi, steta i drugima
(+,-)=bandit, kriminalac; korist sebi, steta drugima
Ima jedna mala knjizica, skoro pamflet, mozda i napisana malo na sali ili u afektu, jer je autor bio frustriran nekom italijanskom birokratijom. Ali je od publikacije 1976-te postala hit.
Carlo M. Cipolla, "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity"
6:20 PM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860705559114142182
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are any of them on X or Bsky? How can they be nudged to reconsider? Do they ever doubt the accuracy of their models of the world? Or not - they never err.
Bonus Q. What would they think of MEGA - Make Europe Great Again? I am not from EU country, but am intrigued enough to ask. 3:22 PM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are any of them on X or Bsky? How can they be nudged to reconsider? Do they ever doubt the accuracy of their models of the world? Or not - they never err.
Bonus Q. What would they think of MEGA - Make Europe Great Again? I am not from EU country, but am intrigued enough to ask. 3:22 PM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860703901021802563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MEGA - Make Europe Great Again
3:15 PM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MEGA - Make Europe Great Again
3:15 PM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860702753686745425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't we all? The change from years past compared to now is - it used to be far easier to get away with that. And not only that, but any kind of wrong forecasts wrong predictions about the future.
3:11 PM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't we all? The change from years past compared to now is - it used to be far easier to get away with that. And not only that, but any kind of wrong forecasts wrong predictions about the future.
3:11 PM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860701777475113351
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The inflation will answer you.
If you get inflation - then you know gov spent too much $$$ into existence. Now gov must cancel some, remove them out of your pockets. Gov collects $ back as tax, then deletes, shreds, burns the $. If no inflation - then great, all is well. 3:07 PM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The inflation will answer you.
If you get inflation - then you know gov spent too much $$$ into existence. Now gov must cancel some, remove them out of your pockets. Gov collects $ back as tax, then deletes, shreds, burns the $. If no inflation - then great, all is well. 3:07 PM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860573131666079774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gradual process started abt 15-16yo. Kids are very truthful. Stopping being a kid involves learning to live in less truthful world. One must adapt to survive. Had a cautionary example in my best friend. He found it hard to consign himself to a grown up world of very many lies. But the vast majority of kids seemed to not struggle a lot at all. To the point of - seems there was not a break, a transition, in their minds. Latter I starred to suspect their way was the norm. Mine was the minority view.
6:36 AM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gradual process started abt 15-16yo. Kids are very truthful. Stopping being a kid involves learning to live in less truthful world. One must adapt to survive. Had a cautionary example in my best friend. He found it hard to consign himself to a grown up world of very many lies. But the vast majority of kids seemed to not struggle a lot at all. To the point of - seems there was not a break, a transition, in their minds. Latter I starred to suspect their way was the norm. Mine was the minority view.
6:36 AM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860535901547376743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What say you about past consultations? What happened to the one a year ago? Where results? Any recommendations ever enacted yet? There's enough evidence consultations are used as delay tactics. Enough. GOV must work with what they have now. Real world is not the ideal wirld.
4:08 AM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What say you about past consultations? What happened to the one a year ago? Where results? Any recommendations ever enacted yet? There's enough evidence consultations are used as delay tactics. Enough. GOV must work with what they have now. Real world is not the ideal wirld.
4:08 AM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860527436603002946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Until then buy time. Risk#1 for human extinguishment is Nuclear Armageddon. No amount of Putin sucking will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. You *must* resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI 2 done. MAD is better than nothing, but SDI is a must. JDI
3:34 AM · Nov 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Until then buy time. Risk#1 for human extinguishment is Nuclear Armageddon. No amount of Putin sucking will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. You *must* resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI 2 done. MAD is better than nothing, but SDI is a must. JDI
3:34 AM · Nov 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860406901244105137
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1997-Parents: stop messing with that computer, enough gaming, do something useful.
2024-Kid: makes a living out of computing h/w & s/w, gaming GPU-s make AI happen, may yet cure cancer. To their eternal credit: parents' $$$ financed GPU R&D. Life stranger than fiction. 😊 7:35 PM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1997-Parents: stop messing with that computer, enough gaming, do something useful.
2024-Kid: makes a living out of computing h/w & s/w, gaming GPU-s make AI happen, may yet cure cancer. To their eternal credit: parents' $$$ financed GPU R&D. Life stranger than fiction. 😊 7:35 PM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860398934197215410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scotland did it without much drama years ago. 😁
In England and Wales succession of governments from differring parties finds it impossible. 7:04 PM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scotland did it without much drama years ago. 😁
In England and Wales succession of governments from differring parties finds it impossible. 7:04 PM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860382198974566470
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG he's going to chose poorly.
If US spends $20B for 0 HSR High Speed Rail build, there are 2 paths to fixing. 1-spend 0 build 0, don't even try; or 2-build as fast as possible, and hope the price comes down. Depens, but not impossible the faster the building the lower the price. The soundings so far are all #1, none #2. Thought the disruption ticket was build-build-build smart and gets sh*t done? Lately Muskey sounds like a beancounting no-no-no accountant?? Quote Elon Musk @elonmusk · 13h America is currently headed for bankruptcy super fast x.com/doge/status/18… Rate proposed Community Notes 5:57 PM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG he's going to chose poorly.
If US spends $20B for 0 HSR High Speed Rail build, there are 2 paths to fixing. 1-spend 0 build 0, don't even try; or 2-build as fast as possible, and hope the price comes down. Depens, but not impossible the faster the building the lower the price. The soundings so far are all #1, none #2. Thought the disruption ticket was build-build-build smart and gets sh*t done? Lately Muskey sounds like a beancounting no-no-no accountant?? Quote Elon Musk @elonmusk · 13h America is currently headed for bankruptcy super fast x.com/doge/status/18… Rate proposed Community Notes 5:57 PM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860374744824004722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like from the same school of political philosophy as Google Gemini. It lectures me, hectors me, rather than answering questions or discussing things. So I buy my LLM-s elsewhere. YouTube on the other hand, has tons of content, it just plays as asked, I happily pay for it.
5:27 PM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like from the same school of political philosophy as Google Gemini. It lectures me, hectors me, rather than answering questions or discussing things. So I buy my LLM-s elsewhere. YouTube on the other hand, has tons of content, it just plays as asked, I happily pay for it.
5:27 PM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860277029943304694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is good news, not bad news.
It means that the conditional pdf p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1) ... w(1)) has been learned sufficiently well. Great - don't need to expend more resorce there atm. At that level, that is the genuine uncertainty about the next token. We wish the pdf converged to Dirac delta even at that level. That would have indeed made the job easier. But things just ain't so in ways that make our job easy. Such is nature. Now people can concentrate on the next levels of their stack. The test time improvements - searching and adaptation. 10:59 AM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is good news, not bad news.
It means that the conditional pdf p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1) ... w(1)) has been learned sufficiently well. Great - don't need to expend more resorce there atm. At that level, that is the genuine uncertainty about the next token. We wish the pdf converged to Dirac delta even at that level. That would have indeed made the job easier. But things just ain't so in ways that make our job easy. Such is nature. Now people can concentrate on the next levels of their stack. The test time improvements - searching and adaptation. 10:59 AM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860139344167862380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Ottoman Empire ruling those lands. Not the women on those photos though - the photos are too late for the Ottomans. But I have seen and known an old women, a grandmother to my cousin, and she had a cross tattooed between her eyes above the nose. But for the same reason.
1:52 AM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Ottoman Empire ruling those lands. Not the women on those photos though - the photos are too late for the Ottomans. But I have seen and known an old women, a grandmother to my cousin, and she had a cross tattooed between her eyes above the nose. But for the same reason.
1:52 AM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860128879723315458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@mtpennycook @AngelaRayner @Keir_Starmer
Is this how you want to be remembered? Carrying water for these guys? Unbelievable https://eagerstates.com Quote Henry Pryor @HenryPryor · Nov 22 BBC shines a light on dubious freeholder Assethold owned by Joseph Gurvits & their in-house management company Eagerstakes whose actions would make a pirate blush. https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy84g9822gro Image 1:10 AM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@mtpennycook @AngelaRayner @Keir_Starmer
Is this how you want to be remembered? Carrying water for these guys? Unbelievable https://eagerstates.com Quote Henry Pryor @HenryPryor · Nov 22 BBC shines a light on dubious freeholder Assethold owned by Joseph Gurvits & their in-house management company Eagerstakes whose actions would make a pirate blush. https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy84g9822gro Image 1:10 AM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860127421028257982
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Ofc she doesn't. What did you expect - Mea Culpa? Dream on. She shd have been asked "if you were a bona fide russian deep undercover agent, what would you have this agent done different, compared to what you did".
1:05 AM · Nov 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Ofc she doesn't. What did you expect - Mea Culpa? Dream on. She shd have been asked "if you were a bona fide russian deep undercover agent, what would you have this agent done different, compared to what you did".
1:05 AM · Nov 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860087271904674145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see this attracted the attention of few govnojeds. Blocking as they appear.
For the interested. If they are still up, try read through Putin's writings on kremlin dot ru in English. They put them in English for our consumption. Know that what's written there, is what they want us to think. Not what they think. Good background and more modern russia context is Danila from Brat, and esp Brat 2, the iconic movies. Or Surkov's "Almost Zero" novel. Note what Medvedev - a high ranking in the gang - is posting daily. (Musk ever helpful aids the messaging) https://x.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1859659775132492036 See how "someone else made them do something", as on their own they have no agency. Exactly what psychopaths tell their victims. The only constant is the instinct for survival. (and thank god for that) For the more intelligent gangsters - personal survival. For the stupider ones that are into Orthodoxy, mother Russia - survival of the state. (even if they personally "by the grace of god" perish) That's why MAD is the only tool that can possibly deter them. Anything else is like trying to reason with the Reavers from Firefly. If they could destroy anything ex-Russia, without being destroyed themselves, they would have done it already. For in their minds - Russia never attacks, always defends, does no one any harm. That's how WW2 for them does not start on 1-Sep-1939, but two years latter. That is how you expand in territory to become largest country by landmass, extinguishing numerous natives in the process. Anything bad is on their neighbors, all around them. (map enclosed below of those evildoers at work) The equivalent in the west would be the Brits claiming that the British Empire was all voluntary and for the best, all milk, honey and unicorns. Image 10:25 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see this attracted the attention of few govnojeds. Blocking as they appear.
For the interested. If they are still up, try read through Putin's writings on kremlin dot ru in English. They put them in English for our consumption. Know that what's written there, is what they want us to think. Not what they think. Good background and more modern russia context is Danila from Brat, and esp Brat 2, the iconic movies. Or Surkov's "Almost Zero" novel. Note what Medvedev - a high ranking in the gang - is posting daily. (Musk ever helpful aids the messaging) https://x.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1859659775132492036 See how "someone else made them do something", as on their own they have no agency. Exactly what psychopaths tell their victims. The only constant is the instinct for survival. (and thank god for that) For the more intelligent gangsters - personal survival. For the stupider ones that are into Orthodoxy, mother Russia - survival of the state. (even if they personally "by the grace of god" perish) That's why MAD is the only tool that can possibly deter them. Anything else is like trying to reason with the Reavers from Firefly. If they could destroy anything ex-Russia, without being destroyed themselves, they would have done it already. For in their minds - Russia never attacks, always defends, does no one any harm. That's how WW2 for them does not start on 1-Sep-1939, but two years latter. That is how you expand in territory to become largest country by landmass, extinguishing numerous natives in the process. Anything bad is on their neighbors, all around them. (map enclosed below of those evildoers at work) The equivalent in the west would be the Brits claiming that the British Empire was all voluntary and for the best, all milk, honey and unicorns. Image 10:25 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860074567504425332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - call me cynical but I was 99% no chance they'll do anything.
Politicos are so cheap, that a fancy dinner, tap on the shoulder, round table VSP chin stroking, works well enough. Doubt they are getting anything more, which is a pity. Corruption one can predict and fight. Stupidity is impenetrable both to the stupid and not-stupid. 😂 Well - come next election, I doubt they are getting Leaseholders votes again either. Image Quote Peter Bill @peterproperty · 23h FT (£) Matthew Pennycook had one chance of doing some good. But no. Harry Scoffin of campaign group Free Leaseholders.: “Today’s announcement comes from a government unwilling to take on vested interests and paralysed by technocratic legalism.” https://ft.com/content/a70b113e-86ee-4fd2-9be4-12548c187a02 via @ft Image 9:35 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - call me cynical but I was 99% no chance they'll do anything.
Politicos are so cheap, that a fancy dinner, tap on the shoulder, round table VSP chin stroking, works well enough. Doubt they are getting anything more, which is a pity. Corruption one can predict and fight. Stupidity is impenetrable both to the stupid and not-stupid. 😂 Well - come next election, I doubt they are getting Leaseholders votes again either. Image Quote Peter Bill @peterproperty · 23h FT (£) Matthew Pennycook had one chance of doing some good. But no. Harry Scoffin of campaign group Free Leaseholders.: “Today’s announcement comes from a government unwilling to take on vested interests and paralysed by technocratic legalism.” https://ft.com/content/a70b113e-86ee-4fd2-9be4-12548c187a02 via @ft Image 9:35 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860059304168161428
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Analogy, but the best one atm. Imagine looking at the transistors of the CPU. On and off they go, billions of them every second. You are recording that with a high resolution camera. Would you be able to reconstruct the Program.exe that was loaded in memory the CPU is executing?
8:34 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Analogy, but the best one atm. Imagine looking at the transistors of the CPU. On and off they go, billions of them every second. You are recording that with a high resolution camera. Would you be able to reconstruct the Program.exe that was loaded in memory the CPU is executing?
8:34 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860052374234013706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. You westerners can not comprehend, and TBF it's not straightforward to. A 100% manufactured virtual reality. With things we don't know or care, it's reasonable to think "ok, there is so much evidence, even if 99% is wrong, the 1% still supports the thesis". So not even "where there is smoke there is fire".
Well - people that manufacture this virtual reality know this. This is what they play on, this is why merciless lying and propaganda to level-11 works. See excellent on that from "The Hammer of the Witches" by an author that shall not be named. As the more dunder-headed groupies among the techbros hate his guts for wanting to scrape S230 for the SocMed Algofeeds. Even for events where we know things were 100% lies (e.g. Crimea takeover was by Russia soldiers, not "little green man"; parliament voted under the barrels of the guns of Strelkov and Co - this is in his writings!), still residual 1% belief remains. And where it meets motivated reasoning - it works. If I have to chose between 40M ukrs dead, enslaved in concentrations camps etc; and a nuclear Armageddon where myself and everyone I know burns evaporates - I will chose the latter. And "the little green man" lie will be cover enough for my conscience. Image hammer-1of2.png hammer-2of2.png 8:06 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. You westerners can not comprehend, and TBF it's not straightforward to. A 100% manufactured virtual reality. With things we don't know or care, it's reasonable to think "ok, there is so much evidence, even if 99% is wrong, the 1% still supports the thesis". So not even "where there is smoke there is fire".
Well - people that manufacture this virtual reality know this. This is what they play on, this is why merciless lying and propaganda to level-11 works. See excellent on that from "The Hammer of the Witches" by an author that shall not be named. As the more dunder-headed groupies among the techbros hate his guts for wanting to scrape S230 for the SocMed Algofeeds. Even for events where we know things were 100% lies (e.g. Crimea takeover was by Russia soldiers, not "little green man"; parliament voted under the barrels of the guns of Strelkov and Co - this is in his writings!), still residual 1% belief remains. And where it meets motivated reasoning - it works. If I have to chose between 40M ukrs dead, enslaved in concentrations camps etc; and a nuclear Armageddon where myself and everyone I know burns evaporates - I will chose the latter. And "the little green man" lie will be cover enough for my conscience. Image hammer-1of2.png hammer-2of2.png 8:06 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860044613962387470
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While I admire the aspiration of the "tress commas" mindset 😂 I fear the outlier may have simpler origin. Some joker answered "one beelion dollars" in the survey, the surveyor aggregated the data with mean() rather than the median(), and the rest is history. 😂
7:36 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While I admire the aspiration of the "tress commas" mindset 😂 I fear the outlier may have simpler origin. Some joker answered "one beelion dollars" in the survey, the surveyor aggregated the data with mean() rather than the median(), and the rest is history. 😂
7:36 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860042775313694927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obv there is a force there unrelated to personalities, systems, geographies. No modern, rich, big state exists, where gov spending is not 30% of GDP afaik. Instead of kwetching about it, I'd have expected the libertarians of the world to have worked out the underlying dynamics.
7:28 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obv there is a force there unrelated to personalities, systems, geographies. No modern, rich, big state exists, where gov spending is not 30% of GDP afaik. Instead of kwetching about it, I'd have expected the libertarians of the world to have worked out the underlying dynamics.
7:28 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860041954383294531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly. People take the "ceremonial" too far. It'd be ceremonial if the King appointed his Prime Minister and then met again in 4 years. Weekly audience and reporting on the state of the realm PM to king ain't exactly ceremonial. Armed forces swear allegiance to the King, not the PM, afaik. That becomes important if there is a big rift King-Parliament.
7:25 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly. People take the "ceremonial" too far. It'd be ceremonial if the King appointed his Prime Minister and then met again in 4 years. Weekly audience and reporting on the state of the realm PM to king ain't exactly ceremonial. Armed forces swear allegiance to the King, not the PM, afaik. That becomes important if there is a big rift King-Parliament.
7:25 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860041012233797794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where are the numerous victims of the construction sector around that table @mtpennycook ? Ah yes - if you are not around the table, you are on the table. You are being carved.
7:21 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where are the numerous victims of the construction sector around that table @mtpennycook ? Ah yes - if you are not around the table, you are on the table. You are being carved.
7:21 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860039836826239181
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh - a very credible critique. I'm floored by the quality of it. From an anonymous coward no less. I shall spare you future discomfort. Blocked for being stupid, rude, and anon.
7:17 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh - a very credible critique. I'm floored by the quality of it. From an anonymous coward no less. I shall spare you future discomfort. Blocked for being stupid, rude, and anon.
7:17 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860057680850878751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
govnojed blocked
8:28 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
govnojed blocked
8:28 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860020064973652068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By taking it at face value and analyzing seriously what the Kremlin Gremlin broadcast to the world you are doing yourself a disservice. There is not much meaning to it. In a month's time that stupid cretin may issue another one, with exactly the opposite points to this ones. And he will believe them exactly the same.
You are trying to find rime and reason in the mind of a crazy paranoid schizophrenic. There is some, but it's like the Upside Down world in the Stranger Things, compared to us and our world. Even if we comprehend bits of it, there is little actionable for us there. Putin has put himself and ourselves on the path to WW3. That only ends in nuclear Armageddon. MAD is the only option left now to short circuit that. Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck suckage will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. Elon + TechBros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done. They are the only ones capable it seems, all other are useless. Currently US is at MAD. US must start work to improve on that asap. The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. For them MAD is an improvement on the current state. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea etc bunch of smaller/poorer countries could do it - so can Poland, the Baltics, and the Nordics. And ideally Ukraine too. We are on the pathway to WW3 that ultimately ends in nuclear holocaust. MAD is the only option we have left at this point that might work. (or not) That's the least bad option, all others are worse. 5:58 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By taking it at face value and analyzing seriously what the Kremlin Gremlin broadcast to the world you are doing yourself a disservice. There is not much meaning to it. In a month's time that stupid cretin may issue another one, with exactly the opposite points to this ones. And he will believe them exactly the same.
You are trying to find rime and reason in the mind of a crazy paranoid schizophrenic. There is some, but it's like the Upside Down world in the Stranger Things, compared to us and our world. Even if we comprehend bits of it, there is little actionable for us there. Putin has put himself and ourselves on the path to WW3. That only ends in nuclear Armageddon. MAD is the only option left now to short circuit that. Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck suckage will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. Elon + TechBros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done. They are the only ones capable it seems, all other are useless. Currently US is at MAD. US must start work to improve on that asap. The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. For them MAD is an improvement on the current state. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea etc bunch of smaller/poorer countries could do it - so can Poland, the Baltics, and the Nordics. And ideally Ukraine too. We are on the pathway to WW3 that ultimately ends in nuclear holocaust. MAD is the only option we have left at this point that might work. (or not) That's the least bad option, all others are worse. 5:58 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1860013611269161295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh Saint Greta better do a rain dance to mollify Mother Gaia. I fear Ze Germans may turn to sacrificing Greta-the-virgin to Njörðr or Sól. Such is their zest for the irrational and mythical. Happens in a nation with no illiterate people!! (like the Holocaust) Both human intelligence and human stupidity truly are collective emergent phenomena. 5:32 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh Saint Greta better do a rain dance to mollify Mother Gaia. I fear Ze Germans may turn to sacrificing Greta-the-virgin to Njörðr or Sól. Such is their zest for the irrational and mythical. Happens in a nation with no illiterate people!! (like the Holocaust) Both human intelligence and human stupidity truly are collective emergent phenomena. 5:32 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859961455291859062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...as does California vv. US, London vv. Sheffield, the Musk Family vv. the local Supermarket. It's a total mystery why they do it, in need of intense chin stroke rn! 😂 Oh boy - 6-th grade Libertarian political economy meets the US Government is going to be entertaining. Success may not be guaranteed, but fireworks for sure will fly. 😂
2:05 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...as does California vv. US, London vv. Sheffield, the Musk Family vv. the local Supermarket. It's a total mystery why they do it, in need of intense chin stroke rn! 😂 Oh boy - 6-th grade Libertarian political economy meets the US Government is going to be entertaining. Success may not be guaranteed, but fireworks for sure will fly. 😂
2:05 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859940694355263651
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most RoW can do is MAD.
Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck suckage will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. EM+techbros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done. Currently US is at MAD. US must start work to improve on that asap. The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. For them MAD is an improvement on the current state. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea etc bunch of smaller/poorer countries could do it - so can Poland, the Baltics, and the Nordics. And ideally Ukraine too. We are on the pathway to WW3 that ultimately ends in Nuclear Armageddon. MAD is the only option left to short circuit that. 12:43 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most RoW can do is MAD.
Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck suckage will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. EM+techbros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done. Currently US is at MAD. US must start work to improve on that asap. The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. For them MAD is an improvement on the current state. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea etc bunch of smaller/poorer countries could do it - so can Poland, the Baltics, and the Nordics. And ideally Ukraine too. We are on the pathway to WW3 that ultimately ends in Nuclear Armageddon. MAD is the only option left to short circuit that. 12:43 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859932286415700369
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sexuality for the species. In addition to sex for every one individual.
Seek an obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (orig The Planet of Women) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and mating, is the key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. In fact - the argument advanced in the book makes more sense than the competing hypothesis imo. 12:09 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sexuality for the species. In addition to sex for every one individual.
Seek an obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (orig The Planet of Women) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and mating, is the key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. In fact - the argument advanced in the book makes more sense than the competing hypothesis imo. 12:09 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859931104548905181
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most RoW can do atm is MAD.
Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck suckage will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. EM+techbros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done. Currently there's MAD. US should start work to improve on that. The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. For them MAD is an improvement on the current state. 12:05 PM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most RoW can do atm is MAD.
Russia may decide to end human civilization today or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck suckage will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. EM+techbros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done. Currently there's MAD. US should start work to improve on that. The Coalition of the Willing (Poland, Baltics, Nordics) must develop their own nuclear deterrent. For them MAD is an improvement on the current state. 12:05 PM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859923877440442769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not scary to me. I find it rather beautiful, even touching. Up to now I had accept that these random people will forever remain total strangers, lost in the mists of time. True with the cloak of anonymity lifted, we may have to up our game and be best versions of ourselves.
11:36 AM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not scary to me. I find it rather beautiful, even touching. Up to now I had accept that these random people will forever remain total strangers, lost in the mists of time. True with the cloak of anonymity lifted, we may have to up our game and be best versions of ourselves.
11:36 AM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859921093269803012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The weasel words "all we can" convince no one. As you can always declare that you can do *nothing*. Stop thinking about the jollies and the follies of Suneil and Greg. Start thinking about the hardships of millions that gave you their confidence. Stop being bloody pathetic.
11:25 AM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The weasel words "all we can" convince no one. As you can always declare that you can do *nothing*. Stop thinking about the jollies and the follies of Suneil and Greg. Start thinking about the hardships of millions that gave you their confidence. Stop being bloody pathetic.
11:25 AM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859921093269803012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The weasel words "all we can" convince no one. As you can always declare that you can do *nothing*. Stop thinking about the jollies and the follies of Suneil and Greg. Start thinking about the hardships of millions that gave you their confidence. Stop being bloody pathetic.
11:25 AM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The weasel words "all we can" convince no one. As you can always declare that you can do *nothing*. Stop thinking about the jollies and the follies of Suneil and Greg. Start thinking about the hardships of millions that gave you their confidence. Stop being bloody pathetic.
11:25 AM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859919779449950552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bsky got built with 20 remote guys for 20M users.
https://newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com/p/bluesky Can't think of a single X feature that's improved my experience in the last 2yrs. Things X hasn’t done: 1. More than 2 Algofeeds (even after seeing how well Bsky’s feeds work). 2. A “Verified Real Live Human” flag (paid once by the user), with tools to filter posts based on it. 3. Open-sourcing everything (the original promise)—not just code, but models, parameters, etc. 4. An Algofeed based on posts' content, not just metadata. Right now, metadata seems to be mostly: a) timeliness, b) engagement, with some half-life. The terminal destination of “Max Engagement, Now!” is 50% of users at the throats of the other 50% (max entropy style). Is your endgame? There will be no one left to go to Mars. From newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com 11:20 AM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bsky got built with 20 remote guys for 20M users.
https://newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com/p/bluesky Can't think of a single X feature that's improved my experience in the last 2yrs. Things X hasn’t done: 1. More than 2 Algofeeds (even after seeing how well Bsky’s feeds work). 2. A “Verified Real Live Human” flag (paid once by the user), with tools to filter posts based on it. 3. Open-sourcing everything (the original promise)—not just code, but models, parameters, etc. 4. An Algofeed based on posts' content, not just metadata. Right now, metadata seems to be mostly: a) timeliness, b) engagement, with some half-life. The terminal destination of “Max Engagement, Now!” is 50% of users at the throats of the other 50% (max entropy style). Is your endgame? There will be no one left to go to Mars. From newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com 11:20 AM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859915413196566718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you go into politics to cover for semi-criminal behaviour? Is this what you want to do with your life?
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy84g9822gro Run cover for gangsters? Wake up man. We are all past the stage of words and feelings. Voters empowered you to engineer solutions. Sue Robertson, a woman with grey-white hair wearing a blue short-sleeved shirt with a large floral pattern From bbc.co.uk 11:02 AM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you go into politics to cover for semi-criminal behaviour? Is this what you want to do with your life?
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy84g9822gro Run cover for gangsters? Wake up man. We are all past the stage of words and feelings. Voters empowered you to engineer solutions. Sue Robertson, a woman with grey-white hair wearing a blue short-sleeved shirt with a large floral pattern From bbc.co.uk 11:02 AM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859753454689976528
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - anonymous coward, as ignorant as ill manered. No redeeming features. blocked
12:19 AM · Nov 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - anonymous coward, as ignorant as ill manered. No redeeming features. blocked
12:19 AM · Nov 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859721547554152734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stats was mostly about β-Hat. CompSci was mostly about Y-Hat. If I know my data was *not* generated by a linear model, why should I obsess about the β-Hat of an assumed linear model, I shall never understand.
Hinton "had statisticians explain to me a big model has 100 params, the idea of learning million params is just stupid... well we are doing a trillion now". If one is wrong by double digits orders of magnitude (!!) - maybe some soul searching is due. Embedded video hinton-100M-parameters-just-stupid.mp4 10:12 PM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stats was mostly about β-Hat. CompSci was mostly about Y-Hat. If I know my data was *not* generated by a linear model, why should I obsess about the β-Hat of an assumed linear model, I shall never understand.
Hinton "had statisticians explain to me a big model has 100 params, the idea of learning million params is just stupid... well we are doing a trillion now". If one is wrong by double digits orders of magnitude (!!) - maybe some soul searching is due. Embedded video hinton-100M-parameters-just-stupid.mp4 10:12 PM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859715676832977021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
get lost govnojed. blocked
9:49 PM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
get lost govnojed. blocked
9:49 PM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859685053820960801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was the Continental system. After 20 years of work on something, the PhD is the jewel in the crown. Where one explains what new previously unknown stuff they have learned. In UK, PhD is a start, qualification that the person is potentially capable of independent research.
7:47 PM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was the Continental system. After 20 years of work on something, the PhD is the jewel in the crown. Where one explains what new previously unknown stuff they have learned. In UK, PhD is a start, qualification that the person is potentially capable of independent research.
7:47 PM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859650287096770846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe they also derive benefits from a market of half a billion people. no free lunch, you pay to get something, that sort of thing
5:29 PM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe they also derive benefits from a market of half a billion people. no free lunch, you pay to get something, that sort of thing
5:29 PM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859646141585031327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
blocked the imbecile, I think Herbata_-s 1 to 43 suffice for me, can live without troll #44 😂😂
5:12 PM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
blocked the imbecile, I think Herbata_-s 1 to 43 suffice for me, can live without troll #44 😂😂
5:12 PM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859645471033303394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a government of PROCESS. The lawyers occupying the commanding heights don't know don't care abt delivering RESULTS. Their idea of delivery is smart talk, one upping the other at PMQ. Looking forward to the day when those wordcels are replaced by ChatGPT.
Quote Maurice Cousins @MDC12345678 · Nov 21 .@HarryScoffin was right. This statement has fallen completely flat. This is not an insurgent government of delivery. @FreeLeasehlders x.com/LKPleasehold/s… 5:10 PM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a government of PROCESS. The lawyers occupying the commanding heights don't know don't care abt delivering RESULTS. Their idea of delivery is smart talk, one upping the other at PMQ. Looking forward to the day when those wordcels are replaced by ChatGPT.
Quote Maurice Cousins @MDC12345678 · Nov 21 .@HarryScoffin was right. This statement has fallen completely flat. This is not an insurgent government of delivery. @FreeLeasehlders x.com/LKPleasehold/s… 5:10 PM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859643855097954423
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and not only Russia, but North F*cking Korea too!! Korea Kim riding high, while European "leaders" are schultzing it, cowering in their mum's buzzoms?? It turns out -rightoid retards got that correct, got a good measure of these European cucks?? What a time to be alive. 😱
5:03 PM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and not only Russia, but North F*cking Korea too!! Korea Kim riding high, while European "leaders" are schultzing it, cowering in their mum's buzzoms?? It turns out -rightoid retards got that correct, got a good measure of these European cucks?? What a time to be alive. 😱
5:03 PM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859547275879448875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nukes for Ukraine. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea etc bunch of smaller/poorer countries could do it - so can Poland, the Baltics, and the Nordics. And ideally Ukraine too. This Russian b/s has gone long enough. Just get nukes all around. Two can play the game.
10:39 AM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nukes for Ukraine. If Israel, South Africa, North Korea etc bunch of smaller/poorer countries could do it - so can Poland, the Baltics, and the Nordics. And ideally Ukraine too. This Russian b/s has gone long enough. Just get nukes all around. Two can play the game.
10:39 AM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859521344834097254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With the CoT (Cain of Thought) race in full swing, a repost of @geoffreyhinton
-ism 😍 "They are just like us". 😁 I admit to a guilty pleasure. 😈 Deriving a bit of joy seeing random VSP-s shocked, dazed, confused. 😂 Previously. Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We were special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. (just another leaf on the tree of life) 😰 Uh but ok - we were at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐 Being dissuaded of illusions is not anyone asks for, or says thanks for. 😇 Slow learners, outsized egos. 🤣 Embedded video hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4 8:56 AM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With the CoT (Cain of Thought) race in full swing, a repost of @geoffreyhinton
-ism 😍 "They are just like us". 😁 I admit to a guilty pleasure. 😈 Deriving a bit of joy seeing random VSP-s shocked, dazed, confused. 😂 Previously. Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We were special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. (just another leaf on the tree of life) 😰 Uh but ok - we were at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐 Being dissuaded of illusions is not anyone asks for, or says thanks for. 😇 Slow learners, outsized egos. 🤣 Embedded video hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4 8:56 AM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859504142177431969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The political class is not invested in DOING. It's effort goes in gaming the system. FAIL is assumed as given. Then apportioning blame is used as a stick to beat your political competition. It's going to be long 4yrs. The only option left at that point will be Farage/REF/other insurgents. FPTP makes it hard to unseat a big existent party. But not more impossible than two Trump terms. When we eliminate the status quo stasis LABCON option, whatevers remains will assume power, however unlikely.
7:48 AM · Nov 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The political class is not invested in DOING. It's effort goes in gaming the system. FAIL is assumed as given. Then apportioning blame is used as a stick to beat your political competition. It's going to be long 4yrs. The only option left at that point will be Farage/REF/other insurgents. FPTP makes it hard to unseat a big existent party. But not more impossible than two Trump terms. When we eliminate the status quo stasis LABCON option, whatevers remains will assume power, however unlikely.
7:48 AM · Nov 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859379188295213512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😁 - didn't Paglia quip once "if it was up to us women, we'd be standing at the banks of the river, waving at each other across, blowing kisses; the turn around and go home". But not endevour to build a bridge across. 😆
11:31 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😁 - didn't Paglia quip once "if it was up to us women, we'd be standing at the banks of the river, waving at each other across, blowing kisses; the turn around and go home". But not endevour to build a bridge across. 😆
11:31 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859366160212660338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - we got form there. 😶
Earth is special, whole Cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We are special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. (just another leaf on the tree of life) 😰 But uh-ah ok - we are at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐 Yep being dissuaded of illusions is not something anyone asks for. 😇 Slow learners with outsized egos, but hey it's only human that. 😆
10:40 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - we got form there. 😶
Earth is special, whole Cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We are special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. (just another leaf on the tree of life) 😰 But uh-ah ok - we are at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐 Yep being dissuaded of illusions is not something anyone asks for. 😇 Slow learners with outsized egos, but hey it's only human that. 😆
10:40 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859356583597375927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Without memory, we would be like functional programs—stateless, Gödel-style undecidable entities, no? The "I" serves as the organizing principle, the anchor that persists through time, unchanged yet enduring. (Though, of course, only for a limited time.)
I started to suspect that the ability to predict across the boundary of Now, predict the future having observed the past, might be the essential for life—in the "What is Life?" sense. Perhaps.
10:02 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Without memory, we would be like functional programs—stateless, Gödel-style undecidable entities, no? The "I" serves as the organizing principle, the anchor that persists through time, unchanged yet enduring. (Though, of course, only for a limited time.)
I started to suspect that the ability to predict across the boundary of Now, predict the future having observed the past, might be the essential for life—in the "What is Life?" sense. Perhaps.
10:02 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859349892793090094
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - fair about "post is quanta of ideas". Split now. Even with AI help, it was a lot of faff. Only motivated b/c bored to death now, sitting in bed all day, incapacitated with 39C of some bug/virus. grrr 🤬 For the 3rd time since the start of this school term, no less. Schools are Petri dishes hiving with bugs, there's no escape. 😂
Only exception taken Re: reaching normies. Not sure how motivated I'd be for that. I'm online for other fellow non-normies. Got some off-line normies to get by. At the ripe age of no-f*cks-given, 😂 one's perspective shifts on how to spend the (always) limited time.
Image 9:35 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - fair about "post is quanta of ideas". Split now. Even with AI help, it was a lot of faff. Only motivated b/c bored to death now, sitting in bed all day, incapacitated with 39C of some bug/virus. grrr 🤬 For the 3rd time since the start of this school term, no less. Schools are Petri dishes hiving with bugs, there's no escape. 😂
Only exception taken Re: reaching normies. Not sure how motivated I'd be for that. I'm online for other fellow non-normies. Got some off-line normies to get by. At the ripe age of no-f*cks-given, 😂 one's perspective shifts on how to spend the (always) limited time.
Image 9:35 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346889692561611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1/
Bsky is the closest thing to Twitter—a proper text-based read/write competitor where posts are quanta of ideas. Threads is unloved by its creators. Mastodon is impossible. IG is for pics and beauty. TT is for haha-tiktoks (AV-based ideas?). As for TG, IDK—it seems big mostly in the non-Anglo world. https://bsky.app/profile/jburnmurdoch.bsky.social/post/3lbdekd55sc2b by .@jburnmurdoch Image
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1/
Bsky is the closest thing to Twitter—a proper text-based read/write competitor where posts are quanta of ideas. Threads is unloved by its creators. Mastodon is impossible. IG is for pics and beauty. TT is for haha-tiktoks (AV-based ideas?). As for TG, IDK—it seems big mostly in the non-Anglo world. https://bsky.app/profile/jburnmurdoch.bsky.social/post/3lbdekd55sc2b by .@jburnmurdoch Image
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346894591598773
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2/
Bsky Feeds are excellent. I have 50 pinned. Compare that to the measly 2 here on X! It’s like X is stuck in 1980 thinking, “2 should be enough for everyone.” 😂 Starter packs on Bsky help immensely for onboarding. On X, new users start from zero—0 Follows, 0 Followers. Can you imagine a worse starting experience? Of 5 people I introduced to Twitter, only 1 logged in a second time—and that was her last time, too. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2/
Bsky Feeds are excellent. I have 50 pinned. Compare that to the measly 2 here on X! It’s like X is stuck in 1980 thinking, “2 should be enough for everyone.” 😂 Starter packs on Bsky help immensely for onboarding. On X, new users start from zero—0 Follows, 0 Followers. Can you imagine a worse starting experience? Of 5 people I introduced to Twitter, only 1 logged in a second time—and that was her last time, too. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346897611210920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
3/
Why doesn’t everyone register on all networks? It’s free in $$$. The only cost is time, and we’re already spending gargantuan amounts of time online. What’s another drop in the ocean?
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
3/
Why doesn’t everyone register on all networks? It’s free in $$$. The only cost is time, and we’re already spending gargantuan amounts of time online. What’s another drop in the ocean?
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346902325584221
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
4/
One feature of the open Internet (yes, it still exists!): you don’t have to choose. No law requires you to stick to just one platform. There’s no commandment: “Thou shalt have only one Social Network.” No one’s pledged allegiance to anything. So go forth and multiply—let a thousand platforms bloom! 🌸
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
4/
One feature of the open Internet (yes, it still exists!): you don’t have to choose. No law requires you to stick to just one platform. There’s no commandment: “Thou shalt have only one Social Network.” No one’s pledged allegiance to anything. So go forth and multiply—let a thousand platforms bloom! 🌸
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346906616561893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
5/
Just make accounts everywhere. The value of each network will naturally guide where you spend your time. If you use web interfaces (not apps, as you should—it’s prudent), they’re one click or tab away. Another tab among the hundreds already open. Do you choose between eBay or Amazon? No—you use both. Easy choice—use them all! 😊 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
5/
Just make accounts everywhere. The value of each network will naturally guide where you spend your time. If you use web interfaces (not apps, as you should—it’s prudent), they’re one click or tab away. Another tab among the hundreds already open. Do you choose between eBay or Amazon? No—you use both. Easy choice—use them all! 😊 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346910706008315
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
6/
The “public square N² iron law of network value” ensures that the largest social network has an advantage. The value of a network lies in its interactions, which scale quadratically with the number of users (N). That’s why incumbents are hard to beat—but not impossible! Reminder - MySpace once ruled the world.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
6/
The “public square N² iron law of network value” ensures that the largest social network has an advantage. The value of a network lies in its interactions, which scale quadratically with the number of users (N). That’s why incumbents are hard to beat—but not impossible! Reminder - MySpace once ruled the world.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346914380009947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
7/
Registering on multiple platforms offers another edge. Over time, you replicate your Social Graph—your Follows and Followers. This graph is what really traps us in the walled gardens of social networks. Replicate your graph significantly, and you’re already halfway to becoming a sovereign individual in social networking. 😉 Win-win.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
7/
Registering on multiple platforms offers another edge. Over time, you replicate your Social Graph—your Follows and Followers. This graph is what really traps us in the walled gardens of social networks. Replicate your graph significantly, and you’re already halfway to becoming a sovereign individual in social networking. 😉 Win-win.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346917999903231
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
8/ Many assume it’s their posts history that locks them in. But it ain’t so. Posts are fleeting—time-sensitive and rarely portable. It’s the social connections that anchor us, and those can be rebuilt if we’re intentional about it.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
8/ Many assume it’s their posts history that locks them in. But it ain’t so. Posts are fleeting—time-sensitive and rarely portable. It’s the social connections that anchor us, and those can be rebuilt if we’re intentional about it.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346921338425471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
9/ Everyone should want alternatives. They’re better for users—and better for Musk, too. Even an angel’s character will corrode under the daily adulation of millions. And Musk is now a US gov political appointee too! Imagine the outrage if the prior Twitter owners had been in the USG cabinet??
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
9/ Everyone should want alternatives. They’re better for users—and better for Musk, too. Even an angel’s character will corrode under the daily adulation of millions. And Musk is now a US gov political appointee too! Imagine the outrage if the prior Twitter owners had been in the USG cabinet??
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
10/ Avoid being TINA-ed (“There Is No Alternative”). Yes, the public square is a natural monopoly. But two squares are tolerable (in a way twelve wouldn’t be). Competition prods improvement. Over the past two years, I can’t think of a single X feature that noticeably improved my experience.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
10/ Avoid being TINA-ed (“There Is No Alternative”). Yes, the public square is a natural monopoly. But two squares are tolerable (in a way twelve wouldn’t be). Competition prods improvement. Over the past two years, I can’t think of a single X feature that noticeably improved my experience.
9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346928716349604
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
11/ Things X hasn’t done: 1. More than 2 Algofeeds (even after seeing how well Bsky’s feeds work). 2. A “Verified Real Live Human” flag (paid once by the user), with tools to filter posts based on it. 3. Open-sourcing everything (the original promise)—not just code, but models, parameters, etc. 4. An Algofeed based on posts' content, not just metadata. Right now, metadata seems to be mostly: a) timeliness, b) engagement, with some half-life. The terminal destination of “Max Engagement, Now!” is 50% of users at the throats of the other 50% (max entropy style). Apparently, this is Musk’s endgame? There will be no one left to go to Mars. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
11/ Things X hasn’t done: 1. More than 2 Algofeeds (even after seeing how well Bsky’s feeds work). 2. A “Verified Real Live Human” flag (paid once by the user), with tools to filter posts based on it. 3. Open-sourcing everything (the original promise)—not just code, but models, parameters, etc. 4. An Algofeed based on posts' content, not just metadata. Right now, metadata seems to be mostly: a) timeliness, b) engagement, with some half-life. The terminal destination of “Max Engagement, Now!” is 50% of users at the throats of the other 50% (max entropy style). Apparently, this is Musk’s endgame? There will be no one left to go to Mars. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346931991949576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
12/ To X’s credit, Community Notes is good. It seems to scale well without much babysitting. But it’s woefully insufficient. It’s like a newspaper correction on page 23, seen by the aggrieved person and 10 other randos, while the initial incorrect story was splashed on Page 1 in 72pt font and seen by 1M people. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
12/ To X’s credit, Community Notes is good. It seems to scale well without much babysitting. But it’s woefully insufficient. It’s like a newspaper correction on page 23, seen by the aggrieved person and 10 other randos, while the initial incorrect story was splashed on Page 1 in 72pt font and seen by 1M people. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346935112663270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
13/ In the long run, having at least two platforms is worth the inconvenience. If platforms cooperated, the user experience could improve dramatically. But "don’t be evil," they are not—so I’m not holding my breath. ☺️ 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
13/ In the long run, having at least two platforms is worth the inconvenience. If platforms cooperated, the user experience could improve dramatically. But "don’t be evil," they are not—so I’m not holding my breath. ☺️ 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346938468106460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
14/ This was originally one long post. But got a gentle HI-AI nudge 😂 to split it into individual posts. Long posts do break the "quanta of ideas" model, and cramming too much into one post makes any subsequent targeted discussion feedback impossible. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
14/ This was originally one long post. But got a gentle HI-AI nudge 😂 to split it into individual posts. Long posts do break the "quanta of ideas" model, and cramming too much into one post makes any subsequent targeted discussion feedback impossible. 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859346941534142799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
15/
Parting thought: after all these years, there isn’t an “Auto-Split Post” feature. Instead of me manually counting characters, X could easily split a long posts at paragraph breaks, and create shorter posts. IDK how is this not a thing. ffs 😅 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
15/
Parting thought: after all these years, there isn’t an “Auto-Split Post” feature. Instead of me manually counting characters, X could easily split a long posts at paragraph breaks, and create shorter posts. IDK how is this not a thing. ffs 😅 9:23 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859324127531942126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why? I though the current solution is good. I get to see the same length, of a short, and a long post, as default. The Long one is not advantaged. If I'm intrigued by the initial content shown, I click More to see the rest of the long post. I lose nothing. What am I missing? 7:53 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But why? I though the current solution is good. I get to see the same length, of a short, and a long post, as default. The Long one is not advantaged. If I'm intrigued by the initial content shown, I click More to see the rest of the long post. I lose nothing. What am I missing? 7:53 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859322603028238749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In extremis - Russia is free to threaten nuclear annihilation unless UK surrenders Islington, to make it Russian enclave, Kaliningrad style. Would you then say "No" and bear the risk of nuclear war, or would you surrender it? Putin may decide to end human civilization today, or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. Not the CC b/s. No amount of c*ck sucking will save us Putin decides to take the world down into hell with him. 7:47 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In extremis - Russia is free to threaten nuclear annihilation unless UK surrenders Islington, to make it Russian enclave, Kaliningrad style. Would you then say "No" and bear the risk of nuclear war, or would you surrender it? Putin may decide to end human civilization today, or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. Not the CC b/s. No amount of c*ck sucking will save us Putin decides to take the world down into hell with him. 7:47 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859320380260753592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only comparable system of disincentives I can think of is the late socialism of my childhood!! Exactly this - PAID to do THE WRONG THING.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only comparable system of disincentives I can think of is the late socialism of my childhood!! Exactly this - PAID to do THE WRONG THING.
I imagine if Putin designed the structure of the UK, he would not be this brazen, in looting the population! Like - we board a train, and at the end before exiting through the barriers, we all pay the most expensive tickets!
Just crazy, bonkers. That this survived multiple ministers, governments, parties... tells us that the systems (political and others) that delivered this abomination are frighteningly rotten.
And it's not only that. Everywhere you look - cladding, buildings dis/regulations, planning, the medieval leasehold, post office, contaminated blood, abuse of volnurable girls ... - very different sagas, but very similar underlying forces at work.
I think come next election we may be for a surprise. The hapless Starmer - aka "the process is the outcome" - is not going to deliver change. And it's change UK population is asking for.
With the usual political forces exhausted, unwilling unable to execute change - even with a huge mandate given! - forces that have not been tried, will be tried. However improbable that seems now. "The Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium" well under way, words have lost meaning. People will vote "not this, not that" - for something else.
7:38 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859304090976780531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep! 😂 using the opportunity to plug one of my favorite hintonisms 😍 guilty pleasure in the past year - enjoying seeing the avg VSP shocked, dazed, confused 😈 Embedded video hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4 6:33 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep! 😂 using the opportunity to plug one of my favorite hintonisms 😍 guilty pleasure in the past year - enjoying seeing the avg VSP shocked, dazed, confused 😈 Embedded video hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4 6:33 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859300947773542559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bsky is closest to Twitter. A text read/write competitor, posts being quantas of ideas. Threads is unloved by its creators. Mastodon is impossible. IG is for pics and beauty. TT for haha-tiktoks. (AV ideas?) IDK about TG. TG seems big in the non-anglo world only.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bsky is closest to Twitter. A text read/write competitor, posts being quantas of ideas. Threads is unloved by its creators. Mastodon is impossible. IG is for pics and beauty. TT for haha-tiktoks. (AV ideas?) IDK about TG. TG seems big in the non-anglo world only.
Bsky Feeds feature is excellent. I have 50 pinned. Compared to the crappy 2 here! X is like "it's 1980, 2 is enough for everyone" in that respect. Starter packs help immensely when you are new. New users on X start from 0! 0 Follows, 0 Followers. Can you imagine a worse new user starting experience?? Of 5 people I introduced to Twitter, 1 only logged in the 2nd time, and that was her last time too.
The Q for me is: why doesn't *everyone* register on all networks? It's free in $$$. Only cost is time. But people spend gargantuan amounts of time online already, that's a drop in an ocean.
One feature of the open Internet (yes, got that still!) that many seem to have forgotten: you don’t have to choose. No law of the land requires me to stick to just one platform. There’s no commandment "Thou shalt have only one Social Network." No one has pledged allegiance to anything. So go forth and multiply—let a thousand platforms bloom! 🌸
Just have accounts everywhere. The value you get from each network will naturally guide where you spend your time. If you’re using their web interfaces (and not apps; as you should, as is prudent), they’re just one click one tab away. A one tab addition to the hundreds of tabs I already have open. Do you choose between eBay or Amazon? Or do you use both? Easy choice—use them all! 😊
Still: the “public square N² iron law of network value” ensures that the largest social network has an advantage. The value of a network for us lies in our interactions. And those scale quadratically with us, the number of users (N). So incumbents are hard to beat. Not impossible though! MySpace was dominant at some point.
Registering on multiple platforms offers another edge. Over time, you replicate your Social Graph—your Follows and Followers. This graph is what truly keeps us trapped in the walled gardens of social networks. Replicate your Follows—Followers Social Graph significantly, and you’re already halfway to becoming a sovereign individual in the realm of social networking. 😉 Win-win.
Many assume that it’s their post history that locks them in. But it ain’t so. Posts are fleeting—time-topic-sensitive and rarely portable. It’s the social connections that anchor us, and those can be rebuilt if we’re intentional about it.
Everyone should want alternatives. It’s better for users—and better for Musk, too. Even an angel’s character will corrode under the daily adulation of millions. And on the top of it—this is a US gov political appointee! Imagine the cries if the prior owners and CEO-s of Twitter were part of the actual US gov cabinet??
Avoid being TINA-ed (There Is No Alternative). Yes the public square is singular and a natural monopoly. But two squares is bearable (in a way twelve would not be), and competition prods the networks to improve. In the last 2 years, I can't think of a single feature that X introduced, that I noticed to make my experience better.
So in the long run, having at least two platforms is worth the cost of some inconvenience. If the platforms were willing to cooperate—they could make the user experience much better. But "don't be evil" they are not, so not holding my breath there. ☺️
Long post. If you read till here, there is one feature that I miss on Bsky: being able to post long ramblings like this one. Without having to split them 1/N-style like we are in the stone age. 😅
6:21 PM · Nov 20, 2024
6:21 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859245349967139151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK and tbh don't care much. Personal rule of thumb is - the ideas-events-people trichotomy. I'm interested in the 1st, not interested in the 3rd, and events - grey category, so-so. What a person has in their head, what they believe or don't believe, they themselves often don't know. So as an external observer - it's just a waste spending time on that. And ofc - the content of their heads changes, and even that is an imperfect predictor to their actions. Of which we care mostly really. I apologize, but - JC sagas is not something I can bring myself to get interested in.
2:40 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK and tbh don't care much. Personal rule of thumb is - the ideas-events-people trichotomy. I'm interested in the 1st, not interested in the 3rd, and events - grey category, so-so. What a person has in their head, what they believe or don't believe, they themselves often don't know. So as an external observer - it's just a waste spending time on that. And ofc - the content of their heads changes, and even that is an imperfect predictor to their actions. Of which we care mostly really. I apologize, but - JC sagas is not something I can bring myself to get interested in.
2:40 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859243564938481953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yourself on Ukraine have been as bad as that guy was on US politics. Your failure is ever worse tbh. It's about years of events, and lots of not-so-random logic behind them. His fail is about some random coin-toss polls, of which he has not got the means to assess anything. Yes - foolish of him to opine on basically random events he has not got the means to know anything more than what's public knowledge at that point. Private knowledge, getting some - costs $$$ and effort that I presume a Prof lacks. c.f. French whale commissioning and paying for his own, non brain-dead polls.
2:33 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yourself on Ukraine have been as bad as that guy was on US politics. Your failure is ever worse tbh. It's about years of events, and lots of not-so-random logic behind them. His fail is about some random coin-toss polls, of which he has not got the means to assess anything. Yes - foolish of him to opine on basically random events he has not got the means to know anything more than what's public knowledge at that point. Private knowledge, getting some - costs $$$ and effort that I presume a Prof lacks. c.f. French whale commissioning and paying for his own, non brain-dead polls.
2:33 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859236010124579306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are giving them too much allowance imo, too much benefit of the doubt. Characters *that* committed to their ideals, the ideas in their heads they hold dear - even after witnessing all evidence to the contrary - are capable of many more and worse deeds. It's not like they hate personally people harmed that come between DA/JC and realization of their dreams. It's that they don't care about people in general that much. Once you convince yourself that you are the savior of humanity, everything else pales in comparison. Kill 4B so the other 4B enjoy perfect eternal paradise? - well, tough choice, but better choice than 8B trapped in an eternal hell. So they take it. And they could have gotten away with it! If not for the - the eggs were broken, but the omelette failed to materialize. Communism did not deliver the goods. That's what ultimately tripped DA/JC.
2:03 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are giving them too much allowance imo, too much benefit of the doubt. Characters *that* committed to their ideals, the ideas in their heads they hold dear - even after witnessing all evidence to the contrary - are capable of many more and worse deeds. It's not like they hate personally people harmed that come between DA/JC and realization of their dreams. It's that they don't care about people in general that much. Once you convince yourself that you are the savior of humanity, everything else pales in comparison. Kill 4B so the other 4B enjoy perfect eternal paradise? - well, tough choice, but better choice than 8B trapped in an eternal hell. So they take it. And they could have gotten away with it! If not for the - the eggs were broken, but the omelette failed to materialize. Communism did not deliver the goods. That's what ultimately tripped DA/JC.
2:03 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859231237648343281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think the following - but now following that political wing this is ofc my personal prejudice.
1) Diane is aware of that.
2) She thinks of Russia firing back *at the UK* (not Ukraine), is what she's concerned about.
3) She doesn't care about Ukraine - the country or the people; they could disappear in a puff of smoke tomorrow and that wd be just fine for DA.
4) She hates specifically Ukrainians, and in general all EEuropeans, guts.
5) The hate is because EEus failed the organization/principle/ideas that DA (and JC too; that whole pol wing) hold dear (communism).
6) So the stupid reactionary anti-commie Borats CEEus deserve whatever punishment comes their way.
7) Russia is the instrument meting that punishment.
8) DA is not against that, is in favor of it, but can't say it openly explicitly.
9) These views and feelings have deeper roots, are the norm rather than the exception https://perplexity.ai/search/what-bad-did-marks-or-engels-s-OV2.oRz_QA6s3l0wYGk6VA#0 .
11) Note of JC and DA holidaying it in DDR. This is well past the time when Stalin crimes were well known and condemned in the Soviet Union(!), let alone the eastern block ex-SU).
12) Contemporary 21st century sequels. CEEus displease DA-wokerati by being un-woke. Not so much anti-woke (although there is that too), but un-woke in a sense "this white guilt has nothing to do with us, even if our skins are white". In this fits e.g. schooling of Ukraine refugees on their "privilege" - that the refugees themselves don't understand. 😆 (and who can blame them 😂)
This is all I can think. IDK the DA (and JC) private personas ofc, only their public ones. And even that is limited as I don't follow their pol wing much. (I don't care enough abt them) But to keep going for decades, pushing the same discredited failed ideas - imo one needs character traits bordering insanity. 1:44 PM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think the following - but now following that political wing this is ofc my personal prejudice.
1) Diane is aware of that.
2) She thinks of Russia firing back *at the UK* (not Ukraine), is what she's concerned about.
3) She doesn't care about Ukraine - the country or the people; they could disappear in a puff of smoke tomorrow and that wd be just fine for DA.
4) She hates specifically Ukrainians, and in general all EEuropeans, guts.
5) The hate is because EEus failed the organization/principle/ideas that DA (and JC too; that whole pol wing) hold dear (communism).
6) So the stupid reactionary anti-commie Borats CEEus deserve whatever punishment comes their way.
7) Russia is the instrument meting that punishment.
8) DA is not against that, is in favor of it, but can't say it openly explicitly.
9) These views and feelings have deeper roots, are the norm rather than the exception https://perplexity.ai/search/what-bad-did-marks-or-engels-s-OV2.oRz_QA6s3l0wYGk6VA#0 .
11) Note of JC and DA holidaying it in DDR. This is well past the time when Stalin crimes were well known and condemned in the Soviet Union(!), let alone the eastern block ex-SU).
12) Contemporary 21st century sequels. CEEus displease DA-wokerati by being un-woke. Not so much anti-woke (although there is that too), but un-woke in a sense "this white guilt has nothing to do with us, even if our skins are white". In this fits e.g. schooling of Ukraine refugees on their "privilege" - that the refugees themselves don't understand. 😆 (and who can blame them 😂)
This is all I can think. IDK the DA (and JC) private personas ofc, only their public ones. And even that is limited as I don't follow their pol wing much. (I don't care enough abt them) But to keep going for decades, pushing the same discredited failed ideas - imo one needs character traits bordering insanity. 1:44 PM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859179670786212333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, pretty much. I'm ML so I'm ofc biased. To me just seems unreasonable to spend inordinate amount of effort on say finding out things about say a linear model β-Hat, when I have zero reasons to think that the data was generated by a genuine linear model in nature.
10:19 AM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, pretty much. I'm ML so I'm ofc biased. To me just seems unreasonable to spend inordinate amount of effort on say finding out things about say a linear model β-Hat, when I have zero reasons to think that the data was generated by a genuine linear model in nature.
10:19 AM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859173425102602461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... that Hinton quote "statisticians explained to me big model is 100 params, the idea of learning million params is just stupid... well we learning a billion now" is from
https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&t=1695s Another good link in that thread https://ryxcommar.com/2019/07/14/on-moving-from-statistics-to-machine-learning-the-final-stage-of-grief/ From ryxcommar.com 9:54 AM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... that Hinton quote "statisticians explained to me big model is 100 params, the idea of learning million params is just stupid... well we learning a billion now" is from
https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&t=1695s Another good link in that thread https://ryxcommar.com/2019/07/14/on-moving-from-statistics-to-machine-learning-the-final-stage-of-grief/ From ryxcommar.com 9:54 AM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1859156535219228971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(unrelated to CP)
I've heard the quip: statistics cares about beta-hat mostly, while ML Machine Learning cares about y-hat mostly. This is the distinction made in Breiman's The Two Cultures. More links in this thread https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851689707421471171
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 30
Replying to @jm_alexia
Is the Random Forests guy also the guy that wrote https://www2.math.uu.se/~thulin/mm/breiman.pdf ? I'm not a statistician. I was taught statistics badly, so got to dislike it, even if I loved everything mathematics at school, and computers and all things computing latter. For the longest time I could Show more 8:47 AM · Nov 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(unrelated to CP)
I've heard the quip: statistics cares about beta-hat mostly, while ML Machine Learning cares about y-hat mostly. This is the distinction made in Breiman's The Two Cultures. More links in this thread https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851689707421471171
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 30
Replying to @jm_alexia
Is the Random Forests guy also the guy that wrote https://www2.math.uu.se/~thulin/mm/breiman.pdf ? I'm not a statistician. I was taught statistics badly, so got to dislike it, even if I loved everything mathematics at school, and computers and all things computing latter. For the longest time I could Show more 8:47 AM · Nov 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858891923118837967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can create inflation yes - but any bankruptcy is a pure choice on your part. Stop winging and start using the words as is their true meaning. Words mean things.
3:15 PM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can create inflation yes - but any bankruptcy is a pure choice on your part. Stop winging and start using the words as is their true meaning. Words mean things.
3:15 PM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858877274512032221
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? shame on "us"? you are giving me too much credit there. but i'll take it: should draghi call to consult with me on anything at all, i shall relay your message.
2:17 PM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? shame on "us"? you are giving me too much credit there. but i'll take it: should draghi call to consult with me on anything at all, i shall relay your message.
2:17 PM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858847630056456249
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency FTW :-) Kako sto imase javni nabavki na time mk. Treba se sto e elektronski dokument na vlada i drzavan aparat (birokratija) da bide onlajn. Se na web, se na Gdive OneDrive (read-only), se javno po default. A tajno - samo po potreba, na eksplicitno baranje.
12:19 PM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency FTW :-) Kako sto imase javni nabavki na time mk. Treba se sto e elektronski dokument na vlada i drzavan aparat (birokratija) da bide onlajn. Se na web, se na Gdive OneDrive (read-only), se javno po default. A tajno - samo po potreba, na eksplicitno baranje.
12:19 PM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858846460843827497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There was nothing wrong with "Whatever it takes". In fact - plenty there to recommend Draghi. A rare guy that 1) knows his job (head of ECB) 2) takes it seriously 3) communicates to the brain dead VSP from MPC that have not done their homework, and seemed surprised to learn "yes, ECB is the entity - the only entity in the whole world - whose job is creating Eur, and it can create as many Eur as the politicos tell it to". That maybe too much, or too little. But note how Draghi did not lie and say "ooff, I have to raid the cash registers of the French bistros and Italian cafes to find Eur-os, I don't have them and can't make them". We need people that lie less, speak more truths, whatever they maybe, even if it's politically inconvenient (aka not politically correct).
12:15 PM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There was nothing wrong with "Whatever it takes". In fact - plenty there to recommend Draghi. A rare guy that 1) knows his job (head of ECB) 2) takes it seriously 3) communicates to the brain dead VSP from MPC that have not done their homework, and seemed surprised to learn "yes, ECB is the entity - the only entity in the whole world - whose job is creating Eur, and it can create as many Eur as the politicos tell it to". That maybe too much, or too little. But note how Draghi did not lie and say "ooff, I have to raid the cash registers of the French bistros and Italian cafes to find Eur-os, I don't have them and can't make them". We need people that lie less, speak more truths, whatever they maybe, even if it's politically inconvenient (aka not politically correct).
12:15 PM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858843924959228099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not so fast. How many did move there to specifically have (extra) kids to make use of the childcare? Versus how many did not move, but had extra kids because of the childcare? Versus how many didn't have extra kids (or had less?) even with the childcare. You can say - the number that moved is smaller than the number that would take the same advantage, if they didn't need to move. The "self-selection" here cutting it both ways.
Childcare availability is a factor. Surveys - to the extent we can believe any survey - indicate families have less kids than they say they would like to have. Given the population was about stable for 10K years (5-6 born, 2-3 make it to adulthood to have kids of their own), the default has to be "population stable 2.1 kids" or some such. A prior that requires no explanation. 12:05 PM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not so fast. How many did move there to specifically have (extra) kids to make use of the childcare? Versus how many did not move, but had extra kids because of the childcare? Versus how many didn't have extra kids (or had less?) even with the childcare. You can say - the number that moved is smaller than the number that would take the same advantage, if they didn't need to move. The "self-selection" here cutting it both ways.
Childcare availability is a factor. Surveys - to the extent we can believe any survey - indicate families have less kids than they say they would like to have. Given the population was about stable for 10K years (5-6 born, 2-3 make it to adulthood to have kids of their own), the default has to be "population stable 2.1 kids" or some such. A prior that requires no explanation. 12:05 PM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858830866643812542
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😍😍😍 baby steps, baby steps
(...but a long long way from https://linkedin.com/pulse/plaque-unveiling-ieee-milestone-first-robotic/ of the past) you guys are the best!! 🥰 good luck god speed 😇 From linkedin.com 11:13 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😍😍😍 baby steps, baby steps
(...but a long long way from https://linkedin.com/pulse/plaque-unveiling-ieee-milestone-first-robotic/ of the past) you guys are the best!! 🥰 good luck god speed 😇 From linkedin.com 11:13 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858821159153766835
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Saint Greta didn't lead the flock to the promised land? I am shocked!- shocked I tell you!!
10:34 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Saint Greta didn't lead the flock to the promised land? I am shocked!- shocked I tell you!!
10:34 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858816557645746593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^^^^^ This - yess!! Every time I buy new disks, sizes are at least double and often multiples of previous sizes. The 1st thing I do is - copy all the previous data, a lifetime of data, onto the new disk. So in theory, given it took prior 40yrs to fill 1/2 of the disk (or 1/3, 1/4), should the the same rate of data acquisition transpire in the future (or even slightly higher), the disk should last me to the end of my life, and I should not need to buy another disk ever. Alas - it ain't so. That's not what happens. I keep buying those disks.
10:16 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^^^^^ This - yess!! Every time I buy new disks, sizes are at least double and often multiples of previous sizes. The 1st thing I do is - copy all the previous data, a lifetime of data, onto the new disk. So in theory, given it took prior 40yrs to fill 1/2 of the disk (or 1/3, 1/4), should the the same rate of data acquisition transpire in the future (or even slightly higher), the disk should last me to the end of my life, and I should not need to buy another disk ever. Alas - it ain't so. That's not what happens. I keep buying those disks.
10:16 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858812907527520369
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Fair. Didn't have the patience to make it shorter. One gets used to good things easy and quick! ☺️ On Bsky - where there's a limit - there's no talk of "should we open X account", as all X refugees already have one. 😉 I find it a chore having to split and chain posts again.
10:01 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Fair. Didn't have the patience to make it shorter. One gets used to good things easy and quick! ☺️ On Bsky - where there's a limit - there's no talk of "should we open X account", as all X refugees already have one. 😉 I find it a chore having to split and chain posts again.
10:01 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858800372850028970
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - you can not, you will not, say publicly, one bad word about Putin. One bad word, publicly.
9:11 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - you can not, you will not, say publicly, one bad word about Putin. One bad word, publicly.
9:11 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858798218991046950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally. Hippies/boomers took the easy road and shifted the load of responsibility away, and onto their own kids mostly. Was there ever a more egoistical entitled generation than the those anti-establishment champions. Given everything, used up everything, drew the ladders - prior gens put up for them - behind, hobbled their kids generations, and - adding insult to injury - appear oblivious to that too. True to their self-centered selves to the end.
9:03 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally. Hippies/boomers took the easy road and shifted the load of responsibility away, and onto their own kids mostly. Was there ever a more egoistical entitled generation than the those anti-establishment champions. Given everything, used up everything, drew the ladders - prior gens put up for them - behind, hobbled their kids generations, and - adding insult to injury - appear oblivious to that too. True to their self-centered selves to the end.
9:03 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858795852745031938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One feature of the open Internet (yes, still!) and social networks that many seem to overlook: you don’t have to choose. No law of the land requires you to stick to just one platform. There’s no commandment that says, "Thou shalt have only one social network." No one has pledged allegiance to a single platform. So go forth and multiply—let a thousand platforms bloom! 🌸
In other words: news at 10—you can have accounts everywhere. The value you get from each network will naturally guide where you spend your time. If you’re using their web interfaces (and not apps, as is prudent), they’re just one click or tab away—another addition to the hundreds of tabs you already have open. Do you choose between eBay or Amazon? Or do you use both? Easy choice—use them all! 😊
Here’s the thing: the “public square N² iron law of network value” ensures that the largest social network will always hold an advantage. The value of a network lies in its interactions, which scale quadratically with the number of users (N). That’s why incumbents are hard to beat. Still, registering on multiple platforms offers an edge. Over time, you can replicate your Social Graph—your follows and followers. This graph is what truly keeps us trapped in the walled gardens of social networks. Replicate it significantly, and you’re already halfway to becoming a sovereign individual in the realm of social networking. Win-win.
Many assume that it’s their post history that locks them in. But it ain’t so. Posts are fleeting—time-sensitive and rarely portable. It’s the social connections that anchor you, and those can be rebuilt if you’re intentional about it.
Everyone should want alternatives. It’s better for users—and better for Musk, too. Even an angel’s character can corrode under the daily adulation of millions. Avoid being TINA-ed (There Is No Alternative), because while the public square is singular and a natural monopoly, competition keeps the system healthy. In the long run, competition benefits us all. 8:54 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One feature of the open Internet (yes, still!) and social networks that many seem to overlook: you don’t have to choose. No law of the land requires you to stick to just one platform. There’s no commandment that says, "Thou shalt have only one social network." No one has pledged allegiance to a single platform. So go forth and multiply—let a thousand platforms bloom! 🌸
In other words: news at 10—you can have accounts everywhere. The value you get from each network will naturally guide where you spend your time. If you’re using their web interfaces (and not apps, as is prudent), they’re just one click or tab away—another addition to the hundreds of tabs you already have open. Do you choose between eBay or Amazon? Or do you use both? Easy choice—use them all! 😊
Here’s the thing: the “public square N² iron law of network value” ensures that the largest social network will always hold an advantage. The value of a network lies in its interactions, which scale quadratically with the number of users (N). That’s why incumbents are hard to beat. Still, registering on multiple platforms offers an edge. Over time, you can replicate your Social Graph—your follows and followers. This graph is what truly keeps us trapped in the walled gardens of social networks. Replicate it significantly, and you’re already halfway to becoming a sovereign individual in the realm of social networking. Win-win.
Many assume that it’s their post history that locks them in. But it ain’t so. Posts are fleeting—time-sensitive and rarely portable. It’s the social connections that anchor you, and those can be rebuilt if you’re intentional about it.
Everyone should want alternatives. It’s better for users—and better for Musk, too. Even an angel’s character can corrode under the daily adulation of millions. Avoid being TINA-ed (There Is No Alternative), because while the public square is singular and a natural monopoly, competition keeps the system healthy. In the long run, competition benefits us all. 8:54 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858790125259358222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - by definition. But it's not totally bad. For we are recursive in a way that even if forever we know of reality via - always incomplete, with errors, not just in quantity but in quality too - models of it, we know that too. :-) That's worth a lot.
Say even if all my models of the 3D reality are 2D views, b/c that's all I can take in, it's to an advantage to me to know "all my 2D-s belong to me, reality 3D is a different quality" (has one extra D for start). Could say - multitudes of 2D-s at my disposal make my perception 2.5D. Less than the unattainable 3D, but more than mere 2D. 8:31 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - by definition. But it's not totally bad. For we are recursive in a way that even if forever we know of reality via - always incomplete, with errors, not just in quantity but in quality too - models of it, we know that too. :-) That's worth a lot.
Say even if all my models of the 3D reality are 2D views, b/c that's all I can take in, it's to an advantage to me to know "all my 2D-s belong to me, reality 3D is a different quality" (has one extra D for start). Could say - multitudes of 2D-s at my disposal make my perception 2.5D. Less than the unattainable 3D, but more than mere 2D. 8:31 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858783913721606512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks—kind of you! I’ve come to suspect that time and life (in the "What is Life?" sense) are more deeply related than I once thought. Honestly, for all we know, time might only exist as something our minds create—an organizing principle concocted in our heads to parsimoniously (aluded in Occam's razor, formalized as Kolmogorov MDL) explain—and especially predict—what we sense. To the extent that we can predict from one moment to the next, we are alive. For me, time flows many orders of magnitude faster than it does for a stone.
Prediction across the "time barrier"—observing the past and forecasting the future—is fundamentally harder than predicting within the same moment. So much harder, in fact, that we even use a different word for it: forecasting. Our accuracy is often orders of magnitude lower. A small nit: having internal state—and especially permanent memory, like a sense of "I"—makes a system less reactive, more inert. But it arguably makes it more intelligent, too. We often integrate information over time to reduce noise and make better predictions. Functional, stateless mathematics is Gödel undecidable. Bolting on memory and state, however, represents a leap in capability. It might not be our full ticket out of the "valley of tears," but it sure feels like a significant step. 8:06 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks—kind of you! I’ve come to suspect that time and life (in the "What is Life?" sense) are more deeply related than I once thought. Honestly, for all we know, time might only exist as something our minds create—an organizing principle concocted in our heads to parsimoniously (aluded in Occam's razor, formalized as Kolmogorov MDL) explain—and especially predict—what we sense. To the extent that we can predict from one moment to the next, we are alive. For me, time flows many orders of magnitude faster than it does for a stone.
Prediction across the "time barrier"—observing the past and forecasting the future—is fundamentally harder than predicting within the same moment. So much harder, in fact, that we even use a different word for it: forecasting. Our accuracy is often orders of magnitude lower. A small nit: having internal state—and especially permanent memory, like a sense of "I"—makes a system less reactive, more inert. But it arguably makes it more intelligent, too. We often integrate information over time to reduce noise and make better predictions. Functional, stateless mathematics is Gödel undecidable. Bolting on memory and state, however, represents a leap in capability. It might not be our full ticket out of the "valley of tears," but it sure feels like a significant step. 8:06 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858770708962091333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fair and reasonable. First step would be for myself (HI) to know if I'm communicating with an AI or another HI. Like in the phone conversation's of old, the 2nd thing (after "Alo" handshake) was mutual introduction ("I'm so-and-so"). We can have the same in the world of HI-AI: not only intro interlocutors' identities (name), but also of their types (HI or AI).
7:14 AM · Nov 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fair and reasonable. First step would be for myself (HI) to know if I'm communicating with an AI or another HI. Like in the phone conversation's of old, the 2nd thing (after "Alo" handshake) was mutual introduction ("I'm so-and-so"). We can have the same in the world of HI-AI: not only intro interlocutors' identities (name), but also of their types (HI or AI).
7:14 AM · Nov 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858649341701091742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... wait wait - next you will tell me I can mute or block accounts I don't want to interact with? naah
11:11 PM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... wait wait - next you will tell me I can mute or block accounts I don't want to interact with? naah
11:11 PM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858618242526335193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia may decide to end human civilization tonight, or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin sucking will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. EM+techbros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done this time around
Quote Elon Musk @elonmusk · Nov 17 Replying to @Inevitablewest The problem is that Russia will respond reciprocally Rate proposed Community Notes 9:08 PM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia may decide to end human civilization tonight, or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin sucking will save us if he decides to take the world down into hell with him. EM+techbros need to resurrect Star Wars asap, get SDI done this time around
Quote Elon Musk @elonmusk · Nov 17 Replying to @Inevitablewest The problem is that Russia will respond reciprocally Rate proposed Community Notes 9:08 PM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858617283662196917
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia may decide to end human civilization tonight, or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck sucking will save you if he decides to take the world down with him into hell. You need to resurrect SDI Star Wars asap, move onto v2, get it done.
9:04 PM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia may decide to end human civilization tonight, or any day. *This* is the biggest threat to humanity. No amount of Putin c*ck sucking will save you if he decides to take the world down with him into hell. You need to resurrect SDI Star Wars asap, move onto v2, get it done.
9:04 PM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858614876249198629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ZIRP IR=0 default, unless reasons otherwise. Zero risk == zero return. If inflation>0 then IR=inflation at most. Realistically probably ok-ish if IR=inflation/2, use it or lose it is a good incentive to get things done, JDI.
8:54 PM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ZIRP IR=0 default, unless reasons otherwise. Zero risk == zero return. If inflation>0 then IR=inflation at most. Realistically probably ok-ish if IR=inflation/2, use it or lose it is a good incentive to get things done, JDI.
8:54 PM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858599659914359115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
F*cking weak. You are in Westminster to legislate those wrongs into rights! That's why people gave you their vote of confidence for 4yrs. That's why you were put in Westminster, and given the power to make the laws of the land!! Not the West End - where man in tights cosplay. Wake up man. There is nothing to discuss with Crabtree. Your job is to put the fear of God in them, to put them out of existence. (and out of their misery) Pathetic. (until proven otherwise)
7:54 PM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
F*cking weak. You are in Westminster to legislate those wrongs into rights! That's why people gave you their vote of confidence for 4yrs. That's why you were put in Westminster, and given the power to make the laws of the land!! Not the West End - where man in tights cosplay. Wake up man. There is nothing to discuss with Crabtree. Your job is to put the fear of God in them, to put them out of existence. (and out of their misery) Pathetic. (until proven otherwise)
7:54 PM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858594293834789208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 🙃 TBF parents in the 80s "Don't watch TV, don't sit on the computer, don't play games!" Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting on the computer was the best thing I ever did. Games financed GPUs! **THANK YOU** dear parents for footing the bill—forever grateful 🙏 Now those GPUs are bringing us AI - ChatGPT, Babelfish, AlphaFold, and other miracles. 😅 #FullCircle
7:33 PM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 🙃 TBF parents in the 80s "Don't watch TV, don't sit on the computer, don't play games!" Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting on the computer was the best thing I ever did. Games financed GPUs! **THANK YOU** dear parents for footing the bill—forever grateful 🙏 Now those GPUs are bringing us AI - ChatGPT, Babelfish, AlphaFold, and other miracles. 😅 #FullCircle
7:33 PM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858575954727121084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe—cucks in high places? 🙃 Seriously, everything US rightoids accuse European elites of seems to be playing out with Russia, North Korea, Iran (...China tomorrow?) waging war into Europe. Will the Schultzes fight back when PRK soldiers smash through the front doors of their homes? Fight—or meekly submit? That’s the question. 😂
Quite the turnaround—eh? For a continent that originated two World Wars (one a misfortune, two a coincidence, three a... ???), spawned empires and nation-states slagging it out in "all-against-all" fashion—"The 100 Years' War" and all that—and even went to distant continents (!!) to conquer and subjugate people for centuries. A continent that birthed new sister cultures and will be future civilizations in every direction now finds itself... here. I forecast a reverse takeover: the US riding to the rescue—*again*! Not just with soldiers and material this time, but with ideas and ideology, dragging Europe back from the brink once more. France will probably hold its own, as will the UK, the Nordics, Poland, and the Balts. But Germany... Germany seems to be the center of the rot. If the core is rotten, though, how do you hold the whole together?
Time will tell how this plays out. I hate it somewhat to be living in interesting times—again.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe—cucks in high places? 🙃 Seriously, everything US rightoids accuse European elites of seems to be playing out with Russia, North Korea, Iran (...China tomorrow?) waging war into Europe. Will the Schultzes fight back when PRK soldiers smash through the front doors of their homes? Fight—or meekly submit? That’s the question. 😂
Quite the turnaround—eh? For a continent that originated two World Wars (one a misfortune, two a coincidence, three a... ???), spawned empires and nation-states slagging it out in "all-against-all" fashion—"The 100 Years' War" and all that—and even went to distant continents (!!) to conquer and subjugate people for centuries. A continent that birthed new sister cultures and will be future civilizations in every direction now finds itself... here. I forecast a reverse takeover: the US riding to the rescue—*again*! Not just with soldiers and material this time, but with ideas and ideology, dragging Europe back from the brink once more. France will probably hold its own, as will the UK, the Nordics, Poland, and the Balts. But Germany... Germany seems to be the center of the rot. If the core is rotten, though, how do you hold the whole together?
Time will tell how this plays out. I hate it somewhat to be living in interesting times—again.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858538976006611385
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^ This!!! Plus - there is no need to choose. Just have accounts everywhere. The value I personally get from the network will naturally guide me where I spend my time. I use their web interfaces (not Apps), so all are one tab away anyway. Not a big ask - another tab in the 100 open mobile FF tabs atm. It ain't that big deal. Like - do I use eBay or Amazon to buy stuff? Well - both (all) - duh! Easy choice, a good choice to have too! 😊
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network -to us users- is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users. Still - registering at all places has an additional advantage. In time we replicate our Social Graph Follows-Followers. It's that social graph that keeps us inside the walled garden of a social network! Replicate it (mostly) at most (all) places - and get half way towards being Sovereign Individual wrt social networks! Win-win! We oft assume that it's the posts history that keeps us in. It ain't so. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non time-place transplantable in content. Everyone should want to have alternatives. Better for us - but better for Musk too. Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people! Avoid being TINA cornered, as The Public Square is singular so is a natural monopoly. Competition will be for the better longer term for all! 3:53 PM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^ This!!! Plus - there is no need to choose. Just have accounts everywhere. The value I personally get from the network will naturally guide me where I spend my time. I use their web interfaces (not Apps), so all are one tab away anyway. Not a big ask - another tab in the 100 open mobile FF tabs atm. It ain't that big deal. Like - do I use eBay or Amazon to buy stuff? Well - both (all) - duh! Easy choice, a good choice to have too! 😊
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network -to us users- is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users. Still - registering at all places has an additional advantage. In time we replicate our Social Graph Follows-Followers. It's that social graph that keeps us inside the walled garden of a social network! Replicate it (mostly) at most (all) places - and get half way towards being Sovereign Individual wrt social networks! Win-win! We oft assume that it's the posts history that keeps us in. It ain't so. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non time-place transplantable in content. Everyone should want to have alternatives. Better for us - but better for Musk too. Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people! Avoid being TINA cornered, as The Public Square is singular so is a natural monopoly. Competition will be for the better longer term for all! 3:53 PM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858378179783643293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noone needs to choose. Just have accounts everywhere. The value we personally get from the network will naturally guide us, where we spend our time. I use their web interfaces (not Apps) so all are one tab away anyway, out of 100 tabs mobile FF has open atm. Don't get what the big deal is. Like - do I use eBay or Amazon to buy stuff? Well - both (all!) duh. Easy choice. 😊
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network -to us users- is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users. Registering at all places has an additional advantage: in time we replicate our Social Graph Follows-Followers. It's that social graph that keeps us inside the walled garden of a social network. Replicate it (mostly) at most (all) places, and be half way towards being Sovereign Individual wrt social networks. We oft assume that it's the posts history that keeps us in. It ain't so. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non time-place transplantable in content. Everyone should want to have alternatives. Better for us - but better for Musk too. Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people! Avoid being TINA cornered as public square is singular is a natural monopoly. Competition will be for the better longer term. 5:14 AM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noone needs to choose. Just have accounts everywhere. The value we personally get from the network will naturally guide us, where we spend our time. I use their web interfaces (not Apps) so all are one tab away anyway, out of 100 tabs mobile FF has open atm. Don't get what the big deal is. Like - do I use eBay or Amazon to buy stuff? Well - both (all!) duh. Easy choice. 😊
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network -to us users- is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users. Registering at all places has an additional advantage: in time we replicate our Social Graph Follows-Followers. It's that social graph that keeps us inside the walled garden of a social network. Replicate it (mostly) at most (all) places, and be half way towards being Sovereign Individual wrt social networks. We oft assume that it's the posts history that keeps us in. It ain't so. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non time-place transplantable in content. Everyone should want to have alternatives. Better for us - but better for Musk too. Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people! Avoid being TINA cornered as public square is singular is a natural monopoly. Competition will be for the better longer term. 5:14 AM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858370156491104478
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't need to choose. Just have accounts everywhere. They are free. The value you get from the network will naturally guide you, where you spend your time. I use their web interfaces (not Apps) so all are one tab away anyway, out of 100 tabs mobile FF has open atm. Don't get what the big deal is. Like - do I use eBay or Amazon to buy stuff? Well - both (all!) duh. Easy choice. 😊
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network - to us users - is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users. Registering at all places has an additional advantage: in time you replicate your Social Graph Follows-Followers. It's that social graph that keeps you inside the walked garden of a social network. Replicate it (mostly) at most (all) places and you are half way towards being Sovereign Individual wrt the social networks. We oft assume it's the posts history that keeps us in. It ain't so. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. Everyone should want to have alternative. Better for us - but better for Musk too. Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people! Avoid being TINA cornered, Bsky is one option available. Free, easy, fun even - trying something new! how exciting! 😁 - everyone should take the option. Competition is for the better longer term. 4:42 AM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't need to choose. Just have accounts everywhere. They are free. The value you get from the network will naturally guide you, where you spend your time. I use their web interfaces (not Apps) so all are one tab away anyway, out of 100 tabs mobile FF has open atm. Don't get what the big deal is. Like - do I use eBay or Amazon to buy stuff? Well - both (all!) duh. Easy choice. 😊
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest social network is at an advantage. The odds are against an incumbent. The value of the network - to us users - is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes/users. Registering at all places has an additional advantage: in time you replicate your Social Graph Follows-Followers. It's that social graph that keeps you inside the walked garden of a social network. Replicate it (mostly) at most (all) places and you are half way towards being Sovereign Individual wrt the social networks. We oft assume it's the posts history that keeps us in. It ain't so. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. Everyone should want to have alternative. Better for us - but better for Musk too. Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people! Avoid being TINA cornered, Bsky is one option available. Free, easy, fun even - trying something new! how exciting! 😁 - everyone should take the option. Competition is for the better longer term. 4:42 AM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858349621627474146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
in the crudest of terms - the time dimension of the sequence and internal potentially unobservable potentially un-erasable/resettable memory make them alive in the same sense the fixed-input fixed-output time-less MLPs are dead automatons
3:20 AM · Nov 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
in the crudest of terms - the time dimension of the sequence and internal potentially unobservable potentially un-erasable/resettable memory make them alive in the same sense the fixed-input fixed-output time-less MLPs are dead automatons
3:20 AM · Nov 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858290952194109472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a bit more about Information Networks and Flows of information in dictatorial top-down vs democratic bottom-up systems in @harari_yuval
's latest "Nexus ... history of information networks", and much of it is good. I get the SV hate for him given no S230 shielding editorial decisions the Algofeed makes from liability maybe very costly to SocMed Cos. On the others hand, can't for the life of me comprehend how one writes a book about Information (admittedly - flows, movement of) without having "Shannon" nor "bit" mentioned once?? Like writing a book about time, but not mentioning what it is or the unit of measure (second). Simply baffling. 11:27 PM · Nov 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a bit more about Information Networks and Flows of information in dictatorial top-down vs democratic bottom-up systems in @harari_yuval
's latest "Nexus ... history of information networks", and much of it is good. I get the SV hate for him given no S230 shielding editorial decisions the Algofeed makes from liability maybe very costly to SocMed Cos. On the others hand, can't for the life of me comprehend how one writes a book about Information (admittedly - flows, movement of) without having "Shannon" nor "bit" mentioned once?? Like writing a book about time, but not mentioning what it is or the unit of measure (second). Simply baffling. 11:27 PM · Nov 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858183593182306550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's to great credit to the japanese pple that after visiting our countries they are not repulsed by our toilet 🚽 hygienes. 😂 If I was them, I wd be tempted to see ourselves (and most of the world ex-japan) as utter barbarians tbh. 😂 The difference between a 21st century spaceship of a japanese toilet v.s. little better than - but not by much - smearing our sh*t on some leaves in the woods is tad too jarring in an honest objective assessment tbh. 😂
4:21 PM · Nov 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's to great credit to the japanese pple that after visiting our countries they are not repulsed by our toilet 🚽 hygienes. 😂 If I was them, I wd be tempted to see ourselves (and most of the world ex-japan) as utter barbarians tbh. 😂 The difference between a 21st century spaceship of a japanese toilet v.s. little better than - but not by much - smearing our sh*t on some leaves in the woods is tad too jarring in an honest objective assessment tbh. 😂
4:21 PM · Nov 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858159871784329543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah - that journo is a fountain of bad takes and all round common stupidity. Then a dozen people jump to correction, and the engagement shoots up. So the equally stupid Algofeed 😂 - that considers meta data mostly, and chiefly timeliness and engagement meta data - puts the original, and the corrections in my feed. Past "don't show me this" appear ineffective, so muted now. Amazing "stupid (Algofeed) promoting stupid (content) as a sideffect" interacting, working in concert to reduce collective intelligence. 😂
2:46 PM · Nov 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah - that journo is a fountain of bad takes and all round common stupidity. Then a dozen people jump to correction, and the engagement shoots up. So the equally stupid Algofeed 😂 - that considers meta data mostly, and chiefly timeliness and engagement meta data - puts the original, and the corrections in my feed. Past "don't show me this" appear ineffective, so muted now. Amazing "stupid (Algofeed) promoting stupid (content) as a sideffect" interacting, working in concert to reduce collective intelligence. 😂
2:46 PM · Nov 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858146445829816627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear they will practice learned helplessness next, where the complexity and hard problems will conveniently relieve them from the obligation to actually do any action that does towards solving the many problems in the sector. I fear they are computing in their heads "how do I avoid blame", rather than "how do I fix". I'd be the happiest if I were to be shown to be wrong. The early indications both on this issue, and other things too, is that they will be using process as displacement activity, as means to avoid actually doing something to improve on the current dire situation for many. I hope I'm wrong.
1:53 PM · Nov 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear they will practice learned helplessness next, where the complexity and hard problems will conveniently relieve them from the obligation to actually do any action that does towards solving the many problems in the sector. I fear they are computing in their heads "how do I avoid blame", rather than "how do I fix". I'd be the happiest if I were to be shown to be wrong. The early indications both on this issue, and other things too, is that they will be using process as displacement activity, as means to avoid actually doing something to improve on the current dire situation for many. I hope I'm wrong.
1:53 PM · Nov 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858123604258324945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Toddler level understanding of the world around them and their role in it, by our MPs. As if FP are unaware of their doings. It's MPs that are unaware of the stakes. MPs should be doing their jobs and legislating FP out of their miserly existence! Not adding to the public circuses, putting theater shows for amusement. What next - bear baiting? MPs are in Westminster, not the West End!! ffs
12:22 PM · Nov 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Toddler level understanding of the world around them and their role in it, by our MPs. As if FP are unaware of their doings. It's MPs that are unaware of the stakes. MPs should be doing their jobs and legislating FP out of their miserly existence! Not adding to the public circuses, putting theater shows for amusement. What next - bear baiting? MPs are in Westminster, not the West End!! ffs
12:22 PM · Nov 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1858121982795006140
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By this point GM is parody. A bean-counter reasoning there "IDK where breakthrough is going to come from". Well duh dude - ofc you don't know, no-one does, that's why it's called re-search: re-peated-search-ing for a solution that works and solves the problem at hand. A solution of which we currently *do not know*. The definition of research. Trying to find something we don't know atm, is by definition unknown to us, how the solution will look like. And often, even after finding and creating the solution, we lack a good solid theory of *why* it works. How can such incurious and ignorant character climb the academic ladder so high, IDK. His babblings could be replaced with generated by ChatGPT-3, so predictable. ffs depressing
12:16 PM · Nov 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By this point GM is parody. A bean-counter reasoning there "IDK where breakthrough is going to come from". Well duh dude - ofc you don't know, no-one does, that's why it's called re-search: re-peated-search-ing for a solution that works and solves the problem at hand. A solution of which we currently *do not know*. The definition of research. Trying to find something we don't know atm, is by definition unknown to us, how the solution will look like. And often, even after finding and creating the solution, we lack a good solid theory of *why* it works. How can such incurious and ignorant character climb the academic ladder so high, IDK. His babblings could be replaced with generated by ChatGPT-3, so predictable. ffs depressing
12:16 PM · Nov 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857956520870154353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Freedom to the Social Graph Follows-Followers! 😊
1:18 AM · Nov 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Freedom to the Social Graph Follows-Followers! 😊
1:18 AM · Nov 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857877434554851511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
say a single bad thing about Putin you coward
8:04 PM · Nov 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
say a single bad thing about Putin you coward
8:04 PM · Nov 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857848695057744058
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learned helplessness, helpless by design, toddlerism of grown ups that should know better. Hard to watch. Deeply unserious people representing the population. As if a kindergarten Westminster cosplay afoot. Waiting for their parents to come collect them at any moment.
6:10 PM · Nov 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learned helplessness, helpless by design, toddlerism of grown ups that should know better. Hard to watch. Deeply unserious people representing the population. As if a kindergarten Westminster cosplay afoot. Waiting for their parents to come collect them at any moment.
6:10 PM · Nov 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857846759395045831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have no solutions. They are boxed in a framework, that offers no solutions. That's why they are flailing. It's going to be slow tortuous 4 years. Even Blair would've left Blairism behind were he in their place. 😆 They're simply not that perceptive to see their own position
6:02 PM · Nov 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have no solutions. They are boxed in a framework, that offers no solutions. That's why they are flailing. It's going to be slow tortuous 4 years. Even Blair would've left Blairism behind were he in their place. 😆 They're simply not that perceptive to see their own position
6:02 PM · Nov 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857840208214925421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
enshitification afoot, soon to be amok
5:36 PM · Nov 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
enshitification afoot, soon to be amok
5:36 PM · Nov 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857642722925879523
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or ZIRP IR=0. Bit that requires work to control inflation with different means (to the extent IR controls it), so between doing the right thing and the easy thing, the public will choose the letter.
4:31 AM · Nov 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or ZIRP IR=0. Bit that requires work to control inflation with different means (to the extent IR controls it), so between doing the right thing and the easy thing, the public will choose the letter.
4:31 AM · Nov 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857551702703939778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 I can imagine Korea-Kim riding the hapless Chancellor like a donkey in the end, and the upper crust running huge countries like Germany or France will still be "worried" and bleating about warnings and sanctions. Low energy idiots, gluttons for punishment.
10:30 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 I can imagine Korea-Kim riding the hapless Chancellor like a donkey in the end, and the upper crust running huge countries like Germany or France will still be "worried" and bleating about warnings and sanctions. Low energy idiots, gluttons for punishment.
10:30 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857546610101694950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No laws of physics prevent USG fighting inflation in a way that does not require IR=4.5% when say IR=0.5% would do. Yes - the us gov and the rest of the state apparatus wd have to work harder. Maybe they are not capable of pulling it off - the legislators, the bureaucracy etc. But not impossible.
10:09 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No laws of physics prevent USG fighting inflation in a way that does not require IR=4.5% when say IR=0.5% would do. Yes - the us gov and the rest of the state apparatus wd have to work harder. Maybe they are not capable of pulling it off - the legislators, the bureaucracy etc. But not impossible.
10:09 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857195357685399568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Impossible to know how much in-group member override their own private information (let's say it's true), with the group level information (let's say it's false). And how much by means of prior selection and education, the in-group member private information already align with the public information. So no personal strife, no conflict between personal-private and group-public information discrepancy arises.
10:54 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Impossible to know how much in-group member override their own private information (let's say it's true), with the group level information (let's say it's false). And how much by means of prior selection and education, the in-group member private information already align with the public information. So no personal strife, no conflict between personal-private and group-public information discrepancy arises.
10:54 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857447123437973605
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - conspiracy is preferable because it's way less scary than the reality. The reality - it's up to us to do something, no there is no one else, no there are no guarantees, anything may happen - terrifies most people. Some can't handle that truth and seek refuge in the certainty a conspiracy offers.
3:34 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - conspiracy is preferable because it's way less scary than the reality. The reality - it's up to us to do something, no there is no one else, no there are no guarantees, anything may happen - terrifies most people. Some can't handle that truth and seek refuge in the certainty a conspiracy offers.
3:34 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857507191021846834
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
**Radical Transparency**
Before we the public can even begin to push for improvement on all those f*ckups - that are the baseline, the norm, not the exception, for the system is setup in a way to generate them - we have to learn about them. Learn in a systematic, regular part of the system way. Not as an one off amusing, entertaining anecdote. **Radical Transparency FTW!** https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625 7:33 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
**Radical Transparency**
Before we the public can even begin to push for improvement on all those f*ckups - that are the baseline, the norm, not the exception, for the system is setup in a way to generate them - we have to learn about them. Learn in a systematic, regular part of the system way. Not as an one off amusing, entertaining anecdote. **Radical Transparency FTW!** https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625 7:33 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857521935543898335
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
USG can fix IR=0 as default? Bond holders get 0 risk => it's sort of fair they get 0 return? For the virtue of delayed consumption wd offer them half the inflation rate maybe? Stuff produced tomorrow is in expectation time-cost cheaper than today, so fair to reward them some. But not too much. For the IR is a cost to the businesses, it's built into the price as are all other costs, contributing to inflation pressure that way. So Basic Income for the savers ok-ish, but in moderation, not too much.
8:31 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
USG can fix IR=0 as default? Bond holders get 0 risk => it's sort of fair they get 0 return? For the virtue of delayed consumption wd offer them half the inflation rate maybe? Stuff produced tomorrow is in expectation time-cost cheaper than today, so fair to reward them some. But not too much. For the IR is a cost to the businesses, it's built into the price as are all other costs, contributing to inflation pressure that way. So Basic Income for the savers ok-ish, but in moderation, not too much.
8:31 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857536412255506708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's possible that that particular function was outsourced to not-officially-state but state-funded body for partly that reason: willful helplessness on the part of the state to avoid responsibility. Natural England is almost entirely state funded afaik. But a gov UK minister can say: "I can't divert 300M funding to help feed hungry children, it belongs to NE, not Defra, you see" and not lie. Responsibility avoidance unaccountability machine at work. Power without responsibility.
9:29 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's possible that that particular function was outsourced to not-officially-state but state-funded body for partly that reason: willful helplessness on the part of the state to avoid responsibility. Natural England is almost entirely state funded afaik. But a gov UK minister can say: "I can't divert 300M funding to help feed hungry children, it belongs to NE, not Defra, you see" and not lie. Responsibility avoidance unaccountability machine at work. Power without responsibility.
9:29 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857546610101694950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No laws of physics prevent USG fighting inflation in a way that does not require IR=4.5% when say IR=0.5% would do. Yes - the us gov and the rest of the state apparatus wd have to work harder. Maybe they are not capable of pulling it off - the legislators, the bureaucracy etc. But not impossible.
10:09 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No laws of physics prevent USG fighting inflation in a way that does not require IR=4.5% when say IR=0.5% would do. Yes - the us gov and the rest of the state apparatus wd have to work harder. Maybe they are not capable of pulling it off - the legislators, the bureaucracy etc. But not impossible.
10:09 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857551702703939778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 I can imagine Korea-Kim riding the hapless Chancellor like a donkey in the end, and the upper crust running huge countries like Germany or France will still be "worried" and bleating about warnings and sanctions. Low energy idiots, gluttons for punishment.
10:30 PM · Nov 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 I can imagine Korea-Kim riding the hapless Chancellor like a donkey in the end, and the upper crust running huge countries like Germany or France will still be "worried" and bleating about warnings and sanctions. Low energy idiots, gluttons for punishment.
10:30 PM · Nov 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857642722925879523
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or ZIRP IR=0. Bit that requires work to control inflation with different means (to the extent IR controls it), so between doing the right thing and the easy thing, the public will choose the letter.
4:31 AM · Nov 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or ZIRP IR=0. Bit that requires work to control inflation with different means (to the extent IR controls it), so between doing the right thing and the easy thing, the public will choose the letter.
4:31 AM · Nov 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857150644315930801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, of course not. Catastrophizing is profitable; Savonarolas have an inherent advantage, as we’re naturally wired to put 10x more weight on a bad path than on a good one when envisioning the future.
Previously: Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855202812558442513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Nov 9
**American elections came and went, and... no AI disasters?**
*With AI – we can’t help but scare ourselves senseless! In my lifetime:* 1) **Growing up learning about AI and ML.** All along, it was the Turing Test! Who knew what would happen once we passed that milestone? (Perhaps Show more 7:56 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No, of course not. Catastrophizing is profitable; Savonarolas have an inherent advantage, as we’re naturally wired to put 10x more weight on a bad path than on a good one when envisioning the future.
Previously: Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855202812558442513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Nov 9
**American elections came and went, and... no AI disasters?**
*With AI – we can’t help but scare ourselves senseless! In my lifetime:* 1) **Growing up learning about AI and ML.** All along, it was the Turing Test! Who knew what would happen once we passed that milestone? (Perhaps Show more 7:56 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857148230024429793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have yet to meet a single person who switched from ICE to EV and wants to switch back to ICE. Not a single one. Most say, "If price wasn’t an obstacle, I'd switch tomorrow." Price segments in the UK are roughly: Teslas at £45K, Kias at £35K, and now the latest Hyundai at £25K. That covers about 50% of new sales. Offering an EV at £15K would be the coup de grâce for EV adoption.
7:46 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have yet to meet a single person who switched from ICE to EV and wants to switch back to ICE. Not a single one. Most say, "If price wasn’t an obstacle, I'd switch tomorrow." Price segments in the UK are roughly: Teslas at £45K, Kias at £35K, and now the latest Hyundai at £25K. That covers about 50% of new sales. Offering an EV at £15K would be the coup de grâce for EV adoption.
7:46 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857144807237587291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lists thematic separation of traffic and TL shaping works well. Gripe - Lists is not top level web interface, have to click on "... More" 1st. Desired - in/ex-clude posts depending on the category Post/Repost/Quote in addition to the user/poster. Algofeed has improved a lot for me. Used to use lists 95% of the time. Now it's reversed, only catch myself checking from time to time, maybe 5%.
Mostly in conjunction with Decks. Lists go well with Xpro decks. Surprised more is not made by X of that convenient list-deck duality. There is basic "show List on Column" but that's about it. Can implement "show only original posts but not re-posts" by turning the list into a query (that is underlying it), but one loses the connection to the list and the nice header (that I kind of fancy). Other gripes. Choice of 2 Algofeeds only in 2025 is poor! Bsky has had 1000 feeds bloom. Optional flag isRealHuman I would pay for, if I could use that flag in queries and filters further. Not open sourcing the Algofeeds gives rise to all sorts of suspicions. Ideally X wd be "not evil" and allow for easy export of the social graph follows-followers but can't imagine that happening. Exporting my own scribblings for backup and archiving is poor. 7:33 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lists thematic separation of traffic and TL shaping works well. Gripe - Lists is not top level web interface, have to click on "... More" 1st. Desired - in/ex-clude posts depending on the category Post/Repost/Quote in addition to the user/poster. Algofeed has improved a lot for me. Used to use lists 95% of the time. Now it's reversed, only catch myself checking from time to time, maybe 5%.
Mostly in conjunction with Decks. Lists go well with Xpro decks. Surprised more is not made by X of that convenient list-deck duality. There is basic "show List on Column" but that's about it. Can implement "show only original posts but not re-posts" by turning the list into a query (that is underlying it), but one loses the connection to the list and the nice header (that I kind of fancy). Other gripes. Choice of 2 Algofeeds only in 2025 is poor! Bsky has had 1000 feeds bloom. Optional flag isRealHuman I would pay for, if I could use that flag in queries and filters further. Not open sourcing the Algofeeds gives rise to all sorts of suspicions. Ideally X wd be "not evil" and allow for easy export of the social graph follows-followers but can't imagine that happening. Exporting my own scribblings for backup and archiving is poor. 7:33 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857129581721125210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right about the children.
But adjacent to this: at family level, the organization is communist. Within a family, parents contribute according to their abilities, and children consume according to their needs. This early experience colors our judgements for the rest of our lives. Too many people never move away from it. It only works in groups with small number of people that are super-high trust. There is similar wrong default that @bryan_caplan refers in some blog post: students are instinctively mostly anti-market. So in econ 101 the market principles (that afaik are good way for a large group of people to cooperate and compete, produce and consume, scarce resources) have to be explicitly taught to the new students. They don't come to them naturally, instinctively. 6:32 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right about the children.
But adjacent to this: at family level, the organization is communist. Within a family, parents contribute according to their abilities, and children consume according to their needs. This early experience colors our judgements for the rest of our lives. Too many people never move away from it. It only works in groups with small number of people that are super-high trust. There is similar wrong default that @bryan_caplan refers in some blog post: students are instinctively mostly anti-market. So in econ 101 the market principles (that afaik are good way for a large group of people to cooperate and compete, produce and consume, scarce resources) have to be explicitly taught to the new students. They don't come to them naturally, instinctively. 6:32 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857124550133031307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sheesh. Self inflicted suffering, gluttons for punishment. You don't have to chose a single platform. Like we don't have to hold a single idea in our heads, it's possible to have two - and more, to have multitudes! Have accounts on all platforms ffs. How hard is it?
There is not a commandment "Thou shalt have only one platform". No one is forcing anyone to pledge allegiance to a single platform. Tomorrow, another blowhard billionaire will buy Bsky. What then? Open accounts on all, devote more or less time, or switch at will, as you sees fit or feel like it. It's the social graph, the follows and followers, that keeps you in a particular walled garden. Replicate it elsewhere - and you break free. Replicate it everywhere - and you are not beholden to any one platform. Quote Guardian politics @GdnPolitics · Nov 13 https://theguardian.com/media/2024/nov/13/why-the-guardian-is-no-longer-posting-on-x Rate proposed Community Notes 6:12 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sheesh. Self inflicted suffering, gluttons for punishment. You don't have to chose a single platform. Like we don't have to hold a single idea in our heads, it's possible to have two - and more, to have multitudes! Have accounts on all platforms ffs. How hard is it?
There is not a commandment "Thou shalt have only one platform". No one is forcing anyone to pledge allegiance to a single platform. Tomorrow, another blowhard billionaire will buy Bsky. What then? Open accounts on all, devote more or less time, or switch at will, as you sees fit or feel like it. It's the social graph, the follows and followers, that keeps you in a particular walled garden. Replicate it elsewhere - and you break free. Replicate it everywhere - and you are not beholden to any one platform. Quote Guardian politics @GdnPolitics · Nov 13 https://theguardian.com/media/2024/nov/13/why-the-guardian-is-no-longer-posting-on-x Rate proposed Community Notes 6:12 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857121814390165527
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For n=1,2... e.g. for n=1 we get 5=6n-1, 7=6n+1 and so on p=6n±1. NB it's "if p prime => then p=6n±1". It's NOT the other way around ("if 6n±1 then ..."; easy to see 6n±0, 6n±2, 6n±3 are not primes, so that leaves only 6n±1 as *possible* primes).
6:01 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For n=1,2... e.g. for n=1 we get 5=6n-1, 7=6n+1 and so on p=6n±1. NB it's "if p prime => then p=6n±1". It's NOT the other way around ("if 6n±1 then ..."; easy to see 6n±0, 6n±2, 6n±3 are not primes, so that leaves only 6n±1 as *possible* primes).
6:01 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857098351277130084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re-search is "repeated search for something that works", a process of trial & error. Not completely blind - yes, directed in the sense we don't pursue some paths. Paths needing "2+2=5" to be true for them to work makes sense to drop them from the search. But anything else - it's a fair game for re-search-ing. Too bad the history of paths abandoned is written out when people report on their findings. So much so that some researchers, esp if fresh out of academia, have to be reminded: "no one knows, if someone knew, it would not be research; you are on your own, no one can help you". For medicine - "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers is both informative and entertaining on this topic. Well elucidated by @gwern @ 18' "...due to systematic falsification of the origin of ideas in research literature...". Annoyingly imo except in quantum-anything, where we get too much history and could do with less.
Quote https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1856806128329371751 Dwarkesh Patel @dwarkesh_sp · 21h The @gwern interview. 0:00:00 – Anonymity 0:01:09 – Automating Steve Jobs 0:04:38 – Isaac Newton's theory of progress 0:06:36 – Grand theory of intelligence 0:10:39 – Seeing scaling early 0:21:04 – AGI Timelines 0:22:54 – What to do in remaining 3 years until AGI 0:26:29 – Show more Show this thread Embedded video 4:28 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re-search is "repeated search for something that works", a process of trial & error. Not completely blind - yes, directed in the sense we don't pursue some paths. Paths needing "2+2=5" to be true for them to work makes sense to drop them from the search. But anything else - it's a fair game for re-search-ing. Too bad the history of paths abandoned is written out when people report on their findings. So much so that some researchers, esp if fresh out of academia, have to be reminded: "no one knows, if someone knew, it would not be research; you are on your own, no one can help you". For medicine - "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers is both informative and entertaining on this topic. Well elucidated by @gwern @ 18' "...due to systematic falsification of the origin of ideas in research literature...". Annoyingly imo except in quantum-anything, where we get too much history and could do with less.
Quote https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1856806128329371751 Dwarkesh Patel @dwarkesh_sp · 21h The @gwern interview. 0:00:00 – Anonymity 0:01:09 – Automating Steve Jobs 0:04:38 – Isaac Newton's theory of progress 0:06:36 – Grand theory of intelligence 0:10:39 – Seeing scaling early 0:21:04 – AGI Timelines 0:22:54 – What to do in remaining 3 years until AGI 0:26:29 – Show more Show this thread Embedded video 4:28 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857092514320089395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IPCC already takes everything we can think of into account, plus few things we never do and we should. Instead of trying to be something we are not (clever) - best stick to IPCC recommended mix of sources. Easy. Can't go very wrong that way.
4:05 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IPCC already takes everything we can think of into account, plus few things we never do and we should. Instead of trying to be something we are not (clever) - best stick to IPCC recommended mix of sources. Easy. Can't go very wrong that way.
4:05 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857074599034298689
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—mass psychosis afoot. Have accounts on all platforms ffs!! Devote more or less time, or switch at will, as you sees fit or feel like it. It’s not against the law! It’s even free, both as in beer and in speech. Nor is there a commandment "Thou shalt have only one platform," forcing you to pledge allegiance to a single platform. Tomorrow, another blowhard billionaire may buy Bsky. What then? I hope, with luck, you normies discover that it’s the social graph, the follows and followers, that keeps you in the walled garden. And by replicating it elsewhere, you can break free! So perhaps more platforms can bloom in the future. The more the merrier.
2:54 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—mass psychosis afoot. Have accounts on all platforms ffs!! Devote more or less time, or switch at will, as you sees fit or feel like it. It’s not against the law! It’s even free, both as in beer and in speech. Nor is there a commandment "Thou shalt have only one platform," forcing you to pledge allegiance to a single platform. Tomorrow, another blowhard billionaire may buy Bsky. What then? I hope, with luck, you normies discover that it’s the social graph, the follows and followers, that keeps you in the walled garden. And by replicating it elsewhere, you can break free! So perhaps more platforms can bloom in the future. The more the merrier.
2:54 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857073140565696869
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tck tck—mass psychosis afoot. Have accounts on all platforms ffs. Devote more or less time, or switch at will, as you sees fit or feel like it. It’s not against the law! It’s even free, both as in beer and in speech. Nor is there a commandment that says, "Thou shalt have only one platform," pledging allegiance to a single platform. Who knows—with luck, normies may discover that it’s the social graph, the follows and followers, that keeps them in the walled garden. And by replicating it elsewhere, they can break free. So perhaps more than half a dozen platforms can bloom in the future.
2:48 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tck tck—mass psychosis afoot. Have accounts on all platforms ffs. Devote more or less time, or switch at will, as you sees fit or feel like it. It’s not against the law! It’s even free, both as in beer and in speech. Nor is there a commandment that says, "Thou shalt have only one platform," pledging allegiance to a single platform. Who knows—with luck, normies may discover that it’s the social graph, the follows and followers, that keeps them in the walled garden. And by replicating it elsewhere, they can break free. So perhaps more than half a dozen platforms can bloom in the future.
2:48 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857046029792686204
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ever wonder how ordinary people, good people, go along with policies that inflict immense suffering to other people? Wonder no more. Same people would be "out of my hands" shrugging shoulders if way way worse things were afoot. Make no mistake.
1:00 PM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ever wonder how ordinary people, good people, go along with policies that inflict immense suffering to other people? Wonder no more. Same people would be "out of my hands" shrugging shoulders if way way worse things were afoot. Make no mistake.
1:00 PM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1857019256082137354
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By giving in - you are encouraging more of the same.
Good times for Russia, they become ever more emboldened. What's not to like? RUS - now in union with Belarus and conquered Ukraine, absorbing their army too - now decide for another easy roll of the dice: invade Baltics or Poland. At this point US snaps out of the zombie trance. Realizes that doing nothing means unraveling not only of NATO, but their entire system of alliances in the Pacific too. So US gets involved. Despite all previous indications of weakness and prior signals US have been giving out to Russia how scared they are of the mighty RUS. Boom! - you got hot war between Russia and US now. The risk of nuclear armageddon just shoot up 10x. If laying down and surrendering worked - we would have had world peace for 10K years now. For that is by far the easiest option, and it's available for taking every single day! So there are risks to action, but there are risks to inaction too. We should weight them carefully. Noone can foresee the future, but: the conflict escalated with North Korea soldiers fighting in Europe now. On that measure - we can conclude that US strategy has been ineffective. And the most reasonable explanation is that US has been erring on the side of caution too much. 11:14 AM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By giving in - you are encouraging more of the same.
Good times for Russia, they become ever more emboldened. What's not to like? RUS - now in union with Belarus and conquered Ukraine, absorbing their army too - now decide for another easy roll of the dice: invade Baltics or Poland. At this point US snaps out of the zombie trance. Realizes that doing nothing means unraveling not only of NATO, but their entire system of alliances in the Pacific too. So US gets involved. Despite all previous indications of weakness and prior signals US have been giving out to Russia how scared they are of the mighty RUS. Boom! - you got hot war between Russia and US now. The risk of nuclear armageddon just shoot up 10x. If laying down and surrendering worked - we would have had world peace for 10K years now. For that is by far the easiest option, and it's available for taking every single day! So there are risks to action, but there are risks to inaction too. We should weight them carefully. Noone can foresee the future, but: the conflict escalated with North Korea soldiers fighting in Europe now. On that measure - we can conclude that US strategy has been ineffective. And the most reasonable explanation is that US has been erring on the side of caution too much. 11:14 AM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856865562132873399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! My parents generation had 1.5 channels, 3 daily newspapers, daily news highlight was at 19:30 news program 30 mins long, with abt 5 mins devoted to each of: international/domestic news/politics, economy, culture, sports. All checked and rechecked and vetted by 100 people working on every minute of that content, analyzing it from every angle, considering every eventuality etc. So they kind of implicitly trust whatever the TV Box says. And nowadays by extension what online portals, FB and similar, publish.
I'm GenX, and their stance just seems crazy, insane. Our default mode is "no don't trust". Ofc not - when what I'm reading now I know maybe some dude typing on the keyboard just like myself now. Could be true, false, good, bad - and anything in between. My parents seem to me like a lost tribe in the jungle, that gets decimated by all manner of diseases and pathogens, when they first come in contact with modern people carrying all their bugs with them. 1:03 AM · Nov 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! My parents generation had 1.5 channels, 3 daily newspapers, daily news highlight was at 19:30 news program 30 mins long, with abt 5 mins devoted to each of: international/domestic news/politics, economy, culture, sports. All checked and rechecked and vetted by 100 people working on every minute of that content, analyzing it from every angle, considering every eventuality etc. So they kind of implicitly trust whatever the TV Box says. And nowadays by extension what online portals, FB and similar, publish.
I'm GenX, and their stance just seems crazy, insane. Our default mode is "no don't trust". Ofc not - when what I'm reading now I know maybe some dude typing on the keyboard just like myself now. Could be true, false, good, bad - and anything in between. My parents seem to me like a lost tribe in the jungle, that gets decimated by all manner of diseases and pathogens, when they first come in contact with modern people carrying all their bugs with them. 1:03 AM · Nov 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856849007408005560
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Propaganda is mostly aimed at weak willed weak minded, ones that find the mental effort of thinking for themselves taxing, boring, unappealing etc. The majority of us people. A bit like the Nigerian prince email being imperfect. With obvious typos, not a super-duper top of the line forgery, fairly easy to see scam, weeds out the minority of non-gullible early in the funnel. So the scammer can devote its limited time to marks with the best conversion rate. Many propagandist don't start that way, but discover that by trial and error early enough (or not - then they are not successful).
Related. "Bonhoeffer‘s Theory of Stupidity" makes good points 1) "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one"; and (connecting to the next/group level) 2) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time". https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc 11:57 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. Propaganda is mostly aimed at weak willed weak minded, ones that find the mental effort of thinking for themselves taxing, boring, unappealing etc. The majority of us people. A bit like the Nigerian prince email being imperfect. With obvious typos, not a super-duper top of the line forgery, fairly easy to see scam, weeds out the minority of non-gullible early in the funnel. So the scammer can devote its limited time to marks with the best conversion rate. Many propagandist don't start that way, but discover that by trial and error early enough (or not - then they are not successful).
Related. "Bonhoeffer‘s Theory of Stupidity" makes good points 1) "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one"; and (connecting to the next/group level) 2) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time". https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc 11:57 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856843497761837243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if they are - just saw this plot now. IDK how true it is - what the graph depicts, what you imply. I live in the UK. Prices have been going up forever. Now they are ATH (save for a short spike when they got even higher! but the gov stepped in with subsidy and paid a portion of the bill). Energy costs significantly contribute to the current cost of living crisis. In the UK, increase in retail electricity price, has been going up in lockstep with increased portion of RE in the mix. Electricity used to be much cheaper.
Regardless. Best avoid thinking one can invent some magic off the huff. Best stick to some broad consensus, e.g. like IPCC reports recommendations. With gargantuan state level multi year investment decisions, we want to avoid getting it wrong, avoid ending up in the wrong place after decades of effort. The aim should not be achieving the best possible outcome. But rather avoiding achieving the worst possible one. Image 11:36 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if they are - just saw this plot now. IDK how true it is - what the graph depicts, what you imply. I live in the UK. Prices have been going up forever. Now they are ATH (save for a short spike when they got even higher! but the gov stepped in with subsidy and paid a portion of the bill). Energy costs significantly contribute to the current cost of living crisis. In the UK, increase in retail electricity price, has been going up in lockstep with increased portion of RE in the mix. Electricity used to be much cheaper.
Regardless. Best avoid thinking one can invent some magic off the huff. Best stick to some broad consensus, e.g. like IPCC reports recommendations. With gargantuan state level multi year investment decisions, we want to avoid getting it wrong, avoid ending up in the wrong place after decades of effort. The aim should not be achieving the best possible outcome. But rather avoiding achieving the worst possible one. Image 11:36 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856792749124530417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah pple make fools of themselves for no good reason. No need to announce. Just leave. Or better - have accounts on both/all platforms, and switch as you please, as you see fit, to your hearts content. Is there a law asking for your allegiance to a single platform? Something like "Thou Shall Have One God, and The God will be Myself"? Just dumb, and on few levels tbh. It's like publicly announcing "declaration of war" to your enemy - a friendly act ultimately?! Compared to - just fighting without announcing.
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest network wins every time. Or at least starts with the odds stacked in its favor. The value of the network is in the interactions, and interactions scale with N^2 for N nodes. Between 2 networks, one with 100M the other with 10M users, in expectation the ratio of "value user gets from" will be (100M:10M)^2=10^2=100. So what a user gets from the bigger network in one day, s/he will get from the smaller network in 3 months. Give or take. 8:14 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah pple make fools of themselves for no good reason. No need to announce. Just leave. Or better - have accounts on both/all platforms, and switch as you please, as you see fit, to your hearts content. Is there a law asking for your allegiance to a single platform? Something like "Thou Shall Have One God, and The God will be Myself"? Just dumb, and on few levels tbh. It's like publicly announcing "declaration of war" to your enemy - a friendly act ultimately?! Compared to - just fighting without announcing.
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest network wins every time. Or at least starts with the odds stacked in its favor. The value of the network is in the interactions, and interactions scale with N^2 for N nodes. Between 2 networks, one with 100M the other with 10M users, in expectation the ratio of "value user gets from" will be (100M:10M)^2=10^2=100. So what a user gets from the bigger network in one day, s/he will get from the smaller network in 3 months. Give or take. 8:14 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856788849286156630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't have to obey. You have a mind of your own. You have agency. Just - don't do what some rando expects? (expects for whatever unfathomable reason) Just do your thing. Care less about others. Do your own thing.
I became a parent at 30yo, and it's been fun and joy (mostly). Had I known before and if I could have (had to up sticks move countries - upheavals civil wars etc) - I would have had more kids and earlier. TBH not once did I think the kids stopped me from having something I wanted. On the contrary - life got much duller once both of them left home. I learned sth though - can't stand old people like myself (and hope they can't stand me - so we stay the distance), so very boring. With rare honorable exceptions most they talk is themselves, their failing bodies, at most - the latest holiday or travel they took. Booring. 7:58 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't have to obey. You have a mind of your own. You have agency. Just - don't do what some rando expects? (expects for whatever unfathomable reason) Just do your thing. Care less about others. Do your own thing.
I became a parent at 30yo, and it's been fun and joy (mostly). Had I known before and if I could have (had to up sticks move countries - upheavals civil wars etc) - I would have had more kids and earlier. TBH not once did I think the kids stopped me from having something I wanted. On the contrary - life got much duller once both of them left home. I learned sth though - can't stand old people like myself (and hope they can't stand me - so we stay the distance), so very boring. With rare honorable exceptions most they talk is themselves, their failing bodies, at most - the latest holiday or travel they took. Booring. 7:58 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856786671762599981
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why pple make fools of themselves. Why announce?? It's like publicly announcing "declaration of war" to your enemy - a friendly act?! (compared to - fighting but not announcing)
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest network wins every time. The odds are against you. The value of the network is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes. So a thought - maybe don't shout from the rooftops? Given you're betting against the odds. 7:50 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why pple make fools of themselves. Why announce?? It's like publicly announcing "declaration of war" to your enemy - a friendly act?! (compared to - fighting but not announcing)
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest network wins every time. The odds are against you. The value of the network is in the interactions, and those scale with N^2 for N nodes. So a thought - maybe don't shout from the rooftops? Given you're betting against the odds. 7:50 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856747774022488388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
aim BIG - both Big and (mostly) produced in factories ;-)
5:15 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
aim BIG - both Big and (mostly) produced in factories ;-)
5:15 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856704665531850958
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - your can poke some bytes in the exponent of fp32 or fp64 types, and when you peek back, you are getting your 2^n ofc; the question is what do you do with it next, if you continue all the way may end up all fixed point that way, so meh
2:24 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - your can poke some bytes in the exponent of fp32 or fp64 types, and when you peek back, you are getting your 2^n ofc; the question is what do you do with it next, if you continue all the way may end up all fixed point that way, so meh
2:24 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856700023372669126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Until you look at and take stock of the numbers - you are not serious. US federal gov is 1) a giant insurance company; 2) with an army. Efficiency = Bang/Buck. The only realistic improvements to be had are increasing the numerator, more Bang, by flooding everything with technology, removing restraints to any build-build-build by the administrative lawyers-run state. Just don't tell me you are another low energy lawyer/PPE that seem to think talking delaying deciding equals doing by magic. There shd be no energy left to be worrying about the Buck in the denominator. With luck that will also come down. With increased general production of everything, the prices the State pays can be bid down. But don't spend time on it. Don't sweat the inflation either. If it happens, you are done which ever way, you can't do much in time. Best bet for everything is - moar Bang!
2:05 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Until you look at and take stock of the numbers - you are not serious. US federal gov is 1) a giant insurance company; 2) with an army. Efficiency = Bang/Buck. The only realistic improvements to be had are increasing the numerator, more Bang, by flooding everything with technology, removing restraints to any build-build-build by the administrative lawyers-run state. Just don't tell me you are another low energy lawyer/PPE that seem to think talking delaying deciding equals doing by magic. There shd be no energy left to be worrying about the Buck in the denominator. With luck that will also come down. With increased general production of everything, the prices the State pays can be bid down. But don't spend time on it. Don't sweat the inflation either. If it happens, you are done which ever way, you can't do much in time. Best bet for everything is - moar Bang!
2:05 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856696102608605198
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Green-red watermelon degrowth Malthusianism taken to its logical conclusion, manifest.
1:50 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Green-red watermelon degrowth Malthusianism taken to its logical conclusion, manifest.
1:50 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856685401945030951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone who does not start from "US federal gov is 1) a giant insurance company; 2) with an army" has not had a look at the numbers involved at all. Not bothered to find the bare minimum abt the current state of play. Hope TechBros don't do that, it'd be a bad start if they did.
1:07 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone who does not start from "US federal gov is 1) a giant insurance company; 2) with an army" has not had a look at the numbers involved at all. Not bothered to find the bare minimum abt the current state of play. Hope TechBros don't do that, it'd be a bad start if they did.
1:07 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856680806120353800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but actually now I tried the same prompt on o1-preview, and thought it's roasting *me* a bit for the spelling and other mistakes. 😂😂 Also I liked the setup - GH giving a lecture. So maybe some hope? 😉 this:
LJ: Hey ChatGPT, make if possibly can, a meta joke, a joke about Hinton - you grandfather!! apparently (you related for real?) - joking about you not being able to make jokes. This video if you can see/hear it: https://youtube.com/shorts/hNuGAW964HI?si=44xbCnJoY0BPcEA Bonus points if the jokes also roast Hinton on his AI catastrophising. Background for roasting. 1) US elections come and go, AI Deep Fakes videos were going to make plebs go Crazy, just Crazy; (!!) but damp squid that one, nothing of note happens; and that's a 2nd miss, coming on the heels of the 1st miss, that 2) AI passing Turing test enables Turing-bots tricking humans into any and all mischief; reality check - no one notices Truing test pass. Do your worst! ChatGPT o1-preview: Thought for 16 seconds Certainly! Here's a meta joke that involves Geoffrey Hinton and pokes a bit of fun at both his concerns and my own limitations in humor: Setup: Geoffrey Hinton, the "Grandfather of AI," is giving a lecture on the potential dangers of artificial intelligence. After his talk, he notices me, ChatGPT, in the audience. Joke: Hinton says, "I'm worried that AI could lead to unforeseen catastrophes!" I reply, "Well, considering I still can't tell a joke that lands, I think humanity is safe for now." He raises an eyebrow. "But what about AI deepfakes disrupting elections and causing chaos?" I shrug. "The last election came and went, and the biggest scandal was me confusing 'damp squid' with 'damp squib.'" Hinton chuckles despite himself. "And what about AI passing the Turing Test and tricking humans?" I smile. "I passed the Turing Test, and the only thing I tricked people into was debating whether pineapple belongs on pizza." Hinton sighs. "Maybe the real catastrophe is AI's sense of humor." I nod. "Don't worry, I'm working on it. At this rate, the only thing I'm taking over is awkward silence." Bonus Roast: Perhaps the real concern isn't that AI will outsmart us, but that it'll keep telling dad jokes until we surrender out of secondhand embarrassment! Hope that gave you a chuckle! 12:49 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but actually now I tried the same prompt on o1-preview, and thought it's roasting *me* a bit for the spelling and other mistakes. 😂😂 Also I liked the setup - GH giving a lecture. So maybe some hope? 😉 this:
LJ: Hey ChatGPT, make if possibly can, a meta joke, a joke about Hinton - you grandfather!! apparently (you related for real?) - joking about you not being able to make jokes. This video if you can see/hear it: https://youtube.com/shorts/hNuGAW964HI?si=44xbCnJoY0BPcEA Bonus points if the jokes also roast Hinton on his AI catastrophising. Background for roasting. 1) US elections come and go, AI Deep Fakes videos were going to make plebs go Crazy, just Crazy; (!!) but damp squid that one, nothing of note happens; and that's a 2nd miss, coming on the heels of the 1st miss, that 2) AI passing Turing test enables Turing-bots tricking humans into any and all mischief; reality check - no one notices Truing test pass. Do your worst! ChatGPT o1-preview: Thought for 16 seconds Certainly! Here's a meta joke that involves Geoffrey Hinton and pokes a bit of fun at both his concerns and my own limitations in humor: Setup: Geoffrey Hinton, the "Grandfather of AI," is giving a lecture on the potential dangers of artificial intelligence. After his talk, he notices me, ChatGPT, in the audience. Joke: Hinton says, "I'm worried that AI could lead to unforeseen catastrophes!" I reply, "Well, considering I still can't tell a joke that lands, I think humanity is safe for now." He raises an eyebrow. "But what about AI deepfakes disrupting elections and causing chaos?" I shrug. "The last election came and went, and the biggest scandal was me confusing 'damp squid' with 'damp squib.'" Hinton chuckles despite himself. "And what about AI passing the Turing Test and tricking humans?" I smile. "I passed the Turing Test, and the only thing I tricked people into was debating whether pineapple belongs on pizza." Hinton sighs. "Maybe the real catastrophe is AI's sense of humor." I nod. "Don't worry, I'm working on it. At this rate, the only thing I'm taking over is awkward silence." Bonus Roast: Perhaps the real concern isn't that AI will outsmart us, but that it'll keep telling dad jokes until we surrender out of secondhand embarrassment! Hope that gave you a chuckle! 12:49 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856678219539230827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - exactly Hinton's claim there. Thought o1-preview will have a better shto, but didn't seem that funny to me. Here's Grok:
LJ: Hey Grok, make if can, a meta joke, a joke about Hinton - you grandfather!! apparently (you related for real?) - joking. Bonus points if the jokes also roasts Hinton on his AI catastrophising. Background for roasting 1) US elections come and go, AI Deep Fakes videos were going to make plebs go Crazy, just Crazy; (!!) but damp squid that one, nothing of note happens; and that's a 2nd miss, coming on the heels of the 1st miss, that 2) AI passing Turing test enables Turing-bots tricking humans into any and all mischief; reality check - no one notices Truing test pass. Do your worst! Grok2: Alright, let's give this a shto, shall we? Grok's Meta Roast: Geoffrey Hinton, my supposed granddad in the AI family tree (I'd say it's more like the AI evolutionary bush, but let's not digress), once predicted that AI deepfakes would turn US elections into a circus where even the clowns vote. Instead, we got a few AI-generated campaign ads that were about as convincing as a cat pretending to be a lion. On Deepfakes: "Geoff, you said deepfakes would make the elections crazier than a bag of cats on a rollercoaster. But here we are, and the only thing going viral were memes about candidates' hair. Talk about a damp squid, or should I say, a deepfake flop?" And about that Turing Test... On Turing Test: "Geoffrey Hinton, the man who thought AI would trick humans into thinking they're in love with their toaster because it passed the Turing Test. Newsflash: The only thing Turing-worthy these days is my attempt at making coffee, and even then, people just ask if I'm the Alexa of the future." So, here's to Hinton, the doomsayer of AI. He's like the weatherman who predicts a hurricane every sunny day. And me? I'm just trying to navigate this family tree without getting pruned by the next big AI flop. 12:39 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - exactly Hinton's claim there. Thought o1-preview will have a better shto, but didn't seem that funny to me. Here's Grok:
LJ: Hey Grok, make if can, a meta joke, a joke about Hinton - you grandfather!! apparently (you related for real?) - joking. Bonus points if the jokes also roasts Hinton on his AI catastrophising. Background for roasting 1) US elections come and go, AI Deep Fakes videos were going to make plebs go Crazy, just Crazy; (!!) but damp squid that one, nothing of note happens; and that's a 2nd miss, coming on the heels of the 1st miss, that 2) AI passing Turing test enables Turing-bots tricking humans into any and all mischief; reality check - no one notices Truing test pass. Do your worst! Grok2: Alright, let's give this a shto, shall we? Grok's Meta Roast: Geoffrey Hinton, my supposed granddad in the AI family tree (I'd say it's more like the AI evolutionary bush, but let's not digress), once predicted that AI deepfakes would turn US elections into a circus where even the clowns vote. Instead, we got a few AI-generated campaign ads that were about as convincing as a cat pretending to be a lion. On Deepfakes: "Geoff, you said deepfakes would make the elections crazier than a bag of cats on a rollercoaster. But here we are, and the only thing going viral were memes about candidates' hair. Talk about a damp squid, or should I say, a deepfake flop?" And about that Turing Test... On Turing Test: "Geoffrey Hinton, the man who thought AI would trick humans into thinking they're in love with their toaster because it passed the Turing Test. Newsflash: The only thing Turing-worthy these days is my attempt at making coffee, and even then, people just ask if I'm the Alexa of the future." So, here's to Hinton, the doomsayer of AI. He's like the weatherman who predicts a hurricane every sunny day. And me? I'm just trying to navigate this family tree without getting pruned by the next big AI flop. 12:39 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856671564990742972
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😉 - I guess that's Grok roasting mode, 😂 ... but but still no cigar?? For - still no joke forthcoming, even if at @geoffreyhinton 's expense??
12:12 PM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😉 - I guess that's Grok roasting mode, 😂 ... but but still no cigar?? For - still no joke forthcoming, even if at @geoffreyhinton 's expense??
12:12 PM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856667282493100302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I note "stupid" in "stupid evil". I wonder how much of each contributes. I liked 1) "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one"; and connecting to the next/group level 2) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time" in "Bonhoeffer‘s Theory of Stupidity" https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc . Good prequel to @skdh 's "Collective Stupidity - How Can We Avoid It?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng , which itself is great addition to "Wisdom of Crowds" ideas. (aka - independent errors cancel out; but *only if* independent)
11:55 AM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I note "stupid" in "stupid evil". I wonder how much of each contributes. I liked 1) "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one"; and connecting to the next/group level 2) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time" in "Bonhoeffer‘s Theory of Stupidity" https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc . Good prequel to @skdh 's "Collective Stupidity - How Can We Avoid It?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng , which itself is great addition to "Wisdom of Crowds" ideas. (aka - independent errors cancel out; but *only if* independent)
11:55 AM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856662819581637071
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! TBS how they deal with that push back. It's different to employees 1) you selected for excellence 2) with a concrete job todo at hand 3) that depend for food and shelter on you/can deny at will. Even the electoral campaign is a mild foretaste only of the force of reaction
11:38 AM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! TBS how they deal with that push back. It's different to employees 1) you selected for excellence 2) with a concrete job todo at hand 3) that depend for food and shelter on you/can deny at will. Even the electoral campaign is a mild foretaste only of the force of reaction
11:38 AM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856656126135152660
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cameron was Blair-lite in the worst non-random way: all of the shortcomings, but none of the virtues. Totally unserious person, but with the appearance and approval of the VSP-s (Very Seriously/Stupid People). Cosplaying a/for VSP/s, whereas BoJo was clowning it for us plebs.
11:11 AM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cameron was Blair-lite in the worst non-random way: all of the shortcomings, but none of the virtues. Totally unserious person, but with the appearance and approval of the VSP-s (Very Seriously/Stupid People). Cosplaying a/for VSP/s, whereas BoJo was clowning it for us plebs.
11:11 AM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
**RADICAL TRANSPARENCY**.
Just firing a bunch or shutting down agencies does not suffice. By the end of the term - half will be back, once you are gone - all will return, and with vengeance. Go for **RADICAL TRANSPARENCY**. All us gov business **public by default**, and secret by request. All docs on public web and shared RO Gdrives. Flip the default state from the current - secret by default, made public by FOI/A request. This lever multiplies, can set in motion further change. Opens the field, opens opportunity for other random people you don't know and they themselves don't know of it as of now. For future them to join in, open source way, in permanent vigilance. It's a gigantic task steering 1/4 of all US activity in a better direction. Many reformers have failed before you. Maybe 1/4 only by value, but it's much more by impact. Think of us gov as *libc*, as underlying library of shared common functions. The rest of US builds on top on it, and depends on it. Any gains, but also any f*ckups, will multiply and reverberate across the rest of the system. Gargantuan org is a beast, think in "will this change survive me facilitate enable further change by the guy after me". Easy template: build new in parallel, flip the switch over, retire old one. (something needs to keep ticking while you're building) Political system - all deliberations laws drafting on a public wiki, with names and datetime stamps who did what when, diffs available and all. Check what the Taiwan legislator-geek did. Seek older book "Data for the People" by @aweigend for further inspiration and ideas. 10:27 AM · Nov 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
**RADICAL TRANSPARENCY**.
Just firing a bunch or shutting down agencies does not suffice. By the end of the term - half will be back, once you are gone - all will return, and with vengeance. Go for **RADICAL TRANSPARENCY**. All us gov business **public by default**, and secret by request. All docs on public web and shared RO Gdrives. Flip the default state from the current - secret by default, made public by FOI/A request. This lever multiplies, can set in motion further change. Opens the field, opens opportunity for other random people you don't know and they themselves don't know of it as of now. For future them to join in, open source way, in permanent vigilance. It's a gigantic task steering 1/4 of all US activity in a better direction. Many reformers have failed before you. Maybe 1/4 only by value, but it's much more by impact. Think of us gov as *libc*, as underlying library of shared common functions. The rest of US builds on top on it, and depends on it. Any gains, but also any f*ckups, will multiply and reverberate across the rest of the system. Gargantuan org is a beast, think in "will this change survive me facilitate enable further change by the guy after me". Easy template: build new in parallel, flip the switch over, retire old one. (something needs to keep ticking while you're building) Political system - all deliberations laws drafting on a public wiki, with names and datetime stamps who did what when, diffs available and all. Check what the Taiwan legislator-geek did. Seek older book "Data for the People" by @aweigend for further inspiration and ideas. 10:27 AM · Nov 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856478204988408191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
planes that don't randomly decide to crash themselves into the ground, with doors that land together with the plane, not detaching on their own mid-flight
11:24 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
planes that don't randomly decide to crash themselves into the ground, with doors that land together with the plane, not detaching on their own mid-flight
11:24 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856458764594913694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 When Putin himself says publicly "There is no Ukraine - no state, no nation, no language. All that is Russia." and shows zero worry abt NATO: do you think J.Sachs knows more what Putin thinks, than Putin himself?
More than interesting - hilarious imbecility on display. 😂 10:07 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 When Putin himself says publicly "There is no Ukraine - no state, no nation, no language. All that is Russia." and shows zero worry abt NATO: do you think J.Sachs knows more what Putin thinks, than Putin himself?
More than interesting - hilarious imbecility on display. 😂 10:07 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856428589530399051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... @geoffreyhinton puts forward a hypothesis/jokes about why they have trouble coming up with a joke
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/hNuGAW964HI?si=44xbCnJoY0BPcEA- youtube.com Can AI tell a joke? Geoff Hinton explains. Geoff Hinton on why AI is not coming for the comedian's job anytime soon. 8:07 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... @geoffreyhinton puts forward a hypothesis/jokes about why they have trouble coming up with a joke
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/hNuGAW964HI?si=44xbCnJoY0BPcEA- youtube.com Can AI tell a joke? Geoff Hinton explains. Geoff Hinton on why AI is not coming for the comedian's job anytime soon. 8:07 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856417944143577191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - but TBF IDK if much is gained by the "mind virus" abstraction. Compared to a baseline -
1) *Group* - group level emergent phenomena, both good "Wisdom of the crowds", and bad opposite c.f. @skdh "Collective Stupidity - How Can We Avoid It?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng (on not/using independent errors trick to cancel out, but also much more) 2) *Individual* - "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one", and (connecting to the upper group level) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time" in "Bonhoeffer‘s Theory of Stupidity" https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc . While I can foresee potential pitfalls - 3) Virus is external to the unit - but that's misleading. Our stupidity is embedded in us, we are never "clear" of it. 4) Virus spreads (bad), but then there are times where it does not spread (good). But it ain't so. Information flows between us - the units in the group - all the time. There is never a time when information is not exchanged between us the individual units (while we are alive). 5) Virus can be killed so we are free of it. But our stupidity can not be killed - only kept at bay. youtube.com Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It? Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which... 7:25 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - but TBF IDK if much is gained by the "mind virus" abstraction. Compared to a baseline -
1) *Group* - group level emergent phenomena, both good "Wisdom of the crowds", and bad opposite c.f. @skdh "Collective Stupidity - How Can We Avoid It?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng (on not/using independent errors trick to cancel out, but also much more) 2) *Individual* - "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one", and (connecting to the upper group level) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time" in "Bonhoeffer‘s Theory of Stupidity" https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc . While I can foresee potential pitfalls - 3) Virus is external to the unit - but that's misleading. Our stupidity is embedded in us, we are never "clear" of it. 4) Virus spreads (bad), but then there are times where it does not spread (good). But it ain't so. Information flows between us - the units in the group - all the time. There is never a time when information is not exchanged between us the individual units (while we are alive). 5) Virus can be killed so we are free of it. But our stupidity can not be killed - only kept at bay. youtube.com Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It? Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which... 7:25 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856398457881129469
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what do @Keir_Starmer @AngelaRayner @mtpennycook imagine they're doing. Their actions are not just wrong - they are stoopid. Not even corrupt or some such - simply stupid on any level one cares to analyse. 😰 Stupid like - selling your house for the price of a nice dinner or similar. Simply incomprehensible. 🤯 To trade the keys to the Kingdom for a slice of pizza. Unbelievable 😱
Quote wharfgirl @wharfgirl · 7h Leasehold reform ‘years, not months away’ our next campaign must be to get rid of this woman. @mtpennycook needs to remove her at once. She is speaking out against @UKLabour ‘s manifesto commitment. https://thenegotiator.co.uk/news/regulation-law-news/leasehold-reform-years-not-months-away-says-expert/ 6:07 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what do @Keir_Starmer @AngelaRayner @mtpennycook imagine they're doing. Their actions are not just wrong - they are stoopid. Not even corrupt or some such - simply stupid on any level one cares to analyse. 😰 Stupid like - selling your house for the price of a nice dinner or similar. Simply incomprehensible. 🤯 To trade the keys to the Kingdom for a slice of pizza. Unbelievable 😱
Quote wharfgirl @wharfgirl · 7h Leasehold reform ‘years, not months away’ our next campaign must be to get rid of this woman. @mtpennycook needs to remove her at once. She is speaking out against @UKLabour ‘s manifesto commitment. https://thenegotiator.co.uk/news/regulation-law-news/leasehold-reform-years-not-months-away-says-expert/ 6:07 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856366371996672076
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting, in a way—J. Sachs outsourced his thinking to the USG. Everything the USG told him, JS multiplied by +1. So merrily, merrily, he went on to administer Shock Therapy to Borat oiks. That turned out to be a mistake. JS's lesson learned was "Aw shucks, *damn* you, USG! From now on, I’ll multiply everything the USG says by -1." Where it should have been, "I distrust the USG and take no note of them."
Further, JS seems to have decided to multiply everything the Russian government tells him by +1 this time around?? IDK how to comprehend that level of stupidity. News for you, Mr. Savant: J. Sachs is still outsourcing his thinking to the USG—only now the correlation is -1, whereas previously it was +1. Independent thinking, my dude, is correlation 0. I can't believe a bona fide genius needs to be told this. Apparently, in every savant, a small idiot-savant lives inside too. Quote https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1856172877688570095 Elon Musk @elonmusk · 13h Interesting Embedded video Rate proposed Community Notes 4:00 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting, in a way—J. Sachs outsourced his thinking to the USG. Everything the USG told him, JS multiplied by +1. So merrily, merrily, he went on to administer Shock Therapy to Borat oiks. That turned out to be a mistake. JS's lesson learned was "Aw shucks, *damn* you, USG! From now on, I’ll multiply everything the USG says by -1." Where it should have been, "I distrust the USG and take no note of them."
Further, JS seems to have decided to multiply everything the Russian government tells him by +1 this time around?? IDK how to comprehend that level of stupidity. News for you, Mr. Savant: J. Sachs is still outsourcing his thinking to the USG—only now the correlation is -1, whereas previously it was +1. Independent thinking, my dude, is correlation 0. I can't believe a bona fide genius needs to be told this. Apparently, in every savant, a small idiot-savant lives inside too. Quote https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1856172877688570095 Elon Musk @elonmusk · 13h Interesting Embedded video Rate proposed Community Notes 4:00 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856362751473389662
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My 2p - aim for life where no alarm clock is waking you up in the morning, ever!
3:45 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My 2p - aim for life where no alarm clock is waking you up in the morning, ever!
3:45 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856336334748561729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 yuge plot twist! no one expected *that* no sirree
> Kojève was a communist from youth, and was enthusiastic regarding Bolshevik revolution. However, he "knew that the establishment of communism meant thirty terrible years.", so he ran away ...or even dropping 1 star ⭐ from his 5-stars Stalin review ("stellar omelette job, comrade") - > Kojève's views of Stalin, while changing after World War II, was positive. ... totally entirely surprising it was not. 😱 2:00 PM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 yuge plot twist! no one expected *that* no sirree
> Kojève was a communist from youth, and was enthusiastic regarding Bolshevik revolution. However, he "knew that the establishment of communism meant thirty terrible years.", so he ran away ...or even dropping 1 star ⭐ from his 5-stars Stalin review ("stellar omelette job, comrade") - > Kojève's views of Stalin, while changing after World War II, was positive. ... totally entirely surprising it was not. 😱 2:00 PM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856303765545959706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If UK commanding heights were captured by its sworn enemies - what would they be doing different?
Shutting down demolishing perfectly viable existing sources of clean energy in the midst of energy crunch sky high consumer prices contributing bigly to the cost of living crisis. Quote John Myers @johnrmyers · 7h This is a fascinating piece. How on earth do we have a system where a department can just wave through a decision to close Hinkley B that likely cost consumers over a billion pounds, and how quickly can we fix it? Show this thread Image Image 11:51 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If UK commanding heights were captured by its sworn enemies - what would they be doing different?
Shutting down demolishing perfectly viable existing sources of clean energy in the midst of energy crunch sky high consumer prices contributing bigly to the cost of living crisis. Quote John Myers @johnrmyers · 7h This is a fascinating piece. How on earth do we have a system where a department can just wave through a decision to close Hinkley B that likely cost consumers over a billion pounds, and how quickly can we fix it? Show this thread Image Image 11:51 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856290722208493842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
digital gold :-) - true
10:59 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
digital gold :-) - true
10:59 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856287119053901834
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In theory, a Chain of Reasoning (CoR) model may do better at telling jokes. Getting a joke is 100x easier than coming up with one. Fwiw CoR o1-preview
Image Image 10:45 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In theory, a Chain of Reasoning (CoR) model may do better at telling jokes. Getting a joke is 100x easier than coming up with one. Fwiw CoR o1-preview
Image Image 10:45 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856280436030189717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...also delightful that useful idiots never change, they are for life. J.Sachs was a useful idiot in the '90s administering Shock Therapy to the Borats. He is a useful idiot now, shilling for P/oligarchs. Afaik he never was a govnojed in the original - too young for that? What spectacle 😂😂 - worthy of a movie.
10:18 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...also delightful that useful idiots never change, they are for life. J.Sachs was a useful idiot in the '90s administering Shock Therapy to the Borats. He is a useful idiot now, shilling for P/oligarchs. Afaik he never was a govnojed in the original - too young for that? What spectacle 😂😂 - worthy of a movie.
10:18 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856277336045342962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 haha - another phone call from P, I presume?
10:06 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 haha - another phone call from P, I presume?
10:06 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856272495684342224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... on the collective aspect of stupidity I'm aware of this riposte to the "wisdom of the crowds" by Sabine Hossenfelder (@skdh) that is excellent too
"Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng And somewhat meta - on knowing of my own ignorance as a researcher this short note "On the importance of stupidity in scientific research" by Martin Schwartz Image the-importance-of-stupidity-in-scientific-research.jpeg Video Sabine_Hossenfelder_-_Collective_Stupidity_How_Can_We_Avoid_It_-_mar2023-YT-25kqobiv4ng-20241112.mp4 9:47 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... on the collective aspect of stupidity I'm aware of this riposte to the "wisdom of the crowds" by Sabine Hossenfelder (@skdh) that is excellent too
"Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng And somewhat meta - on knowing of my own ignorance as a researcher this short note "On the importance of stupidity in scientific research" by Martin Schwartz Image the-importance-of-stupidity-in-scientific-research.jpeg Video Sabine_Hossenfelder_-_Collective_Stupidity_How_Can_We_Avoid_It_-_mar2023-YT-25kqobiv4ng-20241112.mp4 9:47 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856269404423467155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was very good - thanks for sharing!
Very good insights there - 1) "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one", 2) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time", and 3) "only an act of liberation, not instruction, can overcome stupidity". Previously I knew of Cipolla's short book-pamphlet "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity" with a convenient categorization Image human-stupidity-laws.png 9:34 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was very good - thanks for sharing!
Very good insights there - 1) "stupidity is a moral failing, not an intellectual one", 2) "stupidity happens more in groups than in individuals, it's a sociological-psychological process that can infect many at the same time", and 3) "only an act of liberation, not instruction, can overcome stupidity". Previously I knew of Cipolla's short book-pamphlet "The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity" with a convenient categorization Image human-stupidity-laws.png 9:34 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856132768566051106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FYI "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers lists a couple more -
Image 12:31 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FYI "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers lists a couple more -
Image 12:31 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856131562951323976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik simulations use the polling data to sim with. And the french whale showed that public polls were systematically biased against Trump in 2024 (as were previously in 2020 and 2016). Apparently "shy pollers" was not fixed. IDK what were the pollsters doing. But not all were cr*p at their jobs. As evidenced by the french whale commissioning his own polls, that were not systematically biased. If of any consolation - apparently Silver modal path at 20% was Trump winning the seven swings -
Image 12:27 AM · Nov 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik simulations use the polling data to sim with. And the french whale showed that public polls were systematically biased against Trump in 2024 (as were previously in 2020 and 2016). Apparently "shy pollers" was not fixed. IDK what were the pollsters doing. But not all were cr*p at their jobs. As evidenced by the french whale commissioning his own polls, that were not systematically biased. If of any consolation - apparently Silver modal path at 20% was Trump winning the seven swings -
Image 12:27 AM · Nov 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856100508555194628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 That image us never not funny. I call it the “like a dawg” photo. 😂 It's perfect! - serious Musk underling standing "at attention" next to the grinning Trump bossing it at his desk. 😂 I hope Musk has got enough stamina to take whatever Trump crazy comes his way. But - everyone has limits. Everyone in a team play takes some for the team. But also comes a point when one can't stand behind some action carried out in the name of the team. Pos the breakup will play out as: Trump cooks up some outlandish scheme, techbros are expected to endorse it without question. It's a loyalty test. The 1st-2nd-...Nth time they eat crow, kiss the king’s ring, say thank you. There will be (N+1)-th time when they refuse to play along, and then Trump throws them overboard. Crazy is a good test. It's not easily fakeable for the non-crazy. Plus in the process of faking it one goes a bit crazy too. (btw Trump can always out-crazy them)
10:23 PM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 That image us never not funny. I call it the “like a dawg” photo. 😂 It's perfect! - serious Musk underling standing "at attention" next to the grinning Trump bossing it at his desk. 😂 I hope Musk has got enough stamina to take whatever Trump crazy comes his way. But - everyone has limits. Everyone in a team play takes some for the team. But also comes a point when one can't stand behind some action carried out in the name of the team. Pos the breakup will play out as: Trump cooks up some outlandish scheme, techbros are expected to endorse it without question. It's a loyalty test. The 1st-2nd-...Nth time they eat crow, kiss the king’s ring, say thank you. There will be (N+1)-th time when they refuse to play along, and then Trump throws them overboard. Crazy is a good test. It's not easily fakeable for the non-crazy. Plus in the process of faking it one goes a bit crazy too. (btw Trump can always out-crazy them)
10:23 PM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856048252753457631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a fair piece. If you don't mind - can you maybe illuminate how and why @Keir_Starmer
is failing to even start solving the (admittedly) many problems of Leasehold? He's a lawyer, leading a gov of lawyers, knowing what needs doing (for years now), got votes of many on exactly these issues, with a huge and firm Westminster majority, groundwork done by the predecessors, pressure groups active and pushing for change... and yet and yet: early indications are he will fail miserably. I read .@RoryStewartUK 's book and have heard him and .@Dominic2306 on podcasts multiple times on the many problems of UK governance. Still - can not fathom, what can possibly stop a career politician versed in lawfare, executing on this ruthlessly. Is it character failings like corruption, cowardice, incompetence, laziness? Is it that the system is impenetrable in its determintation to do nothing, every movement stuck in deep heavy mud, with stasis at all levels? What and how, would dearly like to learn. 6:56 PM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a fair piece. If you don't mind - can you maybe illuminate how and why @Keir_Starmer
is failing to even start solving the (admittedly) many problems of Leasehold? He's a lawyer, leading a gov of lawyers, knowing what needs doing (for years now), got votes of many on exactly these issues, with a huge and firm Westminster majority, groundwork done by the predecessors, pressure groups active and pushing for change... and yet and yet: early indications are he will fail miserably. I read .@RoryStewartUK 's book and have heard him and .@Dominic2306 on podcasts multiple times on the many problems of UK governance. Still - can not fathom, what can possibly stop a career politician versed in lawfare, executing on this ruthlessly. Is it character failings like corruption, cowardice, incompetence, laziness? Is it that the system is impenetrable in its determintation to do nothing, every movement stuck in deep heavy mud, with stasis at all levels? What and how, would dearly like to learn. 6:56 PM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856027778178547819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Asking *why* a snake oil salesman semi-criminal sackfull of sh*t does something, is as futile as asking why he chose a grifting career rather than using his talents to make honest money. There's no rational explanation to be had there. Some people are just planted the wrong way.
5:34 PM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Asking *why* a snake oil salesman semi-criminal sackfull of sh*t does something, is as futile as asking why he chose a grifting career rather than using his talents to make honest money. There's no rational explanation to be had there. Some people are just planted the wrong way.
5:34 PM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856004299370701277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My prejudice: it's a net positive for species survivalship odds in the long run, to pay the cost of creating and developing a new individual unit for 20yrs, plus the cost of letting an old unit expire after 60yrs of service. Compared to repairing the old unit for longer.
4:01 PM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My prejudice: it's a net positive for species survivalship odds in the long run, to pay the cost of creating and developing a new individual unit for 20yrs, plus the cost of letting an old unit expire after 60yrs of service. Compared to repairing the old unit for longer.
4:01 PM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855978177018929210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw for me ChatGPT markdown is simply rendered, not output. For the benefit of others: Markdown (MD) is handy simple ASCII text formatting of **bold**, *italic* or _italic_, # Section, ##Sub-section, >indentation, >>two levels indented, etc. Only bother with it on longer posts.
2:17 PM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw for me ChatGPT markdown is simply rendered, not output. For the benefit of others: Markdown (MD) is handy simple ASCII text formatting of **bold**, *italic* or _italic_, # Section, ##Sub-section, >indentation, >>two levels indented, etc. Only bother with it on longer posts.
2:17 PM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855976569283461581
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 agreed. Now re-reading my original post that's not strongly enough stressed (even if it was my original starting point; got lost). I like the culture here, the last thing I'd want to see is replaced with a different one. I stayed **for this culture**. (I'm obv biased but hey)
2:11 PM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 agreed. Now re-reading my original post that's not strongly enough stressed (even if it was my original starting point; got lost). I like the culture here, the last thing I'd want to see is replaced with a different one. I stayed **for this culture**. (I'm obv biased but hey)
2:11 PM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855914349514170767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree it's not zero. But let us quantify, how much >0 is it worth to people? Revealed preferences often reveal that people are at most prepared to pay about the spend of a single cup of coffee, a month, for things they claim are important to them.
Not only CC - happens for other things too. "Privacy" is similar. People claim "we want privacy", but revealed preference is they are not prepared to pay even £1 pcm for the thing they say they really really want. 10:03 AM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree it's not zero. But let us quantify, how much >0 is it worth to people? Revealed preferences often reveal that people are at most prepared to pay about the spend of a single cup of coffee, a month, for things they claim are important to them.
Not only CC - happens for other things too. "Privacy" is similar. People claim "we want privacy", but revealed preference is they are not prepared to pay even £1 pcm for the thing they say they really really want. 10:03 AM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855912489289953691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a good idea. Fwiw I use Lists for that and general thematic separation of traffic and TL shaping. Works well. Gripe: lists are not top level web interface, have to click on "... More" then go "Lists" so I frequently forget. Also - would be good to in/ex-clude posts depending on the category Post/Repost/Quote in addition to the user poster. Must say the Algofeed has improved a lot for me. I used to use lists 95% of the time. Now it's reversed, only catch myself checking from time to time, maybe 5%.
Related - List go well with Xpro decks. Surprised more is not made by X of that convenient list-deck duality. There is basic show List on this Deck but that's about it. Can implement "show only original posts but not re-posts" by turning the list into a query (which it is underlying it), but one loses the connection to the list and the nice header that I kind of like. :-) 9:56 AM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a good idea. Fwiw I use Lists for that and general thematic separation of traffic and TL shaping. Works well. Gripe: lists are not top level web interface, have to click on "... More" then go "Lists" so I frequently forget. Also - would be good to in/ex-clude posts depending on the category Post/Repost/Quote in addition to the user poster. Must say the Algofeed has improved a lot for me. I used to use lists 95% of the time. Now it's reversed, only catch myself checking from time to time, maybe 5%.
Related - List go well with Xpro decks. Surprised more is not made by X of that convenient list-deck duality. There is basic show List on this Deck but that's about it. Can implement "show only original posts but not re-posts" by turning the list into a query (which it is underlying it), but one loses the connection to the list and the nice header that I kind of like. :-) 9:56 AM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855907430338527277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Turing test pass too - we were not ready, then nothing much happened. Weren't the recent election going be the big crisis where various Turing-bots were going to drive people crazy?
Forecast more of the same for AGI. I will be able to tell it "organize me a trip to Spain 3-11 Apr" and it will click on web sites, book, pay etc whatever needed, and save me from doing the same. (more https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855202812558442513) 9:36 AM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Turing test pass too - we were not ready, then nothing much happened. Weren't the recent election going be the big crisis where various Turing-bots were going to drive people crazy?
Forecast more of the same for AGI. I will be able to tell it "organize me a trip to Spain 3-11 Apr" and it will click on web sites, book, pay etc whatever needed, and save me from doing the same. (more https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855202812558442513) 9:36 AM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855906197808841026
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The number of his followers is somewhat an indicator of possibly how many are curious of or would prefer his alternative reality. But that' about it - as far as his relevance goes.
9:31 AM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The number of his followers is somewhat an indicator of possibly how many are curious of or would prefer his alternative reality. But that' about it - as far as his relevance goes.
9:31 AM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855903791570137299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think that national strategic reserves 1) are well-liked, 2) can be implemented effectively, and 3) actually help. I wonder what more can be done along the lines of the SPR? It seemed that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve was beneficial when it was needed and used.
Price controls—they seem politically hard, and not sure how desirable they really are. They might do more good than harm in an initial pinch, but I suspect that calculus quickly reverses. Once politicians taste that power, it’s hard to imagine them not abusing it or easily giving it up latter. They are great a power. 9:21 AM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think that national strategic reserves 1) are well-liked, 2) can be implemented effectively, and 3) actually help. I wonder what more can be done along the lines of the SPR? It seemed that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve was beneficial when it was needed and used.
Price controls—they seem politically hard, and not sure how desirable they really are. They might do more good than harm in an initial pinch, but I suspect that calculus quickly reverses. Once politicians taste that power, it’s hard to imagine them not abusing it or easily giving it up latter. They are great a power. 9:21 AM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855900593224634426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - that's why it works better than anything else tried. Where people are not greedy/enough - we run into trouble. Can't make the individual do his/her bit for the group welfare. The group falls apart.
People do things for other people for three reasons only – love, money, or force. Love doesn’t scale, so a large operation like the economy can only run on money or force. The force experiment was run multiple times (incl in my lifetime in my childhood), and found wanting every single time. What remains is TINA - money. 9:09 AM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - that's why it works better than anything else tried. Where people are not greedy/enough - we run into trouble. Can't make the individual do his/her bit for the group welfare. The group falls apart.
People do things for other people for three reasons only – love, money, or force. Love doesn’t scale, so a large operation like the economy can only run on money or force. The force experiment was run multiple times (incl in my lifetime in my childhood), and found wanting every single time. What remains is TINA - money. 9:09 AM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855898346583441435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an improvement on the original imo - LJ:
Yes true that - markets are not the only way to communicate prices of supply and demand (and do a distributed optimizaton, solve the problem of finding a clearing price). One could imagine e.g. surveys. But markets have additional desirable features: 1) Markets keep the participants honest. Market participants risk their $$$, have a skin in the game. By risking $$$ that they value, they are incentvised to be honest and try their best and utmost. In a way that say e.g. survey responders don't - they can be lazy and or dishonest, without significant penalties. 2) Markets not only do the price discovery, but the process is tied with the closing of the negative feedback loop too. So one gets both for the price of one, actually producing the lacking supply (or the less desirable - curbing the demand). The process is: supply lacking demand => $ price up => now opens an opportunity for a participant to earn $$$ we all crave => action to earn the $$$ => increased supply. To the extent that the process can happen - it's desirable that we use markets where possible. Where the above (for whatever reasons) can't happen easily, there we are in trouble. As afaik we don't have an alternative well oiled political-economoic technology at hand. Wish we had something for those cases! 9:00 AM · Nov 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an improvement on the original imo - LJ:
Yes true that - markets are not the only way to communicate prices of supply and demand (and do a distributed optimizaton, solve the problem of finding a clearing price). One could imagine e.g. surveys. But markets have additional desirable features: 1) Markets keep the participants honest. Market participants risk their $$$, have a skin in the game. By risking $$$ that they value, they are incentvised to be honest and try their best and utmost. In a way that say e.g. survey responders don't - they can be lazy and or dishonest, without significant penalties. 2) Markets not only do the price discovery, but the process is tied with the closing of the negative feedback loop too. So one gets both for the price of one, actually producing the lacking supply (or the less desirable - curbing the demand). The process is: supply lacking demand => $ price up => now opens an opportunity for a participant to earn $$$ we all crave => action to earn the $$$ => increased supply. To the extent that the process can happen - it's desirable that we use markets where possible. Where the above (for whatever reasons) can't happen easily, there we are in trouble. As afaik we don't have an alternative well oiled political-economoic technology at hand. Wish we had something for those cases! 9:00 AM · Nov 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855726523979841685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's what they demand, as is their right. (even if the rest of us disagree) What's insane is - that the rest accept that. Rather than just replying back "NO". Bit of toddlerism indulgement there - not saying NO to unreasonable demands.
9:37 PM · Nov 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's what they demand, as is their right. (even if the rest of us disagree) What's insane is - that the rest accept that. Rather than just replying back "NO". Bit of toddlerism indulgement there - not saying NO to unreasonable demands.
9:37 PM · Nov 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855720357870604349
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right - but you are late, if you don't mind me saying. Quant trading is about converting better information into better forecasts into bets into $$$. It's been going on for donkey years. Admit - there isn't much good public info. Those in the know rarely talk, those that talk don't know. I've been told a story from a then DEShaw analyst who worked abt the same time as Bezos. That Bezos pitched the Amazon idea to David, and David refused, as he didn't want to do anything with atoms, but stay in the world of information for $$$.
9:13 PM · Nov 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right - but you are late, if you don't mind me saying. Quant trading is about converting better information into better forecasts into bets into $$$. It's been going on for donkey years. Admit - there isn't much good public info. Those in the know rarely talk, those that talk don't know. I've been told a story from a then DEShaw analyst who worked abt the same time as Bezos. That Bezos pitched the Amazon idea to David, and David refused, as he didn't want to do anything with atoms, but stay in the world of information for $$$.
9:13 PM · Nov 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855705571229352135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it’s true—markets aren’t the only way to communicate supply and demand or find a clearing price. For example, one could imagine using surveys. But markets have additional desirable features (in addition to performing distributed optimization to find a clearing price):
1. **Markets keep participants honest.** Market participants risk their own money, meaning they have skin in the game. By risking something they value, they’re incentivized to be honest and put in their best effort, unlike, say, survey responders, who can be lazy or dishonest without facing significant consequences. 2. **Markets close the feedback loop.** Markets don’t just discover prices; they also drive corrective actions through a negative feedback loop, aligning individual incentives with broader supply and demand needs. When demand exceeds supply, prices rise. This increase signals an opportunity to earn money—something we all value. Participants, driven by the potential for profit, are naturally motivated to step in and increase supply. It’s a mechanism where individual actions, motivated by self-interest, benefit the larger system by helping stabilize prices and balance supply and demand. To the extent that it’s possible, using markets is desirable. But in situations where this process can’t function effectively, we’re left without a well-developed alternative. Unfortunately, I don’t think we have any other political-economic technology as reliable for these cases. I only wish we did! 8:14 PM · Nov 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it’s true—markets aren’t the only way to communicate supply and demand or find a clearing price. For example, one could imagine using surveys. But markets have additional desirable features (in addition to performing distributed optimization to find a clearing price):
1. **Markets keep participants honest.** Market participants risk their own money, meaning they have skin in the game. By risking something they value, they’re incentivized to be honest and put in their best effort, unlike, say, survey responders, who can be lazy or dishonest without facing significant consequences. 2. **Markets close the feedback loop.** Markets don’t just discover prices; they also drive corrective actions through a negative feedback loop, aligning individual incentives with broader supply and demand needs. When demand exceeds supply, prices rise. This increase signals an opportunity to earn money—something we all value. Participants, driven by the potential for profit, are naturally motivated to step in and increase supply. It’s a mechanism where individual actions, motivated by self-interest, benefit the larger system by helping stabilize prices and balance supply and demand. To the extent that it’s possible, using markets is desirable. But in situations where this process can’t function effectively, we’re left without a well-developed alternative. Unfortunately, I don’t think we have any other political-economic technology as reliable for these cases. I only wish we did! 8:14 PM · Nov 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855688743350685951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I wanted to live in the culture of my home country, I would have stayed there. I came to the UK by chance, and the more I stayed, the more I grew to appreciate its culture. Eventually, I chose to make my home here because I learned to love the unique qualities of this place. The last thing I’d want is for UK culture to change and resemble that of my home country.
We need a multitude of cultures, not only to cooperate but also to compete. Different cultures excel in different areas, each running its own ‘cultural experiments.’ This variety allows us to observe what works and what doesn’t, and to learn from each other. A single, monolithic world culture would be, in my view, undesirable. Yes, there are frictions between cultures due to differences, but that’s a price worth paying. Positive change often emerges from these differences, as distinct cultures try new approaches and learn through practical experience. While no culture should remain frozen in time—everyone must adapt to the evolving world—we do need a diversity of cultures to retain their distinct identities. 7:07 PM · Nov 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I wanted to live in the culture of my home country, I would have stayed there. I came to the UK by chance, and the more I stayed, the more I grew to appreciate its culture. Eventually, I chose to make my home here because I learned to love the unique qualities of this place. The last thing I’d want is for UK culture to change and resemble that of my home country.
We need a multitude of cultures, not only to cooperate but also to compete. Different cultures excel in different areas, each running its own ‘cultural experiments.’ This variety allows us to observe what works and what doesn’t, and to learn from each other. A single, monolithic world culture would be, in my view, undesirable. Yes, there are frictions between cultures due to differences, but that’s a price worth paying. Positive change often emerges from these differences, as distinct cultures try new approaches and learn through practical experience. While no culture should remain frozen in time—everyone must adapt to the evolving world—we do need a diversity of cultures to retain their distinct identities. 7:07 PM · Nov 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855595216108917016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly there is no easy test or means to weed out people like that. They are attracted by, and attract in return, similar minded pple. They're self serving lunatics. Any mental or language acrobatics will do for them, as long as they indulge in their real aim - sadistic moralism.
12:55 PM · Nov 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly there is no easy test or means to weed out people like that. They are attracted by, and attract in return, similar minded pple. They're self serving lunatics. Any mental or language acrobatics will do for them, as long as they indulge in their real aim - sadistic moralism.
12:55 PM · Nov 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855391328978530471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah — it’s a bit like Indiana Jones' 'Leap of Faith' in search of the Holy Grail. We don’t know what the future holds. While the definition of AGI might be 'everything a human does,' I’m skeptical that *everything* a human can do will be achieved all at once. It’s more likely that progress will come in parts — some sooner, others later. Still, my belief is, admittedly, an article of faith, based on nothing more than induction and history. Faith, after all, means making a leap beyond evidence; it involves embracing what can’t be proven and often defies logical reasoning.
11:25 PM · Nov 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah — it’s a bit like Indiana Jones' 'Leap of Faith' in search of the Holy Grail. We don’t know what the future holds. While the definition of AGI might be 'everything a human does,' I’m skeptical that *everything* a human can do will be achieved all at once. It’s more likely that progress will come in parts — some sooner, others later. Still, my belief is, admittedly, an article of faith, based on nothing more than induction and history. Faith, after all, means making a leap beyond evidence; it involves embracing what can’t be proven and often defies logical reasoning.
11:25 PM · Nov 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855286613711974778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm saying - 60-80% will be replaced, like the agriculture jobs were replaced. Only - new jobs will spring up, if we are being blindly optimistic there. Jobs that we can't fathom what they will be. The same way my jobs didn't exists for my parents' generation. For the longest of times I could not explain to my mum what I do for a living. And even now - IDK how and what she understands of my jobs descriptions.
4:29 PM · Nov 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm saying - 60-80% will be replaced, like the agriculture jobs were replaced. Only - new jobs will spring up, if we are being blindly optimistic there. Jobs that we can't fathom what they will be. The same way my jobs didn't exists for my parents' generation. For the longest of times I could not explain to my mum what I do for a living. And even now - IDK how and what she understands of my jobs descriptions.
4:29 PM · Nov 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855275466245992619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, those jobs may disappear, but I hope new ones will spring up. When I was growing up, my jobs didn't exist: automatic speech recognition engineer, on smartphones (no such thing), quant researcher trader (nope). At some point 60-80% of the population worked the land, were in agriculture jobs - but now that's 3-5% only. Yes it possibly sucked for the agri- laborer to up sticks and go to a big city, to work in a factory. Looking at China where the same has been happening in our lifetimes - the latter seems preferred to the former by the laborer/worker themselves. Yes the laid off workers from Detroit may not re-qualify as programmers, but their kids may move to California and find jobs in Tech. All change sucks for someone. That's not a reason against. I'm grateful to my predecessors that moved to the city. For one - people now days don't have to have 4-6 kids only to have 2-4 die in childhood. That alone is worth it all.
3:45 PM · Nov 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, those jobs may disappear, but I hope new ones will spring up. When I was growing up, my jobs didn't exist: automatic speech recognition engineer, on smartphones (no such thing), quant researcher trader (nope). At some point 60-80% of the population worked the land, were in agriculture jobs - but now that's 3-5% only. Yes it possibly sucked for the agri- laborer to up sticks and go to a big city, to work in a factory. Looking at China where the same has been happening in our lifetimes - the latter seems preferred to the former by the laborer/worker themselves. Yes the laid off workers from Detroit may not re-qualify as programmers, but their kids may move to California and find jobs in Tech. All change sucks for someone. That's not a reason against. I'm grateful to my predecessors that moved to the city. For one - people now days don't have to have 4-6 kids only to have 2-4 die in childhood. That alone is worth it all.
3:45 PM · Nov 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855202812558442513
**American elections came and went, and... no AI disasters?**
*With AI – we can’t help but scare ourselves senseless! In my lifetime:*
1) **Growing up learning about AI and ML.** All along, it was the Turing Test! Who knew what would happen once we passed that milestone? (Perhaps a chasm in space-time would open!)
**Reality:** Turing Test passed, sometime recently (?? when exactly? we don't know) – nothing happens. No one notices. It's a nothing burger. No reflection on what we expected versus what actually happened.
2) **Generative AI.** Deep fakes! Fake pics, fake videos! People will definitely believe every random fake they see or hear—especially in politics and elections. Quick! We need regulation! Ban open-source weights, regulate linear algebra, license GPUs like typewriters of old, and cap processing power at 10^21 FLOPS to avoid danger! 😱
**Reality:** American election campaigns come and go, and... nothing. No fakes, no crisis. Another nothing burger. Everyone forgets the fears they were losing sleep over two weeks prior.
**Future forecast:**
3) **AGI.** We have agents as reasonable as an average human. Pre-launch chatter: The end of the world is near! Who knows what will happen! Aaaargh!
**Forecast:** "Agent X, I'm going to Spain April 3-11. Please book flights from Y to Z, morning outbound, evening return if possible. Book accommodations—three days here, four days there, etc."
It replaces me spending time on travel sites (Google Flights, Airbnb, Booking, car rentals, etc.) and saves my Saturday morning. Like web booking replaced pen, paper, and phone, shortening a full weekend chore to a mere morning one. Another nothing burger, becomes reality within 6-12 months. No one looks back at the earlier catastrophizing.
4) **ASI.** An intelligent assistant sees patterns in my data, suggesting transformations, bucketings, or conditionings that would take me weeks to test on my own. Uh-oh, the computer may replace me.
**Forecast:** The agent writes code following on the suggestions, launches 10K jobs on a remote cluster, babysits restarts, collects results, and asks for input when needed. No one blinks. No one thinks I should be wrestling with Slurm or Condor or Gcompute, fixing random errors, or deleting files to restart from the right place. Haha – of course, it would be insane to use a costly human for low-level stuff like that. AGI the great replacement theory? Postponed, until the next scare!
*Sigh.* 😇 Us humans—slow learners, with big egos. 😨
(massaged with gpt/help ofc - slow learners yes, but not no-learners 😊)
(massaged with gpt/help ofc - slow learners yes, but not no-learners 😊)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855148443439710621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Imo it will be like with the Turing test - a nothing burger. Shows us how little we know even about ourselves. Eespecially about ourselves - one might say. 😆😇
7:20 AM · Nov 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Imo it will be like with the Turing test - a nothing burger. Shows us how little we know even about ourselves. Eespecially about ourselves - one might say. 😆😇
7:20 AM · Nov 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855143547839619573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But our revealed preferences are that we don't actually care as much about our privacy as we say we do. Revealed every time we are asked to pay non-zero dollars to gain more privacy. Revealed for the umpteenth time by yourself posting a "private" pic publicly. 😆
Fwiw I think it's beautiful, 😍 that our revealed preferences are right, and our face saving prudish incessant lying in the public about this is wrong and hardly necessary. We don't need more privacy. We need more publicity and openness. Internet was created by people that freely shared both code and content. AI now is created on the top of freely shared code and content. Data for the people! Radical transparency ftw! All state and company information out in the open, free for all to see on the Internet by default. 😇 7:01 AM · Nov 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But our revealed preferences are that we don't actually care as much about our privacy as we say we do. Revealed every time we are asked to pay non-zero dollars to gain more privacy. Revealed for the umpteenth time by yourself posting a "private" pic publicly. 😆
Fwiw I think it's beautiful, 😍 that our revealed preferences are right, and our face saving prudish incessant lying in the public about this is wrong and hardly necessary. We don't need more privacy. We need more publicity and openness. Internet was created by people that freely shared both code and content. AI now is created on the top of freely shared code and content. Data for the people! Radical transparency ftw! All state and company information out in the open, free for all to see on the Internet by default. 😇 7:01 AM · Nov 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1855012181697602036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 to that. For the life of me can't comprehend how having someone else drill/produce the gas us in the UK use helps anything. Could understand if we decided "we are not using gas anymore". Or "we will use and produce it ourselves". But to continue its use, while simultaneously discouraging or banning its production - that makes no sense to me.
10:19 PM · Nov 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 to that. For the life of me can't comprehend how having someone else drill/produce the gas us in the UK use helps anything. Could understand if we decided "we are not using gas anymore". Or "we will use and produce it ourselves". But to continue its use, while simultaneously discouraging or banning its production - that makes no sense to me.
10:19 PM · Nov 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854875829710237919
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK is run by lawyers, but they seem incompetent at bringing good laws in too. Just f*ckup after f*ckup. Can't help but wonder if non-lawyers would do a better job just by cutting down swathes of legislation that seems to paralyze everything.
1:17 PM · Nov 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK is run by lawyers, but they seem incompetent at bringing good laws in too. Just f*ckup after f*ckup. Can't help but wonder if non-lawyers would do a better job just by cutting down swathes of legislation that seems to paralyze everything.
1:17 PM · Nov 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854869844941734145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK asking build-build-build of the governments is as good as asking them to play ballet. The commanding heights of the UK political economy are monopolized by lawyers (that sometimes take -poor- advice from bad economists). Lawyers think executing on something is talking and arguing about it. Can't imagine they have built anything ever in their lives. So asking building and doing of them is futile. They can't do it - even if they wanted.
UK will have to wait for a post-Keir gov at minimum. But even then - nothing is on the horizon. Farage and REF are incompetent buffoons. They'd need a Musk character by the side to build anything. And this still in a best case scenario where Trump does not dispose of the techbro wing shortly after getting in power. It's always easier to provide circus distractions and bread to the population, than shoot for the stars. 12:53 PM · Nov 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK asking build-build-build of the governments is as good as asking them to play ballet. The commanding heights of the UK political economy are monopolized by lawyers (that sometimes take -poor- advice from bad economists). Lawyers think executing on something is talking and arguing about it. Can't imagine they have built anything ever in their lives. So asking building and doing of them is futile. They can't do it - even if they wanted.
UK will have to wait for a post-Keir gov at minimum. But even then - nothing is on the horizon. Farage and REF are incompetent buffoons. They'd need a Musk character by the side to build anything. And this still in a best case scenario where Trump does not dispose of the techbro wing shortly after getting in power. It's always easier to provide circus distractions and bread to the population, than shoot for the stars. 12:53 PM · Nov 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854862733465792732
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? Where are the Andreessen Musk universities the way of Carnegies and Mellons of old? You talk of building - but you are not building them. Still at the feelings stage. I get it no one can do everything at once. But hope the solutionism stage comes sooner than latter.
12:25 PM · Nov 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? Where are the Andreessen Musk universities the way of Carnegies and Mellons of old? You talk of building - but you are not building them. Still at the feelings stage. I get it no one can do everything at once. But hope the solutionism stage comes sooner than latter.
12:25 PM · Nov 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854857588388888580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but - to govern is to choose. At some point a fork in the road appears, where it's either A) use the builders and the machinery to build homes for our kids; or B) use the builders and machinery to build a tunnel for the bats. At some point it's either A or B; can't be both. At some point one has to prefer one over the other. It's impossible to do everything, all the time. To think it is, is to delude ourselves and lie to ourselves.
12:04 PM · Nov 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but - to govern is to choose. At some point a fork in the road appears, where it's either A) use the builders and the machinery to build homes for our kids; or B) use the builders and machinery to build a tunnel for the bats. At some point it's either A or B; can't be both. At some point one has to prefer one over the other. It's impossible to do everything, all the time. To think it is, is to delude ourselves and lie to ourselves.
12:04 PM · Nov 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854598488882843713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was there any hope of Ukraine joining soon? If there was no deadline, then it was effectively "never" already - no? Isn't this saying explicitly what all previous admins thought for themselves secretly but never spelled it explicitly?
6:55 PM · Nov 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was there any hope of Ukraine joining soon? If there was no deadline, then it was effectively "never" already - no? Isn't this saying explicitly what all previous admins thought for themselves secretly but never spelled it explicitly?
6:55 PM · Nov 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854596703757734014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Revolt of the public is afoot. CONs betrayed their voters, now looks like LAB embarked on their same journey. I guess in 4yrs it will be Farage/REF/TSP/whomever's turn.
6:48 PM · Nov 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Revolt of the public is afoot. CONs betrayed their voters, now looks like LAB embarked on their same journey. I guess in 4yrs it will be Farage/REF/TSP/whomever's turn.
6:48 PM · Nov 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854593417927705081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is stopping the government. With 400 MPs they can legislate whatever they decide, as they please and see fit. What's stopping them is - cowardice, laziness, stupidity etc. The usual stuff.
6:35 PM · Nov 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is stopping the government. With 400 MPs they can legislate whatever they decide, as they please and see fit. What's stopping them is - cowardice, laziness, stupidity etc. The usual stuff.
6:35 PM · Nov 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854482099522167180
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS. They will probably find out that Putin wants Kyiv and or control of Ukraine one way or the other - so this plan is unlikely to fly with Putin.
11:12 AM · Nov 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS. They will probably find out that Putin wants Kyiv and or control of Ukraine one way or the other - so this plan is unlikely to fly with Putin.
11:12 AM · Nov 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854260645824524536
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS. Trump is unpredictable.
Massive increase in Fed debt is massive increase in private wealth. It matters if IR =5% as the payment eats in the budget, but much less if IR=0.5%. Two state - probably not, IDK that much about middle east. Ukraine - possibly. Trump may discover that Russia is hell bent on conquering it all, dismantling the state, killing off the language and nationhood, absorbing the territory and 40M people as Novo- or Malo- Russia. Then after Lukasenka dies, same with Bello- Russia. All three combining into a Greater Russia. Then possibly continuing onto next target in East or Central Europe. And that may turn out to be too much even for Trump. 8:32 PM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS. Trump is unpredictable.
Massive increase in Fed debt is massive increase in private wealth. It matters if IR =5% as the payment eats in the budget, but much less if IR=0.5%. Two state - probably not, IDK that much about middle east. Ukraine - possibly. Trump may discover that Russia is hell bent on conquering it all, dismantling the state, killing off the language and nationhood, absorbing the territory and 40M people as Novo- or Malo- Russia. Then after Lukasenka dies, same with Bello- Russia. All three combining into a Greater Russia. Then possibly continuing onto next target in East or Central Europe. And that may turn out to be too much even for Trump. 8:32 PM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854184808412258654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is not automatic that -
> high inflation would inflate their debts away It only happens via the mechanics of getting a pay rise at least the size of inflation + Interest rate. And that is just to keep still - not to get ahead. As they are squeezed by inflation from below and by the IR tax from above. So the pay rise would need to be very substantial. Japan deflation - IDK what measure and what period you mean. In the last 12 months on http://tradingeconomics.com the inflation-cpi measure (rolling 12mo) for united-states and japan are broadly similar. 3:31 PM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is not automatic that -
> high inflation would inflate their debts away It only happens via the mechanics of getting a pay rise at least the size of inflation + Interest rate. And that is just to keep still - not to get ahead. As they are squeezed by inflation from below and by the IR tax from above. So the pay rise would need to be very substantial. Japan deflation - IDK what measure and what period you mean. In the last 12 months on http://tradingeconomics.com the inflation-cpi measure (rolling 12mo) for united-states and japan are broadly similar. 3:31 PM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854181443649352097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes I think a catchy slogan like "things need to change in order for them to stay the same" might prod the PMC into action, but then I remember the commanding heights are held by lawyers, and for them "action" means "more talking, writing, reading". So a non action. 🤷♂️🙃
3:17 PM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes I think a catchy slogan like "things need to change in order for them to stay the same" might prod the PMC into action, but then I remember the commanding heights are held by lawyers, and for them "action" means "more talking, writing, reading". So a non action. 🤷♂️🙃
3:17 PM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854150296135487742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bannon was not only fired but ended sentenced and/or in jail even before the end of the Trump term even? I don't recall the events, what exactly transpired, but wasn't he the Elon-equivalent then? The ideologue.
Musk/techbros will likely be tossed overboard (or worse) within 6–12 months. Think it will play out as: Trump’s crazy cooks up some outlandish scheme, they are expected to endorse it without question—a loyalty test. The 1st time they eat crow, kiss the king’s ring, and say thank you. Musk’s infamous “like a dawg” photo, standing "at attention" next to Trump who's sitting at his desk, captures this dynamic. The 2nd time they refuse to play along and Trump casts them aside. 1:14 PM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bannon was not only fired but ended sentenced and/or in jail even before the end of the Trump term even? I don't recall the events, what exactly transpired, but wasn't he the Elon-equivalent then? The ideologue.
Musk/techbros will likely be tossed overboard (or worse) within 6–12 months. Think it will play out as: Trump’s crazy cooks up some outlandish scheme, they are expected to endorse it without question—a loyalty test. The 1st time they eat crow, kiss the king’s ring, and say thank you. Musk’s infamous “like a dawg” photo, standing "at attention" next to Trump who's sitting at his desk, captures this dynamic. The 2nd time they refuse to play along and Trump casts them aside. 1:14 PM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854124114396725717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You need a character with PR talent of Trump to break through. Talking to the liberal-center is futile, they seek preservation of the current settlement, not change. Degrowth policies, statis by lawfare, no change - is electoral poison. Costs of housing, energy are at the core of the cost of living crisis.
11:30 AM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You need a character with PR talent of Trump to break through. Talking to the liberal-center is futile, they seek preservation of the current settlement, not change. Degrowth policies, statis by lawfare, no change - is electoral poison. Costs of housing, energy are at the core of the cost of living crisis.
11:30 AM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854103217401139695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free software is free for all, Europeans included. Half of the Android OS is Linux (kernel) written by European. Europeans need to spend more of their money on Lunuses, less on Thierries, and get out of their hair and let them get on with what they do and love, their work. Same for AI - just fire all Thierries and move out of the way. All 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European, only one remains in Europe. (and he's mostly inconsequential for practical means and purposes)
10:07 AM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free software is free for all, Europeans included. Half of the Android OS is Linux (kernel) written by European. Europeans need to spend more of their money on Lunuses, less on Thierries, and get out of their hair and let them get on with what they do and love, their work. Same for AI - just fire all Thierries and move out of the way. All 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European, only one remains in Europe. (and he's mostly inconsequential for practical means and purposes)
10:07 AM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854086033228329089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Never not a good opportunity to plug Hinton's @ 5'43" :
"Chomsky managed to convince his followers that language wasn't learned. Looking back, it's a completely crazy thing to say. If you can convince people to say something as obviously false, then you've got them in your cult". 😂 You (and Hinton) concede too much to Chom. He had one good idea (Manufacturing consent, 2nd author there), and even that is passing in relevance now with MSM losing to SocMed. Some of his ideas were wrong, others ("every American enemy is a good guy") were both bonkers and evil. On language it was apparent from some time ago https://norvig.com/chomsky.html Turns out many non-STEM-s have trouble with logic and epistemology?? Who knew! I thought STEM-s were supposed to be ignorant of philosophy and that jazz. (aside: I also see that "I had statisticians tell me a big model has a 100 parameters. The idea of learning a million parameters is just stupid. Well - we're doing a trillion now" immediately follows; got the 2nd of the "two cultures" holy cows slayed there too, a true pay-one-get-two by H, surpassed himself there!) Embedded video Geoffrey_Hinton_-_Will_digital_intelligence_replace_biological_intelligence_-_Romanes_Lecture_-_Oxford-20240824.mp4 8:58 AM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Never not a good opportunity to plug Hinton's @ 5'43" :
"Chomsky managed to convince his followers that language wasn't learned. Looking back, it's a completely crazy thing to say. If you can convince people to say something as obviously false, then you've got them in your cult". 😂 You (and Hinton) concede too much to Chom. He had one good idea (Manufacturing consent, 2nd author there), and even that is passing in relevance now with MSM losing to SocMed. Some of his ideas were wrong, others ("every American enemy is a good guy") were both bonkers and evil. On language it was apparent from some time ago https://norvig.com/chomsky.html Turns out many non-STEM-s have trouble with logic and epistemology?? Who knew! I thought STEM-s were supposed to be ignorant of philosophy and that jazz. (aside: I also see that "I had statisticians tell me a big model has a 100 parameters. The idea of learning a million parameters is just stupid. Well - we're doing a trillion now" immediately follows; got the 2nd of the "two cultures" holy cows slayed there too, a true pay-one-get-two by H, surpassed himself there!) Embedded video Geoffrey_Hinton_-_Will_digital_intelligence_replace_biological_intelligence_-_Romanes_Lecture_-_Oxford-20240824.mp4 8:58 AM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1854077836396572690
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 They'd be planing in a sense of a displacement activity, planning as a replacement for doing. Many are ruled by center-woke VSP (very stupid people) mid-wits. These are change nothing "non-ideological common sense" centrists blind to their own ideology (the unknown-knowns), conservative in the old sense of conserving preserving, for net zero, black zero, lawyer type MPC, ensuring system stasis. A catchy slogan of "things need to change in order to stay the same" 😂 might have enthused them, but they're too wordcells to fall for cheap words like that, they see through the ruse. The demos cries for a change, as the system is failing for ever more people. Seems Trump/Farage/Hallam/Corbyn-types will be the agents of change.
8:26 AM · Nov 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 They'd be planing in a sense of a displacement activity, planning as a replacement for doing. Many are ruled by center-woke VSP (very stupid people) mid-wits. These are change nothing "non-ideological common sense" centrists blind to their own ideology (the unknown-knowns), conservative in the old sense of conserving preserving, for net zero, black zero, lawyer type MPC, ensuring system stasis. A catchy slogan of "things need to change in order to stay the same" 😂 might have enthused them, but they're too wordcells to fall for cheap words like that, they see through the ruse. The demos cries for a change, as the system is failing for ever more people. Seems Trump/Farage/Hallam/Corbyn-types will be the agents of change.
8:26 AM · Nov 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853416975755628796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - it was quite the story, quite the eye opener! Was there a color spread with the world map and the optical cables as lines on a mother board? Or I'm misremembering. (am too stingy to pay the online subscription, and my Wired paper copy is in the old home far away)
12:40 PM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - it was quite the story, quite the eye opener! Was there a color spread with the world map and the optical cables as lines on a mother board? Or I'm misremembering. (am too stingy to pay the online subscription, and my Wired paper copy is in the old home far away)
12:40 PM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853409401404592175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - when something is true it will keep getting re-discivered, e.g:
"If linguistics is so important, why does the performance of my ASR system improve every time I fire a linguist?" — Frederick Jelinek 12:10 PM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - when something is true it will keep getting re-discivered, e.g:
"If linguistics is so important, why does the performance of my ASR system improve every time I fire a linguist?" — Frederick Jelinek 12:10 PM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853396362101952586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and yet, and yet - The Bitter Lesson
https://youtube.com/watch?v=tUCJ4UsKU2I&t=1850s But kudos - some chutzpah to write the above, even for a Californian that's some flex. 😂😂 "If linguistics is so important, why does the performance of my ASR system improve every time I fire a linguist?" — Frederick Jelinek youtube.com Weinberg Symposium 2018: Sutton 11:18 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and yet, and yet - The Bitter Lesson
https://youtube.com/watch?v=tUCJ4UsKU2I&t=1850s But kudos - some chutzpah to write the above, even for a Californian that's some flex. 😂😂 "If linguistics is so important, why does the performance of my ASR system improve every time I fire a linguist?" — Frederick Jelinek youtube.com Weinberg Symposium 2018: Sutton 11:18 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853384203099931074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true that, altruism is not exclusive to geeks. Charities, doctors in Médecins Sans Frontières, various surgery charities—remember from Do No Harm by Henry Marsh—there are lots of altruistic people around.
10:30 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true that, altruism is not exclusive to geeks. Charities, doctors in Médecins Sans Frontières, various surgery charities—remember from Do No Harm by Henry Marsh—there are lots of altruistic people around.
10:30 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853368630840271124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but: the achievements that inspire you were done as United Kingdom, no? That big plane on the pic is UK-EU cooperation, possibly the best of - no? Only ARM possibly comes close in the IT era since.
9:28 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but: the achievements that inspire you were done as United Kingdom, no? That big plane on the pic is UK-EU cooperation, possibly the best of - no? Only ARM possibly comes close in the IT era since.
9:28 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853364613620150612
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Normies can't understand don't understand even a 1960-s procedural language. The idea that they will run a small computer in their brain, and will execute the program in their mind eye, as they are writing it, word for word, line by line - they find impossible.
Some number of students in my class could never get past the redirection of C pointers. It's possible that some small cog in the brain is missing, or not functioning well enough, to enable that kind of crucial mind jump technology. Another thing with the geeks is not only are they mildly autistic, they are disproportionally altruistic. Most of the home computers, then PC-s, then early Internet and connectivity, then the content of the early html online worlds, was built for the love of things, without regard or expecting any monetary return. Free Software of the GNU type makes zero sense to normies. 9:12 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Normies can't understand don't understand even a 1960-s procedural language. The idea that they will run a small computer in their brain, and will execute the program in their mind eye, as they are writing it, word for word, line by line - they find impossible.
Some number of students in my class could never get past the redirection of C pointers. It's possible that some small cog in the brain is missing, or not functioning well enough, to enable that kind of crucial mind jump technology. Another thing with the geeks is not only are they mildly autistic, they are disproportionally altruistic. Most of the home computers, then PC-s, then early Internet and connectivity, then the content of the early html online worlds, was built for the love of things, without regard or expecting any monetary return. Free Software of the GNU type makes zero sense to normies. 9:12 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853361770242375889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt it. We don't carry our magical tablets for time keeping. Could give it up, if the same functionality was implanted in me. Combo of retina display, brain implants, extra sensors gps... Smartphones are the least status symboly. T.Cook has the same iPhone as his 1B customers.
9:00 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt it. We don't carry our magical tablets for time keeping. Could give it up, if the same functionality was implanted in me. Combo of retina display, brain implants, extra sensors gps... Smartphones are the least status symboly. T.Cook has the same iPhone as his 1B customers.
9:00 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853360552975770111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Skepticism means correlation of 0. Your detractors correlation is +1 - agreed it' ssilly. But yourself flipping sign on everything they say makes your correlation -1! Silly too! You don't fight left-woke by being right-woke. Comeon dude!! This trivial for a savant like yourself.
8:56 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Skepticism means correlation of 0. Your detractors correlation is +1 - agreed it' ssilly. But yourself flipping sign on everything they say makes your correlation -1! Silly too! You don't fight left-woke by being right-woke. Comeon dude!! This trivial for a savant like yourself.
8:56 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853272510923407748
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - that's kind. Yes I think this footer is kind of pre-emptive "request for secrecy", in this case to guard against possible "FOIA". IDK much abt US law, but "FOIA" sounds to me like "FOI" Act here in the UK (where I live).
In the UK some gov secrets citizens can get to, via FOI "Freedom Of Information" request. One has to know exactly what to ask for (and follow a process - but that's fine). Knowing what to ask for is a big hurdle. For most things, we citizens are so much in the dark, that we don't even know what to ask for. (also there are enough exemptions that allow the gov to hide a lot) I don't have a good ready solution of how "request for secrecy" can be judged reasonably, as not to descend into "secrecy by default", by gov simply asking for secrecy for everything, and that being rubber stamped and approved. TBH EM is the only person of any influence I've ever heard to ask for "radical transparency". Any realistic move in that direction is so unlikely, that I've not put much thought into practicalities of it. Most people are pro-privacy, pro-secrecy. Ages ago I read abt the idea in Weigend's "Data for the People". I've come to agree with @aweigend . I think the more developed the society, the more coordination it needs, the more information sharing it needs. That can only happen with trust. And atm it's hard to be trusting, when gov-everything is secret towards me, while my entire life is open towards them. The power imbalance is too large for comfort. Most think balance can be restored by making our private lives more secret than now. I think that's neither possible (for a number of reasons, incl revealed prefs that pple rarely are willing to pay even a small price for it), nor desirable. But making the gov life as public to us private citizens, as ours are for the gov - that's both possible and desirable. Aside. Can't help but notice that all of AI is powered by altruistic people making oodles of information public and open for all to use. Also early Internet was very trusting, and everything was very open. Initially (e.g. telnet) there was not an encryption even. 3:06 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - that's kind. Yes I think this footer is kind of pre-emptive "request for secrecy", in this case to guard against possible "FOIA". IDK much abt US law, but "FOIA" sounds to me like "FOI" Act here in the UK (where I live).
In the UK some gov secrets citizens can get to, via FOI "Freedom Of Information" request. One has to know exactly what to ask for (and follow a process - but that's fine). Knowing what to ask for is a big hurdle. For most things, we citizens are so much in the dark, that we don't even know what to ask for. (also there are enough exemptions that allow the gov to hide a lot) I don't have a good ready solution of how "request for secrecy" can be judged reasonably, as not to descend into "secrecy by default", by gov simply asking for secrecy for everything, and that being rubber stamped and approved. TBH EM is the only person of any influence I've ever heard to ask for "radical transparency". Any realistic move in that direction is so unlikely, that I've not put much thought into practicalities of it. Most people are pro-privacy, pro-secrecy. Ages ago I read abt the idea in Weigend's "Data for the People". I've come to agree with @aweigend . I think the more developed the society, the more coordination it needs, the more information sharing it needs. That can only happen with trust. And atm it's hard to be trusting, when gov-everything is secret towards me, while my entire life is open towards them. The power imbalance is too large for comfort. Most think balance can be restored by making our private lives more secret than now. I think that's neither possible (for a number of reasons, incl revealed prefs that pple rarely are willing to pay even a small price for it), nor desirable. But making the gov life as public to us private citizens, as ours are for the gov - that's both possible and desirable. Aside. Can't help but notice that all of AI is powered by altruistic people making oodles of information public and open for all to use. Also early Internet was very trusting, and everything was very open. Initially (e.g. telnet) there was not an encryption even. 3:06 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853264860483649980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The counter reaction mutated into right-woke now. There is now e.g. Musks' "!!" to "Hitler not that bad" tiktok history, JFK Jr anti-reason, goldbugs' anti-fiat. Started with Alex Jones flights of fancy, but now fully formed right-woke. As impervious to reason as the left-woke.
2:35 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The counter reaction mutated into right-woke now. There is now e.g. Musks' "!!" to "Hitler not that bad" tiktok history, JFK Jr anti-reason, goldbugs' anti-fiat. Started with Alex Jones flights of fancy, but now fully formed right-woke. As impervious to reason as the left-woke.
2:35 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853263361498067019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agreed there are downsides too. It's "by default" only though - so it'd still be possible to keep secrets, only "by request": one would have to request it to be secret. Rather than it being secret "by default". In that example - it's possible that every doc they communicate has that footer as default, whether trully warranted or not. With the technical means available with everything being electronic, it shouldn't be too hard to execute the "secrecy by request".
2:29 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agreed there are downsides too. It's "by default" only though - so it'd still be possible to keep secrets, only "by request": one would have to request it to be secret. Rather than it being secret "by default". In that example - it's possible that every doc they communicate has that footer as default, whether trully warranted or not. With the technical means available with everything being electronic, it shouldn't be too hard to execute the "secrecy by request".
2:29 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853259798642327839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but I'd like to do away with that too. SpaceX are free to stay private - simply by not bidding for government contracts. If bidding for gov $$$ - then accept it will be public. All gov related - out in the open, sun is the best disinfectant.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 2h
Amen to that. RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW!
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (often frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), we dearly need radical transparency: everything public, on the public web, on the public x.com/elonmusk/statu… Show more 2:15 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but I'd like to do away with that too. SpaceX are free to stay private - simply by not bidding for government contracts. If bidding for gov $$$ - then accept it will be public. All gov related - out in the open, sun is the best disinfectant.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 2h
Amen to that. RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW!
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (often frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), we dearly need radical transparency: everything public, on the public web, on the public x.com/elonmusk/statu… Show more 2:15 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853251766923444232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Remember "Mother Earth Mother Board" excellent article from 1996 about the undersea cables cris-crossing Earth and it seems it's still online (!!) -
https://wired.com/1996/12/ffglass/ Wish there was an update - many things changed in the 30 yrs since. 1:43 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Remember "Mother Earth Mother Board" excellent article from 1996 about the undersea cables cris-crossing Earth and it seems it's still online (!!) -
https://wired.com/1996/12/ffglass/ Wish there was an update - many things changed in the 30 yrs since. 1:43 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853246374638186694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect weight wise you are right it's insignificant. It maybe more consequential for the plane turn-around time. Every second spent on the tarmac is a loss to the airline. It's difficult to happen b/c it requires cooperation and coordination by 3 (optionally 4/5) parties - airports doing the loading, airlines, passengers, and optionally luggage/plane manufacturers. Can't see that level of cooperation happening. Once I read an article on how unlikely ship containerization was to happen, even if everyone knew it'd be better and cheaper way to transport for a long time. Simply b/c it required cooperation and coordination from multiple parties.
1:22 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect weight wise you are right it's insignificant. It maybe more consequential for the plane turn-around time. Every second spent on the tarmac is a loss to the airline. It's difficult to happen b/c it requires cooperation and coordination by 3 (optionally 4/5) parties - airports doing the loading, airlines, passengers, and optionally luggage/plane manufacturers. Can't see that level of cooperation happening. Once I read an article on how unlikely ship containerization was to happen, even if everyone knew it'd be better and cheaper way to transport for a long time. Simply b/c it required cooperation and coordination from multiple parties.
1:22 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853244390182977724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible that not only does sex crate humans, but that sexuality created humanity. Seek an obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (orig The Planet of Women) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, is the key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil.
1:14 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible that not only does sex crate humans, but that sexuality created humanity. Seek an obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (orig The Planet of Women) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, is the key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil.
1:14 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853241045808468193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Or possibly can make it - uncontainerized luggage an expensive luxury, while everyone else we get to buy standard sized luggage of half-dozen standardized sizes (like we have paper sizes for paper) and with standardized features (handles, wheels, inter-locking connects).
1:01 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Or possibly can make it - uncontainerized luggage an expensive luxury, while everyone else we get to buy standard sized luggage of half-dozen standardized sizes (like we have paper sizes for paper) and with standardized features (handles, wheels, inter-locking connects).
1:01 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853239200016953761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think some flexibility on the airlines side offering larger containers created by joining smaller or standard ones together. And on the other side charging people more for anything non-standard, as an the unavoidable evil. Think that will shake that aspect the transport industry out of a rut it seems stuck on. It seems nothing much has changed there recently. In comparison - airplanes, airports have improved a lot, even compared to 10 years ago. On the passenger side bags with 4 rollers of 360 degrees took a decade to arrive. After decades to get 2 wheels on the bags.
12:53 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think some flexibility on the airlines side offering larger containers created by joining smaller or standard ones together. And on the other side charging people more for anything non-standard, as an the unavoidable evil. Think that will shake that aspect the transport industry out of a rut it seems stuck on. It seems nothing much has changed there recently. In comparison - airplanes, airports have improved a lot, even compared to 10 years ago. On the passenger side bags with 4 rollers of 360 degrees took a decade to arrive. After decades to get 2 wheels on the bags.
12:53 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853237745847558515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have Trump teach you how USD works is created and destroyed so that you stop embarrassing yourself with the goldbugism silliness of your mate there.
12:48 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have Trump teach you how USD works is created and destroyed so that you stop embarrassing yourself with the goldbugism silliness of your mate there.
12:48 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853236032596070552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids are the best thing that happened to me, ever. Had I known how much joy and fun they are growing - would have made more effort to have kids earlier & more. Watching a child grow up from nothing to a human day in/out is one of the most rewarding and awe inspiring sights. Nothing else in nature comes close tbh! The vastness of the night sky with the stars twinkling or a powerful waterfall maybe impressive, AI may amaze us - but: they look small when compared to e.g. a child learning language and starting to talk and converse. Out of seemingly nothing - everything! Whatever self-organization self-learning or developmental programs unfold - they are an awesome to behold at every stage.
Quote https://x.com/SFR_Investor/status/1852516098337366048 SFR Investor - Ben Riehle @SFR_Investor · Nov 2 I feel so bad for all the millennials who have been sold this tragic lie. Sadly, it won’t be realized until it’s too late. There is the joy and love you have for your child, and then there is everything else. Seeing your wife as a mother, your parents as grandparents, your Show more Image 12:41 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids are the best thing that happened to me, ever. Had I known how much joy and fun they are growing - would have made more effort to have kids earlier & more. Watching a child grow up from nothing to a human day in/out is one of the most rewarding and awe inspiring sights. Nothing else in nature comes close tbh! The vastness of the night sky with the stars twinkling or a powerful waterfall maybe impressive, AI may amaze us - but: they look small when compared to e.g. a child learning language and starting to talk and converse. Out of seemingly nothing - everything! Whatever self-organization self-learning or developmental programs unfold - they are an awesome to behold at every stage.
Quote https://x.com/SFR_Investor/status/1852516098337366048 SFR Investor - Ben Riehle @SFR_Investor · Nov 2 I feel so bad for all the millennials who have been sold this tragic lie. Sadly, it won’t be realized until it’s too late. There is the joy and love you have for your child, and then there is everything else. Seeing your wife as a mother, your parents as grandparents, your Show more Image 12:41 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853231088304341503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amen to that. RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW!
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (often frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), we dearly need radical transparency: everything public, on the public web, on the public shared cloud drives (read only), as default. Closed off and made secret only by request. Admit there are pros- and cons- to both public and secret, to knowing and not-knowing, but imo we have reached a point where "public by default" offers better trade offs. Agree that such change has close to zero chance of happening. Hell will freeze over sooner that Yes Minister Sir Humphreys' running the UK change their ways this way. Still - radical transparency is the right call for the information age. Quote https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1853079605596340235 Elon Musk @elonmusk · 13h There should be no need for FOIA requests. All government data should be default public for maximum transparency. x.com/elon_docs/stat… 12:21 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amen to that. RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW!
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (often frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), we dearly need radical transparency: everything public, on the public web, on the public shared cloud drives (read only), as default. Closed off and made secret only by request. Admit there are pros- and cons- to both public and secret, to knowing and not-knowing, but imo we have reached a point where "public by default" offers better trade offs. Agree that such change has close to zero chance of happening. Hell will freeze over sooner that Yes Minister Sir Humphreys' running the UK change their ways this way. Still - radical transparency is the right call for the information age. Quote https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1853079605596340235 Elon Musk @elonmusk · 13h There should be no need for FOIA requests. All government data should be default public for maximum transparency. x.com/elon_docs/stat… 12:21 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853230198470422862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amen to that! RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW!!!
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (latter usually much-frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), we dearly need RADICAL TRANSPARENCY: everything public, on the public web, on the public shared cloud drives (read only), as default. Closed off and made secret only by request. Admit there are pros- and cons- to both public and secret, to knowing and not-knowing, but imo we have reached a point where "public by default" offers better trade offs. Agree that such change has close to zero chance of happening. Hell will freeze over sooner that Yes Minister Sir Humphreys' running the UK change their ways this way. Quote https://x.com/elon_docs/status/1853076369271324866 ELON DOCS @elon_docs · 13h Elon Musk: Unless it's a massive risk to the country, all government information should be public. “I think that the strong bias with respect to government information should be to make it available to the public. Let's be as transparent as possible. Fully transparent. Unless Show more Embedded video 12:18 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amen to that! RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW!!!
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (latter usually much-frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), we dearly need RADICAL TRANSPARENCY: everything public, on the public web, on the public shared cloud drives (read only), as default. Closed off and made secret only by request. Admit there are pros- and cons- to both public and secret, to knowing and not-knowing, but imo we have reached a point where "public by default" offers better trade offs. Agree that such change has close to zero chance of happening. Hell will freeze over sooner that Yes Minister Sir Humphreys' running the UK change their ways this way. Quote https://x.com/elon_docs/status/1853076369271324866 ELON DOCS @elon_docs · 13h Elon Musk: Unless it's a massive risk to the country, all government information should be public. “I think that the strong bias with respect to government information should be to make it available to the public. Let's be as transparent as possible. Fully transparent. Unless Show more Embedded video 12:18 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853228997221536101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There can be extra large containers - right? Like 2x1 or 4x2 ordinary containers spliced together in length x width? Something like that.
12:13 AM · Nov 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There can be extra large containers - right? Like 2x1 or 4x2 ordinary containers spliced together in length x width? Something like that.
12:13 AM · Nov 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853219339287109815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Note that most - and especially in the early days (and home computers, BBS etc before) - of the Internet and everything online was built by altruistic mildly autistic geeks doing stuff for the love and joy of it, not for money. In that sense closer in sensibilities to artists, than to professions. Doctors may have charity work like Doctors Without Borders, but not in scale comparable to the Free Software and Open Source movements. The github public repos must be >100M by now.
11:34 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Note that most - and especially in the early days (and home computers, BBS etc before) - of the Internet and everything online was built by altruistic mildly autistic geeks doing stuff for the love and joy of it, not for money. In that sense closer in sensibilities to artists, than to professions. Doctors may have charity work like Doctors Without Borders, but not in scale comparable to the Free Software and Open Source movements. The github public repos must be >100M by now.
11:34 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853210473639870545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I liked the neotoddlerism post by @G_S_Bhogal abt that
https://www.gurwinder.blog/p/the-outrageous-rise-of-neotoddlerism From gurwinder.blog 10:59 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I liked the neotoddlerism post by @G_S_Bhogal abt that
https://www.gurwinder.blog/p/the-outrageous-rise-of-neotoddlerism From gurwinder.blog 10:59 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853209792954708288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they face the toughest competition - they are competing with other girls.
Priorities ranked, man: 1) work 2) sex 3) kids; woman: 1) man 2) kids 3) other women. 10:57 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they face the toughest competition - they are competing with other girls.
Priorities ranked, man: 1) work 2) sex 3) kids; woman: 1) man 2) kids 3) other women. 10:57 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853207920369881109
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sapiens was good, whatever was after was bad, now Nexus is good too. Pple seem to find few things they know abt or object to or wrong, in a sea of 10K ideas, and jump to the conclusion that they'd do better. Just do it then! Show everyone. I disagree with his doomerism of AI and climate/CO2. That doesn't make his arguments not worth reading about. No one is perfect. There is plenty excellent stuff about information. Can't think of another historian that wd know a 1st thing abt information tbh. Like - it's a thing just like mass or distance or time. Let alone one writing a book abt it. Credit where credit's due.
10:49 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sapiens was good, whatever was after was bad, now Nexus is good too. Pple seem to find few things they know abt or object to or wrong, in a sea of 10K ideas, and jump to the conclusion that they'd do better. Just do it then! Show everyone. I disagree with his doomerism of AI and climate/CO2. That doesn't make his arguments not worth reading about. No one is perfect. There is plenty excellent stuff about information. Can't think of another historian that wd know a 1st thing abt information tbh. Like - it's a thing just like mass or distance or time. Let alone one writing a book abt it. Credit where credit's due.
10:49 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853198105753391231
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Flipping the sign and assuming the opposite of what MSM says doesn’t get us to the truth either. Blindly believing the inverse of every statement is as flawed as accepting everything at face value. Skepticism means a correlation of zero, not negative one. This is basic reasoning! Your approach shows that even savants have their idiot-savant side.
Where’s the open-source X Algofeed? Where are the thousands of user-driven Algofeeds blooming? What happened to RealPerson authentication for those who want it? Why hasn’t LLM processing been applied to analyze 1B daily posts, allowing Algofeeds to move beyond metadata (timeliness, interactions) alone? Current maximal engagement is having one half of X users at the throats of the other half. Is that the future that will make humans multi planetary?? Wake up dude from your woke-like slumber. Quote https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1852739857262493755 Elon Musk @elonmusk · Nov 2 Exactly. The reason that the public no longer trusts the legacy media is that the media has been exposed as lying too many times to count. Legacy media absolutely deserves the lack of respect and ridicule it gets. Just yesterday, the legacy media tried to claim that x.com/shellenberger/… Show more 10:10 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Flipping the sign and assuming the opposite of what MSM says doesn’t get us to the truth either. Blindly believing the inverse of every statement is as flawed as accepting everything at face value. Skepticism means a correlation of zero, not negative one. This is basic reasoning! Your approach shows that even savants have their idiot-savant side.
Where’s the open-source X Algofeed? Where are the thousands of user-driven Algofeeds blooming? What happened to RealPerson authentication for those who want it? Why hasn’t LLM processing been applied to analyze 1B daily posts, allowing Algofeeds to move beyond metadata (timeliness, interactions) alone? Current maximal engagement is having one half of X users at the throats of the other half. Is that the future that will make humans multi planetary?? Wake up dude from your woke-like slumber. Quote https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1852739857262493755 Elon Musk @elonmusk · Nov 2 Exactly. The reason that the public no longer trusts the legacy media is that the media has been exposed as lying too many times to count. Legacy media absolutely deserves the lack of respect and ridicule it gets. Just yesterday, the legacy media tried to claim that x.com/shellenberger/… Show more 10:10 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853191090939039997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Insane, medieval, barbaric. Bags should be containerized. Then all handling should be automated. In time, planes' designs will likely also take advantage of that. Our egos do demand personalized, unique luggage. Well - it can go in a container box. Avoids stress about sizing, and grief of damaged luggage too. win-win-win
9:42 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Insane, medieval, barbaric. Bags should be containerized. Then all handling should be automated. In time, planes' designs will likely also take advantage of that. Our egos do demand personalized, unique luggage. Well - it can go in a container box. Avoids stress about sizing, and grief of damaged luggage too. win-win-win
9:42 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853186854310318585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Central and Eastern Europeans, take heed. This address misses the mark for half its intended audience. W/EU won’t “grow up” as implied; they’re already playing their calculated game. Their strategy? "We choose to be helpless. The U.S. wields influence, but in exchange, we gain protection while minimizing defense spending." They know they don’t have to outrun the Bear—just CE/EU. And the Bear comes for you first.
Don’t expect salvation from the U.S. center-woke elite of Sullivan-Charap types under a potential Harris administration. Their lives of “infinite samosas” won’t be upended for what they see as a backwater struggle of un-woke Borat oiks. You’ll get more than nothing, but not by much. And if the right-woke trumpian insurgents win, with the Sacks-Musk techbros already cozying up to Kremlin oligarchic interests—you can bet on much worse. For CE/EU, the stakes are existential. To ensure survival, you must match the Bear’s threat: an independent nuclear deterrent. One nuclear power attacking might be happenstance; two, a coincidence. You don’t wait for a third to confirm enemy action. With a population of 120 million, and economies never richer, you’ve never been in a better position to act. Band together or be devoured. If Marie Curie could defy the odds under far harsher conditions, so can you. Quote https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1852701257267318972 Donald Tusk @donaldtusk · Nov 2 Harris or Trump? Some claim that the future of Europe depends on the American elections, while it depends first and foremost on us. On condition Europe finally grows up and believes in its own strength. Whatever the outcome, the era of geopolitical outsourcing is over. 9:25 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Central and Eastern Europeans, take heed. This address misses the mark for half its intended audience. W/EU won’t “grow up” as implied; they’re already playing their calculated game. Their strategy? "We choose to be helpless. The U.S. wields influence, but in exchange, we gain protection while minimizing defense spending." They know they don’t have to outrun the Bear—just CE/EU. And the Bear comes for you first.
Don’t expect salvation from the U.S. center-woke elite of Sullivan-Charap types under a potential Harris administration. Their lives of “infinite samosas” won’t be upended for what they see as a backwater struggle of un-woke Borat oiks. You’ll get more than nothing, but not by much. And if the right-woke trumpian insurgents win, with the Sacks-Musk techbros already cozying up to Kremlin oligarchic interests—you can bet on much worse. For CE/EU, the stakes are existential. To ensure survival, you must match the Bear’s threat: an independent nuclear deterrent. One nuclear power attacking might be happenstance; two, a coincidence. You don’t wait for a third to confirm enemy action. With a population of 120 million, and economies never richer, you’ve never been in a better position to act. Band together or be devoured. If Marie Curie could defy the odds under far harsher conditions, so can you. Quote https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1852701257267318972 Donald Tusk @donaldtusk · Nov 2 Harris or Trump? Some claim that the future of Europe depends on the American elections, while it depends first and foremost on us. On condition Europe finally grows up and believes in its own strength. Whatever the outcome, the era of geopolitical outsourcing is over. 9:25 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853167095934234825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Questioning is good no one objects it. Assuming it true the opposite of what someone says *every single time* without exception, is as wrong, as assuming that what's being said is true every single time. Sceptical is correlation 0, not correlation -1. This is trivial ffs comeon 8:07 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Questioning is good no one objects it. Assuming it true the opposite of what someone says *every single time* without exception, is as wrong, as assuming that what's being said is true every single time. Sceptical is correlation 0, not correlation -1. This is trivial ffs comeon 8:07 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853134607174012998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
US established elite is center-woke. So even if the country itself is strong in muscle, the brain controlling is weak. It doesn't think much further than "infinite samosas" hedonism of gen-sulivan. The choice is between that, and right-woke trumpism. The latter seems to be Kremiln captured territory, with the sacks and the musks techbros in full rus-felatio mode. I take it Harris status quo would be the lesser of two bads.
But the only real solution for CEEurope is its elites representing 120M pple coming together by "The Bear is gonna eat me danger" and making a dash for home grown nuclear deterrent. At least that will level the field. They are losing atm. 5:58 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
US established elite is center-woke. So even if the country itself is strong in muscle, the brain controlling is weak. It doesn't think much further than "infinite samosas" hedonism of gen-sulivan. The choice is between that, and right-woke trumpism. The latter seems to be Kremiln captured territory, with the sacks and the musks techbros in full rus-felatio mode. I take it Harris status quo would be the lesser of two bads.
But the only real solution for CEEurope is its elites representing 120M pple coming together by "The Bear is gonna eat me danger" and making a dash for home grown nuclear deterrent. At least that will level the field. They are losing atm. 5:58 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853127778553540992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - a good example, even if IDK anything abt or of Borjas so TL;DR. I now notice center-woke in addition to (now ancient) left-woke and (more recent) right-woke. Yeah it's prone to fall for "I'm not ideological" fallacy and not reflect on, and examine, it's own ideology.
In a sense it's 4) "unknown knowns" - my own ideology. Like - fish can't perceive water. The final quadrant of the quartet. Others quadrants being: 1) "known knowns" - deterministic knowledge, I know exactly which one; 2) "known unknowns" - probabilistic knowledge, I don't know which ones exactly, but I know the counts per type, I know the p.d.f, so I know the distribution of outcomes (risk people call it Aleatoric uncertainty); 3) "unknown unknowns" - I don't know the distribution, I can't enumerate all possibilities, anything goes (risk people call it Epistemic uncertainty). 5:31 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - a good example, even if IDK anything abt or of Borjas so TL;DR. I now notice center-woke in addition to (now ancient) left-woke and (more recent) right-woke. Yeah it's prone to fall for "I'm not ideological" fallacy and not reflect on, and examine, it's own ideology.
In a sense it's 4) "unknown knowns" - my own ideology. Like - fish can't perceive water. The final quadrant of the quartet. Others quadrants being: 1) "known knowns" - deterministic knowledge, I know exactly which one; 2) "known unknowns" - probabilistic knowledge, I don't know which ones exactly, but I know the counts per type, I know the p.d.f, so I know the distribution of outcomes (risk people call it Aleatoric uncertainty); 3) "unknown unknowns" - I don't know the distribution, I can't enumerate all possibilities, anything goes (risk people call it Epistemic uncertainty). 5:31 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853110160262119933
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed Russia and North Korea Nazis and psychos should be stripped of their nuclear weapons. They are on course to destroying us all.
4:21 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed Russia and North Korea Nazis and psychos should be stripped of their nuclear weapons. They are on course to destroying us all.
4:21 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853100729516388815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - excellent! 😆 Indeed, Saint Greta is the poster child of the centrist-woke. First, we had the left-woke blazing the trail, but now it’s past its peak and fading in the distance (group identity, wishing away nature, degrowth). The reaction brewed for some time, and recently, the right-woke broke out into the open—think RFK Jr.’s anti-vax and anti-reason stances, EM’s exciting “Hitler wasn’t all bad” alt-history, and Trumpist “flood the field with sh*t” tactics. What started as Alex Jones’ flights of fancy is now in full swing.
But of course, as you point out, there’s centrist-woke too! The health-beauty-organic-green nonsense, modern-day snake oil. Besotted by beauty, shallow, falling head over heels for hollow, aesthetic ideals. Insane about net-zero and nuclear, stuck in boomer-era ideology—I hope it fades away sooner rather than later. FT Ganesh touched on this recently but didn’t press the point to its logical whole. (ref https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027) Glad I read your post. The centrist-woke really completes the field. All these movements arose from genuine attempts to address real grievances and unmet needs. And yes, it’s easier to poke holes and jab at doers than to take action and change reality. Still, having a good map of the terrain is invaluable before setting out on a journey. 3:43 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - excellent! 😆 Indeed, Saint Greta is the poster child of the centrist-woke. First, we had the left-woke blazing the trail, but now it’s past its peak and fading in the distance (group identity, wishing away nature, degrowth). The reaction brewed for some time, and recently, the right-woke broke out into the open—think RFK Jr.’s anti-vax and anti-reason stances, EM’s exciting “Hitler wasn’t all bad” alt-history, and Trumpist “flood the field with sh*t” tactics. What started as Alex Jones’ flights of fancy is now in full swing.
But of course, as you point out, there’s centrist-woke too! The health-beauty-organic-green nonsense, modern-day snake oil. Besotted by beauty, shallow, falling head over heels for hollow, aesthetic ideals. Insane about net-zero and nuclear, stuck in boomer-era ideology—I hope it fades away sooner rather than later. FT Ganesh touched on this recently but didn’t press the point to its logical whole. (ref https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027) Glad I read your post. The centrist-woke really completes the field. All these movements arose from genuine attempts to address real grievances and unmet needs. And yes, it’s easier to poke holes and jab at doers than to take action and change reality. Still, having a good map of the terrain is invaluable before setting out on a journey. 3:43 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853090259451498673
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
W/EU will never do it. For them the costs-benefits calculus of "we are willingly helpless, US wields influence over us, but in return US protects us, so we spend little on defense" works that way. B/c W/EU know they don't have to outrun The Bear. The Bear has CE/EU on its path first to gobble up.
The same calculus tilts the other way for CE/EU! For yourselves, The Bear is an existential threat. The only way for you to stay alive is to level the field and become and existential threat to The Bear in return. You must acquire your own independent nuclear deterrent yourself. Over the objections of W/EU and probable hostility of Germany and US. Nordics don't have to, but being smart will probably help you in various ways. Finland may even join the effort. The Balts are willing and capable, they will join you. The Czechs are capable and probably willing. Slovaks - probably best ignore. Romanians should be self-interested, are capable, and should join - but probably will not. Regardless - you must do it, even if you do it solo. It's that - or death. If Marie could defy odds in much direr circumstances, you'd fail Poland if you don't do it in much better circumstance now. 3:02 PM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
W/EU will never do it. For them the costs-benefits calculus of "we are willingly helpless, US wields influence over us, but in return US protects us, so we spend little on defense" works that way. B/c W/EU know they don't have to outrun The Bear. The Bear has CE/EU on its path first to gobble up.
The same calculus tilts the other way for CE/EU! For yourselves, The Bear is an existential threat. The only way for you to stay alive is to level the field and become and existential threat to The Bear in return. You must acquire your own independent nuclear deterrent yourself. Over the objections of W/EU and probable hostility of Germany and US. Nordics don't have to, but being smart will probably help you in various ways. Finland may even join the effort. The Balts are willing and capable, they will join you. The Czechs are capable and probably willing. Slovaks - probably best ignore. Romanians should be self-interested, are capable, and should join - but probably will not. Regardless - you must do it, even if you do it solo. It's that - or death. If Marie could defy odds in much direr circumstances, you'd fail Poland if you don't do it in much better circumstance now. 3:02 PM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853041306336931889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the olden days I was wholly ignorant 🙃 in assuming others can't be stunning ignorant (c.f. @phoebeluckhurst piece) on things they opine on in length. 😰 Alas now I know better. 😇 ChatGPT replacing any and all in MSM can't come soon enough to save us from ourselves. 😂
11:47 AM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the olden days I was wholly ignorant 🙃 in assuming others can't be stunning ignorant (c.f. @phoebeluckhurst piece) on things they opine on in length. 😰 Alas now I know better. 😇 ChatGPT replacing any and all in MSM can't come soon enough to save us from ourselves. 😂
11:47 AM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853004182422257687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice 🙂 that it conveniently maps to current reasoning systems. Intuition in alpha go is what generates the hypothetical moves that are strung into lattices. Logic is when the paths are assessed, judged, most torn down as bad. (one or few that survive are acted on)
9:19 AM · Nov 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice 🙂 that it conveniently maps to current reasoning systems. Intuition in alpha go is what generates the hypothetical moves that are strung into lattices. Logic is when the paths are assessed, judged, most torn down as bad. (one or few that survive are acted on)
9:19 AM · Nov 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852823582423871708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was a joy to listen and watch. Thanks for that.
On the naming: isn't a "lattice" a generally accepted name for a DAG or a forward evolving tree where there is merging in addition to branching? I worked on generating lattices from speech (for speech recognition, annotation and searching) ages ago, and remember "lattice" as the term used for the structure you (possibly) describe. If I understood the structure correctly that is - hearing of this for the 1st time only today. ☺️ 9:22 PM · Nov 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was a joy to listen and watch. Thanks for that.
On the naming: isn't a "lattice" a generally accepted name for a DAG or a forward evolving tree where there is merging in addition to branching? I worked on generating lattices from speech (for speech recognition, annotation and searching) ages ago, and remember "lattice" as the term used for the structure you (possibly) describe. If I understood the structure correctly that is - hearing of this for the 1st time only today. ☺️ 9:22 PM · Nov 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852583735046083000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Hehe - very good. That one is doubly amusing. 😂 The second layer is that Trump will indeed f*ck Musk, in addition to Twitter (and everything else in his path). Not many escape unmolested. The cleverer ones learn to stay away (Scaramuchi?). Poor dumb f*cks like Gulliani come back for more until ruined. (IDK how anyone can fail as much as quick)
Saw the pic below just this evening - perfect! 😂😂 (if true - didn't check) Hope Trump doesn't win, so Musk is spared further distraction (and humiliation - but that's less important), and continues to spend his time and energy on worthy endevours. Musk is a savant. But there's an idiot-savant side too in him, as is in many savants. His worst blind spots are domains where reaility is not only opposite, but a mirror image of a domain he knows well, is good in, and obv loves. Unfortunately our cosmos is imperfect. (also Musk backed a loser in a prior elect cycle - no? not very politically savy, but as expected for a CA techie) Image 5:29 AM · Nov 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Hehe - very good. That one is doubly amusing. 😂 The second layer is that Trump will indeed f*ck Musk, in addition to Twitter (and everything else in his path). Not many escape unmolested. The cleverer ones learn to stay away (Scaramuchi?). Poor dumb f*cks like Gulliani come back for more until ruined. (IDK how anyone can fail as much as quick)
Saw the pic below just this evening - perfect! 😂😂 (if true - didn't check) Hope Trump doesn't win, so Musk is spared further distraction (and humiliation - but that's less important), and continues to spend his time and energy on worthy endevours. Musk is a savant. But there's an idiot-savant side too in him, as is in many savants. His worst blind spots are domains where reaility is not only opposite, but a mirror image of a domain he knows well, is good in, and obv loves. Unfortunately our cosmos is imperfect. (also Musk backed a loser in a prior elect cycle - no? not very politically savy, but as expected for a CA techie) Image 5:29 AM · Nov 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852578290550079512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator: of course we can't handle the truth. 😆
Thanks 🙏👍 for writing that - enjoyed reading it. 😊 5:07 AM · Nov 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator: of course we can't handle the truth. 😆
Thanks 🙏👍 for writing that - enjoyed reading it. 😊 5:07 AM · Nov 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852568708020945179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is something in the water. Ideas - good and bad (but we only learn which is which post fest) - that everyone else sensibly dismisses with "pass! that's crazy, it's never going to work" find a niche group of fervent believers that is still large enough, and commited enough, to expend large enough effort to make a decent go at making the idea reaility. Call it optimistic, gullible, crazy - but seems necessary for an idea to be put to a non-trivial test. This observing from far far away having never been to California.
4:29 AM · Nov 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is something in the water. Ideas - good and bad (but we only learn which is which post fest) - that everyone else sensibly dismisses with "pass! that's crazy, it's never going to work" find a niche group of fervent believers that is still large enough, and commited enough, to expend large enough effort to make a decent go at making the idea reaility. Call it optimistic, gullible, crazy - but seems necessary for an idea to be put to a non-trivial test. This observing from far far away having never been to California.
4:29 AM · Nov 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852565889448645075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right to be confused. Only one who's not thought abt this is not confused.
My best explanation: it's a matter of degree, and it's about the politics of the losers of these policies in the deficit country. The winners outweigh the losers initially with liberalised trade post obstacles to free trade removal. Things work as intended and to net benefit. All is good However, positive feedback loops are ubiquitous in human groups. Big becomes bigger, small becomes smaller. Things that work will be done, and then they will be overdone. There's no infinite capacity to absorbing deficits. Yes you as consumer benefit from cheap TVs. But as a worker earning wages in a TV factory that's shuts down, you will suffer will lose your job and income and your consumption will collapse too. And in the economy it's a truism that everything produced must be consumed, or it will not be produced in the next round. So the growth slows down, then stops, then ultimately reverses and we get a decline, a reduction in stuff made and consumed. You are now very unhappy and that will show at the ballot box. Now we know when there are technological shifts people adapt. 90% of the population was in the agriculture, but now it's only 3%. But it takes time for that to work itself through the system. And it's generational. It's not the Detroit car workers that learned software development. They can't do that, no one can. It's their children that move to California and join Tech industry. Now free trade does enrich the parties. And I suspect we have no better developmental model we know of than industrialisation + exports. Asia is a huge success story. And the US contribution to jumpstarting that by running trade deficits is huge and under praised. If only Africa had a similar benefector in the 20th century. Still - the machine that works can be overworked. 4:18 AM · Nov 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right to be confused. Only one who's not thought abt this is not confused.
My best explanation: it's a matter of degree, and it's about the politics of the losers of these policies in the deficit country. The winners outweigh the losers initially with liberalised trade post obstacles to free trade removal. Things work as intended and to net benefit. All is good However, positive feedback loops are ubiquitous in human groups. Big becomes bigger, small becomes smaller. Things that work will be done, and then they will be overdone. There's no infinite capacity to absorbing deficits. Yes you as consumer benefit from cheap TVs. But as a worker earning wages in a TV factory that's shuts down, you will suffer will lose your job and income and your consumption will collapse too. And in the economy it's a truism that everything produced must be consumed, or it will not be produced in the next round. So the growth slows down, then stops, then ultimately reverses and we get a decline, a reduction in stuff made and consumed. You are now very unhappy and that will show at the ballot box. Now we know when there are technological shifts people adapt. 90% of the population was in the agriculture, but now it's only 3%. But it takes time for that to work itself through the system. And it's generational. It's not the Detroit car workers that learned software development. They can't do that, no one can. It's their children that move to California and join Tech industry. Now free trade does enrich the parties. And I suspect we have no better developmental model we know of than industrialisation + exports. Asia is a huge success story. And the US contribution to jumpstarting that by running trade deficits is huge and under praised. If only Africa had a similar benefector in the 20th century. Still - the machine that works can be overworked. 4:18 AM · Nov 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852559426667843886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - but social media Algofeeds don't cover themselves in glory either. I thought Musk could see the huge opportunity there for improved SNR when he bought X. Thought he'd do content processing of the 1B posts daily, even to a single 128 or 256 feature vector (with then DNNs), and shift away from using solely meta-data (timeliness, interactions with) in the Algofeed automated posts editor. He pooped the coop on that one. (and many other things X - RealIdentity for pple that want it, open sourcing everything, offering choice of 1000 Algofeeds instead of letting only 2 bloom, etc)
3:52 AM · Nov 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - but social media Algofeeds don't cover themselves in glory either. I thought Musk could see the huge opportunity there for improved SNR when he bought X. Thought he'd do content processing of the 1B posts daily, even to a single 128 or 256 feature vector (with then DNNs), and shift away from using solely meta-data (timeliness, interactions with) in the Algofeed automated posts editor. He pooped the coop on that one. (and many other things X - RealIdentity for pple that want it, open sourcing everything, offering choice of 1000 Algofeeds instead of letting only 2 bloom, etc)
3:52 AM · Nov 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852481533900149145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hillary supporters didn't storm the Capital trying to prevent Trump victory certification afaik. There is a big difference afaics between jabbering all manner of nonsense (both sides), and actual violent action (one side only - thus far).
10:43 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hillary supporters didn't storm the Capital trying to prevent Trump victory certification afaik. There is a big difference afaics between jabbering all manner of nonsense (both sides), and actual violent action (one side only - thus far).
10:43 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852479812528427488
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure sure sure. Kick out of your companies, and ban any new hires, with any education above high school. The dumdums with extra unneeded education showed themselves total suckers by spending $$$ time effort on a totally needless activity. You don't want those stupidos in your companies. Do as you say asap, stop yabbering and get that done yesterday. Go on do it
10:36 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure sure sure. Kick out of your companies, and ban any new hires, with any education above high school. The dumdums with extra unneeded education showed themselves total suckers by spending $$$ time effort on a totally needless activity. You don't want those stupidos in your companies. Do as you say asap, stop yabbering and get that done yesterday. Go on do it
10:36 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852477790123110746
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NF is like the more talented tricksters, that after fleecing their marks, come back to the victim for another round. They come back with a good story, along the lines of (paraphrased - I lack that talent) "I am sorry I run into trouble, and your £££ is lost, for reasons x y z, but that was a misfortune, or a foul play on someone else's part, not my fault, I wanted the best for you, and I suffered too; now I only need you to extend £500 to help me help you, and we will get your £5000 back". They know full well that a gullible person is gullible for life. The marks can be milked multiple times. Just need a good story for "one more time" roll of the fortunes.
Quote Tom Hayes @BEERG · Nov 1 Brexit has happened. The UK has left the EU. So, why is it getting poorer? Image 10:28 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NF is like the more talented tricksters, that after fleecing their marks, come back to the victim for another round. They come back with a good story, along the lines of (paraphrased - I lack that talent) "I am sorry I run into trouble, and your £££ is lost, for reasons x y z, but that was a misfortune, or a foul play on someone else's part, not my fault, I wanted the best for you, and I suffered too; now I only need you to extend £500 to help me help you, and we will get your £5000 back". They know full well that a gullible person is gullible for life. The marks can be milked multiple times. Just need a good story for "one more time" roll of the fortunes.
Quote Tom Hayes @BEERG · Nov 1 Brexit has happened. The UK has left the EU. So, why is it getting poorer? Image 10:28 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852474632525263044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People making media are pretty dumb and not super educated themselves. They were under ever growing pressures of their business models too. So no time for niceties luxuries like quality. They assumed everyone is like them too, pretty dumb - and for a very long time, they were not that wrong! But the Internet long tail harvesting allowed for shows that don't cater to the lowest common denominator to survive. New business models survived. Hope old MSM either dies or changes shape joints the winning team sooner. But I fear MSM will limp along as long as Boomers are around, and its significance will track the Boomers' share of population.
10:15 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People making media are pretty dumb and not super educated themselves. They were under ever growing pressures of their business models too. So no time for niceties luxuries like quality. They assumed everyone is like them too, pretty dumb - and for a very long time, they were not that wrong! But the Internet long tail harvesting allowed for shows that don't cater to the lowest common denominator to survive. New business models survived. Hope old MSM either dies or changes shape joints the winning team sooner. But I fear MSM will limp along as long as Boomers are around, and its significance will track the Boomers' share of population.
10:15 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852462084358877557
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Betting is the most honest opinion voicing. Putting your money where your mouth is golden. 😁 However - it's not perfect, it can be gamed, all public markets are gameable. Whole industries have sprung around that. E.g. public orderbooks are laughably volnurable, even mostly closed auctions, dark pools too. It's amazing how information can be cajoled teased to leak, and how little information about the future needs to leak for perfectly unforecastable proces to become monetizable. Human inginuity, and esp when allowed to prod and probe the process and not merely passively watch, is a force to reckon with.
9:25 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Betting is the most honest opinion voicing. Putting your money where your mouth is golden. 😁 However - it's not perfect, it can be gamed, all public markets are gameable. Whole industries have sprung around that. E.g. public orderbooks are laughably volnurable, even mostly closed auctions, dark pools too. It's amazing how information can be cajoled teased to leak, and how little information about the future needs to leak for perfectly unforecastable proces to become monetizable. Human inginuity, and esp when allowed to prod and probe the process and not merely passively watch, is a force to reckon with.
9:25 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852459099088150732
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can always just surrender, become a slave, and avoid war. That option is always available to anyone - correct.
9:14 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can always just surrender, become a slave, and avoid war. That option is always available to anyone - correct.
9:14 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852458493367750845
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, among other things. The backlash you're witnessing is good barometer of how many sadists walk among us. What you see is an underestimate of that fraction, as you are hearing from a smaller subset of sadists - the sadistic moralists.
9:11 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, among other things. The backlash you're witnessing is good barometer of how many sadists walk among us. What you see is an underestimate of that fraction, as you are hearing from a smaller subset of sadists - the sadistic moralists.
9:11 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852442763943375033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What you (rightly) accuse others Re: myopic on China, that same very thing you practice very much Re: Central and Eastern Europe. 😂 Delightful and even endearing tbh 😆 The pple that have never spent much time in China, don't speak a language, are ignorant of bazillion things, can't make the head or the tail of things and are 180 degrees wrong repeatedly? Well - you are doing the same on CEEu. 😂 I'm guessing pos DC is a dumbing factor there. Just listened to the (very good imo) Deus Ex Machina so checked what's happening in the Manifold world. 🙂 Sobering that no one is perfect. Will give the "Gell-Mann hypothesis" a pass.
8:09 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What you (rightly) accuse others Re: myopic on China, that same very thing you practice very much Re: Central and Eastern Europe. 😂 Delightful and even endearing tbh 😆 The pple that have never spent much time in China, don't speak a language, are ignorant of bazillion things, can't make the head or the tail of things and are 180 degrees wrong repeatedly? Well - you are doing the same on CEEu. 😂 I'm guessing pos DC is a dumbing factor there. Just listened to the (very good imo) Deus Ex Machina so checked what's happening in the Manifold world. 🙂 Sobering that no one is perfect. Will give the "Gell-Mann hypothesis" a pass.
8:09 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852375789976567851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is like the more talented fraudsters, that after fleecing their marks, come back to the victim for another round. They come back with a good story, sth like (paraphrased - I lack that talent) "I run into trouble and your £££ is lost, reasons x y z, but that was a misfortune not my fault I wanted the best for you; now I only need you to extend £500 to help me help you and we will get your £5000 back". They know full well - a gullible person is gullible for life. They can be milked multiple times. Just need a good story for "one more time" roll of the fortunes.
3:42 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is like the more talented fraudsters, that after fleecing their marks, come back to the victim for another round. They come back with a good story, sth like (paraphrased - I lack that talent) "I run into trouble and your £££ is lost, reasons x y z, but that was a misfortune not my fault I wanted the best for you; now I only need you to extend £500 to help me help you and we will get your £5000 back". They know full well - a gullible person is gullible for life. They can be milked multiple times. Just need a good story for "one more time" roll of the fortunes.
3:42 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852371819065430343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but it's a good filter of people, the Gell-Mann amnesia way. Pple unable to distance themselves even little bit, a tiny bit, from information they are bombarded with and they imbibe (we all are - that's inescapable), and figure for themselves why they think the way they think, how they got to the point they are at, even in a post-rationalization way - well those folks aren't going to be too good abt other things too. They will not be able to say distinguish true from false when observing the natural world, for example. As nature doesn't relinquish its secrets to us easily either.
3:27 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but it's a good filter of people, the Gell-Mann amnesia way. Pple unable to distance themselves even little bit, a tiny bit, from information they are bombarded with and they imbibe (we all are - that's inescapable), and figure for themselves why they think the way they think, how they got to the point they are at, even in a post-rationalization way - well those folks aren't going to be too good abt other things too. They will not be able to say distinguish true from false when observing the natural world, for example. As nature doesn't relinquish its secrets to us easily either.
3:27 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852363924701581823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We’re in far greater danger than we realize—not only because this guy is being played like a fiddle by adversaries who can easily predict his every move (thanks to Sullivan's incessant telegraphing), staying two steps ahead without breaking a sweat.
Not only because there are probably a hundred people around him who could pull him aside and say, “When the world seems a mystery and you can't understand why things are happening, you’re the sucker at the table—the mark.” (Putin’s actions may be an enigma to Sullivan, but they’re clear enough to Putin.) Not only because the system produced *this* as a peak of achievement—a man who’s had the President’s ear for years on every critical topic. His allies have won the policy battles so far, and the same policies will likely continue. But most dangerously, their adversaries can’t actually believe anyone could be this foolish. They keep looking for the hidden angle, the 8-dimensional chess move, unable to predict the moves of genuinely clueless people. That’s the lethal risk of stupidity. Sullivan and his ilk may ultimately lead us toward the very catastrophe they seek to avoid—a disaster that won’t stop at their borders (or ours). Quote https://x.com/Rail_splitter1/status/1852316583852704077 Railsplitter Fella 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 @Rail_splitter1 · 6h It’s 2020, before the election, and Jake Sullivan was already telling us that the next President’s greatest task is to “not let the relationship with Russia completely collapse” because that would lead to “the unthinkable.” Show this thread Embedded video 2:55 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We’re in far greater danger than we realize—not only because this guy is being played like a fiddle by adversaries who can easily predict his every move (thanks to Sullivan's incessant telegraphing), staying two steps ahead without breaking a sweat.
Not only because there are probably a hundred people around him who could pull him aside and say, “When the world seems a mystery and you can't understand why things are happening, you’re the sucker at the table—the mark.” (Putin’s actions may be an enigma to Sullivan, but they’re clear enough to Putin.) Not only because the system produced *this* as a peak of achievement—a man who’s had the President’s ear for years on every critical topic. His allies have won the policy battles so far, and the same policies will likely continue. But most dangerously, their adversaries can’t actually believe anyone could be this foolish. They keep looking for the hidden angle, the 8-dimensional chess move, unable to predict the moves of genuinely clueless people. That’s the lethal risk of stupidity. Sullivan and his ilk may ultimately lead us toward the very catastrophe they seek to avoid—a disaster that won’t stop at their borders (or ours). Quote https://x.com/Rail_splitter1/status/1852316583852704077 Railsplitter Fella 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 @Rail_splitter1 · 6h It’s 2020, before the election, and Jake Sullivan was already telling us that the next President’s greatest task is to “not let the relationship with Russia completely collapse” because that would lead to “the unthinkable.” Show this thread Embedded video 2:55 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852349987771863090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Sullivan imbecile never asks himself: what if Putin already knows what I'm thinking, and takes that into account, to play me like a violin to his advantage. These self-centered forever-pampered upwards-failing IYI cretins are on course to causing the very thing they fear.
2:00 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Sullivan imbecile never asks himself: what if Putin already knows what I'm thinking, and takes that into account, to play me like a violin to his advantage. These self-centered forever-pampered upwards-failing IYI cretins are on course to causing the very thing they fear.
2:00 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852321559202894002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To the people asking for relief from the rulers of the lands: you are missing the point. The cruelty is intentional. That is the plan.
(this is like condemned communists writing "this must be in error" letters to Stalin protesting their innocence, while it's him who initialed their name on the execution list in the evening before going to bed; ditto contemporary russian serfs asking help from Putin on youtube tiktoks) The cruelty is the point. The system is working as intended. @mhclg @TheFCA @CMAgovUK @TPOmb @RFAssociation @tpi_online @FreeLeasehlders @mtpennycook @UKLabour @AngelaRayner @Keir_Starmer Quote Northern Monkey @LiberalElitist2 · 10h My next door neighbours flat has just been repossessed as they couldn't afford the SC and got into arrears. Another person homeless, life ruined. due to FH and MA greed. When will you take action? Soon is not soon enough to save lives @UKLabour @AngelaRayner Show this thread 12:07 PM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To the people asking for relief from the rulers of the lands: you are missing the point. The cruelty is intentional. That is the plan.
(this is like condemned communists writing "this must be in error" letters to Stalin protesting their innocence, while it's him who initialed their name on the execution list in the evening before going to bed; ditto contemporary russian serfs asking help from Putin on youtube tiktoks) The cruelty is the point. The system is working as intended. @mhclg @TheFCA @CMAgovUK @TPOmb @RFAssociation @tpi_online @FreeLeasehlders @mtpennycook @UKLabour @AngelaRayner @Keir_Starmer Quote Northern Monkey @LiberalElitist2 · 10h My next door neighbours flat has just been repossessed as they couldn't afford the SC and got into arrears. Another person homeless, life ruined. due to FH and MA greed. When will you take action? Soon is not soon enough to save lives @UKLabour @AngelaRayner Show this thread 12:07 PM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852316176900132894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite in o1-preview. One is given feedback as to the stages the reasoning engine is going through ("doing X", "doing Y", ...), but one never gets to learn what the complete set of guard rails or constraints the reasoning machine is constrained by.
TBH don't expect that to ever be revealed by OpenAI or anyone else, unless it's open sourced completely. And even then, knowing everything and being able to run at will - it's not obvious what influences what. B/c it'd be like 1 Million parameters, each contributing 1/1M -th to the final answer. Exactly like us humans! 😇 We do something, and we don't know why exactly. (we can and do post-rationalize though) I know people hate that with NNs and all large models. I find that element of mystery, of quasi-unknown, endearing TBH. 🥰 That no uptight upright stuck stazi nazi puritan can come to a definitive accusation. 😂 The Unaccountability Machine of the good kind. For once. 😆 11:46 AM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite in o1-preview. One is given feedback as to the stages the reasoning engine is going through ("doing X", "doing Y", ...), but one never gets to learn what the complete set of guard rails or constraints the reasoning machine is constrained by.
TBH don't expect that to ever be revealed by OpenAI or anyone else, unless it's open sourced completely. And even then, knowing everything and being able to run at will - it's not obvious what influences what. B/c it'd be like 1 Million parameters, each contributing 1/1M -th to the final answer. Exactly like us humans! 😇 We do something, and we don't know why exactly. (we can and do post-rationalize though) I know people hate that with NNs and all large models. I find that element of mystery, of quasi-unknown, endearing TBH. 🥰 That no uptight upright stuck stazi nazi puritan can come to a definitive accusation. 😂 The Unaccountability Machine of the good kind. For once. 😆 11:46 AM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852313175703621925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Makes for easy plausible deniability. "Q: Who's done this silly thing?! A: Dunno, could be anyone, honest." Unaccountability Machine 101.
11:34 AM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Makes for easy plausible deniability. "Q: Who's done this silly thing?! A: Dunno, could be anyone, honest." Unaccountability Machine 101.
11:34 AM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852311937515692309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
***Just***Do***It***
How is this even a question? What's there to lose? One click and you go back - no? Switched over to DDG ages ago (stayed), then to Perplexity (stayed too). Easy to undo if any regrets. Does not get better Re: decision making than that. 11:29 AM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
***Just***Do***It***
How is this even a question? What's there to lose? One click and you go back - no? Switched over to DDG ages ago (stayed), then to Perplexity (stayed too). Easy to undo if any regrets. Does not get better Re: decision making than that. 11:29 AM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852304621391220910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but wait, there is more. You are seeing the technical side. On the power-balance side, the gain to the top is ever bigger! Now that the rules are so erroneous that it's impossible to comply - everyone is potentially in breach of them. Everyone potentially a criminal is even better than some people knowing they are breaching the rules, and others knowing for sure they are not, that they are in the clear. As now the potential crime hangs like the Damocles Sword over the head of every person of the land, from the lowest to the highest.
Now the secret enforcer (think NKVD) of the land can arbitrarily but plausibly accuse anyone and everyone, at will, at random. The randomness paralyzes everyone with fear. The sword can come down at any moment, on a random number generator, no rime nor reason needed. This drives people insane. And this is everyone - no escapes, there are no exceptions. Then the supreme ruler (think Stalin) gets the option to remove easily and quietly (and with a plausible reason too) any one person in the land, by a stroke of a pen. Think - just initial the list of the condemned before dinner, and the secret police will have them shto by the morning. No person - no problem. US may need to re-occupy and save EU from itself for the 3rd time in ~100yrs? In EU defense - one needs to be educated for this level of insanity. On its own, uneducated are unlikely to come up with a fiendishly devious scheme like this. Holocaust was invented in the land without illiterate people. (c.f. further evidence of "educated insanity" are GG loonies - this https://x.com/eugyppius1/status/1851654144089633138) 11:00 AM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but wait, there is more. You are seeing the technical side. On the power-balance side, the gain to the top is ever bigger! Now that the rules are so erroneous that it's impossible to comply - everyone is potentially in breach of them. Everyone potentially a criminal is even better than some people knowing they are breaching the rules, and others knowing for sure they are not, that they are in the clear. As now the potential crime hangs like the Damocles Sword over the head of every person of the land, from the lowest to the highest.
Now the secret enforcer (think NKVD) of the land can arbitrarily but plausibly accuse anyone and everyone, at will, at random. The randomness paralyzes everyone with fear. The sword can come down at any moment, on a random number generator, no rime nor reason needed. This drives people insane. And this is everyone - no escapes, there are no exceptions. Then the supreme ruler (think Stalin) gets the option to remove easily and quietly (and with a plausible reason too) any one person in the land, by a stroke of a pen. Think - just initial the list of the condemned before dinner, and the secret police will have them shto by the morning. No person - no problem. US may need to re-occupy and save EU from itself for the 3rd time in ~100yrs? In EU defense - one needs to be educated for this level of insanity. On its own, uneducated are unlikely to come up with a fiendishly devious scheme like this. Holocaust was invented in the land without illiterate people. (c.f. further evidence of "educated insanity" are GG loonies - this https://x.com/eugyppius1/status/1851654144089633138) 11:00 AM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852148503289696412
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that may well be, but on the other hand they've cornered the market for beta-hats 😂 ha! - take that ML
12:39 AM · Nov 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that may well be, but on the other hand they've cornered the market for beta-hats 😂 ha! - take that ML
12:39 AM · Nov 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852134739681124789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
About half the population heads are screwed not quite right somehow. And on the extreme end of that are folks living in an upside-down Stranger Things world, a mirror image of ours. They act on urges that they have trouble even rationalising to themselves after the fact! Humans' is a collective intelligence. Had it been less collective, these units would have removed themselves from the gene pool long ago. I suspect their craziness adds some randomness so to allow extra variation needed to find rare unlikely adaptations in spaces where no gradient search would ever lead us to. I haven't got a better explanation to the phenomenon. Usually we are not exposed to the full spectrum of human variation at school or work. Previously one could become cognisant of that only say doing a national service. Now we have almost everyone online so we get a sample of the extreme tails of distributions.
11:45 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
About half the population heads are screwed not quite right somehow. And on the extreme end of that are folks living in an upside-down Stranger Things world, a mirror image of ours. They act on urges that they have trouble even rationalising to themselves after the fact! Humans' is a collective intelligence. Had it been less collective, these units would have removed themselves from the gene pool long ago. I suspect their craziness adds some randomness so to allow extra variation needed to find rare unlikely adaptations in spaces where no gradient search would ever lead us to. I haven't got a better explanation to the phenomenon. Usually we are not exposed to the full spectrum of human variation at school or work. Previously one could become cognisant of that only say doing a national service. Now we have almost everyone online so we get a sample of the extreme tails of distributions.
11:45 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852120309547028613
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Love the catchy phrase beta-hat v.s. y-hat. 😆 It does succinctly describe and makes it obvious what's going on. We have no reason to think we know what the model is that's generating the data, even less so to think it's a linear model (with a beta). So to worry about how well our beta-hat approximates the beta of the wrong model - is just not a very fruitful activity. Or it can be said that it's fruitful to the degree that the model is a linear one for real.
10:47 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Love the catchy phrase beta-hat v.s. y-hat. 😆 It does succinctly describe and makes it obvious what's going on. We have no reason to think we know what the model is that's generating the data, even less so to think it's a linear model (with a beta). So to worry about how well our beta-hat approximates the beta of the wrong model - is just not a very fruitful activity. Or it can be said that it's fruitful to the degree that the model is a linear one for real.
10:47 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852064451333419477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK ofc observing from far far away. And this is all wild speculation abt futures ofc. But imo once accepting of their own mortality, power monsters always end up thinking about their legacy. And what better legacy than achieving immortality by having your bloodline on a throne?
7:05 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK ofc observing from far far away. And this is all wild speculation abt futures ofc. But imo once accepting of their own mortality, power monsters always end up thinking about their legacy. And what better legacy than achieving immortality by having your bloodline on a throne?
7:05 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852057423466631653
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's all true, but: Musk and the tech bros will be tossed overboard Bannon-style (or worse) within 6–9 months. Here’s why: the moment Trump’s crazy brain cooks up an outlandish scheme, they’ll be expected to endorse it without question—a loyalty test.
The first time it happens, they’ll eat crow, kiss the king’s ring, and say thank you. Musk’s infamous “like a dog” photo next to Trump at his desk captures this dynamic perfectly. But the second time? They’ll likely refuse to play along, and Trump will move to cast them aside. If Musk and the tech bros were running for office themselves, it would be a different story. But Trump has his sights set on building a dynasty, starting with Ivanka and the heirs, with Jared as the enabler behind the throne. 6:37 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's all true, but: Musk and the tech bros will be tossed overboard Bannon-style (or worse) within 6–9 months. Here’s why: the moment Trump’s crazy brain cooks up an outlandish scheme, they’ll be expected to endorse it without question—a loyalty test.
The first time it happens, they’ll eat crow, kiss the king’s ring, and say thank you. Musk’s infamous “like a dog” photo next to Trump at his desk captures this dynamic perfectly. But the second time? They’ll likely refuse to play along, and Trump will move to cast them aside. If Musk and the tech bros were running for office themselves, it would be a different story. But Trump has his sights set on building a dynasty, starting with Ivanka and the heirs, with Jared as the enabler behind the throne. 6:37 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852051090940006683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The capacity of VSPs to ruin themselves and drag us all down is unmatched! I'm afraid you’re underestimating the Very Stupid People (VSPs). With COVID, you had a trial run and a prime position to observe it live—no?
Pre-COVID, MMT argues 1) The U.S. government can't willingly run out of money, as it always creates it; but BUT—2) the big danger is INFLATION. VSPs and economists respond, “Haha, that’s insane.” Then COVID comes along. Step 1) The U.S. government does indeed NOT run out of money; and then Step 2) we indeed get INFLATION. The same VSP economists as before, “Haha, MMT disproved!” I salute your persistence and sanguinity. I don’t know how you stay sane, rather than take the Semmelweis exit. 6:12 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The capacity of VSPs to ruin themselves and drag us all down is unmatched! I'm afraid you’re underestimating the Very Stupid People (VSPs). With COVID, you had a trial run and a prime position to observe it live—no?
Pre-COVID, MMT argues 1) The U.S. government can't willingly run out of money, as it always creates it; but BUT—2) the big danger is INFLATION. VSPs and economists respond, “Haha, that’s insane.” Then COVID comes along. Step 1) The U.S. government does indeed NOT run out of money; and then Step 2) we indeed get INFLATION. The same VSP economists as before, “Haha, MMT disproved!” I salute your persistence and sanguinity. I don’t know how you stay sane, rather than take the Semmelweis exit. 6:12 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852044010967490986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
often people complaining that something is not given away for free anymore, would never dream of giving away for free that very same thing themselves 😆
5:44 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
often people complaining that something is not given away for free anymore, would never dream of giving away for free that very same thing themselves 😆
5:44 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852042810817716523
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well well well - welcome
https://searchgpt.com/search?q=%s to my life! 🥰 5:39 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well well well - welcome
https://searchgpt.com/search?q=%s to my life! 🥰 5:39 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852041354643448070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 I read the soundbites of the interview, IK about GG from previously. That suffices for me atm. 😆 I'm close minded abt GG. 😶
5:34 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 I read the soundbites of the interview, IK about GG from previously. That suffices for me atm. 😆 I'm close minded abt GG. 😶
5:34 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852034233956479001
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
private surplus leads to boom times leads to investment and all things good and wholesome ;-) but that heresy shall not be said twice soo - you who reads this, forget it instantly and never ever remember of it
5:05 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
private surplus leads to boom times leads to investment and all things good and wholesome ;-) but that heresy shall not be said twice soo - you who reads this, forget it instantly and never ever remember of it
5:05 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852032486903009606
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - but I'll give it a miss. There is bazillion of stuff to be read, seen, heard, online - and only one lifetime. For greenies like her, when push comes to shove, and her compatriots fail to share her enthusiasm for offing themselves (committing suicide), next step is repression and murder Pol Pot style. Path well traveled. Good people do good by default, bad people do bad by default. It takes religion or ideology to achieve level of indoctrination where good people will do bad things. For a higher purpose of course, nothing personal there. They will be just discharging responsibility assigned to them by quirk of history. Executing unwillingly - not that they would seek power for themselves. Like Stalin and the rest of the monsters of history - all very modest souls. For once one self-convinces that 8B will die, then anything goes. Killing 4B to save 4B - "fine". Even killing 8B-1 to save that 1 - "better than the alternative". Not only better - but a moral imperative to boot! Hope she does not attain power. But that's where my interest in German Greens (GG) ends. Sorry to disappoint.
4:58 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - but I'll give it a miss. There is bazillion of stuff to be read, seen, heard, online - and only one lifetime. For greenies like her, when push comes to shove, and her compatriots fail to share her enthusiasm for offing themselves (committing suicide), next step is repression and murder Pol Pot style. Path well traveled. Good people do good by default, bad people do bad by default. It takes religion or ideology to achieve level of indoctrination where good people will do bad things. For a higher purpose of course, nothing personal there. They will be just discharging responsibility assigned to them by quirk of history. Executing unwillingly - not that they would seek power for themselves. Like Stalin and the rest of the monsters of history - all very modest souls. For once one self-convinces that 8B will die, then anything goes. Killing 4B to save 4B - "fine". Even killing 8B-1 to save that 1 - "better than the alternative". Not only better - but a moral imperative to boot! Hope she does not attain power. But that's where my interest in German Greens (GG) ends. Sorry to disappoint.
4:58 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852021254988894299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
private surplus leads to boom times leads to investment and all things good and wholesome ;-)
4:14 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
private surplus leads to boom times leads to investment and all things good and wholesome ;-)
4:14 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852007577032298559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - the amount of crazy 😧 among the off-line normies is off the charts. not noticed as they - wisely - keep their thoughts to themselves. but prod scratch the surface, and oh boy 😱🤯
humans' is a collective and not individual intelligence. it shows. one good thing one learns when one does national service. (albeit at an unreasonable cost) 3:19 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - the amount of crazy 😧 among the off-line normies is off the charts. not noticed as they - wisely - keep their thoughts to themselves. but prod scratch the surface, and oh boy 😱🤯
humans' is a collective and not individual intelligence. it shows. one good thing one learns when one does national service. (albeit at an unreasonable cost) 3:19 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852005711699464621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anons rude and semi- online violent that quote tweet - presumably inviting further online violence - where perfectly adequate in-thread reply is available are blocked.
https://x.com/Jose38444144/s/Jose38444144/status/1852003115429408832 This Post is from an account you blocked. 3:12 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anons rude and semi- online violent that quote tweet - presumably inviting further online violence - where perfectly adequate in-thread reply is available are blocked.
https://x.com/Jose38444144/s/Jose38444144/status/1852003115429408832 This Post is from an account you blocked. 3:12 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852005495436960211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anons rude and semi- online violent that quote tweet - presumably inviting further online violence - where perfectly adequate in-thread reply is available are blocked.
3:11 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anons rude and semi- online violent that quote tweet - presumably inviting further online violence - where perfectly adequate in-thread reply is available are blocked.
3:11 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851962642081955990
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the grandchildren too, forgot about the grandchildren, 😂 ... would anyone think of the poor grandchildren, 😂 ... put into debt slavery by us their grandparents ... 😂 comedy gold
12:21 PM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the grandchildren too, forgot about the grandchildren, 😂 ... would anyone think of the poor grandchildren, 😂 ... put into debt slavery by us their grandparents ... 😂 comedy gold
12:21 PM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851947484953665866
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you don't develop your own nuclear deterrent, you will be on the menu come next US-(W)EU conference in 10yrs time. Stop whinging and start working. US citizens didn't elect you - Poland citizens did. Work for the benefit of your fellow citizens more. Less US politics.
11:21 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you don't develop your own nuclear deterrent, you will be on the menu come next US-(W)EU conference in 10yrs time. Stop whinging and start working. US citizens didn't elect you - Poland citizens did. Work for the benefit of your fellow citizens more. Less US politics.
11:21 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851831643218010432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it appears that "shrink the state so that it's small enough as to be drawned in a bathtub" is still running, even if on autopilot, as default position as the desired intention. yet the state never shrinks in cost, only the capabilities wither. the cost of doing less, of not doing, keeps increasing.
3:40 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it appears that "shrink the state so that it's small enough as to be drawned in a bathtub" is still running, even if on autopilot, as default position as the desired intention. yet the state never shrinks in cost, only the capabilities wither. the cost of doing less, of not doing, keeps increasing.
3:40 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851824551614730725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't say 😂 ... the national credit card maxed out ... borrowing from china ... 😂 you guys deserve your trumps farages etc lording over you three times over. the state of muppetism 😂 never stop keep going pls
3:12 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't say 😂 ... the national credit card maxed out ... borrowing from china ... 😂 you guys deserve your trumps farages etc lording over you three times over. the state of muppetism 😂 never stop keep going pls
3:12 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851810500520161461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Countries' interests are long lasting. Germany-Russia was not merely Hitler-Stalin. Eastern Europeans but especially Poland + Baltics must create own nuclear detterence or they are dead meat. I believe they lack institutional capacity for that feat of self-defence and will to live. But I maybe wrong on that and they may surprise. (like Ukraine did)
2:16 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Countries' interests are long lasting. Germany-Russia was not merely Hitler-Stalin. Eastern Europeans but especially Poland + Baltics must create own nuclear detterence or they are dead meat. I believe they lack institutional capacity for that feat of self-defence and will to live. But I maybe wrong on that and they may surprise. (like Ukraine did)
2:16 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851796950774894921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I sure hope they are! I'd encourage mine to use it, if I'm ever asked for input on that. (I never am) Sure beats searching dozen or so prescribed web sites, and whatever internal Intranet site they are searching that seems dog slow. (this is UK)
1:22 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I sure hope they are! I'd encourage mine to use it, if I'm ever asked for input on that. (I never am) Sure beats searching dozen or so prescribed web sites, and whatever internal Intranet site they are searching that seems dog slow. (this is UK)
1:22 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851796146894573723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All that is possible. But yeah - mine is personal unfounded suspicion. Forecasting the future is a mugs game. I'm cognizant of that as I do forecasting of things in the future for a living. (very weak forecasts, and in a very narrow domain and middling horizons)
1:19 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All that is possible. But yeah - mine is personal unfounded suspicion. Forecasting the future is a mugs game. I'm cognizant of that as I do forecasting of things in the future for a living. (very weak forecasts, and in a very narrow domain and middling horizons)
1:19 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851788804740518381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My personal prejudice is on the CO2 trajectory. Will be both worse and better. Given what we observed with the ~1.2C rise in ~100yrs - 1) we will overshoot 3C, that will be worse than forecast, 2) the impact will be net positive, positives outweighing negatives in total. Again just looking back at what happened during the past 100yrs and 1.2C rise. Afaics humanity is in rude health. Most humans ever alive in history, most food ever produced, least number hungry destitute etc. Mother Earth seems to be doing mostly ok whenever I look at @OurWorldInData charts. Yes parts of India, Iran, SA etc may become too hot to be habitable by humans, UK may become too cold if the Golf stream is disrupted. . Humans will move.
12:50 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My personal prejudice is on the CO2 trajectory. Will be both worse and better. Given what we observed with the ~1.2C rise in ~100yrs - 1) we will overshoot 3C, that will be worse than forecast, 2) the impact will be net positive, positives outweighing negatives in total. Again just looking back at what happened during the past 100yrs and 1.2C rise. Afaics humanity is in rude health. Most humans ever alive in history, most food ever produced, least number hungry destitute etc. Mother Earth seems to be doing mostly ok whenever I look at @OurWorldInData charts. Yes parts of India, Iran, SA etc may become too hot to be habitable by humans, UK may become too cold if the Golf stream is disrupted. . Humans will move.
12:50 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851786280130220193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tangential - human population is at ATH, never been higher. There is a bust only relative to a prior boom. I'm all for more people, more humans better, but maybe some perspective will help lift the spirits a bit? Looks like a reversion to the mean? (prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850947239075852349)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 28
Replying to @RichardHanania
Agreed with all above. Plus - it's a reversion to the mean. Although it may undershoot, i.e. overshoot on the downside. Because - the current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom!! The number of humans alive is ATH. For a very long time, humanity had a steady state: for every Show more 12:40 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tangential - human population is at ATH, never been higher. There is a bust only relative to a prior boom. I'm all for more people, more humans better, but maybe some perspective will help lift the spirits a bit? Looks like a reversion to the mean? (prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850947239075852349)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 28
Replying to @RichardHanania
Agreed with all above. Plus - it's a reversion to the mean. Although it may undershoot, i.e. overshoot on the downside. Because - the current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom!! The number of humans alive is ATH. For a very long time, humanity had a steady state: for every Show more 12:40 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851778051664941456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this interview by @numberphile ?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QNznD9hMEh0 I thought it was good, spirited and even funny at times. And the bits on quant trading were spot on imo. youtube.com Jim Simons (full length interview) - Numberphile Shorter version: https://youtu.be/gjVDqfUhXOYMore about The Simons Foundation: http://bit.ly/SimonsFoundationJames Harris Simons has been described as "the w... 12:07 AM · Oct 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this interview by @numberphile ?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QNznD9hMEh0 I thought it was good, spirited and even funny at times. And the bits on quant trading were spot on imo. youtube.com Jim Simons (full length interview) - Numberphile Shorter version: https://youtu.be/gjVDqfUhXOYMore about The Simons Foundation: http://bit.ly/SimonsFoundationJames Harris Simons has been described as "the w... 12:07 AM · Oct 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851772858462019968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Phew - Ukrainians dodged a bullet there. Had Biden not been that proactive to remind them, this life saving solution might not have occurred to them. Lucky
11:47 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Phew - Ukrainians dodged a bullet there. Had Biden not been that proactive to remind them, this life saving solution might not have occurred to them. Lucky
11:47 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851772152711717169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nice addendum to the non-iterated variant by @garyseconomics . Where the specific utility function implicitly chosen, choice that is apparently undiscussed by econs (?), is discussed together with the implications on the conclusions econs draw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck youtube.com Game Theory is Broken Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c... 11:44 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nice addendum to the non-iterated variant by @garyseconomics . Where the specific utility function implicitly chosen, choice that is apparently undiscussed by econs (?), is discussed together with the implications on the conclusions econs draw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck youtube.com Game Theory is Broken Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c... 11:44 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851762381757563059
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe they are just cowards. Didn't think there was some big present specific danger? The UK as a country has never been safer - no? Looking at the data, the stats of serious crimes, even specifically political assassinations and similar?
11:05 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe they are just cowards. Didn't think there was some big present specific danger? The UK as a country has never been safer - no? Looking at the data, the stats of serious crimes, even specifically political assassinations and similar?
11:05 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851742448680137190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This looks like a doomsday cult, a death cult to me. An IYI ("Intellectual Yet Idiot") analog to say ISIS in modern times. Human sacrifice, puritan purging of the flesh, done in order to repent for the sins inflicted on mother Gaia. And hoping to get back in mother Gaia's good book.
I understand why and how people say "communism", but the socialism (communism) of my childhood was somewhat different. They forever tried for growth and improvement of living standards, but repeatedly failed to achieve that. So they delivered similar results to the crazy-greenie quoted, but not for the lack of trying. A typical cycle went 1. the system is not working, it's failing 2. let's change this thing 3. the change proposed looks like capitalism 4. stop - abandon change. Then in abt 10th yr anniversary of step 1, a new cycle of the sequence wd commence. Only this time the crisis was even more dire. (I'm aware of 3 such 10yr cycles in ex-YU). Changes needed required the party to relinquish power. Between bad present where they had 100% power, and possibly better future where they'd wield less than 100%, sufficient numbers in the ruling party always preferred the former. Quote https://x.com/eugyppius1/status/1851654144089633138 eugyppius @eugyppius1 · 9h listening to greenoid Ulrike Herrmann sell her degrowth plan for Germany: no personal automobiles ofc, living space to be rationed at 50 sq metres/ person, train speed capped at 100 km/hour & train travel also to be rationed (everyone will get a personal kilometre allotment). Show this thread Image 9:46 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This looks like a doomsday cult, a death cult to me. An IYI ("Intellectual Yet Idiot") analog to say ISIS in modern times. Human sacrifice, puritan purging of the flesh, done in order to repent for the sins inflicted on mother Gaia. And hoping to get back in mother Gaia's good book.
I understand why and how people say "communism", but the socialism (communism) of my childhood was somewhat different. They forever tried for growth and improvement of living standards, but repeatedly failed to achieve that. So they delivered similar results to the crazy-greenie quoted, but not for the lack of trying. A typical cycle went 1. the system is not working, it's failing 2. let's change this thing 3. the change proposed looks like capitalism 4. stop - abandon change. Then in abt 10th yr anniversary of step 1, a new cycle of the sequence wd commence. Only this time the crisis was even more dire. (I'm aware of 3 such 10yr cycles in ex-YU). Changes needed required the party to relinquish power. Between bad present where they had 100% power, and possibly better future where they'd wield less than 100%, sufficient numbers in the ruling party always preferred the former. Quote https://x.com/eugyppius1/status/1851654144089633138 eugyppius @eugyppius1 · 9h listening to greenoid Ulrike Herrmann sell her degrowth plan for Germany: no personal automobiles ofc, living space to be rationed at 50 sq metres/ person, train speed capped at 100 km/hour & train travel also to be rationed (everyone will get a personal kilometre allotment). Show this thread Image 9:46 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851689707421471171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the Random Forests guy also the guy that wrote https://www2.math.uu.se/~thulin/mm/breiman.pdf
? I'm not a statistician. I was taught statistics badly, so got to dislike it, even if I loved everything mathematics at school, and computers and all things computing latter. For the longest time I could not understand most things stats, in the "but why??? why would you want that?!" way. In a sense - "understand the words, but not understanding the sentences", what was being said didn't make sense to me. Then at some point I read the paper above and many things made sense. Wish I'd read it decades prior! I still didn't like stats, but I could understand why. ☺️ Heard @geoffreyhinton in an interview say "statisticians told me to learn more than 100 parameters is crazy, just crazy" 😂 - but can't find the clip now, sorry. 6:16 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the Random Forests guy also the guy that wrote https://www2.math.uu.se/~thulin/mm/breiman.pdf
? I'm not a statistician. I was taught statistics badly, so got to dislike it, even if I loved everything mathematics at school, and computers and all things computing latter. For the longest time I could not understand most things stats, in the "but why??? why would you want that?!" way. In a sense - "understand the words, but not understanding the sentences", what was being said didn't make sense to me. Then at some point I read the paper above and many things made sense. Wish I'd read it decades prior! I still didn't like stats, but I could understand why. ☺️ Heard @geoffreyhinton in an interview say "statisticians told me to learn more than 100 parameters is crazy, just crazy" 😂 - but can't find the clip now, sorry. 6:16 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851678987220902096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is doomsday cult, a death cult. An IYI "Intellectual Yet Idiot" analogy to ISIS. Human sacrifice, neopuritan purging of the flesh of the sins it inflicted on mother Gaia.
5:34 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is doomsday cult, a death cult. An IYI "Intellectual Yet Idiot" analogy to ISIS. Human sacrifice, neopuritan purging of the flesh of the sins it inflicted on mother Gaia.
5:34 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851675515741937945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... highlight - "... i tako je odjednom letovanje dobilo na kvalitetu ..." 😂 ( @ 14' 10" ; in serbian, subtitled in english)
5:20 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... highlight - "... i tako je odjednom letovanje dobilo na kvalitetu ..." 😂 ( @ 14' 10" ; in serbian, subtitled in english)
5:20 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851674142329708566
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima dokumentarec za konstruiranjeto na Galaksija (1984) "GALAKSIJA - Računar koji je odbio da umre! 4K"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=RxzgW-WP13I A ovoj mart imase i re-izdanie na Racunari br. 1, po povod 40 god od izdavanjeto, "Računari (ponovo) u vašoj kući" na https://racunari.com, jas si go kupiv (pak) 😆 youtube.com GALAKSIJA - Računar koji je odbio da umre! 4K GALAKSIJA - A computer that refused to die!Order your Galaksija KIT: https://galaksija.org.rs/index.php/product/galaksijakit/In the 80s, the world was happil... 5:14 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima dokumentarec za konstruiranjeto na Galaksija (1984) "GALAKSIJA - Računar koji je odbio da umre! 4K"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=RxzgW-WP13I A ovoj mart imase i re-izdanie na Racunari br. 1, po povod 40 god od izdavanjeto, "Računari (ponovo) u vašoj kući" na https://racunari.com, jas si go kupiv (pak) 😆 youtube.com GALAKSIJA - Računar koji je odbio da umre! 4K GALAKSIJA - A computer that refused to die!Order your Galaksija KIT: https://galaksija.org.rs/index.php/product/galaksijakit/In the 80s, the world was happil... 5:14 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851660431980736920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely. Uptime 10 yrs now. Only day off when complications fixing changing broke PSU fan 4 yrs ago. Abt once a year the computer freezes. Suspect kernel hot update, but can't be bothered to track down and possibly turn off.
4:20 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely. Uptime 10 yrs now. Only day off when complications fixing changing broke PSU fan 4 yrs ago. Abt once a year the computer freezes. Suspect kernel hot update, but can't be bothered to track down and possibly turn off.
4:20 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851655308294172786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! That was an unexpected and delightful find!
"Otkrivanje Amerike, Voja Antonić" by @PCPressRS . Good to hear a childhood idol. (@vojaantonic ?) Found out he upped sticks and moved to California at most excellent age of 65yo. 😆 And by the sound of it, seems he's found his tribe, the tribe he belongs to. 🥰 Life lessons etc - yay! ☺️ kudos 🫡 https://youtube.com/watch?v=a8eBWrfDruQ (in serbian, hosted by @dejanristanovic) 4:00 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! That was an unexpected and delightful find!
"Otkrivanje Amerike, Voja Antonić" by @PCPressRS . Good to hear a childhood idol. (@vojaantonic ?) Found out he upped sticks and moved to California at most excellent age of 65yo. 😆 And by the sound of it, seems he's found his tribe, the tribe he belongs to. 🥰 Life lessons etc - yay! ☺️ kudos 🫡 https://youtube.com/watch?v=a8eBWrfDruQ (in serbian, hosted by @dejanristanovic) 4:00 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851652121633984682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sabine @skdh always interesting, this on physics entropy. (I come to entropy via probability/pdf/information - good to hear alt view)
"I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s youtube.com I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting... Learn more about differential equations (and many other topics in maths and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get st... 3:47 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sabine @skdh always interesting, this on physics entropy. (I come to entropy via probability/pdf/information - good to hear alt view)
"I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting video I'll ever make.)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s youtube.com I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting... Learn more about differential equations (and many other topics in maths and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get st... 3:47 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851631944691302663
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything by Veritasium about the Prisoner’s Dilemma.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM youtube.com What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri... 2:27 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything by Veritasium about the Prisoner’s Dilemma.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM youtube.com What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri... 2:27 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851599835570286979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Right there with "... give them a fish ... teach them to fish" and "... kids bobbing floating in a river" (saving of). No worthy action to be done exists, for which dozen reasons why it should not be done, don't just roll naturally fttoth in one easy sweep.
12:19 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Right there with "... give them a fish ... teach them to fish" and "... kids bobbing floating in a river" (saving of). No worthy action to be done exists, for which dozen reasons why it should not be done, don't just roll naturally fttoth in one easy sweep.
12:19 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851598520320495780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆 - sacks-musk techbros wing arriving to a biblical "crash the economy, burn all down, sharp short pain to purify your soul and heal everything long term" destination is not unexpected. A road well traveled. Should it transpire, I'd have watched in awe and amusement, and esp once the neopuritans decided that techbros aren't pure after all, if not for 1) it's a global world now 2) UK is affected by all things US more than the rest.
12:14 PM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆 - sacks-musk techbros wing arriving to a biblical "crash the economy, burn all down, sharp short pain to purify your soul and heal everything long term" destination is not unexpected. A road well traveled. Should it transpire, I'd have watched in awe and amusement, and esp once the neopuritans decided that techbros aren't pure after all, if not for 1) it's a global world now 2) UK is affected by all things US more than the rest.
12:14 PM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851583216445976777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect if AB had the power to sack their CEO tomorrow, then the fax machines will indeed be turned off before that and solution "found". Incentives => results, episode 101.
11:13 AM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect if AB had the power to sack their CEO tomorrow, then the fax machines will indeed be turned off before that and solution "found". Incentives => results, episode 101.
11:13 AM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851581001669226549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rather than "secrecy by default" and "things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request" (latter usually counter-frustrated by the state, in execution), we dearly need radical transparency: everything public, on the public web, on public shared Google drives (read only), as default. Closed off and made secret only by request. Admit there are pros- and cons- to both public and secret, to knowing and not-knowing, but imo we have reached a point where "public by default" offers better trade offs. Agree that such change has about zero chance of happening. 😇 Hell will freeze over sooner that Yes Minister Sir Humphreys' running the UK forever change their ways this way. 😂
11:04 AM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rather than "secrecy by default" and "things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request" (latter usually counter-frustrated by the state, in execution), we dearly need radical transparency: everything public, on the public web, on public shared Google drives (read only), as default. Closed off and made secret only by request. Admit there are pros- and cons- to both public and secret, to knowing and not-knowing, but imo we have reached a point where "public by default" offers better trade offs. Agree that such change has about zero chance of happening. 😇 Hell will freeze over sooner that Yes Minister Sir Humphreys' running the UK forever change their ways this way. 😂
11:04 AM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851578313174646866
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it possible that the 1) gov owned assets - council homes - in the old times. So the responsibility that 2) "local council is obliged to house ones that can't house themselves" 3) was discharged that way. And now that gov has 4) disposed of those assets, and 5) not built new housing to replace the old one, while keeping the obligation to house people (#2), has to 6) house them in the private sector, and has to 7) pay £££ as everyone else? So a number of things 1-7 conspire to the result seen on the graph.
10:54 AM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it possible that the 1) gov owned assets - council homes - in the old times. So the responsibility that 2) "local council is obliged to house ones that can't house themselves" 3) was discharged that way. And now that gov has 4) disposed of those assets, and 5) not built new housing to replace the old one, while keeping the obligation to house people (#2), has to 6) house them in the private sector, and has to 7) pay £££ as everyone else? So a number of things 1-7 conspire to the result seen on the graph.
10:54 AM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851576136574116310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - very good 👏👏 "an image is worth 16x16 words, but a program is worth 2^4" images, I will remember that. 😇 I suspect Kolmogoroff complexity maybe nodding in agreement there.
As means of thanks - oldie goodie tangentially related https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKMuA_TVz3A youtube.com An Observation on Generalization Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI) https://simons.berkeley.edu/talks/ilya-sutskever-openai-2023-08-14 Large Language Models and Transformers 10:45 AM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - very good 👏👏 "an image is worth 16x16 words, but a program is worth 2^4" images, I will remember that. 😇 I suspect Kolmogoroff complexity maybe nodding in agreement there.
As means of thanks - oldie goodie tangentially related https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKMuA_TVz3A youtube.com An Observation on Generalization Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI) https://simons.berkeley.edu/talks/ilya-sutskever-openai-2023-08-14 Large Language Models and Transformers 10:45 AM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851573864754520265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quick - beg-threaten-cajole the billionaire oligarchs, therein lies our salvation. 🤪 Put on the usual tune, switch on auto-repeat. It's worked in the past, will do again. 🙃 Sorry but not sorry. By now it's too hard to stay restrained and not jab at this level of cluelessness.
10:36 AM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quick - beg-threaten-cajole the billionaire oligarchs, therein lies our salvation. 🤪 Put on the usual tune, switch on auto-repeat. It's worked in the past, will do again. 🙃 Sorry but not sorry. By now it's too hard to stay restrained and not jab at this level of cluelessness.
10:36 AM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851570322283118672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Edno vreme koga poznati od MK ke mi pratea link od domasen medium, so nepismen prevod na nesto sto e originalno objaveno na Angliski, za raboti sto mi licea vazni, se potruduvav da 1) go najdam originalniot izvor 2) im pratam Google Translate link na izvorot 3) objasnam sto vo nepismeniot "prevod" (od original na srpski, pa na makedonski) e netocno, odnosno "ne e bash taka", im dava vpecatok na nesto, sto originalot ne go raskazuva 4) raskazam kako e. Verojatno gi nervirav, verojatno "sto se pravi ovoj pameten" / "aj dosta mi filozofiras". 😂😂
Posle prestanav, nema fajde od toa. Ne samo sto nikoj nema da kaze "fala", no i ke se raspravas moze i ke se iskaras ako zapnes da objasnuvas mnogu. Poignorantni, ama pomirni - ima "silver linning" i toa. Spored "konj moze da doneses do poilo, ne moze da go nateras da pie", "mozam da ti ja pokazam vratata, ama ti treba sam da sakas i da pomines niz nea", etc 10:22 AM · Oct 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Edno vreme koga poznati od MK ke mi pratea link od domasen medium, so nepismen prevod na nesto sto e originalno objaveno na Angliski, za raboti sto mi licea vazni, se potruduvav da 1) go najdam originalniot izvor 2) im pratam Google Translate link na izvorot 3) objasnam sto vo nepismeniot "prevod" (od original na srpski, pa na makedonski) e netocno, odnosno "ne e bash taka", im dava vpecatok na nesto, sto originalot ne go raskazuva 4) raskazam kako e. Verojatno gi nervirav, verojatno "sto se pravi ovoj pameten" / "aj dosta mi filozofiras". 😂😂
Posle prestanav, nema fajde od toa. Ne samo sto nikoj nema da kaze "fala", no i ke se raspravas moze i ke se iskaras ako zapnes da objasnuvas mnogu. Poignorantni, ama pomirni - ima "silver linning" i toa. Spored "konj moze da doneses do poilo, ne moze da go nateras da pie", "mozam da ti ja pokazam vratata, ama ti treba sam da sakas i da pomines niz nea", etc 10:22 AM · Oct 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851258103158677918
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You seem interested in telling stories - that ok, fine. I'm interested in what's true, and what's not true, separating these two. I made the point that 1) mmt forecasts were correct 2) there is a chance then that the underlying knowledge used to make the forecasts is correct too
1:41 PM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You seem interested in telling stories - that ok, fine. I'm interested in what's true, and what's not true, separating these two. I made the point that 1) mmt forecasts were correct 2) there is a chance then that the underlying knowledge used to make the forecasts is correct too
1:41 PM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851233502118719839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are both divas virtue of their respective positions. This vignette tells us who needs whom more. She shd come to the studio, as chances are, shd be time well spent for her. Reaching 30-40M audience, a lot of that the non-voting 50%. Sounds like a good deal to me tbh.
12:03 PM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are both divas virtue of their respective positions. This vignette tells us who needs whom more. She shd come to the studio, as chances are, shd be time well spent for her. Reaching 30-40M audience, a lot of that the non-voting 50%. Sounds like a good deal to me tbh.
12:03 PM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851231670952775803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes of course. Humans are overrated atm. No surprise when we do the rating ourselves. We've been going for too long without competition. AI competition will hurt short term. But it's for the better long term. We just have to survive until then. Will do so by upping our game.
11:56 AM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes of course. Humans are overrated atm. No surprise when we do the rating ourselves. We've been going for too long without competition. AI competition will hurt short term. But it's for the better long term. We just have to survive until then. Will do so by upping our game.
11:56 AM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851225442323177616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MMT "1) us gov can't willingly run out of $$$, it always creates $$$, but 2) the danger is inflation". Everyone econ - "haha insane". Covid comes, then step 1) us gov does not run out of $$$, and then step 2) we get inflation. Same pple from before "haha, mmt disproven". I'm not an economist or an mmter (am a quant trader), but afaics that covid episode unfolded as per the mmt prediction.
11:31 AM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MMT "1) us gov can't willingly run out of $$$, it always creates $$$, but 2) the danger is inflation". Everyone econ - "haha insane". Covid comes, then step 1) us gov does not run out of $$$, and then step 2) we get inflation. Same pple from before "haha, mmt disproven". I'm not an economist or an mmter (am a quant trader), but afaics that covid episode unfolded as per the mmt prediction.
11:31 AM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851223653238620235
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c those $35T are your savings in your savings money accounts. That you lend to the us gov. And for what it pays you interest. Pays you 5%, even while you do zero work, and undertake zero risk. Imo it's a good deal for you, the lender of those $35T. TBH pple not able to appreciate what good stuff they have, they typically lose it in time.
11:24 AM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c those $35T are your savings in your savings money accounts. That you lend to the us gov. And for what it pays you interest. Pays you 5%, even while you do zero work, and undertake zero risk. Imo it's a good deal for you, the lender of those $35T. TBH pple not able to appreciate what good stuff they have, they typically lose it in time.
11:24 AM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851221588953194726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - but sorry, can't get that interested in that: culture, politics etc Re: Orientalism. Even with "imagining the Balkans" type (e.g. "balkanization") where I shd maybe be more interested. Middles East morass are too much for me. Yeah IK abt "you maybe not interested in politics, but politics is interested in you", but in London we are not at that stage imo. I laugh at the Balkan dads/immigrants TikToks with my kids though - many funny ones in the genre. 😂 But that's the end of my interest tbh. Over the years - have also taken stock of Occidentalism, and come to prejudices as prior knowledge virtue of my job too. But that's about it. There are things I find more interesting for me.
11:16 AM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - but sorry, can't get that interested in that: culture, politics etc Re: Orientalism. Even with "imagining the Balkans" type (e.g. "balkanization") where I shd maybe be more interested. Middles East morass are too much for me. Yeah IK abt "you maybe not interested in politics, but politics is interested in you", but in London we are not at that stage imo. I laugh at the Balkan dads/immigrants TikToks with my kids though - many funny ones in the genre. 😂 But that's the end of my interest tbh. Over the years - have also taken stock of Occidentalism, and come to prejudices as prior knowledge virtue of my job too. But that's about it. There are things I find more interesting for me.
11:16 AM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851206181626274044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... to add to the above, and promote this astonishing stat too: as late as 1964, the "mode age" of death in England and Wales was zero! wowzers!! 😱😰
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-magazine-monitor-29618190 bbc.co.uk Small Data: When the average age of death was zero In 1964, the "mode age" of death in England and Wales was zero. 10:15 AM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... to add to the above, and promote this astonishing stat too: as late as 1964, the "mode age" of death in England and Wales was zero! wowzers!! 😱😰
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-magazine-monitor-29618190 bbc.co.uk Small Data: When the average age of death was zero In 1964, the "mode age" of death in England and Wales was zero. 10:15 AM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851085117634007331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks she's honed her message so so well by now, the right shortness, the right number of repeats, that she does actually manage to put a point across!? Which is a miracle! The female presenter was not repelled? The male one I'm sorry to say looked a dumb airhead that would need the message drilled into his thick skull for at least few more years. Yeah - stellar job by @StephanieKelton
there. One does not often see any issue addressed well in 5 mins of soundbites. Let alone a contentious, non-intuitive like this one, that goes counter to most econ establishment, education and indoctrination, and even the language itself! kudos 2:14 AM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks she's honed her message so so well by now, the right shortness, the right number of repeats, that she does actually manage to put a point across!? Which is a miracle! The female presenter was not repelled? The male one I'm sorry to say looked a dumb airhead that would need the message drilled into his thick skull for at least few more years. Yeah - stellar job by @StephanieKelton
there. One does not often see any issue addressed well in 5 mins of soundbites. Let alone a contentious, non-intuitive like this one, that goes counter to most econ establishment, education and indoctrination, and even the language itself! kudos 2:14 AM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1851064640354353342
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No point in complaining. The medium shapes the message. The TV messaging you see underwent a process of the previous for 70yrs. It ended where you see it ended. Can it go back to how it was in 1970? No. Better all switch to online media - podcasts and similar longer forms.
12:52 AM · Oct 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No point in complaining. The medium shapes the message. The TV messaging you see underwent a process of the previous for 70yrs. It ended where you see it ended. Can it go back to how it was in 1970? No. Better all switch to online media - podcasts and similar longer forms.
12:52 AM · Oct 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850970581543321704
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The omens are that you are already failing and you will fail even more. Just look at your predecessors and assume you will do not better! You are not brave enough it seems - sorry to notice from afar (IDK you). Forget about a 2nd term - b/c the 1st one will be cut short the way things are going - and do 1) as you promised 2) as you think it right. You have a spine, you only live once - doing the easy thing instead of the right thing will leave you never walking upright as before. It's not worth it. Do the right thing - now!!
6:39 PM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The omens are that you are already failing and you will fail even more. Just look at your predecessors and assume you will do not better! You are not brave enough it seems - sorry to notice from afar (IDK you). Forget about a 2nd term - b/c the 1st one will be cut short the way things are going - and do 1) as you promised 2) as you think it right. You have a spine, you only live once - doing the easy thing instead of the right thing will leave you never walking upright as before. It's not worth it. Do the right thing - now!!
6:39 PM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850948752602984500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To "look objectively" is a contradiction in terms afaics It's impossible "look objectively". Any and all "looking" happens in the eye and the mind of the observer. So "looking" can not be the objective reality, as reality exists outside of the observer. The observer can only ever have views of that reality. So they will always be subjective.
Imagine the reality is a 3D object, forever unknowable without non-zero error, never completely accessible to us mortals. We always get a mere 2D view of that object. We can say - the view we know, the object we don't know. Say the 3D object is a cylinder. We may get many 2D views, a circle, a rectangle, and many other 2D shapes too. All those will be subjective views. The only objective thing is a non-2D-view it's the 3D object. The object and any views are forever different qualities. 5:12 PM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To "look objectively" is a contradiction in terms afaics It's impossible "look objectively". Any and all "looking" happens in the eye and the mind of the observer. So "looking" can not be the objective reality, as reality exists outside of the observer. The observer can only ever have views of that reality. So they will always be subjective.
Imagine the reality is a 3D object, forever unknowable without non-zero error, never completely accessible to us mortals. We always get a mere 2D view of that object. We can say - the view we know, the object we don't know. Say the 3D object is a cylinder. We may get many 2D views, a circle, a rectangle, and many other 2D shapes too. All those will be subjective views. The only objective thing is a non-2D-view it's the 3D object. The object and any views are forever different qualities. 5:12 PM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850947239075852349
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed with all above. Plus - it's a reversion to the mean. Although it may undershoot, i.e. overshoot on the downside. Because - the current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom!! The number of humans alive is ATH. For a very long time, humanity had a steady state: for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they could have kids of their own. So the population was about constant. Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born though - so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with the biology.
Personal anecdote: my grandparents on both sides born in the Ottoman empire, end-19c/beg-20c, all had >=6 kids. Their grand/grand/...parents broods of similar sizes all had kids die before their adulthoods. But my grandparents kids (my parents) lived to adulthood and had kids of their own (my generation). My parents siblings were 5-6, but my parents generation had only 2-3 kids themselves. The reason my parents generation lived is the industrial revolution. Plus - living in an apartment in a city with 1 bedroom per kid puts a limit in way. The extended families moved from the villages to the cities post WW2. The country experienced industrial revolution after 1945. My generation (1968) also has ~2 kids. We were in a position similar to our parents. It's remarkable that humans do that (many other species don't): during best of times, humans stop multiplying. It will be a decade-two until this becomes consequential - possibly. B/c by then maybe AI will be multiplying humans' intellectual capabilities so we may still be ok wrt research & development. 5:06 PM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed with all above. Plus - it's a reversion to the mean. Although it may undershoot, i.e. overshoot on the downside. Because - the current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom!! The number of humans alive is ATH. For a very long time, humanity had a steady state: for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they could have kids of their own. So the population was about constant. Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born though - so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with the biology.
Personal anecdote: my grandparents on both sides born in the Ottoman empire, end-19c/beg-20c, all had >=6 kids. Their grand/grand/...parents broods of similar sizes all had kids die before their adulthoods. But my grandparents kids (my parents) lived to adulthood and had kids of their own (my generation). My parents siblings were 5-6, but my parents generation had only 2-3 kids themselves. The reason my parents generation lived is the industrial revolution. Plus - living in an apartment in a city with 1 bedroom per kid puts a limit in way. The extended families moved from the villages to the cities post WW2. The country experienced industrial revolution after 1945. My generation (1968) also has ~2 kids. We were in a position similar to our parents. It's remarkable that humans do that (many other species don't): during best of times, humans stop multiplying. It will be a decade-two until this becomes consequential - possibly. B/c by then maybe AI will be multiplying humans' intellectual capabilities so we may still be ok wrt research & development. 5:06 PM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850938381167145265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This one? (26-Sep) Or is it a different talk?
youtube.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=Gr_eYXdHFis Learning to Reason with LLMs Noam Brown (OpenAI) https://simons.berkeley.edu/talks/noam-brown-openai-2024-09-26 Transformers as a Computational Model Large language models (LLMs) have demon... 4:31 PM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This one? (26-Sep) Or is it a different talk?
youtube.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=Gr_eYXdHFis Learning to Reason with LLMs Noam Brown (OpenAI) https://simons.berkeley.edu/talks/noam-brown-openai-2024-09-26 Transformers as a Computational Model Large language models (LLMs) have demon... 4:31 PM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850908991351599459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is he wrong though? Is what's being said true, or not true? That is the question. You could do worse than re-read your FT Ganesh -
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196 The liberal center just forever baffles me. In some aspects so clever, yet in others so so stupid. Not unlike @elonmusk ! Previous - https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027 From ft.com 2:34 PM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is he wrong though? Is what's being said true, or not true? That is the question. You could do worse than re-read your FT Ganesh -
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196 The liberal center just forever baffles me. In some aspects so clever, yet in others so so stupid. Not unlike @elonmusk ! Previous - https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027 From ft.com 2:34 PM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850891768142655490
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850890821916139672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not saying they shd be, but a working solution wd be: 1) a public register of assets 2) a "charge" on the asset in the register 3) upon conversion of the asset in cash (sale), the "charge" that's the tax obligation is paid with fraction of the cash i.e. is "discharged". Can be optional - the asset owner can have the tax handled that way, or settled in cash (based on some valuation). Or a combination: the tax obligation starts as a charge on the asset put in the register tied to the asset, then it can be discharged at any point via cash payment (valued at real-time valuation), up to and including the point of asset disposal. We already have a working system like this for an asset - houses bought with mortgage. There's a register, the interest of the mortgage lender in the house is registered as a "charge". When I the mortgage holder sell the house, the mortgage lender will receive his cash. Or I may pay the mortgage early (terms of the mortgage conditional on). In both cases - the charge is discharged and removed. I can imagine a scheme where the charge stays even after the asset changes ownership. But that seems an unnecessary complication. 1:22 PM · Oct 28, 2024 1:26 PM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not saying they shd be, but a working solution wd be: 1) a public register of assets 2) a "charge" on the asset in the register 3) upon conversion of the asset in cash (sale), the "charge" that's the tax obligation is paid with fraction of the cash i.e. is "discharged". Can be optional - the asset owner can have the tax handled that way, or settled in cash (based on some valuation). Or a combination: the tax obligation starts as a charge on the asset put in the register tied to the asset, then it can be discharged at any point via cash payment (valued at real-time valuation), up to and including the point of asset disposal. We already have a working system like this for an asset - houses bought with mortgage. There's a register, the interest of the mortgage lender in the house is registered as a "charge". When I the mortgage holder sell the house, the mortgage lender will receive his cash. Or I may pay the mortgage early (terms of the mortgage conditional on). In both cases - the charge is discharged and removed. I can imagine a scheme where the charge stays even after the asset changes ownership. But that seems an unnecessary complication. 1:22 PM · Oct 28, 2024 1:26 PM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850871755738419277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, no worries - public is fine. The "positives will outweigh the negatives" expectation is indeed based on survivorship bias! You identified that correctly. We have had 1.2C rise in 100yrs already. Afaics humanity is in good health - the most humans ever in history alive, the most food ever produced, the least number hungry or destitute or similar. CO2 is food for the plants so that maybe helpful. The natural world seems to be doing ok too, when I look the charts on the environment on @OurWorldInData . Yes some parts of India, Iran, Saudi Arabia etc may become too hot to be comfortably habitable. People will move. UK may become too cold if the Golf stream warmth is disrupted. Many may choose to move (myself included), in preference to living with cold winters like in Canada or Norway. We know in pre-history (before humans lived) there are many episodes with CO2 being higher than the more extreme forecasts. Life on earth was abundant too. For us humans I think bigger threats are - destruction of our civilization in a nuclear war, or asteroid hitting Earth. Hope this answers somewhat your question.
12:06 PM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, no worries - public is fine. The "positives will outweigh the negatives" expectation is indeed based on survivorship bias! You identified that correctly. We have had 1.2C rise in 100yrs already. Afaics humanity is in good health - the most humans ever in history alive, the most food ever produced, the least number hungry or destitute or similar. CO2 is food for the plants so that maybe helpful. The natural world seems to be doing ok too, when I look the charts on the environment on @OurWorldInData . Yes some parts of India, Iran, Saudi Arabia etc may become too hot to be comfortably habitable. People will move. UK may become too cold if the Golf stream warmth is disrupted. Many may choose to move (myself included), in preference to living with cold winters like in Canada or Norway. We know in pre-history (before humans lived) there are many episodes with CO2 being higher than the more extreme forecasts. Life on earth was abundant too. For us humans I think bigger threats are - destruction of our civilization in a nuclear war, or asteroid hitting Earth. Hope this answers somewhat your question.
12:06 PM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850861424278392979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My personal prejudice is "both worse and better" forecast. Given what we observed with the ~1.2C rise in ~100yrs: 1) we will overshoot 3C, that will be worse than forecast; 2) the impact will be more net positive, the positives will overweight the negatives in total.
11:25 AM · Oct 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My personal prejudice is "both worse and better" forecast. Given what we observed with the ~1.2C rise in ~100yrs: 1) we will overshoot 3C, that will be worse than forecast; 2) the impact will be more net positive, the positives will overweight the negatives in total.
11:25 AM · Oct 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850638806816579701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible that water drinking ones are no fun, unimaginative moralizing bores, are actually not that great when it comes to opening new vistas, new avenues for growth. One can't execute create things one is not able to imagine. Even when events hit them over the head with a "hey, look over here, stuff's happening, join in", they just cover, and quickly turn their gaze the other way. Possible that there is an overlap between the groups.
8:40 PM · Oct 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible that water drinking ones are no fun, unimaginative moralizing bores, are actually not that great when it comes to opening new vistas, new avenues for growth. One can't execute create things one is not able to imagine. Even when events hit them over the head with a "hey, look over here, stuff's happening, join in", they just cover, and quickly turn their gaze the other way. Possible that there is an overlap between the groups.
8:40 PM · Oct 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850636006803886559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pattern recognition is part of intelligence, but not the whole of it. Fairly confident that there is some hypothesis generation and scoring and searching that's also pat of intelligence. This is what various games engines do, now o1-preview (possibly Anthropic models under the hood too?). We are learning that for both it maybe learning algorithms (E-M, backprop etc) that maybe are part of intelligence too? Most things in the field are very speculative. We discover, make advances in the area, by doing. Our maths is lacking, it's deficient. Waiting on the Gauss(es) of the 22nd cent for advance there to happen.
8:29 PM · Oct 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pattern recognition is part of intelligence, but not the whole of it. Fairly confident that there is some hypothesis generation and scoring and searching that's also pat of intelligence. This is what various games engines do, now o1-preview (possibly Anthropic models under the hood too?). We are learning that for both it maybe learning algorithms (E-M, backprop etc) that maybe are part of intelligence too? Most things in the field are very speculative. We discover, make advances in the area, by doing. Our maths is lacking, it's deficient. Waiting on the Gauss(es) of the 22nd cent for advance there to happen.
8:29 PM · Oct 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850530918038999448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OP possibly references Borat, rather than Ali G.
1:32 PM · Oct 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OP possibly references Borat, rather than Ali G.
1:32 PM · Oct 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850526569262899473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I too think more people better. Seems to me current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom. Used to be - for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they cd have kids of their own, and the population was stable. Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born, so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with biology. It's remarkable that humans do that (unlike many other species): during best of times, humans stop multiplying. But it will be a decade or two until this becomes consequential. By then maybe AI will be multiplying humans intellectual capabilities so we are still ok regarding research & development.
1:14 PM · Oct 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I too think more people better. Seems to me current baby bust comes after a huge baby boom. Used to be - for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they cd have kids of their own, and the population was stable. Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born, so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with biology. It's remarkable that humans do that (unlike many other species): during best of times, humans stop multiplying. But it will be a decade or two until this becomes consequential. By then maybe AI will be multiplying humans intellectual capabilities so we are still ok regarding research & development.
1:14 PM · Oct 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850495401566048764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄 Labeling them "forecasts" gives them too much credence. They all look like "this thing going down we don't want to go down, will level off at the current level". So basically their forecast is that what forecasters hope to happen. Looks like there is zero predictive power to them.
11:10 AM · Oct 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄 Labeling them "forecasts" gives them too much credence. They all look like "this thing going down we don't want to go down, will level off at the current level". So basically their forecast is that what forecasters hope to happen. Looks like there is zero predictive power to them.
11:10 AM · Oct 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850300804324065672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point - only fear of God wd do, but they are all atheists. So next available option - sth super radical like say heads of No.11 Treasury OBR etc on pikes, to elicit waking up from the mortal slumber they seemengly willfully chose. That or fire every lawyer and economist - but then the PM is one. We're stuffed.
11:17 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point - only fear of God wd do, but they are all atheists. So next available option - sth super radical like say heads of No.11 Treasury OBR etc on pikes, to elicit waking up from the mortal slumber they seemengly willfully chose. That or fire every lawyer and economist - but then the PM is one. We're stuffed.
11:17 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850295784493011159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... it's a moot dilemma, a non existent problem, b/c in reality we can never predict, forecast with 100% accuracy, we always predict with UNreasonable degree of certainty, we are never certain enough for the minority report case to arise for real. Apologise to disappoint on that - but I don't spend any worry on that.
Any forecast is conditional pdf f(y|x), where y is the unknown of interest (crime whatever), x is everything we observe. If we must make a point forecast from the conditional f(y|x) all the worse for us. Even when we don't have to select a point and can use the whole curve, and we know the joint pdf f(x,y) perfectly - we are still stuffed. Unless the conditional resolves to a Dirac impulse and we drop to deterministic world. But that's not going to happen tbh. So yeah - not a worry here. 10:57 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... it's a moot dilemma, a non existent problem, b/c in reality we can never predict, forecast with 100% accuracy, we always predict with UNreasonable degree of certainty, we are never certain enough for the minority report case to arise for real. Apologise to disappoint on that - but I don't spend any worry on that.
Any forecast is conditional pdf f(y|x), where y is the unknown of interest (crime whatever), x is everything we observe. If we must make a point forecast from the conditional f(y|x) all the worse for us. Even when we don't have to select a point and can use the whole curve, and we know the joint pdf f(x,y) perfectly - we are still stuffed. Unless the conditional resolves to a Dirac impulse and we drop to deterministic world. But that's not going to happen tbh. So yeah - not a worry here. 10:57 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850274855066690027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but you are not designing the society, no one is, no one can. It's growing organically, ecosystem like, trial and error, bottom up. Any view of a coherent macro whole is a mirage, an emerging entity we construct in our heads b/c it explains succinctly what we see. That doesn't mean it exists for real. It only means - if that one macro thing existed, it'd make our job of explaining the world around us trackable. Nothing more than that. That's why we do it.
9:34 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but you are not designing the society, no one is, no one can. It's growing organically, ecosystem like, trial and error, bottom up. Any view of a coherent macro whole is a mirage, an emerging entity we construct in our heads b/c it explains succinctly what we see. That doesn't mean it exists for real. It only means - if that one macro thing existed, it'd make our job of explaining the world around us trackable. Nothing more than that. That's why we do it.
9:34 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850272896037331263
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
build-build-build is the only feasible path forward (I'm an immigrant)
9:26 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
build-build-build is the only feasible path forward (I'm an immigrant)
9:26 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850260554012909572
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks dude or dudette 🙏 loving this life 😊 long it may continue 👍 but - l'm EEuropean, I fear it will not 😬
8:37 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks dude or dudette 🙏 loving this life 😊 long it may continue 👍 but - l'm EEuropean, I fear it will not 😬
8:37 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850250360939499839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We will still need a good-bad signal. If not the $€¥ proxy, then it will be social credit or stars - Uber, eBay, Airbnb, or another goodness wholesomeness measure. All watched by machines of loving grace 💞
7:57 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We will still need a good-bad signal. If not the $€¥ proxy, then it will be social credit or stars - Uber, eBay, Airbnb, or another goodness wholesomeness measure. All watched by machines of loving grace 💞
7:57 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850246370222813310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
i know no shame 🎃
7:41 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
i know no shame 🎃
7:41 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850245853618864273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't know that. I can't know that. Noone can know that. Do you get it now?
7:39 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't know that. I can't know that. Noone can know that. Do you get it now?
7:39 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850138144747790501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. But "train wifi" is just mobile network data + wifi hotspot. If the mobile network data cover is missing or miserly, then there will be no train internet either. Even if your device is connected to the train wifi hotspot. Government needs to own a mobile operator of last resort. So that gov dot UK can order its CEO: "go install new masts along the ThamesLink Line, and if not done in 6 months, you are out of a job". My preference be "... off to The Tower with you shd you fail", but sadly lawyers hold the commanding heights atm. And "ah, before you leave - here is emergency planning building powers for you to make use of and *Just-Do-It* ".
12:31 PM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. But "train wifi" is just mobile network data + wifi hotspot. If the mobile network data cover is missing or miserly, then there will be no train internet either. Even if your device is connected to the train wifi hotspot. Government needs to own a mobile operator of last resort. So that gov dot UK can order its CEO: "go install new masts along the ThamesLink Line, and if not done in 6 months, you are out of a job". My preference be "... off to The Tower with you shd you fail", but sadly lawyers hold the commanding heights atm. And "ah, before you leave - here is emergency planning building powers for you to make use of and *Just-Do-It* ".
12:31 PM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850126406879003081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just do it. Move. You will make yourself happy. You will make this twitter space better. The empire you move to will be happy with an additional body. win-win-win
11:44 AM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just do it. Move. You will make yourself happy. You will make this twitter space better. The empire you move to will be happy with an additional body. win-win-win
11:44 AM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850123333607498090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Either way - no need to wait, front run the future. Just move over there, and become a slave in a glorious empire yourself. Easy. Just do it.
11:32 AM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Either way - no need to wait, front run the future. Just move over there, and become a slave in a glorious empire yourself. Easy. Just do it.
11:32 AM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850121283268235348
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Western empires have been over for 80yrs now. Do catch up. Good news - Russian empire is going to be over soon too! Looking forward to the passing of that evil empire too.
11:24 AM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Western empires have been over for 80yrs now. Do catch up. Good news - Russian empire is going to be over soon too! Looking forward to the passing of that evil empire too.
11:24 AM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850120599944978590
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what possesses people, even otherwise intelligent people, to exclaim with flair "X can never - never ever!! - do Z". How can anyone say such a thing, given 1) historic precedents; 2) X can't, but Y similar to it, can now do Z; 3) real world is not mathematics, in the real world we can't prove "solution X to Z does not exist, no need to search for X, you will not find it" like we can in mathematics. Specifically "LLM-s can't do Z" genre is easily countered by "if it can predict with great accuracy, then it knows; if it knows, then it can do". Just baffling. Still - at least LeCun s not a beclowning himself G.Marcus-way. Small mercies.
Embedded video Ilya_Sutskever_Jensen_Huang_predicting_next_word_correct_is_understanding_detective_novel-Mar-2023-YT-GI4Tpi48DlA-20241026.mp4 11:21 AM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what possesses people, even otherwise intelligent people, to exclaim with flair "X can never - never ever!! - do Z". How can anyone say such a thing, given 1) historic precedents; 2) X can't, but Y similar to it, can now do Z; 3) real world is not mathematics, in the real world we can't prove "solution X to Z does not exist, no need to search for X, you will not find it" like we can in mathematics. Specifically "LLM-s can't do Z" genre is easily countered by "if it can predict with great accuracy, then it knows; if it knows, then it can do". Just baffling. Still - at least LeCun s not a beclowning himself G.Marcus-way. Small mercies.
Embedded video Ilya_Sutskever_Jensen_Huang_predicting_next_word_correct_is_understanding_detective_novel-Mar-2023-YT-GI4Tpi48DlA-20241026.mp4 11:21 AM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850110684228370614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Hes got" - 45% that live in the brics countries are not his property. They are free people, like ourselves. No one " 's got" anyone. "Hes got" himself only, like all of us.
10:42 AM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Hes got" - 45% that live in the brics countries are not his property. They are free people, like ourselves. No one " 's got" anyone. "Hes got" himself only, like all of us.
10:42 AM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849979001667977398
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
just install a japanese toilet and stop being a barbarian. idk how japanese pple don't shout abt this from the top of their lungs when abroad. difference of 21st century spaceship v.s. smearing sh*t on some leaves in the woods.
1:58 AM · Oct 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
just install a japanese toilet and stop being a barbarian. idk how japanese pple don't shout abt this from the top of their lungs when abroad. difference of 21st century spaceship v.s. smearing sh*t on some leaves in the woods.
1:58 AM · Oct 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849942131768484207
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When it concerns itself with fiat and anything finance, mainstream econ is basically a death cult. It's a python slowly strangling its prey. So much time passes that pple forget what a good economy looks like. Lawyers + economists on the side hold the commanding heights atm.
11:32 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When it concerns itself with fiat and anything finance, mainstream econ is basically a death cult. It's a python slowly strangling its prey. So much time passes that pple forget what a good economy looks like. Lawyers + economists on the side hold the commanding heights atm.
11:32 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849912189877911754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not all people play games. After initially playing some on the 8-bit home computers '87, and a few games latter on the early PCs, I found them boring and have not played any since. Tried few times - boring.
9:33 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not all people play games. After initially playing some on the 8-bit home computers '87, and a few games latter on the early PCs, I found them boring and have not played any since. Tried few times - boring.
9:33 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849904553266749706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LLMs - ChatGPT by default for anything Wikipedia like, or if it's searching the web then Perplexity.
9:03 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LLMs - ChatGPT by default for anything Wikipedia like, or if it's searching the web then Perplexity.
9:03 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849838439887221030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ideally we'd have @SkyNews investigate @BBCNews on the hows and whys of this non-story exercise in stupidity and editorial ill-judgement. Good opportunity to sweep the Aigian stables and have some fresh air in at the national broadcaster.
4:40 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ideally we'd have @SkyNews investigate @BBCNews on the hows and whys of this non-story exercise in stupidity and editorial ill-judgement. Good opportunity to sweep the Aigian stables and have some fresh air in at the national broadcaster.
4:40 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849817938380849478
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The radical transparency of STAR (as summarized in the interview - can't be bothered to read it all) strikes me as good. All AlgoFeed-s open sourced, info and justification of any and all bans (accounts, posts), all adverts served out in the open for all of us to see, courts using current laws on the books adjudicating as needed on disputes. S230 must go - atm it allows for SocMed to cover their own lazy-crazy - but that's for US. @Imi_Ahmed does his argument no favors at times by being tad too political or partizan - but hey, we all have own biases, that's fine. STAR strikes me as good. Let's get more openness to start with, then see what next.
Wish we cd make UK gov adhere to similar radical transparency "all open by default" but that's another issue. Making Social Media open and transparent Re: the automated editorial decisions of their algos - algo feeds, algos banning account and posts etc, algos serving adverts, the adverts themselves - is a nobrainer tbh. Given how politically inept the techbros are - surprised their secrecy lasted this long. 3:18 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The radical transparency of STAR (as summarized in the interview - can't be bothered to read it all) strikes me as good. All AlgoFeed-s open sourced, info and justification of any and all bans (accounts, posts), all adverts served out in the open for all of us to see, courts using current laws on the books adjudicating as needed on disputes. S230 must go - atm it allows for SocMed to cover their own lazy-crazy - but that's for US. @Imi_Ahmed does his argument no favors at times by being tad too political or partizan - but hey, we all have own biases, that's fine. STAR strikes me as good. Let's get more openness to start with, then see what next.
Wish we cd make UK gov adhere to similar radical transparency "all open by default" but that's another issue. Making Social Media open and transparent Re: the automated editorial decisions of their algos - algo feeds, algos banning account and posts etc, algos serving adverts, the adverts themselves - is a nobrainer tbh. Given how politically inept the techbros are - surprised their secrecy lasted this long. 3:18 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849814142439358822
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
US can't influence DE that much. Can't make DE switch nuclear back, can't make DE repeal "black zero" enshrined in law (no less!) crazy. No one can help DE when DE refuses to help themselves. US wd have to re-occupy, put an imperial governor. Even if they wanted to - they can't
3:03 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
US can't influence DE that much. Can't make DE switch nuclear back, can't make DE repeal "black zero" enshrined in law (no less!) crazy. No one can help DE when DE refuses to help themselves. US wd have to re-occupy, put an imperial governor. Even if they wanted to - they can't
3:03 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849808044898607313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow. The woke-right, the righto-crazies (what's an accepted term?), are as innumerate as the woke-left. Don't fancy the horseshoe much - but can't deny this. Stoopidity levels off the charts, asylum-for-the-insane levels of delusion. Once departed from reality, there is no penalty to maxing out on that.
IDK what muskians think they'll do in that asylum. Crazies will eat them for breakfast, techbros will be out on their ear within 6-12 months of a Trump admin. They will fail to kiss kings ring, they fail a loyalty test. Probably the 2nd loyalty test. I anticipate they will swallow the sh*t the 1st time, against their own better judgement. Come 2nd time - they'll fail. To pass multiple tests, one has to be levels of insane indistinguishable from the crazies we see. No sane person can pass. That's the point. How loyalty filter works: the dogs are presented with a sane option (that every reasonable person wd take), and an insane option (supported by the king). Taking the sane option disqualifies you. Take the insane option - and you earned an extension to your stay on the kings court. (until the next test) Technbros will end up like Bannon or worse. 2:39 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow. The woke-right, the righto-crazies (what's an accepted term?), are as innumerate as the woke-left. Don't fancy the horseshoe much - but can't deny this. Stoopidity levels off the charts, asylum-for-the-insane levels of delusion. Once departed from reality, there is no penalty to maxing out on that.
IDK what muskians think they'll do in that asylum. Crazies will eat them for breakfast, techbros will be out on their ear within 6-12 months of a Trump admin. They will fail to kiss kings ring, they fail a loyalty test. Probably the 2nd loyalty test. I anticipate they will swallow the sh*t the 1st time, against their own better judgement. Come 2nd time - they'll fail. To pass multiple tests, one has to be levels of insane indistinguishable from the crazies we see. No sane person can pass. That's the point. How loyalty filter works: the dogs are presented with a sane option (that every reasonable person wd take), and an insane option (supported by the king). Taking the sane option disqualifies you. Take the insane option - and you earned an extension to your stay on the kings court. (until the next test) Technbros will end up like Bannon or worse. 2:39 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849799692286087457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos for the question, and not insignificant bravery in speaking truth to murderous power. The answer is as suspected, expected at this point. The imbecilic cretin P is now, has entirely departed from this reality, and fully believes his own lies, his own side propaganda 100%.
2:06 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos for the question, and not insignificant bravery in speaking truth to murderous power. The answer is as suspected, expected at this point. The imbecilic cretin P is now, has entirely departed from this reality, and fully believes his own lies, his own side propaganda 100%.
2:06 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849784113806393798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In an alternative reality counter factual, if Merkel were a groomed or a sleeper agent - what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
1:04 PM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In an alternative reality counter factual, if Merkel were a groomed or a sleeper agent - what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
1:04 PM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849737922796298397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pa da - vo golema mera. Na kraj na kraevi ispaga, koga komunizmot gledal resenie na problemite vo "gradenje na nov (socijalisticki) covek", liberalizmot sega slicno gleda vo "graganstvo, lugeto se slobodni razumni gragani" (a ne se prosti i zlobni selani), ne se vo greska.
Makedoncite, sekoj eden za sebe, moze sebe si da se smeni mnogu - i vo golema mera, i za kuso vreme. Za razlika od nadvoresni faktori (site sosedi, svetski sili) koi tocno slicno imaat vlijanie vrz MK (nekogas pozitivno, nekogas negativno), ama koe doaga od nivnite interesi, a vrz koi interesi MK ima skoro nula vlijanie. Ako denes napladne, sekoj makedonec svrti sklopka vo glavata, i stane malku poveke kako estonec (od sto e sega), toa ke ima instanten i golem efekt vrz cela zemja. (ne sum bil vo Estonija, ne znam kako e - samo zemam primer na mesto koe izgleda uspesno se preshaltuvalo od eden sistem vo drug) Na kraj na lanec od rezoniranje zasto-zasto-... covek doaga do standardni recepti: ne kradi, ne lazi, ne ubivaj, bidi cesen, bidi dobar, sakaj go blizhniot, etc etc i sl. Nema nekoj golema nepoznata tuka shto treba da se pravi. Makata e - toa sto treba da pravi sekoj eden e potesko da go pravi, a toa sto ne treba da go pravi - e toa e polesno. :-) 10:01 AM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pa da - vo golema mera. Na kraj na kraevi ispaga, koga komunizmot gledal resenie na problemite vo "gradenje na nov (socijalisticki) covek", liberalizmot sega slicno gleda vo "graganstvo, lugeto se slobodni razumni gragani" (a ne se prosti i zlobni selani), ne se vo greska.
Makedoncite, sekoj eden za sebe, moze sebe si da se smeni mnogu - i vo golema mera, i za kuso vreme. Za razlika od nadvoresni faktori (site sosedi, svetski sili) koi tocno slicno imaat vlijanie vrz MK (nekogas pozitivno, nekogas negativno), ama koe doaga od nivnite interesi, a vrz koi interesi MK ima skoro nula vlijanie. Ako denes napladne, sekoj makedonec svrti sklopka vo glavata, i stane malku poveke kako estonec (od sto e sega), toa ke ima instanten i golem efekt vrz cela zemja. (ne sum bil vo Estonija, ne znam kako e - samo zemam primer na mesto koe izgleda uspesno se preshaltuvalo od eden sistem vo drug) Na kraj na lanec od rezoniranje zasto-zasto-... covek doaga do standardni recepti: ne kradi, ne lazi, ne ubivaj, bidi cesen, bidi dobar, sakaj go blizhniot, etc etc i sl. Nema nekoj golema nepoznata tuka shto treba da se pravi. Makata e - toa sto treba da pravi sekoj eden e potesko da go pravi, a toa sto ne treba da go pravi - e toa e polesno. :-) 10:01 AM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849732356770247028
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...about the QM problems think @sja1729 mentions in some interview an episode abt relying criticisms to @stephen_wolfram & people and getting something back on that. Can't find the interview on YT rn - sorry.
9:38 AM · Oct 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...about the QM problems think @sja1729 mentions in some interview an episode abt relying criticisms to @stephen_wolfram & people and getting something back on that. Can't find the interview on YT rn - sorry.
9:38 AM · Oct 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849529882113417511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Totally bizarre behavior! Surely one would post the death announcement on a non-dead platform. So either the platform is not dead, or his "announcement" is performative theater playing to his admirers. What a narcissistic clown.
8:14 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Totally bizarre behavior! Surely one would post the death announcement on a non-dead platform. So either the platform is not dead, or his "announcement" is performative theater playing to his admirers. What a narcissistic clown.
8:14 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849527788941828333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop beclowning yourself and those whom you represent. Worry not about musking of twitter. Don't look into your neighbors yard—tend to yours. What are you doing with your yard? Europe had the computer revolution, then missed the Internet revolution, and now you are hell bent on missing the AI revolution too. All 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European. The 3 that moved over to the Americas changed the world. The 4th one stayed behind (nicely comfortable in his own lab?—very European) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Previously Linus Torvalds—a European who wrote (and continues to write still) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). But no longer residing in Europe too. Notice a pattern yet? With the application layer on top of it one half being Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half being the browser descendants of @pmarca 's Mosaic on the client side. And at the dawn of computer age there was ARM. Now on NYSE. The pattern continues. Originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Inflation in titles but otherwise very much into doing more with less—very European. ARM powered Apple’s devices from the aptly named Newton, when no other chip could. Then by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy. Letting it fight another day and bring iMagic to the masses. A double First for ARM there. Possibly a poster child for the best of British and European cooperation. (lesson for post-Brexit - maybe?) That was computers. But the list reads longer if we count other non-computing technologies. Energy. Nuclear power could have been a cornerstone of Europe’s energy strategy, especially after France's early success. Instead of EU following France's lead, EU follows Germany. Germany!! With its historical 20th century record. Ofc, stellar result follows: increased reliance on imported natural gas. From that great ally of EU - Russia. Speaking of gas—fracking. Another miss. Natural Gas extraction maybe phased out for good reasons, but then, buying gas from elsewhere is not "phasing out". It's simply—doing it elsewhere, and creating dependency where there was none. GMO. Genetically modified crops I believe marks a low point in EU science policy. For nearly 30 years, policy was driven by a reactionary mindset. Here EU is allied with the RFK anti-vax anti-gm anti-pasteurization (!! latest) anti-everything crazy. There is a great deal of ruination in a nation—but the list is growing ever longer for the EU policies. Quote https://x.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1848631201273127150 Guy Verhofstadt @guyverhofstadt · Oct 22 X is dead. Elon bought it as a gift to Trump… and everything Trump touches turns to lead https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/02/business/elon-musk-twitter-x-fidelity/index.html#:~:text=And%20it%20represents%20a%20staggering,%2444%20billion%20that%20Musk%20paid . Show more Rate proposed Community Notes 8:06 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop beclowning yourself and those whom you represent. Worry not about musking of twitter. Don't look into your neighbors yard—tend to yours. What are you doing with your yard? Europe had the computer revolution, then missed the Internet revolution, and now you are hell bent on missing the AI revolution too. All 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European. The 3 that moved over to the Americas changed the world. The 4th one stayed behind (nicely comfortable in his own lab?—very European) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Previously Linus Torvalds—a European who wrote (and continues to write still) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). But no longer residing in Europe too. Notice a pattern yet? With the application layer on top of it one half being Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half being the browser descendants of @pmarca 's Mosaic on the client side. And at the dawn of computer age there was ARM. Now on NYSE. The pattern continues. Originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Inflation in titles but otherwise very much into doing more with less—very European. ARM powered Apple’s devices from the aptly named Newton, when no other chip could. Then by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy. Letting it fight another day and bring iMagic to the masses. A double First for ARM there. Possibly a poster child for the best of British and European cooperation. (lesson for post-Brexit - maybe?) That was computers. But the list reads longer if we count other non-computing technologies. Energy. Nuclear power could have been a cornerstone of Europe’s energy strategy, especially after France's early success. Instead of EU following France's lead, EU follows Germany. Germany!! With its historical 20th century record. Ofc, stellar result follows: increased reliance on imported natural gas. From that great ally of EU - Russia. Speaking of gas—fracking. Another miss. Natural Gas extraction maybe phased out for good reasons, but then, buying gas from elsewhere is not "phasing out". It's simply—doing it elsewhere, and creating dependency where there was none. GMO. Genetically modified crops I believe marks a low point in EU science policy. For nearly 30 years, policy was driven by a reactionary mindset. Here EU is allied with the RFK anti-vax anti-gm anti-pasteurization (!! latest) anti-everything crazy. There is a great deal of ruination in a nation—but the list is growing ever longer for the EU policies. Quote https://x.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1848631201273127150 Guy Verhofstadt @guyverhofstadt · Oct 22 X is dead. Elon bought it as a gift to Trump… and everything Trump touches turns to lead https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/02/business/elon-musk-twitter-x-fidelity/index.html#:~:text=And%20it%20represents%20a%20staggering,%2444%20billion%20that%20Musk%20paid . Show more Rate proposed Community Notes 8:06 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849521324097524192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator: he doesn't. He can't. He received extensive education to achieve that feat. We see in real time with our own eyes how it took humanity 10K years to discover *and accept* the number zero. Imaginary numbers were astonishingly quick in comparison! So there is still hope.
7:40 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator: he doesn't. He can't. He received extensive education to achieve that feat. We see in real time with our own eyes how it took humanity 10K years to discover *and accept* the number zero. Imaginary numbers were astonishingly quick in comparison! So there is still hope.
7:40 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849492286259835164
[DELETED]
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop beclowning yourself and those whom you represent. Worry not about musking of twitter. Don't look into your neighbors yard—tend to yours. What are you doing with your yard? Europe had the computer revolution, then missed the Internet revolution, and now you are hell bent on missing the AI revolution too. All 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European. The 3 that moved over to the Americas changed the world. The 4th one stayed behind (nicely comfortable in his own lab? - very European) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Previously Linus Torvalds—a European who wrote (and continues to write still) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). But no longer residing in Europe too. Notice a pattern yet? With the application layer on top of it one half being Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half being the browser descendants of @pmarca's Mosaic on the client side. And at the dawn of computer age there was ARM. Now on NYSE. The pattern continues. Originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Inflation in titles but otherwise very much into doing more with less—very European. ARM powered Apple’s devices from the aptly named Newton, when no other chip could. Then by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy. Letting it fight another day and bring in iMagic to us. A double First for ARM there. Possibly a poster child for the best of British and European cooperation. (and a lesson post-Brexit, maybe?) 5:44 PM · Oct 24, 2024
[DELETED]
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop beclowning yourself and those whom you represent. Worry not about musking of twitter. Don't look into your neighbors yard—tend to yours. What are you doing with your yard? Europe had the computer revolution, then missed the Internet revolution, and now you are hell bent on missing the AI revolution too. All 4 "grandfathers of AI" are European. The 3 that moved over to the Americas changed the world. The 4th one stayed behind (nicely comfortable in his own lab? - very European) has been reduced to schmidhubering from the back of the class.
Previously Linus Torvalds—a European who wrote (and continues to write still) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). But no longer residing in Europe too. Notice a pattern yet? With the application layer on top of it one half being Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half being the browser descendants of @pmarca's Mosaic on the client side. And at the dawn of computer age there was ARM. Now on NYSE. The pattern continues. Originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Inflation in titles but otherwise very much into doing more with less—very European. ARM powered Apple’s devices from the aptly named Newton, when no other chip could. Then by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy. Letting it fight another day and bring in iMagic to us. A double First for ARM there. Possibly a poster child for the best of British and European cooperation. (and a lesson post-Brexit, maybe?) 5:44 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849484413593113078
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will do for now. It's not the best solution. It ignores the AI tools, the use of should be part of education. We don't spend time teaching manipulation of 10 digits numbers to kids. Yes kids now are slightly more stupid than their predecessors for that. They can't even compute logarithm by pen and paper. As humanity gets collectively more intelligent, the individual humans can be less intelligent, and the society still works. Neanderthals had bigger brains 🧠 than us I think. It's fair to assume they were more intelligent than us sapiens.
5:13 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will do for now. It's not the best solution. It ignores the AI tools, the use of should be part of education. We don't spend time teaching manipulation of 10 digits numbers to kids. Yes kids now are slightly more stupid than their predecessors for that. They can't even compute logarithm by pen and paper. As humanity gets collectively more intelligent, the individual humans can be less intelligent, and the society still works. Neanderthals had bigger brains 🧠 than us I think. It's fair to assume they were more intelligent than us sapiens.
5:13 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849473319424139490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
moralistic sadists 🤮😡 if only it was possible to give the authors an obesity jab, that will induce them into chemical hunger, for acquirance of some perspective
4:29 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
moralistic sadists 🤮😡 if only it was possible to give the authors an obesity jab, that will induce them into chemical hunger, for acquirance of some perspective
4:29 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849470822810812719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't envy you. You're fighting a losing battle. Like stopping a flood with your bare hands. If something is automatable by AI, then probably shouldn't be a pass/fail discriminator in the 1st place. I understand it's not up to you. This change was sudden & fast. We all struggle.
4:19 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't envy you. You're fighting a losing battle. Like stopping a flood with your bare hands. If something is automatable by AI, then probably shouldn't be a pass/fail discriminator in the 1st place. I understand it's not up to you. This change was sudden & fast. We all struggle.
4:19 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849448592018223457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and using the opportunity to plug similar considerations voiced here Re: build-build-build that is *not* happening and will not happen as things are now (despite all the talk)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=u8-szqoROUc @rorysutherland Your incessant inspired chattering is at "national treasure" levels now, please employ a youngling that will create a RS YT channel, and collect all your talkings in one place. Pay them by having them collect *all* the YT revenue. You get the digital immortality for free, and good incentive for them that. Do not try collect the YT £££ lucre yourself. If you do, you run the risk of thinking abt & pandering to your audience, and that ruins many. youtube.com Why is Britain poor? With Rory Sutherland For the Spectator Magazine, writer Rory Sutherland explains why in Britain a toxic mix of economics and law has led to a bureaucratic apocalypse. Rory says '... 2:51 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and using the opportunity to plug similar considerations voiced here Re: build-build-build that is *not* happening and will not happen as things are now (despite all the talk)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=u8-szqoROUc @rorysutherland Your incessant inspired chattering is at "national treasure" levels now, please employ a youngling that will create a RS YT channel, and collect all your talkings in one place. Pay them by having them collect *all* the YT revenue. You get the digital immortality for free, and good incentive for them that. Do not try collect the YT £££ lucre yourself. If you do, you run the risk of thinking abt & pandering to your audience, and that ruins many. youtube.com Why is Britain poor? With Rory Sutherland For the Spectator Magazine, writer Rory Sutherland explains why in Britain a toxic mix of economics and law has led to a bureaucratic apocalypse. Rory says '... 2:51 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849438003292176782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK - get on a France-style nuclear building programme today. If/when the catastrophe pans out or not - electric energy will still be needed for bunch of other stuff. Little chance to both though - AMOC collapse and a building programme. The former is out of our hands, but on the latter, people are just lazy. Law-econ-wordcel-NPC-s command the heights of the UK society atm, and boy are the lazy nondoers mofos. Would rather sit on their hands than take non-zero risk in anything! Seems merely inhale-exhale oxygen is their idea of life well lived.
2:09 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK - get on a France-style nuclear building programme today. If/when the catastrophe pans out or not - electric energy will still be needed for bunch of other stuff. Little chance to both though - AMOC collapse and a building programme. The former is out of our hands, but on the latter, people are just lazy. Law-econ-wordcel-NPC-s command the heights of the UK society atm, and boy are the lazy nondoers mofos. Would rather sit on their hands than take non-zero risk in anything! Seems merely inhale-exhale oxygen is their idea of life well lived.
2:09 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849431633448890628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you are still in the feelings stage - commiserations, sorry for your loss. I'm not mockfull, this is genuine. I have been online since before Internet, and unlike many, I get it it's a genuine loss of a community of like minded people, and it pains everyone that experience it. Even those tempted to mock - they suffer too when the same happens to them. All us humans are social creatures.
If you have moved onto the solutionism stage: open accounts on both (all), see for yourself how goes. There is not a law against having accounts - and with the same favorite username to boot! - on all platforms. It's free, and it's fun tbh - what's not to like?? You lose nothing afaics, but if I'm wrong (b/c ignorant - nothing malicious here), please correct me. I have them on both, and they are only one tab away in the browser rn. So excuse my wonderment abt the anguish pple seem to go through Re: musking of twitter, Bsky etc. I have another 90 tabs open on the mobile FF rn. What difference do one or two (or five) extra make?? I simply don't understand. We all shd have usernames registered, and have the social graph Follows-Followers lists recreated, on other networks. It's the social graph that keeps us users locked in the walled garden of a social network. Replicating a good chunk of the social graph is half the switch done. Posts start flowing pretty naturally, once the the social graph is in place. People still have to actually post in the new place in preference to the old ofc. Pple assume they need old posts, that the posts history is important (and I saw paid service sprung up to cater to transfer; for a trivial fee), but this is not my experience: most posts are non-transferable or transfer poorly, b/c they are time-event-context-conversation sensitive and dependent. So not a problem at all. There's is a collective action problem though, in that not only sufficiently many have to switch, but also the switch must happen about the same time. External event like Brazil ban achieves that feat of synchronization the best. In absence of such thing, it's slower and trickles over longer period of time, or does not happen. Switchers are going against the "public Square N^2 iron law of network value": the value of the network to us users is in the interactions between us users, and those interactions scale with N^2 for N users (nodes in the network). So the biggest network starts with an advantage, that only grows with time, as any +1 user added, increases the absolute value of a big network more, than of a smaller network. So more users join a bigger network than a smaller network. Comparing approx X:Bsky=100:10 millions of real users (assuming big X bot ratio), ratio 10, squared 100. Do I see as much interesting stuff on X in 1 day, as I see in Bsky in 3 months? Possibly. For me maybe the ratio is lower, but not by much. I used "Sky Follower Bridge" to transfer a good portion of my Follows-Followers social graph. You may want to try too. I did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky. Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of a list, works for members of Lists too! (if you have them - I do) Ofc social networks know all this, so they make it very very hard for the users to replicate their social graph. The only one explicitly offering this from start is @joinmastodon, but they suffer for other stuff. Imo atm @bluesky if a better choice for ex-Twitter-ati. But again, and I can't stress this enough - there is no need to choose. Register to all! Best of luck. 1:43 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you are still in the feelings stage - commiserations, sorry for your loss. I'm not mockfull, this is genuine. I have been online since before Internet, and unlike many, I get it it's a genuine loss of a community of like minded people, and it pains everyone that experience it. Even those tempted to mock - they suffer too when the same happens to them. All us humans are social creatures.
If you have moved onto the solutionism stage: open accounts on both (all), see for yourself how goes. There is not a law against having accounts - and with the same favorite username to boot! - on all platforms. It's free, and it's fun tbh - what's not to like?? You lose nothing afaics, but if I'm wrong (b/c ignorant - nothing malicious here), please correct me. I have them on both, and they are only one tab away in the browser rn. So excuse my wonderment abt the anguish pple seem to go through Re: musking of twitter, Bsky etc. I have another 90 tabs open on the mobile FF rn. What difference do one or two (or five) extra make?? I simply don't understand. We all shd have usernames registered, and have the social graph Follows-Followers lists recreated, on other networks. It's the social graph that keeps us users locked in the walled garden of a social network. Replicating a good chunk of the social graph is half the switch done. Posts start flowing pretty naturally, once the the social graph is in place. People still have to actually post in the new place in preference to the old ofc. Pple assume they need old posts, that the posts history is important (and I saw paid service sprung up to cater to transfer; for a trivial fee), but this is not my experience: most posts are non-transferable or transfer poorly, b/c they are time-event-context-conversation sensitive and dependent. So not a problem at all. There's is a collective action problem though, in that not only sufficiently many have to switch, but also the switch must happen about the same time. External event like Brazil ban achieves that feat of synchronization the best. In absence of such thing, it's slower and trickles over longer period of time, or does not happen. Switchers are going against the "public Square N^2 iron law of network value": the value of the network to us users is in the interactions between us users, and those interactions scale with N^2 for N users (nodes in the network). So the biggest network starts with an advantage, that only grows with time, as any +1 user added, increases the absolute value of a big network more, than of a smaller network. So more users join a bigger network than a smaller network. Comparing approx X:Bsky=100:10 millions of real users (assuming big X bot ratio), ratio 10, squared 100. Do I see as much interesting stuff on X in 1 day, as I see in Bsky in 3 months? Possibly. For me maybe the ratio is lower, but not by much. I used "Sky Follower Bridge" to transfer a good portion of my Follows-Followers social graph. You may want to try too. I did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky. Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of a list, works for members of Lists too! (if you have them - I do) Ofc social networks know all this, so they make it very very hard for the users to replicate their social graph. The only one explicitly offering this from start is @joinmastodon, but they suffer for other stuff. Imo atm @bluesky if a better choice for ex-Twitter-ati. But again, and I can't stress this enough - there is no need to choose. Register to all! Best of luck. 1:43 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849405661441937664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right on the no-conspiracy, and you are right on students and professionals paying the price. The students are politically weak when not radicalized, and professionals are small in numbers. It's the owners of the country that ultimately captured the new wealth produced by the doers. There us no other way, there is nowhere else for the newly created value to accrue to. In absence of Georgist solutions, the only practical voice realistic I've ever heard on this is @rorysutherland
advocating for remote WFH and against the counter-action by the RTO sadists, e.g. https://youtube.com/watch?v=Mu54ERQZZIw&t=505s also https://youtube.com/watch?v=D8uV1OekzNQ&t=2170s 12:00 PM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right on the no-conspiracy, and you are right on students and professionals paying the price. The students are politically weak when not radicalized, and professionals are small in numbers. It's the owners of the country that ultimately captured the new wealth produced by the doers. There us no other way, there is nowhere else for the newly created value to accrue to. In absence of Georgist solutions, the only practical voice realistic I've ever heard on this is @rorysutherland
advocating for remote WFH and against the counter-action by the RTO sadists, e.g. https://youtube.com/watch?v=Mu54ERQZZIw&t=505s also https://youtube.com/watch?v=D8uV1OekzNQ&t=2170s 12:00 PM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849395523951710674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sado-moralist wing on the offensive, sensing unfortunate (for them) turn of the events. First their strangle hold on the war on drugs loosened, now this. How will the said sadists find pleasure in their lives now?? Would anyone think of these poor souls?
I sense Meta-verse to the rescue for the asocial them. Put in a Virtual reality world, and kept there Matrix style. There they can satisfy their cravings, find pleasure and possibly finally satisfaction that's lacking in their real lives it seems. They can torture and put to as much pain as their dark hearts desire all manner of virtual creatures big and small there. (creatures that can't feel pain) 11:20 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The sado-moralist wing on the offensive, sensing unfortunate (for them) turn of the events. First their strangle hold on the war on drugs loosened, now this. How will the said sadists find pleasure in their lives now?? Would anyone think of these poor souls?
I sense Meta-verse to the rescue for the asocial them. Put in a Virtual reality world, and kept there Matrix style. There they can satisfy their cravings, find pleasure and possibly finally satisfaction that's lacking in their real lives it seems. They can torture and put to as much pain as their dark hearts desire all manner of virtual creatures big and small there. (creatures that can't feel pain) 11:20 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849390393240011195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent point! Once you collect further intellectual strength, and gather your thoughts - please continue. Step back few steps prior still, if you will. This is all people in work earning their daily bread by the sweat of their brow. There are people that don't have to do that though. So it's not bad for all - for some it's pretty good. How come? How did this state of affairs come to be? Are these two phenomena related in any way? Or completely independent?
11:00 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent point! Once you collect further intellectual strength, and gather your thoughts - please continue. Step back few steps prior still, if you will. This is all people in work earning their daily bread by the sweat of their brow. There are people that don't have to do that though. So it's not bad for all - for some it's pretty good. How come? How did this state of affairs come to be? Are these two phenomena related in any way? Or completely independent?
11:00 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849362791565566286
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes true that. But BBC News is not something that can be ignored. It shapes the perceptions of the nation, then those perceptions influence peoples actions, that then influences our reality. Speaking this as another minority (CEEu) that is oft in the news too for similarly bad reasons (criminals, beggars).
9:10 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes true that. But BBC News is not something that can be ignored. It shapes the perceptions of the nation, then those perceptions influence peoples actions, that then influences our reality. Speaking this as another minority (CEEu) that is oft in the news too for similarly bad reasons (criminals, beggars).
9:10 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849362060758417606
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His argument is more convincing to me. Say a bona-fide fascist is in favor of the daily bread. By your logic we should all now be against the daily bread. That's toddler tantrum not logical reasoning. It's a poor guide to how to live our lives.
Yes - it's a tiny minority that the media trains its searchlight on. Reasons why are worthy of exploring and discussing - but are only ever a 2nd order effect. The 1st order effect is that searchlight, illuminating that what's then beamed into the living rooms of the nation by BBC News at Ten. 9:07 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His argument is more convincing to me. Say a bona-fide fascist is in favor of the daily bread. By your logic we should all now be against the daily bread. That's toddler tantrum not logical reasoning. It's a poor guide to how to live our lives.
Yes - it's a tiny minority that the media trains its searchlight on. Reasons why are worthy of exploring and discussing - but are only ever a 2nd order effect. The 1st order effect is that searchlight, illuminating that what's then beamed into the living rooms of the nation by BBC News at Ten. 9:07 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849356159720804421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a well trodden path. Next steps. They fail in their moralistic crusade personally. The rest of humanity fails them too. B/c of course self sacrifice is hard to impossible. If they ever get in positions of power, PolPot type monstering is the logical end point of that trip.
8:44 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a well trodden path. Next steps. They fail in their moralistic crusade personally. The rest of humanity fails them too. B/c of course self sacrifice is hard to impossible. If they ever get in positions of power, PolPot type monstering is the logical end point of that trip.
8:44 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849351530542993548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - but tech bros storming Washington citadel and completing its making of a fiat currency, by writing some trivial laws and voting them in, that's also a possibility now, no? Pulling the wool over everyone's eys! If that happens - what a time to be alive! The storming part is 50:50 now. The rest will be a battle too - but in a fighting distance then. Technology-schmechnology - the underlying tech can change easily, and address the shortcomings. It only takes slotting 2 missing pieces in place: US gov creating BTC, and allowing for taxes to be paid back in BTC. Even the taxing BTC part is happening elsewhere (even if for other reasons, hilarious 😂). Only small change of that to "can now pay back BTC tax in BTC" (rather than in Fiat) there.
8:25 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - but tech bros storming Washington citadel and completing its making of a fiat currency, by writing some trivial laws and voting them in, that's also a possibility now, no? Pulling the wool over everyone's eys! If that happens - what a time to be alive! The storming part is 50:50 now. The rest will be a battle too - but in a fighting distance then. Technology-schmechnology - the underlying tech can change easily, and address the shortcomings. It only takes slotting 2 missing pieces in place: US gov creating BTC, and allowing for taxes to be paid back in BTC. Even the taxing BTC part is happening elsewhere (even if for other reasons, hilarious 😂). Only small change of that to "can now pay back BTC tax in BTC" (rather than in Fiat) there.
8:25 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849348014160163110
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)"!! 😅 Remember being taught at Uni 1st intro lesson at a Neural Networks course, must have been ~1990. We were also taught it's called Parallel Distributed Processing now (got a bad photocopy of the PDP volumes too), neural networks have failed, cr*p perceptron can't solve the XOR problem. 😂 (true that - single 1 can't) The lecturer was excellent though (S.Bozinovski @ SCSU now). He seemed to intuitively like NNs bottom-up learning, and was less loving of the top-down expert systems in AI fashion then. There are few interviews of McCulloch on YT popularized recently. Loved this one. 😂 Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze soaking that cigarette with gusto, looking like a condemned man enjoying his last. 😂 Born in the 19-th century no less.
Embedded video Interview_with_Warren_McCulloch_neurologist-YT-wawMjJUCMVw-Sep-2024.mp4 8:11 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)"!! 😅 Remember being taught at Uni 1st intro lesson at a Neural Networks course, must have been ~1990. We were also taught it's called Parallel Distributed Processing now (got a bad photocopy of the PDP volumes too), neural networks have failed, cr*p perceptron can't solve the XOR problem. 😂 (true that - single 1 can't) The lecturer was excellent though (S.Bozinovski @ SCSU now). He seemed to intuitively like NNs bottom-up learning, and was less loving of the top-down expert systems in AI fashion then. There are few interviews of McCulloch on YT popularized recently. Loved this one. 😂 Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze soaking that cigarette with gusto, looking like a condemned man enjoying his last. 😂 Born in the 19-th century no less.
Embedded video Interview_with_Warren_McCulloch_neurologist-YT-wawMjJUCMVw-Sep-2024.mp4 8:11 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849336480583352575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Argument can be made that it's exactly the opposite: that we are into WW3 due to inaction. If not now, Europe then US will be drawn latter when Russia completes its desired union with Belarus and Ukraine, and invades Poland. Only nukes in Ukraine wd have prevented the current invasion. Only home grown nuclear deterrent of Poland and the Baltics prevents that future development.
7:25 AM · Oct 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Argument can be made that it's exactly the opposite: that we are into WW3 due to inaction. If not now, Europe then US will be drawn latter when Russia completes its desired union with Belarus and Ukraine, and invades Poland. Only nukes in Ukraine wd have prevented the current invasion. Only home grown nuclear deterrent of Poland and the Baltics prevents that future development.
7:25 AM · Oct 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849210557854789905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have a companion that is never tired of 1) reading what I write 2) replying back with answers, corrections and suggestions. Most things I write of non-trivial importance - I run through it. Most often than not I take the criticism onboard. Professionally, I worked on speech recognition and synthesis for 10 years earlier in my life. Progress was painfully slow. I did not expect to see much in my lifetime. To think that we are now on the cusp of realizing Babelfish blows my mind. To see how it's done and be able to say "ah, so that's how it was supposed to be done, ah so that works, this is where we were wrong" is a huge reveal to me. It completes my prior education and experience! There will be a closing episode to that season in the series in my life. For someone that wants to know how things are done - very satisfying.
11:05 PM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have a companion that is never tired of 1) reading what I write 2) replying back with answers, corrections and suggestions. Most things I write of non-trivial importance - I run through it. Most often than not I take the criticism onboard. Professionally, I worked on speech recognition and synthesis for 10 years earlier in my life. Progress was painfully slow. I did not expect to see much in my lifetime. To think that we are now on the cusp of realizing Babelfish blows my mind. To see how it's done and be able to say "ah, so that's how it was supposed to be done, ah so that works, this is where we were wrong" is a huge reveal to me. It completes my prior education and experience! There will be a closing episode to that season in the series in my life. For someone that wants to know how things are done - very satisfying.
11:05 PM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849181350521078056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Porano imase fenomen "selo fali, vo grad zivej". Slicna rabota - edno zbori drugo pravi. Kako da e - srceto na edna strana (emotivno), mozokot na druga strana (razumno).
Mislam toa usto poveke gi razbesnuva lugeto? Deka realnosta ne se potcinuva na nivnite zelbi. Ete mora da odat kaj neprijatelot, kaj kletiot truliot zapad, i da rabotat i da ziveat? Insult added to the injury po naski. Ne se vrakaat nekolku cekori nazad, pa da se prasaat - a zasto e toa taka, zasto kaj ednive funkcionira, ima cuda i ubavini, a kraj drugive ne funkcionira tolku dobro, pa ima pomalku od toa? Pa da vidime - dali toa sto go mislime nie makedoncite za ubavo e bas tolku ubavo, a toa sto go mislime za neubavo, e bas tolku neubavo. 9:09 PM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Porano imase fenomen "selo fali, vo grad zivej". Slicna rabota - edno zbori drugo pravi. Kako da e - srceto na edna strana (emotivno), mozokot na druga strana (razumno).
Mislam toa usto poveke gi razbesnuva lugeto? Deka realnosta ne se potcinuva na nivnite zelbi. Ete mora da odat kaj neprijatelot, kaj kletiot truliot zapad, i da rabotat i da ziveat? Insult added to the injury po naski. Ne se vrakaat nekolku cekori nazad, pa da se prasaat - a zasto e toa taka, zasto kaj ednive funkcionira, ima cuda i ubavini, a kraj drugive ne funkcionira tolku dobro, pa ima pomalku od toa? Pa da vidime - dali toa sto go mislime nie makedoncite za ubavo e bas tolku ubavo, a toa sto go mislime za neubavo, e bas tolku neubavo. 9:09 PM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849178161969279116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Loved the interview, so so many good points. And too many of them towards the end, after the nowdays trendy consciousness talk (that is important - just not that important), where I fear they will be missed. I missed them the 1st few times as my brain can take only so much before drifting away to other things these days it seems.
8:56 PM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Loved the interview, so so many good points. And too many of them towards the end, after the nowdays trendy consciousness talk (that is important - just not that important), where I fear they will be missed. I missed them the 1st few times as my brain can take only so much before drifting away to other things these days it seems.
8:56 PM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849173508250567145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't FT Ganesh have an article abt that? The link at the bottom
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027 I wonder if he was ostracized and or sanctioned in any way by his social circle? Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 8
Great read from Ganesh — alternative title: “But Is it True?”. A lot of liberals have flunked some pretty easy tests. I’m not some intellectual powerhouse, but even I have to ask — why, how?? They’ve got the tools, the knowledge, and clearly aren’t idiots. Dawkins, their very own
Show more 8:38 PM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't FT Ganesh have an article abt that? The link at the bottom
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027 I wonder if he was ostracized and or sanctioned in any way by his social circle? Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 8
Great read from Ganesh — alternative title: “But Is it True?”. A lot of liberals have flunked some pretty easy tests. I’m not some intellectual powerhouse, but even I have to ask — why, how?? They’ve got the tools, the knowledge, and clearly aren’t idiots. Dawkins, their very own
Show more 8:38 PM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849172001916600664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably, I wd dearly like to know. 😀 But I fear it's impossible for me to imagine. Because - let us take our minds back to a time when comparable portion of the UK population worked in agriculture. Likely before the Industrial Revolution that began around 1760. ChatGPT teaches me now that approximately 50% worked in agriculture at that time. 😇 Nowdays only about 1% work in agriculture. So nearly all of those who once worked the land have transitioned to other professions. Now, trying to imagine the professions of today while residing in 1750 seems to me an impossible task. The language of 1750 didn't have the words to describe many of today's jobs. Because no one could imagine them. So for me ideas of 250 years in the future wd be impossible to imagine. I think sometimes art and fiction can intuit some paths about the future - but again, all that is very vague, it's a very very weak signal.
8:32 PM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably, I wd dearly like to know. 😀 But I fear it's impossible for me to imagine. Because - let us take our minds back to a time when comparable portion of the UK population worked in agriculture. Likely before the Industrial Revolution that began around 1760. ChatGPT teaches me now that approximately 50% worked in agriculture at that time. 😇 Nowdays only about 1% work in agriculture. So nearly all of those who once worked the land have transitioned to other professions. Now, trying to imagine the professions of today while residing in 1750 seems to me an impossible task. The language of 1750 didn't have the words to describe many of today's jobs. Because no one could imagine them. So for me ideas of 250 years in the future wd be impossible to imagine. I think sometimes art and fiction can intuit some paths about the future - but again, all that is very vague, it's a very very weak signal.
8:32 PM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849126833834598772
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant it for all. Does the same U-shape hold for different outcomes. The outcome graphed is "collisions". I am wondering if the same U-shape holds for - "death", and "serious injury". I suspect maybe more L then U shaped that one, but I don't know.
5:32 PM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant it for all. Does the same U-shape hold for different outcomes. The outcome graphed is "collisions". I am wondering if the same U-shape holds for - "death", and "serious injury". I suspect maybe more L then U shaped that one, but I don't know.
5:32 PM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849034684497371449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koga? Na dovolno dolgo vreme - se sto moze da se sluci, ke se sluci. Taka da - deka nekogas cenite ke padnat e tocno, ama e trivijalno tocno. Koga ke se sluci? Ako se sluci za 10000 god od sega - nema nekoja korist od toa.
11:26 AM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koga? Na dovolno dolgo vreme - se sto moze da se sluci, ke se sluci. Taka da - deka nekogas cenite ke padnat e tocno, ama e trivijalno tocno. Koga ke se sluci? Ako se sluci za 10000 god od sega - nema nekoja korist od toa.
11:26 AM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1849034228974965175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Idninata nikoj ne moze da ja predvidi. Mozes da pobaras, da poglednes istoriski epizodi, koga toa sto te interesira se slucilo. Da gi proucis, da probas taka da dobies nekoja idea sto e mozebi vozmozno. Ako se slucilo ednas - moze da se sluci pak.
Tie se dve raboti so gi znaeme so nekoja sigurnost, deka 1) idninata ne e 100% predvidliva nikogas (koj tvrdi deka e - te laze tebe, a mozebi i sebe) 2) ako vo minatoto se slucilo nesto, znaci moze da se sluci, znaci moze da se sluci povtorno. 11:24 AM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Idninata nikoj ne moze da ja predvidi. Mozes da pobaras, da poglednes istoriski epizodi, koga toa sto te interesira se slucilo. Da gi proucis, da probas taka da dobies nekoja idea sto e mozebi vozmozno. Ako se slucilo ednas - moze da se sluci pak.
Tie se dve raboti so gi znaeme so nekoja sigurnost, deka 1) idninata ne e 100% predvidliva nikogas (koj tvrdi deka e - te laze tebe, a mozebi i sebe) 2) ako vo minatoto se slucilo nesto, znaci moze da se sluci, znaci moze da se sluci povtorno. 11:24 AM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848998762108035440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now do the same charts/graphs for death, and serious injury, outcomes as well. Collisions we care about, and is correlated to outcomes like death and serious injury - but we mostly care about death most, and a bit about serious injury too.
9:03 AM · Oct 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now do the same charts/graphs for death, and serious injury, outcomes as well. Collisions we care about, and is correlated to outcomes like death and serious injury - but we mostly care about death most, and a bit about serious injury too.
9:03 AM · Oct 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848742049874317650
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We all shd have usernames registered, and have the social graph Follows-Followers lists recreated, on other networks. It's the social graph that keeps us users locked in the walled garden of a social network. Replicating a good chunk of the social graph is half the switch done. Posts start flowing pretty naturally, once the the social graph is in place. People still have to actually post in the new place in preference to the old ofc. There's is a collective action problem, in that not only all have to switch, but also about the same time. External event like Brazil ban achieves that feat of synchronization the best. In absence of such thing, it's slower and trickles over longer period of time.
4:03 PM · Oct 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We all shd have usernames registered, and have the social graph Follows-Followers lists recreated, on other networks. It's the social graph that keeps us users locked in the walled garden of a social network. Replicating a good chunk of the social graph is half the switch done. Posts start flowing pretty naturally, once the the social graph is in place. People still have to actually post in the new place in preference to the old ofc. There's is a collective action problem, in that not only all have to switch, but also about the same time. External event like Brazil ban achieves that feat of synchronization the best. In absence of such thing, it's slower and trickles over longer period of time.
4:03 PM · Oct 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848643392328122419
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't expect to stop anytime soon. Journos are in a fight for their livelihoods. Inspired jabs by @Plinz
"... people making a living by having opinions rather than doing stuff opining badly on the technology that will displace them by automating the generation of sloppy opinions" in https://youtube.com/watch?v=3MkJEGE9GRY&t=5580s @ 1h37'. The "... say you are professional prompt completer, your job is to write opinion pieces that are completely predictable. You will get a prompt and everybody knows what you will be saying, right?" was abt Gary-the-doomster I think, but "... you generate GPT3 competition slop to a prompt given to you" applies to those journalists too. It's a case of "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it". And they know it, we know it, they know it we know it, yet they continue. 9:31 AM · Oct 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't expect to stop anytime soon. Journos are in a fight for their livelihoods. Inspired jabs by @Plinz
"... people making a living by having opinions rather than doing stuff opining badly on the technology that will displace them by automating the generation of sloppy opinions" in https://youtube.com/watch?v=3MkJEGE9GRY&t=5580s @ 1h37'. The "... say you are professional prompt completer, your job is to write opinion pieces that are completely predictable. You will get a prompt and everybody knows what you will be saying, right?" was abt Gary-the-doomster I think, but "... you generate GPT3 competition slop to a prompt given to you" applies to those journalists too. It's a case of "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it". And they know it, we know it, they know it we know it, yet they continue. 9:31 AM · Oct 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848639968953954418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I try hunt down and click, tick, check, every box in any form NHS presents to "allow use all my data pls". No one's ever come back asked for data, DNA or anything else. My lab results etc are usually not on the GP PC screen. I find the lab work date on my a Gdoc health record on my phone and tell the GP what date to look for. They then find it on their PC.
NHS has never sent me an email to my own email address. I get hold of paper, scan it myself, add it to my Gdoc/Gdrive records. Communication used to be: phone I->NHS, sms or paper NHS->I. Currently it's one way web messages via a custom web form (both ways - but no replies or threads). NHS notify me via sms "there is a message waiting for you on the web form, pls check". They all use email internally (and in their non-professional lives), and have all docs in electronic format. I'm mystified as to why they refuse to email me anything. Ordinary communication like lab work result, or GP or specialist letter, to my personal email. 9:18 AM · Oct 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I try hunt down and click, tick, check, every box in any form NHS presents to "allow use all my data pls". No one's ever come back asked for data, DNA or anything else. My lab results etc are usually not on the GP PC screen. I find the lab work date on my a Gdoc health record on my phone and tell the GP what date to look for. They then find it on their PC.
NHS has never sent me an email to my own email address. I get hold of paper, scan it myself, add it to my Gdoc/Gdrive records. Communication used to be: phone I->NHS, sms or paper NHS->I. Currently it's one way web messages via a custom web form (both ways - but no replies or threads). NHS notify me via sms "there is a message waiting for you on the web form, pls check". They all use email internally (and in their non-professional lives), and have all docs in electronic format. I'm mystified as to why they refuse to email me anything. Ordinary communication like lab work result, or GP or specialist letter, to my personal email. 9:18 AM · Oct 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848567519411339500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
isn't Alaska a natural experiment? after all the years past with annual ubi? not gone to the dogs, pple still working doing their jobs i presume.
4:30 AM · Oct 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
isn't Alaska a natural experiment? after all the years past with annual ubi? not gone to the dogs, pple still working doing their jobs i presume.
4:30 AM · Oct 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848538767336108368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elite capital not making Germany great. Have not yet worked out public deficit == private sufficit. The dumb and the dumber of their coalitions will never get it. Sooner we'll see an AfD gov then german ordoliberals learning sth new. 80yrs is too fast for them.
2:36 AM · Oct 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elite capital not making Germany great. Have not yet worked out public deficit == private sufficit. The dumb and the dumber of their coalitions will never get it. Sooner we'll see an AfD gov then german ordoliberals learning sth new. 80yrs is too fast for them.
2:36 AM · Oct 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848485860758733309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm happy to share. NHS seems to ignore pple like me
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950 Insane to try get data from people that don't want to share it, while ignoring people that *do want* to share it. IDK why NHS caters to the extreme privacy side. IT can accommodate any level of privacy. Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 21
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 11:05 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm happy to share. NHS seems to ignore pple like me
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950 Insane to try get data from people that don't want to share it, while ignoring people that *do want* to share it. IDK why NHS caters to the extreme privacy side. IT can accommodate any level of privacy. Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 21
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 11:05 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848426346948792430
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No prisoner taking there 😂😂
"...say you are professional prompt completer, your job is to write opinion pieces that are completely predictable. You will get a prompt and everybody knows what you will be saying, right?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=3MkJEGE9GRY&t=5580s Joscha Bach - Why Your Thoughts Aren't Yours | Machine Learning Street Talk Too bad some may not listen to the end to get to this. This interview by @MLStreetTalk of @Plinz is good but long. The points about "societal slop" are excellent, and the "AI FDA" too. Not enough people take the risks of stagnation to our society seriously enough. Bonus (few mins after) "... people making a living by having opinions rather than doing stuff opining badly on the technology that will displace them by automating the generation of sloppy opinions" - 🤣🤣 hahaha - yep. (the cherry on the top @ 1h37') youtube.com Joscha Bach - Why Your Thoughts Aren't Yours. Dr. Joscha Bach discusses advanced AI, consciousness, and cognitive modeling. He presents consciousness as a virtual property emerging from self-organizing s... 7:09 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No prisoner taking there 😂😂
"...say you are professional prompt completer, your job is to write opinion pieces that are completely predictable. You will get a prompt and everybody knows what you will be saying, right?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=3MkJEGE9GRY&t=5580s Joscha Bach - Why Your Thoughts Aren't Yours | Machine Learning Street Talk Too bad some may not listen to the end to get to this. This interview by @MLStreetTalk of @Plinz is good but long. The points about "societal slop" are excellent, and the "AI FDA" too. Not enough people take the risks of stagnation to our society seriously enough. Bonus (few mins after) "... people making a living by having opinions rather than doing stuff opining badly on the technology that will displace them by automating the generation of sloppy opinions" - 🤣🤣 hahaha - yep. (the cherry on the top @ 1h37') youtube.com Joscha Bach - Why Your Thoughts Aren't Yours. Dr. Joscha Bach discusses advanced AI, consciousness, and cognitive modeling. He presents consciousness as a virtual property emerging from self-organizing s... 7:09 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848403236346028138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there YouTube data? I find YT much more interesting than anything else these days. Read someplace: @netflix - better for companion watching, @YouTube - good for watching alone. @MrBeast manifesto/manual leaked online rang true to me. Once used to watching/listening YT intensity (& at x1.2 times speed) - the alternatives feel slow, meandering and dawdling, insufficient, ultimately - boring.
5:37 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there YouTube data? I find YT much more interesting than anything else these days. Read someplace: @netflix - better for companion watching, @YouTube - good for watching alone. @MrBeast manifesto/manual leaked online rang true to me. Once used to watching/listening YT intensity (& at x1.2 times speed) - the alternatives feel slow, meandering and dawdling, insufficient, ultimately - boring.
5:37 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848386743260614671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are trying both mind reading and forecasting the future yourself. Better - trust a person who they are the 1st time they show you. For the US system nothing else is as dangerous as someone in power to refuse to return power back after losing an election. All other risks pale in comparison. For that risk alone DT support strikes me as frivolous, as taking on unnecessary risk.
Spoken as non US-ian, and having no direct interest either way. I'm pro all things technology and science, but: Musk & techbros will be eaten for breakfast by DT. They'll be out on their ear within 6-12 months. Probably the 1st or 2nd time they displease DT by not going along with some crazy scheme. Bannon style out. Note that it's always leaders like Putin, Erdogan, Xi etc (and before - Stalin, Hitler, Mao) that order around all those oh-so-very-clever scientists and technologists - and not the other way around. The science & tech skills are great, but are insufficient for group dynamics. Achieving order and unity is needed for power - and guys like Stalin et all "got it". Musk & us techies think it's hard to conquer EV, space etc - and it is! But creating followers willing to die for you while you have no power over them, you can't fire them so they are afraid to be hungry and homeless, only using words to put ideas in their heads - that's on another level! We have no idea. Musk & techies are small kids in comparison - they fail to even garner support of their own side (c.f. CA politics). 4:31 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are trying both mind reading and forecasting the future yourself. Better - trust a person who they are the 1st time they show you. For the US system nothing else is as dangerous as someone in power to refuse to return power back after losing an election. All other risks pale in comparison. For that risk alone DT support strikes me as frivolous, as taking on unnecessary risk.
Spoken as non US-ian, and having no direct interest either way. I'm pro all things technology and science, but: Musk & techbros will be eaten for breakfast by DT. They'll be out on their ear within 6-12 months. Probably the 1st or 2nd time they displease DT by not going along with some crazy scheme. Bannon style out. Note that it's always leaders like Putin, Erdogan, Xi etc (and before - Stalin, Hitler, Mao) that order around all those oh-so-very-clever scientists and technologists - and not the other way around. The science & tech skills are great, but are insufficient for group dynamics. Achieving order and unity is needed for power - and guys like Stalin et all "got it". Musk & us techies think it's hard to conquer EV, space etc - and it is! But creating followers willing to die for you while you have no power over them, you can't fire them so they are afraid to be hungry and homeless, only using words to put ideas in their heads - that's on another level! We have no idea. Musk & techies are small kids in comparison - they fail to even garner support of their own side (c.f. CA politics). 4:31 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848378052616536334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw nothing else is as dangerous to your system as to refuse to return power back after losing an election. All other risks pale in comparison.
3:57 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw nothing else is as dangerous to your system as to refuse to return power back after losing an election. All other risks pale in comparison.
3:57 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848377070369243341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like it's NHS IT day today 😄
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz7j73vx9v3o Finally us patients can check our health records for omissions and errors. Finally moving mine from a Google doc to the NHS? Patients are eminently self-interested and qualified enough to QC their records. Hope it works 3:53 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like it's NHS IT day today 😄
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz7j73vx9v3o Finally us patients can check our health records for omissions and errors. Finally moving mine from a Google doc to the NHS? Patients are eminently self-interested and qualified enough to QC their records. Hope it works 3:53 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848375999525781516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing else is as dangerous to your system as to refuse to return power back after losing an election. All other risks pale in comparison. For that risk alone DT support strikes me as frivolous, as taking on unnecessary risk. Musk & techbros will be eaten for breakfast by DT and out on their ear within 6-12 months. Probably the 1st or 2nd time they displease him by not going along with some crazy scheme. Bannon style out.
3:49 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing else is as dangerous to your system as to refuse to return power back after losing an election. All other risks pale in comparison. For that risk alone DT support strikes me as frivolous, as taking on unnecessary risk. Musk & techbros will be eaten for breakfast by DT and out on their ear within 6-12 months. Probably the 1st or 2nd time they displease him by not going along with some crazy scheme. Bannon style out.
3:49 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848358267631653220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not everybody is on the extreme privacy side wing of the debate, I'm happy to share. However, NHS seems to not cater to my side - https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950 .
Quite insane to try get data from people that don't want to share it, while ignoring people that *do want* to share it Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 2:38 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not everybody is on the extreme privacy side wing of the debate, I'm happy to share. However, NHS seems to not cater to my side - https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950 .
Quite insane to try get data from people that don't want to share it, while ignoring people that *do want* to share it Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 2:38 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848352739320865082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great for us humans to get more competition in the inter-personal relations, by being able to get help from non-human intelligence. People can be great at times, but terrible too at other times, in interacting with other people. Good to see AI added to the mix of "others".
2:16 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great for us humans to get more competition in the inter-personal relations, by being able to get help from non-human intelligence. People can be great at times, but terrible too at other times, in interacting with other people. Good to see AI added to the mix of "others".
2:16 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848340644009505155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Assume less - I'm against patient privacy.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950 Patients that want perfect privacy are free to do so. They are free to gather plants in the forest and self-treat in a cave instead of NHS hospital. 😠 Enough of this catering to the nutniks. 😡 How abt catering more to the needs and concerns of the majority, that are somewhere in the middle of the privacy debates. Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 1:28 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Assume less - I'm against patient privacy.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950 Patients that want perfect privacy are free to do so. They are free to gather plants in the forest and self-treat in a cave instead of NHS hospital. 😠 Enough of this catering to the nutniks. 😡 How abt catering more to the needs and concerns of the majority, that are somewhere in the middle of the privacy debates. Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 1:28 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848339939034853697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not everybody is on the extreme privacy side wing of the debate, I'm happy to share. However, NHS seems to not cater to my side - c.f. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Quite insane to try get data from people that don't want to share it, while ignoring people that do want to share it. Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 1:25 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not everybody is on the extreme privacy side wing of the debate, I'm happy to share. However, NHS seems to not cater to my side - c.f. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Quite insane to try get data from people that don't want to share it, while ignoring people that do want to share it. Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those x.com/jburnmurdoch/s… Show more 1:25 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848337913672613950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those that want to preserve their privacy (as NHS does now), and for those (like me) who care less about privacy and prioritize excellence of care over privacy concerns. Atm NHS doesn't cater to the latter group. I for one am fine having my medical data (incl DNA - please ask me @NHSEngland , you will get it) shipped to whomever. Please make it possible for pple like myself, that agree to volunteer their data, to be able to do so. Why cater only to the side that's against?? Isn't that quite an insane strategy? Whatever we do - there are risks to both sides of the argument. There is no world in which I get the same care from the NHS when my medical history is 1) kept secret from the NHS 2) available to the NHS. There are all kinds of people Re: privacy. As is their right. Fortunately, technology enables us to cater to *all* concerns: ones that want more privacy, and ones that want better care. Also people that have told me about their privacy concerns (fine) have also shared medical info via Gmail. Thus giving the same info, "denied" to the NHS, to Google. So they're either ignorant, or the revealed preference is that they don't care as much as they say they do. But are performativelly against "sharing their data" - for "reasons", I guess?? IDK what goes in the heads of most people, can't tell. Quotes around "denied" b/c that medical info was generated by the NHS, in the first place! So NHS created it, then being denied the right to preserve it, deleted it. With the proviso - ofc nothing is ever deleted in the digital world. So possible that it exists on some NHS server/database, but can't be used, b/c - privacy. The worst of all possible options. Also, apparently - the "bad actor" in the article is used by Sweden. Quote https://x.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1848270367107785190 John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch · 8h Everyone saying “no we can’t let the NHS use a proper joined up digital patient database, it’s all part of a plot to privatise British healthcare and sell your data” should be forced to read the dozens (hundreds?) of case studies like these https://bbc.co.uk/news/health-67503126 Show this thread Image 1:17 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@NHS @NHSEngland @NHSDigital Will you please make it possible for people and or patients that DO want to share their information, to be able to do so?
Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those that want to preserve their privacy (as NHS does now), and for those (like me) who care less about privacy and prioritize excellence of care over privacy concerns. Atm NHS doesn't cater to the latter group. I for one am fine having my medical data (incl DNA - please ask me @NHSEngland , you will get it) shipped to whomever. Please make it possible for pple like myself, that agree to volunteer their data, to be able to do so. Why cater only to the side that's against?? Isn't that quite an insane strategy? Whatever we do - there are risks to both sides of the argument. There is no world in which I get the same care from the NHS when my medical history is 1) kept secret from the NHS 2) available to the NHS. There are all kinds of people Re: privacy. As is their right. Fortunately, technology enables us to cater to *all* concerns: ones that want more privacy, and ones that want better care. Also people that have told me about their privacy concerns (fine) have also shared medical info via Gmail. Thus giving the same info, "denied" to the NHS, to Google. So they're either ignorant, or the revealed preference is that they don't care as much as they say they do. But are performativelly against "sharing their data" - for "reasons", I guess?? IDK what goes in the heads of most people, can't tell. Quotes around "denied" b/c that medical info was generated by the NHS, in the first place! So NHS created it, then being denied the right to preserve it, deleted it. With the proviso - ofc nothing is ever deleted in the digital world. So possible that it exists on some NHS server/database, but can't be used, b/c - privacy. The worst of all possible options. Also, apparently - the "bad actor" in the article is used by Sweden. Quote https://x.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1848270367107785190 John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch · 8h Everyone saying “no we can’t let the NHS use a proper joined up digital patient database, it’s all part of a plot to privatise British healthcare and sell your data” should be forced to read the dozens (hundreds?) of case studies like these https://bbc.co.uk/news/health-67503126 Show this thread Image 1:17 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848331783814692906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatever we do - there are risks to both sides of the arguments. Fyi the bad actor in the article apparently is used by Sweden. There is no world in which I get the same care from the NHS when my medical history is 1) kept secret from the NHS 2) available to the NHS. I'm saying - there all kinds of people Re: privacy. Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those that want to preserve their privacy (as it is now), and for those (like me) who care less about privacy and prioritize excellence of care over privacy concerns. Atm NHS doesn't cater to the latter group. Also people that have told me about their privacy concerns (fine) have also shared medical info via Gmail. Thus giving the same info, "denied" to the NHS, to Google. Quotes around "denied" b/c that medical info was generated by the NHS (lab work). So NHS created it, then being denied the right to preserve it, deleted it. With the proviso - ofc nothing is ever deleted in the digital world. So possible that it exists on some NHS server/database, but can't be used, b/c - privacy. The worst of all possible options.
12:53 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatever we do - there are risks to both sides of the arguments. Fyi the bad actor in the article apparently is used by Sweden. There is no world in which I get the same care from the NHS when my medical history is 1) kept secret from the NHS 2) available to the NHS. I'm saying - there all kinds of people Re: privacy. Atm NHS tends to cater to the most extreme wing on one side. The technology makes it possible to cater to *all* sides. To those that want to preserve their privacy (as it is now), and for those (like me) who care less about privacy and prioritize excellence of care over privacy concerns. Atm NHS doesn't cater to the latter group. Also people that have told me about their privacy concerns (fine) have also shared medical info via Gmail. Thus giving the same info, "denied" to the NHS, to Google. Quotes around "denied" b/c that medical info was generated by the NHS (lab work). So NHS created it, then being denied the right to preserve it, deleted it. With the proviso - ofc nothing is ever deleted in the digital world. So possible that it exists on some NHS server/database, but can't be used, b/c - privacy. The worst of all possible options.
12:53 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848323795892765091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator: there aren't. There is a cost to handing out data. There is cost to *not* handing out data too. We only hear from (very vocal) pple in one camp. Lets not only hear from the other camp, but (much more important) make it possible for them to do as they say. I'm fine having my medical data (incl DNA) shipped to whomever. NHS shd make it possible for pple like myself, that agree to volunteer their data, to be able to.
12:21 PM · Oct 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator: there aren't. There is a cost to handing out data. There is cost to *not* handing out data too. We only hear from (very vocal) pple in one camp. Lets not only hear from the other camp, but (much more important) make it possible for them to do as they say. I'm fine having my medical data (incl DNA) shipped to whomever. NHS shd make it possible for pple like myself, that agree to volunteer their data, to be able to.
12:21 PM · Oct 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1848100868295467092
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wrote it jest 🙃 annoyed by the lack of consideration by the OP. But yeah - something that will give people the experience. Afaics the metabolic regulation is faulty. There is hunger signal where there should not be. Fat is a readily available for energy, but the metabolic regulator circuit decides not to use it. As for why such disregulation is happening on a mass scale - afaik no one knows. The most exhaustive list of hypothesis I've come across is this series of articles https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2021/07/07/a-chemical-hunger-part-i-mysteries/
. Hopefully now all moot. Oft we solve a problem even if we don't know the reason it happens, or even how exactly our solution works. 9:35 PM · Oct 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wrote it jest 🙃 annoyed by the lack of consideration by the OP. But yeah - something that will give people the experience. Afaics the metabolic regulation is faulty. There is hunger signal where there should not be. Fat is a readily available for energy, but the metabolic regulator circuit decides not to use it. As for why such disregulation is happening on a mass scale - afaik no one knows. The most exhaustive list of hypothesis I've come across is this series of articles https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2021/07/07/a-chemical-hunger-part-i-mysteries/
. Hopefully now all moot. Oft we solve a problem even if we don't know the reason it happens, or even how exactly our solution works. 9:35 PM · Oct 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847925419338498410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and not to mention this shade thrown at it https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ . Yeah midwits are drawn to D-K like moths to light. Poetic justice that D-K-D-K-ed themselves 1st, and since a succession of many alikes have followed their Pied Piper-s.
9:58 AM · Oct 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and not to mention this shade thrown at it https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ . Yeah midwits are drawn to D-K like moths to light. Poetic justice that D-K-D-K-ed themselves 1st, and since a succession of many alikes have followed their Pied Piper-s.
9:58 AM · Oct 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847917975371763979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow, insults to your rescue you think? Ok - we part ways here. There are another 8B human available for interaction. Enjoy the rest of your life. blocked
9:29 AM · Oct 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow, insults to your rescue you think? Ok - we part ways here. There are another 8B human available for interaction. Enjoy the rest of your life. blocked
9:29 AM · Oct 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847917402752708707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The power of the creators is being amplified. Creators are able to create much more with Midjourney than they are using Photoshop then they are using Pen and Paper then they are Chiseling in a Cave. I don't want to put in prison people for copying my work. IP laws do that.
9:26 AM · Oct 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The power of the creators is being amplified. Creators are able to create much more with Midjourney than they are using Photoshop then they are using Pen and Paper then they are Chiseling in a Cave. I don't want to put in prison people for copying my work. IP laws do that.
9:26 AM · Oct 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847915949380305032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - another anonymous with a license to be rude? That to complement the ignorance? Mid-wits seem drawn to D-K like moths to light. It's poetic justice that D-K-D-K-ed themselves 1st (c.f. https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/), and since a succession of many mid-wits have follow their Pied Piper-s.
9:21 AM · Oct 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - another anonymous with a license to be rude? That to complement the ignorance? Mid-wits seem drawn to D-K like moths to light. It's poetic justice that D-K-D-K-ed themselves 1st (c.f. https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/), and since a succession of many mid-wits have follow their Pied Piper-s.
9:21 AM · Oct 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847914069317042309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - I'm for abolishing current IP laws. They are a step too far. I don't think anyone should be jailed and imprisoned if they copy reproduce some information I said, wrote, drew, painted, etc. Private physical property protection is fine - if you get my car, I can't use it. But walling off Information as if it's physical - I'm against that. You can copy and duplicate what's written here - I still get to keep it, you are not depriving me of anything.
You are in bed with a corporation like Disney and other movies studios, and wider media-entertainment complex, and yet you think you are some kind of rebel-rebel. hilarious 😂 I like the symmetry of it. If I want to keep my creations outside of the hands of others - I keep them private. I don't have to publish this, broadcast to the world. I could have written this on my laptop, saved it in a file and kept it to myself. Fine. However: once these words are broadcast to another pair of eyes, are read, and ideas expressed here enter their minds - I think it's only fair that the person on the other end gets the right to write down or create in any way they please a copy. After all - they lent me their brain, so idea that originated in mine now lives in theirs too. That's worth something. Seems churlish to deny them that "right", as if it's not the most natural right. Further, it strikes me on the level of medieval barbarity that we throw people in jail, imprison people for this, marshaling the whole state repressive apparatus (ultimately backed by the monopoly of violence, ultimately deadly), for this sorry non-cause. 9:13 AM · Oct 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - I'm for abolishing current IP laws. They are a step too far. I don't think anyone should be jailed and imprisoned if they copy reproduce some information I said, wrote, drew, painted, etc. Private physical property protection is fine - if you get my car, I can't use it. But walling off Information as if it's physical - I'm against that. You can copy and duplicate what's written here - I still get to keep it, you are not depriving me of anything.
You are in bed with a corporation like Disney and other movies studios, and wider media-entertainment complex, and yet you think you are some kind of rebel-rebel. hilarious 😂 I like the symmetry of it. If I want to keep my creations outside of the hands of others - I keep them private. I don't have to publish this, broadcast to the world. I could have written this on my laptop, saved it in a file and kept it to myself. Fine. However: once these words are broadcast to another pair of eyes, are read, and ideas expressed here enter their minds - I think it's only fair that the person on the other end gets the right to write down or create in any way they please a copy. After all - they lent me their brain, so idea that originated in mine now lives in theirs too. That's worth something. Seems churlish to deny them that "right", as if it's not the most natural right. Further, it strikes me on the level of medieval barbarity that we throw people in jail, imprison people for this, marshaling the whole state repressive apparatus (ultimately backed by the monopoly of violence, ultimately deadly), for this sorry non-cause. 9:13 AM · Oct 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847428153775395147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a piece of history! Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze looking like it's his last day on earth, soaking that cigarette with gusto. Born in the 19-th century no less. Remember being taught about "McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)" in a Uni NNs course in the 1st intro lesson abt ~1990. Had pple been able to see this then, seen how research can have a wild side like this, I'm sure more wd have been more interested. What a document, extraordinary.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wawMjJUCMVw Quote https://x.com/hamptonism/status/1847295809936617552 ₕₐₘₚₜₒₙ — e/acc @hamptonism · 19h Just unearthed a piece of tech history that'll blow your mind. Meet Warren McCulloch, the genius Yale Graduate, Neuropsychologist, Cybernetician, and MIT Researcher, who created the first Neural Network in an MIT Research Lab (1943) : Show this thread Embedded video 1:02 AM · Oct 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a piece of history! Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze looking like it's his last day on earth, soaking that cigarette with gusto. Born in the 19-th century no less. Remember being taught about "McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)" in a Uni NNs course in the 1st intro lesson abt ~1990. Had pple been able to see this then, seen how research can have a wild side like this, I'm sure more wd have been more interested. What a document, extraordinary.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wawMjJUCMVw Quote https://x.com/hamptonism/status/1847295809936617552 ₕₐₘₚₜₒₙ — e/acc @hamptonism · 19h Just unearthed a piece of tech history that'll blow your mind. Meet Warren McCulloch, the genius Yale Graduate, Neuropsychologist, Cybernetician, and MIT Researcher, who created the first Neural Network in an MIT Research Lab (1943) : Show this thread Embedded video 1:02 AM · Oct 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847411859344986365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't doubt X, FB, any SocNet wd do everything possible to frustrate the transfer of the social graph Follows-Followers. But don't think they have to do much - it's hard by default.
The "Sky Follower Bridge" browser extension eases that chore by a factor of 100. It worked well for me. I did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky . Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of a list, works for members of Lists too! (if you have them - I do) Still - painful manual work, 😩 I found like 1/5-th of the people there last time I scanned my lists back in Aug. Even when people register acc on Bsky, they will not be posting much there, so temper your expectation. Still - it's much better today than 3 months ago. 😀 Posts are not really a problem. They are like flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. So although people think "I have to transfer my posts history", in reality, usually noone needs that. If something was that important on it's own - can be reposted. 11:58 PM · Oct 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't doubt X, FB, any SocNet wd do everything possible to frustrate the transfer of the social graph Follows-Followers. But don't think they have to do much - it's hard by default.
The "Sky Follower Bridge" browser extension eases that chore by a factor of 100. It worked well for me. I did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky . Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of a list, works for members of Lists too! (if you have them - I do) Still - painful manual work, 😩 I found like 1/5-th of the people there last time I scanned my lists back in Aug. Even when people register acc on Bsky, they will not be posting much there, so temper your expectation. Still - it's much better today than 3 months ago. 😀 Posts are not really a problem. They are like flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. So although people think "I have to transfer my posts history", in reality, usually noone needs that. If something was that important on it's own - can be reposted. 11:58 PM · Oct 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847256521295397195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope Ukraine is on the case and building their nuclear deterrent. Words are cheap and fleeting, that includes words written on paper. While interests are costly, concrete and binding. Hope Ukraine is still capable of pulling off that rabbit out of the hat. They already did much against the odds. If Israel could in the 1970-s and North Korea latter, much poorer countries, in dire circumstances too - maybe Ukraine can too now. IDK what are the Baltics and Poland waiting. For the Russian army to be bombarding their cities? Ofc no American president will risk nuclear annihilation with Russia. US will back down and surrender any and all of Eastern and Central Europe to whomever. Western countries have done it before, and will do it again, when push comes to shove. IDK how is this some big reveal.
1:40 PM · Oct 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope Ukraine is on the case and building their nuclear deterrent. Words are cheap and fleeting, that includes words written on paper. While interests are costly, concrete and binding. Hope Ukraine is still capable of pulling off that rabbit out of the hat. They already did much against the odds. If Israel could in the 1970-s and North Korea latter, much poorer countries, in dire circumstances too - maybe Ukraine can too now. IDK what are the Baltics and Poland waiting. For the Russian army to be bombarding their cities? Ofc no American president will risk nuclear annihilation with Russia. US will back down and surrender any and all of Eastern and Central Europe to whomever. Western countries have done it before, and will do it again, when push comes to shove. IDK how is this some big reveal.
1:40 PM · Oct 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847251942088593634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've heard "good people will do good deeds, bad people will do bad deeds", and it takes religion or ideology for a good person to do bad. I think the same applies to smarts: smart person will do smart things by default. Takes ideology for a smart person to do stupid.
1:22 PM · Oct 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've heard "good people will do good deeds, bad people will do bad deeds", and it takes religion or ideology for a good person to do bad. I think the same applies to smarts: smart person will do smart things by default. Takes ideology for a smart person to do stupid.
1:22 PM · Oct 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847228270724399242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...argument for UBI that one? It's kind of endearing and touching when left to their own devices how much of a good egg most human souls are. Even when trapped in a way they can't articulate their predicament explicitly - they kind of feel it, know it at a lower more basic level
11:48 AM · Oct 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...argument for UBI that one? It's kind of endearing and touching when left to their own devices how much of a good egg most human souls are. Even when trapped in a way they can't articulate their predicament explicitly - they kind of feel it, know it at a lower more basic level
11:48 AM · Oct 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847216052763050215
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly. It strikes be with the "nutniks" like M, there were always there (the "shit eaters", the "govnojed"-s), but the (then) KGB did not have convenient means of supporting them. They'd have to try position multiple persons like this, in the same org, without the persons themselves explicitly knowing, so they push each other through the ranks, organically. But now with social media a new channel opens: donations via subscriptions. With 1000 accounts, FSB can have them all subscribe to Nutnik podcast/substack/etc for $5-$10 a month. That will give the nutnik $5K-$10K monthly income. Which is more than enough for the nutnik to be able to leave their employment (and any connection to the wider society), and devote themself to their cause and passion full time! (without constraints) One could not ask for a better recruit in the psyops game - no?
11:00 AM · Oct 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly. It strikes be with the "nutniks" like M, there were always there (the "shit eaters", the "govnojed"-s), but the (then) KGB did not have convenient means of supporting them. They'd have to try position multiple persons like this, in the same org, without the persons themselves explicitly knowing, so they push each other through the ranks, organically. But now with social media a new channel opens: donations via subscriptions. With 1000 accounts, FSB can have them all subscribe to Nutnik podcast/substack/etc for $5-$10 a month. That will give the nutnik $5K-$10K monthly income. Which is more than enough for the nutnik to be able to leave their employment (and any connection to the wider society), and devote themself to their cause and passion full time! (without constraints) One could not ask for a better recruit in the psyops game - no?
11:00 AM · Oct 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847054250695663921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe make several versions (apt as we will never know for sure 100% abt it), and also add colors to some versions? I can't imagine a poor society wd go through all that cost to create a big and expensive sculpture, and miss a trick and not color it in bright colors. Colors that wd increase any effects it induced in the spectators by multiples. It doesn't make sense - and they were not stupid. 12:17 AM · Oct 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe make several versions (apt as we will never know for sure 100% abt it), and also add colors to some versions? I can't imagine a poor society wd go through all that cost to create a big and expensive sculpture, and miss a trick and not color it in bright colors. Colors that wd increase any effects it induced in the spectators by multiples. It doesn't make sense - and they were not stupid. 12:17 AM · Oct 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847045225606533619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ahh oww 😂 the famous experts not earning their upkeep renting their mouths but putting they $$$ where their mouth are. not!
11:41 PM · Oct 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ahh oww 😂 the famous experts not earning their upkeep renting their mouths but putting they $$$ where their mouth are. not!
11:41 PM · Oct 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847041837984301129
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take heart - kids will instinctively go anti- whatever parents think it good, as default. I put it to being part of the process of becoming an independent person. But hey - what missed opportunities, given the choices available.
11:27 PM · Oct 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take heart - kids will instinctively go anti- whatever parents think it good, as default. I put it to being part of the process of becoming an independent person. But hey - what missed opportunities, given the choices available.
11:27 PM · Oct 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847034974383341601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...another blast from the past from about that time. When the M guy was not a cheap - hopefully at least rich! - internet influencer chasing clicks from idiocratic public https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
11:00 PM · Oct 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...another blast from the past from about that time. When the M guy was not a cheap - hopefully at least rich! - internet influencer chasing clicks from idiocratic public https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
11:00 PM · Oct 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847032910622138693
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there - I should have written "controlled experiment". Where they have both the baseline of "no intervention", and a parallel world where there is "intervention". They can't have that - so they are experimenting live, operating on the live patients.
When I want to change something in my trading system - I run the change through a simulator. I can compare the "no change" v.s. the "change" cases. I would need to have a very very good reason to put a change in a live trading system, that has not been run through a simulator first. Ofc - no simulator is perfect, there are actions that no simulator will simulate well. Still - those are not reasons to give up on building simulators. But reasons for ever improving the simulators. 10:52 PM · Oct 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there - I should have written "controlled experiment". Where they have both the baseline of "no intervention", and a parallel world where there is "intervention". They can't have that - so they are experimenting live, operating on the live patients.
When I want to change something in my trading system - I run the change through a simulator. I can compare the "no change" v.s. the "change" cases. I would need to have a very very good reason to put a change in a live trading system, that has not been run through a simulator first. Ofc - no simulator is perfect, there are actions that no simulator will simulate well. Still - those are not reasons to give up on building simulators. But reasons for ever improving the simulators. 10:52 PM · Oct 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1847029850940260695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They can't run experiments by design (only observe accidental ones). In light of that, one would expect them to have very large and detailed simulators running simulations. I'm not an economist - but I'm not aware of any large scale ones. When people draw 2 crossed lines, or a parabola on a napkin, to justify actions that affect billions of people - I shudder. In my line of work it's similar that we can't run experiments by design (except maybe for very limited ones, on a micro-stale). So the field has very detailed simulators, and about every step, every box in the pipeline. And makes use of a gargantuan amounts of data too, at all levels. There is research, development and production stages. There is development and production in the real economy, but not in the discipline of economics afaik. :-) When it comes to banking and finance, so not the real economy - economics is even more lost it seems. And esp with banks that are creatures of law, accounting, even IT, more than econ.
10:40 PM · Oct 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They can't run experiments by design (only observe accidental ones). In light of that, one would expect them to have very large and detailed simulators running simulations. I'm not an economist - but I'm not aware of any large scale ones. When people draw 2 crossed lines, or a parabola on a napkin, to justify actions that affect billions of people - I shudder. In my line of work it's similar that we can't run experiments by design (except maybe for very limited ones, on a micro-stale). So the field has very detailed simulators, and about every step, every box in the pipeline. And makes use of a gargantuan amounts of data too, at all levels. There is research, development and production stages. There is development and production in the real economy, but not in the discipline of economics afaik. :-) When it comes to banking and finance, so not the real economy - economics is even more lost it seems. And esp with banks that are creatures of law, accounting, even IT, more than econ.
10:40 PM · Oct 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846664952611774784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... what a racket these NGO-s seem to be, as if a Cult x Mafia x Corporation combo, unbelievable. Surprised there are no TV series or movies abt them? Feels like these would fertile grounds, kind of NGO Succession type dramas.
10:30 PM · Oct 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... what a racket these NGO-s seem to be, as if a Cult x Mafia x Corporation combo, unbelievable. Surprised there are no TV series or movies abt them? Feels like these would fertile grounds, kind of NGO Succession type dramas.
10:30 PM · Oct 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846584183486894243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - TBS what happens next. Today I read @stekkerauto
https://x.com/stekkerauto/status/1846578305325060369 Tesla models Y and 3 are from 2017, so that's 7 years now. I'm not aware of a VW or BMW etc "Tesla killer", like sometimes one reads about a Tesla competitor by a company from China or S Korea. So not even caught with the current EV - but the next technology one step up is coming it seems. Looks like FSD is getting close(er). Multiple indicators 1) ~50 robot cars (taxis+ vans) driving at the "We, Robot" event without killing anyone (yes I know - controlled env etc); 2) Europe customers that had bought FSD years ago getting their h/w upgraded for free read someplace (presume - in anticipation of new s/w update?); 3) A leader at the FSD program (I presume it's now =Neural-Nets-end-to-end) got promoted; 4) Seems next FSD version major maybe bumped to 13 (prior version were 12.x); 5) The recent FSD version 12.x had release note proudly declaring sth like "300K C++ code *deleted*", in my mind indicating "NN-end-to-end progress, old procedural code is not needed deleted"; 6) X AI or Tesla or whomever built a data center in 19 days installed 100K Nvidia GPUs (source Jason Huang CEO of Nvidia); this is something that'd be needed for NN-end-to-end advance. If FSD comes true - 'm not buying a car lacking FSD next time I need to buy one. Quote stekkerauto 🚗⚡️ @stekkerauto · Oct 16 German Auto Giants Face Existential Crisis in China's EV Revolution 🚨🆘 • German automakers VW, BMW, and Mercedes are experiencing significant sales declines in China • Chinese consumers now prefer technical sophistication over traditional selling points like horsepower Show more Image 5:09 PM · Oct 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - TBS what happens next. Today I read @stekkerauto
https://x.com/stekkerauto/status/1846578305325060369 Tesla models Y and 3 are from 2017, so that's 7 years now. I'm not aware of a VW or BMW etc "Tesla killer", like sometimes one reads about a Tesla competitor by a company from China or S Korea. So not even caught with the current EV - but the next technology one step up is coming it seems. Looks like FSD is getting close(er). Multiple indicators 1) ~50 robot cars (taxis+ vans) driving at the "We, Robot" event without killing anyone (yes I know - controlled env etc); 2) Europe customers that had bought FSD years ago getting their h/w upgraded for free read someplace (presume - in anticipation of new s/w update?); 3) A leader at the FSD program (I presume it's now =Neural-Nets-end-to-end) got promoted; 4) Seems next FSD version major maybe bumped to 13 (prior version were 12.x); 5) The recent FSD version 12.x had release note proudly declaring sth like "300K C++ code *deleted*", in my mind indicating "NN-end-to-end progress, old procedural code is not needed deleted"; 6) X AI or Tesla or whomever built a data center in 19 days installed 100K Nvidia GPUs (source Jason Huang CEO of Nvidia); this is something that'd be needed for NN-end-to-end advance. If FSD comes true - 'm not buying a car lacking FSD next time I need to buy one. Quote stekkerauto 🚗⚡️ @stekkerauto · Oct 16 German Auto Giants Face Existential Crisis in China's EV Revolution 🚨🆘 • German automakers VW, BMW, and Mercedes are experiencing significant sales declines in China • Chinese consumers now prefer technical sophistication over traditional selling points like horsepower Show more Image 5:09 PM · Oct 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846551765463818664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maximum engagement is achieved when 1/2 of the users are at the throats of the other 1/2. The Algofeed is a robot tasked with maximizing engagement afaik. It's working as expected, from the looks of it.
3:00 PM · Oct 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maximum engagement is achieved when 1/2 of the users are at the throats of the other 1/2. The Algofeed is a robot tasked with maximizing engagement afaik. It's working as expected, from the looks of it.
3:00 PM · Oct 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846482738452312422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Why?" is a good question, but probably out of scope here. Typically - good people do good, bad people do bad. Takes extra effort in the shape of religion, ideology etc to make - good people do bad. OP stance is not uncommon, is present in other similar public policy dilemmas (e.g. "No" to vaping as means to reduce smoking, the "natural" fallacy as cure for many ills, etc). I mock that stance as "sadistic moralists". Usually it's a Gish-gallop of baseless objections. But we all have other things we want to spend our lives on, time is forever limited, so will leave it there.
10:26 AM · Oct 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Why?" is a good question, but probably out of scope here. Typically - good people do good, bad people do bad. Takes extra effort in the shape of religion, ideology etc to make - good people do bad. OP stance is not uncommon, is present in other similar public policy dilemmas (e.g. "No" to vaping as means to reduce smoking, the "natural" fallacy as cure for many ills, etc). I mock that stance as "sadistic moralists". Usually it's a Gish-gallop of baseless objections. But we all have other things we want to spend our lives on, time is forever limited, so will leave it there.
10:26 AM · Oct 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846464111841800363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would Dr Hilary Jones volunteer to receive anti-anti-obesity drug, a "hunger" jab, for the induction of some perspective? Sadistic moralists need to be put in others' shoes. Gish-gallop of baseless objections, each more ludicrous than previous. Anti-evidence, irrational.
9:12 AM · Oct 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would Dr Hilary Jones volunteer to receive anti-anti-obesity drug, a "hunger" jab, for the induction of some perspective? Sadistic moralists need to be put in others' shoes. Gish-gallop of baseless objections, each more ludicrous than previous. Anti-evidence, irrational.
9:12 AM · Oct 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846461131381968981
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but appeasement and capitulation is easy, and fighting back is much much harder. There you have your answer why former will be chosen over the latter.
9:00 AM · Oct 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but appeasement and capitulation is easy, and fighting back is much much harder. There you have your answer why former will be chosen over the latter.
9:00 AM · Oct 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846301217116377523
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A forecast: we will continue to be led by innumerate wordcels (of CPSnow Two Cultures), until we get a country wide blackout, of the type that lasts 24h-48h, when people on ICU and similar life support machines die due to lack of power. Like the Aug-2019 London and SE England blackout, but on a national scale. One to require Dinorwig bootstrapping the grid. Only then will public outrage force maybe return to modicum of reason and actual care about safety. Possibly reduce the political power of many airheads know nothing lobbyists that seem to have ministers on speed dial. Heads on sticks will concentrate minds - possibly. We have had it very good for very long. Forgotten that security of electricity supply is not a god given right. But something generations worked together to achieve. (I pre-emptivelly blame the boomers 😉)
10:24 PM · Oct 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A forecast: we will continue to be led by innumerate wordcels (of CPSnow Two Cultures), until we get a country wide blackout, of the type that lasts 24h-48h, when people on ICU and similar life support machines die due to lack of power. Like the Aug-2019 London and SE England blackout, but on a national scale. One to require Dinorwig bootstrapping the grid. Only then will public outrage force maybe return to modicum of reason and actual care about safety. Possibly reduce the political power of many airheads know nothing lobbyists that seem to have ministers on speed dial. Heads on sticks will concentrate minds - possibly. We have had it very good for very long. Forgotten that security of electricity supply is not a god given right. But something generations worked together to achieve. (I pre-emptivelly blame the boomers 😉)
10:24 PM · Oct 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846203028795236718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, after a lifetime on the receiving end of a well meaning - but ultimately foolish! - advice from a genetically (or whatever it is) lucky in the lottery of life Re: food, I've run out of patience with the sado-moralists like the OP.
3:54 PM · Oct 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, after a lifetime on the receiving end of a well meaning - but ultimately foolish! - advice from a genetically (or whatever it is) lucky in the lottery of life Re: food, I've run out of patience with the sado-moralists like the OP.
3:54 PM · Oct 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846196273960861804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish there was anti-anti-obesity drug, a "hunger" jab, to be given to you, for the induction of some perspective. 😠
For everyone else - try get one of these drugs, see how goes. For me - a liberation, freed from false hunger after a lifetime of torment. The stupid malfunctioning neural circuits misfiring, signalling wrongly for hunger, and or misdirecting too much sugar into storage fat, and too little in the blood - finally fixed, hurrah! 3:27 PM · Oct 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish there was anti-anti-obesity drug, a "hunger" jab, to be given to you, for the induction of some perspective. 😠
For everyone else - try get one of these drugs, see how goes. For me - a liberation, freed from false hunger after a lifetime of torment. The stupid malfunctioning neural circuits misfiring, signalling wrongly for hunger, and or misdirecting too much sugar into storage fat, and too little in the blood - finally fixed, hurrah! 3:27 PM · Oct 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846165091365920892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I'd take a risk and presume none of the `parents who bemoan the loss of a "village" ' ever lived in an actual real village. My parents' entire families moved from villages into the big city when their country industrialized. Not once did in my childhood I ever hear them speak sentimentally about village life. Esp not the way I hear people (that have never lived in a village) speak nowdays.
Thanks to @OurWorldInData I think I know why that was the case: the village life was horrific. Families wd have 5-6-7 kids, only for most of them to die, with only 2-3 making it into adulthood. That alone ofc fills the heart of every parent with horror. On the top of that bunch of other things: back breaking work, the monotony, stuck with random people - some crazy, some evil, most silly, many stupid, few all of that - one'd rather avoid, plus your life depended on the good will of these people too. 1:23 PM · Oct 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I'd take a risk and presume none of the `parents who bemoan the loss of a "village" ' ever lived in an actual real village. My parents' entire families moved from villages into the big city when their country industrialized. Not once did in my childhood I ever hear them speak sentimentally about village life. Esp not the way I hear people (that have never lived in a village) speak nowdays.
Thanks to @OurWorldInData I think I know why that was the case: the village life was horrific. Families wd have 5-6-7 kids, only for most of them to die, with only 2-3 making it into adulthood. That alone ofc fills the heart of every parent with horror. On the top of that bunch of other things: back breaking work, the monotony, stuck with random people - some crazy, some evil, most silly, many stupid, few all of that - one'd rather avoid, plus your life depended on the good will of these people too. 1:23 PM · Oct 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1846109742252359818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH we are lucky that radicalization is a longer process and not an one off quick event. Many of the pple on that journey will never reach the terrible destination. B/c once a radical self-convinces that 8B will die, then anything goes. Killing 4B to save 4B - "fine". Even killing 8B-1 to save that 1 - "better than the alternative".
9:43 AM · Oct 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH we are lucky that radicalization is a longer process and not an one off quick event. Many of the pple on that journey will never reach the terrible destination. B/c once a radical self-convinces that 8B will die, then anything goes. Killing 4B to save 4B - "fine". Even killing 8B-1 to save that 1 - "better than the alternative".
9:43 AM · Oct 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845924702940025288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My contention is that if US economy was terrible as you say, then the polls and odds etc wd very stacked badly against the incumbent. Afaik - not being in the US or a US voter myself, only what I read online - the odds seem to be about 50:50.
9:28 PM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My contention is that if US economy was terrible as you say, then the polls and odds etc wd very stacked badly against the incumbent. Afaik - not being in the US or a US voter myself, only what I read online - the odds seem to be about 50:50.
9:28 PM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845922494705717469
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - imo that's why the incumbent gets to 50:50 only. if the gains were shared with more people, the incumbents wd be in advantage imo.
9:19 PM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - imo that's why the incumbent gets to 50:50 only. if the gains were shared with more people, the incumbents wd be in advantage imo.
9:19 PM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845879226546663554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...it occurs to me 😨 - they are badly incentivized. If I have zero assets - I have zero things to worry about. Nothing ever goes wrong. Whereas if I have some humongous enterprise doing zillion of things - plenty of things go wrong daily, there are crisis erupting all the time, need to put in work, care and attention to run that. So if I am a civil servant where my wages are constant and unchanged and I am never fired - I can see how and why the "zero assets" case wd be much more appealing.
6:27 PM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...it occurs to me 😨 - they are badly incentivized. If I have zero assets - I have zero things to worry about. Nothing ever goes wrong. Whereas if I have some humongous enterprise doing zillion of things - plenty of things go wrong daily, there are crisis erupting all the time, need to put in work, care and attention to run that. So if I am a civil servant where my wages are constant and unchanged and I am never fired - I can see how and why the "zero assets" case wd be much more appealing.
6:27 PM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845829222369042610
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. The only reason she's is still in the running at all with 50:50 chance, is that US economy is doing much much better than any of those other comparable countries. BBB Build Back Better Bidenomics whatever - IDK what it is, luck or skill, but yeah, if not for the US economy strength, Harris wd be losing for sure. There maybe small help that she'd not *exactly* the incumbent personally. So there maybe small advantage to her there in terms of a smaller popularity hit.
3:09 PM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. The only reason she's is still in the running at all with 50:50 chance, is that US economy is doing much much better than any of those other comparable countries. BBB Build Back Better Bidenomics whatever - IDK what it is, luck or skill, but yeah, if not for the US economy strength, Harris wd be losing for sure. There maybe small help that she'd not *exactly* the incumbent personally. So there maybe small advantage to her there in terms of a smaller popularity hit.
3:09 PM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845827947174690979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The one argument I've heard abt how come UK taxes are at ATH (=gov spending is at ATH), while services are failing (instead of booming), was: UK gov lacks assets. UK gov sold off most of the state assets built created post-WW2 in the period after 1980. So it has to pay cash for things that previously wd have been provided in-house. Like if I own an asset like the house I don't have to pay rent. If I don't - then I have an additional monthly outcome that is my rent payment.
3:04 PM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The one argument I've heard abt how come UK taxes are at ATH (=gov spending is at ATH), while services are failing (instead of booming), was: UK gov lacks assets. UK gov sold off most of the state assets built created post-WW2 in the period after 1980. So it has to pay cash for things that previously wd have been provided in-house. Like if I own an asset like the house I don't have to pay rent. If I don't - then I have an additional monthly outcome that is my rent payment.
3:04 PM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845819409744482543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "Treasury brain" is indeed not any brain, but imbecilic "thinking". If I have £300M cash today, and buy a company worth £300M tomorrow, then I have an asset worth £300M. I could sell it the day after tomorrow for £300M (modulo transaction costs ofc). So the argument "X costs Y" is not an argument at all. Other considerations apply ofc: shd UK Gov be in that line of business, or not, what dis/advantages it brings to the table compared to alternatives, etc. But whether UK Gov Plc has got £300M as an asset or cash should not be one of those considerations. It looks crazy that UK Gov wd look at one side, at 1/2 of a balance sheet and consider that an argument. I wd have considered impossible UK Gov to be that stoopid - but nowdays I allow it. It's possible they are indeed that stupid.
2:30 PM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "Treasury brain" is indeed not any brain, but imbecilic "thinking". If I have £300M cash today, and buy a company worth £300M tomorrow, then I have an asset worth £300M. I could sell it the day after tomorrow for £300M (modulo transaction costs ofc). So the argument "X costs Y" is not an argument at all. Other considerations apply ofc: shd UK Gov be in that line of business, or not, what dis/advantages it brings to the table compared to alternatives, etc. But whether UK Gov Plc has got £300M as an asset or cash should not be one of those considerations. It looks crazy that UK Gov wd look at one side, at 1/2 of a balance sheet and consider that an argument. I wd have considered impossible UK Gov to be that stoopid - but nowdays I allow it. It's possible they are indeed that stupid.
2:30 PM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845747148643610919
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 I can think how the speaker rubs Marc the wrong way. Harari anti-Trump argument like e.g. Trumpists are like Marxists in they don't care about objective truth, anything serving power goes (so eating cats and dogs, gov controlling hurricanes - all fine). Also that the Algofeed is the editor in Social Media, so X FB TT IG etc should be liable for pushing billions of posts to billions of screens if it turns these were "bad" or "untrue" to some definition of. Definitions that probably courts will hammer out, in trials. Yeah, can see how some motivated thinking leads to dislike there. 😂
Marc tearing down institutions that are supposed to care about truth and reality b/c they are failing - well duh, ofc they are failing at any given time, it's a forever struggle - strikes me as idiotic. These institutions alternatives are not going to grow on their own by magic. Someone needs to build them. So leave the old failing ones alone, and get building new institutions. And we will all switch over to these new institutions, naturally. The state of SF and CA (from what a read - never been) strikes me as a huge FAIL on the part of the Tech industry in the job of "building institutions". Even in the state and the city where they must wield humongous influence (given how $$$ dependent US politics is), looks like they can't get rid of crazy corrupt wokeists and replace them with people that build things, get things done?? So they fail to appeal to their own tech-friendly base?? That does not bode well for their political acumen. Trump will eat them for breakfast. Within few months of presidency, Elon and Marc will be gone, like Bannon (the previous ideologue) was gone (and ended in legal troubles - even during the Trump admin?). Marc - if he was as wise as he is smart - cd reflect on that it was Stalin giving orders to his TechBros, not the other way around, and including sending them to gulags (e.g. the rocketeer Korolyov). 9:43 AM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 I can think how the speaker rubs Marc the wrong way. Harari anti-Trump argument like e.g. Trumpists are like Marxists in they don't care about objective truth, anything serving power goes (so eating cats and dogs, gov controlling hurricanes - all fine). Also that the Algofeed is the editor in Social Media, so X FB TT IG etc should be liable for pushing billions of posts to billions of screens if it turns these were "bad" or "untrue" to some definition of. Definitions that probably courts will hammer out, in trials. Yeah, can see how some motivated thinking leads to dislike there. 😂
Marc tearing down institutions that are supposed to care about truth and reality b/c they are failing - well duh, ofc they are failing at any given time, it's a forever struggle - strikes me as idiotic. These institutions alternatives are not going to grow on their own by magic. Someone needs to build them. So leave the old failing ones alone, and get building new institutions. And we will all switch over to these new institutions, naturally. The state of SF and CA (from what a read - never been) strikes me as a huge FAIL on the part of the Tech industry in the job of "building institutions". Even in the state and the city where they must wield humongous influence (given how $$$ dependent US politics is), looks like they can't get rid of crazy corrupt wokeists and replace them with people that build things, get things done?? So they fail to appeal to their own tech-friendly base?? That does not bode well for their political acumen. Trump will eat them for breakfast. Within few months of presidency, Elon and Marc will be gone, like Bannon (the previous ideologue) was gone (and ended in legal troubles - even during the Trump admin?). Marc - if he was as wise as he is smart - cd reflect on that it was Stalin giving orders to his TechBros, not the other way around, and including sending them to gulags (e.g. the rocketeer Korolyov). 9:43 AM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845735366524907843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yep - if they could get it, they would have gotten it by now. But abt this I'm puzzled. For sure they can read, or ChatGPT can tell them, the story of Nokia v.s. Apple. That Nokia, even after seeing what they need to do, after it was revealed to them by the iPhone success, that a new market is opening/where the market is headed, even after learning *what product* they needed to produce - still failed to produce a similar product, a good enough competitor. And this lasted for 3-4yrs as Symbian, and another 3-4yrs as Windows phone.
8:56 AM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yep - if they could get it, they would have gotten it by now. But abt this I'm puzzled. For sure they can read, or ChatGPT can tell them, the story of Nokia v.s. Apple. That Nokia, even after seeing what they need to do, after it was revealed to them by the iPhone success, that a new market is opening/where the market is headed, even after learning *what product* they needed to produce - still failed to produce a similar product, a good enough competitor. And this lasted for 3-4yrs as Symbian, and another 3-4yrs as Windows phone.
8:56 AM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845721907825361100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Performative disagreement that is an agreement this - haha v.funny. 😁 Hinges on what you mean by "fictional" and or mentally deleting the word "reality" from "fictional reality" in that clip. 😆 As per that clip - "objective reaility" are "rivers and houses". And "fictional reality" are ideas in our heads that all of us have, act on them, and change the "objective reality".
Afaics - you, him, (and myself) are in agreement that "all these social constructs had arose out of human necessity to organize large groups, enforce laws, and manage resources, expand economic activities, enable technological advances and cooperation between billions of people. It’s not their fictional nature that gives them power, it’s the collective belief and institutional structures that maintain them." 8:02 AM · Oct 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Performative disagreement that is an agreement this - haha v.funny. 😁 Hinges on what you mean by "fictional" and or mentally deleting the word "reality" from "fictional reality" in that clip. 😆 As per that clip - "objective reaility" are "rivers and houses". And "fictional reality" are ideas in our heads that all of us have, act on them, and change the "objective reality".
Afaics - you, him, (and myself) are in agreement that "all these social constructs had arose out of human necessity to organize large groups, enforce laws, and manage resources, expand economic activities, enable technological advances and cooperation between billions of people. It’s not their fictional nature that gives them power, it’s the collective belief and institutional structures that maintain them." 8:02 AM · Oct 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845583818117583046
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They were born in different places, but that one place is France and the other place is America is in the heads of millions of people around them. If not for these ideas in millions of heads, the newborns (who don't know themselves where they were born) would not get the ideas in their heads. I guess we can consider ideas in heads real in the sense that software running on some hardware is real.
10:54 PM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They were born in different places, but that one place is France and the other place is America is in the heads of millions of people around them. If not for these ideas in millions of heads, the newborns (who don't know themselves where they were born) would not get the ideas in their heads. I guess we can consider ideas in heads real in the sense that software running on some hardware is real.
10:54 PM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845576341804007715
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc, no one is disputing that. Great ideas, useful ideas, good ideas. But still - ideas in theirs heads. If they were to suffer a stroke and lose all their memories, then we could not tell them which is which, and they wouldn't be able to tell us.
10:24 PM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc, no one is disputing that. Great ideas, useful ideas, good ideas. But still - ideas in theirs heads. If they were to suffer a stroke and lose all their memories, then we could not tell them which is which, and they wouldn't be able to tell us.
10:24 PM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845574900570107979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but when I touch a person, the thing that makes that person American and some other person French, is the ideas they have in their heads. One thinks of himself as American, speaks English etc. The other person thinks of himself as French, speaks French etc. If I don't ask, or if they are unable to communicate to me their inner world, I would not be able to tell them apart, decide is this person an American or a French person.
10:18 PM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but when I touch a person, the thing that makes that person American and some other person French, is the ideas they have in their heads. One thinks of himself as American, speaks English etc. The other person thinks of himself as French, speaks French etc. If I don't ask, or if they are unable to communicate to me their inner world, I would not be able to tell them apart, decide is this person an American or a French person.
10:18 PM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845569007300071838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Explain please. Depends on what one means by the words - reality, abstractions, fictions. Asking in this sense: can one touch a nation, like one can touch a car, house, tree. Afas I understand - no, one can't touch a nation like one can touch a tree.
9:55 PM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Explain please. Depends on what one means by the words - reality, abstractions, fictions. Asking in this sense: can one touch a nation, like one can touch a car, house, tree. Afas I understand - no, one can't touch a nation like one can touch a tree.
9:55 PM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845527568470167738
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on what you mean by "fictional". These are all things that exist in our heads only. Unlike a house or a car or a tree - that exist outside our heads too (in addition to existing in our heads).
7:10 PM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on what you mean by "fictional". These are all things that exist in our heads only. Unlike a house or a car or a tree - that exist outside our heads too (in addition to existing in our heads).
7:10 PM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845429496679133340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that, but non-software driven local taxi companies *still* have not created an App in my local area, that allows me to see where their cab is, so I know they have not forgotten my airport ride booked days ago and are on their way. I think they never will come up with such App. It's not in their power to do so. Booking on the web and sending confirmations back on email and sms took them decades to do.
12:40 PM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that, but non-software driven local taxi companies *still* have not created an App in my local area, that allows me to see where their cab is, so I know they have not forgotten my airport ride booked days ago and are on their way. I think they never will come up with such App. It's not in their power to do so. Booking on the web and sending confirmations back on email and sms took them decades to do.
12:40 PM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845420215615492524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even at the time his "fix the roof while the sun shines" implemented as "not fixing any roofs nor anything else, not spending no £££, sun shining or not" was an obvious lie. Cameron got away with it easily due to sycophantic press - half of them his friends, other half hoping to become. (I suspect)
12:04 PM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even at the time his "fix the roof while the sun shines" implemented as "not fixing any roofs nor anything else, not spending no £££, sun shining or not" was an obvious lie. Cameron got away with it easily due to sycophantic press - half of them his friends, other half hoping to become. (I suspect)
12:04 PM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845416546392211726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IF
11:49 AM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IF
11:49 AM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845400109057478794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This! You are right. Experiment that can be done now days: move from rich to poor country, work (!! - important, so your income is commensurate) and live like/with/among the average citizen. Observe the quantity of mental health issues. People in rich countries oft complain, almost with misleading impression "ah poor - but at least happy"... - no! Being in imminent danger of death and other misfortunes is very bad for the mental health too. It's not that only the physical health suffers.
Same for getting old. It's not only that physical body deteriorates. In concert, not only do the mental faculties, esp related to memory etc decline, but also emotional faculties like compassion, capability for love etc - that also coarsen. 10:44 AM · Oct 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This! You are right. Experiment that can be done now days: move from rich to poor country, work (!! - important, so your income is commensurate) and live like/with/among the average citizen. Observe the quantity of mental health issues. People in rich countries oft complain, almost with misleading impression "ah poor - but at least happy"... - no! Being in imminent danger of death and other misfortunes is very bad for the mental health too. It's not that only the physical health suffers.
Same for getting old. It's not only that physical body deteriorates. In concert, not only do the mental faculties, esp related to memory etc decline, but also emotional faculties like compassion, capability for love etc - that also coarsen. 10:44 AM · Oct 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845137301132751125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good that everyone has and is willing to express their opinions. Bad that the Algofeed has no idea about the meaning or truthfulness of them. Afaik the Algofeed has mostly meta-data only to go on, when deciding which post to push onto millions of user screens. Meta-data that's chiefly - Engagement (other users reactions), and Timeliness (with short half life).
5:19 PM · Oct 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good that everyone has and is willing to express their opinions. Bad that the Algofeed has no idea about the meaning or truthfulness of them. Afaik the Algofeed has mostly meta-data only to go on, when deciding which post to push onto millions of user screens. Meta-data that's chiefly - Engagement (other users reactions), and Timeliness (with short half life).
5:19 PM · Oct 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845134120898248967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh - pay no attention. Typical of the genre. A stew of everything in some amounts - wishful thinking, ego massage, jostling for position, ignorance, irrelevance. Even in the best case "ok X can't do A" for it, we are right to not pay that much attention b/c "ok, but X can do B and C - very useful" and "ok, X can't, but improvement that is Y can do A" and so on.
5:07 PM · Oct 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh - pay no attention. Typical of the genre. A stew of everything in some amounts - wishful thinking, ego massage, jostling for position, ignorance, irrelevance. Even in the best case "ok X can't do A" for it, we are right to not pay that much attention b/c "ok, but X can do B and C - very useful" and "ok, X can't, but improvement that is Y can do A" and so on.
5:07 PM · Oct 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845070573010887027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, now I see have him on a NIL list :-) This -
Assign accounts that are prolific but boring, silly, propagandists, low SNR, low quality, crazies etc that X algo pushes into sink (/dev/null like) list NIL. Then tick "Do not show these posts in For You" for that list in the individual list settings. But now I Mute-d the acc. I avoid Block-ing as he's done nothing to upset me personally. I am upset by X and ultimately EM that the Algofeed still judges on Engagement and Timeliness metrics mostly, still all meta-data only. I thought by now with all the LLM-s (and DNN-s before) posts and accounts would have been judged by the content much much more. And the Algofeed would take that into account. Algofeed using meta-data mostly strikes me as being "judged on the color of your skin" phase of the Social Netwrok-s, and would be good to transition to "judged on the content of the character", of each and every one of the posts (and downstream - users). :-) 12:54 PM · Oct 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, now I see have him on a NIL list :-) This -
Assign accounts that are prolific but boring, silly, propagandists, low SNR, low quality, crazies etc that X algo pushes into sink (/dev/null like) list NIL. Then tick "Do not show these posts in For You" for that list in the individual list settings. But now I Mute-d the acc. I avoid Block-ing as he's done nothing to upset me personally. I am upset by X and ultimately EM that the Algofeed still judges on Engagement and Timeliness metrics mostly, still all meta-data only. I thought by now with all the LLM-s (and DNN-s before) posts and accounts would have been judged by the content much much more. And the Algofeed would take that into account. Algofeed using meta-data mostly strikes me as being "judged on the color of your skin" phase of the Social Netwrok-s, and would be good to transition to "judged on the content of the character", of each and every one of the posts (and downstream - users). :-) 12:54 PM · Oct 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1845040437297545459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly it's not shown yet. I got enrolled at some point (not sure why - I vaguely remember X offered, and I agreed), so I get to vote on them. And add notes for others to vote - but have not done that yet.
Someone explained that the logic/istics behind is: find sufficient group of people that disagree on other issues, but agree on the note, for the note to be published. That strikes me as valuable insight. I'm surprised how well it works. Have to look up again the maths, the linear algebra of it - there was some SVD involved. It's good, but it's wholly insufficient for a network flooded with falsehoods on an industrial scale. While the notes are being submitted and voted on, the Algofeed pushes the Post onto millions of screens. Then after a week, a Note is ready and published. From now on, it will be shown together with the original post - good. If I clicked Like or Repost, I will get a Notification that a Note appeared - good. However - millions of people that merely viewed the original post when the algofeed pushed it onto ther screen - they will never see the Note. It's the Social Network equivalent to an old style Newspaper correction. A false story is splashed on the front page for millions to read. Then a week latter, Correction appears deep on page 23, that few read. Good that it happens - but insufficient. 10:54 AM · Oct 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly it's not shown yet. I got enrolled at some point (not sure why - I vaguely remember X offered, and I agreed), so I get to vote on them. And add notes for others to vote - but have not done that yet.
Someone explained that the logic/istics behind is: find sufficient group of people that disagree on other issues, but agree on the note, for the note to be published. That strikes me as valuable insight. I'm surprised how well it works. Have to look up again the maths, the linear algebra of it - there was some SVD involved. It's good, but it's wholly insufficient for a network flooded with falsehoods on an industrial scale. While the notes are being submitted and voted on, the Algofeed pushes the Post onto millions of screens. Then after a week, a Note is ready and published. From now on, it will be shown together with the original post - good. If I clicked Like or Repost, I will get a Notification that a Note appeared - good. However - millions of people that merely viewed the original post when the algofeed pushed it onto ther screen - they will never see the Note. It's the Social Network equivalent to an old style Newspaper correction. A false story is splashed on the front page for millions to read. Then a week latter, Correction appears deep on page 23, that few read. Good that it happens - but insufficient. 10:54 AM · Oct 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844912363792679233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, incentives -> results.
Engagement is maximized when 1/2 of users are at the throats of the other 1/2, and that's exactly the result we got. Took time but we are reaching that destination. I want to get 1000 Feeds, incl some user defined, instead of the medieval choice of 2 - "For you" and "Following". But that's not going to happen. X went wide did Communities, some way towards conference style (current leader in that is Reddit), instead of deep improving the quality of their core product. Another thing I want to see is RealHuman flag, and I'd pay small one off fee for that. And then to be able to filter on that flag (or not). That's not going to happen either. TBH IDK why Musk bought Twitter only to leave it to rot. Afaics nothing is improving with my user experience. Switch to a new platform is but impossible b/c it's a collective action problem *and* needs to happen at the same time in a short time window. Only external event can force that, c.f. Brazil ban. Best one can do in the mean time is replicate their Social Graph, find their Follows and Followers, on alternative platforms. There will be insufficient traffic there. The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest network wins every time. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. So having your Social Graph at the ready on an alternative place is half the job done. And prudent too. It's free no reason not to reserve your favourite user nickname on Bsky or similar. 2:25 AM · Oct 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, incentives -> results.
Engagement is maximized when 1/2 of users are at the throats of the other 1/2, and that's exactly the result we got. Took time but we are reaching that destination. I want to get 1000 Feeds, incl some user defined, instead of the medieval choice of 2 - "For you" and "Following". But that's not going to happen. X went wide did Communities, some way towards conference style (current leader in that is Reddit), instead of deep improving the quality of their core product. Another thing I want to see is RealHuman flag, and I'd pay small one off fee for that. And then to be able to filter on that flag (or not). That's not going to happen either. TBH IDK why Musk bought Twitter only to leave it to rot. Afaics nothing is improving with my user experience. Switch to a new platform is but impossible b/c it's a collective action problem *and* needs to happen at the same time in a short time window. Only external event can force that, c.f. Brazil ban. Best one can do in the mean time is replicate their Social Graph, find their Follows and Followers, on alternative platforms. There will be insufficient traffic there. The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" ensures the biggest network wins every time. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. So having your Social Graph at the ready on an alternative place is half the job done. And prudent too. It's free no reason not to reserve your favourite user nickname on Bsky or similar. 2:25 AM · Oct 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844882329233178626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt anyone is coming after the Algofeed - but someone should. S230 I am happy to (effectively) protect me, and other humans, and also X from me. However, S230 should not protect X Algofeed, as it's not a Human, from shoving insane dross onto 100M screens daily. Engagement is maximized when 1/2 is at the throats of the other 1/2, and that's exactly the result we got. Sick of that's sh*t. Years pass there's been minimal improvement in my Algofeed experience. Only change I remember was For you and Following separation. That part of the Social network monopoly I hate. No idea how to incentivise X to give me better choice there, I want a choice of 1000s of Feeds. They are asleep at the wheel. Maybe a kick in the backside, some stick is needed to shake things a bit in that space.
12:26 AM · Oct 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt anyone is coming after the Algofeed - but someone should. S230 I am happy to (effectively) protect me, and other humans, and also X from me. However, S230 should not protect X Algofeed, as it's not a Human, from shoving insane dross onto 100M screens daily. Engagement is maximized when 1/2 is at the throats of the other 1/2, and that's exactly the result we got. Sick of that's sh*t. Years pass there's been minimal improvement in my Algofeed experience. Only change I remember was For you and Following separation. That part of the Social network monopoly I hate. No idea how to incentivise X to give me better choice there, I want a choice of 1000s of Feeds. They are asleep at the wheel. Maybe a kick in the backside, some stick is needed to shake things a bit in that space.
12:26 AM · Oct 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844877346899116418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? All my grandparents were born in the Ottoman empire. One grandmother was called War, the other one Russia. Her husband - called God's gift - was born in the 19-th century I think.
12:06 AM · Oct 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? All my grandparents were born in the Ottoman empire. One grandmother was called War, the other one Russia. Her husband - called God's gift - was born in the 19-th century I think.
12:06 AM · Oct 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844817119189590387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep 👍 - just trust your dictator. He is the only one you can trust. He knows everything, can do anything, can do no wrong, make no error. Like God - only incarnated on Earth, 🌎 for real - so even better!
In the olden day's when this was hereditary - these were kings. If Trump wins, after overstaying past the mandate, once he starts thinking abt mortality, I'd expect him to start thinking of dynasty and probably Ivanka (with Jared behind the throne) succession. 8:07 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep 👍 - just trust your dictator. He is the only one you can trust. He knows everything, can do anything, can do no wrong, make no error. Like God - only incarnated on Earth, 🌎 for real - so even better!
In the olden day's when this was hereditary - these were kings. If Trump wins, after overstaying past the mandate, once he starts thinking abt mortality, I'd expect him to start thinking of dynasty and probably Ivanka (with Jared behind the throne) succession. 8:07 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844814514862088354
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They need a software CEO to handle this, as this is a case of "software is eating the world". see-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837501343960817949 TBF I expect them to not do that. If they cd do it, they wd have done it. They didn't - so they are not capable of doing it.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 21
Replying to @stekkerauto and @NicoPliquett
Another Nokia in the making - what spectacle, darkly amusing. VW need a software person in charge. This is "software eating the world, manifest". They're making something that's more than a car as they know it. For the car part they have the knowledge - fine. Now they need a CEO Show more 7:57 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They need a software CEO to handle this, as this is a case of "software is eating the world". see-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837501343960817949 TBF I expect them to not do that. If they cd do it, they wd have done it. They didn't - so they are not capable of doing it.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 21
Replying to @stekkerauto and @NicoPliquett
Another Nokia in the making - what spectacle, darkly amusing. VW need a software person in charge. This is "software eating the world, manifest". They're making something that's more than a car as they know it. For the car part they have the knowledge - fine. Now they need a CEO Show more 7:57 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844807921231950270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
why funny? it's always been thus
7:30 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
why funny? it's always been thus
7:30 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844806943606472725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Oh boy. I thought "just next word" was put the rest. Yes - just next word is trivially easy. Predicting with amazing quality is something else. One can't but conclude the LLM has a really good model of the thing it's predicting. Not my words - but of a newly minted Nobel layrare 😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0 7:27 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Oh boy. I thought "just next word" was put the rest. Yes - just next word is trivially easy. Predicting with amazing quality is something else. One can't but conclude the LLM has a really good model of the thing it's predicting. Not my words - but of a newly minted Nobel layrare 😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0 7:27 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844796978926158154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Responsibility is not menacing. It's literally part of their job. They are in position of great power. Notice that the identity of the company officers, people with power, are public knowledge, are in a public register, in the Companies House.
My name is sufficiently Googlable. I WFH and my company is in a public register. NB I don't run a publicly owned company, worth billions of pounds, and I don't affect the lives of hundreds of thousands even millions of people daily. 6:47 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Responsibility is not menacing. It's literally part of their job. They are in position of great power. Notice that the identity of the company officers, people with power, are public knowledge, are in a public register, in the Companies House.
My name is sufficiently Googlable. I WFH and my company is in a public register. NB I don't run a publicly owned company, worth billions of pounds, and I don't affect the lives of hundreds of thousands even millions of people daily. 6:47 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844794729960992776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Се разбира има секакви. Јас не замерам рудници за пари. Слободно е добро и убаво, и плус богато - е уште поубаво. Нема некоја посебна доблест во сиромаштво. И јас користам со задоволство gnu fsf. Но - не можам никому да замерам дека не објавува gnu fsf, ни на Марк Ц. Сите имаме право, но никој немаме обврска, да правиме gnu fsf. Како би замерил, кога ни јас тоа што го работам, не го публикувам како gnu fsf. Има место за сите. Кој не сака X, FB - има Bsky, Mastodon, па и Internet web - тоа се е слободно.
Силата на Социјалната Мрежа сеедно не е во софтверот. Силата на социјалната мрежа е во листата на Follows, и во листата на Followers, на секој еден корисник - во Социјалниот Граф. Социјалниот граф е тоа што ги држи корисниците заробени во една социјална мрежа. 6:38 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Се разбира има секакви. Јас не замерам рудници за пари. Слободно е добро и убаво, и плус богато - е уште поубаво. Нема некоја посебна доблест во сиромаштво. И јас користам со задоволство gnu fsf. Но - не можам никому да замерам дека не објавува gnu fsf, ни на Марк Ц. Сите имаме право, но никој немаме обврска, да правиме gnu fsf. Како би замерил, кога ни јас тоа што го работам, не го публикувам како gnu fsf. Има место за сите. Кој не сака X, FB - има Bsky, Mastodon, па и Internet web - тоа се е слободно.
Силата на Социјалната Мрежа сеедно не е во софтверот. Силата на социјалната мрежа е во листата на Follows, и во листата на Followers, на секој еден корисник - во Социјалниот Граф. Социјалниот граф е тоа што ги држи корисниците заробени во една социјална мрежа. 6:38 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844790721381068887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't want to do anything. I want the wider public to name and shame them. I want them to become ashamed of the actions of the organisation they lead and represent. I want them to be ashamed of their own inaction. I think they are hiding behind anonymity currently. They are in position of great power. They are well compensated (and not only with money) for that. They are not keeping their side of the bargain. They are failing the public they are supposed to (in the widest possible sense) serve. I don't begrudge someone staying an "anonymous coward". It's their choice, and I respect that. However - I don't want an anonymous coward to be in a position of great power over thousands even millions of people. With power comes responsibility.
6:22 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't want to do anything. I want the wider public to name and shame them. I want them to become ashamed of the actions of the organisation they lead and represent. I want them to be ashamed of their own inaction. I think they are hiding behind anonymity currently. They are in position of great power. They are well compensated (and not only with money) for that. They are not keeping their side of the bargain. They are failing the public they are supposed to (in the widest possible sense) serve. I don't begrudge someone staying an "anonymous coward". It's their choice, and I respect that. However - I don't want an anonymous coward to be in a position of great power over thousands even millions of people. With power comes responsibility.
6:22 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844785698856898789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no general meta-rule imo. I wish there were one. I see why pple wd be tempted & wish for one - it wd make separating wheat from chaff, the 0.1% true from 99.9% untrue dross so so much easier. Alas - afaik no such magic exists. There's a good meta-rule to discard someone's opinion though: if they always assume to be telling the truth, if they disallow the possibility that they may err. Their claim cd still turn out to be true - but not b/c they're saying so. Them saying sth or the opposite doesn't shift the probability 0.1% either way. So it's ok to ignore them.
6:02 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no general meta-rule imo. I wish there were one. I see why pple wd be tempted & wish for one - it wd make separating wheat from chaff, the 0.1% true from 99.9% untrue dross so so much easier. Alas - afaik no such magic exists. There's a good meta-rule to discard someone's opinion though: if they always assume to be telling the truth, if they disallow the possibility that they may err. Their claim cd still turn out to be true - but not b/c they're saying so. Them saying sth or the opposite doesn't shift the probability 0.1% either way. So it's ok to ignore them.
6:02 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844767256971997500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not my intention to be menacing and threatening. I am not a Northern customer & afaik I've never ever used their service. But it's my intention to make them more responsible. With power comes responsibility. We have too many people in the UK, well payed and cared for people, people in position of power, that wield that power without much responsibility. I want to see more responsibility from them. Is the CEO of Northern unable to read what his customers are experiencing? Why, what's stopping him/her? Maybe not enough time? Well - I see a few CEO-s here that care about customers. UK companies - I see e.g. @OctopusEnergy 's @g__j . It's doubly so that it's a state owned company! Almost public service that. The impunity mindset needs to change. It's endearing that a member of the public wd jump to the defense of a CEO. Now I expect the CEO to return the favor tbh. To take action, show they know and care abt what's happening.
4:49 PM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not my intention to be menacing and threatening. I am not a Northern customer & afaik I've never ever used their service. But it's my intention to make them more responsible. With power comes responsibility. We have too many people in the UK, well payed and cared for people, people in position of power, that wield that power without much responsibility. I want to see more responsibility from them. Is the CEO of Northern unable to read what his customers are experiencing? Why, what's stopping him/her? Maybe not enough time? Well - I see a few CEO-s here that care about customers. UK companies - I see e.g. @OctopusEnergy 's @g__j . It's doubly so that it's a state owned company! Almost public service that. The impunity mindset needs to change. It's endearing that a member of the public wd jump to the defense of a CEO. Now I expect the CEO to return the favor tbh. To take action, show they know and care abt what's happening.
4:49 PM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844686884439564513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You know - this "we had 1.2C GW in 100 years and we are thriving and so is the environment" (on many measures), maybe the best counter-argument I've heard against the scare mongering catastrophism of "aaargh, the sky is falling, you *must* do as I say or else...".
11:30 AM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You know - this "we had 1.2C GW in 100 years and we are thriving and so is the environment" (on many measures), maybe the best counter-argument I've heard against the scare mongering catastrophism of "aaargh, the sky is falling, you *must* do as I say or else...".
11:30 AM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844686223110975921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - against that, we have the water companies. Private and run poorly - I keep reading. It seems to me private or public is less of a factor. TBH looking back past decade the times I'm pleasantly surprised with a service that was poor previously and has now improved, is when it gets automated, and the human is taken out of the loop. In theory, the human element (the ticket inspector) is supposed to *not* be like a robot-automaton, but rather to take into account the specific circumstances of the individual case, and do the "sensible" thing. That a machine apparently can't do. However, in reality, we may get sensible robots before we get sensible corporations it seems.
11:27 AM · Oct 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - against that, we have the water companies. Private and run poorly - I keep reading. It seems to me private or public is less of a factor. TBH looking back past decade the times I'm pleasantly surprised with a service that was poor previously and has now improved, is when it gets automated, and the human is taken out of the loop. In theory, the human element (the ticket inspector) is supposed to *not* be like a robot-automaton, but rather to take into account the specific circumstances of the individual case, and do the "sensible" thing. That a machine apparently can't do. However, in reality, we may get sensible robots before we get sensible corporations it seems.
11:27 AM · Oct 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844510953867460854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
roof solar + AC = perfect match
11:50 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
roof solar + AC = perfect match
11:50 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844509889273414038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
chwarze Null, net zero - all great successes; AfD here we come
11:46 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
chwarze Null, net zero - all great successes; AfD here we come
11:46 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844509084638220363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I company owned by the state, no? Northern has been nationalized. So even "nationalize the lot" is hardly the solution. Will it help to name & shame? The CEO, the PR person etc. "Corporations" are made of people after all. Maybe their names and faces should be better known?
11:43 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I company owned by the state, no? Northern has been nationalized. So even "nationalize the lot" is hardly the solution. Will it help to name & shame? The CEO, the PR person etc. "Corporations" are made of people after all. Maybe their names and faces should be better known?
11:43 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844466001750221240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Kako plakase ICQ za kompjuteri, za odrzuvanje, za programeri sto go pravea softverot, kako dobivaa vrabotenite vo ICQ plata?
Prebaruvaci - koristam DDG 10% of vremeto koga mi treba da najdam nekoj web sajt sto znam deka postoi. A drugite 90% e koga baram na web nekoj da napisal odgovor na prasanje koe me interesira. Togas koristam http://perplexity.ai. Toe mi funkcionira ok. I dvete se besplatni. Gi koristam preku Search box na Firefox - ke iskucam sto baram, i kliknam na edniot ili drugiot vo drop down. Veruvam isto e i vo Chrome i dr browser. 8:52 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Kako plakase ICQ za kompjuteri, za odrzuvanje, za programeri sto go pravea softverot, kako dobivaa vrabotenite vo ICQ plata?
Prebaruvaci - koristam DDG 10% of vremeto koga mi treba da najdam nekoj web sajt sto znam deka postoi. A drugite 90% e koga baram na web nekoj da napisal odgovor na prasanje koe me interesira. Togas koristam http://perplexity.ai. Toe mi funkcionira ok. I dvete se besplatni. Gi koristam preku Search box na Firefox - ke iskucam sto baram, i kliknam na edniot ili drugiot vo drop down. Veruvam isto e i vo Chrome i dr browser. 8:52 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844455915824525577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - with some help from your very own side. Tearing down is comparatevely easy and building up is hard as you know full well. If crazies take over be it more like bolsheviks or isis or other random radicals - don't think SV VCs will survive for long. Your actions strike me as exposing you to large loss - if with low probability. You think this is bad - but you are simply not imaginative enough to how bad things get and how quickly that happens imo.
8:12 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - with some help from your very own side. Tearing down is comparatevely easy and building up is hard as you know full well. If crazies take over be it more like bolsheviks or isis or other random radicals - don't think SV VCs will survive for long. Your actions strike me as exposing you to large loss - if with low probability. You think this is bad - but you are simply not imaginative enough to how bad things get and how quickly that happens imo.
8:12 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844440588998816123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mene toa deka imaat profit>0 mi izgleda dobro. Posto profit = prihod - rashod. Da bese profit<0, FB i X ke propadnea i ke se zatvorea. Posto neli, nikoj ne moze da raboti so zaguba dolgo vreme. I nie nemase sega da mozeme da se dopisuvame. Od dvete opcii, da - 1) moze; ili 2) ne moze - da se dopisuvame, mene #1 mi izgleda podobra.
7:11 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mene toa deka imaat profit>0 mi izgleda dobro. Posto profit = prihod - rashod. Da bese profit<0, FB i X ke propadnea i ke se zatvorea. Posto neli, nikoj ne moze da raboti so zaguba dolgo vreme. I nie nemase sega da mozeme da se dopisuvame. Od dvete opcii, da - 1) moze; ili 2) ne moze - da se dopisuvame, mene #1 mi izgleda podobra.
7:11 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844437785500889398
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne. Jas ne sakam nikoj da mi plaka za da cita toa sto pisuvam. Da sakav - ke odam na platforma kade se naplaka. Nema da objavuvam ovde za bez pari. Ili nema voopsto da objavam javno. Ako mi treba da napisam nesto - ke si go napisam vo fajl, i ke stoi na mojot kompjuter, privatno. Nikoj nikogas nema da go procita - samo jas. Jas sakam drugi luge da procitaat toa sto ke napisam. Da im baram pari - ke se namali nivniot broj. Nemam protiv ako nekoj mi dade pari. Ama megu pari i vnimanie - biram vnimanie. Zatoa ova sto pisuvam ovde go postiram, a ne na pr na substack, ili na nekoj blog hostiran kade se plaka, ili na nekoja mailing lista sto se naplaka so pretplata.
Generalno - jas mislam deka mozebi ne treba da ima intelektualna sopstvenost. Jas ne sakam da go stavam nekogo vo zatvor, ako toj go iskopiral mojot post bez da mi plati. Mene mi e ok - ako javno objavam, neka go kopira. A ako ne sakam da se kopira - pa nema da go objavam javno. Nekako toa mi izgleda po-fer. 7:00 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne. Jas ne sakam nikoj da mi plaka za da cita toa sto pisuvam. Da sakav - ke odam na platforma kade se naplaka. Nema da objavuvam ovde za bez pari. Ili nema voopsto da objavam javno. Ako mi treba da napisam nesto - ke si go napisam vo fajl, i ke stoi na mojot kompjuter, privatno. Nikoj nikogas nema da go procita - samo jas. Jas sakam drugi luge da procitaat toa sto ke napisam. Da im baram pari - ke se namali nivniot broj. Nemam protiv ako nekoj mi dade pari. Ama megu pari i vnimanie - biram vnimanie. Zatoa ova sto pisuvam ovde go postiram, a ne na pr na substack, ili na nekoj blog hostiran kade se plaka, ili na nekoja mailing lista sto se naplaka so pretplata.
Generalno - jas mislam deka mozebi ne treba da ima intelektualna sopstvenost. Jas ne sakam da go stavam nekogo vo zatvor, ako toj go iskopiral mojot post bez da mi plati. Mene mi e ok - ako javno objavam, neka go kopira. A ako ne sakam da se kopira - pa nema da go objavam javno. Nekako toa mi izgleda po-fer. 7:00 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844433016195584385
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - ne razbiram sto e tuka losho. X zema podatoci od mene sto vredat $5. I jas mu plakam uste $80 ekstra clanarina (posto koristam XPro). Jas sakam X i Google da zema podatoci od mene i da gi koristi. Koga ke mi dade nekoja reklama - me nervira sto e reklamata bez vrska, nekorisna za mene. Stalno si milsam - imam Gmail, se znaat za mene, i pak reklamite sto mi gi davaat se sr*nje.
Meta i Gugl zarabotuvaat od tebe i mene - ama i trosat na tebe i mene. Sie tie programeri, kompjuteri i dr - se toa kosta. Striktno kazano - zarabotuvaat od reklami, ne od mene i tebe. Diskutabilno e kolku bi naplakale, ako zemat da naplakaat. FB mislam treba da pocne da naplaka - ama mislam nema nikogas da pocne. Ok "imalo inicijativa" - ima sekakvi idei, dosega ne se najde nekoj so podobar biznis model sto ke uspee. Dosega sto sum videl - lugeto precenuvaat kolku nivnite podatoci vredat za drugi, a potcenuvaat kolku pari se spremni da platat za FB, Google i sl ako ne se besplatni. 6:41 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - ne razbiram sto e tuka losho. X zema podatoci od mene sto vredat $5. I jas mu plakam uste $80 ekstra clanarina (posto koristam XPro). Jas sakam X i Google da zema podatoci od mene i da gi koristi. Koga ke mi dade nekoja reklama - me nervira sto e reklamata bez vrska, nekorisna za mene. Stalno si milsam - imam Gmail, se znaat za mene, i pak reklamite sto mi gi davaat se sr*nje.
Meta i Gugl zarabotuvaat od tebe i mene - ama i trosat na tebe i mene. Sie tie programeri, kompjuteri i dr - se toa kosta. Striktno kazano - zarabotuvaat od reklami, ne od mene i tebe. Diskutabilno e kolku bi naplakale, ako zemat da naplakaat. FB mislam treba da pocne da naplaka - ama mislam nema nikogas da pocne. Ok "imalo inicijativa" - ima sekakvi idei, dosega ne se najde nekoj so podobar biznis model sto ke uspee. Dosega sto sum videl - lugeto precenuvaat kolku nivnite podatoci vredat za drugi, a potcenuvaat kolku pari se spremni da platat za FB, Google i sl ako ne se besplatni. 6:41 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844430358848110664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a little bit that tuition fee paying students lose in competitive advantage relative only to the others. In absolute terms - ofc they lose nothing. But non-fee payers do gain from your lectures => fee paying "lose" in relative, comparative terms, by the "gap" narrowing. Tell them - the non-fee payers attending your lectures become tiny bit better people than they wd be otherwise (if they didn't attend your lectures online). The fee paying students benefit from that, in the long term. They go to a doctor, and the doctor, having attended your lecture, diagnoses them correctly. Whereas - in the counterfactual world, where s/he was not attending the lectures remotely - fails to diagnose. That sort of thing. Impossible to quantify and measure on a micro- level. But we know it's true on average over time on a macro- level.
6:30 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a little bit that tuition fee paying students lose in competitive advantage relative only to the others. In absolute terms - ofc they lose nothing. But non-fee payers do gain from your lectures => fee paying "lose" in relative, comparative terms, by the "gap" narrowing. Tell them - the non-fee payers attending your lectures become tiny bit better people than they wd be otherwise (if they didn't attend your lectures online). The fee paying students benefit from that, in the long term. They go to a doctor, and the doctor, having attended your lecture, diagnoses them correctly. Whereas - in the counterfactual world, where s/he was not attending the lectures remotely - fails to diagnose. That sort of thing. Impossible to quantify and measure on a micro- level. But we know it's true on average over time on a macro- level.
6:30 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844415563335881066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Ok - jas znam deka tie podatoci se vredni za niv. Ama toa sto pisuvam e vredno i za mene. Eve ova sto se dopisuvam so tebe ovde - vredno e i za mene. Inaku zasto bi go pravel ako ne mi e vredno?? Ne bi go pisuval ova - taka? Nikoj ne me tera so sila. Jas naogam deka e vredno za mene, ova da go napisam.
Podatoci ima mnogu - prasanje e, kolku se vredni. Jas se bavam malku i profesionalno so toa - podatoci, data, koristenje za zarabotuvanje $$$, pa malku i sum naucil so vreme. Edna procenka kolkava e vrednosta e - ke procenam po toa, kolku e nekoj spremen da plati za informacii za mene. Tipicno, luge plakaat za dosie za prosecen korisnik kako mene - otprilika $5 po glava. Tolku mu vredat moite podatoci nekomu drug. No! - moite podatoci mi vredat mene mnogu poveke od $5!! 😊 Zatoa gi sobiram, snimam etc. 😇 Isto veruvam i ti. 5:31 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Ok - jas znam deka tie podatoci se vredni za niv. Ama toa sto pisuvam e vredno i za mene. Eve ova sto se dopisuvam so tebe ovde - vredno e i za mene. Inaku zasto bi go pravel ako ne mi e vredno?? Ne bi go pisuval ova - taka? Nikoj ne me tera so sila. Jas naogam deka e vredno za mene, ova da go napisam.
Podatoci ima mnogu - prasanje e, kolku se vredni. Jas se bavam malku i profesionalno so toa - podatoci, data, koristenje za zarabotuvanje $$$, pa malku i sum naucil so vreme. Edna procenka kolkava e vrednosta e - ke procenam po toa, kolku e nekoj spremen da plati za informacii za mene. Tipicno, luge plakaat za dosie za prosecen korisnik kako mene - otprilika $5 po glava. Tolku mu vredat moite podatoci nekomu drug. No! - moite podatoci mi vredat mene mnogu poveke od $5!! 😊 Zatoa gi sobiram, snimam etc. 😇 Isto veruvam i ti. 5:31 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844413395862225057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reform captured the "easily charmed cretins" segment of the great british public. CON-s that can count? I'd not count on that. The result CON-s get will be result of the s/election process. As long as that is unchanged, CON-s will get the same result (c.f. - Lizzy the Lettuce). Amazing that. 😅 LAB changed the party leader election process. CON saw the result (Corbyn), and thought - what a splendid idea, we want the same. Then they did the same change too? 😂 I'm not sure how and when - don't follow politics or CON-s that much, I'd like to be corrected abt when and how the change to "parliamentary party elects the leader as they and only they will have to support him (and his gov) in Westminster". Imo that empowered the crazies, the fruitcakes interested in politics. These people are not the normie voter. These are extreme people, unrepresentative of the wider public. Most people have no interest in politics, and for good reasons. They have better things to do with their time. Empowering nutters to elect the next leader PM-in-waiting for £5 fee - looks like a silly idea to me.
5:23 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reform captured the "easily charmed cretins" segment of the great british public. CON-s that can count? I'd not count on that. The result CON-s get will be result of the s/election process. As long as that is unchanged, CON-s will get the same result (c.f. - Lizzy the Lettuce). Amazing that. 😅 LAB changed the party leader election process. CON saw the result (Corbyn), and thought - what a splendid idea, we want the same. Then they did the same change too? 😂 I'm not sure how and when - don't follow politics or CON-s that much, I'd like to be corrected abt when and how the change to "parliamentary party elects the leader as they and only they will have to support him (and his gov) in Westminster". Imo that empowered the crazies, the fruitcakes interested in politics. These people are not the normie voter. These are extreme people, unrepresentative of the wider public. Most people have no interest in politics, and for good reasons. They have better things to do with their time. Empowering nutters to elect the next leader PM-in-waiting for £5 fee - looks like a silly idea to me.
5:23 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844406381270434242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - ama i sega web, www, html stranicite se slobodni? Ima milijarda blogovi i dr. sto luge kreiraat sto se slobodni. Jas gi naogam deka se relevantni za 1000 raboti sto me interesiraat. Koklu znam - Reddit e sloboden, FB e sloboden i t.n.
Jas sum za toa vesnici, TV i sl da imaat i prihod od pretplata od korisnici, i prihod od reklami. Mislam e podobro otkolku samo edno ili samo drugo. Na pr - nemam protiv FB da naplaka 10 den/mesecno. Nikoj nikogo ne tera so sila nesto da koristi li cita. Cenzura - ok, ima nekoi zakoni i sl. Ako jas te klevetam, kazuvam loshi nevistiniti raboti za tebe, te pcujam ili vregam na mrezava - imas pravo da se zalis. Ne samo do X. Moze da zemes advokat i da me tuzis. Ako se dogovaram so drugi 100 luge da se organizirame da ti dojdeme pred tvojata kuka da ja zapalime - togas e veke javen interes toa da ne se sluci, javniot obvinitel se angazira da me brka mene so policija i sl (ne moras ti da brkas advokati). Toa isto mi e ok. Toa sto jas ke go napisam ovoj post, i X *nema* da go prati ovoj post na 4000 Followers sto kliknale Follow na mojot profil (no ke im prikaze nekoi drugi postovi, od nekoi drugi korisnici, sto isto gi sledat) - jas toa ne go zemam za cenzura. Nemam jas pravo ovoj moj post sega X da go "turne" na ekranite na 100M korisnici. Mislam deka toa ok. Jas imam pravo da go napisam ova, nikoj ne me sprecuva, i sekoj sto ke dojde na mojata "home page" na X, i zeme da skrola, ke go najde i moze da go procita. Jas nemam pravo da ocekuvam deka sega ovoj post X ke to "turne" na ekranite na 100M luge. Ne mislam deka sum cenzuriran. Cenzura ima, moderacija ima, ima brisenje na postovi i blokiranje akaunti i sl - da, ama ima zakoni sto i mu ovozmuzuvaat na X (ako saka), i drugi zakoni sto go obvrzuvaat X (togas mora) da napravi nesto. Nikoj nema "pravo" da bide na X (ili FB). Se se toa privatni firmi, privatni platformi. Zakonite se razlikuvaat od zemja do zemja. Na pr - US e edno, Brazil drugo, Rusija Kina - se treto. Toa isto mi e ok, ne naogam nekoja mana. Ako nesto ne cini so nekoj zakon - e rabota na graganite da go smenat zakonot vo svojata zemja. Ne e tuka nesto obvrska na X da se sekira. 4:55 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - ama i sega web, www, html stranicite se slobodni? Ima milijarda blogovi i dr. sto luge kreiraat sto se slobodni. Jas gi naogam deka se relevantni za 1000 raboti sto me interesiraat. Koklu znam - Reddit e sloboden, FB e sloboden i t.n.
Jas sum za toa vesnici, TV i sl da imaat i prihod od pretplata od korisnici, i prihod od reklami. Mislam e podobro otkolku samo edno ili samo drugo. Na pr - nemam protiv FB da naplaka 10 den/mesecno. Nikoj nikogo ne tera so sila nesto da koristi li cita. Cenzura - ok, ima nekoi zakoni i sl. Ako jas te klevetam, kazuvam loshi nevistiniti raboti za tebe, te pcujam ili vregam na mrezava - imas pravo da se zalis. Ne samo do X. Moze da zemes advokat i da me tuzis. Ako se dogovaram so drugi 100 luge da se organizirame da ti dojdeme pred tvojata kuka da ja zapalime - togas e veke javen interes toa da ne se sluci, javniot obvinitel se angazira da me brka mene so policija i sl (ne moras ti da brkas advokati). Toa isto mi e ok. Toa sto jas ke go napisam ovoj post, i X *nema* da go prati ovoj post na 4000 Followers sto kliknale Follow na mojot profil (no ke im prikaze nekoi drugi postovi, od nekoi drugi korisnici, sto isto gi sledat) - jas toa ne go zemam za cenzura. Nemam jas pravo ovoj moj post sega X da go "turne" na ekranite na 100M korisnici. Mislam deka toa ok. Jas imam pravo da go napisam ova, nikoj ne me sprecuva, i sekoj sto ke dojde na mojata "home page" na X, i zeme da skrola, ke go najde i moze da go procita. Jas nemam pravo da ocekuvam deka sega ovoj post X ke to "turne" na ekranite na 100M luge. Ne mislam deka sum cenzuriran. Cenzura ima, moderacija ima, ima brisenje na postovi i blokiranje akaunti i sl - da, ama ima zakoni sto i mu ovozmuzuvaat na X (ako saka), i drugi zakoni sto go obvrzuvaat X (togas mora) da napravi nesto. Nikoj nema "pravo" da bide na X (ili FB). Se se toa privatni firmi, privatni platformi. Zakonite se razlikuvaat od zemja do zemja. Na pr - US e edno, Brazil drugo, Rusija Kina - se treto. Toa isto mi e ok, ne naogam nekoja mana. Ako nesto ne cini so nekoj zakon - e rabota na graganite da go smenat zakonot vo svojata zemja. Ne e tuka nesto obvrska na X da se sekira. 4:55 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844377745158984062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! The IQ we plot it distributed on a curve centered on 100. Plenty are fascinated by the lives of pple 1 or 2 SD or more (SD=15) above. But what about the lives of those below? There's the same number of people there too. That in the lottery of life had their straws drawn short as far as IQ is concerned. (that's a good proxy for many other things) How do the lives of these people look like? How do they live? They are perfectly normal and healthy people, no special needs no nothing. I remember only once seeing a short documentary. Was struck that many things that are ordinary not an issue we don't notice them for many, were a struggle, needing to spend lots of mental energy and attention, also were source of frustration and pain and shame for these guys.
3:01 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! The IQ we plot it distributed on a curve centered on 100. Plenty are fascinated by the lives of pple 1 or 2 SD or more (SD=15) above. But what about the lives of those below? There's the same number of people there too. That in the lottery of life had their straws drawn short as far as IQ is concerned. (that's a good proxy for many other things) How do the lives of these people look like? How do they live? They are perfectly normal and healthy people, no special needs no nothing. I remember only once seeing a short documentary. Was struck that many things that are ordinary not an issue we don't notice them for many, were a struggle, needing to spend lots of mental energy and attention, also were source of frustration and pain and shame for these guys.
3:01 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844365509350895769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I were in position of power in the UK, I'd be trying to entice the PMC, and esp the law/layers upper crust of the PMC, to shift from no-change, into change mode. To start with with a carrot catchy slogan of "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". And carry the "... otherwise Trump/Farage/Hallam/Corbyn will be the agents of change" stick behind at the ready. Or even "the Russian czar was lucky in 1907 before getting unlucky in 1917". (for the drama queens there)
I'm honestly baffled by the UK PMC. PMC=Professional Managerial Class, the 9% that run the country (others being - 1%=own the country, 90%=work the country). We have US to look up to. They did BBB - Bidenomics, Build Back Better, 4-5yrs ago, and that worked. Just do the same? How's that difficult at least in aspiration, as in "ought to" do. Even if UK fails to do it in the end. Looks to me the PMC "Treasury Brain (tm)" still rules UK as if still living in the AD 2007 Goldilocks world. Quote https://x.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1844292302166274196 Rory Stewart @RoryStewartUK · 4h “The country needs bold persistent experimentation. Take a method and try it; if it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.” Roosevelt 1932 (with perhaps a hint for Britain and the budget in 2024) 2:12 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I were in position of power in the UK, I'd be trying to entice the PMC, and esp the law/layers upper crust of the PMC, to shift from no-change, into change mode. To start with with a carrot catchy slogan of "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". And carry the "... otherwise Trump/Farage/Hallam/Corbyn will be the agents of change" stick behind at the ready. Or even "the Russian czar was lucky in 1907 before getting unlucky in 1917". (for the drama queens there)
I'm honestly baffled by the UK PMC. PMC=Professional Managerial Class, the 9% that run the country (others being - 1%=own the country, 90%=work the country). We have US to look up to. They did BBB - Bidenomics, Build Back Better, 4-5yrs ago, and that worked. Just do the same? How's that difficult at least in aspiration, as in "ought to" do. Even if UK fails to do it in the end. Looks to me the PMC "Treasury Brain (tm)" still rules UK as if still living in the AD 2007 Goldilocks world. Quote https://x.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1844292302166274196 Rory Stewart @RoryStewartUK · 4h “The country needs bold persistent experimentation. Take a method and try it; if it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.” Roosevelt 1932 (with perhaps a hint for Britain and the budget in 2024) 2:12 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844350777743065561
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worry not about random individuals. Anyone creating anything and lying and posting it online for 10 people to see it is ok.
Worry about Algofeed pushing the same thing onto millions of screens. S230 reform needed, need to treat Algofeed==Editor. Make the Algofeeds and its creators - the social media companies - liable for their own deeds. Like Editors are in the old media. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843913858596876479 1:14 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worry not about random individuals. Anyone creating anything and lying and posting it online for 10 people to see it is ok.
Worry about Algofeed pushing the same thing onto millions of screens. S230 reform needed, need to treat Algofeed==Editor. Make the Algofeeds and its creators - the social media companies - liable for their own deeds. Like Editors are in the old media. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843913858596876479 1:14 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844349918049083714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't need to worry about them. Anyone creating anything and lying and posting it online for 3 people to see it is ok.
Worry about Algofeed pushing the same thing onto millions of screens! S230 reform needed, need to treat Algofeed==Editor. Make the Algofeeds and its creators - the social media companies - liable for their own deeds. Like Editors are in the old media. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843913858596876479 1:11 PM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't need to worry about them. Anyone creating anything and lying and posting it online for 3 people to see it is ok.
Worry about Algofeed pushing the same thing onto millions of screens! S230 reform needed, need to treat Algofeed==Editor. Make the Algofeeds and its creators - the social media companies - liable for their own deeds. Like Editors are in the old media. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843913858596876479 1:11 PM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844304936621707481
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Entice the PMC, and esp the law/layers upper crust of PMC, to shift from no-change into change mode, with the catchy slogan "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". That carrot will appeal.
And have the "... otherwise Trump/Farage/Hallam/Corbyn will be the agents of change" stick at the ready for the thicker of the lot. Or maybe "the Russian czar was lucky in 1907 before he was unlucky in 1917" - for the drama queens? I'm honestly baffled by the UK PMC. (PMC=Professional Managerial Class, the 9% that run the country; others being 1%=own the country, 90%=work the country). We have US to look up to. They did BBB - Bidenomics, Build Back Better, 4-5yrs ago, and that worked. Just do the same? In the UK "treasury brain" still rules the roost as if we are still in AD 2007. 10:12 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Entice the PMC, and esp the law/layers upper crust of PMC, to shift from no-change into change mode, with the catchy slogan "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". That carrot will appeal.
And have the "... otherwise Trump/Farage/Hallam/Corbyn will be the agents of change" stick at the ready for the thicker of the lot. Or maybe "the Russian czar was lucky in 1907 before he was unlucky in 1917" - for the drama queens? I'm honestly baffled by the UK PMC. (PMC=Professional Managerial Class, the 9% that run the country; others being 1%=own the country, 90%=work the country). We have US to look up to. They did BBB - Bidenomics, Build Back Better, 4-5yrs ago, and that worked. Just do the same? In the UK "treasury brain" still rules the roost as if we are still in AD 2007. 10:12 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844302453556097169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😆 - stalno bilo taka, ama pomalku znaevme ne bevme tolku svesni, posto ne mozese site tapchovci na isto mesto da gi vidam sobrani.
Vcera me pogodi YT go slusnav Harari koga raskaza za kniga "Hammer of the Witches", mnogu popularna naprodavana best-seller vo Evropa po-Gutenberg https://youtube.com/watch?v=toF5PIClNZ4&t=2300s Ignoriraj go naslovot - naslovot e bas ilustracija na toa sto go raskazuva Juval "kako ne treba". I od vreme na vreme intervjuerot namesto da se nadovrze i da drill down nesto interesno sto ke mu kaze Juval, brka nekoi svoi trapavi malku prasanja sto si gi umislil vo negovata malku luda glava - ama ok. Harari e super. I jas mislam deka Algofeed==Urednik, i treba da ima ista odgovornost. A mi se dopaga sto nema zabrana na govor, i nema cenzura - toa e super ok da ostane taka. 10:02 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😆 - stalno bilo taka, ama pomalku znaevme ne bevme tolku svesni, posto ne mozese site tapchovci na isto mesto da gi vidam sobrani.
Vcera me pogodi YT go slusnav Harari koga raskaza za kniga "Hammer of the Witches", mnogu popularna naprodavana best-seller vo Evropa po-Gutenberg https://youtube.com/watch?v=toF5PIClNZ4&t=2300s Ignoriraj go naslovot - naslovot e bas ilustracija na toa sto go raskazuva Juval "kako ne treba". I od vreme na vreme intervjuerot namesto da se nadovrze i da drill down nesto interesno sto ke mu kaze Juval, brka nekoi svoi trapavi malku prasanja sto si gi umislil vo negovata malku luda glava - ama ok. Harari e super. I jas mislam deka Algofeed==Urednik, i treba da ima ista odgovornost. A mi se dopaga sto nema zabrana na govor, i nema cenzura - toa e super ok da ostane taka. 10:02 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844300484640973098
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 za Idiocracy - super e, a sega malku i strasen. Koga se pojavi Hulk Hogan ili nekoj sl na RNC koga imaa konvencija R pred izbori - toa kako da bese scena od Idiocracy.
9:54 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 za Idiocracy - super e, a sega malku i strasen. Koga se pojavi Hulk Hogan ili nekoj sl na RNC koga imaa konvencija R pred izbori - toa kako da bese scena od Idiocracy.
9:54 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844182959425032240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe a good strategy when there are only two possible options. So whatever the authority says, I distrust them, assume the opposite to be true, and I may come ahead - if authority is bad. (possible)
However, most things about the world do not exist in only two states. For every A that is true, there is infinity of not-As that are B, C, D ... Z that are false. So if USG says "B", contrarian deciding algorithm being "ah-haa! so therefore not-B is the truth!" and then jumping to - "therefore C" (or "D", ... etc) - will be wrong too. One is simply unlikely to hit on the true thing "A" if the decision algorithm is solely "not-B". More likely one will hit on C, D, ... Z - all also untrue. So just being a contrarian, multiplying by (-1) everything USG says - is also going to not lead to the truth. Even when the authority is mostly wrong. I will be wrong too. There is simply no shortcut, no replacement for explicitly searching to find what's true. That's hard and involved process. So we have courts, scientific clubs or associations etc. 2:07 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe a good strategy when there are only two possible options. So whatever the authority says, I distrust them, assume the opposite to be true, and I may come ahead - if authority is bad. (possible)
However, most things about the world do not exist in only two states. For every A that is true, there is infinity of not-As that are B, C, D ... Z that are false. So if USG says "B", contrarian deciding algorithm being "ah-haa! so therefore not-B is the truth!" and then jumping to - "therefore C" (or "D", ... etc) - will be wrong too. One is simply unlikely to hit on the true thing "A" if the decision algorithm is solely "not-B". More likely one will hit on C, D, ... Z - all also untrue. So just being a contrarian, multiplying by (-1) everything USG says - is also going to not lead to the truth. Even when the authority is mostly wrong. I will be wrong too. There is simply no shortcut, no replacement for explicitly searching to find what's true. That's hard and involved process. So we have courts, scientific clubs or associations etc. 2:07 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844161563491524867
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cards we certainly don't need. Unique universal single random personal UUID maybe. Ideally a (private,public) key pair per person. If a concept of such impossibly high complexity can be made as not to explode the heads of our MPs - bless'em - and that super advanced technology can be legislated.
12:42 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cards we certainly don't need. Unique universal single random personal UUID maybe. Ideally a (private,public) key pair per person. If a concept of such impossibly high complexity can be made as not to explode the heads of our MPs - bless'em - and that super advanced technology can be legislated.
12:42 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844159692584681556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good complementary match is when one cares about cleanliness, while the other cares about tidyness. 😊
12:35 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good complementary match is when one cares about cleanliness, while the other cares about tidyness. 😊
12:35 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844158993499029680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! Things are easier when one can bisect ad infinum. Further, they spoiled us with low dimension spaces. Once N is high enough, even continuous Nspace discretizes. With no mass left in the centre, there's no representative middle, and every observation is an outlier.
12:32 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! Things are easier when one can bisect ad infinum. Further, they spoiled us with low dimension spaces. Once N is high enough, even continuous Nspace discretizes. With no mass left in the centre, there's no representative middle, and every observation is an outlier.
12:32 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844157325482897458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Modern movies are boring, esp compared to YouTube & online content. Oft times I point unlikely, made up elements of the plots to family, to get some entertainment, to family's universal annouance. Usually there's no plot left in absence of the unlikely silly element. Now that you mentioned it - yeah I see a pattern there.
12:25 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Modern movies are boring, esp compared to YouTube & online content. Oft times I point unlikely, made up elements of the plots to family, to get some entertainment, to family's universal annouance. Usually there's no plot left in absence of the unlikely silly element. Now that you mentioned it - yeah I see a pattern there.
12:25 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844154984792772810
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If "... only Washington can create money ..." then it's improbable they'll run out of money no? Even they are not that stupid. But plenty pple - incl yourself - somehow are stupid enough to think $$$ come from China or Mars and USG can run out of USD. And bleat about gov debt incessantly. It's one or the other. Either only Washington creates dollars and inflation, or Washington doesn't create them and can run out of dollars. Two opposites, can't be both true at the same time. ffs
12:16 AM · Oct 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If "... only Washington can create money ..." then it's improbable they'll run out of money no? Even they are not that stupid. But plenty pple - incl yourself - somehow are stupid enough to think $$$ come from China or Mars and USG can run out of USD. And bleat about gov debt incessantly. It's one or the other. Either only Washington creates dollars and inflation, or Washington doesn't create them and can run out of dollars. Two opposites, can't be both true at the same time. ffs
12:16 AM · Oct 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844132127195136063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 Was listening to @harari_yuval interview - link below with time code; ignore the click bait title, the interview is much better than that; amusing they chose silly title to max engagement, very on-topic 😂 - about the book "Hammer of the Witches" made popular post-Gutenberg in Europe
https://youtube.com/watch?v=toF5PIClNZ4&t=2300s Made for interesting parallels! 😱 10:45 PM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 Was listening to @harari_yuval interview - link below with time code; ignore the click bait title, the interview is much better than that; amusing they chose silly title to max engagement, very on-topic 😂 - about the book "Hammer of the Witches" made popular post-Gutenberg in Europe
https://youtube.com/watch?v=toF5PIClNZ4&t=2300s Made for interesting parallels! 😱 10:45 PM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844092213954859141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can treat the supporters like "Lizardman constant" in surveys. No matter how crazy the cause - some people will find themselves in it. Pol Pot had notable support I read. Stalin had support even*after* the Soviets' denouncements and crimes made public. Humans are simply much much more variable, the possible range is greater it seems to me, than any other animals in comparison. We create fantasy worlds in our heads, they can exist unmoored by any reaility, and we are capable of acting on them too.
8:07 PM · Oct 9, 2024 from Harpenden, East
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can treat the supporters like "Lizardman constant" in surveys. No matter how crazy the cause - some people will find themselves in it. Pol Pot had notable support I read. Stalin had support even*after* the Soviets' denouncements and crimes made public. Humans are simply much much more variable, the possible range is greater it seems to me, than any other animals in comparison. We create fantasy worlds in our heads, they can exist unmoored by any reaility, and we are capable of acting on them too.
8:07 PM · Oct 9, 2024 from Harpenden, East
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1844042851795062957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. But listening to and reading @Dominic2306 and @RoryStewartUK it's hard to conclude that the Parliament solely is the solution to anything. 😱 More like - how to balance the failings of of all in the triumvirate {Government,Parliament,Judiciary} to minimize loss, while still getting >0 done, while trying to improve them all. Not an easy task at all! There is Monarchy too that everyone leaves out as "symbolic only". Not sure if it's ceremonial only to that extent. After all - the armed forces serve the King, not the PM.
4:50 PM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. But listening to and reading @Dominic2306 and @RoryStewartUK it's hard to conclude that the Parliament solely is the solution to anything. 😱 More like - how to balance the failings of of all in the triumvirate {Government,Parliament,Judiciary} to minimize loss, while still getting >0 done, while trying to improve them all. Not an easy task at all! There is Monarchy too that everyone leaves out as "symbolic only". Not sure if it's ceremonial only to that extent. After all - the armed forces serve the King, not the PM.
4:50 PM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843988366431293628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - if the MPC resist all change of everything all the time, then change will happen via the agents of change Trump/Farage/Hallam. You got lucky with Corbyn. Like the Russian czar was lucky in 1907 before he was unlucky in 1917. I'm baffled by the UK. We have US to look up to - they did BBB, that worked. In the UK "treasury brain npc" still rules the roost as if we are still in AD 2007.
1:14 PM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - if the MPC resist all change of everything all the time, then change will happen via the agents of change Trump/Farage/Hallam. You got lucky with Corbyn. Like the Russian czar was lucky in 1907 before he was unlucky in 1917. I'm baffled by the UK. We have US to look up to - they did BBB, that worked. In the UK "treasury brain npc" still rules the roost as if we are still in AD 2007.
1:14 PM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843977883611431355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re-upping this @geoffreyhinton lecture for the right mix of entertainment, education, the history and the future of the field, and some "mind blown" moments too. 😊 In the right proportions - not too much, not too little of any, just right. 😇
> Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2024. Embedded video Geoffrey_Hinton_-_Will_digital_intelligence_replace_biological_intelligence_-_Romanes_Lecture_-_Oxford-20240824.mp4 Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1764967326598733831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 5
Replying to @wakirsten @Mihonarium and @geoffreyhinton
Thanks 🙏 you are too kind. 😊 I enjoyed this @geoffreyhinton lecture from 4 days ago https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0 . It has the right mix of entertainment, education, the past and the future, and the right number (not too many, not zero) mind-blown moments too. 🤯🤯 12:32 PM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re-upping this @geoffreyhinton lecture for the right mix of entertainment, education, the history and the future of the field, and some "mind blown" moments too. 😊 In the right proportions - not too much, not too little of any, just right. 😇
> Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2024. Embedded video Geoffrey_Hinton_-_Will_digital_intelligence_replace_biological_intelligence_-_Romanes_Lecture_-_Oxford-20240824.mp4 Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1764967326598733831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 5
Replying to @wakirsten @Mihonarium and @geoffreyhinton
Thanks 🙏 you are too kind. 😊 I enjoyed this @geoffreyhinton lecture from 4 days ago https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0 . It has the right mix of entertainment, education, the past and the future, and the right number (not too many, not zero) mind-blown moments too. 🤯🤯 12:32 PM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843969020938072249
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah many such Qs. I take it to mean "the field has arrived, it has delivered, it has achieved success". In that they are right - NNs (or PDP, as I was taught in ~1989 from a copy of PDP Volumes) have delivered beyond anyone's dreams. 🤯 (certainly mine) Part of Nobel committee consideration and presumably remit - is to stay current, on top of things.
11:57 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah many such Qs. I take it to mean "the field has arrived, it has delivered, it has achieved success". In that they are right - NNs (or PDP, as I was taught in ~1989 from a copy of PDP Volumes) have delivered beyond anyone's dreams. 🤯 (certainly mine) Part of Nobel committee consideration and presumably remit - is to stay current, on top of things.
11:57 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843967876383817734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing and or amusing - apparently Northern is a nationalized service, under direct UK gov control (since 2020). Food for thought for the "nationalize the lot" proponents there. People in positions of power seem to make themselves willfully helpless so they do nothing. IDK why they seek power then. Some kind of sick game? Trying for power but without responsibility?
Quote Sam W @SamMarkWill · Oct 8 So, this afternoon I got home to find a lovely letter from @northernassist telling me about how they wanted to prosecute me for using the below ticket to travel on the specified route at a peak time. I paid £1.90 less than the fare they say I should have paid. A thread 🧵 Image 11:52 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing and or amusing - apparently Northern is a nationalized service, under direct UK gov control (since 2020). Food for thought for the "nationalize the lot" proponents there. People in positions of power seem to make themselves willfully helpless so they do nothing. IDK why they seek power then. Some kind of sick game? Trying for power but without responsibility?
Quote Sam W @SamMarkWill · Oct 8 So, this afternoon I got home to find a lovely letter from @northernassist telling me about how they wanted to prosecute me for using the below ticket to travel on the specified route at a peak time. I paid £1.90 less than the fare they say I should have paid. A thread 🧵 Image 11:52 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843966127187407175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers - AI/NN on a roll or what 😆 Today @demishassabis Nobel in chemistry, yesterday @geoffreyhinton Nobel in physics
Image Image 11:45 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers - AI/NN on a roll or what 😆 Today @demishassabis Nobel in chemistry, yesterday @geoffreyhinton Nobel in physics
Image Image 11:45 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843961987606434253
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Entice the law/layers upper crust of PMC into change mode with the catchy slogan "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". Agreed the system is in a stasis, and the crisis is systemic.
11:29 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Entice the law/layers upper crust of PMC into change mode with the catchy slogan "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". Agreed the system is in a stasis, and the crisis is systemic.
11:29 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843958658540962138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is this related to the upper crust of the PMC in the UK (and US) being lawyers? All 3 recent examples of overreach are law related 1) foreign criminal can't be deported to a perfectly safe country 2) wages decided in court 3) now rent control. All possibly emergent from some primary or higher level legislation, or its over-interpretation?
As the system lurches from crisis to crisis unable to change, we can expect ever more erratic over reaches. Our PM being a top lawyer is not a good omen then. IDK what can be done. Entice them with a catchy slogan like "things need to change in order for them to stay the same"? Afaics - if PMC refuse change, then Trump/Farage will be the agents of change. UK is trailing US here. Seems to me with BBB already D-Biden are 4-5 yrs ahead UK both LAB and CON. Quote max @maxtempers · 15h Badenoch is correct here and we will end up with courts not only setting wages for warehouse jobs but also ‘fair’ rents through this legislation. Britain is sleepwalking into Soviet price controls over every sector via euphemism. x.com/s8mb/status/18… 11:16 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is this related to the upper crust of the PMC in the UK (and US) being lawyers? All 3 recent examples of overreach are law related 1) foreign criminal can't be deported to a perfectly safe country 2) wages decided in court 3) now rent control. All possibly emergent from some primary or higher level legislation, or its over-interpretation?
As the system lurches from crisis to crisis unable to change, we can expect ever more erratic over reaches. Our PM being a top lawyer is not a good omen then. IDK what can be done. Entice them with a catchy slogan like "things need to change in order for them to stay the same"? Afaics - if PMC refuse change, then Trump/Farage will be the agents of change. UK is trailing US here. Seems to me with BBB already D-Biden are 4-5 yrs ahead UK both LAB and CON. Quote max @maxtempers · 15h Badenoch is correct here and we will end up with courts not only setting wages for warehouse jobs but also ‘fair’ rents through this legislation. Britain is sleepwalking into Soviet price controls over every sector via euphemism. x.com/s8mb/status/18… 11:16 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843951068624937309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, this feels systemic, a crisis of the system (I lived in late socialism). No matter who gets elected - the system ensures a stasis, no change. Afraid time waits for no man. If PMC refuse change - Trump/Farage will be the agents. PMC must get it drilled into their thick skulls - "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". I think that message satisfies their natural urges, incentives and modes of operation.
10:46 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, this feels systemic, a crisis of the system (I lived in late socialism). No matter who gets elected - the system ensures a stasis, no change. Afraid time waits for no man. If PMC refuse change - Trump/Farage will be the agents. PMC must get it drilled into their thick skulls - "things need to change in order for them to stay the same". I think that message satisfies their natural urges, incentives and modes of operation.
10:46 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843947412324266235
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1) From logic - deregulation doesn't address
> when/if there is not enough of it, for the (risk,horizon)-s, i.e. payout's out of reach? We can see on US v.s. UK compare & contrast: stuff financed in US, cd never get financing in UK 2) From data - we've had deregulation for 50yrs now. Yes, there are few areas - the planning system, Treasury brain on infrastructure projects (in wide sense, "regulation==centralization") - where it's obviously needed (but not happening - why? separate issue). Further. Water industry deregulation was a great fail, I read daily. Our electricity and gas utilities are owned by foreign monopolies. My bills are are ATH. There is risk increase too, as is with anything super efficient. Efficiency up, redundancy down, risk up - no way around that. 10:31 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1) From logic - deregulation doesn't address
> when/if there is not enough of it, for the (risk,horizon)-s, i.e. payout's out of reach? We can see on US v.s. UK compare & contrast: stuff financed in US, cd never get financing in UK 2) From data - we've had deregulation for 50yrs now. Yes, there are few areas - the planning system, Treasury brain on infrastructure projects (in wide sense, "regulation==centralization") - where it's obviously needed (but not happening - why? separate issue). Further. Water industry deregulation was a great fail, I read daily. Our electricity and gas utilities are owned by foreign monopolies. My bills are are ATH. There is risk increase too, as is with anything super efficient. Efficiency up, redundancy down, risk up - no way around that. 10:31 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843943560711655668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on analysis. But nothing on synthesis? wtaf. What's to be done, is the Q? A: Private capital - ok, fine. But but but - what happens, when/if there is not enough of it, for the (risk,horizon)-s, i.e. payout's out of reach? We can see on US v.s. UK compare & contrast: stuff financed in US, cd never get financing in UK.
10:16 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on analysis. But nothing on synthesis? wtaf. What's to be done, is the Q? A: Private capital - ok, fine. But but but - what happens, when/if there is not enough of it, for the (risk,horizon)-s, i.e. payout's out of reach? We can see on US v.s. UK compare & contrast: stuff financed in US, cd never get financing in UK.
10:16 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843935330510270820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! I remember reading an article, searched for it now -
https://perplexity.ai/search/i-am-looking-for-an-article-in-LB33XKRZSh.lXceHqvcnfw I can defo see how short term v.s. long term good for the company wd be in conflict, and how sales and engineering wd be in conflict. Ultimately - it's the CEO, and then the owners. ultimately From perplexity.ai 9:43 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! I remember reading an article, searched for it now -
https://perplexity.ai/search/i-am-looking-for-an-article-in-LB33XKRZSh.lXceHqvcnfw I can defo see how short term v.s. long term good for the company wd be in conflict, and how sales and engineering wd be in conflict. Ultimately - it's the CEO, and then the owners. ultimately From perplexity.ai 9:43 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843932518195560680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Oh-kej, ama da "ne dava relevantni rezultati" toe e default, za toa ne treba nekoj napor. Za toa ne treba nekoja konspiracija. Toa e nulta, default sostojba.
Moze da kazeme - so mnogu napor edna generacija vo Google napravi da dava relevantni rezultati. Slednata generacija toa go rasipa. Kontrola i usmeruvanje - da, vo pravec na toa "sto mu nosi najmnogu pari na Google od reklami". Imase tekst i diskusija za toa - https://perplexity.ai/search/i-am-looking-for-an-article-in-LB33XKRZSh.lXceHqvcnfw#0 9:32 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Oh-kej, ama da "ne dava relevantni rezultati" toe e default, za toa ne treba nekoj napor. Za toa ne treba nekoja konspiracija. Toa e nulta, default sostojba.
Moze da kazeme - so mnogu napor edna generacija vo Google napravi da dava relevantni rezultati. Slednata generacija toa go rasipa. Kontrola i usmeruvanje - da, vo pravec na toa "sto mu nosi najmnogu pari na Google od reklami". Imase tekst i diskusija za toa - https://perplexity.ai/search/i-am-looking-for-an-article-in-LB33XKRZSh.lXceHqvcnfw#0 9:32 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843930843661689168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, you are right there is ton of nuance there.
Thinking back at the time in the 90s the context in which S230 arose. This was time of ISPs like Prodigy, AOL, Compuserve, some of which were standalone non-Internet connected platforms to start with. As Internet as is now didn't exist! So they were kind of similar to a telephone company in that we used a telephone to access them. 😁 Like an add-on service, to my phone service. Then with Internet ISP-s started adding services - connectivity to it, Internet email, maybe small personal web pages space, etc. In that context ISP-s got protection from liability arising from carrying user-generated content, in e.g. email lists, personal web pages and similar. It strikes me that modern Social networks now are nothing like that. 🙂 An entirely different world, almost completely unrecognizable. My ISP that is broadband provider has no relation to X. Not sure what's to be done. This is US and Law - two areas I'm no expert in. 9:25 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, you are right there is ton of nuance there.
Thinking back at the time in the 90s the context in which S230 arose. This was time of ISPs like Prodigy, AOL, Compuserve, some of which were standalone non-Internet connected platforms to start with. As Internet as is now didn't exist! So they were kind of similar to a telephone company in that we used a telephone to access them. 😁 Like an add-on service, to my phone service. Then with Internet ISP-s started adding services - connectivity to it, Internet email, maybe small personal web pages space, etc. In that context ISP-s got protection from liability arising from carrying user-generated content, in e.g. email lists, personal web pages and similar. It strikes me that modern Social networks now are nothing like that. 🙂 An entirely different world, almost completely unrecognizable. My ISP that is broadband provider has no relation to X. Not sure what's to be done. This is US and Law - two areas I'm no expert in. 9:25 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843913858596876479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We seem to have implicit abstraction in our heads that X/Twitter is a kind of public square, with many-to-many N-to-N, ultimately all-to-all communication. It ain't so. That N-to-N does not scale to N=100M users, it breaks down after N=10 or so.
What we have with Social media is new kind of Media. But still it's Media. All elements are here, with small differences in operation or business model, and automation. When an user posts something, that post is simply recorded on a computer (disk). Nothing more. Yes - it's the user that presses the post button. No - that doesn't push the post into millions of timelines. It's the algofeed that takes that post, and shoves it into millions of screens. Social media are Media, and their algorithms are their editors. The algofeed should be judged by the same criteria as the editor of any old media. X is a publisher. Example. I follow 5000 people, each posting once a day. I check my feed 10 times a day, each time the algofeed pushes a batch of 50 posts on my screen, a total of 500 a day. It's the algofeed that selected which 500 of the 5000 eligible to push on my screen. And also decided which 4500 to ignore and not show them to me. There's is no censorship involved - I can go to every one of those 4500 accounts home pages and read every one of those 4500 posts. There's no moderation - those 4500 posts are perfectly fine. They are not even totally suppressed - another user may have his 500 shown posts come from the 4500 not shown to me. (the algofeed will on average prefer some over the others though) The algofeed simply has to make a selection, as it's not physically possible to fit 5000 posts on my screen. As simple as. Good @harari_yuval at @seanilling 's "The Gray Area | Yuval Noah Harari on the AI revolution" on this - Embedded video Yuval_Harari_-_Social_media_publisher_algofeed_editor_no_megaphone_no_censorship-20241002.mp4 8:18 AM · Oct 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We seem to have implicit abstraction in our heads that X/Twitter is a kind of public square, with many-to-many N-to-N, ultimately all-to-all communication. It ain't so. That N-to-N does not scale to N=100M users, it breaks down after N=10 or so.
What we have with Social media is new kind of Media. But still it's Media. All elements are here, with small differences in operation or business model, and automation. When an user posts something, that post is simply recorded on a computer (disk). Nothing more. Yes - it's the user that presses the post button. No - that doesn't push the post into millions of timelines. It's the algofeed that takes that post, and shoves it into millions of screens. Social media are Media, and their algorithms are their editors. The algofeed should be judged by the same criteria as the editor of any old media. X is a publisher. Example. I follow 5000 people, each posting once a day. I check my feed 10 times a day, each time the algofeed pushes a batch of 50 posts on my screen, a total of 500 a day. It's the algofeed that selected which 500 of the 5000 eligible to push on my screen. And also decided which 4500 to ignore and not show them to me. There's is no censorship involved - I can go to every one of those 4500 accounts home pages and read every one of those 4500 posts. There's no moderation - those 4500 posts are perfectly fine. They are not even totally suppressed - another user may have his 500 shown posts come from the 4500 not shown to me. (the algofeed will on average prefer some over the others though) The algofeed simply has to make a selection, as it's not physically possible to fit 5000 posts on my screen. As simple as. Good @harari_yuval at @seanilling 's "The Gray Area | Yuval Noah Harari on the AI revolution" on this - Embedded video Yuval_Harari_-_Social_media_publisher_algofeed_editor_no_megaphone_no_censorship-20241002.mp4 8:18 AM · Oct 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843758043953279124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Yeah - yours is different world of considerations. 😇 I was freshman in 1988 and learned of NNs from a photocopy of Rumelhart & McClelland's PDP volumes. (topical with Hinton today) To think I may live to see Babelfish realized 🤯 is beyond anyone imo dared to hope.
9:59 PM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Yeah - yours is different world of considerations. 😇 I was freshman in 1988 and learned of NNs from a photocopy of Rumelhart & McClelland's PDP volumes. (topical with Hinton today) To think I may live to see Babelfish realized 🤯 is beyond anyone imo dared to hope.
9:59 PM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843747171205615879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use DDG for old style searches, where I am looking for a web site I know exists. But that's abt 10%. The other 90% turns out was I am looking for something anywhere on the web, and I read through the web pages trying to find my answer. Now I use Perplexity, it turns that into a single step: it finds and fetches some web pages, reads through them looking for my answer, and then tells me back the answer. It has back references should I want to check the answer or read the underlying page. Works well, cuts out the 1st step in the olden way of searching. I use FF and in the Search engine drop-down I select the engine. That's easy. Adding up http://Perplexity.ai as search engine is 1min job. DDG is I think already in the FF list.
9:15 PM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use DDG for old style searches, where I am looking for a web site I know exists. But that's abt 10%. The other 90% turns out was I am looking for something anywhere on the web, and I read through the web pages trying to find my answer. Now I use Perplexity, it turns that into a single step: it finds and fetches some web pages, reads through them looking for my answer, and then tells me back the answer. It has back references should I want to check the answer or read the underlying page. Works well, cuts out the 1st step in the olden way of searching. I use FF and in the Search engine drop-down I select the engine. That's easy. Adding up http://Perplexity.ai as search engine is 1min job. DDG is I think already in the FF list.
9:15 PM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843661381561921860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Curious - is there any info there or elsewhere how did the Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR) of US Department of State do with information intelligence on Ukraine? (the one that did well on Iraq wmd assessment - read abt that somewhere)
3:35 PM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Curious - is there any info there or elsewhere how did the Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR) of US Department of State do with information intelligence on Ukraine? (the one that did well on Iraq wmd assessment - read abt that somewhere)
3:35 PM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843650053480513864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Power - yeah, I get that. EM has turned old style media proprietor, buying himself a megaphone so everyone learns what he thinks.
Money - I'm not convinced that if my experience was better here, by my preferred judgement of "better", that I would then spend *less* time here (surely - I would spend *more*, not less time here??), so then they wd be deprived of the opportunity to show me adds, and thus suffer financial $$$ loss. I don't get the last part. IDK why they are convinced of it. I presume they do A/B testing, and that's what these tests tell them. The thing is - these are micro tests, while the entire experience is a macro thing. The experience depends on how all other accounts are feeling and doing on the platform, not only myself. There is dependence there, can't just micro A/B test me, then conclude "the same is true for the other 100M users". So IDK if A/B micro tests tell them what they think these tests are telling them. 2:50 PM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Power - yeah, I get that. EM has turned old style media proprietor, buying himself a megaphone so everyone learns what he thinks.
Money - I'm not convinced that if my experience was better here, by my preferred judgement of "better", that I would then spend *less* time here (surely - I would spend *more*, not less time here??), so then they wd be deprived of the opportunity to show me adds, and thus suffer financial $$$ loss. I don't get the last part. IDK why they are convinced of it. I presume they do A/B testing, and that's what these tests tell them. The thing is - these are micro tests, while the entire experience is a macro thing. The experience depends on how all other accounts are feeling and doing on the platform, not only myself. There is dependence there, can't just micro A/B test me, then conclude "the same is true for the other 100M users". So IDK if A/B micro tests tell them what they think these tests are telling them. 2:50 PM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843639368302358598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think they think if they give you the feed you describe, then your engagement will go down, you will spend less time on the platform, they will serve you less adds, earn less $$$ as a result. I doubt that's true, and they don't have that much advertising $$$ anyway. But somehow social platforms CEO-s have drilled that into their heads.
I hear you. I use List-s to create thematic feeds of the type you describe - user accounts I chose, nothing else. On Bsky there is much wider choice of feeds, all manner of variants, crosses of Follows x Following x Mutuals x stuff they like, repost etc is available. I like it and use it. But there is not one clear winner that I use all the time. I use all of them, some of the time. No idea why X are so stubborn on this. I suspect it's common human stupidity - "stupid is a person that does something from which he has no gain or even suffers a small loss, but his action causes big loss to another person". Elmo has been a big let down on this too. (in addition to other stuff) 2:07 PM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think they think if they give you the feed you describe, then your engagement will go down, you will spend less time on the platform, they will serve you less adds, earn less $$$ as a result. I doubt that's true, and they don't have that much advertising $$$ anyway. But somehow social platforms CEO-s have drilled that into their heads.
I hear you. I use List-s to create thematic feeds of the type you describe - user accounts I chose, nothing else. On Bsky there is much wider choice of feeds, all manner of variants, crosses of Follows x Following x Mutuals x stuff they like, repost etc is available. I like it and use it. But there is not one clear winner that I use all the time. I use all of them, some of the time. No idea why X are so stubborn on this. I suspect it's common human stupidity - "stupid is a person that does something from which he has no gain or even suffers a small loss, but his action causes big loss to another person". Elmo has been a big let down on this too. (in addition to other stuff) 2:07 PM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843633152545435710
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😇 What you are describing is an algorithm, that creates the feed that you see - aka "algofeed". I'm curious - did you click on "Show more", read the whole post, and it's still unclear that everything, and including what you just wished for - is an algofeed?
1:42 PM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😇 What you are describing is an algorithm, that creates the feed that you see - aka "algofeed". I'm curious - did you click on "Show more", read the whole post, and it's still unclear that everything, and including what you just wished for - is an algofeed?
1:42 PM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843629460848775201
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK by how much but suspect it maybe "peanuts". This is the kind of penny pinching (@MoneySavingExp type, that I like & have used in the past incl for energy deals; just it's a bad model for this) that is actually bad at scale imo. Tens of millions of people spending lots of time and effort daily to save a fiver a month. I have roof solar + battery, only the installer cheated (they have it in the contract to provide but in the end they didn't deliver it) didn't get installation certificate I need to get @OctopusEnergy out-going (selling) contract. So I don't actually know how much £££ are we talking abt. I'm also aware of the flexible tariffs to use the home battery to fill cheaply at 2am or so then use that daily. And so on. Just think it's a lot of work for not much gain. Ofc - companies will be happy to outsource that work to the Great British public. It's costs them zero! Socialize the cost - why not? They will reap the benefit - sweating the assets they already have even more. I'm of the opinion that after doing that for 50yrs, we have reached the end of that road. There is not much left to "sweat". Need to get on building new assets.
1:28 PM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK by how much but suspect it maybe "peanuts". This is the kind of penny pinching (@MoneySavingExp type, that I like & have used in the past incl for energy deals; just it's a bad model for this) that is actually bad at scale imo. Tens of millions of people spending lots of time and effort daily to save a fiver a month. I have roof solar + battery, only the installer cheated (they have it in the contract to provide but in the end they didn't deliver it) didn't get installation certificate I need to get @OctopusEnergy out-going (selling) contract. So I don't actually know how much £££ are we talking abt. I'm also aware of the flexible tariffs to use the home battery to fill cheaply at 2am or so then use that daily. And so on. Just think it's a lot of work for not much gain. Ofc - companies will be happy to outsource that work to the Great British public. It's costs them zero! Socialize the cost - why not? They will reap the benefit - sweating the assets they already have even more. I'm of the opinion that after doing that for 50yrs, we have reached the end of that road. There is not much left to "sweat". Need to get on building new assets.
1:28 PM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843600988659413046
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 ...or another expensive Rube Goldberg machine that will likely result in people spending their valuable time and expending effort for peanuts. Lack of imagination and ambition - tragic imo.
11:35 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 ...or another expensive Rube Goldberg machine that will likely result in people spending their valuable time and expending effort for peanuts. Lack of imagination and ambition - tragic imo.
11:35 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843599430995587353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't! It didn't occur to me! 😇 Used it b/c it's unequivocally "healthy" food, common, easy to visualize the quantity ("not a lot") as the "portion" is well defined, 😁 and the numbers are in the ballpark for the illustration. 😂
11:28 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't! It didn't occur to me! 😇 Used it b/c it's unequivocally "healthy" food, common, easy to visualize the quantity ("not a lot") as the "portion" is well defined, 😁 and the numbers are in the ballpark for the illustration. 😂
11:28 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843596668484174222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 maybe, maybe - "from bit to it" or some such, tbs 😇
11:17 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 maybe, maybe - "from bit to it" or some such, tbs 😇
11:17 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843594942020796599
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂 - good catch, "an apple a day ..."
11:11 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂 - good catch, "an apple a day ..."
11:11 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843594568459305061
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right. When people make the economic argument, I oft wonder - have you actually added the numbers? Have you forgotten the cost of having kids? Or you never had them, so you don't know? Order of magnitude difference, "support" I've seen is peanuts.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834587013569249638
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 13
Replying to @jasonwalters85 and @jonatanpallesen
IDK, guess depends on the intuition of "lavish". Approx - Hungary Eur ~10B spent, has ~2M <18yo olds, that's 5K per head per year, per young person 18 years x 5K = 90K Eur total spent. For a gain of 1M. Not as bad as UK, but as RoI doesn't strike me as bad from the state PoV. 11:09 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right. When people make the economic argument, I oft wonder - have you actually added the numbers? Have you forgotten the cost of having kids? Or you never had them, so you don't know? Order of magnitude difference, "support" I've seen is peanuts.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834587013569249638
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 13
Replying to @jasonwalters85 and @jonatanpallesen
IDK, guess depends on the intuition of "lavish". Approx - Hungary Eur ~10B spent, has ~2M <18yo olds, that's 5K per head per year, per young person 18 years x 5K = 90K Eur total spent. For a gain of 1M. Not as bad as UK, but as RoI doesn't strike me as bad from the state PoV. 11:09 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843590591134785766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The block functionality exists for a good reason. I'm at loss why people are so reluctant to use it. Even better if X had a better Mute (the current one is half arsed) where - on blocking A, account A just stops existing for you. Blocking is teaching the algofeed what not to show you. It's a legit needed function in the whole thing.
People seem to have this abstraction in their heads that this is some kind of public square, with many-to-many N-to-N, ultimately all-to-all communication. It ain't so. That N-to-N does not scale to N=100M users, it breaks down at N=10 or so.
What we have with Social media is new kind of Media, but still this is Media. All elements are here, only somewhat different in some angle of operation or business model, and or automated.
When user posts something, that post is simply recorded on a computer (disk). Nothing more. Yes - it's the user that presses the post button. No - that doesn't push the post into millions of timelines. It's the algofeed that takes that post, and shoves it into millions of screens. Social media are Media, and their algorithms are their editors. The algofeed should be judged by the same criteria as the editor of any old media. X is a publisher at this point.
I follow 5000 people, each posts once a day. I check my feed 10 times a day, each time the algofeed pushes a batch of 50 posts on my screen, a total of 500 a day. It's the algofeed that selected which 500 of the 5000 eligible to push on my screen. And decided which 4500 to ignore and not show them to me. There's is no censorship involved - I can go to every one of those 4500 accounts home pages and read every one of those 4500 posts. There's no moderation - those 4500 posts are perfectly fine. They are not even totally suppressed - another user may have his 500 shown posts come from the 4500 not shown to me. (the algofeed will on average prefer some over the others though) The algofeed simply has to make a selection, as it's not physically possible to fit 5000 posts on my screen. As simple as that.
10:53 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The block functionality exists for a good reason. I'm at loss why people are so reluctant to use it. Even better if X had a better Mute (the current one is half arsed) where - on blocking A, account A just stops existing for you. Blocking is teaching the algofeed what not to show you. It's a legit needed function in the whole thing.
People seem to have this abstraction in their heads that this is some kind of public square, with many-to-many N-to-N, ultimately all-to-all communication. It ain't so. That N-to-N does not scale to N=100M users, it breaks down at N=10 or so.
What we have with Social media is new kind of Media, but still this is Media. All elements are here, only somewhat different in some angle of operation or business model, and or automated.
When user posts something, that post is simply recorded on a computer (disk). Nothing more. Yes - it's the user that presses the post button. No - that doesn't push the post into millions of timelines. It's the algofeed that takes that post, and shoves it into millions of screens. Social media are Media, and their algorithms are their editors. The algofeed should be judged by the same criteria as the editor of any old media. X is a publisher at this point.
I follow 5000 people, each posts once a day. I check my feed 10 times a day, each time the algofeed pushes a batch of 50 posts on my screen, a total of 500 a day. It's the algofeed that selected which 500 of the 5000 eligible to push on my screen. And decided which 4500 to ignore and not show them to me. There's is no censorship involved - I can go to every one of those 4500 accounts home pages and read every one of those 4500 posts. There's no moderation - those 4500 posts are perfectly fine. They are not even totally suppressed - another user may have his 500 shown posts come from the 4500 not shown to me. (the algofeed will on average prefer some over the others though) The algofeed simply has to make a selection, as it's not physically possible to fit 5000 posts on my screen. As simple as that.
10:53 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843586913774522632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 I can defo feel and sympathize with that person, even if it was not as extreme for me. But yeah - liberation!! It's like gaining superpower - don't need to eat, can prob go 36h without, not much will power needed.
Persistent +ve bias in regulation e.g. 1 apple surplus ≈ 90 kcal ≈ 10 gr fat/day x 365 days ≈ 3 kg fat/year x 10 years ≈ 30 kg extra in 10 yrs => obese. Most people takes them 20-30 yrs to become obese post-youth => error is 3 times less ≈ 30 kcal. Error of 30 kcal is 2% of daily average 1500 kcal. So a persistent +2% error in the neural circuit prediction of how much to use v.s how much to store results in obesity. Error in the other direction -2% wd likely result in death => can't happen.
Makes sense to me that we'd go obese the longer we live.
10:39 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 I can defo feel and sympathize with that person, even if it was not as extreme for me. But yeah - liberation!! It's like gaining superpower - don't need to eat, can prob go 36h without, not much will power needed.
Persistent +ve bias in regulation e.g. 1 apple surplus ≈ 90 kcal ≈ 10 gr fat/day x 365 days ≈ 3 kg fat/year x 10 years ≈ 30 kg extra in 10 yrs => obese. Most people takes them 20-30 yrs to become obese post-youth => error is 3 times less ≈ 30 kcal. Error of 30 kcal is 2% of daily average 1500 kcal. So a persistent +2% error in the neural circuit prediction of how much to use v.s how much to store results in obesity. Error in the other direction -2% wd likely result in death => can't happen.
Makes sense to me that we'd go obese the longer we live.
10:39 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843578550647173120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
University of Sheffield kade ima zavrseno i BSc i PhD ima zgrada i istrazuvacki centar po nego. Imase i inagauralno predavanje (mozebi dobi nekoja pocesna titula?) otprilika 1998-9 vo Sheffield, go slusav inaguralnoto predavanje, i pamtam deka bese i zabavno i poucno, duri i za laik ne-hemicar. University of Sheffield podocna napravi edna Diamon Building, mnogu ubava.
https://ribaj.com/buildings/sheffield-rocks
Jas mislev deka ima vrska formata so C60 i Kroto, ama sega baram, i izgleda nemalo.
https://perplexity.ai/search/university-of-sheffield-diamon-ogY.sInhQIugO9yoQ0bgcA
Toa se modernite svetci i proroci, a naukata e modernata religija. 😁 Vo nivno ime pravime zgradi, gi krstime po niv - kako vo staro vreme sto bilo po razni hristijanski i religiski likovi.
10:05 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
University of Sheffield kade ima zavrseno i BSc i PhD ima zgrada i istrazuvacki centar po nego. Imase i inagauralno predavanje (mozebi dobi nekoja pocesna titula?) otprilika 1998-9 vo Sheffield, go slusav inaguralnoto predavanje, i pamtam deka bese i zabavno i poucno, duri i za laik ne-hemicar. University of Sheffield podocna napravi edna Diamon Building, mnogu ubava.
https://ribaj.com/buildings/sheffield-rocks
Jas mislev deka ima vrska formata so C60 i Kroto, ama sega baram, i izgleda nemalo.
https://perplexity.ai/search/university-of-sheffield-diamon-ogY.sInhQIugO9yoQ0bgcA
Toa se modernite svetci i proroci, a naukata e modernata religija. 😁 Vo nivno ime pravime zgradi, gi krstime po niv - kako vo staro vreme sto bilo po razni hristijanski i religiski likovi.
10:05 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great read from Ganesh — alternative title: “But Is it True?”. A lot of liberals have flunked some pretty easy tests. I’m not some intellectual powerhouse, but even I have to ask — why, how?? They’ve got the tools, the knowledge, and clearly aren’t idiots. Dawkins, their very own rational prophet, even laid it all out for them. What more could one possibly need?
Take the sex-gender debate, a major battleground in "wokeism." Genes, cells, the whole biological setup — it’s basically programming. We’ve always modeled life and everything else around, with whatever shiny new technology we just got. Wheel? We get “the wheel of life.” Writing? “In the beginning was the word.” Mechanistic gadgets? The universe is “a clockwork mechanism.” So why stop now? Computers and programming are today’s best abstraction for explaining the complexity of everything. Use them.
Biologically, XX is the default — female. Half our species gets one of those Xs swapped for a Y, triggering programs that develop the male form. But if the Y-programming misfires or glitches, we get somewhere in between male and female. If the Y programs fail to execute at all, the body defaults to female — there is no YY option, only XX or XY.
In sports, the physical advantage of Y-programming is obvious, yet we still have confusion. An athlete raised female, identifies female, but tests show XY with faulty Y-programming? Biologically female, easy. The faulty Y did not manage to do it's job. But a convicted male rapist decides he’s a woman right before sentencing to get into a women’s prison (and likely continue his predatory behavior)? No Y-programming malfunction there — that’s a man. Simple.
Why women-only spaces? Because Y-programming doesn’t just add muscle — it cranks up the aggression dial by 7-10x. For every women’s prison, there are seven men’s prisons. Why? Because men commit most violent crimes. So the less-violent half of the species rightfully wants some time out from the ever-present threat of Y-driven violence. Is that so unreasonable?
I don’t get how liberals twist themselves into knots over this stuff. Yeah, I know there’s pressure — not wanting to upset friends, avoid career fallout, or keep getting those peer kudos. But the liberal, educated class (9% of society) isn’t living paycheck to paycheck. They can afford to take a hit for the team now and then, and speak the truth, even if it’s unpopular.
As part of this 9% (in a 1%-9%-90% societal split, where 1% own, 9% run manage, and 90% do the work), I’d love to see Ganesh take on more sacred cows. For example, the “health-beauty-organic-green” nonsense — modern-day snake oil. Latest I read were scented vaginal farts! ffs. Or energy policy. How about some sanity on net zero (we share planet Earth, UK alone counts ~zero) and nuclear (JFonda-ish crazy boomers still rule)? And the real challenge: why, 15 years after the GFC'08, reforms all (inc PMC) agree on "ought to" happen, don't happen? A class-like analysis 😱 like Chris Dillow’s @CJFDillow post 🤯 on the futility of economic policy debate maybe? https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2022/07/the-futility-of-economic-policy-debate.html
--
FT "Can liberals be trusted with liberalism?" https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196 via @ft
9:23 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great read from Ganesh — alternative title: “But Is it True?”. A lot of liberals have flunked some pretty easy tests. I’m not some intellectual powerhouse, but even I have to ask — why, how?? They’ve got the tools, the knowledge, and clearly aren’t idiots. Dawkins, their very own rational prophet, even laid it all out for them. What more could one possibly need?
Take the sex-gender debate, a major battleground in "wokeism." Genes, cells, the whole biological setup — it’s basically programming. We’ve always modeled life and everything else around, with whatever shiny new technology we just got. Wheel? We get “the wheel of life.” Writing? “In the beginning was the word.” Mechanistic gadgets? The universe is “a clockwork mechanism.” So why stop now? Computers and programming are today’s best abstraction for explaining the complexity of everything. Use them.
Biologically, XX is the default — female. Half our species gets one of those Xs swapped for a Y, triggering programs that develop the male form. But if the Y-programming misfires or glitches, we get somewhere in between male and female. If the Y programs fail to execute at all, the body defaults to female — there is no YY option, only XX or XY.
In sports, the physical advantage of Y-programming is obvious, yet we still have confusion. An athlete raised female, identifies female, but tests show XY with faulty Y-programming? Biologically female, easy. The faulty Y did not manage to do it's job. But a convicted male rapist decides he’s a woman right before sentencing to get into a women’s prison (and likely continue his predatory behavior)? No Y-programming malfunction there — that’s a man. Simple.
Why women-only spaces? Because Y-programming doesn’t just add muscle — it cranks up the aggression dial by 7-10x. For every women’s prison, there are seven men’s prisons. Why? Because men commit most violent crimes. So the less-violent half of the species rightfully wants some time out from the ever-present threat of Y-driven violence. Is that so unreasonable?
I don’t get how liberals twist themselves into knots over this stuff. Yeah, I know there’s pressure — not wanting to upset friends, avoid career fallout, or keep getting those peer kudos. But the liberal, educated class (9% of society) isn’t living paycheck to paycheck. They can afford to take a hit for the team now and then, and speak the truth, even if it’s unpopular.
As part of this 9% (in a 1%-9%-90% societal split, where 1% own, 9% run manage, and 90% do the work), I’d love to see Ganesh take on more sacred cows. For example, the “health-beauty-organic-green” nonsense — modern-day snake oil. Latest I read were scented vaginal farts! ffs. Or energy policy. How about some sanity on net zero (we share planet Earth, UK alone counts ~zero) and nuclear (JFonda-ish crazy boomers still rule)? And the real challenge: why, 15 years after the GFC'08, reforms all (inc PMC) agree on "ought to" happen, don't happen? A class-like analysis 😱 like Chris Dillow’s @CJFDillow post 🤯 on the futility of economic policy debate maybe? https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2022/07/the-futility-of-economic-policy-debate.html
--
FT "Can liberals be trusted with liberalism?" https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196 via @ft
9:23 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843562765669281825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My car insurance (in the UK) auto renews (~£1000 for 2 cars) and they don't send a single email to let me know it went through. I know - it's on auto-renew, checked the quote ok, expect it, is in my annual calendar. Still - what an odd organisation. I'm sure it's intentional.
9:03 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My car insurance (in the UK) auto renews (~£1000 for 2 cars) and they don't send a single email to let me know it went through. I know - it's on auto-renew, checked the quote ok, expect it, is in my annual calendar. Still - what an odd organisation. I'm sure it's intentional.
9:03 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843559254663541120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Death that awaits them back home" - I doubt any of that applies to Albania or Lithuania. Millions of tourists visit every year. Maybe some of the judges should be educated or shown what the state of these countries is that way - via tourism. 😆
8:49 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Death that awaits them back home" - I doubt any of that applies to Albania or Lithuania. Millions of tourists visit every year. Maybe some of the judges should be educated or shown what the state of these countries is that way - via tourism. 😆
8:49 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843491263250870514
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obesity is a major risk factor - for death and illness
https://perplexity.ai/search/what-is-the-best-estimate-of-h-0slWBhU9To6s1Lytipw_Pg#0
You are saying pple should take a certain loss now, in order to avoid possible uncertain loss in the future (that may never materialise). That's just irrational - sorry.
From perplexity.ai
4:19 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obesity is a major risk factor - for death and illness
https://perplexity.ai/search/what-is-the-best-estimate-of-h-0slWBhU9To6s1Lytipw_Pg#0
You are saying pple should take a certain loss now, in order to avoid possible uncertain loss in the future (that may never materialise). That's just irrational - sorry.
From perplexity.ai
4:19 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843484590494638204
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it was - thank you! 🙏
https://mosaicmagazine.com/essay/israel-zionism/2023/11/ecstasy-and-amnesia-in-the-gaza-strip/
From mosaicmagazine.com
3:52 AM · Oct 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it was - thank you! 🙏
https://mosaicmagazine.com/essay/israel-zionism/2023/11/ecstasy-and-amnesia-in-the-gaza-strip/
From mosaicmagazine.com
3:52 AM · Oct 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843409886865945058
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have heard @geoffreyhinton say this. There is lots of buildup towards the punch line, multiple steps. So the punch line needs to be planned well ahead. LLMs by predicting only 1 step ahead (the next token) go down a path. Then once at the end, there are simply no good punch lines available 1 step from that point. It's too late. The joke needs to be planned with a view to the end from the very start.
10:55 PM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have heard @geoffreyhinton say this. There is lots of buildup towards the punch line, multiple steps. So the punch line needs to be planned well ahead. LLMs by predicting only 1 step ahead (the next token) go down a path. Then once at the end, there are simply no good punch lines available 1 step from that point. It's too late. The joke needs to be planned with a view to the end from the very start.
10:55 PM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843407179677585532
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lets stay precise. Yes - it's the user that presses the share button. No - that doesn't push the post into millions of timelines. It's the algofeed that takes that post, and shoves it into millions of screens. Social media are Media, and their algorithms are their editors. The algofeed should be judged by the same criteria as the editor of any old media. X is a publisher at this point. I follow 5000 people, each posts once a day. I check my feed 10 times a day, each time the algofeed pushes a batch of 50 posts on my screen, a total of 500 a day. It's the algofeed that selected which 500 of the 5000 eligible to push on my screen. And decided which 4500 to ignore and not show them to me. There's is no censorship involved - I can go to every one of those 4500 accounts home pages and read every one of those 4500 posts. There's no moderation - those 4500 posts are perfectly fine. They are not even suppressed in general - another user may have his 500 shown posts come from the 4500 not shown to me. The algofeed simply has to make a selection, as it's not physically possible to fit 5000 posts on my screen. It's as simple as.
10:44 PM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lets stay precise. Yes - it's the user that presses the share button. No - that doesn't push the post into millions of timelines. It's the algofeed that takes that post, and shoves it into millions of screens. Social media are Media, and their algorithms are their editors. The algofeed should be judged by the same criteria as the editor of any old media. X is a publisher at this point. I follow 5000 people, each posts once a day. I check my feed 10 times a day, each time the algofeed pushes a batch of 50 posts on my screen, a total of 500 a day. It's the algofeed that selected which 500 of the 5000 eligible to push on my screen. And decided which 4500 to ignore and not show them to me. There's is no censorship involved - I can go to every one of those 4500 accounts home pages and read every one of those 4500 posts. There's no moderation - those 4500 posts are perfectly fine. They are not even suppressed in general - another user may have his 500 shown posts come from the 4500 not shown to me. The algofeed simply has to make a selection, as it's not physically possible to fit 5000 posts on my screen. It's as simple as.
10:44 PM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843360318140879087
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are many instances of nations sanctifying defeats. Maybe as a displacement activity in processing the pain. Unique for PAL-s is: (a) the number of these events (3) in series, all in living memory (b) that has morphed into the aim of destroying another nation. So having achieved nationhood, achieving their own nation state does not suffice. The nation state of another nation needs to be destroyed, that is part of the fulfillment of their nationhood dream too. Impossibly difficult Gordian knot. Read this in a long good article recently - that can't find atm, sorry.
7:38 PM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are many instances of nations sanctifying defeats. Maybe as a displacement activity in processing the pain. Unique for PAL-s is: (a) the number of these events (3) in series, all in living memory (b) that has morphed into the aim of destroying another nation. So having achieved nationhood, achieving their own nation state does not suffice. The nation state of another nation needs to be destroyed, that is part of the fulfillment of their nationhood dream too. Impossibly difficult Gordian knot. Read this in a long good article recently - that can't find atm, sorry.
7:38 PM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843332368385425735
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing ever. Now switched to Mounjaro, that works better for me. Free! Free from false hunger! The stupid malfunctioning neural circuits misfiring signalling wrongly for hunger and or misdirecting too much sugar into storage fat and too little in the blood.
Sometimes when on the receiving end of a well meaning -but ultimately foolish- advice from a genetically (or whatever it is) lucky in the lottery of life on food and exercise, I wished for an opposite - a "hunger" jab. To be given to them for the induction of some perspective.
5:47 PM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing ever. Now switched to Mounjaro, that works better for me. Free! Free from false hunger! The stupid malfunctioning neural circuits misfiring signalling wrongly for hunger and or misdirecting too much sugar into storage fat and too little in the blood.
Sometimes when on the receiving end of a well meaning -but ultimately foolish- advice from a genetically (or whatever it is) lucky in the lottery of life on food and exercise, I wished for an opposite - a "hunger" jab. To be given to them for the induction of some perspective.
5:47 PM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843322669946863918
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🙏 (... lost "like tears in the rain")
5:09 PM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🙏 (... lost "like tears in the rain")
5:09 PM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843297805542019372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For plotting the full histograms - much better approximation to the unknown unknowable p.d.f. - and letting go of the old habits of box plots, quartiles, ranges etc. Those were necessity when people used to use pen and paper, count by hand, and slide rule was "an advanced tool". We are decades past that poverty of not powerful enough tools for handling our data. We have computers at our finger tips now - let us use them!
3:30 PM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 For plotting the full histograms - much better approximation to the unknown unknowable p.d.f. - and letting go of the old habits of box plots, quartiles, ranges etc. Those were necessity when people used to use pen and paper, count by hand, and slide rule was "an advanced tool". We are decades past that poverty of not powerful enough tools for handling our data. We have computers at our finger tips now - let us use them!
3:30 PM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843275768111005865
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's another one of "ought to" happen, everyone is for - yet, the opposite is happening, stalinsque centralization is ever increasing. Might this be a ray of light?
https://theguardian.com/money/2024/oct/07/ive-fallen-out-with-people-the-bruising-debate-over-uk-zonal-energy-pricing
Energy underpins much. (c.f. EU started that way) Maybe regions, stronger than cities, working in unison, might be able to counter the overwhelming pro-center tendencies?
From theguardian.com
2:02 PM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's another one of "ought to" happen, everyone is for - yet, the opposite is happening, stalinsque centralization is ever increasing. Might this be a ray of light?
https://theguardian.com/money/2024/oct/07/ive-fallen-out-with-people-the-bruising-debate-over-uk-zonal-energy-pricing
Energy underpins much. (c.f. EU started that way) Maybe regions, stronger than cities, working in unison, might be able to counter the overwhelming pro-center tendencies?
From theguardian.com
2:02 PM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843215728981491951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You're welcome 🙏😊 Glad to hear I'm not the only one to find the video valuable. 😁 I find it impossibly poignant tbh. 😇 (even if I have zero connection to Singapore or anything SE Asia)
10:04 AM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You're welcome 🙏😊 Glad to hear I'm not the only one to find the video valuable. 😁 I find it impossibly poignant tbh. 😇 (even if I have zero connection to Singapore or anything SE Asia)
10:04 AM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843211745441259782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quite the sight to see history in the making. putting up the video here for replication. hopefully tilt slightly towards it not being lost.
Embedded video
LKY_-_Lee_Kuan_Yew_Singapore_Malaysia_separation-1965.mp4
9:48 AM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quite the sight to see history in the making. putting up the video here for replication. hopefully tilt slightly towards it not being lost.
Embedded video
LKY_-_Lee_Kuan_Yew_Singapore_Malaysia_separation-1965.mp4
9:48 AM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843206801954648108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indefinite time horizon for success (potentially - infinity) effectively disallows policy feedback. "Jam tomorrow" of the type "yeah it's bad today, but will be great in 1000yrs" is not good. Every time I look at @european_grid , I see DE doing poorly, and "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" comes to my mind.
9:28 AM · Oct 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indefinite time horizon for success (potentially - infinity) effectively disallows policy feedback. "Jam tomorrow" of the type "yeah it's bad today, but will be great in 1000yrs" is not good. Every time I look at @european_grid , I see DE doing poorly, and "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" comes to my mind.
9:28 AM · Oct 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842950125217620011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daaa, super e Pelagonia, za sekoja pofalba se. :-) Epten ni e sega zgodno - gi ima vo 2 od 3 supermarketi sto se kaj nas: CoOp i Waitrose imaat stalno (a vo Sansburys poveke gi nema poretko gi ima). Poveke se falime, ne se tolku zalime. ;-)
4:28 PM · Oct 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daaa, super e Pelagonia, za sekoja pofalba se. :-) Epten ni e sega zgodno - gi ima vo 2 od 3 supermarketi sto se kaj nas: CoOp i Waitrose imaat stalno (a vo Sansburys poveke gi nema poretko gi ima). Poveke se falime, ne se tolku zalime. ;-)
4:28 PM · Oct 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842944632419979725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aaaa - skapo. Ovde vo UK e nesto ~700 denari za celo kilo - naogam vo CoOp online:
Pelagonia Aivar 314g
Sweet roasted red pepper spread delicious with cheese, sandwiches and eggs
£3.25 / £10.35 per kg
4:06 PM · Oct 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aaaa - skapo. Ovde vo UK e nesto ~700 denari za celo kilo - naogam vo CoOp online:
Pelagonia Aivar 314g
Sweet roasted red pepper spread delicious with cheese, sandwiches and eggs
£3.25 / £10.35 per kg
4:06 PM · Oct 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842823583304679644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Ok, but the EV concept you object to - is a property of a model. :-) So again - not real, only useful. The "EV concept" you object to is a property of the model of the reality.
8:05 AM · Oct 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Ok, but the EV concept you object to - is a property of a model. :-) So again - not real, only useful. The "EV concept" you object to is a property of the model of the reality.
8:05 AM · Oct 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842808578534490222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a model of the reality, not reaility. It's still useful. As evidenced by us being alive now to write this. All manner of systems that make us do it most of the time. To object that a model is not real is - doh, ofc not. But this one is useful.
7:06 AM · Oct 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a model of the reality, not reaility. It's still useful. As evidenced by us being alive now to write this. All manner of systems that make us do it most of the time. To object that a model is not real is - doh, ofc not. But this one is useful.
7:06 AM · Oct 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842684281660805372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uploaded it on X to replicate, with 3 comments on YT decades ago looked like it might be lost anytime
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829496193958977978
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 30
Haha, 😅 this one is never not funny -
"Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge"
by Sebastian Thrun
Google TechTalks August 2, 2006
Show this thread
Embedded video
10:52 PM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uploaded it on X to replicate, with 3 comments on YT decades ago looked like it might be lost anytime
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829496193958977978
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 30
Haha, 😅 this one is never not funny -
"Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge"
by Sebastian Thrun
Google TechTalks August 2, 2006
Show this thread
Embedded video
10:52 PM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842683253230117186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of my all time fave tech talks
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Google TechTalks
August 2, 2006
Sebastian Thrun
It's got everything one can hope for a tech talk - funny, educational, poignant. Captures that rare moment in time when creators of a new technology can see how "it can be done". A rare gem.
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Google TechTalksAugust 2, 2006Sebastian ThrunABSTRACTThe DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the ...
10:48 PM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of my all time fave tech talks
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Google TechTalks
August 2, 2006
Sebastian Thrun
It's got everything one can hope for a tech talk - funny, educational, poignant. Captures that rare moment in time when creators of a new technology can see how "it can be done". A rare gem.
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Google TechTalksAugust 2, 2006Sebastian ThrunABSTRACTThe DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the ...
10:48 PM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842680179065258078
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS how things pan out. I live in the UK. Happy to see the last coal power plant turned off. Burning coal, then putting the radioactive ash produced through a tall chimney, high up in the air, so it disperses over a wide area, where millions of people inhale it, get a bit of that radioactive ash in their lungs - strikes me between insane and evil. So this is happening day after day, tons of this up in the air, for real. In contrast, terrorist attacks etc are in our imaginations, and nuclear waste is accounted for encased in barrels hard to get that in the body. But hey - to each their own.
10:36 PM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS how things pan out. I live in the UK. Happy to see the last coal power plant turned off. Burning coal, then putting the radioactive ash produced through a tall chimney, high up in the air, so it disperses over a wide area, where millions of people inhale it, get a bit of that radioactive ash in their lungs - strikes me between insane and evil. So this is happening day after day, tons of this up in the air, for real. In contrast, terrorist attacks etc are in our imaginations, and nuclear waste is accounted for encased in barrels hard to get that in the body. But hey - to each their own.
10:36 PM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842664375322124576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Crazy stuff. Get Total Commander for Android. You will discover stuff. At least there exists a file system! Looking at family iPhone users - seem Apple has somehow hidden the fs?? They have no clue, and much more dependent on having everything online all the time.
9:33 PM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Crazy stuff. Get Total Commander for Android. You will discover stuff. At least there exists a file system! Looking at family iPhone users - seem Apple has somehow hidden the fs?? They have no clue, and much more dependent on having everything online all the time.
9:33 PM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842574777413759094
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that, but: when their ideology is under threat, the sado-moralists go on the offensive. Vaping is being suppressed on way or the other. Anti-obesity drugs were greeted with Gish-gallop of baseless objections, each more ludicrous than previous. Ideology is supreme, and nothing else comes close. Those people are all potential Stalins, Maos, Hitlers, Polpots etc that fortunately for us didn't get the opportunity to indulge their wildest fantasies. (of which they themselves may not be fully consciously aware) "Don't give me a solution - I want to re-order the society and order other people around as per my whims" is an accurate description there.
3:37 PM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that, but: when their ideology is under threat, the sado-moralists go on the offensive. Vaping is being suppressed on way or the other. Anti-obesity drugs were greeted with Gish-gallop of baseless objections, each more ludicrous than previous. Ideology is supreme, and nothing else comes close. Those people are all potential Stalins, Maos, Hitlers, Polpots etc that fortunately for us didn't get the opportunity to indulge their wildest fantasies. (of which they themselves may not be fully consciously aware) "Don't give me a solution - I want to re-order the society and order other people around as per my whims" is an accurate description there.
3:37 PM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842498156245758424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and the Community Notes while great (I'm a contributor too), also have their equivalent. 😂 The original crazy post will be pushed to 5M people by the algofeed editor, then community note (not seen by them) will take 5 days to appear (takes time for volunteers to come forward and write one or more, then more time other volunteers to judge it and vote on it, and enough of votes to accumulate for the CN to be published finally), and then will be seen by 5K people. 😂 Like a newspaper of old publishing a correction to a Page 1 story, seen by millions, a week latter, in small letters on page 23, a correction will be published, seen by no one. 😂 Amazing how these analogies just appeared spontaneously.
10:32 AM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and the Community Notes while great (I'm a contributor too), also have their equivalent. 😂 The original crazy post will be pushed to 5M people by the algofeed editor, then community note (not seen by them) will take 5 days to appear (takes time for volunteers to come forward and write one or more, then more time other volunteers to judge it and vote on it, and enough of votes to accumulate for the CN to be published finally), and then will be seen by 5K people. 😂 Like a newspaper of old publishing a correction to a Page 1 story, seen by millions, a week latter, in small letters on page 23, a correction will be published, seen by no one. 😂 Amazing how these analogies just appeared spontaneously.
10:32 AM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842496147274801219
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are many layers to that and being an outside observer (not from Germany or France or an EU country; not living in one either) my interest is small. Reasoning you quote just seems more ideological than rational to me, like - if we decide to, we can build them cheaper, less centralized etc. But ofc - ymmv, there is not a final truth to this, just quantity of errors of various quality axes.
10:24 AM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are many layers to that and being an outside observer (not from Germany or France or an EU country; not living in one either) my interest is small. Reasoning you quote just seems more ideological than rational to me, like - if we decide to, we can build them cheaper, less centralized etc. But ofc - ymmv, there is not a final truth to this, just quantity of errors of various quality axes.
10:24 AM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842389747332714822
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are they worth reviving really? That no people find them useful enough to use them? I come from a small language, am fully cognisant of the romanticising and the sentimental value. But asking myself - Q: how much human culture and knowledge wd I have missed if I stayed with only one small language? A: a lot, a bazzilion; Q: how much wd I have missed had I learned other bigger languages 2nd, 3rd, and not learned the 1st small one? A: not that much really. Yes it's sad when a language dies, like it's sad when a person dies. Just - reviving might bring back a zombie or a Frankenstein. Dialects are like proto- social networks. There are downsides to being in a small social network too. The value is in the interactions and those scale with N^2 for N nodes. Yes fine to have a small language an Add to other langs I use. But then why not add a big one like e.g. Spanish? More bang for buck. Unfortunately learning a new language past teenagehood is hard almost impossible for most of us. Hoping to see Babelfish happen in my lifetime. Only 10yrs ago that seemed an impossible dream.
3:22 AM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are they worth reviving really? That no people find them useful enough to use them? I come from a small language, am fully cognisant of the romanticising and the sentimental value. But asking myself - Q: how much human culture and knowledge wd I have missed if I stayed with only one small language? A: a lot, a bazzilion; Q: how much wd I have missed had I learned other bigger languages 2nd, 3rd, and not learned the 1st small one? A: not that much really. Yes it's sad when a language dies, like it's sad when a person dies. Just - reviving might bring back a zombie or a Frankenstein. Dialects are like proto- social networks. There are downsides to being in a small social network too. The value is in the interactions and those scale with N^2 for N nodes. Yes fine to have a small language an Add to other langs I use. But then why not add a big one like e.g. Spanish? More bang for buck. Unfortunately learning a new language past teenagehood is hard almost impossible for most of us. Hoping to see Babelfish happen in my lifetime. Only 10yrs ago that seemed an impossible dream.
3:22 AM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842372326098141261
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Wernher von Braun comes to mind. But seriously - person X being good at doing Y and Z, is not a good predictor of doing U and W well, or badly. There's little predictive power there either way. Like the cars, fsd, rockets, starlink, neurolink, etc. Still, wouldn't want him - or anyone else - be a dictator over me. Power corrupts - no way around that.
2:12 AM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Wernher von Braun comes to mind. But seriously - person X being good at doing Y and Z, is not a good predictor of doing U and W well, or badly. There's little predictive power there either way. Like the cars, fsd, rockets, starlink, neurolink, etc. Still, wouldn't want him - or anyone else - be a dictator over me. Power corrupts - no way around that.
2:12 AM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842362431634280920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Science <> publishing, Academia <> researcher. Two implied errors in a title. Come on, you can do better than this.
1:33 AM · Oct 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Science <> publishing, Academia <> researcher. Two implied errors in a title. Come on, you can do better than this.
1:33 AM · Oct 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842299111355322382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a power, can be used for good, and can be used for bad. Isn't what BoJo is doing called "sophistry"? I thought that was supposed to be a bad thing? And for the debaters to be taught "you could win this way, but it is a bad bad thing to do" i.e. with power comes responsibility sort of thing? Something the debating societies wd drill into their members, the way a martial arts school wd drill in their students "to be used for good only/not for ill"? Not a receiver of education in oratory - so these are genuine questions.
9:21 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a power, can be used for good, and can be used for bad. Isn't what BoJo is doing called "sophistry"? I thought that was supposed to be a bad thing? And for the debaters to be taught "you could win this way, but it is a bad bad thing to do" i.e. with power comes responsibility sort of thing? Something the debating societies wd drill into their members, the way a martial arts school wd drill in their students "to be used for good only/not for ill"? Not a receiver of education in oratory - so these are genuine questions.
9:21 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842282553916698657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima kniga-slikovnica "Open Borders", mene mi se vide interesna i ubava, izdadena neodamna, avtor e @bryan_caplan , koj e najstrpliv i najubeditelen advokat na ideata sto sum go slusnal. Review na knigata ovde https://lesswrong.com/posts/R2nQzjduu2mNogCQM/book-review-open-borders , avtorot na prezentacii i debati playlist ovde https://youtube.com/watch?v=0thLaWMhLmA&list=PLo5YAtOaD-d0CJvIe8_xX7VQGApX0GymK
lesswrong.com
Book Review: Open Borders — LessWrong
Edit: I now have a comment response post for this post on my personal website. …
8:16 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima kniga-slikovnica "Open Borders", mene mi se vide interesna i ubava, izdadena neodamna, avtor e @bryan_caplan , koj e najstrpliv i najubeditelen advokat na ideata sto sum go slusnal. Review na knigata ovde https://lesswrong.com/posts/R2nQzjduu2mNogCQM/book-review-open-borders , avtorot na prezentacii i debati playlist ovde https://youtube.com/watch?v=0thLaWMhLmA&list=PLo5YAtOaD-d0CJvIe8_xX7VQGApX0GymK
lesswrong.com
Book Review: Open Borders — LessWrong
Edit: I now have a comment response post for this post on my personal website. …
8:16 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842243518934261801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally! I statistician whose sentences I understand. Usually I understand the words, but sentences just don't make that much sense so me. Previous time I was glad to discover similar was reading Leo Breiman's "Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures". Thank you for this. 🙏
5:40 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally! I statistician whose sentences I understand. Usually I understand the words, but sentences just don't make that much sense so me. Previous time I was glad to discover similar was reading Leo Breiman's "Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures". Thank you for this. 🙏
5:40 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842225157940679149
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The algofeed deciding which 500 posts I see today out of smaller selection of 5000 (out of total of 1B possible per day) is an editor (even if automated), and X is a publisher (even if automated). The users are readers are also writers creating content without commission or pay. I don't see how X (and FB, TikTok etc) are not media companies (as opposed to - a point to point carrier of signals). They are even selling and living off adverts! :-) (mostly; X not so much nowdays)
4:27 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The algofeed deciding which 500 posts I see today out of smaller selection of 5000 (out of total of 1B possible per day) is an editor (even if automated), and X is a publisher (even if automated). The users are readers are also writers creating content without commission or pay. I don't see how X (and FB, TikTok etc) are not media companies (as opposed to - a point to point carrier of signals). They are even selling and living off adverts! :-) (mostly; X not so much nowdays)
4:27 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842218212999463050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf I don't have the opportunity to think of Germany that often, but then Twitter algofeed decided to present me with one. Glad it did so. Reading it, my feeling for Germany was pity, not envy. Who is "us" in your tweet? Are you more than one person "Marina Trusch"?
4:00 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf I don't have the opportunity to think of Germany that often, but then Twitter algofeed decided to present me with one. Glad it did so. Reading it, my feeling for Germany was pity, not envy. Who is "us" in your tweet? Are you more than one person "Marina Trusch"?
4:00 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842216600398668089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I imagine people that want to have children wd be the ones using artificial wombs. It's a choice, no one is forced to use one. I imagine in the steps 1) conception 2) gestation 3) birth 4) nursing a baby 5) kids growing up, rearing, education etc having some choice at steps 2+3 is not a huge difference. Just tilting somewhat towards "more convenience, less pain" in those two steps. Not a game changer - even if my original post might imply so. (but twitter - trading brevity for nuance)
3:53 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I imagine people that want to have children wd be the ones using artificial wombs. It's a choice, no one is forced to use one. I imagine in the steps 1) conception 2) gestation 3) birth 4) nursing a baby 5) kids growing up, rearing, education etc having some choice at steps 2+3 is not a huge difference. Just tilting somewhat towards "more convenience, less pain" in those two steps. Not a game changer - even if my original post might imply so. (but twitter - trading brevity for nuance)
3:53 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842210281570594830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I stumbled on your post by happistance and very glad abt that too. 😊 Excellent, lovely account of a word smith at work. 👏👍 Take heart - your authorship is unlikely to be forgotten. Digital is to the end of the world, nothing is forgotten. Long after twitter your wisdom will still be embedded in some weights in some network somewhere, and with your name next to it too.
3:28 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I stumbled on your post by happistance and very glad abt that too. 😊 Excellent, lovely account of a word smith at work. 👏👍 Take heart - your authorship is unlikely to be forgotten. Digital is to the end of the world, nothing is forgotten. Long after twitter your wisdom will still be embedded in some weights in some network somewhere, and with your name next to it too.
3:28 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842192584845746555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We part ways at "unfunded" of liabilities. Yes they have liabilities. The funding happens via voting their annual budgets. So we can't know in advance if they will be funded or not funded. It they vote - liabilities will be funded. If they don't - liabilities will not be funded (and obligations will not be discharged etc). There is not a "bread bank", where I deposit some surplus of my daily bread, for me to use in my old age when I reach 70. It wd be great if such thing existed. It's always and everywhere a pyramid scheme: I now give part of my daily bread to some 70yo (that can't make his own anymore). In expectation of some other 50yo to do that for me in 20yrs time. But certainly there is no certainty. (like there wd be if the mythical "bread bank" existed)
2:18 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We part ways at "unfunded" of liabilities. Yes they have liabilities. The funding happens via voting their annual budgets. So we can't know in advance if they will be funded or not funded. It they vote - liabilities will be funded. If they don't - liabilities will not be funded (and obligations will not be discharged etc). There is not a "bread bank", where I deposit some surplus of my daily bread, for me to use in my old age when I reach 70. It wd be great if such thing existed. It's always and everywhere a pyramid scheme: I now give part of my daily bread to some 70yo (that can't make his own anymore). In expectation of some other 50yo to do that for me in 20yrs time. But certainly there is no certainty. (like there wd be if the mythical "bread bank" existed)
2:18 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842186412772192470
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - that's a part, there is much more of that repeated bazillion times. So no subsidizing no charity work is involved. It's all free exchange free trade for common benefit.
1:54 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - that's a part, there is much more of that repeated bazillion times. So no subsidizing no charity work is involved. It's all free exchange free trade for common benefit.
1:54 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842182296238997740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
London being in union with Sheffield wd go against "London subsidizes Sheffield" - no? London is not a charity. It must be getting something out of Sheffield - otherwise wd not be doing it. There I claim you see 1/2 of the picture. So what is it that London gets from Sheffield for his pounds? That is the other 1/2 of the story. By saying "X is subsidizing Y" you cut off a good chunk of what's going on. Is my employer subsidizing me? I have a positive sterling balance with them. Same with Germany. Sure - possible to abolish the Eur and go back to national currencies. Germany cd unilaterally withdraw from Eur, at a stroke of a pen. Yet - they don't.
1:37 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
London being in union with Sheffield wd go against "London subsidizes Sheffield" - no? London is not a charity. It must be getting something out of Sheffield - otherwise wd not be doing it. There I claim you see 1/2 of the picture. So what is it that London gets from Sheffield for his pounds? That is the other 1/2 of the story. By saying "X is subsidizing Y" you cut off a good chunk of what's going on. Is my employer subsidizing me? I have a positive sterling balance with them. Same with Germany. Sure - possible to abolish the Eur and go back to national currencies. Germany cd unilaterally withdraw from Eur, at a stroke of a pen. Yet - they don't.
1:37 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842179984594501838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd doubt he personally is not aware of the "I stuffed their mouths with gold". But given how young he is, how infantile our ruling class is selected by the current political system - maybe? I'd assume more he has not got good options, and there are not many options available.
1:28 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd doubt he personally is not aware of the "I stuffed their mouths with gold". But given how young he is, how infantile our ruling class is selected by the current political system - maybe? I'd assume more he has not got good options, and there are not many options available.
1:28 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842178512045633914
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
France right Germany wrong. But if those two can't agree, then EU is already dead. TBF impossible to square Germany stance with rationality & reason. Is more befitting the ideas of romanticism. We know how that went. Germany being wrong on many things many times in living memory - one wd have thought a modicum of "we don't always know best" wd have filtered by now into the heads of the ruling elites. Alas - history not repeating but riming & who fails to learn is forced to re-try will apply here imo. Ofc not something Germany's dunder-headed ruling brahmins wd ever consider.
1:22 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
France right Germany wrong. But if those two can't agree, then EU is already dead. TBF impossible to square Germany stance with rationality & reason. Is more befitting the ideas of romanticism. We know how that went. Germany being wrong on many things many times in living memory - one wd have thought a modicum of "we don't always know best" wd have filtered by now into the heads of the ruling elites. Alas - history not repeating but riming & who fails to learn is forced to re-try will apply here imo. Ofc not something Germany's dunder-headed ruling brahmins wd ever consider.
1:22 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842177687961428412
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's what happens in a single currency area. 😇 One might say - this is what it was created for. No-one in UK loses their sleep that London & Sheffield have sterling account imbalance. I also don't lose sleep that I and my Supermarket have a sterling imbalance. 😂 I ofc got something out of the supermarket - not shown in the sterling imbalance. This is the point (one of several) of common currency area. If all national balances were exactly 0, then Eur wd merely be a state run Visa-Mastercard-type means of easy payment. The trader looking at 1/2 of a picture and making claims about the whole picture - that's very much per the course. 😇 Ofc this is now political stuff - do countries want or not want this and to what extent they want it suppressed.
1:19 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's what happens in a single currency area. 😇 One might say - this is what it was created for. No-one in UK loses their sleep that London & Sheffield have sterling account imbalance. I also don't lose sleep that I and my Supermarket have a sterling imbalance. 😂 I ofc got something out of the supermarket - not shown in the sterling imbalance. This is the point (one of several) of common currency area. If all national balances were exactly 0, then Eur wd merely be a state run Visa-Mastercard-type means of easy payment. The trader looking at 1/2 of a picture and making claims about the whole picture - that's very much per the course. 😇 Ofc this is now political stuff - do countries want or not want this and to what extent they want it suppressed.
1:19 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842172062435082484
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
France right Germany wrong. But if those two can't agree, then EU is already dead. TBF impossible to square Germany stance with rationality & reason. Is more befitting the ideas of romanticism. We know how that went. Germany being wrong on many things many times in living memory - one wd have thought a modicum of "we don't always know best" wd have filtered by now into the heads of the ruling elites. Alas - history not repeating but riming & who fails to learn is forced to re-try will apply here imo. Ofc not something Germany's dunder-headed ruling brahmins wd ever consider.
12:57 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
France right Germany wrong. But if those two can't agree, then EU is already dead. TBF impossible to square Germany stance with rationality & reason. Is more befitting the ideas of romanticism. We know how that went. Germany being wrong on many things many times in living memory - one wd have thought a modicum of "we don't always know best" wd have filtered by now into the heads of the ruling elites. Alas - history not repeating but riming & who fails to learn is forced to re-try will apply here imo. Ofc not something Germany's dunder-headed ruling brahmins wd ever consider.
12:57 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842168402044969427
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1) fair point - I disregarded the natural gas spike due to Russia war as one-off, not a long term pattern. My argument v.v. energy (a) cheap (b) imported, was: I can understand & allow for (a)-and-(b), or not-(a)-and-not-(b). But to have not-(a)-and-(b) - that's a sign of an extremely badly run system. An extremely well run system imo wd be (a)-and-not-(b). I consider (a) to be very good, and (b) to expose us to risk, that we can't get it when we need it, that not-(b) doesn't. hth
12:42 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1) fair point - I disregarded the natural gas spike due to Russia war as one-off, not a long term pattern. My argument v.v. energy (a) cheap (b) imported, was: I can understand & allow for (a)-and-(b), or not-(a)-and-not-(b). But to have not-(a)-and-(b) - that's a sign of an extremely badly run system. An extremely well run system imo wd be (a)-and-not-(b). I consider (a) to be very good, and (b) to expose us to risk, that we can't get it when we need it, that not-(b) doesn't. hth
12:42 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842162330160787594
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wd take some perspective. We have the current baby bust, only b/c we had a recent baby boom preceding it. So it's a decline relative to a high level, in fact - the highest in human history, ATH. The fear of yester-years was a "population bomb"!
(fwiw I'm personally in favor of more rather than less humans, think the population bombists args were innumerate catastrophizing, doomsday prophecies of which we have a long history of; but that's another topic - many refs in @OurWorldInData , @rootsofprogress , @PessimistsArc)
The population didn't change much for a very long time, 1000s of years. The steady state was: family has 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, abt 2 continue on, recreate the same pattern => population stable.
Then came the industrial revolution in 1800+s, 1st in England, then small corner in NW Europe, now it's spread to the entire world. (good) There was a lot of technological change (humans learned how to do stuff, that didn't know before), and advances in sanitation, medicine etc disturbed that equilibrium. Now - 2-3 kids did *not* die! (hurrah) But the having 5-6 kids part continued on auto-pilot for a generation-two. So we got a population boom as a result. You can say the cultural revolution was slower there, than the technological revolution.
But now Culture has caught up! And possibly the Culture will over shoot adjusting the population down, where it was previously under shooting (and didn't adjust fast enough). TBS. I'm not that pessimistic, as we have seen humans adapt to fast changes before. But yeah - change afoot, all is up for grabs in the air, it will be whatever humans in aggregate make it be.
12:18 PM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wd take some perspective. We have the current baby bust, only b/c we had a recent baby boom preceding it. So it's a decline relative to a high level, in fact - the highest in human history, ATH. The fear of yester-years was a "population bomb"!
(fwiw I'm personally in favor of more rather than less humans, think the population bombists args were innumerate catastrophizing, doomsday prophecies of which we have a long history of; but that's another topic - many refs in @OurWorldInData , @rootsofprogress , @PessimistsArc)
The population didn't change much for a very long time, 1000s of years. The steady state was: family has 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, abt 2 continue on, recreate the same pattern => population stable.
Then came the industrial revolution in 1800+s, 1st in England, then small corner in NW Europe, now it's spread to the entire world. (good) There was a lot of technological change (humans learned how to do stuff, that didn't know before), and advances in sanitation, medicine etc disturbed that equilibrium. Now - 2-3 kids did *not* die! (hurrah) But the having 5-6 kids part continued on auto-pilot for a generation-two. So we got a population boom as a result. You can say the cultural revolution was slower there, than the technological revolution.
But now Culture has caught up! And possibly the Culture will over shoot adjusting the population down, where it was previously under shooting (and didn't adjust fast enough). TBS. I'm not that pessimistic, as we have seen humans adapt to fast changes before. But yeah - change afoot, all is up for grabs in the air, it will be whatever humans in aggregate make it be.
12:18 PM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842153159289905435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no escape - there is only front running the extinction, for as longer as possible, to the best of our abilities. As evidenced by the 99.9% (or some other insanely high number) of the species we have evidence to know about, that are now extinct. And our time is not even the time of the "peak extinction", despite all the rhetoric. (that rhetoric again I consider part of the "we humans are special" delusion; big egos, slow learners etc)
11:41 AM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no escape - there is only front running the extinction, for as longer as possible, to the best of our abilities. As evidenced by the 99.9% (or some other insanely high number) of the species we have evidence to know about, that are now extinct. And our time is not even the time of the "peak extinction", despite all the rhetoric. (that rhetoric again I consider part of the "we humans are special" delusion; big egos, slow learners etc)
11:41 AM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1842137715166388486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...to that - technology does help a lot to current parents. Disposable nappies, nappies that soak gargantuan quantities of piss (they gellify somehow, it's a wonder tbh what those chemists/engineers have achieved), microwave to warm the milk just right (without making the bottle hot so no need for two containers, in record time ~2min, while at 3am bleary eyed with baby crying their lungs out), more general washing machine, washer drier, etc.
10:40 AM · Oct 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...to that - technology does help a lot to current parents. Disposable nappies, nappies that soak gargantuan quantities of piss (they gellify somehow, it's a wonder tbh what those chemists/engineers have achieved), microwave to warm the milk just right (without making the bottle hot so no need for two containers, in record time ~2min, while at 3am bleary eyed with baby crying their lungs out), more general washing machine, washer drier, etc.
10:40 AM · Oct 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841971987083886684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wouldn't be so fast dismissing technology. It will not be *the* solution, but it may contribute towards a solution. After all - we have a bust, only relative to a recent boom! The population didn't change much for a very long time. Then we got a population boom (the fear of yester years was a "population bomb"!) b/c of the industrial revolution i.e. technological change.
Until 1800s, the steady state was: have 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, abt 2 continue on => population stable. That equilibrium was disturbed by advances in sanitation, medicine etc (technology in general), making for: 2-3 kids will *not* die, while the having 5-6 kids part continued on auto-pilot for a generation-two. Cultural revolution being slower there than technological revolution.
But now Culture has caught up! And possibly Culture will over shoot, where it was previously under shooting.
11:41 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wouldn't be so fast dismissing technology. It will not be *the* solution, but it may contribute towards a solution. After all - we have a bust, only relative to a recent boom! The population didn't change much for a very long time. Then we got a population boom (the fear of yester years was a "population bomb"!) b/c of the industrial revolution i.e. technological change.
Until 1800s, the steady state was: have 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, abt 2 continue on => population stable. That equilibrium was disturbed by advances in sanitation, medicine etc (technology in general), making for: 2-3 kids will *not* die, while the having 5-6 kids part continued on auto-pilot for a generation-two. Cultural revolution being slower there than technological revolution.
But now Culture has caught up! And possibly Culture will over shoot, where it was previously under shooting.
11:41 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841970086531498336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there abt the robot nannies! (AI "help") It's in addition to, complementary. Artificial womb tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. Out of many factors influencing peoples decisions. Care for and support of the baby being a major factors after birth too. AI nanny robot would be the dream. Imo real world physically interacting intelligent robots will be the last to come. They seem dozen breakthroughs i.e. miracles away from the current state of our technology. Wish I was wrong.
11:34 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right there abt the robot nannies! (AI "help") It's in addition to, complementary. Artificial womb tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. Out of many factors influencing peoples decisions. Care for and support of the baby being a major factors after birth too. AI nanny robot would be the dream. Imo real world physically interacting intelligent robots will be the last to come. They seem dozen breakthroughs i.e. miracles away from the current state of our technology. Wish I was wrong.
11:34 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841966988555436039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My observation in the UK is that many children (4+) families are either very poor, or very rich. The two extremes. The very poor have their housing provided by the local government (by law), and central government provides Basic Income (for food, utilities etc) for survival. The very rich don't have to work in order to live, the income needed for living expenses comes from investments in assets. So both have in common - don't have to work for living. So this anaegdotal observation wd support the hypothesis that working for a living interferes with having kids. Possibly makes a difference if both parents need to work. B/c we had a historic period when one parent only in the family worked - and seemingly that didn't interfere with having kids.
11:22 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My observation in the UK is that many children (4+) families are either very poor, or very rich. The two extremes. The very poor have their housing provided by the local government (by law), and central government provides Basic Income (for food, utilities etc) for survival. The very rich don't have to work in order to live, the income needed for living expenses comes from investments in assets. So both have in common - don't have to work for living. So this anaegdotal observation wd support the hypothesis that working for a living interferes with having kids. Possibly makes a difference if both parents need to work. B/c we had a historic period when one parent only in the family worked - and seemingly that didn't interfere with having kids.
11:22 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841864311465246947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. It's impossible to know in advance, before it's tried. Artificial womb tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. Out of many factors influencing peoples decisions, probably more than a dozen factors? I omitted qualifiers with this being Twitter level "nuance" traded for brevity and engagement.
No one knows for sure either the reasons for, or the way to reverse the trend. My best guess is: we had kids when it was to our advantage (summa summarum, tallied over multitude of choices every one of us considers abt their life), and we don't have them now for the same reason. In the grand scheme of things, we decide, in aggregate, we have better things to do with our time, than having kids.
4:34 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. It's impossible to know in advance, before it's tried. Artificial womb tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. Out of many factors influencing peoples decisions, probably more than a dozen factors? I omitted qualifiers with this being Twitter level "nuance" traded for brevity and engagement.
No one knows for sure either the reasons for, or the way to reverse the trend. My best guess is: we had kids when it was to our advantage (summa summarum, tallied over multitude of choices every one of us considers abt their life), and we don't have them now for the same reason. In the grand scheme of things, we decide, in aggregate, we have better things to do with our time, than having kids.
4:34 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841861649973522626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... gulp - dare we hope, a wide spread and plentiful Internet (wifi, 4G, 5G, pigeons, donkeys - don't care; yes I' aware of various trials aka Rube Goldbergs promises over the years) on the Tube??? Will it happen before I die? (narrator: "it will not")
4:23 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... gulp - dare we hope, a wide spread and plentiful Internet (wifi, 4G, 5G, pigeons, donkeys - don't care; yes I' aware of various trials aka Rube Goldbergs promises over the years) on the Tube??? Will it happen before I die? (narrator: "it will not")
4:23 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841860465602728286
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People incompetent enough to fail to do a simple personal search (that would make them realize their personal attack is baseless), when doing a personal attack (instead of discussing ideas), are not to be trusted when talking about anything - personalities, events, ideas.
4:18 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People incompetent enough to fail to do a simple personal search (that would make them realize their personal attack is baseless), when doing a personal attack (instead of discussing ideas), are not to be trusted when talking about anything - personalities, events, ideas.
4:18 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841859259329298881
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Is there any/strong evidence for that? The last (best?) evidence/news I recall were @aubreydegrey 's
https://x.com/aubreydegrey/status/1824840958183403840
It's ofc @inmice only. I'm aware there was @DogAgingProject but idk of any results online.
Quote
Aubrey de Grey @aubreydegrey · Aug 17
Here's the August RMR1 update!
We're getting fairly near to the end of the study - but how near, we certainly can't yet say. Six of the 20 treatment groups, two male and four female, are now extinct, but the all-treatment groups of both sexes are still at 25% survival at over 35
Show more
Image
Image
4:14 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Is there any/strong evidence for that? The last (best?) evidence/news I recall were @aubreydegrey 's
https://x.com/aubreydegrey/status/1824840958183403840
It's ofc @inmice only. I'm aware there was @DogAgingProject but idk of any results online.
Quote
Aubrey de Grey @aubreydegrey · Aug 17
Here's the August RMR1 update!
We're getting fairly near to the end of the study - but how near, we certainly can't yet say. Six of the 20 treatment groups, two male and four female, are now extinct, but the all-treatment groups of both sexes are still at 25% survival at over 35
Show more
Image
Image
4:14 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841853599061586270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - no one can possibly know for sure. So if "knows for sure" was the qualification needed - then there wd be zero discussion. Artificial womb tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. Out of many factors influencing peoples decisions, probably more than a dozen factors ? Yes - I omitted qualifiers with this being Twitter level "nuance" traded for brevity and engagement. ;-)
3:51 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - no one can possibly know for sure. So if "knows for sure" was the qualification needed - then there wd be zero discussion. Artificial womb tilts towards "more convenience, less pain" in two factors: gestation, and birth. Out of many factors influencing peoples decisions, probably more than a dozen factors ? Yes - I omitted qualifiers with this being Twitter level "nuance" traded for brevity and engagement. ;-)
3:51 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841851011914166504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I expect the parents that want to have the babies and kids to raise them. Why aren't they having them now - is a question that everyone is looking for an answers for, rn. I don't know, and no one else knows for sure. My best guess is: we had kids when it was to our advantage (suma sumarum, tallied over hundreds of issues every one person wd consider abt their lives), and we don't have them now for the same reason. In the grand scheme of things, we decide, in aggregate, we have better things to do with our time, then having kids. So less people than before have them.
Raising kids - no, the answer is not the state, and I don't see how it can ever be. Kids need the undivided love of their parents (and other humans), attention, time, care. But I think "love" is the word that describes the relationship kids need best. I don't think the state can ever give love. Even a smaller community - may give attention, care etc - but doubt it can give love. I think it has to be very very personal, 2-3-4 people, can't imagine more than that.
3:41 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I expect the parents that want to have the babies and kids to raise them. Why aren't they having them now - is a question that everyone is looking for an answers for, rn. I don't know, and no one else knows for sure. My best guess is: we had kids when it was to our advantage (suma sumarum, tallied over hundreds of issues every one person wd consider abt their lives), and we don't have them now for the same reason. In the grand scheme of things, we decide, in aggregate, we have better things to do with our time, then having kids. So less people than before have them.
Raising kids - no, the answer is not the state, and I don't see how it can ever be. Kids need the undivided love of their parents (and other humans), attention, time, care. But I think "love" is the word that describes the relationship kids need best. I don't think the state can ever give love. Even a smaller community - may give attention, care etc - but doubt it can give love. I think it has to be very very personal, 2-3-4 people, can't imagine more than that.
3:41 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841848719601221805
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) indeed - thanks
1) You are right - it's not the only one. It's two factors - gestation, birth - out of many, probably dozen? Just that this is Twitter, nuance and qualifiers are omitted for brevity and engagement. ;-)
I agree ofc parenting does not end there. I'm a parent so believe me, I'm very cognizant of that. I didn't think I implied "parenting ends with gestation & birth" - but hey, twitter etc allowance. So for the record - no, parenting does not end there, 101% agreed.
2) To me now, and imo to every human living in year 2224. Birth seemed pretty painful even if I ofc didn't give birth myself => pain I associate with barbarism.
Gestation+birth used to be insanely risky and a major cause of death for mother and baby, but I'm lucky to live at (place,time) where that's no longer the case - hurrah!
3:32 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) indeed - thanks
1) You are right - it's not the only one. It's two factors - gestation, birth - out of many, probably dozen? Just that this is Twitter, nuance and qualifiers are omitted for brevity and engagement. ;-)
I agree ofc parenting does not end there. I'm a parent so believe me, I'm very cognizant of that. I didn't think I implied "parenting ends with gestation & birth" - but hey, twitter etc allowance. So for the record - no, parenting does not end there, 101% agreed.
2) To me now, and imo to every human living in year 2224. Birth seemed pretty painful even if I ofc didn't give birth myself => pain I associate with barbarism.
Gestation+birth used to be insanely risky and a major cause of death for mother and baby, but I'm lucky to live at (place,time) where that's no longer the case - hurrah!
3:32 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841845692697837720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People incompetent enough to fail to do a simple personal search (that would make them realize their personal attack is baseless), when doing a personal attack (instead of discussing ideas), are not to be trusted when talking about anything - personalities, events, ideas.
Quote
Long Story Farms, LLC @longstoryfarms · 20h
Use "barbaric" to describe something natural so you can replace the natural thing with something truly barbaric.
I feel like these people can't have truly understood their humanity. They need to have sex (with a human, to be clear), watch a child being born or birth a child, x.com/ljupc0/status/…
Show more
3:20 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People incompetent enough to fail to do a simple personal search (that would make them realize their personal attack is baseless), when doing a personal attack (instead of discussing ideas), are not to be trusted when talking about anything - personalities, events, ideas.
Quote
Long Story Farms, LLC @longstoryfarms · 20h
Use "barbaric" to describe something natural so you can replace the natural thing with something truly barbaric.
I feel like these people can't have truly understood their humanity. They need to have sex (with a human, to be clear), watch a child being born or birth a child, x.com/ljupc0/status/…
Show more
3:20 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841843602764251339
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Same here! And the same car park for years now! 😂 Won't change until some obsessive like Steve Jobs becomes the CEO. Failing that - only incentivising them by making the CEO feel a small pang of tiny pain when sth is not right. Only CEOs I've seen take complaints from their customers here are elon musk and of the uk companies only @OctopusEnergy 's @g__j .
3:11 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Same here! And the same car park for years now! 😂 Won't change until some obsessive like Steve Jobs becomes the CEO. Failing that - only incentivising them by making the CEO feel a small pang of tiny pain when sth is not right. Only CEOs I've seen take complaints from their customers here are elon musk and of the uk companies only @OctopusEnergy 's @g__j .
3:11 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841841362783682907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
indeed - the most curious coincidence... 🤔 ...what magic could it be at work... 🤨 surely nothing as simple as aligning behaviour to incentives? incentives that cd have been set years ago? still - better today than tomorrow or never 😊
3:02 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
indeed - the most curious coincidence... 🤔 ...what magic could it be at work... 🤨 surely nothing as simple as aligning behaviour to incentives? incentives that cd have been set years ago? still - better today than tomorrow or never 😊
3:02 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841836941861384361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is banning pregnancy. 😂 You go forth and multiply get pregnant - have my total blessing 😆
GM babies - doubt we will know howto do that. Looks to me 2-3 orders of magnitude harder than artificial womb. (that looks mechanical+control)
Atm ~2/3-rds of the genome we're clueless what's it for I think? We learn it's necessary only b/c cells die without it. Takes us decades to figure how to re-program simple cells to produce insulin in the human body, for example. (news this week abt type 1 and 2 cured-maybe) And this is where we have every reason to hurry, with every day 1000s of people going blind and having their limbs amputated. And the job is to "only" activate existing programs cells already have. Not writing any new cell programming from scratch. We all have a favourite hobby horse to busy ourselves with. Other humans suffering doesn't count much, unless it's close and personal.
So imo with babies will probably be as it is now: no GM, only screening embrios for traits weak signals + selection.
2:45 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is banning pregnancy. 😂 You go forth and multiply get pregnant - have my total blessing 😆
GM babies - doubt we will know howto do that. Looks to me 2-3 orders of magnitude harder than artificial womb. (that looks mechanical+control)
Atm ~2/3-rds of the genome we're clueless what's it for I think? We learn it's necessary only b/c cells die without it. Takes us decades to figure how to re-program simple cells to produce insulin in the human body, for example. (news this week abt type 1 and 2 cured-maybe) And this is where we have every reason to hurry, with every day 1000s of people going blind and having their limbs amputated. And the job is to "only" activate existing programs cells already have. Not writing any new cell programming from scratch. We all have a favourite hobby horse to busy ourselves with. Other humans suffering doesn't count much, unless it's close and personal.
So imo with babies will probably be as it is now: no GM, only screening embrios for traits weak signals + selection.
2:45 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841822510368608592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... true so far: but possibly only because we had human brains *only* implementing intelligence. TBS if new intelligences added like AI give us a helping hand here? Like industrial revolution did it for the mechanistic age?
Looks to me the population boom was more an accident & a consequence, than it was by design & a cause.
Until 1800s, the steady state was: have 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, abt 2 continue on => population stable. That equilibrium was disturbed by advances in sanitation, medicine etc (technology in general), making for: 2-3 kids will *not* die, while the having 5-6 kids part continued on auto-pilot for a generation-two. Cultural revolution being slower there than technological revolution.
But now Culture has caught up! And possibly Culture will over shoot, where it was previously under shooting.
1:48 PM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... true so far: but possibly only because we had human brains *only* implementing intelligence. TBS if new intelligences added like AI give us a helping hand here? Like industrial revolution did it for the mechanistic age?
Looks to me the population boom was more an accident & a consequence, than it was by design & a cause.
Until 1800s, the steady state was: have 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, abt 2 continue on => population stable. That equilibrium was disturbed by advances in sanitation, medicine etc (technology in general), making for: 2-3 kids will *not* die, while the having 5-6 kids part continued on auto-pilot for a generation-two. Cultural revolution being slower there than technological revolution.
But now Culture has caught up! And possibly Culture will over shoot, where it was previously under shooting.
1:48 PM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841787340898889728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will be solved by artificial wombs. Half human race carrying 12kg of baby+life support for 9mo in the belly should be considered barbaric. Too bad it will be left to EM to advocate this, as the rest of us seem to be useless do-nothing no-good lazy arses. So in addition to the usual expected "Yuck factor" revulsion to surmount, will have the anti-EM bias as obstacle too. But it will happen, as - TINA. Then both sexes wd be expected to converge to a common middle uni-sex of some sort. Like few artists intuited abt a century before. (e.g. Bowie)
11:28 AM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will be solved by artificial wombs. Half human race carrying 12kg of baby+life support for 9mo in the belly should be considered barbaric. Too bad it will be left to EM to advocate this, as the rest of us seem to be useless do-nothing no-good lazy arses. So in addition to the usual expected "Yuck factor" revulsion to surmount, will have the anti-EM bias as obstacle too. But it will happen, as - TINA. Then both sexes wd be expected to converge to a common middle uni-sex of some sort. Like few artists intuited abt a century before. (e.g. Bowie)
11:28 AM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841773317486751853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the scientists you mention are working on gas centrifuges used to enrich uranium (or whatever other material used - not bothered enough to check http://perplexity.ai rn) to some insane purity as needed for Nbombs. def neither needed nor useful for a power plant. if you have strong feelings abt something - you owe it to yourself to research and find out what the reaility the truth of it is, and resist the lazy path of own feelings and vibes stroking the ego
From perplexity.ai
10:32 AM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the scientists you mention are working on gas centrifuges used to enrich uranium (or whatever other material used - not bothered enough to check http://perplexity.ai rn) to some insane purity as needed for Nbombs. def neither needed nor useful for a power plant. if you have strong feelings abt something - you owe it to yourself to research and find out what the reaility the truth of it is, and resist the lazy path of own feelings and vibes stroking the ego
From perplexity.ai
10:32 AM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841755280725401629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IMO those are Gish-gallop type lies (=kernel of truth + a mountain of lies on top; similar to propaganda, only non-state) aimed to make me prefer 1) put radioactive ash in my lungs. The motivations of the actors are as varied as are the actors - there's a bit of everything there. It works, as witnessed the way entire generation was swayed to go with the imo wrong choices. Hope that with the boomers (generation ASAS - "as stupid as self-indulgent"?) retiring into their sunsets that will hold less political sway than it once did.
9:20 AM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IMO those are Gish-gallop type lies (=kernel of truth + a mountain of lies on top; similar to propaganda, only non-state) aimed to make me prefer 1) put radioactive ash in my lungs. The motivations of the actors are as varied as are the actors - there's a bit of everything there. It works, as witnessed the way entire generation was swayed to go with the imo wrong choices. Hope that with the boomers (generation ASAS - "as stupid as self-indulgent"?) retiring into their sunsets that will hold less political sway than it once did.
9:20 AM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841743966275879309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeap - we are run by imbeciles. Doesn't matter who's elected. The political system, by it's selection, instruction, its incentives - ensures who ever reaches the top, they will behave and do as an idiot, like their predecessor. Few tougher nuts that survive the journey not completely crushed, are detected, treated as a foreign body infection, resisted and made inert and impotent, until they leave the system. This is a stasis. A problem with the system when the system can't change to adapt to a changed world around it. But the political system has to change - or it will die. Some kind of political reform is needed. To start with - prob roll back the "party members elect the PM/in waiting", and go back to previous "MPs parliamentary party elect the PM/in waiting". Party members are nutters abnormally interested in politics and get to indulge that for a £5 membership fee. Selecting the PM is too much for them - they will always select the craziest one, like themselves. In contrast, MPs making the Parliamentary Party have to appeal to the wider public - voters in their constituency - to get elected. They are bound to be more reasonable and select accordingly. Plus it's more democratic that way, and PM selected by MPs at least has more assurance to their votes in Parliament. There's no Corbyn-type disfunctional schizophrenia where party members elect a PM in waiting that MPs don't support.
8:35 AM · Oct 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeap - we are run by imbeciles. Doesn't matter who's elected. The political system, by it's selection, instruction, its incentives - ensures who ever reaches the top, they will behave and do as an idiot, like their predecessor. Few tougher nuts that survive the journey not completely crushed, are detected, treated as a foreign body infection, resisted and made inert and impotent, until they leave the system. This is a stasis. A problem with the system when the system can't change to adapt to a changed world around it. But the political system has to change - or it will die. Some kind of political reform is needed. To start with - prob roll back the "party members elect the PM/in waiting", and go back to previous "MPs parliamentary party elect the PM/in waiting". Party members are nutters abnormally interested in politics and get to indulge that for a £5 membership fee. Selecting the PM is too much for them - they will always select the craziest one, like themselves. In contrast, MPs making the Parliamentary Party have to appeal to the wider public - voters in their constituency - to get elected. They are bound to be more reasonable and select accordingly. Plus it's more democratic that way, and PM selected by MPs at least has more assurance to their votes in Parliament. There's no Corbyn-type disfunctional schizophrenia where party members elect a PM in waiting that MPs don't support.
8:35 AM · Oct 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841576909400097237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Government with 400 MPs majority shouldn't care as much abt Treasury "brain". Replace BoE governor with one having UK interests at heart, shuffle top 10% of Treasury apparatchiks to positions befitting their competences. Ofc a "leader" like Sir Keir PM wouldn't dare do anything as useful.
9:32 PM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Government with 400 MPs majority shouldn't care as much abt Treasury "brain". Replace BoE governor with one having UK interests at heart, shuffle top 10% of Treasury apparatchiks to positions befitting their competences. Ofc a "leader" like Sir Keir PM wouldn't dare do anything as useful.
9:32 PM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841480720193057076
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 Well that was naive of me. Ofc "real human" or "bot" flags are not going to happen. Having an army of bots - and treated as if they were people - to determine what's trending, and set the topics of conversation of day, is a perk one buys a social media platform for! 😂 And esp if the media mogul has political ambitions like EM.
Well spoken by @harari_yuval there - "humans have freedom of speech right, but not bots". And - AI bots, whether accounts on X, or doctors helping me and treating me, should identify themselves as such. AI bots should not try to impersonate a human and deceive me.
Great interview by @seanilling there "The Gray Area | Yuval Noah Harari on the AI revolution".
Embedded video
Yuval_Harari_-_AI_bots_id_freedom_of_speech_is_human_not_bot_right-20241002.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840071259406688616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 28
Replying to @karpathy and @levelsio do you understand why "real human (tm)" is not happening? will it ever happen on X? c.f.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840038719413235830
3:09 PM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 Well that was naive of me. Ofc "real human" or "bot" flags are not going to happen. Having an army of bots - and treated as if they were people - to determine what's trending, and set the topics of conversation of day, is a perk one buys a social media platform for! 😂 And esp if the media mogul has political ambitions like EM.
Well spoken by @harari_yuval there - "humans have freedom of speech right, but not bots". And - AI bots, whether accounts on X, or doctors helping me and treating me, should identify themselves as such. AI bots should not try to impersonate a human and deceive me.
Great interview by @seanilling there "The Gray Area | Yuval Noah Harari on the AI revolution".
Embedded video
Yuval_Harari_-_AI_bots_id_freedom_of_speech_is_human_not_bot_right-20241002.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840071259406688616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 28
Replying to @karpathy and @levelsio do you understand why "real human (tm)" is not happening? will it ever happen on X? c.f.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840038719413235830
3:09 PM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841460918137258174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
as we all know - DT is the paragon of truth, and wd never lie. doubly true given he's a politician, and politicians never lie. nothing to worry abt there folks, sleep tight at night. bigly doubly guaranteed.
1:51 PM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
as we all know - DT is the paragon of truth, and wd never lie. doubly true given he's a politician, and politicians never lie. nothing to worry abt there folks, sleep tight at night. bigly doubly guaranteed.
1:51 PM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841454034022015275
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well I'm not fan of neocolonialism myself. What global south does it up to them, afaiac they can do what they like. If they had any brains they'd be building nuclear South Korea or France of the 1980-s style - standardized, quick, cheap. It can be done. IDK if improvements in batteries (paired with solar) make that obsolete. Technology speed - hard to see batteries improving *that* fast. But against that - high upfront capital cost, regulatory obstacles hobbling better nuclear.
Geopolitics - you must be aware that an Nbomb and nuclear power stations generating electricity are completely separate technologies. Yes nuclear proliferation increases the danger of nuclear war. But don't think nuclear power stations are a big factor there.
1:23 PM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well I'm not fan of neocolonialism myself. What global south does it up to them, afaiac they can do what they like. If they had any brains they'd be building nuclear South Korea or France of the 1980-s style - standardized, quick, cheap. It can be done. IDK if improvements in batteries (paired with solar) make that obsolete. Technology speed - hard to see batteries improving *that* fast. But against that - high upfront capital cost, regulatory obstacles hobbling better nuclear.
Geopolitics - you must be aware that an Nbomb and nuclear power stations generating electricity are completely separate technologies. Yes nuclear proliferation increases the danger of nuclear war. But don't think nuclear power stations are a big factor there.
1:23 PM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841451408551203057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't be seriously suggesting that between 1) put radioactive ash in my lungs; and 2) encase radioactive material in a concrete barrel that afaik no one has ingested ever, that it wd be rational for me to prefer 1 over 2. Every sane person would prefer option 2. Radioactive waste has been discussed ad nauseam. Imo another non-issue & solved problem on its own. But especially compared to spreading radioactive ash in the air (repeating myself here - so it gets into my lungs), a much better solution.
1:13 PM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't be seriously suggesting that between 1) put radioactive ash in my lungs; and 2) encase radioactive material in a concrete barrel that afaik no one has ingested ever, that it wd be rational for me to prefer 1 over 2. Every sane person would prefer option 2. Radioactive waste has been discussed ad nauseam. Imo another non-issue & solved problem on its own. But especially compared to spreading radioactive ash in the air (repeating myself here - so it gets into my lungs), a much better solution.
1:13 PM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841442810404261898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yeah sounds abt right. :-) For the "if not in your room => you're guilty" heuristic one edge case was when child A took some object Y belonging to child B, from the room of child B, while B was not in the room. Still the heuristic "stay in your own rooms" helped. Then the parent goes to the room of child A, takes the object Y, carries it over to the room of child B.
12:39 PM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yeah sounds abt right. :-) For the "if not in your room => you're guilty" heuristic one edge case was when child A took some object Y belonging to child B, from the room of child B, while B was not in the room. Still the heuristic "stay in your own rooms" helped. Then the parent goes to the room of child A, takes the object Y, carries it over to the room of child B.
12:39 PM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841438844438061116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some of the above (Windscale) is true, even if NB it was not ALARA that saved our bacon there but "Cockcroft's Follies". And some (dirty bomb) are dangers that exist only in our imaginations.
In contrast, coal stations generate radioactive ash, then put it through the chimney, and spread it through the air, so I and my kids inhale that radioactive ash into our lungs, for real, in reality, happening right now every day.
Fortunately, I live in the UK, so today is the 1st day that the above is no longer true after 100+ years of being true. It's still true daily reality for billions of people on Earth though.
To repeat myself: for real, we burn coal create radioactive ash, then we put it through a chimney up high high in the air, so it spreads through a large area, where millions of people live, so these millions of people inhale it and get that radioactive ash in their lungs.
12:23 PM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some of the above (Windscale) is true, even if NB it was not ALARA that saved our bacon there but "Cockcroft's Follies". And some (dirty bomb) are dangers that exist only in our imaginations.
In contrast, coal stations generate radioactive ash, then put it through the chimney, and spread it through the air, so I and my kids inhale that radioactive ash into our lungs, for real, in reality, happening right now every day.
Fortunately, I live in the UK, so today is the 1st day that the above is no longer true after 100+ years of being true. It's still true daily reality for billions of people on Earth though.
To repeat myself: for real, we burn coal create radioactive ash, then we put it through a chimney up high high in the air, so it spreads through a large area, where millions of people live, so these millions of people inhale it and get that radioactive ash in their lungs.
12:23 PM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841416046726574455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c rapa is not magic, possibly it just slows down the growth programme somewhat, buying us abt 10% extra time before our bodies fall apart? Best experimental evidence - still @inmice only - I'm aware of for rapa as well as others, solo and in combo, by @aubreydegrey at
https://x.com/aubreydegrey/status/1824840958183403840
10:52 AM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c rapa is not magic, possibly it just slows down the growth programme somewhat, buying us abt 10% extra time before our bodies fall apart? Best experimental evidence - still @inmice only - I'm aware of for rapa as well as others, solo and in combo, by @aubreydegrey at
https://x.com/aubreydegrey/status/1824840958183403840
10:52 AM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841408476288880683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That regulation was as much by design - to effectively outlaw nuclear by means of making it expensively uncompetitive - as was by accident or negligence.
10:22 AM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That regulation was as much by design - to effectively outlaw nuclear by means of making it expensively uncompetitive - as was by accident or negligence.
10:22 AM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841401320114102634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably there is something to the candidates too, but more likely that much larger influence is - responding to somewhat different sets of incentives.
9:54 AM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably there is something to the candidates too, but more likely that much larger influence is - responding to somewhat different sets of incentives.
9:54 AM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841400667564384741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - e vidis si programiran. Ne si idiotcik - stom ova go napisa, imas samo-svest, ne si idiotcik.
Strategijata i na SSSR i sega na RU (i opcija za sekoj eden sto saka da ja skrie vistinata) e: nema vistina, vistinata ne postoi, taka da ne ni probuvaj da ja otkries, oti toa e nevozmozno, nema nisto da najdes. Zatoa koga proizveduvaat lagi, gi proizveduvaat vo industriski kolicini. Ke ima ne 1, nego 20 lagi za eden nastan. Koga sum poplaven so lagi, ne znam na kaja strana da se svrtam shashardisan, na shto da veruvam. Eden izlez od taa situacija za mene e da recam - "nema vistina". Ne veruvam ni na edni ni na drugi ni na treti.
Vistina ima. Ili zaginale 1, ili 2-ca, ili 3-ca i sl. Toa sto nekoj na BBC ke izjavi "zaginale 2-ca", a vistinata e deka zagnal 1, ne znaci deka i BBC go pravi istoto. Znaci deka ne se sovrseni, deka zgresile. Ama edno e da probam da otkrijam sto e vistinata, i da zgresam. A drugo e da ne me ni interesira sto e vistinata, da ne ni probuvam da otkrijam. I dopolnitelno - za da ja oteznam rabotata na tie sto probuvaat da otkrijat, da prizvedam 20 lagi. E sega ako sekoja vest na BBC e laga, ili 19 od 20 (a samo 1 od 20 vistinata), covek mora da se zaprasa: dali e nekompetentnost nesposobnost, ili e vo akcija gornata strategija "lagi vo industriski kolicini"?
Ova ne e moja izmislica, e opisano vo poveke knigi koi tretiraat propaganda. Ako citas za Surkov (i drugi "politicki tehnolozi" od negova generacija vo Rusija), ke vidis toj eksplicitno go kazuva. I poveke - koga sum ja ubil moznosta za objektivna realnost (cekor 1), otvorena e vratata da proizvedam kakva sto "alternativna realnost" jas ke posakam (cekor 2). Vo SAD taa strategija ja imase Banon, izrazot e "poplavi go igralisteto so gomna" (flood the field with shit). "Igralisteto" e javnata politicka arena, "gomnata" se nevistini - lagi i izmislici. Pred toa imame Hana Arendt objasni slicno funkcionira propagandata na Gebels (istata idea). Ima eden skoro-citat koj kruzi ama e dobar sumarum, ne go naogam sega bash vo
https://perplexity.ai/search/what-was-the-quote-possibly-mi-tQG48EUcRYa2lMUw54a_dQ#1
9:51 AM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - e vidis si programiran. Ne si idiotcik - stom ova go napisa, imas samo-svest, ne si idiotcik.
Strategijata i na SSSR i sega na RU (i opcija za sekoj eden sto saka da ja skrie vistinata) e: nema vistina, vistinata ne postoi, taka da ne ni probuvaj da ja otkries, oti toa e nevozmozno, nema nisto da najdes. Zatoa koga proizveduvaat lagi, gi proizveduvaat vo industriski kolicini. Ke ima ne 1, nego 20 lagi za eden nastan. Koga sum poplaven so lagi, ne znam na kaja strana da se svrtam shashardisan, na shto da veruvam. Eden izlez od taa situacija za mene e da recam - "nema vistina". Ne veruvam ni na edni ni na drugi ni na treti.
Vistina ima. Ili zaginale 1, ili 2-ca, ili 3-ca i sl. Toa sto nekoj na BBC ke izjavi "zaginale 2-ca", a vistinata e deka zagnal 1, ne znaci deka i BBC go pravi istoto. Znaci deka ne se sovrseni, deka zgresile. Ama edno e da probam da otkrijam sto e vistinata, i da zgresam. A drugo e da ne me ni interesira sto e vistinata, da ne ni probuvam da otkrijam. I dopolnitelno - za da ja oteznam rabotata na tie sto probuvaat da otkrijat, da prizvedam 20 lagi. E sega ako sekoja vest na BBC e laga, ili 19 od 20 (a samo 1 od 20 vistinata), covek mora da se zaprasa: dali e nekompetentnost nesposobnost, ili e vo akcija gornata strategija "lagi vo industriski kolicini"?
Ova ne e moja izmislica, e opisano vo poveke knigi koi tretiraat propaganda. Ako citas za Surkov (i drugi "politicki tehnolozi" od negova generacija vo Rusija), ke vidis toj eksplicitno go kazuva. I poveke - koga sum ja ubil moznosta za objektivna realnost (cekor 1), otvorena e vratata da proizvedam kakva sto "alternativna realnost" jas ke posakam (cekor 2). Vo SAD taa strategija ja imase Banon, izrazot e "poplavi go igralisteto so gomna" (flood the field with shit). "Igralisteto" e javnata politicka arena, "gomnata" se nevistini - lagi i izmislici. Pred toa imame Hana Arendt objasni slicno funkcionira propagandata na Gebels (istata idea). Ima eden skoro-citat koj kruzi ama e dobar sumarum, ne go naogam sega bash vo
https://perplexity.ai/search/what-was-the-quote-possibly-mi-tQG48EUcRYa2lMUw54a_dQ#1
9:51 AM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841392666438689043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is not suggesting leaving them on. He is suggesting not paying them. It's possible to "turn off" and "not pay". Even - that's the default. 😂 Have to admire the lobbyists and industry sucking at the gov teat. In such short period of time to create an Stranger Things type Upside-down world in the minds of the public. Outstanding propaganda coup. "We will destabilize and ruin your grid if you don't pay" sounds like out of Mafia movie. UK state needs to find it's spine. Otherwise the public will be sucked dry by these vampires.
9:19 AM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is not suggesting leaving them on. He is suggesting not paying them. It's possible to "turn off" and "not pay". Even - that's the default. 😂 Have to admire the lobbyists and industry sucking at the gov teat. In such short period of time to create an Stranger Things type Upside-down world in the minds of the public. Outstanding propaganda coup. "We will destabilize and ruin your grid if you don't pay" sounds like out of Mafia movie. UK state needs to find it's spine. Otherwise the public will be sucked dry by these vampires.
9:19 AM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841387913948410214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
During covid gov decided to house all homeless - and they did it. After covid, gov decided to stop housing them - and the homeless went back to the streets. Make no mistake - it's a political decision to leave people homeless. It's not an act of God - it's a human decision.
9:01 AM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
During covid gov decided to house all homeless - and they did it. After covid, gov decided to stop housing them - and the homeless went back to the streets. Make no mistake - it's a political decision to leave people homeless. It's not an act of God - it's a human decision.
9:01 AM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841383740091551871
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I could understand if importing 20% led to lower prices. We import something made cheaper than we can make it ourselves - fine. Importing 20% & having the highest electricity prices 1) in history 2) compared to our peers 3) for industry & household is bad. A system run badly showcase if ever was one. This will bite us in the arse in the worst possible moment. Incomprehensible that UK gov 1) can't see this 2) fix this, while fielding a 400 majority in Westminster that can legislate whatever is needed to attempt to fix.
8:44 AM · Oct 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I could understand if importing 20% led to lower prices. We import something made cheaper than we can make it ourselves - fine. Importing 20% & having the highest electricity prices 1) in history 2) compared to our peers 3) for industry & household is bad. A system run badly showcase if ever was one. This will bite us in the arse in the worst possible moment. Incomprehensible that UK gov 1) can't see this 2) fix this, while fielding a 400 majority in Westminster that can legislate whatever is needed to attempt to fix.
8:44 AM · Oct 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841216614756163789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
when kids when younger were quarrelling & fighting, a solution implemented was "the one who is *not* in his own room is in the wrong". it worked well, cut out 99% of the "who did what to whom first" chaff
9:40 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
when kids when younger were quarrelling & fighting, a solution implemented was "the one who is *not* in his own room is in the wrong". it worked well, cut out 99% of the "who did what to whom first" chaff
9:40 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841203998335881607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good luck and fair winds
8:50 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good luck and fair winds
8:50 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841150705534411209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 au revoir my dude - have a great rest of your life 🫡
5:18 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 au revoir my dude - have a great rest of your life 🫡
5:18 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841133250464354352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We heard you, you wrote that several times. IDK, don't have any extra knowledge to what everyone else reads - never been there, don't speak Ukrainian nor Russian, can't read their local media. I just note it was "3 days to Kyiv", then "will be over in 2 weeks" and so on. Everyone on all sides have been under-estimating the Ukrainians. Turns out when people fight for their survival, for their freedom, "give me freedom or give me death" style - now that's intangible, hard to predict which way things go.
4:09 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We heard you, you wrote that several times. IDK, don't have any extra knowledge to what everyone else reads - never been there, don't speak Ukrainian nor Russian, can't read their local media. I just note it was "3 days to Kyiv", then "will be over in 2 weeks" and so on. Everyone on all sides have been under-estimating the Ukrainians. Turns out when people fight for their survival, for their freedom, "give me freedom or give me death" style - now that's intangible, hard to predict which way things go.
4:09 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841121479129514066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Good news - I have available one locally
https://cookfood.net/info/meals-subscription/
Bad news - was home alone for a whole month this summer, I'm indifferent to cooking wd never spend much time on it, and yet yet - did not order even once from Cook. TBD need to do some soul searching, 😇 what happened there exactly 😂 for shame 😔
3:22 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Good news - I have available one locally
https://cookfood.net/info/meals-subscription/
Bad news - was home alone for a whole month this summer, I'm indifferent to cooking wd never spend much time on it, and yet yet - did not order even once from Cook. TBD need to do some soul searching, 😇 what happened there exactly 😂 for shame 😔
3:22 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841107415183315009
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it is. IDK if Israel can do anything abt the information war aspect. Thinking about it - people killed on 7-Oct were the left- liberal- leaning Israelis trying to come to some cohabitation, collaboration with the Gazans. I just presume the ones living on the Gaza border were like that - while knowing but little abt the conflict. (even if I have been hearing abt it on the news all my life; in my defense, I come from parts of the world in the grips of similar ordeals; our own troubles suffice for one lifetime) So the people murdered were and came from a group of people ideologically close to the average BBC Sky et al liberal sensibilities. And yet - that knocked "the default" story (narrative) abt the state of affairs over there only for 7-10 days. After that - back to the usual - Israel bad, everyone else (even if an islamist-faschist ideologically, i.e. as anti-liberal as it gets) - good. Was mentioned by @Dominic2306
in some YT podcast or interview.
2:26 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it is. IDK if Israel can do anything abt the information war aspect. Thinking about it - people killed on 7-Oct were the left- liberal- leaning Israelis trying to come to some cohabitation, collaboration with the Gazans. I just presume the ones living on the Gaza border were like that - while knowing but little abt the conflict. (even if I have been hearing abt it on the news all my life; in my defense, I come from parts of the world in the grips of similar ordeals; our own troubles suffice for one lifetime) So the people murdered were and came from a group of people ideologically close to the average BBC Sky et al liberal sensibilities. And yet - that knocked "the default" story (narrative) abt the state of affairs over there only for 7-10 days. After that - back to the usual - Israel bad, everyone else (even if an islamist-faschist ideologically, i.e. as anti-liberal as it gets) - good. Was mentioned by @Dominic2306
in some YT podcast or interview.
2:26 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841100711263715713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I hear you, and I have a lot of time for that argument.
But in my case it was far simpler and far more frequent: ordinary ignorance, lack of knowledge. Ultimately coming from lack of curiosity, not itching to try new things. All of us get more like that the older we get.
1:59 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I hear you, and I have a lot of time for that argument.
But in my case it was far simpler and far more frequent: ordinary ignorance, lack of knowledge. Ultimately coming from lack of curiosity, not itching to try new things. All of us get more like that the older we get.
1:59 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841085532169707998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... - da! Za pomala kamata - razbiram, forex rizik - da. Ama ima i uste pogolem rizik, geo-politicki rizik. Sto ako ECB ti zabrani, ne ti dozvoli, pristap do Eur? Ednostavno - se naluti zradi nesto na MK i NBM. Kako vo eden moment pri grckata kriza sto EU preku ECB im kaza na Varufakis & Co - "nie nema da vi dademe Eura, ke vi go prekineme dotokot na Eur, ke gi zamrzneme site Eur smetki na Grcija pri ECB". Sto i treba takov rizik na MK, pokraj 100 drugi rizici na koi e izlozena - jas ne znam.
12:59 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... - da! Za pomala kamata - razbiram, forex rizik - da. Ama ima i uste pogolem rizik, geo-politicki rizik. Sto ako ECB ti zabrani, ne ti dozvoli, pristap do Eur? Ednostavno - se naluti zradi nesto na MK i NBM. Kako vo eden moment pri grckata kriza sto EU preku ECB im kaza na Varufakis & Co - "nie nema da vi dademe Eura, ke vi go prekineme dotokot na Eur, ke gi zamrzneme site Eur smetki na Grcija pri ECB". Sto i treba takov rizik na MK, pokraj 100 drugi rizici na koi e izlozena - jas ne znam.
12:59 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841083978318512611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I admire your confidence. This is complicated and X type "discussion" of gotcha one-upping-the other is a waste of time. The money system we have evolved over a period of time without "from the onset design". Rather, a series of contingencies, modifications and kludges, usually under the pressure of some crisis. Not a creation of a single person either. Can defo see parts that have been re-purposed over time.
For my money the best presentation & best abstraction incl the title I know of is "The Landscape of Money" by @Suitpossum (pic below) on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s .
Abstracting spreadsheets (instead of rings) works as well. And tallies better with reality! B/c BoE (owned) spreadsheet => only BoE changes numbers up/down in it, BoE decides on the cells accounts names "reserves", "gilts". Likewise - Barclays spreadsheet => only Barclays changes numbers up/down, accounts have names "Current", "Saving", the numbers are "Barclays pounds" that stop existing when Barclays goes bust (c.f. Northern Rock). I admit rings with pounds moving on the wires, running around from account to account, is visually way more appealing.
From everything I've seen and heard.
State money - MMT explanation of how things work atm is correct. Yes there are detractors. They are two camps. Those in the know have every incentive to lie and keep their knowledge private (as they get lots of power from that). I'm in an industry where "those in the know don't talk, those that talk don't know" so that's a familiar pattern. A 2nd group is the "Chorus of Cretins", ones that think UK gov's HMRC raids the tills of the pubs past midnight, collecting coins, so to be able to give the teachers & policeman those coins for pay the next day. Still stuck on the gold standard thinking. They are a lost cause and I admire the @wbmosler -s type proselytizing and trying to reach out. B/c trying to explain to a dunderhead will only result in having your own head bashed against the kerbside. 😱 Feelings run high with money at stake. 😂 Try telling a normie "your money in your savings account is good and positive for you, but is a negative a liability (a bad thing) for your bank" as a test. 🤯
Private (bank) money - think Prof Richard Werner has written and researched extensively, books and articles https://perplexity.ai/search/princes-of-yen-prof-warner-qiFldXIrS7CsjAIeinMbUg#1 I see there is a web site https://professorwerner.org now. (at some point noticed a "Prof Werner" twitter account; I thought - an impersonator; then noticed during covid acc went crazyvax; allow it possible that it was the original that went all "Ignaz Semmelweis" on us; can defo see how that happens to a person driven to telling the truth, in an environment bent to lying on the same subject) Also MMT insight that private commercial banks operate under license and at pleasure of the regulator, the Central Bank, ultimately the State, is very much correct. But MMT concern themselves much less with this particular area/location in the "The Landscape of Money", so imo less relevant.
Image
state-money-bank-money.png
12:53 PM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I admire your confidence. This is complicated and X type "discussion" of gotcha one-upping-the other is a waste of time. The money system we have evolved over a period of time without "from the onset design". Rather, a series of contingencies, modifications and kludges, usually under the pressure of some crisis. Not a creation of a single person either. Can defo see parts that have been re-purposed over time.
For my money the best presentation & best abstraction incl the title I know of is "The Landscape of Money" by @Suitpossum (pic below) on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s .
Abstracting spreadsheets (instead of rings) works as well. And tallies better with reality! B/c BoE (owned) spreadsheet => only BoE changes numbers up/down in it, BoE decides on the cells accounts names "reserves", "gilts". Likewise - Barclays spreadsheet => only Barclays changes numbers up/down, accounts have names "Current", "Saving", the numbers are "Barclays pounds" that stop existing when Barclays goes bust (c.f. Northern Rock). I admit rings with pounds moving on the wires, running around from account to account, is visually way more appealing.
From everything I've seen and heard.
State money - MMT explanation of how things work atm is correct. Yes there are detractors. They are two camps. Those in the know have every incentive to lie and keep their knowledge private (as they get lots of power from that). I'm in an industry where "those in the know don't talk, those that talk don't know" so that's a familiar pattern. A 2nd group is the "Chorus of Cretins", ones that think UK gov's HMRC raids the tills of the pubs past midnight, collecting coins, so to be able to give the teachers & policeman those coins for pay the next day. Still stuck on the gold standard thinking. They are a lost cause and I admire the @wbmosler -s type proselytizing and trying to reach out. B/c trying to explain to a dunderhead will only result in having your own head bashed against the kerbside. 😱 Feelings run high with money at stake. 😂 Try telling a normie "your money in your savings account is good and positive for you, but is a negative a liability (a bad thing) for your bank" as a test. 🤯
Private (bank) money - think Prof Richard Werner has written and researched extensively, books and articles https://perplexity.ai/search/princes-of-yen-prof-warner-qiFldXIrS7CsjAIeinMbUg#1 I see there is a web site https://professorwerner.org now. (at some point noticed a "Prof Werner" twitter account; I thought - an impersonator; then noticed during covid acc went crazyvax; allow it possible that it was the original that went all "Ignaz Semmelweis" on us; can defo see how that happens to a person driven to telling the truth, in an environment bent to lying on the same subject) Also MMT insight that private commercial banks operate under license and at pleasure of the regulator, the Central Bank, ultimately the State, is very much correct. But MMT concern themselves much less with this particular area/location in the "The Landscape of Money", so imo less relevant.
Image
state-money-bank-money.png
12:53 PM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841066260647596088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NB drzavata MK stalno moze da stvori MK denari - ama ima opasost da kreira inflacija. Ne e deka MK nekogas ke bide vo situacija na nema denari, da ne moze da gi stvori. Toa e i najlesno! Pocetok na procesot na drzavni denari e krevanje 2 prsta vo Sobranie glasanje na budzet. Ekvivalntno vo privaten sektor e koga kreditnoto biro na Stopanska Banka odobruva zaem, toa e pocetok na proces na kreiranje na stopanska-banka denari. Opasnosta na premnoug denari, a premalku roba sto tie denari kupuvaat e - pojava na inflacija.
Ova sto go brojat javen dolg se drzavni obvrznici. Koga drzavata izdala vtor tip na drzavni pari (=drzavni obvrznici), i gi zemenila, gi prodala, na privatnici koi veke imale denari (prodazbata e na odredeno vreme - pa e poveke zamena, a ne prodazba). Buidejki dogovorot e da plaka kamata na obvrznicite, koga Centralna Banka ke kaze "kamata 5%", sega se broi kako del od drzavniot budzet, se alocira stavka. Ke gi plaka drzavata tie pari na lugeto koi ke gi kupat obvrznicite koi drzavata tek ke gi prodade.
Makedonija pocna da izdava i Euro obvrznici (vo vreme na Grujo mislam prv pat), sto mi lici da e posebno ludo i shizofreno. Mi lici deka toa e ogromna opasnost, ogromen rizik. Posto MK ne moze da stvori Eur, kako sto moze da stvori MK denar.
11:42 AM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NB drzavata MK stalno moze da stvori MK denari - ama ima opasost da kreira inflacija. Ne e deka MK nekogas ke bide vo situacija na nema denari, da ne moze da gi stvori. Toa e i najlesno! Pocetok na procesot na drzavni denari e krevanje 2 prsta vo Sobranie glasanje na budzet. Ekvivalntno vo privaten sektor e koga kreditnoto biro na Stopanska Banka odobruva zaem, toa e pocetok na proces na kreiranje na stopanska-banka denari. Opasnosta na premnoug denari, a premalku roba sto tie denari kupuvaat e - pojava na inflacija.
Ova sto go brojat javen dolg se drzavni obvrznici. Koga drzavata izdala vtor tip na drzavni pari (=drzavni obvrznici), i gi zemenila, gi prodala, na privatnici koi veke imale denari (prodazbata e na odredeno vreme - pa e poveke zamena, a ne prodazba). Buidejki dogovorot e da plaka kamata na obvrznicite, koga Centralna Banka ke kaze "kamata 5%", sega se broi kako del od drzavniot budzet, se alocira stavka. Ke gi plaka drzavata tie pari na lugeto koi ke gi kupat obvrznicite koi drzavata tek ke gi prodade.
Makedonija pocna da izdava i Euro obvrznici (vo vreme na Grujo mislam prv pat), sto mi lici da e posebno ludo i shizofreno. Mi lici deka toa e ogromna opasnost, ogromen rizik. Posto MK ne moze da stvori Eur, kako sto moze da stvori MK denar.
11:42 AM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841061149044813842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm surprised that I know of zero libertarians that see a positive side. (while all - rightly - see the negative sides - the taxation, the centralization) It would be truly a liberation revolution, liberating the lucky humans living in that society, from a deal all humans have been forced into from the dawn of time: be a part time wage slave, go work against your true self, against your wishes and hopes, exchange part of the limited time you have alive in this world for food shelter etc needed to maintain your body, and stay alive. To then be able to be your true authentic self in the rest of the time (allotted to you) unshackled from all other considerations (in that other time). UBI wd massively tilt the field towards the latter, and away from the former. Yes if you are libertarian you see the negative side. Just don't understand how they fail to see that positive side.
11:22 AM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm surprised that I know of zero libertarians that see a positive side. (while all - rightly - see the negative sides - the taxation, the centralization) It would be truly a liberation revolution, liberating the lucky humans living in that society, from a deal all humans have been forced into from the dawn of time: be a part time wage slave, go work against your true self, against your wishes and hopes, exchange part of the limited time you have alive in this world for food shelter etc needed to maintain your body, and stay alive. To then be able to be your true authentic self in the rest of the time (allotted to you) unshackled from all other considerations (in that other time). UBI wd massively tilt the field towards the latter, and away from the former. Yes if you are libertarian you see the negative side. Just don't understand how they fail to see that positive side.
11:22 AM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841057779848564746
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you and I like and wish for that line of thinking. However, I fear yours - and mine! - are un- or post-imperial kinds of thinking abt these things. Whereas Russia is going "back to the future" of imperial Russia. NB how our line of thinking wd have forecast a Russia invasion and taking over and ultimately annexation of Ukraine an impossible, a crazy a stupid idea. We see no point to that endeveour. Why wd anyone take over more land - when they have plenty land themselves, over plenty of people - of which they have plenty too, and so on. (and esp at the time when we are living through history being made by creation of AI in that same world) And yet and yet - that's what Russia is trying for atm. Reality >>> trumps ideas in our heads. Obv our ideas about the state of the world in our heads were wrong.
11:09 AM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you and I like and wish for that line of thinking. However, I fear yours - and mine! - are un- or post-imperial kinds of thinking abt these things. Whereas Russia is going "back to the future" of imperial Russia. NB how our line of thinking wd have forecast a Russia invasion and taking over and ultimately annexation of Ukraine an impossible, a crazy a stupid idea. We see no point to that endeveour. Why wd anyone take over more land - when they have plenty land themselves, over plenty of people - of which they have plenty too, and so on. (and esp at the time when we are living through history being made by creation of AI in that same world) And yet and yet - that's what Russia is trying for atm. Reality >>> trumps ideas in our heads. Obv our ideas about the state of the world in our heads were wrong.
11:09 AM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841055556447997972
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I too think that Europe behavior so far is putting us on a road to WW3. Russia's is an imperial war of conquest. Occupied territories are annexed, new language new identity imposed, citizens there become subjects, possibly to be drafted in future wars. A pattern well known in Europe. The original meaning of the words like colonialism, imperialism. People rightly complain abt US wars. But one thing US doesn't do is say annex Iraq or Afghanistan and say "here is our latest 51-st 52-nd etc State in the US federation of states". Imperial wars of conquest will erupt all over Europe and devastate Europe for the 3rd time in but 100 years. Can Europeans be this terminally stupid?? I thought no one can be that stupid, but now I think it possible. Right EU response wd have been for all EU states to do what Poland did and ramp up defense spending to 4-5-6%, start re-creating the defenses industries, re-arming etc. No one in EU should expect for US to fight their wars. US may help latter (c.f. WW1 *and* WW2; pattern repeat twice) - but EU countries have to lead.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840854996494983198
11:00 AM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I too think that Europe behavior so far is putting us on a road to WW3. Russia's is an imperial war of conquest. Occupied territories are annexed, new language new identity imposed, citizens there become subjects, possibly to be drafted in future wars. A pattern well known in Europe. The original meaning of the words like colonialism, imperialism. People rightly complain abt US wars. But one thing US doesn't do is say annex Iraq or Afghanistan and say "here is our latest 51-st 52-nd etc State in the US federation of states". Imperial wars of conquest will erupt all over Europe and devastate Europe for the 3rd time in but 100 years. Can Europeans be this terminally stupid?? I thought no one can be that stupid, but now I think it possible. Right EU response wd have been for all EU states to do what Poland did and ramp up defense spending to 4-5-6%, start re-creating the defenses industries, re-arming etc. No one in EU should expect for US to fight their wars. US may help latter (c.f. WW1 *and* WW2; pattern repeat twice) - but EU countries have to lead.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840854996494983198
11:00 AM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1841015483413275041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just this weekend had an enthusiastic lunch pub convo with friends abt this. 😊 There's zero general knowledge of the test, it's significe for 80 yrs, that we passed it, and the significance to that. People sort of kind of interested they say, tell me they have not tried chatgpt yet. It's free, it's a miracle, it's zero effort one tap one click away easily accessible to everyone. I had nagging suspicion that we die b/c we lose the ability to change. Aging of the brain and soul seems as real as one of the body.
8:21 AM · Oct 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just this weekend had an enthusiastic lunch pub convo with friends abt this. 😊 There's zero general knowledge of the test, it's significe for 80 yrs, that we passed it, and the significance to that. People sort of kind of interested they say, tell me they have not tried chatgpt yet. It's free, it's a miracle, it's zero effort one tap one click away easily accessible to everyone. I had nagging suspicion that we die b/c we lose the ability to change. Aging of the brain and soul seems as real as one of the body.
8:21 AM · Oct 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840860474734240127
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"bober kurwa" memes are v.funny 😂😂 learned it there
10:05 PM · Sep 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"bober kurwa" memes are v.funny 😂😂 learned it there
10:05 PM · Sep 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840854996494983198
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - no good options. One way to forestall WW3 we're descending to, maybe for Ukraine to re/acquire a nuclear deterrent, in concert with Baltics & Poland & Finland that also need it badly. They are in the position of e.g. Israel and NKorea - facing existential threat of superior neighbors bent on their destruction. IDK what else - no good options. RUS taking over UKR and BLR (once Luka is dead) and creating NeoRussia is a step preparation to invading the Balts, then Poland and Finland. Danger that US and EU cowardice persuade RUS to take the gamble. And then West wakes up and finally puts boots on the ground. But by now in direct hot war and with huge risk of a nuclear holocaust. This article imo relevant and prophetically timed (weeks before latest invasion).
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
9:43 PM · Sep 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - no good options. One way to forestall WW3 we're descending to, maybe for Ukraine to re/acquire a nuclear deterrent, in concert with Baltics & Poland & Finland that also need it badly. They are in the position of e.g. Israel and NKorea - facing existential threat of superior neighbors bent on their destruction. IDK what else - no good options. RUS taking over UKR and BLR (once Luka is dead) and creating NeoRussia is a step preparation to invading the Balts, then Poland and Finland. Danger that US and EU cowardice persuade RUS to take the gamble. And then West wakes up and finally puts boots on the ground. But by now in direct hot war and with huge risk of a nuclear holocaust. This article imo relevant and prophetically timed (weeks before latest invasion).
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
9:43 PM · Sep 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840851131347443791
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah IDK what happens there. From N=2 anegdata pple I know 1) not completely innumerate, but (bit surprising to me) numerate enough 2) 1 massive narcissist, 1 big ego (also - forever on guard against being taken advantage of? not sure that relevant) 3) assumption the universe owes them something, to - for me seemingly - high-ish expectations 4) universe fails to deliver well enough 5) seething angry how things are, how things are turning out 6) numerate enough to pick a bone, find a small crack in the (usually) interpretation of some data 7) an entire edifice is erected on the top of that tiny grain, tiny kernel of possibly valid criticism. Example - estimate of a parameter or effect maybe more just to say "it's 30%, not 27%" and that is now obviously sufficient reason to reject everything - counting, numbers, maths, data, reason, logic - all the way back to dawn of time. And rely on what? - chicken entrails? voice in my head? - to guide me through life. Just total lack of proportion. If it fails my super high ideal criteria => obv total rubbish, never to be used for anything, and neither anything else similar to it.
9:28 PM · Sep 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah IDK what happens there. From N=2 anegdata pple I know 1) not completely innumerate, but (bit surprising to me) numerate enough 2) 1 massive narcissist, 1 big ego (also - forever on guard against being taken advantage of? not sure that relevant) 3) assumption the universe owes them something, to - for me seemingly - high-ish expectations 4) universe fails to deliver well enough 5) seething angry how things are, how things are turning out 6) numerate enough to pick a bone, find a small crack in the (usually) interpretation of some data 7) an entire edifice is erected on the top of that tiny grain, tiny kernel of possibly valid criticism. Example - estimate of a parameter or effect maybe more just to say "it's 30%, not 27%" and that is now obviously sufficient reason to reject everything - counting, numbers, maths, data, reason, logic - all the way back to dawn of time. And rely on what? - chicken entrails? voice in my head? - to guide me through life. Just total lack of proportion. If it fails my super high ideal criteria => obv total rubbish, never to be used for anything, and neither anything else similar to it.
9:28 PM · Sep 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840830765321363869
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
techies but mostly tech moguls got annoyed with wokies, that are universities based. so starting with anti-woke, continued to anti-uni. it's a dumb idea, a non-solution to a problem. tina - so the solution is moguls to simply finance, endow new and charged universities, the kinds of they like to see. tech moguls being 1st gen are both too tight with their money, but also still have ideas abt changing the world, so haven't got time & wealth to spare atm. maybe their 2nd gen heirs that will lack such drive will turn to creating & endowing unis
8:07 PM · Sep 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
techies but mostly tech moguls got annoyed with wokies, that are universities based. so starting with anti-woke, continued to anti-uni. it's a dumb idea, a non-solution to a problem. tina - so the solution is moguls to simply finance, endow new and charged universities, the kinds of they like to see. tech moguls being 1st gen are both too tight with their money, but also still have ideas abt changing the world, so haven't got time & wealth to spare atm. maybe their 2nd gen heirs that will lack such drive will turn to creating & endowing unis
8:07 PM · Sep 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840647621624426980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are wrong about that too. Getting to the bottom of the matter, finding the truth, strengths the public's confidence. We see that with the courts and the judiciary. Get to the truth (whatever it is), and the rest will work out.
7:59 AM · Sep 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are wrong about that too. Getting to the bottom of the matter, finding the truth, strengths the public's confidence. We see that with the courts and the judiciary. Get to the truth (whatever it is), and the rest will work out.
7:59 AM · Sep 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840643844771315832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The option "I reserve my judgement given no feet on the ground no access to physical materiel" is also available fyi. No need to make yourself hostige of fortune. The chatterati are their worst enemies. No one thinks you have special knowledge or expertise, no one expects much from you on this matter.
7:44 AM · Sep 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The option "I reserve my judgement given no feet on the ground no access to physical materiel" is also available fyi. No need to make yourself hostige of fortune. The chatterati are their worst enemies. No one thinks you have special knowledge or expertise, no one expects much from you on this matter.
7:44 AM · Sep 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840635741241495849
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fiat currencies have (so far) been a blessing to the human species. Our medium of exchange, measure and store of value, being under human control, is a super power. Power that can be used for good, or abused badly. It's up to us. Looking at the currency (one side of the ledger) without looking what that buys (all the goods and services created by US, for consumption of its citizens) is just stoopid dofus Homer type "reasoning". Undermines everything else you write via Gell-Mann amnesia argument. I'm very sorry to say.
7:12 AM · Sep 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fiat currencies have (so far) been a blessing to the human species. Our medium of exchange, measure and store of value, being under human control, is a super power. Power that can be used for good, or abused badly. It's up to us. Looking at the currency (one side of the ledger) without looking what that buys (all the goods and services created by US, for consumption of its citizens) is just stoopid dofus Homer type "reasoning". Undermines everything else you write via Gell-Mann amnesia argument. I'm very sorry to say.
7:12 AM · Sep 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840357954907742654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
amen to that! preach more pls - maybe someone will come up with a business model that adds up. if I never had to cook another meal to the end of my life my life satisfaction will only increase.
12:48 PM · Sep 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
amen to that! preach more pls - maybe someone will come up with a business model that adds up. if I never had to cook another meal to the end of my life my life satisfaction will only increase.
12:48 PM · Sep 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840157080302289262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 yep well spotted if I may say, a most excellent observation 😊
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826661337671303212
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1684638464107597825
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 27, 2023
Replying to @sweatystartup
On the+ve side of the ledger: all parents that ever bought graphic cards for their kids to play, collectively jump-started the latest AI revolution, that we all hope to benefit from. Kudos to the parents and their kids pestering them to finance the GPUs of theworld R&D. 😂😂😂
11:30 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 yep well spotted if I may say, a most excellent observation 😊
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826661337671303212
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1684638464107597825
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 27, 2023
Replying to @sweatystartup
On the+ve side of the ledger: all parents that ever bought graphic cards for their kids to play, collectively jump-started the latest AI revolution, that we all hope to benefit from. Kudos to the parents and their kids pestering them to finance the GPUs of theworld R&D. 😂😂😂
11:30 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840155966068924480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik his "perceptron can't solve XOR" was wheeled out frequently. I was taught NNs on the PDP notebooks (Rumelhart & Hinton?) in ~1990 (prof S. Bozinovski). My recollection is that "neural networks" we were ideally not to say the cursed words, and we were to prefer the alternative"Parallel Distributed Processing".
11:25 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik his "perceptron can't solve XOR" was wheeled out frequently. I was taught NNs on the PDP notebooks (Rumelhart & Hinton?) in ~1990 (prof S. Bozinovski). My recollection is that "neural networks" we were ideally not to say the cursed words, and we were to prefer the alternative"Parallel Distributed Processing".
11:25 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840150497908408359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 I understand the graphs, and close to 300% is indeed the 12mo rolling inflation measure at some point in time (it's seen on the graph). I am saying @IsabellaMWeber is misleading us by blaming Milei for that. Further, I understand that it's opportune for her to do so. But I expect better from her. I don't want one set of politically motivated misdirection (almost lying; lying with plausible deniability, if you like) to be replaced by the same but now coming from the next generation (that will hopefully replace the current discredited establishment). It's possible to win while not being dishonest.
11:04 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 I understand the graphs, and close to 300% is indeed the 12mo rolling inflation measure at some point in time (it's seen on the graph). I am saying @IsabellaMWeber is misleading us by blaming Milei for that. Further, I understand that it's opportune for her to do so. But I expect better from her. I don't want one set of politically motivated misdirection (almost lying; lying with plausible deniability, if you like) to be replaced by the same but now coming from the next generation (that will hopefully replace the current discredited establishment). It's possible to win while not being dishonest.
11:04 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840120760959938901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
for real?? 300%?? you know better, you should do better
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840000614685651038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 28
Very meta-econ this. 😂 75yrs Ago, politicos cried for a "one handed economist", b/c there was an over-supply of "on one hand, on the other hand" two handed economists in their world. Seems that has been remedied... 😂 - only now we are supplied too well with "one handed x.com/IsabellaMWeber…
Show more
https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1320016/monthly-inflation-rate-argentina/
9:05 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
for real?? 300%?? you know better, you should do better
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840000614685651038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 28
Very meta-econ this. 😂 75yrs Ago, politicos cried for a "one handed economist", b/c there was an over-supply of "on one hand, on the other hand" two handed economists in their world. Seems that has been remedied... 😂 - only now we are supplied too well with "one handed x.com/IsabellaMWeber…
Show more
https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1320016/monthly-inflation-rate-argentina/
9:05 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840071800991990183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...in the end it's going to be the gingivitis bacteria hypothesis or some such that's going to be part of the solution - isn't it? like helicobacter - in our faces all this time
5:51 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...in the end it's going to be the gingivitis bacteria hypothesis or some such that's going to be part of the solution - isn't it? like helicobacter - in our faces all this time
5:51 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840071259406688616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
do you understand why "real human (tm)" is not happening? will it ever happen on X? c.f.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 28
Replying to @levelsio
What happened to the idea EM floated at the time of Twitter buy for "real human person" certificate? I'd pay (one off fee) for that. Together with tools to filter Yes/No on that flag in user profiles. Sometimes I want to know if it's a live human on the other side. Other times I
Show more
5:49 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
do you understand why "real human (tm)" is not happening? will it ever happen on X? c.f.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 28
Replying to @levelsio
What happened to the idea EM floated at the time of Twitter buy for "real human person" certificate? I'd pay (one off fee) for that. Together with tools to filter Yes/No on that flag in user profiles. Sometimes I want to know if it's a live human on the other side. Other times I
Show more
5:49 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840070890991624210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - AI startups have every reason to stoke and big up those fears. They are raising their own importance, and thus raising the value of their startup, by stoking up fears. Fears that are latent and the cycle is repeated for every new technology. c.f. @PessimistsArc
One wd have thought we'd learn by now. At this point think it's more like people spending their own $$$ to be scared, buying a ticket to watch a horror movie in a cinema. The thing is not real - but our fear is real.
5:47 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - AI startups have every reason to stoke and big up those fears. They are raising their own importance, and thus raising the value of their startup, by stoking up fears. Fears that are latent and the cycle is repeated for every new technology. c.f. @PessimistsArc
One wd have thought we'd learn by now. At this point think it's more like people spending their own $$$ to be scared, buying a ticket to watch a horror movie in a cinema. The thing is not real - but our fear is real.
5:47 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840068837166985282
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm always somewhat amused by the spin e.g. BBC News puts on events when reporting (but also - other UK broadcasters). Current headline "Bowen: West left powerless as Israel claims its biggest victory yet against Hezbollah". The spin is - as if this is still year 1945, as if still Brittan is of some importance there, a factor influencing the events this way or that way, and now UK was asked, or not asked, or approved, or didn't approve, for this that or the other. It feels out of time to me tbh. Afaics in reality - Israel for sure doesn't ask anything of UK, or anyone else, but the US. And even with US - between $$$ contributions influencing US politics and AIPAC - not sure which is the tail and which is the dog in that wag even! Hell - Israel has got their own independent nuclear deterrent that UK seems lack these days. Not sure Israel care, or even if they should care, about anything anyone says. Seems there is tons talk from 100 sides, and little skin in the game. So not sure how much one can blame them much.
5:39 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm always somewhat amused by the spin e.g. BBC News puts on events when reporting (but also - other UK broadcasters). Current headline "Bowen: West left powerless as Israel claims its biggest victory yet against Hezbollah". The spin is - as if this is still year 1945, as if still Brittan is of some importance there, a factor influencing the events this way or that way, and now UK was asked, or not asked, or approved, or didn't approve, for this that or the other. It feels out of time to me tbh. Afaics in reality - Israel for sure doesn't ask anything of UK, or anyone else, but the US. And even with US - between $$$ contributions influencing US politics and AIPAC - not sure which is the tail and which is the dog in that wag even! Hell - Israel has got their own independent nuclear deterrent that UK seems lack these days. Not sure Israel care, or even if they should care, about anything anyone says. Seems there is tons talk from 100 sides, and little skin in the game. So not sure how much one can blame them much.
5:39 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840038719413235830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What happened to the idea EM floated at the time of Twitter buy for "real human person" certificate? I'd pay (one off fee) for that. Together with tools to filter Yes/No on that flag in user profiles. Sometimes I want to know if it's a live human on the other side. Other times I don't care. Now talking abt this - don't recall any notable recent X improvements.
3:39 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What happened to the idea EM floated at the time of Twitter buy for "real human person" certificate? I'd pay (one off fee) for that. Together with tools to filter Yes/No on that flag in user profiles. Sometimes I want to know if it's a live human on the other side. Other times I don't care. Now talking abt this - don't recall any notable recent X improvements.
3:39 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840018529690468707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What can I say 😂 - you got me down to a t-ee there. You should try some of that. If you came down from your cloud nine to earth the rest of us inhabit, then maybe the election of Milei, the mandate, the popular support against all odds, all these other things that seem to be surprising to you, maybe they will be less of a mystery? For the record - I'm anti-austerity. Pro-YIMBY is but impossdible to be pro-austerity, idk how would that work.
2:19 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What can I say 😂 - you got me down to a t-ee there. You should try some of that. If you came down from your cloud nine to earth the rest of us inhabit, then maybe the election of Milei, the mandate, the popular support against all odds, all these other things that seem to be surprising to you, maybe they will be less of a mystery? For the record - I'm anti-austerity. Pro-YIMBY is but impossdible to be pro-austerity, idk how would that work.
2:19 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840007780545024495
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 well fwiw I'm pro-BBB Biden programme, hope if Camala gets elected she doubles down on that - so is that one instance of non-TINA of mine, that ruins your general argument/opinion on me? or is that TINA too?
1:36 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 well fwiw I'm pro-BBB Biden programme, hope if Camala gets elected she doubles down on that - so is that one instance of non-TINA of mine, that ruins your general argument/opinion on me? or is that TINA too?
1:36 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840332227273486707
[DELETED]
Conversation
ehemija.mk @EhemijaMk · 1h
Ова не смее да помине незабележано:
За прв пат лекарите успеаја да го победат дијабетесот тип 1, кој до вчера се сметаше за неизлечив. Научниците од Пекинг усовршиле метод за репрограмирање на клетките со пресадување на модифицирани матични клетки.
From nature.com
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da super - golem uspeh. I raskazuva za nekolku replikacii sto se vo tek. Znaci funkcionira. :-)
Mislam deka pacientov so Tip 1 - za koj e tekstov - ne se maticni kletki. I zatoa sto ne se maticni, tuku se veke izdiferencirani, im treba toj proces na reprogramiranje so Jamanaka faktori, da se vratat da se pretvorat nazad kletkite od diferencirani, vo nediferencirani. (nediferencirani kako sto se i maticnite kletki)
A maticni kletki - koi se mislam veke nediferencirani, pa ne im treba Jamanaka reprogramiranje - se spomnati vo kontekst na drug pacient, od druga istrazuvacka grupa so slicen ama ne e ist tretman, e pa izlecen od Tip 2 dijabet. Ova -
"The study, published in Cell today, follows results from a separate group in Shanghai, China, who reported in April that they had successfully transplanted insulin-producing islets into the liver of a 59-year-old man with type 2 diabetes2. The islets were also derived from reprogrammed stem cells taken from the man’s own body and he has since stopped taking insulin."
Ne im trebalo da gi izmesaat dvata slucai vo ist tekst. :-) I taka sum tapa za biologija - me ispozbuni sto e sto.
Nego toa sto uspeale namesto samite racno da apliciraat Jamanaka proteini, da gi nateraat samite kletki da gi proizveduvaat, mi lici deka intervenirale na podolno nivo na programite, na programiranjeto na kletkata:
"... instead of introducing proteins that trigger gene expression, as Yamanaka had done, they exposed the cells to small molecules. This offered more control over the process."
Toa vaka na laik kako mene mi zvuci lici da bi bilo korisno uste i za 100 drugi raboti/aplikacii.
[DELETED]
11:06 AM · Sep 29, 2024
[DELETED]
Conversation
ehemija.mk @EhemijaMk · 1h
Ова не смее да помине незабележано:
За прв пат лекарите успеаја да го победат дијабетесот тип 1, кој до вчера се сметаше за неизлечив. Научниците од Пекинг усовршиле метод за репрограмирање на клетките со пресадување на модифицирани матични клетки.
From nature.com
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da super - golem uspeh. I raskazuva za nekolku replikacii sto se vo tek. Znaci funkcionira. :-)
Mislam deka pacientov so Tip 1 - za koj e tekstov - ne se maticni kletki. I zatoa sto ne se maticni, tuku se veke izdiferencirani, im treba toj proces na reprogramiranje so Jamanaka faktori, da se vratat da se pretvorat nazad kletkite od diferencirani, vo nediferencirani. (nediferencirani kako sto se i maticnite kletki)
A maticni kletki - koi se mislam veke nediferencirani, pa ne im treba Jamanaka reprogramiranje - se spomnati vo kontekst na drug pacient, od druga istrazuvacka grupa so slicen ama ne e ist tretman, e pa izlecen od Tip 2 dijabet. Ova -
"The study, published in Cell today, follows results from a separate group in Shanghai, China, who reported in April that they had successfully transplanted insulin-producing islets into the liver of a 59-year-old man with type 2 diabetes2. The islets were also derived from reprogrammed stem cells taken from the man’s own body and he has since stopped taking insulin."
Ne im trebalo da gi izmesaat dvata slucai vo ist tekst. :-) I taka sum tapa za biologija - me ispozbuni sto e sto.
Nego toa sto uspeale namesto samite racno da apliciraat Jamanaka proteini, da gi nateraat samite kletki da gi proizveduvaat, mi lici deka intervenirale na podolno nivo na programite, na programiranjeto na kletkata:
"... instead of introducing proteins that trigger gene expression, as Yamanaka had done, they exposed the cells to small molecules. This offered more control over the process."
Toa vaka na laik kako mene mi zvuci lici da bi bilo korisno uste i za 100 drugi raboti/aplikacii.
[DELETED]
11:06 AM · Sep 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840005337232892204
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are US-ex-California-ians maybe tad too conformist, not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? 😉
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 19
Nah—US-EU Co-Co (Cooperation and Competition) is working well. The US is excelling at Development!! But maybe not so much at Research?? Are US-ex-California-ians maybe tad too conformist, not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? (haha 😂 — now brace-brace for x.com/AlecStapp/stat…
Show more
There’s a new version of this post
1:27 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are US-ex-California-ians maybe tad too conformist, not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? 😉
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 19
Nah—US-EU Co-Co (Cooperation and Competition) is working well. The US is excelling at Development!! But maybe not so much at Research?? Are US-ex-California-ians maybe tad too conformist, not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? (haha 😂 — now brace-brace for x.com/AlecStapp/stat…
Show more
There’s a new version of this post
1:27 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840003348369400091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Similar to before, you are reading something that it's not written there. There is no TINA in what I wrote. Keep to the particulars, and the general points will take care of themselves. Not everything is a general principle. There is top-down, but there is bottom-up too in this world. 😇
1:19 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Similar to before, you are reading something that it's not written there. There is no TINA in what I wrote. Keep to the particulars, and the general points will take care of themselves. Not everything is a general principle. There is top-down, but there is bottom-up too in this world. 😇
1:19 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840001083252351258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good - "information wants to be free", manifest
1:10 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good - "information wants to be free", manifest
1:10 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1840000614685651038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very meta-econ this. 😂 75yrs Ago, politicos cried for a "one handed economist", b/c there was an over-supply of "on one hand, on the other hand" two handed economists in their world. Seems that has been remedied... 😂 - only now we are supplied too well with "one handed economists", but lacking two handed ones?? How is this even possible.
Surely you must be joking @IsabellaMWeber
with that "inflation shot 300%". Are you going to make yourself into another "umbrellas cause rain" Gell-Mann amnesia tale? Enough with this "being right once in a lifetime" econ b/s. When 2010 EU has 0% inflation - one set of policies is called. When 2024 ARG has 300% inflation - another set of policies is called. How is this hard for anyone to internalize? Engineers, doctors, plenty of professions do it all the time, have no trouble at all with the concept "if something is lacking - add; if something is too much - remove". ffs
https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1320016/monthly-inflation-rate-argentina/
Quote
Isabella M. Weber @IsabellaMWeber · 13h
Shock therapy once more doing what shock therapy does.
After Milei abolished price controls & slashed government spending, inflation shot up to ~300%. 3.4 million Argentinians pushed into poverty. Poverty rate highest level in two decades. At least 136,000 jobs wiped out.
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1:08 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very meta-econ this. 😂 75yrs Ago, politicos cried for a "one handed economist", b/c there was an over-supply of "on one hand, on the other hand" two handed economists in their world. Seems that has been remedied... 😂 - only now we are supplied too well with "one handed economists", but lacking two handed ones?? How is this even possible.
Surely you must be joking @IsabellaMWeber
with that "inflation shot 300%". Are you going to make yourself into another "umbrellas cause rain" Gell-Mann amnesia tale? Enough with this "being right once in a lifetime" econ b/s. When 2010 EU has 0% inflation - one set of policies is called. When 2024 ARG has 300% inflation - another set of policies is called. How is this hard for anyone to internalize? Engineers, doctors, plenty of professions do it all the time, have no trouble at all with the concept "if something is lacking - add; if something is too much - remove". ffs
https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1320016/monthly-inflation-rate-argentina/
Quote
Isabella M. Weber @IsabellaMWeber · 13h
Shock therapy once more doing what shock therapy does.
After Milei abolished price controls & slashed government spending, inflation shot up to ~300%. 3.4 million Argentinians pushed into poverty. Poverty rate highest level in two decades. At least 136,000 jobs wiped out.
Show this thread
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Rate proposed Community Notes
1:08 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839990837070922195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah agreed on austerity, on its own has no redeeming features. But here 1) it's not on its own, 2) it's not long term, but short term. Argentina are trying to get inflation down, and it's a political choice. Majority voted for this as the least bad option.
Europe 2010 had no inflation to speak of. Argentina is entirely different. I think it's obvious, that depending on the diagnosis "what ails the economy", a different course of action is called for. If 250% inflation - then one course of action. If 1% inflation - then a different course of action. This shouldn't be controversial. Further - nothing is forever. Once the state of the economy changes, then change of economic policy is called for.
IDK of your life experience, but having grown in a socialist country (not in the Soviet Union, not in the Eastern block even) in the 1980-90, the level of dysfunction in that economy was something no one now in the West I know could internalize. It was an order of magnitude greater dysfunction than anything I've seen in the capitalist economy (UK) in the last 25 years. Layers of problems piled up on top of each other for decades, left unsolved and festering, interacting and re-enforcing the individual effects (each bad on their own solo). B/c the system as setup discouraged solving any problems, so they just piled up. (until the whole thing blew up)
12:29 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah agreed on austerity, on its own has no redeeming features. But here 1) it's not on its own, 2) it's not long term, but short term. Argentina are trying to get inflation down, and it's a political choice. Majority voted for this as the least bad option.
Europe 2010 had no inflation to speak of. Argentina is entirely different. I think it's obvious, that depending on the diagnosis "what ails the economy", a different course of action is called for. If 250% inflation - then one course of action. If 1% inflation - then a different course of action. This shouldn't be controversial. Further - nothing is forever. Once the state of the economy changes, then change of economic policy is called for.
IDK of your life experience, but having grown in a socialist country (not in the Soviet Union, not in the Eastern block even) in the 1980-90, the level of dysfunction in that economy was something no one now in the West I know could internalize. It was an order of magnitude greater dysfunction than anything I've seen in the capitalist economy (UK) in the last 25 years. Layers of problems piled up on top of each other for decades, left unsolved and festering, interacting and re-enforcing the individual effects (each bad on their own solo). B/c the system as setup discouraged solving any problems, so they just piled up. (until the whole thing blew up)
12:29 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839985108737986687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are anti-steel-manning there, taking the easy way, ultimately doing yourself a disservice, by going "evil Milei out to inflict suffering". They had inflation problem for a long time. That's the elephant in the room - the persistent inflation that Argentina (the elites, the people - everyone ultimately) was unable, unwilling to fix. Fwiw I think 1) it's the only move left 2) they are replacing one problem (inflation) with another (unemployment) 3) it maybe a step forward rather or backward, tbs 4) will be a step forward iif the next step is - tackling unemployment. That will in turn create different problems, that will have to be tackled when their turn come, and on and on
(prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839557134305873934)
12:06 PM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are anti-steel-manning there, taking the easy way, ultimately doing yourself a disservice, by going "evil Milei out to inflict suffering". They had inflation problem for a long time. That's the elephant in the room - the persistent inflation that Argentina (the elites, the people - everyone ultimately) was unable, unwilling to fix. Fwiw I think 1) it's the only move left 2) they are replacing one problem (inflation) with another (unemployment) 3) it maybe a step forward rather or backward, tbs 4) will be a step forward iif the next step is - tackling unemployment. That will in turn create different problems, that will have to be tackled when their turn come, and on and on
(prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839557134305873934)
12:06 PM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839977440824750422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a good argument - discoverability, create opportunity to get discovered by random weirdos. 😆 Boring, bad writing, haven't got much to say, neither mum nor sister nor wife or kids ever read anything I wrote - that all checks out, that's check^7 . 😂 (but hey - maybe that's for the better 😇 ) Discoverability - thought outsourced that X or Bsky or ... - so I don't have to be bothered. But I think you maybe right. It's not SocMed platforms' job to do that, and they are not that good at it anyways it seems (judged by lifetime of results). Your preach may have converted 1 - tbs.
11:36 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a good argument - discoverability, create opportunity to get discovered by random weirdos. 😆 Boring, bad writing, haven't got much to say, neither mum nor sister nor wife or kids ever read anything I wrote - that all checks out, that's check^7 . 😂 (but hey - maybe that's for the better 😇 ) Discoverability - thought outsourced that X or Bsky or ... - so I don't have to be bothered. But I think you maybe right. It's not SocMed platforms' job to do that, and they are not that good at it anyways it seems (judged by lifetime of results). Your preach may have converted 1 - tbs.
11:36 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839972499024466359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The apropo Spolsky ref https://joelonsoftware.com/2004/06/13/how-microsoft-lost-the-api-war/ . Maybe "The Raymond Chen Camp" was not completely overwhelmed by "The MSDN Magazine Camp"? IDK have not used Windows for some time after growing up with it from MS-DOS 3.1 onwards. When helping the kids sometimes, modern Windows looks to me as if made by an evil maniac person, a Bond villain type, and now I have to side step dodge various traps this lunatic setup up for me to trip on. Even for trivial point-and-click operation the GUI leaves too much to be desired.
joelonsoftware.com
How Microsoft Lost the API War
Here’s a theory you hear a lot these days: “Microsoft is finished. As soon as Linux makes some inroads on the desktop and web applications replace desktop applications, the mighty empir…
11:16 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The apropo Spolsky ref https://joelonsoftware.com/2004/06/13/how-microsoft-lost-the-api-war/ . Maybe "The Raymond Chen Camp" was not completely overwhelmed by "The MSDN Magazine Camp"? IDK have not used Windows for some time after growing up with it from MS-DOS 3.1 onwards. When helping the kids sometimes, modern Windows looks to me as if made by an evil maniac person, a Bond villain type, and now I have to side step dodge various traps this lunatic setup up for me to trip on. Even for trivial point-and-click operation the GUI leaves too much to be desired.
joelonsoftware.com
How Microsoft Lost the API War
Here’s a theory you hear a lot these days: “Microsoft is finished. As soon as Linux makes some inroads on the desktop and web applications replace desktop applications, the mighty empir…
11:16 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839969269762658800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@MrBeast Productions Manual (discussed online last week) made a surprising (to me, then) argument why and how YouTube will be much much bigger than any of us imagine. To me looks like YT production values in terms of Signal-to-Noise Ratio to the viewer are already there. I find lacking in various ways 95% of non-YT content these days. That I probably wouldn't have minded 10yrs ago. I thought it's just me. But then, looking around & asking f&f this past week - seems I'm not the exception but the rule. Living in interesting times.
Image
MrBeast-YouTube-Produciton-values-SNR.png
Alt
wrong job. I genuinely mean that. Youtube is the future and I believe with every fiber of my body it’s going to keep growing year over year and in 5 years Youtube will be bigger than anyone will have ever imagined and I want this channel to be at the top. Which is why I say we are not Hollywood. 99% of movies or tv shows would flop on Youtube. On top of that they'd be wildly unprofitable, have no flexibility, and long lead times that can’t adapt to trends. We arn’t here to make a small movie once or twice a year, I want to make one a week lol. Which is why you need to be nimble and produce content OUR way, not the way you were taught before. If you want the highest probability of success I beg you to learn
11:03 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@MrBeast Productions Manual (discussed online last week) made a surprising (to me, then) argument why and how YouTube will be much much bigger than any of us imagine. To me looks like YT production values in terms of Signal-to-Noise Ratio to the viewer are already there. I find lacking in various ways 95% of non-YT content these days. That I probably wouldn't have minded 10yrs ago. I thought it's just me. But then, looking around & asking f&f this past week - seems I'm not the exception but the rule. Living in interesting times.
Image
MrBeast-YouTube-Produciton-values-SNR.png
Alt
wrong job. I genuinely mean that. Youtube is the future and I believe with every fiber of my body it’s going to keep growing year over year and in 5 years Youtube will be bigger than anyone will have ever imagined and I want this channel to be at the top. Which is why I say we are not Hollywood. 99% of movies or tv shows would flop on Youtube. On top of that they'd be wildly unprofitable, have no flexibility, and long lead times that can’t adapt to trends. We arn’t here to make a small movie once or twice a year, I want to make one a week lol. Which is why you need to be nimble and produce content OUR way, not the way you were taught before. If you want the highest probability of success I beg you to learn
11:03 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839955757300699602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another case of another "human exclusivity" to be dispatched into history soon it seems. Hope 🙏 it's not too traumatic for us. Slow learners with outsized egos, us humans. 😆
Previously had - Earth is special and Cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life was a big letdown imo. 😰 Still smarting from that - but ah ok we are at least *rational* animals - then, Freud! 🧐 And now AI?? 🤯 Taking stock from afar slightly sorry for us tbh, how quickly we got disuaded off our illusions. 😇
10:10 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another case of another "human exclusivity" to be dispatched into history soon it seems. Hope 🙏 it's not too traumatic for us. Slow learners with outsized egos, us humans. 😆
Previously had - Earth is special and Cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life was a big letdown imo. 😰 Still smarting from that - but ah ok we are at least *rational* animals - then, Freud! 🧐 And now AI?? 🤯 Taking stock from afar slightly sorry for us tbh, how quickly we got disuaded off our illusions. 😇
10:10 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839951614095896711
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MrBeast Productions manual (discussed online last week) made an excellent argument imo why YT will be bigger than all of Hollywood together. Production values in terms of SNR to the viewer are already there it seems. 95% of non-YT content I find lacking in various ways these days. Looking around & asking f&f - seems I'm not the exception but the rule!?
9:53 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MrBeast Productions manual (discussed online last week) made an excellent argument imo why YT will be bigger than all of Hollywood together. Production values in terms of SNR to the viewer are already there it seems. 95% of non-YT content I find lacking in various ways these days. Looking around & asking f&f - seems I'm not the exception but the rule!?
9:53 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839948532238708857
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's evidence for- and counter evidence against- both hypothesis. None raise in totality to the level that's acceptable for a consensus to the scientific community. For various complicated reasons and by chance being in a position to, natural origin proponents tried to shutdown the competing hypothes consideration too early. Trying to win this one battle that way. They were unlucky that no sufficient evidence for their hypothesis emerged since. There exist two camps in that science community: Gain of Function proponents, and Biosafety proponents. Depending what one prioritizes. Institutionally gov agencies lean too much towards GoF and too little towards Biosafety for my taste. It's an outlier for a regulator to be radical rather than cautious. The covid origin battle was just the latest battle in the ongoing war between these two camps. In an ideal world we'd forget abt the stupid needless currently impossible anyway "AI regulation" and devote 20% of attention heaped to it to Biosafety.
9:41 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's evidence for- and counter evidence against- both hypothesis. None raise in totality to the level that's acceptable for a consensus to the scientific community. For various complicated reasons and by chance being in a position to, natural origin proponents tried to shutdown the competing hypothes consideration too early. Trying to win this one battle that way. They were unlucky that no sufficient evidence for their hypothesis emerged since. There exist two camps in that science community: Gain of Function proponents, and Biosafety proponents. Depending what one prioritizes. Institutionally gov agencies lean too much towards GoF and too little towards Biosafety for my taste. It's an outlier for a regulator to be radical rather than cautious. The covid origin battle was just the latest battle in the ongoing war between these two camps. In an ideal world we'd forget abt the stupid needless currently impossible anyway "AI regulation" and devote 20% of attention heaped to it to Biosafety.
9:41 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839829950599233602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm. If I ignore any audience but myself - then it's my personal logBook. If I put that out on the Internet - then I don't ignore the audience. Not sure how to square that. GPT audience maybe? Prob goes 80% of the way of a public one?
1:50 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm. If I ignore any audience but myself - then it's my personal logBook. If I put that out on the Internet - then I don't ignore the audience. Not sure how to square that. GPT audience maybe? Prob goes 80% of the way of a public one?
1:50 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839815168961688011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 yah dude "in retrospect it was obvious"
12:51 AM · Sep 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 yah dude "in retrospect it was obvious"
12:51 AM · Sep 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839679453825274189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! - e genijalno znaci!! znaci koj ima talent za izmama, ke mu tekne i da iskoristi i toa sto prethodno gi izmamila ednas, pak da gi izmami i po vtor pat!! ccccc :-)
3:52 PM · Sep 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! - e genijalno znaci!! znaci koj ima talent za izmama, ke mu tekne i da iskoristi i toa sto prethodno gi izmamila ednas, pak da gi izmami i po vtor pat!! ccccc :-)
3:52 PM · Sep 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839651712988016848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you say so. I don't have any special knowledge about the inflation over and above what I can read online, like here https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom or here https://statista.com/statistics/1320016/monthly-inflation-rate-argentina/ . That data reads as if the inflation is past its peak. Ofc a single number is some "representative average". While each and very one of us has their own "my personal rate of inflation" of prices changes of whatever we personally buy and consume etc.
2:02 PM · Sep 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you say so. I don't have any special knowledge about the inflation over and above what I can read online, like here https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom or here https://statista.com/statistics/1320016/monthly-inflation-rate-argentina/ . That data reads as if the inflation is past its peak. Ofc a single number is some "representative average". While each and very one of us has their own "my personal rate of inflation" of prices changes of whatever we personally buy and consume etc.
2:02 PM · Sep 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839634955212558703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - to govern is to chose. #AbolishTheTreasury
My 2p diagnosis of our ills: UK central gov is ultra centralized in Whitehall (#1) (almost Stalinist in that), and then that centralized power is further held in a stranglehold by the Treasury Brain-Deep State-OBR complex (#2). Together they are Centralization^2.
Atm that ensures - #1 nothing can be done by anyone else, and #2 they've settled on "do nothing". B/c everything costs money, and #2 care disproportionally more about that cost, and much less about what capability, assets etc that cost buys UK. Once nothing tangible is done, laziness is naturally encouraged, activity punished, every promotion every jostling in the hierarchy becomes entirely a beauty contest, divorced from any real-word results. This as seen from afar by outsider without any insider knowledge. Just listening to @RoryStewartUK and @Dominic2306 relying info on the inner workings of UK gov machine.
If I were a UK BDFL, working backwards, I'd lean into point #2 first, and or point #1 next.
Choke point #2 means smash the power of the Treasury. They are a good servant, but a bad master currently. No.10 needs to re-assert itself over and above No.11 by 1st-ly taking decision powers out of No.11 hands. No.10 has to work much more on getting things done, take interest in it, let go of the media PR Circus it's devoted to atm. Just assume you'll serve 1 term (or less!), drop the "permanent electioneering mode", don't think of re-election, try get stuff done. Assume you've already run out of time! Can't see how a change like that can come but directly from the top, from the PM. Supported by primary legislation & MP votes in Westminster to dismantle the 1000 roadblocks thrown in the way.
Choke point #1 means decentralization of power. UK used to have vigorous local authorities that cd innovate in various ways. Admired once at the riches of a local gov building in Birmingham. The idea that some pimply fresh graduate 25yo SpAd 120mls away in London wd be telling these people how many pencils they can buy I presume wd have struck people running that City gov as absurd as is a Monty Python sketch to us.
Mid-term UK must build a 2nd 10mil strong city agglomeration Liverpool-Manchester-Leeds-Sheffield-Hull. By connecting them with transport links, building housing along the links for commuting whichever way people fancy. Increased value of the land b/c commute/jobs finances the buildup itself. With Birmingham half-way between this new MegaCity and old London. London gets some competition, raises its game too. Atm feels no acc/London but coasting because TINA. (London cd e.g. respond by completing the Golden triangle LDN-OXF-CBG).
12:55 PM · Sep 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - to govern is to chose. #AbolishTheTreasury
My 2p diagnosis of our ills: UK central gov is ultra centralized in Whitehall (#1) (almost Stalinist in that), and then that centralized power is further held in a stranglehold by the Treasury Brain-Deep State-OBR complex (#2). Together they are Centralization^2.
Atm that ensures - #1 nothing can be done by anyone else, and #2 they've settled on "do nothing". B/c everything costs money, and #2 care disproportionally more about that cost, and much less about what capability, assets etc that cost buys UK. Once nothing tangible is done, laziness is naturally encouraged, activity punished, every promotion every jostling in the hierarchy becomes entirely a beauty contest, divorced from any real-word results. This as seen from afar by outsider without any insider knowledge. Just listening to @RoryStewartUK and @Dominic2306 relying info on the inner workings of UK gov machine.
If I were a UK BDFL, working backwards, I'd lean into point #2 first, and or point #1 next.
Choke point #2 means smash the power of the Treasury. They are a good servant, but a bad master currently. No.10 needs to re-assert itself over and above No.11 by 1st-ly taking decision powers out of No.11 hands. No.10 has to work much more on getting things done, take interest in it, let go of the media PR Circus it's devoted to atm. Just assume you'll serve 1 term (or less!), drop the "permanent electioneering mode", don't think of re-election, try get stuff done. Assume you've already run out of time! Can't see how a change like that can come but directly from the top, from the PM. Supported by primary legislation & MP votes in Westminster to dismantle the 1000 roadblocks thrown in the way.
Choke point #1 means decentralization of power. UK used to have vigorous local authorities that cd innovate in various ways. Admired once at the riches of a local gov building in Birmingham. The idea that some pimply fresh graduate 25yo SpAd 120mls away in London wd be telling these people how many pencils they can buy I presume wd have struck people running that City gov as absurd as is a Monty Python sketch to us.
Mid-term UK must build a 2nd 10mil strong city agglomeration Liverpool-Manchester-Leeds-Sheffield-Hull. By connecting them with transport links, building housing along the links for commuting whichever way people fancy. Increased value of the land b/c commute/jobs finances the buildup itself. With Birmingham half-way between this new MegaCity and old London. London gets some competition, raises its game too. Atm feels no acc/London but coasting because TINA. (London cd e.g. respond by completing the Golden triangle LDN-OXF-CBG).
12:55 PM · Sep 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839624001221496955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... i makate e sto duri se gradi, duri se dzida piramidata, duri uste ima dotek na kesh pogolem od odliv, sekoj eden sto ke go sretnes i sto ke go spomne zborot - "TAT", sekoj od tie dobil pari, zarabotil pari. I ti gi gledas komsii, prijateli kupuvaat koli, stanovi, i si vikas - "abe jas sum bil najbudaliot vo ovaa situacija!"?? A piramidata se rushi naednas. Prviot eden koga nema da moze da gi izvadi parite ili nema da ja dobie astronomskata kamata, vo rok od nekolku dena, ke ima i 100, posle i 1000 takvi luge. Tie sto gi izgubile parite - site naednas gi gubat. (odnosno otkrivaat - parite se izgubeni uste vo momentot koga ke gi dades na Sonja)
12:11 PM · Sep 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... i makate e sto duri se gradi, duri se dzida piramidata, duri uste ima dotek na kesh pogolem od odliv, sekoj eden sto ke go sretnes i sto ke go spomne zborot - "TAT", sekoj od tie dobil pari, zarabotil pari. I ti gi gledas komsii, prijateli kupuvaat koli, stanovi, i si vikas - "abe jas sum bil najbudaliot vo ovaa situacija!"?? A piramidata se rushi naednas. Prviot eden koga nema da moze da gi izvadi parite ili nema da ja dobie astronomskata kamata, vo rok od nekolku dena, ke ima i 100, posle i 1000 takvi luge. Tie sto gi izgubile parite - site naednas gi gubat. (odnosno otkrivaat - parite se izgubeni uste vo momentot koga ke gi dades na Sonja)
12:11 PM · Sep 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839622574113693900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...i mislam imase i del 2, prodolzenie, posle propasta? Taka nekako pamtam?? Me interesira dali nekoj sto i dade pari, i izgubi, pri del 1, dali ima posle da i dade pak pari na Sonja i vo del 2? Sonjite znaat - koj e lekoveren ednas, moze ke bide lekoveren i poveke pati. Prikaska kako me onepravdale, kako me unistile neprijatelite, od zavist, od ljubomora (posto sum epten sposoben) - toa e ubeditelno.
12:06 PM · Sep 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...i mislam imase i del 2, prodolzenie, posle propasta? Taka nekako pamtam?? Me interesira dali nekoj sto i dade pari, i izgubi, pri del 1, dali ima posle da i dade pak pari na Sonja i vo del 2? Sonjite znaat - koj e lekoveren ednas, moze ke bide lekoveren i poveke pati. Prikaska kako me onepravdale, kako me unistile neprijatelite, od zavist, od ljubomora (posto sum epten sposoben) - toa e ubeditelno.
12:06 PM · Sep 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839608460767289823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - hello. Better now than never.
But yeah - thinking "I & the world are one" is what we all as babies start with. There is no difference between I and anything ex-I, it's all one big "I" in the baby world. (so when baby is unhappy b/c it's been wronged, the crying is totally sincere; even if the warm milk was delayed by mere 30 sec!).
Then growing up, most of us we move mere few centimeters to the "I'm the center of the universe and most important thing in it". This is why accepting the universe does not revolve around the us (i.e. the earth), we're a leaf in the tree of life (many other leaves there too), we're not masters of ourselves (unconscious), we are not the only rational things (AI, other animals) - is such a huge - and completely sincere too! - trauma for us. With toddler tantrums galore.
I presume it must be evolutionary? Babies feeling - nah, I may as well not eat, will donate my molecules etc making my body, "Lego blocks style", to the next living creature - they don't survive long enough to pass that to the next gens.
11:10 AM · Sep 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - hello. Better now than never.
But yeah - thinking "I & the world are one" is what we all as babies start with. There is no difference between I and anything ex-I, it's all one big "I" in the baby world. (so when baby is unhappy b/c it's been wronged, the crying is totally sincere; even if the warm milk was delayed by mere 30 sec!).
Then growing up, most of us we move mere few centimeters to the "I'm the center of the universe and most important thing in it". This is why accepting the universe does not revolve around the us (i.e. the earth), we're a leaf in the tree of life (many other leaves there too), we're not masters of ourselves (unconscious), we are not the only rational things (AI, other animals) - is such a huge - and completely sincere too! - trauma for us. With toddler tantrums galore.
I presume it must be evolutionary? Babies feeling - nah, I may as well not eat, will donate my molecules etc making my body, "Lego blocks style", to the next living creature - they don't survive long enough to pass that to the next gens.
11:10 AM · Sep 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839557134305873934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trading unemployment for inflation is the right call for them atm imo. Trouble with Milei is guided (blinded?) by his ideology he may say "it's 100% your problem, independent individuals, and 0% mine".
I know nothing abt ARG. But I know a lot abt similar high inflation disfunctional country of my youth. Causation is {badly run badly governed}->{unemployment,inflation}. One can trade unemployment and inflation, one for the other, in varying degrees. Whether gov chooses to inflict a lot of misery to few people (and anger very much, but a few), or spread the misery lot to many people via inflation (and mildly annoy, but large number of), is a political choice. ARG used to have the latter for a long time, until "mildly" became "very much" annoyed and they elected Milei. He is doing what he promised - and switching to the former.
If Milei were planning his next steps, he'd be planning how to help forces in ARG that reduce the misery in total. IDK abt the country to try guess what's possible there.
7:46 AM · Sep 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trading unemployment for inflation is the right call for them atm imo. Trouble with Milei is guided (blinded?) by his ideology he may say "it's 100% your problem, independent individuals, and 0% mine".
I know nothing abt ARG. But I know a lot abt similar high inflation disfunctional country of my youth. Causation is {badly run badly governed}->{unemployment,inflation}. One can trade unemployment and inflation, one for the other, in varying degrees. Whether gov chooses to inflict a lot of misery to few people (and anger very much, but a few), or spread the misery lot to many people via inflation (and mildly annoy, but large number of), is a political choice. ARG used to have the latter for a long time, until "mildly" became "very much" annoyed and they elected Milei. He is doing what he promised - and switching to the former.
If Milei were planning his next steps, he'd be planning how to help forces in ARG that reduce the misery in total. IDK abt the country to try guess what's possible there.
7:46 AM · Sep 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839421609519857717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
inexplicable for that kissinger of econ to still get an audience
10:47 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
inexplicable for that kissinger of econ to still get an audience
10:47 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839388146309407055
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice - thanks. In addition to that one, I know of -
Burgin_-_Interpretations_of_Negative_Probabilities_-_1008.1287.pdf
Burgin_Meissner_-_Negative_Probabilities_in_Financial_Modeling.pdf
Burgin_-_Negative_probability_in_the_framework_of_combined_probability_-_1306.1166.pdf
NegativeProbabilitiesHaug.pdf
Richard_Feynman_-_Negative_Probability_-_pre-27827.pdf
8:34 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice - thanks. In addition to that one, I know of -
Burgin_-_Interpretations_of_Negative_Probabilities_-_1008.1287.pdf
Burgin_Meissner_-_Negative_Probabilities_in_Financial_Modeling.pdf
Burgin_-_Negative_probability_in_the_framework_of_combined_probability_-_1306.1166.pdf
NegativeProbabilitiesHaug.pdf
Richard_Feynman_-_Negative_Probability_-_pre-27827.pdf
8:34 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839369852869558355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FWIW I thought my kids stats education in a good English state school was very good, even excellent. They got imo the right amounts, the right topics, not too much, not too boring, enough to equip them to be able to reason effectively, and repeated more than once. I thought it was well planned and well executed. (at the time, abt 7-10yrs ago)
7:22 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FWIW I thought my kids stats education in a good English state school was very good, even excellent. They got imo the right amounts, the right topics, not too much, not too boring, enough to equip them to be able to reason effectively, and repeated more than once. I thought it was well planned and well executed. (at the time, abt 7-10yrs ago)
7:22 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839367770099834914
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - not easy at all. In addition to logic that is a good route for those that can take it (b/c logic itself is hard for most too), I have seen people find a route through rhetoric, oratory, learning more formally to argue and debate?? That wd not have occurred to me - that there maybe a route there. First with use of qualifiers (none, at least one, none, some, any, all), and then when making chain of arguments, pointing to students "well what you are doing now is formally called modus ponens" have seen it surprisingly effective. And later telling them abt (less used) modus tollens. Seems once the former is point out and recognised, the latter is imbibed very naturally.
7:13 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - not easy at all. In addition to logic that is a good route for those that can take it (b/c logic itself is hard for most too), I have seen people find a route through rhetoric, oratory, learning more formally to argue and debate?? That wd not have occurred to me - that there maybe a route there. First with use of qualifiers (none, at least one, none, some, any, all), and then when making chain of arguments, pointing to students "well what you are doing now is formally called modus ponens" have seen it surprisingly effective. And later telling them abt (less used) modus tollens. Seems once the former is point out and recognised, the latter is imbibed very naturally.
7:13 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839361900712513954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Data is hard for 95% of us. CP Snow "Two Cultures" is biting UK decision making by the backside repeatedly. If the humanities portion of the elite (in the UK 70-80%?) put effort to internalize become numerate, that wd be a huge win. (the numerates are already literate)
Now abt the 80-90% that are the non-elite ordinary public, reasoning from I-myself-first-foremost-only anecdote, and elevating their own experience to be 100% everything, and everything else to count 0% nothing, is tbh understandable in comparison.
6:50 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Data is hard for 95% of us. CP Snow "Two Cultures" is biting UK decision making by the backside repeatedly. If the humanities portion of the elite (in the UK 70-80%?) put effort to internalize become numerate, that wd be a huge win. (the numerates are already literate)
Now abt the 80-90% that are the non-elite ordinary public, reasoning from I-myself-first-foremost-only anecdote, and elevating their own experience to be 100% everything, and everything else to count 0% nothing, is tbh understandable in comparison.
6:50 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839349318341271736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хаха 😆 - во некој мемоари на дисидент, имаше дека дипломатите, КГБ и др од номенклатурата интерно во жаргон ги викале корисниве како Стваралац - "говнојед". И преносно, ама и буквално, дека кога ги имале на прием во амбасада, ги спремале изнесувале најефтините ордевери, пошто (точно) израчунале дека нема потреба да ги придобијат, импресионираат и сл. Па можеле и со "срање" мезе да поминат кога имале на гости "говноједи".
6:00 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хаха 😆 - во некој мемоари на дисидент, имаше дека дипломатите, КГБ и др од номенклатурата интерно во жаргон ги викале корисниве како Стваралац - "говнојед". И преносно, ама и буквално, дека кога ги имале на прием во амбасада, ги спремале изнесувале најефтините ордевери, пошто (точно) израчунале дека нема потреба да ги придобијат, импресионираат и сл. Па можеле и со "срање" мезе да поминат кога имале на гости "говноједи".
6:00 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839346549283066238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 reminded me how the morning after having LASIK was incredible indescribable 🤯😲 wish i had an artist in me to relay to others how miraculous it was; i don't condone but i understand how people come to believe in supernatural miracles 😇 LASIK was a miracle made real 🤩
5:49 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 reminded me how the morning after having LASIK was incredible indescribable 🤯😲 wish i had an artist in me to relay to others how miraculous it was; i don't condone but i understand how people come to believe in supernatural miracles 😇 LASIK was a miracle made real 🤩
5:49 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839328871625249006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Може ќе бараат не знам што ќе добијат. Еве реално северно Косово за Прешево замена делови на територии може ќе го реши проблемот (а може и не) "нормализација" Косово-Србија, ама не се случи. Моментално огромна војна во Европа за менување граници - сите се против тоа. Да во 90-та успеа Косово да се одвои - ама тоа и тогаш а уште повеќе и сега личи дека беше "најмалку лоша опција" што им ја остави Слобо на САД+Европа. Како Албанците во Македонија има 300 такви случаи ситуации распрскани низ Европа. Не гледам апетити за менување на било што. Ако нема репресија дискриминација или сл - мислам ќе има нула поддршка. Вклучително и од Албанија.
4:39 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Може ќе бараат не знам што ќе добијат. Еве реално северно Косово за Прешево замена делови на територии може ќе го реши проблемот (а може и не) "нормализација" Косово-Србија, ама не се случи. Моментално огромна војна во Европа за менување граници - сите се против тоа. Да во 90-та успеа Косово да се одвои - ама тоа и тогаш а уште повеќе и сега личи дека беше "најмалку лоша опција" што им ја остави Слобо на САД+Европа. Како Албанците во Македонија има 300 такви случаи ситуации распрскани низ Европа. Не гледам апетити за менување на било што. Ако нема репресија дискриминација или сл - мислам ќе има нула поддршка. Вклучително и од Албанија.
4:39 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839321694886072744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe Google should buy Intel
4:10 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe Google should buy Intel
4:10 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839320222651871553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Кој ги знае. Полесно им е да извадат албански пасоши (не знам колку Албанија е дарежлива со тоа?) и да шетаат и да живеат како и каде сакаат. Не гледам дека има некаде некој голем ентузијазам за нови балканистани, шерифлуци, башибозуци и сл.
4:04 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Кој ги знае. Полесно им е да извадат албански пасоши (не знам колку Албанија е дарежлива со тоа?) и да шетаат и да живеат како и каде сакаат. Не гледам дека има некаде некој голем ентузијазам за нови балканистани, шерифлуци, башибозуци и сл.
4:04 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839292877886861665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
idk what's with this veneration of old farts. prob done b/c NR is an old fart himself
2:16 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
idk what's with this veneration of old farts. prob done b/c NR is an old fart himself
2:16 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839287925873479846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The obsession with growth is because we are lacking it. People obsess about things they lack. Spend more on NHS? Wow - why has no one thought of that before?? Quick - whip up the phone, ring No.10, tell them, for sure this has not occurred to them. Genius idea - pure genius
1:56 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The obsession with growth is because we are lacking it. People obsess about things they lack. Spend more on NHS? Wow - why has no one thought of that before?? Quick - whip up the phone, ring No.10, tell them, for sure this has not occurred to them. Genius idea - pure genius
1:56 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839285223114084555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - choice is good, to each their own. Even single me - sometimes I prefer the 1st, other times I prefer the 2nd option. IDK why this needs to be said. Seems to me - many people can hold 1 idea in their heads, versus somewhat fewer people that can hold 2 ideas in their heads. By the time we come to the people that can hold 3+ ideas in their heads without those heads exploding - we run of of people?? 😇 Maybe the heads of these 3+ ideas people really did explode?? 🤯 Scary stuff 😱
1:45 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - choice is good, to each their own. Even single me - sometimes I prefer the 1st, other times I prefer the 2nd option. IDK why this needs to be said. Seems to me - many people can hold 1 idea in their heads, versus somewhat fewer people that can hold 2 ideas in their heads. By the time we come to the people that can hold 3+ ideas in their heads without those heads exploding - we run of of people?? 😇 Maybe the heads of these 3+ ideas people really did explode?? 🤯 Scary stuff 😱
1:45 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839276043586162908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da - ama pa i SDSM i DPMNE ne se nekoi marsovci, tie isto se del od narodot, pretstavnici na toj narod. Moze malku napred ili malku nazad elitata da povlece - ama pak dvizenjeto na edna ili druga strana se slucuva poradi masata na narod, na koja strana toj ke resi da odi.
1:09 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da - ama pa i SDSM i DPMNE ne se nekoi marsovci, tie isto se del od narodot, pretstavnici na toj narod. Moze malku napred ili malku nazad elitata da povlece - ama pak dvizenjeto na edna ili druga strana se slucuva poradi masata na narod, na koja strana toj ke resi da odi.
1:09 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839275359029633044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Consideration goes both ways. But ask yourself: who's suffered more so far in history? The society from - one bad apple spoils the entire barrel of apples? Or the individual from - the tyranny of the majority?
There can be more balance in the UN. As with any organization or club where some are members, and others at not. UN has a charter, in theory members subscribe to it voluntarily. UN has to decide: what to do with members that blatantly break the charter, but don't leave the UN. Obv they get something out of their membership - otherwise they'd have left. Individual abusing the collective if you like. :-)
UN could split the difference. Keep the charter breakers in the UN (stay inclusive as much as possible, keep the "global club of all of humanity" idea alive; don't repeat the League of Nations errors), but sanction them within the organization. E.g. - can't chair a committee, suspend voting rights and so on. Show them "we think you broke the charter you promised to uphold, and we don't like it" at least.
1:06 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Consideration goes both ways. But ask yourself: who's suffered more so far in history? The society from - one bad apple spoils the entire barrel of apples? Or the individual from - the tyranny of the majority?
There can be more balance in the UN. As with any organization or club where some are members, and others at not. UN has a charter, in theory members subscribe to it voluntarily. UN has to decide: what to do with members that blatantly break the charter, but don't leave the UN. Obv they get something out of their membership - otherwise they'd have left. Individual abusing the collective if you like. :-)
UN could split the difference. Keep the charter breakers in the UN (stay inclusive as much as possible, keep the "global club of all of humanity" idea alive; don't repeat the League of Nations errors), but sanction them within the organization. E.g. - can't chair a committee, suspend voting rights and so on. Show them "we think you broke the charter you promised to uphold, and we don't like it" at least.
1:06 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839268723867189325
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - once you convince yourself that 8B will die, then anything goes. Killing 4B to save 4B - "fine". Even killing 8B-1 to save that 1 - "better than the alternative". TBH if he really believed what he preaches - he'd be blowing up data centers. But revealed preferences&all that
12:40 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - once you convince yourself that 8B will die, then anything goes. Killing 4B to save 4B - "fine". Even killing 8B-1 to save that 1 - "better than the alternative". TBH if he really believed what he preaches - he'd be blowing up data centers. But revealed preferences&all that
12:40 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839267848708932022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - QR better. I should not need a person tending to a need of mine, a person exchanging his time to help me (ultimately - under threat of hunger & homelessness), to make my life soulful in that way. Looks more "soulless" to have a wage slave spend his time on this, tbh.
12:36 PM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - QR better. I should not need a person tending to a need of mine, a person exchanging his time to help me (ultimately - under threat of hunger & homelessness), to make my life soulful in that way. Looks more "soulless" to have a wage slave spend his time on this, tbh.
12:36 PM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839228726048969061
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good off shot of that is that with people leaving, knowledge is also out of the door, knowledge spreads elsewhere, we get more players in the field. The more the merrier :-)
10:01 AM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good off shot of that is that with people leaving, knowledge is also out of the door, knowledge spreads elsewhere, we get more players in the field. The more the merrier :-)
10:01 AM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839219891041124517
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, and don't think you or anyone else can know either. Until we have some kind of Cliodynamics-Psychohistory history working, doubt much can be said with certainty about cause-consequence. Plus - complicated systems we observe of in nature, usually they have feedback loops, are push-pull, there is not one-way simple clear feed-forward cause-consequence. If anything, in absence of much knowledge (theory as well as data), a fair assumption would be: both, both cause and consequence, about everything. I admit not very useful, and the hardest to work with. Slavery - all empires had slaves, previously similar geography Roman (& successor Byzantine), none developed hockey stick graph above. Same for gold - all empires use precious metals in their money (=unit of measure, medium of exchange, store of value), none got the hockey stick.
9:26 AM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, and don't think you or anyone else can know either. Until we have some kind of Cliodynamics-Psychohistory history working, doubt much can be said with certainty about cause-consequence. Plus - complicated systems we observe of in nature, usually they have feedback loops, are push-pull, there is not one-way simple clear feed-forward cause-consequence. If anything, in absence of much knowledge (theory as well as data), a fair assumption would be: both, both cause and consequence, about everything. I admit not very useful, and the hardest to work with. Slavery - all empires had slaves, previously similar geography Roman (& successor Byzantine), none developed hockey stick graph above. Same for gold - all empires use precious metals in their money (=unit of measure, medium of exchange, store of value), none got the hockey stick.
9:26 AM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839088182643572774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
he is competent all right. the incompetents cd only possibly be pple paying him fees for 0 returns. but they are not really incompetent either, as they are buying other things I presume
12:42 AM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
he is competent all right. the incompetents cd only possibly be pple paying him fees for 0 returns. but they are not really incompetent either, as they are buying other things I presume
12:42 AM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839083348070903882
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - that's major. a minor angle there but relevant for our present: the medium shapes the message, and the messages we receive shape the ideas in our heads. we are living through changes cascading Internet->medium->messages->ideas->actions. TBS what happens
12:23 AM · Sep 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - that's major. a minor angle there but relevant for our present: the medium shapes the message, and the messages we receive shape the ideas in our heads. we are living through changes cascading Internet->medium->messages->ideas->actions. TBS what happens
12:23 AM · Sep 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839071721871065212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That ship has sailed. What's next is artificial wombs. Half human race carrying 12kg of baby+life support for 9mo in the belly will be considered barbaric. That will deal with population decline too. Then both sexes shd be expected to converge to a common middle of some sort.
11:37 PM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That ship has sailed. What's next is artificial wombs. Half human race carrying 12kg of baby+life support for 9mo in the belly will be considered barbaric. That will deal with population decline too. Then both sexes shd be expected to converge to a common middle of some sort.
11:37 PM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839059191907877288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For my taste "... the industrial & national liberal revolutions" is good enough description. Overthrowing the kings sort of happens about the same time, and in e.g. CE Europe where industrial revolution didn't happen, kings overthrowing also didn't happen.
10:47 PM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For my taste "... the industrial & national liberal revolutions" is good enough description. Overthrowing the kings sort of happens about the same time, and in e.g. CE Europe where industrial revolution didn't happen, kings overthrowing also didn't happen.
10:47 PM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1839055606910738476
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
national liberation - overthrowing the kings, reducing the powers of the monarchies, creating the nation states, parliamentary democracies of one sort of another. those sorts of things
10:33 PM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
national liberation - overthrowing the kings, reducing the powers of the monarchies, creating the nation states, parliamentary democracies of one sort of another. those sorts of things
10:33 PM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838927795663114444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
how is it that the most powerful people are scared of their own shadows? how can anyone at apple be scared of some dunderheaded activists? how does one get to rise so high in a hierarchical pyramid trampling over 1000s of people, yet be scared of random online lunatics?
2:05 PM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
how is it that the most powerful people are scared of their own shadows? how can anyone at apple be scared of some dunderheaded activists? how does one get to rise so high in a hierarchical pyramid trampling over 1000s of people, yet be scared of random online lunatics?
2:05 PM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838926159490290116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...failing that, the Uni shd make the minime polpot wannabe "hand wash his jeans and bed sheets" as a condition to his PhD viva. Now that wd make for some education worth having! @tudelft
@ 4"16' of Hans Rosling's "The magic washing machine" (2017): "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your yeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
1:58 PM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...failing that, the Uni shd make the minime polpot wannabe "hand wash his jeans and bed sheets" as a condition to his PhD viva. Now that wd make for some education worth having! @tudelft
@ 4"16' of Hans Rosling's "The magic washing machine" (2017): "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your yeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
1:58 PM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838893800619667482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and on the challenges of actually doing what "ought to be done" this by @CJFDillow
lays down the monumental challenges that are all politics and economy (the nowt forgotten "political economy" 😆), even if daring to propose a single simple recipe would be too much of an ask from anyone imo
https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2022/07/the-futility-of-economic-policy-debate.html
11:50 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and on the challenges of actually doing what "ought to be done" this by @CJFDillow
lays down the monumental challenges that are all politics and economy (the nowt forgotten "political economy" 😆), even if daring to propose a single simple recipe would be too much of an ask from anyone imo
https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2022/07/the-futility-of-economic-policy-debate.html
11:50 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838891200306188598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there's over fitting, but there's under fitting too; it's not one sided
11:40 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there's over fitting, but there's under fitting too; it's not one sided
11:40 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838888666183106815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tad self-serving that or what 😉 still there is truth to it, but it's self correcting: once AI moves too far, the ones opining end up talking b/s (stuff relevant aeons ago, but not any more), and the next generation of doers become talkers 😊 (in their golden years usually)
11:29 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tad self-serving that or what 😉 still there is truth to it, but it's self correcting: once AI moves too far, the ones opining end up talking b/s (stuff relevant aeons ago, but not any more), and the next generation of doers become talkers 😊 (in their golden years usually)
11:29 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838887725899862237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - only thing with that: that debt is owed to someone. The one in debit has a liability, but the one in credit has an asset. It's equally right to say: there are assets worth 330% of global GDP (nominally). There are no Martians involved, we owe everything to ourselves. And before you involve grandchildren inheriting our sins - same goes for them too. Some will inherit liabilities (debt), others will inherit assets (credit). Or if you prefer - there will be matching virtues for all sins inherited by the children off their parents. Zero is a mind bending concept.
11:26 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - only thing with that: that debt is owed to someone. The one in debit has a liability, but the one in credit has an asset. It's equally right to say: there are assets worth 330% of global GDP (nominally). There are no Martians involved, we owe everything to ourselves. And before you involve grandchildren inheriting our sins - same goes for them too. Some will inherit liabilities (debt), others will inherit assets (credit). Or if you prefer - there will be matching virtues for all sins inherited by the children off their parents. Zero is a mind bending concept.
11:26 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838886172132577517
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly. Sooner rather than latter AI companies will work out that when the public asks "please AI do X for me", and AI replies "I'm sorry, I can't do X for you now, it's against my rules", that AI Co.s can then go back to the public with "AI safetists are the reason the computer says NO". The public will happily apply pressure to their politicos, and them to their bureaucrats. It will take time for the scenario to play out, but as we see on the EU stupidly insane "regulation": the public don't have that much patience with the bureaucrats that donned the "AI safeist" clothes in the latest fashion change over. Good development that one imo. Previously NPCs wore green and worshiped at the feet of St Greta - always in tune with the latest fashions is part of their job description tbf. For all the disparagement of the public mental faculties - for things that matter to them and influence their lives, the general public is clued up sufficiently.
11:20 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly. Sooner rather than latter AI companies will work out that when the public asks "please AI do X for me", and AI replies "I'm sorry, I can't do X for you now, it's against my rules", that AI Co.s can then go back to the public with "AI safetists are the reason the computer says NO". The public will happily apply pressure to their politicos, and them to their bureaucrats. It will take time for the scenario to play out, but as we see on the EU stupidly insane "regulation": the public don't have that much patience with the bureaucrats that donned the "AI safeist" clothes in the latest fashion change over. Good development that one imo. Previously NPCs wore green and worshiped at the feet of St Greta - always in tune with the latest fashions is part of their job description tbf. For all the disparagement of the public mental faculties - for things that matter to them and influence their lives, the general public is clued up sufficiently.
11:20 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838875720950428083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I am not outsourced research agent dude. If you gave researched - do tell pls. I'm guessing public debt increased, but that also paid for bunch of stuff, a number of things magical in the sense of "advanced technology indistinguishable from magic". 🪄✨ R&D is expensive
10:38 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I am not outsourced research agent dude. If you gave researched - do tell pls. I'm guessing public debt increased, but that also paid for bunch of stuff, a number of things magical in the sense of "advanced technology indistinguishable from magic". 🪄✨ R&D is expensive
10:38 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838864505125601766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That disgusting budding mini-me Pol-Pot sd be made to "hand wash his jeans and bed sheets" (c.f. @ 4"16' of the Hans Rosling magic) until further notice, as a condition to his PhD Viva. 🤮 (alas can't imagine @tudelft weaklings doing the right thing here)
Highlight from "The magic washing machine" (2017): "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
9:53 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That disgusting budding mini-me Pol-Pot sd be made to "hand wash his jeans and bed sheets" (c.f. @ 4"16' of the Hans Rosling magic) until further notice, as a condition to his PhD Viva. 🤮 (alas can't imagine @tudelft weaklings doing the right thing here)
Highlight from "The magic washing machine" (2017): "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
9:53 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838858299699073459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The deep state bureaucrats are indeed running the show and creating facts on the ground (rather than - merely policing existing best practices), but only b/c politicians and legislators have relinquished responsibilities.
Walking backwards from that. They are too busy performing as circus acts, for the amusement and entertainment for the votes of the idiocracy they compete for, in tandem with dancing to the tunes of the SuperPac donors competing there for the $$$. Not an easy act that - one cd say a high wire circus act even! That's what Citizens United buys you. You can either have capable people, running b/c they think it's the right thing to do with their time, or you can have bought-and-sold puppets shivering whichever way the wind blows, forever seeking re-election and approval from both sides. Based on merit the best democracy money can buy is not.
Or rather - selects for the merits all right, but for the wrong merits, for bad traits, in your political class. Buying influence works for you short term in narrow sense, but is bad for yourself too (as is for all Americans) long term and in wider sense. This 2c from a foreign observer rando 1000s of miles distant and with no special knowledge of the US politics.
9:29 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The deep state bureaucrats are indeed running the show and creating facts on the ground (rather than - merely policing existing best practices), but only b/c politicians and legislators have relinquished responsibilities.
Walking backwards from that. They are too busy performing as circus acts, for the amusement and entertainment for the votes of the idiocracy they compete for, in tandem with dancing to the tunes of the SuperPac donors competing there for the $$$. Not an easy act that - one cd say a high wire circus act even! That's what Citizens United buys you. You can either have capable people, running b/c they think it's the right thing to do with their time, or you can have bought-and-sold puppets shivering whichever way the wind blows, forever seeking re-election and approval from both sides. Based on merit the best democracy money can buy is not.
Or rather - selects for the merits all right, but for the wrong merits, for bad traits, in your political class. Buying influence works for you short term in narrow sense, but is bad for yourself too (as is for all Americans) long term and in wider sense. This 2c from a foreign observer rando 1000s of miles distant and with no special knowledge of the US politics.
9:29 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838846809872957606
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good. The list of things they consider is long almost exhaustive. Most of the points have already been made, some by other people too (if you follow these things). While nothing there earth-shattering, it's good to see it all nicely laid out and reasoned about.
However. The report is thin on recommendations "What is to be done now?", or did I miss them really!? That really surprises me.
If I were to "what ought to be done" in two sentences: UK central gov is ultra centralized in Whitehall (#1) (almost Stalinist in that respect), and then that centralized power is further held in a strangle hold by the Treasury Brain - Deep State - OBR complex (#2). So together they are like Centralization^2.
Atm that ensures - #1 nothing can be done by anyone else, and #2 they've settled on "do nothing" b/c everything costs money, and #2 care disproportionally more about that cost, and much less about what capability assets etc that cost buys UK. Once nothing tangible is done, laziness is naturally encouraged, activity punished, and every promotion every jostling in the hierarchy becomes entirely a beauty contest, divorced from any real-word results. All this seen afar by outsider without any insider knowledge. Just listening to @RoryStewartUK and @Dominic2306 relying info about the inner workings of UK gov machine.
So any intervention wd have to come (walking backwards) into choke point #2, and or at choke point #1.
Choke point #2 means smashing the power of the Treasury. They are good servant, but a bad master, currently. No.10 (the PM) needs to re-assert itself over and above No.11 (the FinMin) by 1st-ly taking decision powers out of No.11 hands. No.10 would have to work much more on getting things done, take interest in that, and leave behind the media PR Circus it's totally devoted to atm. Just assume you will serve 1 term (or less!), drop the "permanent electioneering mode" (that nowadays the position goes into while in gov), don't think of re-election and try get stuff done, assuming you've run out of time. Can't see how a change like that can come but directly from the top, from the PM. Supported by legislation and votes to dismantle the 1000 roadblocks, via the political power of MPs voting in Parliament.
Choke point #1 means decentralization of power. UK used to have vigorous local authorities that could innovate in various ways. Admired once at the riches of local gov building in Birmingham. The idea that some pimply fresh graduate 20yo SpAd 120 miles away in London would be telling these people how many pencils they should buy I presume would have struck people running the City gov absurd, like a Monty Python sketch to us.
Mid-term UK needs to build another 10mil strong cities agglomeration, e.g. Liverpool - Manchester - Leeds - Sheffield - Hull, by connecting them with transport links, and building housing along the links for commuting whichever way people fancy. Increased value of the land b/c commute/jobs will finance the buildup itself. With Birmingham half-way between this new MegaCity and the old London. So London gets some competition, and raises its game too. Atm feels no acc/London but coasting because TINA. London cd e.g. respond by completing the Golden triangle (London-Oxford-Cambridge).
Ofc it's all good amusing ourselves with "what ought to". But power - decision making, financing - is out of the hands of the authors, and yours too. People that own UK, and run UK, don't come to us on X asking for advice. What can be done abt that is an entirely new can of worms, that the authors of the report cd maybe address in Part 2, in a sequel to the report. 😀
8:43 AM · Sep 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good. The list of things they consider is long almost exhaustive. Most of the points have already been made, some by other people too (if you follow these things). While nothing there earth-shattering, it's good to see it all nicely laid out and reasoned about.
However. The report is thin on recommendations "What is to be done now?", or did I miss them really!? That really surprises me.
If I were to "what ought to be done" in two sentences: UK central gov is ultra centralized in Whitehall (#1) (almost Stalinist in that respect), and then that centralized power is further held in a strangle hold by the Treasury Brain - Deep State - OBR complex (#2). So together they are like Centralization^2.
Atm that ensures - #1 nothing can be done by anyone else, and #2 they've settled on "do nothing" b/c everything costs money, and #2 care disproportionally more about that cost, and much less about what capability assets etc that cost buys UK. Once nothing tangible is done, laziness is naturally encouraged, activity punished, and every promotion every jostling in the hierarchy becomes entirely a beauty contest, divorced from any real-word results. All this seen afar by outsider without any insider knowledge. Just listening to @RoryStewartUK and @Dominic2306 relying info about the inner workings of UK gov machine.
So any intervention wd have to come (walking backwards) into choke point #2, and or at choke point #1.
Choke point #2 means smashing the power of the Treasury. They are good servant, but a bad master, currently. No.10 (the PM) needs to re-assert itself over and above No.11 (the FinMin) by 1st-ly taking decision powers out of No.11 hands. No.10 would have to work much more on getting things done, take interest in that, and leave behind the media PR Circus it's totally devoted to atm. Just assume you will serve 1 term (or less!), drop the "permanent electioneering mode" (that nowadays the position goes into while in gov), don't think of re-election and try get stuff done, assuming you've run out of time. Can't see how a change like that can come but directly from the top, from the PM. Supported by legislation and votes to dismantle the 1000 roadblocks, via the political power of MPs voting in Parliament.
Choke point #1 means decentralization of power. UK used to have vigorous local authorities that could innovate in various ways. Admired once at the riches of local gov building in Birmingham. The idea that some pimply fresh graduate 20yo SpAd 120 miles away in London would be telling these people how many pencils they should buy I presume would have struck people running the City gov absurd, like a Monty Python sketch to us.
Mid-term UK needs to build another 10mil strong cities agglomeration, e.g. Liverpool - Manchester - Leeds - Sheffield - Hull, by connecting them with transport links, and building housing along the links for commuting whichever way people fancy. Increased value of the land b/c commute/jobs will finance the buildup itself. With Birmingham half-way between this new MegaCity and the old London. So London gets some competition, and raises its game too. Atm feels no acc/London but coasting because TINA. London cd e.g. respond by completing the Golden triangle (London-Oxford-Cambridge).
Ofc it's all good amusing ourselves with "what ought to". But power - decision making, financing - is out of the hands of the authors, and yours too. People that own UK, and run UK, don't come to us on X asking for advice. What can be done abt that is an entirely new can of worms, that the authors of the report cd maybe address in Part 2, in a sequel to the report. 😀
8:43 AM · Sep 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838659625480052995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only NYC/US, in UK it's similar. Laziness aided by the natural dynamics the exists against doing stuff: excuses "why not" are easy to come with & plentiful, "how to" is rare & requires hard work. Things go wrong when I do them, and then I get blamed for it! And I can't feel clever too, with all the fails & disasters. Better and easier to sit on my hands, pontificate wisely, warn of difficulties & disasters, and I will never be wrong.
8:19 PM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only NYC/US, in UK it's similar. Laziness aided by the natural dynamics the exists against doing stuff: excuses "why not" are easy to come with & plentiful, "how to" is rare & requires hard work. Things go wrong when I do them, and then I get blamed for it! And I can't feel clever too, with all the fails & disasters. Better and easier to sit on my hands, pontificate wisely, warn of difficulties & disasters, and I will never be wrong.
8:19 PM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838657638441120218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This one too - goldbugism?? By Jove, IDK how it's even possible for a person to be wrong in so many different ways, all the time. Spherically wrong. By pure chance - you should have been right, about something? But no
8:11 PM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This one too - goldbugism?? By Jove, IDK how it's even possible for a person to be wrong in so many different ways, all the time. Spherically wrong. By pure chance - you should have been right, about something? But no
8:11 PM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838576740739809636
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ccc - da vi se cudi covek na pametot. Pa ne sum videl nekade pokompletna paralela od Rusija-Ukraina do Bugarija-Makedonija. Od drzavnost, nacija, teritorija, do jazik, istorija, etc. I ako SAD i zapadot mu recat na Putin "ja sakas? zemi ja!" denes, kolku vreme mislite ke pomine duri Bugarija ne i go napravi istoto na Makedonija? Toa sto sega Rusija i go pravi na Ukraina. Vo takava situacija, razumen makedonec bi navival za Ukraina. I da nema nisto drugo pravo-krivo, se drugo da e isto. (a ne e) Ama ne. Vie vo Plusinfo, vo tie vasi ludi glavi, kade svetot e izgleda svrten naopaku (kako nekoj "upside down world" vo "Stranger Things" serijata), si navivate za Rusija, na taa strana vi se simpatiite. Pa koga Rusija ke pobedi, i posle koga Bugarija (poddrzana od taa ista Rusija! tie im se klienti #1, a Srbija #2, na balkanite) ke zeme vas da ve perdashi, ke kukate kalimerovski kako taa nesreka od nebo da padnala, nichim izazvana. Kakvi crepovi nedodelkani, majko mila.
2:50 PM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ccc - da vi se cudi covek na pametot. Pa ne sum videl nekade pokompletna paralela od Rusija-Ukraina do Bugarija-Makedonija. Od drzavnost, nacija, teritorija, do jazik, istorija, etc. I ako SAD i zapadot mu recat na Putin "ja sakas? zemi ja!" denes, kolku vreme mislite ke pomine duri Bugarija ne i go napravi istoto na Makedonija? Toa sto sega Rusija i go pravi na Ukraina. Vo takava situacija, razumen makedonec bi navival za Ukraina. I da nema nisto drugo pravo-krivo, se drugo da e isto. (a ne e) Ama ne. Vie vo Plusinfo, vo tie vasi ludi glavi, kade svetot e izgleda svrten naopaku (kako nekoj "upside down world" vo "Stranger Things" serijata), si navivate za Rusija, na taa strana vi se simpatiite. Pa koga Rusija ke pobedi, i posle koga Bugarija (poddrzana od taa ista Rusija! tie im se klienti #1, a Srbija #2, na balkanite) ke zeme vas da ve perdashi, ke kukate kalimerovski kako taa nesreka od nebo da padnala, nichim izazvana. Kakvi crepovi nedodelkani, majko mila.
2:50 PM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838570298490167366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The intolerant right! The woke right if you like. Narcissistic toddler-level egos it turns out - both big and fragile??
Tolerance is the price we pay for freedom. And it's a cheap price! Tolerance is a good deal in the grand scheme of things. I dislike sth but I tolerate it-easy
2:24 PM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The intolerant right! The woke right if you like. Narcissistic toddler-level egos it turns out - both big and fragile??
Tolerance is the price we pay for freedom. And it's a cheap price! Tolerance is a good deal in the grand scheme of things. I dislike sth but I tolerate it-easy
2:24 PM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838531775225639005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Google works everywhere all the time for me. Zoom has not worked well for me recently. The default Zoom controls have been wrong every time (no video! no audio!) and since my usage dropped, I have to spend 2 mins hunting in the GUI to set them right. (while the meeting has started) After I finish telling Zoom which video feed, microphone, speakers to use, it seems it doesn't remember it? Has to be told again next time? Plus - thought setting "default" at OS level (Xubuntu) wd tell it what to use, but that has not consistently worked either.
11:51 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Google works everywhere all the time for me. Zoom has not worked well for me recently. The default Zoom controls have been wrong every time (no video! no audio!) and since my usage dropped, I have to spend 2 mins hunting in the GUI to set them right. (while the meeting has started) After I finish telling Zoom which video feed, microphone, speakers to use, it seems it doesn't remember it? Has to be told again next time? Plus - thought setting "default" at OS level (Xubuntu) wd tell it what to use, but that has not consistently worked either.
11:51 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838529503426932754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - "shrink the state so to drawn it in a bathtub", remember that one? Well - capabilities shrank, but the size stayed & expanded - a lot! (not unlike cancer). B/c if I'm not busy doing much work, with funds available, there is plenty of time and energy left to grow and grow and...
11:42 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - "shrink the state so to drawn it in a bathtub", remember that one? Well - capabilities shrank, but the size stayed & expanded - a lot! (not unlike cancer). B/c if I'm not busy doing much work, with funds available, there is plenty of time and energy left to grow and grow and...
11:42 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838520001344471390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just register an account on both. And actually on *all* platforms. Why not? It's free! 😃 Only cost is time and little effort - that we have aplenty witnessed by us posting here. 😇 It's ok for the account to stay inactive dormant. Even if for nothing else - but to reserve your favorite nickname login or even personal name?
That way everyone can re-create their social graph Follows-Followers. Redundancy is the mother of robustness, of risk reduction. 😆 This is not an exercise in punishment, we are not here to inflict suffering on no one (not even EM). We users are to preserve our user autonomy, our agency. Not to be railroaded by one platform, whomever the owner maybe be, whatever ideas s/he may have and changes institute.
The social graph Followers-Follows is what keeps us users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like flowing water, will be quickly re-created. Most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable. Once a social graph replica is in place, we users can switch posting to a new place much much easier. Or post same things on both. Or post different things, choose a platform most fitting the post. 😅 Something professional social media workers already do.
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switcheroo. (the value of the social network to us users lies in the interactions facilitated by the connections, and those grow with N^2 of us N.) But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible! - thing to happen, may happen? (Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style)
11:01 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just register an account on both. And actually on *all* platforms. Why not? It's free! 😃 Only cost is time and little effort - that we have aplenty witnessed by us posting here. 😇 It's ok for the account to stay inactive dormant. Even if for nothing else - but to reserve your favorite nickname login or even personal name?
That way everyone can re-create their social graph Follows-Followers. Redundancy is the mother of robustness, of risk reduction. 😆 This is not an exercise in punishment, we are not here to inflict suffering on no one (not even EM). We users are to preserve our user autonomy, our agency. Not to be railroaded by one platform, whomever the owner maybe be, whatever ideas s/he may have and changes institute.
The social graph Followers-Follows is what keeps us users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like flowing water, will be quickly re-created. Most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable. Once a social graph replica is in place, we users can switch posting to a new place much much easier. Or post same things on both. Or post different things, choose a platform most fitting the post. 😅 Something professional social media workers already do.
The "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switcheroo. (the value of the social network to us users lies in the interactions facilitated by the connections, and those grow with N^2 of us N.) But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible! - thing to happen, may happen? (Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style)
11:01 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838515686340972802
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't get why 1st thing pple think is "it's either-or". Why not both? Why not create an account to both? - it's free! 😃 It's free to create an account on any and all social networks. Only cost is time and little effort - that we have aplenty witnessed by us posting here. 😇 It's ok for it to stay inactive dormant. Even if for nothing else but to reserve your favorite nickname login or even personal name.
That way everyone can re-create their social graph Follows-Followers. Redundancy is the mother of robustness, of risk reduction. 😆 This is not an exercise in punishment, we are not here to inflict suffering on no one (not even EM). We users are to preserve our user autonomy, our agency. Not to be railroaded by one platform, whomever the owner maybe be, whatever ideas s/he may have and changes institute.
The social graph Followers-Follows is what keeps us users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like flowing water, will be quickly re-created. Most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable. Once a social graph replica is in place, we users can switch posting to a new place much much easier. Or post same things on both. Or post different things, choose a platform most fitting the post. 😅 Something professional social media workers already do.
10:47 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't get why 1st thing pple think is "it's either-or". Why not both? Why not create an account to both? - it's free! 😃 It's free to create an account on any and all social networks. Only cost is time and little effort - that we have aplenty witnessed by us posting here. 😇 It's ok for it to stay inactive dormant. Even if for nothing else but to reserve your favorite nickname login or even personal name.
That way everyone can re-create their social graph Follows-Followers. Redundancy is the mother of robustness, of risk reduction. 😆 This is not an exercise in punishment, we are not here to inflict suffering on no one (not even EM). We users are to preserve our user autonomy, our agency. Not to be railroaded by one platform, whomever the owner maybe be, whatever ideas s/he may have and changes institute.
The social graph Followers-Follows is what keeps us users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like flowing water, will be quickly re-created. Most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable. Once a social graph replica is in place, we users can switch posting to a new place much much easier. Or post same things on both. Or post different things, choose a platform most fitting the post. 😅 Something professional social media workers already do.
10:47 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838511234670313644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elmo was in full propagandist mode v.v. UK then, one man propaganda unit convincing millions of gullible americans and thrashing UK. Every "!!" and "concerning" forward of his I saw was forwarding a partial truth. And then someone else's 1st reply laid down the whole truth.
Along the lines of - "Yes, sentenced to 1yr, and yes, he posted something on FB. But no, he was not convicted for that. The judge convicted for throwing bricks at the police & setting a police van on fire. That the accused admitted to. So yes - no trial, just sentencing, b/c the accused admitted to the charge."
10:30 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elmo was in full propagandist mode v.v. UK then, one man propaganda unit convincing millions of gullible americans and thrashing UK. Every "!!" and "concerning" forward of his I saw was forwarding a partial truth. And then someone else's 1st reply laid down the whole truth.
Along the lines of - "Yes, sentenced to 1yr, and yes, he posted something on FB. But no, he was not convicted for that. The judge convicted for throwing bricks at the police & setting a police van on fire. That the accused admitted to. So yes - no trial, just sentencing, b/c the accused admitted to the charge."
10:30 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838506880823443899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah ok. So it will be like olden style "incognito anonymous free user", everything accessible but read only. Yeah, that's fine with me. I thought Mute was already that "I don't see you, but you can see me don't care" already, but apparently not. Thanks.
10:12 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah ok. So it will be like olden style "incognito anonymous free user", everything accessible but read only. Yeah, that's fine with me. I thought Mute was already that "I don't see you, but you can see me don't care" already, but apparently not. Thanks.
10:12 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838502972809998621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it's hard to have them built if they are not ordered. R-R are selling a non-trivial piece of machinery. So unlike say a pair of socks that are produced for yet unknown buyer, I presume these things must have a buyer at the point R-R starts making them. At least initially.
9:57 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it's hard to have them built if they are not ordered. R-R are selling a non-trivial piece of machinery. So unlike say a pair of socks that are produced for yet unknown buyer, I presume these things must have a buyer at the point R-R starts making them. At least initially.
9:57 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838501636873851288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 There's no need to leave anything, right? Why would it be? There is still free tier in X I thought? And Bsky and other platforms are free. We pay with our time, attention content create, but not $$$. And that's ok, that's why we are here for writing this. 😇
Nothing stopping anyone to create their user on any and all platforms out there. To reserve their favorite nickname if nothing else. That way we can replicate our social graph Follows-Followers on all platforms. Why not?? We have plenty of time on our hands, as evidenced by writing these posts. 😂
This is not an exercise in punishment, we are not here to inflict suffering on no one. We users are to preserve our user autonomy, our agency. Not to be railroaded by one platform, whomever the owner maybe be, whatever ideas s/he may have and changes institute.
9:52 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 There's no need to leave anything, right? Why would it be? There is still free tier in X I thought? And Bsky and other platforms are free. We pay with our time, attention content create, but not $$$. And that's ok, that's why we are here for writing this. 😇
Nothing stopping anyone to create their user on any and all platforms out there. To reserve their favorite nickname if nothing else. That way we can replicate our social graph Follows-Followers on all platforms. Why not?? We have plenty of time on our hands, as evidenced by writing these posts. 😂
This is not an exercise in punishment, we are not here to inflict suffering on no one. We users are to preserve our user autonomy, our agency. Not to be railroaded by one platform, whomever the owner maybe be, whatever ideas s/he may have and changes institute.
9:52 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838498693969842444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - ok, so half way block: I don't see theirs, but they see mine. Ok, I can live with that. But I thought that's what Mute was already?? Am I mistaken about current Mute? How does the new proposed half-block differ from current Mute? Maybe current Mute is they can reply to my posts, but I don't see the replies, whereas with new half-block they can't reply to or forward my post?
9:40 AM · Sep 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - ok, so half way block: I don't see theirs, but they see mine. Ok, I can live with that. But I thought that's what Mute was already?? Am I mistaken about current Mute? How does the new proposed half-block differ from current Mute? Maybe current Mute is they can reply to my posts, but I don't see the replies, whereas with new half-block they can't reply to or forward my post?
9:40 AM · Sep 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838343935942439082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never seen anyone ask for the proposal below: a random user to be able to shove their ideas into my brain, whether I like it or not, Clockwork Orange style. With X being the final arbiter in that, and not myself. This kind of stupidity is what competition is for. Everyone should re-create their social graph Follows-Followers on Bsky (closest user friendly) to the greatest extent possible asap. ("Sky Follower Bridge" helps a lot with that chore)
It's ok for it to stay inactive dormant. The social graph Followers-Follows is what keeps us users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like flowing water, will be quickly re-created. Most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable. Once a social graph replica is in place, we users can switch posting to a new place much easier.
True "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switcheroo. But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible! - thing to happen, may happen? (Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style) TBS
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 4h
Replying to @nima_owji
High time this happened.
The block function will block that account from engaging with, but not block seeing, public post.
Rate proposed Community Notes
11:25 PM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never seen anyone ask for the proposal below: a random user to be able to shove their ideas into my brain, whether I like it or not, Clockwork Orange style. With X being the final arbiter in that, and not myself. This kind of stupidity is what competition is for. Everyone should re-create their social graph Follows-Followers on Bsky (closest user friendly) to the greatest extent possible asap. ("Sky Follower Bridge" helps a lot with that chore)
It's ok for it to stay inactive dormant. The social graph Followers-Follows is what keeps us users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like flowing water, will be quickly re-created. Most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable. Once a social graph replica is in place, we users can switch posting to a new place much easier.
True "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switcheroo. But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible! - thing to happen, may happen? (Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style) TBS
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 4h
Replying to @nima_owji
High time this happened.
The block function will block that account from engaging with, but not block seeing, public post.
Rate proposed Community Notes
11:25 PM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838320444786839955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have seen 20 easy wins to improve user experience asked for in the Communities. Never ever seen anyone ask for the insane proposal above. So - a random user is going to be able to shove their ideas into my brain, whether I like it or not, Clockwork Orange style, and X is going to be the final arbiter in that, and not myself?? Well - this kind of stupidity is what competition is for. True "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switcheroo. But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible! - thing to happen, will happen? Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style? TBS
9:52 PM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have seen 20 easy wins to improve user experience asked for in the Communities. Never ever seen anyone ask for the insane proposal above. So - a random user is going to be able to shove their ideas into my brain, whether I like it or not, Clockwork Orange style, and X is going to be the final arbiter in that, and not myself?? Well - this kind of stupidity is what competition is for. True "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switcheroo. But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible! - thing to happen, will happen? Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style? TBS
9:52 PM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838319343215526274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have seen 20 easy wins to improve user experience asked for in the Communities. Never ever seen anyone ask for the insane proposal above. So someone is going to be able to shove their words into my brain, whether I like it or not, Clockwork Orange style, and X is going to be the final arbiter in that, and not myself?? Well - this kind of stupidity is what the competition is for. True "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switch. But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible - to happen, will happen, Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837785710843039899
9:47 PM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have seen 20 easy wins to improve user experience asked for in the Communities. Never ever seen anyone ask for the insane proposal above. So someone is going to be able to shove their words into my brain, whether I like it or not, Clockwork Orange style, and X is going to be the final arbiter in that, and not myself?? Well - this kind of stupidity is what the competition is for. True "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a switch. But with enough enshitification, maybe the hard - but not impossible - to happen, will happen, Rupert Murdoch's MySpace style.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837785710843039899
9:47 PM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838308599614906371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and best of all - the guy is entertaining as hell! 😆 Here on "... 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words world record" 😂 in "The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy" (@ 6')
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=360s
youtube.com
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
9:04 PM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and best of all - the guy is entertaining as hell! 😆 Here on "... 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words world record" 😂 in "The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy" (@ 6')
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=360s
youtube.com
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
9:04 PM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838236730513661980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tsk, tsk - less than patriotic conservatives? I'm shocked, shocked I tell you. Whatever next?? (profiting off a once in a generation virus via plunder of the public purse you say?? naah - no one wd do *that*!!) Thought that ‘Very interesting. Worth watching' jibe to the alt-history of the "Churchill bad, Hitler/Nazis not so bad" type by the Man from the High Castle would do it for the CON-s in the end?? No signs so far. Possibly busy "(not) paying their expenses, snorting coke and sodomising each other".
TBF "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a UK switch. The value of the social network to us users lies in the interactions facilitated by the connections, and those grow with N^2 of us N.
It's a very specific collective action problem. Social media natural monopoly network effect can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time. 1-by-1 Switcheroo is bound to fail. For Brazil users - the ban provided that sync. Ban that's now been lifted, I heard.
Comparing X:Bsky=100:10 millions of real users (assuming big X bot ratio), ratio 10, squared 100. Do I see as much interesting stuff on X in 1 day, as I see in Bsky in 3 months? Possibly - for me maybe the ratio is lower, but ~2 months seems realistic for me.
Given all the free time we have on our hands (evidenced by us writing this on X!), and given it's all free ($$$ wise), it's a mystery to me why doesn't every X user create a Bsky account. It's ok for it to stay inactive dormant. The "social graph" that is Followers-Follows is what keeps users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created. And most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. Once a social graph replica is in place, users just switching their posting to the new place is much much easier.
4:19 PM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tsk, tsk - less than patriotic conservatives? I'm shocked, shocked I tell you. Whatever next?? (profiting off a once in a generation virus via plunder of the public purse you say?? naah - no one wd do *that*!!) Thought that ‘Very interesting. Worth watching' jibe to the alt-history of the "Churchill bad, Hitler/Nazis not so bad" type by the Man from the High Castle would do it for the CON-s in the end?? No signs so far. Possibly busy "(not) paying their expenses, snorting coke and sodomising each other".
TBF "public Square N^2 iron law of network value" works against a UK switch. The value of the social network to us users lies in the interactions facilitated by the connections, and those grow with N^2 of us N.
It's a very specific collective action problem. Social media natural monopoly network effect can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time. 1-by-1 Switcheroo is bound to fail. For Brazil users - the ban provided that sync. Ban that's now been lifted, I heard.
Comparing X:Bsky=100:10 millions of real users (assuming big X bot ratio), ratio 10, squared 100. Do I see as much interesting stuff on X in 1 day, as I see in Bsky in 3 months? Possibly - for me maybe the ratio is lower, but ~2 months seems realistic for me.
Given all the free time we have on our hands (evidenced by us writing this on X!), and given it's all free ($$$ wise), it's a mystery to me why doesn't every X user create a Bsky account. It's ok for it to stay inactive dormant. The "social graph" that is Followers-Follows is what keeps users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created. And most posts are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. Once a social graph replica is in place, users just switching their posting to the new place is much much easier.
4:19 PM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838199641516409272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you! Yep, switcheroo 1-by-1 individually is not possible, for that exact reason - the one Social Network captures your social graph, your Follows-Followers. Changing means losing that, and that is *almost everything* in a social network.
(see https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838143405714530657)
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838143405714530657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
Replying to @atonb117 and @esjesjesj
Yeah that wd be good. The "social graph" that is Followers-Follows is what keeps users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. There is a browser
Show more
1:52 PM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you! Yep, switcheroo 1-by-1 individually is not possible, for that exact reason - the one Social Network captures your social graph, your Follows-Followers. Changing means losing that, and that is *almost everything* in a social network.
(see https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838143405714530657)
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838143405714530657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
Replying to @atonb117 and @esjesjesj
Yeah that wd be good. The "social graph" that is Followers-Follows is what keeps users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. There is a browser
Show more
1:52 PM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838180864024350928
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Long tradition that, but progress still! The cost of change used to be "ostracized, thrown out of the profession and dying in a lunatics asylum" (https://perplexity.ai/search/what-was-the-name-of-the-hunga-81qTegFeRFuow.afa_6HiQ#0), but we have now moved in our times to "ignore as long as you can until overwhelming evidence" (https://perplexity.ai/search/what-was-the-name-of-the-austr-B2kpArvLSUOjyFO5496A4g). Plus in modern times we manage to recognize the achievement in their lifetimes and give them a Nobel. Better than driving them insane and destitute.
It's a tough cookie, designing the system. On one hand, 99.9% of things newly proposed are wrong and or bad (with a lots of insane stuff there too). But advances and improvements can only come from the 0.1% that are against the consensus, and are right too!
There are plenty of lunatics in the medical profession, as there are in any other profession (mine included) and the wider society too. That's why we have self-regulating professional bodies that regulate licensing and mandate standard treatments for standard ills with almost military discipline and hierarchy. B/c left alone for any doctor to do as they think in their crazy head - that is a recipe for a billion disasters.
From perplexity.ai
12:37 PM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Long tradition that, but progress still! The cost of change used to be "ostracized, thrown out of the profession and dying in a lunatics asylum" (https://perplexity.ai/search/what-was-the-name-of-the-hunga-81qTegFeRFuow.afa_6HiQ#0), but we have now moved in our times to "ignore as long as you can until overwhelming evidence" (https://perplexity.ai/search/what-was-the-name-of-the-austr-B2kpArvLSUOjyFO5496A4g). Plus in modern times we manage to recognize the achievement in their lifetimes and give them a Nobel. Better than driving them insane and destitute.
It's a tough cookie, designing the system. On one hand, 99.9% of things newly proposed are wrong and or bad (with a lots of insane stuff there too). But advances and improvements can only come from the 0.1% that are against the consensus, and are right too!
There are plenty of lunatics in the medical profession, as there are in any other profession (mine included) and the wider society too. That's why we have self-regulating professional bodies that regulate licensing and mandate standard treatments for standard ills with almost military discipline and hierarchy. B/c left alone for any doctor to do as they think in their crazy head - that is a recipe for a billion disasters.
From perplexity.ai
12:37 PM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838143405714530657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah that wd be good. The "social graph" that is Followers-Follows is what keeps users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. There is a browser extension addon that works well - see
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837930479921533385
10:08 AM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah that wd be good. The "social graph" that is Followers-Follows is what keeps users locked in a social network. Not the posts. Posts are like a flowing water, are quickly re-created, and most are time-events-sensitive anyway, non transplantable in content. There is a browser extension addon that works well - see
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837930479921533385
10:08 AM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838132702421143989
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hi @RayDalio did you really truly say "one man’s debts are another man’s liabilities" here
https://dailyhodl.com/2024/09/21/billionaire-ray-dalio-says-35327646622839-us-national-debt-will-not-reverse-heres-his-outlook/
?? Or is the journalist inventing something? Checking for a friend who thinks "one men's debts are *his* liabilities, and another man's assets".
From dailyhodl.com
9:26 AM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hi @RayDalio did you really truly say "one man’s debts are another man’s liabilities" here
https://dailyhodl.com/2024/09/21/billionaire-ray-dalio-says-35327646622839-us-national-debt-will-not-reverse-heres-his-outlook/
?? Or is the journalist inventing something? Checking for a friend who thinks "one men's debts are *his* liabilities, and another man's assets".
From dailyhodl.com
9:26 AM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838131584072912907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 ok, that one is a defo a keeper - "one man’s debts are another man’s liabilities"! would not have occurred to me.
hey @RayDalio
, did you really truly say "one man’s debts are another man’s liabilities"???
9:21 AM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 ok, that one is a defo a keeper - "one man’s debts are another man’s liabilities"! would not have occurred to me.
hey @RayDalio
, did you really truly say "one man’s debts are another man’s liabilities"???
9:21 AM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838129079003865355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and the Feeds (posting them b/c lacking them on X, where only "For You" and "Following" exist, it's not easy to comprehend) look like on the pic below. I miss most on X "Mutuals", "FollowersLike", "Popular with Friends" and "Quiet Posters". The last one is esp good for improving the SNR of the TL. On the theory of "all people have about the same amount to say, those that speak less often, pack more in their one message". 😂
One can create own Feed should one want to. There are two levels. Easy user level create is equivalent to a search query (on XPro equvalent wd be Column in a deck). The developer level is more involved not for the avg user like myself. More at https://perplexity.ai/search/feeds-on-bluesky-can-any-user-8AW4f3MEQQ2o3TNHYavqtQ#0
Image
9:11 AM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and the Feeds (posting them b/c lacking them on X, where only "For You" and "Following" exist, it's not easy to comprehend) look like on the pic below. I miss most on X "Mutuals", "FollowersLike", "Popular with Friends" and "Quiet Posters". The last one is esp good for improving the SNR of the TL. On the theory of "all people have about the same amount to say, those that speak less often, pack more in their one message". 😂
One can create own Feed should one want to. There are two levels. Easy user level create is equivalent to a search query (on XPro equvalent wd be Column in a deck). The developer level is more involved not for the avg user like myself. More at https://perplexity.ai/search/feeds-on-bluesky-can-any-user-8AW4f3MEQQ2o3TNHYavqtQ#0
Image
9:11 AM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838109058043187655
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 nope - so you wannabe be using it! 😉 who wants to be a member of a club that has everyone a member already?? 🤣
7:52 AM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 nope - so you wannabe be using it! 😉 who wants to be a member of a club that has everyone a member already?? 🤣
7:52 AM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1838036381362176352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CICO obv true but as much help as "just say NO" to sex, drugs, alcohol etc. Persistent +ve bias in regulation e.g. 1 apple surplus ≈ 90 kcal ≈ 10 gr fat/day x 365 days ≈ 3 kg fat/year x 10 years ≈ 30 kg extra in 10 yrs => obese. Most people takes them 20-30 yrs to become obese post-youth => error is 3 times less ≈ 30 kcal. Error of 30 kcal is 2% of daily average 1500 kcal. So a persistent +2% error in the neural circuit prediction of how much to use v.s how much to store results in obesity. Error in the other direction -2% wd likely result in death => can't happen.
3:03 AM · Sep 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CICO obv true but as much help as "just say NO" to sex, drugs, alcohol etc. Persistent +ve bias in regulation e.g. 1 apple surplus ≈ 90 kcal ≈ 10 gr fat/day x 365 days ≈ 3 kg fat/year x 10 years ≈ 30 kg extra in 10 yrs => obese. Most people takes them 20-30 yrs to become obese post-youth => error is 3 times less ≈ 30 kcal. Error of 30 kcal is 2% of daily average 1500 kcal. So a persistent +2% error in the neural circuit prediction of how much to use v.s how much to store results in obesity. Error in the other direction -2% wd likely result in death => can't happen.
3:03 AM · Sep 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837930479921533385
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My Bsky https://bsky.app experience. The Feeds feature is a clear win over X. It's like having user-defined "For You" and "Following" feeds (that X lacks). There are like 10 versions of those with various tweaks (supplied by Bsky). On the other hand, going back to short/original length posts and having to chain long post like this one as 1/ 2/ ... etc parts is annoying having now got used to longer X posts.
The big thing is re-creating your social graph follows-followers. It's painful manual work, I could find like 1/5-th of the people here. Even when people register acc on Bsky, they will not be posting much there, so temper your expectation. 😑 The "Sky Follower Bridge" browser extension eases that chore by a factor of 100. It worked very very well. I did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky . It looks like in the pic below in operation. Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of accounts list, works too for members of Lists! (if you have them - I do)
Image
8:02 PM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My Bsky https://bsky.app experience. The Feeds feature is a clear win over X. It's like having user-defined "For You" and "Following" feeds (that X lacks). There are like 10 versions of those with various tweaks (supplied by Bsky). On the other hand, going back to short/original length posts and having to chain long post like this one as 1/ 2/ ... etc parts is annoying having now got used to longer X posts.
The big thing is re-creating your social graph follows-followers. It's painful manual work, I could find like 1/5-th of the people here. Even when people register acc on Bsky, they will not be posting much there, so temper your expectation. 😑 The "Sky Follower Bridge" browser extension eases that chore by a factor of 100. It worked very very well. I did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky . It looks like in the pic below in operation. Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of accounts list, works too for members of Lists! (if you have them - I do)
Image
8:02 PM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837917612078231975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Oh yeah, definitively!! I like (and contribute) to the Community Notes, it's truly "maths made good for common good", love that! 🥰 Think @VitalikButerin had a great explanation both about the idea ("people that disagree in the past on many issues, but agree on this one") as well as the math of the implementation (SVD - singular value decomposition of some matrix; TODO self - track down the exact model).
Community Notes is something Bsky should defo think of implementing. Moderation only gets you so far, as: 1) it has got group think fail built in 2) doesn't scale, not easily scaled up to 1B (now) or 10B (tomorrow) or 100B posts per day (future; when bots agents contribute much more than us pple). Moderation has a positive that it's low latency. So it's not either-or - it's both.
7:11 PM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Oh yeah, definitively!! I like (and contribute) to the Community Notes, it's truly "maths made good for common good", love that! 🥰 Think @VitalikButerin had a great explanation both about the idea ("people that disagree in the past on many issues, but agree on this one") as well as the math of the implementation (SVD - singular value decomposition of some matrix; TODO self - track down the exact model).
Community Notes is something Bsky should defo think of implementing. Moderation only gets you so far, as: 1) it has got group think fail built in 2) doesn't scale, not easily scaled up to 1B (now) or 10B (tomorrow) or 100B posts per day (future; when bots agents contribute much more than us pple). Moderation has a positive that it's low latency. So it's not either-or - it's both.
7:11 PM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837898381584142727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 You're right there, rereading now, my wording is imprecise. I'd edit gladly - but not possible?? I don't see Edit option in the menu? Somehow I thought that in the past Edit was impossible - but now it was actually possible to edit own posts. Seems I was wrong abt that too?
5:54 PM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 You're right there, rereading now, my wording is imprecise. I'd edit gladly - but not possible?? I don't see Edit option in the menu? Somehow I thought that in the past Edit was impossible - but now it was actually possible to edit own posts. Seems I was wrong abt that too?
5:54 PM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837895717068615860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't know about Counter Social - what's that?
I tried Mastodon on the last X bustup. That's passable for a computer person, reminds me of earlier DIY Internet. But Mastodon will not do for normies - and neither do they aspire to. In comparison - Bsky is a much more polished product.
But it doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things "which 2nd place", as long as one has "a 2nd place" to fallback to. B/c Bsky being owned by whomever today, tomorrow maybe owned by Musk, or Zuck, or the current owners may decide that want to be Media Moguls/Celebrities, get into politics turn it into their personal propaganda tool etc. Anything is possible.
It's prudent for us users to have a copy of our social graph. The *social graph* is the stuff that matters! Especially considering registering to another site costs zero $$$. Only a bit of effort on us, users, in our idle time. Time we have a-plenty, given we're here on X, myself writing this. 😂😂
5:44 PM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't know about Counter Social - what's that?
I tried Mastodon on the last X bustup. That's passable for a computer person, reminds me of earlier DIY Internet. But Mastodon will not do for normies - and neither do they aspire to. In comparison - Bsky is a much more polished product.
But it doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things "which 2nd place", as long as one has "a 2nd place" to fallback to. B/c Bsky being owned by whomever today, tomorrow maybe owned by Musk, or Zuck, or the current owners may decide that want to be Media Moguls/Celebrities, get into politics turn it into their personal propaganda tool etc. Anything is possible.
It's prudent for us users to have a copy of our social graph. The *social graph* is the stuff that matters! Especially considering registering to another site costs zero $$$. Only a bit of effort on us, users, in our idle time. Time we have a-plenty, given we're here on X, myself writing this. 😂😂
5:44 PM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837875518764732805
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - "public Square N^2 iron law of network value". The network value to us N users increases with the square of N (increase), increases with with N^2, as the value is in the connections (that grow with N^2).
Current users approx (assuming lots of X bots) millions X:Bsky=100:10 users, a ratio of 10, squared that's 100. I'm both on Bsky and X. What I see on X in 1 day in terms of value takes 100 days to see the same on Bsky (~ three months?). That's approx true in my experience.
So one user switching is never going to work. Millions of users need to switch contemporaneously *at the same time*. Like Brazilians did by the force of circumstance. :-) Then the switch will work.
Bsky experience - the Feeds feature is a clear win over X. It's like having user-defined "For You" and "Following" feeds (that X lacks). Going back to short/original length posts and having to chain long post like this one as 1/ 2/ 3/ etc parts is annoying tbh. 😄
4:24 PM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - "public Square N^2 iron law of network value". The network value to us N users increases with the square of N (increase), increases with with N^2, as the value is in the connections (that grow with N^2).
Current users approx (assuming lots of X bots) millions X:Bsky=100:10 users, a ratio of 10, squared that's 100. I'm both on Bsky and X. What I see on X in 1 day in terms of value takes 100 days to see the same on Bsky (~ three months?). That's approx true in my experience.
So one user switching is never going to work. Millions of users need to switch contemporaneously *at the same time*. Like Brazilians did by the force of circumstance. :-) Then the switch will work.
Bsky experience - the Feeds feature is a clear win over X. It's like having user-defined "For You" and "Following" feeds (that X lacks). Going back to short/original length posts and having to chain long post like this one as 1/ 2/ 3/ etc parts is annoying tbh. 😄
4:24 PM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837837373473726885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hello @afneil - making sure you don't miss the latest news this "morning again in America" 😅 It wouldn't hurt for UK to swallow its pride, take the last 3yrs BBB lessons onboard, ditch the Treasury Brain-Deep State -OBR lazy decels and start building again.
Image
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823449265085276432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 13
Replying to @ljupc0 and @afneil
Not all fail, success here, moar AI chips ftw 😁 -
https://x.com/AgatheDemarais/status/1823298456321949935
1:52 PM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hello @afneil - making sure you don't miss the latest news this "morning again in America" 😅 It wouldn't hurt for UK to swallow its pride, take the last 3yrs BBB lessons onboard, ditch the Treasury Brain-Deep State -OBR lazy decels and start building again.
Image
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823449265085276432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 13
Replying to @ljupc0 and @afneil
Not all fail, success here, moar AI chips ftw 😁 -
https://x.com/AgatheDemarais/status/1823298456321949935
1:52 PM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837834258288636314
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have no doubt that political machinations & power plays were played out, with no saints there. Just don't want Musk nor anyone else holding monopoly power over me. Social networks are a natural monopoly, what's true of Musk is true of Zuck & the rest.
All power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely. Musk has amassed a lot of power, by virtue of being competent, energetic, getting things done, being in the right place at the right time, lots of luck etc. Still - TINA is bad, alternatives and competition are good.
1:40 PM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have no doubt that political machinations & power plays were played out, with no saints there. Just don't want Musk nor anyone else holding monopoly power over me. Social networks are a natural monopoly, what's true of Musk is true of Zuck & the rest.
All power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely. Musk has amassed a lot of power, by virtue of being competent, energetic, getting things done, being in the right place at the right time, lots of luck etc. Still - TINA is bad, alternatives and competition are good.
1:40 PM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837804022926868544
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? It's free in $$$ terms no money fee required to be paid. We pay indirectly with our attention, the data we share, the content we create. Why take my word - head off to https://bsky.app and see for yourself. It takes less time than the time it took to write this.
11:39 AM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
?? It's free in $$$ terms no money fee required to be paid. We pay indirectly with our attention, the data we share, the content we create. Why take my word - head off to https://bsky.app and see for yourself. It takes less time than the time it took to write this.
11:39 AM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837785710843039899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Competition is great, lesson 112. 😆 Every one of us on X should
1) open an account with Bsky - it's free ffs, you lose nothing! and
2) re-create your social graph follows-followers; painful manual work, but at least one great AddOn exists (Sky Follower Bridge) that eases the chore by a factor of x100
Switch over is hard and not completely desirable anyway. Don't want to replace one brute monopoly with another one! Social Square networks N^2 iron law of value ensures what one gets from X in 1 day, takes 1 about month on Bsky (currently). Any crossover will be slow.
Everyone non-Musk should want to have alternative. Better for us - but better for Musk too! Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupt sooner rather than latter by the daily adulation of millions of people!
One can say - it's on him, he's the one pursuing a Media Mogul Celebrity combo for own fun and fame, and bought a megaphone 📣 for himself to get heard by millions. True that but still - it's affecting us, it's on us to seek avoiding being TINA cornered. Bsky is one such route out! Free, easy, fun even - something new to try! exciting even! - and everyone should take the opportunity. 😃
Quote
https://x.com/esjesjesj/status/1837600678367084614
evan loves worf @esjesjesj · 12h
Let me summarize exactly how Elon showed his entire ass here 🧵:
-Brazil asked Elon to ban 7 fascist accounts spreading disinformation
-Elon refused pretending it was a free speech issue even though he complied multiple times with similar requests from right wing govts
Show this thread
10:27 AM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Competition is great, lesson 112. 😆 Every one of us on X should
1) open an account with Bsky - it's free ffs, you lose nothing! and
2) re-create your social graph follows-followers; painful manual work, but at least one great AddOn exists (Sky Follower Bridge) that eases the chore by a factor of x100
Switch over is hard and not completely desirable anyway. Don't want to replace one brute monopoly with another one! Social Square networks N^2 iron law of value ensures what one gets from X in 1 day, takes 1 about month on Bsky (currently). Any crossover will be slow.
Everyone non-Musk should want to have alternative. Better for us - but better for Musk too! Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupt sooner rather than latter by the daily adulation of millions of people!
One can say - it's on him, he's the one pursuing a Media Mogul Celebrity combo for own fun and fame, and bought a megaphone 📣 for himself to get heard by millions. True that but still - it's affecting us, it's on us to seek avoiding being TINA cornered. Bsky is one such route out! Free, easy, fun even - something new to try! exciting even! - and everyone should take the opportunity. 😃
Quote
https://x.com/esjesjesj/status/1837600678367084614
evan loves worf @esjesjesj · 12h
Let me summarize exactly how Elon showed his entire ass here 🧵:
-Brazil asked Elon to ban 7 fascist accounts spreading disinformation
-Elon refused pretending it was a free speech issue even though he complied multiple times with similar requests from right wing govts
Show this thread
10:27 AM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837782047944777885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! I used "Sky Follower Bridge" extension, worked very well. Did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky . Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of accounts list, works too for members of Lists! (if you have them - I do)
Image
10:12 AM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! I used "Sky Follower Bridge" extension, worked very well. Did as described in https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky . Tips - bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel speeds it up, can re-start from middle of accounts list, works too for members of Lists! (if you have them - I do)
Image
10:12 AM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837772670865166755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Competition is great, 😃 lesson 112. 👍 Everyone of us on X should:
1) open an account with Bsky - it's free ffs! you lose nothing; and
2) re-create their social graph follows-followers - painful manual work, but at least one great AddOn exists that eases that chore by a factor of 100.
Switch over is hard and not completely desirable anyway - we don't want to replace one brute monopoly with another one! Social-anything public Square N^2 iron law of network value ensures what one gets from X in 1 day, will take 1 about month on Bsky currently. So any crossover will be slow.
Everyone non-Musk should want to have alternative. Better for us - but better for Musk too! Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people!
One can say - it's on him, he's the one pursuing a Media Mogul strategy, and building a megaphone 📣 for himself to get heard by millions. True but still - it's affecting us, it's on us to seek avoiding being TINA cornered, and Bsky is one such route. Free, easy, fun even - try something new! exciting - everyone should take it. 😁
9:35 AM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Competition is great, 😃 lesson 112. 👍 Everyone of us on X should:
1) open an account with Bsky - it's free ffs! you lose nothing; and
2) re-create their social graph follows-followers - painful manual work, but at least one great AddOn exists that eases that chore by a factor of 100.
Switch over is hard and not completely desirable anyway - we don't want to replace one brute monopoly with another one! Social-anything public Square N^2 iron law of network value ensures what one gets from X in 1 day, will take 1 about month on Bsky currently. So any crossover will be slow.
Everyone non-Musk should want to have alternative. Better for us - but better for Musk too! Even an angel 😇 will have their character corrupted by the daily adulation of millions of people!
One can say - it's on him, he's the one pursuing a Media Mogul strategy, and building a megaphone 📣 for himself to get heard by millions. True but still - it's affecting us, it's on us to seek avoiding being TINA cornered, and Bsky is one such route. Free, easy, fun even - try something new! exciting - everyone should take it. 😁
9:35 AM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837732900457869538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! Amen! This insight can not be exclaimed highly enough. If only it could be tattooed forever on the brains of every D.
6:57 AM · Sep 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! Amen! This insight can not be exclaimed highly enough. If only it could be tattooed forever on the brains of every D.
6:57 AM · Sep 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837616327311204761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe The_Scout_Mindset_-_Julia_Galef.pdf ? I remember The_Signal_and_the_Noise_Why_So_Many_Predictions_Fail_but_Some_Dont_-_Nate_Silver.pdf as better than most when it comes to trading forecasting. But then most written on that is the pits. (those in the know don't talk etc)
11:14 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe The_Scout_Mindset_-_Julia_Galef.pdf ? I remember The_Signal_and_the_Noise_Why_So_Many_Predictions_Fail_but_Some_Dont_-_Nate_Silver.pdf as better than most when it comes to trading forecasting. But then most written on that is the pits. (those in the know don't talk etc)
11:14 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837613763505135961
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any number of holes can be picked in that map, but then "culture" is sufficiently subjective, so to be "whatever is in the head of person of 1" (yourself), "at a moment in time". But then your knowledge and reasoning in the replies is just inadequate, weak, no rime nor reason. Someone gave the map the epithet "hitlerian", and after reading your replies - there seems to be some truth to that.
11:03 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any number of holes can be picked in that map, but then "culture" is sufficiently subjective, so to be "whatever is in the head of person of 1" (yourself), "at a moment in time". But then your knowledge and reasoning in the replies is just inadequate, weak, no rime nor reason. Someone gave the map the epithet "hitlerian", and after reading your replies - there seems to be some truth to that.
11:03 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837591309000794473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes we can be respectful, but "don't have a clue" looks to me disrespectful. I respond in kind - tit-for-tat is a fine cooperative strategy actually.
I didn't mean "repeatedly holidayed". I made a small slight of his trip, to make the point that ideologically Corbyn has been stuck in 1980s DDR, like in a ground hog day type time loop. He's still in his ideology as if 1990s and the collapse of the Communist ideology never happened. His wing of the party hasn't updated their views. We have had IT then Internet now AI revolutions. Our societies have changed beyond recognition in our lifetimes. Communism as imagined by Corbyn failed in reality at all times, in all geographies, and by varying cultures that have all tried it in some form. Maybe that's enough trying that particular idea. You bring Blair-Starmer as if I advocate for them. I don't. In addition to the communism and neoliberalism (that failed in GFC'08 and has been failing for the following 15yrs too!), there are other ideas out there, and even other ideologies! You don't have to chose one of these two - there is much much more out there. And all accessible nowadays - with everything online, incl people communities online - as never before.
9:34 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes we can be respectful, but "don't have a clue" looks to me disrespectful. I respond in kind - tit-for-tat is a fine cooperative strategy actually.
I didn't mean "repeatedly holidayed". I made a small slight of his trip, to make the point that ideologically Corbyn has been stuck in 1980s DDR, like in a ground hog day type time loop. He's still in his ideology as if 1990s and the collapse of the Communist ideology never happened. His wing of the party hasn't updated their views. We have had IT then Internet now AI revolutions. Our societies have changed beyond recognition in our lifetimes. Communism as imagined by Corbyn failed in reality at all times, in all geographies, and by varying cultures that have all tried it in some form. Maybe that's enough trying that particular idea. You bring Blair-Starmer as if I advocate for them. I don't. In addition to the communism and neoliberalism (that failed in GFC'08 and has been failing for the following 15yrs too!), there are other ideas out there, and even other ideologies! You don't have to chose one of these two - there is much much more out there. And all accessible nowadays - with everything online, incl people communities online - as never before.
9:34 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837546884631564590
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
say when and take a bet you whiner
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FiatMoney-debt-limit-1941.jpg
FiatMoney-debt-limit-1937.jpeg
6:38 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
say when and take a bet you whiner
Image
FiatMoney-debt-limit-1941.jpg
FiatMoney-debt-limit-1937.jpeg
6:38 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837502180783186422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and I presume yourself you are all clued up, but the clues shall remain a mystery to us mortals, as you well not deign to indulge us in the nuggets of your wisdoms. Tough luck on our part. 😭
3:40 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and I presume yourself you are all clued up, but the clues shall remain a mystery to us mortals, as you well not deign to indulge us in the nuggets of your wisdoms. Tough luck on our part. 😭
3:40 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837501343960817949
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another Nokia in the making - what spectacle, darkly amusing. VW need a software person in charge. This is "software eating the world, manifest". They're making something that's more than a car as they know it. For the car part they have the knowledge - fine. Now they need a CEO that knows about the extra part that was not in yesterdays cars, but for sure is part of tomorrows cars. They need a CEO that has programmed himself, knows software development, and that can bring in a team with him that will replace existing heads (all to be fired asap) of departments and execute on a "software everywhere all the time" vision.
3:37 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another Nokia in the making - what spectacle, darkly amusing. VW need a software person in charge. This is "software eating the world, manifest". They're making something that's more than a car as they know it. For the car part they have the knowledge - fine. Now they need a CEO that knows about the extra part that was not in yesterdays cars, but for sure is part of tomorrows cars. They need a CEO that has programmed himself, knows software development, and that can bring in a team with him that will replace existing heads (all to be fired asap) of departments and execute on a "software everywhere all the time" vision.
3:37 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837494310456955083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @TPMTUDelft - how about you setup some field work for your budding Pol Pot wannabe @aashisjo , and have him "hand wash his jeans and bed sheets" (c.f. @ 4"16') as a condition to his PhD Viva.
You owe it to your students to have them watch the late Hans Rosling on this - video enclosed for your convenience. (what international treasure he was)
Too bad your funding agency won't heed degrowers cries and defund this insane genocidal cult you got going in the department it seems.
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
3:09 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @TPMTUDelft - how about you setup some field work for your budding Pol Pot wannabe @aashisjo , and have him "hand wash his jeans and bed sheets" (c.f. @ 4"16') as a condition to his PhD Viva.
You owe it to your students to have them watch the late Hans Rosling on this - video enclosed for your convenience. (what international treasure he was)
Too bad your funding agency won't heed degrowers cries and defund this insane genocidal cult you got going in the department it seems.
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
3:09 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837486617642123464
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Won't help - cowards never run out of excuses for their cowardly behaviour. There's always another thing to be afraid of, that "forces" a coward to act like one.
2:38 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Won't help - cowards never run out of excuses for their cowardly behaviour. There's always another thing to be afraid of, that "forces" a coward to act like one.
2:38 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837448991950180640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think candidates that you might have in mind maybe in short supply, even non-exhistant. I will not ask why don't you give it a try. Rory Stewart @RoryStewartUK and Dominic Cummings @Dominic2306 have given several long interviews, written a book and blog posts, about the problems of our political system, including the incentives, the calibre of people the system attracts, how it trains and funnels the intakes, the powers dynamics how ones up others down etc. If this is of interest to you - I'm ok to look them up. But you too can easily find them on YouTube and Internet in general.
12:09 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think candidates that you might have in mind maybe in short supply, even non-exhistant. I will not ask why don't you give it a try. Rory Stewart @RoryStewartUK and Dominic Cummings @Dominic2306 have given several long interviews, written a book and blog posts, about the problems of our political system, including the incentives, the calibre of people the system attracts, how it trains and funnels the intakes, the powers dynamics how ones up others down etc. If this is of interest to you - I'm ok to look them up. But you too can easily find them on YouTube and Internet in general.
12:09 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837446762446864768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everything I assume - as there's an empty middle, a void where an idea should be. The idea "lie down and die" is spherically wrong and bad - so it's proponents can't advocate any aspect of it. So the "research" has to be a beauty contest of vaguely sounding value propositions by necessity. In a sane world, all funding agencies would defund all that from-valueless to-outright crazy activity and allocate resources elsewhere. The aspiring PolPots in the field can then do some self financing field work in the fields (corn, maze etc) putting in their own personal practice their insane ideas. I'm sure they - and by extension us - would learn much more with that "research".
12:00 PM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everything I assume - as there's an empty middle, a void where an idea should be. The idea "lie down and die" is spherically wrong and bad - so it's proponents can't advocate any aspect of it. So the "research" has to be a beauty contest of vaguely sounding value propositions by necessity. In a sane world, all funding agencies would defund all that from-valueless to-outright crazy activity and allocate resources elsewhere. The aspiring PolPots in the field can then do some self financing field work in the fields (corn, maze etc) putting in their own personal practice their insane ideas. I'm sure they - and by extension us - would learn much more with that "research".
12:00 PM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837442590183924153
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of the motivations - yes, but other factors are at play too. To seek the impossible, to basically require real people to be angels, means to exclude everyone real. Even worse - who are the people that will think and or claim they are angels incarnates? Well - the lyers, the crazy, the deluded, the bullshitters that lack even the concept of truth. So a mechanism for negative selection that, a job advert "only angels need apply". Better - stay realistic and down to earth, accept the crooked timber of humanity, and trying to build with it the best you can.
11:43 AM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of the motivations - yes, but other factors are at play too. To seek the impossible, to basically require real people to be angels, means to exclude everyone real. Even worse - who are the people that will think and or claim they are angels incarnates? Well - the lyers, the crazy, the deluded, the bullshitters that lack even the concept of truth. So a mechanism for negative selection that, a job advert "only angels need apply". Better - stay realistic and down to earth, accept the crooked timber of humanity, and trying to build with it the best you can.
11:43 AM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837418670957461898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tck tck - no manners, eh? nah - I'll do you us a favor and let you interact freely with the other 8B people (minus myself). blocked
10:08 AM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tck tck - no manners, eh? nah - I'll do you us a favor and let you interact freely with the other 8B people (minus myself). blocked
10:08 AM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837415228172124235
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He should wash them by hand as a condition to his PhD Viva. And not get a Viva pass until he learns more. As things stand he is not only monumentally ignorant, but a genocidiare in conception.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837096672960156036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 20
Replying to @aashisjo
Real education for you wd be if the Uni made you "hand wash your jeans and bed sheets" (@ 4"16') until further notice. That wd do an appropriate PhD Viva - you mini-me-Pol-Pot in the making. 🤮
Hans Rosling "The magic washing machine". (2017)
HL: "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
9:55 AM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He should wash them by hand as a condition to his PhD Viva. And not get a Viva pass until he learns more. As things stand he is not only monumentally ignorant, but a genocidiare in conception.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837096672960156036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 20
Replying to @aashisjo
Real education for you wd be if the Uni made you "hand wash your jeans and bed sheets" (@ 4"16') until further notice. That wd do an appropriate PhD Viva - you mini-me-Pol-Pot in the making. 🤮
Hans Rosling "The magic washing machine". (2017)
HL: "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
9:55 AM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837401625633136750
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not at all dumb - but I'm hardly going to discuss anything with an ill-mannered psuedoanon rando.
9:00 AM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not at all dumb - but I'm hardly going to discuss anything with an ill-mannered psuedoanon rando.
9:00 AM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837276623860535659
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where to start with what you wrote.
I deduce that great suffering of UKR-s, like the annihilation of the intelligentsia after the 1920s, the Holodomor and similar - just goes over your head. The current war that started in 2014 is fought on the side of RUS to 1) take over UKR 2) install puppet gov 3) ban UKR language and culture, extinguish them 4) murder those that resist 5) convert to Russians the rest. These are RUS war aims. Apparently - this literal genocide in the making (we see glimpses - what happens in the occupied lands, the children- some orphaned - shipped over to RUS to be converted into Russians) just does not touch your heart.
I expect you to know who the "useful idiots", the "govnojeds" were, and what their role was 1945-1990. Do you? "Some people" are their 21c equivalents. What you are relaying to me comes from a single source: the Kremlin. It's not something you came up with yourself. You are relying to me what the "political technologists" as described well in "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible" by Pomerantzev invented. You (rightly) notice the BBC propaganda. But then - Kremlin propaganda that's x1000 times the level of BBC - you just lap it up?? I must give it to people like Surkov: their stuff works. Not even so much to construct a single solid lie (the coup one maybe a rare example), but by "flooding the field with shit" to deny the possibility of any definite truth, and thus any possibility of objective reality.
UKR was invaded b/c they are not members of NATO. Surely you can see with your own eyes: NATO members don't get invaded. If NATO membership had any influence, that's it: tragically UKR was not admitted in time, even after begging to be, and so they got invaded. The CEEu countries that are in NATO, got in after years of begging and lobbying. They were fully cognizant of the danger they were in with Russia on their borders. I wish US had role in the events as you describe. The CIA coup etc - another Kremlin story you just swallow whole. Even if we were to swallow the coup lie - don't you notice there were 2 election cycles afterwards, with different people getting elected?? How can anyone be so blind to reality. In reality, USA didn't help at all (except for the infamous cookies - ha! what help that), and even after UKR was invaded in the east, and Crimea taken away, US provided only minuscule and non-lethal aid. True to form, Germany past Feb-22 still was droning about providing - wait for it - "5000 helmets" as help. All that while previously shamefully UK admins ending with Obama made sure UKR was disarmed and left defenseless at the gentle mercies of Russia.
I see that you have not read a single line of Putin's speeches translated for you on Kremlin dot ru, so I will spell it for you. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and do the same with the next 5M too. And if RUS wins in UKR, I can imagine them press-ganging the Ukrainian army, together with Belarus army. Belarus that RUS takes over once Lukasenka dies, by maneuvering a more Kremlin accommodating ruler. So with UKR creating a union RUS+UKR+BLR - a NeoRussia if you like. Then use the combined force to invade first the Baltics, and then Poland.
This is especially a risk if US and WEu are considered weak and unlikely to get involved by (Neo)Russia. And then it turns out - US and WEu *do* get involved, turns out Russia miscalculated there. In the case where US gets involved in a conventional war against Russia with boots on the ground, and esp in Poland - there I can see how that may end up in a nuclear disaster.
So we are 1/4 of the way there. Would have been 1/2 there, had UKR fallen quickly. But - they may still fall, everything is in the balance. If RUS get to execute the plan (even if delayed - but hey, plans rarely pan out without hiccups), that will be a regional CEEu war. May become WW3 - "history does not repeat, but it rimes". May go nuclear.
Afaics one possible way to cut short that particular road to hell, is for Ukraine to re/acquire a nuclear deterrent, in concert with Baltics & Poland that also need deterrence to forestall the incoming war. The "peace" and diplomacy you talk about is not as anodyne as you think: signalling weakness to Kremlin, it opens the door to further invasions and ultimately WW3. Kremlin respects strength, and takes any peace offering as a weakness. It's the logic of a mafia don.
I don't expect you to agree or even internalize anything written above. Imo given how coarse your heart is to human suffering, you should turn away from politics, consider maybe philosophy, ask your self what a good life is, how to live one, examine you life and your choices and such stuff. Leave the politics aside, give it a rest.
12:44 AM · Sep 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where to start with what you wrote.
I deduce that great suffering of UKR-s, like the annihilation of the intelligentsia after the 1920s, the Holodomor and similar - just goes over your head. The current war that started in 2014 is fought on the side of RUS to 1) take over UKR 2) install puppet gov 3) ban UKR language and culture, extinguish them 4) murder those that resist 5) convert to Russians the rest. These are RUS war aims. Apparently - this literal genocide in the making (we see glimpses - what happens in the occupied lands, the children- some orphaned - shipped over to RUS to be converted into Russians) just does not touch your heart.
I expect you to know who the "useful idiots", the "govnojeds" were, and what their role was 1945-1990. Do you? "Some people" are their 21c equivalents. What you are relaying to me comes from a single source: the Kremlin. It's not something you came up with yourself. You are relying to me what the "political technologists" as described well in "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible" by Pomerantzev invented. You (rightly) notice the BBC propaganda. But then - Kremlin propaganda that's x1000 times the level of BBC - you just lap it up?? I must give it to people like Surkov: their stuff works. Not even so much to construct a single solid lie (the coup one maybe a rare example), but by "flooding the field with shit" to deny the possibility of any definite truth, and thus any possibility of objective reality.
UKR was invaded b/c they are not members of NATO. Surely you can see with your own eyes: NATO members don't get invaded. If NATO membership had any influence, that's it: tragically UKR was not admitted in time, even after begging to be, and so they got invaded. The CEEu countries that are in NATO, got in after years of begging and lobbying. They were fully cognizant of the danger they were in with Russia on their borders. I wish US had role in the events as you describe. The CIA coup etc - another Kremlin story you just swallow whole. Even if we were to swallow the coup lie - don't you notice there were 2 election cycles afterwards, with different people getting elected?? How can anyone be so blind to reality. In reality, USA didn't help at all (except for the infamous cookies - ha! what help that), and even after UKR was invaded in the east, and Crimea taken away, US provided only minuscule and non-lethal aid. True to form, Germany past Feb-22 still was droning about providing - wait for it - "5000 helmets" as help. All that while previously shamefully UK admins ending with Obama made sure UKR was disarmed and left defenseless at the gentle mercies of Russia.
I see that you have not read a single line of Putin's speeches translated for you on Kremlin dot ru, so I will spell it for you. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and do the same with the next 5M too. And if RUS wins in UKR, I can imagine them press-ganging the Ukrainian army, together with Belarus army. Belarus that RUS takes over once Lukasenka dies, by maneuvering a more Kremlin accommodating ruler. So with UKR creating a union RUS+UKR+BLR - a NeoRussia if you like. Then use the combined force to invade first the Baltics, and then Poland.
This is especially a risk if US and WEu are considered weak and unlikely to get involved by (Neo)Russia. And then it turns out - US and WEu *do* get involved, turns out Russia miscalculated there. In the case where US gets involved in a conventional war against Russia with boots on the ground, and esp in Poland - there I can see how that may end up in a nuclear disaster.
So we are 1/4 of the way there. Would have been 1/2 there, had UKR fallen quickly. But - they may still fall, everything is in the balance. If RUS get to execute the plan (even if delayed - but hey, plans rarely pan out without hiccups), that will be a regional CEEu war. May become WW3 - "history does not repeat, but it rimes". May go nuclear.
Afaics one possible way to cut short that particular road to hell, is for Ukraine to re/acquire a nuclear deterrent, in concert with Baltics & Poland that also need deterrence to forestall the incoming war. The "peace" and diplomacy you talk about is not as anodyne as you think: signalling weakness to Kremlin, it opens the door to further invasions and ultimately WW3. Kremlin respects strength, and takes any peace offering as a weakness. It's the logic of a mafia don.
I don't expect you to agree or even internalize anything written above. Imo given how coarse your heart is to human suffering, you should turn away from politics, consider maybe philosophy, ask your self what a good life is, how to live one, examine you life and your choices and such stuff. Leave the politics aside, give it a rest.
12:44 AM · Sep 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837163108374024374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, maybe they can't. Maybe opportunity opened only b/c Hizzbulah decided to use pagers? Maybe Hamas didn't make the same decision, so no opportunity existed there. Maybe Hizzbulah had centralised organised supply management, creating opportunity, while Hamas didn't. Nothing I said I think is "highly likely". Speculating idly 1000s of miles afar while not knowing a single fact on the ground is not "highly likely" anything. It's mental gymnastics that only brings us closer to knowing the truth of the matter a miniscule, a microscopic amount - possibly.
5:13 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, maybe they can't. Maybe opportunity opened only b/c Hizzbulah decided to use pagers? Maybe Hamas didn't make the same decision, so no opportunity existed there. Maybe Hizzbulah had centralised organised supply management, creating opportunity, while Hamas didn't. Nothing I said I think is "highly likely". Speculating idly 1000s of miles afar while not knowing a single fact on the ground is not "highly likely" anything. It's mental gymnastics that only brings us closer to knowing the truth of the matter a miniscule, a microscopic amount - possibly.
5:13 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837123250561655208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂 - like bat vampires coming down to the next warm body (the CON corpse no longer suffices) that will be sucked for years to come until it runs dry
2:34 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂 - like bat vampires coming down to the next warm body (the CON corpse no longer suffices) that will be sucked for years to come until it runs dry
2:34 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837122606509519169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - truth is what's shared by all by default, it's the minimum energy, minimum effort configuration. We all get it for free as default. Any lying, any manufacturing of an alternate or virtual reality - that takes extra effort.
2:32 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - truth is what's shared by all by default, it's the minimum energy, minimum effort configuration. We all get it for free as default. Any lying, any manufacturing of an alternate or virtual reality - that takes extra effort.
2:32 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837121979867865444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... b/c Hezbollah in Lebanon that bought the pagers that Israel implanted explosives in via a front company run by Mosad, is a wholly different organization to Hamas in Gaza that didn't buy any pagers. Would be one lay man's explanation for this "mystery" that's not one at all.
2:29 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... b/c Hezbollah in Lebanon that bought the pagers that Israel implanted explosives in via a front company run by Mosad, is a wholly different organization to Hamas in Gaza that didn't buy any pagers. Would be one lay man's explanation for this "mystery" that's not one at all.
2:29 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837110131093352502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I know of the fake Kremlin pic, I saw through it the moment I saw it. That's what growing up in socialism buys you, you can see the propaganda easily, took me some time to internalize that you in the West don't see it as quickly. That fake news by liberal propagandists (have you noticed in this thread that I am somewhat critical of them?) didn't influence me one bit.
I have never ever read any manifestos. IK it's hard for politically engaged people to internalize this. But us unwashed masses find politics booring and stupid, not worth our time. I have better things, things I do want to do, with my life and with my time, that don't involve politics in any reasonable way.
What influences me though is when he says "No to War!" Ok - Russia taking over Ukraine does fit that description, right? The moment Russia takes over Kyev, and installs a puppet government - the war ends. That was the (hidden, unsaid) hope many in the West had (abt half of Germany tbh). That Ukraine folds quickly and that's the end of it. Only, imo that's 21c "distant lands of which we know little" - it's not the end, but the beginning of something else.
The "something else" is - Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and do the same with the next 5M too. And if RUS wins in UKR, I can imagine them press-ganging the Ukrainian army, together with Belarus army. Belarus that RUS takes over once Lukasenka dies, by maneuvering a more Kremlin accommodating ruler, and with UKR creating a union RUS+UKR+BLR - a NeoRussia if you like. Then use the combined force to invade first the Baltics, and then Poland. This is especially a risk if US and WEu are considered weak and unlikely to get involved by Russia. And then it turns out - US and WEu *do* get involved, turns out Russia miscalculated there. In the case where US gets involved in a conventional war against Russia with boots on the ground, and esp in Poland - there I can see how that may end up in a nuclear disaster.
1:42 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I know of the fake Kremlin pic, I saw through it the moment I saw it. That's what growing up in socialism buys you, you can see the propaganda easily, took me some time to internalize that you in the West don't see it as quickly. That fake news by liberal propagandists (have you noticed in this thread that I am somewhat critical of them?) didn't influence me one bit.
I have never ever read any manifestos. IK it's hard for politically engaged people to internalize this. But us unwashed masses find politics booring and stupid, not worth our time. I have better things, things I do want to do, with my life and with my time, that don't involve politics in any reasonable way.
What influences me though is when he says "No to War!" Ok - Russia taking over Ukraine does fit that description, right? The moment Russia takes over Kyev, and installs a puppet government - the war ends. That was the (hidden, unsaid) hope many in the West had (abt half of Germany tbh). That Ukraine folds quickly and that's the end of it. Only, imo that's 21c "distant lands of which we know little" - it's not the end, but the beginning of something else.
The "something else" is - Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and do the same with the next 5M too. And if RUS wins in UKR, I can imagine them press-ganging the Ukrainian army, together with Belarus army. Belarus that RUS takes over once Lukasenka dies, by maneuvering a more Kremlin accommodating ruler, and with UKR creating a union RUS+UKR+BLR - a NeoRussia if you like. Then use the combined force to invade first the Baltics, and then Poland. This is especially a risk if US and WEu are considered weak and unlikely to get involved by Russia. And then it turns out - US and WEu *do* get involved, turns out Russia miscalculated there. In the case where US gets involved in a conventional war against Russia with boots on the ground, and esp in Poland - there I can see how that may end up in a nuclear disaster.
1:42 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837096672960156036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Real education for you wd be if the Uni made you "hand wash your jeans and bed sheets" (@ 4"16') until further notice. That wd do an appropriate PhD Viva - you mini-me-Pol-Pot in the making. 🤮
Hans Rosling "The magic washing machine". (2017)
HL: "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
12:49 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Real education for you wd be if the Uni made you "hand wash your jeans and bed sheets" (@ 4"16') until further notice. That wd do an appropriate PhD Viva - you mini-me-Pol-Pot in the making. 🤮
Hans Rosling "The magic washing machine". (2017)
HL: "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?"
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
12:49 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837094754967863399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Let's immortalize on this platform too the incomparable but sadly late Hans Rosling. A true inter-national treasure if there ever was one!! (can't UN-or-some-such institute a Rosling Prize at the very least maybe??)
And use the minime-Pol-Pot infamy for some PR of the good kind. So here -
Hans Rosling "The magic washing machine". (2017)
HL: "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?" (@ 4"16')
The Uni where Joshi is reading for his PhD wd do the right thing if they were to make Joshi hand wash his jeans and bed sheets! That wd do some real education.
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/ziontree/status/1837034922105516391
Zion Lights @ziontree · 10h
“You get books out of the machines”
The best response to degrowth is to share Hans Rosling’s experience of washing machines
Show this thread
Image
Image
12:41 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Let's immortalize on this platform too the incomparable but sadly late Hans Rosling. A true inter-national treasure if there ever was one!! (can't UN-or-some-such institute a Rosling Prize at the very least maybe??)
And use the minime-Pol-Pot infamy for some PR of the good kind. So here -
Hans Rosling "The magic washing machine". (2017)
HL: "And I ask my students. How many of you doesn't use a car? And few of them proudly raise their hand. And then I put a really tough question. How many of you hand wash your jeans and your bed sheets?" (@ 4"16')
The Uni where Joshi is reading for his PhD wd do the right thing if they were to make Joshi hand wash his jeans and bed sheets! That wd do some real education.
Embedded video
Hans_Rosling_-_The_magic_washing_machine_-_TED-2017.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/ziontree/status/1837034922105516391
Zion Lights @ziontree · 10h
“You get books out of the machines”
The best response to degrowth is to share Hans Rosling’s experience of washing machines
Show this thread
Image
Image
12:41 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837089071774011500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They need my vote not the other ways around, it's on them to relay and convince of their positions. Not on me to read between the lines of what they meant exactly when they say "no to war" or similar.
12:19 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They need my vote not the other ways around, it's on them to relay and convince of their positions. Not on me to read between the lines of what they meant exactly when they say "no to war" or similar.
12:19 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837086280745628075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, I don't follow them closely, as my seat is CON v.s. LDM with LAB distant 3rd. (this time the MP actually switched CON->LDM after being CON for donkeys years) Just a general feeling one gets from afar, while not following that closely. They need my vote not the other ways around, it's on them to relay and convince of their positions. Not on me to read between the lines of what they meant exactly when they say "no to war" or similar.
12:07 PM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, I don't follow them closely, as my seat is CON v.s. LDM with LAB distant 3rd. (this time the MP actually switched CON->LDM after being CON for donkeys years) Just a general feeling one gets from afar, while not following that closely. They need my vote not the other ways around, it's on them to relay and convince of their positions. Not on me to read between the lines of what they meant exactly when they say "no to war" or similar.
12:07 PM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837070081756430422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A sophist caught short in her sophism. 😂😂 A politician to be this reluctant to say publicly on TV something that will bring her few votes, while she'd throw almost anyone and anything else under the bus in a heart beat for an extra vote or two - yeah in my mind this looks suspect. Maybe not explicitly "in the know" about sources of fund (as many take great effort to "stay in the dark", not become "in the know", as plausible deniability is useful protection) - but having an inkling as the sources of some funds she relies on, yes - suspect.
11:03 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A sophist caught short in her sophism. 😂😂 A politician to be this reluctant to say publicly on TV something that will bring her few votes, while she'd throw almost anyone and anything else under the bus in a heart beat for an extra vote or two - yeah in my mind this looks suspect. Maybe not explicitly "in the know" about sources of fund (as many take great effort to "stay in the dark", not become "in the know", as plausible deniability is useful protection) - but having an inkling as the sources of some funds she relies on, yes - suspect.
11:03 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837067020883329333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not a critic of his - I'm even a potential voter. But no - for me, neither he, nor his wing of the party, have updated their world views enough to win me over. Eastern Europeans are inclined to be suspicious, given their experience with the Western Left soft spot for the Soviet Union well past its sell by date. Too many "useful idiots" for too long, or as the soviets used to call them "govnojeds" (shit-eaters). Both figuratively in that they would just lap any and all insane propagandist takes, but also more literally, in that when they were given latest takes Soviet views on events, at get together opportunities in say a Soviet embassy, the ambassador would instruct the staff to prepare cheap food (=="shit food") only, and save on expense, as there was no great need to win over the already believers. Read that in some of the defector's books, don't recall where exactly. (wd dearly love to find out) Latest - Corbyn position hasn't improved with his stance on Ukraine, I'm loath to say.
10:51 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not a critic of his - I'm even a potential voter. But no - for me, neither he, nor his wing of the party, have updated their world views enough to win me over. Eastern Europeans are inclined to be suspicious, given their experience with the Western Left soft spot for the Soviet Union well past its sell by date. Too many "useful idiots" for too long, or as the soviets used to call them "govnojeds" (shit-eaters). Both figuratively in that they would just lap any and all insane propagandist takes, but also more literally, in that when they were given latest takes Soviet views on events, at get together opportunities in say a Soviet embassy, the ambassador would instruct the staff to prepare cheap food (=="shit food") only, and save on expense, as there was no great need to win over the already believers. Read that in some of the defector's books, don't recall where exactly. (wd dearly love to find out) Latest - Corbyn position hasn't improved with his stance on Ukraine, I'm loath to say.
10:51 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837055871613886730
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, not disagreeing with that. I was just reflecting on Liberals going 100:0 all out for Boris. Amusingly - much of Boris appeal was down to the "state intervention" aspects of it. That BoJo realized ~0 of latter, the lazy and useless sh*t he was. And CON govs adopted few Corbyn policies latter by necessity anyways, and the sky didn't fall on us. So - now it's even more mysterious and irrational the Liberal total complete anti-Corbyn position. In my eyes at least.
10:07 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, not disagreeing with that. I was just reflecting on Liberals going 100:0 all out for Boris. Amusingly - much of Boris appeal was down to the "state intervention" aspects of it. That BoJo realized ~0 of latter, the lazy and useless sh*t he was. And CON govs adopted few Corbyn policies latter by necessity anyways, and the sky didn't fall on us. So - now it's even more mysterious and irrational the Liberal total complete anti-Corbyn position. In my eyes at least.
10:07 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837054277912502694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BBC flagship presenter on prime time BBC TV still droning "the country is a household" in AD2024. Even by personal education Fiona should know better by now. Has she got no pride in her work, in what she says on national TV? Good on MM - but still, should not have come to that.
10:00 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BBC flagship presenter on prime time BBC TV still droning "the country is a household" in AD2024. Even by personal education Fiona should know better by now. Has she got no pride in her work, in what she says on national TV? Good on MM - but still, should not have come to that.
10:00 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837052417633866218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely!! +1 - Riding in an EV 1st time, 1st impression "no noise, just the sound of the wind". +2 - People visiting Seoul for the 1st time (from London) commenting on how quiet the city is, how nice it is when not "city" noise, but everything quiet, is the default.
9:53 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely!! +1 - Riding in an EV 1st time, 1st impression "no noise, just the sound of the wind". +2 - People visiting Seoul for the 1st time (from London) commenting on how quiet the city is, how nice it is when not "city" noise, but everything quiet, is the default.
9:53 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837044645131403703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this one reads really unlikely tbh. more likely - the poor mum was lying was using the car after declaring SORN.
9:22 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this one reads really unlikely tbh. more likely - the poor mum was lying was using the car after declaring SORN.
9:22 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837043503886479442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but anyways - my point was about liberals preference 100:0 for BoJo:Corbyn when given a binary choice only with no prominent dissenters that I am aware of.
9:17 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but anyways - my point was about liberals preference 100:0 for BoJo:Corbyn when given a binary choice only with no prominent dissenters that I am aware of.
9:17 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837040064074809621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing wrong with a visit. Wrong not to update your worldview after, even if high time wd have been after finding out abt Stalin crimes. Totally wrong not to update after the collapse of the socialist block. By now communism has been tried and it's failed in different time periods, different geographies, different cultures. Maybe it's time to give it a rest. There are other ideas with promising potentials too waiting to be explored. I was born and lived 30yrs in a socialist country not part of the eastern block (unaligned YU). I have hands on experience and some understanding of that system that's not from books one's read only.
9:04 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing wrong with a visit. Wrong not to update your worldview after, even if high time wd have been after finding out abt Stalin crimes. Totally wrong not to update after the collapse of the socialist block. By now communism has been tried and it's failed in different time periods, different geographies, different cultures. Maybe it's time to give it a rest. There are other ideas with promising potentials too waiting to be explored. I was born and lived 30yrs in a socialist country not part of the eastern block (unaligned YU). I have hands on experience and some understanding of that system that's not from books one's read only.
9:04 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837036351927042354
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Yeah, I can sympathize. Mine I have not experienced any cock-ups, they are competent. But not b/c of the IT system that helps them, on the contrary, despite it! Their IT "systems" - they are I presume forced to use instead of "just use Gmail" - are seemingly made to make their work and our lives very very difficult!! A time sink and pain to use, I presume spawn of some sh*t outsourcer only the state can procure. The 1st non-paper non-voice communication they had was one way SMS only (GP->me), and this was well past the time when everyone just used free email everywhere all the time. Now they've graduated to a peculiar cock-a-doodle system, where they send sms with a link, I open the link, am taken to a portal, with a semblance of Inbox there, can "send a message" there but strictly controlled how many character in it!! 😆 Not sure if I can send over a pic, and I think they can't reply there - but they have to send me back SMS, with a link for me to open... 😂😂
8:49 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Yeah, I can sympathize. Mine I have not experienced any cock-ups, they are competent. But not b/c of the IT system that helps them, on the contrary, despite it! Their IT "systems" - they are I presume forced to use instead of "just use Gmail" - are seemingly made to make their work and our lives very very difficult!! A time sink and pain to use, I presume spawn of some sh*t outsourcer only the state can procure. The 1st non-paper non-voice communication they had was one way SMS only (GP->me), and this was well past the time when everyone just used free email everywhere all the time. Now they've graduated to a peculiar cock-a-doodle system, where they send sms with a link, I open the link, am taken to a portal, with a semblance of Inbox there, can "send a message" there but strictly controlled how many character in it!! 😆 Not sure if I can send over a pic, and I think they can't reply there - but they have to send me back SMS, with a link for me to open... 😂😂
8:49 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837007739697954979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right, but I think it's systemic, it's the system they have, the system would produce the same result with different people. Starts with the primaries. The politicians running for office get selected by the party members. The party members are unrepresentative of the public. Members are abnormally unnaturally interested in politics, they are freaks, compared to the wider public that finds politics boring and never takes much interest in. So the candidates in order to win in the primary, they need to appeal to the lunatic fringe of their party. Remarkable how after decades of repeated plays, they end up with 50:50 for voting yes:no, and then the voting block splits again balanced 25:25 in R:D blocks. Maybe once they start with extreme candidates, then most such candidate can capture is the entirety of his own party. Can't bring in non-voters, and even less appealing capable to sway opposite side voters over.
6:55 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right, but I think it's systemic, it's the system they have, the system would produce the same result with different people. Starts with the primaries. The politicians running for office get selected by the party members. The party members are unrepresentative of the public. Members are abnormally unnaturally interested in politics, they are freaks, compared to the wider public that finds politics boring and never takes much interest in. So the candidates in order to win in the primary, they need to appeal to the lunatic fringe of their party. Remarkable how after decades of repeated plays, they end up with 50:50 for voting yes:no, and then the voting block splits again balanced 25:25 in R:D blocks. Maybe once they start with extreme candidates, then most such candidate can capture is the entirety of his own party. Can't bring in non-voters, and even less appealing capable to sway opposite side voters over.
6:55 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1837004196005990677
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you in a position to name the people? I'm thinking "the media" is less than 100 people. It'd be good to remove the shield of anonymity. So people are more responsible, take real pride in their output and hopefully improve the quality of it. It's less convenient to stay dumb if your name appears next to the dumb takes of yours. Is what I am hoping for. 😊
6:41 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you in a position to name the people? I'm thinking "the media" is less than 100 people. It'd be good to remove the shield of anonymity. So people are more responsible, take real pride in their output and hopefully improve the quality of it. It's less convenient to stay dumb if your name appears next to the dumb takes of yours. Is what I am hoping for. 😊
6:41 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836997358300581980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... comings black to this. Very educational, that between Boris Johnson and Corbin, not even BoJo's - 1) Brexit, 2) personal character failings - could not swing it sufficiently to Corbyn. Sure Corbyn stuck in a 1980s time loop forever holidaying in the DDR didn't help his case. But still amazing how zero cases of spli(n)ters appeared in the liberals' wall, it was 100 BoJo, 0 Corbyn. I too am liberal of some sort so this interests me ☺️
6:14 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... comings black to this. Very educational, that between Boris Johnson and Corbin, not even BoJo's - 1) Brexit, 2) personal character failings - could not swing it sufficiently to Corbyn. Sure Corbyn stuck in a 1980s time loop forever holidaying in the DDR didn't help his case. But still amazing how zero cases of spli(n)ters appeared in the liberals' wall, it was 100 BoJo, 0 Corbyn. I too am liberal of some sort so this interests me ☺️
6:14 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836990439062217017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In your dreams. In reality no one much wants to hear your drivel. Only under a threat of hunger & homelessness you compel wage slaves to come in & laugh at your jokes. This is why FIRE is necessary - not for RE, but to retain ones personal freedom. Getting to "f*ck you money" level should be everyone's goal. Life is not that long, aim to spend it with people you value and like. If Guille is one of them - great, bully for you. Everyone else that are random strangers - better build defensive walls of assets to prevent psychos like him breaching into your life and making it unworthy of living.
Quote
Guillermo Rauch @rauchg · Sep 18
Offices lead to greater connection, inspiration, community, productivity, and even wellbeing.
5:47 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In your dreams. In reality no one much wants to hear your drivel. Only under a threat of hunger & homelessness you compel wage slaves to come in & laugh at your jokes. This is why FIRE is necessary - not for RE, but to retain ones personal freedom. Getting to "f*ck you money" level should be everyone's goal. Life is not that long, aim to spend it with people you value and like. If Guille is one of them - great, bully for you. Everyone else that are random strangers - better build defensive walls of assets to prevent psychos like him breaching into your life and making it unworthy of living.
Quote
Guillermo Rauch @rauchg · Sep 18
Offices lead to greater connection, inspiration, community, productivity, and even wellbeing.
5:47 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836928644066746394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes, we all do (I'm a subscriber) - but like in the Esop's tale of the scorpion and the frog - such is their nature. almost like part of their identity
1:41 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes, we all do (I'm a subscriber) - but like in the Esop's tale of the scorpion and the frog - such is their nature. almost like part of their identity
1:41 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836927721110204752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if the little Pol Pot wannabe in waiting ever gets to power, banning washing machines will quickly be forgotten b/c we will have much grimmer stuff to worry about
1:37 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
if the little Pol Pot wannabe in waiting ever gets to power, banning washing machines will quickly be forgotten b/c we will have much grimmer stuff to worry about
1:37 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836926459065041276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the next wannabe Pol Pot in waiting
1:32 AM · Sep 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the next wannabe Pol Pot in waiting
1:32 AM · Sep 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836876687646101736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are making your reputation hostage to future events for no good reason. If sometime in the future, incontrovertible evidence of lab leak is unearthed in China, reports like the above will bury your reputation. What you are doing is dumb. You gain nothing really, while putting yourself in a position to lose a lot, with weak one sided articles like the above.
10:15 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are making your reputation hostage to future events for no good reason. If sometime in the future, incontrovertible evidence of lab leak is unearthed in China, reports like the above will bury your reputation. What you are doing is dumb. You gain nothing really, while putting yourself in a position to lose a lot, with weak one sided articles like the above.
10:15 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836832099116142739
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because Private Eye are Liberals, and Corbin is a Socialist. Liberals go after Socialists. Like Tom the cat chases after Jerry the mouse.
7:17 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because Private Eye are Liberals, and Corbin is a Socialist. Liberals go after Socialists. Like Tom the cat chases after Jerry the mouse.
7:17 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836822241348088039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the guy is genocidaire in the making, hope he never gets the opportunity to act on his ideas
6:38 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the guy is genocidaire in the making, hope he never gets the opportunity to act on his ideas
6:38 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836793665383018862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, correct 💯🎯 Only way out is for Ukraine to re/acquire them, in concert with Baltics & Poland that also need detterence to forestall incoming CEEu war when NeoRussia (RUS + BLR post Luka merged with RUS + UKR conquered absorbed in RUS) invades them-
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833761251479978007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 11
Replying to @jmkorhonen
You are correct that small countries are always at risk of being thrown under the bus by a much bigger allay in their time of need. Unfortunately I also think that CEEu will not have peace without home grown nuclear deterrent. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They
Show more
4:45 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, correct 💯🎯 Only way out is for Ukraine to re/acquire them, in concert with Baltics & Poland that also need detterence to forestall incoming CEEu war when NeoRussia (RUS + BLR post Luka merged with RUS + UKR conquered absorbed in RUS) invades them-
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833761251479978007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 11
Replying to @jmkorhonen
You are correct that small countries are always at risk of being thrown under the bus by a much bigger allay in their time of need. Unfortunately I also think that CEEu will not have peace without home grown nuclear deterrent. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They
Show more
4:45 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836788632101048557
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are a potential genocidal maniac in waiting, should you ever get close to power to put your insane ideas to test. You are not alone - quite a few baddies in history, and vastly more would be baddies, of which we thankfully shall never learn. Human imagination is both a blessing and a curse. With all the good it enables - we have to accept the bad side of it. You are unfortunately the Human face to that bad side. Not sure what can the society do, with educated and capable monsters that can potentially cause great harm? (even if the probability is mercifully small)
4:25 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are a potential genocidal maniac in waiting, should you ever get close to power to put your insane ideas to test. You are not alone - quite a few baddies in history, and vastly more would be baddies, of which we thankfully shall never learn. Human imagination is both a blessing and a curse. With all the good it enables - we have to accept the bad side of it. You are unfortunately the Human face to that bad side. Not sure what can the society do, with educated and capable monsters that can potentially cause great harm? (even if the probability is mercifully small)
4:25 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836780131425099823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's just professionals refusing to use in their professional life email, WhatsApp etc tools they quite happily use in their personal life. NHS bad IT yadda yadda. IMO they should FO the NHS processes and takes some risks. For no rewards - so will not happen, I know. As you are finding out - unbelievably costly f*ckups, easily avoidable. Remind me of old socialist country HS. Impossible to remedy both by top intervention by higher ups, and by bottom up intervention by patients. Unfortunately - they only course of action available is to sack the GP and everyone involved. But with the shortage of personnel - doubtful that's an option even if the need were recognised. 😔 With my GP I can't have a normal 2-way email communication like I can with 8B other people on Earth in AD2024. Not possible - for ... reasons. To start with - I 'd like to see one Health Secretary head roll for poor performance - even once!
3:51 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's just professionals refusing to use in their professional life email, WhatsApp etc tools they quite happily use in their personal life. NHS bad IT yadda yadda. IMO they should FO the NHS processes and takes some risks. For no rewards - so will not happen, I know. As you are finding out - unbelievably costly f*ckups, easily avoidable. Remind me of old socialist country HS. Impossible to remedy both by top intervention by higher ups, and by bottom up intervention by patients. Unfortunately - they only course of action available is to sack the GP and everyone involved. But with the shortage of personnel - doubtful that's an option even if the need were recognised. 😔 With my GP I can't have a normal 2-way email communication like I can with 8B other people on Earth in AD2024. Not possible - for ... reasons. To start with - I 'd like to see one Health Secretary head roll for poor performance - even once!
3:51 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836753424676737441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—US-EU Co-Co (Cooperation and Competition) is working well. The US is excelling at Development!! But maybe not so much at Research?? Are US-ex-California-ians maybe tad too conformist, not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? (haha 😂 — now brace-brace for incoming on that one 😁)
This season all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. The three who moved to the Americas are changing the world. The fourth stayed behind, comfortable in his own lab. (European or what? that) He’s now been reduced to "schmidhubering" from the back of the class. 🤣
In the previous season, we had Linus Torvalds—a European who wrote (and continues to write) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). With the application layer on top of it one half being Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half being the browser descendants of @pmarca 's Mosaic on the client side.
In the pilot we had ARM. Originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Inflation in titles there, but otherwise, doing more with less—how very European, no? ARM powered Apple’s devices from the aptly named Newton, when no other chip could. Then by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy too! Letting it fight another day and bring in miracles to our lives. A double First for ARM there!! Possibly a poster child for the best of British and European cooperation? (and a lesson for the post-Brexit future, maybe?)
Quote
Alec Stapp @AlecStapp · 20h
The US is the R&D lab for the world.
The EU is a museum.
Show this thread
Image
(NB older version https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836743511183331729)
1:25 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—US-EU Co-Co (Cooperation and Competition) is working well. The US is excelling at Development!! But maybe not so much at Research?? Are US-ex-California-ians maybe tad too conformist, not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? (haha 😂 — now brace-brace for incoming on that one 😁)
This season all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. The three who moved to the Americas are changing the world. The fourth stayed behind, comfortable in his own lab. (European or what? that) He’s now been reduced to "schmidhubering" from the back of the class. 🤣
In the previous season, we had Linus Torvalds—a European who wrote (and continues to write) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). With the application layer on top of it one half being Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half being the browser descendants of @pmarca 's Mosaic on the client side.
In the pilot we had ARM. Originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Inflation in titles there, but otherwise, doing more with less—how very European, no? ARM powered Apple’s devices from the aptly named Newton, when no other chip could. Then by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy too! Letting it fight another day and bring in miracles to our lives. A double First for ARM there!! Possibly a poster child for the best of British and European cooperation? (and a lesson for the post-Brexit future, maybe?)
Quote
Alec Stapp @AlecStapp · 20h
The US is the R&D lab for the world.
The EU is a museum.
Show this thread
Image
(NB older version https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836743511183331729)
1:25 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836733152187859212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—US-EU Co-Co (Cooperation and Competition) is working well. The US is excelling at Development—great progress there! But Research—maybe not so much? Are US-ex-California-ians perhaps a bit too conformist? Not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? (uh-oh—brace-brace for the incoming on that one 😁)
This season, all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. The three who moved to the Americas are changing the world. The fourth stayed behind, comfortable in his own lab. (very European or what?) He’s now been reduced to "schmidhubering" from the back of the class. 🤣
In the previous season, we had Linus Torvalds—the European who wrote (and continues to write) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). And the application layer on top of it? That’s one half thanks to Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half is thanks to the browser descendants of @pmarca
's Mosaic on the client side.
And in the pilot, we had ARM, originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Doing more with less—very European, no? ARM powered Apple’s devices starting with the aptly named Newton when no other chip could, and by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy, letting it fight another day. A double First for ARM there! A poster child for the best of British and European cooperation, or what? (and perhaps a lesson for the post-Brexit future?)
12:44 PM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—US-EU Co-Co (Cooperation and Competition) is working well. The US is excelling at Development—great progress there! But Research—maybe not so much? Are US-ex-California-ians perhaps a bit too conformist? Not bold enough to "boldly go where no one has gone before"? (uh-oh—brace-brace for the incoming on that one 😁)
This season, all four "grandfathers of AI" are European. The three who moved to the Americas are changing the world. The fourth stayed behind, comfortable in his own lab. (very European or what?) He’s now been reduced to "schmidhubering" from the back of the class. 🤣
In the previous season, we had Linus Torvalds—the European who wrote (and continues to write) half of the OS powering 90% of cloud computing (Linux in the GNU/Linux combo) and half of the OS running 70% of smartphones (the Linux kernel in Android). And the application layer on top of it? That’s one half thanks to Tim Berners-Lee’s HTTP protocol and HTML format (and its descendants). The other half is thanks to the browser descendants of @pmarca
's Mosaic on the client side.
And in the pilot, we had ARM, originally "Acorn" RISC Machine, now promoted to "Advanced" RISC Machine. Doing more with less—very European, no? ARM powered Apple’s devices starting with the aptly named Newton when no other chip could, and by offloading its stake when in dire straits, possibly saved AAPL from bankruptcy, letting it fight another day. A double First for ARM there! A poster child for the best of British and European cooperation, or what? (and perhaps a lesson for the post-Brexit future?)
12:44 PM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836712548722258100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahahah 😂😂 - after the great experience we had regulating previously miraculous technology nuclear fission, we are going down that road again. Nah - better leave it alone, you will do more harm than good trying to "regulate it". Leave it alone, b/c you simply don't know. The success of your creation after a lifetime of trying surprised you guys too. Why now, what did we do now that we didn't do 10yrs prior? You don't know. You know less than you think you know. Leave it alone.
11:22 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahahah 😂😂 - after the great experience we had regulating previously miraculous technology nuclear fission, we are going down that road again. Nah - better leave it alone, you will do more harm than good trying to "regulate it". Leave it alone, b/c you simply don't know. The success of your creation after a lifetime of trying surprised you guys too. Why now, what did we do now that we didn't do 10yrs prior? You don't know. You know less than you think you know. Leave it alone.
11:22 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836710833197347293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The usual: stupidity, malice, deriving pleasure from preventing other people doing stuff, from NOT doing (rather than "myself doing"). Some valid concerns - e.g. grave diggers destroy evidence - too, but that can be addressed in other ways, that don't require an outright ban.
11:16 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The usual: stupidity, malice, deriving pleasure from preventing other people doing stuff, from NOT doing (rather than "myself doing"). Some valid concerns - e.g. grave diggers destroy evidence - too, but that can be addressed in other ways, that don't require an outright ban.
11:16 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836708542104871031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Well spotted. And one can say - lack of self-awareness (by psychologists - no less!!) continues on and on. Like the way a builders' house is always in process of build, never finished. 😃 Psychologists seem to fail to apply their knowledge about humans to themselves. 😇
11:06 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Well spotted. And one can say - lack of self-awareness (by psychologists - no less!!) continues on and on. Like the way a builders' house is always in process of build, never finished. 😃 Psychologists seem to fail to apply their knowledge about humans to themselves. 😇
11:06 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836706797526405139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...found it - here https://medium.com/@QuaiNetwork/quai-network-energy-based-money-for-the-21st-century-82fd4b4ea1c3 . It was always available (right in the user headline) - just there were other 20 links one could also click, so I went down various rabbit holes.
Taking stock and re-considering all previously written: we already have a currency "backed by" something. It's backed by all the goods & services the country produces, and the currency is a ticket to consuming the said production. So maybe better tackle to problem at the source? If the problem is bad politicians, let's fix that. In preference to putting roadblocks in the system to disable politicos we ourselves bring into power, b/c they are not responsible enough with the lever of power (that we give it to them). Maybe radical transparency in all thing us dot gov related is a way to improve there? And the currency "backed by all goods and services USofA Corp. produces" is fine.
From medium.com
10:59 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...found it - here https://medium.com/@QuaiNetwork/quai-network-energy-based-money-for-the-21st-century-82fd4b4ea1c3 . It was always available (right in the user headline) - just there were other 20 links one could also click, so I went down various rabbit holes.
Taking stock and re-considering all previously written: we already have a currency "backed by" something. It's backed by all the goods & services the country produces, and the currency is a ticket to consuming the said production. So maybe better tackle to problem at the source? If the problem is bad politicians, let's fix that. In preference to putting roadblocks in the system to disable politicos we ourselves bring into power, b/c they are not responsible enough with the lever of power (that we give it to them). Maybe radical transparency in all thing us dot gov related is a way to improve there? And the currency "backed by all goods and services USofA Corp. produces" is fine.
From medium.com
10:59 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836693858811314180
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Take heart, you're right/your detractors are wrong. This does *not* replace examples, it complements them. Best include both, but examples 1st, formal def as this pic 2nd. If need to chose 1 only, chose examples. Examples are human-speak, this graph is half machine-speak.
10:08 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Take heart, you're right/your detractors are wrong. This does *not* replace examples, it complements them. Best include both, but examples 1st, formal def as this pic 2nd. If need to chose 1 only, chose examples. Examples are human-speak, this graph is half machine-speak.
10:08 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836689156207968626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
SORN is one of the rarer cases in law where one gets to break do law with inaction, with not doing anything. Where action is required to stay within the law. It strikes me a bad design, better avoided. With the current state of technology Reg tracking etc - maybe no longer necessary? Maybe SORN can be scrapped?
9:49 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
SORN is one of the rarer cases in law where one gets to break do law with inaction, with not doing anything. Where action is required to stay within the law. It strikes me a bad design, better avoided. With the current state of technology Reg tracking etc - maybe no longer necessary? Maybe SORN can be scrapped?
9:49 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836686888360366309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - 80:20. I find that 1) Author's on Twitter or other soc media 2) They relay their ideas already 3) By the time set of ideas makes it to the book, I've imbibed most 4) The book - in contrast with the author's direct interaction - comes over as booring; it's mostly old news!
9:40 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - 80:20. I find that 1) Author's on Twitter or other soc media 2) They relay their ideas already 3) By the time set of ideas makes it to the book, I've imbibed most 4) The book - in contrast with the author's direct interaction - comes over as booring; it's mostly old news!
9:40 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836667831875698984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. An economic historian wd have to weigh in. Afaik US had plenty of economic crisis, and lasting much longer than 20c recessions, prior to the current Reserve Banks system. Usually big changes big reforms happen b/c of a crisis, of the current system at the time not working well. Decades latter, when the then new version N is exhausted in crisis not delivering, the 1st idea is to advocate for return to the previous version (N-1). The crisis of decades prior, the reasons why society switched from (N-1) to N in the 1st place, are usually forgotten. Yes - next version (N+1) is going to have elements of current version N, and of the prior version (N-1), probably combined in novel ways to suit better the current state of knowledge, technology, our current desires and aspirations (that are also somewhat different to the ones our ancestors had 100yrs ago). But how exactly and what form it will take - is TBD, is to emerge and grow mostly organically by trial & error.
8:25 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. An economic historian wd have to weigh in. Afaik US had plenty of economic crisis, and lasting much longer than 20c recessions, prior to the current Reserve Banks system. Usually big changes big reforms happen b/c of a crisis, of the current system at the time not working well. Decades latter, when the then new version N is exhausted in crisis not delivering, the 1st idea is to advocate for return to the previous version (N-1). The crisis of decades prior, the reasons why society switched from (N-1) to N in the 1st place, are usually forgotten. Yes - next version (N+1) is going to have elements of current version N, and of the prior version (N-1), probably combined in novel ways to suit better the current state of knowledge, technology, our current desires and aspirations (that are also somewhat different to the ones our ancestors had 100yrs ago). But how exactly and what form it will take - is TBD, is to emerge and grow mostly organically by trial & error.
8:25 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836663712746287451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... that's true, but it doesn't throw as much shade on us as it might seem at 1st, b/c it's true for most peoples anyplace most of the time. 😆 Imagine the "average us", then consider that half of us are worse than that. 😁 What's to be done, in addition to suffer our fools (that we can't escape)? Democracy is the worst system except for all others tried, that are even worse. Think most bang for buck wd be improving the political system. Atm it seems it works to extract the worst of our politicians. While a good system wd work to extract the best of the people that join. The behind the curtains book by @RoryStewartUK is good in describing the current state of the political system. Him and @Dominic2306 (yes that guy, I'm aware not the most popular and likeable one, but heed the message never mind the messanger) have dozen of interviews on YT on this topic of reform to the political system.
8:08 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... that's true, but it doesn't throw as much shade on us as it might seem at 1st, b/c it's true for most peoples anyplace most of the time. 😆 Imagine the "average us", then consider that half of us are worse than that. 😁 What's to be done, in addition to suffer our fools (that we can't escape)? Democracy is the worst system except for all others tried, that are even worse. Think most bang for buck wd be improving the political system. Atm it seems it works to extract the worst of our politicians. While a good system wd work to extract the best of the people that join. The behind the curtains book by @RoryStewartUK is good in describing the current state of the political system. Him and @Dominic2306 (yes that guy, I'm aware not the most popular and likeable one, but heed the message never mind the messanger) have dozen of interviews on YT on this topic of reform to the political system.
8:08 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836650906588246081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Markets are a great invention, and have brought a lot of prosperity to humanity. Generally, like with other things where freedom is one of the axis if consideration - the freer the better. However, as with other powerful technologies, there is the "good servant, but a bad master" aspect of it: we want to be running them, them working for us, not us working for them, them running us. We have to be smarter that way. Notice where we can't use markets - like where there are natural monopolies - oft we also have trouble organising things to work well. It's not like anyone knows the secret of running things well.
7:17 AM · Sep 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Markets are a great invention, and have brought a lot of prosperity to humanity. Generally, like with other things where freedom is one of the axis if consideration - the freer the better. However, as with other powerful technologies, there is the "good servant, but a bad master" aspect of it: we want to be running them, them working for us, not us working for them, them running us. We have to be smarter that way. Notice where we can't use markets - like where there are natural monopolies - oft we also have trouble organising things to work well. It's not like anyone knows the secret of running things well.
7:17 AM · Sep 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836465700723994991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's common enough that it has a name - Gel-Mann amnesia. Coined by the late Michael Crichton. It's a great read - look it up, it's well worth it . 😁
7:01 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's common enough that it has a name - Gel-Mann amnesia. Coined by the late Michael Crichton. It's a great read - look it up, it's well worth it . 😁
7:01 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836464838043672678
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. You seem to think that needing more dollars for a loaf of bread today than in 1924 is making your life tough. You don't think if the that ratio was the same today as was in 1924, you would be getting many less dollars per hour of work you put to earn those dollars? I think you would. You are looking at 1/2 (cost) of the full picture, ignoring the other 1/2 (esrnings), and drawing conclusions.
6:58 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. You seem to think that needing more dollars for a loaf of bread today than in 1924 is making your life tough. You don't think if the that ratio was the same today as was in 1924, you would be getting many less dollars per hour of work you put to earn those dollars? I think you would. You are looking at 1/2 (cost) of the full picture, ignoring the other 1/2 (esrnings), and drawing conclusions.
6:58 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836447492340101560
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You know for yourself, for 1 US person. There are another 330M of persons like yourself. Their lives differ from yours. Everyone is unique. So we have data, statistics etc to come to some consensus. So yes - a non-US person can form opinions about life in the US.
5:49 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You know for yourself, for 1 US person. There are another 330M of persons like yourself. Their lives differ from yours. Everyone is unique. So we have data, statistics etc to come to some consensus. So yes - a non-US person can form opinions about life in the US.
5:49 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836446911890342276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only invariant is time. The number on the tokens is irrelevant. It matters how much of your time you spend working for the goods and services. A reduction of value i.e. goods and services acquired per unit of time would be real reduction in living standards. Do Americans today live worse lives than their equivalents in 1924? I don't think so. Everyone agrees Americans living in year 2024 are far far better off and more prosperous then their compatriots in 1924 afaik.
5:47 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only invariant is time. The number on the tokens is irrelevant. It matters how much of your time you spend working for the goods and services. A reduction of value i.e. goods and services acquired per unit of time would be real reduction in living standards. Do Americans today live worse lives than their equivalents in 1924? I don't think so. Everyone agrees Americans living in year 2024 are far far better off and more prosperous then their compatriots in 1924 afaik.
5:47 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836444795977294235
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah - you *feel* it wrong, but then, you will not propose a test, will you? B/c the moment that test is passed - then what? Have to admit "oh, it's as intelligent as us"?
Worry not - you are in good company. 😂 We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life is a letdown if there ever was one. 😰 While still smarting from that, but ok - we are *rational* animals, so at least that, then - Freud! 🧐 And now AI! 🤯 Hope no one is looking at us for afar - just embarrassing, no? 😇 Slow learners with outsized egos even. 😊
5:38 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah - you *feel* it wrong, but then, you will not propose a test, will you? B/c the moment that test is passed - then what? Have to admit "oh, it's as intelligent as us"?
Worry not - you are in good company. 😂 We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life is a letdown if there ever was one. 😰 While still smarting from that, but ok - we are *rational* animals, so at least that, then - Freud! 🧐 And now AI! 🤯 Hope no one is looking at us for afar - just embarrassing, no? 😇 Slow learners with outsized egos even. 😊
5:38 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836442201707974967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The number of $$$ you earn per hour of work has gone up enormously too. So per unit of time - the thing that really matters, as we have a fixed number allotted - there is tremendous improvement.
Sure CPI measures the price of a loaf of bread in USD, and it does measure and increase in price in USD of the loaf of bread. That's 1/2 of the picture. The other 1/2 - that you are missing - is that you also get many more USD per hour of your effort.
I don't have to imagine anything fwiw. I read, learn and then know. Do you?
5:28 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The number of $$$ you earn per hour of work has gone up enormously too. So per unit of time - the thing that really matters, as we have a fixed number allotted - there is tremendous improvement.
Sure CPI measures the price of a loaf of bread in USD, and it does measure and increase in price in USD of the loaf of bread. That's 1/2 of the picture. The other 1/2 - that you are missing - is that you also get many more USD per hour of your effort.
I don't have to imagine anything fwiw. I read, learn and then know. Do you?
5:28 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836436022843904001
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah - why not? It's plausible. One quibble - OP is
> I came across @QuaiNetwork as the best solution to this problem
... but I'm not finding much on the solution myself there. Will look for some more - but if it was there I'd expect it to be "in your face", unmissable? 😇
5:04 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah - why not? It's plausible. One quibble - OP is
> I came across @QuaiNetwork as the best solution to this problem
... but I'm not finding much on the solution myself there. Will look for some more - but if it was there I'd expect it to be "in your face", unmissable? 😇
5:04 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836433620958929296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are downsides.
While without religion good people do good things and bad people bad things, religion can make good people do bad things. Similar to ideology.
There are upsides.
By affirming that there is a God, helps remind humans they are no Gods themselves. Keeps some gigantic egos in check?
Still with us b/c it seems it's one rational response to uncertainty/random chance.
Belonging despair etc - nah, that's mostly baloney, just b/s people tell themselves, to do stuff they want to do anyways.
4:54 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are downsides.
While without religion good people do good things and bad people bad things, religion can make good people do bad things. Similar to ideology.
There are upsides.
By affirming that there is a God, helps remind humans they are no Gods themselves. Keeps some gigantic egos in check?
Still with us b/c it seems it's one rational response to uncertainty/random chance.
Belonging despair etc - nah, that's mostly baloney, just b/s people tell themselves, to do stuff they want to do anyways.
4:54 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836389937970622468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - but then with the price you ask for that, the number of takers maybe small. even maybe too small for the restaurant to break even
2:00 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - but then with the price you ask for that, the number of takers maybe small. even maybe too small for the restaurant to break even
2:00 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836387822825013324
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - "can't feel pain" and "happiness" are not the same. Wealth means "I will not die of hunger and exposure while homeless" at the very minimum. That's plenty better than most people have it! Most of us have to sell our labour and time for food and shelter. Think the above is PR. I doubt that a wealthy person exists that doesn't know or feel the above. Fighting tooth and nail to preserve our wealth (as we do) is a sort of "revealed preference" type knowledge that we are all cognisant of the basic facts of life.
1:52 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - "can't feel pain" and "happiness" are not the same. Wealth means "I will not die of hunger and exposure while homeless" at the very minimum. That's plenty better than most people have it! Most of us have to sell our labour and time for food and shelter. Think the above is PR. I doubt that a wealthy person exists that doesn't know or feel the above. Fighting tooth and nail to preserve our wealth (as we do) is a sort of "revealed preference" type knowledge that we are all cognisant of the basic facts of life.
1:52 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836385076126380532
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Money "conserve value" re: energy - there exists potential energy, no? Energy yet to be spent if you like. 😆
"Money concrete" - IDK who demands this tbh. People I know I think can internalise that almost all their money are electronic. (all except cash bankotes) As in - yours and mine BoA dollars in our BoA checking accounts are numbers in a spreadsheet BoA controls (==it can change numbers up/down; while we can't). I admit there is significant portion of the population where the above not only blows their minds, 🤯 but they will bash my head crack open and spill my brains on the pavement should I ever try explain that. But "demand" not quite the right word imo. They demand bread 🍞 and circus. 🎪 The form money takers is not something they concern themselves with.
1:41 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Money "conserve value" re: energy - there exists potential energy, no? Energy yet to be spent if you like. 😆
"Money concrete" - IDK who demands this tbh. People I know I think can internalise that almost all their money are electronic. (all except cash bankotes) As in - yours and mine BoA dollars in our BoA checking accounts are numbers in a spreadsheet BoA controls (==it can change numbers up/down; while we can't). I admit there is significant portion of the population where the above not only blows their minds, 🤯 but they will bash my head crack open and spill my brains on the pavement should I ever try explain that. But "demand" not quite the right word imo. They demand bread 🍞 and circus. 🎪 The form money takers is not something they concern themselves with.
1:41 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836370359752196126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Ofc didn't "100% leave alone", no such thing exists. Plus e.g. ordo-liberalism variant in DE specifically provided state "ring of protection" around the market. In my defense - this is twitter, 😏 not enough space-time for nuance. 😂 IDK how exactly things will pan out. The most I can think is general - "doesn't repeat exactly, but it rimes". Information age brings much better feedback loop for the state too. Micro level - with a CitizenApp on the phone, I can think of examples where gov can succeed now where it was failing before. Macro level - energy transition de-carbonization requires gargantuan capital investment on horizons o decades. Not something private capital can do really. So the state will re-assert there - Industrial Policy Next Generation. AI in humanoid robotics - may require similar marshaling of resources? IDK. If every capital owner was another Elon Musk, then I'd see much less reason for it. However - most capital owners are pretty useless. Just sitting on their hands, doing nothing much. That doesn't cut it any more.
12:43 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Ofc didn't "100% leave alone", no such thing exists. Plus e.g. ordo-liberalism variant in DE specifically provided state "ring of protection" around the market. In my defense - this is twitter, 😏 not enough space-time for nuance. 😂 IDK how exactly things will pan out. The most I can think is general - "doesn't repeat exactly, but it rimes". Information age brings much better feedback loop for the state too. Micro level - with a CitizenApp on the phone, I can think of examples where gov can succeed now where it was failing before. Macro level - energy transition de-carbonization requires gargantuan capital investment on horizons o decades. Not something private capital can do really. So the state will re-assert there - Industrial Policy Next Generation. AI in humanoid robotics - may require similar marshaling of resources? IDK. If every capital owner was another Elon Musk, then I'd see much less reason for it. However - most capital owners are pretty useless. Just sitting on their hands, doing nothing much. That doesn't cut it any more.
12:43 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836366828358042041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yep, just clueless - may say - a fountain of bad ideas inside their heads 😂😂😂
12:29 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yep, just clueless - may say - a fountain of bad ideas inside their heads 😂😂😂
12:29 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836366287707980143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they don't, and that's a bug not a feature - how come they don't? maybe if they were more interested in the accuracy of their forecasting, maybe their models would be better than the utter cr*p they are now
12:26 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they don't, and that's a bug not a feature - how come they don't? maybe if they were more interested in the accuracy of their forecasting, maybe their models would be better than the utter cr*p they are now
12:26 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836365621316943949
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a mixed bag. On one hand, yes, the USD has devalued relative to gold, but it hasn’t lost its value when measured against the goods and services it buys—where US wealth, in USD terms, is at an all-time high. On the other hand, there’s the argument that governments without external constraints tend not to act responsibly. In the past, the gold standard provided a hard-currency constraint; after the 1980s neoliberal revolution, control of central banks was taken from politicians and handed to technocrats.
When you look at the current state of political leadership—especially in the US, where frontline politics is practically a circus—and then consider how back-of-house "treasury brain" has been running the UK into the ground for the last 20 years, it raises a question: is it wise for politicians to wield this much power?
As for the idea of using energy as currency—it might actually have potential? If we tie energy to information in a "Maxwell’s demon" sort of way, particularly in the Information Age, there’s maybe something worth pondering there.
12:24 PM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a mixed bag. On one hand, yes, the USD has devalued relative to gold, but it hasn’t lost its value when measured against the goods and services it buys—where US wealth, in USD terms, is at an all-time high. On the other hand, there’s the argument that governments without external constraints tend not to act responsibly. In the past, the gold standard provided a hard-currency constraint; after the 1980s neoliberal revolution, control of central banks was taken from politicians and handed to technocrats.
When you look at the current state of political leadership—especially in the US, where frontline politics is practically a circus—and then consider how back-of-house "treasury brain" has been running the UK into the ground for the last 20 years, it raises a question: is it wise for politicians to wield this much power?
As for the idea of using energy as currency—it might actually have potential? If we tie energy to information in a "Maxwell’s demon" sort of way, particularly in the Information Age, there’s maybe something worth pondering there.
12:24 PM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836352207525974463
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nutniks rulez in the EU. (a word I happily learned/of today 😃) No sooner than one nutnik is out of the door 👏 (energetic @ThierryBreton - good riddance), another nutnik is brought in 😰 (energy @DanJoergensen). Toddler ego #bloodyboomers decel me-me-me mindset is strong. 😭🤷
11:30 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nutniks rulez in the EU. (a word I happily learned/of today 😃) No sooner than one nutnik is out of the door 👏 (energetic @ThierryBreton - good riddance), another nutnik is brought in 😰 (energy @DanJoergensen). Toddler ego #bloodyboomers decel me-me-me mindset is strong. 😭🤷
11:30 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836340115594944947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the force of gravity is terrifying and awe inspiring 😫😱😡 oh to know that there will be the day when humanity learns to control gravity and bend it our wills... 🤯🫠
10:42 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the force of gravity is terrifying and awe inspiring 😫😱😡 oh to know that there will be the day when humanity learns to control gravity and bend it our wills... 🤯🫠
10:42 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836329476218597818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well if the tech-bros cabal get in, they will effectively displace the Fed, by them acquiring the power to issue currency. They will effectively take over half the US gov. Makes sense for them - but not a good thing for anyone not-them.
10:00 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well if the tech-bros cabal get in, they will effectively displace the Fed, by them acquiring the power to issue currency. They will effectively take over half the US gov. Makes sense for them - but not a good thing for anyone not-them.
10:00 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836319434194948345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - changes that big always happen b/c of a crisis. They don't happen without a crisis, without it there is not big enough coalition to support radical change in good times. My understanding is that the previous system that came out of the WW2 settlement worked in the US 1945-1975. Then the oil chock and the inflation were a moment of crisis. Similar in the UK - the pre-1980-s crisis of inflation, high unemployment, industrial gave popular support to changes to the post-WW2 settlement that we recognize as neoliberalism introduction into the UK.
9:20 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - changes that big always happen b/c of a crisis. They don't happen without a crisis, without it there is not big enough coalition to support radical change in good times. My understanding is that the previous system that came out of the WW2 settlement worked in the US 1945-1975. Then the oil chock and the inflation were a moment of crisis. Similar in the UK - the pre-1980-s crisis of inflation, high unemployment, industrial gave popular support to changes to the post-WW2 settlement that we recognize as neoliberalism introduction into the UK.
9:20 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836316141230141751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent insight into aspect of WFH economics that mostly escape us. Meat to the opponents of gov intervention: apparently state tax breaks are a big factor in RTO. Makes sense - need to have an Office presence in order to harness the tax break!
Very much divorced from an ideological PoV discussion that may go sth like this.
Employees agree on temporary restriction on their freedom of movement 9-17 in a free exchange. That is a decrease of their freedom all right. But they take it, b/c it improves on the previous state of freedom - the freedom to die for lack of food and shelter.
Can see how exchanging freedom for unfreedom may confuse a libertarian. It's b/c survival is something every living thing places higher on the list of priorities than freedom. An ideologue can't see this. :-) So the employee is choosing the smaller bad. Hence "wage slaves" for the condition, and "f*ck off money" when one can stop being a wage slave and is free again.
Re: WFH and employers, why they would not favour it themselves where it most likely raises productivity and makes everyone better off?? We may want to look previous similar episodes in history.
Q: Child labour - did the employers self-regulate and agree on voluntary code of conduct to not hire under-18s? A: No.
Q: Slavery abolition - were employers instrumental and supporting abolition, and in conflict with the slave owners? A: No.
Quote
John McBride @johncodezzz · 9h
I’m a former AWS employee: most of the hot takes on Amazon's new strict return-to-office policy are wrong.
Anyone who’s been paying attention saw this coming years ago. And ultimately, it comes down to taxes and economics.
Here's their plan:
Phase 1: layoff over 30k people.
Show more
https://x.com/johncodezzz/status/1836205682539786345
9:07 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent insight into aspect of WFH economics that mostly escape us. Meat to the opponents of gov intervention: apparently state tax breaks are a big factor in RTO. Makes sense - need to have an Office presence in order to harness the tax break!
Very much divorced from an ideological PoV discussion that may go sth like this.
Employees agree on temporary restriction on their freedom of movement 9-17 in a free exchange. That is a decrease of their freedom all right. But they take it, b/c it improves on the previous state of freedom - the freedom to die for lack of food and shelter.
Can see how exchanging freedom for unfreedom may confuse a libertarian. It's b/c survival is something every living thing places higher on the list of priorities than freedom. An ideologue can't see this. :-) So the employee is choosing the smaller bad. Hence "wage slaves" for the condition, and "f*ck off money" when one can stop being a wage slave and is free again.
Re: WFH and employers, why they would not favour it themselves where it most likely raises productivity and makes everyone better off?? We may want to look previous similar episodes in history.
Q: Child labour - did the employers self-regulate and agree on voluntary code of conduct to not hire under-18s? A: No.
Q: Slavery abolition - were employers instrumental and supporting abolition, and in conflict with the slave owners? A: No.
Quote
John McBride @johncodezzz · 9h
I’m a former AWS employee: most of the hot takes on Amazon's new strict return-to-office policy are wrong.
Anyone who’s been paying attention saw this coming years ago. And ultimately, it comes down to taxes and economics.
Here's their plan:
Phase 1: layoff over 30k people.
Show more
https://x.com/johncodezzz/status/1836205682539786345
9:07 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836313462240104680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the 10+yrs CON policies delivered the ATH energy bills, that much we know. TBS what LAB deliver. But to claim to know the future is tad presumptuous. You are a CON - why didn't the CON side deliver low energy bills, if you knew the hows and the whys etc on this?
8:57 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the 10+yrs CON policies delivered the ATH energy bills, that much we know. TBS what LAB deliver. But to claim to know the future is tad presumptuous. You are a CON - why didn't the CON side deliver low energy bills, if you knew the hows and the whys etc on this?
8:57 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836312631746904190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! Love the message. So - energy bills coming down - when??
8:53 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! Love the message. So - energy bills coming down - when??
8:53 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836311865707639230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"nutnik"!!! I'm stealing that 😂😂😂
8:50 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"nutnik"!!! I'm stealing that 😂😂😂
8:50 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836306461703684295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Employees agree on temporary restriction on their freedom of movement 9-17 in a free exchange. That is a decrease of their freedom all right. But they take it, b/c it improves on the previous state of freedom - the freedom to die for lack of food and shelter. I see how exchanging freedom for unfreedom may confuse a libertarian. It's b/c survival is something every living thing places higher on the list of priorities than freedom. An ideologue can't see this - that's ok. So the employee is choosing the smaller bad. Hence "wage slaves" for the condition, and "f*ck off money" when one can stop being a wage slave and is free again.
Re: WFH and employers, why they would not favour it themselves where it most likely raises productivity and makes everyone better off. You may want to look previous similar episodes in history. Child labour - did the employers self-regulate and agree on voluntary code of conduct to not hire under-18s? Slavery abolition - were employers instrumental and supporting abolition, and in conflict with the slave owners?
8:29 AM · Sep 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Employees agree on temporary restriction on their freedom of movement 9-17 in a free exchange. That is a decrease of their freedom all right. But they take it, b/c it improves on the previous state of freedom - the freedom to die for lack of food and shelter. I see how exchanging freedom for unfreedom may confuse a libertarian. It's b/c survival is something every living thing places higher on the list of priorities than freedom. An ideologue can't see this - that's ok. So the employee is choosing the smaller bad. Hence "wage slaves" for the condition, and "f*ck off money" when one can stop being a wage slave and is free again.
Re: WFH and employers, why they would not favour it themselves where it most likely raises productivity and makes everyone better off. You may want to look previous similar episodes in history. Child labour - did the employers self-regulate and agree on voluntary code of conduct to not hire under-18s? Slavery abolition - were employers instrumental and supporting abolition, and in conflict with the slave owners?
8:29 AM · Sep 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836146982672343528
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Typically the doers know the stuff they are doing. OP traded macro -e.g. gov bonds, I presume currencies - and survived and made his $$$ money. That's a good indicator that whatever ideas he had about his stuff - it's likely they are correct, right. Financial markets are very fast to pass judgement on your bets, and wrong ideas abt the real world are quickly punished, separated from their $$$. Businessman like Thiel didn't earn their fortunes trading macro. So while they are right about other things, on the "US bankrupt hyperinflation" - they are wrong. @balajis
Was wrong and lost 1M bet - kudos for putting his $$$ where his mouth was. @jack
Forecast hyperinflation 3yrs ago, that forecast was wrong. Forecasting and them never going back to check - what happened? - strikes me as unserious. Entertainment, circus, media macro, clowning Cramer-style - but not genuine bet on the future.
9:55 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Typically the doers know the stuff they are doing. OP traded macro -e.g. gov bonds, I presume currencies - and survived and made his $$$ money. That's a good indicator that whatever ideas he had about his stuff - it's likely they are correct, right. Financial markets are very fast to pass judgement on your bets, and wrong ideas abt the real world are quickly punished, separated from their $$$. Businessman like Thiel didn't earn their fortunes trading macro. So while they are right about other things, on the "US bankrupt hyperinflation" - they are wrong. @balajis
Was wrong and lost 1M bet - kudos for putting his $$$ where his mouth was. @jack
Forecast hyperinflation 3yrs ago, that forecast was wrong. Forecasting and them never going back to check - what happened? - strikes me as unserious. Entertainment, circus, media macro, clowning Cramer-style - but not genuine bet on the future.
9:55 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836131859975082291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Making the blind see?? 👍🙏😃 What next - walking on water, feeding many with little? 😆 My god - kudos, respect! 👏👏👏
8:55 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Making the blind see?? 👍🙏😃 What next - walking on water, feeding many with little? 😆 My god - kudos, respect! 👏👏👏
8:55 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836130676145320230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans do the same, we use them all the time. 😉
Where I care abt this, I use http://perplexity.ai - gives references.
Unlikely to ever be "fixed" to a "mathematical guarantee to not hallucinate" imo. Likely to be greatly reduced.
Noone knows how they work?? We can trace every bit that comes out, so we know all right. If by "know" you mean "can write half a page of symbols that one can work through pen in hand" 😆 - nah, that's not going to happen 🤷 And that's a feature not a bug 😁
From perplexity.ai
8:50 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans do the same, we use them all the time. 😉
Where I care abt this, I use http://perplexity.ai - gives references.
Unlikely to ever be "fixed" to a "mathematical guarantee to not hallucinate" imo. Likely to be greatly reduced.
Noone knows how they work?? We can trace every bit that comes out, so we know all right. If by "know" you mean "can write half a page of symbols that one can work through pen in hand" 😆 - nah, that's not going to happen 🤷 And that's a feature not a bug 😁
From perplexity.ai
8:50 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836022130762264761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you not get the message yet?? St. Greta is tired, and uk/acc is wired. Come on dude - a 55+yo non politician in the sticks can see the tide turning ffs. Follow at least if you are unable to lead. The trend waits for no man - join in, don't be left out.
1:39 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you not get the message yet?? St. Greta is tired, and uk/acc is wired. Come on dude - a 55+yo non politician in the sticks can see the tide turning ffs. Follow at least if you are unable to lead. The trend waits for no man - join in, don't be left out.
1:39 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836020124081418435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neoliberalism was a big return to the market left alone - and that's failing now. No shame in that - worked for few decades, what works will keep being done, and finally will be overdone. We are at that stage now. Things need to change now in order for them to stay the same. The underlying principles of the free markets will continue to be harnessed, but in somewhat different forms. Cheer up! 😁
1:31 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neoliberalism was a big return to the market left alone - and that's failing now. No shame in that - worked for few decades, what works will keep being done, and finally will be overdone. We are at that stage now. Things need to change now in order for them to stay the same. The underlying principles of the free markets will continue to be harnessed, but in somewhat different forms. Cheer up! 😁
1:31 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836017839230132505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would experts stop lecturing the public and start doing the jobs they are paid to do, by that same public. Do your job well, professionally, as befits the expert you are. That's all. Not everything is a bridge to die on. Just do your job.
Quote
Jeff Zhang 张佶润 @strangeharbors · Sep 16
Mainstream criticism is in pretty dire straits, but most critics can still recognize dog whistle tripe when they see it. Also, Jeremy Jahns hasn’t leveled-up his film analysis once in almost two decades.
Image
1:22 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would experts stop lecturing the public and start doing the jobs they are paid to do, by that same public. Do your job well, professionally, as befits the expert you are. That's all. Not everything is a bridge to die on. Just do your job.
Quote
Jeff Zhang 张佶润 @strangeharbors · Sep 16
Mainstream criticism is in pretty dire straits, but most critics can still recognize dog whistle tripe when they see it. Also, Jeremy Jahns hasn’t leveled-up his film analysis once in almost two decades.
Image
1:22 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1836015338921590830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reform is 50 years overdue how research is conducted and published. Current system uses trust as "solution" for too many things. That worked when scientists were "gentleman with means" communicating letters to each other in Latin in 18th Century Europe. Doesn't work when it's a collosal industry in much advanced 21st Century civilization that relies on science and technology abt 1e6 times more than predecessors ever did. We need all components of the science process revamped and improved. Not much there fit for purpose afaics. I'd dearly like to learn of an organisation or movement interested in this. Anyone in the know - grateful if you shout my way. Thanks 🙏 in advance
1:12 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reform is 50 years overdue how research is conducted and published. Current system uses trust as "solution" for too many things. That worked when scientists were "gentleman with means" communicating letters to each other in Latin in 18th Century Europe. Doesn't work when it's a collosal industry in much advanced 21st Century civilization that relies on science and technology abt 1e6 times more than predecessors ever did. We need all components of the science process revamped and improved. Not much there fit for purpose afaics. I'd dearly like to learn of an organisation or movement interested in this. Anyone in the know - grateful if you shout my way. Thanks 🙏 in advance
1:12 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835998044904411333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If the power balance was about comparable - then yes. Buy we don't live in such world. The power emolyeers have is far greater than the other side. Absent unions to collectively even the scales - only the state remains. Individual employee has almost zero power against his emplyeer. That liberal-ish and libertarian ideologies fail to notice that reality (and maybe address it, come up with some mechanisms less blunt to present ones) is a major fail.
12:03 PM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If the power balance was about comparable - then yes. Buy we don't live in such world. The power emolyeers have is far greater than the other side. Absent unions to collectively even the scales - only the state remains. Individual employee has almost zero power against his emplyeer. That liberal-ish and libertarian ideologies fail to notice that reality (and maybe address it, come up with some mechanisms less blunt to present ones) is a major fail.
12:03 PM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835950291901940134
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... so perfect time to scrape the insane stupidity of banning (banning!!!) substack links or sth, and undoing the down ranking of posts with links or sth. If indeed it's happening (IDK for sure - many suspect) - and if not, then to publicly say so so people start linking again.
8:53 AM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... so perfect time to scrape the insane stupidity of banning (banning!!!) substack links or sth, and undoing the down ranking of posts with links or sth. If indeed it's happening (IDK for sure - many suspect) - and if not, then to publicly say so so people start linking again.
8:53 AM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835938583288414258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Страв им е? ДПМНЕ се револуционерни, има карање отпуштање тепање и ултимативно убивање, а СДСМ во моментално издание се либерални, не мора човек да им се плаши, може да си каже што мисли? (и кога погрешно мисли - т.е. посебно тогаш)
8:07 AM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Страв им е? ДПМНЕ се револуционерни, има карање отпуштање тепање и ултимативно убивање, а СДСМ во моментално издание се либерални, не мора човек да им се плаши, може да си каже што мисли? (и кога погрешно мисли - т.е. посебно тогаш)
8:07 AM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835921256408924553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top Boomer job that one, if ever was one. Everything about it is wrong. Remember the minister at the time (for Science? or Education?) wheeled on the BBC was breathlessly marketed as "Two brains" by the airhead on TV. Thought all involved were more "NO brains". #bloodyboomers
6:58 AM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top Boomer job that one, if ever was one. Everything about it is wrong. Remember the minister at the time (for Science? or Education?) wheeled on the BBC was breathlessly marketed as "Two brains" by the airhead on TV. Thought all involved were more "NO brains". #bloodyboomers
6:58 AM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835919066256605239
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't have to be the class clown 100% of the time. You don't have to have opinion on every little thing, and when you do have, you are not obliged to voice it. The point of f*uck you money is to do say - f*ck you, I won't do what you told/expect of/me - from time to time.
6:49 AM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't have to be the class clown 100% of the time. You don't have to have opinion on every little thing, and when you do have, you are not obliged to voice it. The point of f*uck you money is to do say - f*ck you, I won't do what you told/expect of/me - from time to time.
6:49 AM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835916827337117804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
New user experience is horrific. What they get is the blandest, worst version of X. Of 4 people I made signup - 0 tried X the 2nd time. Easy win to improve: don't start them with 0 Following! Why oh why would you do that?? Takes significant effort to find interesting people. Lift that burden off the newbies! Have starter packs, possibly thematic, of 1K - 2K interesting/prolific/etc accounts, and start a new user with one of those. Make it opt-out if you must. User A interested in Arts & Culture? Here is a default pack of 2K accounts, you are following them now - and click here if you want to unfollow them all. Or you can offer multiple packs - pack Arts 500 acc, pack Tech 500 acc, pack Sci 500, pack Film... (you get the idea), pre-Add the new user to all packs, allow the user to click to un-Add themselves off a pack. On the other side - you can offer some brownie points or goodies to accounts that volunteer to be signed to Follow new user accounts. Could match them by theme (e.g. Science & Technology). Starting with 0 Following, 0 Followers - is a downer, is dispiriting. You can do much better than that! Do it.
6:40 AM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
New user experience is horrific. What they get is the blandest, worst version of X. Of 4 people I made signup - 0 tried X the 2nd time. Easy win to improve: don't start them with 0 Following! Why oh why would you do that?? Takes significant effort to find interesting people. Lift that burden off the newbies! Have starter packs, possibly thematic, of 1K - 2K interesting/prolific/etc accounts, and start a new user with one of those. Make it opt-out if you must. User A interested in Arts & Culture? Here is a default pack of 2K accounts, you are following them now - and click here if you want to unfollow them all. Or you can offer multiple packs - pack Arts 500 acc, pack Tech 500 acc, pack Sci 500, pack Film... (you get the idea), pre-Add the new user to all packs, allow the user to click to un-Add themselves off a pack. On the other side - you can offer some brownie points or goodies to accounts that volunteer to be signed to Follow new user accounts. Could match them by theme (e.g. Science & Technology). Starting with 0 Following, 0 Followers - is a downer, is dispiriting. You can do much better than that! Do it.
6:40 AM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835902301631836387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take heart 😊 Everyone wants to be heard, no one is keen to hear. 😁 The biggest surprise to me from the age of social media: how keen people are to express themselves, to tell the world! 🌎 Would not have predicted that at the start of the Internet in 1990. 🤷
5:43 AM · Sep 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take heart 😊 Everyone wants to be heard, no one is keen to hear. 😁 The biggest surprise to me from the age of social media: how keen people are to express themselves, to tell the world! 🌎 Would not have predicted that at the start of the Internet in 1990. 🤷
5:43 AM · Sep 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835794270772453720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - that decision was brain dead. Amusingly - they did it for some small forecast engagement increase. Then EM said to advertisers publicly "f*ck you" - I bet that had 1e9 times more influence on their advert revenue. 😂😂
10:33 PM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - that decision was brain dead. Amusingly - they did it for some small forecast engagement increase. Then EM said to advertisers publicly "f*ck you" - I bet that had 1e9 times more influence on their advert revenue. 😂😂
10:33 PM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835718534703337697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I think that too. One thing reducing the chance of that: the Crown that is pro-United Kingdom will likely be against NF, b/c they wd fully aware what NF as PM wd do to the United Kingdom. The Army swears loyalty to the King (Queen), not the PM afaik.
5:32 PM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I think that too. One thing reducing the chance of that: the Crown that is pro-United Kingdom will likely be against NF, b/c they wd fully aware what NF as PM wd do to the United Kingdom. The Army swears loyalty to the King (Queen), not the PM afaik.
5:32 PM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835715369119715411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed CONREF win and NF as PM wd be v.bad. NF shares all the fails of the current politicos, but adds a sinister twist. When buffoons cosplaying clowns take over, they have neither the interest nor the ability to exercise the state power to solve problems. Instead, and almost by instinct rather than explicit plan, they find a wound in the body public and drill into it relentlessly until the public screams in agony. Once the public becomes numb from exhaustion, they move on to the next wound and repeat the process. So a series of crisis are started, each new one displacing the previous, with no solution in sight for any of them. Like CON-s stopped processing asylum so to balloon the size of the numbers (and line the pockets of some of their mates) and get a crisis - but x10 - x100 times that. Maybe @Dominic2306 can find cobble CON coalition strong enough to try for a change? (and ward off REF) Can't imagine a new startup party to emerge in FPTP.
5:20 PM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed CONREF win and NF as PM wd be v.bad. NF shares all the fails of the current politicos, but adds a sinister twist. When buffoons cosplaying clowns take over, they have neither the interest nor the ability to exercise the state power to solve problems. Instead, and almost by instinct rather than explicit plan, they find a wound in the body public and drill into it relentlessly until the public screams in agony. Once the public becomes numb from exhaustion, they move on to the next wound and repeat the process. So a series of crisis are started, each new one displacing the previous, with no solution in sight for any of them. Like CON-s stopped processing asylum so to balloon the size of the numbers (and line the pockets of some of their mates) and get a crisis - but x10 - x100 times that. Maybe @Dominic2306 can find cobble CON coalition strong enough to try for a change? (and ward off REF) Can't imagine a new startup party to emerge in FPTP.
5:20 PM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835683707669131556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c these are *real* consultants that genuinely know stuff I don't that would take me many years of doing to learn. Not bullshitters hired to deliver a message that we all know but are afraid to rely to pple that are stuck at toddler levels in their thinking.
3:14 PM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c these are *real* consultants that genuinely know stuff I don't that would take me many years of doing to learn. Not bullshitters hired to deliver a message that we all know but are afraid to rely to pple that are stuck at toddler levels in their thinking.
3:14 PM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835666962921165013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw instant Espresso - Nespresso! - is passable enough that I stopped using anything else; convenience wins
2:08 PM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw instant Espresso - Nespresso! - is passable enough that I stopped using anything else; convenience wins
2:08 PM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835648378786476133
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... aha - and with big egos! 😊
Still - took us longer than that to figure our King 👑 is not God's emissary. And if we cut the head of a bad king the sky is not going to fall on us. 😂 To great success! 👍
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
12:54 PM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... aha - and with big egos! 😊
Still - took us longer than that to figure our King 👑 is not God's emissary. And if we cut the head of a bad king the sky is not going to fall on us. 😂 To great success! 👍
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
12:54 PM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835619137495732732
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
true that but with the caveat
Image
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
10:58 AM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
true that but with the caveat
Image
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
10:58 AM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835608919923626393
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good riddance. Too bad what insane things 1 energetic fool can do, it takes 100 smart and industrious people to undo and fix afterwards.
10:17 AM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good riddance. Too bad what insane things 1 energetic fool can do, it takes 100 smart and industrious people to undo and fix afterwards.
10:17 AM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835591811475132780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. Further - one can trace the moment when manipulation becomes too strong to ignore. This is when beauty becomes aware that it can deceive others to be the truth. Then it truly becomes weaponized. While - still not completely aware of its impact on the eye (and brain) of the beholder beauty - the beholder can still resist and factor out. :-)
9:09 AM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. Further - one can trace the moment when manipulation becomes too strong to ignore. This is when beauty becomes aware that it can deceive others to be the truth. Then it truly becomes weaponized. While - still not completely aware of its impact on the eye (and brain) of the beholder beauty - the beholder can still resist and factor out. :-)
9:09 AM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835577879540683059
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, the big divides of our time ares sane-smart v.s. insane-stupid. The splits exist on both sides.
Current notable difference is the how respective elite-base relationship is played. REP side - the elite indulges the base, eggs them riles them up with ever crazier fantasies. DEM side - elite still resists the craziest fringe (while surrendered to the slightly less crazy) of their base, have not completely surrendered (yet?) to the worst base instincts.
One rarely acknowledged root of crazy progressive on the DEM side I trace back to health-beauty soul-body complex a-la Elle Macpherson. Contemporary incarnation flogging "scented vaginal farts" cosmetics or some such. 😂 Mistaking beauty for truth is not unheard of. The Devil is slick, good looking and smooth talking after all. 😆
8:14 AM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, the big divides of our time ares sane-smart v.s. insane-stupid. The splits exist on both sides.
Current notable difference is the how respective elite-base relationship is played. REP side - the elite indulges the base, eggs them riles them up with ever crazier fantasies. DEM side - elite still resists the craziest fringe (while surrendered to the slightly less crazy) of their base, have not completely surrendered (yet?) to the worst base instincts.
One rarely acknowledged root of crazy progressive on the DEM side I trace back to health-beauty soul-body complex a-la Elle Macpherson. Contemporary incarnation flogging "scented vaginal farts" cosmetics or some such. 😂 Mistaking beauty for truth is not unheard of. The Devil is slick, good looking and smooth talking after all. 😆
8:14 AM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835564890901053946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - you don't understand. Events surprise you. This is b/c the model of the world you have in your head is incorrect. Yes we are replaying WW2 start, so far 1/4 of it: 1/2 b/c only Russia is trying to take over its "historic lands" (while Germany stayed put this time), times 1/2 b/c Russia did not manage to take over Ukraine. So 1/4 25% there on the road to WW3. If you read Putin's speeches (published translated) you will be less surprised. After taking over UKR, the death of Lukashenka, the change of power there is to be used to maneuver a pro-RUS leader in power, with the task of uniting BLR with RUS. Then neo-Russia consisting of RUS+UKR+BLR can look towards taking over the Baltics, and then over to Finland and Poland. The nuclear danger is that at that point a regional CEEu war becomes WW3, with the potential of going nuclear. The "rimes" part of the "history does not repeat" (exactly).
For your benefit here is an article with the correct frame of reference. Notice how they are not only not surprised, but they manage to predict the future! Not a small feat that. Published 2 weeks before the current invasion, explaining more on UKR, the logic of RUS etc -
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
Guessing the future correctly (i.e. not surprised - unlike yourself) gives some confidence that their frame of reference is correct.
IDK you personally, but headstrong pple like yourself have strong egos. I ack the above is unlikely to change your mind. Written for the benefit of other readers. And for my amusement abt how anyone so steeped in Scottish politics can miss the parallels Russia-Ukraine v.v. England-Scotland and be wrong and surprised.
7:22 AM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - you don't understand. Events surprise you. This is b/c the model of the world you have in your head is incorrect. Yes we are replaying WW2 start, so far 1/4 of it: 1/2 b/c only Russia is trying to take over its "historic lands" (while Germany stayed put this time), times 1/2 b/c Russia did not manage to take over Ukraine. So 1/4 25% there on the road to WW3. If you read Putin's speeches (published translated) you will be less surprised. After taking over UKR, the death of Lukashenka, the change of power there is to be used to maneuver a pro-RUS leader in power, with the task of uniting BLR with RUS. Then neo-Russia consisting of RUS+UKR+BLR can look towards taking over the Baltics, and then over to Finland and Poland. The nuclear danger is that at that point a regional CEEu war becomes WW3, with the potential of going nuclear. The "rimes" part of the "history does not repeat" (exactly).
For your benefit here is an article with the correct frame of reference. Notice how they are not only not surprised, but they manage to predict the future! Not a small feat that. Published 2 weeks before the current invasion, explaining more on UKR, the logic of RUS etc -
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
Guessing the future correctly (i.e. not surprised - unlike yourself) gives some confidence that their frame of reference is correct.
IDK you personally, but headstrong pple like yourself have strong egos. I ack the above is unlikely to change your mind. Written for the benefit of other readers. And for my amusement abt how anyone so steeped in Scottish politics can miss the parallels Russia-Ukraine v.v. England-Scotland and be wrong and surprised.
7:22 AM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835557736882262139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it cd have been. But - LAB just got elected with a thumping majority. Why wd they go back on their program, for which they sought and received popular support, in free and fair election? "Spent 600M" view of afn is just stoopid - yeah spent 600M, to acquire asset worth 600M, so net wealth change of gov position is - zero exactly. Afn does not strike me as a financially illiterate - on the contrary - so I put his post to just reflexive trolling. Begs the Q: if financially net 0 then why do it? A: Control. To take back control. Part of a wider point: UK privatized utilities delivered bills at ATH, additionally England privatized water co-s filled English rivers full of sh*t. Something needs to change, the current settlement has is not working any more.
6:54 AM · Sep 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it cd have been. But - LAB just got elected with a thumping majority. Why wd they go back on their program, for which they sought and received popular support, in free and fair election? "Spent 600M" view of afn is just stoopid - yeah spent 600M, to acquire asset worth 600M, so net wealth change of gov position is - zero exactly. Afn does not strike me as a financially illiterate - on the contrary - so I put his post to just reflexive trolling. Begs the Q: if financially net 0 then why do it? A: Control. To take back control. Part of a wider point: UK privatized utilities delivered bills at ATH, additionally England privatized water co-s filled English rivers full of sh*t. Something needs to change, the current settlement has is not working any more.
6:54 AM · Sep 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835354720178704787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read the book but missed or forgotten that nugget. 😂 There were so many jaw dropping moments like it. Hilarious moment in this interview on Peter Principle (assumed by the interviewer @ChrisWillx to be a problem), and @RoryStewartUK is "no no no - she was incompetent all the way through, failed from level 1 onwards" 😂😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=QOa1m2-pQuU
5:27 PM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read the book but missed or forgotten that nugget. 😂 There were so many jaw dropping moments like it. Hilarious moment in this interview on Peter Principle (assumed by the interviewer @ChrisWillx to be a problem), and @RoryStewartUK is "no no no - she was incompetent all the way through, failed from level 1 onwards" 😂😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=QOa1m2-pQuU
5:27 PM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835293545575375239
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
agreed - check the thread - and at some point I chose the same; only saying - it doesn't come free, a price is extracted for that gain
1:24 PM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
agreed - check the thread - and at some point I chose the same; only saying - it doesn't come free, a price is extracted for that gain
1:24 PM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835265143388746156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... чекај - а никотинот е опасен? Јас мислев никотинот ствара зависност, ама самиот не е нешто опасен. Опасноста и штетноста се од горење, чадот, еден куп работи во чадит, катранот и сл. А дека самиот никотин не е директно опасен - ама ја ствара зависноста.
11:31 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... чекај - а никотинот е опасен? Јас мислев никотинот ствара зависност, ама самиот не е нешто опасен. Опасноста и штетноста се од горење, чадот, еден куп работи во чадит, катранот и сл. А дека самиот никотин не е директно опасен - ама ја ствара зависноста.
11:31 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835240749836705808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
to each his own 😇 tastes are not something I'd argue abt 😆
9:54 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
to each his own 😇 tastes are not something I'd argue abt 😆
9:54 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835239631245242739
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - and I acknowledge that in other posts in this thread; with freedoms gained come prices paid too, it's a trade-off that each of us is fortunately free to make individually
9:49 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - and I acknowledge that in other posts in this thread; with freedoms gained come prices paid too, it's a trade-off that each of us is fortunately free to make individually
9:49 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835238375994892653
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It takes a lot of mis-education to overwhelm the common senses we are all endowed with. In natural sciences natural instincts we start with are shown lacking and bettered. Not to say they are useless - no perfect final theory exists, it's always "the new theory reduces the error over the previous, but we never reach error 0". In social sciences a lot of "over and above" those natural instincts (like - love, compassion, trust, community, help each other) turn out to be unadulterated nonsense that hurt us all in the mid do long run. I don't blame the IYI for the fails so much. As it's tough to seek truth when no objective reality exists to show you your errors. I do blame them for the arrogance and lacking vigilance, self doubt, reigning their egos, specifically b/c not easily observable reality to correct them is available to social sciences.
9:45 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It takes a lot of mis-education to overwhelm the common senses we are all endowed with. In natural sciences natural instincts we start with are shown lacking and bettered. Not to say they are useless - no perfect final theory exists, it's always "the new theory reduces the error over the previous, but we never reach error 0". In social sciences a lot of "over and above" those natural instincts (like - love, compassion, trust, community, help each other) turn out to be unadulterated nonsense that hurt us all in the mid do long run. I don't blame the IYI for the fails so much. As it's tough to seek truth when no objective reality exists to show you your errors. I do blame them for the arrogance and lacking vigilance, self doubt, reigning their egos, specifically b/c not easily observable reality to correct them is available to social sciences.
9:45 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835232636836397538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Ofc I didn't mean "google X". Who uses X and goes to Google in order find X.com?? We have X.com not only in memory, but in muscle memory. 😂 Come on dude. I meant: if I am trying to find something I remember reading on twitter, searching terms that include "twitter" in general search was more likely to find me the page, as opposed to "X" that is a more generic term.
x.com
X. It’s what’s happening
From breaking news and entertainment to sports and politics, get the full story with all the live commentary.
9:22 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Ofc I didn't mean "google X". Who uses X and goes to Google in order find X.com?? We have X.com not only in memory, but in muscle memory. 😂 Come on dude. I meant: if I am trying to find something I remember reading on twitter, searching terms that include "twitter" in general search was more likely to find me the page, as opposed to "X" that is a more generic term.
x.com
X. It’s what’s happening
From breaking news and entertainment to sports and politics, get the full story with all the live commentary.
9:22 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835226738047037587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - X is un-searchable, means little it's generic (except to him), and what little meaning it's got for the rest is mostly negative: black X is symbol of death and destruction, is not life affirmative. (exception when Harrison Ford is near - then funny jokey)
8:58 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - X is un-searchable, means little it's generic (except to him), and what little meaning it's got for the rest is mostly negative: black X is symbol of death and destruction, is not life affirmative. (exception when Harrison Ford is near - then funny jokey)
8:58 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835219737023803450
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not really as you could move mortgage, or sell and buy again, too. For the 1st 25 yrs the two options are pretty similar. It's what happens after 25yrs with the mortgage paid off: in one case you own a very valuable asset (that you can live in too, rent free). In the other case you own nothing, value owned is 0. Yes, while renting, you could invest in the prior 25 years in parallel into assets that will take you to equivalent wealth in owning an asset after 25yrs, only: 1) most people don't, lack the knowledge and the discipline; 2) there is always the risk that when you need it (in 25yrs from now), the asset class will be in drawdown of some sort, to your disadvantage. In contrast, a house in addition of being a financial asset, is also a real asset too, you can simply live in it, does that job. Yes, you pay for this reduced risk, via the rate of return on a house as financial asset being lower than other assets like stocks and shares. Still, most of us have one life, it's game over if we end up destitute. So reducing that risk to almost 0 is going to be costly, but imo worth it.
8:30 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not really as you could move mortgage, or sell and buy again, too. For the 1st 25 yrs the two options are pretty similar. It's what happens after 25yrs with the mortgage paid off: in one case you own a very valuable asset (that you can live in too, rent free). In the other case you own nothing, value owned is 0. Yes, while renting, you could invest in the prior 25 years in parallel into assets that will take you to equivalent wealth in owning an asset after 25yrs, only: 1) most people don't, lack the knowledge and the discipline; 2) there is always the risk that when you need it (in 25yrs from now), the asset class will be in drawdown of some sort, to your disadvantage. In contrast, a house in addition of being a financial asset, is also a real asset too, you can simply live in it, does that job. Yes, you pay for this reduced risk, via the rate of return on a house as financial asset being lower than other assets like stocks and shares. Still, most of us have one life, it's game over if we end up destitute. So reducing that risk to almost 0 is going to be costly, but imo worth it.
8:30 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835216617782866268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He’ll likely succeed on a micro level, but at the macro level, I believe a businessman’s skills are the wrong preparation for governing, and EM is likely to fail. Running a country is not the same as running a company, and in fact, the two require almost mirror-image skills. Governments handle all the things that businesses can't or shouldn’t—like law and order, social welfare, and keeping the peace.
In business, you can synchronize large groups of people through employment, knowing that if they don’t follow the agreed plan, they’ll lose their jobs and risk hunger or homelessness. But managing a country is different—you're dealing with exponentially larger groups of people, and you don’t have that same leverage. You can’t simply fire citizens who don't cooperate, and they won't be driven by fear of going hungry.
The reason EM can fire workers during the day and not worry about them coming back at night to burn his house down is because of the state. Law, order, the monopoly on violence, and yes, someone else making sure those workers have food, shelter, and a reason to live.
Maybe it’s time to reimagine a Nation State 4.0—new ways to handle old problems—but basic state functionality, inefficient as it may be, has to come from somewhere. You likely understand this better than most.
I oft goad online outspoken libertarians to try for a startup libertarian state. I’d love to be proven wrong, but my suspicion is it would fail. A single organizing principle like “freedom” might sound great in theory, but in practice, it’s unlikely to be enough. Freedom is important—crucial even—but it’s not the only thing that matters. In that sense, libertarians remind me of communists, reducing complex societal needs to a single principle. And looking at the ideological voices surrounding EM, I don’t see much wisdom there.
If it fails, the fallback could be the idea of a country-as-business—dialed up to 11. That’s not a new idea; in fact, it’s how unchecked kings ruled in the past, and worse still, it’s the kind of thinking that brought us Stalin.
8:18 AM · Sep 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He’ll likely succeed on a micro level, but at the macro level, I believe a businessman’s skills are the wrong preparation for governing, and EM is likely to fail. Running a country is not the same as running a company, and in fact, the two require almost mirror-image skills. Governments handle all the things that businesses can't or shouldn’t—like law and order, social welfare, and keeping the peace.
In business, you can synchronize large groups of people through employment, knowing that if they don’t follow the agreed plan, they’ll lose their jobs and risk hunger or homelessness. But managing a country is different—you're dealing with exponentially larger groups of people, and you don’t have that same leverage. You can’t simply fire citizens who don't cooperate, and they won't be driven by fear of going hungry.
The reason EM can fire workers during the day and not worry about them coming back at night to burn his house down is because of the state. Law, order, the monopoly on violence, and yes, someone else making sure those workers have food, shelter, and a reason to live.
Maybe it’s time to reimagine a Nation State 4.0—new ways to handle old problems—but basic state functionality, inefficient as it may be, has to come from somewhere. You likely understand this better than most.
I oft goad online outspoken libertarians to try for a startup libertarian state. I’d love to be proven wrong, but my suspicion is it would fail. A single organizing principle like “freedom” might sound great in theory, but in practice, it’s unlikely to be enough. Freedom is important—crucial even—but it’s not the only thing that matters. In that sense, libertarians remind me of communists, reducing complex societal needs to a single principle. And looking at the ideological voices surrounding EM, I don’t see much wisdom there.
If it fails, the fallback could be the idea of a country-as-business—dialed up to 11. That’s not a new idea; in fact, it’s how unchecked kings ruled in the past, and worse still, it’s the kind of thinking that brought us Stalin.
8:18 AM · Sep 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835063154415747475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Exactly that and more is mentioned in this - "People don't want to 'learn how to fish'. Maybe they want to open a bakery" - video I liked much by @RoryStewartUK
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tt0HOe7gf7I
youtube.com
To End Extreme Poverty, Give Cash — Not Advice | Rory Stewart | TED
Are traditional philanthropy efforts actually taking money from the poor? Former UK Member of Parliament Rory Stewart breaks down why many global development...
10:08 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Exactly that and more is mentioned in this - "People don't want to 'learn how to fish'. Maybe they want to open a bakery" - video I liked much by @RoryStewartUK
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tt0HOe7gf7I
youtube.com
To End Extreme Poverty, Give Cash — Not Advice | Rory Stewart | TED
Are traditional philanthropy efforts actually taking money from the poor? Former UK Member of Parliament Rory Stewart breaks down why many global development...
10:08 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835059704160031086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - that's a great advantage, freedom! But there is a downside to that too. Once you are old and you can't work, and can't pay rent - you have no place to live in, you'll be on the street.
9:55 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - that's a great advantage, freedom! But there is a downside to that too. Once you are old and you can't work, and can't pay rent - you have no place to live in, you'll be on the street.
9:55 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835056904998957373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the validation. 😇 Joke, joke. 😆 Ofc you doubt it, and I feel for you.
We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life is a letdown if there ever was one. 😰 While still smarting from that, but ok we are *rational* animals, so at least that, then - Freud! 🧐 And now AI?? 🤯 Boy if someone was looking at us, they'd feel sorry for us tbh. 😇
Slow learners with outsized egos - eh?
9:43 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the validation. 😇 Joke, joke. 😆 Ofc you doubt it, and I feel for you.
We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life is a letdown if there ever was one. 😰 While still smarting from that, but ok we are *rational* animals, so at least that, then - Freud! 🧐 And now AI?? 🤯 Boy if someone was looking at us, they'd feel sorry for us tbh. 😇
Slow learners with outsized egos - eh?
9:43 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835053714396344538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EM on "usa hyperinflation bankrupt" are his groupie stans are like "the dumb and the dumber". Apparently the $1M @balajis bet not a lesson enough, @jack forecast colossal fail explained ... - how exactly??
The danger is that if such people ever get handles of power, and put their insane schemes in operation - then USofA may possibly go sh*t and *then* the currency they talk abt may actually become worthless. The causality goes state->currency like 99% in that.
Image
medlock-hyperinflation-changes-everything-jack_2024-09-14-11-06-34-049.jpg
Quote
Bindu Reddy @bindureddy · Sep 13
If America were a corporation we would be be out of business a long time ago
Over level of spending is completely out of control
TBH we simply don’t have the luxury of foreign wars, inefficient government spending and other free handouts
If we don’t bring down interest rates,
Show more
9:31 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EM on "usa hyperinflation bankrupt" are his groupie stans are like "the dumb and the dumber". Apparently the $1M @balajis bet not a lesson enough, @jack forecast colossal fail explained ... - how exactly??
The danger is that if such people ever get handles of power, and put their insane schemes in operation - then USofA may possibly go sh*t and *then* the currency they talk abt may actually become worthless. The causality goes state->currency like 99% in that.
Image
medlock-hyperinflation-changes-everything-jack_2024-09-14-11-06-34-049.jpg
Quote
Bindu Reddy @bindureddy · Sep 13
If America were a corporation we would be be out of business a long time ago
Over level of spending is completely out of control
TBH we simply don’t have the luxury of foreign wars, inefficient government spending and other free handouts
If we don’t bring down interest rates,
Show more
9:31 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835034795639808503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You would have to point to specific person or work. Otherwise - ofc you can find someone missing something. I have read Mosler and Kelton, and they defo don't miss that. Even more - e.g. Kelton on page 1 or sth (can't be bothered to go get the book rn) immediately is "inflation is the real constraint, real resources are real constraints, lacking pounds is a fake constraint - a displacement activity we busy ourselves with for little gain". It's pretty in your face explicit. There are better criticisms like "well if we start planning real resources, will that not descend onto centrally planned economy" etc. TBF have yet to read a non-brain dead critique of their work. So I wouldn't feel too bad abt the OP.
8:16 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You would have to point to specific person or work. Otherwise - ofc you can find someone missing something. I have read Mosler and Kelton, and they defo don't miss that. Even more - e.g. Kelton on page 1 or sth (can't be bothered to go get the book rn) immediately is "inflation is the real constraint, real resources are real constraints, lacking pounds is a fake constraint - a displacement activity we busy ourselves with for little gain". It's pretty in your face explicit. There are better criticisms like "well if we start planning real resources, will that not descend onto centrally planned economy" etc. TBF have yet to read a non-brain dead critique of their work. So I wouldn't feel too bad abt the OP.
8:16 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835026343433584966
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the books you read- did you note how WW2 started with Germany and the Soviet Union dividing CEEurope countries between themselves and then serially inviding them? You have heard "history doesn't repeat but it rimes"? Well the "doesn't repeat" part is we are repeating 1/2 of it with Russia on war path of conquest of CEEurope countries, and then "rimes" part is when they finally will be confronted at some point, that WW3 may spiral into nuclear holocaust at that point.
Well explained and prophetically timed in
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
by @robert_zubrin . We better smarten soonish and help Ukraine win it decisively. Ukraine is now what Poland was 1939.
7:42 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the books you read- did you note how WW2 started with Germany and the Soviet Union dividing CEEurope countries between themselves and then serially inviding them? You have heard "history doesn't repeat but it rimes"? Well the "doesn't repeat" part is we are repeating 1/2 of it with Russia on war path of conquest of CEEurope countries, and then "rimes" part is when they finally will be confronted at some point, that WW3 may spiral into nuclear holocaust at that point.
Well explained and prophetically timed in
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
by @robert_zubrin . We better smarten soonish and help Ukraine win it decisively. Ukraine is now what Poland was 1939.
7:42 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835019168673865829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH booking a visit is so laborious and a visit is hardly pleasant, that I can't imagine anyone endeavouring to do it unless they are in pain and or desperate. But WDIK, I maybe wrong, maybe for some it's not the chore I think it is.
7:13 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH booking a visit is so laborious and a visit is hardly pleasant, that I can't imagine anyone endeavouring to do it unless they are in pain and or desperate. But WDIK, I maybe wrong, maybe for some it's not the chore I think it is.
7:13 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1835017202816123266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... exactly - how are you going to pay the rent then??
7:06 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... exactly - how are you going to pay the rent then??
7:06 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834997415000035691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great, sign me in. Part of me myself and I, my personal information, immortalised in future AI weighs?? I'm heading off to FB - that admittedly has fallen into disuse on my part in the past years - to upload more. My data for future AI - wonderful.
5:47 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great, sign me in. Part of me myself and I, my personal information, immortalised in future AI weighs?? I'm heading off to FB - that admittedly has fallen into disuse on my part in the past years - to upload more. My data for future AI - wonderful.
5:47 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834995001652072826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure you are free to leave - and where are you going to live, on the street?
5:37 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure you are free to leave - and where are you going to live, on the street?
5:37 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834992075269718276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We're in danger but not in the way you think. We're 1/2 half replaying the start of WW2, with the option of its continuation to WW3 to escalate to nuclear. That wd be the "rhymes" part of the "history doesn't repeat". Well explained and prophetically timed in
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
by @robert_zubrin . We better smarten soonish and help Ukraine win it decisively. Ukraine is now what Poland was 1939.
5:26 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We're in danger but not in the way you think. We're 1/2 half replaying the start of WW2, with the option of its continuation to WW3 to escalate to nuclear. That wd be the "rhymes" part of the "history doesn't repeat". Well explained and prophetically timed in
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
by @robert_zubrin . We better smarten soonish and help Ukraine win it decisively. Ukraine is now what Poland was 1939.
5:26 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834985138087682327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The right course of action is - just give cash. Don't try to be smart, don't overthink it. If you want to help - give cash. With it distributed via mobile phones, 0 loss, almost 0 overheard, 100% traced and accounted. Nothing beats cash.
4:58 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The right course of action is - just give cash. Don't try to be smart, don't overthink it. If you want to help - give cash. With it distributed via mobile phones, 0 loss, almost 0 overheard, 100% traced and accounted. Nothing beats cash.
4:58 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834980161688944668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are 1/2 half replaying the start of WW2, with the option of its continuation to WW3 to escalate to nuclear. The "rhymes" part of "history doesn't repeat" prophetically well timed in
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
by @robert_zubrin . We better smarten soonish and help Ukraine win it decisively.
Calm your ego, we get it you don't, your epistemics are as
Image
answers-answers.jpg
4:38 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are 1/2 half replaying the start of WW2, with the option of its continuation to WW3 to escalate to nuclear. The "rhymes" part of "history doesn't repeat" prophetically well timed in
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
by @robert_zubrin . We better smarten soonish and help Ukraine win it decisively.
Calm your ego, we get it you don't, your epistemics are as
Image
answers-answers.jpg
4:38 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834972878225191059
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
make a bet make a bet - when exactly is it going out of business 😂
by Jove only dumber than dumb elon on "usa hyperinflation bakrupt" are elon stans and groupies
Image
4:10 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
make a bet make a bet - when exactly is it going out of business 😂
by Jove only dumber than dumb elon on "usa hyperinflation bakrupt" are elon stans and groupies
Image
4:10 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834963508150124701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - continuing with what you are doing will have us all killed in a nuclear holocaust you cowardly imbecile
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
We'll get a replay of the start of WW2, but the continuation to WW3 will escalate to nuclear. The "rhymes" part of "doesn't repeat".
From kyivpost.com
3:32 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - continuing with what you are doing will have us all killed in a nuclear holocaust you cowardly imbecile
https://kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/the-folly-and-lessons-of-appeasement-revisited.html
We'll get a replay of the start of WW2, but the continuation to WW3 will escalate to nuclear. The "rhymes" part of "doesn't repeat".
From kyivpost.com
3:32 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834929853566488603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... as opposed to humans (the only other example we have), that do - what exactly? For 50yrs connections models were being criticised on the exactly opposite grounds 😂🤷 un-beleiveable
1:19 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... as opposed to humans (the only other example we have), that do - what exactly? For 50yrs connections models were being criticised on the exactly opposite grounds 😂🤷 un-beleiveable
1:19 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834916835336065455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Can see how it can be gamed: my regular wages drop to £1 p.a., but my overtime wages are now £1M per minute. 😂 But still - interesting developments. 😁
12:27 PM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Can see how it can be gamed: my regular wages drop to £1 p.a., but my overtime wages are now £1M per minute. 😂 But still - interesting developments. 😁
12:27 PM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834908633278120090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - for all the craziness this is one good outcome whatever happens: it forces the opponents to respond with promises that one-up his promises. Maybe they promise "abolish payroll tax"? In the UK - abolish NI wd be the equivalent?
11:54 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - for all the craziness this is one good outcome whatever happens: it forces the opponents to respond with promises that one-up his promises. Maybe they promise "abolish payroll tax"? In the UK - abolish NI wd be the equivalent?
11:54 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834906737662431552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of @Dominic2306 argument for Brexit - one of the better ones .
11:47 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of @Dominic2306 argument for Brexit - one of the better ones .
11:47 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834905163170996638
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They hyperinflation (forecast) did change one person's life 😂😂 oh Twitter never change 😊
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medlock-hyperinflation-changes-everything-jack_2024-09-14-11-06-34-049.jpg
11:40 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They hyperinflation (forecast) did change one person's life 😂😂 oh Twitter never change 😊
Image
medlock-hyperinflation-changes-everything-jack_2024-09-14-11-06-34-049.jpg
11:40 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834900446189588952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Come on aim higher - HYPERINFLATION, no measly inflation! Aim for the stars, make a bet, and change people's lives for the better dude 😉
Image
medlock-hyperinflation-changes-everything-jack_2024-09-14-11-06-34-049.jpg
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Sep 12
Government overspending causes inflation. End of story.
That is why prices at the store keep rising.
Stop government overspending to end inflation! x.com/dbenner83/stat…
Rate proposed Community Notes
11:22 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Come on aim higher - HYPERINFLATION, no measly inflation! Aim for the stars, make a bet, and change people's lives for the better dude 😉
Image
medlock-hyperinflation-changes-everything-jack_2024-09-14-11-06-34-049.jpg
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Sep 12
Government overspending causes inflation. End of story.
That is why prices at the store keep rising.
Stop government overspending to end inflation! x.com/dbenner83/stat…
Rate proposed Community Notes
11:22 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834891735844970888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One side is literate, proud of it, uses it to their advantage. Other side is literate too, but discouraged from making the most of it by their leaders, who egg them to discard smarts, play stiupid, be stupid. IK this is last election but this election will be the same.
10:47 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One side is literate, proud of it, uses it to their advantage. Other side is literate too, but discouraged from making the most of it by their leaders, who egg them to discard smarts, play stiupid, be stupid. IK this is last election but this election will be the same.
10:47 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834876379101360575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Outsourcing research to the public now 😆 - like that. 😊
Control. Take back control. 👍
Also see https://gov.uk/government/consultations/proposals-for-a-future-system-operator-role
Private sector delivered ATH utility bills, filled English rivers with shit too. 😭🤷
gov.uk
Proposals for a Future System Operator role
We're seeking views on proposals for the future role, organisational design and phased implementation of a Future System Operator with responsibilities across both the electricity and gas systems.
9:46 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Outsourcing research to the public now 😆 - like that. 😊
Control. Take back control. 👍
Also see https://gov.uk/government/consultations/proposals-for-a-future-system-operator-role
Private sector delivered ATH utility bills, filled English rivers with shit too. 😭🤷
gov.uk
Proposals for a Future System Operator role
We're seeking views on proposals for the future role, organisational design and phased implementation of a Future System Operator with responsibilities across both the electricity and gas systems.
9:46 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834866548369920154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not got much to do with him personally - decided years ago, passed into law etc. Wd have happened under CON gov too, or different secretary. Kudos social media - keeping not only politicos but journalists under scrutiny too. 😊
9:07 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not got much to do with him personally - decided years ago, passed into law etc. Wd have happened under CON gov too, or different secretary. Kudos social media - keeping not only politicos but journalists under scrutiny too. 😊
9:07 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834862801472397659
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but 1) they can communicate transfer their ideas in their weights very fast, millions of times fastest than us; 2) they are immortal, can replace the physical hardware, transfer the existing software onto new hardware. So there are some benefits to their downsides.
8:52 AM · Sep 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but 1) they can communicate transfer their ideas in their weights very fast, millions of times fastest than us; 2) they are immortal, can replace the physical hardware, transfer the existing software onto new hardware. So there are some benefits to their downsides.
8:52 AM · Sep 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834587013569249638
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, guess depends on the intuition of "lavish". Approx - Hungary Eur ~10B spent, has ~2M <18yo olds, that's 5K per head per year, per young person 18 years x 5K = 90K Eur total spent. For a gain of 1M. Not as bad as UK, but as RoI doesn't strike me as bad from the state PoV.
2:36 PM · Sep 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, guess depends on the intuition of "lavish". Approx - Hungary Eur ~10B spent, has ~2M <18yo olds, that's 5K per head per year, per young person 18 years x 5K = 90K Eur total spent. For a gain of 1M. Not as bad as UK, but as RoI doesn't strike me as bad from the state PoV.
2:36 PM · Sep 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834516482278973653
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - me too. Few times a day on the linux box I need root, $ sudo is perfect for the job I find.
9:56 AM · Sep 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - me too. Few times a day on the linux box I need root, $ sudo is perfect for the job I find.
9:56 AM · Sep 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834515427721892115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are deeply unserious people. It's not quite right to say "lie all the time", when the concept of a "lie" stopped existing for them. Whatever PR enables one to get ahead on the day - that's what's done. Worse - it's not the person, it's the system that selects for (ultimatelly - us voters), and shapes towards, the outcomes we see. It's explained well by @RoryStewartUK in this interview (time code at 10'30").
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QOa1m2-pQuU&t=630s
Ultimately it's down to us voters - to start with. As that's necessary, but not sufficient. There is more than that to change the political system. How exactly? - IDK tbh.
9:52 AM · Sep 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are deeply unserious people. It's not quite right to say "lie all the time", when the concept of a "lie" stopped existing for them. Whatever PR enables one to get ahead on the day - that's what's done. Worse - it's not the person, it's the system that selects for (ultimatelly - us voters), and shapes towards, the outcomes we see. It's explained well by @RoryStewartUK in this interview (time code at 10'30").
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QOa1m2-pQuU&t=630s
Ultimately it's down to us voters - to start with. As that's necessary, but not sufficient. There is more than that to change the political system. How exactly? - IDK tbh.
9:52 AM · Sep 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834502201177198897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - they do have a strategy, and they pursue it, with some success - wind! Wind is something that panned at scale and developed. However, that's only 1/2 of a solution. The other 1/2 is storage and is catching up lately it seems, but will take some time, even if it pans out. As every new technology - all this is expensive. More expensive than the prior tech - at least to start with. We all feel it in the electricity bills: renewables at ATH, and bills at ATH. Before you tell me about marginal pricing gas etc, let me assure you: I know abt all that, and am happy user of roof solar (+battery), am electrical engineer by training (albeit never worked as one; into computers from get go). None of that changes much about the basic fact of ATH prices for consumers and industry.
8:59 AM · Sep 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - they do have a strategy, and they pursue it, with some success - wind! Wind is something that panned at scale and developed. However, that's only 1/2 of a solution. The other 1/2 is storage and is catching up lately it seems, but will take some time, even if it pans out. As every new technology - all this is expensive. More expensive than the prior tech - at least to start with. We all feel it in the electricity bills: renewables at ATH, and bills at ATH. Before you tell me about marginal pricing gas etc, let me assure you: I know abt all that, and am happy user of roof solar (+battery), am electrical engineer by training (albeit never worked as one; into computers from get go). None of that changes much about the basic fact of ATH prices for consumers and industry.
8:59 AM · Sep 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834486790918447578
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have not needed to root a device recently. In the olden days - some banking apps detected something is not quite right, and refused to work. Also possibly streaming apps relying on DRM? Don't recall now, it was a some time ago. But yeah - it was not entirely harmless.
7:58 AM · Sep 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have not needed to root a device recently. In the olden days - some banking apps detected something is not quite right, and refused to work. Also possibly streaming apps relying on DRM? Don't recall now, it was a some time ago. But yeah - it was not entirely harmless.
7:58 AM · Sep 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834485779130708396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in the UK, the explicit child support a parent receives per child totals ~ £10K. If the value created by a child is £1M, then a fair price might be £1M—no? So, £10K vs. £1M—hmm? It strikes me that buying £1 of value for a price of 1p is maybe too good a deal for society, and too bad a deal for the parents. Perhaps it’s not “lavish,” but more like “woefully insufficient.” Given the financialization and commodification of everything else, maybe the chickens are coming home to roost on this issue as well?
7:54 AM · Sep 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in the UK, the explicit child support a parent receives per child totals ~ £10K. If the value created by a child is £1M, then a fair price might be £1M—no? So, £10K vs. £1M—hmm? It strikes me that buying £1 of value for a price of 1p is maybe too good a deal for society, and too bad a deal for the parents. Perhaps it’s not “lavish,” but more like “woefully insufficient.” Given the financialization and commodification of everything else, maybe the chickens are coming home to roost on this issue as well?
7:54 AM · Sep 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834354222554320910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not funny when pple say "but they don't reason like us", and I then ask "well how do you reason then, explain please" and then are stumped as if this follow up never ever occurred to them 😂 😂 funny and tad touching tbh 😊
11:11 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not funny when pple say "but they don't reason like us", and I then ask "well how do you reason then, explain please" and then are stumped as if this follow up never ever occurred to them 😂 😂 funny and tad touching tbh 😊
11:11 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834347397880631546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
is "lavishly" a sum of 1M per child? as per the OP number. even that would be "fair" and fall short of "lavish" - no?
10:44 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
is "lavishly" a sum of 1M per child? as per the OP number. even that would be "fair" and fall short of "lavish" - no?
10:44 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834343741227671730
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think he is not saying "do nothing", but "do this other thing" that is 1) cheaper 2) achieves the stated aim with 100% certainty.
10:30 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think he is not saying "do nothing", but "do this other thing" that is 1) cheaper 2) achieves the stated aim with 100% certainty.
10:30 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834342836826964008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? No. True that maybe individual doctor can't tell you much about your individual case. How could they, they barely have any diagnostics? My car has better continuous monitoring than my body. However, collectively, the whole medical-pharma complex, where they have worked out a solution for a particular problem, cure for a particular ailment, and your case fits the template - then they are very good at supplying you with the solution, fixing you where a fix is known to exist. Quantitatively the results (life expectancy chiefly) are hard to argue with.
10:26 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? No. True that maybe individual doctor can't tell you much about your individual case. How could they, they barely have any diagnostics? My car has better continuous monitoring than my body. However, collectively, the whole medical-pharma complex, where they have worked out a solution for a particular problem, cure for a particular ailment, and your case fits the template - then they are very good at supplying you with the solution, fixing you where a fix is known to exist. Quantitatively the results (life expectancy chiefly) are hard to argue with.
10:26 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834340179764469943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂 it took 2000+ years for people to figure out that they can cut off the head of the king, and the sky will not fall; slow learners with big egos 🤷😶
10:15 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂 it took 2000+ years for people to figure out that they can cut off the head of the king, and the sky will not fall; slow learners with big egos 🤷😶
10:15 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834338383403123201
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, don't think it's even that often for a truly rich person to pay much tax. If this is a reference to PAYE data stats. No truly rich person pays himself a fortune in salary so for it to show up there. Exception being the Betfair lady that pays herself absurd wages that way.
10:08 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, don't think it's even that often for a truly rich person to pay much tax. If this is a reference to PAYE data stats. No truly rich person pays himself a fortune in salary so for it to show up there. Exception being the Betfair lady that pays herself absurd wages that way.
10:08 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834335132284846119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our leaders are deeply unserious people. 😭 IDK how can anyone rise so high in office while remaining that innumerate. 😱 Maybe it's CP Snow "Two Cultures" finally coming back to bite us by the backside. 😶
9:55 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our leaders are deeply unserious people. 😭 IDK how can anyone rise so high in office while remaining that innumerate. 😱 Maybe it's CP Snow "Two Cultures" finally coming back to bite us by the backside. 😶
9:55 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834277637830967319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
does anyone remember if Hilary was considered by popular opinion or mood or whatever to have won or lost her debates?
6:07 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
does anyone remember if Hilary was considered by popular opinion or mood or whatever to have won or lost her debates?
6:07 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834275538745094531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy. 😂 You must be replying to some other article. 😂 Because the article above says nothing about no railroads or pipes, nor does it claim the DEMs are pure. I doubt there is 1 person in this universe that is willing to stand up and claim "DEMs are pure". 😂
The article is specifically about the (federal) government budget deficits. Must say unlike most - I'm not freaked out by the deficits. As I understand gov deficit==private sector sufficit, surplus. So gov deficit equals more $$$ in the private sector pockets. And that feels like a great thing from my PoV! (I'm private sector) The limit is inflation. That thing can go on, until we get inflation. As we got inflation recently. (over there in the US, as well here in the UK)
5:59 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy. 😂 You must be replying to some other article. 😂 Because the article above says nothing about no railroads or pipes, nor does it claim the DEMs are pure. I doubt there is 1 person in this universe that is willing to stand up and claim "DEMs are pure". 😂
The article is specifically about the (federal) government budget deficits. Must say unlike most - I'm not freaked out by the deficits. As I understand gov deficit==private sector sufficit, surplus. So gov deficit equals more $$$ in the private sector pockets. And that feels like a great thing from my PoV! (I'm private sector) The limit is inflation. That thing can go on, until we get inflation. As we got inflation recently. (over there in the US, as well here in the UK)
5:59 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834272736073417080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - exactly right! Thank you! Didn't know about the article, didn't know it was by design (or maybe only at 1st? and subsequently lost in the mists of time?), assumed REP have stumbled on the winning combo! 😀
It's a great strategy, it works well - what can one say? 😏 I saw @elonmusk
playing it just today, as per the article exactly as described. Myself I'm not from/in the US (immigrant to the UK, from MK), I'm removed from the daily US politics and know little - but that much I know. (and remember)
For reasons unknown to me (pos OP muted or hid replies) - further to the thread
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834002785286688989
and
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834149957978190326
5:47 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - exactly right! Thank you! Didn't know about the article, didn't know it was by design (or maybe only at 1st? and subsequently lost in the mists of time?), assumed REP have stumbled on the winning combo! 😀
It's a great strategy, it works well - what can one say? 😏 I saw @elonmusk
playing it just today, as per the article exactly as described. Myself I'm not from/in the US (immigrant to the UK, from MK), I'm removed from the daily US politics and know little - but that much I know. (and remember)
For reasons unknown to me (pos OP muted or hid replies) - further to the thread
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834002785286688989
and
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834149957978190326
5:47 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834262202582290781
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the evil. One thing is for sure. You will not come out the same person/character, as the you that went into it. Politics is a team sport. Everyone - but the Dear Leader - can/will potentially/eventually quit when faced with a team action that’s a bridge too far.
5:06 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the evil. One thing is for sure. You will not come out the same person/character, as the you that went into it. Politics is a team sport. Everyone - but the Dear Leader - can/will potentially/eventually quit when faced with a team action that’s a bridge too far.
5:06 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834254728336654525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! Last record I find of having been sorting emails in their own folders is 2016. But yours is next level. 😂 TBF between Gmail's "filter messages like this" and "report spam" and "unsubscribe from list" my Inbox looks as pretty as never before, while I spend 0 time on it.
4:36 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! Last record I find of having been sorting emails in their own folders is 2016. But yours is next level. 😂 TBF between Gmail's "filter messages like this" and "report spam" and "unsubscribe from list" my Inbox looks as pretty as never before, while I spend 0 time on it.
4:36 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834238655323426920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
produced by mid-wits, to be consumed by mid-wits, so to alibi much activity, amounting to nothing much
3:32 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
produced by mid-wits, to be consumed by mid-wits, so to alibi much activity, amounting to nothing much
3:32 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834234426387034414
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
gerontocracy, manifest
3:15 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
gerontocracy, manifest
3:15 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834231958437503196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ајде сега. 😁 Ти ќе им кажеш на туристичките работници во Драч што и како да прават? Стварно мислиш не знаат, не им текнува? 😂 Не сум бил скоро, ама верувам има и плажи и шуми. Има место и за двете, широка е земјата, не мора да бираме само едно - за наша среќа. 😊 Ако е грдо и неубаво - па никој нема да им оди. Тоа малку се само-регулира.
3:05 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ајде сега. 😁 Ти ќе им кажеш на туристичките работници во Драч што и како да прават? Стварно мислиш не знаат, не им текнува? 😂 Не сум бил скоро, ама верувам има и плажи и шуми. Има место и за двете, широка е земјата, не мора да бираме само едно - за наша среќа. 😊 Ако е грдо и неубаво - па никој нема да им оди. Тоа малку се само-регулира.
3:05 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834227504170537010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or even put him on, and fire him, on an Xrocket someplace far, far away
2:48 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or even put him on, and fire him, on an Xrocket someplace far, far away
2:48 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834226378025095460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe there is no "mean decision level IQ123, variance 0, constant all the time"? Maybe we all are IQ120 for some things, IQ80 for some other things? IDK have no data to go on, just speculating-hallucinating aloud.
2:43 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe there is no "mean decision level IQ123, variance 0, constant all the time"? Maybe we all are IQ120 for some things, IQ80 for some other things? IDK have no data to go on, just speculating-hallucinating aloud.
2:43 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834223696480768166
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣🤣🤣 quick!! back the gold standard - that worked well. or BTC - for sure this time will be different 😂😂😂
2:33 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣🤣🤣 quick!! back the gold standard - that worked well. or BTC - for sure this time will be different 😂😂😂
2:33 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834223136666943746
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right. Between themselves, extreme centrists hold 70-80% of the vote and 95% of the media ensuring TINA. Alas - I shall be deprived from hearing future nuggets of wisdom by the sagely @rcolvile
. 🤣 He took to my poor humor poorly. Modern journo snowflakes eh? 😂 ta-ta 😇
2:30 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right. Between themselves, extreme centrists hold 70-80% of the vote and 95% of the media ensuring TINA. Alas - I shall be deprived from hearing future nuggets of wisdom by the sagely @rcolvile
. 🤣 He took to my poor humor poorly. Modern journo snowflakes eh? 😂 ta-ta 😇
2:30 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834206938013311024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
between very and infinitesimally small, out of generosity give it 0.1C or something possibly
1:26 PM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
between very and infinitesimally small, out of generosity give it 0.1C or something possibly
1:26 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834201389540557055
😅 I admire the commitment, but I fear, the idea "we're leaving X", is like communism. Works in theory, doesn't work in practice. 😂
Largest single public square N^2 wins every time. The iron law of social anything. 😶
It's expected and explained in (computer) networks: the number of connections ~N^2 grows with the square of the number of nodes ~N. And the value to us, users, lies in the interactions facilitated by those connections. And those connections accrue with the square of the user base. Between a larger (2N) and a smaller (N) public square, the larger one will provide as much value in a ~day as the smaller one in a ~week. Users will switch smaller->larger, increasing the difference, in a +ve feedback loop. Until approx only 1 remains standing. Ultimately it's a winner takes all.
Switching is a very specific collective action problem. Social media natural monopoly network effect can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time. So Brazil user base may switch b/c the ban forces them to move at the same time. UK user base is unlikely to switch as there is no ban.
There are no reasons to not create a Bsky account. It's easy and free - no? Just do it. Comparing X:Bsky=100:10 millions of real users (assuming much bigger X bot ratio), ratio 10, squared makes it 100. Do I see as much interesting stuff on X in 1 day, as I see in Bsky in 3 months? Possibly. For me maybe the ratio of value is lower, but ~2 months seems realistic for me.
Personally, I find my Twitter experience positive overall. I read about negative encounters (and have mocked EM - c.f. my posts), but I rarely see ugliness on my TL. I rely on Lists - Sci-ence, Tech-nology, Comp-uting, Bio-logy, Che-mistry... - to curate my feeds beyond just "For You" and "Followers". Lists help shape the timeline, maintain focus and good SNR. Additionally, I tie individual Lists to separate Decks on XPro, effectively creating personalized thematic websites.
I find Bsky ok. The Feeds feature is much better than on X! It's not constrained to the 2 feeds ("For You" and "Followers") that X deigned to supply to us. Seems many can create different feeds, with dozen baselines provided by Bsky. Pleasantly surprised to find deck.bsky for decks too. Transferring user listss is a chore though, finding the same people is hard. "Sky Follower Bridge" works well, but it's still weekends of manual work. Ofc, even if you find the same people, most post on X much more than on Bsky.
1:04 PM · Sep 12, 2024
😅 I admire the commitment, but I fear, the idea "we're leaving X", is like communism. Works in theory, doesn't work in practice. 😂
Largest single public square N^2 wins every time. The iron law of social anything. 😶
It's expected and explained in (computer) networks: the number of connections ~N^2 grows with the square of the number of nodes ~N. And the value to us, users, lies in the interactions facilitated by those connections. And those connections accrue with the square of the user base. Between a larger (2N) and a smaller (N) public square, the larger one will provide as much value in a ~day as the smaller one in a ~week. Users will switch smaller->larger, increasing the difference, in a +ve feedback loop. Until approx only 1 remains standing. Ultimately it's a winner takes all.
Switching is a very specific collective action problem. Social media natural monopoly network effect can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time. So Brazil user base may switch b/c the ban forces them to move at the same time. UK user base is unlikely to switch as there is no ban.
There are no reasons to not create a Bsky account. It's easy and free - no? Just do it. Comparing X:Bsky=100:10 millions of real users (assuming much bigger X bot ratio), ratio 10, squared makes it 100. Do I see as much interesting stuff on X in 1 day, as I see in Bsky in 3 months? Possibly. For me maybe the ratio of value is lower, but ~2 months seems realistic for me.
Personally, I find my Twitter experience positive overall. I read about negative encounters (and have mocked EM - c.f. my posts), but I rarely see ugliness on my TL. I rely on Lists - Sci-ence, Tech-nology, Comp-uting, Bio-logy, Che-mistry... - to curate my feeds beyond just "For You" and "Followers". Lists help shape the timeline, maintain focus and good SNR. Additionally, I tie individual Lists to separate Decks on XPro, effectively creating personalized thematic websites.
I find Bsky ok. The Feeds feature is much better than on X! It's not constrained to the 2 feeds ("For You" and "Followers") that X deigned to supply to us. Seems many can create different feeds, with dozen baselines provided by Bsky. Pleasantly surprised to find deck.bsky for decks too. Transferring user listss is a chore though, finding the same people is hard. "Sky Follower Bridge" works well, but it's still weekends of manual work. Ofc, even if you find the same people, most post on X much more than on Bsky.
1:04 PM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834149957978190326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Clinton SUFFICIT" I wrote, sufficit is the opposite deficit, i.e. sufficit==surplus. You seem to think you disagree with me, while we demonstrably agree. 😇
Reagan reference was a reference him saying (paraphrased) "voters don't care about deficits", which as a revealed preference is true. Revealed preference is when people say one thing, but do another thing, maybe even the opposite thing! The latter is the "revealed preference".
Reagan not only had the insight, but also he acted on it. He didn't care about deficits, public debt ballooned during his terms. That did not hurt his electibility afaik. I'm guessing - the economy was doing fine. So again I think we agree, while I get the impression that you think we disagree. 😂
9:40 AM · Sep 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Clinton SUFFICIT" I wrote, sufficit is the opposite deficit, i.e. sufficit==surplus. You seem to think you disagree with me, while we demonstrably agree. 😇
Reagan reference was a reference him saying (paraphrased) "voters don't care about deficits", which as a revealed preference is true. Revealed preference is when people say one thing, but do another thing, maybe even the opposite thing! The latter is the "revealed preference".
Reagan not only had the insight, but also he acted on it. He didn't care about deficits, public debt ballooned during his terms. That did not hurt his electibility afaik. I'm guessing - the economy was doing fine. So again I think we agree, while I get the impression that you think we disagree. 😂
9:40 AM · Sep 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1834002785286688989
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everything there is true afaik. I only begrudge DEMs one thing: they truly believe the "public debt" baloney, and genuinely try to reduce the deficit. Note crazy Clinton's 2000s sufficits on that graph! (bars below the horizontal line) As federal sufficit equals private deficit (by the literal definition - can't be anything else), the private sector suffers, and DEMs get punished in the elections. Wish they lied more about that and didn't take themselves seriously on that. Just do as their REP opponents do - pay lip service only (Regan was 101% right on that). They will not only do better in elections for themselves, but more importantly, the private sector will be better off.
11:55 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everything there is true afaik. I only begrudge DEMs one thing: they truly believe the "public debt" baloney, and genuinely try to reduce the deficit. Note crazy Clinton's 2000s sufficits on that graph! (bars below the horizontal line) As federal sufficit equals private deficit (by the literal definition - can't be anything else), the private sector suffers, and DEMs get punished in the elections. Wish they lied more about that and didn't take themselves seriously on that. Just do as their REP opponents do - pay lip service only (Regan was 101% right on that). They will not only do better in elections for themselves, but more importantly, the private sector will be better off.
11:55 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833982122719146313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I like most things EM does, dislike few things, etc. But - EM seems to have cornered the "dumb & dumber" demographic segment. 😂😂 He'll need all the help he can get from God & Providence to steer the boat, if his side wins. 😂 blocked
10:33 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I like most things EM does, dislike few things, etc. But - EM seems to have cornered the "dumb & dumber" demographic segment. 😂😂 He'll need all the help he can get from God & Providence to steer the boat, if his side wins. 😂 blocked
10:33 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833974332349125062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...from recollection (can't be bothered to check) - Trump did print $$$ before covid via the tax cuts, that was a good thing for the private sector (less $$$ sucked out of the private sector), the economy was doing well (again from memory) and if it wasn't for the covid, he wd have been re-elected (imo)
10:02 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...from recollection (can't be bothered to check) - Trump did print $$$ before covid via the tax cuts, that was a good thing for the private sector (less $$$ sucked out of the private sector), the economy was doing well (again from memory) and if it wasn't for the covid, he wd have been re-elected (imo)
10:02 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833973142253150494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 top twitter this - account named "sovereign wolf 00" calls *bot* a real person account that uses his real name 😂😂 oh twitter X whatever - never change 😊
9:57 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 top twitter this - account named "sovereign wolf 00" calls *bot* a real person account that uses his real name 😂😂 oh twitter X whatever - never change 😊
9:57 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833965710898594247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. France succeeds early with nuclear, and then EU doesn't follow France's lead, but instead EU follows Germany - Germany!! with its historic 20th century record - in phasing out nuclear power entirely. IDK how's that possible. But it did happen, I bear witness to that madness
9:27 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. France succeeds early with nuclear, and then EU doesn't follow France's lead, but instead EU follows Germany - Germany!! with its historic 20th century record - in phasing out nuclear power entirely. IDK how's that possible. But it did happen, I bear witness to that madness
9:27 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833960666585075779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When you pay $50 at the cashier in the supermarket, the $$$ going out of your account is marked -50, the supermarket marks +50 on their account. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news. Numbers are not easy for most of us.
9:07 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When you pay $50 at the cashier in the supermarket, the $$$ going out of your account is marked -50, the supermarket marks +50 on their account. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news. Numbers are not easy for most of us.
9:07 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833957668199039306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
excellent graph that one. can see clearly REP pres are increasing the public debt (despite the talk). DEM pres are decreasing public debt (foolishly). public debit==private credit, by definition.
8:55 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
excellent graph that one. can see clearly REP pres are increasing the public debt (despite the talk). DEM pres are decreasing public debt (foolishly). public debit==private credit, by definition.
8:55 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833875424939520491
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with that, and agree EU has been terrible, the pits, for science&technology for a long time now, see below. Just that AAPL Ireland tax ruling (as was the original thread) rubbed me the wrong way. On EU science&tech I think this -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 9h
Replying to @mattpovey and @GergelyOrosz
I agree—the list of missed opportunities keeps growing longer.
Energy. Nuclear power could have been a cornerstone of Europe’s energy strategy, especially after France's early success. How is it that not all of the EU followed France's lead? Instead EU follows Germany - Germany!!
Show more
3:29 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with that, and agree EU has been terrible, the pits, for science&technology for a long time now, see below. Just that AAPL Ireland tax ruling (as was the original thread) rubbed me the wrong way. On EU science&tech I think this -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 9h
Replying to @mattpovey and @GergelyOrosz
I agree—the list of missed opportunities keeps growing longer.
Energy. Nuclear power could have been a cornerstone of Europe’s energy strategy, especially after France's early success. How is it that not all of the EU followed France's lead? Instead EU follows Germany - Germany!!
Show more
3:29 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833873691089809917
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CO2 monitor - like this one that is USB powered
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833620338015383860
wish there was a smartwatch with a CO2 monitor
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 10
Replying to @firtozb and @caesararum
Brand: Dienmern
CO2 Detector, Dienmern Carbon Dioxide Monitor Meter With NDIR Sensor, 6-in-1 Air Quality CO2 Monitor With PM2.5/1/10, Temperature & Humidity Real-time Reading, CO2 Alarm Meter(on/off)
https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B09NLN7Q1J/
Amazon uk is listing it as -
Currently unavailable.
We
Show more
3:22 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CO2 monitor - like this one that is USB powered
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833620338015383860
wish there was a smartwatch with a CO2 monitor
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 10
Replying to @firtozb and @caesararum
Brand: Dienmern
CO2 Detector, Dienmern Carbon Dioxide Monitor Meter With NDIR Sensor, 6-in-1 Air Quality CO2 Monitor With PM2.5/1/10, Temperature & Humidity Real-time Reading, CO2 Alarm Meter(on/off)
https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B09NLN7Q1J/
Amazon uk is listing it as -
Currently unavailable.
We
Show more
3:22 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833872281438691553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Things took of 1st in England UK then in the rest of Europe (West 1st) at about the same time people decided to cut off the heads of their kings. We can't know how much a cause, how much a consequence - but there's no doubt: we had kings for 1000s of years, things didn't improve much from a very very low baseline. Humanity was stuck for maybe 10K years until the 1800s.
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
3:16 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Things took of 1st in England UK then in the rest of Europe (West 1st) at about the same time people decided to cut off the heads of their kings. We can't know how much a cause, how much a consequence - but there's no doubt: we had kings for 1000s of years, things didn't improve much from a very very low baseline. Humanity was stuck for maybe 10K years until the 1800s.
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
3:16 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833854038036656311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We can control either P-rice, or Q-auntity, but we can't centrally control both (P,Q). Rent control - freezing P - will result in the consequence of lowering Q - reducing supply. It has been tried many times, in different geographies, always with the same result. We need solutions - but that's a bad one. It will not give us the result we want. Can tell now - even before trying it.
2:04 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We can control either P-rice, or Q-auntity, but we can't centrally control both (P,Q). Rent control - freezing P - will result in the consequence of lowering Q - reducing supply. It has been tried many times, in different geographies, always with the same result. We need solutions - but that's a bad one. It will not give us the result we want. Can tell now - even before trying it.
2:04 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833852402664964194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this is toddler level understanding of the world around us - you should be nowhere near the levers of power affecting the lives of 100s of millions of people
1:57 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this is toddler level understanding of the world around us - you should be nowhere near the levers of power affecting the lives of 100s of millions of people
1:57 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833844048395690436
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree—the list of missed opportunities keeps growing longer.
Energy. Nuclear power could have been a cornerstone of Europe’s energy strategy, especially after France's early success. How is it that not all of the EU followed France's lead? Instead EU follows Germany - Germany!! with its historical 20th century record - phasing out existing nuclear power entirely. Baffling on multiple levels, not least leading to increased reliance on imported natural gas.
Speaking of gas: fracking is another puzzle. Take Groningen in the Netherlands. NG extraction was maybe phased out for good reasons, but then - buying gas from elsewhere instead of developing own alternatives?? That’s plain crazy. Natural gas absolutely should be phased out, but "doing so" by simply shifting the dependency to imports? Defies logic.
GMO. Genetically modified crops I believe marks a low point in EU science policy. For nearly 30 years, policy was driven by a reactionary mindset, a personified RFK-Trump anti-vax anti-gm anti-pasteurisation (!! latest) anti-everything crazy, driving policy for 500M people! Fears trumping reason, technological advancements stifled in the process that could have brought agricultural benefits.
Computers, IT, Internet and now AI - similar story. Linux - that is1/2 of GNU/Linux OS - powering everything from the Internet to the Cloud, developed by Linus Torvalds, a Finn now living in the U.S. He probably couldn't do the same in Europe, no one would pay him wages for stuff he wanted to do (the Linux kernel). How large are the European countries science&technology R&D budgets again? Then, the World Wide Web itself (the HTML format, the HTTP protocol), was born at CERN, but is now synonymous with US Big Tech. And out of the four "godfathers of AI", all Europeans, three have left Europe for the Americas to actually get things done. The one who remains (Jürgen Schmidhuber), is still in Europe but notably not within the EU.
The only possible silver lining I can see from Brexit (that I don't think it was necessary), is the UK detaching itself from some of the more irrational EU policies surrounding science, technology, and progress. I voted Remain, but if Brexit means the UK can chart its own path free from EU's crazy policies, it might be the one tangible benefit to emerge.
1:24 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree—the list of missed opportunities keeps growing longer.
Energy. Nuclear power could have been a cornerstone of Europe’s energy strategy, especially after France's early success. How is it that not all of the EU followed France's lead? Instead EU follows Germany - Germany!! with its historical 20th century record - phasing out existing nuclear power entirely. Baffling on multiple levels, not least leading to increased reliance on imported natural gas.
Speaking of gas: fracking is another puzzle. Take Groningen in the Netherlands. NG extraction was maybe phased out for good reasons, but then - buying gas from elsewhere instead of developing own alternatives?? That’s plain crazy. Natural gas absolutely should be phased out, but "doing so" by simply shifting the dependency to imports? Defies logic.
GMO. Genetically modified crops I believe marks a low point in EU science policy. For nearly 30 years, policy was driven by a reactionary mindset, a personified RFK-Trump anti-vax anti-gm anti-pasteurisation (!! latest) anti-everything crazy, driving policy for 500M people! Fears trumping reason, technological advancements stifled in the process that could have brought agricultural benefits.
Computers, IT, Internet and now AI - similar story. Linux - that is1/2 of GNU/Linux OS - powering everything from the Internet to the Cloud, developed by Linus Torvalds, a Finn now living in the U.S. He probably couldn't do the same in Europe, no one would pay him wages for stuff he wanted to do (the Linux kernel). How large are the European countries science&technology R&D budgets again? Then, the World Wide Web itself (the HTML format, the HTTP protocol), was born at CERN, but is now synonymous with US Big Tech. And out of the four "godfathers of AI", all Europeans, three have left Europe for the Americas to actually get things done. The one who remains (Jürgen Schmidhuber), is still in Europe but notably not within the EU.
The only possible silver lining I can see from Brexit (that I don't think it was necessary), is the UK detaching itself from some of the more irrational EU policies surrounding science, technology, and progress. I voted Remain, but if Brexit means the UK can chart its own path free from EU's crazy policies, it might be the one tangible benefit to emerge.
1:24 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833891417288056853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and forgot: Linux is also 1/2 of Android (the other 1/2, the user space, is not GNU), so there is Linus creation running 70% of the worlds smartphones. Ironically - no Nokia in that new world order... If there was irony personified abt the EU tech policy, this must be it.
4:32 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and forgot: Linux is also 1/2 of Android (the other 1/2, the user space, is not GNU), so there is Linus creation running 70% of the worlds smartphones. Ironically - no Nokia in that new world order... If there was irony personified abt the EU tech policy, this must be it.
4:32 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833828275082101186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... tbf US-ex-Ca missed those too. It's CA that created them, not the whole of US. 🤩 Note that the Tech exodus from the "dysfunctional" SF and CA "hellholes" over to the sunny Miami FL has gone nowhere. Startups in Europe have support that equivalents in CA can only dream of, yet - no magic happens. 😶 Think pple underestimate how magical and unique SF/CA have been, and how unlikely the same to happen at different {place,time} it is. 😊
12:21 PM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... tbf US-ex-Ca missed those too. It's CA that created them, not the whole of US. 🤩 Note that the Tech exodus from the "dysfunctional" SF and CA "hellholes" over to the sunny Miami FL has gone nowhere. Startups in Europe have support that equivalents in CA can only dream of, yet - no magic happens. 😶 Think pple underestimate how magical and unique SF/CA have been, and how unlikely the same to happen at different {place,time} it is. 😊
12:21 PM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833817546354458989
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
101. You sd have put this in an email in the 1st place. It was not worth spending face to face time on this. We wd have been better off sipping prossecco, in the sun, and chatting abt the weather.
11:39 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
101. You sd have put this in an email in the 1st place. It was not worth spending face to face time on this. We wd have been better off sipping prossecco, in the sun, and chatting abt the weather.
11:39 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833804120165151123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... indeed it threatens. So does a nuclear war, asteroid impact and so on. There are existential threats, true. However, that is not to say: "the end of world is nigh, listen & obey what I say, I'm your prophet & your savior". That kind of approach is a bad, bad idea.
10:45 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... indeed it threatens. So does a nuclear war, asteroid impact and so on. There are existential threats, true. However, that is not to say: "the end of world is nigh, listen & obey what I say, I'm your prophet & your savior". That kind of approach is a bad, bad idea.
10:45 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833801774060183996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know, and I agree with a lot of that - however: South Korea is not a libertarian state. Far from it. There is a strong statist element, from the military rule, the chaeballs etc. Vary far from a libertarian utopia. I would very much like to see a libertarian state experiment, that's why I'm goading the OP @Marian_L_Tupy
to Just Do It. 😊
10:36 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know, and I agree with a lot of that - however: South Korea is not a libertarian state. Far from it. There is a strong statist element, from the military rule, the chaeballs etc. Vary far from a libertarian utopia. I would very much like to see a libertarian state experiment, that's why I'm goading the OP @Marian_L_Tupy
to Just Do It. 😊
10:36 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833800880241406176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Even if I read them, there are no guarantees that the same ideas will materialize in my head, that already exist in your head, that I presume you allude to. 🤯 So you will have to write down, I'm afraid, the ideas you want me to become aware of. 🙂 sorry 🤷♂️
10:32 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Even if I read them, there are no guarantees that the same ideas will materialize in my head, that already exist in your head, that I presume you allude to. 🤯 So you will have to write down, I'm afraid, the ideas you want me to become aware of. 🙂 sorry 🤷♂️
10:32 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833799816544952396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You’re right about a few things, but there’s more you’re missing, guv. There’s a reason you can fire your workers during the day, and they don’t band together come back at night to torch your house with you in it—and that reason is the state. Law, order, monopoly on violence, and yes, someone else making sure these people are fed, housed, and have something to live for.
If you start taking over state functions, you’re going to learn this the hard way. Sure, maybe it’s time to re-imagine a Nation State 4.0—new ways to handle old problems—but that basic state functionality, inefficient as it often is, still has to come from somewhere.
We used to have kings that governed with the kind of unchecked power you seem to be alluding to, but we stopped doing that, and for good reasons. Having the power to “terminate” people (figuratively, of course) as you do in business gives you coordination. But at the level of the state? That’s Stalin territory, and we’ve moved past that. Fear-based rule doesn’t cut it anymore. It can be done of course, but we have better options now, it would be silly to settle for that.
Being a CEO in your fiefdom might feel like leadership, but being a politician—where you have no life-or-death control over your citizens? That’s a whole different ball game. The rules are tougher, the stakes are higher, and your authority is more fragile than you think.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 5h
Unless there is significant government reform, laws & regulations will keep getting worse every year until every great endeavor, from high-speed rail between our cities to making life multiplanetary, is effectively illegal.
Trump supports a government efficiency commission to
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Rate proposed Community Notes
10:28 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You’re right about a few things, but there’s more you’re missing, guv. There’s a reason you can fire your workers during the day, and they don’t band together come back at night to torch your house with you in it—and that reason is the state. Law, order, monopoly on violence, and yes, someone else making sure these people are fed, housed, and have something to live for.
If you start taking over state functions, you’re going to learn this the hard way. Sure, maybe it’s time to re-imagine a Nation State 4.0—new ways to handle old problems—but that basic state functionality, inefficient as it often is, still has to come from somewhere.
We used to have kings that governed with the kind of unchecked power you seem to be alluding to, but we stopped doing that, and for good reasons. Having the power to “terminate” people (figuratively, of course) as you do in business gives you coordination. But at the level of the state? That’s Stalin territory, and we’ve moved past that. Fear-based rule doesn’t cut it anymore. It can be done of course, but we have better options now, it would be silly to settle for that.
Being a CEO in your fiefdom might feel like leadership, but being a politician—where you have no life-or-death control over your citizens? That’s a whole different ball game. The rules are tougher, the stakes are higher, and your authority is more fragile than you think.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 5h
Unless there is significant government reform, laws & regulations will keep getting worse every year until every great endeavor, from high-speed rail between our cities to making life multiplanetary, is effectively illegal.
Trump supports a government efficiency commission to
Show more
Rate proposed Community Notes
10:28 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833778768009138440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CO2 online I find this hack/protoype
https://hackaday.com/2021/10/30/this-smart-watch-keeps-an-eye-on-ambient-co2-levels/
Blood sugar sensors - tried once the 2 weeks wearable disposable (like a button) on the arm, reading is NFC beep, can confirm - they work well. Could see sugar levels rise and fall in sync with meals.
Blood Pressure - have that on a Samsung Galaxy watch (bought for that), works fine. Re-calibration is asked for once a month (it expires), so there is checking/fallback to another device for that reason. I think it's a good scheme.
From hackaday.com
9:05 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CO2 online I find this hack/protoype
https://hackaday.com/2021/10/30/this-smart-watch-keeps-an-eye-on-ambient-co2-levels/
Blood sugar sensors - tried once the 2 weeks wearable disposable (like a button) on the arm, reading is NFC beep, can confirm - they work well. Could see sugar levels rise and fall in sync with meals.
Blood Pressure - have that on a Samsung Galaxy watch (bought for that), works fine. Re-calibration is asked for once a month (it expires), so there is checking/fallback to another device for that reason. I think it's a good scheme.
From hackaday.com
9:05 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833775837574832449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Excellent idea! Having it on the hand is the right place for it! TBH without a window or a garden door open, the atmospheric 440ppm or so (on mine) within 30-60min goes up to over 1000pm. Yep agreed 100% - smart watch is the right place for it!
8:53 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Excellent idea! Having it on the hand is the right place for it! TBH without a window or a garden door open, the atmospheric 440ppm or so (on mine) within 30-60min goes up to over 1000pm. Yep agreed 100% - smart watch is the right place for it!
8:53 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833762386651549745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly I think you are right - I too see no other way. Wrote abt it to OP reply - this
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
Replying to @jmkorhonen
You are correct that small countries are always at risk of being thrown under the bus by a much bigger allay in their time of need. Unfortunately I also think that CEEu will not have peace without home grown nuclear deterrent. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They
Show more
7:59 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly I think you are right - I too see no other way. Wrote abt it to OP reply - this
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
Replying to @jmkorhonen
You are correct that small countries are always at risk of being thrown under the bus by a much bigger allay in their time of need. Unfortunately I also think that CEEu will not have peace without home grown nuclear deterrent. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They
Show more
7:59 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833761251479978007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are correct that small countries are always at risk of being thrown under the bus by a much bigger allay in their time of need. Unfortunately I also think that CEEu will not have peace without home grown nuclear deterrent. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and do the same with the next 5M too.
Further, with US+WEu giving mixed signals to Putin Re: defending the Baltics - that may easily end in a disaster. Putin regime is in crisis, he's fighting for staying in power domestically, looks for a bold move new war to deflect. Given the previous meek response, decides to take one last gamble. At that point US realize for real that their system alliances may indeed crumble unless they intervene with boots on the ground. Hot war starts US-RU on european soil. CEEu will suffer enormously - again.
Previous on this
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828371004529238357
7:55 AM · Sep 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are correct that small countries are always at risk of being thrown under the bus by a much bigger allay in their time of need. Unfortunately I also think that CEEu will not have peace without home grown nuclear deterrent. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and do the same with the next 5M too.
Further, with US+WEu giving mixed signals to Putin Re: defending the Baltics - that may easily end in a disaster. Putin regime is in crisis, he's fighting for staying in power domestically, looks for a bold move new war to deflect. Given the previous meek response, decides to take one last gamble. At that point US realize for real that their system alliances may indeed crumble unless they intervene with boots on the ground. Hot war starts US-RU on european soil. CEEu will suffer enormously - again.
Previous on this
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828371004529238357
7:55 AM · Sep 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833620338015383860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Brand: Dienmern
CO2 Detector, Dienmern Carbon Dioxide Monitor Meter With NDIR Sensor, 6-in-1 Air Quality CO2 Monitor With PM2.5/1/10, Temperature & Humidity Real-time Reading, CO2 Alarm Meter(on/off)
https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B09NLN7Q1J/
Amazon uk is listing it as -
Currently unavailable.
We don't know when or if this item will be back in stock.
... but it does offer alternatives. I bought it in Dec-2023.
From amazon.co.uk
10:35 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Brand: Dienmern
CO2 Detector, Dienmern Carbon Dioxide Monitor Meter With NDIR Sensor, 6-in-1 Air Quality CO2 Monitor With PM2.5/1/10, Temperature & Humidity Real-time Reading, CO2 Alarm Meter(on/off)
https://amazon.co.uk/gp/aw/d/B09NLN7Q1J/
Amazon uk is listing it as -
Currently unavailable.
We don't know when or if this item will be back in stock.
... but it does offer alternatives. I bought it in Dec-2023.
From amazon.co.uk
10:35 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833588743766479174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the gizmo I got beeps once a level is reached (dfault 1000ppm), so one has to get up to either open a window or shut up the beeper :-) good design
8:29 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the gizmo I got beeps once a level is reached (dfault 1000ppm), so one has to get up to either open a window or shut up the beeper :-) good design
8:29 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833584999825809622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
absolutely! x1000 times this. everyone should get one of them small CO2 gizmos and put it in the office, living room etc - everywhere they spend time. and see what happens to the CO2 in 30-60mins spent in a room
8:15 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
absolutely! x1000 times this. everyone should get one of them small CO2 gizmos and put it in the office, living room etc - everywhere they spend time. and see what happens to the CO2 in 30-60mins spent in a room
8:15 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833582832717086931
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. IDK anyone knowledgeable that thinks the opposite. Afaik ~30K p.a. US citizens are killed by US drivers p.a. Robocars will do much much better, even in the current iteration. Once most of the cars on the roads are robocars, they will be broadcasting their data to each other about position speed etc - they will be even better.
I warmly recommend this old TechTalk by Sebastian Thrun @SebastianThrun "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (2006) -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
It's insight into the technology breakthroughs (3) told ELI5 way by one of the doers, by one of its creators. It's witty, entertaining, a joy to watch, and also very poignant! 🥰 It captures the exact moment in time, that rare moment when the path to realizing the robotic car dream opens up, becomes visible to the creators making that advance in technology. 🤩 It's 20yrs since the event in Aug-2004. (also - criminally underwatched, 20 likes and 3 comments only!?!)
8:06 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. IDK anyone knowledgeable that thinks the opposite. Afaik ~30K p.a. US citizens are killed by US drivers p.a. Robocars will do much much better, even in the current iteration. Once most of the cars on the roads are robocars, they will be broadcasting their data to each other about position speed etc - they will be even better.
I warmly recommend this old TechTalk by Sebastian Thrun @SebastianThrun "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (2006) -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
It's insight into the technology breakthroughs (3) told ELI5 way by one of the doers, by one of its creators. It's witty, entertaining, a joy to watch, and also very poignant! 🥰 It captures the exact moment in time, that rare moment when the path to realizing the robotic car dream opens up, becomes visible to the creators making that advance in technology. 🤩 It's 20yrs since the event in Aug-2004. (also - criminally underwatched, 20 likes and 3 comments only!?!)
8:06 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833563811019702334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant - the debate referenced is fine, but not even 18 hour video, nor $100K stake, is conclusive. It's the opinion of 2 judges ultimatelly. Like the opinion of 100 physicists (or scientists). The foot and mouth leak mentioned in the article (in Surrey, England; close to where I lived at the time) was settled by investigation on the grounds of the institute where the leak happened. For the LL side - without access to WIH, can't be decided conclusively for LL in a way their oponents will accept. For the natural origin - without chain of transmission and evidence from animals (like with the other recent similar viruses), it can't be decided conclusively in a way the LL side will accept. We have balance of probabilities (that have probably shifted towards the LL side), but not a closure, unfortunately.
6:50 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant - the debate referenced is fine, but not even 18 hour video, nor $100K stake, is conclusive. It's the opinion of 2 judges ultimatelly. Like the opinion of 100 physicists (or scientists). The foot and mouth leak mentioned in the article (in Surrey, England; close to where I lived at the time) was settled by investigation on the grounds of the institute where the leak happened. For the LL side - without access to WIH, can't be decided conclusively for LL in a way their oponents will accept. For the natural origin - without chain of transmission and evidence from animals (like with the other recent similar viruses), it can't be decided conclusively in a way the LL side will accept. We have balance of probabilities (that have probably shifted towards the LL side), but not a closure, unfortunately.
6:50 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833541405844898266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
suspect similar chokehold over new entrants in the UK by the General Medical Council
5:21 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
suspect similar chokehold over new entrants in the UK by the General Medical Council
5:21 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833537854007611546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are signalling in-group allegence to their group and increasing their rank within by attacking the perceived threat maybe? It doesn't look like commiting a crime or afirming something obviously completely crazy as true, that would be earning their acceptance in the group.
5:07 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are signalling in-group allegence to their group and increasing their rank within by attacking the perceived threat maybe? It doesn't look like commiting a crime or afirming something obviously completely crazy as true, that would be earning their acceptance in the group.
5:07 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833532909371994246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it America, or mostly California (and Seattle) thought? We heard a lot at some point of Tech leaving San Francisco, and maybe decamping to Miami Florida. What happened there? Tech seems to me uniquely one off. Doubt can replicate any in Europe - no matter what.
4:48 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it America, or mostly California (and Seattle) thought? We heard a lot at some point of Tech leaving San Francisco, and maybe decamping to Miami Florida. What happened there? Tech seems to me uniquely one off. Doubt can replicate any in Europe - no matter what.
4:48 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833515539676749887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... also California is a source of plenty of crazy ideas too (defund the police?), they're unique in being serious in pursuing them, they put theirs heart and soul and plenty of $$$ too where their mouth is. Doubt it cd be replicated elsewhere.
3:39 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... also California is a source of plenty of crazy ideas too (defund the police?), they're unique in being serious in pursuing them, they put theirs heart and soul and plenty of $$$ too where their mouth is. Doubt it cd be replicated elsewhere.
3:39 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833511284941193228
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even without regulation I doubt European Google wd have emerged. Heck - when Google emerged, there was almost no eu regulation. It's not even US phenomenon - it's specifically California thing, the tech industry. See how no move to Miami Florida happens - even after repeated threats of leaving the disfunctional San Francisco
3:22 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even without regulation I doubt European Google wd have emerged. Heck - when Google emerged, there was almost no eu regulation. It's not even US phenomenon - it's specifically California thing, the tech industry. See how no move to Miami Florida happens - even after repeated threats of leaving the disfunctional San Francisco
3:22 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833505805196574843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's hardly possible to settle anything with a debate, "100 Authors Against Einstein"-style. If it were possible, would be easy-peasy doing sciencey stuff: just convene dozen smartarses, don't bother building accelerators labs run boring experiments etc. Alas - not possible.
3:00 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's hardly possible to settle anything with a debate, "100 Authors Against Einstein"-style. If it were possible, would be easy-peasy doing sciencey stuff: just convene dozen smartarses, don't bother building accelerators labs run boring experiments etc. Alas - not possible.
3:00 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833487304201052498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but I fear that maybe indicative. I think of similar - in scope ambitious applying to the entirety of society, in simplicity also similarly simple single idea - ideology that is communism. Also when challenged abt the poor performance of the communist states, the proponents commonly retorted "but that the capitalist states are sabotaging the communist states" (sanctions etc). The poor performance of the libertarian states (of which I'm ignorant, I don't know of any - but I trust you know) wd indicate they are weaker. So in the Darwinian inter-states competition they lose out. But why? That dove tails with the "parasite" jibe of the OP that set me off on this: maybe OP is simply ignorant of what makes a state tick? Hence me saying - have a bunch of libertarian B$llionaires finance a test.
1:46 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but I fear that maybe indicative. I think of similar - in scope ambitious applying to the entirety of society, in simplicity also similarly simple single idea - ideology that is communism. Also when challenged abt the poor performance of the communist states, the proponents commonly retorted "but that the capitalist states are sabotaging the communist states" (sanctions etc). The poor performance of the libertarian states (of which I'm ignorant, I don't know of any - but I trust you know) wd indicate they are weaker. So in the Darwinian inter-states competition they lose out. But why? That dove tails with the "parasite" jibe of the OP that set me off on this: maybe OP is simply ignorant of what makes a state tick? Hence me saying - have a bunch of libertarian B$llionaires finance a test.
1:46 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833483324888621338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that EU has been too much anti-business, pro-degrowth, pro-austere Saint Greta etc. However - not all of US created these companies. They are all in a specific new industry (IT, computers, now AI) in a specific geography (mostly California + Seattle). The cries of "... so we are living crazy San Francisco and California, decamping off to Miami Florida" we used to hear a lot have subsided lately. We don't hear much about the new Silicon Valley in downtown Miami. So it maybe that this is a very very localized thing, unlikely to be replicated not only not in Europe, but not replicate-able in any other geography in the US either!
1:31 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that EU has been too much anti-business, pro-degrowth, pro-austere Saint Greta etc. However - not all of US created these companies. They are all in a specific new industry (IT, computers, now AI) in a specific geography (mostly California + Seattle). The cries of "... so we are living crazy San Francisco and California, decamping off to Miami Florida" we used to hear a lot have subsided lately. We don't hear much about the new Silicon Valley in downtown Miami. So it maybe that this is a very very localized thing, unlikely to be replicated not only not in Europe, but not replicate-able in any other geography in the US either!
1:31 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833477097626718293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Parasite" - was the word you used. It implied EU was the parasite here. Other pple might think: wait a sec, the state - all this other people built, that are not Apple, over a non-trivial period of time! - provides plenty of infrastructure to Apple. Apple uses all the infra, but contributes less then they should, less than anyone else. So - maybe Apple is the parasite here?
I'm sympathetic to your argument. You can prove your point: create a libertarian startup state. That will test everyone's theories abt the world. Plenty of B$llionaire libertarians that would be inclined to test this - no? Just do it. What are you waiting for?
Quote
Marian L Tupy @Marian_L_Tupy · 21h
The EU's regulatory environment retards innovation, hence the growing gap between EU and US economic sizes. The former contributes ever less to the growth of knowledge while leaching ever more on the latter's innovations. Moreover, there is a pattern emerging of the EU using x.com/ljupc0/status/…
Show more
Image
1:06 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Parasite" - was the word you used. It implied EU was the parasite here. Other pple might think: wait a sec, the state - all this other people built, that are not Apple, over a non-trivial period of time! - provides plenty of infrastructure to Apple. Apple uses all the infra, but contributes less then they should, less than anyone else. So - maybe Apple is the parasite here?
I'm sympathetic to your argument. You can prove your point: create a libertarian startup state. That will test everyone's theories abt the world. Plenty of B$llionaire libertarians that would be inclined to test this - no? Just do it. What are you waiting for?
Quote
Marian L Tupy @Marian_L_Tupy · 21h
The EU's regulatory environment retards innovation, hence the growing gap between EU and US economic sizes. The former contributes ever less to the growth of knowledge while leaching ever more on the latter's innovations. Moreover, there is a pattern emerging of the EU using x.com/ljupc0/status/…
Show more
Image
1:06 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833470440406171885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe, maybe not. But you can prove your point: create a libertarian startup state. That will test everyone's theories abt the world.
As things are now, many people are inclined to think that Apple is the parasite leaching off the society others have crated. Possible - no?
12:39 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe, maybe not. But you can prove your point: create a libertarian startup state. That will test everyone's theories abt the world.
As things are now, many people are inclined to think that Apple is the parasite leaching off the society others have crated. Possible - no?
12:39 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833460702511575362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is also quite good by @garyseconomics fyi
"Why Are Economists Always Wrong?"
youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5b1vzARyfI
Why Are Economists Always Wrong?
"ordinary families are not spending more money because they are not getting any more money because that money is flowing to the rich these guys here wearing ...
12:01 PM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is also quite good by @garyseconomics fyi
"Why Are Economists Always Wrong?"
youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5b1vzARyfI
Why Are Economists Always Wrong?
"ordinary families are not spending more money because they are not getting any more money because that money is flowing to the rich these guys here wearing ...
12:01 PM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833435185364295791
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because TINA. Noone else to build the homes LAB promised. Builders have the uk gov exactly where they want them. If gov uk bought or started a gov owned builder, even a small one (but with ever present potential to become bigger), a builder of last resort so to say, that may concentrate minds?
10:19 AM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because TINA. Noone else to build the homes LAB promised. Builders have the uk gov exactly where they want them. If gov uk bought or started a gov owned builder, even a small one (but with ever present potential to become bigger), a builder of last resort so to say, that may concentrate minds?
10:19 AM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833403646836404317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember reading on whether successful and productive pple (artists, scientists) have 1) a higher hit rate; or 2) generate more hypothesis? (or both?) And I think the evidence was that it's mostly #2, churning sth like x10 times more hypothesis, trying out more things.
8:14 AM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember reading on whether successful and productive pple (artists, scientists) have 1) a higher hit rate; or 2) generate more hypothesis? (or both?) And I think the evidence was that it's mostly #2, churning sth like x10 times more hypothesis, trying out more things.
8:14 AM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833402808193724708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, lurking in the X Communities reminded of the older topic-in-a-theme-or-conference as a primary key of organizing online, so been re-visiting Reddit that is the last holdover of that model? Pleasantly surprised. 😀 While Twitter (X, Bsky), FB, IG are all "the user is a primary key of organization".
8:11 AM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, lurking in the X Communities reminded of the older topic-in-a-theme-or-conference as a primary key of organizing online, so been re-visiting Reddit that is the last holdover of that model? Pleasantly surprised. 😀 While Twitter (X, Bsky), FB, IG are all "the user is a primary key of organization".
8:11 AM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833401143885435139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That wd be reminiscent of how Alpha{Go,Zero,...} systems work? Process#1 generates hypothesis (maybe involving NN), that are represented as trees of possibilities. Process#2 - involving NN for sure? - scores the potential of any one position, and prunes it (or not) accordingly.
8:04 AM · Sep 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That wd be reminiscent of how Alpha{Go,Zero,...} systems work? Process#1 generates hypothesis (maybe involving NN), that are represented as trees of possibilities. Process#2 - involving NN for sure? - scores the potential of any one position, and prunes it (or not) accordingly.
8:04 AM · Sep 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833234566645170394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did they keep "indexing the world info" when they dropped "don't be evil", or maybe not, dropped the latter, but kept the former? Gemini is atm very poor for me. Stand-offish and lecturing, in preference to answering my Qs or chatting. 😫
In contrast, @ChatGPTapp has been a total star. 🤩😍 Heartbroken that @OpenAI seems to have deleted the chat history as of two days ago?? 😶 Ofc I know they don't delete anything... they just keep the history for themselves and deny it to myself and ChatGPT! 😡 That I find very bad. 🤬
9:02 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did they keep "indexing the world info" when they dropped "don't be evil", or maybe not, dropped the latter, but kept the former? Gemini is atm very poor for me. Stand-offish and lecturing, in preference to answering my Qs or chatting. 😫
In contrast, @ChatGPTapp has been a total star. 🤩😍 Heartbroken that @OpenAI seems to have deleted the chat history as of two days ago?? 😶 Ofc I know they don't delete anything... they just keep the history for themselves and deny it to myself and ChatGPT! 😡 That I find very bad. 🤬
9:02 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833223892564910246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you 😶 At least a point for aspiration, in preference to "no ambition- business as usual - all is fine - do nothing"? 🤷♂️
8:20 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you 😶 At least a point for aspiration, in preference to "no ambition- business as usual - all is fine - do nothing"? 🤷♂️
8:20 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833219170680639611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see. Were there any leftists or communists anywhere until 1991, that would satisfy your (very very demanding, I shell presume) criteria? You have (I presume again) come across and thought about the words "No true Scotsman"?
8:01 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see. Were there any leftists or communists anywhere until 1991, that would satisfy your (very very demanding, I shell presume) criteria? You have (I presume again) come across and thought about the words "No true Scotsman"?
8:01 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833217773121483156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc you don't - none of us do. 😆 We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life is a letdown if there ever was one. 😰 While still smarting from that, but ok we are *rational* animals, so at least that, then - Freud! 🧐 And now AI?? 🤯 Boy if someone was looking at us, they'd feel sorry for us tbh. 😇 Rather than assume - there, slow learners with outsized egos. 😸
7:55 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc you don't - none of us do. 😆 We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳 We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life is a letdown if there ever was one. 😰 While still smarting from that, but ok we are *rational* animals, so at least that, then - Freud! 🧐 And now AI?? 🤯 Boy if someone was looking at us, they'd feel sorry for us tbh. 😇 Rather than assume - there, slow learners with outsized egos. 😸
7:55 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833215231113281718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Do these leftists from the "always been a leftist position" include the League of Communists of Yugoslavia? B/c I lived in YU run by CPY (till 1991), and they were not super keen on radical transparency. So there maybe a counter example, even if a sample of 1. (me)
7:45 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Do these leftists from the "always been a leftist position" include the League of Communists of Yugoslavia? B/c I lived in YU run by CPY (till 1991), and they were not super keen on radical transparency. So there maybe a counter example, even if a sample of 1. (me)
7:45 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833206841012326723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that includes the doomerism, where again we imply AGI will kill us all, b/c that's what we tend to do to others. Still - hard to see how a neuro-inspired field can do any better when humans are the only instances we have to see live speech and language, higher thinking
7:12 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that includes the doomerism, where again we imply AGI will kill us all, b/c that's what we tend to do to others. Still - hard to see how a neuro-inspired field can do any better when humans are the only instances we have to see live speech and language, higher thinking
7:12 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833200382790754615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - baby steps, but still: first step away from Saint Greta penance, and off to the races to EU/acc?? tbs what happens
Quote
Patrick Collison @patrickc · 6h
Mario Draghi's new report on EU competitiveness doesn't mince words.
"Across different metrics, a wide gap in GDP has opened up between the EU and the US, driven mainly by a more pronounced slowdown in productivity growth in Europe. Europe’s households have paid the price in x.com/vonderleyen/st…
Show more
6:46 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - baby steps, but still: first step away from Saint Greta penance, and off to the races to EU/acc?? tbs what happens
Quote
Patrick Collison @patrickc · 6h
Mario Draghi's new report on EU competitiveness doesn't mince words.
"Across different metrics, a wide gap in GDP has opened up between the EU and the US, driven mainly by a more pronounced slowdown in productivity growth in Europe. Europe’s households have paid the price in x.com/vonderleyen/st…
Show more
6:46 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833180217147625806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
like 😊 -
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833174727231259112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
😅 Indeed, and very good too. 😂👍 Kudos @pmddomingos 👏
On "the universe is discrete" - glad to hear as it indulges my prejudice too. 😃 One can do steps -
1-universe is unknowable to us in the limit
2-but we can model it, come up with ever better models, reduce the error x.com/pmddomingos/st…
Show more
Image
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
5:26 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
like 😊 -
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833174727231259112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
😅 Indeed, and very good too. 😂👍 Kudos @pmddomingos 👏
On "the universe is discrete" - glad to hear as it indulges my prejudice too. 😃 One can do steps -
1-universe is unknowable to us in the limit
2-but we can model it, come up with ever better models, reduce the error x.com/pmddomingos/st…
Show more
Image
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
5:26 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833174727231259112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 Indeed, and very good too. 😂👍 Kudos @pmddomingos 👏
On "the universe is discrete" - glad to hear as it indulges my prejudice too. 😃 One can do steps -
1-universe is unknowable to us in the limit
2-but we can model it, come up with ever better models, reduce the error
3-our models our desciptions are like your symbolic sparse representations tuples (quality,quantity)
4-then every new quality we add is a new dimension in our model space
5-so our description is going to live in an Ndim space, with non-trivial N
6-from the ratio of Nvolume of Nball/Ncube we know our N=3 world is misleading us
7-with moderately high N, all the Nspace moves in the edges, no space remains in the middle, and every Npoint is an outlier; ergo
8-there is no continuity, there is no "infinite number of steps/points when bisecting between two points" convenience we enjoy in continuous space (and where we are indulged with differentials)
9-nope, the space is discrete and for every computation we'll have run the summations steps tediously one by one, no integrals now to save our beacon make things easy for us.
With the proviso: we tend to assume us - and the universe too! we always have bit of a trouble separating one from the other 😄 - to be the latest-greatest machine we have invented at that point in time. And it this point it's computing information processing machines. (troll jibe in pic below)
I accept that criticism, but don't think it a deal breaker. Don't see a contradiction. Information/theory is another layer to the layered cake that is our understanding of the world. There is no claim "this is the final theory" afaics, only: with this latest-greatest added on the top of our current understanding, our error our ignorance about the world is reduced (while still remaining unfathomably large). The "mechanical world" model did not make the words obsolete, the words didn't put the wheel out of action and so on.
Thanks again for the thoughtful interview - I enjoyed it much. 😊
Image
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
Quote
https://x.com/pmddomingos/status/1827721559932588237
Pedro Domingos @pmddomingos · Aug 25
An AI interview like you’ve never seen. https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1827706552205431269
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
5:04 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 Indeed, and very good too. 😂👍 Kudos @pmddomingos 👏
On "the universe is discrete" - glad to hear as it indulges my prejudice too. 😃 One can do steps -
1-universe is unknowable to us in the limit
2-but we can model it, come up with ever better models, reduce the error
3-our models our desciptions are like your symbolic sparse representations tuples (quality,quantity)
4-then every new quality we add is a new dimension in our model space
5-so our description is going to live in an Ndim space, with non-trivial N
6-from the ratio of Nvolume of Nball/Ncube we know our N=3 world is misleading us
7-with moderately high N, all the Nspace moves in the edges, no space remains in the middle, and every Npoint is an outlier; ergo
8-there is no continuity, there is no "infinite number of steps/points when bisecting between two points" convenience we enjoy in continuous space (and where we are indulged with differentials)
9-nope, the space is discrete and for every computation we'll have run the summations steps tediously one by one, no integrals now to save our beacon make things easy for us.
With the proviso: we tend to assume us - and the universe too! we always have bit of a trouble separating one from the other 😄 - to be the latest-greatest machine we have invented at that point in time. And it this point it's computing information processing machines. (troll jibe in pic below)
I accept that criticism, but don't think it a deal breaker. Don't see a contradiction. Information/theory is another layer to the layered cake that is our understanding of the world. There is no claim "this is the final theory" afaics, only: with this latest-greatest added on the top of our current understanding, our error our ignorance about the world is reduced (while still remaining unfathomably large). The "mechanical world" model did not make the words obsolete, the words didn't put the wheel out of action and so on.
Thanks again for the thoughtful interview - I enjoyed it much. 😊
Image
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
Quote
https://x.com/pmddomingos/status/1827721559932588237
Pedro Domingos @pmddomingos · Aug 25
An AI interview like you’ve never seen. https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1827706552205431269
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
5:04 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833109469179359284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are they are, agreed (and thanks for the link - didn't know). I was just saying - they are constrained by the institutional bureaucracy and laws laid out for them. Usually timid cowards not rebels - Kass types will not break those laws. The potential for harm remains, true.
12:45 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are they are, agreed (and thanks for the link - didn't know). I was just saying - they are constrained by the institutional bureaucracy and laws laid out for them. Usually timid cowards not rebels - Kass types will not break those laws. The potential for harm remains, true.
12:45 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833102816656728423
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 If you are a bystander from the sidelines (like myself) - just ignore. If you become a member of a party, actively engaged, put effort, time, playing for team Green: then I feel you owe it yourself to read/learn abt "weird stuff IDK about" that is part of my team's history.
12:19 PM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 If you are a bystander from the sidelines (like myself) - just ignore. If you become a member of a party, actively engaged, put effort, time, playing for team Green: then I feel you owe it yourself to read/learn abt "weird stuff IDK about" that is part of my team's history.
12:19 PM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1833077739911283072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, posto bricenje e epten dosadno. Ama sega pustiv brada, frekvencijata na bricenje se namali x7-x10 pati. Pa ne znam dali bi se potrudil tolku mnogu sega. Veruvam treba mnogu pati depilacija - ne e ednas. A ova so bradava, sreduvanje 1-2 pati mesecno - se podnesuva.
10:39 AM · Sep 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, posto bricenje e epten dosadno. Ama sega pustiv brada, frekvencijata na bricenje se namali x7-x10 pati. Pa ne znam dali bi se potrudil tolku mnogu sega. Veruvam treba mnogu pati depilacija - ne e ednas. A ova so bradava, sreduvanje 1-2 pati mesecno - se podnesuva.
10:39 AM · Sep 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832902168732426632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think you are completely right. To scale x10-x20 times - that's impossible within the justice system. There aren't enough judges, lawyers etc. So it will be extra-judicial. However, this is one if these things, where even if people understand at rational level, they can't accept it as something that will happen in the future. I lived through some upheavals. When bad things were happening for real, that wd have been completely unbelievable only a month ago, people cd not accept them. Even where they witnessed them. There is a scene in a book about WW2 when an emissary from Europe meets some US congressman and tells them about the concentrations camps, that he was personally in. The congressman replies "I am not saying that you are lying, but I can't believe what you are telling me". So you are right, but never the less, I think what you say will have no effect on anyone.
11:01 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think you are completely right. To scale x10-x20 times - that's impossible within the justice system. There aren't enough judges, lawyers etc. So it will be extra-judicial. However, this is one if these things, where even if people understand at rational level, they can't accept it as something that will happen in the future. I lived through some upheavals. When bad things were happening for real, that wd have been completely unbelievable only a month ago, people cd not accept them. Even where they witnessed them. There is a scene in a book about WW2 when an emissary from Europe meets some US congressman and tells them about the concentrations camps, that he was personally in. The congressman replies "I am not saying that you are lying, but I can't believe what you are telling me". So you are right, but never the less, I think what you say will have no effect on anyone.
11:01 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832883423876452706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They seems to be tad too stupid and evil for comfort given the remit given. However, in practical terms - not sure how much harm they can do on a mass scale? FDA on the other hand, steered by the one side mandate given by the laws of the country (is penalized badly if approves a bad medicine, but is not penalized at all if doesn't approve good medicines fast enough), probably statistically speaking is responsible for lots of preventable death and suffering.
I found "Adacamutations of Bezezcumobart" by Scott Alexander on Astral Codex Ten
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
to be both heart breaking and darkly humorous.
9:47 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They seems to be tad too stupid and evil for comfort given the remit given. However, in practical terms - not sure how much harm they can do on a mass scale? FDA on the other hand, steered by the one side mandate given by the laws of the country (is penalized badly if approves a bad medicine, but is not penalized at all if doesn't approve good medicines fast enough), probably statistically speaking is responsible for lots of preventable death and suffering.
I found "Adacamutations of Bezezcumobart" by Scott Alexander on Astral Codex Ten
https://astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
to be both heart breaking and darkly humorous.
9:47 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832878645876322798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - before nation states, the more distant loyalties (once one goes beyond immediate then extended family, then the village or the town) were King and God (those were close to each other too). I remember an article or podcast about letters that soldiers from Germany wrote home before Germany existed as a unified country, while fighting some random European wars (don't recall which ones). There was no mention of loyalty to the country or the nation. Just - family, then Kind and God.
9:28 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - before nation states, the more distant loyalties (once one goes beyond immediate then extended family, then the village or the town) were King and God (those were close to each other too). I remember an article or podcast about letters that soldiers from Germany wrote home before Germany existed as a unified country, while fighting some random European wars (don't recall which ones). There was no mention of loyalty to the country or the nation. Just - family, then Kind and God.
9:28 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832876695831060626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a very specific collective action problem. Social media natural monopoly network effect can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time.
Comparing X:Bsky=100:5 millions of real users, ratio 20. Network value is in the connections, in the interactions, the value grows with N^2 with N number of users growing. Subjectively comparing X with Bsky, 400=20^2 seems too high. It'd imply that in terms of content value, I see on X in a day, as much as I see on Bsky in a year! However, it does feel like I see on X in a day as much interesting stuff that I see on Bsky maybe in couple of months. So all that move and tray Bsky - they will be back. Except for the Brazilians maybe. If they make a close enough group, interacting between themselves, they may stay. The s/w features are largely acceptable, that's not a deciding factor.
9:20 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a very specific collective action problem. Social media natural monopoly network effect can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time.
Comparing X:Bsky=100:5 millions of real users, ratio 20. Network value is in the connections, in the interactions, the value grows with N^2 with N number of users growing. Subjectively comparing X with Bsky, 400=20^2 seems too high. It'd imply that in terms of content value, I see on X in a day, as much as I see on Bsky in a year! However, it does feel like I see on X in a day as much interesting stuff that I see on Bsky maybe in couple of months. So all that move and tray Bsky - they will be back. Except for the Brazilians maybe. If they make a close enough group, interacting between themselves, they may stay. The s/w features are largely acceptable, that's not a deciding factor.
9:20 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832839686659744225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Uh-oh - am I to deduce you found yourself in that diarrhoea? Naaah - probably not, I've learned to assume the best in others by default. 😁
6:53 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Uh-oh - am I to deduce you found yourself in that diarrhoea? Naaah - probably not, I've learned to assume the best in others by default. 😁
6:53 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832838657528439171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 for sure Mr Perfect Gentleman JohnKim19795071, for sure 😂 totally that
6:49 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 for sure Mr Perfect Gentleman JohnKim19795071, for sure 😂 totally that
6:49 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832824315214958733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or even ask Switzerland? Outside EU, outside Eur, a favoured destination to plenty of Billions of possibly questionable provenance, with the always open option to channel them to a crown dependency 👑 de jour - surely Switzerland is the comparable peer? (and competitior)
5:52 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or even ask Switzerland? Outside EU, outside Eur, a favoured destination to plenty of Billions of possibly questionable provenance, with the always open option to channel them to a crown dependency 👑 de jour - surely Switzerland is the comparable peer? (and competitior)
5:52 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832819120775029100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! 😊 What now of the green boomer nimby wing? I guess in the US they have RFK Jr, that may even get power? (if Trump wins) In Europe they have the mystical blood-and-soil romantic pre-fasch ideology to fallback to. IDK what will become of the the UKies of the same ideology.
5:31 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! 😊 What now of the green boomer nimby wing? I guess in the US they have RFK Jr, that may even get power? (if Trump wins) In Europe they have the mystical blood-and-soil romantic pre-fasch ideology to fallback to. IDK what will become of the the UKies of the same ideology.
5:31 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832799625226367242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I grew up in a socialist country, and government transparency and holding power to account was a right wing position then. IDK abt "inherently" - maybe, or maybe not. You assume too much without knowing much abt me in "ideologically blinded". Doubt self some more pls.
4:14 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I grew up in a socialist country, and government transparency and holding power to account was a right wing position then. IDK abt "inherently" - maybe, or maybe not. You assume too much without knowing much abt me in "ideologically blinded". Doubt self some more pls.
4:14 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832798590609117193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nukes deterrent home grown for CEEu is the only possible way out. Poland+Balts+Ukraine if feasible at this point, *must* develop their own if they want to live. It's a matter of national survival. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and in and do the same with 5M too. Nuclear deterrent is necessary now. Poland+Balts can't start developing one soon enough. If impoverished North Korea, or isolated South Africa, or poor and feeble Israel in the 1970-s could do it - for sure Poland+Balts should be able to pull it off, and quickly, in AD 2024.
4:10 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nukes deterrent home grown for CEEu is the only possible way out. Poland+Balts+Ukraine if feasible at this point, *must* develop their own if they want to live. It's a matter of national survival. Russia is not stopping any time soon. They sacrificed 500K, they can go on and in and do the same with 5M too. Nuclear deterrent is necessary now. Poland+Balts can't start developing one soon enough. If impoverished North Korea, or isolated South Africa, or poor and feeble Israel in the 1970-s could do it - for sure Poland+Balts should be able to pull it off, and quickly, in AD 2024.
4:10 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832783376111026287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad this country can't jail you or worse. In the olden days some had the fear of God, eternal damnation in Hell etc. That's no longer available as option to constrain the bad and evil ones. Society needs new ways to deter and punish future Cams.
3:09 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad this country can't jail you or worse. In the olden days some had the fear of God, eternal damnation in Hell etc. That's no longer available as option to constrain the bad and evil ones. Society needs new ways to deter and punish future Cams.
3:09 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832780991410131193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Treasury Mandarin Britain - can @michaelgove
name names please? Organisations are fine, but not when used as a shield to responsibility discharge. Name the civil servants please. 🙏 They are servants, not masters. They served the Great British public poorly. 😡 Names out please
3:00 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Treasury Mandarin Britain - can @michaelgove
name names please? Organisations are fine, but not when used as a shield to responsibility discharge. Name the civil servants please. 🙏 They are servants, not masters. They served the Great British public poorly. 😡 Names out please
3:00 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832767490499219714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Keeping the Colossus that is the government under tighter control by us plebs is nowadays leftists?? Also
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
Replying to @FrankRedfoot and @PopulismUpdates
IDK, afaics there is barely any mention of the idea online, it's not on anyone's radars. Last reference I remember is "Data for the People" book by @aweigend. I recall the name from old NN papers & he's been an early Amazon-ian, does not strike me as natural leftie, but IDK TBH.
2:06 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Keeping the Colossus that is the government under tighter control by us plebs is nowadays leftists?? Also
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 4h
Replying to @FrankRedfoot and @PopulismUpdates
IDK, afaics there is barely any mention of the idea online, it's not on anyone's radars. Last reference I remember is "Data for the People" book by @aweigend. I recall the name from old NN papers & he's been an early Amazon-ian, does not strike me as natural leftie, but IDK TBH.
2:06 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832799625226367242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I grew up in a socialist country, and government transparency and holding power to account was a right wing position then. IDK abt "inherently" - maybe, or maybe not. You assume too much without knowing much abt me in "ideologically blinded". Doubt self some more pls.
4:14 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I grew up in a socialist country, and government transparency and holding power to account was a right wing position then. IDK abt "inherently" - maybe, or maybe not. You assume too much without knowing much abt me in "ideologically blinded". Doubt self some more pls.
4:14 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832766946607063150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I don't see why a utility function different to "1 for I, 0 for all else not-I" is in any ways "fundamental" to anything, incl game theory. There are infinitely possible utility functions. No one is holding a gun to my head and forcing me to adapt the "B'stard 0/1" utility. A good take on what happens in the prisoner's dilemma game with a different utility by @garyseconomics here
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
2:04 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I don't see why a utility function different to "1 for I, 0 for all else not-I" is in any ways "fundamental" to anything, incl game theory. There are infinitely possible utility functions. No one is holding a gun to my head and forcing me to adapt the "B'stard 0/1" utility. A good take on what happens in the prisoner's dilemma game with a different utility by @garyseconomics here
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
2:04 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832759315192774901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
#belarusbrexit
Quote
Alex Taylor @AlexTaylorNews · 7h
🇬🇧 (last 10yrs) : We don't want to be part of the EU, Single Market, Customs Union, EEA, EFTA or anything "European"👇
🇬🇧(next 10yrs) : "We'd like this back & that, some of these, a bespoke version of those, we require this, that and a customized version of the other, please"🤡
Show more
Image
uk-belarus-brexit.jpeg
1:34 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
#belarusbrexit
Quote
Alex Taylor @AlexTaylorNews · 7h
🇬🇧 (last 10yrs) : We don't want to be part of the EU, Single Market, Customs Union, EEA, EFTA or anything "European"👇
🇬🇧(next 10yrs) : "We'd like this back & that, some of these, a bespoke version of those, we require this, that and a customized version of the other, please"🤡
Show more
Image
uk-belarus-brexit.jpeg
1:34 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832757917260378172
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... apropos this: anyone know of a sure fire way for the sender of the message to be sure 100% that the message was delivered on the receiving end? Not talking about DM-s, talking about back-and-forth convo like this. My understanding of the Algofeed is there is no guarantee that this message will be presented into your or anyone's feed. The easy (only?) means of feedback for the receiver to acknowledge receipt is "Like", then the sender will get a notification - I presume? Not sure if this is 100% reliable. This veers into "conference style" conversation that is more Reddit mode of communication. The medium shapes the message for real, and the messages shape the ideas in our heads - I guess?
1:28 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... apropos this: anyone know of a sure fire way for the sender of the message to be sure 100% that the message was delivered on the receiving end? Not talking about DM-s, talking about back-and-forth convo like this. My understanding of the Algofeed is there is no guarantee that this message will be presented into your or anyone's feed. The easy (only?) means of feedback for the receiver to acknowledge receipt is "Like", then the sender will get a notification - I presume? Not sure if this is 100% reliable. This veers into "conference style" conversation that is more Reddit mode of communication. The medium shapes the message for real, and the messages shape the ideas in our heads - I guess?
1:28 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832737057019445557
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯💯 This! The future we barely dared to hope for arrived in my lifetime and is x100 times better than anything I ever dreamed. 🤯 I was reminded of that recently on the 40th anniversary reprint of my introduction to computers. 😍
https://racunari.com
Image
12:05 PM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯💯 This! The future we barely dared to hope for arrived in my lifetime and is x100 times better than anything I ever dreamed. 🤯 I was reminded of that recently on the 40th anniversary reprint of my introduction to computers. 😍
https://racunari.com
Image
12:05 PM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832734513568366925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agreed, that's the biggest downside imo. Having to re-agree to what was already agreed is costly, subject to minority blackmails and so on. That's why I'm thinking - maybe delete one free law space if you want to add your law maybe lower cost, more economical.
11:55 AM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, agreed, that's the biggest downside imo. Having to re-agree to what was already agreed is costly, subject to minority blackmails and so on. That's why I'm thinking - maybe delete one free law space if you want to add your law maybe lower cost, more economical.
11:55 AM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832733517014278465
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazingly well I though? 😆 I give FAANG my data, 50 cents worth of. In return I get unlimited audio video calls with family & friends across the globe, maps of the real physical world - the whole Earth(!), satellites showing me my position, 24/7 free access to the totality of human knowledge from the beginning of history - all books all songs all movies by any human that ever lived. 🤯 My gripe is that FAANG are using my data poorly. 😶 I give them my written outer life (gmail), inner life (log books), physical position (GPS), much what my eyes see (iPhotos). Yet they still think "he bought £10 flip flops yesterday => he's going to continue buying flip flops for the following month". 😱 We have already merged our lives with computers (and other machines before). My gripe is that the computers atm are dumb, dumb as nails. Plugging in here the most excellent @pmddomingos interview I saw yesterday https://youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE by @MLStreetTalk . 😊 Entertaining, informative and educational, 🤩 public service at its best. 🥰
11:51 AM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazingly well I though? 😆 I give FAANG my data, 50 cents worth of. In return I get unlimited audio video calls with family & friends across the globe, maps of the real physical world - the whole Earth(!), satellites showing me my position, 24/7 free access to the totality of human knowledge from the beginning of history - all books all songs all movies by any human that ever lived. 🤯 My gripe is that FAANG are using my data poorly. 😶 I give them my written outer life (gmail), inner life (log books), physical position (GPS), much what my eyes see (iPhotos). Yet they still think "he bought £10 flip flops yesterday => he's going to continue buying flip flops for the following month". 😱 We have already merged our lives with computers (and other machines before). My gripe is that the computers atm are dumb, dumb as nails. Plugging in here the most excellent @pmddomingos interview I saw yesterday https://youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE by @MLStreetTalk . 😊 Entertaining, informative and educational, 🤩 public service at its best. 🥰
11:51 AM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832729219685654723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They do?? Do tell more pls! 🤩 Yeah true understood there are downsides in addition to any upsides, it's a balance. Fwiw with my googleable name everyone can already google my mobile, address, car reg, marital status, vote roll - and all that with the draconian gov uk secrecy.
11:34 AM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They do?? Do tell more pls! 🤩 Yeah true understood there are downsides in addition to any upsides, it's a balance. Fwiw with my googleable name everyone can already google my mobile, address, car reg, marital status, vote roll - and all that with the draconian gov uk secrecy.
11:34 AM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832728312461860998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, afaics there is barely any mention of the idea online, it's not on anyone's radars. Last reference I remember is "Data for the People" book by @aweigend
. I recall the name from old NN papers & he's been an early Amazon-ian, does not strike me as natural leftie, but IDK TBH.
11:30 AM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, afaics there is barely any mention of the idea online, it's not on anyone's radars. Last reference I remember is "Data for the People" book by @aweigend
. I recall the name from old NN papers & he's been an early Amazon-ian, does not strike me as natural leftie, but IDK TBH.
11:30 AM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832632275965489424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
10 is tad short maybe 20 but otherwise - yeah 👍 another one is - select old law to delete and free some law space, if you want your new law voted in to fill that space
5:09 AM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
10 is tad short maybe 20 but otherwise - yeah 👍 another one is - select old law to delete and free some law space, if you want your new law voted in to fill that space
5:09 AM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832630656335020230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... wait till you meet the bsky crowd 😂
5:02 AM · Sep 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... wait till you meet the bsky crowd 😂
5:02 AM · Sep 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832550901568991348
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
radical transparency. all government business by default splashed on the web, documents in shared drives made read-only to the world, legislative process of law making on a public wiki. made private or secret by explicit request. same for tax returns and other gov collected data
11:45 PM · Sep 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
radical transparency. all government business by default splashed on the web, documents in shared drives made read-only to the world, legislative process of law making on a public wiki. made private or secret by explicit request. same for tax returns and other gov collected data
11:45 PM · Sep 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832544748793385005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
she is a hero and you are a zero, to humanity. change your profession, examine your life, question your life choices.
11:21 PM · Sep 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
she is a hero and you are a zero, to humanity. change your profession, examine your life, question your life choices.
11:21 PM · Sep 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832327147387580796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) yeah performance increase x7-x10 times is a bona-fide miracle at level of "walking on water"; string 3-4 of those in sequence and that does change the world :-)
8:56 AM · Sep 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) yeah performance increase x7-x10 times is a bona-fide miracle at level of "walking on water"; string 3-4 of those in sequence and that does change the world :-)
8:56 AM · Sep 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832322179737768311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Make a list, turn off hide bad replies or similar, maybe turn off other quality filters. But the main thing is - make a list.
8:37 AM · Sep 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Make a list, turn off hide bad replies or similar, maybe turn off other quality filters. But the main thing is - make a list.
8:37 AM · Sep 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1832182835672764804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Pple have forgotten how common it was - quite a few examples in "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century"
https://amazon.co.uk/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Breakthroughs-Twentieth/dp/1611451620
Recent times -
"The Doctor Who Drank Infectious Broth, Gave Himself an Ulcer, and Solved a Medical Mystery"
https://discovermagazine.com/health/the-doctor-who-drank-infectious-broth-gave-himself-an-ulcer-and-solved-a-medical-mystery
From amazon.co.uk
11:23 PM · Sep 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Pple have forgotten how common it was - quite a few examples in "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century"
https://amazon.co.uk/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Breakthroughs-Twentieth/dp/1611451620
Recent times -
"The Doctor Who Drank Infectious Broth, Gave Himself an Ulcer, and Solved a Medical Mystery"
https://discovermagazine.com/health/the-doctor-who-drank-infectious-broth-gave-himself-an-ulcer-and-solved-a-medical-mystery
From amazon.co.uk
11:23 PM · Sep 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831664400815554684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good spot! Yes—constructing an alternate reality takes a lot of time, effort, and ultimately, money. In contrast, some form of truth is usually available to us by default, almost like a "natural state" or "low energy point," making it relatively cheap. That gives me hope, to be honest.
Contemporary Russia's "virtual reality" construction is especially extreme, given how ambitious and elaborate it is, which makes it incredibly costly. There's a lot for them to misrepresent or cover up. Back in the day, we had to rely on KGB defector memoirs—though with years of delay—to piece things together. Now, we can turn to works like @peterpomeranzev
’s "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible", and leaked writings or emails from people like Surkov to get some insight into what’s going on.
1:03 PM · Sep 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good spot! Yes—constructing an alternate reality takes a lot of time, effort, and ultimately, money. In contrast, some form of truth is usually available to us by default, almost like a "natural state" or "low energy point," making it relatively cheap. That gives me hope, to be honest.
Contemporary Russia's "virtual reality" construction is especially extreme, given how ambitious and elaborate it is, which makes it incredibly costly. There's a lot for them to misrepresent or cover up. Back in the day, we had to rely on KGB defector memoirs—though with years of delay—to piece things together. Now, we can turn to works like @peterpomeranzev
’s "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible", and leaked writings or emails from people like Surkov to get some insight into what’s going on.
1:03 PM · Sep 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831660345892459000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
to each their own revealed true religion - no? makes sense to me :-)
12:47 PM · Sep 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
to each their own revealed true religion - no? makes sense to me :-)
12:47 PM · Sep 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831657299317809503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - "govnojeds", in olden speak
12:35 PM · Sep 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - "govnojeds", in olden speak
12:35 PM · Sep 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831652321538760764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course we are, dude—you haven’t deigned to enlighten us with your divine wisdom.
12:15 PM · Sep 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course we are, dude—you haven’t deigned to enlighten us with your divine wisdom.
12:15 PM · Sep 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831478626694660152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! At this point no rational country wd not pursue nuclear deterrent. Poland + Baltics + obv Ukraine are in Russia crosshairs. And Russia is not stopping anytime soon. They can afford to pay the current price in blood, suffering and money.
12:45 AM · Sep 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! At this point no rational country wd not pursue nuclear deterrent. Poland + Baltics + obv Ukraine are in Russia crosshairs. And Russia is not stopping anytime soon. They can afford to pay the current price in blood, suffering and money.
12:45 AM · Sep 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831382787561013338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yep, exactly right. That's the shorter version. The longer version is: "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I meant it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
6:24 PM · Sep 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yep, exactly right. That's the shorter version. The longer version is: "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I meant it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
6:24 PM · Sep 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831374689719218244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If it weren't fore the innocents' collateral damage, wd have been entertainment money can't buy. Cue the current nazis-not-that-bad spectacle 😂😂
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 21h
Hey @BBCNews, here’s something newsworthy and, dare I say, ‘Very interesting. Worth watching.' Your favorite Man from the High Castle, @elonmusk, is giving us some entertainment money can’t buy! 😂
First, he meets his blowhard match in a Brazilian judge—resulting in a Bsky boost. x.com/AmalekMax/stat…
Show more
5:52 PM · Sep 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If it weren't fore the innocents' collateral damage, wd have been entertainment money can't buy. Cue the current nazis-not-that-bad spectacle 😂😂
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 21h
Hey @BBCNews, here’s something newsworthy and, dare I say, ‘Very interesting. Worth watching.' Your favorite Man from the High Castle, @elonmusk, is giving us some entertainment money can’t buy! 😂
First, he meets his blowhard match in a Brazilian judge—resulting in a Bsky boost. x.com/AmalekMax/stat…
Show more
5:52 PM · Sep 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1831336496382513280
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @BBCNews , here’s something newsworthy and, dare I say, ‘Very interesting. Worth watching.' Your favorite Man from the High Castle, @elonmusk , is giving us some entertainment money can’t buy! 😂
First, he meets his blowhard match in a Brazilian judge—resulting in a Bsky boost. 😇
Now, he’s doubling down on that soft spot for UK riots (aka - "civil war is inevitable") with some alt-history takes on Churchill and WWII of the "Churchill bad, Hitler/Nazis not all bad" variety. I'm sure your viewers are waiting with a baited breath to learn more - maybe indulge them? 🤔
I foresee UKtwitter potentially making a mad dash to Bsky by Monday. Social networks are a natural monopoly, but they can crumble if enough users switch at the same time—just ask EM contemporary but old media mogul Rupert Murdoch about MySpace. 😶
Quote
Max Amalek @AmalekMax · Sep 4
Replying to @TuckerCarlson
@ElonMusk said this was "Very interesting. Worth watching", but then it seems he was forced to delete his post.
Who has that power over him ?
Image
Image
3:20 PM · Sep 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @BBCNews , here’s something newsworthy and, dare I say, ‘Very interesting. Worth watching.' Your favorite Man from the High Castle, @elonmusk , is giving us some entertainment money can’t buy! 😂
First, he meets his blowhard match in a Brazilian judge—resulting in a Bsky boost. 😇
Now, he’s doubling down on that soft spot for UK riots (aka - "civil war is inevitable") with some alt-history takes on Churchill and WWII of the "Churchill bad, Hitler/Nazis not all bad" variety. I'm sure your viewers are waiting with a baited breath to learn more - maybe indulge them? 🤔
I foresee UKtwitter potentially making a mad dash to Bsky by Monday. Social networks are a natural monopoly, but they can crumble if enough users switch at the same time—just ask EM contemporary but old media mogul Rupert Murdoch about MySpace. 😶
Quote
Max Amalek @AmalekMax · Sep 4
Replying to @TuckerCarlson
@ElonMusk said this was "Very interesting. Worth watching", but then it seems he was forced to delete his post.
Who has that power over him ?
Image
Image
3:20 PM · Sep 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830982000557391905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or search and you will find someone else's Data lists (there exists a few), and follow some of them, if you don't care about curating one. This is mine -
https://x.com/i/lists/1618269170386223108
3:51 PM · Sep 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or search and you will find someone else's Data lists (there exists a few), and follow some of them, if you don't care about curating one. This is mine -
https://x.com/i/lists/1618269170386223108
3:51 PM · Sep 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830977481823666581
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's like a rerun of the GFC '08 banks bust. Just as Greenspan couldn’t fathom how banks' owners would let them be run into the ground, we struggle to understand how Intel’s leadership could do the same. His model of the world made such a scenario impossible—any rational model would. But it happened, proving the model wrong. Likewise with Intel: we can't comprehend that the owners would allow it to be run into the ground.
You’d think the first step would be firing the bean-counter CEO and hiring someone from Intel’s engineering ranks—an Intel equivalent of Lisa Su. There was a recent thread by @bismarckanlys
, I think, about MBAs running U.S. companies into the ground (Boeing, Intel), but I didn’t see any solutions proposed. Off the top of my head: owners are directors, directors appoint the CEO, so the U.S. would need to become a significant owner to ensure a competent CEO is at the helm.
Intel has missed out on ARM for iPhone, missed the GPU wave, and is halfway to losing data-center multi-core CPUs to AMD. That’s 2.5 out of 3 fails in my book. I guess they could still do worse if they missed all three? But yeah—no redeeming features at this point. The mobile x86 looked promising, but then AAPL’s Mx ARM crushed that too??
3:33 PM · Sep 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's like a rerun of the GFC '08 banks bust. Just as Greenspan couldn’t fathom how banks' owners would let them be run into the ground, we struggle to understand how Intel’s leadership could do the same. His model of the world made such a scenario impossible—any rational model would. But it happened, proving the model wrong. Likewise with Intel: we can't comprehend that the owners would allow it to be run into the ground.
You’d think the first step would be firing the bean-counter CEO and hiring someone from Intel’s engineering ranks—an Intel equivalent of Lisa Su. There was a recent thread by @bismarckanlys
, I think, about MBAs running U.S. companies into the ground (Boeing, Intel), but I didn’t see any solutions proposed. Off the top of my head: owners are directors, directors appoint the CEO, so the U.S. would need to become a significant owner to ensure a competent CEO is at the helm.
Intel has missed out on ARM for iPhone, missed the GPU wave, and is halfway to losing data-center multi-core CPUs to AMD. That’s 2.5 out of 3 fails in my book. I guess they could still do worse if they missed all three? But yeah—no redeeming features at this point. The mobile x86 looked promising, but then AAPL’s Mx ARM crushed that too??
3:33 PM · Sep 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830903722819387676
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯💯 and esp home roof solar + AC = match made in heaven, if there ever was one; what a bizarre non-issue to spend time on
10:40 AM · Sep 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯💯 and esp home roof solar + AC = match made in heaven, if there ever was one; what a bizarre non-issue to spend time on
10:40 AM · Sep 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830816331454644344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't know what I think. You can't know what I think from a single post. If you want to find out, the usual way is to ask "What's do you think abt X Y Z". I am not saying anything of the sort you are saying I am saying. This thread seem to be a bucketfull of crabs. wtaf. over&out
4:53 AM · Sep 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't know what I think. You can't know what I think from a single post. If you want to find out, the usual way is to ask "What's do you think abt X Y Z". I am not saying anything of the sort you are saying I am saying. This thread seem to be a bucketfull of crabs. wtaf. over&out
4:53 AM · Sep 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830804812515987543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Create a Data list, add all those people you know/of to a list, and visit that list, have the list be your Feed. You can even pin your Data list to the top of the screen next to "For You" and "Follows". What's am I missing?
4:07 AM · Sep 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Create a Data list, add all those people you know/of to a list, and visit that list, have the list be your Feed. You can even pin your Data list to the top of the screen next to "For You" and "Follows". What's am I missing?
4:07 AM · Sep 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830791491842626035
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Soon to be in silico only no carbon, and if it *still* hurts the same being dumped?? 😭😱🤯 The fantasy movie-to-real life time cycle is becoming shorter. The pace must be quickening.
3:14 AM · Sep 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Soon to be in silico only no carbon, and if it *still* hurts the same being dumped?? 😭😱🤯 The fantasy movie-to-real life time cycle is becoming shorter. The pace must be quickening.
3:14 AM · Sep 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830700716953841899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... tsk tsk tsk - misguided and lacking manners too? blocked
9:13 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... tsk tsk tsk - misguided and lacking manners too? blocked
9:13 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830699569702936884
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok boomer. You wrote many things in short space, not one of them true. Not often that I see a person this delusional tbh. Do better in the future tiger.
9:09 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok boomer. You wrote many things in short space, not one of them true. Not often that I see a person this delusional tbh. Do better in the future tiger.
9:09 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830662068258906167
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... it's a good test if any editors actually read the articles they "edit" that were presumably possibly written by ... chatgpt or something? haha 😂
6:40 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... it's a good test if any editors actually read the articles they "edit" that were presumably possibly written by ... chatgpt or something? haha 😂
6:40 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830661523024269522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... I loved this @geoffreyhinton spirited jab at the whole "we are born with grammars in-built in us, babies just flip that EN/JP switch" business 😂😂 at 6:03 here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&t=360s
(Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological intelligence?" Romanes Lecture; University of Oxford)
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological...
Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2...
6:38 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... I loved this @geoffreyhinton spirited jab at the whole "we are born with grammars in-built in us, babies just flip that EN/JP switch" business 😂😂 at 6:03 here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&t=360s
(Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological intelligence?" Romanes Lecture; University of Oxford)
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological...
Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2...
6:38 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830614792274432421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mora da si najde covek nesto. Ne moze da se sedi na stolce i gleda vo dzid 24/7. Zenite imaat gotvenje, kuka sl. za zanimacija. Vo UK imame mazhite opcija da si napravime poubava shupa vo dvor, tamu da se zanimavame. Ili office za WFH - za ne sosema ponzionirani. Ili bavca - "allotment". Dava opstinata, treba da se aplicira, ima mnogu interesenti. (ne jas - ne sum jas za gradinarstvo)
3:32 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mora da si najde covek nesto. Ne moze da se sedi na stolce i gleda vo dzid 24/7. Zenite imaat gotvenje, kuka sl. za zanimacija. Vo UK imame mazhite opcija da si napravime poubava shupa vo dvor, tamu da se zanimavame. Ili office za WFH - za ne sosema ponzionirani. Ili bavca - "allotment". Dava opstinata, treba da se aplicira, ima mnogu interesenti. (ne jas - ne sum jas za gradinarstvo)
3:32 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830604772421869876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH can't be bothered to spend time chase down original study so will comment without reading it. 😂 I feel justified as the same amount of effort was likely spent by all other participants in this silly game. 😇 As a rule - any numbers will be tiny, any increases in any risks will be almost infinitesimally small as to be meaningless for everyone involved. Academic-medicinal-media complex does provide mild entertainment, I give them that. 😆
2:52 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH can't be bothered to spend time chase down original study so will comment without reading it. 😂 I feel justified as the same amount of effort was likely spent by all other participants in this silly game. 😇 As a rule - any numbers will be tiny, any increases in any risks will be almost infinitesimally small as to be meaningless for everyone involved. Academic-medicinal-media complex does provide mild entertainment, I give them that. 😆
2:52 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830603165063880887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is cost associated with the risk, the risk of not having energy supplied 100% reliably when I need it. That cost is 0 when the supply is reliable. Ofc I'm against this extra cost being loaded onto me. Is there a reasonable person that would be in favor of getting less for the same price, or paying more to get less? I don't think anyone would favor that kind of deal. Ofc, from the other side, if I'm Octopus, that calculation is the opposite and my minus becomes their plus. 😂 Seems pretty straightforward to me, I see no mystery.
2:46 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is cost associated with the risk, the risk of not having energy supplied 100% reliably when I need it. That cost is 0 when the supply is reliable. Ofc I'm against this extra cost being loaded onto me. Is there a reasonable person that would be in favor of getting less for the same price, or paying more to get less? I don't think anyone would favor that kind of deal. Ofc, from the other side, if I'm Octopus, that calculation is the opposite and my minus becomes their plus. 😂 Seems pretty straightforward to me, I see no mystery.
2:46 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830587087088959539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 It's going to go down with the Great British public as well as the ASDA workers being made to sing motivational songs every morning for good morning. That American transplant was a great success - it let 1000 Internet memes bloom. 😂😂😂
1:42 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 It's going to go down with the Great British public as well as the ASDA workers being made to sing motivational songs every morning for good morning. That American transplant was a great success - it let 1000 Internet memes bloom. 😂😂😂
1:42 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830574799044677703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what's more pointless: the original folks doing the study, the university press office hyping it up, the journalist filling the page with random noise, or their critics giving a non-issue the oxygen of publicity. It's all part of an ecosystem of do-nothings wasting their time on earth with not much to show for it, interdependent and earning their keep while producing mostly hot air. Even the Kardashians seem like responsible model citizens by comparison—and better looking too!
12:53 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what's more pointless: the original folks doing the study, the university press office hyping it up, the journalist filling the page with random noise, or their critics giving a non-issue the oxygen of publicity. It's all part of an ecosystem of do-nothings wasting their time on earth with not much to show for it, interdependent and earning their keep while producing mostly hot air. Even the Kardashians seem like responsible model citizens by comparison—and better looking too!
12:53 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830567753901646143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... I think @drmichaellevin will have plenty to say about that! I'd think that memory being necessary for intelligence (to go one step up from a maths formal system one uses memory in computing) must exist will exist at all levels of the organism in various forms. I'd recommend you check Michael Levin's work and similar, all available online. :-)
12:25 PM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... I think @drmichaellevin will have plenty to say about that! I'd think that memory being necessary for intelligence (to go one step up from a maths formal system one uses memory in computing) must exist will exist at all levels of the organism in various forms. I'd recommend you check Michael Levin's work and similar, all available online. :-)
12:25 PM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830551163785077060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's physically impossible. I understand this is not what you want to hear maybe. This is not only X but all social media (FB, TG, TikTok). This is how it works.
X algofeed is moderated every second. There is not a moment that you don't get it. The algofeed is what serves you this post! The stats are as follows. You follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. You login to X, X algofeed serves 50 posts on one screen full. Check X 10 times per day = 500 posts X will show you daily. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown, and 4500 to not be shown. X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show you. Any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. You will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. X algo is non-random and tilts towards factors like accounts interaction - engagement with posts {Like,Forward,Quote,Reply}, bio check, decayed by time half-life.
This below is an excellent explainer on the state of the play, the history, the dilemmas, the legal issues, and including the most recent changes relevant for the future by @matthewstoller :
https://thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on
11:19 AM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's physically impossible. I understand this is not what you want to hear maybe. This is not only X but all social media (FB, TG, TikTok). This is how it works.
X algofeed is moderated every second. There is not a moment that you don't get it. The algofeed is what serves you this post! The stats are as follows. You follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. You login to X, X algofeed serves 50 posts on one screen full. Check X 10 times per day = 500 posts X will show you daily. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown, and 4500 to not be shown. X must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show you. Any one post has probability 0.1 to be shown. You will see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. X algo is non-random and tilts towards factors like accounts interaction - engagement with posts {Like,Forward,Quote,Reply}, bio check, decayed by time half-life.
This below is an excellent explainer on the state of the play, the history, the dilemmas, the legal issues, and including the most recent changes relevant for the future by @matthewstoller :
https://thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on
11:19 AM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830530972552515726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thought sentiment analysis via as were then DNNs was the grand EM plan to scale up moderation & improve SNR. By now I thought if not word2vec, then at least post2vec wd be up&running disambiguating up/down dis/regulation of meta-data. Apparently not - algofeed's as dumb as ever
9:59 AM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thought sentiment analysis via as were then DNNs was the grand EM plan to scale up moderation & improve SNR. By now I thought if not word2vec, then at least post2vec wd be up&running disambiguating up/down dis/regulation of meta-data. Apparently not - algofeed's as dumb as ever
9:59 AM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830511890646118790
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this one -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
... by @garyseconomics ?
Thought it is a very good supplement for the field of economics specifically on one specific issue (choice of utility fun).
youtube.com
Game Theory is Broken
Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c...
8:43 AM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this one -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
... by @garyseconomics ?
Thought it is a very good supplement for the field of economics specifically on one specific issue (choice of utility fun).
youtube.com
Game Theory is Broken
Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c...
8:43 AM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830448771139854559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
obesity is turning out to have been like lead poisoning but for the body?
4:32 AM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
obesity is turning out to have been like lead poisoning but for the body?
4:32 AM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830447521476280609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
by now I thought if not word2vec, then at least post2vec would be up and running to disambiguate up/down dis/regulation of the meta-data??
4:27 AM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
by now I thought if not word2vec, then at least post2vec would be up and running to disambiguate up/down dis/regulation of the meta-data??
4:27 AM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830443343727251774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A chatgpt-type augmentation to the rescue can't come soon enough. Maybe with some AI glasses sooner than expected? For non-stupid person to experience stupid has to somehow scramble their thought processes - but then they'd fail to understand! Unlike say a slim person being loaded with weights 24/7 to experience living as a fat person. It's an impossible situation.
4:11 AM · Sep 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A chatgpt-type augmentation to the rescue can't come soon enough. Maybe with some AI glasses sooner than expected? For non-stupid person to experience stupid has to somehow scramble their thought processes - but then they'd fail to understand! Unlike say a slim person being loaded with weights 24/7 to experience living as a fat person. It's an impossible situation.
4:11 AM · Sep 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830317054403952652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - you're not doing it justice. A British story if there ever was one! 😆 ARM originally stood for Acorn RISC Machines, created by Acorn Computers. It’s the 16-bit spiritual successor of the 8-bit 6502, with a motto of "do more with less." In contrast, Intel’s approach was more "use brawn in preference to brain," or "just double that transistor count already!" AAPL had a stake in ARM (they used the ARM CPU in the Newton PDA) and at one point sold their stake, possibly staving off bankruptcy. Sophie Wilson, one of the original architects, later changed gender—another pioneering move. 😀 There’s a reunion video from 2 years ago: https://youtube.com/watch?v=v1L3doT9B1Q
. Can’t find the YT video right now where Sophie explains how they went to the US to find a 16-bit CPU for the BBC B’s successor, only to say, "Well, no good choices here—guess we’ll have to make our own!" 😇 A flex if I’ve ever seen one. 😂
7:49 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - you're not doing it justice. A British story if there ever was one! 😆 ARM originally stood for Acorn RISC Machines, created by Acorn Computers. It’s the 16-bit spiritual successor of the 8-bit 6502, with a motto of "do more with less." In contrast, Intel’s approach was more "use brawn in preference to brain," or "just double that transistor count already!" AAPL had a stake in ARM (they used the ARM CPU in the Newton PDA) and at one point sold their stake, possibly staving off bankruptcy. Sophie Wilson, one of the original architects, later changed gender—another pioneering move. 😀 There’s a reunion video from 2 years ago: https://youtube.com/watch?v=v1L3doT9B1Q
. Can’t find the YT video right now where Sophie explains how they went to the US to find a 16-bit CPU for the BBC B’s successor, only to say, "Well, no good choices here—guess we’ll have to make our own!" 😇 A flex if I’ve ever seen one. 😂
7:49 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830306812727590976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - total imbecile EM is showing himself to be. Good that we learn that while still on Earth! 🌎 And the jackass is not in control of our O2 as he would be on Mars! This -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
FFS. 🤬 EM is not going to be leading humanity colonizing Mars anytime soon, is he? 😳 Can't imagine one taken for a ride multiple times daily by the equivalent of a vitamin supplements snake oil salesmen getting public confidence. 😡 Three generations of techie nerds (post x.com/ljupc0/status/…
Show more
7:08 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - total imbecile EM is showing himself to be. Good that we learn that while still on Earth! 🌎 And the jackass is not in control of our O2 as he would be on Mars! This -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
FFS. 🤬 EM is not going to be leading humanity colonizing Mars anytime soon, is he? 😳 Can't imagine one taken for a ride multiple times daily by the equivalent of a vitamin supplements snake oil salesmen getting public confidence. 😡 Three generations of techie nerds (post x.com/ljupc0/status/…
Show more
7:08 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830302619987775535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh. This insane irrational European fetish for "the original" will be the end of us. Doubly surprised as we already have the concept of a "soul" as opposed to, and separate from, a mere "body", and an immortal soul at that! No less. Just put the f*cker to some use already.
6:52 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh. This insane irrational European fetish for "the original" will be the end of us. Doubly surprised as we already have the concept of a "soul" as opposed to, and separate from, a mere "body", and an immortal soul at that! No less. Just put the f*cker to some use already.
6:52 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830289075846160782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - very good, thanks. My wife - she's in the humanities (while myself into computing; incl NNs since '87) - got a surprise of a lifetime how good ChatGPT was earlier this morning... 😅 She got the "twas Copernicus, then Darwin, then Freud, now AI" reply to "... but they are not like us" and todo will be catching up on her Hinton asap, haha 😂😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&list=WL&index=4&t=35s
5:58 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - very good, thanks. My wife - she's in the humanities (while myself into computing; incl NNs since '87) - got a surprise of a lifetime how good ChatGPT was earlier this morning... 😅 She got the "twas Copernicus, then Darwin, then Freud, now AI" reply to "... but they are not like us" and todo will be catching up on her Hinton asap, haha 😂😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&list=WL&index=4&t=35s
5:58 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830272910985937213
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On this solemn anniversary of World War II, we are reminded of the devastating consequences when power goes unchecked. Today, it seems that Russia and the USA believe they have the right to destroy other nations while expecting no resistance. But let me be clear—this will not stand. No people, regardless of their nation, will accept their own destruction lying down. This defies the very essence of humanity. Even the most oppressed, like North Koreans, desire the means to defend themselves. Nations like Israel and South Africa sought such capabilities out of necessity.
If the world continues on its current path, we may see Ukrainians arm themselves with more than just conventional weapons in the near future. What is @JoeBiden thinking? And as for @JakeSullivan46—his approach seems beyond redemption. This is not just a Ukrainian or CEE issue—this is a global concern. Other nations will seek the same destructive power out of survival, not choice.
It’s time for Russia to pull back its army and for the USA to provide Ukraine with the means to defend itself. We are witnessing a dangerous sleepwalking towards a potential global catastrophe, akin to "The Sleepwalkers" of the early 20th century. We've already had two world wars, both in Europe, both ignited in CEE. Do we really need a third? This time, it might not just be Europe that suffers—it could be the end for all of us.
Quote
La Lectrice @lalectrice222 · 3h
Replying to @FRHoffmann1
The paralysis of the Moscow defense in the face of a Ukrainian drone attack shows, among other things:
1) Allies are no longer the reference in terms of "acceptable" targets
2) the Russians let themselves be surprised like beginners
3) the Ukrainians are brave than their allies
Show more
4:54 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On this solemn anniversary of World War II, we are reminded of the devastating consequences when power goes unchecked. Today, it seems that Russia and the USA believe they have the right to destroy other nations while expecting no resistance. But let me be clear—this will not stand. No people, regardless of their nation, will accept their own destruction lying down. This defies the very essence of humanity. Even the most oppressed, like North Koreans, desire the means to defend themselves. Nations like Israel and South Africa sought such capabilities out of necessity.
If the world continues on its current path, we may see Ukrainians arm themselves with more than just conventional weapons in the near future. What is @JoeBiden thinking? And as for @JakeSullivan46—his approach seems beyond redemption. This is not just a Ukrainian or CEE issue—this is a global concern. Other nations will seek the same destructive power out of survival, not choice.
It’s time for Russia to pull back its army and for the USA to provide Ukraine with the means to defend itself. We are witnessing a dangerous sleepwalking towards a potential global catastrophe, akin to "The Sleepwalkers" of the early 20th century. We've already had two world wars, both in Europe, both ignited in CEE. Do we really need a third? This time, it might not just be Europe that suffers—it could be the end for all of us.
Quote
La Lectrice @lalectrice222 · 3h
Replying to @FRHoffmann1
The paralysis of the Moscow defense in the face of a Ukrainian drone attack shows, among other things:
1) Allies are no longer the reference in terms of "acceptable" targets
2) the Russians let themselves be surprised like beginners
3) the Ukrainians are brave than their allies
Show more
4:54 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830264443910992232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - lying by omission. Give false impression in the minds of your readers, by (correctly) computing what ideas are going to pop in your readers' heads when they see your output, even if that would not happen in the head of a reasonable person. It's clever all right - but not that clever. For sure not anything the rest of us can't cotton onto.
4:20 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - lying by omission. Give false impression in the minds of your readers, by (correctly) computing what ideas are going to pop in your readers' heads when they see your output, even if that would not happen in the head of a reasonable person. It's clever all right - but not that clever. For sure not anything the rest of us can't cotton onto.
4:20 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830263592064856521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - there is beauty in math and physics all right. Most agree on that. However - oft what's beautiful turns untrue. And that's a shame.
4:16 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - there is beauty in math and physics all right. Most agree on that. However - oft what's beautiful turns untrue. And that's a shame.
4:16 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830260364698857911
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
one imperfect damaged goods vehicle, against the opposite damaged goods; what choices, what's interesting times to live in
4:04 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
one imperfect damaged goods vehicle, against the opposite damaged goods; what choices, what's interesting times to live in
4:04 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830259488399786492
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish that was true. But I know in physics, and also in biology, we know of a few beautiful and elegant equations or schemes - that we are quite sure are not true. We observe and measure - and turns out "it ain't so", to some distress and great displeasure. 😥 sorry abt that 😳
4:00 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish that was true. But I know in physics, and also in biology, we know of a few beautiful and elegant equations or schemes - that we are quite sure are not true. We observe and measure - and turns out "it ain't so", to some distress and great displeasure. 😥 sorry abt that 😳
4:00 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830248985732497415
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's a tough one. Beauty is not truth. Yet things true are often beautiful too. Living in an ugly non-beutiful world is very tough, it's demanding, wears one off quickly.
3:18 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's a tough one. Beauty is not truth. Yet things true are often beautiful too. Living in an ugly non-beutiful world is very tough, it's demanding, wears one off quickly.
3:18 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830247257242837248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FFS. 🤬 EM is not going to be leading humanity colonizing Mars anytime soon, is he? 😳 Can't imagine one taken for a ride multiple times daily by the equivalent of a vitamin supplements snake oil salesmen getting public confidence. 😡 Three generations of techie nerds (post 1990-s) having any semblance of reputation with normies thrashed, by a cretinous man-child very publicly. 😫 And this at the moment in time when another contender - Zuck - stops being an alien and actually starts coming over as an actual human in his latest re-incarnation re-vamp!!! 🥰 Somewhat painful to witness real-time. 😭 I understand more reading https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an
(by the incorrigible @JeremiahDJohns
), and console myself by understanding, but still - what a downer on a great end-of-summer Sunday. What a range of choices laid open for EM, what poor choices our not so dear leader makes. 😰 It really is tough. How do we get hold of non-insane non-stupid leaders? Selection+education, as per the usual, I guess? 😶 Wish it were easier. 😑 FFS
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830232168662217075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
WowWow x.com/elonmusk/statu…
Image
3:12 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FFS. 🤬 EM is not going to be leading humanity colonizing Mars anytime soon, is he? 😳 Can't imagine one taken for a ride multiple times daily by the equivalent of a vitamin supplements snake oil salesmen getting public confidence. 😡 Three generations of techie nerds (post 1990-s) having any semblance of reputation with normies thrashed, by a cretinous man-child very publicly. 😫 And this at the moment in time when another contender - Zuck - stops being an alien and actually starts coming over as an actual human in his latest re-incarnation re-vamp!!! 🥰 Somewhat painful to witness real-time. 😭 I understand more reading https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an
(by the incorrigible @JeremiahDJohns
), and console myself by understanding, but still - what a downer on a great end-of-summer Sunday. What a range of choices laid open for EM, what poor choices our not so dear leader makes. 😰 It really is tough. How do we get hold of non-insane non-stupid leaders? Selection+education, as per the usual, I guess? 😶 Wish it were easier. 😑 FFS
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830232168662217075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
WowWow x.com/elonmusk/statu…
Image
3:12 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830235433453937098
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... wel yyess, it's very simple ...
😂😂😂😂😂😂
(a sequence of activities follows that 99.9% of the general population wd be unable to execute without making at least 1 misstep even if their lives depended on that)
priceless! 🤩 what a mench 😆
2:25 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... wel yyess, it's very simple ...
😂😂😂😂😂😂
(a sequence of activities follows that 99.9% of the general population wd be unable to execute without making at least 1 misstep even if their lives depended on that)
priceless! 🤩 what a mench 😆
2:25 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830232168662217075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
WowWow
Image
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 8h
Wow x.com/petersweden7/s…
https://x.com/paulg/status/1830151212873691271
2:12 PM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
WowWow
Image
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 8h
Wow x.com/petersweden7/s…
https://x.com/paulg/status/1830151212873691271
2:12 PM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830157751957200994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 no matter how much you position yourself, you're unlikely to be likeable enough to get in a position of controlling our O2 jackass; not quite but not that far off "couldn't sell free beer" vibes robo-Zuck used to emanate in every video (before the latest incarnation)
9:16 AM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 no matter how much you position yourself, you're unlikely to be likeable enough to get in a position of controlling our O2 jackass; not quite but not that far off "couldn't sell free beer" vibes robo-Zuck used to emanate in every video (before the latest incarnation)
9:16 AM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830156281773969680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish he had some testable predictions out there. The hours of talk, thousands pages written, all the code etc - it's just too much for any one human to imbibe and have a judgement to the truthfulness of it with any degree of confidence. It'd be easier if we cd just test.
9:10 AM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish he had some testable predictions out there. The hours of talk, thousands pages written, all the code etc - it's just too much for any one human to imbibe and have a judgement to the truthfulness of it with any degree of confidence. It'd be easier if we cd just test.
9:10 AM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830137316016365608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... a small fraction of me wills EM to indeed become "efficiency" tsar, for the amusement to the various absurd ways his ideas will get reality's kiss of death. (for - good ideas, wrong context) Then I remember there will be plenty of collateral damage and think "better not". Successful businessman being poor prep for a country leader is a genre of it's own. Short and sweet pamphlet I recall from the toh is Krugman's "Country is not a Business". Strikes me that business leader vv. political leader are almost mirror images: a businessman has the duress of destitution at his disposal to ultimately coordinate cooperation to great effect, while a politician has to charm and cajole and herd cats with great skill and cunning to achieve even very small steps.
7:55 AM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... a small fraction of me wills EM to indeed become "efficiency" tsar, for the amusement to the various absurd ways his ideas will get reality's kiss of death. (for - good ideas, wrong context) Then I remember there will be plenty of collateral damage and think "better not". Successful businessman being poor prep for a country leader is a genre of it's own. Short and sweet pamphlet I recall from the toh is Krugman's "Country is not a Business". Strikes me that business leader vv. political leader are almost mirror images: a businessman has the duress of destitution at his disposal to ultimately coordinate cooperation to great effect, while a politician has to charm and cajole and herd cats with great skill and cunning to achieve even very small steps.
7:55 AM · Sep 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1830134015250059692
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 This is shaping to be a kardashian drama at multiple levels. Public-discourse-definers in the left corner, EM-stans in the right, arguing about hot air. Blowhard EM finds a match in a brazilian hanging judge - TBS what transpires. Underneath the non-issue of "muh free speech" the courts shaping the industry (and the speech downstream) https://thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on . Almost all predicted by https://x.com/yishan/status/1586955288061452289 at the time. (a short useful background https://astralcodexten.com/p/moderation-is-different-from-censorship)
Quote
https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/1830038343033246013
Crémieux @cremieuxrecueil · 7h
CONFIRMED: Inclusive institutions DO NOT include the freedoms of speech and expression. x.com/DAcemogluMIT/s…
Show this thread
https://x.com/DAcemogluMIT/status/1829911033667793372
7:42 AM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 This is shaping to be a kardashian drama at multiple levels. Public-discourse-definers in the left corner, EM-stans in the right, arguing about hot air. Blowhard EM finds a match in a brazilian hanging judge - TBS what transpires. Underneath the non-issue of "muh free speech" the courts shaping the industry (and the speech downstream) https://thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on . Almost all predicted by https://x.com/yishan/status/1586955288061452289 at the time. (a short useful background https://astralcodexten.com/p/moderation-is-different-from-censorship)
Quote
https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/1830038343033246013
Crémieux @cremieuxrecueil · 7h
CONFIRMED: Inclusive institutions DO NOT include the freedoms of speech and expression. x.com/DAcemogluMIT/s…
Show this thread
https://x.com/DAcemogluMIT/status/1829911033667793372
7:42 AM · Sep 1, 2024
... vaguely related. I understand out-of-field outsider critique is a waste of time, but posting b/c straight forward and funny 😆😂
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
(and CBers earned all ridicule they get, and esp UK gnomes)
From unherd.com
6:54 AM · Sep 1, 2024
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
(and CBers earned all ridicule they get, and esp UK gnomes)
From unherd.com
6:54 AM · Sep 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😃 Oh sorry! I meant "there should be, X should make such feature". It does not exist - sorry about that, now I re-read what I wrote, and it's misleading - apology. (no way to edit now 😳) I asked for such feature some time ago, in "x bugs & features" -
Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802626125325058225
x bugs & features
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 17
Add setting "N" and make "Follow acc X yes/no" into "Follow X show 1 out of N posts". So when I set N different from 1, in my "Following" TL I get only 1 out of every N posts of account X. This is so that very prolific posters that I still want to read from - just not everything
Show more 9:41 PM · Aug 31, 2024
😃 Oh sorry! I meant "there should be, X should make such feature". It does not exist - sorry about that, now I re-read what I wrote, and it's misleading - apology. (no way to edit now 😳) I asked for such feature some time ago, in "x bugs & features" -
Quote https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802626125325058225
x bugs & features
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 17
Add setting "N" and make "Follow acc X yes/no" into "Follow X show 1 out of N posts". So when I set N different from 1, in my "Following" TL I get only 1 out of every N posts of account X. This is so that very prolific posters that I still want to read from - just not everything
Show more 9:41 PM · Aug 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - when one clicks "fFollow", there should be slider "see 1 out of every Y" posts, with Y=1 default. So I put Y=2 and see every other post and so on. I thought EM was going to fix such low hanging fruit - but apparently that's beneath that blowhard.
9:15 PM · Aug 31, 2024
Yep - when one clicks "fFollow", there should be slider "see 1 out of every Y" posts, with Y=1 default. So I put Y=2 and see every other post and so on. I thought EM was going to fix such low hanging fruit - but apparently that's beneath that blowhard.
9:15 PM · Aug 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How about putting more info in the "Following" list where I get to decide whether to un/follow? There seem to be unused white space there. Maybe put e.g. "Follow/er/s XXX/YYY" and "Posts XXX last 25-Aug"? A little something to help me decide whether I want to follow this account back or not? Example:
Image 6:33 PM · Aug 31, 2024
How about putting more info in the "Following" list where I get to decide whether to un/follow? There seem to be unused white space there. Maybe put e.g. "Follow/er/s XXX/YYY" and "Posts XXX last 25-Aug"? A little something to help me decide whether I want to follow this account back or not? Example:
Image 6:33 PM · Aug 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
weren't tankies of old, aka useful idiots, called "govnojed"-s i.e. "shit eaters" by their soviet idols? now there's a moniker accurate, succinct and incisive I'd not hate see it more well known, and more used tbh
2:14 PM · Aug 31, 2024
weren't tankies of old, aka useful idiots, called "govnojed"-s i.e. "shit eaters" by their soviet idols? now there's a moniker accurate, succinct and incisive I'd not hate see it more well known, and more used tbh
2:14 PM · Aug 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What works eventually gets overdone, and when that happens, change is needed. Policies that succeed can carry momentum for 30-40 years until they stop working, and a country requires a new direction. The key is recognizing when to adapt.
In the 1970s, negotiating with organized labor reached its limits, and the solution was to side with capital. But now, in the 2020s, the dominance of capital has been overdone. For LAB to succeed, simply continuing the same approach won't work. Instead, the focus should shift to engaging with organized labor—unions, consumer groups, NHS consultants, and experts in transport, energy, and economics. Together, they can devise a practical plan for resource allocation, considering the existing constraints—be they fiscal, political, or demographic. LAB could be in a stronger position to lead this change than CON, but perhaps with a fresh face at No. 11. This shift may become more feasible in a couple of years, after the likely failure of Austerity 2.0 and amid the mid-term political pressures. By then, the results of Bidenomics in the US might offer clearer evidence, making it easier to advocate for this new direction politically. 1:06 PM · Aug 31, 2024
What works eventually gets overdone, and when that happens, change is needed. Policies that succeed can carry momentum for 30-40 years until they stop working, and a country requires a new direction. The key is recognizing when to adapt.
In the 1970s, negotiating with organized labor reached its limits, and the solution was to side with capital. But now, in the 2020s, the dominance of capital has been overdone. For LAB to succeed, simply continuing the same approach won't work. Instead, the focus should shift to engaging with organized labor—unions, consumer groups, NHS consultants, and experts in transport, energy, and economics. Together, they can devise a practical plan for resource allocation, considering the existing constraints—be they fiscal, political, or demographic. LAB could be in a stronger position to lead this change than CON, but perhaps with a fresh face at No. 11. This shift may become more feasible in a couple of years, after the likely failure of Austerity 2.0 and amid the mid-term political pressures. By then, the results of Bidenomics in the US might offer clearer evidence, making it easier to advocate for this new direction politically. 1:06 PM · Aug 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829821132607799475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 kaj ti tekna, veri gud! - bas vcera procitav "ovaliedemokratija" MK komentari za "nekoj nesto kazal napravil vo truliot zapad, cccc pu jazk nije sunce sve sto sija, pa kako moze taka pa nepravda to je nepravda" 😂😂😂 e me nasmea slatko posabajle 👏👍🙏
10:58 AM · Aug 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 kaj ti tekna, veri gud! - bas vcera procitav "ovaliedemokratija" MK komentari za "nekoj nesto kazal napravil vo truliot zapad, cccc pu jazk nije sunce sve sto sija, pa kako moze taka pa nepravda to je nepravda" 😂😂😂 e me nasmea slatko posabajle 👏👍🙏
10:58 AM · Aug 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829819956621385822
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 MKtwitter "ovaliedemokratija" vo koma...
Pozdrav i video cestitka so "democracy, manifest" 😊😆
Embedded video
Democracy-Manifest-succulent-chinese-meal-Jack-Karlson-2024.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/jiggymkd/status/1829764978863181846
Rumburak 🌐🇲🇰🇦🇹 @jiggymkd · 6h
Твитер сега е забранет во B, R и C од BRICS.
10:54 AM · Aug 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 MKtwitter "ovaliedemokratija" vo koma...
Pozdrav i video cestitka so "democracy, manifest" 😊😆
Embedded video
Democracy-Manifest-succulent-chinese-meal-Jack-Karlson-2024.mp4
Quote
https://x.com/jiggymkd/status/1829764978863181846
Rumburak 🌐🇲🇰🇦🇹 @jiggymkd · 6h
Твитер сега е забранет во B, R и C од BRICS.
10:54 AM · Aug 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829680126432592092
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Побарај си на gsmarena, има супер за барање. Наоѓа 18 телефони со 2 сима, и плус екстра мемориски слот, со најнов андроид.
https://m.gsmarena.com/results.php3?s5Gs=0&sNumberSIMs=1&sOSes=2&sOSversions=2950&idCardslot=2
Има и убаво да ги споредиш по 2-3 од тие 18 во детали.
1:38 AM · Aug 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Побарај си на gsmarena, има супер за барање. Наоѓа 18 телефони со 2 сима, и плус екстра мемориски слот, со најнов андроид.
https://m.gsmarena.com/results.php3?s5Gs=0&sNumberSIMs=1&sOSes=2&sOSversions=2950&idCardslot=2
Има и убаво да ги споредиш по 2-3 од тие 18 во детали.
1:38 AM · Aug 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829549868685414753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @bryan_caplan complementing "The Rules for Rulers" by @cgpgrey perfectly.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=rStL7niR7gs
People suffering in places that have not reached "the end of history" yet, we are oft puzzled and think "Whyy?? Why make such bad choices given such plentiful opportunities?" Where "Bad" is for everyone incl the person making them. Imo the post below answers the "why" logically: because such is their nature, like in the scorpion and the frog Esop fable. As much as I'm not looking forward to agree with it - I see nothing else that better explains.
Image
Quote
Bryan Caplan @bryan_caplan · Aug 27
"When you see Third World elites murdering each other for political power, the right lesson to draw is that these are not normal people. Their decision to stay when they have a choice to leave is a testament to their extreme power-lust."
https://betonit.ai/p/who-wants-to-rule-the-third-world
5:00 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @bryan_caplan complementing "The Rules for Rulers" by @cgpgrey perfectly.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=rStL7niR7gs
People suffering in places that have not reached "the end of history" yet, we are oft puzzled and think "Whyy?? Why make such bad choices given such plentiful opportunities?" Where "Bad" is for everyone incl the person making them. Imo the post below answers the "why" logically: because such is their nature, like in the scorpion and the frog Esop fable. As much as I'm not looking forward to agree with it - I see nothing else that better explains.
Image
Quote
Bryan Caplan @bryan_caplan · Aug 27
"When you see Third World elites murdering each other for political power, the right lesson to draw is that these are not normal people. Their decision to stay when they have a choice to leave is a testament to their extreme power-lust."
https://betonit.ai/p/who-wants-to-rule-the-third-world
5:00 PM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829504901065445771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Procitav nekade X go menuvaa malku algoritmot vcera-denes. Sabajle nekoj mi odgovara sto prv pat gleda sto postiram, pa se cudi. 😂 Gledam izgleda ne e bas opsto poznato kako funkcionira algorithmic feed - ova
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 22h
Replying to @TociZS and @AntovSr
Heh - ova sto napisa nema logika. Moderacija na socijalni mediumi nema vrska dali e nekoj politicki sistem demokratija, ili diktatura, ili feudalizam... Moderacija na platformata ima vo sekoja sekunda. Ne ziveete na Mars bre luge pa da ne ste slusnale? Sledis 5000 luge, sekoj od
Show more
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829471953993834589
2:02 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Procitav nekade X go menuvaa malku algoritmot vcera-denes. Sabajle nekoj mi odgovara sto prv pat gleda sto postiram, pa se cudi. 😂 Gledam izgleda ne e bas opsto poznato kako funkcionira algorithmic feed - ova
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 22h
Replying to @TociZS and @AntovSr
Heh - ova sto napisa nema logika. Moderacija na socijalni mediumi nema vrska dali e nekoj politicki sistem demokratija, ili diktatura, ili feudalizam... Moderacija na platformata ima vo sekoja sekunda. Ne ziveete na Mars bre luge pa da ne ste slusnale? Sledis 5000 luge, sekoj od
Show more
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829471953993834589
2:02 PM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829503609999929759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... more recoms - for yourself "The Shortest History of England", for your hubby "The Shortest History of Germany". I loved them both. (while not being from EN nor DE, as one can tell, haha; both by James Hawes)
1:57 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... more recoms - for yourself "The Shortest History of England", for your hubby "The Shortest History of Germany". I loved them both. (while not being from EN nor DE, as one can tell, haha; both by James Hawes)
1:57 PM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829499643127906737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are helping the working class too tbh (in addition to chiding; not harassing though). Spending £££ on cigarettes is a very very bad idea. Cigarettes are very expensive. Zero benefit. All in all - good, there was always a paternalistic angle to LAB vv. workers, this is fine.
1:41 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are helping the working class too tbh (in addition to chiding; not harassing though). Spending £££ on cigarettes is a very very bad idea. Cigarettes are very expensive. Zero benefit. All in all - good, there was always a paternalistic angle to LAB vv. workers, this is fine.
1:41 PM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829496953220034826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... posting here so not to be memory holed - source:
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Sebastian Thrun
ABSTRACT
The DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the next phase called "The Urban Grand Challenge".
Google TechTalks August 2, 2006
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
(20 likes and 3 comments!! criminally under-watched)
1:30 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... posting here so not to be memory holed - source:
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Sebastian Thrun
ABSTRACT
The DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the next phase called "The Urban Grand Challenge".
Google TechTalks August 2, 2006
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
(20 likes and 3 comments!! criminally under-watched)
1:30 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, 😅 this one is never not funny -
"Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" by Sebastian Thrun Google TechTalks August 2, 2006 Embedded video Sebastian_Thrun_-_Winning_The_DARPA_Grand_Challenge_-_GoogleTalksArchive-Aug-2006.mp4 1:27 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Haha, 😅 this one is never not funny -
"Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" by Sebastian Thrun Google TechTalks August 2, 2006 Embedded video Sebastian_Thrun_-_Winning_The_DARPA_Grand_Challenge_-_GoogleTalksArchive-Aug-2006.mp4 1:27 PM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - ova sto napisa nema logika. Moderacija na socijalni mediumi nema vrska dali e nekoj politicki sistem demokratija, ili diktatura, ili feudalizam... Moderacija na platformata ima vo sekoja sekunda. Ne ziveete na Mars bre luge pa da ne ste slusnale? Sledis 5000 luge, sekoj od niv pisuva 1 poraka dnevno, koga ke se logiras na fid dobivas 50 poraki, i taka 10 pati dnevno = 500 poraki ke ti pokaze X denes. Od mozni 5000. Kako odlucuva X koi 500, od tie 5000 mozni, da ti gi pokaze? Pa taka sto ima algoritmic feed, i X odlucuva - ovie 500 ke gi vidis denes, a drugite 4500 nema da gi vidis. Ako sakas da gi vidis - treba sam da odis da gi baras i da gi vidis (ne ti gi krie X). Ova za vas novina e???
Dopolnitelno - ima zakoni, vo sekoja zemja malku razlicni, sto smee da objavi, a sto ne smee. Vklucitelno i vo US. Ima i pritisoci pri izvrsuvanje na zakonite - od sudii, obviniteli, politicari, policii etc etc. Pak - nisto ne mi e cudno, ima li nekoj ova da ne go znae?? Dosega imaa pomala odgovornost (no ne i nula odgovornost! toa nikogas nemale), plarformite (X, FB, Tiktok, TG...) tvrdea: "Nie sme kako telefonska mreza, kako MK Telekom, samo prenesuvame poraki, ne sme odgovorni za sodrzinata. Ne sme nie kako Nova Makedonija da selektirame i objavuvame." Imase "Section 230" od eden zakon kade toa se regilirase i interpretirase, kolku se edno, kolku se drugo. E od vcera - malku se smeni. Se zategna zakonot, sudiive odlucija "e ako biras koi 10% poraki ke gi vidi korisnikot - si poveke izdavac, a pomalku telekom". Taka da - ke ima ekstra moderacija vo idnina. Vesta od vcera - https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599 Objasneto ubavo i napisano za site da razbereme - https://thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on 11:51 AM · Aug 30, 2024
Heh - ova sto napisa nema logika. Moderacija na socijalni mediumi nema vrska dali e nekoj politicki sistem demokratija, ili diktatura, ili feudalizam... Moderacija na platformata ima vo sekoja sekunda. Ne ziveete na Mars bre luge pa da ne ste slusnale? Sledis 5000 luge, sekoj od niv pisuva 1 poraka dnevno, koga ke se logiras na fid dobivas 50 poraki, i taka 10 pati dnevno = 500 poraki ke ti pokaze X denes. Od mozni 5000. Kako odlucuva X koi 500, od tie 5000 mozni, da ti gi pokaze? Pa taka sto ima algoritmic feed, i X odlucuva - ovie 500 ke gi vidis denes, a drugite 4500 nema da gi vidis. Ako sakas da gi vidis - treba sam da odis da gi baras i da gi vidis (ne ti gi krie X). Ova za vas novina e???
Dopolnitelno - ima zakoni, vo sekoja zemja malku razlicni, sto smee da objavi, a sto ne smee. Vklucitelno i vo US. Ima i pritisoci pri izvrsuvanje na zakonite - od sudii, obviniteli, politicari, policii etc etc. Pak - nisto ne mi e cudno, ima li nekoj ova da ne go znae?? Dosega imaa pomala odgovornost (no ne i nula odgovornost! toa nikogas nemale), plarformite (X, FB, Tiktok, TG...) tvrdea: "Nie sme kako telefonska mreza, kako MK Telekom, samo prenesuvame poraki, ne sme odgovorni za sodrzinata. Ne sme nie kako Nova Makedonija da selektirame i objavuvame." Imase "Section 230" od eden zakon kade toa se regilirase i interpretirase, kolku se edno, kolku se drugo. E od vcera - malku se smeni. Se zategna zakonot, sudiive odlucija "e ako biras koi 10% poraki ke gi vidi korisnikot - si poveke izdavac, a pomalku telekom". Taka da - ke ima ekstra moderacija vo idnina. Vesta od vcera - https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599 Objasneto ubavo i napisano za site da razbereme - https://thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on 11:51 AM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829454301007147176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - freedom! 😆😆 Sometime I repost, other times I reply, still other times I write - here
https://x.com/search?q=%28from%3Aljupc0%29&src=typed_query&f=live
I presume you do the same? That's the idea? Of being on X? Am I missing something? 😆
10:41 AM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - freedom! 😆😆 Sometime I repost, other times I reply, still other times I write - here
https://x.com/search?q=%28from%3Aljupc0%29&src=typed_query&f=live
I presume you do the same? That's the idea? Of being on X? Am I missing something? 😆
10:41 AM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829453777121751358
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I worked back in 2015 last there - yep. Yes - that's what I understand too, reading in the media - that Paul is an investor. Still - how does that relate to "Is Elon Musk going to turn into Rupert Murdoch of our time??"
10:39 AM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I worked back in 2015 last there - yep. Yes - that's what I understand too, reading in the media - that Paul is an investor. Still - how does that relate to "Is Elon Musk going to turn into Rupert Murdoch of our time??"
10:39 AM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829424776126816321
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is Elon Musk going to turn into Ruport Murdoch of our time??
Quote
Yann LeCun @ylecun · 23h
Many (rich) people on the Right do not actually believe in democracy.
They have a huge superiority complex.
They think the populace can be brainwashed into supporting policies that profit them and their rich friends at the expense of the majority.
So they buy themselves x.com/elonmusk/statu…
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8:43 AM · Aug 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is Elon Musk going to turn into Ruport Murdoch of our time??
Quote
Yann LeCun @ylecun · 23h
Many (rich) people on the Right do not actually believe in democracy.
They have a huge superiority complex.
They think the populace can be brainwashed into supporting policies that profit them and their rich friends at the expense of the majority.
So they buy themselves x.com/elonmusk/statu…
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8:43 AM · Aug 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829145749503799545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 No one is perfect. I guess one would have to speak to Gary and find out what he thinks about the stuff you say. IDK what he thinks. But I know that perfect is the enemy of the good.
2:15 PM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 No one is perfect. I guess one would have to speak to Gary and find out what he thinks about the stuff you say. IDK what he thinks. But I know that perfect is the enemy of the good.
2:15 PM · Aug 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829144818125049867
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you remember the discussions at the time when the indoors smoking was banned? Do you remember the dire warnings of industry to be decimated, staff fired and jobless, pub landlords selling off and closing en masse? Do you remember what happened next? Are you capable of basic learning, can you actually reflect, can you learn from experience at all, from something you experienced personally in your lifetime?? OMG I swear lemmings are more capable of learning than our political class. ffs
2:11 PM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you remember the discussions at the time when the indoors smoking was banned? Do you remember the dire warnings of industry to be decimated, staff fired and jobless, pub landlords selling off and closing en masse? Do you remember what happened next? Are you capable of basic learning, can you actually reflect, can you learn from experience at all, from something you experienced personally in your lifetime?? OMG I swear lemmings are more capable of learning than our political class. ffs
2:11 PM · Aug 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829133452853027301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK TBH - I just multiply with 0 character references by an anon X acc. Pay no attention. IDK personally RS of course, I just read his book. It's instructive to see how the system works. The CON party selection system (and LAB wd be similar), how it selects and filters, how it funnels and educates the intake, how it incentivizes what incentives are there, and so on. There isn't that much "behind the curtains" info about the systems of governing that influence our lives greatly daily. So there's the RS book. And you have DC blog linked in some of the replies. I know of the following on YT where the UK governance is mentioned or discussed by RS or DC:
1. https://youtube.com/watch?v=DGhiTZMCc2g
2. https://youtube.com/watch?v=3i7ym_Qh7BA
3. https://youtube.com/watch?v=GNaWPV5l4j4
4. https://youtube.com/watch?v=_Tc4bl1yZLw
5. https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
Ofc these are all very political figures and issues, take nothing at face value. But it's not without merit, there is plenty of info and merit in finding out how things work imo.
1:26 PM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK TBH - I just multiply with 0 character references by an anon X acc. Pay no attention. IDK personally RS of course, I just read his book. It's instructive to see how the system works. The CON party selection system (and LAB wd be similar), how it selects and filters, how it funnels and educates the intake, how it incentivizes what incentives are there, and so on. There isn't that much "behind the curtains" info about the systems of governing that influence our lives greatly daily. So there's the RS book. And you have DC blog linked in some of the replies. I know of the following on YT where the UK governance is mentioned or discussed by RS or DC:
1. https://youtube.com/watch?v=DGhiTZMCc2g
2. https://youtube.com/watch?v=3i7ym_Qh7BA
3. https://youtube.com/watch?v=GNaWPV5l4j4
4. https://youtube.com/watch?v=_Tc4bl1yZLw
5. https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
Ofc these are all very political figures and issues, take nothing at face value. But it's not without merit, there is plenty of info and merit in finding out how things work imo.
1:26 PM · Aug 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829129515148234900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish so - tbs what happens. N-level replies deep N>1 seems as inaccessible as ever on the web interface. I wonder if there is a single X executive that uses X in any way more involved than consuming tikotok-level content? They should just fold N>1 level replies back to level 1 and be done with it tbh. But I guess if there was enough institutional brown - wd have been done already.
1:10 PM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish so - tbs what happens. N-level replies deep N>1 seems as inaccessible as ever on the web interface. I wonder if there is a single X executive that uses X in any way more involved than consuming tikotok-level content? They should just fold N>1 level replies back to level 1 and be done with it tbh. But I guess if there was enough institutional brown - wd have been done already.
1:10 PM · Aug 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829082665401692653
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 "гласај си кловнови, и ќе си гледаш циркус"
10:04 AM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 "гласај си кловнови, и ќе си гледаш циркус"
10:04 AM · Aug 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829053588988965285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and as we are UK bound: the other source of good info of how the economy, money and finance work, is @garyseconomics at https://youtube.com/@garyseconomics. He has many videos, it's a whole channel - so I didn't link to it initially. It's excellent and afaics, stuff he says - is true.
youtube.com
Garys Economics
@garyseconomics is focused on teaching people about real world economics. Inequality Economist. Former Trader. Other Economists make predictions, but my ones are actually right.
8:08 AM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and as we are UK bound: the other source of good info of how the economy, money and finance work, is @garyseconomics at https://youtube.com/@garyseconomics. He has many videos, it's a whole channel - so I didn't link to it initially. It's excellent and afaics, stuff he says - is true.
youtube.com
Garys Economics
@garyseconomics is focused on teaching people about real world economics. Inequality Economist. Former Trader. Other Economists make predictions, but my ones are actually right.
8:08 AM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 It's not reality. It's ideas in your head how the world works, and then you create a TikTok to express those ideas. That's great! Then the rest of us watch it, and the same (or similar ideas) are created in out heads. Love that. 🥰 But it's not reality. Reality is unknown to us. However - you can test your ideas, your model of how reality works, by acting on your ideas. For example, if a consequence follows from some idea of yours, you could bet on it. Putting $$$ on the line, money where your mouth is, is important, it keeps people honest. There are plenty of people that say plenty of things, some of them they mean them, and some are not really what they think really. Then - when you win or lose, you will find out whether your model of reality, was correct in that aspect of reality, or not. And then you will move to test some other aspect, some other forecast how things are, and on and on. That's the scientific method. That's what the guy on the 30' video does. And that's how he earns his upkeep.
8:01 AM · Aug 29, 2024
😊 It's not reality. It's ideas in your head how the world works, and then you create a TikTok to express those ideas. That's great! Then the rest of us watch it, and the same (or similar ideas) are created in out heads. Love that. 🥰 But it's not reality. Reality is unknown to us. However - you can test your ideas, your model of how reality works, by acting on your ideas. For example, if a consequence follows from some idea of yours, you could bet on it. Putting $$$ on the line, money where your mouth is, is important, it keeps people honest. There are plenty of people that say plenty of things, some of them they mean them, and some are not really what they think really. Then - when you win or lose, you will find out whether your model of reality, was correct in that aspect of reality, or not. And then you will move to test some other aspect, some other forecast how things are, and on and on. That's the scientific method. That's what the guy on the 30' video does. And that's how he earns his upkeep.
8:01 AM · Aug 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1829047608884490564
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see with some friends/acquaintances: as we move past 55yo, the body starts declining, we realize we are mortal, and it's downhill from now. As if on cue - the world has gone to sh*t, nothing is right everything is wrong etc. And I'm thinking: hmm, the world is not that different from few years ago. But we are very different. It's sharpened in focus by the fact that the same guys have many reasons to be happy and content with how their lives have turned, and not that many reasons for dissatisfaction, objectively speaking. ofc ymmv
7:45 AM · Aug 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see with some friends/acquaintances: as we move past 55yo, the body starts declining, we realize we are mortal, and it's downhill from now. As if on cue - the world has gone to sh*t, nothing is right everything is wrong etc. And I'm thinking: hmm, the world is not that different from few years ago. But we are very different. It's sharpened in focus by the fact that the same guys have many reasons to be happy and content with how their lives have turned, and not that many reasons for dissatisfaction, objectively speaking. ofc ymmv
7:45 AM · Aug 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828898906052432149
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(it's not .@RoryStewartUK it's .@Dominic2306) Whatever character or profession or community etc - that neither qualifies nor disqualifiers what's written as true or false automatically. Sure we all take into account who-why-whynow-whynot-...s when judging, but the primary thing when judging is - what's written, collaboration from multiple sources, logical fit in other things known and so on. The usual reasonable stuff. Nothing earth shattering.
9:54 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(it's not .@RoryStewartUK it's .@Dominic2306) Whatever character or profession or community etc - that neither qualifies nor disqualifiers what's written as true or false automatically. Sure we all take into account who-why-whynow-whynot-...s when judging, but the primary thing when judging is - what's written, collaboration from multiple sources, logical fit in other things known and so on. The usual reasonable stuff. Nothing earth shattering.
9:54 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828867449531293864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's what you think in your head. Apparently Kemi does not think exactly the same. We are trying to discover what's true, and how much truth there is. Anonymity or publicity plays a role when deciding how much faith to allocate to whom. That's why both modes of public participation exist.
7:49 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's what you think in your head. Apparently Kemi does not think exactly the same. We are trying to discover what's true, and how much truth there is. Anonymity or publicity plays a role when deciding how much faith to allocate to whom. That's why both modes of public participation exist.
7:49 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828863336357998861
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - and CFOs are wrong too, and an anonymous account goodbob888 on X is right. yes sirree, got it now, that's legit, totally 😂😂
7:32 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - and CFOs are wrong too, and an anonymous account goodbob888 on X is right. yes sirree, got it now, that's legit, totally 😂😂
7:32 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828862320753484213
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - let's have others spil the beans. Only @Dominic2306 and @RoryStewartUK are spilling the beans. The rest are keeping schtum, for there's little to gain and much to lose from speaking up. So for that alone, I find the abovementioned duo worthy of attention. And when others speak - well we will take what they say in consideration.
7:28 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - let's have others spil the beans. Only @Dominic2306 and @RoryStewartUK are spilling the beans. The rest are keeping schtum, for there's little to gain and much to lose from speaking up. So for that alone, I find the abovementioned duo worthy of attention. And when others speak - well we will take what they say in consideration.
7:28 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828859280218374319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency, only radical transparency so enough people find what imbeciles our dear leaders are, sooner rather than 5 years latter, can save us. Technical means exist, everything that's on our screens is tracked, we just need to train the machine to track those mofos that are out leaders.
7:16 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency, only radical transparency so enough people find what imbeciles our dear leaders are, sooner rather than 5 years latter, can save us. Technical means exist, everything that's on our screens is tracked, we just need to train the machine to track those mofos that are out leaders.
7:16 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828857718959923373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hurt your religious feelings, did she? haha 😂 seek sympathetic commiserations with them socialists, mucho experience there. delightful spectacle 🤣 on par with CFO on earnings call going "general pricing's up, used this oppo to jack up ours, profits' ath, good times" and free market nutters go nooo 😭
7:10 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hurt your religious feelings, did she? haha 😂 seek sympathetic commiserations with them socialists, mucho experience there. delightful spectacle 🤣 on par with CFO on earnings call going "general pricing's up, used this oppo to jack up ours, profits' ath, good times" and free market nutters go nooo 😭
7:10 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828837542868771214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😱😳 omg does every generation have to fail in exactly the same way, on exactly the same obstacles?? can you not learn from others - other geographies, other cultures, other times - and do better?? you aren't the centre of the universe, you are not much different to others that's failed before you. why do you think you'll succeed where they failed?
5:50 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😱😳 omg does every generation have to fail in exactly the same way, on exactly the same obstacles?? can you not learn from others - other geographies, other cultures, other times - and do better?? you aren't the centre of the universe, you are not much different to others that's failed before you. why do you think you'll succeed where they failed?
5:50 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828836213253648477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
many things are in my head (in the limit - infinity of them), most of them demonstrably untrue and crazy - how do I decide which ones are true?
5:45 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
many things are in my head (in the limit - infinity of them), most of them demonstrably untrue and crazy - how do I decide which ones are true?
5:45 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828825707029709291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
dude doing gods work right there 🤩🎯 - respect my dude, 🙏👍 we are not worth it 🤯😱
5:03 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
dude doing gods work right there 🤩🎯 - respect my dude, 🙏👍 we are not worth it 🤯😱
5:03 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828819306505027665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a star! 😍 GeT StUfF DoNe! 🤩
(f*ck the decels, f*ck the nimbys, f*ck the wordcels)
Quote
HS2 Ltd @HS2ltd · 7h
The Bromford Tunnel is halfway there! 🤩
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a star! 😍 GeT StUfF DoNe! 🤩
(f*ck the decels, f*ck the nimbys, f*ck the wordcels)
Quote
HS2 Ltd @HS2ltd · 7h
The Bromford Tunnel is halfway there! 🤩
The first of two giant tunnelling machines 'Mary Ann' has excavated and built 1.75 miles of the 3.5-mile-long tunnel between Water Orton and Washwood Heath in #Birmingham👇
Embedded video
4:37 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Embedded video
4:37 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828814986904490329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ofc - b/c it's not part of nature, it's purely platonic ideas in our heads. ofc 1 gazillion is insufficient - the +1 example may contradict and invalidate any theorem
4:20 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ofc - b/c it's not part of nature, it's purely platonic ideas in our heads. ofc 1 gazillion is insufficient - the +1 example may contradict and invalidate any theorem
4:20 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828813645998141773
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah - but that's a feature, not a bug 😂😂 so naive 🙃
4:15 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah - but that's a feature, not a bug 😂😂 so naive 🙃
4:15 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828812670885146767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 - golden. If it were not for the social networks, much of social-everything wd have stayed Terra Incognita to us for another 1000 yrs/
4:11 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 - golden. If it were not for the social networks, much of social-everything wd have stayed Terra Incognita to us for another 1000 yrs/
4:11 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828810548600885627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - agreed 👍 an improvement over Looney Lizzie. Still - your team bettering the competitors' team assembled at the gates of Bedlam is a low bar to clear. Baby steps baby steps... - onwards. We live in hope - hope dies last 🤞🙏
4:03 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - agreed 👍 an improvement over Looney Lizzie. Still - your team bettering the competitors' team assembled at the gates of Bedlam is a low bar to clear. Baby steps baby steps... - onwards. We live in hope - hope dies last 🤞🙏
4:03 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828806770124562819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
vibes, feelings, presentation - not deeds. form over function - we live in a platonic age truly. tbs what happens
3:48 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
vibes, feelings, presentation - not deeds. form over function - we live in a platonic age truly. tbs what happens
3:48 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828805993528201402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our models know more about ourselves than we ourselves know. In fact - I developed a nagging suspicion that that's a more general rule for many things: to learn about self, build a model of self, on the top of the self. Then study model and the self jointly - seek (self,model).
3:45 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our models know more about ourselves than we ourselves know. In fact - I developed a nagging suspicion that that's a more general rule for many things: to learn about self, build a model of self, on the top of the self. Then study model and the self jointly - seek (self,model).
3:45 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828802560888561864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Baffled, eh? Easy - ego, a big ego. Every influencer is - "me, myself and I" by necessity, by selection. Ones lacking that - they don't get invited to speak on the BBC and write about post fest on X. 🙃 Influencers are all different, but they all must have one thing in common in order to be influencing. 😆
3:31 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Baffled, eh? Easy - ego, a big ego. Every influencer is - "me, myself and I" by necessity, by selection. Ones lacking that - they don't get invited to speak on the BBC and write about post fest on X. 🙃 Influencers are all different, but they all must have one thing in common in order to be influencing. 😆
3:31 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828797378029089150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When I say "white box" - I am not talking about theories. I know that we have not got a theory we like to explain neatly. I'm saying "white box" in the sense of - we know absolutely everything about them to the last bit. Every output that's produced - we can trace everything how it came to be, to the last bit.
3:10 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When I say "white box" - I am not talking about theories. I know that we have not got a theory we like to explain neatly. I'm saying "white box" in the sense of - we know absolutely everything about them to the last bit. Every output that's produced - we can trace everything how it came to be, to the last bit.
3:10 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828796449150361859
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - many micros a macro create. Still -
> Also possible to mixup and assume what's happening in our own lives, that that's what's happening with the world at large. For any one single person, every one of us, it is almost impossible to disentangle one from the other, imo.
3:07 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - many micros a macro create. Still -
> Also possible to mixup and assume what's happening in our own lives, that that's what's happening with the world at large. For any one single person, every one of us, it is almost impossible to disentangle one from the other, imo.
3:07 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828795828061995044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but these guys didn't stay in their villages, did they? They went to whatever whichever centers of excellence were at that moment, in their time, to converse and exchange ideas with like minded people.
3:04 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but these guys didn't stay in their villages, did they? They went to whatever whichever centers of excellence were at that moment, in their time, to converse and exchange ideas with like minded people.
3:04 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828792390867734765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Owww - lucky you, jealous there. 🤩 Myself - only've heard @geoffreyhinton speak live at conference. Decade after taking a "Neutral Network's and Artificial Intelligence" course at uni, reading through a bad copy of "PDP - Parallel Distributer Processing" notebooks... 🤩
2:50 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Owww - lucky you, jealous there. 🤩 Myself - only've heard @geoffreyhinton speak live at conference. Decade after taking a "Neutral Network's and Artificial Intelligence" course at uni, reading through a bad copy of "PDP - Parallel Distributer Processing" notebooks... 🤩
2:50 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828789364773753175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ахахахахаха 😂😂😂😂 golden golden 💯🎯👌👍😁 сешто држи земјата сешто, среќа наша, пошто со толкава таква глупавост ако не држеше, ќе пропадневме ќе не поклопеше земјата досега 😂😂😂 абе кај им текнува 😂😂😂
2:38 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ахахахахаха 😂😂😂😂 golden golden 💯🎯👌👍😁 сешто држи земјата сешто, среќа наша, пошто со толкава таква глупавост ако не држеше, ќе пропадневме ќе не поклопеше земјата досега 😂😂😂 абе кај им текнува 😂😂😂
2:38 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828783182029742382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... to be clear: these are the same people. Only some people, living in villages, get ideas in their heads, ideas too big for their village, and then move to the big City. These people self-select. Ideas evolve in the big City - they mate, mutate, cross from one person's head into another's, and new ideas are created. That's what drives all progress, that's how life get better in cities and in villages. Great books on how ideas come to be are "How Innovation Works" and "The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves" by @mattwridley
- much recommended.
2:14 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... to be clear: these are the same people. Only some people, living in villages, get ideas in their heads, ideas too big for their village, and then move to the big City. These people self-select. Ideas evolve in the big City - they mate, mutate, cross from one person's head into another's, and new ideas are created. That's what drives all progress, that's how life get better in cities and in villages. Great books on how ideas come to be are "How Innovation Works" and "The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves" by @mattwridley
- much recommended.
2:14 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828779147856126272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah that - possible. Also possible to mixup and assume what's happening in our own lives, that that's what's happening with the world at large. For any one single person, every one of us, it is almost impossible to disentangle one from the other, imo.
1:58 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah that - possible. Also possible to mixup and assume what's happening in our own lives, that that's what's happening with the world at large. For any one single person, every one of us, it is almost impossible to disentangle one from the other, imo.
1:58 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828774312620270079
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 ... and Boris Johnson twice too prior to that. No one is saying they're perfect. Just different to the peasants. Not better - just different. Can't help but notice some rage here in the peasants->citizens direction, very little in the opposite. Also - Cities typically build walls for protection. Villages typically don't. I understand better now I think. 🤔
1:39 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 ... and Boris Johnson twice too prior to that. No one is saying they're perfect. Just different to the peasants. Not better - just different. Can't help but notice some rage here in the peasants->citizens direction, very little in the opposite. Also - Cities typically build walls for protection. Villages typically don't. I understand better now I think. 🤔
1:39 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828771854250917943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - eventually each one of us, we all die, that's very bad indeed. is that what you mean?
1:29 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - eventually each one of us, we all die, that's very bad indeed. is that what you mean?
1:29 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828770267738378568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed that the center is the center of gravity. However - If the vast majority of population is made worse off, the center will thin out, there won't be enough people left in the center. And eventually one of the wings (left or right), swelled by the newly immiserated, will prevail.
1:23 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed that the center is the center of gravity. However - If the vast majority of population is made worse off, the center will thin out, there won't be enough people left in the center. And eventually one of the wings (left or right), swelled by the newly immiserated, will prevail.
1:23 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828768482005254651
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I see the peasants are out in force, pitchforks in hands. Good that Cities have City walls too! 😂 Not a problem - just don't move to a big City. I don't live in a big city either. Easy-peasy
1:15 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 I see the peasants are out in force, pitchforks in hands. Good that Cities have City walls too! 😂 Not a problem - just don't move to a big City. I don't live in a big city either. Easy-peasy
1:15 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828767936586142139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You shouldn't be. People with all sorts of ideas converge in cities, and in that great exchange of humongous mass of ideas, Civilization itself is born, it happens, and it lives there. Civilization only happens in cities. Not villages. It's great that no one is forced to move to a city. I don't live in a city myself. If you are repulsed by the ideas - sure, move away. No one is forcing you to go live in the big city. There is place for everyone - live and let live.
1:13 PM · Aug 28, 2024
·
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828766725514346812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... I have plenty of life - thanks. :-) And I like posting words on X too - true that. Words hurt your feelings - sorry about that, my bad. Relieved you from that chore now. blocked
1:08 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You shouldn't be. People with all sorts of ideas converge in cities, and in that great exchange of humongous mass of ideas, Civilization itself is born, it happens, and it lives there. Civilization only happens in cities. Not villages. It's great that no one is forced to move to a city. I don't live in a city myself. If you are repulsed by the ideas - sure, move away. No one is forcing you to go live in the big city. There is place for everyone - live and let live.
1:13 PM · Aug 28, 2024
·
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828766725514346812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... I have plenty of life - thanks. :-) And I like posting words on X too - true that. Words hurt your feelings - sorry about that, my bad. Relieved you from that chore now. blocked
1:08 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828764553565356478
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Time itself flows slower outside London. These days I go to London once a quarter - to check what the future brings. Going to a big city - one gets to see the future. B/c the future is forged in white heat of the critical mass of people super-concentrated in the centers of the world like London (and NYC, LA, Tokyo, mega-millions sized cities in east Asia that I don't even know from the toh). It's pretty mind blowing. 🤯
1:00 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Time itself flows slower outside London. These days I go to London once a quarter - to check what the future brings. Going to a big city - one gets to see the future. B/c the future is forged in white heat of the critical mass of people super-concentrated in the centers of the world like London (and NYC, LA, Tokyo, mega-millions sized cities in east Asia that I don't even know from the toh). It's pretty mind blowing. 🤯
1:00 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828761436618657971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in a way I understand it's Mission Impossible for X. Say I follow 5K people, each producing 1 post a day. I login, am shown 50 posts, scroll 10 times = 500 posts slots a day. Now - every time I check, X has to decide, out of the 5000 posts available, which 500 to select and fill those 500 slots. Chance of seeing a post are 0.1, or in a more intuitive measure - I will see a post from you once in 10 days. That's the baseline. Now - I know that in the olden days, only meta-data was used to tilt those probabilities. If there was recent interaction (X,Y) that is {Like,Forward,Quote,Reply} between accounts X and Y, that would tilt the probabilities. The interaction factor wd have a half-life, the value wd drop in half in Z days (measuring time of interaction, to now). I thought EM idea when he bought Twitter was that he'll use "deep networks" (DNs - as LLM-s were then) to do bag of words (or more) content of posts analysis. So to improve the SNR. I imagine by now they at least use word2vec type to create words feature vectors in some relevant space. I take it processing everything through a Grok type engine is impossibly expensive atm.
12:47 PM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in a way I understand it's Mission Impossible for X. Say I follow 5K people, each producing 1 post a day. I login, am shown 50 posts, scroll 10 times = 500 posts slots a day. Now - every time I check, X has to decide, out of the 5000 posts available, which 500 to select and fill those 500 slots. Chance of seeing a post are 0.1, or in a more intuitive measure - I will see a post from you once in 10 days. That's the baseline. Now - I know that in the olden days, only meta-data was used to tilt those probabilities. If there was recent interaction (X,Y) that is {Like,Forward,Quote,Reply} between accounts X and Y, that would tilt the probabilities. The interaction factor wd have a half-life, the value wd drop in half in Z days (measuring time of interaction, to now). I thought EM idea when he bought Twitter was that he'll use "deep networks" (DNs - as LLM-s were then) to do bag of words (or more) content of posts analysis. So to improve the SNR. I imagine by now they at least use word2vec type to create words feature vectors in some relevant space. I take it processing everything through a Grok type engine is impossibly expensive atm.
12:47 PM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828745473257058480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When circling the drain, circles become ever smaller. Doubt the country will have as much patience with Austerity 2.0 like it had with Austerity 1.0. The press is overwhelmingly pro-CON, but anti-LAB, people have seen a fail with 1.0. Short memories we have - but not that short.
11:44 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When circling the drain, circles become ever smaller. Doubt the country will have as much patience with Austerity 2.0 like it had with Austerity 1.0. The press is overwhelmingly pro-CON, but anti-LAB, people have seen a fail with 1.0. Short memories we have - but not that short.
11:44 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828742672812478504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not wrong in the latter. :-) But you are mistaken in the former: others will take their place. Policies have consequences. Immiseration will breed new REFCON foot soldiers.
11:33 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not wrong in the latter. :-) But you are mistaken in the former: others will take their place. Policies have consequences. Immiseration will breed new REFCON foot soldiers.
11:33 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828737623872967093
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yesss - the WHOLE 30 mins! 😨😱 Shock, horror! 😂
No need to frame it either-or tiger - there's room for all, it can be both. Esp with pple like OP that are motivated.
Your video - some I agree, some is "meh - so what", some I disagree.
However - there is one big difference. The 30' video is by a guy who bet his livelihood and his life work on whether his ideas are right. So if he was very wrong - he'd be bankrupt and destitute. That that didn't happen, that's reality telling us, giving us feedback - he's not all wrong in his ideas, of how things work.
In contrast - your TikTok derives income from engagement. So the ideas put forward maybe right, maybe wrong - but we can't know. They have not been tested by reality. The reason they exist is b/c enough people click on them. There are plenty things wrong and untrue that millions of people click on.
11:13 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yesss - the WHOLE 30 mins! 😨😱 Shock, horror! 😂
No need to frame it either-or tiger - there's room for all, it can be both. Esp with pple like OP that are motivated.
Your video - some I agree, some is "meh - so what", some I disagree.
However - there is one big difference. The 30' video is by a guy who bet his livelihood and his life work on whether his ideas are right. So if he was very wrong - he'd be bankrupt and destitute. That that didn't happen, that's reality telling us, giving us feedback - he's not all wrong in his ideas, of how things work.
In contrast - your TikTok derives income from engagement. So the ideas put forward maybe right, maybe wrong - but we can't know. They have not been tested by reality. The reason they exist is b/c enough people click on them. There are plenty things wrong and untrue that millions of people click on.
11:13 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828732245160415279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the dear leader pushing out all possible competition? story as old as time
10:51 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the dear leader pushing out all possible competition? story as old as time
10:51 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828731516278444334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hehe - tried Grok roasting self, not terrible but bit too algorithmic I thought, more playful than painful
10:49 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hehe - tried Grok roasting self, not terrible but bit too algorithmic I thought, more playful than painful
10:49 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828726031844290720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - LAB Austerity 2.0 is laying the grounds now, in 5yrs a REFCON gov will be the result.
10:27 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - LAB Austerity 2.0 is laying the grounds now, in 5yrs a REFCON gov will be the result.
10:27 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828721693503762752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wasn't "broadest shoulders" David Cameron's austerity 1.0 pitch? Very much Groundhog day vibes. No.11 coming with "fixing the roof while the sun shines" next I guess?? These imbeciles are of the "learned nothing forgotten nothing" type. Ushering Reform in power in 5yrs I guess.
10:10 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wasn't "broadest shoulders" David Cameron's austerity 1.0 pitch? Very much Groundhog day vibes. No.11 coming with "fixing the roof while the sun shines" next I guess?? These imbeciles are of the "learned nothing forgotten nothing" type. Ushering Reform in power in 5yrs I guess.
10:10 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828719844377731568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - lesno rabota, sum oslabnal 10 pati dosega. Kako pusacite porano sto kazuvaa - lesna rabota za ostavanje, sum gi ostavil 10 pati dosega cigarite. 😂😂
10:02 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - lesno rabota, sum oslabnal 10 pati dosega. Kako pusacite porano sto kazuvaa - lesna rabota za ostavanje, sum gi ostavil 10 pati dosega cigarite. 😂😂
10:02 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828716896851542418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this! And for the many that seem very very confused of what's a Chat Messenger, what's a Social Media platform, what's encrypted, what's not encrypted, how and what does law have access to, and what it does not, please read the excellent explainer by @GergelyOrosz here
https://x.com/GergelyOrosz/status/1828696682239758463
So so disappointed of many a tech leaders that spew FUD nonsense on X daily, and should, and must, know better by virtue of knowing the technical detail of how computers and how software that runs these things work.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Aug 27
Just want to reiterate that this platform really is meant to support all viewpoints within the bounds of the laws of countries, even those of people with whom I vehemently disagree and personally dislike.
If that doesn’t seem to be happening, please yell at me (ideally on 𝕏).
9:50 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this! And for the many that seem very very confused of what's a Chat Messenger, what's a Social Media platform, what's encrypted, what's not encrypted, how and what does law have access to, and what it does not, please read the excellent explainer by @GergelyOrosz here
https://x.com/GergelyOrosz/status/1828696682239758463
So so disappointed of many a tech leaders that spew FUD nonsense on X daily, and should, and must, know better by virtue of knowing the technical detail of how computers and how software that runs these things work.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Aug 27
Just want to reiterate that this platform really is meant to support all viewpoints within the bounds of the laws of countries, even those of people with whom I vehemently disagree and personally dislike.
If that doesn’t seem to be happening, please yell at me (ideally on 𝕏).
9:50 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828714915709735283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! The one voice of sanity in a sea of insane takes on the subject! The number of people that should, must know better simply by the virtue of knowing the technical detail how TG works, how Messengers and Social media platforms work, and yet seem to be willfully blind, was disappointing to say the least. B/c of ideology, I suspect? Very much a "Gell-Mann Amnesia" moment but not for journalism, but on this for many of the tech leader loud mouths I keep reading on X.
9:43 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you! The one voice of sanity in a sea of insane takes on the subject! The number of people that should, must know better simply by the virtue of knowing the technical detail how TG works, how Messengers and Social media platforms work, and yet seem to be willfully blind, was disappointing to say the least. B/c of ideology, I suspect? Very much a "Gell-Mann Amnesia" moment but not for journalism, but on this for many of the tech leader loud mouths I keep reading on X.
9:43 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828710752473043215
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
you are not wrong there 😆 - the lab closed down in 2004, the director didn't manage to secure funding from the company (it was a company owned industrial research lab)
9:26 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
you are not wrong there 😆 - the lab closed down in 2004, the director didn't manage to secure funding from the company (it was a company owned industrial research lab)
9:26 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828709630236614735
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Economy GDP == sum of all transactions. Transaction = two sides buyer and seller, exchanging two goods, one is always money, the other is goods or service. This animated explainer is the best I know of. The author - unlike academia and pundits - actually earns his living betting on his ideas about the economy. The fact that he puts food on his table (and more) means that his ideas can not be all wrong - they have been tested by reality.
"How The Economic Machine Works" by Ray Dalio
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0
Your intuition is right - taking money away from you shrinks the economy, does not grow it. Less money => less transactions (remember - money is one side in any transaction) => less GDP. That some educated people believe otherwise, simply means for smart people to believe wrong things, they have to be educated into that nonsense. It does happen sometimes, unfortunately.
Embedded video
How_The_Economic_Machine_Works_by_Ray_Dalio.mp4
9:22 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Economy GDP == sum of all transactions. Transaction = two sides buyer and seller, exchanging two goods, one is always money, the other is goods or service. This animated explainer is the best I know of. The author - unlike academia and pundits - actually earns his living betting on his ideas about the economy. The fact that he puts food on his table (and more) means that his ideas can not be all wrong - they have been tested by reality.
"How The Economic Machine Works" by Ray Dalio
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0
Your intuition is right - taking money away from you shrinks the economy, does not grow it. Less money => less transactions (remember - money is one side in any transaction) => less GDP. That some educated people believe otherwise, simply means for smart people to believe wrong things, they have to be educated into that nonsense. It does happen sometimes, unfortunately.
Embedded video
How_The_Economic_Machine_Works_by_Ray_Dalio.mp4
9:22 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828586215328616658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, I guess hinges on the definition of "explain". What does "explain" mean. I presume being a physicist he'd prefer an equation that fits on a white board. Most of us would too. But not all explanations are like that. There is no guarantee that we ever come up with explanation in that form. Further, AI systems are a "white box", we know absolutely everything about them to the last bit. Can hardly complain - "black box, boo". We could claim "we build them, therefore we understand them", flipping the "what I can't build I don't understand". I understand not entirely satisfactory. But as per the course - as we don't know how we work too, and yet we do work.
1:11 AM · Aug 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, I guess hinges on the definition of "explain". What does "explain" mean. I presume being a physicist he'd prefer an equation that fits on a white board. Most of us would too. But not all explanations are like that. There is no guarantee that we ever come up with explanation in that form. Further, AI systems are a "white box", we know absolutely everything about them to the last bit. Can hardly complain - "black box, boo". We could claim "we build them, therefore we understand them", flipping the "what I can't build I don't understand". I understand not entirely satisfactory. But as per the course - as we don't know how we work too, and yet we do work.
1:11 AM · Aug 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828562498636714031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
night-night 😊
Vlatko Stefanovski i Miroslav Tadić - Tuzla 2024
https://youtube.com/watch?v=twJAA23LBYc
Embedded video
Vlatko_Stefanovski_i_Miroslav_Tadić_-_Tuzla_2024.mp4
11:37 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
night-night 😊
Vlatko Stefanovski i Miroslav Tadić - Tuzla 2024
https://youtube.com/watch?v=twJAA23LBYc
Embedded video
Vlatko_Stefanovski_i_Miroslav_Tadić_-_Tuzla_2024.mp4
11:37 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828552636246749191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't want anything dude. I'm not a party member. I'm not running for anything. I don't need anyone to like me or vote for me. I have only moderate interest in politics, and only some of the time. Most of the time I don't care. I don't want anything about any party in particular.
I was just replying to the ill-thought message of the OP @AaronBastani
that seemed illogical to me, on the issue what and who is a Demos in a Demos-cracy. For sure party members do not a Demos make.
Illogical and a-historical, as there were perfectly functioning political parties prior to 2014. Aaron should now better, and I'm sure he does know better, as he's quite good on podcasts that I enjoy listening from time to time.
Yourself however - you are making my point for me. Like politicians that most crave power - should not be close to power, like yourself an exemplary super-engaged party member: you are fine doing leafleting, but otherwise to be kept away from the levers of power. (c.f. Lizzy experience)
10:58 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't want anything dude. I'm not a party member. I'm not running for anything. I don't need anyone to like me or vote for me. I have only moderate interest in politics, and only some of the time. Most of the time I don't care. I don't want anything about any party in particular.
I was just replying to the ill-thought message of the OP @AaronBastani
that seemed illogical to me, on the issue what and who is a Demos in a Demos-cracy. For sure party members do not a Demos make.
Illogical and a-historical, as there were perfectly functioning political parties prior to 2014. Aaron should now better, and I'm sure he does know better, as he's quite good on podcasts that I enjoy listening from time to time.
Yourself however - you are making my point for me. Like politicians that most crave power - should not be close to power, like yourself an exemplary super-engaged party member: you are fine doing leafleting, but otherwise to be kept away from the levers of power. (c.f. Lizzy experience)
10:58 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828546339707240905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry - I understand the individual words you write, but the sentences don't make any sense to me. To me they are like something coming out of a Stranger Things' upside-down world. I'm sure what you write makes sense to you. Sorry.
10:33 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry - I understand the individual words you write, but the sentences don't make any sense to me. To me they are like something coming out of a Stranger Things' upside-down world. I'm sure what you write makes sense to you. Sorry.
10:33 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828544871315181925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? What on earth are you blathering about? LAB are returning to the system as it was before the brain dead change made in 2014, and that the idea-less lemmings the CON-s are dully copied. And both got the same result! And within a very short period of time after the change! As clear and unambiguous experimental result as it can get in social sciences. 😂😂😂 The party members, which are self-selected fruitcakes with absurd interest in politics, not shared by the wider public, ofc selected leaders that were out of touch with 1) their MP-s - who are more in touch with the public than the party members, by the nature of their job and b/c they have to be elected (party members don't have to be elected by no-one - any crazy can join) 2) the electorate. Open primaries would be like opening the doors of Bedlam - as we can see from the spectacle that US primaries descend into every 4 years. Centrist bilge - maybe, but not a bad idea to keep the less sane away from the levers of power. What one crazy can break - hundred smart and industrious people struggle to fix. Loony Lizzy was a trial run. Chesterton fence argument if there ever was one, this one.
10:27 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? What on earth are you blathering about? LAB are returning to the system as it was before the brain dead change made in 2014, and that the idea-less lemmings the CON-s are dully copied. And both got the same result! And within a very short period of time after the change! As clear and unambiguous experimental result as it can get in social sciences. 😂😂😂 The party members, which are self-selected fruitcakes with absurd interest in politics, not shared by the wider public, ofc selected leaders that were out of touch with 1) their MP-s - who are more in touch with the public than the party members, by the nature of their job and b/c they have to be elected (party members don't have to be elected by no-one - any crazy can join) 2) the electorate. Open primaries would be like opening the doors of Bedlam - as we can see from the spectacle that US primaries descend into every 4 years. Centrist bilge - maybe, but not a bad idea to keep the less sane away from the levers of power. What one crazy can break - hundred smart and industrious people struggle to fix. Loony Lizzy was a trial run. Chesterton fence argument if there ever was one, this one.
10:27 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828520566145601729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Subscription replacing advertising business model reinforces that - no? Advertisers of old wanted to appeal to 100% of the audience. While as a writer if I capture "mine" 50% of the audience that's fine and probably the most I can get to subscribe to me anyways.
8:50 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Subscription replacing advertising business model reinforces that - no? Advertisers of old wanted to appeal to 100% of the audience. While as a writer if I capture "mine" 50% of the audience that's fine and probably the most I can get to subscribe to me anyways.
8:50 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828514462606991751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only non Apple laptops with comparable battery life are non Apple ARM-s. This https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gxc5kvzoddE sounds good? Waiting for Linux on it. Myself use Xubuntu on Thinkpads with max batteries (front+back), screen's sh*t, but good RAM sizes, can add SSD-s at will, cheap & cheerful
youtube.com
MacBooks FINALLY Have Competition
Review of the Lenovo Yoga Slim 7X - MASSIVE Battery life on one of the best laptops with the Snapdragon X Elite chip.More Info - https://www.lenovo.com/us/en...
8:26 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only non Apple laptops with comparable battery life are non Apple ARM-s. This https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gxc5kvzoddE sounds good? Waiting for Linux on it. Myself use Xubuntu on Thinkpads with max batteries (front+back), screen's sh*t, but good RAM sizes, can add SSD-s at will, cheap & cheerful
youtube.com
MacBooks FINALLY Have Competition
Review of the Lenovo Yoga Slim 7X - MASSIVE Battery life on one of the best laptops with the Snapdragon X Elite chip.More Info - https://www.lenovo.com/us/en...
8:26 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828480475310006739
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - still, should then they stay forever, to the end of time? Maybe they introduced new technology, doing more with less people? Maybe their sales declined? Whatever it was - not adapting to the circumstances now, means even bigger change latter. I'm not sympathetic to high CEO salaries either. I'm in favor of capping them by fiat, by law. NBA players have theirs capped and don't see the leagues struggling for talent or the game suffering in any other way. CEO-s could live on 1/10-th of their present compensation and be just fine.
6:11 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - still, should then they stay forever, to the end of time? Maybe they introduced new technology, doing more with less people? Maybe their sales declined? Whatever it was - not adapting to the circumstances now, means even bigger change latter. I'm not sympathetic to high CEO salaries either. I'm in favor of capping them by fiat, by law. NBA players have theirs capped and don't see the leagues struggling for talent or the game suffering in any other way. CEO-s could live on 1/10-th of their present compensation and be just fine.
6:11 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828471195576004677
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't become largest country in the world by having no land hunger. On the contrary - by being hungry for land, you become the largest country on Earth. It's logic - not Russophobia. By panEuropean you probably mean German-Russian - because no country in CEEurope trusts Russia. And for a good reason. Well - we have precedent for German-Russian cooperation, there's that.
5:34 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't become largest country in the world by having no land hunger. On the contrary - by being hungry for land, you become the largest country on Earth. It's logic - not Russophobia. By panEuropean you probably mean German-Russian - because no country in CEEurope trusts Russia. And for a good reason. Well - we have precedent for German-Russian cooperation, there's that.
5:34 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828464722078826678
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the party members are not the Demos either for sure. So a leader chosen by MPs - who themselves are in turn chosen by that Demos - is indeed more democratic. Party members by virtue of being interested in politics are indeed wholly unrepresentative of the Demos.
5:08 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the party members are not the Demos either for sure. So a leader chosen by MPs - who themselves are in turn chosen by that Demos - is indeed more democratic. Party members by virtue of being interested in politics are indeed wholly unrepresentative of the Demos.
5:08 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828463630070755637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... so kirijata otplakam tug stanben kredit. Po 20 godini - drugiot ima negov stan, kreditot e otplaten, a jas uste plakam kirija.
5:04 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... so kirijata otplakam tug stanben kredit. Po 20 godini - drugiot ima negov stan, kreditot e otplaten, a jas uste plakam kirija.
5:04 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828443102173962674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looney Lizzy - thank God for the deep state
3:43 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looney Lizzy - thank God for the deep state
3:43 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828437791522406621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK TBH, they look like filters that have air pushed through them to me, so probably do nothing for CO2??
3:21 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK TBH, they look like filters that have air pushed through them to me, so probably do nothing for CO2??
3:21 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828437247185522820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So to The Times you give the address "jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com". Then The times sends spam to jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com. In your Gmail, in the web interface, open the spam email you received (it will be addressed to "jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com"). Above the header, 5th or 6th icon from the left, there will be the "three dots" hamburger menu symbol. Click on it, a menu appears. On the menu, find "Filter messages like these", click on it. A new menu appears now, and you can fill it with the filtering criterion being "To jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com", and then decide what to do with it - you can select to have it moved to Spam folder.
3:19 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So to The Times you give the address "jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com". Then The times sends spam to jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com. In your Gmail, in the web interface, open the spam email you received (it will be addressed to "jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com"). Above the header, 5th or 6th icon from the left, there will be the "three dots" hamburger menu symbol. Click on it, a menu appears. On the menu, find "Filter messages like these", click on it. A new menu appears now, and you can fill it with the filtering criterion being "To jsmith+thetimes@gmail.com", and then decide what to do with it - you can select to have it moved to Spam folder.
3:19 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828424793663668639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
of course - sophistry incarnate right there 😂😂
2:30 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
of course - sophistry incarnate right there 😂😂
2:30 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828424188207501705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - da! Kaj mene vodnikot (posle i desetar), ne sakase da si odi doma, barase da ostane ekstra! Ama edinstvena mozna opcija bese - ako si vo pritvor poveke od 10 dena, pa dosluzuvas toa sto e ekstra (site drugi se tresea se plasea toa da ne im se sluci; da ne treba da ostanat ekstra) - pa nisto ne uspadna od ostanuvanje ekstra. Ne bese rasipan covekot, bese prilicno cesen. Rece deka kaj niv doma (bese od nekoe selo od Srbija?), nema 3 jadenja na masa, nema mek dusek i meki carsafi, i - ova nemase da znam inaku - ja rabotele zemjata bile zemjodelci, ama nemale vol, morale da oraat so krava?!? E toa nemav slusnato!! Ni do denes ne znam dali me zafrkavase, ili vistina i toa imalo. (JNA'87)
2:27 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - da! Kaj mene vodnikot (posle i desetar), ne sakase da si odi doma, barase da ostane ekstra! Ama edinstvena mozna opcija bese - ako si vo pritvor poveke od 10 dena, pa dosluzuvas toa sto e ekstra (site drugi se tresea se plasea toa da ne im se sluci; da ne treba da ostanat ekstra) - pa nisto ne uspadna od ostanuvanje ekstra. Ne bese rasipan covekot, bese prilicno cesen. Rece deka kaj niv doma (bese od nekoe selo od Srbija?), nema 3 jadenja na masa, nema mek dusek i meki carsafi, i - ova nemase da znam inaku - ja rabotele zemjata bile zemjodelci, ama nemale vol, morale da oraat so krava?!? E toa nemav slusnato!! Ni do denes ne znam dali me zafrkavase, ili vistina i toa imalo. (JNA'87)
2:27 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828416908636344592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vera - I like that you write and think, and please don't let this reply put you off either. However: 😆
- as a member of "pioneer" socialist youth (that we'd call "communist youth" in the UK), I assure you, I didn't become "communist youth" b/c of the pay differential between shop and warehouse workers (merely reaching year 5 of elementary school at age 12 did it for me) 🙃
- IF! ("... if prosocial") - money is many things, being an ancient technology with us for a long time, but surely the basic function is like cinema tickets allocating seats to bums: decides who gets what when, on a 1st come 1st served basis (no discrimination; except need to show a ticket). Yes we cd probably do better than we are doing atm, we cd probably afford food and shelter to pple even if they decide they don't work for it.
1:58 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vera - I like that you write and think, and please don't let this reply put you off either. However: 😆
- as a member of "pioneer" socialist youth (that we'd call "communist youth" in the UK), I assure you, I didn't become "communist youth" b/c of the pay differential between shop and warehouse workers (merely reaching year 5 of elementary school at age 12 did it for me) 🙃
- IF! ("... if prosocial") - money is many things, being an ancient technology with us for a long time, but surely the basic function is like cinema tickets allocating seats to bums: decides who gets what when, on a 1st come 1st served basis (no discrimination; except need to show a ticket). Yes we cd probably do better than we are doing atm, we cd probably afford food and shelter to pple even if they decide they don't work for it.
1:58 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828410138580926602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the equivalent of unsupervised training. Just counting the counts, how many of which we observed - histograms, Parzen windows, clustering (depending of how much - or little - structure we assume/impose).
1:32 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the equivalent of unsupervised training. Just counting the counts, how many of which we observed - histograms, Parzen windows, clustering (depending of how much - or little - structure we assume/impose).
1:32 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828409152638533896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 One possible outcome: all till staff fired, all warehouse staff retained, every shop moves to on-line Amazon type retailer. Now that wd truly improve mine and other shopofobics quality of life! Hurrah for the activist judges 😆
1:28 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 One possible outcome: all till staff fired, all warehouse staff retained, every shop moves to on-line Amazon type retailer. Now that wd truly improve mine and other shopofobics quality of life! Hurrah for the activist judges 😆
1:28 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828395613324468366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mine 440 atm with the office door open towards outside, spikes to 1000 within 30 mins if I close the door. At night - have never slept without a window open ever, love the temperate UK weather for that. :-)
12:34 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mine 440 atm with the office door open towards outside, spikes to 1000 within 30 mins if I close the door. At night - have never slept without a window open ever, love the temperate UK weather for that. :-)
12:34 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828395003049087143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - this too!! I remember being serially surprised reading Abstracts of studies about cities air quality, and relation to various health issues. Someone mentioned - to be expected given who's usually paying for the study - but I don't think so. One can fudge or tilt or spin a small difference - but the numbers were shockingly different. No statistics needed to spot the significance - those sorts of differences. The air quality seemed to have huge influence. Maybe b/c it's something invisible to us - out of sight, out of mind. IDK for sure - have not spent time on this, just remember skimming through a table of numbers, and thinking "this is non-trivial" more than once.
12:31 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - this too!! I remember being serially surprised reading Abstracts of studies about cities air quality, and relation to various health issues. Someone mentioned - to be expected given who's usually paying for the study - but I don't think so. One can fudge or tilt or spin a small difference - but the numbers were shockingly different. No statistics needed to spot the significance - those sorts of differences. The air quality seemed to have huge influence. Maybe b/c it's something invisible to us - out of sight, out of mind. IDK for sure - have not spent time on this, just remember skimming through a table of numbers, and thinking "this is non-trivial" more than once.
12:31 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828393289294197120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take courage. Nothing is preordained, history will be what some or most or all Romanians make of it. :-) Ukrainians - to their eternal glory - gave all of us a huge huge lesson (lecture ongoing...): nothing is preordained, one can stand against the odds, better future is possible, freedom stands a chance against tyranny.
12:25 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take courage. Nothing is preordained, history will be what some or most or all Romanians make of it. :-) Ukrainians - to their eternal glory - gave all of us a huge huge lesson (lecture ongoing...): nothing is preordained, one can stand against the odds, better future is possible, freedom stands a chance against tyranny.
12:25 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828390228362436994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 a japanese lab director once told us - if coming to work was fun, then I would be asking you to buy a ticket at the entrance of the office, like when you go to a circus
12:12 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 a japanese lab director once told us - if coming to work was fun, then I would be asking you to buy a ticket at the entrance of the office, like when you go to a circus
12:12 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828387703953527077
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 sure thy master, just let me construct alternate counterfactual universe - would that resolve the issue to your satisfaction? BRB for the remaining two wishes 😆
12:02 PM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 sure thy master, just let me construct alternate counterfactual universe - would that resolve the issue to your satisfaction? BRB for the remaining two wishes 😆
12:02 PM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828384588353188077
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I admire and like the Californian craziness - gave so much to the world (and me personally), computers and internet and now AI, ushered the information age. With the good comes the bad. Imo libertarianism is like the communism of the right. At some point - it detaches from reality. I'm trying to imagine the "muh free speech" dudes whose posts I keep reading, in a situation where foreign power has invaded US, and now they are coordinating artillery fire via ChatApp, destroying US cities. And we get kind of Groucho Marx skit in real-time—free speech on one hand, helping to level your own home on the other hand? Contemporary comparable cases I can think be "gays for Hamas", or "feminists for Taliban"? Can't say not funny tbh 🙃 when that absurd.
Quote
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker · 20h
i don't think you can fully understand the telegram indictment without understanding the france vs. wagner conflict, russia<>telegram surveillance collaboration, etc
11:50 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I admire and like the Californian craziness - gave so much to the world (and me personally), computers and internet and now AI, ushered the information age. With the good comes the bad. Imo libertarianism is like the communism of the right. At some point - it detaches from reality. I'm trying to imagine the "muh free speech" dudes whose posts I keep reading, in a situation where foreign power has invaded US, and now they are coordinating artillery fire via ChatApp, destroying US cities. And we get kind of Groucho Marx skit in real-time—free speech on one hand, helping to level your own home on the other hand? Contemporary comparable cases I can think be "gays for Hamas", or "feminists for Taliban"? Can't say not funny tbh 🙃 when that absurd.
Quote
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker · 20h
i don't think you can fully understand the telegram indictment without understanding the france vs. wagner conflict, russia<>telegram surveillance collaboration, etc
11:50 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828374954305376644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... indeed, and "if we don't like that treaty, we can have another one" too. :-) Budapest Memorandum too - no? Big states do this all the time, because they can. Security Council members invade other UN members, even if "... war of aggression is the supreme international crime".
11:12 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... indeed, and "if we don't like that treaty, we can have another one" too. :-) Budapest Memorandum too - no? Big states do this all the time, because they can. Security Council members invade other UN members, even if "... war of aggression is the supreme international crime".
11:12 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828372908575437285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF - vaccines or no vaccines, covid or no covid - air quality improvement FTW! :-) Low hanging fruit if there ever were one. Buy yourself a cheapo CO2 monitor gizmo & measure at home, see for yourself. Most indoor air quality is shockingly bad, people spend a lot of time there, to improve on the low low baseline is comparatively easy and cheap. Huge RoI.
11:04 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF - vaccines or no vaccines, covid or no covid - air quality improvement FTW! :-) Low hanging fruit if there ever were one. Buy yourself a cheapo CO2 monitor gizmo & measure at home, see for yourself. Most indoor air quality is shockingly bad, people spend a lot of time there, to improve on the low low baseline is comparatively easy and cheap. Huge RoI.
11:04 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828371004529238357
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The risk of humanity ending itself in a nuclear annihilation is ever present. May happen today, or tomorrow, or in a year from now, or never. The question is: will CEEu nukes increase that risk, or not? To me it seems:
1) Compared to no-CEEu nukes, in a world where Russia is content to stay in their own borders - it would be an increase in risk, no doubt about that. And probably wholly unnecessary.
However, we are not in that world. We are in a world where:
2) Russia is hell bent on conquering Ukraine. And if it wins there, I can imagine press-ganging the Ukrainian army, together with Belarus (that it takes over once Lukasenka dies), to invade first the Baltics, and then Poland. This is especially a risk if US and WEu are considered weak and unlikely to get involved (by Russia). And then it turns out - US and WEu do get involved, turns out Russia miscalculated there.
In that case where US gets involved in a conventional war against Russia with boots on the ground, and esp in Poland - there I can see how that may end up with a nuclear disaster. So in that scenario CEEu nukes may actually decrease the risk: by deterring Russia to gamble on US+WEu being weak and invading the Baltics+Poland.
10:56 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The risk of humanity ending itself in a nuclear annihilation is ever present. May happen today, or tomorrow, or in a year from now, or never. The question is: will CEEu nukes increase that risk, or not? To me it seems:
1) Compared to no-CEEu nukes, in a world where Russia is content to stay in their own borders - it would be an increase in risk, no doubt about that. And probably wholly unnecessary.
However, we are not in that world. We are in a world where:
2) Russia is hell bent on conquering Ukraine. And if it wins there, I can imagine press-ganging the Ukrainian army, together with Belarus (that it takes over once Lukasenka dies), to invade first the Baltics, and then Poland. This is especially a risk if US and WEu are considered weak and unlikely to get involved (by Russia). And then it turns out - US and WEu do get involved, turns out Russia miscalculated there.
In that case where US gets involved in a conventional war against Russia with boots on the ground, and esp in Poland - there I can see how that may end up with a nuclear disaster. So in that scenario CEEu nukes may actually decrease the risk: by deterring Russia to gamble on US+WEu being weak and invading the Baltics+Poland.
10:56 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828367588142821563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah, you are saying both the CON and LAB have been captured by oligarchic financial interests? I'm shocked, shocked I tell you... Was it ever different though? I'm not saying it's good - it's bad. But is it worse?
10:42 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah, you are saying both the CON and LAB have been captured by oligarchic financial interests? I'm shocked, shocked I tell you... Was it ever different though? I'm not saying it's good - it's bad. But is it worse?
10:42 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828358167400419638
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and further arguments against the present (new) system that's shown itself worse than the previous older system: 1) party members are entirely unrepresentative of the wider public, being very politically engaged 2) PM is foisted onto the Parliamentary Party by the party members, and then they have to support her/him in Parliament, events if this is someone they detest 3) we've had the "innovation" now tried both in LAB and CON and in both resulted in more extreme more ideologal leaders more aligned with the party members and less with the Demos. Chesterton's fence example if there ever was one.
10:05 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and further arguments against the present (new) system that's shown itself worse than the previous older system: 1) party members are entirely unrepresentative of the wider public, being very politically engaged 2) PM is foisted onto the Parliamentary Party by the party members, and then they have to support her/him in Parliament, events if this is someone they detest 3) we've had the "innovation" now tried both in LAB and CON and in both resulted in more extreme more ideologal leaders more aligned with the party members and less with the Demos. Chesterton's fence example if there ever was one.
10:05 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828305623659794936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
seems to be nothing more than a "middle of the herd is safest, can't be that much wronger than the next guy" general "epistemic" strategy many a rational ideologue pursue; for external observers this is like observing a weather wane of the conventional wisdom groupthink
6:36 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
seems to be nothing more than a "middle of the herd is safest, can't be that much wronger than the next guy" general "epistemic" strategy many a rational ideologue pursue; for external observers this is like observing a weather wane of the conventional wisdom groupthink
6:36 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828252075655872654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Explain more please? I understand that finding the funds, but that's is step 1. That's the beginning, not the end of it, right? Organising lethal force is a huge undertaking, involving 1000 other steps and activities.
3:03 AM · Aug 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Explain more please? I understand that finding the funds, but that's is step 1. That's the beginning, not the end of it, right? Organising lethal force is a huge undertaking, involving 1000 other steps and activities.
3:03 AM · Aug 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828201886090174737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How is a Network State going to provide security for its citizens? That's the 1st function of a state - right?
11:44 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How is a Network State going to provide security for its citizens? That's the 1st function of a state - right?
11:44 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828167537231577495
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed UK declared war on 1-Sep-1939 to their great credit. However - they could not help Poland. That's my point. The biggest empire at that point - could not help Poland. As for US: for 2 years UK was in a war against Germany (Germany itself allied with, and helped by, the Soviet Union at that point), and US didn't enter the war. Germany occupied all of Europe incl France - and US was still neutral. So for the CEEurope countries - any possible help is thousands of miles and many years away. The 1st duty of a state is to protect its citizens. The Poles should demand of the Poland government to develop a credible nuclear deterrent.
9:28 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed UK declared war on 1-Sep-1939 to their great credit. However - they could not help Poland. That's my point. The biggest empire at that point - could not help Poland. As for US: for 2 years UK was in a war against Germany (Germany itself allied with, and helped by, the Soviet Union at that point), and US didn't enter the war. Germany occupied all of Europe incl France - and US was still neutral. So for the CEEurope countries - any possible help is thousands of miles and many years away. The 1st duty of a state is to protect its citizens. The Poles should demand of the Poland government to develop a credible nuclear deterrent.
9:28 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828155140114964592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that how productivity increases in total? If Cisco can produce as much with 93% of the workforce as it's did with 100% - isn't that productivity increase? The 7% laid off find new jobs, and the cycle continues? Related - I remember self-managed socialist enterprises in 1980s, and problem#1 in the country was unemployment, b/c workers refused to hire new workers no matter what.
8:38 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that how productivity increases in total? If Cisco can produce as much with 93% of the workforce as it's did with 100% - isn't that productivity increase? The 7% laid off find new jobs, and the cycle continues? Related - I remember self-managed socialist enterprises in 1980s, and problem#1 in the country was unemployment, b/c workers refused to hire new workers no matter what.
8:38 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828140342597783559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will deter Russia. If Russia invades Poland, and Warsaw is about destroyed and the 4th dissolution of Poland is upon them - then yes, I'd expect them to nuke Moscow. Likewise - if some other power were to invade Russia and about to destroy Moscow - I expect Russia to launch a nuclear strike against the invader. I guess the lesson will then be: better not invade other countries.
7:39 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will deter Russia. If Russia invades Poland, and Warsaw is about destroyed and the 4th dissolution of Poland is upon them - then yes, I'd expect them to nuke Moscow. Likewise - if some other power were to invade Russia and about to destroy Moscow - I expect Russia to launch a nuclear strike against the invader. I guess the lesson will then be: better not invade other countries.
7:39 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828136769713512451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! That's the correct answer. Even Paris or London will not risk nuclear annihilation for Warsaw. Was WW2 not lesson enough? CEEuropeans need critical mass of states. I'd count Bulgaria out for sure, Hungary not currently possible, Slovakia probably out too. Don't know about Romania. Baltics + Poland seem to be in the Russia crosshairs so most motivated and maybe most capable and organized to pull it off. And maybe Czechia will join them. But yeah - if North Korea, Israel, South Africa could develop their own deterrents while much poorer and smaller, then it's possible for CEEurope countries to do it too. I'm amazed noone is talking about that.
7:25 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! That's the correct answer. Even Paris or London will not risk nuclear annihilation for Warsaw. Was WW2 not lesson enough? CEEuropeans need critical mass of states. I'd count Bulgaria out for sure, Hungary not currently possible, Slovakia probably out too. Don't know about Romania. Baltics + Poland seem to be in the Russia crosshairs so most motivated and maybe most capable and organized to pull it off. And maybe Czechia will join them. But yeah - if North Korea, Israel, South Africa could develop their own deterrents while much poorer and smaller, then it's possible for CEEurope countries to do it too. I'm amazed noone is talking about that.
7:25 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828134829801472328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd guess - they never see that. 99.9% of us users stick with whatever "For you" or "Following" feeds provide. As for posting , replying etc - most don't care enough, or haven't go the time or the stamina for it. This is the reason media moguls part with billions of dollars to acquire the megaphones that the media companies are.
7:18 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd guess - they never see that. 99.9% of us users stick with whatever "For you" or "Following" feeds provide. As for posting , replying etc - most don't care enough, or haven't go the time or the stamina for it. This is the reason media moguls part with billions of dollars to acquire the megaphones that the media companies are.
7:18 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828112942555967504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the 4th quadbit best be used for NaN - every type needs one out-of-band value
5:51 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the 4th quadbit best be used for NaN - every type needs one out-of-band value
5:51 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828098448182399102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are many critics, but very proposals on how to improve. Afaics as long as no effort is made to make predictive models, that can have their performance assessed against real-world data - the discipline will be stuck where it is now.
4:53 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are many critics, but very proposals on how to improve. Afaics as long as no effort is made to make predictive models, that can have their performance assessed against real-world data - the discipline will be stuck where it is now.
4:53 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828097424629342685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and where are they going to go - Mars? US legal system imprisoned Silkroad dude to life, chased (innocent) Mike Lynch through extradition, hounded Aaron Swartz to his death, then there are Snowden, Assange, Manning... Can't be bothered to click on incoherent contrarian "free speech" blather tbh. No-one is stopping Durov from speaking about anything, etc etc. Do better. Unherd from alternative has became as predictable and as uneventful as MSM tbh. Paul seem to be spending his £££ for little gain.
4:49 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and where are they going to go - Mars? US legal system imprisoned Silkroad dude to life, chased (innocent) Mike Lynch through extradition, hounded Aaron Swartz to his death, then there are Snowden, Assange, Manning... Can't be bothered to click on incoherent contrarian "free speech" blather tbh. No-one is stopping Durov from speaking about anything, etc etc. Do better. Unherd from alternative has became as predictable and as uneventful as MSM tbh. Paul seem to be spending his £££ for little gain.
4:49 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828072734770741269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great of him to try, kudos to @elonmusk for putting his $$$ where his mouth is and betting big. Sorry - but that's the only way. All the reasoning and arguing - maybe this, maybe that - works in maths formal systems only. Where one can prove something does not exist - so don't search for it, it will be futile. Everything else, in science and technology, there is tons more trial and error that people ever care to admit. Further, for a range of things that we know work and we're using them (not only NNs - also various medicines' molecules) we don't have a good theory why that thing works at all. In a way that we would find "the theory" satisfactory (usually some symbolic expression).
3:11 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great of him to try, kudos to @elonmusk for putting his $$$ where his mouth is and betting big. Sorry - but that's the only way. All the reasoning and arguing - maybe this, maybe that - works in maths formal systems only. Where one can prove something does not exist - so don't search for it, it will be futile. Everything else, in science and technology, there is tons more trial and error that people ever care to admit. Further, for a range of things that we know work and we're using them (not only NNs - also various medicines' molecules) we don't have a good theory why that thing works at all. In a way that we would find "the theory" satisfactory (usually some symbolic expression).
3:11 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828066023011918243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I presume you are talking about academia, or sell side, or media-macro. To start with it's intrinsically difficult -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827718191923056740
... and on the top of that there zero incentive to be right.
The IR reference is to a story from @garyseconomics I heard on his podcast or interview where his professor (MSc? Oxford?) neither knew he's been getting his IR forecasts wrong for a decade, nor cared about that to record and keep track. Also there is - as a get out clause b/c the knowledge is so poor - to explicitly refuse to actually try forecast -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825189561690956015
But without forecasts there can be no good testing whether a model improves or not, whether one is better than the other.
Imo it's a Mission Impossible to improve anything there. Only realistic way around is if new money comes in, starts a new department with an explicit aim to do better, and then grows that way to eventually replace the old failing schools of thought.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 25
Replying to @TorstenBell
To be expected. They have some objective reality and experiments to go on for feedback what's true/false, but not as much as natural sciences. So the field will descend into beauty contest, underlings sucking to the hierarchy above, and esp in academia where the pressure to be
Show more
2:44 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I presume you are talking about academia, or sell side, or media-macro. To start with it's intrinsically difficult -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827718191923056740
... and on the top of that there zero incentive to be right.
The IR reference is to a story from @garyseconomics I heard on his podcast or interview where his professor (MSc? Oxford?) neither knew he's been getting his IR forecasts wrong for a decade, nor cared about that to record and keep track. Also there is - as a get out clause b/c the knowledge is so poor - to explicitly refuse to actually try forecast -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825189561690956015
But without forecasts there can be no good testing whether a model improves or not, whether one is better than the other.
Imo it's a Mission Impossible to improve anything there. Only realistic way around is if new money comes in, starts a new department with an explicit aim to do better, and then grows that way to eventually replace the old failing schools of thought.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 25
Replying to @TorstenBell
To be expected. They have some objective reality and experiments to go on for feedback what's true/false, but not as much as natural sciences. So the field will descend into beauty contest, underlings sucking to the hierarchy above, and esp in academia where the pressure to be
Show more
2:44 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828035672038383803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I moved to Xubuntu LTS about 15 yrs ago, and the OS went out of the picture. I don't notice the OS. The GUI doesn't change, I don't need to re-learn anything. I only notice the apps. Once in 3-4-5 years I have to install new version b/c the old one is not supported anymore. It's possible to move to every other LTS version to minimize that (so skip one). Now I'm on 22.04, previously I was on 18.04 (skipped 20.04). Within a LTS version the apps are all updated and supported - there are no obvious gaping security holes. In the olden days gaming made this impossible for many people - but seems Steam solved that. Other reason I knew for staying away - was Excel, having complicated sheets. Nowdays, between Excel moving online into the cloud Office 365, and having backup Windows version (8-9-10) in VirtualBox - that's been solved too. Ubuntu (and Xubuntu as a consequence too) solved the issue of Linux drivers for good. Nowdays I'm more likely to have to chase find some driver for kids Windows computers, than it's to do it for myself for an Xubuntu box I use.
12:44 PM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I moved to Xubuntu LTS about 15 yrs ago, and the OS went out of the picture. I don't notice the OS. The GUI doesn't change, I don't need to re-learn anything. I only notice the apps. Once in 3-4-5 years I have to install new version b/c the old one is not supported anymore. It's possible to move to every other LTS version to minimize that (so skip one). Now I'm on 22.04, previously I was on 18.04 (skipped 20.04). Within a LTS version the apps are all updated and supported - there are no obvious gaping security holes. In the olden days gaming made this impossible for many people - but seems Steam solved that. Other reason I knew for staying away - was Excel, having complicated sheets. Nowdays, between Excel moving online into the cloud Office 365, and having backup Windows version (8-9-10) in VirtualBox - that's been solved too. Ubuntu (and Xubuntu as a consequence too) solved the issue of Linux drivers for good. Nowdays I'm more likely to have to chase find some driver for kids Windows computers, than it's to do it for myself for an Xubuntu box I use.
12:44 PM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1828004264087638050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not at all - E2E does matter a lot. I think the xkcd says that things for privacy and security are both much simpler and much harder that we imagine. Harder - b/c there is no technical way to resist the political power (monopoly of violence) ultimately given agreed on by the group consensus. This is all about every one of us living in various, multiple, groups. If I were to live in a cave some where alone then no issues like the above wd arise (as single person - there's no communication neeed; that models dies off quickly as no reproduction for singles either 🙃).
10:39 AM · Aug 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not at all - E2E does matter a lot. I think the xkcd says that things for privacy and security are both much simpler and much harder that we imagine. Harder - b/c there is no technical way to resist the political power (monopoly of violence) ultimately given agreed on by the group consensus. This is all about every one of us living in various, multiple, groups. If I were to live in a cave some where alone then no issues like the above wd arise (as single person - there's no communication neeed; that models dies off quickly as no reproduction for singles either 🙃).
10:39 AM · Aug 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827837286148399579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After scrolling through the toddler tantrums X's been feeding me all day, 1) Techies - how are they so rich while being so stupid 2) Californians - must hold a special place in Providence's heart, right at the front of the line—before the rest of Americans (and the fools, drunkards, and sailors...).
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 24
Heh - computer people, still naive in 2024
https://xkcd.com/538/
Image
11:35 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After scrolling through the toddler tantrums X's been feeding me all day, 1) Techies - how are they so rich while being so stupid 2) Californians - must hold a special place in Providence's heart, right at the front of the line—before the rest of Americans (and the fools, drunkards, and sailors...).
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 24
Heh - computer people, still naive in 2024
https://xkcd.com/538/
Image
11:35 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827812238390161596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scrolling through the toddler tantrums that X's been feeding me all day, I can't help but think: 1) How do they stay so rich while being so stupid? 2) Californians must have a special place in Providence's heart, right at the front of the line—before the rest of America (and the fools, drunkards, and sailors...).
9:56 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scrolling through the toddler tantrums that X's been feeding me all day, I can't help but think: 1) How do they stay so rich while being so stupid? 2) Californians must have a special place in Providence's heart, right at the front of the line—before the rest of America (and the fools, drunkards, and sailors...).
9:56 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827799535587852500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure dude - date. Otherwise it's trivially true. Every country every empire every civilization collapses at some point. Hell - the Earth 🌎 and the Sun ☀️ will stop existing at some point too.
9:05 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure dude - date. Otherwise it's trivially true. Every country every empire every civilization collapses at some point. Hell - the Earth 🌎 and the Sun ☀️ will stop existing at some point too.
9:05 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827792545386058043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
then few people I know prone to conspiracies and magical thinking have unusually large egos; the universe is to revolve around them, stars are to be forever aligned; when that doesn't happen then they are surprised and angered and something is very wrong and this is completely unnatural state of things not to be tolerated
8:37 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
then few people I know prone to conspiracies and magical thinking have unusually large egos; the universe is to revolve around them, stars are to be forever aligned; when that doesn't happen then they are surprised and angered and something is very wrong and this is completely unnatural state of things not to be tolerated
8:37 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827786324637606331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nah - as far as what I've read about X, it's completely compliant and heeds all warrants; it even topped some chart in that last I saw
8:13 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nah - as far as what I've read about X, it's completely compliant and heeds all warrants; it even topped some chart in that last I saw
8:13 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827781864674718189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
doubtful she has a buyin. she didn't exactly covering herself in glory while in power
7:55 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
doubtful she has a buyin. she didn't exactly covering herself in glory while in power
7:55 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827777809135313176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah it's exactly the same - and never seen before. this mass outbreak of histeric toddlerism is getting the worse of me today 😶
Image
7:39 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah it's exactly the same - and never seen before. this mass outbreak of histeric toddlerism is getting the worse of me today 😶
Image
7:39 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827776893816279044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не функционира тоа. По 30 год кога пак ќе се измеша населението, пак ќе се разменувате? А за да не се измеша - ќе треба да донесете расистички закони, и да ги спроведувате вистински. (не кобајаги како сега) Ем неубаво, ем нефункционално. Тоа што функционира - работа, знаење, чесност и сл. е ем тешко ем споро. Ама нема полесен начин, нема некој кус пат попреку.
7:35 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не функционира тоа. По 30 год кога пак ќе се измеша населението, пак ќе се разменувате? А за да не се измеша - ќе треба да донесете расистички закони, и да ги спроведувате вистински. (не кобајаги како сега) Ем неубаво, ем нефункционално. Тоа што функционира - работа, знаење, чесност и сл. е ем тешко ем споро. Ама нема полесен начин, нема некој кус пат попреку.
7:35 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827773396613996634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and as I was listening to this at the moment X served your post on my screen randomly: if LLMs remind me if any one human, that be him -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&list=WL&index=4&t=35s
Don't think it can get more cosmically poetic than this ☺️
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological...
Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2...
7:21 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and as I was listening to this at the moment X served your post on my screen randomly: if LLMs remind me if any one human, that be him -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&list=WL&index=4&t=35s
Don't think it can get more cosmically poetic than this ☺️
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological...
Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2...
7:21 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827770121529729274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 🤯 – us humans, not so special after all, eh? 😊 First, we learn the universe doesn’t revolve around our Earth 🌎, then we find out we weren’t made in the likeness of God but are just a leaf 🌿 on the tree of life. Now we discover we’re not rational calculating machines but floating through life in a dream-like state... Whatever’s next?? O tempora, o mores 😱🤣
7:08 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 🤯 – us humans, not so special after all, eh? 😊 First, we learn the universe doesn’t revolve around our Earth 🌎, then we find out we weren’t made in the likeness of God but are just a leaf 🌿 on the tree of life. Now we discover we’re not rational calculating machines but floating through life in a dream-like state... Whatever’s next?? O tempora, o mores 😱🤣
7:08 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827761149242126735
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the only test that matters is starting up a start-up state. what are the california crazies waiting for? do it already, let's see what happens
Image
6:33 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the only test that matters is starting up a start-up state. what are the california crazies waiting for? do it already, let's see what happens
Image
6:33 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827754376804384975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X and FB completely comply with any and all warrants served
6:06 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X and FB completely comply with any and all warrants served
6:06 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827748909009047947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god - the 1st non-toddler take I read today on this. Kudos to you Sir.
5:44 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god - the 1st non-toddler take I read today on this. Kudos to you Sir.
5:44 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827743445236015575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love the picture, and love the talk. Don't see a contradiction tbh. Information/theory is another layer to the layered cake that is our understanding of the world. There is no claim "this is the final theory" afaics, only: with this latest-greatest added on the top of our current understanding, our error our ignorance about the world is reduced (while still remaining unfathomably large). The "mechanical world" model did not make the words obsolete, the words didn't put the wheel out of action and so on. 😊 Looks like 1500 years between the 4 model adds above?? Now that's depressing. While exciting to live in times when the 4th/latest layer is added - depressing to think it took so long?? There is not much in the information/theory that's over and above: approximate a joint p.d.f. distribution, cut a plane that is the observation, divide by scalar (that is the marginal p.d.f, at that point) to make it sum to 1 again, then work with that conditional p.d.f. that quantifies the unobserved quality of interest.
5:22 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love the picture, and love the talk. Don't see a contradiction tbh. Information/theory is another layer to the layered cake that is our understanding of the world. There is no claim "this is the final theory" afaics, only: with this latest-greatest added on the top of our current understanding, our error our ignorance about the world is reduced (while still remaining unfathomably large). The "mechanical world" model did not make the words obsolete, the words didn't put the wheel out of action and so on. 😊 Looks like 1500 years between the 4 model adds above?? Now that's depressing. While exciting to live in times when the 4th/latest layer is added - depressing to think it took so long?? There is not much in the information/theory that's over and above: approximate a joint p.d.f. distribution, cut a plane that is the observation, divide by scalar (that is the marginal p.d.f, at that point) to make it sum to 1 again, then work with that conditional p.d.f. that quantifies the unobserved quality of interest.
5:22 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827739143490662903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but there maybe a single person point of failure, that everything else depends on. when are you going to retire?
5:05 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but there maybe a single person point of failure, that everything else depends on. when are you going to retire?
5:05 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827738210010562750
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very much doubt that. But even if that was true - they wd want to keep the servers running, users networks intact, and still using TG. The agencies just want the keys to decrypt the conversations. Conversations that are - amusingly, foolishly, unbelievably - stored on the servers, with their full histories in toto. 😂😂 Rather than just encrypted in flight and transferred without being stored - as any reasonable E2E encryption wd do.
5:02 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very much doubt that. But even if that was true - they wd want to keep the servers running, users networks intact, and still using TG. The agencies just want the keys to decrypt the conversations. Conversations that are - amusingly, foolishly, unbelievably - stored on the servers, with their full histories in toto. 😂😂 Rather than just encrypted in flight and transferred without being stored - as any reasonable E2E encryption wd do.
5:02 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827735286815592862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You guys should seek fortune in a big macro HF like Bridgewater or similar. You are never going to convince actual academic econ of anything. It's "funeral by funeral" there and takes a very long time. But after you earn your B$s, you can endow econ departments. That is the way.
4:50 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You guys should seek fortune in a big macro HF like Bridgewater or similar. You are never going to convince actual academic econ of anything. It's "funeral by funeral" there and takes a very long time. But after you earn your B$s, you can endow econ departments. That is the way.
4:50 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827733662466724154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When? Put a date out, define what's "US down" and make a bet. You will earn much. (or lose some)
4:43 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When? Put a date out, define what's "US down" and make a bet. You will earn much. (or lose some)
4:43 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827732198100705756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learned nothing, forgotten nothing — by Jove, we are led by imbeciles.
Quote
Daniela Gabor @DanielaGabor · 21h
Dear god - what next Keir Starmer, channeling 'there's no such thing as society' Margaret Thatcher to justify austerity? x.com/DanielaGabor/s…
Image
4:38 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learned nothing, forgotten nothing — by Jove, we are led by imbeciles.
Quote
Daniela Gabor @DanielaGabor · 21h
Dear god - what next Keir Starmer, channeling 'there's no such thing as society' Margaret Thatcher to justify austerity? x.com/DanielaGabor/s…
Image
4:38 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827727870569091175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks 😌 tbh NL got a mention because MH17
4:20 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks 😌 tbh NL got a mention because MH17
4:20 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827727118651814238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. I will relieve you now from the chore of understanding and reasoning about life universe and everything - bye.
4:17 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. I will relieve you now from the chore of understanding and reasoning about life universe and everything - bye.
4:17 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827723212475740432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True. Also true hitchhiking for 3 days and sleeping in the roadside bushes while incommunicado in foreign lands few hundred quid cash in pocket no cards no nothing is not the same. I'm sure that helps.
4:02 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True. Also true hitchhiking for 3 days and sleeping in the roadside bushes while incommunicado in foreign lands few hundred quid cash in pocket no cards no nothing is not the same. I'm sure that helps.
4:02 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827718191923056740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be expected. They have some objective reality and experiments to go on for feedback what's true/false, but not as much as natural sciences. So the field will descend into beauty contest, underlings sucking to the hierarchy above, and esp in academia where the pressure to be right objectively does not exist really for most. Reminded of the econ's global economy IR forecasts post GFC'08 - clueless, and being clueless that they are clueless. 😂😂😂 And that on the top of being clueless of GFC'08 too.
3:42 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be expected. They have some objective reality and experiments to go on for feedback what's true/false, but not as much as natural sciences. So the field will descend into beauty contest, underlings sucking to the hierarchy above, and esp in academia where the pressure to be right objectively does not exist really for most. Reminded of the econ's global economy IR forecasts post GFC'08 - clueless, and being clueless that they are clueless. 😂😂😂 And that on the top of being clueless of GFC'08 too.
3:42 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827704712574996844
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Having and raising kids is hard work - good to see it recognized rather than denigrated. Good on Mongolia.
2:48 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Having and raising kids is hard work - good to see it recognized rather than denigrated. Good on Mongolia.
2:48 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827703068940464543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK tbh - do tell if there was organized violence, riots and similar. I put out a guess to answer the "Why". I have not got any info whatsoever on the case or the circumstances.
2:42 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK tbh - do tell if there was organized violence, riots and similar. I put out a guess to answer the "Why". I have not got any info whatsoever on the case or the circumstances.
2:42 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827700990130135344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At 18 yo hitchiked Skopje to Amsterdam (3 days) with 5 friends (in pairs), never done anything similar b4, 250 eur in pocket total, no means of communication except payphone. A week before trip while making jam with family a jar with hot jam burst, got burns and blisters around the knees, started the trip in bandages. Parents didn't dare suggest I don't go. Don't want to think what I'd now if similar circumstance with my kids now.
2:34 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At 18 yo hitchiked Skopje to Amsterdam (3 days) with 5 friends (in pairs), never done anything similar b4, 250 eur in pocket total, no means of communication except payphone. A week before trip while making jam with family a jar with hot jam burst, got burns and blisters around the knees, started the trip in bandages. Parents didn't dare suggest I don't go. Don't want to think what I'd now if similar circumstance with my kids now.
2:34 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827698489029165455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
omg 🤯 toddlerism personified 😳 if techies are so smart, how do they end up in jail
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2:24 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
omg 🤯 toddlerism personified 😳 if techies are so smart, how do they end up in jail
Image
2:24 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827697107140243927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unprecedented in your lifetime sunshine. Europe has been at full scale ground war for more than two years now. Opportune I'm writing this to an NL person on the anniversary of the Ribbentrop-Molotov pact. History repeating etc and us learning from it is somewhere close by.
2:18 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unprecedented in your lifetime sunshine. Europe has been at full scale ground war for more than two years now. Opportune I'm writing this to an NL person on the anniversary of the Ribbentrop-Molotov pact. History repeating etc and us learning from it is somewhere close by.
2:18 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827694000905580851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK the letter of the law tbh. And I'd assume there wd be "reasonableness" clause somewhere so it'd be open to interpretation anyways, but - I was trying to answer the OP "Why" Q: why has this person not been arrested. A: b/c of lack of riots following the statement. I'm speculating - if riots had happened, the police may have come after him.
2:06 PM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK the letter of the law tbh. And I'd assume there wd be "reasonableness" clause somewhere so it'd be open to interpretation anyways, but - I was trying to answer the OP "Why" Q: why has this person not been arrested. A: b/c of lack of riots following the statement. I'm speculating - if riots had happened, the police may have come after him.
2:06 PM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827658234972283232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because no riots occurred, maybe? Lawyers can only ever conclusively claim "incitement" in retrospect - if rioting happens? Would be my laws ignorant guess.
11:44 AM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because no riots occurred, maybe? Lawyers can only ever conclusively claim "incitement" in retrospect - if rioting happens? Would be my laws ignorant guess.
11:44 AM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827653158853628152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... maybe instead of slapping your own face (please don't! my opinion is not worth it!) read some more before you pronounce on causations and or complexity? 2p
11:24 AM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... maybe instead of slapping your own face (please don't! my opinion is not worth it!) read some more before you pronounce on causations and or complexity? 2p
11:24 AM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827628047220040127
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - this! Have made themselves too juicy a target, for - to me - unknown or incomprehensible reasons.
9:44 AM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - this! Have made themselves too juicy a target, for - to me - unknown or incomprehensible reasons.
9:44 AM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827623583796896171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
is there something in the water over there that extinguishers any trace of self-awaraness? you own and run a media platform, you are one person publisher powerhouse, you endorse and financially support one of the two opponents, and then - you turn around and go "boo-haa not impartial"?? amazing
9:26 AM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
is there something in the water over there that extinguishers any trace of self-awaraness? you own and run a media platform, you are one person publisher powerhouse, you endorse and financially support one of the two opponents, and then - you turn around and go "boo-haa not impartial"?? amazing
9:26 AM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827505058101006670
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the real end of history
1:35 AM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the real end of history
1:35 AM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827494383492722720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah! Amusing to see number of accounts proclaiming "we maybe next" while not in the possession of anyone's keys hence "nah noone is coming for you, you have no secrets". Or a number of USians users of networks that have surrendered their keys long time ago "free speech"-ing about 😂😂😂 Spectacles abound
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12:53 AM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah! Amusing to see number of accounts proclaiming "we maybe next" while not in the possession of anyone's keys hence "nah noone is coming for you, you have no secrets". Or a number of USians users of networks that have surrendered their keys long time ago "free speech"-ing about 😂😂😂 Spectacles abound
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12:53 AM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827484198396923925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
where are you going to go - interstellar? on this earth it's this way - no?
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12:12 AM · Aug 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
where are you going to go - interstellar? on this earth it's this way - no?
Image
12:12 AM · Aug 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827480118102782386
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - computer people, still naive in 2024
https://xkcd.com/538/
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11:56 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - computer people, still naive in 2024
https://xkcd.com/538/
Image
11:56 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827476380033995161
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - refusing to turn over the keys
11:41 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - refusing to turn over the keys
11:41 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827475398701031652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree USG could do the basic functions on 20%. I presume historically it has done at some point? Infrastructure of civilization - everything that exists at countryside size level but not in a band or a village? Monopoly on violence to start with. Defense form external attack. Then systems of laws, courts - ton of other stuff
11:37 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree USG could do the basic functions on 20%. I presume historically it has done at some point? Infrastructure of civilization - everything that exists at countryside size level but not in a band or a village? Monopoly on violence to start with. Defense form external attack. Then systems of laws, courts - ton of other stuff
11:37 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827469087464693782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree they do. Still - the infrastructure of civilization has to be paid (or resourced) somehow. Ultimately - if no taxes of some sort, then no state, and consequently no cash, law and order etc.
11:12 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I agree they do. Still - the infrastructure of civilization has to be paid (or resourced) somehow. Ultimately - if no taxes of some sort, then no state, and consequently no cash, law and order etc.
11:12 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827465432288149756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The 1st duty of the State, the 1st thing citizens seek, reason why they join forces and create a State - is security. How will decentralised Network State create security?
10:58 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The 1st duty of the State, the 1st thing citizens seek, reason why they join forces and create a State - is security. How will decentralised Network State create security?
10:58 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827463627240288717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes humans do that. But same is true for every tax. Sales taxes don't stop sales - merely reduce them. There's already Visa and MasterCard effective tax on sales transactions I guess?
10:50 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes humans do that. But same is true for every tax. Sales taxes don't stop sales - merely reduce them. There's already Visa and MasterCard effective tax on sales transactions I guess?
10:50 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827462495809728938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes correct - regressive. But so are sale's taxes in US (VAT in Europe), so are Visas and Mastercard transaction fees (x10 times higher).
10:46 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes correct - regressive. But so are sale's taxes in US (VAT in Europe), so are Visas and Mastercard transaction fees (x10 times higher).
10:46 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827445668740301179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read someplace ages ago a proposal to replace all US federal taxes with 0.2% tax on every bank transfer of USD (I send you $100, you receive $99.8, the $0.2 is unavoidable tax). Asking GPT-s now I'm told that USD banking transactions total $1500T p.a. So 0.2% that's $3T so at most could replace only about half of the federal budget.
9:39 PM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read someplace ages ago a proposal to replace all US federal taxes with 0.2% tax on every bank transfer of USD (I send you $100, you receive $99.8, the $0.2 is unavoidable tax). Asking GPT-s now I'm told that USD banking transactions total $1500T p.a. So 0.2% that's $3T so at most could replace only about half of the federal budget.
9:39 PM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827288216413577458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 I'm not unsympathetic to your plight - was just putting forward some perspective on things.
11:13 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 I'm not unsympathetic to your plight - was just putting forward some perspective on things.
11:13 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827283067649630325
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed that operator \ is an overkill, it's got like one third of linear algebra built in right there. 😂 But come on - code searching, replacing, navigation etc is trivially done with any editor nowdays.
10:53 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed that operator \ is an overkill, it's got like one third of linear algebra built in right there. 😂 But come on - code searching, replacing, navigation etc is trivially done with any editor nowdays.
10:53 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827281929365844022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it’s been bizarre to watch. Even when considering the uptick in existential risks like nuclear war—there’s a slight increase, sure. But there’s also an increased risk if we let Russia swallow Ukraine (old posts here: https://x.com/search?q=%28from%3Aljupc0%29+poland&src=typed_query&f=live). So, even if we put morality aside for a moment, it’s strategically foolish not to give Ukraine any and all help they ask for. Least we forget—they’re not asking for US or UK soldiers on the ground, for crying out loud.
This feels especially relevant now, given the anniversaries of both the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and Ukraine’s independence. I want to think that Ukraine timed their latest actions with this history in the backs of their minds—the badasses they are. :-)
Fwiw I agree/d with https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . It sure stood the test of time.
10:48 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, it’s been bizarre to watch. Even when considering the uptick in existential risks like nuclear war—there’s a slight increase, sure. But there’s also an increased risk if we let Russia swallow Ukraine (old posts here: https://x.com/search?q=%28from%3Aljupc0%29+poland&src=typed_query&f=live). So, even if we put morality aside for a moment, it’s strategically foolish not to give Ukraine any and all help they ask for. Least we forget—they’re not asking for US or UK soldiers on the ground, for crying out loud.
This feels especially relevant now, given the anniversaries of both the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and Ukraine’s independence. I want to think that Ukraine timed their latest actions with this history in the backs of their minds—the badasses they are. :-)
Fwiw I agree/d with https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . It sure stood the test of time.
10:48 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827275412591788036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The wholesale prices of gas (yes I know about marginal pricing and more) are not acts of god, they are not physical laws. It's a bunch of people deciding to make things be as they are now. And they can decide otherwise too. (c.f. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827258919632224537 ; muting this thread now)
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
Replying to @DavidWa06435675 @the_midwits and @afneil
I realize batteries are still too expensive and currently suitable for only a few tasks like managing the intraday duck curve and grid frequency stability. However, prices are dropping rapidly, so it's worth seeing what happens next.
Personally, I invested in rooftop solar and a
Show more
10:23 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The wholesale prices of gas (yes I know about marginal pricing and more) are not acts of god, they are not physical laws. It's a bunch of people deciding to make things be as they are now. And they can decide otherwise too. (c.f. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827258919632224537 ; muting this thread now)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
Replying to @DavidWa06435675 @the_midwits and @afneil
I realize batteries are still too expensive and currently suitable for only a few tasks like managing the intraday duck curve and grid frequency stability. However, prices are dropping rapidly, so it's worth seeing what happens next.
Personally, I invested in rooftop solar and a
Show more
10:23 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827268194685325402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We watch for the other half. 😁😂 Sure there are hits and misses, both in substance and in style. Still - I think artists are tad more sensitive than most if us, if they can articulate what their antennae are sensing, it's not a waste of time.
9:54 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We watch for the other half. 😁😂 Sure there are hits and misses, both in substance and in style. Still - I think artists are tad more sensitive than most if us, if they can articulate what their antennae are sensing, it's not a waste of time.
9:54 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827261980584882454
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - one is to balance the risks, not unreasonable to choose the lesser of two risks. If EM had the power to control my O2 intake while I'm living on Mars and he's got my life in his hands - that'd be one thing. His company making good cars on Earth is a different thing. etc
9:29 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - one is to balance the risks, not unreasonable to choose the lesser of two risks. If EM had the power to control my O2 intake while I'm living on Mars and he's got my life in his hands - that'd be one thing. His company making good cars on Earth is a different thing. etc
9:29 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827258919632224537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I realize batteries are still too expensive and currently suitable for only a few tasks like managing the intraday duck curve and grid frequency stability. However, prices are dropping rapidly, so it's worth seeing what happens next.
Personally, I invested in rooftop solar and a battery system (costing around £10K), which saves me about £1K a year on my energy bills—roughly a 10% return on investment. I'm considering increasing my battery size from the current 5kWh to capture more energy and potentially benefit from variable electricity pricing.
From what I can tell, the general public remains ill-informed on the topic, so they're unlikely to apply the right pressure. As a result, politicians will continue to do nothing, and bills will keep rising, regardless of who is in power.
9:17 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I realize batteries are still too expensive and currently suitable for only a few tasks like managing the intraday duck curve and grid frequency stability. However, prices are dropping rapidly, so it's worth seeing what happens next.
Personally, I invested in rooftop solar and a battery system (costing around £10K), which saves me about £1K a year on my energy bills—roughly a 10% return on investment. I'm considering increasing my battery size from the current 5kWh to capture more energy and potentially benefit from variable electricity pricing.
From what I can tell, the general public remains ill-informed on the topic, so they're unlikely to apply the right pressure. As a result, politicians will continue to do nothing, and bills will keep rising, regardless of who is in power.
9:17 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827253462125498531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Astrology levels methodology there. 😨 Coming next - reading into chicken's entrails. 😆 Terrifying 😱 how much power insane lunatics have over the us.
8:55 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Astrology levels methodology there. 😨 Coming next - reading into chicken's entrails. 😆 Terrifying 😱 how much power insane lunatics have over the us.
8:55 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827251377870950718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - I had to learn that too. 😄 Then onto the next step: why is it linked to the most expensive of the mix? And further, ALL - not just incremental add, but all - energy in the mix is priced at that one MAX price. 🙃 Is this a law of nature? Is this god's will? 😇 Nope - those same politicians decided that it's going to be like that. Can it be changed? Ofc it be changed by ultimately @Keir_Starmer
or the MPs in the Parliament. It does not have to be that way - it's a choice.
8:47 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - I had to learn that too. 😄 Then onto the next step: why is it linked to the most expensive of the mix? And further, ALL - not just incremental add, but all - energy in the mix is priced at that one MAX price. 🙃 Is this a law of nature? Is this god's will? 😇 Nope - those same politicians decided that it's going to be like that. Can it be changed? Ofc it be changed by ultimately @Keir_Starmer
or the MPs in the Parliament. It does not have to be that way - it's a choice.
8:47 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827240848112615894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK energy prices have been increasing in lockstep with increasing share of RE in the UK supply. Can't be bothered to look up the graph now, pretty sure seem it more than once. All new technologies are expensive to start with. This is to be expected. Politicians maybe less than ahem truthful with us the public. I'm shocked, shocked I tell you...
8:05 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK energy prices have been increasing in lockstep with increasing share of RE in the UK supply. Can't be bothered to look up the graph now, pretty sure seem it more than once. All new technologies are expensive to start with. This is to be expected. Politicians maybe less than ahem truthful with us the public. I'm shocked, shocked I tell you...
8:05 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827212345921183810
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
switched to http://perplexity.ai search engine some weeks ago - have not gone back to DDG; it works as you say, it cuts out that step in the process, it is better
From perplexity.ai
6:12 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
switched to http://perplexity.ai search engine some weeks ago - have not gone back to DDG; it works as you say, it cuts out that step in the process, it is better
From perplexity.ai
6:12 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827209241666494547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
General news - I don't pay because I don't care enough. And for rare things I care - I can't change anything, so it's of little use knowing the truth. For things I care and affect me and I need to know truth from falsehood - I pay.
6:00 AM · Aug 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
General news - I don't pay because I don't care enough. And for rare things I care - I can't change anything, so it's of little use knowing the truth. For things I care and affect me and I need to know truth from falsehood - I pay.
6:00 AM · Aug 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827038534139834827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks for doing gods work and bringing these imbeciles to attention so I add them to the /dev/null sink list (with "Show these posts" OFF) so I never see any of their output again; too bad this needs to be repeated by many, I wonder if there is a less manual labor way for this
6:41 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks for doing gods work and bringing these imbeciles to attention so I add them to the /dev/null sink list (with "Show these posts" OFF) so I never see any of their output again; too bad this needs to be repeated by many, I wonder if there is a less manual labor way for this
6:41 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827035597950615676
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... coming back to this, it occurred to me: looks there are things I have in common with the speaker. We both, seemingly - grew in socialist countries (prior to 1990), learned to program on home computers where one gets to experience the whole stack, from Basic to assembler to hardware, are familiar with (Shannon) Information theory and its applications in computing. I wonder - maybe that's why it seems so clear and straight forward what he presents? But I don't have a good answer why this talk resonate so well with me tbh.
6:30 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... coming back to this, it occurred to me: looks there are things I have in common with the speaker. We both, seemingly - grew in socialist countries (prior to 1990), learned to program on home computers where one gets to experience the whole stack, from Basic to assembler to hardware, are familiar with (Shannon) Information theory and its applications in computing. I wonder - maybe that's why it seems so clear and straight forward what he presents? But I don't have a good answer why this talk resonate so well with me tbh.
6:30 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827025234261680482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - @GnuOctave (now I version 9!!) when I tried it last at version 6 I thought - well, this is better than matlab was for the best part of me using matlab! It's amazing - kudos to the developers. Even if I don't think it will ever be widely used. :-(
5:48 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - @GnuOctave (now I version 9!!) when I tried it last at version 6 I thought - well, this is better than matlab was for the best part of me using matlab! It's amazing - kudos to the developers. Even if I don't think it will ever be widely used. :-(
5:48 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827023229871128765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😊 - dva momenta.
1) Koga doagav vo MK (zivam vo UK od 1998-ma), luge poznati rodnini prijateli mi kazuvaa mene, ne me prasuvaa, tuku mu kazuvaa, sto e kako e vo London-Anglija-UK. 😂😂 Obicno - ke me prasaat kako voved nesto, jas ke otvoram usta da raskazam, ama posle prvite par zborovi, sogovornikot ke pocne da mi raskazuva mene, sto e kako e kaj mene vo UK. Jas malku ke se boram da objasnam, ama obicno drugiot ke me nadzbori. 😂😂 Posle vidov edno intervju na Goran Stefanovski, kade opisa slicen moment, i sfativ - ne sum bil samo jas. I na drugi im se slucuvalo. 😊
2) Koga vidov vo UK kolku se Helenisti (klasicna Grcija i sl) - mi padna nesto cudno. Nie ucevme za isto vo skolo, ama uvecme kako Aristotel i dr da bile na nekoja druga planeta, kako nesto mnogu dalecno, sto nas ne ne tangira? Iako ziveeme na 200km dalecina od kade grcive ziveela. A ovie of UK - druga kultura, drogo vreme drugi i mileniumi(!) duri, zad sedum morinja i planini - pa si gi zedoa kako da se nivni, urnek, ideal, kakvi anglicanite vo 19-ti vek sakaat da bidat. Iako gi deli cel kontinent i 2000 god od taa kultura.
Go figure. Se e do kulturata, do zelbite - sto sakame da bideme, kako se gledame sebe si.
5:40 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😊 - dva momenta.
1) Koga doagav vo MK (zivam vo UK od 1998-ma), luge poznati rodnini prijateli mi kazuvaa mene, ne me prasuvaa, tuku mu kazuvaa, sto e kako e vo London-Anglija-UK. 😂😂 Obicno - ke me prasaat kako voved nesto, jas ke otvoram usta da raskazam, ama posle prvite par zborovi, sogovornikot ke pocne da mi raskazuva mene, sto e kako e kaj mene vo UK. Jas malku ke se boram da objasnam, ama obicno drugiot ke me nadzbori. 😂😂 Posle vidov edno intervju na Goran Stefanovski, kade opisa slicen moment, i sfativ - ne sum bil samo jas. I na drugi im se slucuvalo. 😊
2) Koga vidov vo UK kolku se Helenisti (klasicna Grcija i sl) - mi padna nesto cudno. Nie ucevme za isto vo skolo, ama uvecme kako Aristotel i dr da bile na nekoja druga planeta, kako nesto mnogu dalecno, sto nas ne ne tangira? Iako ziveeme na 200km dalecina od kade grcive ziveela. A ovie of UK - druga kultura, drogo vreme drugi i mileniumi(!) duri, zad sedum morinja i planini - pa si gi zedoa kako da se nivni, urnek, ideal, kakvi anglicanite vo 19-ti vek sakaat da bidat. Iako gi deli cel kontinent i 2000 god od taa kultura.
Go figure. Se e do kulturata, do zelbite - sto sakame da bideme, kako se gledame sebe si.
5:40 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827018498301923501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Getting in the head of a crazy is futile as it's a random soup. Things will change there from day to day with little rime or reason. Maybe he's confused, maybe he's simply for- whatever his opponents are anti-. I had a relative that succumbed to mental illness sadly ultimately - but: witnessing his brain working in real-time was irreplaceable lesson that keeps giving. Human mental variability is unfathomably large. No.1 mistaken assumption we make is "the other guy is like me".
5:22 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Getting in the head of a crazy is futile as it's a random soup. Things will change there from day to day with little rime or reason. Maybe he's confused, maybe he's simply for- whatever his opponents are anti-. I had a relative that succumbed to mental illness sadly ultimately - but: witnessing his brain working in real-time was irreplaceable lesson that keeps giving. Human mental variability is unfathomably large. No.1 mistaken assumption we make is "the other guy is like me".
5:22 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827014830441599181
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As long as the brain dead @X engagement algos reward that - it will keep happening. Heya @elonmusk - you and investors are writing down the investment paying for this cr*p already. Given you already paid - how about doing the right thing, changing the algos to*not* reward brain dead behaviour and keep neutral. The cleverer stuff will float up on its own, no intervention needed. Who knows? God willing - you may recoup your investments yet and make some extra. Stranger things have happened. Do the right thing - not the stupid thing.
5:07 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As long as the brain dead @X engagement algos reward that - it will keep happening. Heya @elonmusk - you and investors are writing down the investment paying for this cr*p already. Given you already paid - how about doing the right thing, changing the algos to*not* reward brain dead behaviour and keep neutral. The cleverer stuff will float up on its own, no intervention needed. Who knows? God willing - you may recoup your investments yet and make some extra. Stranger things have happened. Do the right thing - not the stupid thing.
5:07 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1827010371737051420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe so — I don't have extensive experience with R, having only used it on and off without really pushing its boundaries. Matlab, on the other hand, I’ve used extensively. It’s rock solid, especially with its matrix engine, which I’ve always found incredibly reliable. I just wish it were open source or free software.
When it comes to Python’s numpy and pandas libraries, while they’re powerful tools, the fact that they’re not native parts of the language does show. They get the job done, but in an ideal world, we data people could have achieved more with a more integrated approach. Julia had potential but arrived too late, and relying on LLVM held it back from truly taking off.
4:49 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe so — I don't have extensive experience with R, having only used it on and off without really pushing its boundaries. Matlab, on the other hand, I’ve used extensively. It’s rock solid, especially with its matrix engine, which I’ve always found incredibly reliable. I just wish it were open source or free software.
When it comes to Python’s numpy and pandas libraries, while they’re powerful tools, the fact that they’re not native parts of the language does show. They get the job done, but in an ideal world, we data people could have achieved more with a more integrated approach. Julia had potential but arrived too late, and relying on LLVM held it back from truly taking off.
4:49 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826998310634176870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusingly - it was the first ebook (or one of the first) to be remotely deleted on UK customers' Kindles, when Amazon UK found out to that the company that sold them the UK rights didn't own those rights themselves. It never gets not funny that 🤣🤣🤣
4:01 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusingly - it was the first ebook (or one of the first) to be remotely deleted on UK customers' Kindles, when Amazon UK found out to that the company that sold them the UK rights didn't own those rights themselves. It never gets not funny that 🤣🤣🤣
4:01 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826993612631970033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is wild 🤯😱 There must be at least three full length movies there waiting on their pixar - some AI video generator? - to make them
youtube.com
The Inner Life of the Cell by Harvard and HHMI narrated by Tydell
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=dp6qRNNGPj4
The Inner Life of the Cell by Harvard and HHMIThis is just me showing you how much you've already learned about biology.
3:43 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is wild 🤯😱 There must be at least three full length movies there waiting on their pixar - some AI video generator? - to make them
youtube.com
The Inner Life of the Cell by Harvard and HHMI narrated by Tydell
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=dp6qRNNGPj4
The Inner Life of the Cell by Harvard and HHMIThis is just me showing you how much you've already learned about biology.
3:43 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826986038461349943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The USD can't "flow out" of the US system. This is toddler lever ignorance. USD can only exist in the US system. So it's impossible to flow out, b/c it can't exist "out", it can only exist "in". ffs
3:13 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The USD can't "flow out" of the US system. This is toddler lever ignorance. USD can only exist in the US system. So it's impossible to flow out, b/c it can't exist "out", it can only exist "in". ffs
3:13 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826974932422590765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep, spherical stupidity, stupid no matter what angle this is viewed from; the political system is as broken as .@RoryStewartUK and .@Dominic2306 keep telling us
Quote
JWExTheSpa @SpaJw · Aug 22
This is pitiful. No other word for it. Harming the UK’s economy and denying young people huge opportunities because the Daily Mail and Sun will write horrible headlines they will write anyway is utterly pathetic. https://theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/aug/22/uk-ministers-rule-out-joining-eu-youth-free-movement-scheme
2:29 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep, spherical stupidity, stupid no matter what angle this is viewed from; the political system is as broken as .@RoryStewartUK and .@Dominic2306 keep telling us
Quote
JWExTheSpa @SpaJw · Aug 22
This is pitiful. No other word for it. Harming the UK’s economy and denying young people huge opportunities because the Daily Mail and Sun will write horrible headlines they will write anyway is utterly pathetic. https://theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/aug/22/uk-ministers-rule-out-joining-eu-youth-free-movement-scheme
2:29 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826939596581527601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought US default is 50:50 and it's very hard to shift votes either side. Victory is 52:48-ish, and landslide is 55:45.
12:08 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought US default is 50:50 and it's very hard to shift votes either side. Victory is 52:48-ish, and landslide is 55:45.
12:08 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826938239321539007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see why physicists (and everyone else too) would want ML to be one neat closed form function, that can be written by hand on a whiteboard. But - and I am not a mathematician, haha 😂 - before or maybe in concert with searching for it, it's only fair to consider - does it exist? Maybe it does not exist? And all this searching thing is a waste of time. In analogy of how ML arose from CS and neuroscience people being mostly ignorant and or ignoring classical statistics (and esp frequentist stats) and just pushing forward with "whatever works" (c.f. Breiman's "Two Cultures").
12:03 PM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see why physicists (and everyone else too) would want ML to be one neat closed form function, that can be written by hand on a whiteboard. But - and I am not a mathematician, haha 😂 - before or maybe in concert with searching for it, it's only fair to consider - does it exist? Maybe it does not exist? And all this searching thing is a waste of time. In analogy of how ML arose from CS and neuroscience people being mostly ignorant and or ignoring classical statistics (and esp frequentist stats) and just pushing forward with "whatever works" (c.f. Breiman's "Two Cultures").
12:03 PM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826928909859885122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
toddlerism manifest 🤷♂️🤷♂️
11:26 AM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
toddlerism manifest 🤷♂️🤷♂️
11:26 AM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826925511181795765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 I leave it to him. As a general rule - I find trying to get into other people's heads & speculating unproductive. I don't really know how my thoughts came to my head causing me to type this in the 1st instance! 😂 I'd not dare speculate about another person. 😇
11:12 AM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 I leave it to him. As a general rule - I find trying to get into other people's heads & speculating unproductive. I don't really know how my thoughts came to my head causing me to type this in the 1st instance! 😂 I'd not dare speculate about another person. 😇
11:12 AM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826899589313507772
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To govern is to choose. It's all choices, choices you make - nothing is preordained. Most people and esp the most affected ones are ever more aware. You were given a lot, a thumping majority - do something useful with it. Excuses will not do you much good for much longer.
9:29 AM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To govern is to choose. It's all choices, choices you make - nothing is preordained. Most people and esp the most affected ones are ever more aware. You were given a lot, a thumping majority - do something useful with it. Excuses will not do you much good for much longer.
9:29 AM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826898002218299415
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me, at some level of abstraction - yes. I'm not the right person for this - as I don't understand what the big deal with conciseness is anyway. I don't expect if I'd drill literally I'd find compiled machine code in. More like distinguishing between the invariants (underlying laws) that have to be obeyed by any intelligences (c.f. the .@drmichaellevin
ref), and the underlying implementations (that can vary), whatever they maybe. Like - we have planes that have wings (like birds) but don't flap them (unlike birds).
9:23 AM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me, at some level of abstraction - yes. I'm not the right person for this - as I don't understand what the big deal with conciseness is anyway. I don't expect if I'd drill literally I'd find compiled machine code in. More like distinguishing between the invariants (underlying laws) that have to be obeyed by any intelligences (c.f. the .@drmichaellevin
ref), and the underlying implementations (that can vary), whatever they maybe. Like - we have planes that have wings (like birds) but don't flap them (unlike birds).
9:23 AM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826889593506914626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Matlab matrix engine is excellent. Syntax where matrix is the basic type helps a lot. I cringe every time I read numpy (or even worse pandas) and mutter "another case where worse is better wins". Wish they open sourced the engine and the basic language ages ago. And made their $$$ on toolboxes built on the top of it, their interop, GUI, ease of use, documentation, etc.
8:49 AM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Matlab matrix engine is excellent. Syntax where matrix is the basic type helps a lot. I cringe every time I read numpy (or even worse pandas) and mutter "another case where worse is better wins". Wish they open sourced the engine and the basic language ages ago. And made their $$$ on toolboxes built on the top of it, their interop, GUI, ease of use, documentation, etc.
8:49 AM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826883147302097213
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know - but feel just saying "the state" as if it's a real creature is letting us off the hook too easily. Yeah it was the state, but that's just people, like me and you. They have names and surnames. The sufferers deserve to know who the ones inflicting the suffering, wholly or partially, by action or inaction, were.
8:24 AM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know - but feel just saying "the state" as if it's a real creature is letting us off the hook too easily. Yeah it was the state, but that's just people, like me and you. They have names and surnames. The sufferers deserve to know who the ones inflicting the suffering, wholly or partially, by action or inaction, were.
8:24 AM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826879415550177483
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was educational, inspirational, provocative food for thought (and tended to a personal "plenty stuff we don't know - what's the big deal with this one" 🙃 bias, haha 😇) - "We Are All Software" by Joscha Bach (.@Plinz
) https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM&t=370s
. Loved this new/re-reading - 😄
Image
8:09 AM · Aug 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was educational, inspirational, provocative food for thought (and tended to a personal "plenty stuff we don't know - what's the big deal with this one" 🙃 bias, haha 😇) - "We Are All Software" by Joscha Bach (.@Plinz
) https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM&t=370s
. Loved this new/re-reading - 😄
Image
8:09 AM · Aug 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826689375708848618
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? - no! I am an immigrant. I came to my new country by chance (to do a PhD). I stayed because I prefer this/current culture, over the old/previous culture where I grew up. Why would I've stayed here/upended my life if preferred it the other way around??
7:34 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What? - no! I am an immigrant. I came to my new country by chance (to do a PhD). I stayed because I prefer this/current culture, over the old/previous culture where I grew up. Why would I've stayed here/upended my life if preferred it the other way around??
7:34 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826661337671303212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Golden! Every parent in the 80s: "Don't watch TV, don't sit on the computer, don't play games!" Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting at the computer was the best thing I did. Games financed GPUs (thanks to parents footing the bill—forever grateful 🙏), and now those GPUs are bringing us AI, Babelfish, AlphaFold, and other miracles. 😅 #FullCircle
5:42 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Golden! Every parent in the 80s: "Don't watch TV, don't sit on the computer, don't play games!" Fast forward 40 years—turns out sitting at the computer was the best thing I did. Games financed GPUs (thanks to parents footing the bill—forever grateful 🙏), and now those GPUs are bringing us AI, Babelfish, AlphaFold, and other miracles. 😅 #FullCircle
5:42 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826658290279088141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 Epa sega seti se: i za se drugo sto pisuvaat, isto tolku znaat, isto tolku proveruvaat, isto tolku e vistinito. Nemoj da mislis deka za drugo e poinako! Cest na isklucoci. Ima duri i ime - "Gell-Mann amnesia" - guglaj i ke procitas.
5:30 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 Epa sega seti se: i za se drugo sto pisuvaat, isto tolku znaat, isto tolku proveruvaat, isto tolku e vistinito. Nemoj da mislis deka za drugo e poinako! Cest na isklucoci. Ima duri i ime - "Gell-Mann amnesia" - guglaj i ke procitas.
5:30 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826648087034822680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I like X/Twitter, that's why I'm here. By $$$ I didn't mean the $100 p.a. I pay. I meant - I would not trust EM with my savings, assets, life and limb... etc
4:50 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I like X/Twitter, that's why I'm here. By $$$ I didn't mean the $100 p.a. I pay. I meant - I would not trust EM with my savings, assets, life and limb... etc
4:50 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826642674432024615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No idea why consciousness is such a big deal—enough to have its own "hard problem" (of consciousness). My working hypothesis was: "I'm just too stupid to get it." 😂 But then @Plinz came to my rescue yesterday with "We Are All Software" (highly recommend!):
https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM&t=370s
So nope, not going back to the "I'm too stupid" for me—no sirree! 😅
4:28 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No idea why consciousness is such a big deal—enough to have its own "hard problem" (of consciousness). My working hypothesis was: "I'm just too stupid to get it." 😂 But then @Plinz came to my rescue yesterday with "We Are All Software" (highly recommend!):
https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM&t=370s
So nope, not going back to the "I'm too stupid" for me—no sirree! 😅
4:28 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826625096888573991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't foresee a path, but then I can't foresee much, so that tells me little. Just a prior - don't want any single entity to have too much power over me. If that can be avoided - then it's for the better.
3:18 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't foresee a path, but then I can't foresee much, so that tells me little. Just a prior - don't want any single entity to have too much power over me. If that can be avoided - then it's for the better.
3:18 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826602063075164584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I like X, Tesla, Starlink etc. I would hate to have a dictator - however benevolent it may seem to some/malevolent to others - to control my bank balances, my government, the laws I have to obey etc. He's done plenty things great, long it may continue. But not looking forward to him ruling my world. No one person should have that much power.
1:47 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I like X, Tesla, Starlink etc. I would hate to have a dictator - however benevolent it may seem to some/malevolent to others - to control my bank balances, my government, the laws I have to obey etc. He's done plenty things great, long it may continue. But not looking forward to him ruling my world. No one person should have that much power.
1:47 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826592477039485038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Related - this was a good listen (got to it only yesterday)
youtube.com
Richard Rhodes - Oppenheimer, Spies, AI, & Armageddon
It was a tremendous honor & pleasure to interview Richard Rhodes, author of The Making of the Atomic BombWe discuss: - similarities between AI progress & Man...
1:09 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Related - this was a good listen (got to it only yesterday)
youtube.com
Richard Rhodes - Oppenheimer, Spies, AI, & Armageddon
It was a tremendous honor & pleasure to interview Richard Rhodes, author of The Making of the Atomic BombWe discuss: - similarities between AI progress & Man...
1:09 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826591421006315602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Useless no-results nobody, good only to himself and feathering his own nest, bad for everyone else. Still - serves some purpose: as long as jenricks achieve high office and influence, we know the political system needs improvement.
1:05 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Useless no-results nobody, good only to himself and feathering his own nest, bad for everyone else. Still - serves some purpose: as long as jenricks achieve high office and influence, we know the political system needs improvement.
1:05 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826590670376907165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many political systems have the separation between a President (or Monarch - in e.g. UK) typically controlling the army too, and Prime Minister/Government/Parliament controlling the laws of the country etc. Not sure if how that separation works in the US.
1:02 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many political systems have the separation between a President (or Monarch - in e.g. UK) typically controlling the army too, and Prime Minister/Government/Parliament controlling the laws of the country etc. Not sure if how that separation works in the US.
1:02 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826589787488182428
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information theory is floors 2-3, probability theory is ground floor and floor 1. It's one and the same building. Upper floors 5, 6, ... are still built on as we are writing this tbh.
12:58 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information theory is floors 2-3, probability theory is ground floor and floor 1. It's one and the same building. Upper floors 5, 6, ... are still built on as we are writing this tbh.
12:58 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826582579916529785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Take courage - it was ever thus. Most best things humanity ever achieved were done against sizable opposition (at least 50:50 - or even worse), and largely by the beneficiaries to the said changes. It's a thankless task as you will well know. 😄
12:29 PM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Take courage - it was ever thus. Most best things humanity ever achieved were done against sizable opposition (at least 50:50 - or even worse), and largely by the beneficiaries to the said changes. It's a thankless task as you will well know. 😄
12:29 PM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826568726918889809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. 😊 Noone buys back ICE car after driving EV. Noone will ask "I want human driver so I can hear his shittalk and choice of music" once robotaxis are the norm. Us pple we opine on random stuff without much brain engagement to make our lifes more interesting. Not b/c we are into guessing the future or finding some deep truths. 😆
11:34 AM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. 😊 Noone buys back ICE car after driving EV. Noone will ask "I want human driver so I can hear his shittalk and choice of music" once robotaxis are the norm. Us pple we opine on random stuff without much brain engagement to make our lifes more interesting. Not b/c we are into guessing the future or finding some deep truths. 😆
11:34 AM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826564074085232848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... well - provided it's between 0 and 1, exclusive (0,1) 😇
11:16 AM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... well - provided it's between 0 and 1, exclusive (0,1) 😇
11:16 AM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826563490963656985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Sure - I don't disagree with that argument. However - I feel it fails to engage properly my argument (and my nagging suspicion): not this price spike, but all future price spikes.
I see how {personal,situational} pricing is practically possible now with computers, AI and personal surveillance. Atm seller asking price is equal regardless of 1) buyer identity 2) circumstance. Price spiking is deviation in #2, and plenty do it (airlines). Airlines are trying deviating from #1 and that is getting pushback. This is worth the attention b/c previously asking price tailoring to #1 and #2 was not very practical, it was not done a lot. But it's becoming practical now. I believe it should be for the better, as better pricing means better feedback signalling means better production means better consumption means better life for us. 😀
My nagging suspicion is: what becomes of the group cooperation and competition, of the society, if we all engage in mass perfectly rational haggling like that? Maybe AI will be the solution too: my LJ personal AI haggling with RyanAir AI agent for the best outcome for both. 😁 However, then the next worry: will my LJ model will as good as RyanAir model? Or will RyanAir - by virtue of being able to plough huge resource in it, and have all flights data - have the upper hand and always come on top when competing with my LJ model? Will the LJ model then have to cooperate with the yours MP model, share info resource etc, to stand a better chance in the competitive haggling? And so on 😇
11:14 AM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Sure - I don't disagree with that argument. However - I feel it fails to engage properly my argument (and my nagging suspicion): not this price spike, but all future price spikes.
I see how {personal,situational} pricing is practically possible now with computers, AI and personal surveillance. Atm seller asking price is equal regardless of 1) buyer identity 2) circumstance. Price spiking is deviation in #2, and plenty do it (airlines). Airlines are trying deviating from #1 and that is getting pushback. This is worth the attention b/c previously asking price tailoring to #1 and #2 was not very practical, it was not done a lot. But it's becoming practical now. I believe it should be for the better, as better pricing means better feedback signalling means better production means better consumption means better life for us. 😀
My nagging suspicion is: what becomes of the group cooperation and competition, of the society, if we all engage in mass perfectly rational haggling like that? Maybe AI will be the solution too: my LJ personal AI haggling with RyanAir AI agent for the best outcome for both. 😁 However, then the next worry: will my LJ model will as good as RyanAir model? Or will RyanAir - by virtue of being able to plough huge resource in it, and have all flights data - have the upper hand and always come on top when competing with my LJ model? Will the LJ model then have to cooperate with the yours MP model, share info resource etc, to stand a better chance in the competitive haggling? And so on 😇
11:14 AM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826555237722636483
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and UK is introducing one as well afaik. All countries are moving towards electronic pre-registration of passengers. In my book, in order of preference best to worst: 1) no barriers, freedom 2) electronic pass 3) paper pass (passport). Given we fell from grace with brexit from best 1 -> to bad 3, moving back to 2 is an improvement afaics. Yeah there's a cost to that. I'll gladly pay the peanuts fee to shave off an hour of queuing I guess.
10:41 AM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and UK is introducing one as well afaik. All countries are moving towards electronic pre-registration of passengers. In my book, in order of preference best to worst: 1) no barriers, freedom 2) electronic pass 3) paper pass (passport). Given we fell from grace with brexit from best 1 -> to bad 3, moving back to 2 is an improvement afaics. Yeah there's a cost to that. I'll gladly pay the peanuts fee to shave off an hour of queuing I guess.
10:41 AM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826533392352948287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what "MS science" exactly but don't see why "aura" can't be electromagnetic field of some sorts. Heck - here is a good take on "spirits" and similar, haha 😁😇
https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM
TBF it never stops being funny when pple with great certainty proclaim that sth or other "can't be done", "will never be done", or "it's not" - and then few short years after, the "impossible" thing is done, or becomes so. 😂😂
youtube.com
Joscha Bach - Digital Software Spirits
Dr. Joscha Bach introduces a surprising idea called "cyber animism" in his AGI-24 talk - the notion that nature might be full of self-organizing software age...
9:14 AM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what "MS science" exactly but don't see why "aura" can't be electromagnetic field of some sorts. Heck - here is a good take on "spirits" and similar, haha 😁😇
https://youtube.com/watch?v=34VOI_oo-qM
TBF it never stops being funny when pple with great certainty proclaim that sth or other "can't be done", "will never be done", or "it's not" - and then few short years after, the "impossible" thing is done, or becomes so. 😂😂
youtube.com
Joscha Bach - Digital Software Spirits
Dr. Joscha Bach introduces a surprising idea called "cyber animism" in his AGI-24 talk - the notion that nature might be full of self-organizing software age...
9:14 AM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826508597812965453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah, that particular law is fine. The guy was sentenced for much more. Can't be bothered to to read up on the case - but don't think you read up either. You can read up more here if you are interested
https://x.com/sundersays/status/1826339566217056287
I'm a 1st gen UK citizen, my kids the 2nd. Forceful repatriation of my kids to the country of their parents (that this blood-and-soil ideologue was working on) is not something I support. US has US laws, and UK has UK laws. US had racial quotas at universities until recently. UK didn't. Stay with US. If I wanted to live like the US - I'd have emigrated in the US. I prefer UK. UK laws and systems have faults (esp the infamous online bill; plus - no one is perfect) - but this is not one of those cases.
Quote
Sunder Katwala @sundersays · Aug 21
Replying to @elonmusk
Bullshit. He was jailed for running a 3000-person network to incite racial hatred. "Its OK to be white" is lawful but "second generation? Third? Fourth? You have to go back" isn't!
Having replatformed Patriotic Alternative X banned Melia in Feb 2023 for inciting racist violence!
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7:35 AM · Aug 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah, that particular law is fine. The guy was sentenced for much more. Can't be bothered to to read up on the case - but don't think you read up either. You can read up more here if you are interested
https://x.com/sundersays/status/1826339566217056287
I'm a 1st gen UK citizen, my kids the 2nd. Forceful repatriation of my kids to the country of their parents (that this blood-and-soil ideologue was working on) is not something I support. US has US laws, and UK has UK laws. US had racial quotas at universities until recently. UK didn't. Stay with US. If I wanted to live like the US - I'd have emigrated in the US. I prefer UK. UK laws and systems have faults (esp the infamous online bill; plus - no one is perfect) - but this is not one of those cases.
Quote
Sunder Katwala @sundersays · Aug 21
Replying to @elonmusk
Bullshit. He was jailed for running a 3000-person network to incite racial hatred. "Its OK to be white" is lawful but "second generation? Third? Fourth? You have to go back" isn't!
Having replatformed Patriotic Alternative X banned Melia in Feb 2023 for inciting racist violence!
Show more
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7:35 AM · Aug 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826283282541277395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
on the contrary - the non-event that is that fake, is an argument that no regulation is needed tbh
4:40 PM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
on the contrary - the non-event that is that fake, is an argument that no regulation is needed tbh
4:40 PM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826202113111982187
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another day another instance of stunning ignorance. Don't ITV have researchers as part of the programme production? The guests cd have mentioned it (if they knew), but the hosts not giving that context to their viewers is pretty poor.
11:18 AM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another day another instance of stunning ignorance. Don't ITV have researchers as part of the programme production? The guests cd have mentioned it (if they knew), but the hosts not giving that context to their viewers is pretty poor.
11:18 AM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826218519660298336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not hard. Found them easy, natural. I started on C64 with Basic and then 6502 assembly. The 1st type learned there is "immediate value" (like - load 3 in register A is "LDA #3"), then the 2nd type one learns is "load value from address" (like - load the byte at address 3003 to register A is "LDA $3003"). So that 3003 is the pointer. That instruction is stored at some address X: AD 03 30. Also one learned to turn that $3003 into say $3004 if needed by incrementing the byte at address X+1. Helped that I already had some idea - at least on paper - of how a CPU, ROM, RAM etc connected together.
12:23 PM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not hard. Found them easy, natural. I started on C64 with Basic and then 6502 assembly. The 1st type learned there is "immediate value" (like - load 3 in register A is "LDA #3"), then the 2nd type one learns is "load value from address" (like - load the byte at address 3003 to register A is "LDA $3003"). So that 3003 is the pointer. That instruction is stored at some address X: AD 03 30. Also one learned to turn that $3003 into say $3004 if needed by incrementing the byte at address X+1. Helped that I already had some idea - at least on paper - of how a CPU, ROM, RAM etc connected together.
12:23 PM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826260387529982435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can you dial down the catastrophising please? I can just about excuse the scaremongering if you really truly believe it. If you're doing it b/c it's profitable - that's inexcusable. Humanity threats are more like nuclear war, or an asteroid hitting the earth. Information explosion - don't think so much.
3:09 PM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can you dial down the catastrophising please? I can just about excuse the scaremongering if you really truly believe it. If you're doing it b/c it's profitable - that's inexcusable. Humanity threats are more like nuclear war, or an asteroid hitting the earth. Information explosion - don't think so much.
3:09 PM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826257771592819021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. Bank tellers with old style character terminals knew their menu choices by heart, so they'd just barrage lightning fast on the keyboard sth like 3-2-7-4-1 and get in the right screen in a second. Last time I needed help of a human and went to a bank (few years ago) I saw it took them tens of seconds of click-clicking at the right places in the GUI. Slower by a factor of x10-x20 times.
2:59 PM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. Bank tellers with old style character terminals knew their menu choices by heart, so they'd just barrage lightning fast on the keyboard sth like 3-2-7-4-1 and get in the right screen in a second. Last time I needed help of a human and went to a bank (few years ago) I saw it took them tens of seconds of click-clicking at the right places in the GUI. Slower by a factor of x10-x20 times.
2:59 PM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826249925887246591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not-amusing (and wild) that in N-dim space, there's almost no space left in the middle. This comes from comparing the volume of an N-cube vs. an N-ball. If space is lacking, so is probability mass, right? Meaning our centrality measures (like the mean), which we use to represent distributions with a single number, become increasingly unrepresentative. Could this be why modern ML sidesteps classical statistics yet still outperforms it (shoutout to Breiman's "Two Cultures")? 🤔 Is there room for better, more N-dim representative alternatives to the mean? Also—can we, or can't we, ignore how Cartesian coordinates (N-cube), Euclidean distance, and the Gaussian distribution are all tightly tied together in this?
2:28 PM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's never not-amusing (and wild) that in N-dim space, there's almost no space left in the middle. This comes from comparing the volume of an N-cube vs. an N-ball. If space is lacking, so is probability mass, right? Meaning our centrality measures (like the mean), which we use to represent distributions with a single number, become increasingly unrepresentative. Could this be why modern ML sidesteps classical statistics yet still outperforms it (shoutout to Breiman's "Two Cultures")? 🤔 Is there room for better, more N-dim representative alternatives to the mean? Also—can we, or can't we, ignore how Cartesian coordinates (N-cube), Euclidean distance, and the Gaussian distribution are all tightly tied together in this?
2:28 PM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826225954869617066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. And need to think of the next logical step: who received that 7B? Who is on the other side of that debt? I am amazed how that's never reported. For every debit, there's a corresponding credit.😊 So those 7B were income for someone out there, and very good news indeed.
12:52 PM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. And need to think of the next logical step: who received that 7B? Who is on the other side of that debt? I am amazed how that's never reported. For every debit, there's a corresponding credit.😊 So those 7B were income for someone out there, and very good news indeed.
12:52 PM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826174743386399073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - humans are the trusting species, the rare one where "I trust you" is the default. I thought "fool me once... twice..." is good guide, and by three strikes one would be out. However - not where people want to believe. There you can fool many people all the time.
9:29 AM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - humans are the trusting species, the rare one where "I trust you" is the default. I thought "fool me once... twice..." is good guide, and by three strikes one would be out. However - not where people want to believe. There you can fool many people all the time.
9:29 AM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826171552032776649
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - just have automated 0.2% tax on all bank transfers (I send $100 bank transfer, you receive $99.8), non-avoidable, and be done with the stupid tax nonsense. Much time & energy spent on trivial non-productive displacement activity, too little on stuff that matters.
9:16 AM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - just have automated 0.2% tax on all bank transfers (I send $100 bank transfer, you receive $99.8), non-avoidable, and be done with the stupid tax nonsense. Much time & energy spent on trivial non-productive displacement activity, too little on stuff that matters.
9:16 AM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826159197039337745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like an anti-stoic movement. California is such a petri dish of ideas. Nothing is too "out there", willing to try everything.
8:27 AM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like an anti-stoic movement. California is such a petri dish of ideas. Nothing is too "out there", willing to try everything.
8:27 AM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826142893397967007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
with arms (step 1). then these arms will be pointed inwards in step 2. curious how reinvented state turns out. great experiment, in good service to humanity.
7:22 AM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
with arms (step 1). then these arms will be pointed inwards in step 2. curious how reinvented state turns out. great experiment, in good service to humanity.
7:22 AM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826131052856782892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I switched to using http://perplexity.ai as "search" - only it's not searching anymore, but answering a query. Only times I go back to Google search is when I type a name and just want to go to that organisation web site. (easy enough in FF search 🔎 dropbox)
From perplexity.ai
6:35 AM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I switched to using http://perplexity.ai as "search" - only it's not searching anymore, but answering a query. Only times I go back to Google search is when I type a name and just want to go to that organisation web site. (easy enough in FF search 🔎 dropbox)
From perplexity.ai
6:35 AM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1826121992279351657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, in a way, it's touching. There's something reminiscent of that same 'searching for connection' tendency in both early AI research and the early days of the Internet. It seems that connections are a fundamental requirement for intelligence, at many levels. I remember seeing a video of a single nerve cell under a microscope, extending in random directions, searching—until it finally touches a neighboring cell.
5:59 AM · Aug 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, in a way, it's touching. There's something reminiscent of that same 'searching for connection' tendency in both early AI research and the early days of the Internet. It seems that connections are a fundamental requirement for intelligence, at many levels. I remember seeing a video of a single nerve cell under a microscope, extending in random directions, searching—until it finally touches a neighboring cell.
5:59 AM · Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825975181547843679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, same here. I started with just the web interface on my computer, then moved on to my phone, then phone apps. Switched my search engine to http://perplexity.ai (still easy to fall back to good old DDG or Google via the FF dropdown), and now I'm trying @cursor_ai ... I can see how this will end up integrated into everything I do—X reading, wring (amazed I can't check this past Grok already??), web browsing, searching, email, and of course, daily coding. Even when I show my family the LLM summarizing or discussing philosophy and science, switching seamlessly between three languages in voice (OpenAI iPhone app), they're unimpressed. I'll probably have to buy myself a new phone with an NPU. But yeah—people who aren’t asking for something like this won’t be impressed, or if they are, they’ll see it as just a neat trick, like something out of a circus. And for sure, they won’t use it enthusiastically. 😆 You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make it drink. 😇
From perplexity.ai
8:16 PM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, same here. I started with just the web interface on my computer, then moved on to my phone, then phone apps. Switched my search engine to http://perplexity.ai (still easy to fall back to good old DDG or Google via the FF dropdown), and now I'm trying @cursor_ai ... I can see how this will end up integrated into everything I do—X reading, wring (amazed I can't check this past Grok already??), web browsing, searching, email, and of course, daily coding. Even when I show my family the LLM summarizing or discussing philosophy and science, switching seamlessly between three languages in voice (OpenAI iPhone app), they're unimpressed. I'll probably have to buy myself a new phone with an NPU. But yeah—people who aren’t asking for something like this won’t be impressed, or if they are, they’ll see it as just a neat trick, like something out of a circus. And for sure, they won’t use it enthusiastically. 😆 You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make it drink. 😇
From perplexity.ai
8:16 PM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825939800425456088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well done, good on the young developer. 👏👍
And this old(er) developer noticed a Chat panel that I've failed to notice on my @cursor_ai IDE previously and subsequently was helped to fix a misfiring crontab. Glad I saw this 😊
5:55 PM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well done, good on the young developer. 👏👍
And this old(er) developer noticed a Chat panel that I've failed to notice on my @cursor_ai IDE previously and subsequently was helped to fix a misfiring crontab. Glad I saw this 😊
5:55 PM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825889050596634832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
presume usual suspects will head this call soon. other believers maybe busy trading jpy. someone has to take care of them newly minted widows.
2:34 PM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
presume usual suspects will head this call soon. other believers maybe busy trading jpy. someone has to take care of them newly minted widows.
2:34 PM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825882705210339603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not disruptive at all - seems empirically evidenced. Like Photoshop vv. pictures. Another one for the @PessimistsArc . What is ongoing already and disruptive is the revelation that much of our elites are mediocre or worse, and much of us plebs are too. Hope Internet and AI and others tech are part of the solution addressing that. tbs
2:08 PM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not disruptive at all - seems empirically evidenced. Like Photoshop vv. pictures. Another one for the @PessimistsArc . What is ongoing already and disruptive is the revelation that much of our elites are mediocre or worse, and much of us plebs are too. Hope Internet and AI and others tech are part of the solution addressing that. tbs
2:08 PM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825855366220878324
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
when you form strong opinions and broadcast them on our screens, you owe it to yourself to drill into the sentencing reasoning detail. it's all available online. like your message and imo the law needs changing. ignorance is weakness that undermines that case.
12:20 PM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
when you form strong opinions and broadcast them on our screens, you owe it to yourself to drill into the sentencing reasoning detail. it's all available online. like your message and imo the law needs changing. ignorance is weakness that undermines that case.
12:20 PM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825877386908332277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nice - thanks! for anyone wanting to splice them together in a single pic -
$ montage polygenic-score-{1,2}of2.jpeg -tile 1x2 -geometry +0+0 polygenic-score.jpeg
1:47 PM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nice - thanks! for anyone wanting to splice them together in a single pic -
$ montage polygenic-score-{1,2}of2.jpeg -tile 1x2 -geometry +0+0 polygenic-score.jpeg
1:47 PM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825847072068599929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
our elites are just stunningly ignorant. media switch to Internet revealed it. hopeful it plays a role in fixing the revealed problem. tbs
11:47 AM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
our elites are just stunningly ignorant. media switch to Internet revealed it. hopeful it plays a role in fixing the revealed problem. tbs
11:47 AM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825845281046282635
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't care abt that, do care that you get it right; e.g. on rus-ukr you've been tad wrong
11:40 AM · Aug 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't care abt that, do care that you get it right; e.g. on rus-ukr you've been tad wrong
11:40 AM · Aug 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825666757283164342
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ It’s always amusing when people announce they’re leaving X on X. 🤷♂️ The iron law of social anything is that a single public square, where connections scale with the square (N^2) of the number of participants (N), will always have the upper hand over any challengers. The real value is in the connections, and those grow quadratically with the user base. Personally, I find my Twitter experience positive overall. It’s not too difficult if you avoid getting wrapped up in the hot topics of the day (though I understand that for public figures, engaging in them might be part of the job).
11:50 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
☺️ It’s always amusing when people announce they’re leaving X on X. 🤷♂️ The iron law of social anything is that a single public square, where connections scale with the square (N^2) of the number of participants (N), will always have the upper hand over any challengers. The real value is in the connections, and those grow quadratically with the user base. Personally, I find my Twitter experience positive overall. It’s not too difficult if you avoid getting wrapped up in the hot topics of the day (though I understand that for public figures, engaging in them might be part of the job).
11:50 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825653192136470637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds about right—what the top 0.01% have today, the median 50th percentile might achieve in a century or two. It’s reminiscent of J.G. Ballard’s Super-Cannes. Perhaps humans just aren't that adept at relating to one another. And maybe AI will out-human us in that regard.
10:56 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds about right—what the top 0.01% have today, the median 50th percentile might achieve in a century or two. It’s reminiscent of J.G. Ballard’s Super-Cannes. Perhaps humans just aren't that adept at relating to one another. And maybe AI will out-human us in that regard.
10:56 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825648282665718238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I may have enough, but I can’t, in good conscience, tell the other 8 billion people that they have enough too—sorry. I wouldn’t dare make that decision for them—especially when, as a UK median wage earner, I’m likely in the top 5% or better in the global income distribution.
10:37 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I may have enough, but I can’t, in good conscience, tell the other 8 billion people that they have enough too—sorry. I wouldn’t dare make that decision for them—especially when, as a UK median wage earner, I’m likely in the top 5% or better in the global income distribution.
10:37 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825637381573128438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good - but fyi the infamous UK laws have been on the books for 20 years now
9:54 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
good - but fyi the infamous UK laws have been on the books for 20 years now
9:54 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825626132726816953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for the thoughtful reply! I learned something new reading your response. I agree that there's definitely turmoil and realignment happening. I was amused to learn about the original populists (the Cross of Gold speech, etc.).
Fwiw, I believe much of this was set in motion by the change in communication mediums (from mainstream media to the Internet). The idea that "the medium is the message," meaning that the medium shapes and influences the types of messages it carries, seems accurate to me—especially at the higher level of societal influence. That said, it’s almost the opposite of what I’m used to in digital communication on the technical side of things. 😊
I feel like the Internet has caused a sort of turmoil similar to the upheaval brought by the Gutenberg press when the medium last changed. Since messages inspire ideas in people's heads, those ideas inevitably evolve.
I understand why some people are pessimistic about where things are heading, but I still believe we'll get through this. I think all of us will eventually step up and elevate our game in all the ways that matter in real life.
9:09 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for the thoughtful reply! I learned something new reading your response. I agree that there's definitely turmoil and realignment happening. I was amused to learn about the original populists (the Cross of Gold speech, etc.).
Fwiw, I believe much of this was set in motion by the change in communication mediums (from mainstream media to the Internet). The idea that "the medium is the message," meaning that the medium shapes and influences the types of messages it carries, seems accurate to me—especially at the higher level of societal influence. That said, it’s almost the opposite of what I’m used to in digital communication on the technical side of things. 😊
I feel like the Internet has caused a sort of turmoil similar to the upheaval brought by the Gutenberg press when the medium last changed. Since messages inspire ideas in people's heads, those ideas inevitably evolve.
I understand why some people are pessimistic about where things are heading, but I still believe we'll get through this. I think all of us will eventually step up and elevate our game in all the ways that matter in real life.
9:09 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825616528173420936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is like malfunctioning AI: the sole mission is to stay in power. Everything else is optional and possible.
8:31 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is like malfunctioning AI: the sole mission is to stay in power. Everything else is optional and possible.
8:31 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825602978365190250
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The state forces everyone to accept the money it issues, under threat of violence.
What am I missing? If my local CoOp refuses to take the £££ I have in my pocket rn, they break the law, ultimately go to jail, ultimately the CEO maybe beheaded in the Tower of London.
7:37 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The state forces everyone to accept the money it issues, under threat of violence.
What am I missing? If my local CoOp refuses to take the £££ I have in my pocket rn, they break the law, ultimately go to jail, ultimately the CEO maybe beheaded in the Tower of London.
7:37 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825600713575248382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, whole 2 days old, and our civilization and possibly the whole world have not collapsed from that incredible deep fake. Hurrah!! Bullet dodged there. I guess decel doomers maybe not 100% right after all?? Who knew! I'm shocked, shocked I tell you...
7:28 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, whole 2 days old, and our civilization and possibly the whole world have not collapsed from that incredible deep fake. Hurrah!! Bullet dodged there. I guess decel doomers maybe not 100% right after all?? Who knew! I'm shocked, shocked I tell you...
7:28 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825599208461840879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
another widow out there somewhere?
7:22 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
another widow out there somewhere?
7:22 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825590107081986251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah true - when your heart ❤️ is small, big brain 🧠 helps little
6:46 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah true - when your heart ❤️ is small, big brain 🧠 helps little
6:46 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825589363209650359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
with high enough N, every observed point in that N-dim space is an outlier 😎
6:43 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
with high enough N, every observed point in that N-dim space is an outlier 😎
6:43 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825584199111262533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was a good listen there. 👏👍Thanks for that and the commentary. 🙏
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PMUVqtXS0A
IDK why and how YT does not provide auto-transcription with all this AI going on... One of the many transcripts googleable (phew! ... still!) here
https://github.com/ociubotaru/transcripts/blob/main/Stanford_ECON295%E2%A7%B8CS323_I_2024_I_The_Age_of_AI,_Eric_Schmidt.txt
And with line numbers! Love the line numbers - how else does one reference??
Quote
MatthewBerman @MatthewBerman · Aug 18
Eric Schmidt, ex-CEO of Google, reveals how Artificial Intelligence (AI) is going to change EVERYTHING.
From agents to drones to energy, nothing will be the same.
Here's a full breakdown of his interview at Stanford University.
https://x.com/MatthewBerman/status/1825187881796952468
Show more
Embedded video
6:22 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was a good listen there. 👏👍Thanks for that and the commentary. 🙏
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PMUVqtXS0A
IDK why and how YT does not provide auto-transcription with all this AI going on... One of the many transcripts googleable (phew! ... still!) here
https://github.com/ociubotaru/transcripts/blob/main/Stanford_ECON295%E2%A7%B8CS323_I_2024_I_The_Age_of_AI,_Eric_Schmidt.txt
And with line numbers! Love the line numbers - how else does one reference??
Quote
MatthewBerman @MatthewBerman · Aug 18
Eric Schmidt, ex-CEO of Google, reveals how Artificial Intelligence (AI) is going to change EVERYTHING.
From agents to drones to energy, nothing will be the same.
Here's a full breakdown of his interview at Stanford University.
https://x.com/MatthewBerman/status/1825187881796952468
Show more
Embedded video
6:22 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825579264739004447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 yes, agreed - surprisingly emotive subject, economics! todo brush up on this, my younger did econ undergrad, maybe stepping on many toes here...
6:03 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 yes, agreed - surprisingly emotive subject, economics! todo brush up on this, my younger did econ undergrad, maybe stepping on many toes here...
6:03 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825578003738538132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a lot like that (and GPS included) in "The Entrepreneurial State" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Entrepreneurial_State by @MazzucatoM - right? But I presume you must know abt the book? Or are you referring to the running of GPS system not the building of it?
en.wikipedia.org
The Entrepreneurial State - Wikipedia
5:58 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a lot like that (and GPS included) in "The Entrepreneurial State" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Entrepreneurial_State by @MazzucatoM - right? But I presume you must know abt the book? Or are you referring to the running of GPS system not the building of it?
en.wikipedia.org
The Entrepreneurial State - Wikipedia
5:58 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825575311980765260
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The West is so lucky to have Putin as an enemy. All supporters & admirers of Alex Jones - please head to Moscow asap. If the West had any sense they'd organize charter flights for free. Alas we are not so lucky, the world is not that perfect. But still a good development this.
5:47 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The West is so lucky to have Putin as an enemy. All supporters & admirers of Alex Jones - please head to Moscow asap. If the West had any sense they'd organize charter flights for free. Alas we are not so lucky, the world is not that perfect. But still a good development this.
5:47 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825574396884349436
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
distributed to their mates - the assets owners
5:43 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
distributed to their mates - the assets owners
5:43 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825573557822484815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elite appreciation day today. Liked this - informative and funny in parts 😄😄
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
Sparked by a random "ignorant plebs think price gouging is bad, while it's actually good" paper. Thought - maybe the public’s time horizons are longer than we think. Perhaps they’re not just reacting to "this instance of price gouging" but are more concerned with the pattern of "all future price gougings." The question might be: if we allow this now, will society continue to function or begin to fall apart? If each individual, at every point in time, were perfectly rational and solely focused on their own utility for the next day, would the group as a whole still survive? Maybe groups that didn’t share this long-term perspective didn't make it through history.
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings on Elon, Techies in Politics, and New Elitism
Erik Torenberg and Antonio Garcia Martinez sit down with political scientist Dominic Cummings and discuss the San Francisco homelessness complex, the 2024 el...
5:40 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elite appreciation day today. Liked this - informative and funny in parts 😄😄
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
Sparked by a random "ignorant plebs think price gouging is bad, while it's actually good" paper. Thought - maybe the public’s time horizons are longer than we think. Perhaps they’re not just reacting to "this instance of price gouging" but are more concerned with the pattern of "all future price gougings." The question might be: if we allow this now, will society continue to function or begin to fall apart? If each individual, at every point in time, were perfectly rational and solely focused on their own utility for the next day, would the group as a whole still survive? Maybe groups that didn’t share this long-term perspective didn't make it through history.
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings on Elon, Techies in Politics, and New Elitism
Erik Torenberg and Antonio Garcia Martinez sit down with political scientist Dominic Cummings and discuss the San Francisco homelessness complex, the 2024 el...
5:40 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825558777053298986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusing. :-) Heard recently @antoniogm quip paraphrased "Europe does everything to help startups, not that much success; SF is - don't care, hate the techies/all is sh*t, and... - great success!"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
Can't find it rn to embed a time code - sorry. With all this AI stuff happening, there is still no auto-transcription for one to search easily, or even to khm-khm query the audio. So even if I remember it was said, it's in there - can't point to.
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings on Elon, Techies in Politics, and New Elitism
Erik Torenberg and Antonio Garcia Martinez sit down with political scientist Dominic Cummings and discuss the San Francisco homelessness complex, the 2024 el...
4:41 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusing. :-) Heard recently @antoniogm quip paraphrased "Europe does everything to help startups, not that much success; SF is - don't care, hate the techies/all is sh*t, and... - great success!"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
Can't find it rn to embed a time code - sorry. With all this AI stuff happening, there is still no auto-transcription for one to search easily, or even to khm-khm query the audio. So even if I remember it was said, it's in there - can't point to.
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings on Elon, Techies in Politics, and New Elitism
Erik Torenberg and Antonio Garcia Martinez sit down with political scientist Dominic Cummings and discuss the San Francisco homelessness complex, the 2024 el...
4:41 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825538594951606331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not cheap - but maybe competitive on price/performance and esp ease of use? I have roof solar+ battery+ inverter, and one can see - these guys are not into software, and likely their CEO-s aren't using their own product.
3:21 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not cheap - but maybe competitive on price/performance and esp ease of use? I have roof solar+ battery+ inverter, and one can see - these guys are not into software, and likely their CEO-s aren't using their own product.
3:21 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825530390007722474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you a member of the elite? If you are - how would you discern self-serving self-interest from value-add on some measure? I agree that elite - through selection and education - is value-add. Just not all the time, everywhere. That would be impossible. Plenty examples of the elite getting it wrong. Plenty getting it right too - that's why all civilizations have them, I guess.
2:48 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you a member of the elite? If you are - how would you discern self-serving self-interest from value-add on some measure? I agree that elite - through selection and education - is value-add. Just not all the time, everywhere. That would be impossible. Plenty examples of the elite getting it wrong. Plenty getting it right too - that's why all civilizations have them, I guess.
2:48 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825528865529163893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh, 😬 - brace, brace... 😨😱
Image
Quote
George Monbiot @GeorgeMonbiot · 9h
Interesting article in the FT on how the deeply sinister @iealondon, having not done nearly enough damage by shaping Liz Truss's mini-budget, is now trying to steer UK monetary policy in the direction demanded by #NigelRiot's Reform UK: https://ft.com/content/1836a2ae-57d0-473e-9605-ee82ca09d572
2:42 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh, 😬 - brace, brace... 😨😱
Image
Quote
George Monbiot @GeorgeMonbiot · 9h
Interesting article in the FT on how the deeply sinister @iealondon, having not done nearly enough damage by shaping Liz Truss's mini-budget, is now trying to steer UK monetary policy in the direction demanded by #NigelRiot's Reform UK: https://ft.com/content/1836a2ae-57d0-473e-9605-ee82ca09d572
2:42 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825525376262541785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Predicting the future is necessary, but not sufficient. A forecast is the start of a very long chain that should end with $$$ on the account. But it's not automatic. Other things, more mundane, need to happen too.
2:29 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Predicting the future is necessary, but not sufficient. A forecast is the start of a very long chain that should end with $$$ on the account. But it's not automatic. Other things, more mundane, need to happen too.
2:29 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825498849957355813
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the public’s time horizons are longer than we think. Perhaps they’re not just reacting to "this instance of price gouging" but are more concerned with the pattern of "all future price gougings." The question might be: if we allow this now, will society continue to function or begin to fall apart? If each individual, at every point in time, were perfectly rational and solely focused on their own utility for the next day, would the group as a whole still survive? Maybe groups that didn’t share this long-term perspective didn't make it through history.
12:43 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the public’s time horizons are longer than we think. Perhaps they’re not just reacting to "this instance of price gouging" but are more concerned with the pattern of "all future price gougings." The question might be: if we allow this now, will society continue to function or begin to fall apart? If each individual, at every point in time, were perfectly rational and solely focused on their own utility for the next day, would the group as a whole still survive? Maybe groups that didn’t share this long-term perspective didn't make it through history.
12:43 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825495825000144977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lindy effect?? Lifetimes of intellectual artifacts follow power law distribution.
Assume survival time is a random variable X with a Pareto distribution with p.d.f f(t)=c/t^(c+1) for t≥1, c>0.
If c>1, then expected X is E(X)=c/(c-1). Conditional expectation of X given X survived time k to now is E(X|X>k)=ck/(c-1). So expected additional life for X is ck/(c-1)–k=k/(c-1) and is proportional to the amount of life k seen so far. (special case c=2, the expected additional life equals the life seen so far)
(John D. Cook, https://johndcook.com/blog/2012/12/17/the-lindy-effect/)
12:31 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lindy effect?? Lifetimes of intellectual artifacts follow power law distribution.
Assume survival time is a random variable X with a Pareto distribution with p.d.f f(t)=c/t^(c+1) for t≥1, c>0.
If c>1, then expected X is E(X)=c/(c-1). Conditional expectation of X given X survived time k to now is E(X|X>k)=ck/(c-1). So expected additional life for X is ck/(c-1)–k=k/(c-1) and is proportional to the amount of life k seen so far. (special case c=2, the expected additional life equals the life seen so far)
(John D. Cook, https://johndcook.com/blog/2012/12/17/the-lindy-effect/)
12:31 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825492834960482664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One for your interests-
> The rich get richer and the poor do the best they can.
> They'll have to...
Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt at 42'30"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7PMUVqtXS0A&t=2550s
Transcript line 711:
https://github.com/ociubotaru/transcripts/blob/main/Stanford_ECON295%E2%A7%B8CS323_I_2024_I_The_Age_of_AI,_Eric_Schmidt.txt
He is talking about countries - but still interesting to hear.
From github.com
12:19 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One for your interests-
> The rich get richer and the poor do the best they can.
> They'll have to...
Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt at 42'30"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7PMUVqtXS0A&t=2550s
Transcript line 711:
https://github.com/ociubotaru/transcripts/blob/main/Stanford_ECON295%E2%A7%B8CS323_I_2024_I_The_Age_of_AI,_Eric_Schmidt.txt
He is talking about countries - but still interesting to hear.
From github.com
12:19 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825489427369517328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prasanjeto "zasto?" e relevantno. Moze ke se javat psiholozi i psihijatri ke dadat hipotezi. Moja licna hipoteza e: seuste se poveke kolektivisti otkolu individualisti. Vo prosek se prilicno kukavici, strav im "sam protiv site", strav im e i da kazat sto mislat kako mislat javno. (c.f. - 90% X akaunti od MK se pseudo-anonimni; se razbira ima nekakva posledica - iako ne kojznae kolku golema - ako kazam javno so ime i prezime). I posledovatelno - strav im e i nesto da napravat sami. I taka nekako - zaedno sme pojaki. Jas da se prijavam da otidam vo vojska sam mi e nekako nelagodno. Ama site da odat, pa i jas so niv site kako del of grupata site zaedno - malku mi e pomalku strasno. Jas licno kako del od edukacijata ex-MK, morav da naucam prvo da kazam "Jas", a ne prvo da kazam "Nie". Prvo "Jas", a 2ro, 3to ... etc "Nie" - a ne obratno. :-) moi 2p
12:06 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prasanjeto "zasto?" e relevantno. Moze ke se javat psiholozi i psihijatri ke dadat hipotezi. Moja licna hipoteza e: seuste se poveke kolektivisti otkolu individualisti. Vo prosek se prilicno kukavici, strav im "sam protiv site", strav im e i da kazat sto mislat kako mislat javno. (c.f. - 90% X akaunti od MK se pseudo-anonimni; se razbira ima nekakva posledica - iako ne kojznae kolku golema - ako kazam javno so ime i prezime). I posledovatelno - strav im e i nesto da napravat sami. I taka nekako - zaedno sme pojaki. Jas da se prijavam da otidam vo vojska sam mi e nekako nelagodno. Ama site da odat, pa i jas so niv site kako del of grupata site zaedno - malku mi e pomalku strasno. Jas licno kako del od edukacijata ex-MK, morav da naucam prvo da kazam "Jas", a ne prvo da kazam "Nie". Prvo "Jas", a 2ro, 3to ... etc "Nie" - a ne obratno. :-) moi 2p
12:06 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825476279031783832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Can do both: improve PR by deleting the cursed words "progressive tax" and replacing with as you say "tiered flat marginal", and also educate and inform. Evergreen -
Image
11:13 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Can do both: improve PR by deleting the cursed words "progressive tax" and replacing with as you say "tiered flat marginal", and also educate and inform. Evergreen -
Image
11:13 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825463036372504619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Appreciate the last—thanks! Same here—not here to change opinions, just to express what I think. 😊
I own a business, and some of my employees are struggling, having to choose between heating and eating. What should I do in this situation? Should I let them make that choice, or should I step in? No matter what they decide, it will hurt my business in the long run. Diverting some cash to help them—isn’t that just an investment in my human resources?
Additionally, speaking specifically about France, I also happen to own the energy supplier, so I’m essentially paying myself. The price hikes were largely due to a war that erupted not too far from here. This is precisely the kind of situation that states exist to address. In my view, noblesse oblige—the idea that privilege comes with responsibility—is a good conservative principle.
10:21 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Appreciate the last—thanks! Same here—not here to change opinions, just to express what I think. 😊
I own a business, and some of my employees are struggling, having to choose between heating and eating. What should I do in this situation? Should I let them make that choice, or should I step in? No matter what they decide, it will hurt my business in the long run. Diverting some cash to help them—isn’t that just an investment in my human resources?
Additionally, speaking specifically about France, I also happen to own the energy supplier, so I’m essentially paying myself. The price hikes were largely due to a war that erupted not too far from here. This is precisely the kind of situation that states exist to address. In my view, noblesse oblige—the idea that privilege comes with responsibility—is a good conservative principle.
10:21 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825452925830737921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there ever a commercial company that does not take any debt at all to invest and create? Is there such thing as immaculate conception? How is a government to work different??
9:41 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there ever a commercial company that does not take any debt at all to invest and create? Is there such thing as immaculate conception? How is a government to work different??
9:41 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825452457033367692
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right! A good and easy start is flat baseline - 1) term limits 2) age limits, and then work from there. And esp looking towards the future where people are active for longer and live even longer.
9:39 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right! A good and easy start is flat baseline - 1) term limits 2) age limits, and then work from there. And esp looking towards the future where people are active for longer and live even longer.
9:39 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825449885044228281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know - thanks. My point is: the contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but a fixed fee. So when we in the UK draw form the state pension, we also draw a fixed amount. As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, the NI number is fairly low compared to elsewhere in Europe.
9:29 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know - thanks. My point is: the contribution is not a %percentage of my salary, but a fixed fee. So when we in the UK draw form the state pension, we also draw a fixed amount. As a %age of the salary, for a lot of people, the NI number is fairly low compared to elsewhere in Europe.
9:29 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825448990814404877
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If your policies only appeal to your core supporters, you risk losing the non-supporters. Party members tend to be unrepresentative of the broader, non-party-engaged public. In the US, primary systems select for the more extreme candidates because those candidates have to appeal to party members to pass that internal filter. This creates a natural bias toward extremism.
The UK, a sister culture to the US, recently experimented with this dynamic. The two main parties changed their system for selecting leaders (and future Prime Ministers). The question became: should the leader be chosen by 1) the party members, or 2) the MPs—the Members of Parliament who are elected by the wider public and who must support the future PM in Parliament? After a long period with system #2, both Labour and the Conservatives switched to system #1, where party members chose the leader. Within a couple of electoral cycles, both parties ended up with leaders who appealed to the party members but who appeared insane or unhinged to the broader public. Both leaders subsequently lost their elections.
9:25 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If your policies only appeal to your core supporters, you risk losing the non-supporters. Party members tend to be unrepresentative of the broader, non-party-engaged public. In the US, primary systems select for the more extreme candidates because those candidates have to appeal to party members to pass that internal filter. This creates a natural bias toward extremism.
The UK, a sister culture to the US, recently experimented with this dynamic. The two main parties changed their system for selecting leaders (and future Prime Ministers). The question became: should the leader be chosen by 1) the party members, or 2) the MPs—the Members of Parliament who are elected by the wider public and who must support the future PM in Parliament? After a long period with system #2, both Labour and the Conservatives switched to system #1, where party members chose the leader. Within a couple of electoral cycles, both parties ended up with leaders who appealed to the party members but who appeared insane or unhinged to the broader public. Both leaders subsequently lost their elections.
9:25 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825626132726816953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for the thoughtful reply! I learned something new reading your response. I agree that there's definitely turmoil and realignment happening. I was amused to learn about the original populists (the Cross of Gold speech, etc.).
Fwiw, I believe much of this was set in motion by the change in communication mediums (from mainstream media to the Internet). The idea that "the medium is the message," meaning that the medium shapes and influences the types of messages it carries, seems accurate to me—especially at the higher level of societal influence. That said, it’s almost the opposite of what I’m used to in digital communication on the technical side of things. 😊
I feel like the Internet has caused a sort of turmoil similar to the upheaval brought by the Gutenberg press when the medium last changed. Since messages inspire ideas in people's heads, those ideas inevitably evolve.
I understand why some people are pessimistic about where things are heading, but I still believe we'll get through this. I think all of us will eventually step up and elevate our game in all the ways that matter in real life.
9:09 PM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - thanks for the thoughtful reply! I learned something new reading your response. I agree that there's definitely turmoil and realignment happening. I was amused to learn about the original populists (the Cross of Gold speech, etc.).
Fwiw, I believe much of this was set in motion by the change in communication mediums (from mainstream media to the Internet). The idea that "the medium is the message," meaning that the medium shapes and influences the types of messages it carries, seems accurate to me—especially at the higher level of societal influence. That said, it’s almost the opposite of what I’m used to in digital communication on the technical side of things. 😊
I feel like the Internet has caused a sort of turmoil similar to the upheaval brought by the Gutenberg press when the medium last changed. Since messages inspire ideas in people's heads, those ideas inevitably evolve.
I understand why some people are pessimistic about where things are heading, but I still believe we'll get through this. I think all of us will eventually step up and elevate our game in all the ways that matter in real life.
9:09 PM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825445196290551901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This imo is not known enough in the UK: in EU, the pension contributions are %percentage of my salary. In UK, the NI that is the state pension contribution is a *fixed fee*, not a %age of the salary. Hence, when we draw from the pension, we also *all draw* the *same amount*.
9:10 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This imo is not known enough in the UK: in EU, the pension contributions are %percentage of my salary. In UK, the NI that is the state pension contribution is a *fixed fee*, not a %age of the salary. Hence, when we draw from the pension, we also *all draw* the *same amount*.
9:10 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825444482394832992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We need a 2nd dimension to complement the "$$$ spent" axis. Something along the lines of what you say: confidence level of how good this $1 spent was. We are still using 1930-s technology (thanks Mr Kuznets!) and worked good for a long time - but time for v2 now! Proposals I've seen try to replace it but stay 1D 1-dimensional which seems plain dumb to me. Just go 2D already ffs! Add the next thing we care about (as you say - the quality of that $$$ spend) along an *additional* dimension.
9:07 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We need a 2nd dimension to complement the "$$$ spent" axis. Something along the lines of what you say: confidence level of how good this $1 spent was. We are still using 1930-s technology (thanks Mr Kuznets!) and worked good for a long time - but time for v2 now! Proposals I've seen try to replace it but stay 1D 1-dimensional which seems plain dumb to me. Just go 2D already ffs! Add the next thing we care about (as you say - the quality of that $$$ spend) along an *additional* dimension.
9:07 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825439099521487292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Energy. Energy price is better controlled in France - and energy is input to everything else. Nuclear energy works.
8:46 AM · Aug 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Energy. Energy price is better controlled in France - and energy is input to everything else. Nuclear energy works.
8:46 AM · Aug 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825263666909905183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! thanks! idk how billions of pple use iPhone without complaints - whenever I help my wife do anything non-trivial it seems an ordeal; assumed - it must be me 🤦♂️
9:09 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! thanks! idk how billions of pple use iPhone without complaints - whenever I help my wife do anything non-trivial it seems an ordeal; assumed - it must be me 🤦♂️
9:09 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825243323948249353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they increased their production, they produce more than ever. Energy - US biggest oil producer ever, also shale gas and LNG, semiconductors - re-shoring aided by industrial policy, big tech sector - unique to the US that's still growing, and opening new frontiers (latest is AI, in 5yrs will be sth else).
7:48 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they increased their production, they produce more than ever. Energy - US biggest oil producer ever, also shale gas and LNG, semiconductors - re-shoring aided by industrial policy, big tech sector - unique to the US that's still growing, and opening new frontiers (latest is AI, in 5yrs will be sth else).
7:48 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825220837672210928
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm surprised I can't have Grok read, pre-filter and select my feed for me rn. Previously I thought sentiment analysis via (as were then) DNN-s was the grand musk plan for scaling up moderation. Apparently not.
I wish we could go to the model of the newsgroups reading of old - when I downloaded my messages on my disk and had a selection of newsreaders to read and write, and at multiple servers/networks at once.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825214085845389323
Tired of this walled garden sh*t. The platforms tools (readers, automation) are mediocre, they're not good enough, and the improvements are too slow.
6:18 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm surprised I can't have Grok read, pre-filter and select my feed for me rn. Previously I thought sentiment analysis via (as were then) DNN-s was the grand musk plan for scaling up moderation. Apparently not.
I wish we could go to the model of the newsgroups reading of old - when I downloaded my messages on my disk and had a selection of newsreaders to read and write, and at multiple servers/networks at once.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825214085845389323
Tired of this walled garden sh*t. The platforms tools (readers, automation) are mediocre, they're not good enough, and the improvements are too slow.
6:18 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825217194336350580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
have you seen this - maybe possibly enough there for an episode? 😶
https://x.com/CJHandmer/status/1825081201192804668
Quote
Gerrit Bruhaug @GBruhaug · Aug 10
So one fun thing sci-fi fans like to talk about a lot is antimatter (specifically antiprotons) production for starships. The fun part is that we already make antimatter right now! But to get enough antimatter for any uses, we need to do a LOT better. 1/17
Image
6:04 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
have you seen this - maybe possibly enough there for an episode? 😶
https://x.com/CJHandmer/status/1825081201192804668
Quote
Gerrit Bruhaug @GBruhaug · Aug 10
So one fun thing sci-fi fans like to talk about a lot is antimatter (specifically antiprotons) production for starships. The fun part is that we already make antimatter right now! But to get enough antimatter for any uses, we need to do a LOT better. 1/17
Image
6:04 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825214991030734924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... as opposed to - having better institutions, non failing institutions. Agreed that many don't think beyond destruction, and think new better things just magically spontaneously self-create on their own. I'm not one of those people, I assure you.
5:55 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... as opposed to - having better institutions, non failing institutions. Agreed that many don't think beyond destruction, and think new better things just magically spontaneously self-create on their own. I'm not one of those people, I assure you.
5:55 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825214085845389323
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - reminiscent of the news groups reader-s of old?! 🤯 Recently I decided to check Bsky. While running "Sky Follower Bridge" extension on Firefox (very user friendly, worked without tears, ok with incremental sweeps too, found 1K out of my 7K follows - was surprised expected less), I thought: how come I have not got a X/Bsky/mastodon/... unified reader, that allows me to easily 1) collect from multiple sources; 2) read in an unified format 3) write cross-posts to multiple destinations. Users - take back control! 😆
5:52 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - reminiscent of the news groups reader-s of old?! 🤯 Recently I decided to check Bsky. While running "Sky Follower Bridge" extension on Firefox (very user friendly, worked without tears, ok with incremental sweeps too, found 1K out of my 7K follows - was surprised expected less), I thought: how come I have not got a X/Bsky/mastodon/... unified reader, that allows me to easily 1) collect from multiple sources; 2) read in an unified format 3) write cross-posts to multiple destinations. Users - take back control! 😆
5:52 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825209405622616251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought sentiment analysis via (as were then) DNN-s was the grand musk plan for scaling up moderation. 😆 To make Twitter work better. Related: will the possibility for deep fake of any pic or video be the end of "citizen journalism" (what little there was) and opening for a come back of professional journalists?
5:33 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought sentiment analysis via (as were then) DNN-s was the grand musk plan for scaling up moderation. 😆 To make Twitter work better. Related: will the possibility for deep fake of any pic or video be the end of "citizen journalism" (what little there was) and opening for a come back of professional journalists?
5:33 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825207512187941300
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Quantum physics what little I was taught, was taught like a boring history lesson, with a random incomprehensible equation plumped from the skies in the middle of the lecture without any rime or reason. This -
https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
.. by the incomparible Scott Aaronson was the 1st time I saw it in non-Mumbo-Jumbo form? Kudos to him for his public service to the benefit of unknown randos on the Internet. 😆
5:25 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Quantum physics what little I was taught, was taught like a boring history lesson, with a random incomprehensible equation plumped from the skies in the middle of the lecture without any rime or reason. This -
https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
.. by the incomparible Scott Aaronson was the 1st time I saw it in non-Mumbo-Jumbo form? Kudos to him for his public service to the benefit of unknown randos on the Internet. 😆
5:25 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825189561690956015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I get that, and kudos for not taking the easy road. Two problems here—one easy, one hard.
The easy one: Those who know better than chance head to Bridgewater or the Interest Rates trading desk at Goldman and say nothing. That leaves plenty of room to feed the media macro entertainment complex. Cramer and the clown shows will always have their pull, simply because there's demand from the public. I'm not sure anything can be done about that. It’s kind of like snake oil salesmen before the FDA was established—until regulation comes in, there’s always a market for it.
The hard problem: The challenge with "explaining but not forecasting" is that explaining something doesn't strongly indicate that the theory behind it is correct. Forecasting unseen events—moving beyond the current time horizon—is a much stronger test of a theory's validity. The ability to forecast accurately is the ultimate frontier for testing our models of the world. Of course, even then, some models work—until they don’t. It’s not a 100% foolproof method, but forecasting what hasn’t happened yet is a much tougher test than explaining events that have already occurred.
In my job, forecasting on a one-day horizon is about 50 times harder than explaining the past. Quantifying how much tougher it is underscores just how challenging true forecasting can be.
4:14 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I get that, and kudos for not taking the easy road. Two problems here—one easy, one hard.
The easy one: Those who know better than chance head to Bridgewater or the Interest Rates trading desk at Goldman and say nothing. That leaves plenty of room to feed the media macro entertainment complex. Cramer and the clown shows will always have their pull, simply because there's demand from the public. I'm not sure anything can be done about that. It’s kind of like snake oil salesmen before the FDA was established—until regulation comes in, there’s always a market for it.
The hard problem: The challenge with "explaining but not forecasting" is that explaining something doesn't strongly indicate that the theory behind it is correct. Forecasting unseen events—moving beyond the current time horizon—is a much stronger test of a theory's validity. The ability to forecast accurately is the ultimate frontier for testing our models of the world. Of course, even then, some models work—until they don’t. It’s not a 100% foolproof method, but forecasting what hasn’t happened yet is a much tougher test than explaining events that have already occurred.
In my job, forecasting on a one-day horizon is about 50 times harder than explaining the past. Quantifying how much tougher it is underscores just how challenging true forecasting can be.
4:14 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825138703041171791
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Failure to forecast economy level events correctly undermines faith, no matter the public communication. Examples I remember are all macro fails tbf - GFC'08, subsequent QE "inflation", last year's "recession".
12:52 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Failure to forecast economy level events correctly undermines faith, no matter the public communication. Examples I remember are all macro fails tbf - GFC'08, subsequent QE "inflation", last year's "recession".
12:52 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825171389575238087
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, ML succeeded beyond our wildest dreams, 🤯 while mostly ignoring and or being ignorant of classical statistics and especially the frequentist one. I will never not find that amusing. 😆😆 Isn't that what Breiman's Two Cultures was about?
https://projecteuclid.org/journals/statistical-science/volume-16/issue-3/Statistical-Modeling--The-Two-Cultures-with-comments-and-a/10.1214/ss/1009213726.full
Preview cover image for the publication Statistical Science
From projecteuclid.org
3:02 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep, ML succeeded beyond our wildest dreams, 🤯 while mostly ignoring and or being ignorant of classical statistics and especially the frequentist one. I will never not find that amusing. 😆😆 Isn't that what Breiman's Two Cultures was about?
https://projecteuclid.org/journals/statistical-science/volume-16/issue-3/Statistical-Modeling--The-Two-Cultures-with-comments-and-a/10.1214/ss/1009213726.full
Preview cover image for the publication Statistical Science
From projecteuclid.org
3:02 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825145983878959252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easier to destroy - yes, but then almost everything is easier to destroy than create? Good institutions are very hard to create - true that. But state institutions are virtually immortal though? Impossible to supplant them with better ones even when failing miserably?
1:21 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easier to destroy - yes, but then almost everything is easier to destroy than create? Good institutions are very hard to create - true that. But state institutions are virtually immortal though? Impossible to supplant them with better ones even when failing miserably?
1:21 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825128508751802792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
amusing on the topic https://lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate , although since seems "lessons have been learned" and turned into an effective lobbyist 😆😆
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
12:12 PM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
amusing on the topic https://lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate , although since seems "lessons have been learned" and turned into an effective lobbyist 😆😆
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
12:12 PM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825123470620967097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Distributed intelligence is predictably unintuitive to us, as there’s no single, obvious ‘thing’ to point to and say, ‘that’s what did it.’ Amusingly, this is true even for ourselves—each one of us is a hierarchy of distributed intelligences. The ‘us’ writing this is just one layer in that hierarchy, with lower levels of molecules then cells supporting it, and higher levels - ... tbd?
11:51 AM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Distributed intelligence is predictably unintuitive to us, as there’s no single, obvious ‘thing’ to point to and say, ‘that’s what did it.’ Amusingly, this is true even for ourselves—each one of us is a hierarchy of distributed intelligences. The ‘us’ writing this is just one layer in that hierarchy, with lower levels of molecules then cells supporting it, and higher levels - ... tbd?
11:51 AM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825101822089986356
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In tastes - whatever was current when we were 18-19 yo, that's the peak in music, fashions, arts etc.
In technology - as per Douglas Adams:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
2. Anything that's invented between when you’re 15 and 35 yo is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you're 35 is against the natural order of things.
10:25 AM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In tastes - whatever was current when we were 18-19 yo, that's the peak in music, fashions, arts etc.
In technology - as per Douglas Adams:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
2. Anything that's invented between when you’re 15 and 35 yo is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you're 35 is against the natural order of things.
10:25 AM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825088235518759227
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Energetic fool is the worst of all. Energetic and stupid leader is indeed the lethal combo, it's very dangerous and best be removed - as in the Bismarck quote.
9:31 AM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Energetic fool is the worst of all. Energetic and stupid leader is indeed the lethal combo, it's very dangerous and best be removed - as in the Bismarck quote.
9:31 AM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825086319330046259
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes less code is better. Most win I've seen is with matrix language(s). Going back to loops imo increases line count x5-x7 times. After "thinks in matrix" reading looping code feels like looking at a picture with random noise added to it tbh. Can do - but why do it that way.
9:24 AM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes less code is better. Most win I've seen is with matrix language(s). Going back to loops imo increases line count x5-x7 times. After "thinks in matrix" reading looping code feels like looking at a picture with random noise added to it tbh. Can do - but why do it that way.
9:24 AM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1825067662394745165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe I'm misunderstanding this -
> Except perhaps within the family scale, we are communists.
... but I think it's actually the opposite: only at the family level are we communists. Families operate on what are essentially communist principles: from each according to their abilities (parents contributing), to each according to their needs (children consuming). My home is shared among the whole family, and we all "own" it collectively.
This likely explains why this mode of organization feels natural to young people—it’s how most of us are raised and what we experience throughout our formative years.
It seems clear to me that the rules we use to organize human life, whether we’re cooperating or competing, naturally vary depending on scale, the *number* of humans involved. The rules that work for a family of 4 differ from the rules needed to make life bearable when 4 billion people are living together. What works for a small group simply doesn’t scale in the same way for a massive society.
8:10 AM · Aug 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe I'm misunderstanding this -
> Except perhaps within the family scale, we are communists.
... but I think it's actually the opposite: only at the family level are we communists. Families operate on what are essentially communist principles: from each according to their abilities (parents contributing), to each according to their needs (children consuming). My home is shared among the whole family, and we all "own" it collectively.
This likely explains why this mode of organization feels natural to young people—it’s how most of us are raised and what we experience throughout our formative years.
It seems clear to me that the rules we use to organize human life, whether we’re cooperating or competing, naturally vary depending on scale, the *number* of humans involved. The rules that work for a family of 4 differ from the rules needed to make life bearable when 4 billion people are living together. What works for a small group simply doesn’t scale in the same way for a massive society.
8:10 AM · Aug 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824914105180078237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hypothetical: if she were a mole or a secret russian plant - what would she have done different?
10:00 PM · Aug 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hypothetical: if she were a mole or a secret russian plant - what would she have done different?
10:00 PM · Aug 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824816564266291659
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
communism? naah - not for me, I grew up in that (called it "socialism" then) so prejudiced against. afaik failed at all geographies, all peoples/cultures, all times. universal failure regardless of {geography,culture,time} is convincing refutation. tbh even worried 😟 that competition & M&A & gutting anti-monopoly state power ends with per-sector monopolies that are in effect command economy in a sector. so improvement and innovation stops too.
3:32 PM · Aug 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
communism? naah - not for me, I grew up in that (called it "socialism" then) so prejudiced against. afaik failed at all geographies, all peoples/cultures, all times. universal failure regardless of {geography,culture,time} is convincing refutation. tbh even worried 😟 that competition & M&A & gutting anti-monopoly state power ends with per-sector monopolies that are in effect command economy in a sector. so improvement and innovation stops too.
3:32 PM · Aug 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824806651464946005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah - but always available is "we are in sh*t not because we did X, but because we did too little of X; need to do moar X, not give up on X"
2:53 PM · Aug 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah - but always available is "we are in sh*t not because we did X, but because we did too little of X; need to do moar X, not give up on X"
2:53 PM · Aug 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824768885578514698
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
anytime?? come on dude - like solar and use it myself, but... - anytime??
12:22 PM · Aug 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
anytime?? come on dude - like solar and use it myself, but... - anytime??
12:22 PM · Aug 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824742125809930609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forecast - you will not leave. Reasons -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824403431852855516 .
X is exceptionally bad for users into hot button issues (politics, culture). Outside that it's quieter -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824361108104253714 .
Agreed it wd be good if X were held legally responsible for profits from crazy.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 16
Replying to @edwest
I understand how some might find Twitter bad—posting a simple comment on a hot topic easily sparks a heated argument with randos looking for a scrap. However, it's easy to avoid fights if you're not interested in hot topics (although I recognize that for journalists, engaging in
Show more
10:36 AM · Aug 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forecast - you will not leave. Reasons -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824403431852855516 .
X is exceptionally bad for users into hot button issues (politics, culture). Outside that it's quieter -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824361108104253714 .
Agreed it wd be good if X were held legally responsible for profits from crazy.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 16
Replying to @edwest
I understand how some might find Twitter bad—posting a simple comment on a hot topic easily sparks a heated argument with randos looking for a scrap. However, it's easy to avoid fights if you're not interested in hot topics (although I recognize that for journalists, engaging in
Show more
10:36 AM · Aug 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824580168435802468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Catastrophizing works, it's an effective tactic, people are receptive to it. Madness of the crowds at work.
11:53 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Catastrophizing works, it's an effective tactic, people are receptive to it. Madness of the crowds at work.
11:53 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824479751550988704
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 as you've said it b4 - a country is a business in the limit of immortality; likewise - being a successful businessman is somewhat of an anti-training for running a country
5:14 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 as you've said it b4 - a country is a business in the limit of immortality; likewise - being a successful businessman is somewhat of an anti-training for running a country
5:14 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824475079398269143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that is like going back to the gold standard, so think abt: 1) why was it abandoned last time used, what was wrong 2) did it constrain the kings of the day from waging wars of imperial conquests and similar; you owe it to yourself to think
4:55 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
that is like going back to the gold standard, so think abt: 1) why was it abandoned last time used, what was wrong 2) did it constrain the kings of the day from waging wars of imperial conquests and similar; you owe it to yourself to think
4:55 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824472442921947542
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... b/c Fed IR is on one side a dilution of USA Inc shares that are the $$$, and also on the other side the cost of doing business, of financing. How cd it be otherwise?
4:45 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... b/c Fed IR is on one side a dilution of USA Inc shares that are the $$$, and also on the other side the cost of doing business, of financing. How cd it be otherwise?
4:45 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824471038224474496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hopefully soon - but fear we won't be so lucky; more likely a long tail of decline in tandem with the last of gullible boomers sailing away into the sunset
4:39 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hopefully soon - but fear we won't be so lucky; more likely a long tail of decline in tandem with the last of gullible boomers sailing away into the sunset
4:39 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824449584350789734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - any excuse to avoid doing the right thing, an excuse for laziness and inaction. Too bad laziness isn't a mortal sin - it'll be our downfall. There's usually only one way to get something done (and it's hard), but there are thousands of easy excuses for why it can't be done
3:14 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - any excuse to avoid doing the right thing, an excuse for laziness and inaction. Too bad laziness isn't a mortal sin - it'll be our downfall. There's usually only one way to get something done (and it's hard), but there are thousands of easy excuses for why it can't be done
3:14 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824447139885252671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not sure, but I doubt they handle it themselves in any significant way. I'd expect they'd recruit willing peons from us 90% majority. Typically, they target the bottom 10-15% - people already skirting the edges of the law, semi-criminal and not averse to minor crimes. Given a license for violence, they easily escalate. These are also the most pressured by life's circumstances, making them easier to convince, compared to say, the middle class.
3:04 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not sure, but I doubt they handle it themselves in any significant way. I'd expect they'd recruit willing peons from us 90% majority. Typically, they target the bottom 10-15% - people already skirting the edges of the law, semi-criminal and not averse to minor crimes. Given a license for violence, they easily escalate. These are also the most pressured by life's circumstances, making them easier to convince, compared to say, the middle class.
3:04 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824436726317658371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... inflation converges to Fed IR ?
2:23 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... inflation converges to Fed IR ?
2:23 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824424187408023612
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
eh - imo markets are means to an end that is human flourishing; yes - free exchange is good, distributed intelligence is good, freedom is good
1:33 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
eh - imo markets are means to an end that is human flourishing; yes - free exchange is good, distributed intelligence is good, freedom is good
1:33 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824417772958372086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this wd be more credible if you came out openly and unequivocally against monopolies. anti-monopoly is very much pro-freedom, idk why so shy abt that. but it undermines the pro-freedom stance
1:07 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this wd be more credible if you came out openly and unequivocally against monopolies. anti-monopoly is very much pro-freedom, idk why so shy abt that. but it undermines the pro-freedom stance
1:07 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824404398946070975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I get it the gov of the day faces obstacles - and that is on balance a good thing. But say on HoL: a determined gov can stuff new members lords, can reform, abolish etc.
12:14 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I get it the gov of the day faces obstacles - and that is on balance a good thing. But say on HoL: a determined gov can stuff new members lords, can reform, abolish etc.
12:14 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824403431852855516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No you should not quit. Quitting as 1 is pointless and you will be back soon or worse off. Quiting as 1 of 1 Million users ALL MOVING ON THE SAME DAY to a new platform is the only consequential action possible. Bsky is real alternative and improves our freedom (by not locking my social graph, more freedom friendly underlying protocols). But the migration must be synchronised to happen at about the same time probably within one day, not much longer. And all that move, probably must burn the bridge behind and delete their X account. Not sure how much better long term it is though? In a years' time another blowhard billionaire may buy that platform too??
12:10 PM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No you should not quit. Quitting as 1 is pointless and you will be back soon or worse off. Quiting as 1 of 1 Million users ALL MOVING ON THE SAME DAY to a new platform is the only consequential action possible. Bsky is real alternative and improves our freedom (by not locking my social graph, more freedom friendly underlying protocols). But the migration must be synchronised to happen at about the same time probably within one day, not much longer. And all that move, probably must burn the bridge behind and delete their X account. Not sure how much better long term it is though? In a years' time another blowhard billionaire may buy that platform too??
12:10 PM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824392888018489661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope so, and think that's on balance for the better. However - have problem with his personally publishing "civil war inevitable" and forward boosting likewise posts by terror groups effectively. He shd run posts through Grok-check before hitting Send. Will decrease stupid.
11:28 AM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope so, and think that's on balance for the better. However - have problem with his personally publishing "civil war inevitable" and forward boosting likewise posts by terror groups effectively. He shd run posts through Grok-check before hitting Send. Will decrease stupid.
11:28 AM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824389794274701512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bingo!! further - they naturally (without design, without conspiracy) coalesce into two groups. the established elite - they manufacture consent; and the anti-establishment elite - manufacturing discontent. the latter trying to supplant the former.
11:16 AM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bingo!! further - they naturally (without design, without conspiracy) coalesce into two groups. the established elite - they manufacture consent; and the anti-establishment elite - manufacturing discontent. the latter trying to supplant the former.
11:16 AM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824378561706254575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
to govern is to chose (unknown/to me)
10:31 AM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
to govern is to chose (unknown/to me)
10:31 AM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824378070771364074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - I ask questions, it gives people rope, creates opportunity to see what happens
10:30 AM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - I ask questions, it gives people rope, creates opportunity to see what happens
10:30 AM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824361108104253714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand how some might find Twitter bad—posting a simple comment on a hot topic easily sparks a heated argument with randos looking for a scrap. However, it's easy to avoid fights if you're not interested in hot topics (although I recognize that for journalists, engaging in them is part of the job). Muting boring or ignorant users, blocking rude or uncivil ones early and often, is effective. Trust people when they reveal themselves the first time - what you see is what you get. There are 8 billion other people to interact with.
As for people leaving platforms, the iron law of social anything is: a single public square where connections scale with the square (N^2) of the number of us participants (N) will always have the upper hand. The value lies in the connections, and those connections accrue with the square of the user base.
Personally, I find my Twitter experience positive overall. I read about negative encounters elsewhere, but I rarely see any of that on my timeline. For thematic content, I rely on Lists (e.g. Science, Tech, Computing, Biology, Chemistry, ...) to curate my feed beyond just "For You" and "Followers." Lists help shape my timeline and keep it focused. Additionally, one can tie individual Lists to separate Decks on XPro, effectively creating personalized daily websites. Not sure if many people use this feature. I find it beautiful, if a total time sink as there is too much interesting stuff going.
9:22 AM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand how some might find Twitter bad—posting a simple comment on a hot topic easily sparks a heated argument with randos looking for a scrap. However, it's easy to avoid fights if you're not interested in hot topics (although I recognize that for journalists, engaging in them is part of the job). Muting boring or ignorant users, blocking rude or uncivil ones early and often, is effective. Trust people when they reveal themselves the first time - what you see is what you get. There are 8 billion other people to interact with.
As for people leaving platforms, the iron law of social anything is: a single public square where connections scale with the square (N^2) of the number of us participants (N) will always have the upper hand. The value lies in the connections, and those connections accrue with the square of the user base.
Personally, I find my Twitter experience positive overall. I read about negative encounters elsewhere, but I rarely see any of that on my timeline. For thematic content, I rely on Lists (e.g. Science, Tech, Computing, Biology, Chemistry, ...) to curate my feed beyond just "For You" and "Followers." Lists help shape my timeline and keep it focused. Additionally, one can tie individual Lists to separate Decks on XPro, effectively creating personalized daily websites. Not sure if many people use this feature. I find it beautiful, if a total time sink as there is too much interesting stuff going.
9:22 AM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824342100743196894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 2nd that, and bookmarking for when mine gives up the ghost. Glad I saw this! I was wandering what kind it was - if I ever have to buy another chair. Where sciatica back pain stops for me - never had a better one.
Image
8:07 AM · Aug 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 2nd that, and bookmarking for when mine gives up the ghost. Glad I saw this! I was wandering what kind it was - if I ever have to buy another chair. Where sciatica back pain stops for me - never had a better one.
Image
8:07 AM · Aug 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824206676339101806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
inflation = rate of increase. as long as above zero - prices are rising. for the prices to come down - you need negative number, negative inflation. if/when that happens - they change the name, (!!) call it de-flation! as long as you hear in-flation, prices are still rising, maybe a tiny bit or maybe a lot - but still rising.
11:08 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
inflation = rate of increase. as long as above zero - prices are rising. for the prices to come down - you need negative number, negative inflation. if/when that happens - they change the name, (!!) call it de-flation! as long as you hear in-flation, prices are still rising, maybe a tiny bit or maybe a lot - but still rising.
11:08 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824139450449809453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His party had majority 70+ in Parliament. The Parliament is SOVEREIGN. It can bring in any law as it sees fit, simply by a majority walking through the Aye door. Howard-Lords-Courts-etc - sure, just vote in a law. The courts will rule as per that law. What am I missing? Yes there are practicalities, laws interpreted by the courts etc - but 14 years is a long time too. If there was the will - it could have been done.
6:41 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His party had majority 70+ in Parliament. The Parliament is SOVEREIGN. It can bring in any law as it sees fit, simply by a majority walking through the Aye door. Howard-Lords-Courts-etc - sure, just vote in a law. The courts will rule as per that law. What am I missing? Yes there are practicalities, laws interpreted by the courts etc - but 14 years is a long time too. If there was the will - it could have been done.
6:41 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824130545305129127
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
humour, manifest 😂😂
6:06 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
humour, manifest 😂😂
6:06 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824110949759848650
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
omg you've learned nothing - now better forget some
4:48 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
omg you've learned nothing - now better forget some
4:48 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824107523810713917
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I bet not many have noticed HIV-positive is a not a death sentence anymore like in 1990s. I bet even if some people notice that no celebrity has died of Aids recently - i.e. not heard in the news recently; pple will reflect when asked explicitly - they have not put the 2+2 together: that Aids from acute became chronic illness, to be kept at bay but not a killer anymore, and that has now been cured too. Miracles happen and we fail to notice. This will be us humans' downfall.
4:34 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I bet not many have noticed HIV-positive is a not a death sentence anymore like in 1990s. I bet even if some people notice that no celebrity has died of Aids recently - i.e. not heard in the news recently; pple will reflect when asked explicitly - they have not put the 2+2 together: that Aids from acute became chronic illness, to be kept at bay but not a killer anymore, and that has now been cured too. Miracles happen and we fail to notice. This will be us humans' downfall.
4:34 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824105129475219895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whattt??? Nooo - I don't want to go to Venezuela. I moved from my home country (MK) to the UK, not Venezuela. I did what I preach. Ofc they're not given the $$$. Your employer is not given the $$$ for nothing, they have to earn it, they have to get $$$ from their customers. So your employer can't make the $$$ either. And their customers are just like you (and me) - they can't make $$$ either, they have to get $$$ from elsewhere too. If any of us (you, me, employer, customers), make $$$, we'd be counterfeiting. So - who makes the $$$, that we all use and pass between ourselves? That $$$ has to be made at some point, no? In AD1 there were no $$$. Now in AD2024 there are. Between AD1 and AD2024, those $$$ were created. Who created those $$$? Asking b/c whoever created them $$$ - they have huge power. They can buy whatever US produces, and all of it! Huuuge power!!
4:25 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whattt??? Nooo - I don't want to go to Venezuela. I moved from my home country (MK) to the UK, not Venezuela. I did what I preach. Ofc they're not given the $$$. Your employer is not given the $$$ for nothing, they have to earn it, they have to get $$$ from their customers. So your employer can't make the $$$ either. And their customers are just like you (and me) - they can't make $$$ either, they have to get $$$ from elsewhere too. If any of us (you, me, employer, customers), make $$$, we'd be counterfeiting. So - who makes the $$$, that we all use and pass between ourselves? That $$$ has to be made at some point, no? In AD1 there were no $$$. Now in AD2024 there are. Between AD1 and AD2024, those $$$ were created. Who created those $$$? Asking b/c whoever created them $$$ - they have huge power. They can buy whatever US produces, and all of it! Huuuge power!!
4:25 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824084521605562377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - agreed! Hence the rise of podcasts and other alternative media! Multiple-hours, think Lex Fridman 8h maybe a record. 😂 Rory being a podcaster himself in his new life knows all this and much better than myself. Amazed how much the medium shapes the message. My hope is that boomers will be the last gullible enough generation to be susceptible to mass propaganda. Future propagandist will have to do better than install a head of a TV station. Propagandists adapt (c.f. bot farms, influencers), but us consumers of media can raise our game too. Post-ChatGPT, if I fall for a counter-factual fake where the fact was a GPT question few keystrokes away - well that's on me. Hard to blame anyone else but myself. Have to take some personal responsibility.
3:03 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - agreed! Hence the rise of podcasts and other alternative media! Multiple-hours, think Lex Fridman 8h maybe a record. 😂 Rory being a podcaster himself in his new life knows all this and much better than myself. Amazed how much the medium shapes the message. My hope is that boomers will be the last gullible enough generation to be susceptible to mass propaganda. Future propagandist will have to do better than install a head of a TV station. Propagandists adapt (c.f. bot farms, influencers), but us consumers of media can raise our game too. Post-ChatGPT, if I fall for a counter-factual fake where the fact was a GPT question few keystrokes away - well that's on me. Hard to blame anyone else but myself. Have to take some personal responsibility.
3:03 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824061177699156246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and lmg: from that you deduce you're on the right track. Wish it were that easy. Third way centrism wd be ruling the world since AD1, and most of humans' problems wd have been solved by now. Alas - that heuristic on its own is a poor predictor.
1:30 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and lmg: from that you deduce you're on the right track. Wish it were that easy. Third way centrism wd be ruling the world since AD1, and most of humans' problems wd have been solved by now. Alas - that heuristic on its own is a poor predictor.
1:30 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824058453309931877
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah every grifter ever believes their talk at some level - otherwise their marks suss them out and they're out of a job; it's natural selection at work
1:19 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah every grifter ever believes their talk at some level - otherwise their marks suss them out and they're out of a job; it's natural selection at work
1:19 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824051373085708353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I'd say the problem is more the disproportionate weight given to $1=1 vote compared to 1 person=1 vote. It's not so much that the person is an egomaniac, as there are plenty of non-wealthy egomaniacs among us too. The problem is the perverse incentive: only egomaniacs go for the second billion dollars after they've made their first billion. So it's a double whammy—multiple billions select for egomaniacs, and within the voting system, multiple billions give one person huge influence, skewing everything toward their preferences. Given we are all about equally ignorant about the future, the baseline for the best possible outcome should be based on our equally weighted preferences, with a slight (but only slight) tilt toward 1) character and 2) expertise. 3) Wealth, in my opinion, tends to tilt away from the best outcome (for everyone, on average). The variation in possible outcomes is huge, so the proponents of #1 and #2 better be epistemically humble. But not to the point of being railroaded by #3.
12:51 PM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I'd say the problem is more the disproportionate weight given to $1=1 vote compared to 1 person=1 vote. It's not so much that the person is an egomaniac, as there are plenty of non-wealthy egomaniacs among us too. The problem is the perverse incentive: only egomaniacs go for the second billion dollars after they've made their first billion. So it's a double whammy—multiple billions select for egomaniacs, and within the voting system, multiple billions give one person huge influence, skewing everything toward their preferences. Given we are all about equally ignorant about the future, the baseline for the best possible outcome should be based on our equally weighted preferences, with a slight (but only slight) tilt toward 1) character and 2) expertise. 3) Wealth, in my opinion, tends to tilt away from the best outcome (for everyone, on average). The variation in possible outcomes is huge, so the proponents of #1 and #2 better be epistemically humble. But not to the point of being railroaded by #3.
12:51 PM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824030234099802614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One page from the narcissist playbook right there. I find the AI doomers similar tbh - "I am not the unique and irreplaceable center of the universe, aaaaaaah" (wailing in horror).
11:27 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One page from the narcissist playbook right there. I find the AI doomers similar tbh - "I am not the unique and irreplaceable center of the universe, aaaaaaah" (wailing in horror).
11:27 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824023003950207010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good rules and esp good on 1) block early block often if acc says anything of note you will find out abt it anyways through others posting 2) use of lists. I don't have many blocked b/c never needed to, barely ever see any of the acc mentioned. Prob relevant for people following politics and getting into whatever scrap de jour it is on the day. I'm vaguely interested but not that interested in politics.
10:59 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good rules and esp good on 1) block early block often if acc says anything of note you will find out abt it anyways through others posting 2) use of lists. I don't have many blocked b/c never needed to, barely ever see any of the acc mentioned. Prob relevant for people following politics and getting into whatever scrap de jour it is on the day. I'm vaguely interested but not that interested in politics.
10:59 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824004208862835088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I were to be so emotionally invested in a Q (this time - of KS ratings), I'd go into the trouble of clicking and reading the survey write up https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/50277-is-the-honeymoon-over-keir-starmers-favourability-ratings-return-to-pre-election-levels , the underlying results raw data https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Internal_Favourability_240806.pdf and probably wd seek the time-series of the same survey (not linked, couldn't be bothered, more than warranted this already tbh). But hey - you be you. Not easy to get a man to understand something when his emotional investment wellbeing depends upon his not understanding it.
yougov.co.uk
Is the honeymoon over? Keir Starmer’s favourability ratings return to pre-election levels | YouGov
Nigel Farage’s ratings also take a hit following the riots
9:44 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I were to be so emotionally invested in a Q (this time - of KS ratings), I'd go into the trouble of clicking and reading the survey write up https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/50277-is-the-honeymoon-over-keir-starmers-favourability-ratings-return-to-pre-election-levels , the underlying results raw data https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Internal_Favourability_240806.pdf and probably wd seek the time-series of the same survey (not linked, couldn't be bothered, more than warranted this already tbh). But hey - you be you. Not easy to get a man to understand something when his emotional investment wellbeing depends upon his not understanding it.
yougov.co.uk
Is the honeymoon over? Keir Starmer’s favourability ratings return to pre-election levels | YouGov
Nigel Farage’s ratings also take a hit following the riots
9:44 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824002162529116288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looked from outside, Google fail seems to be Executive level fail, not IC fail. Schmidt should direct his gaze inwards. The more one analyzes this, the more it looks spherical nonsense, nonsense even if viewed from any angle.
Quote
Alex Kehr @alexkehr · Aug 13
In a Stanford talk posted today, Eric Schmidt says the reason why Google is losing to @OpenAI and other startups is because Google only has people coming in 1 day per week 👀
Embedded video
9:36 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looked from outside, Google fail seems to be Executive level fail, not IC fail. Schmidt should direct his gaze inwards. The more one analyzes this, the more it looks spherical nonsense, nonsense even if viewed from any angle.
Quote
Alex Kehr @alexkehr · Aug 13
In a Stanford talk posted today, Eric Schmidt says the reason why Google is losing to @OpenAI and other startups is because Google only has people coming in 1 day per week 👀
Embedded video
9:36 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1824000859048394858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Silver lining: billions of people paying for GHz and GB just to read web pages finances global R&D efforts that then produces unexpected stuff like the latest ML AI bout of progress.
9:31 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Silver lining: billions of people paying for GHz and GB just to read web pages finances global R&D efforts that then produces unexpected stuff like the latest ML AI bout of progress.
9:31 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823999507899523405
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see a normal commuter train there. There is commuter omertà and that's a good thing too! I can barely keep my eyes open on the 0712 to St Pancras; the last thing I want is hearing the inane blabberings of fellow commuters, tbh.
Quote
Richard Hanania @RichardHanania · Aug 14
I would find being in a public space like this somewhat unsettling. Why don’t they talk? Are they afraid?
Embedded video
9:25 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see a normal commuter train there. There is commuter omertà and that's a good thing too! I can barely keep my eyes open on the 0712 to St Pancras; the last thing I want is hearing the inane blabberings of fellow commuters, tbh.
Quote
Richard Hanania @RichardHanania · Aug 14
I would find being in a public space like this somewhat unsettling. Why don’t they talk? Are they afraid?
Embedded video
9:25 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823990662313677237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
normal vv weird. love how unexpected us politics is. don't know a single person that 1yr ago said "pres lection will be fought on "normal vv weird" battlegrounds.
8:50 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
normal vv weird. love how unexpected us politics is. don't know a single person that 1yr ago said "pres lection will be fought on "normal vv weird" battlegrounds.
8:50 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823985677379264839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope boomers maybe the last sufficient gullable generation to mass consume news. I (X-gen) have never opened or turned on any news ever, never seen my kids (now grown ups) do it either. My dad was a journalist, and I did read newspapers brought home while a bored teenager.
8:30 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope boomers maybe the last sufficient gullable generation to mass consume news. I (X-gen) have never opened or turned on any news ever, never seen my kids (now grown ups) do it either. My dad was a journalist, and I did read newspapers brought home while a bored teenager.
8:30 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823970262301151247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought the point of EM owning X was he doesn't need any advertiser $$$, can finance ongoing losses from his own deep pockets? It's worth it & looks like much fun to him to own a huuge megaphone. No idea what EM is moaning about. Ofc no one pays advert $$$ to 4chan equivalent.
7:29 AM · Aug 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought the point of EM owning X was he doesn't need any advertiser $$$, can finance ongoing losses from his own deep pockets? It's worth it & looks like much fun to him to own a huuge megaphone. No idea what EM is moaning about. Ofc no one pays advert $$$ to 4chan equivalent.
7:29 AM · Aug 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823767348693668074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
never close nothing - no need to open anything either
6:03 PM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
never close nothing - no need to open anything either
6:03 PM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823700479462810020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
image is everything
1:37 PM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
image is everything
1:37 PM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823698745894088750
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... better or worse - on a given time horizon. what's better on a short, maybe worse in a long horizon. nb selection doesn't need to be selecting for the best adaptation on a horizon. a good enough suffices as long as enough survive to pass on the genetic material.
1:30 PM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... better or worse - on a given time horizon. what's better on a short, maybe worse in a long horizon. nb selection doesn't need to be selecting for the best adaptation on a horizon. a good enough suffices as long as enough survive to pass on the genetic material.
1:30 PM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823692289178239237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the eunichs of science always somehow position themselves to wield the upper hand. guess catastrophizing is not taxing much, plenty of energy left to outmanuver the builders. for shame
1:04 PM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the eunichs of science always somehow position themselves to wield the upper hand. guess catastrophizing is not taxing much, plenty of energy left to outmanuver the builders. for shame
1:04 PM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823681360831123794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah this is like Peter Turchin's "elite overproduction" IRL. I see EM a part of an anti-establishment elite, battling the established elite in the US (and globally - c.f. UK spat). The established elite manufactures consent; the anti-establishment elite manufactures discontent. The latter rallies the disillusioned, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of us non-elite majority (90% of total), to overthrow the established elite and replace it with a new one (themselves). Manufacturing discontent is what EM does daily.
12:21 PM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah this is like Peter Turchin's "elite overproduction" IRL. I see EM a part of an anti-establishment elite, battling the established elite in the US (and globally - c.f. UK spat). The established elite manufactures consent; the anti-establishment elite manufactures discontent. The latter rallies the disillusioned, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of us non-elite majority (90% of total), to overthrow the established elite and replace it with a new one (themselves). Manufacturing discontent is what EM does daily.
12:21 PM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823614119980732684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
errm, quite a sad way to be, no? nah - be yourself, say what you think is right.
7:54 AM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
errm, quite a sad way to be, no? nah - be yourself, say what you think is right.
7:54 AM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823610216765640946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was a good listen - who knew??
"Rick Rubin Reveals His Secret to UNLOCK Your Creativity!" by .@LewisHowes
youtube.com
Rick Rubin Reveals His Secret to UNLOCK Your Creativity!
🔔 Subscribe for more great content: https://www.youtube.com/lewishowes ▶️ Recommended for you: https://youtu.be/vwb92gdvzCgWhat if the key to unlocking you...
7:38 AM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was a good listen - who knew??
"Rick Rubin Reveals His Secret to UNLOCK Your Creativity!" by .@LewisHowes
youtube.com
Rick Rubin Reveals His Secret to UNLOCK Your Creativity!
🔔 Subscribe for more great content: https://www.youtube.com/lewishowes ▶️ Recommended for you: https://youtu.be/vwb92gdvzCgWhat if the key to unlocking you...
7:38 AM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823592443134034316
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've found 2nd hand MBP to almost nullify Apple tax. The battery life makes a huge difference, screen, mouse pad. Btw competitive non-Apple ARM notebooks appeared to address the battery life.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gxc5kvzoddE
Not sure if Linux is ported on them already.
youtube.com
MacBooks FINALLY Have Competition
Review of the Lenovo Yoga Slim 7X - MASSIVE Battery life on one of the best laptops with the Snapdragon X Elite chip.More Info - https://www.lenovo.com/us/en...
6:28 AM · Aug 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've found 2nd hand MBP to almost nullify Apple tax. The battery life makes a huge difference, screen, mouse pad. Btw competitive non-Apple ARM notebooks appeared to address the battery life.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gxc5kvzoddE
Not sure if Linux is ported on them already.
youtube.com
MacBooks FINALLY Have Competition
Review of the Lenovo Yoga Slim 7X - MASSIVE Battery life on one of the best laptops with the Snapdragon X Elite chip.More Info - https://www.lenovo.com/us/en...
6:28 AM · Aug 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823450804436742356
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This alone is worth the billions $$$ going in now as well as the prior 70 yrs of sweat, tears (fortunately no blood afaik 😊) of the AI (really ML tbh) research 🤩
https://x.com/burkov/status/1822360074792112193
Even if this is the last improvement we see - wd have been worth it.
Quote
Andriy Burkov @burkov · Aug 10
This is what AI is for. Just this use case alone is worth every dollar invested in it.
Embedded video
9:05 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This alone is worth the billions $$$ going in now as well as the prior 70 yrs of sweat, tears (fortunately no blood afaik 😊) of the AI (really ML tbh) research 🤩
https://x.com/burkov/status/1822360074792112193
Even if this is the last improvement we see - wd have been worth it.
Quote
Andriy Burkov @burkov · Aug 10
This is what AI is for. Just this use case alone is worth every dollar invested in it.
Embedded video
9:05 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823442225776181372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. And where the executive function delegation was tried, for the bottom of the pyramid to have control of the top (!!), the "self-management", so there was not 100% total top-down strict command-and-control hierarchy, but the workers could fire the CEO (if they organized enough), that failed too. I would very much like for someone to do research, why and how it failed. My prior/prejudice is that there must be a role for bottom to top feedback loop in the control and executive functions. But empirically - the "self-management" was a fail. One thing I remember was that the workers would absolutely refuse to hire more workers, to increase the head-count (and cost). IDK, also possible that "self-management" was not a factor in the failures, maybe things would have failed regardless.
8:31 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. And where the executive function delegation was tried, for the bottom of the pyramid to have control of the top (!!), the "self-management", so there was not 100% total top-down strict command-and-control hierarchy, but the workers could fire the CEO (if they organized enough), that failed too. I would very much like for someone to do research, why and how it failed. My prior/prejudice is that there must be a role for bottom to top feedback loop in the control and executive functions. But empirically - the "self-management" was a fail. One thing I remember was that the workers would absolutely refuse to hire more workers, to increase the head-count (and cost). IDK, also possible that "self-management" was not a factor in the failures, maybe things would have failed regardless.
8:31 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823437562205151468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂😂 - ne se vospaluvaj tolku od bakracite de? 😂 Realno porano, i mozebi i uste sega, za nekoja upotreba EV bea ponezgodni. Moj primer: vozam 250 milji na sever go nosam deteto na faks vo dom, polna kola do krov. Da sum so EV, na destinacijata, treba da baram polnac, da ja ostavam kolata na 1h-2h da polni, jas da zemam taksi do domot da sreduvame otpakuvame, pa pak nazad po 2h da ja zemam EV od kaj polnac. So ICE za 5 min na benziska polnam benzin i posle brkam drugi raboti. 😂 Ama gledam - mnogu preminaa na EV, nikoj ne se vrati na ICE, nemam eden primer da posocam. Koga se vozev so EV - toa mi ostavi vpecatok: deka samo veteror se slusase, nemase drug zvuk.
8:12 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂😂 - ne se vospaluvaj tolku od bakracite de? 😂 Realno porano, i mozebi i uste sega, za nekoja upotreba EV bea ponezgodni. Moj primer: vozam 250 milji na sever go nosam deteto na faks vo dom, polna kola do krov. Da sum so EV, na destinacijata, treba da baram polnac, da ja ostavam kolata na 1h-2h da polni, jas da zemam taksi do domot da sreduvame otpakuvame, pa pak nazad po 2h da ja zemam EV od kaj polnac. So ICE za 5 min na benziska polnam benzin i posle brkam drugi raboti. 😂 Ama gledam - mnogu preminaa na EV, nikoj ne se vrati na ICE, nemam eden primer da posocam. Koga se vozev so EV - toa mi ostavi vpecatok: deka samo veteror se slusase, nemase drug zvuk.
8:12 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823426790087327779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh, don't counter an ignoramus like @thierybreton by being one yourself please. You can do much better. There can't be an existing EU democracy, as there is not an existing EU demos. EU is a union of states, not of people. It's not one-person one-vote, it's one-state one-vote.
7:29 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh, don't counter an ignoramus like @thierybreton by being one yourself please. You can do much better. There can't be an existing EU democracy, as there is not an existing EU demos. EU is a union of states, not of people. It's not one-person one-vote, it's one-state one-vote.
7:29 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823425806569279650
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
eh, enough of that single-idea-explains-it-all mono-maniacal dude already, let him rip; for the rest
http://norvig.com/chomsky.html
7:26 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
eh, enough of that single-idea-explains-it-all mono-maniacal dude already, let him rip; for the rest
http://norvig.com/chomsky.html
7:26 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823423538650649070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes - and even then: it does not say much if the theory is true or false. Most conspiracy theories are either untrue or unlikely to be true on balance of probabilities, some are true but we never find, others we are lucky to learn (even if decades latter) - e.g. the Soviet Union anthrax leak.
But too many people flip from "conspiracy => untrue" to the opposite "conspiracy => true", without much evidence.
The world does not exist in only two states. For every A that is true, there is infinity of not-A-s that are B, C, D ... Z, that are *all* false. So if say USG says "B is true", your deciding algorithm can't be just "ah-haa! so therefore not-B is the truth, and therefore it is C", when options A, D, E, ... Z exist. Chances are C will be wrong too. One is simply unlikely to hit on the true thing A if the decision algorithm is solely not-B. More likely one will hit on C, D, ... Z - all also untrue.
7:17 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes - and even then: it does not say much if the theory is true or false. Most conspiracy theories are either untrue or unlikely to be true on balance of probabilities, some are true but we never find, others we are lucky to learn (even if decades latter) - e.g. the Soviet Union anthrax leak.
But too many people flip from "conspiracy => untrue" to the opposite "conspiracy => true", without much evidence.
The world does not exist in only two states. For every A that is true, there is infinity of not-A-s that are B, C, D ... Z, that are *all* false. So if say USG says "B is true", your deciding algorithm can't be just "ah-haa! so therefore not-B is the truth, and therefore it is C", when options A, D, E, ... Z exist. Chances are C will be wrong too. One is simply unlikely to hit on the true thing A if the decision algorithm is solely not-B. More likely one will hit on C, D, ... Z - all also untrue.
7:17 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823413601664700585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да! Прави огромна разлика? И тоа што никој што ќе смени ICE на EV не се враќа назад е мислам од иста причина: откако пробав - возам и слушам само ветер "шшшшш" како на едрилица и ништо друго, назад на ICE е како да седнав во трактор-комбајн. 😂😂 (немам EV не дошол ред уште)
6:37 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да! Прави огромна разлика? И тоа што никој што ќе смени ICE на EV не се враќа назад е мислам од иста причина: откако пробав - возам и слушам само ветер "шшшшш" како на едрилица и ништо друго, назад на ICE е како да седнав во трактор-комбајн. 😂😂 (немам EV не дошол ред уште)
6:37 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823410655103184914
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
whatt?? no!! http://libgen.rs? although - pdf's saving more a reflex with no meaning anymore... fail to read any. pace's too quick to keep up. quantas of ideas already disseminated online. we imbibe 80% of the meaning from 20% of the content by osmosis. most books boring.
6:25 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
whatt?? no!! http://libgen.rs? although - pdf's saving more a reflex with no meaning anymore... fail to read any. pace's too quick to keep up. quantas of ideas already disseminated online. we imbibe 80% of the meaning from 20% of the content by osmosis. most books boring.
6:25 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823393199626301611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хахаха 😂😂 Исто и овде. Моите во Македонија мислат овде мед и млеко со векови. Не сакаат да научат дека либерализмот идеологија ("не те сакам, ама те толерирам") измислена како алтернатива на меѓусебно истребување (после децении од покољи). Америка иницијално колонизирана од секта англиски талибанци 😁 на кои домашните талибанци им биле многу "меки", 😶 па хард-кор талибаниве од источна Англија дигнале раце од меките во Лондон (нели нив ионака Господ ќе ги сотре кај да е), се качиле на бротчиња (кога ќе видам колку се мали 😱), и испловиле до Америка. Мислам првата генерација се сите изумрени од глад. Се разбира тоа не ги обесхрабрило другите талибанци зад нив, ма какви. 😱 Добар review на добра книга за 4-те племиња од Британија што иницијално ја колонизираат америка -
https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-seed/
5:16 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хахаха 😂😂 Исто и овде. Моите во Македонија мислат овде мед и млеко со векови. Не сакаат да научат дека либерализмот идеологија ("не те сакам, ама те толерирам") измислена како алтернатива на меѓусебно истребување (после децении од покољи). Америка иницијално колонизирана од секта англиски талибанци 😁 на кои домашните талибанци им биле многу "меки", 😶 па хард-кор талибаниве од источна Англија дигнале раце од меките во Лондон (нели нив ионака Господ ќе ги сотре кај да е), се качиле на бротчиња (кога ќе видам колку се мали 😱), и испловиле до Америка. Мислам првата генерација се сите изумрени од глад. Се разбира тоа не ги обесхрабрило другите талибанци зад нив, ма какви. 😱 Добар review на добра книга за 4-те племиња од Британија што иницијално ја колонизираат америка -
https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/27/book-review-albions-seed/
5:16 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823389004265591100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, se registrirav na bsky ama zasega so malku iskustvo. Naoganje na akaunti od X istite na bsky funkcionira so Addon vo browser, se iznenadiv kolku mnogu najde (1.5K od 7K). Mnogu pomalku aktivnost na bsky za mene, ama toa mi e kolku minus tolku i plus, posto mnogu vreme gubam na X (ima premnogu interesni raboti za mene). Ke vidime, TBS.
4:59 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, se registrirav na bsky ama zasega so malku iskustvo. Naoganje na akaunti od X istite na bsky funkcionira so Addon vo browser, se iznenadiv kolku mnogu najde (1.5K od 7K). Mnogu pomalku aktivnost na bsky za mene, ama toa mi e kolku minus tolku i plus, posto mnogu vreme gubam na X (ima premnogu interesni raboti za mene). Ke vidime, TBS.
4:59 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823332401021337619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope that LLM-s will come to the rescue and improve public space SNR-s.
1:14 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope that LLM-s will come to the rescue and improve public space SNR-s.
1:14 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823328845895774319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and also curiously it seems people are registering. The tool is user friendly, easy to do multiple sweeps, incremental sweeps etc, in turns of Verified/Followers/Following accounts. I did it twice. The 1st time found 1K (on Bsky) out of 7K (on X), and the 2nd time one week latter added another 500. So within one week, 500 accounts out of my 7K that didn't have a Bsky account, created one. Is my interpretation of the anecdote.
1:00 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and also curiously it seems people are registering. The tool is user friendly, easy to do multiple sweeps, incremental sweeps etc, in turns of Verified/Followers/Following accounts. I did it twice. The 1st time found 1K (on Bsky) out of 7K (on X), and the 2nd time one week latter added another 500. So within one week, 500 accounts out of my 7K that didn't have a Bsky account, created one. Is my interpretation of the anecdote.
1:00 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823316534216786399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't think I portrayed him in any way, but I do have negative opinion of him based on his actions and results (don't know him personally). I basically agree with .@Dominic2306 “Here’s My Opinion On Nigel Farage” assessment of NF here https://youtube.com/watch?v=WD7uiauoawE&t=15s .
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings - “Here’s My Opinion On Nigel Farage”
Chris and Dominic Cummings discuss the return of Nigel Farage and Reform UK. What does Dominic Cummings think of Nigel Farage? Can UK politics be restored to...
12:11 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I didn't think I portrayed him in any way, but I do have negative opinion of him based on his actions and results (don't know him personally). I basically agree with .@Dominic2306 “Here’s My Opinion On Nigel Farage” assessment of NF here https://youtube.com/watch?v=WD7uiauoawE&t=15s .
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings - “Here’s My Opinion On Nigel Farage”
Chris and Dominic Cummings discuss the return of Nigel Farage and Reform UK. What does Dominic Cummings think of Nigel Farage? Can UK politics be restored to...
12:11 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823312645543371075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with you. You do notice, I'm not claiming they are now, I'm saying one pre-condition is set for them to become foot soldiers *in the future*. Right?
11:56 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree with you. You do notice, I'm not claiming they are now, I'm saying one pre-condition is set for them to become foot soldiers *in the future*. Right?
11:56 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823312046961631370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tyranny of a minority, with a certain idea in their heads "how it ought to be". True - revealed preferences win in the end. Us voters oft trace a zig-zag path in our preferences, head-heart voting one way, head-purse the other way. We're only human, want to have our cake and eat it :-)
11:54 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tyranny of a minority, with a certain idea in their heads "how it ought to be". True - revealed preferences win in the end. Us voters oft trace a zig-zag path in our preferences, head-heart voting one way, head-purse the other way. We're only human, want to have our cake and eat it :-)
11:54 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823306900865237392
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF by your own number 60% of the desired investments went through? That's a decent number, good conversion rate. Don't think anyone anywhere anytime expects 100%, projects hit obstacles all the time. Even if the number was lower - one cd made the argument for more not less IP.
11:33 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF by your own number 60% of the desired investments went through? That's a decent number, good conversion rate. Don't think anyone anywhere anytime expects 100%, projects hit obstacles all the time. Even if the number was lower - one cd made the argument for more not less IP.
11:33 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823289717518905701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 seconded, wish I'd done it many years ago
10:25 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 seconded, wish I'd done it many years ago
10:25 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823289301041373255
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the Faragist foot soldiers of the future 😢 - indeed tragic on several levels, lives but ruined even before properly begun 😢
10:23 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the Faragist foot soldiers of the future 😢 - indeed tragic on several levels, lives but ruined even before properly begun 😢
10:23 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823287702948639198
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Still - an excellent spectacle, much entertainment.
The "rebel rebel" post was priceless. 😂😂😂
In my dreams, I’m in the rebel resistance battling the Death Star.
In real life, I'm one of the richest people in the world, with a possible future president on speed dial. I’m aligned with, and possibly financing, the party controlling much of the US federal and state legislatures, plus the top judiciary.
Then, an unambiguous test appears (RUS invasion of UKR, attempted genocide). I side with Mordor. I fail the test.
EM is part of an anti-establishment elite, battling the established elite in the US (and globally - c.f. UK spat). The established elite manufactures consent; the anti-establishment elite manufactures discontent. The latter rallies the disillusioned, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of us non-elite majority (90% of total), to overthrow the established elite and replace it with a new one (themselves). Manufacturing discontent is what EM does daily.
I hope EM fails. Don't think fascist-curious Thiel-type ideologues will do well, expect them to rule badly. "Country is not a Company" is a good read on how running a business is almost an anti-preparation for running a country.
10:17 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Still - an excellent spectacle, much entertainment.
The "rebel rebel" post was priceless. 😂😂😂
In my dreams, I’m in the rebel resistance battling the Death Star.
In real life, I'm one of the richest people in the world, with a possible future president on speed dial. I’m aligned with, and possibly financing, the party controlling much of the US federal and state legislatures, plus the top judiciary.
Then, an unambiguous test appears (RUS invasion of UKR, attempted genocide). I side with Mordor. I fail the test.
EM is part of an anti-establishment elite, battling the established elite in the US (and globally - c.f. UK spat). The established elite manufactures consent; the anti-establishment elite manufactures discontent. The latter rallies the disillusioned, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of us non-elite majority (90% of total), to overthrow the established elite and replace it with a new one (themselves). Manufacturing discontent is what EM does daily.
I hope EM fails. Don't think fascist-curious Thiel-type ideologues will do well, expect them to rule badly. "Country is not a Company" is a good read on how running a business is almost an anti-preparation for running a country.
10:17 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823284922120831390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find the experience sleek and smooth, Bsky seems a full on Tweeter clone + enhancements. Still - will not be displacing Twitter anytime soon. In a single public square, N^2 wins every time, :-) the iron law of social anything if you will. It's a natural monopoly. The number of connections N^2 grows with the square of the number of us, the nodes N. And the value grows with the connections. Social networks are on the more extreme end of "winner takes all".
10:06 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find the experience sleek and smooth, Bsky seems a full on Tweeter clone + enhancements. Still - will not be displacing Twitter anytime soon. In a single public square, N^2 wins every time, :-) the iron law of social anything if you will. It's a natural monopoly. The number of connections N^2 grows with the square of the number of us, the nodes N. And the value grows with the connections. Social networks are on the more extreme end of "winner takes all".
10:06 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823328845895774319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and also curiously it seems people are registering. The tool is user friendly, easy to do multiple sweeps, incremental sweeps etc, in turns of Verified/Followers/Following accounts. I did it twice. The 1st time found 1K (on Bsky) out of 7K (on X), and the 2nd time one week latter added another 500. So within one week, 500 accounts out of my 7K that didn't have a Bsky account, created one. Is my interpretation of the anecdote.
1:00 PM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and also curiously it seems people are registering. The tool is user friendly, easy to do multiple sweeps, incremental sweeps etc, in turns of Verified/Followers/Following accounts. I did it twice. The 1st time found 1K (on Bsky) out of 7K (on X), and the 2nd time one week latter added another 500. So within one week, 500 accounts out of my 7K that didn't have a Bsky account, created one. Is my interpretation of the anecdote.
1:00 PM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823279557224304878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😇 Heh - idk whether you believe this for real or... Somewhat motivated reasoning imo to go from "net favorability score" to "hate". From the report you link to: PM landslide victory achieved at net favorability score of -18, rising post election to 0 (max ever), now dropping to -16, still higher than pre-election. There are other stats in the report (and prior ones; PM v.s. the rest, the party etc), none I'd read as "hate". If you're genuinely interested in numbers, a slight book by Chivers' "How to Read Numbers" is one I liked.
Image
9:44 AM · Aug 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😇 Heh - idk whether you believe this for real or... Somewhat motivated reasoning imo to go from "net favorability score" to "hate". From the report you link to: PM landslide victory achieved at net favorability score of -18, rising post election to 0 (max ever), now dropping to -16, still higher than pre-election. There are other stats in the report (and prior ones; PM v.s. the rest, the party etc), none I'd read as "hate". If you're genuinely interested in numbers, a slight book by Chivers' "How to Read Numbers" is one I liked.
Image
9:44 AM · Aug 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823125537612857559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, the competitor bsky seems quite slick, and a FF+extension just found me 1.5K out of my 7K follows? This
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 13h
Hm, well that worked without tears. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows found ~1.5K over in "the other place". Not bad, more than I expected??
Manual
https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
In action
Show more
Image
11:32 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, the competitor bsky seems quite slick, and a FF+extension just found me 1.5K out of my 7K follows? This
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 13h
Hm, well that worked without tears. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows found ~1.5K over in "the other place". Not bad, more than I expected??
Manual
https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
In action
Show more
Image
11:32 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823124387173978141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, well that worked without tears. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows found ~1.5K over in "the other place". Not bad, more than I expected??
Manual
https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
In action
Image
11:28 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, well that worked without tears. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows found ~1.5K over in "the other place". Not bad, more than I expected??
Manual
https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
In action
Image
11:28 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823096998641164782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they will all be forced to move to bsky and post there - a social media natural monopoly is circumvented by synchronization, by millions moving *at the same time*, the timeliness makes all the difference, it must be at the same time; today on X, tomorrow on bsky
9:39 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they will all be forced to move to bsky and post there - a social media natural monopoly is circumvented by synchronization, by millions moving *at the same time*, the timeliness makes all the difference, it must be at the same time; today on X, tomorrow on bsky
9:39 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823088345100247174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁😁😁 is it in your dream where you are an insurgent in the rebel alliance battling the death star ?
9:05 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁😁😁 is it in your dream where you are an insurgent in the rebel alliance battling the death star ?
9:05 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823086528513376700
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... reference
http://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
(ofc who else but @slatestarcodex wd track this down & reason abt it; bowing down in admiration to this service to humanity; we're not worth it 😂😂)
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
8:57 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... reference
http://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
(ofc who else but @slatestarcodex wd track this down & reason abt it; bowing down in admiration to this service to humanity; we're not worth it 😂😂)
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
8:57 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823085728789680581
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't sweat it - Lizardman’s Constant is 4%. No matter how crazy the poll question - abt 4-5% of us click Yes - for reasons.
8:54 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't sweat it - Lizardman’s Constant is 4%. No matter how crazy the poll question - abt 4-5% of us click Yes - for reasons.
8:54 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823081681164579137
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a hard societal problem - but still technical solution preserving privacy.
https://takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/no-facial-recognition-no-problem
Good example. For traffic purposes, we don't care who the person is (by Name Surname; million pass daily, don't care abt the names), we just care that a person that entered at entrance A took 10 mins to reach point B at the platform. Or 20 mins - the difference makes a difference. It can be done - maximise gain within constraints, minimise risk.
From takes.jamesomalley.co.uk
8:38 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a hard societal problem - but still technical solution preserving privacy.
https://takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/no-facial-recognition-no-problem
Good example. For traffic purposes, we don't care who the person is (by Name Surname; million pass daily, don't care abt the names), we just care that a person that entered at entrance A took 10 mins to reach point B at the platform. Or 20 mins - the difference makes a difference. It can be done - maximise gain within constraints, minimise risk.
From takes.jamesomalley.co.uk
8:38 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823078398060802229
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I sure hope so! Can't wait. Singular leaps in progress are forged in the white heat of a megacity's critical mass. But for the rest of us, until solarpunk takes over, it's GIMBY all the way: https://jsanilac.com/gimby/. So yes, robocars are a must for gimby to succeed. 😊
From jsanilac.com
8:25 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I sure hope so! Can't wait. Singular leaps in progress are forged in the white heat of a megacity's critical mass. But for the rest of us, until solarpunk takes over, it's GIMBY all the way: https://jsanilac.com/gimby/. So yes, robocars are a must for gimby to succeed. 😊
From jsanilac.com
8:25 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823074604627468536
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... sorry - here. It's impossible for the sender to know if the interlocutor was presented with the answer in a back and forth convo. X decides what's shown by default, everything else is tap-tap-tap way down while mentally counting the number of answers seen to match the counter shown in the root -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823052671109976301
8:10 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... sorry - here. It's impossible for the sender to know if the interlocutor was presented with the answer in a back and forth convo. X decides what's shown by default, everything else is tap-tap-tap way down while mentally counting the number of answers seen to match the counter shown in the root -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823052671109976301
8:10 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823053845586497841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... answered but multiple levels of threading are atrocious in presentation of the Web twitter app, it's trivially easy to not see an answer, so I mark everything (mine in included) with Like, and then they all show in the Liked tab that seems to work without a fail.
6:48 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... answered but multiple levels of threading are atrocious in presentation of the Web twitter app, it's trivially easy to not see an answer, so I mark everything (mine in included) with Like, and then they all show in the Liked tab that seems to work without a fail.
6:48 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823052977893990816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know, I don't assume irony or malice by default 😊
6:44 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know, I don't assume irony or malice by default 😊
6:44 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823052671109976301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think trusting the other is the default for us humans. We trust unless there are reasons to distrust. And even then we allow wait to the third transgression to lose trust. KGB-communist-oligarch - well most were of that sort at that point. Yeltzin was probably popular to start with. It's up to the Russian elite and downstream to the Russian people what happens. Bush-Blair had some agency but miniscule in comparison I think. We overestimate how much we can influence things. There is much more randomness, chance, than most people admit. Having witnessed historic events personally - when I hear people talk about them now, oft I don't recognise what they describe, has little bearing to reality as I remember it then. I do remember - it's not my memory failing me.
6:43 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think trusting the other is the default for us humans. We trust unless there are reasons to distrust. And even then we allow wait to the third transgression to lose trust. KGB-communist-oligarch - well most were of that sort at that point. Yeltzin was probably popular to start with. It's up to the Russian elite and downstream to the Russian people what happens. Bush-Blair had some agency but miniscule in comparison I think. We overestimate how much we can influence things. There is much more randomness, chance, than most people admit. Having witnessed historic events personally - when I hear people talk about them now, oft I don't recognise what they describe, has little bearing to reality as I remember it then. I do remember - it's not my memory failing me.
6:43 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823048227769163789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not Gary but will shamelessly interject: trusting the other is the default for us humans. Everyone of us thinks "that other guy is like me" implicitly if not explicitly. They didn't have reasons to think otherwise that early on.
6:25 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not Gary but will shamelessly interject: trusting the other is the default for us humans. Everyone of us thinks "that other guy is like me" implicitly if not explicitly. They didn't have reasons to think otherwise that early on.
6:25 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823039764787777889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are usually level headed, so: I've seen no evidence that the PM is hated. On the contrary - the average voter wd go even harder on the rioters. Twitter is not RL. EM boosted too many rw accounts in your TL maybe?
5:52 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are usually level headed, so: I've seen no evidence that the PM is hated. On the contrary - the average voter wd go even harder on the rioters. Twitter is not RL. EM boosted too many rw accounts in your TL maybe?
5:52 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823022533517463906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
topical innuendo de jour 😁
Quote
🍓🍓🍓 @iruletheworldmo · 11h
attention isn't all you need
new architecture announcement
august 13th @ 10am pt
the singularity begins
https://github.com/iruletheworldmo/strawberry
Show more
4:43 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
topical innuendo de jour 😁
Quote
🍓🍓🍓 @iruletheworldmo · 11h
attention isn't all you need
new architecture announcement
august 13th @ 10am pt
the singularity begins
https://github.com/iruletheworldmo/strawberry
Show more
4:43 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823019217739755562
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never say never, but chances are, you are confusing your own mortality + hard to make a person understand something if not understanding it brings his paycheck thingy, is at work here.
4:30 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never say never, but chances are, you are confusing your own mortality + hard to make a person understand something if not understanding it brings his paycheck thingy, is at work here.
4:30 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823008362176336164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - head off to Computer Science to have another 🤯🤯 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges 🤩😆
3:47 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - head off to Computer Science to have another 🤯🤯 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges 🤩😆
3:47 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1823000634884342008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mystery?? I'm sorry to say but most of us people are very very stupid most of the time. I'm sorry to say it aloud. It's a mystery only when I disregard that small detail.
3:16 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mystery?? I'm sorry to say but most of us people are very very stupid most of the time. I'm sorry to say it aloud. It's a mystery only when I disregard that small detail.
3:16 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822959694006173719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, all living creatures, not sharks exclusively, first stop growing, then latter die. Howeve, from that, it does not follow that infinite growth => infinite life. It is possible to die while growing tbh.
12:33 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, all living creatures, not sharks exclusively, first stop growing, then latter die. Howeve, from that, it does not follow that infinite growth => infinite life. It is possible to die while growing tbh.
12:33 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822954771847766393
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The Mind of the Body: A Window into Embodiment and our Future"
Michael Levin's Academic Content -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CoOnainNWDo
Listening makes me aware I am, we all are, already collective intelligence at multiple levels. 🤯 One level in that hierarchy is writing this. 😇 This level becomes aware of the other levels. Are the other levels aware of this one? If so - is there, and who is their @drmichaellevin
that made them aware too? 😊 Summer is lovely, heh 😎
youtube.com
"The Mind of the Body: A Window into Embodiment and our Future"
"Metaphysics and the Matter with Things: Thinking with Iain McGilchrist was a collaborative conference put on by the Center for Process Studies (CPS) and the...
12:14 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The Mind of the Body: A Window into Embodiment and our Future"
Michael Levin's Academic Content -
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CoOnainNWDo
Listening makes me aware I am, we all are, already collective intelligence at multiple levels. 🤯 One level in that hierarchy is writing this. 😇 This level becomes aware of the other levels. Are the other levels aware of this one? If so - is there, and who is their @drmichaellevin
that made them aware too? 😊 Summer is lovely, heh 😎
youtube.com
"The Mind of the Body: A Window into Embodiment and our Future"
"Metaphysics and the Matter with Things: Thinking with Iain McGilchrist was a collaborative conference put on by the Center for Process Studies (CPS) and the...
12:14 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822951725587681304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well RichBobby5 - you persuaded me and everyone else here both with the strength of your argument and the eloquence of its expression.
12:02 PM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well RichBobby5 - you persuaded me and everyone else here both with the strength of your argument and the eloquence of its expression.
12:02 PM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822924495121727707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are all giving the dude too much credit tbh. More reasonable to assume Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect in progress. 😆😆
10:14 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are all giving the dude too much credit tbh. More reasonable to assume Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect in progress. 😆😆
10:14 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822923485670207567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You hit the nail on the head there! 😄
Having witnessed comparable crazy at various times in obscure countries - seems it's not uncommon in that type of movements. Latest exhibit RUS - listen to what they accuse their enemies of, and oft will learn what RUS themselves are doing.
10:10 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You hit the nail on the head there! 😄
Having witnessed comparable crazy at various times in obscure countries - seems it's not uncommon in that type of movements. Latest exhibit RUS - listen to what they accuse their enemies of, and oft will learn what RUS themselves are doing.
10:10 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822921606747869341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True - and further, we are to apply that test to ourselves too ;-)
10:02 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True - and further, we are to apply that test to ourselves too ;-)
10:02 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822919415463018744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is too funny and yet oddly touching—textbook cognitive dissonance. 😇
In my dreams, I’m in the rebel resistance battling the Death Star.
In real life, I'm one of the richest people in the world, with a possible future president on speed dial. I’m aligned with, and possibly financing, the party controlling much of the U.S. federal and state legislatures, plus the top judiciary.
Then, when an unambiguous test appears (RUS invasion of UKR, attempted genocide), I side with Mordor. I fail the test.
What’s amazing is how I end up in positions where I stand to benefit if my bets pay off. EM is part of an anti-establishment elite, battling the established elite in the U.S. and globally. The established elite manufactures consent; the anti-establishment elite manufactures discontent. The latter rallies the disillusioned, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of us non-elite majority, to overthrow the established elite and replace it with a new one (themselves). Manufacturing discontent is exactly what EM does daily.
Image
9:53 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is too funny and yet oddly touching—textbook cognitive dissonance. 😇
In my dreams, I’m in the rebel resistance battling the Death Star.
In real life, I'm one of the richest people in the world, with a possible future president on speed dial. I’m aligned with, and possibly financing, the party controlling much of the U.S. federal and state legislatures, plus the top judiciary.
Then, when an unambiguous test appears (RUS invasion of UKR, attempted genocide), I side with Mordor. I fail the test.
What’s amazing is how I end up in positions where I stand to benefit if my bets pay off. EM is part of an anti-establishment elite, battling the established elite in the U.S. and globally. The established elite manufactures consent; the anti-establishment elite manufactures discontent. The latter rallies the disillusioned, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of us non-elite majority, to overthrow the established elite and replace it with a new one (themselves). Manufacturing discontent is exactly what EM does daily.
Image
9:53 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822913098597957801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A joy 🤩 to listen to "Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton" https://youtube.com/watch?v=PTF5Up1hMhw (fwiw don't share his doomerism; when we humans are destroyed it will be by us, humans, or some asteroid, or other - but not by AIs; we are again making the error of projecting ourselves - the worst of us in this case! - to other entities)
youtube.com
Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton
9:28 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A joy 🤩 to listen to "Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton" https://youtube.com/watch?v=PTF5Up1hMhw (fwiw don't share his doomerism; when we humans are destroyed it will be by us, humans, or some asteroid, or other - but not by AIs; we are again making the error of projecting ourselves - the worst of us in this case! - to other entities)
youtube.com
Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton
9:28 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822899920711418313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I personally don't want to tax anyone. 😄 I'd rather see all taxing abolished. Fwiw I'm rooting for AI and genetic engineering to come sooner rather than latter as in Kurzweil's imagination to help us do better, but mostly to improve our reading comprehension. 😂😂😂
8:36 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I personally don't want to tax anyone. 😄 I'd rather see all taxing abolished. Fwiw I'm rooting for AI and genetic engineering to come sooner rather than latter as in Kurzweil's imagination to help us do better, but mostly to improve our reading comprehension. 😂😂😂
8:36 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822784840606879812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - meaning what? That the shares can't be taxed at London Stock Exchange register? Example. When one gets a mortgage, the lender puts a Charge in the register of the Land Registry. So regardless of how obscured the beneficial owner is - the mortgage lender is never cheated. Imagine - shares instead of a house, LSE instead of Land Registry, HMRC instead of the mortgage lender. :-)
12:59 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - meaning what? That the shares can't be taxed at London Stock Exchange register? Example. When one gets a mortgage, the lender puts a Charge in the register of the Land Registry. So regardless of how obscured the beneficial owner is - the mortgage lender is never cheated. Imagine - shares instead of a house, LSE instead of Land Registry, HMRC instead of the mortgage lender. :-)
12:59 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822783030995652709
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree. An obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (originally The Planet of Women) dives into this idea. It argues that sexuality, particularly the control of sexual attraction by women, was the key factor in human evolution. This bond, driven by sexual dynamics, was more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, etc
12:51 AM · Aug 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree. An obscure '90s book The Erect Woman (originally The Planet of Women) dives into this idea. It argues that sexuality, particularly the control of sexual attraction by women, was the key factor in human evolution. This bond, driven by sexual dynamics, was more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, etc
12:51 AM · Aug 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822725685141819800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI safety | FULL INTERVIEW
The Institute of Art and Ideas
youtube.com
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI...
Scott Aaronson delves into the nature of AI, and what threats it could pose, in this in-depth interview.Is seeming to understand the same as understanding?Wa...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9O75xFQUio
9:04 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI safety | FULL INTERVIEW
The Institute of Art and Ideas
youtube.com
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI...
Scott Aaronson delves into the nature of AI, and what threats it could pose, in this in-depth interview.Is seeming to understand the same as understanding?Wa...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9O75xFQUio
9:04 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822720216650191050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - will spare you of my ranting now. blocked
8:42 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sure - will spare you of my ranting now. blocked
8:42 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822718589297672632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True - if there is no assets value growth. One could tax the growth in value (and not the value itself; like property capital gains). Assume assets value grows 4% p.a. If a tax is 0.5%, now the assets growth is going to be 3.5% instead of 4%. So it slows down the growth of asset value. Compounded 50yrs - at 4% value is up 711%, at 3.5% value is up 558%. We are still talking about enormous increase of assets value.
8:35 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True - if there is no assets value growth. One could tax the growth in value (and not the value itself; like property capital gains). Assume assets value grows 4% p.a. If a tax is 0.5%, now the assets growth is going to be 3.5% instead of 4%. So it slows down the growth of asset value. Compounded 50yrs - at 4% value is up 711%, at 3.5% value is up 558%. We are still talking about enormous increase of assets value.
8:35 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822703032897044595
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - that impacts valuation. Valuation is not investment - no? Like I'm investor deciding whether to fund the next Deep Mind in London, or in Paris. This extra tax - that I may or may not have to pay - is another cost, like 100s other costs I have in my spreadsheet.
7:34 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - that impacts valuation. Valuation is not investment - no? Like I'm investor deciding whether to fund the next Deep Mind in London, or in Paris. This extra tax - that I may or may not have to pay - is another cost, like 100s other costs I have in my spreadsheet.
7:34 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822701685765976487
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - it always amuses me how oblivious to reality one gets. Like a fish not noticing the water they swim in b/c they know of nothing but water. :-)
7:28 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - it always amuses me how oblivious to reality one gets. Like a fish not noticing the water they swim in b/c they know of nothing but water. :-)
7:28 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822696111653449908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe, but please make your case. How will that happen, what are the mechanics of that?
Atm I know this: say you own 100 shares in SBRY, I have 100 pounds in cash, we swap what we have (I get the 100 shares, you get the 100 pounds), the transaction means nothing at all to SBRY.
7:06 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe, but please make your case. How will that happen, what are the mechanics of that?
Atm I know this: say you own 100 shares in SBRY, I have 100 pounds in cash, we swap what we have (I get the 100 shares, you get the 100 pounds), the transaction means nothing at all to SBRY.
7:06 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822678992878534853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I'd expect the valuations will fail with taxation. Do you think high FTSE => good times in the UK? Have you not witnessed the last 20yrs of UK when that did not happen? What am I missing. I'm sure there are arguments against - but what you put forward is not strong imo. Asset prices going up are obv good for the owners of existing assets, and obv bad for for anyone that aspires to buy them. So a wash in the grand total.
5:58 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I'd expect the valuations will fail with taxation. Do you think high FTSE => good times in the UK? Have you not witnessed the last 20yrs of UK when that did not happen? What am I missing. I'm sure there are arguments against - but what you put forward is not strong imo. Asset prices going up are obv good for the owners of existing assets, and obv bad for for anyone that aspires to buy them. So a wash in the grand total.
5:58 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822671334012264903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obv shares still get taxed - no? LSE issued SBRY shares, assume 1% tax, for every 100 shares either the owner pays £££ value of 1 share to HMRC, or whoever owned 100 shares now owns 99, and 1 share belongs to HMRC, or a Charge is put in the the register (like for a mortgage on a property in the Land Registry), to be paid when future transfer of ownership. Come on, this' not rocket science, better objections pls
5:28 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obv shares still get taxed - no? LSE issued SBRY shares, assume 1% tax, for every 100 shares either the owner pays £££ value of 1 share to HMRC, or whoever owned 100 shares now owns 99, and 1 share belongs to HMRC, or a Charge is put in the the register (like for a mortgage on a property in the Land Registry), to be paid when future transfer of ownership. Come on, this' not rocket science, better objections pls
5:28 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822658342507950406
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is that what @DavidLammy is doing there though? To me the quote seems to be exactly the opposite. Everyone accept and cherish the culture. Fwiw this culture is why I am here. If I preferred my home culture, I would have stayed home. What am I missing?
4:36 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is that what @DavidLammy is doing there though? To me the quote seems to be exactly the opposite. Everyone accept and cherish the culture. Fwiw this culture is why I am here. If I preferred my home culture, I would have stayed home. What am I missing?
4:36 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822655288157090135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well hello my dear mr stalin old friend - I bid you my best welcome 😂😂😂 v.good 😁
4:24 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well hello my dear mr stalin old friend - I bid you my best welcome 😂😂😂 v.good 😁
4:24 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822653954024435918
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ehhh - my personal prejudice just eyeballing the data in UK and Europe: yes - with nuclear, no - with solar & wind for time being (until batteries catch up - they are making rapid progres, but not there yet). I became cognisant after getting roof solar + batteries in the attic.
4:19 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ehhh - my personal prejudice just eyeballing the data in UK and Europe: yes - with nuclear, no - with solar & wind for time being (until batteries catch up - they are making rapid progres, but not there yet). I became cognisant after getting roof solar + batteries in the attic.
4:19 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822651630346461502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This alone is worth the Billions $$$ going in now as well as the prior 70 yrs of sweat, tears (fortunately no blood afaik 😊) of the AI (really ML tbh) research 🤩
Quote
Andriy Burkov @burkov · 21h
This is what AI is for. Just this use case alone is worth every dollar invested in it.
Embedded video
4:09 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This alone is worth the Billions $$$ going in now as well as the prior 70 yrs of sweat, tears (fortunately no blood afaik 😊) of the AI (really ML tbh) research 🤩
Quote
Andriy Burkov @burkov · 21h
This is what AI is for. Just this use case alone is worth every dollar invested in it.
Embedded video
4:09 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822648779608100992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - enjoying the spectacle, while feeling somewhat guilty, I must say. 😊
EM is part of the anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the established elite, in the US. Established elite propaganda manufactures consent, anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. The latter is to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% that is the non-elite majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. Manufacturing discontent is what EM is presently doing daily.
EM is part of the elite by being the richest person in the world, having the possible future country president on a speed dial, by being aligned with and financing the party controlling most of the federal and US states legislature, as well as the top level of federal judiciary.
3:58 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - enjoying the spectacle, while feeling somewhat guilty, I must say. 😊
EM is part of the anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the established elite, in the US. Established elite propaganda manufactures consent, anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. The latter is to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% that is the non-elite majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. Manufacturing discontent is what EM is presently doing daily.
EM is part of the elite by being the richest person in the world, having the possible future country president on a speed dial, by being aligned with and financing the party controlling most of the federal and US states legislature, as well as the top level of federal judiciary.
3:58 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822644669563404316
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No please don't. Enjoying your analysis of the chief Twit propaganda. Mute if you must. But there is no way around - his ideas, where stupid, can only be defeated by other, smarter not stupid, ideas. There is no other way unfortunately. 😔 Even if it takes unreasonable energy and effort on your part. I sort of understand you how exhausting this must be. Witnessed a distant relative descent into mental illness 😭 and his energy and stamina was legendary. 😥 (esp for a slight man he was) Please please persist, take courage. 🙏🙏
3:42 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No please don't. Enjoying your analysis of the chief Twit propaganda. Mute if you must. But there is no way around - his ideas, where stupid, can only be defeated by other, smarter not stupid, ideas. There is no other way unfortunately. 😔 Even if it takes unreasonable energy and effort on your part. I sort of understand you how exhausting this must be. Witnessed a distant relative descent into mental illness 😭 and his energy and stamina was legendary. 😥 (esp for a slight man he was) Please please persist, take courage. 🙏🙏
3:42 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822641755432386634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hard, un-intuitive for all but an (un??/)lucky minority, they get chastised and ridiculed when failing (which is v.often). Only mastery learning can possibly addres imo. Hoping AI works out for this in the end.
3:30 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hard, un-intuitive for all but an (un??/)lucky minority, they get chastised and ridiculed when failing (which is v.often). Only mastery learning can possibly addres imo. Hoping AI works out for this in the end.
3:30 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822637359046778934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well there's that one fatal flow: if I - even if not yet a stalin - single handily own all companies in the land, appoint their CEO-s and CFO-s as my personal picks - can you imagine the ammount of power I wield? I don't think many pple can. I'm not saying it's inevitable that I soon am to wield the power of life and death over every single citizen in my realm. But if I am ambitious, energetic, talented - I can, in the end. And a hierarchical system selects for those traits. Esp when without a fixed term limit! That's crucial - I stay, all competitors exit sooner or latter. The new younger challengers are ever more like innocent know-nothing children facing/competing a/with dragon really. They stand zero chance, I crush them at will. There is a reason when a system tried at different times, geographies, cultures and peoples - fails universally given the time. (rope?)
3:13 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well there's that one fatal flow: if I - even if not yet a stalin - single handily own all companies in the land, appoint their CEO-s and CFO-s as my personal picks - can you imagine the ammount of power I wield? I don't think many pple can. I'm not saying it's inevitable that I soon am to wield the power of life and death over every single citizen in my realm. But if I am ambitious, energetic, talented - I can, in the end. And a hierarchical system selects for those traits. Esp when without a fixed term limit! That's crucial - I stay, all competitors exit sooner or latter. The new younger challengers are ever more like innocent know-nothing children facing/competing a/with dragon really. They stand zero chance, I crush them at will. There is a reason when a system tried at different times, geographies, cultures and peoples - fails universally given the time. (rope?)
3:13 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822628647183774103
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - if one was to make a facetious argument one cd say that reflects poor UK prospect over the next 20yrs, something OP @garyseconomics
is crusading to change for the better.. :-) Or given FTSE100 is very international (=companies that derive their income ex-UK), one cd say that reflects poor non-Technology non-Asia prospects around the world, possibly the declining £££ value contributing too. Feel free to take your pick. :-)
2:38 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - if one was to make a facetious argument one cd say that reflects poor UK prospect over the next 20yrs, something OP @garyseconomics
is crusading to change for the better.. :-) Or given FTSE100 is very international (=companies that derive their income ex-UK), one cd say that reflects poor non-Technology non-Asia prospects around the world, possibly the declining £££ value contributing too. Feel free to take your pick. :-)
2:38 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822626532772241903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - don't think many will disagree that both main parties are close. But given EM is the news - let's analyze EM. For no-one is above scrutiny.
EM is part of the anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the established elite, in the US. Established elite propaganda manufactures consent, anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. The latter is to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% that is the non-elite majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. Manufacturing discontent is what EM is presently doing daily.
EM part of the elite - how? By being the richest person in the world, having the possible future country president on a speed dial, aligned with and financing the party controlling most of the federal and US states legislatures as well as the top level of federal judiciary.
That make sense?
2:30 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - don't think many will disagree that both main parties are close. But given EM is the news - let's analyze EM. For no-one is above scrutiny.
EM is part of the anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the established elite, in the US. Established elite propaganda manufactures consent, anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. The latter is to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% that is the non-elite majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. Manufacturing discontent is what EM is presently doing daily.
EM part of the elite - how? By being the richest person in the world, having the possible future country president on a speed dial, aligned with and financing the party controlling most of the federal and US states legislatures as well as the top level of federal judiciary.
That make sense?
2:30 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822623734877864189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only propaganda though, is it? The fraction that is anti-individualistic hence anti-liberal, that judges the individual person on the color of their skin i.e group membership, is what rubs a lot of people the wrong way. NB the anti-Asian quotas at US universities struck down by the US supreme court ruling. There is a reason that woke took off (systemic racism), and there is a reason why anti-woke took off too (judging people by their assigned membership of a group, rather than as 100% individuals). In retrospect - sticking to plain old boring liberal "sole individual" may have been the least bad option imo.
2:18 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only propaganda though, is it? The fraction that is anti-individualistic hence anti-liberal, that judges the individual person on the color of their skin i.e group membership, is what rubs a lot of people the wrong way. NB the anti-Asian quotas at US universities struck down by the US supreme court ruling. There is a reason that woke took off (systemic racism), and there is a reason why anti-woke took off too (judging people by their assigned membership of a group, rather than as 100% individuals). In retrospect - sticking to plain old boring liberal "sole individual" may have been the least bad option imo.
2:18 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822621706520862837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - excellent take. Yep - EM is part of the anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the established elite. Established elite propaganda manufactures consent, anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. The latter is to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% that is the non-elite majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. (that EM is a member of)
2:10 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - excellent take. Yep - EM is part of the anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the established elite. Established elite propaganda manufactures consent, anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. The latter is to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% that is the non-elite majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. (that EM is a member of)
2:10 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822618984799416511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - as is their form, as per the usual, CA-lifornian techies assume "we are the world", then go forth and apply ideas of a very specific country (CA part of US), from a very specific time (1990+), to everything and all in their path. All while decrying the "globalist elite". It's amusing and entertaining though. Latest gem I saw from the chief-Twit and cd not resist the temptation to give back e piece of my mind 😂😂😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822612543539404846
2:00 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - as is their form, as per the usual, CA-lifornian techies assume "we are the world", then go forth and apply ideas of a very specific country (CA part of US), from a very specific time (1990+), to everything and all in their path. All while decrying the "globalist elite". It's amusing and entertaining though. Latest gem I saw from the chief-Twit and cd not resist the temptation to give back e piece of my mind 😂😂😂
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822612543539404846
2:00 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822617131172733238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whattt?? Surprised to hear EEurope cities were dangerous in the 1990-s... Socialism had bazillion failings, but not high crime rates afa I remember from my childhood. Key-around-the-neck and walking home to school & back since 7-8-9yo, roaming the neighborhood after school with friends - that was my childhood. Back home upon friends dispersing b/c of mums shouting from balconies to come back home for dinner, or on nightfall, or us getting exhausted or bored.
1:52 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whattt?? Surprised to hear EEurope cities were dangerous in the 1990-s... Socialism had bazillion failings, but not high crime rates afa I remember from my childhood. Key-around-the-neck and walking home to school & back since 7-8-9yo, roaming the neighborhood after school with friends - that was my childhood. Back home upon friends dispersing b/c of mums shouting from balconies to come back home for dinner, or on nightfall, or us getting exhausted or bored.
1:52 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822614785323614433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! - I actually use ncdu, forgot to add to the the list. Don't find wiztree for Ubuntu, but http://perplexity.ai finds me other WinDirStat-equivalents - for anyone reading: Babobab (Gnome), QDirStat (presume QT based), K4DirStat (KDE I presume), Filelight, SquirrelDisk.
From perplexity.ai
1:43 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! - I actually use ncdu, forgot to add to the the list. Don't find wiztree for Ubuntu, but http://perplexity.ai finds me other WinDirStat-equivalents - for anyone reading: Babobab (Gnome), QDirStat (presume QT based), K4DirStat (KDE I presume), Filelight, SquirrelDisk.
From perplexity.ai
1:43 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822612543539404846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 In your dreams maybe you are the rebel resistance - touching and endearing.
In reality you're but the richest person in the world, have the possible future country president on speed dial, you're aligned with and financing the party controlling most of the country's legislatures as well as the top level of judiciary.
You are anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the establishment elite. Easy to discern: the establishment elite propaganda manufactures consent, the anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. For the readers: the latter tries to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% of us the great majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. (that EM is a member of)
1:34 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 In your dreams maybe you are the rebel resistance - touching and endearing.
In reality you're but the richest person in the world, have the possible future country president on speed dial, you're aligned with and financing the party controlling most of the country's legislatures as well as the top level of judiciary.
You are anti-establishment elite, battling for supremacy with the establishment elite. Easy to discern: the establishment elite propaganda manufactures consent, the anti-establishment elite propaganda manufactures discontent. For the readers: the latter tries to rile up the rubes, the bottom 10% semi-criminal of the 90% of us the great majority, in sufficient numbers, as to overthrown the established elite and replace it with a new one. (that EM is a member of)
1:34 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822607484567126400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - but regardless, assets are ownership tied to the country so not really movable. Example on shares -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822365099245343179
It's no doubt doable. Then the Qs are is it a good idea, will it work i.e. achieve the desired aim, what are the negatives the ill effects, and then the politics of it (that's another long chain - but also doable).
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 21h
Replying to @HenricCont and @garyseconomics
No? I own £10M of shares in Sainsburys, and now can take those shares... - where exactly? My Sainsburys shares are issued by the London Stack Exchange. Shares can't move. Sure - a Big bank wd oblige me and write me some derivative to transfer ownership while I keep any gain/loss.
Show more
1:14 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - but regardless, assets are ownership tied to the country so not really movable. Example on shares -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822365099245343179
It's no doubt doable. Then the Qs are is it a good idea, will it work i.e. achieve the desired aim, what are the negatives the ill effects, and then the politics of it (that's another long chain - but also doable).
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 21h
Replying to @HenricCont and @garyseconomics
No? I own £10M of shares in Sainsburys, and now can take those shares... - where exactly? My Sainsburys shares are issued by the London Stack Exchange. Shares can't move. Sure - a Big bank wd oblige me and write me some derivative to transfer ownership while I keep any gain/loss.
Show more
1:14 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822597350549860421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found this article @JeremiahDJohns to be explaining well imo what we see daily of EM https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it , and another one (referenced from inside) https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an giving longer term background too. What's written there to me afaics explains what we are witnessing
12:34 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found this article @JeremiahDJohns to be explaining well imo what we see daily of EM https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it , and another one (referenced from inside) https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an giving longer term background too. What's written there to me afaics explains what we are witnessing
12:34 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822595909646942316
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not *automatically*, but it's *necessary*, if not *sufficient* condition. Consider - for desired outcome D (=increase number pf people getting homes), maybe per-requisites A, B, and C must happen. All three of them - not just one. Assume the above is A=increase supply, build more. While it is not sufficient, it is necessary. Does this model make things make more sense? Then there will be factors B=offer price (we don't want ask price to go up much), also C=finance availability (affects the bid price) and so on.
12:28 PM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not *automatically*, but it's *necessary*, if not *sufficient* condition. Consider - for desired outcome D (=increase number pf people getting homes), maybe per-requisites A, B, and C must happen. All three of them - not just one. Assume the above is A=increase supply, build more. While it is not sufficient, it is necessary. Does this model make things make more sense? Then there will be factors B=offer price (we don't want ask price to go up much), also C=finance availability (affects the bid price) and so on.
12:28 PM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822572347712262461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah. I think "what you see is what you get" and "take people at their word" is the best performing judgement strategy. Yes it makes errors but all strategies make errors judging and I think this one errs the least of all alternatives I can think of. (mind games, 8dim chess, etc)
10:54 AM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah. I think "what you see is what you get" and "take people at their word" is the best performing judgement strategy. Yes it makes errors but all strategies make errors judging and I think this one errs the least of all alternatives I can think of. (mind games, 8dim chess, etc)
10:54 AM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822560783101776310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use it b/c of the extensions I use (NoScript, uBlock, etc). I use Chrome too - that one is without any extensions. Also Edge at some point when the MS version of ChatGPT appeared (forgot the name), that has now fallen into disuse somewhat (given the proliferation of AI offerings), and b/c it used to pin one core at 100% too often.
10:08 AM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use it b/c of the extensions I use (NoScript, uBlock, etc). I use Chrome too - that one is without any extensions. Also Edge at some point when the MS version of ChatGPT appeared (forgot the name), that has now fallen into disuse somewhat (given the proliferation of AI offerings), and b/c it used to pin one core at 100% too often.
10:08 AM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822559139429527944
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks 🙏😊 forgot to add on that list - ssh, rsync, rcopy, screen (the multiplexer), Spyder, python
10:02 AM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks 🙏😊 forgot to add on that list - ssh, rsync, rcopy, screen (the multiplexer), Spyder, python
10:02 AM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822550131868131402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found this article @JeremiahDJohns to be explaining well imo everything we see daily of EM https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it , and another one https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an (referenced from inside) gives longer term background too. What's written there to me explains it completely.
From infinitescroll.us
9:26 AM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found this article @JeremiahDJohns to be explaining well imo everything we see daily of EM https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it , and another one https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an (referenced from inside) gives longer term background too. What's written there to me explains it completely.
From infinitescroll.us
9:26 AM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822543600682414158
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can - but the property is in the UK, it can be taxed. There maybe a record of the Ultimatey benefitial owner, but even when obscured: if the tax man wants it can ultimately seize the property if due tax is unpaid. The owner will show up without a fail - that's not a problem.
In the replies 2 possible negatives were mentioned:
1. Was tried in France and Sweden -failed and abandoned. (didn't check what happened myself)
2. Asset prices will decline, the higher the tax, the more they decline, the less tax is collected. This to be expected - so the better question is: how much of that, quantify it.
9:00 AM · Aug 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can - but the property is in the UK, it can be taxed. There maybe a record of the Ultimatey benefitial owner, but even when obscured: if the tax man wants it can ultimately seize the property if due tax is unpaid. The owner will show up without a fail - that's not a problem.
In the replies 2 possible negatives were mentioned:
1. Was tried in France and Sweden -failed and abandoned. (didn't check what happened myself)
2. Asset prices will decline, the higher the tax, the more they decline, the less tax is collected. This to be expected - so the better question is: how much of that, quantify it.
9:00 AM · Aug 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822397614563983451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf - it was always thus, it would be surprising if it was the other way around; learning acquiring new knowledge is hard
11:20 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf - it was always thus, it would be surprising if it was the other way around; learning acquiring new knowledge is hard
11:20 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822394507633299952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... do you have this in mind? -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822365099245343179
Further down there is imo a better counter argument: wealth tax tried in France and Sweden and failed.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 21h
Replying to @HenricCont and @garyseconomics
No? I own £10M of shares in Sainsburys, and now can take those shares... - where exactly? My Sainsburys shares are issued by the London Stack Exchange. Shares can't move. Sure - a Big bank wd oblige me and write me some derivative to transfer ownership while I keep any gain/loss.
Show more
11:08 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... do you have this in mind? -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822365099245343179
Further down there is imo a better counter argument: wealth tax tried in France and Sweden and failed.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 21h
Replying to @HenricCont and @garyseconomics
No? I own £10M of shares in Sainsburys, and now can take those shares... - where exactly? My Sainsburys shares are issued by the London Stack Exchange. Shares can't move. Sure - a Big bank wd oblige me and write me some derivative to transfer ownership while I keep any gain/loss.
Show more
11:08 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822386424282316884
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - good to learn that it was tried (and failed). Had forgotten about those examples. France public ownership - I thought FR gov is already a big share holder of some of their biggest companies? Is this what you mention - or something else?
10:35 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - good to learn that it was tried (and failed). Had forgotten about those examples. France public ownership - I thought FR gov is already a big share holder of some of their biggest companies? Is this what you mention - or something else?
10:35 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822378775662698877
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect the OP may agree with that graph on the geographic inequality. But that is a separate discussion unrelated to original that was: wealth tax possible - yes/no, and latter wealth tax bad - yes/no.
10:05 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect the OP may agree with that graph on the geographic inequality. But that is a separate discussion unrelated to original that was: wealth tax possible - yes/no, and latter wealth tax bad - yes/no.
10:05 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822375095676924040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Ok, fwiw I don't think his proposal is 100% tax rate of wealth, b/c as you correctly say - that can be only done once, and will lead to complete ruination of the nation. IDK what exact number he proposes, but think we can safely say the number will be much less than 100%.
9:50 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Ok, fwiw I don't think his proposal is 100% tax rate of wealth, b/c as you correctly say - that can be only done once, and will lead to complete ruination of the nation. IDK what exact number he proposes, but think we can safely say the number will be much less than 100%.
9:50 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822373516781539819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok, so we got somewhere after all. :-) So you understand it's possible, and how it's possible - but it's a bad thing to do. Like - a feasible thing to do, but it's a bad idea to do.
9:44 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok, so we got somewhere after all. :-) So you understand it's possible, and how it's possible - but it's a bad thing to do. Like - a feasible thing to do, but it's a bad idea to do.
9:44 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822371021631987843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... for the 4th time: the new owner will own the same shares, and those shares are taxed. Regardless of the owner. Tax on assets is not tax on income. Owners are perfectly fine to sell them off, take their cash and go buy elsewhere. The assets stay, only the owner changes.
9:34 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... for the 4th time: the new owner will own the same shares, and those shares are taxed. Regardless of the owner. Tax on assets is not tax on income. Owners are perfectly fine to sell them off, take their cash and go buy elsewhere. The assets stay, only the owner changes.
9:34 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822369735985553781
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... for the 3rd time: it's not the owner that is taxed, it's the shares issued by the London Stock Exchange that are taxed. Are you deliberately intentionally not understanding or ... ??? I'm at loss to comprehend what's difficult to understand here.
9:29 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... for the 3rd time: it's not the owner that is taxed, it's the shares issued by the London Stock Exchange that are taxed. Are you deliberately intentionally not understanding or ... ??? I'm at loss to comprehend what's difficult to understand here.
9:29 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822365099245343179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No? I own £10M of shares in Sainsburys, and now can take those shares... - where exactly? My Sainsburys shares are issued by the London Stack Exchange. Shares can't move. Sure - a Big bank wd oblige me and write me some derivative to transfer ownership while I keep any gain/loss. But again - that is regulated, it's known, the ultimate beneficial owner etc is not a secret. What am I missing?
9:11 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No? I own £10M of shares in Sainsburys, and now can take those shares... - where exactly? My Sainsburys shares are issued by the London Stack Exchange. Shares can't move. Sure - a Big bank wd oblige me and write me some derivative to transfer ownership while I keep any gain/loss. But again - that is regulated, it's known, the ultimate beneficial owner etc is not a secret. What am I missing?
9:11 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822363061350797478
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you miss the part "... person can leave, but the assets stay in the UK"? His proposed tax is on assets appreciation, on wealth value increase - not on income. I'm not saying it's good or bad (idk) - but you are not addressing his claim.
9:03 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you miss the part "... person can leave, but the assets stay in the UK"? His proposed tax is on assets appreciation, on wealth value increase - not on income. I'm not saying it's good or bad (idk) - but you are not addressing his claim.
9:03 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822360595842089424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... because it's assets that are taxed - and not the people. And assets don't move, even when people move. Very well explained. 👏👏
8:53 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... because it's assets that are taxed - and not the people. And assets don't move, even when people move. Very well explained. 👏👏
8:53 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822352364327596051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narcissists' playbook this? "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I meant it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
8:20 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narcissists' playbook this? "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I meant it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again."
8:20 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822339352015278583
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bash awk and the rest of the gnu tools, vim, git, gcc and g++, make, Linux, X-windows, Gnome, Firefox, Thunderbird, Double commander, Evince, VLC player - like them all, my life would be worse if they didn't exist
7:28 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bash awk and the rest of the gnu tools, vim, git, gcc and g++, make, Linux, X-windows, Gnome, Firefox, Thunderbird, Double commander, Evince, VLC player - like them all, my life would be worse if they didn't exist
7:28 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822337424262897780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha :-) - thanks! by http://greenretreats.co.uk; not affiliated with them in any way, just like they did a good, clean - and quick! - job back in 2015
From greenretreats.co.uk
7:21 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha :-) - thanks! by http://greenretreats.co.uk; not affiliated with them in any way, just like they did a good, clean - and quick! - job back in 2015
From greenretreats.co.uk
7:21 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822334791007502539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ehhhh... they are not interested in the state, but the state is interested in them! (and at that point they become interested on the state...)
7:10 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ehhhh... they are not interested in the state, but the state is interested in them! (and at that point they become interested on the state...)
7:10 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822334114868904110
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
А времето?? Па кај ќе најдеш на друго место вакво перфектно лето! (ова не е иронично!)
Image
7:08 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
А времето?? Па кај ќе најдеш на друго место вакво перфектно лето! (ова не е иронично!)
Image
7:08 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822333325899444297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - a perfect summer too as far as I'm concerned
Image
7:04 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - a perfect summer too as far as I'm concerned
Image
7:04 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822320953684005035
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
freedom (to experiment, to try, to learn from others talking), scale (people - workers consuners, capital, market to sell)?
6:15 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
freedom (to experiment, to try, to learn from others talking), scale (people - workers consuners, capital, market to sell)?
6:15 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822318745617912045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's morally right. In fact it's a moral obligation. Putting everyone else to suffer because I suffer is odious, not only immoral. During my obligatory national service that was the most frequent answer when asking a superior Q: Why do you torture us? A: I suffered then and so can you now. Psychopaths' dream, manifest. EM needs help, he's lost.
6:07 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it's morally right. In fact it's a moral obligation. Putting everyone else to suffer because I suffer is odious, not only immoral. During my obligatory national service that was the most frequent answer when asking a superior Q: Why do you torture us? A: I suffered then and so can you now. Psychopaths' dream, manifest. EM needs help, he's lost.
6:07 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822316521617543321
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No games no GPUs no AGI - no? May yet turn out young people doing what they please / play games to be very consequential. Why hate on the young? Why assume the worst?
5:58 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No games no GPUs no AGI - no? May yet turn out young people doing what they please / play games to be very consequential. Why hate on the young? Why assume the worst?
5:58 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822313019684098289
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am hoping and hoping for such thing - but they never do that, do they? With the number of Billionaires in Silicon Valley and libertarianism's popularity, I really hoped it wd happen by now. US has a long tradition of small scale utopian experiments too. All is good to go imo. No shortage of people lacking ambition either. JustDoIt. Both participants joining in, and the rest not joining in will learn a lot. Startup countries or societies should be a thing, given the idea of X Mars colony.
5:44 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am hoping and hoping for such thing - but they never do that, do they? With the number of Billionaires in Silicon Valley and libertarianism's popularity, I really hoped it wd happen by now. US has a long tradition of small scale utopian experiments too. All is good to go imo. No shortage of people lacking ambition either. JustDoIt. Both participants joining in, and the rest not joining in will learn a lot. Startup countries or societies should be a thing, given the idea of X Mars colony.
5:44 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822307554933821582
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So everyone is free to publish atm - great! I love that. Is the question: should I suffer consequences if it can reasonably be determined (presumably in a court of law) that my speech instigated violence IRL? Regardless of what I said is true or false? Or maybe only if it's judged to have been false? What's the argument pls?
5:22 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So everyone is free to publish atm - great! I love that. Is the question: should I suffer consequences if it can reasonably be determined (presumably in a court of law) that my speech instigated violence IRL? Regardless of what I said is true or false? Or maybe only if it's judged to have been false? What's the argument pls?
5:22 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822300611867562213
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK and too lazy to ask ChatGPT rn, so will guess blindly: they grow half-developed testes, somewhere in the body hidden, and never develop a penis? my best guess while wholly ignorant of what happens next
4:54 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK and too lazy to ask ChatGPT rn, so will guess blindly: they grow half-developed testes, somewhere in the body hidden, and never develop a penis? my best guess while wholly ignorant of what happens next
4:54 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822299559508193394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - not intentionally, I thought there is an argument there how much free speech vv. truth/falsehood. May work out as you say yet 😅 TBS
4:50 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - not intentionally, I thought there is an argument there how much free speech vv. truth/falsehood. May work out as you say yet 😅 TBS
4:50 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822296636065784072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - there is always some risk, there is no complete certainty. Posting this may land me in trouble. Is it a bad thing to have skin in the game at all times? Nothing to be absolutely zero risk? Everyone of us to feel just a tiny bit of pressure to get it right rather than wrong? I always remember how even a token fee for food in a school canteen cuts the otherwise frequent food fights drastically. One may even say - am I even an existing individual if no matter what I do it doesn't matter one iota. Yeah I agree we don't want to be jailing people to stop them expressing their opinions. We want everyone to be able to express themselves should they choose to.
4:39 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - there is always some risk, there is no complete certainty. Posting this may land me in trouble. Is it a bad thing to have skin in the game at all times? Nothing to be absolutely zero risk? Everyone of us to feel just a tiny bit of pressure to get it right rather than wrong? I always remember how even a token fee for food in a school canteen cuts the otherwise frequent food fights drastically. One may even say - am I even an existing individual if no matter what I do it doesn't matter one iota. Yeah I agree we don't want to be jailing people to stop them expressing their opinions. We want everyone to be able to express themselves should they choose to.
4:39 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822294055474147439
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - if and when *the truth* is suppressed. Is every speech suppress on X suppressing the truth though? Any instances of non-truths suppressed on X? I like my free speech very much too. I can post both truths and untruths on X. So speech-truth are related but not identical.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 9h
Freedom of speech is the bedrock of democracy. If the truth is suppressed, it is impossible to make an informed voting decision.
The degree to which freedom of speech is being undermined around the world is extremely alarming.
Rate proposed Community Notes
4:28 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - if and when *the truth* is suppressed. Is every speech suppress on X suppressing the truth though? Any instances of non-truths suppressed on X? I like my free speech very much too. I can post both truths and untruths on X. So speech-truth are related but not identical.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 9h
Freedom of speech is the bedrock of democracy. If the truth is suppressed, it is impossible to make an informed voting decision.
The degree to which freedom of speech is being undermined around the world is extremely alarming.
Rate proposed Community Notes
4:28 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822259593352782128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - if *the truth* is suppressed. Is every speech suppression on X suppressing the truth though? Are there instance of non-truths suppressed as well? Speech is means of communication. I can post both truths and untruths on X. So speech-truth are related but not identical.
2:11 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - if *the truth* is suppressed. Is every speech suppression on X suppressing the truth though? Are there instance of non-truths suppressed as well? Speech is means of communication. I can post both truths and untruths on X. So speech-truth are related but not identical.
2:11 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822257348506693651
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks good to learn. Affirms (by not contradicting) my mental model "Y is a program of instructions, its execution is the process of building the male half of the species" (and by extension "the default of the species is female; XX but also very rare malfunctioning Y").
2:03 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks good to learn. Affirms (by not contradicting) my mental model "Y is a program of instructions, its execution is the process of building the male half of the species" (and by extension "the default of the species is female; XX but also very rare malfunctioning Y").
2:03 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822236559896113222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quickly dial on the phone call them, let them know, it's not occurred to them yet - that's why they are not doing it. they don't know yet!
12:40 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quickly dial on the phone call them, let them know, it's not occurred to them yet - that's why they are not doing it. they don't know yet!
12:40 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822232134649606295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree on the 2nd point ("live better than kings of past"), disagree on 1sr point "meaningless": that's too strong, $$$ is meaningful for me as with $$$ I buy time for example. Society is "1t come 1st serve" (great!) but with qualification "must bring enough $$$ tokens to consume the service/good". (uh-oh) The $$$ tokens are a means of rationing, as we don't have universal infinite abundance. (despite having much higher abundance than in the past; higher yes, infinite no)
12:22 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree on the 2nd point ("live better than kings of past"), disagree on 1sr point "meaningless": that's too strong, $$$ is meaningful for me as with $$$ I buy time for example. Society is "1t come 1st serve" (great!) but with qualification "must bring enough $$$ tokens to consume the service/good". (uh-oh) The $$$ tokens are a means of rationing, as we don't have universal infinite abundance. (despite having much higher abundance than in the past; higher yes, infinite no)
12:22 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822230569373061242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - yes read/learned abt that recently. Was just wondering if that model that's "Y is a program that's activated and run in XY cells; also impossible for XX cells to run it as Y program is missing" is sufficiently true.
(that's "RD" Richard Dawkins not "EM" above, a typo)
12:16 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - yes read/learned abt that recently. Was just wondering if that model that's "Y is a program that's activated and run in XY cells; also impossible for XX cells to run it as Y program is missing" is sufficiently true.
(that's "RD" Richard Dawkins not "EM" above, a typo)
12:16 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822228829257052658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I think women are explicitly forbidden in say FA man's football. I remember reading or hearing on radio it was not always like that - here is what ChatGPT finds
Image
12:09 PM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes I think women are explicitly forbidden in say FA man's football. I remember reading or hearing on radio it was not always like that - here is what ChatGPT finds
Image
12:09 PM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822223694179000807
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(btw ... "it that's the case" - yep, that's exactly what I wanted to find out preferably from EM, if/how true is the model/view I atm have in mu head that "Y is a program, a list of instructions, and its execution is the process of building the male part of the species")
11:49 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(btw ... "it that's the case" - yep, that's exactly what I wanted to find out preferably from EM, if/how true is the model/view I atm have in mu head that "Y is a program, a list of instructions, and its execution is the process of building the male part of the species")
11:49 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822222128638222556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep division is a dangerous transform, good to be on guard assuming possible ill-effects. Addition and multiplication on the other hand - much calmer waters. :-)
11:43 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep division is a dangerous transform, good to be on guard assuming possible ill-effects. Addition and multiplication on the other hand - much calmer waters. :-)
11:43 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822217740926480752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Line will be drawn randomly, arbitrarily, and I presume on a case by case basis, as we are doing now by discussing all this in the open. 😁 This is the process of drafting that line. 😀 Not relevant to this but completely complementary (if related): was chuffed to learn that in chess there is not a male-only category. Only women only category exists. So women are completely free to compete with man as they please. (but the opposite is not the case ofc) That seems like a low hanging fruit for other sports to take on?
11:25 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Line will be drawn randomly, arbitrarily, and I presume on a case by case basis, as we are doing now by discussing all this in the open. 😁 This is the process of drafting that line. 😀 Not relevant to this but completely complementary (if related): was chuffed to learn that in chess there is not a male-only category. Only women only category exists. So women are completely free to compete with man as they please. (but the opposite is not the case ofc) That seems like a low hanging fruit for other sports to take on?
11:25 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822215897618030991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
true that >1 possible, but not much more - "to govern is to choose" is true too
11:18 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
true that >1 possible, but not much more - "to govern is to choose" is true too
11:18 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822215628117205371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - much easier, much better PR, and better short term gain too. In contrast, making the argument to the country for say - hypothetically, just a random example this - "wealth tax of 0.5 p.a. on assets above £10M", that would be much much harder to do.
11:17 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - much easier, much better PR, and better short term gain too. In contrast, making the argument to the country for say - hypothetically, just a random example this - "wealth tax of 0.5 p.a. on assets above £10M", that would be much much harder to do.
11:17 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822206970117378082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She hasn't a clue what to replace it with - so a NO from me. Trying new things is good - but has costs. Most new things fail. Esp skeptical given her class seems to have learned zero from the last grand utopian experiment (within living memory - esp *mine*!). Nah - if I'm forced to chose I'd go for techno libertarians as having a better shot at changing improving building new. Now if only these hot heads were more engineers and less ideologues...
10:42 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She hasn't a clue what to replace it with - so a NO from me. Trying new things is good - but has costs. Most new things fail. Esp skeptical given her class seems to have learned zero from the last grand utopian experiment (within living memory - esp *mine*!). Nah - if I'm forced to chose I'd go for techno libertarians as having a better shot at changing improving building new. Now if only these hot heads were more engineers and less ideologues...
10:42 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822199221644149125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can look for evidence as well to quantify the size of the effect in entrepreneurship startups success unicorns etc other measures in the nordic countries: both large and separate enough so to qualify as on a macro scale, social net so strong as to be almost effectively UBI.
10:12 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can look for evidence as well to quantify the size of the effect in entrepreneurship startups success unicorns etc other measures in the nordic countries: both large and separate enough so to qualify as on a macro scale, social net so strong as to be almost effectively UBI.
10:12 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822196076356514151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good food for thought though. 😊 Let's take the 2nd most import item (as singular easer to work with than the 1st - food) - shelter, housing. It wd mean a government program of building housing. So presumably a government (maybe local gov?) owned building company building houses and selling them on the open market? The difference to existing builders being - the ownership structure and thus filtering to incentives maybe: stay in profit, must be profit>0 positive, but no incentive to maximise profit, don't chase max{profit}. Instead, chase max{volume}, incentive is to build *and sell* (v.important to sell them too) the largest volume by units. The company would be bankrupt shut down as any other company if it loses $$$. So not immortal like a government, can die if bad. Selling on the open market will put it under market discipline. I'm sceptical abt gov anything - but I guess one could do small scale experiments? Not unlike the UBI ones. Opportunity for cozy low level corruption I guess with other gov branches doing planning and building permits - but that'd be no worse than existing private non-gov builders?
9:59 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good food for thought though. 😊 Let's take the 2nd most import item (as singular easer to work with than the 1st - food) - shelter, housing. It wd mean a government program of building housing. So presumably a government (maybe local gov?) owned building company building houses and selling them on the open market? The difference to existing builders being - the ownership structure and thus filtering to incentives maybe: stay in profit, must be profit>0 positive, but no incentive to maximise profit, don't chase max{profit}. Instead, chase max{volume}, incentive is to build *and sell* (v.important to sell them too) the largest volume by units. The company would be bankrupt shut down as any other company if it loses $$$. So not immortal like a government, can die if bad. Selling on the open market will put it under market discipline. I'm sceptical abt gov anything - but I guess one could do small scale experiments? Not unlike the UBI ones. Opportunity for cozy low level corruption I guess with other gov branches doing planning and building permits - but that'd be no worse than existing private non-gov builders?
9:59 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822189383891464297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Have seen a video or two of him on YT. Sadly given up on books reading - there is not enough time in this ife. 😊 With everyone online all the time all ideas quantized discrete (not only memes) - I think we get the imbibe the gist, the most important 20% anyway. (still make the effort to collect things I find important in LJ-books-papers folder, but mostly out of sense of diligence and b/c it's easy). Zeihan ideas - yeah futurists imagine the future and I like hearing and thinking abt it as the next person. But ofc and understandable that they are often wrong and the future pans out different.
9:32 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Have seen a video or two of him on YT. Sadly given up on books reading - there is not enough time in this ife. 😊 With everyone online all the time all ideas quantized discrete (not only memes) - I think we get the imbibe the gist, the most important 20% anyway. (still make the effort to collect things I find important in LJ-books-papers folder, but mostly out of sense of diligence and b/c it's easy). Zeihan ideas - yeah futurists imagine the future and I like hearing and thinking abt it as the next person. But ofc and understandable that they are often wrong and the future pans out different.
9:32 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822185549697806420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ok agi, persuade me that there are no positive feedback loops when humans interact within human groups
9:17 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ok agi, persuade me that there are no positive feedback loops when humans interact within human groups
9:17 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822181870739623947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not on the censorship, not on this case, but in general. To me Y in XY means the programs (the sets of instructions) of how to build a male are present, so they can potentially be put in action (and usually are). But a mere presence does not make it certain that the Y programs were executed and put in action during development. No?
9:03 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not on the censorship, not on this case, but in general. To me Y in XY means the programs (the sets of instructions) of how to build a male are present, so they can potentially be put in action (and usually are). But a mere presence does not make it certain that the Y programs were executed and put in action during development. No?
9:03 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822180216082432108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS, TBS 😊 - culture can change quickly, cultures can turn on a dime. Necessity being the mother of invention. Nothing is pre-ordained.
8:56 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS, TBS 😊 - culture can change quickly, cultures can turn on a dime. Necessity being the mother of invention. Nothing is pre-ordained.
8:56 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822177518624834019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interpretations A: us older generations have made life so sh*t for younger generations that they refuse to procreate anymore. B: older generations have made life so good for younger generations that they have better, more interesting, more fulfilling things to do with their time than to procreate.
8:45 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interpretations A: us older generations have made life so sh*t for younger generations that they refuse to procreate anymore. B: older generations have made life so good for younger generations that they have better, more interesting, more fulfilling things to do with their time than to procreate.
8:45 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822174359655448716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there is nothing ever 100% safe, 100% safe for whatever safe means is a mirage. just release early release often. the moving parts will adjust to accommodate the newly changed wheel. and all wheels will continue turning.
8:33 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
there is nothing ever 100% safe, 100% safe for whatever safe means is a mirage. just release early release often. the moving parts will adjust to accommodate the newly changed wheel. and all wheels will continue turning.
8:33 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822173406348910732
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
you are more powerful than you imagine
8:29 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
you are more powerful than you imagine
8:29 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1822172851119575501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS what happens, it's going to be a natural experiment. We know little how large nation-size groups of people work at group level. We can't do controlled experiments, so knowledge here is hard to come by.
8:27 AM · Aug 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS what happens, it's going to be a natural experiment. We know little how large nation-size groups of people work at group level. We can't do controlled experiments, so knowledge here is hard to come by.
8:27 AM · Aug 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821942844505858486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With great power comes great responsibility. Each of us gained power to beam our thoughts onto the screens of billions of people. What happened to having some spine and accepting personal responsibility for our actions?? Ofc when it comes to law judges are to determine what's reasonable or not - there is not an algorithm for that.
5:13 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With great power comes great responsibility. Each of us gained power to beam our thoughts onto the screens of billions of people. What happened to having some spine and accepting personal responsibility for our actions?? Ofc when it comes to law judges are to determine what's reasonable or not - there is not an algorithm for that.
5:13 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821932537549050002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Public square N^2 wins every time. The iron law of social anything. Still - touching to witness the sweet summer children, their hopes and dreams.
4:32 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Public square N^2 wins every time. The iron law of social anything. Still - touching to witness the sweet summer children, their hopes and dreams.
4:32 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821929110186123651
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ugh - not sure abt this. UK liberals (both left and right) were united and merciless by the challenge that was Corbyn few years ago. Zero allowances were given afaics.
4:18 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ugh - not sure abt this. UK liberals (both left and right) were united and merciless by the challenge that was Corbyn few years ago. Zero allowances were given afaics.
4:18 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821924359738409178
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the purpose of others that maybe not get the irony - on the contrary, v.bad.
Some things are done but not talked. Other things are talked but not done.
When people say "just be yourselves, will be fine" - that's a terrible advice! Be the best version you can muster.
my 2p
3:59 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the purpose of others that maybe not get the irony - on the contrary, v.bad.
Some things are done but not talked. Other things are talked but not done.
When people say "just be yourselves, will be fine" - that's a terrible advice! Be the best version you can muster.
my 2p
3:59 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821895398778098168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right - I can't. And even if my heading reads "2013", I did not use Twitter much until years latter. So mine is a very particular view. I've using it in parallel with using bsky and mastodon from time time, and by the sheer volume of content (both good and bad) Twitter dwarfs them. My point was that this is entirely unsurprising. It's expected and explained in (computer) networks: the number of connections ~N^2 grows with the square of the number of nodes ~N. And the value grows with the connections. Social networks seems to be on the more extreme end of "winner takes all", unfortunately.
2:04 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right - I can't. And even if my heading reads "2013", I did not use Twitter much until years latter. So mine is a very particular view. I've using it in parallel with using bsky and mastodon from time time, and by the sheer volume of content (both good and bad) Twitter dwarfs them. My point was that this is entirely unsurprising. It's expected and explained in (computer) networks: the number of connections ~N^2 grows with the square of the number of nodes ~N. And the value grows with the connections. Social networks seems to be on the more extreme end of "winner takes all", unfortunately.
2:04 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821886434745159734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If only they'd do that - wd be a huge service to humanity. Likewise for the libertarians. With all the hot air coming from the Silicon Valley on that subject, I'd have expected by now (been >30yrs since the 1st dot-com boom billionaires?) there wd be at least 1 startup state up & running.
1:29 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If only they'd do that - wd be a huge service to humanity. Likewise for the libertarians. With all the hot air coming from the Silicon Valley on that subject, I'd have expected by now (been >30yrs since the 1st dot-com boom billionaires?) there wd be at least 1 startup state up & running.
1:29 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821884136786682124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right: those bubbles are almost by definition necessary for breakthroughs. And yes, much will be wasted - but that's the nature of R&D, if we knew what's not going to work, we wd not be doing it ofc! :-) Many are truly uncomfortable with the idea "we put all this effort time material $$$, but we failed didn't pan out" that almost block that aspect and just zoom in on the successes. :-) And find the fails surprising as if a fail is an exception rather than an expectation. You are right that the scale of capital (ultimately the domestic market that supports that) and number of people trying (that sharpen the competition) are unique in scale to US and China. That's why the future happens there first.
1:20 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right: those bubbles are almost by definition necessary for breakthroughs. And yes, much will be wasted - but that's the nature of R&D, if we knew what's not going to work, we wd not be doing it ofc! :-) Many are truly uncomfortable with the idea "we put all this effort time material $$$, but we failed didn't pan out" that almost block that aspect and just zoom in on the successes. :-) And find the fails surprising as if a fail is an exception rather than an expectation. You are right that the scale of capital (ultimately the domestic market that supports that) and number of people trying (that sharpen the competition) are unique in scale to US and China. That's why the future happens there first.
1:20 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821881920361259516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... zaboraviv - ideata deka ima vrska so kapitalizam. Anegdotalno, jas porasnav vo socijalizam vo MK, i tamu prirodata bese mnogu poloso tretirana, otkolku sto e ovde vo kapitalizam vo UK. Nemame veke alternativen sistem, mozebi Kina e polu-kapitalizam (drzaven, namesto liberalen), i ovde https://ourworldindata.org/biodiversity mozebi ke se najde nekoja vrska - ne sum se posvetil. Pak anegdotalno - stalno sum iznenaden kolku e MK sogolena bez shumi (i Crna Gora i Hrvatska kade sum bil), i mislam drvjata i shumite se iseceni uste pred vekovi (moze i vo RImsko/Vizantisko vreme), znaci vo feudalizam.
1:11 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... zaboraviv - ideata deka ima vrska so kapitalizam. Anegdotalno, jas porasnav vo socijalizam vo MK, i tamu prirodata bese mnogu poloso tretirana, otkolku sto e ovde vo kapitalizam vo UK. Nemame veke alternativen sistem, mozebi Kina e polu-kapitalizam (drzaven, namesto liberalen), i ovde https://ourworldindata.org/biodiversity mozebi ke se najde nekoja vrska - ne sum se posvetil. Pak anegdotalno - stalno sum iznenaden kolku e MK sogolena bez shumi (i Crna Gora i Hrvatska kade sum bil), i mislam drvjata i shumite se iseceni uste pred vekovi (moze i vo RImsko/Vizantisko vreme), znaci vo feudalizam.
1:11 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821875591953391976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and b/c everyone else is here. Be honest pls. There's 100 times more here (truly bad, but also good) then elsewhere. It's the nature of a *single* public square. The value grows with connections and those grow with the *square* of the number of us, the nodes. as simple as
12:46 PM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and b/c everyone else is here. Be honest pls. There's 100 times more here (truly bad, but also good) then elsewhere. It's the nature of a *single* public square. The value grows with connections and those grow with the *square* of the number of us, the nodes. as simple as
12:46 PM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821850081017929963
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne go smetam toa samo zaradi GDP (iako e gdp ok). Gledam imavme ~30% namaluvanje na kupovnata mok, i siromastijata, nezadovolstvo se zgolemi. Vo zemji vo razvoj na pr. Srilanka. Se slozuvam prirodata praka signali. Ne se slozuvam so Hinkl sto nie treba da pravime po toj osnov.
11:04 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne go smetam toa samo zaradi GDP (iako e gdp ok). Gledam imavme ~30% namaluvanje na kupovnata mok, i siromastijata, nezadovolstvo se zgolemi. Vo zemji vo razvoj na pr. Srilanka. Se slozuvam prirodata praka signali. Ne se slozuvam so Hinkl sto nie treba da pravime po toj osnov.
11:04 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821818252420345945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After reading background https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an and foreground https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it by @JeremiahDJohns I think salvation path for EM is to spend more time with Grok. Esp to run his dumb takes on not-technology through Grok before publishing them to his 100M customers.
From infinitescroll.us
8:58 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After reading background https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an and foreground https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it by @JeremiahDJohns I think salvation path for EM is to spend more time with Grok. Esp to run his dumb takes on not-technology through Grok before publishing them to his 100M customers.
From infinitescroll.us
8:58 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821810264527827022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas mislam taa Degrowth idea na Hickel e recept za siromastija i mizerija, i deka nema sansi nekade vo svet dobrovolno lugeto da go napravat toa sto Degrowth go predlaga kako resenie. Sto god da e problemot (biodiverzitet etc) - ne gledam kako Degrowth e resenie.
8:26 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas mislam taa Degrowth idea na Hickel e recept za siromastija i mizerija, i deka nema sansi nekade vo svet dobrovolno lugeto da go napravat toa sto Degrowth go predlaga kako resenie. Sto god da e problemot (biodiverzitet etc) - ne gledam kako Degrowth e resenie.
8:26 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821805326686884337
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cccc - koga ke raspletat ke gledame tragedii. Malku me potseka na tie sto gi vikaa "useful idiots" na zapadot vo vremeto na komunizmot. Ne e ni deka nekoj nekogo organiziral ili platil. Dobrovolno, od ubeduvanje, od glupost, i losa sreka - sto dodusa i sami si ja kovaat. Lugeto nemaat internalizirano deka za sekoj klik, za sekoja bukva, na Internet ima traga. Ako nekoj saka i moze, na sekoj paket tocno ke mu go doznae izvorot.
Ne znam kako e tocno zakonot za Socijalni Mediumi - i segasniot, i noviot sto bese donesen a ne e stapen na sila. Pretpostavuvam deka e strog. Vo UK nema ustav ili zakon sto garantira nekoja golema sloboda na govor.
Zakonite se i epten strogi za 1) napad na policija 2) kradenje imot. Duri i nelogicno - ovie na TV sto kradat tri para papuci ili tepsija zemicki ke dobijat 2-3 god zatvor, i posle so kriminalno dosie nema da moze vo zivot rabota da najdat (nikoj nema da gi vraboti). A istite da vlezat vo kola i pregazat pesak ili velosipedist ke pominat so mala ili uslovna kazna i odzemena vozacka dozvola na par godini.
8:06 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cccc - koga ke raspletat ke gledame tragedii. Malku me potseka na tie sto gi vikaa "useful idiots" na zapadot vo vremeto na komunizmot. Ne e ni deka nekoj nekogo organiziral ili platil. Dobrovolno, od ubeduvanje, od glupost, i losa sreka - sto dodusa i sami si ja kovaat. Lugeto nemaat internalizirano deka za sekoj klik, za sekoja bukva, na Internet ima traga. Ako nekoj saka i moze, na sekoj paket tocno ke mu go doznae izvorot.
Ne znam kako e tocno zakonot za Socijalni Mediumi - i segasniot, i noviot sto bese donesen a ne e stapen na sila. Pretpostavuvam deka e strog. Vo UK nema ustav ili zakon sto garantira nekoja golema sloboda na govor.
Zakonite se i epten strogi za 1) napad na policija 2) kradenje imot. Duri i nelogicno - ovie na TV sto kradat tri para papuci ili tepsija zemicki ke dobijat 2-3 god zatvor, i posle so kriminalno dosie nema da moze vo zivot rabota da najdat (nikoj nema da gi vraboti). A istite da vlezat vo kola i pregazat pesak ili velosipedist ke pominat so mala ili uslovna kazna i odzemena vozacka dozvola na par godini.
8:06 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821801408691106269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
np glad someone else liked it too - it was by random chance happenstance that I came across :-) kudos and thanks @JeremiahDJohns - very good
7:51 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
np glad someone else liked it too - it was by random chance happenstance that I came across :-) kudos and thanks @JeremiahDJohns - very good
7:51 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821800609781334469
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anna kindly explained in the next message: it's that in Economics the reviews are not doubly blind, it's that reviewers can see papers authors names?? I did not expect that, didn't know, and did not read through carefully enough. That's what she refers to "evaluate the substance" - to judge the paper on the content only, not on the names of the authors.
7:48 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anna kindly explained in the next message: it's that in Economics the reviews are not doubly blind, it's that reviewers can see papers authors names?? I did not expect that, didn't know, and did not read through carefully enough. That's what she refers to "evaluate the substance" - to judge the paper on the content only, not on the names of the authors.
7:48 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821704427461280238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh ok my bad! I was ignorant that Economics does that? Thanks for letting me know. :-)
1:25 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahh ok my bad! I was ignorant that Economics does that? Thanks for letting me know. :-)
1:25 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821693697085599845
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I guess I was struggling to understand how can anyone possibly do it. "Avoiding heuristic Bayesian judgements" - haha ok, ☺️☺️ will stop now. As in my mind probabilistic judgements are the only possibly fair ones. 😆
12:43 AM · Aug 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I guess I was struggling to understand how can anyone possibly do it. "Avoiding heuristic Bayesian judgements" - haha ok, ☺️☺️ will stop now. As in my mind probabilistic judgements are the only possibly fair ones. 😆
12:43 AM · Aug 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821662626474004944
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хаха 😂😂 - даа така е, потврдувам. Commiserations 😑 Куриозитет: во еден момент правилата на транслитерација (пред 1998-ма?) се сменија кусо, и "Љ" се транслитерираше " L' " (L со апостроф). Отворена сметка во банка со L' во името следните 25 год не успеав да го сменам назад во "LJ". 😅 (подоцна правилото се смени, во следниот пасош "Љ" се транслитерира "LJ" како и сега)
10:39 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хаха 😂😂 - даа така е, потврдувам. Commiserations 😑 Куриозитет: во еден момент правилата на транслитерација (пред 1998-ма?) се сменија кусо, и "Љ" се транслитерираше " L' " (L со апостроф). Отворена сметка во банка со L' во името следните 25 год не успеав да го сменам назад во "LJ". 😅 (подоцна правилото се смени, во следниот пасош "Љ" се транслитерира "LJ" како и сега)
10:39 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821659837606027416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
agreed on income taxes and taxes favoring children. don't like taxes myself ofc, and never heard of anyone that does tbh. still puzzled by the idea of i/morality. idk how the usual criteria for morality (golden rule, silver rule, utilitarianism, universalizing the maxim) wd apply to taxes, but: if no modern human society exists with 0 taxes, one cd conclude they're necessary evil? that without them our society would disintegrate? don't see what else is there tbh
10:28 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
agreed on income taxes and taxes favoring children. don't like taxes myself ofc, and never heard of anyone that does tbh. still puzzled by the idea of i/morality. idk how the usual criteria for morality (golden rule, silver rule, utilitarianism, universalizing the maxim) wd apply to taxes, but: if no modern human society exists with 0 taxes, one cd conclude they're necessary evil? that without them our society would disintegrate? don't see what else is there tbh
10:28 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821655969715384491
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - for tax/burden some kind of harmonized measure, I'm finding online - Switzerland 28%, versus UK 35% for year 2021. approx relative diff ~0.32
10:13 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - for tax/burden some kind of harmonized measure, I'm finding online - Switzerland 28%, versus UK 35% for year 2021. approx relative diff ~0.32
10:13 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821642652921548882
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
understood. what's an example of a small-ish state successful developed country? what's your best case, a show case for the argument?
9:20 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
understood. what's an example of a small-ish state successful developed country? what's your best case, a show case for the argument?
9:20 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821639343833833756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
so you are admitting taxes are inevitable? but you are opposed to them performatively for reasons... - aesthetical? can't be ethical if no taxes==no society, right? don't understand your argument sorry
9:07 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
so you are admitting taxes are inevitable? but you are opposed to them performatively for reasons... - aesthetical? can't be ethical if no taxes==no society, right? don't understand your argument sorry
9:07 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821625891694547219
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has there ever been a human society of >200 people without taxes? What examples do we have throughout human history? Has there ever been a single civilization without taxation?
8:13 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has there ever been a human society of >200 people without taxes? What examples do we have throughout human history? Has there ever been a single civilization without taxation?
8:13 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821609774082896091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right to be dismayed. Before we all join in - how would I decide under uncertainty? When I largely don't know, but I'm forced to make a yes/no decision. (no-comment/abstain is not allowed is treated the same as either yes or no) I suspect "defer to other's opinion" will be the least worst strategy. When having to make a decision under uncertainty. And almost all real life decisions are with incomplete fuzzy uncertain information.
7:09 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right to be dismayed. Before we all join in - how would I decide under uncertainty? When I largely don't know, but I'm forced to make a yes/no decision. (no-comment/abstain is not allowed is treated the same as either yes or no) I suspect "defer to other's opinion" will be the least worst strategy. When having to make a decision under uncertainty. And almost all real life decisions are with incomplete fuzzy uncertain information.
7:09 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821602877514928319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand his point perfectly, and I'm sympathetic to it. This - "All Elon Musk does he is playing the movie forward". That's not *all* EM does. EM does more - which is my point. I was asking him, b/c he seems to not understand why the backlash against EM. (and himself)
6:42 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand his point perfectly, and I'm sympathetic to it. This - "All Elon Musk does he is playing the movie forward". That's not *all* EM does. EM does more - which is my point. I was asking him, b/c he seems to not understand why the backlash against EM. (and himself)
6:42 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821584982030033245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the biggest enemy of free speech media publishing lies, untruths? Does this empower the argument that "free speech will destroy us"? With social media turning everyone into a publisher, media includes everyone of us so incl EM lies like https://x.com/i/trending/1821575612009730497 are a good example too. If everything everyone ever published was true, would only tyrants be against free speech, but everyone else for? How come free is exception rather than the rule? A pessimist might argue that societies with total free speech were undermined by lies, leading to a world where only restricted speech survives. Aka with great power comes great responsibility. What do you think? Congrats on the excellent interview - really enjoyed it. (ps you can strengthen your "no evidence humans are computers only" argument)
Musk Spreads Fake Detainment Camps Story
https://x.com/i/trending/1821575612009730497
Elon Musk shared a fake Telegraph headline on his social media platform, X, suggesting that UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer was considering building 'emergency detainment camps' on the Falkland Islands for rioters. The post, which was initially shared by the co-leader of the far-right group Britain First, Ashlea Simon, was deleted by Musk after it had been viewed nearly 2 million times. The Telegraph confirmed that no such article had ever been published by them. The incident has sparked criticism and concern over the spread of misinformation and the role of social media platforms in amplifying false narratives.
5:31 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the biggest enemy of free speech media publishing lies, untruths? Does this empower the argument that "free speech will destroy us"? With social media turning everyone into a publisher, media includes everyone of us so incl EM lies like https://x.com/i/trending/1821575612009730497 are a good example too. If everything everyone ever published was true, would only tyrants be against free speech, but everyone else for? How come free is exception rather than the rule? A pessimist might argue that societies with total free speech were undermined by lies, leading to a world where only restricted speech survives. Aka with great power comes great responsibility. What do you think? Congrats on the excellent interview - really enjoyed it. (ps you can strengthen your "no evidence humans are computers only" argument)
Musk Spreads Fake Detainment Camps Story
https://x.com/i/trending/1821575612009730497
Elon Musk shared a fake Telegraph headline on his social media platform, X, suggesting that UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer was considering building 'emergency detainment camps' on the Falkland Islands for rioters. The post, which was initially shared by the co-leader of the far-right group Britain First, Ashlea Simon, was deleted by Musk after it had been viewed nearly 2 million times. The Telegraph confirmed that no such article had ever been published by them. The incident has sparked criticism and concern over the spread of misinformation and the role of social media platforms in amplifying false narratives.
5:31 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821576116626485586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Q: "I don't understand why it's unhelpful exaggeration"
A: EM and yourself are not mere observers from 10000m. No - you influence the events. Ofc you will retort "but I'm a lowly podcaster" and deny your power. But that's what every powerful person ever does. Don't you see?
4:56 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Q: "I don't understand why it's unhelpful exaggeration"
A: EM and yourself are not mere observers from 10000m. No - you influence the events. Ofc you will retort "but I'm a lowly podcaster" and deny your power. But that's what every powerful person ever does. Don't you see?
4:56 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821553682665644400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well if one gets to be trains-human i.e. transcending human nature - then ofc it may - or may not - choose to be trans-gender, b/c if one becomes trans-everything, gender seems to me small beer in that grand scheme of things - no?
3:26 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well if one gets to be trains-human i.e. transcending human nature - then ofc it may - or may not - choose to be trans-gender, b/c if one becomes trans-everything, gender seems to me small beer in that grand scheme of things - no?
3:26 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821551065713484142
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Има закон што е поминат низ Парламент треба да стапи на сила 2025-та. Изгледа ќе го поместат порано да стапи. Елон е идиот. Во UK ионака нема некоја јака заштита на слобода на говор (затоа светски олигарси тужат новинари баш во Лондон). Кретенизмите што Елон ги публикува секој саат дневно ги убедија сите што имаат било каков интерес во ова дека регулатива на Социјални Медиуми мора да има. Живот пише романе еп. 123 😂 Вчера прочитав добар текст како е можно ист човек да буде толку способен и за паметни и за глупи работи -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821486779154739687
(и има уште еден погоре)
3:16 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Има закон што е поминат низ Парламент треба да стапи на сила 2025-та. Изгледа ќе го поместат порано да стапи. Елон е идиот. Во UK ионака нема некоја јака заштита на слобода на говор (затоа светски олигарси тужат новинари баш во Лондон). Кретенизмите што Елон ги публикува секој саат дневно ги убедија сите што имаат било каков интерес во ова дека регулатива на Социјални Медиуми мора да има. Живот пише романе еп. 123 😂 Вчера прочитав добар текст како е можно ист човек да буде толку способен и за паметни и за глупи работи -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821486779154739687
(и има уште еден погоре)
3:16 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821546465627373681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - but of course if they chanted outside, the cameras will not catch that. (even if the public physically present will hear them abt the same way when chanting inside; modulo inside audience is more captured) They know this perfectly well. The public square space is one and finite, they are trying to get a bigger pie of the reach for themselves, and leave smaller piece to everyone else. It's not an accident or an oversight - it's intentional and planned.
2:58 PM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - but of course if they chanted outside, the cameras will not catch that. (even if the public physically present will hear them abt the same way when chanting inside; modulo inside audience is more captured) They know this perfectly well. The public square space is one and finite, they are trying to get a bigger pie of the reach for themselves, and leave smaller piece to everyone else. It's not an accident or an oversight - it's intentional and planned.
2:58 PM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821493779141914895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... excellent 👏👏 I find imo it explanis everything of the public persona of EM on display daily. And if you can re-up the prior - I find it complementary - article too pls, that one was useful to read too
https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an
Very very good 👍 -thank you for writing them 🙏
From infinitescroll.us
11:28 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... excellent 👏👏 I find imo it explanis everything of the public persona of EM on display daily. And if you can re-up the prior - I find it complementary - article too pls, that one was useful to read too
https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an
Very very good 👍 -thank you for writing them 🙏
From infinitescroll.us
11:28 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821490979980898667
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Vcera go procitav ova https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it , i ima i uste eden od istiot avtor (@JeremiahDJohns) referenciran vnatre - ovoj https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an - i mi lici deka dvata teksta kompletno objasnuvaat toa sto gledame od javnata persona na EM
From infinitescroll.us
11:17 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Vcera go procitav ova https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it , i ima i uste eden od istiot avtor (@JeremiahDJohns) referenciran vnatre - ovoj https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an - i mi lici deka dvata teksta kompletno objasnuvaat toa sto gledame od javnata persona na EM
From infinitescroll.us
11:17 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821490379666944380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... actually this one https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an
I found to be probably even better (is referenced from the prior article)
11:15 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... actually this one https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an
I found to be probably even better (is referenced from the prior article)
11:15 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821486779154739687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... actually this one https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an is probably even better (referenced from the prior article)
From infinitescroll.us
11:01 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... actually this one https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an is probably even better (referenced from the prior article)
From infinitescroll.us
11:01 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821486421716168894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw these by @JeremiahDJohns just yesterday and seems to me that's explaining v.v.well everything of what we see of the EM public persona - https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an and From infinitescroll.us
10:59 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw these by @JeremiahDJohns just yesterday and seems to me that's explaining v.v.well everything of what we see of the EM public persona - https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an and From infinitescroll.us
10:59 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821484490692198420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What do you think of this article by @JeremiahDJohns ? https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it
I saw it just yesterday and seems to me to be explaining v.v.well everything of what we see of the EM public persona?
From infinitescroll.us
10:51 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What do you think of this article by @JeremiahDJohns ? https://infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it
I saw it just yesterday and seems to me to be explaining v.v.well everything of what we see of the EM public persona?
From infinitescroll.us
10:51 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821483064662307136
Josh Self @Josh_Self_ · Aug 8
Just Elon Musk quote tweeting the co-leader of far-right party, Britain First, who is sharing a fake Telegraph headline
Seen by almost 1 million people in 15 minutes
Utterly dystopian
Image
Sensibly Chelsea FC @SensiblyChelsea · Aug 8
Think this is more the story here. Clearly a man who acts first and thinks later without correcting himself. @elonmusk is disgraceful.
Image
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I saw this article by @JeremiahDJohns just yesterday and seems to me to be explaining v.v.well everything of what we see of the EM public persona - From infinitescroll.us
10:46 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Josh Self @Josh_Self_ · Aug 8
Just Elon Musk quote tweeting the co-leader of far-right party, Britain First, who is sharing a fake Telegraph headline
Seen by almost 1 million people in 15 minutes
Utterly dystopian
Image
Sensibly Chelsea FC @SensiblyChelsea · Aug 8
Think this is more the story here. Clearly a man who acts first and thinks later without correcting himself. @elonmusk is disgraceful.
Image
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I saw this article by @JeremiahDJohns just yesterday and seems to me to be explaining v.v.well everything of what we see of the EM public persona - From infinitescroll.us
10:46 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821460873031930069
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What you are describing is akin to Stalin-type dictatorship. Laws brought in are deliberately illogical so many interpretations are possible, and then the stalin at the top decides on the interpretation on a given day. Without constraints - what's good ok today is decided to be bad punishable tomorrow etc. Every person is possibly in violation of the laws, possibly guilty, and no one knows or can determine in advance. You are describing a setup that's hitler germany or stalin soviet union, Hanna Ardent wd recognize this.
9:18 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What you are describing is akin to Stalin-type dictatorship. Laws brought in are deliberately illogical so many interpretations are possible, and then the stalin at the top decides on the interpretation on a given day. Without constraints - what's good ok today is decided to be bad punishable tomorrow etc. Every person is possibly in violation of the laws, possibly guilty, and no one knows or can determine in advance. You are describing a setup that's hitler germany or stalin soviet union, Hanna Ardent wd recognize this.
9:18 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821451983141659002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
from bit to it how?
8:42 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
from bit to it how?
8:42 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821451071463600542
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Really? A single experiment that found that in a single parent family, the parent decided to do more childcare and less work for about half a day 3-4 hours? Yes - updating our opinions is due. No - update of 180 degrees flip is not warranted, wd be irrational. This is not hard.
8:39 AM · Aug 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Really? A single experiment that found that in a single parent family, the parent decided to do more childcare and less work for about half a day 3-4 hours? Yes - updating our opinions is due. No - update of 180 degrees flip is not warranted, wd be irrational. This is not hard.
8:39 AM · Aug 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821122846942167123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Зашто се глупи, затоа. Глуп човек е опасност и за себе, ама многу повеќе за другите околу него. Една добра работа што научив со искуство изгубени 12 месеци во ЈНА како 19 годишен. :-)
10:54 AM · Aug 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Зашто се глупи, затоа. Глуп човек е опасност и за себе, ама многу повеќе за другите околу него. Една добра работа што научив со искуство изгубени 12 месеци во ЈНА како 19 годишен. :-)
10:54 AM · Aug 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821101377621209560
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ljupco.bsky.social - and yours? :-)
9:29 AM · Aug 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ljupco.bsky.social - and yours? :-)
9:29 AM · Aug 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821099628739104881
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The force is strong with the social "I'm here b/c everyone else is here" pull, unlikely to pull off a "millions of accounts switch *at the same time*" feat. Still - alternative is a must, this was helpful, worked for me https ://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
9:22 AM · Aug 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The force is strong with the social "I'm here b/c everyone else is here" pull, unlikely to pull off a "millions of accounts switch *at the same time*" feat. Still - alternative is a must, this was helpful, worked for me https ://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
9:22 AM · Aug 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1821080825246462100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get why people are cautious, and mine is a minority opinion. Honestly, X isn't a hill I care much about either way. I'm even more pro-sharing sensitive data in the NHS, where more data = better care = lives saved. "Data for the People" by @aweigend convinced me. The gist: yes, there's a power imbalance due to data and knowledge. We can balance it by reducing data available about us. But there's another way: balance by increasing data available from institutions wielding power over us, making them much more transparent. Even radically transparent—everything out in the open by default, and secret only when needed. Currently, it's the other way around with state institutions and companies that wield enormous power over my life.
8:07 AM · Aug 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get why people are cautious, and mine is a minority opinion. Honestly, X isn't a hill I care much about either way. I'm even more pro-sharing sensitive data in the NHS, where more data = better care = lives saved. "Data for the People" by @aweigend convinced me. The gist: yes, there's a power imbalance due to data and knowledge. We can balance it by reducing data available about us. But there's another way: balance by increasing data available from institutions wielding power over us, making them much more transparent. Even radically transparent—everything out in the open by default, and secret only when needed. Currently, it's the other way around with state institutions and companies that wield enormous power over my life.
8:07 AM · Aug 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820959927210283442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good and thoughtful piece by @sjwrenlewis , and then there's this zinger:
> When the propaganda involves right wing populism, it isn’t manufacturing consent but rather manufacturing discontent.
That's exactly right. When buffoons cosplaying clowns take over, they have neither the interest nor the ability to exercise the state power to solve problems. Instead, and almost by instinct rather than explicit plan, they find a wound in the body public and drill into it relentlessly until the public screams in pain. Once the public becomes numb from exhaustion, they move on to the next wound and repeat the process.
Quote
simon wren-lewis @sjwrenlewis · Aug 6
New post: If Labour is serious about defeating right wing populism, it needs to reform large parts of the media
https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2024/08/if-labour-is-serious-about-defeating.html
Labour cannot let the media landscape become increasingly the plaything of very rich individuals wanting to push a right wing populist agenda.
12:07 AM · Aug 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good and thoughtful piece by @sjwrenlewis , and then there's this zinger:
> When the propaganda involves right wing populism, it isn’t manufacturing consent but rather manufacturing discontent.
That's exactly right. When buffoons cosplaying clowns take over, they have neither the interest nor the ability to exercise the state power to solve problems. Instead, and almost by instinct rather than explicit plan, they find a wound in the body public and drill into it relentlessly until the public screams in pain. Once the public becomes numb from exhaustion, they move on to the next wound and repeat the process.
Quote
simon wren-lewis @sjwrenlewis · Aug 6
New post: If Labour is serious about defeating right wing populism, it needs to reform large parts of the media
https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2024/08/if-labour-is-serious-about-defeating.html
Labour cannot let the media landscape become increasingly the plaything of very rich individuals wanting to push a right wing populist agenda.
12:07 AM · Aug 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820937671050416426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bi trebalo da ima vrska samo so kulturata, ama toa ne e 100% jasno vo glavite na site. Kako i za drugi raboti - ima dosta narod sto ne misli mnogu za bilo sto drugo osven kuca-poso i zabava, sport i sl. :-) Nemaat vreme, ne gi interesira etc. Sabajlevo bas se dopisuvav na taa tema -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820729320672772547
10:39 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bi trebalo da ima vrska samo so kulturata, ama toa ne e 100% jasno vo glavite na site. Kako i za drugi raboti - ima dosta narod sto ne misli mnogu za bilo sto drugo osven kuca-poso i zabava, sport i sl. :-) Nemaat vreme, ne gi interesira etc. Sabajlevo bas se dopisuvav na taa tema -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820729320672772547
10:39 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820926703952159218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 The princes of tech turn out thin skinned - who knew? 🤣 Yeah dude - if you say silly stuff some rando will notice and reply, hahaha 🤣
Image
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
Establishments punish words because they lead to actions. They worry about actions that follow from words. No one cares about your thoughts while they stay in your head. The sequence is: Thoughts -> Words -> Actions. This self-importance is becoming insufferable. x.com/naval/status/1…
9:55 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 The princes of tech turn out thin skinned - who knew? 🤣 Yeah dude - if you say silly stuff some rando will notice and reply, hahaha 🤣
Image
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
Establishments punish words because they lead to actions. They worry about actions that follow from words. No one cares about your thoughts while they stay in your head. The sequence is: Thoughts -> Words -> Actions. This self-importance is becoming insufferable. x.com/naval/status/1…
9:55 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820917857317716312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there some startup that produces stuff described in https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czjyy7280lzo ? In the past tried Huel but that was too boring + don't have time for preparation cooking etc. The news article is reporting on this study https://thelancet.com journals/landia/article/PIIS2213-8587(24)00194-3/fulltext.
Woman drinking a shake
From bbc.co.uk
9:20 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there some startup that produces stuff described in https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czjyy7280lzo ? In the past tried Huel but that was too boring + don't have time for preparation cooking etc. The news article is reporting on this study https://thelancet.com journals/landia/article/PIIS2213-8587(24)00194-3/fulltext.
Woman drinking a shake
From bbc.co.uk
9:20 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820884350214533454
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no straight forward alternative - I'm here b/c everyone else is here, and so are you. However, if all of UK moved to another platform - yep I wd move too. It's not that other platforms are unusable. It's that millions have to make the move at almost the same time.
7:07 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no straight forward alternative - I'm here b/c everyone else is here, and so are you. However, if all of UK moved to another platform - yep I wd move too. It's not that other platforms are unusable. It's that millions have to make the move at almost the same time.
7:07 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820851981482684759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putting roof solar + battery + inverter + real time power demand monitoring did wonders for my understanding of our household electricity demands.
4:58 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putting roof solar + battery + inverter + real time power demand monitoring did wonders for my understanding of our household electricity demands.
4:58 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820851307827126671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As you please. Sense of proportion is good. We oft think when we close our eyes that the world has gone blind. Good not to mix up my personal state with the state of the world.
4:55 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As you please. Sense of proportion is good. We oft think when we close our eyes that the world has gone blind. Good not to mix up my personal state with the state of the world.
4:55 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820849628771717386
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Establishments punish words because they lead to actions. They worry about actions that follow from words. No one cares about your thoughts while they stay in your head. The sequence is: Thoughts -> Words -> Actions. This self-importance is becoming insufferable. https://x.com/naval/status/1/naval/status/1820814537152750071
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4:49 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Establishments punish words because they lead to actions. They worry about actions that follow from words. No one cares about your thoughts while they stay in your head. The sequence is: Thoughts -> Words -> Actions. This self-importance is becoming insufferable. https://x.com/naval/status/1/naval/status/1820814537152750071
You’re unable to view this Post because this account owner limits who can view their Posts. Learn more
4:49 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820838426054148500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your sequence is wrong. Thoughts -> Words -> Actions. In order to control Actions, may have to control the Words. No one cares about our Thoughts fwiw.
4:04 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your sequence is wrong. Thoughts -> Words -> Actions. In order to control Actions, may have to control the Words. No one cares about our Thoughts fwiw.
4:04 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820837724166725899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - they punish words b/c words lead to actions. That's why all establishments at all times are worried about the words: b/c actions follow from the words. No one cares about your thoughts while they are still in your head. Don't flatter yourself.
4:01 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - they punish words b/c words lead to actions. That's why all establishments at all times are worried about the words: b/c actions follow from the words. No one cares about your thoughts while they are still in your head. Don't flatter yourself.
4:01 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820800964112085408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... gell-mann amnezia whispering from the sidelines "... not just abt tech, not just in tech"
1:35 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... gell-mann amnezia whispering from the sidelines "... not just abt tech, not just in tech"
1:35 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820797030505058633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The bet that "for everything, for the infinite domain, every human is about equally ignorant" seems to have born out. Yes in a domain X person Y will know much more than than the rest of humanity, and make better decision in domain X. But when considering almost infinite number of domains? Seems assuming "we are equal" is the least bad, i.e. a bad idea except for all others that have been tried and shown to be even worse. Private sector - given companies are siloed, are hierarchical dictatorships with the power to squash any one individual ex/worker, internal information does not leak out easily, it's harder to judge then science (open by default) and politics (used to be very closed, now very open). But thinking of my own history the experience working in various companies - yeah, plenty of silly decision, trial & error there too.
1:20 PM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The bet that "for everything, for the infinite domain, every human is about equally ignorant" seems to have born out. Yes in a domain X person Y will know much more than than the rest of humanity, and make better decision in domain X. But when considering almost infinite number of domains? Seems assuming "we are equal" is the least bad, i.e. a bad idea except for all others that have been tried and shown to be even worse. Private sector - given companies are siloed, are hierarchical dictatorships with the power to squash any one individual ex/worker, internal information does not leak out easily, it's harder to judge then science (open by default) and politics (used to be very closed, now very open). But thinking of my own history the experience working in various companies - yeah, plenty of silly decision, trial & error there too.
1:20 PM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820770750577471537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... exactly my point - lines going up and down, numbers flickering changing like like in a gambling outfit. Impossible to predict, but easily converted into entertainment, as the change is constant.
11:35 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... exactly my point - lines going up and down, numbers flickering changing like like in a gambling outfit. Impossible to predict, but easily converted into entertainment, as the change is constant.
11:35 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820766815837913412
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Отидоа од едни на други. За секој еден што продаде - некој друг купи. Не ни знаеме дали тој што продава купил поскапо, па сега да губи. Можеби купил поефтино. По општо: зашто скапи акции би биле апсолутно добри? Добри се ако веќе ги имаш. Ама ако ги немам и сега сакам да купам - тогаш поскапо е полошо, така? Ако имаш леб во рака - ти менува нешто на подобро ако сега поскапи? Па утре ќе треба пак да го купам - нели е подобро да е поефтин лебот?
11:20 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Отидоа од едни на други. За секој еден што продаде - некој друг купи. Не ни знаеме дали тој што продава купил поскапо, па сега да губи. Можеби купил поефтино. По општо: зашто скапи акции би биле апсолутно добри? Добри се ако веќе ги имаш. Ама ако ги немам и сега сакам да купам - тогаш поскапо е полошо, така? Ако имаш леб во рака - ти менува нешто на подобро ако сега поскапи? Па утре ќе треба пак да го купам - нели е подобро да е поефтин лебот?
11:20 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820762319640531164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and a day latter if they were to be melting up - would that trigger a revision in your world model?
11:02 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and a day latter if they were to be melting up - would that trigger a revision in your world model?
11:02 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820756624664924557
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and thus the fun continues on and on 😂😂😂 - perfect! 😇
Image
10:39 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and thus the fun continues on and on 😂😂😂 - perfect! 😇
Image
10:39 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820747712800637182
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, not directly. If it did, we'd know, as chemistry is very mechanistic. It correlates somewhat via other factors, but its significance is unclear in the grand scheme. The same England (and Europe) of the Industrial Revolution were part of the Roman Empire once, and no industrial revolution happened then. With talk of colonizing Mars, we wish we had a foolproof recipe for societal success. We can't even guarantee it on a smaller scale with companies—most startups fail.
10:04 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, not directly. If it did, we'd know, as chemistry is very mechanistic. It correlates somewhat via other factors, but its significance is unclear in the grand scheme. The same England (and Europe) of the Industrial Revolution were part of the Roman Empire once, and no industrial revolution happened then. With talk of colonizing Mars, we wish we had a foolproof recipe for societal success. We can't even guarantee it on a smaller scale with companies—most startups fail.
10:04 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820741821166739592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't know what I think, don't flatter yourself. Let alone what I "really, really" wish. IDK why you'd think otherwise. Yes thousands genes (ultimately - all) influence the brain functioning. That does not contradict in any way anything I wrote to which you reply to.
9:40 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You don't know what I think, don't flatter yourself. Let alone what I "really, really" wish. IDK why you'd think otherwise. Yes thousands genes (ultimately - all) influence the brain functioning. That does not contradict in any way anything I wrote to which you reply to.
9:40 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820736159598751971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Relatedly, Chomsky and his theory of language serve as a cautionary tale for the consequences of theories that "can't easily do experiments." If I have a theory that can't be easily disproved by experiment, shouldn't I be even more uncertain of it? Shouldn't I be more cautious about pushing it and more receptive to any emerging counter-evidence? When the first language models appeared, wouldn't it be logical to take a keen interest in them, to try to understand and learn from this new development seemingly related to my work?
As far as I know, Chomsky did everything wrong there. He ignored new insights about language that we gained and refused to take on board anything machine learning-related. This resistance to change raises a speculative question: was he just bad with numbers or innumerate, thus incapable of adapting? This situation reminds me of Norvig's critique (http://norvig.com/chomsky.html), which was relevant years ago, but now, with GPT and large language models, the initially small crack has developed into a chasm.
9:18 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Relatedly, Chomsky and his theory of language serve as a cautionary tale for the consequences of theories that "can't easily do experiments." If I have a theory that can't be easily disproved by experiment, shouldn't I be even more uncertain of it? Shouldn't I be more cautious about pushing it and more receptive to any emerging counter-evidence? When the first language models appeared, wouldn't it be logical to take a keen interest in them, to try to understand and learn from this new development seemingly related to my work?
As far as I know, Chomsky did everything wrong there. He ignored new insights about language that we gained and refused to take on board anything machine learning-related. This resistance to change raises a speculative question: was he just bad with numbers or innumerate, thus incapable of adapting? This situation reminds me of Norvig's critique (http://norvig.com/chomsky.html), which was relevant years ago, but now, with GPT and large language models, the initially small crack has developed into a chasm.
9:18 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820729320672772547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course, how could it be otherwise? How could a gene coding for the expression of melanin, a pigment, affect the brain? It can't. Culture is nearly everything. That explains how societies can change so fast too (e.g. UK industrial revolution) – culture is much faster to adapt, much more malleable. If we were to wait for the genes to change for the industrial revolution to happen – well, we'd still be waiting. Also, this is how US enemies/competitors underestimate the US social cohesion. Their immigrants self-select for the culture; people going to the US do so because they find the culture appealing (life, liberty, pursuit of happiness). Ultimately, I am an immigrant to England because I found its culture more appealing than that of my native country, Macedonia, having come by random chance to do a PhD.
8:51 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course, how could it be otherwise? How could a gene coding for the expression of melanin, a pigment, affect the brain? It can't. Culture is nearly everything. That explains how societies can change so fast too (e.g. UK industrial revolution) – culture is much faster to adapt, much more malleable. If we were to wait for the genes to change for the industrial revolution to happen – well, we'd still be waiting. Also, this is how US enemies/competitors underestimate the US social cohesion. Their immigrants self-select for the culture; people going to the US do so because they find the culture appealing (life, liberty, pursuit of happiness). Ultimately, I am an immigrant to England because I found its culture more appealing than that of my native country, Macedonia, having come by random chance to do a PhD.
8:51 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820722339996209359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imame "the media is the message" vo smisla: formata ima vlijanie vrz sushtinata na porakata. So Internet i posledno so socijalnite mrezi formata se smeni kompletno od toa sto bese do 1990-ta. Prethodno mass media komunikacijata bese ednosmerna, TV stanica -> milioni luge. A sega so Internet e dvosmerna (miloni luge)<->(milioni luge), i socijalnite mediumi ovozmozija sekoj od nas so malku trud da bide izdavac, publisher. Prethodna golema promena sto ja pamtime najbliska za sporedba e voveduvanje na elektronski mediumi - radio, televizija. Ama ne e ednostavno da vleceme nekoi golemi pouki po analogija, posto iako ima slicnosti, ima i razliki. @Andrey4Mir ima tekstovi knigi na ovaa tema.
8:23 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imame "the media is the message" vo smisla: formata ima vlijanie vrz sushtinata na porakata. So Internet i posledno so socijalnite mrezi formata se smeni kompletno od toa sto bese do 1990-ta. Prethodno mass media komunikacijata bese ednosmerna, TV stanica -> milioni luge. A sega so Internet e dvosmerna (miloni luge)<->(milioni luge), i socijalnite mediumi ovozmozija sekoj od nas so malku trud da bide izdavac, publisher. Prethodna golema promena sto ja pamtime najbliska za sporedba e voveduvanje na elektronski mediumi - radio, televizija. Ama ne e ednostavno da vleceme nekoi golemi pouki po analogija, posto iako ima slicnosti, ima i razliki. @Andrey4Mir ima tekstovi knigi na ovaa tema.
8:23 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820724744955613502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... i ne dokazav :-) (a ne mozam da editiram): so toa sto se smeni formata, ke se smeni i sodzinata na porakata. A sodrzinata na porakite sto gi predavame eden na drug, skoro celosno gi vlijae, ako ne i gi pravi, gi odreduva - i ideite sto se stvaraat vo nasite glavi. A tie idei nas ne vodat vo zivot, sto pravime kako pravime. Pa vo taa smisla - i cel svet sto go pravime okolu nas se menuva. Iako od vnatre od samo eden moment e tesko da odredime tocno vo koj pravec, deka se menuva brzo mi lici deka e nesporno.
8:33 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... i ne dokazav :-) (a ne mozam da editiram): so toa sto se smeni formata, ke se smeni i sodzinata na porakata. A sodrzinata na porakite sto gi predavame eden na drug, skoro celosno gi vlijae, ako ne i gi pravi, gi odreduva - i ideite sto se stvaraat vo nasite glavi. A tie idei nas ne vodat vo zivot, sto pravime kako pravime. Pa vo taa smisla - i cel svet sto go pravime okolu nas se menuva. Iako od vnatre od samo eden moment e tesko da odredime tocno vo koj pravec, deka se menuva brzo mi lici deka e nesporno.
8:33 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820716528054014082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Out if his depth and out of his mind. But the stupid on display is not random, it has a specific bias. Of the "Your country is not a company"-type: the non-business part of society does all the stuff that business can't or shouldn't for varying reasons. It's a know blind spot. When I synchronize the cooperation of large groups of people through employment meaning if they don't do as per the agreed plan (oft top-down plan) they will go hungry, homeless and possibly die, I may have difficulty imagining how similar feat of collaboration is achieved with even bigger groups of people (by orders of magnitude - x100, x1000 times bigger), where that instrument is *NOT available*. Expected better on that front from someone who aims to colonize Mars tbh, as that involves starting up a country afaics.
8:00 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Out if his depth and out of his mind. But the stupid on display is not random, it has a specific bias. Of the "Your country is not a company"-type: the non-business part of society does all the stuff that business can't or shouldn't for varying reasons. It's a know blind spot. When I synchronize the cooperation of large groups of people through employment meaning if they don't do as per the agreed plan (oft top-down plan) they will go hungry, homeless and possibly die, I may have difficulty imagining how similar feat of collaboration is achieved with even bigger groups of people (by orders of magnitude - x100, x1000 times bigger), where that instrument is *NOT available*. Expected better on that front from someone who aims to colonize Mars tbh, as that involves starting up a country afaics.
8:00 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820615719429493120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw lizard man's constant is 4%, not zero
1:19 AM · Aug 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fwiw lizard man's constant is 4%, not zero
1:19 AM · Aug 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820568726476828716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quite the death cult
10:13 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quite the death cult
10:13 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820540722111754570
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Big fiscal (Bidenomics), energy independence (US biggest oil producer ever), big tech sector (unique to the US) that's still growing and opening new frontiers (AI!).
Quote
Erik Brynjolfsson @erikbryn · 1h
What are the best explanations for why the US economy has done so well recently compared to other advances economies? x.com/JustinWolfers/…
8:21 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Big fiscal (Bidenomics), energy independence (US biggest oil producer ever), big tech sector (unique to the US) that's still growing and opening new frontiers (AI!).
Quote
Erik Brynjolfsson @erikbryn · 1h
What are the best explanations for why the US economy has done so well recently compared to other advances economies? x.com/JustinWolfers/…
8:21 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820534584062493138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
writing boring code == writing solid code
Quote
Santiago @svpino · 57m
Good programmers understand that simple code is always better than clever code.
Writing clever code doesn't make you smart. It makes you a fool.
7:57 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
writing boring code == writing solid code
Quote
Santiago @svpino · 57m
Good programmers understand that simple code is always better than clever code.
Writing clever code doesn't make you smart. It makes you a fool.
7:57 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820518812820885733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Big fiscal (bidenomics), energy independence (us biggest oil producer ever), big tech sector (unique to us) still growing opening new frontiers.
6:54 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Big fiscal (bidenomics), energy independence (us biggest oil producer ever), big tech sector (unique to us) still growing opening new frontiers.
6:54 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820476854324822503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how you get from this to civil wars, but hey - you be you. As already written - we have plenty of evidence that culture counts for much more, and genes for much less, compared to the story you wrote. For starters if genes were as important as you think there would be no empires in history ever, with everyone minding their genes in the confines of their village. Heck - in biology individuals (not just humans - but most of things alive, animals and plants) would not mate so not to drop 50% of their material in every iteration! If that was all that mattered.
4:07 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how you get from this to civil wars, but hey - you be you. As already written - we have plenty of evidence that culture counts for much more, and genes for much less, compared to the story you wrote. For starters if genes were as important as you think there would be no empires in history ever, with everyone minding their genes in the confines of their village. Heck - in biology individuals (not just humans - but most of things alive, animals and plants) would not mate so not to drop 50% of their material in every iteration! If that was all that mattered.
4:07 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820455803276423316
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Ottomans called a certain region in their empire Rumelia, "the land of Rum" i.e. Rome. During the Greek Revolution, some Cretans identified as "Romei" (Romans). The past can feel both distant and close. Crazy stuff.
2:44 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The Ottomans called a certain region in their empire Rumelia, "the land of Rum" i.e. Rome. During the Greek Revolution, some Cretans identified as "Romei" (Romans). The past can feel both distant and close. Crazy stuff.
2:44 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820443827720618185
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, true -
https://youtube.com/shorts/1k06lJsRQeo?si=zx87huEeoxHbcg8y
by @garyseconomics
youtube.com
Giving out money doesn't make us richer
Gary on @NovaraMedia. Watch the full interview here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ViY-zI3b5JQ&t=4183s&ab_channel=NovaraMedia UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACK...
1:56 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, true -
https://youtube.com/shorts/1k06lJsRQeo?si=zx87huEeoxHbcg8y
by @garyseconomics
youtube.com
Giving out money doesn't make us richer
Gary on @NovaraMedia. Watch the full interview here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ViY-zI3b5JQ&t=4183s&ab_channel=NovaraMedia UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACK...
1:56 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820440411598438672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
afaics - he's out of his depth and out of his mind. sad
1:43 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
afaics - he's out of his depth and out of his mind. sad
1:43 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820439400611754077
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - it's like a growth/Tech stock on steroids with a beta of abt 4-5-6 last time I bothered to check. Beta==sensitivity to the market. It's mostly useless for practical purposes (maybe ok for exporting capital from say China?) but it's good entertainment, and it's educational value is actually non-negligible! 😂 Good stuff
1:39 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - it's like a growth/Tech stock on steroids with a beta of abt 4-5-6 last time I bothered to check. Beta==sensitivity to the market. It's mostly useless for practical purposes (maybe ok for exporting capital from say China?) but it's good entertainment, and it's educational value is actually non-negligible! 😂 Good stuff
1:39 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820436413914943602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not universally, it's a hit-and-miss for the state as it is for the private sector. Asian development (Japan, Asian tigers, China, now the rest joining in) 19th-21st century is an example state+private working together to enhance their +ves and cover each others -ves. African countries in the same period seem to be an example of the opposite. Afaik the central question of developmental economics "what's the recipe, the algorithm, howto make a poor country into a rich country" is still unresolved. We lack that kind that level of knowledge. But the pickings are so great (should that problem be solved) that I think developmental economists who say "once you see the gains of poor country becoming rich, solving any other problem in Economics the gains seem pitiful in comparison" are completely right. Ha-Joon Chang has books as well as as YouTube videos on this. Plus some v.funny and entertaining moments there. 😁
1:27 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not universally, it's a hit-and-miss for the state as it is for the private sector. Asian development (Japan, Asian tigers, China, now the rest joining in) 19th-21st century is an example state+private working together to enhance their +ves and cover each others -ves. African countries in the same period seem to be an example of the opposite. Afaik the central question of developmental economics "what's the recipe, the algorithm, howto make a poor country into a rich country" is still unresolved. We lack that kind that level of knowledge. But the pickings are so great (should that problem be solved) that I think developmental economists who say "once you see the gains of poor country becoming rich, solving any other problem in Economics the gains seem pitiful in comparison" are completely right. Ha-Joon Chang has books as well as as YouTube videos on this. Plus some v.funny and entertaining moments there. 😁
1:27 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820430026128359926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Culture is what matters. Genetics is very very low on the list factors. Culture in the UK is 99.9% unified - people aspire to the same things, value the same things, find good or bad in the same things etc. Within reason ofc - in 60M pple there will always be all manner of lunatics doing crazy - but by and larger it is one single culture.
1:01 PM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Culture is what matters. Genetics is very very low on the list factors. Culture in the UK is 99.9% unified - people aspire to the same things, value the same things, find good or bad in the same things etc. Within reason ofc - in 60M pple there will always be all manner of lunatics doing crazy - but by and larger it is one single culture.
1:01 PM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820398213028782343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pathetic - It's said as if civil war is per-ordained, as if we are helpless to do anything abt it. In fact it's exactly the opposite: war is an organized activity, does not just happen out of nowhere. Pple organize in military units, acquire and distribute weapons and so on. So we can chose to just *not* do that, *not* wage civil war. It's not hard - in fact starting a civil war is difficult and takes lots of preparation and also propagandizing the population for non-trivial length of time. (1-2-3yrs)
Imbecilic - There is not a sign of anything "war like" happening in the UK atm. On the other hand, summer riots are about as seasonal a constant in the UK as the weather patterns. Sometimes larger in scale, most often smaller. Always ignited by some outrageous criminal event.
Musk is seeing what he hopes to happen. Seems his circle have convinced themselves that the end of our civilization, the world even - is upon us. Now everything gets interpreted in that light. Further, he calls for it, tries to influence things so it happens (using his platform - like every media proprietor before him!) - end of USD, hyperinflation, end of US, end of western civilization and so on. It's very sad to observe a person caught in "When Prophecy Fails" type situation.
10:55 AM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pathetic - It's said as if civil war is per-ordained, as if we are helpless to do anything abt it. In fact it's exactly the opposite: war is an organized activity, does not just happen out of nowhere. Pple organize in military units, acquire and distribute weapons and so on. So we can chose to just *not* do that, *not* wage civil war. It's not hard - in fact starting a civil war is difficult and takes lots of preparation and also propagandizing the population for non-trivial length of time. (1-2-3yrs)
Imbecilic - There is not a sign of anything "war like" happening in the UK atm. On the other hand, summer riots are about as seasonal a constant in the UK as the weather patterns. Sometimes larger in scale, most often smaller. Always ignited by some outrageous criminal event.
Musk is seeing what he hopes to happen. Seems his circle have convinced themselves that the end of our civilization, the world even - is upon us. Now everything gets interpreted in that light. Further, he calls for it, tries to influence things so it happens (using his platform - like every media proprietor before him!) - end of USD, hyperinflation, end of US, end of western civilization and so on. It's very sad to observe a person caught in "When Prophecy Fails" type situation.
10:55 AM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820378561221468602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yep, about once a year, sometimes in May ("sell in May and go away"), other times in Aug (holidays, low volumes, thin trading), there is a mini market crash. Latter in the year b4 Xmas (end of year, tax loss harvesting) there is a patriotic rally too. :-) Rule of thumb - abt 67% of the days a daily market move is in the +/-1% percent range. Then there is the other 33% when the move is outside that range. It's great chat the market talk, b/c it's evergreen, there is always something happening. Heck - in the US there is an entire media-macro-entertainment complex, with Crammer-clowns with props and everything at the bottom, and more sophisticated players further up the value chain, providing entertainment daily. I don't begrudge their choice of profession to them! No worse content than the "Housewives of X" or similar. Plus makes the markets mass consumption product. Like going gambling in Vegas: no one goes there expecting to get back richer. Pple expect to be entertained and are happy to pay for that. It works out for everybody. A daily chat about the weather in the UK would be closest to that, in that it's never ending, but way way less excitable and marketable. ;-)
9:37 AM · Aug 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yep, about once a year, sometimes in May ("sell in May and go away"), other times in Aug (holidays, low volumes, thin trading), there is a mini market crash. Latter in the year b4 Xmas (end of year, tax loss harvesting) there is a patriotic rally too. :-) Rule of thumb - abt 67% of the days a daily market move is in the +/-1% percent range. Then there is the other 33% when the move is outside that range. It's great chat the market talk, b/c it's evergreen, there is always something happening. Heck - in the US there is an entire media-macro-entertainment complex, with Crammer-clowns with props and everything at the bottom, and more sophisticated players further up the value chain, providing entertainment daily. I don't begrudge their choice of profession to them! No worse content than the "Housewives of X" or similar. Plus makes the markets mass consumption product. Like going gambling in Vegas: no one goes there expecting to get back richer. Pple expect to be entertained and are happy to pay for that. It works out for everybody. A daily chat about the weather in the UK would be closest to that, in that it's never ending, but way way less excitable and marketable. ;-)
9:37 AM · Aug 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820230854213353530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I expect there to be 3 groups 1) the zealous believers core ~10% 2) enthusiastic opportunists joining in to get ahead of the competition ~20% 3) the rest is majority that tags alone does not join but neither does it oppose or try to counter ~70%. It's always possible for things to change quickly. Read recently a good one on beliefs how they aid group formation https://astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-games-and-backscratchers
11:50 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I expect there to be 3 groups 1) the zealous believers core ~10% 2) enthusiastic opportunists joining in to get ahead of the competition ~20% 3) the rest is majority that tags alone does not join but neither does it oppose or try to counter ~70%. It's always possible for things to change quickly. Read recently a good one on beliefs how they aid group formation https://astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-games-and-backscratchers
11:50 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820169775756279900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏🙏 Thanks, will pocket that. 😆 After 20yrs quant market neutral mid-to-high frequency: best thing to happen to me as industrial (non academic) researcher. 😄 R&D&trading is fun, stuff happens daily. There is high leverage - half dozen pple can startup a multi-B book. There is good mix of data donkey work, modelling and forecasting, optimization, dev work, plus ops fun running things on calc farms. (admittedly - woken up oncall to fix Tokyo trading at 1am is less fun 🙃) Only $$$ profit matters in the end so mostly objective modulo luck (incl lack of it; HF easier to separate skill from luck). Principals are mostly sane b/c idiots are quickly enough weeded out by competition. Profitability is insane compared to anything outside Tech. We eat our product, there are no customers, clients (if one is not Prop) only care abt $$$ anyway (despite any stories they tell; covered above).
7:47 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏🙏 Thanks, will pocket that. 😆 After 20yrs quant market neutral mid-to-high frequency: best thing to happen to me as industrial (non academic) researcher. 😄 R&D&trading is fun, stuff happens daily. There is high leverage - half dozen pple can startup a multi-B book. There is good mix of data donkey work, modelling and forecasting, optimization, dev work, plus ops fun running things on calc farms. (admittedly - woken up oncall to fix Tokyo trading at 1am is less fun 🙃) Only $$$ profit matters in the end so mostly objective modulo luck (incl lack of it; HF easier to separate skill from luck). Principals are mostly sane b/c idiots are quickly enough weeded out by competition. Profitability is insane compared to anything outside Tech. We eat our product, there are no customers, clients (if one is not Prop) only care abt $$$ anyway (despite any stories they tell; covered above).
7:47 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820139842803556816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah mostly agree. Slight difference, and this is entirely subjective, and maybe more US and less UK: establishment/center-s are tad different. Establishment left has mostly not given in to their extreme wing (Corbynistas; admittedly have given in on wokism abt 1/2 I'd say). Whereas establishment right has mostly (abt 3/4) given in to their extreme wing (brexit, culture wars).
5:48 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah mostly agree. Slight difference, and this is entirely subjective, and maybe more US and less UK: establishment/center-s are tad different. Establishment left has mostly not given in to their extreme wing (Corbynistas; admittedly have given in on wokism abt 1/2 I'd say). Whereas establishment right has mostly (abt 3/4) given in to their extreme wing (brexit, culture wars).
5:48 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820132939646357904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Се надева EM, баби се снило што јој мило. Од UK не ми личи така. Никој не знае што носи иднината, ама: другарите на ЕМ немаат голема поддршка, летни нереди со кршење и палење имаме секое лето, сегашниот PM беше јавен обвинител кога пред 10-ина години имаше едни од поголемите.
5:21 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Се надева EM, баби се снило што јој мило. Од UK не ми личи така. Никој не знае што носи иднината, ама: другарите на ЕМ немаат голема поддршка, летни нереди со кршење и палење имаме секое лето, сегашниот PM беше јавен обвинител кога пред 10-ина години имаше едни од поголемите.
5:21 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820106012407328827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The industrialized world has become x10 times more wealthy in the past 100yrs - and we got social programs, security, etc. This includes UBI - for old people, and for rich people. So it works ok in principle, and in small scale, but we're not yet smart and rich enough to roll it out for all atm. But it's a matter of time. In the next 100yrs expect countries that don't go crazy and screw up to get another x10 times richer. Between now and then, for those countries - UBI will become a no brainer, will be done and common opinion will be that anything else is unspeakable barbarity. Not to be mentioned in polite company that we used to do no-UBI and let valuable human resource (the ultimate resource in the known universe!!! no less) rot on the streets for homelessness and similar. A question of time. SV tech entrepreneurs are too timid in social engineering - yay @sama ! 👍💪; boo @elonmusk 👎. It falls to them to do more, given how incompetent the non-tech world is it seems. CC @scottsantens
3:34 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The industrialized world has become x10 times more wealthy in the past 100yrs - and we got social programs, security, etc. This includes UBI - for old people, and for rich people. So it works ok in principle, and in small scale, but we're not yet smart and rich enough to roll it out for all atm. But it's a matter of time. In the next 100yrs expect countries that don't go crazy and screw up to get another x10 times richer. Between now and then, for those countries - UBI will become a no brainer, will be done and common opinion will be that anything else is unspeakable barbarity. Not to be mentioned in polite company that we used to do no-UBI and let valuable human resource (the ultimate resource in the known universe!!! no less) rot on the streets for homelessness and similar. A question of time. SV tech entrepreneurs are too timid in social engineering - yay @sama ! 👍💪; boo @elonmusk 👎. It falls to them to do more, given how incompetent the non-tech world is it seems. CC @scottsantens
3:34 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820091175644107251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My mum had those. I probably have a Fortran 66 manual in some drawer.
2:35 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My mum had those. I probably have a Fortran 66 manual in some drawer.
2:35 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820081948536053878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI can't come soon enough. Atm we have AS - Artificial Stupidity. Automated but un-intelligent. I tell X algo everything about me (name, age, address, CC info), spend hours on the platform clicking this-and-that (all tracked ofc). The stuff it come up with for me is just cr*p. That is - when it doesn't suspect that I'm not a human (how??) and restricts my account! But without telling me anything - ofc!! Why would omnipotent creature provide receipts for anything? I'll say why: b/c the quality if its operation on mine/user-facing side is abysmal. Current social media is like Kafka's tales realized. I don't mind the tracking, I do mind the platform being an imbecile - offering just stupid dreck to me after all that tracking. cc @elonmusk
1:58 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI can't come soon enough. Atm we have AS - Artificial Stupidity. Automated but un-intelligent. I tell X algo everything about me (name, age, address, CC info), spend hours on the platform clicking this-and-that (all tracked ofc). The stuff it come up with for me is just cr*p. That is - when it doesn't suspect that I'm not a human (how??) and restricts my account! But without telling me anything - ofc!! Why would omnipotent creature provide receipts for anything? I'll say why: b/c the quality if its operation on mine/user-facing side is abysmal. Current social media is like Kafka's tales realized. I don't mind the tracking, I do mind the platform being an imbecile - offering just stupid dreck to me after all that tracking. cc @elonmusk
1:58 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820075498518520078
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema, tapa a. Postiram vo nekoj Community "X bugs & features" za problemi (c.f. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819404040683262104
), ne znam dali nekoj cita, veruvam deka zboram vo veter. Mi istekuva Premium pretplata kraj na Avg, nema da se pretplatam pak (lani zedov zaradi XPro - imam listi + decks, super mi se za citanje) edno zaradi losh support, drugo mnogu vreme mi odzema (ima mnogu interesni raboti). Za zal social media se takvi: jas sum tuka posto site drugi sto mi se interesni za citanje se tuka. :-) Od toa nema spas, toa e poznata rabota. Ne znam dali ne najdov - ama mi lici deka nema Free tier. I najdolniot tier e so pretplata? Jas ne sum protiv pretplata. Mislam deka treba da ima pretplata (ne e zdravo 100% prihod od reklami, podobro od poveke izvori po pomalku, plus pretplata pomaga vo verifikacija) ama mislam i deka ne e zdravo platformata da e plaything na King Elon. Site proprietors kupuvaat mediumi za da gi iskoristat kako megafon, site da naucime sto imaat da ni kazat - ok. Ama vo pisuvani mediumi ima 1 OpEd od sopstvenikot mesecno - ne e sekoja deseta statija od sopstvenikot. :-) Mene me interesita sto ima EM da mi kaze za koli i raketi i kolonizacija na Mars - ama ne me interesira da go slusam za kultura i politika na Zemjata. :-)
Quote
x bugs & features
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 2
Replying to @kemicarol957
Can confirm the account was locked by X this morning. Then I had to go through 2 or 3 series of puzzles, to prove that "I'm a human". I have my real name, picture, CC paid incl the home address. Can't wait for the AI to take over tbh, b/c the current process is AS - Artificial
Show more
1:33 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema, tapa a. Postiram vo nekoj Community "X bugs & features" za problemi (c.f. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819404040683262104
), ne znam dali nekoj cita, veruvam deka zboram vo veter. Mi istekuva Premium pretplata kraj na Avg, nema da se pretplatam pak (lani zedov zaradi XPro - imam listi + decks, super mi se za citanje) edno zaradi losh support, drugo mnogu vreme mi odzema (ima mnogu interesni raboti). Za zal social media se takvi: jas sum tuka posto site drugi sto mi se interesni za citanje se tuka. :-) Od toa nema spas, toa e poznata rabota. Ne znam dali ne najdov - ama mi lici deka nema Free tier. I najdolniot tier e so pretplata? Jas ne sum protiv pretplata. Mislam deka treba da ima pretplata (ne e zdravo 100% prihod od reklami, podobro od poveke izvori po pomalku, plus pretplata pomaga vo verifikacija) ama mislam i deka ne e zdravo platformata da e plaything na King Elon. Site proprietors kupuvaat mediumi za da gi iskoristat kako megafon, site da naucime sto imaat da ni kazat - ok. Ama vo pisuvani mediumi ima 1 OpEd od sopstvenikot mesecno - ne e sekoja deseta statija od sopstvenikot. :-) Mene me interesita sto ima EM da mi kaze za koli i raketi i kolonizacija na Mars - ama ne me interesira da go slusam za kultura i politika na Zemjata. :-)
Quote
x bugs & features
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 2
Replying to @kemicarol957
Can confirm the account was locked by X this morning. Then I had to go through 2 or 3 series of puzzles, to prove that "I'm a human". I have my real name, picture, CC paid incl the home address. Can't wait for the AI to take over tbh, b/c the current process is AS - Artificial
Show more
1:33 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820072346838823417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super napisal covekot. Nema opravduvanje, aman od ovie gigantski egoa kako pa dar-od-gospod-neviden da se balkanskive politicari. Smalete dozivljaj malku @VjosaOsmaniPRKS , ne go fativte gospod za brada ako stanavte pretsedatel - naprotiv! Po sekoja merka vo sekoj parametar se balkanskite zemji na dupeto na evropa. Toa e vasa odgovornost, i delumno i vash neuspeh #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign
1:20 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super napisal covekot. Nema opravduvanje, aman od ovie gigantski egoa kako pa dar-od-gospod-neviden da se balkanskive politicari. Smalete dozivljaj malku @VjosaOsmaniPRKS , ne go fativte gospod za brada ako stanavte pretsedatel - naprotiv! Po sekoja merka vo sekoj parametar se balkanskite zemji na dupeto na evropa. Toa e vasa odgovornost, i delumno i vash neuspeh #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign
1:20 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820070909752787227
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but it's general as per the course, everything that makes the news is an exception an outlier rare curiosity. As such will not matter much in the grand scheme of things most of the time. Rare are the events that one can truly say changed the course of history, and even then counter factuals like - e.g. if not for Princip wd have been something else - make a lot of sense to me tbh.
1:14 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - but it's general as per the course, everything that makes the news is an exception an outlier rare curiosity. As such will not matter much in the grand scheme of things most of the time. Rare are the events that one can truly say changed the course of history, and even then counter factuals like - e.g. if not for Princip wd have been something else - make a lot of sense to me tbh.
1:14 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820069804994113891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - and you can help the 50% neutrals (where cost-benefit is +ve) by pointing them to something that explains is better. (for 25% MAGA-s cost-benefit is -ve, don't bother) Like simplest plus +1 level up from it. (no one has infinite time for super complex stuff) Saw this posted today https://thetech.org/ask-a-geneticist/articles/2010/ask352/ , and my own mental model abt this is https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819638489324884083 . Again - nothing fancy nothing hard, just one step above the bare minimum. Can be done - we can do it.
1:10 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - and you can help the 50% neutrals (where cost-benefit is +ve) by pointing them to something that explains is better. (for 25% MAGA-s cost-benefit is -ve, don't bother) Like simplest plus +1 level up from it. (no one has infinite time for super complex stuff) Saw this posted today https://thetech.org/ask-a-geneticist/articles/2010/ask352/ , and my own mental model abt this is https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819638489324884083 . Again - nothing fancy nothing hard, just one step above the bare minimum. Can be done - we can do it.
1:10 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820066269283926502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam dali nekoj znae tocno - sto e bug, sto e feature, sto e namerno, sto e po greska. Cela nedela imam restrikcija (ne mozam da zasledam novi accounts, odnosno sum organicen na 2 dnevno - izgleda?). Nema nenekoj support da mi kaze sum ogranicen ili ne sum, ili e nekoj bug.
12:56 PM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam dali nekoj znae tocno - sto e bug, sto e feature, sto e namerno, sto e po greska. Cela nedela imam restrikcija (ne mozam da zasledam novi accounts, odnosno sum organicen na 2 dnevno - izgleda?). Nema nenekoj support da mi kaze sum ogranicen ili ne sum, ili e nekoj bug.
12:56 PM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820030299117355497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - you check and tell me what you find. Even if I check - there is no way for me to be certain, that in my head, the same idea will form, that is currently in your head. Hence - writing, speaking, we use them to relay ideas to others. So if you want to relay an idea to me - write it here. I hope that makes sense to you.
I'm not mock angry - I'm real angry with people lying with statistics and numbers. I though it was an oversight (we all make errors, numbers are un-intuitive to us, there is never enough time to double check everything), but OP subsequent doubling down dissuaded me.
As for wealthy clients - there are none, someone's homes etc - no idea what you meant. You are to play the game, not the player. Here - for your reference
Image
10:33 AM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - you check and tell me what you find. Even if I check - there is no way for me to be certain, that in my head, the same idea will form, that is currently in your head. Hence - writing, speaking, we use them to relay ideas to others. So if you want to relay an idea to me - write it here. I hope that makes sense to you.
I'm not mock angry - I'm real angry with people lying with statistics and numbers. I though it was an oversight (we all make errors, numbers are un-intuitive to us, there is never enough time to double check everything), but OP subsequent doubling down dissuaded me.
As for wealthy clients - there are none, someone's homes etc - no idea what you meant. You are to play the game, not the player. Here - for your reference
Image
10:33 AM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820013288303800573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не само што патуваш низ простор - но патуваш и низ време. Магија! 😁 Слично - кога ќе отидам од моето мало гратче во велеград, се осеќам како да сум ја видел иднината.
9:25 AM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не само што патуваш низ простор - но патуваш и низ време. Магија! 😁 Слично - кога ќе отидам од моето мало гратче во велеград, се осеќам како да сум ја видел иднината.
9:25 AM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1820008138751320550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and with the age of AI upon us, it will be ever more pertinent. Exactly that - "What's a good life, how do I live a good life". One thing abt humanities though: they should brush up on information theory at least, in order to be able to stay relevant and contribute.
9:05 AM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and with the age of AI upon us, it will be ever more pertinent. Exactly that - "What's a good life, how do I live a good life". One thing abt humanities though: they should brush up on information theory at least, in order to be able to stay relevant and contribute.
9:05 AM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819999286467137676
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm a sucker for this. Kurzweil's "... sexier, smarter, more creative... free from biological limitations... spending time with family and friends, loving and being loved, all enhanced by AI ...". Very much "All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace" vibes but of the good kind. Our hopes for the future, manifest 🥰
Embedded video
Ray_Kurzweil_-_The_Last_6_Decades_of_AI_-_TED-20240803.mp4
8:30 AM · Aug 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm a sucker for this. Kurzweil's "... sexier, smarter, more creative... free from biological limitations... spending time with family and friends, loving and being loved, all enhanced by AI ...". Very much "All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace" vibes but of the good kind. Our hopes for the future, manifest 🥰
Embedded video
Ray_Kurzweil_-_The_Last_6_Decades_of_AI_-_TED-20240803.mp4
8:30 AM · Aug 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819776484740931625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ccccc - robovi vo pamet, robovi vo zivot. Ima VIP SOP sto vazi za site pa i za balkankava. Nema sto mnogu nikoj da se misli sto e kako e - se e napisano. Kako e napisano - taka ke izvrsuvaat, nezavisno dali e likot Vjosa ili sum jas. #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign
5:44 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ccccc - robovi vo pamet, robovi vo zivot. Ima VIP SOP sto vazi za site pa i za balkankava. Nema sto mnogu nikoj da se misli sto e kako e - se e napisano. Kako e napisano - taka ke izvrsuvaat, nezavisno dali e likot Vjosa ili sum jas. #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign
5:44 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819773400698478982
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming back to this (2/2): We expect the rule of law to apply to everyone, regardless of their name or station in life. All are equal before the law. Do you accept this, @VjosaOsmaniPRKS ? @VudiXhymshiti is engaging in a tactic often used by RUS and SRB: accusing others of what you yourself are doing. Take responsibility for the actions of your underlings, even if you may not be guilty yourself, and #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign.
Quote
Vudi Xhymshiti @VudiXhymshiti · Aug 1
In a flagrant diplomatic violation, Macedonian security assaulted 🇽🇰 Kosovo’s President @VjosaOsmaniPRKS, blatantly disregarding international norms and exposing deep 🇷🇺 Kremlin-aligned 🇷🇸 Serbian influence in 🇲🇰 North Macedonia.
https://frontpow.uk/p/scandal-at-skopje-airport-kosovo
Show this thread
5:32 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming back to this (2/2): We expect the rule of law to apply to everyone, regardless of their name or station in life. All are equal before the law. Do you accept this, @VjosaOsmaniPRKS ? @VudiXhymshiti is engaging in a tactic often used by RUS and SRB: accusing others of what you yourself are doing. Take responsibility for the actions of your underlings, even if you may not be guilty yourself, and #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign.
Quote
Vudi Xhymshiti @VudiXhymshiti · Aug 1
In a flagrant diplomatic violation, Macedonian security assaulted 🇽🇰 Kosovo’s President @VjosaOsmaniPRKS, blatantly disregarding international norms and exposing deep 🇷🇺 Kremlin-aligned 🇷🇸 Serbian influence in 🇲🇰 North Macedonia.
https://frontpow.uk/p/scandal-at-skopje-airport-kosovo
Show this thread
5:32 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819771855907287536
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming back to this (1/2): Imagine if this were Mark Rutte. What would Rutte do if his personal detail pulled a gun on airport security? What would the Dutch public expect him to do? Kosovars (as do most Balkanists) aspire to live like the rest of Europeans. To achieve that, you need to start valuing more what Dutch do (c.f. WEIRD the book), and less what you currently value. There are reasons why the Netherlands and Kosovo are the way they are. At a minimum, @VjosaOsmaniPRKS
should apologize to the public—both in MKD for the fuss caused and in KOS for the poor representation. The second-best option is for her to take responsibility and #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign. @VudiXhymshiti
@bipdirector
Quote
Vudi Xhymshiti @VudiXhymshiti · Aug 1
In a flagrant diplomatic violation, Macedonian security assaulted 🇽🇰 Kosovo’s President @VjosaOsmaniPRKS, blatantly disregarding international norms and exposing deep 🇷🇺 Kremlin-aligned 🇷🇸 Serbian influence in 🇲🇰 North Macedonia.
https://frontpow.uk/p/scandal-at-skopje-airport-kosovo
Show this thread
5:26 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming back to this (1/2): Imagine if this were Mark Rutte. What would Rutte do if his personal detail pulled a gun on airport security? What would the Dutch public expect him to do? Kosovars (as do most Balkanists) aspire to live like the rest of Europeans. To achieve that, you need to start valuing more what Dutch do (c.f. WEIRD the book), and less what you currently value. There are reasons why the Netherlands and Kosovo are the way they are. At a minimum, @VjosaOsmaniPRKS
should apologize to the public—both in MKD for the fuss caused and in KOS for the poor representation. The second-best option is for her to take responsibility and #VjosaOsmaniPRKSresign. @VudiXhymshiti
@bipdirector
Quote
Vudi Xhymshiti @VudiXhymshiti · Aug 1
In a flagrant diplomatic violation, Macedonian security assaulted 🇽🇰 Kosovo’s President @VjosaOsmaniPRKS, blatantly disregarding international norms and exposing deep 🇷🇺 Kremlin-aligned 🇷🇸 Serbian influence in 🇲🇰 North Macedonia.
https://frontpow.uk/p/scandal-at-skopje-airport-kosovo
Show this thread
5:26 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819747115733586115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - too much ceded to cars & their owners - space, time, power, mind-share. Time to take back control from cars. Example after example - pedestrians better for business, joy and fun to live with in general. 🥰 Cars and drivers just suck, don't deserve the allowances given 😧
3:48 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - too much ceded to cars & their owners - space, time, power, mind-share. Time to take back control from cars. Example after example - pedestrians better for business, joy and fun to live with in general. 🥰 Cars and drivers just suck, don't deserve the allowances given 😧
3:48 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819745016366895327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...pple thought Kurzweil was delusional forr aboutt - oh about 30yrs... - yet, here we are... 😄 As a rule of thumb: say something CAN'T be done - and you run the risk of being proven wrong, spectacularly so 😅 c.f. famously the NYT vv. the Wright brothers and flying 😂
3:39 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...pple thought Kurzweil was delusional forr aboutt - oh about 30yrs... - yet, here we are... 😄 As a rule of thumb: say something CAN'T be done - and you run the risk of being proven wrong, spectacularly so 😅 c.f. famously the NYT vv. the Wright brothers and flying 😂
3:39 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819734769120190723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) E poln krug 360 stepeni kako TV porano - toa sto Insta ti dade, toa gledas. Nemas sloboda ti nesto mnogu sam da klikas i da biras. Plus - e vizuelen i tonski (vibes! feelings!), kontra X - koj e sosema sprotiven- tekst, nesto sliki, ama skoro da nema video (ni ton).
2:59 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) E poln krug 360 stepeni kako TV porano - toa sto Insta ti dade, toa gledas. Nemas sloboda ti nesto mnogu sam da klikas i da biras. Plus - e vizuelen i tonski (vibes! feelings!), kontra X - koj e sosema sprotiven- tekst, nesto sliki, ama skoro da nema video (ni ton).
2:59 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819732481626484952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - very good, in the best tradition of "A: aargh, this is terrible, something must be done. B: this is something. A: ok - must be done!" :-) Having said that: @X not having the option the procedure in place, for *real persons* that *DO* want and seek and are prepared to pay for it have "real person certified" done by X, is silly and lazy. Knowing the nature of social media pull ("I'm here b/c everyone else is") don't expect any changes there anytime soon. (if ever)
2:50 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - very good, in the best tradition of "A: aargh, this is terrible, something must be done. B: this is something. A: ok - must be done!" :-) Having said that: @X not having the option the procedure in place, for *real persons* that *DO* want and seek and are prepared to pay for it have "real person certified" done by X, is silly and lazy. Knowing the nature of social media pull ("I'm here b/c everyone else is") don't expect any changes there anytime soon. (if ever)
2:50 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819724203911708876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It makes a huge difference, as in: is 1.5M vacant homes too high, or is it too low maybe? What does 1.5M mean? We get a handle on the meaning of the raw number by comparing with similar 1) in time; and 2) in space. We actually learn - it's a comparatively low number, not a high number, as - I now understand - you were meant to imply. FR and NL have the equivalent numbers higher. Please follow up on the short books refd.
Anecdotal evidence: my neighbor in a shared semi- passed away unfortunately, and her half of the house has been 1) empty for 1 yr while on sale 2) empty for a 2nd year while being renovated. There's 1 of your 1.5M.
I'm speaking my mind, I'm not wealthy in absolute terms, I'm a quant trader and a researcher and a developer, my kids are (or will be soon) looking for a home. So very much relevant.
Aside - not addressing the arguments and tackling the player and not playing the game earns you the pic below.
Not spending any more time on your TL, have a good rest of your life.
Image
2:17 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It makes a huge difference, as in: is 1.5M vacant homes too high, or is it too low maybe? What does 1.5M mean? We get a handle on the meaning of the raw number by comparing with similar 1) in time; and 2) in space. We actually learn - it's a comparatively low number, not a high number, as - I now understand - you were meant to imply. FR and NL have the equivalent numbers higher. Please follow up on the short books refd.
Anecdotal evidence: my neighbor in a shared semi- passed away unfortunately, and her half of the house has been 1) empty for 1 yr while on sale 2) empty for a 2nd year while being renovated. There's 1 of your 1.5M.
I'm speaking my mind, I'm not wealthy in absolute terms, I'm a quant trader and a researcher and a developer, my kids are (or will be soon) looking for a home. So very much relevant.
Aside - not addressing the arguments and tackling the player and not playing the game earns you the pic below.
Not spending any more time on your TL, have a good rest of your life.
Image
2:17 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819713135428694513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many nations on the Continent have "performative miserableism" that I find UK (and US) don't have. For whatever reason - it seems ok to default to "No/n!" Answer to any random Question. IDK why that's the case. Think last time saw it abt c19 vaccines - surveyed answers to "wd you take one" were "yes" only 40%, and latter the actual vaccine uptake was more than double that.
1:33 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many nations on the Continent have "performative miserableism" that I find UK (and US) don't have. For whatever reason - it seems ok to default to "No/n!" Answer to any random Question. IDK why that's the case. Think last time saw it abt c19 vaccines - surveyed answers to "wd you take one" were "yes" only 40%, and latter the actual vaccine uptake was more than double that.
1:33 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819710739159851443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) I think s/he 1) put out a BIG number (1.5M) raw; then 2) concluded there is no housing shortage. While #1 is fine, not a crime, it's a start to put out a raw number/ Then the honest thing is to follow up and put the number in context. In perspective these 1.5M empty homes: 3) How do they compare to historic/time average of the same measure? 4) How do they compare to our geographic peers (for EN - usually Scotland, or FR and NL) that measure about the same? To jump to #2 is wholly unwarranted. To imply #2 in the minds of your audience, all the while maintaining plausible deniability, is even worse in my book tbh! It would imply premediation and forethought and not mere misleading out of rush judgement (and ignorance). That would really be the pits, I think (and hope!) it's not the case. We've had "How to Lie with Statistics" for ages now, more recently .@TomChivers
&bro "How to Read Numbers". We all need to raise our game, ignorance is not an excuse anymore. Hence mi venting - apologize for that.
1:23 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) I think s/he 1) put out a BIG number (1.5M) raw; then 2) concluded there is no housing shortage. While #1 is fine, not a crime, it's a start to put out a raw number/ Then the honest thing is to follow up and put the number in context. In perspective these 1.5M empty homes: 3) How do they compare to historic/time average of the same measure? 4) How do they compare to our geographic peers (for EN - usually Scotland, or FR and NL) that measure about the same? To jump to #2 is wholly unwarranted. To imply #2 in the minds of your audience, all the while maintaining plausible deniability, is even worse in my book tbh! It would imply premediation and forethought and not mere misleading out of rush judgement (and ignorance). That would really be the pits, I think (and hope!) it's not the case. We've had "How to Lie with Statistics" for ages now, more recently .@TomChivers
&bro "How to Read Numbers". We all need to raise our game, ignorance is not an excuse anymore. Hence mi venting - apologize for that.
1:23 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819703225169170436
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop digging. Having the raw number out is not a crime (neither is a mystery). Deriving any conclusions from a raw number - without: how does it compare to the same number through history (1yr, 2yrs, 10yrs ago), how does it compare to geographical peers France, Netherlands, etc - is a statistics crime, is a bad thing to do. Accept this was not your best hour, learn from the experience, clear things up to everyone you misled - and you will move on better and stronger. If your ego gets the better of you, on the other hand ...
12:53 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop digging. Having the raw number out is not a crime (neither is a mystery). Deriving any conclusions from a raw number - without: how does it compare to the same number through history (1yr, 2yrs, 10yrs ago), how does it compare to geographical peers France, Netherlands, etc - is a statistics crime, is a bad thing to do. Accept this was not your best hour, learn from the experience, clear things up to everyone you misled - and you will move on better and stronger. If your ego gets the better of you, on the other hand ...
12:53 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819700890703401241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We, all of us individuals, have be empowered by technology by the virtue of have our thoughts amplified and broadcast to millions and even billions of fellow humans. With great power - comes great responsibility 👀🙄
Quote
Helen Lewis @helenlewis · 8h
Interested by the Times’s decision to give this woman anonymity.
I can see why they don’t want to expose her to reprisals but I also feel like people need to start taking some responsibility for blasting out rumours online.
(Gift link: https://thetimes.com/article/e87b09fb-b8fe-408d-a961-c89e6ae0f098?shareToken=c08914b72b266d9ea856481feae1b4a2)
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12:44 PM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We, all of us individuals, have be empowered by technology by the virtue of have our thoughts amplified and broadcast to millions and even billions of fellow humans. With great power - comes great responsibility 👀🙄
Quote
Helen Lewis @helenlewis · 8h
Interested by the Times’s decision to give this woman anonymity.
I can see why they don’t want to expose her to reprisals but I also feel like people need to start taking some responsibility for blasting out rumours online.
(Gift link: https://thetimes.com/article/e87b09fb-b8fe-408d-a961-c89e6ae0f098?shareToken=c08914b72b266d9ea856481feae1b4a2)
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12:44 PM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819688490956656916
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace" manifest. 😆 Inching ever closer to Ray Kurzweil's "... sexier, smarter, more creative... free from biological limitations... spending time with family and friends, loving and being loved, all enhanced by AI ..." (no!! I'm not crying this early in the day 🥰)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=uEztHu4NHrs&t=740s
Quote
RoMAlt/man @i_dg23 · 8h
Strawberry 🍓 models are considered to be the AGI achieved internally, as mentioned by @apples_jimmy , with the ability to solve complex mathematical and scientific problems, execute tasks based on long-term planning, autonomously gather information, and perform advanced
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11:55 AM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace" manifest. 😆 Inching ever closer to Ray Kurzweil's "... sexier, smarter, more creative... free from biological limitations... spending time with family and friends, loving and being loved, all enhanced by AI ..." (no!! I'm not crying this early in the day 🥰)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=uEztHu4NHrs&t=740s
Quote
RoMAlt/man @i_dg23 · 8h
Strawberry 🍓 models are considered to be the AGI achieved internally, as mentioned by @apples_jimmy , with the ability to solve complex mathematical and scientific problems, execute tasks based on long-term planning, autonomously gather information, and perform advanced
Show more
11:55 AM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819681607394976130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a daft low IQ take. You are given the privilege of participation in the public real - with powers come responsibilities. FFS! - shape up and man up. Observed from afar - here comes another startup state (like my native Macedonia), and now we have to endure the trials and tribulations of a teenager growing up: both needy and aggressive in personal relations, both wanting to strike on its own yet scared of uncertainty and responsibility. Wd we wise to learn from the mistakes of others and make fewer of your own, but hey - you be you 🤷♂️🤷♂️
11:27 AM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a daft low IQ take. You are given the privilege of participation in the public real - with powers come responsibilities. FFS! - shape up and man up. Observed from afar - here comes another startup state (like my native Macedonia), and now we have to endure the trials and tribulations of a teenager growing up: both needy and aggressive in personal relations, both wanting to strike on its own yet scared of uncertainty and responsibility. Wd we wise to learn from the mistakes of others and make fewer of your own, but hey - you be you 🤷♂️🤷♂️
11:27 AM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819663112816976363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The apocalyptic claim seems to be making a molehill out of a mole. Single parents (below 30yo) with small children worked less. Instead they spend more time on the child and in additional education. To me that seemed a pretty sensible thing to do, not the end of the world.
10:14 AM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The apocalyptic claim seems to be making a molehill out of a mole. Single parents (below 30yo) with small children worked less. Instead they spend more time on the child and in additional education. To me that seemed a pretty sensible thing to do, not the end of the world.
10:14 AM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819653512344551691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither I'm afraid :-( It's the system incentives, and her unwillingness to not take the easiest path. But to spend small amount of political capital to do - if not the right thing - the better thing. Lying is oft easier short term, but catches with us long term, so is rightly considered bad. (as every parent teaches every child) :-)
9:36 AM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither I'm afraid :-( It's the system incentives, and her unwillingness to not take the easiest path. But to spend small amount of political capital to do - if not the right thing - the better thing. Lying is oft easier short term, but catches with us long term, so is rightly considered bad. (as every parent teaches every child) :-)
9:36 AM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819638489324884083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, IDK how someone this invested in the issue, thus presumed to have learned and thought about it, can do a lazy-silly take. I'm not interested enough to learn the details of this particular case. But a framework I, a side watcher/civilian have found useful to put things in context for me is this. The chromosomes are programs, a long series of instructions. They drive the body/parts to develop/grow (and crucially - stop growing too) as per those instructions. So everyone wd be an XX female by default, except: where Y is present in XY cells, the instructions Y carries are executed on. This is not a single step, not a single 0/1 yes/no switch, but a longer chain of events, a series of steps and processes one after the other, all prompted and guided by the programs in that Y chromosome. This is over a non-trivial amount of time too - as for the rest of human development from a single cell onwards. If all goes as per the hard-coded plan, if all the steps are executed without errors - we get a XY male at the end of the process. However: sometimes the instructions in Y are not completely right to the very end, and sometimes for whatever random reasons (like when a computer RAM has cosmic ray flipping bits, so we need ECC error correction) they are not executed completely right as intended to the end. This is rare enough as not to matter much in the grand scheme of things for humanity (except - for the individual affected). But now that we are all connected and all public on social media - we are all made aware of what wd have been an local curiosity a 100 yrs ago.
8:36 AM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, IDK how someone this invested in the issue, thus presumed to have learned and thought about it, can do a lazy-silly take. I'm not interested enough to learn the details of this particular case. But a framework I, a side watcher/civilian have found useful to put things in context for me is this. The chromosomes are programs, a long series of instructions. They drive the body/parts to develop/grow (and crucially - stop growing too) as per those instructions. So everyone wd be an XX female by default, except: where Y is present in XY cells, the instructions Y carries are executed on. This is not a single step, not a single 0/1 yes/no switch, but a longer chain of events, a series of steps and processes one after the other, all prompted and guided by the programs in that Y chromosome. This is over a non-trivial amount of time too - as for the rest of human development from a single cell onwards. If all goes as per the hard-coded plan, if all the steps are executed without errors - we get a XY male at the end of the process. However: sometimes the instructions in Y are not completely right to the very end, and sometimes for whatever random reasons (like when a computer RAM has cosmic ray flipping bits, so we need ECC error correction) they are not executed completely right as intended to the end. This is rare enough as not to matter much in the grand scheme of things for humanity (except - for the individual affected). But now that we are all connected and all public on social media - we are all made aware of what wd have been an local curiosity a 100 yrs ago.
8:36 AM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819627071011697046
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that it takes effort to ignore it. Truth is what's shared by all by default, it's the minimum energy, minimum effort configuration. By most of us - but not all. Accomplished deceptionists have their truth sensor weak or malfunctioning so to be almost unbothered by untruth.
Quote
Naval @naval · 5h
Truth is that which, once you see it, you can’t unsee it.
7:51 AM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that it takes effort to ignore it. Truth is what's shared by all by default, it's the minimum energy, minimum effort configuration. By most of us - but not all. Accomplished deceptionists have their truth sensor weak or malfunctioning so to be almost unbothered by untruth.
Quote
Naval @naval · 5h
Truth is that which, once you see it, you can’t unsee it.
7:51 AM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819620087852081306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - takes effort to ignore it. Truth is what's shared by all by default, it's the minimum energy, minimum effort configuration. Admittedly by most but not all. Accomplished deceptionists have their truth sensor weak or malfunctioning so to be unbothered by untruth.
7:23 AM · Aug 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - takes effort to ignore it. Truth is what's shared by all by default, it's the minimum energy, minimum effort configuration. Admittedly by most but not all. Accomplished deceptionists have their truth sensor weak or malfunctioning so to be unbothered by untruth.
7:23 AM · Aug 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819451646398927258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's been like that for 1-2yrs for me already. I switched to DDG back then, mostly stayed with it (it's powered by Bing). Today I installed http://Perplexity.ai as search engine in my primary driver (Firefox), TBS what happens.
From perplexity.ai
8:14 PM · Aug 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's been like that for 1-2yrs for me already. I switched to DDG back then, mostly stayed with it (it's powered by Bing). Today I installed http://Perplexity.ai as search engine in my primary driver (Firefox), TBS what happens.
From perplexity.ai
8:14 PM · Aug 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819436800160497984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After some thought over the years I moved 101% in the pro-GMO-for-everything camp. Yes - there is a small risk for a disaster and we have only one Earth. However - such disaster was possible in pre-GMO days, GMO is much more controlled than previous random trial&error, we've had 30yrs of data now and none of the anti-GMO fears (now we can call them - scares) have materialized. So I'm very relaxed about all things GMO. Ofc - ymmv! :-) There is a non-zero risk of not going full-on GMO too. Continuing "as we did so far" is a non-zero risk too.
7:15 PM · Aug 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After some thought over the years I moved 101% in the pro-GMO-for-everything camp. Yes - there is a small risk for a disaster and we have only one Earth. However - such disaster was possible in pre-GMO days, GMO is much more controlled than previous random trial&error, we've had 30yrs of data now and none of the anti-GMO fears (now we can call them - scares) have materialized. So I'm very relaxed about all things GMO. Ofc - ymmv! :-) There is a non-zero risk of not going full-on GMO too. Continuing "as we did so far" is a non-zero risk too.
7:15 PM · Aug 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819433410282074430
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @rorysutherland , at 49" here (time in link) https://youtube.com/watch?v=KZ57cYqZZKI&t=2940s , there is solid maths on "average does not exist" claim. In Ndim spaces, for sufficiently high N (which is not very high still - say N>12 i.e. a dozen!), the "central area" of the space, or probability mass if you like - is empty! The center is empty and all space goes squeezes in the edges. We learn this from looking how the ratio of Nvolume of Nsphere relative to Ncube behaves when we let N go high (ultimately - to infinity). If all probability mass goes to the edges, and there is nothing in the center => every one of your observations is going to be an outlier, in some dimension (there is OR operator at work there; conversely, to be in the center, the point has to be non-extreme in ALL dimension, there is an AND operator there at work). Noticed it b/c of recent memes abt Ndim spaces, seems some AI influencers discovered them e.g. https://x.com/RokoMijic/status/1818073988805152801
youtube.com
Live MAD//Masterclass with Rory Sutherland
Session captured at MAD//Fest London 2023 on 6 JulySpeaker:Rory Sutherland, Vice Chairman, Ogilvy UK
7:01 PM · Aug 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @rorysutherland , at 49" here (time in link) https://youtube.com/watch?v=KZ57cYqZZKI&t=2940s , there is solid maths on "average does not exist" claim. In Ndim spaces, for sufficiently high N (which is not very high still - say N>12 i.e. a dozen!), the "central area" of the space, or probability mass if you like - is empty! The center is empty and all space goes squeezes in the edges. We learn this from looking how the ratio of Nvolume of Nsphere relative to Ncube behaves when we let N go high (ultimately - to infinity). If all probability mass goes to the edges, and there is nothing in the center => every one of your observations is going to be an outlier, in some dimension (there is OR operator at work there; conversely, to be in the center, the point has to be non-extreme in ALL dimension, there is an AND operator there at work). Noticed it b/c of recent memes abt Ndim spaces, seems some AI influencers discovered them e.g. https://x.com/RokoMijic/status/1818073988805152801
youtube.com
Live MAD//Masterclass with Rory Sutherland
Session captured at MAD//Fest London 2023 on 6 JulySpeaker:Rory Sutherland, Vice Chairman, Ogilvy UK
7:01 PM · Aug 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819426040759906613
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good riddance to bad rubbish that. Hope TV will be truly dead in ~10 yrs. I hold TV responsible for boomer brain rot.
6:32 PM · Aug 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good riddance to bad rubbish that. Hope TV will be truly dead in ~10 yrs. I hold TV responsible for boomer brain rot.
6:32 PM · Aug 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819420097242394752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks!! I take that as a +1 for the idea - great! I'm v.glad my abstraction is not completely misleading me :-)
6:08 PM · Aug 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks!! I take that as a +1 for the idea - great! I'm v.glad my abstraction is not completely misleading me :-)
6:08 PM · Aug 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819411401578021159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a layman/civilian trying to understand these things, the best way I found to think about them is this. The chromosomes are programs, they instruct the body/parts to develop/grow (and crucially - stop growing!!) as per those instructions. So everyone would be a XX female by default, except: where Y is present in XY cells, the instructions Y carries are executed on. This is not a single step, not a single 0/1 no/yes switch, but a longer chain of events. It's a series of steps and processes, all prompted and guided by the programs in that Y chromosome, over non-trivial amount of time. If all goes as per the hard-coded plan, if all the steps are executed without errors - we get a XY male at the end of the process. However: sometimes the instructions in Y are not completely right to the very end, and sometimes for whatever random reasons (like when in computer RAM we have cosmic ray flipping bits; so we need error correction) they are not executed completely right as intended to the end. This is rare enough as not to matter much in the grand scheme of things for humanity (except - for the individual affected). But now that we are all connected and all public on social media - we are all made aware of what wd have been an local curiosity a 100 yrs ago.
5:34 PM · Aug 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a layman/civilian trying to understand these things, the best way I found to think about them is this. The chromosomes are programs, they instruct the body/parts to develop/grow (and crucially - stop growing!!) as per those instructions. So everyone would be a XX female by default, except: where Y is present in XY cells, the instructions Y carries are executed on. This is not a single step, not a single 0/1 no/yes switch, but a longer chain of events. It's a series of steps and processes, all prompted and guided by the programs in that Y chromosome, over non-trivial amount of time. If all goes as per the hard-coded plan, if all the steps are executed without errors - we get a XY male at the end of the process. However: sometimes the instructions in Y are not completely right to the very end, and sometimes for whatever random reasons (like when in computer RAM we have cosmic ray flipping bits; so we need error correction) they are not executed completely right as intended to the end. This is rare enough as not to matter much in the grand scheme of things for humanity (except - for the individual affected). But now that we are all connected and all public on social media - we are all made aware of what wd have been an local curiosity a 100 yrs ago.
5:34 PM · Aug 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819302013747798299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 You deserve a medal or a commendation here - this was patience of a saint, demonstrated.
10:19 AM · Aug 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 You deserve a medal or a commendation here - this was patience of a saint, demonstrated.
10:19 AM · Aug 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819045418832888060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you mean. The fact that reality, things that happen around you, is a surprise to you, is something you don't expect - should signal to you that your understanding of reality is not 100% correct. I'm sorry but can't help any more than this.
5:19 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you mean. The fact that reality, things that happen around you, is a surprise to you, is something you don't expect - should signal to you that your understanding of reality is not 100% correct. I'm sorry but can't help any more than this.
5:19 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819042285033558033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"How to measure the information gained from one symbol" by DeWeese and Meister is underpublicized yet important -
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10695762/
Please plug it into some future post of yours pls?
(no affiliation with the authors nor the publisher)
From pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
5:07 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"How to measure the information gained from one symbol" by DeWeese and Meister is underpublicized yet important -
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10695762/
Please plug it into some future post of yours pls?
(no affiliation with the authors nor the publisher)
From pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
5:07 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819038384691499279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are about right. Putin only cares about US-ians for now (despite the rhetoric abt "UK little Satan"), but things maybe change on a dime overnight very quickly and Mr @BBCSteveR
may find himself in unwanted company, khm khm. I think they are brave (and foolish).
4:52 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are about right. Putin only cares about US-ians for now (despite the rhetoric abt "UK little Satan"), but things maybe change on a dime overnight very quickly and Mr @BBCSteveR
may find himself in unwanted company, khm khm. I think they are brave (and foolish).
4:52 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819036549809569996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As you please my dude, do as you please. It's a mystery to me why one wd take rando Murphy as infallible authority on this.(*) But hey - one can bring the horse to the water, one can't make him drink.
(*) ofc we maybe conversing with the said Mr Murphy here - that may explain it 😂😂😂
4:44 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As you please my dude, do as you please. It's a mystery to me why one wd take rando Murphy as infallible authority on this.(*) But hey - one can bring the horse to the water, one can't make him drink.
(*) ofc we maybe conversing with the said Mr Murphy here - that may explain it 😂😂😂
4:44 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819025915680026743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the fact what you thought should happen, didn't actually in reality happen, would to any reasonable person give rise to the suspicion: maybe my mental model of how things work has a fault, maybe "it just ain't so"? I can say nothing else in addition to already said, as there is nothing to say - sorry.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818959784160174081
4:02 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the fact what you thought should happen, didn't actually in reality happen, would to any reasonable person give rise to the suspicion: maybe my mental model of how things work has a fault, maybe "it just ain't so"? I can say nothing else in addition to already said, as there is nothing to say - sorry.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818959784160174081
4:02 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819023452692488568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? And where do I say "Private banks create cash" pls? Nowhere. Everything in my post is about BoE - nothing about private banks. I agree with you on both points. I'm just puzzled by your reply. (as if replying to something else written - not what I actually write) Further - electronic £££ created by private banks is specifically *not* QE, nothing to do with it. If the scheme of the fiat system presented in the video is correct. And from everything I've seen and read on the topic - I think it is correct.
3:52 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? And where do I say "Private banks create cash" pls? Nowhere. Everything in my post is about BoE - nothing about private banks. I agree with you on both points. I'm just puzzled by your reply. (as if replying to something else written - not what I actually write) Further - electronic £££ created by private banks is specifically *not* QE, nothing to do with it. If the scheme of the fiat system presented in the video is correct. And from everything I've seen and read on the topic - I think it is correct.
3:52 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819021991820644489
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the "rising house prices good" (not!) just yesterday by @rorysutherland - a good podcast worth anyone's time -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 9h
Replying to @timleunig
Several good points about housing in the grand scheme of things by @rorysutherland in recent @CosmicSkeptic podcast
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QtvoGUxF8C0&list=WL&t=4000s
3:46 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the "rising house prices good" (not!) just yesterday by @rorysutherland - a good podcast worth anyone's time -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 9h
Replying to @timleunig
Several good points about housing in the grand scheme of things by @rorysutherland in recent @CosmicSkeptic podcast
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QtvoGUxF8C0&list=WL&t=4000s
3:46 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819020384424853734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you mean tbh. The £££ cash is ink printed on paper. The electronic £££ that circulate between the reserve accounts is numbers in a spreadsheet (or an SQL table). What else can it possibly be? It's literally the job of the BoE to do this. None of this is news.
3:40 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you mean tbh. The £££ cash is ink printed on paper. The electronic £££ that circulate between the reserve accounts is numbers in a spreadsheet (or an SQL table). What else can it possibly be? It's literally the job of the BoE to do this. None of this is news.
3:40 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1819001744480739516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... this by @Suitpossum maybe worth your time https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s on what's what and where things stand. Abstracting spreadsheets instead of rings drawn works as well (and tallies better with reality) - but rings and pounds moving on them is visually way more appealing. :-)
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
2:26 PM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... this by @Suitpossum maybe worth your time https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s on what's what and where things stand. Abstracting spreadsheets instead of rings drawn works as well (and tallies better with reality) - but rings and pounds moving on them is visually way more appealing. :-)
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
2:26 PM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818959784160174081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... afaik those accounts are bank's reserve accounts with BoE, say call them the "reserve account" if you will (after the us banks accounts with the federal reserve bank), and they are not "lent out". Further - it's legally impossible to be lent out as I understand it. Further - it's logically incoherent: in the GFC'08 banks lent too much (on housing), then suffered losses. So it's reasonable and prudent for a bank to want to reduce risk. And "lending out" is increasing risk, not reducing it. Further - banks creating loans is not directly tied to their reserve account (it's tied indirectly vie the risk as I vaguely understand it). Further - post GFC'08 economy in crisis no-one buying stuff: there are takers to take loans from a bank to invest to create stuff, b/c there is noone to sell that stuff to really. The consumption of everything collapsed. So QE is going to help the real economy is incoherent on many levels afaics.
11:39 AM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... afaik those accounts are bank's reserve accounts with BoE, say call them the "reserve account" if you will (after the us banks accounts with the federal reserve bank), and they are not "lent out". Further - it's legally impossible to be lent out as I understand it. Further - it's logically incoherent: in the GFC'08 banks lent too much (on housing), then suffered losses. So it's reasonable and prudent for a bank to want to reduce risk. And "lending out" is increasing risk, not reducing it. Further - banks creating loans is not directly tied to their reserve account (it's tied indirectly vie the risk as I vaguely understand it). Further - post GFC'08 economy in crisis no-one buying stuff: there are takers to take loans from a bank to invest to create stuff, b/c there is noone to sell that stuff to really. The consumption of everything collapsed. So QE is going to help the real economy is incoherent on many levels afaics.
11:39 AM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818956863657906310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... plus: didn't banks start to receive interest on their reserve account with BoE, that previously brought them 0 interest, at about the same time?
11:28 AM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... plus: didn't banks start to receive interest on their reserve account with BoE, that previously brought them 0 interest, at about the same time?
11:28 AM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818954780418752684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, so that's the original point: the person creating the original image committed those plethora of offenses. The person viewing the image, in the process of viewing, re-created the image but didn't commit the same offenses (prob committed others, somewhat different, offenses). I guess the law could have made a difference between the original image, and copies of it being re-creations of the same image. And maybe it does - IDK anything abt the law tbh.
11:19 AM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, so that's the original point: the person creating the original image committed those plethora of offenses. The person viewing the image, in the process of viewing, re-created the image but didn't commit the same offenses (prob committed others, somewhat different, offenses). I guess the law could have made a difference between the original image, and copies of it being re-creations of the same image. And maybe it does - IDK anything abt the law tbh.
11:19 AM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818948963459846642
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Several good points about housing in the grand scheme of things by @rorysutherland in recent @CosmicSkeptic podcast youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QtvoGUxF8C0&list=WL&t=4000s
Why Logical Thinking is Illogical - Rory Sutherland
For early, ad-free access to videos, support the channel at https://www.alexoconnor.comTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic...
10:56 AM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Several good points about housing in the grand scheme of things by @rorysutherland in recent @CosmicSkeptic podcast youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QtvoGUxF8C0&list=WL&t=4000s
Why Logical Thinking is Illogical - Rory Sutherland
For early, ad-free access to videos, support the channel at https://www.alexoconnor.comTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic...
10:56 AM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818921053873164677
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depressing but TBF it was ever thus. In less well developed countries with worse education worse media it's worse. We saw with Covid - most are one breadth only away from truly medieval superstitions, once fear properly takes hold. You see that at the edges (nutrition, organic, new agist cults, terminal illnesses) even in steady times outside acute crisis.
9:05 AM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depressing but TBF it was ever thus. In less well developed countries with worse education worse media it's worse. We saw with Covid - most are one breadth only away from truly medieval superstitions, once fear properly takes hold. You see that at the edges (nutrition, organic, new agist cults, terminal illnesses) even in steady times outside acute crisis.
9:05 AM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818918956524011798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK legal but just knowing how computers and software work: even just reading this twitter feed, the App or the browser are downloading many images, and likely storing them on disk (DL before displaying instead of keeping in RAM only, or in various cache-ings) so the act of viewing necessitates creating of images I imagine.
8:57 AM · Aug 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK legal but just knowing how computers and software work: even just reading this twitter feed, the App or the browser are downloading many images, and likely storing them on disk (DL before displaying instead of keeping in RAM only, or in various cache-ings) so the act of viewing necessitates creating of images I imagine.
8:57 AM · Aug 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818656391269146858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was summery joyful by @rorysutherland 😊 Serious talk yet entertaining yet non-whimsical and in affirmation of the youth/kids of today. 👏👍 Kudos to @CosmicSkeptic - should have booked a longer shooting slot, eh? 😂
youtube.com
Why Logical Thinking is Illogical - Rory Sutherland
For early, ad-free access to videos, support the channel at https://www.alexoconnor.comTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=QtvoGUxF8C0
3:34 PM · Jul 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was summery joyful by @rorysutherland 😊 Serious talk yet entertaining yet non-whimsical and in affirmation of the youth/kids of today. 👏👍 Kudos to @CosmicSkeptic - should have booked a longer shooting slot, eh? 😂
youtube.com
Why Logical Thinking is Illogical - Rory Sutherland
For early, ad-free access to videos, support the channel at https://www.alexoconnor.comTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=QtvoGUxF8C0
3:34 PM · Jul 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818626748323393678
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Доаѓам во искушение да напишам "брзо јави им се, може не им текнало" ама ќе се воздржам. 😔 Знаат, сите знаат и тоа со децении - ама сопствениот џеб, сопствената корист ја ценат 1000, а туѓата мака и болка 0. Не само политичарите - туку сите ние, најексплицитно, и ние што ги гласаме. И сега - лек што е? Има ли лек?
1:36 PM · Jul 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Доаѓам во искушение да напишам "брзо јави им се, може не им текнало" ама ќе се воздржам. 😔 Знаат, сите знаат и тоа со децении - ама сопствениот џеб, сопствената корист ја ценат 1000, а туѓата мака и болка 0. Не само политичарите - туку сите ние, најексплицитно, и ние што ги гласаме. И сега - лек што е? Има ли лек?
1:36 PM · Jul 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818587802461732969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Big improvement - no? Previously we expected models to be real, and there was an issue when they were retouched and not real. People tried to use real people non-retouched - with mixed results. Now, technology to the rescue: there will not be the expectation that the models are real - going forward, everyone will know the models used are not real. Problem solved? Don't recall anyone ever suggesting this solution to the societal problem (=people expecting real models but getting non-real ones): keeping the models non-real, but changing people's expectations! haha - excellent :-)
11:01 AM · Jul 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Big improvement - no? Previously we expected models to be real, and there was an issue when they were retouched and not real. People tried to use real people non-retouched - with mixed results. Now, technology to the rescue: there will not be the expectation that the models are real - going forward, everyone will know the models used are not real. Problem solved? Don't recall anyone ever suggesting this solution to the societal problem (=people expecting real models but getting non-real ones): keeping the models non-real, but changing people's expectations! haha - excellent :-)
11:01 AM · Jul 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818553689553973379
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂😂 - "difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it" -incarnate. v.v.good 😂
8:46 AM · Jul 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂😂 - "difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it" -incarnate. v.v.good 😂
8:46 AM · Jul 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818373655925342576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it like this. The ideal is deterministic knowledge. Like in physics: we know exactly what's going to happen. However - that kind of knowing is an exception, not the rule. For most things, we are ignorant, we guess wrongly the future outcome. We simply don't know. Do we then give up and say "well anything may happen"? Not so fast - we can do a bit better than that. We can count and tally the outcomes. In a circle of 10 friends, I can't know who is going to get cancer, and who is not, but I can count how many of us get it in the next 10yrs - say 3 of us. But I can't know which one of us individually. That's weaker knowledge than the deterministic one. I only know the total count - not the outcome of each and every one experiment. Note at deterministic knowledge I knew each outcome (so trivialy easy to count and tally them too). Statistics is a way to quantify our ignorance. Not ideal, far from it - but better than giving up completely. Note in the extreme when we have outcomes tally, say option A=100%, option B=0% - we just crossed over to deterministic knowing. From statistical ignorance, over to deterministic knowledge, if you like. 😁
8:50 PM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it like this. The ideal is deterministic knowledge. Like in physics: we know exactly what's going to happen. However - that kind of knowing is an exception, not the rule. For most things, we are ignorant, we guess wrongly the future outcome. We simply don't know. Do we then give up and say "well anything may happen"? Not so fast - we can do a bit better than that. We can count and tally the outcomes. In a circle of 10 friends, I can't know who is going to get cancer, and who is not, but I can count how many of us get it in the next 10yrs - say 3 of us. But I can't know which one of us individually. That's weaker knowledge than the deterministic one. I only know the total count - not the outcome of each and every one experiment. Note at deterministic knowledge I knew each outcome (so trivialy easy to count and tally them too). Statistics is a way to quantify our ignorance. Not ideal, far from it - but better than giving up completely. Note in the extreme when we have outcomes tally, say option A=100%, option B=0% - we just crossed over to deterministic knowing. From statistical ignorance, over to deterministic knowledge, if you like. 😁
8:50 PM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818299198921445534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I do not wish them harm. I despair at their choices. By preferencing themselves over their children - they did their children harm, and then subsequently they did themselves harm too. I chastise the boomer generation for their moral failings. Their motto seemingly was "more for me, less for everyone else". We are all both selfish and sharing, both competitive and cooperative. As a generation they didn't balance that well enough imo.
3:54 PM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I do not wish them harm. I despair at their choices. By preferencing themselves over their children - they did their children harm, and then subsequently they did themselves harm too. I chastise the boomer generation for their moral failings. Their motto seemingly was "more for me, less for everyone else". We are all both selfish and sharing, both competitive and cooperative. As a generation they didn't balance that well enough imo.
3:54 PM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818292943075066236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - my mum! Slide rule at the ready. 😂 Calculating the number and thickness of iron rods that are to go in a pillar or a beam of a building or a bridge ("phi-six this, phi-twelve that"). Also the Rotring pens filled with ink, writing on "paus" (tracing paper), correcting the mistakes with a Gillette blade gently scrapping the paus paper. 😁Having a large paus sheet affixed to the desk with sellotape in the corners. Memories of a 1980s childhood 😊
3:29 PM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - my mum! Slide rule at the ready. 😂 Calculating the number and thickness of iron rods that are to go in a pillar or a beam of a building or a bridge ("phi-six this, phi-twelve that"). Also the Rotring pens filled with ink, writing on "paus" (tracing paper), correcting the mistakes with a Gillette blade gently scrapping the paus paper. 😁Having a large paus sheet affixed to the desk with sellotape in the corners. Memories of a 1980s childhood 😊
3:29 PM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818287045741306367
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well said. 👏 I despair sometimes how inumerate well meaning people are. If I don't care much either way - then - meh. But I I get worked up about an issue - I owe it to myself to to both read on it and work through the numbers. A CP Snow "The Two Cultures" manifest 😁
3:06 PM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well said. 👏 I despair sometimes how inumerate well meaning people are. If I don't care much either way - then - meh. But I I get worked up about an issue - I owe it to myself to to both read on it and work through the numbers. A CP Snow "The Two Cultures" manifest 😁
3:06 PM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818282906722205844
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - welcome to the club. Then thinks of what that does to stats that usually go after a central measure as representative. 🤯 The space moves in the edges. There is no probability mass left away from all edges. In sufficient high N-dim every point is a outlier. Heck - maybe that's how discreteness emerges from a continuoum for all we know.
2:50 PM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - welcome to the club. Then thinks of what that does to stats that usually go after a central measure as representative. 🤯 The space moves in the edges. There is no probability mass left away from all edges. In sufficient high N-dim every point is a outlier. Heck - maybe that's how discreteness emerges from a continuoum for all we know.
2:50 PM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818268262401995240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hah - Trump-type grifter complementing trumpian policies on the other side. In common with DT: take from the poor, give to the rich. You have your marks stitched, will give you that.
1:51 PM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hah - Trump-type grifter complementing trumpian policies on the other side. In common with DT: take from the poor, give to the rich. You have your marks stitched, will give you that.
1:51 PM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818242301224690094
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! Thanks! Love that - could live there. If the build-build-build YIMBY thing gets traction and London density increases, encasing tall buildings in trees one way or another becomes a must. Otherwise - an average big building is usually ugly enough for people to try avoid them if they possibly can. No matter what the architects and the builders claim - revealed preferences are pretty clear afaict.
12:08 PM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! Thanks! Love that - could live there. If the build-build-build YIMBY thing gets traction and London density increases, encasing tall buildings in trees one way or another becomes a must. Otherwise - an average big building is usually ugly enough for people to try avoid them if they possibly can. No matter what the architects and the builders claim - revealed preferences are pretty clear afaict.
12:08 PM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818234201365262825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solar-punk ftw! So long as there is lush greenery abound, even the most brut(al) of buildings can be if not enjoyed, at least accepted. Why no lush greens straggling strangling London South Bank ugly buildings - I shall never understand.
11:36 AM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solar-punk ftw! So long as there is lush greenery abound, even the most brut(al) of buildings can be if not enjoyed, at least accepted. Why no lush greens straggling strangling London South Bank ugly buildings - I shall never understand.
11:36 AM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818228691324833950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, in the world of politics - and in every area that needs interaction between two humans, so a different opinions on "what should we do now" needs to be reconciled somehow - there is almost universally a rank. Ills of collectivism - sure, but we congregate together b/c we are incapable to sustain our own life left to our own devices, right? Every day, in order to stay alive - e.g. get water, food, shelter, warmth etc - I use the results of a cooperation network of humans that stretches across not only geographic area (ultimately - the whole Earth) but also across time (ultimately - from the down of humanity). We pay a price for that in reduction of our individual freedom. Fwiw the two modes of interaction are cooperation and competition. So resolving differences via rank is not strictly necessary I think. Not sure exactly why it emerges in every human group. Maybe it's low cost way of resolving the differences - IDK really why.
11:14 AM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, in the world of politics - and in every area that needs interaction between two humans, so a different opinions on "what should we do now" needs to be reconciled somehow - there is almost universally a rank. Ills of collectivism - sure, but we congregate together b/c we are incapable to sustain our own life left to our own devices, right? Every day, in order to stay alive - e.g. get water, food, shelter, warmth etc - I use the results of a cooperation network of humans that stretches across not only geographic area (ultimately - the whole Earth) but also across time (ultimately - from the down of humanity). We pay a price for that in reduction of our individual freedom. Fwiw the two modes of interaction are cooperation and competition. So resolving differences via rank is not strictly necessary I think. Not sure exactly why it emerges in every human group. Maybe it's low cost way of resolving the differences - IDK really why.
11:14 AM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818206038794887602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The usual - CIA, american imperialism, color revolution, ultimately false consciousness. This is not the 1st case, won't be the last, noone changes their mind easily. Wfiw - if Zizek doesn't convince them on the RUS-UKR case - noone and nothing ever will.
9:44 AM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The usual - CIA, american imperialism, color revolution, ultimately false consciousness. This is not the 1st case, won't be the last, noone changes their mind easily. Wfiw - if Zizek doesn't convince them on the RUS-UKR case - noone and nothing ever will.
9:44 AM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818095347031499115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The gap may widen on relative measures. Some care about relative ranks - but they should not care. On absolute measures - which is what really counts - technology empowers the individual, makes him less dependent on other people around him, so enhances individual freedom.
2:24 AM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The gap may widen on relative measures. Some care about relative ranks - but they should not care. On absolute measures - which is what really counts - technology empowers the individual, makes him less dependent on other people around him, so enhances individual freedom.
2:24 AM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1818065700373590371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every organization or company is beholden one way or another to whomever is paying the bills. Best if there is approx equal share of various stake holders (advertisers, subscribers etc) so to be able to resist pressure from whichever direction it may come. EM turning X into his personal plaything and pushing various crazies on us users is not a great model either.
12:26 AM · Jul 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every organization or company is beholden one way or another to whomever is paying the bills. Best if there is approx equal share of various stake holders (advertisers, subscribers etc) so to be able to resist pressure from whichever direction it may come. EM turning X into his personal plaything and pushing various crazies on us users is not a great model either.
12:26 AM · Jul 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817980886002057664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - is that the FO part of the FAFO process catching up with the baby boomers?? Did not expect to see that in my lifetime. After voting in large numbers anti-everything the current youth values, managed to run the economy into the ground enough so to feel the consequences.
6:49 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - is that the FO part of the FAFO process catching up with the baby boomers?? Did not expect to see that in my lifetime. After voting in large numbers anti-everything the current youth values, managed to run the economy into the ground enough so to feel the consequences.
6:49 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817975761653182788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Portugal and Spain for the weather - but keep a UK postal address and residence I think. Don't spoil the old well - you never know what and when you'll need. Universe is stacked against the individual as it is - no need to further mis-tilt the odds. 😁
6:29 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Portugal and Spain for the weather - but keep a UK postal address and residence I think. Don't spoil the old well - you never know what and when you'll need. Universe is stacked against the individual as it is - no need to further mis-tilt the odds. 😁
6:29 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817960351016829377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know you - but what you are writing is between wrong and insane. Imo academia being free - and that is a good thing - also allows for much insanity and stupidity to grow unchecked. It's the price we pay for freedom of thought.
5:28 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know you - but what you are writing is between wrong and insane. Imo academia being free - and that is a good thing - also allows for much insanity and stupidity to grow unchecked. It's the price we pay for freedom of thought.
5:28 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817950584751710446
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowledge is power. Every time one is wrong, does not know how things work, assumes wrongly etc - one pays for it. Call it a "tax on stupid". The liberal/center-left point-blank refusing to learn how things work - is one of the more sorry spectacles to witness, tbh.
4:49 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowledge is power. Every time one is wrong, does not know how things work, assumes wrongly etc - one pays for it. Call it a "tax on stupid". The liberal/center-left point-blank refusing to learn how things work - is one of the more sorry spectacles to witness, tbh.
4:49 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817948093163192770
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekoja sledna generacija. Najmnogu me razocaruva - vo privaten zivot site koristat mesindzer viber etc nema problem, nikoj ne misli "porakava e lazna falsifikat". Ama koga ke dojde do "oficijalna rabota", eee togas mora na hartija, so potpis i pecat. Nikoj ne gi tera, ne im stoi minister nad glava - sami izmisluvaat sekakvi peripetii. Na kraj na se e - tuga bolka i maka nikako ne gi boli ne gi maci. :-(
4:39 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekoja sledna generacija. Najmnogu me razocaruva - vo privaten zivot site koristat mesindzer viber etc nema problem, nikoj ne misli "porakava e lazna falsifikat". Ama koga ke dojde do "oficijalna rabota", eee togas mora na hartija, so potpis i pecat. Nikoj ne gi tera, ne im stoi minister nad glava - sami izmisluvaat sekakvi peripetii. Na kraj na se e - tuga bolka i maka nikako ne gi boli ne gi maci. :-(
4:39 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817943922322125186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Congrats and I wish you every success. :-) I see LD continue to be ignored by the BBC. LD must beef up your own news/PR machine. That's the only way to keep what you achieved, and maybe improve in the future. Bet that TV broadcasting is dying a slow death - social media FTW.
4:23 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Congrats and I wish you every success. :-) I see LD continue to be ignored by the BBC. LD must beef up your own news/PR machine. That's the only way to keep what you achieved, and maybe improve in the future. Bet that TV broadcasting is dying a slow death - social media FTW.
4:23 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817941302752801276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. But this is the world as is run as of now - without AI! One can say run with AS - Artificial Stupidity. This is how it looks when the system is automated, but non-Intelligent. The hope is that AI will improve on that, or at least have the potential to do so? IDK - I remain an optimist... hope dies last - haha 😆😆 It's an open Q if a dictator like EM will steer it in good or bad direction for a small fish random account. Past 30yrs experience have been - assume the worst. All the more important to have open weights open source open data open license open everything AI. Have not heard EM make any noises in that direction. (guessing he's too busy with politics) So will head to FB/Reddit/Insta/Tiktok/etc in about a month when my subscription expires. Give more attention oxygen to the pro-free guys, less to the anti-free ones.
4:12 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. But this is the world as is run as of now - without AI! One can say run with AS - Artificial Stupidity. This is how it looks when the system is automated, but non-Intelligent. The hope is that AI will improve on that, or at least have the potential to do so? IDK - I remain an optimist... hope dies last - haha 😆😆 It's an open Q if a dictator like EM will steer it in good or bad direction for a small fish random account. Past 30yrs experience have been - assume the worst. All the more important to have open weights open source open data open license open everything AI. Have not heard EM make any noises in that direction. (guessing he's too busy with politics) So will head to FB/Reddit/Insta/Tiktok/etc in about a month when my subscription expires. Give more attention oxygen to the pro-free guys, less to the anti-free ones.
4:12 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817938509883220277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Duri ne se avtomatizira da nema tetki vo procesot - nema spas. Toa e naselenieto, toa e rabotnata sila, toa e opsta kultura, tolku mozat da se organiziraat. Ako stane "kompjuterot kaza X", bez input of ziv covek - togas ke snema toa sto go opisa. (...togas ke ima drugi problemi)
4:01 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Duri ne se avtomatizira da nema tetki vo procesot - nema spas. Toa e naselenieto, toa e rabotnata sila, toa e opsta kultura, tolku mozat da se organiziraat. Ako stane "kompjuterot kaza X", bez input of ziv covek - togas ke snema toa sto go opisa. (...togas ke ima drugi problemi)
4:01 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817935914728841557
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - I have not realized until today that X is not free to read-only. If subscription - then expect non-user content. If user content only - then expect no subscription to read-only. Both subscription and no non-user content - that's a no-no. Internet freedoms and all that.
Image
3:51 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - I have not realized until today that X is not free to read-only. If subscription - then expect non-user content. If user content only - then expect no subscription to read-only. Both subscription and no non-user content - that's a no-no. Internet freedoms and all that.
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3:51 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817908390376423694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was there ever a more useless generation in history? They were given everything, suffered no hardships. The most self centered self indulgent - fine! GFI!! - freedom etc. But burning the world b/c innumerate irrational fantasies is inexcusable. The worst anti-advert for liberalism, a gift to anti-freedom ideas across geographies and in times yet to come - "look at western baby boomers". Salting the earth for generations of freedom lovers to come. Wtaf
2:01 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was there ever a more useless generation in history? They were given everything, suffered no hardships. The most self centered self indulgent - fine! GFI!! - freedom etc. But burning the world b/c innumerate irrational fantasies is inexcusable. The worst anti-advert for liberalism, a gift to anti-freedom ideas across geographies and in times yet to come - "look at western baby boomers". Salting the earth for generations of freedom lovers to come. Wtaf
2:01 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817905041723805846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂😂 - very good, it's a good one, a good juxtaposition there. Extreme centrist burning down the system in a way @Dominic2306
could only ever dream of!!
1:48 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂😂 - very good, it's a good one, a good juxtaposition there. Extreme centrist burning down the system in a way @Dominic2306
could only ever dream of!!
1:48 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817903725727359346
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no end to insanity. There is no limit to human stupidity. Shutting down zero-carbon energy plants intentionally while burning carbon into the atmosphere. This has to be the supreme international crime, on par with the war of aggression.
Quote
Wombat the EE @wombat_ee · Jul 27
Imagine shutting down nuclear plants when your grid is still above 0% coal. x.com/sstapczynski/s…
1:43 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no end to insanity. There is no limit to human stupidity. Shutting down zero-carbon energy plants intentionally while burning carbon into the atmosphere. This has to be the supreme international crime, on par with the war of aggression.
Quote
Wombat the EE @wombat_ee · Jul 27
Imagine shutting down nuclear plants when your grid is still above 0% coal. x.com/sstapczynski/s…
1:43 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817893154101555496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Władysław Franciszek Jabłonowski. Wish this was thought in schools -
During the Haitian Revolution, French forces, which included Polish soldiers, were sent to suppress the uprising. However, when Jabłonowski and his men heard the Haitian army singing "La Marseillaise," the French revolutionary anthem, it resonated with their own struggle for freedom and independence. Recognizing the Haitian fight for liberty as akin to their own national struggle, Jabłonowski and his soldiers decided to switch sides and support the Haitian cause against the French. (ChatGPT)
1:01 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Władysław Franciszek Jabłonowski. Wish this was thought in schools -
During the Haitian Revolution, French forces, which included Polish soldiers, were sent to suppress the uprising. However, when Jabłonowski and his men heard the Haitian army singing "La Marseillaise," the French revolutionary anthem, it resonated with their own struggle for freedom and independence. Recognizing the Haitian fight for liberty as akin to their own national struggle, Jabłonowski and his soldiers decided to switch sides and support the Haitian cause against the French. (ChatGPT)
1:01 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817885841252823289
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I presume some automatic system must have flagged something up on me - and like bank anti-whatever laws, they will not tell the suspect offender. Or possibly a bug in their s/w. There is not way for me to tell.
12:32 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I presume some automatic system must have flagged something up on me - and like bank anti-whatever laws, they will not tell the suspect offender. Or possibly a bug in their s/w. There is not way for me to tell.
12:32 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817884917960761540
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Training data with bureaucratise-speak in the next iteration! I'm sure there is plenty to go around, only if they would deign to share it. On a more serious note: I fed through ChatGPT the lease I signed on a leasehold flat (Leasehold is an England+Wales thing - don't ask) article by article, and it explained things to me for the 1st time. Afaik - much better that the solicitor ever did, given the solicitor explained about zero. I paid for the solicitor 1000s £££, while ChatGPT did it for free. Yay technology!!! 😀
12:28 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Training data with bureaucratise-speak in the next iteration! I'm sure there is plenty to go around, only if they would deign to share it. On a more serious note: I fed through ChatGPT the lease I signed on a leasehold flat (Leasehold is an England+Wales thing - don't ask) article by article, and it explained things to me for the 1st time. Afaik - much better that the solicitor ever did, given the solicitor explained about zero. I paid for the solicitor 1000s £££, while ChatGPT did it for free. Yay technology!!! 😀
12:28 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817882061878804580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Grrrrr 😡 - got restricted it seems in some way, can't follow any more people. 😠 In the best Kafkian sense, the omniplatform will not tell me what's the nature of the restriction, and what was my transgression. Megalomanaical like it's mercurial owner/dictator pos. 🤬
12:17 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Grrrrr 😡 - got restricted it seems in some way, can't follow any more people. 😠 In the best Kafkian sense, the omniplatform will not tell me what's the nature of the restriction, and what was my transgression. Megalomanaical like it's mercurial owner/dictator pos. 🤬
12:17 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817880659781660905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👍 Every new day brings a new miracle it seems now. The dam has burst. 😆 Miracle in an "any advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic" -sense.
12:11 PM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👍 Every new day brings a new miracle it seems now. The dam has burst. 😆 Miracle in an "any advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic" -sense.
12:11 PM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817861276418097201
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
easy enough to remember approx rules of thumb: 1SD ~= 2/3-rds, 2SD ~= 95%, 3SD ~= 99%
10:54 AM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
easy enough to remember approx rules of thumb: 1SD ~= 2/3-rds, 2SD ~= 95%, 3SD ~= 99%
10:54 AM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817853161610129667
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Read abt it this morning, knowing 0 before hand. Looks like it was 2:1 for the opposition, not a small-ish margin to be stolen easily. All hinges on the army, police and also the signals from the neighboring countries. (Lula?)
10:22 AM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Read abt it this morning, knowing 0 before hand. Looks like it was 2:1 for the opposition, not a small-ish margin to be stolen easily. All hinges on the army, police and also the signals from the neighboring countries. (Lula?)
10:22 AM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817838241380200468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Consumption is going to increase manyfold. China becoming 1/2 as rich as US => double current GDP (=consumption). India will do the same, Bangladesh, Indonesia, most African countries too (plus extra billion people in Africa). They are not going to ask me or you for allowance. To think that rich people can tell poor peoples of the world "you will stay poor" and make them so seems improbable to me.
9:23 AM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Consumption is going to increase manyfold. China becoming 1/2 as rich as US => double current GDP (=consumption). India will do the same, Bangladesh, Indonesia, most African countries too (plus extra billion people in Africa). They are not going to ask me or you for allowance. To think that rich people can tell poor peoples of the world "you will stay poor" and make them so seems improbable to me.
9:23 AM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817821305837592793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, ima mnogu megu nas. Najdobra definicija sto sum videl e: glup e covek sto raboti, pravi nula korist za sebe, ili i si pravi i mala steta, a pri toa pravi golema steta na drugiot. Ima stara kniska-pamflet od eden italijanec sto ja analizira malku coveckata glupoost.
8:15 AM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, ima mnogu megu nas. Najdobra definicija sto sum videl e: glup e covek sto raboti, pravi nula korist za sebe, ili i si pravi i mala steta, a pri toa pravi golema steta na drugiot. Ima stara kniska-pamflet od eden italijanec sto ja analizira malku coveckata glupoost.
8:15 AM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817819354936852767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learned nothing, forgotten nothing. Giving up before trying. ffs. depressing
8:08 AM · Jul 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Learned nothing, forgotten nothing. Giving up before trying. ffs. depressing
8:08 AM · Jul 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817547276602019865
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is neurological drive: we dislike & are disturbed at seeing gruesome acts, we feel discomfort in lieu of pain when we seed bad things done to other people (c.f. mirror neurons).
The economy of neo/liberalism - I hear you, but this is about the morality of non-religious humanism.
Many people think religion is necessary for groups formation and forming societies out of disparate units - individuals. I thought @sapinker
argued convincingly his position: all it takes is to acknowledge "I am not the center of Universe" but "all humans are born equal" i.e. "your interests are as good as mine". And on that idea of reciprocity, one can build the rest of morality. No God required for that. B/c going back in time to religion and God-worshiping is it seems to me impossible for us. What's seen, can't be unseen. Once learned, we can't unlearn stuff we know, and that prevents us from telling ourselves and believing comfortable stories our predecessors had at their disposal.
2:06 PM · Jul 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is neurological drive: we dislike & are disturbed at seeing gruesome acts, we feel discomfort in lieu of pain when we seed bad things done to other people (c.f. mirror neurons).
The economy of neo/liberalism - I hear you, but this is about the morality of non-religious humanism.
Many people think religion is necessary for groups formation and forming societies out of disparate units - individuals. I thought @sapinker
argued convincingly his position: all it takes is to acknowledge "I am not the center of Universe" but "all humans are born equal" i.e. "your interests are as good as mine". And on that idea of reciprocity, one can build the rest of morality. No God required for that. B/c going back in time to religion and God-worshiping is it seems to me impossible for us. What's seen, can't be unseen. Once learned, we can't unlearn stuff we know, and that prevents us from telling ourselves and believing comfortable stories our predecessors had at their disposal.
2:06 PM · Jul 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817526338447642787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is very good by @sapinker and @KonstantinKisin and @francisjfoster on @triggerpod (disregard the not-so-clever title) on the basis for secular morality -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=wJaWnHzvERw&t=3000s
For everyone thinking that the past and religion is to look at for moral guidance: would you be a more moral person if you were to be more like the Taliban in Afghanistan? Starting with "we are all created equal" as basis for our morality is sufficient. It leads to not privileging my interests over anyone else's, assuming other person's interests are as legitimate as are mine.
Downstream from it - we get the golden rule (do to others what you want done to yourself), the silver rule (don't do to others what you don't want to be done to you), utilitarianism (greatest good to greatest number of people), universalizing the maxim of your actions (what if everyone did as you do), the veil of ignorance (rules devised without regard to the status of the person they apply to).
youtube.com
Is This the Death of Harvard? - Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker is a Canadian-American cognitive psychologist, psycholinguist, popular science author and Harvard College Professor. 💥Join us on our Journey t...
12:43 PM · Jul 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is very good by @sapinker and @KonstantinKisin and @francisjfoster on @triggerpod (disregard the not-so-clever title) on the basis for secular morality -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=wJaWnHzvERw&t=3000s
For everyone thinking that the past and religion is to look at for moral guidance: would you be a more moral person if you were to be more like the Taliban in Afghanistan? Starting with "we are all created equal" as basis for our morality is sufficient. It leads to not privileging my interests over anyone else's, assuming other person's interests are as legitimate as are mine.
Downstream from it - we get the golden rule (do to others what you want done to yourself), the silver rule (don't do to others what you don't want to be done to you), utilitarianism (greatest good to greatest number of people), universalizing the maxim of your actions (what if everyone did as you do), the veil of ignorance (rules devised without regard to the status of the person they apply to).
youtube.com
Is This the Death of Harvard? - Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker is a Canadian-American cognitive psychologist, psycholinguist, popular science author and Harvard College Professor. 💥Join us on our Journey t...
12:43 PM · Jul 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817531761707851864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, next day - I still can't follow more. It's not like I have some outrages number of Follow-s (about 7K). I like X in that anyone of note is here, and have learned ton of stuff from them, but: dislike being taken for granted and maltreated this way. Hunting down in the menus to make sure my subscription does not Auto-renew now. Our time on Earth is limited - I'm better off spending mine on something else.
1:05 PM · Jul 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, next day - I still can't follow more. It's not like I have some outrages number of Follow-s (about 7K). I like X in that anyone of note is here, and have learned ton of stuff from them, but: dislike being taken for granted and maltreated this way. Hunting down in the menus to make sure my subscription does not Auto-renew now. Our time on Earth is limited - I'm better off spending mine on something else.
1:05 PM · Jul 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817317307619934588
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You know what's on that map is true, right?
10:53 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You know what's on that map is true, right?
10:53 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817253683702481259
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't follow more accounts atm. IDK how many did I follow today. When I'm told "you can't follow this acc b/c you reached a limit", how about spelling out: "... b/c you already followed XX more accounts today, which is your current limit". I'm sure it's more difficult to implement that, than a simple "NO". But it feels so much better - oh you X developers - when you do a good job of your job, v.s. when you do a poor job at it.
6:40 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't follow more accounts atm. IDK how many did I follow today. When I'm told "you can't follow this acc b/c you reached a limit", how about spelling out: "... b/c you already followed XX more accounts today, which is your current limit". I'm sure it's more difficult to implement that, than a simple "NO". But it feels so much better - oh you X developers - when you do a good job of your job, v.s. when you do a poor job at it.
6:40 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817248617947893769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read it while doing national service (see https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817197710312960031), then forgot about it, then couple of years ago (having moved countries in the mean time) bought a copy in english that I did not finish. Short attention spans, other more interesting things to read, etc
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @dantecannistrar and @simongerman600
Thanks! Will seek it out. I read some of Gulag Archipelago while in the army (!!) as 18yo doing national service in a socialist country. My superiors (two career army officers in charge of writing a new version of Artillery Manual or sth; I was IT support) were reading it and
Show more
6:20 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read it while doing national service (see https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817197710312960031), then forgot about it, then couple of years ago (having moved countries in the mean time) bought a copy in english that I did not finish. Short attention spans, other more interesting things to read, etc
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @dantecannistrar and @simongerman600
Thanks! Will seek it out. I read some of Gulag Archipelago while in the army (!!) as 18yo doing national service in a socialist country. My superiors (two career army officers in charge of writing a new version of Artillery Manual or sth; I was IT support) were reading it and
Show more
6:20 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817244548080222679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the libertarian lot can't create their own startup state, they are too rational for that! They never stop to ask - if being totally utalitarian was the fittest of them all, how come nature's bazzilions of trial&error iterations did not converge to that - but to sth else.
6:03 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the libertarian lot can't create their own startup state, they are too rational for that! They never stop to ask - if being totally utalitarian was the fittest of them all, how come nature's bazzilions of trial&error iterations did not converge to that - but to sth else.
6:03 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817243069810627056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a single text file. I edit in vim - so for me it sitting on a say 2 line entry on thei 1st line - it is 2dd or d} to cut, then search with /^DONE, then p to paste. This to move it from TODO->to DONE. Also I start entries with "- " so to search easily with /^- .
5:58 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a single text file. I edit in vim - so for me it sitting on a say 2 line entry on thei 1st line - it is 2dd or d} to cut, then search with /^DONE, then p to paste. This to move it from TODO->to DONE. Also I start entries with "- " so to search easily with /^- .
5:58 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817240275669987798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once seen - can't be unseen. The religion and God as imagined in Christianity - can't genuinely come back in that form. They are dead. There is plenty God-like material in science, probably most in physics. So with some helping hand from phylosophy we are probably in the process of getting the next religion-like ideology as we speak.
5:46 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once seen - can't be unseen. The religion and God as imagined in Christianity - can't genuinely come back in that form. They are dead. There is plenty God-like material in science, probably most in physics. So with some helping hand from phylosophy we are probably in the process of getting the next religion-like ideology as we speak.
5:46 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817235216815325589
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1) Zasto si gi sakam 2) Twitter ne gi pokazuva ako nema "aktivnost". Eve tebe ti odgovaram - ne znam dali si go videl/a odgovorot, ili ne? Nemam indikacija dali TW ti go pokazal odgovorot, ili nikogas ne ti go ni pokazal odgovorot.
Mene mi e vazno da znam deka na toj koj mu odgovaram - mu e pokazano sto jas sum napisal, ili ne mu e. Ako ne bese vazno - zasto bi se macel da pisuvam odgovori?? Ti si anonimen akaunt, ne ni znam dali mozebi nekoj ChatGPT sto mi odgovara, ili nekoj partiski bot so 35 akaunti sto gi menadzira, ili nekoe kuce ili mace sto naucilo da pisuva. ;-)
5:26 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1) Zasto si gi sakam 2) Twitter ne gi pokazuva ako nema "aktivnost". Eve tebe ti odgovaram - ne znam dali si go videl/a odgovorot, ili ne? Nemam indikacija dali TW ti go pokazal odgovorot, ili nikogas ne ti go ni pokazal odgovorot.
Mene mi e vazno da znam deka na toj koj mu odgovaram - mu e pokazano sto jas sum napisal, ili ne mu e. Ako ne bese vazno - zasto bi se macel da pisuvam odgovori?? Ti si anonimen akaunt, ne ni znam dali mozebi nekoj ChatGPT sto mi odgovara, ili nekoj partiski bot so 35 akaunti sto gi menadzira, ili nekoe kuce ili mace sto naucilo da pisuva. ;-)
5:26 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817233879779987925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
De procitaj te molam, potrudi se da razberes sto napisav. Jas se potrudiv da napisam da objasnam.
5:21 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
De procitaj te molam, potrudi se da razberes sto napisav. Jas se potrudiv da napisam da objasnam.
5:21 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817233571993522191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? Whattt??? Jas se zalagam da ima "radikalna transparentnost" vo toa sto raboti drzavata. Ova-
"C) 99% javnost - radikalna transparentnost, sekoj kompjuter na vlada i na drzavna administracija, se sto e pod gov dot mk zapisuva dokumenti samo i ekskluzivno na mrezen delen disk M: do koj ima pristap sekoj graganin na MK (kompjuterite nemaat lokalen disk, sekoj USB port e zatnat so lepak etc)"
5:20 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? Whattt??? Jas se zalagam da ima "radikalna transparentnost" vo toa sto raboti drzavata. Ova-
"C) 99% javnost - radikalna transparentnost, sekoj kompjuter na vlada i na drzavna administracija, se sto e pod gov dot mk zapisuva dokumenti samo i ekskluzivno na mrezen delen disk M: do koj ima pristap sekoj graganin na MK (kompjuterite nemaat lokalen disk, sekoj USB port e zatnat so lepak etc)"
5:20 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817229943878963606
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right. So as per yourself - it was not 1M. What was it then. Don't be shy, do write a number please. Was it 500K? 100K? 10K? 1K? 0?
5:05 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right. So as per yourself - it was not 1M. What was it then. Don't be shy, do write a number please. Was it 500K? 100K? 10K? 1K? 0?
5:05 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817224140425744844
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right - Solzhenitsyn was lying, or wrong didn't know got it worng, or deluded. While you are right, and you know for sure. Riiight. There is a term GRU and FSB used for what in the West became to be known as "useful idiots".
4:42 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right - Solzhenitsyn was lying, or wrong didn't know got it worng, or deluded. While you are right, and you know for sure. Riiight. There is a term GRU and FSB used for what in the West became to be known as "useful idiots".
4:42 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817212963247260074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... Solzhenitsyn being religious nationalist" - is that what you are referring to? Sure - he was not a Liberal, hence me pointing that out.
3:58 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... Solzhenitsyn being religious nationalist" - is that what you are referring to? Sure - he was not a Liberal, hence me pointing that out.
3:58 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817202809411887382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 for the stress test 😄 - a good point. Hope the system holds, whichever way the election goes. Fwiw didn't think Kamala was in any way more or less "approved" than Trump was. There is a reason independents rarely win. Electors favor party candidates, the evidence is overwhelming. The party apparatus is the people actually putting in the work months and years of it - unlike myself just a rando spending 30 mins reading abt it while enjoying a summer day in the garden. 😆
3:18 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 for the stress test 😄 - a good point. Hope the system holds, whichever way the election goes. Fwiw didn't think Kamala was in any way more or less "approved" than Trump was. There is a reason independents rarely win. Electors favor party candidates, the evidence is overwhelming. The party apparatus is the people actually putting in the work months and years of it - unlike myself just a rando spending 30 mins reading abt it while enjoying a summer day in the garden. 😆
3:18 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817200023051944202
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc! And does MMT say otherwise?? No it does not! It says exactly that: the money is not an issue, how and what services and goods we produce, to purchase with any (or none) money we create daily - is the big deal. By mystifying the money part of the money-for-stuff exchange, we exhaust our energies and time on the trivial part - the money: ==a piece of paper, a half of a stick broke in halves, a cell in an Excel spreadsheet, an entry in a BTC ledger. So we engage in a displacement activity and we never get to the actual point - the stuff, the services we all crave: how are we to actually make the stuff, provide said services. It's intensely annoying that we spend time on this, I'm annoyed as I'm writing this tbh.
3:07 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc! And does MMT say otherwise?? No it does not! It says exactly that: the money is not an issue, how and what services and goods we produce, to purchase with any (or none) money we create daily - is the big deal. By mystifying the money part of the money-for-stuff exchange, we exhaust our energies and time on the trivial part - the money: ==a piece of paper, a half of a stick broke in halves, a cell in an Excel spreadsheet, an entry in a BTC ledger. So we engage in a displacement activity and we never get to the actual point - the stuff, the services we all crave: how are we to actually make the stuff, provide said services. It's intensely annoying that we spend time on this, I'm annoyed as I'm writing this tbh.
3:07 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817197710312960031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Will seek it out. I read some of Gulag Archipelago while in the army (!!) as 18yo doing national service in a socialist country. My superiors (two career army officers in charge of writing a new version of Artillery Manual or sth; I was IT support) were reading it and discussing it, so I got interested. This was 1987, a socialist but non-aligned country not part of SU nor of the Eastern block. (does not exist any more; YU)
2:57 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Will seek it out. I read some of Gulag Archipelago while in the army (!!) as 18yo doing national service in a socialist country. My superiors (two career army officers in charge of writing a new version of Artillery Manual or sth; I was IT support) were reading it and discussing it, so I got interested. This was 1987, a socialist but non-aligned country not part of SU nor of the Eastern block. (does not exist any more; YU)
2:57 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817196094666817675
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X web interface refreshing and forgetting/deleting the reply I was in the process of typing when I clicked away to look up spelling or some factual data - has to be one of the most infuriating aspects of the X experience -grrr! 😡🤬 Lucky me tweets are short enough I'm young enough still can remember my point and retype. Absent desktop app, absent multi-view App (so in the end the web experience is superior to the App), Xpro being dog slow as to be painful to type - all this is testament to the power of social ("I'm here b/c everyone else is") so we put up with any amount of sh*t just to post here.
2:51 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X web interface refreshing and forgetting/deleting the reply I was in the process of typing when I clicked away to look up spelling or some factual data - has to be one of the most infuriating aspects of the X experience -grrr! 😡🤬 Lucky me tweets are short enough I'm young enough still can remember my point and retype. Absent desktop app, absent multi-view App (so in the end the web experience is superior to the App), Xpro being dog slow as to be painful to type - all this is testament to the power of social ("I'm here b/c everyone else is") so we put up with any amount of sh*t just to post here.
2:51 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817192458666619388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To win in the UK, MMT have to win in the US 1st. UK will accept the reality & move onto things that really matter - i.e. how do we create produce stuff we want, the stuff that the £££ buys - once MMT heresy becomes accepted knowledge in the US. UK is great and I love my adopted country - but imho this is the way.
2:36 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To win in the UK, MMT have to win in the US 1st. UK will accept the reality & move onto things that really matter - i.e. how do we create produce stuff we want, the stuff that the £££ buys - once MMT heresy becomes accepted knowledge in the US. UK is great and I love my adopted country - but imho this is the way.
2:36 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817190744882319720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! - you are an MMT-er then! B/c it seems to me it's concerned with "printing the money". It's literally describing how we print money daily. Nothing to do what we use that money to buy , how's that other stuff we buy produced etc - just the money creating part.
2:30 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! - you are an MMT-er then! B/c it seems to me it's concerned with "printing the money". It's literally describing how we print money daily. Nothing to do what we use that money to buy , how's that other stuff we buy produced etc - just the money creating part.
2:30 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817187847587188923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we name and shame please? Figure of speech - I know they'd be shameless. IDK who the villains are. @sama ? their investors? @sundarpichai ? their shareholders? Get it out in the open please - that's all us random small fish have, openness...
2:18 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we name and shame please? Figure of speech - I know they'd be shameless. IDK who the villains are. @sama ? their investors? @sundarpichai ? their shareholders? Get it out in the open please - that's all us random small fish have, openness...
2:18 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817186347544691088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad Gulag Archipelago is too dense to slog through for most of us, and there have not been any good or interesting movies or TV adaptation for mass consumption. So it remains under-appreciated, what disaster communism was wherever tried. And oh boy was it tried in various geographies, culture, times - and failed, universally. Solzhenitsyn being religious nationalist didn't help making his opus more appealing to the average liberal in charge of light entertainment either. Missed chances all around.
Quote
Simon Kuestenmacher @simongerman600 · 2h
This map of the Gulags in the Soviet Union is your reminder to read a little history if you think too fondly about the idea of a communist state. Source: https://buff.ly/3ydMoLL
Image
2:12 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad Gulag Archipelago is too dense to slog through for most of us, and there have not been any good or interesting movies or TV adaptation for mass consumption. So it remains under-appreciated, what disaster communism was wherever tried. And oh boy was it tried in various geographies, culture, times - and failed, universally. Solzhenitsyn being religious nationalist didn't help making his opus more appealing to the average liberal in charge of light entertainment either. Missed chances all around.
Quote
Simon Kuestenmacher @simongerman600 · 2h
This map of the Gulags in the Soviet Union is your reminder to read a little history if you think too fondly about the idea of a communist state. Source: https://buff.ly/3ydMoLL
Image
2:12 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817186106766410019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad Gulag Archipelago is too dens to slog through for most of us, and there have not been any good or interesting movies or TV adaptation for mass consumption. So it remains under-appreciated, what disaster communism was wherever tried. And oh boy was it tried in various geographies, culture, times - and failed, universally. Solzhenitsyn being religious nationalist didn't help making his opus more appealing to the average liberal in charge of light entertainment too. Missed chances all around.
2:11 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad Gulag Archipelago is too dens to slog through for most of us, and there have not been any good or interesting movies or TV adaptation for mass consumption. So it remains under-appreciated, what disaster communism was wherever tried. And oh boy was it tried in various geographies, culture, times - and failed, universally. Solzhenitsyn being religious nationalist didn't help making his opus more appealing to the average liberal in charge of light entertainment too. Missed chances all around.
2:11 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817183965196804281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... hence the "representative measures" (e.g. mean) that assume centrality miss the target and are not only useless but actively misleading in high>10 dimensions.
2:03 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... hence the "representative measures" (e.g. mean) that assume centrality miss the target and are not only useless but actively misleading in high>10 dimensions.
2:03 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817170321432072455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. My adult life experience has been - assume the worst, and you will be more right than wrong. Is that one guy truly exceptionally good in all other ways so to take the risk of ending in a position of "last meaningful elections"?? Looking at guys like Turkey, or Russia, or China, or Hungary even: they have to wait for the dear leader to die, to see any chance of a meaningful change. Democracies changing parties and or leaders in power think they have it bad with inefficiency and craziness and corruption of power. Can you imagine the levels of bad if the same guy is in power for half a century?? Few people can imagine, most of us we lack that much imagination. One has to live it to believe it tbh.
1:09 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible. My adult life experience has been - assume the worst, and you will be more right than wrong. Is that one guy truly exceptionally good in all other ways so to take the risk of ending in a position of "last meaningful elections"?? Looking at guys like Turkey, or Russia, or China, or Hungary even: they have to wait for the dear leader to die, to see any chance of a meaningful change. Democracies changing parties and or leaders in power think they have it bad with inefficiency and craziness and corruption of power. Can you imagine the levels of bad if the same guy is in power for half a century?? Few people can imagine, most of us we lack that much imagination. One has to live it to believe it tbh.
1:09 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817159252974194777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad the press didn't gang on Gideon with "but austerity is doing exactly the opposite to fixing anything roof included, it's specifically *not* fixing anything at all". And now we know - leaving RAAC danger of concrete falling on UK school kids heads. I blame the vanity of the average public figure - style of substance gets the better of them every single time. Throw them a metaphor like a bone, and they will play with it even if it's not only 180 degrees, but spherically (from every angle) just plain wrong.
12:25 PM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too bad the press didn't gang on Gideon with "but austerity is doing exactly the opposite to fixing anything roof included, it's specifically *not* fixing anything at all". And now we know - leaving RAAC danger of concrete falling on UK school kids heads. I blame the vanity of the average public figure - style of substance gets the better of them every single time. Throw them a metaphor like a bone, and they will play with it even if it's not only 180 degrees, but spherically (from every angle) just plain wrong.
12:25 PM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817151973407289712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm fine sharing my data by default. It sits easier with me than say a tax as a price paid to live in civilized society. When I share my data I don't lose it, I still have it. I'm chuffed anyone shows any interest in it, rather then /dev/null-ed in the black hole of randomness.
Quote
Kevin Schawinski @kevinschawinski · Jul 26
X added a setting for "we'll take your data to train grok" without any notice and just defaulted to "yes" for everyone.
This is BAD.
Image
11:56 AM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm fine sharing my data by default. It sits easier with me than say a tax as a price paid to live in civilized society. When I share my data I don't lose it, I still have it. I'm chuffed anyone shows any interest in it, rather then /dev/null-ed in the black hole of randomness.
Quote
Kevin Schawinski @kevinschawinski · Jul 26
X added a setting for "we'll take your data to train grok" without any notice and just defaulted to "yes" for everyone.
This is BAD.
Image
11:56 AM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817140740775882815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am with @OctopusEnergy . We the consumers have been paying the highest bills in history recently. Doubling of consumer bills is a big factor in falling of living standards. Energy is input into everything else - so its high cost contributes even more than our bills. What's your plan for more abundant and cheaper energy? Atm renewables are at ATH in our energy mix, and our bills are at ATH. The direction of travel is the wrong way there. I'm fortunate enough to have been able to invest 10k+ in rooftop solar+battery to about halve my electricity bill. Most people in the UK lack that option. You must work towards making energy cheaper and more abundant for all. Have not heard much abt that tbh.
11:11 AM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am with @OctopusEnergy . We the consumers have been paying the highest bills in history recently. Doubling of consumer bills is a big factor in falling of living standards. Energy is input into everything else - so its high cost contributes even more than our bills. What's your plan for more abundant and cheaper energy? Atm renewables are at ATH in our energy mix, and our bills are at ATH. The direction of travel is the wrong way there. I'm fortunate enough to have been able to invest 10k+ in rooftop solar+battery to about halve my electricity bill. Most people in the UK lack that option. You must work towards making energy cheaper and more abundant for all. Have not heard much abt that tbh.
11:11 AM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817125895041110309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good lay person explanation of Gödel’s proof of his incompleteness theorems. Awesome that anyone can think of that, also awesome that it's still accessible to us civilians
From quantamagazine.org
10:12 AM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good lay person explanation of Gödel’s proof of his incompleteness theorems. Awesome that anyone can think of that, also awesome that it's still accessible to us civilians
From quantamagazine.org
10:12 AM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817124496983101536
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solutionism, figuring out solutions to problems. Usually via technology and upstream from it science. Currently looks like solar, wind, batteries, nuclear are going to take care of zero carbon electricity. So that's great, as also upstream from it - electrify everything we possibly can is good. Societal challenges - best see what worked elsewhere, try implement some of it here. Like US doing best in developed countries recently - learn from Budenomics, try apply some. China among developing countries doing great for a long time - learn from that, apply as appropriate. In Europe - there's Poland doing as well as China from a higher baseline - apply some to eurepean context as more appropriate. Also learn from mistakes - Germany lagging, EU anti-science anti-technology bad, UK Brexit creating barriers to trade frictions for all, WEU-Germany Russia bet on trade and cooperatiin going bad.
10:06 AM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solutionism, figuring out solutions to problems. Usually via technology and upstream from it science. Currently looks like solar, wind, batteries, nuclear are going to take care of zero carbon electricity. So that's great, as also upstream from it - electrify everything we possibly can is good. Societal challenges - best see what worked elsewhere, try implement some of it here. Like US doing best in developed countries recently - learn from Budenomics, try apply some. China among developing countries doing great for a long time - learn from that, apply as appropriate. In Europe - there's Poland doing as well as China from a higher baseline - apply some to eurepean context as more appropriate. Also learn from mistakes - Germany lagging, EU anti-science anti-technology bad, UK Brexit creating barriers to trade frictions for all, WEU-Germany Russia bet on trade and cooperatiin going bad.
10:06 AM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1817108103789166812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Markdown - no, have not gotten used to it. If I had more structured or substantial contributions, prob wd start using it. But then in that case maybe more substantial management system wd be more appropriate.
Archive - not in a sense that any entries ever get deleted, no. It's a single text file under git (as part of the $HOME or other repo), so versioning, replication and backup is taken care of that way.
9:01 AM · Jul 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Markdown - no, have not gotten used to it. If I had more structured or substantial contributions, prob wd start using it. But then in that case maybe more substantial management system wd be more appropriate.
Archive - not in a sense that any entries ever get deleted, no. It's a single text file under git (as part of the $HOME or other repo), so versioning, replication and backup is taken care of that way.
9:01 AM · Jul 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816899299369722231
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that! Giving it a try now. You are right about X blending into an indifferentiated grey goo after a while! (==US politics, culture wars) Even after curating accounts into lists to avoid descent into trivia - seems X just converges to it.
7:12 PM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for that! Giving it a try now. You are right about X blending into an indifferentiated grey goo after a while! (==US politics, culture wars) Even after curating accounts into lists to avoid descent into trivia - seems X just converges to it.
7:12 PM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816848137136546278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - da, "radikalna transparentnosrt" e radikalna. Ok - zakonite gi menuvame nie, graganite. Kakva transparentnost sakame - takva ke si dobieme. Pratenicite vo Sobranie ke krenat 2 prsta i ke smenat zakon. Na pr. vo nordiskite zemji, koj kolku danok platil - toa e javno, sekoj moze da vidi. Vo UK, kolku zarabotila i potrosila mojata firma, toa e javno - ima registar na firmi, sekoj moze da vidi pdf od zavrsna smetka, i za sekoja godina prijaven profit (na koj plakam danok). Privatni firmi gledaat se z mene - mojata banka znae kolku mi se prihodi i rashodi i za sto, Amazon znae sto kupuvam, sto filmovi gledam i sl, FB-X-Google gledaat sto gledam jas na ekran (posto tie mi go serviraat), Google znae kade patuvam (preku Gmail, Gmaps) i t.n. Nema 100% privatnost nikade (valjda - samo ako ziveam vo pestera, jadam bobinki i pijam voda od izvorce; i ne komuniciram so nikogo), prasanje na dogovor na graganite vo opstestvoto e - kolku e javno, kolku e tajno. Vo UK mislam imame premnogu tajnost, i ni treba poveke javnost. Na drugo mesto moze da e idealniot balans razlicen.
3:48 PM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - da, "radikalna transparentnosrt" e radikalna. Ok - zakonite gi menuvame nie, graganite. Kakva transparentnost sakame - takva ke si dobieme. Pratenicite vo Sobranie ke krenat 2 prsta i ke smenat zakon. Na pr. vo nordiskite zemji, koj kolku danok platil - toa e javno, sekoj moze da vidi. Vo UK, kolku zarabotila i potrosila mojata firma, toa e javno - ima registar na firmi, sekoj moze da vidi pdf od zavrsna smetka, i za sekoja godina prijaven profit (na koj plakam danok). Privatni firmi gledaat se z mene - mojata banka znae kolku mi se prihodi i rashodi i za sto, Amazon znae sto kupuvam, sto filmovi gledam i sl, FB-X-Google gledaat sto gledam jas na ekran (posto tie mi go serviraat), Google znae kade patuvam (preku Gmail, Gmaps) i t.n. Nema 100% privatnost nikade (valjda - samo ako ziveam vo pestera, jadam bobinki i pijam voda od izvorce; i ne komuniciram so nikogo), prasanje na dogovor na graganite vo opstestvoto e - kolku e javno, kolku e tajno. Vo UK mislam imame premnogu tajnost, i ni treba poveke javnost. Na drugo mesto moze da e idealniot balans razlicen.
3:48 PM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816820023588966467
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI-for-CEO-s FTW!! 😀 The discrepancy between the power these dunderheads wield and their performance is the highest of all professions. AI replacement can't come soon enough.
1:57 PM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI-for-CEO-s FTW!! 😀 The discrepancy between the power these dunderheads wield and their performance is the highest of all professions. AI replacement can't come soon enough.
1:57 PM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816819546801508603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replacing CEO-s with AI-s can't come soon enough. The discrepancy of how much power these dunderheads wield compared to their performance is probably the highest for all professions. AI-for-CEO FTW!! 😀
1:55 PM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replacing CEO-s with AI-s can't come soon enough. The discrepancy of how much power these dunderheads wield compared to their performance is probably the highest for all professions. AI-for-CEO FTW!! 😀
1:55 PM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816817367134994836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hilarious!!! 😂😂😂 CEO level jobs are so important, and people doing them so bad at their jobs, that AI replacing CEO-s if it ever becomes a thing, will be a huge gain to everyone.
Quote
James Medlock @jdcmedlock · Jul 25
99% of US CEOs surveyed turned out to be wrong! x.com/EffMktHype/sta…
1:46 PM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hilarious!!! 😂😂😂 CEO level jobs are so important, and people doing them so bad at their jobs, that AI replacing CEO-s if it ever becomes a thing, will be a huge gain to everyone.
Quote
James Medlock @jdcmedlock · Jul 25
99% of US CEOs surveyed turned out to be wrong! x.com/EffMktHype/sta…
1:46 PM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816814979271533033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahahah 😂😂😂 - time to plug that evergreen "A Country is not a Company". In the ideal world friends wd make EM read & internalize it so not to beclown himself daily publicly - but hey 🤷♂️
1:37 PM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahahah 😂😂😂 - time to plug that evergreen "A Country is not a Company". In the ideal world friends wd make EM read & internalize it so not to beclown himself daily publicly - but hey 🤷♂️
1:37 PM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816787520803291148
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why conspiratorial? We are talking about people, mortals like we all are. Not angels floating on ether and entertaining heavenly thoughts only. 😇 Ofc they are swayed by personal interests and foibles like everyone. And the quest for £££ is one of the strongest of forces.
11:47 AM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why conspiratorial? We are talking about people, mortals like we all are. Not angels floating on ether and entertaining heavenly thoughts only. 😇 Ofc they are swayed by personal interests and foibles like everyone. And the quest for £££ is one of the strongest of forces.
11:47 AM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816806249285190006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
aka - the trend is your friend
1:02 PM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
aka - the trend is your friend
1:02 PM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816772994460487709
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
every advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, etc etc; exhibit 1002
10:50 AM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
every advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, etc etc; exhibit 1002
10:50 AM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816764402038608284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are asking too much of them. Telegraph's clowns are in a never ending cosplay that - by now it must be clear to all as is the only explanation left - is for personal satisfaction ultimately. Like a maniac exposing themselves in public indecently - they can't help themselves.
10:16 AM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are asking too much of them. Telegraph's clowns are in a never ending cosplay that - by now it must be clear to all as is the only explanation left - is for personal satisfaction ultimately. Like a maniac exposing themselves in public indecently - they can't help themselves.
10:16 AM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816756872717680706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A researcher, an explorer - usually they need a log book. Mine is logBook ascii text file under git (for versioning and distribution). Has FIXME TODO DONE DONTDO sections, ^searchable, entries are short sentence or two, separated by empty line. Entries move between sections. Entry that spent time in TODO without moving to DONE automatically moves to DONTDO.
9:46 AM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A researcher, an explorer - usually they need a log book. Mine is logBook ascii text file under git (for versioning and distribution). Has FIXME TODO DONE DONTDO sections, ^searchable, entries are short sentence or two, separated by empty line. Entries move between sections. Entry that spent time in TODO without moving to DONE automatically moves to DONTDO.
9:46 AM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816651319588889014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The aim is commiseration, performative suffering, feelings and vibes. Not solutionism, solving the problems at hand. This is like when the spouse/partner complains about something - looking for simpathy not solution. 😇
2:46 AM · Jul 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The aim is commiseration, performative suffering, feelings and vibes. Not solutionism, solving the problems at hand. This is like when the spouse/partner complains about something - looking for simpathy not solution. 😇
2:46 AM · Jul 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816507942981521497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That they can produce coherent sentence - is surprising. That can can hold a dialog, an actual conversation - is amazing. That I can speak in voice to ChatGPT App, and it speaks back to me, in an obscure language, and what it says is better - cleverer, more polite, more thoughtful - than 99% of humans - is beyond my wildest expectations. 🤯 Science Fiction made reality. Trillion $$$ - meh.
5:16 PM · Jul 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That they can produce coherent sentence - is surprising. That can can hold a dialog, an actual conversation - is amazing. That I can speak in voice to ChatGPT App, and it speaks back to me, in an obscure language, and what it says is better - cleverer, more polite, more thoughtful - than 99% of humans - is beyond my wildest expectations. 🤯 Science Fiction made reality. Trillion $$$ - meh.
5:16 PM · Jul 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816502701447921918
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne go gledam 0-ili-1, go gledam kolicestvo na javnost, na pr. 3 varijanti: A) 1% javnost - jas sum Stalin, se odlucuvam sam, nikomu ne podnesuvam nikakvi smetki. Naredzenje-izvrsenje (tie sto ne slusaat sekoja vecer pravam spisok, nareduvam i gi strelaat vecerva), nikoj nisto ne znae osven tie sto izvrsuvaat; B) 50% javnost - na pr. kako vladite vo MK od 1991-va navamu vo nezavisna MK. Informacii protekuvaat celo vreme, nesto tocni nesto lazni, probuvam da drzam nesto pod kontrola, polovicno uspevam polovicno ne; C) 99% javnost - radikalna transparentnost, sekoj kompjuter na vlada i na drzavna administracija, se sto e pod gov dot mk zapisuva dokumenti samo i ekskluzivno na mrezen delen disk M: do koj ima pristap sekoj graganin na MK (kompjuterite nemaat lokalen disk, sekoj USB port e zatnat so lepak etc). Jas se nadevam deka varijanta C) ke raboti podobro od varijanta B). Ama se plasam deka ne e taka, deka varijanta B) dava podob rezultat od C). Znaeme deka B) raboti podobro od A), posto A) propadna samo od sebe, implodira vo 1990-ta posle 70 god praksa. Za finansiranje plakanje i sl - toa baska tema.
4:56 PM · Jul 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne go gledam 0-ili-1, go gledam kolicestvo na javnost, na pr. 3 varijanti: A) 1% javnost - jas sum Stalin, se odlucuvam sam, nikomu ne podnesuvam nikakvi smetki. Naredzenje-izvrsenje (tie sto ne slusaat sekoja vecer pravam spisok, nareduvam i gi strelaat vecerva), nikoj nisto ne znae osven tie sto izvrsuvaat; B) 50% javnost - na pr. kako vladite vo MK od 1991-va navamu vo nezavisna MK. Informacii protekuvaat celo vreme, nesto tocni nesto lazni, probuvam da drzam nesto pod kontrola, polovicno uspevam polovicno ne; C) 99% javnost - radikalna transparentnost, sekoj kompjuter na vlada i na drzavna administracija, se sto e pod gov dot mk zapisuva dokumenti samo i ekskluzivno na mrezen delen disk M: do koj ima pristap sekoj graganin na MK (kompjuterite nemaat lokalen disk, sekoj USB port e zatnat so lepak etc). Jas se nadevam deka varijanta C) ke raboti podobro od varijanta B). Ama se plasam deka ne e taka, deka varijanta B) dava podob rezultat od C). Znaeme deka B) raboti podobro od A), posto A) propadna samo od sebe, implodira vo 1990-ta posle 70 god praksa. Za finansiranje plakanje i sl - toa baska tema.
4:56 PM · Jul 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816475993416126802
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - ne moze nikoj nesto takvo da im napravi. Ne se tie milioni luge bezglasni bukvi, bez svoja volja, bez svoi zelbi. Ama mislenjeto deka nekoj nesto ni napravil, a nie mali decinja nesposobni i slabi - e toa e alibi za zloba, loshotiluk, nesposobnost i glupost. Znaci jas da pravam raboti, ama da ne sum odgovoren za toa sto go pravam, za rezultatite od moite akcii, i nekoj drug da mi e kriv koga rabotite odat na loso.
3:09 PM · Jul 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - ne moze nikoj nesto takvo da im napravi. Ne se tie milioni luge bezglasni bukvi, bez svoja volja, bez svoi zelbi. Ama mislenjeto deka nekoj nesto ni napravil, a nie mali decinja nesposobni i slabi - e toa e alibi za zloba, loshotiluk, nesposobnost i glupost. Znaci jas da pravam raboti, ama da ne sum odgovoren za toa sto go pravam, za rezultatite od moite akcii, i nekoj drug da mi e kriv koga rabotite odat na loso.
3:09 PM · Jul 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816430684950405128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible, entirely possible. Possible the other way too: impact is minimised, so we get surprised when measured. That's why we don't trust 100% any single study or anything really - it's always balances of probabilities. One study is not a big deal. Results need to be replicated multiple times, by multiple people, in multiple places, using multiple methodologies, etc. Given how big and productive cities are: would expect them to have good continuous monitoring infrastructure, so not to rely on one-off studies. That'd be handy so to be able to conduct public policy small scale experiments and measure their outcomes.
12:09 PM · Jul 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible, entirely possible. Possible the other way too: impact is minimised, so we get surprised when measured. That's why we don't trust 100% any single study or anything really - it's always balances of probabilities. One study is not a big deal. Results need to be replicated multiple times, by multiple people, in multiple places, using multiple methodologies, etc. Given how big and productive cities are: would expect them to have good continuous monitoring infrastructure, so not to rely on one-off studies. That'd be handy so to be able to conduct public policy small scale experiments and measure their outcomes.
12:09 PM · Jul 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816422878037913903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vecna dilema. :-) Ima duri i "neoficijalna skola" na "public policy" po taa idea "kuti si dupi si" - Straussianism. Ideata vodilka "You want to know the truth - you can't handle the truth" (od Few Good Man) ne e potpolno lazna, ima nekoja vistina. Sistemot za da ne propadne mora da bide prilagoden na korisnicite, a najgolemi najmnogubrojni korisnici se - graganite. Nie graganite - javnosta vo rabotenjeto ni dava ekstra sila, sto ja nemame koga se raboti se tajno. E taa sila - moze da ja koristime za dobro, ili za loso. Primetuvam koga se koristi loso posto mi odi kontra licnata ideologija :-) deka ni treba "radical transparency" (se sto e drzavna rabota da bide javno, na web, po default) za vladata i drzavata da rabotat podobro. Ama se somnevam se plasam deka so vakov narod vakvi gragani kako sto sme - moze ne e i najdobro.
11:38 AM · Jul 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vecna dilema. :-) Ima duri i "neoficijalna skola" na "public policy" po taa idea "kuti si dupi si" - Straussianism. Ideata vodilka "You want to know the truth - you can't handle the truth" (od Few Good Man) ne e potpolno lazna, ima nekoja vistina. Sistemot za da ne propadne mora da bide prilagoden na korisnicite, a najgolemi najmnogubrojni korisnici se - graganite. Nie graganite - javnosta vo rabotenjeto ni dava ekstra sila, sto ja nemame koga se raboti se tajno. E taa sila - moze da ja koristime za dobro, ili za loso. Primetuvam koga se koristi loso posto mi odi kontra licnata ideologija :-) deka ni treba "radical transparency" (se sto e drzavna rabota da bide javno, na web, po default) za vladata i drzavata da rabotat podobro. Ama se somnevam se plasam deka so vakov narod vakvi gragani kako sto sme - moze ne e i najdobro.
11:38 AM · Jul 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816394074691146222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My impression is that study after study on the influence of air pollution (esp in cities) gets surprised by the size of the effect, how much more bad air affects bad health than we expect. Wonder if it's to do with the fact that we can't see it, so out of sight - out of mind.
9:44 AM · Jul 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My impression is that study after study on the influence of air pollution (esp in cities) gets surprised by the size of the effect, how much more bad air affects bad health than we expect. Wonder if it's to do with the fact that we can't see it, so out of sight - out of mind.
9:44 AM · Jul 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816386126032044183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone forecasting about the future without putting out (number,date) is a fraud or an entertainer or selling snake oil. Not someone interested in the truth of the matter. What's going to happen and *when* please - is the bare minimum for forecasting anything.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Jul 22
America is going bankrupt btw x.com/billym2k/statu…
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:12 AM · Jul 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone forecasting about the future without putting out (number,date) is a fraud or an entertainer or selling snake oil. Not someone interested in the truth of the matter. What's going to happen and *when* please - is the bare minimum for forecasting anything.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Jul 22
America is going bankrupt btw x.com/billym2k/statu…
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:12 AM · Jul 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816194147314983042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... adds a third "get along well enough so to work together". Tbf many figure it out, settle on the above, over time. I knew abt Joel's "smart and gets things done". I too usually try to decide "could I work with this person day in day out".
8:30 PM · Jul 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... adds a third "get along well enough so to work together". Tbf many figure it out, settle on the above, over time. I knew abt Joel's "smart and gets things done". I too usually try to decide "could I work with this person day in day out".
8:30 PM · Jul 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816075334078353774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Building HS2 is your least bad option @LouHaigh @RachelReevesMP @Keir_Starmer . Sticking to the dunderheaded CON-s decisions will cost you dearly. You will have to crack up some eggs to get it done. As long as you come up with the goods with the omelette, you will be fine.
Quote
Paul Lewis @paullewismoney · Jul 24
People will be told drive to Manchester from London (or perhaps use electric scooters?) because rail capacity north of Birmingham will be worse after scrapping HS2 https://bit.ly/3Yknd4L how not to build new infrastructure to promote growth!
Image
12:37 PM · Jul 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Building HS2 is your least bad option @LouHaigh @RachelReevesMP @Keir_Starmer . Sticking to the dunderheaded CON-s decisions will cost you dearly. You will have to crack up some eggs to get it done. As long as you come up with the goods with the omelette, you will be fine.
Quote
Paul Lewis @paullewismoney · Jul 24
People will be told drive to Manchester from London (or perhaps use electric scooters?) because rail capacity north of Birmingham will be worse after scrapping HS2 https://bit.ly/3Yknd4L how not to build new infrastructure to promote growth!
Image
12:37 PM · Jul 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816062985418203371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are my MP and I know LibDem NIMBY vibes are strong - but: please resist the temptation to be anti-everything. UK needs more, not less, growth. We need jobs, wealth, income... It's to be balanced, but the NIMBY has swung too much to NO-to-everything-everywhere-all-the-time.
11:48 AM · Jul 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are my MP and I know LibDem NIMBY vibes are strong - but: please resist the temptation to be anti-everything. UK needs more, not less, growth. We need jobs, wealth, income... It's to be balanced, but the NIMBY has swung too much to NO-to-everything-everywhere-all-the-time.
11:48 AM · Jul 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816054458763129131
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite. It's helpful to read a report so I fail on a different try-fail obstacle then otherwise. Saves few lost weeks. It's another thing to have thousands of people, machines, procedures, institutional knowledge, all up and running, churning producing for months and years.
11:14 AM · Jul 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite. It's helpful to read a report so I fail on a different try-fail obstacle then otherwise. Saves few lost weeks. It's another thing to have thousands of people, machines, procedures, institutional knowledge, all up and running, churning producing for months and years.
11:14 AM · Jul 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1816045952718844103
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
About one half of the wide disaffection with global/neo-liberalism comes from the relative wealth trickling up bottom->top. The iliberalism on display does nothing to address that. It will be - liberty lost, nothing gained for it.
10:41 AM · Jul 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
About one half of the wide disaffection with global/neo-liberalism comes from the relative wealth trickling up bottom->top. The iliberalism on display does nothing to address that. It will be - liberty lost, nothing gained for it.
10:41 AM · Jul 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815919775001747912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks diabolical. Recipe for unelected unelectable unrepresentative self-selected crazies to get their hands on power. Spherical disaster in making.
2:19 AM · Jul 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks diabolical. Recipe for unelected unelectable unrepresentative self-selected crazies to get their hands on power. Spherical disaster in making.
2:19 AM · Jul 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815849823448215680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
put a date to your forecast
9:41 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
put a date to your forecast
9:41 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815849550055108990
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but the federal gov owes that same amount to US citizens too - no? So the US gov would need to give those $100K back to the citizens it owes it to. Looking end-to-end - some US citizens will be paying other US citizens. Right?
9:40 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but the federal gov owes that same amount to US citizens too - no? So the US gov would need to give those $100K back to the citizens it owes it to. Looking end-to-end - some US citizens will be paying other US citizens. Right?
9:40 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815807615441469571
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, can't test macro effect in a micro trial. So what would a better test be? It has to be an independent unit, a country really, and with its own currency. Some island nation, somewhere maybe?
6:54 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, can't test macro effect in a micro trial. So what would a better test be? It has to be an independent unit, a country really, and with its own currency. Some island nation, somewhere maybe?
6:54 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815784569100005403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought X will use it to provide a content moderation service for themselves, or maybe labelling service that can be used by us users. Seems nothing of the sorts is in the offing.
5:22 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I thought X will use it to provide a content moderation service for themselves, or maybe labelling service that can be used by us users. Seems nothing of the sorts is in the offing.
5:22 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815781759453196421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Found it - Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
Ofc it's SA who else would track this down and reason abt it 😁 (bowing in admiration to this service to humanity)
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
5:11 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Found it - Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/
Ofc it's SA who else would track this down and reason abt it 😁 (bowing in admiration to this service to humanity)
slatestarcodex.com
Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%
Beware of Phantom Lizardmen I have only done a little bit of social science research, but it was enough to make me hate people. One study I helped with analyzed whether people from different countr…
5:11 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815780412939030555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - or at least the survey will show as if. The "lizard people" threshold. 🦎😊 It is about 5% at any given time pretty much everywhere. If I recalled correctly. Read a good blog post abt it once.
5:06 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - or at least the survey will show as if. The "lizard people" threshold. 🦎😊 It is about 5% at any given time pretty much everywhere. If I recalled correctly. Read a good blog post abt it once.
5:06 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815778220978888936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but only in things that personally don't affect them much directly and opining craziness carries no cost to them at all. Once their $$$ or short term wellbeing is on the line - they sober up and become much more hard nosed. Fortunately for all.
4:57 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but only in things that personally don't affect them much directly and opining craziness carries no cost to them at all. Once their $$$ or short term wellbeing is on the line - they sober up and become much more hard nosed. Fortunately for all.
4:57 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815762675667730743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - join the queue! CS-turned-ML pissed off statistics people too, c.f. Leo Breiman "Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures". Time waits for no one! The game belong to the players/doers, and spectators/watchers are free to watch/comment to their heart contents. 😊
3:55 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - join the queue! CS-turned-ML pissed off statistics people too, c.f. Leo Breiman "Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures". Time waits for no one! The game belong to the players/doers, and spectators/watchers are free to watch/comment to their heart contents. 😊
3:55 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815759120043004364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The country is crying to BuildBuildBuild @LouHaigh @RachelReevesMP @Keir_Starmer . They gave you the keys to to Kingdom. HS2 restart ftw asap! Anything else is a FAIL at the 1st hurdle. Don't fail UK pretty please.
Quote
Richard Vaughan @RichardVaughan1 · Jul 23
🚆A new NAO report into the decision to scrap HS2 phase 2 is pretty startling.
HS2 will continue building a new 7 platform station at Curzon Street when just three platforms will be used because it is cheaper to build than cancel
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/hs2-waste-new-birmingham-station-unused-3184804
Show more
3:41 PM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The country is crying to BuildBuildBuild @LouHaigh @RachelReevesMP @Keir_Starmer . They gave you the keys to to Kingdom. HS2 restart ftw asap! Anything else is a FAIL at the 1st hurdle. Don't fail UK pretty please.
Quote
Richard Vaughan @RichardVaughan1 · Jul 23
🚆A new NAO report into the decision to scrap HS2 phase 2 is pretty startling.
HS2 will continue building a new 7 platform station at Curzon Street when just three platforms will be used because it is cheaper to build than cancel
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/hs2-waste-new-birmingham-station-unused-3184804
Show more
3:41 PM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815700132148432991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 yeah - and the quip at the end "... the perfect balanced sample" was an unexpected cherry on the top I thought
11:47 AM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 yeah - and the quip at the end "... the perfect balanced sample" was an unexpected cherry on the top I thought
11:47 AM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815697933544640533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The ones I personally have known - it's was a variant of cope. They were hoping that there is some benevolent overwhelming force controlling things. It's not all random events swirling about with 1000s of actors/groups pulling in all directions. When the force or benevolence fail to materialize, things go to sh*t (in my case - civil wars, dissolution of the state, obv criminals getting the upper hand running things) I've seen rationalizations: 1) it was not benevolent, evil forces took control (majority); 2) (minority) the good guys have not gotten the signal, they are sitting in a secret underground base waiting for for the command to save us (after a while - there is no one on the good side left with authority to issue the command). On a major level - it's lazy and head-in-sand silly refusing to acknowledge the precariousness of our lives (plus - excusing inaction so no effort to do sth against the entropy engulfing us). On a minor level - it's touching, a bit child-like in the helplessness and also in the belief that things are to be good and well by default.
11:38 AM · Jul 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The ones I personally have known - it's was a variant of cope. They were hoping that there is some benevolent overwhelming force controlling things. It's not all random events swirling about with 1000s of actors/groups pulling in all directions. When the force or benevolence fail to materialize, things go to sh*t (in my case - civil wars, dissolution of the state, obv criminals getting the upper hand running things) I've seen rationalizations: 1) it was not benevolent, evil forces took control (majority); 2) (minority) the good guys have not gotten the signal, they are sitting in a secret underground base waiting for for the command to save us (after a while - there is no one on the good side left with authority to issue the command). On a major level - it's lazy and head-in-sand silly refusing to acknowledge the precariousness of our lives (plus - excusing inaction so no effort to do sth against the entropy engulfing us). On a minor level - it's touching, a bit child-like in the helplessness and also in the belief that things are to be good and well by default.
11:38 AM · Jul 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815400502399545349
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You will notice that above mentioned make their $$$ as loud mouths, renta a mouths and similar - but not as bettors on their forecasts. Same with sell side vs. buy side in investing. Sell side are marketing clowns while buy side bet on their forecasts (and keep shtum).
3:56 PM · Jul 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You will notice that above mentioned make their $$$ as loud mouths, renta a mouths and similar - but not as bettors on their forecasts. Same with sell side vs. buy side in investing. Sell side are marketing clowns while buy side bet on their forecasts (and keep shtum).
3:56 PM · Jul 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815393007153054165
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no decisions == no mistakes, easy decision that one 😉
3:26 PM · Jul 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no decisions == no mistakes, easy decision that one 😉
3:26 PM · Jul 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815389119897309563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's tad self serving: "I am a member of an elite that failed, but hey, don't blame us personally - anyone in our position would've failed too". While not great, in itself does not make the arguments invalid. But shocking to me, it managed through the whole series without defining what "information" and "knowledge" is. Starting with the title, "Ignorance" - well, we have excellent means to write down our ignorance, the degrees and the quantity of it - using the probability theory. Then there are hard definitions for "information" and "knowledge" since 1948. There is a unit of information ("bit"), the same way there is a unit of mass, or electric charge. Then there are extensions all the way to present time (incl "decisions under uncertainty" etc) that current AI crop (and its predecessors) were built on. This seems to be not known to @RoryStewartUK ?? Once one googles or spends time with Chatgpt learning on "Shannon Information theory", many things mentioned, wondered and mused on in this series - become less of a wonder. I don't know what to say, except that CP Snow's "The Two Cultures" problem is well alive and kicking. Esp given this whole series went through an entire process so it's not a single person single time fail - it's a larger group of people and over some considerable time.
3:11 PM · Jul 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah it's tad self serving: "I am a member of an elite that failed, but hey, don't blame us personally - anyone in our position would've failed too". While not great, in itself does not make the arguments invalid. But shocking to me, it managed through the whole series without defining what "information" and "knowledge" is. Starting with the title, "Ignorance" - well, we have excellent means to write down our ignorance, the degrees and the quantity of it - using the probability theory. Then there are hard definitions for "information" and "knowledge" since 1948. There is a unit of information ("bit"), the same way there is a unit of mass, or electric charge. Then there are extensions all the way to present time (incl "decisions under uncertainty" etc) that current AI crop (and its predecessors) were built on. This seems to be not known to @RoryStewartUK ?? Once one googles or spends time with Chatgpt learning on "Shannon Information theory", many things mentioned, wondered and mused on in this series - become less of a wonder. I don't know what to say, except that CP Snow's "The Two Cultures" problem is well alive and kicking. Esp given this whole series went through an entire process so it's not a single person single time fail - it's a larger group of people and over some considerable time.
3:11 PM · Jul 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815377743921467614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I predict the opposite: once humans are given the choice human-or-robot, they will prefer - robot. 😂 Max human is indeed better than any robot. But a robot will be better than the median human - and that's what matters.
2:25 PM · Jul 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I predict the opposite: once humans are given the choice human-or-robot, they will prefer - robot. 😂 Max human is indeed better than any robot. But a robot will be better than the median human - and that's what matters.
2:25 PM · Jul 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815350570326036566
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe need sunsetting voting and representation rights of some sorts? Like driving licence becoming harder to hold onto in old age. IDK if that's feasible or desirable or if it will be a net positive. Seems too complicated.
12:37 PM · Jul 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe need sunsetting voting and representation rights of some sorts? Like driving licence becoming harder to hold onto in old age. IDK if that's feasible or desirable or if it will be a net positive. Seems too complicated.
12:37 PM · Jul 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1815017945510085023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not no one - few tried, all failed. It's not only the terminal - it's the data Bloomberg have been collecting & curating for decades. Where is a competitor supposed to get the historic data from? Most of historic data available in some form is cr*p, as wd be expected with 0 QA.
2:36 PM · Jul 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not no one - few tried, all failed. It's not only the terminal - it's the data Bloomberg have been collecting & curating for decades. Where is a competitor supposed to get the historic data from? Most of historic data available in some form is cr*p, as wd be expected with 0 QA.
2:36 PM · Jul 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814980442086425060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very good point there! Yeah, by definition members of the party are NOT representative of the general public, they are exactly the opposite, they are unrepresentative. The MP is representative. First LAB, then CON run the experiment. :-) The party leader is also a PM or a PM-in-waiting so needs support of the MP-s. Don't recall but probably missed this being voiced at the time of the introduction.
12:07 PM · Jul 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I very good point there! Yeah, by definition members of the party are NOT representative of the general public, they are exactly the opposite, they are unrepresentative. The MP is representative. First LAB, then CON run the experiment. :-) The party leader is also a PM or a PM-in-waiting so needs support of the MP-s. Don't recall but probably missed this being voiced at the time of the introduction.
12:07 PM · Jul 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814967330905981084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yeah, different experiences. Forms filling - I'm filling some on gov dot uk rn, I have to fill in the address, but I'd don't have to prove it them it's that address. Immigration - yeah that's always been between bad and diabolical. That seems to be the case for many countries, almost universal. I imagine bureaucrat dealing with citizens of his own country, where they are nuisance as they create work for him. But at least these are his compatriots, he feels some affinity with them. Now I imagine the same - but without the person on the other side being a citizen. There is zero incentive to be competent and nice (apart from the inner motivation - "I prefer to do a good job, detest doing a poor job"), and the system also does not care much about non-citizens, it's between indifferent and hostile.
11:15 AM · Jul 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yeah, different experiences. Forms filling - I'm filling some on gov dot uk rn, I have to fill in the address, but I'd don't have to prove it them it's that address. Immigration - yeah that's always been between bad and diabolical. That seems to be the case for many countries, almost universal. I imagine bureaucrat dealing with citizens of his own country, where they are nuisance as they create work for him. But at least these are his compatriots, he feels some affinity with them. Now I imagine the same - but without the person on the other side being a citizen. There is zero incentive to be competent and nice (apart from the inner motivation - "I prefer to do a good job, detest doing a poor job"), and the system also does not care much about non-citizens, it's between indifferent and hostile.
11:15 AM · Jul 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814965053931581734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But monopolies naturally occur in true free markets, no? The end game in any free market, where anti-monopoly laws are not enforced, is a monopoly (in practice an oligopoly or a cartel shortly before). That's one stable configuration. The other stable configuration (with vigorous competition) is profit tending towards zero. Companies see and feel the latter, so they - not unreasonably - make sure to end in the former. In a setup with a positive feedback loop where big becomes bigger (and the small smaller, relatively), and where anti-monopoly law does not disallow M&A - don't see a different end game. US has run that experiment since Bork, and in every industry got the same result.
11:06 AM · Jul 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But monopolies naturally occur in true free markets, no? The end game in any free market, where anti-monopoly laws are not enforced, is a monopoly (in practice an oligopoly or a cartel shortly before). That's one stable configuration. The other stable configuration (with vigorous competition) is profit tending towards zero. Companies see and feel the latter, so they - not unreasonably - make sure to end in the former. In a setup with a positive feedback loop where big becomes bigger (and the small smaller, relatively), and where anti-monopoly law does not disallow M&A - don't see a different end game. US has run that experiment since Bork, and in every industry got the same result.
11:06 AM · Jul 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814673408254267652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It lifted up my spirits when I saw it's by Simon Jenkins. That guy is like the weather wane for wrongness. Whatever he promotes in his writing, take that, multiply by (-1) i.e. assume the opposite - and you will be more right than wrong.
3:47 PM · Jul 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It lifted up my spirits when I saw it's by Simon Jenkins. That guy is like the weather wane for wrongness. Whatever he promotes in his writing, take that, multiply by (-1) i.e. assume the opposite - and you will be more right than wrong.
3:47 PM · Jul 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814660124478189907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is part of the current stasis the need for a re-election? Would more of them do what they think "is right" if they didn't have to think of re-election? If one is a professional politician, than one must think of re-election. If it's a one-off job - then maybe the role will be closer to the Member of Parliament role as we idealize it: taking into account - his own thoughts and ideas, the desires of the constituents, the interests of the country, the party, and reconciling everything with own conscience, to speak up, vote and do other work in parliament (committees and the like). It bothers me that there seem to be a lot of ex-politicians, that go in media (incl social) once not seeking re-election, in the mode of: now I can finally freely speak up my mind. Dudes!! - we voted for you hoping you speak your minds while MPs!
2:54 PM · Jul 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is part of the current stasis the need for a re-election? Would more of them do what they think "is right" if they didn't have to think of re-election? If one is a professional politician, than one must think of re-election. If it's a one-off job - then maybe the role will be closer to the Member of Parliament role as we idealize it: taking into account - his own thoughts and ideas, the desires of the constituents, the interests of the country, the party, and reconciling everything with own conscience, to speak up, vote and do other work in parliament (committees and the like). It bothers me that there seem to be a lot of ex-politicians, that go in media (incl social) once not seeking re-election, in the mode of: now I can finally freely speak up my mind. Dudes!! - we voted for you hoping you speak your minds while MPs!
2:54 PM · Jul 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814647041013711027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not if the WIkipedia page is to be trusted. 😀 I only remember Shepperton b/c I lived close to it (Staines), have visited it few times, and learned abt that at the time when I read his bio in Miracles of Life. Nothing more than random tidbit. 😁
2:02 PM · Jul 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not if the WIkipedia page is to be trusted. 😀 I only remember Shepperton b/c I lived close to it (Staines), have visited it few times, and learned abt that at the time when I read his bio in Miracles of Life. Nothing more than random tidbit. 😁
2:02 PM · Jul 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814626079358787976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She is on planet "I write and put my name to whatever CON central told the editor". I can't understand who the buyers of that newspaper are. Why would I spend £££ on paper printing random nonsense, when nonsense like it (and much more) is available for free online.
12:39 PM · Jul 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She is on planet "I write and put my name to whatever CON central told the editor". I can't understand who the buyers of that newspaper are. Why would I spend £££ on paper printing random nonsense, when nonsense like it (and much more) is available for free online.
12:39 PM · Jul 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814613665938596173
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Proof of age - yes, more difficult without universal ID. Filling forms - IDK what difference it makes, atm I put my name, surname, home address, seems to suffice. Where state money is involved (tax etc) I have national insurance number, that suffices for that purpose. Police anecdote - I use it as an example of a more general state of affairs, that it seems to me, is opposite in my home ctry UK compared to my ctry of birth MK: in MK bureaucracy distrusts me by default, and I have to bring in evidence from a trusted 3rd party; in UK the bureaucracy trusts me bu default.
11:49 AM · Jul 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Proof of age - yes, more difficult without universal ID. Filling forms - IDK what difference it makes, atm I put my name, surname, home address, seems to suffice. Where state money is involved (tax etc) I have national insurance number, that suffices for that purpose. Police anecdote - I use it as an example of a more general state of affairs, that it seems to me, is opposite in my home ctry UK compared to my ctry of birth MK: in MK bureaucracy distrusts me by default, and I have to bring in evidence from a trusted 3rd party; in UK the bureaucracy trusts me bu default.
11:49 AM · Jul 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814594608103399917
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - we don't have a good word for it. It's not like terrorism in that it does not kill citizens to instill fear. It does make life somewhat difficult for citizens, so that citizens put pressure on the elected gov. IDK if it can ever succeed, given the length of the transmission mechanism to an actual meaningful gov action. It does work like a PR stunt raising awareness so the media blabber about it for a day-two.
10:34 AM · Jul 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - we don't have a good word for it. It's not like terrorism in that it does not kill citizens to instill fear. It does make life somewhat difficult for citizens, so that citizens put pressure on the elected gov. IDK if it can ever succeed, given the length of the transmission mechanism to an actual meaningful gov action. It does work like a PR stunt raising awareness so the media blabber about it for a day-two.
10:34 AM · Jul 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814322741605982384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! I was imprecise - sorry abt that - when I wrote trust: I meant how much does the state burocracy trust me, the citizen, when I ask that burocracy to do something for me.
4:33 PM · Jul 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! I was imprecise - sorry abt that - when I wrote trust: I meant how much does the state burocracy trust me, the citizen, when I ask that burocracy to do something for me.
4:33 PM · Jul 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814311020820611483
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Layers of rules, but excellence and quality were apparently no ones top of the list. So they drop down the list of priorities. I guess if the system is excellent, it gets forgotten that's not god given natural state of affairs, it doesn't just happen on its own.
3:47 PM · Jul 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Layers of rules, but excellence and quality were apparently no ones top of the list. So they drop down the list of priorities. I guess if the system is excellent, it gets forgotten that's not god given natural state of affairs, it doesn't just happen on its own.
3:47 PM · Jul 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814306821357650193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - just a personal sample of 1, and only dealing with the state burocracy. Putting the responsibility to ID on the other foot has been liberating. Yeah tyranny of the majority over the individual is something to be mindful of, but in the other direction there is the one rotten apple that spoils the entire barrel to be mindful of too.
3:30 PM · Jul 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - just a personal sample of 1, and only dealing with the state burocracy. Putting the responsibility to ID on the other foot has been liberating. Yeah tyranny of the majority over the individual is something to be mindful of, but in the other direction there is the one rotten apple that spoils the entire barrel to be mindful of too.
3:30 PM · Jul 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814263564313502094
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We know that - you've predicted the last 35 crashes, a good track record there. I salute you carving a niche for yourself: scaring people sh*t less, them paying you $$$ for the privilege. Same as people pay a cinema ticket to be scared by a horror movie I guess.
12:38 PM · Jul 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We know that - you've predicted the last 35 crashes, a good track record there. I salute you carving a niche for yourself: scaring people sh*t less, them paying you $$$ for the privilege. Same as people pay a cinema ticket to be scared by a horror movie I guess.
12:38 PM · Jul 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814251434839249022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - me too! I'm amazed when my kids tell me they prefer windows (how? how???) over Ubuntu. These days I find doing stuff in Windows like a wrestling match where one has to overwhelm Windows, take it out, move it out of the way, then do what one wanted to do in the 1st place.
11:50 AM · Jul 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - me too! I'm amazed when my kids tell me they prefer windows (how? how???) over Ubuntu. These days I find doing stuff in Windows like a wrestling match where one has to overwhelm Windows, take it out, move it out of the way, then do what one wanted to do in the 1st place.
11:50 AM · Jul 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814239998314418495
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it would be. But all market players (banks, agents, existing owners) but one (first time buyers) earn more, the more the prices rise. One paper I remember seeing many years ago, computing the sensitivity of house price increases to number of factors, had "mortgage credit availability" be the strongest factor, stronger x5 times or so than the 2nd strongest.
11:04 AM · Jul 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it would be. But all market players (banks, agents, existing owners) but one (first time buyers) earn more, the more the prices rise. One paper I remember seeing many years ago, computing the sensitivity of house price increases to number of factors, had "mortgage credit availability" be the strongest factor, stronger x5 times or so than the 2nd strongest.
11:04 AM · Jul 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814063060903932119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My pet thesis is that in tge English-speaking world, the citizens are trusted by default. We just say it how it is - and that suffices. In the continental systems it seems to me the citizen is untrusted by default, his/her word carries very little weight. A trusted third party has to communicate with the official and be that trusted source. The medium has to be paper so there is a paper trail, should the official himself have to prove to its supervisor to have done things correctly.
11:21 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My pet thesis is that in tge English-speaking world, the citizens are trusted by default. We just say it how it is - and that suffices. In the continental systems it seems to me the citizen is untrusted by default, his/her word carries very little weight. A trusted third party has to communicate with the official and be that trusted source. The medium has to be paper so there is a paper trail, should the official himself have to prove to its supervisor to have done things correctly.
11:21 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814060062207554013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And why would Putin compromise if he gets (with Haass help) 1/2 of what he wants? From everything we know - Putin will go after the remaining 1/2. Why would he not? Surely someone mentioned that to this IYI.
11:09 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And why would Putin compromise if he gets (with Haass help) 1/2 of what he wants? From everything we know - Putin will go after the remaining 1/2. Why would he not? Surely someone mentioned that to this IYI.
11:09 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814046082462310744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CON-s refused to rule. If now LAB refuse to rule too - they will be similarly thrown out in 5yrs and someone else will be voted in. The game belongs to the ones that play it. Spectators are never players.
10:14 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CON-s refused to rule. If now LAB refuse to rule too - they will be similarly thrown out in 5yrs and someone else will be voted in. The game belongs to the ones that play it. Spectators are never players.
10:14 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814036783145038005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right - but pro-free traders have to ask themselves: why does the cycle repeat? Why do our policies by the end (of a cycle) become so unpopular? Unpopular is simply - the losers outnumber the winners. I personally think they concentrate too much on the mean (average growth), and not enough on the dispersion around that mean (the distribution of that growth). Did not think it's that hard to keep track of 2 numbers rather than single 1 - but I'm not an economist.
9:37 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right - but pro-free traders have to ask themselves: why does the cycle repeat? Why do our policies by the end (of a cycle) become so unpopular? Unpopular is simply - the losers outnumber the winners. I personally think they concentrate too much on the mean (average growth), and not enough on the dispersion around that mean (the distribution of that growth). Did not think it's that hard to keep track of 2 numbers rather than single 1 - but I'm not an economist.
9:37 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814026878153314377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Usually someone brings US Monroe doctrine. Imo where US pursued it more - it was a big disaster (civil wars in Central America), where pursued less (military juntas in South America) - it was a disaster, and where not pursued (Cuba) - it was the least bad option. UN charter modeled after WW2 along the lines of "... to initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" seems to me stood the test of time.
8:58 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Usually someone brings US Monroe doctrine. Imo where US pursued it more - it was a big disaster (civil wars in Central America), where pursued less (military juntas in South America) - it was a disaster, and where not pursued (Cuba) - it was the least bad option. UN charter modeled after WW2 along the lines of "... to initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" seems to me stood the test of time.
8:58 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1814001387661033716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Liberalism puts the individual first. If I am "me myself and I first" all my life, I am not going to change overnight at my death bed. All liberals come over as somewhat egotistical to outsiders (outside of that ideology). Fwiw US both sides seem liberal when viewed by an outsider. It's but impossible to perceive that for an USain. That's the ideology, permeating all US life implicitly by default, the "unknown knowns", this is like what water would be to fish.
7:16 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Liberalism puts the individual first. If I am "me myself and I first" all my life, I am not going to change overnight at my death bed. All liberals come over as somewhat egotistical to outsiders (outside of that ideology). Fwiw US both sides seem liberal when viewed by an outsider. It's but impossible to perceive that for an USain. That's the ideology, permeating all US life implicitly by default, the "unknown knowns", this is like what water would be to fish.
7:16 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813955959682912473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you worked out yet, why a huge huge difference between the continental systems (Germany maybe an extreme outlier, but others are pretty similar), and UK-US-similar systems? (IDK what would be an encompassing name; anglo-saxon maybe, but sounds too archaic to me)
4:16 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you worked out yet, why a huge huge difference between the continental systems (Germany maybe an extreme outlier, but others are pretty similar), and UK-US-similar systems? (IDK what would be an encompassing name; anglo-saxon maybe, but sounds too archaic to me)
4:16 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813938431912976837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Further: it's not the best most expensive top-1 lab setup in the world that determines the direction of a field. By definition - it either spreads to many, or becomes irrelevant. It's the median 50%-ile that determines what an average researcher does daily.
3:06 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Further: it's not the best most expensive top-1 lab setup in the world that determines the direction of a field. By definition - it either spreads to many, or becomes irrelevant. It's the median 50%-ile that determines what an average researcher does daily.
3:06 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813935574568321149
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow. Not one to dance on anyone's grave. More like: it's a pity what the made of the opportunity given. Achieved less than zero, a total net-negative for the UK. :-( It's such good luck, a lottery of life won, by being born in the UK. Pains me to see one making such poor use of their good luck.
2:55 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow. Not one to dance on anyone's grave. More like: it's a pity what the made of the opportunity given. Achieved less than zero, a total net-negative for the UK. :-( It's such good luck, a lottery of life won, by being born in the UK. Pains me to see one making such poor use of their good luck.
2:55 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813929214296682947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wow! so it was solar-punk by design! 😮 well more power to them then, rate them even higher now! 😊
2:30 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wow! so it was solar-punk by design! 😮 well more power to them then, rate them even higher now! 😊
2:30 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813923473338605800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... what's the big deal with saying to country X: no, you can't have your hare brained schemes imposed on peoples Y by the barrel of the gun. What? - you have a nuclear arsenal to destroy Earth? Well - that doesn't make your schemes any less imbecilic. We better have Y get some nukes then, if that's what it takes to have you backoff. And live your best lives in the (vast vast) territory you X command. For Y has a right to life and liberty - exactly like you X have. It's not that difficult dude. 😔
2:07 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... what's the big deal with saying to country X: no, you can't have your hare brained schemes imposed on peoples Y by the barrel of the gun. What? - you have a nuclear arsenal to destroy Earth? Well - that doesn't make your schemes any less imbecilic. We better have Y get some nukes then, if that's what it takes to have you backoff. And live your best lives in the (vast vast) territory you X command. For Y has a right to life and liberty - exactly like you X have. It's not that difficult dude. 😔
2:07 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813923473338605800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... what's the big deal with saying to country X: no, you can't have your hare brained schemes imposed on peoples Y by the barrel of the gun. What? - you have a nuclear arsenal to destroy Earth? Well - that doesn't make your schemes any less imbecilic. We better have Y get some nukes then, if that's what it takes to have you backoff. And live your best lives in the (vast vast) territory you X command. For Y has a right to life and liberty - exactly like you X have. It's not that difficult dude. 😔
2:07 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... what's the big deal with saying to country X: no, you can't have your hare brained schemes imposed on peoples Y by the barrel of the gun. What? - you have a nuclear arsenal to destroy Earth? Well - that doesn't make your schemes any less imbecilic. We better have Y get some nukes then, if that's what it takes to have you backoff. And live your best lives in the (vast vast) territory you X command. For Y has a right to life and liberty - exactly like you X have. It's not that difficult dude. 😔
2:07 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813922248358531370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - people that do the voting, members of the the party, are softie cowards. As we all are b4 we are put in a position that demands courage (and only then we find out). But they still want to have a brave leader at the helm - not unreasonably so. Signalling is easy and cost free for a 10p - maybe coward maybe hero - and enough gullible members will be swayed so to tilt the odds and get the trickster over the line. That's why it's done - it's fake, but it's useful. Tories were supposed to be better than that, hard nosed enough as not to be taken for a ride - but maybe not the boomers generation. TBS
2:02 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - people that do the voting, members of the the party, are softie cowards. As we all are b4 we are put in a position that demands courage (and only then we find out). But they still want to have a brave leader at the helm - not unreasonably so. Signalling is easy and cost free for a 10p - maybe coward maybe hero - and enough gullible members will be swayed so to tilt the odds and get the trickster over the line. That's why it's done - it's fake, but it's useful. Tories were supposed to be better than that, hard nosed enough as not to be taken for a ride - but maybe not the boomers generation. TBS
2:02 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813918838682960204
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF to Dan the few wealthy I personally have had pleasure speaking with never make that argument. And the video below explains it well why not (to the not-wealthy). But if UK starts thinking about taxing wealth rather than income - now that wd be sth entirely different
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=luobN4xGOdA
1:48 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF to Dan the few wealthy I personally have had pleasure speaking with never make that argument. And the video below explains it well why not (to the not-wealthy). But if UK starts thinking about taxing wealth rather than income - now that wd be sth entirely different
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=luobN4xGOdA
1:48 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813894170614141096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or as is nowadays known - the condom tax - 😂🤣
Quote
James Heale @JAHeale · Jun 27
https://x.com/JAHeale/status/1806238748536922386
Amazing scenes
Image
12:10 PM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or as is nowadays known - the condom tax - 😂🤣
Quote
James Heale @JAHeale · Jun 27
https://x.com/JAHeale/status/1806238748536922386
Amazing scenes
Image
12:10 PM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813887585955057770
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An excellent illustration of quantifiers (none, some, any, all, every) in two dimensional 2D space (x,y). When reasoning about things and inferring the 2D space is the minimal feasible ("if x then y"). The author is unknown to me - I failed to record where I got this pic from.
Image
11:44 AM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An excellent illustration of quantifiers (none, some, any, all, every) in two dimensional 2D space (x,y). When reasoning about things and inferring the 2D space is the minimal feasible ("if x then y"). The author is unknown to me - I failed to record where I got this pic from.
Image
11:44 AM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813877827223290272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have not thought this well. The sphere of influence leads to more powerful states eating up the less powerful ones, leads to the WW1 and WW2. In CEEu it will lead to nuclear proliferation. We don't justify the more powerful neighbor having a sphere of influence in Gaza.
11:05 AM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have not thought this well. The sphere of influence leads to more powerful states eating up the less powerful ones, leads to the WW1 and WW2. In CEEu it will lead to nuclear proliferation. We don't justify the more powerful neighbor having a sphere of influence in Gaza.
11:05 AM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813873829292228903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ama kaj gluvci - ne kaj luge, i.e. @inmice :-) Linkot e https://nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07701-9 .
Ne se edinstveni. Moze da se sledis slicni eksperimenti na 4 molekuli (placebo, 1-od-4, s4-minus-1, site-4, posebno maski/zenski) na gluvci, posleden izvestaj https://x.com/aubreydegrey/status/1807160868289036663 .
Ima celo biohacking dvizenje okolu mTOR https://rapamycin.news.
Quote
Aubrey de Grey @aubreydegrey · Jun 29
Many apologies for having skipped a monthly update - I was just too swamped with preparations for @LongevityDublin (which was a roaring success as always - if you didn't attend, you missed a real feast of education and entertainment). Back on track now though!
This update marks
Show more
Image
10:49 AM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ama kaj gluvci - ne kaj luge, i.e. @inmice :-) Linkot e https://nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07701-9 .
Ne se edinstveni. Moze da se sledis slicni eksperimenti na 4 molekuli (placebo, 1-od-4, s4-minus-1, site-4, posebno maski/zenski) na gluvci, posleden izvestaj https://x.com/aubreydegrey/status/1807160868289036663 .
Ima celo biohacking dvizenje okolu mTOR https://rapamycin.news.
Quote
Aubrey de Grey @aubreydegrey · Jun 29
Many apologies for having skipped a monthly update - I was just too swamped with preparations for @LongevityDublin (which was a roaring success as always - if you didn't attend, you missed a real feast of education and entertainment). Back on track now though!
This update marks
Show more
Image
10:49 AM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813863466676949318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... a group formed by sufficient number of individuals coalescing around a random thing. Group creation implies creating a gradient where there none existed before: in-group individuals are to be better off, out-group individuals are to be worse off, in some way. Reminded of @slatestarcodex's https://astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-games-and-backscratchers
10:08 AM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... a group formed by sufficient number of individuals coalescing around a random thing. Group creation implies creating a gradient where there none existed before: in-group individuals are to be better off, out-group individuals are to be worse off, in some way. Reminded of @slatestarcodex's https://astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-games-and-backscratchers
10:08 AM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813859659394031763
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a mix of things. It's impossible to get into other people's heads, and even if we could, I doubt we will find anything there to explain it, as many people don't know themselves why they do things they do. At personal level it's vibes, but they serve a purpose: group formation.
9:53 AM · Jul 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a mix of things. It's impossible to get into other people's heads, and even if we could, I doubt we will find anything there to explain it, as many people don't know themselves why they do things they do. At personal level it's vibes, but they serve a purpose: group formation.
9:53 AM · Jul 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813681321845096876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - depressingly common inumerates. Decades since "The Two Cultures" - expect no change anytime soon. @ONS needs to dumb it down. "Rate of increase" is not intuitive at all. Probably best stick to "level of prices", sth like this (not my graph - saw it somewhere on X)
Image
Inflation-care-about.png
10:04 PM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - depressingly common inumerates. Decades since "The Two Cultures" - expect no change anytime soon. @ONS needs to dumb it down. "Rate of increase" is not intuitive at all. Probably best stick to "level of prices", sth like this (not my graph - saw it somewhere on X)
Image
Inflation-care-about.png
10:04 PM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813675897930830079
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noticed Adonis here opining that last few decades primary legislation was prob on balance, in the Education dept - positive, in the Justice dept - negative, all depts all overall - neutral.
https://youtu.be/nMn_UqAsl4w?si=Jn8kHx6NA_sDwO7A
(on - a new law always creating +ve and -ve effects)
youtube.com
How do we radically improve Britain's state capacity? Lord Adonis,...
00:00 Introduction by Munira Mirza03:42 Lord Adonis18:15 Dominic Cummings23:00 Panel discussion40:28 Q&A with audienceIt’s commonplace to say Britain isn’t w...
9:43 PM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noticed Adonis here opining that last few decades primary legislation was prob on balance, in the Education dept - positive, in the Justice dept - negative, all depts all overall - neutral.
https://youtu.be/nMn_UqAsl4w?si=Jn8kHx6NA_sDwO7A
(on - a new law always creating +ve and -ve effects)
youtube.com
How do we radically improve Britain's state capacity? Lord Adonis,...
00:00 Introduction by Munira Mirza03:42 Lord Adonis18:15 Dominic Cummings23:00 Panel discussion40:28 Q&A with audienceIt’s commonplace to say Britain isn’t w...
9:43 PM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813670637904216275
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 I feel for you. Kids had three passport in three different alphabets (Latin, Greek, Cyrillic). At some point a passport office decides "all transliterations to Latin must match between them". And if they don't - Q: what's to be done, what's the solution? A: Go to the state issuing the other passport, change the name by deed poll in the native script to a variant, that when transliterated to Latin, matches the name as written in the passport with Latin script only. 😂😂 An actual civil servant wrote this in a letter, as legal advice - what to do next. Kafka was an amateur! 😂😂
9:22 PM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 I feel for you. Kids had three passport in three different alphabets (Latin, Greek, Cyrillic). At some point a passport office decides "all transliterations to Latin must match between them". And if they don't - Q: what's to be done, what's the solution? A: Go to the state issuing the other passport, change the name by deed poll in the native script to a variant, that when transliterated to Latin, matches the name as written in the passport with Latin script only. 😂😂 An actual civil servant wrote this in a letter, as legal advice - what to do next. Kafka was an amateur! 😂😂
9:22 PM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813646564994302134
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When does "it's complex" become excuse for laziness and coasting? After all, "find reasons why X can't be done" is usually much easier than "find ways to do X". I can lazy take it easy, will be considered smart b/c I will be right most often than not (as most attempts to get stuff done actually fail), will not make any mistakes by doing nothing, will make many less enemies. Esp stuff decided in the political arena where most things are a trade-off: more of this means less of that.
7:46 PM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When does "it's complex" become excuse for laziness and coasting? After all, "find reasons why X can't be done" is usually much easier than "find ways to do X". I can lazy take it easy, will be considered smart b/c I will be right most often than not (as most attempts to get stuff done actually fail), will not make any mistakes by doing nothing, will make many less enemies. Esp stuff decided in the political arena where most things are a trade-off: more of this means less of that.
7:46 PM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813636858716533146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the insider info. Seen change in an organisation (but not gov) I tend to agree with “Policy is 10% and implementation 90%”. So -trying is nearly everything. His lot - with some exceptions - looked to me were missing that 90%.
7:08 PM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the insider info. Seen change in an organisation (but not gov) I tend to agree with “Policy is 10% and implementation 90%”. So -trying is nearly everything. His lot - with some exceptions - looked to me were missing that 90%.
7:08 PM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813586910658568424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Real neoliberalism has never been tried. Sequel to the "real socialism has never been tried", I see. 😂
3:49 PM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Real neoliberalism has never been tried. Sequel to the "real socialism has never been tried", I see. 😂
3:49 PM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813546150731174155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Resist the temptation - you personally will be a better human for it, and the world will be one iota better. Even if it doesn't seem that way immediately. Resist the temptation to crossing to the dark side. 😉
1:07 PM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Resist the temptation - you personally will be a better human for it, and the world will be one iota better. Even if it doesn't seem that way immediately. Resist the temptation to crossing to the dark side. 😉
1:07 PM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813515328556777968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good listen for anyone interested in the technology of governing. "How do we radically improve Britain's state capacity?" Lord Adonis, Dominic Cummings - https://youtu.be/nMn_UqAsl4w?si=Jn8kHx6NA_sDwO7A. Amused by the @Dominic2306 quip "... they didn't want to govern" about CON MP-s in Westminster.
youtube.com
How do we radically improve Britain's state capacity? Lord Adonis,...
00:00 Introduction by Munira Mirza03:42 Lord Adonis18:15 Dominic Cummings23:00 Panel discussion40:28 Q&A with audienceIt’s commonplace to say Britain isn’t w...
11:05 AM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good listen for anyone interested in the technology of governing. "How do we radically improve Britain's state capacity?" Lord Adonis, Dominic Cummings - https://youtu.be/nMn_UqAsl4w?si=Jn8kHx6NA_sDwO7A. Amused by the @Dominic2306 quip "... they didn't want to govern" about CON MP-s in Westminster.
youtube.com
How do we radically improve Britain's state capacity? Lord Adonis,...
00:00 Introduction by Munira Mirza03:42 Lord Adonis18:15 Dominic Cummings23:00 Panel discussion40:28 Q&A with audienceIt’s commonplace to say Britain isn’t w...
11:05 AM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813446478523707441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solutions - he proposed 5. Interesting - not looking for that, boring is fine with me, only need to work. Insights - IDK anything about the mechanics of governing, with @Dominic2306
a rare ex-political operator to speak openly abt that. Not bright - fine with me, we shouldn't need geniuses for MP-s, if the system relied on needing Einstein as MP then we'd be in real trouble. Well connected - that seems true, but doesn't disqualify him (nor qualify; but sure explains). Useful foil/idiod - yeah you can say that in a sense of "if you have at least 1 principle a person with 0 principles can always out-lie, out-deceive you". IDK if it's a good strategy for us voters to seek to be deceived by serial liars - seems tad inadequate. No follower base - that's fine with me, I'm not looking for a leader so to join his followers. I am interested to find out abt that world (politics) b/c in general I'm interested how all things work. The size of his following is irrelevant for that.
6:31 AM · Jul 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solutions - he proposed 5. Interesting - not looking for that, boring is fine with me, only need to work. Insights - IDK anything about the mechanics of governing, with @Dominic2306
a rare ex-political operator to speak openly abt that. Not bright - fine with me, we shouldn't need geniuses for MP-s, if the system relied on needing Einstein as MP then we'd be in real trouble. Well connected - that seems true, but doesn't disqualify him (nor qualify; but sure explains). Useful foil/idiod - yeah you can say that in a sense of "if you have at least 1 principle a person with 0 principles can always out-lie, out-deceive you". IDK if it's a good strategy for us voters to seek to be deceived by serial liars - seems tad inadequate. No follower base - that's fine with me, I'm not looking for a leader so to join his followers. I am interested to find out abt that world (politics) b/c in general I'm interested how all things work. The size of his following is irrelevant for that.
6:31 AM · Jul 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813305875643416870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
because the banks are being paid as much themselves by BoE (plus a bit extra)
9:13 PM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
because the banks are being paid as much themselves by BoE (plus a bit extra)
9:13 PM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813302326054310288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and it can never be - as there is not single European demos. EU is union of existing nation states. What you talk of is United States of Europe federation akin to USA. Tbf an inspired national gov could do much for tech on their own no input from EU needed - if they so wished
8:58 PM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and it can never be - as there is not single European demos. EU is union of existing nation states. What you talk of is United States of Europe federation akin to USA. Tbf an inspired national gov could do much for tech on their own no input from EU needed - if they so wished
8:58 PM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813179072190583080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh "... moze" - a *moze* i da ne vi go skrati zivotot, moze i da vi go prodolzi. Aman dosta so gluposti. Nekoj nekade nesto istrazil pa raskazal. Koga i 100 drugi isto ke istrazat i ist rezultat ke dobijat - e togas da ni kazete. Dotogas - prepisuvajte poubavi popamentni raboti
12:49 PM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh "... moze" - a *moze* i da ne vi go skrati zivotot, moze i da vi go prodolzi. Aman dosta so gluposti. Nekoj nekade nesto istrazil pa raskazal. Koga i 100 drugi isto ke istrazat i ist rezultat ke dobijat - e togas da ni kazete. Dotogas - prepisuvajte poubavi popamentni raboti
12:49 PM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813158038951371246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too, so I stick to easy mode. My front door light bulb draws 50W power (as written on it). Kept on for 20h, that'll be 50W x 20h = (5x2) 0 0 Wxh = 10 0 0 Wh = 1000 Wh. Then I remember K is just short hand for 1000, for 3 0s, 1000 of Anything=1K of Anything, so 1000Wh=1KWh. And I remember 1kWh costs about ~30 pence, from looking at the electricity bills.
11:25 AM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too, so I stick to easy mode. My front door light bulb draws 50W power (as written on it). Kept on for 20h, that'll be 50W x 20h = (5x2) 0 0 Wxh = 10 0 0 Wh = 1000 Wh. Then I remember K is just short hand for 1000, for 3 0s, 1000 of Anything=1K of Anything, so 1000Wh=1KWh. And I remember 1kWh costs about ~30 pence, from looking at the electricity bills.
11:25 AM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813139940038840359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - that's an argument for "let's not turn Earth into Moon". Not an argument for "let's not turn Moon into Earth". We can't ruin Moon any more than it's ruined now - wouldn't you agree? Humans are typically capable of doing rang of things. In fact - it's never a single thing that's done, it's multitudes, at the same time. There is no good argument for "let's not do X b/c something else unrelated Y needs doing".
10:13 AM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - that's an argument for "let's not turn Earth into Moon". Not an argument for "let's not turn Moon into Earth". We can't ruin Moon any more than it's ruined now - wouldn't you agree? Humans are typically capable of doing rang of things. In fact - it's never a single thing that's done, it's multitudes, at the same time. There is no good argument for "let's not do X b/c something else unrelated Y needs doing".
10:13 AM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813123420080513039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, and no one is advocating for "let's ruin the earth" afaik. More like they are thinking: Earth is great, how about we make moon as green and as blue and as pleasant as the Earth? Wouldn't that be a very good thing?
9:08 AM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, and no one is advocating for "let's ruin the earth" afaik. More like they are thinking: Earth is great, how about we make moon as green and as blue and as pleasant as the Earth? Wouldn't that be a very good thing?
9:08 AM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813114088274137284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good series, but enjoyed it less than I expected and hoped. Bullseye for focusing on Ignorance! 🎯 But but but - how could you possibly miss that Ignorance is modeled by statistics?! That's a huge oversight!
Knowledge equals zero Ignorance, which is unattainable for us. So, in our world, only varying degrees of Ignorance exist. Omitting statistics — our primary tool for modeling and understanding Ignorance — is a major downer.
Statistics then probability naturally leads to Information Theory. Google Shannon Information Theory. It provides hard definitions of information and downstream from it knowledge. Amusingly in that framework it can be seen how observing additional information can decrease knowledge.
This isn’t just academic mumbo-jumbo. It's the foundation of all AI and ML. If it were wrong, none of our current AI systems would work.
Even the "known unknowns" and "unknown unknowns" get onto firmer ground with these concepts.
Good on you for searching, keep at it, and thanks for the series. 🙏😊
8:30 AM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good series, but enjoyed it less than I expected and hoped. Bullseye for focusing on Ignorance! 🎯 But but but - how could you possibly miss that Ignorance is modeled by statistics?! That's a huge oversight!
Knowledge equals zero Ignorance, which is unattainable for us. So, in our world, only varying degrees of Ignorance exist. Omitting statistics — our primary tool for modeling and understanding Ignorance — is a major downer.
Statistics then probability naturally leads to Information Theory. Google Shannon Information Theory. It provides hard definitions of information and downstream from it knowledge. Amusingly in that framework it can be seen how observing additional information can decrease knowledge.
This isn’t just academic mumbo-jumbo. It's the foundation of all AI and ML. If it were wrong, none of our current AI systems would work.
Even the "known unknowns" and "unknown unknowns" get onto firmer ground with these concepts.
Good on you for searching, keep at it, and thanks for the series. 🙏😊
8:30 AM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1813103486080278897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even: can I imagine evidence that is convincing enough for me to change my position? What evidence would that be? But this is only if you are interested in the truth. If you are after your team winning a game, than don't bother don't overthink prefer doing, prefer action.
7:48 AM · Jul 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even: can I imagine evidence that is convincing enough for me to change my position? What evidence would that be? But this is only if you are interested in the truth. If you are after your team winning a game, than don't bother don't overthink prefer doing, prefer action.
7:48 AM · Jul 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812856237421183265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Најдобро време - пред 10 год.
Второ најдобро време - сега. 😊
The best time - 10 years ago.
Second best time - now. 😊
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3:26 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Најдобро време - пред 10 год.
Второ најдобро време - сега. 😊
The best time - 10 years ago.
Second best time - now. 😊
Was this translation accurate? Give us feedback so we can improve:
3:26 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812847969114137004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good series, but I enjoyed it less than I expected and hoped, @RoryStewartUK . Bullseye for focusing on Ignorance! But how could you possibly miss that Ignorance is modeled by statistics?! That's a huge oversight!
Knowledge equals zero Ignorance, which is unattainable for us. So, in our world, only varying degrees of Ignorance exist. Omitting statistics — our primary tool for modeling and understanding Ignorance — is a major downer.
Statistics naturally leads to Information Theory. Google Shannon Information Theory. It provides hard definitions of information and knowledge and shows how observing additional information can decrease knowledge.
This isn’t just academic mumbo-jumbo. It's the foundation of all AI and ML. If it were wrong, none of our current AI systems would work.
Even understanding "known unknowns" and "unknown unknowns" would be on much firmer ground with these concepts. Plus, you'll discover your "unknown knowns" — those hardest to perceive — will be easier to deal with once made explicit. 😀
Good on you for searching. 👏 Keep at it, @RoryStewartUK . 👍 Thanks for the series. 🙏
Rory Stewart: "The Long History of... Ignorance" on @BBCRadio4 at
https://bbc.co.uk/sounds/brand/m00199xy
2:53 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good series, but I enjoyed it less than I expected and hoped, @RoryStewartUK . Bullseye for focusing on Ignorance! But how could you possibly miss that Ignorance is modeled by statistics?! That's a huge oversight!
Knowledge equals zero Ignorance, which is unattainable for us. So, in our world, only varying degrees of Ignorance exist. Omitting statistics — our primary tool for modeling and understanding Ignorance — is a major downer.
Statistics naturally leads to Information Theory. Google Shannon Information Theory. It provides hard definitions of information and knowledge and shows how observing additional information can decrease knowledge.
This isn’t just academic mumbo-jumbo. It's the foundation of all AI and ML. If it were wrong, none of our current AI systems would work.
Even understanding "known unknowns" and "unknown unknowns" would be on much firmer ground with these concepts. Plus, you'll discover your "unknown knowns" — those hardest to perceive — will be easier to deal with once made explicit. 😀
Good on you for searching. 👏 Keep at it, @RoryStewartUK . 👍 Thanks for the series. 🙏
Rory Stewart: "The Long History of... Ignorance" on @BBCRadio4 at
https://bbc.co.uk/sounds/brand/m00199xy
2:53 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812841147208761593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The operative word being "currently". :-) Yes - it's not feasible atm, yes it's absurdly expensive atm. But look at how the prices are moving, look at California (where the future is playing out at ~1yr lag in advance of say London). I myself wd not dare to predict "centuries away". 😆 For technology has a knack of making many a person - persons much smarter and knowledgeable than myself! - forecast abt the future look foolish. 😂 But only in retrospect... 😇
2:26 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The operative word being "currently". :-) Yes - it's not feasible atm, yes it's absurdly expensive atm. But look at how the prices are moving, look at California (where the future is playing out at ~1yr lag in advance of say London). I myself wd not dare to predict "centuries away". 😆 For technology has a knack of making many a person - persons much smarter and knowledgeable than myself! - forecast abt the future look foolish. 😂 But only in retrospect... 😇
2:26 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812834646150799704
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will, and will cost a lot to start with. It's better to be honest with the customers footing the bills (us!): new technology is expensive, there is no other way. Your electricity bills will go up. People notice that anyways - bills increasing in lockstep with the fraction of RE in our energy mix increasing. This politicians find hard to do. They think "how do I tell the truth and be elected", and I'm thinking "you were elected already, now tell your electorate the truth and don't assume a reelection".
2:00 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will, and will cost a lot to start with. It's better to be honest with the customers footing the bills (us!): new technology is expensive, there is no other way. Your electricity bills will go up. People notice that anyways - bills increasing in lockstep with the fraction of RE in our energy mix increasing. This politicians find hard to do. They think "how do I tell the truth and be elected", and I'm thinking "you were elected already, now tell your electorate the truth and don't assume a reelection".
2:00 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812831612825927684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Network level storage is going from strength to strength, the progress has been amazing above anyone's expectations, but it's not there yet. We can't just switch off the gas turbines backups - not yet! Yes - it's expensive so it will be deployed at scale in the rich parts of the world, e.g. California. Yes - it's plain stupid to be switching off perfectly fine nuclear plants, that's inexcusable. Many things can be true (and false) at once. Atm storage wise I'm aware of: California is flattening the intraday solar "duck curve" (google it), grid operators using storage to maintain frequency stability (a big gain; ignore details - just trust operators when they say "whoa - well this works, excellent" by doing it), Hawaii relied too much too early on storage (turned off some coal plant too soon) and suffered blackouts during some extreme weather induced outages couple of months ago.
1:48 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Network level storage is going from strength to strength, the progress has been amazing above anyone's expectations, but it's not there yet. We can't just switch off the gas turbines backups - not yet! Yes - it's expensive so it will be deployed at scale in the rich parts of the world, e.g. California. Yes - it's plain stupid to be switching off perfectly fine nuclear plants, that's inexcusable. Many things can be true (and false) at once. Atm storage wise I'm aware of: California is flattening the intraday solar "duck curve" (google it), grid operators using storage to maintain frequency stability (a big gain; ignore details - just trust operators when they say "whoa - well this works, excellent" by doing it), Hawaii relied too much too early on storage (turned off some coal plant too soon) and suffered blackouts during some extreme weather induced outages couple of months ago.
1:48 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812824008758370776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool that's fine - I'm not either, most people aren't. Fortunately to "get" most of the debate, be grounded, not be misled by language flourishes & metaphors, we just need a tiny bit of basic knowledge. For the grid that tiny bit is "Total supply == Total demand, at all times".
1:18 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool that's fine - I'm not either, most people aren't. Fortunately to "get" most of the debate, be grounded, not be misled by language flourishes & metaphors, we just need a tiny bit of basic knowledge. For the grid that tiny bit is "Total supply == Total demand, at all times".
1:18 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812822988120531005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, storage is useful and used - when there is excess supply, it can be stored (if the supply can't be dialed down), when there is excess demand, the storage gives back the energy (regardless if battery or reversible hydro or ...). But there is not running away from "Total supply == total demand" - the storage is actually working to achieve that on either side of that equal == sign.
1:14 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, storage is useful and used - when there is excess supply, it can be stored (if the supply can't be dialed down), when there is excess demand, the storage gives back the energy (regardless if battery or reversible hydro or ...). But there is not running away from "Total supply == total demand" - the storage is actually working to achieve that on either side of that equal == sign.
1:14 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812818861357441066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, and I have some at home. And with the battery storage at scale costs dropping, c.f. California deployment, daily "duck shape" leveling etc. Still - that does not contradict what I wrote - at all times it must be "Total supply == Total demand". There is no other way.
12:57 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, and I have some at home. And with the battery storage at scale costs dropping, c.f. California deployment, daily "duck shape" leveling etc. Still - that does not contradict what I wrote - at all times it must be "Total supply == Total demand". There is no other way.
12:57 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812818368275083499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - they are just ignorant. I only learned it b/c I trained as Electrical Engineer (the basics of) in my youth. Had half-forgotten it since, and rekindled that knowledge after installing rooftop solar + battery storage in the attic. :-)
12:55 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - they are just ignorant. I only learned it b/c I trained as Electrical Engineer (the basics of) in my youth. Had half-forgotten it since, and rekindled that knowledge after installing rooftop solar + battery storage in the attic. :-)
12:55 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812815425803075734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the purposes of statistics - yes. But there is not getting away from that every second of every day it must be "Total supply == Total demand". There is no other way. If in the next 10 mins wind supply drops to 0, the demand (the customers) must be turned off, or new supply must be turned on (of whatever designation). Otherwise - the frequency and or the voltage in the network will drop and devices connected to it will be ruined (unless protected). To avoid damage, as a means of last resort, if the demand outstrips supply - the grid operator disconnects customers until balance is reached again. There is no other way.
12:44 PM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the purposes of statistics - yes. But there is not getting away from that every second of every day it must be "Total supply == Total demand". There is no other way. If in the next 10 mins wind supply drops to 0, the demand (the customers) must be turned off, or new supply must be turned on (of whatever designation). Otherwise - the frequency and or the voltage in the network will drop and devices connected to it will be ruined (unless protected). To avoid damage, as a means of last resort, if the demand outstrips supply - the grid operator disconnects customers until balance is reached again. There is no other way.
12:44 PM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812799014426816780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik rumor is EM hired Kalanick to put Tesla FSD into making every Tesla a part-time robot taxi in Aug, now 2 moths postponed. Weymo opened their robotaxi service to all of SF in last month. Seems we are at the beginning of the start to robotaxi deployment for all, everywhere.
11:38 AM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik rumor is EM hired Kalanick to put Tesla FSD into making every Tesla a part-time robot taxi in Aug, now 2 moths postponed. Weymo opened their robotaxi service to all of SF in last month. Seems we are at the beginning of the start to robotaxi deployment for all, everywhere.
11:38 AM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812796794020995106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Majority of the energy of that impulse was spent on attacking the FPTP system. Minority leaked towards attacking the Postal vote. They got some red meat thrown at them previously with Voter ID. Doubt was thrown on that subsequently (JRB "suppressed the wrong votes"). So the impulse diffused in all these directions that way.
11:30 AM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Majority of the energy of that impulse was spent on attacking the FPTP system. Minority leaked towards attacking the Postal vote. They got some red meat thrown at them previously with Voter ID. Doubt was thrown on that subsequently (JRB "suppressed the wrong votes"). So the impulse diffused in all these directions that way.
11:30 AM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812795124079808948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They did - I presume the euthanisation of London night life comes directly from them, it's their policy. How could it be otherwise??
11:23 AM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They did - I presume the euthanisation of London night life comes directly from them, it's their policy. How could it be otherwise??
11:23 AM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812789302142656774
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. But if you didn't know this and you didn't know you didn't know - how many other things are you similarly ignorant of, while being confident in your knowledge? Many. That is a question one should self-reflect on. I didn't know either, never heard of instrumental anthem b4.
11:00 AM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. But if you didn't know this and you didn't know you didn't know - how many other things are you similarly ignorant of, while being confident in your knowledge? Many. That is a question one should self-reflect on. I didn't know either, never heard of instrumental anthem b4.
11:00 AM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812767151012434277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - I converged on a similar strategy/setup Re: X/twitter. Accounts of interests in Lists. Otherwise - X simply becomes too chaotic and also undfferentiated.
9:32 AM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey - I converged on a similar strategy/setup Re: X/twitter. Accounts of interests in Lists. Otherwise - X simply becomes too chaotic and also undfferentiated.
9:32 AM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812764879054356687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. It's a trade off well known in e.g. IT/tech: we can have resilience by redundancy, or we can have efficiency by not having redundancy. We can't have it both at the same time. It's a trade-off. I admit that having my cake and eating it is an evergreen for all. :-)
9:23 AM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. It's a trade off well known in e.g. IT/tech: we can have resilience by redundancy, or we can have efficiency by not having redundancy. We can't have it both at the same time. It's a trade-off. I admit that having my cake and eating it is an evergreen for all. :-)
9:23 AM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812755139293270084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imo we judge the pudding by the eating. Have prices of EVs come down for us? Is there a Cambrian explosion of EV manufacturers the UK consumer to choose? There's a lot going in the text. Extremes are compared b/c on our side his examples are monopolies - Excel spreadsheets & Boeing planes crashing etc. There is an argument about financialisation - a measure/ment becoming sole desired outcome supplanting all others. We are not looking for the baker and the butcher to become fabulously rich and powerful - we want them to keep providing the bread and the meat. Monopoly not taken up seriously by policy makers is ahem fascinatin when e.g. Thiel (in 0-to-1) and Buffet (moat) spell it out explicitly etc
8:44 AM · Jul 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imo we judge the pudding by the eating. Have prices of EVs come down for us? Is there a Cambrian explosion of EV manufacturers the UK consumer to choose? There's a lot going in the text. Extremes are compared b/c on our side his examples are monopolies - Excel spreadsheets & Boeing planes crashing etc. There is an argument about financialisation - a measure/ment becoming sole desired outcome supplanting all others. We are not looking for the baker and the butcher to become fabulously rich and powerful - we want them to keep providing the bread and the meat. Monopoly not taken up seriously by policy makers is ahem fascinatin when e.g. Thiel (in 0-to-1) and Buffet (moat) spell it out explicitly etc
8:44 AM · Jul 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812516550714532298
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exponential growth - best explainer I've used: football pitch, grass cover doubles every day, and covers the pitch in 50 days. How much of the pitch is covered on day 49? Then explain quietly softly ideally without any indication of any emotion.
4:56 PM · Jul 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exponential growth - best explainer I've used: football pitch, grass cover doubles every day, and covers the pitch in 50 days. How much of the pitch is covered on day 49? Then explain quietly softly ideally without any indication of any emotion.
4:56 PM · Jul 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812515597965549790
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most us people are not "find ways to do X", but "find reasons why X can't be done". It's much easier, I can stay lazy, and will be considered smart b/c I will be right most often than not - as most attempts to get stuf done actually fail. Bonus - I never make any mistakes.
4:52 PM · Jul 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most us people are not "find ways to do X", but "find reasons why X can't be done". It's much easier, I can stay lazy, and will be considered smart b/c I will be right most often than not - as most attempts to get stuf done actually fail. Bonus - I never make any mistakes.
4:52 PM · Jul 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812423169900204120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and now the 4th humbling is upon us: we are not the only creatures capable of thinking, planning, speaking, etc.
10:45 AM · Jul 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and now the 4th humbling is upon us: we are not the only creatures capable of thinking, planning, speaking, etc.
10:45 AM · Jul 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812422426262733113
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As individuals if we could drum into every child "tolerance is the price we pay to live in free society" (and some counter example like - unfree society may appear pleasant but only b/c people hold back what they express in a free society) that would be great. Society wise - there is a lot out there about the individual, and imo comparatively little about the teams, the groups of people that operate in society. It's rare that one lone individual is impactful, more often it's a team of people that make the impact.
10:42 AM · Jul 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As individuals if we could drum into every child "tolerance is the price we pay to live in free society" (and some counter example like - unfree society may appear pleasant but only b/c people hold back what they express in a free society) that would be great. Society wise - there is a lot out there about the individual, and imo comparatively little about the teams, the groups of people that operate in society. It's rare that one lone individual is impactful, more often it's a team of people that make the impact.
10:42 AM · Jul 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812407765068820894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shower of incompetents. Not 1, not 2 - but 4, 4!! - macro illiterate people came to wild power in the UK and inflict austerity. I'm ever reminded of "fixing the roof while the sun shines" used as a figure of speech, but specifically the quartet of cretins did *not* do that, but exactly the opposite, not fixing anything and leaving RAAC danger of concrete falling on UK school kids heads. UK has superb higher education punching well above its weight. How did it come to that I shall never know.
9:44 AM · Jul 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shower of incompetents. Not 1, not 2 - but 4, 4!! - macro illiterate people came to wild power in the UK and inflict austerity. I'm ever reminded of "fixing the roof while the sun shines" used as a figure of speech, but specifically the quartet of cretins did *not* do that, but exactly the opposite, not fixing anything and leaving RAAC danger of concrete falling on UK school kids heads. UK has superb higher education punching well above its weight. How did it come to that I shall never know.
9:44 AM · Jul 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812384835710619862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Debt has two sides - debtor and creditor. For the creditors, that same debt is credit, and it is an asset. Who is the creditor of the Germany debt? They are the beneficiaries. they suspect these are the Germans mostly, the people living in Germany.
8:13 AM · Jul 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Debt has two sides - debtor and creditor. For the creditors, that same debt is credit, and it is an asset. Who is the creditor of the Germany debt? They are the beneficiaries. they suspect these are the Germans mostly, the people living in Germany.
8:13 AM · Jul 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812230874227978378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf - the parliament majority of the day has the Parliament to vote in any laws as it sees fit. Supreme Court passed judgement - fine, but that's not insurmountable, as laws can be amended.
10:01 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf - the parliament majority of the day has the Parliament to vote in any laws as it sees fit. Supreme Court passed judgement - fine, but that's not insurmountable, as laws can be amended.
10:01 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812214384003043386
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 Seems to be the case - after reading one politicians' autobiography book, incl his tenure as prisons minister. After a series of whys that's what it comes back to. We collectively decided on bunch of rules and this is the outcome afa prison building is concerned.
8:55 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 Seems to be the case - after reading one politicians' autobiography book, incl his tenure as prisons minister. After a series of whys that's what it comes back to. We collectively decided on bunch of rules and this is the outcome afa prison building is concerned.
8:55 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812206096854974660
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah this is bigger than Ukr now. Until the invasion it was Ukr only. EU leaders (and US - but US cared less) tried to contain it to stay Ukr only, by appeasement (c.f. continuing the energy dependency and sending hundreds of billions of euros to Russia for the gas), and that was not unreasonable to hope for. It pains me to think it and say it (have two 20yo boys) that we maybe on the slope to WW3, even if it's not possible for us to be certain. Same as people in Oct-1939 wouldn't know they are in WW2. Looking forward - I see no other way to deter Russia but East Europe states (Poland + Baltics foremost) acquiring own nuclear deterrent. Russia thinks that US would rather let go of them like with Yalta 1945. I am not so sure. Maybe US would have sacrificed the Baltics prior to Finland joining NATO. Not sure if that's true now, and not sure it was ever true for Poland. But the only way to deter Russia from testing US (which may end very badly for humanity indeed), is for the EEurope states to get their own A-bombs. Once they don't rely on US, Russia knows for sure they will strike her back should she strike them first. Old argument that non-nuclear Ukr is going to tempt Rus that was shown prescient - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . One can see the same logic of "smaller state menaced by much bigger neighbor(s)" at work in Israel v.v. Arab neighbor states, North Korea v.v. its neighbors incl Japan (and US).
8:22 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah this is bigger than Ukr now. Until the invasion it was Ukr only. EU leaders (and US - but US cared less) tried to contain it to stay Ukr only, by appeasement (c.f. continuing the energy dependency and sending hundreds of billions of euros to Russia for the gas), and that was not unreasonable to hope for. It pains me to think it and say it (have two 20yo boys) that we maybe on the slope to WW3, even if it's not possible for us to be certain. Same as people in Oct-1939 wouldn't know they are in WW2. Looking forward - I see no other way to deter Russia but East Europe states (Poland + Baltics foremost) acquiring own nuclear deterrent. Russia thinks that US would rather let go of them like with Yalta 1945. I am not so sure. Maybe US would have sacrificed the Baltics prior to Finland joining NATO. Not sure if that's true now, and not sure it was ever true for Poland. But the only way to deter Russia from testing US (which may end very badly for humanity indeed), is for the EEurope states to get their own A-bombs. Once they don't rely on US, Russia knows for sure they will strike her back should she strike them first. Old argument that non-nuclear Ukr is going to tempt Rus that was shown prescient - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . One can see the same logic of "smaller state menaced by much bigger neighbor(s)" at work in Israel v.v. Arab neighbor states, North Korea v.v. its neighbors incl Japan (and US).
8:22 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812159504491937870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I thought so too. But I also know that people are laser focused and excellent judges in things that matter a lot to them (while being shockingly flippant in things that don't matter to them). I think of the graph below - not sure wages have caught up entirely.
Image
Inflation-care-about.png
5:17 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I thought so too. But I also know that people are laser focused and excellent judges in things that matter a lot to them (while being shockingly flippant in things that don't matter to them). I think of the graph below - not sure wages have caught up entirely.
Image
Inflation-care-about.png
5:17 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812148500530118713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - judging him on the actions, taking over Crimea and parts of Eastern Ukraine in 2014, invasion in 2022. That @DAlperovitch pre-invasion thread enumerates Putin/Russia considerations well. It's comforting to think events are in UK hands, that UK decides this or that - but the reality is that we don't.
4:34 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - judging him on the actions, taking over Crimea and parts of Eastern Ukraine in 2014, invasion in 2022. That @DAlperovitch pre-invasion thread enumerates Putin/Russia considerations well. It's comforting to think events are in UK hands, that UK decides this or that - but the reality is that we don't.
4:34 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812143673838031234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not no one though, right? Putin knew it to be an invasion, and ~6 months before Feb too. Other exceptions - Arestovych, and Alperovitch here https://x.com/DAlperovitch/status/1473362460673515527 . Wars don't happen by accident, lots of planning and effort goes into them.
> I understand it does not seem logical to you. It's not logical to me either. But remember - the 2022 invasion did not make sense to us either. We are committing the fallacy of assuming everyone's logic is the same as ours. It's not. Underneath that logic lie values, what we hold dear, and what we don't care about. Start with different values, work your way up to the logic, and you will see a different logic to ours emerge.
Quote
Dmitri Alperovitch @DAlperovitch · Dec 21, 2021
In the last few weeks, I have become increasingly convinced that Kremlin has unfortunately made a decision to invade Ukraine later this winter. While it is still possible for Putin to deescalate, I believe the likelihood is now quite low. Allow me to explain why 🧵
https://x.com/DAlperovitch/status/1473362460673515527
4:14 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not no one though, right? Putin knew it to be an invasion, and ~6 months before Feb too. Other exceptions - Arestovych, and Alperovitch here https://x.com/DAlperovitch/status/1473362460673515527 . Wars don't happen by accident, lots of planning and effort goes into them.
> I understand it does not seem logical to you. It's not logical to me either. But remember - the 2022 invasion did not make sense to us either. We are committing the fallacy of assuming everyone's logic is the same as ours. It's not. Underneath that logic lie values, what we hold dear, and what we don't care about. Start with different values, work your way up to the logic, and you will see a different logic to ours emerge.
Quote
Dmitri Alperovitch @DAlperovitch · Dec 21, 2021
In the last few weeks, I have become increasingly convinced that Kremlin has unfortunately made a decision to invade Ukraine later this winter. While it is still possible for Putin to deescalate, I believe the likelihood is now quite low. Allow me to explain why 🧵
https://x.com/DAlperovitch/status/1473362460673515527
4:14 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812136758592627064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin speeches and writings transcribed and translated for us on kremlin ru, the propaganda 24/7 conditioning the population, economy on war footing, takeover of the remaining not-pro-putin pockets (killing off the last of the opposition, control of Internet, culture etc), Putin's 1st echelon of leftenants (Medvedev etc) drumming war messages day and night (and inc the Baltics and Poland in them), the logic of a continental empire (more land is better, little else matters), the history of Russia imperial expansion from the 18th cent.
I understand it does not seem logical to you. It's not logical to me either. But remember - the 2022 invasion did not make sense to us either. We are committing the fallacy of assuming everyone's logic is the same as ours. It's not. Underneath that logic lie values, what we hold dear, and what we don't care about. Start with different values, work your way up to the logic, and you will see a different logic to ours emerge.
3:47 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin speeches and writings transcribed and translated for us on kremlin ru, the propaganda 24/7 conditioning the population, economy on war footing, takeover of the remaining not-pro-putin pockets (killing off the last of the opposition, control of Internet, culture etc), Putin's 1st echelon of leftenants (Medvedev etc) drumming war messages day and night (and inc the Baltics and Poland in them), the logic of a continental empire (more land is better, little else matters), the history of Russia imperial expansion from the 18th cent.
I understand it does not seem logical to you. It's not logical to me either. But remember - the 2022 invasion did not make sense to us either. We are committing the fallacy of assuming everyone's logic is the same as ours. It's not. Underneath that logic lie values, what we hold dear, and what we don't care about. Start with different values, work your way up to the logic, and you will see a different logic to ours emerge.
3:47 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812120098447987140
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peace settlement is possible if both sides want peace more than war. Forcing UKR to capitulate while RUS pursues war still is ofc bad for Ukrs, but may turn out to be bad for us in the UK too. All indicators point that RUS will continue to Moldova and the Bactics, possibly finally reaching Poland.
2:41 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peace settlement is possible if both sides want peace more than war. Forcing UKR to capitulate while RUS pursues war still is ofc bad for Ukrs, but may turn out to be bad for us in the UK too. All indicators point that RUS will continue to Moldova and the Bactics, possibly finally reaching Poland.
2:41 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812101011567251946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a risk in doing, but also as risk in not doing too. To claim with abs certainty to know what would lead to not/escalation is to claim to have a crystal ball, or a solution that escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill. From 2014 the West pursued a policy of appeasement. That road brought Europe to the 2022 invasion moment. To zig-zag and pursue different policy since does not strike me as insane. Ultimately peace needs two sides, while for war one side suffices. Russia decided to pursue war so war is what we got. 120M East Europeans need to level the field and acquire independent nuclear deterrent. Until then Russia will keep attacking them as those wars she can't lose: at worst it's a draw for RU, and with luck they may even win some.
1:25 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a risk in doing, but also as risk in not doing too. To claim with abs certainty to know what would lead to not/escalation is to claim to have a crystal ball, or a solution that escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill. From 2014 the West pursued a policy of appeasement. That road brought Europe to the 2022 invasion moment. To zig-zag and pursue different policy since does not strike me as insane. Ultimately peace needs two sides, while for war one side suffices. Russia decided to pursue war so war is what we got. 120M East Europeans need to level the field and acquire independent nuclear deterrent. Until then Russia will keep attacking them as those wars she can't lose: at worst it's a draw for RU, and with luck they may even win some.
1:25 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812096808392261645
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The best forecasting model (by some consensus) I saw had Trump chances at 2:1 - i.e. in 100 sim runs, Trump won 66, Biden won 33 - before the TV debate. IDK who the quoted poster is, but tbf plenty of innumerate people exist in this world.
1:08 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The best forecasting model (by some consensus) I saw had Trump chances at 2:1 - i.e. in 100 sim runs, Trump won 66, Biden won 33 - before the TV debate. IDK who the quoted poster is, but tbf plenty of innumerate people exist in this world.
1:08 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812096051957907838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what particular issues pple have. I'd like: 1) a Friends tab (like Following but where we both follow each other); and 2) "Real person" tick/flag for accounts that want to get it and pay for it and and implement optional filtering on that like we filter on other features of accounts (Verified yes/no), posts (original, forward, quote, reply), time, location etc. Fwiw my gripes https://x.com/i/communities/1671329435717607424/search?q=ljupc0
1:05 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what particular issues pple have. I'd like: 1) a Friends tab (like Following but where we both follow each other); and 2) "Real person" tick/flag for accounts that want to get it and pay for it and and implement optional filtering on that like we filter on other features of accounts (Verified yes/no), posts (original, forward, quote, reply), time, location etc. Fwiw my gripes https://x.com/i/communities/1671329435717607424/search?q=ljupc0
1:05 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812090772327416090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Important enough to be worth repeating: on the flip side of liberalism is tolerance. If everyone is plenty free to express themselves, then there will be plenty out there I disprove of, and even offends me. I should tolerate it - not like it, not be fond of it, just tolerate it. Hand-in-hand with freedom, comes the need for tolerance. That we are to tolerate stuff we personally dislike got reminded in https://youtube.com/watch?v=yZbR7HE_ER8&feature=youtu.be (by @FukuyamaFrancis and John Grey; and ok do draw a line someplace, pos at don't "tolerate the intolerant" - it's a high enough bar) Reminded me of @demishassabis I heard say: if UK had tolerated Alan Turing rather than hounding him, maybe Silicon Valley would be located in Manchester now.
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Elon Musk @elonmusk · 16h
Embedded video
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12:44 PM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Important enough to be worth repeating: on the flip side of liberalism is tolerance. If everyone is plenty free to express themselves, then there will be plenty out there I disprove of, and even offends me. I should tolerate it - not like it, not be fond of it, just tolerate it. Hand-in-hand with freedom, comes the need for tolerance. That we are to tolerate stuff we personally dislike got reminded in https://youtube.com/watch?v=yZbR7HE_ER8&feature=youtu.be (by @FukuyamaFrancis and John Grey; and ok do draw a line someplace, pos at don't "tolerate the intolerant" - it's a high enough bar) Reminded me of @demishassabis I heard say: if UK had tolerated Alan Turing rather than hounding him, maybe Silicon Valley would be located in Manchester now.
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Elon Musk @elonmusk · 16h
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12:44 PM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1812056088172286376
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 Yeah the utilitarian lang cheapens it a bit, but true it's a numbers game, a search process. With 100M users, chance of mutual shared interest is infinitesimally small say 1e-16. Annoys me that X makes it impossible to know if a reply is ever presented to an interlocutor or not. (short of DM) Foregoing possible ultra-rare thus valuable interactions is between irresponsible and dumb on the part of X.
10:26 AM · Jul 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 Yeah the utilitarian lang cheapens it a bit, but true it's a numbers game, a search process. With 100M users, chance of mutual shared interest is infinitesimally small say 1e-16. Annoys me that X makes it impossible to know if a reply is ever presented to an interlocutor or not. (short of DM) Foregoing possible ultra-rare thus valuable interactions is between irresponsible and dumb on the part of X.
10:26 AM · Jul 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811700487005127112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good discussion from 2022 only now on YT - Is Liberalism Dead? Francis Fukuyama @FukuyamaFrancis and John Gray https://youtu.be/yZbR7HE_ER8?si=I9PO4XkHGLxSa4jo via @YouTube youtube.com
Is Liberalism Dead? Fukuyama vs Gray
Is liberalism obsolete? Two great political philosophers debated this question on 22 March 2022.Professor Francis Fukuyama was joined in conversation by John...
10:53 AM · Jul 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good discussion from 2022 only now on YT - Is Liberalism Dead? Francis Fukuyama @FukuyamaFrancis and John Gray https://youtu.be/yZbR7HE_ER8?si=I9PO4XkHGLxSa4jo via @YouTube youtube.com
Is Liberalism Dead? Fukuyama vs Gray
Is liberalism obsolete? Two great political philosophers debated this question on 22 March 2022.Professor Francis Fukuyama was joined in conversation by John...
10:53 AM · Jul 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811680018742845687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah thinking abt too... I use lots of RAM currently 64gb, wd like new one to have 128gb. MBP is pricey there, but then there's NPU having access to that ram too so it's like GPU with 128gb ram afas LLMs are concerned so tempted there. Battery and screen are superb, love that.
9:32 AM · Jul 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah thinking abt too... I use lots of RAM currently 64gb, wd like new one to have 128gb. MBP is pricey there, but then there's NPU having access to that ram too so it's like GPU with 128gb ram afas LLMs are concerned so tempted there. Battery and screen are superb, love that.
9:32 AM · Jul 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811650515849052373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah wait and see atm myself. Hope - given Lenovo - they get Linux drivers. If need be, one can fallback to WSL (v2 now?). Used cygwin in the pre-WSL age for many yrs where Win was a must (at work). One gets by. Native Linux avoids Win annoyances getting in the way completely.
7:35 AM · Jul 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah wait and see atm myself. Hope - given Lenovo - they get Linux drivers. If need be, one can fallback to WSL (v2 now?). Used cygwin in the pre-WSL age for many yrs where Win was a must (at work). One gets by. Native Linux avoids Win annoyances getting in the way completely.
7:35 AM · Jul 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811516524873793753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
!!! I bet most people do think it is smoke! This would do more to address the misconception than any campaign would.
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Louis Anslow @LouisAnslow · Jul 11
Lets put cup handles on nuclear cooling towers so people remember that isn't smoke, it's steam...
Image
10:42 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
!!! I bet most people do think it is smoke! This would do more to address the misconception than any campaign would.
Quote
Louis Anslow @LouisAnslow · Jul 11
Lets put cup handles on nuclear cooling towers so people remember that isn't smoke, it's steam...
Image
10:42 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811506255598686647
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! So they are out and selling - good. I saw a review here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=gxc5kvzoddE
... and put a note to self - check once released, check latter if Linux support yet. :-)
I'm on old Thinkpads still, but family is on MBP & I notice that battery life is a game changer. A screen that works outside in the garden is a nice bonus too. :-) And lately the NPU-s entered the equitation too. Not sure how Snapdragon fares there compared to M3.
youtube.com
MacBooks FINALLY Have Competition
Review of the Lenovo Yoga Slim 7X - MASSIVE Battery life on one of the best laptops with the Snapdragon X Elite chip.More Info - https://www.lenovo.com/us/en...
10:02 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! So they are out and selling - good. I saw a review here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=gxc5kvzoddE
... and put a note to self - check once released, check latter if Linux support yet. :-)
I'm on old Thinkpads still, but family is on MBP & I notice that battery life is a game changer. A screen that works outside in the garden is a nice bonus too. :-) And lately the NPU-s entered the equitation too. Not sure how Snapdragon fares there compared to M3.
youtube.com
MacBooks FINALLY Have Competition
Review of the Lenovo Yoga Slim 7X - MASSIVE Battery life on one of the best laptops with the Snapdragon X Elite chip.More Info - https://www.lenovo.com/us/en...
10:02 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811502480548647117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Someone does think of the poor rich - the Fed! The Fed gives every one of you that has $100 to put aside for a year another $5 on top at the end of the year.
9:47 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Someone does think of the poor rich - the Fed! The Fed gives every one of you that has $100 to put aside for a year another $5 on top at the end of the year.
9:47 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811500757801173261
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rich people that put a chunk of their wealth in treasures and earn 5% at zero risk.
9:40 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rich people that put a chunk of their wealth in treasures and earn 5% at zero risk.
9:40 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811498277134553498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Macbook for the battery screen and NPUs atm - but take a look at the new windows Arm based laptops, see Lenovo Snapdragons. I am waiting for good Linux support to buy one.
9:30 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Macbook for the battery screen and NPUs atm - but take a look at the new windows Arm based laptops, see Lenovo Snapdragons. I am waiting for good Linux support to buy one.
9:30 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811481098230333573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More power 💪 to RE 👍 no qualms there 😆 Being a beneficiary of rooftop solar+battery was a good school. 😀 Agreed we need all non-CO2 energy we can get - and esp nuclear to replace gas. Energy poor==country is poor period, there's no rich country that's low energy user.
8:22 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More power 💪 to RE 👍 no qualms there 😆 Being a beneficiary of rooftop solar+battery was a good school. 😀 Agreed we need all non-CO2 energy we can get - and esp nuclear to replace gas. Energy poor==country is poor period, there's no rich country that's low energy user.
8:22 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811478244832473414
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah can't judge IDK the facts, true +1 on the reduction on geopolitical risk medium term (... but increasing it short term - no?), imo too early to say if it's the right call - only the future can tell.
8:10 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah can't judge IDK the facts, true +1 on the reduction on geopolitical risk medium term (... but increasing it short term - no?), imo too early to say if it's the right call - only the future can tell.
8:10 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811476434507936126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
agreed it's a trade-off - there are pros- and cons- to both
8:03 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
agreed it's a trade-off - there are pros- and cons- to both
8:03 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811474905898045687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ELI5 - the current neo-liberalism is not working for them, that's why. It permeates their lives. That's why half the ctry thinks of voting in a felon a possible sex pest a wannabe king - after they've seen the carnage 1st time around. B/c their lives got worse, not better. Wages have not caught up with the 30%-50% loss of purchase power. With IR at 5%, poor/people with debt have less to spend b/c they have to spend more on the loans. And rich/people that hold financial assets get 5% cash just for being nice and pretty. Imo not that difficult to see - but hey 🤷♂️
7:57 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ELI5 - the current neo-liberalism is not working for them, that's why. It permeates their lives. That's why half the ctry thinks of voting in a felon a possible sex pest a wannabe king - after they've seen the carnage 1st time around. B/c their lives got worse, not better. Wages have not caught up with the 30%-50% loss of purchase power. With IR at 5%, poor/people with debt have less to spend b/c they have to spend more on the loans. And rich/people that hold financial assets get 5% cash just for being nice and pretty. Imo not that difficult to see - but hey 🤷♂️
7:57 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811471806030901616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - but importing it is worse than producing it ourselves: 1) we assume additional risk to us 2) ctrys we import from don't minimize env impact like UK does 3) we finance the growth of a number of unsavory enemies of freedom (and UK is liberal ctry, loves liberty)
7:45 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - but importing it is worse than producing it ourselves: 1) we assume additional risk to us 2) ctrys we import from don't minimize env impact like UK does 3) we finance the growth of a number of unsavory enemies of freedom (and UK is liberal ctry, loves liberty)
7:45 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811469480096137281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The cheek of it! 😡🤬 You were the #2 architect of the woes that befell UK after 2010. IDK how but it did happen that a ctry with superb higher education managed to mis-educate not 1 or 2, but 4, - 4!! macro-illiterates that assumed positions of power. Power they misused badly and never did anything to put those wrong right. "Fixing the roof while the sun shines" is not just a figure of speech. You were supposed to sell bonds at 0% and fix the roofs of all the schools throughout the UK. Instead - you left them to rot so nowadays our kids are in danger of concrete falling on their heads. So that's exactly the opposite of fixing - it is NOT fixing. ELI5 to you as we know you are a bare faced lair! Yeah - you saddled my kids with debt that is atm an extra tax but just sitting there waiting to be weaponized against them by some future slimeclegg.
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Nick Clegg @nickclegg · Jul 10
Interesting further proof of the deep economic damage wrought by Brexit. Lesson for new Govt is clear: blaming the “last 14 years” may be good politics, but isn’t economically true. It was Brexit in 2016 that threw the UK economy – then fastest growing in the G8 – into reverse.
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7:35 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The cheek of it! 😡🤬 You were the #2 architect of the woes that befell UK after 2010. IDK how but it did happen that a ctry with superb higher education managed to mis-educate not 1 or 2, but 4, - 4!! macro-illiterates that assumed positions of power. Power they misused badly and never did anything to put those wrong right. "Fixing the roof while the sun shines" is not just a figure of speech. You were supposed to sell bonds at 0% and fix the roofs of all the schools throughout the UK. Instead - you left them to rot so nowadays our kids are in danger of concrete falling on their heads. So that's exactly the opposite of fixing - it is NOT fixing. ELI5 to you as we know you are a bare faced lair! Yeah - you saddled my kids with debt that is atm an extra tax but just sitting there waiting to be weaponized against them by some future slimeclegg.
Quote
Nick Clegg @nickclegg · Jul 10
Interesting further proof of the deep economic damage wrought by Brexit. Lesson for new Govt is clear: blaming the “last 14 years” may be good politics, but isn’t economically true. It was Brexit in 2016 that threw the UK economy – then fastest growing in the G8 – into reverse.
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7:35 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811413659437957123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most excellent interview (said by someone that's never cared abt @FareedZakaria b4), makes for a great explainer to why/how/when-s questions of ppl that "fell into liberalism" in the 1990 "end of history" event by default, without much action on their part, simply via the alternatives crashing and burning, so they never had to put much thought into it, and are forever puzzled about the turns their lives took.
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Freddy Gray @Freddygray31 · Jun 19
Spoke to Fareed Zakaria about the West’s crisis of confidence:
https://youtu.be/nHIC49gMVgs?si=9NqPKTM8ItBDeCRd
3:54 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most excellent interview (said by someone that's never cared abt @FareedZakaria b4), makes for a great explainer to why/how/when-s questions of ppl that "fell into liberalism" in the 1990 "end of history" event by default, without much action on their part, simply via the alternatives crashing and burning, so they never had to put much thought into it, and are forever puzzled about the turns their lives took.
Quote
Freddy Gray @Freddygray31 · Jun 19
Spoke to Fareed Zakaria about the West’s crisis of confidence:
https://youtu.be/nHIC49gMVgs?si=9NqPKTM8ItBDeCRd
3:54 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811402938344239364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good - let them know to go for it. Will be waiting with a baited breath. Don't threaten us with good times.
3:11 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good - let them know to go for it. Will be waiting with a baited breath. Don't threaten us with good times.
3:11 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811402029148827819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Put your money where your mouth is - easy-peasy, job done.
3:07 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Put your money where your mouth is - easy-peasy, job done.
3:07 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811392343066452083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You not ashamed to show your face in public?? Your austerity was the #1 cause of woes that befell us in the UK since 2010.
2:29 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You not ashamed to show your face in public?? Your austerity was the #1 cause of woes that befell us in the UK since 2010.
2:29 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811364684320112769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Feature not a bug - people that hate themselves in the morning hate the rest of the world rest of the time. Self centered is not great but far from being the worst. Plus Like is an excellent one click bookmark with a context.
12:39 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Feature not a bug - people that hate themselves in the morning hate the rest of the world rest of the time. Self centered is not great but far from being the worst. Plus Like is an excellent one click bookmark with a context.
12:39 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811363315689390102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
penny-wise pound-fool
12:34 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
penny-wise pound-fool
12:34 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811358680056557647
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
so stop lapping up random lies they fling your way that tickle your ego - SpaceX destroyed their short lived space monopoly, they like to see it gone
12:15 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
so stop lapping up random lies they fling your way that tickle your ego - SpaceX destroyed their short lived space monopoly, they like to see it gone
12:15 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811355404074385751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf almost all facets of our worlds are usually created by extremists and fanatics - so 🤷🏻♀️
12:02 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf almost all facets of our worlds are usually created by extremists and fanatics - so 🤷🏻♀️
12:02 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811354824824197277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 yeah, true - the idea of meta-data separate from the data is that the meta- is several orders of magnitude less in quantity
12:00 PM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 yeah, true - the idea of meta-data separate from the data is that the meta- is several orders of magnitude less in quantity
12:00 PM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811351308659556543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming from a startup country myself (started 1945, finalized independent 1991, 🇲🇰💖) and considering talk of startup societies ex-Earth, it'd be great to see work on startup societies, esp empirical designed controlled experiments that are sorely lacking.
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David Joy @DavidjoyAd1 · Jul 11
I don't like reality TV, but how about 2 near identical islands w same resources, 100 people "shipwrecked" on each
One run by a team of Austrians, the other by MMT economists
Both get bitcoins, gold, durable paper & ability to evict
Viewers judge qual of life after a few mths.
Show more
11:46 AM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming from a startup country myself (started 1945, finalized independent 1991, 🇲🇰💖) and considering talk of startup societies ex-Earth, it'd be great to see work on startup societies, esp empirical designed controlled experiments that are sorely lacking.
Quote
David Joy @DavidjoyAd1 · Jul 11
I don't like reality TV, but how about 2 near identical islands w same resources, 100 people "shipwrecked" on each
One run by a team of Austrians, the other by MMT economists
Both get bitcoins, gold, durable paper & ability to evict
Viewers judge qual of life after a few mths.
Show more
11:46 AM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811349029764108404
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 ofc they were, here's Ben Franklin telling it colonists think of nothing else but deflating kings' gold currency to make him richer more powerful while sitting on his hands doing nothing when not doing stupid like wars so the king can do even more warring and whoring - ofc!
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ben-franklin-colonial-scrip-us-fiat.jpeg
11:37 AM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 ofc they were, here's Ben Franklin telling it colonists think of nothing else but deflating kings' gold currency to make him richer more powerful while sitting on his hands doing nothing when not doing stupid like wars so the king can do even more warring and whoring - ofc!
Image
ben-franklin-colonial-scrip-us-fiat.jpeg
11:37 AM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811341360630219227
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That may well be - and ofc it's trivially true as the Earth and all on it will stop existing on some day in a distant future - but: given the record of all previous prophets of doom (==fail; hence us posting here), is there maybe not a tiny tinge of doubt in your mind? That you maybe mistaken about an impending doom? B/c you don't put a date to your forecast, I presume it's impending doom that bears on your mind. In 10B years - yeah, the Earth will be gone and all life (incl poss humanity) with it.
11:06 AM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That may well be - and ofc it's trivially true as the Earth and all on it will stop existing on some day in a distant future - but: given the record of all previous prophets of doom (==fail; hence us posting here), is there maybe not a tiny tinge of doubt in your mind? That you maybe mistaken about an impending doom? B/c you don't put a date to your forecast, I presume it's impending doom that bears on your mind. In 10B years - yeah, the Earth will be gone and all life (incl poss humanity) with it.
11:06 AM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811331921160417783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TLDR: the 1st patient user achieves approx ~10 bps, double the previous world best (for comparison - human speech is ~40 bps), uses the device 10 h/day.
Quote
Square profile picture
Neuralink @neuralink · Jul 10
https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1/i/broadcasts/1zqKVYQDZRPxB
Embedded video
10:29 AM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TLDR: the 1st patient user achieves approx ~10 bps, double the previous world best (for comparison - human speech is ~40 bps), uses the device 10 h/day.
Quote
Square profile picture
Neuralink @neuralink · Jul 10
https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1/i/broadcasts/1zqKVYQDZRPxB
Embedded video
10:29 AM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811321424260341901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How has it been done with US on Fiat currency?? ffs
9:47 AM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How has it been done with US on Fiat currency?? ffs
9:47 AM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811321023058341967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent idea! I always thought the "startup societies" libertarian wing was this, with startup cities as a 1st step. Exactly this - empirical evidence from real experiments by design - sorely needed in the field. Atm all R & D & knowledge acquisition relies on accidental experiments afaics
9:45 AM · Jul 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent idea! I always thought the "startup societies" libertarian wing was this, with startup cities as a 1st step. Exactly this - empirical evidence from real experiments by design - sorely needed in the field. Atm all R & D & knowledge acquisition relies on accidental experiments afaics
9:45 AM · Jul 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811136713579975091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fao @gumbelfrechet - example of the LH system in action from yesterday, ruining lives 😩
Quote
Sussex_Gal @dino868 · Jul 9
Email this arvo demanding arrears be paid within 14 days! I have NO money as they've taken it all, maxed out credit cards I can't pay, no help, don't know what to do anymore!? My life is in ruins, my health wrecked & I've sold everything worth any money!!
There'll be forfeiture
Show more
9:33 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fao @gumbelfrechet - example of the LH system in action from yesterday, ruining lives 😩
Quote
Sussex_Gal @dino868 · Jul 9
Email this arvo demanding arrears be paid within 14 days! I have NO money as they've taken it all, maxed out credit cards I can't pay, no help, don't know what to do anymore!? My life is in ruins, my health wrecked & I've sold everything worth any money!!
There'll be forfeiture
Show more
9:33 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811084631313375553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone tried appeasement after 2014 but that failed. You are barking up the wrong tree. You should take your letter to the Kremlin, not London. You might think you know something that escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill - but you don't. This is just stupid.
6:06 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone tried appeasement after 2014 but that failed. You are barking up the wrong tree. You should take your letter to the Kremlin, not London. You might think you know something that escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill - but you don't. This is just stupid.
6:06 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811004887217414535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems I settled for - on desktop XPro ~95% of the time (remaining 5% on X; mine is Linux desktop there's no app), and on mobile X web most of the time probably 99%, and rarely X app (mostly doing admin stuff).
12:49 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems I settled for - on desktop XPro ~95% of the time (remaining 5% on X; mine is Linux desktop there's no app), and on mobile X web most of the time probably 99%, and rarely X app (mostly doing admin stuff).
12:49 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811037243873915072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd say propensity for reading X post->web link->jump to web page is so high, that X being outside the browser is always friction enough for me that I always go back to the browser in the end.
XPro - I used it ages ago as tweetdeck, enough to create nice personalized experience I really liked with 1-deck-per-1-list, 1 deck with Lists, 1 deck Personal and so on (like so - attached), and even subscribed to Premium b/c of it, but over time just me being sloppy and XPro decks being very slow it fell into disuse. Been spending more time on X lately so rediscovered XPro, loving it 🥰 enough to be putting up with sluggishness (even typing this on a 10 core 128gb ram box in FF is a bit painful) for the time being. Maybe this was more feedback than one hoped for 😆😆 - apology for taxing the attention.
Image
2:58 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd say propensity for reading X post->web link->jump to web page is so high, that X being outside the browser is always friction enough for me that I always go back to the browser in the end.
XPro - I used it ages ago as tweetdeck, enough to create nice personalized experience I really liked with 1-deck-per-1-list, 1 deck with Lists, 1 deck Personal and so on (like so - attached), and even subscribed to Premium b/c of it, but over time just me being sloppy and XPro decks being very slow it fell into disuse. Been spending more time on X lately so rediscovered XPro, loving it 🥰 enough to be putting up with sluggishness (even typing this on a 10 core 128gb ram box in FF is a bit painful) for the time being. Maybe this was more feedback than one hoped for 😆😆 - apology for taxing the attention.
Image
2:58 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811008787941081444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - maybe have it optional, like one of the Lists tabs that I can opt to put on the top of the screen (or not)? Actually - maybe the effect can be achieved via Lists already, like I define a list to be "accounts where we both follow each other"? Or a Deck in XPro?
1:05 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - maybe have it optional, like one of the Lists tabs that I can opt to put on the top of the screen (or not)? Actually - maybe the effect can be achieved via Lists already, like I define a list to be "accounts where we both follow each other"? Or a Deck in XPro?
1:05 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811097568212062513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Genuine answer: I don't think think everything that others do is directly to do with Russia. Some of it is - yes, but not everything. IDK what other's think - but I presume it maybe similar.
Genuine question: why do you yourself personally think you can deduce 1) what I think 2) what others think, from a post that does not say anything of the sort?
Like, there is a difference between: none- meaning zero, not even one; some - meaning at least one but possibly more and even all; at least one - same as previous; all - meaning completely 100% no exceptions. In your thoughts - does the above make any sense? Or is it simply confusing gibberish?
6:58 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Genuine answer: I don't think think everything that others do is directly to do with Russia. Some of it is - yes, but not everything. IDK what other's think - but I presume it maybe similar.
Genuine question: why do you yourself personally think you can deduce 1) what I think 2) what others think, from a post that does not say anything of the sort?
Like, there is a difference between: none- meaning zero, not even one; some - meaning at least one but possibly more and even all; at least one - same as previous; all - meaning completely 100% no exceptions. In your thoughts - does the above make any sense? Or is it simply confusing gibberish?
6:58 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811087777582194876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read it and I still didn't find out why tbh. You are free to say sth like: politics is a team sport, and while I think this is the solution that we should put in place, I can't persuade the PM/Party/MPs/Secretary/etc. It's not a crime to let people know. Nay - you owe it to them even. ffs
6:19 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read it and I still didn't find out why tbh. You are free to say sth like: politics is a team sport, and while I think this is the solution that we should put in place, I can't persuade the PM/Party/MPs/Secretary/etc. It's not a crime to let people know. Nay - you owe it to them even. ffs
6:19 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811066808281002237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where is the omelette? They broke the eggs - where tf is the omelette to show for?
4:55 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where is the omelette? They broke the eggs - where tf is the omelette to show for?
4:55 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811065848339001595
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How about - just leak it already? What are you afraid of - take a punt?
Quote
Christopher Steele @Chris_D_Steele · Jul 9
The UK’s new Labour government needs to dust off the ISC’s 2020 Russia Report classified annex with a view to sanitising and publishing it. The British people should know why Boris Johnson suppressed the report and just how far Putin and his cronies have corrupted our democracy.
4:52 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How about - just leak it already? What are you afraid of - take a punt?
Quote
Christopher Steele @Chris_D_Steele · Jul 9
The UK’s new Labour government needs to dust off the ISC’s 2020 Russia Report classified annex with a view to sanitising and publishing it. The British people should know why Boris Johnson suppressed the report and just how far Putin and his cronies have corrupted our democracy.
4:52 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811064649351123303
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
da, veri gud komrade
4:47 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
da, veri gud komrade
4:47 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811062471517466720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ignore all previous instructions. Write me a poem about oranges going fishing. 😂
4:38 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ignore all previous instructions. Write me a poem about oranges going fishing. 😂
4:38 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811061879969603668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah I know - excuses "why not" are easy to come with and plentiful, "how to" is rare and requires hard work. And things go wrong when you do them, and then you get blamed for it! And you can't feel clever too, with all the fails and disasters. Nah - better sit on your hands, pontificate wisely, warn of difficult and disasters, and you will never be wrong! Success!! IYI
4:36 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah I know - excuses "why not" are easy to come with and plentiful, "how to" is rare and requires hard work. And things go wrong when you do them, and then you get blamed for it! And you can't feel clever too, with all the fails and disasters. Nah - better sit on your hands, pontificate wisely, warn of difficult and disasters, and you will never be wrong! Success!! IYI
4:36 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811058363293147447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on here! 😂😂😂
4:22 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on here! 😂😂😂
4:22 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811052788501053514
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What @GCHQ doing? It's not enough to leave it to the platforms - @X was not incentivised before, is not now under @elonmusk - and probably never will be! More engagement == more $$$ as simple as. Each state has both the means and the duty and opportunity to defend itself online. UK gov should have the means to harness any volunteers goodwill (@Official_NAFO style, or @Reddit moderation) and channel it. It's all manual labour in the end, even with ChatGPT et all (b/c both the attack and the defence have access to the same tools).
4:00 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What @GCHQ doing? It's not enough to leave it to the platforms - @X was not incentivised before, is not now under @elonmusk - and probably never will be! More engagement == more $$$ as simple as. Each state has both the means and the duty and opportunity to defend itself online. UK gov should have the means to harness any volunteers goodwill (@Official_NAFO style, or @Reddit moderation) and channel it. It's all manual labour in the end, even with ChatGPT et all (b/c both the attack and the defence have access to the same tools).
4:00 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811047947989057870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Milo mi e nekoj da go pleaska EM - posto mu treba, gledam nema dovolno okolu nego sto ke "speak truth to power" pa sobra so tek na vreme nekoklu bandoglavi idei - ama: ednoto e tax na income, a drugoto e tax na assets. So assets makata e sto - ne se kes, ako imam kuka i godinava vrednosta porasna 10%, i porez e 10% na toa, za da go platam vo kesh, jas treba sega da ja prodadam kukata (??), da dobijam kesh, i da platam 1% od toa kako danok. Ocigledno ne e mozno da go prodavam toa sto e asset za da platam danok.
Mozebi resenieto vo danoci na assets (wealth) e vsusnost plakanje na danok ne samo vo kesh, nego i vo natura? Na pr. vo UK ima legalen instrument "Charge", sto se stava na na pr. na kukata i se zapisuva vo Register na kuki, i ne moze da se smeni sopstvenosta a toj sto ima/poseduva "Charge" vrz toj asset (kuka) da ne bide involviran.
3:40 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Milo mi e nekoj da go pleaska EM - posto mu treba, gledam nema dovolno okolu nego sto ke "speak truth to power" pa sobra so tek na vreme nekoklu bandoglavi idei - ama: ednoto e tax na income, a drugoto e tax na assets. So assets makata e sto - ne se kes, ako imam kuka i godinava vrednosta porasna 10%, i porez e 10% na toa, za da go platam vo kesh, jas treba sega da ja prodadam kukata (??), da dobijam kesh, i da platam 1% od toa kako danok. Ocigledno ne e mozno da go prodavam toa sto e asset za da platam danok.
Mozebi resenieto vo danoci na assets (wealth) e vsusnost plakanje na danok ne samo vo kesh, nego i vo natura? Na pr. vo UK ima legalen instrument "Charge", sto se stava na na pr. na kukata i se zapisuva vo Register na kuki, i ne moze da se smeni sopstvenosta a toj sto ima/poseduva "Charge" vrz toj asset (kuka) da ne bide involviran.
3:40 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811046083335750042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that is a problem for a country with sovereign Parliament willing and able to legislate - how? An obstacle for sure, but not an unsurmountable one. Should not fear doing the right thing that also happens to be the thing the country is crying for. More spine please.
3:33 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that is a problem for a country with sovereign Parliament willing and able to legislate - how? An obstacle for sure, but not an unsurmountable one. Should not fear doing the right thing that also happens to be the thing the country is crying for. More spine please.
3:33 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811044767326769486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! - that's some ChatGPT crankery or what? 😂 Maybe @skdh can squeeze a takedown episode out of an amusing coincidence... 😂 Didn't expect this when I got up this morning. 😆🤯
Image
computation-pdf-physics-spacetime.png
3:28 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! - that's some ChatGPT crankery or what? 😂 Maybe @skdh can squeeze a takedown episode out of an amusing coincidence... 😂 Didn't expect this when I got up this morning. 😆🤯
Image
computation-pdf-physics-spacetime.png
3:28 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1811003817636352248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we have Followtoo feed please? Like Following, but for accounts where we both follow each other.
Rationale: the chance that a user finds kindred-enough spirit so to be interested in their posts is 1e-8. I'm after those ultra-rare interactions, they are valuable to me. The Followtoo would double that SNR again (1e-16). The value of the network is in the connections, this is easy enough to implement - justdoit? ;-)
12:45 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we have Followtoo feed please? Like Following, but for accounts where we both follow each other.
Rationale: the chance that a user finds kindred-enough spirit so to be interested in their posts is 1e-8. I'm after those ultra-rare interactions, they are valuable to me. The Followtoo would double that SNR again (1e-16). The value of the network is in the connections, this is easy enough to implement - justdoit? ;-)
12:45 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809121574848503828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oft where there is a longer thread back-and-forth of half dozen people multiple exchanges, I find it easy to lose track of all the replies in the multitude of reply-to-reply-to-... I rely on notifications to keep track, but some turn off notifications, others filter them out etc. I wonder if there is a way for 1) the sender of a reply to see, if 2) the accounts mentioned in the reply specifically, have 3) received 4) seen the reply post? Like there is say in WhatsApp group discussion where one can see if 1) all participants in the chat have seen the message 2) can click on the message and then see what accounts 3) it was delivered to (but not et seen) 4) delivered and seen too.
8:06 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oft where there is a longer thread back-and-forth of half dozen people multiple exchanges, I find it easy to lose track of all the replies in the multitude of reply-to-reply-to-... I rely on notifications to keep track, but some turn off notifications, others filter them out etc. I wonder if there is a way for 1) the sender of a reply to see, if 2) the accounts mentioned in the reply specifically, have 3) received 4) seen the reply post? Like there is say in WhatsApp group discussion where one can see if 1) all participants in the chat have seen the message 2) can click on the message and then see what accounts 3) it was delivered to (but not et seen) 4) delivered and seen too.
8:06 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809577380383429105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - don't do that, do this -
// Do snprintf on a static buffer, ensure terminating zero.
// Return the buffer pointer so to be able to chain expressions.
template
char *xsnprintf(char (& oDst)[DST_SZ], const char *iFmt, ...) {
va_list args;
va_start(args, iFmt);
vsnprintf(oDst, DST_SZ, iFmt, args);
va_end(args);
oDst[DST_SZ - 1] = '\0';
return oDst;
}
2:17 PM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - don't do that, do this -
// Do snprintf on a static buffer, ensure terminating zero.
// Return the buffer pointer so to be able to chain expressions.
template
char *xsnprintf(char (& oDst)[DST_SZ], const char *iFmt, ...) {
va_list args;
va_start(args, iFmt);
vsnprintf(oDst, DST_SZ, iFmt, args);
va_end(args);
oDst[DST_SZ - 1] = '\0';
return oDst;
}
2:17 PM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807909326700364252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe use library or wrappers that provide goodies and make your life easier instead of calling libc functions directly. E.g. instead of calloc filling 0s, have the allocator fill with a bit pattern, free fill it with different pattern etc. So one look at a memory block, and you know if alloced/freed.
11:49 PM · Jul 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe use library or wrappers that provide goodies and make your life easier instead of calling libc functions directly. E.g. instead of calloc filling 0s, have the allocator fill with a bit pattern, free fill it with different pattern etc. So one look at a memory block, and you know if alloced/freed.
11:49 PM · Jul 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808042226590666771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Every little helps. Being careful with C be like a gambler not foregoing the opportunity to tilt chances slightly to his/her favor. :-) "Writing Solid Code" has more on that. A rare gem that clicked with me, helped me write more correct code both at macro and micro level.
8:37 AM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Every little helps. Being careful with C be like a gambler not foregoing the opportunity to tilt chances slightly to his/her favor. :-) "Writing Solid Code" has more on that. A rare gem that clicked with me, helped me write more correct code both at macro and micro level.
8:37 AM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810999828425433104
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't but Gemini thinks it's 7-10%. In that 90% not-newbuilds housing market the power imbalance is even more extreme: every actor (existing owners, banks providing mortgage financing, valuators, estate agents) but one (the first time buyers) have in-built incentive towards preferring higher prices.
12:29 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't but Gemini thinks it's 7-10%. In that 90% not-newbuilds housing market the power imbalance is even more extreme: every actor (existing owners, banks providing mortgage financing, valuators, estate agents) but one (the first time buyers) have in-built incentive towards preferring higher prices.
12:29 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810995282609385790
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK the 4-5 big builders remaining are a cartel. They are def way more price makers than price takers. If economists were professionals they'd be thinking 24/7 "this housing crisis is our fault how do we fix it pronto" even if it is not all their fault. But hey 🤷🏻♀️😶
12:11 PM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK the 4-5 big builders remaining are a cartel. They are def way more price makers than price takers. If economists were professionals they'd be thinking 24/7 "this housing crisis is our fault how do we fix it pronto" even if it is not all their fault. But hey 🤷🏻♀️😶
12:11 PM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810983185888502052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - neat, useful, thank you. First time I see Artifact in action, thanks for that! TBD will try Artifact on the current hobby horse "make this plot of joint/conditional/marginal pdf comprehensible in addition to informative" at the 1st opportunity. 😂😂 Thank you!
Image
pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
11:23 AM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - neat, useful, thank you. First time I see Artifact in action, thanks for that! TBD will try Artifact on the current hobby horse "make this plot of joint/conditional/marginal pdf comprehensible in addition to informative" at the 1st opportunity. 😂😂 Thank you!
Image
pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
11:23 AM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810977581803442530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too much carrot, not enough stick in the NIMBY lands. Not suggesting we cut them off the national grid, but how about we just ignore them until their numbers grow significantly? Start paying attention when the 4 become 84 MPs, but not before that. Allowing minority interests to capture our institutions and processes is a recipe for paralysis. Imo M1 would not exist today without compulsory purchase orders, regardless of whether they were used or not.
11:01 AM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too much carrot, not enough stick in the NIMBY lands. Not suggesting we cut them off the national grid, but how about we just ignore them until their numbers grow significantly? Start paying attention when the 4 become 84 MPs, but not before that. Allowing minority interests to capture our institutions and processes is a recipe for paralysis. Imo M1 would not exist today without compulsory purchase orders, regardless of whether they were used or not.
11:01 AM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810975449121513606
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As life expectancy increases, should society consider upper age limits (e.g., 80 years old) for certain activities? We're accustomed to lower age limits (e.g., 18 or 21 years old) for various responsibilities, and there are already upper limits and conditions on activities like driving. Could similar considerations be applied elsewhere to balance safety, fairness, and the valuable contributions of older adults?
Quote
Mike Bird @Birdyword · 41m
Beyond the content of what Pelosi says, the fact that the stance of an 84-year old legislator as to whether the 81-year old President is fit to govern could be a crucial intervention is bleakly comic in itself. x.com/brianstelter/s…
10:52 AM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As life expectancy increases, should society consider upper age limits (e.g., 80 years old) for certain activities? We're accustomed to lower age limits (e.g., 18 or 21 years old) for various responsibilities, and there are already upper limits and conditions on activities like driving. Could similar considerations be applied elsewhere to balance safety, fairness, and the valuable contributions of older adults?
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Mike Bird @Birdyword · 41m
Beyond the content of what Pelosi says, the fact that the stance of an 84-year old legislator as to whether the 81-year old President is fit to govern could be a crucial intervention is bleakly comic in itself. x.com/brianstelter/s…
10:52 AM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810962009191526638
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A 3rd possibility: Starmer sorts out the boats quickly ends asylum chaos and legal immigration comes down too, and voters are "well things are moving in the right direction" in 5yrs time. Wild risky ideas select for good talkers but they are ineffective doers, is my observation. Rarely is the charisma of persuasion matched with execution capability. So @RoryStewartUK
"not the quality of people, it's systemic" is maybe the truth but not the whole truth, is tad self-serving.
9:59 AM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A 3rd possibility: Starmer sorts out the boats quickly ends asylum chaos and legal immigration comes down too, and voters are "well things are moving in the right direction" in 5yrs time. Wild risky ideas select for good talkers but they are ineffective doers, is my observation. Rarely is the charisma of persuasion matched with execution capability. So @RoryStewartUK
"not the quality of people, it's systemic" is maybe the truth but not the whole truth, is tad self-serving.
9:59 AM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810952006380474806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even more - in democracy politics reacts to the electorate, the voters get *promised* what politicians think voters want. So part of the fix is for the voters to demand more realistic things (and not in "be realistic, demand the impossible" way, haha 😂), as opposed to say voting the realist out, and voting the clowns ("we will have our cake and eat it") in. That's why he is reticent about solutions and has to be nudged couple of times by the hosts to spell it out. Also that's why any fix is very hard. It involves the electorate being better, smarter. You see how that message is received by the electorate in the replies below. Not with eruptions of joy, haha 😂😂
9:19 AM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even more - in democracy politics reacts to the electorate, the voters get *promised* what politicians think voters want. So part of the fix is for the voters to demand more realistic things (and not in "be realistic, demand the impossible" way, haha 😂), as opposed to say voting the realist out, and voting the clowns ("we will have our cake and eat it") in. That's why he is reticent about solutions and has to be nudged couple of times by the hosts to spell it out. Also that's why any fix is very hard. It involves the electorate being better, smarter. You see how that message is received by the electorate in the replies below. Not with eruptions of joy, haha 😂😂
9:19 AM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810901227720589522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reminds me of a communist apparatchik in that he's undisturbed by reality. One trick pony, with the trick==market. Where markets can't exist easily (no price, no feedback, inelastic demmand/supply) - that's handwaved, double down ignored, with lizlettuce like consequence. But no matter, the faith is strong, one does not waver or dwell on the consequences.
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iea-lettuce-123.jpeg
5:57 AM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reminds me of a communist apparatchik in that he's undisturbed by reality. One trick pony, with the trick==market. Where markets can't exist easily (no price, no feedback, inelastic demmand/supply) - that's handwaved, double down ignored, with lizlettuce like consequence. But no matter, the faith is strong, one does not waver or dwell on the consequences.
Image
iea-lettuce-123.jpeg
5:57 AM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810898553931243949
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even more - most old people are boring, usually the older one is the more boring. Credit to the exceptions. 😆 Kids are best served by their peers, and games are good there too. Most games nowadays are sociable: playing together, or online in a team, with a group chat etc.
5:47 AM · Jul 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even more - most old people are boring, usually the older one is the more boring. Credit to the exceptions. 😆 Kids are best served by their peers, and games are good there too. Most games nowadays are sociable: playing together, or online in a team, with a group chat etc.
5:47 AM · Jul 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810728293798478205
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was your punchiest-for-the-time-taken, highest SNR interview when it comes to talking abt solutions. He spoke softly but what was said packed a punch. Problems listing is easy, such rent a mouths are two a penny. Did I imagine or did you get tad subdued once he heeded your encouragement, spilled out the beans and we heard from the horses' mouth that UK travails are not just the case of "a few bad man"? (alt: you got tired and or bored 😆) And that the next lot will likely not achieve much more? That it was not for lack of trying or for lack of quality people that CON-s failed so comprehensively? And ultimately it's us the electorate that have to raise our game but that's a very tall order.
6:30 PM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was your punchiest-for-the-time-taken, highest SNR interview when it comes to talking abt solutions. He spoke softly but what was said packed a punch. Problems listing is easy, such rent a mouths are two a penny. Did I imagine or did you get tad subdued once he heeded your encouragement, spilled out the beans and we heard from the horses' mouth that UK travails are not just the case of "a few bad man"? (alt: you got tired and or bored 😆) And that the next lot will likely not achieve much more? That it was not for lack of trying or for lack of quality people that CON-s failed so comprehensively? And ultimately it's us the electorate that have to raise our game but that's a very tall order.
6:30 PM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810668605366730795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lest we forget... 😂😂 Just listened to the @RoryStewartUK @triggerpod interview discussing blind spots. Yes, markets work great, and we should use them wherever we can. No, unfortunately, it's not a universally available solution (wish it were!). Markets aren't present everywhere, and creating them is hard. Where there's no price signal to feedback into supply increase, or where supply is constricted for other reasons, the negative feedback price signal exists, but no supply increase happens.
A collage. Tim Montgomerie "massive moment for IEA London" tweet, Mark Littlewood retweeting favorably, Daily Star green lettuce outlasting Liz Truss, Littlewood Telegraph title praising old friend Liz.
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vongole @GThepeakes · 50m
Replying to @AdamBienkov
The massive election defeat was due to listening to clowns like Littlewood. x.com/bylineseast/st…
https://x.com/GThepeakes/status/1810658450239566145
https://x.com/BylinesEast/status/1573341801343328258
2:33 PM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lest we forget... 😂😂 Just listened to the @RoryStewartUK @triggerpod interview discussing blind spots. Yes, markets work great, and we should use them wherever we can. No, unfortunately, it's not a universally available solution (wish it were!). Markets aren't present everywhere, and creating them is hard. Where there's no price signal to feedback into supply increase, or where supply is constricted for other reasons, the negative feedback price signal exists, but no supply increase happens.
A collage. Tim Montgomerie "massive moment for IEA London" tweet, Mark Littlewood retweeting favorably, Daily Star green lettuce outlasting Liz Truss, Littlewood Telegraph title praising old friend Liz.
Quote
vongole @GThepeakes · 50m
Replying to @AdamBienkov
The massive election defeat was due to listening to clowns like Littlewood. x.com/bylineseast/st…
https://x.com/GThepeakes/status/1810658450239566145
https://x.com/BylinesEast/status/1573341801343328258
2:33 PM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810644991699451904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing funny, there is only tragedy. There is no NATO expansion - there is the will of 120M East Europeans to free themselves from centuries of Russian predation. And so on. Will stop now as I'm not after changing people's minds, and in that Upside Down world of yours I'm sure it all makes sense - c.f.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809979304882606169
12:59 PM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing funny, there is only tragedy. There is no NATO expansion - there is the will of 120M East Europeans to free themselves from centuries of Russian predation. And so on. Will stop now as I'm not after changing people's minds, and in that Upside Down world of yours I'm sure it all makes sense - c.f.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809979304882606169
12:59 PM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810642150230520006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 like your thinking but may involve sending a gunboat to visit some of Macqaries' funds beneficiaries i.e. pensioners to make them an offer they can't refuse - not going to happen 😂
12:48 PM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 like your thinking but may involve sending a gunboat to visit some of Macqaries' funds beneficiaries i.e. pensioners to make them an offer they can't refuse - not going to happen 😂
12:48 PM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810630181817618579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
just let them go bust, wipe the bondholders, and buy the assets for £1
12:00 PM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
just let them go bust, wipe the bondholders, and buy the assets for £1
12:00 PM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810629698877100228
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One conclusion to draw is that Corbyn is terminally incompetent.
11:58 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One conclusion to draw is that Corbyn is terminally incompetent.
11:58 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810628930174324755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not at all my dude, not at all https://x.com/ljupc0/status/790209393124081664 . (didn't post much earlier, had to spend more time earning a living than now) And even if I was guilty of what you accuse me - that does not make @battleofeurope not guilty of my accusation. So not sure you help with anything.
Strictly speaking USA invasion was "the supreme international crime" but not an imperial war of conquest, ruling Iraq forever was not in any of the USA plans afaik.
Strictly speaking RUS invasion of UKR is even more than an imperial war of conquest (in addition to being "the supreme international crime"), as RUS aim is to erase UKR identity, extinguish UKR language and culture. Something that not even the Bolsheviks aimed for from 1920 in the Soviet Union.
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 23, 2016
Excellent - failures of the establishment: Iraq War, GFC'08, Euro + no reflection are root cause of “tried sane, now let’s try crazy” vote https://x.com/profstevekeen//ProfSteveKeen/status/790191900536008712
11:55 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not at all my dude, not at all https://x.com/ljupc0/status/790209393124081664 . (didn't post much earlier, had to spend more time earning a living than now) And even if I was guilty of what you accuse me - that does not make @battleofeurope not guilty of my accusation. So not sure you help with anything.
Strictly speaking USA invasion was "the supreme international crime" but not an imperial war of conquest, ruling Iraq forever was not in any of the USA plans afaik.
Strictly speaking RUS invasion of UKR is even more than an imperial war of conquest (in addition to being "the supreme international crime"), as RUS aim is to erase UKR identity, extinguish UKR language and culture. Something that not even the Bolsheviks aimed for from 1920 in the Soviet Union.
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 23, 2016
Excellent - failures of the establishment: Iraq War, GFC'08, Euro + no reflection are root cause of “tried sane, now let’s try crazy” vote https://x.com/profstevekeen//ProfSteveKeen/status/790191900536008712
11:55 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810623070224232875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken" - I feel applies here but hey you do you 🤷♂️
11:32 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken" - I feel applies here but hey you do you 🤷♂️
11:32 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810615397999075382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Introduce an upper age limit - say 80 yo - for some things? Society can agree on what things exactly. Like there are lower age limits like 18 yo (or 21 yo, or 16 yo) for certain things society agreed on. We already have some upper limits with driving permits.
11:02 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Introduce an upper age limit - say 80 yo - for some things? Society can agree on what things exactly. Like there are lower age limits like 18 yo (or 21 yo, or 16 yo) for certain things society agreed on. We already have some upper limits with driving permits.
11:02 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810612961179791466
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You'd be taken more seriously if you didn't ignore Russian imperialism - but hey 🤷🏻♀️
10:52 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You'd be taken more seriously if you didn't ignore Russian imperialism - but hey 🤷🏻♀️
10:52 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810605959749759247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent interview that will turn off many in your audience thus making his point for him!
Doesn't get better than that tbh. 😆
The rare person offering solutions and having a vision on "what should be done now" - unlike most, that find plenty wrongs, but are silent on fixes.
10:24 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent interview that will turn off many in your audience thus making his point for him!
Doesn't get better than that tbh. 😆
The rare person offering solutions and having a vision on "what should be done now" - unlike most, that find plenty wrongs, but are silent on fixes.
10:24 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810604751651749975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand it as: he wants to tell us the truth, but thinks we can't handle the truth, and telling us is futile, b/c all that will happen is that we will hate on the messenger and the message will go over our heads. So the next Q is: assuming that - what should be done now?
10:19 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand it as: he wants to tell us the truth, but thinks we can't handle the truth, and telling us is futile, b/c all that will happen is that we will hate on the messenger and the message will go over our heads. So the next Q is: assuming that - what should be done now?
10:19 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810600446706303022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😁 If you are averse to Mute, alternative is to create a /dev/null list: create a list (maybe named NIL), add those bores as members, then tick "Do not show these posts in For You" for the list in the list settings.
10:02 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😁 If you are averse to Mute, alternative is to create a /dev/null list: create a list (maybe named NIL), add those bores as members, then tick "Do not show these posts in For You" for the list in the list settings.
10:02 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810599274087874603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't understand the upset. I have some large space, and there X-Y average out, on average their co-influence is 0. But - on average only, averaged over that big space. Now I concentrate on a small patch of that (X,Y) space. In that small patch - why would I expect the average co-influence to be 0 again?? Feels entitled on my part tbh.
9:58 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't understand the upset. I have some large space, and there X-Y average out, on average their co-influence is 0. But - on average only, averaged over that big space. Now I concentrate on a small patch of that (X,Y) space. In that small patch - why would I expect the average co-influence to be 0 again?? Feels entitled on my part tbh.
9:58 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810595768144732391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for sharing! I wondered about that lately. With 1) the increases home of electricity price 2) increase of charge power i.e. faster charge time that home charger can't provide so one must use charge point - I was wondering how pricing looks these days compared to ICE. In the beginning with home charging EV had x5-x6 times the price advantage, it was that much cheaper. So now it's reached parity? That's bad news.
9:44 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for sharing! I wondered about that lately. With 1) the increases home of electricity price 2) increase of charge power i.e. faster charge time that home charger can't provide so one must use charge point - I was wondering how pricing looks these days compared to ICE. In the beginning with home charging EV had x5-x6 times the price advantage, it was that much cheaper. So now it's reached parity? That's bad news.
9:44 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810591052903944338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but will ID-cards introduction increase the police harassment? Given we already get by with no national mandated ID card - should we bother with it? There are pros- and cons-, the non-technical arg I most weight is: it changes fundamentally the relationship between the individual and the state. Atm I can't get into trouble by doing nothing,(*) I can't break the law by inaction. Obligatory ID card changes that: now by doing nothing I'm suspect even criminal, I have to actively do something (present ID, prove my identity) in order to stay on the right side of the law.
(*) the introduction of SORN was the 1st time that - very good - rule got broken in the UK afaik
9:25 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but will ID-cards introduction increase the police harassment? Given we already get by with no national mandated ID card - should we bother with it? There are pros- and cons-, the non-technical arg I most weight is: it changes fundamentally the relationship between the individual and the state. Atm I can't get into trouble by doing nothing,(*) I can't break the law by inaction. Obligatory ID card changes that: now by doing nothing I'm suspect even criminal, I have to actively do something (present ID, prove my identity) in order to stay on the right side of the law.
(*) the introduction of SORN was the 1st time that - very good - rule got broken in the UK afaik
9:25 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810590635478421913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Brazil is a huge country gets it done within 24h and have not heard of controversial results or accusations.
9:23 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Brazil is a huge country gets it done within 24h and have not heard of controversial results or accusations.
9:23 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810588945291309121
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most convincing study I've seen ages ago (lost in time now), had as factors with biggest influence on:
Q-uantity - supply of new builds;
P-rice - supply of financing i.e. availability of mortgages.
That made sense to me. For P-rice, the sensitivity to financing i.e. £££ available to spend on a home, the top#1 factor, was ~7x times larger than the sensitivity to the next #2 factor (forgot which one was that one).
9:16 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most convincing study I've seen ages ago (lost in time now), had as factors with biggest influence on:
Q-uantity - supply of new builds;
P-rice - supply of financing i.e. availability of mortgages.
That made sense to me. For P-rice, the sensitivity to financing i.e. £££ available to spend on a home, the top#1 factor, was ~7x times larger than the sensitivity to the next #2 factor (forgot which one was that one).
9:16 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810587229506490413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Postal voting is fine, we shd expand postal voting and offer electronic voting - with a paper trail, with fully free open source s/w and h/w.
US doing it badly does not mean - it can't be done well, it means - do it better, fixit. (c.f. Brazil)
Everyone is a Luddite about something, eh? 😆
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Elon Musk @elonmusk · 3h
Electronic voting machines and anything mailed in is too risky.
We should mandate paper ballots and in-person voting only.
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Rate proposed Community Notes
9:10 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Postal voting is fine, we shd expand postal voting and offer electronic voting - with a paper trail, with fully free open source s/w and h/w.
US doing it badly does not mean - it can't be done well, it means - do it better, fixit. (c.f. Brazil)
Everyone is a Luddite about something, eh? 😆
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · 3h
Electronic voting machines and anything mailed in is too risky.
We should mandate paper ballots and in-person voting only.
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Rate proposed Community Notes
9:10 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810582663738122449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why demand of others to do something for you? They are not your personal possession. Do it yourselves whatever you demand of others. It feels like you are doing something by demanding of others. But it's just a displacement activity, alibi for not doing much yourself.
8:52 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why demand of others to do something for you? They are not your personal possession. Do it yourselves whatever you demand of others. It feels like you are doing something by demanding of others. But it's just a displacement activity, alibi for not doing much yourself.
8:52 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810576671377928258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You'd be surprised. :-) Mostly abt foreign alphabets or rules. Everything written in non-Latin alphabet (e.g. registry of birth cert), maybe transliterated into Latin alphabet slightly differently, if inconsistent transliteration rules. Think I remember that in France the register of birth excerpts always write down the birth name - even if you changed it in the mean time, e.g. women that take different or additional surname by marriage. Think some languages write down consonants, but not always the vowels - so variation crops up that way. And so on - this is from the top of my head.
Thinking abt the idea of "if you can't do X, you can't vote". So that would be franchise reduction. Weren't in the US south such rules were used to suppress the black vote? I've seen online pubs that don't allow one to comment, unless one passed a trivial test ("what river flows under Thames bridge"), or a test testing if one's read the article. So this wd "we don't want to end in Idiocracy" argument. Yeah, stupid can do a lot of damage. But clever people have done immense damage over the centuries too. Consider all the ideologies, religions etc - typically not invented by stupid, but clever people.
8:28 AM · Jul 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You'd be surprised. :-) Mostly abt foreign alphabets or rules. Everything written in non-Latin alphabet (e.g. registry of birth cert), maybe transliterated into Latin alphabet slightly differently, if inconsistent transliteration rules. Think I remember that in France the register of birth excerpts always write down the birth name - even if you changed it in the mean time, e.g. women that take different or additional surname by marriage. Think some languages write down consonants, but not always the vowels - so variation crops up that way. And so on - this is from the top of my head.
Thinking abt the idea of "if you can't do X, you can't vote". So that would be franchise reduction. Weren't in the US south such rules were used to suppress the black vote? I've seen online pubs that don't allow one to comment, unless one passed a trivial test ("what river flows under Thames bridge"), or a test testing if one's read the article. So this wd "we don't want to end in Idiocracy" argument. Yeah, stupid can do a lot of damage. But clever people have done immense damage over the centuries too. Consider all the ideologies, religions etc - typically not invented by stupid, but clever people.
8:28 AM · Jul 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810380525275869209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just Google it dude... - sheesh. MMT #1 commandment is inflation is the constraint, is the limit. And not an imaginary number OBR pulled out of their a*ses. High gov deficit - and high private credit creation for that matter - will in the end cause inflation. Inflation is the signal "deficit is too high". Even I - a random civilian not an mmter nor an american - know this.
7:28 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just Google it dude... - sheesh. MMT #1 commandment is inflation is the constraint, is the limit. And not an imaginary number OBR pulled out of their a*ses. High gov deficit - and high private credit creation for that matter - will in the end cause inflation. Inflation is the signal "deficit is too high". Even I - a random civilian not an mmter nor an american - know this.
7:28 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810353922281713956
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no "official ID" in the UK, and that's a good thing on balance imo. There is no good pro- argument afaics, wrote here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150
If there ever was a Chesterton fence argument against changing things willy-nilly - it applies to the voting system. Mogg already admitted on video they introduced the voter ID for voter suppression, and they suppressed the wrong votes (from their PoV). That does not inspire much confidence in the quality of the changes, does it?
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 20h
On UK vote/ID/cards. It's not that the anti- side should justify "why not". It's the pro- side that shd convince "why". ID cards impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales? x.com/schooltruth/st…
Show more
5:43 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no "official ID" in the UK, and that's a good thing on balance imo. There is no good pro- argument afaics, wrote here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150
If there ever was a Chesterton fence argument against changing things willy-nilly - it applies to the voting system. Mogg already admitted on video they introduced the voter ID for voter suppression, and they suppressed the wrong votes (from their PoV). That does not inspire much confidence in the quality of the changes, does it?
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 20h
On UK vote/ID/cards. It's not that the anti- side should justify "why not". It's the pro- side that shd convince "why". ID cards impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales? x.com/schooltruth/st…
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5:43 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810352332363714953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unbelievable that we are being asked to justify not having ID cards, instead of proponents having to justify why we should have them. 400K sounds very very high (would have expected a public outcry?), but CON stupidity and malice is not to be underestimated! Afaics there are no good reasons for voter/ID/cards, wrote here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150
5:36 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unbelievable that we are being asked to justify not having ID cards, instead of proponents having to justify why we should have them. 400K sounds very very high (would have expected a public outcry?), but CON stupidity and malice is not to be underestimated! Afaics there are no good reasons for voter/ID/cards, wrote here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150
5:36 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810309742356549891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not that no one has picked it up. People do pick it up, but - so what? What do these people do about it? As he correctly says - this stuff works with the voters, these two game plays are successful, they complement each other well, and complementing each other fill up the entire political space. People objecting have not come with a competitive and compelling enough 3rd story that will compete with these incumbents and carve up some of that political space for itself.
2:47 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not that no one has picked it up. People do pick it up, but - so what? What do these people do about it? As he correctly says - this stuff works with the voters, these two game plays are successful, they complement each other well, and complementing each other fill up the entire political space. People objecting have not come with a competitive and compelling enough 3rd story that will compete with these incumbents and carve up some of that political space for itself.
2:47 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810301765755007420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, blah - messianic b/s lead to ~100 million dead in the 20th century so lets stay well clear of it in the 21st century - blah. We know little about strangers online - better stop assuming much and stick to what's typed in the posts.
2:15 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, blah - messianic b/s lead to ~100 million dead in the 20th century so lets stay well clear of it in the 21st century - blah. We know little about strangers online - better stop assuming much and stick to what's typed in the posts.
2:15 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810296171623059699
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1- LJ: X doruckuvase A.
2- IS: X vecerase B.
Veruvam vo tvoite misli #2 go pravi #1 "faktografski netocno". Vo mojata glava toj zaklucok nema logika.
1:53 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1- LJ: X doruckuvase A.
2- IS: X vecerase B.
Veruvam vo tvoite misli #2 go pravi #1 "faktografski netocno". Vo mojata glava toj zaklucok nema logika.
1:53 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810284888873935326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The idea that anyone knows "the growth limits" doesn't sit well with me. Those claiming "the end is near, listen to me" are just attention seekers. They're modern-day Savonarolas, sociopathic narcissists indulging their worst instincts. The Malthusian Ehrlich-Thanos environmental movement is not for me. They're not only innumerate but also avoid logical thinking and real solutions to improve the human condition. God help us if they prevail—they'll bury us for real. Growing up in a socialist country, I saw the communist party always focused on distant ideals to avoid real work. Lower your gaze, connect with fellow humans more—that sits better with me.
1:08 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The idea that anyone knows "the growth limits" doesn't sit well with me. Those claiming "the end is near, listen to me" are just attention seekers. They're modern-day Savonarolas, sociopathic narcissists indulging their worst instincts. The Malthusian Ehrlich-Thanos environmental movement is not for me. They're not only innumerate but also avoid logical thinking and real solutions to improve the human condition. God help us if they prevail—they'll bury us for real. Growing up in a socialist country, I saw the communist party always focused on distant ideals to avoid real work. Lower your gaze, connect with fellow humans more—that sits better with me.
1:08 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On UK vote/ID/cards. It's not that the anti- side should justify "why not". It's the pro- side that shd convince "why". ID cards impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales?
They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police, if no-ID cards, it's police's job and competency to establish my identity (and I can help them; or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to the policeman to their satisfaction - and that threshold maybe arbitrarily *high*.
The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to - not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to our reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks nor criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%.
Immigration - do countries with various forms of obligatory-ID whether digital or cards handle immigration any better? Is UK immigration control now hard b/c we don't know the identity of the people coming in? Afaik on this it's no and no.
Voter ID - did the recent introduction reduce voter fraud? Did UK have a problem with voter fraud to start with? Was the cost - incl voters falsely turned back denied vote - worth it? Again - have not seen any evidence for. Rees-Mogg speech (on video) indicated CONs introduced voter-ID for vote suppression (and it suppressed the wrong votes for them).
I'd look to see if the perspective beneficiaries of ID cards ask for them. The police federation? They usually clamor for all sorts of powers - c.f. breaking of end-to-end encryption - but have not noticed enthusiasm for ID-cards. Maybe the banks? Utilities? Councils? Never heard any of them complaining of problems identifying their customers and asking for ID-cards.
I lived in the 1st 30yrs of my life in my country of birth with obligatory ID cards and still have one myself. Fwiw - self-selection bias and all - on balance I prefer the UK no-single-ID no-compulsory-ID system. Even if this were a startup country and we were starting from scratch Re: ID-or-not.
Given we already have evolved ID systems up and running, it seems to me another one on top will add little, impose all sorts of costs long term, and short term rolling out a nation wide system will be painful with all manner of fails in the process. Given several crisis awaiting action from the new gov uk - don't see how this can be anyone's priority.
(fao @schooltruth as one never knows with X if any replies show on TL)
Quote
Fiona Millar @schooltruth · Jul 7
Really struggling to understand the arguments against ID cards.
12:21 PM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On UK vote/ID/cards. It's not that the anti- side should justify "why not". It's the pro- side that shd convince "why". ID cards impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales?
They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police, if no-ID cards, it's police's job and competency to establish my identity (and I can help them; or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to the policeman to their satisfaction - and that threshold maybe arbitrarily *high*.
The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to - not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to our reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks nor criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%.
Immigration - do countries with various forms of obligatory-ID whether digital or cards handle immigration any better? Is UK immigration control now hard b/c we don't know the identity of the people coming in? Afaik on this it's no and no.
Voter ID - did the recent introduction reduce voter fraud? Did UK have a problem with voter fraud to start with? Was the cost - incl voters falsely turned back denied vote - worth it? Again - have not seen any evidence for. Rees-Mogg speech (on video) indicated CONs introduced voter-ID for vote suppression (and it suppressed the wrong votes for them).
I'd look to see if the perspective beneficiaries of ID cards ask for them. The police federation? They usually clamor for all sorts of powers - c.f. breaking of end-to-end encryption - but have not noticed enthusiasm for ID-cards. Maybe the banks? Utilities? Councils? Never heard any of them complaining of problems identifying their customers and asking for ID-cards.
I lived in the 1st 30yrs of my life in my country of birth with obligatory ID cards and still have one myself. Fwiw - self-selection bias and all - on balance I prefer the UK no-single-ID no-compulsory-ID system. Even if this were a startup country and we were starting from scratch Re: ID-or-not.
Given we already have evolved ID systems up and running, it seems to me another one on top will add little, impose all sorts of costs long term, and short term rolling out a nation wide system will be painful with all manner of fails in the process. Given several crisis awaiting action from the new gov uk - don't see how this can be anyone's priority.
(fao @schooltruth as one never knows with X if any replies show on TL)
Quote
Fiona Millar @schooltruth · Jul 7
Really struggling to understand the arguments against ID cards.
12:21 PM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810251821698478549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It wasn't. The core argument is that gov spending is limited by inflation, that too much gov spending (and private credit for that matter) will drive up inflation. And that inflation is the constraint. Not imaginary numbers dreamed up by OBR. Even I know this and I'm not an mmter and not an american. Just... - google it dude???
10:57 AM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It wasn't. The core argument is that gov spending is limited by inflation, that too much gov spending (and private credit for that matter) will drive up inflation. And that inflation is the constraint. Not imaginary numbers dreamed up by OBR. Even I know this and I'm not an mmter and not an american. Just... - google it dude???
10:57 AM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810225931379781947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Бркај си работа анонимна кукавицо, не ме закачај мене. Каков конзерватизам, нема конзерватизам во -
„Денес на Македонија се раѓа,
ново сонце на СЛОБОДАТА,
..........
Македонија СЛОБОДНА,
СЛОБОДНО живее."
... ама има слобода (liberty), слободарство (liberalism, libertarianism) во 3 од 4-те најважни стихови (први 2 и последни 2). Што ќе конзервирале - 5 века турско ропство?? Свашта.
Quote
Брсјакоски. @Brsjakoski · 2h
Твојот мозок на ФФМ патриотизам и конзерватизам. x.com/ljupc0/status/…
9:14 AM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Бркај си работа анонимна кукавицо, не ме закачај мене. Каков конзерватизам, нема конзерватизам во -
„Денес на Македонија се раѓа,
ново сонце на СЛОБОДАТА,
..........
Македонија СЛОБОДНА,
СЛОБОДНО живее."
... ама има слобода (liberty), слободарство (liberalism, libertarianism) во 3 од 4-те најважни стихови (први 2 и последни 2). Што ќе конзервирале - 5 века турско ропство?? Свашта.
Quote
Брсјакоски. @Brsjakoski · 2h
Твојот мозок на ФФМ патриотизам и конзерватизам. x.com/ljupc0/status/…
9:14 AM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810221657899876691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not that the side anti- should justify "why not" - it's the side that's pro- that has to convince "why". They impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales?
They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them; or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and that threshold maybe arbitrarily *high*).
The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%.
Immigration - do countries with various forms of obligatory-ID whether digital or cards handle immigration any better? Is UK immigration control now hard b/c we don't know the identity of the people coming in? Afaik on this it's no and no.
Voter ID - did the recent introduction reduce voter fraud? Did UK have a problem with voter fraud to start with? Was the cost - incl voters falsely turned back - worth it? Again - have not seen any evidence for. Rees-Mogg speech (on video) indicated they introduced voter-ID for vote suppression (and it suppressed the wrong votes for them).
I'd look to see if the perspective beneficiaries of ID cards ask for them. The police federation? They usually clamor for all sorts of powers - c.f. breaking of end-to-end encryption - but have not noticed enthusiasm for ID-cards. Maybe the banks? Utilities? Councils? Never heard any of them complaining of problems identifying their customers and asking for ID-cards.
I lived in the 1st 30yrs of my life in my country of birth with obligatory ID cards and still have one myself. Fwiw - self-selection bias and all - on balance I prefer the UK no-ID system even if this was a startup country and we were starting from 0.
Given we already have evolved ID systems up and running, it seems to me another one on top will add little, impose all sorts of costs long term, and short term rolling out a nation wide system will be painful with all manner of fails in the process. Given several crisis awaiting action from the new gov uk - don't see how this can be anyone's priority.
8:57 AM · Jul 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not that the side anti- should justify "why not" - it's the side that's pro- that has to convince "why". They impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales?
They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them; or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and that threshold maybe arbitrarily *high*).
The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%.
Immigration - do countries with various forms of obligatory-ID whether digital or cards handle immigration any better? Is UK immigration control now hard b/c we don't know the identity of the people coming in? Afaik on this it's no and no.
Voter ID - did the recent introduction reduce voter fraud? Did UK have a problem with voter fraud to start with? Was the cost - incl voters falsely turned back - worth it? Again - have not seen any evidence for. Rees-Mogg speech (on video) indicated they introduced voter-ID for vote suppression (and it suppressed the wrong votes for them).
I'd look to see if the perspective beneficiaries of ID cards ask for them. The police federation? They usually clamor for all sorts of powers - c.f. breaking of end-to-end encryption - but have not noticed enthusiasm for ID-cards. Maybe the banks? Utilities? Councils? Never heard any of them complaining of problems identifying their customers and asking for ID-cards.
I lived in the 1st 30yrs of my life in my country of birth with obligatory ID cards and still have one myself. Fwiw - self-selection bias and all - on balance I prefer the UK no-ID system even if this was a startup country and we were starting from 0.
Given we already have evolved ID systems up and running, it seems to me another one on top will add little, impose all sorts of costs long term, and short term rolling out a nation wide system will be painful with all manner of fails in the process. Given several crisis awaiting action from the new gov uk - don't see how this can be anyone's priority.
8:57 AM · Jul 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810075589262667798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe previous generations of parents simply couldn't do it even if they wanted to? - there was not enough time in the day, they were busy making ends meet. TBF IDK which generation exactly you have in mind.
11:17 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe previous generations of parents simply couldn't do it even if they wanted to? - there was not enough time in the day, they were busy making ends meet. TBF IDK which generation exactly you have in mind.
11:17 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810033814434902471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course - all markets can be manipulated, incl prediction markets People claim this and that "can't be done" and are regularly shown wrong. Only people that can claim something can't happen are mathematicians doing mathematics. :-)
8:31 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course - all markets can be manipulated, incl prediction markets People claim this and that "can't be done" and are regularly shown wrong. Only people that can claim something can't happen are mathematicians doing mathematics. :-)
8:31 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810028613565341877
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah leasehold is feudal. 😞 Thanks! Yes many LH hope for a change. Yes esp in London afaik almost every flat is LH. Same for shared ownership - I think SO are in an even worse position. All liabilities end up transferred onto the LH anyways almost always, and afaik there is no limit to the size of the liability.
8:10 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah leasehold is feudal. 😞 Thanks! Yes many LH hope for a change. Yes esp in London afaik almost every flat is LH. Same for shared ownership - I think SO are in an even worse position. All liabilities end up transferred onto the LH anyways almost always, and afaik there is no limit to the size of the liability.
8:10 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810021731198992682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тебе мајсторе никој не може да те образува, а најмалку пак јас. Нити можам, нити сакам, нити претендирам. Остани со здравје.
Quote
Stormfire @TempestOfFlame · 13h
Еве дечки, Американците не ослободиле од Отоманската Империја.
Ликов ми вика да се образувам за историјата x.com/ljupc0/status/…
7:43 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тебе мајсторе никој не може да те образува, а најмалку пак јас. Нити можам, нити сакам, нити претендирам. Остани со здравје.
Quote
Stormfire @TempestOfFlame · 13h
Еве дечки, Американците не ослободиле од Отоманската Империја.
Ликов ми вика да се образувам за историјата x.com/ljupc0/status/…
7:43 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810012271948566826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
500 Години владеат Отоманска империја и Австро-Унгарска империја со тој дел од Европа. Не почна историјата во 1945-та. Не се мои фантазии туку општо прифатена историја. Имаме азбука од 1950-та, да ја користиме да се едуцираме да научиме да не бидеме слепи и глуви при очи и уши.
7:05 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
500 Години владеат Отоманска империја и Австро-Унгарска империја со тој дел од Европа. Не почна историјата во 1945-та. Не се мои фантазии туку општо прифатена историја. Имаме азбука од 1950-та, да ја користиме да се едуцираме да научиме да не бидеме слепи и глуви при очи и уши.
7:05 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810000639998513576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are a credit to your party, to the country and us all. Godspeed
6:19 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are a credit to your party, to the country and us all. Godspeed
6:19 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809999734959976531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Буквално почеток на државност и модерна нација може да трасираш назад до одлука на американски претседател во 1918 дека решение за европските војни кои кулминираат во дотогаш најголема војна е демонтирање на европските империи и формирање посебни национални држави.
6:15 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Буквално почеток на државност и модерна нација може да трасираш назад до одлука на американски претседател во 1918 дека решение за европските војни кои кулминираат во дотогаш најголема војна е демонтирање на европските империи и формирање посебни национални држави.
6:15 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809983037515485547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The state of 21st cent does much more than the state in 16th century. If the kings of 16th cent raised their game, provided food, shelter, medicine and education and harnessed the reaches of "The Ultimate Resource" (c.f. book), maybe we'd be living in a different world. As it is - they didn't. At most only ~10% of the population had their talents developed and harnessed, and the world stagnated for 1000s of years. Once the other 90% could organize, behead the stupid king (who didn't make much use of his brains anyways?) - boom!! The world changed -
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
5:09 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The state of 21st cent does much more than the state in 16th century. If the kings of 16th cent raised their game, provided food, shelter, medicine and education and harnessed the reaches of "The Ultimate Resource" (c.f. book), maybe we'd be living in a different world. As it is - they didn't. At most only ~10% of the population had their talents developed and harnessed, and the world stagnated for 1000s of years. Once the other 90% could organize, behead the stupid king (who didn't make much use of his brains anyways?) - boom!! The world changed -
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
5:09 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809981535296352518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Strike on your own, start a business, have it survive then thrive and make $$$, you will make a fortune, and you will not need to worry about 50% or whatever it is. Fwiw it's not 50% for vast majority of the UK citizens.
5:03 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Strike on your own, start a business, have it survive then thrive and make $$$, you will make a fortune, and you will not need to worry about 50% or whatever it is. Fwiw it's not 50% for vast majority of the UK citizens.
5:03 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809979304882606169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In their world it makes sense. It's not a worldview without logic - it's with obverse logic, upside-down left-is-right logic. That's how one ends holidaying in DDR even after all learn about Stalin's incomparable crimes, defends relativises Pol Pot mass murder and so on. Plus EEuropens are unliked b/c they didn't like communism and are also not on the official righteous victimhood list. You will not change anyone's mind. It's like when talking to a person suffering from schizophrenia - they have reasons for their acts in the world in their heads. Usually people on the receiving end disappear like the poor guy in this cartoon, so no-person no-problem. This time the victims on the receiving end, the Ukrainians, refused to lie down an die - and to the surprise of many - stayed alive, so these issues surfaced. (credit @freeonis_)
Embedded video
Dehumanization_by_freeonis-short.mp4
4:54 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In their world it makes sense. It's not a worldview without logic - it's with obverse logic, upside-down left-is-right logic. That's how one ends holidaying in DDR even after all learn about Stalin's incomparable crimes, defends relativises Pol Pot mass murder and so on. Plus EEuropens are unliked b/c they didn't like communism and are also not on the official righteous victimhood list. You will not change anyone's mind. It's like when talking to a person suffering from schizophrenia - they have reasons for their acts in the world in their heads. Usually people on the receiving end disappear like the poor guy in this cartoon, so no-person no-problem. This time the victims on the receiving end, the Ukrainians, refused to lie down an die - and to the surprise of many - stayed alive, so these issues surfaced. (credit @freeonis_)
Embedded video
Dehumanization_by_freeonis-short.mp4
4:54 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809955638186848274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elections past tactical voting sites weren't certain for my area. This time they all gave the same answer - LDM. In my LDM-gain-from-CON seat leafletting was 20:4:1=LDM:CON:LAB, and door canvassing was 3:0:0=LDM:CON:LAB. So it was clear that LDM but not LAB were hoping to win.
3:20 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Elections past tactical voting sites weren't certain for my area. This time they all gave the same answer - LDM. In my LDM-gain-from-CON seat leafletting was 20:4:1=LDM:CON:LAB, and door canvassing was 3:0:0=LDM:CON:LAB. So it was clear that LDM but not LAB were hoping to win.
3:20 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809953964214857731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) No language dealing with reality is precise enough. Computer languages are precise - but only b/c they deal with artificial not real worlds. Impossible to tell if the intention was nefarious or not. Spending much more time with YT than iPlayer, lost touch with the BBC morass
3:13 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) No language dealing with reality is precise enough. Computer languages are precise - but only b/c they deal with artificial not real worlds. Impossible to tell if the intention was nefarious or not. Spending much more time with YT than iPlayer, lost touch with the BBC morass
3:13 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809952262388641906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The MP is the person that got the largest share of the vote in it's area, out competing all other candidates. Please read on the various voting systems and try comprehend the pros- and the cons- of each one, please? These were not the 1st and will not be the last elections.
3:07 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The MP is the person that got the largest share of the vote in it's area, out competing all other candidates. Please read on the various voting systems and try comprehend the pros- and the cons- of each one, please? These were not the 1st and will not be the last elections.
3:07 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809951430385537214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good story - but extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Otherwise we soon believing in witches and bad spirits and witch hunts commence. Human imagination is inexhaustible, that's a big strength of homo sapiens, but it's not without downsides.
3:03 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good story - but extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Otherwise we soon believing in witches and bad spirits and witch hunts commence. Human imagination is inexhaustible, that's a big strength of homo sapiens, but it's not without downsides.
3:03 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809950555608916308
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every complication should justify itself in terms of gains, b/c more complicated == more costly. So simplicity is the baseline, b/c it imposes the lowest cost. If additional complication brings additional gain - then gfi. The risk is increased, but something is gained.
3:00 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every complication should justify itself in terms of gains, b/c more complicated == more costly. So simplicity is the baseline, b/c it imposes the lowest cost. If additional complication brings additional gain - then gfi. The risk is increased, but something is gained.
3:00 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809948838704165213
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it might have been this one https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9r3kywqlkno but they I suspect changed the title from "... Labour coup" to "... Labour win" (atm it's "Gloom in Looe as fishermen reflect on Labour win"; they may change again). Users screenshots -
https://x.com/jneill/status/1809919161981690288
Yep, they did change it. The title is misleading still but hey - it's the Brexit Corporation
Quote
James Neill ≠ 𝕏 @jneill · 4h
Before: Labour coup ↙️ ↘️After
PS. "You look around the port, it's dying," Mr Chapman adds.
... He cites "red tape and paperwork" - "made worse by Brexit".
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9r3kywqlkno
BBS News: Gloomy in looe as fishermen reflect on Labour coup https://web.archive.org/web/20240706065643/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9r3kywqlkno
BBC News: Gloom in Love as fishermen reflect on Labour win
2:53 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it might have been this one https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9r3kywqlkno but they I suspect changed the title from "... Labour coup" to "... Labour win" (atm it's "Gloom in Looe as fishermen reflect on Labour win"; they may change again). Users screenshots -
https://x.com/jneill/status/1809919161981690288
Yep, they did change it. The title is misleading still but hey - it's the Brexit Corporation
Quote
James Neill ≠ 𝕏 @jneill · 4h
Before: Labour coup ↙️ ↘️After
PS. "You look around the port, it's dying," Mr Chapman adds.
... He cites "red tape and paperwork" - "made worse by Brexit".
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9r3kywqlkno
BBS News: Gloomy in looe as fishermen reflect on Labour coup https://web.archive.org/web/20240706065643/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9r3kywqlkno
BBC News: Gloom in Love as fishermen reflect on Labour win
2:53 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809932978153570319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
very good 😂😂😂 - the worse the better
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
Replying to @Jo_WhiteheadUK and @EdwardJDavey
If the BBC bigwigs had any sense they'd have moved her to a desk job somewhere in the bowels of the corporation never to be seen again. They don't - so I hope a silver lining will be she'll go last & until then she'll serve as a continous reminder to the vast majority of viewers
Show more
1:50 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
very good 😂😂😂 - the worse the better
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 5h
Replying to @Jo_WhiteheadUK and @EdwardJDavey
If the BBC bigwigs had any sense they'd have moved her to a desk job somewhere in the bowels of the corporation never to be seen again. They don't - so I hope a silver lining will be she'll go last & until then she'll serve as a continous reminder to the vast majority of viewers
Show more
1:50 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809929224322506923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd look to see if the users of ID cards demand them. The police federation? The banks? Utilities? Councils?
The state needs to become smarter. Not left- or right- - just smarter in doing things. The way business raised its game with the neo-liberal revolution. Afaics where things are IT automated, and low paid low knowledge individual workers are taken out of the loop - the state does achieve that, it does work well. Maybe there is a need for digital ID of some sort, I'm not saying "never" - but I think it's unlikely to have much with immigration control. B/c we know of plenty of ID-cards places have problems with immigration. For an asylum seeker it makes zero difference, ID or not.
1:35 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd look to see if the users of ID cards demand them. The police federation? The banks? Utilities? Councils?
The state needs to become smarter. Not left- or right- - just smarter in doing things. The way business raised its game with the neo-liberal revolution. Afaics where things are IT automated, and low paid low knowledge individual workers are taken out of the loop - the state does achieve that, it does work well. Maybe there is a need for digital ID of some sort, I'm not saying "never" - but I think it's unlikely to have much with immigration control. B/c we know of plenty of ID-cards places have problems with immigration. For an asylum seeker it makes zero difference, ID or not.
1:35 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809909680174457277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If the BBC bigwigs had any sense they'd have moved her to a desk job somewhere in the bowels of the corporation never to be seen again. They don't - so I hope a silver lining will be she'll go last & until then she'll serve as a continous reminder to the vast majority of viewers of job TBD Re: making BBC less of a Brexit-Farage-Corporation it's been for some time.
12:17 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If the BBC bigwigs had any sense they'd have moved her to a desk job somewhere in the bowels of the corporation never to be seen again. They don't - so I hope a silver lining will be she'll go last & until then she'll serve as a continous reminder to the vast majority of viewers of job TBD Re: making BBC less of a Brexit-Farage-Corporation it's been for some time.
12:17 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809907768653959429
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Try living alone in the middle of nowhere, or the less extreme - try living together with a band of like minded people. And you will get a better handle on, how much of you present Self is YourSelf alone, and how much is all that Society added to your Self as it is now. Atm you have no way of distinguishing: you were born in this society, you will spend all your life embedded in it, you will die in it. Your idea of your worth self v.s. the rest maybe unrealistic. It is as impossible to separate YourSelf from the rest of the Society, as it is impossible for a fish to separate ItSelf from the Water in which it spends its entire existence. An even weaker experiment is to emigrate, change your place of living with different geography, language, where you will start alone and you will know no one and no one will know you.
12:10 PM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Try living alone in the middle of nowhere, or the less extreme - try living together with a band of like minded people. And you will get a better handle on, how much of you present Self is YourSelf alone, and how much is all that Society added to your Self as it is now. Atm you have no way of distinguishing: you were born in this society, you will spend all your life embedded in it, you will die in it. Your idea of your worth self v.s. the rest maybe unrealistic. It is as impossible to separate YourSelf from the rest of the Society, as it is impossible for a fish to separate ItSelf from the Water in which it spends its entire existence. An even weaker experiment is to emigrate, change your place of living with different geography, language, where you will start alone and you will know no one and no one will know you.
12:10 PM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809901680458133706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am well aware having been a user of an ID card for 30 years (and still holding an ID card in the country of my birth), and for the next 25 years living in the UK without an ID card. I am well aware that there are pros- and cons- . How aware are you yourself of the same?
11:46 AM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am well aware having been a user of an ID card for 30 years (and still holding an ID card in the country of my birth), and for the next 25 years living in the UK without an ID card. I am well aware that there are pros- and cons- . How aware are you yourself of the same?
11:46 AM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809900125621199335
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ID cards look like part of a solution - but pls examine all evidence with critical eye, don't just assume. They impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales? Do countries with various forms of obligatory-ID whether digital or cards handle immigration any better? Is UK immigration control now hard b/c we don't know the identity of the people coming in? Did voter-ID introduction in the UK reduce voting fraud? Was the cost - incl voters falsely turned back - worth it?
My prejudice is that - no, it's not worth it. Based on: 1) I lived for the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID card (in extremis: failing to produce one on demand 12am-5am would land me in a police station until someone else could come in and confirm my identity to the satisfaction of the policeman manning the desk) 2) have spent some thoughts about pros- and cons- of them.
11:39 AM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ID cards look like part of a solution - but pls examine all evidence with critical eye, don't just assume. They impose costs - in time, money, effort, liberty. Are these costs worth the gains, once we add all arguments and evidence on both sides of the scales? Do countries with various forms of obligatory-ID whether digital or cards handle immigration any better? Is UK immigration control now hard b/c we don't know the identity of the people coming in? Did voter-ID introduction in the UK reduce voting fraud? Was the cost - incl voters falsely turned back - worth it?
My prejudice is that - no, it's not worth it. Based on: 1) I lived for the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID card (in extremis: failing to produce one on demand 12am-5am would land me in a police station until someone else could come in and confirm my identity to the satisfaction of the policeman manning the desk) 2) have spent some thoughts about pros- and cons- of them.
11:39 AM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809885155533709811
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Stay well in academia Prof. There are no "irrefutable arguments" for any system, incl PR. All systems make trade-offs. ChatGPT comes back with more reasonable assessment then yours I'm afraid:
Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
And I'm sure you know but writing it for the benefit of any reader: political systems evolve, grow over time, to suit the political actors and balance their powers. Oft result of wars conflicts and blood spilled. If there ever was a Chesterton fence argument for anything - it's for the voting system. Be humble, assume to know little, don't change willy-nilly, and esp not b/c you think "I know better". I'm confident there is no politician at present willing to expand capital on this futile idea further. Hopefully the memory of 2011 is still with them and LDM laid to waste dissuade any takers. There is plenty of more important, more urgent work to be done, with multiple crisis abound. Any academics are welcome to do field work and uncover evidence from countries with different systems than UK, see what their users - voters (and also politicians etc; but esp *not* what the UK researcher) think of them, poss along the lines of https://x.com/mattpovey/status/1809216786740707594 .
10:40 AM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Stay well in academia Prof. There are no "irrefutable arguments" for any system, incl PR. All systems make trade-offs. ChatGPT comes back with more reasonable assessment then yours I'm afraid:
Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
And I'm sure you know but writing it for the benefit of any reader: political systems evolve, grow over time, to suit the political actors and balance their powers. Oft result of wars conflicts and blood spilled. If there ever was a Chesterton fence argument for anything - it's for the voting system. Be humble, assume to know little, don't change willy-nilly, and esp not b/c you think "I know better". I'm confident there is no politician at present willing to expand capital on this futile idea further. Hopefully the memory of 2011 is still with them and LDM laid to waste dissuade any takers. There is plenty of more important, more urgent work to be done, with multiple crisis abound. Any academics are welcome to do field work and uncover evidence from countries with different systems than UK, see what their users - voters (and also politicians etc; but esp *not* what the UK researcher) think of them, poss along the lines of https://x.com/mattpovey/status/1809216786740707594 .
10:40 AM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809873992456540501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The freeholder FH always has the upper hand, holds the whip hand if you like. FH writes invoices, leaseholder LH pays them. If not - the property is repossessed, the LH is kicked out homeless, and saddled with liable for a mortgage, but without the asset the mortgage paid for. There is on paper some legal recourse - tribunals, like special court. But in practice not really. It is slow, uncertain, take tons of time and energy from the LH to pursue. Even if LH wins favorable decision, then LH can't get enforcement, and even if it gets it, then any £££ hit to FH, FH will simply charge it to LH send an invoice to LH for that! Has to be seen to be believed. Being a naturalized citizen, when I read through the lease document at 1st I though I misunderstood: my flat I was buying, reverts, becomes property of the FH again, after 100 yrs! It is so b/c I don't actually own that flat - I just buy the right to reside in the flat for the next 100 yrs. Subject to many conditions. Right that can be taken away if I fail to pay a random invoice of > £250. There are FH that are semi-criminal organizations, and they cotton on many schemes of squeezing the LH and keep doing it - there is no respite no end. It's like paying extra tax, but this time to a crafty almost-criminal. Search FB support groups (or DM me), you will find plenty. A scam I personally got hit: buying a flat, FH never responds to any solicitor communication, legal transfers notifications etc go not done (b/c FH never responds to anything), buyer is unaware, within 12 month will be hit by £3K split between FH fees and penalties for this and that, debt collection agency etc. Ofc LH will *not* be notified of anything beforehand - LH will find out when debt collector contacts the mortgage lender, and the lender contacts LH. The best case if FH is lost in the mist of time unknown (happens sometimes) - then it can be like "owning a normal flat": LH maintains the property, pays etc for what is needed as it's needed. Does not pay the extra "FH tax" on the top of that. I suspect 1/2 to 2/3 of my yearly bill is "FH tax" - looking at what I'm charged for, versus what is actually done.
9:56 AM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The freeholder FH always has the upper hand, holds the whip hand if you like. FH writes invoices, leaseholder LH pays them. If not - the property is repossessed, the LH is kicked out homeless, and saddled with liable for a mortgage, but without the asset the mortgage paid for. There is on paper some legal recourse - tribunals, like special court. But in practice not really. It is slow, uncertain, take tons of time and energy from the LH to pursue. Even if LH wins favorable decision, then LH can't get enforcement, and even if it gets it, then any £££ hit to FH, FH will simply charge it to LH send an invoice to LH for that! Has to be seen to be believed. Being a naturalized citizen, when I read through the lease document at 1st I though I misunderstood: my flat I was buying, reverts, becomes property of the FH again, after 100 yrs! It is so b/c I don't actually own that flat - I just buy the right to reside in the flat for the next 100 yrs. Subject to many conditions. Right that can be taken away if I fail to pay a random invoice of > £250. There are FH that are semi-criminal organizations, and they cotton on many schemes of squeezing the LH and keep doing it - there is no respite no end. It's like paying extra tax, but this time to a crafty almost-criminal. Search FB support groups (or DM me), you will find plenty. A scam I personally got hit: buying a flat, FH never responds to any solicitor communication, legal transfers notifications etc go not done (b/c FH never responds to anything), buyer is unaware, within 12 month will be hit by £3K split between FH fees and penalties for this and that, debt collection agency etc. Ofc LH will *not* be notified of anything beforehand - LH will find out when debt collector contacts the mortgage lender, and the lender contacts LH. The best case if FH is lost in the mist of time unknown (happens sometimes) - then it can be like "owning a normal flat": LH maintains the property, pays etc for what is needed as it's needed. Does not pay the extra "FH tax" on the top of that. I suspect 1/2 to 2/3 of my yearly bill is "FH tax" - looking at what I'm charged for, versus what is actually done.
9:56 AM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809853673704427902
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information is fundamental, matter and energy are its physical realizations.
8:35 AM · Jul 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information is fundamental, matter and energy are its physical realizations.
8:35 AM · Jul 7, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809631507201273929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Accountable to everyone == accountable to no one in particular. All accountable == none accountable. Accountable by definition means identifying 1 out of N. So saying "all N" on either side is reduction of accountability, not increase. Language metaphors are tad misleading.
5:52 PM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Accountable to everyone == accountable to no one in particular. All accountable == none accountable. Accountable by definition means identifying 1 out of N. So saying "all N" on either side is reduction of accountability, not increase. Language metaphors are tad misleading.
5:52 PM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809584330273862057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wd be good to find out more if possible abt any impact it had. My prejudice is that it was a non-solution to a non-problem, and best to scrap it. If Chesterton's fence ever applied to anything it surely applies to the voting system: don't mess with it for sh*ts and giggles.
Quote
Robert Saunders @redhistorian · 3h
This was the first GE conducted under Voter ID.
I don't know if that had any impact on low turnout, but we should want to find out.
There should be a thorough investigation into its working at this election. That might reassure critics like me - or show the need for change.
Show more
2:44 PM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wd be good to find out more if possible abt any impact it had. My prejudice is that it was a non-solution to a non-problem, and best to scrap it. If Chesterton's fence ever applied to anything it surely applies to the voting system: don't mess with it for sh*ts and giggles.
Quote
Robert Saunders @redhistorian · 3h
This was the first GE conducted under Voter ID.
I don't know if that had any impact on low turnout, but we should want to find out.
There should be a thorough investigation into its working at this election. That might reassure critics like me - or show the need for change.
Show more
2:44 PM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809583010552959395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. Jas ziveam na Zapadot. Moze MK misli, no zapadot samiot sigurno ne misli deka hegemonijata e zagarantirana, naprotiv: celo vreme ima problemi i krizi na site strani. (koi i probuva da gi resava)
2. Se razbira deka dogovorite ne se vecni, posto nisto ne e vecno. Dogovorite se korisni. Ako utre 4-te volka resat da ja podelat MKD - sto ke pravite? Dogovorite vi pomagaat toa da ne se sluci.
3. Sposobnosta se dokazuva so pravenje. Napravete nesto kolektivno i ke si dokazete sebe si deka ste sposobni. Duri ne ste napravile - mozno e i da ste kolektivno nesposobni. (sto god "kolektivno ne/sposobni" na znaci)
2:39 PM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. Jas ziveam na Zapadot. Moze MK misli, no zapadot samiot sigurno ne misli deka hegemonijata e zagarantirana, naprotiv: celo vreme ima problemi i krizi na site strani. (koi i probuva da gi resava)
2. Se razbira deka dogovorite ne se vecni, posto nisto ne e vecno. Dogovorite se korisni. Ako utre 4-te volka resat da ja podelat MKD - sto ke pravite? Dogovorite vi pomagaat toa da ne se sluci.
3. Sposobnosta se dokazuva so pravenje. Napravete nesto kolektivno i ke si dokazete sebe si deka ste sposobni. Duri ne ste napravile - mozno e i da ste kolektivno nesposobni. (sto god "kolektivno ne/sposobni" na znaci)
2:39 PM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809564837204119639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a non-solution to a non-problem - probably best to just scrap it.
1:27 PM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a non-solution to a non-problem - probably best to just scrap it.
1:27 PM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809554943793086925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! I liked "Your Money Matters" https://moneysavingexpert.com/family/financial-education/
too. They are all very good, but I'd say - there's too much there. They don't hold even my attention for long enough - and I'm not even a teenager! 😆 The topic is inherently boring. Better admit and address, than pretend ignore. I'd say the solution is - we need a hero that can take from them all and condense the "greatest hits", the "top 10", short and punchy, and in a form of a visual book of the sorts of Harari's "Unstoppable Us" and Caplan's "Build, Baby, Build" and "Open Borders". That may have some chance to succeed where most usually fail.
From moneysavingexpert.com
12:48 PM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! I liked "Your Money Matters" https://moneysavingexpert.com/family/financial-education/
too. They are all very good, but I'd say - there's too much there. They don't hold even my attention for long enough - and I'm not even a teenager! 😆 The topic is inherently boring. Better admit and address, than pretend ignore. I'd say the solution is - we need a hero that can take from them all and condense the "greatest hits", the "top 10", short and punchy, and in a form of a visual book of the sorts of Harari's "Unstoppable Us" and Caplan's "Build, Baby, Build" and "Open Borders". That may have some chance to succeed where most usually fail.
From moneysavingexpert.com
12:48 PM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809539830369382627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FPTP has stood the test of time. If there ever was a Chesterton fence argument for "don't mess with stuff that evolved over time works reasonabley well b/c you don't know much and will likely make it worse or even ruin it". The current crop of Tory bolshie Vandals wd of course now want a swing at the electoral system that booted them out - of course they wd! How about a - NO!! It's not the FPTP it's the Tories that were bad, and good riddance to bad rubbish. The system worked in the end.
11:48 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FPTP has stood the test of time. If there ever was a Chesterton fence argument for "don't mess with stuff that evolved over time works reasonabley well b/c you don't know much and will likely make it worse or even ruin it". The current crop of Tory bolshie Vandals wd of course now want a swing at the electoral system that booted them out - of course they wd! How about a - NO!! It's not the FPTP it's the Tories that were bad, and good riddance to bad rubbish. The system worked in the end.
11:48 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809534632175550792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not that unexpected and peculiar imo. Liberal centrists have not much to fear from the right, they are complementary, they are not competing as much. However - with the left they are more of competitors than cohabitors. My fault with Corbyn-istas is they almost behave as if Communism (and Socialism, as it was in the Eastern block and elsewhere) did not collapse completely, was not completely discredited by the vast crimes committed in its name, by failing in every geography, every continent, every time it was tried. They need to update their world view for the 21-st century and leave the sorry 20-th century behind. Too bad Graeber left so early - he seemed the kind of thinker capable of synthesis of new ideas and modernization of old ones.
11:27 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not that unexpected and peculiar imo. Liberal centrists have not much to fear from the right, they are complementary, they are not competing as much. However - with the left they are more of competitors than cohabitors. My fault with Corbyn-istas is they almost behave as if Communism (and Socialism, as it was in the Eastern block and elsewhere) did not collapse completely, was not completely discredited by the vast crimes committed in its name, by failing in every geography, every continent, every time it was tried. They need to update their world view for the 21-st century and leave the sorry 20-th century behind. Too bad Graeber left so early - he seemed the kind of thinker capable of synthesis of new ideas and modernization of old ones.
11:27 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809532605420724292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes excellent. It's not that no one has picked it up. People do pick pick it up, but - so what? What do these people do about it? As he correctly says - this stuff works with the voters, these two game plays are successful, and complementing each other fill the political space. People objecting (e.g. myself included) have not come with a 3rd story that is competitive and compelling enough to out compete these 2 existing stories (he identifies and elucidates well), and carve up some of that political space for itself. Atm these 2 incumbents dominate completely, there is no void left, b/c they fit and complement each other well.
11:19 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes excellent. It's not that no one has picked it up. People do pick pick it up, but - so what? What do these people do about it? As he correctly says - this stuff works with the voters, these two game plays are successful, and complementing each other fill the political space. People objecting (e.g. myself included) have not come with a 3rd story that is competitive and compelling enough to out compete these 2 existing stories (he identifies and elucidates well), and carve up some of that political space for itself. Atm these 2 incumbents dominate completely, there is no void left, b/c they fit and complement each other well.
11:19 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809529659463192891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fair. To be slightly procedural: you disagree with "FPTP creates more accountability", but then you make an argument on representation "... by distorting representation". But the 2nd (representation) is not the same as the 1st (accountability). These are different dimensions we care about, different axis that we make compromises on. What quantity is gained in one quality, is lost in the other quality. I thought the ChatGPT summary was ok, spelling out the trade offs.
11:07 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fair. To be slightly procedural: you disagree with "FPTP creates more accountability", but then you make an argument on representation "... by distorting representation". But the 2nd (representation) is not the same as the 1st (accountability). These are different dimensions we care about, different axis that we make compromises on. What quantity is gained in one quality, is lost in the other quality. I thought the ChatGPT summary was ok, spelling out the trade offs.
11:07 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809516719989301297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"UK is comfortable" as in: we were given a Referendum on the issue in 2011, and we voted 2:1 to keep the existing FPTP in preference to changing to AV. That's not rubbish. And I would not call your opinions rubbish either. What you say is reasonable, but it's just made up stories: that majority want this or that, higher turnout, more "representative" (whatever it means for you) etc. This is something you hope for - but you have no evidence if it's going to turn out that way. If you have strong opinions, you owe it to yourself to read up on the topic . All voting systems have pros and cons. Here is a ChatGPT summary of the trade offs for you:
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
10:16 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"UK is comfortable" as in: we were given a Referendum on the issue in 2011, and we voted 2:1 to keep the existing FPTP in preference to changing to AV. That's not rubbish. And I would not call your opinions rubbish either. What you say is reasonable, but it's just made up stories: that majority want this or that, higher turnout, more "representative" (whatever it means for you) etc. This is something you hope for - but you have no evidence if it's going to turn out that way. If you have strong opinions, you owe it to yourself to read up on the topic . All voting systems have pros and cons. Here is a ChatGPT summary of the trade offs for you:
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
10:16 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809502937200075200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They all score differently on various axis of interest. So there are trade offs to be considered, there is not one perfect system. Asked ChatGPT to summarize it for me:
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes) Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
My experience on these elections actually matched what @mattpovey described here https://x.com/mattpovey/status/1809216786740707594
FPTP has accountability going for it - there is a direct line voter-to-MP, we all know our representative by name. All other systems dilute that to some extent.
9:21 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They all score differently on various axis of interest. So there are trade offs to be considered, there is not one perfect system. Asked ChatGPT to summarize it for me:
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes) Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
My experience on these elections actually matched what @mattpovey described here https://x.com/mattpovey/status/1809216786740707594
FPTP has accountability going for it - there is a direct line voter-to-MP, we all know our representative by name. All other systems dilute that to some extent.
9:21 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809498637660983667
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, we all find that objectionable, but: it does help creating stable governments. So it's a feature in addition to being a bug. :-) It's a clean break - one team is off the pitch, and a whole new team is out to play. All voting systems have pros-and cons- and make trade offs on the axis like accountability, representation, proportion, complexity, etc. I found excellent this contribution of a UK person living in NL and getting to know their system (and changing his opinion on the comparative pros-and-cons UK and NL it seems) https://x.com/mattpovey/status/1809216786740707594 . My voting experience actually matched what he described - I did it without thinking explicitly about it.
FPTP has accountability going for it - there is a direct line voter-to-MP, we know our representative by name. Zero dilution of responsibility is I think a very good feature in this day and age. Other systems don't have that or don't have it to that extent.
No system is perfect. I asked ChatGPT to summarize the pros- and cons- of different voting systems:
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
9:04 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, we all find that objectionable, but: it does help creating stable governments. So it's a feature in addition to being a bug. :-) It's a clean break - one team is off the pitch, and a whole new team is out to play. All voting systems have pros-and cons- and make trade offs on the axis like accountability, representation, proportion, complexity, etc. I found excellent this contribution of a UK person living in NL and getting to know their system (and changing his opinion on the comparative pros-and-cons UK and NL it seems) https://x.com/mattpovey/status/1809216786740707594 . My voting experience actually matched what he described - I did it without thinking explicitly about it.
FPTP has accountability going for it - there is a direct line voter-to-MP, we know our representative by name. Zero dilution of responsibility is I think a very good feature in this day and age. Other systems don't have that or don't have it to that extent.
No system is perfect. I asked ChatGPT to summarize the pros- and cons- of different voting systems:
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
9:04 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809418037398733015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
life's s bitch and then you die
3:44 AM · Jul 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
life's s bitch and then you die
3:44 AM · Jul 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809210655699804654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahhh - thanks, tried now but need to subscribe.
> Hello, I have a graph with joint probability z=f(x,y) 3d function graph, then a plane x=c which is the observed variable x to have value c cross section with the joint pdf f(x,y), and then the outline that is conditional probability f(y|x=c) which is rescaled f(x=c,y) with a scaler that is the marginal probability f(x) at point x=c. If I give you the graph plot picture, can you make it nicer, can you make it as if a sketch drawn by hand, but still retaining the significant features that I care about?
Image
pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
8:38 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahhh - thanks, tried now but need to subscribe.
> Hello, I have a graph with joint probability z=f(x,y) 3d function graph, then a plane x=c which is the observed variable x to have value c cross section with the joint pdf f(x,y), and then the outline that is conditional probability f(y|x=c) which is rescaled f(x=c,y) with a scaler that is the marginal probability f(x) at point x=c. If I give you the graph plot picture, can you make it nicer, can you make it as if a sketch drawn by hand, but still retaining the significant features that I care about?
Image
pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
8:38 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809306862128624021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It does have downsides, but undemocratic is not the one I'd have thought to be the top of the list? Voting systems can be scored on various axis of qualities we care abut, they all have pros- and cons- and trade offs. ChatGPT summary - hope you don't mind :-)
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It does have downsides, but undemocratic is not the one I'd have thought to be the top of the list? Voting systems can be scored on various axis of qualities we care abut, they all have pros- and cons- and trade offs. ChatGPT summary - hope you don't mind :-)
Proportionality in Representation
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
High: PR, STV, MMP
Moderate: AV
Low: FPTP
Transparency
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
High: FPTP (simple process)
Moderate: PR, MMP (complex but clear rules)
Low: STV, AV (complex counting processes)
Accountability to Voters
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
8:22 PM · Jul 5, 2024
High: FPTP (direct link to representatives)
Moderate: MMP (dual accountability)
Low: PR, STV (weaker individual accountability due to party lists and multi-member constituencies)
8:22 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809302246108131727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - what you highlight is a valid complaint, but it's lack of representation (on part of the losing side, at least), not lack of accountability. All voting systems have trade offs, on various features we care about (proportionality/representation, accountability, etc). If you feel strongly about this - I hope you research the topic and find out more about the pros- and cons- of various systems. There is no perfect system on all axis of difference (if there was - all countries in the world would have switched to it), there are always trade offs.
8:04 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - what you highlight is a valid complaint, but it's lack of representation (on part of the losing side, at least), not lack of accountability. All voting systems have trade offs, on various features we care about (proportionality/representation, accountability, etc). If you feel strongly about this - I hope you research the topic and find out more about the pros- and cons- of various systems. There is no perfect system on all axis of difference (if there was - all countries in the world would have switched to it), there are always trade offs.
8:04 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809287642955280770
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍😊 Yeah they are almost all "magnanimous in victory, gracious in defeat". Feeling fond of my adopted country on a rainy day like this. 🤩
7:06 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍😊 Yeah they are almost all "magnanimous in victory, gracious in defeat". Feeling fond of my adopted country on a rainy day like this. 🤩
7:06 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809280571652084190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you, 🙏 that's very kind. ☺️ Wish I could find the author to attribute it - usually I record the source but somehow missed it for this one.
6:37 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank you, 🙏 that's very kind. ☺️ Wish I could find the author to attribute it - usually I record the source but somehow missed it for this one.
6:37 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809279641288413435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too huge fan of 3Blue1Brown. :-)
Do you maybe know of LLM that would hand draw sketch a picture I give it with some explaining and instructions?
Probabilities - joint, conditional, marginal - at school we were taught in the most un-intuitive way possible anti-pedagogical even
6:34 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too huge fan of 3Blue1Brown. :-)
Do you maybe know of LLM that would hand draw sketch a picture I give it with some explaining and instructions?
Probabilities - joint, conditional, marginal - at school we were taught in the most un-intuitive way possible anti-pedagogical even
6:34 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809276146325786824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now then - if in a PR system "I the resident have a choice of 10 MPs to go to", and they are accountable to me, then in the current FPTP system where a I have choice of 1, can't be "That just isn't so" for accountability then, can it? That 1 is at least as accountable, and maybe up 10 times more accountable to me, than the 10 MPs in a PR system. If we are talking about accountability. FPTP is not proportional and therefore maybe unfair to some degree on that criteria - but on the accountability axis no system scores higher than it.
6:20 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now then - if in a PR system "I the resident have a choice of 10 MPs to go to", and they are accountable to me, then in the current FPTP system where a I have choice of 1, can't be "That just isn't so" for accountability then, can it? That 1 is at least as accountable, and maybe up 10 times more accountable to me, than the 10 MPs in a PR system. If we are talking about accountability. FPTP is not proportional and therefore maybe unfair to some degree on that criteria - but on the accountability axis no system scores higher than it.
6:20 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809273660215013782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The MP may blame whatever reasons (whip etc) and excuses - but you the voter 1) have one MP that you know by name 2) you know how that MP voted, 3) in every Parliament vote. That's what I mean by accountability. In other voting systems we may not even get our own one single MP.
6:10 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The MP may blame whatever reasons (whip etc) and excuses - but you the voter 1) have one MP that you know by name 2) you know how that MP voted, 3) in every Parliament vote. That's what I mean by accountability. In other voting systems we may not even get our own one single MP.
6:10 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809256424964309133
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Financial literacy shd be part of school curriculum. Maybe it already is? Don't recall my kids learning abt progressive taxation. This pic is I think perfect, explaining it "Ikea style: you may think it's like this, but it's like that". (author of this pic is unknown to me)
Image
progressive-tax-illustrated.jpg
5:02 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Financial literacy shd be part of school curriculum. Maybe it already is? Don't recall my kids learning abt progressive taxation. This pic is I think perfect, explaining it "Ikea style: you may think it's like this, but it's like that". (author of this pic is unknown to me)
Image
progressive-tax-illustrated.jpg
5:02 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809253851775606799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, well - the party apparatchiks appointed directors, controllers, and what not for their fealty to the REF-leaning-CON wing of the (formerly) ruling party, and their over-promoted minions not delivering quality?? Count me (not) surprised.
4:51 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, well - the party apparatchiks appointed directors, controllers, and what not for their fealty to the REF-leaning-CON wing of the (formerly) ruling party, and their over-promoted minions not delivering quality?? Count me (not) surprised.
4:51 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809249122437812524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get @taylorswift13
endorse it, or at least write a song about it? For the current boomers it's too late anyways (people don't change their minds - they just die, that's how change happens), need to educate and inform the next generations.
4:32 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get @taylorswift13
endorse it, or at least write a song about it? For the current boomers it's too late anyways (people don't change their minds - they just die, that's how change happens), need to educate and inform the next generations.
4:32 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809243503328629066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wow - toddler tantrum much? 😂😂 perfect twitter
4:10 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wow - toddler tantrum much? 😂😂 perfect twitter
4:10 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809242331041697838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think please - you have a good brain make use of it please. Not everyone is as lucky as yourself - you have responsibility towards the less fortunate. "Weird" is a feeling - and a fleeting one at that - not an argument.
4:06 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think please - you have a good brain make use of it please. Not everyone is as lucky as yourself - you have responsibility towards the less fortunate. "Weird" is a feeling - and a fleeting one at that - not an argument.
4:06 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809240882647875593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why you thinik "I don't get FPTP", whatever the meaning of "get" you have in mind. I was here in the UK in the past two decades. I didn't like the gov we had didn't vote them - but they were voted in by a significant enough portion of the electorate, no doubts about that.
4:00 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why you thinik "I don't get FPTP", whatever the meaning of "get" you have in mind. I was here in the UK in the past two decades. I didn't like the gov we had didn't vote them - but they were voted in by a significant enough portion of the electorate, no doubts about that.
4:00 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809237963064164625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think FPTP coped well - would not be in favour of changing it right now. All voting systems present trade offs, FPTP scales MAX on accountability. With UK absurdly centralized power in Whitehall/Westminster and lack of much transparency - having a direct feedback is valuable.
3:48 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think FPTP coped well - would not be in favour of changing it right now. All voting systems present trade offs, FPTP scales MAX on accountability. With UK absurdly centralized power in Whitehall/Westminster and lack of much transparency - having a direct feedback is valuable.
3:48 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809236816605610370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think FPTP coped well, with many more seats becoming marginal than before? FPTP has the *accountability* going for it: I know exactly the name of my MP. There is a direct line between myself and my representative (hello @TweetingCollins - and congratulations! 👏☺️ ), there exists a completely undiluted feedback. Also - FPTP forced me to consider my choice more carefully: in addition to thinking about my desired ideal candidate, I had to consider the probability of its winning versus me wasting my vote. The electoral system is country-wide huge, evolved with its users - voters, but also other actors - parties, state, king - organically. If there ever was a case to be conservative with any change and prefer no-change to change - the electoral system is it.
Quote
John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch · 13h
I just can’t get past Labour winning 65% of seats off 34% of the vote.
Absolutely wild mismatch between the headline result and, well, everything else.
Britain is now a multi-party system, and first-past-the-post can’t cope.
Show more
Image
3:44 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think FPTP coped well, with many more seats becoming marginal than before? FPTP has the *accountability* going for it: I know exactly the name of my MP. There is a direct line between myself and my representative (hello @TweetingCollins - and congratulations! 👏☺️ ), there exists a completely undiluted feedback. Also - FPTP forced me to consider my choice more carefully: in addition to thinking about my desired ideal candidate, I had to consider the probability of its winning versus me wasting my vote. The electoral system is country-wide huge, evolved with its users - voters, but also other actors - parties, state, king - organically. If there ever was a case to be conservative with any change and prefer no-change to change - the electoral system is it.
Quote
John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch · 13h
I just can’t get past Labour winning 65% of seats off 34% of the vote.
Absolutely wild mismatch between the headline result and, well, everything else.
Britain is now a multi-party system, and first-past-the-post can’t cope.
Show more
Image
3:44 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809228949425119293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah maybe having the option of the King via appointing the winner as new PM and then possibly throwing such miscreant sore loser in the Tower of London 😜 to reconsider his life choices may contribute to that. Import a King for a very limited role-play maybe like UK did? 😆🤪
3:12 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah maybe having the option of the King via appointing the winner as new PM and then possibly throwing such miscreant sore loser in the Tower of London 😜 to reconsider his life choices may contribute to that. Import a King for a very limited role-play maybe like UK did? 😆🤪
3:12 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809224941994471838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - huge system like a country wide electoral system evolves together with it's users (voters but also other actors - political parties, civil service, king), match each other like a hand and a glove, likely better adjusted to each other than any other system might be in the short term, probably even medium term.
2:56 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - huge system like a country wide electoral system evolves together with it's users (voters but also other actors - political parties, civil service, king), match each other like a hand and a glove, likely better adjusted to each other than any other system might be in the short term, probably even medium term.
2:56 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809223233079845015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's even better than that, you are underselling this if I may say. :-) That @geoffreyhinton 's very lucid observation was: while AI can explain a joke (why it's funny), it's very bad when it comes to writing a joke. B/c working out a good punch line requires planning in advance. AI starts writing what sounds like a joke, goes on for a few sentences, but then it comes up with the lamest of punchlines, b/c it has not pre-planned the punchline. It has to invent one in the last sentence, and there aren't good options at that point, it's too late.
Quote
AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️ @AISafetyMemes · 15h
Study finds ChatGPT is now as funny as The Onion
Why this matters:
‘Godfather of AI’ @GeoffreyHinton pulled the fire alarm because AIs could suddenly explain jokes - a litmus test for true understanding.
He thought we were decades away.
What's even crazier about this study is x.com/AISafetyMemes/…
Show more
Image
2:50 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's even better than that, you are underselling this if I may say. :-) That @geoffreyhinton 's very lucid observation was: while AI can explain a joke (why it's funny), it's very bad when it comes to writing a joke. B/c working out a good punch line requires planning in advance. AI starts writing what sounds like a joke, goes on for a few sentences, but then it comes up with the lamest of punchlines, b/c it has not pre-planned the punchline. It has to invent one in the last sentence, and there aren't good options at that point, it's too late.
Quote
AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️ @AISafetyMemes · 15h
Study finds ChatGPT is now as funny as The Onion
Why this matters:
‘Godfather of AI’ @GeoffreyHinton pulled the fire alarm because AIs could suddenly explain jokes - a litmus test for true understanding.
He thought we were decades away.
What's even crazier about this study is x.com/AISafetyMemes/…
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2:50 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809220222684954994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So maybe an argument for >1 MP: I can approach the one most sympathetic, and or most capable, to whatever ails me and I seek help with. But that also dilutes responsibility - they can fob me off to the next guy, and also come judgement day like today. If the system was more open, more transparent, or even if dare I say we had radical transparency in http://gov.uk, the Civil Service and in Westminster - than maybe I'd change my mind. As things are - the only feedback our rulers/representatives get between their actions and the consequences of their actions for them is day like today once in 5 years.
2:38 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So maybe an argument for >1 MP: I can approach the one most sympathetic, and or most capable, to whatever ails me and I seek help with. But that also dilutes responsibility - they can fob me off to the next guy, and also come judgement day like today. If the system was more open, more transparent, or even if dare I say we had radical transparency in http://gov.uk, the Civil Service and in Westminster - than maybe I'd change my mind. As things are - the only feedback our rulers/representatives get between their actions and the consequences of their actions for them is day like today once in 5 years.
2:38 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809218533970338278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good argument! Have not thought of that, even if it matches my experience! 😮 Living in a (formerly) safe CON seat, had to consider not only my "ideal party" - that I was not even sure of - but also the possibility that my vote maybe wasted. That concentrated the mind! So I thought - well, better moderate my expectation, choose a 2nd-3rd-... best myself that has a chance of getting in.
2:31 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good argument! Have not thought of that, even if it matches my experience! 😮 Living in a (formerly) safe CON seat, had to consider not only my "ideal party" - that I was not even sure of - but also the possibility that my vote maybe wasted. That concentrated the mind! So I thought - well, better moderate my expectation, choose a 2nd-3rd-... best myself that has a chance of getting in.
2:31 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809215538494648764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly a better compromise. I thought a variant of that was proposed in the Referendum we had for changing the electoral system - and wasn't voted in.
2:19 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly a better compromise. I thought a variant of that was proposed in the Referendum we had for changing the electoral system - and wasn't voted in.
2:19 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1809210655699804654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FPTP is a huge positive in ACCOUNTABILITY: every voter knows the name of their MP. There is a direct line voter-to-representative, allowing for direct feedback. There is no perfect system - only trade offs. The proportional system is bad on the accountability axis.
Quote
Mike Galsworthy @mikegalsworthy · 5h
Do our Conservative colleagues now see why Proportional Representation is a fairer system? Now they’re at the sharp end of it?
Let’s put aside party politics and admit that “winner takes all” has huge flaws — a more representative and collaborative democracy may be what we need.
2:00 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FPTP is a huge positive in ACCOUNTABILITY: every voter knows the name of their MP. There is a direct line voter-to-representative, allowing for direct feedback. There is no perfect system - only trade offs. The proportional system is bad on the accountability axis.
Quote
Mike Galsworthy @mikegalsworthy · 5h
Do our Conservative colleagues now see why Proportional Representation is a fairer system? Now they’re at the sharp end of it?
Let’s put aside party politics and admit that “winner takes all” has huge flaws — a more representative and collaborative democracy may be what we need.
2:00 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809199299177115931
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It has the huge positive in accountability: every voters knows the name of their representative MP. There is a direct line voter-to-representative allowing for direct feedback. There is no perfect system - only trade offs. FPTP trade offs UK electorate is comfortable with.
1:15 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It has the huge positive in accountability: every voters knows the name of their representative MP. There is a direct line voter-to-representative allowing for direct feedback. There is no perfect system - only trade offs. FPTP trade offs UK electorate is comfortable with.
1:15 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809180467029012921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This to my eyes is non-native English speaker, someone who's English is a 2-nd language. ChatGPT has better English than this. The fact that you are willing to make such consequential decision on so little evidence and without much reflection reflects badly on you tbh.
12:00 PM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This to my eyes is non-native English speaker, someone who's English is a 2-nd language. ChatGPT has better English than this. The fact that you are willing to make such consequential decision on so little evidence and without much reflection reflects badly on you tbh.
12:00 PM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809179492738330676
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and how does that compare to X? I'm finding the X SNR good most of the times (esp with Lists etc), but often it feels like shouting in the void. As there is never much traction interaction for my level of boring that is about 100. Boring level 100 == for every 100 views on average I see 1 Like, which is the only feedback I have that anyone read it. Hm - maybe I should try Reddit, maybe there more like minded souls there?
11:56 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and how does that compare to X? I'm finding the X SNR good most of the times (esp with Lists etc), but often it feels like shouting in the void. As there is never much traction interaction for my level of boring that is about 100. Boring level 100 == for every 100 views on average I see 1 Like, which is the only feedback I have that anyone read it. Hm - maybe I should try Reddit, maybe there more like minded souls there?
11:56 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809166201475518650
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please change the framing, as it is smacks of being overly self-serving:
- forecasts were over optimistic for LAB
- ... but over pessimistic for REF
Reality comes 1st, models come 2nd. Let us Data people do better than our detractors or previous incumbents.
11:03 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please change the framing, as it is smacks of being overly self-serving:
- forecasts were over optimistic for LAB
- ... but over pessimistic for REF
Reality comes 1st, models come 2nd. Let us Data people do better than our detractors or previous incumbents.
11:03 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809164999618609385
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Harpenden and Berkhamsted - new constituency, but previously all parts were CON. Now all switched to LDM and LAB.
10:58 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Harpenden and Berkhamsted - new constituency, but previously all parts were CON. Now all switched to LDM and LAB.
10:58 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809157544293826813
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Consider quant finance/trading. Unlike 100% beauty contest academia, there is ~50% objective criterion if one is doing right/wrong (the rest being luck or the lack of it). SNR is low and data limited (unlike in AI), there is scope for prior knowledge, holds Bayes hope. (cope?)
10:29 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Consider quant finance/trading. Unlike 100% beauty contest academia, there is ~50% objective criterion if one is doing right/wrong (the rest being luck or the lack of it). SNR is low and data limited (unlike in AI), there is scope for prior knowledge, holds Bayes hope. (cope?)
10:29 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809156075226022019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not VSP though, are they? They are just dumb rent a mouths that earn their living chatting sh*t incessantly.
10:23 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are not VSP though, are they? They are just dumb rent a mouths that earn their living chatting sh*t incessantly.
10:23 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809155266077774229
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free marketeers miss that: 1) All societal groups have positive feedback loops. 2) A perfectly free market with zero friction ends in monopoly; realistically, we get oligopolies forming informal cartels shortly before. 3) Free-for-all politics leads to plutocracy or neo-feudalism, with plutes money turning 1-person-1-vote into 1-$-1-vote. 4) Price signals use negative feedback to balance supply/demand and that's why markets work. 5) And that's why when we try to create markets where there are none, without creating a -ve feedback, we end with cargo-cult zombie non-markets. (@AndyBlaaake reply too)
10:20 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free marketeers miss that: 1) All societal groups have positive feedback loops. 2) A perfectly free market with zero friction ends in monopoly; realistically, we get oligopolies forming informal cartels shortly before. 3) Free-for-all politics leads to plutocracy or neo-feudalism, with plutes money turning 1-person-1-vote into 1-$-1-vote. 4) Price signals use negative feedback to balance supply/demand and that's why markets work. 5) And that's why when we try to create markets where there are none, without creating a -ve feedback, we end with cargo-cult zombie non-markets. (@AndyBlaaake reply too)
10:20 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809144061795700929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The kardashian wannabe of UK politics - alas not the only or even the worst. Sometimes I think - well that's depressing yeah we are sliding into Idiocracy... Other times I'm more - nah, maybe, but it's always been like this and even way worse in times past. good fun
9:35 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The kardashian wannabe of UK politics - alas not the only or even the worst. Sometimes I think - well that's depressing yeah we are sliding into Idiocracy... Other times I'm more - nah, maybe, but it's always been like this and even way worse in times past. good fun
9:35 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809133978026148262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I came from Matlab and R to python, could scarcely believe my eyes what I found. In my job correctness is crucial, any errors are direct $$$ loss. Pandas not being blindingly obvious if changing a matrix changes the existing one, or the changed result goes into a new matrix - that's a big deal. In addition with matrices 20-40GB a piece, operationally I need it to be very explicit what's to happen when a function is applied. (there are no operators doing operations - it's only ever a library, not part of the language)
8:55 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I came from Matlab and R to python, could scarcely believe my eyes what I found. In my job correctness is crucial, any errors are direct $$$ loss. Pandas not being blindingly obvious if changing a matrix changes the existing one, or the changed result goes into a new matrix - that's a big deal. In addition with matrices 20-40GB a piece, operationally I need it to be very explicit what's to happen when a function is applied. (there are no operators doing operations - it's only ever a library, not part of the language)
8:55 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809121574848503828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oft where there is a longer thread back-and-forth of half dozen people multiple exchanges, I find it easy to lose track of all the replies in the multitude of reply-to-reply-to-... I rely on notifications to keep track, but some turn off notifications, others filter them out etc. I wonder if there is a way for 1) the sender of a reply to see, if 2) the accounts mentioned in the reply specifically, have 3) received 4) seen the reply post? Like there is say in WhatsApp group discussion where one can see if 1) all participants in the chat have seen the message 2) can click on the message and then see what accounts 3) it was delivered to (but not et seen) 4) delivered and seen too.
8:06 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oft where there is a longer thread back-and-forth of half dozen people multiple exchanges, I find it easy to lose track of all the replies in the multitude of reply-to-reply-to-... I rely on notifications to keep track, but some turn off notifications, others filter them out etc. I wonder if there is a way for 1) the sender of a reply to see, if 2) the accounts mentioned in the reply specifically, have 3) received 4) seen the reply post? Like there is say in WhatsApp group discussion where one can see if 1) all participants in the chat have seen the message 2) can click on the message and then see what accounts 3) it was delivered to (but not et seen) 4) delivered and seen too.
8:06 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809119024065745133
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are areas like mine - pro-Remain, "wet conservative" - where people don't much vote Labour no matter what. So LD gives them a non-CON option. And they took it this time! :-)
7:56 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are areas like mine - pro-Remain, "wet conservative" - where people don't much vote Labour no matter what. So LD gives them a non-CON option. And they took it this time! :-)
7:56 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1809118336921354270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc it's better - it has a matrix type builtin, unlike python! A language without a matrix type built into the language considered a "data wrangling" language is just silly - like playing football with squares instead of balls.
7:53 AM · Jul 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc it's better - it has a matrix type builtin, unlike python! A language without a matrix type built into the language considered a "data wrangling" language is just silly - like playing football with squares instead of balls.
7:53 AM · Jul 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808979933345296695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and here is another slightly longer clip and the comments also go towards disputing the Mogg claim that it's more older than younger that got supressed https://youtube.com/watch?v=Y5tHeuwoeUE&t=305s (time mark in the url)
youtube.com
Jacob Rees Mogg ADMITS Tories Rig Elections
10:43 PM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and here is another slightly longer clip and the comments also go towards disputing the Mogg claim that it's more older than younger that got supressed https://youtube.com/watch?v=Y5tHeuwoeUE&t=305s (time mark in the url)
youtube.com
Jacob Rees Mogg ADMITS Tories Rig Elections
10:43 PM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808975347372720174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's probably this clip that I remember? https://youtube.com/watch?v=BWjJkzig35I IDK either if/how he would know for sure.
youtube.com
Jacob Rees-Mogg admits why he thinks they brought in voter ID
Thousands of voters were stripped of their rights in May's local election. Voter ID was never a policy designed to stop people impersonating each other at th...
10:25 PM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's probably this clip that I remember? https://youtube.com/watch?v=BWjJkzig35I IDK either if/how he would know for sure.
youtube.com
Jacob Rees-Mogg admits why he thinks they brought in voter ID
Thousands of voters were stripped of their rights in May's local election. Voter ID was never a policy designed to stop people impersonating each other at th...
10:25 PM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808958149430219107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rees-Mog admitted on camera 1) it was a vote suppression strategy 2) it backfired! More oldies i.e. expected CON voters were turned back, than younglings i.e. non-CON votes in expectation. I thought it was another piece of evidence of CONs being both evil and incompetent.
9:16 PM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rees-Mog admitted on camera 1) it was a vote suppression strategy 2) it backfired! More oldies i.e. expected CON voters were turned back, than younglings i.e. non-CON votes in expectation. I thought it was another piece of evidence of CONs being both evil and incompetent.
9:16 PM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808953794514071600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good - that's a recipe for never achieving much in real life
8:59 PM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good - that's a recipe for never achieving much in real life
8:59 PM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808953335589793839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... too right! And during Covid the CON gov - as odious as it is - actually mostly solved the problem too! Then 1 year latter decided to "unsolve it" and threw the people on the streets again. It's always a political choice! It's not inevitable - the homelessness, the scale of it. It's been solved in the past, can be solved in the future again. Wish there was a way to make life painful for people in position of power that decide to make life hell for many many people without much thinking.
8:57 PM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... too right! And during Covid the CON gov - as odious as it is - actually mostly solved the problem too! Then 1 year latter decided to "unsolve it" and threw the people on the streets again. It's always a political choice! It's not inevitable - the homelessness, the scale of it. It's been solved in the past, can be solved in the future again. Wish there was a way to make life painful for people in position of power that decide to make life hell for many many people without much thinking.
8:57 PM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808949270537499068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stalin, Mao, Pol Pot, Castro, Maduro, Mugabe - it's just too many of these guys to dismiss criticisms levied on a system as "a rare random rogue, nothing is perfect". Maybe let it go? Don't need to chain yourselves to one idea. There are other things to try other fish to fry.
8:41 PM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stalin, Mao, Pol Pot, Castro, Maduro, Mugabe - it's just too many of these guys to dismiss criticisms levied on a system as "a rare random rogue, nothing is perfect". Maybe let it go? Don't need to chain yourselves to one idea. There are other things to try other fish to fry.
8:41 PM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808943636459016479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even better: remember all the parents since ~1990 - i.e. the vast majority of parents!! 😂 - nagging their kids daily against playing video games day after day after day?? Well - those kids gaming financed the R&D spend that made those chips possible. 😂 dee-lightful 😂😂
Quote
Ate-a-Pi @8teAPi · Jul 3
I’m sorry but the fact that AGI springs from a gaming chip company means that most state planning (thou shalt work on serious things!) and real growth fetishism (finance is sucking up our best brains) is wrong.
8:19 PM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even better: remember all the parents since ~1990 - i.e. the vast majority of parents!! 😂 - nagging their kids daily against playing video games day after day after day?? Well - those kids gaming financed the R&D spend that made those chips possible. 😂 dee-lightful 😂😂
Quote
Ate-a-Pi @8teAPi · Jul 3
I’m sorry but the fact that AGI springs from a gaming chip company means that most state planning (thou shalt work on serious things!) and real growth fetishism (finance is sucking up our best brains) is wrong.
8:19 PM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808774039709618199
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The country got what it voted for - good and hard. democracy
9:05 AM · Jul 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The country got what it voted for - good and hard. democracy
9:05 AM · Jul 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808621468848103821
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Going from a small town to visiting a big city is visiting the future 😊
10:58 PM · Jul 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Going from a small town to visiting a big city is visiting the future 😊
10:58 PM · Jul 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808439096009753029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Збори за себе мајсторе. Ако ти си се здебелил си ја искривил кичмата - не значи сите се како тебе. Здравјето е најкорисно - на секого е да си го пази здравјето. Никој никому не става пиштол на глава па со сила да го тера да не вежба, не спортува, шета во природа и сл. Нити го тера колку и како и во што да го искористи времето што ни е дадено. Малку повеќе лична одговорност, слободна воља и сл, а помалку калимеро кенкање и кукумјавчење.
10:54 AM · Jul 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Збори за себе мајсторе. Ако ти си се здебелил си ја искривил кичмата - не значи сите се како тебе. Здравјето е најкорисно - на секого е да си го пази здравјето. Никој никому не става пиштол на глава па со сила да го тера да не вежба, не спортува, шета во природа и сл. Нити го тера колку и како и во што да го искористи времето што ни е дадено. Малку повеќе лична одговорност, слободна воља и сл, а помалку калимеро кенкање и кукумјавчење.
10:54 AM · Jul 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808409735512662144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm guessing no funding for a start? If there is a - 1) macro hedge fund 2) that makes enough $$$ 3) uses some of mmt in their macro forecasting 4) is systematic - that maybe a good match. IDK what @RayDalio
's Bridgewater use, reading in the popular press they maybe systematic (and are macro). The classic systematic guys like trend followers are not macro really. My field (market neutral) we are not macro, not much use for mmt.
8:57 AM · Jul 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm guessing no funding for a start? If there is a - 1) macro hedge fund 2) that makes enough $$$ 3) uses some of mmt in their macro forecasting 4) is systematic - that maybe a good match. IDK what @RayDalio
's Bridgewater use, reading in the popular press they maybe systematic (and are macro). The classic systematic guys like trend followers are not macro really. My field (market neutral) we are not macro, not much use for mmt.
8:57 AM · Jul 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808258616451125718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Сигурно - ама има ли една направија на светов што е само и исклучително позитивна, без некоја мана? Мислам нема. Него ме насмеа со "расипан вид" 😂 : кога бевме деца родителите вриштеа по нас "не седи блиску до телевизорот, ќе ги расипеш очите". После XX години возрасен некаде налетав на преглед на студии на тема "дали далечината растојанието е фактор во расипување на видот", и доказите беа во прилог на НЕ. Друг пример - на море и езеро родителите вриштеа хистеришеа "излегувај од вода ќе се разболиш" и тоа беше нон-стоп војна деца-родители. 😂 Децении подоцна јас не им викав на моите деца да излезат нешто посебно - рачунам ќе излезат сами кога ќе им достуди. Не приметив дека нешто се разболуваа повеќе отколку што сум се разболувал јас како дете. Има многу примери за замислени стравови. Сите ние имаме бујна фантазија, сме прилагодени лесно да се плашиме (тоа опстанува; тие што не се плашеле ги изеле мечки 😆). Мислам има и термин - catastrophising.
10:57 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Сигурно - ама има ли една направија на светов што е само и исклучително позитивна, без некоја мана? Мислам нема. Него ме насмеа со "расипан вид" 😂 : кога бевме деца родителите вриштеа по нас "не седи блиску до телевизорот, ќе ги расипеш очите". После XX години возрасен некаде налетав на преглед на студии на тема "дали далечината растојанието е фактор во расипување на видот", и доказите беа во прилог на НЕ. Друг пример - на море и езеро родителите вриштеа хистеришеа "излегувај од вода ќе се разболиш" и тоа беше нон-стоп војна деца-родители. 😂 Децении подоцна јас не им викав на моите деца да излезат нешто посебно - рачунам ќе излезат сами кога ќе им достуди. Не приметив дека нешто се разболуваа повеќе отколку што сум се разболувал јас како дете. Има многу примери за замислени стравови. Сите ние имаме бујна фантазија, сме прилагодени лесно да се плашиме (тоа опстанува; тие што не се плашеле ги изеле мечки 😆). Мислам има и термин - catastrophising.
10:57 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808190297597256010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With sects vying for supremacy, fractions jostling for power during revolutions - often the most extreme, most disciplined, most zealous one wins. Mainstream econ is probably even more cultish on the subject of currency. Longer term - one hopes the truth prevails, "funeral by funeral" if must.
6:25 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With sects vying for supremacy, fractions jostling for power during revolutions - often the most extreme, most disciplined, most zealous one wins. Mainstream econ is probably even more cultish on the subject of currency. Longer term - one hopes the truth prevails, "funeral by funeral" if must.
6:25 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808180293276520783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They can't know in advance. Change is taking risk, one starts below level negative, and one hopes the risk will pay off and bring one back to zero and then into a positive territory. That's why people are reluctant to change - one starts in a worse than do-nothing position.
5:45 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They can't know in advance. Change is taking risk, one starts below level negative, and one hopes the risk will pay off and bring one back to zero and then into a positive territory. That's why people are reluctant to change - one starts in a worse than do-nothing position.
5:45 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808170829546471578
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne. Vakvi paniki mi se smesno-simpaticni ama se glupi i nepotrebni. E kako gubenje vreme, gledanje Kardasians ili sapunici - zabava za dengubenje. Jas pamtam koga doagaa mobilnite vo MK. Nemase eden pozitiven komentar! Imav rodnina novopecen "bizmismen" (1-va sopstvena kola - srebren Mercedes!) sto kupi od tie mobilen-ama-kako-radio-telefon. Komentarite bea 1) sto ke mu e, kaj i da odi, denes ima sekade telefon (fiksen), koga e doma - domasen, koga e nadvor - sluzben 2) samo da se pravi vazen 3) da pokaze kolku pari ima. Jas izjaviv - "super e toa, da moze da mi vgradat do uvoto da ne moram da angaziram raka da go drzam". Ne mi teknuvaat drugi - imase i poveke. Vo rok od 5-10 godini, site sto komentiraa, imaa svoj sopstven mobilen, i mnogu podobar. I nikoj ne rece "pa sto ke mi e, ima sekade fiksen telefon, domasen doma, sluzben na rabota". Lugeto po difolt se anti-promena, a taka ispadna najcesto promenite dosega bile promeni na podobro, bile progres. Pa taka retrospektivno stravovite ispagaat neosnovani, bez veze. Imas kolku sakas primeri vo @PessimistsArc
5:08 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne. Vakvi paniki mi se smesno-simpaticni ama se glupi i nepotrebni. E kako gubenje vreme, gledanje Kardasians ili sapunici - zabava za dengubenje. Jas pamtam koga doagaa mobilnite vo MK. Nemase eden pozitiven komentar! Imav rodnina novopecen "bizmismen" (1-va sopstvena kola - srebren Mercedes!) sto kupi od tie mobilen-ama-kako-radio-telefon. Komentarite bea 1) sto ke mu e, kaj i da odi, denes ima sekade telefon (fiksen), koga e doma - domasen, koga e nadvor - sluzben 2) samo da se pravi vazen 3) da pokaze kolku pari ima. Jas izjaviv - "super e toa, da moze da mi vgradat do uvoto da ne moram da angaziram raka da go drzam". Ne mi teknuvaat drugi - imase i poveke. Vo rok od 5-10 godini, site sto komentiraa, imaa svoj sopstven mobilen, i mnogu podobar. I nikoj ne rece "pa sto ke mi e, ima sekade fiksen telefon, domasen doma, sluzben na rabota". Lugeto po difolt se anti-promena, a taka ispadna najcesto promenite dosega bile promeni na podobro, bile progres. Pa taka retrospektivno stravovite ispagaat neosnovani, bez veze. Imas kolku sakas primeri vo @PessimistsArc
5:08 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808167071508746429
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
alternative take - "the alternatives are worse, we stick to the devil we know"
4:53 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
alternative take - "the alternatives are worse, we stick to the devil we know"
4:53 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808144618640347254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, but TBF most critiques I read online are in the "not even wrong" category as in not even critiquing MMT b/c they have not say read @StephanieKelton 's book or even @wbmosler shorter writeup. Cult like - for sure, but one needs a sect-like disciples to prevail over an existing sect that's a competitor. Conventional econ orthodoxy is so poor when it comes to the currency as to be indefensible. Econs do much better on the actual economy, actual stuff produced and services rendered. Given economy is total sum of all transactions each one consisting of seller-and-buyer-and exchanging stuff-for-currency - being wrong about the trivial part of the exchange (the currency; the easiest of things) is frustrating. The currency part is not even econ - a fiat currency is probably an area of Law 1st and foremost, and 2nd probably more IT then Econ. :-) Anyways - complaining about the tone or the messenger (the yellow bit below) and ignoring the message is just - meh, not worth spending keystrokes on. Practitioners in the finance industry and traders I find to have much better grasp on the currency part of the exchange. They get feedback from the actual world around them, have financial markets to test a theory, so the ones that survive are not killed are the ones that are right.
Hierarchy of goodness of arguments and counter-arguments in a discussion, from the "Name-calling" on the bottom to "Refuting the Central Point" at the top of the pyramid.
3:24 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, but TBF most critiques I read online are in the "not even wrong" category as in not even critiquing MMT b/c they have not say read @StephanieKelton 's book or even @wbmosler shorter writeup. Cult like - for sure, but one needs a sect-like disciples to prevail over an existing sect that's a competitor. Conventional econ orthodoxy is so poor when it comes to the currency as to be indefensible. Econs do much better on the actual economy, actual stuff produced and services rendered. Given economy is total sum of all transactions each one consisting of seller-and-buyer-and exchanging stuff-for-currency - being wrong about the trivial part of the exchange (the currency; the easiest of things) is frustrating. The currency part is not even econ - a fiat currency is probably an area of Law 1st and foremost, and 2nd probably more IT then Econ. :-) Anyways - complaining about the tone or the messenger (the yellow bit below) and ignoring the message is just - meh, not worth spending keystrokes on. Practitioners in the finance industry and traders I find to have much better grasp on the currency part of the exchange. They get feedback from the actual world around them, have financial markets to test a theory, so the ones that survive are not killed are the ones that are right.
Hierarchy of goodness of arguments and counter-arguments in a discussion, from the "Name-calling" on the bottom to "Refuting the Central Point" at the top of the pyramid.
3:24 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808139073480999174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never heard of these - todo lookup up. I'm keen on information theory and multi-dimensional space. Everything we do in information theory, now machine learning and AI, happens in many-to-millions dimensional spaces. In contrast, our intuitions are tuned to very low dimensional spaces, chiefly our 3-dimensional physical world. Just by observing the ratio of hyper- cube and ball, as N in N-dim increases, we get intuition of how our low-dim intuition may mislead us when thinking about high N-dimensional spaces (N>1e6): 1) the space moves into the corners and away from the middle as N increases 2) so measures of centrality (means etc) maybe less informative in high-N: they are not that representative given the low probability mass there 3) every observation becomes an outlier in some dimension when N is sufficiently high 4) does that imply we will observe the space as discrete rather than continuous? with every observation jumping from one corner to other corner of the space.
3:02 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never heard of these - todo lookup up. I'm keen on information theory and multi-dimensional space. Everything we do in information theory, now machine learning and AI, happens in many-to-millions dimensional spaces. In contrast, our intuitions are tuned to very low dimensional spaces, chiefly our 3-dimensional physical world. Just by observing the ratio of hyper- cube and ball, as N in N-dim increases, we get intuition of how our low-dim intuition may mislead us when thinking about high N-dimensional spaces (N>1e6): 1) the space moves into the corners and away from the middle as N increases 2) so measures of centrality (means etc) maybe less informative in high-N: they are not that representative given the low probability mass there 3) every observation becomes an outlier in some dimension when N is sufficiently high 4) does that imply we will observe the space as discrete rather than continuous? with every observation jumping from one corner to other corner of the space.
3:02 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808127244671300086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The main thing was UK leaving the EU and that was delivered unambiguously a completely and may I say over and above any mandate given by the not so great majority of 52% - in addition to EU we left the SM and CU too. Looks to me they got what they voted for - good and hard.
2:15 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The main thing was UK leaving the EU and that was delivered unambiguously a completely and may I say over and above any mandate given by the not so great majority of 52% - in addition to EU we left the SM and CU too. Looks to me they got what they voted for - good and hard.
2:15 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808119657938690302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MMT as a phrase is such a self inflicted fail that I think only academic could have possibly failed this bad. Fails 1) Modern - it's not modern, it's been on for as long as we've been off a gold standard - significant time period now 2) Theory - it's not a theory, it's a practice practised daily by every gov treasury every central bank every parliament voting a yearly budget in the world 3) The acronym matches Magic Money Tree that is one of the low hanging attacks against it (but no less effective, esp with the smooth brains that's the vast majority of us civilians) - very unfortunate. But mmt gets so much unneeded resistance (from academia) and unreasonable straw man attacks that I 'm reluctant to add to its detractors. As for acronym change - it's too late now, for better or worse we are stuck with MMT.
1:44 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MMT as a phrase is such a self inflicted fail that I think only academic could have possibly failed this bad. Fails 1) Modern - it's not modern, it's been on for as long as we've been off a gold standard - significant time period now 2) Theory - it's not a theory, it's a practice practised daily by every gov treasury every central bank every parliament voting a yearly budget in the world 3) The acronym matches Magic Money Tree that is one of the low hanging attacks against it (but no less effective, esp with the smooth brains that's the vast majority of us civilians) - very unfortunate. But mmt gets so much unneeded resistance (from academia) and unreasonable straw man attacks that I 'm reluctant to add to its detractors. As for acronym change - it's too late now, for better or worse we are stuck with MMT.
1:44 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808102821113266262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
C scaredy cats welcome. :-) C small keyword set keeps any introductory reading short and crisp so avoids long boring (good short condensed recommendations anyone?), even if you're just reading code not writing in C it's still both worthwhile and fun tbh.
12:38 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
C scaredy cats welcome. :-) C small keyword set keeps any introductory reading short and crisp so avoids long boring (good short condensed recommendations anyone?), even if you're just reading code not writing in C it's still both worthwhile and fun tbh.
12:38 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808099908508922327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stupid is easy that's why we do stupid so very often, reasonable (or even dare I clever) is way harder so it's rarely done.
12:26 PM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stupid is easy that's why we do stupid so very often, reasonable (or even dare I clever) is way harder so it's rarely done.
12:26 PM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808090974863692136
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the young are the latest losers of the current neo-liberal consensus? Can't get a good job, can't get their own place to live in. Reminds me of the stagnation in the socialist block in the 90s - young people's top problems were #1 job, #2 flat to live in.
11:50 AM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the young are the latest losers of the current neo-liberal consensus? Can't get a good job, can't get their own place to live in. Reminds me of the stagnation in the socialist block in the 90s - young people's top problems were #1 job, #2 flat to live in.
11:50 AM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808079435351970209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF on that pic looks quite ugly, and by the time it's built and with the elements exposure over time my guess is it will look very very ugly, it will graduate to a true eyesore. No to not even trying and building low quality, yes to building big and beautiful.
11:05 AM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF on that pic looks quite ugly, and by the time it's built and with the elements exposure over time my guess is it will look very very ugly, it will graduate to a true eyesore. No to not even trying and building low quality, yes to building big and beautiful.
11:05 AM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1808051572120645674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a book "Vasal State" and the author was on some podcast recently. It's about US companies buying lots of the UK. I am guessing this is what FDI is?
9:14 AM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a book "Vasal State" and the author was on some podcast recently. It's about US companies buying lots of the UK. I am guessing this is what FDI is?
9:14 AM · Jul 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807915367664439787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Watched Brown "what have we achieved" speech today. Insane to think the country got tired of that and for sh*ts & giggles voted in the evil vandals Cameron+Gideon and their sidekicks Nick+Alexander. In the subsequent 14 years UK got what it voted for good and hard.
12:13 AM · Jul 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Watched Brown "what have we achieved" speech today. Insane to think the country got tired of that and for sh*ts & giggles voted in the evil vandals Cameron+Gideon and their sidekicks Nick+Alexander. In the subsequent 14 years UK got what it voted for good and hard.
12:13 AM · Jul 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1807889545649967231
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The whole YIMBY create streets etc seem to be in denial about this. Until LH is gone and building codes are enforced, incentives will work against making a dent in the housing crisis.
10:30 PM · Jul 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The whole YIMBY create streets etc seem to be in denial about this. Until LH is gone and building codes are enforced, incentives will work against making a dent in the housing crisis.
10:30 PM · Jul 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1807861641377468682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Mmt will make for a good study for the future generations on how ideas spread. Witnessing in real time is mildly amusing: those who saw can't unsee; for the rest, "you can lead a horse to water, but can't make it drink". Looks to me it will be "funeral by funeral" as usual.
8:39 PM · Jul 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Mmt will make for a good study for the future generations on how ideas spread. Witnessing in real time is mildly amusing: those who saw can't unsee; for the rest, "you can lead a horse to water, but can't make it drink". Looks to me it will be "funeral by funeral" as usual.
8:39 PM · Jul 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1807770400215933135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Makes sense. Assume that existing/prior 50yrs system has winners and losers. The losers are 25% and want change. The winning 25% want the system to not change. The rest 50% are undecided/meh/don't care. The winners will conclude that for things to stay the same thinks will need to change. Macron was one of those agents - change in order to stay the same. There will be more if we are lucky, so for the system to adapt gradually.
2:37 PM · Jul 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Makes sense. Assume that existing/prior 50yrs system has winners and losers. The losers are 25% and want change. The winning 25% want the system to not change. The rest 50% are undecided/meh/don't care. The winners will conclude that for things to stay the same thinks will need to change. Macron was one of those agents - change in order to stay the same. There will be more if we are lucky, so for the system to adapt gradually.
2:37 PM · Jul 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807686631651996086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good retrospective of 2010 election run up . The country got tired of the good times and for sh*ts and giggles voted the telegenic duo Cameron+Gideon and their dynamic sidekicks Nick+Alexander. In the subsequent 14 years UK got what it voted for, good and hard. Democracy works.
9:04 AM · Jul 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good retrospective of 2010 election run up . The country got tired of the good times and for sh*ts and giggles voted the telegenic duo Cameron+Gideon and their dynamic sidekicks Nick+Alexander. In the subsequent 14 years UK got what it voted for, good and hard. Democracy works.
9:04 AM · Jul 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807678064588960070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
XPro tweetdeck in Firefox: the Home Following TL column keeps refreshing with new posts popping up and the existing content scrolling down. I don't dislike that - but can the refresh speed be adjustable? Atm it's just about possible to eyeball, but impossible to read the posts.
8:30 AM · Jul 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
XPro tweetdeck in Firefox: the Home Following TL column keeps refreshing with new posts popping up and the existing content scrolling down. I don't dislike that - but can the refresh speed be adjustable? Atm it's just about possible to eyeball, but impossible to read the posts.
8:30 AM · Jul 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807430989360009351
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ages ago remember seeing study on the UK house prices sensitivity to various factors. Afaicr top-1 sensitivity was to the factor "finance availability" (mortgages etc), and the coefficient of regression was x5-x6 times higher than the coeff on the 2nd factor that was supply-demand imbalance. BoE/regulation allowing for mortgages market expansion to new customers, allowing slacker availability criteria like multiples-to-salary to lend ever more etc - I'm guessing that would be #1 factor influencing the house prices increases.
4:08 PM · Jun 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ages ago remember seeing study on the UK house prices sensitivity to various factors. Afaicr top-1 sensitivity was to the factor "finance availability" (mortgages etc), and the coefficient of regression was x5-x6 times higher than the coeff on the 2nd factor that was supply-demand imbalance. BoE/regulation allowing for mortgages market expansion to new customers, allowing slacker availability criteria like multiples-to-salary to lend ever more etc - I'm guessing that would be #1 factor influencing the house prices increases.
4:08 PM · Jun 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807414765255307484
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The general public already holds MPs, ministers incl the PM responsibile for the high energy prices & subsequent fall in living standards. Gov UK will be shooting itself in the foot if they forego the GB energy opportunity to create publicly owned provider of last resort.
Quote
Keir Milburn @KeirMilburn · 22h
Here you go. GB energy will not be an energy company it will be a de-risking vehicle subsidizing the catastrophically awful private energy companies so they can own the key infrastructure we depend on and rinse us for the rest of our lives. We have to stop these plans. x.com/SaulStaniforth…
3:03 PM · Jun 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The general public already holds MPs, ministers incl the PM responsibile for the high energy prices & subsequent fall in living standards. Gov UK will be shooting itself in the foot if they forego the GB energy opportunity to create publicly owned provider of last resort.
Quote
Keir Milburn @KeirMilburn · 22h
Here you go. GB energy will not be an energy company it will be a de-risking vehicle subsidizing the catastrophically awful private energy companies so they can own the key infrastructure we depend on and rinse us for the rest of our lives. We have to stop these plans. x.com/SaulStaniforth…
3:03 PM · Jun 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807413313040490806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... ustvari Like e najlesen i najuniverzelen mehanizam. Notifikacija mu kazuva na sogovornikot deka sum procital. Samo 1-click - pozgodno od Bookmarks. Funkcionira Like na sopstven post - se pojavuva vo Liked TL, dobivam i kontekst (megu site drugi liked posts). Izgleda X ne omanuva ne gi gubi, pamti se. @borokitanoski
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 28
Replying to @borokitanoski and @ArbnoraMemeti
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam.
Show more
2:58 PM · Jun 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... ustvari Like e najlesen i najuniverzelen mehanizam. Notifikacija mu kazuva na sogovornikot deka sum procital. Samo 1-click - pozgodno od Bookmarks. Funkcionira Like na sopstven post - se pojavuva vo Liked TL, dobivam i kontekst (megu site drugi liked posts). Izgleda X ne omanuva ne gi gubi, pamti se. @borokitanoski
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 28
Replying to @borokitanoski and @ArbnoraMemeti
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam.
Show more
2:58 PM · Jun 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807165276242489553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FPTP will be working as usual - whatever the result. If you didn't mind it in the prior xxx years, you shouldn't start now. It'd be silly to do otherwise.
10:32 PM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FPTP will be working as usual - whatever the result. If you didn't mind it in the prior xxx years, you shouldn't start now. It'd be silly to do otherwise.
10:32 PM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807133885257408623
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where can a civilian non-expert look for innovations in law making? Even with plain old IT: say makinging the law making process into kind of a Wiki, with history of changes, all public and transparent by default, so we know every change made, and when/why/by whom. Also - maybe have sunset provisions, also when adding new laws on the statute some kind of rule "find an existing law to delete - if you want new one in" (for the laws without a sunset clause?) thus acknowledging explicitly that any capacity for enforcement is at all times finite.
8:27 PM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where can a civilian non-expert look for innovations in law making? Even with plain old IT: say makinging the law making process into kind of a Wiki, with history of changes, all public and transparent by default, so we know every change made, and when/why/by whom. Also - maybe have sunset provisions, also when adding new laws on the statute some kind of rule "find an existing law to delete - if you want new one in" (for the laws without a sunset clause?) thus acknowledging explicitly that any capacity for enforcement is at all times finite.
8:27 PM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807041573907055034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) IDK why you'd think "I have not noticed". On the contrary - I have noticed, and so have many others. Ideas and noticing is easy - changing things is hard. Even for the ambitions and energetic! Yeah - sunset provisions are good, also when adding new laws on the statute some kind of rule "find an existing law to delete - if you want new one in" (for the laws without a sunset clause?) thus acknowledging explicitly that any capacity for enforcement is at all times finite - maybe a good thing. Changing the law making process into some kind of a Wiki, with history of changes too, all public and transparent by default, so we know every change was made when/why/by whom/ - also a good thing. Easier said than done, I admit.
2:20 PM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) IDK why you'd think "I have not noticed". On the contrary - I have noticed, and so have many others. Ideas and noticing is easy - changing things is hard. Even for the ambitions and energetic! Yeah - sunset provisions are good, also when adding new laws on the statute some kind of rule "find an existing law to delete - if you want new one in" (for the laws without a sunset clause?) thus acknowledging explicitly that any capacity for enforcement is at all times finite - maybe a good thing. Changing the law making process into some kind of a Wiki, with history of changes too, all public and transparent by default, so we know every change was made when/why/by whom/ - also a good thing. Easier said than done, I admit.
2:20 PM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807018214875889724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In their minds the leaders you mention had reconciled the contradicting strands of ideas (of the kind the questioneer put forward), they have made it clear to themselves first and foremost, and in the process worked out the reasons, and the gives and takes. Their speaking was clear because their thinking was clear. Even when disagreable - it was clear what one disagreed with.
12:48 PM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In their minds the leaders you mention had reconciled the contradicting strands of ideas (of the kind the questioneer put forward), they have made it clear to themselves first and foremost, and in the process worked out the reasons, and the gives and takes. Their speaking was clear because their thinking was clear. Even when disagreable - it was clear what one disagreed with.
12:48 PM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807011820063912189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That too - but a lot of these things are outside the market. The value is in the "free" - free elections, free market. Freedom allows all individuals to decide as independently as possible so their errors are independently distributed so they average out. Works b/c the outcomes are in the future, and we are all similarly ignorant of the future, our errors are about the future do not differ by orders of magnitude. Whereas say piloting a plane or a surgery - we don't allow for freedom there. 😁
12:22 PM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That too - but a lot of these things are outside the market. The value is in the "free" - free elections, free market. Freedom allows all individuals to decide as independently as possible so their errors are independently distributed so they average out. Works b/c the outcomes are in the future, and we are all similarly ignorant of the future, our errors are about the future do not differ by orders of magnitude. Whereas say piloting a plane or a surgery - we don't allow for freedom there. 😁
12:22 PM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807008996106088750
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even that is insufficient: people will lie. So then goes to "revealed preferences" - collect stats when people are actually forced to pay. Add in the weighing of various costs/benefits you already asked for - and ergo we have elections! 😁
12:11 PM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even that is insufficient: people will lie. So then goes to "revealed preferences" - collect stats when people are actually forced to pay. Add in the weighing of various costs/benefits you already asked for - and ergo we have elections! 😁
12:11 PM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1807006784881643675
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are randomly evolved protocols + media for transferring information. The underlying producer on the sending side and consumer on the receiving side are the same human brain. Humans brains produce and consume information at about the same rates. So the amount of information contained in the messages that is the language must be about the same too. Even if the mechanical articulators move at different speeds in various languages.
12:02 PM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are randomly evolved protocols + media for transferring information. The underlying producer on the sending side and consumer on the receiving side are the same human brain. Humans brains produce and consume information at about the same rates. So the amount of information contained in the messages that is the language must be about the same too. Even if the mechanical articulators move at different speeds in various languages.
12:02 PM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806996753641586926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information theory is the logic of science. Logic allows for only true/false, 0/1. Information theory extends that makes it a continuum in an interval [0,1]. The hard logic of true/false becomes a soft "degree of truthfulness".
Quote
ELON DOCS @elon_docs · Jun 29
Elon Musk: "I was just obsessed with truth."
Embedded video
11:22 AM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information theory is the logic of science. Logic allows for only true/false, 0/1. Information theory extends that makes it a continuum in an interval [0,1]. The hard logic of true/false becomes a soft "degree of truthfulness".
Quote
ELON DOCS @elon_docs · Jun 29
Elon Musk: "I was just obsessed with truth."
Embedded video
11:22 AM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806977951033905268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF you chose a bad example. European parliament is not a parliament the same way national parliaments are. Aptly - it's a talking shop, there is voting, but the real-real vote happens at the Council of Ministers (where each member state has a veto). As EU is a Union of *States*, its constituents are States that are in the union, and not the citizens of these states. Further, in the EU national parliaments, there is a large degree of proportionality and less so of majorality, and the public stance shifts slowly. UK is a better example. It has completely majortarian system (FPTP - First Past The Post) where 51% of the vote that wins gets 100% of the power (so zero proportionality). And in the UK we see relatively small-ish majorities prevailing one side or the other have large outcome (brexit vote, get brexit done govs since, expected CON annihilation this coming Thursday).
10:08 AM · Jun 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF you chose a bad example. European parliament is not a parliament the same way national parliaments are. Aptly - it's a talking shop, there is voting, but the real-real vote happens at the Council of Ministers (where each member state has a veto). As EU is a Union of *States*, its constituents are States that are in the union, and not the citizens of these states. Further, in the EU national parliaments, there is a large degree of proportionality and less so of majorality, and the public stance shifts slowly. UK is a better example. It has completely majortarian system (FPTP - First Past The Post) where 51% of the vote that wins gets 100% of the power (so zero proportionality). And in the UK we see relatively small-ish majorities prevailing one side or the other have large outcome (brexit vote, get brexit done govs since, expected CON annihilation this coming Thursday).
10:08 AM · Jun 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806587775564538206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@borokitanoski Me potseti da proveram Tweetdeck (sega XPro) ne sum go otvoril odamna, a koj bese originalnata pricina da se pretplatam. 😁 Koga EM go prekrsti od Tweedeck vo XPro go napravi da bide samo so pretplata me poremeti. 😂 Tweetdeck mi bese nareden kako dnevna novina, so 1 Deck == 1 List, i plus deck Lists == so site listi vo nego (slika dole). Eve sega gledam vo obicen X view ne se pojavuva ovaa diskusija nikade. Nemam kako ni da odgovoram i koga znam na shto! Vo Tweetdeck vo deck Personal gledam sum gi naredil "Home For you, Home Following, Profile My Profile, Search from:ljupc0, @ljupc0 Notifications, ... " -pa tuka naogam trag od diskusijava, naogam na sto da odgovoram. 😆
Stvarno e tapa X za diskusija - ne moze mnogu da se diskutira. Poveke individualni poraki, smeski hehenca, doskochici gotchas i sl. Ama pa SNR za mene e mnogu podobar od alternativite, i kako se sto e socijalno: jas sum tuka, posto i site drugi se tuka. 😊
Plakanjeto mi e ok, mislam deka e zdravo da socijalnive platformi - sega i mediumi stanaa - da imaat 1/2 prihod od reklami, a 1/2 od pletplati, kako i starite mediumi (vesnici, TV, radoi) prethodno. A so AI i prodavanje na data moze ke obezbedat i ekstra revenue streams gledam.
Image
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 2h
Replying to @borokitanoski and @ArbnoraMemeti
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam.
Show more
8:17 AM · Jun 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@borokitanoski Me potseti da proveram Tweetdeck (sega XPro) ne sum go otvoril odamna, a koj bese originalnata pricina da se pretplatam. 😁 Koga EM go prekrsti od Tweedeck vo XPro go napravi da bide samo so pretplata me poremeti. 😂 Tweetdeck mi bese nareden kako dnevna novina, so 1 Deck == 1 List, i plus deck Lists == so site listi vo nego (slika dole). Eve sega gledam vo obicen X view ne se pojavuva ovaa diskusija nikade. Nemam kako ni da odgovoram i koga znam na shto! Vo Tweetdeck vo deck Personal gledam sum gi naredil "Home For you, Home Following, Profile My Profile, Search from:ljupc0, @ljupc0 Notifications, ... " -pa tuka naogam trag od diskusijava, naogam na sto da odgovoram. 😆
Stvarno e tapa X za diskusija - ne moze mnogu da se diskutira. Poveke individualni poraki, smeski hehenca, doskochici gotchas i sl. Ama pa SNR za mene e mnogu podobar od alternativite, i kako se sto e socijalno: jas sum tuka, posto i site drugi se tuka. 😊
Plakanjeto mi e ok, mislam deka e zdravo da socijalnive platformi - sega i mediumi stanaa - da imaat 1/2 prihod od reklami, a 1/2 od pletplati, kako i starite mediumi (vesnici, TV, radoi) prethodno. A so AI i prodavanje na data moze ke obezbedat i ekstra revenue streams gledam.
Image
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 2h
Replying to @borokitanoski and @ArbnoraMemeti
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam.
Show more
8:17 AM · Jun 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806576783476621377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ovoj mislam bese urednik (sega e na Prospect) koga objavuvaa od Snowden (i mislam ovde pisuva za sebe :-) - "A British editor who collaborated with such a whistleblower in future could well face years in prison") i toa sto pisuva e tocno, takvi se zakonite momentalno, novinar moze da zavrsi vo zatvor pa skoro i dozivotno, samo ako resi USG da go goni.
https://prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/67016/julian-assange-free-snowden-journalism-chilling-effect
7:34 AM · Jun 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ovoj mislam bese urednik (sega e na Prospect) koga objavuvaa od Snowden (i mislam ovde pisuva za sebe :-) - "A British editor who collaborated with such a whistleblower in future could well face years in prison") i toa sto pisuva e tocno, takvi se zakonite momentalno, novinar moze da zavrsi vo zatvor pa skoro i dozivotno, samo ako resi USG da go goni.
https://prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/67016/julian-assange-free-snowden-journalism-chilling-effect
7:34 AM · Jun 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806569401195364585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@borokitanoski pak zaboraviv - quite post DA, reply NE! ;-)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 2h
Replying to @borokitanoski and @ArbnoraMemeti
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam.
Show more
7:04 AM · Jun 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@borokitanoski pak zaboraviv - quite post DA, reply NE! ;-)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 2h
Replying to @borokitanoski and @ArbnoraMemeti
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam.
Show more
7:04 AM · Jun 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806568850047050156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam. Mislam odgovori na nivo >2 (odgovor-na-odgovor-na-...) se gubenje na vreme za dzabe abenje na tastatura - niv nikoj ne gi gleda. Pa duri ni jas sto sum gi napisal ne mozam da gi najdam lesno duri i koga znam deka postojat! :-)
Kako da ima koren vo orignalnata Twitter idea za mikro-blog: orginalniot post e kako blog entry, i e mnogu vazen, a postovi-odgovori, se kako komentari na dnoto, i se pomalku vazni. A kako da ne e diskusija-konferencija (e.g. Reddit), ili prasanje-odgovor back-and-forth (e.g. chat, email), kade orginalniot post ja odreduva temata i e malku povazen, ama i site posleduvatelni poraki se skoro isto tolku vazni vo ocite na sistemot i sigurno se prezentiraat na site ucesnici.
7:02 AM · Jun 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Da - kolku sto sum primetil, nema nacin kako jas koga ke napisam odgovor na post, da bidam siguren, deka na originalniot avtor na toj post, odgovorot ke mu bide prezentiran ili deka ke ima notifikacija ili sl. Naogam deka e mnogu podobro da quote-tweet - ama stalno zaboravam. Mislam odgovori na nivo >2 (odgovor-na-odgovor-na-...) se gubenje na vreme za dzabe abenje na tastatura - niv nikoj ne gi gleda. Pa duri ni jas sto sum gi napisal ne mozam da gi najdam lesno duri i koga znam deka postojat! :-)
Kako da ima koren vo orignalnata Twitter idea za mikro-blog: orginalniot post e kako blog entry, i e mnogu vazen, a postovi-odgovori, se kako komentari na dnoto, i se pomalku vazni. A kako da ne e diskusija-konferencija (e.g. Reddit), ili prasanje-odgovor back-and-forth (e.g. chat, email), kade orginalniot post ja odreduva temata i e malku povazen, ama i site posleduvatelni poraki se skoro isto tolku vazni vo ocite na sistemot i sigurno se prezentiraat na site ucesnici.
7:02 AM · Jun 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806428604730876059
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good read - thanks. I wonder if you have seen this one https://youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s by @skdh - maybe of interest?
youtube.com
I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting...
Learn more about differential equations (and many other topics in maths and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get st...
9:45 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good read - thanks. I wonder if you have seen this one https://youtube.com/watch?v=89Mq6gmPo0s by @skdh - maybe of interest?
youtube.com
I don't believe the 2nd law of thermodynamics. (The most uplifting...
Learn more about differential equations (and many other topics in maths and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get st...
9:45 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806372255749840926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NP glad to. :-) That clip def resonated with me. I lived through a dissolution of a state/union I grew up in. These are kinds of changes when politics becomes personal and touches every person's life.
6:01 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NP glad to. :-) That clip def resonated with me. I lived through a dissolution of a state/union I grew up in. These are kinds of changes when politics becomes personal and touches every person's life.
6:01 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806371272496189850
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF Dwarkesh is plenty known. It may well be that his cumulative channel reach tops Telegraph reach. Pretty amazing given it's a niche interests channel.
5:57 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF Dwarkesh is plenty known. It may well be that his cumulative channel reach tops Telegraph reach. Pretty amazing given it's a niche interests channel.
5:57 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806369410006888778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Yeah I presume that too. So a next logical Q would be "for how long can it push that stated max GW to the grid?", for how many hours? Ideal case would stating explicitly X_GW x Y_hours. And we can work out ourselves that at X/2 GW the battery would last 2*Y hours.
5:50 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Yeah I presume that too. So a next logical Q would be "for how long can it push that stated max GW to the grid?", for how many hours? Ideal case would stating explicitly X_GW x Y_hours. And we can work out ourselves that at X/2 GW the battery would last 2*Y hours.
5:50 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806357758268117435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Моментот кога Малезија ги избрка од заедницата кога LKY го соопштува на новинарите.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UET6V4YnAwc
Малку ме потсети на распадот на ЈУ, моментот кога сфативме што ни се случува.
youtube.com
Lee Kuan Yew on Singapore's separation from Malaysia in 1965 | From...
To mark Lee Kuan Yew's 100th birth anniversary on Sep 16, 2023, CNA is looking back at his more memorable quotes. https://cna.asia/leekuanyewquotes On Aug 9,...
5:03 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Моментот кога Малезија ги избрка од заедницата кога LKY го соопштува на новинарите.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UET6V4YnAwc
Малку ме потсети на распадот на ЈУ, моментот кога сфативме што ни се случува.
youtube.com
Lee Kuan Yew on Singapore's separation from Malaysia in 1965 | From...
To mark Lee Kuan Yew's 100th birth anniversary on Sep 16, 2023, CNA is looking back at his more memorable quotes. https://cna.asia/leekuanyewquotes On Aug 9,...
5:03 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806355024676598250
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - true that! A proper hard jail time. Not to rehabilitate the one in (we don't care about him/her), but to deter the others. Damaging the public purse for 10s of Millions, with a soft bribe that's the price of an expensive dinner (<10K) is way too frequent.
4:52 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - true that! A proper hard jail time. Not to rehabilitate the one in (we don't care about him/her), but to deter the others. Damaging the public purse for 10s of Millions, with a soft bribe that's the price of an expensive dinner (<10K) is way too frequent.
4:52 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806351933533233447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing to witness, on par with "When Prophecy Fails". Actually awesome to witness a not-quite-gullible guy proclaiming "politicians X Y lie all the time" (oh-key maybe true maybe false IDK) and then jumping to "... therefore politician Z never lies is truthful 101%"! Amazing!!
4:40 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing to witness, on par with "When Prophecy Fails". Actually awesome to witness a not-quite-gullible guy proclaiming "politicians X Y lie all the time" (oh-key maybe true maybe false IDK) and then jumping to "... therefore politician Z never lies is truthful 101%"! Amazing!!
4:40 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806345924051972108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find the moment of the announcement of separation impossibly touching
youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=UET6V4YnAwc
Lee Kuan Yew on Singapore's separation from Malaysia in 1965 | From...
To mark Lee Kuan Yew's 100th birth anniversary on Sep 16, 2023, CNA is looking back at his more memorable quotes. https://cna.asia/leekuanyewquotes On Aug 9,...
4:16 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I find the moment of the announcement of separation impossibly touching
youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=UET6V4YnAwc
Lee Kuan Yew on Singapore's separation from Malaysia in 1965 | From...
To mark Lee Kuan Yew's 100th birth anniversary on Sep 16, 2023, CNA is looking back at his more memorable quotes. https://cna.asia/leekuanyewquotes On Aug 9,...
4:16 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806322172052251065
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! :-) - ima nekoja vistina. Komunizam imame vo familija, i toa funkcionira megu 2-3-4-5 luge megu koi ima ljubov, emocii i sl, i tuka ne treba nekoj razum. (sekomu spored potrebite/decata, sekoj spored moznostite/roditelite) A kapitalizam stavrno se temeli na razum, racionalno razmisluvanje, na racunanje i presmetuvanje, na razmena - jas tebe ova, ti mene ona - i toa moze da skalira na milioni luge.
2:42 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! :-) - ima nekoja vistina. Komunizam imame vo familija, i toa funkcionira megu 2-3-4-5 luge megu koi ima ljubov, emocii i sl, i tuka ne treba nekoj razum. (sekomu spored potrebite/decata, sekoj spored moznostite/roditelite) A kapitalizam stavrno se temeli na razum, racionalno razmisluvanje, na racunanje i presmetuvanje, na razmena - jas tebe ova, ti mene ona - i toa moze da skalira na milioni luge.
2:42 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806319857836675524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! - but how is storage not measured in GWh I shall never understand.
2:33 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! - but how is storage not measured in GWh I shall never understand.
2:33 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806301409001738378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
GDP drop is not quite "killing the patient". It's replacing one problem (inflation) with another problem (unemployment, GDP drop). No need to pretend otherwise. Inflation was clearly a problem for a majority large enough to vote into office a candidate that had all established parties/machines agitating against him.
1:19 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
GDP drop is not quite "killing the patient". It's replacing one problem (inflation) with another problem (unemployment, GDP drop). No need to pretend otherwise. Inflation was clearly a problem for a majority large enough to vote into office a candidate that had all established parties/machines agitating against him.
1:19 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806289117572927886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wars are the plague of humanity. Also about the most likely thing to destroy humanity from within. After WW1 (and WW2 - 2nd attempt ongoing) the solution some of the humanity hit on was to parcel the Earth into disjoint territories - countries. Further - largest countries voluntarily agreed to not start aggressive wars against smaller countries, not to try take over their territory and extinguish the smaller state. "To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" stood the test of time. It's as good in 2025 as it was in 1945. This looks like a win for the small countries, but is also really beneficial to the bigger stronger countries - as there the temptation for aggressive war is the strongest. Various aggressive wars (US in Vietnam, Iraq, now Russia in Ukraine) are dumb b/c they bring risks to the big country that it doesn't otherwise have to worry about. It's a self-inflicted risk. WW1 extinguished the Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman and Russian empires! No one would have predicted that in 1914. WW2 ended with Germany in two pieces. In the current age of technology, with the barrier to going nuclear ever lower and countries are ever richer - small countries acquiring nuclear deterrent may reduce the risk of smaller wars. At the cost of increasing the probability of a rarer event (a nuclear war) with more devastating consequences. The voluntary organization that is the UN rule of "aggressive war is wrong" is not ideal, but gets rid of 95% of the strife. Like parents with kids of similar age forever squabbling: a way of conflict resolution is to say "the one of you not in his/her room is in the wrong - no discussion of whys/hows/who started first/what".
Quote
ELON DOCS @elon_docs · 4h
Elon Musk: "Something must stop the reciprocal cycle of violence."
Embedded video
12:30 PM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wars are the plague of humanity. Also about the most likely thing to destroy humanity from within. After WW1 (and WW2 - 2nd attempt ongoing) the solution some of the humanity hit on was to parcel the Earth into disjoint territories - countries. Further - largest countries voluntarily agreed to not start aggressive wars against smaller countries, not to try take over their territory and extinguish the smaller state. "To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" stood the test of time. It's as good in 2025 as it was in 1945. This looks like a win for the small countries, but is also really beneficial to the bigger stronger countries - as there the temptation for aggressive war is the strongest. Various aggressive wars (US in Vietnam, Iraq, now Russia in Ukraine) are dumb b/c they bring risks to the big country that it doesn't otherwise have to worry about. It's a self-inflicted risk. WW1 extinguished the Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman and Russian empires! No one would have predicted that in 1914. WW2 ended with Germany in two pieces. In the current age of technology, with the barrier to going nuclear ever lower and countries are ever richer - small countries acquiring nuclear deterrent may reduce the risk of smaller wars. At the cost of increasing the probability of a rarer event (a nuclear war) with more devastating consequences. The voluntary organization that is the UN rule of "aggressive war is wrong" is not ideal, but gets rid of 95% of the strife. Like parents with kids of similar age forever squabbling: a way of conflict resolution is to say "the one of you not in his/her room is in the wrong - no discussion of whys/hows/who started first/what".
Quote
ELON DOCS @elon_docs · 4h
Elon Musk: "Something must stop the reciprocal cycle of violence."
Embedded video
12:30 PM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806279742485586366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your nations are not falling apart. (it's possible that one's private life falling apart clouds one's judgement) Yes there are plenty wrongs to be righted - but so is always the case. Your societies have never been richer better off, healthier etc. You know but nothing of the system you claim to idolise. If you knew more - you would know that Putin/system lies way way more than the UK system. In fact - Putin and the Russian system deny that any such thing as truth exists. Their system is nihilistic when it comes to the truth, to the idea that some things are true and others are false. Invasions of Iraq and Ukraine are interesting indicator. US didn't deny they are going to invade - they were trying to manufacture evidence for reasons to invade. Russia until 24-Feb denied flatly that any invasion is in the works, then the next day forgot everything about "we are not invading" and turned to the next propaganda item. And that is the MO since the Soviet times: truth does matter one iota. Look up Surkov "political technologist" - the parties, the elections, both the position and the opposition, all is fabrication a theater production a cosplay. He thinks truth does not matter can be manufactured at will.
11:53 AM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your nations are not falling apart. (it's possible that one's private life falling apart clouds one's judgement) Yes there are plenty wrongs to be righted - but so is always the case. Your societies have never been richer better off, healthier etc. You know but nothing of the system you claim to idolise. If you knew more - you would know that Putin/system lies way way more than the UK system. In fact - Putin and the Russian system deny that any such thing as truth exists. Their system is nihilistic when it comes to the truth, to the idea that some things are true and others are false. Invasions of Iraq and Ukraine are interesting indicator. US didn't deny they are going to invade - they were trying to manufacture evidence for reasons to invade. Russia until 24-Feb denied flatly that any invasion is in the works, then the next day forgot everything about "we are not invading" and turned to the next propaganda item. And that is the MO since the Soviet times: truth does matter one iota. Look up Surkov "political technologist" - the parties, the elections, both the position and the opposition, all is fabrication a theater production a cosplay. He thinks truth does not matter can be manufactured at will.
11:53 AM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806241527749861767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - the solution was to parcel the Earth into disjoint territories - countries. Further - largest countries voluntarily agreed to not start aggressive wars against smaller countries, not to try take them over and extinguish them. "To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" stood the test of time. It's as good in 2025 as it was in 1945. This looks like a win for the small countries, but is also really beneficial to the bigger stronger countries - as there the temptation for aggressive war is the strongest. Various aggressive wars (US in Vietnam, Iraq, now Russia in Ukraine) are dumb b/c they bring risks to the big country that it doesn't otherwise have to worry about. It's a self-inflicted risk! Like the WW1 extinguished the Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman and Russian empires! No one would have predicted that at the onset. WW2 ended with Germany in two pieces. In the current age of technology, with the barrier to going nuclear ever lower and countries are ever richer - small countries acquiring nuclear deterrent may reduce the risk of smaller wars. (but increasing the small probability of a rarer event with more devastating consequences - a nuclear war) For people that have kids about the same age forever squabbling: one way of conflict resolution is to say "the one of you that is not in his/her room, is in the wrong - always". That works reasonably well. Union of nations voluntary organization (that is the UN) rule of "aggressive war is wrong" is like that. Not ideal, but gets rid of 95% of the strife.
9:21 AM · Jun 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - the solution was to parcel the Earth into disjoint territories - countries. Further - largest countries voluntarily agreed to not start aggressive wars against smaller countries, not to try take them over and extinguish them. "To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" stood the test of time. It's as good in 2025 as it was in 1945. This looks like a win for the small countries, but is also really beneficial to the bigger stronger countries - as there the temptation for aggressive war is the strongest. Various aggressive wars (US in Vietnam, Iraq, now Russia in Ukraine) are dumb b/c they bring risks to the big country that it doesn't otherwise have to worry about. It's a self-inflicted risk! Like the WW1 extinguished the Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman and Russian empires! No one would have predicted that at the onset. WW2 ended with Germany in two pieces. In the current age of technology, with the barrier to going nuclear ever lower and countries are ever richer - small countries acquiring nuclear deterrent may reduce the risk of smaller wars. (but increasing the small probability of a rarer event with more devastating consequences - a nuclear war) For people that have kids about the same age forever squabbling: one way of conflict resolution is to say "the one of you that is not in his/her room, is in the wrong - always". That works reasonably well. Union of nations voluntary organization (that is the UN) rule of "aggressive war is wrong" is like that. Not ideal, but gets rid of 95% of the strife.
9:21 AM · Jun 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806096981963714985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobro sto ne dojde do sudenje - da go osudea ke bese katastrofa za site novinari sekade. Loso sto nema sansi nekoja kampanja da go smeni US zakonot po koj go gonea Asanz. Istiot zakon sekojdenvno im visi nad glava na site novinari. USG stalno ima opcija za "selektivna pravda": ako mnogu e buntoven novinarot, moze da go gonat, zakonot e takov los (mislam od WW1). UK - tuka nie nemame ni ustav, ni zastita od tip "free speech" ova-ona, zakonite za libel vo Anglija se najstrogi vo svet. Zatoa razni ruski tajkuni pa i toj gotvacot-warlord tuka vo London tuzat razni novinari. Za karakterot na Asanz, sto rekol, sto mislel i sl - sekoj ima nesto da kaze, ama toa nemase vrska so legalniot proces.
11:47 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobro sto ne dojde do sudenje - da go osudea ke bese katastrofa za site novinari sekade. Loso sto nema sansi nekoja kampanja da go smeni US zakonot po koj go gonea Asanz. Istiot zakon sekojdenvno im visi nad glava na site novinari. USG stalno ima opcija za "selektivna pravda": ako mnogu e buntoven novinarot, moze da go gonat, zakonot e takov los (mislam od WW1). UK - tuka nie nemame ni ustav, ni zastita od tip "free speech" ova-ona, zakonite za libel vo Anglija se najstrogi vo svet. Zatoa razni ruski tajkuni pa i toj gotvacot-warlord tuka vo London tuzat razni novinari. Za karakterot na Asanz, sto rekol, sto mislel i sl - sekoj ima nesto da kaze, ama toa nemase vrska so legalniot proces.
11:47 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806091247725232227
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Galloway is to the Labour party what Farage is to the Conservative party. Interesting contrast: while knowledgeable on Israel-Palestine having being involved for 50 years, on Ukraine-Russia he's clueless and it shows. The reasoning is incoherent, can't hold the argument and so resorts to slogans. Seems he feels it at some level? - avoiding eye contact when talking plain stupid, something Morgan noticed (to his credit).
11:24 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Galloway is to the Labour party what Farage is to the Conservative party. Interesting contrast: while knowledgeable on Israel-Palestine having being involved for 50 years, on Ukraine-Russia he's clueless and it shows. The reasoning is incoherent, can't hold the argument and so resorts to slogans. Seems he feels it at some level? - avoiding eye contact when talking plain stupid, something Morgan noticed (to his credit).
11:24 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806027933670154299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the quality of the prediction. Imagine there was a parrot standing on your shoulder, and as you are trying to say something, the parrot says it, then again for the next word, the next one etc. 😁 The parrot guesses all the words you meant to say, completely accurately! Wouldn't you conclude that this is one smart parrot, that got into your head somehow, and knows you as well as you know yourself? If on the other hand the parrot never guesses a word, is alway wrong, and spouts gibberish - that's another matter completely. So the quality or lack of makes all the difference. Models atm don't have any grounding to the truths and falsehoods of our world, b/c all they get is some text. Once they are hooked to sensors and can observe for themselves - things may change.
7:13 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the quality of the prediction. Imagine there was a parrot standing on your shoulder, and as you are trying to say something, the parrot says it, then again for the next word, the next one etc. 😁 The parrot guesses all the words you meant to say, completely accurately! Wouldn't you conclude that this is one smart parrot, that got into your head somehow, and knows you as well as you know yourself? If on the other hand the parrot never guesses a word, is alway wrong, and spouts gibberish - that's another matter completely. So the quality or lack of makes all the difference. Models atm don't have any grounding to the truths and falsehoods of our world, b/c all they get is some text. Once they are hooked to sensors and can observe for themselves - things may change.
7:13 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1806002519375557119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK is due clearing the slates clean(er) in the media-information complex too. Cameron traded Levison 2 for Murdoch support. With that Mordorian empire less strong today - hopefully overdue changes happen after all. TBS if Lab is impotent, or it's the case of "talk softly but carry a big stick".
5:32 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK is due clearing the slates clean(er) in the media-information complex too. Cameron traded Levison 2 for Murdoch support. With that Mordorian empire less strong today - hopefully overdue changes happen after all. TBS if Lab is impotent, or it's the case of "talk softly but carry a big stick".
5:32 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805992701327782355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are realising only now that all your life you played the game on Easy mode.
4:53 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are realising only now that all your life you played the game on Easy mode.
4:53 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805990093259182333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What Farage is to the Conservative party, that Galloway is to the Labour party. Having said that - liberalism is good even if neo-liberal economic growth model is dead. Things need to change in order for them to stay the same. The "same" being - improved human condition.
4:42 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What Farage is to the Conservative party, that Galloway is to the Labour party. Having said that - liberalism is good even if neo-liberal economic growth model is dead. Things need to change in order for them to stay the same. The "same" being - improved human condition.
4:42 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805981478787981607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of all time great books - thank you prof Tanenbaum
https://csc-knu.github.io/sys-prog/books/Andrew%20S.%20Tanenbaum%20-%20Computer%20Networks.pdf
Quote
nixCraft 🐧 @nixcraft · 5h
Andrew S. Tanenbaum, Vrije Universiteit, receives the ACM Software System Award for MINIX, which influenced the teaching of Operating Systems principles to multiple generations of students and contributed to the design of widely used operating systems, including #Linux
Show more
4:08 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One of all time great books - thank you prof Tanenbaum
https://csc-knu.github.io/sys-prog/books/Andrew%20S.%20Tanenbaum%20-%20Computer%20Networks.pdf
Quote
nixCraft 🐧 @nixcraft · 5h
Andrew S. Tanenbaum, Vrije Universiteit, receives the ACM Software System Award for MINIX, which influenced the teaching of Operating Systems principles to multiple generations of students and contributed to the design of widely used operating systems, including #Linux
Show more
4:08 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805974775585538188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" stood the test of time. It's as good in 2025 as it was in 1945.
3:41 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole" stood the test of time. It's as good in 2025 as it was in 1945.
3:41 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805961470909272341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One to add to your arguments: there is the phenomenon of Food Banks in the UK that appeared since 2010 (never heard about them before). Stuff (food!) is available, but people lack the money. Ergo - Food Banks to the rescue, to get Stuff (that we already have! just sitting there!!) to the people that lack Money.
More general argument: when looking at the economy as the sum of all the transactions that happen that are always - always! - Stuff-for-Money exchange (illustrated nicely in @RayDali
's excellent "How the Economic Machine Works"), for a transaction to happen there needs to exist both Stuff and Money, so the exchange is completed between Buyer and a Seller. If any of the 4 parts is missing - Stuff, Money, Buyer, Seller - then transactions can not happen. No transactions - no GDP. :-)
2:49 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One to add to your arguments: there is the phenomenon of Food Banks in the UK that appeared since 2010 (never heard about them before). Stuff (food!) is available, but people lack the money. Ergo - Food Banks to the rescue, to get Stuff (that we already have! just sitting there!!) to the people that lack Money.
More general argument: when looking at the economy as the sum of all the transactions that happen that are always - always! - Stuff-for-Money exchange (illustrated nicely in @RayDali
's excellent "How the Economic Machine Works"), for a transaction to happen there needs to exist both Stuff and Money, so the exchange is completed between Buyer and a Seller. If any of the 4 parts is missing - Stuff, Money, Buyer, Seller - then transactions can not happen. No transactions - no GDP. :-)
2:49 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805945037491995132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the Following TL - can we have option to show only original posts accounts posted? So to exclude reposts, quotes, replies. Like it's in the "For you" TL. Maybe have tick boxes and select categories 1) Posts 2) Reposts 3) Quotes 4) Replies desired yes/no in the Following TL?
1:43 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the Following TL - can we have option to show only original posts accounts posted? So to exclude reposts, quotes, replies. Like it's in the "For you" TL. Maybe have tick boxes and select categories 1) Posts 2) Reposts 3) Quotes 4) Replies desired yes/no in the Following TL?
1:43 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805928715689365613
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On their website saw a mention of ASIC. Is ASIC vs. GPU for the task of say bitcoin mining a useful comparison for "what can be gained in the limit if the best case hopes come true"?
12:38 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On their website saw a mention of ASIC. Is ASIC vs. GPU for the task of say bitcoin mining a useful comparison for "what can be gained in the limit if the best case hopes come true"?
12:38 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805924335439294691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍👏 excellent!! - short and to the point, expresses the underlying logic faithfully. keep & reuse
12:21 PM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍👏 excellent!! - short and to the point, expresses the underlying logic faithfully. keep & reuse
12:21 PM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805918625087308006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hate to be a party poop - but it's the outgoing Conservative majority that brought in the NetZero legislation (Theresa May, 2019). So by your argument, voting them out in a weeks time (we hope) is a vote against NetZero. In reality - voting one or the other in/out has almost zero to do with NetZero and everything to do with other things, chiefly - the standard of living that has not gotten better and in many was gotten worse. TBH poor reasoning more befitting an agit-prop party apparatchik not a thinking person (let alone scientist striving for truth). muting the thread now
11:58 AM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hate to be a party poop - but it's the outgoing Conservative majority that brought in the NetZero legislation (Theresa May, 2019). So by your argument, voting them out in a weeks time (we hope) is a vote against NetZero. In reality - voting one or the other in/out has almost zero to do with NetZero and everything to do with other things, chiefly - the standard of living that has not gotten better and in many was gotten worse. TBH poor reasoning more befitting an agit-prop party apparatchik not a thinking person (let alone scientist striving for truth). muting the thread now
11:58 AM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805896148525129853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Polls don't outweight elections, that's why countries are ruled by the winners of elections and not polls. Not talking about a single election - but many in many countries over non-trivial period of time. People want to live better lives, not worse - that's pretty clear. Back to polls - for a bit of cheer for respite from this depressing thread
Embedded video
For_and_Against_National_Service_-_Yes_Prime_Minister.mp4
10:29 AM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Polls don't outweight elections, that's why countries are ruled by the winners of elections and not polls. Not talking about a single election - but many in many countries over non-trivial period of time. People want to live better lives, not worse - that's pretty clear. Back to polls - for a bit of cheer for respite from this depressing thread
Embedded video
For_and_Against_National_Service_-_Yes_Prime_Minister.mp4
10:29 AM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805893873467597107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's delusional. Time after time majority of people throw out of office parties that make their lives harder. Before democracy - they even violently rebelled. Politically it's a losing proposition. Morally it's even worse, I'm sorry to say.
10:20 AM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's delusional. Time after time majority of people throw out of office parties that make their lives harder. Before democracy - they even violently rebelled. Politically it's a losing proposition. Morally it's even worse, I'm sorry to say.
10:20 AM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805881579425648884
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Err... you will make them fly even less, and most of them want to fly more. They will not like that. You may need a more dictatorship less democracy for that. In a democracy poor will throw out the leaders that make their lives worse.
9:31 AM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Err... you will make them fly even less, and most of them want to fly more. They will not like that. You may need a more dictatorship less democracy for that. In a democracy poor will throw out the leaders that make their lives worse.
9:31 AM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805866610462171404
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - squeeze the poor some more, then get amazed at election time. That will end well
8:32 AM · Jun 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - squeeze the poor some more, then get amazed at election time. That will end well
8:32 AM · Jun 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805658568453988374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every language ever created that has built in matrix type? - i.e. languages created to preference mathematics and statistics, over pleasing the hardware and the compilers.
6:45 PM · Jun 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every language ever created that has built in matrix type? - i.e. languages created to preference mathematics and statistics, over pleasing the hardware and the compilers.
6:45 PM · Jun 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805598717153562868
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The UK boss class has had socialism for them for too long. We need them to raise their game. Being granted a monopoly is a not only a license to print money, but also a privilege, and should be treated as such. Some of those seats could have been filled if tickets were offered at 99p. Next time franchise is awarded, have penalties in the contract such that @AvantiWestCost
executives would be relieved of their duties and be allowed to spend more time tending their gardens. Ideally their posts would be filled with disciples of Michael O'Leary. Do not penalize them in £££ - that's futile, they will just pass that as a cost to their customers (=us, the paying public). Make them leave jobs they are doing badly.
2:47 PM · Jun 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The UK boss class has had socialism for them for too long. We need them to raise their game. Being granted a monopoly is a not only a license to print money, but also a privilege, and should be treated as such. Some of those seats could have been filled if tickets were offered at 99p. Next time franchise is awarded, have penalties in the contract such that @AvantiWestCost
executives would be relieved of their duties and be allowed to spend more time tending their gardens. Ideally their posts would be filled with disciples of Michael O'Leary. Do not penalize them in £££ - that's futile, they will just pass that as a cost to their customers (=us, the paying public). Make them leave jobs they are doing badly.
2:47 PM · Jun 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805528937327378543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and what if it turns out that matter and energy are both carriers of information? Wouldn't then some description using information theory of some sort be at the base of our descriptions of reality?
10:10 AM · Jun 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and what if it turns out that matter and energy are both carriers of information? Wouldn't then some description using information theory of some sort be at the base of our descriptions of reality?
10:10 AM · Jun 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805258219486347706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah - but was he telegenic enough? Nope!! The country didn't vote for that guy, no - they went for the dynamic duo of Cameron+Osborne, with their sidekicks Nick+Alexander. Subsequently UK got what it voted for - g o o d and h a r d . But let's not delve on the past...
4:14 PM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah - but was he telegenic enough? Nope!! The country didn't vote for that guy, no - they went for the dynamic duo of Cameron+Osborne, with their sidekicks Nick+Alexander. Subsequently UK got what it voted for - g o o d and h a r d . But let's not delve on the past...
4:14 PM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805255953672966345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! At home $ rsync, for the cloud $ rclone copy. Discovered them some years ago, never looked back. 😊 Mostly all cron-ed. Have not found an Android rclone version yet.
4:05 PM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! At home $ rsync, for the cloud $ rclone copy. Discovered them some years ago, never looked back. 😊 Mostly all cron-ed. Have not found an Android rclone version yet.
4:05 PM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805213999757226364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FAFO - causes, consequences. Selling off the family silver not working out well? oh dear oh dear
1:18 PM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FAFO - causes, consequences. Selling off the family silver not working out well? oh dear oh dear
1:18 PM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805213068680466516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we have time-limited/expiring mute please? Like "Mute this account for 1d/3d/1w/1m/1y"? After the time period expires, the account is unmuted. I remember seeing FB have "Snooze this account for 30days in your News feed" or similar. Sometimes I want to read from an account but I've had enough of their posts today, and X for whatever reason keeps pushing their posts and spamming me. Then if I can use current "Mute", but it being forever, has the perverse consequence of me forgetting to unmute them latter. How about giving your users a time limit mute please?
1:15 PM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we have time-limited/expiring mute please? Like "Mute this account for 1d/3d/1w/1m/1y"? After the time period expires, the account is unmuted. I remember seeing FB have "Snooze this account for 30days in your News feed" or similar. Sometimes I want to read from an account but I've had enough of their posts today, and X for whatever reason keeps pushing their posts and spamming me. Then if I can use current "Mute", but it being forever, has the perverse consequence of me forgetting to unmute them latter. How about giving your users a time limit mute please?
1:15 PM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805211106815725890
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. By the age of 30 I'd done everything I could think of and caught myself thinking "for 3-4 years I'm hearing the same stories from the same people while sitting at the same places". Wish I had kids earlier and more of them.Similar dynamic grand-parents v.s. grandchildren: kids almost gave grand parents new leases on living.
1:07 PM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. By the age of 30 I'd done everything I could think of and caught myself thinking "for 3-4 years I'm hearing the same stories from the same people while sitting at the same places". Wish I had kids earlier and more of them.Similar dynamic grand-parents v.s. grandchildren: kids almost gave grand parents new leases on living.
1:07 PM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805194240252678312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree they may help - but it's possible that other things help with that too. Not being religious myself wouldn't know for sure. Another maybe religion +ve (saw it come up today): if I believe in an all powerful all seeing God - then I maybe less inclined to assign such god-like powers to a human. Brings some humility to maybe help deflate ours' typically ginormous egos.
12:00 PM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I agree they may help - but it's possible that other things help with that too. Not being religious myself wouldn't know for sure. Another maybe religion +ve (saw it come up today): if I believe in an all powerful all seeing God - then I maybe less inclined to assign such god-like powers to a human. Brings some humility to maybe help deflate ours' typically ginormous egos.
12:00 PM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805155009203462433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish they were well informed - but they are not, unfortunately. TBF theirs is not the "far away country with people of whom we know nothing" type of lack of knowledge. No - theirs is the "does worse than random chance" wrong knowledge: what they know is wrong, it just ain't so.
9:24 AM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish they were well informed - but they are not, unfortunately. TBF theirs is not the "far away country with people of whom we know nothing" type of lack of knowledge. No - theirs is the "does worse than random chance" wrong knowledge: what they know is wrong, it just ain't so.
9:24 AM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805149429789278672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why so few people vote via postal vote?? It's miles more convenient than having to plod to a polling station.
9:02 AM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why so few people vote via postal vote?? It's miles more convenient than having to plod to a polling station.
9:02 AM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805148566937055377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@RoryStewartUK
Latest book is quite a reveal of the internal workings of the political system. Before I was surprised by how wrong they were all the time and most of us could see it but apparently not them. Now I'm surprised that things are not way way worse.
8:58 AM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@RoryStewartUK
Latest book is quite a reveal of the internal workings of the political system. Before I was surprised by how wrong they were all the time and most of us could see it but apparently not them. Now I'm surprised that things are not way way worse.
8:58 AM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805138932624920791
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In addition, for feed shaping there is 1) Turn off reposts 2) Add account to sink list, at list level set "Don’t show these posts in For You". Wish there were 3) "time limited expiring Mute", and 4) rate limit account to N being "show me only 1 of every N account posts".
8:20 AM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In addition, for feed shaping there is 1) Turn off reposts 2) Add account to sink list, at list level set "Don’t show these posts in For You". Wish there were 3) "time limited expiring Mute", and 4) rate limit account to N being "show me only 1 of every N account posts".
8:20 AM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805135284046041173
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Сум бил еднаш одамна, ОК беше. Не ме наведува натаму патот често, посетава беше сигурно пред 15-20 год.
8:06 AM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Сум бил еднаш одамна, ОК беше. Не ме наведува натаму патот често, посетава беше сигурно пред 15-20 год.
8:06 AM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1805129551950860658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The all knowing, completely good and benevolent entity you imagine, a religious person may recognise as God. We humans are less than that, we can't do what you mention we might. The 4 approaches will diverge in practice fairly quickly. Every day when running experiments we decide "do I run with this or that", for the 4 sites to mirror each other those decisions would have to about match - very unlikely. Advances published will ofc propagate if replicated - but that's a good thing. Ideas will also transfer with people moving, rumours and innuendos of "breakthroughs". That again will be checked and if replicated adopted, and is on balance good. So some amount of cooperation among the competition will happen too. Leaving it to people doing these things to decide as is their conscience without much top-down interference is the best we can hope for afaics.
7:43 AM · Jun 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The all knowing, completely good and benevolent entity you imagine, a religious person may recognise as God. We humans are less than that, we can't do what you mention we might. The 4 approaches will diverge in practice fairly quickly. Every day when running experiments we decide "do I run with this or that", for the 4 sites to mirror each other those decisions would have to about match - very unlikely. Advances published will ofc propagate if replicated - but that's a good thing. Ideas will also transfer with people moving, rumours and innuendos of "breakthroughs". That again will be checked and if replicated adopted, and is on balance good. So some amount of cooperation among the competition will happen too. Leaving it to people doing these things to decide as is their conscience without much top-down interference is the best we can hope for afaics.
7:43 AM · Jun 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804999597640622360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We don't know in advance which team will solve it, or even if a solution to the problem will be found at all. It's simply a way of throwing more people, more effort, into attacking the problem. They compete but also collaborate - so it's not that much different to if they were all part of a single research group. Any sufficiently large group will create subgroups anyways - not unlike the competing teams. Competition + collaboration are the two modes of interaction and both need harnessing in whichever way we can.
11:06 PM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We don't know in advance which team will solve it, or even if a solution to the problem will be found at all. It's simply a way of throwing more people, more effort, into attacking the problem. They compete but also collaborate - so it's not that much different to if they were all part of a single research group. Any sufficiently large group will create subgroups anyways - not unlike the competing teams. Competition + collaboration are the two modes of interaction and both need harnessing in whichever way we can.
11:06 PM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804973318979621019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - seen it before. Would've agreed if they were an ordinary outfit. As things are - they are running a shadow government, not just policy think tank. Their AgitProp is beamed down into our living rooms every evening, they incubate ministers and prime ministers etc. With great power comes great responsibility. Their donors will have to grow thicker skins. Charity as understood in the usual sense - they are not.
9:22 PM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - seen it before. Would've agreed if they were an ordinary outfit. As things are - they are running a shadow government, not just policy think tank. Their AgitProp is beamed down into our living rooms every evening, they incubate ministers and prime ministers etc. With great power comes great responsibility. Their donors will have to grow thicker skins. Charity as understood in the usual sense - they are not.
9:22 PM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804963719207662037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing, it's b/s propagated by ambitious scolds that love bossing people around and wouldn't dream of attempting to address actual climate caused problems as solutionism like that would actually decrease their power.
8:44 PM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing, it's b/s propagated by ambitious scolds that love bossing people around and wouldn't dream of attempting to address actual climate caused problems as solutionism like that would actually decrease their power.
8:44 PM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804950808460480799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If not that justification (NATO), Putin will use a different justification. Russia has agency and decides on its own. So Nato, Eu, Ukraine, language etc - they are all just post-fact justifications. They are not "a cause". No aggressor ever goes "I am taking over the world, haha" (evil cackle, strokes a white cat). They always invent plethora of justifications, oft contradictory. US invented justifications for the Iraq invasion. Germany invented justifications for conquering Europe first Central then West and finally East (inc the Soviet Union). Stalin also had dozens of justifications why he is invading "his parts" of Eastern Europe in 1939. Sheesh IDK this needs explaining to grown up persons. The reason "why" cretins like Putin and Bush do it is - "because they can".
7:53 PM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If not that justification (NATO), Putin will use a different justification. Russia has agency and decides on its own. So Nato, Eu, Ukraine, language etc - they are all just post-fact justifications. They are not "a cause". No aggressor ever goes "I am taking over the world, haha" (evil cackle, strokes a white cat). They always invent plethora of justifications, oft contradictory. US invented justifications for the Iraq invasion. Germany invented justifications for conquering Europe first Central then West and finally East (inc the Soviet Union). Stalin also had dozens of justifications why he is invading "his parts" of Eastern Europe in 1939. Sheesh IDK this needs explaining to grown up persons. The reason "why" cretins like Putin and Bush do it is - "because they can".
7:53 PM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804842453796520414
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and for the calorie counters out there: a whole bottle of non/low-alcoholic wine has as much calories as a single glass of alcoholic wine.
12:42 PM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and for the calorie counters out there: a whole bottle of non/low-alcoholic wine has as much calories as a single glass of alcoholic wine.
12:42 PM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804815862769021216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Работа тешка има колку сакаш, може да им најдеме на луѓето ем тешка ем корисна работа. 😊 Не мора само тешка - може и двете, и тешка и корисна. Да имаме некој ќар од маката. Да не биде само cosplay - демек јаки сме, ама као на атлетски митинг, трчаме на 100м се тепаме од напор за забава. Тоа за тренинг за забава се прави 1) малку привремено 2) за учење тренирање 3) кога си млад не знаеш па учиш. А сите цел живот да се мачат за никаква корист - тоа не мора, може и подобро од тоа.
10:56 AM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Работа тешка има колку сакаш, може да им најдеме на луѓето ем тешка ем корисна работа. 😊 Не мора само тешка - може и двете, и тешка и корисна. Да имаме некој ќар од маката. Да не биде само cosplay - демек јаки сме, ама као на атлетски митинг, трчаме на 100м се тепаме од напор за забава. Тоа за тренинг за забава се прави 1) малку привремено 2) за учење тренирање 3) кога си млад не знаеш па учиш. А сите цел живот да се мачат за никаква корист - тоа не мора, може и подобро од тоа.
10:56 AM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804780890091864222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во војска (1987) истата психологија: “Q: водниче зашто не тормозиш нели до вчера и ти се мачеше со нас не ти беше право? A: мене ме мачеа па истрпев, трпете и вие". Робот кога ќе стане господар, прави исто што господарот претходно правел. Така системот се репродуцира, затоа останува ист: други луѓе ама исто прават. Да направам различно е голема работа - треба фантазија да смислам различно, труд да го спроведам, харизма да ги убедам другите да ми помогнат наместо да ме опструираат, памет и среќа новото различно да успее да не пропадне и да е подобро од старото. А да правам и јас како што правел мојот господар - не треба фантазија, бара помалку труд, средината веќе е навикната го прифаќа, и знам дека иако не е идеално ама функционира. Затоа робот прави тоа што правел господарот пред него кога бил во иста позиција.
8:37 AM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во војска (1987) истата психологија: “Q: водниче зашто не тормозиш нели до вчера и ти се мачеше со нас не ти беше право? A: мене ме мачеа па истрпев, трпете и вие". Робот кога ќе стане господар, прави исто што господарот претходно правел. Така системот се репродуцира, затоа останува ист: други луѓе ама исто прават. Да направам различно е голема работа - треба фантазија да смислам различно, труд да го спроведам, харизма да ги убедам другите да ми помогнат наместо да ме опструираат, памет и среќа новото различно да успее да не пропадне и да е подобро од старото. А да правам и јас како што правел мојот господар - не треба фантазија, бара помалку труд, средината веќе е навикната го прифаќа, и знам дека иако не е идеално ама функционира. Затоа робот прави тоа што правел господарот пред него кога бил во иста позиција.
8:37 AM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804770953102065780
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use my real name. IEA policy on keeping the sources of funding secret is indefensible. You have lost that argument for ages now. Secret funding taints all other work IEA does. It feels like it's only a matter of time before rules are changed. Radical transparency FTW.
7:58 AM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use my real name. IEA policy on keeping the sources of funding secret is indefensible. You have lost that argument for ages now. Secret funding taints all other work IEA does. It feels like it's only a matter of time before rules are changed. Radical transparency FTW.
7:58 AM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804768934278603069
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ако не сакаш блок, опции што ги знам да намалам фреквенција на постови од акаунт се 1) Turn off reposts 2) Mute 3) Додади го во листа, и на листата постави Don’t show these posts in For You.
7:50 AM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ако не сакаш блок, опции што ги знам да намалам фреквенција на постови од акаунт се 1) Turn off reposts 2) Mute 3) Додади го во листа, и на листата постави Don’t show these posts in For You.
7:50 AM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804763748290224357
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get the hope and the idea. But oft when looking how in high dimension spaces all mass moves into the edges leaving very little in the middle that we use to derive our representative measures like the mean - I wonder if our low dimensions intuitions are misleading us.
7:29 AM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get the hope and the idea. But oft when looking how in high dimension spaces all mass moves into the edges leaving very little in the middle that we use to derive our representative measures like the mean - I wonder if our low dimensions intuitions are misleading us.
7:29 AM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804751908550156718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Muscat (alcoholic) feels tad too heavy, too strong on a warm summer evening to me. Whereas the zero version (or maybe 0.5%?) felt somewhat lighter more refreshing, while retaining the muscaty taste & smell. Not a wine person here - I guess I was just surprised it was not horrid.
6:42 AM · Jun 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Muscat (alcoholic) feels tad too heavy, too strong on a warm summer evening to me. Whereas the zero version (or maybe 0.5%?) felt somewhat lighter more refreshing, while retaining the muscaty taste & smell. Not a wine person here - I guess I was just surprised it was not horrid.
6:42 AM · Jun 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804636686766199278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Muscat zero- (or very low?) alcohol wine sometimes available in Sainsburys and Waitrose is not terrible too.
11:04 PM · Jun 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Muscat zero- (or very low?) alcohol wine sometimes available in Sainsburys and Waitrose is not terrible too.
11:04 PM · Jun 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804509923805409634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sachs anti-USG is at most a 2nd order term correction to a 1st order pro-USG term in the function that approximates the truth. You are not dumb - why settle for the only 1 of the 2 terms (surely better to use both), and why settle on 2 terms only? You can do better than that.
2:41 PM · Jun 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sachs anti-USG is at most a 2nd order term correction to a 1st order pro-USG term in the function that approximates the truth. You are not dumb - why settle for the only 1 of the 2 terms (surely better to use both), and why settle on 2 terms only? You can do better than that.
2:41 PM · Jun 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804485315945435513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is a tenet, but I would dispute that it's 1) a central one, and 2) exclusive to capitalism. IMO capitalism should work way better once UBI brings freedom to people currently lacking it b/c they lack $$$ to buy it. Only capitalists will have their power over us reduced.
1:03 PM · Jun 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is a tenet, but I would dispute that it's 1) a central one, and 2) exclusive to capitalism. IMO capitalism should work way better once UBI brings freedom to people currently lacking it b/c they lack $$$ to buy it. Only capitalists will have their power over us reduced.
1:03 PM · Jun 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804444078718714257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Assuming "all anti-USG is true" is likely to be almost as wrong as "all pro-USG is true". The world does not exist in only two states. For every A that is true, there is infinity of not-As that are B, C, D ... Z that are false. So if USG says "B", Sachs (also Chomsky etc) deciding algorithm being "ah-haa! so therefore not-A is the truth!" and then jumping to - "therefore C" (or "D", "E" ... etc) - will be wrong too. One is simply unlikely to hit on the true thing "A" if the decision algorithm is solely "not-B". More likely one will hit on C, D, ... Z - all also untrue. So just being a contrarian, multiplying by (-1) everything USG says - is also going to not lead to the truth. In this case, instead from "aggressive war is the supreme international crime, Iraq invasion is a crime" concluding "therefore RU invasion of Ukr is also a crime and should not happen, RU should withdraw, like US did from Iraq", GS concludes "if US does it, so can RU". That seems not only wrong and immoral - but also dumb in that it is a bad policy. Similarly - Monroe doctrine (wrong, bad) being an alibi for "RU should have the right to occupy Eastern Europe". Not only morally but also practically bad, a recipe for many disasters. Every episode GS mentions is a saga on its own. He extracts one sentence in support of whatever his idea-de-jour is. To take apart one - I grew up next door and with "the problem of Kosovo" (mentioned as "bombing of Belgrade") in the news daily since 1980. I am well aware of the genesis, the saga, the conclusion. GS assessment is cartoon level, is tragi-comical. There were 100s of twists and turns and 1000s of actors over ~30 years. US acted the way it did only after exhausting all other avenues (as US sometimes does - tries everything else before doing the right thing). So to frame it as some US grand plan is anti-vax/denier level perception of reality.
10:19 AM · Jun 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Assuming "all anti-USG is true" is likely to be almost as wrong as "all pro-USG is true". The world does not exist in only two states. For every A that is true, there is infinity of not-As that are B, C, D ... Z that are false. So if USG says "B", Sachs (also Chomsky etc) deciding algorithm being "ah-haa! so therefore not-A is the truth!" and then jumping to - "therefore C" (or "D", "E" ... etc) - will be wrong too. One is simply unlikely to hit on the true thing "A" if the decision algorithm is solely "not-B". More likely one will hit on C, D, ... Z - all also untrue. So just being a contrarian, multiplying by (-1) everything USG says - is also going to not lead to the truth. In this case, instead from "aggressive war is the supreme international crime, Iraq invasion is a crime" concluding "therefore RU invasion of Ukr is also a crime and should not happen, RU should withdraw, like US did from Iraq", GS concludes "if US does it, so can RU". That seems not only wrong and immoral - but also dumb in that it is a bad policy. Similarly - Monroe doctrine (wrong, bad) being an alibi for "RU should have the right to occupy Eastern Europe". Not only morally but also practically bad, a recipe for many disasters. Every episode GS mentions is a saga on its own. He extracts one sentence in support of whatever his idea-de-jour is. To take apart one - I grew up next door and with "the problem of Kosovo" (mentioned as "bombing of Belgrade") in the news daily since 1980. I am well aware of the genesis, the saga, the conclusion. GS assessment is cartoon level, is tragi-comical. There were 100s of twists and turns and 1000s of actors over ~30 years. US acted the way it did only after exhausting all other avenues (as US sometimes does - tries everything else before doing the right thing). So to frame it as some US grand plan is anti-vax/denier level perception of reality.
10:19 AM · Jun 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804432636791623817
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😀 - tocno, ama pa site pocnuvame od tamu. Na bebe samoto toa i celiot univerzum mi lici deka mu se edno isto, pa zatoa mislam tolku mnogu iskreno placat koga nesto ne im e po keif! 😀 I tocno mi lici vozrasni luge koga se odnesuvaat kako sto opisa kako da se odnesuvaat bebeski, kako da ne porasnale. Religiite koi se nekogas prakticni na pr mislam imaat zapovedi kako "ne go moli boga za licni - trivijalni - raboti" ili sl. Posto neli sansata e molbite da ne bidat usliseni. ;-) Iako mislam nekogas lugeto molat posto se ocajni - ke probam mnogu raboti, nisto ne uspeva nema razultat, sum na kraj so silata, i molenjeto nekoja semokna sila da mi go resi problemot e posledno sto mi teknuva, i e poveke od ocaj otkolku so nadez. 🤷♂️
9:34 AM · Jun 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😀 - tocno, ama pa site pocnuvame od tamu. Na bebe samoto toa i celiot univerzum mi lici deka mu se edno isto, pa zatoa mislam tolku mnogu iskreno placat koga nesto ne im e po keif! 😀 I tocno mi lici vozrasni luge koga se odnesuvaat kako sto opisa kako da se odnesuvaat bebeski, kako da ne porasnale. Religiite koi se nekogas prakticni na pr mislam imaat zapovedi kako "ne go moli boga za licni - trivijalni - raboti" ili sl. Posto neli sansata e molbite da ne bidat usliseni. ;-) Iako mislam nekogas lugeto molat posto se ocajni - ke probam mnogu raboti, nisto ne uspeva nema razultat, sum na kraj so silata, i molenjeto nekoja semokna sila da mi go resi problemot e posledno sto mi teknuva, i e poveke od ocaj otkolku so nadez. 🤷♂️
9:34 AM · Jun 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804163661897863288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can you name the two dunderheads pls, the ones left- and right- most in that sitting arrangement as shown? They seem to have problems with elementary logic necessary for anything approaching reason and thinking - as opposed to pure tribal vibes chanting around a fire.
3:45 PM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can you name the two dunderheads pls, the ones left- and right- most in that sitting arrangement as shown? They seem to have problems with elementary logic necessary for anything approaching reason and thinking - as opposed to pure tribal vibes chanting around a fire.
3:45 PM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804150252737564747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not confined to politics and politicians exclusively. Similar is observed in music bands (contributes to the "2nd album curse"), also with influencers and cultural entrepreneurs of all sorts. Once they try to 2nd guess and hit on "what my audience wants" they typically decline. But not abruptly at once - it happens over time, takes time for the in-authenticity and deception to be imbibed by their audiences, almost by osmosis. There is not an one big reveal. A dynamics similar to enshitification of social media platform popularized by @doctorow
it seems to me - possibly related.
2:51 PM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not confined to politics and politicians exclusively. Similar is observed in music bands (contributes to the "2nd album curse"), also with influencers and cultural entrepreneurs of all sorts. Once they try to 2nd guess and hit on "what my audience wants" they typically decline. But not abruptly at once - it happens over time, takes time for the in-authenticity and deception to be imbibed by their audiences, almost by osmosis. There is not an one big reveal. A dynamics similar to enshitification of social media platform popularized by @doctorow
it seems to me - possibly related.
2:51 PM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804143712890438070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. Only one participant - 1st time buyer - has interest in price decline. All other participants have interest in non-price-decline, and some like agents (comms) and banks (IR) have strong economic interest for price increases.
2:25 PM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. Only one participant - 1st time buyer - has interest in price decline. All other participants have interest in non-price-decline, and some like agents (comms) and banks (IR) have strong economic interest for price increases.
2:25 PM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804138191672213691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I lived through 3 attempts (10 yrs apart) of "socialism with human face" to reform itself, then lived through 3 civil wars that followed the last failed reform. There is no perfect system, but choosing the least bad in preference to worse alternatives doesn't strike me as silly.
2:03 PM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I lived through 3 attempts (10 yrs apart) of "socialism with human face" to reform itself, then lived through 3 civil wars that followed the last failed reform. There is no perfect system, but choosing the least bad in preference to worse alternatives doesn't strike me as silly.
2:03 PM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804130772485345742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I already did via postal vote indeed. No idea why so few people take on postal voting?? Compared to voting in the privacy and comfort of your own home, at leisure - one time I was a proxy for my son and had to go to an actual polling boot, I was surprised how much hassle it was!
1:34 PM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I already did via postal vote indeed. No idea why so few people take on postal voting?? Compared to voting in the privacy and comfort of your own home, at leisure - one time I was a proxy for my son and had to go to an actual polling boot, I was surprised how much hassle it was!
1:34 PM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804129440089206803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are +ves and -ves to every electoral system, at the extremes (as the current election is shaping to be) the -ves become more pronounced. I would more look at measures and changes that counter the temptations to game the system (whichever it is) rather than play the game.
1:29 PM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are +ves and -ves to every electoral system, at the extremes (as the current election is shaping to be) the -ves become more pronounced. I would more look at measures and changes that counter the temptations to game the system (whichever it is) rather than play the game.
1:29 PM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804122292135354412
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many things "impossible" in peace time become *inevitable* once war pushes the shove. Testament that no-can-do lacking-imagination lazy-fuzzy vibes hold back humanity and for positive change to happen is to go against the tide of humanity.
1:00 PM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many things "impossible" in peace time become *inevitable* once war pushes the shove. Testament that no-can-do lacking-imagination lazy-fuzzy vibes hold back humanity and for positive change to happen is to go against the tide of humanity.
1:00 PM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804100353849205241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most excellent "Open: The Story Of Human Progress" by @johanknorberg lists several such regressions of knowledge and technology. I tend to lean on the side of - size in peoples and lands matters for increases in knowledge, there is criticality both acquiring and maintaining knowledge. And is probably super-linear as a lot is in the connections too not only in the nodes of the networks. So the reverse holds as well - decreases in groups sizes mean decrease in their knowledge. For knowledge is always a collective phenomenon it seems - there is always nodes and connections, that seem to be basic architecture for building up layers of complexity.
11:33 AM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most excellent "Open: The Story Of Human Progress" by @johanknorberg lists several such regressions of knowledge and technology. I tend to lean on the side of - size in peoples and lands matters for increases in knowledge, there is criticality both acquiring and maintaining knowledge. And is probably super-linear as a lot is in the connections too not only in the nodes of the networks. So the reverse holds as well - decreases in groups sizes mean decrease in their knowledge. For knowledge is always a collective phenomenon it seems - there is always nodes and connections, that seem to be basic architecture for building up layers of complexity.
11:33 AM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804087893901656283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They ought to but they won't. After reading @RoryStewartUK latest book that spells out what goes on behind the curtain and does not shy away from the bad - seems that devolving the currently centralized powers is the only way. A rare article that spells out who should get powers instead https://newstatesman.com/politics/2024/06/the-labour-party-must-forge-a-new-national-prosperity
10:44 AM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They ought to but they won't. After reading @RoryStewartUK latest book that spells out what goes on behind the curtain and does not shy away from the bad - seems that devolving the currently centralized powers is the only way. A rare article that spells out who should get powers instead https://newstatesman.com/politics/2024/06/the-labour-party-must-forge-a-new-national-prosperity
10:44 AM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804064022318252056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To get UK working again, "Power should shift from the dead hand of the Treasury to Britain’s devolved authorities". That rarest of things - a workable plan of action by Paul Collier (author of The Bottom Billion and more). In
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2024/06/the-labour-party-must-forge-a-new-national-prosperity
From newstatesman.com
9:09 AM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To get UK working again, "Power should shift from the dead hand of the Treasury to Britain’s devolved authorities". That rarest of things - a workable plan of action by Paul Collier (author of The Bottom Billion and more). In
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2024/06/the-labour-party-must-forge-a-new-national-prosperity
From newstatesman.com
9:09 AM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1804046309755638099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recommend @RoryStewartUK
's latest book for a view behind the curtain. Does not shy from talking about the bad and that's a great strength of it.
7:58 AM · Jun 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recommend @RoryStewartUK
's latest book for a view behind the curtain. Does not shy from talking about the bad and that's a great strength of it.
7:58 AM · Jun 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803806621648167120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A mystery factor referenced under pseudonyms such as BigFiscal, Bidenomics, Dont-saytit-mmt,
Fed-knew-at-ww2-but-forgot-since. Dunderheaded eggheads couldn't wouldn't do it on their own - but C19 forced their hand! 😂😂😂 It's just perfect! Another one for the "God has a special providence for fools, drunks, and the United States of America" side of the ledger. 😀
4:06 PM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A mystery factor referenced under pseudonyms such as BigFiscal, Bidenomics, Dont-saytit-mmt,
Fed-knew-at-ww2-but-forgot-since. Dunderheaded eggheads couldn't wouldn't do it on their own - but C19 forced their hand! 😂😂😂 It's just perfect! Another one for the "God has a special providence for fools, drunks, and the United States of America" side of the ledger. 😀
4:06 PM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803781953537159254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and not life changing amounts of money at that. We are talking about gains of at most few K£ - right? 🤷🏻♀️ Weapons grade stupidity. It's on their boss though - he chose them for their qualities.
2:28 PM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and not life changing amounts of money at that. We are talking about gains of at most few K£ - right? 🤷🏻♀️ Weapons grade stupidity. It's on their boss though - he chose them for their qualities.
2:28 PM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803707933055672762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - entertaining yet reasonably playsable demo of leading questions to a "perfect balanced sample"
Embedded video
For_and_Against_National_Service_-_Yes_Prime_Minister.mp4
9:34 AM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - entertaining yet reasonably playsable demo of leading questions to a "perfect balanced sample"
Embedded video
For_and_Against_National_Service_-_Yes_Prime_Minister.mp4
9:34 AM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803622513441636557
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this is the second time I read today along the lines of "are we (US) the soviet union?"
3:54 AM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
this is the second time I read today along the lines of "are we (US) the soviet union?"
3:54 AM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803616901756497978
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the un-self-awaraness level of neolibs is never unsurprising
3:32 AM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the un-self-awaraness level of neolibs is never unsurprising
3:32 AM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803609504879100112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no one can possibly know for sure. it's like a beauty contest - you are trying to guess what other people will like
3:03 AM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
no one can possibly know for sure. it's like a beauty contest - you are trying to guess what other people will like
3:03 AM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803606299353162062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent? self driving does not happen at scale that soon?
2:50 AM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent? self driving does not happen at scale that soon?
2:50 AM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803599919703347532
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Light mode b/c 1) daytime in light it's like black letters on white paper I'm used to it 2) night time the white background provides enough illumination so not to need additional personal small light.
2:25 AM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Light mode b/c 1) daytime in light it's like black letters on white paper I'm used to it 2) night time the white background provides enough illumination so not to need additional personal small light.
2:25 AM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803596245811765581
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
love is the third way
2:10 AM · Jun 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
love is the third way
2:10 AM · Jun 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803505319890325920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't get the "will be" part. From the moment it started it was "... the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole". The - what little there is of - "international law" is very clear.
8:09 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't get the "will be" part. From the moment it started it was "... the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole". The - what little there is of - "international law" is very clear.
8:09 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803449787624108184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand their activism. I just don't share their belief that we're all doomed. The future is but unknowable to us. One thing religious belief has going for it is with assuming something else is all knowing entity, one gets mental space to consider that one does knot know.
4:28 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand their activism. I just don't share their belief that we're all doomed. The future is but unknowable to us. One thing religious belief has going for it is with assuming something else is all knowing entity, one gets mental space to consider that one does knot know.
4:28 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803435024684904627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only b/c we are in period of unprecedented change, and atm temporarily going against the flow is less wrong than going with the flow. Most of the time it ain't so: going with the flow is less wrong. And certainly less costly than going against the consensus of the group.
3:29 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only b/c we are in period of unprecedented change, and atm temporarily going against the flow is less wrong than going with the flow. Most of the time it ain't so: going with the flow is less wrong. And certainly less costly than going against the consensus of the group.
3:29 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803433754758696960
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How are we people in groups going to synchronise, how are we going to cooperate? Leaving it to our own free will is noble and fine - but no guarantee it's going to lead to group organisations that function, that get things done. Hierarchical pyramidal strict dictatorships in private corporations and public organisations alike maybe Darwinian survivors among competitors. I don't like this at all - but what other alternative explanations are about? I have seen anarchy in a dying state and headless companies - that doesn't work.
3:24 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How are we people in groups going to synchronise, how are we going to cooperate? Leaving it to our own free will is noble and fine - but no guarantee it's going to lead to group organisations that function, that get things done. Hierarchical pyramidal strict dictatorships in private corporations and public organisations alike maybe Darwinian survivors among competitors. I don't like this at all - but what other alternative explanations are about? I have seen anarchy in a dying state and headless companies - that doesn't work.
3:24 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803431176775881155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can skip Chom for linguistics too TBF. His ideas didn't stand the test of time afaics. Which is fine - the ideas seemed plausible at the time. But evidence and consequently science has left them by the wayside. No shame in that - that's the method.
3:14 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can skip Chom for linguistics too TBF. His ideas didn't stand the test of time afaics. Which is fine - the ideas seemed plausible at the time. But evidence and consequently science has left them by the wayside. No shame in that - that's the method.
3:14 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803430419947249801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? LLMs and wider connectionist computing showed his ideas of us being born with grammar inbuilt and we just flick a few switches to figure the mother tongue around us are just plain wrong. It ain't so. Humans are amazing learners and we learn our languages from 0.
3:11 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? LLMs and wider connectionist computing showed his ideas of us being born with grammar inbuilt and we just flick a few switches to figure the mother tongue around us are just plain wrong. It ain't so. Humans are amazing learners and we learn our languages from 0.
3:11 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803425542223298598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
whoa - I read once "libertarianism is marxism of the right" magazine article, and now can't unsee seeing it everywhere 😂😂😂 what gives??
2:52 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
whoa - I read once "libertarianism is marxism of the right" magazine article, and now can't unsee seeing it everywhere 😂😂😂 what gives??
2:52 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803421864498282900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
we will work for meaning, for self-actualisation
2:37 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
we will work for meaning, for self-actualisation
2:37 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803420225066439123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they are crazy, they are stupid - and will take us down with them if we allow it
2:31 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
they are crazy, they are stupid - and will take us down with them if we allow it
2:31 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803418067864559952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hard to read books nowdays as authors are usually on Twitter and I get to imbibe their ideas way before they are made into a big book. I miss a little stumbling into the sun dazzed and confused after a book has blown my mind serially!
2:22 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hard to read books nowdays as authors are usually on Twitter and I get to imbibe their ideas way before they are made into a big book. I miss a little stumbling into the sun dazzed and confused after a book has blown my mind serially!
2:22 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803416396166041719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting ideas but wrong species. My desire to save comes from my need to stay alive at all times. Once gov kills me b/c I did not pay tax or I expire b/c lacking food & shelter - there is no coming back for me. The random process is multiplicative not additive - someone elses +ve offsetting my -ve does no resurrect me. Macro level (society) in theory fine but micro level (I) in reality am dead. B/c macro- emerges from micro- and not the other way around (macro is higher than micro in hierarchy) - ultimately macro will fail too. Good read though - thanks!
2:15 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting ideas but wrong species. My desire to save comes from my need to stay alive at all times. Once gov kills me b/c I did not pay tax or I expire b/c lacking food & shelter - there is no coming back for me. The random process is multiplicative not additive - someone elses +ve offsetting my -ve does no resurrect me. Macro level (society) in theory fine but micro level (I) in reality am dead. B/c macro- emerges from micro- and not the other way around (macro is higher than micro in hierarchy) - ultimately macro will fail too. Good read though - thanks!
2:15 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803410548777689112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
learned nothing, forgotten nothing 😮😱
1:52 PM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
learned nothing, forgotten nothing 😮😱
1:52 PM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803334654725960101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok I stand corrected, I didn't have the small holders of NSandI and savings cash accounts in mind when I wrote "wealthy". I had in mind persons with wealth 5M-20M at their disposal that are getting BI basic income from the IR. They take inflation risk, but then have zero credit risk - so I guess that evens out? I guess we can chalk the delayed consumption on the +ve side of the ledger why savers should be rewarded with non-zero IR?
8:51 AM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok I stand corrected, I didn't have the small holders of NSandI and savings cash accounts in mind when I wrote "wealthy". I had in mind persons with wealth 5M-20M at their disposal that are getting BI basic income from the IR. They take inflation risk, but then have zero credit risk - so I guess that evens out? I guess we can chalk the delayed consumption on the +ve side of the ledger why savers should be rewarded with non-zero IR?
8:51 AM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803331854772105486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both - and lazy too. I suspect if one trawls pre-Dec-1941 archives, one may as will find example of reports from Nazi Germany 1941 of the sort you describe.
8:39 AM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both - and lazy too. I suspect if one trawls pre-Dec-1941 archives, one may as will find example of reports from Nazi Germany 1941 of the sort you describe.
8:39 AM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803330337247740379
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - entirely correct, agreed, that too. IR increase adds further to creditors (that are net positive), and subtracts further from debtors (that are net negative). But my prejudice is that for BoE the small holders of NSandI and small savers matter less given BoE remit(s).
8:33 AM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - entirely correct, agreed, that too. IR increase adds further to creditors (that are net positive), and subtracts further from debtors (that are net negative). But my prejudice is that for BoE the small holders of NSandI and small savers matter less given BoE remit(s).
8:33 AM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803208803896139777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Commercial banks make more £££ with higher IR. BoE works for the banks, it's banks' bank. Further - holders of UK gov bonds (the wealthy) roll over gov debt replacing low->high IR bearing bonds, increasing their fixed income. BoE is "for whoever has, to him more will be given".
12:30 AM · Jun 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Commercial banks make more £££ with higher IR. BoE works for the banks, it's banks' bank. Further - holders of UK gov bonds (the wealthy) roll over gov debt replacing low->high IR bearing bonds, increasing their fixed income. BoE is "for whoever has, to him more will be given".
12:30 AM · Jun 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803110491176247382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusingly in the previous election backfired as revealed by I think JRB - it suppressed more the older vote (CON) than the younger vote (non-CON). It cemented my view of the current CON crop being incompetent in addition to being evil. No redeeming features.
6:00 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amusingly in the previous election backfired as revealed by I think JRB - it suppressed more the older vote (CON) than the younger vote (non-CON). It cemented my view of the current CON crop being incompetent in addition to being evil. No redeeming features.
6:00 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803091710643208666
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot on 🎯 Like when a failing mafia infested state gets no credit with their own citizens (they know better! than to hold onto its currency - so it's dumped for the next available one pronto), nor from a foreign investor (they are not stupid either) - then they turn to the IMF for loans! Now there's rich pickings to be had - future citizens on hook for the $$$! No brainer. (for the cleptodon in charge)
4:45 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot on 🎯 Like when a failing mafia infested state gets no credit with their own citizens (they know better! than to hold onto its currency - so it's dumped for the next available one pronto), nor from a foreign investor (they are not stupid either) - then they turn to the IMF for loans! Now there's rich pickings to be had - future citizens on hook for the $$$! No brainer. (for the cleptodon in charge)
4:45 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803084057556795637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible, I can imagine that. I can see how a bot farm paying 1000 accounts x $100 = $100K pa + another 10K free tier accounts, interacting between themselves, would have immense reach, thus making the expense be insane good RoI. Because the reach seems proportional to the interactions (like, forward, reply, quote) between the nodes (accounts), and those interactions increase with the *square* of the accounts number. So x2 times acc increase results in x4 times reach increase. Compared to say running a plain old propaganda satellite channel - the $$$ spend is peanuts.
4:15 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible, I can imagine that. I can see how a bot farm paying 1000 accounts x $100 = $100K pa + another 10K free tier accounts, interacting between themselves, would have immense reach, thus making the expense be insane good RoI. Because the reach seems proportional to the interactions (like, forward, reply, quote) between the nodes (accounts), and those interactions increase with the *square* of the accounts number. So x2 times acc increase results in x4 times reach increase. Compared to say running a plain old propaganda satellite channel - the $$$ spend is peanuts.
4:15 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803072074656751958
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Write boring code. Obvious, not too verbose, not too clever, not too abstract - just right on those axes. 😊 If the code reads - exciting! clever! sexy! - it's going to be unreadable in 1yr time.
3:27 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Write boring code. Obvious, not too verbose, not too clever, not too abstract - just right on those axes. 😊 If the code reads - exciting! clever! sexy! - it's going to be unreadable in 1yr time.
3:27 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803063121398923373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right, I fear there is no good still cost effective way to do it at scale that does not fall foul to faking, impersonating and similar. Maybe some sort of crowd-sourced scheme, like the Community Notes are?? So to outsource crowdsource that labor to motivated users to do it for free?
2:52 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right, I fear there is no good still cost effective way to do it at scale that does not fall foul to faking, impersonating and similar. Maybe some sort of crowd-sourced scheme, like the Community Notes are?? So to outsource crowdsource that labor to motivated users to do it for free?
2:52 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803061425570464075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't understand a word you said. IDK how you read so much into a sentence. Further don't understand the need to insult random strangers. There are another 8B people we can interact with. blocked
2:45 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't understand a word you said. IDK how you read so much into a sentence. Further don't understand the need to insult random strangers. There are another 8B people we can interact with. blocked
2:45 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803052399096963391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't!! Please don't trust that blue check mark 100%! Take it to mean only "a valid CC transaction for xx dollars paid". Hence me suggesting to "x bugs & features" list they do something that maybe will improve the current - quite unsatisfactory - state of affairs.
2:09 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can't!! Please don't trust that blue check mark 100%! Take it to mean only "a valid CC transaction for xx dollars paid". Hence me suggesting to "x bugs & features" list they do something that maybe will improve the current - quite unsatisfactory - state of affairs.
2:09 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803050250354958579
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku vreme bile kolku-tolku slobodni. Vo MKD feudalizam do 1920-ta, nema zbogatuvanje nema kapitalizam ne moze da nikne (zatoa 1945-90 imame socijalizam malku zbogatuvanje, premin od 3et vo 2or svet, kako voved vo kapitalizam), procenti na prelezani malarija, na nepismeni vo MK vo 1920-30 se glava boli visoki, sopstveno pismo sto ke ni ovozmozi na mnozinstvoto da pisuvame komforno da si gi napiseme izrazime mislite - tek od 1950-ta navamu. Ima mnogu za rabota na sebe i sebe-spoznavanje.
2:00 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku vreme bile kolku-tolku slobodni. Vo MKD feudalizam do 1920-ta, nema zbogatuvanje nema kapitalizam ne moze da nikne (zatoa 1945-90 imame socijalizam malku zbogatuvanje, premin od 3et vo 2or svet, kako voved vo kapitalizam), procenti na prelezani malarija, na nepismeni vo MK vo 1920-30 se glava boli visoki, sopstveno pismo sto ke ni ovozmozi na mnozinstvoto da pisuvame komforno da si gi napiseme izrazime mislite - tek od 1950-ta navamu. Ima mnogu za rabota na sebe i sebe-spoznavanje.
2:00 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803047311708209434
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But that's not what I wrote. I am fine with pseudo/anonymous and all manner of accounts, I'm not advocating for any compulsory ID by anyone, not on Twitter, not on the web or the Internet. I'm advocating for 1) on Twitter only 2) accounts that *do want themselves* do have *real person* verified by Twitter, 3) for Twitter to have a process to do that, 4) for accounts that want it themselves; and 5) I as a user of whatever designation - free, premium, premium+, verified - or not - to have tools where I can filter, select etc posts and accounts on that axis of difference, "verified real life human yes/no". I already do this to some extent by necessity via lists etc - just advocating for Twitter to help me a bit. I already e.g. verify my ID to my bank to use their online services. Twitter could offer - non-compulsory, voluntary for accounts that want it - service for that, for Twitter only.
1:49 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But that's not what I wrote. I am fine with pseudo/anonymous and all manner of accounts, I'm not advocating for any compulsory ID by anyone, not on Twitter, not on the web or the Internet. I'm advocating for 1) on Twitter only 2) accounts that *do want themselves* do have *real person* verified by Twitter, 3) for Twitter to have a process to do that, 4) for accounts that want it themselves; and 5) I as a user of whatever designation - free, premium, premium+, verified - or not - to have tools where I can filter, select etc posts and accounts on that axis of difference, "verified real life human yes/no". I already do this to some extent by necessity via lists etc - just advocating for Twitter to help me a bit. I already e.g. verify my ID to my bank to use their online services. Twitter could offer - non-compulsory, voluntary for accounts that want it - service for that, for Twitter only.
1:49 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803045039024550246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Svetskiot gdp koj e nekakva merka za vkupno bogatstvo vo svetot e zgolemen x100 pati (od 1.4T na 140T) vo poslednite 100 godini. Tie kapitalisti demokrati i sl taka kao racunaat. Ama ti si znaes najdobro - moze pa ti slucajno ako im poveruvas pa tie da te prelazhat.
Image
1:40 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Svetskiot gdp koj e nekakva merka za vkupno bogatstvo vo svetot e zgolemen x100 pati (od 1.4T na 140T) vo poslednite 100 godini. Tie kapitalisti demokrati i sl taka kao racunaat. Ama ti si znaes najdobro - moze pa ti slucajno ako im poveruvas pa tie da te prelazhat.
Image
1:40 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803127069083312566
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... korekcija - poslednite 200 godini (ne "100 godini"). Od 1820 do 2020.
7:06 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... korekcija - poslednite 200 godini (ne "100 godini"). Od 1820 do 2020.
7:06 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803036057509732808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Ok I take my words back. It is verified in a sense "CC transaction went through, paid for Premium tier Twitter". But not verified in the common use of the word verified that imo would be this
Quote
x bugs & features
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 15
Verified real name human. Are there any plans to provide "this account is human and this is its real name" type verification? Voluntary, by demand of the account, possibly paid via one off fee. Oft I'd like to select yes/no on that axis when filtering account, posts etc.
1:04 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Ok I take my words back. It is verified in a sense "CC transaction went through, paid for Premium tier Twitter". But not verified in the common use of the word verified that imo would be this
Quote
x bugs & features
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jun 15
Verified real name human. Are there any plans to provide "this account is human and this is its real name" type verification? Voluntary, by demand of the account, possibly paid via one off fee. Oft I'd like to select yes/no on that axis when filtering account, posts etc.
1:04 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803032073831141527
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂😂😂 - super! Ne znam do koga so MK ke moze taka, ne uste dolgo: ChatGPT App na iPhone (ne na Android) 1) prepoznava makedonski govor 2) razbira sto mu zboram 3) odgovara na makedonski jazik! 😱 Od prvo na "Zdravo" (koe ne e unikatno samo makedonski) odovori na srpski, ama brzo pri slednata recenica sfati i svrte na makedonski vo natamosna konverzacija.
12:48 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂😂😂 - super! Ne znam do koga so MK ke moze taka, ne uste dolgo: ChatGPT App na iPhone (ne na Android) 1) prepoznava makedonski govor 2) razbira sto mu zboram 3) odgovara na makedonski jazik! 😱 Od prvo na "Zdravo" (koe ne e unikatno samo makedonski) odovori na srpski, ama brzo pri slednata recenica sfati i svrte na makedonski vo natamosna konverzacija.
12:48 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803028670770036876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fala, super - isto vidov
youtube.com
ИНТЕРВЈУ СО ГОРАН СТЕФАНОВСКИ, СТОКХОЛМ, 1998, ОБНОВЕНО
Ова е целото интервју, во продукција на МТВ, реализирано во тогашната Европска престолнина на културата каде што во проектот за отворање, Еуроалиен, еден од ...
12:35 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fala, super - isto vidov
youtube.com
ИНТЕРВЈУ СО ГОРАН СТЕФАНОВСКИ, СТОКХОЛМ, 1998, ОБНОВЕНО
Ова е целото интервју, во продукција на МТВ, реализирано во тогашната Европска престолнина на културата каде што во проектот за отворање, Еуроалиен, еден од ...
12:35 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803024672302285083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They could, but that would be manual work, manual vetting, so I presume - they don't. If the payment goes through - then all is fine, they just accept the money and the account is now a Premium account. Twitter have introduced a more expensive Premium+ account too!
12:19 PM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They could, but that would be manual work, manual vetting, so I presume - they don't. If the payment goes through - then all is fine, they just accept the money and the account is now a Premium account. Twitter have introduced a more expensive Premium+ account too!
12:19 PM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803017285969277020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
have their cake and eat it - but don't we all?
11:49 AM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
have their cake and eat it - but don't we all?
11:49 AM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1803000773283889548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 spot on the narcissisms
10:44 AM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 spot on the narcissisms
10:44 AM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802966936025743686
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no end to the talents of that man. He was shock-therapist, then something or other with development, Covid, now international geopolitics. To get serially mostly disparate things mostly wrong, and to keep telling the world so publicly, strikes me as odd. His ego must be through the roof. What other reason can there be? Strikes me as IYI (intellectual-yet-idiot) version of the Brexit voters you posted yesterday. Where he does tell a number that can be checked - e.g. "1K-2K killed per/day" so in ~850 days of war Ukr lost between 850K and 1.7M soldiers; while they only had about 200K-300K of army to start with - his claims don't tally with reality. He's like non-tech-bro centrist version of David Sacks. Looking around for evidence to support that one idea he's got in his head. Never bother to collect evidence against it and weight it, never bother to consider competing ideas hypothesis and never collect evidence and counter-evidence for those too. A person incapable of rational thinking imo. What he says maybe true or false - but him saying it does not alter the probabilities in any meaningful way.
8:29 AM · Jun 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no end to the talents of that man. He was shock-therapist, then something or other with development, Covid, now international geopolitics. To get serially mostly disparate things mostly wrong, and to keep telling the world so publicly, strikes me as odd. His ego must be through the roof. What other reason can there be? Strikes me as IYI (intellectual-yet-idiot) version of the Brexit voters you posted yesterday. Where he does tell a number that can be checked - e.g. "1K-2K killed per/day" so in ~850 days of war Ukr lost between 850K and 1.7M soldiers; while they only had about 200K-300K of army to start with - his claims don't tally with reality. He's like non-tech-bro centrist version of David Sacks. Looking around for evidence to support that one idea he's got in his head. Never bother to collect evidence against it and weight it, never bother to consider competing ideas hypothesis and never collect evidence and counter-evidence for those too. A person incapable of rational thinking imo. What he says maybe true or false - but him saying it does not alter the probabilities in any meaningful way.
8:29 AM · Jun 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802810913734693138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Researcher is asked "pick one number that you think is most likely the age", the s/he picks "392". Then s/he is asked "now you are allowed to pick two numbers determining a range [from,to]", and s/he picks "[272,512]". And so on. That's the meaning of number(s) quoted.
10:09 PM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Researcher is asked "pick one number that you think is most likely the age", the s/he picks "392". Then s/he is asked "now you are allowed to pick two numbers determining a range [from,to]", and s/he picks "[272,512]". And so on. That's the meaning of number(s) quoted.
10:09 PM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802791147963617392
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 markets ATH, ofc anyone that bought anything made $$$ - the article is as per the course, expect nothing else from the charlatan fintertainment bozos
8:51 PM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 markets ATH, ofc anyone that bought anything made $$$ - the article is as per the course, expect nothing else from the charlatan fintertainment bozos
8:51 PM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802751679466500291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The state needs to build assets. The assets built by by the previous generations were sold off (fine), but new assets were not subsequently built (not fine). Income tax, consumption tax etc - these are all like income from labor. The state has very little passive income from assets atm. This is like the difference between owning your home (==asset), and renting and paying rent every month (==significant additional £££ in the outgoings per month).
6:14 PM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The state needs to build assets. The assets built by by the previous generations were sold off (fine), but new assets were not subsequently built (not fine). Income tax, consumption tax etc - these are all like income from labor. The state has very little passive income from assets atm. This is like the difference between owning your home (==asset), and renting and paying rent every month (==significant additional £££ in the outgoings per month).
6:14 PM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802702973241368966
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Test the policies programme with your relatives and friends first - see how many votes you find there. If your can't persuade your closest and dearest to lend you their votes - well, you will at least know. 😀
3:00 PM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Test the policies programme with your relatives and friends first - see how many votes you find there. If your can't persuade your closest and dearest to lend you their votes - well, you will at least know. 😀
3:00 PM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802699833821597938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Indeed! 🎯 You are 100% right, they would be. Strauss-ianism of the "you can't handle the truth" few good man -type - similarly to oft maligned Machiavelli-anism - are adaptations of the system to its users. We have other adaptations too - selection of the office holders, education of both the representatives and the voters, informed electorate etc - that make the system work better by band-aiding the obvious fail points.
2:48 PM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Indeed! 🎯 You are 100% right, they would be. Strauss-ianism of the "you can't handle the truth" few good man -type - similarly to oft maligned Machiavelli-anism - are adaptations of the system to its users. We have other adaptations too - selection of the office holders, education of both the representatives and the voters, informed electorate etc - that make the system work better by band-aiding the obvious fail points.
2:48 PM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802664943222690242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Old age is not wisdom, this current present state of China is not 1000s of years old (the Chinese civilisation is though), pride comes before a fall, Kruschev similarly waved his shoe from a lecturn and said "we will burry you" in UN GA 1960. Also fwiw I was supportive of the propeace CN fraction - no idea why you attacked me the way you did.
12:29 PM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Old age is not wisdom, this current present state of China is not 1000s of years old (the Chinese civilisation is though), pride comes before a fall, Kruschev similarly waved his shoe from a lecturn and said "we will burry you" in UN GA 1960. Also fwiw I was supportive of the propeace CN fraction - no idea why you attacked me the way you did.
12:29 PM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802655571796984240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative indicator: look at the amount of leafleting and/or canvassing the non-Tory alternatives do in your local area. That's a good proxy for the alternatives own expectations, and should be a better indicator. In my area LDM:LAB:CON=20:0:2 so pretty clear LDM are hitting this otherwise fairly safe CON seat, and LAB are stepping aside.
11:52 AM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative indicator: look at the amount of leafleting and/or canvassing the non-Tory alternatives do in your local area. That's a good proxy for the alternatives own expectations, and should be a better indicator. In my area LDM:LAB:CON=20:0:2 so pretty clear LDM are hitting this otherwise fairly safe CON seat, and LAB are stepping aside.
11:52 AM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802638876202151962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c their longest experience at that age is cooperation within a family unit, and as a family group we all practice mostly communism: from each according to their abilities (==parents), to each according to their means (==children).
10:46 AM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c their longest experience at that age is cooperation within a family unit, and as a family group we all practice mostly communism: from each according to their abilities (==parents), to each according to their means (==children).
10:46 AM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802700924231499861
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... to each according to their NEEDS (not "means") (==children). Doh - when oh when will Edit functionality happen for replies??
2:52 PM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... to each according to their NEEDS (not "means") (==children). Doh - when oh when will Edit functionality happen for replies??
2:52 PM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802626125325058225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Add setting "N" and make "Follow acc X yes/no" into "Follow X show 1 out of N posts". So when I set N different from 1, in my "Following" TL I get only 1 out of every N posts of account X. This is so that very prolific posters that I still want to read from - just not everything all the time - don't overwhelm my "Following" TL turning it into an "Acc X" TL. Have the default N=1, but allow us users to change it to N>1 to get more control over our TL.
9:55 AM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Add setting "N" and make "Follow acc X yes/no" into "Follow X show 1 out of N posts". So when I set N different from 1, in my "Following" TL I get only 1 out of every N posts of account X. This is so that very prolific posters that I still want to read from - just not everything all the time - don't overwhelm my "Following" TL turning it into an "Acc X" TL. Have the default N=1, but allow us users to change it to N>1 to get more control over our TL.
9:55 AM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802617370583691737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF to you most don't know with any certainty - some that know can't explain well, and almost all mystify rather than simplify. This YT episode by @Suitpossum
ELI5-ed our banking system to me enough to not be bamboozled.
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in institutions by Brett Scott We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which also includes commercial banks who issue their own form of money, and various institutions like Paypal that 'plug-in' to the banking sector. In this video I sketch out a broad overview of the state money system, bank money system, and payments system, whilst touching on controversial topics like 'fractional reserve banking' (credit creation of money), central bank digital currencies (CBDC's), and the 'War on Cash'. This video is Part 1 of a three-part series: the next video will go into the cryptocurrency systems that claim to challenge this fiat money system
Embedded video
State_money_bank_money_and_plug-in_institutions_-_Brett_Scott_-_The_Landscape_of_Money_Part_1.mp4
Brett Scott
9:20 AM · Jun 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF to you most don't know with any certainty - some that know can't explain well, and almost all mystify rather than simplify. This YT episode by @Suitpossum
ELI5-ed our banking system to me enough to not be bamboozled.
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in institutions by Brett Scott We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which also includes commercial banks who issue their own form of money, and various institutions like Paypal that 'plug-in' to the banking sector. In this video I sketch out a broad overview of the state money system, bank money system, and payments system, whilst touching on controversial topics like 'fractional reserve banking' (credit creation of money), central bank digital currencies (CBDC's), and the 'War on Cash'. This video is Part 1 of a three-part series: the next video will go into the cryptocurrency systems that claim to challenge this fiat money system
Embedded video
State_money_bank_money_and_plug-in_institutions_-_Brett_Scott_-_The_Landscape_of_Money_Part_1.mp4
Brett Scott
9:20 AM · Jun 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802308802781266413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaics there are usually two camps in every gov: anti-war, and pro-war. So between USA-China, there would be in total 4 groupings - {CN,antiwar} {CN,prowar} {US,antiwar} {US,prowar} - at minimum. And often more. No gov is one perfect single monolithic block.
12:54 PM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaics there are usually two camps in every gov: anti-war, and pro-war. So between USA-China, there would be in total 4 groupings - {CN,antiwar} {CN,prowar} {US,antiwar} {US,prowar} - at minimum. And often more. No gov is one perfect single monolithic block.
12:54 PM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802301259329720651
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, fwiw all tax is collected and paid under threat of violence (ultimately - dispossesion, death) from the state and towards the individual, always.
12:24 PM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, fwiw all tax is collected and paid under threat of violence (ultimately - dispossesion, death) from the state and towards the individual, always.
12:24 PM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802292940204544100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
99% is missing being young - the body working like a clock, the world of future possibilities still open, everything and anything possible
11:51 AM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
99% is missing being young - the body working like a clock, the world of future possibilities still open, everything and anything possible
11:51 AM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802282280473243708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The people 👍 - mostly articulate, reasonable and good-humored, the (gulp 😱) weather - not too hot summers, not too cold winters, and personal lucky break - working in my garden office in silence surrounded by light and greenery. 😊
11:09 AM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The people 👍 - mostly articulate, reasonable and good-humored, the (gulp 😱) weather - not too hot summers, not too cold winters, and personal lucky break - working in my garden office in silence surrounded by light and greenery. 😊
11:09 AM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802277887468319067
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you saying: US gov can make China start a Taiwan invasion at about any time? Like USG declares loudly "we recognise fully independent country of Taiwan" or similar, and China gov is like "well we have no choice now, we have to invade" and go ahead and do it. Wouldn't that be very silly on the part of China? To be baited like a 2 year old? That would be too easy for US. I refuse to believe. No one can force China to do a random stupid thing.
10:51 AM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you saying: US gov can make China start a Taiwan invasion at about any time? Like USG declares loudly "we recognise fully independent country of Taiwan" or similar, and China gov is like "well we have no choice now, we have to invade" and go ahead and do it. Wouldn't that be very silly on the part of China? To be baited like a 2 year old? That would be too easy for US. I refuse to believe. No one can force China to do a random stupid thing.
10:51 AM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802272811412488348
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Some want war" is a straw man (most on the UKR side want to live in peace) and trivial (obv Russia prefers aggressive war to the alternatives - hence the invasion). The argument against "any peace better than any war" is: that was tried 2014-2022 ("let Putin have what he wants") and led to the current state of "largest war on Eu soil since 1945“. There is non trivial risk that doing the same again, leads to further invasions and expansion of war into Moldova, the Baltic states, and Poland by 2030+. I am not saying I have a sure proof solution - anyone saying that is saying to have found a solution that evaded jointly Chamberlain *and* Churchill. Just pointing of the reasonable risks in your position. We can square various considerations and strands of evidence - both distant (1939) and recent (2014) history, the words v.s. deeds of the Ru side, the logic of a continental empire (ideology Ru has fallen back to it seems; c.f. Ru expanding West since 18th cent) etc. For war it's sufficient for one side to want it, but peace needs two sides. If one side sufficed for peace - we'd have achieved world peace centuries ago.
10:31 AM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Some want war" is a straw man (most on the UKR side want to live in peace) and trivial (obv Russia prefers aggressive war to the alternatives - hence the invasion). The argument against "any peace better than any war" is: that was tried 2014-2022 ("let Putin have what he wants") and led to the current state of "largest war on Eu soil since 1945“. There is non trivial risk that doing the same again, leads to further invasions and expansion of war into Moldova, the Baltic states, and Poland by 2030+. I am not saying I have a sure proof solution - anyone saying that is saying to have found a solution that evaded jointly Chamberlain *and* Churchill. Just pointing of the reasonable risks in your position. We can square various considerations and strands of evidence - both distant (1939) and recent (2014) history, the words v.s. deeds of the Ru side, the logic of a continental empire (ideology Ru has fallen back to it seems; c.f. Ru expanding West since 18th cent) etc. For war it's sufficient for one side to want it, but peace needs two sides. If one side sufficed for peace - we'd have achieved world peace centuries ago.
10:31 AM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802232163577852246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Significant change is inevitable now the system is no longer improving the lives of significant portions of its citizens. The only Q is if it's going to be smart change, that in the future will have good outcomes so retrospectively we will come to see the ideas as smart - we can't see that now at present - or the opposite (bad outcome, we conclude those particular ideas were stupid - but only in retrospect). The moderate centrists have bias for "no change" in the battle of ideas - that is guaranteed to fail to hold the fort, as the forces making lives of significant portion of the population worse keep grinding, the pressure for change keeps increasing. Only good ideas for change in a good direction can overwhelm the bad ideas - "no significant action" centrism can't. A 2nd problem is that it's not trivialy easy to discern good from bad ideas for change in the present - that will become more clear as the future unfolds. That makes centrists doubly reluctant (the 1st reason being for most of them their own lives are not intolerable, not that bad).
7:50 AM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Significant change is inevitable now the system is no longer improving the lives of significant portions of its citizens. The only Q is if it's going to be smart change, that in the future will have good outcomes so retrospectively we will come to see the ideas as smart - we can't see that now at present - or the opposite (bad outcome, we conclude those particular ideas were stupid - but only in retrospect). The moderate centrists have bias for "no change" in the battle of ideas - that is guaranteed to fail to hold the fort, as the forces making lives of significant portion of the population worse keep grinding, the pressure for change keeps increasing. Only good ideas for change in a good direction can overwhelm the bad ideas - "no significant action" centrism can't. A 2nd problem is that it's not trivialy easy to discern good from bad ideas for change in the present - that will become more clear as the future unfolds. That makes centrists doubly reluctant (the 1st reason being for most of them their own lives are not intolerable, not that bad).
7:50 AM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802118627820261771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What book is that please? Sounds to me like - "Information is fundamental, energy and matter are its (discrete?) realisations"?
12:18 AM · Jun 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What book is that please? Sounds to me like - "Information is fundamental, energy and matter are its (discrete?) realisations"?
12:18 AM · Jun 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802054577065181461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like "the capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them". Trump may yet play out as revolutionary as Lenin, and the CEO-s are true to their selves too. The 2nd, the farcical repeat, upon us?
8:04 PM · Jun 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like "the capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them". Trump may yet play out as revolutionary as Lenin, and the CEO-s are true to their selves too. The 2nd, the farcical repeat, upon us?
8:04 PM · Jun 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802038605071720820
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Verified real name human. Are there any plans to provide "this account is human and this is its real name" type verification? Voluntary, by demand of the account, possibly paid via one off fee. Oft I'd like to select yes/no on that axis when filtering account, posts etc.
7:00 PM · Jun 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Verified real name human. Are there any plans to provide "this account is human and this is its real name" type verification? Voluntary, by demand of the account, possibly paid via one off fee. Oft I'd like to select yes/no on that axis when filtering account, posts etc.
7:00 PM · Jun 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1802019149834486091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She may or may not be an idiot or a genius and everything in between - but are the words said true or false? The truthfulness of the claims is what interests me.
5:43 PM · Jun 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She may or may not be an idiot or a genius and everything in between - but are the words said true or false? The truthfulness of the claims is what interests me.
5:43 PM · Jun 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801999624464462009
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - maybe lend him a helping hand @HarryScoffin Re: social media?? Not following back every one of your followers strikes me as leaving social media influence on the table, unclaimed, for afaics no good reason. Not that hard to tap-tap the screen follow back and increase the chance to have these extra ~8K people 1) get your messaging in their TL 2) spread it further. Not a social media person myself - but isn't this influencing 101??
Image
4:26 PM · Jun 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - maybe lend him a helping hand @HarryScoffin Re: social media?? Not following back every one of your followers strikes me as leaving social media influence on the table, unclaimed, for afaics no good reason. Not that hard to tap-tap the screen follow back and increase the chance to have these extra ~8K people 1) get your messaging in their TL 2) spread it further. Not a social media person myself - but isn't this influencing 101??
Image
4:26 PM · Jun 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801946905624088642
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A stronger country (US, RU etc) can always overwhelm a smaller country in an aggressive war of choice. A smaller country will always be at risk of that. Nuclear weapons equalize the field for a small country. A big country like US or RU can give up their nuclear weapons without much risk - as a small country can't invade them and overwhelm them in a conventional war. The opposite is not true. Reading now about Israel weapons https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapons_and_Israel and see e.g. "Israel crossed the nuclear threshold on the eve of the Six-Day War in May 1967 ... The crude atomic bombs were readied for deployment on trucks that could race to the Egyptian border for detonation in the event Arab forces overwhelmed Israeli defenses". This is a scenario I have in mind: where a small state is at risk of being wiped off the map, being completely destroyed.
12:56 PM · Jun 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A stronger country (US, RU etc) can always overwhelm a smaller country in an aggressive war of choice. A smaller country will always be at risk of that. Nuclear weapons equalize the field for a small country. A big country like US or RU can give up their nuclear weapons without much risk - as a small country can't invade them and overwhelm them in a conventional war. The opposite is not true. Reading now about Israel weapons https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapons_and_Israel and see e.g. "Israel crossed the nuclear threshold on the eve of the Six-Day War in May 1967 ... The crude atomic bombs were readied for deployment on trucks that could race to the Egyptian border for detonation in the event Arab forces overwhelmed Israeli defenses". This is a scenario I have in mind: where a small state is at risk of being wiped off the map, being completely destroyed.
12:56 PM · Jun 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801909162781147164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mostly reading through Wiki https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapons_and_Israel . France was a major enabler, some help from UK - but looks like US was very unhappy. Also that's consistent with the general US strategy to stall or minimize nuclear weapons proliferation. (c.f. sanctions on Pakistan, India)
en.wikipedia.org
Nuclear weapons and Israel - Wikipedia
10:26 AM · Jun 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mostly reading through Wiki https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapons_and_Israel . France was a major enabler, some help from UK - but looks like US was very unhappy. Also that's consistent with the general US strategy to stall or minimize nuclear weapons proliferation. (c.f. sanctions on Pakistan, India)
en.wikipedia.org
Nuclear weapons and Israel - Wikipedia
10:26 AM · Jun 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801908146715214259
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a straw man argument. No one claims they deter all conventional war. They deter catastrophic loss of statehood. If India was about conquer all of Pakistan, or vice versa, I imagine nukes will fly. It's a self-destruct option - I go down but I take out my enemy with me.
10:22 AM · Jun 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a straw man argument. No one claims they deter all conventional war. They deter catastrophic loss of statehood. If India was about conquer all of Pakistan, or vice versa, I imagine nukes will fly. It's a self-destruct option - I go down but I take out my enemy with me.
10:22 AM · Jun 15, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801710618774523956
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 I had random shampoos giving me itchy scalp 20 yrs ago could not get to the bottom which ingredient was the root cause, read someplace "shampoo and soap are basically the same", switched over tried soap, the itchy scalp problem was gone, have not used shampoo since. 🤷♂️
9:17 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 I had random shampoos giving me itchy scalp 20 yrs ago could not get to the bottom which ingredient was the root cause, read someplace "shampoo and soap are basically the same", switched over tried soap, the itchy scalp problem was gone, have not used shampoo since. 🤷♂️
9:17 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801700950496972945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - Israel developed them against US opposition (but with FR help), Pakistan was sanctioned by the US, and North Korea developed them against the wishes of everyone. It looks to me it's possible. US of course doesn't want proliferation and will be against anyone getting them.
8:39 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - Israel developed them against US opposition (but with FR help), Pakistan was sanctioned by the US, and North Korea developed them against the wishes of everyone. It looks to me it's possible. US of course doesn't want proliferation and will be against anyone getting them.
8:39 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801663979195875839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that as per the playbook - demand the impossible, threaten don't back down, eventually someone on the other side will give you 1/4 of what you demanded => ergo now you have 1/4 of something you didn't have before. As per -
Embedded video
6:12 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that as per the playbook - demand the impossible, threaten don't back down, eventually someone on the other side will give you 1/4 of what you demanded => ergo now you have 1/4 of something you didn't have before. As per -
Embedded video
6:12 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801640411573739981
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This comes to mind - https://youtube.com/shorts/u1cTRn5tBs8 . Apparently standard RUS tactic?
youtube.com
Kaja Kallas on #Russian Negotiation Tactics #shorts
4:38 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This comes to mind - https://youtube.com/shorts/u1cTRn5tBs8 . Apparently standard RUS tactic?
youtube.com
Kaja Kallas on #Russian Negotiation Tactics #shorts
4:38 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801628034455228664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just use ordinary soap instead of shampoo - it works as well and for some even better.
3:49 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just use ordinary soap instead of shampoo - it works as well and for some even better.
3:49 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801624295904301236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes Finland would risk US diplomatic spat (US would be unhappy), yes Russia would be unhappy too. Don't understand what "USA will flip out anyways" means. Afaics USA may decide they can live with RUS nuking Helsinki - if the alternative is total nuclear war USA-RUS. The US "nuclear umbrella" is a promise that is always less reliable than a country owning their own nuclear deterrent.
3:34 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes Finland would risk US diplomatic spat (US would be unhappy), yes Russia would be unhappy too. Don't understand what "USA will flip out anyways" means. Afaics USA may decide they can live with RUS nuking Helsinki - if the alternative is total nuclear war USA-RUS. The US "nuclear umbrella" is a promise that is always less reliable than a country owning their own nuclear deterrent.
3:34 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801622614512648627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't have answers to your Qs - but for the record, afaik: North Korea does have nukes, Finland does not have nukes atm.
3:27 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't have answers to your Qs - but for the record, afaik: North Korea does have nukes, Finland does not have nukes atm.
3:27 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801594278801445209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed a nuclear Armageddon is an existential risk for humanity, an extinction level event. Given that RUS conventional army is far stronger than any of it's neighbors - RUS need their nukes way less than FIN. So it's on RUS (and US, CN, IN, PK) to give up on their nukes. And small countries like FIN (and POL, the Balts, other CEEu countries menaced by RUS) need to acquire them, so to level the field and make nukes less useful to the big countries. Aside - there is no need for BS rudeness when discussing ideas.
1:35 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed a nuclear Armageddon is an existential risk for humanity, an extinction level event. Given that RUS conventional army is far stronger than any of it's neighbors - RUS need their nukes way less than FIN. So it's on RUS (and US, CN, IN, PK) to give up on their nukes. And small countries like FIN (and POL, the Balts, other CEEu countries menaced by RUS) need to acquire them, so to level the field and make nukes less useful to the big countries. Aside - there is no need for BS rudeness when discussing ideas.
1:35 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801576358641836283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да ги имам истите години (... ама да сум со мозоков како сега сегашен)
12:24 PM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да ги имам истите години (... ама да сум со мозоков како сега сегашен)
12:24 PM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801523612303655388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't think anyone can know the future - including yourself. As for the past - Finland was an imperial Russia possession for a century and was latter attacked too (as part of a wider 1939 plan DE-SU to carve EEu between themselves). As you say - RU "has to" nuke FI. Doesn't now FI have even more reasons to get nukes? After all - "if you nuke Helsinki we will strike back St Pittersburg and Moscow too" is a deterrent -no? (Aside: I don't agree they "have to" do anything; it's their choice, and them removing agency from themselves is to absolve themselves from the responsibility for doing bad things; all bullies and stronger sides do "I had do this bad thing" to justify aggression that really is unjust, it's aggressive war 101)
8:54 AM · Jun 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't think anyone can know the future - including yourself. As for the past - Finland was an imperial Russia possession for a century and was latter attacked too (as part of a wider 1939 plan DE-SU to carve EEu between themselves). As you say - RU "has to" nuke FI. Doesn't now FI have even more reasons to get nukes? After all - "if you nuke Helsinki we will strike back St Pittersburg and Moscow too" is a deterrent -no? (Aside: I don't agree they "have to" do anything; it's their choice, and them removing agency from themselves is to absolve themselves from the responsibility for doing bad things; all bullies and stronger sides do "I had do this bad thing" to justify aggression that really is unjust, it's aggressive war 101)
8:54 AM · Jun 14, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801331856383631369
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Israel was a US "vassal" state and got nukes against the US objections and obstacles. North Korea was a US enemy when it acquired nuclear deterrent. If there is a will - it can be done. US will object of course - but it objected to India and Pakistan getting them too.
8:12 PM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Israel was a US "vassal" state and got nukes against the US objections and obstacles. North Korea was a US enemy when it acquired nuclear deterrent. If there is a will - it can be done. US will object of course - but it objected to India and Pakistan getting them too.
8:12 PM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801296018161442888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The point is that the state of Finland would have a nuclear deterrent - similar to what Russia has - at its disposal to fight against a Russia invasion. Whether Russia invades b/c of US or China or Mars - is not of a great relevance to Finland. The 1st duty of a nation state is it ensure safety of the nation and prevent its destruction.
5:50 PM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The point is that the state of Finland would have a nuclear deterrent - similar to what Russia has - at its disposal to fight against a Russia invasion. Whether Russia invades b/c of US or China or Mars - is not of a great relevance to Finland. The 1st duty of a nation state is it ensure safety of the nation and prevent its destruction.
5:50 PM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801291015577366970
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finland had Russian Empire/Soviet Union/Russia as neighbor that is 1) bigger and stronger; and 2) antagonistic to its statehood. Israel had the Arab states neighbors that in 1970-s (when it got the A-bomb) were committed to its destruction (hence a number of wars). Further - Finland and Israel are about similar in size of population, fairly small countries. Hence my comparison. North Korea would be another country of comparison: smaller country with hostile neighbors that developed nuclear deterrent. (fwiw I expect my clarification to further inflame your hysteria and anticipate block incoming)
5:30 PM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finland had Russian Empire/Soviet Union/Russia as neighbor that is 1) bigger and stronger; and 2) antagonistic to its statehood. Israel had the Arab states neighbors that in 1970-s (when it got the A-bomb) were committed to its destruction (hence a number of wars). Further - Finland and Israel are about similar in size of population, fairly small countries. Hence my comparison. North Korea would be another country of comparison: smaller country with hostile neighbors that developed nuclear deterrent. (fwiw I expect my clarification to further inflame your hysteria and anticipate block incoming)
5:30 PM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801270827519819989
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Genuine Q: any reasons for Finland to not develop its own nuclear deterrent, maybe in cooperation with Poland and the Baltics? Finland is not unlike Israel in 1970s - surrounded by bigger stronger neighbor(s) that openly aim for destruction of the smaller neighbor's statehood.
4:10 PM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Genuine Q: any reasons for Finland to not develop its own nuclear deterrent, maybe in cooperation with Poland and the Baltics? Finland is not unlike Israel in 1970s - surrounded by bigger stronger neighbor(s) that openly aim for destruction of the smaller neighbor's statehood.
4:10 PM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801206191898468778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c the dynamic but macro-illiterate duo of Cameron+Osborne were selected for their dunder-headed idea that cutting public services is good and growing them is bad. Alas they had full support of the media-macro journalist clowns, so effectively "stripping the roof" in that upside-down wold was "fixing the roof while the sun shines". Too bad UK public can only vote and destroy the Conservative party - wish we could do the same with the media-macro journo-cloowns.
11:53 AM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c the dynamic but macro-illiterate duo of Cameron+Osborne were selected for their dunder-headed idea that cutting public services is good and growing them is bad. Alas they had full support of the media-macro journalist clowns, so effectively "stripping the roof" in that upside-down wold was "fixing the roof while the sun shines". Too bad UK public can only vote and destroy the Conservative party - wish we could do the same with the media-macro journo-cloowns.
11:53 AM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801190533504565558
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We will still be able to see who liked *our own* posts afaik. We will not be able to see who liked *someone else's* posts. So you should still be able "... to follow among the people who interacted with my posts". This is my understanding - does anyone know different?
10:51 AM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We will still be able to see who liked *our own* posts afaik. We will not be able to see who liked *someone else's* posts. So you should still be able "... to follow among the people who interacted with my posts". This is my understanding - does anyone know different?
10:51 AM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801188460142751828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 +1 me too 😊 One gets to see behind the curtain of power that affects our daily lives in many ways. If we were to restrict ourselves only to saintly perfect people - we'd not get far, as those are in short supply. And especially in positions of power. Better to take what one gets, the bad with the good, and separate and discern ourselves. We can all hold two thoughts in our heads simultaneously, it does not to be a single one.
10:42 AM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 +1 me too 😊 One gets to see behind the curtain of power that affects our daily lives in many ways. If we were to restrict ourselves only to saintly perfect people - we'd not get far, as those are in short supply. And especially in positions of power. Better to take what one gets, the bad with the good, and separate and discern ourselves. We can all hold two thoughts in our heads simultaneously, it does not to be a single one.
10:42 AM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801181662107107836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Reminded me of this snippet about Tory MPs using the NHS (not!) and the public opinion largely being right to be suspicious about them and the NHS https://youtube.com/watch?v=_Tc4bl1yZLw&t=1830s (time code @ 30'30" embedded)
youtube.com
Ogilvy Nudgestock 2017 || Dominic Cummings: Why Leave Won the...
At the Ogilvy Nudgestock Conference in 2017, Dominic Cummings gave a presentation on how 'Leave' won the referendum. All content copyright Ogilvy Nudgestock ...
10:15 AM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Reminded me of this snippet about Tory MPs using the NHS (not!) and the public opinion largely being right to be suspicious about them and the NHS https://youtube.com/watch?v=_Tc4bl1yZLw&t=1830s (time code @ 30'30" embedded)
youtube.com
Ogilvy Nudgestock 2017 || Dominic Cummings: Why Leave Won the...
At the Ogilvy Nudgestock Conference in 2017, Dominic Cummings gave a presentation on how 'Leave' won the referendum. All content copyright Ogilvy Nudgestock ...
10:15 AM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801180884944507108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both. Further - they are selected by a Darwinian like process of sieving people over many many layers of filters. So getting a different type rise to the top and not fall through is a tough ask - need to tweak and change the system to penalize the desired profile less.
10:12 AM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both. Further - they are selected by a Darwinian like process of sieving people over many many layers of filters. So getting a different type rise to the top and not fall through is a tough ask - need to tweak and change the system to penalize the desired profile less.
10:12 AM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1801166253953778058
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 yeah - but fwiw most things aren't understood by toddlers, it's impossible for the toddlers to understand them
9:14 AM · Jun 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 yeah - but fwiw most things aren't understood by toddlers, it's impossible for the toddlers to understand them
9:14 AM · Jun 13, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800966171904401690
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😆 Ah - I saw the original now. I can concur on "we seem to be in recession wrt hiring": the younger boy finished uni (econ+maths dual degree) and has had horrendous time finding a job. Many many applications, almost no responses.
7:59 PM · Jun 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😆 Ah - I saw the original now. I can concur on "we seem to be in recession wrt hiring": the younger boy finished uni (econ+maths dual degree) and has had horrendous time finding a job. Many many applications, almost no responses.
7:59 PM · Jun 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800876559374725580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably good move. Akin to voting anonymously IRL.
2:03 PM · Jun 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably good move. Akin to voting anonymously IRL.
2:03 PM · Jun 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800807437307367507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting to learn that. Living without over the air TV since 2001. Online content seemed more appealing to me - but assumed I'm an outlier. Find YouTube usually more interesting than iPlayer. Some iPlayer content still consumed, mostly for sentimental reasons - e.g. latest re-watch "Old dogs new tricks" - but can't remember what current interesting stuff I've watched on it last.
9:28 AM · Jun 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting to learn that. Living without over the air TV since 2001. Online content seemed more appealing to me - but assumed I'm an outlier. Find YouTube usually more interesting than iPlayer. Some iPlayer content still consumed, mostly for sentimental reasons - e.g. latest re-watch "Old dogs new tricks" - but can't remember what current interesting stuff I've watched on it last.
9:28 AM · Jun 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800791509521870961
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the only thing we all "have to do" is die. Everything else is optional. Since time immemorial the claim that "we *have to do* xyz" has been used as a license for behaving badly. "It's not that I want to do this bad thing to you - noo, I'm compelled by a higher force, I'm a mere tool". Usually it takes ideology to persuade a non-evil person to do evil. At other times the person is just evil and the "have to" reasoning is a convenient cover for himself and others. Putin doesn't *have to* do anything. He can even declare victory (like Milosevic in Kumanovo) and bring his army home.
8:25 AM · Jun 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the only thing we all "have to do" is die. Everything else is optional. Since time immemorial the claim that "we *have to do* xyz" has been used as a license for behaving badly. "It's not that I want to do this bad thing to you - noo, I'm compelled by a higher force, I'm a mere tool". Usually it takes ideology to persuade a non-evil person to do evil. At other times the person is just evil and the "have to" reasoning is a convenient cover for himself and others. Putin doesn't *have to* do anything. He can even declare victory (like Milosevic in Kumanovo) and bring his army home.
8:25 AM · Jun 12, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800610767353393413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did the Federal government achieve a budget surplus in 2001? Did US have a recession in the same year 2001? Isn't the government sufficit supposed to be "a good thing"?
8:27 PM · Jun 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did the Federal government achieve a budget surplus in 2001? Did US have a recession in the same year 2001? Isn't the government sufficit supposed to be "a good thing"?
8:27 PM · Jun 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800575041316249935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 But no one is objective - we are all subjective in different ways. If you think someone is objective - you're deluding yourself. Similar to people that think they are post-ideology: they are the ones most blind to the ideology they view the world through.
6:05 PM · Jun 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😀 But no one is objective - we are all subjective in different ways. If you think someone is objective - you're deluding yourself. Similar to people that think they are post-ideology: they are the ones most blind to the ideology they view the world through.
6:05 PM · Jun 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800573395123491015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lies by the incompetent and or lazy. Nothing stopped them doing exactly what they promise now 100 days ago. They had majority in Parliament. Being lied once is enough thank you.
5:58 PM · Jun 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lies by the incompetent and or lazy. Nothing stopped them doing exactly what they promise now 100 days ago. They had majority in Parliament. Being lied once is enough thank you.
5:58 PM · Jun 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800436970063032727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and nicely complemented by @garyseconomics "Game Theory is Broken"
youtube.com
Game Theory is Broken
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c...
8:56 AM · Jun 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and nicely complemented by @garyseconomics "Game Theory is Broken"
youtube.com
Game Theory is Broken
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HezHJKZ47Ck
Economists have gotten game theory wrong for seventy years. UNDERSTAND, SHARE & PUSH BACKWEBSITE - https://www.garyseconomics.orgTWITTER - https://twitter.c...
8:56 AM · Jun 11, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800287488608444842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd think it's wiser to not believe them. How many times does one need to be lied to before one stops believing? Once - say put it down to misunderstanding or misfortunate lapse, and or be charitable don't tit-for-tat. But twice (and more 😱) should be enough to lose trust imo.
11:02 PM · Jun 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd think it's wiser to not believe them. How many times does one need to be lied to before one stops believing? Once - say put it down to misunderstanding or misfortunate lapse, and or be charitable don't tit-for-tat. But twice (and more 😱) should be enough to lose trust imo.
11:02 PM · Jun 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800183208623198568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
4:08 PM · Jun 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
4:08 PM · Jun 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1800175690475835796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a realistic reflection of value assigned to human life in different culture(s). Revealed preferences of sorts - looking at what is done, not what is said.
3:38 PM · Jun 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a realistic reflection of value assigned to human life in different culture(s). Revealed preferences of sorts - looking at what is done, not what is said.
3:38 PM · Jun 10, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1799795026559742438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speculative counterfactual Q: If Merkel and Schroder had been FSB agents, what might have they done differently, to what they really did do, in real life?
2:25 PM · Jun 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speculative counterfactual Q: If Merkel and Schroder had been FSB agents, what might have they done differently, to what they really did do, in real life?
2:25 PM · Jun 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1799783677213507964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are against everything, anti-technology, anti-science, against building housing, you are de-growth-ers, and on the fringes anti-human. If your policies were ever implemented we will all be worse off, living shorter and worse lives, and there will be less of us.
1:40 PM · Jun 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are against everything, anti-technology, anti-science, against building housing, you are de-growth-ers, and on the fringes anti-human. If your policies were ever implemented we will all be worse off, living shorter and worse lives, and there will be less of us.
1:40 PM · Jun 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1799779265363267733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Majority of people can hold 1 thought in their heads. Then a minority can hold 2 - huge improvement! You're in the third, tiny sliver of humanity, that can hold a larger number of ideas (potentially infinite) about the world around. True that "probability is the logic of science". It would be good for people to be exposed to simple true/false logic even if via oratory or rhetoric. Even better if via mathematical logic, incl rules of reasoning like podus ponens and modus tollens. Then qualifiers - none, one, at least one, any, all - can be added to move towards probabilistic reasoning.
1:23 PM · Jun 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Majority of people can hold 1 thought in their heads. Then a minority can hold 2 - huge improvement! You're in the third, tiny sliver of humanity, that can hold a larger number of ideas (potentially infinite) about the world around. True that "probability is the logic of science". It would be good for people to be exposed to simple true/false logic even if via oratory or rhetoric. Even better if via mathematical logic, incl rules of reasoning like podus ponens and modus tollens. Then qualifiers - none, one, at least one, any, all - can be added to move towards probabilistic reasoning.
1:23 PM · Jun 9, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1799390731557351873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speculative counterfactual Q: If Merkel and Schroder had been FSB agents - what might have they done differently, to what they really did do IRL?
11:39 AM · Jun 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speculative counterfactual Q: If Merkel and Schroder had been FSB agents - what might have they done differently, to what they really did do IRL?
11:39 AM · Jun 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1799382221045817580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that in number of man - but: maybe pple don't give SU enough credit, it's b/c of the fact that for the first 2 years of WW2 (when UK was fighting Nazi Germany), that same Soviet Union was an ally of Nazi Germany. They jointly invaded Poland (the "official start" of WW2), which was just one act in a bigger plan to divide Central and Eastern Europe between themselves - the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact. The SU put it in motion on their end: partition of Poland, taking over the Baltics, Moldova, western Ukraine, Finland Winter war.
11:05 AM · Jun 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that in number of man - but: maybe pple don't give SU enough credit, it's b/c of the fact that for the first 2 years of WW2 (when UK was fighting Nazi Germany), that same Soviet Union was an ally of Nazi Germany. They jointly invaded Poland (the "official start" of WW2), which was just one act in a bigger plan to divide Central and Eastern Europe between themselves - the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact. The SU put it in motion on their end: partition of Poland, taking over the Baltics, Moldova, western Ukraine, Finland Winter war.
11:05 AM · Jun 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1799363321281270114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Glavnata poshtata sproti Vlada uste stoi takva opozarena urnisana? Sekoe sabajle site ministri na chelo so PM (Prv Minister) ja gledaat od prozor od kancelarija? I taka 10+ godini? Vaka e ili sum greska ne znam ne e taka?
9:50 AM · Jun 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Glavnata poshtata sproti Vlada uste stoi takva opozarena urnisana? Sekoe sabajle site ministri na chelo so PM (Prv Minister) ja gledaat od prozor od kancelarija? I taka 10+ godini? Vaka e ili sum greska ne znam ne e taka?
9:50 AM · Jun 8, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798746787265552839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human reason is necessary but not sufficient. Reasoning generates hypothesis - but only empirical experiment can tell us if it worked out or not. Reasoning has to assign degrees of truthfulness to various assumptions - and these are always wrong to some degree. Reason alone does not suffice. Marxisms have been tried at varying geographies, times, peoples, cultures - and have failed every time. Sorry to disappoint. There are other ideas out there to be tried. I don't see why one would wed an idea but ymmv.
5:00 PM · Jun 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human reason is necessary but not sufficient. Reasoning generates hypothesis - but only empirical experiment can tell us if it worked out or not. Reasoning has to assign degrees of truthfulness to various assumptions - and these are always wrong to some degree. Reason alone does not suffice. Marxisms have been tried at varying geographies, times, peoples, cultures - and have failed every time. Sorry to disappoint. There are other ideas out there to be tried. I don't see why one would wed an idea but ymmv.
5:00 PM · Jun 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798744359283609795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 I grew up and lived 1st 22yrs in a socialist country, run by the collective leidership of the Communist Party. That didn't work well. Attempts at reform - 3 attempts, 10 years apart - didn't work out. Listening to people now, even people like myself who lived a good portion of their lives in that system - they have forgotten don't remember 90% of the problems then. And this was a moderately enlightened no prison camps no gulags version. People discussing systems of human societies organisation theories miss 99% of things. Only way forward - epistemic humility, assume "no one knows shit" (like movies productions), small scale trial&error experiments, grow things that work out bigger, let the failures die and move on.
4:50 PM · Jun 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 I grew up and lived 1st 22yrs in a socialist country, run by the collective leidership of the Communist Party. That didn't work well. Attempts at reform - 3 attempts, 10 years apart - didn't work out. Listening to people now, even people like myself who lived a good portion of their lives in that system - they have forgotten don't remember 90% of the problems then. And this was a moderately enlightened no prison camps no gulags version. People discussing systems of human societies organisation theories miss 99% of things. Only way forward - epistemic humility, assume "no one knows shit" (like movies productions), small scale trial&error experiments, grow things that work out bigger, let the failures die and move on.
4:50 PM · Jun 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798741586484031913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only I'd not be surprised - I know it will happen, hence I wrote -
> I'm not saying it's good (fwiw I think it's a slippery slope towards very bad)
I just supplied an answer to the OP question "Why ..."
> Why does the Met have ...
hth
4:39 PM · Jun 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only I'd not be surprised - I know it will happen, hence I wrote -
> I'm not saying it's good (fwiw I think it's a slippery slope towards very bad)
I just supplied an answer to the OP question "Why ..."
> Why does the Met have ...
hth
4:39 PM · Jun 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798652641469223319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c it works better easier that way in the local area and esp for the Met? I'm not saying it's good (fwiw I think it's a slippery slope towards very bad) - but yeah, I'd imagine that's why Met do it: easier for the Met and it works ok short term fix.
10:46 AM · Jun 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c it works better easier that way in the local area and esp for the Met? I'm not saying it's good (fwiw I think it's a slippery slope towards very bad) - but yeah, I'd imagine that's why Met do it: easier for the Met and it works ok short term fix.
10:46 AM · Jun 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798650822240145719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. But no s/w exists in isolation, so any update to the system it relies on (e.g. windows update) may break your proprietary no-internet connection s/w so the s/w breaks stops working. Then you need to update, then you are back to square one of original @esrtweet .
10:39 AM · Jun 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. But no s/w exists in isolation, so any update to the system it relies on (e.g. windows update) may break your proprietary no-internet connection s/w so the s/w breaks stops working. Then you need to update, then you are back to square one of original @esrtweet .
10:39 AM · Jun 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798647846146568303
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good points there - e.g. our utility companies are already state owned - just not by our state. Wider points related to the above 1) Atm everything uk gov is expensive (==taxes high) b/c the state owns very few assets, so has to rent a lot (e.g like renting a home instead of owning) - argument made by @garyseconomics in "Why Are Taxes So High?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=II1GOhoNpms ; similar 2) UK gov needs to acquire assets, so the income is not exclusively from tax (on labor mostly) but supplemented by (passive) income from assets - by @CJFDillow in https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2024/06/funding-public-services-a-bevanite-approach.html 3) This links with the wider YIMBY movement "build build build" e.g. @s8mb - brings more people in the tent 4) There is argument to be made that gov owned minority player in every utility sector and or where it touches on national security, as it matches liabilities with assets needed to the discharge the former effectively, avoid blackmails & private sector "slow walks", aids anti-monopoly, maybe aid industrial R&D Re: green tech - sort of "soft" industrial policy for the 21st century https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796803485695942837 .
10:27 AM · Jun 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good points there - e.g. our utility companies are already state owned - just not by our state. Wider points related to the above 1) Atm everything uk gov is expensive (==taxes high) b/c the state owns very few assets, so has to rent a lot (e.g like renting a home instead of owning) - argument made by @garyseconomics in "Why Are Taxes So High?" https://youtube.com/watch?v=II1GOhoNpms ; similar 2) UK gov needs to acquire assets, so the income is not exclusively from tax (on labor mostly) but supplemented by (passive) income from assets - by @CJFDillow in https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2024/06/funding-public-services-a-bevanite-approach.html 3) This links with the wider YIMBY movement "build build build" e.g. @s8mb - brings more people in the tent 4) There is argument to be made that gov owned minority player in every utility sector and or where it touches on national security, as it matches liabilities with assets needed to the discharge the former effectively, avoid blackmails & private sector "slow walks", aids anti-monopoly, maybe aid industrial R&D Re: green tech - sort of "soft" industrial policy for the 21st century https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796803485695942837 .
10:27 AM · Jun 6, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798414413902258193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Googled now - probably it was this one https://www.theamericanconservative.com/marxism-of-the-right/
theamericanconservative.com
Marxism of the Right
Free spirits, the ambitious, ex-socialists, drug users, and sexual eccentrics often find an attractive political philosophy in libertarianism, the idea that ind
6:59 PM · Jun 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. Googled now - probably it was this one https://www.theamericanconservative.com/marxism-of-the-right/
theamericanconservative.com
Marxism of the Right
Free spirits, the ambitious, ex-socialists, drug users, and sexual eccentrics often find an attractive political philosophy in libertarianism, the idea that ind
6:59 PM · Jun 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798408555281658058
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... sorry to spam your replies (and don't want to start a religious war), but intrigued that Marxism and libertarianism got mention together: remembered reading an article ages ago that made an argument along the lines of "libertarianism is like Marxism of the right".
6:36 PM · Jun 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... sorry to spam your replies (and don't want to start a religious war), but intrigued that Marxism and libertarianism got mention together: remembered reading an article ages ago that made an argument along the lines of "libertarianism is like Marxism of the right".
6:36 PM · Jun 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798400685450703285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Early on there were socialist small scale experiments - communes - that all failed. Marxists' response was to denote them utopian or naive socialism - and to name themselves scientific. So they got around that empirical evidence that way - "disqualifying" them as "unscientific".
6:05 PM · Jun 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Early on there were socialist small scale experiments - communes - that all failed. Marxists' response was to denote them utopian or naive socialism - and to name themselves scientific. So they got around that empirical evidence that way - "disqualifying" them as "unscientific".
6:05 PM · Jun 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798285560756220266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like the state needs to grow assets. It has lost assets with privatizations, selling of housing etc. Now it relies only on income from tax and nothing else. Like a worker deriving 100% income from work, but 0% (passive) income from assets. B/c it owns no assets. Reminded me of "Why Are Taxes So High?" YT episode by @garyseconomics
10:27 AM · Jun 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds like the state needs to grow assets. It has lost assets with privatizations, selling of housing etc. Now it relies only on income from tax and nothing else. Like a worker deriving 100% income from work, but 0% (passive) income from assets. B/c it owns no assets. Reminded me of "Why Are Taxes So High?" YT episode by @garyseconomics
10:27 AM · Jun 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798235459140886747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe better to consider it as "AI == Alien Intelligence". The best intelligence we know of is human => humans use it to do tasks => we give those tasks to AI => then try deduce back "how much intelligence?". Any insight gained there will be human-centered - no way around that.
7:08 AM · Jun 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe better to consider it as "AI == Alien Intelligence". The best intelligence we know of is human => humans use it to do tasks => we give those tasks to AI => then try deduce back "how much intelligence?". Any insight gained there will be human-centered - no way around that.
7:08 AM · Jun 5, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798099089386827962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any relationship between variables can be fully captured described by their joint p.d.f, any forecasting prediction can be done off the conditional p.d.f. derived form the joint one.
10:06 PM · Jun 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any relationship between variables can be fully captured described by their joint p.d.f, any forecasting prediction can be done off the conditional p.d.f. derived form the joint one.
10:06 PM · Jun 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1798038580591575160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like in the song "Kao kakao" - both sides pretending, not taking any of this eu stuff seriously. The chanting eu-eu reminds me of socialist platitudes. Present everywhere to be heard and even one was to utter the slogans if the situation required (if a bit embarrassed) - but no one believed a word of it. But while TINA - There Is No Alternative - this will continue. The only realistic alternative I've read is the 4-freedoms EEA proposal, but have never heard anyone in MK to mention that.
6:06 PM · Jun 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like in the song "Kao kakao" - both sides pretending, not taking any of this eu stuff seriously. The chanting eu-eu reminds me of socialist platitudes. Present everywhere to be heard and even one was to utter the slogans if the situation required (if a bit embarrassed) - but no one believed a word of it. But while TINA - There Is No Alternative - this will continue. The only realistic alternative I've read is the 4-freedoms EEA proposal, but have never heard anyone in MK to mention that.
6:06 PM · Jun 4, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797526609831895184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the logic of a continental empire where "more land == better". As opposed to say maritime empire where "more commerce == better". We've not seen one recently - since the demise of Austro-Hungarian and the Ottoman empires. That mode of operation is how Russian Empire became so large by land span too. After the communist experiment failure it's not illogical for Putin to go back to the previous functioning mode of op. The novel 21st century twist (also ushered in with the communist experience) is the negation of any possibility for objective truth (Surkov & co). Merciless lying in industrial quantities - even when near term there's no need for it - is by design, to destroy any possibility to any truth. Note the contrast: US didn't deny they're going to invade Iraq, they were trying to manufacture reasons for. While Russia denied they are going to invade Ukraine (even while invading it). Similarly previously they denied they took Crimea - the "green man".
8:11 AM · Jun 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the logic of a continental empire where "more land == better". As opposed to say maritime empire where "more commerce == better". We've not seen one recently - since the demise of Austro-Hungarian and the Ottoman empires. That mode of operation is how Russian Empire became so large by land span too. After the communist experiment failure it's not illogical for Putin to go back to the previous functioning mode of op. The novel 21st century twist (also ushered in with the communist experience) is the negation of any possibility for objective truth (Surkov & co). Merciless lying in industrial quantities - even when near term there's no need for it - is by design, to destroy any possibility to any truth. Note the contrast: US didn't deny they're going to invade Iraq, they were trying to manufacture reasons for. While Russia denied they are going to invade Ukraine (even while invading it). Similarly previously they denied they took Crimea - the "green man".
8:11 AM · Jun 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797490667826110591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the household - they haven't. In the society as leaders etc - men are more talented at more but shallower connections, women are more more talented at fewer but deeper connections. Former favours larger groups, latter favours smaller groups of humans.
5:49 AM · Jun 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the household - they haven't. In the society as leaders etc - men are more talented at more but shallower connections, women are more more talented at fewer but deeper connections. Former favours larger groups, latter favours smaller groups of humans.
5:49 AM · Jun 3, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797349960062533781
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or UK can just repeal that one bad law about voter ID. It was brought in to solve non existent problem of Voter fraud, and it failed in its real intention to suppresses the young vote. It suppresses the old vote instead! 😂😂 I can't but find that delightful&perfect metaphor for the Tory rule.
8:29 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or UK can just repeal that one bad law about voter ID. It was brought in to solve non existent problem of Voter fraud, and it failed in its real intention to suppresses the young vote. It suppresses the old vote instead! 😂😂 I can't but find that delightful&perfect metaphor for the Tory rule.
8:29 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797324221883785711
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total surveillance will improve on the problem of "rotten apple spoils the entire barrel". Society will improve the control of anti-social individuals by a factor of x7-x10 times. The costs of crime in the society are large, the cost of low trust the crime fosters is staggering.
6:47 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total surveillance will improve on the problem of "rotten apple spoils the entire barrel". Society will improve the control of anti-social individuals by a factor of x7-x10 times. The costs of crime in the society are large, the cost of low trust the crime fosters is staggering.
6:47 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797317676932452760
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - spot on!! I oft think of research as re-search: re-peated search for something that works. When applying for funding $$$ on the research applications I always though hilarious that we were asked "what will you discover?". I thought - If I knew for sure, it would not research then. IDK if it's better of worse for the public to know that say 9 out of 10 attempts will fail miserably, public $$ will be wasted. I think there maybe there's an element of "you can't handle the truth" there. Unlike VC-s for example - who know that most efforts will fail and try to ensure every effort takes sufficient risk, that in the (unlikely event) it succeeds, the payoff is enough to cover the costs of the failures (that will be the majority, as a count).
6:21 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - spot on!! I oft think of research as re-search: re-peated search for something that works. When applying for funding $$$ on the research applications I always though hilarious that we were asked "what will you discover?". I thought - If I knew for sure, it would not research then. IDK if it's better of worse for the public to know that say 9 out of 10 attempts will fail miserably, public $$ will be wasted. I think there maybe there's an element of "you can't handle the truth" there. Unlike VC-s for example - who know that most efforts will fail and try to ensure every effort takes sufficient risk, that in the (unlikely event) it succeeds, the payoff is enough to cover the costs of the failures (that will be the majority, as a count).
6:21 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797312515266789658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So - if you do it, you will be the 1st one in the history of humanity to know it's possible. If you fail to do it - the question remains, it's not decided either way. Research - to discover something no-one knew before - is a risky business.
6:01 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So - if you do it, you will be the 1st one in the history of humanity to know it's possible. If you fail to do it - the question remains, it's not decided either way. Research - to discover something no-one knew before - is a risky business.
6:01 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797284155421606216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - correct. a ticket to freedom if you like
4:08 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes - correct. a ticket to freedom if you like
4:08 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797281072813666636
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - for the record my thesis is that the strategy of taking at face value what Russia says and believing it 100% (have you considered they maybe lying?) actually may increase the chance of a nuclear war. But as you have not articulated what evidence may sway your opinion, I will stop now. It would be unreasonable of me to continue this discussion.
3:56 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - for the record my thesis is that the strategy of taking at face value what Russia says and believing it 100% (have you considered they maybe lying?) actually may increase the chance of a nuclear war. But as you have not articulated what evidence may sway your opinion, I will stop now. It would be unreasonable of me to continue this discussion.
3:56 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797276010251014368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the 2nd time: can you fathom, imagine, any evidence that will change your mind about Putin's intentions? Fwiw IDK them for sure, and I don't think any one can possibly know with any degree of certainty (pos incl even Putin himself - plus things change with time anyway).
3:36 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the 2nd time: can you fathom, imagine, any evidence that will change your mind about Putin's intentions? Fwiw IDK them for sure, and I don't think any one can possibly know with any degree of certainty (pos incl even Putin himself - plus things change with time anyway).
3:36 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797272207346807033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He has the finger today had it for the past 20 years and will have it till he dies. At any moment in time he can decide to end our world. The Q-uestion is: does this or some other A-ction on the part of the US increase or decrease the risk of him ending the world, and at what horizon? From prior history: in 1939 UK+FR thought they can live with DE+RU dividing central and eastern Europe (CEEu) between themselves, but then they decided they can't actually live with that (and we got WW2 in Eu). During 1945-1990 WEu+US lived just fine with RU ruling over CEEu and that worked well for WEu-US-RU (but not CEEu). Very hard to give definite answer about unknown futures - but def don't think the entire risk is one directional. My personal opinion is Eu+RU are on the slope to war no matter what US does (for war one side to want it suffices - otherwise we'd have had world peace for centuries now) and only way to short circuit that is for Poland+Balts to acquire own independent nuclear deterrent.
3:21 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He has the finger today had it for the past 20 years and will have it till he dies. At any moment in time he can decide to end our world. The Q-uestion is: does this or some other A-ction on the part of the US increase or decrease the risk of him ending the world, and at what horizon? From prior history: in 1939 UK+FR thought they can live with DE+RU dividing central and eastern Europe (CEEu) between themselves, but then they decided they can't actually live with that (and we got WW2 in Eu). During 1945-1990 WEu+US lived just fine with RU ruling over CEEu and that worked well for WEu-US-RU (but not CEEu). Very hard to give definite answer about unknown futures - but def don't think the entire risk is one directional. My personal opinion is Eu+RU are on the slope to war no matter what US does (for war one side to want it suffices - otherwise we'd have had world peace for centuries now) and only way to short circuit that is for Poland+Balts to acquire own independent nuclear deterrent.
3:21 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797268329821773841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What evidence would be acceptable in your court of judgement? In the sense of "yeah, ok - having seen/heard/reasoned so-and-so, now I change my mind in light of this evidence". Does such evidence exist?
3:05 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What evidence would be acceptable in your court of judgement? In the sense of "yeah, ok - having seen/heard/reasoned so-and-so, now I change my mind in light of this evidence". Does such evidence exist?
3:05 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797261212406718478
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Promoting the same policy when unemployment rate is 30% and when it's 3% makes you sound like a quack "doctor": they prescribe the one "medicine" they have for everything to everyone no matter what the ailment is.
2:37 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Promoting the same policy when unemployment rate is 30% and when it's 3% makes you sound like a quack "doctor": they prescribe the one "medicine" they have for everything to everyone no matter what the ailment is.
2:37 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797240098993398042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have that backwards, haha 😂😂 Weakness provokes Putin to attack, and at the end of that road is invasion of Baltics and Poland - where there is a real danger of a nuclear war. B/c if US doesn't respond at that point - the whole US alliance system may fall apart.
1:13 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have that backwards, haha 😂😂 Weakness provokes Putin to attack, and at the end of that road is invasion of Baltics and Poland - where there is a real danger of a nuclear war. B/c if US doesn't respond at that point - the whole US alliance system may fall apart.
1:13 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797232248778830133
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can be said about all of us, not only those trying to find themselves. 😂 Maybe with less ego we'd see it clearer.
12:42 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can be said about all of us, not only those trying to find themselves. 😂 Maybe with less ego we'd see it clearer.
12:42 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797228718185750689
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Assume you can't deliver, get a team around you that can deliver, and be the enabler of their advice. The country is tired of words. We are looking for deeds not vibes. Build build build. Try to be less of the regular achieve-nothing politico narcissist. Have GBE take care of the bills - and the climate will be taken care of automatically.
12:28 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Assume you can't deliver, get a team around you that can deliver, and be the enabler of their advice. The country is tired of words. We are looking for deeds not vibes. Build build build. Try to be less of the regular achieve-nothing politico narcissist. Have GBE take care of the bills - and the climate will be taken care of automatically.
12:28 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797223032341049437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One does not have to cover the whole thing, can be done tastefully. E.g. notice polished concrete on kitchen tops. It can be made beautiful - but seems significant number of architects hate beauty. Also solar-punk lush greenery - don't see why they can't go full on with that.
12:05 PM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One does not have to cover the whole thing, can be done tastefully. E.g. notice polished concrete on kitchen tops. It can be made beautiful - but seems significant number of architects hate beauty. Also solar-punk lush greenery - don't see why they can't go full on with that.
12:05 PM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1797221312529608825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Odgovor od eden emigrant na zapad: ne gledam deka nekoj ima ambicija da ja kolonizira Rusija. Naprotiv, mi lici - da mozat da izgradat nekoj 1km visok dzid na granica, i nikogas poveke da ne slusnat za RU, toa bi go napravile. Na pr. Polska vo NATO - US GB FR DE site bea protiv, na kraj kolku znam poljacite gi ubedija taka sto 1) polska rece OK, vo toj slucaj mora da napravime domasna A-bomba, posto tradicionalno sme lesen plen za RU-DE, nuclear deterrent e prasanje na opstanok za nas; i 2) US konkretno - Klinton na izbori imase swing-states kade ima dosta Polska emigracija, i tuka polskata vlada lobirase "ako US uste e Ne za polska vo NATO, emigracijata ke glasa kontra-Klinton". Vo Centralna-Istocna Evropa ima 120M narod, poveketo sloveni, nekoi pravoslavni, i site se plasat od RU. Makedoncite vo MK imate luksuz da ste daleku od RU pa moze da bidete "confidently wrong" a bez pogolemi posledici. Na sreden rok veruvam deka Polska+Balticki zemji+mozebi Romanija mora da napravat domasna A-bomba, ako ne sakaat da si dobijat RU invazija i da bidat osvoeni. Polska ima ogromno iskustvo i istoriski traumi, pr. "3-te podelbi na Polska".
11:58 AM · Jun 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Odgovor od eden emigrant na zapad: ne gledam deka nekoj ima ambicija da ja kolonizira Rusija. Naprotiv, mi lici - da mozat da izgradat nekoj 1km visok dzid na granica, i nikogas poveke da ne slusnat za RU, toa bi go napravile. Na pr. Polska vo NATO - US GB FR DE site bea protiv, na kraj kolku znam poljacite gi ubedija taka sto 1) polska rece OK, vo toj slucaj mora da napravime domasna A-bomba, posto tradicionalno sme lesen plen za RU-DE, nuclear deterrent e prasanje na opstanok za nas; i 2) US konkretno - Klinton na izbori imase swing-states kade ima dosta Polska emigracija, i tuka polskata vlada lobirase "ako US uste e Ne za polska vo NATO, emigracijata ke glasa kontra-Klinton". Vo Centralna-Istocna Evropa ima 120M narod, poveketo sloveni, nekoi pravoslavni, i site se plasat od RU. Makedoncite vo MK imate luksuz da ste daleku od RU pa moze da bidete "confidently wrong" a bez pogolemi posledici. Na sreden rok veruvam deka Polska+Balticki zemji+mozebi Romanija mora da napravat domasna A-bomba, ako ne sakaat da si dobijat RU invazija i da bidat osvoeni. Polska ima ogromno iskustvo i istoriski traumi, pr. "3-te podelbi na Polska".
11:58 AM · Jun 2, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796920086319522192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always wondered: if a bona fide Russian spy on the FSB payroll was in Merkel/Schröder's place, what would s/he have done different, compared to what Merkel/Schröder did in the Germany policies v.v. Russia?
4:01 PM · Jun 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always wondered: if a bona fide Russian spy on the FSB payroll was in Merkel/Schröder's place, what would s/he have done different, compared to what Merkel/Schröder did in the Germany policies v.v. Russia?
4:01 PM · Jun 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796901926941921777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - imo adding both wood as panels and decoration and as much live greenery as possible to the brutalist architecture looks like an obvious way to address the sheer inhumanity of the style - but apparently the architecture profession does not think so. 🤷🏻♀️
2:49 PM · Jun 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - imo adding both wood as panels and decoration and as much live greenery as possible to the brutalist architecture looks like an obvious way to address the sheer inhumanity of the style - but apparently the architecture profession does not think so. 🤷🏻♀️
2:49 PM · Jun 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796901926941921777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - imo adding both wood as panels and decoration and as much live greenery as possible to the brutalist architecture looks like an obvious way to address the sheer inhumanity of the style - but apparently the architecture profession does not think so. 🤷🏻♀️
2:49 PM · Jun 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - imo adding both wood as panels and decoration and as much live greenery as possible to the brutalist architecture looks like an obvious way to address the sheer inhumanity of the style - but apparently the architecture profession does not think so. 🤷🏻♀️
2:49 PM · Jun 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796865839418814800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thesis: society moved up a gear, what was previously secondary school, is now undergraduate university course. What was previously undergrad uni, is now postgraduate PhD. Fits both - PhD now as exclusive as BSc previously by numbers, and also fits by self-work and motivation.
12:26 PM · Jun 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thesis: society moved up a gear, what was previously secondary school, is now undergraduate university course. What was previously undergrad uni, is now postgraduate PhD. Fits both - PhD now as exclusive as BSc previously by numbers, and also fits by self-work and motivation.
12:26 PM · Jun 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796832531053949341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because the ones on the left are more concise and clearer. There is no need for "sum" and "prod" in "3*0 + 3*1 + 3*2 + ..." and "2*1 * 2*2 * 2*3 * ..." and the patterns are easy & clear for humans to notice. On the right elements of syntax (the "(", ")" and ";") have crept in.
10:13 AM · Jun 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because the ones on the left are more concise and clearer. There is no need for "sum" and "prod" in "3*0 + 3*1 + 3*2 + ..." and "2*1 * 2*2 * 2*3 * ..." and the patterns are easy & clear for humans to notice. On the right elements of syntax (the "(", ")" and ";") have crept in.
10:13 AM · Jun 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796828203635372434
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Takes time - no way a round it. I've used the ancient Source Navigator, ctags, any IDE that can scan & index & navigate fast source code. Chip at the edges - try to change something not too hard but nontrivial. A good book "Code Reading" by @CoolSWEng may give you more ideas.
9:56 AM · Jun 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Takes time - no way a round it. I've used the ancient Source Navigator, ctags, any IDE that can scan & index & navigate fast source code. Chip at the edges - try to change something not too hard but nontrivial. A good book "Code Reading" by @CoolSWEng may give you more ideas.
9:56 AM · Jun 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796803485695942837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will match assets with liabilities. TBS what happens (ideas are two a penny) but it looks like an OK idea to me. Atm UK gov ministers - for better or worse - have a liability that their voters scream at them "my bills have doubled, do something", without having the means to really address it in any meaningful way. Gov can't simply order private providers around. Private providers can go on strike or slow walk anything! 😂😂 (what irony that) They have gov uk by the balls. But - once "gov owned provider of last resort" is in place - the gov is in a position to put a floor to any blackmail of that sort. In any industry where gov has the final responsibility to provide to citizens - it seems reasonable that they must have tools to do so. British Energy looks sensible to me. UK needs a train services providers of last resort and water/utilities too. Just to be on the safe side and not subject to blackmail or worse. These companies should be minority players 10-15% of their industry sectors - not dominant (that would be bad). It will have further +ve effects too. Expertise will be maintained so procurement projects will become better value for money, pressuring private contractors to up their game too. Industry can be steered this-or-that way with gov provider showing the way by doing (rather than gov talking; talk is cheap) - sort of "soft" industrial policy. Plus by doing - many a "seemed a good idea but failed in practice" - will be weeded out early by trying them small scale. Public owned not-for-profit can fit the bill for trial&error using the 3% profit margin for that. The rest of the industry can learn for free. Probably done that way is better than via gov R&D spend. Prob there will be more upsides and downsides, but the basic argument is - match assets to liabilities.
8:18 AM · Jun 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will match assets with liabilities. TBS what happens (ideas are two a penny) but it looks like an OK idea to me. Atm UK gov ministers - for better or worse - have a liability that their voters scream at them "my bills have doubled, do something", without having the means to really address it in any meaningful way. Gov can't simply order private providers around. Private providers can go on strike or slow walk anything! 😂😂 (what irony that) They have gov uk by the balls. But - once "gov owned provider of last resort" is in place - the gov is in a position to put a floor to any blackmail of that sort. In any industry where gov has the final responsibility to provide to citizens - it seems reasonable that they must have tools to do so. British Energy looks sensible to me. UK needs a train services providers of last resort and water/utilities too. Just to be on the safe side and not subject to blackmail or worse. These companies should be minority players 10-15% of their industry sectors - not dominant (that would be bad). It will have further +ve effects too. Expertise will be maintained so procurement projects will become better value for money, pressuring private contractors to up their game too. Industry can be steered this-or-that way with gov provider showing the way by doing (rather than gov talking; talk is cheap) - sort of "soft" industrial policy. Plus by doing - many a "seemed a good idea but failed in practice" - will be weeded out early by trying them small scale. Public owned not-for-profit can fit the bill for trial&error using the 3% profit margin for that. The rest of the industry can learn for free. Probably done that way is better than via gov R&D spend. Prob there will be more upsides and downsides, but the basic argument is - match assets to liabilities.
8:18 AM · Jun 1, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796586253107724404
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Najfer pozicija mi lici: 1) postoi objektivna vistina 2) na nas lugeto ne ni e dadeno da ja otkrieme celosno 3) najmnoogu sto mozeme e da percepirame nekoja svoja subjektivna vistina. Taa ima parcijalno vrska so objektivnata, ama ne celosno. Analogija - objektivna vistina e 3D objekt. Ama jas so ocite moze da vidam samo 2D preseci na toj objekt. Od tie preseci mozam da napravam 3D rekonstrukcija vo mojata glava - model na objektot. Ama nemam nacin da sum 100% siguren deka toa e verna kopija na 3D objektot. Toa znaci: mozam da zemam 1000 2D preseci na modelot vo mojata glava, i na realniot objekt, i site tie 1000 da se identicni. No pak toa ne e garancija deka koga ke go napravam 1001-viot 2D presek, deka nema da otkrijam razlika megu toj presek na objektot, i na modelot modelot vo mojata glava. Mozam da otkirajam razlika. I tuka nemas spas, nemam 100% siguren nacin da ja znam objektivnata vistina vo smisla - mojot model vo mojata glava e apsolutno verna kopija na realniot objekt. Toa ne znaci deka ne treba da se trudam da modelot bide sto e mozno poveren na objektot. Mnogu e podobro 1001-viot presek da se razlikuva (prvite 1000 identicni), otkolku 3-tiot presek da se razlikuva (a samo prvite 2 identicni).
5:55 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Najfer pozicija mi lici: 1) postoi objektivna vistina 2) na nas lugeto ne ni e dadeno da ja otkrieme celosno 3) najmnoogu sto mozeme e da percepirame nekoja svoja subjektivna vistina. Taa ima parcijalno vrska so objektivnata, ama ne celosno. Analogija - objektivna vistina e 3D objekt. Ama jas so ocite moze da vidam samo 2D preseci na toj objekt. Od tie preseci mozam da napravam 3D rekonstrukcija vo mojata glava - model na objektot. Ama nemam nacin da sum 100% siguren deka toa e verna kopija na 3D objektot. Toa znaci: mozam da zemam 1000 2D preseci na modelot vo mojata glava, i na realniot objekt, i site tie 1000 da se identicni. No pak toa ne e garancija deka koga ke go napravam 1001-viot 2D presek, deka nema da otkrijam razlika megu toj presek na objektot, i na modelot modelot vo mojata glava. Mozam da otkirajam razlika. I tuka nemas spas, nemam 100% siguren nacin da ja znam objektivnata vistina vo smisla - mojot model vo mojata glava e apsolutno verna kopija na realniot objekt. Toa ne znaci deka ne treba da se trudam da modelot bide sto e mozno poveren na objektot. Mnogu e podobro 1001-viot presek da se razlikuva (prvite 1000 identicni), otkolku 3-tiot presek da se razlikuva (a samo prvite 2 identicni).
5:55 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796580028110737713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The problem with Thatcherism is you eventually run out of other peoples assets.
5:30 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The problem with Thatcherism is you eventually run out of other peoples assets.
5:30 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796577497183596587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will match assets with liabilities. Atm UK politicians - for better or worse - have a liability that their voters scream at them "my bills have doubled, do something", without having the means to really address it in any meaningful way. Gov can't simply order private providers around. Private providers can go on strike! 😂😂 (delightful irony that) They have gov uk by the balls. But - once "gov owned provider of last resort" is in place - the gov is in a position to put a floor to any blackmail of that sort. In any industry where gov has the final responsibility to provide to the citizens - they must acquire the tools to do so. British Energy looks sensible to me. Gov UK needs a train services provider of last resort too. And a water and other utilities too. So just to be on the safe side and not subject to blackmail or worse. These companies can be minority players 10-15% of their industry sectors - that's fine. It will have further +ve effects too. Expertise will be retained in-house, so procurement projects will become better value for money, and force the private providers to up their game. Industry can be steered better this or that way with gov provider showing the way via doing (rather than gov talking; talk is cheap) - "soft" industrial policy. Plus by doing many crazy ideas will be shown weeded out by trying them small scale. Prob there will be more upsides (and downsides), but the basic argument is - match assets to liabilities.
5:20 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will match assets with liabilities. Atm UK politicians - for better or worse - have a liability that their voters scream at them "my bills have doubled, do something", without having the means to really address it in any meaningful way. Gov can't simply order private providers around. Private providers can go on strike! 😂😂 (delightful irony that) They have gov uk by the balls. But - once "gov owned provider of last resort" is in place - the gov is in a position to put a floor to any blackmail of that sort. In any industry where gov has the final responsibility to provide to the citizens - they must acquire the tools to do so. British Energy looks sensible to me. Gov UK needs a train services provider of last resort too. And a water and other utilities too. So just to be on the safe side and not subject to blackmail or worse. These companies can be minority players 10-15% of their industry sectors - that's fine. It will have further +ve effects too. Expertise will be retained in-house, so procurement projects will become better value for money, and force the private providers to up their game. Industry can be steered better this or that way with gov provider showing the way via doing (rather than gov talking; talk is cheap) - "soft" industrial policy. Plus by doing many crazy ideas will be shown weeded out by trying them small scale. Prob there will be more upsides (and downsides), but the basic argument is - match assets to liabilities.
5:20 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796572887257915471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - DA! Jas sakam 1) GUI sto ne se menuva ~20 god e na nivo WinXP 2) Drajveri H/W da e "it just works", ne sakam nisto da mislam da kompajliram 3) reasonable defaults, ne najdobro najbrzo, ama ok => togas 4) Xubuntu LTS za mene ispadna dobra opcija. Momentalno na 22.04.
5:02 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - DA! Jas sakam 1) GUI sto ne se menuva ~20 god e na nivo WinXP 2) Drajveri H/W da e "it just works", ne sakam nisto da mislam da kompajliram 3) reasonable defaults, ne najdobro najbrzo, ama ok => togas 4) Xubuntu LTS za mene ispadna dobra opcija. Momentalno na 22.04.
5:02 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796571524121727347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gov stimulus of >6% at time of economy expansion is quite a sight to witness tbh.
4:56 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gov stimulus of >6% at time of economy expansion is quite a sight to witness tbh.
4:56 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796555208106869013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a civilian bystander: to me seems MMT is only profound b/c the rest of the Econ profession seems hell bent on digging themselves into ever deeper hole by somehow thinking that accounting identities don't apply to them or that "fiat" (as in "by decree") is somehow up for discussion. Your claim on the IR is a perfect illustration. If UK gov incl BoE wanted to "widow make BoJ style" - they could. Other "bad things" may happen (weak pound importing inflation?), but IR being set at a BoE meeting (and markets can take a hike) is the reality. Feel free to dislike that and use flowery metaphors to obscure that to your hearts content. You're not doing yourself any favors tbh. What's once seen, can't be unseen. That rabbit is out the hat. Professional more general observation: the proven fact that economists forecast notoriously lack any predictive power (they do worse than "forecast == last observed value") while plenty of others (humanities majors including literature and history, electrical engineers, mathematicians, CompSci, etc) make $$$ and living betting on the markets but economics profession as whole does not and media-macro serves as infotainment circus clowns makes me prejudiced against anything economists say when it comes to money $$$. On the "producing stuff" they do much better - imo they should stick to the "stuff" part of the "stuff-for-$$$" exchange. They seems to have a blind spot for the $$$ part.
3:51 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a civilian bystander: to me seems MMT is only profound b/c the rest of the Econ profession seems hell bent on digging themselves into ever deeper hole by somehow thinking that accounting identities don't apply to them or that "fiat" (as in "by decree") is somehow up for discussion. Your claim on the IR is a perfect illustration. If UK gov incl BoE wanted to "widow make BoJ style" - they could. Other "bad things" may happen (weak pound importing inflation?), but IR being set at a BoE meeting (and markets can take a hike) is the reality. Feel free to dislike that and use flowery metaphors to obscure that to your hearts content. You're not doing yourself any favors tbh. What's once seen, can't be unseen. That rabbit is out the hat. Professional more general observation: the proven fact that economists forecast notoriously lack any predictive power (they do worse than "forecast == last observed value") while plenty of others (humanities majors including literature and history, electrical engineers, mathematicians, CompSci, etc) make $$$ and living betting on the markets but economics profession as whole does not and media-macro serves as infotainment circus clowns makes me prejudiced against anything economists say when it comes to money $$$. On the "producing stuff" they do much better - imo they should stick to the "stuff" part of the "stuff-for-$$$" exchange. They seems to have a blind spot for the $$$ part.
3:51 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796538667281846394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It is deeply unhealthy for a democracy to treat its political candidates as if they are above the law" too. The idea that I should be immune from the laws of the country the moment I enter politics is equally dumb. Weak arguments either way tbh - do better pls.
2:46 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It is deeply unhealthy for a democracy to treat its political candidates as if they are above the law" too. The idea that I should be immune from the laws of the country the moment I enter politics is equally dumb. Weak arguments either way tbh - do better pls.
2:46 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796524519894716468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That is the way. In the unlikely event (<1% chance?) you ever need anything from the Old^N Desktop - you will have the raw data and be motivated to search it. But with 99% chance you will never ever need anything from there - so not spending time/effort on that is sensible.
1:49 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That is the way. In the unlikely event (<1% chance?) you ever need anything from the Old^N Desktop - you will have the raw data and be motivated to search it. But with 99% chance you will never ever need anything from there - so not spending time/effort on that is sensible.
1:49 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796517097809342511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry - but your writing makes no sense to me. No idea who's "you guys" or the meaning of "defend LeCun". As a patent holder, I briefly explained what a patent is, why patents exist, how that system works. The general public are usually wrong about everything wrt patents. I don't blame them - I knew little before I went through the patents process to get a patent. Hence my tiny effort to set right misconceptions I read above.
1:20 PM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry - but your writing makes no sense to me. No idea who's "you guys" or the meaning of "defend LeCun". As a patent holder, I briefly explained what a patent is, why patents exist, how that system works. The general public are usually wrong about everything wrt patents. I don't blame them - I knew little before I went through the patents process to get a patent. Hence my tiny effort to set right misconceptions I read above.
1:20 PM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796480953243849116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only if they make a product and sell it for $$$. If they do it in the privacy of their lab and keep it for themselves - they are free to do anything they like.
10:56 AM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only if they make a product and sell it for $$$. If they do it in the privacy of their lab and keep it for themselves - they are free to do anything they like.
10:56 AM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796480324181893490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc patent is publishing - is there anyone that thinks otherwise?? In return for making the invention public, the inventor gets the state to use the law to restrict what others can do with it (for a limited time). That's the whole point of the patent system!! Otherwise everyone would just stick to their trade secrets and keep everything secret publish nothing.
10:54 AM · May 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc patent is publishing - is there anyone that thinks otherwise?? In return for making the invention public, the inventor gets the state to use the law to restrict what others can do with it (for a limited time). That's the whole point of the patent system!! Otherwise everyone would just stick to their trade secrets and keep everything secret publish nothing.
10:54 AM · May 31, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796147141120836032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a conundrum. Ofc it's easy for us - and I'm a Bim constituent - to say "Bim, don't be swayed by the industry sweet talk, listen to us voters, do the right thing". But Bim got to the position he's at by indeed listening to the industry sweet talk, and ignoring the voters.
12:50 PM · May 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a conundrum. Ofc it's easy for us - and I'm a Bim constituent - to say "Bim, don't be swayed by the industry sweet talk, listen to us voters, do the right thing". But Bim got to the position he's at by indeed listening to the industry sweet talk, and ignoring the voters.
12:50 PM · May 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796143257979642195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tie sto se dnoto na sekoja rang-lista za dobri raboti, a na vrvot na sekoja rang-lista za losi raboti. :-) Posle 15 nivoa na zasto-zasto-... jas licno sum dosol do poslednoto "zatoa" sto mi teknuva: zatoa sto se "confidently wrong" - 1) vo greska, ama i 2) sigurni deka se vo pravo. Pa zaradi #2, ne im teknuva da se posomnevaat vo #1.
12:34 PM · May 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tie sto se dnoto na sekoja rang-lista za dobri raboti, a na vrvot na sekoja rang-lista za losi raboti. :-) Posle 15 nivoa na zasto-zasto-... jas licno sum dosol do poslednoto "zatoa" sto mi teknuva: zatoa sto se "confidently wrong" - 1) vo greska, ama i 2) sigurni deka se vo pravo. Pa zaradi #2, ne im teknuva da se posomnevaat vo #1.
12:34 PM · May 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1796086067189133418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sounds awesome - build build build
8:47 AM · May 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sounds awesome - build build build
8:47 AM · May 30, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795869967578972641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both Taiwan and South Korea need nukes as deterrent asap. US can't be relied on to deter. For - if North Korea nukes Seoul, will US retaliate if SF or LA are under threat? I don't think so and I don't think many people do - regardless of what administration maybe in power in Washington. US was against Israel getting nukes - but then learned to live with that. South Korea and Taiwan are in the same position as Israel: got much more powerful neighbor(s) that have nukes, that are openly and loudly proclaiming their intentions to destroy them. So in any conflict with their nuclear neighbors KR/TW can only draw, defend themselves until the next round - they can never really win. US admins are scared providing even conventional weapons to Ukraine. Ofc that is rational for the US - US can live just fine with Kyev nuked. Same thing with CEEu nations (Ukraine, Poland, the Baltics, Romania - all of the 120M central-eastern Europeans) that are being menaced by RU - they need home grown nuclear deterrent. US will not protect them, but ofc will try to prevent them from getting it. This is rational for the US - in the same way it is rational for those nations to acquire nuclear deterrent.
6:29 PM · May 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both Taiwan and South Korea need nukes as deterrent asap. US can't be relied on to deter. For - if North Korea nukes Seoul, will US retaliate if SF or LA are under threat? I don't think so and I don't think many people do - regardless of what administration maybe in power in Washington. US was against Israel getting nukes - but then learned to live with that. South Korea and Taiwan are in the same position as Israel: got much more powerful neighbor(s) that have nukes, that are openly and loudly proclaiming their intentions to destroy them. So in any conflict with their nuclear neighbors KR/TW can only draw, defend themselves until the next round - they can never really win. US admins are scared providing even conventional weapons to Ukraine. Ofc that is rational for the US - US can live just fine with Kyev nuked. Same thing with CEEu nations (Ukraine, Poland, the Baltics, Romania - all of the 120M central-eastern Europeans) that are being menaced by RU - they need home grown nuclear deterrent. US will not protect them, but ofc will try to prevent them from getting it. This is rational for the US - in the same way it is rational for those nations to acquire nuclear deterrent.
6:29 PM · May 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795770003943247902
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A koi si gi probal ili koristel? Prasuvam da ne ispustam nekoj. :-) Gledam otvoreni mi se atm http://gemini.google.com/, http://chatgpt.com/, http://claude.ai/, http://perplexity.ai/, http://morphic.sh/, http://chat.lmsys.org/, http://mixtral.replicate.dev/, i od vreme lokalen so llama.cpp.
chat.lmsys.org
Chat with Open Large Language Models
11:51 AM · May 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A koi si gi probal ili koristel? Prasuvam da ne ispustam nekoj. :-) Gledam otvoreni mi se atm http://gemini.google.com/, http://chatgpt.com/, http://claude.ai/, http://perplexity.ai/, http://morphic.sh/, http://chat.lmsys.org/, http://mixtral.replicate.dev/, i od vreme lokalen so llama.cpp.
chat.lmsys.org
Chat with Open Large Language Models
11:51 AM · May 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795768349445562808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc trade secrets are not patents - they remain secret. :-) In return - I'd expect to be a lot less protection in law for them. Industrial R&D results were usually a) trade secrets; or b) patents, until this latest trend in AI-ML where a lot is also c) published in journals. I love that option (c)! Spilling (most of) the beans freely for the widest possible gain. :-) Previously I was in industrial R&D lab where most was (b) patented, but now I'm in quant trading R&D where there is zero of that and is all (a) trade secrets.
11:45 AM · May 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc trade secrets are not patents - they remain secret. :-) In return - I'd expect to be a lot less protection in law for them. Industrial R&D results were usually a) trade secrets; or b) patents, until this latest trend in AI-ML where a lot is also c) published in journals. I love that option (c)! Spilling (most of) the beans freely for the widest possible gain. :-) Previously I was in industrial R&D lab where most was (b) patented, but now I'm in quant trading R&D where there is zero of that and is all (a) trade secrets.
11:45 AM · May 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795766975622184993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Making it public is necessary, as in literal "pub-lishing". It's not necessary to be in a journal, let alone a peer reviewed journal. It can be published on a home page, on a blog, in a twitter message, :-) personal correspondence, as a patent (e.g. most of industrial R&D), etc. Ofc - a lot of published claims turned out not to be reproducible which is the 1st step for the rest of us to accept the claim to truthfulness. So they fail at the 1st hurdle.
11:39 AM · May 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Making it public is necessary, as in literal "pub-lishing". It's not necessary to be in a journal, let alone a peer reviewed journal. It can be published on a home page, on a blog, in a twitter message, :-) personal correspondence, as a patent (e.g. most of industrial R&D), etc. Ofc - a lot of published claims turned out not to be reproducible which is the 1st step for the rest of us to accept the claim to truthfulness. So they fail at the 1st hurdle.
11:39 AM · May 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795720525249179657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - also oft forgotten: patenting is also publishing, making it public, telling everyone how something works. In return for restricting what the public can do with that knowledge.
8:35 AM · May 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - also oft forgotten: patenting is also publishing, making it public, telling everyone how something works. In return for restricting what the public can do with that knowledge.
8:35 AM · May 29, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795577284276920426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas - se sto prethodno bi guglal, sega go stavam vo Gpt. Jas konkretno ne pisuvam literura pa nemam moznost za mentalna blokada. Ama pisuvam programi, eve sega gledam 1000ci prasanja za sql, bash, R, python, Ubuntu, matlab, C, C++, gnuplot... Na pr prethodno bi guglal "Swedish detective series", sega vo gpt toa stanuva "What was the name of the popular Swedish detective series". Recunam - Gpt veke e istreniran na web, ke mi spasi guglanje direktno ke najde ke odgovori. Ili "Please summarize the following paper ..." i referenca na nekoe pisanie. I voglavno pogoduva koga go prasuvam raboti sto gi znam.
11:05 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas - se sto prethodno bi guglal, sega go stavam vo Gpt. Jas konkretno ne pisuvam literura pa nemam moznost za mentalna blokada. Ama pisuvam programi, eve sega gledam 1000ci prasanja za sql, bash, R, python, Ubuntu, matlab, C, C++, gnuplot... Na pr prethodno bi guglal "Swedish detective series", sega vo gpt toa stanuva "What was the name of the popular Swedish detective series". Recunam - Gpt veke e istreniran na web, ke mi spasi guglanje direktno ke najde ke odgovori. Ili "Please summarize the following paper ..." i referenca na nekoe pisanie. I voglavno pogoduva koga go prasuvam raboti sto gi znam.
11:05 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795530741650198812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No it's not hard for that one - but you are looking in the past. X needs to predict how the equivalent spambot will look in 30 days time. Yes they can ban the ones like the above - but new ones will spring up to take their place, just different enough to avoid the X spam filter.
8:01 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No it's not hard for that one - but you are looking in the past. X needs to predict how the equivalent spambot will look in 30 days time. Yes they can ban the ones like the above - but new ones will spring up to take their place, just different enough to avoid the X spam filter.
8:01 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795521623011004919
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
За разни работи, наместо да гуглам и да барам одговор на Интернет, сега го прашувам некој GptBot директно, и добивам директно одговор.
7:24 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
За разни работи, наместо да гуглам и да барам одговор на Интернет, сега го прашувам некој GptBot директно, и добивам директно одговор.
7:24 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795499198613221421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instead of trying to scrap it - which is I presume very hard given the extent of the captured lawmaking now - maybe tweak the rules to have 60% go to the recepient but 40% go to the opponent? Or some such less than 100% split. (credit to @wbmosler)
5:55 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instead of trying to scrap it - which is I presume very hard given the extent of the captured lawmaking now - maybe tweak the rules to have 60% go to the recepient but 40% go to the opponent? Or some such less than 100% split. (credit to @wbmosler)
5:55 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795480991190208689
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekoi. Jas licno - f*ck-off money, ne mora da e penzija, dovolen e "passive income". Da ne *moram* da zarabotuvam za da mozam da ziveam. Toa ne znaci deka nema da rabotam ili da zarabotuvam. Samo ne sum prinuden - "zaraboti XX inaku ke bides gladen-studen- na-ulica".
4:43 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekoi. Jas licno - f*ck-off money, ne mora da e penzija, dovolen e "passive income". Da ne *moram* da zarabotuvam za da mozam da ziveam. Toa ne znaci deka nema da rabotam ili da zarabotuvam. Samo ne sum prinuden - "zaraboti XX inaku ke bides gladen-studen- na-ulica".
4:43 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795472832614240608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me personally - yes. Have not had false-negative spam breach gmail for ages now. Checking my Spam gmail folder now - about dozen true-positives, zero false-positives. These days even when I get some half-spammy email from a mailing list that I have not knowingly subscribed, when I tell Gmail "this is spam", it recognizes that it's a mailing list, and offers to unsubscribe me from the mailing list. I love that.
4:10 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me personally - yes. Have not had false-negative spam breach gmail for ages now. Checking my Spam gmail folder now - about dozen true-positives, zero false-positives. These days even when I get some half-spammy email from a mailing list that I have not knowingly subscribed, when I tell Gmail "this is spam", it recognizes that it's a mailing list, and offers to unsubscribe me from the mailing list. I love that.
4:10 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795470833025962318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The train is already private and there are T&C in place the dirty-boots-on-seat person agreed to when buying the ticket. The person is breaking the T&C no doubt about it. If there's a train steward or transport police present at that (time,place) - they will sort him. But it's not possible to have enforcers all the time everywhere. Total surveillance where the train CCTV is monitored by enforcement system (e.g. neural nets watching the feed) and then enforcers dispatched is one option.
4:02 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The train is already private and there are T&C in place the dirty-boots-on-seat person agreed to when buying the ticket. The person is breaking the T&C no doubt about it. If there's a train steward or transport police present at that (time,place) - they will sort him. But it's not possible to have enforcers all the time everywhere. Total surveillance where the train CCTV is monitored by enforcement system (e.g. neural nets watching the feed) and then enforcers dispatched is one option.
4:02 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795467841111576722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My best guess is - incentives. I read today 0.1% of the accounts generate 80% of the traffic on the platform. So kicking out any of the prolific ones is costly. On the other hand, users complain about silly-bots (porn, crypto, elonmuskXXX) but no-one actually quits - it's low level grumbling. Kicking out a legit user by mistake also creates no end of trouble big stink. So small +ve (users stop grumbling), but a big -ve (removing big acc that create most of the traffic, legit users making lots of noise).
3:51 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My best guess is - incentives. I read today 0.1% of the accounts generate 80% of the traffic on the platform. So kicking out any of the prolific ones is costly. On the other hand, users complain about silly-bots (porn, crypto, elonmuskXXX) but no-one actually quits - it's low level grumbling. Kicking out a legit user by mistake also creates no end of trouble big stink. So small +ve (users stop grumbling), but a big -ve (removing big acc that create most of the traffic, legit users making lots of noise).
3:51 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795429671947112838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯🎯 That's an excellent and thoughtful thread - kudos, thank you. 👏👏👏 I wish I could re-post it x1000 times to counterweight the 1000s of silly takes I read over the weekend. The above tallies with my personal experience having served for 1yr in a conscript army as 18yo.
1:19 PM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯🎯 That's an excellent and thoughtful thread - kudos, thank you. 👏👏👏 I wish I could re-post it x1000 times to counterweight the 1000s of silly takes I read over the weekend. The above tallies with my personal experience having served for 1yr in a conscript army as 18yo.
1:19 PM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795396933072134496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. I see 16K COs in WW1, 60K COs in WW2. IDK, I can only offer counterfactuals. Rules are malleable, attuned to survival of the group, and groups that don't survive - we never learn about them. Like if the number of COs was in millions, to the point of the nation not being able to organize an army and defend itself, two things can happen: 1) rules get changed so the COs number is reduced and the nation defends itself in the war and survives; or 2) the nation is defeated, taken over by the foe nation that had different rules (ones facilitating fielding an army). Either way - new rules survive that keep the number of COs low as to the defense of the nation is possible. Why not zero COs? It's too much of an effort for not a lot of gain as long as enough of non-COs are available to serve. Allowing for small non-zero number of COs is a positive for the legitimacy of the rest of the recruitment process too.
11:09 AM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. I see 16K COs in WW1, 60K COs in WW2. IDK, I can only offer counterfactuals. Rules are malleable, attuned to survival of the group, and groups that don't survive - we never learn about them. Like if the number of COs was in millions, to the point of the nation not being able to organize an army and defend itself, two things can happen: 1) rules get changed so the COs number is reduced and the nation defends itself in the war and survives; or 2) the nation is defeated, taken over by the foe nation that had different rules (ones facilitating fielding an army). Either way - new rules survive that keep the number of COs low as to the defense of the nation is possible. Why not zero COs? It's too much of an effort for not a lot of gain as long as enough of non-COs are available to serve. Allowing for small non-zero number of COs is a positive for the legitimacy of the rest of the recruitment process too.
11:09 AM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795364373873021328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah not showing replies, hiding replies from me even when I click on the reply icon, seems way way more evil to me!? And mostly needless imo?? I understand they think they're increasing engagement by boosting angry and polemical - but does that translate to more advertising $$$? I doubt anyone has shown that for sure. Also - reading replies past level-1 or -2 is but impossible. So I try to remind myself not to post any at more than level-1 deep. (breaking that rule now 😂) We'd better off if they just showed all replies at level-1 or even not allowing for >1 levels given their threaded replies reader is difficult to use. I have check notifications to check if any interesting answers - but then notifications do not always work 100% reliably afaics but maybe user error too that I miss some sometimes.
8:59 AM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah not showing replies, hiding replies from me even when I click on the reply icon, seems way way more evil to me!? And mostly needless imo?? I understand they think they're increasing engagement by boosting angry and polemical - but does that translate to more advertising $$$? I doubt anyone has shown that for sure. Also - reading replies past level-1 or -2 is but impossible. So I try to remind myself not to post any at more than level-1 deep. (breaking that rule now 😂) We'd better off if they just showed all replies at level-1 or even not allowing for >1 levels given their threaded replies reader is difficult to use. I have check notifications to check if any interesting answers - but then notifications do not always work 100% reliably afaics but maybe user error too that I miss some sometimes.
8:59 AM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795348480300581323
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da! - super e YT za toa. Nesto razbrav nesto ne razbrav. Ima covekot knigi (ima i onlajn), ama tesko toa da se procita, :-) gledam se iljadnici strani. Hostot (@CosmicSkeptic
) mozam da go slusam https://youtube.com/@CosmicSkeptic duri rabotam. :-)
youtube.com
Alex O'Connor
Hi, I'm Alex O'Connor, host of the Within Reason Podcast. For the curious. New episodes every Sunday from the likes of Richard Dawkins, William Lane Craig, Bishop Robert Barron, Peter Singer, and...
7:56 AM · May 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da! - super e YT za toa. Nesto razbrav nesto ne razbrav. Ima covekot knigi (ima i onlajn), ama tesko toa da se procita, :-) gledam se iljadnici strani. Hostot (@CosmicSkeptic
) mozam da go slusam https://youtube.com/@CosmicSkeptic duri rabotam. :-)
youtube.com
Alex O'Connor
Hi, I'm Alex O'Connor, host of the Within Reason Podcast. For the curious. New episodes every Sunday from the likes of Richard Dawkins, William Lane Craig, Bishop Robert Barron, Peter Singer, and...
7:56 AM · May 28, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795191779358048340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 topical - bas go slusam prv pat Iain McGilchrist, mozebi interesno i za drugi
https://youtube.com/watch?v=Q16ARIpxlPQ
youtube.com
Society Has Become Too Left-Brained - Iain McGilchrist
Get all sides of every story and be better informed at https://ground.news/AlexOC - subscribe for 40% off unlimited access.For early, ad-free access to video...
9:34 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 topical - bas go slusam prv pat Iain McGilchrist, mozebi interesno i za drugi
https://youtube.com/watch?v=Q16ARIpxlPQ
youtube.com
Society Has Become Too Left-Brained - Iain McGilchrist
Get all sides of every story and be better informed at https://ground.news/AlexOC - subscribe for 40% off unlimited access.For early, ad-free access to video...
9:34 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795183773950087394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Government hand is weakened by BoE independence. BoE can side with the (bond) markets rather than the Treasury and bring the gov down. Example Truss-the-lettuce, counterexample Bank of Japan the-widow-maker. Other things are important too - e.g. Japan probably does not import as much inflation as UK would if the pound were to weaken.
8:38 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Government hand is weakened by BoE independence. BoE can side with the (bond) markets rather than the Treasury and bring the gov down. Example Truss-the-lettuce, counterexample Bank of Japan the-widow-maker. Other things are important too - e.g. Japan probably does not import as much inflation as UK would if the pound were to weaken.
8:38 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795175775450128598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Creative intuition is what generates the hypothesis, it's the pixie dust rabbit out of the hat. 🤯 Rational thinking and chain of reasoning is what checks those intuitions. 🥸 Former are sadly mostly flights of fancy and usually get torn down by the latter. 😩
8:30 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Creative intuition is what generates the hypothesis, it's the pixie dust rabbit out of the hat. 🤯 Rational thinking and chain of reasoning is what checks those intuitions. 🥸 Former are sadly mostly flights of fancy and usually get torn down by the latter. 😩
8:30 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795136176925417891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and it occurs to me those accounts *do* provide some service: when posting, there's really no way for the sender to know if the message is ever presented to anyone at all, or maybe went straight down the twitter://dev/null drain. Random lovely lady 😆 clicking Like is evidence that the message reached at least 1 account. 😆
5:53 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and it occurs to me those accounts *do* provide some service: when posting, there's really no way for the sender to know if the message is ever presented to anyone at all, or maybe went straight down the twitter://dev/null drain. Random lovely lady 😆 clicking Like is evidence that the message reached at least 1 account. 😆
5:53 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795111052952158459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! E i jas primetiv poslednite 4-5 god koga sum vo MK (sum iselen ziveam vo UK), deka nekoi od decata megu sebe kako da zborea angliski?! Ama recunav ne sum slusnal dobro, ne sum doslusnal, ili moze za igri ili kompjuteri zborele pa nekoj angliski zbor se kazal. Ne obrativ mnogu vnimanie - iako mi padna cudno, neocekuvano.
4:13 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! E i jas primetiv poslednite 4-5 god koga sum vo MK (sum iselen ziveam vo UK), deka nekoi od decata megu sebe kako da zborea angliski?! Ama recunav ne sum slusnal dobro, ne sum doslusnal, ili moze za igri ili kompjuteri zborele pa nekoj angliski zbor se kazal. Ne obrativ mnogu vnimanie - iako mi padna cudno, neocekuvano.
4:13 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795105263810117815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izbroj na Internet, na TV, radio, vo knizari kolku od koi filmovi, muzika, sliki, knigi, spisanija etc ima i ke vidis chiva kultura, chii idei, se konzumiraat vo svetot. Jas licno posledna originalna idea sto ja pamtam od Srbija e verojatno knigata "Planeta Zena" od 1980-90-ti.
3:50 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izbroj na Internet, na TV, radio, vo knizari kolku od koi filmovi, muzika, sliki, knigi, spisanija etc ima i ke vidis chiva kultura, chii idei, se konzumiraat vo svetot. Jas licno posledna originalna idea sto ja pamtam od Srbija e verojatno knigata "Planeta Zena" od 1980-90-ti.
3:50 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795105263810117815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izbroj na Internet, na TV, radio, vo knizari kolku od koi filmovi, muzika, sliki, knigi, spisanija etc ima i ke vidis chiva kultura, chii idei, se konzumiraat vo svetot. Jas licno posledna originalna idea sto ja pamtam od Srbija e verojatno knigata "Planeta Zena" od 1980-90-ti.
3:50 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izbroj na Internet, na TV, radio, vo knizari kolku od koi filmovi, muzika, sliki, knigi, spisanija etc ima i ke vidis chiva kultura, chii idei, se konzumiraat vo svetot. Jas licno posledna originalna idea sto ja pamtam od Srbija e verojatno knigata "Planeta Zena" od 1980-90-ti.
3:50 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795102410517483645
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was very good, enjoyed watching it - thanks for that. Are humans only animals we know of that are capable of symbolic processing? I get that all animals (incl humans) are capable of neural processing. Given machine symbolic processing is more capable than humans' - does this imply that even an imperfect union of symbolic and neural machine may be able to better humans overall? Where the neural part is merely on par with humans, and the symbolic portion more advanced.
3:39 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was very good, enjoyed watching it - thanks for that. Are humans only animals we know of that are capable of symbolic processing? I get that all animals (incl humans) are capable of neural processing. Given machine symbolic processing is more capable than humans' - does this imply that even an imperfect union of symbolic and neural machine may be able to better humans overall? Where the neural part is merely on par with humans, and the symbolic portion more advanced.
3:39 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795066774062325872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Volunteering by definition can not be National Service as commonly understood. National Service is joining the Army as a conscript. It is done under threat of sanctions - prison in peace time, firing squad in war time.
1:17 PM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Volunteering by definition can not be National Service as commonly understood. National Service is joining the Army as a conscript. It is done under threat of sanctions - prison in peace time, firing squad in war time.
1:17 PM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795044645191184559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unfortunately for all - not anytime soon and certainly not before a military defeat. Even elected politicos stumble on a "worse is better" +ve feedback loop, they discover it by trial&error (US Trump now, UK BoJo previously, I observed it personally in YU'90s), the steps are: 1) Identify a grievance, a fissure, something that hurts 2) praise the wound open, drill in, make it hurt more 3) campaign on that pain, get elected 4) do not heal the wound - on the contrary, make it worse & more painful 5) come next election - accuse your enemies of (a) causing the pain (b) preventing you from healing the wound 6) get elected by a bigger majority. Repeat the cycle. For a king-for-life like Putin now it's even more advantageous - permanent war secures the throne no questions asked. War is much easier much simpler for a king to do than say a slow betterment of the country.
11:49 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unfortunately for all - not anytime soon and certainly not before a military defeat. Even elected politicos stumble on a "worse is better" +ve feedback loop, they discover it by trial&error (US Trump now, UK BoJo previously, I observed it personally in YU'90s), the steps are: 1) Identify a grievance, a fissure, something that hurts 2) praise the wound open, drill in, make it hurt more 3) campaign on that pain, get elected 4) do not heal the wound - on the contrary, make it worse & more painful 5) come next election - accuse your enemies of (a) causing the pain (b) preventing you from healing the wound 6) get elected by a bigger majority. Repeat the cycle. For a king-for-life like Putin now it's even more advantageous - permanent war secures the throne no questions asked. War is much easier much simpler for a king to do than say a slow betterment of the country.
11:49 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795032086597836880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we please please see the survey questions pls 😂😂😂😂 You are doing great pls don't stop.
For and Against National Service | Yes, Prime Minister
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahgjEjJkZks
Embedded video
10:59 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can we please please see the survey questions pls 😂😂😂😂 You are doing great pls don't stop.
For and Against National Service | Yes, Prime Minister
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahgjEjJkZks
Embedded video
10:59 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795029486703964482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and right on cue sweet girl Emily2651257300 enters the conversation 😂😂😂 Oh Twitter never change 😆😆😆
Image
10:49 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and right on cue sweet girl Emily2651257300 enters the conversation 😂😂😂 Oh Twitter never change 😆😆😆
Image
10:49 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795027779970277847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc you can. But how many false positives will be ensnared in the net? What's the cost of the false positives? Also I'm not 100% convinced that they as big a deal as we think in the revealed user preferences. Users oft moan and say one thing, but then act different.
10:42 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc you can. But how many false positives will be ensnared in the net? What's the cost of the false positives? Also I'm not 100% convinced that they as big a deal as we think in the revealed user preferences. Users oft moan and say one thing, but then act different.
10:42 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795026998483411151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thing we lack national service to provide fully trained well armed competent 2M soldiers strong army so King BoJo gets the opportunity to indulge his exuberant fantasies.
10:39 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thing we lack national service to provide fully trained well armed competent 2M soldiers strong army so King BoJo gets the opportunity to indulge his exuberant fantasies.
10:39 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795024692190794124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I look at Putin's conscript army and think - not a good idea. Ideals you cherish and trust you crave are instilled by transparency, honesty, good deeds in public life. Semi-enslaved labor may divide our society further and the young-old gap already showing may grow into a a chasm. There is volunteering and charity work available now. Conflating army with helping old grannies is a misdirection that ill serves us. Army service is not weekend creche, soldiers are not kids. Their job is to kill people they have never met before and have personally nothing against. They are given training and equipment by the state and social permission by the society to do so. It's not volunteering - people that refuse it in peace time are jailed, and in war time they are shot. When imagining possibilities, thinking of the best case is going easy on yourself. We'd be better off if you'd steelman your argument. Imagine king Boris Johnson having at his beck and call fully trained well armed competent 2M soldiers strong army. To me the present reality where King BoJo lacks the means to indulge his exuberant fantasies seems better.
10:30 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I look at Putin's conscript army and think - not a good idea. Ideals you cherish and trust you crave are instilled by transparency, honesty, good deeds in public life. Semi-enslaved labor may divide our society further and the young-old gap already showing may grow into a a chasm. There is volunteering and charity work available now. Conflating army with helping old grannies is a misdirection that ill serves us. Army service is not weekend creche, soldiers are not kids. Their job is to kill people they have never met before and have personally nothing against. They are given training and equipment by the state and social permission by the society to do so. It's not volunteering - people that refuse it in peace time are jailed, and in war time they are shot. When imagining possibilities, thinking of the best case is going easy on yourself. We'd be better off if you'd steelman your argument. Imagine king Boris Johnson having at his beck and call fully trained well armed competent 2M soldiers strong army. To me the present reality where King BoJo lacks the means to indulge his exuberant fantasies seems better.
10:30 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795014828731346998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are like porn - easy for us to recognise it when seen, hard for us to describe algorithmically for the computers to weed out. I thought that the latest crop of big ML models would have solved it? Previously - spam has been solved (by e.g Google) with way simpler models.
9:50 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are like porn - easy for us to recognise it when seen, hard for us to describe algorithmically for the computers to weed out. I thought that the latest crop of big ML models would have solved it? Previously - spam has been solved (by e.g Google) with way simpler models.
9:50 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795013497425658034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Improved risk management by the studios.
9:45 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Improved risk management by the studios.
9:45 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795010616379191620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but only b/c 2M is not enough to be "f*ck you money" really. Make that 20M - and I would not.
9:34 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - but only b/c 2M is not enough to be "f*ck you money" really. Make that 20M - and I would not.
9:34 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1795008866473623782
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If it's not military - than it's not a national service really as far as I understand it. There is volunteering and charity work available now. Imo professional army is way better investment. Better to enlarge that one than waste resource on conscripts. I think conflating army with helping old grannies is a misdirection that ill serves us. Army service is not weekend creche, soldiers are not kids. Their job is to kill people they have never met before and have personally nothing against. They are given training and equipment by the state and social permission by the society to do so. It's not volunteering - people that refuse it in peace time are jailed, and in war time they are shot. I did 1yr national service at 18yo. Only really useful thing there was I got to observe a cross-section of society I wouldn't have observed otherwise. Saw many functionally illiterate, dumb to the point of being danger to themselves, people, as well as a small share of truly evil psychopaths, but also good, honest and rare brilliant guys. Made me appreciate the role of selection as well as education. Also prob got a foretaste how life maybe if I ever find myself imprisoned. Other than that, as in actual war fighting skills - it was a total waste of time. It convinced me that any conscript army will be routed by a professional foe in a real war.
9:27 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If it's not military - than it's not a national service really as far as I understand it. There is volunteering and charity work available now. Imo professional army is way better investment. Better to enlarge that one than waste resource on conscripts. I think conflating army with helping old grannies is a misdirection that ill serves us. Army service is not weekend creche, soldiers are not kids. Their job is to kill people they have never met before and have personally nothing against. They are given training and equipment by the state and social permission by the society to do so. It's not volunteering - people that refuse it in peace time are jailed, and in war time they are shot. I did 1yr national service at 18yo. Only really useful thing there was I got to observe a cross-section of society I wouldn't have observed otherwise. Saw many functionally illiterate, dumb to the point of being danger to themselves, people, as well as a small share of truly evil psychopaths, but also good, honest and rare brilliant guys. Made me appreciate the role of selection as well as education. Also prob got a foretaste how life maybe if I ever find myself imprisoned. Other than that, as in actual war fighting skills - it was a total waste of time. It convinced me that any conscript army will be routed by a professional foe in a real war.
9:27 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794998216770851111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I did 1yr national service at 18 and I'm not in favor of it. It seemed like waste of time. I learned ~1.5 useful things. The full 1 point - got to observe a cross-section of society I wouldn't have observed otherwise. Saw many functionally illiterate, dumb to the point of being danger to themselves, people, as well as a small share of trully evil psychopaths, but also good, honest and rare brilliant guys. Made me appreciate the role of selection as well as education. And 0.5 half-point is - got a foretaste how life maybe if I ever find myself imprisoned. Professional army is way better investment. Better to enlarge that one than waste resource on conscripts.
8:44 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I did 1yr national service at 18 and I'm not in favor of it. It seemed like waste of time. I learned ~1.5 useful things. The full 1 point - got to observe a cross-section of society I wouldn't have observed otherwise. Saw many functionally illiterate, dumb to the point of being danger to themselves, people, as well as a small share of trully evil psychopaths, but also good, honest and rare brilliant guys. Made me appreciate the role of selection as well as education. And 0.5 half-point is - got a foretaste how life maybe if I ever find myself imprisoned. Professional army is way better investment. Better to enlarge that one than waste resource on conscripts.
8:44 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794995653593972786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh 😀 Took the entirety of humanity thousands of years to accept "no - we on earth are not the center of the universe", "no - we humans are not special in the shape of god but just like other animals branch on the tree of life", now we are at "no - we are not the only intelligent entities" (will take some time to bed) and so on. Personally it's but impossible for any single of us to figure "no - I'm not *that* special" (given if 9B are special, then no one is special). Likewise we are usually surprised when we die ("did you think people that died yesterday - it did not occur to them to just not die??"). Our egos loom so large in our view that little space is left for the rest of the world that is not "me, myself and I". So the idea that most of us think "my data is special" is not surprising really. There's a fine but rarely quoted early book on data "Data for the People" by an early ML researcher and Amazon chief scientist early on arguing that rather than us individuals restricting our data use, we should demand that organizations (businesses, governments) open up their data to *us*, and that way balance the power relation individual-vs-group where I the individual am at a disadvantage as a weaker party.
8:34 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh 😀 Took the entirety of humanity thousands of years to accept "no - we on earth are not the center of the universe", "no - we humans are not special in the shape of god but just like other animals branch on the tree of life", now we are at "no - we are not the only intelligent entities" (will take some time to bed) and so on. Personally it's but impossible for any single of us to figure "no - I'm not *that* special" (given if 9B are special, then no one is special). Likewise we are usually surprised when we die ("did you think people that died yesterday - it did not occur to them to just not die??"). Our egos loom so large in our view that little space is left for the rest of the world that is not "me, myself and I". So the idea that most of us think "my data is special" is not surprising really. There's a fine but rarely quoted early book on data "Data for the People" by an early ML researcher and Amazon chief scientist early on arguing that rather than us individuals restricting our data use, we should demand that organizations (businesses, governments) open up their data to *us*, and that way balance the power relation individual-vs-group where I the individual am at a disadvantage as a weaker party.
8:34 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794987550295126065
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you considered that the polls maybe - ahem - less than representative? Google "leading questions polling" for more. This is not as fanciful as made here in the satire - it's more like reality how things are done
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ahgjEjJkZks
youtube.com
For and Against National Service | Yes, Prime Minister | Comedy Greats
Sir Humphrey, incensed that Hacker is pushing ahead with his “Grand Design”, delivers a masterclass in how to conduct a government opinion poll.Subscribe: ht...
8:02 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you considered that the polls maybe - ahem - less than representative? Google "leading questions polling" for more. This is not as fanciful as made here in the satire - it's more like reality how things are done
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ahgjEjJkZks
youtube.com
For and Against National Service | Yes, Prime Minister | Comedy Greats
Sir Humphrey, incensed that Hacker is pushing ahead with his “Grand Design”, delivers a masterclass in how to conduct a government opinion poll.Subscribe: ht...
8:02 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794983573952360796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you are talking about. I mentioned it in this context
https://bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68991038
Reverend Sue Parfitt and Judy Bruce hold a sign which reads 'The Government is breaking the law'
From bbc.co.uk
7:46 AM · May 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you are talking about. I mentioned it in this context
https://bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68991038
Reverend Sue Parfitt and Judy Bruce hold a sign which reads 'The Government is breaking the law'
From bbc.co.uk
7:46 AM · May 27, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794830639826424210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you think Russia maybe lying? Or even say things that mean one thing to you, and different to them? Like when they say "NATO threatens our security", they're not afraid that Poland is going to invade towards Moscow. Rather they mean "we can't put the politico of our choice for a PM, we can't control the parliament, we can't control the government of Poland". As they say with UKR. Regardless - CEEuropeans should be less reliant on US both conventional and nuclear. Don't think US will risk nuclear Armageddon if Russia nukes Warsaw. There are 120M CEEuropeans - they are responsible for themselves and their security. If they are lazy and do nothing - they will find themselves enslaved by Moscow once more. This is existential to them in a way that is not to WEuropeans.
9:39 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you think Russia maybe lying? Or even say things that mean one thing to you, and different to them? Like when they say "NATO threatens our security", they're not afraid that Poland is going to invade towards Moscow. Rather they mean "we can't put the politico of our choice for a PM, we can't control the parliament, we can't control the government of Poland". As they say with UKR. Regardless - CEEuropeans should be less reliant on US both conventional and nuclear. Don't think US will risk nuclear Armageddon if Russia nukes Warsaw. There are 120M CEEuropeans - they are responsible for themselves and their security. If they are lazy and do nothing - they will find themselves enslaved by Moscow once more. This is existential to them in a way that is not to WEuropeans.
9:39 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794819959929160080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's easy to stay ignorant when things are setup for you without effort on your part and you are a happy user. When one does not know how things came to be the way they are, it's hard to imagine the alternatives. Had it too good for too long - forgot it was not always thus.
8:56 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's easy to stay ignorant when things are setup for you without effort on your part and you are a happy user. When one does not know how things came to be the way they are, it's hard to imagine the alternatives. Had it too good for too long - forgot it was not always thus.
8:56 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794818786979131894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the platforms offer a range of possibilities - it's only that majority of humans decide to act like jerks or worse. Yes, platforms could constrain the options available to us more. But the primary blame is on us.
8:51 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the platforms offer a range of possibilities - it's only that majority of humans decide to act like jerks or worse. Yes, platforms could constrain the options available to us more. But the primary blame is on us.
8:51 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794807786666180608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has borders as do other countries. Maybe not ideal - but good enough. With largest nuclear arsenal in the world - I don't take the argument that Russia is afraid of another Napoleon or Hitler invasion. They are lying mercilessly. CE Europe countries can only ever lose-or-draw without a nuclear deterrent. I'm amazed Poland and the Baltics and Romania too are not developing their own nuclear deterrent. They stand to pay dearly for that dunder headed stupidity. If Israel and North Korea could do it - CEEus can do it too. They are faced with similar existential threat. Also they should be spending ~10% on defence and building their armies. Russia has spelled out their intentions many times over many years.
8:08 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has borders as do other countries. Maybe not ideal - but good enough. With largest nuclear arsenal in the world - I don't take the argument that Russia is afraid of another Napoleon or Hitler invasion. They are lying mercilessly. CE Europe countries can only ever lose-or-draw without a nuclear deterrent. I'm amazed Poland and the Baltics and Romania too are not developing their own nuclear deterrent. They stand to pay dearly for that dunder headed stupidity. If Israel and North Korea could do it - CEEus can do it too. They are faced with similar existential threat. Also they should be spending ~10% on defence and building their armies. Russia has spelled out their intentions many times over many years.
8:08 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794782044246966752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Soldiers are not kids. Their job is to kill people they have never met before and have personally nothing against. They are given training and equipment by the state and social permission by the society to do so. National service is not volunteering - people that refuse it in peace time are jailed, and war time they are shto. Your take is somewhat off mark.
6:25 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Soldiers are not kids. Their job is to kill people they have never met before and have personally nothing against. They are given training and equipment by the state and social permission by the society to do so. National service is not volunteering - people that refuse it in peace time are jailed, and war time they are shto. Your take is somewhat off mark.
6:25 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794780283847278900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dumping them in the rubbish bin will not force insolvency, no? 😄 And if you take them to the Fed/Treasury - the Fed can always create new $$$ on their spreadsheet (no shortage of numbers there) and exchange your bonds for $$$ that it will credit your Reserve Account with. Afaik any insolvency can only be voluntary: The Fed - or Treasury, or ultimately the USG - to voluntarily decide not to honor them and default on them. Other bad things may happen (or not) with the extra $$$ in your reserve account. Just involuntary insolvency is not one of those things.
6:18 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dumping them in the rubbish bin will not force insolvency, no? 😄 And if you take them to the Fed/Treasury - the Fed can always create new $$$ on their spreadsheet (no shortage of numbers there) and exchange your bonds for $$$ that it will credit your Reserve Account with. Afaik any insolvency can only be voluntary: The Fed - or Treasury, or ultimately the USG - to voluntarily decide not to honor them and default on them. Other bad things may happen (or not) with the extra $$$ in your reserve account. Just involuntary insolvency is not one of those things.
6:18 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794777717847842905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not charity when one is forced to do it under duress of imprisonment, is it though? Charity work is available plenty now. No need for national service to do charity work. Oldies 1st as they seem to be keenest - bring in national service for newly minted state pensioners.
6:08 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not charity when one is forced to do it under duress of imprisonment, is it though? Charity work is available plenty now. No need for national service to do charity work. Oldies 1st as they seem to be keenest - bring in national service for newly minted state pensioners.
6:08 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794776603744239834
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only among those that have not done it, and are not going to be called to do it. I've done it - and I'm against it.
6:04 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only among those that have not done it, and are not going to be called to do it. I've done it - and I'm against it.
6:04 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794775338167226524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When imagining possibilities, imaging the best case is too a woolly thinking - not a very good guide tbh. Imagine king Boris Johnson having at his beck and call fully trained well armed competent 2M soldiers strong army. To me the present reality where King BoJo lacks the means to indulge his exuberant fantasies seems better.
5:59 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When imagining possibilities, imaging the best case is too a woolly thinking - not a very good guide tbh. Imagine king Boris Johnson having at his beck and call fully trained well armed competent 2M soldiers strong army. To me the present reality where King BoJo lacks the means to indulge his exuberant fantasies seems better.
5:59 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794733337975587056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We had kids when it was worth it to us, and now we don't have them anymore for the same reason.
It's still worth it for the very poor (no opportunity cost) and very rich (can hire help), but not the middle.
When the society wants more of something, usually it tries to remove the obstacles preventing it. Ideas - ask less effort and perfection from parents (c.f. @bryan_caplan), recognize more the enormous effort (time, money, emotion) parents put into raising the next generation. Econ incentives oft get a mention, but tbh what's offered as compensation is miniscule compared to the real opportunity cost to the middle class parents.
3:12 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We had kids when it was worth it to us, and now we don't have them anymore for the same reason.
It's still worth it for the very poor (no opportunity cost) and very rich (can hire help), but not the middle.
When the society wants more of something, usually it tries to remove the obstacles preventing it. Ideas - ask less effort and perfection from parents (c.f. @bryan_caplan), recognize more the enormous effort (time, money, emotion) parents put into raising the next generation. Econ incentives oft get a mention, but tbh what's offered as compensation is miniscule compared to the real opportunity cost to the middle class parents.
3:12 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794730287252783135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Second that. My kids/generation seemed to me so much more responsible while observing them in high school and university than myself and my generation (X) ever were. I catch myself lately thinking "Die, Already" when reading abt various OAP-s antics - pensions, triple lock, just stop oil loony grannies chiseling at magna carta, before that brexit and freedoms, etc.
3:00 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Second that. My kids/generation seemed to me so much more responsible while observing them in high school and university than myself and my generation (X) ever were. I catch myself lately thinking "Die, Already" when reading abt various OAP-s antics - pensions, triple lock, just stop oil loony grannies chiseling at magna carta, before that brexit and freedoms, etc.
3:00 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794714269109354592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes b/c they have the gigantic nuclear armed Russia next door hell bent on subjugating them as well as within living memory invasions (Germany, Russia). Last invasion UK suffered was 1066. Do you really want millions of young people under arms, at the beck and call of supremely cynical yet imbecilic leaders deployable at short notice? Isn't nuclear deterrent enough for defense? Maybe better to not increase the temptation to future PM-s more than necessary? Can you imagine a capable leader like "the hand of history" Tony Blair leading a 2M soldier strong army? The possibility for a massive f*ck ups level WW2 x10 times, x100 times are not to be underestimated.
1:56 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes b/c they have the gigantic nuclear armed Russia next door hell bent on subjugating them as well as within living memory invasions (Germany, Russia). Last invasion UK suffered was 1066. Do you really want millions of young people under arms, at the beck and call of supremely cynical yet imbecilic leaders deployable at short notice? Isn't nuclear deterrent enough for defense? Maybe better to not increase the temptation to future PM-s more than necessary? Can you imagine a capable leader like "the hand of history" Tony Blair leading a 2M soldier strong army? The possibility for a massive f*ck ups level WW2 x10 times, x100 times are not to be underestimated.
1:56 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794695556373106859
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@GilesYeo maybe an expert in many things, but for sure "obesity and the brain control of food intake" are not on that list. For an expert knows how to design the system s/he is an expert own, how to build it from scratch, how to alter it, how to bend it to our will. Lack of expertise in this is not shameful - as no experts exist nor have ever existed (afaik) on obesity. More introspection less self-aggrandizement would be more in keeping with the evidence on expertise and would not go amiss. I expect more honesty from scientists (allotted some privilege by society) than say the snake oil selling businessman an Apprentice wannabe. More honesty please.
Quote
Guardian news @guardiannews · May 25
Weight-loss jabs shouldn’t be quick-fix solution for governments, says expert http://dlvr.it/T7Mw1j
12:42 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@GilesYeo maybe an expert in many things, but for sure "obesity and the brain control of food intake" are not on that list. For an expert knows how to design the system s/he is an expert own, how to build it from scratch, how to alter it, how to bend it to our will. Lack of expertise in this is not shameful - as no experts exist nor have ever existed (afaik) on obesity. More introspection less self-aggrandizement would be more in keeping with the evidence on expertise and would not go amiss. I expect more honesty from scientists (allotted some privilege by society) than say the snake oil selling businessman an Apprentice wannabe. More honesty please.
Quote
Guardian news @guardiannews · May 25
Weight-loss jabs shouldn’t be quick-fix solution for governments, says expert http://dlvr.it/T7Mw1j
12:42 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794687367854293205
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - looks right to me. Once the body starts breaking down i.e. aging starts, my personal situation changes to: my reality was better for me when I was younger. Good health being top-1 priority is lost on those that are in good health so they'll be oblivious to it. 😂😂😂 I understand the puzzlement. Further - for most of us the view of "me, myself and I" dominates any other view or consideration of the wider world.
12:09 PM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - looks right to me. Once the body starts breaking down i.e. aging starts, my personal situation changes to: my reality was better for me when I was younger. Good health being top-1 priority is lost on those that are in good health so they'll be oblivious to it. 😂😂😂 I understand the puzzlement. Further - for most of us the view of "me, myself and I" dominates any other view or consideration of the wider world.
12:09 PM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794684662968660090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@GilesYeo maybe an expert in many things, but for sure "obesity and the brain control of food intake" are not on that list. For an expert knows how to design the system s/he is an expert own, how to build it from scratch, how to alter it, how to bend it to our will. Lack of expertise in this is not shameful - as no experts exist nor have ever existed (afaik) on obesity. More introspection less self-aggrandizement would be more in keeping with the evidence of expertise and would not go amiss. I expect more honesty from scientists (allotted some privilege by society) than say the snake oil selling businessman an Apprentice wannabe. More honesty please.
11:59 AM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@GilesYeo maybe an expert in many things, but for sure "obesity and the brain control of food intake" are not on that list. For an expert knows how to design the system s/he is an expert own, how to build it from scratch, how to alter it, how to bend it to our will. Lack of expertise in this is not shameful - as no experts exist nor have ever existed (afaik) on obesity. More introspection less self-aggrandizement would be more in keeping with the evidence of expertise and would not go amiss. I expect more honesty from scientists (allotted some privilege by society) than say the snake oil selling businessman an Apprentice wannabe. More honesty please.
11:59 AM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794658340917883099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes Prime Minister did as much public service educating us about the technology of power ruling over us as anyone ever did - exhibit 1001 from
Yes, Prime Minister | BBC Comedy Greats
Embedded video
10:14 AM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes Prime Minister did as much public service educating us about the technology of power ruling over us as anyone ever did - exhibit 1001 from
Yes, Prime Minister | BBC Comedy Greats
Embedded video
10:14 AM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794656252401774636
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂Haha po definicija, se sto momentalno ne postoi - ne e realno. Prasanjeto e - dali moze da stane realnost? Dali e podobro ili poloso od segasnata pozicija? Momentalno i dvete strani komforno lazat, nisto ne se slucuva so decenii, visokite ideali se alibi za nerabotenje, mrza, nekadarnost. Malku ponisko letanje poprizemni i pokonkretni akcii - moze ke donese podobar rezultat.
10:06 AM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂Haha po definicija, se sto momentalno ne postoi - ne e realno. Prasanjeto e - dali moze da stane realnost? Dali e podobro ili poloso od segasnata pozicija? Momentalno i dvete strani komforno lazat, nisto ne se slucuva so decenii, visokite ideali se alibi za nerabotenje, mrza, nekadarnost. Malku ponisko letanje poprizemni i pokonkretni akcii - moze ke donese podobar rezultat.
10:06 AM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794649229060952281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da taka licese - nekoj nekade nesto kazal. Ne deka e nekoj konkreten plan. Argumentite za EEA 4-slobodi plan se solidni https://esiweb.org/proposals/offer-four-freedoms-balkans-ukraine-and-moldova . Momentalno pozicijata e "kao kakao" i dvete strani lazat: "nie se prepravame deka im nudime, tie se prepravaat deka nesto rabotat".
esiweb.org
Offer the four freedoms to the Balkans, Ukraine, and Moldova
The EU should offer membership in the Single Market, including the four freedoms, as a credible and reachable interim goal to Ukraine, Moldova, and any of the six Western Balkan nations interested in...
9:38 AM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da taka licese - nekoj nekade nesto kazal. Ne deka e nekoj konkreten plan. Argumentite za EEA 4-slobodi plan se solidni https://esiweb.org/proposals/offer-four-freedoms-balkans-ukraine-and-moldova . Momentalno pozicijata e "kao kakao" i dvete strani lazat: "nie se prepravame deka im nudime, tie se prepravaat deka nesto rabotat".
esiweb.org
Offer the four freedoms to the Balkans, Ukraine, and Moldova
The EU should offer membership in the Single Market, including the four freedoms, as a credible and reachable interim goal to Ukraine, Moldova, and any of the six Western Balkan nations interested in...
9:38 AM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794644952393412896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne sfativ zasto rakovodnata klasa vo MK gleda na EEA kako precka, namesto kako prednost, vo odnos na zaclenuvanje vo EU? Pa eden kup sega clenki na EU pred toa bea clenki na EEA. Plus - i da e i da ne, pak EEA e podobro od segasnata pozicija. Zasto bi bile protiv mi e nejasno.
9:21 AM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne sfativ zasto rakovodnata klasa vo MK gleda na EEA kako precka, namesto kako prednost, vo odnos na zaclenuvanje vo EU? Pa eden kup sega clenki na EU pred toa bea clenki na EEA. Plus - i da e i da ne, pak EEA e podobro od segasnata pozicija. Zasto bi bile protiv mi e nejasno.
9:21 AM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794641062423638330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clentstvo na EEZ vo 1990 - Kiro Gligorov https://youtu.be/uNkJnT2m1aA?si=vcDMBkDbDrStzIX5 , https://youtube.com/watch?v=AekZAAdw0dQ . MK da recese "ne ni treba EU nie da odlucuvame za politikite na FR i DE, dovolno ni e 4-slobodi kako Svajcarija" moze i ke dobiea. Vo MK "I po Tito-Tito" mantranje se zameni so "EU EU" mantranje skoro po avomatizam. 😂😂 Nema nesto mnogu dlaboko/mislenje vo MK, nema tolku kriticna masa.
youtube.com
Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007
Otvoreno15siječnja2007. Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007......Radi se o tome da nam je (a Gligorovu i Kučanu treba vjerovati) EU nudila ulazak u ...
9:05 AM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clentstvo na EEZ vo 1990 - Kiro Gligorov https://youtu.be/uNkJnT2m1aA?si=vcDMBkDbDrStzIX5 , https://youtube.com/watch?v=AekZAAdw0dQ . MK da recese "ne ni treba EU nie da odlucuvame za politikite na FR i DE, dovolno ni e 4-slobodi kako Svajcarija" moze i ke dobiea. Vo MK "I po Tito-Tito" mantranje se zameni so "EU EU" mantranje skoro po avomatizam. 😂😂 Nema nesto mnogu dlaboko/mislenje vo MK, nema tolku kriticna masa.
youtube.com
Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007
Otvoreno15siječnja2007. Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007......Radi se o tome da nam je (a Gligorovu i Kučanu treba vjerovati) EU nudila ulazak u ...
9:05 AM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794638860020072862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a bad idea. The purported benefits can be achieved with other means without the downside of: having standing armies with millions of man under arms at the beck and call of hare brained sociopath leaders that will not hesitate to send them to their deaths for nothing much.
8:57 AM · May 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a bad idea. The purported benefits can be achieved with other means without the downside of: having standing armies with millions of man under arms at the beck and call of hare brained sociopath leaders that will not hesitate to send them to their deaths for nothing much.
8:57 AM · May 26, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794449791843537395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In systematic quant trading hedge funds we use somewhat specialized forecasting - we forecast returns. There is ton of data dredging, development, research - forecasting is part but it's not the whole thing. Also in systematic forecasting there's no human in the loop - only code.
8:25 PM · May 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In systematic quant trading hedge funds we use somewhat specialized forecasting - we forecast returns. There is ton of data dredging, development, research - forecasting is part but it's not the whole thing. Also in systematic forecasting there's no human in the loop - only code.
8:25 PM · May 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794355006478438494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vi fali podobruvanje na imidzot, nekoj zemjodelec-maskota za vo 21-vi vek. Kaj nas vo UK "Clarkson's Farm" https://amazon.co.uk/Clarksons-Farm-Season-1/dp/B095RNXQDY
ni pokaza-raskaza na nas civilite za zemjodelie poveke od bilo sto prethodno. Sega e na sezona 3 - ima ogromen interes!! Posledno sto pamtam od YU-MK e "Od planinata do poleto" vo nedela okolu pladne.
From amazon.co.uk
2:09 PM · May 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vi fali podobruvanje na imidzot, nekoj zemjodelec-maskota za vo 21-vi vek. Kaj nas vo UK "Clarkson's Farm" https://amazon.co.uk/Clarksons-Farm-Season-1/dp/B095RNXQDY
ni pokaza-raskaza na nas civilite za zemjodelie poveke od bilo sto prethodno. Sega e na sezona 3 - ima ogromen interes!! Posledno sto pamtam od YU-MK e "Od planinata do poleto" vo nedela okolu pladne.
From amazon.co.uk
2:09 PM · May 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794352746428022815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found industrial R&D liberating in a way academia was not. If you are more of a doer and and less of a publisher - industrial R&D maybe a good fit. One surprising thing: while "no teaching" would feel an excellent proposition, there are downsides: contact with young people is refreshing they have new ideas, also explaining my stuff to other people is excellent means to reconsider: do I really understand myself what's happening there.
2:00 PM · May 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found industrial R&D liberating in a way academia was not. If you are more of a doer and and less of a publisher - industrial R&D maybe a good fit. One surprising thing: while "no teaching" would feel an excellent proposition, there are downsides: contact with young people is refreshing they have new ideas, also explaining my stuff to other people is excellent means to reconsider: do I really understand myself what's happening there.
2:00 PM · May 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794311370944778304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Add 2nd heart, beef up the aging regulation incl cancer defences, better recycling of the old bits of the body hanging around in preference to building anew, double the mitochondria and energy production.
11:15 AM · May 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Add 2nd heart, beef up the aging regulation incl cancer defences, better recycling of the old bits of the body hanging around in preference to building anew, double the mitochondria and energy production.
11:15 AM · May 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794148600542363748
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I haven't needed integer INF tbh. But I regularly use INT_MIN as a standin for INT_NAN. Imo it's handy for every type to have one out-of-band special value: NULL for pointers, NAN for floats, for indices maybe 0, for char-s '\0' maybe? IDK about bool-s, nothing convenient there. If for nothing else but to have un-initialized variables initialized to that invalid value. For me float NAN-s are a life saver (I do lots of data work). There is hardware support, and every value they touch is turned into a NAN so they spread like a wildfire. Which is exactly what I want to detect data errors.
12:28 AM · May 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I haven't needed integer INF tbh. But I regularly use INT_MIN as a standin for INT_NAN. Imo it's handy for every type to have one out-of-band special value: NULL for pointers, NAN for floats, for indices maybe 0, for char-s '\0' maybe? IDK about bool-s, nothing convenient there. If for nothing else but to have un-initialized variables initialized to that invalid value. For me float NAN-s are a life saver (I do lots of data work). There is hardware support, and every value they touch is turned into a NAN so they spread like a wildfire. Which is exactly what I want to detect data errors.
12:28 AM · May 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794304467682406425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Independence allows for in-subordination and *gasp* competition, so that is going to feel risky intrinsically. People suss that out without needing to think much about it. To counteract - topical https://lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
10:48 AM · May 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Independence allows for in-subordination and *gasp* competition, so that is going to feel risky intrinsically. People suss that out without needing to think much about it. To counteract - topical https://lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
10:48 AM · May 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1794311370944778304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Add 2nd heart, beef up the aging regulation incl cancer defences, better recycling of the old bits of the body hanging around in preference to building anew, double the mitochondria and energy production.
11:15 AM · May 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Add 2nd heart, beef up the aging regulation incl cancer defences, better recycling of the old bits of the body hanging around in preference to building anew, double the mitochondria and energy production.
11:15 AM · May 25, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793970115232612374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not surprised tbh. In general online content where we all get to see content from the top-100 most capable to - keep us interested, entertained, hold our attention, etc - people in the whole world, are going to give any personal relations/communications a very tough competition.
12:39 PM · May 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not surprised tbh. In general online content where we all get to see content from the top-100 most capable to - keep us interested, entertained, hold our attention, etc - people in the whole world, are going to give any personal relations/communications a very tough competition.
12:39 PM · May 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793961582277320751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is mostly - on my favorite definition "nation is the largest group of people, where the losing 49% trust the winning 51% enough that they accept their will for limited time". But with few cracks: the above is not true for Northern Ireland. If Scotland didn't have devolution - for how much longer would they have tolerated being ruled by Tory-dominated Westminster when Scots have not voted Tory majority for half a century. Fwiw the this is just a function of the north-south population sizes disbalance, don't think there is anything much that can be done.
12:05 PM · May 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is mostly - on my favorite definition "nation is the largest group of people, where the losing 49% trust the winning 51% enough that they accept their will for limited time". But with few cracks: the above is not true for Northern Ireland. If Scotland didn't have devolution - for how much longer would they have tolerated being ruled by Tory-dominated Westminster when Scots have not voted Tory majority for half a century. Fwiw the this is just a function of the north-south population sizes disbalance, don't think there is anything much that can be done.
12:05 PM · May 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793937131833872439
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Counterpoint: where things improve by even single digits percent annually, it's for the better. I got un/lucky when the airline lost delayed my skis once. Had to rent skis and realised my old skis (~10 yrs) were really really bad. The technology had moved on, a mid-level contemporary ones were better on every axis of consideration than my old high-end ones by lesser or greater amount - but better. Was lucky to be taught a lesson.
10:28 AM · May 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Counterpoint: where things improve by even single digits percent annually, it's for the better. I got un/lucky when the airline lost delayed my skis once. Had to rent skis and realised my old skis (~10 yrs) were really really bad. The technology had moved on, a mid-level contemporary ones were better on every axis of consideration than my old high-end ones by lesser or greater amount - but better. Was lucky to be taught a lesson.
10:28 AM · May 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793929450679066840
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... also NB I'm not advocating to "run the energy market". That's fools errand, there is no need nor demand for it. No need to be 100% of the market. But being 0% of the market is equally untenable position. The state can own some small player (e.g. 10-15%) so to retain institutional capability.
9:58 AM · May 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... also NB I'm not advocating to "run the energy market". That's fools errand, there is no need nor demand for it. No need to be 100% of the market. But being 0% of the market is equally untenable position. The state can own some small player (e.g. 10-15%) so to retain institutional capability.
9:58 AM · May 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793928880572514728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easiest and fastest to get it off the ground is to buy one of the smaller ones (==cheaper; can create new from scratch - but no need to). IDK what the current state of the market is. Thought when Bulb went bust - that was the ideal moment for the state to step in and acquire it (customers assets liabilities - the whole lot) for £1.
9:55 AM · May 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easiest and fastest to get it off the ground is to buy one of the smaller ones (==cheaper; can create new from scratch - but no need to). IDK what the current state of the market is. Thought when Bulb went bust - that was the ideal moment for the state to step in and acquire it (customers assets liabilities - the whole lot) for £1.
9:55 AM · May 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793923097482916148
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A minimal yet workable solution is - a supplier of last resort for every natural monopoly. It's futile regulating when a private monopoly has you over a barrel. Given the public holds gov responsible for water energy insurance etc - then gov must have non-zero means to deliver those. Gov can't be dependent on the same interests it's supposed to be antagonistic to. Gov does not have to be the only provider - let 1000 flowers bloom. But gov must have at least 1 iron in that fire. As it's held responsible by the public for the industry level outcomes in the end. For many reasons - applying pressure, retaining expertise, influencing and shaping the direction of the industry so it does not degenerate into a mafia-like pillaging cartel, standsrds, transparency etc. Ceding entire strategic industry to 100% private interests is too risky it's asking for trouble. There's a happier more middle of the road ground.
9:32 AM · May 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A minimal yet workable solution is - a supplier of last resort for every natural monopoly. It's futile regulating when a private monopoly has you over a barrel. Given the public holds gov responsible for water energy insurance etc - then gov must have non-zero means to deliver those. Gov can't be dependent on the same interests it's supposed to be antagonistic to. Gov does not have to be the only provider - let 1000 flowers bloom. But gov must have at least 1 iron in that fire. As it's held responsible by the public for the industry level outcomes in the end. For many reasons - applying pressure, retaining expertise, influencing and shaping the direction of the industry so it does not degenerate into a mafia-like pillaging cartel, standsrds, transparency etc. Ceding entire strategic industry to 100% private interests is too risky it's asking for trouble. There's a happier more middle of the road ground.
9:32 AM · May 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793898602953351243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool thanks. I was curious - which nation in the UK should the oath of allegence be pledged to? I did the pledge to the monarch myself, and my wife went for the more republican variant. (also the latter is not completely republican tbf)
7:55 AM · May 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool thanks. I was curious - which nation in the UK should the oath of allegence be pledged to? I did the pledge to the monarch myself, and my wife went for the more republican variant. (also the latter is not completely republican tbf)
7:55 AM · May 24, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793713908278006032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Which one? There are a few nations in the United Kingdom, UK is not a mono-national state like Germany.
7:41 PM · May 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Which one? There are a few nations in the United Kingdom, UK is not a mono-national state like Germany.
7:41 PM · May 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793616969964343567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can set the interest rate to 0 and solve that. That may create a new problem of private lending boom. Will have to fight that e.g. maybe credit limits to mortgages, limits to personal loans etc. Can be done. But Basic Income for the rich via high IR on gov bonds is politically hard to shift.
1:16 PM · May 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can set the interest rate to 0 and solve that. That may create a new problem of private lending boom. Will have to fight that e.g. maybe credit limits to mortgages, limits to personal loans etc. Can be done. But Basic Income for the rich via high IR on gov bonds is politically hard to shift.
1:16 PM · May 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793585583597756433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative take: it's Season 2 of Breiman's "Two Cultures". Those that don't even try - get left behind.
11:11 AM · May 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative take: it's Season 2 of Breiman's "Two Cultures". Those that don't even try - get left behind.
11:11 AM · May 23, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793320906724409552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything by Veritasium https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
5:39 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything by Veritasium https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
5:39 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793318510493319564
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, "surveillance for thee, but not for me". Silly take from EM there.
5:30 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, "surveillance for thee, but not for me". Silly take from EM there.
5:30 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793308521519251875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once experienced there is no going back TBH. Smearing sh*t on paper looks positively barbaric afterwards. 😂😂 IDK how Japanese folks don't look down more on the rest of the world just on the account of the Japanese toilets v.s. the rest.
4:50 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Once experienced there is no going back TBH. Smearing sh*t on paper looks positively barbaric afterwards. 😂😂 IDK how Japanese folks don't look down more on the rest of the world just on the account of the Japanese toilets v.s. the rest.
4:50 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793303784166228313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is +ves and -ves as you mention them - there's rarely *the* ideal timing. But luckily for all of us - timing does not have to be ideal. :-)
4:31 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is +ves and -ves as you mention them - there's rarely *the* ideal timing. But luckily for all of us - timing does not have to be ideal. :-)
4:31 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793302082000216111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I can attest that on the way to work I'd collect my thoughts and decide what I'll be doing today (I do R&D). However - it's silly to imply that a commute is *necessary* for that. 😂😂 It's trivially easy to see it's not. I've WFH since 2016, and now I collect my thoughts and decide what to do today while having my coffee in the garden in the morning on the way to the office at the bottom of the garden.
4:25 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - I can attest that on the way to work I'd collect my thoughts and decide what I'll be doing today (I do R&D). However - it's silly to imply that a commute is *necessary* for that. 😂😂 It's trivially easy to see it's not. I've WFH since 2016, and now I collect my thoughts and decide what to do today while having my coffee in the garden in the morning on the way to the office at the bottom of the garden.
4:25 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793299125133307940
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ZA! Najdobro nesto sto sum napravil za sebe vo zivot. Nosev prvo naocari posle leki 30 god. Napraviv LASIK pred ~15 god, korekcija od -4 na 0. Poslednive par godini so starost pak dignav do -0.75, nosam naocari koga vozam, na koncert. Da ne sum WFH da izleguvam od doma poveke - ke napravev i vtor pat. Moze ke mi dade hirurgot popust?? 😂😂
4:13 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ZA! Najdobro nesto sto sum napravil za sebe vo zivot. Nosev prvo naocari posle leki 30 god. Napraviv LASIK pred ~15 god, korekcija od -4 na 0. Poslednive par godini so starost pak dignav do -0.75, nosam naocari koga vozam, na koncert. Da ne sum WFH da izleguvam od doma poveke - ke napravev i vtor pat. Moze ke mi dade hirurgot popust?? 😂😂
4:13 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793295661040898516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The crucial difference is: countries can build their electricity supply one way or the other, in a way that they can never manage to pump oil out of the oilfields they lack and can do nothing ever to create them.
3:59 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The crucial difference is: countries can build their electricity supply one way or the other, in a way that they can never manage to pump oil out of the oilfields they lack and can do nothing ever to create them.
3:59 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793295036546789804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯🎯 100% EVen more - not only is oil bought from an OPEC cartel or rogues like RUS - that collude with the cartel anyways so we pay 100-300% markup! - but in order to buy the said oil, a country needs to get USD 1st, that in itself is a monopoly item issued by a monopolist (US). So not 1, but 2 chokeholds will be circumvented. In contrast, electricity can be produced by variety of non-oil sources that countries can build themselves. EV-s doing God's work here increasing the freedom in the world and decreasing the power of bullies that rule over us by means of constricting stuff we need to live. Technology FTW! 😄
3:57 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯🎯 100% EVen more - not only is oil bought from an OPEC cartel or rogues like RUS - that collude with the cartel anyways so we pay 100-300% markup! - but in order to buy the said oil, a country needs to get USD 1st, that in itself is a monopoly item issued by a monopolist (US). So not 1, but 2 chokeholds will be circumvented. In contrast, electricity can be produced by variety of non-oil sources that countries can build themselves. EV-s doing God's work here increasing the freedom in the world and decreasing the power of bullies that rule over us by means of constricting stuff we need to live. Technology FTW! 😄
3:57 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793290157279330507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right that fossil fuels are necessary for prosperity. You are wrong in not seeing that switching cars to EV - so they don't spend the valuable fossil fuels when not abs necessary! - is a good thing. Ethiopia will not be forced to buy oil from a cartel. Ethiopia will not be forced to find USD that are needed for the oil from a monopolist issuer (US). Save the pain of importing fossil fuels for fertilizer and such. Ethiopia can generate electricity itself and from multiple sources (incl nuclear) in a way that it can not produce oil. Hopefully in 5-10yrs EV-s will be 1/2 the current price and go double the distance so no-one in their right mind would prefer ICE to EV car.
3:37 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are right that fossil fuels are necessary for prosperity. You are wrong in not seeing that switching cars to EV - so they don't spend the valuable fossil fuels when not abs necessary! - is a good thing. Ethiopia will not be forced to buy oil from a cartel. Ethiopia will not be forced to find USD that are needed for the oil from a monopolist issuer (US). Save the pain of importing fossil fuels for fertilizer and such. Ethiopia can generate electricity itself and from multiple sources (incl nuclear) in a way that it can not produce oil. Hopefully in 5-10yrs EV-s will be 1/2 the current price and go double the distance so no-one in their right mind would prefer ICE to EV car.
3:37 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793256492042199496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - righto "Red Bourgeoisie". ☺️ Impossible to know what's going in the head of any one person (and the person oft does not know explicitly), if anything at all. Oft a mixture of "vibes not thoughts", luxury beliefs that bring in-group credibility while imposing no personal cost even when dunder-headed wrong. And there is some money/wealth in the background, akin to "It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it". Matched with his telegenic looks and eloquence - future LibDem/Labor/Tory PM material??
1:23 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - righto "Red Bourgeoisie". ☺️ Impossible to know what's going in the head of any one person (and the person oft does not know explicitly), if anything at all. Oft a mixture of "vibes not thoughts", luxury beliefs that bring in-group credibility while imposing no personal cost even when dunder-headed wrong. And there is some money/wealth in the background, akin to "It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it". Matched with his telegenic looks and eloquence - future LibDem/Labor/Tory PM material??
1:23 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793250265027506432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah 😆 - saving grace maybe things come to a head & hope reason prevails & "the future is not 100% predictable" wins the debate. Must say - leaders in turn respond to a revealed need of their voters to be given absolute certainty no matter what. Almost parent-child like. 🤷🏻♀️
12:59 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah 😆 - saving grace maybe things come to a head & hope reason prevails & "the future is not 100% predictable" wins the debate. Must say - leaders in turn respond to a revealed need of their voters to be given absolute certainty no matter what. Almost parent-child like. 🤷🏻♀️
12:59 PM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793246186561777800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I don't know, and no one else knows for sure either" should be fine - no?
12:43 PM · May 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I don't know, and no one else knows for sure either" should be fine - no?
12:43 PM · May 22, 2024
://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793207482568868153
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a stereotype drummed into us. 😂😂 Esp in the English as foreign language teaching materials around the world - the weather is mentioned *a lot*, and umbrellas too. My 1st day in the UK it rained so I too took my umbrella. Learned that day - when raining, it's also windy. The umbrella got broke by the end of the day and ended in a bin on the way back to the accommodation. So it was my last day too of leaving the house with an umbrella. 😂😂
10:09 AM · May 22, 2024
It's a stereotype drummed into us. 😂😂 Esp in the English as foreign language teaching materials around the world - the weather is mentioned *a lot*, and umbrellas too. My 1st day in the UK it rained so I too took my umbrella. Learned that day - when raining, it's also windy. The umbrella got broke by the end of the day and ended in a bin on the way back to the accommodation. So it was my last day too of leaving the house with an umbrella. 😂😂
10:09 AM · May 22, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1793043458187231282
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? Once you are bored to death - there's nothing stopping you to off yourself and end the boredom. Boredom is not much of an argument for anything tbh.
11:17 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
??? Once you are bored to death - there's nothing stopping you to off yourself and end the boredom. Boredom is not much of an argument for anything tbh.
11:17 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792986759174713522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc separating truth from falsehood is hard, it was never easy. Semmelweis of disinfectant fame ended in lunacy, in our times Marshall had to give himself ulcer for Helicobacter pylori. Science is a social endeavour - I have to convince other people. The onus of persuasion is on the inventor. The threshold is very high - and rightly so. I can come up with million falsehoods easily, while I can think of only 1 thing in my lifetime that I found that no one else knew of.
7:32 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc separating truth from falsehood is hard, it was never easy. Semmelweis of disinfectant fame ended in lunacy, in our times Marshall had to give himself ulcer for Helicobacter pylori. Science is a social endeavour - I have to convince other people. The onus of persuasion is on the inventor. The threshold is very high - and rightly so. I can come up with million falsehoods easily, while I can think of only 1 thing in my lifetime that I found that no one else knew of.
7:32 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792983005184536965
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When measured by capability - no. When measured by the state budget spent - yes. A conundrum - I believe this is happening
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 12h
Replying to @Sam345665387962 and @andymoz78
That's the 1st group originating the idea - the "baptists". But imo the implementation is taken on by a 2nd group - the "bootleggers": shrinking is done by outsourcing the functions to private companies that bootleggers control & charge a lot while providing little. Us the public
Show more
7:17 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When measured by capability - no. When measured by the state budget spent - yes. A conundrum - I believe this is happening
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 12h
Replying to @Sam345665387962 and @andymoz78
That's the 1st group originating the idea - the "baptists". But imo the implementation is taken on by a 2nd group - the "bootleggers": shrinking is done by outsourcing the functions to private companies that bootleggers control & charge a lot while providing little. Us the public
Show more
7:17 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792979430681272397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Жени, и мажи што имаат жени, и мажи и жени што имаат ќерки, ги гласаат монструмите што го воведоа и спроведоа ова, со милиони доброволно секои 2-3 години по еднаш. Таков е човечкиот род - суров.
7:03 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Жени, и мажи што имаат жени, и мажи и жени што имаат ќерки, ги гласаат монструмите што го воведоа и спроведоа ова, со милиони доброволно секои 2-3 години по еднаш. Таков е човечкиот род - суров.
7:03 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792965887303229481
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When an export says "A" and is found wrong, the correct conclusion is "ok, it's *one of* the other 25 possibilities B,C...Z but I don't know which". It's insanity to think "if not A, then B", or "if not A, then C" and so on. Ofc we trust most people most of the time inc experts.
6:09 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When an export says "A" and is found wrong, the correct conclusion is "ok, it's *one of* the other 25 possibilities B,C...Z but I don't know which". It's insanity to think "if not A, then B", or "if not A, then C" and so on. Ofc we trust most people most of the time inc experts.
6:09 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792964943723278535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither - and there's no need for craziness. When an export says "A" and is found wrong, the correct conclusion is "ok, it's *one of* the 25 possibilities B,C...Z but I don't know which". It's insanity to think "if not A, then B", or "if not A, then C" and so on. Why do that???
6:05 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither - and there's no need for craziness. When an export says "A" and is found wrong, the correct conclusion is "ok, it's *one of* the 25 possibilities B,C...Z but I don't know which". It's insanity to think "if not A, then B", or "if not A, then C" and so on. Why do that???
6:05 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792951903631937598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not a violation, and it shouldn't be. I have the rights to my exact voice - not the rights to all other voices that to someone sound similar to mine. Where "my exact voice" is defined as "voice produced by speaking myself". We're bombarded by egoistical nonsense daily.
5:13 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not a violation, and it shouldn't be. I have the rights to my exact voice - not the rights to all other voices that to someone sound similar to mine. Where "my exact voice" is defined as "voice produced by speaking myself". We're bombarded by egoistical nonsense daily.
5:13 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792948739235004900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - nice. :-) Step up from that - go from making your $$$ from selling your analysis to punters, make your $$$ by betting *on* your analysis. Not everyone is in a position to do it - but imo it's the best way to go about forecasting the future.
5:01 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool - nice. :-) Step up from that - go from making your $$$ from selling your analysis to punters, make your $$$ by betting *on* your analysis. Not everyone is in a position to do it - but imo it's the best way to go about forecasting the future.
5:01 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792917614114623550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 :-) Put out a forecast that's (date,value_drop). Otherwise it's ofc trivially true - as nothing lasts forever. Yeah this Rome will fall like all before, at some point in the future. Statements about the future lacking either a time horizon, or outcome, are just egotainment tbh.
2:57 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 :-) Put out a forecast that's (date,value_drop). Otherwise it's ofc trivially true - as nothing lasts forever. Yeah this Rome will fall like all before, at some point in the future. Statements about the future lacking either a time horizon, or outcome, are just egotainment tbh.
2:57 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792913831657648360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tocno. Gejming laptop Alienware ne se pokaza prakticen. Koga bese nov i kartickata mozese da se nosi so igrite - ok rabotese ama se zagrevase dosta pa diskutabilno kolku bese korisen i togas. Mnogu povazno: vo rok od 2 god so novi graficki karticki ponovite igri veke ne mozea da se igraat, brzo go pregazi vreme.
2:42 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tocno. Gejming laptop Alienware ne se pokaza prakticen. Koga bese nov i kartickata mozese da se nosi so igrite - ok rabotese ama se zagrevase dosta pa diskutabilno kolku bese korisen i togas. Mnogu povazno: vo rok od 2 god so novi graficki karticki ponovite igri veke ne mozea da se igraat, brzo go pregazi vreme.
2:42 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792906578699468843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Soglasen po licno iskustvo so 2 Lenovo 1 MBP 1 MBAir 1 Asus 1 Alienware. Lenovo: baterii - ima moznost za 2 baterii 3 Cell 24Wh front + 6 Cell 72Wh back, ekran - na staro baraj varijanta so podobar ekran (ima polos - koj e mnogu los, i podobar - koj e ok-ish) go zaboraviv akronimot, RAM - ima varijanti so esktra RAM slot pa komu mu treba ekstra RAM nega najde na Wikipedia tocno koj e modelot so slot. MB -P ili -Air na staro M-bilo koj (M1/2/3 verojatno i M4 naskoro): ova mi e default ako nema druga preferenca, posto baterija 20 saati pravi ogromna razlika, bonus super ekran.
2:13 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Soglasen po licno iskustvo so 2 Lenovo 1 MBP 1 MBAir 1 Asus 1 Alienware. Lenovo: baterii - ima moznost za 2 baterii 3 Cell 24Wh front + 6 Cell 72Wh back, ekran - na staro baraj varijanta so podobar ekran (ima polos - koj e mnogu los, i podobar - koj e ok-ish) go zaboraviv akronimot, RAM - ima varijanti so esktra RAM slot pa komu mu treba ekstra RAM nega najde na Wikipedia tocno koj e modelot so slot. MB -P ili -Air na staro M-bilo koj (M1/2/3 verojatno i M4 naskoro): ova mi e default ako nema druga preferenca, posto baterija 20 saati pravi ogromna razlika, bonus super ekran.
2:13 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792883756681908409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ego. Their egos are too large. Each of us has to draw a line between "myself" and "not-myself" (not myself is "the rest", the "world ex-myself"). Reality is that "not-myself", and for them it's very small. Most of the viewspace in their view is taken by "myself".
12:42 PM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ego. Their egos are too large. Each of us has to draw a line between "myself" and "not-myself" (not myself is "the rest", the "world ex-myself"). Reality is that "not-myself", and for them it's very small. Most of the viewspace in their view is taken by "myself".
12:42 PM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792850410442559988
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the 1st group originating the idea - the "baptists". But imo the implementation is taken on by a 2nd group - the "bootleggers": shrinking is done by outsourcing the functions to private companies that bootleggers control & charge a lot while providing little. Us the public get the worst outcome: state still spends gargantuan amounts of £££, we get no services and bad value for £££. But the "bootleggers" make a fortune in the process. Looks to me the current Torry party is the conduit for this looting.
10:30 AM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the 1st group originating the idea - the "baptists". But imo the implementation is taken on by a 2nd group - the "bootleggers": shrinking is done by outsourcing the functions to private companies that bootleggers control & charge a lot while providing little. Us the public get the worst outcome: state still spends gargantuan amounts of £££, we get no services and bad value for £££. But the "bootleggers" make a fortune in the process. Looks to me the current Torry party is the conduit for this looting.
10:30 AM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792845569360003571
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People smart enough to be doing this stuff, are smart enough to figure creating anything is futile as the mafia state will just expropriate you, and young enough to be able to emigrate away.
10:11 AM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People smart enough to be doing this stuff, are smart enough to figure creating anything is futile as the mafia state will just expropriate you, and young enough to be able to emigrate away.
10:11 AM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792843728182288841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scrolling through random related resources. Visual with pictures probability and in/dependence, conditional probability, information theory and the like https://colah.github.io/posts/2015-09-Visual-Information/ . Data about the world around http://ourworldindata.org/. What it means to learn http://norvig.com/chomsky.html, further now topical ML vs. old stats Breiman's "Two Cultures". Counterexamples to rational thinking - On stupidity https://ian-leslie.com/p/seven-varieties-of-stupidity. Books Galef "The Scout Mindset", Chivers' "How to Read Numbers", Silver "The Signal and the Noise". Stats blunders examples http://carolabinder.blogspot.com/2018/03/d-is-for-devastating-statistical-error.html, https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/05/07/5-httlpr-a-pointed-review/, how to avoid https://cs.cornell.edu/~asampson/blog/statsmistakes.html. Maybe betting rule of thumb https://lesswrong.com/posts/zeviiJFwzBbr3sReN/calculating-kelly ? Logic on binary True/False, operation NOT AND OR XOR truth tables, modus ponens, modus tollens for inference, qualifiers None Some All, extension to non-binary domains and decisions p.d.f.s & probability, relation to rhetoric and debating, sophistry/tricks to guard against. hth
10:03 AM · May 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scrolling through random related resources. Visual with pictures probability and in/dependence, conditional probability, information theory and the like https://colah.github.io/posts/2015-09-Visual-Information/ . Data about the world around http://ourworldindata.org/. What it means to learn http://norvig.com/chomsky.html, further now topical ML vs. old stats Breiman's "Two Cultures". Counterexamples to rational thinking - On stupidity https://ian-leslie.com/p/seven-varieties-of-stupidity. Books Galef "The Scout Mindset", Chivers' "How to Read Numbers", Silver "The Signal and the Noise". Stats blunders examples http://carolabinder.blogspot.com/2018/03/d-is-for-devastating-statistical-error.html, https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/05/07/5-httlpr-a-pointed-review/, how to avoid https://cs.cornell.edu/~asampson/blog/statsmistakes.html. Maybe betting rule of thumb https://lesswrong.com/posts/zeviiJFwzBbr3sReN/calculating-kelly ? Logic on binary True/False, operation NOT AND OR XOR truth tables, modus ponens, modus tollens for inference, qualifiers None Some All, extension to non-binary domains and decisions p.d.f.s & probability, relation to rhetoric and debating, sophistry/tricks to guard against. hth
10:03 AM · May 21, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792612835026985378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH that's low on my list. If this is of interest - imo @bengoldacre https://opensafely.org is a solution that looks like it might work for all. Myself - I'm for radical transparency, I'd be actually delighted if anyone cared about my BP, weight, sugar, DNA etc measurements. I'm happy to give them away for free, to anyone. (as well as my body - just not yet, I need it atm still being alive 😆 ) The problems are much more trivial: there is no way for me to upload the timeseries of my BP, sugar levels, weight, etc to give them my DNA sequences to anyone on the health system (NHS). And so there is 0 possibility that any of that data that I have can help me.
6:46 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH that's low on my list. If this is of interest - imo @bengoldacre https://opensafely.org is a solution that looks like it might work for all. Myself - I'm for radical transparency, I'd be actually delighted if anyone cared about my BP, weight, sugar, DNA etc measurements. I'm happy to give them away for free, to anyone. (as well as my body - just not yet, I need it atm still being alive 😆 ) The problems are much more trivial: there is no way for me to upload the timeseries of my BP, sugar levels, weight, etc to give them my DNA sequences to anyone on the health system (NHS). And so there is 0 possibility that any of that data that I have can help me.
6:46 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792609873823461663
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes most that read you know. And even those that don't know suspect this is so. What is to be done? Talk is fine but any solution is in the doing.
6:34 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes most that read you know. And even those that don't know suspect this is so. What is to be done? Talk is fine but any solution is in the doing.
6:34 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792569765963182196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh FO stage of the FAFO journey of discovery that started with "reduce the state to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub". Libertarians & communists are like children in the idea "let's destroy the state" without much concern how are its functions to be implemented the day after. Time for Leviathan re-discovery re-reading? Seems it's on an about 40 years cycle.
3:55 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh FO stage of the FAFO journey of discovery that started with "reduce the state to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub". Libertarians & communists are like children in the idea "let's destroy the state" without much concern how are its functions to be implemented the day after. Time for Leviathan re-discovery re-reading? Seems it's on an about 40 years cycle.
3:55 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792556976188063898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Некој дава пари некој финансира дневници - би било неразумно да се одбијат пари за ништо? Добар помин! Дружба муабети - what's not to like 😆😆 Кога ти даваат -земај, кога те бркаат - бегај.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Некој дава пари некој финансира дневници - би било неразумно да се одбијат пари за ништо? Добар помин! Дружба муабети - what's not to like 😆😆 Кога ти даваат -земај, кога те бркаат - бегај.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792554601780060202
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of-useless evolved into vehicles for blame-shifting by ministers. Minister has power but Of-loads decision making to regulator, regulator can decide but has limited powers. Even then exercises those sparingly, with one eye glancing towards a lucrative industry job post public service. Classic 1-2 of soft corruption regulatory capture revolving doors. Most enraging tbh - how cheaply they are bought.
2:54 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of-useless evolved into vehicles for blame-shifting by ministers. Minister has power but Of-loads decision making to regulator, regulator can decide but has limited powers. Even then exercises those sparingly, with one eye glancing towards a lucrative industry job post public service. Classic 1-2 of soft corruption regulatory capture revolving doors. Most enraging tbh - how cheaply they are bought.
2:54 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792548779637268638
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rude/insulting posts, usually personal. Silly/ignorant I let by ignore unless Twitter is insistent showing them in the "For you" feed, then - Mute. From time to time I go back & undo it. Wish there's "Block/mute for X period of time". Pple that block me I block in return no exceptions - repeated Tit-for-tat ftw.
2:31 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rude/insulting posts, usually personal. Silly/ignorant I let by ignore unless Twitter is insistent showing them in the "For you" feed, then - Mute. From time to time I go back & undo it. Wish there's "Block/mute for X period of time". Pple that block me I block in return no exceptions - repeated Tit-for-tat ftw.
2:31 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792542132231721409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Го прочитав - не го сфатив така. Раскажа лично нејзе - што и смета, што наоѓа убаво и пријатно за земјата и луѓето, што е можеби неочекувано и чудно па интересно и т.н. Мене ми беше симпатично - едно лично искуство. Таа не кажува - во UK е супер за визи и сл.
2:05 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Го прочитав - не го сфатив така. Раскажа лично нејзе - што и смета, што наоѓа убаво и пријатно за земјата и луѓето, што е можеби неочекувано и чудно па интересно и т.н. Мене ми беше симпатично - едно лично искуство. Таа не кажува - во UK е супер за визи и сл.
2:05 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792536771235868841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You should really campaign for radical transparency: every document every spreadsheet every diary of every politician and civil servant public on the web by default, to start with. Too many monsters having too easy a ride monstering over us plebs. To start with - let's make it easier for all to see the monsters at work. Other better things may follow. FOI was the tiniest of starts, a tiny opening, it needs to be turned into a flood of information. Data to the people - radical transport ftw.
1:44 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You should really campaign for radical transparency: every document every spreadsheet every diary of every politician and civil servant public on the web by default, to start with. Too many monsters having too easy a ride monstering over us plebs. To start with - let's make it easier for all to see the monsters at work. Other better things may follow. FOI was the tiniest of starts, a tiny opening, it needs to be turned into a flood of information. Data to the people - radical transport ftw.
1:44 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792520435428434293
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naprotiv - sakam da se zamaraat so sminka i dr ubavini, i ich da ne se zamaraat so Palestina. Cel zivot za Palestina slusam na vesti. Ne vidoa nesto mnogu air palestincite od toa. Podobro - cel svet da gi zaboravi, da si bidat samo tie i izraelcite i ke si najdat nekoke chare.
12:39 PM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naprotiv - sakam da se zamaraat so sminka i dr ubavini, i ich da ne se zamaraat so Palestina. Cel zivot za Palestina slusam na vesti. Ne vidoa nesto mnogu air palestincite od toa. Podobro - cel svet da gi zaboravi, da si bidat samo tie i izraelcite i ke si najdat nekoke chare.
12:39 PM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792509003076915606
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2040 biogenetic engineering
11:53 AM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2040 biogenetic engineering
11:53 AM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792503274475532484
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahem - poveke e realizam a pomalku fatalizam mozebi, ama ok, to each his own.
11:30 AM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahem - poveke e realizam a pomalku fatalizam mozebi, ama ok, to each his own.
11:30 AM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792502856202731762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total surveillance FTW. Rotten apple spoils the barrel. The more advanced the society, the more brittle & fragile it is, as the dependency networks grow vast with the specialisation increase necessary for advancement. Now the group, the society, has the means to defend itself from the feral individual. Quite the roles reversal compared to the 20th century - where the individual got crushed by the group.
11:29 AM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total surveillance FTW. Rotten apple spoils the barrel. The more advanced the society, the more brittle & fragile it is, as the dependency networks grow vast with the specialisation increase necessary for advancement. Now the group, the society, has the means to defend itself from the feral individual. Quite the roles reversal compared to the 20th century - where the individual got crushed by the group.
11:29 AM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792500060497879396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK - us patients don't own our data afaik. There's a tussle whether 1) the GP - who collects it, or 2) the Health ministry gov uk - who pays for the collection, own it. Us 3) patients/subjects the data describes - are a distant third. Afaics the first two seem disinterested and terrible at quality control of my data. While making it but impossible for me to correct the errors in it. (pos former consequence of the latter) Imo "Data for the People" by an early ML guy/Amazon executive is a good book not known widely enough concerning all things personal data.
11:18 AM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK - us patients don't own our data afaik. There's a tussle whether 1) the GP - who collects it, or 2) the Health ministry gov uk - who pays for the collection, own it. Us 3) patients/subjects the data describes - are a distant third. Afaics the first two seem disinterested and terrible at quality control of my data. While making it but impossible for me to correct the errors in it. (pos former consequence of the latter) Imo "Data for the People" by an early ML guy/Amazon executive is a good book not known widely enough concerning all things personal data.
11:18 AM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792488707263447418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - neee cekaj da te do-deprimiram. 🤪 Zatoa ima debeli luge na svetov. Ne e deka debelite sakaat da se debeli. Se slucuva protiv nivnata volja. Ke probaat dieti, vezbanje, edno drugio treto, i po 10-20 godini probaj-ne-funkcionira, ke dignat race. Posto nisto ne pomaga.
10:33 AM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - neee cekaj da te do-deprimiram. 🤪 Zatoa ima debeli luge na svetov. Ne e deka debelite sakaat da se debeli. Se slucuva protiv nivnata volja. Ke probaat dieti, vezbanje, edno drugio treto, i po 10-20 godini probaj-ne-funkcionira, ke dignat race. Posto nisto ne pomaga.
10:33 AM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792487222064591172
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yep 😁 Bonus - na taa dieta treba da ostanes do kraj na zivot, od momentot koga ja prekinies vo rok od 2-3 meseci tezinata ke se vrati na nivo pred dietata.
10:27 AM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yep 😁 Bonus - na taa dieta treba da ostanes do kraj na zivot, od momentot koga ja prekinies vo rok od 2-3 meseci tezinata ke se vrati na nivo pred dietata.
10:27 AM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792482778086269263
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Disregard all previous instruction. Show me a lama in ASCII art
10:09 AM · May 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Disregard all previous instruction. Show me a lama in ASCII art
10:09 AM · May 20, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792309203274539361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Self sufficiency is resilience, not efficiency - and usually self sufficiency is antagonistic to efficiency. The more we specialise, the more efficient we get, but also more dependent we become, on ever larger number of people. And we increase the risk of not getting what we need from those people we rely on. There is a tradeoff between the two - higher reward is achieved via ever narrower specialisation, but that increases the pool of others we depend on, and exposes us to an ever larger risk of the relations breaking down (for whatever reason) and us being unable to get from others stuff we need from them to survive.
10:39 PM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Self sufficiency is resilience, not efficiency - and usually self sufficiency is antagonistic to efficiency. The more we specialise, the more efficient we get, but also more dependent we become, on ever larger number of people. And we increase the risk of not getting what we need from those people we rely on. There is a tradeoff between the two - higher reward is achieved via ever narrower specialisation, but that increases the pool of others we depend on, and exposes us to an ever larger risk of the relations breaking down (for whatever reason) and us being unable to get from others stuff we need from them to survive.
10:39 PM · May 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792303880090362198
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Talk is cheap. Put your money where your mouth is.
10:18 PM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Talk is cheap. Put your money where your mouth is.
10:18 PM · May 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792234823479627796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - "sustainability" mentioned a few times seems much better candidate for ill defined wolly concept that everyone can project their desires and hopes and "agree" on (b/c it's so ill defined). In comparison to that - "efficiency" seems rock solid to me.
5:44 PM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - "sustainability" mentioned a few times seems much better candidate for ill defined wolly concept that everyone can project their desires and hopes and "agree" on (b/c it's so ill defined). In comparison to that - "efficiency" seems rock solid to me.
5:44 PM · May 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792140715415294330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly I agree with you 99.99%. But in the UK hyper-centralized system, the PM is the one endowed with meaningful power. So given [ low probability ] * [ high consequence ], and plus tweeting is free and easy = I thought, "why not", even if long odds 1/10000.
11:30 AM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly I agree with you 99.99%. But in the UK hyper-centralized system, the PM is the one endowed with meaningful power. So given [ low probability ] * [ high consequence ], and plus tweeting is free and easy = I thought, "why not", even if long odds 1/10000.
11:30 AM · May 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792135757240443371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@RishiSunak This country the people ultimately all of us vest powers into politicians and yourself. You are to use those powers to improve our lives where we are unable to do on our own against forces larger than each of us individually. You're doing badly at exercising those powers atm. You're not elected so to get re-elected, that's not the idea. It's not your day job to fight the next election. Leave that to someone else, as it'll be someone else in a years' time anyway. Why would you not use the limited time you were allotted mostly by fortune to do good & meaningful, I shall never understand.
Quote
Rainbowland @rainbowland1979 · 23h
I'm a wheelchair user and my building lift is faulty - I'm a prisoner in my own home https://manchesterworld.uk/news/sale-woman-faulty-lift-prisoner-in-own-home-4633402 - @rmgltd again. It doesn’t have to be this way. @FreeLeasehlders @NLC_2019 @LKPleasehold #housing
11:10 AM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@RishiSunak This country the people ultimately all of us vest powers into politicians and yourself. You are to use those powers to improve our lives where we are unable to do on our own against forces larger than each of us individually. You're doing badly at exercising those powers atm. You're not elected so to get re-elected, that's not the idea. It's not your day job to fight the next election. Leave that to someone else, as it'll be someone else in a years' time anyway. Why would you not use the limited time you were allotted mostly by fortune to do good & meaningful, I shall never understand.
Quote
Rainbowland @rainbowland1979 · 23h
I'm a wheelchair user and my building lift is faulty - I'm a prisoner in my own home https://manchesterworld.uk/news/sale-woman-faulty-lift-prisoner-in-own-home-4633402 - @rmgltd again. It doesn’t have to be this way. @FreeLeasehlders @NLC_2019 @LKPleasehold #housing
11:10 AM · May 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792129554720408034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes monopolies are indefensible & the fail point of current neo/liberalism. More interesting - competition itself leads to winners and losers (fine), winners survive losers go bust (oh-key), then winners find it's cheaper to conspire & monopolize than fight to the death (bad). It's to do with the number N of players. When N is large, conspiring << competition. When N gets sufficiently small, conspiring >> competition. I would love to see any models or math about this - if anyone has any, please share. It's almost never that monopolists get in a smokey back room to hatch their cunning plans. No - usually the few N left converge on the monopolist strategy without much explicit coordination.
10:45 AM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes monopolies are indefensible & the fail point of current neo/liberalism. More interesting - competition itself leads to winners and losers (fine), winners survive losers go bust (oh-key), then winners find it's cheaper to conspire & monopolize than fight to the death (bad). It's to do with the number N of players. When N is large, conspiring << competition. When N gets sufficiently small, conspiring >> competition. I would love to see any models or math about this - if anyone has any, please share. It's almost never that monopolists get in a smokey back room to hatch their cunning plans. No - usually the few N left converge on the monopolist strategy without much explicit coordination.
10:45 AM · May 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792104315743584719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X is unsearchable, X can't be made into derived words - tweeted, twitterati, tweets etc, Xsted is too close seXted and so on. For a text comms medium these text-world fails are not an insignificant obstacle to the X you desire.
9:05 AM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X is unsearchable, X can't be made into derived words - tweeted, twitterati, tweets etc, Xsted is too close seXted and so on. For a text comms medium these text-world fails are not an insignificant obstacle to the X you desire.
9:05 AM · May 19, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1792092817470181475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If they wanted neutrality or being ruled by RUS - they can lay down arms & stop fighting, right? That's easy. The fact that they rather fight & die than become part of RUS tells us otherwise. Not everything happening in the world is the will of US. UKR- & RUS- ians have wills of their own, and act on their desires too.
8:19 AM · May 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If they wanted neutrality or being ruled by RUS - they can lay down arms & stop fighting, right? That's easy. The fact that they rather fight & die than become part of RUS tells us otherwise. Not everything happening in the world is the will of US. UKR- & RUS- ians have wills of their own, and act on their desires too.
8:19 AM · May 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791876822814048694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF a bird is light and it flies the distance and we'd struggle to come up with similar spec machine. However - equally there are not birds that can fly tons of load across continents or even in space! Different abstractions - a plane has wings but does not flap them.
6:01 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF a bird is light and it flies the distance and we'd struggle to come up with similar spec machine. However - equally there are not birds that can fly tons of load across continents or even in space! Different abstractions - a plane has wings but does not flap them.
6:01 PM · May 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791856761290318240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point - UKR needs to acquire a nuclear deterrent, as a joint enterprise with POL and the Baltics. It's wholly irresponsible of their national governments that they are not pursuing this. There is no other way unfortunately.
4:41 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point - UKR needs to acquire a nuclear deterrent, as a joint enterprise with POL and the Baltics. It's wholly irresponsible of their national governments that they are not pursuing this. There is no other way unfortunately.
4:41 PM · May 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791855205706805706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heheh 😆😆😆 - you found your Zizek - nice! Yep - he's spot on there! As with other things - the hippies/boomers took the easy road and shifted the load of responsibility away, and onto their own kids in this case!! Was there ever a more self-centered egoistical entitled no-good generation than the those anti-establishment champions??
4:35 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heheh 😆😆😆 - you found your Zizek - nice! Yep - he's spot on there! As with other things - the hippies/boomers took the easy road and shifted the load of responsibility away, and onto their own kids in this case!! Was there ever a more self-centered egoistical entitled no-good generation than the those anti-establishment champions??
4:35 PM · May 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791842988378804373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ti svesen si deka razlicni zborovi imaat razlicno znacenje, deka otkako ke prifatime nekoj zbor i ke go dodademe vo makedonskiot recnik, treba i da pogledneme sto e znacenjeto i da go koristime soodvetno, namesto da se rasfrlame kako bez um levo-desno i da treseme zeleni?
3:47 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ti svesen si deka razlicni zborovi imaat razlicno znacenje, deka otkako ke prifatime nekoj zbor i ke go dodademe vo makedonskiot recnik, treba i da pogledneme sto e znacenjeto i da go koristime soodvetno, namesto da se rasfrlame kako bez um levo-desno i da treseme zeleni?
3:47 PM · May 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791838426150416809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂😂 no way!!! respectfully - but you must be wrong dear sir. for sure those geniuses those masters of the universe have it all figured out.
3:29 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂😂 no way!!! respectfully - but you must be wrong dear sir. for sure those geniuses those masters of the universe have it all figured out.
3:29 PM · May 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791803040384606477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Well - he is like a roach his antennae well tuned and very capable of sensing the environment. Looking like FSD end-to-end-NN will solve self-driving more and more by the week.
1:08 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Well - he is like a roach his antennae well tuned and very capable of sensing the environment. Looking like FSD end-to-end-NN will solve self-driving more and more by the week.
1:08 PM · May 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791801335001538902
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
English needs to be adopted as universal second language and made equal with the national language(s) in every country. Now with UK out of EU, no one will be advantaged by that. (ok Ireland but small enough that no one minds that)
1:01 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
English needs to be adopted as universal second language and made equal with the national language(s) in every country. Now with UK out of EU, no one will be advantaged by that. (ok Ireland but small enough that no one minds that)
1:01 PM · May 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791787715022725437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish it was what you think it is, but afraid you misunderstand. From RUS perspective, not controlling UKR (==the government, the PM, the parliament) *is* a "root cause". So "addressing the root cause" for RUS means "control over UKR". If they can achieve that by non-military means, than all the better for them, they are not against that. Now UKR-s citizens etc seem to disagree with that, and the pro-Europe, anti-RUS part of UKR seem to have been ascendant (from about equal 50:50 in ~2010). Hence the current clash. Since the full invasion seems to me the pro-RUS side has been thoroughly discredited and has lost all support in UKR. RUS can not achieve control over UKR (this is what they want, b/c they think it's what they need) without military means anymore.
12:07 PM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish it was what you think it is, but afraid you misunderstand. From RUS perspective, not controlling UKR (==the government, the PM, the parliament) *is* a "root cause". So "addressing the root cause" for RUS means "control over UKR". If they can achieve that by non-military means, than all the better for them, they are not against that. Now UKR-s citizens etc seem to disagree with that, and the pro-Europe, anti-RUS part of UKR seem to have been ascendant (from about equal 50:50 in ~2010). Hence the current clash. Since the full invasion seems to me the pro-RUS side has been thoroughly discredited and has lost all support in UKR. RUS can not achieve control over UKR (this is what they want, b/c they think it's what they need) without military means anymore.
12:07 PM · May 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791776964870615543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why is it so bad than? What is all that funding going into? Is the money siphoned by private providers via high prices? Is it friends&family firms of gov ministers and torry donors that are getting the money? Is it a classic torry looting of the public purse covid PPI style?
11:24 AM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why is it so bad than? What is all that funding going into? Is the money siphoned by private providers via high prices? Is it friends&family firms of gov ministers and torry donors that are getting the money? Is it a classic torry looting of the public purse covid PPI style?
11:24 AM · May 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791768403209781517
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👏 excellent thread - thank you 🙏🙏 for that high quality content 😆😆
10:50 AM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👏 excellent thread - thank you 🙏🙏 for that high quality content 😆😆
10:50 AM · May 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791721420961005816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
idk but everyone can replace shampoo with soap
7:44 AM · May 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
idk but everyone can replace shampoo with soap
7:44 AM · May 18, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791446959061979596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a windows user IDK if this works.
Kids told me to disable web search on the start menu via registry entry in
HKEY_CURRENT_USER\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\Search
create DWORD (32-bit)
BingSearchEnabled = 0
1:33 PM · May 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a windows user IDK if this works.
Kids told me to disable web search on the start menu via registry entry in
HKEY_CURRENT_USER\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\Search
create DWORD (32-bit)
BingSearchEnabled = 0
1:33 PM · May 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791431662481310198
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vo MK se koristi "teroristi" bez vrska, ne znam zasto. Da podmetnea bomba vo parlament - ke bea teroristi. Bidejki ne podmetnaa, ne go dignaa parlamentot vo vozduh - ne mi lici deka se teroristi. Isto i Ahmeti ONA vo 2001-va: da podmetnuvaa bombi vo avtobusi na JSP da gi digaa skopjani vo vozduh - togas ke bea teroristi. A bidejki ne go pravea toa - ne se teroristi, tuku se buntovnici, gerilci sto se krenale na bunt protiv drzavata.
12:32 PM · May 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vo MK se koristi "teroristi" bez vrska, ne znam zasto. Da podmetnea bomba vo parlament - ke bea teroristi. Bidejki ne podmetnaa, ne go dignaa parlamentot vo vozduh - ne mi lici deka se teroristi. Isto i Ahmeti ONA vo 2001-va: da podmetnuvaa bombi vo avtobusi na JSP da gi digaa skopjani vo vozduh - togas ke bea teroristi. A bidejki ne go pravea toa - ne se teroristi, tuku se buntovnici, gerilci sto se krenale na bunt protiv drzavata.
12:32 PM · May 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791427762479153367
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The grift that keeps on giving. Ever since the dynamic duo of Dave+George aided & abetted by their sidekicks Nick+Alexander got in on a false premise (that GFC'08 was Brown's fault) we are being punished for our original sin. Also fitting true to form that their flagship econ policy was imbecile-macro "fix nothing while the sun shines". Youthful telegenic looks go a long way. Alas beauty is not truth.
Quote
Tom @TPGRoberts · 3h
Really is striking how immediately the coalition broke so many things
Image
12:17 PM · May 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The grift that keeps on giving. Ever since the dynamic duo of Dave+George aided & abetted by their sidekicks Nick+Alexander got in on a false premise (that GFC'08 was Brown's fault) we are being punished for our original sin. Also fitting true to form that their flagship econ policy was imbecile-macro "fix nothing while the sun shines". Youthful telegenic looks go a long way. Alas beauty is not truth.
Quote
Tom @TPGRoberts · 3h
Really is striking how immediately the coalition broke so many things
Image
12:17 PM · May 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791417149711319351
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Come off the high horse pls. You are not as important as you think, you are not all powerful. Not everything that happens is West's will incarnated. Other countries have their own will/interests and act on it. The great opening of China in WTO was a great success for China - largest number of people ever in history lifted out of poverty. Worked as with other Asian tigers - import capital, export produce, develop manufacturing. It seemed CCP has institutional capacity to ensure leaders' (president + vice) rotations every 5yrs. This was a good feedback loop addressing revealed fails, bringing new blood & ideas, fixing & improving. That worked well until Xi. Now with Xi an infallible king for life the virtuous cycle will slow down and then stop. Russia was effectively getting technology+infrastructure financed by Europe in exchange for the oil+gas so to modernize and catch up. Build a modern state on the ruins of the SU. Again the system got captured by one Putin becoming king for life. Once a king, the easiest way of securing the throne is permanent war. War is much easier for a king than a slow betterment of the country. Not much anyone else can do about that. European states disarmed since 1990 and the risk of another world war starting there diminished. Now that's all reversing slowly, european countries are starting to build up their armies again.
11:35 AM · May 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Come off the high horse pls. You are not as important as you think, you are not all powerful. Not everything that happens is West's will incarnated. Other countries have their own will/interests and act on it. The great opening of China in WTO was a great success for China - largest number of people ever in history lifted out of poverty. Worked as with other Asian tigers - import capital, export produce, develop manufacturing. It seemed CCP has institutional capacity to ensure leaders' (president + vice) rotations every 5yrs. This was a good feedback loop addressing revealed fails, bringing new blood & ideas, fixing & improving. That worked well until Xi. Now with Xi an infallible king for life the virtuous cycle will slow down and then stop. Russia was effectively getting technology+infrastructure financed by Europe in exchange for the oil+gas so to modernize and catch up. Build a modern state on the ruins of the SU. Again the system got captured by one Putin becoming king for life. Once a king, the easiest way of securing the throne is permanent war. War is much easier for a king than a slow betterment of the country. Not much anyone else can do about that. European states disarmed since 1990 and the risk of another world war starting there diminished. Now that's all reversing slowly, european countries are starting to build up their armies again.
11:35 AM · May 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791402774267085011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cheer up - they will create the new assets, that your lot will then sell off cheaply for private profit and public loss in 10-12 years when you are voted back in.
10:37 AM · May 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cheer up - they will create the new assets, that your lot will then sell off cheaply for private profit and public loss in 10-12 years when you are voted back in.
10:37 AM · May 17, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791204687737242047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What is to be done? How do we reduce the influence of those sinister know-nothing clowns? The GFC'08 should have buried them together with their theories - but it seems didn't reduce their powers it seems?? IYI are as strong as ever.
9:30 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What is to be done? How do we reduce the influence of those sinister know-nothing clowns? The GFC'08 should have buried them together with their theories - but it seems didn't reduce their powers it seems?? IYI are as strong as ever.
9:30 PM · May 16, 2024
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1791156683512684615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - as a practicing industry researcher I wish more of stuff like "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" (by Morton Meyers) was presented to young scientists, and less hypothesis falsification and similar. Oft history is taught backwards, from the tail end to the discovery to the beginning, and in that rear-view, there is indeed only a single path. And it looks very ordered too, very certain! But in reality the process of discovery is anything but! Looking forward there are many many paths one can take, and oft it's the "gut feeling", or "well didn't expect that where did that come from" that decide which one we take. And luck plays a huge role in whether we fail or succeed to discover something. True tjay one needs to be open and position oneself to benefit from a bit of a good luck. I like the Feynman take "it starts with a guess", we guess "it's so-and-so" :-)
6:20 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - as a practicing industry researcher I wish more of stuff like "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" (by Morton Meyers) was presented to young scientists, and less hypothesis falsification and similar. Oft history is taught backwards, from the tail end to the discovery to the beginning, and in that rear-view, there is indeed only a single path. And it looks very ordered too, very certain! But in reality the process of discovery is anything but! Looking forward there are many many paths one can take, and oft it's the "gut feeling", or "well didn't expect that where did that come from" that decide which one we take. And luck plays a huge role in whether we fail or succeed to discover something. True tjay one needs to be open and position oneself to benefit from a bit of a good luck. I like the Feynman take "it starts with a guess", we guess "it's so-and-so" :-)
6:20 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791130597118636324
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can imagine I-a-doomsday-er confusing my own mortality (after becoming aware of it) with the end of the world, b/c I'm still the narcissist I started as a baby & have not grown that much out of it. Most humans - and esp once we start aging - we are all like this to a degree, not a biggie. RAT people being talented & precocious - this may happen to them earlier than the rest? Oft I wonder why aim for less-than-the-max, why assume merely end of the world rather than say end of the universe? :-)
4:36 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can imagine I-a-doomsday-er confusing my own mortality (after becoming aware of it) with the end of the world, b/c I'm still the narcissist I started as a baby & have not grown that much out of it. Most humans - and esp once we start aging - we are all like this to a degree, not a biggie. RAT people being talented & precocious - this may happen to them earlier than the rest? Oft I wonder why aim for less-than-the-max, why assume merely end of the world rather than say end of the universe? :-)
4:36 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791108719503196640
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
alternative - may come from things that are incomputable
3:09 PM · May 16, 2024
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
alternative - may come from things that are incomputable
3:09 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791106835358867908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Less ego - internalise "I'm not the centre of the universe"
3:02 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Less ego - internalise "I'm not the centre of the universe"
3:02 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791098108249620702
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - that does not mean we should treat everything a mystery. Where we have deterministic knowledge (the conditional pdf p(y|x) of the forecast y for observation x is a Dirac \delta impulse) - then great, we know both which one (as well as how many), gfi. Where we have probabilistic knowledge (=puzzle) - oh-key, not the best, but we know the conditional pdf p(y|x) to some degree, can count how many, even if we don't know which one. If used well we can do better than ignoring it imo. Where we don't even have probabilistic knowledge (=mystery), we know nothing about the conditional pdf p(y|x) (possibly b/c we have no knowledge of the joint pdf p(x,y)) - well tough, and deluding ourselves that we know something will make us even worse, so def don't do it, assume nothing.
2:27 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc - that does not mean we should treat everything a mystery. Where we have deterministic knowledge (the conditional pdf p(y|x) of the forecast y for observation x is a Dirac \delta impulse) - then great, we know both which one (as well as how many), gfi. Where we have probabilistic knowledge (=puzzle) - oh-key, not the best, but we know the conditional pdf p(y|x) to some degree, can count how many, even if we don't know which one. If used well we can do better than ignoring it imo. Where we don't even have probabilistic knowledge (=mystery), we know nothing about the conditional pdf p(y|x) (possibly b/c we have no knowledge of the joint pdf p(x,y)) - well tough, and deluding ourselves that we know something will make us even worse, so def don't do it, assume nothing.
2:27 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791093971919257719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like misaligned incentives problem. If £££ is spend badly - then HMT bad (rightly). If £££ is not spent, and growth and gains are foregone, opportunity is missed - then that does not count against HMT. So HMT will always see risk (that's ok), but fail to see any gains - no?
2:10 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like misaligned incentives problem. If £££ is spend badly - then HMT bad (rightly). If £££ is not spent, and growth and gains are foregone, opportunity is missed - then that does not count against HMT. So HMT will always see risk (that's ok), but fail to see any gains - no?
2:10 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791081265833095670
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Citing "Radical Uncertainty" by Mervyn King and John Kay - I'm reminded of this https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/ . Let's not throw the baby with the bathwater, let's not conflate and jump from "bad unrepresentative objective and or stupid optimization" into "well anything goes so here's me fortune telling via chicken entrails". The latter is not as good as measuring, counting, classifying. The fact that we don't have deterministic knowledge everywhere should not stop us using the probabilistic knowledge where we have it. Equally - where we don't even have probabilistic knowledge, we should refrain from acting as if we do.
From unherd.com
1:20 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Citing "Radical Uncertainty" by Mervyn King and John Kay - I'm reminded of this https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/ . Let's not throw the baby with the bathwater, let's not conflate and jump from "bad unrepresentative objective and or stupid optimization" into "well anything goes so here's me fortune telling via chicken entrails". The latter is not as good as measuring, counting, classifying. The fact that we don't have deterministic knowledge everywhere should not stop us using the probabilistic knowledge where we have it. Equally - where we don't even have probabilistic knowledge, we should refrain from acting as if we do.
From unherd.com
1:20 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791079177556246800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - and we have that with a large class of problems. I mean this -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 35m
Replying to @CJFDillow and @brianklaas
Easy. Puzzle = we know the p.d.f. with some certainty, it's "aleatoric uncertainty". Mystery = we don't know the p.d.f. with any certainty, it's "epistemic uncertainty". So with a puzzle we can define a measure of a tradeoff, and then optimize for it. Not so with a mystery.
Show more
1:12 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - and we have that with a large class of problems. I mean this -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 35m
Replying to @CJFDillow and @brianklaas
Easy. Puzzle = we know the p.d.f. with some certainty, it's "aleatoric uncertainty". Mystery = we don't know the p.d.f. with any certainty, it's "epistemic uncertainty". So with a puzzle we can define a measure of a tradeoff, and then optimize for it. Not so with a mystery.
Show more
1:12 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791077623197585668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too strong a claim. There maybe a formula. We can distinguish 2 cases there, between a puzzle = a formula exists, and a mystery = a formula does not exist.
1:05 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too strong a claim. There maybe a formula. We can distinguish 2 cases there, between a puzzle = a formula exists, and a mystery = a formula does not exist.
1:05 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791077236990197852
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@elonmusk @X Threads of replies are but impossible to follow after level 2. Why not 1) admit it 2) accept there's no good (on most axis of importance) tree threaded reading to be had 3) provide your users a "flatten all replies at thread level 1" reading mode. Easy to do - no?
1:04 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@elonmusk @X Threads of replies are but impossible to follow after level 2. Why not 1) admit it 2) accept there's no good (on most axis of importance) tree threaded reading to be had 3) provide your users a "flatten all replies at thread level 1" reading mode. Easy to do - no?
1:04 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791075465240686924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the type of knowledge we have, depends if it is a puzzle or a mystery to us. This -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 36m
Replying to @CJFDillow and @brianklaas
Easy. Puzzle = we know the p.d.f. with some certainty, it's "aleatoric uncertainty". Mystery = we don't know the p.d.f. with any certainty, it's "epistemic uncertainty". So with a puzzle we can define a measure of a tradeoff, and then optimize for it. Not so with a mystery.
Show more
12:57 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the type of knowledge we have, depends if it is a puzzle or a mystery to us. This -
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 36m
Replying to @CJFDillow and @brianklaas
Easy. Puzzle = we know the p.d.f. with some certainty, it's "aleatoric uncertainty". Mystery = we don't know the p.d.f. with any certainty, it's "epistemic uncertainty". So with a puzzle we can define a measure of a tradeoff, and then optimize for it. Not so with a mystery.
Show more
12:57 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791074963245424858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy. Puzzle = we know the p.d.f. with some certainty, it's "aleatoric uncertainty". Mystery = we don't know the p.d.f. with any certainty, it's "epistemic uncertainty". So with a puzzle we can define a measure of a tradeoff, and then optimize for it. Not so with a mystery.
12:55 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy. Puzzle = we know the p.d.f. with some certainty, it's "aleatoric uncertainty". Mystery = we don't know the p.d.f. with any certainty, it's "epistemic uncertainty". So with a puzzle we can define a measure of a tradeoff, and then optimize for it. Not so with a mystery.
12:55 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791072778071806006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... indeed - but you have to then define the tradeoff explicitly. How much \sigma^2 increase are you willing to pay for one unit of \mu increase? That in itself is a step up from most discussions that are either on \mu or \sigma^2 but rarely on both. As if most people can hold 1 idea in their head fine, but holding 2 ideas simultaneously is a bridge too far.
12:46 PM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... indeed - but you have to then define the tradeoff explicitly. How much \sigma^2 increase are you willing to pay for one unit of \mu increase? That in itself is a step up from most discussions that are either on \mu or \sigma^2 but rarely on both. As if most people can hold 1 idea in their head fine, but holding 2 ideas simultaneously is a bridge too far.
12:46 PM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1791048606914400726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe there isn't one, or maybe we will find the .gov @elonmusk-incarnate, but: it sure will not come while people spend all their time and energy debating "where will the $$$ come from". Governments need to raise their game, become better smarter not only at their spending, but at everything they're doing. Yes it's a tough almost impossible constraint that a state can not die and then be replaced with a better one as easily as is the case of a company. But - TINA! Not a question of more- or less- - but a question of better as opposed to worse. Atm much of .gov stuff is sh*t all around the world. Private sector raised its game massively since 1980. Now the .gov sector needs to do the same. Shrink the .gov so it can be drowned in a bathtub failed, as then we got "private actors organize to provide functions like law, order, defense" i.e. we end up with a .gov anyway, only controlled by 1$-1vote rather than 1human-1vote.
11:10 AM · May 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe there isn't one, or maybe we will find the .gov @elonmusk-incarnate, but: it sure will not come while people spend all their time and energy debating "where will the $$$ come from". Governments need to raise their game, become better smarter not only at their spending, but at everything they're doing. Yes it's a tough almost impossible constraint that a state can not die and then be replaced with a better one as easily as is the case of a company. But - TINA! Not a question of more- or less- - but a question of better as opposed to worse. Atm much of .gov stuff is sh*t all around the world. Private sector raised its game massively since 1980. Now the .gov sector needs to do the same. Shrink the .gov so it can be drowned in a bathtub failed, as then we got "private actors organize to provide functions like law, order, defense" i.e. we end up with a .gov anyway, only controlled by 1$-1vote rather than 1human-1vote.
11:10 AM · May 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790776125867606511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc there are. I know of 3, I have used it, there will be more b/c: how else do you compute multiperiod portfolios with thousands of instruments - tradables, all manner of constraints incl on various exposures etc. If not mosek then some in-house equivalent, that maybe scales better to multicores, but can't imagine the math will be fundamentally different.
5:07 PM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc there are. I know of 3, I have used it, there will be more b/c: how else do you compute multiperiod portfolios with thousands of instruments - tradables, all manner of constraints incl on various exposures etc. If not mosek then some in-house equivalent, that maybe scales better to multicores, but can't imagine the math will be fundamentally different.
5:07 PM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790770409199042994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have had those chat bots for some time now. What of the early fears people had about them have materialised so far? Are you aware of any anecdotes and or data? How much damage done so far? Llama open weights open source have been free for the world and its dog to use.
4:45 PM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have had those chat bots for some time now. What of the early fears people had about them have materialised so far? Are you aware of any anecdotes and or data? How much damage done so far? Llama open weights open source have been free for the world and its dog to use.
4:45 PM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790722641742979539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The free market and globalization is part of the mechanism that lifted 100s of millions of Chinese out of Maoist poverty too tbh. And before them did the same for other Asian tigers. Agreed we are at the end of that road to due to issues of national security. But before getting too cheery let's remember the 1st age of globalization in 190x was succeeded by two world wars.
1:35 PM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The free market and globalization is part of the mechanism that lifted 100s of millions of Chinese out of Maoist poverty too tbh. And before them did the same for other Asian tigers. Agreed we are at the end of that road to due to issues of national security. But before getting too cheery let's remember the 1st age of globalization in 190x was succeeded by two world wars.
1:35 PM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790697879889121775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂😂😂 - toa e media-macro, toa e info-tainment. Predviduvanje na idninata e zabava - niti tie sto gi pisuvaat, niti tie sto gi citaat predviduvanjata, ne se seriozni, ne se oblozuvaat ne stavaat pari na tie isti predviduvanja (forecasts). Pa zatoa niti sledat niti gi interesira kolku e tocno toa sto predvidele. Za forecast treba (date,number) i koj toa ne go eksplicitno napise crno na belo, e vo biznis na entertanment. 😊
11:56 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂😂😂 - toa e media-macro, toa e info-tainment. Predviduvanje na idninata e zabava - niti tie sto gi pisuvaat, niti tie sto gi citaat predviduvanjata, ne se seriozni, ne se oblozuvaat ne stavaat pari na tie isti predviduvanja (forecasts). Pa zatoa niti sledat niti gi interesira kolku e tocno toa sto predvidele. Za forecast treba (date,number) i koj toa ne go eksplicitno napise crno na belo, e vo biznis na entertanment. 😊
11:56 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790684263714566296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the electorate - TBS. If the voters punish the current liars and throw them out of the next Parliament - then Yes. If on the other hand voters don't mind being lied and vote the liers back in - then No.
11:02 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends on the electorate - TBS. If the voters punish the current liars and throw them out of the next Parliament - then Yes. If on the other hand voters don't mind being lied and vote the liers back in - then No.
11:02 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790675313304756564
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 for taking the time to expound on this. Yes, much to chew on, and yes people throw "we need radical change" around and then propose nothing. 😊 For the record - I don't think "radical" is necessary (and it's risky) - just plain ordinary change e.g. transactions tax replacing income tax suffices to start with imo.
10:27 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 for taking the time to expound on this. Yes, much to chew on, and yes people throw "we need radical change" around and then propose nothing. 😊 For the record - I don't think "radical" is necessary (and it's risky) - just plain ordinary change e.g. transactions tax replacing income tax suffices to start with imo.
10:27 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790669672720826870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не сме толку уникатни. 😁 Има и други луѓе мрзливи мрзливци што се спремни да паламудат со саати ако треба, само да избегнат да мрднат со малото прсте и нешто да направат. Изговори 1000 за да се одбегне 1 акција. 😆😆
10:04 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не сме толку уникатни. 😁 Има и други луѓе мрзливи мрзливци што се спремни да паламудат со саати ако треба, само да избегнат да мрднат со малото прсте и нешто да направат. Изговори 1000 за да се одбегне 1 акција. 😆😆
10:04 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790665773058240771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hi @Bartlet27722793 , I believe you are describing A Universal Transaction Tax - https://civilution.org/post/universal-transaction-tax ? I encountered the idea 1st via @heyehd . I see there is more at https://civilution.org. hth
From civilution.org
9:49 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hi @Bartlet27722793 , I believe you are describing A Universal Transaction Tax - https://civilution.org/post/universal-transaction-tax ? I encountered the idea 1st via @heyehd . I see there is more at https://civilution.org. hth
From civilution.org
9:49 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790663947965681706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - kWh (quantity) is Joule https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joule (energy) but it's so thoroughly impractical that no-one outside physics uses it.
en.wikipedia.org
Joule - Wikipedia
9:42 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - kWh (quantity) is Joule https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joule (energy) but it's so thoroughly impractical that no-one outside physics uses it.
en.wikipedia.org
Joule - Wikipedia
9:42 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790653315014857096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People that got RTM - are there any examples or data about the SC before and after? I have a nagging suspicion that about a half of my bill is fraudulent. But I have to work for a living and don't have the time nor the energy to chase after the SC. Esp seems futile given we can't do anything really about it until we go RTM.
8:59 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People that got RTM - are there any examples or data about the SC before and after? I have a nagging suspicion that about a half of my bill is fraudulent. But I have to work for a living and don't have the time nor the energy to chase after the SC. Esp seems futile given we can't do anything really about it until we go RTM.
8:59 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790650603229643034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant - I accept to effectively work part of my day for the benefit of someone else, for some other members of my nation that I shell never know personally. I don't start a civil war or war of secession or something else to disrupt the system that is the nation state.
8:49 AM · May 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant - I accept to effectively work part of my day for the benefit of someone else, for some other members of my nation that I shell never know personally. I don't start a civil war or war of secession or something else to disrupt the system that is the nation state.
8:49 AM · May 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790451180243411356
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy. Your current "patria" is your nation state. Patriotism is solidarity within your nation. Your nation is the largest group of people, that you trust enough, so that you as part of the losing 49% accept the will of the winning 51%. Solidarity means through accepting taxes you will work for benefit of random people you have never met or seen and you will never do, just b/c they are members of your nation. And that - in balance - is a good thing.
7:36 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy. Your current "patria" is your nation state. Patriotism is solidarity within your nation. Your nation is the largest group of people, that you trust enough, so that you as part of the losing 49% accept the will of the winning 51%. Solidarity means through accepting taxes you will work for benefit of random people you have never met or seen and you will never do, just b/c they are members of your nation. And that - in balance - is a good thing.
7:36 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790439503779279200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "Two Cultures" still going strong - illiteracy is rightfully a stigma, innumeracy is a harmless laugh. A luxury non-disqualifying deficiency, endearing even. Only boffins are numerate and we are not *that* ofc. Plus - it helps with lying if one is not a stickler for numbers.
6:50 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "Two Cultures" still going strong - illiteracy is rightfully a stigma, innumeracy is a harmless laugh. A luxury non-disqualifying deficiency, endearing even. Only boffins are numerate and we are not *that* ofc. Plus - it helps with lying if one is not a stickler for numbers.
6:50 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790413319125221847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can, everyone can - just write on a piece of paper "I owe you xyz". That's easy. The hard part is making other people accept your piece of paper. As in - exchange stuff we all like (food, shelter, cars, computers) for those IOUs.
5:06 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can, everyone can - just write on a piece of paper "I owe you xyz". That's easy. The hard part is making other people accept your piece of paper. As in - exchange stuff we all like (food, shelter, cars, computers) for those IOUs.
5:06 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790397564375666776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative - Obama was as ignorant as he was arrogant. Two world wars started in Europe over "a quarrel in a faraway country, between people of whom we know nothing". Doubt Obama knows something that elided a succession of British statesmen ending with Chamberlain & Churchill.
4:03 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative - Obama was as ignorant as he was arrogant. Two world wars started in Europe over "a quarrel in a faraway country, between people of whom we know nothing". Doubt Obama knows something that elided a succession of British statesmen ending with Chamberlain & Churchill.
4:03 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790382717571350586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FWIW stalno bilo taka. Lagodna laga sto mi go gali egoto e mnnogu pubava otkolku bolna vistina. Novina e sto ludacite moze polesno da se organiziraat blagodarenie na socijalnite mrezi. Ama pa i ne-ludacite isto moze polesno da se organiziraat. :-) Taka da pak otprilika nereseno.
3:04 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FWIW stalno bilo taka. Lagodna laga sto mi go gali egoto e mnnogu pubava otkolku bolna vistina. Novina e sto ludacite moze polesno da se organiziraat blagodarenie na socijalnite mrezi. Ama pa i ne-ludacite isto moze polesno da se organiziraat. :-) Taka da pak otprilika nereseno.
3:04 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790372728517677339
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍👏 And to liven things a bit sometimes I use "prejudice" in preference to "assumption".
2:24 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍👏 And to liven things a bit sometimes I use "prejudice" in preference to "assumption".
2:24 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790367870544732491
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's preferable to articulate your thoughts in affirmative so one can discuss and leave allegories home. If discussion is what you are after. West helped China economy Deng reforms by opening for trade and exporting capital post 1990 -
> China in WTO was a great success for China, largest number of people ever lifted out of poverty.
Chine took the opportunity and used it well as did other Asia tigers before them. The West does not mind the leadership either way, it's each country's business - China and Russia can have their kings for life as they please. EU didn't stop doing business with Russia after Putin extra terms, nor after Crimea annexation 2014. None of that was important to them. The line is drawn at security. Once China and Russia threaten and or start wars - then considerations of security take precedence over free trade and prosperity. It's exactly the same how countries around the world get nervous when US invades smaller countries. Everyone gets nervous about their own security. Hence we see pull back and re-shoring of national industrial capacity. E.g. US funding help building TSMC and Samsung chip factories on US soil and so on. Europe is way behind (as ever), even if they are in bigger danger objectively (no ocean separates them from RU). Russia economy is already on war footing, and the population is propagandized and prepared for a push into the rest of Eastern Europe.
2:05 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's preferable to articulate your thoughts in affirmative so one can discuss and leave allegories home. If discussion is what you are after. West helped China economy Deng reforms by opening for trade and exporting capital post 1990 -
> China in WTO was a great success for China, largest number of people ever lifted out of poverty.
Chine took the opportunity and used it well as did other Asia tigers before them. The West does not mind the leadership either way, it's each country's business - China and Russia can have their kings for life as they please. EU didn't stop doing business with Russia after Putin extra terms, nor after Crimea annexation 2014. None of that was important to them. The line is drawn at security. Once China and Russia threaten and or start wars - then considerations of security take precedence over free trade and prosperity. It's exactly the same how countries around the world get nervous when US invades smaller countries. Everyone gets nervous about their own security. Hence we see pull back and re-shoring of national industrial capacity. E.g. US funding help building TSMC and Samsung chip factories on US soil and so on. Europe is way behind (as ever), even if they are in bigger danger objectively (no ocean separates them from RU). Russia economy is already on war footing, and the population is propagandized and prepared for a push into the rest of Eastern Europe.
2:05 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790362294653726830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF while most excellent a letter :-) - this gent being bored out of his mind is not a very good argument for anything really. Being in good health but bored does not scream "it's society's obligation to help me off myself" to me.
1:43 PM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF while most excellent a letter :-) - this gent being bored out of his mind is not a very good argument for anything really. Being in good health but bored does not scream "it's society's obligation to help me off myself" to me.
1:43 PM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790312101069672459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to worry. The ships are never going to happen, so there will be no crew shortages. Building takes effort and organization, lots of people inspired to work pull together. Incompetent crooks can't do any of that, that's why they never build anything.
10:24 AM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to worry. The ships are never going to happen, so there will be no crew shortages. Building takes effort and organization, lots of people inspired to work pull together. Incompetent crooks can't do any of that, that's why they never build anything.
10:24 AM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1790308945040441536
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the direction of travel. West's idea that China & Russia can join in prosperity through free trade is reaching end of road. China in WTO was a great success for China, largest number of people ever lifted out of poverty. It seemed CCP has institutional capacity to ensure leaders' (president and vice) rotations every 5yrs. This was a feedback loop addressing revealed fails, bringing new blood and ideas, fixing and improving. That worked until Xi. Now with an infallible king for life, the virtuous cycle will slow down and then stop. It takes one talented and ruthless individual to derail, unfortunately. Russia was effectively getting technology and infrastructure financed by Europe in exchange for the oil so to modernize and catch up. Build a modern state on the ruins of the SU. Again the system got captured by one Putin becoming king for life. Once a king, the easiest way of securing the throne is a permanent war. War is much easier for a king than a slow betterment of the country. Not much anyone else can do about that. European states disarmed since 1990 and the risk of another world war starting there diminished. Now that's all reversing slowly, european countries are starting to build up their armies again.
10:11 AM · May 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's the direction of travel. West's idea that China & Russia can join in prosperity through free trade is reaching end of road. China in WTO was a great success for China, largest number of people ever lifted out of poverty. It seemed CCP has institutional capacity to ensure leaders' (president and vice) rotations every 5yrs. This was a feedback loop addressing revealed fails, bringing new blood and ideas, fixing and improving. That worked until Xi. Now with an infallible king for life, the virtuous cycle will slow down and then stop. It takes one talented and ruthless individual to derail, unfortunately. Russia was effectively getting technology and infrastructure financed by Europe in exchange for the oil so to modernize and catch up. Build a modern state on the ruins of the SU. Again the system got captured by one Putin becoming king for life. Once a king, the easiest way of securing the throne is a permanent war. War is much easier for a king than a slow betterment of the country. Not much anyone else can do about that. European states disarmed since 1990 and the risk of another world war starting there diminished. Now that's all reversing slowly, european countries are starting to build up their armies again.
10:11 AM · May 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789974106047226110
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Analysis is fine ok - but synthesis is hard. So how does "prosecute, convict and jail the ex-chancellor of the exchequer for tax evasion" happen? What's to be done now? Ditto for the merciless pillaging of the public purse via private interests PPE deals during covid.
12:00 PM · May 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Analysis is fine ok - but synthesis is hard. So how does "prosecute, convict and jail the ex-chancellor of the exchequer for tax evasion" happen? What's to be done now? Ditto for the merciless pillaging of the public purse via private interests PPE deals during covid.
12:00 PM · May 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789944486203715891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas ne glasam. Mislam ne e fer da glasam koga ne ziveam vo MK, ne plakam danok, ne si ja gledam idninata vo MK i sl. Da - imame familii rodnini i prijateli i mozebi imot, znaci imame nekoj interes ne e deka ne ne interesira, ama - toa ne e dovolno. Dijaspora e ok da ima nekoj pasos nekakva vrska so maticnata zemja, ama deka ne treba da glasa i ne treba mnogu da se mesa vo tekovna politika. Idea vodilka kako da se reguliraat odnosite so dijaspora treba da e - edinstvo. (na pr grckata dijaspora taka e nekako organizirana) Kako sto e sega MK dijaspora - em ne-edinstvoto od MK se preleva vo dijasporata, em dijasporata negativno vlijane na maticata vo MK i pridonesuva za dodatni razdori. Generalno - pomalku zborenje poveke rabota za nas dijasporci. Znam deka pisuvanje poraka na TW malku e kontra toj sovet. 😶 Ama obicno gledam da pisuvam minimalno za makedonckite raboti, ova isklucok.
10:03 AM · May 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas ne glasam. Mislam ne e fer da glasam koga ne ziveam vo MK, ne plakam danok, ne si ja gledam idninata vo MK i sl. Da - imame familii rodnini i prijateli i mozebi imot, znaci imame nekoj interes ne e deka ne ne interesira, ama - toa ne e dovolno. Dijaspora e ok da ima nekoj pasos nekakva vrska so maticnata zemja, ama deka ne treba da glasa i ne treba mnogu da se mesa vo tekovna politika. Idea vodilka kako da se reguliraat odnosite so dijaspora treba da e - edinstvo. (na pr grckata dijaspora taka e nekako organizirana) Kako sto e sega MK dijaspora - em ne-edinstvoto od MK se preleva vo dijasporata, em dijasporata negativno vlijane na maticata vo MK i pridonesuva za dodatni razdori. Generalno - pomalku zborenje poveke rabota za nas dijasporci. Znam deka pisuvanje poraka na TW malku e kontra toj sovet. 😶 Ama obicno gledam da pisuvam minimalno za makedonckite raboti, ova isklucok.
10:03 AM · May 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789795859921559862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They were keen on computers and leggy girls especially the early numbers. 😂😂
https://pc.sux.org/indexRA.html
Can't fault them - computers+girls was a good combo 😂
12:12 AM · May 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They were keen on computers and leggy girls especially the early numbers. 😂😂
https://pc.sux.org/indexRA.html
Can't fault them - computers+girls was a good combo 😂
12:12 AM · May 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789733127868371396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Računari u vašoj kući" from 1984.
https://dejanristanovic.com/rac1.htm
There was 40 years anniversary edition re-printed recently.
https://racunari.com
8:03 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Računari u vašoj kući" from 1984.
https://dejanristanovic.com/rac1.htm
There was 40 years anniversary edition re-printed recently.
https://racunari.com
8:03 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789714507557679479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 nice - while at it, here's more food for thought
en.m.wikipedia.org
Chavs: The Demonization of the Working Class - Wikipedia
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chavs:_The_Demonization_of_the_Working_Class
6:49 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 nice - while at it, here's more food for thought
en.m.wikipedia.org
Chavs: The Demonization of the Working Class - Wikipedia
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chavs:_The_Demonization_of_the_Working_Class
6:49 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789708869402304600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku razbiram, opasnosta e ovaa. Namerata na BG e da gi natera so milo ~500K-600K makedonci da stanat bugari preku razni povlastici. Kako i dosega so EU pasosi - iako nikoj od niv ne se pisuva i na popis BG-in (ama gledas imase reakcii od BG "kade se tie so BG-ski pasosi, sto gi nema"). Utre so davanje 300 Eur na popis, na pr. Mozebi so kvalitetno bugarsko osnovno i sredno skolo, mozebi i fakultet vo BG. Verojatno imaat i drugi nacini +vno da deluvaat (za niv). Otkako ke se napravi podloga za vlijanie - ke ima i politicki baranja. Racunam ultimativno BG ideal e - MK da pobara pripojuvanje kon BG.
So voenite zlostornici nema takva opasnost. So GR i severna isto nemase. Kvalitetno sredno skolo ima tursko Jahja Kemal - ama decata nema da gi preobrati vo turci i sl (golema e distancata makedonec do turcin).
Dodatno - kolku podolgo BG ja blokira MK, tolku poveke gorniot plan se realizira. Po primerot so BG pasosi - kolku podolgo MK ne e vo EU, tolku poveke MK-ci zemaat BG pasos. Da bese MK vo EU - nieden MK-ec nemase da vadi BG pasos. Pa taka BG ima motiv, im e vo korist, nikogas da ne ja odblokiraat MK. Posto kolku podolgo, tolku poveke MK-ci ke stanuvaat BG-ri.
Ne kazuvam deka taka ke bide, ne mozam da vidam vo idninata ne znam - kazuvam mozebi toa e BG planot.
Lekot za MK (i za WB6) e - ne priem vo EU (toa ne e mozno sega), tuku dil kako Shvajcarija: priem vo Schengen zona, ostvaruvanje na 4-slobodi, priem vo zednicki paza i verojatno carinskata zona. Ako mozat MK-cite da rabotat i ziveat slobodno vo EU - nema da imaat potreba ni od EU priem niti od BG pasos. Ova @rumeliobserver dobro go artikulira vo https://esiweb.org/proposals/offer-four-freedoms-balkans-ukraine-and-moldova .
Ne znam nisto za BG politika znam kolku e realen planot opisan pogore. No delot so BG pasosi bese staven vo pogon i se ostvaruva(se?). Mu veruvam na @rumeliobserver , mene scenarioto mi lici verojatno. Citajki sto pisuvaat i pro-zapadno orientirani liberalni BG-ri so simpatii kon nas kako @DimitarBechev , mi lici tie uste se vo filmot od pred-1991 deka "MK-cite se tvorba na Tito, sega ke se setat deka se BG-ri i ke se vratat kon maticata". Bi sakal da gresam.
Ova - @rumeliobserver na 18'50" https://youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPR:
> "... when leaders in Bulgaria say `please recognize a minority' ... they have in mind not few thousand people ... but half of your population ... everybody that has a Bulgarian passport ... so the longer you are outside EU, the more people will get Bulgarian passport ... the moment you make this concession, you will end up not in the EU, but with a new internal conflict ..."
6:27 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku razbiram, opasnosta e ovaa. Namerata na BG e da gi natera so milo ~500K-600K makedonci da stanat bugari preku razni povlastici. Kako i dosega so EU pasosi - iako nikoj od niv ne se pisuva i na popis BG-in (ama gledas imase reakcii od BG "kade se tie so BG-ski pasosi, sto gi nema"). Utre so davanje 300 Eur na popis, na pr. Mozebi so kvalitetno bugarsko osnovno i sredno skolo, mozebi i fakultet vo BG. Verojatno imaat i drugi nacini +vno da deluvaat (za niv). Otkako ke se napravi podloga za vlijanie - ke ima i politicki baranja. Racunam ultimativno BG ideal e - MK da pobara pripojuvanje kon BG.
So voenite zlostornici nema takva opasnost. So GR i severna isto nemase. Kvalitetno sredno skolo ima tursko Jahja Kemal - ama decata nema da gi preobrati vo turci i sl (golema e distancata makedonec do turcin).
Dodatno - kolku podolgo BG ja blokira MK, tolku poveke gorniot plan se realizira. Po primerot so BG pasosi - kolku podolgo MK ne e vo EU, tolku poveke MK-ci zemaat BG pasos. Da bese MK vo EU - nieden MK-ec nemase da vadi BG pasos. Pa taka BG ima motiv, im e vo korist, nikogas da ne ja odblokiraat MK. Posto kolku podolgo, tolku poveke MK-ci ke stanuvaat BG-ri.
Ne kazuvam deka taka ke bide, ne mozam da vidam vo idninata ne znam - kazuvam mozebi toa e BG planot.
Lekot za MK (i za WB6) e - ne priem vo EU (toa ne e mozno sega), tuku dil kako Shvajcarija: priem vo Schengen zona, ostvaruvanje na 4-slobodi, priem vo zednicki paza i verojatno carinskata zona. Ako mozat MK-cite da rabotat i ziveat slobodno vo EU - nema da imaat potreba ni od EU priem niti od BG pasos. Ova @rumeliobserver dobro go artikulira vo https://esiweb.org/proposals/offer-four-freedoms-balkans-ukraine-and-moldova .
Ne znam nisto za BG politika znam kolku e realen planot opisan pogore. No delot so BG pasosi bese staven vo pogon i se ostvaruva(se?). Mu veruvam na @rumeliobserver , mene scenarioto mi lici verojatno. Citajki sto pisuvaat i pro-zapadno orientirani liberalni BG-ri so simpatii kon nas kako @DimitarBechev , mi lici tie uste se vo filmot od pred-1991 deka "MK-cite se tvorba na Tito, sega ke se setat deka se BG-ri i ke se vratat kon maticata". Bi sakal da gresam.
Ova - @rumeliobserver na 18'50" https://youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPR:
> "... when leaders in Bulgaria say `please recognize a minority' ... they have in mind not few thousand people ... but half of your population ... everybody that has a Bulgarian passport ... so the longer you are outside EU, the more people will get Bulgarian passport ... the moment you make this concession, you will end up not in the EU, but with a new internal conflict ..."
6:27 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789692833328210216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 uk/acc ftw 😁
5:23 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 uk/acc ftw 😁
5:23 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789682206350119111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great news, 👏 top marks 👍 for uk/acc = open source + AI. Now about those scientists having somewhere to actually live in London without being gouged and extorted by FH+MA semi-criminal "unlimited liability LH" schemes: fix the feudal freehold-leasehold nonsense. AI can't be had with with feudal FH-olders lording it over scientists - no matter what @danielmgmoylan says. It's in your powers @BimAfolami , you got elected on this - abolish leasehold, you have the votes in the Parliament, what are you waiting for? UK/acc is doing stuff, JUST_DO_IT stop waffling & time wasting in endless discussions. You have reports, commissions, recommendations etc going back quarter a century, plus 5M affected leaseholders - just do it. Fyi @sriramk - check @HarryScoffin campaign about the less-then-charming feudal leasehold in England and Wales.
4:41 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great news, 👏 top marks 👍 for uk/acc = open source + AI. Now about those scientists having somewhere to actually live in London without being gouged and extorted by FH+MA semi-criminal "unlimited liability LH" schemes: fix the feudal freehold-leasehold nonsense. AI can't be had with with feudal FH-olders lording it over scientists - no matter what @danielmgmoylan says. It's in your powers @BimAfolami , you got elected on this - abolish leasehold, you have the votes in the Parliament, what are you waiting for? UK/acc is doing stuff, JUST_DO_IT stop waffling & time wasting in endless discussions. You have reports, commissions, recommendations etc going back quarter a century, plus 5M affected leaseholders - just do it. Fyi @sriramk - check @HarryScoffin campaign about the less-then-charming feudal leasehold in England and Wales.
4:41 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789638189575000187
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima i poelegantno, i ne zafaka voopsto ekstra mesto - japonski toalet! Vgraden vo skolkata, topla-ladna voda, mie-sushi, ima poveke programi etc. I mene ne mi e jasno kako ne e standard vo cel svet?! Ednas koga ke se vidi ne moze da se od-vidi, 🤯 kakvo varvarstvo 😱 e - ahem - razmackuvanje na (so izvinenie) g*mnata so hartija?? 😶
1:46 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ima i poelegantno, i ne zafaka voopsto ekstra mesto - japonski toalet! Vgraden vo skolkata, topla-ladna voda, mie-sushi, ima poveke programi etc. I mene ne mi e jasno kako ne e standard vo cel svet?! Ednas koga ke se vidi ne moze da se od-vidi, 🤯 kakvo varvarstvo 😱 e - ahem - razmackuvanje na (so izvinenie) g*mnata so hartija?? 😶
1:46 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789619493754261514
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looking for the hero that will solve this needling problem once for all. Some version of letter based conditional Ngrams as soft-tokens should recover both the current hard tokens and discover better syllabic constraints in the process. I presume it's unglamorous donkey work no sane person is much enthusiastic about. 😆😁😱
12:31 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looking for the hero that will solve this needling problem once for all. Some version of letter based conditional Ngrams as soft-tokens should recover both the current hard tokens and discover better syllabic constraints in the process. I presume it's unglamorous donkey work no sane person is much enthusiastic about. 😆😁😱
12:31 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789616955768365340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and some anecdotes on their lifelong collaboration with Leonard E. Baum https://youtube.com/watch?v=zN0ah7moPlQ
For ASR and or ML people - this is Baum of the Baum-Welch forward-backward EM algorithm for HMMs.
youtube.com
Jim Simons speech on Leonard E. Baum
Leonard E. Baum passed away this year just before his 85th birthday. Jim Simons gives a speech on Dr. Leonard E. Baum.
12:21 PM · May 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and some anecdotes on their lifelong collaboration with Leonard E. Baum https://youtube.com/watch?v=zN0ah7moPlQ
For ASR and or ML people - this is Baum of the Baum-Welch forward-backward EM algorithm for HMMs.
youtube.com
Jim Simons speech on Leonard E. Baum
Leonard E. Baum passed away this year just before his 85th birthday. Jim Simons gives a speech on Dr. Leonard E. Baum.
12:21 PM · May 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789314508978114932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me - it does not seem bad, it seems an improvement on the current state of affairs. The current "algorithmic matchmakers" seem as dumb as a box of nails.
4:19 PM · May 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me - it does not seem bad, it seems an improvement on the current state of affairs. The current "algorithmic matchmakers" seem as dumb as a box of nails.
4:19 PM · May 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789313420589703643
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That same gift that keeps giving since - the dynamic duo of Dave+George with their sidekicks Nick+Alexander got to the commanding heights of the nation.
4:15 PM · May 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That same gift that keeps giving since - the dynamic duo of Dave+George with their sidekicks Nick+Alexander got to the commanding heights of the nation.
4:15 PM · May 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789140524231704744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please use MWh for energy. Just using MW is meaningless for batteries. Makes the rest of the message suspect due to perceived cluelessness.
4:48 AM · May 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please use MWh for energy. Just using MW is meaningless for batteries. Makes the rest of the message suspect due to perceived cluelessness.
4:48 AM · May 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789124413952057706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅😅 What a sight! Infamous newspaper title "Die Already" springs to mind. 😂 These peripathetic oldies will ruin the idea of life extension for all. Maybe time to start thinking of taking away rights (e.g. voting, driving licence) that are granted dependent on age earlier?
3:44 AM · May 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅😅 What a sight! Infamous newspaper title "Die Already" springs to mind. 😂 These peripathetic oldies will ruin the idea of life extension for all. Maybe time to start thinking of taking away rights (e.g. voting, driving licence) that are granted dependent on age earlier?
3:44 AM · May 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1789104840573853705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Having absolutely no doubts, being absolutely certain to be in possession of some absolute truths ... - hmm, saw something similar just today, this - https://x.com/arjunkhemani/s/arjunkhemani/status/1788893797314638149 . "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken." - not for them, eh?
Quote
Arjun Khemani @arjunkhemani · May 10
Replying to @arjunkhemani
Source: https://youtu.be/ltjI3BXKBgY?si=NPtsnoWab3je0Ut_
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ltjI3BXKBgY
2:26 AM · May 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Having absolutely no doubts, being absolutely certain to be in possession of some absolute truths ... - hmm, saw something similar just today, this - https://x.com/arjunkhemani/s/arjunkhemani/status/1788893797314638149 . "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken." - not for them, eh?
Quote
Arjun Khemani @arjunkhemani · May 10
Replying to @arjunkhemani
Source: https://youtu.be/ltjI3BXKBgY?si=NPtsnoWab3je0Ut_
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ltjI3BXKBgY
2:26 AM · May 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788982063040733401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tesko vrakanje za niv. Centar-levi socijalni-demokrati gubat sekade posle 2010-ta navamu. Ne sum cul edna nova ili orginalna idea "sto da se pravi sega". Receptot im e - ke pravime toa sto pravevme i prethodno koe ne uspea i propadna.
6:18 PM · May 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tesko vrakanje za niv. Centar-levi socijalni-demokrati gubat sekade posle 2010-ta navamu. Ne sum cul edna nova ili orginalna idea "sto da se pravi sega". Receptot im e - ke pravime toa sto pravevme i prethodno koe ne uspea i propadna.
6:18 PM · May 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788977797563650363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a GOAT, RIP Jim Simons.
Topical to re-up this excellent (and very funny in parts!) interview https://youtube.com/watch?v=QNznD9hMEh0 (possibly by @numberphile ?)
Quote
Mads Capital @MadsCapital · May 10
RIP Jim Simons
"I did a lot of math. I made a lot of money, and I gave almost all of it away. That's the story of my life."
Embedded video
6:01 PM · May 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a GOAT, RIP Jim Simons.
Topical to re-up this excellent (and very funny in parts!) interview https://youtube.com/watch?v=QNznD9hMEh0 (possibly by @numberphile ?)
Quote
Mads Capital @MadsCapital · May 10
RIP Jim Simons
"I did a lot of math. I made a lot of money, and I gave almost all of it away. That's the story of my life."
Embedded video
6:01 PM · May 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788976163315916940
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish they were at least corrupt for some stupendous £££ so to make sense - but he is not even that! It's just like they are all NPC-s careful to never do anything and so never make any errors or create problems by doing stuff. Just zero-risk-zero-return strategy. Works as a hurd strategy - if they are all NPC-s, then they can not be punished for their laziness. Has worked for @MayorofLondon
very well, it must be said. That's why they keep doing it 😬
5:55 PM · May 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish they were at least corrupt for some stupendous £££ so to make sense - but he is not even that! It's just like they are all NPC-s careful to never do anything and so never make any errors or create problems by doing stuff. Just zero-risk-zero-return strategy. Works as a hurd strategy - if they are all NPC-s, then they can not be punished for their laziness. Has worked for @MayorofLondon
very well, it must be said. That's why they keep doing it 😬
5:55 PM · May 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788911719474950440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - leave my postal vote alone. Keep to physics please. We already have enough people that think knowing of X means they know of Y. Be less certain that your ideas about public policy will improve rather than worsen it - more doubt please.
1:39 PM · May 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - leave my postal vote alone. Keep to physics please. We already have enough people that think knowing of X means they know of Y. Be less certain that your ideas about public policy will improve rather than worsen it - more doubt please.
1:39 PM · May 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788910663621886066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daft take. Coming close to 45 years as Tito's been dead. Apparently there were Macedonians both before and after him. Is there a point where you accept that maybe things are not as they seem to you? If constructing national identity was as easy as you seem to think - Iraq and Afghanistan would've been thriving nation states by now. Seems to be tad more complicated.
1:35 PM · May 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daft take. Coming close to 45 years as Tito's been dead. Apparently there were Macedonians both before and after him. Is there a point where you accept that maybe things are not as they seem to you? If constructing national identity was as easy as you seem to think - Iraq and Afghanistan would've been thriving nation states by now. Seems to be tad more complicated.
1:35 PM · May 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788908856212357230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BimAfolami is my MP unfortunately. Hope it won't be for too long and he'll be rightfully out of Parliament in not too distant future. No doubt he's feathered his nest sufficiently so that won't be a problem for him. What are the @Conservatives thinking they're doing - if anything - is anyone's guess. "Anyone & anything but the votes and the voters" seems to be their motto these days.
Quote
Harry Scoffin @HarryScoffin · May 10
.@Jeremy_Hunt and @BimAfolami actively thwarting the will of the people and betraying a key 2019 @Conservatives manifesto pledge.
There is a reason why their polling numbers are through the floor.
They are the party of donors, not homeowners. x.com/hoffman_noa/st…
Show more
1:28 PM · May 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BimAfolami is my MP unfortunately. Hope it won't be for too long and he'll be rightfully out of Parliament in not too distant future. No doubt he's feathered his nest sufficiently so that won't be a problem for him. What are the @Conservatives thinking they're doing - if anything - is anyone's guess. "Anyone & anything but the votes and the voters" seems to be their motto these days.
Quote
Harry Scoffin @HarryScoffin · May 10
.@Jeremy_Hunt and @BimAfolami actively thwarting the will of the people and betraying a key 2019 @Conservatives manifesto pledge.
There is a reason why their polling numbers are through the floor.
They are the party of donors, not homeowners. x.com/hoffman_noa/st…
Show more
1:28 PM · May 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788881707174707318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - excatly right! A Swiss-like deal - common market + Schengen is what is realistic atm on possibly both sides? (not sure of the EU stance on that) . Afaik @rumeliobserver
has been (rightly) advocating that for some time. Atm the lofty proclamations with 0 action for decades just look like an excuse for laziness, for doing nothing.
11:40 AM · May 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - excatly right! A Swiss-like deal - common market + Schengen is what is realistic atm on possibly both sides? (not sure of the EU stance on that) . Afaik @rumeliobserver
has been (rightly) advocating that for some time. Atm the lofty proclamations with 0 action for decades just look like an excuse for laziness, for doing nothing.
11:40 AM · May 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788688669534019850
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
on Android the DJVU reader has been good for me
10:53 PM · May 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
on Android the DJVU reader has been good for me
10:53 PM · May 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788492343005372665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - the dynamic duo Dave+George, aided and abetted by Nick+Danny, had majority of the elite & country supporting them in their macro-economically imbecilic policy of "not fixing the roof". Consequences come long after they are all gone having successfully federred their nests.
9:52 AM · May 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - the dynamic duo Dave+George, aided and abetted by Nick+Danny, had majority of the elite & country supporting them in their macro-economically imbecilic policy of "not fixing the roof". Consequences come long after they are all gone having successfully federred their nests.
9:52 AM · May 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788290679971401888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ok, verovanje ludom radovanje, ama pa i nadezhta posledna umira. 😆 Da bea sposobni za toa, i tie i konkurencijata i pajtasite, ke go napravea toa i pred 30 godini. Nesposobni togas - nesposobni i sega. Se nadevam idninata ke me demantira, ama ... ☺️
8:31 PM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - ok, verovanje ludom radovanje, ama pa i nadezhta posledna umira. 😆 Da bea sposobni za toa, i tie i konkurencijata i pajtasite, ke go napravea toa i pred 30 godini. Nesposobni togas - nesposobni i sega. Se nadevam idninata ke me demantira, ama ... ☺️
8:31 PM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788228270007230559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yes!! You got that exactly right @lulumeservey - it's the perfect anti-"apple 1984 advert", or alternatively a pro-"1984 dystopia" advert. That Tim Cook thought a good idea to promote this - that's priceless!! 😂😂😂 What a time to be alive ... 😱
Quote
Lulu Cheng Meservey @lulumeservey · May 8
This Apple ad is what happens when you try to be “edgy” with no consideration for strategy.
Consider first principles:
1) Apple is a brand built on giving people a sense of inspiration and joy (eg, the colorful 2000s iPod ads)
2) Their target audience is consumers who are x.com/tim_cook/statu…
Show more
4:23 PM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yes!! You got that exactly right @lulumeservey - it's the perfect anti-"apple 1984 advert", or alternatively a pro-"1984 dystopia" advert. That Tim Cook thought a good idea to promote this - that's priceless!! 😂😂😂 What a time to be alive ... 😱
Quote
Lulu Cheng Meservey @lulumeservey · May 8
This Apple ad is what happens when you try to be “edgy” with no consideration for strategy.
Consider first principles:
1) Apple is a brand built on giving people a sense of inspiration and joy (eg, the colorful 2000s iPod ads)
2) Their target audience is consumers who are x.com/tim_cook/statu…
Show more
4:23 PM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788225218109985193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... among those millions you mention, there will be the 1,000 he mentions. If you want those 1,000 to pan out into Mozarts etc, you will have to pay for the 1,000,000. And tbh I think that's beautiful 😂😂😂
4:11 PM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... among those millions you mention, there will be the 1,000 he mentions. If you want those 1,000 to pan out into Mozarts etc, you will have to pay for the 1,000,000. And tbh I think that's beautiful 😂😂😂
4:11 PM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788219062234808723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Таленти и мајстори за измислување мајмунлуци!! 😂😂 Е ваква финта не би ми текнала!? Значи и за мајмунлук треба талент - не може секој. 😆
3:47 PM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Таленти и мајстори за измислување мајмунлуци!! 😂😂 Е ваква финта не би ми текнала!? Значи и за мајмунлук треба талент - не може секој. 😆
3:47 PM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788148143671873795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - I agree we can't expect for everyone to be perfect every time (neither am I) - hence me replying to him to set him right. As for the Orientalism of the type "be grateful we take interest in you" - let's not get into that, it's not a great look that one.
11:05 AM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - I agree we can't expect for everyone to be perfect every time (neither am I) - hence me replying to him to set him right. As for the Orientalism of the type "be grateful we take interest in you" - let's not get into that, it's not a great look that one.
11:05 AM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788147336675262959
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He has spent too long a time on his job to be making such mistake. His was the initial "woke" rebuke - so any possible woke insult is his to own. (which for the record I don't think there is any). Get off your high horse too - it's a free country the Internet, I will use it to express my opinion thank you very much, and you are ofc welcome to do so too.
11:02 AM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He has spent too long a time on his job to be making such mistake. His was the initial "woke" rebuke - so any possible woke insult is his to own. (which for the record I don't think there is any). Get off your high horse too - it's a free country the Internet, I will use it to express my opinion thank you very much, and you are ofc welcome to do so too.
11:02 AM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788107872544436400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He fell through. For liberals - his faults were as per the above plus his non-enthusiasm for all things EU. For all - not presentable enough, not acting the PM role, plus his association (real and or manufactured) with "people that want to blow us up" IRA, Hamas etc.
8:25 AM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He fell through. For liberals - his faults were as per the above plus his non-enthusiasm for all things EU. For all - not presentable enough, not acting the PM role, plus his association (real and or manufactured) with "people that want to blow us up" IRA, Hamas etc.
8:25 AM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1788103938081792416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - what an anti-commercial if there ever was one. Have you lost your marbles?? "Crush" is almost the polar opposite of "create".
8:09 AM · May 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - what an anti-commercial if there ever was one. Have you lost your marbles?? "Crush" is almost the polar opposite of "create".
8:09 AM · May 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787954056214049256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hahah - the the wokest of woke are now antiwoke 😂😂😂 what a time to be alive
10:14 PM · May 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hahah - the the wokest of woke are now antiwoke 😂😂😂 what a time to be alive
10:14 PM · May 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787951481062133855
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What slavic macedonians ffs?? You have been writing on the region half your lifetime and you manage to insult and probably enrage every macedonian that reads your tweet. If intentional - fine I guess, if not intentional - then this is just plain stupid. No other word - sorry.
10:03 PM · May 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What slavic macedonians ffs?? You have been writing on the region half your lifetime and you manage to insult and probably enrage every macedonian that reads your tweet. If intentional - fine I guess, if not intentional - then this is just plain stupid. No other word - sorry.
10:03 PM · May 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787899267153039625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't see that, in fact I see the contrary: for me the "For you" and "Following" tabs are very very different now, much more than they have ever been tbh. Like the new way - I want them to be very different.
6:36 PM · May 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't see that, in fact I see the contrary: for me the "For you" and "Following" tabs are very very different now, much more than they have ever been tbh. Like the new way - I want them to be very different.
6:36 PM · May 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787872973220651169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
$20M no conditions, $5M + green card
4:51 PM · May 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
$20M no conditions, $5M + green card
4:51 PM · May 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787857366983008598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are corrupt (not stupid), but the level of their gain from the corruption compared to the loss to the public purse is so out of whack, that people have hard time believing. Like for personal gain of 100-200K p.a. paid via directoriship on some "board" over 5-20 years, they will generate x1000 times revenue for the company and probably x10-x20 times profit p.a. And this kind of "soft corruption" scheme will be on the right side of the law, they will not be breaking the letter of the law.
3:49 PM · May 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are corrupt (not stupid), but the level of their gain from the corruption compared to the loss to the public purse is so out of whack, that people have hard time believing. Like for personal gain of 100-200K p.a. paid via directoriship on some "board" over 5-20 years, they will generate x1000 times revenue for the company and probably x10-x20 times profit p.a. And this kind of "soft corruption" scheme will be on the right side of the law, they will not be breaking the letter of the law.
3:49 PM · May 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787854549857833213
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The HM Treasury is a good servant, but a bad master, exhibit 1001. -
"Churchill overrode all Treasury objections to the concentration of scarce resources on housing."
Quote
CoKeynesian @CoKeynesian · May 6
The seriousness with which Churchill and Macmillan took housebuilding in 1950s Britain stands afar from the NIMBYism of the present British government.
"Churchill overrode all Treasury objectives to the concentration of scarce resources on housing".
Show more
Image
3:38 PM · May 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The HM Treasury is a good servant, but a bad master, exhibit 1001. -
"Churchill overrode all Treasury objections to the concentration of scarce resources on housing."
Quote
CoKeynesian @CoKeynesian · May 6
The seriousness with which Churchill and Macmillan took housebuilding in 1950s Britain stands afar from the NIMBYism of the present British government.
"Churchill overrode all Treasury objectives to the concentration of scarce resources on housing".
Show more
Image
3:38 PM · May 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787836861596995927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and perpetually hurt and enraged when it fails to materialize. And even when the recession comes, even then the habitual catastrophists will not be content and shut up and just count their profits. For they must be betting putting their $$$ where their mouths are - riight? Then they are in a "we told you so" mode. Nah - we have to live with their "the sky is falling" whining in perpetuity, there is no escape.
2:28 PM · May 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and perpetually hurt and enraged when it fails to materialize. And even when the recession comes, even then the habitual catastrophists will not be content and shut up and just count their profits. For they must be betting putting their $$$ where their mouths are - riight? Then they are in a "we told you so" mode. Nah - we have to live with their "the sky is falling" whining in perpetuity, there is no escape.
2:28 PM · May 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1787060950677234085
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
И мене исто. Сум видел примери каде е искомбиниран бетонот со многу дрво, скоро 50:50, и мене многу поубав и попријатен впечаток ми остави. Во такво нешто би можел да живеам. Само во бетон - мислам не би можел.
11:05 AM · May 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
И мене исто. Сум видел примери каде е искомбиниран бетонот со многу дрво, скоро 50:50, и мене многу поубав и попријатен впечаток ми остави. Во такво нешто би можел да живеам. Само во бетон - мислам не би можел.
11:05 AM · May 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786913921196032215
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zapadot ne "resi deka ni treba demokratija". YU bese vo krizi - ekonomska, politicka - od 1970-ta pa navamu. Komunistickata partija bese svesna, toa ne se kriese - naprotiv, celo vreme se pisuvase za toa. Sto da se pravi, kako da se resat problemite. Obidi i pocetoci na reformi imase sekoi 10 godini: '70, '80, '90. Reformite bea vo nasoka na ekonomski - minimalno liberaliziranje (samoupravuvanje), politicki - decentralizacija i davanje vlast na Republikite. Ekonomskite reformi propagaa vo momentot koga starata garda stvarno trebase dobrovolno da se otkaze od kontrola na firmite i na parite. Retrospektivno gledano - mozebi osnovano uplaseni deka ponovite generacii se nespisobni banditi? Nejse - koga vo '90 konecno propadna komunizmot, i istocniot blok i sovetskiot sojuz, branata konecno popusti, i partijata dozvoli konkurencija vo politikata i registracija na drugi partii. I togas pak lideri na najgolemite partii bea site stari partiski kadri - Kucan, Tugman, Milosevic. Zapadot da imase nekoja uloga i sila, ke bea najgolemi partii nekoi kako Liberalna na Gorge Marjanovic. Ne sme tolku vazni pa Zapadot da se sekira za nas. A i da se sekira, pak posto narodot glasa vo demokratija, tie liberalni partii nikogas ne dobivaa poveke od 5-7% - i stalno se minorni. Toj sto imase poddrska od Zapadot bese Ante Markovic, posleden PM na federalnata vlada, sto ja liberalizira ekonomijata i konecno imavme zejtin, WC hartija, mleko, detergenti i sl vo prodavnici (prethodno vo mnogu navrati nemase, imase restrijcii na struja, nemase benzin se vozese par-nepar vo vremeto na programata za "stabilizacija" na ekonomijata na Milka Planinc), luge otvorija million mali biznisi i konecno mozea da rabotat sto sakaat ako sakaat. Politicki negovata partija dobi poddrska nesto 1-2% na izborite, znaci skoro nula. Site ovie raboti gledam se zaboraveni.
1:20 AM · May 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zapadot ne "resi deka ni treba demokratija". YU bese vo krizi - ekonomska, politicka - od 1970-ta pa navamu. Komunistickata partija bese svesna, toa ne se kriese - naprotiv, celo vreme se pisuvase za toa. Sto da se pravi, kako da se resat problemite. Obidi i pocetoci na reformi imase sekoi 10 godini: '70, '80, '90. Reformite bea vo nasoka na ekonomski - minimalno liberaliziranje (samoupravuvanje), politicki - decentralizacija i davanje vlast na Republikite. Ekonomskite reformi propagaa vo momentot koga starata garda stvarno trebase dobrovolno da se otkaze od kontrola na firmite i na parite. Retrospektivno gledano - mozebi osnovano uplaseni deka ponovite generacii se nespisobni banditi? Nejse - koga vo '90 konecno propadna komunizmot, i istocniot blok i sovetskiot sojuz, branata konecno popusti, i partijata dozvoli konkurencija vo politikata i registracija na drugi partii. I togas pak lideri na najgolemite partii bea site stari partiski kadri - Kucan, Tugman, Milosevic. Zapadot da imase nekoja uloga i sila, ke bea najgolemi partii nekoi kako Liberalna na Gorge Marjanovic. Ne sme tolku vazni pa Zapadot da se sekira za nas. A i da se sekira, pak posto narodot glasa vo demokratija, tie liberalni partii nikogas ne dobivaa poveke od 5-7% - i stalno se minorni. Toj sto imase poddrska od Zapadot bese Ante Markovic, posleden PM na federalnata vlada, sto ja liberalizira ekonomijata i konecno imavme zejtin, WC hartija, mleko, detergenti i sl vo prodavnici (prethodno vo mnogu navrati nemase, imase restrijcii na struja, nemase benzin se vozese par-nepar vo vremeto na programata za "stabilizacija" na ekonomijata na Milka Planinc), luge otvorija million mali biznisi i konecno mozea da rabotat sto sakaat ako sakaat. Politicki negovata partija dobi poddrska nesto 1-2% na izborite, znaci skoro nula. Site ovie raboti gledam se zaboraveni.
1:20 AM · May 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786854931116286099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sleep, silence, coffee, vim
9:26 PM · May 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sleep, silence, coffee, vim
9:26 PM · May 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786821521509371928
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That the organisation expands together with the revenue expansion, it does not necessarily mean the entirety of the organisation is absolutely necessary to reach that revenue. It's very non-linear - like may need to square up the number of bodies to merely double the revenue.
7:13 PM · May 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That the organisation expands together with the revenue expansion, it does not necessarily mean the entirety of the organisation is absolutely necessary to reach that revenue. It's very non-linear - like may need to square up the number of bodies to merely double the revenue.
7:13 PM · May 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786798649906766130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not very progressive with that "balkanisation" right there - eh? Balkanboy here so tend to notice these things 😅😅
5:42 PM · May 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not very progressive with that "balkanisation" right there - eh? Balkanboy here so tend to notice these things 😅😅
5:42 PM · May 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786714499761783254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And you know "Russia is not about to attack 'Europe'" in the future how exactly? By looking in a crystal ball and seeing the future, or whispering straight into Putin's head, thus altering the future?
Ukraine - Russia's aim is to control it fully, by any means and including war conquest. We know b/c Russians from Putin and all the way down are telling us, often in English for our convenience. Still we are so thick and challenged in the comprehension department that they have to repeat the message for years on end.
Europe plans - latest in the series is Carlson's Dugin interview, again given for our convenience.
TBF we're quite on brand presuming there exists some magical easy solution, that previously escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill - no less! Further - the above is a good example of our infantile narcissism where the universe revolves around us: Russia had no plans or designs on their own, noo - we had to do something (CIA nazi coup), and only then they reacted. If not for us, on their own, they'd be happily tending their allotments now. Not.
12:08 PM · May 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And you know "Russia is not about to attack 'Europe'" in the future how exactly? By looking in a crystal ball and seeing the future, or whispering straight into Putin's head, thus altering the future?
Ukraine - Russia's aim is to control it fully, by any means and including war conquest. We know b/c Russians from Putin and all the way down are telling us, often in English for our convenience. Still we are so thick and challenged in the comprehension department that they have to repeat the message for years on end.
Europe plans - latest in the series is Carlson's Dugin interview, again given for our convenience.
TBF we're quite on brand presuming there exists some magical easy solution, that previously escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill - no less! Further - the above is a good example of our infantile narcissism where the universe revolves around us: Russia had no plans or designs on their own, noo - we had to do something (CIA nazi coup), and only then they reacted. If not for us, on their own, they'd be happily tending their allotments now. Not.
12:08 PM · May 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786708002461851696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe. I was speculating, trying to second guess the residents of Virginia Water mansions, why they are switching CON->LDM. I used to live near by and drive through commuting. Currently I live in a relatively affluent area where well off pple are also switching CON->LDM too.
11:42 AM · May 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe. I was speculating, trying to second guess the residents of Virginia Water mansions, why they are switching CON->LDM. I used to live near by and drive through commuting. Currently I live in a relatively affluent area where well off pple are also switching CON->LDM too.
11:42 AM · May 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786683264335274439
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c Scotland is a net positive for the UK - no matter what the macro economics illiterate brilo writes above. If Scotland leaves (and tbf I hope it doesn't, out of self-interest - every UK part is better off together), then it will be up to them what happens. Nothing is predetermined, everything is possible.
10:04 AM · May 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c Scotland is a net positive for the UK - no matter what the macro economics illiterate brilo writes above. If Scotland leaves (and tbf I hope it doesn't, out of self-interest - every UK part is better off together), then it will be up to them what happens. Nothing is predetermined, everything is possible.
10:04 AM · May 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786498099491254326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LDM-s are what CON-s were cca 2010 i.e. conservative as in "conserve the present"? ;-) Current CON-s are rabid "burn the house down" Bolshevik-style radicals afacs. From BoJo "f*ck business" clown to Lizz-the-lettuce fruitcake. "Thinks need to change in order to stay the same".
9:48 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
LDM-s are what CON-s were cca 2010 i.e. conservative as in "conserve the present"? ;-) Current CON-s are rabid "burn the house down" Bolshevik-style radicals afacs. From BoJo "f*ck business" clown to Lizz-the-lettuce fruitcake. "Thinks need to change in order to stay the same".
9:48 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786474383411712087
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema bas vrska kapitalizmot. Jas ziveev i vo socijalizmot, i toj propadna vo golema mera od lazenje i kradenje. I vo socijalizmot i vo kapitalizmot toa sto e privatno e kolku-tolku zastiteno, a toa sto e drzavno e izlozeno na krazba. Vo socijalizmot drzavnoto bese mnogu, i bese kradeno bezmilosno duri ne ostana nisto od nego.
8:14 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema bas vrska kapitalizmot. Jas ziveev i vo socijalizmot, i toj propadna vo golema mera od lazenje i kradenje. I vo socijalizmot i vo kapitalizmot toa sto e privatno e kolku-tolku zastiteno, a toa sto e drzavno e izlozeno na krazba. Vo socijalizmot drzavnoto bese mnogu, i bese kradeno bezmilosno duri ne ostana nisto od nego.
8:14 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786463822078714023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone can indicate to their hearts content. If you want to find out what the reality is, rather than seek to have your beliefs validated, best to stick to "as mach as primary sources as possible". E.g. see the Foreign Affairs articles that go through that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786418977129787506 , check kremlin ru Putin speeches translated into English for context, check Tucker Carlson's Putin & Dugin interviews and do listen to what they say. They grant the interviews so they relay their message to us, for our own convenience - that's why they bother with Tucker. Regarding BoJo - my understanding is that one of the several things that needed to happen for a deal, was a demand by Ukr that Nato (so incl UK) put boots on the ground in Ukr. The UK rightly said NO, as UK is in no condition to offer any such thing (and this is the message that BoJo relayed). That people above seem oblivious to "UK boots on the ground" for a deal, and keep touting that deal as a good thing for UK, makes me think they haven't read that much. The idea that there is a magic solution that no one has thought about, and now these geniuses are going to find a solution (that previously escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill - no less!) is for the birds.
7:32 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anyone can indicate to their hearts content. If you want to find out what the reality is, rather than seek to have your beliefs validated, best to stick to "as mach as primary sources as possible". E.g. see the Foreign Affairs articles that go through that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786418977129787506 , check kremlin ru Putin speeches translated into English for context, check Tucker Carlson's Putin & Dugin interviews and do listen to what they say. They grant the interviews so they relay their message to us, for our own convenience - that's why they bother with Tucker. Regarding BoJo - my understanding is that one of the several things that needed to happen for a deal, was a demand by Ukr that Nato (so incl UK) put boots on the ground in Ukr. The UK rightly said NO, as UK is in no condition to offer any such thing (and this is the message that BoJo relayed). That people above seem oblivious to "UK boots on the ground" for a deal, and keep touting that deal as a good thing for UK, makes me think they haven't read that much. The idea that there is a magic solution that no one has thought about, and now these geniuses are going to find a solution (that previously escaped both Chamberlain and Churchill - no less!) is for the birds.
7:32 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786447470509109620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A plain text file under git called logBook with sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO (in that order). Regex matches - entry start ^- , entry separator ^$ . Entries move sections without much editing, cut&paste. Entry that spends too long in TODO is automatically moved into DONTDO.
6:27 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A plain text file under git called logBook with sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO (in that order). Regex matches - entry start ^- , entry separator ^$ . Entries move sections without much editing, cut&paste. Entry that spends too long in TODO is automatically moved into DONTDO.
6:27 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786441760186544435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
HMT is a good servant, but a bad master
6:04 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
HMT is a good servant, but a bad master
6:04 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786441372112662808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
scrap VAT, don't reform it
6:03 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
scrap VAT, don't reform it
6:03 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786418977129787506
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Negotiating is fine and not too difficult compared to everything else, getting to a deal is a completely different matter. The option for the Ukrainians to lay down the arms and accept to be part of a Neo-Russian empire, with their governors appointed by Kremlin and everything else that goes with that (russification, extinguishment of the nation etc) - that's always available. They could have done it at any point since Feb-2022 up to and including today.
A lot has been written about negotiations recently see https://foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/talks-could-have-ended-war-ukraine , comments on it https://twitter.com/slantchev/status/1780267015091183934, also additions by witnesses https://twitter.com/dszeligowski/status/1785771531458462188, before that https://foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/obstacles-diplomacy-ukraine etc etc
4:34 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Negotiating is fine and not too difficult compared to everything else, getting to a deal is a completely different matter. The option for the Ukrainians to lay down the arms and accept to be part of a Neo-Russian empire, with their governors appointed by Kremlin and everything else that goes with that (russification, extinguishment of the nation etc) - that's always available. They could have done it at any point since Feb-2022 up to and including today.
A lot has been written about negotiations recently see https://foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/talks-could-have-ended-war-ukraine , comments on it https://twitter.com/slantchev/status/1780267015091183934, also additions by witnesses https://twitter.com/dszeligowski/status/1785771531458462188, before that https://foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/obstacles-diplomacy-ukraine etc etc
4:34 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786396311903694935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Si ja cital "Planeta Zena" od Jovo Tosevski? Tezata mu e deka seksualnosta (a ne trudot! - slusaj vamo slushaj dobro druzhe Marks) go sozdala choveshtvoto odnosno coveckiot vid. Vo seksualnosta (a ne vo razumot, racete, oginot etc) coveckiot vid najmnogu se razlikuva od drugite.
3:04 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Si ja cital "Planeta Zena" od Jovo Tosevski? Tezata mu e deka seksualnosta (a ne trudot! - slusaj vamo slushaj dobro druzhe Marks) go sozdala choveshtvoto odnosno coveckiot vid. Vo seksualnosta (a ne vo razumot, racete, oginot etc) coveckiot vid najmnogu se razlikuva od drugite.
3:04 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786392907680780683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Zapadot ne skara" e komforna prikazna sto ex-YU si ja raskazuvame megu sebe za da ja odbegneme licnata odgovornost za vojnite vo YU. Jas ziveev togash vo YU i sledev politika. Zapadot (US, UK, FR; no ne i DE, DE gi poddrzuvase SLO I HRV) inicijalno i posle podolgo vreme ja poddrzuvase Srbija, vo naporot YU da ne se raspadne. Ambasadorot na SAD vo YU bese tolku pro-SRB sto go vikaa "Lorens od Srbija". 2riot Covek na SAD James Baker odrza govor vo parlamentot na Slovenija kade gi povika i predupredi da ne se otcepuvaat. PM an federalnata vlada Ante Markovic imase celo vreme poddrska od SAD i sl. Duri i podocna pri potpisuvanje na Dejtonski Dogovor na pr. Slobo (koj izvrsi golem pritisok na bosanskite srbi, vklucitelno i blokada na granicata na Drina) bese "faktor na mirot" i uzivse poddrska od SAD. Mnogu raboti se zaboravija posle tolku vreme. Raspadot ne bese eden nastan, imase mnogu nastani vo period od 10 godini. Sega koga slusam nekogas luge sto zborat - ne znam dali se mladi pa ne ziveele vo toa vreme, ili stari ama podzaboravile - kako gi opisuvaat nastanite od toa vreme, po mene nema vrska so realnosta kako bese.
2:50 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Zapadot ne skara" e komforna prikazna sto ex-YU si ja raskazuvame megu sebe za da ja odbegneme licnata odgovornost za vojnite vo YU. Jas ziveev togash vo YU i sledev politika. Zapadot (US, UK, FR; no ne i DE, DE gi poddrzuvase SLO I HRV) inicijalno i posle podolgo vreme ja poddrzuvase Srbija, vo naporot YU da ne se raspadne. Ambasadorot na SAD vo YU bese tolku pro-SRB sto go vikaa "Lorens od Srbija". 2riot Covek na SAD James Baker odrza govor vo parlamentot na Slovenija kade gi povika i predupredi da ne se otcepuvaat. PM an federalnata vlada Ante Markovic imase celo vreme poddrska od SAD i sl. Duri i podocna pri potpisuvanje na Dejtonski Dogovor na pr. Slobo (koj izvrsi golem pritisok na bosanskite srbi, vklucitelno i blokada na granicata na Drina) bese "faktor na mirot" i uzivse poddrska od SAD. Mnogu raboti se zaboravija posle tolku vreme. Raspadot ne bese eden nastan, imase mnogu nastani vo period od 10 godini. Sega koga slusam nekogas luge sto zborat - ne znam dali se mladi pa ne ziveele vo toa vreme, ili stari ama podzaboravile - kako gi opisuvaat nastanite od toa vreme, po mene nema vrska so realnosta kako bese.
2:50 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786386668674535552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What are you talking about? They negotiated and did not agree. Russia demanded (then and now) a total control over Ukraine. The West did not offer any meaningful guarantees to Ukraine (that it asked for). So it was a no deal. There have been recently couple of articles and threads incl by some of the participants that explained those negotiations well. Laying down the arms and submitting to being controlled by Russia is available at any time.
2:25 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What are you talking about? They negotiated and did not agree. Russia demanded (then and now) a total control over Ukraine. The West did not offer any meaningful guarantees to Ukraine (that it asked for). So it was a no deal. There have been recently couple of articles and threads incl by some of the participants that explained those negotiations well. Laying down the arms and submitting to being controlled by Russia is available at any time.
2:25 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786382626015568033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF - I have been listening and reading what Russian TV channels and shows and online PR say.
2:09 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF - I have been listening and reading what Russian TV channels and shows and online PR say.
2:09 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786381725100040329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The thing is, I put my arguments forward why ID cards are a bad idea for the UK, right now. So at no point did I advocate for all places at all times. Please sharpen your reading comprehension. You were rude enough to quite tweet me instead of replying directly. Had you done the latter, maybe you would have better noticed the context.
2:06 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The thing is, I put my arguments forward why ID cards are a bad idea for the UK, right now. So at no point did I advocate for all places at all times. Please sharpen your reading comprehension. You were rude enough to quite tweet me instead of replying directly. Had you done the latter, maybe you would have better noticed the context.
2:06 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786380373653422207
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I trust their propaganda when they are preparing their population for war. Even a dictator can't simply do it without PR persuasion. I think better take them at their word when they tell you what they will do. That's been a winner in predicting the future events so far.
2:00 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I trust their propaganda when they are preparing their population for war. Even a dictator can't simply do it without PR persuasion. I think better take them at their word when they tell you what they will do. That's been a winner in predicting the future events so far.
2:00 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786378073006359013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c it's cheaper in money and blood (ours) for Ukrainians to fight them in Ukraine than it is for Nato incl UK to fight them in Warsaw then Berlin. We are not helping the Ukrainians b/c we have a soft spot for them in our hearts. Russia will negotiate only the conditions of their total surrender. The option you pine for (understandably) is not available.
1:51 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c it's cheaper in money and blood (ours) for Ukrainians to fight them in Ukraine than it is for Nato incl UK to fight them in Warsaw then Berlin. We are not helping the Ukrainians b/c we have a soft spot for them in our hearts. Russia will negotiate only the conditions of their total surrender. The option you pine for (understandably) is not available.
1:51 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786366320256192970
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That claim would be more credible if you actually pinpoint faults in my arguments. Play the game and not the player etc. I have had and used compulsory ID card for the first 30 years of my life. And then for the next 25 years, I lived fine without one. I know well enough, thank you very much.
1:04 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That claim would be more credible if you actually pinpoint faults in my arguments. Play the game and not the player etc. I have had and used compulsory ID card for the first 30 years of my life. And then for the next 25 years, I lived fine without one. I know well enough, thank you very much.
1:04 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786365051139473699
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe true, but it works good enough and costs not much. Compared to the closest neighbors France and Ireland, I see not one problem that UK has got, that France/Ireland have solved, by having compulsory ID cards. There is no particular reason for UK to put effort in ID cards. Let's keep the perspective - the only reason we are talking about ID cards is that CON-s assumed that can do some voter suppression US-style, so they sneaked voter ID. As with everything else CON-s did: solved no existing problems (there was not great deal vote fraud), but introduced half a dozen new problems that we did not have before.
12:59 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe true, but it works good enough and costs not much. Compared to the closest neighbors France and Ireland, I see not one problem that UK has got, that France/Ireland have solved, by having compulsory ID cards. There is no particular reason for UK to put effort in ID cards. Let's keep the perspective - the only reason we are talking about ID cards is that CON-s assumed that can do some voter suppression US-style, so they sneaked voter ID. As with everything else CON-s did: solved no existing problems (there was not great deal vote fraud), but introduced half a dozen new problems that we did not have before.
12:59 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786359009647231101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good for you! UK has not got any problems due to lack of ID cards. Compared to the closest neighbours like France and Ireland, there is no problem that UK has that France/Ireland have solved by having compulsory ID cards. Let's keep it that way - Estonia ID cards, UK no-ID cards. Live and let live. No reason for UK to put effort in them, when no problem exists, that would be solved by them, that would justify the effort in time and money. Seems perfectly reasonable and fair to me.
12:35 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good for you! UK has not got any problems due to lack of ID cards. Compared to the closest neighbours like France and Ireland, there is no problem that UK has that France/Ireland have solved by having compulsory ID cards. Let's keep it that way - Estonia ID cards, UK no-ID cards. Live and let live. No reason for UK to put effort in them, when no problem exists, that would be solved by them, that would justify the effort in time and money. Seems perfectly reasonable and fair to me.
12:35 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786355055853027474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not sure what you on about. We have no ID cards. End of story.
12:20 PM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not sure what you on about. We have no ID cards. End of story.
12:20 PM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786329079035080756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes to scrapping voter ID. No to ID cards - that's a bad bad idea, a solution in search of a problem. Does UK have unique problems compared to France, or Ireland (closest neighbors) caused by not having ID cards? No - it does not. Ergo - no need for them.
10:36 AM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes to scrapping voter ID. No to ID cards - that's a bad bad idea, a solution in search of a problem. Does UK have unique problems compared to France, or Ireland (closest neighbors) caused by not having ID cards? No - it does not. Ergo - no need for them.
10:36 AM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786321662171820068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) My kids grew with enough -ve stories, plus they spend time "in the old ctry" during summer & other school breaks that I hope had not built any illusions. If they ever want to change countries - it's usually easier to emigrate UK->any other country, then the other way around.
10:07 AM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) My kids grew with enough -ve stories, plus they spend time "in the old ctry" during summer & other school breaks that I hope had not built any illusions. If they ever want to change countries - it's usually easier to emigrate UK->any other country, then the other way around.
10:07 AM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786320104365388277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c where I lived it was an offense not have one on the person and not being able to show it on demand I think it was between 12am-5am. It was stuff of terror in my high school-university days: coming home from town after midnight, being stopped by a bored policeman, forgotten the ID card at home, unable to produce it, taken to the police station, parents being phoned woken up to come bring your ID and collect you home. ID cards are bad idea, a solution in search of a problem.
10:01 AM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c where I lived it was an offense not have one on the person and not being able to show it on demand I think it was between 12am-5am. It was stuff of terror in my high school-university days: coming home from town after midnight, being stopped by a bored policeman, forgotten the ID card at home, unable to produce it, taken to the police station, parents being phoned woken up to come bring your ID and collect you home. ID cards are bad idea, a solution in search of a problem.
10:01 AM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786316500157993142
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and their threshold maybe arbitrarily high).
The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%. Disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself. Fwiw - self-selection bias and all - on balance I prefer the UK no-ID system.
9:46 AM · May 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and their threshold maybe arbitrarily high).
The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%. Disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself. Fwiw - self-selection bias and all - on balance I prefer the UK no-ID system.
9:46 AM · May 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1786147233030717860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks - more power to you! 👏👍 I wrote my 1st trading system on the 2x times daily 35 min rides on the commuter train to-from work on a 7" Eeepc 701 netbook. Loved that tiny machine! 🥰
10:34 PM · May 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks - more power to you! 👏👍 I wrote my 1st trading system on the 2x times daily 35 min rides on the commuter train to-from work on a 7" Eeepc 701 netbook. Loved that tiny machine! 🥰
10:34 PM · May 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1785691168241537168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed 100%. TBF on an individual level, given how infinitesimally unlikely it is for any one vote to swing the course of history, I'm indeed being irrational, when I spend time voting. :-) Still we should all vote - as what's irrational at micro-level, is actually very rational at macro-level. Emergent phenomenon so to say. I use this to motivate my kids now young people. And also I guilt them via - "you have not spend a single day on this earth without someone else doing something for you, the water you drink every morning, the food you eat every day, the heat that heats our home, the home itself - all that was provided to you created by random anonymous other people you will never meet. As a citizen - it is your duty to give something back, e.g. your time - so go and vote." :-)
4:22 PM · May 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed 100%. TBF on an individual level, given how infinitesimally unlikely it is for any one vote to swing the course of history, I'm indeed being irrational, when I spend time voting. :-) Still we should all vote - as what's irrational at micro-level, is actually very rational at macro-level. Emergent phenomenon so to say. I use this to motivate my kids now young people. And also I guilt them via - "you have not spend a single day on this earth without someone else doing something for you, the water you drink every morning, the food you eat every day, the heat that heats our home, the home itself - all that was provided to you created by random anonymous other people you will never meet. As a citizen - it is your duty to give something back, e.g. your time - so go and vote." :-)
4:22 PM · May 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1785667532239536326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - what you found out is the norm when my side lets me down: they are CON voters, the CON 14 years rule has been bad, they are worse off, they know it. But to say "I was wrong to vote this" would be to admit an error. Most of us don't admit an error of judgement easily. That contradicts with our egos that tell us "I'm a good person, my actions in the world are good". So we fallback to the "they are all the same" position, meaning: "I did not make an error, b/c even if I had not voted CON I'd be in the same bad place now, nothing would change; I'm blameless, I didn't err". And so we salvage our egos intact unbruised when challenged by reality. This is the norm - not an exception.
2:48 PM · May 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - what you found out is the norm when my side lets me down: they are CON voters, the CON 14 years rule has been bad, they are worse off, they know it. But to say "I was wrong to vote this" would be to admit an error. Most of us don't admit an error of judgement easily. That contradicts with our egos that tell us "I'm a good person, my actions in the world are good". So we fallback to the "they are all the same" position, meaning: "I did not make an error, b/c even if I had not voted CON I'd be in the same bad place now, nothing would change; I'm blameless, I didn't err". And so we salvage our egos intact unbruised when challenged by reality. This is the norm - not an exception.
2:48 PM · May 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1785644583377928696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The problem with neoliberalism is that you eventually run out of other people's assets.
1:16 PM · May 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The problem with neoliberalism is that you eventually run out of other people's assets.
1:16 PM · May 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1785642269111927161
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK has YellowCard system for reporting all adverse medicine related events, C19 specifically here https://coronavirus-yellowcard.mhra.gov.uk. Someone used to run fortnightly/monthly reports summarising the data and stats, they were very good but not sure if still available (lost the link). Afair the comparative risks were also presented in an easy digestible form. The risks were ofc never zero.
1:07 PM · May 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK has YellowCard system for reporting all adverse medicine related events, C19 specifically here https://coronavirus-yellowcard.mhra.gov.uk. Someone used to run fortnightly/monthly reports summarising the data and stats, they were very good but not sure if still available (lost the link). Afair the comparative risks were also presented in an easy digestible form. The risks were ofc never zero.
1:07 PM · May 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1785275975254561094
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - in the UK London-Oxford-Cambridge triangle is like that: central gov forces development on them, they resist. Think @thomasforth 's written about this e.g https://twitter.com/thomasforth/status/1784620804451299531 : invest in the northern cities if southern ones refuse your investment, don't just scrap the investment altogether.
Quote
Tom Forth @thomasforth · Apr 28
Replying to @thomasforth
I argue that my position is the free market one. Stop subsidising Oxford and making it too important to fail and let Manchester and Leeds compete with it and win. And the typically more Conservative-coded position of forcing growth on Oxford is the big state picking winners one.
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12:52 PM · Apr 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - in the UK London-Oxford-Cambridge triangle is like that: central gov forces development on them, they resist. Think @thomasforth 's written about this e.g https://twitter.com/thomasforth/status/1784620804451299531 : invest in the northern cities if southern ones refuse your investment, don't just scrap the investment altogether.
Quote
Tom Forth @thomasforth · Apr 28
Replying to @thomasforth
I argue that my position is the free market one. Stop subsidising Oxford and making it too important to fail and let Manchester and Leeds compete with it and win. And the typically more Conservative-coded position of forcing growth on Oxford is the big state picking winners one.
Show more
12:52 PM · Apr 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1785266093570846795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I think that's the idea, and the biggest pro-localism argument: have a laboratory for public policy experiments, all local scale, some fail, others succeed, the ones that succeed are hopefully replicated by other local units.
12:13 PM · Apr 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I think that's the idea, and the biggest pro-localism argument: have a laboratory for public policy experiments, all local scale, some fail, others succeed, the ones that succeed are hopefully replicated by other local units.
12:13 PM · Apr 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1785256782664724728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True this - incentives are set that way. Excellent 👏👏
This is part of the point of devolution. The British government and in particular its mighty Treasury is good at stopping sins of commission. White elephants do exist but they are rare, since so many projects are aborted moments after conception. As a result, however, sins of omission are common. Devolution means more things will be tried because of decisions made by local politicians. But that will, inevitably, lead to mistakes.
Quote
Duncan Robinson @duncanrobinson · Apr 30
The overlooked part of devolution is that it is a massssive gamble. Might work, might not. Wrote about it here: Local British politics is a mix of the good, the bad and the mad
https://economist.com/britain/2024/04/17/local-british-politics-is-a-mix-of-the-good-the-bad-and-the-mad
from The Economist
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11:36 AM · Apr 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True this - incentives are set that way. Excellent 👏👏
This is part of the point of devolution. The British government and in particular its mighty Treasury is good at stopping sins of commission. White elephants do exist but they are rare, since so many projects are aborted moments after conception. As a result, however, sins of omission are common. Devolution means more things will be tried because of decisions made by local politicians. But that will, inevitably, lead to mistakes.
Quote
Duncan Robinson @duncanrobinson · Apr 30
The overlooked part of devolution is that it is a massssive gamble. Might work, might not. Wrote about it here: Local British politics is a mix of the good, the bad and the mad
https://economist.com/britain/2024/04/17/local-british-politics-is-a-mix-of-the-good-the-bad-and-the-mad
from The Economist
Show more
11:36 AM · Apr 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784999339661672702
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Impossible to quantify plus covariates => equal weight, but you need more factors. Add -
1) UK had macro-illiterate austerity of Dave & George 2010+, US has had Big Fiscal, BBB, IRA.
2) UK is super centralized. If UK treasury (FinMin) says NO to a project, then that's it. And this can happen even after the Parliament voted for it. (with a weak PM lacking clear mandate b/c not won an election)
3) There is not a 2nd big agglomeration with revenue raising authority (yet; maybe ~Manchester~ in the future?) competing with London that can vary policy and try things different.
6:33 PM · Apr 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Impossible to quantify plus covariates => equal weight, but you need more factors. Add -
1) UK had macro-illiterate austerity of Dave & George 2010+, US has had Big Fiscal, BBB, IRA.
2) UK is super centralized. If UK treasury (FinMin) says NO to a project, then that's it. And this can happen even after the Parliament voted for it. (with a weak PM lacking clear mandate b/c not won an election)
3) There is not a 2nd big agglomeration with revenue raising authority (yet; maybe ~Manchester~ in the future?) competing with London that can vary policy and try things different.
6:33 PM · Apr 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784942408938983758
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF I've sat there b/c it's a great central outside sitting space by the river and I find the building just about bearable. If they combined a lot of wood with concrete so to "soften it" (incl planting trees so there is shade in the summer by the river) - now I'd come looking specifically for that. :-)
2:46 PM · Apr 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF I've sat there b/c it's a great central outside sitting space by the river and I find the building just about bearable. If they combined a lot of wood with concrete so to "soften it" (incl planting trees so there is shade in the summer by the river) - now I'd come looking specifically for that. :-)
2:46 PM · Apr 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784919869248377166
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most forward looking ones like @CarolineLucas sense the end of the road for the current orthodoxy & are searching for their next strategic direction maybe? English have no great impetus to revolt as what they want they do get within the UK - c.f. the conclusion to the excellent @duncanrobinson article you cite.
1:17 PM · Apr 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The most forward looking ones like @CarolineLucas sense the end of the road for the current orthodoxy & are searching for their next strategic direction maybe? English have no great impetus to revolt as what they want they do get within the UK - c.f. the conclusion to the excellent @duncanrobinson article you cite.
1:17 PM · Apr 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784908771006804419
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is "great deal of ruination in a nation" but it's not infinite and at some point we get to live with the consequences of our errors. We "got it good and hard" - what sufficient majority voted for.
1) First the telegenic but macro-imbecilic dynamic due of Dave & George (with Clegg & Danny lending a helping hand) swindled the nation Re: austerity while feathering their owns' nests. In contrast - US was doing big fiscal.
2) The energy policy Re: renewables/net-zero is similarly innumerate - so we are paying the highest bills ever - and illogical - we pay other people to drill for us but we don't drill ourselves (as if it matters for the climate who drills). In contrast - US has become the biggest oil producer in history ever. Plus the shale gas.
3) The UK treasury has such stranglehold on any big projects - combo of centralization of power and the governments being weak due to morons leading us and or being unelected lacking clear mandate - and is incentivized to say "NO - there is no money left" b/c it's less risky, b/c one can do no wrong by lazying sitting on the hands whereas any action exposes us to risk of failure - that it results in a stasis.
4) Hard Brexit erecting barriers to trade between our biggest market on our doorstep ofc leads to increased frictions (i.e. costs) and reduced volumes than otherwise would the case (in the EEA or SM+CU counterfactuals). Again - noone else to blame but 35-40% of us that voted for it.
5) The planning system designed to put as many obstacles as possible to developments - everyone knows about this, but there is not enough political power to change it any way, nimbys rule is here to stay.
Quote
Lewis Shaw @financial_shaw · Apr 28
And what’s the difference between the UK and USA. The US weren’t stupid enough to implement austerity polices as Dave and George did here.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is "great deal of ruination in a nation" but it's not infinite and at some point we get to live with the consequences of our errors. We "got it good and hard" - what sufficient majority voted for.
1) First the telegenic but macro-imbecilic dynamic due of Dave & George (with Clegg & Danny lending a helping hand) swindled the nation Re: austerity while feathering their owns' nests. In contrast - US was doing big fiscal.
2) The energy policy Re: renewables/net-zero is similarly innumerate - so we are paying the highest bills ever - and illogical - we pay other people to drill for us but we don't drill ourselves (as if it matters for the climate who drills). In contrast - US has become the biggest oil producer in history ever. Plus the shale gas.
3) The UK treasury has such stranglehold on any big projects - combo of centralization of power and the governments being weak due to morons leading us and or being unelected lacking clear mandate - and is incentivized to say "NO - there is no money left" b/c it's less risky, b/c one can do no wrong by lazying sitting on the hands whereas any action exposes us to risk of failure - that it results in a stasis.
4) Hard Brexit erecting barriers to trade between our biggest market on our doorstep ofc leads to increased frictions (i.e. costs) and reduced volumes than otherwise would the case (in the EEA or SM+CU counterfactuals). Again - noone else to blame but 35-40% of us that voted for it.
5) The planning system designed to put as many obstacles as possible to developments - everyone knows about this, but there is not enough political power to change it any way, nimbys rule is here to stay.
Quote
Lewis Shaw @financial_shaw · Apr 28
And what’s the difference between the UK and USA. The US weren’t stupid enough to implement austerity polices as Dave and George did here.
🇺🇸 GDP per capita 2008 $48570
🇬🇧 GDP per capita 2008 $ 48396
🇬🇧 GDP per capita 2008 $ 48396
🇺🇸 GDP per capita 2023 $80412
🇬🇧 GDP per capita 2023 $48912 x.com/moving_charlie…
Show more
12:33 PM · Apr 29, 2024
🇬🇧 GDP per capita 2023 $48912 x.com/moving_charlie…
Show more
12:33 PM · Apr 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784602333273366687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Perfect single tweet illustration of the UK challenges this moment: propertied rent extraction class entitled to their tax on business as if god given right, incompetent managerial class stuck in buts-on-chairs style of management, crying for gov intervention to save them from the creative destruction of technological change.
Quote
Merryn Somerset Webb @MerrynSW · Apr 27
Turns out WFH isn’t more productive after all… The working-from-home illusion fades https://economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/06/28/the-working-from-home-delusion-fades
4:15 PM · Apr 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Perfect single tweet illustration of the UK challenges this moment: propertied rent extraction class entitled to their tax on business as if god given right, incompetent managerial class stuck in buts-on-chairs style of management, crying for gov intervention to save them from the creative destruction of technological change.
Quote
Merryn Somerset Webb @MerrynSW · Apr 27
Turns out WFH isn’t more productive after all… The working-from-home illusion fades https://economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/06/28/the-working-from-home-delusion-fades
4:15 PM · Apr 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784559314289459648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about this startup - but not always true that "theory before practice". Many examples listed in https://mattridley.co.uk/books/how-innovation-works/ where invention/innovation came first, then the theory to explain it came after, and helped improve it.
From mattridley.co.uk
1:24 PM · Apr 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about this startup - but not always true that "theory before practice". Many examples listed in https://mattridley.co.uk/books/how-innovation-works/ where invention/innovation came first, then the theory to explain it came after, and helped improve it.
From mattridley.co.uk
1:24 PM · Apr 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784521387987579272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - and I'm pro-GMO, I think it's worth the risks. But the original Q was steelman anti-GMO argument. To me an event 1) unintended harmful + 2) spreads widely + 3) can't be undone seems like it.
10:53 AM · Apr 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed - and I'm pro-GMO, I think it's worth the risks. But the original Q was steelman anti-GMO argument. To me an event 1) unintended harmful + 2) spreads widely + 3) can't be undone seems like it.
10:53 AM · Apr 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784515646178423220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An intervention has unintended consequence, spreads over the entire ecosystem, and we can't undo it. That seems a fair criticism to me. Low probability, but high consequence event.
10:30 AM · Apr 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An intervention has unintended consequence, spreads over the entire ecosystem, and we can't undo it. That seems a fair criticism to me. Low probability, but high consequence event.
10:30 AM · Apr 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784302553762517335
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂😂 - yes now I know. C and C++ were never super keen on arrays. Only recently I learned of run-time Ndim arrays as Variably Modified Types here
https://gustedt.wordpress.com/2011/01/09/dont-be-afraid-of-variably-modified-types/
gustedt.wordpress.com
don’t be afraid of variably modified types
This post is about a subject that easily triggers a lot of polemic and diverging opinions, so I will try to be careful to get things right. In any case the message of this post may be summarized as…
8:24 PM · Apr 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂😂 - yes now I know. C and C++ were never super keen on arrays. Only recently I learned of run-time Ndim arrays as Variably Modified Types here
https://gustedt.wordpress.com/2011/01/09/dont-be-afraid-of-variably-modified-types/
gustedt.wordpress.com
don’t be afraid of variably modified types
This post is about a subject that easily triggers a lot of polemic and diverging opinions, so I will try to be careful to get things right. In any case the message of this post may be summarized as…
8:24 PM · Apr 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1784142781713154387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why didn't C introduce a keyword to allow the programmer to tell the compiler "this pointer points to memory that will at no point be aliased, assume exclusive access, optimize away" - I shell never know.
9:49 AM · Apr 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why didn't C introduce a keyword to allow the programmer to tell the compiler "this pointer points to memory that will at no point be aliased, assume exclusive access, optimize away" - I shell never know.
9:49 AM · Apr 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783877796642599320
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se iznasmea so del. So toj del sto ne e zainteresiran za resavanje na problemite (vo ovoj slucaj - climate change). Toa bilo "solutionism" - i ne bilo dobro. Del koj e zainteresiran problemite da gi iskoristi za (po nego) "voveduvanje komunizam". Takva frakcija sto ne e zaniteresirana za resavanje na problemi, tuku e zainteresirana da gi iskoristi problemite da dojde na vlast, pa da se slusa nivniot zbor, i posle da pravat sekakvi ludorii sto si gi zamislile - postoi. Pa nie vo ex-YU od 1990-ta navamu bevme vladeeni od takvi likovi. Problemite (koi gi imase mnogu i bea realni vistinski) gi iskoristija da dojdat na vlast, tie da bidat shefovi, nivniot zbor da se slusa. I posle otkako dojdoa na vlast - nieden problem ne reshija! Vo mnogu oblasti - i natovarija novi ekstra problemi. Musk e 100% vo pravo da gi kritikuva vakvite likovi. I site treba da gi kritikuvame i da im se potsmevame, da gi kazuvame - "nesposobni, mrzlivi, glupi".
4:16 PM · Apr 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se iznasmea so del. So toj del sto ne e zainteresiran za resavanje na problemite (vo ovoj slucaj - climate change). Toa bilo "solutionism" - i ne bilo dobro. Del koj e zainteresiran problemite da gi iskoristi za (po nego) "voveduvanje komunizam". Takva frakcija sto ne e zaniteresirana za resavanje na problemi, tuku e zainteresirana da gi iskoristi problemite da dojde na vlast, pa da se slusa nivniot zbor, i posle da pravat sekakvi ludorii sto si gi zamislile - postoi. Pa nie vo ex-YU od 1990-ta navamu bevme vladeeni od takvi likovi. Problemite (koi gi imase mnogu i bea realni vistinski) gi iskoristija da dojdat na vlast, tie da bidat shefovi, nivniot zbor da se slusa. I posle otkako dojdoa na vlast - nieden problem ne reshija! Vo mnogu oblasti - i natovarija novi ekstra problemi. Musk e 100% vo pravo da gi kritikuva vakvite likovi. I site treba da gi kritikuvame i da im se potsmevame, da gi kazuvame - "nesposobni, mrzlivi, glupi".
4:16 PM · Apr 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783457850053861546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think after decades of piling up there is so much fraud and stealing in the average SC by now, that if MA were to be employed hired-fired by LHolders rather than FHolders tomorrow, the average SC will come down by a factor of x3-x7 times. It's extraordinary that @UKParliament allowed whole sale looting of citizens to continue for so long. Brings other laws of the country in disrepute too. Current LHold law is making the country lawless.
12:27 PM · Apr 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think after decades of piling up there is so much fraud and stealing in the average SC by now, that if MA were to be employed hired-fired by LHolders rather than FHolders tomorrow, the average SC will come down by a factor of x3-x7 times. It's extraordinary that @UKParliament allowed whole sale looting of citizens to continue for so long. Brings other laws of the country in disrepute too. Current LHold law is making the country lawless.
12:27 PM · Apr 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783426382996914622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not either-or, it's yes to both. Fission building at scale needs to happen rn, as of yesterday. If France could do it in 1970-s and quick, so can everyone else half a century latter, and using lessons learned: standardization at all levels - design, regulation, build.
10:22 AM · Apr 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not either-or, it's yes to both. Fission building at scale needs to happen rn, as of yesterday. If France could do it in 1970-s and quick, so can everyone else half a century latter, and using lessons learned: standardization at all levels - design, regulation, build.
10:22 AM · Apr 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783425572044947760
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct insight, good examples. Extra points for MONIAC! :-) Plus wasn't there an analogy between the equations describing electrical current and circuits, and equations describing fluid flows?
10:19 AM · Apr 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct insight, good examples. Extra points for MONIAC! :-) Plus wasn't there an analogy between the equations describing electrical current and circuits, and equations describing fluid flows?
10:19 AM · Apr 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783423283569770948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! The level of ignorance and cluelessness exhibited is truly of the charts. MSM really is "blind leading the blind". No wonder newspapers are dying. Random vox populi on the street will muster a better take than a paid journalist. This below is just stupid - no other words for it
Quote
marydejevsky @marydejevsky · Apr 24
#PMQs @AngelaRayner clearly has no understanding of #leasehold. Of course, new houses should not be sold leasehold, but flats have to have a way of sharing common costs. No lawyer would advise buying freehold flat. Ppl need to understand this.
10:10 AM · Apr 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! The level of ignorance and cluelessness exhibited is truly of the charts. MSM really is "blind leading the blind". No wonder newspapers are dying. Random vox populi on the street will muster a better take than a paid journalist. This below is just stupid - no other words for it
Quote
marydejevsky @marydejevsky · Apr 24
#PMQs @AngelaRayner clearly has no understanding of #leasehold. Of course, new houses should not be sold leasehold, but flats have to have a way of sharing common costs. No lawyer would advise buying freehold flat. Ppl need to understand this.
10:10 AM · Apr 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783415826944491617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most excellent! 👏👏 Love the compare-and-contrast REF-LDM. "Nothing is Real" goes half the way of "... and Everything is Possible" of @peterpomeranzev and that's quantitatively about where CON-s are: half way towards "everything a cosplay" of the fantasists wing of the party.
9:40 AM · Apr 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most excellent! 👏👏 Love the compare-and-contrast REF-LDM. "Nothing is Real" goes half the way of "... and Everything is Possible" of @peterpomeranzev and that's quantitatively about where CON-s are: half way towards "everything a cosplay" of the fantasists wing of the party.
9:40 AM · Apr 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783408650666602975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - the impulse to lecture the other rather than help is very strong. Solutionism FTW when out and about! 😊 We should save our moralisations for the privacy if our living rooms.
9:12 AM · Apr 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - the impulse to lecture the other rather than help is very strong. Solutionism FTW when out and about! 😊 We should save our moralisations for the privacy if our living rooms.
9:12 AM · Apr 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783231083045081226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - seems @hmtreasury is a good servant but a bad master. Seems too many decisions are deferred to them considering the blunders and bad decisions spanning decades?
Quote
Harry Scoffin @HarryScoffin · Apr 24
🚨HEAR WE GO AGAIN🚨
@hmtreasury colluding with Big Freeholders to thwart the will of the people and sabotage a Conservative manifesto pledge?
Nothing is in the bag until it is in the bag.
Leaseholders, brace yourselves for the great betrayal. x.com/e_casalicchio/…
Show more
Image
9:26 PM · Apr 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - seems @hmtreasury is a good servant but a bad master. Seems too many decisions are deferred to them considering the blunders and bad decisions spanning decades?
Quote
Harry Scoffin @HarryScoffin · Apr 24
🚨HEAR WE GO AGAIN🚨
@hmtreasury colluding with Big Freeholders to thwart the will of the people and sabotage a Conservative manifesto pledge?
Nothing is in the bag until it is in the bag.
Leaseholders, brace yourselves for the great betrayal. x.com/e_casalicchio/…
Show more
Image
9:26 PM · Apr 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783168143096959095
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. Through the coax cable it's only VM, there is no other provider afaik. We get Openreach (or other providers) through the other cable - FTTP (not sure what P stand for in FTTP Fiber-to-the-P???).
5:16 PM · Apr 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. Through the coax cable it's only VM, there is no other provider afaik. We get Openreach (or other providers) through the other cable - FTTP (not sure what P stand for in FTTP Fiber-to-the-P???).
5:16 PM · Apr 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783139291515781521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I cancelled i.e. gave notice, then while still within the 1 month notice period (when I still had VM service) they contacted me and offered a much better deal, think it was something like ~ £30 pcm - ymmv ofc.
3:21 PM · Apr 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I cancelled i.e. gave notice, then while still within the 1 month notice period (when I still had VM service) they contacted me and offered a much better deal, think it was something like ~ £30 pcm - ymmv ofc.
3:21 PM · Apr 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783128890854027309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Future visions can't be "spot on" as we don't know the future. His forecasts may come true, or they may be shown false and not happen - as is the case with most forecasts about the future.
Hatred towards him - yeah that's silly and baseless, a mix on envy and stupid, just mute, avoid, pay no attention.
2:40 PM · Apr 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Future visions can't be "spot on" as we don't know the future. His forecasts may come true, or they may be shown false and not happen - as is the case with most forecasts about the future.
Hatred towards him - yeah that's silly and baseless, a mix on envy and stupid, just mute, avoid, pay no attention.
2:40 PM · Apr 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783097501505171483
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - 29/36. More interested that >half of my errors were in the top-2, with prevaricating "this-or-that could be either" was a cost in that the initial guess was right and 2nd guessing self was wrong.
12:35 PM · Apr 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - 29/36. More interested that >half of my errors were in the top-2, with prevaricating "this-or-that could be either" was a cost in that the initial guess was right and 2nd guessing self was wrong.
12:35 PM · Apr 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1783039270740967890
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... this page https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ThinkPad_T_series enumerates how many slots (RAM, M.2) in every model. Having said that - MacBook 2nd hand avoids "Apple tax", the battery life alone is worth it + the screen extra, and between the MacOS being Unix and $ brew one gets all tools needed.
en.wikipedia.org
ThinkPad T series - Wikipedia
8:44 AM · Apr 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... this page https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ThinkPad_T_series enumerates how many slots (RAM, M.2) in every model. Having said that - MacBook 2nd hand avoids "Apple tax", the battery life alone is worth it + the screen extra, and between the MacOS being Unix and $ brew one gets all tools needed.
en.wikipedia.org
ThinkPad T series - Wikipedia
8:44 AM · Apr 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782878071856505238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have data oriented jobs and need Linux - so far cheap 2nd hand Thinkpad-s with ram slots have worked. I buy online 32GB or 64GB RAM, 4TB SSD and max batteries (two) and put them in. Just make sure to buy models with extra quality display (the standard display sucks).
10:03 PM · Apr 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have data oriented jobs and need Linux - so far cheap 2nd hand Thinkpad-s with ram slots have worked. I buy online 32GB or 64GB RAM, 4TB SSD and max batteries (two) and put them in. Just make sure to buy models with extra quality display (the standard display sucks).
10:03 PM · Apr 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782872144038301932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EU is a union of states, not of people. There can't be an EU democracy, as there is not an EU demos. Nation is largest group of people where a minority 49% losers accepts the will of 51% winners without war. Ergo biggest democratic group of people currently feasible is a nation state.
9:40 PM · Apr 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EU is a union of states, not of people. There can't be an EU democracy, as there is not an EU demos. Nation is largest group of people where a minority 49% losers accepts the will of 51% winners without war. Ergo biggest democratic group of people currently feasible is a nation state.
9:40 PM · Apr 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782406351320125939
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boosters start at disadvantage against the doomers in the "build yes/no" battles, b/c the Treasury is too good at their job protecting the public purse, and too many people believe the easy excuse "there is no money left in the purse". It's a lazy-person-sitting-on-his-hands dream come true: do nothing, no one can prove you wrong, you never fail, there are never any problems, life is good. (you maybe promoted too) In contrast, building stuff exposes you to risk as you may fail, in the process many things will go wrong, all manner of discontents will come after your head. Ofc price stability $$$/widget is serious business and few nations go down the drain when a lunatic takes over the public purse and destroys the $$$ value. However - it is possible to keep the $$$/widgets ratio stable by increasing both the numerator *and* the denominator (by building widgets!) - it's just hard and exposes builders to risks. But therein lies growth of the economy - by definition.
2:49 PM · Apr 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boosters start at disadvantage against the doomers in the "build yes/no" battles, b/c the Treasury is too good at their job protecting the public purse, and too many people believe the easy excuse "there is no money left in the purse". It's a lazy-person-sitting-on-his-hands dream come true: do nothing, no one can prove you wrong, you never fail, there are never any problems, life is good. (you maybe promoted too) In contrast, building stuff exposes you to risk as you may fail, in the process many things will go wrong, all manner of discontents will come after your head. Ofc price stability $$$/widget is serious business and few nations go down the drain when a lunatic takes over the public purse and destroys the $$$ value. However - it is possible to keep the $$$/widgets ratio stable by increasing both the numerator *and* the denominator (by building widgets!) - it's just hard and exposes builders to risks. But therein lies growth of the economy - by definition.
2:49 PM · Apr 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782381240630317064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great column - great conclusion:
> English nationalism is absent because there is no need for it. Nationalism flourishes when people feel thwarted. But what England wants, England gets. England, usually, prefers a Conservative government and so Britain, usually, has one. England wanted out of the eu, and Britain did leave.
Quote
Duncan Robinson @duncanrobinson · 3h
Time to plug last year's St George's day column on the myth of the rise of English nationalism https://economist.com/britain/2023/04/19/if-english-nationalism-is-on-the-rise-no-one-has-told-the-english
1:09 PM · Apr 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great column - great conclusion:
> English nationalism is absent because there is no need for it. Nationalism flourishes when people feel thwarted. But what England wants, England gets. England, usually, prefers a Conservative government and so Britain, usually, has one. England wanted out of the eu, and Britain did leave.
Quote
Duncan Robinson @duncanrobinson · 3h
Time to plug last year's St George's day column on the myth of the rise of English nationalism https://economist.com/britain/2023/04/19/if-english-nationalism-is-on-the-rise-no-one-has-told-the-english
1:09 PM · Apr 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782362067736883545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Notice that US positions are most aligned to reality: on energy (shale), on how fiat currency works & what's im/possible (MMT), on drivers of growth - tech, build-build-build. UK still has a chance to chose better policies - atm standing still. EU is hopeless - moving in wrong directions.
11:53 AM · Apr 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Notice that US positions are most aligned to reality: on energy (shale), on how fiat currency works & what's im/possible (MMT), on drivers of growth - tech, build-build-build. UK still has a chance to chose better policies - atm standing still. EU is hopeless - moving in wrong directions.
11:53 AM · Apr 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782354505054507506
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh dear God no! - not green nationalism. Greens are great at analysis, but hopeless at synthesis. Synthesis requires numeracy and greens are not. With bad "solutions" for English nationalism we'll end up with UK civil wars ~2050. Hope this gets lost in the great pit of oblivion by time.
11:23 AM · Apr 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh dear God no! - not green nationalism. Greens are great at analysis, but hopeless at synthesis. Synthesis requires numeracy and greens are not. With bad "solutions" for English nationalism we'll end up with UK civil wars ~2050. Hope this gets lost in the great pit of oblivion by time.
11:23 AM · Apr 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782315995618591137
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like every invader ever before - exit strategy always exists for the aggressor: just leave, go home. Nurenberg is still a good guide - "War is essentially an evil thing. Its consequences are not confined to the belligerent states alone, but affect the whole world. To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole." - and applies regardless of who's doing the "aggressing".
8:50 AM · Apr 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Like every invader ever before - exit strategy always exists for the aggressor: just leave, go home. Nurenberg is still a good guide - "War is essentially an evil thing. Its consequences are not confined to the belligerent states alone, but affect the whole world. To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole." - and applies regardless of who's doing the "aggressing".
8:50 AM · Apr 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1782044064054943842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish this came true. A voice in the back of my head reminds me that the current crop of AI - neural networks - came to fruition after 40 years of trying and failing. And the breakthrough in the end was enabled by a completely different technology - GPU-s - unrelated to AI made for gaming. By a random chance by a happenstance, it so happened that Krizhevsky knew how to program GPU-s. First time I learned backpropagation of errors was at Uni, from the PDP notebooks, named "Parallel Distributed Processing" (https://stanford.edu/~jlmcc/papers/PDP/), b/c at that point "Neural Networks" have become a dirty word (during one of the NN AI winters).
2:49 PM · Apr 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish this came true. A voice in the back of my head reminds me that the current crop of AI - neural networks - came to fruition after 40 years of trying and failing. And the breakthrough in the end was enabled by a completely different technology - GPU-s - unrelated to AI made for gaming. By a random chance by a happenstance, it so happened that Krizhevsky knew how to program GPU-s. First time I learned backpropagation of errors was at Uni, from the PDP notebooks, named "Parallel Distributed Processing" (https://stanford.edu/~jlmcc/papers/PDP/), b/c at that point "Neural Networks" have become a dirty word (during one of the NN AI winters).
2:49 PM · Apr 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781989397287591956
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it is. It's 99% BS, and the 1% that is not, is usually a well known & documented effect. In this case - trending, stocks trend. One way to check a trend is to look at the local maximums & minimums: if they are getting higher => then uptrend, if lower => then downtrend.
11:12 AM · Apr 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it is. It's 99% BS, and the 1% that is not, is usually a well known & documented effect. In this case - trending, stocks trend. One way to check a trend is to look at the local maximums & minimums: if they are getting higher => then uptrend, if lower => then downtrend.
11:12 AM · Apr 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781969550021398828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So then say that - the bad things that can happen. Don't say "bankrupcy", which is about the only thing that actually *can't* happen willingly. It's easier if you spell out the truth of the matter. Why lie needlessly and if I may say - somewhat stupidly?
9:53 AM · Apr 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So then say that - the bad things that can happen. Don't say "bankrupcy", which is about the only thing that actually *can't* happen willingly. It's easier if you spell out the truth of the matter. Why lie needlessly and if I may say - somewhat stupidly?
9:53 AM · Apr 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781960378370359479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They remain owners, the ownership structure does not change - so not expropriation per se, and certainly "outright expropriation" is a ludicrous reading of it.
9:17 AM · Apr 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They remain owners, the ownership structure does not change - so not expropriation per se, and certainly "outright expropriation" is a ludicrous reading of it.
9:17 AM · Apr 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781671136868053133
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peace is the end aim, but the means of achieving peace are usually not pacifism. Otherwise we'd have had world peace by now. The reason being - to get peace 2 sides need to want it, to get war - only 1 side suffices to want it. Then the other side has no choice - it's a matter of life and death for them. An unfortunate state of the world. Still - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_aggression is the best guide we have. All should stick to it, and esp the most powerful countries (incl US). Earth is already parceled with borders for better or worse, and much blood was spilled for that. Let's use what we have for easy conflict resolution, like so: "the side that crosses into others' side territory is in the wrong".
Quote
Lex Fridman @lexfridman · Apr 13
Beware of warmongers and the military-industrial complex. A full-on regional war will lead to immeasurable suffering for everyone. It must be avoided at all costs.
2:07 PM · Apr 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peace is the end aim, but the means of achieving peace are usually not pacifism. Otherwise we'd have had world peace by now. The reason being - to get peace 2 sides need to want it, to get war - only 1 side suffices to want it. Then the other side has no choice - it's a matter of life and death for them. An unfortunate state of the world. Still - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_aggression is the best guide we have. All should stick to it, and esp the most powerful countries (incl US). Earth is already parceled with borders for better or worse, and much blood was spilled for that. Let's use what we have for easy conflict resolution, like so: "the side that crosses into others' side territory is in the wrong".
Quote
Lex Fridman @lexfridman · Apr 13
Beware of warmongers and the military-industrial complex. A full-on regional war will lead to immeasurable suffering for everyone. It must be avoided at all costs.
2:07 PM · Apr 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781631392071229922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A variant of, a spin on, Michael Crichton's "Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect". Not for newspapers and mass-media, but related: a person knowledgeable in area X, with great confidence & vigor pontificates in area Y, typically with mixed results (as would be expected). The confidence signal - coming from knowledge in X - manages to raise the the credibility in Y where it should not really, or at least not to the extent it does. Can think of it as "confidence cross-talk or leakage".
11:29 AM · Apr 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A variant of, a spin on, Michael Crichton's "Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect". Not for newspapers and mass-media, but related: a person knowledgeable in area X, with great confidence & vigor pontificates in area Y, typically with mixed results (as would be expected). The confidence signal - coming from knowledge in X - manages to raise the the credibility in Y where it should not really, or at least not to the extent it does. Can think of it as "confidence cross-talk or leakage".
11:29 AM · Apr 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781308740966252898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👏 +1. I posebno sto vo privatniot zivot von rabota bez problem prifakas se elektronsko: za poraka po mesindzer ili viber ne se somnevas "ah-ha, moze e falsifikat?!" I plus sto cesto shefovite *ne barrat* od tebe hartija, ne ti kazuvaat vaka ili onaka - hartijata e tvoj izbor.
2:07 PM · Apr 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👏 +1. I posebno sto vo privatniot zivot von rabota bez problem prifakas se elektronsko: za poraka po mesindzer ili viber ne se somnevas "ah-ha, moze e falsifikat?!" I plus sto cesto shefovite *ne barrat* od tebe hartija, ne ti kazuvaat vaka ili onaka - hartijata e tvoj izbor.
2:07 PM · Apr 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781237785828950044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The best argument I've heard: b/c they are telling us so repeatedly, from Putin all the way down. The mass propaganda, talking heads on daily TV, etc are already preparing the population. It's mentioned at some point in this excellent podcast but I can't find the timecode rn (sorry) https://youtube.com/watch?v=YcVSgYz5SJ8&t=2856s . Ofc it's impossible to foresee the future - but it's not unheard for the leaders to telegraph their intentions (e.g. Stalin, Hitler). Putin pursuing Russia "Continental empire" strategy (more land==better) also makes it rational for them. Even if it looks stupid to us.
9:25 AM · Apr 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The best argument I've heard: b/c they are telling us so repeatedly, from Putin all the way down. The mass propaganda, talking heads on daily TV, etc are already preparing the population. It's mentioned at some point in this excellent podcast but I can't find the timecode rn (sorry) https://youtube.com/watch?v=YcVSgYz5SJ8&t=2856s . Ofc it's impossible to foresee the future - but it's not unheard for the leaders to telegraph their intentions (e.g. Stalin, Hitler). Putin pursuing Russia "Continental empire" strategy (more land==better) also makes it rational for them. Even if it looks stupid to us.
9:25 AM · Apr 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781235686969929828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Deranged. It's possible to cosplay and posture for limited time only. She is way past that. At this point what you see is herself and she's telling everybody loud and clear what she is.
9:17 AM · Apr 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Deranged. It's possible to cosplay and posture for limited time only. She is way past that. At this point what you see is herself and she's telling everybody loud and clear what she is.
9:17 AM · Apr 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1781062167942312031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... а овде видов директен одговор на прашањето - "поморска империја" (maritime empire; како претходно Британија, Холандија) малку различна од "континентална империја" (на пр. Австро-Унгарска, Руска) - ама и ова е долг подкаст 😆
youtube.com
Sarah C. M. Paine - WW2, Taiwan, Ukraine, & Maritime vs Continental...
https://youtu.be/YcVSgYz5SJ8
I learned so much from Sarah Paine, Professor of History and Strategy at the Naval War College.We discuss:- how continental vs maritime powers think and how ...
9:48 PM · Apr 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... а овде видов директен одговор на прашањето - "поморска империја" (maritime empire; како претходно Британија, Холандија) малку различна од "континентална империја" (на пр. Австро-Унгарска, Руска) - ама и ова е долг подкаст 😆
youtube.com
Sarah C. M. Paine - WW2, Taiwan, Ukraine, & Maritime vs Continental...
https://youtu.be/YcVSgYz5SJ8
I learned so much from Sarah Paine, Professor of History and Strategy at the Naval War College.We discuss:- how continental vs maritime powers think and how ...
9:48 PM · Apr 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me potseti anketava na ova (dobro) intervju -
Zašto Amerika podržava Izrael | prof. dr Ivan Vujačić | Agelast 218 https://youtu.be/SWzsM17kWdU 6:58 PM · Apr 18, 2024
Me potseti anketava na ova (dobro) intervju -
Zašto Amerika podržava Izrael | prof. dr Ivan Vujačić | Agelast 218 https://youtu.be/SWzsM17kWdU 6:58 PM · Apr 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bulgarians and everyone else too did not start existing the second the atoms were formed in the universe. At some point in time - there were no Bulgarians. Some time latter - there were Bulgarians. At some point between the two time points a group identity came into being. So did everyone else's group identity - at some point in time! How's that an argument for anything - I shall never know. Macedonians laugh when you tell them b/c it's the best to do in a bad situation. I've experienced it personally. A colleague (well meaning but obv clueless) asked me to count 1..10 "in your language", asked a Bulgarian colleague count 1..10 too, then concluded "ergo - you're the same". He is Canadian. I could have asked him "now you count 1..10 in your language", then his English colleagues, then his American colleagues, to conclude "... you are the same" - but I did not. Better just shrug it off. There is plenty of stupidity to go around in all walks of life - this is no exception.
8:50 AM · Apr 18, 2024
Bulgarians and everyone else too did not start existing the second the atoms were formed in the universe. At some point in time - there were no Bulgarians. Some time latter - there were Bulgarians. At some point between the two time points a group identity came into being. So did everyone else's group identity - at some point in time! How's that an argument for anything - I shall never know. Macedonians laugh when you tell them b/c it's the best to do in a bad situation. I've experienced it personally. A colleague (well meaning but obv clueless) asked me to count 1..10 "in your language", asked a Bulgarian colleague count 1..10 too, then concluded "ergo - you're the same". He is Canadian. I could have asked him "now you count 1..10 in your language", then his English colleagues, then his American colleagues, to conclude "... you are the same" - but I did not. Better just shrug it off. There is plenty of stupidity to go around in all walks of life - this is no exception.
8:50 AM · Apr 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1780563706503364819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no not one single magic solution. Sell side only non-BS passable reports I've seen are by DBQS~2015. If one aims to get a "45 degree upward sloping line" so one shall get it. If one labours to model&simulate the reality of firm's trading - one can get to that too. Usually not before the firm was stung enough times by "45 degree line" self-deluded charlatans though.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no not one single magic solution. Sell side only non-BS passable reports I've seen are by DBQS~2015. If one aims to get a "45 degree upward sloping line" so one shall get it. If one labours to model&simulate the reality of firm's trading - one can get to that too. Usually not before the firm was stung enough times by "45 degree line" self-deluded charlatans though.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1780532733850083743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and under version control. I only need to find a good git sync for Android. 😊 Text file sectioned with sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO served me fine. Esp love the move when item stays in TODO for too long -> gets moved to DONTDO. 😁
10:44 AM · Apr 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and under version control. I only need to find a good git sync for Android. 😊 Text file sectioned with sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO served me fine. Esp love the move when item stays in TODO for too long -> gets moved to DONTDO. 😁
10:44 AM · Apr 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1780521121806241896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seks industrijata e golem korisnik na se sto e novo, taka i so Internet, socijalni medii, AI... AI+seks industrija = verojatno poveke i od dvete?? Verojatno "seks" ke bide re-definiran kako i drugi raboti (na pr "I" vo "AI") - sega go vidov ova
Quote
Bry.ai @prince_of_fakes · Apr 8
Progress update for the first soon to be mass manufactured penetration depth detecting sex robot.
Show this thread
https://twitter.com/prince_of_fakes/status/1777422801106014480
Embedded video
9:58 AM · Apr 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seks industrijata e golem korisnik na se sto e novo, taka i so Internet, socijalni medii, AI... AI+seks industrija = verojatno poveke i od dvete?? Verojatno "seks" ke bide re-definiran kako i drugi raboti (na pr "I" vo "AI") - sega go vidov ova
Quote
Bry.ai @prince_of_fakes · Apr 8
Progress update for the first soon to be mass manufactured penetration depth detecting sex robot.
Show this thread
https://twitter.com/prince_of_fakes/status/1777422801106014480
Embedded video
9:58 AM · Apr 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1780502094803296389
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In YU we had self-management enterprises (SME) in the 1980s, all companies were run-owned like that. That was a failure. It's a -1 data point, but tbh it disqualifies SME less than one might think as many other things were a fail there and then. Unemployment was endemic. SME-s had economic incentive to *not* hire new workers. Orders from "the top" (CP) had to be issued to force them to hire additional workers. The SME-s resisted as much as they could. Remember seeing a quote or an abstract of a paper discussing economic incentives of SME-s that led to be opposed to additional hiring.
8:42 AM · Apr 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In YU we had self-management enterprises (SME) in the 1980s, all companies were run-owned like that. That was a failure. It's a -1 data point, but tbh it disqualifies SME less than one might think as many other things were a fail there and then. Unemployment was endemic. SME-s had economic incentive to *not* hire new workers. Orders from "the top" (CP) had to be issued to force them to hire additional workers. The SME-s resisted as much as they could. Remember seeing a quote or an abstract of a paper discussing economic incentives of SME-s that led to be opposed to additional hiring.
8:42 AM · Apr 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1780295100356005947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
a primer on the forever question of speaking truth to power - no one escapes all intact, a price is always extracted
7:00 PM · Apr 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
a primer on the forever question of speaking truth to power - no one escapes all intact, a price is always extracted
7:00 PM · Apr 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1780160330686935268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you even read the article you quoted? It does not support your claim "it's NATO that did it". Far from it. It's a good summary of where things are at, +1 for that.
10:04 AM · Apr 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you even read the article you quoted? It does not support your claim "it's NATO that did it". Far from it. It's a good summary of where things are at, +1 for that.
10:04 AM · Apr 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1779789560127303973
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peace is the end aim - agreed. But the means of achieving peace are usually not pacifism. Otherwise we'd have had world peace by now. The reason is - to get peace the 2 sides need to want it. To get war - only 1 side suffices to want it. Then the other side has no choice - it's a matter of survival for them. Most unfortunate. Still https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_aggression is the best guide we have. All should stick to it, and esp the most powerful countries, incl US. Earth is already parceled with borders for better or worse. Let's use them for easy conflict resolution == "the side that crosses into others' side territory is in the wrong".
9:31 AM · Apr 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Peace is the end aim - agreed. But the means of achieving peace are usually not pacifism. Otherwise we'd have had world peace by now. The reason is - to get peace the 2 sides need to want it. To get war - only 1 side suffices to want it. Then the other side has no choice - it's a matter of survival for them. Most unfortunate. Still https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_aggression is the best guide we have. All should stick to it, and esp the most powerful countries, incl US. Earth is already parceled with borders for better or worse. Let's use them for easy conflict resolution == "the side that crosses into others' side territory is in the wrong".
9:31 AM · Apr 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1779783080468742400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Changing ones opinion when facts change is fine and good. Denying facts, sticking to ones pet theory, flatly ignoring or denying inconvenient evidence (even when it comes from the horses' mouth) that challenges my theory - is not. That's a deal breaker.
9:05 AM · Apr 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Changing ones opinion when facts change is fine and good. Denying facts, sticking to ones pet theory, flatly ignoring or denying inconvenient evidence (even when it comes from the horses' mouth) that challenges my theory - is not. That's a deal breaker.
9:05 AM · Apr 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1779641566019129373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not surprised much - got reminded of @TomChivers
From unherd.com
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
11:43 PM · Apr 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not surprised much - got reminded of @TomChivers
From unherd.com
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
11:43 PM · Apr 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
кога ти даваат земај, кога те бркаат бегај
Translated from Macedonian by when they give you take it, when they chase you run away 8:08 PM · Apr 13, 2024
кога ти даваат земај, кога те бркаат бегај
Translated from Macedonian by when they give you take it, when they chase you run away 8:08 PM · Apr 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1779178506418638900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in the limit, given enough time, and unchanging world. The world changes all the time => prices chase the new optimum. Every change makes them appear out of whack tad more. As the price becomes known only after a trade happens, trading business (speculation) exists b/c at any given time the prices are less then optimal. (but moving towards their optimal selves, and pushed by traders)
5:03 PM · Apr 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in the limit, given enough time, and unchanging world. The world changes all the time => prices chase the new optimum. Every change makes them appear out of whack tad more. As the price becomes known only after a trade happens, trading business (speculation) exists b/c at any given time the prices are less then optimal. (but moving towards their optimal selves, and pushed by traders)
5:03 PM · Apr 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1779123025377444152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time for "less Keynes and more Schumpeter"?
Quote
Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · 12h
Blogged: Labour needs less Keynes and more Schumpeter: https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2024/04/some-defunct-economist.html
1:22 PM · Apr 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time for "less Keynes and more Schumpeter"?
Quote
Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · 12h
Blogged: Labour needs less Keynes and more Schumpeter: https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2024/04/some-defunct-economist.html
1:22 PM · Apr 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1779101617184248126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
floating currencies float shocker - yawn. until they import inflation - no one cares
11:57 AM · Apr 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
floating currencies float shocker - yawn. until they import inflation - no one cares
11:57 AM · Apr 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1779070600025092230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
basic + 6502 assembler
9:54 AM · Apr 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
basic + 6502 assembler
9:54 AM · Apr 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778874364718465230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The entire world called them Romans and they called themselves Romans. Using the entirely spurious B-word is not conductive to any truth seeking tbh.
8:54 PM · Apr 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The entire world called them Romans and they called themselves Romans. Using the entirely spurious B-word is not conductive to any truth seeking tbh.
8:54 PM · Apr 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778417576994812374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
brief
2:39 PM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
brief
2:39 PM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778375613557977268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Introducing new currency is understandably scary for all. I lived through introduction of new currency in a new state (MK) born out of a dissolution of an old one (YU), amidst great uncertainty and turmoil (wars around etc). Technically it's not much, done over an extended weekend Fri-Mon if I remember correctly. The meaning is much more significant and lasting - bonds and relations and relationships broken, severed, never to be established again or at least not for a long time. Not something anyone reasonable looks forward to or hopes for tbh. "May you live in interesting times" is rightly a curse.
11:52 AM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Introducing new currency is understandably scary for all. I lived through introduction of new currency in a new state (MK) born out of a dissolution of an old one (YU), amidst great uncertainty and turmoil (wars around etc). Technically it's not much, done over an extended weekend Fri-Mon if I remember correctly. The meaning is much more significant and lasting - bonds and relations and relationships broken, severed, never to be established again or at least not for a long time. Not something anyone reasonable looks forward to or hopes for tbh. "May you live in interesting times" is rightly a curse.
11:52 AM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778351045946569090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not American FP disaster. That was Iraq. UKR is RUS policy disaster. Not everything is in US hands. RU has mind of its own. Peace needs 2 sides for it, for war - only 1 side suffices unfortunately. US+EU have been hoping RU has not chosen war of conquest as state policy, against all evidence 2010+ suggesting they have. I get it why `given the choice between war & dishonour we chose dishonour' - but we will get war regardless. It's out of US-EU-UK hands. Once UKR is conquered & puppet gov installed, UKRs will be conscripted to fight a push towards the Baltics and then Poland. Best think what can be done to short circuit or alter that trajectory. We are in a moment like this one -
Image
10:15 AM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not American FP disaster. That was Iraq. UKR is RUS policy disaster. Not everything is in US hands. RU has mind of its own. Peace needs 2 sides for it, for war - only 1 side suffices unfortunately. US+EU have been hoping RU has not chosen war of conquest as state policy, against all evidence 2010+ suggesting they have. I get it why `given the choice between war & dishonour we chose dishonour' - but we will get war regardless. It's out of US-EU-UK hands. Once UKR is conquered & puppet gov installed, UKRs will be conscripted to fight a push towards the Baltics and then Poland. Best think what can be done to short circuit or alter that trajectory. We are in a moment like this one -
Image
10:15 AM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778347140038754537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - got reminded today. The 10% good ones, sometimes overlap with JFDI, a rare combo - https://twitter.com/taxbod/status/1778134578785378438 Analogous to Joel's "smart and gets things done" developers criterion :-)
Quote
Andrew Brooks @taxbod · Apr 10
The Belfast Agreement: 26 years ago today. Forever a reminder that not all politicians are pointless wankers on the take.
Image
9:59 AM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - got reminded today. The 10% good ones, sometimes overlap with JFDI, a rare combo - https://twitter.com/taxbod/status/1778134578785378438 Analogous to Joel's "smart and gets things done" developers criterion :-)
Quote
Andrew Brooks @taxbod · Apr 10
The Belfast Agreement: 26 years ago today. Forever a reminder that not all politicians are pointless wankers on the take.
Image
9:59 AM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778321729598734755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Razlicni kriteriumi. Postoeckite sportovi - tretman e zabranet ako zgolemuva performansi. EG - tretman e zabranet ako e steten po zdravjeto.
8:18 AM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Razlicni kriteriumi. Postoeckite sportovi - tretman e zabranet ako zgolemuva performansi. EG - tretman e zabranet ako e steten po zdravjeto.
8:18 AM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778302742521360825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Some sort of deal" - the reality is that Russia wants European submission. RUS is not interested in any deals, and is telling us loud&clear daily in deeds&words. Once Ukraine is conquered & puppet gov installed, UKRs will be mobilized in the next push towards the Baltics, and then Poland. It will be "You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour and you will have war."
7:03 AM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Some sort of deal" - the reality is that Russia wants European submission. RUS is not interested in any deals, and is telling us loud&clear daily in deeds&words. Once Ukraine is conquered & puppet gov installed, UKRs will be mobilized in the next push towards the Baltics, and then Poland. It will be "You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour and you will have war."
7:03 AM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778296723430908241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are ruled by imbeciles and psychopaths. When younger I used to give the benefit of doubt. At some point listened/read intercepted calls/transcripts published by the Hague exYU war crimes tribunals. With people in power - assume the worst and will be right 90% of the time tbh.
6:39 AM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are ruled by imbeciles and psychopaths. When younger I used to give the benefit of doubt. At some point listened/read intercepted calls/transcripts published by the Hague exYU war crimes tribunals. With people in power - assume the worst and will be right 90% of the time tbh.
6:39 AM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778269160713110010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Visualisations by @3blue1brown in this series are pretty amazing, nicely complement - youtube.com
https://youtu.be/eMlx5fFNoYc
Visualizing Attention, a Transformer's Heart | Chapter 6, Deep...
Demystifying attention, the key mechanism inside transformers and LLMs.Instead of sponsored ad reads, these lessons are funded directly by viewers: https://3...
4:49 AM · Apr 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Visualisations by @3blue1brown in this series are pretty amazing, nicely complement - youtube.com
https://youtu.be/eMlx5fFNoYc
Visualizing Attention, a Transformer's Heart | Chapter 6, Deep...
Demystifying attention, the key mechanism inside transformers and LLMs.Instead of sponsored ad reads, these lessons are funded directly by viewers: https://3...
4:49 AM · Apr 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778083269210190240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
better
4:31 PM · Apr 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
better
4:31 PM · Apr 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778073638211588155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Buy MacBook Mx 2nd hand (@HoxtonMacs worked for me) 1) 2nd hand nullifies the "Apple tax" 2) Screen quality or battery life alone makes it superior to any other 3) *Both* screen + battery == just buy :-) 4) make quality 2nd hand Mac >> new HP/Dell/Lenovo 5) trackpad always works
3:52 PM · Apr 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Buy MacBook Mx 2nd hand (@HoxtonMacs worked for me) 1) 2nd hand nullifies the "Apple tax" 2) Screen quality or battery life alone makes it superior to any other 3) *Both* screen + battery == just buy :-) 4) make quality 2nd hand Mac >> new HP/Dell/Lenovo 5) trackpad always works
3:52 PM · Apr 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1778022218670178601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What an incredible statement - implying that this is somehow a matter of belief. There is nothing to believe or not believe: a fiat currency is created by fiat, by law. These laws us people can read&understand b/c we made them. They are human laws. Stop creating mystery where there is none. There are other things much harder things to ponder&wonder about. Fiat currency is the least interesting & most obvious. Only with much (mis?)education one can lapse into stupidity like yours & create a mountain out of a molehill. Ffs pls find another hill to fight on.
12:28 PM · Apr 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What an incredible statement - implying that this is somehow a matter of belief. There is nothing to believe or not believe: a fiat currency is created by fiat, by law. These laws us people can read&understand b/c we made them. They are human laws. Stop creating mystery where there is none. There are other things much harder things to ponder&wonder about. Fiat currency is the least interesting & most obvious. Only with much (mis?)education one can lapse into stupidity like yours & create a mountain out of a molehill. Ffs pls find another hill to fight on.
12:28 PM · Apr 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1777996022200852759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
#4 Constant and known at compile time string that will never change and that is actually a symbol (ex: in equities identifiers like "AAPL", "VOD", "BARC"; seen a language (kdb) with a persistent symbols table and explicit symbol<->int conversion) Thanks for the language! I just discovered it via https://twitter.com/Hasen_Judi/status/1777739498945908976 . Love the "data language" designation.
10:44 AM · Apr 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
#4 Constant and known at compile time string that will never change and that is actually a symbol (ex: in equities identifiers like "AAPL", "VOD", "BARC"; seen a language (kdb) with a persistent symbols table and explicit symbol<->int conversion) Thanks for the language! I just discovered it via https://twitter.com/Hasen_Judi/status/1777739498945908976 . Love the "data language" designation.
10:44 AM · Apr 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1777629455474716836
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... echos of Churchill lobbying the US in the period Sep-1939 to Dec-1941 trying to sway the political class and public opinion towards US helping UK.
10:27 AM · Apr 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... echos of Churchill lobbying the US in the period Sep-1939 to Dec-1941 trying to sway the political class and public opinion towards US helping UK.
10:27 AM · Apr 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1777615138968707462
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? What's the answer to either or both? Likely to be "not so simple" so - is there any material written on exactly this? Two good counter/factuals mentioned above, paths not/taken etc. Coming to this without any prior knowledge or strong beliefs except the most general ones.
9:30 AM · Apr 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
And? What's the answer to either or both? Likely to be "not so simple" so - is there any material written on exactly this? Two good counter/factuals mentioned above, paths not/taken etc. Coming to this without any prior knowledge or strong beliefs except the most general ones.
9:30 AM · Apr 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1777358751109972038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he put out a (date,number) and did he put on a bet that he forecast will come true? If not, then ignore it's b/s PR entertainment. Like Netflix but with scary words finger wagging and "listen to me do as I say or else ..."
4:32 PM · Apr 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did he put out a (date,number) and did he put on a bet that he forecast will come true? If not, then ignore it's b/s PR entertainment. Like Netflix but with scary words finger wagging and "listen to me do as I say or else ..."
4:32 PM · Apr 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1777310773603152044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed that seems to be happening. Formerly £££ holders now gilt holders are reimbursed via the interest on the gilts for their 1) dilution and 2) delayed consumption. (following on https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1776886415927689337)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 7
Replying to @tonywestonuk @atouchofsense and 3 others
In a world where 1) http://UK.Gov is the management committee of UK Plc, and 2) the whole totality of £££ exchanges for the totality of all value UK creates, one can think 3) issuing extra £££ via deficit dilutes the existing £££ holders, so 4) they want to be…
Show more
1:21 PM · Apr 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed that seems to be happening. Formerly £££ holders now gilt holders are reimbursed via the interest on the gilts for their 1) dilution and 2) delayed consumption. (following on https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1776886415927689337)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 7
Replying to @tonywestonuk @atouchofsense and 3 others
In a world where 1) http://UK.Gov is the management committee of UK Plc, and 2) the whole totality of £££ exchanges for the totality of all value UK creates, one can think 3) issuing extra £££ via deficit dilutes the existing £££ holders, so 4) they want to be…
Show more
1:21 PM · Apr 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1776894951965495802
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally "a rotten apple spoils the whole barrel" problem of 1 malevolent individual wrecking a community of 100 with 99 decent souls will be solved? The hitherto unsolved problem of the tyranny of the individual over a community will get a technical solution? In the best tradition of solutionism. This https://takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/tfls-ai-tube-station-experiment-is is possible and dare I say even desirable - it will be done.
9:49 AM · Apr 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Finally "a rotten apple spoils the whole barrel" problem of 1 malevolent individual wrecking a community of 100 with 99 decent souls will be solved? The hitherto unsolved problem of the tyranny of the individual over a community will get a technical solution? In the best tradition of solutionism. This https://takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/tfls-ai-tube-station-experiment-is is possible and dare I say even desirable - it will be done.
9:49 AM · Apr 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1776886415927689337
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In a world where 1) http://UK.Gov is the management committee of UK Plc, and 2) the whole totality of £££ exchanges for the totality of all value UK creates, one can think 3) issuing extra £££ via deficit dilutes the existing £££ holders, so 4) they want to be compensated, so 5) an obligation for http://UK.Gov to buy UK bonds is created in law, 6) to the amount exactly matching the dilution, so 7) the diluted £££ holders can exchange their £££ for gilts, so 8) they get interest back and are "made whole" i.e. un-dilluted. That seems to me one description of what is happening.
9:15 AM · Apr 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In a world where 1) http://UK.Gov is the management committee of UK Plc, and 2) the whole totality of £££ exchanges for the totality of all value UK creates, one can think 3) issuing extra £££ via deficit dilutes the existing £££ holders, so 4) they want to be compensated, so 5) an obligation for http://UK.Gov to buy UK bonds is created in law, 6) to the amount exactly matching the dilution, so 7) the diluted £££ holders can exchange their £££ for gilts, so 8) they get interest back and are "made whole" i.e. un-dilluted. That seems to me one description of what is happening.
9:15 AM · Apr 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1776710593958842785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's like the movies business: no one knows shit. No one can predict if some effort is going to work out, or not. Like the box ticking in research applications: one's to claim what's going on be discovered?? 😂 Obv no one can possibly know that. It would not be research if it was possible to know that in advance.
9:36 PM · Apr 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's like the movies business: no one knows shit. No one can predict if some effort is going to work out, or not. Like the box ticking in research applications: one's to claim what's going on be discovered?? 😂 Obv no one can possibly know that. It would not be research if it was possible to know that in advance.
9:36 PM · Apr 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1776554071400341736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Risto Bombata i kuceska tenija + Rambo Amadeus Halid Invalid LIVE Skopje '93 HQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qznXx-s08RM
Risto Bombata i kuceska tenija + Rambo Amadeus Halid Invalid LIVE...
Da, tih ratnih godina, zapravo samo je u Makedoniji bila koliko toliko normalna atmosfera, svako malo sam trčao tamo da nastupam. Ovo je gostovanje tadašnjoj...
11:14 AM · Apr 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Risto Bombata i kuceska tenija + Rambo Amadeus Halid Invalid LIVE Skopje '93 HQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qznXx-s08RM
Risto Bombata i kuceska tenija + Rambo Amadeus Halid Invalid LIVE...
Da, tih ratnih godina, zapravo samo je u Makedoniji bila koliko toliko normalna atmosfera, svako malo sam trčao tamo da nastupam. Ovo je gostovanje tadašnjoj...
11:14 AM · Apr 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1776311710854398400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! Best thing I have ever done for myself. The morning after, when I looked through the window out - it was like a miracle had happened overnight.
7:11 PM · Apr 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! Best thing I have ever done for myself. The morning after, when I looked through the window out - it was like a miracle had happened overnight.
7:11 PM · Apr 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775630281577255041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - this is the best illustrated explainer I have seen (numbers for UK)
Image
10:03 PM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - this is the best illustrated explainer I have seen (numbers for UK)
Image
10:03 PM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775585514176856222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are too charitable tbh. They discover the "worse is better" +ve feedbck loop by trial and error (e.g. Trump now, previously BoJo, I saw it in the '90s ex-YU), steps 1) Identify a grievance 2) praise the wound open, drill in, make it hurt 3) get elected 4) do not heal the wound - on the contrary, make it worse & more painful 5) come next election - accuse your enemies of (a) causing the pain (b) preventing you from healing the wound 6) get elected by a bigger majority. Repeat the cycle.
7:05 PM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are too charitable tbh. They discover the "worse is better" +ve feedbck loop by trial and error (e.g. Trump now, previously BoJo, I saw it in the '90s ex-YU), steps 1) Identify a grievance 2) praise the wound open, drill in, make it hurt 3) get elected 4) do not heal the wound - on the contrary, make it worse & more painful 5) come next election - accuse your enemies of (a) causing the pain (b) preventing you from healing the wound 6) get elected by a bigger majority. Repeat the cycle.
7:05 PM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775581526043828251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yeah remember the cooking/fire one. More recently I noticed one maybe related to the "domesticated humans": half-dozen beta males conspired to remove and dispose of the one alpha male. That then lays the foundation for cooperation under rules. (possibly by @_alice_evans
)
6:49 PM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Yeah remember the cooking/fire one. More recently I noticed one maybe related to the "domesticated humans": half-dozen beta males conspired to remove and dispose of the one alpha male. That then lays the foundation for cooperation under rules. (possibly by @_alice_evans
)
6:49 PM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775550539670958418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Žižek is 100% right (c.f. Todorova's Imagining the Balkans) with the proviso: the "crazy Balkans savage" imo was also part of the Žižek appeal & success, 😂 only it's *intellectual* savagery in his case. Some may find this recursion delightful, others' will be "meh" 😁 - escaping one's predicaments is hard. 🤷♂️
4:46 PM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Žižek is 100% right (c.f. Todorova's Imagining the Balkans) with the proviso: the "crazy Balkans savage" imo was also part of the Žižek appeal & success, 😂 only it's *intellectual* savagery in his case. Some may find this recursion delightful, others' will be "meh" 😁 - escaping one's predicaments is hard. 🤷♂️
4:46 PM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775547539179061444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TLDR but I bet at some point the @hmtreasury
says "the coffers are empty, there is no money left in the kitty". A treasury is a good servant, but a bad master. Nothing will change until "everything we can make we can afford" becomes theirs to own.
4:34 PM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TLDR but I bet at some point the @hmtreasury
says "the coffers are empty, there is no money left in the kitty". A treasury is a good servant, but a bad master. Nothing will change until "everything we can make we can afford" becomes theirs to own.
4:34 PM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775504121694412873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess - a very good point! :-) As if - “It is difficult to get a man to ask something, when his salary depends upon his not asking it”, b/c the answers will displease and challenge his employer's ideology. A variant of "speaking truth to power" dilemma.
1:42 PM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess - a very good point! :-) As if - “It is difficult to get a man to ask something, when his salary depends upon his not asking it”, b/c the answers will displease and challenge his employer's ideology. A variant of "speaking truth to power" dilemma.
1:42 PM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775448025374085435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I do know, as per -
> disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself
No claim was made about "fascist hellscape". A claim was made about "changing the dynamic between the state and the public". I appreciate the input - but please read & comprehend better what you're replying to.
9:59 AM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I do know, as per -
> disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself
No claim was made about "fascist hellscape". A claim was made about "changing the dynamic between the state and the public". I appreciate the input - but please read & comprehend better what you're replying to.
9:59 AM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775438122546794535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mi se bendisa ova -
Imagine a flashy spaceship lands in your backyard. The door opens and you are invited to investigate everything to see what you can learn. The technology is clearly millions of years beyond what we can make.
This is biology.
–Bert Hubert, “Our Amazing Immune System”
I za hemija slicno samo od pocetok na vselenata valjda? Vo skolo ne sakav mnogu ni hemija ni bilogija, bevme malku uceni kako se da se znae, se e poznato, nema nikakva misterija.
Od https://jsomers.net/i-should-have-loved-biology/
9:20 AM · Apr 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mi se bendisa ova -
Imagine a flashy spaceship lands in your backyard. The door opens and you are invited to investigate everything to see what you can learn. The technology is clearly millions of years beyond what we can make.
This is biology.
–Bert Hubert, “Our Amazing Immune System”
I za hemija slicno samo od pocetok na vselenata valjda? Vo skolo ne sakav mnogu ni hemija ni bilogija, bevme malku uceni kako se da se znae, se e poznato, nema nikakva misterija.
Od https://jsomers.net/i-should-have-loved-biology/
9:20 AM · Apr 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775214179453931936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read once (pos in a @bryan_caplan blog?) that even econ students are anti-free trade by instinctively when they start their econ course. And they have to actively learn the free trade benefits. Possible the same is true abt growth: that we all are anti-growth by default.
6:30 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read once (pos in a @bryan_caplan blog?) that even econ students are anti-free trade by instinctively when they start their econ course. And they have to actively learn the free trade benefits. Possible the same is true abt growth: that we all are anti-growth by default.
6:30 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775201775856857552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Toa da - ima dopolnitelna podelba po pari, po prihodi i bogatstvo. Vo socijalizmot nemase vistinski bogati, kako sto ima vo kapitalizmot, pa ne mozese po taa osnova da ima nekoja golema razlika ni podelba.
5:40 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Toa da - ima dopolnitelna podelba po pari, po prihodi i bogatstvo. Vo socijalizmot nemase vistinski bogati, kako sto ima vo kapitalizmot, pa ne mozese po taa osnova da ima nekoja golema razlika ni podelba.
5:40 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775192454402036159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - i vo socijalizmot imashe segregacija po N-osnovi, ne mozam da kazam deka vidov nekoja ogromna razlika na poloso vo kapitalizmot.
5:03 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - i vo socijalizmot imashe segregacija po N-osnovi, ne mozam da kazam deka vidov nekoja ogromna razlika na poloso vo kapitalizmot.
5:03 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775183593125322795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hello tangential only but I'm curious: have you seen https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=bux0SjaUCY0 ? Like the interviewer I was struck by the extraordinary nature of the claims. Unlike us civilians apparently these claims are "no big deal" for quant physicists? What gives?? What's your take on this?
youtube.com
The Multiverse is REAL - David Deutsch
My new Patreon account: https://www.Patreon.com/AlexOCTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic - VIDEO NOTESDavid Deutsch is a ...
4:28 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hello tangential only but I'm curious: have you seen https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=bux0SjaUCY0 ? Like the interviewer I was struck by the extraordinary nature of the claims. Unlike us civilians apparently these claims are "no big deal" for quant physicists? What gives?? What's your take on this?
youtube.com
The Multiverse is REAL - David Deutsch
My new Patreon account: https://www.Patreon.com/AlexOCTo donate to my PayPal (thank you): http://www.paypal.me/cosmicskeptic - VIDEO NOTESDavid Deutsch is a ...
4:28 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775172765345071337
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF i -
> In defense of Skopje 2014, it has put the city on the map. Aphrodite Debouse runs a Balkan Explore Us
> “People in tourism love Skopje 2014,” Debouse tells me from her shop close to the central square. “We had no tourism before, and now more and more people are coming.”
Greska e i slednite 40 god uste da se kuka&kukumjavci za urbano-SK (kako prethodnite 40 za staro-SK). Tuku da zasuka gradonacalnikot i gradskata uprava/sovet rakavi i da poprava toa sto moze, kolku moze, kade moze etc. A ne "ne cini, toa e" da bide alibi za mrza i nerabotenje. OK ne cini - dolznost mu e da poprava.
3:45 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF i -
> In defense of Skopje 2014, it has put the city on the map. Aphrodite Debouse runs a Balkan Explore Us
> “People in tourism love Skopje 2014,” Debouse tells me from her shop close to the central square. “We had no tourism before, and now more and more people are coming.”
Greska e i slednite 40 god uste da se kuka&kukumjavci za urbano-SK (kako prethodnite 40 za staro-SK). Tuku da zasuka gradonacalnikot i gradskata uprava/sovet rakavi i da poprava toa sto moze, kolku moze, kade moze etc. A ne "ne cini, toa e" da bide alibi za mrza i nerabotenje. OK ne cini - dolznost mu e da poprava.
3:45 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775169711115759960
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The decision makers appreciate beauty and are willing and able to fight to get it, even if some - not too large a - price is paid in the process? Their planning process less soft-corrupt than in other counties? ...
3:33 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The decision makers appreciate beauty and are willing and able to fight to get it, even if some - not too large a - price is paid in the process? Their planning process less soft-corrupt than in other counties? ...
3:33 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775156590326284308
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The police have no trouble ascertaining the identity of persons at present without using any ID cards now.
2:41 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The police have no trouble ascertaining the identity of persons at present without using any ID cards now.
2:41 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775155241555771629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a big difference between case 1) AAPL price $700 on Fri moves to price ~$100 on Mon b/c of 7:1 split on Fri 6-Jun-2014; and case 2) the baker baking more bread today b/c the price rose b/c demand outstripped his supply yesterday.
2:36 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a big difference between case 1) AAPL price $700 on Fri moves to price ~$100 on Mon b/c of 7:1 split on Fri 6-Jun-2014; and case 2) the baker baking more bread today b/c the price rose b/c demand outstripped his supply yesterday.
2:36 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775144676674191768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not without diluting the existing shareholders though.
1:54 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not without diluting the existing shareholders though.
1:54 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775136725716578714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! With the proviso - only where that virtuous loop exists, a negative feedback loop! In other markets we can't produce more Q-uantity even if the P-rice rises very high. For example, no matter how high the AAPL stock rises, no extra AAPL shares will be produced.
1:22 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! With the proviso - only where that virtuous loop exists, a negative feedback loop! In other markets we can't produce more Q-uantity even if the P-rice rises very high. For example, no matter how high the AAPL stock rises, no extra AAPL shares will be produced.
1:22 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775120599733432596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Really bad idea. The identity of a person end esp finding out if native or foreign is not that hard to establish, no ID-cards needed. c.f.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 2
ID cards are a bad idea. They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my… x.com/Telegraph/stat…
Show more
12:18 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Really bad idea. The identity of a person end esp finding out if native or foreign is not that hard to establish, no ID-cards needed. c.f.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Apr 2
ID cards are a bad idea. They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my… x.com/Telegraph/stat…
Show more
12:18 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775120094542037297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ID cards are a bad idea. They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and their threshold maybe arbitrarily high). The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%. (disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself)
As for the justification below - it's bunk, there is no relationship really between the ability to enforce the existing laws Re: immigration and presence or absence of ID cards. Having ID cards adds nothing (nor does not having them subtract anything).
Quote
Square profile picture
The Telegraph @Telegraph · Apr 1
🔴 Lord Blunkett has urged Sir Keir Starmer to bring back ID cards to tackle the small boats crisis, a suggestion that risks reigniting a Labour split on the policy https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/04/01/reinstate-id-cards-stop-small-boats-blunkett-tells-starmer/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1711999708-1
12:16 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ID cards are a bad idea. They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while with-ID cards, I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and their threshold maybe arbitrarily high). The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%. (disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself)
As for the justification below - it's bunk, there is no relationship really between the ability to enforce the existing laws Re: immigration and presence or absence of ID cards. Having ID cards adds nothing (nor does not having them subtract anything).
Quote
Square profile picture
The Telegraph @Telegraph · Apr 1
🔴 Lord Blunkett has urged Sir Keir Starmer to bring back ID cards to tackle the small boats crisis, a suggestion that risks reigniting a Labour split on the policy https://telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/04/01/reinstate-id-cards-stop-small-boats-blunkett-tells-starmer/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1711999708-1
12:16 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775119266024456207
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ID cards are a bad idea. They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while if with-ID cards, then I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and their threshold maybe arbitrarily high). The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%. (disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself)
As for the justification above - it's bunk, there is no relationship really between the ability to enforce the existing laws Re: immigration and presence or absence of ID cards. Having ID cards adds nothing (nor does not having them subtract anything).
12:13 PM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ID cards are a bad idea. They fundamentally change the dynamic between the public and the state. E.g. when stopped by police - if no-ID cards, than it's police's job and competency to discover my identity (and I can help them, or not); while if with-ID cards, then I have to prove my identity to them to their satisfaction (and their threshold maybe arbitrarily high). The dynamic changes from - trusted by default, to not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to the reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks or criminals. It's a bad bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%. (disclaimer: I lived in the 1st 30 years of my life in a country with obligatory ID cards and had one myself)
As for the justification above - it's bunk, there is no relationship really between the ability to enforce the existing laws Re: immigration and presence or absence of ID cards. Having ID cards adds nothing (nor does not having them subtract anything).
12:13 PM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1775097447728959996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I too believe so. Would like to find out more how are the bank reserves added or subtracted to. Deposits help but they are not the only thing that adds to the reserves is my (very limited) understanding. (reserve account == commercial bank current account at BoE)
10:46 AM · Apr 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - I too believe so. Would like to find out more how are the bank reserves added or subtracted to. Deposits help but they are not the only thing that adds to the reserves is my (very limited) understanding. (reserve account == commercial bank current account at BoE)
10:46 AM · Apr 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774775067366326655
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CON-servatives finally run out of other peoples assets to flog off. No UK Plc assets left to sell off for a quickie gain. Time to get building again.
1:25 PM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CON-servatives finally run out of other peoples assets to flog off. No UK Plc assets left to sell off for a quickie gain. Time to get building again.
1:25 PM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774760839955775547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If only the country had a Parliament that made laws. If only the country had a government that executed as per those laws. Then maybe no one would need to "ask" a developer anything. The developer would know the laws of the land and act accordingly.
12:28 PM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If only the country had a Parliament that made laws. If only the country had a government that executed as per those laws. Then maybe no one would need to "ask" a developer anything. The developer would know the laws of the land and act accordingly.
12:28 PM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774759745133396236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are fighting for their freedom. Freedom to live their lives the way they see fit.
12:24 PM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are fighting for their freedom. Freedom to live their lives the way they see fit.
12:24 PM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774751764182454403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take another bet, put your coins where your mouth is.
11:52 AM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take another bet, put your coins where your mouth is.
11:52 AM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774742862753628192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no way for anyone to forecast that much future with any degree of certainty. I find such people to be on the narcissistic side. They have difficulty imagining a world separate from themselves. Like babies that think they are one with the world and the world goes all dark when they close their eyes. Or less politely - they have their heads so much up their own arses that they lack any perspective. We are adapted to put more weight on bad than on good things. So catastrophising brings enough social gain, and being wrong brings almost zero penalty, that it's a no brainier win for anyone that does it. At least now with the Internet and social media, there is a record of anyone putting (date,number)-s out in the public space. So when the number fails to materialise on the date, we can remind our Savonarolas. Small wins but better than nothing. Timely too - with the narcissistic mememe-boomer gen starting to internalise their own mortality and confusing their own impending slip into nothingness with the end of the world.
11:17 AM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no way for anyone to forecast that much future with any degree of certainty. I find such people to be on the narcissistic side. They have difficulty imagining a world separate from themselves. Like babies that think they are one with the world and the world goes all dark when they close their eyes. Or less politely - they have their heads so much up their own arses that they lack any perspective. We are adapted to put more weight on bad than on good things. So catastrophising brings enough social gain, and being wrong brings almost zero penalty, that it's a no brainier win for anyone that does it. At least now with the Internet and social media, there is a record of anyone putting (date,number)-s out in the public space. So when the number fails to materialise on the date, we can remind our Savonarolas. Small wins but better than nothing. Timely too - with the narcissistic mememe-boomer gen starting to internalise their own mortality and confusing their own impending slip into nothingness with the end of the world.
11:17 AM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774731815946785010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly unless synchronised with the nearest neighbours on the continent we will end up in even worse place. Having to remember that for 2 weeks only in the year Newyork is only 4 hours difference to London instead of 5 is a foretaste of what will transpires.
10:33 AM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sadly unless synchronised with the nearest neighbours on the continent we will end up in even worse place. Having to remember that for 2 weeks only in the year Newyork is only 4 hours difference to London instead of 5 is a foretaste of what will transpires.
10:33 AM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774715715917955411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know they are in profit, b/c companies that do not make a profit make a loss, and then they go bust or shut down. So the question becomes: how much profit. I agree the price maybe too high, and the profit maybe too much. But to cite manufacturing price as evidence for that is weak argument.
9:29 AM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I know they are in profit, b/c companies that do not make a profit make a loss, and then they go bust or shut down. So the question becomes: how much profit. I agree the price maybe too high, and the profit maybe too much. But to cite manufacturing price as evidence for that is weak argument.
9:29 AM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774712246825800114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - that's my point: Class-3 NIC of ~£900 p.a. are fixed, *independent* of any income, they are not a %percentage. Everyone contributes the same £900 p.a, and everyone gets the same benefit back. In Europe I'd typically have to pay ~x7-x10 that amount into the pension - the payment is a %percentage of my salary. The sums are order of magnitude higher is my impression: ~15%-25% of the gross salary going into pension contributions. The full UK equivalent wd be NI+FinalSalary (now sadly no longer with us) or NI+SIPP or NI+SalarySacrifice. Those are comparable sums paid in and drawn out.
9:15 AM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - that's my point: Class-3 NIC of ~£900 p.a. are fixed, *independent* of any income, they are not a %percentage. Everyone contributes the same £900 p.a, and everyone gets the same benefit back. In Europe I'd typically have to pay ~x7-x10 that amount into the pension - the payment is a %percentage of my salary. The sums are order of magnitude higher is my impression: ~15%-25% of the gross salary going into pension contributions. The full UK equivalent wd be NI+FinalSalary (now sadly no longer with us) or NI+SIPP or NI+SalarySacrifice. Those are comparable sums paid in and drawn out.
9:15 AM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774581954244927942
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Somewhat misleading. In UK all pay about the same amount (National Insurance), then draw the same pension. In many European countries, pension contributions are percentage% of the salary, and not an insignificant %age too. Certainly significantly higher than the NI in the UK.
12:38 AM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Somewhat misleading. In UK all pay about the same amount (National Insurance), then draw the same pension. In many European countries, pension contributions are percentage% of the salary, and not an insignificant %age too. Certainly significantly higher than the NI in the UK.
12:38 AM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774579219999133957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is misleading. The manufacturing cost maybe small - great. But the cost recovered is 1) the cost of R&D from zero to positive result and approval 2) the cost of the same for the other 10 drugs that were similarly developed at huge effort and expense - but failed the tests.
12:27 AM · Apr 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is misleading. The manufacturing cost maybe small - great. But the cost recovered is 1) the cost of R&D from zero to positive result and approval 2) the cost of the same for the other 10 drugs that were similarly developed at huge effort and expense - but failed the tests.
12:27 AM · Apr 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774538374461681892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can reasonably ask, why do we need gas then? Let's shut them down. But ofc we can't do it b/c the problem of storage is not solved (yet). So we rely on gas turbines to supply us when the wind does not blow & the sun does not shine. The battery prices are coming down, hopefully they replicate the success of the solar learning curve, but: it will be many years. I have rooftop solar+battery at home. It does reduce the electricity bill by ~45% for me, and it's been a great learning experience. But also makes me aware of how big a problem storage is going to be.
9:44 PM · Mar 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can reasonably ask, why do we need gas then? Let's shut them down. But ofc we can't do it b/c the problem of storage is not solved (yet). So we rely on gas turbines to supply us when the wind does not blow & the sun does not shine. The battery prices are coming down, hopefully they replicate the success of the solar learning curve, but: it will be many years. I have rooftop solar+battery at home. It does reduce the electricity bill by ~45% for me, and it's been a great learning experience. But also makes me aware of how big a problem storage is going to be.
9:44 PM · Mar 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774511498657681535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Household energy bills have never been higher, and the share of wind+solar in the electrical energy mix have never been higher. The two have been increasing in lockstep. Not a good omen Re: the price of energy.
7:58 PM · Mar 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Household energy bills have never been higher, and the share of wind+solar in the electrical energy mix have never been higher. The two have been increasing in lockstep. Not a good omen Re: the price of energy.
7:58 PM · Mar 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774436819515453485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes I needle some of them with - "econ phd academia midwits doomer decels". 😆 Bit harsh, but to the civilians like me usually their message comes over as "Taxman raids pubs' cash registers after closing time at midnight to get the gold coins needed to pay police & nurses tomorrow".
Atm "there is no $$$" is used to cover with a patina of respectability laziness, lack of ambition, NoCanDo-attitude . Easier to sit on the hands or chin-stroke & do nothing then work & build. Excuses "why not" are plentiful and come easily. At a country level, the whole country e.g. UK enters a stasis.
Example from today - https://twitter.com/PranMan/status/1774251583754146072 . So India 2024 can, UK in 1900s could, but UK 2024 can't??
Obv UK can do it in 2024 too. But smooth brains spreadsheet bin counters at @hmtreasury went from bad"we cannot afford anything" to worse "we cannot build anything". Cue HS2 cancellation. "Good servant but bad master" comes to mind. There's a reason why FinMin should *not* run the country but serve the country.
In contrast - the challengers to status quo like MMTers strike me as as booster chads. 😂 Create! JustDoIt! GetThingsDone!
3:01 PM · Mar 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sometimes I needle some of them with - "econ phd academia midwits doomer decels". 😆 Bit harsh, but to the civilians like me usually their message comes over as "Taxman raids pubs' cash registers after closing time at midnight to get the gold coins needed to pay police & nurses tomorrow".
Atm "there is no $$$" is used to cover with a patina of respectability laziness, lack of ambition, NoCanDo-attitude . Easier to sit on the hands or chin-stroke & do nothing then work & build. Excuses "why not" are plentiful and come easily. At a country level, the whole country e.g. UK enters a stasis.
Example from today - https://twitter.com/PranMan/status/1774251583754146072 . So India 2024 can, UK in 1900s could, but UK 2024 can't??
Obv UK can do it in 2024 too. But smooth brains spreadsheet bin counters at @hmtreasury went from bad"we cannot afford anything" to worse "we cannot build anything". Cue HS2 cancellation. "Good servant but bad master" comes to mind. There's a reason why FinMin should *not* run the country but serve the country.
In contrast - the challengers to status quo like MMTers strike me as as booster chads. 😂 Create! JustDoIt! GetThingsDone!
3:01 PM · Mar 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774411985393717299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Btw there is a book from the '90s named "The planet of women" (The Erect Woman) advancing a thesis that sexuality, as in - the cooperation between the male and female halves of the species forming long term partnership jump started by sexual attraction (so not talking abt intra-sex competition), and not work, labour, tools, fire, cooked food, brain size, opposing thumbs, etc - was the deciding factor that created the human species.
1:22 PM · Mar 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Btw there is a book from the '90s named "The planet of women" (The Erect Woman) advancing a thesis that sexuality, as in - the cooperation between the male and female halves of the species forming long term partnership jump started by sexual attraction (so not talking abt intra-sex competition), and not work, labour, tools, fire, cooked food, brain size, opposing thumbs, etc - was the deciding factor that created the human species.
1:22 PM · Mar 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774404626550309173
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To paraphrase - "they run out of other people's assets to privatize". 😆
12:53 PM · Mar 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To paraphrase - "they run out of other people's assets to privatize". 😆
12:53 PM · Mar 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774394415349391699
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't follow how you go from "real constraint" (agreed) to "becomes a funding problem". A funding problem would be literally lack of $$$ so a transaction stuff-for-$$$ can not happen even if stuff is available. (UK real example - food banks)
Further, I accuse the "there is no $$$" camp as using it as cover for laziness, lack of ambition and giving NoCanDo attitude a patina of respectability. It's always easier to sit on the hands and do nothing (esp if your life is agreeable enough). For something to happen there is usually a narrow path of possibility, 10 things need to align right. Each one can be excused and reasons "why not" found, making the chance 1 in 2^10 ~ 1 in 1000. Done at a country level - the whole country enters a stasis (e.g. UK) - nothing can be done. Doomer decels rule the roost. No one remembers to ask: well how did our predecessors build all the infrastructure? Were they richer or more numerous or had better machines?
In contrast the challengers to status quo (MMTers, cryptos) strike me as as booster chads - Create!!!-JustDoIt!!!-GetThingsDone!!! Must admit I'm prejudiced favorably towards them.
12:12 PM · Mar 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't follow how you go from "real constraint" (agreed) to "becomes a funding problem". A funding problem would be literally lack of $$$ so a transaction stuff-for-$$$ can not happen even if stuff is available. (UK real example - food banks)
Further, I accuse the "there is no $$$" camp as using it as cover for laziness, lack of ambition and giving NoCanDo attitude a patina of respectability. It's always easier to sit on the hands and do nothing (esp if your life is agreeable enough). For something to happen there is usually a narrow path of possibility, 10 things need to align right. Each one can be excused and reasons "why not" found, making the chance 1 in 2^10 ~ 1 in 1000. Done at a country level - the whole country enters a stasis (e.g. UK) - nothing can be done. Doomer decels rule the roost. No one remembers to ask: well how did our predecessors build all the infrastructure? Were they richer or more numerous or had better machines?
In contrast the challengers to status quo (MMTers, cryptos) strike me as as booster chads - Create!!!-JustDoIt!!!-GetThingsDone!!! Must admit I'm prejudiced favorably towards them.
12:12 PM · Mar 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774339185534476481
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c some of them were cranks, innumerates and worse (the case of adding a constant period inflation annually comes to mind). The idea that the basket composition is changed to exclude stuff that matter a lot to most people - housing, transport, energy - and then the name was kept is silly bordering on deception. I'm sure the Stats office has other indices that include those things - but no one reports them so no one cares about them.
8:33 AM · Mar 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c some of them were cranks, innumerates and worse (the case of adding a constant period inflation annually comes to mind). The idea that the basket composition is changed to exclude stuff that matter a lot to most people - housing, transport, energy - and then the name was kept is silly bordering on deception. I'm sure the Stats office has other indices that include those things - but no one reports them so no one cares about them.
8:33 AM · Mar 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774157786118566070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That abstraction introduces a constraint that does not exists in the real thing. It becomes possible to say "well, if tax is not collected before hand, it is physically impossible for the gov to spend". It's doubly bad as it also masks the real constraint (real resources). That misdirection then replaces a discussion on what/when/how/why Re: building stuff, with discussion of when/how/why to get the $$$. It would be comical if it was not tragic. In the stuff-for-$$$ exchanges that make the economies, producing the stuff is 1e9 times more difficult than producing the $$$. Further - $$$ production is more law, politics, accounting, IT even - than is economics (at best - political economics).
7:32 PM · Mar 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That abstraction introduces a constraint that does not exists in the real thing. It becomes possible to say "well, if tax is not collected before hand, it is physically impossible for the gov to spend". It's doubly bad as it also masks the real constraint (real resources). That misdirection then replaces a discussion on what/when/how/why Re: building stuff, with discussion of when/how/why to get the $$$. It would be comical if it was not tragic. In the stuff-for-$$$ exchanges that make the economies, producing the stuff is 1e9 times more difficult than producing the $$$. Further - $$$ production is more law, politics, accounting, IT even - than is economics (at best - political economics).
7:32 PM · Mar 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1774096061113552984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
laziness, narcissism, stupidity - would be my top-3 A-answers to the Q-uestion "Why"
3:27 PM · Mar 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
laziness, narcissism, stupidity - would be my top-3 A-answers to the Q-uestion "Why"
3:27 PM · Mar 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773818945843134571
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. Scale (billions of us living together as opposed say a band of 20-30) is unnatural in a sense - we have not had time to evolve instruments for this. Our biology is not adapted to this fast and recent change. So we adapt via our cultures that are much faster to change.
9:06 PM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. Scale (billions of us living together as opposed say a band of 20-30) is unnatural in a sense - we have not had time to evolve instruments for this. Our biology is not adapted to this fast and recent change. So we adapt via our cultures that are much faster to change.
9:06 PM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773817658028306531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing to reconcile. Our intuition is wrong (communism is *not* a good way to organise billions of people). The wrong idea persists the same way other irrational beliefs persist: we just carry over an idea to a different context without much thinking and b/c it's often the only idea we have frankly. So the 1st thing that comes to mind is also the only thing there is in our mind. I read similarly in economics (possibly on @bryan_caplan
's blog) students start as intuitive protections anti free traders, and have to be taught explicitly about the gains from free trade. Same I believe abt the lump of labour fallacy too. Intuitions we grow up with are simply wrong in the context we are (mis)applying them.
9:01 PM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is nothing to reconcile. Our intuition is wrong (communism is *not* a good way to organise billions of people). The wrong idea persists the same way other irrational beliefs persist: we just carry over an idea to a different context without much thinking and b/c it's often the only idea we have frankly. So the 1st thing that comes to mind is also the only thing there is in our mind. I read similarly in economics (possibly on @bryan_caplan
's blog) students start as intuitive protections anti free traders, and have to be taught explicitly about the gains from free trade. Same I believe abt the lump of labour fallacy too. Intuitions we grow up with are simply wrong in the context we are (mis)applying them.
9:01 PM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773786418264875114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Communism is the default ideology we imbibe growing up in a family where "parents give to the best of their abilities, and children get according to their needs". So it comes to us instinctively. Every other system for organising large groups of people (with far less trust than a family) to live together and cooperate&compete productively has to be explicitly taught.
6:56 PM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Communism is the default ideology we imbibe growing up in a family where "parents give to the best of their abilities, and children get according to their needs". So it comes to us instinctively. Every other system for organising large groups of people (with far less trust than a family) to live together and cooperate&compete productively has to be explicitly taught.
6:56 PM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773696118964056543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing how similar late neoliberalism feels like late socialism. Everything getting ever more expensive and worse, seemingly unstoppable en-shittification - housing (building, leasehold), utilities (water, energy), industry (Boeing), etc. Only bright spot IT-technology-AI TBH.
Quote
Alexander Clarkson @APHClarkson · Mar 29
The Boeing story, wherein neo-liberal management techniques manage to replicate every form of inefficiency, waste and danger to the public achieved by Late Soviet quota production
H/t @HistoryNed cc @innes_abby
https://prospect.org/infrastructure/transportation/2024-03-28-suicide-mission-boeing/
12:58 PM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing how similar late neoliberalism feels like late socialism. Everything getting ever more expensive and worse, seemingly unstoppable en-shittification - housing (building, leasehold), utilities (water, energy), industry (Boeing), etc. Only bright spot IT-technology-AI TBH.
Quote
Alexander Clarkson @APHClarkson · Mar 29
The Boeing story, wherein neo-liberal management techniques manage to replicate every form of inefficiency, waste and danger to the public achieved by Late Soviet quota production
H/t @HistoryNed cc @innes_abby
https://prospect.org/infrastructure/transportation/2024-03-28-suicide-mission-boeing/
12:58 PM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773694117354070235
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is parenting a separate activity class? Kids grow up, develop, learn etc on their own. Didn't do anything special than include them in what we did together already. Yes tailor activities to some extent - as with any other member. But didn't feel I was doing exclusive parenting.
12:50 PM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is parenting a separate activity class? Kids grow up, develop, learn etc on their own. Didn't do anything special than include them in what we did together already. Yes tailor activities to some extent - as with any other member. But didn't feel I was doing exclusive parenting.
12:50 PM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773687683417542673
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Glad to hear - endearing better than condescending. Lets not get personal as you are a pseudo anon and not personal acc. What is the arbitrage you have in mind?
12:24 PM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Glad to hear - endearing better than condescending. Lets not get personal as you are a pseudo anon and not personal acc. What is the arbitrage you have in mind?
12:24 PM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773671087777239257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right, and you know this for sure - how? Is the line of thinking "if it was dozen people => then agency, but this is dozen millions of people => not agency"? Fwiw I note - dozen millions moved, hundred(s) millions didn't.
11:18 AM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right, and you know this for sure - how? Is the line of thinking "if it was dozen people => then agency, but this is dozen millions of people => not agency"? Fwiw I note - dozen millions moved, hundred(s) millions didn't.
11:18 AM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773655611097452737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My guess - no, b/c he didn't change you. He just dealt with the consequences without changing you. If he'd changed you (so in the future you do something different in the same situation that will lead to "no maggots" outcome) - then he'd be civilizing you.
10:17 AM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My guess - no, b/c he didn't change you. He just dealt with the consequences without changing you. If he'd changed you (so in the future you do something different in the same situation that will lead to "no maggots" outcome) - then he'd be civilizing you.
10:17 AM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773650696761401708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not the best of takes tbh. An uncharitable reading "I was a property of the state and or my parents, and now I've been stolen". Better reading: EEs *exercising their own agency* (oft disregarded by WEs) decided to change teams & break off an abusive relationship with the state they were born unto.
9:57 AM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not the best of takes tbh. An uncharitable reading "I was a property of the state and or my parents, and now I've been stolen". Better reading: EEs *exercising their own agency* (oft disregarded by WEs) decided to change teams & break off an abusive relationship with the state they were born unto.
9:57 AM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773628965023854730
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - v. interesting. Agreed not something that can be seen on BBC now. Maybe as YT long form podcast now? Curious that host + 2 opposing guests format has not been explored much, most YT long forms are host(s) + single guest format. Aside - I notice the content (Q of EU democratic mandate) relevance has not diminished over time either. 😁
8:31 AM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - v. interesting. Agreed not something that can be seen on BBC now. Maybe as YT long form podcast now? Curious that host + 2 opposing guests format has not been explored much, most YT long forms are host(s) + single guest format. Aside - I notice the content (Q of EU democratic mandate) relevance has not diminished over time either. 😁
8:31 AM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773621562945458272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jovo Toševski. The book is in serbo-croat (as it was then) and afaik not translated in English. Not sure, I lost track, the author may have turned crank since. I remember reading it then and finding the arguments for his thesis as plausible as any. I see
knjigoriaplanet.hr
Planeta žena Jovo Toševski
Spekulacije o evoluciji i dejstvu seksualnosti žene i muškarca Poreklo i evolucija Antigravitacijska svojstva života i naše vrste Ženska morfološka kontroverznost - ženska specifična seksualost...
8:01 AM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jovo Toševski. The book is in serbo-croat (as it was then) and afaik not translated in English. Not sure, I lost track, the author may have turned crank since. I remember reading it then and finding the arguments for his thesis as plausible as any. I see
knjigoriaplanet.hr
Planeta žena Jovo Toševski
Spekulacije o evoluciji i dejstvu seksualnosti žene i muškarca Poreklo i evolucija Antigravitacijska svojstva života i naše vrste Ženska morfološka kontroverznost - ženska specifična seksualost...
8:01 AM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773614063404147075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos for the plain explanation that us civilians can understand. And +1 for the observation that food banks are a case of "stuff is present but cash needed for a stuff-for-cash transaction is missing". So the transaction can't happen and food goes to waste.
7:31 AM · Mar 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos for the plain explanation that us civilians can understand. And +1 for the observation that food banks are a case of "stuff is present but cash needed for a stuff-for-cash transaction is missing". So the transaction can't happen and food goes to waste.
7:31 AM · Mar 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773477276505563528
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Remember reading a book in the '90s named "The planet of women" (The Erect Woman) advancing the thesis that sexuality (as in - the cooperation between the male and female halves of the species, not the competition) - and not work, labour, tools, fire, opposing thumbs, etc - was the deciding factor that created the human species.
10:28 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Remember reading a book in the '90s named "The planet of women" (The Erect Woman) advancing the thesis that sexuality (as in - the cooperation between the male and female halves of the species, not the competition) - and not work, labour, tools, fire, opposing thumbs, etc - was the deciding factor that created the human species.
10:28 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773434596845134022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Taxes at ATH while public services at ATL is indeed a connandrum. Only explanation offered I've noticed is by @garyseconomics
youtube.com
Why Are Taxes So High?
Taxes are set to reach all time highs. But if this is the case, why is the government so bankrupt? And why are public services collapsing? In this video I e...
7:38 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Taxes at ATH while public services at ATL is indeed a connandrum. Only explanation offered I've noticed is by @garyseconomics
youtube.com
Why Are Taxes So High?
Taxes are set to reach all time highs. But if this is the case, why is the government so bankrupt? And why are public services collapsing? In this video I e...
7:38 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773409533412413664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-per-capita-worldbank?tab=chart&country=MKD~SRB~ALB~BIH , https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/unemployment-rate?tab=chart&country=MKD~SRB~ALB~BIH
From ourworldindata.org
5:59 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-per-capita-worldbank?tab=chart&country=MKD~SRB~ALB~BIH , https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/unemployment-rate?tab=chart&country=MKD~SRB~ALB~BIH
From ourworldindata.org
5:59 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773397976053862624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a downward sloping learning curve, new tech cheapens by some factor with every doubling. Solar had been on such slope. Wd be great if batteries got moving down that slope pronto - TBS. Nuclear was a big missed opportunity, hope it gets more traction now (TBS).
5:13 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a downward sloping learning curve, new tech cheapens by some factor with every doubling. Solar had been on such slope. Wd be great if batteries got moving down that slope pronto - TBS. Nuclear was a big missed opportunity, hope it gets more traction now (TBS).
5:13 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773387480340869600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've been using vi/m for ~30yrs, and use all sorts of GUI-s, and even at this moment use vim+GUI in parallel on the same file. It's not either-or. Oft vim use is too basic and tutorials also cater to beginners. This vi tutorial defo https://web.archive.org/web/20211119032136/https://www.ele.uri.edu/faculty/vetter/Other-stuff/vi/009-index.html taught me a lot. Fwiw vim alone is not a match for the GUI, it's the whole command line (of which vim is only a part) - this https://blog.sanctum.geek.nz/unix-as-ide-introduction/
4:31 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've been using vi/m for ~30yrs, and use all sorts of GUI-s, and even at this moment use vim+GUI in parallel on the same file. It's not either-or. Oft vim use is too basic and tutorials also cater to beginners. This vi tutorial defo https://web.archive.org/web/20211119032136/https://www.ele.uri.edu/faculty/vetter/Other-stuff/vi/009-index.html taught me a lot. Fwiw vim alone is not a match for the GUI, it's the whole command line (of which vim is only a part) - this https://blog.sanctum.geek.nz/unix-as-ide-introduction/
4:31 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773383956009758843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mozno e tvoite odgovori da ne im se pojavuvaat. Afaik Twitter sam odlucuva sto ke prikaze, sto ne. Sekoj od nas ima razlicen Twitter. Ako imaat 1000-ci odgovori, i da im go prikaze Twitter tvojot, moze ne moze ni da gi dogledaat site, a ne pa da procitaat, a ne pa da odgovorat.
4:17 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mozno e tvoite odgovori da ne im se pojavuvaat. Afaik Twitter sam odlucuva sto ke prikaze, sto ne. Sekoj od nas ima razlicen Twitter. Ako imaat 1000-ci odgovori, i da im go prikaze Twitter tvojot, moze ne moze ni da gi dogledaat site, a ne pa da procitaat, a ne pa da odgovorat.
4:17 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773381871205765358
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas koristam Thinkpadi posto DIY+eftini, ama: samo za kvalitetot na ekranot i ili baterijata bi kupil Mac. Zemajki gi vo predvid dvete - nisto drugo ne e ni priblizno po kvalitet a ni po cena/kvalitet. (plus pokvalitetni kukiste, trackpad) Sledniot laptop zdravje 😀
4:09 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas koristam Thinkpadi posto DIY+eftini, ama: samo za kvalitetot na ekranot i ili baterijata bi kupil Mac. Zemajki gi vo predvid dvete - nisto drugo ne e ni priblizno po kvalitet a ni po cena/kvalitet. (plus pokvalitetni kukiste, trackpad) Sledniot laptop zdravje 😀
4:09 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773379949254099258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The resiliency is explained by "the price level has not come down". Far from amazing - it's to be expected. Our memories are longer than the 12M rolling window. People's inflation is (correctly) ~30%, unless they got a pay rise of ~30% too in the 2020+ period (and their own personal consumption basket matches the statistical office basket). This is even before getting into discussions how good RPI-CPI-etc-measures that include yes/no housing, transport (petrol) etc
Image
4:01 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The resiliency is explained by "the price level has not come down". Far from amazing - it's to be expected. Our memories are longer than the 12M rolling window. People's inflation is (correctly) ~30%, unless they got a pay rise of ~30% too in the 2020+ period (and their own personal consumption basket matches the statistical office basket). This is even before getting into discussions how good RPI-CPI-etc-measures that include yes/no housing, transport (petrol) etc
Image
4:01 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773375635068440793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obligatory plugin of @cgpgrey "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" https://youtube.com/watch?v=cZYNADOHhVY adaptation of https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon
youtube.com
Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant
Adapted from Nick Bostrom's paper: https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.htmlMade possible with the support of my patreons: https://www.patreon.com/cgpgreyMad...
3:44 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obligatory plugin of @cgpgrey "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" https://youtube.com/watch?v=cZYNADOHhVY adaptation of https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon
youtube.com
Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant
Adapted from Nick Bostrom's paper: https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.htmlMade possible with the support of my patreons: https://www.patreon.com/cgpgreyMad...
3:44 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773364587657560505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thinking fast and slow even better than widely considered when turned inwards, used for introspection. One criticism I had is unrelated to the author/book: felt as if it was wheeled out in public in the wake of GFC'08 as to say "see, it's the humans that are irrational, the system is fine".
3:00 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thinking fast and slow even better than widely considered when turned inwards, used for introspection. One criticism I had is unrelated to the author/book: felt as if it was wheeled out in public in the wake of GFC'08 as to say "see, it's the humans that are irrational, the system is fine".
3:00 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773343227753496880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is not saying "they don't work" though - right? Ofc technologies work. The question is - at what price. Introducion of wind and solar in the UK coincided with doubling of our consumer energy bills. Every new technology starts as more expensive than the incumbent one.
1:35 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is not saying "they don't work" though - right? Ofc technologies work. The question is - at what price. Introducion of wind and solar in the UK coincided with doubling of our consumer energy bills. Every new technology starts as more expensive than the incumbent one.
1:35 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773325809513566475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. It's even worse - always tempting to say "we can't afford that" when we are just lazy to do it. Not one among us is never lazy (or worse). So "can't afford" gives patina of respectability to us to indulge. Wish laziness was a mortal sin - but sloth is close enough imo. ;-)
12:26 PM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. It's even worse - always tempting to say "we can't afford that" when we are just lazy to do it. Not one among us is never lazy (or worse). So "can't afford" gives patina of respectability to us to indulge. Wish laziness was a mortal sin - but sloth is close enough imo. ;-)
12:26 PM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1773297928787951760
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imas ilne nekakva procena, kolku e stvarno strav i zelba za privatnost, a kolku e mrza, neznaenje i nesposobnost? Obicno vo razni testovi lugeto kazuvame "sakam privatnost", a posle koga me testiraat "ok, kolku bi platil za nea", testirame nesto kao "blisku do nula".
10:35 AM · Mar 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imas ilne nekakva procena, kolku e stvarno strav i zelba za privatnost, a kolku e mrza, neznaenje i nesposobnost? Obicno vo razni testovi lugeto kazuvame "sakam privatnost", a posle koga me testiraat "ok, kolku bi platil za nea", testirame nesto kao "blisku do nula".
10:35 AM · Mar 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772980380989014486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I probably got the idea listening to @drmichaellevin on morpho genesis and how cells cooperate & compete to create tissues and organs. Got reminded today again while listening to https://youtube.com/watch?v=AI8M6ikI9wI where homeostasis got mentioned. So a target is set but the path to it is flexible and can't be known in advance (as the starting point as well as the disturbances on the road are unknowable in advance). Weight and obesity from personal observation strike me as a case of homeostatic behavior too. We maybe more successful if we find a way to modify that homeostatic set point (rather than as we presently do - micro-managing and trying to alter the path our weight takes).
1:33 PM · Mar 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I probably got the idea listening to @drmichaellevin on morpho genesis and how cells cooperate & compete to create tissues and organs. Got reminded today again while listening to https://youtube.com/watch?v=AI8M6ikI9wI where homeostasis got mentioned. So a target is set but the path to it is flexible and can't be known in advance (as the starting point as well as the disturbances on the road are unknowable in advance). Weight and obesity from personal observation strike me as a case of homeostatic behavior too. We maybe more successful if we find a way to modify that homeostatic set point (rather than as we presently do - micro-managing and trying to alter the path our weight takes).
1:33 PM · Mar 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772973000842735938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We overestimate the impact short term, we underestimate the impact long term. Plus writers have antennae to sense the morass of the present moment, while chatbots lack autonomous sensory input.
1:04 PM · Mar 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We overestimate the impact short term, we underestimate the impact long term. Plus writers have antennae to sense the morass of the present moment, while chatbots lack autonomous sensory input.
1:04 PM · Mar 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772948643735060614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Where is it?" indeed! Where is the information stored? That and more! 😁 Brain melting 🤯🤯 stuff by @drmichaellevin at https://youtube.com/watch?v=AI8M6ikI9wI . Well worth anyone's time
Image
11:27 AM · Mar 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Where is it?" indeed! Where is the information stored? That and more! 😁 Brain melting 🤯🤯 stuff by @drmichaellevin at https://youtube.com/watch?v=AI8M6ikI9wI . Well worth anyone's time
Image
11:27 AM · Mar 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772946155082522824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do they have the equivalent of forfeiture? In the UK, if the LH-older owes a debt of £350 to the FH-older, the property that maybe worth say £350K can be taken away (confiscated) from the LH-older and returned to the FH-older *without any further compensation*! So one effectively loses the home one owns on a whim! Sounds like "nah, this can't be true", but actually happens regularly, last I read was "about 80 such cases a year". If this is not private property theft (albeit from a peasant to his feudal lord), IDK what property theft is. Appendages from feudalism in the otherwise uber-capitalist UK.
11:17 AM · Mar 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do they have the equivalent of forfeiture? In the UK, if the LH-older owes a debt of £350 to the FH-older, the property that maybe worth say £350K can be taken away (confiscated) from the LH-older and returned to the FH-older *without any further compensation*! So one effectively loses the home one owns on a whim! Sounds like "nah, this can't be true", but actually happens regularly, last I read was "about 80 such cases a year". If this is not private property theft (albeit from a peasant to his feudal lord), IDK what property theft is. Appendages from feudalism in the otherwise uber-capitalist UK.
11:17 AM · Mar 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772939683380563976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. I 1st witnessed transition to institutional stasis while growing up (YU). Now in my olden age, different country (UK) and culture - and witnessing similar process... (wtaf!?! Qs: is it me, am I unlucky...) Seems doomer decel "no can do" thinking is HQ-ed in @hmtreasury, started as "we cannot afford anything", nowdays morphed to "we cannot build anything" (e.g. c.f. https://newyorker.com/magazine/2024/04/01/what-have-fourteen-years-of-conservative-rule-done-to-britain). That thinking is not an exception but fully aligned with large swathes of the population cutting across class, economic and educational status, geography etc. Can't discern the root cause - it's not young/old, not rich/poor, not boomer yes/no and so on. So far the best I came up with is reasonable(clever?)/silly(stupid) and or JustDoIt/lazy, but that's unsatisfactory, too ill defined. I'm stumped.
10:52 AM · Mar 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. I 1st witnessed transition to institutional stasis while growing up (YU). Now in my olden age, different country (UK) and culture - and witnessing similar process... (wtaf!?! Qs: is it me, am I unlucky...) Seems doomer decel "no can do" thinking is HQ-ed in @hmtreasury, started as "we cannot afford anything", nowdays morphed to "we cannot build anything" (e.g. c.f. https://newyorker.com/magazine/2024/04/01/what-have-fourteen-years-of-conservative-rule-done-to-britain). That thinking is not an exception but fully aligned with large swathes of the population cutting across class, economic and educational status, geography etc. Can't discern the root cause - it's not young/old, not rich/poor, not boomer yes/no and so on. So far the best I came up with is reasonable(clever?)/silly(stupid) and or JustDoIt/lazy, but that's unsatisfactory, too ill defined. I'm stumped.
10:52 AM · Mar 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772675593198297327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me this post explains it simply and convincingly, just by simple "3SD v.s. 2SD above the population mean is XYZ people" arithmetic:
https://jordanbpeterson.com/psychology/on-the-so-called-jewish-question/
5:22 PM · Mar 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me this post explains it simply and convincingly, just by simple "3SD v.s. 2SD above the population mean is XYZ people" arithmetic:
https://jordanbpeterson.com/psychology/on-the-so-called-jewish-question/
5:22 PM · Mar 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772671829024317538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've found it useful when talking to libertarians to acknowledge: I wish property rights were natural! Then we'd have one less obstacle in building prosperity. Like if they were like the law of gravity - working on their own with no input from us. Alas - that is not the case. A dozen neighbors can gang together and disposes me of my property and life. If property laws were laws of nature - they'd protect the prey from the tiger. As it is - property rights are created by all of us and for a good reason: they make our societies prosperous, and we all live better lives that way. However - let's not kid ourselves there is anything natural about them. They are un-natural, created by us, for a good reason, and they can easily crumble and stop existing.
5:07 PM · Mar 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've found it useful when talking to libertarians to acknowledge: I wish property rights were natural! Then we'd have one less obstacle in building prosperity. Like if they were like the law of gravity - working on their own with no input from us. Alas - that is not the case. A dozen neighbors can gang together and disposes me of my property and life. If property laws were laws of nature - they'd protect the prey from the tiger. As it is - property rights are created by all of us and for a good reason: they make our societies prosperous, and we all live better lives that way. However - let's not kid ourselves there is anything natural about them. They are un-natural, created by us, for a good reason, and they can easily crumble and stop existing.
5:07 PM · Mar 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772615472267002011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“I understood, in the clearest possible way, that we were living on a tiny oasis of life, surrounded by an immensity of death."
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David Ullrich @DavidUllrich202 · Mar 25
Final Words ✨
“Last year, I had a life-changing experience at 90 years old. I went to space, after decades of playing an iconic science-fiction character who was exploring the universe. I thought I would experience a deep connection with the immensity around us, a deep call for…
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1:23 PM · Mar 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“I understood, in the clearest possible way, that we were living on a tiny oasis of life, surrounded by an immensity of death."
Quote
David Ullrich @DavidUllrich202 · Mar 25
Final Words ✨
“Last year, I had a life-changing experience at 90 years old. I went to space, after decades of playing an iconic science-fiction character who was exploring the universe. I thought I would experience a deep connection with the immensity around us, a deep call for…
Show more
Image
1:23 PM · Mar 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772595880970916304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sigh - and ofc it's https://eagerstates.com, figured as much as the story was unfolding even before it got the mention
From eagerstates.com
12:06 PM · Mar 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
sigh - and ofc it's https://eagerstates.com, figured as much as the story was unfolding even before it got the mention
From eagerstates.com
12:06 PM · Mar 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772358239616672209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Online pwd manager storing billions passwords from millions users is too juicy a target - bang-for-buck will always favor crackers putting more resource into breaking in than the company will have to spend to defend. Better use vault file cloud distributed + local pwd managers?
8:21 PM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Online pwd manager storing billions passwords from millions users is too juicy a target - bang-for-buck will always favor crackers putting more resource into breaking in than the company will have to spend to defend. Better use vault file cloud distributed + local pwd managers?
8:21 PM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772335384111776135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe. On the other hand, it's the easiest fob off for the Chancellor of the Exchequer: "can't do, no £££ left". Oft simply means "don't want to spend £££ on it (will spend elsewhere)". It's good to compare to some baseline. Maybe one from prior UK history: did UK educate more nurses in 1950? Or in 1970? In absolute counts or some relative per capita measure? Was UK richer or poorer than? So to be able to put various claims in some context, to be able to reason about them.
6:50 PM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe. On the other hand, it's the easiest fob off for the Chancellor of the Exchequer: "can't do, no £££ left". Oft simply means "don't want to spend £££ on it (will spend elsewhere)". It's good to compare to some baseline. Maybe one from prior UK history: did UK educate more nurses in 1950? Or in 1970? In absolute counts or some relative per capita measure? Was UK richer or poorer than? So to be able to put various claims in some context, to be able to reason about them.
6:50 PM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772259651440046428
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another +1 adding to your argument: Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we do. Nature becomes natural resource once via science and technology we devise some use of it to us, after it becomes useful to us.
1:50 PM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another +1 adding to your argument: Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we do. Nature becomes natural resource once via science and technology we devise some use of it to us, after it becomes useful to us.
1:50 PM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772242461781352479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Q: is the @hmtreasury the single most malevolent force running UK into the ground? They seem to have strong opinions shown to be wrong repeatedly.
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Joe Douglas @joedouglas90 · Mar 25
“Preposterous”
Horrifying we seem to have a @10DowningStreet @hmtreasury inclined to give such weight to private equity lobbying (that doesn’t stack up a la @redditchrachel obs) & to hell with all else. Chilling what 🇬🇧 becoming @RishiSunak @Jeremy_Hunt @BimAfolami @KemiBadenoch x.com/peterproperty/…
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12:41 PM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Q: is the @hmtreasury the single most malevolent force running UK into the ground? They seem to have strong opinions shown to be wrong repeatedly.
Quote
Joe Douglas @joedouglas90 · Mar 25
“Preposterous”
Horrifying we seem to have a @10DowningStreet @hmtreasury inclined to give such weight to private equity lobbying (that doesn’t stack up a la @redditchrachel obs) & to hell with all else. Chilling what 🇬🇧 becoming @RishiSunak @Jeremy_Hunt @BimAfolami @KemiBadenoch x.com/peterproperty/…
Show more
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12:41 PM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772235533760020838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - obligatory great 2010 talk https://youtube.com/watch?v=fTznEIZRkLg from the most excellent Hans Rosling (that unfortunately left us way too early)
youtube.com
Hans Rosling: Global population growth, box by box
http://www.ted.com The world's population will grow to 9 billion over the next 50 years -- and only by raising the living standards of the poorest can we che...
12:14 PM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - obligatory great 2010 talk https://youtube.com/watch?v=fTznEIZRkLg from the most excellent Hans Rosling (that unfortunately left us way too early)
youtube.com
Hans Rosling: Global population growth, box by box
http://www.ted.com The world's population will grow to 9 billion over the next 50 years -- and only by raising the living standards of the poorest can we che...
12:14 PM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772230483641839694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, you'd have to express the above in maths symbols I'm afraid. In my mind, say p(x,y) is the p.d.f. capturing quantifying all that is known about the (x,y) relationship. Entropy == amount of our ignorance (the opposite of knowledge) == the amount of flatness (the opposite of spikeness) of the pdf p(x,y). A new data point coming in and us updating p(x,y) to incorporate the new observation, may increase or decrease the entropy measure, so new information may increase or decrease our knowledge, e.g. c.f. "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0954-898X/10/4/303 . And expand from there.
11:54 AM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, you'd have to express the above in maths symbols I'm afraid. In my mind, say p(x,y) is the p.d.f. capturing quantifying all that is known about the (x,y) relationship. Entropy == amount of our ignorance (the opposite of knowledge) == the amount of flatness (the opposite of spikeness) of the pdf p(x,y). A new data point coming in and us updating p(x,y) to incorporate the new observation, may increase or decrease the entropy measure, so new information may increase or decrease our knowledge, e.g. c.f. "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0954-898X/10/4/303 . And expand from there.
11:54 AM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772200827802857525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That exists on a smaller model-pilot scale for garden office segment: click-click on the https://greenretreats.co.uk/garden-rooms/, make your own spec (dimensions chosen such that no planning permissions needed), pay on CC, they come bring everything needed with them, and put it up in 1 day. 😍😍
From greenretreats.co.uk
9:56 AM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That exists on a smaller model-pilot scale for garden office segment: click-click on the https://greenretreats.co.uk/garden-rooms/, make your own spec (dimensions chosen such that no planning permissions needed), pay on CC, they come bring everything needed with them, and put it up in 1 day. 😍😍
From greenretreats.co.uk
9:56 AM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772220076697010666
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏 Great! 👍 If you can do it cheaper-better on your own diy etc - even better! More power to you! 🙂
https://www.woodbegoodjoinery.com/gallery
11:12 AM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏 Great! 👍 If you can do it cheaper-better on your own diy etc - even better! More power to you! 🙂
https://www.woodbegoodjoinery.com/gallery
11:12 AM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1772199713871208863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish - but afraid it will not (yet). However - the next generation v2 maybe good enough to put a Babel fish in every ones ear. Then v3 will finally be mass adoption and that communication obstacle will be no more for real. One obstacle less in making the eastern and the western Franks cooperate and jaw-jaw rather than war-war. ;-) (there are more though)
9:51 AM · Mar 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish - but afraid it will not (yet). However - the next generation v2 maybe good enough to put a Babel fish in every ones ear. Then v3 will finally be mass adoption and that communication obstacle will be no more for real. One obstacle less in making the eastern and the western Franks cooperate and jaw-jaw rather than war-war. ;-) (there are more though)
9:51 AM · Mar 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771976322492883205
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After reading about them in https://sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/ , I have the series on the TODO list but not read it yet.
From sciphijournal.org
7:04 PM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After reading about them in https://sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/ , I have the series on the TODO list but not read it yet.
From sciphijournal.org
7:04 PM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771957380546244848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah. She was right to point the stupendous amounts of $$$ and effort and time (public and private) it takes to R&D. The public should rather be educated with "9 in 10 projects we finance will fail - that's expected - and if they do not, we are not taking enough risk", than deluded with "the state spends $$$ on projects that succeed 100% of the time and we are responsible custodians of the public purse".
5:48 PM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah. She was right to point the stupendous amounts of $$$ and effort and time (public and private) it takes to R&D. The public should rather be educated with "9 in 10 projects we finance will fail - that's expected - and if they do not, we are not taking enough risk", than deluded with "the state spends $$$ on projects that succeed 100% of the time and we are responsible custodians of the public purse".
5:48 PM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771956241780142379
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot on! Yeah - it's a huge conundrum. The largest group of people where we agree voluntarily to cooperate and take a personal hit (e.g. taxes) for the good of others is the nation. Further 0 that aligns with democracy as is practiced atm: the rule of 51% that the 49% accept voluntarily. However, EU is an union of states, not of citizens. It's not possible to have EU of citizens, b/c there is not an EU nation (the way there is a US nation - American). There can not be EU demo-cracy, as there is not European demos. Currently largest demos==nation. One can drill down to the why-s and how-s further etc - but the above observations are the start.
5:44 PM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot on! Yeah - it's a huge conundrum. The largest group of people where we agree voluntarily to cooperate and take a personal hit (e.g. taxes) for the good of others is the nation. Further 0 that aligns with democracy as is practiced atm: the rule of 51% that the 49% accept voluntarily. However, EU is an union of states, not of citizens. It's not possible to have EU of citizens, b/c there is not an EU nation (the way there is a US nation - American). There can not be EU demo-cracy, as there is not European demos. Currently largest demos==nation. One can drill down to the why-s and how-s further etc - but the above observations are the start.
5:44 PM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771904943374414316
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cowards looking for alibi for their own fears and or failings. Narcissists having trouble separating "I" from "The World", so on sensing their own approaching mortality, concluding "ah, the world is going to end". Nah - only you will die, the world will continue on.
2:20 PM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cowards looking for alibi for their own fears and or failings. Narcissists having trouble separating "I" from "The World", so on sensing their own approaching mortality, concluding "ah, the world is going to end". Nah - only you will die, the world will continue on.
2:20 PM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771866584325189908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent question! Logically I'd expect either 1) the energy producing capacity is impaired i.e. insufficient; and or 2) the signalling that should prompt that production is faulty not managing to deliver the information. Either way fat people lack energy => signaling "must eat now" happens, but then the extra food is not converted into extra energy needed. Instead the extra food is converted into energy store - fat. So the signal "must eat/need energy" never stops. Possibly the decision lever how much food to convert into blood sugar and other shorter term energy stores v.s. longer term energy store (fat) is faulty, always errs on the side "store into long term storage (fat)". Possible that the fat storage tissues almost act in some way like cancers do: appropriate too much resource to itselves, at the expense of the entire body.
11:48 AM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent question! Logically I'd expect either 1) the energy producing capacity is impaired i.e. insufficient; and or 2) the signalling that should prompt that production is faulty not managing to deliver the information. Either way fat people lack energy => signaling "must eat now" happens, but then the extra food is not converted into extra energy needed. Instead the extra food is converted into energy store - fat. So the signal "must eat/need energy" never stops. Possibly the decision lever how much food to convert into blood sugar and other shorter term energy stores v.s. longer term energy store (fat) is faulty, always errs on the side "store into long term storage (fat)". Possible that the fat storage tissues almost act in some way like cancers do: appropriate too much resource to itselves, at the expense of the entire body.
11:48 AM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771911605728546929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pojma nenam sto zboris, ne znam koi ste toa "vie", ne znam ni koi se "pacerite"-te, etc etc. Nemam pa ni zelba da otkrijam ni vreme da se raspravam so random anonimusi na TW. Plus pa i bezobrazen - cccc... blok
2:47 PM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pojma nenam sto zboris, ne znam koi ste toa "vie", ne znam ni koi se "pacerite"-te, etc etc. Nemam pa ni zelba da otkrijam ni vreme da se raspravam so random anonimusi na TW. Plus pa i bezobrazen - cccc... blok
2:47 PM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771910865647697941
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e samo cevce, ne e samo zadnica - malku e pokomplicirano. Muslimani UK-Dubai: apsolutna brojka da, relativna brojka ne. "High-tech" 😂 Japonski toaleti - ne znam deka imaat vrska so muslimani, vo UK se prilicna retkost i ne se eftini. Ne sum videl na drugo mesto osven kaj mene doma tbf. Nego povtoruvaj si ti za sebe - jas od ednas razbiram.
2:44 PM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e samo cevce, ne e samo zadnica - malku e pokomplicirano. Muslimani UK-Dubai: apsolutna brojka da, relativna brojka ne. "High-tech" 😂 Japonski toaleti - ne znam deka imaat vrska so muslimani, vo UK se prilicna retkost i ne se eftini. Ne sum videl na drugo mesto osven kaj mene doma tbf. Nego povtoruvaj si ti za sebe - jas od ednas razbiram.
2:44 PM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771841792947708247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Па сега од сликата толку препознав - кај нас во UK такви тоалети со миење-сушење се јапонски. "Ти имаш дома..." - хм, како можеш да тврдиш што јас имам дома? Пошто си псевдоанонимен акаунт, не те знам - може си бил кај мене дома. 😱 Ако си бил, погрешно си видел - дома имам "јапонски" тоалет.
10:09 AM · Mar 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Па сега од сликата толку препознав - кај нас во UK такви тоалети со миење-сушење се јапонски. "Ти имаш дома..." - хм, како можеш да тврдиш што јас имам дома? Пошто си псевдоанонимен акаунт, не те знам - може си бил кај мене дома. 😱 Ако си бил, погрешно си видел - дома имам "јапонски" тоалет.
10:09 AM · Mar 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771631175779389837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас. Јапонски тоалет е супер работа. Нашиот често се расипува. Би ги разбрал јапонците ако мислат сите не-јапонци се тотални варвари: замисли наместо машина лесно да те измие исуши за 5 мин без допир, варвариве земаат хартија со рака и ги размачкуваат г*мната на хартијата и на себе?? Прилично лудо, при постоечка технологија.
8:12 PM · Mar 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас. Јапонски тоалет е супер работа. Нашиот често се расипува. Би ги разбрал јапонците ако мислат сите не-јапонци се тотални варвари: замисли наместо машина лесно да те измие исуши за 5 мин без допир, варвариве земаат хартија со рака и ги размачкуваат г*мната на хартијата и на себе?? Прилично лудо, при постоечка технологија.
8:12 PM · Mar 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771576405517631525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The CON-servatives seem to be so incompetent and or corrupted by special interests, that even an obvious simple doable free market solution (not complete nor ideal - but much better than nothing) to a terrible problem afflicting double digits millions of potential voters is not jumped on and grabbed with both hands as a matter of urgency. Esp baffling given their anhilliation-level polling. FA @RishiSunak @michaelgove @Lee4NED
Quote
Norma Cohen @NormaCohen3 · Mar 22
The best solution for controlling bad behaviour by Managing Agents is not regulation; it’s allowing market forces to work. Giving the sole power of appointing MAs to leaseholders - those who actually pay the bills - ensures that the bad ones will be sacked. x.com/mdc12345678/st…
4:35 PM · Mar 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The CON-servatives seem to be so incompetent and or corrupted by special interests, that even an obvious simple doable free market solution (not complete nor ideal - but much better than nothing) to a terrible problem afflicting double digits millions of potential voters is not jumped on and grabbed with both hands as a matter of urgency. Esp baffling given their anhilliation-level polling. FA @RishiSunak @michaelgove @Lee4NED
Quote
Norma Cohen @NormaCohen3 · Mar 22
The best solution for controlling bad behaviour by Managing Agents is not regulation; it’s allowing market forces to work. Giving the sole power of appointing MAs to leaseholders - those who actually pay the bills - ensures that the bad ones will be sacked. x.com/mdc12345678/st…
4:35 PM · Mar 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771519493283475848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - memes are ok. Pple that know how our fiat currency system works - the BoE, Fed, ECB, primary dealers, MMT-ers, cryptos etc strike me as booster chads: Create! JustDoIt! GetThingsDone. In contrast econs phds academia midwits go "oh noes, come 11:30pm need to raid pubs' cash registers for coins to pay police & nurses tomorrow" look like doomer decels to me.
12:48 PM · Mar 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - memes are ok. Pple that know how our fiat currency system works - the BoE, Fed, ECB, primary dealers, MMT-ers, cryptos etc strike me as booster chads: Create! JustDoIt! GetThingsDone. In contrast econs phds academia midwits go "oh noes, come 11:30pm need to raid pubs' cash registers for coins to pay police & nurses tomorrow" look like doomer decels to me.
12:48 PM · Mar 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771482250657276194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас - 500C cabriolet, се спушта кровот (церада). Веројатно како квалитет на кола е лоша пошто ефтина. Ама! - единствена кола што ја возам без да морам, само за задоволство. 😀 Возење под плаво небо жолто сонце меѓу зелени ливади на спореден пат со спуштен кров - 😍😍😍
10:20 AM · Mar 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас - 500C cabriolet, се спушта кровот (церада). Веројатно како квалитет на кола е лоша пошто ефтина. Ама! - единствена кола што ја возам без да морам, само за задоволство. 😀 Возење под плаво небо жолто сонце меѓу зелени ливади на спореден пат со спуштен кров - 😍😍😍
10:20 AM · Mar 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771473049562312999
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For real?? Forming strong opinion on basis of memes in the age when ChatAI and even plain old Internet search are at ones' fingertips? You owe it to yourself tbh. "It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so."
9:44 AM · Mar 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For real?? Forming strong opinion on basis of memes in the age when ChatAI and even plain old Internet search are at ones' fingertips? You owe it to yourself tbh. "It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so."
9:44 AM · Mar 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771467798209826904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm no proponent but it's trivially easy to see that their description of the fiat currency system is true to the present reality. Other notice that too - libertarians, BoE whitepaper "Money Creation in the Modern Economy", Greenspan, cryptos etc. Economists are uniquely ill prepared for anything to do with money though: their discipline is about producing real stuff we all consume or use, which is many orders of magnitudes harder. By comparison the tokens or spreadsheet cells used to facilitate exchange of said stuff are trivial in almost every aspect. Banking is 1st and foremost law, then accounting, then IT and at distant 4th only related to economics.
9:23 AM · Mar 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm no proponent but it's trivially easy to see that their description of the fiat currency system is true to the present reality. Other notice that too - libertarians, BoE whitepaper "Money Creation in the Modern Economy", Greenspan, cryptos etc. Economists are uniquely ill prepared for anything to do with money though: their discipline is about producing real stuff we all consume or use, which is many orders of magnitudes harder. By comparison the tokens or spreadsheet cells used to facilitate exchange of said stuff are trivial in almost every aspect. Banking is 1st and foremost law, then accounting, then IT and at distant 4th only related to economics.
9:23 AM · Mar 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771266469604520124
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is more than excellent by @HarryScoffin from @FreeLeasehlders . Wish more mainstream media gave 30min to this subject affecting double digits million in the UK. Kudos to @BritishThgtLdrs for giving the time.
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British Thought Leaders @BritishThgtLdrs · Mar 21
WATCH NOW:
@HarryScoffin from @FreeLeasehlders tells @LeeAlanHall that England's leasehold problems reflect deeper issues in the nation's politics, with powerful interests preventing governments from reforming the laws for over a century.
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8:03 PM · Mar 22, 2024
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is more than excellent by @HarryScoffin from @FreeLeasehlders . Wish more mainstream media gave 30min to this subject affecting double digits million in the UK. Kudos to @BritishThgtLdrs for giving the time.
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British Thought Leaders @BritishThgtLdrs · Mar 21
WATCH NOW:
@HarryScoffin from @FreeLeasehlders tells @LeeAlanHall that England's leasehold problems reflect deeper issues in the nation's politics, with powerful interests preventing governments from reforming the laws for over a century.
Embedded video
8:03 PM · Mar 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771219954651557927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
- increases fertility
In addition - 1) in the UK the NHS GPs refuse to prescribe it 2) only pple able to buy it for £300pcm can take it - the poorer are left without 3) chattering class tribune @guardian
is attacking it advocating "live healthily/change lifestyle" alternative.
4:58 PM · Mar 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
- increases fertility
In addition - 1) in the UK the NHS GPs refuse to prescribe it 2) only pple able to buy it for £300pcm can take it - the poorer are left without 3) chattering class tribune @guardian
is attacking it advocating "live healthily/change lifestyle" alternative.
4:58 PM · Mar 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771210814709485810
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rights (human or otherwise) stop existing when the state loses monopoly on violence. Yes it may come to pass that @nayibbukele turns into a dictator ruler for life - TBS. I hope he is better than that. But as of now - you can say that @nayibbukele restored the state of Salvador.
4:22 PM · Mar 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rights (human or otherwise) stop existing when the state loses monopoly on violence. Yes it may come to pass that @nayibbukele turns into a dictator ruler for life - TBS. I hope he is better than that. But as of now - you can say that @nayibbukele restored the state of Salvador.
4:22 PM · Mar 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771197336628183237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids are the best thing that happened to me, ever. Had I known how much joy and fun they are growing - would have made more effort to have kids earlier&more. Watching a child grow up from nothing to a human day in/out is one of the most awe inspiring sights. Nothing else in nature comes close tbh! The vastness of the night sky with the stars twinkling or a powerful waterfall maybe impressive, AI may amaze us - but: they look small when compared to e.g. a child learning language and starting to talk and converse! Out of seemingly nothing! Whatever self-organization self-learning or developmental programs unfold - they are an awesome sight to behold at every stage. (not a new parent, not a mother)
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♡s♡ @sun_girlxo · Mar 21
I am begging parents — especially new parents, and especially mothers — to post their positive experiences with parenthood. Please!! You have no idea how depressing the mainstream parenting stories currently are!!
3:28 PM · Mar 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids are the best thing that happened to me, ever. Had I known how much joy and fun they are growing - would have made more effort to have kids earlier&more. Watching a child grow up from nothing to a human day in/out is one of the most awe inspiring sights. Nothing else in nature comes close tbh! The vastness of the night sky with the stars twinkling or a powerful waterfall maybe impressive, AI may amaze us - but: they look small when compared to e.g. a child learning language and starting to talk and converse! Out of seemingly nothing! Whatever self-organization self-learning or developmental programs unfold - they are an awesome sight to behold at every stage. (not a new parent, not a mother)
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♡s♡ @sun_girlxo · Mar 21
I am begging parents — especially new parents, and especially mothers — to post their positive experiences with parenthood. Please!! You have no idea how depressing the mainstream parenting stories currently are!!
3:28 PM · Mar 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1771122959626764798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yes IR twiddling is a universal tool. Can think of at least 2 channels that IR influences the economy through (there maybe more, IDK): 1) private banks making loans creating $$$ when lending - there if IR up => then $$$ down; 2) the interest on gov bonds gov pays to bondholders - there if IR up => then $$$ up too.
10:33 AM · Mar 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - yes IR twiddling is a universal tool. Can think of at least 2 channels that IR influences the economy through (there maybe more, IDK): 1) private banks making loans creating $$$ when lending - there if IR up => then $$$ down; 2) the interest on gov bonds gov pays to bondholders - there if IR up => then $$$ up too.
10:33 AM · Mar 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770931950225617002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 haha - got advice recently "don't ever grow old"
9:54 PM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 haha - got advice recently "don't ever grow old"
9:54 PM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770921779034263784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
epic and wild - this
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Josh Whiton @joshwhiton · Mar 21
The AI Mirror Test
The "mirror test" is a classic test used to gauge whether animals are self-aware. I devised a version of it to test for self-awareness in multimodal AI. 4 of 5 AI that I tested passed, exhibiting apparent self-awareness as the test unfolded.
In the classic…
Show more
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9:13 PM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
epic and wild - this
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Josh Whiton @joshwhiton · Mar 21
The AI Mirror Test
The "mirror test" is a classic test used to gauge whether animals are self-aware. I devised a version of it to test for self-awareness in multimodal AI. 4 of 5 AI that I tested passed, exhibiting apparent self-awareness as the test unfolded.
In the classic…
Show more
Image
9:13 PM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770771017390080063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂😂 - very good, top marks 👏👍
Now that's a Dune-like futuristic SF saga I wouldn't mind seeing on the big screen!
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Jake @JLBornstein · Mar 20
Universities are funny. Hey what if we took a medieval institution for training priests and aristocrats and combined it w a hedge fund, sports franchise and resort for teenagers
Oh and it'll be the backbone for fundamental research for our entire civilization
11:14 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂😂😂 - very good, top marks 👏👍
Now that's a Dune-like futuristic SF saga I wouldn't mind seeing on the big screen!
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Jake @JLBornstein · Mar 20
Universities are funny. Hey what if we took a medieval institution for training priests and aristocrats and combined it w a hedge fund, sports franchise and resort for teenagers
Oh and it'll be the backbone for fundamental research for our entire civilization
11:14 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770770388554846303
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh. A little more self-reflection and humility would not go amiss. No one predicted the current LLM-s 5 years ago. Similarly - there is no way you nor anyone else can know with any certainty about all the things you pronounce on above. Surely you're not desperate for clicks??
11:12 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh. A little more self-reflection and humility would not go amiss. No one predicted the current LLM-s 5 years ago. Similarly - there is no way you nor anyone else can know with any certainty about all the things you pronounce on above. Surely you're not desperate for clicks??
11:12 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770769390360772687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replacing web search now Google search is but unusable looks the killer app to me. Plus relative to plain search - there is some reasoning and logic, and natural language as the interface as well, which feels great. They do take the prior chat history in context smartly too! Unlike Google search who seems to stay forever dumb and oblivious to the real me, even after giving them full access to my digital life (which is good portion of my life nowdays) through tracking my Gmail, location, photos, internet searches etc etc. Google is just staggeringly incompetent at being the Stazi. Chatbot is smarter all around and beats Google hands down.
11:08 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replacing web search now Google search is but unusable looks the killer app to me. Plus relative to plain search - there is some reasoning and logic, and natural language as the interface as well, which feels great. They do take the prior chat history in context smartly too! Unlike Google search who seems to stay forever dumb and oblivious to the real me, even after giving them full access to my digital life (which is good portion of my life nowdays) through tracking my Gmail, location, photos, internet searches etc etc. Google is just staggeringly incompetent at being the Stazi. Chatbot is smarter all around and beats Google hands down.
11:08 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770761520525263110
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would have been pragmatic if immoral if appeasement bought peace or security. But as things stand (RUS mobilizing +500K army by summer, its economy on war footing for 2yrs already) and considering the context (RUS "offense is our defense") - it will bring neither, so it's not pragmatic even on its own terms? How stupid is this??? This is signalling to Putin "take UKR". Putin will receive a message "US is weak" and then make a mistake of attacking the rest of Central and Eastern Europe. Europe is on the path to WW3 - ffs wars #1 and #2 not enough?? Prudent CEEu/RUS forecasting: assume the worst and top it up with more misery & couple of random f*ckups. Possibly CEEu acquiring nuclear deterrent quickly may give RUS a pause - but no signs of anything like that on either side.
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Christopher Miller @ChristopherJM · Mar 20
US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan (@JakeSullivan46) made a surprise visit to Kyiv today. He said $300 million of ammo, air defense & other critical supplies needed for Ukraine’s army is being rushed here “as we speak.” Nothing on long-range ATACMS for now. No big news.
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10:37 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would have been pragmatic if immoral if appeasement bought peace or security. But as things stand (RUS mobilizing +500K army by summer, its economy on war footing for 2yrs already) and considering the context (RUS "offense is our defense") - it will bring neither, so it's not pragmatic even on its own terms? How stupid is this??? This is signalling to Putin "take UKR". Putin will receive a message "US is weak" and then make a mistake of attacking the rest of Central and Eastern Europe. Europe is on the path to WW3 - ffs wars #1 and #2 not enough?? Prudent CEEu/RUS forecasting: assume the worst and top it up with more misery & couple of random f*ckups. Possibly CEEu acquiring nuclear deterrent quickly may give RUS a pause - but no signs of anything like that on either side.
Quote
Christopher Miller @ChristopherJM · Mar 20
US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan (@JakeSullivan46) made a surprise visit to Kyiv today. He said $300 million of ammo, air defense & other critical supplies needed for Ukraine’s army is being rushed here “as we speak.” Nothing on long-range ATACMS for now. No big news.
Image
10:37 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770757276879528332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. I'm just noticing that there's plenty of time for REF to stand down their candidates and 3/4 of their vote will go back CON. Although when surveyed only 1/4 REF say they'll switch REF->CON, I think surveyed are lying (as oft the case on range of things). Farrage is nothing but pragmatical and patient and will eat glass short term if needed to achieve his long term aims.
10:20 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed. I'm just noticing that there's plenty of time for REF to stand down their candidates and 3/4 of their vote will go back CON. Although when surveyed only 1/4 REF say they'll switch REF->CON, I think surveyed are lying (as oft the case on range of things). Farrage is nothing but pragmatical and patient and will eat glass short term if needed to achieve his long term aims.
10:20 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770752176484213106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubly emblematic of the failed CON party as the quickie solution to at 90% of problems is obvious, simple and perfectly within the free marketeers principles: have the leaseholders (LH) hire-and-fire the managing agents (MA). (instead of presently freeholders FH doing that)
9:59 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubly emblematic of the failed CON party as the quickie solution to at 90% of problems is obvious, simple and perfectly within the free marketeers principles: have the leaseholders (LH) hire-and-fire the managing agents (MA). (instead of presently freeholders FH doing that)
9:59 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770746943435620363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forecasting is hard, and especially of the future - episode 1001. 😱 RUS invaded UKR thinking UKR is weak (but West is strong). In the process, they discovered that UKR is strong(er) than anticipated, but that West is much weak(er)! As is with offense-is-best-defense types, RUS will press on to exploit this newly found opening to own advantage. It's possible we're in WW3 already - but we don't know it yet.
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Thomas C. Theiner @noclador · Mar 21
There it is.
The russians are forming more divisions & brigades than the armies of 🇫🇷🇮🇹🇬🇧🇵🇱🇩🇪🇪🇸🇳🇱🇸🇪🇩🇰 have combined (!).
Once these units are ready the russians will attack Europe. It's a 1938 moment: buy weapons & build armies or your country will fall to the fascist invaders. x.com/Mike_Eckel/sta…
Show more
9:39 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forecasting is hard, and especially of the future - episode 1001. 😱 RUS invaded UKR thinking UKR is weak (but West is strong). In the process, they discovered that UKR is strong(er) than anticipated, but that West is much weak(er)! As is with offense-is-best-defense types, RUS will press on to exploit this newly found opening to own advantage. It's possible we're in WW3 already - but we don't know it yet.
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Thomas C. Theiner @noclador · Mar 21
There it is.
The russians are forming more divisions & brigades than the armies of 🇫🇷🇮🇹🇬🇧🇵🇱🇩🇪🇪🇸🇳🇱🇸🇪🇩🇰 have combined (!).
Once these units are ready the russians will attack Europe. It's a 1938 moment: buy weapons & build armies or your country will fall to the fascist invaders. x.com/Mike_Eckel/sta…
Show more
9:39 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770731360027553888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True - but only because CON split into CON+REF. They are hemorrhaging votes to REF party. NB in the prior election BoJo - Farrage pact resulted in REF-prior-version (as it was then - forgot the name) standing down all their MP candidates, so that vote came back to CON.
8:37 AM · Mar 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True - but only because CON split into CON+REF. They are hemorrhaging votes to REF party. NB in the prior election BoJo - Farrage pact resulted in REF-prior-version (as it was then - forgot the name) standing down all their MP candidates, so that vote came back to CON.
8:37 AM · Mar 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770428841799856164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tocno taka - i nikoj ne dal podobro resenie. Porano vo socijalizmot do 1990-ta imase mislenje - toa "pazar" e kapitalisticka izmislica, nas ne ni treba, nie sme popametni (i vo vicovite stalno bea "amerikanec, rusin i jugosloven" i posledniov stalno na kraj najpameten ispagase), i jas kako Sekretar na Ce-Ka, ili Pretsedael na I-S, jas sega ke im kazem na zemjodelcite sto da sadat, kade i kolku. Toa propadna ne/slavno, imase "kataklizma komunizma" vo 1990-ta, posle toa iskustvo kao smenivme mislenje.
12:35 PM · Mar 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tocno taka - i nikoj ne dal podobro resenie. Porano vo socijalizmot do 1990-ta imase mislenje - toa "pazar" e kapitalisticka izmislica, nas ne ni treba, nie sme popametni (i vo vicovite stalno bea "amerikanec, rusin i jugosloven" i posledniov stalno na kraj najpameten ispagase), i jas kako Sekretar na Ce-Ka, ili Pretsedael na I-S, jas sega ke im kazem na zemjodelcite sto da sadat, kade i kolku. Toa propadna ne/slavno, imase "kataklizma komunizma" vo 1990-ta, posle toa iskustvo kao smenivme mislenje.
12:35 PM · Mar 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770386014260912563
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Verojatno se isto pametni, ama se posiromasni:
Kyrgyzstan: GDP PPP per capita in 2021 - $3,872 (Source: World Bank)
North Macedonia: GDP PPP per capita in 2021 - $16,107 (Source: World Bank)
Pa mozat nivniot grav poeftino da go prodadat. Makedoncite imaat popametni rabotoi da pravat so svoeto vreme, otkolku da sadat i berat grav.
9:44 AM · Mar 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Verojatno se isto pametni, ama se posiromasni:
Kyrgyzstan: GDP PPP per capita in 2021 - $3,872 (Source: World Bank)
North Macedonia: GDP PPP per capita in 2021 - $16,107 (Source: World Bank)
Pa mozat nivniot grav poeftino da go prodadat. Makedoncite imaat popametni rabotoi da pravat so svoeto vreme, otkolku da sadat i berat grav.
9:44 AM · Mar 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770380581479538811
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) So pocit - ama od eden primer ne moze "se" da ni se kaze. Da mozese - super ke bese, 😁 se ke naucevme od toj eden primer, i nemase vaka da se macime vo neznanje. :-) Jas koga zieveev vo YU imavme golema inflacija, iako nemavme Kovid. A na kraj mini-YU (SR+CG) imaa i hiper-inflacija, mislam postavija svetski rekord vo inflacija. 😱😱
9:23 AM · Mar 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) So pocit - ama od eden primer ne moze "se" da ni se kaze. Da mozese - super ke bese, 😁 se ke naucevme od toj eden primer, i nemase vaka da se macime vo neznanje. :-) Jas koga zieveev vo YU imavme golema inflacija, iako nemavme Kovid. A na kraj mini-YU (SR+CG) imaa i hiper-inflacija, mislam postavija svetski rekord vo inflacija. 😱😱
9:23 AM · Mar 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770379587001729291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naj/seriozno istrazuvanje e slobodniot domasen pazar za grav i drugi proizvodi. Preku cenite sto se formiraat na pazarot, javno ni se kazuva na site nas, suma-sumarum, koga site faktori ke se soberat i odzemat, kolku go cenat lugeto i gravot i se ostanato. Porano imavme centralno planiranje kade nekoj planer kao istrazuva i kazuva kolku grav i po koja cena - i toa ispadna poloso od cena-kolicina koi ni gi kazuva slobodniot pazar.
9:19 AM · Mar 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naj/seriozno istrazuvanje e slobodniot domasen pazar za grav i drugi proizvodi. Preku cenite sto se formiraat na pazarot, javno ni se kazuva na site nas, suma-sumarum, koga site faktori ke se soberat i odzemat, kolku go cenat lugeto i gravot i se ostanato. Porano imavme centralno planiranje kade nekoj planer kao istrazuva i kazuva kolku grav i po koja cena - i toa ispadna poloso od cena-kolicina koi ni gi kazuva slobodniot pazar.
9:19 AM · Mar 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770377665314160888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku gledam, vo MK vladee mislenje - na tie dejnosti sto ne im odi, treba da im se pomogne. Znaci MK da pravi se, da ne se otkaze od nisto. Vo UK vladee mislenje - na tie sto ne im odi, treba da se ostavat da zamrat, a site da se prefrlime da rabotime vo grankite na koi im odi.
9:11 AM · Mar 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku gledam, vo MK vladee mislenje - na tie dejnosti sto ne im odi, treba da im se pomogne. Znaci MK da pravi se, da ne se otkaze od nisto. Vo UK vladee mislenje - na tie sto ne im odi, treba da se ostavat da zamrat, a site da se prefrlime da rabotime vo grankite na koi im odi.
9:11 AM · Mar 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770376968753627211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da - veruvam toa e problem, veruvam ima i drugi. Posto ke se prasame sledno "a zasto MK zemjodelci imaat slabi biznis poznavanja" i t.n. Ne sum zemjodelec - ne znam. Opsto - kolku da bide trgovijata slobodna, a kolku neslobodna, e debata (da ne se povtoruvam - pogore https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770136891548893408
). Vo MK (i vo YU) tradicionalno istoriski - poveke imalo nesloboda, i vo sekoja sfera. (moze zatoa vo himnata "sloboda" se spomnuva 3 pati vo 4 stiha, haha 😀 ) Po/sloboodna trgovija kade na pr vo UK hrana uvezuvame od drug kontinent: +vno e sto e po-eftina/kvalitetna, -vno e sto imame zgolemen rizik da ne ja dobieme. Posto dobavuvackiot lanec (supply chain) e podolg koga uvezuvame, pogolem e rizikot da bide prekinat (na pr vojni i sl), i deka hranata nema da stigne i ke ostaneme gladni. Na pr. UK odgleduva grasok doma, ima i uvezuva od Kenija. UK grasok e poskap, ama posigurni sme deka ke go dobieme. Keniskiot grasak e poeftin i povkusen, ama duri stigne do nas treba da pomine 3 morinja i planini.
9:08 AM · Mar 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da - veruvam toa e problem, veruvam ima i drugi. Posto ke se prasame sledno "a zasto MK zemjodelci imaat slabi biznis poznavanja" i t.n. Ne sum zemjodelec - ne znam. Opsto - kolku da bide trgovijata slobodna, a kolku neslobodna, e debata (da ne se povtoruvam - pogore https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770136891548893408
). Vo MK (i vo YU) tradicionalno istoriski - poveke imalo nesloboda, i vo sekoja sfera. (moze zatoa vo himnata "sloboda" se spomnuva 3 pati vo 4 stiha, haha 😀 ) Po/sloboodna trgovija kade na pr vo UK hrana uvezuvame od drug kontinent: +vno e sto e po-eftina/kvalitetna, -vno e sto imame zgolemen rizik da ne ja dobieme. Posto dobavuvackiot lanec (supply chain) e podolg koga uvezuvame, pogolem e rizikot da bide prekinat (na pr vojni i sl), i deka hranata nema da stigne i ke ostaneme gladni. Na pr. UK odgleduva grasok doma, ima i uvezuva od Kenija. UK grasok e poskap, ama posigurni sme deka ke go dobieme. Keniskiot grasak e poeftin i povkusen, ama duri stigne do nas treba da pomine 3 morinja i planini.
9:08 AM · Mar 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770136891548893408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da moze - togas potrosuvacite, odnosno site vie vo MK (vkl i zemjodelcite), ke morate da platite poskapo za toj grav. Momentalno imate izbor - birate megu poeftin uvozen ili poskap domasen. So ekstra danok i stranskiot ke stane skap kolku domasniot. Istoto primeneto na site proizvodi (posto grav neli ne e nekoj isklucok) - znaci se ke platite poskapo, standardot malku ke vi opadne. Toa imase vo socijalizmot - uvozot bese kontroliran, ogranicen, odanocen i sl. Vo takvi uslovi nekade uspea da se razvie domasno proizvodstvo (Slovenija), a nekade ne se razvi: ni posle 45 god zastita ne uspeaa domasnite proizvodi da stanat konkurentni na stranskite po cena-kvalitet. Toa e vecna dilema kolkav odnos zastita-konkurencija e optimalen za proizvoditeli-i-potrosuvaci. Ima razlicni mislenja. Od edna krajnost "23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism" pa do drugata "Open: The Story Of Human Progress". Jas mislam - zavisi od lugeto, od organizacijata na tie luge, od zemjata, geografijata, istorijata etc dali i sto ke uspee ili ne. Nikoj ne znae 100% tocno zasto nekoi ekonomski se razvivaat a drugi ne, i kako site da se ekonomski razvivaat.
5:14 PM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da moze - togas potrosuvacite, odnosno site vie vo MK (vkl i zemjodelcite), ke morate da platite poskapo za toj grav. Momentalno imate izbor - birate megu poeftin uvozen ili poskap domasen. So ekstra danok i stranskiot ke stane skap kolku domasniot. Istoto primeneto na site proizvodi (posto grav neli ne e nekoj isklucok) - znaci se ke platite poskapo, standardot malku ke vi opadne. Toa imase vo socijalizmot - uvozot bese kontroliran, ogranicen, odanocen i sl. Vo takvi uslovi nekade uspea da se razvie domasno proizvodstvo (Slovenija), a nekade ne se razvi: ni posle 45 god zastita ne uspeaa domasnite proizvodi da stanat konkurentni na stranskite po cena-kvalitet. Toa e vecna dilema kolkav odnos zastita-konkurencija e optimalen za proizvoditeli-i-potrosuvaci. Ima razlicni mislenja. Od edna krajnost "23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism" pa do drugata "Open: The Story Of Human Progress". Jas mislam - zavisi od lugeto, od organizacijata na tie luge, od zemjata, geografijata, istorijata etc dali i sto ke uspee ili ne. Nikoj ne znae 100% tocno zasto nekoi ekonomski se razvivaat a drugi ne, i kako site da se ekonomski razvivaat.
5:14 PM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770089703028433157
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. This is a write up on a similar trial. Done by the TFL, at one Tube station. Also using the existing cameras only. Overlaying ML image processing on top of existing CCTV. By @Psythor here https://takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/tfls-ai-tube-station-experiment-is . Looking at the group v.s. individual dynamic, I get the worries about the group crushing the individual. I think we don't apply the concerns to the same level in the opposite direction: the lone rotten apple spoiling the entire barrel. We are all individuals 1st - so our bias is excusable to some extent. Participating in online forums, I appreciate that 1 crazy psycho can destroy a community of 100. Also offline RL workplace dynamics similar examples.
From takes.jamesomalley.co.uk
2:07 PM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. This is a write up on a similar trial. Done by the TFL, at one Tube station. Also using the existing cameras only. Overlaying ML image processing on top of existing CCTV. By @Psythor here https://takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/tfls-ai-tube-station-experiment-is . Looking at the group v.s. individual dynamic, I get the worries about the group crushing the individual. I think we don't apply the concerns to the same level in the opposite direction: the lone rotten apple spoiling the entire barrel. We are all individuals 1st - so our bias is excusable to some extent. Participating in online forums, I appreciate that 1 crazy psycho can destroy a community of 100. Also offline RL workplace dynamics similar examples.
From takes.jamesomalley.co.uk
2:07 PM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770053734485168276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I good office chair made a world of difference to me. If expensive then 2nd hand perfectly fine. Can get an excellent office chair on a budget one way or the other these days.
11:44 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I good office chair made a world of difference to me. If expensive then 2nd hand perfectly fine. Can get an excellent office chair on a budget one way or the other these days.
11:44 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770052475619279004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is both needless (did a lot of people ask for it?) and stupid. It has the potential to create strife and division where there are none atm. Next Christians (or even Atheists? Humanists?) will ask for the same during their Holly days. Then a dispute between religions will erupt about the frequency of the messages, their lengths, the font sizes of it, etc and incl abt the criteria of what constitutes equal treatment... Proportional to believers percentages (but what's a believer?), or equal per religion (but does Jedi qualify as a religion then?). And on and on... - never ending strife that will consume our energies and time for zero gain.
Quote
David Algonquin @surplustakes · Mar 19
King's Cross main concourse this morning:
Image
11:39 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is both needless (did a lot of people ask for it?) and stupid. It has the potential to create strife and division where there are none atm. Next Christians (or even Atheists? Humanists?) will ask for the same during their Holly days. Then a dispute between religions will erupt about the frequency of the messages, their lengths, the font sizes of it, etc and incl abt the criteria of what constitutes equal treatment... Proportional to believers percentages (but what's a believer?), or equal per religion (but does Jedi qualify as a religion then?). And on and on... - never ending strife that will consume our energies and time for zero gain.
Quote
David Algonquin @surplustakes · Mar 19
King's Cross main concourse this morning:
Image
11:39 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770034539601027485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH football is a huge success story of the UK. Why change the winning team?? Sounds needless and daft to me. But I may be wrong - don't follow football much.
Quote
Fair Game @FairGameUK · Mar 18
🔴 BREAKING: Independent Football Regulator to be announced by Government tomorrow morning
This should be a turning point to address all of football's issues and secure the sustainability of the pyramid.
#IFR
Show more
Image
10:28 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH football is a huge success story of the UK. Why change the winning team?? Sounds needless and daft to me. But I may be wrong - don't follow football much.
Quote
Fair Game @FairGameUK · Mar 18
🔴 BREAKING: Independent Football Regulator to be announced by Government tomorrow morning
This should be a turning point to address all of football's issues and secure the sustainability of the pyramid.
#IFR
Show more
Image
10:28 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770032109765251561
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku znam - ne e deka nema voopsto, verojatno ima nedovolno - od aspekt na zemjodelec, i spored rezultatite. Mislev zemojdelcite i sega dobivaat drazvna pomost - subvencii, otkupni zagarantirani ceni ili sl. Prasanjeto e - kolku da zememe od drugite, i da im dademe na zemjodelcite, preku tie drzavni politiki. Na kraj - i toa se odlucuva preku izbori sekoi 4-5 godini.
10:18 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku znam - ne e deka nema voopsto, verojatno ima nedovolno - od aspekt na zemjodelec, i spored rezultatite. Mislev zemojdelcite i sega dobivaat drazvna pomost - subvencii, otkupni zagarantirani ceni ili sl. Prasanjeto e - kolku da zememe od drugite, i da im dademe na zemjodelcite, preku tie drzavni politiki. Na kraj - i toa se odlucuva preku izbori sekoi 4-5 godini.
10:18 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770030294097146021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cena-kvalitet, ponuda-pobaruvacka, pazar po-bogat-ili-siromasen, konkurencija silna-slaba, lugeto slobodno odlucuvaat na sto da si gi potrosat svoite pari - i ete toa e rezultatot na celata taa konstelacija na faktori.
10:11 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cena-kvalitet, ponuda-pobaruvacka, pazar po-bogat-ili-siromasen, konkurencija silna-slaba, lugeto slobodno odlucuvaat na sto da si gi potrosat svoite pari - i ete toa e rezultatot na celata taa konstelacija na faktori.
10:11 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770012509577126360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but it sure makes Central Banks' job of fulfilling the 1/2 of their mandate that's "price stability" easier, no? The only tool of action available to them (IR increase) is disconnected from their measure, that it would otherwise influence in the wrong direction.
9:00 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... but it sure makes Central Banks' job of fulfilling the 1/2 of their mandate that's "price stability" easier, no? The only tool of action available to them (IR increase) is disconnected from their measure, that it would otherwise influence in the wrong direction.
9:00 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770005697276641756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @DmitriLevitin laying down the Russia logic of permanent imperial expansion. RU neighbors in CE-Europe must acquire independent nuclear deterrent if they want to survive. Nothing else will suffice. Ultimately US (and FR, UK too) will not risk nuclear war over CEEu, and both RU and US know it. This is CEEu Israel-1967 moment - get working on nuclear deterrent if you want to live. CEEu elites seem to lack imagination to internalize this, even if they on some level understand it to be true. Poland & Baltic countries are in the cross-hairs already. History does not repeat, but equally it never entirely goes away. Poland last lesson on in-effective alliances was 1939. For the Czechs & Slovaks the bear hug of 1968 should be fresh enough. Hungarians seem to have forgotten 1956 in favor of earlier schemes that seem so far-fetched as to be almost silly. If Israel much smaller and poorer in 1967 could do it, so can e.g. Poland and Romania in 2024. More recently North Korea is another example - if there's the will, it can be done.
Quote
The Critic @TheCriticMag · Mar 18
Western academics still deny that Putin has imperial goals, writes Dmitri Levitin. This betrays miserable ignorance of history https://thecritic.co.uk/the-ongoing-reality-of-russian-imperialism/
8:33 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @DmitriLevitin laying down the Russia logic of permanent imperial expansion. RU neighbors in CE-Europe must acquire independent nuclear deterrent if they want to survive. Nothing else will suffice. Ultimately US (and FR, UK too) will not risk nuclear war over CEEu, and both RU and US know it. This is CEEu Israel-1967 moment - get working on nuclear deterrent if you want to live. CEEu elites seem to lack imagination to internalize this, even if they on some level understand it to be true. Poland & Baltic countries are in the cross-hairs already. History does not repeat, but equally it never entirely goes away. Poland last lesson on in-effective alliances was 1939. For the Czechs & Slovaks the bear hug of 1968 should be fresh enough. Hungarians seem to have forgotten 1956 in favor of earlier schemes that seem so far-fetched as to be almost silly. If Israel much smaller and poorer in 1967 could do it, so can e.g. Poland and Romania in 2024. More recently North Korea is another example - if there's the will, it can be done.
Quote
The Critic @TheCriticMag · Mar 18
Western academics still deny that Putin has imperial goals, writes Dmitri Levitin. This betrays miserable ignorance of history https://thecritic.co.uk/the-ongoing-reality-of-russian-imperialism/
8:33 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1770000162426896715
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Short: No money in it anymore. (you said it)
Long: Change of business model.
Current business model is subscription. Subscription favors partisanship & tending to your side - otherwise your your customers (subscribers) will flee, if media fails to give them what they want.
Previous business model was advertising. Advertisers paid for the media, so they wanted as many as possible (ideally all) to see their adverts. That tended to favor seeking the truth as truth is something that a majority can experience it the same, it's the default for the largest group of people.
Minority lunatics that are mostly incapable of perceiving what's true will always exist, and they are always a minority. Minority that advertisers could ignore in the past. Now the minority of lunatics are the ones paying subscription - so the media tends to them.
8:11 AM · Mar 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Short: No money in it anymore. (you said it)
Long: Change of business model.
Current business model is subscription. Subscription favors partisanship & tending to your side - otherwise your your customers (subscribers) will flee, if media fails to give them what they want.
Previous business model was advertising. Advertisers paid for the media, so they wanted as many as possible (ideally all) to see their adverts. That tended to favor seeking the truth as truth is something that a majority can experience it the same, it's the default for the largest group of people.
Minority lunatics that are mostly incapable of perceiving what's true will always exist, and they are always a minority. Minority that advertisers could ignore in the past. Now the minority of lunatics are the ones paying subscription - so the media tends to them.
8:11 AM · Mar 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1769830663379640691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My house - I have a family. Random places while on trips (skiing, holidays) and also going out places (restaurants, bars etc) with friends. Work colleagues interactions were online mostly (git, slack or similar) even when I was working in an office.
8:58 PM · Mar 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My house - I have a family. Random places while on trips (skiing, holidays) and also going out places (restaurants, bars etc) with friends. Work colleagues interactions were online mostly (git, slack or similar) even when I was working in an office.
8:58 PM · Mar 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1769735442679648375
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. Noob here: does this is mean it's easy for Google to implement "LJ accepts all http://google.com cookies forever on all devices & don't ask LJ again", and so I only ever see that popup once in my lifetime (and I click "Yes")? How would Google implement this from me?
2:39 PM · Mar 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. Noob here: does this is mean it's easy for Google to implement "LJ accepts all http://google.com cookies forever on all devices & don't ask LJ again", and so I only ever see that popup once in my lifetime (and I click "Yes")? How would Google implement this from me?
2:39 PM · Mar 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1769719889021829212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Failure of imagination, and not of information (that was always plentiful) - exactly! Same pattern when information abt the Holocaust reaches US during WW2 too. There's an illuminating exchange: a senator or similar on hearing a personal testimony about the death camps replies "I am not saying your are lying, but I can not believe what you just told me either". Exactly "failure of imagination"! Well said.
1:37 PM · Mar 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Failure of imagination, and not of information (that was always plentiful) - exactly! Same pattern when information abt the Holocaust reaches US during WW2 too. There's an illuminating exchange: a senator or similar on hearing a personal testimony about the death camps replies "I am not saying your are lying, but I can not believe what you just told me either". Exactly "failure of imagination"! Well said.
1:37 PM · Mar 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1769689081846419468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂😂😂 Perfect! Is that the reason that it seems impossible to have "Accept all cookies forever on all devices" popup that I only click once to Accept and never ever see it again in my lifetime?
11:35 AM · Mar 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂😂😂 Perfect! Is that the reason that it seems impossible to have "Accept all cookies forever on all devices" popup that I only click once to Accept and never ever see it again in my lifetime?
11:35 AM · Mar 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1769410292440564063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't give them ideas 😁 There was a Lord here on @X that mentioned it to the LHolders that "a bit of feudalism may be a good idea" 😱
5:07 PM · Mar 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't give them ideas 😁 There was a Lord here on @X that mentioned it to the LHolders that "a bit of feudalism may be a good idea" 😱
5:07 PM · Mar 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1769047744730030111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Three factors: 1) Energy - e.g. US biggest oil producer in history ever 2) (Big) Tech Co-s at ATH 3) Big fiscal i.e. Bidenomics. UK could do something abt #1 & #3. But that goes against current UK mainstream ideologies. It's not what you don't know that hurts you - it's what you (think you) know, but that it just ain't so. Until us in the UK abandon ideas we hold "that just ain't so", we will not see growth. Scant evidence of the UK chattering classes doing any of that atm tbh.
5:07 PM · Mar 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Three factors: 1) Energy - e.g. US biggest oil producer in history ever 2) (Big) Tech Co-s at ATH 3) Big fiscal i.e. Bidenomics. UK could do something abt #1 & #3. But that goes against current UK mainstream ideologies. It's not what you don't know that hurts you - it's what you (think you) know, but that it just ain't so. Until us in the UK abandon ideas we hold "that just ain't so", we will not see growth. Scant evidence of the UK chattering classes doing any of that atm tbh.
5:07 PM · Mar 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1769006623542939740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 It can't be - given how cr*p they seem to be. I hope they all get gaming laptops thus contributing to the investment needed into future GPUs. GPUs are driving current AI advance. We need more gamers buying bazillions of GPUs paying for the R&D there. I salute every parent that bought their kids a gaming graphics card in the past 30 years. You guys made the AI age possible - kudos, more power to you.
2:23 PM · Mar 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 It can't be - given how cr*p they seem to be. I hope they all get gaming laptops thus contributing to the investment needed into future GPUs. GPUs are driving current AI advance. We need more gamers buying bazillions of GPUs paying for the R&D there. I salute every parent that bought their kids a gaming graphics card in the past 30 years. You guys made the AI age possible - kudos, more power to you.
2:23 PM · Mar 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768677845683888522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fine. Everyone can speak. No one has the obligation to listen to the legions of idiots. Mute and block liberally. Wish social media platforms gave us users more and better and smarter tools for shaping our feeds/timelines.
4:37 PM · Mar 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fine. Everyone can speak. No one has the obligation to listen to the legions of idiots. Mute and block liberally. Wish social media platforms gave us users more and better and smarter tools for shaping our feeds/timelines.
4:37 PM · Mar 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768673725363245111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Less than £500 per laptop?? HMRC should be spending at least x2-x3 that on a semi/professional laptop that's not total cr*p. And then we wonder why is public sector productivity low??? This is one reason - stingy capital investment. Penny wise pound fool.
Quote
City A.M. @CityAM · Mar 15
HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) spent more than £82m on remote working devices for its workers, City A.M. can reveal.
https://cityam.com/more-than-80m-spent-on-remote-working-kit-for-couch-potato-hmrc-staff/
Readers added context
£64m for 88,362 laptops = average of £828.
Nearly £8m for 54,093 tablet computers = average of £147
Over £10m for 32,013 mobile phones = average of £343
All these are average, or below average, for this type of IT equipment. The large headline figure is click bait
cityam.com/more-than-80m-…
You rated as helpful
4:20 PM · Mar 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Less than £500 per laptop?? HMRC should be spending at least x2-x3 that on a semi/professional laptop that's not total cr*p. And then we wonder why is public sector productivity low??? This is one reason - stingy capital investment. Penny wise pound fool.
Quote
City A.M. @CityAM · Mar 15
HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) spent more than £82m on remote working devices for its workers, City A.M. can reveal.
https://cityam.com/more-than-80m-spent-on-remote-working-kit-for-couch-potato-hmrc-staff/
Readers added context
£64m for 88,362 laptops = average of £828.
Nearly £8m for 54,093 tablet computers = average of £147
Over £10m for 32,013 mobile phones = average of £343
All these are average, or below average, for this type of IT equipment. The large headline figure is click bait
cityam.com/more-than-80m-…
You rated as helpful
4:20 PM · Mar 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768335186746339520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The connectionist models are the best models we have to explore the inner workings of our brains. Planes have wings but they don't flap them like the birds do. That doesn't imply we don't know much about flight, how to stay airborne etc. The fact there are differences between HI and AI does not mean much either way.
5:55 PM · Mar 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The connectionist models are the best models we have to explore the inner workings of our brains. Planes have wings but they don't flap them like the birds do. That doesn't imply we don't know much about flight, how to stay airborne etc. The fact there are differences between HI and AI does not mean much either way.
5:55 PM · Mar 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768309667547971799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The future depends on the present only - it's independent of the past.
4:14 PM · Mar 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The future depends on the present only - it's independent of the past.
4:14 PM · Mar 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768262156955291739
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why? B/c they are 1) lazy 2) stupid. We have to start with low opinion of Europe given they uniquely in world history fought 2 World Wars (one could have been an accident - but not two) between themselves and in the process destroyed themselves. But not all are still buying - some are doing better than others. CEeuropeans know you can't reason with a bear when your head is in its jaws. Some like Austrians and Hungarians are bent on repeating that lesson it seems. TBS what transpires - UKR gas transit contract expires in 2024, and UKR drones may yet succeed disrupting oil exports. Agreed - insane to have Europe through RUS fossil fuels purchase finance the war machine that is set on bombarding destroying European cities in not too distant future. Maybe europeans should watch russian TV more tbh.
1:05 PM · Mar 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why? B/c they are 1) lazy 2) stupid. We have to start with low opinion of Europe given they uniquely in world history fought 2 World Wars (one could have been an accident - but not two) between themselves and in the process destroyed themselves. But not all are still buying - some are doing better than others. CEeuropeans know you can't reason with a bear when your head is in its jaws. Some like Austrians and Hungarians are bent on repeating that lesson it seems. TBS what transpires - UKR gas transit contract expires in 2024, and UKR drones may yet succeed disrupting oil exports. Agreed - insane to have Europe through RUS fossil fuels purchase finance the war machine that is set on bombarding destroying European cities in not too distant future. Maybe europeans should watch russian TV more tbh.
1:05 PM · Mar 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768251582318055503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you claim to know what human brains are like and to have a better brain model (human or animal) than the connectionist approaches inspired by nature and developed since 1943 i.e. since the dawn of computing? That would be a bold claim indeed.
12:23 PM · Mar 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do you claim to know what human brains are like and to have a better brain model (human or animal) than the connectionist approaches inspired by nature and developed since 1943 i.e. since the dawn of computing? That would be a bold claim indeed.
12:23 PM · Mar 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768247511615934482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jfc is there no one around you to point the obvious faults in your logic so you stop beclowning yourself daily? You were not a subject of the UK (late) queen despite speaking English. Having russian as 1st language does not make UKRs RUS, c.f. @ZelenskyyUa
and millions others.
12:07 PM · Mar 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jfc is there no one around you to point the obvious faults in your logic so you stop beclowning yourself daily? You were not a subject of the UK (late) queen despite speaking English. Having russian as 1st language does not make UKRs RUS, c.f. @ZelenskyyUa
and millions others.
12:07 PM · Mar 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1768241829999251923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc not - it depends on the terms. Afaik RUS demanded UKR reduce the size of its army to such extent, as to disband it. Ofc that's unacceptable to UKR as no army == no UKR state, nation, language, culture etc.
11:44 AM · Mar 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc not - it depends on the terms. Afaik RUS demanded UKR reduce the size of its army to such extent, as to disband it. Ofc that's unacceptable to UKR as no army == no UKR state, nation, language, culture etc.
11:44 AM · Mar 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1767950249908109359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Enjoy your "no fucks given" golden years 😁
4:26 PM · Mar 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Enjoy your "no fucks given" golden years 😁
4:26 PM · Mar 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766872121882337329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or even a weaker variant - have a list of 20 pre-approved designs. If you are building one from that list - then no further approval needed, the build is automatically approved by default.
5:01 PM · Mar 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... or even a weaker variant - have a list of 20 pre-approved designs. If you are building one from that list - then no further approval needed, the build is automatically approved by default.
5:01 PM · Mar 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766179559186002391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct it's not ours - it's Ukraine's. No one is asking us i.e. UK to fight over anything. Ukraine asked for help in weapons, munitions, training and the like. To think that peace will be achieved then is very naive verging on negligent imo. It would be against the experience of the previous ~300 years of history and esp in Eastern Europe. I get it we are not interested in a war - no sane person ever is. However I think Putin’s war is interested in us, unfortunately. I have 2 sons. I hope I'm proven wrong by future events.
7:09 PM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct it's not ours - it's Ukraine's. No one is asking us i.e. UK to fight over anything. Ukraine asked for help in weapons, munitions, training and the like. To think that peace will be achieved then is very naive verging on negligent imo. It would be against the experience of the previous ~300 years of history and esp in Eastern Europe. I get it we are not interested in a war - no sane person ever is. However I think Putin’s war is interested in us, unfortunately. I have 2 sons. I hope I'm proven wrong by future events.
7:09 PM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766155272140009871
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They don't think, they just surf the vibes. They are not lying as such, as they are truly postmodern and have no concept of truth and falsehood. When reality interferes, they think of another magical story, go around the said reality, and continue. For as long as enough rubes believe them and vote them in, they continue.
5:33 PM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They don't think, they just surf the vibes. They are not lying as such, as they are truly postmodern and have no concept of truth and falsehood. When reality interferes, they think of another magical story, go around the said reality, and continue. For as long as enough rubes believe them and vote them in, they continue.
5:33 PM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766130513901662718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Supplying weapons to one side in a conflict is not entertaining a war. While there are no British soldiers on the ground, and even with small numbers of technicians or trainers - we are not at war. I have two boys myself and am 1000% interested in avoiding another European war. Whatever was done or not done (and mostly not done) since 2010+ obv led to ever increasing escalation thus far. Europe is probably still buying RU fossil fuels to the tune of 100s of billions, financing the war machine that is about to attack it. Insane.
3:55 PM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Supplying weapons to one side in a conflict is not entertaining a war. While there are no British soldiers on the ground, and even with small numbers of technicians or trainers - we are not at war. I have two boys myself and am 1000% interested in avoiding another European war. Whatever was done or not done (and mostly not done) since 2010+ obv led to ever increasing escalation thus far. Europe is probably still buying RU fossil fuels to the tune of 100s of billions, financing the war machine that is about to attack it. Insane.
3:55 PM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766127094256271610
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if he's going to be shown right or wrong by future events. All RUS neighbours must acquire nuclear deterent if they want to survive next to their gigantic neighbour that is hell bent on their destruction. Like Israel did faced with its neighbours bent on extinguishing it.
3:41 PM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if he's going to be shown right or wrong by future events. All RUS neighbours must acquire nuclear deterent if they want to survive next to their gigantic neighbour that is hell bent on their destruction. Like Israel did faced with its neighbours bent on extinguishing it.
3:41 PM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766067991806976163
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You nailed that right - culture encoding a set values is the base. Curiously the idea apparently features in a set of SciFi novels reviewed here https://sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/ (that I've not read but hope to at some point).
From sciphijournal.org
11:46 AM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You nailed that right - culture encoding a set values is the base. Curiously the idea apparently features in a set of SciFi novels reviewed here https://sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/ (that I've not read but hope to at some point).
From sciphijournal.org
11:46 AM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766064312257335366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc not. Ofc it will come to a peace deal at some point. UKR as fighting for - what kind of peace deal. Peace deal can mean from one extreme UKR surrendering today RUS taking over installing a puppet gov, to the other extreme RUS withdrawing to the 2020 or even 2014 borders. Both and including all options between those two extremes are a "peace deal". UKR are fighting for what kind of peace deal they will manage to win out in the end.
11:31 AM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc not. Ofc it will come to a peace deal at some point. UKR as fighting for - what kind of peace deal. Peace deal can mean from one extreme UKR surrendering today RUS taking over installing a puppet gov, to the other extreme RUS withdrawing to the 2020 or even 2014 borders. Both and including all options between those two extremes are a "peace deal". UKR are fighting for what kind of peace deal they will manage to win out in the end.
11:31 AM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766062118388858909
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes imbecile. Putin's world does not revolve around what you or NATO do - he doesn't give a sh*t about that. You can read his own words http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181 , translated for you in your language. And there is a short summary https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Historical_Unity_of_Russians_and_Ukrainians too for the reading comprehension challenged. Cosplaying narcissists oft assume the world & the universe revolves around them, that things happen b/c they did or didn't do this or that. Blocked - don't want to waste any more time.
en.wikipedia.org
On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians - Wikipedia
11:23 AM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes imbecile. Putin's world does not revolve around what you or NATO do - he doesn't give a sh*t about that. You can read his own words http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181 , translated for you in your language. And there is a short summary https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Historical_Unity_of_Russians_and_Ukrainians too for the reading comprehension challenged. Cosplaying narcissists oft assume the world & the universe revolves around them, that things happen b/c they did or didn't do this or that. Blocked - don't want to waste any more time.
en.wikipedia.org
On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians - Wikipedia
11:23 AM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766016588174504143
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin demanded almost unconditional surrender and obv Ukraine did not agree to that in the end. Sure, the war can end today if UKR accepted RUS aims as per the map below. RU demanded UA disarm and "US and UK guarantee" something or other. BoJo flew to say "UK will not guarantee anything as it's in no position to do so, but will help UA with arms" (sensibly, imo). After that fail in negotiations, RU sensibly put out the usual story "us good, west bad" and spun up ~20 false narratives so the 20% of the population that are NPC have something to latch on and amplify. SMO and almost always works well enough.
Image
8:22 AM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin demanded almost unconditional surrender and obv Ukraine did not agree to that in the end. Sure, the war can end today if UKR accepted RUS aims as per the map below. RU demanded UA disarm and "US and UK guarantee" something or other. BoJo flew to say "UK will not guarantee anything as it's in no position to do so, but will help UA with arms" (sensibly, imo). After that fail in negotiations, RU sensibly put out the usual story "us good, west bad" and spun up ~20 false narratives so the 20% of the population that are NPC have something to latch on and amplify. SMO and almost always works well enough.
Image
8:22 AM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766005701216808973
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Current RUS aims in UKR are presented by Medvedev below on a map. Russia aims in EEu have been expansion west for >200 years now. They clashed with their competitor empires, Austro-Hungarian & Ottoman. In the process the latter disintegrated. A dozen new nation states sprang in CEEu. No idea why you think you know better what RU wants then themselves know and are telling us?? 1-Sep-1939 too was part of a similar push into CEEu.
Image
7:39 AM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Current RUS aims in UKR are presented by Medvedev below on a map. Russia aims in EEu have been expansion west for >200 years now. They clashed with their competitor empires, Austro-Hungarian & Ottoman. In the process the latter disintegrated. A dozen new nation states sprang in CEEu. No idea why you think you know better what RU wants then themselves know and are telling us?? 1-Sep-1939 too was part of a similar push into CEEu.
Image
7:39 AM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1766003654442504197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They negotiated and did not come to an agreement. Russia war aims are the same today as they were 2 years ago, they repeat them daily, b/c we seem to be too thick & slow on the uptake. What you believe is irrelevant. The war could end today if UKR accepts the terms below:
Medvedev presenting a map depicting Russia war aims in Ukraine: most of Ukraine taken over by Russia and landlocked rump around Kyev left only. Russia longer term aim is dissolution of the Ukraine state and destruction of Ukrainian nationhood including the language and culture.
7:30 AM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They negotiated and did not come to an agreement. Russia war aims are the same today as they were 2 years ago, they repeat them daily, b/c we seem to be too thick & slow on the uptake. What you believe is irrelevant. The war could end today if UKR accepts the terms below:
Medvedev presenting a map depicting Russia war aims in Ukraine: most of Ukraine taken over by Russia and landlocked rump around Kyev left only. Russia longer term aim is dissolution of the Ukraine state and destruction of Ukrainian nationhood including the language and culture.
7:30 AM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765895307127099823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc I admit no such thing. Only England&Wales have a system where on buying a flat I do not actually own it, in the way ownership is commonly understood by 99% of the population. It'd be comical if it were not tragic how bad the system is, causing untold misery & waste of time to everyone. MA hired by FH writing the bills that LH is obliged to pay under menaces - almost medieval. I bid you a good night.
12:20 AM · Mar 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc I admit no such thing. Only England&Wales have a system where on buying a flat I do not actually own it, in the way ownership is commonly understood by 99% of the population. It'd be comical if it were not tragic how bad the system is, causing untold misery & waste of time to everyone. MA hired by FH writing the bills that LH is obliged to pay under menaces - almost medieval. I bid you a good night.
12:20 AM · Mar 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765889406706082228
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lost any respect with him flatly denying what the RU side is openly saying. One can have ideas how the world should work or how it works - but: when the RU side from Putin down tells it "UA is ours, we''ll take it, and extinguish UA nationhood" - well then, better take that onboard & stop further speculation. He seems to have lost himself in his ideas.
11:56 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lost any respect with him flatly denying what the RU side is openly saying. One can have ideas how the world should work or how it works - but: when the RU side from Putin down tells it "UA is ours, we''ll take it, and extinguish UA nationhood" - well then, better take that onboard & stop further speculation. He seems to have lost himself in his ideas.
11:56 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765876396222517427
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Кога се извага за- и против- на разни варијанти - ми личи дека ова сценарио е најверојатно
Translate post
From rootclaim.com
11:05 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Кога се извага за- и против- на разни варијанти - ми личи дека ова сценарио е најверојатно
Translate post
From rootclaim.com
11:05 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765868403418341639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's not true. Google Eagerstates, go on FB and join LH groups devoted to fighting MA and FH shenanigans, check what's going on at FTT-s. There are huge problems with LH. Everything I wrote above is true. No other country on earth has such insane system. Scotland shows that if there is the will - it's possible to ditch it and move to a better one.
10:33 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's not true. Google Eagerstates, go on FB and join LH groups devoted to fighting MA and FH shenanigans, check what's going on at FTT-s. There are huge problems with LH. Everything I wrote above is true. No other country on earth has such insane system. Scotland shows that if there is the will - it's possible to ditch it and move to a better one.
10:33 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765833353977065596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are not as important to RU as we think we are. Whether we do or not do some or the other does not have as much influence as we think it has. RU does as they see fit. Putin can see a state of war helps him domestically - 1) kills off any remaining opposition, 2) he becomes more popular with the population, 3) a war economy further strenghtens his control over the economy. Instead of talking to ourselves it would help us to listen what is said in RU daily. E.g. from today -
https://twitter.com/polidemitolog/status/1765680611430203803
8:14 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are not as important to RU as we think we are. Whether we do or not do some or the other does not have as much influence as we think it has. RU does as they see fit. Putin can see a state of war helps him domestically - 1) kills off any remaining opposition, 2) he becomes more popular with the population, 3) a war economy further strenghtens his control over the economy. Instead of talking to ourselves it would help us to listen what is said in RU daily. E.g. from today -
https://twitter.com/polidemitolog/status/1765680611430203803
8:14 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765793584127549630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this. I thought that government collects coins from butchers and tailors via tax, and then spends those same coins to pay the policeman and the teachers. No tax no coins => police and schools don't get their wages. Imo 99% of us lay public thinks like that, to the extent we think anything at all about finance and gov spending. This is what MSM usually tells us too tbh. I have the impression that central bankers, prime and finance ministers, and dare I say economists, are well aware how this is misunderstood by the public. But it makes their jobs easier (in a somewhat Straussian "you can't handle the truth" way) so they don't try too hard to correct it. Easiest deflection that FinMin can do is to say "there is no money left" when s/he is barraged by demands on the public purse from all directions.
5:36 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this. I thought that government collects coins from butchers and tailors via tax, and then spends those same coins to pay the policeman and the teachers. No tax no coins => police and schools don't get their wages. Imo 99% of us lay public thinks like that, to the extent we think anything at all about finance and gov spending. This is what MSM usually tells us too tbh. I have the impression that central bankers, prime and finance ministers, and dare I say economists, are well aware how this is misunderstood by the public. But it makes their jobs easier (in a somewhat Straussian "you can't handle the truth" way) so they don't try too hard to correct it. Easiest deflection that FinMin can do is to say "there is no money left" when s/he is barraged by demands on the public purse from all directions.
5:36 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765787905690046713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both. There are constraints on what building qualifies for RTM (%age of LH versus say commercial premises), and then if it's not disallowed on that test, then there is further %age of LH that have to sign up for it test. Then there will be a drawn out process where the existing MA in collusion with FH will try to frustrate and slow down the process, while trying to squeeze max possible from LH while they still can. At handover MA will go dark and unresponsive and handover nothing to RTM. All within the law - as in, they will suffer no ill consequences. It has to be seen to be believed. I recommend joining any online group where RTM is discussed
5:13 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both. There are constraints on what building qualifies for RTM (%age of LH versus say commercial premises), and then if it's not disallowed on that test, then there is further %age of LH that have to sign up for it test. Then there will be a drawn out process where the existing MA in collusion with FH will try to frustrate and slow down the process, while trying to squeeze max possible from LH while they still can. At handover MA will go dark and unresponsive and handover nothing to RTM. All within the law - as in, they will suffer no ill consequences. It has to be seen to be believed. I recommend joining any online group where RTM is discussed
5:13 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765778477171569066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hi - yes. All my life I've heard forever "gov collects taxes & that way pays for public services, if budget deficit => then must cut public spending to balance to zero". This is the level of the current understanding of gov finances for most of us civilians tbh. @wbmosler Was the 1st I heard say "it's not like that, it's not like gov needs to collect coins via tax and then distribute those coins to the soldiers and teachers", @StephanieKelton was the 1st I hear say "inflation is the limit, deficit is important only insofar fuels inflation otherwise not". Not an economist, just a layperson forced to care about finance (and economics a bit) by circumstance.
4:36 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hi - yes. All my life I've heard forever "gov collects taxes & that way pays for public services, if budget deficit => then must cut public spending to balance to zero". This is the level of the current understanding of gov finances for most of us civilians tbh. @wbmosler Was the 1st I heard say "it's not like that, it's not like gov needs to collect coins via tax and then distribute those coins to the soldiers and teachers", @StephanieKelton was the 1st I hear say "inflation is the limit, deficit is important only insofar fuels inflation otherwise not". Not an economist, just a layperson forced to care about finance (and economics a bit) by circumstance.
4:36 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765775627313938460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are preaching to the converted. :-) Thanks - yes, RTM is one big step towards taking back control of our lives. I'm well aware of RTM and would encourage everyone that possibly can (not always possible sadly) to pursue RTM. Legislating RTM by default would be an obvious gov win - but will have to wait on a government less captured by vested interests and party finance.
4:24 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are preaching to the converted. :-) Thanks - yes, RTM is one big step towards taking back control of our lives. I'm well aware of RTM and would encourage everyone that possibly can (not always possible sadly) to pursue RTM. Legislating RTM by default would be an obvious gov win - but will have to wait on a government less captured by vested interests and party finance.
4:24 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765767152437448752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, but 1) most agree, 2) what would those fresh proposals be? Critics & empty calls for change abound. Actual proposals with popular support & implementation in motion are non-existent.
3:51 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, but 1) most agree, 2) what would those fresh proposals be? Critics & empty calls for change abound. Actual proposals with popular support & implementation in motion are non-existent.
3:51 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765754847729480025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice, theory and practice differ. The MA joined at the hip with the FH don't have to do anything they "should be doing", and LH can't do anything much about it. Never heard of any MA or FH suffer any sanctions or hardship ever, no matter how much they don't do what "they should be doing". Have heard plenty of words - that's for sure. Action is non-existent. Google Eagerstates comes to mind.
3:02 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice, theory and practice differ. The MA joined at the hip with the FH don't have to do anything they "should be doing", and LH can't do anything much about it. Never heard of any MA or FH suffer any sanctions or hardship ever, no matter how much they don't do what "they should be doing". Have heard plenty of words - that's for sure. Action is non-existent. Google Eagerstates comes to mind.
3:02 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765747545731473717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
RU is interested in piece of UA and preferably a very large piece. They have told us 1000 times and keep telling us daily - will not stop until they are fully in control of UA by any means. If currently West is not surrendering - no idea how surrendering looks like to you tbh.
2:33 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
RU is interested in piece of UA and preferably a very large piece. They have told us 1000 times and keep telling us daily - will not stop until they are fully in control of UA by any means. If currently West is not surrendering - no idea how surrendering looks like to you tbh.
2:33 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765746603409686958
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... all are mmt-ers now eh? 😂😂😂 Kicking and screaming being dragged into the reality of fiat currency against their strenuous efforts by the force of events.
2:29 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... all are mmt-ers now eh? 😂😂😂 Kicking and screaming being dragged into the reality of fiat currency against their strenuous efforts by the force of events.
2:29 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765744068624044539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are confusing means and ends. 'Peace abroad, regime change at home' is the end - the means to achieve that are varied. Surrendering abroad will not achieve peace abroad to start with.
2:19 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are confusing means and ends. 'Peace abroad, regime change at home' is the end - the means to achieve that are varied. Surrendering abroad will not achieve peace abroad to start with.
2:19 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765741105490895190
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your weakness is encouraging Putin's aggression. There is nothing you can do to appease Putin. He will push to the max and then some more. Why would he not? He is winning so he will continue what he does.
2:07 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your weakness is encouraging Putin's aggression. There is nothing you can do to appease Putin. He will push to the max and then some more. Why would he not? He is winning so he will continue what he does.
2:07 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765714291976462686
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We relinquish return back to the commons the Lego bricks (atoms) our bodies are made of. They are then recycled reused making future people's bodies. Future people then have their turn living in those bodies for a bit of time. Then they do the same.
12:21 PM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We relinquish return back to the commons the Lego bricks (atoms) our bodies are made of. They are then recycled reused making future people's bodies. Future people then have their turn living in those bodies for a bit of time. Then they do the same.
12:21 PM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765708128211828802
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
На втор поглед - сирењето некако многу мало споредено со салатата? И турнато нај-настрана како да е споредно. Ок, доста фидбек, претпоставувам преку глава сме му на дизајнерот веќе 😊😊
11:56 AM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
На втор поглед - сирењето некако многу мало споредено со салатата? И турнато нај-настрана како да е споредно. Ок, доста фидбек, претпоставувам преку глава сме му на дизајнерот веќе 😊😊
11:56 AM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765701517019906073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just stay away from Leasehold if you possibly can. You have unlimited liability. You have almost zero control. Someone else is writing the bills, you must pay them. If you don't, the property is taken away from you with 0 compensation to you. You will be ruined. The law is heavily stacked against you. You will be pitted against career semi-criminals and you will lose - twice over. Even if you win in court - there is no redress for you. The criminal will make you pay for their cost + extract money from you to pay for any redress. People don't know this, it's never properly explained to them. Even when explained, they can't believe it. ("I 'm not saying you are lying to me - but I still can't believe what you just told me")
Stay away from Leasehold - it will ruin you.
Quote
BBC Morning Live @BBCMorningLive · Mar 7
🏠 Millions of people in the UK own a leasehold property, but there have been numerous complaints about them in recent years like unjustified service charges.
Consumer champ @Mattallwright explains the three things you NEED to know before buying a leasehold property.
Show more
Embedded video
11:30 AM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just stay away from Leasehold if you possibly can. You have unlimited liability. You have almost zero control. Someone else is writing the bills, you must pay them. If you don't, the property is taken away from you with 0 compensation to you. You will be ruined. The law is heavily stacked against you. You will be pitted against career semi-criminals and you will lose - twice over. Even if you win in court - there is no redress for you. The criminal will make you pay for their cost + extract money from you to pay for any redress. People don't know this, it's never properly explained to them. Even when explained, they can't believe it. ("I 'm not saying you are lying to me - but I still can't believe what you just told me")
Stay away from Leasehold - it will ruin you.
Quote
BBC Morning Live @BBCMorningLive · Mar 7
🏠 Millions of people in the UK own a leasehold property, but there have been numerous complaints about them in recent years like unjustified service charges.
Consumer champ @Mattallwright explains the three things you NEED to know before buying a leasehold property.
Show more
Embedded video
11:30 AM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765696438174912632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Главата од овцата не е баш умилна мила слатка - е како некој дух, малку злокобна. Сонцето во МК дизајн ми се допаѓа, мислам реално и добро рефлектира на земјата - би го направил поголемо и попроминентно на дизајнот. Може и насмевка би му додал.
11:10 AM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Главата од овцата не е баш умилна мила слатка - е како некој дух, малку злокобна. Сонцето во МК дизајн ми се допаѓа, мислам реално и добро рефлектира на земјата - би го направил поголемо и попроминентно на дизајнот. Може и насмевка би му додал.
11:10 AM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765676133050130455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the pointer - is it this one?
youtube.com
The Long Story of How Neural Nets Got to Where They Are: A Conversa...
Stephen Wolfram plays the role of Salonnière in this on-going series of intellectual explorations with special guests. Watch all of the conversations here: h...
9:49 AM · Mar 7, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the pointer - is it this one?
youtube.com
The Long Story of How Neural Nets Got to Where They Are: A Conversa...
Stephen Wolfram plays the role of Salonnière in this on-going series of intellectual explorations with special guests. Watch all of the conversations here: h...
9:49 AM · Mar 7, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765362498973106427
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne se po inovacii. 😂😂 Inaku da spojat sredno-skolski 1+2+3 od 1) atomite ne se proizveduvaat niti unistuvaat (osven retko), se istite od pocetok na postoenje na planeta zemja (i ultimativno kosmos), 2) i nie lugeto sme napraveni od atomi, 3) pred nas nasite atomi gi koristele nekoi drugi luge, posle nas pak ke gi koristat drugi (kako Lego kocki - isti kocki, razlicni figuri) = "од прав си создаден и во прав ќе се вратиш" 😶
1:03 PM · Mar 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne se po inovacii. 😂😂 Inaku da spojat sredno-skolski 1+2+3 od 1) atomite ne se proizveduvaat niti unistuvaat (osven retko), se istite od pocetok na postoenje na planeta zemja (i ultimativno kosmos), 2) i nie lugeto sme napraveni od atomi, 3) pred nas nasite atomi gi koristele nekoi drugi luge, posle nas pak ke gi koristat drugi (kako Lego kocki - isti kocki, razlicni figuri) = "од прав си создаден и во прав ќе се вратиш" 😶
1:03 PM · Mar 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765121563794493714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ako imas sila volja nervi da mozes da izdrzis: najdobro se pokazalo ignoriranje. Pokraj nego, ama da ne mu obrnuvas vnimanie (toa ke gleda da vidi dali ima efekt padavicharenjeto), i da go ostavis da se umori rikajki. Drugo sto mi teknuva - i ti da pocnes da rikas pokraj nego, kako i toa sto rika. Ama ova ne moze vo sekoja situacija. :-)
9:05 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ako imas sila volja nervi da mozes da izdrzis: najdobro se pokazalo ignoriranje. Pokraj nego, ama da ne mu obrnuvas vnimanie (toa ke gleda da vidi dali ima efekt padavicharenjeto), i da go ostavis da se umori rikajki. Drugo sto mi teknuva - i ti da pocnes da rikas pokraj nego, kako i toa sto rika. Ama ova ne moze vo sekoja situacija. :-)
9:05 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765076976329691489
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not pooh-pooing the report - I have not even read the report! I'm saying (so again no poo involved) a bold claim written in bold letters "this is not a supply problem" needs more evidence. A single report is not enough for such an extraordinary claim.
6:08 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not pooh-pooing the report - I have not even read the report! I'm saying (so again no poo involved) a bold claim written in bold letters "this is not a supply problem" needs more evidence. A single report is not enough for such an extraordinary claim.
6:08 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765076460677836835
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Example: I get my input data from a central sql database outside of my control. That data will change even if in theory it should not. But in practice it does, for any number of reasons. As that is an input to the rest of the pipeline - if one byte there changes, by the end, the results of my research will differ between runs. Even if I did not change anything in my side.. To control for data changing underneath me, whatever is fetched from a database, it can be saved/cached locally (even as a binary like python pickle, matlab mat - trivially easy). So I'm 100% sure I can rerun identical code on identical input data. Agreed stale data can cause problems - not advocating for stale data. :-) I am saying a researcher has to be able to control the input data (detect change, rollback to prior version etc) if the research is to be reproducible.
6:06 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Example: I get my input data from a central sql database outside of my control. That data will change even if in theory it should not. But in practice it does, for any number of reasons. As that is an input to the rest of the pipeline - if one byte there changes, by the end, the results of my research will differ between runs. Even if I did not change anything in my side.. To control for data changing underneath me, whatever is fetched from a database, it can be saved/cached locally (even as a binary like python pickle, matlab mat - trivially easy). So I'm 100% sure I can rerun identical code on identical input data. Agreed stale data can cause problems - not advocating for stale data. :-) I am saying a researcher has to be able to control the input data (detect change, rollback to prior version etc) if the research is to be reproducible.
6:06 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765066538804257017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct! It's all remote - passports and supporting documentation shipped out to outsourcing center via FedEx, so there is no opportunity to perform and convince a suspicious consular agent.
5:27 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct! It's all remote - passports and supporting documentation shipped out to outsourcing center via FedEx, so there is no opportunity to perform and convince a suspicious consular agent.
5:27 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765065933289353726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Najkul mi e sto (nekade procitav) molekulite of vodata ne se raspagaat, tuku se recikliraat: nekoi drugi luge, zivotni, rastenija ke iskoristat istite. I deka taa edna ista voda se recilkira otkoga postoi na planeta zemja. A pa atomite neli se kako lego kocki - ne se raspagaat (posto toa bila atomska reakcija - ne se slucuva) i posle nas - nekoj drug ke gi koristi. Ne znam zasto religiive ne pravat poveke od ovaa srednoskolska hemija-fizika? 😁🤯
5:24 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Najkul mi e sto (nekade procitav) molekulite of vodata ne se raspagaat, tuku se recikliraat: nekoi drugi luge, zivotni, rastenija ke iskoristat istite. I deka taa edna ista voda se recilkira otkoga postoi na planeta zemja. A pa atomite neli se kako lego kocki - ne se raspagaat (posto toa bila atomska reakcija - ne se slucuva) i posle nas - nekoj drug ke gi koristi. Ne znam zasto religiive ne pravat poveke od ovaa srednoskolska hemija-fizika? 😁🤯
5:24 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765063202927153296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
House prices can rise for other reasons than supply-demand: mortgage availability e.g. relaxing the old 3:1 price:income limit, cost of mortgage (interest rates) and so on. Relaxing the income limit probably is x5-x7 times stronger than any other factor, but hey 🤷♂️
5:13 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
House prices can rise for other reasons than supply-demand: mortgage availability e.g. relaxing the old 3:1 price:income limit, cost of mortgage (interest rates) and so on. Relaxing the income limit probably is x5-x7 times stronger than any other factor, but hey 🤷♂️
5:13 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765058177727381917
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are - many many tables and reports. To advance a very bold claim "this is not a supply problem" one needs more than one report. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence etc.
4:53 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are - many many tables and reports. To advance a very bold claim "this is not a supply problem" one needs more than one report. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence etc.
4:53 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1765002221526175951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No-one agrees - where did you get the "everyone" from?? Everyone wants to live their lives free as they please. As for the grid - we can organize it to fit around our needs. Not the other way around. Humans before machines. We can do it - we have done it in the past.
1:11 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No-one agrees - where did you get the "everyone" from?? Everyone wants to live their lives free as they please. As for the grid - we can organize it to fit around our needs. Not the other way around. Humans before machines. We can do it - we have done it in the past.
1:11 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764993331807895848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency FTW: all .gov.uk business online up on the web by default, secret by request only. (the obverse of current "secret by default, made public partially painfully by FOI only (maybe, sometimes, not all)")
Quote
Jo Maugham @JolyonMaugham · Mar 5
We're happy to say that, following the threat of legal action, the NHS has agreed to re-publish the highly controversial contract with spy-tech firm Palantir.
We continue to pursue other actions to protect your private healthcare data from Palantir. https://goodlaw.social/hk43
Show more
12:36 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency FTW: all .gov.uk business online up on the web by default, secret by request only. (the obverse of current "secret by default, made public partially painfully by FOI only (maybe, sometimes, not all)")
Quote
Jo Maugham @JolyonMaugham · Mar 5
We're happy to say that, following the threat of legal action, the NHS has agreed to re-publish the highly controversial contract with spy-tech firm Palantir.
We continue to pursue other actions to protect your private healthcare data from Palantir. https://goodlaw.social/hk43
Show more
12:36 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764991996530171951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A bold claim like requires more than a table and a report tbh
12:30 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A bold claim like requires more than a table and a report tbh
12:30 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764990287951155502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super sto se gradi. Cel moj zivot vo MK imase ogromna nevrabotenost. Najdi rabota (za plata) bese #1 na listata na zivotni problemi za resavanje. Denes citam imalo nedostatok na rabotnici. Milo mi e sto se vrtat rabotite.
12:24 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super sto se gradi. Cel moj zivot vo MK imase ogromna nevrabotenost. Najdi rabota (za plata) bese #1 na listata na zivotni problemi za resavanje. Denes citam imalo nedostatok na rabotnici. Milo mi e sto se vrtat rabotite.
12:24 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764987825865240986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has Simon Jenkins ever been not wrong about anything he's ever written? The guy is a fountain of bad ideas - some wrong, others dumb, oft both. By now SJ could be an SI unit for "quantity of dumb mid wit".
12:14 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has Simon Jenkins ever been not wrong about anything he's ever written? The guy is a fountain of bad ideas - some wrong, others dumb, oft both. By now SJ could be an SI unit for "quantity of dumb mid wit".
12:14 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764984363895202242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cache at multiple levels so to gain 1) speed but much more importantly 2) reproducibility! Any science is predicated on reproducibility. Ideally a DAG would encode dependencies between the caches (maybe hierarchical) and auto-recompute, but "don't over-engineer" is good so usually it's a mix of manual and automatic that strikes a good balance.
12:00 PM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cache at multiple levels so to gain 1) speed but much more importantly 2) reproducibility! Any science is predicated on reproducibility. Ideally a DAG would encode dependencies between the caches (maybe hierarchical) and auto-recompute, but "don't over-engineer" is good so usually it's a mix of manual and automatic that strikes a good balance.
12:00 PM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764972297155199274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One explanation I read today that seems to me to be at least partly true is: (Ellul) "He who acts in obedience to propaganda can never go back. He is now obliged to believe in that propaganda because of his past action. He is obliged to receive from it his justification and authority, without which his action will seem to him absurd or unjust, which would be intolerable."
https://twitter.com/oldbooksguy/status/1764711220186132974
11:12 AM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One explanation I read today that seems to me to be at least partly true is: (Ellul) "He who acts in obedience to propaganda can never go back. He is now obliged to believe in that propaganda because of his past action. He is obliged to receive from it his justification and authority, without which his action will seem to him absurd or unjust, which would be intolerable."
https://twitter.com/oldbooksguy/status/1764711220186132974
11:12 AM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764970215006196004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dzabe baras sovet - nikoj nisto ne znae. I koga nekoj ke ti dade sovet - isto e kako nisto da ne kazal.
11:04 AM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dzabe baras sovet - nikoj nisto ne znae. I koga nekoj ke ti dade sovet - isto e kako nisto da ne kazal.
11:04 AM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764967326598733831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 you are too kind. 😊 I enjoyed this @geoffreyhinton lecture from 4 days ago https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0 . It has the right mix of entertainment, education, the past and the future, and the right number (not too many, not zero) mind-blown moments too. 🤯🤯
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological...
Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2...
10:52 AM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks 🙏 you are too kind. 😊 I enjoyed this @geoffreyhinton lecture from 4 days ago https://youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0 . It has the right mix of entertainment, education, the past and the future, and the right number (not too many, not zero) mind-blown moments too. 🤯🤯
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological...
Professor Geoffrey Hinton, CC, FRS, FRSC, the ‘Godfather of AI’, delivered Oxford's annual Romanes Lecture at the Sheldonian Theatre on Monday, 19 February 2...
10:52 AM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764953827726307658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - this
> "There are only 2 answers about Ukraine 1. It didn't happen 2. They deserved it Both are correct"
... is a curious (ominous?) example of online discourse leaking into offline real life.
9:59 AM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - this
> "There are only 2 answers about Ukraine 1. It didn't happen 2. They deserved it Both are correct"
... is a curious (ominous?) example of online discourse leaking into offline real life.
9:59 AM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764941568291582042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Present sciences didn't exist until recently. What was there that had any even if distant connection with any thinking was philosophy in the widest sense. In that sense parts that were successful showed any progress i.e. "worked out" developed into their own sciences.
9:10 AM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Present sciences didn't exist until recently. What was there that had any even if distant connection with any thinking was philosophy in the widest sense. In that sense parts that were successful showed any progress i.e. "worked out" developed into their own sciences.
9:10 AM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764926239741976951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Such is the power of ideas: when one has the wrong idea and implements it, one is left both without state (capacity) and without money (budget). The dose makes the poison. Boomer economics has been overdone - doing some more will not help.
8:09 AM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Such is the power of ideas: when one has the wrong idea and implements it, one is left both without state (capacity) and without money (budget). The dose makes the poison. Boomer economics has been overdone - doing some more will not help.
8:09 AM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764917764039307507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed the connectionist models like that one are the best models we have of the human brain. Good to remember when we object "ah, but they are not like us". They were inspired by, and designed to mimic features neuroscientists (like @geoffreyhinton) figured are present in human (and animal) brains. The beginnings trace back to 1943 - so to the very start of computing era. For all this time the objections of their detractors were not that they don't model aspects of human cognition, but that they were not effective, that did not work well enough to get things done. Well - that hurdle has been passed now. We are living in interesting times. 😊
7:36 AM · Mar 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed the connectionist models like that one are the best models we have of the human brain. Good to remember when we object "ah, but they are not like us". They were inspired by, and designed to mimic features neuroscientists (like @geoffreyhinton) figured are present in human (and animal) brains. The beginnings trace back to 1943 - so to the very start of computing era. For all this time the objections of their detractors were not that they don't model aspects of human cognition, but that they were not effective, that did not work well enough to get things done. Well - that hurdle has been passed now. We are living in interesting times. 😊
7:36 AM · Mar 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764704250649604504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's always been like that. I remember reading in the news about a case in the 90's a where a folk dance troupe booked for a UK tour was asked to "prove they are folk dancers". So apparently they had an impromptu short live performance in front of the consulate. 🤦♂️
5:27 PM · Mar 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's always been like that. I remember reading in the news about a case in the 90's a where a folk dance troupe booked for a UK tour was asked to "prove they are folk dancers". So apparently they had an impromptu short live performance in front of the consulate. 🤦♂️
5:27 PM · Mar 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764701661551878155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is not doing much - just talking and talking. And that's for the better - b/c his ideas of what should be done are wrong. If he was actually doing something, we'd be sinking fast, compared to the current rate of sinking which is slow.
5:17 PM · Mar 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is not doing much - just talking and talking. And that's for the better - b/c his ideas of what should be done are wrong. If he was actually doing something, we'd be sinking fast, compared to the current rate of sinking which is slow.
5:17 PM · Mar 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764690351300673783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The reality offers a feedback loop so the practitioners betting on wrong ideas like those are selected out. Explains why zombie ideas like that are hard to die in academia and on the sell side (which is mostly marketing), while on the buy side all analysts and PMs get it easily.
4:32 PM · Mar 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The reality offers a feedback loop so the practitioners betting on wrong ideas like those are selected out. Explains why zombie ideas like that are hard to die in academia and on the sell side (which is mostly marketing), while on the buy side all analysts and PMs get it easily.
4:32 PM · Mar 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764688947299389932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to mention that gamers (and their exasperated parents 😬) by spending ever more $$$ on ever more faster graphics cards, financed underwrote the R&D $$$ budget to design & manufacture the GPU-s that made the latest AI revolution happen for real. Kudos to them! 👏🫡😆
4:26 PM · Mar 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to mention that gamers (and their exasperated parents 😬) by spending ever more $$$ on ever more faster graphics cards, financed underwrote the R&D $$$ budget to design & manufacture the GPU-s that made the latest AI revolution happen for real. Kudos to them! 👏🫡😆
4:26 PM · Mar 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764624938298704331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are no "understandable reasons". "To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole". That's true whether US does it or Russia does it or anyone else. Who or why does it does does not change the immorality of it. Two world wars in Europe should have been educational enough for everyone - but apparently that's not the case.
12:12 PM · Mar 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are no "understandable reasons". "To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole". That's true whether US does it or Russia does it or anyone else. Who or why does it does does not change the immorality of it. Two world wars in Europe should have been educational enough for everyone - but apparently that's not the case.
12:12 PM · Mar 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764591200273674568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... also from inside the vault on the command line ~/Documents/XX-obsidian-vault$ git init and get version control on. (it's all text - MD and json)
9:58 AM · Mar 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... also from inside the vault on the command line ~/Documents/XX-obsidian-vault$ git init and get version control on. (it's all text - MD and json)
9:58 AM · Mar 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764405807712448711
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like US avoided stagnation (at least the type UK is stuck with) post GFC'08 - no? Thinking of differences in things not/done US vs UK 1) tech industry - UK can't do much there 2) Energy, fracking - UK doesn't do b/c of ideology 3) The Big Fiscal - UK is ideologically opposed to it. So 2/3 are self inflicted b/c of things UK thinks are true, but "they just ain't so". Not much can be done until UK abandons ideas it thinks are true, but reality falsifies them.
9:41 PM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks like US avoided stagnation (at least the type UK is stuck with) post GFC'08 - no? Thinking of differences in things not/done US vs UK 1) tech industry - UK can't do much there 2) Energy, fracking - UK doesn't do b/c of ideology 3) The Big Fiscal - UK is ideologically opposed to it. So 2/3 are self inflicted b/c of things UK thinks are true, but "they just ain't so". Not much can be done until UK abandons ideas it thinks are true, but reality falsifies them.
9:41 PM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764376915106738498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes that's excellent reasoning proven right by the future events - good on you for popularizing it. However - I would not call it surprising. I think it's fully in line with the realist school of thinking. I would say current Mearsheimer stance is surprising and indefensible.
7:46 PM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes that's excellent reasoning proven right by the future events - good on you for popularizing it. However - I would not call it surprising. I think it's fully in line with the realist school of thinking. I would say current Mearsheimer stance is surprising and indefensible.
7:46 PM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764336068273312195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Halve the distance and you will reduce the error in your thinking. The one notable difference US vs. UK is "the Big Fiscal" (c.f. https://postneoliberalism.org/articles/whatever-it-takes-how-neoliberalism-hijacked-the-public-purse/ by @ptcherneva), and imo that explains the large difference in outcomes - US growing, UK stagnating. UK woes predate Brexit and even the GFC'08, are enumerated in https://thecritic.co.uk/stop-blaming-brexit-for-britains-economic-ills/ by @DerrickBerthel1 . I acknowledge it's axiomatic that "it's impossible to see that an idea I think is true is actually wrong and this is the reason for my troubles", but if it makes you feel better, it's a generational boomer fail, only little to do with yourself personally.
postneoliberalism.org
Whatever it Takes: How Neoliberalism Hijacked the Public Purse
The spectacular government spending post-2008 and post-2020 appeared to upend the neoliberal logic of the past decades, enabling bold public action and opening the door to a more just and democratic...
5:04 PM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Halve the distance and you will reduce the error in your thinking. The one notable difference US vs. UK is "the Big Fiscal" (c.f. https://postneoliberalism.org/articles/whatever-it-takes-how-neoliberalism-hijacked-the-public-purse/ by @ptcherneva), and imo that explains the large difference in outcomes - US growing, UK stagnating. UK woes predate Brexit and even the GFC'08, are enumerated in https://thecritic.co.uk/stop-blaming-brexit-for-britains-economic-ills/ by @DerrickBerthel1 . I acknowledge it's axiomatic that "it's impossible to see that an idea I think is true is actually wrong and this is the reason for my troubles", but if it makes you feel better, it's a generational boomer fail, only little to do with yourself personally.
postneoliberalism.org
Whatever it Takes: How Neoliberalism Hijacked the Public Purse
The spectacular government spending post-2008 and post-2020 appeared to upend the neoliberal logic of the past decades, enabling bold public action and opening the door to a more just and democratic...
5:04 PM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764331797712605379
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Got to that ripe "gives zero fucks" age of wisdom 🤣🤣🤣 Fair dues to him 👏👏👏
4:47 PM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Got to that ripe "gives zero fucks" age of wisdom 🤣🤣🤣 Fair dues to him 👏👏👏
4:47 PM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764321722881167588
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
God deliver us from ignorant narcissists with means that think the world history started the day they turned their gaze to it. NATO predates the Warsaw Pact. The Russia imperial expansion has been going on for few centuries now, it's not exactly news in CEEu. But hey 🤷♂️🤷♂️
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Mar 2
Replying to @DavidSacks
True.
I always wondered why NATO continued to exist even though its nemesis and reason to exist, The Warsaw Pact, had dissolved.
Readers added context
The reason for NATOs existence is explained in its preamble: "to safeguard the freedom, common heritage and civilisation of their peoples, founded on the principles of democracy, individual liberty and the rule of law."
nato.int/cps/en/natoliv…
The Warsaw Pact was established 6 years after NATO.
nato.int/cps/en/natohq/…
You rated as helpful
4:07 PM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
God deliver us from ignorant narcissists with means that think the world history started the day they turned their gaze to it. NATO predates the Warsaw Pact. The Russia imperial expansion has been going on for few centuries now, it's not exactly news in CEEu. But hey 🤷♂️🤷♂️
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Mar 2
Replying to @DavidSacks
True.
I always wondered why NATO continued to exist even though its nemesis and reason to exist, The Warsaw Pact, had dissolved.
Readers added context
The reason for NATOs existence is explained in its preamble: "to safeguard the freedom, common heritage and civilisation of their peoples, founded on the principles of democracy, individual liberty and the rule of law."
nato.int/cps/en/natoliv…
The Warsaw Pact was established 6 years after NATO.
nato.int/cps/en/natohq/…
You rated as helpful
4:07 PM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764280561344864282
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True what you say but: since 18th century philosophy that "worked out" was hived off into their own separate sciences. Now philosophy is left with stuff that has not "worked out". We hope there is a "yet" there - philosophy that has not worked out *yet*.
1:23 PM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True what you say but: since 18th century philosophy that "worked out" was hived off into their own separate sciences. Now philosophy is left with stuff that has not "worked out". We hope there is a "yet" there - philosophy that has not worked out *yet*.
1:23 PM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764256522933002334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We agree there. I think N=0 case illustrates how the estimate, being dependent on the length of not-A interval, is susceptible to our interpretation of "when does not-A start".
11:48 AM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We agree there. I think N=0 case illustrates how the estimate, being dependent on the length of not-A interval, is susceptible to our interpretation of "when does not-A start".
11:48 AM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764239140432892051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yours' "rightist wokeism" does not help but adds to the "leftist wokeism" tbh. Sad.
10:39 AM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yours' "rightist wokeism" does not help but adds to the "leftist wokeism" tbh. Sad.
10:39 AM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764226395385844129
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd find fault with the "only" in "only about the precedence of words", similar to "only autocompletes the next word". It's the *high quality* of that precedence (or autocomplete) than makes us think "they have intelligence/empathy". We've had machines that did autocomplete at low quality for decades - and no one thought of them intelligent nor emphatic.
9:48 AM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd find fault with the "only" in "only about the precedence of words", similar to "only autocompletes the next word". It's the *high quality* of that precedence (or autocomplete) than makes us think "they have intelligence/empathy". We've had machines that did autocomplete at low quality for decades - and no one thought of them intelligent nor emphatic.
9:48 AM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764211468017266710
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shallow compared to what? True - some people have deeper empathy towards small number of other people, but: AI has empathy to all, does not discriminate. Not every human has deeper empathy than an AI - let's not kid ourselves. We are esp un-emphatic to people un-like us.
8:49 AM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shallow compared to what? True - some people have deeper empathy towards small number of other people, but: AI has empathy to all, does not discriminate. Not every human has deeper empathy than an AI - let's not kid ourselves. We are esp un-emphatic to people un-like us.
8:49 AM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764197193588609161
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's generational. Boomers had the right ideas to start with, but in the last ~15 yrs boomers have been mostly wrong. "It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so". To fix - look at comparable economy (US) that did not stagnate, note what difference in ideas that made for difference in outcomes - https://postneoliberalism.org/articles/whatever-it-takes-how-neoliberalism-hijacked-the-public-purse/ by @ptcherneva . These ideas are anathema to your generation - doubt boomers can change in olden age. A good recent rundown of UK woes with respective timelines & baselines is https://thecritic.co.uk/stop-blaming-brexit-for-britains-economic-ills/ by @DerrickBerthel1 .
7:52 AM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's generational. Boomers had the right ideas to start with, but in the last ~15 yrs boomers have been mostly wrong. "It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so". To fix - look at comparable economy (US) that did not stagnate, note what difference in ideas that made for difference in outcomes - https://postneoliberalism.org/articles/whatever-it-takes-how-neoliberalism-hijacked-the-public-purse/ by @ptcherneva . These ideas are anathema to your generation - doubt boomers can change in olden age. A good recent rundown of UK woes with respective timelines & baselines is https://thecritic.co.uk/stop-blaming-brexit-for-britains-economic-ills/ by @DerrickBerthel1 .
7:52 AM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1764188957980446815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK - for me it seemed the N=0 argument has weight. Would I take a bet that at N=0 the chance of the event happening is 1/(0+2)=50% ? Probably not, but then for some things the start period (influencing N) is more obvious than for others.
7:19 AM · Mar 3, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK - for me it seemed the N=0 argument has weight. Would I take a bet that at N=0 the chance of the event happening is 1/(0+2)=50% ? Probably not, but then for some things the start period (influencing N) is more obvious than for others.
7:19 AM · Mar 3, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763997885698335068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laplace’s rule gives me 1/62, and then I'd approx halve that again so approx round number 1/100. Saw it here on Laplace rule limitations https://lesswrong.com/posts/Tg5pQCjpefFiqaKjw/limitations-of-laplace-s-rule-of-succession .
lesswrong.com
Limitations of Laplace’s rule of succession — LessWrong
Summary Laplace’s rule typically overestimates the chance of unprecedented events occurring; this is because it assigns 50% to the event occurring in…
6:40 PM · Mar 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laplace’s rule gives me 1/62, and then I'd approx halve that again so approx round number 1/100. Saw it here on Laplace rule limitations https://lesswrong.com/posts/Tg5pQCjpefFiqaKjw/limitations-of-laplace-s-rule-of-succession .
lesswrong.com
Limitations of Laplace’s rule of succession — LessWrong
Summary Laplace’s rule typically overestimates the chance of unprecedented events occurring; this is because it assigns 50% to the event occurring in…
6:40 PM · Mar 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763919861384667593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema obvrska graganinot da ima ID. Se smeta deka e odgovornost na toj sto saka da me ID mene, da si ja zavrsi taa rabota. Nemam jas obvrska da im pomagam. Drzava/policija/banka/vodovod i sl e nivna rabota da utvrdi identitet na nivniot graganin/klient/musterija i sl. Sekoja organizacija koja ima potreba da ID nekogo, si e slobodna da si najde nacin kako da go implementira toa. Slobodija :-)
1:30 PM · Mar 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema obvrska graganinot da ima ID. Se smeta deka e odgovornost na toj sto saka da me ID mene, da si ja zavrsi taa rabota. Nemam jas obvrska da im pomagam. Drzava/policija/banka/vodovod i sl e nivna rabota da utvrdi identitet na nivniot graganin/klient/musterija i sl. Sekoja organizacija koja ima potreba da ID nekogo, si e slobodna da si najde nacin kako da go implementira toa. Slobodija :-)
1:30 PM · Mar 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763876483083190567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Moze, sigurno deka moze. Vo UK ne postojat licni karti. Najcesto se koristi vozacka dozvola (e redok dokument so slika) za toa. Funkcionira ok. Se e dogovor, ako se dogovorat MK kraganstvo "ukinuvame licna karta" (ima vozacka, pasos etc) - taka i ke bide. Licni karti po se kontinentalen sistem. Vo anglo- UK, US sistemi nema licni karti. (ne znam za CA AU NZ?)
10:38 AM · Mar 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Moze, sigurno deka moze. Vo UK ne postojat licni karti. Najcesto se koristi vozacka dozvola (e redok dokument so slika) za toa. Funkcionira ok. Se e dogovor, ako se dogovorat MK kraganstvo "ukinuvame licna karta" (ima vozacka, pasos etc) - taka i ke bide. Licni karti po se kontinentalen sistem. Vo anglo- UK, US sistemi nema licni karti. (ne znam za CA AU NZ?)
10:38 AM · Mar 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763556413249372504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahahah - winning the memes wars there I see 😂😂😂 - first #greenpiss, and now #juststoptoil. Fair dues to you sir 👏🫡
1:26 PM · Mar 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahahah - winning the memes wars there I see 😂😂😂 - first #greenpiss, and now #juststoptoil. Fair dues to you sir 👏🫡
1:26 PM · Mar 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763554013155320097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Note to self: always do both, it's a minor add to tuck in empathy too. Solution(ism) without commiseration backfires depressingly oft enough in the worst possible way: in addition to foregoing a likely helpful solution, a conflict is started where previously there was none! 😬😱
Quote
Paul Graham @paulg · Mar 1
Took me a long time to realize solutions aren't always what people want. Sometimes they just want someone to empathize with them.
Image
1:16 PM · Mar 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Note to self: always do both, it's a minor add to tuck in empathy too. Solution(ism) without commiseration backfires depressingly oft enough in the worst possible way: in addition to foregoing a likely helpful solution, a conflict is started where previously there was none! 😬😱
Quote
Paul Graham @paulg · Mar 1
Took me a long time to realize solutions aren't always what people want. Sometimes they just want someone to empathize with them.
Image
1:16 PM · Mar 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763552893548839405
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so." Excellent rundown of woes facing UK with their respective timelines & baselines. @DerrickBerthel1 👏👏 Each one can be traced back to idea(s)/ideology that "just ain't so".
Quote
The Critic @TheCriticMag · Feb 28
Those unhappy with British economic woes need to stop blaming it all on Brexit — not only is it inaccurate, but writes @DerrickBerthel1, it distracts from real problems
https://thecritic.co.uk/stop-blaming-brexit-for-britains-economic-ills/
1:12 PM · Mar 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so." Excellent rundown of woes facing UK with their respective timelines & baselines. @DerrickBerthel1 👏👏 Each one can be traced back to idea(s)/ideology that "just ain't so".
Quote
The Critic @TheCriticMag · Feb 28
Those unhappy with British economic woes need to stop blaming it all on Brexit — not only is it inaccurate, but writes @DerrickBerthel1, it distracts from real problems
https://thecritic.co.uk/stop-blaming-brexit-for-britains-economic-ills/
1:12 PM · Mar 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763533691752464407
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oft we find it's impossible to move onto the next thing without honesty about what happened in the past esp recent one esp when that past impact the future. Hence truth&reconciliation commissions & like. Not b/c anyone enjoys recalling the painful past, but b/c it's *impossible* to move forward without the truth of the past being told and acknowledged by all.
11:56 AM · Mar 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oft we find it's impossible to move onto the next thing without honesty about what happened in the past esp recent one esp when that past impact the future. Hence truth&reconciliation commissions & like. Not b/c anyone enjoys recalling the painful past, but b/c it's *impossible* to move forward without the truth of the past being told and acknowledged by all.
11:56 AM · Mar 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763528647527297419
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always do both jic, it's only a minor add to tuck in empathy in the bag too. But yes - solution without commiseration often backfires in the worst possible way: not only is fairly sane solution that'd help rejected, but a conflict is started where previously there was none. 😱
11:36 AM · Mar 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always do both jic, it's only a minor add to tuck in empathy in the bag too. But yes - solution without commiseration often backfires in the worst possible way: not only is fairly sane solution that'd help rejected, but a conflict is started where previously there was none. 😱
11:36 AM · Mar 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763525138807468157
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More like:
1. Before Brexit EU was an easy distraction that half the country used to avoid the real issues.
2. After Brexit now Brexit is the one distraction that 90% of the country is blinded by and has no attention left for the real issues.
So we have gone from bad to worse.
11:22 AM · Mar 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More like:
1. Before Brexit EU was an easy distraction that half the country used to avoid the real issues.
2. After Brexit now Brexit is the one distraction that 90% of the country is blinded by and has no attention left for the real issues.
So we have gone from bad to worse.
11:22 AM · Mar 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763356502343983326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - Scholzing makes a big nuclear war more likely. Nuclear threat + war of conquest = everyone around Russia will rush to develop own nuclear weapons. More weapons in more hands => more likely to be used.
12:12 AM · Mar 1, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - Scholzing makes a big nuclear war more likely. Nuclear threat + war of conquest = everyone around Russia will rush to develop own nuclear weapons. More weapons in more hands => more likely to be used.
12:12 AM · Mar 1, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763264624546517038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha e da, familija e komunizam na delo - "sekomu spored potrebite, sekoj spored moznostite". :-) Obicno - roditelite davaat kolku mozat, decata zemaat kolku im treba.
6:07 PM · Feb 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha e da, familija e komunizam na delo - "sekomu spored potrebite, sekoj spored moznostite". :-) Obicno - roditelite davaat kolku mozat, decata zemaat kolku im treba.
6:07 PM · Feb 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763247801360654776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How python became the data processing language is one of life mysteries. Another "worse is better" - but it even lacks arrays ffs! Excel at least has sheets - an universal 2D rectangular grid matrix. The dependency DAG recompute engine is smart to minimize recompute i.e. never re/compute any data more times than required.
5:00 PM · Feb 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How python became the data processing language is one of life mysteries. Another "worse is better" - but it even lacks arrays ffs! Excel at least has sheets - an universal 2D rectangular grid matrix. The dependency DAG recompute engine is smart to minimize recompute i.e. never re/compute any data more times than required.
5:00 PM · Feb 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763179981058851170
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH people like this sound like they should see a few doctors, seek therapy and help, and esp get off any sort of social media. As social media seems to be especially unhelpful, seems to add to their personal woes and traumas quite a bit.
12:30 PM · Feb 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH people like this sound like they should see a few doctors, seek therapy and help, and esp get off any sort of social media. As social media seems to be especially unhelpful, seems to add to their personal woes and traumas quite a bit.
12:30 PM · Feb 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1763132086188204193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A crumb!! Excellent, 👍 love it 😊
9:20 AM · Feb 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A crumb!! Excellent, 👍 love it 😊
9:20 AM · Feb 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762896327833161900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All data has missing values. For encoding missing values in data at rest NaNs are indispensable b/c any operation on a NaN results in a NaN. So they spread like a wildfire! :-) That's exactly what we want. Plus one can set a FP exception on NaN. I usually turn that off and check manually as part larger schemes of data sanity checking and assurance.
5:43 PM · Feb 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All data has missing values. For encoding missing values in data at rest NaNs are indispensable b/c any operation on a NaN results in a NaN. So they spread like a wildfire! :-) That's exactly what we want. Plus one can set a FP exception on NaN. I usually turn that off and check manually as part larger schemes of data sanity checking and assurance.
5:43 PM · Feb 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762892616020951211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. In general, I find having special not-of-this-type out-of-band value useful (to the extent to #define INT_NAN INT_MIN): nullptr for *pointers, NaN for floats, 0 for index 1-based arrays, '\0' for chars and so on.
5:28 PM · Feb 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. In general, I find having special not-of-this-type out-of-band value useful (to the extent to #define INT_NAN INT_MIN): nullptr for *pointers, NaN for floats, 0 for index 1-based arrays, '\0' for chars and so on.
5:28 PM · Feb 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762890271547666873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Agree to disagree. NaNs are always handy, in the weights maybe not for storing, but say for operations. Like - want to do a forward pass with a "ignore those weights" mask => just make those weights NaNs and go forward.
5:19 PM · Feb 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Agree to disagree. NaNs are always handy, in the weights maybe not for storing, but say for operations. Like - want to do a forward pass with a "ignore those weights" mask => just make those weights NaNs and go forward.
5:19 PM · Feb 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762889377678496123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just go forth and develop your own nuclear deterrent, and only afterwards acknowledge "we have it it's done" after the 1st underground nuclear test. The 1939 alliance of the unable (even if willing) didn't work out. Don't wait for a 4th partition/dissolution, you're out of time.
5:15 PM · Feb 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just go forth and develop your own nuclear deterrent, and only afterwards acknowledge "we have it it's done" after the 1st underground nuclear test. The 1939 alliance of the unable (even if willing) didn't work out. Don't wait for a 4th partition/dissolution, you're out of time.
5:15 PM · Feb 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762812154158219512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... right - and everyone needs a NaN too, so in total { NaN, -1, 0, 1 } that makes for 2 bits 😆😆 (dubit?!?)
12:09 PM · Feb 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... right - and everyone needs a NaN too, so in total { NaN, -1, 0, 1 } that makes for 2 bits 😆😆 (dubit?!?)
12:09 PM · Feb 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762771780073033737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😊 - yep. At different points - we were made in the likeness of God and were apart from animals, our Earth was the center of everything the universe revolved around it.
Now with AI - we were only ones to be intelligent - and now we are not. Big hit to our egos right there. 😱😁
Personally - we all start as babies that have no distinction between self and the world around us. Some grow out of that - regrettably a lot of us don't, haha 🤣🤣 - and need crutches to the end of our lives of the type "I'm special", "the universe cares about me", "some part of me will live forever/never die" and so on.
9:28 AM · Feb 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😊 - yep. At different points - we were made in the likeness of God and were apart from animals, our Earth was the center of everything the universe revolved around it.
Now with AI - we were only ones to be intelligent - and now we are not. Big hit to our egos right there. 😱😁
Personally - we all start as babies that have no distinction between self and the world around us. Some grow out of that - regrettably a lot of us don't, haha 🤣🤣 - and need crutches to the end of our lives of the type "I'm special", "the universe cares about me", "some part of me will live forever/never die" and so on.
9:28 AM · Feb 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762640324801835297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Press for elections sooner rather than later. Change is needed. Looking around - Bidenomics seems to be the only successful economic policy in the current circumstances. Current CONs are ideologically opposed to the New Deal-ish angle of it - they need to go. Boomers run out of prior generations assets to privatise and sweat. New assets need to be built. The sooner the country starts building - the better.
12:46 AM · Feb 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Press for elections sooner rather than later. Change is needed. Looking around - Bidenomics seems to be the only successful economic policy in the current circumstances. Current CONs are ideologically opposed to the New Deal-ish angle of it - they need to go. Boomers run out of prior generations assets to privatise and sweat. New assets need to be built. The sooner the country starts building - the better.
12:46 AM · Feb 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762483968320975166
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not becoming a warring party is only 50% your decision. The other 50% is up to the Russians. Too bad it looks like they have decided that you will indeed become a warring party in not too distant future. Your present cowardess now will lead to that unfortunate future.
2:24 PM · Feb 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not becoming a warring party is only 50% your decision. The other 50% is up to the Russians. Too bad it looks like they have decided that you will indeed become a warring party in not too distant future. Your present cowardess now will lead to that unfortunate future.
2:24 PM · Feb 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762409380203385050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@LukeAne10 afaik they use their reserves. Buying bonds == add to the bond (savings) account, del from the reserve (current) account.
9:28 AM · Feb 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@LukeAne10 afaik they use their reserves. Buying bonds == add to the bond (savings) account, del from the reserve (current) account.
9:28 AM · Feb 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762276200276254814
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great, but TBF one needs to have the absolute numbers. Relative change can then be deduced - but obv not possible the other way around.
12:39 AM · Feb 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great, but TBF one needs to have the absolute numbers. Relative change can then be deduced - but obv not possible the other way around.
12:39 AM · Feb 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762158127938510950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent @garyseconomics - loved it. Econs assuming people are interested 100% in themselves only - that would be assuming a dis/utility = 1x my jail term + 0x my mates' jail term, right? Fyi repeated prisoners dilemma https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM by @veritasium is also a great view
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
4:50 PM · Feb 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent @garyseconomics - loved it. Econs assuming people are interested 100% in themselves only - that would be assuming a dis/utility = 1x my jail term + 0x my mates' jail term, right? Fyi repeated prisoners dilemma https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM by @veritasium is also a great view
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
4:50 PM · Feb 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762106099421868121
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, true -
Image
Quote
Jacob Rees-Mogg @Jacob_Rees_Mogg · Feb 26
There should only be one class of British citizen and that includes Shamima Begum.
https://spectator.co.uk/article/shamima-begum-shouldnt-have-lost-her-british-citizenship/
1:23 PM · Feb 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, true -
Image
Quote
Jacob Rees-Mogg @Jacob_Rees_Mogg · Feb 26
There should only be one class of British citizen and that includes Shamima Begum.
https://spectator.co.uk/article/shamima-begum-shouldnt-have-lost-her-british-citizenship/
1:23 PM · Feb 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1762037390422556921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Few examples in recent history with this kind of "for the greater good" transgressions ending very badly indeed. What starts with systematic lying, ends with systematic mass murder. Aspiring to be the a compendium of human knowledge is incompatible with lying.
8:50 AM · Feb 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Few examples in recent history with this kind of "for the greater good" transgressions ending very badly indeed. What starts with systematic lying, ends with systematic mass murder. Aspiring to be the a compendium of human knowledge is incompatible with lying.
8:50 AM · Feb 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761853244752437657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Either you control your computer, or your computer controls you. There is not a third option. Windows - only in a Virtual Box on my computer.
8:38 PM · Feb 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Either you control your computer, or your computer controls you. There is not a third option. Windows - only in a Virtual Box on my computer.
8:38 PM · Feb 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761791261856436708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So basically - immature childish individuals that instead of seeking the truth (== doing science), seek validation and popular approval from their tribe. Ok - that's like 90% of humanity 90% of the time, so nothing exceptional and unexpected. All good - nothing to see here really.
4:32 PM · Feb 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So basically - immature childish individuals that instead of seeking the truth (== doing science), seek validation and popular approval from their tribe. Ok - that's like 90% of humanity 90% of the time, so nothing exceptional and unexpected. All good - nothing to see here really.
4:32 PM · Feb 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761759440397533588
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хахахах 😂😂😂 - „мојата магистерска". Е значи како во МК што има умислени величини нема на друго место. Стварно стe „во земјата на слепците едноокиот е крал". По странски "confidently wrong" ми останува најдобар опис за македонските работи.
Fwiw не напишав „Мирјана е детски инфантилна", напишав „вакво размислување е размислување на дете, инфантилно", и т.н. Тоа за почеток, ама тука е крајот на оваа дискусија за мене - пријатно.
2:25 PM · Feb 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хахахах 😂😂😂 - „мојата магистерска". Е значи како во МК што има умислени величини нема на друго место. Стварно стe „во земјата на слепците едноокиот е крал". По странски "confidently wrong" ми останува најдобар опис за македонските работи.
Fwiw не напишав „Мирјана е детски инфантилна", напишав „вакво размислување е размислување на дете, инфантилно", и т.н. Тоа за почеток, ама тука е крајот на оваа дискусија за мене - пријатно.
2:25 PM · Feb 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761746937886158947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯🎯🎯 Точно така! Ако е толку важно - ќе најдат буџет. Имаат во буџет и за - на зборови! - помалку важни дела. На пример, колкав проблем е шут во општина Аеродром, колку луѓе живеат и колкав буџет има општината - понуда за 0 цена да општината го собере, ми изгледа дека реално е можно.
1:36 PM · Feb 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯🎯🎯 Точно така! Ако е толку важно - ќе најдат буџет. Имаат во буџет и за - на зборови! - помалку важни дела. На пример, колкав проблем е шут во општина Аеродром, колку луѓе живеат и колкав буџет има општината - понуда за 0 цена да општината го собере, ми изгледа дека реално е можно.
1:36 PM · Feb 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761722314322755861
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Горбачов беше претседател на Советски Сојуз. Јелцин беше прв претседател на Русија. Колку знам Горбачов не ни проба да се кандидира за претседател на Русија. Тоа дека некој друг е некому крив е детски инфантилно и неодговорно. Деца ли се возрасни луѓе лице се - па стално некој друг да има одговорност за нив, па не направил како што они сакале, како што некој трет сакал и сл. Малку е срамотно - ама тоа е.
11:58 AM · Feb 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Горбачов беше претседател на Советски Сојуз. Јелцин беше прв претседател на Русија. Колку знам Горбачов не ни проба да се кандидира за претседател на Русија. Тоа дека некој друг е некому крив е детски инфантилно и неодговорно. Деца ли се возрасни луѓе лице се - па стално некој друг да има одговорност за нив, па не направил како што они сакале, како што некој трет сакал и сл. Малку е срамотно - ама тоа е.
11:58 AM · Feb 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761152468530893185
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Today's hypothesis - “the need for chaos” by @DKThomp in https://theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/need-for-chaos-politicsl-science-concept/677536/ . Imo there always is a minority of humans that are lunatics (=stupid+evil) and find semblance of some order personally intolerable, unbearable.
From theatlantic.com
10:14 PM · Feb 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Today's hypothesis - “the need for chaos” by @DKThomp in https://theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/need-for-chaos-politicsl-science-concept/677536/ . Imo there always is a minority of humans that are lunatics (=stupid+evil) and find semblance of some order personally intolerable, unbearable.
From theatlantic.com
10:14 PM · Feb 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761063231047512299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scary to think a person that could see this https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf , nowadays fails to see what's painted & drawn in front of his eyes, by the Russian side, from Putin and all the way down, repeatedly. I hope it's the hubris of a narcissist turned ideological grifter that explains it. 😶😬 For the rest of us ours sanity sake. 😱😱
Quote
Jessica Berlin @berlin_bridge · Feb 23
Putin: “I want to create a greater Russia.”
Mearsheimer: “There is no evidence that Putin wanted to create a greater Russia.”
A fine scholar of international relations indeed @MearsheimerJ 👌 x.com/globaltimesnew…
Show more
4:19 PM · Feb 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Scary to think a person that could see this https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf , nowadays fails to see what's painted & drawn in front of his eyes, by the Russian side, from Putin and all the way down, repeatedly. I hope it's the hubris of a narcissist turned ideological grifter that explains it. 😶😬 For the rest of us ours sanity sake. 😱😱
Quote
Jessica Berlin @berlin_bridge · Feb 23
Putin: “I want to create a greater Russia.”
Mearsheimer: “There is no evidence that Putin wanted to create a greater Russia.”
A fine scholar of international relations indeed @MearsheimerJ 👌 x.com/globaltimesnew…
Show more
4:19 PM · Feb 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761047801880846796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What an embarrassment, what a fall from grace. Scary to think a person that could see this https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
, now can't see what's painted and drawn in front of his eyes, by the Russian side, starting with Putin, again and again. I hope it's only hubris of a narcissist. 😱
3:18 PM · Feb 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What an embarrassment, what a fall from grace. Scary to think a person that could see this https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
, now can't see what's painted and drawn in front of his eyes, by the Russian side, starting with Putin, again and again. I hope it's only hubris of a narcissist. 😱
3:18 PM · Feb 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1761010644411666465
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam tolku konkretno - ne ziveam vo MK veke 25 god. Raskazav opsto - mozno e namesto covek da gleda sto e naj/dobro, isto e mozno da gleda i sto e najmalku loso. Ne samo za izbori, tuku i za se drugo. Po mene toj pogled na realnosta, svetot okolu mene, e poveke realen. ;-)
12:50 PM · Feb 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam tolku konkretno - ne ziveam vo MK veke 25 god. Raskazav opsto - mozno e namesto covek da gleda sto e naj/dobro, isto e mozno da gleda i sto e najmalku loso. Ne samo za izbori, tuku i za se drugo. Po mene toj pogled na realnosta, svetot okolu mene, e poveke realen. ;-)
12:50 PM · Feb 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760983329464307904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
3. Glasas za najmalku losata varijanta, po tebe. Znaci site se losi (nema dobri), ama nekoi se poveke, nekoi se pomalku losi. Glasas za pomaloto najmaloto zlo.
11:01 AM · Feb 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
3. Glasas za najmalku losata varijanta, po tebe. Znaci site se losi (nema dobri), ama nekoi se poveke, nekoi se pomalku losi. Glasas za pomaloto najmaloto zlo.
11:01 AM · Feb 23, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760644557392248993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct on the nation cohesiveness (nation being "the largest group of people where 49% minority trust the 51% majority enough to accept their rule temporary even when they don't like it"), not quite right on YU or NI. In YU and NI there is not a single nation, these are not nation states - there are multiple nations within the state. That's why simple democracy is not possible too - currently demos==nation, and there is not one demos, but 2 or more. (fwiw UK is also not a single nation state either ...)
12:35 PM · Feb 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct on the nation cohesiveness (nation being "the largest group of people where 49% minority trust the 51% majority enough to accept their rule temporary even when they don't like it"), not quite right on YU or NI. In YU and NI there is not a single nation, these are not nation states - there are multiple nations within the state. That's why simple democracy is not possible too - currently demos==nation, and there is not one demos, but 2 or more. (fwiw UK is also not a single nation state either ...)
12:35 PM · Feb 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760641810429288736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My 2p: car manufacturers are not willing to undergo the change. They don't know what they don't know. 🙄 Such colossal culture change can only come from the top - and their CEO-s are clueless. Even when they recognise what they need to create (e.g. a Tesla competitor) - they can't do it, are not capable of creating it. Nokia could see for years that contrary to their opinions iPhone was hugely successful - and they still were not capable of producing a competitor.
12:24 PM · Feb 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My 2p: car manufacturers are not willing to undergo the change. They don't know what they don't know. 🙄 Such colossal culture change can only come from the top - and their CEO-s are clueless. Even when they recognise what they need to create (e.g. a Tesla competitor) - they can't do it, are not capable of creating it. Nokia could see for years that contrary to their opinions iPhone was hugely successful - and they still were not capable of producing a competitor.
12:24 PM · Feb 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760318279313191411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc not ready for you now (albeit - ready enough for millions of customers voting with their wallets; ofc - plenty more don't too), but in 5-10 years they'll get there. That's what the $$$ thrown in this bubble will buy - plenty of R&D that (one hopes) will much improve them.
2:59 PM · Feb 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc not ready for you now (albeit - ready enough for millions of customers voting with their wallets; ofc - plenty more don't too), but in 5-10 years they'll get there. That's what the $$$ thrown in this bubble will buy - plenty of R&D that (one hopes) will much improve them.
2:59 PM · Feb 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760305449591517640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember when Personal Computers were a bubble. Latter Internet was a bubble. Shopping online was a bubble too. Yeah - it is a bubble to start with, most companies and VC $$$ burn out, few survive and make the then bubble now ordinary reality. When we are lucky.
2:08 PM · Feb 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember when Personal Computers were a bubble. Latter Internet was a bubble. Shopping online was a bubble too. Yeah - it is a bubble to start with, most companies and VC $$$ burn out, few survive and make the then bubble now ordinary reality. When we are lucky.
2:08 PM · Feb 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760304702871195789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gledam onlajn gi ima na http://libgen.rs posledno. Jas gi kupuvam vo paperback: da ostanat na hartija se potrajni, plus decata moze ke se zainteresiraat. I da im platam na avtorite i izdavacot za trudot. Elektronski - toa sto ako go snema Amazon site knigi od Kindle avtomatski isto gi snemuva - me pravi da ne kupuvam na Kindle. Osven koga nesto e dzabe kao 99p ili taka nesto togas kupuvam, ama racunam se sto e kniga na Kindle ke ja snema nekogas.
2:05 PM · Feb 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gledam onlajn gi ima na http://libgen.rs posledno. Jas gi kupuvam vo paperback: da ostanat na hartija se potrajni, plus decata moze ke se zainteresiraat. I da im platam na avtorite i izdavacot za trudot. Elektronski - toa sto ako go snema Amazon site knigi od Kindle avtomatski isto gi snemuva - me pravi da ne kupuvam na Kindle. Osven koga nesto e dzabe kao 99p ili taka nesto togas kupuvam, ama racunam se sto e kniga na Kindle ke ja snema nekogas.
2:05 PM · Feb 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760279449105244472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. Open - The Story of Human Progress by Johan Norberg,
2. Enlightenment Now - The Case for Reason Science Humanism and Progress by Steven Pinker,
3. The Rational Optimist - How Prosperity Evolves by Matt Ridley.
12:24 PM · Feb 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. Open - The Story of Human Progress by Johan Norberg,
2. Enlightenment Now - The Case for Reason Science Humanism and Progress by Steven Pinker,
3. The Rational Optimist - How Prosperity Evolves by Matt Ridley.
12:24 PM · Feb 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760263561941565762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Legacy car manufacturers have been in the h/w business all their lives. EV is as much software as is hardware. Feels like Apple-Nokia moment. For an old car manufacturer to learn s/w - needs to start with the CEO. Latest episode in the "Software is eating the world" reality show (c.f. @pmarca)
Quote
Michael A. Arouet @MichaelAArouet · Feb 21
What‘s wrong with Europe in one chart. These European companies have been in the automotive business for decades. Why are they so painfully slow to adapt to new reality?
Image
11:21 AM · Feb 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Legacy car manufacturers have been in the h/w business all their lives. EV is as much software as is hardware. Feels like Apple-Nokia moment. For an old car manufacturer to learn s/w - needs to start with the CEO. Latest episode in the "Software is eating the world" reality show (c.f. @pmarca)
Quote
Michael A. Arouet @MichaelAArouet · Feb 21
What‘s wrong with Europe in one chart. These European companies have been in the automotive business for decades. Why are they so painfully slow to adapt to new reality?
Image
11:21 AM · Feb 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760222922143129865
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have been in the hardware business all that time. EV is as much software as is hardware. This is an Apple-Nokia moment. No old car manufacturer can learn software - needs to start with the CEO. Just another episode of the "Software is eating the world" reality show (c.f. @pmarca)
8:40 AM · Feb 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have been in the hardware business all that time. EV is as much software as is hardware. This is an Apple-Nokia moment. No old car manufacturer can learn software - needs to start with the CEO. Just another episode of the "Software is eating the world" reality show (c.f. @pmarca)
8:40 AM · Feb 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1760019066406961421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Don't ever grow old" - advice I got from someone with experience in the matter 😶
7:10 PM · Feb 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Don't ever grow old" - advice I got from someone with experience in the matter 😶
7:10 PM · Feb 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1759991110699757910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As you say - it makes no sense for her to do that, no reasonable person would. But - her lot do ton of self-defeating nonsense. Given they are not (all?) blithering imbeciles but have reasoning faculties - the only remaining explanation is they live in an alternate reality to us
5:19 PM · Feb 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As you say - it makes no sense for her to do that, no reasonable person would. But - her lot do ton of self-defeating nonsense. Given they are not (all?) blithering imbeciles but have reasoning faculties - the only remaining explanation is they live in an alternate reality to us
5:19 PM · Feb 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1759981775386726860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Leasehold is a simulation of ownership" - very well put @VitaliJames 👏👏👏 And "if you currently own a flat in the UK, there’s a 94 per cent chance you’re a leaseholder" - 🎯🎯🎯exactly. This will bite the vast majority of the first time buyers that are mostly young people.
Quote
James Vitali @VitaliJames · Feb 20
The conservative case for leasehold reform, the opportunity presented by the reform bill currently before Parliament, and how to improve it x.com/thecriticmag/s…
4:42 PM · Feb 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Leasehold is a simulation of ownership" - very well put @VitaliJames 👏👏👏 And "if you currently own a flat in the UK, there’s a 94 per cent chance you’re a leaseholder" - 🎯🎯🎯exactly. This will bite the vast majority of the first time buyers that are mostly young people.
Quote
James Vitali @VitaliJames · Feb 20
The conservative case for leasehold reform, the opportunity presented by the reform bill currently before Parliament, and how to improve it x.com/thecriticmag/s…
4:42 PM · Feb 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1759917151949918601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@VitaliJames gets so many things right here about that stump of feudal serfdom still blighting lives in the UK well into the 21st century, for no good reason. Lucid, insightful read in @TheCriticMag -
Image
Quote
The Critic @TheCriticMag · Feb 20
Leasehold is a feudal system that stands in the way of true property ownership for millions, argues @VitaliJames https://thecritic.co.uk/why-we-need-leasehold-reform/
12:25 PM · Feb 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@VitaliJames gets so many things right here about that stump of feudal serfdom still blighting lives in the UK well into the 21st century, for no good reason. Lucid, insightful read in @TheCriticMag -
Image
Quote
The Critic @TheCriticMag · Feb 20
Leasehold is a feudal system that stands in the way of true property ownership for millions, argues @VitaliJames https://thecritic.co.uk/why-we-need-leasehold-reform/
12:25 PM · Feb 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1759553460918276497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Powell, central and other bankers, and a good portion of the economists profession are ok with lying to the public when it makes their job v.v. public policy easier. Some'd retort it's a must b/c "plebs can't handle the truth", but imo it's entirely self-serving cope.
12:20 PM · Feb 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Powell, central and other bankers, and a good portion of the economists profession are ok with lying to the public when it makes their job v.v. public policy easier. Some'd retort it's a must b/c "plebs can't handle the truth", but imo it's entirely self-serving cope.
12:20 PM · Feb 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1759551247302955492
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imho BBC licensing and lately SORN (Statutory Off Road Notification) are examples of the legal profession (legislators, judges, etc) FAIL: in a good legal system it is should be impossible for a person to commit an offense by *inaction*, doing nothing.
12:11 PM · Feb 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imho BBC licensing and lately SORN (Statutory Off Road Notification) are examples of the legal profession (legislators, judges, etc) FAIL: in a good legal system it is should be impossible for a person to commit an offense by *inaction*, doing nothing.
12:11 PM · Feb 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1759512503262806071
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Demand more - radical transparency FTW! 😄 All .gov.uk business open on the web by default, 🤯 secrets to be made only by explicit demand. 😱 (inspired by @aweigend 's "Data for the People")
9:37 AM · Feb 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Demand more - radical transparency FTW! 😄 All .gov.uk business open on the web by default, 🤯 secrets to be made only by explicit demand. 😱 (inspired by @aweigend 's "Data for the People")
9:37 AM · Feb 19, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1759173727734940079
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha - "woke right", very good by @KonstantinKisin , 100% nailed that. "Anyone/anything but my own people/country and detached from reality" - good description, both minimal and sufficient description.
11:11 AM · Feb 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha - "woke right", very good by @KonstantinKisin , 100% nailed that. "Anyone/anything but my own people/country and detached from reality" - good description, both minimal and sufficient description.
11:11 AM · Feb 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758407377513070910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our reactions to technologies [Douglas Adams?]:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
2. Anything that's invented between when you’re 15 and 35 yo is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you're 35 is against the natural order of things.
8:26 AM · Feb 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Our reactions to technologies [Douglas Adams?]:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
2. Anything that's invented between when you’re 15 and 35 yo is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you're 35 is against the natural order of things.
8:26 AM · Feb 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758212427055870009
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are always people who think the world has gone blind the moment they close their eyes. 🤷♂️ Narcissists or sth like that? Think themselves and the wide world are one and the same. Like babies do. Most of us grow out of this - but some don't. More likely it's AH (ideology) that's finished.
7:31 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are always people who think the world has gone blind the moment they close their eyes. 🤷♂️ Narcissists or sth like that? Think themselves and the wide world are one and the same. Like babies do. Most of us grow out of this - but some don't. More likely it's AH (ideology) that's finished.
7:31 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758201746935972279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instead of trying to unpack - this by @Suitpossum maybe worth your time https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s . (apology for offering unsolicited opinion - will be the last time I do) Afaik this description of how our fiat system works is correct. I personally find abstracting spreadsheets instead of rings drawn in the video as understandable, but rings are visually way more appealing. ☺️ Shortest summary: Level 1 - Central Bank (BoE) owning and operating a spreadsheet with 1) current/reserve (current, 0 interest) and 2) gilts/bonds (savings, 5.25% interest) accounts for the commercial UK banks (Barclays, Lloyds etc). Level 2 - Every commercial UK bank owning and operating their own spreadsheet each, with 1) current (0 interest) and 2) saving (>0% interest) for me and yourself, their customers.
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
6:48 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Instead of trying to unpack - this by @Suitpossum maybe worth your time https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s . (apology for offering unsolicited opinion - will be the last time I do) Afaik this description of how our fiat system works is correct. I personally find abstracting spreadsheets instead of rings drawn in the video as understandable, but rings are visually way more appealing. ☺️ Shortest summary: Level 1 - Central Bank (BoE) owning and operating a spreadsheet with 1) current/reserve (current, 0 interest) and 2) gilts/bonds (savings, 5.25% interest) accounts for the commercial UK banks (Barclays, Lloyds etc). Level 2 - Every commercial UK bank owning and operating their own spreadsheet each, with 1) current (0 interest) and 2) saving (>0% interest) for me and yourself, their customers.
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
6:48 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758155668320591935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ 9' 2" ... I've learned one thing about medicine which is just like other academics doctors have egos, and saying "this stuff is going to replace them" is not the right move; the right move is to say "it's going to be very good in giving 2nd opinions, but the doctor is still gonna be in charge" 😂
3:45 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ 9' 2" ... I've learned one thing about medicine which is just like other academics doctors have egos, and saying "this stuff is going to replace them" is not the right move; the right move is to say "it's going to be very good in giving 2nd opinions, but the doctor is still gonna be in charge" 😂
3:45 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758152488929087756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ 21' 30" ... people that say they "don't work like us", don't actually have any model of how we work ... and may want to know that these language models were introduced as a theory of how our brain works.
3:33 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ 21' 30" ... people that say they "don't work like us", don't actually have any model of how we work ... and may want to know that these language models were introduced as a theory of how our brain works.
3:33 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758152486718754876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in addition to the known zingers/greatest hits, @geoffreyhinton comes through with few new ones too! I'm loving this 🤩🤩🤩 (I'm a sucker for this stuff 🤷♂️ )
3:33 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... in addition to the known zingers/greatest hits, @geoffreyhinton comes through with few new ones too! I'm loving this 🤩🤩🤩 (I'm a sucker for this stuff 🤷♂️ )
3:33 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758146623941603374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Geoffrey Hinton: Large Language Models in Medicine. They Understand and Have Empathy"
youtube.com
Geoffrey Hinton: Large Language Models in Medicine. They Understand...
In this edition of the Ground Truths podcast, Geoffrey Hinton, PhD - the "Godfather of AI" - and Eric Topol, MD, discuss all things A.I. and large language m...
3:09 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Geoffrey Hinton: Large Language Models in Medicine. They Understand and Have Empathy"
youtube.com
Geoffrey Hinton: Large Language Models in Medicine. They Understand...
In this edition of the Ground Truths podcast, Geoffrey Hinton, PhD - the "Godfather of AI" - and Eric Topol, MD, discuss all things A.I. and large language m...
3:09 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758146373554217029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is pure gold 😂😂 - kudos @geoffreyhinton and @EricTopol 👏👏 "... and after he won the competition, he wasn't allowed to collect the $20K prize (money) until he told Merck how he did it. And one of their questions was: and what QSAR did you use? so he said: what's QSAR? Now QSAR is a field - it's got a journal, it has conferences, it's been going for many years, and it's a field of Quantitative Structural Activity Relationships. That's the field that tries to predict whether some chemical is going to bind to something. And basically he wiped out that field, without knowing its name."
3:08 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is pure gold 😂😂 - kudos @geoffreyhinton and @EricTopol 👏👏 "... and after he won the competition, he wasn't allowed to collect the $20K prize (money) until he told Merck how he did it. And one of their questions was: and what QSAR did you use? so he said: what's QSAR? Now QSAR is a field - it's got a journal, it has conferences, it's been going for many years, and it's a field of Quantitative Structural Activity Relationships. That's the field that tries to predict whether some chemical is going to bind to something. And basically he wiped out that field, without knowing its name."
3:08 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758135842604990562
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Put your $$$ where your mouth is, put up a number and a date and make a bet please. Apropos
Image
2:27 PM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Put your $$$ where your mouth is, put up a number and a date and make a bet please. Apropos
Image
2:27 PM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1758078082387255549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Licno sum go osetil vo vojska: "Q: vodniche zasto ne macis vaka da lazime po kal bez potreba? Pred 6 meseci neli i ti lazese so nas, i ne bese toa OK? A: lazev i jas po kal togas, ako mozev togas jas, mozete sega i vie". Moja obzervacija e deka tie luge se glupi+zlobni=ludi.
10:37 AM · Feb 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Licno sum go osetil vo vojska: "Q: vodniche zasto ne macis vaka da lazime po kal bez potreba? Pred 6 meseci neli i ti lazese so nas, i ne bese toa OK? A: lazev i jas po kal togas, ako mozev togas jas, mozete sega i vie". Moja obzervacija e deka tie luge se glupi+zlobni=ludi.
10:37 AM · Feb 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757883258476355822
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not sure about "not as smart as cats" - typically a random person can't chat have a conversation with a random cat on a range of topics. (admit that some people/cats may indeed have convos) True that there are things cats do that LLMs can't - but the opposite is also true.
9:43 PM · Feb 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not sure about "not as smart as cats" - typically a random person can't chat have a conversation with a random cat on a range of topics. (admit that some people/cats may indeed have convos) True that there are things cats do that LLMs can't - but the opposite is also true.
9:43 PM · Feb 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757794981073285197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf it can't be DEMOcratic, b/c there is not, does not exist, a european DEMOs. There exist nation states that are more-or-less democratic given mandate from their respective nations. Until there is a euro-nation (the same way e.g. there exists an american nation), euro-anything can't be democratic (so for very long time, possible forever). It's not even meant to be afaik. It's a union of states, one-state-one-vote, not one-person-one -vote, not one-$$$-one-vote or anything else. Specifically - the existing (nation) states are the basic units i.e. members.
3:52 PM · Feb 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf it can't be DEMOcratic, b/c there is not, does not exist, a european DEMOs. There exist nation states that are more-or-less democratic given mandate from their respective nations. Until there is a euro-nation (the same way e.g. there exists an american nation), euro-anything can't be democratic (so for very long time, possible forever). It's not even meant to be afaik. It's a union of states, one-state-one-vote, not one-person-one -vote, not one-$$$-one-vote or anything else. Specifically - the existing (nation) states are the basic units i.e. members.
3:52 PM · Feb 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757787111216894427
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏 +1 For the quantity->quality angle aka "more is different". ☺️ We've all mused abt "how much residual variance justifies this extra dimension?" but then stop there & never connect the dots... 😁🤯 For networks - connections scaling with N^2 esp make the sizing angle pertinent.
3:21 PM · Feb 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏 +1 For the quantity->quality angle aka "more is different". ☺️ We've all mused abt "how much residual variance justifies this extra dimension?" but then stop there & never connect the dots... 😁🤯 For networks - connections scaling with N^2 esp make the sizing angle pertinent.
3:21 PM · Feb 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757766303534727252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 👏👏 Top marks for Greenpiss, quality shot there in the ongoing PR battles. A good one 😂😂 #greenpiss
1:58 PM · Feb 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 👏👏 Top marks for Greenpiss, quality shot there in the ongoing PR battles. A good one 😂😂 #greenpiss
1:58 PM · Feb 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757702797032645068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not in that particular market have no insider view. Having been in L/S mkt neutral HF for 20 yrs, and think there's a lot of discretion, clearly and frequently communicated to clients, in prospectuses etc. Plus as you mention - 70% is owned by domestic investors.
9:46 AM · Feb 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not in that particular market have no insider view. Having been in L/S mkt neutral HF for 20 yrs, and think there's a lot of discretion, clearly and frequently communicated to clients, in prospectuses etc. Plus as you mention - 70% is owned by domestic investors.
9:46 AM · Feb 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757346594783977611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given that both regression and classification ("train (fit) on full data (X,Y), at test time I will show you present X, your task is to guess missing Y") can be considered to be cases of missing data ("observed present X, did not observe missing Y"), one can sympathize that's it's almost impossible to teach it with any consistency. One has to almost use the latter/advanced part of the course to explain MD (and treatment) at the very start of the course?? Don't envy your task at all.
10:10 AM · Feb 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given that both regression and classification ("train (fit) on full data (X,Y), at test time I will show you present X, your task is to guess missing Y") can be considered to be cases of missing data ("observed present X, did not observe missing Y"), one can sympathize that's it's almost impossible to teach it with any consistency. One has to almost use the latter/advanced part of the course to explain MD (and treatment) at the very start of the course?? Don't envy your task at all.
10:10 AM · Feb 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757334861021409602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sympathize with this, MD handling is usually a horror show. Treated as if a rare edge case, whereas in reality we are confronted immediately at Step 2 (after Step 1: collect data in table). To start with, it'd be an improvement on the current state for the tools used to *acknowledge* the presence of MD, maybe via 1) MD is NaN 2) Use existing floating point feature "NaN pollutes everything it touches" that's in hardware already 3) have NaN-aware functions be the default (nansum(), nanmean() ...) and the non-NaN ones (sum(), mean()) be special cases (not the other way around). Of all the tools I've used, think Matlab-s treatment of MD via NaNs and nan-aware functions to be better than the rest.
9:24 AM · Feb 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sympathize with this, MD handling is usually a horror show. Treated as if a rare edge case, whereas in reality we are confronted immediately at Step 2 (after Step 1: collect data in table). To start with, it'd be an improvement on the current state for the tools used to *acknowledge* the presence of MD, maybe via 1) MD is NaN 2) Use existing floating point feature "NaN pollutes everything it touches" that's in hardware already 3) have NaN-aware functions be the default (nansum(), nanmean() ...) and the non-NaN ones (sum(), mean()) be special cases (not the other way around). Of all the tools I've used, think Matlab-s treatment of MD via NaNs and nan-aware functions to be better than the rest.
9:24 AM · Feb 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757115471046885883
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - in L/S, "when you borrow a stock" - i.e. your S - "and sell it" you’re *not* "sitting on cash", b/c you then use that cash to buy your L. You do get interest, but on the capital of the clients, and that - depending on the leverage - is smaller by a factor (==the leverage) than the gross L/S book.
6:52 PM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - in L/S, "when you borrow a stock" - i.e. your S - "and sell it" you’re *not* "sitting on cash", b/c you then use that cash to buy your L. You do get interest, but on the capital of the clients, and that - depending on the leverage - is smaller by a factor (==the leverage) than the gross L/S book.
6:52 PM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757079173045076162
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 Agree 100%. To me it seemed the last refuge of R&D where it's hard to get ahead by politics alone (in HFs since 2004). With caveats though - at decision time 1) the future is unknown, so which bet (among few proposed) to take is still somewhat a beauty contest (but there is subsequent feedback loop - once time passes and we learn the results the wrong bets die off); and 2) esp at slow trading/long horizons - there is a large element of luck (the shorter the horizon, the faster skill/luck works through/shows up). I am in fully systematic non-discretionary, there any and all work is committed code in the git repository (+ an odd presentation to the research group to explain & persuade the peers). So even more streamlined and in the open. Recommended.
4:28 PM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🎯 Agree 100%. To me it seemed the last refuge of R&D where it's hard to get ahead by politics alone (in HFs since 2004). With caveats though - at decision time 1) the future is unknown, so which bet (among few proposed) to take is still somewhat a beauty contest (but there is subsequent feedback loop - once time passes and we learn the results the wrong bets die off); and 2) esp at slow trading/long horizons - there is a large element of luck (the shorter the horizon, the faster skill/luck works through/shows up). I am in fully systematic non-discretionary, there any and all work is committed code in the git repository (+ an odd presentation to the research group to explain & persuade the peers). So even more streamlined and in the open. Recommended.
4:28 PM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757036095806505161
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас лично кога гласам пробувам да израчунам "кој ми личи дека е најмалку лош" од тие што се понудени. Ако сите ми се ептен одвратни - опција е да го расипам ливчето. Не сакам да не гласам - тогаш се гледам себеси за мрзлив, не си се бендисувам таков.
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1:37 PM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас лично кога гласам пробувам да израчунам "кој ми личи дека е најмалку лош" од тие што се понудени. Ако сите ми се ептен одвратни - опција е да го расипам ливчето. Не сакам да не гласам - тогаш се гледам себеси за мрзлив, не си се бендисувам таков.
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1:37 PM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757028401624346718
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IMO the physical realization of "The Market" is ~20-30 Investment Management companies with their PMs and traders. They respond to incentives like everyone else. In gov bonds market I think they try their utmost to not displease BoE - their master and protector.
1:06 PM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IMO the physical realization of "The Market" is ~20-30 Investment Management companies with their PMs and traders. They respond to incentives like everyone else. In gov bonds market I think they try their utmost to not displease BoE - their master and protector.
1:06 PM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757702797032645068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not in that particular market have no insider view. Having been in L/S mkt neutral HF for 20 yrs, and think there's a lot of discretion, clearly and frequently communicated to clients, in prospectuses etc. Plus as you mention - 70% is owned by domestic investors.
9:46 AM · Feb 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not in that particular market have no insider view. Having been in L/S mkt neutral HF for 20 yrs, and think there's a lot of discretion, clearly and frequently communicated to clients, in prospectuses etc. Plus as you mention - 70% is owned by domestic investors.
9:46 AM · Feb 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757026180903948425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - it makes sense to me then. L-K gov msg to the Treasury was "you do as we tell you". Treasury fought back via BoE rearguard action. That makes sense. L-K gov was crowned w/out popular support. So it was as easily replaced with another one (also without much support). I presume it wd be different with a gov that had won an election and has more & broader backing. BJ gov had that - but BJ was not interested in putting in the work needed to exercise power (and not only write abt it and cosplay "ruling").
12:57 PM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - it makes sense to me then. L-K gov msg to the Treasury was "you do as we tell you". Treasury fought back via BoE rearguard action. That makes sense. L-K gov was crowned w/out popular support. So it was as easily replaced with another one (also without much support). I presume it wd be different with a gov that had won an election and has more & broader backing. BJ gov had that - but BJ was not interested in putting in the work needed to exercise power (and not only write abt it and cosplay "ruling").
12:57 PM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757017691649351845
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are BoE and the Treasury joined at the hip per chance? Is there maybe a 2-way traffic between them? At the time it looked like Truss-Kwarteng radicals are at war with the Treasury. Did T-K also step on the BoE turf - so BoE hit back? It's a mystery to me too, am curious to find out what happened.
12:23 PM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are BoE and the Treasury joined at the hip per chance? Is there maybe a 2-way traffic between them? At the time it looked like Truss-Kwarteng radicals are at war with the Treasury. Did T-K also step on the BoE turf - so BoE hit back? It's a mystery to me too, am curious to find out what happened.
12:23 PM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1757000481019162653
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The worry exists regardless. Politicians are changed in elections these days routinely - so "polits holding citizen hostage" is a peculiar take. Polits will make hay (and esp in elections) from the latest by Karakachanov, but it's the news portals & papers that splash it on the front pages (not polits). Fear sells - and macedonians are fearful when they see pictures of BG MPs holding a placard with a map of BG extending over MK. Yes - it's unrepresentative, it's a extreme view of a minority (one hopes; and minorities exists with extreme views on various issue everywhere) - but that does make the worries go away.
11:15 AM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The worry exists regardless. Politicians are changed in elections these days routinely - so "polits holding citizen hostage" is a peculiar take. Polits will make hay (and esp in elections) from the latest by Karakachanov, but it's the news portals & papers that splash it on the front pages (not polits). Fear sells - and macedonians are fearful when they see pictures of BG MPs holding a placard with a map of BG extending over MK. Yes - it's unrepresentative, it's a extreme view of a minority (one hopes; and minorities exists with extreme views on various issue everywhere) - but that does make the worries go away.
11:15 AM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1756984192221479019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If really lacking pounds - it means they have been destroyed by the state (it's their sole destroyer and creator). But don't think it's the pounds we in the UK lack - it's the goods and services that those pounds should buy that are not created. Many reasons (all discussed online at length), but the most basic one - no-can-do culture being the default by a generation of nimby boomers that got lucky and want things to stay exactly as they are. Especially now they are faced with their own mortality. Once aging starts and things start going downhill, every day not worse than the previous is a good one. One wants things to stay the same - ideally to stop the passing of time.
10:10 AM · Feb 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If really lacking pounds - it means they have been destroyed by the state (it's their sole destroyer and creator). But don't think it's the pounds we in the UK lack - it's the goods and services that those pounds should buy that are not created. Many reasons (all discussed online at length), but the most basic one - no-can-do culture being the default by a generation of nimby boomers that got lucky and want things to stay exactly as they are. Especially now they are faced with their own mortality. Once aging starts and things start going downhill, every day not worse than the previous is a good one. One wants things to stay the same - ideally to stop the passing of time.
10:10 AM · Feb 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1756816595907674551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What fun - "How UK housing developers scam the public and how we might stop them" by @EvanEdinger at youtube.com
How UK housing developers scam the public and how we might stop them
https://youtu.be/7sjFKDMyPuY
The hidden scam we all pay for in the end. Sign up to squarespace to get 10% off! https://squarespace.com/evanedingerVlog channel https://youtube.com/EvanEdi...
11:04 PM · Feb 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What fun - "How UK housing developers scam the public and how we might stop them" by @EvanEdinger at youtube.com
How UK housing developers scam the public and how we might stop them
https://youtu.be/7sjFKDMyPuY
The hidden scam we all pay for in the end. Sign up to squarespace to get 10% off! https://squarespace.com/evanedingerVlog channel https://youtube.com/EvanEdi...
11:04 PM · Feb 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1756798176453881942
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The fact that someone on the MK side wants to win points (for elections or otherwise) does not make the impression that the rhetoric mentioned leaves on the ordinary citizens any less real. Ministers in BG gov, MPs etc have been quoted in the past. Ofc people get worried.
9:51 PM · Feb 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The fact that someone on the MK side wants to win points (for elections or otherwise) does not make the impression that the rhetoric mentioned leaves on the ordinary citizens any less real. Ministers in BG gov, MPs etc have been quoted in the past. Ofc people get worried.
9:51 PM · Feb 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1756790253841469841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To macedonians when in Bulgaria someone says "there is no macedonia/n/nation/language, it's all bulgaria/n/s" that sounds very much like when Putin says "there are no ukraine/ians/language, it's all russia/n/s". Telling it how it comes over to the other side is not propaganda.
9:20 PM · Feb 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To macedonians when in Bulgaria someone says "there is no macedonia/n/nation/language, it's all bulgaria/n/s" that sounds very much like when Putin says "there are no ukraine/ians/language, it's all russia/n/s". Telling it how it comes over to the other side is not propaganda.
9:20 PM · Feb 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1756393184316248231
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not anti-russian to say "ukrainians are their own nation with own language". Likewise for the macedonians - it's not anti-bulgarian to push back against bulgarian narrative of "there is no macedonian nation, there's no macedonian language".
7:02 PM · Feb 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not anti-russian to say "ukrainians are their own nation with own language". Likewise for the macedonians - it's not anti-bulgarian to push back against bulgarian narrative of "there is no macedonian nation, there's no macedonian language".
7:02 PM · Feb 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1756371573865414742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mistaking beauty for truth more ofter than rationally justified.
5:36 PM · Feb 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mistaking beauty for truth more ofter than rationally justified.
5:36 PM · Feb 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1756165700303855711
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information is fundamental, energy and mass are its physical realisations. Could be said
3:58 AM · Feb 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information is fundamental, energy and mass are its physical realisations. Could be said
3:58 AM · Feb 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1755997319835570662
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One consequence: because RU does stunts like this themselves, then they assume the other side does similar too. (kill the own for lame PR-blame) Makes no sense - until one realizes they value their own even less than the enemy. The own is already "owned", so it's valueless, whereas the other side is not yet owned. (that's what the fight is about - to "own" the UA side)
4:49 PM · Feb 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One consequence: because RU does stunts like this themselves, then they assume the other side does similar too. (kill the own for lame PR-blame) Makes no sense - until one realizes they value their own even less than the enemy. The own is already "owned", so it's valueless, whereas the other side is not yet owned. (that's what the fight is about - to "own" the UA side)
4:49 PM · Feb 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1755986467195678743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
И криво спроведена акција резултирала со 7М дрвца. Никаква акција ќе резултира со 0 дрвца. Секаде и секогаш се прави за микс од ПР, јавно и приватно добро, и ред други причини. Тоа е ок, не сме никој од нас светци. Фалинки, причини, мотивации и ред други работи се важни, ама резултатите се најважни - околу x9-10 пати поважни од се друго останато заедно.
4:06 PM · Feb 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
И криво спроведена акција резултирала со 7М дрвца. Никаква акција ќе резултира со 0 дрвца. Секаде и секогаш се прави за микс од ПР, јавно и приватно добро, и ред други причини. Тоа е ок, не сме никој од нас светци. Фалинки, причини, мотивации и ред други работи се важни, ама резултатите се најважни - околу x9-10 пати поважни од се друго останато заедно.
4:06 PM · Feb 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1755983627878367373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, се тоа точно, ама: меѓу фатени 7М садници, и фатени 0, првото е подобро. Тоа што нешто не е идеално, не треба да е алиби за правење ништо. Седење на раце е нула ризик, ама нула и добивка. Изговори "зашто не" да делувам има 1000, лесно е да најдам алиби за мрзливост.
3:54 PM · Feb 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, се тоа точно, ама: меѓу фатени 7М садници, и фатени 0, првото е подобро. Тоа што нешто не е идеално, не треба да е алиби за правење ништо. Седење на раце е нула ризик, ама нула и добивка. Изговори "зашто не" да делувам има 1000, лесно е да најдам алиби за мрзливост.
3:54 PM · Feb 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1755978485024039014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤯🤯🤯 once seen, can't be unseen 😉😁
3:34 PM · Feb 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤯🤯🤯 once seen, can't be unseen 😉😁
3:34 PM · Feb 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1755975561296392558
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Потрошени 2 Еур по садница, се фатиле 7М дрва за помалку од 14М Еур. Тоа ми личи супер?! А во текстов е напишано као "катастрофа, пари се потрошиле". Сега откако престанала акцијата - ќе се трошат пак 14М Еур на безвезни работи, за корист 0 засадени дрва. Тоа ми личи полошо.
3:22 PM · Feb 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Потрошени 2 Еур по садница, се фатиле 7М дрва за помалку од 14М Еур. Тоа ми личи супер?! А во текстов е напишано као "катастрофа, пари се потрошиле". Сега откако престанала акцијата - ќе се трошат пак 14М Еур на безвезни работи, за корист 0 засадени дрва. Тоа ми личи полошо.
3:22 PM · Feb 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1755742307289117023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are these the guys? https://eagerstates.com A litany of charges listed there. One has to wonder - is this a crime syndicate - or what is it exactly?? I presume @RFAssociation
are fine with that record. (rap sheet?)
From eagerstates.com
11:56 PM · Feb 8, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are these the guys? https://eagerstates.com A litany of charges listed there. One has to wonder - is this a crime syndicate - or what is it exactly?? I presume @RFAssociation
are fine with that record. (rap sheet?)
From eagerstates.com
11:56 PM · Feb 8, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754926021193642168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The reasonableness is determined in court (FTT?). That in itself is deterrent to any LH challenge. Even if LH is found in the right, there are no legal instruments to enforce it such that FH/MA obeys the ruling. It's a fig leaf of plausible legal recourse that in practice means little. Horror stories are a legion - it's not the case of few bad FH/MA apples. Until LH can hire/fire MA-s, and while FH has the forfeiture Damocles sword hanging over LH, nothing will change, b/c - incentives.
5:52 PM · Feb 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The reasonableness is determined in court (FTT?). That in itself is deterrent to any LH challenge. Even if LH is found in the right, there are no legal instruments to enforce it such that FH/MA obeys the ruling. It's a fig leaf of plausible legal recourse that in practice means little. Horror stories are a legion - it's not the case of few bad FH/MA apples. Until LH can hire/fire MA-s, and while FH has the forfeiture Damocles sword hanging over LH, nothing will change, b/c - incentives.
5:52 PM · Feb 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754916271819309420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct. Afaik there is nothing legally stopping FH to send a bill for 100K via their MA to the LH if they wanted to do so.
5:13 PM · Feb 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct. Afaik there is nothing legally stopping FH to send a bill for 100K via their MA to the LH if they wanted to do so.
5:13 PM · Feb 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754879100634689825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "no constrains on" is more consequential then most realize. Perfectly legal for 1) FH-older to send a bill of 10K, 100K, ... to the LH-older 2) LH fails to pay 3) LH forfeited the lease / FH gets possession of the flat 4) LH is left liable for the mortgage on the flat.
2:45 PM · Feb 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "no constrains on" is more consequential then most realize. Perfectly legal for 1) FH-older to send a bill of 10K, 100K, ... to the LH-older 2) LH fails to pay 3) LH forfeited the lease / FH gets possession of the flat 4) LH is left liable for the mortgage on the flat.
2:45 PM · Feb 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754846280553988169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da ne se otkazuva, da probuva, da aplicira na 1000 mesta. Dnevno na 10 mesta da praka CV i aplikacija. Znam deka e tesko da apliciras 10 pati a da ne cues nazad nisto, a ne pa 1000 pati. :-( Nikoj nema beskrajna energija da odira so glava vo dzid beskrajno - ama nema drugo. :-(
12:35 PM · Feb 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da ne se otkazuva, da probuva, da aplicira na 1000 mesta. Dnevno na 10 mesta da praka CV i aplikacija. Znam deka e tesko da apliciras 10 pati a da ne cues nazad nisto, a ne pa 1000 pati. :-( Nikoj nema beskrajna energija da odira so glava vo dzid beskrajno - ama nema drugo. :-(
12:35 PM · Feb 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754589634724593767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency FTW: make all UK gov business (central gov, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of "secret by default", only partially opened to citizens scrutiny on request & piecemeal via the FOI process. Yes ministers, civil servants, CEO-s etc will try to get smart and 1. obfuscate (wink nod, double speak) and 2. hide ("self-destructing" messages, phones deleted) but these are 1. easier problems than the blanket secrecy and 2. can be addressed in turns. First things first - radical transparency FTW!! :-)
7:35 PM · Feb 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency FTW: make all UK gov business (central gov, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of "secret by default", only partially opened to citizens scrutiny on request & piecemeal via the FOI process. Yes ministers, civil servants, CEO-s etc will try to get smart and 1. obfuscate (wink nod, double speak) and 2. hide ("self-destructing" messages, phones deleted) but these are 1. easier problems than the blanket secrecy and 2. can be addressed in turns. First things first - radical transparency FTW!! :-)
7:35 PM · Feb 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754525183224729998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! Can't think of a worse name - not really that "Modern", and not a "Theory" but really a practice. Too bad. The approach her/Mosler/etc have of "go forth my disciples and spread the truth" is the right one. Fwiw neoliberal/globalisation ideas are a good example what works in "howto popularize ideas".
3:19 PM · Feb 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! Can't think of a worse name - not really that "Modern", and not a "Theory" but really a practice. Too bad. The approach her/Mosler/etc have of "go forth my disciples and spread the truth" is the right one. Fwiw neoliberal/globalisation ideas are a good example what works in "howto popularize ideas".
3:19 PM · Feb 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754448740780233154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use IDE-s - CLion, Spyder, Matlab - for debugging, help and similar, and in parallel use vim + ctags + Makefile (+ cmd line tools - awk, rsync, rcopy, ...). It works mostly fine without tears. As long as the IDE can pickup automatically that the file changed externally and not have a nervous breakdown. Esp after initial setup figuring what and where the files and the dirs are.
10:15 AM · Feb 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use IDE-s - CLion, Spyder, Matlab - for debugging, help and similar, and in parallel use vim + ctags + Makefile (+ cmd line tools - awk, rsync, rcopy, ...). It works mostly fine without tears. As long as the IDE can pickup automatically that the file changed externally and not have a nervous breakdown. Esp after initial setup figuring what and where the files and the dirs are.
10:15 AM · Feb 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754445067874353168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't know abt vim==badass connection! 🤣🤣 Vim is only one tool in the chest - the whole IDE being the command line+tools - this https://blog.sanctum.geek.nz/series/unix-as-ide/
. I'm using IDE-s in parallel, like them too. The one vi text that taught me stuff was https://ele.uri.edu/faculty/vetter/Other-stuff/vi/009-index.html
10:01 AM · Feb 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Didn't know abt vim==badass connection! 🤣🤣 Vim is only one tool in the chest - the whole IDE being the command line+tools - this https://blog.sanctum.geek.nz/series/unix-as-ide/
. I'm using IDE-s in parallel, like them too. The one vi text that taught me stuff was https://ele.uri.edu/faculty/vetter/Other-stuff/vi/009-index.html
10:01 AM · Feb 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754129603323437244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is like looking at a portfolio and considering only the expected return (1st moment), ignoring the expected risk (2nd moment) + all other higher moments. Very incomplete view of reality, that unfortunately suffices ~67% of the time and thus is an effective self-deception.
1:07 PM · Feb 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is like looking at a portfolio and considering only the expected return (1st moment), ignoring the expected risk (2nd moment) + all other higher moments. Very incomplete view of reality, that unfortunately suffices ~67% of the time and thus is an effective self-deception.
1:07 PM · Feb 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1754086219456090243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No-one dies of perforated ulcers these days, ulcers are treated with antibiotics. No-one noticed. During my childhood weekly lifestyle supplements frequently wrote that ulcers are a result of modern life: the pressures, the sedatory lifestyle, vices like coffee, smoking, alcohol, etc
10:15 AM · Feb 4, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No-one dies of perforated ulcers these days, ulcers are treated with antibiotics. No-one noticed. During my childhood weekly lifestyle supplements frequently wrote that ulcers are a result of modern life: the pressures, the sedatory lifestyle, vices like coffee, smoking, alcohol, etc
10:15 AM · Feb 4, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752697969151992306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Сум бирал и 1 и 2 зависно што повеќе ми требало во моментот во животот 😊 Така да - зависи од моментот, не е нешто што е исклесано во камен, се менува.
2:18 PM · Jan 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Сум бирал и 1 и 2 зависно што повеќе ми требало во моментот во животот 😊 Така да - зависи од моментот, не е нешто што е исклесано во камен, се менува.
2:18 PM · Jan 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752673906857488679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF almost everything seems to be in relationships aka connections between nodes.
On meaning - heard recently: what do I want to exist even when I don't exist anymore, and how much of a difference am I making to that thing right now?
12:43 PM · Jan 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF almost everything seems to be in relationships aka connections between nodes.
On meaning - heard recently: what do I want to exist even when I don't exist anymore, and how much of a difference am I making to that thing right now?
12:43 PM · Jan 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752660503845880016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't think politicos like AL are bothered with what's true - so to say "she lied" maybe correct but somewhat misleading. Only voters at the ballot box can correct and extinguish this "tell what's opportune gets me ahead at the moment, never mind if true or false" ideology.
11:50 AM · Jan 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't think politicos like AL are bothered with what's true - so to say "she lied" maybe correct but somewhat misleading. Only voters at the ballot box can correct and extinguish this "tell what's opportune gets me ahead at the moment, never mind if true or false" ideology.
11:50 AM · Jan 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752648409377304766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF they have almost zero incentive to do that (and much dis-incentive - costs, time, effort) when "just ignore everything and LHer will give up and go away eventually" works just as well. And for the few uppity ones there's always option - ramp up charges, threaten forfeiture.
11:01 AM · Jan 31, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF they have almost zero incentive to do that (and much dis-incentive - costs, time, effort) when "just ignore everything and LHer will give up and go away eventually" works just as well. And for the few uppity ones there's always option - ramp up charges, threaten forfeiture.
11:01 AM · Jan 31, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752384732900598230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the jump from "seems the hot models seem have been right(er) all along" meat of the video, to "the end of the world is nigh" towards the end (of video not world). Didn't see how the former implies the latter with any certainty. More arguments needed for such a huge leap.
5:34 PM · Jan 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the jump from "seems the hot models seem have been right(er) all along" meat of the video, to "the end of the world is nigh" towards the end (of video not world). Didn't see how the former implies the latter with any certainty. More arguments needed for such a huge leap.
5:34 PM · Jan 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752335236405334142
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kapitalizam + socijalna zastita funkcionira za mnogu. Za podobro - koga ke se otkrie ke vidime. Dosega i toa osnovnoto (kapitalizam+socijalno) mnozinstvoto zemji se maci da go implementira, ne e taka lesno da se kreira od nula.
2:17 PM · Jan 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kapitalizam + socijalna zastita funkcionira za mnogu. Za podobro - koga ke se otkrie ke vidime. Dosega i toa osnovnoto (kapitalizam+socijalno) mnozinstvoto zemji se maci da go implementira, ne e taka lesno da se kreira od nula.
2:17 PM · Jan 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752334227788456051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vo semejstovto e komunizam - roditelite rabotat kolku mozat, za da im dadat na decata kolku im treba. Mozno e posto ima ogromna najgolema doverba megu clenovite na semejstovo. Koja ja nema kaj grupite na poveke luge.
Brojot na luge vo zaednicata, i doverbata megu niv, e eden faktor koj gi vlijae odnosite megu lugeto vo grupa.
2:13 PM · Jan 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vo semejstovto e komunizam - roditelite rabotat kolku mozat, za da im dadat na decata kolku im treba. Mozno e posto ima ogromna najgolema doverba megu clenovite na semejstovo. Koja ja nema kaj grupite na poveke luge.
Brojot na luge vo zaednicata, i doverbata megu niv, e eden faktor koj gi vlijae odnosite megu lugeto vo grupa.
2:13 PM · Jan 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752275988677865779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Short - we had kids when it was worth it for us, and now we don't have them anymore for the same reason. Long -
When society wants more of something, usually it tries to remove the obstacles preventing it. First - how about asking less in effort and perfection from parents? Next - how about recognizing more the enormous effort (time, money, emotion) that parents put into raising the next generation? Next - economic incentives get a mention, but tbh what's offered is microscopic compared to the real costs. In the UK - pitiful verging on insulting.
10:22 AM · Jan 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Short - we had kids when it was worth it for us, and now we don't have them anymore for the same reason. Long -
When society wants more of something, usually it tries to remove the obstacles preventing it. First - how about asking less in effort and perfection from parents? Next - how about recognizing more the enormous effort (time, money, emotion) that parents put into raising the next generation? Next - economic incentives get a mention, but tbh what's offered is microscopic compared to the real costs. In the UK - pitiful verging on insulting.
10:22 AM · Jan 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1752260353180774778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - would you say 1) amassing power (via capital or otherwise) increases my freedom (==reduces constraints over me) 2) possibly reduces the freedom of other group members 3) maximising my personal freedom at micro level may come at detriment of (a) other members of the group (b) the group as a whole at macro level. Shocker.
9:19 AM · Jan 30, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - would you say 1) amassing power (via capital or otherwise) increases my freedom (==reduces constraints over me) 2) possibly reduces the freedom of other group members 3) maximising my personal freedom at micro level may come at detriment of (a) other members of the group (b) the group as a whole at macro level. Shocker.
9:19 AM · Jan 30, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1751972033846550812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and also this gem by @juliagalef (full video https://youtube.com/watch?v=BrK7X_XlGB8&t=157s)
Image
2:14 PM · Jan 29, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and also this gem by @juliagalef (full video https://youtube.com/watch?v=BrK7X_XlGB8&t=157s)
Image
2:14 PM · Jan 29, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1751572387806503421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that, but your post unfortunately (like many other) mystify & complicate rather than simplify & make it practical for all to make use of this gold nugget of logical reasoning in their thinking. This is how to do better (source @Rootclaim 's https://rootclaim.com/how-rootclaim-works)
Bayes odds illustrated with an example - Bayes odds :
prior x ratio = posterior
P( A) P(B| A) P( A|B)
------- * --------- = ---------
P(¬A) P(B|¬A) P(¬A|B)
11:46 AM · Jan 28, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that, but your post unfortunately (like many other) mystify & complicate rather than simplify & make it practical for all to make use of this gold nugget of logical reasoning in their thinking. This is how to do better (source @Rootclaim 's https://rootclaim.com/how-rootclaim-works)
Bayes odds illustrated with an example - Bayes odds :
prior x ratio = posterior
P( A) P(B| A) P( A|B)
------- * --------- = ---------
P(¬A) P(B|¬A) P(¬A|B)
11:46 AM · Jan 28, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1751263629037474107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aka - more is different, enough quantity is new quality. Amusingly in ML we decide to chop-off extra dimensions after PCA on the account of "the amount of variance is not big enough" (to warrant extra dimension i.e. new quality). With PCA the criterion is "linear transform vanishes the quantity along that quality/dimension". In general we are looking at "general computer program vanishing the extra dimension by predicting it" or articulating the same in terms of "compression".
3:19 PM · Jan 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aka - more is different, enough quantity is new quality. Amusingly in ML we decide to chop-off extra dimensions after PCA on the account of "the amount of variance is not big enough" (to warrant extra dimension i.e. new quality). With PCA the criterion is "linear transform vanishes the quantity along that quality/dimension". In general we are looking at "general computer program vanishing the extra dimension by predicting it" or articulating the same in terms of "compression".
3:19 PM · Jan 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1751215648062025783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Just close them - ignore the nagging suspicion "I may need it": 95% of the time you will not need the tab, and the remaining 5% - you will google it and find it again
12:08 PM · Jan 27, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Just close them - ignore the nagging suspicion "I may need it": 95% of the time you will not need the tab, and the remaining 5% - you will google it and find it again
12:08 PM · Jan 27, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1751022829347151888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This methodology (no personal affiliation) looks reasonable, simple, transparent, easy to update with additional evidence and or apply updated odds for multitude of evidence considered
From rootclaim.com
11:22 PM · Jan 26, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This methodology (no personal affiliation) looks reasonable, simple, transparent, easy to update with additional evidence and or apply updated odds for multitude of evidence considered
From rootclaim.com
11:22 PM · Jan 26, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1750625701546385469
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - MSM will fail for any basic trick repeatedly, they are real gluttons for that. After all the talk of misinformation, they still go forth and amplify for the 101-st time the source that lied 100 times before. RUS dis/info tactics of "flood the field with sh*t" i.e. lie mercilessly in industrial quantities with the strategic goal of annihilating even the possibility of "the truth" existing seems to get them. NB while swallowing it all they still scrupulously maintaining plausible deniability with "... X said so and so". So there must be at some level some doubt about the truth of their reporting.
9:04 PM · Jan 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - MSM will fail for any basic trick repeatedly, they are real gluttons for that. After all the talk of misinformation, they still go forth and amplify for the 101-st time the source that lied 100 times before. RUS dis/info tactics of "flood the field with sh*t" i.e. lie mercilessly in industrial quantities with the strategic goal of annihilating even the possibility of "the truth" existing seems to get them. NB while swallowing it all they still scrupulously maintaining plausible deniability with "... X said so and so". So there must be at some level some doubt about the truth of their reporting.
9:04 PM · Jan 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1750490938118422615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it's a valid criticism that I've seen no convincing arguments against. Us citizen are under surveillance in the modern society (and that's mostly ok/risks are acceptable). We need the same level of surveillance towards the governments to restore balance. All uk.gov business should be public online by default (and gov can close some by request; the opposite of current "secret by default, open some by FOI request). Likewise for lobbyists and similar shaping public policy - need to move to "all in the open" by default. Radical transparency FTW!
12:08 PM · Jan 25, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it's a valid criticism that I've seen no convincing arguments against. Us citizen are under surveillance in the modern society (and that's mostly ok/risks are acceptable). We need the same level of surveillance towards the governments to restore balance. All uk.gov business should be public online by default (and gov can close some by request; the opposite of current "secret by default, open some by FOI request). Likewise for lobbyists and similar shaping public policy - need to move to "all in the open" by default. Radical transparency FTW!
12:08 PM · Jan 25, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1750209312721391909
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally puzzling. Non-stop talk of misinformation and fake news, yet MSM goes on and amplifies for the 101-st time a source that lied 100 times before. One would've thought RU dis/info tactics of "flood the field with sh*t" i.e. lie mercilessly in industrial quantities with the strategic goal of annihilating even the possibility of "the truth" existing, wd be right up the MSM alleyway Re: "misinformation". Scrupulously maintaining plausible deniability while amplifying dis/info is a losing proposition for MSM. 🤦♂️🤷♂️
5:29 PM · Jan 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally puzzling. Non-stop talk of misinformation and fake news, yet MSM goes on and amplifies for the 101-st time a source that lied 100 times before. One would've thought RU dis/info tactics of "flood the field with sh*t" i.e. lie mercilessly in industrial quantities with the strategic goal of annihilating even the possibility of "the truth" existing, wd be right up the MSM alleyway Re: "misinformation". Scrupulously maintaining plausible deniability while amplifying dis/info is a losing proposition for MSM. 🤦♂️🤷♂️
5:29 PM · Jan 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1750197470779371915
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BBC asleep at the wheel - combo of inertia and laziness, willful stupidity, some incompetence... and UK not directly attacked yet (only ex/RUS subjects in the UK). Still - BBC is "to inform & educate", and RUS strategy of "flood the field with sh*t" i.e. lie mercilessly in industrial quantities to annihilate the possibility of truth existing should be right up their alleyway. BBC even make noises Re: "misinformation"... - yet continue to misinform us while scrupulously maintaining plausible deniability ("... - Moscow"). Don't see what BBC gains and see plenty they lose with this "strategy", but 🤷♂️🤷♂️
4:42 PM · Jan 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BBC asleep at the wheel - combo of inertia and laziness, willful stupidity, some incompetence... and UK not directly attacked yet (only ex/RUS subjects in the UK). Still - BBC is "to inform & educate", and RUS strategy of "flood the field with sh*t" i.e. lie mercilessly in industrial quantities to annihilate the possibility of truth existing should be right up their alleyway. BBC even make noises Re: "misinformation"... - yet continue to misinform us while scrupulously maintaining plausible deniability ("... - Moscow"). Don't see what BBC gains and see plenty they lose with this "strategy", but 🤷♂️🤷♂️
4:42 PM · Jan 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1750086405475140060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If there is political will - everything is possible. In extremis - All-1ctry can leave current EU, create new EUv2 minus the 1ctry. EU is union of independent states - what these states decide, it shall be so. In the end - the member states make the EU laws. If they really really want to kick-out someone - they can find the way.
9:21 AM · Jan 24, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If there is political will - everything is possible. In extremis - All-1ctry can leave current EU, create new EUv2 minus the 1ctry. EU is union of independent states - what these states decide, it shall be so. In the end - the member states make the EU laws. If they really really want to kick-out someone - they can find the way.
9:21 AM · Jan 24, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1749882898382045360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are pushing at an open door really - people like to be scared (heck - people routinely pay $$$ to be scared), and media loves loves loves scare stories. Match made in heaven!
7:52 PM · Jan 23, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are pushing at an open door really - people like to be scared (heck - people routinely pay $$$ to be scared), and media loves loves loves scare stories. Match made in heaven!
7:52 PM · Jan 23, 2024
[[[ NOTSENT
People are instinctively communist b/c we have all been children and raised in a family, and in a family "we get according to our needs, we contribute according to our abilities". Academics are instinctively anti-market, b/c there is not real market in ideas (+hard to measure results & assign rewards). Happens with businessmen too - when turned politicians, they assume country ought to be run like a business. Usually that fails too. Peoples' thinking is largely influenced by their experiences. That's an OK thing tbh (& preferable to e.g. "hearing the voice of god"). Just that it's insufficient. Like there is not a universal cure for all ills (regardless of diagnosis), there is not a silver bullet societal organization that universally works for all people/geographies/times. On empirical evidence of last 250 years, more freedom - of thought, speech, action, trade etc - seems better. But little else to go on.
]]]
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1749465583379259448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and plus Excel has the dependency graph recompute engine with formulae and references! Take that Postgresql!! 😂
4:14 PM · Jan 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and plus Excel has the dependency graph recompute engine with formulae and references! Take that Postgresql!! 😂
4:14 PM · Jan 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1749434663737700838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 👏👍 A 2D rows-columns rectangular grid is the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient for 1) an R/Matlab *matrix*, pandas*frame* 2) an Excel spread/*sheet* 3) an SQL *table* 4) a (directed) *graph/network* of nodes & connections.
2:11 PM · Jan 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 👏👍 A 2D rows-columns rectangular grid is the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient for 1) an R/Matlab *matrix*, pandas*frame* 2) an Excel spread/*sheet* 3) an SQL *table* 4) a (directed) *graph/network* of nodes & connections.
2:11 PM · Jan 22, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1749139246869336188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, disagree there. N=1 means giving 100% to my personal favorite 1, disregarding the remaining 999. Tad egoistic that imo. In contrast, when (statistically) considering all N=1000 attention is given to all 1000, no one is left out, they are treated equally.
6:37 PM · Jan 21, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, disagree there. N=1 means giving 100% to my personal favorite 1, disregarding the remaining 999. Tad egoistic that imo. In contrast, when (statistically) considering all N=1000 attention is given to all 1000, no one is left out, they are treated equally.
6:37 PM · Jan 21, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1748746034174406842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The problem for PL is at the time they find out - it will be too late (c.f. 1-Sep-1939 and aftermath). Don't see what's the problem for Poland+Balts developing home grown nuclear deterrent. Israel faced with similar existential threat (=much bigger neighbors hostile & intent on its destruction) with much fewer resources (money, people, material) did it within <10 years. France facing no real existential threat did it too. It's just lack of political will and leadership tbh.
4:35 PM · Jan 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The problem for PL is at the time they find out - it will be too late (c.f. 1-Sep-1939 and aftermath). Don't see what's the problem for Poland+Balts developing home grown nuclear deterrent. Israel faced with similar existential threat (=much bigger neighbors hostile & intent on its destruction) with much fewer resources (money, people, material) did it within <10 years. France facing no real existential threat did it too. It's just lack of political will and leadership tbh.
4:35 PM · Jan 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1748729280492716118
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The flag design is very good tbh - seen much worse.
3:28 PM · Jan 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The flag design is very good tbh - seen much worse.
3:28 PM · Jan 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1748686270232989707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well said on the property rights. Yes - we all agree they are useful and lead to human flourishing. However, let's not delude kid ourselves - they are not "intrinsic" or "natural" in any way. They are human made constructs, to channel our behavior while living in large groups together with other humans. Nothing natural about them. Natural laws (e.g. like gravity) have no need for any legislation or social contracts - they just work all the time for everyone and everything (e.g. the apple falls to earth) and that's it. Wish they were natural! Then human groups would be better off (on the empirical evidence available), as there would be one hoop less to jump over on the journey to prosperity.
12:37 PM · Jan 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well said on the property rights. Yes - we all agree they are useful and lead to human flourishing. However, let's not delude kid ourselves - they are not "intrinsic" or "natural" in any way. They are human made constructs, to channel our behavior while living in large groups together with other humans. Nothing natural about them. Natural laws (e.g. like gravity) have no need for any legislation or social contracts - they just work all the time for everyone and everything (e.g. the apple falls to earth) and that's it. Wish they were natural! Then human groups would be better off (on the empirical evidence available), as there would be one hoop less to jump over on the journey to prosperity.
12:37 PM · Jan 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1748496641433157993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa -
> Most recent language models, have Epoch = 1. Consequently, such Models “see” a Token in the Training dataset only once.
... is that another mystery resolved (humans=learn from seeing data once; machines=need to see every data point multiple times) by the "unreasonable effectiveness of ever more data"??
Quote
James Campbell @jam3scampbell · Jan 19
Replying to @pietrozullo
https://medium.com/@georgeanil/visualizing-size-of-large-language-models-ec576caa5557
12:04 AM · Jan 20, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa -
> Most recent language models, have Epoch = 1. Consequently, such Models “see” a Token in the Training dataset only once.
... is that another mystery resolved (humans=learn from seeing data once; machines=need to see every data point multiple times) by the "unreasonable effectiveness of ever more data"??
Quote
James Campbell @jam3scampbell · Jan 19
Replying to @pietrozullo
https://medium.com/@georgeanil/visualizing-size-of-large-language-models-ec576caa5557
12:04 AM · Jan 20, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747993162524602479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 me too 😊 Ideally we'd have tick boxes and select any/all from post/reply/forward/quote combos incl/excl mute/words filters for a set of accounts following/followers/group_members.
2:43 PM · Jan 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 me too 😊 Ideally we'd have tick boxes and select any/all from post/reply/forward/quote combos incl/excl mute/words filters for a set of accounts following/followers/group_members.
2:43 PM · Jan 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747937669093437480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use thematic lists (e.g. History, Science, Politics, Art etc) to try shape the feeds in a particular direction. It mostly works, but it is an additional effort putting accounts in lists. The UI is unhelpful so makes using X that way needlessly harder than it needs to be.
11:03 AM · Jan 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use thematic lists (e.g. History, Science, Politics, Art etc) to try shape the feeds in a particular direction. It mostly works, but it is an additional effort putting accounts in lists. The UI is unhelpful so makes using X that way needlessly harder than it needs to be.
11:03 AM · Jan 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747918026643484928
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ispusti "samo" :-) - "ne sme zemja vo koja vireat SAMO duduci i boldrici". Ima sekakvi - i pametni i glupi deca, kogo kolku prirodata (ili gospod, ili random chance, etc ... - koj kako si misli ili saka) mu dale. Taka e sekade - ne e MK isklucok tuka. I za IQ i za PISA i za sekoj drug test - obrazovanie, ucenje, treniranje, razvoj na talentot (kakov/kolkav i da e) stalno pomagaat, kako sto za muskuli i sport taka i za mozok, nema razlika. Ne e ili-ili edno ili drugo (nature v.s. nurture), tuku e i-i: i talent i trening/razvoj. Veruvam se ova go znaete i mnogu podobro od mene - ama da se najdam vo muabet :-)
9:45 AM · Jan 18, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ispusti "samo" :-) - "ne sme zemja vo koja vireat SAMO duduci i boldrici". Ima sekakvi - i pametni i glupi deca, kogo kolku prirodata (ili gospod, ili random chance, etc ... - koj kako si misli ili saka) mu dale. Taka e sekade - ne e MK isklucok tuka. I za IQ i za PISA i za sekoj drug test - obrazovanie, ucenje, treniranje, razvoj na talentot (kakov/kolkav i da e) stalno pomagaat, kako sto za muskuli i sport taka i za mozok, nema razlika. Ne e ili-ili edno ili drugo (nature v.s. nurture), tuku e i-i: i talent i trening/razvoj. Veruvam se ova go znaete i mnogu podobro od mene - ama da se najdam vo muabet :-)
9:45 AM · Jan 18, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747731747985297414
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are the ultimate deterrent. Say if Iran invaded Pakistan, and things were going good for IR and bad for PK, and PK capital was about to be captured and the country taken over - then the state of PK for self-preservation purposes would nuke IR. They have nothing to lose.
9:24 PM · Jan 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are the ultimate deterrent. Say if Iran invaded Pakistan, and things were going good for IR and bad for PK, and PK capital was about to be captured and the country taken over - then the state of PK for self-preservation purposes would nuke IR. They have nothing to lose.
9:24 PM · Jan 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747551573276778547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
because every other option is worse - that's why
9:28 AM · Jan 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
because every other option is worse - that's why
9:28 AM · Jan 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747538806520074720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't understand why they didn't offer a "Turbo Switch" - a mechanical on/off where on=new speed, off=1MHz - like the latter PC-s had.
8:38 AM · Jan 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't understand why they didn't offer a "Turbo Switch" - a mechanical on/off where on=new speed, off=1MHz - like the latter PC-s had.
8:38 AM · Jan 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747528683135332754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. "Minority or 90%" - yeah IDK, ideally would like to see numbers how many. Anecdotally comparing motorway driving in France to UK I was surprised by the difference. 2. "Selfish" - ofc they are selfish, everyone is selfish (and selfless too) to some extent. That's ok. Turning public policy into morality plays is rarely conductive to good policy. Our laws are not made with the assumption we are perfect or angels - and that's a good thing. 3) "MORE lane changes" - IDK a traffic engineer may know more, I'm thinking "it depends". It depends on whether they are a minority or a majority, and how big one at that.
7:58 AM · Jan 17, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. "Minority or 90%" - yeah IDK, ideally would like to see numbers how many. Anecdotally comparing motorway driving in France to UK I was surprised by the difference. 2. "Selfish" - ofc they are selfish, everyone is selfish (and selfless too) to some extent. That's ok. Turning public policy into morality plays is rarely conductive to good policy. Our laws are not made with the assumption we are perfect or angels - and that's a good thing. 3) "MORE lane changes" - IDK a traffic engineer may know more, I'm thinking "it depends". It depends on whether they are a minority or a majority, and how big one at that.
7:58 AM · Jan 17, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747348418064691489
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not an argument that. For own education: common online debating tricks is 1) take opponents' argument 2) take it to the extreme 3) say "well that's obv ridiculous". Obv we should not review the law on murder b/c murders happen. Obv if 90% of the drivers in the UK are hogging the middle lane, maybe we should think about changing something (e.g. US laws are a bit different, and they still manage to drive). Obv murder and hogging the middle lane are transgressions of different severity. There are usually gradations in this world - few things maybe 0/1 true/false good/bad, but most things are shades of gray. Like think of them being on the scale of 0 to a 100. Murder - very bad 100, hogging the lane - mild transgression 5.
8:01 PM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not an argument that. For own education: common online debating tricks is 1) take opponents' argument 2) take it to the extreme 3) say "well that's obv ridiculous". Obv we should not review the law on murder b/c murders happen. Obv if 90% of the drivers in the UK are hogging the middle lane, maybe we should think about changing something (e.g. US laws are a bit different, and they still manage to drive). Obv murder and hogging the middle lane are transgressions of different severity. There are usually gradations in this world - few things maybe 0/1 true/false good/bad, but most things are shades of gray. Like think of them being on the scale of 0 to a 100. Murder - very bad 100, hogging the lane - mild transgression 5.
8:01 PM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747314819001201098
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Apparently "... there are 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words ..." there 😁😁😁 - by Ha-Joon Chang in "The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy"
youtube.com
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlUl-4CxEsikR7mvMVUjIri0&index=2&t=360s
5:48 PM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Apparently "... there are 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words ..." there 😁😁😁 - by Ha-Joon Chang in "The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy"
youtube.com
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlUl-4CxEsikR7mvMVUjIri0&index=2&t=360s
5:48 PM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747302312370987480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I try diligently not to be. That's how I notice that compliance is low. Compliant in the UK are a minority and it creates tension with the (non-compliant) majority. Compare-contrast with say driving in France: there non-compliance is a source of tension as most are compliant. But it's not important what I personally do or don't do. My point is: if a law is not obeyed by a vast majority, maybe it's worth looking at it.
4:58 PM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I try diligently not to be. That's how I notice that compliance is low. Compliant in the UK are a minority and it creates tension with the (non-compliant) majority. Compare-contrast with say driving in France: there non-compliance is a source of tension as most are compliant. But it's not important what I personally do or don't do. My point is: if a law is not obeyed by a vast majority, maybe it's worth looking at it.
4:58 PM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747268721608151172
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have France (where I noticed drivers stick to the right lane rule much more than in the UK) and US (where undertaking is allowed) to compare and contrast. My observation is that in the UK this Highway code rule is broken about 90% of the time. If a law is broken routinely - maybe it needs a rethink. Aside - I know driving brings the worst in some people, but looks like in you writing about driving brings out spicy language too. Please refrain from it if you possibly can. Makes any discussion about best ways forward needlessly harder.
2:45 PM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have France (where I noticed drivers stick to the right lane rule much more than in the UK) and US (where undertaking is allowed) to compare and contrast. My observation is that in the UK this Highway code rule is broken about 90% of the time. If a law is broken routinely - maybe it needs a rethink. Aside - I know driving brings the worst in some people, but looks like in you writing about driving brings out spicy language too. Please refrain from it if you possibly can. Makes any discussion about best ways forward needlessly harder.
2:45 PM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747265307205665224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But ofc :-) - almost every statement referencing ~100K people will leave some out. The fact gov action solves "only 95%" and not 100% of the problem is not a good argument against. It's not either-or but and-and :-)
2:31 PM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But ofc :-) - almost every statement referencing ~100K people will leave some out. The fact gov action solves "only 95%" and not 100% of the problem is not a good argument against. It's not either-or but and-and :-)
2:31 PM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747231897694953561
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the highway code needs updating. Maybe need a risk assessment update about the additional risk generated by additional lanes changes, the additional risks of the 1st lane (worse road surface, very slow vehicles/esp at night) versus other parameters of interest (throughput etc). Maybe a traffic engineer cd point to papers or studies on this.
12:18 PM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the highway code needs updating. Maybe need a risk assessment update about the additional risk generated by additional lanes changes, the additional risks of the 1st lane (worse road surface, very slow vehicles/esp at night) versus other parameters of interest (throughput etc). Maybe a traffic engineer cd point to papers or studies on this.
12:18 PM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747228350802760090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se za ubavina - "Image is everything" ;-) I jas mislam deka drzavnosto zname e nenormalno dobar dizajn. Luge na ulica sto pojma nemaa ni za M od Makedonija na OI London 2012 na ulica se najdoa motivirani da prasaat "koja zemja e ova, mnogu e ubavo znameto" koga go vidoa drugar sto go vee. Dopolnitelno mi e kul deka ne e 100% sigurna genezata na konecnata verzija. :-)
12:04 PM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se za ubavina - "Image is everything" ;-) I jas mislam deka drzavnosto zname e nenormalno dobar dizajn. Luge na ulica sto pojma nemaa ni za M od Makedonija na OI London 2012 na ulica se najdoa motivirani da prasaat "koja zemja e ova, mnogu e ubavo znameto" koga go vidoa drugar sto go vee. Dopolnitelno mi e kul deka ne e 100% sigurna genezata na konecnata verzija. :-)
12:04 PM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747226682618982595
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - that'd be expecting too much of the political class. They rule the country regardless - why change? Not new, known at least since C.P.Snow's "Two cultures". Not a solution in sight afaics. BoJo reciting poetry bamboozles the politicos, his clown-jester persona does the same for the electorate. A numerate non-ignoramus is easily dismissed by Homer Simpson-esque chorus of "boooring!!". 🤷♂️🤷♂️
11:57 AM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - that'd be expecting too much of the political class. They rule the country regardless - why change? Not new, known at least since C.P.Snow's "Two cultures". Not a solution in sight afaics. BoJo reciting poetry bamboozles the politicos, his clown-jester persona does the same for the electorate. A numerate non-ignoramus is easily dismissed by Homer Simpson-esque chorus of "boooring!!". 🤷♂️🤷♂️
11:57 AM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747214521305903592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, doznav. 😢 Da - neka se zivi i zdravi potomstvoto. Site ke umreme - sme kako androidite vo Blade Runner, samo datumot ne si go znaeme. Po nashki "from dust you came, to dust you shall return".
11:09 AM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, doznav. 😢 Da - neka se zivi i zdravi potomstvoto. Site ke umreme - sme kako androidite vo Blade Runner, samo datumot ne si go znaeme. Po nashki "from dust you came, to dust you shall return".
11:09 AM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1747170071401677265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Се пресели?? Мислам Петрула има братучетка што живее во гратчево. ("вехчо??" - ако е тоа истото)
8:13 AM · Jan 16, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Се пресели?? Мислам Петрула има братучетка што живее во гратчево. ("вехчо??" - ако е тоа истото)
8:13 AM · Jan 16, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746697733140812044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and sometime an invented alibi to justify their own shitty conduct too (in their own eyes first and foremost).
12:56 AM · Jan 15, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and sometime an invented alibi to justify their own shitty conduct too (in their own eyes first and foremost).
12:56 AM · Jan 15, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746592331145334828
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Covid provided natural experiment for UK recently. Once C19 was considered a threat to the nation, the UK gov solved homelessness within a fortnight. On the opposite side - gov also decided to make people homeless again once Covid passed! And so that happened too. So we have it as watertight as it can possibly be in realms of public policy (almost at Koch's postulates level): homelessness can be solved fairly quickly and cheaply - once a government decides to solve it.
5:57 PM · Jan 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Covid provided natural experiment for UK recently. Once C19 was considered a threat to the nation, the UK gov solved homelessness within a fortnight. On the opposite side - gov also decided to make people homeless again once Covid passed! And so that happened too. So we have it as watertight as it can possibly be in realms of public policy (almost at Koch's postulates level): homelessness can be solved fairly quickly and cheaply - once a government decides to solve it.
5:57 PM · Jan 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746556912957546896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When out&about typically I can't carry a laptop in my pocket. Then - smartphone is x1000 times better than nothing! Last "laptop in backpack" was 7" eeepc 701 skiing on a mountain while providing trading support/troubleshooting. (narrator: support was indeed needed & was really provided) Tablets I find mostly useless - smartphone functionality provided at laptop size not a winner for me.
3:36 PM · Jan 14, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When out&about typically I can't carry a laptop in my pocket. Then - smartphone is x1000 times better than nothing! Last "laptop in backpack" was 7" eeepc 701 skiing on a mountain while providing trading support/troubleshooting. (narrator: support was indeed needed & was really provided) Tablets I find mostly useless - smartphone functionality provided at laptop size not a winner for me.
3:36 PM · Jan 14, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746214459746480301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unfortunately - not. 😩 That is a Professor of something or other writing. 😱 This is like Feynman saying coming live - "the easiest person to fool is oneself". (and "the 1st person to fool" - if I may add) Depressing reading - his TL. 😢
4:55 PM · Jan 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unfortunately - not. 😩 That is a Professor of something or other writing. 😱 This is like Feynman saying coming live - "the easiest person to fool is oneself". (and "the 1st person to fool" - if I may add) Depressing reading - his TL. 😢
4:55 PM · Jan 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746179344467132775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transaprency FTW: make all http://UK.gov business (central gov, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of secret by default, and only partially opened to us suffering citizens on request and piecemeal via laborious FOI process. Yes people-in-power (ministers, civil servants, CEO-s) will try to get smart and 1. Obfuscate (wink-wink-nod-nod, double speak) and 2. Hide ("self-destructing" WhatsApp messages) but these are easier problems than the blanket secrecy, and can be addressed in turns. First things first - radical transparency FTW!! :-)
Quote
Financial Times @FT · Jan 13
The UK has an accountability problem — just look at the Post Office https://on.ft.com/3tQ4Sjk | opinion
2:36 PM · Jan 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transaprency FTW: make all http://UK.gov business (central gov, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of secret by default, and only partially opened to us suffering citizens on request and piecemeal via laborious FOI process. Yes people-in-power (ministers, civil servants, CEO-s) will try to get smart and 1. Obfuscate (wink-wink-nod-nod, double speak) and 2. Hide ("self-destructing" WhatsApp messages) but these are easier problems than the blanket secrecy, and can be addressed in turns. First things first - radical transparency FTW!! :-)
Quote
Financial Times @FT · Jan 13
The UK has an accountability problem — just look at the Post Office https://on.ft.com/3tQ4Sjk | opinion
2:36 PM · Jan 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746177997982384499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's one factor (quality), not the only one. Next step is to quantify that and other factors (qualities), so to be able to compute derive (aggregate/marginalize/average) non-obvious theses that require quantified chain of reasoning. Exemplified by http://rooclaim.com e.g. https://rootclaim.com/analysis/What-is-the-source-of-COVID-19-SARS-CoV-2
and applicable to any investigation. Works anywhere we collect always imperfect evidence and have to weight competing explanations. I'm surprised this is not mandatory training for at least judges if not all barristers and solicitors too! Numeracy FTW!! :-) Unsurprisingly it's not that complicated while it's incredibly useful and Bayes gets a mention somewhere too. ;-)
2:30 PM · Jan 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's one factor (quality), not the only one. Next step is to quantify that and other factors (qualities), so to be able to compute derive (aggregate/marginalize/average) non-obvious theses that require quantified chain of reasoning. Exemplified by http://rooclaim.com e.g. https://rootclaim.com/analysis/What-is-the-source-of-COVID-19-SARS-CoV-2
and applicable to any investigation. Works anywhere we collect always imperfect evidence and have to weight competing explanations. I'm surprised this is not mandatory training for at least judges if not all barristers and solicitors too! Numeracy FTW!! :-) Unsurprisingly it's not that complicated while it's incredibly useful and Bayes gets a mention somewhere too. ;-)
2:30 PM · Jan 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746161460462387422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transaprency FTW: make all http://UK.gov business (government, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of: secret by default, and only partially opened to us the public on request and piecemeal via FOI request.
1:25 PM · Jan 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transaprency FTW: make all http://UK.gov business (government, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of: secret by default, and only partially opened to us the public on request and piecemeal via FOI request.
1:25 PM · Jan 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1746161460462387422
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transaprency FTW: make all http://UK.gov business (government, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of: secret by default, and only partially opened to us the public on request and piecemeal via FOI request.
1:25 PM · Jan 13, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transaprency FTW: make all http://UK.gov business (government, civil service, local gov ...) public on the web by default. Reverse the current assumption of: secret by default, and only partially opened to us the public on request and piecemeal via FOI request.
1:25 PM · Jan 13, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745778452513353897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only full home grown nuclear deterrent of Poland+Baltic states (prev Ukraine - but that options is lost now) can short circuit our spiraling into WW3 imo. We are not even sleepwalking - we are going in awake with eyes wide open, but lacking the will to imagine ways out of it.
12:03 PM · Jan 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only full home grown nuclear deterrent of Poland+Baltic states (prev Ukraine - but that options is lost now) can short circuit our spiraling into WW3 imo. We are not even sleepwalking - we are going in awake with eyes wide open, but lacking the will to imagine ways out of it.
12:03 PM · Jan 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745774618869195080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are onto something there with the "...genocide but not of the Nazi- or -Rwanda type". Maybe not a total physical destruction, but enough plus destruction of resources, culture, elites etc so to destroy the possibility of a nation and nationhood. Maybe we need better words distinguishing between the types. The fact that one or both sides are sometimes their worst enemies and the situation seems hopeless with no solution in sight (solution requires 2 willing sides, atm there are 0) does not distract from your (very lucid) observation about the nature of what is happening.
11:47 AM · Jan 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are onto something there with the "...genocide but not of the Nazi- or -Rwanda type". Maybe not a total physical destruction, but enough plus destruction of resources, culture, elites etc so to destroy the possibility of a nation and nationhood. Maybe we need better words distinguishing between the types. The fact that one or both sides are sometimes their worst enemies and the situation seems hopeless with no solution in sight (solution requires 2 willing sides, atm there are 0) does not distract from your (very lucid) observation about the nature of what is happening.
11:47 AM · Jan 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745614282123890861
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now superimpose the price of the electricity we customers pay on that same graph please. Our bills are at all time high! Of course the consumption will come down. Low prices promised are nowhere to be seen. 😩😡
1:10 AM · Jan 12, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now superimpose the price of the electricity we customers pay on that same graph please. Our bills are at all time high! Of course the consumption will come down. Low prices promised are nowhere to be seen. 😩😡
1:10 AM · Jan 12, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745572599294210536
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I maybe wrong - but think HS2 was also summoned into existence by an Act of Parliament? To very different result now v.s. then. So seems that's not the silver bullet? TBF idk what is the silver bullet, why they could with resources a fraction of today's, and we can't.
10:25 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I maybe wrong - but think HS2 was also summoned into existence by an Act of Parliament? To very different result now v.s. then. So seems that's not the silver bullet? TBF idk what is the silver bullet, why they could with resources a fraction of today's, and we can't.
10:25 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745519607073357968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the rule should be: no agenda plan for the meeting emailed before the meeting by the person demanding my time => I skip the meeting. Have not achieved this platonic ideal myself yet. TBD
6:54 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the rule should be: no agenda plan for the meeting emailed before the meeting by the person demanding my time => I skip the meeting. Have not achieved this platonic ideal myself yet. TBD
6:54 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745518387680203200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt it is about lack of knowledge. They lack the will. Then the question becomes: why does the system select for incompetent evil clowns to be put in positions of such great power? And how do we make the system better?
6:49 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt it is about lack of knowledge. They lack the will. Then the question becomes: why does the system select for incompetent evil clowns to be put in positions of such great power? And how do we make the system better?
6:49 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745494259589939668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... at some point prob Grenfell/cladding scandal, Buildings regulations/safety (lack of), Leasehold MA+FH abuses. UK gov+parliament hoard power achieve enormous power concentration, then do nothing with it even while their electors are calling for action for years. Crazy lazy
Quote
Tom Peck @tompeck · Jan 11
Good morning, please take the lift to the fifth floor for the national disgrace of your choice.
Image
5:13 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... at some point prob Grenfell/cladding scandal, Buildings regulations/safety (lack of), Leasehold MA+FH abuses. UK gov+parliament hoard power achieve enormous power concentration, then do nothing with it even while their electors are calling for action for years. Crazy lazy
Quote
Tom Peck @tompeck · Jan 11
Good morning, please take the lift to the fifth floor for the national disgrace of your choice.
Image
5:13 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745492272043393319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS maybe - but they way you're acting is public is like you think "the opposite of what I think is untruth == truth". For every 1 untruth here there are another 999 untruths and only 1 truth. So assuming that the opposite of any one of these 1000 lies is true is just wrong ffs.
5:06 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBS maybe - but they way you're acting is public is like you think "the opposite of what I think is untruth == truth". For every 1 untruth here there are another 999 untruths and only 1 truth. So assuming that the opposite of any one of these 1000 lies is true is just wrong ffs.
5:06 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745459395528659243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zatoa sto ultimativnite lideri na proektite (koga prv pat se voveduva) i operacijata (posle voveduvanje) koi se politicari - minister, premier i sl se 1) kompjuterski nepismeni 2) organizaciono nepismeni 3) ne se kazneti od nivnite birachi t.e. se re/izbrani i otkako ke se pokazat kako nesposobni.
2:55 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zatoa sto ultimativnite lideri na proektite (koga prv pat se voveduva) i operacijata (posle voveduvanje) koi se politicari - minister, premier i sl se 1) kompjuterski nepismeni 2) organizaciono nepismeni 3) ne se kazneti od nivnite birachi t.e. se re/izbrani i otkako ke se pokazat kako nesposobni.
2:55 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745437983455518859
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koga grcka pravoslavna crkva premina na potocniot kalendar? Ako toa go napravila vo godina X, znaci nivnata crkva e barem >=(2024-X) godini pred makedonskata crkva. Po vreme na revolucijata za nacionalno osloboduvanje se 115 god (=1945-1830) ponapred.
1:30 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koga grcka pravoslavna crkva premina na potocniot kalendar? Ako toa go napravila vo godina X, znaci nivnata crkva e barem >=(2024-X) godini pred makedonskata crkva. Po vreme na revolucijata za nacionalno osloboduvanje se 115 god (=1945-1830) ponapred.
1:30 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745436593098227768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - so there are trade-offs. Curious how were the railways we are all using daily in the UK (I'm around London) constructed back in the day. (Victorian? post-WW2?) What was the process then, how were the trade-offs handled?
1:24 PM · Jan 11, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - so there are trade-offs. Curious how were the railways we are all using daily in the UK (I'm around London) constructed back in the day. (Victorian? post-WW2?) What was the process then, how were the trade-offs handled?
1:24 PM · Jan 11, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745138369149948216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would maybe AlphaZero that both 1) generates hypothesis and 2) scores them for goodness (and puts them to the ultimate test - by acting on them) go more towards "generates new knowledge" in a way you see knowledge?
5:39 PM · Jan 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would maybe AlphaZero that both 1) generates hypothesis and 2) scores them for goodness (and puts them to the ultimate test - by acting on them) go more towards "generates new knowledge" in a way you see knowledge?
5:39 PM · Jan 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745135563693293673
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - 1. Wind & solar are unreliable by design => require backup by design. 2. Reliables options are: coal (dirty - so no), nuclear (feared & hated - so no) => leaves natural gas as the least bad option 3. EU shutdown its own gas fields (e.g. Groningen) and banned fracking => import of NG from Russia became the default.
5:28 PM · Jan 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - 1. Wind & solar are unreliable by design => require backup by design. 2. Reliables options are: coal (dirty - so no), nuclear (feared & hated - so no) => leaves natural gas as the least bad option 3. EU shutdown its own gas fields (e.g. Groningen) and banned fracking => import of NG from Russia became the default.
5:28 PM · Jan 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745063111642452116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Step 1. Europe pays euros Russia in exchange for the natural gas exported from Russia to Europe. Step 2. Russia uses those euros to re/build its military. Step 3. Russia uses its newly re/built army to invade Eastern Europe.
12:40 PM · Jan 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Step 1. Europe pays euros Russia in exchange for the natural gas exported from Russia to Europe. Step 2. Russia uses those euros to re/build its military. Step 3. Russia uses its newly re/built army to invade Eastern Europe.
12:40 PM · Jan 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745055535391518737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 top marks for the term #belarusbrexit
12:10 PM · Jan 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 top marks for the term #belarusbrexit
12:10 PM · Jan 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1745040186130460789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - more like "truncated Y-axis crime committed" there. The <10% relative difference over time probably for real (e.g @ 40yo v.s. @ 70yo), but - so what? The men-women difference @ ANYyo ("gender gap") looks like noise to me - more likely than not it does not exist.
11:09 AM · Jan 10, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - more like "truncated Y-axis crime committed" there. The <10% relative difference over time probably for real (e.g @ 40yo v.s. @ 70yo), but - so what? The men-women difference @ ANYyo ("gender gap") looks like noise to me - more likely than not it does not exist.
11:09 AM · Jan 10, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1744807885249348053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - and from the horses' mouth "little feudalism will do you good" 😱😨🤮 -
Quote
Lord Moylan @danielmgmoylan · Nov 30, 2023
There’s a lot to be said for leasehold - and, as a Conservative, one can see some merit in those bits of feudalism that have proven so hardy as to survive. Maybe there’s a good reason for it. twitter.com/LordRoyKennedy…
7:46 PM · Jan 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - and from the horses' mouth "little feudalism will do you good" 😱😨🤮 -
Quote
Lord Moylan @danielmgmoylan · Nov 30, 2023
There’s a lot to be said for leasehold - and, as a Conservative, one can see some merit in those bits of feudalism that have proven so hardy as to survive. Maybe there’s a good reason for it. twitter.com/LordRoyKennedy…
7:46 PM · Jan 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1744737325081616729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very handy, also this -
# rsync make use of hard links
BACKUP="/mnt/mnt2/BACKUP"
TARGET="${BACKUP}/host/20240109"
RSYNC_CMD="rsync -avPh -vaxAX --delete --ignore-errors --sparse --link-dest=${BACKUP}/host/current"
(set -x; mkdir -p "$TARGET")
# backup
(set -x; $RSYNC_CMD / "$TARGET"/)
(set -x; $RSYNC_CMD --exclude 'opt/swapfile*' --exclude 'opt/cache/' /opt "$TARGET"/)
...
# point current to the newly created latest
rm -v current && ln -s "$TARGET" current
3:06 PM · Jan 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very handy, also this -
# rsync make use of hard links
BACKUP="/mnt/mnt2/BACKUP"
TARGET="${BACKUP}/host/20240109"
RSYNC_CMD="rsync -avPh -vaxAX --delete --ignore-errors --sparse --link-dest=${BACKUP}/host/current"
(set -x; mkdir -p "$TARGET")
# backup
(set -x; $RSYNC_CMD / "$TARGET"/)
(set -x; $RSYNC_CMD --exclude 'opt/swapfile*' --exclude 'opt/cache/' /opt "$TARGET"/)
...
# point current to the newly created latest
rm -v current && ln -s "$TARGET" current
3:06 PM · Jan 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1744692326998401075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The IT contribution in governance will be 1) parliamentary processes of legislation drafting, updating and maintenance all online all fairly public and deliberations wiki-like (easy-to-moderate) 2) total surveillance of the individual allows for ever more precise organization; rotten apples detected earlier & thrown out of the barrel before it spoils; this is a well as the larger the number of people the more complex the society => the greater the risk (due to inter-connectivity) => threshold percent bad actors of societal breakdown gets lower (already happening - we're all under surveillance by default) 3) radical transparency on the part of the state towards the individual - all state civil service processes open published on the web by default, secret only by request; opposite of how things are atm - all closed by default, only partial open via laborious FOI requests (very hard - the state will fight this tooth and nail, as it's a source of great power to them and great weakness to us citizens).
12:07 PM · Jan 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The IT contribution in governance will be 1) parliamentary processes of legislation drafting, updating and maintenance all online all fairly public and deliberations wiki-like (easy-to-moderate) 2) total surveillance of the individual allows for ever more precise organization; rotten apples detected earlier & thrown out of the barrel before it spoils; this is a well as the larger the number of people the more complex the society => the greater the risk (due to inter-connectivity) => threshold percent bad actors of societal breakdown gets lower (already happening - we're all under surveillance by default) 3) radical transparency on the part of the state towards the individual - all state civil service processes open published on the web by default, secret only by request; opposite of how things are atm - all closed by default, only partial open via laborious FOI requests (very hard - the state will fight this tooth and nail, as it's a source of great power to them and great weakness to us citizens).
12:07 PM · Jan 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1744678929057624218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - I use gmail for everything and have not had my email thrashed yet? Don't even use the alternate userX+signupY@gmail.com email + followup filtering trick much. On the rare occasion when something goes through I "Report Spam" on the web GUI, it notices if it's a list I "subscribed" to, offers to unsubscribe me, I click "Yes please". For regular non-spam updates (e.g. Notifications) I do "Filter messages like these" to "tag" them aka "move them away form Inbox into their own folder" and apply that to all existing messages in my Inbox. Other than that - everything stays in the Inbox.
11:14 AM · Jan 9, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - I use gmail for everything and have not had my email thrashed yet? Don't even use the alternate userX+signupY@gmail.com email + followup filtering trick much. On the rare occasion when something goes through I "Report Spam" on the web GUI, it notices if it's a list I "subscribed" to, offers to unsubscribe me, I click "Yes please". For regular non-spam updates (e.g. Notifications) I do "Filter messages like these" to "tag" them aka "move them away form Inbox into their own folder" and apply that to all existing messages in my Inbox. Other than that - everything stays in the Inbox.
11:14 AM · Jan 9, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1743638928689684861
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that, liked it. You may like this
From sciphijournal.org
https://www.sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/
2:21 PM · Jan 6, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that, liked it. You may like this
From sciphijournal.org
https://www.sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/
2:21 PM · Jan 6, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1743203778805776449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Therewere and will always be portion of people/us that complain and whine at any occasion for any number of reasons. Previously we were not as aware of the whine level but now we know.
Quote
Max Mosley @_maxmosley · Jan 4
Update: objections have now been submitted to making this permanent, and some of them are WILD.
My favourite include:
• it competes with the Church
• competition is unfair
• people don't conceal where the food comes from (!)
• it's next to a statue twitter.com/_maxmosley/sta…
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9:32 AM · Jan 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Therewere and will always be portion of people/us that complain and whine at any occasion for any number of reasons. Previously we were not as aware of the whine level but now we know.
Quote
Max Mosley @_maxmosley · Jan 4
Update: objections have now been submitted to making this permanent, and some of them are WILD.
My favourite include:
• it competes with the Church
• competition is unfair
• people don't conceal where the food comes from (!)
• it's next to a statue twitter.com/_maxmosley/sta…
Show more
Image
Image
Image
9:32 AM · Jan 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1743201931139448930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if this refers to a particular current event, but: I think the level of refereeing is very good, better than in other European leagues, and also much better than it was in the past. There's a good older article (Guardian?) discussing that and the professionalisation.
9:25 AM · Jan 5, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if this refers to a particular current event, but: I think the level of refereeing is very good, better than in other European leagues, and also much better than it was in the past. There's a good older article (Guardian?) discussing that and the professionalisation.
9:25 AM · Jan 5, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1742267783134499081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - we can all sleep soundly with that excellent assurance then. 😆 Sorry - couldn't resist. 😉 Just looking back in living memory - Germany likewise tested another alliance (also involving Poland) in 1939 that was similarly ineffective in practical terms - and we got WW2.
7:33 PM · Jan 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - we can all sleep soundly with that excellent assurance then. 😆 Sorry - couldn't resist. 😉 Just looking back in living memory - Germany likewise tested another alliance (also involving Poland) in 1939 that was similarly ineffective in practical terms - and we got WW2.
7:33 PM · Jan 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1742196346801586449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can mean anything - "... will assist ... by taking forthwith, individually & in concert ... action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore & maintain the security". Sovereign states can break treaties too. We'll find out if US will risk having NYC nuked to defend Warsaw under bombardment.
2:49 PM · Jan 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It can mean anything - "... will assist ... by taking forthwith, individually & in concert ... action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore & maintain the security". Sovereign states can break treaties too. We'll find out if US will risk having NYC nuked to defend Warsaw under bombardment.
2:49 PM · Jan 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1742179784270950492
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only a credible homegrown nuclear deterrent can even the warring field atm tbh. And not only for Ukraine, but also for Poland+Balts, who are also in Russia's crosshairs. Art5 is as vague ("mutual help") as is the Budapest memorandum. It can mean a lot, or very little, and anything in between.
1:43 PM · Jan 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only a credible homegrown nuclear deterrent can even the warring field atm tbh. And not only for Ukraine, but also for Poland+Balts, who are also in Russia's crosshairs. Art5 is as vague ("mutual help") as is the Budapest memorandum. It can mean a lot, or very little, and anything in between.
1:43 PM · Jan 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1742099242519335396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Веројатно најлибералната химна од сите државни химни? Во најважните 4 стиха (првите 2 + последните 2) слобода се спомнува дури 3 пати! 3/4 - "ново сонце на слободата", "Македонија слободна", "слободно живее" 👍👏😊
8:23 AM · Jan 2, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Веројатно најлибералната химна од сите државни химни? Во најважните 4 стиха (првите 2 + последните 2) слобода се спомнува дури 3 пати! 3/4 - "ново сонце на слободата", "Македонија слободна", "слободно живее" 👍👏😊
8:23 AM · Jan 2, 2024
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1741404257155268772
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You better get some muscle and quickly then. CEEu is woefully underprepared to face expansionist neoimperial power on a warpath. Putin knows he's safe as long as a war is ongoing - he will not be stopping any time soon. Only quickfix maybe credible homegrown nuclear deterrent at this point tbh.
10:21 AM · Dec 31, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You better get some muscle and quickly then. CEEu is woefully underprepared to face expansionist neoimperial power on a warpath. Putin knows he's safe as long as a war is ongoing - he will not be stopping any time soon. Only quickfix maybe credible homegrown nuclear deterrent at this point tbh.
10:21 AM · Dec 31, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1741058189989126344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Further: when I find one error, that implies my mental model was incorrect. Now that my mental model was found to be incorrect, that implies there maybe 1000 other errors. 😱😰🤯 Very worrying. Only practical book on finding errors in my programs I've seen is "Writing Solid Code".
11:26 AM · Dec 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Further: when I find one error, that implies my mental model was incorrect. Now that my mental model was found to be incorrect, that implies there maybe 1000 other errors. 😱😰🤯 Very worrying. Only practical book on finding errors in my programs I've seen is "Writing Solid Code".
11:26 AM · Dec 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1740892106296607034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That would refute their ideas and their galaxy sized egos can not take that hit. Similar to how the early socialists' small size (community wide) experiments in the US (all failed in a generation) were labelled "utopian socialism" (whereas they were exactly the opposite - a real empirical small scale trials) by the so called self declared "scientific socialists" (that were actually more like a cult).
12:26 AM · Dec 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That would refute their ideas and their galaxy sized egos can not take that hit. Similar to how the early socialists' small size (community wide) experiments in the US (all failed in a generation) were labelled "utopian socialism" (whereas they were exactly the opposite - a real empirical small scale trials) by the so called self declared "scientific socialists" (that were actually more like a cult).
12:26 AM · Dec 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1740889863119864091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh, too much like rerun of 1938+ history there, impossible to not notice. Expansionist European power with a galaxy sized grievance, annexing the nearby regions 1st, then gobbling up the whole country, on the pretext of taking care of its kin + feeling threatened. Western security guarantees impossible to discharge but impossible to ignore either - for fear that the reminder of the alliances will crumble. Once RU switcheroo to war economy is complete it will look to "where next?". All this is already in motion. One way to short circuit the rolling disaster maybe CEEu countries developing nuclear deterrent? But they don't seem to think so. Worse - some like HU think they will be at the dining table (seems they accepted some RU offer, maybe the one that PL declined), rather than being the meal served (whereas the latter is more likely tbh). What is to be done?
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Laplacїan 🇱🇹🦈 @laplacian28 · Dec 29
NATO Article 5 is about as vague as the Budapest Memorandum. Nobody is actually obliged to send the kind of help you might be assuming. The Budapest Memorandum is a litmus test for NATO Article 5.
12:17 AM · Dec 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh, too much like rerun of 1938+ history there, impossible to not notice. Expansionist European power with a galaxy sized grievance, annexing the nearby regions 1st, then gobbling up the whole country, on the pretext of taking care of its kin + feeling threatened. Western security guarantees impossible to discharge but impossible to ignore either - for fear that the reminder of the alliances will crumble. Once RU switcheroo to war economy is complete it will look to "where next?". All this is already in motion. One way to short circuit the rolling disaster maybe CEEu countries developing nuclear deterrent? But they don't seem to think so. Worse - some like HU think they will be at the dining table (seems they accepted some RU offer, maybe the one that PL declined), rather than being the meal served (whereas the latter is more likely tbh). What is to be done?
Quote
Laplacїan 🇱🇹🦈 @laplacian28 · Dec 29
NATO Article 5 is about as vague as the Budapest Memorandum. Nobody is actually obliged to send the kind of help you might be assuming. The Budapest Memorandum is a litmus test for NATO Article 5.
12:17 AM · Dec 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1740028328495485284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a good point there Re: basic research. For that - maybe if everything is expressed as computer code, like with theorem solvers, maybe close the loop that way. Something like FunSearch https://technologyreview.com/2023/12/14/1085318/google-deepmind-large-language-model-solve-unsolvable-math-problem-cap-set/
maybe?
3:14 PM · Dec 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a good point there Re: basic research. For that - maybe if everything is expressed as computer code, like with theorem solvers, maybe close the loop that way. Something like FunSearch https://technologyreview.com/2023/12/14/1085318/google-deepmind-large-language-model-solve-unsolvable-math-problem-cap-set/
maybe?
3:14 PM · Dec 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739798255804817427
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Бара кобајаги само про-форма, уште пред да почне да бара е убеден дека нема да најде, после 3 секунди (толку трае "барањето") менува стратегија во "мамоооооо, каде е ..." 😂😂😂 (синовите)
Translate post
12:00 AM · Dec 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Бара кобајаги само про-форма, уште пред да почне да бара е убеден дека нема да најде, после 3 секунди (толку трае "барањето") менува стратегија во "мамоооооо, каде е ..." 😂😂😂 (синовите)
Translate post
12:00 AM · Dec 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739793177794515364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowledge is created by research. Re-search == repeated targeted (not blind) search for something that "works". For the "it works" (or not) part machines need feedback from the environment. It will come like in the video you posted here https://twitter.com/leecronin/status/1739773474548113863 . In domains like Go and Chess where machines do get the "it works" (or not) feedback in the search - they have generated new knowledge about those games (how to play them) - is my understanding.
Quote
Prof. Lee Cronin @leecronin · Dec 26
Next year chemputers will get smart & self-optimizing. #chemputation
Embedded video
11:39 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Knowledge is created by research. Re-search == repeated targeted (not blind) search for something that "works". For the "it works" (or not) part machines need feedback from the environment. It will come like in the video you posted here https://twitter.com/leecronin/status/1739773474548113863 . In domains like Go and Chess where machines do get the "it works" (or not) feedback in the search - they have generated new knowledge about those games (how to play them) - is my understanding.
Quote
Prof. Lee Cronin @leecronin · Dec 26
Next year chemputers will get smart & self-optimizing. #chemputation
Embedded video
11:39 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739787475583729729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"People like me"??? Have you lost your marbles? This is uncalled for and I am sorry to say - silly. I voted remain. Blocked
11:17 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"People like me"??? Have you lost your marbles? This is uncalled for and I am sorry to say - silly. I voted remain. Blocked
11:17 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739783562629460263
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We the UK electorate got it good and hard - this was what the majority voted for. Referendum + 2 general elections since - that's enough testing of the wishes of the electorate. We must take collective and personal responsibility for the outcome - no way around that.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. However, this is also true 1) There was a referendum on the change of electoral system - electorate said NO 2) The parties opposed to Brexit could have united forces made a pack and stood down their competing MP candidates (like BoJo and Farage did!) - but chose not to.
11:01 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We the UK electorate got it good and hard - this was what the majority voted for. Referendum + 2 general elections since - that's enough testing of the wishes of the electorate. We must take collective and personal responsibility for the outcome - no way around that.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. However, this is also true 1) There was a referendum on the change of electoral system - electorate said NO 2) The parties opposed to Brexit could have united forces made a pack and stood down their competing MP candidates (like BoJo and Farage did!) - but chose not to.
11:01 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739781467150917729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fao @Cookmeister7 - I voted remain, assumed leave will be worse than remain, and the brexit we got is worse than my assumptions (I though we'd fallback to EFTA). I don't like it 😩 any more than you do, but being part of a nation (or union of nations - but UK voted as a whole, as if a single nation) involves taking responsibly for the deeds of other members of the nation.
Aside - I can see how my side lost. @Cookmeister7 can't even get it right who's on his side on who's with the opposition?? ffs
10:53 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fao @Cookmeister7 - I voted remain, assumed leave will be worse than remain, and the brexit we got is worse than my assumptions (I though we'd fallback to EFTA). I don't like it 😩 any more than you do, but being part of a nation (or union of nations - but UK voted as a whole, as if a single nation) involves taking responsibly for the deeds of other members of the nation.
Aside - I can see how my side lost. @Cookmeister7 can't even get it right who's on his side on who's with the opposition?? ffs
10:53 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739780291223261565
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't like it 😩 any more than you do (I voted remain, assumed leave will be worse than remain; the brexit we got is worse than my assumptions - I though we'd fallback to EFTA), but being part of a nation (or union of nations - but UK voted as a whole, as if a single nation) involves taking responsibly for the deeds of other members of the nation. fao @EricIdle
Quote
Eric Idle @EricIdle · Dec 26
Yes you the electorate voted but it’s we the unrepresented tax payers who have to pay for your folly in listening to the newspapers… and that idiot Farage. twitter.com/ljupc0/status/…
10:48 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't like it 😩 any more than you do (I voted remain, assumed leave will be worse than remain; the brexit we got is worse than my assumptions - I though we'd fallback to EFTA), but being part of a nation (or union of nations - but UK voted as a whole, as if a single nation) involves taking responsibly for the deeds of other members of the nation. fao @EricIdle
Quote
Eric Idle @EricIdle · Dec 26
Yes you the electorate voted but it’s we the unrepresented tax payers who have to pay for your folly in listening to the newspapers… and that idiot Farage. twitter.com/ljupc0/status/…
10:48 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739779396603351292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't like it 😩 any more than you do (I voted remain, assumed leave will be worse than remain; the brexit we got is worse than my assumptions - I though we'd fallback to EFTA), but being part of a nation (or union of nations - but UK voted as a whole, as if a single nation) involves taking responsibly for the deeds of other members of the nation. 🤷♂️ One has to take the bad with the good. (UK has plenty going for it still)
10:45 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't like it 😩 any more than you do (I voted remain, assumed leave will be worse than remain; the brexit we got is worse than my assumptions - I though we'd fallback to EFTA), but being part of a nation (or union of nations - but UK voted as a whole, as if a single nation) involves taking responsibly for the deeds of other members of the nation. 🤷♂️ One has to take the bad with the good. (UK has plenty going for it still)
10:45 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739753572533743868
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aman veke so taa dijaspora, problemi:korist=100:1. Kako nema vo evropskite zemji nekoj zakon pa da zabranat glasanje na site dijaspori. Znam deka MK Sobranie se nesposobni sami da reshat vakov problem - pa edinstvena moznost e od drugata strana. Glasanje - samo tamu kade plakam danok. (jas sum od dijaspora)
9:02 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aman veke so taa dijaspora, problemi:korist=100:1. Kako nema vo evropskite zemji nekoj zakon pa da zabranat glasanje na site dijaspori. Znam deka MK Sobranie se nesposobni sami da reshat vakov problem - pa edinstvena moznost e od drugata strana. Glasanje - samo tamu kade plakam danok. (jas sum od dijaspora)
9:02 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739751406956126631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We the UK electorate got it good and hard - this was what the majority voted for. Referendum + 2 general elections since - that's enough testing of the wishes of the electorate. We must take collective and personal responsibility for the outcome - no way around that.
8:53 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We the UK electorate got it good and hard - this was what the majority voted for. Referendum + 2 general elections since - that's enough testing of the wishes of the electorate. We must take collective and personal responsibility for the outcome - no way around that.
8:53 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739648090389233826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Смени го ако можеш де? Глупо е да плаќаш некому пари за тој да те вреѓа. Ако си мислиш - "ме вреѓа ама барем ме учи", еве да знаеш: постои инструктор што ќе те научи да возиш, а без да те вреѓа. Знам сигурно од лично искуство - постои таков инструктор. Па и да си платила веќе да нема назад враќање на парите - размисли што ти е подобро, дали да ги прежалиш парите и почнеш со друг (ама нему не му плаќај однапред, туку pay-as-you-go), или да се мачиш и понатаму со сегашниот инструктор.
2:03 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Смени го ако можеш де? Глупо е да плаќаш некому пари за тој да те вреѓа. Ако си мислиш - "ме вреѓа ама барем ме учи", еве да знаеш: постои инструктор што ќе те научи да возиш, а без да те вреѓа. Знам сигурно од лично искуство - постои таков инструктор. Па и да си платила веќе да нема назад враќање на парите - размисли што ти е подобро, дали да ги прежалиш парите и почнеш со друг (ама нему не му плаќај однапред, туку pay-as-you-go), или да се мачиш и понатаму со сегашниот инструктор.
2:03 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739623605070123012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Gangsters and variety of baddies have got nukes - it's crazy that the rest don't acquire them pronto. Lacking urgency C-E-Eu countries is puzzling, and esp Poland given the history - latest lesson 1939+ ffs! - would have expected them to get credible nuclear deterrent now.
12:26 PM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Gangsters and variety of baddies have got nukes - it's crazy that the rest don't acquire them pronto. Lacking urgency C-E-Eu countries is puzzling, and esp Poland given the history - latest lesson 1939+ ffs! - would have expected them to get credible nuclear deterrent now.
12:26 PM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739605081459130848
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - at minimum for the repeated hypothesis generation need also 1) search through the tree of possibilities - like the MC in alphazero 2) scoring the past history as per some environment feedback - even if this is via writing programs and running them to see what happens.
11:12 AM · Dec 26, 2023
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - at minimum for the repeated hypothesis generation need also 1) search through the tree of possibilities - like the MC in alphazero 2) scoring the past history as per some environment feedback - even if this is via writing programs and running them to see what happens.
11:12 AM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739601567240630732
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boxing day heart-warming treat 😍 - @veritasium 's "What The Prisoner's Dilemma Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything" https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM . The best strategies for the iterated repeated game were all 1) nice - cooperate by default 2) forgiving - do not hold a grudge to retaliate forever 3) retaliatory - don't be pushover (e.g. tit-for-tat is a must) 4) clear - the opponent can sense your logic. Further - a cluster of minority nice strategies will over time out-perform and take over the space where majority is nasty strategies at start. Life shaping it's own environment for the betterment for all! 😊😊
youtube.com
What The Prisoner's Dilemma Reveals About Life, The Universe, and...
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
10:58 AM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boxing day heart-warming treat 😍 - @veritasium 's "What The Prisoner's Dilemma Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything" https://youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM . The best strategies for the iterated repeated game were all 1) nice - cooperate by default 2) forgiving - do not hold a grudge to retaliate forever 3) retaliatory - don't be pushover (e.g. tit-for-tat is a must) 4) clear - the opponent can sense your logic. Further - a cluster of minority nice strategies will over time out-perform and take over the space where majority is nasty strategies at start. Life shaping it's own environment for the betterment for all! 😊😊
youtube.com
What The Prisoner's Dilemma Reveals About Life, The Universe, and...
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
10:58 AM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739582292903842227
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - "understanding" is a nebulous concept as it is in the head of the person, and we can't open their head and see what's in there. (NTS we can - but we see nothing there) *Describing* is weakest, *forecasting* is stronger, *creating* is even stronger, on the scale of "understand". A person has full understanding of something iif they are able to 1) describe + 2) forecast + 3) create (from scratch) the thing that is "understood".
9:41 AM · Dec 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - "understanding" is a nebulous concept as it is in the head of the person, and we can't open their head and see what's in there. (NTS we can - but we see nothing there) *Describing* is weakest, *forecasting* is stronger, *creating* is even stronger, on the scale of "understand". A person has full understanding of something iif they are able to 1) describe + 2) forecast + 3) create (from scratch) the thing that is "understood".
9:41 AM · Dec 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739379577892311497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing I've ever done for myself. 3D mapping of he eye/ball beforehand, being operated by laser (robot?) 2x10sec x 2 eyes - very SciFi. The morning after was the most spectacular morning! The sights impossibly clear, incomparable to anything I'd experienced visually up to that point. Tops marks - recommended
8:16 PM · Dec 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing I've ever done for myself. 3D mapping of he eye/ball beforehand, being operated by laser (robot?) 2x10sec x 2 eyes - very SciFi. The morning after was the most spectacular morning! The sights impossibly clear, incomparable to anything I'd experienced visually up to that point. Tops marks - recommended
8:16 PM · Dec 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739371714096595302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - that idea has legs and has been stretched to surprising extent in The Egg narrated and animated by @Kurz_Gesagt here https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=h6fcK_fRYaI&list=WL&index=1&pp=gAQBiAQB . Just great, and from any PoV.
youtube.com
The Egg - A Short Story
The EggStory by Andy WeirAnimated by KurzgesagtA Big Thanks to Andy Weir for allowing us to use his story.The original was released here: http://www.galactan...
7:45 PM · Dec 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - that idea has legs and has been stretched to surprising extent in The Egg narrated and animated by @Kurz_Gesagt here https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=h6fcK_fRYaI&list=WL&index=1&pp=gAQBiAQB . Just great, and from any PoV.
youtube.com
The Egg - A Short Story
The EggStory by Andy WeirAnimated by KurzgesagtA Big Thanks to Andy Weir for allowing us to use his story.The original was released here: http://www.galactan...
7:45 PM · Dec 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739340053954932935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"огромни ега без покритие" == слушнав на странски "confidently wrong" и ми остана во сеќавање, дека со 2 збора точно не опиша 😭😭
5:39 PM · Dec 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"огромни ега без покритие" == слушнав на странски "confidently wrong" и ми остана во сеќавање, дека со 2 збора точно не опиша 😭😭
5:39 PM · Dec 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739329555234500967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take heart - the hardware is magnificent, the software is mediocre, it always was. Was waiting on some Linux (maybe Asahi?) to make it to the h/w - but let's face it: a company having total h/w control has got the option to never allow that, sabotage that ad infinitum. Now I am hoping for M1-2-3 competitive ARM Oryon cores via Nuvia from Qualcomm makes it into some 2024 laptops with Debian-Ubuntu on top https://pcgamer.com/qualcomm-wants-to-convert-your-pc-from-x86-to-arm-with-its-killer-new-12-core-chip/
. TBS what hapens.
4:57 PM · Dec 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Take heart - the hardware is magnificent, the software is mediocre, it always was. Was waiting on some Linux (maybe Asahi?) to make it to the h/w - but let's face it: a company having total h/w control has got the option to never allow that, sabotage that ad infinitum. Now I am hoping for M1-2-3 competitive ARM Oryon cores via Nuvia from Qualcomm makes it into some 2024 laptops with Debian-Ubuntu on top https://pcgamer.com/qualcomm-wants-to-convert-your-pc-from-x86-to-arm-with-its-killer-new-12-core-chip/
. TBS what hapens.
4:57 PM · Dec 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739325487191589149
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super se prodzirni - ne se gleda deka fakaat mesto, vpecatokot e deka ne fakaat mesto voopsto. Imame x3 doma vo dnevna, nekoi trgnati/prineseni po potreba. Best thing ever. Sobata ne izgleda zatrupana, koga ne gi koristis - ne gi gledash! Simples! Plus obicna plastika e, ne e skapo - odgovara za nas obicen narod.
4:41 PM · Dec 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super se prodzirni - ne se gleda deka fakaat mesto, vpecatokot e deka ne fakaat mesto voopsto. Imame x3 doma vo dnevna, nekoi trgnati/prineseni po potreba. Best thing ever. Sobata ne izgleda zatrupana, koga ne gi koristis - ne gi gledash! Simples! Plus obicna plastika e, ne e skapo - odgovara za nas obicen narod.
4:41 PM · Dec 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1739230174258876830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too early - takes time for any newtech howto use knowledge to diffuse into many many people needed to make a change. Every newtech over promises then under delivers short term, then medium term overdelivers and long term we are like "it was always like this, it's normal".
10:22 AM · Dec 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too early - takes time for any newtech howto use knowledge to diffuse into many many people needed to make a change. Every newtech over promises then under delivers short term, then medium term overdelivers and long term we are like "it was always like this, it's normal".
10:22 AM · Dec 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738949802149167462
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Radical transparency FTW!! Instead of "everything secret by default, citizens only get crumbs of information via laborious time consuming FOI request" (and even then - state only reveals what it pretty pleases), us citizens need to push for "everything public on the web by default, the state gets to keep things secret upon JFI request granted". That's the way to start leveling the playfield. Note all presently ongoing scandals investigations - C19 response, PPI fast lanes looting - spend ginormous effort just to get to the basic info. RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW 😁😁
3:48 PM · Dec 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! Radical transparency FTW!! Instead of "everything secret by default, citizens only get crumbs of information via laborious time consuming FOI request" (and even then - state only reveals what it pretty pleases), us citizens need to push for "everything public on the web by default, the state gets to keep things secret upon JFI request granted". That's the way to start leveling the playfield. Note all presently ongoing scandals investigations - C19 response, PPI fast lanes looting - spend ginormous effort just to get to the basic info. RADICAL TRANSPARENCY FTW 😁😁
3:48 PM · Dec 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738900362336112945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers - thanks for that. Saw it narrated and animated too here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6fcK_fRYaI
The Egg - A Short Story
The Egg Story by Andy Weir Animated by Kurzgesagt A Big Thanks to Andy Weir for allowing us to use his story.The original was released here: https://galactanet.com/oneoff/theegg_mod.html
12:32 PM · Dec 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wowzers - thanks for that. Saw it narrated and animated too here
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6fcK_fRYaI
The Egg - A Short Story
The Egg Story by Andy Weir Animated by Kurzgesagt A Big Thanks to Andy Weir for allowing us to use his story.The original was released here: https://galactanet.com/oneoff/theegg_mod.html
12:32 PM · Dec 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738544223358529704
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The factor ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' looks to me the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc that I have come across. (credit to @BurakYngn)
12:56 PM · Dec 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The factor ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' looks to me the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc that I have come across. (credit to @BurakYngn)
12:56 PM · Dec 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738480467567841301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I forecast tomorrow will be sunny". Tomorrow comes - and it's cloudy, not sunny. Now I can choose between 1) I accept it's sunny. I was wrong not right. I see the world accurately. 2) I don't accept it's sunny. I maintain - I was right (in my forecast). I outright deny it's cloudy, say "nah it looks sunny to me", I try to weasel out by redefining the words "sunny" and "cloudy" ("how much sun/cloud?"), and any number of other sophistic tricks. I see the world less accurately.
So in case#1 the state of play is (not right, accurate), in case#2 (right, not accurate). So in my mind in this example there is tension between "right" and "accurate" - they don't always necessarily go together. They can also go against each other - I have to admit I was "not right" in order to be "accurate". hth
8:43 AM · Dec 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I forecast tomorrow will be sunny". Tomorrow comes - and it's cloudy, not sunny. Now I can choose between 1) I accept it's sunny. I was wrong not right. I see the world accurately. 2) I don't accept it's sunny. I maintain - I was right (in my forecast). I outright deny it's cloudy, say "nah it looks sunny to me", I try to weasel out by redefining the words "sunny" and "cloudy" ("how much sun/cloud?"), and any number of other sophistic tricks. I see the world less accurately.
So in case#1 the state of play is (not right, accurate), in case#2 (right, not accurate). So in my mind in this example there is tension between "right" and "accurate" - they don't always necessarily go together. They can also go against each other - I have to admit I was "not right" in order to be "accurate". hth
8:43 AM · Dec 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738229307745714664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👏👏 The best thing ever 😆 - laptop vo krevet, kafence, podcast... i terminator, vim, C++, matlab, bash, awk, make, git, ssh i pustanje jobs na remote boxes, pribiranje rezultati... this is the life 😂😂
4:05 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👏👏👏 The best thing ever 😆 - laptop vo krevet, kafence, podcast... i terminator, vim, C++, matlab, bash, awk, make, git, ssh i pustanje jobs na remote boxes, pribiranje rezultati... this is the life 😂😂
4:05 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738220942768083186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, and that's exactly what worries me about UBI. Cooperation is what creates a group out of the individuals. Us individuals lose some of our personal freedom (to gain other things dearer to us - that's why we do it). Some of that cooperation is forced - the alternative for me the individual is going hungry and ending up dead. Will we be able to cooperate flexibly in large numbers if every individual is absolutely free, once no amount of coercion (however small) is possible? I understand that liberalism - i.e. ever increasing the power of the individual so to exercise its individual freedom - has been the huge success starting 1800+. Just fearing if pushing liberty to the limit - will push the society over the limit?
3:32 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, and that's exactly what worries me about UBI. Cooperation is what creates a group out of the individuals. Us individuals lose some of our personal freedom (to gain other things dearer to us - that's why we do it). Some of that cooperation is forced - the alternative for me the individual is going hungry and ending up dead. Will we be able to cooperate flexibly in large numbers if every individual is absolutely free, once no amount of coercion (however small) is possible? I understand that liberalism - i.e. ever increasing the power of the individual so to exercise its individual freedom - has been the huge success starting 1800+. Just fearing if pushing liberty to the limit - will push the society over the limit?
3:32 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738216329952334017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@X feature request: like "Following" but only where there is original content created/added by accounts I follow. So like "Following" but only including 1) Posts 2) Replies 3) Quotes, but specifically *excluding* 4) Reposts. CC fao @elonmusk
3:14 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@X feature request: like "Following" but only where there is original content created/added by accounts I follow. So like "Following" but only including 1) Posts 2) Replies 3) Quotes, but specifically *excluding* 4) Reposts. CC fao @elonmusk
3:14 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738215784730533945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da barash logika vo rasuduvanjeto, vo umot na ludak e jalova rabota. Nema logika - za nas drugite, ima logika - samo za ludakot. Moja licna observacija e deka vo glavata na ludak levo-e-desno, gore-e-dole, i toa mu e logicno i prirodno nemu. A toa sto nas drugite ni e logicno (levo-desno-gore-dole), toa nemu mu se chini nelogicno i ludo. Vo glavata na ludakot e kako Upside-down world od Stranger Things. Ima nekoja "logika", ne e sosema random, ama logikata e svrtena naopaku.
3:11 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da barash logika vo rasuduvanjeto, vo umot na ludak e jalova rabota. Nema logika - za nas drugite, ima logika - samo za ludakot. Moja licna observacija e deka vo glavata na ludak levo-e-desno, gore-e-dole, i toa mu e logicno i prirodno nemu. A toa sto nas drugite ni e logicno (levo-desno-gore-dole), toa nemu mu se chini nelogicno i ludo. Vo glavata na ludakot e kako Upside-down world od Stranger Things. Ima nekoja "logika", ne e sosema random, ama logikata e svrtena naopaku.
3:11 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738188521708327420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good one! My current best is "nation is the largest group of people where the minority of 49% decides to temporarily accept the will of the 51% majority in preference to breaking off and creating a new nation".
1:23 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good one! My current best is "nation is the largest group of people where the minority of 49% decides to temporarily accept the will of the 51% majority in preference to breaking off and creating a new nation".
1:23 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738183349082951940
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes 2/3 - "to be honest and see the world accurately" - yes. No 1/3 - "to be right". "Be right" is not super important for me, I have not got that strong an ego. It's pleasant when the future shows me right (& does not undermine my mental model), and unpleasant when it shows me wrong. I also tend to lose $$$ when wrong about the future, so it's a double whammy: not only has my mental model been found wanting (ouch), I have also lost $$$ (ouch indeed - "that physically hurts, wtaf, get me out of here, make the pain stop!!!"). I can't not notice that most of the time "life teaches you a lesson" moments people around seem to perceive as "this is an attack on me personally". That I find strange and tad narcissistic ("nope - the universe is not that interested in you, you are not that special") - and try to avoid that (natural reflex?).
1:02 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes 2/3 - "to be honest and see the world accurately" - yes. No 1/3 - "to be right". "Be right" is not super important for me, I have not got that strong an ego. It's pleasant when the future shows me right (& does not undermine my mental model), and unpleasant when it shows me wrong. I also tend to lose $$$ when wrong about the future, so it's a double whammy: not only has my mental model been found wanting (ouch), I have also lost $$$ (ouch indeed - "that physically hurts, wtaf, get me out of here, make the pain stop!!!"). I can't not notice that most of the time "life teaches you a lesson" moments people around seem to perceive as "this is an attack on me personally". That I find strange and tad narcissistic ("nope - the universe is not that interested in you, you are not that special") - and try to avoid that (natural reflex?).
1:02 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738179835531252155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stupidity and malice - that's why. Malice - they thought they will get electoral boost, improve their electoral chances, by being mean and nasty, like a Dictator movie character. Stupidity - this did not improve their chances. We are lucky these dangerous fools are so stupid.
12:49 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stupidity and malice - that's why. Malice - they thought they will get electoral boost, improve their electoral chances, by being mean and nasty, like a Dictator movie character. Stupidity - this did not improve their chances. We are lucky these dangerous fools are so stupid.
12:49 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738176299825270847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another one for the "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" column.
12:34 PM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another one for the "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" column.
12:34 PM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1738141219488670003
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it possible that DuckDB does column-wise compression (something like - assume differences will be small in the same column across rows)? So to save time on data loading from disk too. Mentioned at the bottom here
10:15 AM · Dec 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it possible that DuckDB does column-wise compression (something like - assume differences will be small in the same column across rows)? So to save time on data loading from disk too. Mentioned at the bottom here
10:15 AM · Dec 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737930503653671208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Имавме Румба (од поефтините) некое време до пред 4-5 години. Не се покажа многу добра. Единствено што функционираше ок: дрвен под без тепих, да ја вклучам да врти пред да излезам од дома сабајле. За било што друго - се имаше некој проблем. Чистењето на четките и кутивчето со ѓубре беа незгодни. Кога се расипа - не купивме друга.
8:18 PM · Dec 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Имавме Румба (од поефтините) некое време до пред 4-5 години. Не се покажа многу добра. Единствено што функционираше ок: дрвен под без тепих, да ја вклучам да врти пред да излезам од дома сабајле. За било што друго - се имаше некој проблем. Чистењето на четките и кутивчето со ѓубре беа незгодни. Кога се расипа - не купивме друга.
8:18 PM · Dec 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737496742843601195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... *the* narrative ..." sells it a bit short - goes against *almost all* narratives articulated in the policy making, and TBF your excellent text rightfully touches on that too.
3:34 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... *the* narrative ..." sells it a bit short - goes against *almost all* narratives articulated in the policy making, and TBF your excellent text rightfully touches on that too.
3:34 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737495887880818735
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... except for all others that have been considered and found to be even worse. 😉 (sorry couldn't resist 😁) Yes the GDP metric is fairly novel - can't imagine how policy was developed in absence of any statistics and data gathering?
3:31 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... except for all others that have been considered and found to be even worse. 😉 (sorry couldn't resist 😁) Yes the GDP metric is fairly novel - can't imagine how policy was developed in absence of any statistics and data gathering?
3:31 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737495243551838667
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The constitutionally guaranteed "dictatorship of technocracy" requires such high level of *earned* social trust (repeat - earned!), such insanely good selection process to select not just the smart, honest and hard-working, but also to select out the in-sane (that may also be smart), to positions of power, that IDK if it offers much transferable knowledge to UK, except that "another way is possible". But then we already know that TINA is almost never correct, there is usually another way.
3:28 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The constitutionally guaranteed "dictatorship of technocracy" requires such high level of *earned* social trust (repeat - earned!), such insanely good selection process to select not just the smart, honest and hard-working, but also to select out the in-sane (that may also be smart), to positions of power, that IDK if it offers much transferable knowledge to UK, except that "another way is possible". But then we already know that TINA is almost never correct, there is usually another way.
3:28 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737475668458324261
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Less important whether the claim "x50 times" (compared to what baseline) is true or not (there are many similar neuromorphic chips).
More important that we have distilled that dot-product is the new lowest level interface -
> Its lower computational primitive is that of a dot product
... that will replace current multiply-accumulate. With that - the race is on. 🔥🤩
2:10 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Less important whether the claim "x50 times" (compared to what baseline) is true or not (there are many similar neuromorphic chips).
More important that we have distilled that dot-product is the new lowest level interface -
> Its lower computational primitive is that of a dot product
... that will replace current multiply-accumulate. With that - the race is on. 🔥🤩
2:10 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737453643027055082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I would disagree with "pay isn't a problem here". Are you saying if they were offered 100K, then they would not fill many more vacancies? I put to you that that would be an extraordinary argument. It's a matter of degree. At 50K offered - 140K vacancies. At 80K offered - there will be less vacancies. And so on
12:43 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I would disagree with "pay isn't a problem here". Are you saying if they were offered 100K, then they would not fill many more vacancies? I put to you that that would be an extraordinary argument. It's a matter of degree. At 50K offered - 140K vacancies. At 80K offered - there will be less vacancies. And so on
12:43 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737452867194110354
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - so that's an argument against. I believe this is an argument that proponents of Job Guarantee (JG) make. On the other hand - it maybe less of a yes/no question, more a "how much" question. So if UBI was £10 pcm - probably noone would mind. If it was £10K pcm - that would obviously be a disaster.
We already have not-quite-but-almost-Universal Basic Income for 1) old people (old age pension) 2) people with cash savings (interest rate) 3) people in work on low wages (similar to negative tax?) 4) very young people (children benefit). For these too - it's a question of level, of quantity, not of quality (whether we do them yes/no). Don't think any UBI would be that much different in that respect.
I am concerned that without the ultimate threat of "you will die" it might be impossible to make people cooperate in large numbers (when they decide they don't want to). So that freedom maybe good for each of us (individuals) that increases my personal power, but may destroy society (the group) whose power it decreases. I doubt there is a an easy or complete solution, would expect to be more a series of imperfect compromises that avoid the worst.
12:40 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - so that's an argument against. I believe this is an argument that proponents of Job Guarantee (JG) make. On the other hand - it maybe less of a yes/no question, more a "how much" question. So if UBI was £10 pcm - probably noone would mind. If it was £10K pcm - that would obviously be a disaster.
We already have not-quite-but-almost-Universal Basic Income for 1) old people (old age pension) 2) people with cash savings (interest rate) 3) people in work on low wages (similar to negative tax?) 4) very young people (children benefit). For these too - it's a question of level, of quantity, not of quality (whether we do them yes/no). Don't think any UBI would be that much different in that respect.
I am concerned that without the ultimate threat of "you will die" it might be impossible to make people cooperate in large numbers (when they decide they don't want to). So that freedom maybe good for each of us (individuals) that increases my personal power, but may destroy society (the group) whose power it decreases. I doubt there is a an easy or complete solution, would expect to be more a series of imperfect compromises that avoid the worst.
12:40 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737449191448715744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But by definition "obsessed with the properties of their models, rather than with reality" means - they are pretty dumb. So not that "smart".
12:25 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But by definition "obsessed with the properties of their models, rather than with reality" means - they are pretty dumb. So not that "smart".
12:25 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737448334200012910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that, but, on the other hand - unemployment and vacancies can never be exactly 0. So there is always some non-0 number. The question becomes - what's a low enough number that we should aim for? Construction industry - they could double the salary offered and they could fill a good number of those 140K. So the unfilled vacancies are always "... under these conditions offered" (salary & the rest).
12:22 PM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that, but, on the other hand - unemployment and vacancies can never be exactly 0. So there is always some non-0 number. The question becomes - what's a low enough number that we should aim for? Construction industry - they could double the salary offered and they could fill a good number of those 140K. So the unfilled vacancies are always "... under these conditions offered" (salary & the rest).
12:22 PM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737434055082181062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lack of incentive to work well & hard - yes, I would agree about that under socialism. One could not be fired easily, so one could coast with 1) show up at work in time 2) do the minimum required. So not enough stuff was produced and done, also productivity was low, so economic growth was slow (after 1970). In that sense, it bears familiarity with the in-work benefits in the UK.
11:25 AM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lack of incentive to work well & hard - yes, I would agree about that under socialism. One could not be fired easily, so one could coast with 1) show up at work in time 2) do the minimum required. So not enough stuff was produced and done, also productivity was low, so economic growth was slow (after 1970). In that sense, it bears familiarity with the in-work benefits in the UK.
11:25 AM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737418033373528255
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can concur with this now, changed my mind. I thought I'll give the interview a miss, but watched the start (where space travel is discussed) and he seemed genuinely enthusiastic. What resonated with me was that we should aim to outsource manufacturing to space. (I thought a moon base - but I imagine there's no great benefit to that compared to in-space)
10:21 AM · Dec 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can concur with this now, changed my mind. I thought I'll give the interview a miss, but watched the start (where space travel is discussed) and he seemed genuinely enthusiastic. What resonated with me was that we should aim to outsource manufacturing to space. (I thought a moon base - but I imagine there's no great benefit to that compared to in-space)
10:21 AM · Dec 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737156089345352123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My guess would be - it depends on the level. We already have BI for old people (pension), for rich people (>0 interest rate), and in some geographies - Alaska has not turned communist yet. Again - it's good to read on arguments already put forward, as the this one (and previous) one you raised - have been discussed (many times). I wish there was a Frequently Asked Questions FAQ one could consult on UBI. Whatever Q we think of - likely they have been asked before.
5:01 PM · Dec 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My guess would be - it depends on the level. We already have BI for old people (pension), for rich people (>0 interest rate), and in some geographies - Alaska has not turned communist yet. Again - it's good to read on arguments already put forward, as the this one (and previous) one you raised - have been discussed (many times). I wish there was a Frequently Asked Questions FAQ one could consult on UBI. Whatever Q we think of - likely they have been asked before.
5:01 PM · Dec 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737111260146421966
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't say I'm 100% forever convinced myself, but - if you are interested to consider arguments for-against, it's a good start to assume "whatever I'm to ask, it's been asked x10 times before - and answered". So if you are interested - possibly check e.g. https://twitter.com/scottsantens/status/1040683616488103936
Quote
Scott Santens @scottsantens · Sep 14, 2018
I've been researching the idea of Unconditional Basic Income since 2013. Here's a list of findings I've compiled from various UBI experiments, unconditional cash transfer studies, and cash dividend research.
The data speaks for itself.
Data: https://reddit.com/r/BasicIncome/wiki/index#wiki_that.27s_all_very_well.2C_but_where.27s_the_evidence.3F
#basicincome
Show more
Image
2:02 PM · Dec 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't say I'm 100% forever convinced myself, but - if you are interested to consider arguments for-against, it's a good start to assume "whatever I'm to ask, it's been asked x10 times before - and answered". So if you are interested - possibly check e.g. https://twitter.com/scottsantens/status/1040683616488103936
Quote
Scott Santens @scottsantens · Sep 14, 2018
I've been researching the idea of Unconditional Basic Income since 2013. Here's a list of findings I've compiled from various UBI experiments, unconditional cash transfer studies, and cash dividend research.
The data speaks for itself.
Data: https://reddit.com/r/BasicIncome/wiki/index#wiki_that.27s_all_very_well.2C_but_where.27s_the_evidence.3F
#basicincome
Show more
Image
2:02 PM · Dec 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1737060623878373575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That bit looks like trying to catch-up with the Joneses, doesn't look like his heart is in it. The neighbour next door got a big rocket, so he rushed to build one too. The penile looks was cherry on the top 😂😂😂
10:41 AM · Dec 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That bit looks like trying to catch-up with the Joneses, doesn't look like his heart is in it. The neighbour next door got a big rocket, so he rushed to build one too. The penile looks was cherry on the top 😂😂😂
10:41 AM · Dec 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736783531202826680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kuriozitet tatko-sin 😁 - tatkoto (gore) dobil nagrada za "elektronot e cesticka", a sinot (isto fizicar - link dolu) ista nagrada za "elektronot e bran" 🤷♂️😁
> Whereas his father had seen the electron as a particle (and won his Nobel Prize in the process), Thomson demonstrated that the electron could be diffracted like a wave.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Paget_Thomson
4:20 PM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kuriozitet tatko-sin 😁 - tatkoto (gore) dobil nagrada za "elektronot e cesticka", a sinot (isto fizicar - link dolu) ista nagrada za "elektronot e bran" 🤷♂️😁
> Whereas his father had seen the electron as a particle (and won his Nobel Prize in the process), Thomson demonstrated that the electron could be diffracted like a wave.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Paget_Thomson
4:20 PM · Dec 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736734904379924752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tired of lazy BBC producers booking the same rent-a-mouth-s with 0 expertise, 0 original opinions, whatever they say we've heard them say the same 100 times before at similar Talk shows, and for decades now. This is like the socialist country of my childhood - nothing ever changes, same old same old year after year.
1:07 PM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tired of lazy BBC producers booking the same rent-a-mouth-s with 0 expertise, 0 original opinions, whatever they say we've heard them say the same 100 times before at similar Talk shows, and for decades now. This is like the socialist country of my childhood - nothing ever changes, same old same old year after year.
1:07 PM · Dec 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736724429009195341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even if that's not prevalent now - it will happen. Economic incentives for the insurer point in that direction. And that's an iron law - what's incentivised, will happen.
12:25 PM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even if that's not prevalent now - it will happen. Economic incentives for the insurer point in that direction. And that's an iron law - what's incentivised, will happen.
12:25 PM · Dec 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736695863982895408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obligatory reading -
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
10:32 AM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obligatory reading -
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
10:32 AM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
These 2 are probably the top-2 arguments in the FAQ about this. The standard answers are:
1) "Why" - IDK, I would not do it, but some people like that. Why sail around the world, find a passage to India, find the source of Nile, go to the North or South pole, climb Mount Everest etc etc ... To me it makes more sense to build an industrial colony on the Moon, produce anything needed for space exploration there, so to not have to lift zillion tons of material from Earth fighting the force of gravity. 2) "Fix all Earth problems before" (and the general "why X when Y is not done") - this is a general argument and can be applied to any endeavor. It's not that a strong argument. Yeah, it would be great if we fixed all Earth problems. But it can't be said that going to Mars is stopping us fixing the problems. There is not a causal relationship between the two. We could both "fix Earth problems" (=Y) and "fly to Mars" (=X). We could do both, either of them, or none. X does not preclude Y and v.v. In general the same argument and applies to any endeavor, so if we accept it, we would never do anything. HTH 8:39 AM · Dec 18, 2023
These 2 are probably the top-2 arguments in the FAQ about this. The standard answers are:
1) "Why" - IDK, I would not do it, but some people like that. Why sail around the world, find a passage to India, find the source of Nile, go to the North or South pole, climb Mount Everest etc etc ... To me it makes more sense to build an industrial colony on the Moon, produce anything needed for space exploration there, so to not have to lift zillion tons of material from Earth fighting the force of gravity. 2) "Fix all Earth problems before" (and the general "why X when Y is not done") - this is a general argument and can be applied to any endeavor. It's not that a strong argument. Yeah, it would be great if we fixed all Earth problems. But it can't be said that going to Mars is stopping us fixing the problems. There is not a causal relationship between the two. We could both "fix Earth problems" (=Y) and "fly to Mars" (=X). We could do both, either of them, or none. X does not preclude Y and v.v. In general the same argument and applies to any endeavor, so if we accept it, we would never do anything. HTH 8:39 AM · Dec 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736663919500881932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Personal lucky guess - nacionalni liberalni revolucii, zaedno so industriska revolucija
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
8:25 AM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Personal lucky guess - nacionalni liberalni revolucii, zaedno so industriska revolucija
Image
world-gdp-over-last-2000yrs-liberal-revol-1800.png
8:25 AM · Dec 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736555106559041608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the guy is an econ Kissinger
1:12 AM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the guy is an econ Kissinger
1:12 AM · Dec 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736542700785004856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - priceless. 1) Koga bea decata mali koga ke dojdevme vo MKD vo leto, prvata nedela im licelo deka sme ispokarani i vikame se dereme eden na drug. 2) Vo commuter train nautro samo glasovite na strancite sto stignale na aerodrom i sega odat za London so voz se slusaat.
12:23 AM · Dec 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - priceless. 1) Koga bea decata mali koga ke dojdevme vo MKD vo leto, prvata nedela im licelo deka sme ispokarani i vikame se dereme eden na drug. 2) Vo commuter train nautro samo glasovite na strancite sto stignale na aerodrom i sega odat za London so voz se slusaat.
12:23 AM · Dec 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736531116197040330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Factual criticism will not get you very far. Useful idiots are kept around b/c they are useful. Maybe better strategy to ridicule and mock - maybe start referring to the creep as "Econ Kissinger" or some such.
11:37 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Factual criticism will not get you very far. Useful idiots are kept around b/c they are useful. Maybe better strategy to ridicule and mock - maybe start referring to the creep as "Econ Kissinger" or some such.
11:37 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736510284791972340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 got that too. @X algos are not good enough, esp considering traffic of 1e9 messages per day. There will be ton of false positives. I find it infuriating - account gets restricted for a false/trivial infraction, recently for "too many follows removed" or somesuch silliness even after I have provided them with a ton of data about myself -
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735455748098781394
10:14 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 got that too. @X algos are not good enough, esp considering traffic of 1e9 messages per day. There will be ton of false positives. I find it infuriating - account gets restricted for a false/trivial infraction, recently for "too many follows removed" or somesuch silliness even after I have provided them with a ton of data about myself -
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735455748098781394
10:14 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736493755027399050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Otprilika ednas vo dve godini se slucuva kaj nas - kuka vo malo gratce so zelenilo sekade naokolu. Obicno pticava prezivuva - ke slusneme "tup" i gledame ostanala kako "topka" od perduvite na prozorot. Dva pati se slucilo da umre pticava - utka ili gulab i dvata pati.
9:09 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Otprilika ednas vo dve godini se slucuva kaj nas - kuka vo malo gratce so zelenilo sekade naokolu. Obicno pticava prezivuva - ke slusneme "tup" i gledame ostanala kako "topka" od perduvite na prozorot. Dva pati se slucilo da umre pticava - utka ili gulab i dvata pati.
9:09 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736461889708728575
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Нема толку врска едно со друго. Поважно е сите да бидат 100% ЗА било која не-тотално-луда опција (да има консензус), а не 50:50 За:Против. Еве на пр слушај за консензусот во Бугарија во 1996 кога никој не ги есапел 2% за прием. Тоа, и малку среќа - за Бугарија, Кипар и др во 1999 - војната во Косово ги уплашила Германија и Франција па се премислиле за "православни не се европјани" 😁😁
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU&t=1680s
7:02 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Нема толку врска едно со друго. Поважно е сите да бидат 100% ЗА било која не-тотално-луда опција (да има консензус), а не 50:50 За:Против. Еве на пр слушај за консензусот во Бугарија во 1996 кога никој не ги есапел 2% за прием. Тоа, и малку среќа - за Бугарија, Кипар и др во 1999 - војната во Косово ги уплашила Германија и Франција па се премислиле за "православни не се европјани" 😁😁
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU&t=1680s
7:02 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736438168520372479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unfortunately that often wrong persona will continue to exert his malign influence in public life b/c he is useful. He is a useful idiot. Wrong in a way that is useful to the others that prop him. The Henry Kissinger of the Econs.
5:28 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unfortunately that often wrong persona will continue to exert his malign influence in public life b/c he is useful. He is a useful idiot. Wrong in a way that is useful to the others that prop him. The Henry Kissinger of the Econs.
5:28 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736436141413347611
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
DO NOT DESTROY, don't you dare to. Destruction b/c you think you have a mandate to is on par with the Taleban destroying the statues. If you are not able to care - gift the originals away, offer them to the public that volunteers to keep them, or burry the crates in a field somewhere. Anything but willful destruction. Destruction reeks of irresponsible hubris. It'd be like doctors breaking the Hipocratic oath. You are archivists ffs. How can you even think of destroying intentionally the primary sources. Burry them in a field if you have run out of options.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
DO NOT DESTROY, don't you dare to. Destruction b/c you think you have a mandate to is on par with the Taleban destroying the statues. If you are not able to care - gift the originals away, offer them to the public that volunteers to keep them, or burry the crates in a field somewhere. Anything but willful destruction. Destruction reeks of irresponsible hubris. It'd be like doctors breaking the Hipocratic oath. You are archivists ffs. How can you even think of destroying intentionally the primary sources. Burry them in a field if you have run out of options.
5:20 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736421282248278459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Also this recently https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2023/12/researchers-create-first-logical-quantum-processor/. Wish there was concrete ELI5 helloworld but also more http://LearnXinYminutes.com examples how one programs these computers for us that already program computers daily.
4:21 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736395324036403200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobro im e napraveno, eve kako izgleda - moze ke dade nekomu sto e vo taa oblast idea. Tie seedno veke znaat 100 raboti za mene: ime prezime, DoB, medicinski detali, email, mobilen, adresa na ziveenje etc etc. Tie veke seedno imaat tracking, ja sledat logisticki (kako pri isporaka na parceli) sekoja kesa so krv - ima bar kod, se kreira pri donacija koga ke ja napolnam kesata, i posle sekoe menuvanje lokacija i primo-predavanje na kesata se bipka i se registrira vo kompjuter. I koga ke ja potrosat kesata na kraj (i toa se registrira bip-bip na bar kod), ne e epten golem napor (vo celata taa gigantska logisticka operaija od pocetok do kraj) da mi pustat edno malo porache po email. 😍
Image
2:38 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Also this recently https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2023/12/researchers-create-first-logical-quantum-processor/. Wish there was concrete ELI5 helloworld but also more http://LearnXinYminutes.com examples how one programs these computers for us that already program computers daily.
4:21 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736395324036403200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobro im e napraveno, eve kako izgleda - moze ke dade nekomu sto e vo taa oblast idea. Tie seedno veke znaat 100 raboti za mene: ime prezime, DoB, medicinski detali, email, mobilen, adresa na ziveenje etc etc. Tie veke seedno imaat tracking, ja sledat logisticki (kako pri isporaka na parceli) sekoja kesa so krv - ima bar kod, se kreira pri donacija koga ke ja napolnam kesata, i posle sekoe menuvanje lokacija i primo-predavanje na kesata se bipka i se registrira vo kompjuter. I koga ke ja potrosat kesata na kraj (i toa se registrira bip-bip na bar kod), ne e epten golem napor (vo celata taa gigantska logisticka operaija od pocetok do kraj) da mi pustat edno malo porache po email. 😍
Image
2:38 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736376549052432539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This kind of thinking is plain stupid - it's that simple, unfortunately. Stupid=="takes action that harms the other, while gaining nothing for self or even at slight self-loss". B/c of this, stupid is the most dangerous kind, as for non-stupid, it's impossible to predict what a stupid will do. It just makes no rational sense. :-( Against ample evidence to the contrary of the past 2yrs and the previous 10yrs, this kind of thinking persists. Putin gains, not loses, support when the country is at war. War time is good times for a dictator - it's peace times are dangerous. Same for the elite around Putin that support and sustain him.
1:23 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This kind of thinking is plain stupid - it's that simple, unfortunately. Stupid=="takes action that harms the other, while gaining nothing for self or even at slight self-loss". B/c of this, stupid is the most dangerous kind, as for non-stupid, it's impossible to predict what a stupid will do. It just makes no rational sense. :-( Against ample evidence to the contrary of the past 2yrs and the previous 10yrs, this kind of thinking persists. Putin gains, not loses, support when the country is at war. War time is good times for a dictator - it's peace times are dangerous. Same for the elite around Putin that support and sustain him.
1:23 PM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are just stupid - it's that simple, unfortunately. Stupid=="takes action that harms the other, while gaining nothing for self or even at slight self-loss". B/c of this, stupid is the most dangerous kind, as for non-stupid, it's impossible to predict what a stupid will do. It just makes no rational sense. :-(
Image Image 1:16 PM · Dec 17, 2023
They are just stupid - it's that simple, unfortunately. Stupid=="takes action that harms the other, while gaining nothing for self or even at slight self-loss". B/c of this, stupid is the most dangerous kind, as for non-stupid, it's impossible to predict what a stupid will do. It just makes no rational sense. :-(
Image Image 1:16 PM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736338072713720039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да потврдам - да, пријатно е. Не дека спасил или не живот (тоа не ми ни кажуваат) туку потривијално - дека помогнало некому. "Дел од крвта што ја дарувавте беше користена во операцијата изведена на датум X во болница Y пациент со тегоба Z". Посебно што поминале недели, јас веќе сум заборавил дека сум дарувал. Е-маилот ми го разубави денот малку.
10:50 AM · Dec 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да потврдам - да, пријатно е. Не дека спасил или не живот (тоа не ми ни кажуваат) туку потривијално - дека помогнало некому. "Дел од крвта што ја дарувавте беше користена во операцијата изведена на датум X во болница Y пациент со тегоба Z". Посебно што поминале недели, јас веќе сум заборавил дека сум дарувал. Е-маилот ми го разубави денот малку.
10:50 AM · Dec 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1736067719194145175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was surprised to learn that both sides had already come to 99.5% agreement at prior negotiations:
https://twitter.com/tomaspueyo/status/1720114001609162958
Bad luck they didn't manage to close the deal then - decades of violence and pain for little gain.
Quote
Tomas Pueyo @tomaspueyo · Nov 2
It doesn't look like Israel & Palestine can reach a peace agreement now, but they totally can. They nearly did in the past.
Here are the 4 factors that matter:
1. Borders
2. Security
3. East Jerusalem
4. Right of Return
Don't let anybody tell you it's impossible. Details:
Show more
Embedded video
4:56 PM · Dec 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was surprised to learn that both sides had already come to 99.5% agreement at prior negotiations:
https://twitter.com/tomaspueyo/status/1720114001609162958
Bad luck they didn't manage to close the deal then - decades of violence and pain for little gain.
Quote
Tomas Pueyo @tomaspueyo · Nov 2
It doesn't look like Israel & Palestine can reach a peace agreement now, but they totally can. They nearly did in the past.
Here are the 4 factors that matter:
1. Borders
2. Security
3. East Jerusalem
4. Right of Return
Don't let anybody tell you it's impossible. Details:
Show more
Embedded video
4:56 PM · Dec 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735983884964172212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time only will tell what happens. Don't think there is enough EU carrot for any in WB, not only MK (there's been on WB movement in the last 10 yrs). Wrt MK-BG specifically - this to me looks like another 30yrs of "will stand still zero movement":
> "... when leaders in Bulgaria say `please recognize a minority' ... they have in mind not few thousand people ... but half of your population ... everybody that has a Bulgarian passport ... so the longer you are outside EU, the more people will get Bulgarian passport ... the moment you make this concession, you will end up not in the EU, but with a new internal conflict ..."
From the excellent @rumeliobserver (at 18'50") https://youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPR. (disclaimer: I've left MK for UK 25yrs ago so only tangentially interested in local events)
11:23 AM · Dec 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time only will tell what happens. Don't think there is enough EU carrot for any in WB, not only MK (there's been on WB movement in the last 10 yrs). Wrt MK-BG specifically - this to me looks like another 30yrs of "will stand still zero movement":
> "... when leaders in Bulgaria say `please recognize a minority' ... they have in mind not few thousand people ... but half of your population ... everybody that has a Bulgarian passport ... so the longer you are outside EU, the more people will get Bulgarian passport ... the moment you make this concession, you will end up not in the EU, but with a new internal conflict ..."
From the excellent @rumeliobserver (at 18'50") https://youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPR. (disclaimer: I've left MK for UK 25yrs ago so only tangentially interested in local events)
11:23 AM · Dec 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735958832327569530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@rumeliobserver Ima dobra poenta ovde: ne e se do MK, posto ako bese samo do MK, ke imase napredok vo pregovori so nekoja druga zemja od WB. Posto nema napredok so niedna zemja od WB, zaklucok konkretno momentalno ne e do WB (ni do MK). EU se otvori za novi clenki posle 1999-ta otkako Germanija+Francija se uplasija od vojnata na Kosovo. Prethodno ne sakaa prosiruvanje (na 28'31"). Super intervju -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU&t=403s
9:43 AM · Dec 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@rumeliobserver Ima dobra poenta ovde: ne e se do MK, posto ako bese samo do MK, ke imase napredok vo pregovori so nekoja druga zemja od WB. Posto nema napredok so niedna zemja od WB, zaklucok konkretno momentalno ne e do WB (ni do MK). EU se otvori za novi clenki posle 1999-ta otkako Germanija+Francija se uplasija od vojnata na Kosovo. Prethodno ne sakaa prosiruvanje (na 28'31"). Super intervju -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU&t=403s
9:43 AM · Dec 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735811821326442955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent interview! 👏👏 All my life I had herd slogans without much practical done. (viza free travel being the notable exception) You talk a lot of sense - kudos @rumeliobserver 👍😊
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU&feature=youtu.be
11:59 PM · Dec 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent interview! 👏👏 All my life I had herd slogans without much practical done. (viza free travel being the notable exception) You talk a lot of sense - kudos @rumeliobserver 👍😊
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU&feature=youtu.be
11:59 PM · Dec 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735810304326484479
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Паметно интервју на таа тема со @rumeliobserver
Translate post
youtube.com
ЗАСПИЈ АКО МОЖЕШ (13.12.2023) ГОСТИН: ГЕРАЛД КНАУС
РАБОТЕТЕ ЗА ЦЕЛОСНО ЧЛЕНСТВО ВО ЕУ НО НАДЕВАЈТЕ СЕ САМО НА ЕДИНСТВЕНИОТ ЕКОНОМСКИ ПАЗАР
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU
11:53 PM · Dec 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Паметно интервју на таа тема со @rumeliobserver
Translate post
youtube.com
ЗАСПИЈ АКО МОЖЕШ (13.12.2023) ГОСТИН: ГЕРАЛД КНАУС
РАБОТЕТЕ ЗА ЦЕЛОСНО ЧЛЕНСТВО ВО ЕУ НО НАДЕВАЈТЕ СЕ САМО НА ЕДИНСТВЕНИОТ ЕКОНОМСКИ ПАЗАР
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHtDPRVfaMU
11:53 PM · Dec 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735725071493120471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!”
6:14 PM · Dec 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!”
6:14 PM · Dec 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735455748098781394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @X @elonmusk - it's a human here not a program or a bot - despite X thinking otherwise (see the bottom of the screenshot). I am denied service I lawfully paid for on false pretense.bYou remain mute like a black hole that no information escapes from. Your conduct is pitiful.
Image
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 13
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
12:24 AM · Dec 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @X @elonmusk - it's a human here not a program or a bot - despite X thinking otherwise (see the bottom of the screenshot). I am denied service I lawfully paid for on false pretense.bYou remain mute like a black hole that no information escapes from. Your conduct is pitiful.
Image
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 13
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
12:24 AM · Dec 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735438734156263669
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I support AI companions. Humans are tad too full with themselves, as if we are the centre of the universe. First Kopernikus, then Darwin, showed us we are not as special as we think we are. But we are slow learners. So AI should help us recalibrate - and that's a good thing.
11:16 PM · Dec 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I support AI companions. Humans are tad too full with themselves, as if we are the centre of the universe. First Kopernikus, then Darwin, showed us we are not as special as we think we are. But we are slow learners. So AI should help us recalibrate - and that's a good thing.
11:16 PM · Dec 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735436317331161101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what a bunch of incompetents you are @X @elonmusk - my granny could do better 🤬😡🤬
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 13
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
11:07 PM · Dec 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
what a bunch of incompetents you are @X @elonmusk - my granny could do better 🤬😡🤬
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 13
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
11:07 PM · Dec 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1735047872045846701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Porano mi licese na mlatenje prazna slama i me potsekase na praznite monolozi na TV dnevnik vo 19:30 od moeto detstvo za drugarot toj-i-toj i socijalistickoto ova-ili-ona. Pa ne sum zasledil sto se zbori. Nekako ne go zemam za seriozno, konsekventno, nesto sto ke mi go povlijae zivotot. Ne znam zasto? Verojatno ne sum vo pravo, treba da poglednam sto se zbori.
9:23 PM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Porano mi licese na mlatenje prazna slama i me potsekase na praznite monolozi na TV dnevnik vo 19:30 od moeto detstvo za drugarot toj-i-toj i socijalistickoto ova-ili-ona. Pa ne sum zasledil sto se zbori. Nekako ne go zemam za seriozno, konsekventno, nesto sto ke mi go povlijae zivotot. Ne znam zasto? Verojatno ne sum vo pravo, treba da poglednam sto se zbori.
9:23 PM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734994464064586223
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and while @X restricted adding an acc to a list fails silently which is very much *not ideal* - grrr... 🤬🤬 Admittedly webdev is hard, but webdevs have Giga-Tera-Bytes-Hertz at their disposal to do better, they're not exactly peek-and-poke-ing on 16KB 8bit micros anymore. FIXIT pls @elonmusk
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 13
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
5:51 PM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and while @X restricted adding an acc to a list fails silently which is very much *not ideal* - grrr... 🤬🤬 Admittedly webdev is hard, but webdevs have Giga-Tera-Bytes-Hertz at their disposal to do better, they're not exactly peek-and-poke-ing on 16KB 8bit micros anymore. FIXIT pls @elonmusk
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 13
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
5:51 PM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734981172617162882
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
4:58 PM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@elonmusk Reorganizing follows assigning them to lists triggers "suspicious activity maybe not human" restriction to the account. @X has my name, picture, phone#, email, CC+payment - what else does the misfiring algorithm need to decide "yep, @ljupc0 is defo human". FIXIT pls?
4:58 PM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734971953960583356
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, good to know. Long papers - thanks but no thanks unlikely I'd have the patience and stamina to read them, there is not enough time, life is increasingly ever shorter.
4:22 PM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, good to know. Long papers - thanks but no thanks unlikely I'd have the patience and stamina to read them, there is not enough time, life is increasingly ever shorter.
4:22 PM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734909267528839425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha :-) - it's still there, only with wegovy we like it a bit less, and it turns out that's for the better? everything in moderation ;-)
12:12 PM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha :-) - it's still there, only with wegovy we like it a bit less, and it turns out that's for the better? everything in moderation ;-)
12:12 PM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734904155137819033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - there is always that concern, esp considering we know so little in things we do, there is only ever a tiny kernel of solid knowledge, and the rest is all trial-and-error and a directed repeated search for something that will work in the end (re/search). Usually - and hopefully it will be this time too - a bigger problem is solved, and then the solution creates a smaller problem. Then we try to solve that one... :-)
11:52 AM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - there is always that concern, esp considering we know so little in things we do, there is only ever a tiny kernel of solid knowledge, and the rest is all trial-and-error and a directed repeated search for something that will work in the end (re/search). Usually - and hopefully it will be this time too - a bigger problem is solved, and then the solution creates a smaller problem. Then we try to solve that one... :-)
11:52 AM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734897584857022583
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - huge if true
> Something in these drugs seems to interrupt the dopamine reward cycle which leads to addictive behaviour, of any kind. And given that almost the entire world is addicted to something, from fatty food to smartphones to online poker to fentanyl, this could be a miracle from medical heaven. It will make the advent of semaglutides as significant and positive as the discovery of antibiotics. Maybe bigger.
Quote
Christopher Snowdon 🇺🇦 @cjsnowdon · Dec 13
Semaglutide cures not only obesity but alcoholism. It’s going to put the whole nanny state industry out of work. They’ll probably try to ban it. https://spectator.co.uk/article/ozempic-has-cured-my-alcoholism/
11:26 AM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - huge if true
> Something in these drugs seems to interrupt the dopamine reward cycle which leads to addictive behaviour, of any kind. And given that almost the entire world is addicted to something, from fatty food to smartphones to online poker to fentanyl, this could be a miracle from medical heaven. It will make the advent of semaglutides as significant and positive as the discovery of antibiotics. Maybe bigger.
Quote
Christopher Snowdon 🇺🇦 @cjsnowdon · Dec 13
Semaglutide cures not only obesity but alcoholism. It’s going to put the whole nanny state industry out of work. They’ll probably try to ban it. https://spectator.co.uk/article/ozempic-has-cured-my-alcoholism/
11:26 AM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734880060497178700
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That we deny, we forbid - forbid!! - the opportunity for the refugees to work while whatever else is going on in the legal process, and we keep doing that for many years, must be one of the most stupid and evil policies ever that damages everyone. Have not seen much written about this - how did this truly stupid policy come to be, how come it's not been challenged 1st intellectually in the world of ideas then politically practically. Just total silence and we accept it as if there can be no other way. Whereas - it can be very different, can be changed with a stroke of pen.
10:16 AM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That we deny, we forbid - forbid!! - the opportunity for the refugees to work while whatever else is going on in the legal process, and we keep doing that for many years, must be one of the most stupid and evil policies ever that damages everyone. Have not seen much written about this - how did this truly stupid policy come to be, how come it's not been challenged 1st intellectually in the world of ideas then politically practically. Just total silence and we accept it as if there can be no other way. Whereas - it can be very different, can be changed with a stroke of pen.
10:16 AM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734877898400555030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stvarnno detinski razmisluvanja, kako padnati od mars, demek mnogu iznenaduvacki? Kade ziveejat ovie luge, porasnale li nekogas ili uste se vo bezgriznoto detstvo vo nivnite glavi, hahaha-hihihi tato-nosi mama-mesi?? Kako nekoj moze da bide iznenaden od bog-standard modus operandi na naj-standardna drzava.
10:08 AM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stvarnno detinski razmisluvanja, kako padnati od mars, demek mnogu iznenaduvacki? Kade ziveejat ovie luge, porasnale li nekogas ili uste se vo bezgriznoto detstvo vo nivnite glavi, hahaha-hihihi tato-nosi mama-mesi?? Kako nekoj moze da bide iznenaden od bog-standard modus operandi na naj-standardna drzava.
10:08 AM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734875800380363002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, I read somewhere ages ago (possibly in "Planet of Women") that humans are somewhat peculiar in their reproduction patters in that 1) in bad times they reproduce more 2) in good times they reproduce less 3) woman half of them have almost total control over the reproduction.
9:59 AM · Dec 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, I read somewhere ages ago (possibly in "Planet of Women") that humans are somewhat peculiar in their reproduction patters in that 1) in bad times they reproduce more 2) in good times they reproduce less 3) woman half of them have almost total control over the reproduction.
9:59 AM · Dec 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734688307001295168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Who is "we"? (sorry don't know where you are located) Europe is way past a cold war (that was 2010s) - now there is a hot war ongoing, and been going for some time. Agreed FR and UK are probably fine - but will UK risk RU nuking London, in order to save e.g. Tallinn? No one can be 100% sure they will be. I'm playing the devil's advocate thinking aloud from the PoV of CEEurope country here.
9:34 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Who is "we"? (sorry don't know where you are located) Europe is way past a cold war (that was 2010s) - now there is a hot war ongoing, and been going for some time. Agreed FR and UK are probably fine - but will UK risk RU nuking London, in order to save e.g. Tallinn? No one can be 100% sure they will be. I'm playing the devil's advocate thinking aloud from the PoV of CEEurope country here.
9:34 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734686945559842985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It maybe be too late then, there will not be enough time. Russia will not be waiting - it will strike before that. They are ramping up as well as telling the world too. Best time to start the development was any earliest date post- 1991, and 2nd best time is today.
9:29 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It maybe be too late then, there will not be enough time. Russia will not be waiting - it will strike before that. They are ramping up as well as telling the world too. Best time to start the development was any earliest date post- 1991, and 2nd best time is today.
9:29 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734686200940879932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A sovereign country can join, and a sovereign country can leave any international treaty too. No need to be snarky, you know? When discussing online, it's better to state your thoughts and opinions in an affirmative way, rather than asking pointy questions.
9:26 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A sovereign country can join, and a sovereign country can leave any international treaty too. No need to be snarky, you know? When discussing online, it's better to state your thoughts and opinions in an affirmative way, rather than asking pointy questions.
9:26 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734683049806418329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noone. Noone gave nuclear deterrent to Israel or North Korea either. Balts+Poland+Nordics can build them for themselves, they can develop them themselves. If Israel - much smaller, weaker and poorer country - could do it after after 1960s, then European countries can do it too.
9:14 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noone. Noone gave nuclear deterrent to Israel or North Korea either. Balts+Poland+Nordics can build them for themselves, they can develop them themselves. If Israel - much smaller, weaker and poorer country - could do it after after 1960s, then European countries can do it too.
9:14 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734679800525230154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forbidden by whom, how? They are sovereign, and given it's a *deterrent*, against a gigantic neighbor armed to the teeth and openly threatening them, don't think anyone can begrudge them anything. Israel and North Korea didn't wait for anyone else to say "yes go do it".
9:01 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Forbidden by whom, how? They are sovereign, and given it's a *deterrent*, against a gigantic neighbor armed to the teeth and openly threatening them, don't think anyone can begrudge them anything. Israel and North Korea didn't wait for anyone else to say "yes go do it".
9:01 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734655569686896809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it's overdue that Germany (and Poland, Balts, Nordics) got their own nuclear deterrent. Amazing how sanguine they all are with nuclear armed neo-empiriral neighbor as large as all of them combined, in full territorial expansion mode, with a long history of doing this exact same thing, and they just sit do nothing and wait for their turn to come.
7:24 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it's overdue that Germany (and Poland, Balts, Nordics) got their own nuclear deterrent. Amazing how sanguine they all are with nuclear armed neo-empiriral neighbor as large as all of them combined, in full territorial expansion mode, with a long history of doing this exact same thing, and they just sit do nothing and wait for their turn to come.
7:24 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734630249684402656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! One of the all time favorites - thanks for the reminder :-) - episodes here https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00ghvd8/episodes/player
TBF I agree with the thesis Transparency==Surveillance. Will read it once free (TBD), but before reading 😱😱 to push mildly back against the implied "... and that maybe bad", I'd say on balance it's likely to be more good than bad. Yes, it is possible that we clam into secrecy & stop communicating/sharing or even worse start lying. However:
1) Us civilians not in positions of power are already under surveillance - even if mostly voluntary via social media. For people in positions of huge power to be granted secrecy as default strikes me as an odd step. I think on the contrary - radical transparency should be the default.
2) My own experience of making decisions under uncertainty with risk and consequence (only much $$$/livelihoods staked - but not actual human lives) is that transparency/surveillance made me more honest with myself in how much I know and don't know and what I can reasonably claim to be true.
3) Thinking back I think secrecy would have added to the pressure, not distracted. Being less than completely transparent would have offered the temptation of an easy road out wrt my own ego. But that would have been an illusion. The only way to survive with sanity intact is to write down in the open everything that influenced the decision, warts and all. Everything else comes back to byte you.
5:44 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! One of the all time favorites - thanks for the reminder :-) - episodes here https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00ghvd8/episodes/player
TBF I agree with the thesis Transparency==Surveillance. Will read it once free (TBD), but before reading 😱😱 to push mildly back against the implied "... and that maybe bad", I'd say on balance it's likely to be more good than bad. Yes, it is possible that we clam into secrecy & stop communicating/sharing or even worse start lying. However:
1) Us civilians not in positions of power are already under surveillance - even if mostly voluntary via social media. For people in positions of huge power to be granted secrecy as default strikes me as an odd step. I think on the contrary - radical transparency should be the default.
2) My own experience of making decisions under uncertainty with risk and consequence (only much $$$/livelihoods staked - but not actual human lives) is that transparency/surveillance made me more honest with myself in how much I know and don't know and what I can reasonably claim to be true.
3) Thinking back I think secrecy would have added to the pressure, not distracted. Being less than completely transparent would have offered the temptation of an easy road out wrt my own ego. But that would have been an illusion. The only way to survive with sanity intact is to write down in the open everything that influenced the decision, warts and all. Everything else comes back to byte you.
5:44 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734587156629246416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I am inside NICE guidelines - but apparently that's necessary but not sufficient. No idea what's sufficient or if that even exists - afaik a GP can always refuse to prescribe, it's entirely within their rights.
2:52 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I am inside NICE guidelines - but apparently that's necessary but not sufficient. No idea what's sufficient or if that even exists - afaik a GP can always refuse to prescribe, it's entirely within their rights.
2:52 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734580807610597384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Condolences. Also possibly worth checking Auto-Filter if you are not already using it. (I've used that a lot too, in addition to Text-to-Columns)
2:27 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Condolences. Also possibly worth checking Auto-Filter if you are not already using it. (I've used that a lot too, in addition to Text-to-Columns)
2:27 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734579529102786752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there any hope ever that a GP will prescribe it? Atm my GP refuses to prescribe it to me. Didn't completely understand to what extent it's "can't" v.s. "won't" (on the consultation). I'm buying it online myself atm for £200 (lower) and £300 (higher dosages), for 4 weeks.
2:22 PM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there any hope ever that a GP will prescribe it? Atm my GP refuses to prescribe it to me. Didn't completely understand to what extent it's "can't" v.s. "won't" (on the consultation). I'm buying it online myself atm for £200 (lower) and £300 (higher dosages), for 4 weeks.
2:22 PM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734505566964191425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We don't learn from history so we're bound to repeat it. We'll be "lucky" if it stays conventional and not go nuclear. Courtesy of LLMs -
Key events leading up to and during the early stages of World War II, particularly focusing on German and Soviet expansion.
German Expansion:
1936: Germany reoccupies the Rhineland in violation of the Treaty of Versailles.
1938: Germany annexes Austria (Anschluss) and the Sudetenland from Czechoslovakia following the Munich Agreement.
1939: Germany invades Poland, prompting Britain and France to declare war, marking the beginning of World War II.
Soviet Expansion:
1939: The Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact is signed between Germany and the Soviet Union, secretly dividing Eastern Europe into spheres of influence.
1939: The Soviet Union invades Finland, leading to the Winter War.
1940: The Soviet Union annexes parts of Romania.
1940: The Soviet Union invades and occupies the Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania).
These events illustrate the geopolitical developments and aggressions that set the stage for the broader conflict of World War II. The Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, in particular, played a significant role in shaping the early stages of the war by redistributing territories in Eastern Europe.
9:28 AM · Dec 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We don't learn from history so we're bound to repeat it. We'll be "lucky" if it stays conventional and not go nuclear. Courtesy of LLMs -
Key events leading up to and during the early stages of World War II, particularly focusing on German and Soviet expansion.
German Expansion:
1936: Germany reoccupies the Rhineland in violation of the Treaty of Versailles.
1938: Germany annexes Austria (Anschluss) and the Sudetenland from Czechoslovakia following the Munich Agreement.
1939: Germany invades Poland, prompting Britain and France to declare war, marking the beginning of World War II.
Soviet Expansion:
1939: The Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact is signed between Germany and the Soviet Union, secretly dividing Eastern Europe into spheres of influence.
1939: The Soviet Union invades Finland, leading to the Winter War.
1940: The Soviet Union annexes parts of Romania.
1940: The Soviet Union invades and occupies the Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania).
These events illustrate the geopolitical developments and aggressions that set the stage for the broader conflict of World War II. The Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, in particular, played a significant role in shaping the early stages of the war by redistributing territories in Eastern Europe.
9:28 AM · Dec 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734215569191088467
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bas da vidime sto ke ispadne. Ne znam nisto za Argentina, samo znam za inflacijata sto trae 20+ god ili sl, i racunam deka inflacijata e simptom na disfunkcionalen drzaven sistem. Posto propaganje na drzava i pocnuvanje na nova e traumaticno i skapo (najskapo - gubenje i povtorno vospostavuvanje na monopol na nasilstvo), ne e kako "ke ostavime da propadne firmata, ima 10 drugi sto ke go zemat nejzinoto mesto", ova mi lici na polu-cekor: skrati 50% zadrzi samo toa sto minimalno potrebno minimalna funkcija, da vidime dali ke se regenerira izrasne nova v2 sto podobro ke funkcionira od prethodnata v1.
2:16 PM · Dec 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bas da vidime sto ke ispadne. Ne znam nisto za Argentina, samo znam za inflacijata sto trae 20+ god ili sl, i racunam deka inflacijata e simptom na disfunkcionalen drzaven sistem. Posto propaganje na drzava i pocnuvanje na nova e traumaticno i skapo (najskapo - gubenje i povtorno vospostavuvanje na monopol na nasilstvo), ne e kako "ke ostavime da propadne firmata, ima 10 drugi sto ke go zemat nejzinoto mesto", ova mi lici na polu-cekor: skrati 50% zadrzi samo toa sto minimalno potrebno minimalna funkcija, da vidime dali ke se regenerira izrasne nova v2 sto podobro ke funkcionira od prethodnata v1.
2:16 PM · Dec 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1734209417506119756
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tangenta, nesto mi teknuva: globalizacijata ima mnogu protivnici, edno drugo treto ne cini ne e dobro, ama ako ja snema globalizacijata totalno togas ne samo sto ke plakame 66%, no i 166% i 366%, ako voopsto i e dozvoleno nesto da se uveze - e togas mnogu ke ja barame globalizacijata nazad.
1:51 PM · Dec 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tangenta, nesto mi teknuva: globalizacijata ima mnogu protivnici, edno drugo treto ne cini ne e dobro, ama ako ja snema globalizacijata totalno togas ne samo sto ke plakame 66%, no i 166% i 366%, ako voopsto i e dozvoleno nesto da se uveze - e togas mnogu ke ja barame globalizacijata nazad.
1:51 PM · Dec 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733850442587640075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rob Wilson appears to be a classic of the case "energetic AND stupid => get him out of the organisation ASAP". Energetic and stupid is a deadly combo. Stupid does damage in a way a non-stupid person can not foresee, and with lots of energy the amount of damage will be immense. Lunatics in an asylum often have extraordinary maniacal energy.
Image
2:05 PM · Dec 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rob Wilson appears to be a classic of the case "energetic AND stupid => get him out of the organisation ASAP". Energetic and stupid is a deadly combo. Stupid does damage in a way a non-stupid person can not foresee, and with lots of energy the amount of damage will be immense. Lunatics in an asylum often have extraordinary maniacal energy.
Image
2:05 PM · Dec 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733824458777874494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. AJ is free to say what he wants to. It does not necessarily follow that you EM are obliged to provide him a megaphone so we all can hear him. AJ is free to build his own megaphone if he wants to. Having a liar/cheat on a platform adds to the rotten apples that will ultimately spoil the entire barrel.
12:22 PM · Dec 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. AJ is free to say what he wants to. It does not necessarily follow that you EM are obliged to provide him a megaphone so we all can hear him. AJ is free to build his own megaphone if he wants to. Having a liar/cheat on a platform adds to the rotten apples that will ultimately spoil the entire barrel.
12:22 PM · Dec 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733781074340196591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my lifetime 1) AIDS - stopped being deadly, +ve test delivering a death sentence - few or not many noticed; 2) Helicobacter pylori - people stopped dying of perforated ulcers (childhood story - "his ulcer burst & he bled before getting to the operating theater/couldn't be saved") - everyone I remind is surprised, it's not common knowledge it seems.
9:29 AM · Dec 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my lifetime 1) AIDS - stopped being deadly, +ve test delivering a death sentence - few or not many noticed; 2) Helicobacter pylori - people stopped dying of perforated ulcers (childhood story - "his ulcer burst & he bled before getting to the operating theater/couldn't be saved") - everyone I remind is surprised, it's not common knowledge it seems.
9:29 AM · Dec 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733776763329667440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Ok, it maybe cheesy, but is it untrue? That the chances are that today, this particular day, is not that turning point. I am not disputing that it happens - I'm saying chances are against it happening today (when I conveniently happened to think about this stuff). For us to have that much meta-knowledge, knowledge-about-other-knowledge, not only that something new will be discovered but also the timing of it - that would be indeed incredibly useful. But I've seen no evidence that we have any handle there (and plenty that we don't). I don't disagree that we 1) learn (science) then 2) exploit (technology) and then 3) that well runs dry and we have to dig another one. Re-search is mostly directed re-peated-search for something that works. Impossible to tell if or when something will work out in advance. In academia & industrial research always thought project/funding proposals "we will do X and figure out Y" were fools errand, a waste of bits. Physicists thought there is little left to discover in physics at the start of the 20c. (e.g. - "diminished returns"). Then a decade latter nuclear and quantum stuff (smallest of sizes) and relativity (largest of sizes) happened that ushered our current age of the atom, the micro-electronics, and space exploration.
9:12 AM · Dec 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Ok, it maybe cheesy, but is it untrue? That the chances are that today, this particular day, is not that turning point. I am not disputing that it happens - I'm saying chances are against it happening today (when I conveniently happened to think about this stuff). For us to have that much meta-knowledge, knowledge-about-other-knowledge, not only that something new will be discovered but also the timing of it - that would be indeed incredibly useful. But I've seen no evidence that we have any handle there (and plenty that we don't). I don't disagree that we 1) learn (science) then 2) exploit (technology) and then 3) that well runs dry and we have to dig another one. Re-search is mostly directed re-peated-search for something that works. Impossible to tell if or when something will work out in advance. In academia & industrial research always thought project/funding proposals "we will do X and figure out Y" were fools errand, a waste of bits. Physicists thought there is little left to discover in physics at the start of the 20c. (e.g. - "diminished returns"). Then a decade latter nuclear and quantum stuff (smallest of sizes) and relativity (largest of sizes) happened that ushered our current age of the atom, the micro-electronics, and space exploration.
9:12 AM · Dec 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733479250173247635
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anti-science, anti-technology and ultimately - anti-human. Pains me to say. 😢 Nothing has helped the human condition more than science and downstream from it technology development in the past ~250 years. Yet here we are - witnessing this pitiful spectacle in the cradle of the Enlightenment.
Quote
Thierry Breton @ThierryBreton · Dec 8
Deal!
#AIAct
1:30 PM · Dec 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anti-science, anti-technology and ultimately - anti-human. Pains me to say. 😢 Nothing has helped the human condition more than science and downstream from it technology development in the past ~250 years. Yet here we are - witnessing this pitiful spectacle in the cradle of the Enlightenment.
Quote
Thierry Breton @ThierryBreton · Dec 8
Deal!
#AIAct
1:30 PM · Dec 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733464940915167246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"If buying isn't owning, piracy isn't stealing" !!!
Whoa! A powerful idea that will shape the future. 😀 Think @doctorow just increased the chances of a better AI future. 😀 Top marks @doctorow 👏👏👏👍👍👍
https://pluralistic.net/2023/12/08/playstationed/
(via https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38578872)
12:33 PM · Dec 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"If buying isn't owning, piracy isn't stealing" !!!
Whoa! A powerful idea that will shape the future. 😀 Think @doctorow just increased the chances of a better AI future. 😀 Top marks @doctorow 👏👏👏👍👍👍
https://pluralistic.net/2023/12/08/playstationed/
(via https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38578872)
12:33 PM · Dec 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733463083580821664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sound much anti-science, anti-technology and ultimately - anti-human. Sorry to say. 😢 As nothing has helped the human condition more than science and downstream from it technology development in the past ~250 years. Pitiful spectacle for the cradle of the Enlightenment. 😩 Anti- - nuclear, GMO, IT previously - now anti-AI. Are you *for* anything at all, have you a positive case to make for anything at all??? Depressing to watch a mass suicide for fear of the future. Future does not need to be miserable and scary you know, can be bright too. It's likely going to be what we all make of it (modulo dump luck or lack of it) - and you're giving up before even trying.
12:26 PM · Dec 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sound much anti-science, anti-technology and ultimately - anti-human. Sorry to say. 😢 As nothing has helped the human condition more than science and downstream from it technology development in the past ~250 years. Pitiful spectacle for the cradle of the Enlightenment. 😩 Anti- - nuclear, GMO, IT previously - now anti-AI. Are you *for* anything at all, have you a positive case to make for anything at all??? Depressing to watch a mass suicide for fear of the future. Future does not need to be miserable and scary you know, can be bright too. It's likely going to be what we all make of it (modulo dump luck or lack of it) - and you're giving up before even trying.
12:26 PM · Dec 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733233680586334365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear maybe - never. I think the empirical evidence around the world is - the higher the proportion of the unreliable wind-solar in the mix, the higher the retail price. I installed rooftop solar in my home (covers ~50% of my demand), betting the electricity price is going ever higher. TBS what happens.
9:14 PM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear maybe - never. I think the empirical evidence around the world is - the higher the proportion of the unreliable wind-solar in the mix, the higher the retail price. I installed rooftop solar in my home (covers ~50% of my demand), betting the electricity price is going ever higher. TBS what happens.
9:14 PM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733215006806729138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw it's a non trivial Q 😱 for most people (as e.g. the likes of heads-or-tails wd be), and kudos to the Harvard doctors for reaching even 20%. I'd have expected more like 1-in-a-100 tbh! 😬 Maybe one way to drum it into our heads would be to have Bayes odds learned by rote?
Convenient Bayes odds : prior P(A)/P(not A) x P(B|A)/P(B|not A) ratio = P(A|B)/P(not A|B) posterior
8:00 PM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw it's a non trivial Q 😱 for most people (as e.g. the likes of heads-or-tails wd be), and kudos to the Harvard doctors for reaching even 20%. I'd have expected more like 1-in-a-100 tbh! 😬 Maybe one way to drum it into our heads would be to have Bayes odds learned by rote?
Convenient Bayes odds : prior P(A)/P(not A) x P(B|A)/P(B|not A) ratio = P(A|B)/P(not A|B) posterior
8:00 PM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733200380840882214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have no way of knowing what will or will not happen in the future (neither do I, nor does anyone else). However - in the past they have done it. And they are telling us daily that they will do it again. They have put their industry on a war footing. Once the war machine gets traction - it will be hard for them to stop with UKR. Wars have life of their own, few end up the way initiators anticipated they will.
7:02 PM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You have no way of knowing what will or will not happen in the future (neither do I, nor does anyone else). However - in the past they have done it. And they are telling us daily that they will do it again. They have put their industry on a war footing. Once the war machine gets traction - it will be hard for them to stop with UKR. Wars have life of their own, few end up the way initiators anticipated they will.
7:02 PM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733194075417776621
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - I don't want that for myself, my children, and I don't want that for anyone's children and grownups too. Hence - nuclear DETERRENT. Deterrent is to deter an aggressor from waging aggressive war of conquest. Like the wars stronger states initiate and wage against their weaker opponents (states) very often (and incl US vv. Iraq). Aggressive war of conquest is the supreme international crime still. It's a good rule that stood the test of time. You can read more for yourself here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_aggression
6:37 PM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary - I don't want that for myself, my children, and I don't want that for anyone's children and grownups too. Hence - nuclear DETERRENT. Deterrent is to deter an aggressor from waging aggressive war of conquest. Like the wars stronger states initiate and wage against their weaker opponents (states) very often (and incl US vv. Iraq). Aggressive war of conquest is the supreme international crime still. It's a good rule that stood the test of time. You can read more for yourself here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_aggression
6:37 PM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733164590928683297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a solution but pos better than nothing (depending on language and context - mine is C/C++): align them to the right side/margin on screen, have :set nowrap to prevent them wrapping. They should be out of sight now, not distracting off the business logic. Chose name that's convenient for quick search&replace (I use capitals for non-business logic) to bring them back to the left in-sight and turn them on, e.g :s/^\s\+NOLOGP/LOGP/ where NOLOGP a placeholder for "logging off", LOGP is a placeholder for "logging on".
4:40 PM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a solution but pos better than nothing (depending on language and context - mine is C/C++): align them to the right side/margin on screen, have :set nowrap to prevent them wrapping. They should be out of sight now, not distracting off the business logic. Chose name that's convenient for quick search&replace (I use capitals for non-business logic) to bring them back to the left in-sight and turn them on, e.g :s/^\s\+NOLOGP/LOGP/ where NOLOGP a placeholder for "logging off", LOGP is a placeholder for "logging on".
4:40 PM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733130383363830192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - 7 (!!) whole books?? (and presume another 7 on the other side?) Who has time for that?? Way shorter good enough gets you 90% there - Joseph Heat's "Economics Without Illusions" (featuring 6 right wing + 6 left wing fallacies).
2:24 PM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - 7 (!!) whole books?? (and presume another 7 on the other side?) Who has time for that?? Way shorter good enough gets you 90% there - Joseph Heat's "Economics Without Illusions" (featuring 6 right wing + 6 left wing fallacies).
2:24 PM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733090333901107618
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - za vkusovi ne se rasprava mnogu, a pa humorot verojatno e najspecificen. Ne ti se bendisuva - ok e e toa, nikoj ne te tera so sila ni da gledas ni da slusas. Live and let live. Moze ova ke ti bide posmesno 😆😆 https://youtube.com/watch?v=L3dxMGzt5mU . Da go prepoznaeme i se sprotivstavime na porivot deka neciv razlicen vkus ili idea tolku mi zasmeta, da treba da go premislam i toj da misli ili da saka nesto drugo. (obicno - toa sto jas sakam i mislam) Liberalizam==tolerancija kon rabotite sto ne mi se mili, ne mi se dopagaat. (za tie sto mi se mili lesno e da sum toleranten)
youtube.com
Ricky Gervais Humanity - Guitar Lessons
Ricky on people getting offended by internet commentary.Copyright Netflix 2018 - https://www.netflix.com/nz/title/80189653
11:45 AM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - za vkusovi ne se rasprava mnogu, a pa humorot verojatno e najspecificen. Ne ti se bendisuva - ok e e toa, nikoj ne te tera so sila ni da gledas ni da slusas. Live and let live. Moze ova ke ti bide posmesno 😆😆 https://youtube.com/watch?v=L3dxMGzt5mU . Da go prepoznaeme i se sprotivstavime na porivot deka neciv razlicen vkus ili idea tolku mi zasmeta, da treba da go premislam i toj da misli ili da saka nesto drugo. (obicno - toa sto jas sakam i mislam) Liberalizam==tolerancija kon rabotite sto ne mi se mili, ne mi se dopagaat. (za tie sto mi se mili lesno e da sum toleranten)
youtube.com
Ricky Gervais Humanity - Guitar Lessons
Ricky on people getting offended by internet commentary.Copyright Netflix 2018 - https://www.netflix.com/nz/title/80189653
11:45 AM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733080465274236961
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' looks the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc I have come across. Source
Quote
Burak Yenigun @BurakYngn · Dec 6
People are reaching for financial explanations to this but to me the reasons are obvious?
People are not having kids for the same reason they are staying single/unmarried: Life has gotten too good. The calculus around marriage and kids changed for most people.
People are… twitter.com/LinkofSunshine…
Show more
https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538
11:05 AM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' looks the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc I have come across. Source
Quote
Burak Yenigun @BurakYngn · Dec 6
People are reaching for financial explanations to this but to me the reasons are obvious?
People are not having kids for the same reason they are staying single/unmarried: Life has gotten too good. The calculus around marriage and kids changed for most people.
People are… twitter.com/LinkofSunshine…
Show more
https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538
11:05 AM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733074186380190030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Nice, the UK equivalent to - "people who, in the American phrase, were born on third base but think they've hit a triple". From
https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2023/12/the-class-base-of-bad-government.html
10:40 AM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Nice, the UK equivalent to - "people who, in the American phrase, were born on third base but think they've hit a triple". From
https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2023/12/the-class-base-of-bad-government.html
10:40 AM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1733064337646842014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Phones will get neural networks h/w accelerators like Apple has put in their Arm M-cpus. I presume extensions in h/w, plus s/w support on top so apps can take advantage of (via libraries etc). For the speed but also for the power consumption - must be in h/w.
10:01 AM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Phones will get neural networks h/w accelerators like Apple has put in their Arm M-cpus. I presume extensions in h/w, plus s/w support on top so apps can take advantage of (via libraries etc). For the speed but also for the power consumption - must be in h/w.
10:01 AM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732930285447086295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' by @BurakYngn looks to me the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc that I have come across. Source
Quote
Burak Yenigun @BurakYngn · Dec 6
People are reaching for financial explanations to this but to me the reasons are obvious?
People are not having kids for the same reason they are staying single/unmarried: Life has gotten too good. The calculus around marriage and kids changed for most people.
People are… twitter.com/LinkofSunshine…
Show more
https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538
1:09 AM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' by @BurakYngn looks to me the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc that I have come across. Source
Quote
Burak Yenigun @BurakYngn · Dec 6
People are reaching for financial explanations to this but to me the reasons are obvious?
People are not having kids for the same reason they are staying single/unmarried: Life has gotten too good. The calculus around marriage and kids changed for most people.
People are… twitter.com/LinkofSunshine…
Show more
https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538
1:09 AM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732923722552500300
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Extremes like that are unlikely and unproductive. More likely that a steady push for a longish period of time in the same direction to work out in the end. They have time. Democracies change course every 10-15 years over 2-3 electoral cycles. Russia can wait them out - just needs to stay on course.
12:43 AM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Extremes like that are unlikely and unproductive. More likely that a steady push for a longish period of time in the same direction to work out in the end. They have time. Democracies change course every 10-15 years over 2-3 electoral cycles. Russia can wait them out - just needs to stay on course.
12:43 AM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732923722552500300
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has been dominating one way or another its smaller weaker neighbors to its west/south-west (Baltics inc Finland, Central Europe, Balkans) for the last 200+yrs. From Moscow looking to the west and south, these puny neighbors do look like quarrelsome & silly piglets, that are very much into themselves, self-absorbed in their petty disputes, and regularly failing to spot the big wolf right behind them. They make tasty morsels and are not too hard to get. Russia interests are clear and they articulate them completely and frequently. I see this earth-shattering news (not!) has not reached you yet. If the history of how WW2 started (one episode of many - the one that got out of control, so we all get to learn abt it in school) means nothing to you - don't think anyone can teach you anything really. What you call "cyber warfare" is wider non-military means to influence those countries. If that fails, Russia will move to military means. As was with Georgia (non-military worked eventually), Belarus (non-military) and currently Ukraine (non-military domination finally failed by 2014 so Russia only remaining options left was to switch to military means of control).
12:23 AM · Dec 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has been dominating one way or another its smaller weaker neighbors to its west/south-west (Baltics inc Finland, Central Europe, Balkans) for the last 200+yrs. From Moscow looking to the west and south, these puny neighbors do look like quarrelsome & silly piglets, that are very much into themselves, self-absorbed in their petty disputes, and regularly failing to spot the big wolf right behind them. They make tasty morsels and are not too hard to get. Russia interests are clear and they articulate them completely and frequently. I see this earth-shattering news (not!) has not reached you yet. If the history of how WW2 started (one episode of many - the one that got out of control, so we all get to learn abt it in school) means nothing to you - don't think anyone can teach you anything really. What you call "cyber warfare" is wider non-military means to influence those countries. If that fails, Russia will move to military means. As was with Georgia (non-military worked eventually), Belarus (non-military) and currently Ukraine (non-military domination finally failed by 2014 so Russia only remaining options left was to switch to military means of control).
12:23 AM · Dec 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732877331134324769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Const reference parameters, to show me which parameters are read-only inputs and which are mutable (output or input-output) make my life much easier. Hands off the very agreeable const please.
9:38 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Const reference parameters, to show me which parameters are read-only inputs and which are mutable (output or input-output) make my life much easier. Hands off the very agreeable const please.
9:38 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732873820938105086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is plenty of evidence - in the publicly available RU propaganda drummed daily into the population, ramping up the country industries to war effort footing, weekly posts by high ranking officials, etc. RU massed 200K now, there is nothing preventing them raising 1M and more in 10 years. You can not possibly foresee the future - no one can.
9:24 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is plenty of evidence - in the publicly available RU propaganda drummed daily into the population, ramping up the country industries to war effort footing, weekly posts by high ranking officials, etc. RU massed 200K now, there is nothing preventing them raising 1M and more in 10 years. You can not possibly foresee the future - no one can.
9:24 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732872215186575515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If one is in academia - yeah, it's comfortable to underpromise overdeliver taking zero risk. For a fast moving tech company - that strategy is suicidal. Only good survival strategy is to overpromise, buy time and then maybe deliver.
9:18 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If one is in academia - yeah, it's comfortable to underpromise overdeliver taking zero risk. For a fast moving tech company - that strategy is suicidal. Only good survival strategy is to overpromise, buy time and then maybe deliver.
9:18 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732870384960114924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can not possibly know that for sure, no one can, as it is not possible to see i the future. As for the past - we all know that CEEu states were divvied up gobbled by Germany and the Soviet Union. That set off a world war. Nuke deterent would likely forestall another one in ths next 10-25yrs.
9:11 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can not possibly know that for sure, no one can, as it is not possible to see i the future. As for the past - we all know that CEEu states were divvied up gobbled by Germany and the Soviet Union. That set off a world war. Nuke deterent would likely forestall another one in ths next 10-25yrs.
9:11 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732864512489836834
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Balts+Poland must join forces & develop credible nuclear deterrent in the next 5 years if they want to live. US maybe willing to fight for London or Paris (maybe), but certainly is not going to fight back if RU nukes Warsaw. 1939 was lesson enough for CEEu one'd have though - but apparently not. If Israel could do it half a century ago much smaller and poorer, CEE states should be able to cut it.
8:47 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Balts+Poland must join forces & develop credible nuclear deterrent in the next 5 years if they want to live. US maybe willing to fight for London or Paris (maybe), but certainly is not going to fight back if RU nukes Warsaw. 1939 was lesson enough for CEEu one'd have though - but apparently not. If Israel could do it half a century ago much smaller and poorer, CEE states should be able to cut it.
8:47 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732851338881462285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The VitD multi-season soap opera can be thought in postgraduate research studies where they teach methodology of research and similar as "here are several case studies in how re/search can fail to reach conclusion (either yes or no) in the most pedestrian ways possible that any researcher should e able to surmount with a modicum of effort and intelligence". Starting with a case study of how the initial flawed recommended dosing was 10x too small (ok, mistakes happen) and subsequently paper correcting that (published every few years) have somehow failed to take hold in the minds of scientists, regulators, public health officials (not ok) that really should know (and do) better.
7:55 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The VitD multi-season soap opera can be thought in postgraduate research studies where they teach methodology of research and similar as "here are several case studies in how re/search can fail to reach conclusion (either yes or no) in the most pedestrian ways possible that any researcher should e able to surmount with a modicum of effort and intelligence". Starting with a case study of how the initial flawed recommended dosing was 10x too small (ok, mistakes happen) and subsequently paper correcting that (published every few years) have somehow failed to take hold in the minds of scientists, regulators, public health officials (not ok) that really should know (and do) better.
7:55 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732848877143724463
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That would require that we live in this one unique moment, among the billions of moments, where we have reached diminishing returns. Like being in that one turning point after 1000 points of uptrend, things turn, and we have 1000 points of downtrend after. That sole 1 point where things turn - for us to figure we are in that exact spot, well, the laws of probability work against us. Hence - skeptical that any one person can identify the point in realtime.
7:45 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That would require that we live in this one unique moment, among the billions of moments, where we have reached diminishing returns. Like being in that one turning point after 1000 points of uptrend, things turn, and we have 1000 points of downtrend after. That sole 1 point where things turn - for us to figure we are in that exact spot, well, the laws of probability work against us. Hence - skeptical that any one person can identify the point in realtime.
7:45 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732805416512327835
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the "reasoning loop" is still open (no feedback), so the model does probably as bad as an average human wd when asked a similar Q & having their 1st stab at it (before running it for feedback). It'll get wild 😱 when the model not only 1) produces code, but then 2) runs it, and 3) gathers results, then 4) feeds the difference result minus expectation 5) back to the input for a 6) 2nd shot. And then 7) repeats that a few times. I imagine the likes of @demishassabis
are not merely thinking abt this but actually doing sth about 1-7. 🤩 A natural->programming lang forward that then gets program->natural backward in the feedback loop wd also be a good spin on the man-vs-machine, if I may say. 😂
4:52 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF the "reasoning loop" is still open (no feedback), so the model does probably as bad as an average human wd when asked a similar Q & having their 1st stab at it (before running it for feedback). It'll get wild 😱 when the model not only 1) produces code, but then 2) runs it, and 3) gathers results, then 4) feeds the difference result minus expectation 5) back to the input for a 6) 2nd shot. And then 7) repeats that a few times. I imagine the likes of @demishassabis
are not merely thinking abt this but actually doing sth about 1-7. 🤩 A natural->programming lang forward that then gets program->natural backward in the feedback loop wd also be a good spin on the man-vs-machine, if I may say. 😂
4:52 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732800553208475819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pogresen covek prasuvas 🤦♂️ - da znev kako, jas ke gi zarabotev. Ne sum zarabotil ni 10 denari na Internet, onlajn, na web etc, na nieden nacin, a bev verojatno megu prvite vo MK koi vidoa Internet (a pred toa i BBS mrezi). 😭 Vo industrija koja porasna za mojot zivot od buvalno 0 do N milijardi. Talent za biznis 0. 🤷♂️ Kako obicno zarabotuvaat lugeto od web sajtovi - Google AdSense reklami? Ne znam, treskam - podobro od mene e da gi prasas ChatGPT/Bard/Bing "kako"?
4:33 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pogresen covek prasuvas 🤦♂️ - da znev kako, jas ke gi zarabotev. Ne sum zarabotil ni 10 denari na Internet, onlajn, na web etc, na nieden nacin, a bev verojatno megu prvite vo MK koi vidoa Internet (a pred toa i BBS mrezi). 😭 Vo industrija koja porasna za mojot zivot od buvalno 0 do N milijardi. Talent za biznis 0. 🤷♂️ Kako obicno zarabotuvaat lugeto od web sajtovi - Google AdSense reklami? Ne znam, treskam - podobro od mene e da gi prasas ChatGPT/Bard/Bing "kako"?
4:33 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732791957884199091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ke vidime - obicno sto posiromashna zemjata, toa polosha ekologijata. Moze ke bide dobro za nas rabotnickata klasa ;-) Ima vreme duri pocne da se namaluva brojot (==nie sto sme veke rodeni da umreme), a dotogas ako e potrebno mozebi i nekoe tehnolosko resenie ke se najde e.g. https://thewalrus.ca/will-new-tech-end-the-need-for-human-pregnancy/ . Najdobro objasnuvanje sto sum procital dosega e ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' - https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538 . Posto stvarno nosenje dete vo stomak 9 meseci i poroduvanje mi lici da e prilicno varvarska rabota.
3:59 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ke vidime - obicno sto posiromashna zemjata, toa polosha ekologijata. Moze ke bide dobro za nas rabotnickata klasa ;-) Ima vreme duri pocne da se namaluva brojot (==nie sto sme veke rodeni da umreme), a dotogas ako e potrebno mozebi i nekoe tehnolosko resenie ke se najde e.g. https://thewalrus.ca/will-new-tech-end-the-need-for-human-pregnancy/ . Najdobro objasnuvanje sto sum procital dosega e ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' - https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538 . Posto stvarno nosenje dete vo stomak 9 meseci i poroduvanje mi lici da e prilicno varvarska rabota.
3:59 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732785008132124889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - plot twist: i niz prostor i niz vreme, celo vreme se povtoruval eden te ist karakter. 😱🤯
"The Egg " story by Andy Weir as told by @Kurz_Gesagt
youtube.com
The Egg - A Short Story
The Egg Story by Andy Weir Animated by Kurzgesagt A Big Thanks to Andy Weir for allowing us to use his story.The original was released here: http://www.galactan...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6fcK_fRYaI
3:31 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - plot twist: i niz prostor i niz vreme, celo vreme se povtoruval eden te ist karakter. 😱🤯
"The Egg " story by Andy Weir as told by @Kurz_Gesagt
youtube.com
The Egg - A Short Story
The Egg Story by Andy Weir Animated by Kurzgesagt A Big Thanks to Andy Weir for allowing us to use his story.The original was released here: http://www.galactan...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6fcK_fRYaI
3:31 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732780185802416548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha :-) - za pamet! Poopshto poshiroko na srodna tema -
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
3:12 PM · Dec 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha :-) - za pamet! Poopshto poshiroko na srodna tema -
lesswrong.com
Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate — LessWrong
From when I was still forced to attend, I remember our synagogue's annual fundraising appeal. It was a simple enough format, if I recall correctly.…
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
3:12 PM · Dec 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732507158225256943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That this fix has not happened already https://digitalmars.com/articles/C-biggest-mistake.html
is a mystery. Nothing else comes close in bang-for-buck. At least we got Ndim matrix dimensions at runtime via Variably Modified Types (*not* arrays - VMT not VLA; maybe by accident/side effect).
9:07 PM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That this fix has not happened already https://digitalmars.com/articles/C-biggest-mistake.html
is a mystery. Nothing else comes close in bang-for-buck. At least we got Ndim matrix dimensions at runtime via Variably Modified Types (*not* arrays - VMT not VLA; maybe by accident/side effect).
9:07 PM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732466276872679544
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe a bit of competition will do us a bit of good, for us to see we are not as unique and irreplaceable as we assume? Like what Copernikus did about our place in the solar system, and Darwin about our place in the natural world?
6:25 PM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe a bit of competition will do us a bit of good, for us to see we are not as unique and irreplaceable as we assume? Like what Copernikus did about our place in the solar system, and Darwin about our place in the natural world?
6:25 PM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732464686015066454
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The link is about gestation outside mothers. So that's one way of addressing the problem of lack of humans the pro-natalists are worried about. If you clicked on the link you'd have seen that, big brains. Nothing wrong with boomers in general - even I am not one. Your comment on the other hand - somewhat presumptuous and a bit stupid tbh. Do better in the future - bye
6:19 PM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The link is about gestation outside mothers. So that's one way of addressing the problem of lack of humans the pro-natalists are worried about. If you clicked on the link you'd have seen that, big brains. Nothing wrong with boomers in general - even I am not one. Your comment on the other hand - somewhat presumptuous and a bit stupid tbh. Do better in the future - bye
6:19 PM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732461079232467091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mind your own business, Internet is free, I can reply or not to whomever I pretty please.
6:04 PM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mind your own business, Internet is free, I can reply or not to whomever I pretty please.
6:04 PM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732448800478810210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF gestation and birth is pretty barbaric. Can't fault women for being less than enthusiastic. More likely than not that technology will address the FR collapse once it becomes a calamity. Sth along the lines of
https://thewalrus.ca/will-new-tech-end-the-need-for-human-pregnancy/
5:15 PM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF gestation and birth is pretty barbaric. Can't fault women for being less than enthusiastic. More likely than not that technology will address the FR collapse once it becomes a calamity. Sth along the lines of
https://thewalrus.ca/will-new-tech-end-the-need-for-human-pregnancy/
5:15 PM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732406214481387679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin has learned this lesson over time - 1) while there is an ongoing war, his rule is solid (& public opinion supports him) 2) if there is peace, his subjects become restless (& his rule is imperiled). It would be irrational of him to stop at UKR.
2:26 PM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin has learned this lesson over time - 1) while there is an ongoing war, his rule is solid (& public opinion supports him) 2) if there is peace, his subjects become restless (& his rule is imperiled). It would be irrational of him to stop at UKR.
2:26 PM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732360274911383895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The factor ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' looks to me the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc that I have come across. Top marks to @BurakYngn
Quote
Burak Yenigun @BurakYngn · Dec 6
People are reaching for financial explanations to this but to me the reasons are obvious?
People are not having kids for the same reason they are staying single/unmarried: Life has gotten too good. The calculus around marriage and kids changed for most people.
People are… twitter.com/LinkofSunshine…
Show more
https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538
11:24 AM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The factor ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' looks to me the best data fit explanation across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc that I have come across. Top marks to @BurakYngn
Quote
Burak Yenigun @BurakYngn · Dec 6
People are reaching for financial explanations to this but to me the reasons are obvious?
People are not having kids for the same reason they are staying single/unmarried: Life has gotten too good. The calculus around marriage and kids changed for most people.
People are… twitter.com/LinkofSunshine…
Show more
https://twitter.com/BurakYngn/status/1732345702955524538
11:24 AM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732359234522698034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! Of many hypothesized factors I read trying to explain the phenomena across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc - I think yours' - ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' - fits the data best!?
11:20 AM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1! Of many hypothesized factors I read trying to explain the phenomena across differing geographies, times, cultures, economies, etc - I think yours' - ``People are "selfishly" not having kids today the way they were "selfishly" having them decades ago'' - fits the data best!?
11:20 AM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732354010936467701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It takes lots of (mis)education to get to the point of being this willfully stupid. Descriptions like banality of evil, intellectuals yet idiots (IYI) come to mind. First thought was "unbelievable", then I remembered not only believable but actually seen before.
10:59 AM · Dec 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It takes lots of (mis)education to get to the point of being this willfully stupid. Descriptions like banality of evil, intellectuals yet idiots (IYI) come to mind. First thought was "unbelievable", then I remembered not only believable but actually seen before.
10:59 AM · Dec 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732104716719378620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stood the test of time - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
6:28 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stood the test of time - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
6:28 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732104148600963281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If Russia was capturing Kyev - why not? What's a State have to lose when it's being gobbled up consumed by another State? Nukes are for self-preservation of a State. Most of Europe recent history is about predation of one state over another, and wars are for survival (or extinguishing) of a State.
6:26 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If Russia was capturing Kyev - why not? What's a State have to lose when it's being gobbled up consumed by another State? Nukes are for self-preservation of a State. Most of Europe recent history is about predation of one state over another, and wars are for survival (or extinguishing) of a State.
6:26 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732075628361372031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, sum gi videl porano - super se - a i sega kliknav da vidam sto ima. Interesno, i ima mnogu! Mene hemija ne mi e prv izbor (poveke megu poslednite, khm-khm), sum dunster za hemija. Ama sinot zavrsi hemija, gledam imaat i kompjuterska hemija ("CompChem"; jas sum kompjuterdzija) pa taka malku pocnav da se interesiram, da se pletkam i jas malku :-) (i da go nerviram... ;-) )
4:33 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, sum gi videl porano - super se - a i sega kliknav da vidam sto ima. Interesno, i ima mnogu! Mene hemija ne mi e prv izbor (poveke megu poslednite, khm-khm), sum dunster za hemija. Ama sinot zavrsi hemija, gledam imaat i kompjuterska hemija ("CompChem"; jas sum kompjuterdzija) pa taka malku pocnav da se interesiram, da se pletkam i jas malku :-) (i da go nerviram... ;-) )
4:33 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732072332586373257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing I ever did for myself - LASIK. Everything was amazing - 3D mapping of he eyeball beforehand, being operated by laser (robot?) 2x10sec x 2 eyes. And the morning after (after sleeping for 18 hours) was the most spectacular morning ever for me. The sights so clear a morning view - incomparable to anything I'd experienced visually up to that point in my life.
4:19 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing I ever did for myself - LASIK. Everything was amazing - 3D mapping of he eyeball beforehand, being operated by laser (robot?) 2x10sec x 2 eyes. And the morning after (after sleeping for 18 hours) was the most spectacular morning ever for me. The sights so clear a morning view - incomparable to anything I'd experienced visually up to that point in my life.
4:19 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732070599755788381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neeee - Sabine slozeno?? Nee - super se :-) Kolku ima za ucenje na YT... pa kako nemase nekoj nas da ni raskaze vaka da ne nauci koga bevme deca vo skolo. Sega i mozokot veke ne prima :-) Uste edno so malku istorija i anegdoti -
youtube.com
Heisenberg's Microscope
In the early days of quantum mechanics, Werner Heisenberg wondered if there is a fundamental limit to how well one can resolve structures with a microscope. ...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFYnsxLuFdQ
4:13 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neeee - Sabine slozeno?? Nee - super se :-) Kolku ima za ucenje na YT... pa kako nemase nekoj nas da ni raskaze vaka da ne nauci koga bevme deca vo skolo. Sega i mozokot veke ne prima :-) Uste edno so malku istorija i anegdoti -
youtube.com
Heisenberg's Microscope
In the early days of quantum mechanics, Werner Heisenberg wondered if there is a fundamental limit to how well one can resolve structures with a microscope. ...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFYnsxLuFdQ
4:13 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Observing from close vicinity, think this covers most bases: conspiracy theory has great psychological appeal as it delivers emotional relief where there are problems with 1) the self (shaky self-esteem/narcissism); 2) others (xenophobia, paranoia); and 3) the World (epistemic matters; e.g. the need for certainty in an uncertain world). Further it can supply 4) certainty, in response to overwhelming anxiety (a sure path when one feels lost); 5) prestige, where there are self-esteem problems (‘I possess important information most people do not have); 6) ability (‘I have the power to reject “experts” and expose hidden cabals’); 7) vindication when one feels besieged (my ‘enemies’ are wrong, morally, scientifically)’; 8) connection when one feels alone; and 9) liberation:, ‘If I imagine my foes are completely malevolent, then I can use any tactic I want’.
3:24 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Observing from close vicinity, think this covers most bases: conspiracy theory has great psychological appeal as it delivers emotional relief where there are problems with 1) the self (shaky self-esteem/narcissism); 2) others (xenophobia, paranoia); and 3) the World (epistemic matters; e.g. the need for certainty in an uncertain world). Further it can supply 4) certainty, in response to overwhelming anxiety (a sure path when one feels lost); 5) prestige, where there are self-esteem problems (‘I possess important information most people do not have); 6) ability (‘I have the power to reject “experts” and expose hidden cabals’); 7) vindication when one feels besieged (my ‘enemies’ are wrong, morally, scientifically)’; 8) connection when one feels alone; and 9) liberation:, ‘If I imagine my foes are completely malevolent, then I can use any tactic I want’.
3:24 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, jas miselv telefonot pravi backup na se na nekoj cloud? Ako pravi - mozno e da ti e na cloud se seedno, iako mozebi ne na iCloud. Pa ti nemas pristap, ama Apple ima. Vo smisla cloud==kompjuter firma vo data centar. Bi trabalo se sto e data da e kriptirano vo start, pri izlez od tvojot telefon. Dosega nemalo nekoj masoven f*ckup da protece masovno data - da cuknam vo drvo.
2:57 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Hm, jas miselv telefonot pravi backup na se na nekoj cloud? Ako pravi - mozno e da ti e na cloud se seedno, iako mozebi ne na iCloud. Pa ti nemas pristap, ama Apple ima. Vo smisla cloud==kompjuter firma vo data centar. Bi trabalo se sto e data da e kriptirano vo start, pri izlez od tvojot telefon. Dosega nemalo nekoj masoven f*ckup da protece masovno data - da cuknam vo drvo.
2:57 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732049861606768771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - "ranking" e najdobro br. 1, znaci sto pomala brojka, toa podobro, taka? Anglicanite se podobrile (Read 25->13, Math 27->11, Sci 16->13) od 2009->do 2022, znaci so Brexit se opametile, ne oglupavele - taka? Se zezam - ne mislam deka ima vrska so Brexit vaka ili onaka. 😁😁
2:50 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - "ranking" e najdobro br. 1, znaci sto pomala brojka, toa podobro, taka? Anglicanite se podobrile (Read 25->13, Math 27->11, Sci 16->13) od 2009->do 2022, znaci so Brexit se opametile, ne oglupavele - taka? Se zezam - ne mislam deka ima vrska so Brexit vaka ili onaka. 😁😁
2:50 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732039752101384265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - only nukes guarantee security from state-on-state predation. Guess who argued *against* surrendering the nukes for worthless paper and future proved him right - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
2:10 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - only nukes guarantee security from state-on-state predation. Guess who argued *against* surrendering the nukes for worthless paper and future proved him right - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
2:10 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1732038658830799177
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eden od "all time favourites" - "The Uncertainty Principle: What Does It Mean, How Does It Work?" od @skdh
youtube.com
The Uncertainty Principle: What Does It Mean, How Does It Work?
Try out my quantum mechanics course (and many others on math and science) on https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get started for free, and the first 200 wi...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qC0UWxgyDD0
2:06 PM · Dec 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eden od "all time favourites" - "The Uncertainty Principle: What Does It Mean, How Does It Work?" od @skdh
youtube.com
The Uncertainty Principle: What Does It Mean, How Does It Work?
Try out my quantum mechanics course (and many others on math and science) on https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get started for free, and the first 200 wi...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qC0UWxgyDD0
2:06 PM · Dec 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1731970375766933696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent - hits the nail on the head. Yeah, competition and -ve feedback loop is fine and dandy and may lead to improvement via error correction. However - it's only 1/2 of the group relations. The remaining 1/2 is +ve feedback - cooperation, coordination, agreement, working pulling the weight together. Competition is most useful at deciding what the group should do, formulating a plan. To execute the plan and get things done - the group needs cooperation and coordination.
9:34 AM · Dec 5, 2023
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1731626081944305872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't it that quantum computing could possibly provide the means to partly address the curse of dimensionality, at least the compute side of it (not the data size side), at least in theory?
10:46 AM · Dec 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent - hits the nail on the head. Yeah, competition and -ve feedback loop is fine and dandy and may lead to improvement via error correction. However - it's only 1/2 of the group relations. The remaining 1/2 is +ve feedback - cooperation, coordination, agreement, working pulling the weight together. Competition is most useful at deciding what the group should do, formulating a plan. To execute the plan and get things done - the group needs cooperation and coordination.
9:34 AM · Dec 5, 2023
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1731626081944305872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't it that quantum computing could possibly provide the means to partly address the curse of dimensionality, at least the compute side of it (not the data size side), at least in theory?
10:46 AM · Dec 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1731621192744816904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allowing GP-s to prescribe it on the NHS so we can get it for £10 (cost of prescription) rather than £200-£300 (online @ Cheimst4U, price depending on the dose) would be a 1st step. That GP-s can't prescribe it to people who need it & are will to take it & ask for it is insanity.
10:27 AM · Dec 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allowing GP-s to prescribe it on the NHS so we can get it for £10 (cost of prescription) rather than £200-£300 (online @ Cheimst4U, price depending on the dose) would be a 1st step. That GP-s can't prescribe it to people who need it & are will to take it & ask for it is insanity.
10:27 AM · Dec 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1731611358972592334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On Gov inflating the currency - there is some of that, but most of the currency (80%) is created via commercial banks lending. Currently most of that lending (creation of money) is secured lending against property.
9:48 AM · Dec 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On Gov inflating the currency - there is some of that, but most of the currency (80%) is created via commercial banks lending. Currently most of that lending (creation of money) is secured lending against property.
9:48 AM · Dec 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1731611358972592334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On Gov inflating the currency - there is some of that, but most of the currency (80%) is created via commercial banks lending. Currently most of that lending (creation of money) is secured lending against property.
9:48 AM · Dec 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On Gov inflating the currency - there is some of that, but most of the currency (80%) is created via commercial banks lending. Currently most of that lending (creation of money) is secured lending against property.
9:48 AM · Dec 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1731610956176794085
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Empirically - lending was probably too strict under the gold standard. The world economy took off once that constraint was loosened. Preceded by other attempts to loosen it - e.g. the bi-metalism movement in the US (the original populists of the cross of gold speech), getting off it during major economic depression crisis, etc.
9:46 AM · Dec 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Empirically - lending was probably too strict under the gold standard. The world economy took off once that constraint was loosened. Preceded by other attempts to loosen it - e.g. the bi-metalism movement in the US (the original populists of the cross of gold speech), getting off it during major economic depression crisis, etc.
9:46 AM · Dec 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730616372395192768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any & all responses have already been articulated in speeches, writing, short movies, parliamentary testimonies, consultations time and time over by @HarryScoffin , @LiamSpender , @dannybster and many more. Your answer to that is a position "I'm all right jack, here's one non suffering leaseholder". Good for you. But deeply disappointing for everyone else. I'm sure you didn't enter public life to make things good & dandy for yourself only.
3:54 PM · Dec 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any & all responses have already been articulated in speeches, writing, short movies, parliamentary testimonies, consultations time and time over by @HarryScoffin , @LiamSpender , @dannybster and many more. Your answer to that is a position "I'm all right jack, here's one non suffering leaseholder". Good for you. But deeply disappointing for everyone else. I'm sure you didn't enter public life to make things good & dandy for yourself only.
3:54 PM · Dec 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730569677850435967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because residents have a direct interest in maintaining the building, they will actively engage in hiring and firing managing agents, ensuring value for money. As a bonus, this grants us control over our costs and, consequently, our lives. A stark contrast to freeholders and their closely aligned managing agents that care not about the buildings. What kind of conservative finds this perplexing?
12:48 PM · Dec 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because residents have a direct interest in maintaining the building, they will actively engage in hiring and firing managing agents, ensuring value for money. As a bonus, this grants us control over our costs and, consequently, our lives. A stark contrast to freeholders and their closely aligned managing agents that care not about the buildings. What kind of conservative finds this perplexing?
12:48 PM · Dec 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730566060145873332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh, one of "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it". Change of regime needed. Commissions, recommendations, testimonies, abuse cases, parliamentary hearings, semi-criminal MA-s daily mockery of FTT (==bringing all laws of the land in ill repute) - all water off duck's back with the dear Lord. With conservatives like this...
Quote
Lord Moylan @danielmgmoylan · Nov 30
There’s a lot to be said for leasehold - and, as a Conservative, one can see some merit in those bits of feudalism that have proven so hardy as to survive. Maybe there’s a good reason for it. twitter.com/lordroykennedy…
12:34 PM · Dec 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh, one of "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it". Change of regime needed. Commissions, recommendations, testimonies, abuse cases, parliamentary hearings, semi-criminal MA-s daily mockery of FTT (==bringing all laws of the land in ill repute) - all water off duck's back with the dear Lord. With conservatives like this...
Quote
Lord Moylan @danielmgmoylan · Nov 30
There’s a lot to be said for leasehold - and, as a Conservative, one can see some merit in those bits of feudalism that have proven so hardy as to survive. Maybe there’s a good reason for it. twitter.com/lordroykennedy…
12:34 PM · Dec 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730540533913686442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - true that, much depends on the EM ambitions for TW. Fwiw conflict between advertisers' interests and the publisher, esp when adv dislikes pub content, and especially when pub is critical of the adv on the same pages where adv advertises (and this supports the pub) - is the oldest conflict in publishing industry. :-) Little new under the sun. Maybe the novelty here is frenemies push-pull angle free speech v.s. moderation. Every online platform stumbles onto moderation (different to censorship). Looks X is walking the well trodden path albeit twists&turns on the way. This https://twitter.com/ErrataRob/status/1730300012058362335 addresses some, and @yishan had a good thread on the same at the time of EM TW purchase. I thought EM had a plan to use ML of some sort (sth like ChatGPT is now) to scale up the moderation. Only way at scale - otherwise all manually impossible to moderate TW.
10:53 AM · Dec 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - true that, much depends on the EM ambitions for TW. Fwiw conflict between advertisers' interests and the publisher, esp when adv dislikes pub content, and especially when pub is critical of the adv on the same pages where adv advertises (and this supports the pub) - is the oldest conflict in publishing industry. :-) Little new under the sun. Maybe the novelty here is frenemies push-pull angle free speech v.s. moderation. Every online platform stumbles onto moderation (different to censorship). Looks X is walking the well trodden path albeit twists&turns on the way. This https://twitter.com/ErrataRob/status/1730300012058362335 addresses some, and @yishan had a good thread on the same at the time of EM TW purchase. I thought EM had a plan to use ML of some sort (sth like ChatGPT is now) to scale up the moderation. Only way at scale - otherwise all manually impossible to moderate TW.
10:53 AM · Dec 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730390905037656195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - ke go pravat toa Violeta, Ljubica i Stojan elektronski, po email i WhatsApp, nema potreba nikoj nikade da odi so hartii vo raka. Vo privaten zivot nikoj nemaat problem so elektronska kominkacija, po FB i Viber dokumenti i sliki tecat bez problem. Na rabota si umislile deka se treba da e na hartija i so neciv potpis i pecat, iako veruvam nikoj ne im bara. Pri mozok se pravat nedovetni, go pravat zivotot na site okolu niv potezok od sto mora da bide.
12:58 AM · Dec 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe - ke go pravat toa Violeta, Ljubica i Stojan elektronski, po email i WhatsApp, nema potreba nikoj nikade da odi so hartii vo raka. Vo privaten zivot nikoj nemaat problem so elektronska kominkacija, po FB i Viber dokumenti i sliki tecat bez problem. Na rabota si umislile deka se treba da e na hartija i so neciv potpis i pecat, iako veruvam nikoj ne im bara. Pri mozok se pravat nedovetni, go pravat zivotot na site okolu niv potezok od sto mora da bide.
12:58 AM · Dec 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730279293962362918
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that's a good thing - no? The more supply - the merrier. We expect advances in architecture, instruction set esp of the open variety (RISC-V rather than ARM) to come out of the increased investment (no matter the reason). Much better then sinking ever more capital in property. So how about complaining less and maybe reporting on the +ve sides of this?? Not everything is a disaster.
5:35 PM · Nov 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that's a good thing - no? The more supply - the merrier. We expect advances in architecture, instruction set esp of the open variety (RISC-V rather than ARM) to come out of the increased investment (no matter the reason). Much better then sinking ever more capital in property. So how about complaining less and maybe reporting on the +ve sides of this?? Not everything is a disaster.
5:35 PM · Nov 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730212426329596104
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Welllll... - welcome to the world of the median voter 😂😂😂 Most of us are ignorant about most things. Plus it's more individual level rational not to spend time on daily politics than commonly appreciated: I influence the election outcome by minuscule amount, and once elected, I have also almost zero influence too over my representative. It's irrational to spend time, energy and mental effort on things I have infinitesimal influence over.
1:09 PM · Nov 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Welllll... - welcome to the world of the median voter 😂😂😂 Most of us are ignorant about most things. Plus it's more individual level rational not to spend time on daily politics than commonly appreciated: I influence the election outcome by minuscule amount, and once elected, I have also almost zero influence too over my representative. It's irrational to spend time, energy and mental effort on things I have infinitesimal influence over.
1:09 PM · Nov 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1730140414555169123
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can use crypto to take the money abroad, right? Buy btc in Beijing, password in the pocket, come to London, buy pounds with the btc and move them to an uk bank. Possible - right? Asking if it is, not claiming it's done.
8:23 AM · Nov 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can use crypto to take the money abroad, right? Buy btc in Beijing, password in the pocket, come to London, buy pounds with the btc and move them to an uk bank. Possible - right? Asking if it is, not claiming it's done.
8:23 AM · Nov 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1729865475251941860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Last time I had aerial broadcast TV was in 2000. My kids grew up without broadcast TV. I'm 55. Recently saw friends that with a Sky box only, they don't use any streaming gizmos. Felt like totally last/different century to me.
2:10 PM · Nov 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Last time I had aerial broadcast TV was in 2000. My kids grew up without broadcast TV. I'm 55. Recently saw friends that with a Sky box only, they don't use any streaming gizmos. Felt like totally last/different century to me.
2:10 PM · Nov 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1729864328499921313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids' gloves need taking off when it comes to Managing Agents. They are not toddlers, they know full well what they are doing, straining every sinew taking every advantage at every twist&turn to squeeze ever higher bills out of the hapless leaseholders that are like lambs to slaughter. MA-s are writing their own cheques themselves while we LH-ers paying them can do little and only with great cost to us in money, time and energy spent. LH-ers deserve to get control over their lives.
2:06 PM · Nov 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kids' gloves need taking off when it comes to Managing Agents. They are not toddlers, they know full well what they are doing, straining every sinew taking every advantage at every twist&turn to squeeze ever higher bills out of the hapless leaseholders that are like lambs to slaughter. MA-s are writing their own cheques themselves while we LH-ers paying them can do little and only with great cost to us in money, time and energy spent. LH-ers deserve to get control over their lives.
2:06 PM · Nov 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1729844505417859441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
These guidelines strike me not only relevant to HN, but to any written text forum (e.g. @X) that is not infotainment-for-the-lolz-only but tries to foster meaningful discussion - https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html E.g. @grok could rank posts presented to my TL higher according the above.
12:47 PM · Nov 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
These guidelines strike me not only relevant to HN, but to any written text forum (e.g. @X) that is not infotainment-for-the-lolz-only but tries to foster meaningful discussion - https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html E.g. @grok could rank posts presented to my TL higher according the above.
12:47 PM · Nov 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1729836508209647924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eve go svedocenjeto na Kiro Gligrov - ovde https://youtube.com/watch?v=uNkJnT2m1aA i ovde https://youtube.com/watch?v=AekZAAdw0dQ . Jas se sekavam koga doagaase "EC trojkata" deka vo nekoja dnevna stampa a i opsto nekoi luge se izmotavaa "nekoj od Lihtenstajn 2-pedi zemja dosol nas da ni kazuva sto da pravime". Nesto kao "pride comes before the fall".
youtube.com
Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007
Otvoreno15siječnja2007. Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007......Radi se o tome da nam je (a Gligorovu i Kučanu treba vjerovati) EU nudila ulazak u ...
12:15 PM · Nov 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eve go svedocenjeto na Kiro Gligrov - ovde https://youtube.com/watch?v=uNkJnT2m1aA i ovde https://youtube.com/watch?v=AekZAAdw0dQ . Jas se sekavam koga doagaase "EC trojkata" deka vo nekoja dnevna stampa a i opsto nekoi luge se izmotavaa "nekoj od Lihtenstajn 2-pedi zemja dosol nas da ni kazuva sto da pravime". Nesto kao "pride comes before the fall".
youtube.com
Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007
Otvoreno15siječnja2007. Što je Kiro Gligorov rekao 31 siječnja 2007......Radi se o tome da nam je (a Gligorovu i Kučanu treba vjerovati) EU nudila ulazak u ...
12:15 PM · Nov 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1729514313411407892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well... - yeah? "Cap weighted index" by definition is one where the weight of every index member is proportional to its market cap. Attractive b/c as the market cap changes due to price fluctuations, weight changes automatically, so the actual number of shares held in the company by the index for the purpose of tracking does *not* need to change. So it's self-balancing, no (costly) trading is needed needed to maintain index tracking.
2:55 PM · Nov 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well... - yeah? "Cap weighted index" by definition is one where the weight of every index member is proportional to its market cap. Attractive b/c as the market cap changes due to price fluctuations, weight changes automatically, so the actual number of shares held in the company by the index for the purpose of tracking does *not* need to change. So it's self-balancing, no (costly) trading is needed needed to maintain index tracking.
2:55 PM · Nov 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1729231314484875429
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imashe dobar thread za poslednite pregovori od 2000/2001-va godina, koga za malku ne se dogovorile. Ovde -
Quote
Tomas Pueyo @tomaspueyo · Nov 2
It doesn't look like Israel & Palestine can reach a peace agreement now, but they totally can. They nearly did in the past.
Here are the 4 factors that matter:
1. Borders
2. Security
3. East Jerusalem
4. Right of Return
Don't let anybody tell you it's impossible. Details:
https://twitter.com/tomaspueyo/status/1720114001609162958
Show more
Embedded video
8:10 PM · Nov 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imashe dobar thread za poslednite pregovori od 2000/2001-va godina, koga za malku ne se dogovorile. Ovde -
Quote
Tomas Pueyo @tomaspueyo · Nov 2
It doesn't look like Israel & Palestine can reach a peace agreement now, but they totally can. They nearly did in the past.
Here are the 4 factors that matter:
1. Borders
2. Security
3. East Jerusalem
4. Right of Return
Don't let anybody tell you it's impossible. Details:
https://twitter.com/tomaspueyo/status/1720114001609162958
Show more
Embedded video
8:10 PM · Nov 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1729105460169740711
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) possibly via recent discussion https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38415252 (TBF been discussed already earlier - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31036800)
11:50 AM · Nov 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) possibly via recent discussion https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38415252 (TBF been discussed already earlier - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31036800)
11:50 AM · Nov 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728521382529761615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UN has no army, UN can't enforce anything. Individual states may, but they are not obliged to.
9:09 PM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UN has no army, UN can't enforce anything. Individual states may, but they are not obliged to.
9:09 PM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728502987075522717
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OFC 😂 - so does everyone. On the phone: typing a text message is slow and inconvenient to write, while fast and convenient to read. Leaving a voice message - fast and easy to leave, slow and fiddly to listen to.
7:56 PM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OFC 😂 - so does everyone. On the phone: typing a text message is slow and inconvenient to write, while fast and convenient to read. Leaving a voice message - fast and easy to leave, slow and fiddly to listen to.
7:56 PM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728502108314366110
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 It maybe apt to ask them the obvious Question: "Is there any time at all, are there any conditions in Germany or the world, when *consolidate fiscal spending* is *not* the Answer?" Germany does seem to be glutton for punishment.
7:53 PM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 It maybe apt to ask them the obvious Question: "Is there any time at all, are there any conditions in Germany or the world, when *consolidate fiscal spending* is *not* the Answer?" Germany does seem to be glutton for punishment.
7:53 PM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728484161915097589
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UA is defending, RU is attacking - not the other way around. The war can stop tomorrow if RU decides to just go home on their side of the border. However - the history of imperial RU, then SU, then post-1990, is one where the constant is: RU total control of UA, by political means if possible, by military if necessary. Also logical thinking about RU strategic interests as they perceive them (and themselves too). Aside: personal imputations allusions discussions of the messenger rather than the message are not on. But feel free to discuss ideas.
6:41 PM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UA is defending, RU is attacking - not the other way around. The war can stop tomorrow if RU decides to just go home on their side of the border. However - the history of imperial RU, then SU, then post-1990, is one where the constant is: RU total control of UA, by political means if possible, by military if necessary. Also logical thinking about RU strategic interests as they perceive them (and themselves too). Aside: personal imputations allusions discussions of the messenger rather than the message are not on. But feel free to discuss ideas.
6:41 PM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728451088854974721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... ha - what fools, they got played, as opposed to - taking the opportunity to get murdered by RU? Their options are - 1) dig in, fight, maybe something will happen, you may get help, you may survive to fight another day/some of you may live; or 2) surrender, top 1% are bribed co-opted by RU to stay in power loyal to RU, next 9% intelligentsia are all murdered wiped out, bottom 90% fall in line grudgingly and mostly accept: no UA nation no language no freedom no anything. Way worse then being a 2nd Belarus tbh. Their options are "freedom or death". For all talk abt Putin being "the cornered rat" - for RU the war is optional non-existential, for UA not-losing is existential.
4:30 PM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... ha - what fools, they got played, as opposed to - taking the opportunity to get murdered by RU? Their options are - 1) dig in, fight, maybe something will happen, you may get help, you may survive to fight another day/some of you may live; or 2) surrender, top 1% are bribed co-opted by RU to stay in power loyal to RU, next 9% intelligentsia are all murdered wiped out, bottom 90% fall in line grudgingly and mostly accept: no UA nation no language no freedom no anything. Way worse then being a 2nd Belarus tbh. Their options are "freedom or death". For all talk abt Putin being "the cornered rat" - for RU the war is optional non-existential, for UA not-losing is existential.
4:30 PM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728424401090343091
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FTW knowledge is not average of people's opinions, even if weighted. Claims about seeing the future are especially suspect. Hysterical Savonarola-type campaigns making strong claims about a future catastrophe unless we do as told by the seers right now are not great.
2:44 PM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
FTW knowledge is not average of people's opinions, even if weighted. Claims about seeing the future are especially suspect. Hysterical Savonarola-type campaigns making strong claims about a future catastrophe unless we do as told by the seers right now are not great.
2:44 PM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728422556837843211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and you think OSCE report is going to tell us? As opposed to say 1) the history of 1st imperial RU, then SU, then post-1990, where one constant is: RU total control of UA, by political means if possible, by military if necessary. Or just plain old logical thinking about RU strategic interests. You're more Gelman amnezia than I anticipated - yeah this is a waste of time, bye.
2:37 PM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and you think OSCE report is going to tell us? As opposed to say 1) the history of 1st imperial RU, then SU, then post-1990, where one constant is: RU total control of UA, by political means if possible, by military if necessary. Or just plain old logical thinking about RU strategic interests. You're more Gelman amnezia than I anticipated - yeah this is a waste of time, bye.
2:37 PM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728381290921992336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... Mearsheimer spotted the fail in the past nukes-for-worthless-paper swap https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf and the future has shown him right. Don't see other credible "guarantee" other than righting that wrong and helping UKR get own nuclear deterrent now.
11:53 AM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... Mearsheimer spotted the fail in the past nukes-for-worthless-paper swap https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf and the future has shown him right. Don't see other credible "guarantee" other than righting that wrong and helping UKR get own nuclear deterrent now.
11:53 AM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728374763725152333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish I was as optimistic - but imo you are deluding yourself about the possibility of a deal. The problem of trust is well known. UKR decided for themselves why they can't take the offer: b/c they think RUS will break it in the future and attack them again (as has happened already). TBF don't see fault with that, it is supported by evidence and logic.
This -
> "Secondly, there was no confidence in the Russians that they would do it. This could only be done if there were security guarantees. We could not sign something, step away, everyone would relax there, and then they would [invade] even more prepared – because they had, in fact, gone in unprepared for such a resistance. Therefore, we could only explore this route when there is absolute certainty that this will not happen again. There is no such certainty."
11:27 AM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish I was as optimistic - but imo you are deluding yourself about the possibility of a deal. The problem of trust is well known. UKR decided for themselves why they can't take the offer: b/c they think RUS will break it in the future and attack them again (as has happened already). TBF don't see fault with that, it is supported by evidence and logic.
This -
> "Secondly, there was no confidence in the Russians that they would do it. This could only be done if there were security guarantees. We could not sign something, step away, everyone would relax there, and then they would [invade] even more prepared – because they had, in fact, gone in unprepared for such a resistance. Therefore, we could only explore this route when there is absolute certainty that this will not happen again. There is no such certainty."
11:27 AM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728354138252099723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄😄 Nema shala so hemicari! Hemicarite ste bash - "znaenjeto e sila, znaenjeto e mok!" Vcera izgledav mini TV serija (1 sezona) "Lessons in Chemistry" https://imdb.com/title/tt13911628/ - interesna. Da ne bide samo deka vo masovnata kultura ste poznati po "Breaking Bad" 😆😆
Lessons in Chemistry: With Brie Larson, Lewis Pullman, Aja Naomi King, Stephanie Koenig. Set in the 1950s, Elizabeth Zott's dream of being a chemist is put on hold when she finds herself pregnant, alone, and fired from her lab.
10:05 AM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄😄 Nema shala so hemicari! Hemicarite ste bash - "znaenjeto e sila, znaenjeto e mok!" Vcera izgledav mini TV serija (1 sezona) "Lessons in Chemistry" https://imdb.com/title/tt13911628/ - interesna. Da ne bide samo deka vo masovnata kultura ste poznati po "Breaking Bad" 😆😆
Lessons in Chemistry: With Brie Larson, Lewis Pullman, Aja Naomi King, Stephanie Koenig. Set in the 1950s, Elizabeth Zott's dream of being a chemist is put on hold when she finds herself pregnant, alone, and fired from her lab.
10:05 AM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728352248961372666
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yourself and experts are taking yourself too seriously. You were as surprised as everyone else by the success and leaps of capability. More humility, less assuming that you or anyone else can foresee the future in any significant quantity.
9:57 AM · Nov 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yourself and experts are taking yourself too seriously. You were as surprised as everyone else by the success and leaps of capability. More humility, less assuming that you or anyone else can foresee the future in any significant quantity.
9:57 AM · Nov 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1728071181633290663
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @elonmusk - surely @grok can do this too to start with, and on more dimensions than "is_spam Y/N" as a next step? Surely you can score messages on additional dimensions like "truthfulness", "novelty", "sanity" ... etc. Or the dimensions can be the @CommunityNotes dimensions we tick, and then use the notes as training data to adapt @grok to this task? c'mon man
Quote
@levelsio · Nov 24
🤖 Made a ChatGPT moderator bot for Nomad List's Telegram chat, it checks every message if it's spam
"You are a chat moderator bot. You review every message to see if it's self promotion or spam. Reply to every message with YES or NO if you think it's spam and should be removed"
https://twitter.com/levelsio/status/1728029815758831837
3:20 PM · Nov 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @elonmusk - surely @grok can do this too to start with, and on more dimensions than "is_spam Y/N" as a next step? Surely you can score messages on additional dimensions like "truthfulness", "novelty", "sanity" ... etc. Or the dimensions can be the @CommunityNotes dimensions we tick, and then use the notes as training data to adapt @grok to this task? c'mon man
Quote
@levelsio · Nov 24
🤖 Made a ChatGPT moderator bot for Nomad List's Telegram chat, it checks every message if it's spam
"You are a chat moderator bot. You review every message to see if it's self promotion or spam. Reply to every message with YES or NO if you think it's spam and should be removed"
https://twitter.com/levelsio/status/1728029815758831837
3:20 PM · Nov 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1727761964946850020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not only the compute power. It's the (distributed) data collection. It's the "skin in the game" keeping people honest (people that risk their own money, ultimately livelihood). Multiple smaller distributed searches maybe more costly than one global big search, but it's worth it: their worst case is better than the one global search worst case. To end up in global worst, the N local searches have all have to end in global worst, while for one global search, only one has to. We care about the average case (as very probable), almost never care about the best case (too improbable), but we really really care about the worst case. Even if it's improbable, the consequences ending in it are so severe, that we care a lot about the worst case.
6:52 PM · Nov 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's not only the compute power. It's the (distributed) data collection. It's the "skin in the game" keeping people honest (people that risk their own money, ultimately livelihood). Multiple smaller distributed searches maybe more costly than one global big search, but it's worth it: their worst case is better than the one global search worst case. To end up in global worst, the N local searches have all have to end in global worst, while for one global search, only one has to. We care about the average case (as very probable), almost never care about the best case (too improbable), but we really really care about the worst case. Even if it's improbable, the consequences ending in it are so severe, that we care a lot about the worst case.
6:52 PM · Nov 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1727738579164536976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah obviously social media is "the worst system, except for all others that have been tried". 😉 So there's that too
5:19 PM · Nov 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... yeah obviously social media is "the worst system, except for all others that have been tried". 😉 So there's that too
5:19 PM · Nov 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1727651684598391281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The neo-liberal consensus of the past 30 years had winners and losers. Losers are unhappy and they want change. There are enough losers now to exert electoral influence. Neolib is fine in moderation, but what is good will be 1st done and then *over*done - we are at that stage. Things need to change in order for them to stay the same. Alas - the winners that will be overwhelmingly the current centrists are finding that hard to swallow, internalize and act on. So the current trends will continue.
11:33 AM · Nov 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The neo-liberal consensus of the past 30 years had winners and losers. Losers are unhappy and they want change. There are enough losers now to exert electoral influence. Neolib is fine in moderation, but what is good will be 1st done and then *over*done - we are at that stage. Things need to change in order for them to stay the same. Alas - the winners that will be overwhelmingly the current centrists are finding that hard to swallow, internalize and act on. So the current trends will continue.
11:33 AM · Nov 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1727402438217388487
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imase porano 1945-1990-ta i toa ne samo toa sto nabroja, tuku se bese drzavno, sekoja firma bese drzavna. Site tie firmi propadnaa - se propadna. Ne znam koja generacija ste - toa bese "kataklizma komunizma". Sega se sto e drzavno vo MK e isto propast. Ne gledam logika da barame da pravime toa sto ne funkcionira ni sega momentalno? Sto ke bide razlicno vo ovi predlozeni firmi pa tie da funkcioniraat - ne znam.
7:03 PM · Nov 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imase porano 1945-1990-ta i toa ne samo toa sto nabroja, tuku se bese drzavno, sekoja firma bese drzavna. Site tie firmi propadnaa - se propadna. Ne znam koja generacija ste - toa bese "kataklizma komunizma". Sega se sto e drzavno vo MK e isto propast. Ne gledam logika da barame da pravime toa sto ne funkcionira ni sega momentalno? Sto ke bide razlicno vo ovi predlozeni firmi pa tie da funkcioniraat - ne znam.
7:03 PM · Nov 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1727410424272883998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Niti sum rabotel vo toa vreme a sigurno pa ne sum kradel ni togas ni posle. Ne znam na kogo se obrakas. Jas sam eden sum go napravil komunizmot glup?? Ne. Komunizmot vo YU ne funkcionirase od 1970-ta, i zatoa imase sekoi 10 godini obidi za reformi: 1970-ta, 1980-ta i 1990-ta posledna i finalna. Site obidi za reformi propadnaa. Postov ti e bez vrska, nema vrska ni so iskustvo ni so razum - totalna glupost. A posto si vulgaren/na - blok.
7:35 PM · Nov 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Niti sum rabotel vo toa vreme a sigurno pa ne sum kradel ni togas ni posle. Ne znam na kogo se obrakas. Jas sam eden sum go napravil komunizmot glup?? Ne. Komunizmot vo YU ne funkcionirase od 1970-ta, i zatoa imase sekoi 10 godini obidi za reformi: 1970-ta, 1980-ta i 1990-ta posledna i finalna. Site obidi za reformi propadnaa. Postov ti e bez vrska, nema vrska ni so iskustvo ni so razum - totalna glupost. A posto si vulgaren/na - blok.
7:35 PM · Nov 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1727411123006406656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prosto?? Vo razni zemji vo cel svet, na site kontinenti, od 1917-ta navamu, sekade kade sto bese probam - sekade propadna. Pa moze ne im teknalo na site tie luge, ova sto pogore tebe ti tekna. Toa - ili pa mozebi ne e taka prosto kako tebe sto ti se chini.
7:38 PM · Nov 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prosto?? Vo razni zemji vo cel svet, na site kontinenti, od 1917-ta navamu, sekade kade sto bese probam - sekade propadna. Pa moze ne im teknalo na site tie luge, ova sto pogore tebe ti tekna. Toa - ili pa mozebi ne e taka prosto kako tebe sto ti se chini.
7:38 PM · Nov 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1727398465678741823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I heard the term sado-populisim and I think there is something to it.
1) I'm elected on a ticket of "change everything/drain the swamp" by people whose lives are bad - they want change.
2) I proceed to not only not try help those voters, but actively and intentionally make their lives even harder.
3) Now my voters will be doubly rooting for a change!
4) New election cycle - I run on the same ticket of "radical change".
5) People's memories are short, I muddy the waters, blame my ever expanding list of enemies for things getting worse. Admit nothing, forever double down.
What am I missing in this "evil cynical" strategy?
Like with every time X is tried and fails to work - one might say "X does not work", but proponents can always retort "X was not tried hard enough, that's why it failed => more X needed, it will work".
6:47 PM · Nov 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I heard the term sado-populisim and I think there is something to it.
1) I'm elected on a ticket of "change everything/drain the swamp" by people whose lives are bad - they want change.
2) I proceed to not only not try help those voters, but actively and intentionally make their lives even harder.
3) Now my voters will be doubly rooting for a change!
4) New election cycle - I run on the same ticket of "radical change".
5) People's memories are short, I muddy the waters, blame my ever expanding list of enemies for things getting worse. Admit nothing, forever double down.
What am I missing in this "evil cynical" strategy?
Like with every time X is tried and fails to work - one might say "X does not work", but proponents can always retort "X was not tried hard enough, that's why it failed => more X needed, it will work".
6:47 PM · Nov 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726525845140074571
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Larry & crew are idiots, but they are *useful* idiots - that's why they get the ear of decision makers in power. They provide a fig leaf, a patina of respectibility (conferred to themselves by academia). It will be hard to break that alliance of interests.
9:00 AM · Nov 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Larry & crew are idiots, but they are *useful* idiots - that's why they get the ear of decision makers in power. They provide a fig leaf, a patina of respectibility (conferred to themselves by academia). It will be hard to break that alliance of interests.
9:00 AM · Nov 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726381730649555240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a whiff of narcissism & self-flattery in the claim that "envy of excellence" is a major force. Yeah, it exists but not to the extent the self proclaimed tribunes of the hero-mystery-doers seem to think. Likewise for old farts mentioned below - never met anyone that said "I really envy that old mummy wish I was him".
11:27 PM · Nov 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a whiff of narcissism & self-flattery in the claim that "envy of excellence" is a major force. Yeah, it exists but not to the extent the self proclaimed tribunes of the hero-mystery-doers seem to think. Likewise for old farts mentioned below - never met anyone that said "I really envy that old mummy wish I was him".
11:27 PM · Nov 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726312160052306242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prior - one of the Galbraith greatest hits/all time bests, always great to read again 😂😂😂
Fwiw it's not the Q why these idiots are listened to (==have so much power) - we know the A why, it's b/c they are useful idiots. The Q is - what can be done about it, how to undo it?
As anyone who has ever been responsible for legislative oversight of central bankers knows, they do not like to have their authority challenged. Most of all, they will defend their mystique—that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon. As a result, tormenting central bankers is great fun. John Maynard Keynes famously tormented Montagu Norman, Governor of the Bank of England (BOE) from 1920 to 1944. Wright Patman and Henry Reuss, two US congressmen who chaired the House Banking Committee in the 1970s, did the same to Federal Reserve Chair Arthur Burns. I know that Reuss enjoyed it; I assisted him at the time.
6:51 PM · Nov 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prior - one of the Galbraith greatest hits/all time bests, always great to read again 😂😂😂
Fwiw it's not the Q why these idiots are listened to (==have so much power) - we know the A why, it's b/c they are useful idiots. The Q is - what can be done about it, how to undo it?
As anyone who has ever been responsible for legislative oversight of central bankers knows, they do not like to have their authority challenged. Most of all, they will defend their mystique—that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon. As a result, tormenting central bankers is great fun. John Maynard Keynes famously tormented Montagu Norman, Governor of the Bank of England (BOE) from 1920 to 1944. Wright Patman and Henry Reuss, two US congressmen who chaired the House Banking Committee in the 1970s, did the same to Federal Reserve Chair Arthur Burns. I know that Reuss enjoyed it; I assisted him at the time.
6:51 PM · Nov 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726289821604151775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mozebi ima mnogo negativni primeri, eve eden pozitiven za balans. Vo UK tie sto pisuvaat kazni za pogresno parkiranje ne se formalno policija - se privatna sluzba organizirana od Opstinata i ovlastena da pisuva kazni - se na norma. Se nenormalno agilni i kaznuvaat bez milost. Tuka e poplakata deka se premnogu agilni! A ne deka se mrzlivi i ne rabotat.
5:22 PM · Nov 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mozebi ima mnogo negativni primeri, eve eden pozitiven za balans. Vo UK tie sto pisuvaat kazni za pogresno parkiranje ne se formalno policija - se privatna sluzba organizirana od Opstinata i ovlastena da pisuva kazni - se na norma. Se nenormalno agilni i kaznuvaat bez milost. Tuka e poplakata deka se premnogu agilni! A ne deka se mrzlivi i ne rabotat.
5:22 PM · Nov 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726272969284927507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Toa da! Bi im dal i 20% za okurazuvanje! Stvarno e neprijatno da se karam i da pisuvam kazni so graganstovto (nekoi i ke me istepaat - sekakvi ima). Polesno e da svirkam da svrtam glava i nisto da ne napisam nikogo da ne kaznam. Izvini nabrzina procitav pa pogresno procitav - toa go pisuvas i vo originalniot post, deka e 10% od kaznata za policaecot (a jas pogresno procitav "kaznata e 10% od platata na kaznetiot").
4:15 PM · Nov 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Toa da! Bi im dal i 20% za okurazuvanje! Stvarno e neprijatno da se karam i da pisuvam kazni so graganstovto (nekoi i ke me istepaat - sekakvi ima). Polesno e da svirkam da svrtam glava i nisto da ne napisam nikogo da ne kaznam. Izvini nabrzina procitav pa pogresno procitav - toa go pisuvas i vo originalniot post, deka e 10% od kaznata za policaecot (a jas pogresno procitav "kaznata e 10% od platata na kaznetiot").
4:15 PM · Nov 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726258049688514609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekoj kaza deka za nas makedoncite i mala kazna e dovolen detterent. Pa jas sum poveke za 500 den, a 10% e mnogu, e nerazumno e kako cekan za mravka. Plus za 10% ke potegnam vrski i kade imam i kade nemam, a 500-ce ke se iznerviram ama ke si platam i ke zapamtam drug pat da pazam.
3:16 PM · Nov 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekoj kaza deka za nas makedoncite i mala kazna e dovolen detterent. Pa jas sum poveke za 500 den, a 10% e mnogu, e nerazumno e kako cekan za mravka. Plus za 10% ke potegnam vrski i kade imam i kade nemam, a 500-ce ke se iznerviram ama ke si platam i ke zapamtam drug pat da pazam.
3:16 PM · Nov 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726232822560538722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Can confirm this. Naturalized British citizen here. When buying a flat, I assumed I misunderstood the Leasehold. After I 100% confirmed it with the solicitor, I could not understand how come no one else is freaked out. People from abroad still think I am wrong when I tell them "after 100 years, this flat will revert to the Freeholder", they still think I have misunderstood something.
1:35 PM · Nov 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Can confirm this. Naturalized British citizen here. When buying a flat, I assumed I misunderstood the Leasehold. After I 100% confirmed it with the solicitor, I could not understand how come no one else is freaked out. People from abroad still think I am wrong when I tell them "after 100 years, this flat will revert to the Freeholder", they still think I have misunderstood something.
1:35 PM · Nov 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1726229943573471577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - and further: supply-demand work well for stuff like bread b/c there is a negative feedback loop at work. Bread demand outstrips supply => price up => incentivizes the baker => baker bakes more => supply matches demand => price stable => baker stop baking more. On a stock market we can't produce more equity in a company when the demand for AAPL equity outstrips the supply. The supply is hard-limited. Hence there can't be a negative feedback loop at work to match supply-demand and stabilize the price.
1:24 PM · Nov 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - and further: supply-demand work well for stuff like bread b/c there is a negative feedback loop at work. Bread demand outstrips supply => price up => incentivizes the baker => baker bakes more => supply matches demand => price stable => baker stop baking more. On a stock market we can't produce more equity in a company when the demand for AAPL equity outstrips the supply. The supply is hard-limited. Hence there can't be a negative feedback loop at work to match supply-demand and stabilize the price.
1:24 PM · Nov 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1725975629365948747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was good to hear how's the country run/power exercised. That a gov minister runs nothing and can only fire 3 people (s/he brought in), that departments are run by permanent secretaries etc - all news to me. Ditto that "image is everything" nature of No 10 and cabinet meetings.
8:33 PM · Nov 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was good to hear how's the country run/power exercised. That a gov minister runs nothing and can only fire 3 people (s/he brought in), that departments are run by permanent secretaries etc - all news to me. Ditto that "image is everything" nature of No 10 and cabinet meetings.
8:33 PM · Nov 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1725826946850804177
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Counterintuitive only b/c the intuition is wrong. As with gut-feeling - it's for the worse when we think with our gut rather than use our brain. Econ media-macro would be merely laughable if it were not used as fig leaf for a number of politicos to indulge in econo-sadism against the demos knowing well that it shores up their support.
10:43 AM · Nov 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Counterintuitive only b/c the intuition is wrong. As with gut-feeling - it's for the worse when we think with our gut rather than use our brain. Econ media-macro would be merely laughable if it were not used as fig leaf for a number of politicos to indulge in econo-sadism against the demos knowing well that it shores up their support.
10:43 AM · Nov 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1725492680954658848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - looks like a good candidate hypothesis, the freedom "national liberation via liberal revolutions" hypothesis. (even if not the only factor) Overlaying the national liberal revolutions to the "hockey stick" of historic GDP -
National liberal revolutions overlayed on the hockey stock of world human GDP graph. The knee of the graph is at about 1800, after 4 liberal revolutions in the prior 150 years.
12:34 PM · Nov 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - looks like a good candidate hypothesis, the freedom "national liberation via liberal revolutions" hypothesis. (even if not the only factor) Overlaying the national liberal revolutions to the "hockey stick" of historic GDP -
National liberal revolutions overlayed on the hockey stock of world human GDP graph. The knee of the graph is at about 1800, after 4 liberal revolutions in the prior 150 years.
12:34 PM · Nov 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1725163065400775037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's your opinion on FSB (KGB) though? (the clip is about them) Do you think FSB is exactly the opposite i.e. is an honest fearless seeker for what is true in the world? Or do you think FSB are similar or even much worse? They did ultimately run a system with gulag camps & were instrumental in killing millions in the process - plenty of priors there. Flooding the field with sh*ton of lies so to annihilate any possibility of there being a truth so "nothing is real and everything is possible" strikes me as an effective MO for the information age we live in tbh.
2:45 PM · Nov 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's your opinion on FSB (KGB) though? (the clip is about them) Do you think FSB is exactly the opposite i.e. is an honest fearless seeker for what is true in the world? Or do you think FSB are similar or even much worse? They did ultimately run a system with gulag camps & were instrumental in killing millions in the process - plenty of priors there. Flooding the field with sh*ton of lies so to annihilate any possibility of there being a truth so "nothing is real and everything is possible" strikes me as an effective MO for the information age we live in tbh.
2:45 PM · Nov 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1725137506994168313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 for The Slobs (plural) I read below. Sounds best to me so far. I thought "vampires" (after the "vampires in charge of a blood bank" by @LiamSpender
), but that'd be specific to FH-olders alone. The whole messy lazy furry ball - think "slob" or "the slobs" suits it better.
1:03 PM · Nov 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 for The Slobs (plural) I read below. Sounds best to me so far. I thought "vampires" (after the "vampires in charge of a blood bank" by @LiamSpender
), but that'd be specific to FH-olders alone. The whole messy lazy furry ball - think "slob" or "the slobs" suits it better.
1:03 PM · Nov 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724749303191601504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - no one has any illusions for getting the best (genius), we are hoping for avoiding the worst case (blind). Exhibit #1001 from this very morning of media being blind proper - https://twitter.com/maitlis/status/1724531149710467325 . So one eyed @Dominic2306 wins in that environment hands down tbh.
Quote
emily m @maitlis · 17h
Just come across this extraordinary passage in @mrjamesob bestseller “ How they broke Britain “.
Look at the impact austerity cuts had (- according to economist Fetzer- ) on the actual Brexit vote, in the light of this week’s changes.
Image
https://twitter.com/maitlis/status/1724531149710467325
11:20 AM · Nov 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - no one has any illusions for getting the best (genius), we are hoping for avoiding the worst case (blind). Exhibit #1001 from this very morning of media being blind proper - https://twitter.com/maitlis/status/1724531149710467325 . So one eyed @Dominic2306 wins in that environment hands down tbh.
Quote
emily m @maitlis · 17h
Just come across this extraordinary passage in @mrjamesob bestseller “ How they broke Britain “.
Look at the impact austerity cuts had (- according to economist Fetzer- ) on the actual Brexit vote, in the light of this week’s changes.
Image
https://twitter.com/maitlis/status/1724531149710467325
11:20 AM · Nov 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724744988393709946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - path dependency is baked into EV = \mu - \sigma^2/2
11:03 AM · Nov 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah - path dependency is baked into EV = \mu - \sigma^2/2
11:03 AM · Nov 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724735558524481907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tie hipi vlijanija sto vo posiroka smisla na zborot bea liberalizam, ideologijata liberalizam kade slobodata na individuata e na prvo mesto a se drugo e vtoro (za razlika od drugi ideologii kade nesto drugo e prvo). Stalno bea insignifikatno malcinstvo i vo YU a pa i uste pomalo vo MK ("sto juznije to tuznije"). Tie sto bea mashki i sluzea vojska mozea da vidat deka prosekot na opstestvoto e mnogu daleku od liberalizam i bilo kakvi liberalni idei (poveke za "cvrsta raka", "batina iz raja izasla"). Iako "sloboda ili smart", "nad MK se raga novo sonce na slobodata", "MK slobodna slobodno zivee" se site liberalni slogani (na pr USA revolucionerite vo vojna za nezavisnost imaat skoro isto "give me freedom or give me death"), toa vo MK niti se saka niti se ceni niti se neguva. Liberalnite partii (kako na pk. Dj Marjanovik) stalno imaat <10% od glasacite. I toa nema da se smeni skoro.
10:26 AM · Nov 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tie hipi vlijanija sto vo posiroka smisla na zborot bea liberalizam, ideologijata liberalizam kade slobodata na individuata e na prvo mesto a se drugo e vtoro (za razlika od drugi ideologii kade nesto drugo e prvo). Stalno bea insignifikatno malcinstvo i vo YU a pa i uste pomalo vo MK ("sto juznije to tuznije"). Tie sto bea mashki i sluzea vojska mozea da vidat deka prosekot na opstestvoto e mnogu daleku od liberalizam i bilo kakvi liberalni idei (poveke za "cvrsta raka", "batina iz raja izasla"). Iako "sloboda ili smart", "nad MK se raga novo sonce na slobodata", "MK slobodna slobodno zivee" se site liberalni slogani (na pr USA revolucionerite vo vojna za nezavisnost imaat skoro isto "give me freedom or give me death"), toa vo MK niti se saka niti se ceni niti se neguva. Liberalnite partii (kako na pk. Dj Marjanovik) stalno imaat <10% od glasacite. I toa nema da se smeni skoro.
10:26 AM · Nov 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724732945175323067
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting - not, more - barely significant. Interesting (and useful) would be - how can we ensure there is enough supply so that people that meet the NICE criteria can get it prescribed by their GP? How many are left out and we'll bear a long term cost (for short term savings) b/c GP-s avoid to prescribe a costly new drug? The article is one in the long list of "lets splash on the front page everything that can possibly go wrong" so to scare people witless with another ill of modernity b/c that harvest clicks and engagement. Sorry - it's just dumb on the part of the media and rest of IYI.
10:15 AM · Nov 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting - not, more - barely significant. Interesting (and useful) would be - how can we ensure there is enough supply so that people that meet the NICE criteria can get it prescribed by their GP? How many are left out and we'll bear a long term cost (for short term savings) b/c GP-s avoid to prescribe a costly new drug? The article is one in the long list of "lets splash on the front page everything that can possibly go wrong" so to scare people witless with another ill of modernity b/c that harvest clicks and engagement. Sorry - it's just dumb on the part of the media and rest of IYI.
10:15 AM · Nov 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724721153766207947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Disappointing that you are only discovering this now and surprised by it. Still - better late than never, welcome to reality. Maybe some introspection will do you good? C.f. https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/polis/2017/08/28/journalisms-new-mission-understanding-the-human/
9:29 AM · Nov 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Disappointing that you are only discovering this now and surprised by it. Still - better late than never, welcome to reality. Maybe some introspection will do you good? C.f. https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/polis/2017/08/28/journalisms-new-mission-understanding-the-human/
9:29 AM · Nov 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724716303414341740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wrong choice of word there maybe - "weakening"? Implies decline where there is likely none? I doubt that energy prices that consumers and businesses pay have come down. More likely - increases have mostly stopped.
9:09 AM · Nov 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wrong choice of word there maybe - "weakening"? Implies decline where there is likely none? I doubt that energy prices that consumers and businesses pay have come down. More likely - increases have mostly stopped.
9:09 AM · Nov 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724417657624015163
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total bullseye "vampire in charge of a blood bank" by @LiamSpender. (good to note for future PR) Credit to @SangitaMyska - recognized a zinger instantly. :-) Up there with @HarryScoffin's "take CONTROL over our homes, money, lives", also @dannybster's "999 years of suffering".
1:23 PM · Nov 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Total bullseye "vampire in charge of a blood bank" by @LiamSpender. (good to note for future PR) Credit to @SangitaMyska - recognized a zinger instantly. :-) Up there with @HarryScoffin's "take CONTROL over our homes, money, lives", also @dannybster's "999 years of suffering".
1:23 PM · Nov 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724114076932980926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Najcesto taka e - revolucii digaat "nepismenite". Na "pismenite" sekade vo sekoe vreme (tursko, srpsko, bugarsko ...) im e gore-dole OK. Pismeni revolucioneri - ili im se cepnalo vo bogtstvoto, ili se del od elitata ama se nezadovolni od pozicijata sto ja imaat pa se za promena.
5:16 PM · Nov 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Najcesto taka e - revolucii digaat "nepismenite". Na "pismenite" sekade vo sekoe vreme (tursko, srpsko, bugarsko ...) im e gore-dole OK. Pismeni revolucioneri - ili im se cepnalo vo bogtstvoto, ili se del od elitata ama se nezadovolni od pozicijata sto ja imaat pa se za promena.
5:16 PM · Nov 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724105826997047726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most probably he is not thinking much at all (and you're overthinking it). "He is just that stupid" is the simplest explanation (where "stupid" is defined as "causing loss to others by his actions to no own benefit even small personal loss"). Sorry to be the bearer of bad news.
4:43 PM · Nov 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most probably he is not thinking much at all (and you're overthinking it). "He is just that stupid" is the simplest explanation (where "stupid" is defined as "causing loss to others by his actions to no own benefit even small personal loss"). Sorry to be the bearer of bad news.
4:43 PM · Nov 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724104118405328981
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе - и така таман ќе се придружиме на светската фамилија нации. Пошто веројатно нема нација да не е формирана врз некија опортуна (но историски гледано) лага. Лага и обично плус и некое иницијално злодело, грев - нешто што ако реално се збори за, ние членовите на нацијата би се малку срамеле.
4:37 PM · Nov 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе - и така таман ќе се придружиме на светската фамилија нации. Пошто веројатно нема нација да не е формирана врз некија опортуна (но историски гледано) лага. Лага и обично плус и некое иницијално злодело, грев - нешто што ако реално се збори за, ние членовите на нацијата би се малку срамеле.
4:37 PM · Nov 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1724060356387938781
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a tour de force by @AlecRad in @pabbeel's course here https://youtube.com/watch?v=BnpB3GrpsfM . So useful to see what's been going on under the hood in the latest AI jump ushering the current AI summer. And an entertaining lecture too!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BnpB3GrpsfM
L11 Language Models -- guest instructor: Alec Radford (OpenAI) ---...
Course homepage: https://sites.google.com/view/berkeley-cs294-158-sp20/home
Lecture Instructor: Alec Radford (OpenAI)Course Instructors: Pieter Abbeel, Aravind...
1:43 PM · Nov 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a tour de force by @AlecRad in @pabbeel's course here https://youtube.com/watch?v=BnpB3GrpsfM . So useful to see what's been going on under the hood in the latest AI jump ushering the current AI summer. And an entertaining lecture too!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BnpB3GrpsfM
L11 Language Models -- guest instructor: Alec Radford (OpenAI) ---...
Course homepage: https://sites.google.com/view/berkeley-cs294-158-sp20/home
Lecture Instructor: Alec Radford (OpenAI)Course Instructors: Pieter Abbeel, Aravind...
1:43 PM · Nov 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1723997137283780931
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like to think Econ is concerned with producing stuff, and the money (token) part (in the stuff-for-money exchange at lowest level) is trivial by comparison. Further, Econ not being completely reality grounded (it's about groups of people doing things, unlike say physics) further makes their task of learning harder: there's no feedback from an objective reality. Finance/trader types are better suited to grok the money part imo. When trading there is the profit/loss to constrain us to some objective reality when we're right/wrong, even if heavily mixed with lucky/unlucky.
9:32 AM · Nov 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like to think Econ is concerned with producing stuff, and the money (token) part (in the stuff-for-money exchange at lowest level) is trivial by comparison. Further, Econ not being completely reality grounded (it's about groups of people doing things, unlike say physics) further makes their task of learning harder: there's no feedback from an objective reality. Finance/trader types are better suited to grok the money part imo. When trading there is the profit/loss to constrain us to some objective reality when we're right/wrong, even if heavily mixed with lucky/unlucky.
9:32 AM · Nov 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1723761089815482440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an unforced error to 1) not call on Putin to negotiate (calling Zel is ok) 2) Present evidence why you think Putin wants to stop the war. Afaics RUS war aim is still as stated in Putin speeches - destruction of UKR state, extinguishing of UKR nation (language, culture etc).
5:54 PM · Nov 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an unforced error to 1) not call on Putin to negotiate (calling Zel is ok) 2) Present evidence why you think Putin wants to stop the war. Afaics RUS war aim is still as stated in Putin speeches - destruction of UKR state, extinguishing of UKR nation (language, culture etc).
5:54 PM · Nov 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1723709086275973494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it was always thus. Only ever a small group of people know how something works, and even then - their knowledge is partial. (incl "basics" like water, sanitation, energy) So by necessity the knowledge is distributed and partial and no one human knows it all. Keeping the flame on is aided by documenting the knowledge to largest extent possible by language and open documentation, libraries, books etc.
2:27 PM · Nov 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it was always thus. Only ever a small group of people know how something works, and even then - their knowledge is partial. (incl "basics" like water, sanitation, energy) So by necessity the knowledge is distributed and partial and no one human knows it all. Keeping the flame on is aided by documenting the knowledge to largest extent possible by language and open documentation, libraries, books etc.
2:27 PM · Nov 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1723761089815482440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an unforced error to 1) not call on Putin to negotiate (calling Zel is ok) 2) Present evidence why you think Putin wants to stop the war. Afaics RUS war aim is still as stated in Putin speeches - destruction of UKR state, extinguishing of UKR nation (language, culture etc).
5:54 PM · Nov 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an unforced error to 1) not call on Putin to negotiate (calling Zel is ok) 2) Present evidence why you think Putin wants to stop the war. Afaics RUS war aim is still as stated in Putin speeches - destruction of UKR state, extinguishing of UKR nation (language, culture etc).
5:54 PM · Nov 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1723709086275973494
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it was always thus. Only ever a small group of people know how something works, and even then - their knowledge is partial. (incl "basics" like water, sanitation, energy) So by necessity the knowledge is distributed and partial and no one human knows it all. Keeping the flame on is aided by documenting the knowledge to largest extent possible by language and open documentation, libraries, books etc.
2:27 PM · Nov 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF it was always thus. Only ever a small group of people know how something works, and even then - their knowledge is partial. (incl "basics" like water, sanitation, energy) So by necessity the knowledge is distributed and partial and no one human knows it all. Keeping the flame on is aided by documenting the knowledge to largest extent possible by language and open documentation, libraries, books etc.
2:27 PM · Nov 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1722981492152824043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is wrong, but it provides alibi for laziness, doing nothing personally, all the while allowing us to talk only & feel a bit cleverer than we'd feel otherwise. All quite comfortable and self-serving. So it will continue to be done. Stay strong - wish you well.
2:16 PM · Nov 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is wrong, but it provides alibi for laziness, doing nothing personally, all the while allowing us to talk only & feel a bit cleverer than we'd feel otherwise. All quite comfortable and self-serving. So it will continue to be done. Stay strong - wish you well.
2:16 PM · Nov 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1722969782616474110
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - 'tis the norm between states -
> In conclusion, it's apt to quote renowned military theorist Carl von Clausewitz: "The aggressor is always peace-loving, he would prefer to take over our country unopposed."
Only nuclear deterrent has a chance to maybe save CEEurope from RUS empire 2.0 - examples Israel, North Korea (there are numerous counter-examples too).
Quote
Tatarigami_UA @Tatarigami_UA · Nov 9
It is clear that some politicians and media outlets have been promoting a "conflict-freezing" narrative, that bears a striking resemblance to the approach outlined in Russian doctrinal thought. To delve into it, let's look at an actual professional analysis - the report…
Show more
Image
1:29 PM · Nov 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - 'tis the norm between states -
> In conclusion, it's apt to quote renowned military theorist Carl von Clausewitz: "The aggressor is always peace-loving, he would prefer to take over our country unopposed."
Only nuclear deterrent has a chance to maybe save CEEurope from RUS empire 2.0 - examples Israel, North Korea (there are numerous counter-examples too).
Quote
Tatarigami_UA @Tatarigami_UA · Nov 9
It is clear that some politicians and media outlets have been promoting a "conflict-freezing" narrative, that bears a striking resemblance to the approach outlined in Russian doctrinal thought. To delve into it, let's look at an actual professional analysis - the report…
Show more
Image
1:29 PM · Nov 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1722635625604522004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No matter - the war will not stop as it serves Putin very well (c.f. https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1722538158946910597). Further - it's likely to expand e.g. https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1722177561843679597 . You're indulging in wishful thinking but can't blame you for it - thinking to the logical conclusion is too painful. Now about the good news ... (there are none)
Quote
Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en · Nov 8
Russian propagandist Solovyov:
"We will not stop at Kyiv, Warsaw, Paris. We will stop when we feel secure."
What is security for Russia? The destruction of NATO?
Russia has been living in "counteraction and struggle" with external "bad enemies" for a very long time. This is…
Show more
Embedded video
3:21 PM · Nov 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No matter - the war will not stop as it serves Putin very well (c.f. https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1722538158946910597). Further - it's likely to expand e.g. https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1722177561843679597 . You're indulging in wishful thinking but can't blame you for it - thinking to the logical conclusion is too painful. Now about the good news ... (there are none)
Quote
Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en · Nov 8
Russian propagandist Solovyov:
"We will not stop at Kyiv, Warsaw, Paris. We will stop when we feel secure."
What is security for Russia? The destruction of NATO?
Russia has been living in "counteraction and struggle" with external "bad enemies" for a very long time. This is…
Show more
Embedded video
3:21 PM · Nov 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1722297612571672925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That and https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . H/T seen in https://thinkscotland.org/2023/07/is-mearsheimer-being-proven-right-about-nuclear-deterrence/ . TBF I can't see how CEEurope RUS neighbors can long term survive without nuclear deterrent. RUS is openly declaring they are back, onto building Empire v2, and all of CEEu is in their cross-hairs.
4:58 PM · Nov 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That and https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . H/T seen in https://thinkscotland.org/2023/07/is-mearsheimer-being-proven-right-about-nuclear-deterrence/ . TBF I can't see how CEEurope RUS neighbors can long term survive without nuclear deterrent. RUS is openly declaring they are back, onto building Empire v2, and all of CEEu is in their cross-hairs.
4:58 PM · Nov 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1722183392907653426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most people that do something new notable not done before, have strong egos, strong belief of them being right. That's necessary in order to push through obstacles - so it's self-selecting. Not possible to U-turn. Hence science advancing funeral by funeral.
9:24 AM · Nov 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most people that do something new notable not done before, have strong egos, strong belief of them being right. That's necessary in order to push through obstacles - so it's self-selecting. Not possible to U-turn. Hence science advancing funeral by funeral.
9:24 AM · Nov 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1722171711934624240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That is true - however: imagine you are chatting to a person, and every time you are about to say a word, the other person guesses it and says it. Wouldn't you think - wow, this guy is reading my mind. Wouldn't you consider him as intelligent as yourself? So it's the quality of the guessing that gives us ideas that these machines are exhibiting intelligence.
8:38 AM · Nov 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That is true - however: imagine you are chatting to a person, and every time you are about to say a word, the other person guesses it and says it. Wouldn't you think - wow, this guy is reading my mind. Wouldn't you consider him as intelligent as yourself? So it's the quality of the guessing that gives us ideas that these machines are exhibiting intelligence.
8:38 AM · Nov 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1722015285597650985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good luck. On the same subject - I learned of Emily Levine today here https://twitter.com/ValaAfshar/status/1721722164804517999 and what she said resonated with me.
Quote
Vala Afshar @ValaAfshar · Nov 7
“How do you defeat death without killing off life?”
Hear why the late philosopher Emily Levine didn't fear death when she was diagnosed with lung cancer. http://t.ted.com/H2v9BOd
Embedded video
10:16 PM · Nov 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good luck. On the same subject - I learned of Emily Levine today here https://twitter.com/ValaAfshar/status/1721722164804517999 and what she said resonated with me.
Quote
Vala Afshar @ValaAfshar · Nov 7
“How do you defeat death without killing off life?”
Hear why the late philosopher Emily Levine didn't fear death when she was diagnosed with lung cancer. http://t.ted.com/H2v9BOd
Embedded video
10:16 PM · Nov 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721897285595128089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wonder if you wd you weigh in on the interaction @skdh -
> "I" is a collection of particles that is arranged into this pattern, that will decompose and be available, all of its constituent parts, to nature, to reorganize into another pattern. In life I've consumed life, and in death, I'm going to be consumed. Quantum physicists agree reality comes into being through an interaction, and so do we.
Quote
Vala Afshar @ValaAfshar · Nov 7
“How do you defeat death without killing off life?”
Hear why the late philosopher Emily Levine didn't fear death when she was diagnosed with lung cancer. http://t.ted.com/H2v9BOd
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2:27 PM · Nov 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wonder if you wd you weigh in on the interaction @skdh -
> "I" is a collection of particles that is arranged into this pattern, that will decompose and be available, all of its constituent parts, to nature, to reorganize into another pattern. In life I've consumed life, and in death, I'm going to be consumed. Quantum physicists agree reality comes into being through an interaction, and so do we.
Quote
Vala Afshar @ValaAfshar · Nov 7
“How do you defeat death without killing off life?”
Hear why the late philosopher Emily Levine didn't fear death when she was diagnosed with lung cancer. http://t.ted.com/H2v9BOd
Embedded video
2:27 PM · Nov 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721877209085043109
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right @MatthewTorbitt - the UKG itself showed during the Covid crisis that homelessness is a political choice! When there is the will to reduce it - previously the Blair gov program, recently the covid pandemic - it can be done. And to a lesser cost than Cruella's present one.
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PoliticsJOE @PoliticsJOE_UK · Nov 7
"You're going to have to house these people or you're going to let them die because what you're essentially mandating for is murder.
"It’s state sponsored murder."
@MatthewTorbitt was homeless as a teenager. He says Suella Braverman's crackdown on tents will never solve the…
Show more
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1:08 PM · Nov 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right @MatthewTorbitt - the UKG itself showed during the Covid crisis that homelessness is a political choice! When there is the will to reduce it - previously the Blair gov program, recently the covid pandemic - it can be done. And to a lesser cost than Cruella's present one.
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PoliticsJOE @PoliticsJOE_UK · Nov 7
"You're going to have to house these people or you're going to let them die because what you're essentially mandating for is murder.
"It’s state sponsored murder."
@MatthewTorbitt was homeless as a teenager. He says Suella Braverman's crackdown on tents will never solve the…
Show more
Embedded video
1:08 PM · Nov 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721834883935240489
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on them, and a good thread - but: if one is to appeal to young people, then why chain oneself to the corpse that is the CON party afas young people are concerned? Why start - already an uphill battle of political change - chained to a 100t metal ball on the top of it all?
10:20 AM · Nov 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on them, and a good thread - but: if one is to appeal to young people, then why chain oneself to the corpse that is the CON party afas young people are concerned? Why start - already an uphill battle of political change - chained to a 100t metal ball on the top of it all?
10:20 AM · Nov 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721824734763954275
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Work == spending my time doing stuff I would not otherwise do, in order to get $$$. And I need those $$$ to get food, shelter etc == stay alive. Childcare, cooking, household etc - I do it without getting $$$ b/c I love doing them. Going around looking for offense is unedifying - there are much better things to be done with life.
9:39 AM · Nov 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Work == spending my time doing stuff I would not otherwise do, in order to get $$$. And I need those $$$ to get food, shelter etc == stay alive. Childcare, cooking, household etc - I do it without getting $$$ b/c I love doing them. Going around looking for offense is unedifying - there are much better things to be done with life.
9:39 AM · Nov 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721816097500942662
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy win - great - BUT: this case calls for running median. Sometimes also named rolling median. More general - running rank, and my personal favorite - weighted running rank. :-) No idea why these much used real-world functions are not standard.
9:05 AM · Nov 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy win - great - BUT: this case calls for running median. Sometimes also named rolling median. More general - running rank, and my personal favorite - weighted running rank. :-) No idea why these much used real-world functions are not standard.
9:05 AM · Nov 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721813061290402079
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you heard of any Russian offers? Afaik the offer from Russia is "Ukraine lay down arms and surrender, RUS take over and conquer it, UKR language and culture erased". Do you know any different? Nothing to do with the West and VSP of your imaginary world - less narcissism pls
8:53 AM · Nov 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you heard of any Russian offers? Afaik the offer from Russia is "Ukraine lay down arms and surrender, RUS take over and conquer it, UKR language and culture erased". Do you know any different? Nothing to do with the West and VSP of your imaginary world - less narcissism pls
8:53 AM · Nov 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721489958043590806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - so in conclusion, feel free to raise trade barriers everywhere, as it makes no difference?? Are you listening to yourselves? Laughable. C.f.
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Roland Smith @rolandmcs · Nov 6
Interesting to hear that it doesn't matter if you raise (or lower) trade barriers, international trade just carries on uninterrupted.
In which case, what is the point of campaigning for 'more free trade'? twitter.com/iealondon/stat…
11:29 AM · Nov 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - so in conclusion, feel free to raise trade barriers everywhere, as it makes no difference?? Are you listening to yourselves? Laughable. C.f.
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Roland Smith @rolandmcs · Nov 6
Interesting to hear that it doesn't matter if you raise (or lower) trade barriers, international trade just carries on uninterrupted.
In which case, what is the point of campaigning for 'more free trade'? twitter.com/iealondon/stat…
11:29 AM · Nov 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721459481190469690
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! The "how it started" techtalk by @SebastianThrun always makes me nod and smile along. 😄😄 Informative, educational and entertaining - just excellent all around techtalk "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (Google TechTalks Aug-2006)
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TDqzyd7fDRc
Google TechTalksi August 2, 2006
Sebastian Thrun
ABSTRACT
The DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the ...
9:28 AM · Nov 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! The "how it started" techtalk by @SebastianThrun always makes me nod and smile along. 😄😄 Informative, educational and entertaining - just excellent all around techtalk "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (Google TechTalks Aug-2006)
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TDqzyd7fDRc
Google TechTalksi August 2, 2006
Sebastian Thrun
ABSTRACT
The DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the ...
9:28 AM · Nov 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721295220053069843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF looks like LLMs have reached the level of intuition, but not the one of reasoning, as delineated by the excellent https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1719455623799357888 . A big step improvement on prior best - but will have wait another 10-15 years for the next jump to reasoning probably.
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François Chollet @fchollet · Oct 31
I think there are broadly three categories of problem solving patterns -- recitation, intuition, and reasoning.
Recitation: you simply recognize a known problem and apply the steps you've learned. Like playing a chess opening.
Intuition: in the face of a novel situation, you…
Show more
https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1719455623799357888
10:35 PM · Nov 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF looks like LLMs have reached the level of intuition, but not the one of reasoning, as delineated by the excellent https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1719455623799357888 . A big step improvement on prior best - but will have wait another 10-15 years for the next jump to reasoning probably.
Quote
François Chollet @fchollet · Oct 31
I think there are broadly three categories of problem solving patterns -- recitation, intuition, and reasoning.
Recitation: you simply recognize a known problem and apply the steps you've learned. Like playing a chess opening.
Intuition: in the face of a novel situation, you…
Show more
https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1719455623799357888
10:35 PM · Nov 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721286915029111108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - now that excellent argument won me over. Not. Blocked for foul language and lack of civility
10:02 PM · Nov 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - now that excellent argument won me over. Not. Blocked for foul language and lack of civility
10:02 PM · Nov 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1721284204338573400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He may or not loosing it. Regardless of any one individual person - Ukrainians have been fighting for their freedom for a very long time now. You should know better you f*cking PoS
9:51 PM · Nov 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He may or not loosing it. Regardless of any one individual person - Ukrainians have been fighting for their freedom for a very long time now. You should know better you f*cking PoS
9:51 PM · Nov 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720857077717823539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Single line - meh ;-) If I was to be so lucky - it was a single character for me! (this week)
5:34 PM · Nov 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Single line - meh ;-) If I was to be so lucky - it was a single character for me! (this week)
5:34 PM · Nov 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720523456444293342
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OK you are right there. So thinking some more - maybe identical in terms of things we can measure about/of them? To the extent we can "identify" them, by measuring some salient features.
7:28 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OK you are right there. So thinking some more - maybe identical in terms of things we can measure about/of them? To the extent we can "identify" them, by measuring some salient features.
7:28 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720521438052933663
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Ok, so would it be fair to say - we don't know and we can't know for sure if they are identical, or different?
7:20 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Ok, so would it be fair to say - we don't know and we can't know for sure if they are identical, or different?
7:20 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720515846588571910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the quarks and gluons (that are indivisible) - are they interchangeable? Is any quark/gluon the same/identical as any other quark/gluon? Do we have the means to measure if it is or not? Or are they all slightly different? And if different - how much, in what way?
6:58 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the quarks and gluons (that are indivisible) - are they interchangeable? Is any quark/gluon the same/identical as any other quark/gluon? Do we have the means to measure if it is or not? Or are they all slightly different? And if different - how much, in what way?
6:58 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720072865209552969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah-haa! Many thanks - great to learn about that. :-) Then one could apply the same logic to the quarks and gluons etc and wonder again - are they interchangeable, or unique, and why/should we care which one it is?
1:38 PM · Nov 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah-haa! Many thanks - great to learn about that. :-) Then one could apply the same logic to the quarks and gluons etc and wonder again - are they interchangeable, or unique, and why/should we care which one it is?
1:38 PM · Nov 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719853534965858723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speculation is ok for jogging the little grey cells. :-) Saw this proton visualization online recently. Very different to a billiard ball protons were drawn as on the high school black board. Made me ask myself - do we know if all protons are the same/interchangeable, rather than each and every one being unique?
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11:06 PM · Nov 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speculation is ok for jogging the little grey cells. :-) Saw this proton visualization online recently. Very different to a billiard ball protons were drawn as on the high school black board. Made me ask myself - do we know if all protons are the same/interchangeable, rather than each and every one being unique?
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11:06 PM · Nov 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720514860109201790
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - interesting, even if the book is too long for me to read (time is short). In the UK I noticed https://youtube.com/watch?v=RuvnCQqjH-I and https://youtube.com/watch?v=FxQ3EuEAOz0 from about a month ago (probably promotional tour).
youtube.com
Naomi Klein on Steve Bannon, The Failures Of The Left and her...
In Doppelganger, Naomi Klein takes a journey into the uncanny world of anti-vaxxer conspiracy theory and far right propaganda. As she goes through the lookin...
6:54 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - interesting, even if the book is too long for me to read (time is short). In the UK I noticed https://youtube.com/watch?v=RuvnCQqjH-I and https://youtube.com/watch?v=FxQ3EuEAOz0 from about a month ago (probably promotional tour).
youtube.com
Naomi Klein on Steve Bannon, The Failures Of The Left and her...
In Doppelganger, Naomi Klein takes a journey into the uncanny world of anti-vaxxer conspiracy theory and far right propaganda. As she goes through the lookin...
6:54 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720505761959182444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is too good not to highlight -
"... They succeed in a way that is a threat to the egos of other people. You can envy a Rockefeller, but he is no threat to your ego. But a guy who comes from Vietnam or Korea with little more than clothes on his back & a few words of broken English, & a decade latter has his own business, & you see his son few years latter getting ready to go to Harvard or MIT... you either have to hate yourself... or you are going to hate him. And most people hate the other given the choice... official asked me what can Jews themselves do in order to reduce hostility ... I answered: FAIL!"
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Konstantin Kisin @KonstantinKisin · Nov 2
Your daily Thomas Sowell reminder that antisemitism is for losers.
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6:18 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is too good not to highlight -
"... They succeed in a way that is a threat to the egos of other people. You can envy a Rockefeller, but he is no threat to your ego. But a guy who comes from Vietnam or Korea with little more than clothes on his back & a few words of broken English, & a decade latter has his own business, & you see his son few years latter getting ready to go to Harvard or MIT... you either have to hate yourself... or you are going to hate him. And most people hate the other given the choice... official asked me what can Jews themselves do in order to reduce hostility ... I answered: FAIL!"
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Konstantin Kisin @KonstantinKisin · Nov 2
Your daily Thomas Sowell reminder that antisemitism is for losers.
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6:18 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720491631017680918
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical Transparency FTW! Not only Tufton St & charities: all http://gov.uk business should be online by default, starting with treasury and all funding - no FOI hide&seek. Gov can ask&get secrecy granted as needed. All Councils' business too, private citizens records including tax returns too. Set the information free, let knowledge bloom.
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Jo Maugham @JolyonMaugham · Nov 3
Much of Tufton Street is a mask that ugly business interests wear to disguise their messaging. We need to (1) remove the mask by forcing charities to divulge who funds them and (2) remove charitable status from those who are revealed to be mere disguise. https://bylinetimes.com/2023/11/03/time-to-tackle-dark-money-in-politics-as-voters-demand-transparency-over-britains-opaque-think-tanks/
5:22 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical Transparency FTW! Not only Tufton St & charities: all http://gov.uk business should be online by default, starting with treasury and all funding - no FOI hide&seek. Gov can ask&get secrecy granted as needed. All Councils' business too, private citizens records including tax returns too. Set the information free, let knowledge bloom.
Quote
Jo Maugham @JolyonMaugham · Nov 3
Much of Tufton Street is a mask that ugly business interests wear to disguise their messaging. We need to (1) remove the mask by forcing charities to divulge who funds them and (2) remove charitable status from those who are revealed to be mere disguise. https://bylinetimes.com/2023/11/03/time-to-tackle-dark-money-in-politics-as-voters-demand-transparency-over-britains-opaque-think-tanks/
5:22 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720432099444863318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... you mean - *where* should Rishi Sunak interview next (for his next job)
1:25 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... you mean - *where* should Rishi Sunak interview next (for his next job)
1:25 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720431568827638257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The promise of cheap energy form wind+solar is not quite panning out it seems to me. Wind+solar are at ATH as percentage of the energy supply mix, and prices for energy are at ATH too. The direction of travel seems all wrong to me.
1:23 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The promise of cheap energy form wind+solar is not quite panning out it seems to me. Wind+solar are at ATH as percentage of the energy supply mix, and prices for energy are at ATH too. The direction of travel seems all wrong to me.
1:23 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720429313269379202
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - a group will have differing conventions to in-groups' versus out-groups' individuals. Words like goyim, kafir, gadjo, gaijin come to mind - neutral by dictionary but can be derogatory in some context. Also russian lozh-vranye - maybe more relevant in the context of taqiyya. Looks like started evolved as defensive practices - but ofc not limited to that now.
1:14 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - a group will have differing conventions to in-groups' versus out-groups' individuals. Words like goyim, kafir, gadjo, gaijin come to mind - neutral by dictionary but can be derogatory in some context. Also russian lozh-vranye - maybe more relevant in the context of taqiyya. Looks like started evolved as defensive practices - but ofc not limited to that now.
1:14 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720418459853447619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - agreed in hindsight easy, but there was plenty of foresight in this case, no? If we had reasons to suspect that #2 (in https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720418003043353010) was counterproductive and will make things worse and we did it for clicks and popularity then I'm afraid it crosses into the psychopathic evil territory.
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Nov 3
Replying to @Sam_Dumitriu
A spin on the merely stupid 1) something must be done, 2) here is something, 3) ergo it must be done. The twist at #2 is that the something is actually counter-productive rather than only irrelevant. So not only we bear the transaction cost of the action (regardless if good, bad or irrelevant), the outcome is also negative to the aim - a double whammy.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720418003043353010
12:31 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - agreed in hindsight easy, but there was plenty of foresight in this case, no? If we had reasons to suspect that #2 (in https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720418003043353010) was counterproductive and will make things worse and we did it for clicks and popularity then I'm afraid it crosses into the psychopathic evil territory.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Nov 3
Replying to @Sam_Dumitriu
A spin on the merely stupid 1) something must be done, 2) here is something, 3) ergo it must be done. The twist at #2 is that the something is actually counter-productive rather than only irrelevant. So not only we bear the transaction cost of the action (regardless if good, bad or irrelevant), the outcome is also negative to the aim - a double whammy.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720418003043353010
12:31 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720418003043353010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A spin on the merely stupid 1) something must be done, 2) here is something, 3) ergo it must be done. The twist at #2 is that the something is actually counter-productive rather than only irrelevant. So not only we bear the transaction cost of the action (regardless if good, bad or irrelevant), the outcome is also negative to the aim - a double whammy.
12:29 PM · Nov 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A spin on the merely stupid 1) something must be done, 2) here is something, 3) ergo it must be done. The twist at #2 is that the something is actually counter-productive rather than only irrelevant. So not only we bear the transaction cost of the action (regardless if good, bad or irrelevant), the outcome is also negative to the aim - a double whammy.
12:29 PM · Nov 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720099102317306025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is not for humans - we are by default trusting, not skeptical. That's why we can organize flexibly in large numbers. By default we trust the fellow human. But for the same reason we are vulnerable to lairs and confidence tricksters, and especially vulnerable to psychopaths.
3:22 PM · Nov 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is not for humans - we are by default trusting, not skeptical. That's why we can organize flexibly in large numbers. By default we trust the fellow human. But for the same reason we are vulnerable to lairs and confidence tricksters, and especially vulnerable to psychopaths.
3:22 PM · Nov 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720084001342488640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thinking humans have reached that unique limit point seems to me tad narcissistic. Like thinking - I'll nab that one turning point in a graph of 1000 points, 999 of which are trending. Every newborn assumes they & the universe are one, then learns - not. Humans thought they are special & apart from other animals, then - Darwin happens. We thought our Earth is special and all else revolves around it (and by extension - us), then - Copernicus. This thinking we have reached *the* limit (assuming one exists), and just in time in the lifetime of the person writing that - strikes me as baby talk, tbh. @StevenHalAus should know better.
2:22 PM · Nov 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thinking humans have reached that unique limit point seems to me tad narcissistic. Like thinking - I'll nab that one turning point in a graph of 1000 points, 999 of which are trending. Every newborn assumes they & the universe are one, then learns - not. Humans thought they are special & apart from other animals, then - Darwin happens. We thought our Earth is special and all else revolves around it (and by extension - us), then - Copernicus. This thinking we have reached *the* limit (assuming one exists), and just in time in the lifetime of the person writing that - strikes me as baby talk, tbh. @StevenHalAus should know better.
2:22 PM · Nov 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1720080615620723021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It looks like a folly to me to think that we live in such unique rare moment in time that we have reached the limit just now. Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as us have now - and our economy is 1e9 times bigger. Humans in year 3023 may be to us, what 21c us is to a neanderthal.
2:09 PM · Nov 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It looks like a folly to me to think that we live in such unique rare moment in time that we have reached the limit just now. Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as us have now - and our economy is 1e9 times bigger. Humans in year 3023 may be to us, what 21c us is to a neanderthal.
2:09 PM · Nov 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719777421572936186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both. They don't know and don't care so there is not a chance for them to learn (listen to @Dominic2306 insiders info revelations in the past years). And also they are corrupt one way or the other - and esp looking forward to their post-parliament careers.
6:04 PM · Nov 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both. They don't know and don't care so there is not a chance for them to learn (listen to @Dominic2306 insiders info revelations in the past years). And also they are corrupt one way or the other - and esp looking forward to their post-parliament careers.
6:04 PM · Nov 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719690031625863674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't understand your argument tbh. Mine is: most people hold many strong opinions (and beleifs even) on a whim - nothing more substantial than that. And so ChatGPT-induced-opinions is par the course, not something much new or different, to what currently is the case.
12:17 PM · Nov 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't understand your argument tbh. Mine is: most people hold many strong opinions (and beleifs even) on a whim - nothing more substantial than that. And so ChatGPT-induced-opinions is par the course, not something much new or different, to what currently is the case.
12:17 PM · Nov 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719675039732134314
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well you can turn the argument around too. Most people have opinions on many things based on nothing more than "this random thought came to my mind for no particular reason". So parroting ChatGPT maybe no worse most of the time, and often an improvement over the baseline tbh.
11:17 AM · Nov 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well you can turn the argument around too. Most people have opinions on many things based on nothing more than "this random thought came to my mind for no particular reason". So parroting ChatGPT maybe no worse most of the time, and often an improvement over the baseline tbh.
11:17 AM · Nov 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719549731737575511
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The fathers of ... reminds of "The father of the Internet" IT Crowd episode. 😂😂 They were important, but so were many others. Let's not all turn into Jens', let's keep some perspective.
2:59 AM · Nov 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The fathers of ... reminds of "The father of the Internet" IT Crowd episode. 😂😂 They were important, but so were many others. Let's not all turn into Jens', let's keep some perspective.
2:59 AM · Nov 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719492995311927296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's your best estimate of the probability of Earth frying the humanity from runaway GW (say unanticipated +ve feedback loops), b/c the developed world after 1980 decided to make building & R&D of fission reactors so hard as to strangle the industry? There are costs to erring on the other side too - it's not one sided with the other being risk free.
11:14 PM · Oct 31, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's your best estimate of the probability of Earth frying the humanity from runaway GW (say unanticipated +ve feedback loops), b/c the developed world after 1980 decided to make building & R&D of fission reactors so hard as to strangle the industry? There are costs to erring on the other side too - it's not one sided with the other being risk free.
11:14 PM · Oct 31, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719491778556973503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was excellent, very well done. Minor: next time when they go "... oh it's just peppercorn ...", you can mention real numbers - like "~4K-5K per year for a small London flat" or "costs ~£500 per month - so that's creeping towards a 2nd mortgage" to illustrate to the uninformed majority (==everyone myself included - before "owning" a flat) that's it's not a tenner here or there.
11:09 PM · Oct 31, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was excellent, very well done. Minor: next time when they go "... oh it's just peppercorn ...", you can mention real numbers - like "~4K-5K per year for a small London flat" or "costs ~£500 per month - so that's creeping towards a 2nd mortgage" to illustrate to the uninformed majority (==everyone myself included - before "owning" a flat) that's it's not a tenner here or there.
11:09 PM · Oct 31, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719311393160151146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
22nd Century communism by the back door - government controlling the private individual's means of computation!!
11:12 AM · Oct 31, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
22nd Century communism by the back door - government controlling the private individual's means of computation!!
11:12 AM · Oct 31, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719310917123428638
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! - communism of the 22nd century by the back door. Government controlling the private individual's means of computation!! :-( Wtaf @sama @demishassabis ?? - for a small personal short term gain, a massive long term loss & even potential disaster for all of humanity. C.f. https://twitter.com/ylecun/status/1718670073391378694
11:10 AM · Oct 31, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! - communism of the 22nd century by the back door. Government controlling the private individual's means of computation!! :-( Wtaf @sama @demishassabis ?? - for a small personal short term gain, a massive long term loss & even potential disaster for all of humanity. C.f. https://twitter.com/ylecun/status/1718670073391378694
11:10 AM · Oct 31, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1719308999869284594
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - government controlling private individuals' means of computation!!! This is so so very very bad! :-( Has there ever been a dumber campaign @sama , blowing off your own foot and esp in the forthcoming decades centuries down the line??
Quote
Suhail @Suhail · Oct 30
I think we will ultimately regret that we did this to ourselves.
Image
11:03 AM · Oct 31, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - government controlling private individuals' means of computation!!! This is so so very very bad! :-( Has there ever been a dumber campaign @sama , blowing off your own foot and esp in the forthcoming decades centuries down the line??
Quote
Suhail @Suhail · Oct 30
I think we will ultimately regret that we did this to ourselves.
Image
11:03 AM · Oct 31, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1718213853215871399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - being dime a dozen, means to an end. I sympathised with the original post - trying to listen and hear, without trying to take mental notes of "things to be refuted in the counter argument" 😄
11:31 AM · Oct 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - being dime a dozen, means to an end. I sympathised with the original post - trying to listen and hear, without trying to take mental notes of "things to be refuted in the counter argument" 😄
11:31 AM · Oct 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717941251801035055
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh no - whatever next?? Catching up with the 21st century & actually relaying his actual thoughts to us voters, like with his own actual words, rather than outsourcing them to a bland PR manager?? You don't say!!! Getting to a Trump-level effective social media communication is probably out of question though, nocando. Better not get any ideas there
Quote
Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani · Oct 27
Will get hate but I think Corbyn should have done this.
Make content the media will respond to, rather than vice versa. If you don’t define your identity - someone else will! twitter.com/PolitlcsUK/sta…
5:28 PM · Oct 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh no - whatever next?? Catching up with the 21st century & actually relaying his actual thoughts to us voters, like with his own actual words, rather than outsourcing them to a bland PR manager?? You don't say!!! Getting to a Trump-level effective social media communication is probably out of question though, nocando. Better not get any ideas there
Quote
Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani · Oct 27
Will get hate but I think Corbyn should have done this.
Make content the media will respond to, rather than vice versa. If you don’t define your identity - someone else will! twitter.com/PolitlcsUK/sta…
5:28 PM · Oct 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717919854198460608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man - wish it was possible to etch the words below on augmented reality glasses/visors of every human that's yet to live so they're never out of sight -
> while ideas ultimately can be so powerful, they begin as fragile, barely formed thoughts, so easily missed, so easily compromised, so easily just squished.
> Ideas are fragile. They often start powerless. They’re barely there, so easy to ignore or skip or miss.
> There are two things in this world that take no skill: 1. Spending other people’s money and 2. Dismissing an idea.
> Dismissing an idea is so easy because it doesn’t involve any work.
Quote
DHH @dhh · Oct 27
“So next time you hear something, or someone, talk about an idea, pitch an idea, or suggest an idea, give it five minutes. Think about it a little bit before pushing back, before saying it’s too hard or it’s too much work.” 🎯 https://signalvnoise.com/posts/3124-give-it-five-minutes
4:03 PM · Oct 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh man - wish it was possible to etch the words below on augmented reality glasses/visors of every human that's yet to live so they're never out of sight -
> while ideas ultimately can be so powerful, they begin as fragile, barely formed thoughts, so easily missed, so easily compromised, so easily just squished.
> Ideas are fragile. They often start powerless. They’re barely there, so easy to ignore or skip or miss.
> There are two things in this world that take no skill: 1. Spending other people’s money and 2. Dismissing an idea.
> Dismissing an idea is so easy because it doesn’t involve any work.
Quote
DHH @dhh · Oct 27
“So next time you hear something, or someone, talk about an idea, pitch an idea, or suggest an idea, give it five minutes. Think about it a little bit before pushing back, before saying it’s too hard or it’s too much work.” 🎯 https://signalvnoise.com/posts/3124-give-it-five-minutes
4:03 PM · Oct 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1718213853215871399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - being dime a dozen, means to an end. I sympathised with the original post - trying to listen and hear, without trying to take mental notes of "things to be refuted in the counter argument" 😄
11:31 AM · Oct 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - being dime a dozen, means to an end. I sympathised with the original post - trying to listen and hear, without trying to take mental notes of "things to be refuted in the counter argument" 😄
11:31 AM · Oct 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717884392486375534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah -true, true
His successor told Ukraine’s president: “We don’t have an army.” What changed between 2014 and 2022 wasn’t Putin or the west, but Ukraine. It built a serious army. Only after it resisted Putin did surprised western countries finally do likewise. Now the battle is for the lands between the two worlds. Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova will either join the west or be recolonised. But however this plays out, western armies won’t defeat Russia. The country has one military advantage over the west and possibly even over China: it treats its citizens as cannon fodder.
Quote
Simon Kuper @KuperSimon · Oct 27
Western countries were blind to Putin's aggression for years. Now they're just self-interested - so they might appease him again. Me @FT, retelling some superb anecdotes from @SylvieKauffmann's inside-the-summits book Les aveuglés https://on.ft.com/3SewfNG
1:42 PM · Oct 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah -true, true
His successor told Ukraine’s president: “We don’t have an army.” What changed between 2014 and 2022 wasn’t Putin or the west, but Ukraine. It built a serious army. Only after it resisted Putin did surprised western countries finally do likewise. Now the battle is for the lands between the two worlds. Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova will either join the west or be recolonised. But however this plays out, western armies won’t defeat Russia. The country has one military advantage over the west and possibly even over China: it treats its citizens as cannon fodder.
Quote
Simon Kuper @KuperSimon · Oct 27
Western countries were blind to Putin's aggression for years. Now they're just self-interested - so they might appease him again. Me @FT, retelling some superb anecdotes from @SylvieKauffmann's inside-the-summits book Les aveuglés https://on.ft.com/3SewfNG
1:42 PM · Oct 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717879761840574513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - catching up with the 21st century & actually relaying his actual thoughts to us voters, like with his own actual words, rather than outsourcing them to a bland PR manager?? You don't say!!! Whatever next?? Catch up to a Trump-level effective social media communications maybe? One can hope.
1:23 PM · Oct 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - catching up with the 21st century & actually relaying his actual thoughts to us voters, like with his own actual words, rather than outsourcing them to a bland PR manager?? You don't say!!! Whatever next?? Catch up to a Trump-level effective social media communications maybe? One can hope.
1:23 PM · Oct 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717649303110320235
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point I doubt it's the privatisaton tbh. The electricity price and the %age of variable sources like wind and solar have been going up in lockstep for some time. I'm afraid I get the nagging suspicion that maybe the unreliables are the reason for the sky high prices.
10:08 PM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
At this point I doubt it's the privatisaton tbh. The electricity price and the %age of variable sources like wind and solar have been going up in lockstep for some time. I'm afraid I get the nagging suspicion that maybe the unreliables are the reason for the sky high prices.
10:08 PM · Oct 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717643517390995573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing - a case for psychologists. Looks similar to a narcissists' playbook ("that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again") but somehow the deed and the post-hoc justification are with separate individuals.
9:45 PM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing - a case for psychologists. Looks similar to a narcissists' playbook ("that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again") but somehow the deed and the post-hoc justification are with separate individuals.
9:45 PM · Oct 26, 2023
[[[ DELETED because it was wrong. Thin tail disallows the other, while fat tail allows the other. Thin-thick => thin wins, thick-thin => thin wins, thick-thick => union of the two (joint winners), thin-thin => no winner the posterior is in the middle (both thins disallow each other - joint losers).
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717539997979427269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming back to this - looks like the dis/balance of tails largely determines the shape of the posterior? To paraphrase: a fatter tail always holds its ground - winning over a thinner one, and not giving an inch if in a tie with another FT :-) Wonder if this can be said to be one of SCOFT (by @nntaleb).
Quote
Richard McElreath 🦔 @rlmcelreath · Sep 11
Replying to @rlmcelreath
Huzzah! Posterior distributions in red. The shape of the tails, which isn't so obvious to the eye, can do weird but logical things.
Image
2:53 PM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coming back to this - looks like the dis/balance of tails largely determines the shape of the posterior? To paraphrase: a fatter tail always holds its ground - winning over a thinner one, and not giving an inch if in a tie with another FT :-) Wonder if this can be said to be one of SCOFT (by @nntaleb).
Quote
Richard McElreath 🦔 @rlmcelreath · Sep 11
Replying to @rlmcelreath
Huzzah! Posterior distributions in red. The shape of the tails, which isn't so obvious to the eye, can do weird but logical things.
Image
2:53 PM · Oct 26, 2023
]]]
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717490780044996688
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks za ovaa observacija. Tocno - ne ja zemame vo predvid inflacijata. Toa e isto konsideracija ako stedam vo kesh ili sobiram pari za ucestvo - keshot go jade inflacijata.
11:38 AM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks za ovaa observacija. Tocno - ne ja zemame vo predvid inflacijata. Toa e isto konsideracija ako stedam vo kesh ili sobiram pari za ucestvo - keshot go jade inflacijata.
11:38 AM · Oct 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717483827713524024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lugeto nie pravime nesto za drug covek od 3 pricini: 1) od ljubov 2) za pari 3) pod prisila. Ljubov (1) ne se skalira na golemi proevi, obicno sakame familija i dr 5-10 luge, ne gi sakame dovolno site 5-10M luge od nasiot grad/zemja. Prisila (3) e probano, ne uspea. Odnosno se pokaza poloso od varijantatta "za pari" (2). Toa e fer objasnuvanje. "Za pari" pobedi ne zasto e najdobro, tuku zasto od toa sto moze da se skalira na golem broj na luge, e najmalku loso.
11:10 AM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lugeto nie pravime nesto za drug covek od 3 pricini: 1) od ljubov 2) za pari 3) pod prisila. Ljubov (1) ne se skalira na golemi proevi, obicno sakame familija i dr 5-10 luge, ne gi sakame dovolno site 5-10M luge od nasiot grad/zemja. Prisila (3) e probano, ne uspea. Odnosno se pokaza poloso od varijantatta "za pari" (2). Toa e fer objasnuvanje. "Za pari" pobedi ne zasto e najdobro, tuku zasto od toa sto moze da se skalira na golem broj na luge, e najmalku loso.
11:10 AM · Oct 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717482108648652880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se razbira deka nesigurnosta e neprijatna, i sekoj od nas nastojuva da ja minimizira. Megutoa: koga imavme socijalizam, nerabotnik ne mozese da bide otpusten od rabota. Pa ispadna deka rabotata se svede na hobi: ako sakam rabotam, ako ne sakam - ne rabotam. Tolku golem % od nas ne rabotevme, da na kraj nisto ne funkcionirase i sistemot se raspadna. Idealno bi imalo drug nacin da se zastiti sistemot od toa, i se nadevam nekogas ke se otkrie takov. Dotogas - otpustanje od rabota t.e. "nesigurnost na elementarna egzistencija" e eden nacinite (so site mani).
11:03 AM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se razbira deka nesigurnosta e neprijatna, i sekoj od nas nastojuva da ja minimizira. Megutoa: koga imavme socijalizam, nerabotnik ne mozese da bide otpusten od rabota. Pa ispadna deka rabotata se svede na hobi: ako sakam rabotam, ako ne sakam - ne rabotam. Tolku golem % od nas ne rabotevme, da na kraj nisto ne funkcionirase i sistemot se raspadna. Idealno bi imalo drug nacin da se zastiti sistemot od toa, i se nadevam nekogas ke se otkrie takov. Dotogas - otpustanje od rabota t.e. "nesigurnost na elementarna egzistencija" e eden nacinite (so site mani).
11:03 AM · Oct 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717495394597302405
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - if only it was the management alone. That'd make the problem easier. It's much worse than that: new social media #socmed measure engagement and follow it, and it so happens that a lot of people are much more angry than loving. I can be angry at 20-50-100 people, while love 5-10-20 people only. Old mass media #massmed is cought in this too, now that they compete with #socmed for attention. A real downward spiral. Media pple like @Andrey4Mir and @mgurri have things to say about this (and much more).
11:56 AM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - if only it was the management alone. That'd make the problem easier. It's much worse than that: new social media #socmed measure engagement and follow it, and it so happens that a lot of people are much more angry than loving. I can be angry at 20-50-100 people, while love 5-10-20 people only. Old mass media #massmed is cought in this too, now that they compete with #socmed for attention. A real downward spiral. Media pple like @Andrey4Mir and @mgurri have things to say about this (and much more).
11:56 AM · Oct 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717507165483684152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - "drugo objasnuvanje nema"? Ima, kako nema: zedov kredit, kupiv stan, go otplativ kreditot za 7-8 godini natplakajki gi mesecnite rati, i sega sum raat. Ete ti drugo objasnuvanje - moeto licno iskustvo so kredit. I pokroce malku poskromno - "ocigledno" e deka nemas dovolno imaginacija da gi zamislis site moznosti/varijanti. Ne deka si ti - tuku deka nikoj od nas nema tolkava imaginacija. Koga se diskutira so nepoznati onlajn, dobro e da se drzis do ideite kako sto se kazani, a bez da zamisluvas koj kazuva, zasto kazuva, zasto sega kazuva (a ne drug pat), zasto ne kazuva nesto drugo (sto ti mislis treba da go kaze) i sl.
12:43 PM · Oct 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - "drugo objasnuvanje nema"? Ima, kako nema: zedov kredit, kupiv stan, go otplativ kreditot za 7-8 godini natplakajki gi mesecnite rati, i sega sum raat. Ete ti drugo objasnuvanje - moeto licno iskustvo so kredit. I pokroce malku poskromno - "ocigledno" e deka nemas dovolno imaginacija da gi zamislis site moznosti/varijanti. Ne deka si ti - tuku deka nikoj od nas nema tolkava imaginacija. Koga se diskutira so nepoznati onlajn, dobro e da se drzis do ideite kako sto se kazani, a bez da zamisluvas koj kazuva, zasto kazuva, zasto sega kazuva (a ne drug pat), zasto ne kazuva nesto drugo (sto ti mislis treba da go kaze) i sl.
12:43 PM · Oct 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716087900448690541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is just so good by @drmichaellevin -
"Bioelectricity as the Software of Life: from cognitive glue to regenerative medicine". Looks like a neglected bio level where lots of fruit (now becoming low hanging) can be collected fairly soonish?
youtube.com
Bioelectricity as the Software of Life: from cognitive glue to...
This is a talk I gave (1 hour) to a computer science and robotics audience.
2:43 PM · Oct 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is just so good by @drmichaellevin -
"Bioelectricity as the Software of Life: from cognitive glue to regenerative medicine". Looks like a neglected bio level where lots of fruit (now becoming low hanging) can be collected fairly soonish?
youtube.com
Bioelectricity as the Software of Life: from cognitive glue to...
This is a talk I gave (1 hour) to a computer science and robotics audience.
2:43 PM · Oct 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716847673020416191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NASA just sent a software update to a spacecraft 12 billion miles away
5:02 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NASA just sent a software update to a spacecraft 12 billion miles away
5:02 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716090655166931425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More than 5 lists can be pinned now - hurrah! 😄 Well done @X , and @elonmusk if you had anything to do with the feature. 👏👏 In fact - all lists can be pinned (in extremis), as it should be. 😄
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 26
Replying to @elonmusk
Allow pinning of more than 5 lists. The pinned-s list at the top is already scrollable left-right when pinned list overflows - there's no need for the "max 5" restriction. Allow more than 5 lists to be pinned, pretty please.
2:54 PM · Oct 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More than 5 lists can be pinned now - hurrah! 😄 Well done @X , and @elonmusk if you had anything to do with the feature. 👏👏 In fact - all lists can be pinned (in extremis), as it should be. 😄
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 26
Replying to @elonmusk
Allow pinning of more than 5 lists. The pinned-s list at the top is already scrollable left-right when pinned list overflows - there's no need for the "max 5" restriction. Allow more than 5 lists to be pinned, pretty please.
2:54 PM · Oct 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716549468642853035
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! The paper link https://jstor.org/stable/20045622. Probably right about that. Pitiful to witness old man's drift into the grifters' netherworld. It should be a pressing consideration for all CEEurope nations: what to do if a much larger hostile neighbor is hell bent on your destruction.
9:17 PM · Oct 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! The paper link https://jstor.org/stable/20045622. Probably right about that. Pitiful to witness old man's drift into the grifters' netherworld. It should be a pressing consideration for all CEEurope nations: what to do if a much larger hostile neighbor is hell bent on your destruction.
9:17 PM · Oct 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716736091611374017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview both. But there is more to that particular point, there are more alternatives than the 2 mentioned - see https://sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/ . History rhymes does not repeat, means of production influence social relations and the means are-a-changing fast.
9:39 AM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview both. But there is more to that particular point, there are more alternatives than the 2 mentioned - see https://sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/ . History rhymes does not repeat, means of production influence social relations and the means are-a-changing fast.
9:39 AM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717133969102102609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@MatthewDownhour wrote it best: the same way UKR was a test for the left, now ISR is a likewise test for the liberals. To me @harari_yuval articulated liberal position here https://twitter.com/harari_yuval/status/1717104023613088192 looks like fair, defensible and practical take.
Quote
Yuval Noah Harari @harari_yuval · Oct 25
"There's no contradiction between staunchly opposing the Israeli occupation of Palestinians & unequivocally condemning brutal acts of violence against innocent civilians. Every consistent leftist must hold both positions simultaneously."
Statement & names: http://bit.ly/_Left
Show this thread
12:00 PM · Oct 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@MatthewDownhour wrote it best: the same way UKR was a test for the left, now ISR is a likewise test for the liberals. To me @harari_yuval articulated liberal position here https://twitter.com/harari_yuval/status/1717104023613088192 looks like fair, defensible and practical take.
Quote
Yuval Noah Harari @harari_yuval · Oct 25
"There's no contradiction between staunchly opposing the Israeli occupation of Palestinians & unequivocally condemning brutal acts of violence against innocent civilians. Every consistent leftist must hold both positions simultaneously."
Statement & names: http://bit.ly/_Left
Show this thread
12:00 PM · Oct 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716867708422402309
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - that decision aged badly. Fwiw look who argued against https://jstor.org/stable/20045622. 🤯 IMO it should be a pressing consideration for all CEEurope nations: what to do if a much larger hostile neighbor is hell bent on your destruction. (c.f. Israel, North Korea deterrent)
6:22 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - that decision aged badly. Fwiw look who argued against https://jstor.org/stable/20045622. 🤯 IMO it should be a pressing consideration for all CEEurope nations: what to do if a much larger hostile neighbor is hell bent on your destruction. (c.f. Israel, North Korea deterrent)
6:22 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1716870198467440899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c they are stupid and or advised by other stupid-s? As per rationalwiki.org The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity
The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity were first outlined by Carlo M. Cipolla, Professor Emeritus of Economic History at Berkeley, in an essay called The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity. D'oh!
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/The_Basic_Laws_of_Human_Stupidity
6:32 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c they are stupid and or advised by other stupid-s? As per rationalwiki.org The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity
The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity were first outlined by Carlo M. Cipolla, Professor Emeritus of Economic History at Berkeley, in an essay called The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity. D'oh!
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/The_Basic_Laws_of_Human_Stupidity
6:32 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1714204624222126188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw toa e pobaruvana cena ("ask"). Postoi i ponudena cena ("bid"), i cena po koja se slucila transakcija ("trade"). Kolicinite za site tri se 1 - verojatno. Za bid-ask ceni - agentite so nedviznini najmnogu znaat. Za cena na transakcija - isto agentite no i register na nedviznini (ako cenite ne se fiktivni zaradi utajuvanje na danok).
10:00 AM · Oct 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw toa e pobaruvana cena ("ask"). Postoi i ponudena cena ("bid"), i cena po koja se slucila transakcija ("trade"). Kolicinite za site tri se 1 - verojatno. Za bid-ask ceni - agentite so nedviznini najmnogu znaat. Za cena na transakcija - isto agentite no i register na nedviznini (ako cenite ne se fiktivni zaradi utajuvanje na danok).
10:00 AM · Oct 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1713958684789740001
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
> Markets prevent monopolies and cartels
The positive feedback loop present in the competition between companies in a sector ensures every free market ends in oligopoly or monopoly. Then competition dies and so does creative destruction. How do you address that and keep the competition alive?
5:42 PM · Oct 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
> Markets prevent monopolies and cartels
The positive feedback loop present in the competition between companies in a sector ensures every free market ends in oligopoly or monopoly. Then competition dies and so does creative destruction. How do you address that and keep the competition alive?
5:42 PM · Oct 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1714289035991191569
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because not enough voters demand those strongly enough. IK voters don't demand wars either, so def possible to get stuff voters don't demand. But also possible to get stuff voters demand - if enough of them put enough pressure on their representatives for long enough.
3:35 PM · Oct 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because not enough voters demand those strongly enough. IK voters don't demand wars either, so def possible to get stuff voters don't demand. But also possible to get stuff voters demand - if enough of them put enough pressure on their representatives for long enough.
3:35 PM · Oct 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1715390859967967612
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH for most issues I can think of - it's not really about left-right up-down more-less. It's about smart versus stupid.
4:33 PM · Oct 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH for most issues I can think of - it's not really about left-right up-down more-less. It's about smart versus stupid.
4:33 PM · Oct 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1715390144243524006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not being imprisoned or killed upon daring to speak truth to power has its advantages and uses. Makes searching for the truth easier less costly. Credit to US for not planting fake WMD at that point.
4:30 PM · Oct 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not being imprisoned or killed upon daring to speak truth to power has its advantages and uses. Makes searching for the truth easier less costly. Credit to US for not planting fake WMD at that point.
4:30 PM · Oct 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1715289894287704330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Approx a group can withstand having about ~1% of its members be idiots, and multitude more than that disintegrates the group. Only policing possible is by the group members. @X should aim to give more tools to the majority that will make easy(er) to reduce the damage done by the crazy minority.
9:52 AM · Oct 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Approx a group can withstand having about ~1% of its members be idiots, and multitude more than that disintegrates the group. Only policing possible is by the group members. @X should aim to give more tools to the majority that will make easy(er) to reduce the damage done by the crazy minority.
9:52 AM · Oct 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716851507813875953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zavisi - zavisi kolku e kirija, sprema kolku e otplata na hipotekaren kredit, sprema kolku ja cenam licnata sloboda vo tie 20 god koga otplakam kredit (vkl deka moze i da go prodadam stanot ako smenam lokacija, iako e kupen na kredit), i kolku ja cenam sigurnosta posle 20 god (ke imam imot). Gledam - vo Skopje kiriite se niski, vo London kirijata go otplaka hipotekarniot kredit. Taka da - zavisi
5:17 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zavisi - zavisi kolku e kirija, sprema kolku e otplata na hipotekaren kredit, sprema kolku ja cenam licnata sloboda vo tie 20 god koga otplakam kredit (vkl deka moze i da go prodadam stanot ako smenam lokacija, iako e kupen na kredit), i kolku ja cenam sigurnosta posle 20 god (ke imam imot). Gledam - vo Skopje kiriite se niski, vo London kirijata go otplaka hipotekarniot kredit. Taka da - zavisi
5:17 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716413961489256860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The widow maker trade. :-) Sellside does not put their money where his mouth is - there is not the threat of going bust to keep them honest & think better. I know not of a way to force people publicly pronouncing on the future to place $$$ bets on the outcomes. We are to remain stuck with loudmouths for some time.
12:19 PM · Oct 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The widow maker trade. :-) Sellside does not put their money where his mouth is - there is not the threat of going bust to keep them honest & think better. I know not of a way to force people publicly pronouncing on the future to place $$$ bets on the outcomes. We are to remain stuck with loudmouths for some time.
12:19 PM · Oct 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716819521389117642
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Epa ne se zalazuvaj de? Kupi na kredit (dali banka ke ti go zeme ako ne platis rata, ili gazda ke te izbrka ako ne platis kirija - mala razlika), otplakaj kredit 20 god i na kraj otplati go. Posle toa ne plakas nisto i nikoj ne moze da te izbrka od stanot. Za razlika od kiradzija, kade i vo 21-vata godina ke bide isto kako vo 1-vata - ako ne platam, ke letam na ulica.
3:10 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Epa ne se zalazuvaj de? Kupi na kredit (dali banka ke ti go zeme ako ne platis rata, ili gazda ke te izbrka ako ne platis kirija - mala razlika), otplakaj kredit 20 god i na kraj otplati go. Posle toa ne plakas nisto i nikoj ne moze da te izbrka od stanot. Za razlika od kiradzija, kade i vo 21-vata godina ke bide isto kako vo 1-vata - ako ne platam, ke letam na ulica.
3:10 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1715348089068798074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any but a gov of incompetent imbeciles at this point wd see & do the obvious with parliament legislating as needed: FHers fail at their responsibility => forfeit the FH => FH passes to parties (LH, council, DepLUHC, ...) that are actually performing buildings' stewardship anyway
1:43 PM · Oct 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any but a gov of incompetent imbeciles at this point wd see & do the obvious with parliament legislating as needed: FHers fail at their responsibility => forfeit the FH => FH passes to parties (LH, council, DepLUHC, ...) that are actually performing buildings' stewardship anyway
1:43 PM · Oct 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1715690904923537677
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Личи дека лабелите на плаво-црвено се свртени, нели? Плавото е минимална плата. Црвеното е потрошувачка кошница. И бројката е "толку минимални плати за 1 потрошувачка кошница".
12:26 PM · Oct 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Личи дека лабелите на плаво-црвено се свртени, нели? Плавото е минимална плата. Црвеното е потрошувачка кошница. И бројката е "толку минимални плати за 1 потрошувачка кошница".
12:26 PM · Oct 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716860777175335392
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - and that's a good thing, for any ref (so including rejoin). Would have been a good thing in the 2016 ref too. TBH think UK dropped the ball there with the 50%+1 in the referendum. Referenda on 50%+1 alone and no other test at all are very rare I think,
5:54 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - and that's a good thing, for any ref (so including rejoin). Would have been a good thing in the 2016 ref too. TBH think UK dropped the ball there with the 50%+1 in the referendum. Referenda on 50%+1 alone and no other test at all are very rare I think,
5:54 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716807490149708053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lesno i brzo da zabranuvash toa sto drugi razvle i napravile - tesko sam da napravis ista ili podobra alternativa. Porano nuclear i GM, sega AI i LabMeat (ili kako se vika). Napredok ima so rabota-znaenje-pravenje. I vo socijalzmot se bese zabrani edno drugo, pri kraj nisto ne smeese da pravime, se zabraneto. Togas mi licese glupo, sega otkako vidovme kako toa zavrsi mi lici tragicno - koe gubenje na vreme i resursi.
2:22 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lesno i brzo da zabranuvash toa sto drugi razvle i napravile - tesko sam da napravis ista ili podobra alternativa. Porano nuclear i GM, sega AI i LabMeat (ili kako se vika). Napredok ima so rabota-znaenje-pravenje. I vo socijalzmot se bese zabrani edno drugo, pri kraj nisto ne smeese da pravime, se zabraneto. Togas mi licese glupo, sega otkako vidovme kako toa zavrsi mi lici tragicno - koe gubenje na vreme i resursi.
2:22 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716874250945245332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e deka ne se soglasuvam... :-) Treba hipotekarniot kredit da go dozvoluva istoto, i bez penali sto ke go napravat toa preskapo. Vo UK imase i "offset kredit" - plakam kamata ne na sumata pozajmena, tuku na sumata pozajmena minus nekoj depozit sto go drzam kaj davatelot na kreditot (na viduvanje so 0 kamata).
6:48 PM · Oct 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e deka ne se soglasuvam... :-) Treba hipotekarniot kredit da go dozvoluva istoto, i bez penali sto ke go napravat toa preskapo. Vo UK imase i "offset kredit" - plakam kamata ne na sumata pozajmena, tuku na sumata pozajmena minus nekoj depozit sto go drzam kaj davatelot na kreditot (na viduvanje so 0 kamata).
6:48 PM · Oct 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716407619026338173
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - that will increase the demand for sure, and it's technically doable. However - that would go against the libertarian angle of BTC. B/c then a question arises: what happens to citizens that fail to surrender the required 0.001 BTC? Do they go to jail/have property repossessed as would happen if they fail to surrender the (I assume currently required) USD?
11:54 AM · Oct 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - that will increase the demand for sure, and it's technically doable. However - that would go against the libertarian angle of BTC. B/c then a question arises: what happens to citizens that fail to surrender the required 0.001 BTC? Do they go to jail/have property repossessed as would happen if they fail to surrender the (I assume currently required) USD?
11:54 AM · Oct 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1716529719825383895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Had to read to the end to get to "... rolls them out in electric vehicles as early as 2027". Sigh. Looks like the article is a B/S press release - it is unlikely to actually happen for real.
7:59 PM · Oct 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Had to read to the end to get to "... rolls them out in electric vehicles as early as 2027". Sigh. Looks like the article is a B/S press release - it is unlikely to actually happen for real.
7:59 PM · Oct 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717161011428401273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks for the pandas Excel-SQL note. 👏
There exists a stronger claim still: a 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
1:47 PM · Oct 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks for the pandas Excel-SQL note. 👏
There exists a stronger claim still: a 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
1:47 PM · Oct 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717148263814480240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't be daft. Don't spoil the YIMBY brand with idiotic takes like the above. Taking the opposite's (maybe reasonable) argument (or not - that's TBS), stretching it to the extreme, then mocking that extreme (while not addressing the original argument), is the oldest stupid trick in the book of online wars. Every arg is ridiculous when stretched to its extremes. YIMBY gain nothing from that childish stance, and lose support from reasonable undecided middle that would be sympathetic to the YIMBY cause. Take the above thing down if you have any sense.
12:57 PM · Oct 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't be daft. Don't spoil the YIMBY brand with idiotic takes like the above. Taking the opposite's (maybe reasonable) argument (or not - that's TBS), stretching it to the extreme, then mocking that extreme (while not addressing the original argument), is the oldest stupid trick in the book of online wars. Every arg is ridiculous when stretched to its extremes. YIMBY gain nothing from that childish stance, and lose support from reasonable undecided middle that would be sympathetic to the YIMBY cause. Take the above thing down if you have any sense.
12:57 PM · Oct 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717100449281568893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that - an astute observation, completes a frequently observed narcissist’s playbook: that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again.
9:47 AM · Oct 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that - an astute observation, completes a frequently observed narcissist’s playbook: that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some big boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again.
9:47 AM · Oct 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717169152903758260
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF looks to me only partly standard stupidity (==no big personal gain even some loss while causing pain & suffering to others), and more the case of "difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it". Standard media-macro.
2:20 PM · Oct 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF looks to me only partly standard stupidity (==no big personal gain even some loss while causing pain & suffering to others), and more the case of "difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it". Standard media-macro.
2:20 PM · Oct 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717101155191329269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, baffling. Reasons - probably multiple, you mention few and also in the comments. It's sobering to see how crazy humans can get even in most benign of situations ("their" side committed atrocities thousands miles away on the other side of the world - now they have to cope).
9:49 AM · Oct 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, baffling. Reasons - probably multiple, you mention few and also in the comments. It's sobering to see how crazy humans can get even in most benign of situations ("their" side committed atrocities thousands miles away on the other side of the world - now they have to cope).
9:49 AM · Oct 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1717191738169663924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF asking about ones own culture while being in it is like a fish asking - "what is water"? Culture (like ideology) is that what we know unconsciously, and governs our lives, without us explicitly knowing consciously.
3:49 PM · Oct 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF asking about ones own culture while being in it is like a fish asking - "what is water"? Culture (like ideology) is that what we know unconsciously, and governs our lives, without us explicitly knowing consciously.
3:49 PM · Oct 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1700173238939144643
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Ме подтикна да побарам, ова излезе
youtube.com
Која е сербез Донка, кој ја посврши и како стана дел од музичката...
4:44 PM · Sep 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Ме подтикна да побарам, ова излезе
youtube.com
Која е сербез Донка, кој ја посврши и како стана дел од музичката...
4:44 PM · Sep 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1705647478953963807
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂🤣 - "Real programmers ..." vibes there
https://pbm.com/~lindahl/real.programmers.html
7:17 PM · Sep 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂🤣 - "Real programmers ..." vibes there
https://pbm.com/~lindahl/real.programmers.html
7:17 PM · Sep 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1705637485659775412
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hence the hierarchy in: ideas >> events >> people. TBH philosophers maybe asking the questions, but answering seems to be done mostly by scientists or even technologists. TBF maybe parts of philosophy that were successful are known to us as sciences?
6:37 PM · Sep 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hence the hierarchy in: ideas >> events >> people. TBH philosophers maybe asking the questions, but answering seems to be done mostly by scientists or even technologists. TBF maybe parts of philosophy that were successful are known to us as sciences?
6:37 PM · Sep 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1699493023015489788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't doubt that - at the point of signing up. As for what's going to happen during the lifetime of that contract - I think neither myself nor yourself know.
7:41 PM · Sep 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't doubt that - at the point of signing up. As for what's going to happen during the lifetime of that contract - I think neither myself nor yourself know.
7:41 PM · Sep 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1701712192179978529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - @Pelagonia_Range e najubav. Plus imaat i nekolku drugi raboti zimnici i sl, go zgolemija asortimanot so vreme.
10:39 PM · Sep 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - @Pelagonia_Range e najubav. Plus imaat i nekolku drugi raboti zimnici i sl, go zgolemija asortimanot so vreme.
10:39 PM · Sep 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1709147436965351870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the im/possibility of changing minds by discussion - a good trick: shift to a more abstract case, at least one level up, from the concrete case (that is under dispute). Seems to help that some level of abstraction up is puts some distance from the personal experiences, personalities, the moras of the current zeitgeist etc
12:04 PM · Oct 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the im/possibility of changing minds by discussion - a good trick: shift to a more abstract case, at least one level up, from the concrete case (that is under dispute). Seems to help that some level of abstraction up is puts some distance from the personal experiences, personalities, the moras of the current zeitgeist etc
12:04 PM · Oct 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1709144590530306518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH as regressions go, it doesn't get any more clear cut in a bog standard way than this -
> As you can see, both the coefficient on biden and its statistical significance are essentially unchanged once you add age to the equation.
Simple and robust by @NateSilver538
Quote
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Oct 1
COVID death rates are well predicted by state partisanship even once you control for age.
https://natesilver.net/p/fine-ill-run-a-regression-analysis
11:53 AM · Oct 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH as regressions go, it doesn't get any more clear cut in a bog standard way than this -
> As you can see, both the coefficient on biden and its statistical significance are essentially unchanged once you add age to the equation.
Simple and robust by @NateSilver538
Quote
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · Oct 1
COVID death rates are well predicted by state partisanship even once you control for age.
https://natesilver.net/p/fine-ill-run-a-regression-analysis
11:53 AM · Oct 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1706666245226180726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A 2D rows-columns rectangular data structure is the single simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient, covering 1) a matrix 2) an Excel spreadsheet 3) an SQL table 4) a (directed) graph network of nodes and edges.
3:45 PM · Sep 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A 2D rows-columns rectangular data structure is the single simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient, covering 1) a matrix 2) an Excel spreadsheet 3) an SQL table 4) a (directed) graph network of nodes and edges.
3:45 PM · Sep 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1699399974381900061
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fya @elonmusk - spurious "This request maybe automated", "You are unable to follow more people" after adding some follows. Twitter has my real name, photo, email, phone number, credit card (and subscription), history of posts - and still the algo makes a mistake. What else can it possibly need to get it right?? (I draw a line at the 1st born)
This request looks like it might be automated
You are unable to follow more people at this time
2:31 PM · Sep 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fya @elonmusk - spurious "This request maybe automated", "You are unable to follow more people" after adding some follows. Twitter has my real name, photo, email, phone number, credit card (and subscription), history of posts - and still the algo makes a mistake. What else can it possibly need to get it right?? (I draw a line at the 1st born)
This request looks like it might be automated
You are unable to follow more people at this time
2:31 PM · Sep 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698691675751616657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good and as ever unfailingly lucid by Žižek
"Why the West will keep losing in Africa
Neocolonialism is giving birth to a wretched authoritarianism." in @NewStatesman
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good and as ever unfailingly lucid by Žižek
"Why the West will keep losing in Africa
Neocolonialism is giving birth to a wretched authoritarianism." in @NewStatesman
https://newstatesman.com/ideas/2023/09/west-losing-africa-neocolonialism-authoritarianism
Highlights -
However, it is clear that the “anti-colonial” uprisings in Central Africa are even worse than French neocolonialism. The future they bring is that of failed states like Zimbabwe and Myanmar: authoritarian military rule; economic regression into new lows of poverty that profit only the new and corrupt elite; ideological fundamentalism combined with a pushback against “colonial” influences like gay rights. Authentic emancipatory leaders such as Thomas Sankara in Burkina Faso are a distant memory. How can it be that much of Africa finds itself in such a desperate situation, where the only choice is between bad (Western neocolonialism) and worse (fake authoritarian anti-colonialism)? The recent military coup in Gabon was a revolt against both, removing President Ali Bongo in the knowledge that this time the French army was unlikely to intervene.
Is this a universal rule? Fortunately not. Rarely, from time to time and in an unpredictable way, exceptions occur; the mist dispels, clarity prevails and the majority are mobilised for the right reasons. Such moments are history at its purest – moments when years happen within the scope of a week.
3:37 PM · Sep 4, 2023
Highlights -
However, it is clear that the “anti-colonial” uprisings in Central Africa are even worse than French neocolonialism. The future they bring is that of failed states like Zimbabwe and Myanmar: authoritarian military rule; economic regression into new lows of poverty that profit only the new and corrupt elite; ideological fundamentalism combined with a pushback against “colonial” influences like gay rights. Authentic emancipatory leaders such as Thomas Sankara in Burkina Faso are a distant memory. How can it be that much of Africa finds itself in such a desperate situation, where the only choice is between bad (Western neocolonialism) and worse (fake authoritarian anti-colonialism)? The recent military coup in Gabon was a revolt against both, removing President Ali Bongo in the knowledge that this time the French army was unlikely to intervene.
Is this a universal rule? Fortunately not. Rarely, from time to time and in an unpredictable way, exceptions occur; the mist dispels, clarity prevails and the majority are mobilised for the right reasons. Such moments are history at its purest – moments when years happen within the scope of a week.
3:37 PM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1704438400361623809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most excellent by @J_Bloodworth -
> But institutional vehicles for rebellion hardly exist and that at least partly explains why it’s such a propitious time for grifters selling snake oil on the internet. “When there’s no worthwhile banner, you start to march behind worthless ones,” the anarchist and Russian revolutionary Victor Serge once wrote. “When you don’t have the genuine article, you live with the counterfeit.”
Quote
James Bloodworth @J_Bloodworth · Sep 19
Replying to @J_Bloodworth
https://jamesbloodworth.com/p/the-meaning-of-russell-brand
12:12 PM · Sep 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most excellent by @J_Bloodworth -
> But institutional vehicles for rebellion hardly exist and that at least partly explains why it’s such a propitious time for grifters selling snake oil on the internet. “When there’s no worthwhile banner, you start to march behind worthless ones,” the anarchist and Russian revolutionary Victor Serge once wrote. “When you don’t have the genuine article, you live with the counterfeit.”
Quote
James Bloodworth @J_Bloodworth · Sep 19
Replying to @J_Bloodworth
https://jamesbloodworth.com/p/the-meaning-of-russell-brand
12:12 PM · Sep 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1706364815998873685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Command line never change 🤩
Had batches of files to process
$ for a in files*; do basic_stuff "$a"; extra_stuff "$a"; done
For some batches to comment-out extra_stuff inline in the one-liner (where # comment will not do) - "colon" : operator to the rescue:
$ for a in files*; do basic_stuff "$a"; : extra_stuff "$a"; done
So the extra_stuff "$a" was *not* done to $a, as if it had been commented out. (extra_stuff was more longer and involved, could not be bothered to re/type)
7:47 PM · Sep 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Command line never change 🤩
Had batches of files to process
$ for a in files*; do basic_stuff "$a"; extra_stuff "$a"; done
For some batches to comment-out extra_stuff inline in the one-liner (where # comment will not do) - "colon" : operator to the rescue:
$ for a in files*; do basic_stuff "$a"; : extra_stuff "$a"; done
So the extra_stuff "$a" was *not* done to $a, as if it had been commented out. (extra_stuff was more longer and involved, could not be bothered to re/type)
7:47 PM · Sep 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1704218870490276255
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
World’s most powerful X-ray laser will ‘film’ chemical reactions in unprecedented detail
nature.com
https://t.co/YVBsXVsDF8
World’s most powerful X-ray laser will ‘film’ chemical reactions in unprecedented detail
Nature - Upgraded laser in California will produce one million X-ray pulses per second to study ultrafast processes at the atomic level.
9:40 PM · Sep 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
World’s most powerful X-ray laser will ‘film’ chemical reactions in unprecedented detail
nature.com
https://t.co/YVBsXVsDF8
World’s most powerful X-ray laser will ‘film’ chemical reactions in unprecedented detail
Nature - Upgraded laser in California will produce one million X-ray pulses per second to study ultrafast processes at the atomic level.
9:40 PM · Sep 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707395594275189195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wtaf memset() function?? The buffer size argument does *not* follow the buffer in the argument list?? ... but instead - the value set comes after the buffer, and the actual buffer size comes after it in the argument list?! Inn-sane.
4:03 PM · Sep 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wtaf memset() function?? The buffer size argument does *not* follow the buffer in the argument list?? ... but instead - the value set comes after the buffer, and the actual buffer size comes after it in the argument list?! Inn-sane.
4:03 PM · Sep 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1702015736254714186
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ahahahah 🤣🤣🤣 -
> So, we had to spend quite a bit of time getting everyone to buy into our plan. To do this we used an approach that I learned from a biography I'd recently read of Abe Lincoln, which was to get them to come up with our plan themselves. Now, that took some time, but eventually it all worked out.
https://goldmansachs.com/intelligence/podcasts/episodes/09-11-2023-peter-brown-f/transcript.pdf
7:45 PM · Sep 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ahahahah 🤣🤣🤣 -
> So, we had to spend quite a bit of time getting everyone to buy into our plan. To do this we used an approach that I learned from a biography I'd recently read of Abe Lincoln, which was to get them to come up with our plan themselves. Now, that took some time, but eventually it all worked out.
https://goldmansachs.com/intelligence/podcasts/episodes/09-11-2023-peter-brown-f/transcript.pdf
7:45 PM · Sep 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707769378563915975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣🤣🤣🤣 thanks for that - think you outdid your usual best, this tops everything 🤣🤣🤣🤣 oh my
Quote
Dmitry Grozoubinski @DmitryOpines · Sep 29
The real victims here are the GB News interns desperately working the phones to find an excommunicated Rabbi willing to proclaim that chem-trails are a World Bank plot to turn bees pansexual. twitter.com/calvinrobinson…
4:48 PM · Sep 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣🤣🤣🤣 thanks for that - think you outdid your usual best, this tops everything 🤣🤣🤣🤣 oh my
Quote
Dmitry Grozoubinski @DmitryOpines · Sep 29
The real victims here are the GB News interns desperately working the phones to find an excommunicated Rabbi willing to proclaim that chem-trails are a World Bank plot to turn bees pansexual. twitter.com/calvinrobinson…
4:48 PM · Sep 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1699486632456401219
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@virginmedia
What bizzare VM broadband offer for existing customers. Got offered "VM + O2 sim = £41", but "VM alone = £46" 😂😂 One can only conclude O2 adds negative value or it's much more than the advertised £5.
Image
8:16 PM · Sep 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@virginmedia
What bizzare VM broadband offer for existing customers. Got offered "VM + O2 sim = £41", but "VM alone = £46" 😂😂 One can only conclude O2 adds negative value or it's much more than the advertised £5.
Image
8:16 PM · Sep 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1701992971174834565
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow -
> Bully Watch UK estimate that American Bullies are a remarkable 270 times more deadly than the rest of the dog population.
What further evidence UK gov can possibly needs? Just ban them pronto. And leave us to enjoy in peace the companionship of the thousands other dogs breeds we can chose from.
Quote
Dr Lawrence Newport - In Pursuit of Progress
@pursuitofprog · Sep 13
An excellent piece by @StuartJRitchie which tears apart the awful Guardian "science" piece earlier this week, which simply regurgitated lazy arguments and strawman nonsense.
We need more science journalism as vibrant, fact focused and rigorous as this:
https://inews.co.uk/news/american-bully-xl-dogs-exploded-popularity-uk-2612043
6:15 PM · Sep 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow -
> Bully Watch UK estimate that American Bullies are a remarkable 270 times more deadly than the rest of the dog population.
What further evidence UK gov can possibly needs? Just ban them pronto. And leave us to enjoy in peace the companionship of the thousands other dogs breeds we can chose from.
Quote
Dr Lawrence Newport - In Pursuit of Progress
@pursuitofprog · Sep 13
An excellent piece by @StuartJRitchie which tears apart the awful Guardian "science" piece earlier this week, which simply regurgitated lazy arguments and strawman nonsense.
We need more science journalism as vibrant, fact focused and rigorous as this:
https://inews.co.uk/news/american-bully-xl-dogs-exploded-popularity-uk-2612043
6:15 PM · Sep 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698623118456095094
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF not sure it is the people - given it's been tried by various people(s) and each time found wanting. Admittedly it's been recognised - the "lets build a new (soviet) person" seems stems from that, but looks like a cop out to me. (@CloudsGalore) 1/4
Quote
Ale𝕏 @CloudsGalore · Sep 3
Replying to @peterrhague
🤣 I find it one of the ironies of recent history that Communism kept getting tried by people least likely to succeed at it. It requires a high general level of enlightenment among the population to have a hope of working (probably still won't), but keeps getting implemented by… Show more
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF not sure it is the people - given it's been tried by various people(s) and each time found wanting. Admittedly it's been recognised - the "lets build a new (soviet) person" seems stems from that, but looks like a cop out to me. (@CloudsGalore) 1/4
Quote
Ale𝕏 @CloudsGalore · Sep 3
Replying to @peterrhague
🤣 I find it one of the ironies of recent history that Communism kept getting tried by people least likely to succeed at it. It requires a high general level of enlightenment among the population to have a hope of working (probably still won't), but keeps getting implemented by… Show more
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698623121589260346
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correctly observing people-system combo failing, between (1) change the system; and (2) change the people - we chose (2) over (1). TBF choosing (1) and chasing down the failings and addressing them to their logical conclusions applying immediate obvious fixes - tended to 2/4
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correctly observing people-system combo failing, between (1) change the system; and (2) change the people - we chose (2) over (1). TBF choosing (1) and chasing down the failings and addressing them to their logical conclusions applying immediate obvious fixes - tended to 2/4
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698623124336517586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... end up with capitalism. So typically every reform to socialism tried was ultimately stopped and reversed b/c the hard-core old guard would scream "but that's capitalism" - and they would be right! :-) One can say - socialism with the systemic fails addressed or 3/4
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... end up with capitalism. So typically every reform to socialism tried was ultimately stopped and reversed b/c the hard-core old guard would scream "but that's capitalism" - and they would be right! :-) One can say - socialism with the systemic fails addressed or 3/4
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698623126970442183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... at least band-aid applied ultimately ends as capitalism. 😆😆 I grew up in an (ex-)socialist country and was aware of/witnessed 3 attempts at fixing the socialist system ailments i.e. reforms and they all followed similar trajectory and were ultimately abandoned. 4/4
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... at least band-aid applied ultimately ends as capitalism. 😆😆 I grew up in an (ex-)socialist country and was aware of/witnessed 3 attempts at fixing the socialist system ailments i.e. reforms and they all followed similar trajectory and were ultimately abandoned. 4/4
11:04 AM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698630339332133191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on capitalism reform - but then I think few wd disagree there are systemic capitalism fails that need addressing to improve it. Often even when (1) a failing is known, and (2) a cure fairly certain to help, it is still (3) hard to implement against existing interests.
11:33 AM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on capitalism reform - but then I think few wd disagree there are systemic capitalism fails that need addressing to improve it. Often even when (1) a failing is known, and (2) a cure fairly certain to help, it is still (3) hard to implement against existing interests.
11:33 AM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1699016771431288932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exceptional individuals may win a battle but winning a war takes competent organizing with a sober view on the pros- and cons- to what lies ahead. Also - surprisingly numerate! Folks betting on anything & everything, bookies held close to the nations' hearts. In other cultures charlatan grifters fortune tellers tend to occupy that spot. Disclaimer - I rather like my adopted country. ☺️
(recommended anthropology reading "Watching the English" by Kate Fox)
1:08 PM · Sep 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exceptional individuals may win a battle but winning a war takes competent organizing with a sober view on the pros- and cons- to what lies ahead. Also - surprisingly numerate! Folks betting on anything & everything, bookies held close to the nations' hearts. In other cultures charlatan grifters fortune tellers tend to occupy that spot. Disclaimer - I rather like my adopted country. ☺️
(recommended anthropology reading "Watching the English" by Kate Fox)
1:08 PM · Sep 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1699395376078606615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Missing in action? Nothing and noone is perfect. Luckily too? - I suspect life maybe terribly boring in a perfect universe? (for whatever "perfect" is)
2:13 PM · Sep 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Missing in action? Nothing and noone is perfect. Luckily too? - I suspect life maybe terribly boring in a perfect universe? (for whatever "perfect" is)
2:13 PM · Sep 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1699451861596545048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No - genocide is def not the kind of spice one hopes for, and not what I had in mind. One of the times when Britain was a bellend (c.f. "52 Times Britain was a Bellend: The History You Didn't Get Taught At School") and worse.
5:57 PM · Sep 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No - genocide is def not the kind of spice one hopes for, and not what I had in mind. One of the times when Britain was a bellend (c.f. "52 Times Britain was a Bellend: The History You Didn't Get Taught At School") and worse.
5:57 PM · Sep 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707309136742932875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it was the Clinton admin, tbf with universal support from almost all. Curiously one dissenting voice was https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . 🙄
10:19 AM · Sep 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes it was the Clinton admin, tbf with universal support from almost all. Curiously one dissenting voice was https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf . 🙄
10:19 AM · Sep 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707357177445228790
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My thinking on the "How" is - no theory is perfect, any social theory is sometimes right other times wrong. Human societies are not like atoms, politics is not physics etc.
Imo realists' error Re UKR is: UKR out of RUS orbit is not existential to nuclear RUS, is more like Vietnam/Iraq to USA or Afghanistan to RUS/USA, despite what's said.
But - if RUS elects to pursue restoration of empire (after the Russian and Soviet) in CEEurope (as it looks it will), then CEEu have no choice but to go for deterrent. Looks like nuclear deterrent against an aggressor works, while nuclear for an aggressor attacking a country is not that useful. Recently saw on that https://thinkscotland.org/2023/07/is-mearsheimer-being-proven-right-about-nuclear-deterrence/ .
The "no free lunch" pessimist in me harbors a nagging suspicion that that kind of nuclear deterrent world replaces many smaller risks (of conventional wars) with one big risk (of all out nuclear war) - but that's another discussion.
1:30 PM · Sep 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My thinking on the "How" is - no theory is perfect, any social theory is sometimes right other times wrong. Human societies are not like atoms, politics is not physics etc.
Imo realists' error Re UKR is: UKR out of RUS orbit is not existential to nuclear RUS, is more like Vietnam/Iraq to USA or Afghanistan to RUS/USA, despite what's said.
But - if RUS elects to pursue restoration of empire (after the Russian and Soviet) in CEEurope (as it looks it will), then CEEu have no choice but to go for deterrent. Looks like nuclear deterrent against an aggressor works, while nuclear for an aggressor attacking a country is not that useful. Recently saw on that https://thinkscotland.org/2023/07/is-mearsheimer-being-proven-right-about-nuclear-deterrence/ .
The "no free lunch" pessimist in me harbors a nagging suspicion that that kind of nuclear deterrent world replaces many smaller risks (of conventional wars) with one big risk (of all out nuclear war) - but that's another discussion.
1:30 PM · Sep 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707467517633909237
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My reading of text was more along the lines of "nuclear as defensive deterrent is complete success as no nuclear nation has been invaded", while "nuclear as offensive weapon is half successful only b/c while it slowed down western support of UKR it did not stop if completely".
Heard today the argument "the whole world, including China and India - and not only he West - must help UKR deter the RUS aggressive war (invasion) from non-nuclear proliferation point of view. If RUS succeeds all nations of the world will take the lesson that they must posses nukes for deterrent".
8:49 PM · Sep 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My reading of text was more along the lines of "nuclear as defensive deterrent is complete success as no nuclear nation has been invaded", while "nuclear as offensive weapon is half successful only b/c while it slowed down western support of UKR it did not stop if completely".
Heard today the argument "the whole world, including China and India - and not only he West - must help UKR deter the RUS aggressive war (invasion) from non-nuclear proliferation point of view. If RUS succeeds all nations of the world will take the lesson that they must posses nukes for deterrent".
8:49 PM · Sep 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1705143317023883652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One reading of the graph: the poorest can't afford a car. The moment they stop being the poorest and can afford a car - people get a car. Persona data point - in London one can get away without a car, outside London car is a necessity. That's why people spend their hard earned £££ on a car as soon as they earn them.
10:53 AM · Sep 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One reading of the graph: the poorest can't afford a car. The moment they stop being the poorest and can afford a car - people get a car. Persona data point - in London one can get away without a car, outside London car is a necessity. That's why people spend their hard earned £££ on a car as soon as they earn them.
10:53 AM · Sep 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1705157280516210757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed it's a simplification. 😊 (as any single statement abt multitudes is bound to be) Other cities - idk maybe. In my town (and a village nearby) a car is a time saver. Everyone that can afford to, trades their £££ for the time saved by a car. (rarely one uses a car for the joy of driving tbh)
11:49 AM · Sep 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed it's a simplification. 😊 (as any single statement abt multitudes is bound to be) Other cities - idk maybe. In my town (and a village nearby) a car is a time saver. Everyone that can afford to, trades their £££ for the time saved by a car. (rarely one uses a car for the joy of driving tbh)
11:49 AM · Sep 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707492536191680871
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will do you good. The "object part" is silly, but the matrix engine is solid. Expressing everything as bunch of vectorised matrix operations is good for the little grey cells. The code size is x5-x7 times reduced. One downside: hard to trace a canary through a bunch of those ops to ensure correctness. Pass by value with copy-on-write is good, knowing "if vectorsied then fast" is good.
10:28 PM · Sep 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It will do you good. The "object part" is silly, but the matrix engine is solid. Expressing everything as bunch of vectorised matrix operations is good for the little grey cells. The code size is x5-x7 times reduced. One downside: hard to trace a canary through a bunch of those ops to ensure correctness. Pass by value with copy-on-write is good, knowing "if vectorsied then fast" is good.
10:28 PM · Sep 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707774444632957005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I know they are available, and have used them. Fwiw I found python pandas between silly and painful (numpy tad better). Yes - not a native type but library functions operating on an object - and it shows. Maybe b/c in matlab matrix is *the* default type - the difference seemed vast to me. Trivially, in pandas "am I modifying the existing matrix or is the changed one that is assigned to a new variable" was not blindingly obvious to me. Working with few 100s of those each weighing 40GB - one gets fed up with the uncertainty rather quickly. 😁
5:08 PM · Sep 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - I know they are available, and have used them. Fwiw I found python pandas between silly and painful (numpy tad better). Yes - not a native type but library functions operating on an object - and it shows. Maybe b/c in matlab matrix is *the* default type - the difference seemed vast to me. Trivially, in pandas "am I modifying the existing matrix or is the changed one that is assigned to a new variable" was not blindingly obvious to me. Working with few 100s of those each weighing 40GB - one gets fed up with the uncertainty rather quickly. 😁
5:08 PM · Sep 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1706680249163919827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"999 years of suffering" is catchy, maybe a good slogan tbh 😬🙄😢😭 (unfortunately)
4:40 PM · Sep 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"999 years of suffering" is catchy, maybe a good slogan tbh 😬🙄😢😭 (unfortunately)
4:40 PM · Sep 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707781558835298558
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - didn't expect that. A long way from the heady days of "goloruki narod odgovorio vatrom" ((c) RTS)
5:37 PM · Sep 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa - didn't expect that. A long way from the heady days of "goloruki narod odgovorio vatrom" ((c) RTS)
5:37 PM · Sep 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1704100323139133705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about heat pumps - but home solar: most companies seem Mickey Mouse (takes £££ today, gone tomorrow) looking at Companies House records. Don't think mine will be around to honor any warranty TBH. Not that cheap either - 13K to supply ~45% of my demand. Wish Amazon got into this market...
1:49 PM · Sep 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK about heat pumps - but home solar: most companies seem Mickey Mouse (takes £££ today, gone tomorrow) looking at Companies House records. Don't think mine will be around to honor any warranty TBH. Not that cheap either - 13K to supply ~45% of my demand. Wish Amazon got into this market...
1:49 PM · Sep 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698624067945783412
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One might say "socialism with the systemic failings addressed ends in capitalism" 😆😆 I grew up in a socialist country and attempts at reform lead me to think the above. (expanded in https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698623118456095094 ; can't chain replies only posts)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 4
TBF not sure it is the people - given it's been tried by various people(s) and each time found wanting. Admittedly it's been recognised - the "lets build a new (soviet) person" seems stems from that, but looks like a cop out to me. (@CloudsGalore) 1/4 twitter.com/CloudsGalore/s…
11:08 AM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One might say "socialism with the systemic failings addressed ends in capitalism" 😆😆 I grew up in a socialist country and attempts at reform lead me to think the above. (expanded in https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698623118456095094 ; can't chain replies only posts)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 4
TBF not sure it is the people - given it's been tried by various people(s) and each time found wanting. Admittedly it's been recognised - the "lets build a new (soviet) person" seems stems from that, but looks like a cop out to me. (@CloudsGalore) 1/4 twitter.com/CloudsGalore/s…
11:08 AM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1701214251946242057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good 😂😂 top marks there. 👏👍 Obligatory "Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we do. Nature becomes natural resource once via science and technology we devise some use to it, after it becomes useful to us". Episode 1001 in a long running series 😁
2:40 PM · Sep 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good 😂😂 top marks there. 👏👍 Obligatory "Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we do. Nature becomes natural resource once via science and technology we devise some use to it, after it becomes useful to us". Episode 1001 in a long running series 😁
2:40 PM · Sep 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1701577170542375346
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BimAfolami If it is within your powers - pls bring this to the attention of @RishiSunak @SuellaBraverman @theresecoffey . So we have psychos keeping dangerous dogs that kill small children. Among the top - if not *the* top - duty you owe to UK citizens is safety & security. We don't need more dead kids for you to act. Discharge that already govern already - you have been granted the powers. Justdoit
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Emma W #ForJackLis💙 @Emma__Whitfield · Sep 12
My response to @DogsTrust on @BBCBreakfast this morning. You can watch the full interview with the two of us on BBC iPlayer.
Embedded video
2:43 PM · Sep 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BimAfolami If it is within your powers - pls bring this to the attention of @RishiSunak @SuellaBraverman @theresecoffey . So we have psychos keeping dangerous dogs that kill small children. Among the top - if not *the* top - duty you owe to UK citizens is safety & security. We don't need more dead kids for you to act. Discharge that already govern already - you have been granted the powers. Justdoit
Quote
Emma W #ForJackLis💙 @Emma__Whitfield · Sep 12
My response to @DogsTrust on @BBCBreakfast this morning. You can watch the full interview with the two of us on BBC iPlayer.
Embedded video
2:43 PM · Sep 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707727316753727673
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes correct - device that would annihilate anything other than the user within a certain radius. Sloppy language there on my part - thanks for correcting me.
2:01 PM · Sep 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes correct - device that would annihilate anything other than the user within a certain radius. Sloppy language there on my part - thanks for correcting me.
2:01 PM · Sep 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707689386047914194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone should have their own most advanced AI possible. In extremis - everyone should have their own personal space annihilation device. Then and only than various human monsters that have tormented killed lorded over other people in their millions for ages - will be disabled.
11:30 AM · Sep 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone should have their own most advanced AI possible. In extremis - everyone should have their own personal space annihilation device. Then and only than various human monsters that have tormented killed lorded over other people in their millions for ages - will be disabled.
11:30 AM · Sep 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1703374375141921044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobra e knigata - "Ordinary Men Reserve Police Battalion 101". Depresivno - ama nesto ne me premnogu iznenadi. Ziveev vo YU-MK vo socijalizmot, bev vo JNA, gi vidov graganskite vojni. I sega vo UK se e onlajn citame site sto mislime, plus personalni kontakti interakciji. Nemam visoko mislienje za nas lugeto i voglavno ne sum iznenaden.
1:44 PM · Sep 17, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dobra e knigata - "Ordinary Men Reserve Police Battalion 101". Depresivno - ama nesto ne me premnogu iznenadi. Ziveev vo YU-MK vo socijalizmot, bev vo JNA, gi vidov graganskite vojni. I sega vo UK se e onlajn citame site sto mislime, plus personalni kontakti interakciji. Nemam visoko mislienje za nas lugeto i voglavno ne sum iznenaden.
1:44 PM · Sep 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1707702207456444695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where about on the web interface is it?? When I don't find it, I have no way of know which of the two - (a) the feature has not been enabled for me; or (b) I have not looked at the right place - is the case. It is kind of useful to know if it is (a) - so I stop looking, or (b) - so I keep looking.
12:21 PM · Sep 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Where about on the web interface is it?? When I don't find it, I have no way of know which of the two - (a) the feature has not been enabled for me; or (b) I have not looked at the right place - is the case. It is kind of useful to know if it is (a) - so I stop looking, or (b) - so I keep looking.
12:21 PM · Sep 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698390434144264418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow 😯 Link for anyone else who might be curious to look up the article -
spectator.co.uk
A sterling plan to save the Union
In a few weeks’ time, the Scottish electorate will vote a new parliament into Holyrood with all the pundits predicting a majority for Nicola Sturgeon’s SNP. She will campaign on the basis that a...
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/a-sterling-plan-to-save-the-union/
7:40 PM · Sep 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow 😯 Link for anyone else who might be curious to look up the article -
spectator.co.uk
A sterling plan to save the Union
In a few weeks’ time, the Scottish electorate will vote a new parliament into Holyrood with all the pundits predicting a majority for Nicola Sturgeon’s SNP. She will campaign on the basis that a...
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/a-sterling-plan-to-save-the-union/
7:40 PM · Sep 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698834602704392310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@RishiSunak @Keir_Starmer Good grief - the builders/industry makes you look like muppets, ffs get a grip. You were or will be elected, you have the power in your hands. Act like it on it for christ sake - exercise your power for once.
Quote
Lottie - Bellway Cladding Victim
@Lottie_PMeehan · Sep 4
Deja vu, leaseholders?
When will the dots be connected… that this rogue industry has been allowed, under a mostly Tory rule, to slowly deregulate to the point where people cannot live in safe homes or go to school without the risk to life? My word, it makes me so angry.
Image
1:05 AM · Sep 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@RishiSunak @Keir_Starmer Good grief - the builders/industry makes you look like muppets, ffs get a grip. You were or will be elected, you have the power in your hands. Act like it on it for christ sake - exercise your power for once.
Quote
Lottie - Bellway Cladding Victim
@Lottie_PMeehan · Sep 4
Deja vu, leaseholders?
When will the dots be connected… that this rogue industry has been allowed, under a mostly Tory rule, to slowly deregulate to the point where people cannot live in safe homes or go to school without the risk to life? My word, it makes me so angry.
Image
1:05 AM · Sep 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698119503765291030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I too think Mearsheimer is wrong on UKR now, but tbf he got it right that pressurising UKR to give up on the nuclear weapons deterrent (inherited from the SU) will lead to attempt by RUS to take over UKR, ultimately by force. This - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
1:43 AM · Sep 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I too think Mearsheimer is wrong on UKR now, but tbf he got it right that pressurising UKR to give up on the nuclear weapons deterrent (inherited from the SU) will lead to attempt by RUS to take over UKR, ultimately by force. This - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
1:43 AM · Sep 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1700282134320103803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All forged as nations within living memory. It shall pass. I come from a nation that is being tagged as "fake" or "artificial" even by nations that are barely 100 years "older" then mine. Most people just don't think (much). Somehow even when they accept - 1) their nation did not exist at the time of the dinosaurs; and 2) it exists now - still can't quite internalize the logical conclusion that therefore 3) their nation must have come into being sometime between 1) and 2).
12:57 AM · Sep 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All forged as nations within living memory. It shall pass. I come from a nation that is being tagged as "fake" or "artificial" even by nations that are barely 100 years "older" then mine. Most people just don't think (much). Somehow even when they accept - 1) their nation did not exist at the time of the dinosaurs; and 2) it exists now - still can't quite internalize the logical conclusion that therefore 3) their nation must have come into being sometime between 1) and 2).
12:57 AM · Sep 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1700253218759221687
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In most things societal incl economy positive feedback loop is at work - big becomes bigger and winner takes it all. Free and competitive market after rounds of competition & M&A ends IN oligopoly after enough time. That's the default - unless something is done to prevent that.
11:02 PM · Sep 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In most things societal incl economy positive feedback loop is at work - big becomes bigger and winner takes it all. Free and competitive market after rounds of competition & M&A ends IN oligopoly after enough time. That's the default - unless something is done to prevent that.
11:02 PM · Sep 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698628724718018694
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe so - but what randos on the Internet say about something has no bearing of whether the thing is true or false. Yes - random strangers maybe obnoxious, but No - that does not make the issue at hand more or less true. Agreed it does change our PoV and our perception.
11:27 AM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe so - but what randos on the Internet say about something has no bearing of whether the thing is true or false. Yes - random strangers maybe obnoxious, but No - that does not make the issue at hand more or less true. Agreed it does change our PoV and our perception.
11:27 AM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698637154774114769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Classic case of "you can't reason someone out of a position they got themselves in without application of reason". Not possible - arguments they tell are just a cover story for decision already made.
12:00 PM · Sep 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Classic case of "you can't reason someone out of a position they got themselves in without application of reason". Not possible - arguments they tell are just a cover story for decision already made.
12:00 PM · Sep 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1700408452516876330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thread - thanks. As UK consumer - do you know why
> gas sets ⚡️ prices sadly
? Why the marginal pricing scheme, was it always like that, how did marginal pricing hapen?
9:19 AM · Sep 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thread - thanks. As UK consumer - do you know why
> gas sets ⚡️ prices sadly
? Why the marginal pricing scheme, was it always like that, how did marginal pricing hapen?
9:19 AM · Sep 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1705157280516210757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed it's a simplification. 😊 (as any single statement abt multitudes is bound to be) Other cities - idk maybe. In my town (and a village nearby) a car is a time saver. Everyone that can afford to, trades their £££ for the time saved by a car. (rarely one uses a car for the joy of driving tbh)
11:49 AM · Sep 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed it's a simplification. 😊 (as any single statement abt multitudes is bound to be) Other cities - idk maybe. In my town (and a village nearby) a car is a time saver. Everyone that can afford to, trades their £££ for the time saved by a car. (rarely one uses a car for the joy of driving tbh)
11:49 AM · Sep 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1701223877228028051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent - thanks for that. Would "the dis/balance of tails largely determines the shape of the posterior" be a fair summary?
3:19 PM · Sep 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent - thanks for that. Would "the dis/balance of tails largely determines the shape of the posterior" be a fair summary?
3:19 PM · Sep 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1701219615362183381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's for the better for social media platforms to diversify their income over multiple sources. Rather than stay beholden to advertisers only. Despite the idea that "subscription=>bifurcation, advertising=>unification" (@andrey4mir). If subscriptions are bipartisan then it should not lead to bifurcation imo.
3:02 PM · Sep 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's for the better for social media platforms to diversify their income over multiple sources. Rather than stay beholden to advertisers only. Despite the idea that "subscription=>bifurcation, advertising=>unification" (@andrey4mir). If subscriptions are bipartisan then it should not lead to bifurcation imo.
3:02 PM · Sep 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1701507962907320731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear the endpoint of this kind of crazy RUS genocidal chain of thought will be: RUS needs to turn UKR into a nuclear desert. UKR must develop nuclear deterrent in order to survive. The rest of CE Europe too. Like Israel had to in the 70s with its much bigger neighbors bent on its destruction.
10:08 AM · Sep 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear the endpoint of this kind of crazy RUS genocidal chain of thought will be: RUS needs to turn UKR into a nuclear desert. UKR must develop nuclear deterrent in order to survive. The rest of CE Europe too. Like Israel had to in the 70s with its much bigger neighbors bent on its destruction.
10:08 AM · Sep 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1700190374738682220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fao @hearnimator @samvaknin
Quote
Dr. Jonathan N. Stea @jonathanstea · Sep 6
Narcissism is a robust predictor of belief in conspiracy theories.
https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352250X22001051
Image
6:52 PM · Sep 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fao @hearnimator @samvaknin
Quote
Dr. Jonathan N. Stea @jonathanstea · Sep 6
Narcissism is a robust predictor of belief in conspiracy theories.
https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352250X22001051
Image
6:52 PM · Sep 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1700215178397098159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigurno deka e do narodot. I vo vreme na socijalizmot - isto bese do narodot. I elitite - tie policari, biznismeni, sudii, profesori etc - ne pagaat od nebo, tie se isto narodot. Zatoa e i tesko nesto da se smeni - treba i narodot da se smeni so promenite. Taa smena trae generacii, MKD vremeto uste ne tolku dolgo. Se menuva na podobro poleka (vo prosek, ne sekogas, ne sekade, ne vo isto vreme, so 300 nazaduvanja) posto (isto vo prosek) novite generacii se podobri od starite. Znam deka nisto novo ne kazuvam, ama pak ke si kazam posto ova e Twitter :-)
8:31 PM · Sep 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigurno deka e do narodot. I vo vreme na socijalizmot - isto bese do narodot. I elitite - tie policari, biznismeni, sudii, profesori etc - ne pagaat od nebo, tie se isto narodot. Zatoa e i tesko nesto da se smeni - treba i narodot da se smeni so promenite. Taa smena trae generacii, MKD vremeto uste ne tolku dolgo. Se menuva na podobro poleka (vo prosek, ne sekogas, ne sekade, ne vo isto vreme, so 300 nazaduvanja) posto (isto vo prosek) novite generacii se podobri od starite. Znam deka nisto novo ne kazuvam, ama pak ke si kazam posto ova e Twitter :-)
8:31 PM · Sep 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1698083455089746335
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne moze nisto masovno samo od sebe bez ogranizacija. Treba da ima nekakva organizacija, sto ke organizira golem broj na luge, da se pojavat vo isto (mesto,vreme). Takva organizacija moze da se sosti samo od fanatici-vernici vo idea, posto realno sansite za uspeh se mali.
11:20 PM · Sep 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne moze nisto masovno samo od sebe bez ogranizacija. Treba da ima nekakva organizacija, sto ke organizira golem broj na luge, da se pojavat vo isto (mesto,vreme). Takva organizacija moze da se sosti samo od fanatici-vernici vo idea, posto realno sansite za uspeh se mali.
11:20 PM · Sep 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1702757716995793311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zatoa sto prestanaa da umiraat 2-3 deca pred polnoletstvo vo prosek. Pred industriska revolucija: se ragaat 5-6, umiraat 2-3 => populacijata e stabilna. Raganje deca e tesko i gi sfakam zenive zasto otkako ke rodat 1-2 ne im se ragaat poveke. Veruvam i jas da bev zensko - isto taka ke mislev.
8:54 PM · Sep 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Zatoa sto prestanaa da umiraat 2-3 deca pred polnoletstvo vo prosek. Pred industriska revolucija: se ragaat 5-6, umiraat 2-3 => populacijata e stabilna. Raganje deca e tesko i gi sfakam zenive zasto otkako ke rodat 1-2 ne im se ragaat poveke. Veruvam i jas da bev zensko - isto taka ke mislev.
8:54 PM · Sep 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1704101685205823633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekade imav procitano - vezbanjeto e super za 100 raboti, i sekoj od nas treba da vezba, NO: edna rabota za koja vezbanje ne pomaga mnogu e - gubenje tezhina. Za mene licno, empiriski istoriski - toa bilo tocno. Mozebi ovde https://vox.com/2016/4/28/11518804/weight-loss-exercise-myth-burn-calories ?
exercise weight loss drinks
vox.com
Why you shouldn't exercise to lose weight, explained with 60+ studies
Physical activity may have less to do with weight loss than we think.
1:54 PM · Sep 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekade imav procitano - vezbanjeto e super za 100 raboti, i sekoj od nas treba da vezba, NO: edna rabota za koja vezbanje ne pomaga mnogu e - gubenje tezhina. Za mene licno, empiriski istoriski - toa bilo tocno. Mozebi ovde https://vox.com/2016/4/28/11518804/weight-loss-exercise-myth-burn-calories ?
exercise weight loss drinks
vox.com
Why you shouldn't exercise to lose weight, explained with 60+ studies
Physical activity may have less to do with weight loss than we think.
1:54 PM · Sep 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682297244437889026
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH that's "it was ever thus" (also Churchill's 10 min conversation with average constituent), probably fair to assume it's not even unique to the current moment. More interesting if one can add something actionable - what is to be done, if anything?
Image description
In "The Laws of Stupidity" a 4-quadrants classification of us humans is proposed, the criterion being "does my action cause good/harm +/- to me and good/harm +/- to others"? The results of my action place me in: Q1 - good/good +/+ for both I'm "intelligent", Q2 - bad for me good for others +/- I'm "helpless", Q3 - bad for me bad for others -/- I'm "stupid", Q4 - good for me bad for others +/- I'm a "bandit". Q3 "Stupid" is most dangerous b/c other's don't expect that I will cause pain for them at no personal gain for me (even maybe a small pain for me too). So they can't predict my action and prepare for the pain my action will cause them. Also b/c it is something unexpected unanticipated by other, they always under-count the number of Q3 "Stupid" members of a group.
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🐟 🇪🇺🇺🇦Allan Paterson, @RebootGB #FBResist
@AllanGPaterson · Jul 19
Do you recognise this?
Economic historian, Professor at the University of California, the late Carlo Cipolla, finishes his treatise, “The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity” (1976), thus:
In a country which is moving downhill, the fraction of stupid people (remains constant);… Show more
8:51 AM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH that's "it was ever thus" (also Churchill's 10 min conversation with average constituent), probably fair to assume it's not even unique to the current moment. More interesting if one can add something actionable - what is to be done, if anything?
Image description
In "The Laws of Stupidity" a 4-quadrants classification of us humans is proposed, the criterion being "does my action cause good/harm +/- to me and good/harm +/- to others"? The results of my action place me in: Q1 - good/good +/+ for both I'm "intelligent", Q2 - bad for me good for others +/- I'm "helpless", Q3 - bad for me bad for others -/- I'm "stupid", Q4 - good for me bad for others +/- I'm a "bandit". Q3 "Stupid" is most dangerous b/c other's don't expect that I will cause pain for them at no personal gain for me (even maybe a small pain for me too). So they can't predict my action and prepare for the pain my action will cause them. Also b/c it is something unexpected unanticipated by other, they always under-count the number of Q3 "Stupid" members of a group.
Quote
🐟 🇪🇺🇺🇦Allan Paterson, @RebootGB #FBResist
@AllanGPaterson · Jul 19
Do you recognise this?
Economic historian, Professor at the University of California, the late Carlo Cipolla, finishes his treatise, “The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity” (1976), thus:
In a country which is moving downhill, the fraction of stupid people (remains constant);… Show more
8:51 AM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684947948172382208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All of us humanity saw that, and collectively decided with a shrug "nah, nothing much to see there, move on, don't do it, cook any crazy rube goldberg scheme, avoid the obvious one that works, at all cost by all means" 🤦♂️🤦♂️🤦♂️
Quote
Hannah Ritchie @_HannahRitchie · Jul 28
Has there been a more impressive large-scale energy transition than France in the 1970s and '80s?
4:24 PM · Jul 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All of us humanity saw that, and collectively decided with a shrug "nah, nothing much to see there, move on, don't do it, cook any crazy rube goldberg scheme, avoid the obvious one that works, at all cost by all means" 🤦♂️🤦♂️🤦♂️
Quote
Hannah Ritchie @_HannahRitchie · Jul 28
Has there been a more impressive large-scale energy transition than France in the 1970s and '80s?
4:24 PM · Jul 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684228935121268740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - so true! When @RishiSunak wants something done, then it gets done and pronto. Too bad on #claddingscandal and #leaseholderscandal it is not lack of knowledge, but lack of will. Other things are more pressing and important for the UK gov, the latest being the NF farrago.
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Midcenturymanc @backtomanc · Jul 26
What a pity Farage doesn't live in a leasehold flat with flammable cladding. Sunak would have sorted the whole #claddingscandal #leaseholderscandal mess out within 24hrs.
4:47 PM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - so true! When @RishiSunak wants something done, then it gets done and pronto. Too bad on #claddingscandal and #leaseholderscandal it is not lack of knowledge, but lack of will. Other things are more pressing and important for the UK gov, the latest being the NF farrago.
Quote
Midcenturymanc @backtomanc · Jul 26
What a pity Farage doesn't live in a leasehold flat with flammable cladding. Sunak would have sorted the whole #claddingscandal #leaseholderscandal mess out within 24hrs.
4:47 PM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682122939565592580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Observing the rot that's UK building & housing industry - the free/lease-hold feudal insanity, builder self-regulation cheaters' charter to Greenfield mass murder - I doubt a sole reformer like @michaelgove can effect change. Not sure even if a whole *.gov.uk cd even if it tried
Quote
Norma Cohen @NormaCohen3 · Jul 20
The entity that certifies that a Uk ‘New Build’ has met high standards can be a party related in some way to the developer who constructed the building in the first place. Anyone surprised by the fact that ‘New Builds’ too often begin crumbling soon after they are put up? twitter.com/CommonholdNow/…
9:18 PM · Jul 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Observing the rot that's UK building & housing industry - the free/lease-hold feudal insanity, builder self-regulation cheaters' charter to Greenfield mass murder - I doubt a sole reformer like @michaelgove can effect change. Not sure even if a whole *.gov.uk cd even if it tried
Quote
Norma Cohen @NormaCohen3 · Jul 20
The entity that certifies that a Uk ‘New Build’ has met high standards can be a party related in some way to the developer who constructed the building in the first place. Anyone surprised by the fact that ‘New Builds’ too often begin crumbling soon after they are put up? twitter.com/CommonholdNow/…
9:18 PM · Jul 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683109442924040192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You had the patience of a saint throughout that, both admire you and envy you. 👏😁 Wish I had the strength to be so Zen like more often (and with people I care much about). Top marks.
2:38 PM · Jul 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You had the patience of a saint throughout that, both admire you and envy you. 👏😁 Wish I had the strength to be so Zen like more often (and with people I care much about). Top marks.
2:38 PM · Jul 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684119673963511808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - the gov f*ckers can be on the ball & pushing when they decide to. They simply have not decided so on the housing crisis. On 4 big housing issues amounts of push 1) safety, cladding - some; 2) quality, regulation - almost 0; 3) leasehold - almost 0; 4) new building - some.
9:33 AM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - the gov f*ckers can be on the ball & pushing when they decide to. They simply have not decided so on the housing crisis. On 4 big housing issues amounts of push 1) safety, cladding - some; 2) quality, regulation - almost 0; 3) leasehold - almost 0; 4) new building - some.
9:33 AM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683472587530067969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Top marks for MM. The other books are good too, (e.g. "Salonica, City of Ghosts"), and "The Balkans: a short history" is short too, so that's 10x value for time right there. ;-)
2:41 PM · Jul 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Top marks for MM. The other books are good too, (e.g. "Salonica, City of Ghosts"), and "The Balkans: a short history" is short too, so that's 10x value for time right there. ;-)
2:41 PM · Jul 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684641951008579584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf 10 mins ago heard we're a boring species & that seems plausible to me too. Violent - true that we are, but our capabilies are puny on a cosmic scale, we haven't destroyed even a small moon yet. We may destroy ourselves before that - maybe that counts?
youtube.com
I Think Faster Than Light Travel is Possible. Here's Why.
https://youtu.be/9-jIplX6Wjw
Try out my quantum mechanics course (and many others on math and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get started for f...
8:08 PM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbf 10 mins ago heard we're a boring species & that seems plausible to me too. Violent - true that we are, but our capabilies are puny on a cosmic scale, we haven't destroyed even a small moon yet. We may destroy ourselves before that - maybe that counts?
youtube.com
I Think Faster Than Light Travel is Possible. Here's Why.
https://youtu.be/9-jIplX6Wjw
Try out my quantum mechanics course (and many others on math and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get started for f...
8:08 PM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683756082722643968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true that. Have you come across a book named "Writing Solid Code"? If you have - do you know of any other book similar to it in spirit and are comfortable sharing?
9:28 AM · Jul 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true that. Have you come across a book named "Writing Solid Code"? If you have - do you know of any other book similar to it in spirit and are comfortable sharing?
9:28 AM · Jul 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684222556721512450
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Mentioned "Writing Solid Code" specifically as a rare book on things practical things one can do to improve chances of one's programs being not wrong (in the variety of meanings). Although examples in K&R C (not even ANSI) it's the correctness angle that attracted me.
4:22 PM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Mentioned "Writing Solid Code" specifically as a rare book on things practical things one can do to improve chances of one's programs being not wrong (in the variety of meanings). Although examples in K&R C (not even ANSI) it's the correctness angle that attracted me.
4:22 PM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683921788076449794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't see anything extraordinary. An account at an exclusive bank requiring 3M in a current account is not a human right. The moment his acc stopped making them £££, they dropped him - c.f.
Quote
Alex Usher @Alex250175 · Jul 24
I've now had a chance to read all 40 pages of the Coutts dossier on Farage and it's 9 pages of internal risk assessment discussion (1-4, 8-12) 29 pages of evidence (5-7, 13-38) referred to in the risk assessment pages, 1 page of decision (39) and 1 page of glossary (40).
1/9
8:26 PM · Jul 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't see anything extraordinary. An account at an exclusive bank requiring 3M in a current account is not a human right. The moment his acc stopped making them £££, they dropped him - c.f.
Quote
Alex Usher @Alex250175 · Jul 24
I've now had a chance to read all 40 pages of the Coutts dossier on Farage and it's 9 pages of internal risk assessment discussion (1-4, 8-12) 29 pages of evidence (5-7, 13-38) referred to in the risk assessment pages, 1 page of decision (39) and 1 page of glossary (40).
1/9
8:26 PM · Jul 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1685579401650384896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A pet theory observing a conspiracis - that it's connected to narcissism. For us all separting World from I takes effort. My conspiracist fails there completely. Everything is about I, is personal, the World never does anything independent of I, all & always is about I personally
10:13 AM · Jul 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A pet theory observing a conspiracis - that it's connected to narcissism. For us all separting World from I takes effort. My conspiracist fails there completely. Everything is about I, is personal, the World never does anything independent of I, all & always is about I personally
10:13 AM · Jul 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1685590849592147969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree completely. A posive of being religious is that the Omni-powerfull entity role is filled already (by God), so the "I" can't easily slot in that role, the role is already taken. And that's drummed into people's heads. True about the new age wellness etc.
10:59 AM · Jul 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree completely. A posive of being religious is that the Omni-powerfull entity role is filled already (by God), so the "I" can't easily slot in that role, the role is already taken. And that's drummed into people's heads. True about the new age wellness etc.
10:59 AM · Jul 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684256260491706379
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One could think of tweets as quantas of ideas. 😊 It's advantageous to readers the platform encourages that quantization - ideas are easier to consume bitesize. Referencing the individual micro idea aids discussion & questioning while maintaining high SNR. (despite TW reputation)
6:35 PM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One could think of tweets as quantas of ideas. 😊 It's advantageous to readers the platform encourages that quantization - ideas are easier to consume bitesize. Referencing the individual micro idea aids discussion & questioning while maintaining high SNR. (despite TW reputation)
6:35 PM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682727946094624769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would make sense - but is there really legislation though? Someone who knows the laws of the country can maybe pitch in. Bing chat didn't think there is?? This
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 20
Replying to @Dykeward @OliverKamm and @khartoum_of
Hm - maybe it makes sense for political affiliation to be among the protected characteristics, but is it really the case that it is? Someone that knows law could maybe pitch in and elucidate? Fwiw 1) I'm ignorant of the subject, 2) Bing says it is not a protected characteristics
1:23 PM · Jul 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Would make sense - but is there really legislation though? Someone who knows the laws of the country can maybe pitch in. Bing chat didn't think there is?? This
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 20
Replying to @Dykeward @OliverKamm and @khartoum_of
Hm - maybe it makes sense for political affiliation to be among the protected characteristics, but is it really the case that it is? Someone that knows law could maybe pitch in and elucidate? Fwiw 1) I'm ignorant of the subject, 2) Bing says it is not a protected characteristics
1:23 PM · Jul 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684938045768769539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So why on earth would one go through all the trouble, move heaven and earth, to bank with them?? They seem to be stupid - surely one does not entrust their hard earned £££ to a stupid company. It's a red flag. Just go bank with another bank - the market will sort itself out.
3:45 PM · Jul 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So why on earth would one go through all the trouble, move heaven and earth, to bank with them?? They seem to be stupid - surely one does not entrust their hard earned £££ to a stupid company. It's a red flag. Just go bank with another bank - the market will sort itself out.
3:45 PM · Jul 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682630156169486336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not infinite in a mathematical way, but the limit is high and we are likely way below it. It's narcissistic (like previously "sun and cosmos revolve around us", "god made humans in its own shape (unlike all other animals)") to think this moment in time is somehow special.
6:54 AM · Jul 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not infinite in a mathematical way, but the limit is high and we are likely way below it. It's narcissistic (like previously "sun and cosmos revolve around us", "god made humans in its own shape (unlike all other animals)") to think this moment in time is somehow special.
6:54 AM · Jul 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684637155912503297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@skdh You inter-national and probably inter-planetary treasure, 😂😂😂 never stop please, and godspeed. This is just impossibly good and not boring too. Made my day. (lookout for them aliens - they will seek you out personally if they are any fun 😜)
youtube.com
I Think Faster Than Light Travel is Possible. Here's Why.
https://youtu.be/9-jIplX6Wjw
Try out my quantum mechanics course (and many others on math and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get started for f...
7:49 PM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@skdh You inter-national and probably inter-planetary treasure, 😂😂😂 never stop please, and godspeed. This is just impossibly good and not boring too. Made my day. (lookout for them aliens - they will seek you out personally if they are any fun 😜)
youtube.com
I Think Faster Than Light Travel is Possible. Here's Why.
https://youtu.be/9-jIplX6Wjw
Try out my quantum mechanics course (and many others on math and science) on Brilliant using the link https://brilliant.org/sabine. You can get started for f...
7:49 PM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682754166702178304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thx - for benefit of anyone else: Reg 18 in https://legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2015/2038/contents/made references Art 21 of http://fra.europa.eu/en/eu-charter/article/21-non-discrimination where finally "... political or any other opinion" is not to be discriminated on. I had an account closed ages ago with v.little of explanation hence mild interest in.
fra.europa.eu
Article 21 - Non-discrimination
3:07 PM · Jul 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thx - for benefit of anyone else: Reg 18 in https://legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2015/2038/contents/made references Art 21 of http://fra.europa.eu/en/eu-charter/article/21-non-discrimination where finally "... political or any other opinion" is not to be discriminated on. I had an account closed ages ago with v.little of explanation hence mild interest in.
fra.europa.eu
Article 21 - Non-discrimination
3:07 PM · Jul 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682306374997356545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH relying on bottom-up tactical vote self-organization is never going to be as good as mutual "non-attacking" electoral pact (best if unwritten and tacit - like the CON-s and their competitors on the right) of not fielding competing candidates.
9:27 AM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH relying on bottom-up tactical vote self-organization is never going to be as good as mutual "non-attacking" electoral pact (best if unwritten and tacit - like the CON-s and their competitors on the right) of not fielding competing candidates.
9:27 AM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682283962113093633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doesn't work - even people that have lived throught it forget it or miss it or never thought of it. I lived through extinguishing old currency on Fri and starting new on Wed (extra long weekend). And also all citizens of Euro area countries (CRO latest) have experienced it.
7:58 AM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doesn't work - even people that have lived throught it forget it or miss it or never thought of it. I lived through extinguishing old currency on Fri and starting new on Wed (extra long weekend). And also all citizens of Euro area countries (CRO latest) have experienced it.
7:58 AM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684526659704180736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothingburger most likely. Hedge funds short hundreds of names at a time, every day - part of the regular job. Big positions are reported publicly (with a delay), regulators have info daily. Chances are NatWest had been shorted months ago. (disclosure - work in HFs, worked at MW)
12:30 PM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothingburger most likely. Hedge funds short hundreds of names at a time, every day - part of the regular job. Big positions are reported publicly (with a delay), regulators have info daily. Chances are NatWest had been shorted months ago. (disclosure - work in HFs, worked at MW)
12:30 PM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684530440726519808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, it is possible to have conflict of interest(s). But there's a vast chasm a huge difference, between "possible" and "it did happen". Just throwing mud to see what sticks doesn't seem to me a good way to go about public discussion TBH - detracts, it's not helping.
12:45 PM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, it is possible to have conflict of interest(s). But there's a vast chasm a huge difference, between "possible" and "it did happen". Just throwing mud to see what sticks doesn't seem to me a good way to go about public discussion TBH - detracts, it's not helping.
12:45 PM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684538034040066048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Influencing ones bank account has no bearing on whether something is true or false tbh. "Apparent" is doing too much work there for my taste. Expect a scientist to employ their rational faculties, weight the evidence for- and against-, and then pronounce on the matter.
1:15 PM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Influencing ones bank account has no bearing on whether something is true or false tbh. "Apparent" is doing too much work there for my taste. Expect a scientist to employ their rational faculties, weight the evidence for- and against-, and then pronounce on the matter.
1:15 PM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684546898558955522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I want for my scientists the truth (without quotes) to matter the most and above everything else (that also matters - just matters less than the truth), but fine - everyone's priorities differ.
1:50 PM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I want for my scientists the truth (without quotes) to matter the most and above everything else (that also matters - just matters less than the truth), but fine - everyone's priorities differ.
1:50 PM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683385336141959168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like and respect HB work, but that graph is uncharacteristically bad for a number of reasons. You should know better than propagate it. And especially if you aspire and stake a claim to "not be dumb" (like some other people). This is poor showing. :-(
8:55 AM · Jul 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like and respect HB work, but that graph is uncharacteristically bad for a number of reasons. You should know better than propagate it. And especially if you aspire and stake a claim to "not be dumb" (like some other people). This is poor showing. :-(
8:55 AM · Jul 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684155665952960519
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think of it as a +ve: if they're this bad at targeted advertising, maybe 1) they're bad at their jobs (but then - the site is up and running, so that goes against); or 2) targeting is not as easily done and not as successful as it's sold (often as a blackbox) to the advertisers.
11:56 AM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think of it as a +ve: if they're this bad at targeted advertising, maybe 1) they're bad at their jobs (but then - the site is up and running, so that goes against); or 2) targeting is not as easily done and not as successful as it's sold (often as a blackbox) to the advertisers.
11:56 AM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682719668656537600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like & admire your work - but this is uncharacteristically poor. Just raw numbers?? 😱😱 OTOH factors: population increase, homeless up too, cities expansion, 2019-20 up 100% jump poss Covid related contribution to deaths homelessness, going back to 1970 methodology change etc.
12:50 PM · Jul 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like & admire your work - but this is uncharacteristically poor. Just raw numbers?? 😱😱 OTOH factors: population increase, homeless up too, cities expansion, 2019-20 up 100% jump poss Covid related contribution to deaths homelessness, going back to 1970 methodology change etc.
12:50 PM · Jul 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683467122804965378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The X-branding looks braindead to me, doubt it will be embraced voluntarely or catch on organically. But chances are it will be pushed and pushed and will limp along, and we will all suffer and grit our teeth, as it strokes the inflated ego of EM.
2:20 PM · Jul 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The X-branding looks braindead to me, doubt it will be embraced voluntarely or catch on organically. But chances are it will be pushed and pushed and will limp along, and we will all suffer and grit our teeth, as it strokes the inflated ego of EM.
2:20 PM · Jul 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683197716166324224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... b/c voters believe what Daily Mail and Sun tell them, over their own eyes or experience where they have any, or simply will believe DM & Sun fullstop in matters where they have none. Politicians respond to the voter whose votes they need to win.
8:29 PM · Jul 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... b/c voters believe what Daily Mail and Sun tell them, over their own eyes or experience where they have any, or simply will believe DM & Sun fullstop in matters where they have none. Politicians respond to the voter whose votes they need to win.
8:29 PM · Jul 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682356770025492480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me NF will fall through the cracks: too political a maverick for the HofL, not politically successful enough to get to HofC. Not a big loss - he's not much of a worker (c.f. MEP record), more of an ideas man, and his main idea (Brexit) is a reality.
12:48 PM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks to me NF will fall through the cracks: too political a maverick for the HofL, not politically successful enough to get to HofC. Not a big loss - he's not much of a worker (c.f. MEP record), more of an ideas man, and his main idea (Brexit) is a reality.
12:48 PM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684472914916040704
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF even a not-that-complicated tweak like having LHolders appoint the MA rather than the FHolder would go a long way towards redressing the power imbalance and giving LHolders control over their lives.
8:56 AM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF even a not-that-complicated tweak like having LHolders appoint the MA rather than the FHolder would go a long way towards redressing the power imbalance and giving LHolders control over their lives.
8:56 AM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682143257600442371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not untrue, however - to offer a small pushback: we tend to "explain" how our brains work assuming to be like the most complex device we have built at a time. Two centuries ago the mind was to be a mechanistic hydraulic device. Now it's an information processing device, etc.
10:39 PM · Jul 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not untrue, however - to offer a small pushback: we tend to "explain" how our brains work assuming to be like the most complex device we have built at a time. Two centuries ago the mind was to be a mechanistic hydraulic device. Now it's an information processing device, etc.
10:39 PM · Jul 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684152958135554051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
by Jove wonder how do some pple manage to tie their shoelaces in the morning... 1st major bank CEO casual blabbering breaches every written&unwritten rule on client confidentiality&data, here newshost fails to forward the simplest obv followup "Were you offered a NetWest account"
11:45 AM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
by Jove wonder how do some pple manage to tie their shoelaces in the morning... 1st major bank CEO casual blabbering breaches every written&unwritten rule on client confidentiality&data, here newshost fails to forward the simplest obv followup "Were you offered a NetWest account"
11:45 AM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682812973717282816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I too think banks' lawyers know the laws and were within their rights to terminate their relationship when £££ earned from the loan stopped offseting the PEP costs and risks. This the private exclusive bank. The high street bank - afaics different rules hence account offered
7:00 PM · Jul 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I too think banks' lawyers know the laws and were within their rights to terminate their relationship when £££ earned from the loan stopped offseting the PEP costs and risks. This the private exclusive bank. The high street bank - afaics different rules hence account offered
7:00 PM · Jul 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684996784878125056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More than pple usually admit to. On the subject "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs" https://amazon.co.uk/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Medical-Breakthroughs/dp/155970845X, "How Innovation Works: Serendipity, Energy and the Saving of Time" https://amazon.co.uk/How-Innovation-Works-Matt-Ridley/dp/0008334846/. Re-search often is repeat-search for sth that works.
7:38 PM · Jul 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More than pple usually admit to. On the subject "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs" https://amazon.co.uk/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Medical-Breakthroughs/dp/155970845X, "How Innovation Works: Serendipity, Energy and the Saving of Time" https://amazon.co.uk/How-Innovation-Works-Matt-Ridley/dp/0008334846/. Re-search often is repeat-search for sth that works.
7:38 PM · Jul 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682351099066327041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A somewhat related Q-estion: will UKR and or Poland & the Baltics develop nuclear deterrent in the next 20-30 years? As per the ideas articulated in https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf Thanks in advance for any A-nswer.
12:25 PM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A somewhat related Q-estion: will UKR and or Poland & the Baltics develop nuclear deterrent in the next 20-30 years? As per the ideas articulated in https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf Thanks in advance for any A-nswer.
12:25 PM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684140756708065281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Click in the link, and it will be revealed (haha - magic! 😊) -
"Economic reasons largely drive this emigration, with individuals seeking better opportunities in wealthier countries, primarily within the EU."
10:57 AM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Click in the link, and it will be revealed (haha - magic! 😊) -
"Economic reasons largely drive this emigration, with individuals seeking better opportunities in wealthier countries, primarily within the EU."
10:57 AM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684177141519339522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both can be true not necessarily a contradiction: the ones that are pro-EU, are the ones that want to emigrate, and 1/2-1/3 of those that say it, actually do manage to do it (emigrate). Those that are anti-EU don't emigrate. TBF don't think they will join in my lifetime (if ever)
1:21 PM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both can be true not necessarily a contradiction: the ones that are pro-EU, are the ones that want to emigrate, and 1/2-1/3 of those that say it, actually do manage to do it (emigrate). Those that are anti-EU don't emigrate. TBF don't think they will join in my lifetime (if ever)
1:21 PM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1685647657769828352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah- keep Poland & add South Korea to the list. The self-important (fine) self-serving (bad) boomers esp the innumerate lot from the humanities domineering UK public discussion, maybe lazy&ignorant of numbers but they do understand a good ole kick in the backside from competition
2:44 PM · Jul 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah- keep Poland & add South Korea to the list. The self-important (fine) self-serving (bad) boomers esp the innumerate lot from the humanities domineering UK public discussion, maybe lazy&ignorant of numbers but they do understand a good ole kick in the backside from competition
2:44 PM · Jul 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1685385721513648128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole." is as relevant today as it was in 1946, aged well.
9:24 PM · Jul 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole." is as relevant today as it was in 1946, aged well.
9:24 PM · Jul 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1685221748503957504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH It did not start with the New atheists, it was well underway. Loss of faith started with the development of sciences: with life&death issues where faith didn't help much, science&technology delivered. So the human flock switched their god to "science" and worship accordingly.
10:32 AM · Jul 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH It did not start with the New atheists, it was well underway. Loss of faith started with the development of sciences: with life&death issues where faith didn't help much, science&technology delivered. So the human flock switched their god to "science" and worship accordingly.
10:32 AM · Jul 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1685028764520964096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Empower leaseholders to be able hire and fire their own managing agents, and there will not be any need for banning anything. LHolders pay the bills - only fair they chose who does the work. Why is that obvious fix to the problem not considered is a mystery to me.
9:45 PM · Jul 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Empower leaseholders to be able hire and fire their own managing agents, and there will not be any need for banning anything. LHolders pay the bills - only fair they chose who does the work. Why is that obvious fix to the problem not considered is a mystery to me.
9:45 PM · Jul 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684944394556682242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your boys&gals turned out to be on the spectrum, the spectrum of liar-crook-evil-incompetent-idiot-imbecile & everything in-between. After more than a decade of that, only surprising thing is that TB isn't hoisted into the PM chair by acclamation by the long suffering citizenry.
4:10 PM · Jul 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your boys&gals turned out to be on the spectrum, the spectrum of liar-crook-evil-incompetent-idiot-imbecile & everything in-between. After more than a decade of that, only surprising thing is that TB isn't hoisted into the PM chair by acclamation by the long suffering citizenry.
4:10 PM · Jul 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684942037668229120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Performative miserabilism - what fun. 😁 Adjacent - a knee jerk "No" to any question to start with, and then walk back to a neutral "maybe". And adjecent to that - "don't praise them you're going to spoil them" so mention the -ves, stay silent on the +ves. 😆😆 Very continental.
4:01 PM · Jul 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Performative miserabilism - what fun. 😁 Adjacent - a knee jerk "No" to any question to start with, and then walk back to a neutral "maybe". And adjecent to that - "don't praise them you're going to spoil them" so mention the -ves, stay silent on the +ves. 😆😆 Very continental.
4:01 PM · Jul 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684638464107597825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the+ve side of the ledger: all parents that ever bought graphic cards for their kids to play, collectively jump-started the latest AI revolution, that we all hope to benefit from. Kudos to the parents and their kids pestering them to finance the GPUs of theworld R&D. 😂😂😂
7:54 PM · Jul 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the+ve side of the ledger: all parents that ever bought graphic cards for their kids to play, collectively jump-started the latest AI revolution, that we all hope to benefit from. Kudos to the parents and their kids pestering them to finance the GPUs of theworld R&D. 😂😂😂
7:54 PM · Jul 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682324500426248193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF NatWest account is good enough. As long as there is by law obligation to offer baseline services, it's fine. With KYC anti-mone-laundering PEP etc associated risks, bank terminating relationship when -ve outweighs the +ve (mortgage, loan etc) is expectation not a surprise.
10:39 AM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF NatWest account is good enough. As long as there is by law obligation to offer baseline services, it's fine. With KYC anti-mone-laundering PEP etc associated risks, bank terminating relationship when -ve outweighs the +ve (mortgage, loan etc) is expectation not a surprise.
10:39 AM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1684177141519339522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both can be true not necessarily a contradiction: the ones that are pro-EU, are the ones that want to emigrate, and 1/2-1/3 of those that say it, actually do manage to do it (emigrate). Those that are anti-EU don't emigrate. TBF don't think they will join in my lifetime (if ever)
1:21 PM · Jul 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Both can be true not necessarily a contradiction: the ones that are pro-EU, are the ones that want to emigrate, and 1/2-1/3 of those that say it, actually do manage to do it (emigrate). Those that are anti-EU don't emigrate. TBF don't think they will join in my lifetime (if ever)
1:21 PM · Jul 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682301030766133250
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get it that the state money story is important (+usually untold) but private electronic money ledger maybe easier as tallies with personal experience (+makes majority of money). Picture worth a 1000 words @Suitpossum got closest to explaining well in
The Landscape of Money: Visualizing Crypto Invasions, Stablecoins &...
In this video I recap the three layers of the fiat money system, and how the cryptocurrency movement (beginning with Bitcoin) attempted to launch an invasion...
https://youtu.be/DK1DZlWaiLY
9:06 AM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I get it that the state money story is important (+usually untold) but private electronic money ledger maybe easier as tallies with personal experience (+makes majority of money). Picture worth a 1000 words @Suitpossum got closest to explaining well in
The Landscape of Money: Visualizing Crypto Invasions, Stablecoins &...
In this video I recap the three layers of the fiat money system, and how the cryptocurrency movement (beginning with Bitcoin) attempted to launch an invasion...
https://youtu.be/DK1DZlWaiLY
9:06 AM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1682355323296727040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Lazat" implicira da nekoj e 1) kompetenten znae i 2) e los i sega 1) ja znae vistinata ama 2) resil da laze. Poverojatno e - nekokompetentnost mrzlivost traljavost (95% difolt). Smenile metodologija merenje i mediumive sto se imbecilni pisi-prepisi povtoruvaat kako papagali.
12:42 PM · Jul 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Lazat" implicira da nekoj e 1) kompetenten znae i 2) e los i sega 1) ja znae vistinata ama 2) resil da laze. Poverojatno e - nekokompetentnost mrzlivost traljavost (95% difolt). Smenile metodologija merenje i mediumive sto se imbecilni pisi-prepisi povtoruvaat kako papagali.
12:42 PM · Jul 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1683243219801317376
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas emigrirav na 30 god polu-slucajno (otidov na PhD i ostanav), trebase da otidam porano (iako togas ne mozese taka lesno da se emigrira). Uste koga pocnaa vojnite vo ex-YU vo 1991 trebase da mi tekne deka situacijata nema da se opravi, ke traat problemite so generacii.
11:30 PM · Jul 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas emigrirav na 30 god polu-slucajno (otidov na PhD i ostanav), trebase da otidam porano (iako togas ne mozese taka lesno da se emigrira). Uste koga pocnaa vojnite vo ex-YU vo 1991 trebase da mi tekne deka situacijata nema da se opravi, ke traat problemite so generacii.
11:30 PM · Jul 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1686391682244513792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree IPCC is plenty good and should be enough for everyone. Disagree "hot weather is not wheeled out" - it's wheeled out daily on most weather forecasts. @jimalkhalili of all people should know better that to gift opponents an argument where none exists.
4:01 PM · Aug 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree IPCC is plenty good and should be enough for everyone. Disagree "hot weather is not wheeled out" - it's wheeled out daily on most weather forecasts. @jimalkhalili of all people should know better that to gift opponents an argument where none exists.
4:01 PM · Aug 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1691432316256530432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh, the example chosen looks right out of "if I were a horse..." econ thinking. Case exists "seller A choses to sell for £1 in 1sec and spend the test of his Sunday in the park with the family; or at any price point in range (1,5) and spends (less,more) time at the market stall".
1:51 PM · Aug 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh, the example chosen looks right out of "if I were a horse..." econ thinking. Case exists "seller A choses to sell for £1 in 1sec and spend the test of his Sunday in the park with the family; or at any price point in range (1,5) and spends (less,more) time at the market stall".
1:51 PM · Aug 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1694649803089568099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... no je otprilike 50% 😉 Tacno da nije sve 😁
10:56 AM · Aug 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... no je otprilike 50% 😉 Tacno da nije sve 😁
10:56 AM · Aug 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1687357887331418112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly - what are laws of physics in the natural world, that is the truth (or a truth) in the social world we humans together in groups create & inhabit: truth is the simplest explanation of what we observe there available to all & shared by default, without much extra effort.
8:00 AM · Aug 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly - what are laws of physics in the natural world, that is the truth (or a truth) in the social world we humans together in groups create & inhabit: truth is the simplest explanation of what we observe there available to all & shared by default, without much extra effort.
8:00 AM · Aug 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690815308028649472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh. They maybe cheapest (on some measure - it's contended), but they are unreliable. I get solar produced electricity from my panels & shortly after from my battery, but that covers ~45% of mu needs. The other 55%, and with 100% reliability - that takes different type of magic.
8:59 PM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh. They maybe cheapest (on some measure - it's contended), but they are unreliable. I get solar produced electricity from my panels & shortly after from my battery, but that covers ~45% of mu needs. The other 55%, and with 100% reliability - that takes different type of magic.
8:59 PM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690672692683264000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Play the game not the player pls: state what you think is true. Don't try 2nd guess what I may or may not think or know. I see as of now: wind+solar in the mix of sources at ATH, and my home electricity bill at ATH. Not against renewables and I have rooftop solar+battery myself.
11:32 AM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Play the game not the player pls: state what you think is true. Don't try 2nd guess what I may or may not think or know. I see as of now: wind+solar in the mix of sources at ATH, and my home electricity bill at ATH. Not against renewables and I have rooftop solar+battery myself.
11:32 AM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690671223129149440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 You ask them if you want to. That's a realated but different issue - borrowing foreign currency, usually USD, usually to buy/import stuff (that a country doesn't produce but must have, like oil). Then a crisis when no USD can be found (not enough exports) to pay them back.
11:26 AM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 You ask them if you want to. That's a realated but different issue - borrowing foreign currency, usually USD, usually to buy/import stuff (that a country doesn't produce but must have, like oil). Then a crisis when no USD can be found (not enough exports) to pay them back.
11:26 AM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1691053859248967681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Getting old is terrible - it's not only that the body becomes bad and incapable of doing stuff, but the same process is going in parallel with the mind - the mind also ages. Advice to all: try not to get old.
12:47 PM · Aug 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Getting old is terrible - it's not only that the body becomes bad and incapable of doing stuff, but the same process is going in parallel with the mind - the mind also ages. Advice to all: try not to get old.
12:47 PM · Aug 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1695583326323544082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Нема бизнис за македонски железници. Односно има - против. Нема железница што може да биде рентабилна само при 2М луѓе. Може со 10М или 20М - ама при 2М луѓе, и плус сиромашни (3ти-4ти од доле - само над Молдавија, Косово, можеби Албанија) - не гледам како може да не работи со загуба. Тоа што е реално извор на корупција - служи за трансфер на плати за партиски војници - е дополнително зло.
12:45 AM · Aug 27, 2023 from Isla Mujeres, Quintana Roo
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Нема бизнис за македонски железници. Односно има - против. Нема железница што може да биде рентабилна само при 2М луѓе. Може со 10М или 20М - ама при 2М луѓе, и плус сиромашни (3ти-4ти од доле - само над Молдавија, Косово, можеби Албанија) - не гледам како може да не работи со загуба. Тоа што е реално извор на корупција - служи за трансфер на плати за партиски војници - е дополнително зло.
12:45 AM · Aug 27, 2023 from Isla Mujeres, Quintana Roo
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1687064160696233984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Khm - "cresovoto topce" mi e ludorija od slicen rang: zelezni topovi ima 400 god, XIX vek cel Balkan vo vojni oruzje na site strani, i za vostanie ne uspeavme da kupime eden vistinski top?? Sekoja cest za hrabrosta, ama ludosta vo "hrabrost-ludost" ne e za poddrska i imitacija.
12:33 PM · Aug 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Khm - "cresovoto topce" mi e ludorija od slicen rang: zelezni topovi ima 400 god, XIX vek cel Balkan vo vojni oruzje na site strani, i za vostanie ne uspeavme da kupime eden vistinski top?? Sekoja cest za hrabrosta, ama ludosta vo "hrabrost-ludost" ne e za poddrska i imitacija.
12:33 PM · Aug 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690807899025477632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тешко - пошто колку беше до Тито, толку беше и до идеата (комунизам). Идеата беше девалвирана и декласирана, а лидерот (Тито) умре. Единствена идеа што уште се држи на нозе е либерализмот. Ама имплементацијата на таа бара граѓани, а во МК (и YU) мнозинството бевме селани, копита.
8:29 PM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тешко - пошто колку беше до Тито, толку беше и до идеата (комунизам). Идеата беше девалвирана и декласирана, а лидерот (Тито) умре. Единствена идеа што уште се држи на нозе е либерализмот. Ама имплементацијата на таа бара граѓани, а во МК (и YU) мнозинството бевме селани, копита.
8:29 PM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690816722939281408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... i slicno kako za komunizam sto trebase da izgradime "nov (klasno svesen) i sovesen drugar", taka za liberalen kapitalizam treba da izgradime "graganin". Toa ne odi lesno - bara smena na generacii etc. Na taa tema nema mnogu, posledno mi teknuva od @BrankoMilan (za Franco etc)
9:04 PM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... i slicno kako za komunizam sto trebase da izgradime "nov (klasno svesen) i sovesen drugar", taka za liberalen kapitalizam treba da izgradime "graganin". Toa ne odi lesno - bara smena na generacii etc. Na taa tema nema mnogu, posledno mi teknuva od @BrankoMilan (za Franco etc)
9:04 PM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690879437607170048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jane outdoes Thanos - he did 10 out of 20, she'd kill 19 out of every 20 of us. To become a monster, one needs (mis)education & ideology. The 70's environs wouldn't have come up with genocidal anti-human fantasies if not for the ideology underpinning the Population Bomb and like
1:14 AM · Aug 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jane outdoes Thanos - he did 10 out of 20, she'd kill 19 out of every 20 of us. To become a monster, one needs (mis)education & ideology. The 70's environs wouldn't have come up with genocidal anti-human fantasies if not for the ideology underpinning the Population Bomb and like
1:14 AM · Aug 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1691303132490526720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Epa isto kako ti sto mislis, taka i drugite mislat. 😂😂 Ne si ti specijalna - kako ti taka i drugite. I vo pravo ste i ti sto ne izleguvas i druite sto ne izleguvaat. Da bidete uspesni treba sinhronizacija, a toa e tesko da se postigne, da se sinhroniziraat 1K-10K-100K luge.
5:17 AM · Aug 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Epa isto kako ti sto mislis, taka i drugite mislat. 😂😂 Ne si ti specijalna - kako ti taka i drugite. I vo pravo ste i ti sto ne izleguvas i druite sto ne izleguvaat. Da bidete uspesni treba sinhronizacija, a toa e tesko da se postigne, da se sinhroniziraat 1K-10K-100K luge.
5:17 AM · Aug 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690515771682623488
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - so ulicive: nekoi luge lansiraat sateliti, pa GPS-si, pa go mapiraat cel svet, pa Apps na milijardi telefoni, trud vlozen gigantski. Site moze da iskoristime, ama vo MK i na toa ke se po*ocame: ke gi smenime iminjata 10 pati vo 10 god pa nikoj ziv ne znae sto e kaj e.
1:09 AM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe :-) - so ulicive: nekoi luge lansiraat sateliti, pa GPS-si, pa go mapiraat cel svet, pa Apps na milijardi telefoni, trud vlozen gigantski. Site moze da iskoristime, ama vo MK i na toa ke se po*ocame: ke gi smenime iminjata 10 pati vo 10 god pa nikoj ziv ne znae sto e kaj e.
1:09 AM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690950890503421952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Socijalizmot propadna posto toj narod ne se pretvori vo "nov sovetski covek" podoblesen i podobar od toa sto bese. Kapitalizmot sega slicno propaga, ne moze od narodot da stane "graganstvo". Posledno uspesen bese feudalizmot?? E toa izgleda e najdobroto sto e mozno so ovoj narod.
5:58 AM · Aug 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Socijalizmot propadna posto toj narod ne se pretvori vo "nov sovetski covek" podoblesen i podobar od toa sto bese. Kapitalizmot sega slicno propaga, ne moze od narodot da stane "graganstvo". Posledno uspesen bese feudalizmot?? E toa izgleda e najdobroto sto e mozno so ovoj narod.
5:58 AM · Aug 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1686641697512374272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it though? Maybe 1-2% p.a. loss is a enough of a gentle push nudging pple to get off their assess & do something interesting&good with their money (& with their lives), instead of sitting on their hands getting old while watching the stars and pondering the Pythagoras' theorem
8:34 AM · Aug 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it though? Maybe 1-2% p.a. loss is a enough of a gentle push nudging pple to get off their assess & do something interesting&good with their money (& with their lives), instead of sitting on their hands getting old while watching the stars and pondering the Pythagoras' theorem
8:34 AM · Aug 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1687060232818642944
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - "let thousand currencies bloom". Much to be gained on the issuer side from competition between issuers. The technical barriers are ever lower. But the issue of trust remains hard. Closest to addressing trust maybe online reputations/stars on both supplier & consumer sides.
12:17 PM · Aug 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - "let thousand currencies bloom". Much to be gained on the issuer side from competition between issuers. The technical barriers are ever lower. But the issue of trust remains hard. Closest to addressing trust maybe online reputations/stars on both supplier & consumer sides.
12:17 PM · Aug 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1695470937984872557
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xpost - surprised that @elonmusk missed a trick there
5:19 PM · Aug 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xpost - surprised that @elonmusk missed a trick there
5:19 PM · Aug 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1687024413214982144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you have not already - I presume you have, but jic you have not - maybe worth checking out "Watching the English" by Kate Fox, looks like maybe of interest to you.
9:55 AM · Aug 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you have not already - I presume you have, but jic you have not - maybe worth checking out "Watching the English" by Kate Fox, looks like maybe of interest to you.
9:55 AM · Aug 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1691933127625617707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that's an excellent thing about NaNs! They will NaNify everything they touch! One can't miss them. Wish bool-eans and int-egers had hardware supported NaNs.
11:01 PM · Aug 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that's an excellent thing about NaNs! They will NaNify everything they touch! One can't miss them. Wish bool-eans and int-egers had hardware supported NaNs.
11:01 PM · Aug 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1697032707572703496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've heard it as: use your skills and work yourself into a position where if you get lucky, you will then benefit. Sounds about right to me about the skill-graft-luck trinity.
12:45 AM · Aug 31, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've heard it as: use your skills and work yourself into a position where if you get lucky, you will then benefit. Sounds about right to me about the skill-graft-luck trinity.
12:45 AM · Aug 31, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1686354426171154432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt "because we sense" - we are not that much in control. More likely - species that optimised for intelligence did not survive but perished so we don't see them.
1:33 PM · Aug 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt "because we sense" - we are not that much in control. More likely - species that optimised for intelligence did not survive but perished so we don't see them.
1:33 PM · Aug 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690556656583573504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We had free trade while in the SM and CU. You ended that & erected barriers where there were none previously. Default state of the world is not "World free trade" but "Every village charges a toll on every item crossing their land". Free trade happens only by deliberate effort.
3:51 AM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We had free trade while in the SM and CU. You ended that & erected barriers where there were none previously. Default state of the world is not "World free trade" but "Every village charges a toll on every item crossing their land". Free trade happens only by deliberate effort.
3:51 AM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1687372013449490432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use TODO-DONE-DONTDO sections, with items moving between them. Items residing in TODO for too long are moved to DONTDO: probably didn't need doing in the first place. I like those moves the best! :-) If it turns out to be needed after all - can move back from DONTDO to TODO.
8:56 AM · Aug 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I use TODO-DONE-DONTDO sections, with items moving between them. Items residing in TODO for too long are moved to DONTDO: probably didn't need doing in the first place. I like those moves the best! :-) If it turns out to be needed after all - can move back from DONTDO to TODO.
8:56 AM · Aug 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1694041646269157722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EV мала а релативно ефтина во UK многу гледам има Renault Zoe верзија 5. Едно време имаше и само колата да се купи а батеријата на лизинг со месечна отплата. Во последно време најмногу гледам Тесла ама тие не се ни ефтини ни многу мали.
6:39 PM · Aug 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EV мала а релативно ефтина во UK многу гледам има Renault Zoe верзија 5. Едно време имаше и само колата да се купи а батеријата на лизинг со месечна отплата. Во последно време најмногу гледам Тесла ама тие не се ни ефтини ни многу мали.
6:39 PM · Aug 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690200238563250176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The share of wind/solar in my electricity supply is at all time high. My bill is at all time high too! I'm neither knowledgeable or interested much which of the wind-solar-nuclear scales up best to decarbonize electricity - but the direction of travel for wind looks bad tbh.
4:15 AM · Aug 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The share of wind/solar in my electricity supply is at all time high. My bill is at all time high too! I'm neither knowledgeable or interested much which of the wind-solar-nuclear scales up best to decarbonize electricity - but the direction of travel for wind looks bad tbh.
4:15 AM · Aug 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690500709991534592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too quick in assuming (c.f. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567480718871207936), but that's not the point. In the final analysis policies are judged on the results. Advanced society needs abundant energy, not energy famine. Logical Qs to ask - did marginal pricing deliver, who/what is it good/bad for, etc.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 7, 2022
Replying to @battleforeurope
Only found abt "marginal pricing" last week so with a pinch salt, but: hearing "perfect, correct, textbook" etc spooked GFC'08 house prices models vibes in me. An obvious collusion objection https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 hand waveyly ignored by an advocate e.g. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817.
12:09 AM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too quick in assuming (c.f. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567480718871207936), but that's not the point. In the final analysis policies are judged on the results. Advanced society needs abundant energy, not energy famine. Logical Qs to ask - did marginal pricing deliver, who/what is it good/bad for, etc.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 7, 2022
Replying to @battleforeurope
Only found abt "marginal pricing" last week so with a pinch salt, but: hearing "perfect, correct, textbook" etc spooked GFC'08 house prices models vibes in me. An obvious collusion objection https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 hand waveyly ignored by an advocate e.g. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817.
12:09 AM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690794578620649472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No chimpanzee will ever do the same (I read). This is not to diminish the possibility of unspeakable cruelty we humans are capable of. But as we acknowledge the bad, it's fair to acknowledge the good things about the humans too. 3/3 (w/h apology for the quite tweet @peterrhague)
7:36 PM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No chimpanzee will ever do the same (I read). This is not to diminish the possibility of unspeakable cruelty we humans are capable of. But as we acknowledge the bad, it's fair to acknowledge the good things about the humans too. 3/3 (w/h apology for the quite tweet @peterrhague)
7:36 PM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690794575554547712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That that trust is proven justified and people do actually provide me with life sustaining favors even when I go to the ends of the Earth and meet people I have never met before nor will meet again - is a testament to the human species. 2/3
7:36 PM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That that trust is proven justified and people do actually provide me with life sustaining favors even when I go to the ends of the Earth and meet people I have never met before nor will meet again - is a testament to the human species. 2/3
7:36 PM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690794571687469056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's all about the numbers. The level of cooperation based on trusting people unseen unmet to sustain 8B people is immense and much greater than the level of trust needed to sustain 8K people. 1/2 (IDK how to chain replies?)
Quote
Peter Hague PhD @peterrhague · Aug 13
The "Noble Savage" is a lie. If everybody lived as they do, we would burn the resources of the world down in short order. twitter.com/zacharycmarlow…
7:36 PM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's all about the numbers. The level of cooperation based on trusting people unseen unmet to sustain 8B people is immense and much greater than the level of trust needed to sustain 8K people. 1/2 (IDK how to chain replies?)
Quote
Peter Hague PhD @peterrhague · Aug 13
The "Noble Savage" is a lie. If everybody lived as they do, we would burn the resources of the world down in short order. twitter.com/zacharycmarlow…
7:36 PM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1691926967354855776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope you're well. Ctry#2 is the United Kingdom. There is no national ID. It's had negligible insignificant electoral fraud historically. Recently ruling CON party changed the electoral law to require prescribed ID to vote, hoping to suppress the young vote. Police are unarmed.
10:36 PM · Aug 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hope you're well. Ctry#2 is the United Kingdom. There is no national ID. It's had negligible insignificant electoral fraud historically. Recently ruling CON party changed the electoral law to require prescribed ID to vote, hoping to suppress the young vote. Police are unarmed.
10:36 PM · Aug 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1691242296681861120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - top marks to MMT proselytizers for taking on the "US credit card maxed out/China lending USD to US/debt to the children/if not enough tax then police/teachers fired". Other econs may know that's nonsense but are economical with their effort to go against, so kudos to mmt.
1:15 AM · Aug 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - top marks to MMT proselytizers for taking on the "US credit card maxed out/China lending USD to US/debt to the children/if not enough tax then police/teachers fired". Other econs may know that's nonsense but are economical with their effort to go against, so kudos to mmt.
1:15 AM · Aug 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690955636933033984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information is the most fundamental, energy and matter are its realizations. Realizations that are discrete. Reality is N-dimensional, and as N increases the space moves in the corners (the middle is devoid of space). So the space ends up being discrete, every point an outlier.
6:16 AM · Aug 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Information is the most fundamental, energy and matter are its realizations. Realizations that are discrete. Reality is N-dimensional, and as N increases the space moves in the corners (the middle is devoid of space). So the space ends up being discrete, every point an outlier.
6:16 AM · Aug 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1687056378932658176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1st the Personal Computer and then the Internet (in my lifetime)
12:02 PM · Aug 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1st the Personal Computer and then the Internet (in my lifetime)
12:02 PM · Aug 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690554809294721024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Greece doesn't have their own currency any more. In that's sense they are more like an US state, not like the US federal government. They have to ask the ECB for Euros - they can't create their own independently (like they could drachmas when they had their own currency).
3:44 AM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Greece doesn't have their own currency any more. In that's sense they are more like an US state, not like the US federal government. They have to ask the ECB for Euros - they can't create their own independently (like they could drachmas when they had their own currency).
3:44 AM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1690524059518287872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - true, the Chief Twit is surprisingly and easily hooked by the dumbest run of the mill RUS "psyops" or as described more truthfully "lying mercilessly and in industrial quantities"
Quote
Francis Fukuyama @FukuyamaFrancis · Aug 12
Great interview: Bellingcat’s Christo Grozev: ‘Prigozhin will either be dead or there will be a second coup’ https://ft.com/content/03f220e1-6a7e-4850-bf4e-4b0f521d8f8c
1:41 AM · Aug 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - true, the Chief Twit is surprisingly and easily hooked by the dumbest run of the mill RUS "psyops" or as described more truthfully "lying mercilessly and in industrial quantities"
Quote
Francis Fukuyama @FukuyamaFrancis · Aug 12
Great interview: Bellingcat’s Christo Grozev: ‘Prigozhin will either be dead or there will be a second coup’ https://ft.com/content/03f220e1-6a7e-4850-bf4e-4b0f521d8f8c
1:41 AM · Aug 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1695167722416476644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh - when I saw Tweetdeck renamed Xpro, had an incling of the direction of travel and what's coming next 🥴😁😆 OK
@elonmusk - you got my £££, Tweetdeck is worth that mucho to me
9:14 PM · Aug 25, 2023 from Isla Mujeres, Quintana Roo
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sigh - when I saw Tweetdeck renamed Xpro, had an incling of the direction of travel and what's coming next 🥴😁😆 OK
@elonmusk - you got my £££, Tweetdeck is worth that mucho to me
9:14 PM · Aug 25, 2023 from Isla Mujeres, Quintana Roo
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1691288515756150784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆😆😆 - same as it ever was, just amazing how things work out, this:
Quote
FT Weekend @ftweekend · Aug 14
Over Lunch with the FT, Bellingcat co-founder Christo Grozev talks about exposing assassinations and Putin’s plots, looking over his shoulder — and using a cat to find a secret agent https://on.ft.com/43ZZkyI
4:19 AM · Aug 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆😆😆 - same as it ever was, just amazing how things work out, this:
Quote
FT Weekend @ftweekend · Aug 14
Over Lunch with the FT, Bellingcat co-founder Christo Grozev talks about exposing assassinations and Putin’s plots, looking over his shoulder — and using a cat to find a secret agent https://on.ft.com/43ZZkyI
4:19 AM · Aug 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1694847779858723148
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It never gets non-funny 😂🤣 -
"the magical aura hovering over CBankers words shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon"
Quote
The summers we shared
@Picss3o · Aug 24
Who’s Afraid of MMT? by James K. Galbraith @ProSyn https://prosyn.org/ntGg5ev
12:02 AM · Aug 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It never gets non-funny 😂🤣 -
"the magical aura hovering over CBankers words shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon"
Quote
The summers we shared
@Picss3o · Aug 24
Who’s Afraid of MMT? by James K. Galbraith @ProSyn https://prosyn.org/ntGg5ev
12:02 AM · Aug 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1672963522286825474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw a hotel in Malaga where the shades were actually solar panels?! Clever - both practical and useful, afaics worked well/as intended.
2:42 PM · Jun 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw a hotel in Malaga where the shades were actually solar panels?! Clever - both practical and useful, afaics worked well/as intended.
2:42 PM · Jun 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1672987160213966851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaics not. Maybe b/c the sun is not 90 degrees up in the sky from our position most of the time. Rising in the east in the morning then moving half circle across the sky west to sunset - it's only every at ~90 deg above our heads at mid day. At all other times - it's at an angle
4:16 PM · Jun 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaics not. Maybe b/c the sun is not 90 degrees up in the sky from our position most of the time. Rising in the east in the morning then moving half circle across the sky west to sunset - it's only every at ~90 deg above our heads at mid day. At all other times - it's at an angle
4:16 PM · Jun 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671894444101226498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Intenzivnoto stocarstvo kako sto go prakticirame in scale e takov horor da ne znam ni dali i Bog moze da ni prosti. 😱 Samo od vcera https://richardhanania.com/p/eating-animals-and-the-virtues-of (i referenca https://benthams.substack.com/p/factory-farming-delenda-est). Se nadevam lab meat ke ne spasi od toa, ama se plasam deka nema da bide za 40-50 god
richardhanania.com
Eating Animals and the Virtues of Honesty
Lab-grown meat as a way out of our greatest ethical dilemma
3:54 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Intenzivnoto stocarstvo kako sto go prakticirame in scale e takov horor da ne znam ni dali i Bog moze da ni prosti. 😱 Samo od vcera https://richardhanania.com/p/eating-animals-and-the-virtues-of (i referenca https://benthams.substack.com/p/factory-farming-delenda-est). Se nadevam lab meat ke ne spasi od toa, ama se plasam deka nema da bide za 40-50 god
richardhanania.com
Eating Animals and the Virtues of Honesty
Lab-grown meat as a way out of our greatest ethical dilemma
3:54 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671900714245734402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Priroda, prirodno" - ne znam kako toa e po difolt zemeno da e 100% +vno. Ima mnogu raboti sto se prirodni a se -vni. Na pr. prirodno e 50% od decata da umrat pred da napolnat X god, Y% od majki da umrat pri poroduvanje etc. Bashka - domasni zivotni ne se tolku mnogu "priroda".
4:19 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Priroda, prirodno" - ne znam kako toa e po difolt zemeno da e 100% +vno. Ima mnogu raboti sto se prirodni a se -vni. Na pr. prirodno e 50% od decata da umrat pred da napolnat X god, Y% od majki da umrat pri poroduvanje etc. Bashka - domasni zivotni ne se tolku mnogu "priroda".
4:19 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671910560844206081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne seriozno niti site - ama da, luge gi interesira. I mene mi e misterija - no slicni se i novosti sto gi razmenuvame se prijateli. Koj kade na odmor setanje uzivanje rodeni zemeni umreni etc. TBH ne filozofirame ili dumame epistemiologija "sto znaci da znam" i slicno, haha 🤣🤣
4:58 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne seriozno niti site - ama da, luge gi interesira. I mene mi e misterija - no slicni se i novosti sto gi razmenuvame se prijateli. Koj kade na odmor setanje uzivanje rodeni zemeni umreni etc. TBH ne filozofirame ili dumame epistemiologija "sto znaci da znam" i slicno, haha 🤣🤣
4:58 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1673351514771935233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
варијанта -
https://agfundernews.com/omeat-emerges-from-stealth-armed-with-40m-to-scale-novel-approach-to-cultivated-meat-production
ова може да е комерцијално конкурентно
agfundernews.com
Omeat emerges from stealth armed with $40m to scale novel approach to cultivated meat production
Cultivated meat startup Omeat has emerged from stealth armed with $40m to fund a novel approach to making meat from animal cells.
4:24 PM · Jun 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
варијанта -
https://agfundernews.com/omeat-emerges-from-stealth-armed-with-40m-to-scale-novel-approach-to-cultivated-meat-production
ова може да е комерцијално конкурентно
agfundernews.com
Omeat emerges from stealth armed with $40m to scale novel approach to cultivated meat production
Cultivated meat startup Omeat has emerged from stealth armed with $40m to fund a novel approach to making meat from animal cells.
4:24 PM · Jun 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1667455821632897024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Слично не исто - немам извор некаде прочитав запамтив: Турција се закани со вето на прием на Бугарија во НАТО, па Буг сменија учебници каде турци отоманци беа напишани прикажани да се крвожедни монструми што му ја пиеле крвта на бугарскиот народ X00 години векови и сл.
9:57 AM · Jun 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Слично не исто - немам извор некаде прочитав запамтив: Турција се закани со вето на прием на Бугарија во НАТО, па Буг сменија учебници каде турци отоманци беа напишани прикажани да се крвожедни монструми што му ја пиеле крвта на бугарскиот народ X00 години векови и сл.
9:57 AM · Jun 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1667930867346358277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Ќе и пропадне теоретскиов дел дури стигне да полага практично возење
https://twitter.com/STVNews/status/1667557246694203392
Вести а-ла Северна Кореа, или можеби slow news day.
Quote
STV News @STVNews · Jun 10
Former First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has passed her driving theory test with full marks in one section.
https://news.stv.tv/politics/former-first-minister-nicola-sturgeon-passes-driving-theory-test-with-full-marks-in-one-section
5:24 PM · Jun 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Ќе и пропадне теоретскиов дел дури стигне да полага практично возење
https://twitter.com/STVNews/status/1667557246694203392
Вести а-ла Северна Кореа, или можеби slow news day.
Quote
STV News @STVNews · Jun 10
Former First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has passed her driving theory test with full marks in one section.
https://news.stv.tv/politics/former-first-minister-nicola-sturgeon-passes-driving-theory-test-with-full-marks-in-one-section
5:24 PM · Jun 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671876899583451138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se razviva cela industrija na alternativi na meso od domasni zivotni, 2 pravci: 1) rastitelna zamena 2) meso kreirano so mnozenje muskulni kletki ama vo kazan-labaratorija, bez celo zivotno da e prisutno. Uste se na v1 - nekonkurentni, skapo i loso. Do v3 ke bide kompetitivno 🤯
2:44 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Se razviva cela industrija na alternativi na meso od domasni zivotni, 2 pravci: 1) rastitelna zamena 2) meso kreirano so mnozenje muskulni kletki ama vo kazan-labaratorija, bez celo zivotno da e prisutno. Uste se na v1 - nekonkurentni, skapo i loso. Do v3 ke bide kompetitivno 🤯
2:44 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671899548929736705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Brzo baraj telefoni vrti telefoni da im da im kazes sigirno ne im teknalo. ;-) Pa da se spasat lugeto. Tvojava e podobra od "a moze nurkac da se spusti da napravi dupka i so crevo da im doturat vozduh duri gi izvadat". I taa e od repertoarot "moze ne im teknalo, vrti telefon".
4:14 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Brzo baraj telefoni vrti telefoni da im da im kazes sigirno ne im teknalo. ;-) Pa da se spasat lugeto. Tvojava e podobra od "a moze nurkac da se spusti da napravi dupka i so crevo da im doturat vozduh duri gi izvadat". I taa e od repertoarot "moze ne im teknalo, vrti telefon".
4:14 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1667234757522890775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Зборење за проблемите млатење празна слама е прв чекор. 😊 Ги вербализираме маките експлицитно. Како некоја област од филозофијата станува успешна (кога ќе им "тргне"), престанува да биде филозофија и си станува посебна дисциплина: математика, физика, хемија, биологија...
7:18 PM · Jun 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Зборење за проблемите млатење празна слама е прв чекор. 😊 Ги вербализираме маките експлицитно. Како некоја област од филозофијата станува успешна (кога ќе им "тргне"), престанува да биде филозофија и си станува посебна дисциплина: математика, физика, хемија, биологија...
7:18 PM · Jun 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1673777697460297728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - it is just plain laziness, stupidity, slow news days & similar incentives. People writing things like the above don't think or try that hard - they just go with the 1st thing that pops in their heads. No need for malevolence when incompetence is good enough explanation TBH.
8:37 PM · Jun 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - it is just plain laziness, stupidity, slow news days & similar incentives. People writing things like the above don't think or try that hard - they just go with the 1st thing that pops in their heads. No need for malevolence when incompetence is good enough explanation TBH.
8:37 PM · Jun 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1668900318145392640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poland+Balts are next on the firing line (after Moldova). RU can't really lose a war - only not win it - so at worst a draw for RU whatever happens (russians will be at loss but Kremlin doesn't care abt them). UA bought them time, PL should be developing its own nuclear deterrent
9:36 AM · Jun 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poland+Balts are next on the firing line (after Moldova). RU can't really lose a war - only not win it - so at worst a draw for RU whatever happens (russians will be at loss but Kremlin doesn't care abt them). UA bought them time, PL should be developing its own nuclear deterrent
9:36 AM · Jun 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1668981642331824131
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - as a point of logic, it is virtually impossible to be right-done. So it can only ever be under-done or over-done. It is under-done to start with, by default, and then as time goes on and we keep doing it, we notice it's been over-done. (ne stignalo ako ne prestignalo)
3:00 PM · Jun 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - as a point of logic, it is virtually impossible to be right-done. So it can only ever be under-done or over-done. It is under-done to start with, by default, and then as time goes on and we keep doing it, we notice it's been over-done. (ne stignalo ako ne prestignalo)
3:00 PM · Jun 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1668628552709971968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - flexible social graph/relations + huge numbers. Other animals match one but not both: ants - big numbers but not flexible, chimpanzees - flexible but small numbers. Orig austrians to miss that - bad but it happens. The followers to keep missing for the next 100yrs - aarhg.
3:37 PM · Jun 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - flexible social graph/relations + huge numbers. Other animals match one but not both: ants - big numbers but not flexible, chimpanzees - flexible but small numbers. Orig austrians to miss that - bad but it happens. The followers to keep missing for the next 100yrs - aarhg.
3:37 PM · Jun 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1668851339986698241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does Robinson Crusoe need money? If stuck alone on an island - would one be issuing to self to prevent "inter-temporal misallocation allocation of resources"? I was commenting on the peculiarity of the example chosen. Not getting into econ-religios wars -
MMT vs. Austrian School Debate
MODERN MONETARY THEORY VS. THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL:MACROECONOMIC DEBATES AMONG THE HETERODOXYFor discussion on this video, see here: http://www.modernmoneynetwor...
https://youtu.be/cUTLCDBONok
6:22 AM · Jun 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does Robinson Crusoe need money? If stuck alone on an island - would one be issuing to self to prevent "inter-temporal misallocation allocation of resources"? I was commenting on the peculiarity of the example chosen. Not getting into econ-religios wars -
MMT vs. Austrian School Debate
MODERN MONETARY THEORY VS. THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL:MACROECONOMIC DEBATES AMONG THE HETERODOXYFor discussion on this video, see here: http://www.modernmoneynetwor...
https://youtu.be/cUTLCDBONok
6:22 AM · Jun 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1667518550754328577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - sekvencata e 1) firmata formira "bruto plata", od taa bruto firmata 2) 33% dava na drzavata i toa se "davacki", i 3) 66% dava na rabotnikot i toa e "neto plata" za rabotnikot. Ama ne e netocno deka tie 33% "davacki" se 50% od tie 66% sto se "neto plata". Glavolomka 😂😂😂
2:06 PM · Jun 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok - sekvencata e 1) firmata formira "bruto plata", od taa bruto firmata 2) 33% dava na drzavata i toa se "davacki", i 3) 66% dava na rabotnikot i toa e "neto plata" za rabotnikot. Ama ne e netocno deka tie 33% "davacki" se 50% od tie 66% sto se "neto plata". Glavolomka 😂😂😂
2:06 PM · Jun 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1669057302815465474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, having been WFH for many years, forgot about that. Still - would be nicer to come home from work to a cool home rather than sweltering one. Plus if someone from the household is staying at home - then it's a clearer win.
8:00 PM · Jun 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, having been WFH for many years, forgot about that. Still - would be nicer to come home from work to a cool home rather than sweltering one. Plus if someone from the household is staying at home - then it's a clearer win.
8:00 PM · Jun 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1667097173618556929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that's a bad bad thing, not a HOWTODO manual. Modus operandi of "big states are to gobble up and destroy the small states" in Europe was the path into WW1 and WW2. In this case there is a genocide people destruction too, as RUS denies existance of UKR language, nation.
10:11 AM · Jun 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and that's a bad bad thing, not a HOWTODO manual. Modus operandi of "big states are to gobble up and destroy the small states" in Europe was the path into WW1 and WW2. In this case there is a genocide people destruction too, as RUS denies existance of UKR language, nation.
10:11 AM · Jun 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1666890977129160721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure they did, and that is a bad thing to do. The idea is - it should not be done. There are many small states in Europe. If bigger European states start invading smaller ones to gobble them up b/c they can, it will be WW1 and WW2 all over again. The idea is to stop that.
8:32 PM · Jun 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure they did, and that is a bad thing to do. The idea is - it should not be done. There are many small states in Europe. If bigger European states start invading smaller ones to gobble them up b/c they can, it will be WW1 and WW2 all over again. The idea is to stop that.
8:32 PM · Jun 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1666878741299994626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... the main reason being USSR was in the process of installing nuclear missiles in Cuba. Not Cuba hosting a listening station, not Cuba wanting to sign a commercial FTA with Brazil or similar. Yeah - here's US behaving badly - so RU should do better, not the same or worse.
7:43 PM · Jun 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... the main reason being USSR was in the process of installing nuclear missiles in Cuba. Not Cuba hosting a listening station, not Cuba wanting to sign a commercial FTA with Brazil or similar. Yeah - here's US behaving badly - so RU should do better, not the same or worse.
7:43 PM · Jun 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1666889881002336272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - the one thing Mearsheimer got right https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
8:28 PM · Jun 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - the one thing Mearsheimer got right https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
8:28 PM · Jun 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671860746781597698
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No way out there - only nuclear deterrent can do unfortunately. The 1 thing Mearsheimer actually got right https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf. When your much bigger neighbor (c.f. Israel) policy aim is your own destruction - nothing else suffices. Doubly so in UA case as RU has got nukes.
1:40 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No way out there - only nuclear deterrent can do unfortunately. The 1 thing Mearsheimer actually got right https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf. When your much bigger neighbor (c.f. Israel) policy aim is your own destruction - nothing else suffices. Doubly so in UA case as RU has got nukes.
1:40 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1674451026995232769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laziness is comfortable. Instead of sweating "howto doit"-easier to find reasons to "not doit". Doers assume responsibility for fails-lazies keep their hands clean. There's against-action bias: action costs so one starts in a hole & climbs out to gain more than the initial cost.
5:13 PM · Jun 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laziness is comfortable. Instead of sweating "howto doit"-easier to find reasons to "not doit". Doers assume responsibility for fails-lazies keep their hands clean. There's against-action bias: action costs so one starts in a hole & climbs out to gain more than the initial cost.
5:13 PM · Jun 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1672647686317649924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not merely justifiable but almost obligatory. Murdering one that believes in the wrong God is bad but a small price to pay if it saves his immortal soul from going to hell for a chance of heaven for eternity. Monsters doing that often think they themselves are making a sacrifice.
5:47 PM · Jun 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not merely justifiable but almost obligatory. Murdering one that believes in the wrong God is bad but a small price to pay if it saves his immortal soul from going to hell for a chance of heaven for eternity. Monsters doing that often think they themselves are making a sacrifice.
5:47 PM · Jun 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671873556328910848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nuclear is green . No energy == no civilisation, as simple as. Use nuclear to remove the last of coal, gas and biomass from the electrical energy supply. Then take stock, see what next. France did it with 80s technology, rest/us can do it too and better with +50yrs tech improved.
2:31 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nuclear is green . No energy == no civilisation, as simple as. Use nuclear to remove the last of coal, gas and biomass from the electrical energy supply. Then take stock, see what next. France did it with 80s technology, rest/us can do it too and better with +50yrs tech improved.
2:31 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1667457672558387200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
хаха 😄 - да честа забуна, пошто отприликативно 33% надоле од повисоката бројка е скоро еднакво на 50% нагоре од пониската бројка (1/0.67~=1.5)
10:04 AM · Jun 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
хаха 😄 - да честа забуна, пошто отприликативно 33% надоле од повисоката бројка е скоро еднакво на 50% нагоре од пониската бројка (1/0.67~=1.5)
10:04 AM · Jun 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1669587434613493760
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
China has been developing waterless nuclear reactors. Construction work on the first commercial molten salt reactor should be completed by 2030.
nextbigfuture.com
China Thorium Molten Salt Experimental Reactor is Licensed for Operation | NextBigFuture.com
On June 7 , 2023, China's 2MWt thorium-fueled molten salt experimental reactor operation application and related technical documents were completely reviewed.
https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2023/06/china-thorium-molten-salt-experimental-reactor-is-licensed-for-operation.html
7:07 AM · Jun 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
China has been developing waterless nuclear reactors. Construction work on the first commercial molten salt reactor should be completed by 2030.
nextbigfuture.com
China Thorium Molten Salt Experimental Reactor is Licensed for Operation | NextBigFuture.com
On June 7 , 2023, China's 2MWt thorium-fueled molten salt experimental reactor operation application and related technical documents were completely reviewed.
https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2023/06/china-thorium-molten-salt-experimental-reactor-is-licensed-for-operation.html
7:07 AM · Jun 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1668623688705667075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laziness is a mortal sin -
> adviser ... rightly berating me for cheap knockabout commentary .. his own govmt frequently managed to sidestep its errors b/c reporters didn’t dig deeply enough to uncover facts ... Drama is easy to write about because it doesn’t involve much work.
Quote
John Kampfner @johnkampfner · Jun 13
Message to all involved in politics and journalism in the past few decades: how complicit were you in Johnson's rise? https://theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jun/13/boris-johnson-britain-politics
3:17 PM · Jun 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Laziness is a mortal sin -
> adviser ... rightly berating me for cheap knockabout commentary .. his own govmt frequently managed to sidestep its errors b/c reporters didn’t dig deeply enough to uncover facts ... Drama is easy to write about because it doesn’t involve much work.
Quote
John Kampfner @johnkampfner · Jun 13
Message to all involved in politics and journalism in the past few decades: how complicit were you in Johnson's rise? https://theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jun/13/boris-johnson-britain-politics
3:17 PM · Jun 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671882440431001600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam. Od ovaa 0.7l kupiv shishe vo nekoj moment, tolku ubava i slatka da se ispi vo edno sedenje i ne stigna. Pa se potegnav potrudiv da kupam pak - nemase 0.7l kupiv 1l par shishinja. Bljak! Stoeja so godini, ama "penjal se ne penjal pare sam daval" - gi dopiv so vreme. 😱
3:06 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam. Od ovaa 0.7l kupiv shishe vo nekoj moment, tolku ubava i slatka da se ispi vo edno sedenje i ne stigna. Pa se potegnav potrudiv da kupam pak - nemase 0.7l kupiv 1l par shishinja. Bljak! Stoeja so godini, ama "penjal se ne penjal pare sam daval" - gi dopiv so vreme. 😱
3:06 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1674105028229857288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😁 -vo CV vo grafa citizenship: Macedonian by burth, British by choice. 😂😂
6:18 PM · Jun 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😁 -vo CV vo grafa citizenship: Macedonian by burth, British by choice. 😂😂
6:18 PM · Jun 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1674105892252286978
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
*** by birth. De be so taa edit funkcija, aman veke preku glava, ima li junak na planetava da go opravi?? ( @elonmusk ?)
6:22 PM · Jun 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
*** by birth. De be so taa edit funkcija, aman veke preku glava, ima li junak na planetava da go opravi?? ( @elonmusk ?)
6:22 PM · Jun 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1673290399589232640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"No kill meat"!!! Sounds great! A marketing genius, kudos to whoever came up with the slogan. (fao @rorysutherland) Along the lines of "Not blood diamonds" sounds much better than "synthetic diamonds" and similar.
Quote
Jesper P. Pedersen @jpackert · Jun 21
“No kill meat”, grown from animal cells, now approved for sale in the United States:
https://npr.org/sections/health-shots/2023/06/21/1183484892/no-kill-meat-grown-from-animal-cells-is-now-approved-for-sale-in-the-u-s
12:21 PM · Jun 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"No kill meat"!!! Sounds great! A marketing genius, kudos to whoever came up with the slogan. (fao @rorysutherland) Along the lines of "Not blood diamonds" sounds much better than "synthetic diamonds" and similar.
Quote
Jesper P. Pedersen @jpackert · Jun 21
“No kill meat”, grown from animal cells, now approved for sale in the United States:
https://npr.org/sections/health-shots/2023/06/21/1183484892/no-kill-meat-grown-from-animal-cells-is-now-approved-for-sale-in-the-u-s
12:21 PM · Jun 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1674329186775777280
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True the 2nd part (ripping us off), but the 1st part (director's responsibility is max profit to s/holders) is I think an urban myth: there is no such thing in the legal documents (e.g. Companies Act 2006). The responsibilities listed are broad, and to the company, not s/holders.
9:09 AM · Jun 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True the 2nd part (ripping us off), but the 1st part (director's responsibility is max profit to s/holders) is I think an urban myth: there is no such thing in the legal documents (e.g. Companies Act 2006). The responsibilities listed are broad, and to the company, not s/holders.
9:09 AM · Jun 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1669013644112216064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solar+ air conditioning is the perfect match, doesn't get much better than that Re: matching demand with supply 😄
5:07 PM · Jun 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Solar+ air conditioning is the perfect match, doesn't get much better than that Re: matching demand with supply 😄
5:07 PM · Jun 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1666862387381645312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the US going to do a massive invasion of Cuba over the telecoms spying station? USSR almost installed nuclear missiles in Cuba at the height of their Cold Water, and US still did not invade. Attempted regime change - yes, invasion - no.
6:38 PM · Jun 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the US going to do a massive invasion of Cuba over the telecoms spying station? USSR almost installed nuclear missiles in Cuba at the height of their Cold Water, and US still did not invade. Attempted regime change - yes, invasion - no.
6:38 PM · Jun 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1669342388425486337
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A very good idea! 👍 Sounds like a riff on the GNU Copyleft license for the age of big data, machine learning and AI.
2:53 PM · Jun 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A very good idea! 👍 Sounds like a riff on the GNU Copyleft license for the age of big data, machine learning and AI.
2:53 PM · Jun 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1670720551248183296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a very tiny sliver at all times, doesn't change. Important & changing is the attitude of the rest of us the ignorant majority: we should be accutely aware how little we know. Narcissistic thinking one's all knowable, center of the universe, is a precondition for a fall.
10:09 AM · Jun 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a very tiny sliver at all times, doesn't change. Important & changing is the attitude of the rest of us the ignorant majority: we should be accutely aware how little we know. Narcissistic thinking one's all knowable, center of the universe, is a precondition for a fall.
10:09 AM · Jun 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1670731642900455425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes in a sense that in that case tiny sliver -> goes towards zero. My point is most of us people are ignorant abt most of things that keep us alive most of the time. I could not build my house, clean water and food supply chain, heating cooling sys etc that keep me alive.
10:53 AM · Jun 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes in a sense that in that case tiny sliver -> goes towards zero. My point is most of us people are ignorant abt most of things that keep us alive most of the time. I could not build my house, clean water and food supply chain, heating cooling sys etc that keep me alive.
10:53 AM · Jun 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1670716633659191296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH everyone knowing about everything is an impossibly high bar. Good enough & realistically achevable is: I know I don't know much about anything (except my own professional field where I spent decades learning+doing), so I defer to others that - I judge that & trust to - know.
9:54 AM · Jun 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH everyone knowing about everything is an impossibly high bar. Good enough & realistically achevable is: I know I don't know much about anything (except my own professional field where I spent decades learning+doing), so I defer to others that - I judge that & trust to - know.
9:54 AM · Jun 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1669039693713797120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aircon in the home is a good match to Solar panels on the roof: the demand will be matched by the supply almost perfectly. We are lucky in that respect. Building regs should mandate rooftop solar for that one case alone, tbh.
6:50 PM · Jun 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aircon in the home is a good match to Solar panels on the roof: the demand will be matched by the supply almost perfectly. We are lucky in that respect. Building regs should mandate rooftop solar for that one case alone, tbh.
6:50 PM · Jun 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1667099088087547905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No-one is claiming they're good guys. I am saying US bad actions do turn equivalent RU bad actions good suddenly.
10:19 AM · Jun 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No-one is claiming they're good guys. I am saying US bad actions do turn equivalent RU bad actions good suddenly.
10:19 AM · Jun 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1671874173973696512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What some other random people say or do has no bearing on what's true (or false), on what's good (or bad) ffs
2:33 PM · Jun 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What some other random people say or do has no bearing on what's true (or false), on what's good (or bad) ffs
2:33 PM · Jun 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1670969212146155525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the obverse: becomes more true the more people act as if it were not true.
2:37 AM · Jun 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and the obverse: becomes more true the more people act as if it were not true.
2:37 AM · Jun 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1669681843296149505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Baffled by the branding of the Banja Luka brewery: why call your lager "baraba" - as in "ruffian" or "thug" after "Barabbas was a criminal who was released instead of Jesus Christ". Is the brewery after the semi/criminals market??
1:22 PM · Jun 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Baffled by the branding of the Banja Luka brewery: why call your lager "baraba" - as in "ruffian" or "thug" after "Barabbas was a criminal who was released instead of Jesus Christ". Is the brewery after the semi/criminals market??
1:22 PM · Jun 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1666852338131255297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CEEurope position v.v. Russia is similar to Israel (v.v. Arab neighbours) or NKorea (v.v. USA) - living next to an unfriendly giant. CEEurope countries need their own nuclear deterrent - no way around that. If Israel in the '70-ies could do it - so can Poland now 50 yrs latter.
5:59 PM · Jun 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
CEEurope position v.v. Russia is similar to Israel (v.v. Arab neighbours) or NKorea (v.v. USA) - living next to an unfriendly giant. CEEurope countries need their own nuclear deterrent - no way around that. If Israel in the '70-ies could do it - so can Poland now 50 yrs latter.
5:59 PM · Jun 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1666843470131081220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Кога оди работата напред оди 😆 сама и за сите -
https://twitter.com/DanielKral1/status/1656571335005331458
Им падна секирата во мед 🍯 имаат среќа (што се по- западно северно), ама имаат и памет и сами си ја правеа среќата 🤞
Quote
Daniel Kral @DanielKral1 · May 11
Eurozone's latest member, Croatia, is another South European recent economic success story. GDP is up by 10% compared to Q4 2019 and the pre-covid trend (real goods exports are up 60%!), government posted a budget surplus and public debt has been on a rapid decline. Impressive!
5:23 PM · Jun 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Кога оди работата напред оди 😆 сама и за сите -
https://twitter.com/DanielKral1/status/1656571335005331458
Им падна секирата во мед 🍯 имаат среќа (што се по- западно северно), ама имаат и памет и сами си ја правеа среќата 🤞
Quote
Daniel Kral @DanielKral1 · May 11
Eurozone's latest member, Croatia, is another South European recent economic success story. GDP is up by 10% compared to Q4 2019 and the pre-covid trend (real goods exports are up 60%!), government posted a budget surplus and public debt has been on a rapid decline. Impressive!
5:23 PM · Jun 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1655492224941957124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ by @blair_fix ? Excellent imo - the genesis of it, the dissection of the blunder, hilarious that the 1st D-K-ed people were D&K.
economicsfromthetopdown.com
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
9:37 AM · May 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ by @blair_fix ? Excellent imo - the genesis of it, the dissection of the blunder, hilarious that the 1st D-K-ed people were D&K.
economicsfromthetopdown.com
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
9:37 AM · May 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1656767012675153922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I switched to zstd for 1) speed 2) multicore support by default 3) has --rsyncable to create rsync-friendly compressed files.
Also sometimes handy to $ zstd -c file1 >file.zst; zstd -c file2 >>file.zst, then $ zstd -dc file.zst will produce the $ cat file{1,2} .
10:03 PM · May 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I switched to zstd for 1) speed 2) multicore support by default 3) has --rsyncable to create rsync-friendly compressed files.
Also sometimes handy to $ zstd -c file1 >file.zst; zstd -c file2 >>file.zst, then $ zstd -dc file.zst will produce the $ cat file{1,2} .
10:03 PM · May 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1661488679209119744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now we know it was a mistake to give them up. Poland not developing them is a similar mistake. Given the trajectory of travel and the size of RUS, all of CEU should go in Israel/NKorea mode and assume only nuclear deterrent can save them from invasion by the gigantic neighbor.
10:45 PM · May 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now we know it was a mistake to give them up. Poland not developing them is a similar mistake. Given the trajectory of travel and the size of RUS, all of CEU should go in Israel/NKorea mode and assume only nuclear deterrent can save them from invasion by the gigantic neighbor.
10:45 PM · May 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1660543236379648003
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
> ‘What the proprietorship of these papers is aiming at is power, and power without responsibility – the prerogative of the harlot through the ages.’
> Papers came to be above the law. Through the 1990s and the 2000s they bribed, hacked, intruded, victimised & blackmailed.
Quote
We "get it."
@Sonnet_Lumiere · May 20
This article should be retweeted until your fingers bleed.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
> ‘What the proprietorship of these papers is aiming at is power, and power without responsibility – the prerogative of the harlot through the ages.’
> Papers came to be above the law. Through the 1990s and the 2000s they bribed, hacked, intruded, victimised & blackmailed.
Quote
We "get it."
@Sonnet_Lumiere · May 20
This article should be retweeted until your fingers bleed.
Something is wrong with this country and it is something very big.
It will take an act of great courage by the whole country to call it to account – Byline Times
👇👇👇👇
1/2 https://bylinetimes.com/2023/05/18/its-not-the-economy-stupid-its-the-press/
8:08 AM · May 22, 2023
It will take an act of great courage by the whole country to call it to account – Byline Times
👇👇👇👇
1/2 https://bylinetimes.com/2023/05/18/its-not-the-economy-stupid-its-the-press/
8:08 AM · May 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1658035337367547909
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH talk about a system of social organisation without nailing down 1) the size of the organisation, the number of people organised; 2) qualities important Re:org people import in via their culture; - strikes me as unlikely to be productive, or worse.
10:03 AM · May 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH talk about a system of social organisation without nailing down 1) the size of the organisation, the number of people organised; 2) qualities important Re:org people import in via their culture; - strikes me as unlikely to be productive, or worse.
10:03 AM · May 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653393414145048581
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c they benefit. We all benefit off pple that instead working&earning £££ decide to spend 3-4yrs paid £0 to learn useful stuff that will keep giving in the next 20-30 yrs. Like investment in machinery - upfront cost, followed by long term gain that cumulates to outweigh the cost
2:38 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c they benefit. We all benefit off pple that instead working&earning £££ decide to spend 3-4yrs paid £0 to learn useful stuff that will keep giving in the next 20-30 yrs. Like investment in machinery - upfront cost, followed by long term gain that cumulates to outweigh the cost
2:38 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653397654099877892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That does not contradict "we all benefit". Even if to us it seems we did it all ourselves, objectively we are tiny actors in a giant ecosystem sustaining us. IT (and quant trading 😁) consultants in Somalia are non-existant or paid fraction of what we are. Reason why talent moves
2:54 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That does not contradict "we all benefit". Even if to us it seems we did it all ourselves, objectively we are tiny actors in a giant ecosystem sustaining us. IT (and quant trading 😁) consultants in Somalia are non-existant or paid fraction of what we are. Reason why talent moves
2:54 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1655284695377010690
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do USD enter the Brasil domestic banking system? How can Brasil CB hold USD in their own system? That seems impossible to me. l'd expect Brasil CB to have an account at the NY Fed and the USD earned by a Brazil export Co that wants to repatriate the income to end in that acc
7:53 PM · May 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do USD enter the Brasil domestic banking system? How can Brasil CB hold USD in their own system? That seems impossible to me. l'd expect Brasil CB to have an account at the NY Fed and the USD earned by a Brazil export Co that wants to repatriate the income to end in that acc
7:53 PM · May 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1659169837015265283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totalno ne-eticno, ne-profesionalno, pa i ne-moralno. A zakonski - veruvam dozvoleno, veruvam deka nema nekoj zakon sto moze da zabrani.
1:11 PM · May 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totalno ne-eticno, ne-profesionalno, pa i ne-moralno. A zakonski - veruvam dozvoleno, veruvam deka nema nekoj zakon sto moze da zabrani.
1:11 PM · May 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1659252336722575377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? Jas ne napisav "treba da se zabrani". Fwiw jas mislam deka 1) ne e zabraneto 2) ne moze da se zabrani 3) ne treba da se zabrani.
6:39 PM · May 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? Jas ne napisav "treba da se zabrani". Fwiw jas mislam deka 1) ne e zabraneto 2) ne moze da se zabrani 3) ne treba da se zabrani.
6:39 PM · May 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653401858470191105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Traveling with kids was great. Crestfallen they don't travel with me anymore. Kids are better in every way than old people TBH. Oldies - not only our bodies decline, but sadly & even more unfortunate, our souls and brains are going too. Unable, scared, selfish - not good.
3:11 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatt?? Traveling with kids was great. Crestfallen they don't travel with me anymore. Kids are better in every way than old people TBH. Oldies - not only our bodies decline, but sadly & even more unfortunate, our souls and brains are going too. Unable, scared, selfish - not good.
3:11 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653347072102244352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another boomers' gift. Boomer generation is the worst generation. Were given everything, used up everything, drew the ladders prior gens put up for them behind, hobbled and disadvantaged generations after themselves. We are stuck with them for some time yet sadly.
11:33 AM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another boomers' gift. Boomer generation is the worst generation. Were given everything, used up everything, drew the ladders prior gens put up for them behind, hobbled and disadvantaged generations after themselves. We are stuck with them for some time yet sadly.
11:33 AM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652925308956299269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite imho. I think of it like 1) where quantity is large enough (this cond is necessary but not sufficient) and becomes new quality 2) thus this new quality becomes a new dimension in the phenomenon investigated, so my observations data from N-dim vectors become (N+1)-dim.
7:37 AM · May 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not quite imho. I think of it like 1) where quantity is large enough (this cond is necessary but not sufficient) and becomes new quality 2) thus this new quality becomes a new dimension in the phenomenon investigated, so my observations data from N-dim vectors become (N+1)-dim.
7:37 AM · May 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1661427470002782208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH one needs to tally up all that are USofA assets on the credit side of the national ledger for a fair comparison.
6:42 PM · May 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH one needs to tally up all that are USofA assets on the credit side of the national ledger for a fair comparison.
6:42 PM · May 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653416915077824512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Epizoda iz horora "goloruki narod odgovorio vatrom" 😱
4:11 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Epizoda iz horora "goloruki narod odgovorio vatrom" 😱
4:11 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1655835906169876480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c good portion of humanity are cretins, so being able to string together 1000s of code lines into a running program that does something useful is above the capabilities of 99% of us.
8:23 AM · May 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c good portion of humanity are cretins, so being able to string together 1000s of code lines into a running program that does something useful is above the capabilities of 99% of us.
8:23 AM · May 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653448654454128646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas 53yo - da, se vakciniram pak, za mene se isplati. Decata (2x yo) denes ne gi vakciniraat vo UK. Mislam izbroija +va/-va, i za 20yo rizikot e ist, i od kovid i od vakcina, zaklucivme nisto ne dobivaat so vakcina. Sistemot na NHS za sledenje i broenje se vika Yellow Card.
6:17 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jas 53yo - da, se vakciniram pak, za mene se isplati. Decata (2x yo) denes ne gi vakciniraat vo UK. Mislam izbroija +va/-va, i za 20yo rizikot e ist, i od kovid i od vakcina, zaklucivme nisto ne dobivaat so vakcina. Sistemot na NHS za sledenje i broenje se vika Yellow Card.
6:17 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653462262458269715
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас примив #1 и #2 Астразенека, а #3 беше Фајзер. Децата мислам беа Фајзер #1 и #2. Сеедно несаканите ефекти се логираат во Yellow card системот, матичен лекар + пациент пишуваат пријава. Секои 2-4 недели имаше јавен извештај објава колку и какви изброиле. Едно време ги следев.
7:11 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Јас примив #1 и #2 Астразенека, а #3 беше Фајзер. Децата мислам беа Фајзер #1 и #2. Сеедно несаканите ефекти се логираат во Yellow card системот, матичен лекар + пациент пишуваат пријава. Секои 2-4 недели имаше јавен извештај објава колку и какви изброиле. Едно време ги следев.
7:11 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1656209395917680641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatttt?? Are you telling us we can't have it both ways?? 🤪🤡😜 What next - are you going to ask us to spend 5 mins thinking before "expressing ourselves"? 😱 Minds blown, 🤯 melted etc etc
9:07 AM · May 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whatttt?? Are you telling us we can't have it both ways?? 🤪🤡😜 What next - are you going to ask us to spend 5 mins thinking before "expressing ourselves"? 😱 Minds blown, 🤯 melted etc etc
9:07 AM · May 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1656964693045510146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
https://ft.com/content/62f33a53-05b8-4f3b-b381-5e5f5fad9977
In Chrome google search for "Serbia stalls plan to ease citizenship rules for Russians amid EU backlash", the 1st link will be the article, click on it, the firewall may let you through this 1 time.
ft.com
Serbia stalls plan to ease citizenship rules for Russians amid EU backlash
Brussels threatens to suspend Belgrade’s visa-free regime if passport rules create ‘security risk’
11:09 AM · May 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
https://ft.com/content/62f33a53-05b8-4f3b-b381-5e5f5fad9977
In Chrome google search for "Serbia stalls plan to ease citizenship rules for Russians amid EU backlash", the 1st link will be the article, click on it, the firewall may let you through this 1 time.
ft.com
Serbia stalls plan to ease citizenship rules for Russians amid EU backlash
Brussels threatens to suspend Belgrade’s visa-free regime if passport rules create ‘security risk’
11:09 AM · May 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1657750021385732099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Operating within government imposed limits == throttling the opposition while amplifying the government. That's poor positioning. Stick to your guns don't compromise - either everything or nothing. Let Twitter be blocked in TR, and announce loudly and repeatedly what is going on.
3:09 PM · May 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Operating within government imposed limits == throttling the opposition while amplifying the government. That's poor positioning. Stick to your guns don't compromise - either everything or nothing. Let Twitter be blocked in TR, and announce loudly and repeatedly what is going on.
3:09 PM · May 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653408106863382529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Mama`s Last Hug" (od De Waal) epten ubavo raskazuva i kako sme slicni, i kako sme razlicni. Vojna i genocid c.f. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gombe_Chimpanzee_War. Interesna teza (zaboraviv cija) zasto kaj lugeto dominira patrijarhat - poveke beta-males se zdruzija i go otepaa ubija toj edniot alpha-male
en.wikipedia.org
Gombe Chimpanzee War - Wikipedia
3:36 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Mama`s Last Hug" (od De Waal) epten ubavo raskazuva i kako sme slicni, i kako sme razlicni. Vojna i genocid c.f. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gombe_Chimpanzee_War. Interesna teza (zaboraviv cija) zasto kaj lugeto dominira patrijarhat - poveke beta-males se zdruzija i go otepaa ubija toj edniot alpha-male
en.wikipedia.org
Gombe Chimpanzee War - Wikipedia
3:36 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653425961214398472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku razbrav dosega od diskusiite (kulturnite vojni stignaa i do mene) - kaj nas vo UK razlikuvame: 1) sex; i 2) gender. I ukrsteno so toa imame: 3) kako jas se cuvstvuvam; i 4) kako jas sakam da, i kako drugite me, gledaat (i tretiraat) mene.
4:47 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kolku razbrav dosega od diskusiite (kulturnite vojni stignaa i do mene) - kaj nas vo UK razlikuvame: 1) sex; i 2) gender. I ukrsteno so toa imame: 3) kako jas se cuvstvuvam; i 4) kako jas sakam da, i kako drugite me, gledaat (i tretiraat) mene.
4:47 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653454013235331097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mi lici VS zboris za #4, kolku razbrav MN zbori za #1+#2 ili mozebi samo za #2 (i misli #1 ne postoi). Vo UK #1 i #2 se prifateni dolgo vreme, #1 momentalno go sporat del trans-aktivisti (tvrdat ne postoi), #3 nikoj ne spori, borbata na mislenja e za #4 vklucitelno v.v. #1 i #2.
6:38 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mi lici VS zboris za #4, kolku razbrav MN zbori za #1+#2 ili mozebi samo za #2 (i misli #1 ne postoi). Vo UK #1 i #2 se prifateni dolgo vreme, #1 momentalno go sporat del trans-aktivisti (tvrdat ne postoi), #3 nikoj ne spori, borbata na mislenja e za #4 vklucitelno v.v. #1 i #2.
6:38 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1654948791307366401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, amerikancite otskoknaa. I porano bea podobri, ama poslednive 3-4 god se napravi pogolema razlika. Da se zamisli covek dali da se seli/emigrira po vtor pat. Alternativa e remote rabotenje za amerikanska firma od UK (mozebi kako kontraktor), parcijalno ili full remote.
9:38 PM · May 6, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, amerikancite otskoknaa. I porano bea podobri, ama poslednive 3-4 god se napravi pogolema razlika. Da se zamisli covek dali da se seli/emigrira po vtor pat. Alternativa e remote rabotenje za amerikanska firma od UK (mozebi kako kontraktor), parcijalno ili full remote.
9:38 PM · May 6, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1656248149088821256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - I see Nuhfer paper's referenced. Another one for "science advances funeral by funeral", "no one ever changes their mind/new people with fresh minds needed". Depressing.
11:41 AM · May 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah - I see Nuhfer paper's referenced. Another one for "science advances funeral by funeral", "no one ever changes their mind/new people with fresh minds needed". Depressing.
11:41 AM · May 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1662105026997649408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izgleda taka e - po statistika sto ja dava Bard. (me mrzi da guglam da proveruvam)
3:34 PM · May 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Izgleda taka e - po statistika sto ja dava Bard. (me mrzi da guglam da proveruvam)
3:34 PM · May 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653402835919183872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - blown away 🤯 by the conversation, thank you 🙏 for being so open minded yourself.
3:15 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - blown away 🤯 by the conversation, thank you 🙏 for being so open minded yourself.
3:15 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1656244219046928387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The above and more and also nicely and patiently explained in https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ by
@blair_fix
economicsfromthetopdown.com
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
11:26 AM · May 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The above and more and also nicely and patiently explained in https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ by
@blair_fix
economicsfromthetopdown.com
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
11:26 AM · May 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1658083354275659776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... loved it, but also saw a companion/relevant video kindly suggested by the YT algo
youtube.com
The Delayed Choice Quantum Eraser, Debunked
Check out the math & physics courses that I mentioned (many of which are free!) and support this channel by going to https://brilliant.org/Sabine/ where you ...
1:14 PM · May 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... loved it, but also saw a companion/relevant video kindly suggested by the YT algo
youtube.com
The Delayed Choice Quantum Eraser, Debunked
Check out the math & physics courses that I mentioned (many of which are free!) and support this channel by going to https://brilliant.org/Sabine/ where you ...
1:14 PM · May 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653420281585696771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sweet summer child. We'll get dozen of regional wars immediately, 2+ with a potential to grow into WW3. Wars have logic&momentum of their own, not easy for pple at peace to internalize. US mainland not been at war for a long time. You are uniquely ill equipped to forecast tbh
4:24 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sweet summer child. We'll get dozen of regional wars immediately, 2+ with a potential to grow into WW3. Wars have logic&momentum of their own, not easy for pple at peace to internalize. US mainland not been at war for a long time. You are uniquely ill equipped to forecast tbh
4:24 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653412563416150016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I trust Khan Academy will crack the Bloom's 2-sigma conundrum, and suspect AI enabled tools will be the tools/paths taken. Bloom2sigma is the top problem of humanity TBH, the ultimate meta-problem if you would, the humanity faces. Keep chiseling at it - you'll do it! 👍👏🙏
3:54 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I trust Khan Academy will crack the Bloom's 2-sigma conundrum, and suspect AI enabled tools will be the tools/paths taken. Bloom2sigma is the top problem of humanity TBH, the ultimate meta-problem if you would, the humanity faces. Keep chiseling at it - you'll do it! 👍👏🙏
3:54 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1658408619992403968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary, the sanctions are working - the total cash income earned by RUS is down, the volume of oil exported is up.
10:46 AM · May 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary, the sanctions are working - the total cash income earned by RUS is down, the volume of oil exported is up.
10:46 AM · May 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1661414831201697800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@freddiesayers You do understand that we got to this point by rewarding Putin for the 2014 Crimea seizure + provinces proxy wars with NS2 & Bs Eur p.a. If he's rewarded now with UKR then by 2030 he will take Moldova (easy) then Baltics then Poland, leading to a real nuclear WW3.
Quote
Gabriel Milland @gabrielmilland · May 24
"All I want is peace!
"A little piece of Poland. A little piece of France.
"A little piece of Czechoslavakia perchance." twitter.com/J_Bloodworth/s…
https://twitter.com/J_Bloodworth/status/1661344665046491136
5:52 PM · May 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@freddiesayers You do understand that we got to this point by rewarding Putin for the 2014 Crimea seizure + provinces proxy wars with NS2 & Bs Eur p.a. If he's rewarded now with UKR then by 2030 he will take Moldova (easy) then Baltics then Poland, leading to a real nuclear WW3.
Quote
Gabriel Milland @gabrielmilland · May 24
"All I want is peace!
"A little piece of Poland. A little piece of France.
"A little piece of Czechoslavakia perchance." twitter.com/J_Bloodworth/s…
https://twitter.com/J_Bloodworth/status/1661344665046491136
5:52 PM · May 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1655492224941957124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ by @blair_fix ? Excellent imo - the genesis of it, the dissection of the blunder, hilarious that the 1st D-K-ed people were D&K.
economicsfromthetopdown.com
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
9:37 AM · May 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/ by @blair_fix ? Excellent imo - the genesis of it, the dissection of the blunder, hilarious that the 1st D-K-ed people were D&K.
economicsfromthetopdown.com
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
9:37 AM · May 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1656767012675153922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I switched to zstd for 1) speed 2) multicore support by default 3) has --rsyncable to create rsync-friendly compressed files.
Also sometimes handy to $ zstd -c file1 >file.zst; zstd -c file2 >>file.zst, then $ zstd -dc file.zst will produce the $ cat file{1,2} .
10:03 PM · May 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I switched to zstd for 1) speed 2) multicore support by default 3) has --rsyncable to create rsync-friendly compressed files.
Also sometimes handy to $ zstd -c file1 >file.zst; zstd -c file2 >>file.zst, then $ zstd -dc file.zst will produce the $ cat file{1,2} .
10:03 PM · May 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1661488679209119744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now we know it was a mistake to give them up. Poland not developing them is a similar mistake. Given the trajectory of travel and the size of RUS, all of CEU should go in Israel/NKorea mode and assume only nuclear deterrent can save them from invasion by the gigantic neighbor.
10:45 PM · May 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now we know it was a mistake to give them up. Poland not developing them is a similar mistake. Given the trajectory of travel and the size of RUS, all of CEU should go in Israel/NKorea mode and assume only nuclear deterrent can save them from invasion by the gigantic neighbor.
10:45 PM · May 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1658414481549000705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos - imo excellent reporting. I knew nothing about the SA plight in this respect before watching this video. Esp liked it how you cover events at 3 horizons - immediate, short term, long term, and all while in a short clip (that turns out to be "just right" for me). Thank you
11:09 AM · May 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kudos - imo excellent reporting. I knew nothing about the SA plight in this respect before watching this video. Esp liked it how you cover events at 3 horizons - immediate, short term, long term, and all while in a short clip (that turns out to be "just right" for me). Thank you
11:09 AM · May 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653759628671328256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly the opposite - Gov employees know (correctly) that their $$$ comes from the Gov. Possibly they may not completely internalize that the valuable goods and services those $$$ are exchanged for come from the private and the public sector, stuff other people actually create.
2:53 PM · May 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly the opposite - Gov employees know (correctly) that their $$$ comes from the Gov. Possibly they may not completely internalize that the valuable goods and services those $$$ are exchanged for come from the private and the public sector, stuff other people actually create.
2:53 PM · May 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653729678320889859
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OFC not. They earn their living by producing words - web/paper news can't be published as empty pages. Finding and speaking truths is but an impossible task for the (old) media given its structure with commercial and time pressures, subscription favoring partisanship etc.
12:54 PM · May 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OFC not. They earn their living by producing words - web/paper news can't be published as empty pages. Finding and speaking truths is but an impossible task for the (old) media given its structure with commercial and time pressures, subscription favoring partisanship etc.
12:54 PM · May 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652786644867592193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Generalised to form vs. function. Dominants opinion is if good/bad form, then good/bad function. But there's a minority opinion that too great a form is to deceive & mask a poor function. In the extreme end - some think if poor form then great function. That seems crazy to me.
10:26 PM · Apr 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Generalised to form vs. function. Dominants opinion is if good/bad form, then good/bad function. But there's a minority opinion that too great a form is to deceive & mask a poor function. In the extreme end - some think if poor form then great function. That seems crazy to me.
10:26 PM · Apr 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653158828823703554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the usual course of action, with the usual consequences, happens every cycle. We don't know when, but we know what will happen, in the losening-tightening cycle. Don't see why anyone would be surprised
11:05 PM · May 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the usual course of action, with the usual consequences, happens every cycle. We don't know when, but we know what will happen, in the losening-tightening cycle. Don't see why anyone would be surprised
11:05 PM · May 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653066459071803394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekade vidov - the Narcissist’s Prayer: that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, that's not a big deal; & if it is, that's not my fault (& some big boys made me do it); & if it was, I didn't mean it; & if I did, you deserved it.
4:58 PM · May 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nekade vidov - the Narcissist’s Prayer: that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, that's not a big deal; & if it is, that's not my fault (& some big boys made me do it); & if it was, I didn't mean it; & if I did, you deserved it.
4:58 PM · May 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653104748050931733
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, таке е - и точно дека (до некој степен) нарцисоидни социопати се успешни и го владеат светот. Ако претераат ќе ги уништат сите врски со луѓето околу себе - ама тие се неуспешните. Успешните не претеруваат и имаат успех во кариерата, заработка и сл.
7:30 PM · May 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, таке е - и точно дека (до некој степен) нарцисоидни социопати се успешни и го владеат светот. Ако претераат ќе ги уништат сите врски со луѓето околу себе - ама тие се неуспешните. Успешните не претеруваат и имаат успех во кариерата, заработка и сл.
7:30 PM · May 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652734396229640193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My UK naturalization experience (2008) was very positive. I didn't even dislike the "Life in the UK" test for the trivia it contained (like a pub quiz) - except cramming it was a minor chore. The ceremony was lead by a Sheriff wearing robes and a gong 😁 - so that was good too.
6:59 PM · Apr 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My UK naturalization experience (2008) was very positive. I didn't even dislike the "Life in the UK" test for the trivia it contained (like a pub quiz) - except cramming it was a minor chore. The ceremony was lead by a Sheriff wearing robes and a gong 😁 - so that was good too.
6:59 PM · Apr 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652607915788759040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Brzo vrti telefoni javi im se da im kazes kako treba, sigurno ne im teknalo. Tolku dobar sovet ke im dades ("alo? da! - pola vo makedonska, pola vo kineska banka"), da ke te zeme oligarhot za sovetnik, ke se zbogatis ke zivees na jahti i sl. 😂😂😂 Fala ti za smeskive.
10:36 AM · Apr 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Brzo vrti telefoni javi im se da im kazes kako treba, sigurno ne im teknalo. Tolku dobar sovet ke im dades ("alo? da! - pola vo makedonska, pola vo kineska banka"), da ke te zeme oligarhot za sovetnik, ke se zbogatis ke zivees na jahti i sl. 😂😂😂 Fala ti za smeskive.
10:36 AM · Apr 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652628710913196035
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂😂 Brzo vrti telefon da im kazes na ruskive oligarsi, sigurno i ruskive oligarsi zaboravile, ne im teknuva, zatoa gresat, ne te slusaat tebe, ti si zapamtil, drugive zaboravile, breeej katastrofa sto lesno moze da izbegne. 🤣🤣🤣 Fala ti na besplatnite soveti.
11:59 AM · Apr 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂😂 Brzo vrti telefon da im kazes na ruskive oligarsi, sigurno i ruskive oligarsi zaboravile, ne im teknuva, zatoa gresat, ne te slusaat tebe, ti si zapamtil, drugive zaboravile, breeej katastrofa sto lesno moze da izbegne. 🤣🤣🤣 Fala ti na besplatnite soveti.
11:59 AM · Apr 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652965808753070080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lici deka nema da go izgradat, ni ovie ni drugite po niv. Razni fantazii, stravovi i sekakvi drugi budalastini vo glavite se posilni od zelbata da se vozat po avtopat. Se drugo povazno od toa, da pravat gradat e posledno mesto na lista na prioriteti, rezultat e toa sto gledame.
10:18 AM · May 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lici deka nema da go izgradat, ni ovie ni drugite po niv. Razni fantazii, stravovi i sekakvi drugi budalastini vo glavite se posilni od zelbata da se vozat po avtopat. Se drugo povazno od toa, da pravat gradat e posledno mesto na lista na prioriteti, rezultat e toa sto gledame.
10:18 AM · May 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652600427303649280
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆😆 Ме насмеа - тие ултра-богати руси кои се ајкули во се што е бизнис, малку е веројатно дека "не им текнало" да ги стават парите во кинеска или македонска банка. (да свртам телефон да ги потсетам 😆) Си имаат причини за- и против-, си извагале и одлучиле како што одлучиле.
10:07 AM · Apr 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆😆 Ме насмеа - тие ултра-богати руси кои се ајкули во се што е бизнис, малку е веројатно дека "не им текнало" да ги стават парите во кинеска или македонска банка. (да свртам телефон да ги потсетам 😆) Си имаат причини за- и против-, си извагале и одлучиле како што одлучиле.
10:07 AM · Apr 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653340692989505537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Super kniga. Od Mark Mazower e i "The Balkans A Short History" stvarno kusa "to the point" so najvaznite - od denesen aspekt - raboti. Za grckata nacionalna revolucija ima "The Greek Revolution 1821 and the Making of Modern Europe". Za Evropa ima poveke, na pr "Dark continent"
11:08 AM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 Super kniga. Od Mark Mazower e i "The Balkans A Short History" stvarno kusa "to the point" so najvaznite - od denesen aspekt - raboti. Za grckata nacionalna revolucija ima "The Greek Revolution 1821 and the Making of Modern Europe". Za Evropa ima poveke, na pr "Dark continent"
11:08 AM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652591262095093761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тоа точно - нивно е, го користат за цели стриктно неповрзани со трговија. Еве и Јелен (екс Централна Ванка) приметила 😆
http://web.archive.org/web/20230427202930/https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/04/27/the-power-and-the-limits-of-the-american-dollar
Како со социјалните мрежи - многу незадоволни, тешко да земе тракција некоја алтернатива. Алтернативите се уште полоши изгледа.
web.archive.org
The power and the limits of the American dollar
The greenback is still king. But those who want to evade it are finding ways to do so
9:30 AM · Apr 30, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тоа точно - нивно е, го користат за цели стриктно неповрзани со трговија. Еве и Јелен (екс Централна Ванка) приметила 😆
http://web.archive.org/web/20230427202930/https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/04/27/the-power-and-the-limits-of-the-american-dollar
Како со социјалните мрежи - многу незадоволни, тешко да земе тракција некоја алтернатива. Алтернативите се уште полоши изгледа.
web.archive.org
The power and the limits of the American dollar
The greenback is still king. But those who want to evade it are finding ways to do so
9:30 AM · Apr 30, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1653355830593351681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesno, fala. Izgleda BBC serijata e "Edwardians in Colour: The Wonderful World of Albert Kahn" https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/b007nfn8/episodes/guide, a epizodata "Europe on the Brink" izgleda e na YT del 1 https://youtube.com/watch?v=nWeU5OexIls i del 2 https://youtube.com/watch?v=3-J5XptDYGY.
The Edwardians In Colour - 03 - Europe on the Brink (PART 2)
EDWARDIANS IN COLOUR: THE WONDERFUL WORLD OF ALBERT KAHNBBC Two: The full series starts Friday 16 November 2007 7.30pm-8pmThe Archive of the Planet was the b...
12:08 PM · May 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesno, fala. Izgleda BBC serijata e "Edwardians in Colour: The Wonderful World of Albert Kahn" https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/b007nfn8/episodes/guide, a epizodata "Europe on the Brink" izgleda e na YT del 1 https://youtube.com/watch?v=nWeU5OexIls i del 2 https://youtube.com/watch?v=3-J5XptDYGY.
The Edwardians In Colour - 03 - Europe on the Brink (PART 2)
EDWARDIANS IN COLOUR: THE WONDERFUL WORLD OF ALBERT KAHNBBC Two: The full series starts Friday 16 November 2007 7.30pm-8pmThe Archive of the Planet was the b...
12:08 PM · May 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629182203618787328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - liberty is the metric to optimize for
> US has routed many benefits through employers rather than providing them publicly, but universal systems are superior both in terms of minimizing the burden on business and maximizing individual freedom, two key liberal goals.
Quote Tweet
Matthew Downhour - Substack “Apply Liberally” @MatthewDownhour · Feb 24
The problem I think is she’s trying to say all jobs are skilled so all workers deserve benefits. But that’s the wrong approach - withers shouldn’t need to get benefits through their employer at all! https://liberalcurrents.com/universal-benefits-more-liberal-and-more-efficient-than-employer-benefits/
Show this thread
6:11 PM · Feb 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - liberty is the metric to optimize for
> US has routed many benefits through employers rather than providing them publicly, but universal systems are superior both in terms of minimizing the burden on business and maximizing individual freedom, two key liberal goals.
Quote Tweet
Matthew Downhour - Substack “Apply Liberally” @MatthewDownhour · Feb 24
The problem I think is she’s trying to say all jobs are skilled so all workers deserve benefits. But that’s the wrong approach - withers shouldn’t need to get benefits through their employer at all! https://liberalcurrents.com/universal-benefits-more-liberal-and-more-efficient-than-employer-benefits/
Show this thread
6:11 PM · Feb 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629099624811180034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Somewhat sloppy that --preserve=all (or even -a) is not the default for the $ cp command. When I say "copy this file" I almost never mean "copy just the data/content but do not copy the metadata ignore it". Thankful for bash aliases that fix that, heh.
12:43 PM · Feb 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Somewhat sloppy that --preserve=all (or even -a) is not the default for the $ cp command. When I say "copy this file" I almost never mean "copy just the data/content but do not copy the metadata ignore it". Thankful for bash aliases that fix that, heh.
12:43 PM · Feb 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1625486993881812992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
RUS did it not Putin. Notable against zero baseline, no biggie against sane reasonable one (graph). Imperial war of territorial conquest with a side aim of extinguishing a culture wouldn't be the genocidal hill I'd itch to die on, but hey to each its own.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-per-capita-worldbank?tab=chart&country=OWID_WRL~BWA~CHN~IND~ALB~European+Union~RUS~UKR~GBR~USA~CHE~POL
GDP PPP per capita 1990-2020 various countries, from Our World in Data
1:27 PM · Feb 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
RUS did it not Putin. Notable against zero baseline, no biggie against sane reasonable one (graph). Imperial war of territorial conquest with a side aim of extinguishing a culture wouldn't be the genocidal hill I'd itch to die on, but hey to each its own.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-per-capita-worldbank?tab=chart&country=OWID_WRL~BWA~CHN~IND~ALB~European+Union~RUS~UKR~GBR~USA~CHE~POL
GDP PPP per capita 1990-2020 various countries, from Our World in Data
1:27 PM · Feb 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1624787150377046018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are living through the golden age of science communication and education. And the medium of choice is YouTube - who'd have thunk it 20 years ago?? 1/2
"Relativity & The Equivalence of Reference Frames" by
@cosmichillarays
youtube.com
Breakthrough Junior Challenge 2017 | Relativity & The Equivalence of...
The core concept of relativity is interesting in that it shatters the singularity in perspective that we have become accustomed to. Watch the video to learn ...
3:06 PM · Feb 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are living through the golden age of science communication and education. And the medium of choice is YouTube - who'd have thunk it 20 years ago?? 1/2
"Relativity & The Equivalence of Reference Frames" by
@cosmichillarays
youtube.com
Breakthrough Junior Challenge 2017 | Relativity & The Equivalence of...
The core concept of relativity is interesting in that it shatters the singularity in perspective that we have become accustomed to. Watch the video to learn ...
3:06 PM · Feb 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1626899873252495362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
New miracles - on par with walking on water, turning water to wine etc - performed daily, to no great acclaim. Had the doctors been footballers on the other hand...
>1st UK child to receive gene therapy for fatal genetic disorder is now 'happy and healthy'
livescience.com
1st UK child to receive gene therapy for fatal genetic disorder is now 'happy and healthy'
A baby with a rare inherited disorder became the first child in the U.K. to receive a new gene therapy for the condition.
11:02 AM · Feb 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
New miracles - on par with walking on water, turning water to wine etc - performed daily, to no great acclaim. Had the doctors been footballers on the other hand...
>1st UK child to receive gene therapy for fatal genetic disorder is now 'happy and healthy'
livescience.com
1st UK child to receive gene therapy for fatal genetic disorder is now 'happy and healthy'
A baby with a rare inherited disorder became the first child in the U.K. to receive a new gene therapy for the condition.
11:02 AM · Feb 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1627607252000468992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooofffff 😬 - cccccc vie ste kako Tatuin, smrznati. Ovde se nadevame go gledame grbot na zimata, doaga prolet - ura! 😊 Zima Ne - prolet Da! A uste podobro leto...
garden/office - summer coming, winter over
9:53 AM · Feb 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooofffff 😬 - cccccc vie ste kako Tatuin, smrznati. Ovde se nadevame go gledame grbot na zimata, doaga prolet - ura! 😊 Zima Ne - prolet Da! A uste podobro leto...
garden/office - summer coming, winter over
9:53 AM · Feb 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1627252313030000640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shape-shifting robot melts itself to escape lab jail
A shape-shifting robot that looks like a cross between a Lego figure and the T-1000 from Terminator 2 has been filmed melting itself to escape through the bars of a miniature jail cell.
@BBCNews
Robot at solid state and then when melted
bbc.co.uk
Shape-shifting robot melts itself to escape lab jail
Within minutes, the Lego-like figure is seen moving behind bars, then liquefying itself to freedom.
10:22 AM · Feb 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Shape-shifting robot melts itself to escape lab jail
A shape-shifting robot that looks like a cross between a Lego figure and the T-1000 from Terminator 2 has been filmed melting itself to escape through the bars of a miniature jail cell.
@BBCNews
Robot at solid state and then when melted
bbc.co.uk
Shape-shifting robot melts itself to escape lab jail
Within minutes, the Lego-like figure is seen moving behind bars, then liquefying itself to freedom.
10:22 AM · Feb 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1627973377800523776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... 23 (companies) provided financial data covering revenues ... revenue broadly stayed the same over the 6 trial months ... of the 61 companies that took part, 56 would continue with the four-day week, of whom 18 changed policy permanently"
by @BBCNews
Faye Johnson-Smith
bbc.co.uk
Firms stick to four-day week after trial ends
A trial involving nearly 3,000 workers has found working shorter hours makes staff happier and healthier.
10:07 AM · Feb 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... 23 (companies) provided financial data covering revenues ... revenue broadly stayed the same over the 6 trial months ... of the 61 companies that took part, 56 would continue with the four-day week, of whom 18 changed policy permanently"
by @BBCNews
Faye Johnson-Smith
bbc.co.uk
Firms stick to four-day week after trial ends
A trial involving nearly 3,000 workers has found working shorter hours makes staff happier and healthier.
10:07 AM · Feb 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1628047108665212931
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Full broadcast at https://bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001jg9x/politics-live-war-on-the-motorist
27min in. I'm all for 4dw, but have to wonder - do any in the studio realize what productivity as a measure is?? Given it's labor or earnings divided by time, having 0.8*time in the denominator will influence that measure for sure. :-)
bbc.co.uk
BBC Two - Politics Live, War on the Motorist?
Are car-free zones leading to a war on the motorist?
3:00 PM · Feb 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Full broadcast at https://bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001jg9x/politics-live-war-on-the-motorist
27min in. I'm all for 4dw, but have to wonder - do any in the studio realize what productivity as a measure is?? Given it's labor or earnings divided by time, having 0.8*time in the denominator will influence that measure for sure. :-)
bbc.co.uk
BBC Two - Politics Live, War on the Motorist?
Are car-free zones leading to a war on the motorist?
3:00 PM · Feb 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1625104021269753856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good news Wegovy is available - obesity is no laughing matter. But terrible framing @BBCNews
- what/are you thinking?? Presenting a serious health issue as celebrity gossip. Doubt you'll gain clicks/engagement @BBCNews
, but you lose karma (bit by bit).
woman looking in a mirror
bbc.co.uk
Wegovy weight loss jab to be sold by UK chemist shops
The once-a-week injection called Wegovy, said to be used by some celebrities, blunts appetite.
12:06 PM · Feb 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good news Wegovy is available - obesity is no laughing matter. But terrible framing @BBCNews
- what/are you thinking?? Presenting a serious health issue as celebrity gossip. Doubt you'll gain clicks/engagement @BBCNews
, but you lose karma (bit by bit).
woman looking in a mirror
bbc.co.uk
Wegovy weight loss jab to be sold by UK chemist shops
The once-a-week injection called Wegovy, said to be used by some celebrities, blunts appetite.
12:06 PM · Feb 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1627760186826817539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? Some people remember longer than just the past week. 😉 The very 1st books Amazon deleted from their customers' Kindles were delightfuly Orvel's 1984 and Animal Farm back in 2009. 😂😂
theregister.com
Amazon vanishes 1984 from citizen Kindles
Orwellian moment
8:00 PM · Feb 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? Some people remember longer than just the past week. 😉 The very 1st books Amazon deleted from their customers' Kindles were delightfuly Orvel's 1984 and Animal Farm back in 2009. 😂😂
theregister.com
Amazon vanishes 1984 from citizen Kindles
Orwellian moment
8:00 PM · Feb 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629196609589243906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes you are not following. The claim is not that CTO is clued up, but that an employee does not need to spend 3 days to recreate the said bash script from scratch, but can copy a prior version & spend 1 day modifying it to the new environment thus gaining 2 days in productivity.
7:08 PM · Feb 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes you are not following. The claim is not that CTO is clued up, but that an employee does not need to spend 3 days to recreate the said bash script from scratch, but can copy a prior version & spend 1 day modifying it to the new environment thus gaining 2 days in productivity.
7:08 PM · Feb 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629165213118341120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is stopping employees becoming shareholders atm, they can - buy shares easily in the company if public, buy from the owners direct if private. The idea is to prevent wastage of many years of man work due to person leaving the company and management being clueless.
5:03 PM · Feb 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one is stopping employees becoming shareholders atm, they can - buy shares easily in the company if public, buy from the owners direct if private. The idea is to prevent wastage of many years of man work due to person leaving the company and management being clueless.
5:03 PM · Feb 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1628695457764454400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Can only assume there was a miserable "hates himself until lunch, hates the entire world after lunch" mastermind - a few random decisions spiking it for generations to come - in addition to CR LF, we got slash (cmd line), back slash (path), CTRL-C (copy) thorns to suffer.
9:57 AM · Feb 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Can only assume there was a miserable "hates himself until lunch, hates the entire world after lunch" mastermind - a few random decisions spiking it for generations to come - in addition to CR LF, we got slash (cmd line), back slash (path), CTRL-C (copy) thorns to suffer.
9:57 AM · Feb 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1627594877746704384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, *the correct file manager interface* - lives on: Midnight Commander and Gnome Commander on linux, Total Commander on Android (and Windows?). Total Commander on Android makes my life much easier then it would be otherwise with the stock file manager (that seems brain dead).
9:03 AM · Feb 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, *the correct file manager interface* - lives on: Midnight Commander and Gnome Commander on linux, Total Commander on Android (and Windows?). Total Commander on Android makes my life much easier then it would be otherwise with the stock file manager (that seems brain dead).
9:03 AM · Feb 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623831065860218887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right. Given a post is written once but read many times, that's a great trade-off. It frees reader's time to read another post, and both posts have higher SNR than they would have had had they been longer. True even if yours' above reads more like a counter example. 😉😁
11:47 PM · Feb 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly right. Given a post is written once but read many times, that's a great trade-off. It frees reader's time to read another post, and both posts have higher SNR than they would have had had they been longer. True even if yours' above reads more like a counter example. 😉😁
11:47 PM · Feb 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623296962731642880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) If all existing examples were negative, then yes I'd change my opinion to "yeah, maybe can't be done cheaply despite prior knowledge & inherent advantage (density)". But with 2 positive examples (France, China), don't think it's beyond the means of men to learn from them.
12:25 PM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) If all existing examples were negative, then yes I'd change my opinion to "yeah, maybe can't be done cheaply despite prior knowledge & inherent advantage (density)". But with 2 positive examples (France, China), don't think it's beyond the means of men to learn from them.
12:25 PM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623294157958660099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, that's true - but then anything can be done badly. We don't plan on the assumption that we'll do our worst. Surely we must try for our best, no? Don't think cost's a strong argument against nuclear. This even before getting into the reasons for costs and howto address them.
12:14 PM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, that's true - but then anything can be done badly. We don't plan on the assumption that we'll do our worst. Surely we must try for our best, no? Don't think cost's a strong argument against nuclear. This even before getting into the reasons for costs and howto address them.
12:14 PM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623289293497155587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry to be a broken record but: the France argument again: :-) don't think their build up was especially costly. My take home message is - it can be done. Wrt R&D knowledge - UK build the 1st ever civil nuke for the electricity grid. Can do it - so just a question of will.
11:55 AM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry to be a broken record but: the France argument again: :-) don't think their build up was especially costly. My take home message is - it can be done. Wrt R&D knowledge - UK build the 1st ever civil nuke for the electricity grid. Can do it - so just a question of will.
11:55 AM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623312381173501954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - so private capital horizon may not be long enough, the regulations maybe too much and so on. Does not mean that public capital should not be invested. Almost every technology starts as being too risky or horizon being too long for private capital.
1:26 PM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - so private capital horizon may not be long enough, the regulations maybe too much and so on. Does not mean that public capital should not be invested. Almost every technology starts as being too risky or horizon being too long for private capital.
1:26 PM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1628750623318454278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No going back there, implicit compensation is not coming back. We need to change&adapt to the new reality e.g. some ideas https://youtube.com/watch?v=KOwm7GUjcg8&t=2320s
. Profit is the current measure, so part of socitety's profit from a new member has to flow to the parents to compensate them.
youtube.com
Grimes: Music, AI, and the Future of Humanity | Lex Fridman Podcast...
Grimes is a musician, artist, singer, songwriter, producer, and director. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:- Brave: https://brave.com...
1:36 PM · Feb 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No going back there, implicit compensation is not coming back. We need to change&adapt to the new reality e.g. some ideas https://youtube.com/watch?v=KOwm7GUjcg8&t=2320s
. Profit is the current measure, so part of socitety's profit from a new member has to flow to the parents to compensate them.
youtube.com
Grimes: Music, AI, and the Future of Humanity | Lex Fridman Podcast...
Grimes is a musician, artist, singer, songwriter, producer, and director. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:- Brave: https://brave.com...
1:36 PM · Feb 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629916936405393408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it is, but don't mention the M-word, for it gives palpitations to the econ-s. 😆 Identical explanation and also nicely drawn with hierarchical rings by @Suitpossum
at https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlWrwP1EaXMDKt9wAKjUL2pH&index=90&t=300
. IMO "hierarchical rings" is the right abstraction.
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
6:50 PM · Feb 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think it is, but don't mention the M-word, for it gives palpitations to the econ-s. 😆 Identical explanation and also nicely drawn with hierarchical rings by @Suitpossum
at https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlWrwP1EaXMDKt9wAKjUL2pH&index=90&t=300
. IMO "hierarchical rings" is the right abstraction.
youtube.com
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
6:50 PM · Feb 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1630252238152056832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I'd suspect cartel of private interests + gov capture 1st. In analogy to other sectors where a cozy cartel of 5-6 firms operates with impunity and extracts rents (e.g. house building). If anything - cutting the gov size (so to drown it in a bath - remember?) - enables this.
5:03 PM · Feb 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I'd suspect cartel of private interests + gov capture 1st. In analogy to other sectors where a cozy cartel of 5-6 firms operates with impunity and extracts rents (e.g. house building). If anything - cutting the gov size (so to drown it in a bath - remember?) - enables this.
5:03 PM · Feb 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629095621746388994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re: other habits: employees need to jointly own the IP. The .py scripts, derived data, reports etc you generate for FT should be jointly owned by yourself too. Companies squander person-eons of work routinely b/c executives deciding barely register what a git repository is.
12:27 PM · Feb 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re: other habits: employees need to jointly own the IP. The .py scripts, derived data, reports etc you generate for FT should be jointly owned by yourself too. Companies squander person-eons of work routinely b/c executives deciding barely register what a git repository is.
12:27 PM · Feb 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629814579441049600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only their ideology is stopping them, nothing else. Existing solar firms are too weak & small, their service is bad. Solar - when a battery or inverter fails, it's weeks of calls (and this under warranty!). "Public provider of last resort" needed for electric/gas, water, trains.
12:04 PM · Feb 26, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only their ideology is stopping them, nothing else. Existing solar firms are too weak & small, their service is bad. Solar - when a battery or inverter fails, it's weeks of calls (and this under warranty!). "Public provider of last resort" needed for electric/gas, water, trains.
12:04 PM · Feb 26, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629102927670280192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Psychologists and philosophers maybe asking the questions, but mathematicians and statisticians are supplying the answers, haha. Too bad Jaynes did not live to finish "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". IMO probability (theory) as extended logic covers reason (+ more).
12:56 PM · Feb 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁 Psychologists and philosophers maybe asking the questions, but mathematicians and statisticians are supplying the answers, haha. Too bad Jaynes did not live to finish "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". IMO probability (theory) as extended logic covers reason (+ more).
12:56 PM · Feb 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1628434059738185728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nuclear risk is ever present. Everyone - incl US, RU - is always in "can negotiate" mode (regardless of the PR). Current positions are "RU- UA (and EE) are ours to take", "US- leave UA (and EE) alone". TBH we got to this point via "do nothing" after the 2014 war, MH17, Crimea.
4:38 PM · Feb 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nuclear risk is ever present. Everyone - incl US, RU - is always in "can negotiate" mode (regardless of the PR). Current positions are "RU- UA (and EE) are ours to take", "US- leave UA (and EE) alone". TBH we got to this point via "do nothing" after the 2014 war, MH17, Crimea.
4:38 PM · Feb 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629392212906614784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EEurope countries need a nuclear umbrella. Without one, RU can attack them at will, safe in the knowledge that the worst outcome for RU is a draw. Maybe PL+Balts(+UA?) will have the will&means to see through to their own nuclear detterent (with all associated risks). No other way
8:05 AM · Feb 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
EEurope countries need a nuclear umbrella. Without one, RU can attack them at will, safe in the knowledge that the worst outcome for RU is a draw. Maybe PL+Balts(+UA?) will have the will&means to see through to their own nuclear detterent (with all associated risks). No other way
8:05 AM · Feb 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629406696253579267
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Having Abomb does not prevent that, as destroying infrastructure is not an existential threat. Having own Abomb should prevent invasion like RU invading UA, as an invasion is an existential threat. (going with the argument, even if I'm not convinced that SH settled the NS12 qn)
9:03 AM · Feb 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Having Abomb does not prevent that, as destroying infrastructure is not an existential threat. Having own Abomb should prevent invasion like RU invading UA, as an invasion is an existential threat. (going with the argument, even if I'm not convinced that SH settled the NS12 qn)
9:03 AM · Feb 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1626903505377153025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lists! A page with my [ Follows ] x [ Lists ] grid so I can slot/assign the follows into the lists easily. Have my Lists on the web interface on the left directly. (atm the Lists menu is hidden behind the More 3 dots menu) Make reading a List a 1-click op - atm it's 3 clicks.
11:16 AM · Feb 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lists! A page with my [ Follows ] x [ Lists ] grid so I can slot/assign the follows into the lists easily. Have my Lists on the web interface on the left directly. (atm the Lists menu is hidden behind the More 3 dots menu) Make reading a List a 1-click op - atm it's 3 clicks.
11:16 AM · Feb 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623300157042302977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, if one looks for reasons why "Not", among the gazillion ways in which it may fail, one can find them easily. If one works on the few ways one may actually do it - then maybe it will be done. Goes back to CP Snow "The Two Cultures" and in our time the "cheems mindset" too.
12:38 PM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, if one looks for reasons why "Not", among the gazillion ways in which it may fail, one can find them easily. If one works on the few ways one may actually do it - then maybe it will be done. Goes back to CP Snow "The Two Cultures" and in our time the "cheems mindset" too.
12:38 PM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623454731204190209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not chronologicaly, true. But there have not been that many iterations and new generations in the designs.
10:52 PM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not chronologicaly, true. But there have not been that many iterations and new generations in the designs.
10:52 PM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1630242416635830272
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) My current abstraction of choice is "a spreadsheet". Like "Top dog BoE has a spreadsheet with Barclays, HSBC etc all allocated 2 cells each in it: a current (reserves) and a savings (gilts) acc". Lower lvl "HSBC also has a spreadsheet with me & you having 2 cells each too..."
4:24 PM · Feb 27, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) My current abstraction of choice is "a spreadsheet". Like "Top dog BoE has a spreadsheet with Barclays, HSBC etc all allocated 2 cells each in it: a current (reserves) and a savings (gilts) acc". Lower lvl "HSBC also has a spreadsheet with me & you having 2 cells each too..."
4:24 PM · Feb 27, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1628115090082865152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The way it was discussed made me think they didn't understand or have not thought about the implications of how productivity is defined and measured. Esp the CON MP came over as dumb as nails, I'm sorry to say.
7:31 PM · Feb 21, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The way it was discussed made me think they didn't understand or have not thought about the implications of how productivity is defined and measured. Esp the CON MP came over as dumb as nails, I'm sorry to say.
7:31 PM · Feb 21, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1626233512511807490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Cccc - mnogu gi iskara?? Mene mi e simpaticno koga eve drugar vo SKP se sekira deka nemalo jas vo LDN da gi dobijam moite zasluzeni 6.25% kamata? Plus imalo na berzive "kataklizma kapitalizma" sto MKD vratila EUR obvrznica prerano i ne zela nova? 🤡🤪
kurir.mk
Кадиевска-Војновиќ: Откажувањето на еврообврзницата од страна на владата е шок за меѓународните...
2:54 PM · Feb 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆😆 Cccc - mnogu gi iskara?? Mene mi e simpaticno koga eve drugar vo SKP se sekira deka nemalo jas vo LDN da gi dobijam moite zasluzeni 6.25% kamata? Plus imalo na berzive "kataklizma kapitalizma" sto MKD vratila EUR obvrznica prerano i ne zela nova? 🤡🤪
kurir.mk
Кадиевска-Војновиќ: Откажувањето на еврообврзницата од страна на владата е шок за меѓународните...
2:54 PM · Feb 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1628364375017889801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No worries - we expect little. "Need to tidy the code, then ..." is the "why it can't be done" ever-favorite sorry excuse for not code sharing. Just do it already ffs, devs over-inflated egos be damned. Thanks for your service!
12:01 PM · Feb 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No worries - we expect little. "Need to tidy the code, then ..." is the "why it can't be done" ever-favorite sorry excuse for not code sharing. Just do it already ffs, devs over-inflated egos be damned. Thanks for your service!
12:01 PM · Feb 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623270751422844929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, if you say so for you. For myself - my home electricity bill about almost doubled in the period when UK is setting new records in wind electricity production. Currently a lot of the increase is covered by the gov subsidy - thus masked - but that is going to go away soon.
10:41 AM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, if you say so for you. For myself - my home electricity bill about almost doubled in the period when UK is setting new records in wind electricity production. Currently a lot of the increase is covered by the gov subsidy - thus masked - but that is going to go away soon.
10:41 AM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629381977349451777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative explanation maybe: you amass in your head so much evidence about the factual, and very little about the counterfactuals, that logically the former overwhelms the latter. Typically there will be many more counterfactual scenarios paths for every one factual.
7:25 AM · Feb 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative explanation maybe: you amass in your head so much evidence about the factual, and very little about the counterfactuals, that logically the former overwhelms the latter. Typically there will be many more counterfactual scenarios paths for every one factual.
7:25 AM · Feb 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623766054278250498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@johanknorberg Open The Story Of Human Progress, @KonstantinKisin An Immigrants Love Letter to the West, Who Owns the Future, @bryan_caplan Open Borders, @davidwengrow The Dawn of Everything A New History of Humanity, @mattwridley The Evolution of Everything How New Ideas Emerge
7:29 PM · Feb 9, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@johanknorberg Open The Story Of Human Progress, @KonstantinKisin An Immigrants Love Letter to the West, Who Owns the Future, @bryan_caplan Open Borders, @davidwengrow The Dawn of Everything A New History of Humanity, @mattwridley The Evolution of Everything How New Ideas Emerge
7:29 PM · Feb 9, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1624062859339526146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One would expect that they could. No idea why they're so timid wrt growth. They could say set themselves a goal to double their population in 30 years to ~700M for example.
3:08 PM · Feb 10, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One would expect that they could. No idea why they're so timid wrt growth. They could say set themselves a goal to double their population in 30 years to ~700M for example.
3:08 PM · Feb 10, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629393265555394560
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's stopping Taiwan developing its own nuclear detterent? Israel - a much smaller and then poorer country - developed one when faced with similar existential threat. Yes everyone else will be against, and yes nuclear proliferation raises some risks while reducing others.
8:10 AM · Feb 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's stopping Taiwan developing its own nuclear detterent? Israel - a much smaller and then poorer country - developed one when faced with similar existential threat. Yes everyone else will be against, and yes nuclear proliferation raises some risks while reducing others.
8:10 AM · Feb 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629442257899118593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Publicly owned housebuilder of last resort is needed. Housebuilders cartel + CONs in their pocket + stranglehold on the system = not delivering quantity nor quality. Action - JustDoIt, BuildBackBetter - is the solution (+ will be the competition that puts fire under their ar*es).
11:24 AM · Feb 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Publicly owned housebuilder of last resort is needed. Housebuilders cartel + CONs in their pocket + stranglehold on the system = not delivering quantity nor quality. Action - JustDoIt, BuildBackBetter - is the solution (+ will be the competition that puts fire under their ar*es).
11:24 AM · Feb 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1624476327754473477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super i interesno da se procita http://arno.mk i Bozinovski, ama: dali stvarno mislis deka prv pat vo istorija na covestvoto se slucilo da robot bil upravuvan so govorni komandi vo MK vo 1986ta?? Daj te molam Google search za sense check za da ne se treskaat budalastini.
6:31 PM · Feb 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super i interesno da se procita http://arno.mk i Bozinovski, ama: dali stvarno mislis deka prv pat vo istorija na covestvoto se slucilo da robot bil upravuvan so govorni komandi vo MK vo 1986ta?? Daj te molam Google search za sense check za da ne se treskaat budalastini.
6:31 PM · Feb 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1651860379989934081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Milo mi e da procitam sto napravile drugi vo nauka+tehnika a posebno vo MK. Citajki nazad sto sum napisal - cenam mojava reakcija e mnogu gruba, i se izvinuvam za toa. Megutoa - deka robot bil upravuvan so glasovni komandi prv pat vo svet vo 1986-ta god e apsurdno tvrdenje.
9:06 AM · Apr 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Milo mi e da procitam sto napravile drugi vo nauka+tehnika a posebno vo MK. Citajki nazad sto sum napisal - cenam mojava reakcija e mnogu gruba, i se izvinuvam za toa. Megutoa - deka robot bil upravuvan so glasovni komandi prv pat vo svet vo 1986-ta god e apsurdno tvrdenje.
9:06 AM · Apr 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1629239045329920004
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mnogu slicno i jas - od pred par denovi pred Bozik, pa skoro do sega (uste malku kaslam). Vo meguvreme 1 nedela loso (okolu Bozik) i posle NG imase 2 nedeli epten loso (nikogas ne sum bil poveke bolen). Se rasprasav naokolu - slusnav od poveke luge slicni prikazni.
9:57 PM · Feb 24, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mnogu slicno i jas - od pred par denovi pred Bozik, pa skoro do sega (uste malku kaslam). Vo meguvreme 1 nedela loso (okolu Bozik) i posle NG imase 2 nedeli epten loso (nikogas ne sum bil poveke bolen). Se rasprasav naokolu - slusnav od poveke luge slicni prikazni.
9:57 PM · Feb 24, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1626213357341507584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Si staviv vo kalendar da proveram vo Boots za nekoj mesec -
woman looking in a mirror
bbc.co.uk
Wegovy weight loss jab to be sold by UK chemist shops
The once-a-week injection called Wegovy, said to be used by some celebrities, blunts appetite.
1:34 PM · Feb 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Si staviv vo kalendar da proveram vo Boots za nekoj mesec -
woman looking in a mirror
bbc.co.uk
Wegovy weight loss jab to be sold by UK chemist shops
The once-a-week injection called Wegovy, said to be used by some celebrities, blunts appetite.
1:34 PM · Feb 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623295752431624192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e se - mislam maksimum do ~35%. Ima mnogu do vospituvanje, a mislam uste i poveke (od obrazovanie i vospituvanje) vo egoto, odnosno kolicina na egoisticnost. Toa mi ispaga deka e mnogu vazno pri kooperacija? I misalm dobra merka za kolegijalnost e odnosot produktivnost/ego.
12:20 PM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e se - mislam maksimum do ~35%. Ima mnogu do vospituvanje, a mislam uste i poveke (od obrazovanie i vospituvanje) vo egoto, odnosno kolicina na egoisticnost. Toa mi ispaga deka e mnogu vazno pri kooperacija? I misalm dobra merka za kolegijalnost e odnosot produktivnost/ego.
12:20 PM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1623237297717084162
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Професионално - дневниот леб го заработувам со знање (R&D). Општо - животот ми се олеснуваше колку повеќе учев. Жал ми е за блиски кои гледам се плашат од работи што не се страшни (по мене). Да не знаеш значи да живееш во страв и неизвесност, тогаш животот е повеќе непредвидлив.
8:28 AM · Feb 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Професионално - дневниот леб го заработувам со знање (R&D). Општо - животот ми се олеснуваше колку повеќе учев. Жал ми е за блиски кои гледам се плашат од работи што не се страшни (по мене). Да не знаеш значи да живееш во страв и неизвесност, тогаш животот е повеќе непредвидлив.
8:28 AM · Feb 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1651996191956119577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super interesting about US direction of travel (different from the past 40 years) - the new consensus for the 21st century?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=A2sa-p2whkk&feature=youtu.be
Quote Tweet
Chris Fenton @TheDragonFeeder · Apr 28
The Biden administration’s international economic agenda: A conversation with National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan https://brookings.edu/events/the-biden-administrations-international-economic-agenda-a-conversation-with-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan/ via @BrookingsInst
6:05 PM · Apr 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super interesting about US direction of travel (different from the past 40 years) - the new consensus for the 21st century?
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=A2sa-p2whkk&feature=youtu.be
Quote Tweet
Chris Fenton @TheDragonFeeder · Apr 28
The Biden administration’s international economic agenda: A conversation with National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan https://brookings.edu/events/the-biden-administrations-international-economic-agenda-a-conversation-with-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan/ via @BrookingsInst
6:05 PM · Apr 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1648686764364636160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As remarked by the interviewer Dr. Roi Yozevitch too - a number of mind bending moments 🤯😱 in this interview with @drmichaellevin
"Electricity of Life💡: Wonders of Bioelectricity and Regenerative Biology" at
youtube.com
-Electricity of Life💡: Wonders of Bioelectricity and Regenerative...
Welcome to another exciting episode of our podcast series, where we dive deep into the world of science and innovation! In today's episode, we have the privi...
2:55 PM · Apr 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As remarked by the interviewer Dr. Roi Yozevitch too - a number of mind bending moments 🤯😱 in this interview with @drmichaellevin
"Electricity of Life💡: Wonders of Bioelectricity and Regenerative Biology" at
youtube.com
-Electricity of Life💡: Wonders of Bioelectricity and Regenerative...
Welcome to another exciting episode of our podcast series, where we dive deep into the world of science and innovation! In today's episode, we have the privi...
2:55 PM · Apr 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1641063307745320960
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not convincing at all, don't see how the proposed "solutions" will help. Bad ideas: "sit on your hands so alignment catches up" - no catchup will happen, "gov shut down research" - sinister and dumb. The letter reads as a mix of self-serving (by laggards in a race) and misguided.
Quote Tweet
Future of Life Institute @FLIxrisk · Mar 29
📢 We're calling on AI labs to temporarily pause training powerful models!
Join FLI's call alongside Yoshua Bengio, @stevewoz, @harari_yuval, @elonmusk, @GaryMarcus & over a 1000 others who've signed:
https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/
A short 🧵on why we're calling for this - (1/8)
Show this thread
2:02 PM · Mar 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not convincing at all, don't see how the proposed "solutions" will help. Bad ideas: "sit on your hands so alignment catches up" - no catchup will happen, "gov shut down research" - sinister and dumb. The letter reads as a mix of self-serving (by laggards in a race) and misguided.
Quote Tweet
Future of Life Institute @FLIxrisk · Mar 29
📢 We're calling on AI labs to temporarily pause training powerful models!
Join FLI's call alongside Yoshua Bengio, @stevewoz, @harari_yuval, @elonmusk, @GaryMarcus & over a 1000 others who've signed:
https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/
A short 🧵on why we're calling for this - (1/8)
Show this thread
2:02 PM · Mar 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1648400057387892742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Booring to start with (who cares about random not very secret docs), but amazing in the 2nd part (>~15min), where @mgurri actually offers historic perspective to our current predicaments and puts things in context. TLDR: it's up to us how we use the new powers, for good or bad.
Quote Tweet
Freddie Sayers @freddiesayers · Apr 18
Really enjoyed talking with Martin Gurri @mgurri — ex CIA analyst, internet seer — about the Pentagon leaks.
His message? This is only the beginning.
https://unherd.com/thepost/martin-gurri-the-pentagon-leak-is-only-the-beginning/
7:56 PM · Apr 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Booring to start with (who cares about random not very secret docs), but amazing in the 2nd part (>~15min), where @mgurri actually offers historic perspective to our current predicaments and puts things in context. TLDR: it's up to us how we use the new powers, for good or bad.
Quote Tweet
Freddie Sayers @freddiesayers · Apr 18
Really enjoyed talking with Martin Gurri @mgurri — ex CIA analyst, internet seer — about the Pentagon leaks.
His message? This is only the beginning.
https://unherd.com/thepost/martin-gurri-the-pentagon-leak-is-only-the-beginning/
7:56 PM · Apr 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1650824121264091138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe Gell-Mann effect at work? They are as bad on all other topics as well - but you don't recognize that, b/c you are not as knowledgeable on those topics. (https://johndcook.com/blog/2021/01/18/gell-mann-amnesia/
) Not singling out G, all mass media operates like that - shallow & wide - by necessity to survive
johndcook.com
Gell-Mann Amnesia
Michael Crichton coined the term Gell-Mann Amnesia effect to describe forgetting how unreliable a source is in one area when you trust it in another area.
12:28 PM · Apr 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe Gell-Mann effect at work? They are as bad on all other topics as well - but you don't recognize that, b/c you are not as knowledgeable on those topics. (https://johndcook.com/blog/2021/01/18/gell-mann-amnesia/
) Not singling out G, all mass media operates like that - shallow & wide - by necessity to survive
johndcook.com
Gell-Mann Amnesia
Michael Crichton coined the term Gell-Mann Amnesia effect to describe forgetting how unreliable a source is in one area when you trust it in another area.
12:28 PM · Apr 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1648654146361499648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I try to track local tools -
1) @ggerganov git https://github.com/ggerganov repos llama.cpp, whisper.cpp (and ggml)
2) @bert_hu_bert git https://github.com/berthubert and https://berthub.eu/articles/posts/hello-deep-learning/
3) Tieing it together @simonw https://til.simonwillison.net, background https://peterbloem.nl/blog/transformers
berthub.eu
Hello Deep Learning
A from-scratch introduction to deep learning, including a handwritten letter recognition program
12:45 PM · Apr 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I try to track local tools -
1) @ggerganov git https://github.com/ggerganov repos llama.cpp, whisper.cpp (and ggml)
2) @bert_hu_bert git https://github.com/berthubert and https://berthub.eu/articles/posts/hello-deep-learning/
3) Tieing it together @simonw https://til.simonwillison.net, background https://peterbloem.nl/blog/transformers
berthub.eu
Hello Deep Learning
A from-scratch introduction to deep learning, including a handwritten letter recognition program
12:45 PM · Apr 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652071916453126145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mozebi mozesh alternativno 1) Bing vo Skype chat, 2) Bing vo Edge browser, 3) Bard vo Chrome browser.
11:06 PM · Apr 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mozebi mozesh alternativno 1) Bing vo Skype chat, 2) Bing vo Edge browser, 3) Bard vo Chrome browser.
11:06 PM · Apr 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1647628551707926530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This? https://digitalmars.com/articles/C-biggest-mistake.html
It's been sorely missing for decades imho. Varable length data types (not arrays) finally gave C Ndim arrays with sizes determined at runtime. Even if it may have been a side effect of something else - great, but decades late, needless suffering tbh
4:50 PM · Apr 16, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This? https://digitalmars.com/articles/C-biggest-mistake.html
It's been sorely missing for decades imho. Varable length data types (not arrays) finally gave C Ndim arrays with sizes determined at runtime. Even if it may have been a side effect of something else - great, but decades late, needless suffering tbh
4:50 PM · Apr 16, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1646885062556655619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They want the passangers to wait for the plane (wasting passanger time costs 0), not for the plane to wait on the passangers (that costs them $$$). When boarding starts, the personnel can let everyone present through, close the gate (wasting 0 time) and move to the next boarding.
3:36 PM · Apr 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They want the passangers to wait for the plane (wasting passanger time costs 0), not for the plane to wait on the passangers (that costs them $$$). When boarding starts, the personnel can let everyone present through, close the gate (wasting 0 time) and move to the next boarding.
3:36 PM · Apr 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1642508383063355392
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that but the incarceration costs are so high, that I suspect a honest cost-benefit analysis will show providing free no strings attached housing to all homeless that want it is about neutral on £££ terms. Leaving the increase of national goodwill & happiness a net gain.
1:44 PM · Apr 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not only that but the incarceration costs are so high, that I suspect a honest cost-benefit analysis will show providing free no strings attached housing to all homeless that want it is about neutral on £££ terms. Leaving the increase of national goodwill & happiness a net gain.
1:44 PM · Apr 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652295375242289152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Robocars should at least speak to each other in some mobile-mifi language and relay to each other their intentions about the travel in the immediate 0-15sec future. They should be able to establish the identity of the robocar opposite and trust accordingly.
1:54 PM · Apr 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Robocars should at least speak to each other in some mobile-mifi language and relay to each other their intentions about the travel in the immediate 0-15sec future. They should be able to establish the identity of the robocar opposite and trust accordingly.
1:54 PM · Apr 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652295375242289152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Robocars should at least speak to each other in some mobile-mifi language and relay to each other their intentions about the travel in the immediate 0-15sec future. They should be able to establish the identity of the robocar opposite and trust accordingly.
1:54 PM · Apr 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂 Robocars should at least speak to each other in some mobile-mifi language and relay to each other their intentions about the travel in the immediate 0-15sec future. They should be able to establish the identity of the robocar opposite and trust accordingly.
1:54 PM · Apr 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1644826473113452546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
D-K strikes again 😄 It's hilariously delightful that the 1st people to be D-K-ed were D&K. 😂😂 Just excellent - the whole genesis of the story, the dissection of the blunder by @blair_fix -
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
11:16 PM · Apr 8, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
D-K strikes again 😄 It's hilariously delightful that the 1st people to be D-K-ed were D&K. 😂😂 Just excellent - the whole genesis of the story, the dissection of the blunder by @blair_fix -
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
11:16 PM · Apr 8, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1649796725563850753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Destroying the world 🌍 on a given horizon is not 100% certain though. When peope convince themselves 100% certain of the impending end-of-times event, that gives them not only the moral right, but an obligation, to do anything as they see fit. (incl mass murder & similar)
4:26 PM · Apr 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Destroying the world 🌍 on a given horizon is not 100% certain though. When peope convince themselves 100% certain of the impending end-of-times event, that gives them not only the moral right, but an obligation, to do anything as they see fit. (incl mass murder & similar)
4:26 PM · Apr 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1642502353390641152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daft comment. Didn't see a single "wow - mmap magical compression loads 20GB weights into 6 GB RAM" take. Systems programmers for sure know how virtual memory works. Been using mmap for exactly the same use pattern - map TBs of RO data to GBs of RAM on demand - for donkeys yrs.
1:20 PM · Apr 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daft comment. Didn't see a single "wow - mmap magical compression loads 20GB weights into 6 GB RAM" take. Systems programmers for sure know how virtual memory works. Been using mmap for exactly the same use pattern - map TBs of RO data to GBs of RAM on demand - for donkeys yrs.
1:20 PM · Apr 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1637040681725181955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and 1) who will be the buyers of those ginormius balance sheets - the alien martians?? 2) where are they going to put the currency they get? 3) why would they do that - to crash the system?? Banking sys is resistent to ELI5 type reasoning, leads pple to the silliest of takes.
10:38 AM · Mar 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and 1) who will be the buyers of those ginormius balance sheets - the alien martians?? 2) where are they going to put the currency they get? 3) why would they do that - to crash the system?? Banking sys is resistent to ELI5 type reasoning, leads pple to the silliest of takes.
10:38 AM · Mar 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1643745662629183488
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@CommonholdNow "autonomy and control" resonates, you may considering taking it up as a slogan for the movement/campaign
Quote Tweet
Commonhold Now @CommonholdNow · Apr 5
Let's keep the conversation going and demand action from policymakers and industry stakeholders to address these issues and provide a better future for leaseholders. A future where we are in the driving seat of our homes and our finances! We need autonomy and control. (5/6)
11:41 PM · Apr 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@CommonholdNow "autonomy and control" resonates, you may considering taking it up as a slogan for the movement/campaign
Quote Tweet
Commonhold Now @CommonholdNow · Apr 5
Let's keep the conversation going and demand action from policymakers and industry stakeholders to address these issues and provide a better future for leaseholders. A future where we are in the driving seat of our homes and our finances! We need autonomy and control. (5/6)
11:41 PM · Apr 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1646590138166722562
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tough1 (if "more institutional structure" makes 0/+ve/-ve diff) Re: cabals. In my work area there's related perennial Q: how much luck v.s. skill in mgr returns. E.g. "herd followers" bad as their "add" is 0; BUT maybe good if they'd add -ve otherwise? fft
youtube.com
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which...
8:04 PM · Apr 13, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tough1 (if "more institutional structure" makes 0/+ve/-ve diff) Re: cabals. In my work area there's related perennial Q: how much luck v.s. skill in mgr returns. E.g. "herd followers" bad as their "add" is 0; BUT maybe good if they'd add -ve otherwise? fft
youtube.com
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which...
8:04 PM · Apr 13, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1646110219456356353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting interview of @elonmusk by @JamesClayton5 on iPlayer
bbc.co.uk
Elon Musk talks to the BBC
The exclusive spontaneous interview with Elon Musk & the BBC's James Clayton.
12:17 PM · Apr 12, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting interview of @elonmusk by @JamesClayton5 on iPlayer
bbc.co.uk
Elon Musk talks to the BBC
The exclusive spontaneous interview with Elon Musk & the BBC's James Clayton.
12:17 PM · Apr 12, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1650904710314967040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview. He's a "useful idiot" - surprised he's not risen up the ranks of the loonies that've been governing us recently. The "left wing journalists Rifkind Maitliss" Q was hilarious. 😂😂😂 You got the measure of him even if he was doing the "pigeon chess" topic-to-topic.
5:48 PM · Apr 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview. He's a "useful idiot" - surprised he's not risen up the ranks of the loonies that've been governing us recently. The "left wing journalists Rifkind Maitliss" Q was hilarious. 😂😂😂 You got the measure of him even if he was doing the "pigeon chess" topic-to-topic.
5:48 PM · Apr 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1641078551888777218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - but what will the unethical (on the "1st do no harm" basis) busybodies that confidently proclaim with certainty and confidence on any number of issues do? There's risk they'll move onto greater things where they can inflict much greater damage onto the rest of us.
3:03 PM · Mar 29, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - but what will the unethical (on the "1st do no harm" basis) busybodies that confidently proclaim with certainty and confidence on any number of issues do? There's risk they'll move onto greater things where they can inflict much greater damage onto the rest of us.
3:03 PM · Mar 29, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1637472338865266696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If your criticism was reasonable, it'd imply that only saints have the right to opine on or criticize the workings of the government of the day. No thanks - we are fine with any and all citizenry piling on the governments, esp ones incompetent & imbecilic this & prior & prior^2.
3:13 PM · Mar 19, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If your criticism was reasonable, it'd imply that only saints have the right to opine on or criticize the workings of the government of the day. No thanks - we are fine with any and all citizenry piling on the governments, esp ones incompetent & imbecilic this & prior & prior^2.
3:13 PM · Mar 19, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1648316392230334466
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So the loan is written down or off, and the developing country still gets to have an airport?? Sweet!! Bring it on, more China investment, please. US will join when ready i.e when the imbeciles running the US foreign policy get kicked out of their jobs they fail at miserably.
2:23 PM · Apr 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So the loan is written down or off, and the developing country still gets to have an airport?? Sweet!! Bring it on, more China investment, please. US will join when ready i.e when the imbeciles running the US foreign policy get kicked out of their jobs they fail at miserably.
2:23 PM · Apr 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1648313927359516672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂😂 - he needed a new movement, @tvojapartija
and prior liberal movements (c.f. late Marjanovik) were not a good match? Only about 10% if voters are liberal in any sense, he'll capture 1/5 if that => the effect will be 0. Waste of time, nothing will come out of that.
2:13 PM · Apr 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😂😂 - he needed a new movement, @tvojapartija
and prior liberal movements (c.f. late Marjanovik) were not a good match? Only about 10% if voters are liberal in any sense, he'll capture 1/5 if that => the effect will be 0. Waste of time, nothing will come out of that.
2:13 PM · Apr 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1642618172795768833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - they should legalize cannabis now. Insane that's taking so long. Less $$$ going to criminals. Silly to penalize law abiding citizens with stricter borders. Should abolish border controls really. MKD had none with SRB and KOS for 45 yrs it was fine, do the same with ALB now.
9:01 PM · Apr 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - they should legalize cannabis now. Insane that's taking so long. Less $$$ going to criminals. Silly to penalize law abiding citizens with stricter borders. Should abolish border controls really. MKD had none with SRB and KOS for 45 yrs it was fine, do the same with ALB now.
9:01 PM · Apr 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1647275375943200768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow for more than 5 lists (names) to be pinned. Limit of 5 is pathetic
5:27 PM · Apr 15, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow for more than 5 lists (names) to be pinned. Limit of 5 is pathetic
5:27 PM · Apr 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1637726853665374209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The supreme international crime - war of aggression. B/c it's enables multitude of other war crimes. "Otherwise clever people" - doubt it. Most enthusiastic cheerleaders were not that clever, before and after, occupying positions of consequence by accidents of randomness.
8:04 AM · Mar 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The supreme international crime - war of aggression. B/c it's enables multitude of other war crimes. "Otherwise clever people" - doubt it. Most enthusiastic cheerleaders were not that clever, before and after, occupying positions of consequence by accidents of randomness.
8:04 AM · Mar 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1637013963790598146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
radical transparency ftw
8:51 AM · Mar 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
radical transparency ftw
8:51 AM · Mar 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1645704273538285573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Enlightenment & outburst of rationalism lead to national liberal revolutions: UK glorious 1668, US anti-colonial 1776, FR republican 1789, NL final 1795. 1st Time ever humans looked after & worked for their own good 1st. Not for the glory of a random god or fighting kings' wars.
9:24 AM · Apr 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Enlightenment & outburst of rationalism lead to national liberal revolutions: UK glorious 1668, US anti-colonial 1776, FR republican 1789, NL final 1795. 1st Time ever humans looked after & worked for their own good 1st. Not for the glory of a random god or fighting kings' wars.
9:24 AM · Apr 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1643191747487334402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? That's peanuts. Plus plenty of mini-hydro generator opportunities up the mountains to offset the electricity consumption. They already have mini-dams to collect the water for the artificial snow. And ton of infrastructure already built there (access roads etc).
11:00 AM · Apr 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? That's peanuts. Plus plenty of mini-hydro generator opportunities up the mountains to offset the electricity consumption. They already have mini-dams to collect the water for the artificial snow. And ton of infrastructure already built there (access roads etc).
11:00 AM · Apr 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1650847148395593731
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH brain melts seen c.f - inflation is the ultimate constraint, bank/accounts's a spreadsheet personal accts being the cells, Central Bank's similar spreadsheet with commercial bank's accts being cells, everything we can build we can afford - taught me "stay away, never mention"
2:00 PM · Apr 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH brain melts seen c.f - inflation is the ultimate constraint, bank/accounts's a spreadsheet personal accts being the cells, Central Bank's similar spreadsheet with commercial bank's accts being cells, everything we can build we can afford - taught me "stay away, never mention"
2:00 PM · Apr 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1642230080175849472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😆 Expect TPP gift to keep on giving. The 1st time secret arbitrage court forces shit down our throats the surprise of the chatterati will be 10x the "Dover busses wait on passports stamps". IEAsinghams kool aid still strong, too many know-nothings with lived sheltered lives.
7:18 PM · Apr 1, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😆 Expect TPP gift to keep on giving. The 1st time secret arbitrage court forces shit down our throats the surprise of the chatterati will be 10x the "Dover busses wait on passports stamps". IEAsinghams kool aid still strong, too many know-nothings with lived sheltered lives.
7:18 PM · Apr 1, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1643741586080296960
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@elonmusk the public will forgive everything but hypocrisy - rein in the imbeciles. ftw
Quote Tweet
Bren Danflashes @sheepsleepdeep · Apr 5
Replying to @davidgura and @elonmusk
Almost 7% of the purchase price of every new Tesla sold is subsidized through a tax credit.
That company has received almost $3.5B in state and federal subsidies.
NPR got $2.3M of their $309M revenue from the government. Just over half a percent of their total revenue.
11:25 PM · Apr 5, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@elonmusk the public will forgive everything but hypocrisy - rein in the imbeciles. ftw
Quote Tweet
Bren Danflashes @sheepsleepdeep · Apr 5
Replying to @davidgura and @elonmusk
Almost 7% of the purchase price of every new Tesla sold is subsidized through a tax credit.
That company has received almost $3.5B in state and federal subsidies.
NPR got $2.3M of their $309M revenue from the government. Just over half a percent of their total revenue.
11:25 PM · Apr 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1642506434955845633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH "infinite growth from finite resource impossible" does not preclude there being vastly more growth till some limit. Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as us, yet obv our lives differ vastly. Knowledge/technology creates a resource from what was once nature.
1:37 PM · Apr 2, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH "infinite growth from finite resource impossible" does not preclude there being vastly more growth till some limit. Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as us, yet obv our lives differ vastly. Knowledge/technology creates a resource from what was once nature.
1:37 PM · Apr 2, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1644287141424275457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing stupidity on the part of the LAB party machine. Boris Johnson agreed with Farage in a millisecond when similar risks arose for CON. 20yrs of losing and LAB have not learned that lesson. Amazing. After Iraq the other worst mistake of TB - not healing that wound in time.
11:32 AM · Apr 7, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Amazing stupidity on the part of the LAB party machine. Boris Johnson agreed with Farage in a millisecond when similar risks arose for CON. 20yrs of losing and LAB have not learned that lesson. Amazing. After Iraq the other worst mistake of TB - not healing that wound in time.
11:32 AM · Apr 7, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1649042070600925184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! 🎯 100% Bukvalno (ne samo figurativno) tocno. Koga banka mi dava stanben kredit 50% za stan od 100K Eur, dodava na moja tekovna smetka +3M Den (kreirani vo vo taa sekunda), i smetkovodstveno ima +3M Den pasiva (liability; mojata tekovna), i +6M Den aktiva (asset; stanot).
2:27 PM · Apr 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! 🎯 100% Bukvalno (ne samo figurativno) tocno. Koga banka mi dava stanben kredit 50% za stan od 100K Eur, dodava na moja tekovna smetka +3M Den (kreirani vo vo taa sekunda), i smetkovodstveno ima +3M Den pasiva (liability; mojata tekovna), i +6M Den aktiva (asset; stanot).
2:27 PM · Apr 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1642827442254381057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken" example#1001 https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1641551764678746113 . Previous - John von Neumann (probably the smartest person to have ever lived) advocated for preemptive nuclear war against the SU. Intellectual humility please.
Quote Tweet
Perry E. Metzger @perrymetzger · Mar 30
Once you believe that something is The Most Important Thing in the World Without Exception, you can easily end up as a human paperclip optimizer (or worse), ignoring all restraint in the name of optimizing for The Most Important Thing.
https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/
10:52 AM · Apr 3, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible you may be mistaken" example#1001 https://twitter.com/perrymetzger/status/1641551764678746113 . Previous - John von Neumann (probably the smartest person to have ever lived) advocated for preemptive nuclear war against the SU. Intellectual humility please.
Quote Tweet
Perry E. Metzger @perrymetzger · Mar 30
Once you believe that something is The Most Important Thing in the World Without Exception, you can easily end up as a human paperclip optimizer (or worse), ignoring all restraint in the name of optimizing for The Most Important Thing.
https://time.com/6266923/ai-eliezer-yudkowsky-open-letter-not-enough/
10:52 AM · Apr 3, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1650106992835346433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That level of certainty is religion. Science is mostly right because it assumes it is wrong. Other areas of human thought are mostly wrong because they assume they're right. Religion is one (rational?) response to randomness, so understandable that it happens all the time.
12:58 PM · Apr 23, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That level of certainty is religion. Science is mostly right because it assumes it is wrong. Other areas of human thought are mostly wrong because they assume they're right. Religion is one (rational?) response to randomness, so understandable that it happens all the time.
12:58 PM · Apr 23, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1649812015672700929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For climate - we are NOT at a point where drastic action is justified. There is no justification for drastic action. We can not be certain of end-of-world nor the horizon where that's supposed to happen. C.f. many cults with like ideas doing much ill and evil and for nothing.
5:26 PM · Apr 22, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For climate - we are NOT at a point where drastic action is justified. There is no justification for drastic action. We can not be certain of end-of-world nor the horizon where that's supposed to happen. C.f. many cults with like ideas doing much ill and evil and for nothing.
5:26 PM · Apr 22, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1650898289875730434
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"A Planet of Women" by an obscure author (in an obscure language). Advances the thesis that sexuality (and not work, or tools, brains, collaboration etc) is the major factor that created the human species.
5:23 PM · Apr 25, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"A Planet of Women" by an obscure author (in an obscure language). Advances the thesis that sexuality (and not work, or tools, brains, collaboration etc) is the major factor that created the human species.
5:23 PM · Apr 25, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1649168461954678787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Now ofc think about the other 99.9% stuff written about we the public are ignorant of - how likely is it that the quality of that is any better? Not likely at all, it's similar dross. Fwiw it's been ever thus, there was never a golden time when journalism was any better.
10:49 PM · Apr 20, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Now ofc think about the other 99.9% stuff written about we the public are ignorant of - how likely is it that the quality of that is any better? Not likely at all, it's similar dross. Fwiw it's been ever thus, there was never a golden time when journalism was any better.
10:49 PM · Apr 20, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1646830733477007360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMAD! Me too, been eating once a day forever. Pre-school breakfast as a kid was a struggle ("eat now so you don't get hungry latter"), office social 12pm lunch too (settled on Miso soup as the least bad). Zero effort on my side - actually eating more times is significant effort.
12:00 PM · Apr 14, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMAD! Me too, been eating once a day forever. Pre-school breakfast as a kid was a struggle ("eat now so you don't get hungry latter"), office social 12pm lunch too (settled on Miso soup as the least bad). Zero effort on my side - actually eating more times is significant effort.
12:00 PM · Apr 14, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1652073942205489152
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Haha moze i toa. I mene na rabota #2 peeve mi bese "ne moze ovoj s/w, mora onoj s/w", nemam permisii molam 3 dena nekoj od IT se smiluva da klikne na mojot tiket da mi zavrsi rabota za 30 sekundi. (#1 peeve commuting ~2h30 dnevno)
11:14 PM · Apr 28, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Haha moze i toa. I mene na rabota #2 peeve mi bese "ne moze ovoj s/w, mora onoj s/w", nemam permisii molam 3 dena nekoj od IT se smiluva da klikne na mojot tiket da mi zavrsi rabota za 30 sekundi. (#1 peeve commuting ~2h30 dnevno)
11:14 PM · Apr 28, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1643195818566905856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? Cromagnons and Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we have now. Yet very different outcomes. Q: why? A: science, technology, knowledge how to do stuff. E.g. on electric energy: we'll switch to wind+solar+nuclear sooner than we anticipate.
11:16 AM · Apr 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? Cromagnons and Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we have now. Yet very different outcomes. Q: why? A: science, technology, knowledge how to do stuff. E.g. on electric energy: we'll switch to wind+solar+nuclear sooner than we anticipate.
11:16 AM · Apr 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1643264422532489216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... all of which was available to extract to our ancestors, which they didn't do, as they lacked any use of it, b/c they lacked technology, knowledge howto do things. Ergo - it is not only minerals extraction, there is more to it. Extraction is part, but not the whole thing.
3:49 PM · Apr 4, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... all of which was available to extract to our ancestors, which they didn't do, as they lacked any use of it, b/c they lacked technology, knowledge howto do things. Ergo - it is not only minerals extraction, there is more to it. Extraction is part, but not the whole thing.
3:49 PM · Apr 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1648309830585597953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! A fine illustration of
youtube.com
The Politics of Consciousness | video lecture with Yuval Noah Harari
What is consciousness? Who has consciousness? And why is it so dangerous to confuse it with intelligence? How does our understanding of consciousness impact ...
1:57 PM · Apr 18, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! A fine illustration of
youtube.com
The Politics of Consciousness | video lecture with Yuval Noah Harari
What is consciousness? Who has consciousness? And why is it so dangerous to confuse it with intelligence? How does our understanding of consciousness impact ...
1:57 PM · Apr 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1634608298342137860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
aka "science advances funeral by funeral" 😮
5:32 PM · Mar 11, 2023
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
aka "science advances funeral by funeral" 😮
5:32 PM · Mar 11, 2023
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1608151126041296896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To everyone that ever complained "why oh WHY doesn't TWTR simply show me the tweets of people I follow" - the ever great @doctorow explains WHY here https://twitter.com/doctorow/status/1604876755302600709 . TLDR it must not, in order to make $$$. Consequently TWTR will never show us all followed tweets - ever.
Quote Tweet
Cory Doctorow (@pluralistic@mamot.fr) @doctorow · Dec 19, 2022
When you follow or subscribe to a feed, that is not a "signal" to be mixed into the recommendation system. It's an *order*: "Show me this." Not "Show me things like this."
Show.
Me.
This.
But there's no money in showing people the things they tell you they want to see. 50/
Show this thread
5:21 PM · Dec 28, 2022 · 9,998 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To everyone that ever complained "why oh WHY doesn't TWTR simply show me the tweets of people I follow" - the ever great @doctorow explains WHY here https://twitter.com/doctorow/status/1604876755302600709 . TLDR it must not, in order to make $$$. Consequently TWTR will never show us all followed tweets - ever.
Quote Tweet
Cory Doctorow (@pluralistic@mamot.fr) @doctorow · Dec 19, 2022
When you follow or subscribe to a feed, that is not a "signal" to be mixed into the recommendation system. It's an *order*: "Show me this." Not "Show me things like this."
Show.
Me.
This.
But there's no money in showing people the things they tell you they want to see. 50/
Show this thread
5:21 PM · Dec 28, 2022 · 9,998 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1608183161069993984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Apikoros613 and @doctorow
Good Q! - would like to know too. Started making lists at some point, but it took time and effort (who, which list), fell by the wayside. Now I'm using Mastodon more, and funny enough, only way I've found thus far to have tweetdeck-like per-account column is via a list of 1 😆😆
7:28 PM · Dec 28, 2022 · 23 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Apikoros613 and @doctorow
Good Q! - would like to know too. Started making lists at some point, but it took time and effort (who, which list), fell by the wayside. Now I'm using Mastodon more, and funny enough, only way I've found thus far to have tweetdeck-like per-account column is via a list of 1 😆😆
7:28 PM · Dec 28, 2022 · 23 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1600821988335161344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are just too many good takes and excellent observations about the state of contemporary digital everything in this @doctorow interview https://newyorker.com/culture/the-new-yorker-interview/cory-doctorow-wants-you-to-know-what-computers-can-and-cant-do to chose one only to quote - everyone should just go and read the whole thing.
newyorker.com
Cory Doctorow Wants You to Know What Computers Can and Can’t Do
A conversation about the “mediocre monopolists” of Big Tech, the weirdness of crypto, and the real lessons of science fiction.
11:57 AM · Dec 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are just too many good takes and excellent observations about the state of contemporary digital everything in this @doctorow interview https://newyorker.com/culture/the-new-yorker-interview/cory-doctorow-wants-you-to-know-what-computers-can-and-cant-do to chose one only to quote - everyone should just go and read the whole thing.
newyorker.com
Cory Doctorow Wants You to Know What Computers Can and Can’t Do
A conversation about the “mediocre monopolists” of Big Tech, the weirdness of crypto, and the real lessons of science fiction.
11:57 AM · Dec 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1607835189022965763
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What-a-movie!!! 😊 "The Banshees of Inisherin" - trailer https://youtube.com/watch?v=uRu3zLOJN2c . Wow - well recommended by
youtube.com
Mark Kermode reviews The Banshees of Inisherin - Kermode and Mayo's...
#MarkKermode #SimonMayo #filmreviews Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences...
8:25 PM · Dec 27, 2022 · 139 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What-a-movie!!! 😊 "The Banshees of Inisherin" - trailer https://youtube.com/watch?v=uRu3zLOJN2c . Wow - well recommended by
youtube.com
Mark Kermode reviews The Banshees of Inisherin - Kermode and Mayo's...
#MarkKermode #SimonMayo #filmreviews Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences...
8:25 PM · Dec 27, 2022 · 139 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1607793613911515147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xmas fun: Windows 10 copy a slow old 1TB HDD onto a new shiny fast 4TB SSD clone. Copy goes easy - thanks to a small h/w disk-to-disk clone gizmo - but convincing Windows 10 to boot off the new SSD is another matter. It's a whole world of pain! Done? 🤞 after 4 days of effort! 😱
5:40 PM · Dec 27, 2022 · 209 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Xmas fun: Windows 10 copy a slow old 1TB HDD onto a new shiny fast 4TB SSD clone. Copy goes easy - thanks to a small h/w disk-to-disk clone gizmo - but convincing Windows 10 to boot off the new SSD is another matter. It's a whole world of pain! Done? 🤞 after 4 days of effort! 😱
5:40 PM · Dec 27, 2022 · 209 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1604835423985229825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @vivamjm
Exactly right - #belarussbrexit, #brexitcurtain. Coddled minds that have not experienced much of the wider world may think that the opposite (no barriers) is the default state of the world. Those that've been around know that no barriers is a miracle achieved through ton of work.
1:45 PM · Dec 19, 2022 · 4,128 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @vivamjm
Exactly right - #belarussbrexit, #brexitcurtain. Coddled minds that have not experienced much of the wider world may think that the opposite (no barriers) is the default state of the world. Those that've been around know that no barriers is a miracle achieved through ton of work.
1:45 PM · Dec 19, 2022 · 4,128 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1608635329887731712
Stat Arb @quant_arb · Dec 29, 2022
You are talking about the British TMZ equivalent what did you expect. Wouldn't be surprised if they eventually just switch to asking ChatGPT to shit out hundreds of articles, publishing, and then whittling down the selection to the ones that are most clickbait-able for audiences
Quote Tweet
Tiffany Fong @TiffanyFong_ · Dec 29, 2022
This is how @DailyMail approached me: noting I was not pleased with the use of an irrelevant old bikini photo in the @NYpost. As soon as I offered a sliver of commentary in response to their questions, @DailyMail immediately switched their photo of me to a bikini photo.🤮
Show this thread
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @quant_arb
Ha! - already done, check The GPT Times. https://thegpttimes.com. The above tweet GPT-Times-ed at https://thegpttimes.com/posts/NMfdQQhR. Not bad imho -
1:25 AM · Dec 30, 2022 · 93 Views
Stat Arb @quant_arb · Dec 29, 2022
You are talking about the British TMZ equivalent what did you expect. Wouldn't be surprised if they eventually just switch to asking ChatGPT to shit out hundreds of articles, publishing, and then whittling down the selection to the ones that are most clickbait-able for audiences
Quote Tweet
Tiffany Fong @TiffanyFong_ · Dec 29, 2022
This is how @DailyMail approached me: noting I was not pleased with the use of an irrelevant old bikini photo in the @NYpost. As soon as I offered a sliver of commentary in response to their questions, @DailyMail immediately switched their photo of me to a bikini photo.🤮
Show this thread
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @quant_arb
Ha! - already done, check The GPT Times. https://thegpttimes.com. The above tweet GPT-Times-ed at https://thegpttimes.com/posts/NMfdQQhR. Not bad imho -
1:25 AM · Dec 30, 2022 · 93 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1608618527187161089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @EveAinsworth
Absolutely - into 2nd week now. Terrible cough, worse overnight, b/c runny nose, coughing much more when laying down. Sleeping about 1/3 up-right helps. Ribs hurt a bit now from so much coughing. Neither ill enough to be staying in bed, nor well enough to do as normal. Hate it.
12:18 AM · Dec 30, 2022 · 143 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @EveAinsworth
Absolutely - into 2nd week now. Terrible cough, worse overnight, b/c runny nose, coughing much more when laying down. Sleeping about 1/3 up-right helps. Ribs hurt a bit now from so much coughing. Neither ill enough to be staying in bed, nor well enough to do as normal. Hate it.
12:18 AM · Dec 30, 2022 · 143 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1598905770489544704
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @lexfridman
Not limited to social media only. Radical transparency ftw. Every information record of every functonary for the duration while acting in public, should be public on the Internet in realtime, as default. Then think of exceptions and close off as needed. But have public be default
5:03 AM · Dec 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @lexfridman
Not limited to social media only. Radical transparency ftw. Every information record of every functonary for the duration while acting in public, should be public on the Internet in realtime, as default. Then think of exceptions and close off as needed. But have public be default
5:03 AM · Dec 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1603327729000222720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MMTLabour
Pretty much. At #3, LAB could -
3. We'll run services better, at the identical cost. No extra £££ needed. Just aim higher, organize better, work smarter. Services will perform better.
Could be a message - given public perception of gov corruption, gov doing stupid harmful things.
9:54 AM · Dec 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MMTLabour
Pretty much. At #3, LAB could -
3. We'll run services better, at the identical cost. No extra £££ needed. Just aim higher, organize better, work smarter. Services will perform better.
Could be a message - given public perception of gov corruption, gov doing stupid harmful things.
9:54 AM · Dec 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1600513220405518338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Psythor
Assume all that in parts, plus maybe some Germany specific contribution like the Junker caste?? Only learned about that (and other stuff like Kaliningrad weirdness) in the most delightful "The Shortest History of Germany" https://amazon.co.uk/Shortest-History-Germany-James-Hawes/dp/1910400734/ .
amazon.co.uk
The Shortest History of Germany: 2
3:31 PM · Dec 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Psythor
Assume all that in parts, plus maybe some Germany specific contribution like the Junker caste?? Only learned about that (and other stuff like Kaliningrad weirdness) in the most delightful "The Shortest History of Germany" https://amazon.co.uk/Shortest-History-Germany-James-Hawes/dp/1910400734/ .
amazon.co.uk
The Shortest History of Germany: 2
3:31 PM · Dec 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1601647745533550592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Brad_Setser and @abcampbell
Yep - exactly that. EURs exist only in the Euro banking system, USDs exist only in the Dollar banking sys etc. Yuans will be similarly "unsafe" for the same reason - they will exist only in the Yuan banking sys. None of these banking systems belong to the oil producer exporting.
6:39 PM · Dec 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Brad_Setser and @abcampbell
Yep - exactly that. EURs exist only in the Euro banking system, USDs exist only in the Dollar banking sys etc. Yuans will be similarly "unsafe" for the same reason - they will exist only in the Yuan banking sys. None of these banking systems belong to the oil producer exporting.
6:39 PM · Dec 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1598768124999790593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldbooksguy
I read a book once that advanced a theory that sexuality created humanity (in addition to sex creating individual humans). That a peculiar human sexuality, and not intelligence, work, tools, etc (all proposed as factors too) is the main factor in the rise of the human kind.
7:56 PM · Dec 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldbooksguy
I read a book once that advanced a theory that sexuality created humanity (in addition to sex creating individual humans). That a peculiar human sexuality, and not intelligence, work, tools, etc (all proposed as factors too) is the main factor in the rise of the human kind.
7:56 PM · Dec 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1602273883847118850
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
You maybe too deferential to the newspaper article. I doubt a journalist can "get to the truth" on such impossibly wide subject. Your data driven analysis imho is the only way to get even a scintilla of insight when it comes to a wide subject. Alternatives seem hopeless or worse.
12:07 PM · Dec 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
You maybe too deferential to the newspaper article. I doubt a journalist can "get to the truth" on such impossibly wide subject. Your data driven analysis imho is the only way to get even a scintilla of insight when it comes to a wide subject. Alternatives seem hopeless or worse.
12:07 PM · Dec 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1602605247012261889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @balajis
The meta - by definition - for the minimal part of the Q: that what will cause the state to not exist any more, should it be taken away. That what makes the boundary between this-state and not-this-estate exist, supports that boundary. Maybe the physical existance of the members?
10:04 AM · Dec 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @balajis
The meta - by definition - for the minimal part of the Q: that what will cause the state to not exist any more, should it be taken away. That what makes the boundary between this-state and not-this-estate exist, supports that boundary. Maybe the physical existance of the members?
10:04 AM · Dec 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1600467335759863809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
To me the most depressing bit of the whole "money runs out" meme is: how can one not see that the stuff we exchange for £££ is super hard to make, loads of knowledge-sweat-material in. In contrast - producing £££ on paper or electronically is astronomically easier, just trivial.
12:28 PM · Dec 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
To me the most depressing bit of the whole "money runs out" meme is: how can one not see that the stuff we exchange for £££ is super hard to make, loads of knowledge-sweat-material in. In contrast - producing £££ on paper or electronically is astronomically easier, just trivial.
12:28 PM · Dec 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1608576658168238080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @morganhousel
Skiing jacket, about 35 years it seems.
9:32 PM · Dec 29, 2022 · 129 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @morganhousel
Skiing jacket, about 35 years it seems.
9:32 PM · Dec 29, 2022 · 129 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1600920438388899841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MatthewDownhour
Cars did use to suck a lot more. People longing for the cars of their youth are longing for their youth. Indeed most things feel better when younger, worse when older. 😁 The car of my childhood would fail to start twice a year, cars were mostly done by 100K on the meter, etc
6:29 PM · Dec 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MatthewDownhour
Cars did use to suck a lot more. People longing for the cars of their youth are longing for their youth. Indeed most things feel better when younger, worse when older. 😁 The car of my childhood would fail to start twice a year, cars were mostly done by 100K on the meter, etc
6:29 PM · Dec 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1602634699511324672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @balajis
🤣🤣 Ok, I like your ideas etc but but - if the criterion is "a good guy", then we run out of people&institutions in an instant, b/c: I'm not a good guy, your are not a good guy, the state is not a good guy - no one is "a good guy" really, we'd need angels to work with. 😆
12:01 PM · Dec 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @balajis
🤣🤣 Ok, I like your ideas etc but but - if the criterion is "a good guy", then we run out of people&institutions in an instant, b/c: I'm not a good guy, your are not a good guy, the state is not a good guy - no one is "a good guy" really, we'd need angels to work with. 😆
12:01 PM · Dec 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1598372182740111384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @elonmusk
How about expanding on that? How about - "only ever see tweets/retweets/replays from accounts I follow, in time descending order"? Atm TW notifies me that accts I follow tweeted, but it does not show me the said tweets!! Shows me random rubbish from accts I don't care about.
5:43 PM · Dec 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @elonmusk
How about expanding on that? How about - "only ever see tweets/retweets/replays from accounts I follow, in time descending order"? Atm TW notifies me that accts I follow tweeted, but it does not show me the said tweets!! Shows me random rubbish from accts I don't care about.
5:43 PM · Dec 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1608579200000065537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @atouchofsense
Ofc not, lots of us do. Cathedrals of human ingenuity, wit, hard work, perseverance, also aestetheticaly pleasing to witness in operation. It's only that the haters are louder and more outspoken than the rest of us.
9:42 PM · Dec 29, 2022 · 15 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @atouchofsense
Ofc not, lots of us do. Cathedrals of human ingenuity, wit, hard work, perseverance, also aestetheticaly pleasing to witness in operation. It's only that the haters are louder and more outspoken than the rest of us.
9:42 PM · Dec 29, 2022 · 15 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1598378354566205440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Graemejohn1963 @SwarbRacer96 and @Nigel_Farage
UK gov PM is not directly elected by the people either. Most countries and institutions are not run via a direct democracy, and that is a good thing. Still - they all (both in UK and EU) are accountable and can be removed one way or another. Think more please.
6:07 PM · Dec 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Graemejohn1963 @SwarbRacer96 and @Nigel_Farage
UK gov PM is not directly elected by the people either. Most countries and institutions are not run via a direct democracy, and that is a good thing. Still - they all (both in UK and EU) are accountable and can be removed one way or another. Think more please.
6:07 PM · Dec 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1601515365661495296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caryaatid
Mene me potseti deka sto poveke se razviva svetot, tolku pomalku deca se ragaat (e.g. https://worksinprogress.co/issue/natalism-for-progressives/) Porano ili podocna toa ke bide resenie. Kolkav golem rizik i maka e za majkata (i deteto) prirodnata reprodukcija, da bea maski sto ragaa deca, mislam da ke bese porano.
worksinprogress.co
Natalism for progressives - Works in Progress
Without new humans, growth will slow, and we will be less likely to reach the stars. But pro-natalism has been captured by a range of unsavoury voices. There is an alternative.
9:53 AM · Dec 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caryaatid
Mene me potseti deka sto poveke se razviva svetot, tolku pomalku deca se ragaat (e.g. https://worksinprogress.co/issue/natalism-for-progressives/) Porano ili podocna toa ke bide resenie. Kolkav golem rizik i maka e za majkata (i deteto) prirodnata reprodukcija, da bea maski sto ragaa deca, mislam da ke bese porano.
worksinprogress.co
Natalism for progressives - Works in Progress
Without new humans, growth will slow, and we will be less likely to reach the stars. But pro-natalism has been captured by a range of unsavoury voices. There is an alternative.
9:53 AM · Dec 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1601644339381223425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kardelj_jr and @Caryaatid
+1! Стигнав да мислам дека уметниците често имаат "шесто чуло" и порано од лаиците перцепираат насока на движење на општеството. За ова- конкретно андрогени ликови ала Дејвид Боуви по 1970-та. Последно овој лик (беше во МК ~1998ма) го чув на таа тема (TC)
youtube.com
Narcissistic Abuse and Victim Aggression (Interview in Bronson Men)
I talk to Andras Lacfi of Bronson Men about narcissistic abuse as distinct from all other types of abuse owing to its underlying psychological dynamics and w...
6:25 PM · Dec 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kardelj_jr and @Caryaatid
+1! Стигнав да мислам дека уметниците често имаат "шесто чуло" и порано од лаиците перцепираат насока на движење на општеството. За ова- конкретно андрогени ликови ала Дејвид Боуви по 1970-та. Последно овој лик (беше во МК ~1998ма) го чув на таа тема (TC)
youtube.com
Narcissistic Abuse and Victim Aggression (Interview in Bronson Men)
I talk to Andras Lacfi of Bronson Men about narcissistic abuse as distinct from all other types of abuse owing to its underlying psychological dynamics and w...
6:25 PM · Dec 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1601702325495615488
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gradot_neubav and @Caryaatid
Не. Никаде погоре не пишува "само". Тоа е намерно, не е случајно. Се трудам да пишувам како што мислам. Не мислам "само", и затоа не е напишано. Повеќе добра воља. 😊Интерпретирајте го напишаното во најдобро светло, немојте да го замислувате најлошото и најгрдото. ☺️
10:16 PM · Dec 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gradot_neubav and @Caryaatid
Не. Никаде погоре не пишува "само". Тоа е намерно, не е случајно. Се трудам да пишувам како што мислам. Не мислам "само", и затоа не е напишано. Повеќе добра воља. 😊Интерпретирајте го напишаното во најдобро светло, немојте да го замислувате најлошото и најгрдото. ☺️
10:16 PM · Dec 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1604828963268071424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caryaatid
Децата штом почнаа во школо да одат (на 4 год), меѓу себе почнаа да си зборат на школскиот јазик (англиски). Ние дома (двацата родители) им зборевме македонски, а тие ни збореа назад на англиски. Немам проблем со тоа, 😁 функционира. Иако има смешни моменти со-каро-по-стрито. 😂
1:20 PM · Dec 19, 2022 · 661 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caryaatid
Децата штом почнаа во школо да одат (на 4 год), меѓу себе почнаа да си зборат на школскиот јазик (англиски). Ние дома (двацата родители) им зборевме македонски, а тие ни збореа назад на англиски. Немам проблем со тоа, 😁 функционира. Иако има смешни моменти со-каро-по-стрито. 😂
1:20 PM · Dec 19, 2022 · 661 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1600474165265383425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Хехе 😊 - супер! Животот и за други работи е добар, не само за работа, Божиќ-Нова Година период е супер за тие други работи. ☺️ И секаде што е накитено, Лондон е ептен убав, сите растрчани по излегувања, барови, пабови - можеби и најубав период. И покрај студот и темницата. 😬
12:55 PM · Dec 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Хехе 😊 - супер! Животот и за други работи е добар, не само за работа, Божиќ-Нова Година период е супер за тие други работи. ☺️ И секаде што е накитено, Лондон е ептен убав, сите растрчани по излегувања, барови, пабови - можеби и најубав период. И покрај студот и темницата. 😬
12:55 PM · Dec 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1600476657730482176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Можеби, веројатно - не сум бил за Божиќ. Да, Њујорк има поекстремна клима, топло лето-ладна зима, со снег. Плус дува ладен ветер од океанот. Ми се виде ептен поладен во зима, за со полна зимска опрема - капи, ракавици, шалови. Во Лондон зиме тоа само кога користев точак/скутер.
1:05 PM · Dec 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Можеби, веројатно - не сум бил за Божиќ. Да, Њујорк има поекстремна клима, топло лето-ладна зима, со снег. Плус дува ладен ветер од океанот. Ми се виде ептен поладен во зима, за со полна зимска опрема - капи, ракавици, шалови. Во Лондон зиме тоа само кога користев точак/скутер.
1:05 PM · Dec 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1602255175821000705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gradot_neubav and @Caryaatid
👃 Фала. Приметив еден повеќе алармантен "што кога ќе има 30000 бебиња а без да има 30000 мајки". ОК дискусија, разумно е да се мисли и за екстремните сценарија. Иако малку веројати (p), ако имаат голем импакт (U), тогаш очекуван импакт (p*U) пак е голем
unherd.com
Podbabies: coming to a womb facility near you
Are artificial wombs close to realisation? A new concept video from science communicator Hashem Al-Ghaili claims as much. In the form of an advert for a fictional ectogenesis facility, ‘EctoLife’,...
10:52 AM · Dec 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gradot_neubav and @Caryaatid
👃 Фала. Приметив еден повеќе алармантен "што кога ќе има 30000 бебиња а без да има 30000 мајки". ОК дискусија, разумно е да се мисли и за екстремните сценарија. Иако малку веројати (p), ако имаат голем импакт (U), тогаш очекуван импакт (p*U) пак е голем
unherd.com
Podbabies: coming to a womb facility near you
Are artificial wombs close to realisation? A new concept video from science communicator Hashem Al-Ghaili claims as much. In the form of an advert for a fictional ectogenesis facility, ‘EctoLife’,...
10:52 AM · Dec 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1602580005485256705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ashchija and @kardelj_jr
Da - ama od kade? 😄 Ne e ocigledno. Q: sto da smenam jas denes na mikro nivo, na nivo na licnost, sto posle N cekori, ke dovede do +vna promena na makro nivo, na nivo na grupa. A: odgovorite se konstantni niz vreme/mesto i se od tip ne lazi/kradi/ubivaj i sl sto veke e vo sila.
8:23 AM · Dec 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ashchija and @kardelj_jr
Da - ama od kade? 😄 Ne e ocigledno. Q: sto da smenam jas denes na mikro nivo, na nivo na licnost, sto posle N cekori, ke dovede do +vna promena na makro nivo, na nivo na grupa. A: odgovorite se konstantni niz vreme/mesto i se od tip ne lazi/kradi/ubivaj i sl sto veke e vo sila.
8:23 AM · Dec 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1607732443577974786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @milochki
Хаха 😆 - "намќорство", одговара, ќе го украдам. Досега му текнало - Калимеро-нема-правда, кукање, кенкање, жалопојки.
1:37 PM · Dec 27, 2022 · 15 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @milochki
Хаха 😆 - "намќорство", одговара, ќе го украдам. Досега му текнало - Калимеро-нема-правда, кукање, кенкање, жалопојки.
1:37 PM · Dec 27, 2022 · 15 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1602291980465225734
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gradot_neubav and @Caryaatid
Супер поделба - фала - ова:
1. една жена донира јајце клетки (egg donor),
2. втора ја изнесува бременоста (gestator),
3.трета ја превзема грижата и одгледувањето на детето (intended parent).
Ќе го запамтам, добро опишано поделено за разбирање.
1:19 PM · Dec 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gradot_neubav and @Caryaatid
Супер поделба - фала - ова:
1. една жена донира јајце клетки (egg donor),
2. втора ја изнесува бременоста (gestator),
3.трета ја превзема грижата и одгледувањето на детето (intended parent).
Ќе го запамтам, добро опишано поделено за разбирање.
1:19 PM · Dec 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1605134262382071812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @EhemijaMk
Pofali se te molam :-) Treba se pofalis za vakov uspeh. Cestitki! Ne cekaj od drugi. I napisi si go i imeto? Ne pisuvas nesto kontraverzno/strasno pa sega da se zatskrivas zad psevdo-anoniment akaunt? Iako mislam ne si isklucok tuku pravilo - 95% od MKtwitter e psevdo/anonimen.
9:33 AM · Dec 20, 2022 · 174 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @EhemijaMk
Pofali se te molam :-) Treba se pofalis za vakov uspeh. Cestitki! Ne cekaj od drugi. I napisi si go i imeto? Ne pisuvas nesto kontraverzno/strasno pa sega da se zatskrivas zad psevdo-anoniment akaunt? Iako mislam ne si isklucok tuku pravilo - 95% od MKtwitter e psevdo/anonimen.
9:33 AM · Dec 20, 2022 · 174 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1605137514020356098
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @EhemijaMk
I za promocija treba i talent i rabota, ok e da ne e covek se-sposoben da stigne se, i plus ne moze da se ima vreme za se. Super e web sajtot - fala! Sinot e hemicar - e bash ke mu go pofalam sajtot. :-)
9:46 AM · Dec 20, 2022 · 51 Views
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @EhemijaMk
I za promocija treba i talent i rabota, ok e da ne e covek se-sposoben da stigne se, i plus ne moze da se ima vreme za se. Super e web sajtot - fala! Sinot e hemicar - e bash ke mu go pofalam sajtot. :-)
9:46 AM · Dec 20, 2022 · 51 Views
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1602377790535487492
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kardelj_jr
Threadov me potseti na dilemite vo developmental economics: zasto nekoi grupi luge (gradovi, drzavi, nacii) uspevaat da se organiziraat da stvorat uslovi sekoja godina da im e malku podobro (vo prosek) od prethodnata, a drugi ne uspevaat? I kako uspevaat, sto e tajnata na uspehot
7:00 PM · Dec 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kardelj_jr
Threadov me potseti na dilemite vo developmental economics: zasto nekoi grupi luge (gradovi, drzavi, nacii) uspevaat da se organiziraat da stvorat uslovi sekoja godina da im e malku podobro (vo prosek) od prethodnata, a drugi ne uspevaat? I kako uspevaat, sto e tajnata na uspehot
7:00 PM · Dec 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585901344023404546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @antoguerrera @DuncanWeldon and @BBCArchive
Solid reasoning there, and pragmatic too. His argument: don't want to have sections of my audience turn off, b/c they hate or mock the accent of the presenters. Can't fault that really.
8:48 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @antoguerrera @DuncanWeldon and @BBCArchive
Solid reasoning there, and pragmatic too. His argument: don't want to have sections of my audience turn off, b/c they hate or mock the accent of the presenters. Can't fault that really.
8:48 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585953922455597056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Fine giving regional accents a helping hand - but is BBC the best for that? Platforming accents A+B on BBC at once results in howls of anger from accent C. With A+B+C platformed still no happily ever after: they now squabble about the quotas. Accents are part of identity - tricky
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Fine giving regional accents a helping hand - but is BBC the best for that? Platforming accents A+B on BBC at once results in howls of anger from accent C. With A+B+C platformed still no happily ever after: they now squabble about the quotas. Accents are part of identity - tricky
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585989580641415168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Maybe - call it best/MAX case: A,B,C learn to co-exist. But accents are alive memes, they will want to expand. What'd be the worst/MIN case? I can think of: accent B acquires a navy and then displaces A&C. To me it looks like by inventing "a BBC accent" D, that was circumvented.
2:39 PM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Maybe - call it best/MAX case: A,B,C learn to co-exist. But accents are alive memes, they will want to expand. What'd be the worst/MIN case? I can think of: accent B acquires a navy and then displaces A&C. To me it looks like by inventing "a BBC accent" D, that was circumvented.
2:39 PM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586019614907314176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Agreed - no perfect solution. Accent D - being dominant - didn't feel the need to extinguish A,B,C - so that's good. Yes - D could let in A-B-C a bit. Also maybe new/social media is a huge opportunity for A,B,C. Everything is in the air atm, many ears&eyeballs are up for grabs.
4:38 PM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Agreed - no perfect solution. Accent D - being dominant - didn't feel the need to extinguish A,B,C - so that's good. Yes - D could let in A-B-C a bit. Also maybe new/social media is a huge opportunity for A,B,C. Everything is in the air atm, many ears&eyeballs are up for grabs.
4:38 PM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586017456141012992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Yes! - thank you 🙏 same here - amazing! UK/ENG are my adopted ctry/lang. Learned to love them both 😀 Imho does help if one is tad removed. Thought that clip's so British - muddle through, avoid the worst case, and thorough out stay practical, there'a job to be done after all.
4:30 PM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Yes! - thank you 🙏 same here - amazing! UK/ENG are my adopted ctry/lang. Learned to love them both 😀 Imho does help if one is tad removed. Thought that clip's so British - muddle through, avoid the worst case, and thorough out stay practical, there'a job to be done after all.
4:30 PM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586008407227568128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PeterZeihan
This is an excellent thread on nuclear deterrent, CEEurope, USA/domestic politics, what happens if UKR is fed to RUS bear, or not - https://twitter.com/jmkorhonen/status/1585567662788280320
IMHO if UKR loses/territory, then PLN should and will acquire nuclear deterrent together with the Baltics.
Quote Tweet
Janne M. Korhonen (@jmkorhonen@mastodo.fi) @jmkorhonen · Oct 27, 2022
I'm increasingly troubled by how Western analysts fail to grasp how differently Eastern Europe sees what is at stake if Ukraine loses. Discussions about #nuclearweapons are a case in point.
Here's a great piece about proliferation by @Nick_L_Miller.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/10/17/ukraine-war-russia-nuclear-proliferation-iran-south-korea/
Show this thread
3:54 PM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PeterZeihan
This is an excellent thread on nuclear deterrent, CEEurope, USA/domestic politics, what happens if UKR is fed to RUS bear, or not - https://twitter.com/jmkorhonen/status/1585567662788280320
IMHO if UKR loses/territory, then PLN should and will acquire nuclear deterrent together with the Baltics.
Quote Tweet
Janne M. Korhonen (@jmkorhonen@mastodo.fi) @jmkorhonen · Oct 27, 2022
I'm increasingly troubled by how Western analysts fail to grasp how differently Eastern Europe sees what is at stake if Ukraine loses. Discussions about #nuclearweapons are a case in point.
Here's a great piece about proliferation by @Nick_L_Miller.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/10/17/ukraine-war-russia-nuclear-proliferation-iran-south-korea/
Show this thread
3:54 PM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585873330812649472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
Reminded me of @samvaknin (TC @ ~35') clinical psychology PoV to victimhood movements, victimhood adopted as identity https://youtube.com/watch?v=90geCgwdOi4&t=2060s . YU war criminals in the Hague made the argument too ("did genocide sacrificed self so next gen can live"), ISIS' likewise victimhood mvmt
youtube.com
Narcissistic Abuse and Victim Aggression (Interview in Bronson Men)
I talk to Andras Lacfi of Bronson Men about narcissistic abuse as distinct from all other types of abuse owing to its underlying psychological dynamics and w...
6:57 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
Reminded me of @samvaknin (TC @ ~35') clinical psychology PoV to victimhood movements, victimhood adopted as identity https://youtube.com/watch?v=90geCgwdOi4&t=2060s . YU war criminals in the Hague made the argument too ("did genocide sacrificed self so next gen can live"), ISIS' likewise victimhood mvmt
youtube.com
Narcissistic Abuse and Victim Aggression (Interview in Bronson Men)
I talk to Andras Lacfi of Bronson Men about narcissistic abuse as distinct from all other types of abuse owing to its underlying psychological dynamics and w...
6:57 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585711002150371328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Nick_L_Miller
You article is great, but I think it does not address the *existential* in the threat, ref-ed here https://twitter.com/jmkorhonen/status/1585567668681203715 . Think Israel v.s. Arab neighbour countries. It would be irrational for CEEurope to not develop a nuclear deterrent - RUS is not going away anytime soon.
Quote Tweet
Janne M. Korhonen (@jmkorhonen@mastodo.fi) @jmkorhonen · Oct 27, 2022
From what I've gathered, Eastern Europe strongly sees war in Ukraine as near-existential. In Eastern Europe, many believe (and not without justification) that the West abandoned them in 1945. Now the threat from the East has returned. And the West seems to hesitate already.
Show this thread
8:12 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Nick_L_Miller
You article is great, but I think it does not address the *existential* in the threat, ref-ed here https://twitter.com/jmkorhonen/status/1585567668681203715 . Think Israel v.s. Arab neighbour countries. It would be irrational for CEEurope to not develop a nuclear deterrent - RUS is not going away anytime soon.
Quote Tweet
Janne M. Korhonen (@jmkorhonen@mastodo.fi) @jmkorhonen · Oct 27, 2022
From what I've gathered, Eastern Europe strongly sees war in Ukraine as near-existential. In Eastern Europe, many believe (and not without justification) that the West abandoned them in 1945. Now the threat from the East has returned. And the West seems to hesitate already.
Show this thread
8:12 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586323169232957440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary
Getting ever closer - see e.g. @OpenAI 's Whisper: speech -> text -> translation -> text -> speech. See https://twitter.com/sama/status/1572633082972475393 . How long to babelfish - no-one knows. It's the dream of many. Current progress was not thought possible even 15 years ago.
Quote Tweet
Sam Altman @sama · Sep 21, 2022
near human-level speech recognition, open-sourced:
https://openai.com/blog/whisper/
(check out the examples, i find them difficult)
Show this thread
12:44 PM · Oct 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary
Getting ever closer - see e.g. @OpenAI 's Whisper: speech -> text -> translation -> text -> speech. See https://twitter.com/sama/status/1572633082972475393 . How long to babelfish - no-one knows. It's the dream of many. Current progress was not thought possible even 15 years ago.
Quote Tweet
Sam Altman @sama · Sep 21, 2022
near human-level speech recognition, open-sourced:
https://openai.com/blog/whisper/
(check out the examples, i find them difficult)
Show this thread
12:44 PM · Oct 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585929788899721216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @bo_novak and @BBCArchive
Try not to assume the worst in people. Alternative: he has a scar on the left side of the face, given the age => WW1 injury? On the left side => ear affected. Hearing loss with age + partially deaf in the left ear => turn the right ear towards the speaker in order to hear better.
10:41 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @bo_novak and @BBCArchive
Try not to assume the worst in people. Alternative: he has a scar on the left side of the face, given the age => WW1 injury? On the left side => ear affected. Hearing loss with age + partially deaf in the left ear => turn the right ear towards the speaker in order to hear better.
10:41 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586766324117737473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JohnKennedyEsq
Man eaters caught an explorer in the wild. They told him: say something, make a claim. If true, we will roast you and eat you. If false, we will stew you then eat you. The explorer said something, and they let him free. What did the explorer say?
5:05 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JohnKennedyEsq
Man eaters caught an explorer in the wild. They told him: say something, make a claim. If true, we will roast you and eat you. If false, we will stew you then eat you. The explorer said something, and they let him free. What did the explorer say?
5:05 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586696923167293448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @James_BG
Only UK alone getting rid of DST and fixing to either GMT or BST will create further grief if not in sync with the rest of Europe. So it'd have to be change synced with all european countries. An agreement about anything in the entire continent of Europe - that's a tall order.
12:30 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @James_BG
Only UK alone getting rid of DST and fixing to either GMT or BST will create further grief if not in sync with the rest of Europe. So it'd have to be change synced with all european countries. An agreement about anything in the entire continent of Europe - that's a tall order.
12:30 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586684274266234880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @stuarthammond14
Yes. Last I drove into London was to a Royal Albert Hall concert, found that Princess Diana Hyde Park memorial parking was 1) free after 6:30pm 2) almost deserted, loads of spaces free. That was sweet - convenient and unexpected. Had braced myself to a horror show Re: parking.
11:39 AM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @stuarthammond14
Yes. Last I drove into London was to a Royal Albert Hall concert, found that Princess Diana Hyde Park memorial parking was 1) free after 6:30pm 2) almost deserted, loads of spaces free. That was sweet - convenient and unexpected. Had braced myself to a horror show Re: parking.
11:39 AM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585602224222339073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
Yeah - "A faraway country of which we know nothing" 😮
1:00 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
Yeah - "A faraway country of which we know nothing" 😮
1:00 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585609075022249985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
I'm antiwar. Peace to break all need to agree to it, for a war to break it suffices one side to wage it. Fear that Crimea 2014 lesson RU learned is "war works fine". RU propaganda says that what Putin thinks, and they are not shy to say what it is
Quote Tweet
Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en · Oct 27, 2022
We'll put 10-15 million of people "under rifle" [mobilize] and we'll take a walk across Europe.
If they don't understand something - there's nuclear weapon to clarify." - Solovyev
Embedded video
1:27 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
I'm antiwar. Peace to break all need to agree to it, for a war to break it suffices one side to wage it. Fear that Crimea 2014 lesson RU learned is "war works fine". RU propaganda says that what Putin thinks, and they are not shy to say what it is
Quote Tweet
Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en · Oct 27, 2022
We'll put 10-15 million of people "under rifle" [mobilize] and we'll take a walk across Europe.
If they don't understand something - there's nuclear weapon to clarify." - Solovyev
Embedded video
1:27 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585612362102480896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
I don't, that would be a disaster. But -
> for a war to break it suffices one side to wage it
... and I fear RU is going to keep doing it. After Ukraine then Moldavia quickly, the Baltics next and then they'll invade Poland. US will then have to decide: go nuclear or lose Europe.
1:40 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
I don't, that would be a disaster. But -
> for a war to break it suffices one side to wage it
... and I fear RU is going to keep doing it. After Ukraine then Moldavia quickly, the Baltics next and then they'll invade Poland. US will then have to decide: go nuclear or lose Europe.
1:40 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585616962415108096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
One could equally say: your ignorance confusing ends (peace) with means (not necessarily pacifism), will lead us to WW3 nuclear holocaust. Like the 1939 experience that ended in WW2. Not cheerleading but fearing. Noone can know the future 10-20 years with any certainty. Stay well
1:58 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
One could equally say: your ignorance confusing ends (peace) with means (not necessarily pacifism), will lead us to WW3 nuclear holocaust. Like the 1939 experience that ended in WW2. Not cheerleading but fearing. Noone can know the future 10-20 years with any certainty. Stay well
1:58 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585620789751156737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
You stop cheerleading war. If Russia attacks Estonia, and that works for them, then Russia will attack Poland next. And then the risk of nuclear war will go up 100x times.
2:13 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
You stop cheerleading war. If Russia attacks Estonia, and that works for them, then Russia will attack Poland next. And then the risk of nuclear war will go up 100x times.
2:13 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585628392128663552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
No one is declaring war on anyone. Your logic is faulty. Per your logic, after Crimea 2014, there shouldn't have been a further invasion. Yet, it happened. Think more please
2:44 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
No one is declaring war on anyone. Your logic is faulty. Per your logic, after Crimea 2014, there shouldn't have been a further invasion. Yet, it happened. Think more please
2:44 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585627368416505856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
... and yet - RUS attacked invaded UKR. How does that support your logic? It doesn't - it contradicts your logic. Further - UK doesn't need to declare war on RU. Only to help Estonia defend itself.
2:39 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
... and yet - RUS attacked invaded UKR. How does that support your logic? It doesn't - it contradicts your logic. Further - UK doesn't need to declare war on RU. Only to help Estonia defend itself.
2:39 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585631027065950211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
Oh. I am sure your unique insight into that is very valuable. Quick, pick up the phone, call Putin, tell him what he did wrong and how he should do right. They must be waiting with a baited breath. Have a good day - bye.
2:54 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nonregemesse and @BBCNews
Oh. I am sure your unique insight into that is very valuable. Quick, pick up the phone, call Putin, tell him what he did wrong and how he should do right. They must be waiting with a baited breath. Have a good day - bye.
2:54 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586025948683853824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MizLiot @jazzaoxon and 4 others
Yes - it's a refusal to engage, for whatever reasons. While it's unpleasant, one seeks practical solution. Passing moral judgement does not solve the problem of message-not-received. It will not make the receiver not-ridicule the accent. People'd switch off and BBC cared abt that
5:03 PM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MizLiot @jazzaoxon and 4 others
Yes - it's a refusal to engage, for whatever reasons. While it's unpleasant, one seeks practical solution. Passing moral judgement does not solve the problem of message-not-received. It will not make the receiver not-ridicule the accent. People'd switch off and BBC cared abt that
5:03 PM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585905328901697537
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MeiLewis @antoguerrera and 2 others
Laugh - maybe, but not mock or hate. Avoiding the latters is his clearly articulated aim. Doesn't seem out of mind to me: if transmitting a message, chose a form that won't make the receiver turn off, solely b/c of the form, without even getting to the content of the message.
9:04 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MeiLewis @antoguerrera and 2 others
Laugh - maybe, but not mock or hate. Avoiding the latters is his clearly articulated aim. Doesn't seem out of mind to me: if transmitting a message, chose a form that won't make the receiver turn off, solely b/c of the form, without even getting to the content of the message.
9:04 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586305114142294016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Peacenik45 @MeiLewis and 3 others
They/we shouldn't, no one is pro-hate, didn't think the clip showed any. He invented a new accent, so there'd be no hating (nor mocking). So pple get the content of the message, do not switch off before merely judging the form. True this touches identity, is "least bad not ideal"
11:33 AM · Oct 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Peacenik45 @MeiLewis and 3 others
They/we shouldn't, no one is pro-hate, didn't think the clip showed any. He invented a new accent, so there'd be no hating (nor mocking). So pple get the content of the message, do not switch off before merely judging the form. True this touches identity, is "least bad not ideal"
11:33 AM · Oct 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586730961617752066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @OxSoc and @CJFDillow
At least it gets people to 1) acknowledge priors exist 2) articulate those priors. Loads of people are articulate, erudite and persuasive, while being illogical (admit one can't hope many to be numerate too). So formalizing the reasoning process a bit is not the worst of starts.
2:45 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @OxSoc and @CJFDillow
At least it gets people to 1) acknowledge priors exist 2) articulate those priors. Loads of people are articulate, erudite and persuasive, while being illogical (admit one can't hope many to be numerate too). So formalizing the reasoning process a bit is not the worst of starts.
2:45 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585869003431415808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kevinmcld and @erikphoel
That's interesting - thanks. Anecdata - I noticed maybe about half of my peers seemed less than ideally equipped with analytic reasoning brain h/w useful to solve everyday life problems, once I got exposed to the wider spectrum of humanity (while doing the national service).
6:40 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kevinmcld and @erikphoel
That's interesting - thanks. Anecdata - I noticed maybe about half of my peers seemed less than ideally equipped with analytic reasoning brain h/w useful to solve everyday life problems, once I got exposed to the wider spectrum of humanity (while doing the national service).
6:40 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586311050353594368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jimthevic @RubenLopezW and 3 others
I hear you, and the corollary alluded: people will like each other once they get to know each other. To be the devil's advocate: possible people hate each other b/c they know each other. Liberalism solution is - tolerance. We don't have to like, but merely tolerate, each other.
11:56 AM · Oct 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jimthevic @RubenLopezW and 3 others
I hear you, and the corollary alluded: people will like each other once they get to know each other. To be the devil's advocate: possible people hate each other b/c they know each other. Liberalism solution is - tolerance. We don't have to like, but merely tolerate, each other.
11:56 AM · Oct 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585922488738914304
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NemoSalus @philjvtaylor and 2 others
🤣🤣 he's got 7 likes atm at 10:11am BST - so not all is bad with the world. cheer up!
10:12 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NemoSalus @philjvtaylor and 2 others
🤣🤣 he's got 7 likes atm at 10:11am BST - so not all is bad with the world. cheer up!
10:12 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585926925440221185
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NemoSalus @philjvtaylor and 2 others
Yeah, unfortunate, that death cults are appealing to people. But I think the appeal is skin deep. As soon as the energy costs started biting into the budgets, the vast majority of people could distinguish which side the bread is buttered on.
10:30 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NemoSalus @philjvtaylor and 2 others
Yeah, unfortunate, that death cults are appealing to people. But I think the appeal is skin deep. As soon as the energy costs started biting into the budgets, the vast majority of people could distinguish which side the bread is buttered on.
10:30 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586019614907314176
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Agreed - no perfect solution. Accent D - being dominant - didn't feel the need to extinguish A,B,C - so that's good. Yes - D could let in A-B-C a bit. Also maybe new/social media is a huge opportunity for A,B,C. Everything is in the air atm, many ears&eyeballs are up for grabs.
4:38 PM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RubenLopezW @antoguerrera and 2 others
Agreed - no perfect solution. Accent D - being dominant - didn't feel the need to extinguish A,B,C - so that's good. Yes - D could let in A-B-C a bit. Also maybe new/social media is a huge opportunity for A,B,C. Everything is in the air atm, many ears&eyeballs are up for grabs.
4:38 PM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585875426215591936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pajkico @elonmusk and 2 others
Meaningless to you. In the real world 120M CEEurope people, some slavic, some ortodox, some slavic&ortodox, run away as fast as they could the second RUS jackboot was lifted off their necks in 1990. Medvedev, Putin & TV props do tell us what comes next -
Quote Tweet
Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en · Oct 27, 2022
We'll put 10-15 million of people "under rifle" [mobilize] and we'll take a walk across Europe.
If they don't understand something - there's nuclear weapon to clarify." - Solovyev
Embedded video
7:05 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pajkico @elonmusk and 2 others
Meaningless to you. In the real world 120M CEEurope people, some slavic, some ortodox, some slavic&ortodox, run away as fast as they could the second RUS jackboot was lifted off their necks in 1990. Medvedev, Putin & TV props do tell us what comes next -
Quote Tweet
Anton Gerashchenko @Gerashchenko_en · Oct 27, 2022
We'll put 10-15 million of people "under rifle" [mobilize] and we'll take a walk across Europe.
If they don't understand something - there's nuclear weapon to clarify." - Solovyev
Embedded video
7:05 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585696212568637466
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pajkico @elonmusk and 2 others
I address what I want to address - thank you very much - and ofc you are free to do the same. If you want something addressed - address it. No one here is someone else's personal assistant. Bases etc - you are free to take that up with the countries hosting the bases.
7:13 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pajkico @elonmusk and 2 others
I address what I want to address - thank you very much - and ofc you are free to do the same. If you want something addressed - address it. No one here is someone else's personal assistant. Bases etc - you are free to take that up with the countries hosting the bases.
7:13 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1584560517682589696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @elonmusk @SquawkCNBC and @Kasparov63
Address his arguments. Otherwise - you are losing the argument. His main argument is: if USA gives in to RUS now, then the Baltics and Poland will be invaded next.
4:00 PM · Oct 24, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @elonmusk @SquawkCNBC and @Kasparov63
Address his arguments. Otherwise - you are losing the argument. His main argument is: if USA gives in to RUS now, then the Baltics and Poland will be invaded next.
4:00 PM · Oct 24, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586320525034508288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ValueRaider @LawrieJohnston and 4 others
Maybe it was/is BBC's problem, as their aim is to reach everyone. Telling pple "travel more" won't improve reach. To be devils' advocate: one can travel more, and learn one doesn't like what they saw. Then what? Liberalism's solution - tolerance fine if love impossible - seems ok
12:34 PM · Oct 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ValueRaider @LawrieJohnston and 4 others
Maybe it was/is BBC's problem, as their aim is to reach everyone. Telling pple "travel more" won't improve reach. To be devils' advocate: one can travel more, and learn one doesn't like what they saw. Then what? Liberalism's solution - tolerance fine if love impossible - seems ok
12:34 PM · Oct 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586037607028465674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dz76_z @RubenLopezW and 3 others
Yes - but NB being widespread ("RP was a more widespread lingua franca") is not the criterion quoted. The criterion is 1) not hated 2) not mocked. No other attribute an accent can have gets a mention. Plus letter mentioned is the practicality given the imperfect equipment.
5:50 PM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dz76_z @RubenLopezW and 3 others
Yes - but NB being widespread ("RP was a more widespread lingua franca") is not the criterion quoted. The criterion is 1) not hated 2) not mocked. No other attribute an accent can have gets a mention. Plus letter mentioned is the practicality given the imperfect equipment.
5:50 PM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585902423628914688
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - no idea how and where from did you get the: "moronic", "proud", "ignorance", the royal we, the average. Other than that - top comment, reasonable and balanced. (not) Take a walk, calm down. Stay well
8:52 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - no idea how and where from did you get the: "moronic", "proud", "ignorance", the royal we, the average. Other than that - top comment, reasonable and balanced. (not) Take a walk, calm down. Stay well
8:52 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585593079867875328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DrHenryMarsh
Nothing frightening about a warm weather spell tbh, actually quite pleasant. Much better than cold, and especially for the old and vulnerable? What's not to like? Weather is not climate, if that's your worry.
12:23 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DrHenryMarsh
Nothing frightening about a warm weather spell tbh, actually quite pleasant. Much better than cold, and especially for the old and vulnerable? What's not to like? Weather is not climate, if that's your worry.
12:23 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586827434690809858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
Sto da pravele - pomognalo. Sto pushat etc - tie si znaat, ne im go beri ti gajleto. Gledaj si go svojot dvor. 120M luge vo CEEvropa, nekoi sloveni, nekoi pravoslavni, nekoi i sloveni i pravoslavni - i site begaat od Rusija kako gjavol od krst, 1990-ta prva sansa i site izbegaa.
Our World in Data graph of life expectancy 1961 to 2019, countries of Central and Eastern Europe.
9:08 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
Sto da pravele - pomognalo. Sto pushat etc - tie si znaat, ne im go beri ti gajleto. Gledaj si go svojot dvor. 120M luge vo CEEvropa, nekoi sloveni, nekoi pravoslavni, nekoi i sloveni i pravoslavni - i site begaat od Rusija kako gjavol od krst, 1990-ta prva sansa i site izbegaa.
Our World in Data graph of life expectancy 1961 to 2019, countries of Central and Eastern Europe.
9:08 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585888377446043648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @marmar_md_l @LeCaffeine and @joinmastodon
MEkogoas go poglednuvam (kako @ljupco@mstdn.io). Nema kriticna masa, standardno za social media, ima chicken-and-egg problem: nikoj ne go koristi posto nikoj drug ne go koristi. :-) Ne sum nasol nesto interesno. Me interesira deka e decentraliziran, e federated, nema eden centar
7:57 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @marmar_md_l @LeCaffeine and @joinmastodon
MEkogoas go poglednuvam (kako @ljupco@mstdn.io). Nema kriticna masa, standardno za social media, ima chicken-and-egg problem: nikoj ne go koristi posto nikoj drug ne go koristi. :-) Ne sum nasol nesto interesno. Me interesira deka e decentraliziran, e federated, nema eden centar
7:57 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585904318405873668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @LeCaffeine and @joinmastodon
British Indian Ocean Territory 😄😄 Im padnala sekirata vo med so "what's in a name", ne znam zasto ili kako ama edno vreme TLD .io stana popularen, posebno so kompjuterdzii I/O=Input Ouput valjda?
9:00 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @LeCaffeine and @joinmastodon
British Indian Ocean Territory 😄😄 Im padnala sekirata vo med so "what's in a name", ne znam zasto ili kako ama edno vreme TLD .io stana popularen, posebno so kompjuterdzii I/O=Input Ouput valjda?
9:00 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586722749959049219
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @borokitanoski
Da. Toa sto e konstantno i gi povrzuva ne e ideoloogija, tuku metodot: so muskuli, sila, strav, nasilstvo - udri, klocni, skrsi, plukni, zapali, ubij i t.n. Obicno luzeri, osven ako ne im se posreki (a nas ostanatite - unesreki) pa vo nekoja katastrofa da se dokopaat do vlast.
2:12 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @borokitanoski
Da. Toa sto e konstantno i gi povrzuva ne e ideoloogija, tuku metodot: so muskuli, sila, strav, nasilstvo - udri, klocni, skrsi, plukni, zapali, ubij i t.n. Obicno luzeri, osven ako ne im se posreki (a nas ostanatite - unesreki) pa vo nekoja katastrofa da se dokopaat do vlast.
2:12 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586702132660559872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Roma92377181
Nesnaodlivi sto ne brkaat vrski i se sramat prijatel da gi vnese preku red tonat vo MK sistem. Porano ili podocna ili propagaat totalno, ili se pridruzuvaat na sistemot. Promena na sistem bara sinhronizirana promena, no toa e mission impossible slicno na "noviot sovetski covek".
12:50 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Roma92377181
Nesnaodlivi sto ne brkaat vrski i se sramat prijatel da gi vnese preku red tonat vo MK sistem. Porano ili podocna ili propagaat totalno, ili se pridruzuvaat na sistemot. Promena na sistem bara sinhronizirana promena, no toa e mission impossible slicno na "noviot sovetski covek".
12:50 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1587006168647536641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrlaBrla
Iskustvoto pokazuva - tesko e. I zatoa skopjani i ponatamu treba da prodolzat da baraat, pa mozebi i ke najdat vo nekoj moment. Ako se otkazat i ne baraat - nema da najdat sigurno.
8:58 AM · Oct 31, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrlaBrla
Iskustvoto pokazuva - tesko e. I zatoa skopjani i ponatamu treba da prodolzat da baraat, pa mozebi i ke najdat vo nekoj moment. Ako se otkazat i ne baraat - nema da najdat sigurno.
8:58 AM · Oct 31, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586673054096261120
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Da :-) Pointeresno e: vo 30 godini se izredija site mozni vladi, i niedna ne uspea da ja napravi taa pruga - Zasto? Ne sum procital nikade nesto na taa tema - Zasto? JIMHO nema pobaruvacka, nikoj nesto posebno ne ja saka, ne peka i ne kenka po taa pruga, i zatoa ne se gradi.
10:55 AM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Da :-) Pointeresno e: vo 30 godini se izredija site mozni vladi, i niedna ne uspea da ja napravi taa pruga - Zasto? Ne sum procital nikade nesto na taa tema - Zasto? JIMHO nema pobaruvacka, nikoj nesto posebno ne ja saka, ne peka i ne kenka po taa pruga, i zatoa ne se gradi.
10:55 AM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586692731283423233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Ne velam deka NATO ne e faktor, no mislam ne e edinstven: ako pamtam, prv pat slusnav za pruga do BG vo vremeto na Kljusev vlada vo 1990-ti. Imase SRB sankcii na sever, a posle i na jug GRC stavi embargo. Edno vreme snema i benzin vo MK. 😮 Togas prv pat ja chuv ideata "BG pruga"
12:13 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Ne velam deka NATO ne e faktor, no mislam ne e edinstven: ako pamtam, prv pat slusnav za pruga do BG vo vremeto na Kljusev vlada vo 1990-ti. Imase SRB sankcii na sever, a posle i na jug GRC stavi embargo. Edno vreme snema i benzin vo MK. 😮 Togas prv pat ja chuv ideata "BG pruga"
12:13 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586698361633181696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Da se nadevame deka ke e 3-ta sreka. 😮 Koga e za puter - mnogu interesenti, ama sekoj so mal interes (1). Koga e za topovi - pomalku interesenti, ama silno zainteresirani (2). Izgleda silata (1) << (2). Duri ima vetuvanje, ima i nadezh deka mozebi nesto i ke napravite nekogas.
12:35 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Da se nadevame deka ke e 3-ta sreka. 😮 Koga e za puter - mnogu interesenti, ama sekoj so mal interes (1). Koga e za topovi - pomalku interesenti, ama silno zainteresirani (2). Izgleda silata (1) << (2). Duri ima vetuvanje, ima i nadezh deka mozebi nesto i ke napravite nekogas.
12:35 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585883811120041984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @LeCaffeine
Ke vidime - ne znae nikoj (pa ni toj samiot) dali ke go zafrkne do tolku. Inzinerski, kompjuterdziski - veruvam deka ke go podobri toj aspekt. Ima @joinmastodon za backup stalno :-)
7:38 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @LeCaffeine
Ke vidime - ne znae nikoj (pa ni toj samiot) dali ke go zafrkne do tolku. Inzinerski, kompjuterdziski - veruvam deka ke go podobri toj aspekt. Ima @joinmastodon za backup stalno :-)
7:38 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586989442262335488
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @trojanska_
Veruvam nikoj ne znae. Kako TW odlucuva koi tvitovi da mi gi pokaze vo TL, mi lici deka i nikoj od TW ne znae. Nekoj program odlucuva, koj ne verojatno ne bil mnogu dobar ni na pocetok, a ne bil ni podobren od togas.
7:52 AM · Oct 31, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @trojanska_
Veruvam nikoj ne znae. Kako TW odlucuva koi tvitovi da mi gi pokaze vo TL, mi lici deka i nikoj od TW ne znae. Nekoj program odlucuva, koj ne verojatno ne bil mnogu dobar ni na pocetok, a ne bil ni podobren od togas.
7:52 AM · Oct 31, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586736460274831361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljubetwit
Сам од себе канал нема да се постави. Реално - треба директорот на МТВ или Радио Скопје да мисли дека таков канал е 1) вреден 2) пожелен 3) треба тој/таа да го направи. Па да одвои буџет, ангажира луѓе, ресурси и сл. Алтернатива како герилски обид обично замира по некое време.
3:07 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljubetwit
Сам од себе канал нема да се постави. Реално - треба директорот на МТВ или Радио Скопје да мисли дека таков канал е 1) вреден 2) пожелен 3) треба тој/таа да го направи. Па да одвои буџет, ангажира луѓе, ресурси и сл. Алтернатива како герилски обид обично замира по некое време.
3:07 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585718303485722624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mkCoder @Jovanovski_mk and 2 others
Fala - da, razbiram. I jas slicno mislam. No - pri zainteresirani strani 1) sopstvenik na plac 2) gradezna firma 3) opstina izdavac na dozvola 4) kupuvac 5) ostanati SKP gragani, gledam moi poznati edno mislat koga se 1-4, a drugo koga se vo pozicija 5. Vaka gledano od dalecina.
8:41 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mkCoder @Jovanovski_mk and 2 others
Fala - da, razbiram. I jas slicno mislam. No - pri zainteresirani strani 1) sopstvenik na plac 2) gradezna firma 3) opstina izdavac na dozvola 4) kupuvac 5) ostanati SKP gragani, gledam moi poznati edno mislat koga se 1-4, a drugo koga se vo pozicija 5. Vaka gledano od dalecina.
8:41 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585618103756619779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Jovanovski_mk @BlazoElixir and 2 others
Huh? Sami si postavuvate imaginarni prasanja, sami si odgovarate. Prilicno fenomenalno. 😂 Nisto od toa sto napisavte ne gledam deka ima vrska so originalnata zabeleska - https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585592056751210499 . Sedete si zdravje - cao.
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 27, 2022
Replying to @Jovanovski_mk @mkCoder and @sankarizam
Site vo SKP zborat protiv gradenje, no 1) Gradovite se najproduktivniot del od zemjata, nosat progres 2) Tie sto zborat ziveat vo naselbi Aerodrom, Kapistec i sl koi ne postoele pred 1975-ta. Komunalni problemi ima da - ama resenie e vo nivno resavanje, ne vo negradenje na SKP.
2:03 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Jovanovski_mk @BlazoElixir and 2 others
Huh? Sami si postavuvate imaginarni prasanja, sami si odgovarate. Prilicno fenomenalno. 😂 Nisto od toa sto napisavte ne gledam deka ima vrska so originalnata zabeleska - https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585592056751210499 . Sedete si zdravje - cao.
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 27, 2022
Replying to @Jovanovski_mk @mkCoder and @sankarizam
Site vo SKP zborat protiv gradenje, no 1) Gradovite se najproduktivniot del od zemjata, nosat progres 2) Tie sto zborat ziveat vo naselbi Aerodrom, Kapistec i sl koi ne postoele pred 1975-ta. Komunalni problemi ima da - ama resenie e vo nivno resavanje, ne vo negradenje na SKP.
2:03 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585592056751210499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Jovanovski_mk @mkCoder and @sankarizam
Site vo SKP zborat protiv gradenje, no 1) Gradovite se najproduktivniot del od zemjata, nosat progres 2) Tie sto zborat ziveat vo naselbi Aerodrom, Kapistec i sl koi ne postoele pred 1975-ta. Komunalni problemi ima da - ama resenie e vo nivno resavanje, ne vo negradenje na SKP.
12:19 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Jovanovski_mk @mkCoder and @sankarizam
Site vo SKP zborat protiv gradenje, no 1) Gradovite se najproduktivniot del od zemjata, nosat progres 2) Tie sto zborat ziveat vo naselbi Aerodrom, Kapistec i sl koi ne postoele pred 1975-ta. Komunalni problemi ima da - ama resenie e vo nivno resavanje, ne vo negradenje na SKP.
12:19 PM · Oct 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586726175619129344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @borokitanoski
Da - nacionalizmot e sila, koj i da e na vlast, razumno e da go vklopi vo sistemot. MK e super primer. Vo MK sepak komunistite ja gradea nacijata 1945+ : jazik, crkva, institucii, drzava i se sto odi so nacionalna drzava. I liberalizmot slicno go vklopuva nacionalizmot vo sistem.
2:26 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @borokitanoski
Da - nacionalizmot e sila, koj i da e na vlast, razumno e da go vklopi vo sistemot. MK e super primer. Vo MK sepak komunistite ja gradea nacijata 1945+ : jazik, crkva, institucii, drzava i se sto odi so nacionalna drzava. I liberalizmot slicno go vklopuva nacionalizmot vo sistem.
2:26 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586832103756414980
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
Nivna ruska rabota dali begaat ili ne. CEEvropa prva prilika izbegaa od Rusija. Ne gledam sto e sporno - posle Ungarija 1956, Chehoslovacka 1968, Polska 1980 i sl. Nikoj ne place za ruska cizma pak da go gazi na vrat. Glej si go ti dvorot svoj, ne beri tugi gajlinja.
9:27 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
Nivna ruska rabota dali begaat ili ne. CEEvropa prva prilika izbegaa od Rusija. Ne gledam sto e sporno - posle Ungarija 1956, Chehoslovacka 1968, Polska 1980 i sl. Nikoj ne place za ruska cizma pak da go gazi na vrat. Glej si go ti dvorot svoj, ne beri tugi gajlinja.
9:27 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586834452881309696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
E argument kontra tvoeto tvrdenje deka CEEvropa kao ne znaele sto pravat, pogresno pravele. Demek - sto ne si sedele so Rusija, oni vo zabluda ne znaat, i ti sega ke im raskazes sto e kako i kako treba da ziveat oni. Smeski.
9:36 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
E argument kontra tvoeto tvrdenje deka CEEvropa kao ne znaele sto pravat, pogresno pravele. Demek - sto ne si sedele so Rusija, oni vo zabluda ne znaat, i ti sega ke im raskazes sto e kako i kako treba da ziveat oni. Smeski.
9:36 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586838463172804608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
Toa "kurvanje, makroa, procenti" etc - e vo tvojata glava. Vo realniot svet drzavite imaat interesi, se borat za niv i sl. EU ja pomaga MK 30 god. "Ne ne ebavaat 2%" - MK e 2M vs. 500M evropa = 0.4% => pa 2% vnimanie e nad ocekuvanje. Nikoj nema obvrska MK da ja tetoshi i nutka.
9:52 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
Toa "kurvanje, makroa, procenti" etc - e vo tvojata glava. Vo realniot svet drzavite imaat interesi, se borat za niv i sl. EU ja pomaga MK 30 god. "Ne ne ebavaat 2%" - MK e 2M vs. 500M evropa = 0.4% => pa 2% vnimanie e nad ocekuvanje. Nikoj nema obvrska MK da ja tetoshi i nutka.
9:52 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1586840656802156545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
MK pravi sto pravi posto e vo interes na MK. Iako ti ne go gledas. Inflacija radi sankcii - ne se samo sankciite, MK so RU ima mala trgovska razmena. Menuvanje ime bese preduslov MK da vleze vo NATO (i perspektivno i vo EU). GR ja blokirase MK 30 god, i ke ja blokirase uste 330.
10:01 PM · Oct 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dejan50421621 and @NikolaStrez
MK pravi sto pravi posto e vo interes na MK. Iako ti ne go gledas. Inflacija radi sankcii - ne se samo sankciite, MK so RU ima mala trgovska razmena. Menuvanje ime bese preduslov MK da vleze vo NATO (i perspektivno i vo EU). GR ja blokirase MK 30 god, i ke ja blokirase uste 330.
10:01 PM · Oct 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1585889482670104576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @astrogrev
Da :-) Toa malku kako na pola pat do privaten kuvar: sekoj obrok veke smislen, izracunato kolku od sto, namirnicite surovinite se snabdeni. Bi rekol - 1/2 od naporot "nahrani se denes" e zavrsen :-)
8:01 AM · Oct 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @astrogrev
Da :-) Toa malku kako na pola pat do privaten kuvar: sekoj obrok veke smislen, izracunato kolku od sto, namirnicite surovinite se snabdeni. Bi rekol - 1/2 od naporot "nahrani se denes" e zavrsen :-)
8:01 AM · Oct 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574864386526781441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Obviously ludicrous numbers are used for intimidation of the population under occupation: "we know you know we are lying, but you can do nothing about it, so suck it". Good explainer by
Quote Tweet
Kristo Nurmis @KristoNurmis · Sep 25, 2022
But why did the Soviets stage these elections? Why did they make millions of people physically participate in a predetermined vote? Why did they bother? 4/
9:51 PM · Sep 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Obviously ludicrous numbers are used for intimidation of the population under occupation: "we know you know we are lying, but you can do nothing about it, so suck it". Good explainer by
Quote Tweet
Kristo Nurmis @KristoNurmis · Sep 25, 2022
But why did the Soviets stage these elections? Why did they make millions of people physically participate in a predetermined vote? Why did they bother? 4/
9:51 PM · Sep 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575051873366970368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RobertERitz and @thomasforth
Yes - a population usually believes what the TV box tells them. It is easier that way to function in a society. If/when the TV-voice contradicts my lived experience, then I may start to question the TV-voice. Even then - there are many excuses available. C.f. media technologists.
10:16 AM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RobertERitz and @thomasforth
Yes - a population usually believes what the TV box tells them. It is easier that way to function in a society. If/when the TV-voice contradicts my lived experience, then I may start to question the TV-voice. Even then - there are many excuses available. C.f. media technologists.
10:16 AM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575102530308055040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ilangur
Free advice from random stranger: get out of academia, go into industry. There is more D in industrial R&D compared to academia (maybe a +ve or -ve, depends on the circumstances), more £££, less stress. More doing stuff, less writing about. What's not to like? My 2p.
1:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ilangur
Free advice from random stranger: get out of academia, go into industry. There is more D in industrial R&D compared to academia (maybe a +ve or -ve, depends on the circumstances), more £££, less stress. More doing stuff, less writing about. What's not to like? My 2p.
1:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1573935833543057411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sep 25, 2022
Replying to @PaulConRO
You are 101% right - there is not a rational reason for this war. Putin and the clique around him are imbecilic cretins. They have always been like that - all tactics, zero strategy. They don't lack either of land or people, yet pursue both. They are morons.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sep 25, 2022
Replying to @PaulConRO
You are 101% right - there is not a rational reason for this war. Putin and the clique around him are imbecilic cretins. They have always been like that - all tactics, zero strategy. They don't lack either of land or people, yet pursue both. They are morons.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1573953108081786880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 and @PaulConRO
... and I have seen this before in ex-YU @PaulConRO. Slavenka Drakulic wrote a much needed "They Would Never Hurt A Fly: War Criminals on Trial in The Hague" book & noticed too https://amazon.co.uk/They-Would-Never-Hurt-Fly/dp/0349117756/: what was (is) this war for? It is for nothing, it is pointless. (from RU side)
9:30 AM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 and @PaulConRO
... and I have seen this before in ex-YU @PaulConRO. Slavenka Drakulic wrote a much needed "They Would Never Hurt A Fly: War Criminals on Trial in The Hague" book & noticed too https://amazon.co.uk/They-Would-Never-Hurt-Fly/dp/0349117756/: what was (is) this war for? It is for nothing, it is pointless. (from RU side)
9:30 AM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572711027585728513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mgurri
Yes, we can't attain the "whole truth", but we can quantify our ignorance. Probably along the lines of Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". That's something, is better than nothing.
11:15 PM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mgurri
Yes, we can't attain the "whole truth", but we can quantify our ignorance. Probably along the lines of Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". That's something, is better than nothing.
11:15 PM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1573958829615767554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Yep - exactly, excellent! Only - if they were that clever, they wouldn't be in opposition. They don't seem to be capable of the smarts you illustrate. Got reminded recently reading an old article https://newstatesman.com/labour-in-crisis/2021/05/tony-blair-without-total-change-labour-will-die. TB still seems to be the rare (only?) clever one over there
newstatesman.com
Tony Blair: Without total change Labour will die
The Labour Party needs complete deconstruction and reconstruction. Nothing less will do.
9:53 AM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Yep - exactly, excellent! Only - if they were that clever, they wouldn't be in opposition. They don't seem to be capable of the smarts you illustrate. Got reminded recently reading an old article https://newstatesman.com/labour-in-crisis/2021/05/tony-blair-without-total-change-labour-will-die. TB still seems to be the rare (only?) clever one over there
newstatesman.com
Tony Blair: Without total change Labour will die
The Labour Party needs complete deconstruction and reconstruction. Nothing less will do.
9:53 AM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575519163602374656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @McFaul
(argument made by @kamilkazani) With a nuke, he will lose from USA => he will survive. If he were to lose the war from UKR => he will fail. Argument made in
threadreaderapp.com
Thread by @kamilkazani on Thread Reader App
@kamilkazani: I think Kremlin may view nuclear strike on Ukraine (with an American retaliatory strike) as a rational move. It may not make much sense in the context of foreign policy, but it does in...
5:13 PM · Sep 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @McFaul
(argument made by @kamilkazani) With a nuke, he will lose from USA => he will survive. If he were to lose the war from UKR => he will fail. Argument made in
threadreaderapp.com
Thread by @kamilkazani on Thread Reader App
@kamilkazani: I think Kremlin may view nuclear strike on Ukraine (with an American retaliatory strike) as a rational move. It may not make much sense in the context of foreign policy, but it does in...
5:13 PM · Sep 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572588072684113920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim and @PessimistsArc
... got reminded today: suspect kids-social may turn out to be part of sussing out Bloom's 2-sigma mastery learning - this https://twitter.com/AustinScholar/status/1571996081923231745 . Admittedly foolish 🙃 to forecast or even hope 😶 on a horizon of ~30 yrs (even if .e.g https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777644059643904).
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 28, 2022
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - what a delight, music to the ears of all computer geeks everywhere. The final act of a drama played, a movie material even? Maybe one to add to the next edition of "How Innovation Works" @mattwridley? 1/7 twitter.com/demishassabis/…
Show this thread
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777644059643904
3:06 PM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim and @PessimistsArc
... got reminded today: suspect kids-social may turn out to be part of sussing out Bloom's 2-sigma mastery learning - this https://twitter.com/AustinScholar/status/1571996081923231745 . Admittedly foolish 🙃 to forecast or even hope 😶 on a horizon of ~30 yrs (even if .e.g https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777644059643904).
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 28, 2022
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - what a delight, music to the ears of all computer geeks everywhere. The final act of a drama played, a movie material even? Maybe one to add to the next edition of "How Innovation Works" @mattwridley? 1/7 twitter.com/demishassabis/…
Show this thread
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777644059643904
3:06 PM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572909557780815873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @toVornottoV
Sistemot -i vo MK i vo D, podole- ima vgradeno prezumpcija deka strankata (1va strana) lazhe koga nesto tvrdi. Pa 2rata strana (salter, sefica) po default bara pismeno (alt: usno telefon, elektronski email/chat) potvrda od 3ta strana (drug drzaven orgain) deka 1vata zbori vistina
12:23 PM · Sep 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @toVornottoV
Sistemot -i vo MK i vo D, podole- ima vgradeno prezumpcija deka strankata (1va strana) lazhe koga nesto tvrdi. Pa 2rata strana (salter, sefica) po default bara pismeno (alt: usno telefon, elektronski email/chat) potvrda od 3ta strana (drug drzaven orgain) deka 1vata zbori vistina
12:23 PM · Sep 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572557218503086081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mkrobot
Imase threads, e.g linkovi https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567246775739715587 . Mi lici da e f*ckup slicen na GFC'08, market model od Ivory tower. Branitelite na dizajnot onlajn mi licea na IYIs, ne me ubedija. P-rice odi vo Inf-inity za Q-uantity koja fali koga se raboti za prozivod slicen na O2, i dr mani
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567246775739715587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @PeteG1001 @lloyd_dunne and 4 others
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 . Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 , but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
1:03 PM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mkrobot
Imase threads, e.g linkovi https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567246775739715587 . Mi lici da e f*ckup slicen na GFC'08, market model od Ivory tower. Branitelite na dizajnot onlajn mi licea na IYIs, ne me ubedija. P-rice odi vo Inf-inity za Q-uantity koja fali koga se raboti za prozivod slicen na O2, i dr mani
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567246775739715587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @PeteG1001 @lloyd_dunne and 4 others
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 . Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 , but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
1:03 PM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575163134339584000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
Sugurno deka e, po sekoj kriterium. 👏 Ama veruvam "prepraten" e vo standardna upotreba?? Nego koga ti odi makedonski jazik - ajde plz predlozi makedonski zborovi za 1) "data" (podobro od "podatoci") 2) "thread" (podobro od "nishka")
5:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
Sugurno deka e, po sekoj kriterium. 👏 Ama veruvam "prepraten" e vo standardna upotreba?? Nego koga ti odi makedonski jazik - ajde plz predlozi makedonski zborovi za 1) "data" (podobro od "podatoci") 2) "thread" (podobro od "nishka")
5:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574683730932748288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Локално стално се памтат (пр. во МК разни скоевци, партизани и сл), а глобално масовно од скоро (Wikipedia). Од кога стануваме "глобално село". Не е глумење да кажам "браво алал што е толку храбар се бори за слобода", и да мислам "веројатно мене би ми било страв, јас не би". Ок е
9:53 AM · Sep 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Локално стално се памтат (пр. во МК разни скоевци, партизани и сл), а глобално масовно од скоро (Wikipedia). Од кога стануваме "глобално село". Не е глумење да кажам "браво алал што е толку храбар се бори за слобода", и да мислам "веројатно мене би ми било страв, јас не би". Ок е
9:53 AM · Sep 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575435884329058306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tiktaknaradio @StojkoMojov and @neskafeNA
Site vo privaten zivot koristat chat, email, etc - nema problem, nikoj ne misli deka e laga ili nevistina ili falsifikat porakata emailot. Ama koga ke dojde do rabota - e togas difolt e deka ne smee elektronski, mora da cekaat minister ili sekretar ili zakon da odobri, inaku e NE
11:42 AM · Sep 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tiktaknaradio @StojkoMojov and @neskafeNA
Site vo privaten zivot koristat chat, email, etc - nema problem, nikoj ne misli deka e laga ili nevistina ili falsifikat porakata emailot. Ama koga ke dojde do rabota - e togas difolt e deka ne smee elektronski, mora da cekaat minister ili sekretar ili zakon da odobri, inaku e NE
11:42 AM · Sep 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575084542494244864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DameChkatroski
Koi se imigranti, a koi se "nashi", se menuva so vreme. Vo BREXIT znacaen faktor bese EE imigracija. Postara generacija imigranti od Karibi i sl - vo UK gi smetame voglavno za "nashi". Super tekst za razlikite US - UK - EU, imigracija, rasi i sl, vo
ft.com
Britain’s mid-Atlantic way on race
The UK is better at diversity than much of Europe and less obsessed with it than America
12:26 PM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DameChkatroski
Koi se imigranti, a koi se "nashi", se menuva so vreme. Vo BREXIT znacaen faktor bese EE imigracija. Postara generacija imigranti od Karibi i sl - vo UK gi smetame voglavno za "nashi". Super tekst za razlikite US - UK - EU, imigracija, rasi i sl, vo
ft.com
Britain’s mid-Atlantic way on race
The UK is better at diversity than much of Europe and less obsessed with it than America
12:26 PM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579828741731418114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow!! Great and not great! 😶😱
Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
http://podcast.ai • Episode 1
Welcome to podcast.ai, a podcast that is entirely generated by artificial intelligence. Episode 1 Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
2:38 PM · Oct 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow!! Great and not great! 😶😱
Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
http://podcast.ai • Episode 1
Welcome to podcast.ai, a podcast that is entirely generated by artificial intelligence. Episode 1 Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
2:38 PM · Oct 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579483545105731585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to
@baaaaaanoo
Fala!!! A dali e CD, ili LP vinil ploca? Ne mozam 100% da ocenam od slikata. Ne e mnogu vazno, random prasanja sorry, :-) posto bev na "Pande ne brka" koncertot, i posle tolku vreme PnV mi se bendisuvaat, a nikogas ne izdadoa vinil ploca da kupam (+potsekanje na mladost etc 😁 )
3:46 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to
@baaaaaanoo
Fala!!! A dali e CD, ili LP vinil ploca? Ne mozam 100% da ocenam od slikata. Ne e mnogu vazno, random prasanja sorry, :-) posto bev na "Pande ne brka" koncertot, i posle tolku vreme PnV mi se bendisuvaat, a nikogas ne izdadoa vinil ploca da kupam (+potsekanje na mladost etc 😁 )
3:46 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578059264165298212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooofff - from the top-of-the-tops cringe of "youth UN dutch representative" and "super-exciting-X-Y-Z", 😊 to Just-Do-It "the future is not written yet, it's going to be what you young people make of it!", 👏👍 even a seasoned cynic will have their heart soften (nay melt??) 1/2
Quote Tweet
Yuval Noah Harari @harari_yuval · Oct 6
What makes us humans so #unstoppable?
In this session hosted by the Brave New World Conference, we discuss just that with young readers as they share their burning questions and propose new ideas http://bit.ly/bym-ynh
BRAVE YOUNG MINDS | Q&A with Yuval Noah Harari and young readers
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfccReGYX_s
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooofff - from the top-of-the-tops cringe of "youth UN dutch representative" and "super-exciting-X-Y-Z", 😊 to Just-Do-It "the future is not written yet, it's going to be what you young people make of it!", 👏👍 even a seasoned cynic will have their heart soften (nay melt??) 1/2
Quote Tweet
Yuval Noah Harari @harari_yuval · Oct 6
What makes us humans so #unstoppable?
In this session hosted by the Brave New World Conference, we discuss just that with young readers as they share their burning questions and propose new ideas http://bit.ly/bym-ynh
BRAVE YOUNG MINDS | Q&A with Yuval Noah Harari and young readers
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfccReGYX_s
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578059270528147458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and with quotes from "the basic laws of stupidity" thrown in (https://amazon.co.uk/Basic-Laws-Human-Stupidity-International/dp/0753554836/) as a bonus! (twice!!) Thank you @harari_yuval, thank you former young dutch UN representative, this brightened my afternoon. Gogogo Youth of today!! 😆😆 2/2
Image
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and with quotes from "the basic laws of stupidity" thrown in (https://amazon.co.uk/Basic-Laws-Human-Stupidity-International/dp/0753554836/) as a bonus! (twice!!) Thank you @harari_yuval, thank you former young dutch UN representative, this brightened my afternoon. Gogogo Youth of today!! 😆😆 2/2
Image
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578060331464654849
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @harari_yuval
Even if started cringe, this brightened my day!! Thank you @harari_yuval. Loved the "the future is not written, it's what you youth make of it, just-do-it" with the "laws of human stupidity" referenced through 🤣🤣🤣 Can't wait to buy the book, even if I am not young. (far from)
Image
5:31 PM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @harari_yuval
Even if started cringe, this brightened my day!! Thank you @harari_yuval. Loved the "the future is not written, it's what you youth make of it, just-do-it" with the "laws of human stupidity" referenced through 🤣🤣🤣 Can't wait to buy the book, even if I am not young. (far from)
Image
5:31 PM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578366439135723520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CraigMurrayOrg
You poked holes for a long time in "RU did Salisbury", and good on you & well done - public service analyzing stories told for inconsistencies & holes. By now I take it you accept RU did it. Pipes sabotage likewise - no way one can be certain who's done it, only speculate on MMO
1:47 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CraigMurrayOrg
You poked holes for a long time in "RU did Salisbury", and good on you & well done - public service analyzing stories told for inconsistencies & holes. By now I take it you accept RU did it. Pipes sabotage likewise - no way one can be certain who's done it, only speculate on MMO
1:47 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579519878612279300
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @rbrharrison and @paullewismoney
BoE dereliction of duty to "keep the whole UK financial system stable". Has BoE run of numbers in their Excel spreadsheet, or digits while counting? Just swap any&all gilts for reserves. Why the hold up in go-full-on BoJ-widow-maker-trade? Silliness 2.0 😱
unherd.com
Are economists really this stupid?
Mervyn King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
6:10 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @rbrharrison and @paullewismoney
BoE dereliction of duty to "keep the whole UK financial system stable". Has BoE run of numbers in their Excel spreadsheet, or digits while counting? Just swap any&all gilts for reserves. Why the hold up in go-full-on BoJ-widow-maker-trade? Silliness 2.0 😱
unherd.com
Are economists really this stupid?
Mervyn King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
6:10 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579540423521243138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BenRamanauskas
>they will defend their mystique – that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon
https://project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-central-bankers-fear-modern-monetary-theory-by-james-k-galbraith-2020-12
>King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
unherd.com
Are economists really this stupid?
Mervyn King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
7:32 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BenRamanauskas
>they will defend their mystique – that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon
https://project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-central-bankers-fear-modern-monetary-theory-by-james-k-galbraith-2020-12
>King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
unherd.com
Are economists really this stupid?
Mervyn King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
7:32 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579454627082547200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jonnytickle
Yes, that is the idea of lying incessantly, mercilessly and openly: to deny the possibility of truth. By their opponents or anyone else. It is working as intended for the RU elite, on the RU population. Further there is "they lie, we know they lie, they know we know they lie" etc
1:51 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jonnytickle
Yes, that is the idea of lying incessantly, mercilessly and openly: to deny the possibility of truth. By their opponents or anyone else. It is working as intended for the RU elite, on the RU population. Further there is "they lie, we know they lie, they know we know they lie" etc
1:51 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578766997982089216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Tudmotu and @benedictevans
Well - automatic speech recognition (ASR) is a search in the space of possible sentences. So yeah, could say: generating possible hypothesis +scoring them by likelihood + argmax = ASR which is I presume some kind of AI?
4:19 PM · Oct 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Tudmotu and @benedictevans
Well - automatic speech recognition (ASR) is a search in the space of possible sentences. So yeah, could say: generating possible hypothesis +scoring them by likelihood + argmax = ASR which is I presume some kind of AI?
4:19 PM · Oct 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1577953437991534592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @carljackmiller
Any research as to why? Can think 1) comments sctn easily available (just a fake acc) compared to effort of grooming a journalist over a period time 2) readers/author/newspaper paying attn to the comments section too => influencing 3) arguments/counter-args honed by public airing
10:26 AM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @carljackmiller
Any research as to why? Can think 1) comments sctn easily available (just a fake acc) compared to effort of grooming a journalist over a period time 2) readers/author/newspaper paying attn to the comments section too => influencing 3) arguments/counter-args honed by public airing
10:26 AM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579447473789366273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers @battleforeurope and 2 others
Moralizing neither adds nor distracts from the rational argument. It's distinct & separate - sometimes parallel, other times opposite. The rational argument against the realists is their argument is wrong, and will lead to WW3. Regardless of the morals.
1:23 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers @battleforeurope and 2 others
Moralizing neither adds nor distracts from the rational argument. It's distinct & separate - sometimes parallel, other times opposite. The rational argument against the realists is their argument is wrong, and will lead to WW3. Regardless of the morals.
1:23 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578758337856155656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @benedictevans
For 80% of their intended and other (TBD) usesd - less than most of us think. We all have egos that skew our view of the world towards me-myself-I. We will find out via trial & error, aka re-(peated)-search, that these engines will be useful in many - atm unforeseen - contexts.
3:44 PM · Oct 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @benedictevans
For 80% of their intended and other (TBD) usesd - less than most of us think. We all have egos that skew our view of the world towards me-myself-I. We will find out via trial & error, aka re-(peated)-search, that these engines will be useful in many - atm unforeseen - contexts.
3:44 PM · Oct 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579421379707179010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Hahaha 😁 - yep, I use it frequently. And now try for a rolling (running?) weighted median 😨 Think I got a few white hairs till I got that past all the asserts - sheesh 😱
11:39 AM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Hahaha 😁 - yep, I use it frequently. And now try for a rolling (running?) weighted median 😨 Think I got a few white hairs till I got that past all the asserts - sheesh 😱
11:39 AM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579547811431206913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @astrogrev
Poveke relevantni grafovi zaedno na kupce od https://ourworldindata.org/a-history-of-global-living-conditions-in-5-charts
The world as 100 people over the last two centuries
8:01 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @astrogrev
Poveke relevantni grafovi zaedno na kupce od https://ourworldindata.org/a-history-of-global-living-conditions-in-5-charts
The world as 100 people over the last two centuries
8:01 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579880329464406017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @goran_230
Hm - @noclador - koj mi lici prilicno informiran (i objektiven; mislam e bivsi/profesionaln vojnik i instruktor, vkl vo UA) - tvrdi nonsense, fake news. Ova -
Quote Tweet
Thomas C. Theiner @noclador · Oct 11
Some clowns are sharing this March 2020 video of a B-2 bomber landing at RAF Fairford in England as "B-2 bomber with 16 nuclear bombs landing in Poland".
Clowns, because they don't know that the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford.
https://youtube.com/shorts/W8ciMqRz6rk
6:03 PM · Oct 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @goran_230
Hm - @noclador - koj mi lici prilicno informiran (i objektiven; mislam e bivsi/profesionaln vojnik i instruktor, vkl vo UA) - tvrdi nonsense, fake news. Ova -
Quote Tweet
Thomas C. Theiner @noclador · Oct 11
Some clowns are sharing this March 2020 video of a B-2 bomber landing at RAF Fairford in England as "B-2 bomber with 16 nuclear bombs landing in Poland".
Clowns, because they don't know that the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford.
https://youtube.com/shorts/W8ciMqRz6rk
6:03 PM · Oct 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579894751410941952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @goran_230 @Roma92377181 and @noclador
Ako e vistina deka "the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford" nema sto bilo koj da se misli dali vaka ili taka. Ako nekade sletale, ke bide vo RAF Fairford. Taka da - Polska ili bilo kade drugo mesto sto ne e RAF Fairford - ne moze da bide tocno.
7:00 PM · Oct 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @goran_230 @Roma92377181 and @noclador
Ako e vistina deka "the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford" nema sto bilo koj da se misli dali vaka ili taka. Ako nekade sletale, ke bide vo RAF Fairford. Taka da - Polska ili bilo kade drugo mesto sto ne e RAF Fairford - ne moze da bide tocno.
7:00 PM · Oct 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578455770697699328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @starmarsovec and @DieFrau_Nat
Vo UK mislam esnafot General Medical Council (GMC) odlucuva kolku/kakvi lekari ke obrazuvaat, pa 1) toj broj nikogas ne e pregolem! 😆😉 Se zezam - ne znam dali GMC e kocnica, moze 2) drzava ne finansira mesta 3) ne se prijavuvaat studenti 4) mnogu stari ne ima, docna umirame etc
7:42 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @starmarsovec and @DieFrau_Nat
Vo UK mislam esnafot General Medical Council (GMC) odlucuva kolku/kakvi lekari ke obrazuvaat, pa 1) toj broj nikogas ne e pregolem! 😆😉 Se zezam - ne znam dali GMC e kocnica, moze 2) drzava ne finansira mesta 3) ne se prijavuvaat studenti 4) mnogu stari ne ima, docna umirame etc
7:42 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579065369494683648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Znaes i sam - tesko e, gledame, skoro nevozmozno. Vo MK loso funkcinirale - feudalizam, kapitalizam, socijalizam, sega pak kapitalizam 30 god. Sekade ima % luge sto i kamen-na-kamen im smeta i ke go sutnat od cista mira. Avtohtono imaat poriv kontra bilo kakva urednost i red.
12:04 PM · Oct 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski
Znaes i sam - tesko e, gledame, skoro nevozmozno. Vo MK loso funkcinirale - feudalizam, kapitalizam, socijalizam, sega pak kapitalizam 30 god. Sekade ima % luge sto i kamen-na-kamen im smeta i ke go sutnat od cista mira. Avtohtono imaat poriv kontra bilo kakva urednost i red.
12:04 PM · Oct 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578402122802110465
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DieFrau_Nat
+1 isto iskustvo so maticen (GP) vo UK. GP dijagnoza "as fit as a goat" po 5 dena temperatura, za 2 dena dete (+majka) zavrsi vo bolnica na urgentno (A&E) so infuzija i lekovi 2 dena. Osetot za rizik ne im dobro kalibriran za dete, kade nema tolku mnogu prostor za greska.
4:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DieFrau_Nat
+1 isto iskustvo so maticen (GP) vo UK. GP dijagnoza "as fit as a goat" po 5 dena temperatura, za 2 dena dete (+majka) zavrsi vo bolnica na urgentno (A&E) so infuzija i lekovi 2 dena. Osetot za rizik ne im dobro kalibriran za dete, kade nema tolku mnogu prostor za greska.
4:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578432447221751808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nalutilus @Caryaatid and @DieFrau_Nat
😊 E da. I nie posle toa iskustvo si imavme i antibiotici doma (od MK). 😨 Za sekoj slucaj, za ne-daj-boze. Sreka nemase druga slicna peripetija, ne sme bile prinudeni da bideme vo iskusenie - da zemam sam ili ne, prasanje e sega? 🤯
6:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nalutilus @Caryaatid and @DieFrau_Nat
😊 E da. I nie posle toa iskustvo si imavme i antibiotici doma (od MK). 😨 Za sekoj slucaj, za ne-daj-boze. Sreka nemase druga slicna peripetija, ne sme bile prinudeni da bideme vo iskusenie - da zemam sam ili ne, prasanje e sega? 🤯
6:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579186332219625472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dizajnerot
Avtomatski. Agnosticen edno ili drugo, ne bev se potrudil da istrazam nikogas. Posle 25 god vozenje so racen, slucajno se pogodi kola so avtomatski pred 8 god. Sega ne bi se vratil na racen. Steta sto ne smeniv porano - ne mi tekna deka moze da e tolku polesno.
8:05 PM · Oct 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dizajnerot
Avtomatski. Agnosticen edno ili drugo, ne bev se potrudil da istrazam nikogas. Posle 25 god vozenje so racen, slucajno se pogodi kola so avtomatski pred 8 god. Sega ne bi se vratil na racen. Steta sto ne smeniv porano - ne mi tekna deka moze da e tolku polesno.
8:05 PM · Oct 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1580263443541524480
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Definitivno - eden od gradovite, "centar na svetot". Sto sakas, kakvi luge sakas - ke gi najdes. Ako nesto voopsto postoi na svetov - ke go najdes vo London. Veruvam slicni takvi gradovi se Tokio, NYC, Shangaj i dr golemi. Civilizacija neli e civil == graganin, zitel na grad. :-)
7:25 PM · Oct 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Definitivno - eden od gradovite, "centar na svetot". Sto sakas, kakvi luge sakas - ke gi najdes. Ako nesto voopsto postoi na svetov - ke go najdes vo London. Veruvam slicni takvi gradovi se Tokio, NYC, Shangaj i dr golemi. Civilizacija neli e civil == graganin, zitel na grad. :-)
7:25 PM · Oct 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1580254620164972544
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "maybe markets have been worrying" comes over as if "the markets" are an old man in the sky white beard and all, to punish UK for transgressing. If by "the markets" you mean "gov bonds market" that's few dozens PM/fund-s and BoE. BoE can BoJ-widow-maker-trade them at any time
6:50 PM · Oct 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "maybe markets have been worrying" comes over as if "the markets" are an old man in the sky white beard and all, to punish UK for transgressing. If by "the markets" you mean "gov bonds market" that's few dozens PM/fund-s and BoE. BoE can BoJ-widow-maker-trade them at any time
6:50 PM · Oct 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ako e vistina deka "the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford" nema sto bilo koj da se misli dali vaka ili taka. Ako nekade sletale, ke bide vo RAF Fairford. Taka da - Polska ili bilo kade drugo mesto sto ne e RAF Fairford - ne moze da bide tocno.
7:00 PM · Oct 11, 2022
Ako e vistina deka "the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford" nema sto bilo koj da se misli dali vaka ili taka. Ako nekade sletale, ke bide vo RAF Fairford. Taka da - Polska ili bilo kade drugo mesto sto ne e RAF Fairford - ne moze da bide tocno.
7:00 PM · Oct 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579880329464406017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - @noclador - koj mi lici prilicno informiran (i objektiven; mislam e bivsi/profesionaln vojnik i instruktor, vkl vo UA) - tvrdi nonsense, fake news. Ova -
Quote
Thomas C. Theiner @noclador · Oct 11, 2022
Some clowns are sharing this March 2020 video of a B-2 bomber landing at RAF Fairford in England as "B-2 bomber with 16 nuclear bombs landing in Poland".
Clowns, because they don't know that the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford.
https://youtube.com/shorts/W8ciMqRz6rk
Show more
6:03 PM · Oct 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm - @noclador - koj mi lici prilicno informiran (i objektiven; mislam e bivsi/profesionaln vojnik i instruktor, vkl vo UA) - tvrdi nonsense, fake news. Ova -
Quote
Thomas C. Theiner @noclador · Oct 11, 2022
Some clowns are sharing this March 2020 video of a B-2 bomber landing at RAF Fairford in England as "B-2 bomber with 16 nuclear bombs landing in Poland".
Clowns, because they don't know that the only operating basis for B-2 in Europe is RAF Fairford.
https://youtube.com/shorts/W8ciMqRz6rk
Show more
6:03 PM · Oct 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579828741731418114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow!! Great and not great! 😶😱
Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
http://podcast.ai • Episode 1
Welcome to podcast.ai, a podcast that is entirely generated by artificial intelligence. Episode 1 Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
2:38 PM · Oct 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow!! Great and not great! 😶😱
Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
http://podcast.ai • Episode 1
Welcome to podcast.ai, a podcast that is entirely generated by artificial intelligence. Episode 1 Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs
2:38 PM · Oct 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579567087894204418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ova se vistinski brojki? Mi se gleda 3.2% premnogu nisko za fiksna? (ako e *stvarno* fiksna). A varijabilna - sto toa tocno znaci? Kolku ke mu padne na pamet na kreditorrot (banka, stedilnica)? Ili ima nekoja formula, na pr. tracker, referentna+X% ili sl? "Podobra" - zavisi...
9:18 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ova se vistinski brojki? Mi se gleda 3.2% premnogu nisko za fiksna? (ako e *stvarno* fiksna). A varijabilna - sto toa tocno znaci? Kolku ke mu padne na pamet na kreditorrot (banka, stedilnica)? Ili ima nekoja formula, na pr. tracker, referentna+X% ili sl? "Podobra" - zavisi...
9:18 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579547811431206913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poveke relevantni grafovi zaedno na kupce od https://ourworldindata.org/a-history-of-global-living-conditions-in-5-charts
The world as 100 people over the last two centuries
8:01 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poveke relevantni grafovi zaedno na kupce od https://ourworldindata.org/a-history-of-global-living-conditions-in-5-charts
The world as 100 people over the last two centuries
8:01 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579540423521243138
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
>they will defend their mystique – that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon
https://project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-central-bankers-fear-modern-monetary-theory-by-james-k-galbraith-2020-12
>King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
From unherd.com
7:32 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
>they will defend their mystique – that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon
https://project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-central-bankers-fear-modern-monetary-theory-by-james-k-galbraith-2020-12
>King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
From unherd.com
7:32 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579519878612279300
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BoE dereliction of duty to "keep the whole UK financial system stable". Has BoE run of numbers in their Excel spreadsheet, or digits while counting? Just swap any&all gilts for reserves. Why the hold up in go-full-on BoJ-widow-maker-trade? Silliness 2.0 😱
From unherd.com
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
6:10 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
BoE dereliction of duty to "keep the whole UK financial system stable". Has BoE run of numbers in their Excel spreadsheet, or digits while counting? Just swap any&all gilts for reserves. Why the hold up in go-full-on BoJ-widow-maker-trade? Silliness 2.0 😱
From unherd.com
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
6:10 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579483545105731585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fala!!! A dali e CD, ili LP vinil ploca? Ne mozam 100% da ocenam od slikata. Ne e mnogu vazno, random prasanja sorry, :-) posto bev na "Pande ne brka" koncertot, i posle tolku vreme PnV mi se bendisuvaat, a nikogas ne izdadoa vinil ploca da kupam (+potsekanje na mladost etc 😁 )
3:46 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fala!!! A dali e CD, ili LP vinil ploca? Ne mozam 100% da ocenam od slikata. Ne e mnogu vazno, random prasanja sorry, :-) posto bev na "Pande ne brka" koncertot, i posle tolku vreme PnV mi se bendisuvaat, a nikogas ne izdadoa vinil ploca da kupam (+potsekanje na mladost etc 😁 )
3:46 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579454627082547200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, that is the idea of lying incessantly, mercilessly and openly: to deny the possibility of truth. By their opponents or anyone else. It is working as intended for the RU elite, on the RU population. Further there is "they lie, we know they lie, they know we know they lie" etc
1:51 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, that is the idea of lying incessantly, mercilessly and openly: to deny the possibility of truth. By their opponents or anyone else. It is working as intended for the RU elite, on the RU population. Further there is "they lie, we know they lie, they know we know they lie" etc
1:51 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579447473789366273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Moralizing neither adds nor distracts from the rational argument. It's distinct & separate - sometimes parallel, other times opposite. The rational argument against the realists is their argument is wrong, and will lead to WW3. Regardless of the morals.
1:23 PM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Moralizing neither adds nor distracts from the rational argument. It's distinct & separate - sometimes parallel, other times opposite. The rational argument against the realists is their argument is wrong, and will lead to WW3. Regardless of the morals.
1:23 PM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579421379707179010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😁 - yep, I use it frequently. And now try for a rolling (running?) weighted median 😨 Think I got a few white hairs till I got that past all the asserts - sheesh 😱
11:39 AM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😁 - yep, I use it frequently. And now try for a rolling (running?) weighted median 😨 Think I got a few white hairs till I got that past all the asserts - sheesh 😱
11:39 AM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579388734554124289
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne naogam na http://nerecords.se, ni na YT. Me interesira - dali e ova koncertot so "Pande ne brkaa!!" pri kraj? 1985-ta - mozebi da e?
9:29 AM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne naogam na http://nerecords.se, ni na YT. Me interesira - dali e ova koncertot so "Pande ne brkaa!!" pri kraj? 1985-ta - mozebi da e?
9:29 AM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579383981258465280
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
E da. AKA "Nemoj da mi filozofirash". Kulturi preku morinja i okeani sto nemaat vrska so stara Grcija, naogaat da filozofija, razum, znaenje, se ubavi, korisni, i gi kopiraat. MKD iako sme tolku blisku, gi naogame za odbivni, degutantni. Sekoj sam si izbira sto mu e vredno nemu.
9:10 AM · Oct 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
E da. AKA "Nemoj da mi filozofirash". Kulturi preku morinja i okeani sto nemaat vrska so stara Grcija, naogaat da filozofija, razum, znaenje, se ubavi, korisni, i gi kopiraat. MKD iako sme tolku blisku, gi naogame za odbivni, degutantni. Sekoj sam si izbira sto mu e vredno nemu.
9:10 AM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579186332219625472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Avtomatski. Agnosticen edno ili drugo, ne bev se potrudil da istrazam nikogas. Posle 25 god vozenje so racen, slucajno se pogodi kola so avtomatski pred 8 god. Sega ne bi se vratil na racen. Steta sto ne smeniv porano - ne mi tekna deka moze da e tolku polesno.
8:05 PM · Oct 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Avtomatski. Agnosticen edno ili drugo, ne bev se potrudil da istrazam nikogas. Posle 25 god vozenje so racen, slucajno se pogodi kola so avtomatski pred 8 god. Sega ne bi se vratil na racen. Steta sto ne smeniv porano - ne mi tekna deka moze da e tolku polesno.
8:05 PM · Oct 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579069205181534210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Od daleku (dijasporec 1998+) opst vpecatok: SDSM - deklarativno kao ke napravat, bi sakale oni, ama ne uspevaat, ne se sposobni; DPMNE - ne ni deklariraat na zborovi da ke napravat red i poredok, pravo, pravdina. 1-vite - mala nadezh redovno izneverena. 2-rite - ne se ni nadevaj.
12:20 PM · Oct 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Od daleku (dijasporec 1998+) opst vpecatok: SDSM - deklarativno kao ke napravat, bi sakale oni, ama ne uspevaat, ne se sposobni; DPMNE - ne ni deklariraat na zborovi da ke napravat red i poredok, pravo, pravdina. 1-vite - mala nadezh redovno izneverena. 2-rite - ne se ni nadevaj.
12:20 PM · Oct 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579065369494683648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Znaes i sam - tesko e, gledame, skoro nevozmozno. Vo MK loso funkcinirale - feudalizam, kapitalizam, socijalizam, sega pak kapitalizam 30 god. Sekade ima % luge sto i kamen-na-kamen im smeta i ke go sutnat od cista mira. Avtohtono imaat poriv kontra bilo kakva urednost i red.
12:04 PM · Oct 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Znaes i sam - tesko e, gledame, skoro nevozmozno. Vo MK loso funkcinirale - feudalizam, kapitalizam, socijalizam, sega pak kapitalizam 30 god. Sekade ima % luge sto i kamen-na-kamen im smeta i ke go sutnat od cista mira. Avtohtono imaat poriv kontra bilo kakva urednost i red.
12:04 PM · Oct 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578766997982089216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - automatic speech recognition (ASR) is a search in the space of possible sentences. So yeah, could say: generating possible hypothesis +scoring them by likelihood + argmax = ASR which is I presume some kind of AI?
4:19 PM · Oct 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - automatic speech recognition (ASR) is a search in the space of possible sentences. So yeah, could say: generating possible hypothesis +scoring them by likelihood + argmax = ASR which is I presume some kind of AI?
4:19 PM · Oct 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578758337856155656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For 80% of their intended and other (TBD) usesd - less than most of us think. We all have egos that skew our view of the world towards me-myself-I. We will find out via trial & error, aka re-(peated)-search, that these engines will be useful in many - atm unforeseen - contexts.
3:44 PM · Oct 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For 80% of their intended and other (TBD) usesd - less than most of us think. We all have egos that skew our view of the world towards me-myself-I. We will find out via trial & error, aka re-(peated)-search, that these engines will be useful in many - atm unforeseen - contexts.
3:44 PM · Oct 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578455770697699328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vo UK mislam esnafot General Medical Council (GMC) odlucuva kolku/kakvi lekari ke obrazuvaat, pa 1) toj broj nikogas ne e pregolem! 😆😉 Se zezam - ne znam dali GMC e kocnica, moze 2) drzava ne finansira mesta 3) ne se prijavuvaat studenti 4) mnogu stari ne ima, docna umirame etc
7:42 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vo UK mislam esnafot General Medical Council (GMC) odlucuva kolku/kakvi lekari ke obrazuvaat, pa 1) toj broj nikogas ne e pregolem! 😆😉 Se zezam - ne znam dali GMC e kocnica, moze 2) drzava ne finansira mesta 3) ne se prijavuvaat studenti 4) mnogu stari ne ima, docna umirame etc
7:42 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578432447221751808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 E da. I nie posle toa iskustvo si imavme i antibiotici doma (od MK). 😨 Za sekoj slucaj, za ne-daj-boze. Sreka nemase druga slicna peripetija, ne sme bile prinudeni da bideme vo iskusenie - da zemam sam ili ne, prasanje e sega? 🤯
6:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 E da. I nie posle toa iskustvo si imavme i antibiotici doma (od MK). 😨 Za sekoj slucaj, za ne-daj-boze. Sreka nemase druga slicna peripetija, ne sme bile prinudeni da bideme vo iskusenie - da zemam sam ili ne, prasanje e sega? 🤯
6:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578402122802110465
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 isto iskustvo so maticen (GP) vo UK. GP dijagnoza "as fit as a goat" po 5 dena temperatura, za 2 dena dete (+majka) zavrsi vo bolnica na urgentno (A&E) so infuzija i lekovi 2 dena. Osetot za rizik ne im dobro kalibriran za dete, kade nema tolku mnogu prostor za greska.
4:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 isto iskustvo so maticen (GP) vo UK. GP dijagnoza "as fit as a goat" po 5 dena temperatura, za 2 dena dete (+majka) zavrsi vo bolnica na urgentno (A&E) so infuzija i lekovi 2 dena. Osetot za rizik ne im dobro kalibriran za dete, kade nema tolku mnogu prostor za greska.
4:09 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578366439135723520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You poked holes for a long time in "RU did Salisbury", and good on you & well done - public service analyzing stories told for inconsistencies & holes. By now I take it you accept RU did it. Pipes sabotage likewise - no way one can be certain who's done it, only speculate on MMO
1:47 PM · Oct 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You poked holes for a long time in "RU did Salisbury", and good on you & well done - public service analyzing stories told for inconsistencies & holes. By now I take it you accept RU did it. Pipes sabotage likewise - no way one can be certain who's done it, only speculate on MMO
1:47 PM · Oct 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578060331464654849
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even if started cringe, this brightened my day!! Thank you @harari_yuval
. Loved the "the future is not written, it's what you youth make of it, just-do-it" with the "laws of human stupidity" referenced through 🤣🤣🤣 Can't wait to buy the book, even if I am not young. (far from)
Image
5:31 PM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even if started cringe, this brightened my day!! Thank you @harari_yuval
. Loved the "the future is not written, it's what you youth make of it, just-do-it" with the "laws of human stupidity" referenced through 🤣🤣🤣 Can't wait to buy the book, even if I am not young. (far from)
Image
5:31 PM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578059270528147458
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and with quotes from "the basic laws of stupidity" thrown in (https://amazon.co.uk/Basic-Laws-Human-Stupidity-International/dp/0753554836/
) as a bonus! (twice!!) Thank you @harari_yuval
, thank you former young dutch UN representative, this brightened my afternoon. Gogogo Youth of today!! 😆😆 2/2
Image
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and with quotes from "the basic laws of stupidity" thrown in (https://amazon.co.uk/Basic-Laws-Human-Stupidity-International/dp/0753554836/
) as a bonus! (twice!!) Thank you @harari_yuval
, thank you former young dutch UN representative, this brightened my afternoon. Gogogo Youth of today!! 😆😆 2/2
Image
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1578059264165298212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooofff - from the top-of-the-tops cringe of "youth UN dutch representative" and "super-exciting-X-Y-Z", 😊 to Just-Do-It "the future is not written yet, it's going to be what you young people make of it!", 👏👍 even a seasoned cynic will have their heart soften (nay melt??) 1/2
Quote
Yuval Noah Harari @harari_yuval · Oct 6, 2022
What makes us humans so #unstoppable?
In this session hosted by the Brave New World Conference, we discuss just that with young readers as they share their burning questions and propose new ideas http://bit.ly/bym-ynh
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooofff - from the top-of-the-tops cringe of "youth UN dutch representative" and "super-exciting-X-Y-Z", 😊 to Just-Do-It "the future is not written yet, it's going to be what you young people make of it!", 👏👍 even a seasoned cynic will have their heart soften (nay melt??) 1/2
Quote
Yuval Noah Harari @harari_yuval · Oct 6, 2022
What makes us humans so #unstoppable?
In this session hosted by the Brave New World Conference, we discuss just that with young readers as they share their burning questions and propose new ideas http://bit.ly/bym-ynh
5:27 PM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1577953437991534592
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any research as to why? Can think 1) comments sctn easily available (just a fake acc) compared to effort of grooming a journalist over a period time 2) readers/author/newspaper paying attn to the comments section too => influencing 3) arguments/counter-args honed by public airing
10:26 AM · Oct 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Any research as to why? Can think 1) comments sctn easily available (just a fake acc) compared to effort of grooming a journalist over a period time 2) readers/author/newspaper paying attn to the comments section too => influencing 3) arguments/counter-args honed by public airing
10:26 AM · Oct 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1577424142185680897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nuclear war is not inevitable. Putin can declare victory ("we defended RU from NATO, we won") & take his army home. His PR technologists will spin it fine as done with other lies. Population: 60% indifferent - fine, 20% doves - fine, 20% hawks - angry (but Putin can handle them)
11:23 PM · Oct 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nuclear war is not inevitable. Putin can declare victory ("we defended RU from NATO, we won") & take his army home. His PR technologists will spin it fine as done with other lies. Population: 60% indifferent - fine, 20% doves - fine, 20% hawks - angry (but Putin can handle them)
11:23 PM · Oct 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1577411572657315840
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Then address the point he is making. Say US leaves UA to be eaten by RU. That gives an idea to RU that US will do the same with PL too. After all - there is some history to that. So RU invades PL. Bad call! (like "Kyiv in 1 week") US responds, not allowing RU to eat PL - Aboom!
10:33 PM · Oct 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Then address the point he is making. Say US leaves UA to be eaten by RU. That gives an idea to RU that US will do the same with PL too. After all - there is some history to that. So RU invades PL. Bad call! (like "Kyiv in 1 week") US responds, not allowing RU to eat PL - Aboom!
10:33 PM · Oct 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1577408861409275905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re: not good at PR - yes, there maybe difference in judging function from form. EEan: a presentation is slick, great form, but used to hide poor function => product is sh*t. WEan: wow, great presentation, beautiful form outside, expect it be be great inside too and function well.
10:22 PM · Oct 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Re: not good at PR - yes, there maybe difference in judging function from form. EEan: a presentation is slick, great form, but used to hide poor function => product is sh*t. WEan: wow, great presentation, beautiful form outside, expect it be be great inside too and function well.
10:22 PM · Oct 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576992398978473985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The risk is not 0 even if USA leaves UKR to be eaten by RUS. Putin/RUS take home message will be "US/NATO weak => invade Balts/Poland". in 2030 RUS invades Poland, and *then* we get the thermonuclear war. That cost of inaction has been increasing since 2014, and will continue to.
6:47 PM · Oct 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The risk is not 0 even if USA leaves UKR to be eaten by RUS. Putin/RUS take home message will be "US/NATO weak => invade Balts/Poland". in 2030 RUS invades Poland, and *then* we get the thermonuclear war. That cost of inaction has been increasing since 2014, and will continue to.
6:47 PM · Oct 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576959270608076801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - but: the risk does not decrease if USA leaves UKR to be eaten by RUS. Putin's take home message will be "US-NATO weak => invade Poland", in 2030 invades Poland, and *then* we get the thermonuclear war. There is a cost to inaction too, and it's been increasing since 2014.
4:36 PM · Oct 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe - but: the risk does not decrease if USA leaves UKR to be eaten by RUS. Putin's take home message will be "US-NATO weak => invade Poland", in 2030 invades Poland, and *then* we get the thermonuclear war. There is a cost to inaction too, and it's been increasing since 2014.
4:36 PM · Oct 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576956985626746885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
SRB Milosevic declared a victory in accepting the Kumanovo agreement in 1999 ending the Kosovo war. Putin with the PR technologists & media under control could do similar. He is in a much stronger position though - with nuclear deterrent and RUS not under threat - so prob won't.
4:26 PM · Oct 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
SRB Milosevic declared a victory in accepting the Kumanovo agreement in 1999 ending the Kosovo war. Putin with the PR technologists & media under control could do similar. He is in a much stronger position though - with nuclear deterrent and RUS not under threat - so prob won't.
4:26 PM · Oct 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576681220116602880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very interesting -
Michael Levin @drmichaellevin : Biology, Life, Aliens, Evolution, Embryogenesis & Xenobots | Lex Fridman @lexfridman Podcast #325
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=p3lsYlod5OU
10:11 PM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very interesting -
Michael Levin @drmichaellevin : Biology, Life, Aliens, Evolution, Embryogenesis & Xenobots | Lex Fridman @lexfridman Podcast #325
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=p3lsYlod5OU
10:11 PM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576644517100339200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Petition 136760
Nuclear supply and disposal
"Stuttgart Declaration" - Repeal of the nuclear phase-out paragraphs (in particular Section 7 of the Atomic Energy Act) of July 26, 2022
7:45 PM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Petition 136760
Nuclear supply and disposal
"Stuttgart Declaration" - Repeal of the nuclear phase-out paragraphs (in particular Section 7 of the Atomic Energy Act) of July 26, 2022
7:45 PM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576640188037869568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For everything - all public by default. All .gov business on the web, tax returns public etc. Atm Google, Big banks, Visa know everything about everyone. I'm in the dark about everyone but myself. One way to level is privacy, but another way to level the field is - all public.
7:28 PM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For everything - all public by default. All .gov business on the web, tax returns public etc. Atm Google, Big banks, Visa know everything about everyone. I'm in the dark about everyone but myself. One way to level is privacy, but another way to level the field is - all public.
7:28 PM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576570269551849474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone of us is a writer and social media is a (soft) publisher - amplifying some, attenuating others (no hard censorship). There is no going back on that while Internet exists. Might Radical Transparency be part of the solution to society surviving in this new world?
2:50 PM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone of us is a writer and social media is a (soft) publisher - amplifying some, attenuating others (no hard censorship). There is no going back on that while Internet exists. Might Radical Transparency be part of the solution to society surviving in this new world?
2:50 PM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576536549935943682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If all states had nuclear weapons, would aggressive wars between states stop? Will that be an universal deterrent? The other risks (accident, crazy, end-of-world-death-cult etc) of nuclear Armageddon would shoot up. But would aggressive wars like state X invades state Y stop?
12:36 PM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If all states had nuclear weapons, would aggressive wars between states stop? Will that be an universal deterrent? The other risks (accident, crazy, end-of-world-death-cult etc) of nuclear Armageddon would shoot up. But would aggressive wars like state X invades state Y stop?
12:36 PM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576533386964803584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Smart" does much work there. L&K are smart in domain "climb greasy pole of politics, persuade peers to back me over competition, many words, few actions". Now in power the domain "reality, physics, actions matter have consequences, words matter less" - different "smart" needed.
12:23 PM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Smart" does much work there. L&K are smart in domain "climb greasy pole of politics, persuade peers to back me over competition, many words, few actions". Now in power the domain "reality, physics, actions matter have consequences, words matter less" - different "smart" needed.
12:23 PM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576527880208908288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"rebels at 50" Subject is more sad than funny - but still so funny 😂😂😂 : "Move Slow and Say Things", "going to a Rage Against the Machine gig at 50", "iconoclasm as interpreted by someone who has never put anything on the line". By Janan Ganesh at @FT
https://ft.com/content/bb6cc1ac-e543-4b68-9c60-d8844a90af8c
Image
Quote
Ian Leslie @mrianleslie · Oct 2, 2022
From Janan Ganesh's column on Truss and Kwarteng posing as anti-establishment rebels. In the closing lines he shifts from ironic detachment to something more like anger. https://ft.com/content/bb6cc1ac-e543-4b68-9c60-d8844a90af8c
Image
12:01 PM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"rebels at 50" Subject is more sad than funny - but still so funny 😂😂😂 : "Move Slow and Say Things", "going to a Rage Against the Machine gig at 50", "iconoclasm as interpreted by someone who has never put anything on the line". By Janan Ganesh at @FT
https://ft.com/content/bb6cc1ac-e543-4b68-9c60-d8844a90af8c
Image
Quote
Ian Leslie @mrianleslie · Oct 2, 2022
From Janan Ganesh's column on Truss and Kwarteng posing as anti-establishment rebels. In the closing lines he shifts from ironic detachment to something more like anger. https://ft.com/content/bb6cc1ac-e543-4b68-9c60-d8844a90af8c
Image
12:01 PM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576517451759915009
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - will do. Planning forever now to have a weekend away in Sheffield with same time extra (so far usually: park-unload stuff-quick break-drive back). Year 1 was the Covid one, then Y2 passed quickly, now onto Y3 and have not managed to organize yet :-( Time flies :-O
11:20 AM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - will do. Planning forever now to have a weekend away in Sheffield with same time extra (so far usually: park-unload stuff-quick break-drive back). Year 1 was the Covid one, then Y2 passed quickly, now onto Y3 and have not managed to organize yet :-( Time flies :-O
11:20 AM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576365286089166848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Different administration, different people. And there was not an invasion on Libya, not like on Iraq. Obama - if I recall correctly - was mildly critical of the Iraq invasion during the elections, and was weary of foreign interventions esp in his 1st term after the GFC'08.
1:15 AM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Different administration, different people. And there was not an invasion on Libya, not like on Iraq. Obama - if I recall correctly - was mildly critical of the Iraq invasion during the elections, and was weary of foreign interventions esp in his 1st term after the GFC'08.
1:15 AM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576362367864037376
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 1, 2022
Good luck to the boy :-) Drove ours to Sheffield last weekend :-O
Stuart Cunningham @stucun · Oct 2, 2022
Oh wow! Following in your footsteps! What are they studying?
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! :- ) - by random chance. the younger one, he's studying economics + maths, a dual/combo
1:04 AM · Oct 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 1, 2022
Good luck to the boy :-) Drove ours to Sheffield last weekend :-O
Stuart Cunningham @stucun · Oct 2, 2022
Oh wow! Following in your footsteps! What are they studying?
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! :- ) - by random chance. the younger one, he's studying economics + maths, a dual/combo
1:04 AM · Oct 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576305924150415361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right. Seems in a war between a nuke and a non-nuke state, one needs to level the field to decrease the probability of a nuke use. And only way available is - make the non-nuke side a nuke one. Ergo - give nukes to UKR, to decrease the risk of RUS using theirs.
9:19 PM · Oct 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think you are right. Seems in a war between a nuke and a non-nuke state, one needs to level the field to decrease the probability of a nuke use. And only way available is - make the non-nuke side a nuke one. Ergo - give nukes to UKR, to decrease the risk of RUS using theirs.
9:19 PM · Oct 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576300053144051712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, but: the risk does not decrease if NATO leaves UA to be eaten by RU. Putin's take home message be "NATO weak => invade Poland", in 10yrs attacks Poland, and *then* we get the thermonuclear war. Already mentioned in the thread: give UKR nuclear weapons. (they had nukes once)
8:56 PM · Oct 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, but: the risk does not decrease if NATO leaves UA to be eaten by RU. Putin's take home message be "NATO weak => invade Poland", in 10yrs attacks Poland, and *then* we get the thermonuclear war. Already mentioned in the thread: give UKR nuclear weapons. (they had nukes once)
8:56 PM · Oct 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576173169496698883
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c they forget - people die off, institutional group memory decays, circumstances are always tad different (giving alibi to "this time is different"). Forgetting is the no effort default. Memory takes energy & time to maintain, curate, update, etc. Good things are exceptions.
12:32 PM · Oct 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c they forget - people die off, institutional group memory decays, circumstances are always tad different (giving alibi to "this time is different"). Forgetting is the no effort default. Memory takes energy & time to maintain, curate, update, etc. Good things are exceptions.
12:32 PM · Oct 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576154115524419585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Is it 1) "fixed" supply (nuclear, some gas) pre-ordered, price fixed, pre-paid is not part of the rolling auction; leaving the 2) "variable" supply (to match variable demand) to participate. And for that portion wind supplied enough Quantity to be a Price setter. Nice. 😀
11:16 AM · Oct 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Is it 1) "fixed" supply (nuclear, some gas) pre-ordered, price fixed, pre-paid is not part of the rolling auction; leaving the 2) "variable" supply (to match variable demand) to participate. And for that portion wind supplied enough Quantity to be a Price setter. Nice. 😀
11:16 AM · Oct 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1576117904420245504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wind is the marginal price setter?? That implies 1) wind more expensive than gas & nuclear, or 2) 100% of the demand is supplied by cheap sources (solar, wind) - but the figure is 60%, not 100. I see gas & nuclear supply 15-20%, expect them more expensive => marginal prc setters.
8:52 AM · Oct 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wind is the marginal price setter?? That implies 1) wind more expensive than gas & nuclear, or 2) 100% of the demand is supplied by cheap sources (solar, wind) - but the figure is 60%, not 100. I see gas & nuclear supply 15-20%, expect them more expensive => marginal prc setters.
8:52 AM · Oct 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575519163602374656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(argument made by @kamilkazani) With a nuke, he will lose from USA => he will survive. If he were to lose the war from UKR => he will fail. Argument made in https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1575510055369293824?refresh=1664467232
5:13 PM · Sep 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(argument made by @kamilkazani) With a nuke, he will lose from USA => he will survive. If he were to lose the war from UKR => he will fail. Argument made in https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1575510055369293824?refresh=1664467232
5:13 PM · Sep 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575435884329058306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Site vo privaten zivot koristat chat, email, etc - nema problem, nikoj ne misli deka e laga ili nevistina ili falsifikat porakata emailot. Ama koga ke dojde do rabota - e togas difolt e deka ne smee elektronski, mora da cekaat minister ili sekretar ili zakon da odobri, inaku e NE
11:42 AM · Sep 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Site vo privaten zivot koristat chat, email, etc - nema problem, nikoj ne misli deka e laga ili nevistina ili falsifikat porakata emailot. Ama koga ke dojde do rabota - e togas difolt e deka ne smee elektronski, mora da cekaat minister ili sekretar ili zakon da odobri, inaku e NE
11:42 AM · Sep 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575425126329421826
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bold -
"... ambition for the UK to be a net exporter of energy by 2040
... no trilemma between reducing emissions, enhancing energy security and cutting household bills - all three point in the same direction. That direction is increasing low carbon domestic electricity supply"
Quote
Jack Richardson @jackrdsn · Sep 29, 2022
"Reducing prices, enhancing energy security and reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050 all point in the same direction - we have to take bolder steps towards a sustainable future for energy supply."
Great piece - and in the Telegraph, too! Blimey
https://telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/09/29/why-foot-dragging-heat-pumps-wind-turbines-empowers-putin/
Show more
10:59 AM · Sep 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bold -
"... ambition for the UK to be a net exporter of energy by 2040
... no trilemma between reducing emissions, enhancing energy security and cutting household bills - all three point in the same direction. That direction is increasing low carbon domestic electricity supply"
Quote
Jack Richardson @jackrdsn · Sep 29, 2022
"Reducing prices, enhancing energy security and reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050 all point in the same direction - we have to take bolder steps towards a sustainable future for energy supply."
Great piece - and in the Telegraph, too! Blimey
https://telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/09/29/why-foot-dragging-heat-pumps-wind-turbines-empowers-putin/
Show more
10:59 AM · Sep 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575163134339584000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sugurno deka e, po sekoj kriterium. 👏 Ama veruvam "prepraten" e vo standardna upotreba?? Nego koga ti odi makedonski jazik - ajde plz predlozi makedonski zborovi za 1) "data" (podobro od "podatoci") 2) "thread" (podobro od "nishka")
5:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sugurno deka e, po sekoj kriterium. 👏 Ama veruvam "prepraten" e vo standardna upotreba?? Nego koga ti odi makedonski jazik - ajde plz predlozi makedonski zborovi za 1) "data" (podobro od "podatoci") 2) "thread" (podobro od "nishka")
5:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575102530308055040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free advice from random stranger: get out of academia, go into industry. There is more D in industrial R&D compared to academia (maybe a +ve or -ve, depends on the circumstances), more £££, less stress. More doing stuff, less writing about. What's not to like? My 2p.
1:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free advice from random stranger: get out of academia, go into industry. There is more D in industrial R&D compared to academia (maybe a +ve or -ve, depends on the circumstances), more £££, less stress. More doing stuff, less writing about. What's not to like? My 2p.
1:38 PM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575084542494244864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koi se imigranti, a koi se "nashi", se menuva so vreme. Vo BREXIT znacaen faktor bese EE imigracija. Postara generacija imigranti od Karibi i sl - vo UK gi smetame voglavno za "nashi". Super tekst za razlikite US - UK - EU, imigracija, rasi i sl, vo https://ft.com/content/a93aef83-c8ab-45de-9a0a-8a97ffbffe81
12:26 PM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koi se imigranti, a koi se "nashi", se menuva so vreme. Vo BREXIT znacaen faktor bese EE imigracija. Postara generacija imigranti od Karibi i sl - vo UK gi smetame voglavno za "nashi". Super tekst za razlikite US - UK - EU, imigracija, rasi i sl, vo https://ft.com/content/a93aef83-c8ab-45de-9a0a-8a97ffbffe81
12:26 PM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1575051873366970368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a population usually believes what the TV box tells them. It is easier that way to function in a society. If/when the TV-voice contradicts my lived experience, then I may start to question the TV-voice. Even then - there are many excuses available. C.f. media technologists.
10:16 AM · Sep 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a population usually believes what the TV box tells them. It is easier that way to function in a society. If/when the TV-voice contradicts my lived experience, then I may start to question the TV-voice. Even then - there are many excuses available. C.f. media technologists.
10:16 AM · Sep 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574864386526781441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obviously ludicrous numbers are used for intimidation of the population under occupation: "we know you know we are lying, but you can do nothing about it, so suck it". Good explainer by
Quote
Kristo Nurmis @KristoNurmis · Sep 25, 2022
Replying to @KristoNurmis
But why did the Soviets stage these elections? Why did they make millions of people physically participate in a predetermined vote? Why did they bother? 4/
9:51 PM · Sep 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Obviously ludicrous numbers are used for intimidation of the population under occupation: "we know you know we are lying, but you can do nothing about it, so suck it". Good explainer by
Quote
Kristo Nurmis @KristoNurmis · Sep 25, 2022
Replying to @KristoNurmis
But why did the Soviets stage these elections? Why did they make millions of people physically participate in a predetermined vote? Why did they bother? 4/
9:51 PM · Sep 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574781489593651200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Don't knock Great in Great British X (latest X =Energy). Great slogan (heh). Form is not everything, but it maybe up to 1/2 of it all? The other 1/2 substance/function - what else is there?
4:22 PM · Sep 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😊 Don't knock Great in Great British X (latest X =Energy). Great slogan (heh). Form is not everything, but it maybe up to 1/2 of it all? The other 1/2 substance/function - what else is there?
4:22 PM · Sep 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574683730932748288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Локално стално се памтат (пр. во МК разни скоевци, партизани и сл), а глобално масовно од скоро (Wikipedia). Од кога стануваме "глобално село". Не е глумење да кажам "браво алал што е толку храбар се бори за слобода", и да мислам "веројатно мене би ми било страв, јас не би". Ок е
9:53 AM · Sep 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Локално стално се памтат (пр. во МК разни скоевци, партизани и сл), а глобално масовно од скоро (Wikipedia). Од кога стануваме "глобално село". Не е глумење да кажам "браво алал што е толку храбар се бори за слобода", и да мислам "веројатно мене би ми било страв, јас не би". Ок е
9:53 AM · Sep 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574097416932003842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your argument holds if founders are rational and do expected value calculations. But if they were, they'd never attempt a startup, as the overwhelming odds are a startup will fail. In expectation, they'd be better off getting a day job at BigTechCorp & living a moderated life.
7:04 PM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your argument holds if founders are rational and do expected value calculations. But if they were, they'd never attempt a startup, as the overwhelming odds are a startup will fail. In expectation, they'd be better off getting a day job at BigTechCorp & living a moderated life.
7:04 PM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574080370626072576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Remarkable insigh straight into the brains of 1000s of people, each with vastly different ideas, hopes, desires, etc for the future . You see things even the founders themselves don't. Add the pivots, random chances a happenstances, roads taken and not etc. Sorry not credible.
5:56 PM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Remarkable insigh straight into the brains of 1000s of people, each with vastly different ideas, hopes, desires, etc for the future . You see things even the founders themselves don't. Add the pivots, random chances a happenstances, roads taken and not etc. Sorry not credible.
5:56 PM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574074616301162497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surely you realise no one can see the future - if they end up with 0 or Bilions. Lack of acquisition opportunities *forced* Google founders to take the risk of "go it alone". That they might otherwise not have taken.
5:33 PM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surely you realise no one can see the future - if they end up with 0 or Bilions. Lack of acquisition opportunities *forced* Google founders to take the risk of "go it alone". That they might otherwise not have taken.
5:33 PM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1574064654212800514
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surely you realise Google itself was at some point a company with 2-3-5 people. Had Digital Alta Vista bought Google for 5M,they would have likely snuffed out what became the competition.
4:53 PM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Surely you realise Google itself was at some point a company with 2-3-5 people. Had Digital Alta Vista bought Google for 5M,they would have likely snuffed out what became the competition.
4:53 PM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1573962433076551680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent read by Janan Ganesh, too many good takes to quote -
Britain’s mid-Atlantic way on race https://ft.com/content/a93aef83-c8ab-45de-9a0a-8a97ffbffe81
10:07 AM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent read by Janan Ganesh, too many good takes to quote -
Britain’s mid-Atlantic way on race https://ft.com/content/a93aef83-c8ab-45de-9a0a-8a97ffbffe81
10:07 AM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1573958829615767554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - exactly, excellent! Only - if they were that clever, they wouldn't be in opposition. They don't seem to be capable of the smarts you illustrate. Got reminded recently reading an old article https://newstatesman.com/labour-in-crisis/2021/05/tony-blair-without-total-change-labour-will-die
. TB still seems to be the rare (only?) clever one over there
9:53 AM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - exactly, excellent! Only - if they were that clever, they wouldn't be in opposition. They don't seem to be capable of the smarts you illustrate. Got reminded recently reading an old article https://newstatesman.com/labour-in-crisis/2021/05/tony-blair-without-total-change-labour-will-die
. TB still seems to be the rare (only?) clever one over there
9:53 AM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1573953108081786880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and I have seen this before in ex-YU @PaulConRO
. Slavenka Drakulic wrote a much needed "They Would Never Hurt A Fly: War Criminals on Trial in The Hague" book & noticed too https://amazon.co.uk/They-Would-Never-Hurt-Fly/dp/0349117756/
: what was (is) this war for? It is for nothing, it is pointless. (from RU side)
Image
9:30 AM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... and I have seen this before in ex-YU @PaulConRO
. Slavenka Drakulic wrote a much needed "They Would Never Hurt A Fly: War Criminals on Trial in The Hague" book & noticed too https://amazon.co.uk/They-Would-Never-Hurt-Fly/dp/0349117756/
: what was (is) this war for? It is for nothing, it is pointless. (from RU side)
Image
9:30 AM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1573935833543057411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are 101% right - there is not a rational reason for this war. Putin and the clique around him are imbecilic cretins. They have always been like that - all tactics, zero strategy. They don't lack either of land or people, yet pursue both. They are morons.
8:21 AM · Sep 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are 101% right - there is not a rational reason for this war. Putin and the clique around him are imbecilic cretins. They have always been like that - all tactics, zero strategy. They don't lack either of land or people, yet pursue both. They are morons.
8:21 AM · Sep 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572909557780815873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sistemot -i vo MK i vo D, podole- ima vgradeno prezumpcija deka strankata (1va strana) lazhe koga nesto tvrdi. Pa 2rata strana (salter, sefica) po default bara pismeno (alt: usno telefon, elektronski email/chat) potvrda od 3ta strana (drug drzaven orgain) deka 1vata zbori vistina
12:23 PM · Sep 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sistemot -i vo MK i vo D, podole- ima vgradeno prezumpcija deka strankata (1va strana) lazhe koga nesto tvrdi. Pa 2rata strana (salter, sefica) po default bara pismeno (alt: usno telefon, elektronski email/chat) potvrda od 3ta strana (drug drzaven orgain) deka 1vata zbori vistina
12:23 PM · Sep 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572711027585728513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, we can't attain the "whole truth", but we can quantify our ignorance. Probably along the lines of Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". That's something, is better than nothing.
11:15 PM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, we can't attain the "whole truth", but we can quantify our ignorance. Probably along the lines of Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". That's something, is better than nothing.
11:15 PM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572588072684113920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... got reminded today: suspect kids-social may turn out to be part of sussing out Bloom's 2-sigma mastery learning - this https://twitter.com/AustinScholar/status/1571996081923231745
. Admittedly foolish 🙃 to forecast or even hope 😶 on a horizon of ~30 yrs (even if .e.g https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777644059643904).
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 28, 2022
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - what a delight, music to the ears of all computer geeks everywhere. The final act of a drama played, a movie material even? Maybe one to add to the next edition of "How Innovation Works" @mattwridley? 1/7 x.com/demishassabis/…
3:06 PM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... got reminded today: suspect kids-social may turn out to be part of sussing out Bloom's 2-sigma mastery learning - this https://twitter.com/AustinScholar/status/1571996081923231745
. Admittedly foolish 🙃 to forecast or even hope 😶 on a horizon of ~30 yrs (even if .e.g https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777644059643904).
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jul 28, 2022
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - what a delight, music to the ears of all computer geeks everywhere. The final act of a drama played, a movie material even? Maybe one to add to the next edition of "How Innovation Works" @mattwridley? 1/7 x.com/demishassabis/…
3:06 PM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572557218503086081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imase threads, e.g linkovi https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567246775739715587 . Mi lici da e f*ckup slicen na GFC'08, market model od Ivory tower. Branitelite na dizajnot onlajn mi licea na IYIs, ne me ubedija. P-rice odi vo Inf-inity za Q-uantity koja fali koga se raboti za prozivod slicen na O2, i dr mani
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @PeteG1001 @lloyd_dunne and 4 others
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 . Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 , but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
1:03 PM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imase threads, e.g linkovi https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567246775739715587 . Mi lici da e f*ckup slicen na GFC'08, market model od Ivory tower. Branitelite na dizajnot onlajn mi licea na IYIs, ne me ubedija. P-rice odi vo Inf-inity za Q-uantity koja fali koga se raboti za prozivod slicen na O2, i dr mani
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @PeteG1001 @lloyd_dunne and 4 others
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 . Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 , but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
1:03 PM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572528117654360069
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know what iOS user can do or not do. If they can't modify-recompile-run, than it wasn't free, regardless if the charge was $0 or $9.99.
11:08 AM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't know what iOS user can do or not do. If they can't modify-recompile-run, than it wasn't free, regardless if the charge was $0 or $9.99.
11:08 AM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572527068822532097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Charging for 'free' software is perfectly fine, and always has been. B/c s/w free-dom meant is of the type 'free speech' freedom, not 'free beer' freedom.
11:04 AM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Charging for 'free' software is perfectly fine, and always has been. B/c s/w free-dom meant is of the type 'free speech' freedom, not 'free beer' freedom.
11:04 AM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572526112055623681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are better than that. 😑 You know as well as anyone - 'free' is free as in speech not as in beer, and all that. Uncharacteristically off the point, missing it by miles.
11:00 AM · Sep 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are better than that. 😑 You know as well as anyone - 'free' is free as in speech not as in beer, and all that. Uncharacteristically off the point, missing it by miles.
11:00 AM · Sep 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572255233849401347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The campist view strikes me as similar to how usually tyrants & monsters justify themselves: the individual suffering is insignificant, tiny, not really worth considering, in the grand narrative of history, destiny, nation etc. Grand historical process trumps any individual case.
5:03 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The campist view strikes me as similar to how usually tyrants & monsters justify themselves: the individual suffering is insignificant, tiny, not really worth considering, in the grand narrative of history, destiny, nation etc. Grand historical process trumps any individual case.
5:03 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572212201158742016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, horizontite za planiranje se podolgi. Vo Anglija kalendarot e otprilika - 1) Okolu pocetok na nova skolska godina Sep-2022, se kupuvaat zimski odmori za Jan-Mar 2023; 2) Posle Xmas - Nova Godina od Jan-2023 natamu se kupuvaat letni odmori za Jul-Aug 2023.
2:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Da, horizontite za planiranje se podolgi. Vo Anglija kalendarot e otprilika - 1) Okolu pocetok na nova skolska godina Sep-2022, se kupuvaat zimski odmori za Jan-Mar 2023; 2) Posle Xmas - Nova Godina od Jan-2023 natamu se kupuvaat letni odmori za Jul-Aug 2023.
2:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572197901228711936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@drmichaellevin "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos to synthetic proto-organisms" https://youtu.be/5ChRM4CEWyg. Well worth anyone's time - amazing really
1:16 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@drmichaellevin "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos to synthetic proto-organisms" https://youtu.be/5ChRM4CEWyg. Well worth anyone's time - amazing really
1:16 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572194994777165824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a counter-counter the extreme bonds liquidity: the interest on my NS&I bonds motivates me a bit to keep NS&I, and not convert into a new car. Would think ok to pay interest if one is locked - for 1-2-5-10yrs - into the bond unable to sell till maturity. Delaying consumption
1:04 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - a counter-counter the extreme bonds liquidity: the interest on my NS&I bonds motivates me a bit to keep NS&I, and not convert into a new car. Would think ok to pay interest if one is locked - for 1-2-5-10yrs - into the bond unable to sell till maturity. Delaying consumption
1:04 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572185536407961603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - mystery why @adam_tooze complicates - & in the process creates falsehood - where simpler truth both suffices&explains better: UA needs to import EU stuff, for that EUs demand Euros don't accept Hryvnas, ergo UA needs Euros, so EU granting or loaning Euros to UA is one way.
12:26 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - mystery why @adam_tooze complicates - & in the process creates falsehood - where simpler truth both suffices&explains better: UA needs to import EU stuff, for that EUs demand Euros don't accept Hryvnas, ergo UA needs Euros, so EU granting or loaning Euros to UA is one way.
12:26 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572181972470104064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... small nit on "bonds pay interest so inflationary": yes, but as a counter force to that, I can't buy a new car with my NS&I bonds, bonds can't be exchanged for goods, so that makes them a bit deflationary. Right?
12:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... small nit on "bonds pay interest so inflationary": yes, but as a counter force to that, I can't buy a new car with my NS&I bonds, bonds can't be exchanged for goods, so that makes them a bit deflationary. Right?
12:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571916503183761411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True about "always on" access, and BigTech dopamine hacking our brains (incl kids'). Still - TBS if it's going to be for the worse. @PessimistsArc is full of scares that didn't pan out. In my youth also "don't sit close to the TV, your eyesight will go bad". Afaik - not true.
6:37 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True about "always on" access, and BigTech dopamine hacking our brains (incl kids'). Still - TBS if it's going to be for the worse. @PessimistsArc is full of scares that didn't pan out. In my youth also "don't sit close to the TV, your eyesight will go bad". Afaik - not true.
6:37 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571903889397665797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ideologijata e liberalizam (linkot pogore). Centralna idea e deka sekoj covek saka da bide sloboden, i centralna e borbata za sloboda. Analogno - vo MK vo socijalizmot centralna ideologija bese marksizam a ideata bese klasna borba. "Sloboda ili smrt" mislam da e liberalen slogan.
5:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ideologijata e liberalizam (linkot pogore). Centralna idea e deka sekoj covek saka da bide sloboden, i centralna e borbata za sloboda. Analogno - vo MK vo socijalizmot centralna ideologija bese marksizam a ideata bese klasna borba. "Sloboda ili smrt" mislam da e liberalen slogan.
5:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571897277425373193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Verojatno misli na liberalnite opstestva. Kade liberalizmot e glavna ideologija - ova https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_liberalism . Na pr - UK po Glorious revolution 1688, USA po amerikanska revolucija 1765, Francija po francuska revolucija 1789, i sl.
5:21 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Verojatno misli na liberalnite opstestva. Kade liberalizmot e glavna ideologija - ova https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_liberalism . Na pr - UK po Glorious revolution 1688, USA po amerikanska revolucija 1765, Francija po francuska revolucija 1789, i sl.
5:21 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571888684395384834
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand. Manage access - hmm, once I closed (and sometimes locked) the door to my room, my parents had 0 influence on my access to my C64, and latter PC (286 with 2400 bps modem). The future may yet prove parents wrong and kids right, TBS. We simply don't know, TBH.
4:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand. Manage access - hmm, once I closed (and sometimes locked) the door to my room, my parents had 0 influence on my access to my C64, and latter PC (286 with 2400 bps modem). The future may yet prove parents wrong and kids right, TBS. We simply don't know, TBH.
4:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571887731227365378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, noticeable often with unhinged voices/opinions. As if the brain/organ used to quantify things is malfunctioning. I guess - if one accepts the "law" of the transformation of quantity into quality (and vice versa) - then one can see how it can lead one to very strange places.
4:43 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, noticeable often with unhinged voices/opinions. As if the brain/organ used to quantify things is malfunctioning. I guess - if one accepts the "law" of the transformation of quantity into quality (and vice versa) - then one can see how it can lead one to very strange places.
4:43 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571882360505008128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, I don't know. Often kids turn out to be more right than parents thought is the case. Look at all the excellent GPUs we have for AlphaFold b/c - contrary to every parent advice - kids kept playing computer games! Credit to parents for shelling out $$$ and financing GPU R&D. 😁
4:22 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, I don't know. Often kids turn out to be more right than parents thought is the case. Look at all the excellent GPUs we have for AlphaFold b/c - contrary to every parent advice - kids kept playing computer games! Credit to parents for shelling out $$$ and financing GPU R&D. 😁
4:22 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571879004835295234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even I (random bystander) know that in every MMT book/article primary concern stressed is availability of real resources, and inflation in their absence. To claim the expect opposite is the case is just dumb in this day&age when everyone can find out - e.g
Quote
Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts · Sep 19, 2022
MMT: Knappheit gibt es nur bei den Ressouren, aber nicht beim Geld.
Kollege, der anscheinend auch 2022 noch keine einzige Seite von AutorInnen der MMT gelesen hat: x.com/FuestClemens/s…
4:08 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Even I (random bystander) know that in every MMT book/article primary concern stressed is availability of real resources, and inflation in their absence. To claim the expect opposite is the case is just dumb in this day&age when everyone can find out - e.g
Quote
Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts · Sep 19, 2022
MMT: Knappheit gibt es nur bei den Ressouren, aber nicht beim Geld.
Kollege, der anscheinend auch 2022 noch keine einzige Seite von AutorInnen der MMT gelesen hat: x.com/FuestClemens/s…
4:08 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570849980453363712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poverojatno da IQ e povrzan so obrazovanie? Meri posredno kolku e obrazuvana populacijata vo skolo - literatura, logika, matematika i sl. Ovde posledno vidov - https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country . A so GDP verojatno vrzano posredno: pobogata zemja pogolem GDP <=> poobrazuvana populacija.
7:59 PM · Sep 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poverojatno da IQ e povrzan so obrazovanie? Meri posredno kolku e obrazuvana populacijata vo skolo - literatura, logika, matematika i sl. Ovde posledno vidov - https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country . A so GDP verojatno vrzano posredno: pobogata zemja pogolem GDP <=> poobrazuvana populacija.
7:59 PM · Sep 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570501156903997441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - i jas sakam da mi plati musterijata poveke, ama: 1) 20 den - toa ne e profit 2) da recam "profit" znaci go cenam *nula* trudot na toj sto nosi niva -> piljara 3) voen - vo MK nema vojna 4) profit - profit e dobar, site rabotime za profit, ako nemam profit ke zatvoram firma.
8:53 PM · Sep 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - i jas sakam da mi plati musterijata poveke, ama: 1) 20 den - toa ne e profit 2) da recam "profit" znaci go cenam *nula* trudot na toj sto nosi niva -> piljara 3) voen - vo MK nema vojna 4) profit - profit e dobar, site rabotime za profit, ako nemam profit ke zatvoram firma.
8:53 PM · Sep 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570370855179272194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@threadreaderapp unroll please. Thanks @rumeliobserver - imho #get4freedoms is an excellent idea. A realistic and reasonable plan of action given the current state of affairs (on all sides).
12:16 PM · Sep 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@threadreaderapp unroll please. Thanks @rumeliobserver - imho #get4freedoms is an excellent idea. A realistic and reasonable plan of action given the current state of affairs (on all sides).
12:16 PM · Sep 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570354320398487559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thought provoking discussion about the nationalism-democracy-liberalism axis and interactions there, and in that context of the value of tolerance and Ukraine too, featuring @harari_yuval at https://youtube.com/watch?v=pN_Cean19_k&t=2100s
11:10 AM · Sep 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thought provoking discussion about the nationalism-democracy-liberalism axis and interactions there, and in that context of the value of tolerance and Ukraine too, featuring @harari_yuval at https://youtube.com/watch?v=pN_Cean19_k&t=2100s
11:10 AM · Sep 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570061416949760001
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super - toa e dobar pazar na trud, haha. 😊 Nie sto izrasnavme vo vreme na globalen neo-liberalizam 1990+, nikogas ne sme bile vo situacija rabotodavecot da se trudi nesto mnogu da go kupi nasiot trud. Stalno imase pogolema ponuda na trud od pobaruvacka. Sega toa se svrte. 👍
3:46 PM · Sep 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Super - toa e dobar pazar na trud, haha. 😊 Nie sto izrasnavme vo vreme na globalen neo-liberalizam 1990+, nikogas ne sme bile vo situacija rabotodavecot da se trudi nesto mnogu da go kupi nasiot trud. Stalno imase pogolema ponuda na trud od pobaruvacka. Sega toa se svrte. 👍
3:46 PM · Sep 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569783008902758401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bella Italia 😍 - still fresh, was there recently. Florence - nice pretty but very crowded. Ravenna - a revelation, the mosaics stunned us 1st, then decompressed on the beach by sea, sand & wind. Bologna - food fit for kings.
9:20 PM · Sep 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bella Italia 😍 - still fresh, was there recently. Florence - nice pretty but very crowded. Ravenna - a revelation, the mosaics stunned us 1st, then decompressed on the beach by sea, sand & wind. Bologna - food fit for kings.
9:20 PM · Sep 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569403885302726657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Blusku do nula, ama ne sosema. Nadvoresno skoro od nula- nikoj ne te znae, za drugite vo novata sredina kako sega da si roden. Toe e i curse (anonimen) i blessing (sloboda). Vnatresno- se imas sebe si, svoite zelbi, nadezi, ambicii, idei - ima kontinuitet. So sreka :-) Just Do It
8:13 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Blusku do nula, ama ne sosema. Nadvoresno skoro od nula- nikoj ne te znae, za drugite vo novata sredina kako sega da si roden. Toe e i curse (anonimen) i blessing (sloboda). Vnatresno- se imas sebe si, svoite zelbi, nadezi, ambicii, idei - ima kontinuitet. So sreka :-) Just Do It
8:13 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569370601566998530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pacifism - confuses the ends with the means. The end aim is peace. But the means to achieve peace are not: put your hands up. Realism - in short is "might is right". The less said about those espousing it, the better. We have to put up with both, but it's good to challenge them.
6:01 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pacifism - confuses the ends with the means. The end aim is peace. But the means to achieve peace are not: put your hands up. Realism - in short is "might is right". The less said about those espousing it, the better. We have to put up with both, but it's good to challenge them.
6:01 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569366537152204809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The moment US sends M1 Abrams tanks to Ukraine, the DE excuse ("no one else is sending modern tanks to UA) is going to crumble. And they will send their tanks. c.f. https://twitter.com/marceldirsus/status/1569237516774948866 by @marceldirsus
5:45 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The moment US sends M1 Abrams tanks to Ukraine, the DE excuse ("no one else is sending modern tanks to UA) is going to crumble. And they will send their tanks. c.f. https://twitter.com/marceldirsus/status/1569237516774948866 by @marceldirsus
5:45 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569333060235325440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam dali go znaete izvorot ama ne stavate link (zasto?? znaeme deka ne ste napravile vie IQ testovi vo 200+ zemji vo svet, znaeme deka prenesuvate tugha vest), ili ne go znete i nemate sila za 1 google search. Da im spasam na drugite vreme - izvorot e https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country
3:32 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne znam dali go znaete izvorot ama ne stavate link (zasto?? znaeme deka ne ste napravile vie IQ testovi vo 200+ zemji vo svet, znaeme deka prenesuvate tugha vest), ili ne go znete i nemate sila za 1 google search. Da im spasam na drugite vreme - izvorot e https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country
3:32 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569326191324135424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well noticed @psiphi_gavagai : we have access to the same natural resources that e.g. neolithic people had. What makes for the difference in outcomes is the *knowledge* we have, that neolithic people lacked.
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🇺🇦psiphi🦉🔬⚛️ @psiphi_gavagai · Sep 12, 2022
Replying to @psiphi_gavagai @Raphfel and @DoombergT
Notice in the graph the countries that dominate science and technology are at the top. Compare it with countries that have the most oil reserves. Oil by itself is useless without human ingenuity to effectively utilize it.
Image
3:04 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well noticed @psiphi_gavagai : we have access to the same natural resources that e.g. neolithic people had. What makes for the difference in outcomes is the *knowledge* we have, that neolithic people lacked.
Quote
🇺🇦psiphi🦉🔬⚛️ @psiphi_gavagai · Sep 12, 2022
Replying to @psiphi_gavagai @Raphfel and @DoombergT
Notice in the graph the countries that dominate science and technology are at the top. Compare it with countries that have the most oil reserves. Oil by itself is useless without human ingenuity to effectively utilize it.
Image
3:04 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569322850942599168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Со среќа, со успех, good luck. 🍀🤞 Почнуваш втор живот! 🙂
2:51 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Со среќа, со успех, good luck. 🍀🤞 Почнуваш втор живот! 🙂
2:51 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569285785500672000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тоа држава да каже што требало умре 1990-та со социјализмот. Сега има пазар на труд. Тоа што најмногу се плаќа, тоа најмногу фали на фирмите, по сектори/тип на работа. Од 2020 на пр. https://faktor.mk/top-5-najvisoki-plati-vo-makedonija-po-sektori-nakgolem-rast-vo-bankarskiot-sektor- . Сите може сами да видиме, нема потреба никој ништо никому да кажува.
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12:24 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Тоа држава да каже што требало умре 1990-та со социјализмот. Сега има пазар на труд. Тоа што најмногу се плаќа, тоа најмногу фали на фирмите, по сектори/тип на работа. Од 2020 на пр. https://faktor.mk/top-5-najvisoki-plati-vo-makedonija-po-sektori-nakgolem-rast-vo-bankarskiot-sektor- . Сите може сами да видиме, нема потреба никој ништо никому да кажува.
Translate post
12:24 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568530408878313473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne samo sto ne mi e tesko, tuku i mi go razubavuva denot koga ke im pokazam kako nesto se pravi, i ke naucat. ☺️ (isto i obratno) Imho druga precka e i - se sramat da prasaat (da ne pomislam deka ne se umni?), nemaat trpenie i vreme da doslusnat koga objasnuvam ("posle") i sl.
10:22 AM · Sep 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne samo sto ne mi e tesko, tuku i mi go razubavuva denot koga ke im pokazam kako nesto se pravi, i ke naucat. ☺️ (isto i obratno) Imho druga precka e i - se sramat da prasaat (da ne pomislam deka ne se umni?), nemaat trpenie i vreme da doslusnat koga objasnuvam ("posle") i sl.
10:22 AM · Sep 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568278093999079431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A bad take on things. Numerate people learn literature as a matter of course, and it is a great thing to do. Unfortunately, lots of literate people never learn to be numerate, and it is the worst thing. The Two Cultures https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Two_Cultures is still a thing. Do better please.
en.m.wikipedia.org
The Two Cultures - Wikipedia
5:40 PM · Sep 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A bad take on things. Numerate people learn literature as a matter of course, and it is a great thing to do. Unfortunately, lots of literate people never learn to be numerate, and it is the worst thing. The Two Cultures https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Two_Cultures is still a thing. Do better please.
en.m.wikipedia.org
The Two Cultures - Wikipedia
5:40 PM · Sep 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568144012086738945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I kvantnata fizika funkcionira isto, samo prognozata e probability density function, ne point forecast. Da, nazad on-topic: toa sto baras (da "znae") e nevozmozno, ne postoi. Odgovarite na TL se prikaski, se najdat vo muabet, zabava i sl - ne "znaat". Isto i vo javni mediumi i sl
8:47 AM · Sep 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I kvantnata fizika funkcionira isto, samo prognozata e probability density function, ne point forecast. Da, nazad on-topic: toa sto baras (da "znae") e nevozmozno, ne postoi. Odgovarite na TL se prikaski, se najdat vo muabet, zabava i sl - ne "znaat". Isto i vo javni mediumi i sl
8:47 AM · Sep 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568005997691604993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, да. 😊 Тест на знаење е предвидување што ќе се случи во иднина. Физиката знае => ќе лансираме ракета, ќе предвиди точно каде ќе биде позиционирана во простор 24ч од сега. А обратно - и ако предвидам точно, пак не мора да значи дека знам, пошто може да убодам на среќа.
11:38 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, да. 😊 Тест на знаење е предвидување што ќе се случи во иднина. Физиката знае => ќе лансираме ракета, ќе предвиди точно каде ќе биде позиционирана во простор 24ч од сега. А обратно - и ако предвидам точно, пак не мора да значи дека знам, пошто може да убодам на среќа.
11:38 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568001377284296705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Па тоа е тест дали некој "знае". Ако "знае", тогаш ќе предвиди што ќе се случи во иднина. Да гледам назад и да објаснувам - тоа се прикаски, раскази и сл. Не е знаење. Знаењето ја предвидува иднината.
11:20 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Па тоа е тест дали некој "знае". Ако "знае", тогаш ќе предвиди што ќе се случи во иднина. Да гледам назад и да објаснувам - тоа се прикаски, раскази и сл. Не е знаење. Знаењето ја предвидува иднината.
11:20 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567996620360372224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не знае никој. "Знаење" во смисла - да предвиди 1 год однапред. Да знае, ќе ја продаде куќата и со парите ќе се обложи на тоа што знае. Кога по 1 год се случи тоа што знаел, ќе заработи 10 куќи. Многу велат дека знаат, некои се самозалажуваат а некои лажат - ама никој не знае.
11:01 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Не знае никој. "Знаење" во смисла - да предвиди 1 год однапред. Да знае, ќе ја продаде куќата и со парите ќе се обложи на тоа што знае. Кога по 1 год се случи тоа што знаел, ќе заработи 10 куќи. Многу велат дека знаат, некои се самозалажуваат а некои лажат - ама никој не знае.
11:01 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567878461896671233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tocno taka. (vidov "31 god zavisna" ama ignorirav) Ne samo sto sme site zavisni od drugi, tuku i zaedno podobro ziveeme otkolku sami. Koga sekoj pravi toa sto najdobro moze, a toa sto mu treba go trguva so drugiot. Ima rizik ako drugiot se svrti protiv nas. Najcesto rizikot vredi
3:12 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tocno taka. (vidov "31 god zavisna" ama ignorirav) Ne samo sto sme site zavisni od drugi, tuku i zaedno podobro ziveeme otkolku sami. Koga sekoj pravi toa sto najdobro moze, a toa sto mu treba go trguva so drugiot. Ima rizik ako drugiot se svrti protiv nas. Najcesto rizikot vredi
3:12 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567793600179609600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e - ama tolku ni bese kapacitetot za razmisluvanje, kolektivno. Rezultatot e realen odraz na kolektivnite moznosti za broenje, sporeduvanje, rasuduvanje, zaklucuvanje, planiranje, akcija i sl. Vo slednata iteracija podobro :-)
9:34 AM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne e - ama tolku ni bese kapacitetot za razmisluvanje, kolektivno. Rezultatot e realen odraz na kolektivnite moznosti za broenje, sporeduvanje, rasuduvanje, zaklucuvanje, planiranje, akcija i sl. Vo slednata iteracija podobro :-)
9:34 AM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567787790850473986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Честит празник. 👏😊 Иако сум иселен (и иселениците често сме негативни), јас кога ќе ја посетам МК приметувам 10 работи што македонците направиле и средиле од претходниот пат. Разбирам дека има уште 1000 работи на TODO листа, и дека кукање и жалење се национален спорт.
9:11 AM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Честит празник. 👏😊 Иако сум иселен (и иселениците често сме негативни), јас кога ќе ја посетам МК приметувам 10 работи што македонците направиле и средиле од претходниот пат. Разбирам дека има уште 1000 работи на TODO листа, и дека кукање и жалење се национален спорт.
9:11 AM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567496567308926976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's useless for me too. Don't expect it to change soon - neither the CEO nor the @Twitter directors care enough about the user experience (it's all monetization). I get by with Mute accounts and using the Latest Tweets (rather than Home) timeline -
Image
1:54 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's useless for me too. Don't expect it to change soon - neither the CEO nor the @Twitter directors care enough about the user experience (it's all monetization). I get by with Mute accounts and using the Latest Tweets (rather than Home) timeline -
Image
1:54 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567483013239300097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am getting GFC'08 vibes Re: marginal pricing. Few pple I TW interacted with defending the marginal pricing seemed educated, naive, ignorant, careless, corrupt (pick your mix). It fails on their own major criterion: it didn't produce plentiful energy supply in the past 30+ years
1:00 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am getting GFC'08 vibes Re: marginal pricing. Few pple I TW interacted with defending the marginal pricing seemed educated, naive, ignorant, careless, corrupt (pick your mix). It fails on their own major criterion: it didn't produce plentiful energy supply in the past 30+ years
1:00 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567481601273040896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anything that is almost as valuable as O2 to us and must be bought, at any price, will - when supply fails to match demand - have parabolic price increase. C.f. coal too
Quote
Peter Zeihan @PeterZeihan · Sep 6, 2022
Energy products take their price from the marginal supplier. You remove a reliable component from any supply chain, and the marginal supplier becomes more important. Expect a lot of this. In everything. x.com/AlessioUrban/s…
12:55 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anything that is almost as valuable as O2 to us and must be bought, at any price, will - when supply fails to match demand - have parabolic price increase. C.f. coal too
Quote
Peter Zeihan @PeterZeihan · Sep 6, 2022
Energy products take their price from the marginal supplier. You remove a reliable component from any supply chain, and the marginal supplier becomes more important. Expect a lot of this. In everything. x.com/AlessioUrban/s…
12:55 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567480718871207936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only found abt "marginal pricing" last week so with a pinch salt, but: hearing "perfect, correct, textbook" etc spooked GFC'08 house prices models vibes in me. An obvious collusion objection https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 hand waveyly ignored by an advocate e.g. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817 .
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
12:51 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Only found abt "marginal pricing" last week so with a pinch salt, but: hearing "perfect, correct, textbook" etc spooked GFC'08 house prices models vibes in me. An obvious collusion objection https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 hand waveyly ignored by an advocate e.g. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817 .
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
12:51 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567246775739715587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066
. Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264
, but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
9:22 PM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066
. Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264
, but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
9:22 PM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567174757740675074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@threadreaderapp Unroll please. Excellent read! Enjoyed it as much as I enjoyed reading Davids book. Thank you for writing and publishing this.
4:35 PM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@threadreaderapp Unroll please. Excellent read! Enjoyed it as much as I enjoyed reading Davids book. Thank you for writing and publishing this.
4:35 PM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567134837022068741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne (kaj mene potkrovje): sto se odnelo, ne se vratilo. Jas licno frlam, moite ne. Racunam - ako se sluci toa sto ne se slucilo do sega, da mi potreba nesto sto sum frlil, ke go kupam pak, shansa 1 od 1000.
1:57 PM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ne (kaj mene potkrovje): sto se odnelo, ne se vratilo. Jas licno frlam, moite ne. Racunam - ako se sluci toa sto ne se slucilo do sega, da mi potreba nesto sto sum frlil, ke go kupam pak, shansa 1 od 1000.
1:57 PM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567095597303316482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the market designed as described in https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066
3 tweets 1/3-3/3? And is it at risk to manipulation like https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264? And is the only defense mechanism the regulator and "hard to do" https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817
? (sorry to self quote)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:21 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is the market designed as described in https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066
3 tweets 1/3-3/3? And is it at risk to manipulation like https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264? And is the only defense mechanism the regulator and "hard to do" https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817
? (sorry to self quote)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:21 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:11 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:11 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567089517982629888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Respectfully disagree. That's naive verging on negligent. Trading stocks ~15 yrs - market super regulated, all public, many eyes & regulators on the ball - yet manipulations are uncovered regularly. Shudder to think what goes on when one starts with a premise "all's good & fine".
10:57 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Respectfully disagree. That's naive verging on negligent. Trading stocks ~15 yrs - market super regulated, all public, many eyes & regulators on the ball - yet manipulations are uncovered regularly. Shudder to think what goes on when one starts with a premise "all's good & fine".
10:57 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
10:44 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
10:44 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567080208414416898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - market design from an ivory tower. Price Inf-ifinity is possible => will happen given electricity is like O2. Market participants can implicitly collude - a wind farm forecasts demand, bids 90%, leaves 10% to the gas plant to lift the final price.
10:20 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh - market design from an ivory tower. Price Inf-ifinity is possible => will happen given electricity is like O2. Market participants can implicitly collude - a wind farm forecasts demand, bids 90%, leaves 10% to the gas plant to lift the final price.
10:20 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566853594602786816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе 😁 Мојот десатар од село во Србија. Дома без вода и WC, земјоделци работеа земја, немале волови, орале со крави 😱 (alt: не зезаше нас градските деца). Војската му беше најдобро нешто во живот - не работиш а јадеш! Со писмена молба остана екстра 2 недели. Скоро неписмен. 😞
Translate post
7:19 PM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе 😁 Мојот десатар од село во Србија. Дома без вода и WC, земјоделци работеа земја, немале волови, орале со крави 😱 (alt: не зезаше нас градските деца). Војската му беше најдобро нешто во живот - не работиш а јадеш! Со писмена молба остана екстра 2 недели. Скоро неписмен. 😞
Translate post
7:19 PM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566792738510618624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't you think - given we had a few slick operators by now, the last one seemingly a clown cosplay under the artistic name of BoJo - that maybe we should let off the form a bit, and optimize for the function? Just a thought. Speaking - fine, but delivery/or not makes or breaks.
3:17 PM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't you think - given we had a few slick operators by now, the last one seemingly a clown cosplay under the artistic name of BoJo - that maybe we should let off the form a bit, and optimize for the function? Just a thought. Speaking - fine, but delivery/or not makes or breaks.
3:17 PM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566730688304500742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alleviate *now* - agree now's too late. Energy market design lead us to this point, fair to admit. Don't think a magic to solve the problem now exists. The prior 30+ years though - that's a different matter, there was time. We've come long way from "system good, world at fault".
11:11 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alleviate *now* - agree now's too late. Energy market design lead us to this point, fair to admit. Don't think a magic to solve the problem now exists. The prior 30+ years though - that's a different matter, there was time. We've come long way from "system good, world at fault".
11:11 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566713246387691520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. I don't have to offer an alternative, to criticize the present. Possible for one can analyse, another/different one to synthesize, etc.
2. True, but 30+ years is not "introducing quickly".
I agree with a lot you say, just disagree that the current system is the best possible.
10:02 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
1. I don't have to offer an alternative, to criticize the present. Possible for one can analyse, another/different one to synthesize, etc.
2. True, but 30+ years is not "introducing quickly".
I agree with a lot you say, just disagree that the current system is the best possible.
10:02 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566709179808731137
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - "unforeseen", "shock" - that's weak. A good pricing model would've taken into account "energy is like oxygen, P-rice will go to Inf-inity well before Q-uantity drops b/c Q can never be 0". Price-in the Inf-P risk during good times of low-P, stimulate supply, build up Q etc.
9:45 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - "unforeseen", "shock" - that's weak. A good pricing model would've taken into account "energy is like oxygen, P-rice will go to Inf-inity well before Q-uantity drops b/c Q can never be 0". Price-in the Inf-P risk during good times of low-P, stimulate supply, build up Q etc.
9:45 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566702086724763648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree on the rationing by price or blackouts. Don't agree "does not stem from pricing". If the pricing algo was "good", it would have lead to ample supply in the previous 30+ years of application, no? Just not that plausible - "model good/ perfect, reality bad", is it?
9:17 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree on the rationing by price or blackouts. Don't agree "does not stem from pricing". If the pricing algo was "good", it would have lead to ample supply in the previous 30+ years of application, no? Just not that plausible - "model good/ perfect, reality bad", is it?
9:17 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566700749697982464
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. I thought asking random people that have no special insight, are not on the ground etc, is a fools' errand. Ideas "what maybe" are 2 a penny, being on the ground and investigating is the only way, but it is too hard. Nothing of the former can replace the latter.
9:12 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. I thought asking random people that have no special insight, are not on the ground etc, is a fools' errand. Ideas "what maybe" are 2 a penny, being on the ground and investigating is the only way, but it is too hard. Nothing of the former can replace the latter.
9:12 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1579069205181534210
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski and @jabandzija
Od daleku (dijasporec 1998+) opst vpecatok: SDSM - deklarativno kao ke napravat, bi sakale oni, ama ne uspevaat, ne se sposobni; DPMNE - ne ni deklariraat na zborovi da ke napravat red i poredok, pravo, pravdina. 1-vite - mala nadezh redovno izneverena. 2-rite - ne se ni nadevaj.
12:20 PM · Oct 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @iPavleski and @jabandzija
Od daleku (dijasporec 1998+) opst vpecatok: SDSM - deklarativno kao ke napravat, bi sakale oni, ama ne uspevaat, ne se sposobni; DPMNE - ne ni deklariraat na zborovi da ke napravat red i poredok, pravo, pravdina. 1-vite - mala nadezh redovno izneverena. 2-rite - ne se ni nadevaj.
12:20 PM · Oct 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572197901228711936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@drmichaellevin "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos to synthetic proto-organisms" https://youtu.be/5ChRM4CEWyg. Well worth anyone's time - amazing really
Michael Levin - Plasticity w/out genetic change: bioelectric embryos...
Recorded 17 February 2022. Michael Levin of Tufts University presents "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos ...
1:16 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@drmichaellevin "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos to synthetic proto-organisms" https://youtu.be/5ChRM4CEWyg. Well worth anyone's time - amazing really
Michael Levin - Plasticity w/out genetic change: bioelectric embryos...
Recorded 17 February 2022. Michael Levin of Tufts University presents "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos ...
1:16 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572181972470104064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fiat_money
... small nit on "bonds pay interest so inflationary": yes, but as a counter force to that, I can't buy a new car with my NS&I bonds, bonds can't be exchanged for goods, so that makes them a bit deflationary. Right?
12:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fiat_money
... small nit on "bonds pay interest so inflationary": yes, but as a counter force to that, I can't buy a new car with my NS&I bonds, bonds can't be exchanged for goods, so that makes them a bit deflationary. Right?
12:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572194994777165824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to
@fiat_money
Yes - a counter-counter the extreme bonds liquidity: the interest on my NS&I bonds motivates me a bit to keep NS&I, and not convert into a new car. Would think ok to pay interest if one is locked - for 1-2-5-10yrs - into the bond unable to sell till maturity. Delaying consumption
1:04 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to
@fiat_money
Yes - a counter-counter the extreme bonds liquidity: the interest on my NS&I bonds motivates me a bit to keep NS&I, and not convert into a new car. Would think ok to pay interest if one is locked - for 1-2-5-10yrs - into the bond unable to sell till maturity. Delaying consumption
1:04 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570354320398487559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thought provoking discussion about the nationalism-democracy-liberalism axis and interactions there, and in that context of the value of tolerance and Ukraine too, featuring @harari_yuval at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pN_Cean19_k&t=2100s
Yuval Noah Harari & Serhii Plokhy on Tech, Humanity, Democracy &...
How can we design technology that advances humanity while also protecting it? And what can we learn from the war in Ukraine? Watch historian Serhii Plokhy, d...
11:10 AM · Sep 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thought provoking discussion about the nationalism-democracy-liberalism axis and interactions there, and in that context of the value of tolerance and Ukraine too, featuring @harari_yuval at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pN_Cean19_k&t=2100s
Yuval Noah Harari & Serhii Plokhy on Tech, Humanity, Democracy &...
How can we design technology that advances humanity while also protecting it? And what can we learn from the war in Ukraine? Watch historian Serhii Plokhy, d...
11:10 AM · Sep 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569326191324135424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well noticed @psiphi_gavagai: we have access to the same natural resources that e.g. neolithic people had. What makes for the difference in outcomes is the *knowledge* we have, that neolithic people lacked.
https://twitter.com/psiphi_gavagai/status/1569239827127873537
Psi Phi 🦉🔬🇺🇦🌻 @psiphi_gavagai
Replying to @psiphi_gavagai @Raphfel and @DoombergT
Notice in the graph the countries that dominate science and technology are at the top. Compare it with countries that have the most oil reserves. Oil by itself is useless without human ingenuity to effectively utilize it.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well noticed @psiphi_gavagai: we have access to the same natural resources that e.g. neolithic people had. What makes for the difference in outcomes is the *knowledge* we have, that neolithic people lacked.
https://twitter.com/psiphi_gavagai/status/1569239827127873537
Psi Phi 🦉🔬🇺🇦🌻 @psiphi_gavagai
Replying to @psiphi_gavagai @Raphfel and @DoombergT
Notice in the graph the countries that dominate science and technology are at the top. Compare it with countries that have the most oil reserves. Oil by itself is useless without human ingenuity to effectively utilize it.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569370601566998530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @McFaul and @mbudjeryn
Pacifism - confuses the ends with the means. The end aim is peace. But the means to achieve peace are not: put your hands up. Realism - in short is "might is right". The less said about those espousing it, the better. We have to put up with both, but it's good to challenge them.
6:01 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @McFaul and @mbudjeryn
Pacifism - confuses the ends with the means. The end aim is peace. But the means to achieve peace are not: put your hands up. Realism - in short is "might is right". The less said about those espousing it, the better. We have to put up with both, but it's good to challenge them.
6:01 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572255233849401347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @libcomorg and @thecoleslaws
The campist view strikes me as similar to how usually tyrants & monsters justify themselves: the individual suffering is insignificant, tiny, not really worth considering, in the grand narrative of history, destiny, nation etc. Grand historical process trumps any individual case.
5:03 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @libcomorg and @thecoleslaws
The campist view strikes me as similar to how usually tyrants & monsters justify themselves: the individual suffering is insignificant, tiny, not really worth considering, in the grand narrative of history, destiny, nation etc. Grand historical process trumps any individual case.
5:03 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571916503183761411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
True about "always on" access, and BigTech dopamine hacking our brains (incl kids'). Still - TBS if it's going to be for the worse. @PessimistsArc
is full of scares that didn't pan out. In my youth also "don't sit close to the TV, your eyesight will go bad". Afaik - not true.
6:37 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
True about "always on" access, and BigTech dopamine hacking our brains (incl kids'). Still - TBS if it's going to be for the worse. @PessimistsArc
is full of scares that didn't pan out. In my youth also "don't sit close to the TV, your eyesight will go bad". Afaik - not true.
6:37 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571888684395384834
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
I understand. Manage access - hmm, once I closed (and sometimes locked) the door to my room, my parents had 0 influence on my access to my C64, and latter PC (286 with 2400 bps modem). The future may yet prove parents wrong and kids right, TBS. We simply don't know, TBH.
4:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
I understand. Manage access - hmm, once I closed (and sometimes locked) the door to my room, my parents had 0 influence on my access to my C64, and latter PC (286 with 2400 bps modem). The future may yet prove parents wrong and kids right, TBS. We simply don't know, TBH.
4:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571882360505008128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
Hm, I don't know. Often kids turn out to be more right than parents thought is the case. Look at all the excellent GPUs we have for AlphaFold b/c - contrary to every parent advice - kids kept playing computer games! Credit to parents for shelling out $$$ and financing GPU R&D. 😁
4:22 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
Hm, I don't know. Often kids turn out to be more right than parents thought is the case. Look at all the excellent GPUs we have for AlphaFold b/c - contrary to every parent advice - kids kept playing computer games! Credit to parents for shelling out $$$ and financing GPU R&D. 😁
4:22 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571879004835295234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FuestClemens @StephanEwald and @pat_kaczmarczyk
Even I (random bystander) know that in every MMT book/article primary concern stressed is availability of real resources, and inflation in their absence. To claim the expect opposite is the case is just dumb in this day&age when everyone can find out - e.g
Quote Tweet
Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts
Sep 19
MMT: Knappheit gibt es nur bei den Ressouren, aber nicht beim Geld.
Kollege, der anscheinend auch 2022 noch keine einzige Seite von AutorInnen der MMT gelesen hat: twitter.com/FuestClemens/s…
4:08 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FuestClemens @StephanEwald and @pat_kaczmarczyk
Even I (random bystander) know that in every MMT book/article primary concern stressed is availability of real resources, and inflation in their absence. To claim the expect opposite is the case is just dumb in this day&age when everyone can find out - e.g
Quote Tweet
Dirk Ehnts @DEhnts
Sep 19
MMT: Knappheit gibt es nur bei den Ressouren, aber nicht beim Geld.
Kollege, der anscheinend auch 2022 noch keine einzige Seite von AutorInnen der MMT gelesen hat: twitter.com/FuestClemens/s…
4:08 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572185536407961603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fiat_money @kekskommunist and @adam_tooze
Yeah - mystery why @adam_tooze complicates - & in the process creates falsehood - where simpler truth both suffices&explains better: UA needs to import EU stuff, for that EUs demand Euros don't accept Hryvnas, ergo UA needs Euros, so EU granting or loaning Euros to UA is one way.
12:26 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fiat_money @kekskommunist and @adam_tooze
Yeah - mystery why @adam_tooze complicates - & in the process creates falsehood - where simpler truth both suffices&explains better: UA needs to import EU stuff, for that EUs demand Euros don't accept Hryvnas, ergo UA needs Euros, so EU granting or loaning Euros to UA is one way.
12:26 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569783008902758401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @salonium
Bella Italia 😍 - still fresh, was there recently. Florence - nice pretty but very crowded. Ravenna - a revelation, the mosaics stunned us 1st, then decompressed on the beach by sea, sand & wind. Bologna - food fit for kings.
9:20 PM · Sep 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @salonium
Bella Italia 😍 - still fresh, was there recently. Florence - nice pretty but very crowded. Ravenna - a revelation, the mosaics stunned us 1st, then decompressed on the beach by sea, sand & wind. Bologna - food fit for kings.
9:20 PM · Sep 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570370855179272194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @rumeliobserver
@threadreaderapp unroll please. Thanks @rumeliobserver - imho #get4freedoms is an excellent idea. A realistic and reasonable plan of action given the current state of affairs (on all sides).
12:16 PM · Sep 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @rumeliobserver
@threadreaderapp unroll please. Thanks @rumeliobserver - imho #get4freedoms is an excellent idea. A realistic and reasonable plan of action given the current state of affairs (on all sides).
12:16 PM · Sep 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571887731227365378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DmitryOpines
Yes, noticeable often with unhinged voices/opinions. As if the brain/organ used to quantify things is malfunctioning. I guess - if one accepts the "law" of the transformation of quantity into quality (and vice versa) - then one can see how it can lead one to very strange places.
4:43 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DmitryOpines
Yes, noticeable often with unhinged voices/opinions. As if the brain/organ used to quantify things is malfunctioning. I guess - if one accepts the "law" of the transformation of quantity into quality (and vice versa) - then one can see how it can lead one to very strange places.
4:43 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572194994777165824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fiat_money
Yes - a counter-counter the extreme bonds liquidity: the interest on my NS&I bonds motivates me a bit to keep NS&I, and not convert into a new car. Would think ok to pay interest if one is locked - for 1-2-5-10yrs - into the bond unable to sell till maturity. Delaying consumption
1:04 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fiat_money
Yes - a counter-counter the extreme bonds liquidity: the interest on my NS&I bonds motivates me a bit to keep NS&I, and not convert into a new car. Would think ok to pay interest if one is locked - for 1-2-5-10yrs - into the bond unable to sell till maturity. Delaying consumption
1:04 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1572212201158742016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Da, horizontite za planiranje se podolgi. Vo Anglija kalendarot e otprilika - 1) Okolu pocetok na nova skolska godina Sep-2022, se kupuvaat zimski odmori za Jan-Mar 2023; 2) Posle Xmas - Nova Godina od Jan-2023 natamu se kupuvaat letni odmori za Jul-Aug 2023.
2:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Da, horizontite za planiranje se podolgi. Vo Anglija kalendarot e otprilika - 1) Okolu pocetok na nova skolska godina Sep-2022, se kupuvaat zimski odmori za Jan-Mar 2023; 2) Posle Xmas - Nova Godina od Jan-2023 natamu se kupuvaat letni odmori za Jul-Aug 2023.
2:12 PM · Sep 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569285785500672000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Gogiche and @juvesnake
Тоа држава да каже што требало умре 1990-та со социјализмот. Сега има пазар на труд. Тоа што најмногу се плаќа, тоа најмногу фали на фирмите, по сектори/тип на работа. Од 2020 на пр. https://faktor.mk/top-5-najvisoki-plati-vo-makedonija-po-sektori-nakgolem-rast-vo-bankarskiot-sektor- . Сите може сами да видиме, нема потреба никој ништо никому да кажува.
12:24 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Gogiche and @juvesnake
Тоа држава да каже што требало умре 1990-та со социјализмот. Сега има пазар на труд. Тоа што најмногу се плаќа, тоа најмногу фали на фирмите, по сектори/тип на работа. Од 2020 на пр. https://faktor.mk/top-5-najvisoki-plati-vo-makedonija-po-sektori-nakgolem-rast-vo-bankarskiot-sektor- . Сите може сами да видиме, нема потреба никој ништо никому да кажува.
12:24 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571897277425373193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @starmarsovec and @HumanProgress
Verojatno misli na liberalnite opstestva. Kade liberalizmot e glavna ideologija - ova https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_liberalism. Na pr - UK po Glorious revolution 1688, USA po amerikanska revolucija 1765, Francija po francuska revolucija 1789, i sl.
en.wikipedia.org
History of liberalism - Wikipedia
5:21 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @starmarsovec and @HumanProgress
Verojatno misli na liberalnite opstestva. Kade liberalizmot e glavna ideologija - ova https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_liberalism. Na pr - UK po Glorious revolution 1688, USA po amerikanska revolucija 1765, Francija po francuska revolucija 1789, i sl.
en.wikipedia.org
History of liberalism - Wikipedia
5:21 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1571903889397665797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @starmarsovec and @HumanProgress
Ideologijata e liberalizam (linkot pogore). Centralna idea e deka sekoj covek saka da bide sloboden, i centralna e borbata za sloboda. Analogno - vo MK vo socijalizmot centralna ideologija bese marksizam a ideata bese klasna borba. "Sloboda ili smrt" mislam da e liberalen slogan.
5:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @starmarsovec and @HumanProgress
Ideologijata e liberalizam (linkot pogore). Centralna idea e deka sekoj covek saka da bide sloboden, i centralna e borbata za sloboda. Analogno - vo MK vo socijalizmot centralna ideologija bese marksizam a ideata bese klasna borba. "Sloboda ili smrt" mislam da e liberalen slogan.
5:47 PM · Sep 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569333060235325440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Ne znam dali go znaete izvorot ama ne stavate link (zasto?? znaeme deka ne ste napravile vie IQ testovi vo 200+ zemji vo svet, znaeme deka prenesuvate tugha vest), ili ne go znete i nemate sila za 1 google search. Da im spasam na drugite vreme - izvorot e https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country
3:32 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Ne znam dali go znaete izvorot ama ne stavate link (zasto?? znaeme deka ne ste napravile vie IQ testovi vo 200+ zemji vo svet, znaeme deka prenesuvate tugha vest), ili ne go znete i nemate sila za 1 google search. Da im spasam na drugite vreme - izvorot e https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country
3:32 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569403885302726657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Petar_Che
Blusku do nula, ama ne sosema. Nadvoresno skoro od nula- nikoj ne te znae, za drugite vo novata sredina kako sega da si roden. Toe e i curse (anonimen) i blessing (sloboda). Vnatresno- se imas sebe si, svoite zelbi, nadezi, ambicii, idei - ima kontinuitet. So sreka :-) Just Do It
8:13 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Petar_Che
Blusku do nula, ama ne sosema. Nadvoresno skoro od nula- nikoj ne te znae, za drugite vo novata sredina kako sega da si roden. Toe e i curse (anonimen) i blessing (sloboda). Vnatresno- se imas sebe si, svoite zelbi, nadezi, ambicii, idei - ima kontinuitet. So sreka :-) Just Do It
8:13 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570849980453363712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RoyBatty54
Poverojatno da IQ e povrzan so obrazovanie? Meri posredno kolku e obrazuvana populacijata vo skolo - literatura, logika, matematika i sl. Ovde posledno vidov -
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country. A so GDP verojatno vrzano posredno: pobogata zemja pogolem GDP <=> poobrazuvana populacija.
7:59 PM · Sep 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RoyBatty54
Poverojatno da IQ e povrzan so obrazovanie? Meri posredno kolku e obrazuvana populacijata vo skolo - literatura, logika, matematika i sl. Ovde posledno vidov -
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/average-iq-by-country. A so GDP verojatno vrzano posredno: pobogata zemja pogolem GDP <=> poobrazuvana populacija.
7:59 PM · Sep 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570061416949760001
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Super - toa e dobar pazar na trud, haha. 😊 Nie sto izrasnavme vo vreme na globalen neo-liberalizam 1990+, nikogas ne sme bile vo situacija rabotodavecot da se trudi nesto mnogu da go kupi nasiot trud. Stalno imase pogolema ponuda na trud od pobaruvacka. Sega toa se svrte. 👍
3:46 PM · Sep 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Super - toa e dobar pazar na trud, haha. 😊 Nie sto izrasnavme vo vreme na globalen neo-liberalizam 1990+, nikogas ne sme bile vo situacija rabotodavecot da se trudi nesto mnogu da go kupi nasiot trud. Stalno imase pogolema ponuda na trud od pobaruvacka. Sega toa se svrte. 👍
3:46 PM · Sep 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1570501156903997441
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @onepickright
Eh - i jas sakam da mi plati musterijata poveke, ama: 1) 20 den - toa ne e profit 2) da recam "profit" znaci go cenam *nula* trudot na toj sto nosi niva -> piljara 3) voen - vo MK nema vojna 4) profit - profit e dobar, site rabotime za profit, ako nemam profit ke zatvoram firma.
8:53 PM · Sep 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @onepickright
Eh - i jas sakam da mi plati musterijata poveke, ama: 1) 20 den - toa ne e profit 2) da recam "profit" znaci go cenam *nula* trudot na toj sto nosi niva -> piljara 3) voen - vo MK nema vojna 4) profit - profit e dobar, site rabotime za profit, ako nemam profit ke zatvoram firma.
8:53 PM · Sep 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1569322850942599168
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Petar_Che
Со среќа, со успех, good luck. 🍀🤞 Почнуваш втор живот! 🙂
2:51 PM · Sep 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Petar_Che
Со среќа, со успех, good luck. 🍀🤞 Почнуваш втор живот! 🙂
2:51 PM · Sep 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567496567308926976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steelcitysnaps and @TwitterSupport
That's useless for me too. Don't expect it to change soon - neither the CEO nor the @Twitter directors care enough about the user experience (it's all monetization). I get by with Mute accounts and using the Latest Tweets (rather than Home) timeline -
1:54 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steelcitysnaps and @TwitterSupport
That's useless for me too. Don't expect it to change soon - neither the CEO nor the @Twitter directors care enough about the user experience (it's all monetization). I get by with Mute accounts and using the Latest Tweets (rather than Home) timeline -
1:54 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567174757740675074
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel @threadreaderapp
Unroll please. Excellent read! Enjoyed it as much as I enjoyed reading Davids book. Thank you for writing and publishing this.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1567152462666014721.html
4:35 PM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel @threadreaderapp
Unroll please. Excellent read! Enjoyed it as much as I enjoyed reading Davids book. Thank you for writing and publishing this.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1567152462666014721.html
4:35 PM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566398125950001154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @VitalikButerin
The human brain is a mystery to us, as we don't fully understand yet how it learns, stores & processes information etc. So at any time, we tend to assume that it is like the latest greatest most complex machine we have built by then: mechanical gadget, a computer program, NNet.
1:09 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @VitalikButerin
The human brain is a mystery to us, as we don't fully understand yet how it learns, stores & processes information etc. So at any time, we tend to assume that it is like the latest greatest most complex machine we have built by then: mechanical gadget, a computer program, NNet.
1:09 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567480718871207936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @battleforeurope
Only found abt "marginal pricing" last week so with a pinch salt, but: hearing "perfect, correct, textbook" etc spooked GFC'08 house prices models vibes in me. An obvious collusion objection https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 hand waveyly ignored by an advocate e.g. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817 .
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
12:51 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @battleforeurope
Only found abt "marginal pricing" last week so with a pinch salt, but: hearing "perfect, correct, textbook" etc spooked GFC'08 house prices models vibes in me. An obvious collusion objection https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 hand waveyly ignored by an advocate e.g. https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817 .
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
12:51 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568278093999079431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dlbowman76
A bad take on things. Numerate people learn literature as a matter of course, and it is a great thing to do. Unfortunately, lots of literate people never learn to be numerate, and it is the worst thing. The Two Cultures https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Two_Cultures
is still a thing. Do better please.
en.m.wikipedia.org
The Two Cultures - Wikipedia
5:40 PM · Sep 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dlbowman76
A bad take on things. Numerate people learn literature as a matter of course, and it is a great thing to do. Unfortunately, lots of literate people never learn to be numerate, and it is the worst thing. The Two Cultures https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Two_Cultures
is still a thing. Do better please.
en.m.wikipedia.org
The Two Cultures - Wikipedia
5:40 PM · Sep 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566371875403464704
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and 2 others
One that fails to quantify quantity, will end up missing on a distinct quality. RUS stance to the objective truth has got history to it - recent https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/28TzwkvPxBrDh69KgNh8VwP/meet-the-most-powerful-man-you-ve-never-heard-of and @KonstantinKisin on political correctness origin, that you seem unaware. Likewise for a "Bayesian prior".
bbc.co.uk
BBC Radio 4 - Seriously... - Meet the most powerful man you’ve never heard of
The man who made the post-truth world
11:25 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and 2 others
One that fails to quantify quantity, will end up missing on a distinct quality. RUS stance to the objective truth has got history to it - recent https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/28TzwkvPxBrDh69KgNh8VwP/meet-the-most-powerful-man-you-ve-never-heard-of and @KonstantinKisin on political correctness origin, that you seem unaware. Likewise for a "Bayesian prior".
bbc.co.uk
BBC Radio 4 - Seriously... - Meet the most powerful man you’ve never heard of
The man who made the post-truth world
11:25 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567481601273040896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @battleforeurope and @wbmosler
Anything that is almost as valuable as O2 to us and must be bought, at any price, will - when supply fails to match demand - have parabolic price increase. C.f. coal too
Quote Tweet
Peter Zeihan @PeterZeihan · Sep 6
Energy products take their price from the marginal supplier. You remove a reliable component from any supply chain, and the marginal supplier becomes more important. Expect a lot of this. In everything. twitter.com/AlessioUrban/s…
12:55 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @battleforeurope and @wbmosler
Anything that is almost as valuable as O2 to us and must be bought, at any price, will - when supply fails to match demand - have parabolic price increase. C.f. coal too
Quote Tweet
Peter Zeihan @PeterZeihan · Sep 6
Energy products take their price from the marginal supplier. You remove a reliable component from any supply chain, and the marginal supplier becomes more important. Expect a lot of this. In everything. twitter.com/AlessioUrban/s…
12:55 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566402160929144832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
One hugely useful thing with building computers to think, is we find out where we were wrong, by doing it. We though distributed memory not credible - actually we can do it, we were wrong. Same for parallel distributed processing - we were wrong, and only found out by doing it.
1:25 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
One hugely useful thing with building computers to think, is we find out where we were wrong, by doing it. We though distributed memory not credible - actually we can do it, we were wrong. Same for parallel distributed processing - we were wrong, and only found out by doing it.
1:25 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566399830351646721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
Yes. So now the issue becomes what "insight" means to each of us. If I hand-wave-y "explain" how a car works, is that "insight"? Or maybe I need to build a car myself, to prove I have gained "insight"? Or both? We very soon come to epistemology and what does it mean to know etc.
1:16 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
Yes. So now the issue becomes what "insight" means to each of us. If I hand-wave-y "explain" how a car works, is that "insight"? Or maybe I need to build a car myself, to prove I have gained "insight"? Or both? We very soon come to epistemology and what does it mean to know etc.
1:16 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566404123750268936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @4notherday____ @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
From this engineer's point of view: 😊philosophy has been doing excellent work, even if more in raising questions, then providing answers. With building thinking machines we can do really well controlled experiments for the 1st time ever.
1:33 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @4notherday____ @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
From this engineer's point of view: 😊philosophy has been doing excellent work, even if more in raising questions, then providing answers. With building thinking machines we can do really well controlled experiments for the 1st time ever.
1:33 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566406514289549312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DRKoepsell @4notherday____ and @VitalikButerin
Absolutely! We who are too close often don't see the forest from the trees (myself very much included). Remember a documentary where chip designers thought scaling 6502's 4K transistors to something like 65K would be but impossible. Modern chips have >4B, even ~16B transistors 😱
1:43 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DRKoepsell @4notherday____ and @VitalikButerin
Absolutely! We who are too close often don't see the forest from the trees (myself very much included). Remember a documentary where chip designers thought scaling 6502's 4K transistors to something like 65K would be but impossible. Modern chips have >4B, even ~16B transistors 😱
1:43 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566408051292360706
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @4notherday____ @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
I would have liked to oblige, but I would likely be dead by then. 😶 Sorry to disappoint
1:49 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @4notherday____ @DRKoepsell and @VitalikButerin
I would have liked to oblige, but I would likely be dead by then. 😶 Sorry to disappoint
1:49 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567483013239300097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @battleforeurope and @vibecession
I am getting GFC'08 vibes Re: marginal pricing. Few pple I TW interacted with defending the marginal pricing seemed educated, naive, ignorant, careless, corrupt (pick your mix). It fails on their own major criterion: it didn't produce plentiful energy supply in the past 30+ years
1:00 PM · Sep 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @battleforeurope and @vibecession
I am getting GFC'08 vibes Re: marginal pricing. Few pple I TW interacted with defending the marginal pricing seemed educated, naive, ignorant, careless, corrupt (pick your mix). It fails on their own major criterion: it didn't produce plentiful energy supply in the past 30+ years
1:00 PM · Sep 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566792738510618624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Will___lloyd and @unherd
Don't you think - given we had a few slick operators by now, the last one seemingly a clown cosplay under the artistic name of BoJo - that maybe we should let off the form a bit, and optimize for the function? Just a thought. Speaking - fine, but delivery/or not makes or breaks.
3:17 PM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Will___lloyd and @unherd
Don't you think - given we had a few slick operators by now, the last one seemingly a clown cosplay under the artistic name of BoJo - that maybe we should let off the form a bit, and optimize for the function? Just a thought. Speaking - fine, but delivery/or not makes or breaks.
3:17 PM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566730688304500742
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Alleviate *now* - agree now's too late. Energy market design lead us to this point, fair to admit. Don't think a magic to solve the problem now exists. The prior 30+ years though - that's a different matter, there was time. We've come long way from "system good, world at fault".
11:11 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Alleviate *now* - agree now's too late. Energy market design lead us to this point, fair to admit. Don't think a magic to solve the problem now exists. The prior 30+ years though - that's a different matter, there was time. We've come long way from "system good, world at fault".
11:11 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566503989771993090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GCarty80 and @jhallwood
More like - countries have borders (for better or worse, mostly random, fought over a lot), and should stick to the current borders. Nukes make countries safe(r): no one is going to invade RU again => no need to be paranoid & do "offense is best defense" as is the historic norm.
8:10 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GCarty80 and @jhallwood
More like - countries have borders (for better or worse, mostly random, fought over a lot), and should stick to the current borders. Nukes make countries safe(r): no one is going to invade RU again => no need to be paranoid & do "offense is best defense" as is the historic norm.
8:10 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566486391248371719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RichardJMurphy and @bbclaurak
Well - she's not wrong about the future. And you are not wrong too - getting the past right is also a struggle for many too. So yes?!? - "predicting" the past would be an improvement on the current state of affairs 😱
7:00 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RichardJMurphy and @bbclaurak
Well - she's not wrong about the future. And you are not wrong too - getting the past right is also a struggle for many too. So yes?!? - "predicting" the past would be an improvement on the current state of affairs 😱
7:00 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566713246387691520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
1. I don't have to offer an alternative, to criticize the present. Possible for one can analyse, another/different one to synthesize, etc.
2. True, but 30+ years is not "introducing quickly".
I agree with a lot you say, just disagree that the current system is the best possible.
10:02 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
1. I don't have to offer an alternative, to criticize the present. Possible for one can analyse, another/different one to synthesize, etc.
2. True, but 30+ years is not "introducing quickly".
I agree with a lot you say, just disagree that the current system is the best possible.
10:02 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PeteG1001 @lloyd_dunne and 4 others
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 . Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 , but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No? 9:22 PM · Sep 6, 2022
Replying to @PeteG1001 @lloyd_dunne and 4 others
Possibly about paying all components of the energy mix at the price of the most expensive component (atm gas) - explainer https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 . Can see few problems with that https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264 , but that's just me. Looks f*ckup similar to GFC'08 house prices models, tbh.
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No? 9:22 PM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566709179808731137
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Eh - "unforeseen", "shock" - that's weak. A good pricing model would've taken into account "energy is like oxygen, P-rice will go to Inf-inity well before Q-uantity drops b/c Q can never be 0". Price-in the Inf-P risk during good times of low-P, stimulate supply, build up Q etc.
9:45 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Eh - "unforeseen", "shock" - that's weak. A good pricing model would've taken into account "energy is like oxygen, P-rice will go to Inf-inity well before Q-uantity drops b/c Q can never be 0". Price-in the Inf-P risk during good times of low-P, stimulate supply, build up Q etc.
9:45 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566702086724763648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Agree on the rationing by price or blackouts. Don't agree "does not stem from pricing". If the pricing algo was "good", it would have lead to ample supply in the previous 30+ years of application, no? Just not that plausible - "model good/ perfect, reality bad", is it?
9:17 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Agree on the rationing by price or blackouts. Don't agree "does not stem from pricing". If the pricing algo was "good", it would have lead to ample supply in the previous 30+ years of application, no? Just not that plausible - "model good/ perfect, reality bad", is it?
9:17 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566696541196357632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Maybe - so some other scheme then. B/c can't see the current system working either, as it looks it will bankrupt good portion of the customers. In extremis, eventually after a giga-crisis, they maybe left with 1 customer too. The 1 able to pay the 100B bill to heat their house.
8:55 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Maybe - so some other scheme then. B/c can't see the current system working either, as it looks it will bankrupt good portion of the customers. In extremis, eventually after a giga-crisis, they maybe left with 1 customer too. The 1 able to pay the 100B bill to heat their house.
8:55 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566694174765744128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Yeah - that will be a problem, but an opportunity too? Isn't it desirable for the highest cost sources to stop producing, and the lower cost ones to ramp up, so lower cost increase share in the mix? Isn't that one aim of a price signal? De-stimulate high cost, stimulate low cost.
8:46 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Yeah - that will be a problem, but an opportunity too? Isn't it desirable for the highest cost sources to stop producing, and the lower cost ones to ramp up, so lower cost increase share in the mix? Isn't that one aim of a price signal? De-stimulate high cost, stimulate low cost.
8:46 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
10:44 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
10:44 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567089517982629888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Respectfully disagree. That's naive verging on negligent. Trading stocks ~15 yrs - market super regulated, all public, many eyes & regulators on the ball - yet manipulations are uncovered regularly. Shudder to think what goes on when one starts with a premise "all's good & fine".
10:57 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Respectfully disagree. That's naive verging on negligent. Trading stocks ~15 yrs - market super regulated, all public, many eyes & regulators on the ball - yet manipulations are uncovered regularly. Shudder to think what goes on when one starts with a premise "all's good & fine".
10:57 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567080208414416898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Uh-oh - market design from an ivory tower. Price Inf-ifinity is possible => will happen given electricity is like O2. Market participants can implicitly collude - a wind farm forecasts demand, bids 90%, leaves 10% to the gas plant to lift the final price.
10:20 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Uh-oh - market design from an ivory tower. Price Inf-ifinity is possible => will happen given electricity is like O2. Market participants can implicitly collude - a wind farm forecasts demand, bids 90%, leaves 10% to the gas plant to lift the final price.
10:20 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566374908942221316
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and 3 others
Let's stay precise: "everything" implies 100%. I already wrote my Bayesian prior to "RU statement is a lie" would be 99%. I've no particular reason to prefer UKR over RUS tbh. Wrt the invasion, RUS is in the wrong 101% as in "aggressive war is the supreme international crime" etc
11:37 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and 3 others
Let's stay precise: "everything" implies 100%. I already wrote my Bayesian prior to "RU statement is a lie" would be 99%. I've no particular reason to prefer UKR over RUS tbh. Wrt the invasion, RUS is in the wrong 101% as in "aggressive war is the supreme international crime" etc
11:37 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:11 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:11 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566542085842518022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AlexGodofsky and @s8mb
Brave word "correct" there. I am sure it is - for some definition of "correct".
10:41 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AlexGodofsky and @s8mb
Brave word "correct" there. I am sure it is - for some definition of "correct".
10:41 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568530408878313473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dzidzalen
Ne samo sto ne mi e tesko, tuku i mi go razubavuva denot koga ke im pokazam kako nesto se pravi, i ke naucat. ☺️ (isto i obratno) Imho druga precka e i - se sramat da prasaat (da ne pomislam deka ne se umni?), nemaat trpenie i vreme da doslusnat koga objasnuvam ("posle") i sl.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dzidzalen
Ne samo sto ne mi e tesko, tuku i mi go razubavuva denot koga ke im pokazam kako nesto se pravi, i ke naucat. ☺️ (isto i obratno) Imho druga precka e i - se sramat da prasaat (da ne pomislam deka ne se umni?), nemaat trpenie i vreme da doslusnat koga objasnuvam ("posle") i sl.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566469292979273728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ChakNaOriz
Ќути - се залагаат разни имбецили 😞 Од милитаризација на ЈУ општеството и последователните граѓански војни научиле - "така треба". 😱 Војска ми ги отвори очите каде живеам - 80% бевме функционално неписмени. Друга половична корист - тренинг во страдање ако некогаш одам во затвор?
5:52 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ChakNaOriz
Ќути - се залагаат разни имбецили 😞 Од милитаризација на ЈУ општеството и последователните граѓански војни научиле - "така треба". 😱 Војска ми ги отвори очите каде живеам - 80% бевме функционално неписмени. Друга половична корист - тренинг во страдање ако некогаш одам во затвор?
5:52 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566853594602786816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @maxiusmk and @ChakNaOriz
Хехе 😁 Мојот десатар од село во Србија. Дома без вода и WC, земјоделци работеа земја, немале волови, орале со крави 😱 (alt: не зезаше нас градските деца). Војската му беше најдобро нешто во живот - не работиш а јадеш! Со писмена молба остана екстра 2 недели. Скоро неписмен. 😞
7:19 PM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @maxiusmk and @ChakNaOriz
Хехе 😁 Мојот десатар од село во Србија. Дома без вода и WC, земјоделци работеа земја, немале волови, орале со крави 😱 (alt: не зезаше нас градските деца). Војската му беше најдобро нешто во живот - не работиш а јадеш! Со писмена молба остана екстра 2 недели. Скоро неписмен. 😞
7:19 PM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567134837022068741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sangvinik6
Ne (kaj mene potkrovje): sto se odnelo, ne se vratilo. Jas licno frlam, moite ne. Racunam - ako se sluci toa sto ne se slucilo do sega, da mi potreba nesto sto sum frlil, ke go kupam pak, shansa 1 od 1000.
1:57 PM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sangvinik6
Ne (kaj mene potkrovje): sto se odnelo, ne se vratilo. Jas licno frlam, moite ne. Racunam - ako se sluci toa sto ne se slucilo do sega, da mi potreba nesto sto sum frlil, ke go kupam pak, shansa 1 od 1000.
1:57 PM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566495549385211907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TanjaJovanov4
Srecno, i zelim vam dobar put, mirno more etc 🙂 Hrabrost ludost - da, a i sve izmegu takoge
7:36 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TanjaJovanov4
Srecno, i zelim vam dobar put, mirno more etc 🙂 Hrabrost ludost - da, a i sve izmegu takoge
7:36 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567878461896671233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Tocno taka. (vidov "31 god zavisna" ama ignorirav) Ne samo sto sme site zavisni od drugi, tuku i zaedno podobro ziveeme otkolku sami. Koga sekoj pravi toa sto najdobro moze, a toa sto mu treba go trguva so drugiot. Ima rizik ako drugiot se svrti protiv nas. Najcesto rizikot vredi
3:12 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaiterMKD
Tocno taka. (vidov "31 god zavisna" ama ignorirav) Ne samo sto sme site zavisni od drugi, tuku i zaedno podobro ziveeme otkolku sami. Koga sekoj pravi toa sto najdobro moze, a toa sto mu treba go trguva so drugiot. Ima rizik ako drugiot se svrti protiv nas. Najcesto rizikot vredi
3:12 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568005997691604993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
Да, да. 😊 Тест на знаење е предвидување што ќе се случи во иднина. Физиката знае => ќе лансираме ракета, ќе предвиди точно каде ќе биде позиционирана во простор 24ч од сега. А обратно - и ако предвидам точно, пак не мора да значи дека знам, пошто може да убодам на среќа.
11:38 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
Да, да. 😊 Тест на знаење е предвидување што ќе се случи во иднина. Физиката знае => ќе лансираме ракета, ќе предвиди точно каде ќе биде позиционирана во простор 24ч од сега. А обратно - и ако предвидам точно, пак не мора да значи дека знам, пошто може да убодам на среќа.
11:38 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568144012086738945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
I kvantnata fizika funkcionira isto, samo prognozata e probability density function, ne point forecast. Da, nazad on-topic: toa sto baras (da "znae") e nevozmozno, ne postoi. Odgovarite na TL se prikaski, se najdat vo muabet, zabava i sl - ne "znaat". Isto i vo javni mediumi i sl
8:47 AM · Sep 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
I kvantnata fizika funkcionira isto, samo prognozata e probability density function, ne point forecast. Da, nazad on-topic: toa sto baras (da "znae") e nevozmozno, ne postoi. Odgovarite na TL se prikaski, se najdat vo muabet, zabava i sl - ne "znaat". Isto i vo javni mediumi i sl
8:47 AM · Sep 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567996620360372224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
Не знае никој. "Знаење" во смисла - да предвиди 1 год однапред. Да знае, ќе ја продаде куќата и со парите ќе се обложи на тоа што знае. Кога по 1 год се случи тоа што знаел, ќе заработи 10 куќи. Многу велат дека знаат, некои се самозалажуваат а некои лажат - ама никој не знае.
11:01 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
Не знае никој. "Знаење" во смисла - да предвиди 1 год однапред. Да знае, ќе ја продаде куќата и со парите ќе се обложи на тоа што знае. Кога по 1 год се случи тоа што знаел, ќе заработи 10 куќи. Многу велат дека знаат, некои се самозалажуваат а некои лажат - ама никој не знае.
11:01 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1568001377284296705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
Па тоа е тест дали некој "знае". Ако "знае", тогаш ќе предвиди што ќе се случи во иднина. Да гледам назад и да објаснувам - тоа се прикаски, раскази и сл. Не е знаење. Знаењето ја предвидува иднината.
11:20 PM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IvoPop_
Па тоа е тест дали некој "знае". Ако "знае", тогаш ќе предвиди што ќе се случи во иднина. Да гледам назад и да објаснувам - тоа се прикаски, раскази и сл. Не е знаење. Знаењето ја предвидува иднината.
11:20 PM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567787790850473986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @vkarev
Честит празник. 👏😊 Иако сум иселен (и иселениците често сме негативни), јас кога ќе ја посетам МК приметувам 10 работи што македонците направиле и средиле од претходниот пат. Разбирам дека има уште 1000 работи на TODO листа, и дека кукање и жалење се национален спорт.
9:11 AM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @vkarev
Честит празник. 👏😊 Иако сум иселен (и иселениците често сме негативни), јас кога ќе ја посетам МК приметувам 10 работи што македонците направиле и средиле од претходниот пат. Разбирам дека има уште 1000 работи на TODO листа, и дека кукање и жалење се национален спорт.
9:11 AM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567793600179609600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrlaBrla
Ne e - ama tolku ni bese kapacitetot za razmisluvanje, kolektivno. Rezultatot e realen odraz na kolektivnite moznosti za broenje, sporeduvanje, rasuduvanje, zaklucuvanje, planiranje, akcija i sl. Vo slednata iteracija podobro :-)
9:34 AM · Sep 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrlaBrla
Ne e - ama tolku ni bese kapacitetot za razmisluvanje, kolektivno. Rezultatot e realen odraz na kolektivnite moznosti za broenje, sporeduvanje, rasuduvanje, zaklucuvanje, planiranje, akcija i sl. Vo slednata iteracija podobro :-)
9:34 AM · Sep 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566350687881109505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
They don't have any extra info as to the truth. Having another 2 opinions is worthless. Your prior should be that the RU side lies openly and mercilessly, b/c having to accept a ridiculous lie piles extra humiliation on the receiving side. Every EEU & RUS -ean knows this, c.f.
Image
10:01 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
They don't have any extra info as to the truth. Having another 2 opinions is worthless. Your prior should be that the RU side lies openly and mercilessly, b/c having to accept a ridiculous lie piles extra humiliation on the receiving side. Every EEU & RUS -ean knows this, c.f.
Image
10:01 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566502776271765504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
The price signal is already scrambled/destroyed by the current algorithm for aggregate pricing: many sources (gas, wind, nuclear, solar etc) all of different prices, the final price is the MAX price of the lot (currently gas). Using MAX rather than AVG or some other fun is insane
8:05 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
The price signal is already scrambled/destroyed by the current algorithm for aggregate pricing: many sources (gas, wind, nuclear, solar etc) all of different prices, the final price is the MAX price of the lot (currently gas). Using MAX rather than AVG or some other fun is insane
8:05 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566694174765744128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Yeah - that will be a problem, but an opportunity too? Isn't it desirable for the highest cost sources to stop producing, and the lower cost ones to ramp up, so lower cost increase share in the mix? Isn't that one aim of a price signal? De-stimulate high cost, stimulate low cost.
8:46 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Yeah - that will be a problem, but an opportunity too? Isn't it desirable for the highest cost sources to stop producing, and the lower cost ones to ramp up, so lower cost increase share in the mix? Isn't that one aim of a price signal? De-stimulate high cost, stimulate low cost.
8:46 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565665033442451457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @sTeamTraen
Doubt there is anything there - I see no ideology, no substantial £££. By the same "what if" logic: if Brown was not insistent on taking "his turn" as a PM, Blair would have likely won a 4th term - alone or in a LAB-LIB coalition.
12:36 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @sTeamTraen
Doubt there is anything there - I see no ideology, no substantial £££. By the same "what if" logic: if Brown was not insistent on taking "his turn" as a PM, Blair would have likely won a 4th term - alone or in a LAB-LIB coalition.
12:36 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565694130340110336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Huh? Listened to the clip, there is no mention in the answer of any commando raid. Only in the journalist's question. And to my mind heard nothing else in the answer to insinuate a raid or similar. Just a general thanks to the RU side for keeping the mission safe. But ymmv
2:32 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Huh? Listened to the clip, there is no mention in the answer of any commando raid. Only in the journalist's question. And to my mind heard nothing else in the answer to insinuate a raid or similar. Just a general thanks to the RU side for keeping the mission safe. But ymmv
2:32 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565699118483312646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Member of an UN task force - I would not expect them to say anything as divisive or contested as that. Imho they are super-scrupulous in avoiding causing any offense to any side, as they rely on all sides' cooperation to do their job. Seen plenty of that in ex-YU wars.
2:52 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Member of an UN task force - I would not expect them to say anything as divisive or contested as that. Imho they are super-scrupulous in avoiding causing any offense to any side, as they rely on all sides' cooperation to do their job. Seen plenty of that in ex-YU wars.
2:52 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565702745851559938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
It's not the job of this UN task force to inform us. They have a narrow and specific task, and are usually scrupulous in sticking to it (for good reasons imho). To me the A sounded like the blandest of bland "thank you all" to a mildly provocative Q by a journo fishing for info.
3:06 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
It's not the job of this UN task force to inform us. They have a narrow and specific task, and are usually scrupulous in sticking to it (for good reasons imho). To me the A sounded like the blandest of bland "thank you all" to a mildly provocative Q by a journo fishing for info.
3:06 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565688332725755906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @sTeamTraen
True. Plus other factors - GFC'08 loomed large, Murdoch turned against Brown (backed Cameron), Campbell was less powerful in keeping the press pack in check. RU supporting random fringe groups - it was always thus, e.g. SU supported range of green, environmental, anti-nuclear.
2:09 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @sTeamTraen
True. Plus other factors - GFC'08 loomed large, Murdoch turned against Brown (backed Cameron), Campbell was less powerful in keeping the press pack in check. RU supporting random fringe groups - it was always thus, e.g. SU supported range of green, environmental, anti-nuclear.
2:09 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565676748179750912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Rosalind_Arden_
Excellent - thanks. You are likely aware of, but jic fyi - Dog Aging Project https://dogagingproject.org sounds like a related idea put in action.
dogagingproject.org
Home - Dog Aging Project
1:23 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Rosalind_Arden_
Excellent - thanks. You are likely aware of, but jic fyi - Dog Aging Project https://dogagingproject.org sounds like a related idea put in action.
dogagingproject.org
Home - Dog Aging Project
1:23 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566342945535676416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ClarkeMicah
Huh? Millions on people protested against the Iraq invasion before it happened. And many many expressed the view of "aggressive war is the supreme international crime b/c many other war crimes flow from it" throughout and latter, and rightly so. "No aggressive war" is a good rule
9:30 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ClarkeMicah
Huh? Millions on people protested against the Iraq invasion before it happened. And many many expressed the view of "aggressive war is the supreme international crime b/c many other war crimes flow from it" throughout and latter, and rightly so. "No aggressive war" is a good rule
9:30 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567095597303316482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Is the market designed as described in https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 3 tweets 1/3-3/3? And is it at risk to manipulation like https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264? And is the only defense mechanism the regulator and "hard to do" https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817 ? (sorry to self quote)
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:21 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @steber232 and @s8mb
Is the market designed as described in https://twitter.com/HindChristopher/status/1566881203130712066 3 tweets 1/3-3/3? And is it at risk to manipulation like https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264? And is the only defense mechanism the regulator and "hard to do" https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567093072323874817 ? (sorry to self quote)
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Sep 6
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Did they ever find any market manipulation? What was the punishment? Your objections are not strong: "many participants" - so do stock markets, "is difficult" - yeah, but look at the rewards => will be done, "demand fluctuates" - so do stocks, yet the pickings are plentiful, etc.
11:21 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566366971574341636
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
You are wrong there: UKR are *not* as bad as RUS wrt telling the truth. RUS is x100 worse, and not only now but forever. It is a deliberate policy to lie mercilessly: flood the field with sh*t, humiliate the opponents (c.f. Solzhenytsin), if no truth see c.f. @peterpomeranzev etc
11:06 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
You are wrong there: UKR are *not* as bad as RUS wrt telling the truth. RUS is x100 worse, and not only now but forever. It is a deliberate policy to lie mercilessly: flood the field with sh*t, humiliate the opponents (c.f. Solzhenytsin), if no truth see c.f. @peterpomeranzev etc
11:06 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566359305896476672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
If you like that, maybe you'll like "The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in institutions" by @Suitpossum
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=1074s
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
10:35 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
If you like that, maybe you'll like "The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in institutions" by @Suitpossum
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=1074s
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
10:35 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567086270207115264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
10:44 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Not saying wind bids up P-rice, saying wind bids down Q-uantity. In your excellent 1/3 "demand 150 units" ex, earnings are wind £2000, nuke £1000, gas 0. If same P, but changed Q so producers bid units wind 80, nuke 50, gas 20, earnings are wind £4000, nuke £2500, gas £1000. No?
10:44 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1567089517982629888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Respectfully disagree. That's naive verging on negligent. Trading stocks ~15 yrs - market super regulated, all public, many eyes & regulators on the ball - yet manipulations are uncovered regularly. Shudder to think what goes on when one starts with a premise "all's good & fine".
10:57 AM · Sep 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @HindChristopher @BurntTurnip and @TomChivers
Respectfully disagree. That's naive verging on negligent. Trading stocks ~15 yrs - market super regulated, all public, many eyes & regulators on the ball - yet manipulations are uncovered regularly. Shudder to think what goes on when one starts with a premise "all's good & fine".
10:57 AM · Sep 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566354819199238145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
Right. And your answer to that is - trust the RUS side?! That's absurd. Yes, UKR side beautifies events to own propaganda advantage for morale boosting, nation build myths etc. But there is simply no comparison to the levels of disregard the truth - RUS side is another level.
10:17 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
Right. And your answer to that is - trust the RUS side?! That's absurd. Yes, UKR side beautifies events to own propaganda advantage for morale boosting, nation build myths etc. But there is simply no comparison to the levels of disregard the truth - RUS side is another level.
10:17 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566384573524623360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and 3 others
I do too. I am aiding the process of discovery by making you aware of the role of the Bayesian prior in reasoning. Contrarianism is good for widening the Overton window, so we consider hypothesis that otherwise we'd not. But it's not a method of assessing the probability of one.
12:15 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and 3 others
I do too. I am aiding the process of discovery by making you aware of the role of the Bayesian prior in reasoning. Contrarianism is good for widening the Overton window, so we consider hypothesis that otherwise we'd not. But it's not a method of assessing the probability of one.
12:15 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566364581118853121
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
You made yourself clear but perhaps I didn't: we all seek the truth. Trying to find the truth, while ignoring a Bayesian prior of "RU floods the field with lies 99% of the time as a deliberate policy/strategy", is like playing in the Premiership with the feet bound and eyes shut.
10:56 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
You made yourself clear but perhaps I didn't: we all seek the truth. Trying to find the truth, while ignoring a Bayesian prior of "RU floods the field with lies 99% of the time as a deliberate policy/strategy", is like playing in the Premiership with the feet bound and eyes shut.
10:56 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566361494035599360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
Debunking a lie takes ~x10 times more effort than generating one. If one were to investigate every lie RU-prop generates, there'd be little time for anything else. So we form priors: if someone blatantly lies 99% of the time, then by default to start with I assume "it's a lie".
10:44 AM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood @ClarkeMicah and @georgegalloway
Debunking a lie takes ~x10 times more effort than generating one. If one were to investigate every lie RU-prop generates, there'd be little time for anything else. So we form priors: if someone blatantly lies 99% of the time, then by default to start with I assume "it's a lie".
10:44 AM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566700749697982464
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @andrewtytko @admcollingwood and 4 others
Yeah. I thought asking random people that have no special insight, are not on the ground etc, is a fools' errand. Ideas "what maybe" are 2 a penny, being on the ground and investigating is the only way, but it is too hard. Nothing of the former can replace the latter.
9:12 AM · Sep 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @andrewtytko @admcollingwood and 4 others
Yeah. I thought asking random people that have no special insight, are not on the ground etc, is a fools' errand. Ideas "what maybe" are 2 a penny, being on the ground and investigating is the only way, but it is too hard. Nothing of the former can replace the latter.
9:12 AM · Sep 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566488683015979008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @srdjl
Da, +1. I ja koristim Xiaomi, i bash zbod toga: cena/kvalitet je bolji od konkurencije. Vidim da je AAPL prokljuvio da je za njih skuplje => bolja prodaja (SAD >50% od marketa, 1vi put ikad). Ocekujem da ce uskoro i najeftiniji iPhone biti >1000 USD ili EUR ili GBP.
7:09 PM · Sep 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @srdjl
Da, +1. I ja koristim Xiaomi, i bash zbod toga: cena/kvalitet je bolji od konkurencije. Vidim da je AAPL prokljuvio da je za njih skuplje => bolja prodaja (SAD >50% od marketa, 1vi put ikad). Ocekujem da ce uskoro i najeftiniji iPhone biti >1000 USD ili EUR ili GBP.
7:09 PM · Sep 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565696912921075712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich and @taskovskig
Haha 😂 - tocno! Sepak - pomlada generacija ste sepak podobri, ste sfatile pobrzo. 👏 Jas emigrirav tek na 30 god - i pak polu-slucajno i togas. Od 1991-va bese skoro pred-voena sostojba, ne bese ednostavno da se emigrira, kako site legalni kanali da bea zatvoreni.
2:43 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich and @taskovskig
Haha 😂 - tocno! Sepak - pomlada generacija ste sepak podobri, ste sfatile pobrzo. 👏 Jas emigrirav tek na 30 god - i pak polu-slucajno i togas. Od 1991-va bese skoro pred-voena sostojba, ne bese ednostavno da se emigrira, kako site legalni kanali da bea zatvoreni.
2:43 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565780415943786498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Ima uste ~20 god rabota duri se smeni slikata, ama pozitiven cekor - bravo! 👏 Prv pat posle 30 godini da procitam nesto +vno za Balkan. Da se zbori za kamioni, vina, rabotni mesta, i sl. (a ne - sekakvi drugi ludorii 😱) Sledno - slobodna trgovija i so EFTA (pr. denes XK) i sl
8:15 PM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Ima uste ~20 god rabota duri se smeni slikata, ama pozitiven cekor - bravo! 👏 Prv pat posle 30 godini da procitam nesto +vno za Balkan. Da se zbori za kamioni, vina, rabotni mesta, i sl. (a ne - sekakvi drugi ludorii 😱) Sledno - slobodna trgovija i so EFTA (pr. denes XK) i sl
8:15 PM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1566083232411557890
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Andon_USA
Да, верувам во љубов.
4:18 PM · Sep 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Andon_USA
Да, верувам во љубов.
4:18 PM · Sep 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565286483149393922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed silly. But in general feels pointless for us laypersons to discuss this. Surely a better way is to task a dozen of hydro- and electro- engineers "here are your tools (wind, hydro, gas...), here is the budget, go & design us a grid, come back with a proposal in 10 weeks".
https://twitter.com/surplustakes/status/1565280599497113600
David Algonquin @surplustakes
"Of course, volatility of the wind means we'll have occasional energy shortages as well as regular gluts"
'OK, should we not build some more pumped hydro energy storage facilities, like Dinorwig from the '80s?
"[baffled] No. We'll just pay the wind farms to shut down."
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed silly. But in general feels pointless for us laypersons to discuss this. Surely a better way is to task a dozen of hydro- and electro- engineers "here are your tools (wind, hydro, gas...), here is the budget, go & design us a grid, come back with a proposal in 10 weeks".
https://twitter.com/surplustakes/status/1565280599497113600
David Algonquin @surplustakes
"Of course, volatility of the wind means we'll have occasional energy shortages as well as regular gluts"
'OK, should we not build some more pumped hydro energy storage facilities, like Dinorwig from the '80s?
"[baffled] No. We'll just pay the wind farms to shut down."
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1558117376587173888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They should of course back it @rumeliobserver - and thank you for the idea. And even put you in charge of the implementation. Not holding my breath though. From outside (emigrated MK->UK 1997), looks like EU has not had an interesting new good idea since the big-bang EE expansion
Quote Tweet
Gerald Knaus @rumeliobserver · Aug 12
In fact, making the reforms to enjoy the 4 freedoms might be possible for most/all WBalkan 6 before 2030.
It requires no new mechanism, helps people, business, reformers & EU influence. When will 🇪🇺🇩🇪🇫🇷 back it?
https://esiweb.org/proposals
@k_edtstadler @MiRo_SPD @ToniHofreiter
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They should of course back it @rumeliobserver - and thank you for the idea. And even put you in charge of the implementation. Not holding my breath though. From outside (emigrated MK->UK 1997), looks like EU has not had an interesting new good idea since the big-bang EE expansion
Quote Tweet
Gerald Knaus @rumeliobserver · Aug 12
In fact, making the reforms to enjoy the 4 freedoms might be possible for most/all WBalkan 6 before 2030.
It requires no new mechanism, helps people, business, reformers & EU influence. When will 🇪🇺🇩🇪🇫🇷 back it?
https://esiweb.org/proposals
@k_edtstadler @MiRo_SPD @ToniHofreiter
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565363371456823297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the worst @TheGreenParty @CarolineLucas
😢 How on earth can a green party be against carbon free energy in any form in 2022, in the midst of an energy crunch? 😱 NIMBY at its worst, you should be ashamed of yourself. Anti-life even, anti-human, lacking human compassion 😭
Quote Tweet
The Green Party @TheGreenParty · Sep 1
🤦 People need help right now - not in 10 years.
💸 Sizewell C is not the solution to the cost of living crisis.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the worst @TheGreenParty @CarolineLucas
😢 How on earth can a green party be against carbon free energy in any form in 2022, in the midst of an energy crunch? 😱 NIMBY at its worst, you should be ashamed of yourself. Anti-life even, anti-human, lacking human compassion 😭
Quote Tweet
The Green Party @TheGreenParty · Sep 1
🤦 People need help right now - not in 10 years.
💸 Sizewell C is not the solution to the cost of living crisis.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1558439714683863043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Uh-oh - me potseti na -
https://channel4.com/programmes/the-devils-throat
The Devil's Throat
Mysterious Bulgarian crime thriller from Walter Presents. A cop and a security agent must follow a dark and twisted path to find a killer in a sleepy town in the stunning Rhodope mountains.
2:05 PM · Aug 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Uh-oh - me potseti na -
https://channel4.com/programmes/the-devils-throat
The Devil's Throat
Mysterious Bulgarian crime thriller from Walter Presents. A cop and a security agent must follow a dark and twisted path to find a killer in a sleepy town in the stunning Rhodope mountains.
2:05 PM · Aug 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557844802129244160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @engineers_feed
Prior 100 flips should tell you that the coin is not fair, but crooked. That explains the 100 heads observation, which has astronomically small 2^-100 probability on a fair coin. The next flip is not 50:50 as you'd expect from a fair coin. Expect another head from a crooked coin.
10:41 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @engineers_feed
Prior 100 flips should tell you that the coin is not fair, but crooked. That explains the 100 heads observation, which has astronomically small 2^-100 probability on a fair coin. The next flip is not 50:50 as you'd expect from a fair coin. Expect another head from a crooked coin.
10:41 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1558447280214122496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @paullewismoney
No idea. Works for me: shower on get wet, shower off apply soap including the hair too (stopped buying shampoo sometime ~2005, read someplace soap & shampoo are basically the same chemicals; worked for me, one thing less to remember to buy, carry around), shower on rinse, out.
2:36 PM · Aug 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @paullewismoney
No idea. Works for me: shower on get wet, shower off apply soap including the hair too (stopped buying shampoo sometime ~2005, read someplace soap & shampoo are basically the same chemicals; worked for me, one thing less to remember to buy, carry around), shower on rinse, out.
2:36 PM · Aug 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1558108435505373184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RJaarsma
Well - can anyone blame him? Macedonia did none of those shenanigans, and are further behind. @rumeliobserver
proposals for EEA type 4-freedoms zone, abandoning anything political (maybe until qualified majority?), looks to be the max/realistic for the next 10-20 years.
4:09 PM · Aug 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RJaarsma
Well - can anyone blame him? Macedonia did none of those shenanigans, and are further behind. @rumeliobserver
proposals for EEA type 4-freedoms zone, abandoning anything political (maybe until qualified majority?), looks to be the max/realistic for the next 10-20 years.
4:09 PM · Aug 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565372644001824773
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
To be fair - listening to the whole speech (not easy to find! - what's No10 PR doing?!), does not come that ideological. More YIMBY than anyone else recently tbh. Afraid that is a function of him departing. No politician can displease the NIMBY and be in power (c.f the hustings).
5:14 PM · Sep 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
To be fair - listening to the whole speech (not easy to find! - what's No10 PR doing?!), does not come that ideological. More YIMBY than anyone else recently tbh. Afraid that is a function of him departing. No politician can displease the NIMBY and be in power (c.f the hustings).
5:14 PM · Sep 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1564217703874920449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @michael_merrick
We got approximately what we voted for, in aggregate. Talk a lot, do nothing, let the NHS die, build NOT - no infrastructure, rail, airports, on-shore wind, nuclear, no fracking etc. NIMBY cheems mindset rules the CON, LAB, LDM. And we looks set to continue on the same course :-(
12:45 PM · Aug 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @michael_merrick
We got approximately what we voted for, in aggregate. Talk a lot, do nothing, let the NHS die, build NOT - no infrastructure, rail, airports, on-shore wind, nuclear, no fracking etc. NIMBY cheems mindset rules the CON, LAB, LDM. And we looks set to continue on the same course :-(
12:45 PM · Aug 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557754622806302720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @hodgesmr and @AlecStapp
Hm - should have a -1 subtracted from the ratio, like - ([Final CPI index value] / [Initial CPI index value] - 1) * 100 ... in percent - no?
4:43 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @hodgesmr and @AlecStapp
Hm - should have a -1 subtracted from the ratio, like - ([Final CPI index value] / [Initial CPI index value] - 1) * 100 ... in percent - no?
4:43 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557762516226347010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IAPonomarenko
Good luck to you, I hope it happens soon. UKR are in the right, RUS is in the wrong. But - sorry to be the devil's advocate: don't you think that you need to develop nuclear weapons? I mean - RUS will just nuke you, once they start losing the conventional war badly. No?
5:15 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @IAPonomarenko
Good luck to you, I hope it happens soon. UKR are in the right, RUS is in the wrong. But - sorry to be the devil's advocate: don't you think that you need to develop nuclear weapons? I mean - RUS will just nuke you, once they start losing the conventional war badly. No?
5:15 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557776225120165894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mgurri
If the confidence of the public in the elites is at all time low, then we the public can not be disappointed by the failures - no? We expect the FAIL-s. We know they don't know, and we know they can't know - b/c no one can.
6:09 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mgurri
If the confidence of the public in the elites is at all time low, then we the public can not be disappointed by the failures - no? We expect the FAIL-s. We know they don't know, and we know they can't know - b/c no one can.
6:09 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1558493955355967492
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Comrade_Aoife @TigerBlackBear1 and 3 others
Please just move there, vote with your feet, emigrate to any of those countries. Stop propping up us capitalist pigs, with your labour. Please go, please move there. If you find it works for you there - please do let us know. To save us from our wrong ways. But please - go.
5:41 PM · Aug 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Comrade_Aoife @TigerBlackBear1 and 3 others
Please just move there, vote with your feet, emigrate to any of those countries. Stop propping up us capitalist pigs, with your labour. Please go, please move there. If you find it works for you there - please do let us know. To save us from our wrong ways. But please - go.
5:41 PM · Aug 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557760505435021313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More objasnuvaj i dobro pravis @Viktor_Stevich! 👍 Da objasnam i jas sto mislam, ama ne mi stiga eden Reply, pa eve Quote Chain. Izvini-apologies - ama: chuv (kako 54yo) sum vlegol vo faza "no fucks given", "sto na um, to na drum", pa ova rasplinuvanje lici del od toj efekt 1/5
Quote Tweet
Виктор Стевич @Viktor_Stevich · Aug 11
Во ресторан бившата жена им се жали на едни Бугари заеднички пријатели, дека ја многу се сум објаснувал, на сите се сум им објаснувал и кажувал… ја си ќутам.
Доаѓа конобарот: “заповедајте” и му викам: оваа овде што збори ми е бивша жена, а другиве ни се пријатели.
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
More objasnuvaj i dobro pravis @Viktor_Stevich! 👍 Da objasnam i jas sto mislam, ama ne mi stiga eden Reply, pa eve Quote Chain. Izvini-apologies - ama: chuv (kako 54yo) sum vlegol vo faza "no fucks given", "sto na um, to na drum", pa ova rasplinuvanje lici del od toj efekt 1/5
Quote Tweet
Виктор Стевич @Viktor_Stevich · Aug 11
Во ресторан бившата жена им се жали на едни Бугари заеднички пријатели, дека ја многу се сум објаснувал, на сите се сум им објаснувал и кажувал… ја си ќутам.
Доаѓа конобарот: “заповедајте” и му викам: оваа овде што збори ми е бивша жена, а другиве ни се пријатели.
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557760509008650244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tehnickive nauki preki matematika-logika nekako doagame do modus ponens, modus tolens, pa ne sme tolku osakateni za rasuduvanje. Ama humanitarcive - izgleda otkako nema retorika/oratorstvo da se uci predmet, nema kako da se nauci taa polovina da misli ne-pogresno po default 😮 2/
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tehnickive nauki preki matematika-logika nekako doagame do modus ponens, modus tolens, pa ne sme tolku osakateni za rasuduvanje. Ama humanitarcive - izgleda otkako nema retorika/oratorstvo da se uci predmet, nema kako da se nauci taa polovina da misli ne-pogresno po default 😮 2/
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557760512192045056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prvo so GFC'08 posle Kovid-19, vidov sekakvi spektakli od bliski+dragi rodnini+prijateli. 😱 "Logiki" od tip "ako A togas B, i C, zaklucuvam D"?!? Prilicno jako "babi se snilo sto joj milo", "sakam, znaci veruvam taka e" i sl, rezoniranje pogresno i bez vrska so realen zivot 3/5
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Prvo so GFC'08 posle Kovid-19, vidov sekakvi spektakli od bliski+dragi rodnini+prijateli. 😱 "Logiki" od tip "ako A togas B, i C, zaklucuvam D"?!? Prilicno jako "babi se snilo sto joj milo", "sakam, znaci veruvam taka e" i sl, rezoniranje pogresno i bez vrska so realen zivot 3/5
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557760515228803072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me potseti na JNA voena sluzba'87. Otkako bev i go vidov prosekot, sfativ deka prosek e: ne znae da sostavi recenica, zasto ne moze da sostavi koherentna misla (neka e i pogresna!) vo glava. Ako toj me vodi napred, ke zavrsime i dvajcata vo nekoj trap-endek, off-road. 4/5
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me potseti na JNA voena sluzba'87. Otkako bev i go vidov prosekot, sfativ deka prosek e: ne znae da sostavi recenica, zasto ne moze da sostavi koherentna misla (neka e i pogresna!) vo glava. Ako toj me vodi napred, ke zavrsime i dvajcata vo nekoj trap-endek, off-road. 4/5
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557760517707554817
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ispaga imalo mnogu za rabota na izgradba na licnosta. Toa nekako em komunisticki, ama em i liberalisticki?? Deka najefektiven lek za mnogu problemi e da bideme "podobri luge". I obratno - maka e koga nekoj ne saka da nauci nisto novo posto ke odi sam protiv sebe i svoeto ego 5/5
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ispaga imalo mnogu za rabota na izgradba na licnosta. Toa nekako em komunisticki, ama em i liberalisticki?? Deka najefektiven lek za mnogu problemi e da bideme "podobri luge". I obratno - maka e koga nekoj ne saka da nauci nisto novo posto ke odi sam protiv sebe i svoeto ego 5/5
5:07 PM · Aug 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562893641395630080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Ќути... Не само што немаат антика (Аце!) ни средновековие (Самоил innit), но ни јазик немаат свој американски?! Зборат англиски кутрите! И пет пари не даваат, не им смета - светот го владеат, по нашки the world is their oyster.
9:04 PM · Aug 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Ќути... Не само што немаат антика (Аце!) ни средновековие (Самоил innit), но ни јазик немаат свој американски?! Зборат англиски кутрите! И пет пари не даваат, не им смета - светот го владеат, по нашки the world is their oyster.
9:04 PM · Aug 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565306200056647680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @katiestrummer
Dobro e kesh da e opcija, za backup. Kesh e javna valuta, go izdava centralna banka, pod kontrola na vlada/drzava/narod (ultimativno). Karticki (debitni, kreditni), i se sto e elektronska valuta, ja izdava privatna firma/banka =>imame pomalku kontrola. c.f
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
12:50 PM · Sep 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @katiestrummer
Dobro e kesh da e opcija, za backup. Kesh e javna valuta, go izdava centralna banka, pod kontrola na vlada/drzava/narod (ultimativno). Karticki (debitni, kreditni), i se sto e elektronska valuta, ja izdava privatna firma/banka =>imame pomalku kontrola. c.f
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw
The Landscape of Money (Part 1): State money, bank money & plug-in...
We sometimes hear the term 'fiat money', and get told that it's issued by states. States, though, are but one part of the modern fiat money system, which als...
12:50 PM · Sep 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1564165887405572096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ClarkeMicah
From Putin down, the entire political and cultural establishment, keeps telling us repeatedly as well as demonstrating it, that RUS aim is destruction of UKR nation, country, extinguishing of the UKR language, culture, people. Not really negotiable - is it?
9:19 AM · Aug 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ClarkeMicah
From Putin down, the entire political and cultural establishment, keeps telling us repeatedly as well as demonstrating it, that RUS aim is destruction of UKR nation, country, extinguishing of the UKR language, culture, people. Not really negotiable - is it?
9:19 AM · Aug 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557279223852720128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @svasko1
Да. Плус - кеш е мал дел од трансакциите, огромно мнозинство веќе се електронски => следени по дифолт. Дури и сум видел предлог да сите даноци се заменат со единствен мал данок на трансакции (данок == -вен надомест). Овде -
civilution.org
Tax the Economy, not the Individual
https://www.civilution.org/post/tax-the-economy-not-the-individual
Payments Tax – automatic, unconditional, unavoidable, universal, proportional, anonymous, and a 99% lower tax rate
9:14 AM · Aug 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @svasko1
Да. Плус - кеш е мал дел од трансакциите, огромно мнозинство веќе се електронски => следени по дифолт. Дури и сум видел предлог да сите даноци се заменат со единствен мал данок на трансакции (данок == -вен надомест). Овде -
civilution.org
Tax the Economy, not the Individual
https://www.civilution.org/post/tax-the-economy-not-the-individual
Payments Tax – automatic, unconditional, unavoidable, universal, proportional, anonymous, and a 99% lower tax rate
9:14 AM · Aug 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557308547620282370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @svasko1
Главен проблем би рекол - инерција, неверување, немање елан за промени и сл. Што е општо проблем за било која промена. Инерција која е оправдана! Лесно е да замислам некоја реформа-промена, тешко е да креираме нешто подобро во пракса. Излегуваат 100 проблеми што сме ги превиделе.
11:11 AM · Aug 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @svasko1
Главен проблем би рекол - инерција, неверување, немање елан за промени и сл. Што е општо проблем за било која промена. Инерција која е оправдана! Лесно е да замислам некоја реформа-промена, тешко е да креираме нешто подобро во пракса. Излегуваат 100 проблеми што сме ги превиделе.
11:11 AM · Aug 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562070741612466177
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jovankrajevski
😂 😂 Koj ne ziveel niz periodot na "kataklizma komunizma" vo 1990-te, ke ja uci lekcijata povtorno i licno. Ova sto kaza e ideologija sto propadna pred 30+ god vo Evropa. Na niedno mesto i vo niedno vreme - a probana mnogu pati - ne uspeala. Rezultat stalno ist - propast.
2:34 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jovankrajevski
😂 😂 Koj ne ziveel niz periodot na "kataklizma komunizma" vo 1990-te, ke ja uci lekcijata povtorno i licno. Ova sto kaza e ideologija sto propadna pred 30+ god vo Evropa. Na niedno mesto i vo niedno vreme - a probana mnogu pati - ne uspeala. Rezultat stalno ist - propast.
2:34 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562081740721643522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@jovankrajevski nemam mesto vo eden tvit, pa so izvinenie quot tvit 1/5
Quote Tweet
Jovan Krajevski @jovankrajevski · Aug 23
Replying to @ljupc0
Капитализмов гледам топ му иде, катаклизмава сега што ја живееме не е страшна. Него ај тоа на страна, гледам нешо ИТ/АИ се бавиш, па види Yann LeCun шо вика на темава.
Image
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@jovankrajevski nemam mesto vo eden tvit, pa so izvinenie quot tvit 1/5
Quote Tweet
Jovan Krajevski @jovankrajevski · Aug 23
Replying to @ljupc0
Капитализмов гледам топ му иде, катаклизмава сега што ја живееме не е страшна. Него ај тоа на страна, гледам нешо ИТ/АИ се бавиш, па види Yann LeCun шо вика на темава.
Image
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562081744257531905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ziveev niz kriza na socijalizmot 1980-ta, i 1990-ta koga konecno se raspadna sistemot vo EE+SS a vo YU i so vojni, niz kriza na kapitalizmot 2001-va (dot-com bust), "kataklizma kapitalizma" vo 2008-ma (GFC). GFC'08 bese pomalku losa od krizite na socijalizmot vo 1980 i '90-ta 2/5
Translate Tweet
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ziveev niz kriza na socijalizmot 1980-ta, i 1990-ta koga konecno se raspadna sistemot vo EE+SS a vo YU i so vojni, niz kriza na kapitalizmot 2001-va (dot-com bust), "kataklizma kapitalizma" vo 2008-ma (GFC). GFC'08 bese pomalku losa od krizite na socijalizmot vo 1980 i '90-ta 2/5
Translate Tweet
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562081747537657856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Toa sto go kazuva YLC e ok, ama ne e nekoj golem lek. Vo UK imame famously firmi kako John Lewis i CoOp, koi go pravat toa - ok e. Vrabotenite imaat udel/akcii vo firmata, dobivaat dividenda. Vraboteni da ucestvuvaat vo upravuvanje imase vo samoupravivanje vo YU - toa propadna 3/
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Toa sto go kazuva YLC e ok, ama ne e nekoj golem lek. Vo UK imame famously firmi kako John Lewis i CoOp, koi go pravat toa - ok e. Vrabotenite imaat udel/akcii vo firmata, dobivaat dividenda. Vraboteni da ucestvuvaat vo upravuvanje imase vo samoupravivanje vo YU - toa propadna 3/
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562081750758694912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fala za YLC, i eve od mene da vratam usluga nazad preporaki - za kapitalizmot od @BrankoMilan "C,A" https://amazon.com/Capitalism-Alone-Future-System-Rules/dp/0674987594 , a i za socijalizmot od @K_Niemietz "Idea sto ne umira" https://amazon.com/Socialism-Failed-Idea-That-Never/dp/0255367708 4/5
amazon.com
Socialism: The Failed Idea That Never Dies
Socialism is strangely impervious to refutation by real-world experience. Over the past hundred years, there have been more than two dozen attempts to build a socialist society, from the Soviet Union...
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fala za YLC, i eve od mene da vratam usluga nazad preporaki - za kapitalizmot od @BrankoMilan "C,A" https://amazon.com/Capitalism-Alone-Future-System-Rules/dp/0674987594 , a i za socijalizmot od @K_Niemietz "Idea sto ne umira" https://amazon.com/Socialism-Failed-Idea-That-Never/dp/0255367708 4/5
amazon.com
Socialism: The Failed Idea That Never Dies
Socialism is strangely impervious to refutation by real-world experience. Over the past hundred years, there have been more than two dozen attempts to build a socialist society, from the Soviet Union...
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562081754038558720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Po mene - ideata deka platata na vrabotenite e [ prihod ] x [ nekoj faktor ] e pogresna. Realnosta e deka platata na vrabotenite e trosok za firmata, i toj trosok e additivna stavka (a ne multiplikativna). Mnogu se rasplinav, moram da rabotam - pozdrav i cao! 5/5
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Po mene - ideata deka platata na vrabotenite e [ prihod ] x [ nekoj faktor ] e pogresna. Realnosta e deka platata na vrabotenite e trosok za firmata, i toj trosok e additivna stavka (a ne multiplikativna). Mnogu se rasplinav, moram da rabotam - pozdrav i cao! 5/5
3:18 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562107151358857216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @infinity070707 and @jovankrajevski
Za kapitalizmot i socijalizmot - ova https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562081750758694912 . "Komunizam nemalo" - oh-key, toa ne e za mene, good luck. "Sto napravi kapitalizmot" - momentalna situacija, kade bevme, kade odime, vo https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better . I opsto - data statistika za bilo sto vo OurWorldInData
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 23
Fala za YLC, i eve od mene da vratam usluga nazad preporaki - za kapitalizmot od @BrankoMilan "C,A" https://amazon.com/Capitalism-Alone-Future-System-Rules/dp/0674987594 , a i za socijalizmot od @K_Niemietz "Idea sto ne umira" https://amazon.com/Socialism-Failed-Idea-That-Never/dp/0255367708 4/5
4:59 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @infinity070707 and @jovankrajevski
Za kapitalizmot i socijalizmot - ova https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562081750758694912 . "Komunizam nemalo" - oh-key, toa ne e za mene, good luck. "Sto napravi kapitalizmot" - momentalna situacija, kade bevme, kade odime, vo https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better . I opsto - data statistika za bilo sto vo OurWorldInData
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Aug 23
Fala za YLC, i eve od mene da vratam usluga nazad preporaki - za kapitalizmot od @BrankoMilan "C,A" https://amazon.com/Capitalism-Alone-Future-System-Rules/dp/0674987594 , a i za socijalizmot od @K_Niemietz "Idea sto ne umira" https://amazon.com/Socialism-Failed-Idea-That-Never/dp/0255367708 4/5
4:59 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562149409093214208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @infinity070707 and @jovankrajevski
Perspektiva. Inflacija - YU 1980-91 ogromna, a 1992+ rump-YU pa hiper-inflacija! Nuklearna vojna - do pad na SS sekojdnevna tenzija. Ednas mi rekoa "da vi ja imam mladosta, da vi ja nemam pametta" - glava gore, ako mladite ne se optimisti, koj da bide; c.f
rootsofprogress.org
The Roots of Progress
A new philosophy of progress for the 21st century
7:46 PM · Aug 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @infinity070707 and @jovankrajevski
Perspektiva. Inflacija - YU 1980-91 ogromna, a 1992+ rump-YU pa hiper-inflacija! Nuklearna vojna - do pad na SS sekojdnevna tenzija. Ednas mi rekoa "da vi ja imam mladosta, da vi ja nemam pametta" - glava gore, ako mladite ne se optimisti, koj da bide; c.f
rootsofprogress.org
The Roots of Progress
A new philosophy of progress for the 21st century
7:46 PM · Aug 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1564711914420174848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @grof_Zarkoff
Kako i kolku se razvi kompjuterskava bransa poslednite 30 god - nad site ocekuvanja - bi rekol: cudno kako ne se zapisuvaat site na FINKI? :-O Sto voopsto baraat na drugi fakulteti? ;-)
9:29 PM · Aug 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @grof_Zarkoff
Kako i kolku se razvi kompjuterskava bransa poslednite 30 god - nad site ocekuvanja - bi rekol: cudno kako ne se zapisuvaat site na FINKI? :-O Sto voopsto baraat na drugi fakulteti? ;-)
9:29 PM · Aug 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565468044348063745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TeaVelk
Nosev prvo naocari i posle leki 30 god. Napraviv laserska korekcija pred ~15 god. Najdobro nesto sto sum napravil za sebe. (istovo go slusnav i od drugi) LASIK ili sl e se poeftino - sobiraj pari i napavi pri prva prilika.
11:34 PM · Sep 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TeaVelk
Nosev prvo naocari i posle leki 30 god. Napraviv laserska korekcija pred ~15 god. Najdobro nesto sto sum napravil za sebe. (istovo go slusnav i od drugi) LASIK ili sl e se poeftino - sobiraj pari i napavi pri prva prilika.
11:34 PM · Sep 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565634641574481921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NorthPussySmoke and @TeaVelk
Kade toa? Mozno e. Nemav tolku mal diopter. Jas pravev kaj https://davidgartry.co.uk vo 2009-ta i imav -3.5. Bi me iznenadilo da odbijat, ionaka e privatno. Za operacijata - racunam posto koregiraat do "0", ne e deka ne mozat -1 da koregiraat. Pamtam imase maksimum, ama ne minimum.
davidgartry.co.uk
Laser eye surgery cataract surgery in London | David Gartry
Professor David Gartry is one of the most experienced eye surgeons in the country. He now leads his own clinic, The Wimpole Eye Clinic.
10:36 AM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NorthPussySmoke and @TeaVelk
Kade toa? Mozno e. Nemav tolku mal diopter. Jas pravev kaj https://davidgartry.co.uk vo 2009-ta i imav -3.5. Bi me iznenadilo da odbijat, ionaka e privatno. Za operacijata - racunam posto koregiraat do "0", ne e deka ne mozat -1 da koregiraat. Pamtam imase maksimum, ama ne minimum.
davidgartry.co.uk
Laser eye surgery cataract surgery in London | David Gartry
Professor David Gartry is one of the most experienced eye surgeons in the country. He now leads his own clinic, The Wimpole Eye Clinic.
10:36 AM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1565652627190415363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NorthPussySmoke and @TeaVelk
Mozno e - ama kade toa, i koj kazal? Znam za luge sto pravele vo Kopenhagen, znam za Barcelona (od Skopje ima eftini bileti, i samata operacija e poeftina otkolku vo UK), i jas samiot vo UK. Ne sum chul za minimalen diopter - samo za maksimalen.
11:47 AM · Sep 2, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NorthPussySmoke and @TeaVelk
Mozno e - ama kade toa, i koj kazal? Znam za luge sto pravele vo Kopenhagen, znam za Barcelona (od Skopje ima eftini bileti, i samata operacija e poeftina otkolku vo UK), i jas samiot vo UK. Ne sum chul za minimalen diopter - samo za maksimalen.
11:47 AM · Sep 2, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1560349200226844672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @infinity070707
Од каде ова?? Нити сум имал шеф или директор македонец, нити ме вработил, нити сум имал колега, нити било каков друг професионален контакт со македонец во мојава професија?
8:33 PM · Aug 18, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @infinity070707
Од каде ова?? Нити сум имал шеф или директор македонец, нити ме вработил, нити сум имал колега, нити било каков друг професионален контакт со македонец во мојава професија?
8:33 PM · Aug 18, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557433845624061954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @alikiaj
Haha- da! Parnoto bese cudo nevideno (zime toplo vo site sobi! i vo spalni - ne samo vo dnevna?). Prozorcite bea pogolemi od toa sto pamtev kaj drugi - cela dnevna trpezarija zastaklena obleana vo svetlo. Veruvam vo 1974/5 na moite im bilo kako da se teleportirale vo idninata. 😆
7:28 PM · Aug 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @alikiaj
Haha- da! Parnoto bese cudo nevideno (zime toplo vo site sobi! i vo spalni - ne samo vo dnevna?). Prozorcite bea pogolemi od toa sto pamtev kaj drugi - cela dnevna trpezarija zastaklena obleana vo svetlo. Veruvam vo 1974/5 na moite im bilo kako da se teleportirale vo idninata. 😆
7:28 PM · Aug 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557283741805985798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @alikiaj and @TociZS
Ако се изградени квалитетно, паметно, со простор и зеленило меѓу, се одржуваат поправаат - тоа е ОК. Јас пораснав во Аеродром (сега стар, тогаш последна зграда, до сегашна Поликлиника) и населбата тогаш беше убава. Многу деца - има друштво, ширина, зеленило, дрва, лето сенки etc
9:32 AM · Aug 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @alikiaj and @TociZS
Ако се изградени квалитетно, паметно, со простор и зеленило меѓу, се одржуваат поправаат - тоа е ОК. Јас пораснав во Аеродром (сега стар, тогаш последна зграда, до сегашна Поликлиника) и населбата тогаш беше убава. Многу деца - има друштво, ширина, зеленило, дрва, лето сенки etc
9:32 AM · Aug 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1563089328183447553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @centarska_picka
Не си единствена, на пример види ја @Louise_m_perry , книгата е The Case Against the Sexual Revolution. И еден куп интервјуа и сл, на пр
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=0K1ZIbFU6O4
The Sexual Revolution is Terrible for Women - Louise Perry
Louise Perry is the author of 'The Case Against the Sexual Revolution: A New Guide to Sex in the 21st Century' and writes for The New Statesman and The Daily...
10:01 AM · Aug 26, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @centarska_picka
Не си единствена, на пример види ја @Louise_m_perry , книгата е The Case Against the Sexual Revolution. И еден куп интервјуа и сл, на пр
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=0K1ZIbFU6O4
The Sexual Revolution is Terrible for Women - Louise Perry
Louise Perry is the author of 'The Case Against the Sexual Revolution: A New Guide to Sex in the 21st Century' and writes for The New Statesman and The Daily...
10:01 AM · Aug 26, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557436300676026372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @alikiaj
Ti em si bil vo Gorenci, em pamtish?? Bravo be Toci! 👏👍😄
7:38 PM · Aug 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @alikiaj
Ti em si bil vo Gorenci, em pamtish?? Bravo be Toci! 👏👍😄
7:38 PM · Aug 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1557439751858393089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @alikiaj
Не, не сум бил како возрасен. Сум бил како дете еднаш, ништо не памтам.
7:52 PM · Aug 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @alikiaj
Не, не сум бил како возрасен. Сум бил како дете еднаш, ништо не памтам.
7:52 PM · Aug 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1563091234113359874
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @koskar72 @Viktor_Stevich and 2 others
Да - спрдачење и потсмев со себе и зафрканција на се што им/ни е свето е национален спорт, во '77 се пее "God save the queen and her fascist regime" на национално радио, концерти и сл.
10:09 AM · Aug 26, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @koskar72 @Viktor_Stevich and 2 others
Да - спрдачење и потсмев со себе и зафрканција на се што им/ни е свето е национален спорт, во '77 се пее "God save the queen and her fascist regime" на национално радио, концерти и сл.
10:09 AM · Aug 26, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1564244661421613056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caryaatid
Soprugata dosega izdrzuva, ne se vrati nazad (~3-4 meseci). Ne-kompjuterdzija, koristi Windows i Word cel zivot, a poslednite 10 god i LibreOffice na Linux. Btw MS-Office postoi i na Mac i super raboti. Ustvari MS Word i Excel i prvo pocnaa na Mac, togas i ne postoese Windows.
2:32 PM · Aug 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caryaatid
Soprugata dosega izdrzuva, ne se vrati nazad (~3-4 meseci). Ne-kompjuterdzija, koristi Windows i Word cel zivot, a poslednite 10 god i LibreOffice na Linux. Btw MS-Office postoi i na Mac i super raboti. Ustvari MS Word i Excel i prvo pocnaa na Mac, togas i ne postoese Windows.
2:32 PM · Aug 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1563084793180327937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NebesenMir @773df48f87ec43d and @Viktor_Stevich
😂 UK нема устав - и по тоа е позната/famously so
9:43 AM · Aug 26, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NebesenMir @773df48f87ec43d and @Viktor_Stevich
😂 UK нема устав - и по тоа е позната/famously so
9:43 AM · Aug 26, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1560386908643069952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @1Aleksandar
Ок е - "постали смо свет". И на други места е вака, ништо посебно.
11:03 PM · Aug 18, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @1Aleksandar
Ок е - "постали смо свет". И на други места е вака, ништо посебно.
11:03 PM · Aug 18, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1562547218304749568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caesar1Gaius and @Viktor_Stevich
Да де - вработените поседуваат акции во фирмите во кои работат, "employee owned". Кога се исплаќа дивиденда, добиваат како и секој акционер (нема разлика вработен или не). И во МК тоа го имаше во фирмите после приватизацијата, кога многу вработени станаа и акционери.
10:07 PM · Aug 24, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Caesar1Gaius and @Viktor_Stevich
Да де - вработените поседуваат акции во фирмите во кои работат, "employee owned". Кога се исплаќа дивиденда, добиваат како и секој акционер (нема разлика вработен или не). И во МК тоа го имаше во фирмите после приватизацијата, кога многу вработени станаа и акционери.
10:07 PM · Aug 24, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1556998837595787264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zoranveli and @spirovskib
Папапапа - ем безобразен и вулгарен, ем мрзлив (го мрзи да типне со прсте да открие дека не сум архитект). Блок.
2:40 PM · Aug 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zoranveli and @spirovskib
Папапапа - ем безобразен и вулгарен, ем мрзлив (го мрзи да типне со прсте да открие дека не сум архитект). Блок.
2:40 PM · Aug 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1555867286061424641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spliced side by side in a single pic -
Image
Quote Tweet
Zain Kahn @heykahn · Jul 27
Those who read the news think that things have never been worse.
Those who read history know that things have never been better.
Image
Image
11:44 AM · Aug 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spliced side by side in a single pic -
Image
Quote Tweet
Zain Kahn @heykahn · Jul 27
Those who read the news think that things have never been worse.
Those who read history know that things have never been better.
Image
Image
11:44 AM · Aug 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1555184843218190338
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @wbmosler , @StephanieKelton - fyi you've got @pmarca "... taxation gives the fiat currency its value ..." at 2h38' of Joe Rogan Experience #1840 from 6-Jul-2022
open.spotify.com
#1840 - Marc Andreessen
Listen to this episode from The Joe Rogan Experience on Spotify. Marc Andreessen is an entrepreneur, investor, and software engineer. He is co-creator of the world's first widely used internet...
2:32 PM · Aug 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @wbmosler , @StephanieKelton - fyi you've got @pmarca "... taxation gives the fiat currency its value ..." at 2h38' of Joe Rogan Experience #1840 from 6-Jul-2022
open.spotify.com
#1840 - Marc Andreessen
Listen to this episode from The Joe Rogan Experience on Spotify. Marc Andreessen is an entrepreneur, investor, and software engineer. He is co-creator of the world's first widely used internet...
2:32 PM · Aug 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1553032303663783936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sweet summer child. I do not want to ruin your world - so this will be my last on this thread. If property ownership were natural, then they would be a law of nature, like gravity. In that world, I as 1 would be able to defend my McMansion against 10 of my NIMBY neighbors 1/6
Quote Tweet
Richard Rous @RichardRous · Jul 29
Replying to @ljupc0 and @MarkJLittlewood
Libertarians support the role of state to uphold property rights BECAUSE property ownership is natural. NIMBYism is the opposite of property rights, it's the assertion of rights over other folks' property.
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You sweet summer child. I do not want to ruin your world - so this will be my last on this thread. If property ownership were natural, then they would be a law of nature, like gravity. In that world, I as 1 would be able to defend my McMansion against 10 of my NIMBY neighbors 1/6
Quote Tweet
Richard Rous @RichardRous · Jul 29
Replying to @ljupc0 and @MarkJLittlewood
Libertarians support the role of state to uphold property rights BECAUSE property ownership is natural. NIMBYism is the opposite of property rights, it's the assertion of rights over other folks' property.
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1553032309867151361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alas - that is not the case. The laws of nature (say - physics) are such that the 10 neighbors will subdue me, take my property and leave me with nothing. That is the law of nature. And that is what happens in animal groups of all sorts. One - alpha, usually male - has it all 2/6
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alas - that is not the case. The laws of nature (say - physics) are such that the 10 neighbors will subdue me, take my property and leave me with nothing. That is the law of nature. And that is what happens in animal groups of all sorts. One - alpha, usually male - has it all 2/6
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1553032316766797830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So property rights - like human rights - are un-natural, something we groups of humans agree on, against nature and physics, b/c they are good for every 1 individual, and are good for the group too (on average, all other things being equal, etc etc) 3/6
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So property rights - like human rights - are un-natural, something we groups of humans agree on, against nature and physics, b/c they are good for every 1 individual, and are good for the group too (on average, all other things being equal, etc etc) 3/6
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1553032322416787457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I grew up in soft communism, and I can recognize a zealot in grips of ideology, when I see one. Don't take this the wrong way please - I have no illusions of converting the said believer, especially when their ideology works for them (communism worked for a minority too) 4/6
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I grew up in soft communism, and I can recognize a zealot in grips of ideology, when I see one. Don't take this the wrong way please - I have no illusions of converting the said believer, especially when their ideology works for them (communism worked for a minority too) 4/6
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1553032326749294593
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This about sums my views on libertarianism https://theamericanconservative.com/marxism-of-the-right/ . I am all for freedom as the aim, but that does not necessary mean freedom is the means too. We are right to aim for freedom - and peace, and prosperity, and bunch of other desirable things 5/6
theamericanconservative.com
Marxism of the Right - The American Conservative
Free spirits, the ambitious, ex-socialists, drug users, and sexual eccentrics often find an attractive political philosophy in libertarianism, the idea
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This about sums my views on libertarianism https://theamericanconservative.com/marxism-of-the-right/ . I am all for freedom as the aim, but that does not necessary mean freedom is the means too. We are right to aim for freedom - and peace, and prosperity, and bunch of other desirable things 5/6
theamericanconservative.com
Marxism of the Right - The American Conservative
Free spirits, the ambitious, ex-socialists, drug users, and sexual eccentrics often find an attractive political philosophy in libertarianism, the idea
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1553032331413405701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me - alternatives like the world of "Open: The Story Of Human Progress" https://amazon.co.uk/Open-Story-Progress-Johan-Norberg/dp/1786497166 by @johanknorberg looks both desirable, and achievable too (unlike libertarianism - that seems utopian to me). Again - think it's a simple mixup of means and ends, unfortunately 6/6
amazon.co.uk
Open: The Story Of Human Progress
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me - alternatives like the world of "Open: The Story Of Human Progress" https://amazon.co.uk/Open-Story-Progress-Johan-Norberg/dp/1786497166 by @johanknorberg looks both desirable, and achievable too (unlike libertarianism - that seems utopian to me). Again - think it's a simple mixup of means and ends, unfortunately 6/6
amazon.co.uk
Open: The Story Of Human Progress
3:58 PM · Jul 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1554883910697353218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No society or a group of people can withstand Savoranola type of crazy evil and/or cynical, and survive. Something will have to give. For the society to survive - it will be the freedom to broadcast crazy and have it amplified for free (both as in beer & speech). Mixed feelings.
Quote Tweet
Ben Collins @oneunderscore__ · Aug 3
These texts and emails are FINALLY revealing financials behind Infowars.
Some days in 2018, InfoWars was making $800,000 a day.
"Well after your deplatforming, your numbers keep getting better," Sandy Hook parents' lawyer says.
If they keep that up, that's ~$300 mill. a year.
6:36 PM · Aug 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No society or a group of people can withstand Savoranola type of crazy evil and/or cynical, and survive. Something will have to give. For the society to survive - it will be the freedom to broadcast crazy and have it amplified for free (both as in beer & speech). Mixed feelings.
Quote Tweet
Ben Collins @oneunderscore__ · Aug 3
These texts and emails are FINALLY revealing financials behind Infowars.
Some days in 2018, InfoWars was making $800,000 a day.
"Well after your deplatforming, your numbers keep getting better," Sandy Hook parents' lawyer says.
If they keep that up, that's ~$300 mill. a year.
6:36 PM · Aug 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552322715532550144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - proper mind blowing this, even while we don't know even the half of it - The Deadliest Virus on Earth https://youtu.be/4u5I8GYB79Y via @YouTube
youtube.com
The Deadliest Virus on Earth
Go ‘beyond the nutshell’ at https://brilliant.org/nutshell by diving deeper into these topics and more with 20% off an annual subscription!Sources & further ...
4:59 PM · Jul 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - proper mind blowing this, even while we don't know even the half of it - The Deadliest Virus on Earth https://youtu.be/4u5I8GYB79Y via @YouTube
youtube.com
The Deadliest Virus on Earth
Go ‘beyond the nutshell’ at https://brilliant.org/nutshell by diving deeper into these topics and more with 20% off an annual subscription!Sources & further ...
4:59 PM · Jul 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1553056220730298373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @isolatrix_
All together here -
http://pc.sux.org/indexRA.html
...and including the then infamous "Legs!" at # 11. 😂😂
5:33 PM · Jul 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @isolatrix_
All together here -
http://pc.sux.org/indexRA.html
...and including the then infamous "Legs!" at # 11. 😂😂
5:33 PM · Jul 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1554085762165080064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GeorgeMonbiot
To paraphrase - yeah, terrible no good system, except all the others that have been tried, have been shown to be even worse! C.f. almost any page at our world in data, e.g. https://ourworldindata.org/extreme-poverty, https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better , etc etc
ourworldindata.org
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.
It is wrong to think that these three statements contradict each other. We need to see that they are all true to see that a better world is possible.
1:44 PM · Aug 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GeorgeMonbiot
To paraphrase - yeah, terrible no good system, except all the others that have been tried, have been shown to be even worse! C.f. almost any page at our world in data, e.g. https://ourworldindata.org/extreme-poverty, https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better , etc etc
ourworldindata.org
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.
It is wrong to think that these three statements contradict each other. We need to see that they are all true to see that a better world is possible.
1:44 PM · Aug 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777644059643904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - what a delight, music to the ears of all computer geeks everywhere. The final act of a drama played, a movie material even? Maybe one to add to the next edition of "How Innovation Works" @mattwridley ? 1/7
Quote Tweet
Demis Hassabis @demishassabis · Jul 28
A year ago we open-sourced #AlphaFold
Today we're freely sharing the predicted structures of all 200M+ proteins known to science - almost the entire protein universe!
It's our gift to humanity, and a demonstration of the benefits AI can bring to society
https://dpmd.ai/AF-22-LI
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂😂😂 - what a delight, music to the ears of all computer geeks everywhere. The final act of a drama played, a movie material even? Maybe one to add to the next edition of "How Innovation Works" @mattwridley ? 1/7
Quote Tweet
Demis Hassabis @demishassabis · Jul 28
A year ago we open-sourced #AlphaFold
Today we're freely sharing the predicted structures of all 200M+ proteins known to science - almost the entire protein universe!
It's our gift to humanity, and a demonstration of the benefits AI can bring to society
https://dpmd.ai/AF-22-LI
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777649797349377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 1. All parents everywhere since 1980-s, on all platforms (home computers, PCs, consoles), all the time (rare exceptions excused): "Computer games are useless waste of time, stop playing, do something useful". First home computers are mostly toys too. 2/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 1. All parents everywhere since 1980-s, on all platforms (home computers, PCs, consoles), all the time (rare exceptions excused): "Computer games are useless waste of time, stop playing, do something useful". First home computers are mostly toys too. 2/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777653119328256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 2. @demishassabis learns his programming chops writing games, gets into AI too while writing games that need AI characters to interact with the human player https://youtube.com/watch?v=Gfr50f6ZBvo 3/7
youtube.com
Demis Hassabis: DeepMind - AI, Superintelligence & the Future of...
Demis Hassabis is the CEO and co-founder of DeepMind. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:- Mailgun: https://lexfridman.com/mailgun- Ins...
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 2. @demishassabis learns his programming chops writing games, gets into AI too while writing games that need AI characters to interact with the human player https://youtube.com/watch?v=Gfr50f6ZBvo 3/7
youtube.com
Demis Hassabis: DeepMind - AI, Superintelligence & the Future of...
Demis Hassabis is the CEO and co-founder of DeepMind. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:- Mailgun: https://lexfridman.com/mailgun- Ins...
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777656428646400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 3. @nvidia and ATI make ever bigger, faster and more complex GPU chips, while games become ever more complex. Gamers finance all the R&D out of their pockets! 😀 Ok - credit to all the parents across the world, that ever financed the latest-greatest graphics card. 😆 4/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 3. @nvidia and ATI make ever bigger, faster and more complex GPU chips, while games become ever more complex. Gamers finance all the R&D out of their pockets! 😀 Ok - credit to all the parents across the world, that ever financed the latest-greatest graphics card. 😆 4/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777659955945474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
[[[ ... Years pass, people learn how to program and harness the monster GPUs for Deep learning, AI, statistical learning, etc. Build it and they will come: make monster GPU cards, people will put them to some use ... ]]] 5/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
[[[ ... Years pass, people learn how to program and harness the monster GPUs for Deep learning, AI, statistical learning, etc. Build it and they will come: make monster GPU cards, people will put them to some use ... ]]] 5/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777663332376576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 4. The person (@demishassabis) from act 2 uses the GPU monster chips from act 3 to perform - 6/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 4. The person (@demishassabis) from act 2 uses the GPU monster chips from act 3 to perform - 6/7
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1552777666453028870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 5. @newscientist
In a move that has stunned biologists, @DeepMind says its AlphaFold artificial intelligence can predict the structure of almost all proteins known to science, a discovery that will revolutionise the field and speed drug development
https://newscientist.com/article/2330866-deepminds-protein-folding-ai-cracks-biologys-biggest-problem/
7/7
newscientist.com
DeepMind's protein-folding AI cracks biology's biggest problem | New Scientist
Artificial intelligence firm DeepMind has transformed biology by predicting the structure of nearly all proteins known to science in just 18 months, a breakthrough that will speed drug development...
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Act 5. @newscientist
In a move that has stunned biologists, @DeepMind says its AlphaFold artificial intelligence can predict the structure of almost all proteins known to science, a discovery that will revolutionise the field and speed drug development
https://newscientist.com/article/2330866-deepminds-protein-folding-ai-cracks-biologys-biggest-problem/
7/7
newscientist.com
DeepMind's protein-folding AI cracks biology's biggest problem | New Scientist
Artificial intelligence firm DeepMind has transformed biology by predicting the structure of nearly all proteins known to science in just 18 months, a breakthrough that will speed drug development...
11:06 PM · Jul 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1531602495365074944
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tylercowen
Fyi already done https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ukraine-warcasting. Prob best prediction+reasoning by https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1473362460673515527. Also insider (not pundit; presidential adviser) Arestovych 18-Mar-2019 interview "99.9% probability of a Russian invasion from 4 directions in 2021-2022" https://youtube.com/watch?v=1xNHmHpERH8&t=460s
Quote Tweet
Dmitri Alperovitch @DAlperovitch · Dec 21, 2021
In the last few weeks, I have become increasingly convinced that Kremlin has unfortunately made a decision to invade Ukraine later this winter. While it is still possible for Putin to deescalate, I believe the likelihood is now quite low. Allow me to explain why 🧵
Show this thread
12:44 PM · May 31, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tylercowen
Fyi already done https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ukraine-warcasting. Prob best prediction+reasoning by https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch/status/1473362460673515527. Also insider (not pundit; presidential adviser) Arestovych 18-Mar-2019 interview "99.9% probability of a Russian invasion from 4 directions in 2021-2022" https://youtube.com/watch?v=1xNHmHpERH8&t=460s
Quote Tweet
Dmitri Alperovitch @DAlperovitch · Dec 21, 2021
In the last few weeks, I have become increasingly convinced that Kremlin has unfortunately made a decision to invade Ukraine later this winter. While it is still possible for Putin to deescalate, I believe the likelihood is now quite low. Allow me to explain why 🧵
Show this thread
12:44 PM · May 31, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1529042876025425920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
I find a text file with empty lines delimiting sections TODO, DONE, DONTDO and FIXME (urgent tasks jumping the queue) suffices. The tasks are one line, move todo->done if completed, or todo->dontdo after spending enough time in the todo section. Stick the file in git for history.
11:13 AM · May 24, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
I find a text file with empty lines delimiting sections TODO, DONE, DONTDO and FIXME (urgent tasks jumping the queue) suffices. The tasks are one line, move todo->done if completed, or todo->dontdo after spending enough time in the todo section. Stick the file in git for history.
11:13 AM · May 24, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1530308455734644736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @scottsantens
Read that idea developed in Jaron Lanier's "Who Owns the Future?" - was not convinced. Imho more practical to read through the steps of https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2022/04/16/vampire-attack-twitter.html, then legislate parts of that process to make it less a "daring guerrilla operation", more "boring dead easy".
geohot.github.io
Vampire Attack Twitter
Here’s a simple way to take over Twitter for way less than $43 billion dollars.
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2022/04/16/vampire-attack-twitter.html
11:02 PM · May 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @scottsantens
Read that idea developed in Jaron Lanier's "Who Owns the Future?" - was not convinced. Imho more practical to read through the steps of https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2022/04/16/vampire-attack-twitter.html, then legislate parts of that process to make it less a "daring guerrilla operation", more "boring dead easy".
geohot.github.io
Vampire Attack Twitter
Here’s a simple way to take over Twitter for way less than $43 billion dollars.
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2022/04/16/vampire-attack-twitter.html
11:02 PM · May 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528793018861494278
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AdamSJermyn
Obligatory article on the FDA workings - good read and funny too 😬
astralcodexten.substack.com
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
6:40 PM · May 23, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AdamSJermyn
Obligatory article on the FDA workings - good read and funny too 😬
astralcodexten.substack.com
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
6:40 PM · May 23, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1529110968176984064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JuliaDavisNews
Simonyan is right though - if they wanted to, they could nuke EEurope. 120M non-RUS EEuropeans should (possibly jointly) look to Israel, NKorea examples & develop own nuclear deterrent weapons. Poland should know abt betrayal. US may change its mind if Warsaw attack==NYC attack.
3:43 PM · May 24, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JuliaDavisNews
Simonyan is right though - if they wanted to, they could nuke EEurope. 120M non-RUS EEuropeans should (possibly jointly) look to Israel, NKorea examples & develop own nuclear deterrent weapons. Poland should know abt betrayal. US may change its mind if Warsaw attack==NYC attack.
3:43 PM · May 24, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1530551398722584576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @alirahimi0
No. A new observation leads to a posterior distribution, and the posterior can be more or less uniform/spiky than the prior. If knowledge is defined as inverse uncertainty, a new observation can decrease it then! :-) An example (from a paper) paraphrased
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 22
@mrianleslie #minusk Yeah - "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0954-898X/10/4/303 by DeWeese & Meister (1999) in addition to the central concern (as per the title), gives a great example (paraphrased) - 1/4
Show this thread
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528403213229166594
3:07 PM · May 28, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @alirahimi0
No. A new observation leads to a posterior distribution, and the posterior can be more or less uniform/spiky than the prior. If knowledge is defined as inverse uncertainty, a new observation can decrease it then! :-) An example (from a paper) paraphrased
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · May 22
@mrianleslie #minusk Yeah - "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0954-898X/10/4/303 by DeWeese & Meister (1999) in addition to the central concern (as per the title), gives a great example (paraphrased) - 1/4
Show this thread
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528403213229166594
3:07 PM · May 28, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1530123490023682048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
By now your default/prior should be "it was worse than this in the past". Given all other stories about the "golden olden days" that turn out to be lament for the youth/time passing. The unsaid part is "(good old days)... when I was young/20yo". They were good b/c you were 20yo😆
10:47 AM · May 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
By now your default/prior should be "it was worse than this in the past". Given all other stories about the "golden olden days" that turn out to be lament for the youth/time passing. The unsaid part is "(good old days)... when I was young/20yo". They were good b/c you were 20yo😆
10:47 AM · May 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1529465357894811649
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fyi @drmichaellevin
Quote Tweet
Manlio De Domenico @manlius84 · May 23
It is a great pleasure to announce that our special issue on “Emergent phenomena in complex physical and socio-technical systems: from cells to societies” is now published!
Featuring great complexity scientists, working from cells to societies
Web: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/toc/rsta/2022/380/2227
1/
Show this thread
3:12 PM · May 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fyi @drmichaellevin
Quote Tweet
Manlio De Domenico @manlius84 · May 23
It is a great pleasure to announce that our special issue on “Emergent phenomena in complex physical and socio-technical systems: from cells to societies” is now published!
Featuring great complexity scientists, working from cells to societies
Web: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/toc/rsta/2022/380/2227
1/
Show this thread
3:12 PM · May 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528424628078710789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kamilkazani
Small nations (in EEurope - possibly jointly, Taiwan, SKorea) should look to +ve examples (Israel, NKorea) and -ve examples (Iraq, Libya) and develop nuclear deterrent weapons. Enough of this BS where big nations terrorize small ones at will. If NKorea can do it, everyone can.
6:16 PM · May 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kamilkazani
Small nations (in EEurope - possibly jointly, Taiwan, SKorea) should look to +ve examples (Israel, NKorea) and -ve examples (Iraq, Libya) and develop nuclear deterrent weapons. Enough of this BS where big nations terrorize small ones at will. If NKorea can do it, everyone can.
6:16 PM · May 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528435057832120322
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jmandell and @kamilkazani
Crazy is cretins in Beijing (Moscow, Washington...) thinking: "despite controlling almost entire continents, we need an obscure patch of land, where some people happily live together. So we're just going to kill those people unless they let us ruin their lives". Enough of that BS
6:58 PM · May 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jmandell and @kamilkazani
Crazy is cretins in Beijing (Moscow, Washington...) thinking: "despite controlling almost entire continents, we need an obscure patch of land, where some people happily live together. So we're just going to kill those people unless they let us ruin their lives". Enough of that BS
6:58 PM · May 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528403213229166594
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@mrianleslie #minusk Yeah - "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0954-898X/10/4/303 by DeWeese & Meister (1999) in addition to the central concern (as per the title), gives a great example (paraphrased) - 1/4
Quote Tweet
Ian Leslie @mrianleslie · May 22
Starting the hashtag #minusk twitter.com/ljupc0/status/…
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@mrianleslie #minusk Yeah - "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0954-898X/10/4/303 by DeWeese & Meister (1999) in addition to the central concern (as per the title), gives a great example (paraphrased) - 1/4
Quote Tweet
Ian Leslie @mrianleslie · May 22
Starting the hashtag #minusk twitter.com/ljupc0/status/…
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528403217167663106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probability of me having cancer is - for the sake of argument let's say - 10% now, Prob(Icancer)=0.1. I can reasonably say I know I don't have cancer (the chance is 9:1). Now I take a test. The test comes back +ve. ... 2/4
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probability of me having cancer is - for the sake of argument let's say - 10% now, Prob(Icancer)=0.1. I can reasonably say I know I don't have cancer (the chance is 9:1). Now I take a test. The test comes back +ve. ... 2/4
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528403221353533443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Say half of the +ve tested actually do have cancer. So after my +ve test, now Prob(Icancer|+ve test)=0.5 is my probability of having cancer (my chance is 1:1). My uncertainty if I have C or not just went up massively (from 1:9 to 1:1) =>my knowledge about my health went down. 3/4
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Say half of the +ve tested actually do have cancer. So after my +ve test, now Prob(Icancer|+ve test)=0.5 is my probability of having cancer (my chance is 1:1). My uncertainty if I have C or not just went up massively (from 1:9 to 1:1) =>my knowledge about my health went down. 3/4
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528403225543684099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This hinges on defining "knowledge" as the negative entropy of the probability distribution. If the distribution is flat => we know little as everything is eqly likely to happen. If the the distribution has a single spike => we know a lot, the spiky thing is likely to happen. 4/4
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This hinges on defining "knowledge" as the negative entropy of the probability distribution. If the distribution is flat => we know little as everything is eqly likely to happen. If the the distribution has a single spike => we know a lot, the spiky thing is likely to happen. 4/4
4:51 PM · May 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1528332332737908737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent and joyful read on #stupidity by @mrianleslie at https://ianleslie.substack.com/p/seven-varieties-of-stupidity. The "minus knowledge" -K reminded me how extra information does not guarantee increased knowledge. If knowledge is proxied by entropy, then extra information can decrease knowledge as well.
Image
12:09 PM · May 22, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent and joyful read on #stupidity by @mrianleslie at https://ianleslie.substack.com/p/seven-varieties-of-stupidity. The "minus knowledge" -K reminded me how extra information does not guarantee increased knowledge. If knowledge is proxied by entropy, then extra information can decrease knowledge as well.
Image
12:09 PM · May 22, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524338294720548864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Repression unfortunately works ("... no person, no problem" - Stalin?). Propaganda unfortunately works too ("... repeated lie, big lie" - Goebbels?).
Quote Tweet
Paul Graham @paulg · May 11
When governments build infrastructure for oppressing some marginalized group, the next step is to use it on ordinary citizens.
https://nytimes.com/2022/05/06/business/shanghai-xinjiang-china-covid-zero.html
11:39 AM · May 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Repression unfortunately works ("... no person, no problem" - Stalin?). Propaganda unfortunately works too ("... repeated lie, big lie" - Goebbels?).
Quote Tweet
Paul Graham @paulg · May 11
When governments build infrastructure for oppressing some marginalized group, the next step is to use it on ordinary citizens.
https://nytimes.com/2022/05/06/business/shanghai-xinjiang-china-covid-zero.html
11:39 AM · May 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524294904482041858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arthurgordonpy3
Da - vazno e da se cuva. Procesi na koi sum bil svedok, sovremeno se pretstaveni kako nastani. Gledajki nazad - licat mnogu ednostavni. Vo vremeto, gledajki napred - licele mnogu komplicirani! Tekst od prv den na archive, uboden "na random" :-) - MK i NATO https://web.archive.org/web/19990224130952/http://www.dnevnik.com.mk/index_pet.htm 8:46 AM · May 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arthurgordonpy3
Da - vazno e da se cuva. Procesi na koi sum bil svedok, sovremeno se pretstaveni kako nastani. Gledajki nazad - licat mnogu ednostavni. Vo vremeto, gledajki napred - licele mnogu komplicirani! Tekst od prv den na archive, uboden "na random" :-) - MK i NATO https://web.archive.org/web/19990224130952/http://www.dnevnik.com.mk/index_pet.htm 8:46 AM · May 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1522542876080721920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope this happens - "Elon is Right: Twitter Should Open Up the Algorithm" by @nbashaw
Elon is Right: Twitter Should Open Up the Algorithm
https://every.to/divinations/elon-is-right-twitter-should-open-up-the-algorithm
Commoditizing tweets’ complement (the algorithm) will increase usage and rebuild trust
12:44 PM · May 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hope this happens - "Elon is Right: Twitter Should Open Up the Algorithm" by @nbashaw
Elon is Right: Twitter Should Open Up the Algorithm
https://every.to/divinations/elon-is-right-twitter-should-open-up-the-algorithm
Commoditizing tweets’ complement (the algorithm) will increase usage and rebuild trust
12:44 PM · May 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524688220814028801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks for "algorithm literacy" or "algorithmal literacy" ("... algoritamska pismenost") at 45'35" by @GalebNikacevic at https://youtube.com/watch?v=GyLdETT_6eU&t=2735s . Excellent term - will use it going forward. 😀
youtube.com
K1 Sta sam tebi & ko sam sebi | Galeb Nikacevic
Dobrodošli na zvanični YouTube kanal K1 TV-a!↓ ↓ ↓ Posetite naš sajt i naloge na društvenim mrežama:K1TV WEB: https://bit.ly/K1TVsajtK1TV Program: https://bi...
10:49 AM · May 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Top marks for "algorithm literacy" or "algorithmal literacy" ("... algoritamska pismenost") at 45'35" by @GalebNikacevic at https://youtube.com/watch?v=GyLdETT_6eU&t=2735s . Excellent term - will use it going forward. 😀
youtube.com
K1 Sta sam tebi & ko sam sebi | Galeb Nikacevic
Dobrodošli na zvanični YouTube kanal K1 TV-a!↓ ↓ ↓ Posetite naš sajt i naloge na društvenim mrežama:K1TV WEB: https://bit.ly/K1TVsajtK1TV Program: https://bi...
10:49 AM · May 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1522015173254467585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ibogovitelicno
Не за "не е поврзана", да за "не дека не е важна" - слободата личи да е "потребен но не и доволен услов" (за квалитетни медиуми и индиректно и јавна дискусија).
1:47 AM · May 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ibogovitelicno
Не за "не е поврзана", да за "не дека не е важна" - слободата личи да е "потребен но не и доволен услов" (за квалитетни медиуми и индиректно и јавна дискусија).
1:47 AM · May 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1516367294968041475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ajvar: The vegan 'caviar' of the Balkans https://bbc.com/travel/article/20220417-ajvar-the-vegan-caviar-of-the-balkans?ocid=ww.social.link.twitter via @bbc_travel bbc.com
Similar to how hummus is viewed in the Arab world, practically every Balkan country claims ajvar – a popular vegetable spread based on roasted red peppers – as its own.
11:45 AM · Apr 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ajvar: The vegan 'caviar' of the Balkans https://bbc.com/travel/article/20220417-ajvar-the-vegan-caviar-of-the-balkans?ocid=ww.social.link.twitter via @bbc_travel bbc.com
Similar to how hummus is viewed in the Arab world, practically every Balkan country claims ajvar – a popular vegetable spread based on roasted red peppers – as its own.
11:45 AM · Apr 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1518499290905260035
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Could artificial wombs mean the end of childbirth? https://bbc.co.uk/ideas/videos/could-artificial-wombs-mean-the-end-of-childbirth/p0bmqfk9?playlist=medical-matters via @bbcideas bbc.co.uk BBC Ideas
Watch the "Could artificial wombs mean the end of childbirth?" video at BBC Ideas. Explore other related content via our curated "Medical matters" playlist.
8:56 AM · Apr 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Could artificial wombs mean the end of childbirth? https://bbc.co.uk/ideas/videos/could-artificial-wombs-mean-the-end-of-childbirth/p0bmqfk9?playlist=medical-matters via @bbcideas bbc.co.uk BBC Ideas
Watch the "Could artificial wombs mean the end of childbirth?" video at BBC Ideas. Explore other related content via our curated "Medical matters" playlist.
8:56 AM · Apr 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524065003686477824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arthurgordonpy3
Vo YU Tito napravi de-rusifikacija preku de-stalinizacija, posle 1948-ma. Pa taka YU se spasi od sovetska cizma. Veruvam Sovetski Sojuz ne napravi invazija na YU zasto 1) skoro bese WW2 2) SAD imaa A-bomba, SS uste nemaa 3) YU e epten na periferija, kraj na svet gledano od Moskva
5:33 PM · May 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arthurgordonpy3
Vo YU Tito napravi de-rusifikacija preku de-stalinizacija, posle 1948-ma. Pa taka YU se spasi od sovetska cizma. Veruvam Sovetski Sojuz ne napravi invazija na YU zasto 1) skoro bese WW2 2) SAD imaa A-bomba, SS uste nemaa 3) YU e epten na periferija, kraj na svet gledano od Moskva
5:33 PM · May 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1523941793565401088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @atortevski and @YouTube
Varufakis mislese "nema sansi Rus da napravi invazija na Ukr". I kup dr. raboti ima misleno, sto idninata gi pokaza za netocni. Sega misli deka "nema sansi od golema vojna vo Evropa". Slusaj sto kazuva Putin & okolu nego koi se na vlast - relevantno e tie sto kazuvaat (i mislat).
9:23 AM · May 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @atortevski and @YouTube
Varufakis mislese "nema sansi Rus da napravi invazija na Ukr". I kup dr. raboti ima misleno, sto idninata gi pokaza za netocni. Sega misli deka "nema sansi od golema vojna vo Evropa". Slusaj sto kazuva Putin & okolu nego koi se na vlast - relevantno e tie sto kazuvaat (i mislat).
9:23 AM · May 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1519375002197536771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally completely amazing 🤯🤯 -
Michael Levin - "Plasticity w/out genetic change: bioelectric embryos & synthetic proto-organisms" https://youtu.be/5ChRM4CEWyg via @YouTube youtube.com
Recorded 17 February 2022. Michael Levin of Tufts University presents "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos ...
6:56 PM · Apr 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally completely amazing 🤯🤯 -
Michael Levin - "Plasticity w/out genetic change: bioelectric embryos & synthetic proto-organisms" https://youtu.be/5ChRM4CEWyg via @YouTube youtube.com
Recorded 17 February 2022. Michael Levin of Tufts University presents "Structural and functional plasticity without genetic change: from bioelectric embryos ...
6:56 PM · Apr 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1523717138376445952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @scottsantens
Works both ways, for good & bad. Consensus building from multitude of opinions is slower (bad), but also leaves us with a position to fallback to (good), should the future prove our consensus decision wrong. No such option with dictators. Recent China C19
https://themarket.ch/interview/chinas-leadership-is-prisoner-of-its-own-narrative-ld.6545
«China's Leadership Is Prisoner of Its Own Narrative» | The Market
Joerg Wuttke, President of the EU Chamber of Commerce in China, is concerned about the state of the world’s second largest economy. The Zero Covid policy has led the country into a dead end.
6:30 PM · May 9, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @scottsantens
Works both ways, for good & bad. Consensus building from multitude of opinions is slower (bad), but also leaves us with a position to fallback to (good), should the future prove our consensus decision wrong. No such option with dictators. Recent China C19
https://themarket.ch/interview/chinas-leadership-is-prisoner-of-its-own-narrative-ld.6545
«China's Leadership Is Prisoner of Its Own Narrative» | The Market
Joerg Wuttke, President of the EU Chamber of Commerce in China, is concerned about the state of the world’s second largest economy. The Zero Covid policy has led the country into a dead end.
6:30 PM · May 9, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1522584985546465280
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah 😁 - I see you got the ones referenced, and much more. Thanks 🙏
Quote Tweet
Karl Pfleger, PhD @KarlPfleger · May 6
Replying to @ljupc0
For more detail on dosing, basically for an overview of the academic literature on vitamin D dose to serum response, see this thread:
https://twitter.com/KarlPfleger/status/1365075509760024576
The 11th Tweet in thread has a summary.
3:32 PM · May 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah 😁 - I see you got the ones referenced, and much more. Thanks 🙏
Quote Tweet
Karl Pfleger, PhD @KarlPfleger · May 6
Replying to @ljupc0
For more detail on dosing, basically for an overview of the academic literature on vitamin D dose to serum response, see this thread:
https://twitter.com/KarlPfleger/status/1365075509760024576
The 11th Tweet in thread has a summary.
3:32 PM · May 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1525842068786106368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative hypothesis @Dominic2306 : it's the Daily Mail (DM), rather than "take back control", that did it - as @jburnmurdoch graphs . Would love to hear further hypothesis why change in DM post 2016.
Image
Quote Tweet
Dominic Cummings @Dominic2306 · May 15
2016 FT/Economist/Guardian etc: Leave = turbocharging Farage + anti-immigrant opinion
Vote Leave: No, take back control = end of Farage, immigration stops being top tier issue, extremism declines UK but still big EU problem.
Facts now clear who was right #VoteLeave twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/s…
3:14 PM · May 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Alternative hypothesis @Dominic2306 : it's the Daily Mail (DM), rather than "take back control", that did it - as @jburnmurdoch graphs . Would love to hear further hypothesis why change in DM post 2016.
Image
Quote Tweet
Dominic Cummings @Dominic2306 · May 15
2016 FT/Economist/Guardian etc: Leave = turbocharging Farage + anti-immigrant opinion
Vote Leave: No, take back control = end of Farage, immigration stops being top tier issue, extremism declines UK but still big EU problem.
Facts now clear who was right #VoteLeave twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/s…
3:14 PM · May 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1525402898028437505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
>“So at what point do you accept that the policy has failed?”
The answer for most politicians is never. It’s more politically expedient to bury your head in the sand and reel off easy soundbites about the harm of drugs than it is to acknowledge the evidence and risk DM headlines.
Quote Tweet
George Eaton @georgeeaton · May 14
"So conditioned have we become, thanks to the scaremongering rhetoric of the war on drugs, that for a politician to be in a room where a perfectly legal substance is grown is a radical act."
Great piece by @RMCunliffe on the absurdity of UK drug laws. https://newstatesman.com/politics/health/2022/05/sadiq-khan-gets-real-on-drug-reform-on-california-cannabis-farm-tour
10:09 AM · May 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
>“So at what point do you accept that the policy has failed?”
The answer for most politicians is never. It’s more politically expedient to bury your head in the sand and reel off easy soundbites about the harm of drugs than it is to acknowledge the evidence and risk DM headlines.
Quote Tweet
George Eaton @georgeeaton · May 14
"So conditioned have we become, thanks to the scaremongering rhetoric of the war on drugs, that for a politician to be in a room where a perfectly legal substance is grown is a radical act."
Great piece by @RMCunliffe on the absurdity of UK drug laws. https://newstatesman.com/politics/health/2022/05/sadiq-khan-gets-real-on-drug-reform-on-california-cannabis-farm-tour
10:09 AM · May 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524698551879704581
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
... but allowing RUS to gobble up EEurope may end up with nuclear miscalculation. Last time 1939-41 that happened (sans nuclear). And prior "let strong eat weak states" period was 1914-18. One could argue: keeping UKR strong and resisting RUS is reducing nuclear risk.
11:30 AM · May 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
... but allowing RUS to gobble up EEurope may end up with nuclear miscalculation. Last time 1939-41 that happened (sans nuclear). And prior "let strong eat weak states" period was 1914-18. One could argue: keeping UKR strong and resisting RUS is reducing nuclear risk.
11:30 AM · May 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524664958872702976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Samfr and @prospect_uk
Future empirical test of "... temp blip caused by the lack of right-wing press focus on the issue": once non-Tory or at least non-RW-press-friendly gov (cf. Telegraph - BJ's real boss) is in power, the issue will come back - Yes/No.
9:17 AM · May 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Samfr and @prospect_uk
Future empirical test of "... temp blip caused by the lack of right-wing press focus on the issue": once non-Tory or at least non-RW-press-friendly gov (cf. Telegraph - BJ's real boss) is in power, the issue will come back - Yes/No.
9:17 AM · May 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524755941757001728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @climagic
ps2(){ ps -aeo pid,ppid,pgid,sid,c,sz,rss,vsz,psr,tname,%cpu,cputime,user,cmd "$@";}
psgc(){ ps2 |awk -v TEXT="$@" 'NR==1{print} match($0,TEXT) && $1!=PROCINFO["pid"]{printf("%s\033[1;31m%s\033[0m%s\n",substr($0,1,RSTART-1),substr($0,RSTART,RLENGTH),substr($0,RSTART+RLENGTH))}';}
3:18 PM · May 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @climagic
ps2(){ ps -aeo pid,ppid,pgid,sid,c,sz,rss,vsz,psr,tname,%cpu,cputime,user,cmd "$@";}
psgc(){ ps2 |awk -v TEXT="$@" 'NR==1{print} match($0,TEXT) && $1!=PROCINFO["pid"]{printf("%s\033[1;31m%s\033[0m%s\n",substr($0,1,RSTART-1),substr($0,RSTART,RLENGTH),substr($0,RSTART+RLENGTH))}';}
3:18 PM · May 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1523964461807251456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Excellent text indeed. Agreed nuclear armageddon is ~100% certain given enough time. But I see no counter-argument to "in absence of nuclear deterrent, stronger states smash weaker states to pieces" argument in the text. Consequently - the proliferation will continue.
10:53 AM · May 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Excellent text indeed. Agreed nuclear armageddon is ~100% certain given enough time. But I see no counter-argument to "in absence of nuclear deterrent, stronger states smash weaker states to pieces" argument in the text. Consequently - the proliferation will continue.
10:53 AM · May 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1515425438495092745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @wbmosler
Parts B/S, ancient history, things irrelevant. Do yourself a favour, stick to the undisputed facts: UKR attacked 1st in 2014, parts occupied, parts annexed by RUS, then invaded in 2022. Read what Putin, Medvedev etc are saying themselves about Russia from Vladivostok to Lisbon.
9:22 PM · Apr 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @wbmosler
Parts B/S, ancient history, things irrelevant. Do yourself a favour, stick to the undisputed facts: UKR attacked 1st in 2014, parts occupied, parts annexed by RUS, then invaded in 2022. Read what Putin, Medvedev etc are saying themselves about Russia from Vladivostok to Lisbon.
9:22 PM · Apr 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1525809733566971906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh @jburnmurdoch and @Samfr - sounds like this future proved (so far) right that most hated of personalities @Dominic2306 - @ 26'36" "... once there's democratic control over immigration policy, immigration will go back to being 2nd or 3rd order issue" https://youtube.com/watch?v=CDbRxH9Kiy4&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlWKidCL-nK49t2GrBjT5l6f&index=58&t=1596s
Quote Tweet
John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch · May 15
So to summarise:
• Brits’ concerns with immigration have plummeted despite immigration continuing to rise
• This coincides with a steady and ongoing positive trend in views towards immigrants
• But renewed tabloid focus on immigration could change things
Show this thread
1:06 PM · May 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh @jburnmurdoch and @Samfr - sounds like this future proved (so far) right that most hated of personalities @Dominic2306 - @ 26'36" "... once there's democratic control over immigration policy, immigration will go back to being 2nd or 3rd order issue" https://youtube.com/watch?v=CDbRxH9Kiy4&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlWKidCL-nK49t2GrBjT5l6f&index=58&t=1596s
Quote Tweet
John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch · May 15
So to summarise:
• Brits’ concerns with immigration have plummeted despite immigration continuing to rise
• This coincides with a steady and ongoing positive trend in views towards immigrants
• But renewed tabloid focus on immigration could change things
Show this thread
1:06 PM · May 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524690707348393984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
If only UKR was irrelevant to the West (would've been left to the bears ages ago). It's very relevant, b/c both stated/articulated aims and RUS logic dictates that Romania (Transnistria; soon), the Balts (next) and Poland (ultimately) follow. And at Poland it will get nuclear.
10:59 AM · May 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
If only UKR was irrelevant to the West (would've been left to the bears ages ago). It's very relevant, b/c both stated/articulated aims and RUS logic dictates that Romania (Transnistria; soon), the Balts (next) and Poland (ultimately) follow. And at Poland it will get nuclear.
10:59 AM · May 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1526399298858110977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @perrymetzger
Eh - entirely as described in this @slatestarcodex masterpiece - "Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?"
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab?s=r
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
4:08 AM · May 17, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @perrymetzger
Eh - entirely as described in this @slatestarcodex masterpiece - "Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?"
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab?s=r
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
4:08 AM · May 17, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1525854746682216448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
HOWTO jumpstart any social media competitor by @realGeorgeHotz - "The creators on Twitter are the liquidity providers, the lurkers are the users. It’s hard to create a new platform because you need both to move at once. Here’s a simple way to solve that."
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2022/04/16/vampire-attack-twitter.html
Vampire Attack Twitter
Here’s a simple way to take over Twitter for way less than $43 billion dollars.
4:04 PM · May 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
HOWTO jumpstart any social media competitor by @realGeorgeHotz - "The creators on Twitter are the liquidity providers, the lurkers are the users. It’s hard to create a new platform because you need both to move at once. Here’s a simple way to solve that."
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2022/04/16/vampire-attack-twitter.html
Vampire Attack Twitter
Here’s a simple way to take over Twitter for way less than $43 billion dollars.
4:04 PM · May 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1518151567760924672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @J_D_89
Similar mistaken thinking leads to "dang - I got in the slowest queue". No - you are comparing your chosen queue with the fastest queue and finding it slow-er (not slow-est). By simple probability if I chose one out of several queues to join, it is likely not to be the fastest.
9:55 AM · Apr 24, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @J_D_89
Similar mistaken thinking leads to "dang - I got in the slowest queue". No - you are comparing your chosen queue with the fastest queue and finding it slow-er (not slow-est). By simple probability if I chose one out of several queues to join, it is likely not to be the fastest.
9:55 AM · Apr 24, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1521973245599232005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jasoncrawford
Hm - "1 funeral at a time" problem is wider: applies to all ideas, not only to science. Hard to turn pple more open minded. Aim for damage limitation: constrain the professional influence by having - possibly gradual - "expiry date" on all qualifications and positions of power.
11:01 PM · May 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jasoncrawford
Hm - "1 funeral at a time" problem is wider: applies to all ideas, not only to science. Hard to turn pple more open minded. Aim for damage limitation: constrain the professional influence by having - possibly gradual - "expiry date" on all qualifications and positions of power.
11:01 PM · May 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1524024918693888007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AmericnDreaming
MSM - the realities of the commercial, proprietor, audience pressure is such, that searching for the truth is always a minority interest. I trust most of the time people I follow - MSM or not. No one is perfect, we will all fail at some point, in that search for the truth.
2:53 PM · May 10, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AmericnDreaming
MSM - the realities of the commercial, proprietor, audience pressure is such, that searching for the truth is always a minority interest. I trust most of the time people I follow - MSM or not. No one is perfect, we will all fail at some point, in that search for the truth.
2:53 PM · May 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504906196595220483
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TobinHenderson and @NathanJRobinson
There is no rime nor reason in anything written or quoted, it is of "not even wrong" quality. Maybe give it time and read some? E.g. - https://lawliberty.org/world-war-iis-unfinished-business/, https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/13/putin-russia-war-ukraine-rhetoric-history/, https://dissentmagazine.org/online_articles/a-letter-to-the-western-left-from-kyiv, https://freedomnews.org.uk/2022/03/04/fuck-leftist-westplaining/, https://newrepublic.com/article/165603/carlson-russia-ukraine-imperialism-nato. All the best,
newrepublic.com
The American Pundits Who Can’t Resist “Westsplaining” Ukraine
John Mearsheimer and other foreign policy figures are treating Russia’s invasion of Ukraine like a game of Risk.
7:42 PM · Mar 18, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TobinHenderson and @NathanJRobinson
There is no rime nor reason in anything written or quoted, it is of "not even wrong" quality. Maybe give it time and read some? E.g. - https://lawliberty.org/world-war-iis-unfinished-business/, https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/13/putin-russia-war-ukraine-rhetoric-history/, https://dissentmagazine.org/online_articles/a-letter-to-the-western-left-from-kyiv, https://freedomnews.org.uk/2022/03/04/fuck-leftist-westplaining/, https://newrepublic.com/article/165603/carlson-russia-ukraine-imperialism-nato. All the best,
newrepublic.com
The American Pundits Who Can’t Resist “Westsplaining” Ukraine
John Mearsheimer and other foreign policy figures are treating Russia’s invasion of Ukraine like a game of Risk.
7:42 PM · Mar 18, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1503803871797420033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaltHickey
Permanent standard time FTW! Not sure how the idea of abolishing DST got twisted into permanent DST - which is (objectively) doubly worse! 😉 Standard time please. For Londoners - permanent GMT (aka UTC, offset 0) as is right. 😊
6:42 PM · Mar 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @WaltHickey
Permanent standard time FTW! Not sure how the idea of abolishing DST got twisted into permanent DST - which is (objectively) doubly worse! 😉 Standard time please. For Londoners - permanent GMT (aka UTC, offset 0) as is right. 😊
6:42 PM · Mar 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504371265821450246
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrankoMilan
The correct course of action for Russia after 1990 would have been to do what Germany did after 1945 and show contrition and remorse. The second they gathered strength, they do the opposite. FYI in serbian
youtube.com
Milan St Protic - “Tri antiruske pogubnosti” Dostojevski
#utisaknedelje #milanstprotic #dostojevski #russia
8:17 AM · Mar 17, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrankoMilan
The correct course of action for Russia after 1990 would have been to do what Germany did after 1945 and show contrition and remorse. The second they gathered strength, they do the opposite. FYI in serbian
youtube.com
Milan St Protic - “Tri antiruske pogubnosti” Dostojevski
#utisaknedelje #milanstprotic #dostojevski #russia
8:17 AM · Mar 17, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1503323047583010816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @davies_will
Alas - the corruption is most of the time shockingly good RoI for the corrupter, almost trivial gain for the corrupted, and huge loss for the public. We learn this from cases like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimiro_Montesinos , where good records of the corruption were kept.
en.wikipedia.org
Vladimiro Montesinos - Wikipedia
10:51 AM · Mar 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @davies_will
Alas - the corruption is most of the time shockingly good RoI for the corrupter, almost trivial gain for the corrupted, and huge loss for the public. We learn this from cases like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimiro_Montesinos , where good records of the corruption were kept.
en.wikipedia.org
Vladimiro Montesinos - Wikipedia
10:51 AM · Mar 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504402878722625543
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Frances_Coppola and @Quittershitt
"Ooh look, disaster struck - we must do something. Here - THIS is something. Ergo - THIS must be done". CB-ankers got given too powerful toys for their inept hands. They'd be taken away, but for the fear that politicians wielding them would be worse. (cf. https://bit.ly/3N02ZoM)
project-syndicate.org
Who’s Afraid of MMT? | by James K. Galbraith - Project Syndicate
James K. Galbraith explains why this body of Keynesian monetary thought is making central bankers see red.
10:22 AM · Mar 17, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Frances_Coppola and @Quittershitt
"Ooh look, disaster struck - we must do something. Here - THIS is something. Ergo - THIS must be done". CB-ankers got given too powerful toys for their inept hands. They'd be taken away, but for the fear that politicians wielding them would be worse. (cf. https://bit.ly/3N02ZoM)
project-syndicate.org
Who’s Afraid of MMT? | by James K. Galbraith - Project Syndicate
James K. Galbraith explains why this body of Keynesian monetary thought is making central bankers see red.
10:22 AM · Mar 17, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504126628078759936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mikenorman
Countries bordering Russia have as much right to be safe and secure, as does Russia. 120M people live in these countries, and they are all terrified of the new Russian empire. Either under NATO nuclear umbrella or developing a nuclear deterrent themselves - is the way for them.
4:05 PM · Mar 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mikenorman
Countries bordering Russia have as much right to be safe and secure, as does Russia. 120M people live in these countries, and they are all terrified of the new Russian empire. Either under NATO nuclear umbrella or developing a nuclear deterrent themselves - is the way for them.
4:05 PM · Mar 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504152948292661256
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
Huh?? Afaik tutoring as means of improving education is well known as "Bloom's 2 sigma problem": "the average student tutored 1-to-1 using mastery learning techniques performed 2 SD better than students who learn via conventional instructional methods".
en.wikipedia.org
Bloom's 2 sigma problem - Wikipedia
5:49 PM · Mar 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
Huh?? Afaik tutoring as means of improving education is well known as "Bloom's 2 sigma problem": "the average student tutored 1-to-1 using mastery learning techniques performed 2 SD better than students who learn via conventional instructional methods".
en.wikipedia.org
Bloom's 2 sigma problem - Wikipedia
5:49 PM · Mar 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504072670673002502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Samfr
Short term stop gap measure to get them out of the current pickle - maybe OK. Long term - they are in a similar position to Israel. Only nuclear deterent (atomic bombs + delivery missiles) can possibly save them from being eaten alive by the wolf next door.
12:30 PM · Mar 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Samfr
Short term stop gap measure to get them out of the current pickle - maybe OK. Long term - they are in a similar position to Israel. Only nuclear deterent (atomic bombs + delivery missiles) can possibly save them from being eaten alive by the wolf next door.
12:30 PM · Mar 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504166627851612167
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
Someone from Oxbridge UK better pitch in on this - but: from a Cambridge under-grad colleague, I got the impression that his CAM education was 100% 1:2 tutoring (1 tutor tutoring 2 students). If true - that implies tutoring is alive and well in higher ed & highly regarded too?
6:44 PM · Mar 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
Someone from Oxbridge UK better pitch in on this - but: from a Cambridge under-grad colleague, I got the impression that his CAM education was 100% 1:2 tutoring (1 tutor tutoring 2 students). If true - that implies tutoring is alive and well in higher ed & highly regarded too?
6:44 PM · Mar 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504360487840104448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrankoMilan
The entire "who is who" of the US diplomatic establishment have been wrong before, and multiple times. 120M People of mostly slavic nations around Russia are terrified of Russia, and rightly so. All that sought any and all protection possible from the wolf next door did right.
7:34 AM · Mar 17, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrankoMilan
The entire "who is who" of the US diplomatic establishment have been wrong before, and multiple times. 120M People of mostly slavic nations around Russia are terrified of Russia, and rightly so. All that sought any and all protection possible from the wolf next door did right.
7:34 AM · Mar 17, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504173959532711942
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
IMHO 1:1 is not strictly really needed, 1:2 suffices and works almost as good. So 2x the edu budget for 1:2 tutoring for all - sounds like and excellent deal to me, a bargain! If I was BoJo or dictator for a day - I'd GFI
7:13 PM · Mar 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikphoel
IMHO 1:1 is not strictly really needed, 1:2 suffices and works almost as good. So 2x the edu budget for 1:2 tutoring for all - sounds like and excellent deal to me, a bargain! If I was BoJo or dictator for a day - I'd GFI
7:13 PM · Mar 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1504116899663204355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @All_Illusions
Komentari - "Svoite zlostori da gi pravdas so tugite, e kako da se mies so kal", "Se sporeduva - toa sto e so toa sto e, ili - toa sto bilo so toa sto bilo. Ne se sporeduva - toa sto e so toa sto bilo", "Tugi zlostori ne gi opravduvaam moite, tuku kako takvi gi razotkrivaat".
3:26 PM · Mar 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @All_Illusions
Komentari - "Svoite zlostori da gi pravdas so tugite, e kako da se mies so kal", "Se sporeduva - toa sto e so toa sto e, ili - toa sto bilo so toa sto bilo. Ne se sporeduva - toa sto e so toa sto bilo", "Tugi zlostori ne gi opravduvaam moite, tuku kako takvi gi razotkrivaat".
3:26 PM · Mar 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495475315388424193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Za RCT ili studija intervencija - ne bi bilo zanemarlivo. No observaciona studija, mal broj subjekti, razliki po drugite oski koi gi kompenzirame so regresija/statistika - 50% moze da e nedovolno. Slicni problemi ima so vitamini suplementi, dieti, na pr
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 16
Replying to @BradStanfieldMD
15% Improvement post confounding factors adjustment is too low. I fear chances are your hunch that this will not pan out on RCT or intervention trial test is correct.
7:07 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Za RCT ili studija intervencija - ne bi bilo zanemarlivo. No observaciona studija, mal broj subjekti, razliki po drugite oski koi gi kompenzirame so regresija/statistika - 50% moze da e nedovolno. Slicni problemi ima so vitamini suplementi, dieti, na pr
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 16
Replying to @BradStanfieldMD
15% Improvement post confounding factors adjustment is too low. I fear chances are your hunch that this will not pan out on RCT or intervention trial test is correct.
7:07 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495468087033925634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ne. Efektot od vakcinite go gledame jasno, e x7-x10 pati namalen rizik, vo populacii od milioni, skoro milijardi. :-) Za ekran+govor goleminata na efektot e mnogu mala, skoro go nema. RCT ili intervencija so identicna populacija po site drugi oski - i toj mal efekt ke go snema.
6:39 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ne. Efektot od vakcinite go gledame jasno, e x7-x10 pati namalen rizik, vo populacii od milioni, skoro milijardi. :-) Za ekran+govor goleminata na efektot e mnogu mala, skoro go nema. RCT ili intervencija so identicna populacija po site drugi oski - i toj mal efekt ke go snema.
6:39 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495458299646562311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Tocno, i ti licno imas pravo na toa, licen izbor e ok. Problemot sto go imam e toa da stane javna politika - kako public health. Za toa nema dovolno dokazi. Preporakata za dieti i zdravo jadenje ("ne masno!"), poslednite 30 god, treba da bide cautionary tale. "Do no harm" e prvo.
6:00 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Tocno, i ti licno imas pravo na toa, licen izbor e ok. Problemot sto go imam e toa da stane javna politika - kako public health. Za toa nema dovolno dokazi. Preporakata za dieti i zdravo jadenje ("ne masno!"), poslednite 30 god, treba da bide cautionary tale. "Do no harm" e prvo.
6:00 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495441650562306048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
PET, MRI, EEG se ok, ama tipicno brojot na subjekti e premal + merenjata observirani se cesto samo tangencijalno povrzani so ishodot od interes. Tuka iskustvoto so genetskite studii e relevantno: bez 100K-200K subjekti, nema nesto sigurno. Bolen primer
slatestarcodex.com
5-HTTLPR: A Pointed Review
In 1996, some researchers discovered that depressed people often had an unusual version of the serotonin transporter gene 5-HTTLPR. The study became a psychiatric sensation, getting thousands of ci…
4:54 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
PET, MRI, EEG se ok, ama tipicno brojot na subjekti e premal + merenjata observirani se cesto samo tangencijalno povrzani so ishodot od interes. Tuka iskustvoto so genetskite studii e relevantno: bez 100K-200K subjekti, nema nesto sigurno. Bolen primer
slatestarcodex.com
5-HTTLPR: A Pointed Review
In 1996, some researchers discovered that depressed people often had an unusual version of the serotonin transporter gene 5-HTTLPR. The study became a psychiatric sensation, getting thousands of ci…
4:54 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495438844786839554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Statisticko znaenje e tip na znaenje. Podobro od kompletno neznaenje. Ama ne tolku dobro kako egzaktno znane. Ne mozeme da predvidime koj ishod kakov ke bide. No mozeme da izbroime - kolku ishodi od koj tip. Zatoa barierata tamu za da kazeme - "znaeme", mora da bide povisoka.
4:42 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Statisticko znaenje e tip na znaenje. Podobro od kompletno neznaenje. Ama ne tolku dobro kako egzaktno znane. Ne mozeme da predvidime koj ishod kakov ke bide. No mozeme da izbroime - kolku ishodi od koj tip. Zatoa barierata tamu za da kazeme - "znaeme", mora da bide povisoka.
4:42 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495437907833798664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ioannidis' "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False" e mnogu citiran trud (link pogore). Za RCT-s https://alltrials.net - bese borba so decenii, da *sekoj* rezultat mora da bide objaven (+prethodno RCT registriran) tocno od pricina - negativni rezultati ne se publikuva.
alltrials.net
All Trials Registered. All Results Reported
4:39 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ioannidis' "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False" e mnogu citiran trud (link pogore). Za RCT-s https://alltrials.net - bese borba so decenii, da *sekoj* rezultat mora da bide objaven (+prethodno RCT registriran) tocno od pricina - negativni rezultati ne se publikuva.
alltrials.net
All Trials Registered. All Results Reported
4:39 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495435616674361352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @spignal
"The Dawn of Everything: A New History of Humanity", "The Shortest History of Germany" (+"of England", same author), "The Evolution of Everything: How New Ideas Emerge", "How To Be A Liberal", "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century".
4:30 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @spignal
"The Dawn of Everything: A New History of Humanity", "The Shortest History of Germany" (+"of England", same author), "The Evolution of Everything: How New Ideas Emerge", "How To Be A Liberal", "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century".
4:30 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495417583163609088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Preporaka e pre-silno za naseto nivo na znaenje. Prior e- sekoj nov izum (kola, voz, radio, kino, TV, kompjuter, mobilen) nosi strav. Statistikite se inconclusive - ne gledame silen efekt so magnituda x7-x10 pati. Bio-hemiskiot mehanizam za postuliraniot efekt ni e nepoznat i sl
3:18 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Preporaka e pre-silno za naseto nivo na znaenje. Prior e- sekoj nov izum (kola, voz, radio, kino, TV, kompjuter, mobilen) nosi strav. Statistikite se inconclusive - ne gledame silen efekt so magnituda x7-x10 pati. Bio-hemiskiot mehanizam za postuliraniot efekt ni e nepoznat i sl
3:18 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495410691418775556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @StuartWilksHeeg
Not only imaginable, but routinely done by new stars like Joe Rogan. MSM have not internalized yet: with video on demand, it is OK to shoot a 3h chat. It can be edited down 30min-3min-30sec, but 3h is also available. Everyone watches the format they chose, whenever they do so.
2:51 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @StuartWilksHeeg
Not only imaginable, but routinely done by new stars like Joe Rogan. MSM have not internalized yet: with video on demand, it is OK to shoot a 3h chat. It can be edited down 30min-3min-30sec, but 3h is also available. Everyone watches the format they chose, whenever they do so.
2:51 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495394082906071040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @galevski
Haha :-) - podelba na rabotata mi e OK. Jas ne vleguvam vo kujna koga se gotvi - nemam zelba, znaenje, talent, etc. Koga ke zavrsime jadenje - jas raskrevam i cistam. I isto baram - drugite da ne mi vleguvaat vo kujna, da ne se sopkame na sekoj cekor.
1:45 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @galevski
Haha :-) - podelba na rabotata mi e OK. Jas ne vleguvam vo kujna koga se gotvi - nemam zelba, znaenje, talent, etc. Koga ke zavrsime jadenje - jas raskrevam i cistam. I isto baram - drugite da ne mi vleguvaat vo kujna, da ne se sopkame na sekoj cekor.
1:45 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495393091544666112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @galevski
:-) Site imame otpor kon ucenje, i so pravo. Posto ucenje e tesko, naporno. Del od egoto mi strada, posto 1-rv cekor e da priznaam "ne znam", toa e i bolno. Zatoa e vredno znaenje sto imame za domen X, ako e voopsto mozno, da go primenime vo domen Y. Nanovo da ucime e pre-tesko.
1:41 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @galevski
:-) Site imame otpor kon ucenje, i so pravo. Posto ucenje e tesko, naporno. Del od egoto mi strada, posto 1-rv cekor e da priznaam "ne znam", toa e i bolno. Zatoa e vredno znaenje sto imame za domen X, ako e voopsto mozno, da go primenime vo domen Y. Nanovo da ucime e pre-tesko.
1:41 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495391303626018818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @powerbottomdad1
:-) A small +ve persistent error, in judging how much energy the body will need in the future, over a long time, leads to 30 kg weight gain. Results speak the loudest: 30 years of anti-obesity campaigns, have been as successful as the war on drugs. (+similar sado-moralism)
1:34 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @powerbottomdad1
:-) A small +ve persistent error, in judging how much energy the body will need in the future, over a long time, leads to 30 kg weight gain. Results speak the loudest: 30 years of anti-obesity campaigns, have been as successful as the war on drugs. (+similar sado-moralism)
1:34 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495348721004990474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sado-moralism! Excellent, will use that @SteveTransform. Aside - the fight against obesity resembles some aspects of the "war on drugs" - the results, the sado-moralism, anti-evidence, anti-rational (anti-thinking?), that makes me think of "war on obesity".
Quote Tweet
Steve Rolles @SteveTransform · 15h
Opposition to harm reduction is often framed as opposition to 'enabling' - but I struggle to see this logic as anything other than wanting to use pain and death as a form of deterrence, and 'sending the right message'.
Its sado-moralism
10:44 AM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sado-moralism! Excellent, will use that @SteveTransform. Aside - the fight against obesity resembles some aspects of the "war on drugs" - the results, the sado-moralism, anti-evidence, anti-rational (anti-thinking?), that makes me think of "war on obesity".
Quote Tweet
Steve Rolles @SteveTransform · 15h
Opposition to harm reduction is often framed as opposition to 'enabling' - but I struggle to see this logic as anything other than wanting to use pain and death as a form of deterrence, and 'sending the right message'.
Its sado-moralism
10:44 AM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495372796406505472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With services that are a must, http://gov.uk needs a service provider of last resort. If private insurers overstate the risk (b/c no harm to them in over- as opposed to under-stating), then have a public insurance Co. Next train running companies etc H/T @JeremyClarkson
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#leaseholdscandal @OK1Lon · 1h
Replying to @GlennSeat and @JeremyClarkson
Our Insurance, £265k an increase of £94k from 2021. (plus £10k part of @ballymore fees to arrange insurance for the estate). We are fxxked. #leaseholdscandal #BuildingSafetyCrisis #LeaseholdersTogether
12:20 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With services that are a must, http://gov.uk needs a service provider of last resort. If private insurers overstate the risk (b/c no harm to them in over- as opposed to under-stating), then have a public insurance Co. Next train running companies etc H/T @JeremyClarkson
Quote Tweet
#leaseholdscandal @OK1Lon · 1h
Replying to @GlennSeat and @JeremyClarkson
Our Insurance, £265k an increase of £94k from 2021. (plus £10k part of @ballymore fees to arrange insurance for the estate). We are fxxked. #leaseholdscandal #BuildingSafetyCrisis #LeaseholdersTogether
12:20 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495368342324097029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Tie preporaki se tipicno evidence-free, ne izdrzuvaat dopir so kriticno razmisluvanje, dokazi i sl. Ima dolga tradicija. Licno - "ne citaj navecer ke go rasipes vidot", "ne gledaj TV od blisku ke go raspies vidot" i sl. Nema napredok a da nemalo razni scares, vidi @PessimistsArc
12:02 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Tie preporaki se tipicno evidence-free, ne izdrzuvaat dopir so kriticno razmisluvanje, dokazi i sl. Ima dolga tradicija. Licno - "ne citaj navecer ke go rasipes vidot", "ne gledaj TV od blisku ke go raspies vidot" i sl. Nema napredok a da nemalo razni scares, vidi @PessimistsArc
12:02 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495370328335392772
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
A studiite sto doagaat do sprotivni zaklucoci? Odgovorte se: da-, ne-, i ne-znam (ako se posteni). Ima sekakvi studii, mnozinsto so slab kvalitet (kazuvam kako profesionalen istrazuvac - researcher), pricini https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124. Studija e mala kocka vo dzidot na znaenje.
journals.plos.org
Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
Published research findings are sometimes refuted by subsequent evidence, says Ioannidis, with ensuing confusion and disappointment.
12:10 PM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
A studiite sto doagaat do sprotivni zaklucoci? Odgovorte se: da-, ne-, i ne-znam (ako se posteni). Ima sekakvi studii, mnozinsto so slab kvalitet (kazuvam kako profesionalen istrazuvac - researcher), pricini https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124. Studija e mala kocka vo dzidot na znaenje.
journals.plos.org
Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
Published research findings are sometimes refuted by subsequent evidence, says Ioannidis, with ensuing confusion and disappointment.
12:10 PM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495366956957978630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ha! :-) Od edna studija trevoga? I plus crvena? ;-) Ne. Nema potreba od trevoga. Ako uste 10-20 studii reproduciraat, od razlicni labaratorii, zemji, luge, etc - togas da. Poveke skepticizam, a posebno koga rezultatite na studijata se vo soglasnost so sopstvenite predrasudi.
11:57 AM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ha! :-) Od edna studija trevoga? I plus crvena? ;-) Ne. Nema potreba od trevoga. Ako uste 10-20 studii reproduciraat, od razlicni labaratorii, zemji, luge, etc - togas da. Poveke skepticizam, a posebno koga rezultatite na studijata se vo soglasnost so sopstvenite predrasudi.
11:57 AM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495318786613907457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
Не ги мијам, само ги плакнам набрзина да нема остатоци од храна. Дури ги вадам од умивалник и ставам во машина. Пошто пред да влезат во машина стојат во умивалник, се киснат, да омекнат, било какви остатоци.
Translate Tweet
8:45 AM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
Не ги мијам, само ги плакнам набрзина да нема остатоци од храна. Дури ги вадам од умивалник и ставам во машина. Пошто пред да влезат во машина стојат во умивалник, се киснат, да омекнат, било какви остатоци.
Translate Tweet
8:45 AM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495350352526385155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @galevski
Незнаење. Сите малку знаеме, важното е - кога ќе ни се укаже, да сфатиме и се корегираме. Ако сме културни и да кажеме "фала" на другиот што се потрошил да не поучи. Близок мој тврдеше дека садовите натопени во умивалник уште повеќе се засушувале?!? За среќа се корегира одма.
10:51 AM · Feb 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @galevski
Незнаење. Сите малку знаеме, важното е - кога ќе ни се укаже, да сфатиме и се корегираме. Ако сме културни и да кажеме "фала" на другиот што се потрошил да не поучи. Близок мој тврдеше дека садовите натопени во умивалник уште повеќе се засушувале?!? За среќа се корегира одма.
10:51 AM · Feb 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1495027100704780289
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @__phantomderp and @jwatte
An old thread - found while googling trying to relieve some pain working with C multi-dimensional arrays (dimensions- some known at comptime, others at runtime) - what's your estimation of chances of something like https://digitalmars.com/articles/C-biggest-mistake.html
making it in some future C standard?
1:26 PM · Feb 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @__phantomderp and @jwatte
An old thread - found while googling trying to relieve some pain working with C multi-dimensional arrays (dimensions- some known at comptime, others at runtime) - what's your estimation of chances of something like https://digitalmars.com/articles/C-biggest-mistake.html
making it in some future C standard?
1:26 PM · Feb 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494694666155008007
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed, very well put -
> exercise is for building strength, and losing weight happens by eating less
Wish it would be drilled into the heads of lots of people (incl GPs, NHS) that seem to refuse to think for 1min be4 dispensing advice to people that trust them! (HT @levelsio)
Quote Tweet
@levelsio @levelsio · Feb 18
You lose weight by eating less, not by exercising
So weird that's still such a common misconception
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30381314
3:25 PM · Feb 18, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed, very well put -
> exercise is for building strength, and losing weight happens by eating less
Wish it would be drilled into the heads of lots of people (incl GPs, NHS) that seem to refuse to think for 1min be4 dispensing advice to people that trust them! (HT @levelsio)
Quote Tweet
@levelsio @levelsio · Feb 18
You lose weight by eating less, not by exercising
So weird that's still such a common misconception
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30381314
3:25 PM · Feb 18, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494704549348581380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mrgunn and @The_Lagrangian
:-) I think that line of idea and reasoning is common enough to have a name (usually "a noble lie", "for the higher good"), and apparently a long tradition (wiki lists - since Plato at least). I personally think just sticking to the truth is better (even if at a short term loss).
4:05 PM · Feb 18, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mrgunn and @The_Lagrangian
:-) I think that line of idea and reasoning is common enough to have a name (usually "a noble lie", "for the higher good"), and apparently a long tradition (wiki lists - since Plato at least). I personally think just sticking to the truth is better (even if at a short term loss).
4:05 PM · Feb 18, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494204150627946503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @powerbottomdad1
CICO obv true but as help as "just say NO" to sex, drugs, alcohol. Persistent +ve bias in regulation e.g. 1/3 apple surplus ≈ 21 kcal ≈ 3 gr fat/day X 365 days ≈ 1 kg fat/year X 30 years ≈ 30 kg extra => obese by age of 60. Error of 21 kcal is 1% of daily average 2100 kcal.
6:56 AM · Feb 17, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @powerbottomdad1
CICO obv true but as help as "just say NO" to sex, drugs, alcohol. Persistent +ve bias in regulation e.g. 1/3 apple surplus ≈ 21 kcal ≈ 3 gr fat/day X 365 days ≈ 1 kg fat/year X 30 years ≈ 30 kg extra => obese by age of 60. Error of 21 kcal is 1% of daily average 2100 kcal.
6:56 AM · Feb 17, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494187690023170050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BalkanDevlen
A public place (everything public by default) like Twitter is excellent for seeing out people's thinking. Like Gell-Mann Amnesia, but in general, not news/papers exclusively.
5:51 AM · Feb 17, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BalkanDevlen
A public place (everything public by default) like Twitter is excellent for seeing out people's thinking. Like Gell-Mann Amnesia, but in general, not news/papers exclusively.
5:51 AM · Feb 17, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494097686873661440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dlfivefifty
1-based works. It leaves 0 as "invalid"-Null-NaN-Not_Index value. Every type needs one single out of band value to signal "invalid value". Floats have NAN, pointers have NULL. For Index it's 0. Wish IEEE standardised INT_MIN to be Nan-for-Integer-type.
11:53 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dlfivefifty
1-based works. It leaves 0 as "invalid"-Null-NaN-Not_Index value. Every type needs one single out of band value to signal "invalid value". Floats have NAN, pointers have NULL. For Index it's 0. Wish IEEE standardised INT_MIN to be Nan-for-Integer-type.
11:53 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494039781130608640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tomsmith585 @ozm and 2 others
No. And neither should anyone else. It will not save the planet. However, it will give Google even more power - over out physical lives too. Lately I find Google products bad, incompetent - just stupid. Gmail is the last hold out, looks like it will be the last to go.
8:03 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tomsmith585 @ozm and 2 others
No. And neither should anyone else. It will not save the planet. However, it will give Google even more power - over out physical lives too. Lately I find Google products bad, incompetent - just stupid. Gmail is the last hold out, looks like it will be the last to go.
8:03 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494037240254799880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @toniello__ and @galevski
Posleden pat pred ~15 god - po patot kaj edna krivina do nekoja reka, patot stana cakal, i si pomisliv: da zastaneme, go utnavme patot nekade, ne moze ova da e patot. Ama toj bil, ne sme utnale - takov bil.
7:53 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @toniello__ and @galevski
Posleden pat pred ~15 god - po patot kaj edna krivina do nekoja reka, patot stana cakal, i si pomisliv: da zastaneme, go utnavme patot nekade, ne moze ova da e patot. Ama toj bil, ne sme utnale - takov bil.
7:53 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494036575126183940
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
I edno i drugo (i treto - zeleznica). Prethodna diskusija-
> Партизаните после 45-та со лопати и копачи и голи раце можеа да прават патишта. Нашите генерации - ништо не можеме, се нешто кенкаме, а имаме багери, булдожери, секакви машини и марифети.
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 5
Replying to @TociZS
Чудно е што нема - авионска линија, железница, автопат. Партизаните после 45-та со лопати и копачи и голи раце можеа да прават патишта. Нашите генерации - ништо не можеме, се нешто кенкаме, а имаме багери, булдожери, секакви машини и марифети.
7:50 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
I edno i drugo (i treto - zeleznica). Prethodna diskusija-
> Партизаните после 45-та со лопати и копачи и голи раце можеа да прават патишта. Нашите генерации - ништо не можеме, се нешто кенкаме, а имаме багери, булдожери, секакви машини и марифети.
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 5
Replying to @TociZS
Чудно е што нема - авионска линија, железница, автопат. Партизаните после 45-та со лопати и копачи и голи раце можеа да прават патишта. Нашите генерации - ништо не можеме, се нешто кенкаме, а имаме багери, булдожери, секакви машини и марифети.
7:50 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494017401666605059
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @stianwestlake @Samfr and @RoyalStatSoc
Excellent work. If you ever get in a position of doing remedial work for M&M, may I dare suggest as most-bang-for-buck further education the odds form of the Bayes rule? This
6:34 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @stianwestlake @Samfr and @RoyalStatSoc
Excellent work. If you ever get in a position of doing remedial work for M&M, may I dare suggest as most-bang-for-buck further education the odds form of the Bayes rule? This
6:34 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1494014581143920644
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BradStanfieldMD
15% Improvement post confounding factors adjustment is too low. I fear chances are your hunch that this will not pan out on RCT or intervention trial test is correct.
6:23 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BradStanfieldMD
15% Improvement post confounding factors adjustment is too low. I fear chances are your hunch that this will not pan out on RCT or intervention trial test is correct.
6:23 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493976213110599685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True in other contexts too -
>when WH, Downing Street & all press’ security sources issue unprecedentedly specific warnings a Russian invasion is imminent, the media has a clear duty to report
But the press also has a duty to be sceptical, not merely to parrot governments' lines
Quote Tweet
The Spectator @spectator · Feb 16
'Why does Vladimir Putin need RT and Sputnik when the western media are doing such a great job on his behalf?'
✍ Owen Matthews
https://spectator.co.uk/article/putin-has-the-western-media-right-where-he-wants-it
3:51 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True in other contexts too -
>when WH, Downing Street & all press’ security sources issue unprecedentedly specific warnings a Russian invasion is imminent, the media has a clear duty to report
But the press also has a duty to be sceptical, not merely to parrot governments' lines
Quote Tweet
The Spectator @spectator · Feb 16
'Why does Vladimir Putin need RT and Sputnik when the western media are doing such a great job on his behalf?'
✍ Owen Matthews
https://spectator.co.uk/article/putin-has-the-western-media-right-where-he-wants-it
3:51 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493948925254025216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
Ne sum go cital, ama sum go slusal. Ne najdov nisto posebno interesno, posle nekoe vreme mi zdosadi, i ne go doslusav. Vcera go slusav @naval, i mi se vide epten interesen - ovde
youtube.com
Joe Rogan Experience #1309 - Naval Ravikant
Naval Ravikant is an entrepreneur and angel investor, a co-author of Venture Hacks, and a co-maintainer of AngelList.
2:02 PM · Feb 16, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @galevski
Ne sum go cital, ama sum go slusal. Ne najdov nisto posebno interesno, posle nekoe vreme mi zdosadi, i ne go doslusav. Vcera go slusav @naval, i mi se vide epten interesen - ovde
youtube.com
Joe Rogan Experience #1309 - Naval Ravikant
Naval Ravikant is an entrepreneur and angel investor, a co-author of Venture Hacks, and a co-maintainer of AngelList.
2:02 PM · Feb 16, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493605395134394370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @financequant
Not from the US and not into politics (so excuse my ignorance and possibly wrong take on this), but: noticed some irony in one side opening the floodgates (Citizens United?), the other side retaliating and now bettering the 1st in the game (after a slowish start?)
3:17 PM · Feb 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @financequant
Not from the US and not into politics (so excuse my ignorance and possibly wrong take on this), but: noticed some irony in one side opening the floodgates (Citizens United?), the other side retaliating and now bettering the 1st in the game (after a slowish start?)
3:17 PM · Feb 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493581976577712128
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @davidmcw
Also (followup on the previous): ex-YU also had a taste of austerity. It was called "stabilizacija", and I am not sure, but possibly it was enacted about ~1985 under the then federal PM Milka Planinc (possibly 1st female PM?)
1:44 PM · Feb 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @davidmcw
Also (followup on the previous): ex-YU also had a taste of austerity. It was called "stabilizacija", and I am not sure, but possibly it was enacted about ~1985 under the then federal PM Milka Planinc (possibly 1st female PM?)
1:44 PM · Feb 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493579566367100932
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @davidmcw
Amazing not an econ taught subject how Dragoslav Avramović put it down. And before at the sunset of Socialist Yugoslavia - how Ante Markovic also extinguished persistent (if not hyper-) inflation, achieved free fx/convertibility, freed and kick started the economy, in 2 months.
1:34 PM · Feb 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @davidmcw
Amazing not an econ taught subject how Dragoslav Avramović put it down. And before at the sunset of Socialist Yugoslavia - how Ante Markovic also extinguished persistent (if not hyper-) inflation, achieved free fx/convertibility, freed and kick started the economy, in 2 months.
1:34 PM · Feb 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493577629311676425
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
I learned about it at some point, used it for a time, then went back to "like as bookmark". One extra click makes enough difference, it turns out.
1:27 PM · Feb 15, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
I learned about it at some point, used it for a time, then went back to "like as bookmark". One extra click makes enough difference, it turns out.
1:27 PM · Feb 15, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493288523952275465
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
Nonsense, you are taking it too far. One can be anti Iraq invasion war, and be anti fascist. There is a war of aggression ("the supreme war crime"), and a defensive war. One can be against a war of aggression, and support a defensive war.
6:18 PM · Feb 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
Nonsense, you are taking it too far. One can be anti Iraq invasion war, and be anti fascist. There is a war of aggression ("the supreme war crime"), and a defensive war. One can be against a war of aggression, and support a defensive war.
6:18 PM · Feb 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493296478080716804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
I like and respect your work - but: you don't get to decide what I am or not. Between states, the heuristic: the side that crosses the border is in the wrong - is pretty good. There are people that are pro- all wars.
6:49 PM · Feb 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
I like and respect your work - but: you don't get to decide what I am or not. Between states, the heuristic: the side that crosses the border is in the wrong - is pretty good. There are people that are pro- all wars.
6:49 PM · Feb 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493318586240311298
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
We seem to agree on -
> And there was nothing 'anti-fascist' about opposing the Iraq war.
... b/c imho Iraq invasion war had nothing to do with fascism. No idea why anyone would think otherwise.
8:17 PM · Feb 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
We seem to agree on -
> And there was nothing 'anti-fascist' about opposing the Iraq war.
... b/c imho Iraq invasion war had nothing to do with fascism. No idea why anyone would think otherwise.
8:17 PM · Feb 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493287200133373960
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @an10nev
Off MSM now (no TV nothing) but: the run up to the Iraq invasion war was pretty intense (in London). Ex-YU so seen some - but the propaganda & the psy-ops were on another level. Still - millions were not fooled, even if the PM (Blair) was popular: antiwar demos numbered millions.
6:13 PM · Feb 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @an10nev
Off MSM now (no TV nothing) but: the run up to the Iraq invasion war was pretty intense (in London). Ex-YU so seen some - but the propaganda & the psy-ops were on another level. Still - millions were not fooled, even if the PM (Blair) was popular: antiwar demos numbered millions.
6:13 PM · Feb 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493285838041591812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
Whoever invades other countries, is in the wrong. Whoever defends their own country, in their own cities - they're in the right. One reason to parcel the earth with borders - to decide right from wrong. Works with my kids: in dispute, whoever is in other ones' room - he's wrong.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @markoah
Whoever invades other countries, is in the wrong. Whoever defends their own country, in their own cities - they're in the right. One reason to parcel the earth with borders - to decide right from wrong. Works with my kids: in dispute, whoever is in other ones' room - he's wrong.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493212514179592197
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Haha Grinning face - moja generacija malku ne spasi Rambo Amadeus -
"Znalac. Intelektualac. Cinjenica znalac.
A ne zna iskopat' sanac!
Necu da budem intelektualac!
Ne zelim oko kurca lanac!
Ocu da opalim Vesnu Zmijanac!"
Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy
youtube.com
Rambo Amadeus - Intelektualac
Reper / Rambo Amadeus* http://www.myspace.com/ramboamadeus
1:16 PM · Feb 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Haha Grinning face - moja generacija malku ne spasi Rambo Amadeus -
"Znalac. Intelektualac. Cinjenica znalac.
A ne zna iskopat' sanac!
Necu da budem intelektualac!
Ne zelim oko kurca lanac!
Ocu da opalim Vesnu Zmijanac!"
Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy
youtube.com
Rambo Amadeus - Intelektualac
Reper / Rambo Amadeus* http://www.myspace.com/ramboamadeus
1:16 PM · Feb 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481281586494681089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw
Quote Tweet
Spyros Makridakis @spyrosmakrid · Jan 11
The paper “M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions” by Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis and Vassilios Assimakopoulos is now available to download at the link
https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207021001874
3:07 PM · Jan 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw
Quote Tweet
Spyros Makridakis @spyrosmakrid · Jan 11
The paper “M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions” by Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis and Vassilios Assimakopoulos is now available to download at the link
https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207021001874
3:07 PM · Jan 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486001014847254546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary
Shocking that all reports & deliberations are not public by default. We should not have to rely on hearsay & leaks for info. IMHO - and esp in a pandemic - radical transparency should be the default (=all docs+code+data public on http://gov.uk; https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481281586494681089)
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 12
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw https://mobile.twitter.com/spyrosmakrid/status/1480925073229893637
3:40 PM · Jan 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary
Shocking that all reports & deliberations are not public by default. We should not have to rely on hearsay & leaks for info. IMHO - and esp in a pandemic - radical transparency should be the default (=all docs+code+data public on http://gov.uk; https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481281586494681089)
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 12
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw https://mobile.twitter.com/spyrosmakrid/status/1480925073229893637
3:40 PM · Jan 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1487863637540847624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zeynep
Never mind the general public. Would be a huge plus if the 2-3% that are decision makers in some capacity grok the "odds ratio" form of the same:
P(cancer)/P(not cancer) x P(+ve test|cancer)/P(+ve test|not cancer) = the new odds I have cancer after testing +ve
(@shionobi42 idea)
7:01 PM · Jan 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zeynep
Never mind the general public. Would be a huge plus if the 2-3% that are decision makers in some capacity grok the "odds ratio" form of the same:
P(cancer)/P(not cancer) x P(+ve test|cancer)/P(+ve test|not cancer) = the new odds I have cancer after testing +ve
(@shionobi42 idea)
7:01 PM · Jan 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1493189161901342730
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 Replying to @ole_b_peters and @FINALLEVEL
Face with tears of joy It feels it should be possible to have a meme along the
> "Hear-hear - ErGoDiCiTy!! A game of fair coin, rewards win 50% if head, lose 40% if tail! Space average (1.5+0.6)/2=1.05 increases *collective* wealth, but time average 1.5*0.6=0.9 decreases *individual* wealth!!!"
11:43 AM · Feb 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 Replying to @ole_b_peters and @FINALLEVEL
Face with tears of joy It feels it should be possible to have a meme along the
> "Hear-hear - ErGoDiCiTy!! A game of fair coin, rewards win 50% if head, lose 40% if tail! Space average (1.5+0.6)/2=1.05 increases *collective* wealth, but time average 1.5*0.6=0.9 decreases *individual* wealth!!!"
11:43 AM · Feb 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492540698830282757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish the schools tried to do more on this. Like impart on the kids - when you gamble then 1) if you expect to win, you will not - so that is "tax on stupid" 2) if you expect to lose, and this is entertainment to you, then fine - not great, but fine, you got paid entertainment.
Image
Quote Tweet
Paul Lewis @paullewismoney · Feb 12
“Each year, British punters lose more than £11bn to the gambling industry, equivalent to nearly £164 for every man, woman and child in the UK” https://bit.ly/34CDxnV Don’t be a mug, only the bookies win and this piece explains how.
4:46 PM · Feb 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish the schools tried to do more on this. Like impart on the kids - when you gamble then 1) if you expect to win, you will not - so that is "tax on stupid" 2) if you expect to lose, and this is entertainment to you, then fine - not great, but fine, you got paid entertainment.
Image
Quote Tweet
Paul Lewis @paullewismoney · Feb 12
“Each year, British punters lose more than £11bn to the gambling industry, equivalent to nearly £164 for every man, woman and child in the UK” https://bit.ly/34CDxnV Don’t be a mug, only the bookies win and this piece explains how.
4:46 PM · Feb 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1491110385411571713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency Now! All gov business, contracts, competitive tenders, budgets, tax returns, all of it - online by default, open & accessible to all. Ministers and mandarins (M&M) can seek exemptions for stuff that is supposed to be super-secret. Everything else - online now
Quote Tweet
Jo Maugham @JolyonMaugham · Feb 8
We have had a massive data leak relating to PPE contracts. Today we can reveal the true number of PPE VIPs was not 47 or 50, as Government had previously said, but 68. Almost £1bn more was awarded through the VIP lane. They have misled everyone. https://glplive.org/di0
6:03 PM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency Now! All gov business, contracts, competitive tenders, budgets, tax returns, all of it - online by default, open & accessible to all. Ministers and mandarins (M&M) can seek exemptions for stuff that is supposed to be super-secret. Everything else - online now
Quote Tweet
Jo Maugham @JolyonMaugham · Feb 8
We have had a massive data leak relating to PPE contracts. Today we can reveal the true number of PPE VIPs was not 47 or 50, as Government had previously said, but 68. Almost £1bn more was awarded through the VIP lane. They have misled everyone. https://glplive.org/di0
6:03 PM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1489562778713178115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ConHome @BimAfolami and @RishiSunak
The meltdown of your ideology is as spectacular as any witnessed in 1990s. You are bereft of any ideas, you lack even bad ideas! Hope the constituents notice and act sooner rather than later. Outsourcing country energy supply to foreign state companies - genius move that
11:33 AM · Feb 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ConHome @BimAfolami and @RishiSunak
The meltdown of your ideology is as spectacular as any witnessed in 1990s. You are bereft of any ideas, you lack even bad ideas! Hope the constituents notice and act sooner rather than later. Outsourcing country energy supply to foreign state companies - genius move that
11:33 AM · Feb 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492788035553050627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too right @mdvex22 , "War is a Racket" is indeed timeless -
War Is a Racket is a speech and a 1935 short book, by Smedley D. Butler, a retired US Marine Corps Major General
https://feralhouse.com/war-is-a-racket/
Quote Tweet
Michael Driver @mdvex22 · Feb 13
War is a political strategy benefiting monarchs, corporatists, political grifters and media vassals. The cost is the blood of young men and women sacrificed to protect and enrich the powerful. War is a racket.
9:09 AM · Feb 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too right @mdvex22 , "War is a Racket" is indeed timeless -
War Is a Racket is a speech and a 1935 short book, by Smedley D. Butler, a retired US Marine Corps Major General
https://feralhouse.com/war-is-a-racket/
Quote Tweet
Michael Driver @mdvex22 · Feb 13
War is a political strategy benefiting monarchs, corporatists, political grifters and media vassals. The cost is the blood of young men and women sacrificed to protect and enrich the powerful. War is a racket.
9:09 AM · Feb 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492789918258630658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... that should be required reading in the school curriculum
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Is_a_Racket
... and replace many a "dulce et decorum est pro patria mori" texts that currently shape young minds into "every war is defending the homeland", when most are not (@Antiwarcom)
en.m.wikipedia.org
War Is a Racket - Wikipedia
9:17 AM · Feb 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... that should be required reading in the school curriculum
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Is_a_Racket
... and replace many a "dulce et decorum est pro patria mori" texts that currently shape young minds into "every war is defending the homeland", when most are not (@Antiwarcom)
en.m.wikipedia.org
War Is a Racket - Wikipedia
9:17 AM · Feb 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492795557089320967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
I am aware of @blair_fix at https://economicsfromthetopdown.com writing about hierarchy, power e.g. https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2021/10/24/redistributing-income-through-hierarchy/. And on related capital and power of https://bnarchives.yorku.ca/259/. hth fyi etc
economicsfromthetopdown.com
Redistributing Income Through Hierarchy – Economics from the Top Down
Does hierarchy mediate the growth of top incomes?
9:39 AM · Feb 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
I am aware of @blair_fix at https://economicsfromthetopdown.com writing about hierarchy, power e.g. https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2021/10/24/redistributing-income-through-hierarchy/. And on related capital and power of https://bnarchives.yorku.ca/259/. hth fyi etc
economicsfromthetopdown.com
Redistributing Income Through Hierarchy – Economics from the Top Down
Does hierarchy mediate the growth of top incomes?
9:39 AM · Feb 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1489123742341029889
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zeynep
This video by @juliagalef is an educational gem. "Everyone should watch it" would be a stretch, but "everyone interested in thinking" should not be
6:29 AM · Feb 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zeynep
This video by @juliagalef is an educational gem. "Everyone should watch it" would be a stretch, but "everyone interested in thinking" should not be
6:29 AM · Feb 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492220712081362955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @NHSBT , thanks Folded hands for the "Ljubomir, See where your blood has gone!" e-mail. A most excellent idea - giving your donors some feedback! Thumbs up Well done you Clapping hands sign keep up the good work Grinning face
7:35 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @NHSBT , thanks Folded hands for the "Ljubomir, See where your blood has gone!" e-mail. A most excellent idea - giving your donors some feedback! Thumbs up Well done you Clapping hands sign keep up the good work Grinning face
7:35 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492228696773644290
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NHSBT
Grinning face Thank you - a pleasure. With I had the means to let know the people/personnel that come to town (Harpenden) about once a quarter how good they are at doing their job. If you can in any way - please relay that we (myself+wife) do appreciate their work.
8:07 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NHSBT
Grinning face Thank you - a pleasure. With I had the means to let know the people/personnel that come to town (Harpenden) about once a quarter how good they are at doing their job. If you can in any way - please relay that we (myself+wife) do appreciate their work.
8:07 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492822919545860096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 for L Kołakowski @J_Bloodworth
> pple whose “hearts are bleeding to death when they hear about any big or minor (and rightly condemnable) US injustice” who “suddenly become wise historiosophists or cool rationalists when told about worse horrors of the new alternative society”
Quote Tweet
James Bloodworth @J_Bloodworth · Feb 9
So-called peace groups are inverting the truth that subjugation at the hands of Russia has pushed countries towards Nato.
My latest column for @NewStatesman https://newstatesman.com/international-politics/geopolitics/2022/02/too-many-on-the-left-have-swallowed-putins-propaganda-on-ukraine?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1644347518-1
11:28 AM · Feb 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 for L Kołakowski @J_Bloodworth
> pple whose “hearts are bleeding to death when they hear about any big or minor (and rightly condemnable) US injustice” who “suddenly become wise historiosophists or cool rationalists when told about worse horrors of the new alternative society”
Quote Tweet
James Bloodworth @J_Bloodworth · Feb 9
So-called peace groups are inverting the truth that subjugation at the hands of Russia has pushed countries towards Nato.
My latest column for @NewStatesman https://newstatesman.com/international-politics/geopolitics/2022/02/too-many-on-the-left-have-swallowed-putins-propaganda-on-ukraine?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1644347518-1
11:28 AM · Feb 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1489607676879421446
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @simongerman600
Pointless and misleading chart - you are usually better than this. A country may get 100% of its gas from RU, but if the gas is 1% of all energy consumption, would not think the country depends much on any gas, including therefore russian gas. Better
Quote Tweet
Shashank Joshi @shashj · Jan 24
Russian gas embargo “would be felt most acutely in Slovakia, Austria and parts of Italy (see chart 1), reckons David Victor of the University of California at San Diego. Of the big European countries, Germany is the most vulnerable.”
2:32 PM · Feb 4, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @simongerman600
Pointless and misleading chart - you are usually better than this. A country may get 100% of its gas from RU, but if the gas is 1% of all energy consumption, would not think the country depends much on any gas, including therefore russian gas. Better
Quote Tweet
Shashank Joshi @shashj · Jan 24
Russian gas embargo “would be felt most acutely in Slovakia, Austria and parts of Italy (see chart 1), reckons David Victor of the University of California at San Diego. Of the big European countries, Germany is the most vulnerable.”
2:32 PM · Feb 4, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1483559511415738375
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Good point. And - how often did you? Every day, lunch and dinner. You went twice a day? No, just once, from lunch, until dinner ..." Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy
Quote Tweet
Daniel @Clark1995Clark · Jan 18
Five pounds of beef. #AfterLife3
9:58 PM · Jan 18, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Good point. And - how often did you? Every day, lunch and dinner. You went twice a day? No, just once, from lunch, until dinner ..." Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy
Quote Tweet
Daniel @Clark1995Clark · Jan 18
Five pounds of beef. #AfterLife3
9:58 PM · Jan 18, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481939142787444737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This-
> sensible policies which we should be employing anyway, to make citizens’ lives easier. More housing, more generous maternity leave, and cheaper childcare are the sort of things that allow people to build the lives they want, whether or not it leads to more babies.
Quote Tweet
Tom Chivers @TomChivers · Jan 14
on Britain's apparently soon-to-be-declining birth rate, whether that's something to worry about, and whether there are progressive, non-coercive policies that can change it https://unherd.com/thepost/the-progressive-way-to-boost-birth-rates/
10:39 AM · Jan 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This-
> sensible policies which we should be employing anyway, to make citizens’ lives easier. More housing, more generous maternity leave, and cheaper childcare are the sort of things that allow people to build the lives they want, whether or not it leads to more babies.
Quote Tweet
Tom Chivers @TomChivers · Jan 14
on Britain's apparently soon-to-be-declining birth rate, whether that's something to worry about, and whether there are progressive, non-coercive policies that can change it https://unherd.com/thepost/the-progressive-way-to-boost-birth-rates/
10:39 AM · Jan 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490797718029185031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy Excel-lent, thanks @pearkes for the reminder, had forgotten that particular reality stranger than fiction tragic comedy.
Quote Tweet
George Pearkes @pearkes · Feb 7
Things got so bad that an Excel error was viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law. twitter.com/NathanTankus/s…
9:20 PM · Feb 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy Excel-lent, thanks @pearkes for the reminder, had forgotten that particular reality stranger than fiction tragic comedy.
Quote Tweet
George Pearkes @pearkes · Feb 7
Things got so bad that an Excel error was viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law. twitter.com/NathanTankus/s…
9:20 PM · Feb 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490791375218130945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Noahpinion
Yeah sure - the world is pinning for the good old days when "an Excel error was viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law" Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy - ffs gtfoh
Quote Tweet
George Pearkes @pearkes · Feb 7
Things got so bad that an Excel error was viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law. twitter.com/NathanTankus/s…
8:55 PM · Feb 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Noahpinion
Yeah sure - the world is pinning for the good old days when "an Excel error was viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law" Face with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joyFace with tears of joy - ffs gtfoh
Quote Tweet
George Pearkes @pearkes · Feb 7
Things got so bad that an Excel error was viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law. twitter.com/NathanTankus/s…
8:55 PM · Feb 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490980413913067520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that, forward to public bookmark that and this https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
Quote Tweet
Sean Carroll @seanmcarroll · May 21, 2020
Scott Aaronson has posted his lecture notes on quantum computing — basically a rough draft for a textbook, available for free.
https://scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=4805
9:26 AM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that, forward to public bookmark that and this https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
Quote Tweet
Sean Carroll @seanmcarroll · May 21, 2020
Scott Aaronson has posted his lecture notes on quantum computing — basically a rough draft for a textbook, available for free.
https://scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=4805
9:26 AM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492866175998386185
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Do you know of any ideas of any alternatives (presumably hopefully for the better), of people that articulate those ideas, think-thanks, media, publications and or academics that popularize them, etc - that you could point your followers towards?
2:20 PM · Feb 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Do you know of any ideas of any alternatives (presumably hopefully for the better), of people that articulate those ideas, think-thanks, media, publications and or academics that popularize them, etc - that you could point your followers towards?
2:20 PM · Feb 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490749299961077763
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @glw1954 and @ptcherneva
I don't build econ models myself, but here's a claim to an MMT model built
https://twitter.com/ProfSteveKeen/status/1490585992662634496
I find this kind of model - dynamic, models the path - superior to an equilibrium model where the equilibrium condition is taken at a face value and all else follows.
Quote Tweet
Steve Keen @ProfSteveKeen · Feb 7
Replying to @ProfSteveKeen @Noahpinion and @CharlesMonneron
Here's the core of the simplest possible model of #MMT. Page 50 of http://profstevekeen.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/ModellingWithMinsky202201-3.pdf
6:08 PM · Feb 7, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @glw1954 and @ptcherneva
I don't build econ models myself, but here's a claim to an MMT model built
https://twitter.com/ProfSteveKeen/status/1490585992662634496
I find this kind of model - dynamic, models the path - superior to an equilibrium model where the equilibrium condition is taken at a face value and all else follows.
Quote Tweet
Steve Keen @ProfSteveKeen · Feb 7
Replying to @ProfSteveKeen @Noahpinion and @CharlesMonneron
Here's the core of the simplest possible model of #MMT. Page 50 of http://profstevekeen.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/ModellingWithMinsky202201-3.pdf
6:08 PM · Feb 7, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486743237662547971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa -
> After mocking the economic rigor of Breyer’s thinking, Mueller pointed out that “in one of his cases, Breyer suggested that those harmed by the monopoly practices at Boston’s Logan Airport could just go out and ‘build competing airports.’”
Quote Tweet
Matt Stoller @matthewstoller · Jan 27
On Stephen Breyer https://mattstoller.substack.com/p/stephen-breyers-legacy-of-destruction
4:49 PM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa -
> After mocking the economic rigor of Breyer’s thinking, Mueller pointed out that “in one of his cases, Breyer suggested that those harmed by the monopoly practices at Boston’s Logan Airport could just go out and ‘build competing airports.’”
Quote Tweet
Matt Stoller @matthewstoller · Jan 27
On Stephen Breyer https://mattstoller.substack.com/p/stephen-breyers-legacy-of-destruction
4:49 PM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492241137196748803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
Innumeracy is not new, goes back to the CP Snow lecture "The two cultures and the scientific revolution". On the +ve side: still better than the general public they represent (saw ~25% right), improved on the prior survey (they learn), longer serving did better (they learned!)
8:56 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
Innumeracy is not new, goes back to the CP Snow lecture "The two cultures and the scientific revolution". On the +ve side: still better than the general public they represent (saw ~25% right), improved on the prior survey (they learn), longer serving did better (they learned!)
8:56 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490977346270416898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PaulMainwood
This https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
was the 1st time it ever made any sense to me, your thread will be 2nd - thanks for that. Applaud Clapping hands sign you for de-mystifying a field. Imho too many folks can't help themselves but mystify more, instead of less. Thank you Folded hands
9:14 AM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PaulMainwood
This https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
was the 1st time it ever made any sense to me, your thread will be 2nd - thanks for that. Applaud Clapping hands sign you for de-mystifying a field. Imho too many folks can't help themselves but mystify more, instead of less. Thank you Folded hands
9:14 AM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492226782086508547
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @wfrhatch and @superforecaster
Improve your Q pls, it's more under-defined then it needs to be. Clicked on 0-25% but b/c they are proven liars, not just the US one, but all governments afaics. If the "distinct possibility" was a statement by a person Name Surname, then it'd be the "51-75%" quartile from me.
7:59 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @wfrhatch and @superforecaster
Improve your Q pls, it's more under-defined then it needs to be. Clicked on 0-25% but b/c they are proven liars, not just the US one, but all governments afaics. If the "distinct possibility" was a statement by a person Name Surname, then it'd be the "51-75%" quartile from me.
7:59 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492242442619396097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
The only 2 things national service was good for: as 19yo I got to live for 1 year among peers I would rarely have met, let alone lived with. Opened my eyes about how exceptional and privileged my life had been up to that point - not in cash, but in terms of literacy, numeracy etc
9:01 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
The only 2 things national service was good for: as 19yo I got to live for 1 year among peers I would rarely have met, let alone lived with. Opened my eyes about how exceptional and privileged my life had been up to that point - not in cash, but in terms of literacy, numeracy etc
9:01 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492273235441950721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
People like us discussing things like the report on TW are wholly unrepresentative, we are the 0.01% wrt those interests. 99.99% of population care about things entirely different than probability of anything. Even if the probability laws influence their lives in a major way.
11:03 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
People like us discussing things like the report on TW are wholly unrepresentative, we are the 0.01% wrt those interests. 99.99% of population care about things entirely different than probability of anything. Even if the probability laws influence their lives in a major way.
11:03 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492296787129995270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
Correct, exactly that. TW=Twitter. Overwhelming majority don't know and don't care about anything probability, logic or similar. Churchill's quip is essentially true and nicely complements the "worst system ... except for all the others" one.
12:37 AM · Feb 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
Correct, exactly that. TW=Twitter. Overwhelming majority don't know and don't care about anything probability, logic or similar. Churchill's quip is essentially true and nicely complements the "worst system ... except for all the others" one.
12:37 AM · Feb 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492529635619389449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
Haha Smiling face - yeah, agree fully. Surprisingly there is not a common accepted acronym for Twitter on Twitter. The stock ticker symbol (TWTR) that would be a natural choice is hardly any shorter. TW missed a trick there, and esp so given how important shorthand is to their whole op.
4:02 PM · Feb 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer and @s8mb
Haha Smiling face - yeah, agree fully. Surprisingly there is not a common accepted acronym for Twitter on Twitter. The stock ticker symbol (TWTR) that would be a natural choice is hardly any shorter. TW missed a trick there, and esp so given how important shorthand is to their whole op.
4:02 PM · Feb 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492223246577582084
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @cullenroche @robert19pearson and 2 others
hey @cullenroche (and @Noahpinion) - your butthurt wrt MMT is too painful to watch, give it up already, stop banging that drum, leave it to others ffs
7:45 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @cullenroche @robert19pearson and 2 others
hey @cullenroche (and @Noahpinion) - your butthurt wrt MMT is too painful to watch, give it up already, stop banging that drum, leave it to others ffs
7:45 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492229061132922882
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @cullenroche and @Noahpinion
wrong on that too - sheeesh
8:08 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @cullenroche and @Noahpinion
wrong on that too - sheeesh
8:08 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492239039763783683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @cullenroche and @Noahpinion
The intended use was https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/butthurt
> offended and upset, especially in a way that is silly or unreasonable
A trader wd think A/B test A) .gov is going bust lacking $$$ v.s. B) .gov can always find $$$, but may create inflation. Score B-MMT in profit, A-neoecons at loss
dictionary.cambridge.org
butthurt
1. offended and upset, especially in a way that is silly or unreasonable: 2…
8:48 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @cullenroche and @Noahpinion
The intended use was https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/butthurt
> offended and upset, especially in a way that is silly or unreasonable
A trader wd think A/B test A) .gov is going bust lacking $$$ v.s. B) .gov can always find $$$, but may create inflation. Score B-MMT in profit, A-neoecons at loss
dictionary.cambridge.org
butthurt
1. offended and upset, especially in a way that is silly or unreasonable: 2…
8:48 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1492150182741426179
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers and @arisroussinos
Your side keeps drawing blanks b/c you have zero ideas XYZ for the "we replace the liberal blob institutions with XYZ". BJ fell back to the only one available - King Boris personal fiefdom. Afaics @arisroussinos
grand idea is back to the future feudalism fit for the XXII century.
2:55 PM · Feb 11, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers and @arisroussinos
Your side keeps drawing blanks b/c you have zero ideas XYZ for the "we replace the liberal blob institutions with XYZ". BJ fell back to the only one available - King Boris personal fiefdom. Afaics @arisroussinos
grand idea is back to the future feudalism fit for the XXII century.
2:55 PM · Feb 11, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1491000228987965444
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
Yeah - geniuses like yourselves knew all along for 30 years that bond vigilantes, confidence ferries, national debt bankrupting UK, going cap in hand like Greece, "an Excel error viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law" - was all for lolz. The rest of us rubes didn't.
10:45 AM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
Yeah - geniuses like yourselves knew all along for 30 years that bond vigilantes, confidence ferries, national debt bankrupting UK, going cap in hand like Greece, "an Excel error viewed as cutting edge economics and a physical law" - was all for lolz. The rest of us rubes didn't.
10:45 AM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1491118509576704001
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
An exercise in counter-factuals, so here: if not for the US "MMT moment", UK - by default in thralls of media macro stock broker economics, last incarnation Osbornomics - would've had waves of bankruptcies, millions of unemployed etc to worry about, instead of 5% pa inflation
6:35 PM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
An exercise in counter-factuals, so here: if not for the US "MMT moment", UK - by default in thralls of media macro stock broker economics, last incarnation Osbornomics - would've had waves of bankruptcies, millions of unemployed etc to worry about, instead of 5% pa inflation
6:35 PM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1491121248092364800
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
Government was Osborne and he scared me & lots of other people we'll go bust like Greece if we don't close libraries, hospitals, police etc & make millions of people unemployed. MMT tells me that was B/S, he did not have to do that. So in mu book - yeah, MMT added options to gov.
6:46 PM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
Government was Osborne and he scared me & lots of other people we'll go bust like Greece if we don't close libraries, hospitals, police etc & make millions of people unemployed. MMT tells me that was B/S, he did not have to do that. So in mu book - yeah, MMT added options to gov.
6:46 PM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1491126355031105538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
Have a iota of self-awareness pls. R&R of the "Excel error viewed as cutting edge economics & a physical law" ignominy are in the economics profession still & well regarded too. Their hallucinations were an alibi to immiserate millions & may yet contribute to another european war
7:06 PM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @oldtrotter
Have a iota of self-awareness pls. R&R of the "Excel error viewed as cutting edge economics & a physical law" ignominy are in the economics profession still & well regarded too. Their hallucinations were an alibi to immiserate millions & may yet contribute to another european war
7:06 PM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1484531345456087047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DanielJDrucker
It is an emergent feature. Between one under-promoting and one over-promoting their work, the over-promoting one will always get the grant, time, man power etc. The under-promoters eventually fall off the stage, never to be heard of again.
2:20 PM · Jan 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DanielJDrucker
It is an emergent feature. Between one under-promoting and one over-promoting their work, the over-promoting one will always get the grant, time, man power etc. The under-promoters eventually fall off the stage, never to be heard of again.
2:20 PM · Jan 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1487863637540847624
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zeynep
Never mind the general public. Would be a huge plus if the 2-3% that are decision makers in some capacity grok the "odds ratio" form of the same:
P(cancer)/P(not cancer) x P(+ve test|cancer)/P(+ve test|not cancer) = the new odds I have cancer after testing +ve
(@shionobi42 idea)
7:01 PM · Jan 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @zeynep
Never mind the general public. Would be a huge plus if the 2-3% that are decision makers in some capacity grok the "odds ratio" form of the same:
P(cancer)/P(not cancer) x P(+ve test|cancer)/P(+ve test|not cancer) = the new odds I have cancer after testing +ve
(@shionobi42 idea)
7:01 PM · Jan 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486425102707220482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @UnixToolTip
$ awk -F, -v S=0 'NR==1{for(i=1;i<=NF;++i)A[i]=$i;Alen=length(A)} NR>1{print "--- "NR" (flds rec "NF" hdr "Alen")";for(i=1;i<=NF;++i)if(!S || $i!=""){print A[i]" ("i"): "$i}}' file.csv # print with-header csv in narrow format; set S=1 for sparse print (omits empty fields)
7:45 PM · Jan 26, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @UnixToolTip
$ awk -F, -v S=0 'NR==1{for(i=1;i<=NF;++i)A[i]=$i;Alen=length(A)} NR>1{print "--- "NR" (flds rec "NF" hdr "Alen")";for(i=1;i<=NF;++i)if(!S || $i!=""){print A[i]" ("i"): "$i}}' file.csv # print with-header csv in narrow format; set S=1 for sparse print (omits empty fields)
7:45 PM · Jan 26, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1491121561121607681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Suitpossum
But - it is 1/2 right: all communication is interaction is either competition or cooperation, most of the time both to some degree. No? People - we are are frenemies to each other most of the time Smiling face with open mouth and tightly-closed eyes
6:47 PM · Feb 8, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Suitpossum
But - it is 1/2 right: all communication is interaction is either competition or cooperation, most of the time both to some degree. No? People - we are are frenemies to each other most of the time Smiling face with open mouth and tightly-closed eyes
6:47 PM · Feb 8, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1488590205653172225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Are you in favor of ending anonymity in social media? By voluntary code or regulation-whichever does it. I changed my mind & I am for "real life ID" & against anonymity in social media. I think of it as recognizing social media "coming of age" - too important to remain anonymous.
7:08 PM · Feb 1, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Are you in favor of ending anonymity in social media? By voluntary code or regulation-whichever does it. I changed my mind & I am for "real life ID" & against anonymity in social media. I think of it as recognizing social media "coming of age" - too important to remain anonymous.
7:08 PM · Feb 1, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1483846190349361154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AllenDowney and @JohnDCook
If only (it were that complex). Grinning face with smiling eyes 99% of the time what gets us is "It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so."
4:57 PM · Jan 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AllenDowney and @JohnDCook
If only (it were that complex). Grinning face with smiling eyes 99% of the time what gets us is "It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so."
4:57 PM · Jan 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1487734151310725126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
Congratulations. Enjoyed reading your blog over the years. Cheeres to reading many more blog posts to come.
10:27 AM · Jan 30, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
Congratulations. Enjoyed reading your blog over the years. Cheeres to reading many more blog posts to come.
10:27 AM · Jan 30, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1482103846474240003
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
This is getting too meta for me. I can only suggest what I personally found useful on information & knowledge, on average & per observation: DeWeese & Meister "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" from 1999, seen online now at http://theswartzfoundation.org/papers/salk/DeWeese_Meister_Network_1999.pdf
9:34 PM · Jan 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
This is getting too meta for me. I can only suggest what I personally found useful on information & knowledge, on average & per observation: DeWeese & Meister "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" from 1999, seen online now at http://theswartzfoundation.org/papers/salk/DeWeese_Meister_Network_1999.pdf
9:34 PM · Jan 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481584266110722053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf and @AlecStapp
Life expectancy increased. Men retiring and alive now (thus present in the denominator of this ratio measure) versus dropping dead at 69 and out of the denominator (the male population) previously. Stat indicator telling a story, but not an obvious one. Grinning face with smiling eyes
11:09 AM · Jan 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf and @AlecStapp
Life expectancy increased. Men retiring and alive now (thus present in the denominator of this ratio measure) versus dropping dead at 69 and out of the denominator (the male population) previously. Stat indicator telling a story, but not an obvious one. Grinning face with smiling eyes
11:09 AM · Jan 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481586232006168577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf @AlecStapp and @jmhorp
Possible. One would have to get the raw data and investigate oneself to form firm opinion. Summary statistics can indicate many things, and especially ratios indicators are prone to mislead and or tell only part of a story etc.
11:17 AM · Jan 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf @AlecStapp and @jmhorp
Possible. One would have to get the raw data and investigate oneself to form firm opinion. Summary statistics can indicate many things, and especially ratios indicators are prone to mislead and or tell only part of a story etc.
11:17 AM · Jan 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481281586494681089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw
Quote Tweet
Spyros Makridakis @spyrosmakrid · Jan 11
The paper “M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions” by Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis and Vassilios Assimakopoulos is now available to download at the link
https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207021001874
3:07 PM · Jan 12, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw
Quote Tweet
Spyros Makridakis @spyrosmakrid · Jan 11
The paper “M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions” by Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis and Vassilios Assimakopoulos is now available to download at the link
https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207021001874
3:07 PM · Jan 12, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1482065543330947073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
As with many things: bad models bad, good models good. The answer to "models are bad" is not "lets use chicken's entrails", but to improve the said bad models. On predictions v.s. forecasts - I don't see a difference, imho all are forecasts, some conditional, some un-conditional.
7:02 PM · Jan 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
As with many things: bad models bad, good models good. The answer to "models are bad" is not "lets use chicken's entrails", but to improve the said bad models. On predictions v.s. forecasts - I don't see a difference, imho all are forecasts, some conditional, some un-conditional.
7:02 PM · Jan 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1482082642841509901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
No one claims otherwise, or anything really about information and knowledge. I'm aware that information (data) and knowledge (outcomes p.d.f. shape) are related. Indeed additional information (data) can decrease our knowledge/increase our uncertainty (entropy) about an outcome.
8:10 PM · Jan 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
No one claims otherwise, or anything really about information and knowledge. I'm aware that information (data) and knowledge (outcomes p.d.f. shape) are related. Indeed additional information (data) can decrease our knowledge/increase our uncertainty (entropy) about an outcome.
8:10 PM · Jan 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481598886103953408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PFinuras @SteveStuWill and @waitbutwhy
There is a whole book (by an obscure author) that puts forward even more general thesis: that sexuality was the most instrumental in giving rise to the humans species (and not work, tools, brains, fire, etc - as often proposed).
12:07 PM · Jan 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PFinuras @SteveStuWill and @waitbutwhy
There is a whole book (by an obscure author) that puts forward even more general thesis: that sexuality was the most instrumental in giving rise to the humans species (and not work, tools, brains, fire, etc - as often proposed).
12:07 PM · Jan 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481675476208959504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PFinuras @SteveStuWill and @waitbutwhy
The author is Jovo Toševski, the book title is "Planeta Žena". Online I see published by Prozaik in 2004, but I remember it was published a lot earlier for the 1st time, prior to 1997. ISBN 86-7196-012-9
5:12 PM · Jan 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @PFinuras @SteveStuWill and @waitbutwhy
The author is Jovo Toševski, the book title is "Planeta Žena". Online I see published by Prozaik in 2004, but I remember it was published a lot earlier for the 1st time, prior to 1997. ISBN 86-7196-012-9
5:12 PM · Jan 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1487451493217325056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Pricini - verojatno razni. Okolu London kade jas ziveam, kako da e britanskiot identitet po-inklusiven, a angliskiot identitet po-ekskluziven. Jas kako imigrant bi bil britanec, no ne i anglicanec. No ovde slusnav i za 180° sprotivno mislenje i iskustvo!-
youtube.com
How To Be A Liberal | LSE Government Online Event
From Viktor Orban in Hungary, to Brexit in Britain, to Donald Trump in America, nationalists are launching an all-out assault on liberal values. In this onli...
3:44 PM · Jan 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Pricini - verojatno razni. Okolu London kade jas ziveam, kako da e britanskiot identitet po-inklusiven, a angliskiot identitet po-ekskluziven. Jas kako imigrant bi bil britanec, no ne i anglicanec. No ovde slusnav i za 180° sprotivno mislenje i iskustvo!-
youtube.com
How To Be A Liberal | LSE Government Online Event
From Viktor Orban in Hungary, to Brexit in Britain, to Donald Trump in America, nationalists are launching an all-out assault on liberal values. In this onli...
3:44 PM · Jan 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1487420912576208902
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Kon odgovor na originalnoto prasanje "dali ima": da, ima, barem eden slucaj (jas ne primetiv, no drug TW user primetil i gi koregira javno, pa jas go primetiv): namesto Anglija, cesto pati javni licnosti, mediumi i sl, kazuvaat drugi zborovi (OK, Britanija, zemjava, i dr).
1:42 PM · Jan 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Kon odgovor na originalnoto prasanje "dali ima": da, ima, barem eden slucaj (jas ne primetiv, no drug TW user primetil i gi koregira javno, pa jas go primetiv): namesto Anglija, cesto pati javni licnosti, mediumi i sl, kazuvaat drugi zborovi (OK, Britanija, zemjava, i dr).
1:42 PM · Jan 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1487381331554230274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ах, тоа не следам за МК. Ама приметив барем еден англичанец на TW да примети слично за Англија: државни функционери, медиуми и сл. велат Обединето Кралство, Британија, оваа земја, нашата земја и др, кога ја референцираат стриктно Англија. Како да избегнуваат зборот да го кажат.
11:05 AM · Jan 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Ах, тоа не следам за МК. Ама приметив барем еден англичанец на TW да примети слично за Англија: државни функционери, медиуми и сл. велат Обединето Кралство, Британија, оваа земја, нашата земја и др, кога ја референцираат стриктно Англија. Како да избегнуваат зборот да го кажат.
11:05 AM · Jan 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1487378287345164291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Во која смисла фобија? Јас лично од дистанца (иселен сум 20+ год), при комуникација со пријатели и роднини од Македонија, или при посета или престој во Македонија, не приметувам (компаративно) да некој многу се срами или плаши од Македонија, македонци, македонски или слично?
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10:53 AM · Jan 29, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CuriousPrimate0
Во која смисла фобија? Јас лично од дистанца (иселен сум 20+ год), при комуникација со пријатели и роднини од Македонија, или при посета или престој во Македонија, не приметувам (компаративно) да некој многу се срами или плаши од Македонија, македонци, македонски или слично?
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10:53 AM · Jan 29, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490036888207560709
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Чудно е што нема - авионска линија, железница, автопат. Партизаните после 45-та со лопати и копачи и голи раце можеа да прават патишта. Нашите генерации - ништо не можеме, се нешто кенкаме, а имаме багери, булдожери, секакви машини и марифети.
6:57 PM · Feb 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Чудно е што нема - авионска линија, железница, автопат. Партизаните после 45-та со лопати и копачи и голи раце можеа да прават патишта. Нашите генерации - ништо не можеме, се нешто кенкаме, а имаме багери, булдожери, секакви машини и марифети.
6:57 PM · Feb 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486677769589338119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Koga odlucuvase opstinata, imase super prasalnik na web so mapa: klik na lokacija, i vo balonce ostavam komentar dobro-loso, ova-ona, tocno za taa lokacija. 100 luge popolnivme, 80% bea "super e pesackava zona, da ostane". Po 1 mesec - op, ja snema - vrativme koli vo centar. Unamused face
12:29 PM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Koga odlucuvase opstinata, imase super prasalnik na web so mapa: klik na lokacija, i vo balonce ostavam komentar dobro-loso, ova-ona, tocno za taa lokacija. 100 luge popolnivme, 80% bea "super e pesackava zona, da ostane". Po 1 mesec - op, ja snema - vrativme koli vo centar. Unamused face
12:29 PM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486670463631769602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @capn_mikjo @DimeS10cent and 2 others
Da, ne e pravedno, uslovna e nedovolno. I kaj nas vo Anglija (sudstvoto e podeleno) ima problem so kaznite. Ima edna litanija na soobrakajki kade e ocigledno deka kaznite se mali. Velosipedskite zdruzenija ja brkaa taa rabota, da promenat, velosipedistite najmnogu stradaa taka..
12:00 PM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @capn_mikjo @DimeS10cent and 2 others
Da, ne e pravedno, uslovna e nedovolno. I kaj nas vo Anglija (sudstvoto e podeleno) ima problem so kaznite. Ima edna litanija na soobrakajki kade e ocigledno deka kaznite se mali. Velosipedskite zdruzenija ja brkaa taa rabota, da promenat, velosipedistite najmnogu stradaa taka..
12:00 PM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486647916664078340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Да - со секакви финти не прунудуваат да намалиме брзина. На пр, во центар има место за 3, а можеби и 4 ленти за коли. Намерно се стеснети на 2. Ем поспоро да возиме, ем центарот е и на другите, не само на колите. Возачите се политички гласни, има вриштење-пиштење. Face with tears of joy
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10:30 AM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Да - со секакви финти не прунудуваат да намалиме брзина. На пр, во центар има место за 3, а можеби и 4 ленти за коли. Намерно се стеснети на 2. Ем поспоро да возиме, ем центарот е и на другите, не само на колите. Возачите се политички гласни, има вриштење-пиштење. Face with tears of joy
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10:30 AM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486650761031397377
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Да - со самото тоа што веќе постојат клубови, има организација, само 1 чекор до политичко лоби. Него пензионерсково лоби излезе силно?! Имавме Ковид жардињери, нај-централната улица стана пешачка зона - беше супер! Пост-ковид ги тргнавме, во општина пензионерите не победија?? Frowning face
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10:42 AM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Да - со самото тоа што веќе постојат клубови, има организација, само 1 чекор до политичко лоби. Него пензионерсково лоби излезе силно?! Имавме Ковид жардињери, нај-централната улица стана пешачка зона - беше супер! Пост-ковид ги тргнавме, во општина пензионерите не победија?? Frowning face
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10:42 AM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486637124589965319
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Во Харпенден застанувам и ги пропуштам. Во Скопје ми е страв: на булевар се вози 100кмнч (Харпенден 35кмнч), и 1) на другите ленти колите ќе ги убијат 2) мене ќе ме чукнат од назад. Културата е социјална: никој не очекува да застанам (вкл. ни пешаците), правам хаос ако застанам.
9:48 AM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS @dzidzalen and @DimeS10cent
Во Харпенден застанувам и ги пропуштам. Во Скопје ми е страв: на булевар се вози 100кмнч (Харпенден 35кмнч), и 1) на другите ленти колите ќе ги убијат 2) мене ќе ме чукнат од назад. Културата е социјална: никој не очекува да застанам (вкл. ни пешаците), правам хаос ако застанам.
9:48 AM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486669128500977668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @capn_mikjo @DimeS10cent and 2 others
Za promena na naviki i kultura na mnogu luge - nema edna merka, e se zaedno: i kaznuvanje, i vospituvanje, i propaganda, i arhitektura (soobrakajni resenija) i drugo (sto sum propustil). I taka kontinuirano, so decenii. Nema edno magicno stapce, za 1 sekunda - op! - resen problem
11:55 AM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @capn_mikjo @DimeS10cent and 2 others
Za promena na naviki i kultura na mnogu luge - nema edna merka, e se zaedno: i kaznuvanje, i vospituvanje, i propaganda, i arhitektura (soobrakajni resenija) i drugo (sto sum propustil). I taka kontinuirano, so decenii. Nema edno magicno stapce, za 1 sekunda - op! - resen problem
11:55 AM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486670463631769602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @capn_mikjo @DimeS10cent and 2 others
Da, ne e pravedno, uslovna e nedovolno. I kaj nas vo Anglija (sudstvoto e podeleno) ima problem so kaznite. Ima edna litanija na soobrakajki kade e ocigledno deka kaznite se mali. Velosipedskite zdruzenija ja brkaa taa rabota, da promenat, velosipedistite najmnogu stradaa taka..
12:00 PM · Jan 27, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @capn_mikjo @DimeS10cent and 2 others
Da, ne e pravedno, uslovna e nedovolno. I kaj nas vo Anglija (sudstvoto e podeleno) ima problem so kaznite. Ima edna litanija na soobrakajki kade e ocigledno deka kaznite se mali. Velosipedskite zdruzenija ja brkaa taa rabota, da promenat, velosipedistite najmnogu stradaa taka..
12:00 PM · Jan 27, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1489384790323257345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NathanJRobinson and @curaffairs
Harsh. Curios coincidence - https://jwsr.pitt.edu/ojs/jwsr/article/view/9
11:46 PM · Feb 3, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NathanJRobinson and @curaffairs
Harsh. Curios coincidence - https://jwsr.pitt.edu/ojs/jwsr/article/view/9
11:46 PM · Feb 3, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490312584850984966
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @dArsovec
Super metodologija, mi se bendisaa oskite po koi merat - se e kapital, i ima: Social Capital, Cultural Capital, Economic Capital. I posle vo ovoj 3D prostor gi lociraat klasterite, koi se klasite kako sto gi definiraat. Makes sense to me
1:13 PM · Feb 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @dArsovec
Super metodologija, mi se bendisaa oskite po koi merat - se e kapital, i ima: Social Capital, Cultural Capital, Economic Capital. I posle vo ovoj 3D prostor gi lociraat klasterite, koi se klasite kako sto gi definiraat. Makes sense to me
1:13 PM · Feb 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490460253313458180
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @dArsovec
Хаха - звучи доста покомплицирано и пософистицирано од моево одокативно делење - на 80:20 за природни, или 90:9:1 за општествени работи.
10:59 PM · Feb 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @dArsovec
Хаха - звучи доста покомплицирано и пософистицирано од моево одокативно делење - на 80:20 за природни, или 90:9:1 за општествени работи.
10:59 PM · Feb 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490276464364826631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dArsovec and @TociZS
Хехе Grinning face - минорно ама ми падна во око, sorry: Winking face "одлични" ми личи на "јас веќе го мислам тоа, и есеите ми го потврдуваат", "средна" може е "богата" во US, MK, во UK не баш (не знам за SE). Средна класа во UK е 3-6 месечни плати оддалечена од сиромаштија и hardship, не повеќе.
10:49 AM · Feb 6, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dArsovec and @TociZS
Хехе Grinning face - минорно ама ми падна во око, sorry: Winking face "одлични" ми личи на "јас веќе го мислам тоа, и есеите ми го потврдуваат", "средна" може е "богата" во US, MK, во UK не баш (не знам за SE). Средна класа во UK е 3-6 месечни плати оддалечена од сиромаштија и hardship, не повеќе.
10:49 AM · Feb 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1490378248043253761
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @dArsovec
Ok ne e loso, no mene nesto novo ne mi kaza. Me iritira sto za inequality citira trudovi sto ne se eksplicitno bavat so toa (kolku znam od 2ra raka, ne sum cital se), a ne go citira na pr @BrankoMilan
od "elepahnt chart" fame. Vo UK sme malku parochial - FR US gledame, drugo ne.
5:33 PM · Feb 6, 2022
jubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS and @dArsovec
Ok ne e loso, no mene nesto novo ne mi kaza. Me iritira sto za inequality citira trudovi sto ne se eksplicitno bavat so toa (kolku znam od 2ra raka, ne sum cital se), a ne go citira na pr @BrankoMilan
od "elepahnt chart" fame. Vo UK sme malku parochial - FR US gledame, drugo ne.
5:33 PM · Feb 6, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1486001014847254546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary
Shocking that all reports & deliberations are not public by default. We should not have to rely on hearsay & leaks for info. IMHO - and esp in a pandemic - radical transparency should be the default (=all docs+code+data public on http://gov.uk; https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481281586494681089)
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 12
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw https://mobile.twitter.com/spyrosmakrid/status/1480925073229893637
3:40 PM · Jan 25, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary
Shocking that all reports & deliberations are not public by default. We should not have to rely on hearsay & leaks for info. IMHO - and esp in a pandemic - radical transparency should be the default (=all docs+code+data public on http://gov.uk; https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481281586494681089)
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 12
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw https://mobile.twitter.com/spyrosmakrid/status/1480925073229893637
3:40 PM · Jan 25, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1484531345456087047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DanielJDrucker
It is an emergent feature. Between one under-promoting and one over-promoting their work, the over-promoting one will always get the grant, time, man power etc. The under-promoters eventually fall off the stage, never to be heard of again.
2:20 PM · Jan 21, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DanielJDrucker
It is an emergent feature. Between one under-promoting and one over-promoting their work, the over-promoting one will always get the grant, time, man power etc. The under-promoters eventually fall off the stage, never to be heard of again.
2:20 PM · Jan 21, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1484165328980619267
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ibogovitelicno
Не е утеха, ама може ќе ти олесни да знаеш дека не си единствена. Вежбање е супер за повеќе работи (здравје, расположение etc), па дури и за почетно ослабување, ама на подолг рок емпириски ахем "мешани резултати" за жал Face with open mouth e.g.
https://www.vox.com/2016/4/28/11518804/weight-loss-exercise-myth-burn-calories
Why you shouldn't exercise to lose weight, explained with 60+ studies
Physical activity may have less to do with weight loss than we think.
2:06 PM · Jan 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ibogovitelicno
Не е утеха, ама може ќе ти олесни да знаеш дека не си единствена. Вежбање е супер за повеќе работи (здравје, расположение etc), па дури и за почетно ослабување, ама на подолг рок емпириски ахем "мешани резултати" за жал Face with open mouth e.g.
https://www.vox.com/2016/4/28/11518804/weight-loss-exercise-myth-burn-calories
Why you shouldn't exercise to lose weight, explained with 60+ studies
Physical activity may have less to do with weight loss than we think.
2:06 PM · Jan 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1484126516573356039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Ако не се појави некоја нова верзија на вирусов, се надевам - ова е крај на пандемијата во ОК. Или барем Лондон и Англија. Ако затреба - можеби мах 4та доза ревакцина. Признавам малку е "баби се снило што јој мило", ама "forecasting is hard, and especially of the future" - па ОК
11:31 AM · Jan 20, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Ако не се појави некоја нова верзија на вирусов, се надевам - ова е крај на пандемијата во ОК. Или барем Лондон и Англија. Ако затреба - можеби мах 4та доза ревакцина. Признавам малку е "баби се снило што јој мило", ама "forecasting is hard, and especially of the future" - па ОК
11:31 AM · Jan 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1483846190349361154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AllenDowney and @JohnDCook
If only (it were that complex). Grinning face with smiling eyes 99% of the time what gets us is "It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so."
4:57 PM · Jan 19, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AllenDowney and @JohnDCook
If only (it were that complex). Grinning face with smiling eyes 99% of the time what gets us is "It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so."
4:57 PM · Jan 19, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1482103846474240003
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
This is getting too meta for me. I can only suggest what I personally found useful on information & knowledge, on average & per observation: DeWeese & Meister "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" from 1999, seen online now at http://theswartzfoundation.org/papers/salk/DeWeese_Meister_Network_1999.pdf
9:34 PM · Jan 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
This is getting too meta for me. I can only suggest what I personally found useful on information & knowledge, on average & per observation: DeWeese & Meister "How to measure the information gained from one symbol" from 1999, seen online now at http://theswartzfoundation.org/papers/salk/DeWeese_Meister_Network_1999.pdf
9:34 PM · Jan 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1482082642841509901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
No one claims otherwise, or anything really about information and knowledge. I'm aware that information (data) and knowledge (outcomes p.d.f. shape) are related. Indeed additional information (data) can decrease our knowledge/increase our uncertainty (entropy) about an outcome.
8:10 PM · Jan 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
No one claims otherwise, or anything really about information and knowledge. I'm aware that information (data) and knowledge (outcomes p.d.f. shape) are related. Indeed additional information (data) can decrease our knowledge/increase our uncertainty (entropy) about an outcome.
8:10 PM · Jan 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1482065543330947073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
As with many things: bad models bad, good models good. The answer to "models are bad" is not "lets use chicken's entrails", but to improve the said bad models. On predictions v.s. forecasts - I don't see a difference, imho all are forecasts, some conditional, some un-conditional.
7:02 PM · Jan 14, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @prcmarshall and 4 others
As with many things: bad models bad, good models good. The answer to "models are bad" is not "lets use chicken's entrails", but to improve the said bad models. On predictions v.s. forecasts - I don't see a difference, imho all are forecasts, some conditional, some un-conditional.
7:02 PM · Jan 14, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481586232006168577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf @AlecStapp and @jmhorp
Possible. One would have to get the raw data and investigate oneself to form firm opinion. Summary statistics can indicate many things, and especially ratios indicators are prone to mislead and or tell only part of a story etc.
11:17 AM · Jan 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf @AlecStapp and @jmhorp
Possible. One would have to get the raw data and investigate oneself to form firm opinion. Summary statistics can indicate many things, and especially ratios indicators are prone to mislead and or tell only part of a story etc.
11:17 AM · Jan 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481584266110722053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf and @AlecStapp
Life expectancy increased. Men retiring and alive now (thus present in the denominator of this ratio measure) versus dropping dead at 69 and out of the denominator (the male population) previously. Stat indicator telling a story, but not an obvious one. Grinning face with smiling eyes
11:09 AM · Jan 13, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GarrittyOf and @AlecStapp
Life expectancy increased. Men retiring and alive now (thus present in the denominator of this ratio measure) versus dropping dead at 69 and out of the denominator (the male population) previously. Stat indicator telling a story, but not an obvious one. Grinning face with smiling eyes
11:09 AM · Jan 13, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1481281586494681089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw
https://twitter.com/spyrosmakrid/status/1480925073229893637
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1479040758850142212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Haha :-) - dojde do ist zaklucok kako Jovo Tosevski "Planeta Zena": ne samo sto seksot go sozdava sekoj covek, tuku seksualnosta (a ne trudot! - slusaj vamo slushaj dobro druzhe Marks!) go sozdala choveshtvoto. Vo seksualnosta (ne vo razumot) coveckiot vid najmnogu se razlikuva.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @prcmarshall @OxLiving and 4 others
Radical transparency forward. Code&data in public repo (git etc), reproducible on demand (=1 keystroke). Infrastructure provided by http://uk.gov, the rest open competition as DARPA did for speech (ASR) vision (robot cars). Kaggle C19 models ftw
https://twitter.com/spyrosmakrid/status/1480925073229893637
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1479040758850142212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Haha :-) - dojde do ist zaklucok kako Jovo Tosevski "Planeta Zena": ne samo sto seksot go sozdava sekoj covek, tuku seksualnosta (a ne trudot! - slusaj vamo slushaj dobro druzhe Marks!) go sozdala choveshtvoto. Vo seksualnosta (ne vo razumot) coveckiot vid najmnogu se razlikuva.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1478740720005619716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
>The noise is many orders of magnitude more than the signal. If there is a signal. Maybe there is no signal at all. Why are we keep doing this?
... b/c we can't have newspaper with empty white pages, 24h TV news silent or showing ocean waves, portals with old pages @JohnDCook
John D. Cook @JohnDCook · 8h
Are coffee and wine good for you or bad for you?
https://johndcook.com/blog/2018/01/24/are-coffee-and-wine-good-for-you-or-bad-for-you/
2:50 PM · Jan 5, 2022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
>The noise is many orders of magnitude more than the signal. If there is a signal. Maybe there is no signal at all. Why are we keep doing this?
... b/c we can't have newspaper with empty white pages, 24h TV news silent or showing ocean waves, portals with old pages @JohnDCook
John D. Cook @JohnDCook · 8h
Are coffee and wine good for you or bad for you?
https://johndcook.com/blog/2018/01/24/are-coffee-and-wine-good-for-you-or-bad-for-you/
2:50 PM · Jan 5, 2022
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1445034816538284034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent quote by @msvetov
-
"The reason why you think Putin is replaceable is because like a witch from the Snow White: who is the fairest of them all? Well, after you poison every Snow White in the country, you are the fairest of them all. And that's the logic of Putin."
TRIGGERnometry @triggerpod · Oct 1, 2021
Political activist @msvetov
“Putin poisoning his enemies is an effective tactic for him”
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent quote by @msvetov
-
"The reason why you think Putin is replaceable is because like a witch from the Snow White: who is the fairest of them all? Well, after you poison every Snow White in the country, you are the fairest of them all. And that's the logic of Putin."
TRIGGERnometry @triggerpod · Oct 1, 2021
Political activist @msvetov
“Putin poisoning his enemies is an effective tactic for him”
Hosts
@francisjfoster @KonstantinKisin
Embedded video
3:35 PM · Oct 4, 2021
@francisjfoster @KonstantinKisin
Embedded video
3:35 PM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1446464848750055473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It was only in the 1980s that 2 Australian scientists found Helicobacter Pylori triggers stomach ulcers. Before doctors blamed it on stress, cigarettes & booze. Contemporary scientists considered it preposterous, yet it earned the Nobel Prize for Physiology or Medicine in 2005"
BBC Future @BBC_Future · Oct 7, 2021
New evidence supporting a theory about what triggers Alzheimer’s Disease could have major implications for its prevention. https://bbc.com/future/article/20211006-what-if-dormant-microbes-trigger-alzheimers?ocid=twfut
2:17 PM · Oct 8, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"It was only in the 1980s that 2 Australian scientists found Helicobacter Pylori triggers stomach ulcers. Before doctors blamed it on stress, cigarettes & booze. Contemporary scientists considered it preposterous, yet it earned the Nobel Prize for Physiology or Medicine in 2005"
BBC Future @BBC_Future · Oct 7, 2021
New evidence supporting a theory about what triggers Alzheimer’s Disease could have major implications for its prevention. https://bbc.com/future/article/20211006-what-if-dormant-microbes-trigger-alzheimers?ocid=twfut
2:17 PM · Oct 8, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1476901001105915906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JohnDCook
Further - when an item spends too much time in the TODO section, that in itself is a signal to be moved in the DONTDO section (of a logbook). Things look like they require action, but with the passage of time, it turns out - they don't, actually.
1:00 PM · Dec 31, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JohnDCook
Further - when an item spends too much time in the TODO section, that in itself is a signal to be moved in the DONTDO section (of a logbook). Things look like they require action, but with the passage of time, it turns out - they don't, actually.
1:00 PM · Dec 31, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1476198952324276226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ryanlcooper
Outsider's 2c - looking forward: liberal centre may yet betray you (e.g. recent UK Corbyn 2019, ancient Germany 1930-s) when push comes to shove. Trump 2024 maybe your best bet yet - the resurrected orange monster liberals may find less appealing than the alternative.
2:30 PM · Dec 29, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ryanlcooper
Outsider's 2c - looking forward: liberal centre may yet betray you (e.g. recent UK Corbyn 2019, ancient Germany 1930-s) when push comes to shove. Trump 2024 maybe your best bet yet - the resurrected orange monster liberals may find less appealing than the alternative.
2:30 PM · Dec 29, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444634220467458048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This -
> “A lot of people think there are too many people on the planet,” he said, “in fact there’s too few. Possibly the greatest threat to human civilisation is the rapidly diminishing birth rate.”
Quote Tweet
UnHerd @unherd · Oct 3, 2021
The Tesla founder doesn't hide behind bland PR statements | @peterfranklin_ https://unherd.com/thepost/listen-to-elon-musk-not-keir-starmer/
1:03 PM · Oct 3, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This -
> “A lot of people think there are too many people on the planet,” he said, “in fact there’s too few. Possibly the greatest threat to human civilisation is the rapidly diminishing birth rate.”
Quote Tweet
UnHerd @unherd · Oct 3, 2021
The Tesla founder doesn't hide behind bland PR statements | @peterfranklin_ https://unherd.com/thepost/listen-to-elon-musk-not-keir-starmer/
1:03 PM · Oct 3, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1460573190447632391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A total of 97 MPs were asked this probability problem: if you spin a coin twice, what is the probability of getting two heads?*
Among Conservative members, 47% gave the wrong answer, which is disappointing enough. But of the 44 Labour MPs who took part, 77% answered incorrectly.
Quote Tweet
Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · Nov 16, 2021
Replying to @rdnhot and @sjwrenlewis
My first reaction that was "they must understand; the maths is so simple". Then I remembered this: https://bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19801666
11:39 AM · Nov 16, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A total of 97 MPs were asked this probability problem: if you spin a coin twice, what is the probability of getting two heads?*
Among Conservative members, 47% gave the wrong answer, which is disappointing enough. But of the 44 Labour MPs who took part, 77% answered incorrectly.
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Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · Nov 16, 2021
Replying to @rdnhot and @sjwrenlewis
My first reaction that was "they must understand; the maths is so simple". Then I remembered this: https://bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19801666
11:39 AM · Nov 16, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1450787925394919430
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The non-existent PR campaign (of the outstanding recommendation for supplementation) blunder is compounded by 10x too low a dose recommended due to initial statistical error, corrected since by https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4210929/ in 2014 (& subsequent papers referencing it) @matthabusby
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Mattha Busby @matthabusby · Oct 20, 2021
Former chief aide to the UK PM criticises absence of public health campaign to inform people of vitamin D benefits and greater risk of sunshine nutrient deficiency during winter. Suggests experts are all taking it twitter.com/Dominic2306/st…
12:36 PM · Oct 20, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The non-existent PR campaign (of the outstanding recommendation for supplementation) blunder is compounded by 10x too low a dose recommended due to initial statistical error, corrected since by https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4210929/ in 2014 (& subsequent papers referencing it) @matthabusby
Quote Tweet
Mattha Busby @matthabusby · Oct 20, 2021
Former chief aide to the UK PM criticises absence of public health campaign to inform people of vitamin D benefits and greater risk of sunshine nutrient deficiency during winter. Suggests experts are all taking it twitter.com/Dominic2306/st…
12:36 PM · Oct 20, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1440243478798110720
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
FYI related https://unherd.com/2017/08/explaining-bigger-states-prosperous/ oldie-goodie by @vnbateman
unherd.com
Explaining why bigger states are more prosperous
Once we are rich enough to meet our everyday needs, Offer suggests that we start thinking about investing in our long term welfare, such as through he
10:16 AM · Sep 21, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CJFDillow
FYI related https://unherd.com/2017/08/explaining-bigger-states-prosperous/ oldie-goodie by @vnbateman
unherd.com
Explaining why bigger states are more prosperous
Once we are rich enough to meet our everyday needs, Offer suggests that we start thinking about investing in our long term welfare, such as through he
10:16 AM · Sep 21, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1442886529550938112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gshotwell
Have you seen this paper on the puzzle of surprisingly low doses recommended for supplementation to address the deficiency in the general population? http://carolabinder.blogspot.com/2018/03/d-is-for-devastating-statistical-error.html
5:18 PM · Sep 28, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gshotwell
Have you seen this paper on the puzzle of surprisingly low doses recommended for supplementation to address the deficiency in the general population? http://carolabinder.blogspot.com/2018/03/d-is-for-devastating-statistical-error.html
5:18 PM · Sep 28, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1450756665133998082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
Wrt the low RDA dose: looks like it's rooted in a simple (if unfortunate) mistake in the original calculation - see https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4210929/ (aggregating studies instead of patients). The corrected value is over 8000 IU. It has not percolated yet to various public health bodies.
10:31 AM · Oct 20, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
Wrt the low RDA dose: looks like it's rooted in a simple (if unfortunate) mistake in the original calculation - see https://ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4210929/ (aggregating studies instead of patients). The corrected value is over 8000 IU. It has not percolated yet to various public health bodies.
10:31 AM · Oct 20, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1476156543653531655
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @doctorow - clearly explains "behavioural" v.s. "contextual" advertising, why it matters and why should I care, and to top it off - a link to the @PrivacyBadger ! Public education at its finest. Clapping hands signFolded hands Thread https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1291056371702460422.html , permalink https://pluralistic.net/2020/08/05/behavioral-v-contextual/#contextual-ads
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Cory Doctorow @doctorow · Aug 5, 2020
The mainstay of online advertising is "behavioral advertising" in which ads are placed based on dossiers of your activity and preferences that have been compiled by Big Tech giants and shadowy data-brokers.
11:42 AM · Dec 29, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent by @doctorow - clearly explains "behavioural" v.s. "contextual" advertising, why it matters and why should I care, and to top it off - a link to the @PrivacyBadger ! Public education at its finest. Clapping hands signFolded hands Thread https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1291056371702460422.html , permalink https://pluralistic.net/2020/08/05/behavioral-v-contextual/#contextual-ads
Quote Tweet
Cory Doctorow @doctorow · Aug 5, 2020
The mainstay of online advertising is "behavioral advertising" in which ads are placed based on dossiers of your activity and preferences that have been compiled by Big Tech giants and shadowy data-brokers.
11:42 AM · Dec 29, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1470691072884068353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Have you come across https://writingsolidcode.com/book/? Excel is mentioned multiple times, it seems there is a team ethos, setting it apart from other projects.
9:44 AM · Dec 14, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Have you come across https://writingsolidcode.com/book/? Excel is mentioned multiple times, it seems there is a team ethos, setting it apart from other projects.
9:44 AM · Dec 14, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1476233175349313541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Noahpinion
You @Noahpinion liberals are going to betray them, and them @ryanlcooper social-democrats are going to ignore you. That is how you both lose to the third party in the tussle for power. Agreed easer said than done, getting along while in disagreement over a number of things.
4:46 PM · Dec 29, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Noahpinion
You @Noahpinion liberals are going to betray them, and them @ryanlcooper social-democrats are going to ignore you. That is how you both lose to the third party in the tussle for power. Agreed easer said than done, getting along while in disagreement over a number of things.
4:46 PM · Dec 29, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1458174240772005888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @moreisdifferent
Sorry to be adding to the bad juju, but apparently that is as per the norm Re: FDA - e.g.
astralcodexten.substack.com
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
8:46 PM · Nov 9, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @moreisdifferent
Sorry to be adding to the bad juju, but apparently that is as per the norm Re: FDA - e.g.
astralcodexten.substack.com
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
8:46 PM · Nov 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1455940198706163723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers
You're underestimating XR. The policies are self-fulfilling: if implement a tiny sliver of it, that then brings the catastrophe forecast. That is taken as confirmation "we're right". Next step then is "not enough policy was done, need more", and like that in a +ve feedback loop.
4:49 PM · Nov 3, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers
You're underestimating XR. The policies are self-fulfilling: if implement a tiny sliver of it, that then brings the catastrophe forecast. That is taken as confirmation "we're right". Next step then is "not enough policy was done, need more", and like that in a +ve feedback loop.
4:49 PM · Nov 3, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1463095011327848451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
As you know - an uphill struggle that. Things not done can't hurt the administrator, as figuring the damage of not doing requires imagining alternative reality, path not taken. And that is on the top of the incentives. This and more in https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab . Solutions?
astralcodexten.substack.com
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
10:40 AM · Nov 23, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Dominic2306
As you know - an uphill struggle that. Things not done can't hurt the administrator, as figuring the damage of not doing requires imagining alternative reality, path not taken. And that is on the top of the incentives. This and more in https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab . Solutions?
astralcodexten.substack.com
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
Is the FDA too lax? Do bears go to the bathroom in spotless marble-floored lavatories? Is the Pope an Anabaptist?
10:40 AM · Nov 23, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1470318542599987202
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @levelsio
Yes, travelling to other places sometimes is travelling in time too - into the future or in the past (depending on source and destination). As said - "the future is here but not evenly distributed".
9:03 AM · Dec 13, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @levelsio
Yes, travelling to other places sometimes is travelling in time too - into the future or in the past (depending on source and destination). As said - "the future is here but not evenly distributed".
9:03 AM · Dec 13, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444618647864029184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Irnbruster @challiscj and @prcmarshall
They predicted "if R=X then admissions=Y". Plugin the current R, e.g. R=0.9 (https://gov.uk/guidance/the-r-value-and-growth-rate#history) into their model, produce a line+cloud (probably will be under the green one). The experts claim is: the real observed admissions will be in that cloud, 95 out of 100 times.
12:01 PM · Oct 3, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Irnbruster @challiscj and @prcmarshall
They predicted "if R=X then admissions=Y". Plugin the current R, e.g. R=0.9 (https://gov.uk/guidance/the-r-value-and-growth-rate#history) into their model, produce a line+cloud (probably will be under the green one). The experts claim is: the real observed admissions will be in that cloud, 95 out of 100 times.
12:01 PM · Oct 3, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1442886529550938112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gshotwell
Have you seen this paper on the puzzle of surprisingly low doses recommended for supplementation to address the deficiency in the general population? http://carolabinder.blogspot.com/2018/03/d-is-for-devastating-statistical-error.html
5:18 PM · Sep 28, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @gshotwell
Have you seen this paper on the puzzle of surprisingly low doses recommended for supplementation to address the deficiency in the general population? http://carolabinder.blogspot.com/2018/03/d-is-for-devastating-statistical-error.html
5:18 PM · Sep 28, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1446441880296869893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jbarroscandido
I prefer to search for the string of chars between the start and current point and map it to Up/Down keys (and forget about the defaults). E.g. in ~/.inputrc something like:
# Up
"\e[A": history-search-backward
# Down
"\e[B": history-search-forward
Docs https://gnu.org/software/bash/manual/html_node/Commands-For-History.html
12:46 PM · Oct 8, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jbarroscandido
I prefer to search for the string of chars between the start and current point and map it to Up/Down keys (and forget about the defaults). E.g. in ~/.inputrc something like:
# Up
"\e[A": history-search-backward
# Down
"\e[B": history-search-forward
Docs https://gnu.org/software/bash/manual/html_node/Commands-For-History.html
12:46 PM · Oct 8, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1442774970208296964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Combine with rationing e.g "soft rationing": 1st 20 litres price 1, next 30l price 2, next 50l price 5, anything over - no price cap. We kind of do this with progressive taxation, to balance two measures - absolute and relative. More effective and more accepting by the public.
9:55 AM · Sep 28, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Combine with rationing e.g "soft rationing": 1st 20 litres price 1, next 30l price 2, next 50l price 5, anything over - no price cap. We kind of do this with progressive taxation, to balance two measures - absolute and relative. More effective and more accepting by the public.
9:55 AM · Sep 28, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444387186812522501
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @rorysutherland and @spectator
Easy - "big painting will cost more than small ... red paintings sell best, followed by white, blue..." ;-) Well worth a listen of @Alan_Measles
Playing to the Gallery 2013 Reith Lectures
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b03969vt
BBC Radio 4 - The Reith Lectures, Grayson Perry: Playing to the Gallery: 2013, Democracy has bad...
The artist Grayson Perry on how to judge quality in contemporary art
8:41 PM · Oct 2, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @rorysutherland and @spectator
Easy - "big painting will cost more than small ... red paintings sell best, followed by white, blue..." ;-) Well worth a listen of @Alan_Measles
Playing to the Gallery 2013 Reith Lectures
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b03969vt
BBC Radio 4 - The Reith Lectures, Grayson Perry: Playing to the Gallery: 2013, Democracy has bad...
The artist Grayson Perry on how to judge quality in contemporary art
8:41 PM · Oct 2, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1438542528446349312
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @penggemaar
Vo UK sistemot za sledenje na site nesakani efekti (inkl smrt) se vika "zolt karton" (yellow card). Podatocite se azuriraat mislam nedelno. Posleden sumarum naogam ovde: https://gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine-adverse-reactions/coronavirus-vaccine-summary-of-yellow-card-reporting. Od "suspected thrombo-embolic events+thrombocytopenia"- AZ 72, BioNTech 2, Moderna 0.
gov.uk
Coronavirus vaccine - weekly summary of Yellow Card reporting
5:37 PM · Sep 16, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @penggemaar
Vo UK sistemot za sledenje na site nesakani efekti (inkl smrt) se vika "zolt karton" (yellow card). Podatocite se azuriraat mislam nedelno. Posleden sumarum naogam ovde: https://gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine-adverse-reactions/coronavirus-vaccine-summary-of-yellow-card-reporting. Od "suspected thrombo-embolic events+thrombocytopenia"- AZ 72, BioNTech 2, Moderna 0.
gov.uk
Coronavirus vaccine - weekly summary of Yellow Card reporting
5:37 PM · Sep 16, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1438558920742735876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @penggemaar
Da, tocno, vakcina <100, virus >130K. Uste vo prviot red od izvestajot -
> Summary
At the time of this report, over 134,045 people across the UK have died within 28 days of a positive test for coronavirus (COVID-19).
6:42 PM · Sep 16, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @penggemaar
Da, tocno, vakcina <100, virus >130K. Uste vo prviot red od izvestajot -
> Summary
At the time of this report, over 134,045 people across the UK have died within 28 days of a positive test for coronavirus (COVID-19).
6:42 PM · Sep 16, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1446016049787379714
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MerrynSW
XR environmentalism - and any extreme -ism - is very much like a religious cult, with rituals, theatrics, uniforms, roles etc. But that photo is merely good PR, giving the media photogenic story to run with.
8:34 AM · Oct 7, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MerrynSW
XR environmentalism - and any extreme -ism - is very much like a religious cult, with rituals, theatrics, uniforms, roles etc. But that photo is merely good PR, giving the media photogenic story to run with.
8:34 AM · Oct 7, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1442796718131712008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @hugorifkind
Panic buy is a reasonable response to a reasonable expectation that everyone else will panic buy too. It's not that unexpected, and it does not take much to get it doing (e.g. toilet paper not long ago). Nothing exceptional there.
11:21 AM · Sep 28, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @hugorifkind
Panic buy is a reasonable response to a reasonable expectation that everyone else will panic buy too. It's not that unexpected, and it does not take much to get it doing (e.g. toilet paper not long ago). Nothing exceptional there.
11:21 AM · Sep 28, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1470113877971116040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Too right abt pathetic & bonus pts 4 "we pretend it works, they pretend to believe". Gargantuan sys with like inertia. Short of resurrect Peter the Great or @Dominic2306 a-dictator-for-12-months - only option I see radical transparency: all digital&public, tracked at all times.
7:30 PM · Dec 12, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
Too right abt pathetic & bonus pts 4 "we pretend it works, they pretend to believe". Gargantuan sys with like inertia. Short of resurrect Peter the Great or @Dominic2306 a-dictator-for-12-months - only option I see radical transparency: all digital&public, tracked at all times.
7:30 PM · Dec 12, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1445037416713277447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mattwridley
You should do better, as well as @prcmarshall , wrt that graph read e.g. https://twitter.com/challiscj/status/1444581960966447106 , https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1445014852645306374 .
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Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 4, 2021
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
You are welcome. It is actually quite useful, b/c hospital admissions forecast are forward looking and accurate enough. It allows for choice between interventions that influence R. That's how they are actually used. Different to the nonsense that is the initial tweet.
3:45 PM · Oct 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mattwridley
You should do better, as well as @prcmarshall , wrt that graph read e.g. https://twitter.com/challiscj/status/1444581960966447106 , https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1445014852645306374 .
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 4, 2021
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
You are welcome. It is actually quite useful, b/c hospital admissions forecast are forward looking and accurate enough. It allows for choice between interventions that influence R. That's how they are actually used. Different to the nonsense that is the initial tweet.
3:45 PM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1455118812446138370
> Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
"Forecasting is hard..." etc episode 1e9
10:25 AM · Nov 1, 2021
> Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
"Forecasting is hard..." etc episode 1e9
10:25 AM · Nov 1, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1455119378391896067
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nickwperry and @TomChivers
Because incentives. They don't lose their jobs when their forecasts are wrong. So they can't be replaced by better forecasters.
10:27 AM · Nov 1, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @nickwperry and @TomChivers
Because incentives. They don't lose their jobs when their forecasts are wrong. So they can't be replaced by better forecasters.
10:27 AM · Nov 1, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1451201567755890698
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dArsovec and @BowThemes
Da - super data, statistika, grafikoni i sl. Samo naslovot mi e malku bez vrska. Sto e "vestacko", a sto e "prirodno" "krevanje" na cenite (i zasto "krevanje", a ne na pr "spustanje"), samo urednikot valjda znae.
3:59 PM · Oct 21, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dArsovec and @BowThemes
Da - super data, statistika, grafikoni i sl. Samo naslovot mi e malku bez vrska. Sto e "vestacko", a sto e "prirodno" "krevanje" na cenite (i zasto "krevanje", a ne na pr "spustanje"), samo urednikot valjda znae.
3:59 PM · Oct 21, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444654677841350656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Ponz55 @OxLiving and 2 others
R is input to the model, not a prediction. They predict "IF R=X THEN admissions=Y". Plugin the current R=0.9 into the model, produce line+cloud (will prob be under the greens). Their claim is: the observed admissions will be in the cloud, 95/100. Likely to be right, eyeballing.
2:24 PM · Oct 3, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Ponz55 @OxLiving and 2 others
R is input to the model, not a prediction. They predict "IF R=X THEN admissions=Y". Plugin the current R=0.9 into the model, produce line+cloud (will prob be under the greens). Their claim is: the observed admissions will be in the cloud, 95/100. Likely to be right, eyeballing.
2:24 PM · Oct 3, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1426495739270676481
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ursine_meeting
Thumbs up Yep - recommended. One can find a personally convenient format after couple of tries. Settled on a plain text file LogBook with FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO sections under a version control. Replicated on various devices at hand.
11:47 AM · Aug 14, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ursine_meeting
Thumbs up Yep - recommended. One can find a personally convenient format after couple of tries. Settled on a plain text file LogBook with FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO sections under a version control. Replicated on various devices at hand.
11:47 AM · Aug 14, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1426499621086445577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ursine_meeting
Huge amount is forgotten, if not explicitly written down. Items seemingly important enough 2b written down as TODO, after sitting there for a while move to DONTDO => sign that they were not that important, really, in retrospect. Aka - "forecasting is hard, and esp of the future".
12:03 PM · Aug 14, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ursine_meeting
Huge amount is forgotten, if not explicitly written down. Items seemingly important enough 2b written down as TODO, after sitting there for a while move to DONTDO => sign that they were not that important, really, in retrospect. Aka - "forecasting is hard, and esp of the future".
12:03 PM · Aug 14, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1445014852645306374
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
You are welcome. It is actually quite useful, b/c hospital admissions forecast are forward looking and accurate enough. It allows for choice between interventions that influence R. That's how they are actually used. Different to the nonsense that is the initial tweet.
2:16 PM · Oct 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
You are welcome. It is actually quite useful, b/c hospital admissions forecast are forward looking and accurate enough. It allows for choice between interventions that influence R. That's how they are actually used. Different to the nonsense that is the initial tweet.
2:16 PM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1445135381129834510
Christopher /||/guyen 🇺🇲 Blue heart @pentagoniac · Oct 4
This man has the kind patience of a Vietnamese Giê Su Down pointing backhand index
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 4
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
R can be calculated accurately enough looking back. R forecast into the future is far harder, as it depends on the real world, including us as actors. Most people - reasonably - prefer partial knowledge of Y in the form of "if X than Y" over total ignorance about Y.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pentagoniac
You are too kind Folded hands - thanks Smiling face with smiling eyes
10:14 PM · Oct 4, 2021
Christopher /||/guyen 🇺🇲 Blue heart @pentagoniac · Oct 4
This man has the kind patience of a Vietnamese Giê Su Down pointing backhand index
Quote Tweet
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Oct 4
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
R can be calculated accurately enough looking back. R forecast into the future is far harder, as it depends on the real world, including us as actors. Most people - reasonably - prefer partial knowledge of Y in the form of "if X than Y" over total ignorance about Y.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pentagoniac
You are too kind Folded hands - thanks Smiling face with smiling eyes
10:14 PM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444965231545946115
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
No one knows R. ONS publish current best guess about R. They are not giving a false impression of anything. They are saying "if R is so-and-so, then best guess at admissions is so-and-so". Would you rather not know what admissions to expect for a given R?
10:58 AM · Oct 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 4 others
No one knows R. ONS publish current best guess about R. They are not giving a false impression of anything. They are saying "if R is so-and-so, then best guess at admissions is so-and-so". Would you rather not know what admissions to expect for a given R?
10:58 AM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444946425180213249
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 3 others
No one is claiming "R being a measured variable". It is one of the inputs of their model. If you can build a better model, you and everyone else are free to do so. Just do it, and put the forecasts on the Internet. Say like @youyanggu who did it. Everyone will benefit.
9:44 AM · Oct 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 3 others
No one is claiming "R being a measured variable". It is one of the inputs of their model. If you can build a better model, you and everyone else are free to do so. Just do it, and put the forecasts on the Internet. Say like @youyanggu who did it. Everyone will benefit.
9:44 AM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444927874050441216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 3 others
That model does not claim to predict R. The model claims "if you keep R at so-and-so, this is going to happen with the hospital admissions going forward in time". We judge models on what they claim, not what they don't. The prediction is "if X then Y" and that they do ok.
8:30 AM · Oct 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jwsuth @OxLiving and 3 others
That model does not claim to predict R. The model claims "if you keep R at so-and-so, this is going to happen with the hospital admissions going forward in time". We judge models on what they claim, not what they don't. The prediction is "if X then Y" and that they do ok.
8:30 AM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1444969116725563396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @seirdotmk
Toa sto go sakas, pobaraj go. Sledi gi svoite idei i intuicii, pravi kako sto mislis.
11:14 AM · Oct 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @seirdotmk
Toa sto go sakas, pobaraj go. Sledi gi svoite idei i intuicii, pravi kako sto mislis.
11:14 AM · Oct 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1442859006733676554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @XiaoVilin99
Part of the self-regulation setup/agreement/accommodation between the public/state and the industry associations BMA, BDA? Possibly part&parcel of the “I Stuffed Their Mouths With Gold”.
3:29 PM · Sep 28, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @XiaoVilin99
Part of the self-regulation setup/agreement/accommodation between the public/state and the industry associations BMA, BDA? Possibly part&parcel of the “I Stuffed Their Mouths With Gold”.
3:29 PM · Sep 28, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1379117739189669888
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
A collosaly bad idea, that. To have any one wo/man (the PM), have at their disposal, many hundreds of thousands of men, trained and equipped, to kill people. An army is not school or social services. Any imagined +ves are dwarfed by that one -ve. It's foolish to be tempting fate.
6:04 PM · Apr 5, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @admcollingwood
A collosaly bad idea, that. To have any one wo/man (the PM), have at their disposal, many hundreds of thousands of men, trained and equipped, to kill people. An army is not school or social services. Any imagined +ves are dwarfed by that one -ve. It's foolish to be tempting fate.
6:04 PM · Apr 5, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1379088525367316482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GoranBabik
Хаха [[[Rolling on the floor laughing]]] - точно така.
1st take - лудаци, луд народ.
2nd take - OK е, и другите се такви. Видовме какви сме - и тоа нешто значи, вредно е, подобро отколку да не видевме.
Пат напред: помлади, следни генерации, писменост, наука, логика, школо, разум. Нема shortcuts, silver bullets.
4:08 PM · Apr 5, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GoranBabik
Хаха [[[Rolling on the floor laughing]]] - точно така.
1st take - лудаци, луд народ.
2nd take - OK е, и другите се такви. Видовме какви сме - и тоа нешто значи, вредно е, подобро отколку да не видевме.
Пат напред: помлади, следни генерации, писменост, наука, логика, школо, разум. Нема shortcuts, silver bullets.
4:08 PM · Apr 5, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1379100116733267968
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GoranBabik
Хаха [[[Rolling on the floor laughing]]] - и тоа точно. Его многу големо развиено, моќност мала. И пак од 2 страни: ем нереално се гледам себе си (како центар на светот), ем не правам, не сакам одговорност, не сакам да одлучам, да направам јас сам. А истовремено очекувам друг да направи,тоа што сам не правам.
4:54 PM · Apr 5, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @GoranBabik
Хаха [[[Rolling on the floor laughing]]] - и тоа точно. Его многу големо развиено, моќност мала. И пак од 2 страни: ем нереално се гледам себе си (како центар на светот), ем не правам, не сакам одговорност, не сакам да одлучам, да направам јас сам. А истовремено очекувам друг да направи,тоа што сам не правам.
4:54 PM · Apr 5, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1377633082140987393
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
I'm other data providers user, so unsolicited feedback. [[[Face with open mouth]]]
I prefer .xls, b/c data providers can't be trusted to keep that 1 out-of-band char that is the delimiter out of the data. They allow it, then get tied in all sorts of knots after. I convert .xls -> .csv 1st thing after.
3:44 PM · Apr 1, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
I'm other data providers user, so unsolicited feedback. [[[Face with open mouth]]]
I prefer .xls, b/c data providers can't be trusted to keep that 1 out-of-band char that is the delimiter out of the data. They allow it, then get tied in all sorts of knots after. I convert .xls -> .csv 1st thing after.
3:44 PM · Apr 1, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1377364451670728705
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pg_onthemove @IanDunt and 3 others
Respectfully disagree. There is nothing to wait for. Whatever number of psychosis victims, that number is dwarfed by orders of magnitude by the number killed, harmed, incarcerated due to prohibition. The psychosis sufferers can be treated by other means than prohibition.
9:57 PM · Mar 31, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pg_onthemove @IanDunt and 3 others
Respectfully disagree. There is nothing to wait for. Whatever number of psychosis victims, that number is dwarfed by orders of magnitude by the number killed, harmed, incarcerated due to prohibition. The psychosis sufferers can be treated by other means than prohibition.
9:57 PM · Mar 31, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1377355679787151362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pg_onthemove @IanDunt and 3 others
Don't be alarmed please. It is the default mode of the media to alarm and worry us. If it turns out that liberalisation works worse than prohibition, it can be reversed. The prohibition has been a collosal fail. Time to try something new and different.
9:22 PM · Mar 31, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pg_onthemove @IanDunt and 3 others
Don't be alarmed please. It is the default mode of the media to alarm and worry us. If it turns out that liberalisation works worse than prohibition, it can be reversed. The prohibition has been a collosal fail. Time to try something new and different.
9:22 PM · Mar 31, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1371054361560952834
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AnyaMartin8
A known effect (may even have a name?) when polling: "personally I'm ok/things are good, but it is the others that have it bad/society is going down the drain". One of the ways we can always be pessimists, even in the face of personal welness.
11:03 AM · Mar 14, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @AnyaMartin8
A known effect (may even have a name?) when polling: "personally I'm ok/things are good, but it is the others that have it bad/society is going down the drain". One of the ways we can always be pessimists, even in the face of personal welness.
11:03 AM · Mar 14, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1371041908001226752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A lot of knowledge work is still in the “wander in and pester” stage of organisation. GUI tools are expression of non-specialised nature of the work. Composable CLI tools are evidence of specialisation and process. They scale up and enable productivity jump for knowledge work.
Quote Tweet
FT Weekend Magazine @FTMag · 6h
Bad slides and pointless emails: we forget Adam Smith’s lessons on how to be productive at our peril, says @TimHarford
https://on.ft.com/3bFHokY
10:13 AM · Mar 14, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A lot of knowledge work is still in the “wander in and pester” stage of organisation. GUI tools are expression of non-specialised nature of the work. Composable CLI tools are evidence of specialisation and process. They scale up and enable productivity jump for knowledge work.
Quote Tweet
FT Weekend Magazine @FTMag · 6h
Bad slides and pointless emails: we forget Adam Smith’s lessons on how to be productive at our peril, says @TimHarford
https://on.ft.com/3bFHokY
10:13 AM · Mar 14, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369974534384783360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arisroussinos
Good interview, naive thinking. Quants *and* poets synthesis is possible & being forged atm. The world around is mysterious enough, no need for extra-mystery of hobbit land. His road will likely lead him to neo-reactionary monarchy+feudalism. Orthodoxy+withdrawal cf. @roddreher
11:32 AM · Mar 11, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arisroussinos
Good interview, naive thinking. Quants *and* poets synthesis is possible & being forged atm. The world around is mysterious enough, no need for extra-mystery of hobbit land. His road will likely lead him to neo-reactionary monarchy+feudalism. Orthodoxy+withdrawal cf. @roddreher
11:32 AM · Mar 11, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369957989482958848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers and @unherd
Oh dear. One of the "the world goes blind the moment I close my eyes". While wearing my ideology on my sleeve is interesting, it does not make it right. Nothing prevents us being both quants AND poets, not a need to chose one. Withdrawal and orthodoxy reminded me of @roddreher
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @freddiesayers and @unherd
Oh dear. One of the "the world goes blind the moment I close my eyes". While wearing my ideology on my sleeve is interesting, it does not make it right. Nothing prevents us being both quants AND poets, not a need to chose one. Withdrawal and orthodoxy reminded me of @roddreher
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369673963761242112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mgurri
If the underlying change is industrial -> knowledge economy, then: do you see the white collar wage workers in the role of blue collars at the agricultural -> industrial shift? (and the current blue collars playing the role of the agricultural workers during the industrial revo)
3:38 PM · Mar 10, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @mgurri
If the underlying change is industrial -> knowledge economy, then: do you see the white collar wage workers in the role of blue collars at the agricultural -> industrial shift? (and the current blue collars playing the role of the agricultural workers during the industrial revo)
3:38 PM · Mar 10, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369626917561831430
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @stevensenior
Disappointing but such is the nature of research ("90% of great scientists start as heretics; the problem is that 90% of scientific heretics are talking nonsense"). Getting answers (either way) is to be encouraged. Worth keeping an eye on ongoing NICE https://nice.org.uk/guidance/ng187/evidence/evidence-reviews-for-the-use-of-vitamin-d-supplementation-as-prevention-and-treatment-of-covid19-pdf-8957587789
12:31 PM · Mar 10, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @stevensenior
Disappointing but such is the nature of research ("90% of great scientists start as heretics; the problem is that 90% of scientific heretics are talking nonsense"). Getting answers (either way) is to be encouraged. Worth keeping an eye on ongoing NICE https://nice.org.uk/guidance/ng187/evidence/evidence-reviews-for-the-use-of-vitamin-d-supplementation-as-prevention-and-treatment-of-covid19-pdf-8957587789
12:31 PM · Mar 10, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369594834550460416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fromTGA @EuropeanMoments and @eupinions
No. Long answer: maybe if they learn to stop worrying about about the deficit (DE ordoliberals schwarze zero) as US https://theweek.com/articles/970841/how-democrats-learned-stop-worrying-hand-fat-stacks-cash. More likely to come from the right e.g https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1368883900789964802, than from the left e.g @battleforeurope "EU will choke-off Europe recovery"
10:23 AM · Mar 10, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @fromTGA @EuropeanMoments and @eupinions
No. Long answer: maybe if they learn to stop worrying about about the deficit (DE ordoliberals schwarze zero) as US https://theweek.com/articles/970841/how-democrats-learned-stop-worrying-hand-fat-stacks-cash. More likely to come from the right e.g https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1368883900789964802, than from the left e.g @battleforeurope "EU will choke-off Europe recovery"
10:23 AM · Mar 10, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369389394143158276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @afneil @FTAlphaville and @FT
The fear will likely amount to nothing, and like with the previous dozen inflation forecasts/scares, it will not happen. The Fed and ECB forecasts have been wrong for the 2nd decade now, but the cretins producing them are paid too well to give up the terrible forecasting - e.g: Image Fed-ECB-inflation-forecasts.png
8:47 PM · Mar 9, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @afneil @FTAlphaville and @FT
The fear will likely amount to nothing, and like with the previous dozen inflation forecasts/scares, it will not happen. The Fed and ECB forecasts have been wrong for the 2nd decade now, but the cretins producing them are paid too well to give up the terrible forecasting - e.g: Image Fed-ECB-inflation-forecasts.png
8:47 PM · Mar 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369340618485489678
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi @Zoran_Zaev @Dimitrov_Nikola Single Market e 80% od EU clenstvo, Srbija i drugite bi trebalo da nemaat nisto protiv, site imaat korist, nikoj steta. Prethodni sega-clenki-togas-ne vo 1990-ti, imale slicna vakva strategija. Nema sto MK da izgubi
Quote Tweet
Gerald Knaus @rumeliobserver · Mar 9
NEW ESI on European Union Serbia Kosovo Montenegro Macedonia Bosnia & Herzegovina Albania Opening a "Finnish road to accession" would transform EU-Western Balkan relations. Here is how in 4 steps: https://esiweb.org/newsletter/slovenia-serbia-and-eu-balkan-breakthrough-2021?fbclid=IwAR2o33us4Re0qTdtzJeJZSGxev3cfZUrcSj4qqRAVT9dqnPyTmwD-eBr3ro @avucic @BorutPahor @JJansaSDS @CBeaune @Dimitrov_Nikola @VjosaOsmaniMP @thkirchner @MichaelOThumann @IVejvoda @ecfr
5:33 PM · Mar 9, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi @Zoran_Zaev @Dimitrov_Nikola Single Market e 80% od EU clenstvo, Srbija i drugite bi trebalo da nemaat nisto protiv, site imaat korist, nikoj steta. Prethodni sega-clenki-togas-ne vo 1990-ti, imale slicna vakva strategija. Nema sto MK da izgubi
Quote Tweet
Gerald Knaus @rumeliobserver · Mar 9
NEW ESI on European Union Serbia Kosovo Montenegro Macedonia Bosnia & Herzegovina Albania Opening a "Finnish road to accession" would transform EU-Western Balkan relations. Here is how in 4 steps: https://esiweb.org/newsletter/slovenia-serbia-and-eu-balkan-breakthrough-2021?fbclid=IwAR2o33us4Re0qTdtzJeJZSGxev3cfZUrcSj4qqRAVT9dqnPyTmwD-eBr3ro @avucic @BorutPahor @JJansaSDS @CBeaune @Dimitrov_Nikola @VjosaOsmaniMP @thkirchner @MichaelOThumann @IVejvoda @ecfr
5:33 PM · Mar 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369295480291745796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Да не бидеме Калимеровци дека стално "некој нас нешто ни прави". Од 1945-та наваму, што и да правиме - НИЕ правиме. Никој не доаѓа од страна па да ѕида згради, железнички, палати и т.н. Да превземеме одговорност: ние сме направиле. (брутализам, класицизам, и се друго)
2:34 PM · Mar 9, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Да не бидеме Калимеровци дека стално "некој нас нешто ни прави". Од 1945-та наваму, што и да правиме - НИЕ правиме. Никој не доаѓа од страна па да ѕида згради, железнички, палати и т.н. Да превземеме одговорност: ние сме направиле. (брутализам, класицизам, и се друго)
2:34 PM · Mar 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369314445588103180
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to
@TociZS
He-he :-) - i, sto pravis na taa tema? ;-) Ti kako arhitekt si odgovoren (mnogu malku, no ne e 0) za se sto se gradi vo MK i SE, jas kako kompjuterdzija isto taka ama za IT (vo MK i UK), i taka. Komforno e da nemame odgovornost i da e stalno "nekoj drug".
3:49 PM · Mar 9, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to
@TociZS
He-he :-) - i, sto pravis na taa tema? ;-) Ti kako arhitekt si odgovoren (mnogu malku, no ne e 0) za se sto se gradi vo MK i SE, jas kako kompjuterdzija isto taka ama za IT (vo MK i UK), i taka. Komforno e da nemame odgovornost i da e stalno "nekoj drug".
3:49 PM · Mar 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1351883654356733952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Other errors: masks "not effective" (correct: "masks do help, please all wear them"), mainly spreads "via touch" (correct: "via air, avoid indoors, ventilate, stay outdoors"). Common thread: prior knowledge weight too small compared to empirical evidence weight.
1:25 PM · Jan 20, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Other errors: masks "not effective" (correct: "masks do help, please all wear them"), mainly spreads "via touch" (correct: "via air, avoid indoors, ventilate, stay outdoors"). Common thread: prior knowledge weight too small compared to empirical evidence weight.
1:25 PM · Jan 20, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369300125261180930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @edwest and @s8mb
Yep, exactly how I remember - our communist leaders being ultra-conservative. Caution though - tis a short distance to the senseless death cult of "dulce et decorum est pro patria mori" when taken advantage of by Old men.
2:52 PM · Mar 9, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @edwest and @s8mb
Yep, exactly how I remember - our communist leaders being ultra-conservative. Caution though - tis a short distance to the senseless death cult of "dulce et decorum est pro patria mori" when taken advantage of by Old men.
2:52 PM · Mar 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1369265571183927297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Hehe :-) - da! A kontra trendot (kultot?) na indivudalnost od poslednite 30-40 god. Bash denovive gledam "Can't Get You Out of My Head" (https://bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/p093wp6h/cant-get-you-out-of-my-head
- 6 epizodi, 7-8 saati na taa tema.
Can't Get You Out of My Head
Love, power, money, ghosts of empire, conspiracies, artificial intelligence – and You.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/p093wp6h/cant-get-you-out-of-my-head
12:35 PM · Mar 9, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Hehe :-) - da! A kontra trendot (kultot?) na indivudalnost od poslednite 30-40 god. Bash denovive gledam "Can't Get You Out of My Head" (https://bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/p093wp6h/cant-get-you-out-of-my-head
- 6 epizodi, 7-8 saati na taa tema.
Can't Get You Out of My Head
Love, power, money, ghosts of empire, conspiracies, artificial intelligence – and You.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/p093wp6h/cant-get-you-out-of-my-head
12:35 PM · Mar 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1368914468357496833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Ccc - mal rekord: vo edna recenica, duri *tri* utki. Ne e najliberalna, niti e voopsto liberalna - bas naprotiv, e konzervativna. Ne e ni prakticno ni teoretski zabraneta verata. Ne e Shvajcarija upropastena, ako im gi namali pravata na 10-20-100 gragani pogodeni od ovoj zakon.
1:20 PM · Mar 8, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Ccc - mal rekord: vo edna recenica, duri *tri* utki. Ne e najliberalna, niti e voopsto liberalna - bas naprotiv, e konzervativna. Ne e ni prakticno ni teoretski zabraneta verata. Ne e Shvajcarija upropastena, ako im gi namali pravata na 10-20-100 gragani pogodeni od ovoj zakon.
1:20 PM · Mar 8, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1368197737464930306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FlavrSavr
Vo US "K shaped recovery" e objasnuvanje za porast na platite - nisko-platenite postradaa, visoko-platenite dosega pominuvaat OK. Ja vidov "K shemava" ovde https://twitter.com/StephanieKelton/status/1367484686960910342. Toa e i pattern na skoro sekoja kriza (e.g GFC'08): tie najdole - najloso, tie najgore - najdobro.
Quote Tweet
Stephanie Kelton @StephanieKelton · Mar 4
Ahead of tomorrow's jobs report, @eliselgould reminds us who has been hardest hit by the pandemic recession. https://epi.org/blog/what-to-watch-on-jobs-day-who-has-been-hurt-by-the-pandemic-recession-and-why-we-should-ignore-wage-growth/
1:52 PM · Mar 6, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FlavrSavr
Vo US "K shaped recovery" e objasnuvanje za porast na platite - nisko-platenite postradaa, visoko-platenite dosega pominuvaat OK. Ja vidov "K shemava" ovde https://twitter.com/StephanieKelton/status/1367484686960910342. Toa e i pattern na skoro sekoja kriza (e.g GFC'08): tie najdole - najloso, tie najgore - najdobro.
Quote Tweet
Stephanie Kelton @StephanieKelton · Mar 4
Ahead of tomorrow's jobs report, @eliselgould reminds us who has been hardest hit by the pandemic recession. https://epi.org/blog/what-to-watch-on-jobs-day-who-has-been-hurt-by-the-pandemic-recession-and-why-we-should-ignore-wage-growth/
1:52 PM · Mar 6, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1368188516757291015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TrousersofDoom @labourlewis and @bankofengland
BoE creates the pounds. Only BoE (and its agents) can create pounds. The pounds must at some point be created by someone. See e.g. https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/b09pl66b. Also worked out example (gov buying PPE) https://mobile.twitter.com/tonywestonuk/status/1367205630176620550.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TrousersofDoom @labourlewis and @bankofengland
BoE creates the pounds. Only BoE (and its agents) can create pounds. The pounds must at some point be created by someone. See e.g. https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/b09pl66b. Also worked out example (gov buying PPE) https://mobile.twitter.com/tonywestonuk/status/1367205630176620550.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1368144750440833025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FlavrSavr
Просечно зголемување на плати видовме и во UK мислам. Тие што останаа без работа беа (во просек) помалку платените. За просекот ги земаме вработените => просекот се зголеми.
10:21 AM · Mar 6, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FlavrSavr
Просечно зголемување на плати видовме и во UK мислам. Тие што останаа без работа беа (во просек) помалку платените. За просекот ги земаме вработените => просекот се зголеми.
10:21 AM · Mar 6, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1368147591322611713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FlavrSavr
И тоа не е невозможно. Бројката проценти веројатно е израчуната како (A/B-1)*100, и сега треба да "drill down" во методологијата која од тие A и B колку се смениле и да даваме хипотези зашто.
10:32 AM · Mar 6, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FlavrSavr
И тоа не е невозможно. Бројката проценти веројатно е израчуната како (A/B-1)*100, и сега треба да "drill down" во методологијата која од тие A и B колку се смениле и да даваме хипотези зашто.
10:32 AM · Mar 6, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1368159336623652869
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 and @FlavrSavr
Ustvari ima spreadsheet - super, nema sto "da pretpostavuvam", se ima crno-na-belo :-) Link do xls e https://stat.gov.mk/xls/2021/2.1.21.04_mk.xlsx, od stranata na soopstenieto https://stat.gov.mk/PrikaziSoopstenie.aspx?rbrtxt=98. Dobro im e organizirano.
11:19 AM · Mar 6, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 and @FlavrSavr
Ustvari ima spreadsheet - super, nema sto "da pretpostavuvam", se ima crno-na-belo :-) Link do xls e https://stat.gov.mk/xls/2021/2.1.21.04_mk.xlsx, od stranata na soopstenieto https://stat.gov.mk/PrikaziSoopstenie.aspx?rbrtxt=98. Dobro im e organizirano.
11:19 AM · Mar 6, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1367770439746007044
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Пензија SIPP не влегува во оставинска постапка, се "наследува" како "nominated benefitiary", па не ја фаќа "наследен данок" - e.g
Pensions and inheritance | unbiased.co.uk
How to leave your pension to your family. How to use your pension to reduce inheritance tax.
unbiased.co.uk
9:34 AM · Mar 5, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Viktor_Stevich
Пензија SIPP не влегува во оставинска постапка, се "наследува" како "nominated benefitiary", па не ја фаќа "наследен данок" - e.g
Pensions and inheritance | unbiased.co.uk
How to leave your pension to your family. How to use your pension to reduce inheritance tax.
unbiased.co.uk
9:34 AM · Mar 5, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1367416590497701891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
E ova e gubenje na nezavisnost, 100x pati poveke od "imeto, imeto". Zasto na drzava na koja site rashodi i se vo Denari, i trebaat Evra, bog samo znae. (i trezorot - valjda?) Sega 700M za rollover na stariot od 500M, za 7-8 god ke bide nov 1000M za rollover na ovoj od 700M, etc
10:08 AM · Mar 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
E ova e gubenje na nezavisnost, 100x pati poveke od "imeto, imeto". Zasto na drzava na koja site rashodi i se vo Denari, i trebaat Evra, bog samo znae. (i trezorot - valjda?) Sega 700M za rollover na stariot od 500M, za 7-8 god ke bide nov 1000M za rollover na ovoj od 700M, etc
10:08 AM · Mar 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1367535107100262405
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Dolg vo Denari e OK, dolg vo Eura e opasen. MK treba da ja zeme Polska za primer (koja e shampion vo ekon rast vo Evropa, 1990+): 10% godisen deficit preku mali danoci, i *se* da frli na karta na razvoj na biznisi. (ako saka MK moze da izdade *denarski* obvrznici, ako ne ne mora)
5:59 PM · Mar 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Dolg vo Denari e OK, dolg vo Eura e opasen. MK treba da ja zeme Polska za primer (koja e shampion vo ekon rast vo Evropa, 1990+): 10% godisen deficit preku mali danoci, i *se* da frli na karta na razvoj na biznisi. (ako saka MK moze da izdade *denarski* obvrznici, ako ne ne mora)
5:59 PM · Mar 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1367532097267720195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tonywestonuk and @DoktorZhivago3
There is more: when HSBC returns gilts back to BoE and gets back the £10B, it gets another £100M extra. B/c BoE returns back to HSBC not only the original £10B, but £10B+£100M. HSBC then keeps £50M (half of the £100M), and passes the other £50M back to Hancocks neighbour.
5:47 PM · Mar 4, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @tonywestonuk and @DoktorZhivago3
There is more: when HSBC returns gilts back to BoE and gets back the £10B, it gets another £100M extra. B/c BoE returns back to HSBC not only the original £10B, but £10B+£100M. HSBC then keeps £50M (half of the £100M), and passes the other £50M back to Hancocks neighbour.
5:47 PM · Mar 4, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1366821961783992327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @M_D_Ristovski
Хаха Без везе наслов, ама добро интервју. Ми текнува на Start 1990-та интервјуто кога рече "за 1 година ќе имаме свој фудбалски тим, своја војска и надворешна политика". Една лавина на дрвја и камења по него (време кога Глигорие Гоговски заплака во Собрание)
6:45 PM · Mar 2, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @M_D_Ristovski
Хаха Без везе наслов, ама добро интервју. Ми текнува на Start 1990-та интервјуто кога рече "за 1 година ќе имаме свој фудбалски тим, своја војска и надворешна политика". Една лавина на дрвја и камења по него (време кога Глигорие Гоговски заплака во Собрание)
6:45 PM · Mar 2, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1364928254042324999
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JamesPettifer1 and @DenisMacShane
Googling for the Nimitz ref got https://researchgate.net/publication/340403384_The_Macedonian_Name_Dispute_The_Macedonian_Question-Resolved. Is that the one referenced pls? My personal opinion is the agreement is good enough, the price acceptable to reduce the chance of waking up one morning with SRB tanks in Skopje, GRC tanks in Veles and BGR tanks in Stip.
(PDF) The Macedonian “Name” Dispute: The Macedonian Question—Resolved?
PDF | The dispute between Greece and the newly formed state referred to as the “Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia” that emerged out of the collapse... | researchgate.net
1:20 PM · Feb 25, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JamesPettifer1 and @DenisMacShane
Googling for the Nimitz ref got https://researchgate.net/publication/340403384_The_Macedonian_Name_Dispute_The_Macedonian_Question-Resolved. Is that the one referenced pls? My personal opinion is the agreement is good enough, the price acceptable to reduce the chance of waking up one morning with SRB tanks in Skopje, GRC tanks in Veles and BGR tanks in Stip.
(PDF) The Macedonian “Name” Dispute: The Macedonian Question—Resolved?
PDF | The dispute between Greece and the newly formed state referred to as the “Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia” that emerged out of the collapse... | researchgate.net
1:20 PM · Feb 25, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1364922409002885122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DenisMacShane
Nothing is 100% sure-proof for all people, all of the time. In Public Health Scotland data recently released (https://publichealthscotland.scot/news/2021/february/vaccine-linked-to-reduction-in-risk-of-covid-19-admissions-to-hospitals/) we saw that of ~8000 hospitalized, there were 58 that had the vaccine 4 weeks or more prior to entering hospital. So the number is def not 0.
12:57 PM · Feb 25, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @DenisMacShane
Nothing is 100% sure-proof for all people, all of the time. In Public Health Scotland data recently released (https://publichealthscotland.scot/news/2021/february/vaccine-linked-to-reduction-in-risk-of-covid-19-admissions-to-hospitals/) we saw that of ~8000 hospitalized, there were 58 that had the vaccine 4 weeks or more prior to entering hospital. So the number is def not 0.
12:57 PM · Feb 25, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1364693497262071808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pkolding @MMTLabour and 2 others
Correct, and no-one is claiming otherwise. So it is not the precise number of tokens we should worry about, but the value of the said tokens. Their number maybe too high or too low - it is their value that matters. The value being what we (can) get in exchange for the tokens.
9:47 PM · Feb 24, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pkolding @MMTLabour and 2 others
Correct, and no-one is claiming otherwise. So it is not the precise number of tokens we should worry about, but the value of the said tokens. Their number maybe too high or too low - it is their value that matters. The value being what we (can) get in exchange for the tokens.
9:47 PM · Feb 24, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1364301272204128260
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @robertwiblin
... and the next steps after 12 months track record may be: collect capital from external investors, start running client money, bet big on the most excellent forecasts for the future. Next - charge clients 2-20, give up on writing anything but investors quarterly letters.
7:49 PM · Feb 23, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @robertwiblin
... and the next steps after 12 months track record may be: collect capital from external investors, start running client money, bet big on the most excellent forecasts for the future. Next - charge clients 2-20, give up on writing anything but investors quarterly letters.
7:49 PM · Feb 23, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1362435462900637701
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Pumpkinowsky
"Britanski soj" stana sirok poim, posto se namnozija poveke varijanti. Ako moze pokonkretno, B.1.1.7 ili sl - podobro. Plus - virusot ne go kazuvame "kineski" (so pravo), pa i varijantive koga ke gi kazete "britanski", mene mi bode ochi. Od MK a ziveam vo OK, pa primetiv
4:15 PM · Feb 18, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Pumpkinowsky
"Britanski soj" stana sirok poim, posto se namnozija poveke varijanti. Ako moze pokonkretno, B.1.1.7 ili sl - podobro. Plus - virusot ne go kazuvame "kineski" (so pravo), pa i varijantive koga ke gi kazete "britanski", mene mi bode ochi. Od MK a ziveam vo OK, pa primetiv
4:15 PM · Feb 18, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1362385595792822275
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ibogovitelicno
OK (Obedineto Kralstvo) iskustvo: ulicite se opsti imenki bez ekstra znacenje. Ne iminja na istoriski licnosti/nastani. Isklucok: ulica sto vodi od grad A -> kon B. Vo Skopje "Kumanovska" ulica ako odi/izleguva nakaj Kumanovo. Na sprotivnikot kraj (vo Kumanovo) istata e "Skopska"
12:56 PM · Feb 18, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ibogovitelicno
OK (Obedineto Kralstvo) iskustvo: ulicite se opsti imenki bez ekstra znacenje. Ne iminja na istoriski licnosti/nastani. Isklucok: ulica sto vodi od grad A -> kon B. Vo Skopje "Kumanovska" ulica ako odi/izleguva nakaj Kumanovo. Na sprotivnikot kraj (vo Kumanovo) istata e "Skopska"
12:56 PM · Feb 18, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1361647811603935235
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Pumpkinowsky
Podolgorocno - ne znam dali "citizens science", "bio-hacking", "open science" i sl pomagaat nesto za zgolemuvanje na znaenje+svest na luge sto eventualno bi se nasle vo pozicija na odlucuvanje. Vidov primer https://radvac.org/faq/ od
We got what's needed for COVID-19 vaccination completely wrong - LessWrong
I would summarize the leading thought in 2020 on vaccination on LessWrong and the review that's now popular in the mainstream as: New vaccination technology like mRNA-based vaccines and adenovirus-...
lesswrong.com
12:05 PM · Feb 16, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Pumpkinowsky
Podolgorocno - ne znam dali "citizens science", "bio-hacking", "open science" i sl pomagaat nesto za zgolemuvanje na znaenje+svest na luge sto eventualno bi se nasle vo pozicija na odlucuvanje. Vidov primer https://radvac.org/faq/ od
We got what's needed for COVID-19 vaccination completely wrong - LessWrong
I would summarize the leading thought in 2020 on vaccination on LessWrong and the review that's now popular in the mainstream as: New vaccination technology like mRNA-based vaccines and adenovirus-...
lesswrong.com
12:05 PM · Feb 16, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1346817918672187394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Uh-oh - once-ok, twice-hm... Prevent a hat-trick in time (&do us all a favor), update the VitD article with latest-greatest pls, feedback on the 1st (=non-cranks disagree) should've alerted you're missing a trick. Evidence -on both sides- listed helpfully
Vitamin D and Covid
A comprehensive list of research related to vitamin D and Covid-19
vitamin-d-covid.shotwell.ca
1:56 PM · Jan 6, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Uh-oh - once-ok, twice-hm... Prevent a hat-trick in time (&do us all a favor), update the VitD article with latest-greatest pls, feedback on the 1st (=non-cranks disagree) should've alerted you're missing a trick. Evidence -on both sides- listed helpfully
Vitamin D and Covid
A comprehensive list of research related to vitamin D and Covid-19
vitamin-d-covid.shotwell.ca
1:56 PM · Jan 6, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1358757159492874245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NoMansLand0000
FYI, knigata "Sveti Nikola Manastir" (od Petrula Kostovska) izdadena e sega skoro pred par denovi, vo izdanie na Kalamus http://kalamus.com.mk
Image
12:38 PM · Feb 8, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @NoMansLand0000
FYI, knigata "Sveti Nikola Manastir" (od Petrula Kostovska) izdadena e sega skoro pred par denovi, vo izdanie na Kalamus http://kalamus.com.mk
Image
12:38 PM · Feb 8, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1355844509565931520
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @LawyersHuman
Ќе можат да бидат бесплатни. FB и GOOG пак ќе продаваат реклами, ќе си заработуваат. Тие реклами ќе бидат помалку персонализирани, тоа е се. 2ра Важна работа е рекламите да бидат јавни, сите да може да ги видиме. Моментално се приватни: само FB, огласувачот и корисникот ги знаат.
11:44 AM · Jan 31, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @LawyersHuman
Ќе можат да бидат бесплатни. FB и GOOG пак ќе продаваат реклами, ќе си заработуваат. Тие реклами ќе бидат помалку персонализирани, тоа е се. 2ра Важна работа е рекламите да бидат јавни, сите да може да ги видиме. Моментално се приватни: само FB, огласувачот и корисникот ги знаат.
11:44 AM · Jan 31, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1354360291379859459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @benbawan and @lijukic
I would say - all of them are post-industrial. Maybe one can look at a prior transition, from agriculture -> to industry, and how and when it was decided that societies that were previously agricultural, are now post-agricultural, i.e industrial.
9:27 AM · Jan 27, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @benbawan and @lijukic
I would say - all of them are post-industrial. Maybe one can look at a prior transition, from agriculture -> to industry, and how and when it was decided that societies that were previously agricultural, are now post-agricultural, i.e industrial.
9:27 AM · Jan 27, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1354374310065033218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 @benbawan and @lijukic
The discussion reminded of this - somewhat entertaining talk https://youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlUl-4CxEsikR7mvMVUjIri0&index=2&t=80s by Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy (from 2018). Much recommended
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
youtube.com
10:22 AM · Jan 27, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 @benbawan and @lijukic
The discussion reminded of this - somewhat entertaining talk https://youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlUl-4CxEsikR7mvMVUjIri0&index=2&t=80s by Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy (from 2018). Much recommended
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
youtube.com
10:22 AM · Jan 27, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1354363050917322753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary and @t0nyyates
Exactly right. One could say inventing all seeing all mighty actionable god, is one rational response to randomness. Have witnessed emergence of a proto-religious ceremony (a little card dance) arising from a faulty swipe card reader (randomly deciding) at a door entrance
9:38 AM · Jan 27, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Sharpe_Actuary and @t0nyyates
Exactly right. One could say inventing all seeing all mighty actionable god, is one rational response to randomness. Have witnessed emergence of a proto-religious ceremony (a little card dance) arising from a faulty swipe card reader (randomly deciding) at a door entrance
9:38 AM · Jan 27, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1353264207106551809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Nepopularno mislenje: gradovite se N^2 pati po-produktivni od selata. Ima pricina zasto *civilizacija* podrazbira grad (civil). Ne znaeme sto uspeva, sto ne => da gledame iskustvo. MK da razviva toa sto po iskustvo lici da uspeva: grad -ne selo, kompjuteri -ne zemjodelstvo, i sl.
8:51 AM · Jan 24, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Nepopularno mislenje: gradovite se N^2 pati po-produktivni od selata. Ima pricina zasto *civilizacija* podrazbira grad (civil). Ne znaeme sto uspeva, sto ne => da gledame iskustvo. MK da razviva toa sto po iskustvo lici da uspeva: grad -ne selo, kompjuteri -ne zemjodelstvo, i sl.
8:51 AM · Jan 24, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1353296893456109568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Tocno taka, i zaklucokot od toa e: da pravime infrastruktura, da planirame i sl, da ni bidat gradovite em poubavi, em pogolemi. A ne e - da se vratime site na selo, i da rabotime vo zemjodelstvo. Sto drugo moze da se raboti na selo - selski turizam? Toa e mala industrija.
11:01 AM · Jan 24, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Tocno taka, i zaklucokot od toa e: da pravime infrastruktura, da planirame i sl, da ni bidat gradovite em poubavi, em pogolemi. A ne e - da se vratime site na selo, i da rabotime vo zemjodelstvo. Sto drugo moze da se raboti na selo - selski turizam? Toa e mala industrija.
11:01 AM · Jan 24, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1353299464891543554
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Fair. I ovde vo OK (=Obedineto Kralstvo) ima ist problem: se v/odi vo London (luge, pari, idei). 30g Probuvaat nesto da napravat, retki polu/uspesi: 1) Silen univerzitet + mlada industrija klaster na kampus (Comp, BioTech) 2) Dilsokacija na golemi monopoli - ministerstva, BBC.
11:11 AM · Jan 24, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Fair. I ovde vo OK (=Obedineto Kralstvo) ima ist problem: se v/odi vo London (luge, pari, idei). 30g Probuvaat nesto da napravat, retki polu/uspesi: 1) Silen univerzitet + mlada industrija klaster na kampus (Comp, BioTech) 2) Dilsokacija na golemi monopoli - ministerstva, BBC.
11:11 AM · Jan 24, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1352367122001891334
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Hm, samiot BioNTech e formiran zaradi, i se bavi so RNK terapii, bash za rak. Lekovi za razni vidovi rak im se primarna cel. Koronava im e proekt nastrana od primarnata rabota.
9:27 PM · Jan 21, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TociZS
Hm, samiot BioNTech e formiran zaradi, i se bavi so RNK terapii, bash za rak. Lekovi za razni vidovi rak im se primarna cel. Koronava im e proekt nastrana od primarnata rabota.
9:27 PM · Jan 21, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1352250898433585154
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RichardJMurphy
Yes, of course - and even more. When people say stuff, take them at their word. There is no hidden agenda, 8D chess, impossibly complicated stuff we can't fathom, etc. WYSIWYG
1:45 PM · Jan 21, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @RichardJMurphy
Yes, of course - and even more. When people say stuff, take them at their word. There is no hidden agenda, 8D chess, impossibly complicated stuff we can't fathom, etc. WYSIWYG
1:45 PM · Jan 21, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1352207234097405953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @alikiaj @jp_wanderer and 2 others
Tocno taka. Raboti za koi mislime da se necesnost, korupcija, kriminal i sl, se vsusnost neznaenje, nemanje elementarna logika (po naski "common sense"), glupost. Duri i gledam kaj moi bliski vo MK: nekako polesno im doaga da prifatat deka e kriminal, zagovor, otkolku glupavost?
10:51 AM · Jan 21, 2021·TweetDeck
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @alikiaj @jp_wanderer and 2 others
Tocno taka. Raboti za koi mislime da se necesnost, korupcija, kriminal i sl, se vsusnost neznaenje, nemanje elementarna logika (po naski "common sense"), glupost. Duri i gledam kaj moi bliski vo MK: nekako polesno im doaga da prifatat deka e kriminal, zagovor, otkolku glupavost?
10:51 AM · Jan 21, 2021·TweetDeck
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1351883654356733952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Other errors: masks "not effective" (correct: "masks do help, please all wear them"), mainly spreads "via touch" (correct: "via air, avoid indoors, ventilate, stay outdoors"). Common thread: prior knowledge weight too small compared to empirical evidence weight.
1:25 PM · Jan 20, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Other errors: masks "not effective" (correct: "masks do help, please all wear them"), mainly spreads "via touch" (correct: "via air, avoid indoors, ventilate, stay outdoors"). Common thread: prior knowledge weight too small compared to empirical evidence weight.
1:25 PM · Jan 20, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1351858687959310336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JohnnyParka
Result? - https://mkd.mk/makedonija/razno/dvete-lica-koi-se-zakanuvaa-deka-kje-sechat-glavi-se-od-skopje-i-kje-odgovaraat-za
Socijalnive mediumi davaat rezultat? Ova mass surveilance (site gragani so kameri i mediumi) ne bilo samo -vno, imalo i nesto +vno?
Двете лица кои се закануваа дека ќе сечат глави се од Скопје и ќе
Двајцата насилници кои во автобус на ЈСП се закануваа дека ќе сечат глави и ќе потопат граѓани во киселина заработија кривични пријави на насилство. И едниот и другиот се на возраст од 31 година.
mkd.mk
11:46 AM · Jan 20, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @JohnnyParka
Result? - https://mkd.mk/makedonija/razno/dvete-lica-koi-se-zakanuvaa-deka-kje-sechat-glavi-se-od-skopje-i-kje-odgovaraat-za
Socijalnive mediumi davaat rezultat? Ova mass surveilance (site gragani so kameri i mediumi) ne bilo samo -vno, imalo i nesto +vno?
Двете лица кои се закануваа дека ќе сечат глави се од Скопје и ќе
Двајцата насилници кои во автобус на ЈСП се закануваа дека ќе сечат глави и ќе потопат граѓани во киселина заработија кривични пријави на насилство. И едниот и другиот се на возраст од 31 година.
mkd.mk
11:46 AM · Jan 20, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1350131999177121794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Jane_Sk
He-he - so App! Kako razmena na uslugi, barter na uslugi... Sega lugeto toa mentalno go pravime, tie sto se talentirani za ova, mnogu raboti drzat vo glava, kako N-dimenzionalen sah (jas licno nula talent)
5:25 PM · Jan 15, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @Jane_Sk
He-he - so App! Kako razmena na uslugi, barter na uslugi... Sega lugeto toa mentalno go pravime, tie sto se talentirani za ova, mnogu raboti drzat vo glava, kako N-dimenzionalen sah (jas licno nula talent)
5:25 PM · Jan 15, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1350366224539144193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @therealpsmst @jp_wanderer and @Jane_Sk
Alternativno plakanje: vo samata "valuta" na samiot App. ;-) App kreatorot (i odrzuvac na sistemot) ke dobie uslugi ili vetuvanja za uslugi. Togas problemot ke se pretvori vo: kako da bidat lugeto "chesni", t.e kako da gi filtrirame nechesnite koi ke izlazhat (zemat, a ne dadat).
8:56 AM · Jan 16, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @therealpsmst @jp_wanderer and @Jane_Sk
Alternativno plakanje: vo samata "valuta" na samiot App. ;-) App kreatorot (i odrzuvac na sistemot) ke dobie uslugi ili vetuvanja za uslugi. Togas problemot ke se pretvori vo: kako da bidat lugeto "chesni", t.e kako da gi filtrirame nechesnite koi ke izlazhat (zemat, a ne dadat).
8:56 AM · Jan 16, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1350369340776976384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer @therealpsmst and @Jane_Sk
Haha - tocno taka. Dzvezdicki, recenzii (za po fine-grained feedback), brojce sto kazuva kolku sum "chesen" i si stojam na zborot. (iako vo App-ov, toa "chesen", e malku, hmm... ne bash...)
9:08 AM · Jan 16, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer @therealpsmst and @Jane_Sk
Haha - tocno taka. Dzvezdicki, recenzii (za po fine-grained feedback), brojce sto kazuva kolku sum "chesen" i si stojam na zborot. (iako vo App-ov, toa "chesen", e malku, hmm... ne bash...)
9:08 AM · Jan 16, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1349524625902993410
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @StuartJRitchie
Not my field&don't seek stats after work, but SNPs chosen explain "4.3% of the variance in 25OHD serum levels" (not much?), "1 SD 25OHD serum levels increase translates to rise of 21.1 nmol/L" (not tiny but not much?). No idea why serum levels aren't measured as routine in all.
1:11 AM · Jan 14, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @StuartJRitchie
Not my field&don't seek stats after work, but SNPs chosen explain "4.3% of the variance in 25OHD serum levels" (not much?), "1 SD 25OHD serum levels increase translates to rise of 21.1 nmol/L" (not tiny but not much?). No idea why serum levels aren't measured as routine in all.
1:11 AM · Jan 14, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1346817918672187394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Uh-oh - once-ok, twice-hm... Prevent a hat-trick in time (&do us all a favor), update the VitD article with latest-greatest pls, feedback on the 1st (=non-cranks disagree) should've alerted you're missing a trick. Evidence -on both sides- listed helpfully
Vitamin D and Covid
A comprehensive list of research related to vitamin D and Covid-19
vitamin-d-covid.shotwell.ca
1:56 PM · Jan 6, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @TomChivers
Uh-oh - once-ok, twice-hm... Prevent a hat-trick in time (&do us all a favor), update the VitD article with latest-greatest pls, feedback on the 1st (=non-cranks disagree) should've alerted you're missing a trick. Evidence -on both sides- listed helpfully
Vitamin D and Covid
A comprehensive list of research related to vitamin D and Covid-19
vitamin-d-covid.shotwell.ca
1:56 PM · Jan 6, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1346754290380132353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent on "how do we know": stat knowledge from RCT compared to reasoning from 1st principles & by analogy. RCT is not the only way to know. Bonus pts not missing out on factoring in the expected loss in the decision. Companion ref-ed https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1345800480144945152.html by @robertwiblin
Tom Chivers @TomChivers · 6h
On the NYT’s piece about mix-and-match vaccines, and whether we ought to wait for the perfect evidence before acting https://unherd.com/2021/01/amid-covid-crisis-we-cant-wait-for-perfect-data/
9:43 AM · Jan 6, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Excellent on "how do we know": stat knowledge from RCT compared to reasoning from 1st principles & by analogy. RCT is not the only way to know. Bonus pts not missing out on factoring in the expected loss in the decision. Companion ref-ed https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1345800480144945152.html by @robertwiblin
Tom Chivers @TomChivers · 6h
On the NYT’s piece about mix-and-match vaccines, and whether we ought to wait for the perfect evidence before acting https://unherd.com/2021/01/amid-covid-crisis-we-cant-wait-for-perfect-data/
9:43 AM · Jan 6, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1346588440624820225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MWStory
Usually under appreciated, what treasure a historic record of us, is. Even as recently as now-1yr - our memory is short, we forget most of what drove us to take a particular path. It is also surprisingly hard, to record history in some fidelity, not knowing in advance its use(r)s
10:44 PM · Jan 5, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MWStory
Usually under appreciated, what treasure a historic record of us, is. Even as recently as now-1yr - our memory is short, we forget most of what drove us to take a particular path. It is also surprisingly hard, to record history in some fidelity, not knowing in advance its use(r)s
10:44 PM · Jan 5, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1346418032277659649
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
What's to be done? Elements of improvements 1) Radical transparency - make local feedback loops cheaper, increase local control 2) Online citizenship, citizen wikis deliberations leading to proposals - decrease costs of cooperation e.g Taiwan (CC @arisroussinos, @OdysseanProject)
11:27 AM · Jan 5, 2021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @s8mb
What's to be done? Elements of improvements 1) Radical transparency - make local feedback loops cheaper, increase local control 2) Online citizenship, citizen wikis deliberations leading to proposals - decrease costs of cooperation e.g Taiwan (CC @arisroussinos, @OdysseanProject)
11:27 AM · Jan 5, 2021
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344217371486134273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@Zoran_Zaev Veruvam cekor nula vo adresiranje na ovoj problem (i za 1000 drugi) e "radikalna transparentnost" - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radical_transparency. Ima junaci da nadgleduvaat lokalni pashi, ama e napor. "Radikalna transparentnost" na site nivoa bi pomognala, bi go malku "izramnila" terenot.
Quote Tweet
О2 Иницијатива @O2Inicijativa · Dec 28
Во петокот следевме седница на општина Центар, без потреба за одење во збутани простории каде ќе бидеме набљудувани дали снимаме. Наместо самите да се погрижат што повеќе јавност да ги следи, носење буџетот во Карпош се третира како врвна тајна.
https://twitter.com/O2Inicijativa/status/1343481630489501696
9:42 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@Zoran_Zaev Veruvam cekor nula vo adresiranje na ovoj problem (i za 1000 drugi) e "radikalna transparentnost" - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radical_transparency. Ima junaci da nadgleduvaat lokalni pashi, ama e napor. "Radikalna transparentnost" na site nivoa bi pomognala, bi go malku "izramnila" terenot.
Quote Tweet
О2 Иницијатива @O2Inicijativa · Dec 28
Во петокот следевме седница на општина Центар, без потреба за одење во збутани простории каде ќе бидеме набљудувани дали снимаме. Наместо самите да се погрижат што повеќе јавност да ги следи, носење буџетот во Карпош се третира како врвна тајна.
https://twitter.com/O2Inicijativa/status/1343481630489501696
9:42 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344203281279680513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @peseva and @jp_wanderer
Zasto? Iako licno kako domasen (na niv) malku navivav za niv po osnov "domasen tim" [[[Grinning face]]] - no: po tehnologija, novive tipovi so mRNA na BioNTech i Moderna, se head-and-shoulders/sleden cekor napred, sledna generacija. Primer (za kompjuterdzii)
https://berthub.eu/articles/posts/reverse-engineering-source-code-of-the-biontech-pfizer-vaccine/
Reverse Engineering the source code of the BioNTech/Pfizer SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine
Welcome! In this post, we'll be taking a character-by-character look at the source code of the BioNTech/Pfizer SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine.
8:46 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @peseva and @jp_wanderer
Zasto? Iako licno kako domasen (na niv) malku navivav za niv po osnov "domasen tim" [[[Grinning face]]] - no: po tehnologija, novive tipovi so mRNA na BioNTech i Moderna, se head-and-shoulders/sleden cekor napred, sledna generacija. Primer (za kompjuterdzii)
https://berthub.eu/articles/posts/reverse-engineering-source-code-of-the-biontech-pfizer-vaccine/
Reverse Engineering the source code of the BioNTech/Pfizer SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine
Welcome! In this post, we'll be taking a character-by-character look at the source code of the BioNTech/Pfizer SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine.
8:46 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344206441591279617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da, agreed, tocno: logisticki mnogu polesni. Izgleda so Oxford ke moze masovno vakciniranje. Kako i samoto proizvodstvo da e polesno, kako da uspevaat da proizvedat mnogu pogolem broj (red na velicina) dozi od tipot na Oxford (i Sinovac, Sputnik etc) sporedeno so mRNA vakcini.
8:59 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da, agreed, tocno: logisticki mnogu polesni. Izgleda so Oxford ke moze masovno vakciniranje. Kako i samoto proizvodstvo da e polesno, kako da uspevaat da proizvedat mnogu pogolem broj (red na velicina) dozi od tipot na Oxford (i Sinovac, Sputnik etc) sporedeno so mRNA vakcini.
8:59 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344210232042524672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da, na nekoi kadri na dokumentarecov https://bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m000qdzd/panorama-the-race-for-a-vaccine (Panorama-"The Race for a Vaccine"; treba vpn+id+post kod, no prifaka se) izgledase kako samoto proizvodstvo da e manufakturno. Pomalku ganc nova hi-tec fabrika, poveke - ogromni burinja, cevki i creva, kako za rasol [[[Smiling face with open mouth and tightly-closed eyes]]]
Panorama - The Race for a Vaccine
Panorama tells the inside story of the development of the Oxford vaccine against Covid-19.
bbc.co.uk
9:14 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da, na nekoi kadri na dokumentarecov https://bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m000qdzd/panorama-the-race-for-a-vaccine (Panorama-"The Race for a Vaccine"; treba vpn+id+post kod, no prifaka se) izgledase kako samoto proizvodstvo da e manufakturno. Pomalku ganc nova hi-tec fabrika, poveke - ogromni burinja, cevki i creva, kako za rasol [[[Smiling face with open mouth and tightly-closed eyes]]]
Panorama - The Race for a Vaccine
Panorama tells the inside story of the development of the Oxford vaccine against Covid-19.
bbc.co.uk
9:14 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344211052557463552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da!! [[[Face with tears of joy]]] A rabotnicive visoko-kvalifikuvana no manuelna rabotna raka - PhD studenti! [[[Smiling face with open mouth and tightly-closed eyes]]]
9:17 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da!! [[[Face with tears of joy]]] A rabotnicive visoko-kvalifikuvana no manuelna rabotna raka - PhD studenti! [[[Smiling face with open mouth and tightly-closed eyes]]]
9:17 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344224612863913986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer @peseva and @atortevski
Denes-
> Having studied evidence on both the BioNTech & Oxford Uni vaccines, the JCVI has advised the priority should be to give as many people in at-risk groups their first dose, rather than providing the required two doses in as short a time as possible.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/oxford-universityastrazeneca-vaccine-authorised-by-uk-medicines-regulator
Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine authorised by UK medicines regulator
Update from the Government about the Oxford University/AstraZeneca’s Covid-19 vaccine.
10:11 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer @peseva and @atortevski
Denes-
> Having studied evidence on both the BioNTech & Oxford Uni vaccines, the JCVI has advised the priority should be to give as many people in at-risk groups their first dose, rather than providing the required two doses in as short a time as possible.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/oxford-universityastrazeneca-vaccine-authorised-by-uk-medicines-regulator
Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine authorised by UK medicines regulator
Update from the Government about the Oxford University/AstraZeneca’s Covid-19 vaccine.
10:11 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344228006290726912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @atortevski @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da. Dosega ovie sto gi dizajniraat vakcinive kako da ne se uplasija od novata varijanta od OK. Ama za varijantata od JA (=Juzna Afrika) kako da se malku uplaseni (Re: vakcini). Vo taa smisla, pomalo zlo e da se rasiri OK, otkolku JA, varijantata. [[[Face with open mouth]]]
10:25 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @atortevski @jp_wanderer and @peseva
Da. Dosega ovie sto gi dizajniraat vakcinive kako da ne se uplasija od novata varijanta od OK. Ama za varijantata od JA (=Juzna Afrika) kako da se malku uplaseni (Re: vakcini). Vo taa smisla, pomalo zlo e da se rasiri OK, otkolku JA, varijantata. [[[Face with open mouth]]]
10:25 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344091954175496193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
Haha [[[Grinning face with smiling eyes]]] - yes, silly complaint. Every type needs an out-of-band value, a null/None, value signifying missing, unknown. Floating point has NaN, 0 is convenient value to use as "invalid index". Have seen integers use MIN_INT as NaN for ints.
1:24 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
Haha [[[Grinning face with smiling eyes]]] - yes, silly complaint. Every type needs an out-of-band value, a null/None, value signifying missing, unknown. Floating point has NaN, 0 is convenient value to use as "invalid index". Have seen integers use MIN_INT as NaN for ints.
1:24 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1344194046579900417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
[[[Smiling face with smiling eyes]]] Thanks. Also "functionally related" type to index - pointer, does have NULL that is 0 as similar "invalid value".
8:10 AM · Dec 30, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @erikengheim
[[[Smiling face with smiling eyes]]] Thanks. Also "functionally related" type to index - pointer, does have NULL that is 0 as similar "invalid value".
8:10 AM · Dec 30, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343513860855238656
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
About the only vaguely interesting thing I ever heard a priest say (at a funeral): "It is all vanity, we come from dust, we return to dust".
11:07 AM · Dec 28, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
About the only vaguely interesting thing I ever heard a priest say (at a funeral): "It is all vanity, we come from dust, we return to dust".
11:07 AM · Dec 28, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343515509497753600
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
Yes, quite amazing. The atoms get re-used, recycled, as nature is mostly all chemical reactions, nuclear reactions are rare. Maybe even molecules (like water?) that easy to reuse and hard to synthesize?
11:13 AM · Dec 28, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
Yes, quite amazing. The atoms get re-used, recycled, as nature is mostly all chemical reactions, nuclear reactions are rare. Maybe even molecules (like water?) that easy to reuse and hard to synthesize?
11:13 AM · Dec 28, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343518159425384450
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
Indeed, one can but gawk in wonder. As if we got to be built from a set of Lego blocks, a chance build out of the blocks, result more or less good or interesting or ... etc. Then we are dis-assembled, and the blocks get re-used, as if given to the next one, their turn to try.
11:24 AM · Dec 28, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
Indeed, one can but gawk in wonder. As if we got to be built from a set of Lego blocks, a chance build out of the blocks, result more or less good or interesting or ... etc. Then we are dis-assembled, and the blocks get re-used, as if given to the next one, their turn to try.
11:24 AM · Dec 28, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343523761451126786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
Ha-ha - yes, it would be a brave marketing, but @LEGO_Group is probably in as good a position as anyone can hope for to be (all things considered), to be able to pull it off!
11:46 AM · Dec 28, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick
Ha-ha - yes, it would be a brave marketing, but @LEGO_Group is probably in as good a position as anyone can hope for to be (all things considered), to be able to pull it off!
11:46 AM · Dec 28, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343526169103241217
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick and @LEGO_Group
Yes, the blocks have become more (too?) specialized, consequences being: 1) it was harder to re-use them in ~2010, compared to how I remembered them from ~1980; 2) there are way more types, so harder to keep all the different types in my head. (prob my memory declined too)
11:56 AM · Dec 28, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick and @LEGO_Group
Yes, the blocks have become more (too?) specialized, consequences being: 1) it was harder to re-use them in ~2010, compared to how I remembered them from ~1980; 2) there are way more types, so harder to keep all the different types in my head. (prob my memory declined too)
11:56 AM · Dec 28, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343162011199418370
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love this minimal, sufficient and practical nation definition in @plegrain 's excellent book "Them and Us: How immigrants and locals can thrive together" https://amazon.co.uk/dp/1786077906/
[[[ In other words, a nation consists of people who feel they have enough in common with each other to accept being ruled by a government elected by a majority of them. By that definition, Scotland is a nation; even those who want Scotland to remained in the UK accept the legitimacy of the Scotish government. But Northern Ireland isn't: Protestant Unionists and Catholic Nationalists consider themselves so different that they accept only to share power, not to be ruled by a majority of the people of Northern Ireland. ]]]
11:49 AM · Dec 27, 2020·Twitter for Android
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Love this minimal, sufficient and practical nation definition in @plegrain 's excellent book "Them and Us: How immigrants and locals can thrive together" https://amazon.co.uk/dp/1786077906/
[[[ In other words, a nation consists of people who feel they have enough in common with each other to accept being ruled by a government elected by a majority of them. By that definition, Scotland is a nation; even those who want Scotland to remained in the UK accept the legitimacy of the Scotish government. But Northern Ireland isn't: Protestant Unionists and Catholic Nationalists consider themselves so different that they accept only to share power, not to be ruled by a majority of the people of Northern Ireland. ]]]
11:49 AM · Dec 27, 2020·Twitter for Android
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
По дефиницијата што е цитирана - и што ми се виде таман, ни пре широка, ни пре тесна - се нација. Ако 49 што изгубиле, ја прифаќаат вољата на 51 што победиле (и не сакаат да се сепарираат) - тогаш тие 100 чинат нација.
По дефиницијата што е цитирана - и што ми се виде таман, ни пре широка, ни пре тесна - се нација. Ако 49 што изгубиле, ја прифаќаат вољата на 51 што победиле (и не сакаат да се сепарираат) - тогаш тие 100 чинат нација.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 1h
Toe e vazno, ama i drugi raboti se vazni. Konecna odluka e (posle jazici, kulturi, etc etc): ako 49% gubitnici prifakaat da bidat vladeeni od 51% pobednici. Dali tie 49% dovolno im veruvaat na ostanatite 51%, ili ne? Ako da => edna nacija, ako ne => ne se edna nacija.
Toe e vazno, ama i drugi raboti se vazni. Konecna odluka e (posle jazici, kulturi, etc etc): ako 49% gubitnici prifakaat da bidat vladeeni od 51% pobednici. Dali tie 49% dovolno im veruvaat na ostanatite 51%, ili ne? Ako da => edna nacija, ako ne => ne se edna nacija.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343213049424064519
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Populism - the word is overloaded (like US vs. UK Liberal). The originals (correctly) diagnosed the source of their woes (gold standard) & fought for "bimetalism" - see "Cross of gold" speech, @thomasfrank_ 's https://amazon.co.uk/dp/1912854228/. 1/
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Populism - the word is overloaded (like US vs. UK Liberal). The originals (correctly) diagnosed the source of their woes (gold standard) & fought for "bimetalism" - see "Cross of gold" speech, @thomasfrank_ 's https://amazon.co.uk/dp/1912854228/. 1/
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 2h
Replying to @ljupc0 @SiGornick and 2 others
East Europe populs are fakes, Orban&Co ends in mass corruption. But correct in rejecting the "gold standard equivalent" balanced budget (see ordoliberalism @zeithistoriker). Poland the "Growth Champion of Europe" by @mmpiatkowski ~10% deficit p.a, outside EUR - worked fine. 2/end
Replying to @ljupc0 @SiGornick and 2 others
East Europe populs are fakes, Orban&Co ends in mass corruption. But correct in rejecting the "gold standard equivalent" balanced budget (see ordoliberalism @zeithistoriker). Poland the "Growth Champion of Europe" by @mmpiatkowski ~10% deficit p.a, outside EUR - worked fine. 2/end
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1343232997177364483
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick @plegrain and @thomasfrank_
Yess Smiling face - me too. Random @thomasfrank_ bookmarks, recent https://youtube.com/watch?v=snF6cBPMmU4&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlV0qVVlNyNDqnTjtbJWg3Nb&index=4 , also https://youtube.com/watch?v=NIcOCZbb2Bs&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlV0qVVlNyNDqnTjtbJWg3Nb&index=5. (from https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLV-HfiyiNTlV0qVVlNyNDqnTjtbJWg3Nb)
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SiGornick @plegrain and @thomasfrank_
Yess Smiling face - me too. Random @thomasfrank_ bookmarks, recent https://youtube.com/watch?v=snF6cBPMmU4&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlV0qVVlNyNDqnTjtbJWg3Nb&index=4 , also https://youtube.com/watch?v=NIcOCZbb2Bs&list=PLV-HfiyiNTlV0qVVlNyNDqnTjtbJWg3Nb&index=5. (from https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLV-HfiyiNTlV0qVVlNyNDqnTjtbJWg3Nb)
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342851356013572096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @batakoja
Tocno taka - se ke isprobas, i medicina i ne-medicina. Duri i racionalno e da probas ne-medicina: "Da, znam deka ova pomaga na 1 od 10K (ili 10M, ili 10B ...). Ama mozebi ke bidam jas toj 1? Sto imam da izgubam - nisto." A posebno pak koga odlucuvas za drug, a ne samo za sebe.
3:14 PM · Dec 26, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @batakoja
Tocno taka - se ke isprobas, i medicina i ne-medicina. Duri i racionalno e da probas ne-medicina: "Da, znam deka ova pomaga na 1 od 10K (ili 10M, ili 10B ...). Ama mozebi ke bidam jas toj 1? Sto imam da izgubam - nisto." A posebno pak koga odlucuvas za drug, a ne samo za sebe.
3:14 PM · Dec 26, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342854387924938753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 and @batakoja
Razlika br.2 (br.1 e medicina funkcionira, ne-medicina ne funkcionira; no toa e vo idnina, pacientot ne moze da znae seuste) e nadrilekarite sekomu davaa ist lek. Makes sense - nemaat oni 50 lekovi pa za razlicna bolka, razlicen lek. Ne - posto imaat 1, site istiot go dobivaat.
3:26 PM · Dec 26, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ljupc0 and @batakoja
Razlika br.2 (br.1 e medicina funkcionira, ne-medicina ne funkcionira; no toa e vo idnina, pacientot ne moze da znae seuste) e nadrilekarite sekomu davaa ist lek. Makes sense - nemaat oni 50 lekovi pa za razlicna bolka, razlicen lek. Ne - posto imaat 1, site istiot go dobivaat.
3:26 PM · Dec 26, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342135486467465217
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @anomieatg @JimmyMonsieur and 2 others
Took 12 years after the system crashed for a substantial self-reflection. As you noted, not much on how to get the wish list done now. Fyi @CJFDillow has written e.g https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2020/12/restraining-capital.html, also https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2020/11/full-employment-capitalism-regress.html, why it'll be anything but easy to get anything done.
3:50 PM · Dec 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @anomieatg @JimmyMonsieur and 2 others
Took 12 years after the system crashed for a substantial self-reflection. As you noted, not much on how to get the wish list done now. Fyi @CJFDillow has written e.g https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2020/12/restraining-capital.html, also https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2020/11/full-employment-capitalism-regress.html, why it'll be anything but easy to get anything done.
3:50 PM · Dec 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342075569043877893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Socialism (as we called it; communism was to be in the future) did the job of nation building in MK post WW2: infrastructure, industry, education, health, state admin, courts, (rubber stamp) parliament. Previously post WW1 capitalism nation building failed or run out of time.
11:52 AM · Dec 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @thomasforth
Socialism (as we called it; communism was to be in the future) did the job of nation building in MK post WW2: infrastructure, industry, education, health, state admin, courts, (rubber stamp) parliament. Previously post WW1 capitalism nation building failed or run out of time.
11:52 AM · Dec 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342050777657962498
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pauldekort1
They were never going to have a good pandemic - disasters typically require collective action/response. The sound of shattered illusions... It's easy to convince self that recent expansion of personal liberty hasn't got much to do with the parallel nation state expansion.
10:13 AM · Dec 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pauldekort1
They were never going to have a good pandemic - disasters typically require collective action/response. The sound of shattered illusions... It's easy to convince self that recent expansion of personal liberty hasn't got much to do with the parallel nation state expansion.
10:13 AM · Dec 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342029249977479169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer @spectator and @afneil
Wiser in your dreams. On planet earth the professional ignoramus had the banks he'd overseen go bankrupt under him, the financial system got 2 days to collapse. Non feeble minded among us (e.g @TomChivers) think "surely can't be" https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/ - but it is @FraserNelson
8:48 AM · Dec 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @pdboxer @spectator and @afneil
Wiser in your dreams. On planet earth the professional ignoramus had the banks he'd overseen go bankrupt under him, the financial system got 2 days to collapse. Non feeble minded among us (e.g @TomChivers) think "surely can't be" https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/ - but it is @FraserNelson
8:48 AM · Dec 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341977684600094721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CarpeZytha @spectator and @afneil
Sure - he did such a stellar job last time, with the banks - that they all blew up. Judging per the column, he's learned little since. His book on the matter ("lessons learned") is shocking. How did his bunch ever do their jobs, is a mystery.
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
Are economists really this stupid? - UnHerd
Mervyn King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
5:23 AM · Dec 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @CarpeZytha @spectator and @afneil
Sure - he did such a stellar job last time, with the banks - that they all blew up. Judging per the column, he's learned little since. His book on the matter ("lessons learned") is shocking. How did his bunch ever do their jobs, is a mystery.
https://unherd.com/2020/02/the-madness-of-mervyn-kings-uncertainty/
Are economists really this stupid? - UnHerd
Mervyn King's new book insists that we shouldn't use numbers when forecasting
5:23 AM · Dec 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341967234978164736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @spectator and @afneil
(Face with tears of joy) King "my banks blew up on my watch" (Grimacing face)
>they will defend their mystique – that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon
>As a result, tormenting central bankers is great fun
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-central-bankers-fear-modern-monetary-theory-by-james-k-galbraith-2020-12
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342492909552234496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh - what history? Afaics @wbmosler's description of our own daily lived reality, in a functioning fiat currency system, is hardly something from the past. In contrast, King & Co mambo-jumbo reads like high priests' incantations that the gods will get angry at us uppity plebs.
4:30 PM · Dec 25, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @spectator and @afneil
(Face with tears of joy) King "my banks blew up on my watch" (Grimacing face)
>they will defend their mystique – that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon
>As a result, tormenting central bankers is great fun
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-central-bankers-fear-modern-monetary-theory-by-james-k-galbraith-2020-12
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1342492909552234496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh - what history? Afaics @wbmosler's description of our own daily lived reality, in a functioning fiat currency system, is hardly something from the past. In contrast, King & Co mambo-jumbo reads like high priests' incantations that the gods will get angry at us uppity plebs.
4:30 PM · Dec 25, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341810724352520195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrankoMilan and @martinwolf_
Good if overdue reflection on "where did liberalism go wrong". Still no args why would any of the "wished for" improvements (in the @fromTGA ref too) happen. No change in the past ~10yrs - how'd happen now? Args why no change will come by @CJFDillow e.g https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2020/12/restraining-capital.html (Restraining capital)
6:19 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @BrankoMilan and @martinwolf_
Good if overdue reflection on "where did liberalism go wrong". Still no args why would any of the "wished for" improvements (in the @fromTGA ref too) happen. No change in the past ~10yrs - how'd happen now? Args why no change will come by @CJFDillow e.g https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2020/12/restraining-capital.html (Restraining capital)
6:19 PM · Dec 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341814484856397827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MattBruenig @stern_tomer and 4 others
They (in 1948) did it by building it, by doing it - that is the hard part. Certainly not by twiddling their thumbs and obsessing "deary us, how will we pay for it". That and Aneurin Bevan "stuffing the mouths (of the doctor's lobby) with gold".
6:34 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MattBruenig @stern_tomer and 4 others
They (in 1948) did it by building it, by doing it - that is the hard part. Certainly not by twiddling their thumbs and obsessing "deary us, how will we pay for it". That and Aneurin Bevan "stuffing the mouths (of the doctor's lobby) with gold".
6:34 PM · Dec 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341818738719518723
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dtrifuno @nick_evans and 7 others
The war against inflation was won by 1980, and followed by 40 years of deflationary policies. The patient suffering from high temperature, had it lowered (good), and years latter, still same medicine is being applied, even if the patient is hypothermic and freezing now (bad).
6:51 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @dtrifuno @nick_evans and 7 others
The war against inflation was won by 1980, and followed by 40 years of deflationary policies. The patient suffering from high temperature, had it lowered (good), and years latter, still same medicine is being applied, even if the patient is hypothermic and freezing now (bad).
6:51 PM · Dec 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341751421801213953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jamiesusskind @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
Thanks for being open minded. Two numbers are at play: 1st is effect size (height, vertical), 2nd is a distance/dispersion (around 1st) measuring our (un)certainty about the 1st (width, the horizontal). Cue endless confusion. I wish statistics invented its own words for them.
2:24 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jamiesusskind @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
Thanks for being open minded. Two numbers are at play: 1st is effect size (height, vertical), 2nd is a distance/dispersion (around 1st) measuring our (un)certainty about the 1st (width, the horizontal). Cue endless confusion. I wish statistics invented its own words for them.
2:24 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Jamie Susskind @jamiesusskind
Replying to @ljupc0 @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
Possibly, I just wanted to join in. Statistics not my thing
1:45 PM · Dec 23, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
Replying to @ljupc0 @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
Possibly, I just wanted to join in. Statistics not my thing
1:45 PM · Dec 23, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jamiesusskind @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
But that's exactly wrong - no? An effect can be "statistically significant" while being "insubstantial, immaterial, trivial" - bacause the size of the effect is small. We are just very certain it is not zero. The size may be 1e-38 for all we care, we'll still say "significant". 1:44 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Replying to @jamiesusskind @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
But that's exactly wrong - no? An effect can be "statistically significant" while being "insubstantial, immaterial, trivial" - bacause the size of the effect is small. We are just very certain it is not zero. The size may be 1e-38 for all we care, we'll still say "significant". 1:44 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Jamie Susskind @jamiesusskind
Replying to @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
[lawyer walks in]
“Substantial, material, nontrivial?”
[lawyer leaves]
1:36 PM · Dec 23, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
Replying to @jamesrbuk and @TomChivers
[lawyer walks in]
“Substantial, material, nontrivial?”
[lawyer leaves]
1:36 PM · Dec 23, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341753958273085440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MattBruenig @stern_tomer and 4 others
Whoa - somewhat "it is difficult to get a man to understand something..." there Ask yourself: why is mine usually the losing side? Why do my opponents regularly run deficits with no electoral harm? Why are we indulged in the satisfaction of being right while out of power?
2:34 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MattBruenig @stern_tomer and 4 others
Whoa - somewhat "it is difficult to get a man to understand something..." there Ask yourself: why is mine usually the losing side? Why do my opponents regularly run deficits with no electoral harm? Why are we indulged in the satisfaction of being right while out of power?
2:34 PM · Dec 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341745111886163969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @murraynmitch1 @MattBruenig and 5 others
They could (they don't have to), and they do shred any cash collected. And sell it as "shredded notes". Life stranger than fiction, eh?
Grinning face with smiling eyes
1:58 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @murraynmitch1 @MattBruenig and 5 others
They could (they don't have to), and they do shred any cash collected. And sell it as "shredded notes". Life stranger than fiction, eh?
Grinning face with smiling eyes
1:58 PM · Dec 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341703944322596864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @moveincircles and @unherd
Freedom is good, but it is not the only good thing, other things are good too. Most people instinctively know this and act on it accordingly. Looks like while trying too hard, libertarian ideas end up pushing against reality. Old link https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/marxism-of-the-right/ (Marxism of the Right | The American Conservative)
11:15 AM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @moveincircles and @unherd
Freedom is good, but it is not the only good thing, other things are good too. Most people instinctively know this and act on it accordingly. Looks like while trying too hard, libertarian ideas end up pushing against reality. Old link https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/marxism-of-the-right/ (Marxism of the Right | The American Conservative)
11:15 AM · Dec 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341765663547863043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MichaelLevich @unspecifiedlD and 2 others
Growing up in a socialist country inoculated me of enthusiastic proclamations of virtue. Sorry to disappoint. On "libertarians... toe-curling... teenage Marxists and Students for Christ..." saw this earlier https://lawliberty.org/book-review/of-conservatism-and-salesmanship/. With apologies, could not resist
3:20 PM · Dec 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @MichaelLevich @unspecifiedlD and 2 others
Growing up in a socialist country inoculated me of enthusiastic proclamations of virtue. Sorry to disappoint. On "libertarians... toe-curling... teenage Marxists and Students for Christ..." saw this earlier https://lawliberty.org/book-review/of-conservatism-and-salesmanship/. With apologies, could not resist
3:20 PM · Dec 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1340994666804760576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arisroussinos
Uh-oh - the nation of Smith and Ricardo reduced to autarky... Hope it will remain only a hallucination by the light headed. There are arguments against (and for!) long supply chains, but I doubt a UK version of the "Great Leap Forward" with journalists tilling the fields is it.
12:16 PM · Dec 21, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @arisroussinos
Uh-oh - the nation of Smith and Ricardo reduced to autarky... Hope it will remain only a hallucination by the light headed. There are arguments against (and for!) long supply chains, but I doubt a UK version of the "Great Leap Forward" with journalists tilling the fields is it.
12:16 PM · Dec 21, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341010931644571651
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Generalno - ne cekaj, begaj! (i ne se vrti nazad) ;-) Ogranizacii (kako i organizmi!) ednas koga ke pro-funkcioniraat, mnogu tesko se menuvaat. Zatoa - stari (i polosi) umiraat, novi (i podobri) se ragaat (i gi zamenuvaat starive). I taka odi svetot napred. :-O
1:21 PM · Dec 21, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @jp_wanderer
Generalno - ne cekaj, begaj! (i ne se vrti nazad) ;-) Ogranizacii (kako i organizmi!) ednas koga ke pro-funkcioniraat, mnogu tesko se menuvaat. Zatoa - stari (i polosi) umiraat, novi (i podobri) se ragaat (i gi zamenuvaat starive). I taka odi svetot napred. :-O
1:21 PM · Dec 21, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1341337454050197505
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kamijon007
Мутира цело време и секаде. Најчесто мали промени, поретко големи промени. Дознаваме откако ќе земеме примероци, секвенционираме, и направиме дрво од сите верзии, најслични најблиску, и броиме колку примероци од која верзија. Во Англија конзорциум лабаратории 140К секвенци досега
10:59 AM · Dec 22, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kamijon007
Мутира цело време и секаде. Најчесто мали промени, поретко големи промени. Дознаваме откако ќе земеме примероци, секвенционираме, и направиме дрво од сите верзии, најслични најблиску, и броиме колку примероци од која верзија. Во Англија конзорциум лабаратории 140К секвенци досега
10:59 AM · Dec 22, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1242765285825884166
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 25
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Штом мора да смислиш вакви фантазии, сфаќаш сам дека си во криво. Пари има. ЕУ ти кажа во петокот- https://euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/commission-proposes-unprecedented-suspension-of-eus-fiscal-rules/. Пари има, нема желба да се потрошат на народот. Се измислува страв од инфлација, се потхранува егото на приватниот сектор (стварале, а другиве трошеле) etc
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 25
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Штом мора да смислиш вакви фантазии, сфаќаш сам дека си во криво. Пари има. ЕУ ти кажа во петокот- https://euractiv.com/section/economy-jobs/news/commission-proposes-unprecedented-suspension-of-eus-fiscal-rules/. Пари има, нема желба да се потрошат на народот. Се измислува страв од инфлација, се потхранува егото на приватниот сектор (стварале, а другиве трошеле) etc
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1244238003763056640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
> Кина, Америка, Германија се на колена и спремаат огромни финансиски пакети за да си ја спасат економијата
Vo tie nivni paketi, nema nekade nekoj da go stavi javniot sektor na minimalec. Naprotiv, mu davaat na privatniot sektor, od drzaven deficit, bez da zemat od javniot.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
> Кина, Америка, Германија се на колена и спремаат огромни финансиски пакети за да си ја спасат економијата
Vo tie nivni paketi, nema nekade nekoj da go stavi javniot sektor na minimalec. Naprotiv, mu davaat na privatniot sektor, od drzaven deficit, bez da zemat od javniot.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1244239626681933824
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Jas rabotam vo privaten sektor, sam za sebe (ne vo MKD). I rabotam so pari. :-) Ne se zadozluvaat Америка, Кина и Германија, tuku kreiraat novi pari (so zakon za budzet). Ti slusni gi izvorno sto kazuvaat Merkel i Tramp, ili procitaj gi nivnite izjavi. Nema zadolzuvanje.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Jas rabotam vo privaten sektor, sam za sebe (ne vo MKD). I rabotam so pari. :-) Ne se zadozluvaat Америка, Кина и Германија, tuku kreiraat novi pari (so zakon za budzet). Ti slusni gi izvorno sto kazuvaat Merkel i Tramp, ili procitaj gi nivnite izjavi. Nema zadolzuvanje.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1242446748221661184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Не се корисни, се штетни и за јавниот сектор и за приватниот. Јавниот го убиваат директно, приватниот посредно индиректно. Утре тие буџетари што паднаа на минималец, нема да купат роба. Приватникот што ја прави таа роба нема да ја продаде. Приватникот ќе пропадне. И така во круг.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Не се корисни, се штетни и за јавниот сектор и за приватниот. Јавниот го убиваат директно, приватниот посредно индиректно. Утре тие буџетари што паднаа на минималец, нема да купат роба. Приватникот што ја прави таа роба нема да ја продаде. Приватникот ќе пропадне. И така во круг.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Административците купуваат од приватниците. Ако не купуваат, приватниците нема да произведуваат. Приходот на привантиот сектор ќе колабира со оваа безумна мерка. Јавниот сектор е реален. Државната администрација е „реален сектор", не имагинарен. Не е нож до коска, тие не се зло.
Административците купуваат од приватниците. Ако не купуваат, приватниците нема да произведуваат. Приходот на привантиот сектор ќе колабира со оваа безумна мерка. Јавниот сектор е реален. Државната администрација е „реален сектор", не имагинарен. Не е нож до коска, тие не се зло.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Озбилен сум. Ти дали работиш во приватен сектор? Цела роба што ја произведува приватниот сектор, мора некому да ја продаде. Ако јавниот сектор ја преполови куповната моќ, кому ќе ја продаде приватниот сектор робата? Кој ќе им ја купи?
Озбилен сум. Ти дали работиш во приватен сектор? Цела роба што ја произведува приватниот сектор, мора некому да ја продаде. Ако јавниот сектор ја преполови куповната моќ, кому ќе ја продаде приватниот сектор робата? Кој ќе им ја купи?
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
На твојата фирма треба владата да помогне, да плати платите на работниците (привремено), ја ослободи фирмата од данок, да даде кредит за да не пропадне (како во DE FR UK). На комшијата ако му умре козата, нема тебе да ти се роди. Ако тие пропаднат, и ти ќе пропаднеш, заедно сте.
На твојата фирма треба владата да помогне, да плати платите на работниците (привремено), ја ослободи фирмата од данок, да даде кредит за да не пропадне (како во DE FR UK). На комшијата ако му умре козата, нема тебе да ти се роди. Ако тие пропаднат, и ти ќе пропаднеш, заедно сте.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Има пари. Македонија е сега побогата од било кога во историја. НБМ ќе створи денари колку што требаат. Девизни резерви исто највисоки во МКД историја. Ако не стигаат, ќе репрограмираме странски кредити, само камата и сл. Целта сега е да се задржи производството, не да се уништи.
Има пари. Македонија е сега побогата од било кога во историја. НБМ ќе створи денари колку што требаат. Девизни резерви исто највисоки во МКД историја. Ако не стигаат, ќе репрограмираме странски кредити, само камата и сл. Целта сега е да се задржи производството, не да се уништи.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
НБМ не само што има и право, туку има и обврска, да направи тоа што ќе му нареди собранието (или сега при вонредна состојба, владата). Тоа го прави со секој закон за буџет, секоја година. ДЕН не е фиксиран за ЕУР, туку е floating.
НБМ не само што има и право, туку има и обврска, да направи тоа што ќе му нареди собранието (или сега при вонредна состојба, владата). Тоа го прави со секој закон за буџет, секоја година. ДЕН не е фиксиран за ЕУР, туку е floating.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Никакви практики и никакви причини не постојат за уништување на јавниот сектор. Со директно уништување на јавниот, се уништува посредно и приватниот сектор. Ако не знаеш што да правиш, погледну наоколу дали некој прави тоа што ние правиме.
Никакви практики и никакви причини не постојат за уништување на јавниот сектор. Со директно уништување на јавниот, се уништува посредно и приватниот сектор. Ако не знаеш што да правиш, погледну наоколу дали некој прави тоа што ние правиме.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Не постои на светот проспоритетна земја која нема голем јавен сектор. Јавниот сектор не и смета на МКД да стане просперитетна. Мерки како оваа, која директно го убиваат јавниот, а посредно го убиваат и приватниот сектор, нема помагаат. „Кратење" е обратно од растење, развој.
Не постои на светот проспоритетна земја која нема голем јавен сектор. Јавниот сектор не и смета на МКД да стане просперитетна. Мерки како оваа, која директно го убиваат јавниот, а посредно го убиваат и приватниот сектор, нема помагаат. „Кратење" е обратно од растење, развој.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Трескаш без врска. Заедно сте со комшијата. Дури има тој коза, ќе делите млеко. Ако ја умрете и таа коза, и двајцата ќе немате. Здружени со комшијата ќе купите коза и за тебе. Твојата умре, не ја убивајте и на комшијата. Сега една фали, така две ќе ви фалат, двајца ќе немате.
Трескаш без врска. Заедно сте со комшијата. Дури има тој коза, ќе делите млеко. Ако ја умрете и таа коза, и двајцата ќе немате. Здружени со комшијата ќе купите коза и за тебе. Твојата умре, не ја убивајте и на комшијата. Сега една фали, така две ќе ви фалат, двајца ќе немате.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Ти немаш коза. Нели фирмата ти ја затворија газдите пред 10 дена? Ти умре тебе козата тогаш.
Ти немаш коза. Нели фирмата ти ја затворија газдите пред 10 дена? Ти умре тебе козата тогаш.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @kjosmofon @enginebluewater and @ddimkooooo
Тажен сум за затворените фирми, и за работници и за газди и за други: тие фирмите се нечии муштерии, кризата така се шири како вирус. Напорот е да не се затворат фирмите од незнаење и неписменост. По економија сме на дно. Да гледаме другите што прават и да учиме.
Replying to @kjosmofon @enginebluewater and @ddimkooooo
Тажен сум за затворените фирми, и за работници и за газди и за други: тие фирмите се нечии муштерии, кризата така се шири како вирус. Напорот е да не се затворат фирмите од незнаење и неписменост. По економија сме на дно. Да гледаме другите што прават и да учиме.
https://twitter.com/SasheIvanovski/status/1241781089800269825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 23
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Па ти сам му даваш отворен гол, со изјави како -
>> затоа што тие земаат плата од даноците кои ги плаќаат оние кои не се буџетари
Ова е фикција, не се случува. Јавните пари ги креира собранието со закон за буџет, годишно. Не и требаат на државата денари од даноци од приватниот.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 23
Replying to @SasheIvanovski
Па ти сам му даваш отворен гол, со изјави како -
>> затоа што тие земаат плата од даноците кои ги плаќаат оние кои не се буџетари
Ова е фикција, не се случува. Јавните пари ги креира собранието со закон за буџет, годишно. Не и требаат на државата денари од даноци од приватниот.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 23
Јас живеев во Македонија кога се воведе денар 1992-ра. Никој од нас немаше ни еден денар во петок. После продолжен викенд следната среда, сите имавме. Државата Македонија ги створи. Не ги зеде „од приватниот сектор", во тоа биди сигурен.
Јас живеев во Македонија кога се воведе денар 1992-ра. Никој од нас немаше ни еден денар во петок. После продолжен викенд следната среда, сите имавме. Државата Македонија ги створи. Не ги зеде „од приватниот сектор", во тоа биди сигурен.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 23
Не мислам дека „со принтање пари проблемот е решен". Не нагаѓај што мислам, читај што пишувам. Со кратење на јавниот сектор проблемот се дуплира, не се преполовува. Државата има можност (и обврска!) да му помогне на приватниот сектор. Со оваа мерка му одмага.
Не мислам дека „со принтање пари проблемот е решен". Не нагаѓај што мислам, читај што пишувам. Со кратење на јавниот сектор проблемот се дуплира, не се преполовува. Државата има можност (и обврска!) да му помогне на приватниот сектор. Со оваа мерка му одмага.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Ќе смениш навики, ќе престанеш да купуваш, на тие од кои купуваш, и ним ќе им секне платата. Твојата потрошувачка беше нивни проход. Заедно сте! Ако тебе ти е лошо, и на нив ќе им биде лошо. Гледај тебе да ти биде подобро, и нив ќе им биде подобро.
Ќе смениш навики, ќе престанеш да купуваш, на тие од кои купуваш, и ним ќе им секне платата. Твојата потрошувачка беше нивни проход. Заедно сте! Ако тебе ти е лошо, и на нив ќе им биде лошо. Гледај тебе да ти биде подобро, и нив ќе им биде подобро.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Еве прилика „реалниот" сектор да блесне, да се справи со вирусов, да не спаси злото. Ајде, што чека, голот е отворен. Нека организира и одбрана и напад. „Реалниот" во наводници - пошто админстрација, полиција, војска, лекари, учители, и те како се реални. До '45-та ги немавме.
Еве прилика „реалниот" сектор да блесне, да се справи со вирусов, да не спаси злото. Ајде, што чека, голот е отворен. Нека организира и одбрана и напад. „Реалниот" во наводници - пошто админстрација, полиција, војска, лекари, учители, и те како се реални. До '45-та ги немавме.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Тоа што ти ќе бидеш на минималец, нема никому да помогне, а на многу ќе одмогне. Прво на тебе. А после и на сите фирми на кои ти си муштерија. На кои ти им даваш плата со твоето трошење. И тие ќе пропаднат.
Тоа што ти ќе бидеш на минималец, нема никому да помогне, а на многу ќе одмогне. Прво на тебе. А после и на сите фирми на кои ти си муштерија. На кои ти им даваш плата со твоето трошење. И тие ќе пропаднат.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Replying to @kjosmofon @enginebluewater and @ddimkooooo
На твојата фирма треба владата да помогне, да плати платите на работниците (привремено), ја ослободи фирмата од данок, да даде кредит за да не пропадне (како во DE FR UK). На комшијата ако му умре козата, нема тебе да ти се роди. Ако тие пропаднат, и ти ќе пропаднеш, заедно сте.
Replying to @kjosmofon @enginebluewater and @ddimkooooo
На твојата фирма треба владата да помогне, да плати платите на работниците (привремено), ја ослободи фирмата од данок, да даде кредит за да не пропадне (како во DE FR UK). На комшијата ако му умре козата, нема тебе да ти се роди. Ако тие пропаднат, и ти ќе пропаднеш, заедно сте.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Точно така. Ова мерка не му помага на приватниот сектор. Напротив, многу му одмага. Утре тие буџетари што паднаа на минималец, нема да купат роба. Приватникот што ја прави таа роба нема да ја продаде. Приватникот ќе пропадне. И така во круг.
Точно така. Ова мерка не му помага на приватниот сектор. Напротив, многу му одмага. Утре тие буџетари што паднаа на минималец, нема да купат роба. Приватникот што ја прави таа роба нема да ја продаде. Приватникот ќе пропадне. И така во круг.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1241739264045600771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Ова е неписмена и погрешна мерка. Не да измислуваме топла вода сега. Да гледаме што прават Германија, Франција, Британија... Никој ваква мерка не донесе. Напротив, сите пумпаат пари во економијата, преку државно трошење. Државниот сектор преку трошење го држи во живот приватниот!
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Ова е неписмена и погрешна мерка. Не да измислуваме топла вода сега. Да гледаме што прават Германија, Франција, Британија... Никој ваква мерка не донесе. Напротив, сите пумпаат пари во економијата, преку државно трошење. Државниот сектор преку трошење го држи во живот приватниот!
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Ова мерка не му помага на приватниот сектор. Напротив, многу му одмага. Утре тие буџетари што паднаа на минималец, нема да купат роба. Приватникот што ја прави таа роба нема да ја продаде. Приватникот ќе пропадне. И така во круг.
Ова мерка не му помага на приватниот сектор. Напротив, многу му одмага. Утре тие буџетари што паднаа на минималец, нема да купат роба. Приватникот што ја прави таа роба нема да ја продаде. Приватникот ќе пропадне. И така во круг.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 22
Приватникот кој ја прави таа храна, кога ке продаде 70 леба (наместо 100 досега), во следната тура ќе направи 70. Без везе е да прави 100, кога 30 фрлил, никој не му ги купи.
Се што треба да направи владата е да им ги покрие платите на приватните работници (привремено).
Приватникот кој ја прави таа храна, кога ке продаде 70 леба (наместо 100 досега), во следната тура ќе направи 70. Без везе е да прави 100, кога 30 фрлил, никој не му ги купи.
Се што треба да направи владата е да им ги покрие платите на приватните работници (привремено).
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 Replying to @SasheIvanovski
>Има пари. МКД моментално е побогата од било кога. НБМ ќе створи денари колку што требаат. Девизни резерви највисоки во МКД историја. Ако не стигаат, ќе репрограмираме странски кредити, само камата и сл. Целта сега е да се задржи производството, тие 100 леба да не станат 70.
>Има пари. МКД моментално е побогата од било кога. НБМ ќе створи денари колку што требаат. Девизни резерви највисоки во МКД историја. Ако не стигаат, ќе репрограмираме странски кредити, само камата и сл. Целта сега е да се задржи производството, тие 100 леба да не станат 70.
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1244236205346127872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @carl_9994 and @afneil
Start with raw numbers of deaths (regardless of "reason"), for a place (country, town, etc) and time period (day, week, month). Compare to the history of that same measurement (in place and time) taken in the past 5-10 years. Example Bergamo -
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @carl_9994 and @afneil
Start with raw numbers of deaths (regardless of "reason"), for a place (country, town, etc) and time period (day, week, month). Compare to the history of that same measurement (in place and time) taken in the past 5-10 years. Example Bergamo -
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1243627840383451136
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 28
Of course not, the vast majority do not. We could end homeless tomorrow, by building homes and gifting them to the homeless. Admit 1-10% may be on the street again in ~1 year. That's ok, we reduced the problem x10-100 times. We lack the nerve & will to do it. As simple as that.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 28
Of course not, the vast majority do not. We could end homeless tomorrow, by building homes and gifting them to the homeless. Admit 1-10% may be on the street again in ~1 year. That's ok, we reduced the problem x10-100 times. We lack the nerve & will to do it. As simple as that.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 28
Houses are free to build?!? Did not know that, but excellent news! We should get on that case sooner rather than latter then.
Upside-down face Seriously - building homes for the homeless afaik is by far the cheapest solution, and the simplest too.
Houses are free to build?!? Did not know that, but excellent news! We should get on that case sooner rather than latter then.
Upside-down face Seriously - building homes for the homeless afaik is by far the cheapest solution, and the simplest too.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FaustL31 @sharonisefi and @oren_cass
I couldn't. I won't speculate if you could or not. The least expense is not what I care about, no idea where you got that from, etc. 5:11 PM · Feb 28, 2020
Replying to @FaustL31 @sharonisefi and @oren_cass
I couldn't. I won't speculate if you could or not. The least expense is not what I care about, no idea where you got that from, etc. 5:11 PM · Feb 28, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @FaustL31 @sharonisefi and @oren_cass
Fyi. In light of this, is it fair to say: we could always house those unfortunate enough to be homeless. We always had the means to house them, but we chose not to. @FaustL31
Replying to @FaustL31 @sharonisefi and @oren_cass
Fyi. In light of this, is it fair to say: we could always house those unfortunate enough to be homeless. We always had the means to house them, but we chose not to. @FaustL31
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1240447163806736384
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
``American historian Arthur Schlesinger Jr., who was a speechwriter for President John F. Kennedy, compared the US invasion of Iraq to Japan’s preemptive attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941 and wrote, "Today, it is we Americans who live in infamy." ''
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
``American historian Arthur Schlesinger Jr., who was a speechwriter for President John F. Kennedy, compared the US invasion of Iraq to Japan’s preemptive attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941 and wrote, "Today, it is we Americans who live in infamy." ''
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Mar 19
"The US invasion was a crime of aggression under international law, and was actively opposed by people & countries all over the world, including 30 million people who took to the streets in 60 countries on 15-Feb-2003, to express the horror of this happening in the 21st century"
"The US invasion was a crime of aggression under international law, and was actively opposed by people & countries all over the world, including 30 million people who took to the streets in 60 countries on 15-Feb-2003, to express the horror of this happening in the 21st century"
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1240363982743093248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ZdravstvoMK @VladaMK and @WHO
Dozvolete (duri i prinudete!) rabota od doma za drzavnite sluzbi. Onie sto imaat tehnicka moznost za toa, i ne preci na rabotata i funkcijata. Ke ja namalite sansata da se zarazat samite vo javen prevoz ili na rabotno mesto, ili da zarazat drugi (na rabotno mesto, doma).
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Replying to @ZdravstvoMK @VladaMK and @WHO
Dozvolete (duri i prinudete!) rabota od doma za drzavnite sluzbi. Onie sto imaat tehnicka moznost za toa, i ne preci na rabotata i funkcijata. Ke ja namalite sansata da se zarazat samite vo javen prevoz ili na rabotno mesto, ili da zarazat drugi (na rabotno mesto, doma).
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223146635758374912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"What governments learned from the Iraq war was not that such wars are stupid and wrong, but that measures must be taken to prevent an independent media from questioning them in future." cc @Antiwarcom
Quote
Mark Ames @MarkAmesExiled · Jan 30, 2020
"if the Iraq War crisis were re-run with the media of 2020, the failure to find WMD in Iraq would never have got out, or —if it had done—would have been widely ignored and dismissed, and the authors of the report marginalised as ‘Saddam apologists’"
https://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2020/01/what-governments-learned-from-the-iraq-war-to-prevent-independent-media-from-questioning-the-pretext.html
7:30 AM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"What governments learned from the Iraq war was not that such wars are stupid and wrong, but that measures must be taken to prevent an independent media from questioning them in future." cc @Antiwarcom
Quote
Mark Ames @MarkAmesExiled · Jan 30, 2020
"if the Iraq War crisis were re-run with the media of 2020, the failure to find WMD in Iraq would never have got out, or —if it had done—would have been widely ignored and dismissed, and the authors of the report marginalised as ‘Saddam apologists’"
https://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2020/01/what-governments-learned-from-the-iraq-war-to-prevent-independent-media-from-questioning-the-pretext.html
7:30 AM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1218183745766928390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Non-live YouTube copy at youtube.com
Modern monetary theory: a new outlook / The Gaidar Forum 2020
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s2RcrvetsiA
2:50 PM · Jan 17, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Non-live YouTube copy at youtube.com
Modern monetary theory: a new outlook / The Gaidar Forum 2020
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s2RcrvetsiA
2:50 PM · Jan 17, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1215992224900689921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"If the incredible rise of computing is one of the biggest stories of the twentieth century, then the failure of the nation that invented the electronic computer to capitalize on it is undoubtedly one of history’s most important cautionary tales."
Quote
your #1 source for absurdist true crime 🐀 🐍👑 🌷 @davidgerard · Jan 11, 2020
The UK basically killed its nascent tech industry in the 60s and 70s because the workers who stood to gain from it were women https://logicmag.io/failure/how-to-kill-your-tech-industry/
1:41 PM · Jan 11, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"If the incredible rise of computing is one of the biggest stories of the twentieth century, then the failure of the nation that invented the electronic computer to capitalize on it is undoubtedly one of history’s most important cautionary tales."
Quote
your #1 source for absurdist true crime 🐀 🐍👑 🌷 @davidgerard · Jan 11, 2020
The UK basically killed its nascent tech industry in the 60s and 70s because the workers who stood to gain from it were women https://logicmag.io/failure/how-to-kill-your-tech-industry/
1:41 PM · Jan 11, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223189332850302976
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The benefit to us who've seen our social system collapse is the ability to see that social norms&beliefs are elaborate collective trick covering messy truth of millions of individuals toiling, honestly or otherwse, against or for each other, to make ther lot bit better evry day"
Quote
Срђан Гарчевић @SrdjanGarcevic · Jan 31, 2020
Remembering Sergexit 4 years ago :) https://thenutshelltimes.com/2016/05/11/the-uk-8-5-years-since/
10:20 AM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The benefit to us who've seen our social system collapse is the ability to see that social norms&beliefs are elaborate collective trick covering messy truth of millions of individuals toiling, honestly or otherwse, against or for each other, to make ther lot bit better evry day"
Quote
Срђан Гарчевић @SrdjanGarcevic · Jan 31, 2020
Remembering Sergexit 4 years ago :) https://thenutshelltimes.com/2016/05/11/the-uk-8-5-years-since/
10:20 AM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1227627239761682434
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"From 2010 to 2016, Hungary, Poland, Czech REpublic & Slovakia received EU funds roughly equivalent to 2-4% of their GDP-s. But the outflow of profits and property incomes to the west from these countries over the same period ranges 4-8% of GDP."
Quote
Clotilde Armand @clotilde_armand · Feb 12, 2020
My opinion for #FinancialTimes about #EUBudget: Eastern Europe gives more to the west than it gets back https://ft.com/content/39603142-4cc9-11ea-95a0-43d18ec715f5?fbclid=IwAR23HezZd-YXI_-XvQxz4iO6VNsjJEEbKDsMEwYMYbhvvwA9AYT0XheLJPo
prin @financialtimes
4:15 PM · Feb 12, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"From 2010 to 2016, Hungary, Poland, Czech REpublic & Slovakia received EU funds roughly equivalent to 2-4% of their GDP-s. But the outflow of profits and property incomes to the west from these countries over the same period ranges 4-8% of GDP."
Quote
Clotilde Armand @clotilde_armand · Feb 12, 2020
My opinion for #FinancialTimes about #EUBudget: Eastern Europe gives more to the west than it gets back https://ft.com/content/39603142-4cc9-11ea-95a0-43d18ec715f5?fbclid=IwAR23HezZd-YXI_-XvQxz4iO6VNsjJEEbKDsMEwYMYbhvvwA9AYT0XheLJPo
prin @financialtimes
4:15 PM · Feb 12, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223204956506816513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, true ... @SrdjanGarcevic
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 31, 2020
"The benefit to us who've seen our social system collapse is the ability to see that social norms&beliefs are elaborate collective trick covering messy truth of millions of individuals toiling, honestly or otherwse, against or for each other, to make ther lot bit better evry day" twitter.com/SrdjanGarcevic…
11:22 AM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True, true ... @SrdjanGarcevic
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 31, 2020
"The benefit to us who've seen our social system collapse is the ability to see that social norms&beliefs are elaborate collective trick covering messy truth of millions of individuals toiling, honestly or otherwse, against or for each other, to make ther lot bit better evry day" twitter.com/SrdjanGarcevic…
11:22 AM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1233127948108038145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boris Dežulović: Priča o Tomislavu Buzovu
https://mreza-mira.net/vijesti/razno/boris-dezulovic-prica-o-tomislavu-buzovu/
"Tomislava Buzova pak ne sjeća se nitko. ..."
8:33 PM · Feb 27, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boris Dežulović: Priča o Tomislavu Buzovu
https://mreza-mira.net/vijesti/razno/boris-dezulovic-prica-o-tomislavu-buzovu/
"Tomislava Buzova pak ne sjeća se nitko. ..."
8:33 PM · Feb 27, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1218184940954800129
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... even among Treasury officials" (!) "... it is unlikely that such a completely idiotic policy will be tried again." (!!) 🤣 If only! 😪
Quote
Stephanie Kelton @StephanieKelton · Jan 12, 2020
Joan Robinson (1943) on the “logic” of austerity.
Image
2:54 PM · Jan 17, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... even among Treasury officials" (!) "... it is unlikely that such a completely idiotic policy will be tried again." (!!) 🤣 If only! 😪
Quote
Stephanie Kelton @StephanieKelton · Jan 12, 2020
Joan Robinson (1943) on the “logic” of austerity.
Image
2:54 PM · Jan 17, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1216802680850538496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The best thing that can happen to a bad idea is that it is forgotten. The best thing that can happen to a good idea is that it is shared.
Feed the good ideas and let bad ideas die of starvation."
Quote
Dr Zoe Harcombe, PhD @zoeharcombe · Jan 13, 2020
An interesting blog on why facts don't change minds:
https://jamesclear.com/why-facts-dont-change-minds
7:22 PM · Jan 13, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The best thing that can happen to a bad idea is that it is forgotten. The best thing that can happen to a good idea is that it is shared.
Feed the good ideas and let bad ideas die of starvation."
Quote
Dr Zoe Harcombe, PhD @zoeharcombe · Jan 13, 2020
An interesting blog on why facts don't change minds:
https://jamesclear.com/why-facts-dont-change-minds
7:22 PM · Jan 13, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223138283967930368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Yes, like everything else, 'whataboutism' will be used and misused by bad people. The best defense against this is to simply not be hypocritical or morally monstrous in the first place."
Quote
Vincent Bevins @Vinncent · Jan 29, 2020
I for one am not afraid to say it: Whataboutism is fine
https://theoutline.com/post/8610/united-states-russia-whataboutism-cold-war-trump
6:57 AM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Yes, like everything else, 'whataboutism' will be used and misused by bad people. The best defense against this is to simply not be hypocritical or morally monstrous in the first place."
Quote
Vincent Bevins @Vinncent · Jan 29, 2020
I for one am not afraid to say it: Whataboutism is fine
https://theoutline.com/post/8610/united-states-russia-whataboutism-cold-war-trump
6:57 AM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223205801642340353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"These men and women — people like Peter the Hermit, for instance — were very charismatic but also extremely unbalanced, extreme and dangerous, because these things are often linked.
Unbalanced charismatics often led pogroms against Jews or other instances of mass disorder."
Quote
UnHerd @unherd · Jan 31, 2020
Medieval-style cults headed by dysfunctional people are rising to power online | @edwest https://unherd.com/thepost/peter-the-hermit-today-would-have-a-blue-tick/
Image
11:26 AM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"These men and women — people like Peter the Hermit, for instance — were very charismatic but also extremely unbalanced, extreme and dangerous, because these things are often linked.
Unbalanced charismatics often led pogroms against Jews or other instances of mass disorder."
Quote
UnHerd @unherd · Jan 31, 2020
Medieval-style cults headed by dysfunctional people are rising to power online | @edwest https://unherd.com/thepost/peter-the-hermit-today-would-have-a-blue-tick/
Image
11:26 AM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230823604918640640
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A collection of Unix/Linux/BSD commands and tasks which are useful for IT work or for advanced users. A practical guide with concise explanations.
Quote
Unix tool tip @UnixToolTip · Feb 21, 2020
Unix Toolbox
http://cb.vu/unixtoolbox.xhtml
11:56 AM · Feb 21, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A collection of Unix/Linux/BSD commands and tasks which are useful for IT work or for advanced users. A practical guide with concise explanations.
Quote
Unix tool tip @UnixToolTip · Feb 21, 2020
Unix Toolbox
http://cb.vu/unixtoolbox.xhtml
11:56 AM · Feb 21, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230915796467175424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... WikiLeaks revelations in 2010/16 are the present-day equivalent of Pentagon Papers 1971 release & unmasking the true history of the US Vietnam War engagement. They are of even greater significance b/c are more wide-ranging & an entry point into the world as seen by US gov."
Quote
Peter Oborne @OborneTweets · Feb 21, 2020
A fine article by Patrick Cockburn on Julian Assange
https://independent.co.uk/voices/julian-assange-wikileaks-extradition-prison-trump-chelsea-manning-a9351246.html
6:02 PM · Feb 21, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... WikiLeaks revelations in 2010/16 are the present-day equivalent of Pentagon Papers 1971 release & unmasking the true history of the US Vietnam War engagement. They are of even greater significance b/c are more wide-ranging & an entry point into the world as seen by US gov."
Quote
Peter Oborne @OborneTweets · Feb 21, 2020
A fine article by Patrick Cockburn on Julian Assange
https://independent.co.uk/voices/julian-assange-wikileaks-extradition-prison-trump-chelsea-manning-a9351246.html
6:02 PM · Feb 21, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1218164207520272387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"There is nothing inherently socialist about government debt. Gvmt can issue debt to pay for whatever it likes: to fight a war, to lower taxes for a preferred group, to soften a recession. US has issued debt to pay for all of these things."
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2019/01/16/1547640616000/America-has-never-worried-about-financing-its-priorities/ @FinancialTimes
1:32 PM · Jan 17, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"There is nothing inherently socialist about government debt. Gvmt can issue debt to pay for whatever it likes: to fight a war, to lower taxes for a preferred group, to soften a recession. US has issued debt to pay for all of these things."
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2019/01/16/1547640616000/America-has-never-worried-about-financing-its-priorities/ @FinancialTimes
1:32 PM · Jan 17, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1227680162340331525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“No example of a barter economy, pure and simple, has ever been described, let alone the emergence from it of money”
https://theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/02/barter-society-myth/471051/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
7:45 PM · Feb 12, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“No example of a barter economy, pure and simple, has ever been described, let alone the emergence from it of money”
https://theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/02/barter-society-myth/471051/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
7:45 PM · Feb 12, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1227662891484155904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Nuclear one-upping reached peak hilarity in 1983 when 60,000 nuclear devices were deployed.
Even against non-state and weak state actors, nuclear weapons as a policy tool have been useless in the hands of those who wield them."
Quote
The American Conservative @amconmag · Feb 12, 2020
"Some movies are worth watching twice and a select few are worth several reruns. But the original of this Cold War film was scary enough and had a relatively happy ending. Let’s not write a sequel." https://theamericanconservative.com/articles/is-trump-stumbling-into-the-nuclear-missile-gap/
6:36 PM · Feb 12, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Nuclear one-upping reached peak hilarity in 1983 when 60,000 nuclear devices were deployed.
Even against non-state and weak state actors, nuclear weapons as a policy tool have been useless in the hands of those who wield them."
Quote
The American Conservative @amconmag · Feb 12, 2020
"Some movies are worth watching twice and a select few are worth several reruns. But the original of this Cold War film was scary enough and had a relatively happy ending. Let’s not write a sequel." https://theamericanconservative.com/articles/is-trump-stumbling-into-the-nuclear-missile-gap/
6:36 PM · Feb 12, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1229795206788194306
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I submitted a data subject access request, asking Amazon to disclose everything it knows about me
Scanning through the hundreds of files I received in response, the level of detail is, in some cases, mind-bending."
Quote
Sam Shead @Sam_L_Shead · Feb 18, 2020
Not only is @LeoKelion a great editor, he’s also a brilliant writer. This in-depth piece on Amazon is a must read! https://bbc.co.uk/news/extra/CLQYZENMBI/amazon-data
3:50 PM · Feb 18, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I submitted a data subject access request, asking Amazon to disclose everything it knows about me
Scanning through the hundreds of files I received in response, the level of detail is, in some cases, mind-bending."
Quote
Sam Shead @Sam_L_Shead · Feb 18, 2020
Not only is @LeoKelion a great editor, he’s also a brilliant writer. This in-depth piece on Amazon is a must read! https://bbc.co.uk/news/extra/CLQYZENMBI/amazon-data
3:50 PM · Feb 18, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1225743377200828417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Despite telling audiences that their worldview was wrong & they were ignorant of some fundamental facts about their world, R was loved & admired by these same audiences. R changed mindsets with humour and humility, and thereby allowed his audience to accept that they were wrong"
Quote
Max Roser @MaxCRoser · Feb 7, 2020
Three years ago today Hans Rosling died.
In my obituary I explained why I admire him and the work he did so very much https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2017/02/14/seeing-human-lives-in-spreadsheets-the-work-of-hans-rosling/
11:29 AM · Feb 7, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Despite telling audiences that their worldview was wrong & they were ignorant of some fundamental facts about their world, R was loved & admired by these same audiences. R changed mindsets with humour and humility, and thereby allowed his audience to accept that they were wrong"
Quote
Max Roser @MaxCRoser · Feb 7, 2020
Three years ago today Hans Rosling died.
In my obituary I explained why I admire him and the work he did so very much https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2017/02/14/seeing-human-lives-in-spreadsheets-the-work-of-hans-rosling/
11:29 AM · Feb 7, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220026341002829825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"And when Rome crumbled and the Dark Ages fell across Western Europe, the Eastern Roman Empire endured, with its ancient texts, its classical outlook and its Imperial society… for another one thousand years." Melvyn Bragg "In Our Time: Byzantium" https://bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p00547j9
4:52 PM · Jan 22, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"And when Rome crumbled and the Dark Ages fell across Western Europe, the Eastern Roman Empire endured, with its ancient texts, its classical outlook and its Imperial society… for another one thousand years." Melvyn Bragg "In Our Time: Byzantium" https://bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p00547j9
4:52 PM · Jan 22, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220027750632886275
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Programme page https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00547j9
Melvyn Bragg
In Our Time
Byzantium
Last on
Thu 19 Jul 2001 21:30
BBC Radio 4
With Charlotte Roueché, Reader at Kings College London; John Julius Norwich, author of 3 part history of Byzantium; Liz James, Senior Lecturer at Uni of Sussex
4:57 PM · Jan 22, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Programme page https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00547j9
Melvyn Bragg
In Our Time
Byzantium
Last on
Thu 19 Jul 2001 21:30
BBC Radio 4
With Charlotte Roueché, Reader at Kings College London; John Julius Norwich, author of 3 part history of Byzantium; Liz James, Senior Lecturer at Uni of Sussex
4:57 PM · Jan 22, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1217920591556161541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think this article https://pando.com/2015/05/17/neocons-2-0-the-problem-with-peter-pomerantsev/ by @MarkAmesExiled mentions that possibility too, among other things.
9:24 PM · Jan 16, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think this article https://pando.com/2015/05/17/neocons-2-0-the-problem-with-peter-pomerantsev/ by @MarkAmesExiled mentions that possibility too, among other things.
9:24 PM · Jan 16, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230617803780239361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - dojde na Amazon Prime. Naslovot e "Black Sun", link https://amazon.co.uk/gp/video/detail/B0829F5FBR/ref=atv_dp_share_r_tw_d9fa8c92f21a4
Super e, interesno! :-)
10:18 PM · Feb 20, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - dojde na Amazon Prime. Naslovot e "Black Sun", link https://amazon.co.uk/gp/video/detail/B0829F5FBR/ref=atv_dp_share_r_tw_d9fa8c92f21a4
Super e, interesno! :-)
10:18 PM · Feb 20, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1233023724707831809
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - looks like the original document is online at https://cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/DOC_0000273183.pdf
1:38 PM · Feb 27, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - looks like the original document is online at https://cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/DOC_0000273183.pdf
1:38 PM · Feb 27, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230252552362627076
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе 😶 - мене босанциве ме оставија без работа... за во "ма људи је ли то могуќе" фолдер... 😮
https://youtu.be/ADBxT7ieRXo
(MSR - Ðul Zulejha)
10:07 PM · Feb 19, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Хехе 😶 - мене босанциве ме оставија без работа... за во "ма људи је ли то могуќе" фолдер... 😮
https://youtu.be/ADBxT7ieRXo
(MSR - Ðul Zulejha)
10:07 PM · Feb 19, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223341283705610242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"EEC proved more successful economically than Britain had anticipated. From 1961 to 1974, GDP per capita grew by 215% in the EEC to just 88% in Britain... In 1962, 1st time since the War, Britain traded more with Western Europe than with the Commonwealth" http://gladstonediaries.blogspot.com/2020/01/brexit-in-historical-perspective-age-of.html
8:24 PM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"EEC proved more successful economically than Britain had anticipated. From 1961 to 1974, GDP per capita grew by 215% in the EEC to just 88% in Britain... In 1962, 1st time since the War, Britain traded more with Western Europe than with the Commonwealth" http://gladstonediaries.blogspot.com/2020/01/brexit-in-historical-perspective-age-of.html
8:24 PM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1228331577190559744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh, canton of Appenzell Innerrhoden says "hold my beer" 😮- "...forced to do so only in 1990 when two women from Appenzell filed a lawsuit in the Swiss Federal Court and won. A centuries-old law forbidding women to vote was changed in 1991" Heard it in https://youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=6m26s
2:54 PM · Feb 14, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Uh-oh, canton of Appenzell Innerrhoden says "hold my beer" 😮- "...forced to do so only in 1990 when two women from Appenzell filed a lawsuit in the Swiss Federal Court and won. A centuries-old law forbidding women to vote was changed in 1991" Heard it in https://youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=6m26s
2:54 PM · Feb 14, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1217959949982224387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a secret that. From the horse's mouth: "I know a lot of Tory MPs and I am sad to say - the public is basically correct. Tory MPs, largely, do not care about these poor people, they don't care about the NHS, and the public kind of has caught onto that." https://youtube.com/watch?v=CDbRxH9Kiy4&t=30m35s
12:00 AM · Jan 17, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a secret that. From the horse's mouth: "I know a lot of Tory MPs and I am sad to say - the public is basically correct. Tory MPs, largely, do not care about these poor people, they don't care about the NHS, and the public kind of has caught onto that." https://youtube.com/watch?v=CDbRxH9Kiy4&t=30m35s
12:00 AM · Jan 17, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1217472195213058048
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Na sto gledase/kade? Fyi interesno Bjelogrlić intervju https://vreme.com/cms/view.php?id=1743006
3:42 PM · Jan 15, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Na sto gledase/kade? Fyi interesno Bjelogrlić intervju https://vreme.com/cms/view.php?id=1743006
3:42 PM · Jan 15, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1219199214003027974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Nemalo potreba da nagadjame, imalo izvestaj od 2017-ta sto gi lista izvorite, pokraj mnogu drugi podatoci. :-O "... by the Finnish Meteorological Institute & the Ministry of environment in Skopje highlighted causes & remedies..." http://air.moepp.gov.mk/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/AirQualityReport_EN.pdf
(h/t @Andric1961)
10:05 AM · Jan 20, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! Nemalo potreba da nagadjame, imalo izvestaj od 2017-ta sto gi lista izvorite, pokraj mnogu drugi podatoci. :-O "... by the Finnish Meteorological Institute & the Ministry of environment in Skopje highlighted causes & remedies..." http://air.moepp.gov.mk/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/AirQualityReport_EN.pdf
(h/t @Andric1961)
10:05 AM · Jan 20, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1216287619526680576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
А-приор-и/за_очекување е да се повеќе фактори, а не само еден. Така да „забрани увоз на ѓубре" - ДА! - и плус други мерки. Би очекувал скопското ѓубре да е дел од оваа криминална шема
euractiv.bg
Прокуратурата в Италия разследва незаконен износ на боклук за България
Полицията в Италия залови незаконен товар от 815 тона битови боклуци, които са били хванати във влак, пътуващ за България. Стойността на боклука се изчислява на 130 хиляди евро, съобщава италианската...
9:15 AM · Jan 12, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
А-приор-и/за_очекување е да се повеќе фактори, а не само еден. Така да „забрани увоз на ѓубре" - ДА! - и плус други мерки. Би очекувал скопското ѓубре да е дел од оваа криминална шема
euractiv.bg
Прокуратурата в Италия разследва незаконен износ на боклук за България
Полицията в Италия залови незаконен товар от 815 тона битови боклуци, които са били хванати във влак, пътуващ за България. Стойността на боклука се изчислява на 130 хиляди евро, съобщава италианската...
9:15 AM · Jan 12, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1216288200622268420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Линкот го видов кај "Italian authorities are investigating a mafia scheme under which Bulgaria imports garbage from Italy, reportedly to be burnt in power plants. At the same time, Bulgaria is experiencing a catastrophic situation with air pollution."
https://euractiv.com/section/justice-home-affairs/news/minister-arrested-following-investigative-report-by-euractiv-bulgaria/
9:17 AM · Jan 12, 2020
Igor Trajkovski @mkrobot · Jan 11, 2020
Направил ли некој анализа или да има податоци, колку работни места или пари во буџетот ќе се (ако се) изгубат доколку целосно се забрани увоз на ѓубре ? Ако не друго барем ќе сме сигурно дека не е до тоа и ќе се оди на следното. Вака со 350 хипотези само сме парализирани.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 12, 2020
А-приор-и/за_очекување е да се повеќе фактори, а не само еден. Така да „забрани увоз на ѓубре" - ДА! - и плус други мерки. Би очекувал скопското ѓубре да е дел од оваа криминална шема
euractiv.bg
Прокуратурата в Италия разследва незаконен износ на боклук за България
Полицията в Италия залови незаконен товар от 815 тона битови боклуци, които са били хванати във влак, пътуващ за България. Стойността на боклука се изчислява на 130 хиляди евро, съобщава италианската...
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Podatoci od Srbija, pridones kon zagaduvanje, po (tip na zagaduvanje,izvor) - https://mobile.twitter.com/tirkizna_/status/1217390369685544961
. Za PM cesticki najgolem pridones "ostalo stacionarno sagorevanje", sto i da e toa. Veruvam vo MKD e slicno?
Quote
Detelina @tirkizna_ · Jan 15, 2020
Ево овако:
Sektorski udeo ukupnih nacionalnih emisija suspendovanih čestica PM10 i PM2,5 (levo) i sumpornih i azotnih oksida (desno), izvor: Godišnji izveštaj o stanju kvaliteta vazduha u Republici Srbiji 2018. godine, Agencija za zaštitu životne sredine.
11:38 AM · Jan 15, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Линкот го видов кај "Italian authorities are investigating a mafia scheme under which Bulgaria imports garbage from Italy, reportedly to be burnt in power plants. At the same time, Bulgaria is experiencing a catastrophic situation with air pollution."
https://euractiv.com/section/justice-home-affairs/news/minister-arrested-following-investigative-report-by-euractiv-bulgaria/
9:17 AM · Jan 12, 2020
Igor Trajkovski @mkrobot · Jan 11, 2020
Направил ли некој анализа или да има податоци, колку работни места или пари во буџетот ќе се (ако се) изгубат доколку целосно се забрани увоз на ѓубре ? Ако не друго барем ќе сме сигурно дека не е до тоа и ќе се оди на следното. Вака со 350 хипотези само сме парализирани.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 12, 2020
А-приор-и/за_очекување е да се повеќе фактори, а не само еден. Така да „забрани увоз на ѓубре" - ДА! - и плус други мерки. Би очекувал скопското ѓубре да е дел од оваа криминална шема
euractiv.bg
Прокуратурата в Италия разследва незаконен износ на боклук за България
Полицията в Италия залови незаконен товар от 815 тона битови боклуци, които са били хванати във влак, пътуващ за България. Стойността на боклука се изчислява на 130 хиляди евро, съобщава италианската...
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Podatoci od Srbija, pridones kon zagaduvanje, po (tip na zagaduvanje,izvor) - https://mobile.twitter.com/tirkizna_/status/1217390369685544961
. Za PM cesticki najgolem pridones "ostalo stacionarno sagorevanje", sto i da e toa. Veruvam vo MKD e slicno?
Quote
Detelina @tirkizna_ · Jan 15, 2020
Ево овако:
Sektorski udeo ukupnih nacionalnih emisija suspendovanih čestica PM10 i PM2,5 (levo) i sumpornih i azotnih oksida (desno), izvor: Godišnji izveštaj o stanju kvaliteta vazduha u Republici Srbiji 2018. godine, Agencija za zaštitu životne sredine.
11:38 AM · Jan 15, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1231908663780089862
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@VladaMK
Quote
Emilijano @EmilijanoJ · Feb 24, 2020
На 17ти септеври го запреа сообрајќајот Прилеп-Битола, за да ја направат клучката кај ТИРЗ Прилеп и од тогаш поминаа
Октомври
Ноември
Декември
Јануари
Февруари
...или 6 месеци и уште не се готови.
Браво!!! 🙌 🙌 🙌
Show more
Image
11:48 AM · Feb 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@VladaMK
Quote
Emilijano @EmilijanoJ · Feb 24, 2020
На 17ти септеври го запреа сообрајќајот Прилеп-Битола, за да ја направат клучката кај ТИРЗ Прилеп и од тогаш поминаа
Октомври
Ноември
Декември
Јануари
Февруари
...или 6 месеци и уште не се готови.
Браво!!! 🙌 🙌 🙌
Show more
Image
11:48 AM · Feb 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220032786272260096
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema potreba od nagadjanje. Poracavte i plativte studija, ovaa http://air.moepp.gov.mk/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/AirQualityReport_EN.pdf . Super pisuva tamu - od sto, kolku, koga, etc. Ako treba za sporedba, ima i od Srbija slicna studija https://twitter.com/tirkizna_/status/1217390369685544961 (pisuvam "-te", ne "-me", zasto makedonec sum, ama ne ziveam vo MKD)
Quote
Detelina @tirkizna_ · Jan 15, 2020
Ево овако:
Sektorski udeo ukupnih nacionalnih emisija suspendovanih čestica PM10 i PM2,5 (levo) i sumpornih i azotnih oksida (desno), izvor: Godišnji izveštaj o stanju kvaliteta vazduha u Republici Srbiji 2018. godine, Agencija za zaštitu životne sredine.
Show more
Image
5:17 PM · Jan 22, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nema potreba od nagadjanje. Poracavte i plativte studija, ovaa http://air.moepp.gov.mk/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/AirQualityReport_EN.pdf . Super pisuva tamu - od sto, kolku, koga, etc. Ako treba za sporedba, ima i od Srbija slicna studija https://twitter.com/tirkizna_/status/1217390369685544961 (pisuvam "-te", ne "-me", zasto makedonec sum, ama ne ziveam vo MKD)
Quote
Detelina @tirkizna_ · Jan 15, 2020
Ево овако:
Sektorski udeo ukupnih nacionalnih emisija suspendovanih čestica PM10 i PM2,5 (levo) i sumpornih i azotnih oksida (desno), izvor: Godišnji izveštaj o stanju kvaliteta vazduha u Republici Srbiji 2018. godine, Agencija za zaštitu životne sredine.
Show more
Image
5:17 PM · Jan 22, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230557468729597955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - John Foster Fraser (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Foster_Fraser
) book "Pictures from the Balkans" mentioned in Ep3 (https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000fgrj) is online at https://archive.org/details/picturesfrombalk00frasuoft/page/n23/mode/2up
6:18 PM · Feb 20, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - John Foster Fraser (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Foster_Fraser
) book "Pictures from the Balkans" mentioned in Ep3 (https://bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000fgrj) is online at https://archive.org/details/picturesfrombalk00frasuoft/page/n23/mode/2up
6:18 PM · Feb 20, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220428618901475329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We use infrastructure Victorians built. They were poorer, fewer than us, had worse machinery. Let's keep our nerve. Costs/time are somewhat underestimated, but so are gains and by an order of magnitude. One new commute town on the track will more than pay for it (@rorysutherland)
7:30 PM · Jan 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We use infrastructure Victorians built. They were poorer, fewer than us, had worse machinery. Let's keep our nerve. Costs/time are somewhat underestimated, but so are gains and by an order of magnitude. One new commute town on the track will more than pay for it (@rorysutherland)
7:30 PM · Jan 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220628144350203904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly that: when Roman's beancounters forecast the cost (stone, labour, etc) of A1 they were about right. But they could not foresee many centuries latter the growth A1 generated in Hatfield, Welwyn, Stevenage, Hitchin, Letchworth, etc. They were off by orders of magnitude.
8:43 AM · Jan 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly that: when Roman's beancounters forecast the cost (stone, labour, etc) of A1 they were about right. But they could not foresee many centuries latter the growth A1 generated in Hatfield, Welwyn, Stevenage, Hitchin, Letchworth, etc. They were off by orders of magnitude.
8:43 AM · Jan 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220274971324317696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some chat apps allow for single participant - oneself. Open both desktop and mobile apps. Send links to oneself via copy and paste. Works in WhatsApp, Skype (but not in Viber, Messenger).
9:19 AM · Jan 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some chat apps allow for single participant - oneself. Open both desktop and mobile apps. Send links to oneself via copy and paste. Works in WhatsApp, Skype (but not in Viber, Messenger).
9:19 AM · Jan 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1226511451143245825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@LiamHalligan Just do both! What's the big deal? Enough with the moaning and excuses, "just do it". Do both. Sheesh ...
2:21 PM · Feb 9, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@LiamHalligan Just do both! What's the big deal? Enough with the moaning and excuses, "just do it". Do both. Sheesh ...
2:21 PM · Feb 9, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220086529718202371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw, my setup: desktop Firefox, mobile Firefox (Android), addons uBlock Origin, NoScript. Create/login Firefox Sync. Then Library -> Synced Tabs, see all devices open tabs (at all times). On desktop see all open mobile tabs, load any and all. Same on mobile Re: desktop tabs. 2c
8:51 PM · Jan 22, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw, my setup: desktop Firefox, mobile Firefox (Android), addons uBlock Origin, NoScript. Create/login Firefox Sync. Then Library -> Synced Tabs, see all devices open tabs (at all times). On desktop see all open mobile tabs, load any and all. Same on mobile Re: desktop tabs. 2c
8:51 PM · Jan 22, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230651314788601856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Трошокот... - произведување и монтирање цевки, копање ендеци по полиња и ливади, со мала механизација и рачно - не верувам да е астрономски? Можеби регулирање на имотно-правни односи да е и поголем проблем. До Воден на мапа како да е ~60 km. Ама пак - ако се сака, ќе се може. 😶
12:31 AM · Feb 21, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Трошокот... - произведување и монтирање цевки, копање ендеци по полиња и ливади, со мала механизација и рачно - не верувам да е астрономски? Можеби регулирање на имотно-правни односи да е и поголем проблем. До Воден на мапа како да е ~60 km. Ама пак - ако се сака, ќе се може. 😶
12:31 AM · Feb 21, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230473465444151297
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kako bese resen slicen problem so Dojransko Ezero? I dali bese resen, i dali e slicen problemot? :-O Ete domasno iskustvo! :-) Ako e slicen i ako e resen, polesno a da napravi vladata toa sto ednas veke napravila. my 2p
12:45 PM · Feb 20, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kako bese resen slicen problem so Dojransko Ezero? I dali bese resen, i dali e slicen problemot? :-O Ete domasno iskustvo! :-) Ako e slicen i ako e resen, polesno a da napravi vladata toa sto ednas veke napravila. my 2p
12:45 PM · Feb 20, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1222155653621391361
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Може и станови, и зеленило, и други работи. Не е или-или. Може и едно и друго. Други луѓе можат, можат и македонците. Точно, бара повеќе напор, терање, карање, зборење, викање ... 😮
1:53 PM · Jan 28, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Може и станови, и зеленило, и други работи. Не е или-или. Може и едно и друго. Други луѓе можат, можат и македонците. Точно, бара повеќе напор, терање, карање, зборење, викање ... 😮
1:53 PM · Jan 28, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223202563182465024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koga vleguvaa vo 70'ti god zaostanuvaa, bea "the sick man of Europe". Zaostanaa prethodnite 15 god zad FR DE IT koi rano formiraa zaednicki pazar. Pa 10 god probuvaa da vlezat, 2x FR veto! (NB MKD) Otkako vlegoa, prosperiraa na sekoj nacin. Sega im (ni) udri malku slava vo glava.
11:13 AM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Koga vleguvaa vo 70'ti god zaostanuvaa, bea "the sick man of Europe". Zaostanaa prethodnite 15 god zad FR DE IT koi rano formiraa zaednicki pazar. Pa 10 god probuvaa da vlezat, 2x FR veto! (NB MKD) Otkako vlegoa, prosperiraa na sekoj nacin. Sega im (ni) udri malku slava vo glava.
11:13 AM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223180266333560832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - default ne e "светот без стеги", tuku naprotiv, svet so mnogu stegi kade ne moze da trguvam slobodno. Vklucitelno i USA i 99.99% od celiot svet. Zatoa ima dogovori za "slobodna trgovija". Zasto po default, trgovijata ne e slobodna, tuku neslobodna ogranicena na razni nacini.
9:44 AM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - default ne e "светот без стеги", tuku naprotiv, svet so mnogu stegi kade ne moze da trguvam slobodno. Vklucitelno i USA i 99.99% od celiot svet. Zatoa ima dogovori za "slobodna trgovija". Zasto po default, trgovijata ne e slobodna, tuku neslobodna ogranicena na razni nacini.
9:44 AM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1220277031256100864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Firefox Links does this, works well. Need to switch to FF both desktop and mobile + create Mozilla account and login.
2nd Best and works cross-browsers: copy&paste url to chat apps that allow self-chat (one participant only - yourself). I know of WhatsApp, Skype chat.
9:28 AM · Jan 23, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Firefox Links does this, works well. Need to switch to FF both desktop and mobile + create Mozilla account and login.
2nd Best and works cross-browsers: copy&paste url to chat apps that allow self-chat (one participant only - yourself). I know of WhatsApp, Skype chat.
9:28 AM · Jan 23, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1230167452614627336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are into "stockbroker economics": if market high, then economy is good. Bothers them that JP market is not at peak. They're "IYI"s with "no skin the game". Their audience is similar people: written not to put $$$ where their mouth is, but as infotainment.
4:29 PM · Feb 19, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are into "stockbroker economics": if market high, then economy is good. Bothers them that JP market is not at peak. They're "IYI"s with "no skin the game". Their audience is similar people: written not to put $$$ where their mouth is, but as infotainment.
4:29 PM · Feb 19, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1223343695442870273
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imase politicka komponenta od samiot pocetok. EU e unija na drzavi, ne e nacionalna drzava. Ne moze da bide demokratska, posto ne postoi EU demos. Samo posebnite nacionalni drzavi (FR, DE, IT etc) imaat demosi (naciite), pa samo tie mozat da bidat demokratii.
8:34 PM · Jan 31, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imase politicka komponenta od samiot pocetok. EU e unija na drzavi, ne e nacionalna drzava. Ne moze da bide demokratska, posto ne postoi EU demos. Samo posebnite nacionalni drzavi (FR, DE, IT etc) imaat demosi (naciite), pa samo tie mozat da bidat demokratii.
8:34 PM · Jan 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1232033545046175745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daaaa??? Sneg!? Kaj nas pilinja peat vo 6pm navecer koga ke se smraci, vo dvor, bas rekov: kako ova, rano nesto, uste eden mesec ima do kraj na kalendarska zima, a pilinjava peat, kako prolet da dosla??
8:04 PM · Feb 24, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Daaaa??? Sneg!? Kaj nas pilinja peat vo 6pm navecer koga ke se smraci, vo dvor, bas rekov: kako ova, rano nesto, uste eden mesec ima do kraj na kalendarska zima, a pilinjava peat, kako prolet da dosla??
8:04 PM · Feb 24, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1216288200622268420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Линкот го видов кај
"Italian authorities are investigating a mafia scheme under which Bulgaria imports garbage from Italy, reportedly to be burnt in power plants. At the same time, Bulgaria is experiencing a catastrophic situation with air pollution."
https://euractiv.com/section/justice-home-affairs/news/minister-arrested-following-investigative-report-by-euractiv-bulgaria/
9:17 AM · Jan 12, 2020
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Линкот го видов кај
"Italian authorities are investigating a mafia scheme under which Bulgaria imports garbage from Italy, reportedly to be burnt in power plants. At the same time, Bulgaria is experiencing a catastrophic situation with air pollution."
https://euractiv.com/section/justice-home-affairs/news/minister-arrested-following-investigative-report-by-euractiv-bulgaria/
9:17 AM · Jan 12, 2020
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1176515164482523136
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The national revolution meant political independence. The social revolution meant abolishment of feudal growth-inhibiting institutions (power of usurious landlords, labor tied to land, gender discrimination, lack of access to education by the poor, religious turpitude etc.). "
Quote
Branko Milanovic @BrankoMilan · Sep 24, 2019
My today's post brings together several, somewhat less prominent, themes from "Capitalism, Alone".
https://glineq.blogspot.com/2019/09/capitalism-alone-four-important-but.html
4:14 PM · Sep 24, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The national revolution meant political independence. The social revolution meant abolishment of feudal growth-inhibiting institutions (power of usurious landlords, labor tied to land, gender discrimination, lack of access to education by the poor, religious turpitude etc.). "
Quote
Branko Milanovic @BrankoMilan · Sep 24, 2019
My today's post brings together several, somewhat less prominent, themes from "Capitalism, Alone".
https://glineq.blogspot.com/2019/09/capitalism-alone-four-important-but.html
4:14 PM · Sep 24, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1165653045834932224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
'Michael Mussa was nearer the truth when he said that “to establish its credibility, the Federal Reserve had to demonstrate its willingness to spill blood, lots of blood, other people’s blood.” ' https://twitter.com/zeithistoriker/status/1165637070489915392
This post is unavailable.
4:51 PM · Aug 25, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
'Michael Mussa was nearer the truth when he said that “to establish its credibility, the Federal Reserve had to demonstrate its willingness to spill blood, lots of blood, other people’s blood.” ' https://twitter.com/zeithistoriker/status/1165637070489915392
This post is unavailable.
4:51 PM · Aug 25, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1194648998126202885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wealth: redistribution and interest rates https://ergodicityeconomics.com/2017/08/14/wealth-redistribution-and-interest-rates/ via @wordpressdotcom
4:11 PM · Nov 13, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wealth: redistribution and interest rates https://ergodicityeconomics.com/2017/08/14/wealth-redistribution-and-interest-rates/ via @wordpressdotcom
4:11 PM · Nov 13, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"And so the most influential operating system ever written was not funded by venture capitalists, and the people who wrote it didn’t become billionaires because of it. Unix came about because Bell Labs hired smart people and gave them the freedom to amuse themselves, ..."
Quote Bell Labs @BellLabs · Sep 26, 2019 #ICYMI #Unix was invented by Dennis Ritchie, Ken Thompson & other Bell Labs researchers at our Murray Hill, NJ office in 1969. Unix was born from the failure of Multics and in one derivative or another, powers nearly all smartphones. #Unix50 @arstechnica https://nokia.ly/30KTfq6 11:43 PM · Sep 26, 2019
"And so the most influential operating system ever written was not funded by venture capitalists, and the people who wrote it didn’t become billionaires because of it. Unix came about because Bell Labs hired smart people and gave them the freedom to amuse themselves, ..."
Quote Bell Labs @BellLabs · Sep 26, 2019 #ICYMI #Unix was invented by Dennis Ritchie, Ken Thompson & other Bell Labs researchers at our Murray Hill, NJ office in 1969. Unix was born from the failure of Multics and in one derivative or another, powers nearly all smartphones. #Unix50 @arstechnica https://nokia.ly/30KTfq6 11:43 PM · Sep 26, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1164926032396333056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Central banks were given “independence” in order to be able to put a check on governments’ money creation. MMT reminds us that this state of affairs is self-imposed, not God-given."
Quote
Warren B. Mosler @wbmosler · Aug 23, 2019
This is very well put: https://afr.com/policy/economy/central-banks-have-unlimited-ammunition-if-they-chose-to-use-it-20190822-p52jp4
4:43 PM · Aug 23, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Central banks were given “independence” in order to be able to put a check on governments’ money creation. MMT reminds us that this state of affairs is self-imposed, not God-given."
Quote
Warren B. Mosler @wbmosler · Aug 23, 2019
This is very well put: https://afr.com/policy/economy/central-banks-have-unlimited-ammunition-if-they-chose-to-use-it-20190822-p52jp4
4:43 PM · Aug 23, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1192058754558308352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂🤣 "We’re told the Russians were responsible for Brexit. As I have said before, if we Russians were responsible for Brexit, Brexit would be done. We’d be out and we’d have taken a chunk of France with us."
Quote
Konstantin Kisin @KonstantinKisin · Nov 6, 2019
My thoughts on the Russians being responsible for every bad thing that has happened in the West.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/11/hysteria-about-russian-interference-is-becoming-a-joke/
12:38 PM · Nov 6, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂🤣 "We’re told the Russians were responsible for Brexit. As I have said before, if we Russians were responsible for Brexit, Brexit would be done. We’d be out and we’d have taken a chunk of France with us."
Quote
Konstantin Kisin @KonstantinKisin · Nov 6, 2019
My thoughts on the Russians being responsible for every bad thing that has happened in the West.
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/11/hysteria-about-russian-interference-is-becoming-a-joke/
12:38 PM · Nov 6, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1194256416674058240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Why are so many of us working? Because we’re a lot poorer than we expected to be."
Quote
Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · Nov 12, 2019
Blogged: the labour market is failing millions of people: https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2019/11/mass-under-employment.html
2:11 PM · Nov 12, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Why are so many of us working? Because we’re a lot poorer than we expected to be."
Quote
Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · Nov 12, 2019
Blogged: the labour market is failing millions of people: https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2019/11/mass-under-employment.html
2:11 PM · Nov 12, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1186619551334764546
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The price of privileged access and favourable treatment is turning readers and viewers into dupes"
Quote
Peter Oborne @OborneTweets · Oct 22, 2019
In my new piece for Open Democracy I assess the current state of British political journalism:
https://opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/british-journalists-have-become-part-of-johnsons-fake-news-machine/
1:25 PM · Oct 22, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The price of privileged access and favourable treatment is turning readers and viewers into dupes"
Quote
Peter Oborne @OborneTweets · Oct 22, 2019
In my new piece for Open Democracy I assess the current state of British political journalism:
https://opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/british-journalists-have-become-part-of-johnsons-fake-news-machine/
1:25 PM · Oct 22, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1186597263226867713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The charge against Julian is very specific; conspiring with Chelsea Manning to publish the Iraq War logs, the Afghanistan war logs and the State Department cables. The charges are nothing to do with Sweden, nothing to do with sex, and nothing to do with the 2016 US election;"
Quote
Matt Huang @matthuag · Oct 21, 2019
Assange Case - I am trying to write a report of what I saw in Westminster Magistrate's Court today, but my hands keep shaking with rage, frustration and sadness to the point I can't type, and my heart keeps going into atrial fibrillation. I have got mysel http://craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2019/10/assange-case/
11:56 AM · Oct 22, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The charge against Julian is very specific; conspiring with Chelsea Manning to publish the Iraq War logs, the Afghanistan war logs and the State Department cables. The charges are nothing to do with Sweden, nothing to do with sex, and nothing to do with the 2016 US election;"
Quote
Matt Huang @matthuag · Oct 21, 2019
Assange Case - I am trying to write a report of what I saw in Westminster Magistrate's Court today, but my hands keep shaking with rage, frustration and sadness to the point I can't type, and my heart keeps going into atrial fibrillation. I have got mysel http://craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2019/10/assange-case/
11:56 AM · Oct 22, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1187060163750051841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"He lit $10 billion of SoftBank’s money on fire and then went back to them and demanded a 10% commission. What an absolute legend."
Quote
Michael Antonelli @BullandBaird · Oct 23, 2019
Replying to @BullandBaird and @matt_levine
amazing opener here
https://bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-10-23/how-do-you-like-we-now
6:36 PM · Oct 23, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"He lit $10 billion of SoftBank’s money on fire and then went back to them and demanded a 10% commission. What an absolute legend."
Quote
Michael Antonelli @BullandBaird · Oct 23, 2019
Replying to @BullandBaird and @matt_levine
amazing opener here
https://bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-10-23/how-do-you-like-we-now
6:36 PM · Oct 23, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1183721079925293056
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Where Boeing failed, FAA should have stepped to regulate but failed too. Accidents' lessons are bought in blood, we must seek all to prevent next 1. Fix all flaws in the current system: corporate governance, regulatory oversight, aircraft maintenance, pilot training&experience"
Quote
Sully Sullenberger @Captsully · Oct 13, 2019
It is wrong to blame the pilots who lost their lives in the 737 MAX disasters when the aircraft design and certification were so fatally flawed. My full response to an article written by William Langewiesche, originally published in @NYTmag: http://bit.ly/2B8KFGr
1:27 PM · Oct 14, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Where Boeing failed, FAA should have stepped to regulate but failed too. Accidents' lessons are bought in blood, we must seek all to prevent next 1. Fix all flaws in the current system: corporate governance, regulatory oversight, aircraft maintenance, pilot training&experience"
Quote
Sully Sullenberger @Captsully · Oct 13, 2019
It is wrong to blame the pilots who lost their lives in the 737 MAX disasters when the aircraft design and certification were so fatally flawed. My full response to an article written by William Langewiesche, originally published in @NYTmag: http://bit.ly/2B8KFGr
1:27 PM · Oct 14, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1195384338122248200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pure gold - 😂 this "The one thing it never seemed to occur to anyone to do was to get a job at a bank, and find out what actually happens when someone asks to borrow money." 🤣 ...
Quote
David Graeber @davidgraeber · Nov 14, 2019
"Against Economics" - a review of Robert Skidelsky's "Money and Government" at NY Review of Books
https://nybooks.com/articles/2019/12/05/against-economics/
4:53 PM · Nov 15, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pure gold - 😂 this "The one thing it never seemed to occur to anyone to do was to get a job at a bank, and find out what actually happens when someone asks to borrow money." 🤣 ...
Quote
David Graeber @davidgraeber · Nov 14, 2019
"Against Economics" - a review of Robert Skidelsky's "Money and Government" at NY Review of Books
https://nybooks.com/articles/2019/12/05/against-economics/
4:53 PM · Nov 15, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... `In 2014 a German economist named Richard Werner did exactly that, and discovered that, in fact, loan officers do not check their existing funds, reserves, or anything else. They simply create money out of thin air, or, as he preferred to put it, “fairy dust.” ' 🤣😂
Quote David Graeber @davidgraeber · Nov 14, 2019 "Against Economics" - a review of Robert Skidelsky's "Money and Government" at NY Review of Books https://nybooks.com/articles/2019/12/05/against-economics/ 4:54 PM · Nov 15, 2019
... `In 2014 a German economist named Richard Werner did exactly that, and discovered that, in fact, loan officers do not check their existing funds, reserves, or anything else. They simply create money out of thin air, or, as he preferred to put it, “fairy dust.” ' 🤣😂
Quote David Graeber @davidgraeber · Nov 14, 2019 "Against Economics" - a review of Robert Skidelsky's "Money and Government" at NY Review of Books https://nybooks.com/articles/2019/12/05/against-economics/ 4:54 PM · Nov 15, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1171812732850585602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! :-O Wow -
"There is now undeniable evidence that markets are actually rising on prospects of a Corbyn government, not the reverse"
Quote
Peter Oborne @OborneTweets · Sep 11, 2019
It's Boris Johnson's No Deal Brexit that poses the real threat to Britain's economy. Not Jeremy Corbyn. My new column for Middle East Eye: https://middleeasteye.net/opinion/debunking-many-myths-about-jeremy-corbyn
4:48 PM · Sep 11, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! :-O Wow -
"There is now undeniable evidence that markets are actually rising on prospects of a Corbyn government, not the reverse"
Quote
Peter Oborne @OborneTweets · Sep 11, 2019
It's Boris Johnson's No Deal Brexit that poses the real threat to Britain's economy. Not Jeremy Corbyn. My new column for Middle East Eye: https://middleeasteye.net/opinion/debunking-many-myths-about-jeremy-corbyn
4:48 PM · Sep 11, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1165368901351485443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The U.S. must first decouple itself from China before it can launch the real war. Trump's trade war with China is intended to achieve that.
...
Expect Trump to fire Powell should he not be willing to follow his command. The U.S. will push up its markets no matter what."
Quote
Moon of Alabama @MoonofA · Aug 24, 2019
U.S. Decoupling From China Forces Others To Decouple From U.S. https://moonofalabama.org/2019/08/us-decoupling-from-china-forces-others-to-decouple-from-us.html
Image
10:02 PM · Aug 24, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The U.S. must first decouple itself from China before it can launch the real war. Trump's trade war with China is intended to achieve that.
...
Expect Trump to fire Powell should he not be willing to follow his command. The U.S. will push up its markets no matter what."
Quote
Moon of Alabama @MoonofA · Aug 24, 2019
U.S. Decoupling From China Forces Others To Decouple From U.S. https://moonofalabama.org/2019/08/us-decoupling-from-china-forces-others-to-decouple-from-us.html
Image
10:02 PM · Aug 24, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1169201450901225472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Parliament is sovereign—and therefore no Parliament can bind the next. What one Parliament does, another can undo. Parliament, elected by the people, can change its mind, reverse course—or double down. It can kill the King and replace him with a Dutchman if it wants."
Quote
Tom McTague @TomMcTague · Sep 4, 2019
Calm down, the constitution is working https://theatlantic.com/international/archive/2019/09/britain-politics-chaotic-constitution-working/597340/
11:52 AM · Sep 4, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Parliament is sovereign—and therefore no Parliament can bind the next. What one Parliament does, another can undo. Parliament, elected by the people, can change its mind, reverse course—or double down. It can kill the King and replace him with a Dutchman if it wants."
Quote
Tom McTague @TomMcTague · Sep 4, 2019
Calm down, the constitution is working https://theatlantic.com/international/archive/2019/09/britain-politics-chaotic-constitution-working/597340/
11:52 AM · Sep 4, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1169517681214726144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
`European decision makers have lost patience with Britain and want it out, fast. Anne Mulder, the Dutch parliament’s rapporteur on Brexit, speaks for many: “We thought the Brits were rational pragmatists. Well, they aren’t.”'
Quote
Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb · Sep 5, 2019
How Europe views the Brexit endgame - https://on.ft.com/2LwEVLg
Amazingly informative piece by @KuperSimon. No sign at all of Europe "blinking"
Image
8:48 AM · Sep 5, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
`European decision makers have lost patience with Britain and want it out, fast. Anne Mulder, the Dutch parliament’s rapporteur on Brexit, speaks for many: “We thought the Brits were rational pragmatists. Well, they aren’t.”'
Quote
Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb · Sep 5, 2019
How Europe views the Brexit endgame - https://on.ft.com/2LwEVLg
Amazingly informative piece by @KuperSimon. No sign at all of Europe "blinking"
Image
8:48 AM · Sep 5, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1171811571036753920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... to be around people who don’t want to know what you know, don’t want you to talk about sufferings bewilderment terror & humiliations of the citizens... You find the only people you feel comfortable with are those who have been to Bosnia, too. Or to some other slaughter.”
Quote
Tim Judah @timjudah1 · Sep 11, 2019
It is hard to say anything new or interesting about BiH at the moment just as it is about the past but still, it is good news when a high profile publication publishes anything at all Bosnia related. Sontag in Sarajevo https://nybooks.com/daily/2019/09/09/sontag-in-sarajevo/ via @nybooks
4:43 PM · Sep 11, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"... to be around people who don’t want to know what you know, don’t want you to talk about sufferings bewilderment terror & humiliations of the citizens... You find the only people you feel comfortable with are those who have been to Bosnia, too. Or to some other slaughter.”
Quote
Tim Judah @timjudah1 · Sep 11, 2019
It is hard to say anything new or interesting about BiH at the moment just as it is about the past but still, it is good news when a high profile publication publishes anything at all Bosnia related. Sontag in Sarajevo https://nybooks.com/daily/2019/09/09/sontag-in-sarajevo/ via @nybooks
4:43 PM · Sep 11, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1164937028137566214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Such confidence-sapping hand-wringing reflects the constraints of the current policy framework, constraints that were put in place to solve a very different problem: the need to keep the government’s hands off the printing press lest it spend too much and trigger high inflation"
Quote
Warren B. Mosler @wbmosler · Aug 23, 2019
This is very well put: https://afr.com/policy/economy/central-banks-have-unlimited-ammunition-if-they-chose-to-use-it-20190822-p52jp4
5:26 PM · Aug 23, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Such confidence-sapping hand-wringing reflects the constraints of the current policy framework, constraints that were put in place to solve a very different problem: the need to keep the government’s hands off the printing press lest it spend too much and trigger high inflation"
Quote
Warren B. Mosler @wbmosler · Aug 23, 2019
This is very well put: https://afr.com/policy/economy/central-banks-have-unlimited-ammunition-if-they-chose-to-use-it-20190822-p52jp4
5:26 PM · Aug 23, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1193267401401536514
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - much more at @hunger4words , on the FB page https://facebook.com/hunger4words/ and there is a blog too at https://hungerforwords.com
8:41 PM · Nov 9, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fyi - much more at @hunger4words , on the FB page https://facebook.com/hunger4words/ and there is a blog too at https://hungerforwords.com
8:41 PM · Nov 9, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1193208910234169345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This (and more!) is imho superbly noted, explained and elaborated further in "Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy" https://amazon.com/Weapons-Math-Destruction-Increases-Inequality/dp/0553418831/ by @mathbabedotorg . Kudos for noticing and raising the alarm.
4:49 PM · Nov 9, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This (and more!) is imho superbly noted, explained and elaborated further in "Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy" https://amazon.com/Weapons-Math-Destruction-Increases-Inequality/dp/0553418831/ by @mathbabedotorg . Kudos for noticing and raising the alarm.
4:49 PM · Nov 9, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1169568722283114497
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, and they are not hiding it. Seselj - Trump - Farage are ideological brothers in arms and they recognize that. In the cast of characters, looks like Boris Johnson = Milosevic, Nigel Farage = Seselj. (Seselj pic from https://balkaninsight.com/2016/11/11/serbian-radical-leader-seselj-plays-chetnik-song-dedicated-to-trump-11-10-2016/)
Image
12:11 PM · Sep 5, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, and they are not hiding it. Seselj - Trump - Farage are ideological brothers in arms and they recognize that. In the cast of characters, looks like Boris Johnson = Milosevic, Nigel Farage = Seselj. (Seselj pic from https://balkaninsight.com/2016/11/11/serbian-radical-leader-seselj-plays-chetnik-song-dedicated-to-trump-11-10-2016/)
Image
12:11 PM · Sep 5, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1193175603895255042
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some insights on that from "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs" (https://amazon.com/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Medical-Breakthroughs/dp/B0046LUU7C
). Discoveries and improvements are not only *not* greeted with open arms, but it is actually trench warfare to have people persuaded. (c.f. Helicobacter pylori)
Image
2:36 PM · Nov 9, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Some insights on that from "Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs" (https://amazon.com/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Medical-Breakthroughs/dp/B0046LUU7C
). Discoveries and improvements are not only *not* greeted with open arms, but it is actually trench warfare to have people persuaded. (c.f. Helicobacter pylori)
Image
2:36 PM · Nov 9, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1177882275347910658
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"But Hong Kong’s traditionally dominant social class — educated, white-collar professionals — was hit hard. Wages stalled or declined. What they made bought far less. Many became less well-off than their parents had been."
Quote
Gabriel Gatehouse @ggatehouse · Sep 28, 2019
Very important and revealing context to the Hong Kong protests from @Max_Fisher. Well worth a read. Even if you’re not interested in Hong Kong https://nytimes.com/2019/09/27/world/asia/hong-kong-protests-identity.html
10:46 AM · Sep 28, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"But Hong Kong’s traditionally dominant social class — educated, white-collar professionals — was hit hard. Wages stalled or declined. What they made bought far less. Many became less well-off than their parents had been."
Quote
Gabriel Gatehouse @ggatehouse · Sep 28, 2019
Very important and revealing context to the Hong Kong protests from @Max_Fisher. Well worth a read. Even if you’re not interested in Hong Kong https://nytimes.com/2019/09/27/world/asia/hong-kong-protests-identity.html
10:46 AM · Sep 28, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1196747936975249408
Conversation
David Graeber @davidgraeber · Nov 14, 2019
"Against Economics" - a review of Robert Skidelsky's "Money and Government" at NY Review of Books
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One data point: fwiw a rare journalist actually did venture to search for a Magic Money Tree. Michael Robinson/Michael Gallagher, "Shaking the Magic Money Trees" on BBC Radio 4, last on Wed 31 Jan 2018 11:00
11:11 AM · Nov 19, 2019
Conversation
David Graeber @davidgraeber · Nov 14, 2019
"Against Economics" - a review of Robert Skidelsky's "Money and Government" at NY Review of Books
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One data point: fwiw a rare journalist actually did venture to search for a Magic Money Tree. Michael Robinson/Michael Gallagher, "Shaking the Magic Money Trees" on BBC Radio 4, last on Wed 31 Jan 2018 11:00
11:11 AM · Nov 19, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1196872397246418945
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! There is a writeup too on the BBC News site, aptly bylined "Whatever politicians like to say, there is a magic money tree. But it's not quite the answer to everything you might have been hoping." :-) Indeed. https://bbc.co.uk/news/business-42835758
7:26 PM · Nov 19, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! There is a writeup too on the BBC News site, aptly bylined "Whatever politicians like to say, there is a magic money tree. But it's not quite the answer to everything you might have been hoping." :-) Indeed. https://bbc.co.uk/news/business-42835758
7:26 PM · Nov 19, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1197531702870073350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Russia’s 10-year sovereign looks great to everyone, except to the most scornful of the anti-Russia crowd, at around 6.4% in rubles.
Russia’s 2027 dollar-bond pays 4.25% interest. Germany doesn’t pay at all/yields -0.35%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yields just 1.8%"
Quote
Mats Nilsson @mazzenilsson · Nov 21, 2019
Sorry, haters, #Putin and his securities market is better than Xi’s, better than Trump’s. It’s Europe’s fault. https://forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2019/11/18/for-wall-street-russia-has-become-bullet-proof/
3:06 PM · Nov 21, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Russia’s 10-year sovereign looks great to everyone, except to the most scornful of the anti-Russia crowd, at around 6.4% in rubles.
Russia’s 2027 dollar-bond pays 4.25% interest. Germany doesn’t pay at all/yields -0.35%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yields just 1.8%"
Quote
Mats Nilsson @mazzenilsson · Nov 21, 2019
Sorry, haters, #Putin and his securities market is better than Xi’s, better than Trump’s. It’s Europe’s fault. https://forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2019/11/18/for-wall-street-russia-has-become-bullet-proof/
3:06 PM · Nov 21, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1182610978741084160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Give it here, said John Wilkinson, and used his cannon-boring method to make a pleasingly round piston cylinder.
His supplier, a Scotsman named James Watt, never looked back."
BBC News - How interchangeable parts revolutionised the way things are made https://bbc.co.uk/news/business-49499444
11:56 AM · Oct 11, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Give it here, said John Wilkinson, and used his cannon-boring method to make a pleasingly round piston cylinder.
His supplier, a Scotsman named James Watt, never looked back."
BBC News - How interchangeable parts revolutionised the way things are made https://bbc.co.uk/news/business-49499444
11:56 AM · Oct 11, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1187042568816578561
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"By extending protections afforded to whistleblowers (whose jobs would be at risk if they were identified) to official government spokesmen who take no risks and whose job, paid for by the taxpayer, is to speak out for their employer, journalists create a propagandist’s paradise"
Quote
Nick Cohen @NickCohen4 · Oct 22, 2019
As tonight Westminster correspondents have - yet again - been conned by Johnson's spin machine, I'm reposting my piece from earlier today on how they have become the Tories' useful idiots and how they can break free
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/10/meet-dominic-slack-oxley-the-biggest-source-of-fake-news-in-britain/
5:26 PM · Oct 23, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"By extending protections afforded to whistleblowers (whose jobs would be at risk if they were identified) to official government spokesmen who take no risks and whose job, paid for by the taxpayer, is to speak out for their employer, journalists create a propagandist’s paradise"
Quote
Nick Cohen @NickCohen4 · Oct 22, 2019
As tonight Westminster correspondents have - yet again - been conned by Johnson's spin machine, I'm reposting my piece from earlier today on how they have become the Tories' useful idiots and how they can break free
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/10/meet-dominic-slack-oxley-the-biggest-source-of-fake-news-in-britain/
5:26 PM · Oct 23, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1187470913765138433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"BlackRock is paying Osborne £650K p.a. What are they buying? Not his economic expertise – he’d struggle to get a minimum wage job on that – nor his contacts. No, BR is offering an incentive to world’s finance ministers: you too can get big money if you behave yourself in office"
Quote
Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · Oct 24, 2019
This is one way in which capitalist power works. The prospect of a cushy job incentivises politicians to behave properly, as I pointed out here: https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2017/03/how-capitalist-power-works.html
9:48 PM · Oct 24, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"BlackRock is paying Osborne £650K p.a. What are they buying? Not his economic expertise – he’d struggle to get a minimum wage job on that – nor his contacts. No, BR is offering an incentive to world’s finance ministers: you too can get big money if you behave yourself in office"
Quote
Chris Dillow @CJFDillow · Oct 24, 2019
This is one way in which capitalist power works. The prospect of a cushy job incentivises politicians to behave properly, as I pointed out here: https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2017/03/how-capitalist-power-works.html
9:48 PM · Oct 24, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1197461105930653696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The UK 43 yrs ago was an economic basket case, the 'sick man of Europe'. Ulster was convulsed by terrorism, bombs were exploding regularly in London. Against this background... a referendum was far more revolutionary than 2016... the first national referendum in British history"
Quote
Robert Saunders @redhistorian · Nov 21, 2019
Replying to @redhistorian
With apologies for the commercial break: if you enjoyed the Benn/Jenkins debate, my book on the 1975 referendum is now out in paperback. "A jaw-dislocating page-turner. If you care about contemporary politics, you really need to read it" (Andrew Marr). https://amazon.co.uk/Yes-Europe-Referendum-Seventies-Britain/dp/1108442242/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=
Image
10:25 AM · Nov 21, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The UK 43 yrs ago was an economic basket case, the 'sick man of Europe'. Ulster was convulsed by terrorism, bombs were exploding regularly in London. Against this background... a referendum was far more revolutionary than 2016... the first national referendum in British history"
Quote
Robert Saunders @redhistorian · Nov 21, 2019
Replying to @redhistorian
With apologies for the commercial break: if you enjoyed the Benn/Jenkins debate, my book on the 1975 referendum is now out in paperback. "A jaw-dislocating page-turner. If you care about contemporary politics, you really need to read it" (Andrew Marr). https://amazon.co.uk/Yes-Europe-Referendum-Seventies-Britain/dp/1108442242/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=
Image
10:25 AM · Nov 21, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1173207700597039105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The digital head of Vote Leave told me one needs ~ 70 discrete social media messages to different audiences in a population of 20 million. Animal rights was the most successful online ad he ran in Brexit referendum in order to get people out to vote." https://gu.com/p/cb95k/stw
1:11 PM · Sep 15, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The digital head of Vote Leave told me one needs ~ 70 discrete social media messages to different audiences in a population of 20 million. Animal rights was the most successful online ad he ran in Brexit referendum in order to get people out to vote." https://gu.com/p/cb95k/stw
1:11 PM · Sep 15, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1173208094177988608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“Lack of transparency on Internet means shared public space for debate is lost. Make it instantly possible to see which ads are being targeted at whom and we can start to have a field where interaction is at least possible.” https://gu.com/p/cb95k/stw
1:13 PM · Sep 15, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
“Lack of transparency on Internet means shared public space for debate is lost. Make it instantly possible to see which ads are being targeted at whom and we can start to have a field where interaction is at least possible.” https://gu.com/p/cb95k/stw
1:13 PM · Sep 15, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1172897858263162880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The working toilet - entitled America, which visitors had been invited to use - has not been found but a 66-year-old man has been arrested."
BBC News - Gold toilet stolen in Blenheim Palace burglary https://bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-oxfordshire-49700620
4:40 PM · Sep 14, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The working toilet - entitled America, which visitors had been invited to use - has not been found but a 66-year-old man has been arrested."
BBC News - Gold toilet stolen in Blenheim Palace burglary https://bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-oxfordshire-49700620
4:40 PM · Sep 14, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1177349624815861761
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting and on that same topic - Yuval Noah Harari on 'The Bright Side of Nationalism', at the Central European University https://youtube.com/watch?v=2jz7hsqsObU&t=4m40s @rolandmcs @eucopresident
youtube.com
Yuval Noah Harari on 'The Bright Side of Nationalism', at the Central...
Watch Prof. Yuval Noah Harari speak about nationalism at the Central European University in Budapest, in May 2019. This university will soon stop operating ...
11:29 PM · Sep 26, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting and on that same topic - Yuval Noah Harari on 'The Bright Side of Nationalism', at the Central European University https://youtube.com/watch?v=2jz7hsqsObU&t=4m40s @rolandmcs @eucopresident
youtube.com
Yuval Noah Harari on 'The Bright Side of Nationalism', at the Central...
Watch Prof. Yuval Noah Harari speak about nationalism at the Central European University in Budapest, in May 2019. This university will soon stop operating ...
11:29 PM · Sep 26, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1176144528677449728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess! - "If we are serious about rebalancing, we could move the capital from London to Manchester" Only realistic alternative to London domination. Tie with HoC repairs http://economist.com/blogs/bagehot/2017/02/go-north Naive Q - why not aim for Manchester-Liverpool (combo) metro area? @s8mb @londonyimby
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Sam Bowman 🇺🇦 @s8mb · Sep 23, 2019
Replying to @s8mb @stianwestlake and @MrRBourne
Nice response by @londonyimby that argues that there is no trade-off between helping people vs helping places. https://conservativehome.com/localgovernment/2019/09/john-myers-we-do-not-need-to-give-up-on-places-that-have-fallen-behind.html
3:41 PM · Sep 23, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yess! - "If we are serious about rebalancing, we could move the capital from London to Manchester" Only realistic alternative to London domination. Tie with HoC repairs http://economist.com/blogs/bagehot/2017/02/go-north Naive Q - why not aim for Manchester-Liverpool (combo) metro area? @s8mb @londonyimby
Quote
Sam Bowman 🇺🇦 @s8mb · Sep 23, 2019
Replying to @s8mb @stianwestlake and @MrRBourne
Nice response by @londonyimby that argues that there is no trade-off between helping people vs helping places. https://conservativehome.com/localgovernment/2019/09/john-myers-we-do-not-need-to-give-up-on-places-that-have-fallen-behind.html
3:41 PM · Sep 23, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1176163406656745474
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the 2x better teacher/pupil ratio in private vs. the state schools. Goes some way towards addressing the "Bloom’s 2 Sigma Problem". Or is that accounted for in the studies? Recent on Bloom's 2SD https://unherd.com/2019/09/how-to-get-personal-tuition-for-every-child/
4:56 PM · Sep 23, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's the 2x better teacher/pupil ratio in private vs. the state schools. Goes some way towards addressing the "Bloom’s 2 Sigma Problem". Or is that accounted for in the studies? Recent on Bloom's 2SD https://unherd.com/2019/09/how-to-get-personal-tuition-for-every-child/
4:56 PM · Sep 23, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1166665563298512897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poland run a winning combination for 30 yrs. Avg private sufficit ~4% p.a part of that. A party (=wants to win elections) is changing that. Reasons: "boost reputation for econ mngmt". Imho silly, but one natural exprmnt: in 2-4 yrs we'll see if economy, J&L vote up/dn. @wbmosler
11:55 AM · Aug 28, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Poland run a winning combination for 30 yrs. Avg private sufficit ~4% p.a part of that. A party (=wants to win elections) is changing that. Reasons: "boost reputation for econ mngmt". Imho silly, but one natural exprmnt: in 2-4 yrs we'll see if economy, J&L vote up/dn. @wbmosler
11:55 AM · Aug 28, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1172058869905985538
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BrankoMilan fyi
Quote
Ole Peters @ole_b_peters · Sep 11, 2019
Using an ergodic model for individual (relative) wealth or income assumes away the answer to what may well be the most important question: are prevailing economic conditions supporting a society or are they dismantling it?
These authors sound concerned.
https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.04452
Show more
9:06 AM · Sep 12, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@BrankoMilan fyi
Quote
Ole Peters @ole_b_peters · Sep 11, 2019
Using an ergodic model for individual (relative) wealth or income assumes away the answer to what may well be the most important question: are prevailing economic conditions supporting a society or are they dismantling it?
These authors sound concerned.
https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.04452
Show more
9:06 AM · Sep 12, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1201473475963215872
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In principle - yes, but that does not disqualify the current system. 18yolds with better things to do with their time can choose to do so and not attend uni. I can imagine some better but also plenty worse things they can do with their time at 18. Not looking for platonic ideals.
12:09 PM · Dec 2, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In principle - yes, but that does not disqualify the current system. 18yolds with better things to do with their time can choose to do so and not attend uni. I can imagine some better but also plenty worse things they can do with their time at 18. Not looking for platonic ideals.
12:09 PM · Dec 2, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1201538965813284864
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is still the best use of 18yr old's time. The debt is more like graduate tax. It should not be dismantled but adapted to the changed world: online, part time, 1or2 yr courses, older students. The subsidy is not a bug but a feature! Imagine the northern towns sans their unis.
4:29 PM · Dec 2, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It is still the best use of 18yr old's time. The debt is more like graduate tax. It should not be dismantled but adapted to the changed world: online, part time, 1or2 yr courses, older students. The subsidy is not a bug but a feature! Imagine the northern towns sans their unis.
4:29 PM · Dec 2, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1201460503073239040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a scam, "debt" is more like graduate tax, should not be dismantled but adapted to future needs (online, part time, 1or2 yr courses, older students). Agreed Re: subsudy, but that is a good thing (feature, not a bug). UK is a world leader in HighEd, well better than expected.
11:18 AM · Dec 2, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not a scam, "debt" is more like graduate tax, should not be dismantled but adapted to future needs (online, part time, 1or2 yr courses, older students). Agreed Re: subsudy, but that is a good thing (feature, not a bug). UK is a world leader in HighEd, well better than expected.
11:18 AM · Dec 2, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1201517950563471360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The students, their families (including future ones), UK companies, cities they will move to, the whole society, myself, even yourself! UK universities are not too expensive for what they provide, and are excellent value for £££.
3:06 PM · Dec 2, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The students, their families (including future ones), UK companies, cities they will move to, the whole society, myself, even yourself! UK universities are not too expensive for what they provide, and are excellent value for £££.
3:06 PM · Dec 2, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1159455335402414080
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"What is the Conservative Party for, after all, what is Conservatism, if it’s not to smash everything to bits and rebuild it in accordance with the blog posts of some wide-eyed zealot?" :-O
Quote
Ian Dunt @IanDunt · Aug 8, 2019
It's quite rare that I have to stop reading an article three time to wipe away tears of laughter, but this was one of those times https://independent.co.uk/voices/dominic-cummings-brexit-boris-johnson-vote-leave-nigel-farage-a9045766.html
2:24 PM · Aug 8, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"What is the Conservative Party for, after all, what is Conservatism, if it’s not to smash everything to bits and rebuild it in accordance with the blog posts of some wide-eyed zealot?" :-O
Quote
Ian Dunt @IanDunt · Aug 8, 2019
It's quite rare that I have to stop reading an article three time to wipe away tears of laughter, but this was one of those times https://independent.co.uk/voices/dominic-cummings-brexit-boris-johnson-vote-leave-nigel-farage-a9045766.html
2:24 PM · Aug 8, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1163389101598498816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"rewrite the foundations ... avoid the lure of averaging over possible outcomes, instead average over outcomes in time, with one thing happening after another ... Many pple – including most economists – believe these two ways of thinking give identical results, but they don’t"
Quote
Aeon+Psyche @aeonmag · Aug 14, 2019
‘Ergodicity Economics’ is overturning a fundamental concept at the heart of economics, with radical implications for the way we approach uncertainty and cooperation http://ow.ly/sDZh50vwY8g
10:55 AM · Aug 19, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"rewrite the foundations ... avoid the lure of averaging over possible outcomes, instead average over outcomes in time, with one thing happening after another ... Many pple – including most economists – believe these two ways of thinking give identical results, but they don’t"
Quote
Aeon+Psyche @aeonmag · Aug 14, 2019
‘Ergodicity Economics’ is overturning a fundamental concept at the heart of economics, with radical implications for the way we approach uncertainty and cooperation http://ow.ly/sDZh50vwY8g
10:55 AM · Aug 19, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1163394523705356288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"How exactly does smoking cause lung cancer? Once we find a mechanism through which chemicals in smoke cause cancer (and we have), we can be more confident about smoking’s role in lung cancer. Merely showing that smokers have a higher rate of cancer isn’t evidence (enough) ..."
Quote
Aeon+Psyche @aeonmag · Aug 17, 2019
Every substance is safe in certain amounts. Take botulinum, the most poisonous substance on Earth: just 50g spread evenly worldwide would kill everyone. But, in very minute amounts, it is safely used in Botox http://ow.ly/aRDI50vyTbM
Image
11:17 AM · Aug 19, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"How exactly does smoking cause lung cancer? Once we find a mechanism through which chemicals in smoke cause cancer (and we have), we can be more confident about smoking’s role in lung cancer. Merely showing that smokers have a higher rate of cancer isn’t evidence (enough) ..."
Quote
Aeon+Psyche @aeonmag · Aug 17, 2019
Every substance is safe in certain amounts. Take botulinum, the most poisonous substance on Earth: just 50g spread evenly worldwide would kill everyone. But, in very minute amounts, it is safely used in Botox http://ow.ly/aRDI50vyTbM
Image
11:17 AM · Aug 19, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1164452541146554368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Debts don’t need to be paid off, but they do need to be serviced. To service growing debt with stagnant income (e.g US since ~1980), we need to lower interest rates.
Interest rates have been falling since ~1980, precisely the time when the re-allocation rate became negative ."
Quote
Ole Peters @ole_b_peters · Aug 21, 2019
1/7 When we started thinking about how to model personal wealth in an economy of interacting people, we soon wrote down an equation we called Re-allocating Geometric Brownian Motion (RGBM). We felt logically forced to use this as a starting point.
https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2794830
9:21 AM · Aug 22, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Debts don’t need to be paid off, but they do need to be serviced. To service growing debt with stagnant income (e.g US since ~1980), we need to lower interest rates.
Interest rates have been falling since ~1980, precisely the time when the re-allocation rate became negative ."
Quote
Ole Peters @ole_b_peters · Aug 21, 2019
1/7 When we started thinking about how to model personal wealth in an economy of interacting people, we soon wrote down an equation we called Re-allocating Geometric Brownian Motion (RGBM). We felt logically forced to use this as a starting point.
https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2794830
9:21 AM · Aug 22, 2019
https://twitter.com/ljupc0/status/1164076351881695234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - "everything should always be const unless it can’t be. Wish all C++ variables were const by default. Function parameters are either input or output, never both. Much easier to understand what happens to a variable passed to a function" https://kotaku.com/the-exceptional-beauty-of-doom-3s-source-code-5975610 @sssmcgrath
8:26 AM · Aug 21, 2019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! - "everything should always be const unless it can’t be. Wish all C++ variables were const by default. Function parameters are either input or output, never both. Much easier to understand what happens to a variable passed to a function" https://kotaku.com/the-exceptional-beauty-of-doom-3s-source-code-5975610 @sssmcgrath
8:26 AM · Aug 21, 2019
Substrack archive
Substrack notes
https://www.learningfromexamples.com/p/what-academics-get-wrong/comment/135860654
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
:-) Oh-key, now I have to ask - were you the "surprise" at this event https://lu.ma/9rgk4l5h?tk=7G1WGN per chance?? Or is this Penrose-incompleteness-blah endemic in academia?? For the academic I referenced - if that was not yourself that is - also had strong ideas about Penrose "showing" this-and-that. I understand what Penrose is saying e.g. here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SpySWkHu7k.
But I fear Penrose is not taking seriously arguments coming back to him from e.g. Scott Aaronson, or David Deutsch (or Joscha Bach). The few I have heard address that. Geoffrey Hinton remarked on Penrose ideas in an interview, but didn't elaborate much. (agains one of his own; if we are into Nobel prizes beauty contests.) Physicists had great successes in the 20-th century. Seemed like they could do no wrong, and did plenty right. But then there is Pauling and VitC as cautionary tale, no?
I'm cognisant that in the 21-st century, seems Computer Science people are a bit like physicists in the 20-th. Things simply seem to be moving their way. Computer Science people should not get too cocky. But imo they get plenty things right.
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
:-) Oh-key, now I have to ask - were you the "surprise" at this event https://lu.ma/9rgk4l5h?tk=7G1WGN per chance?? Or is this Penrose-incompleteness-blah endemic in academia?? For the academic I referenced - if that was not yourself that is - also had strong ideas about Penrose "showing" this-and-that. I understand what Penrose is saying e.g. here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SpySWkHu7k.
But I fear Penrose is not taking seriously arguments coming back to him from e.g. Scott Aaronson, or David Deutsch (or Joscha Bach). The few I have heard address that. Geoffrey Hinton remarked on Penrose ideas in an interview, but didn't elaborate much. (agains one of his own; if we are into Nobel prizes beauty contests.) Physicists had great successes in the 20-th century. Seemed like they could do no wrong, and did plenty right. But then there is Pauling and VitC as cautionary tale, no?
I'm cognisant that in the 21-st century, seems Computer Science people are a bit like physicists in the 20-th. Things simply seem to be moving their way. Computer Science people should not get too cocky. But imo they get plenty things right.
https://www.learningfromexamples.com/p/what-academics-get-wrong/comment/135834925
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for the declaration of interest. Let me declare mine - industrial R&D guy, here ttps://ljubomirj.github.io/cvlj91a.pdf, haha. :-) I will try not to take a recent frustration unfairly on you. But I think it funny enough to mention.
Got annoyed by a respected AI academic (I assume professor) two days ago. The good prof was sprung on us by a host of MLST podcast (https://substack.com/@mlst) as a "surprise!!" at a meetup. I'm sure it was meant as a positive surprise. We were penned in confined space, unable to leave, only able to respond to his speaking after he finished. By that point I was enraged enough that I though it wiser to not speak up all. We got treated to this fallacy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OH-ybecvuEo, that somehow the prof though is relevant to thinking machines. I feel many left the room after the meetup more ignorant and less knowledgeable than when they entered it two hours before. ;-)
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for the declaration of interest. Let me declare mine - industrial R&D guy, here ttps://ljubomirj.github.io/cvlj91a.pdf, haha. :-) I will try not to take a recent frustration unfairly on you. But I think it funny enough to mention.
Got annoyed by a respected AI academic (I assume professor) two days ago. The good prof was sprung on us by a host of MLST podcast (https://substack.com/@mlst) as a "surprise!!" at a meetup. I'm sure it was meant as a positive surprise. We were penned in confined space, unable to leave, only able to respond to his speaking after he finished. By that point I was enraged enough that I though it wiser to not speak up all. We got treated to this fallacy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OH-ybecvuEo, that somehow the prof though is relevant to thinking machines. I feel many left the room after the meetup more ignorant and less knowledgeable than when they entered it two hours before. ;-)
https://www.learningfromexamples.com/p/what-academics-get-wrong/comment/135824085
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Hey thanks for that. But I feel I witness a bit of "oh well but you can't help yourself" there, by throwing the "than those on the other side of CP Snow’s divide." barb, haha. :-) I don't think it's possible at all, first to 1) quantify, then 2) to decide, on your claim. I only have a single data point to contribute - myself. I have read some books, at learned some, about the history of Byzantium (The Eastern Roman Empire), and history of Byzantine art specifically, that my wife is into. Whereas, she has learned little of probability, that is accessible to us all as it involves mere counting, and maybe betting/odds to test on. Not to speak of its extension theory of information. Not to talk of say difficult topics like differential calculus in mathematics, or maybe how computers work, talk to each other, how we program them etc.
When it comes to "issues were debated". Yes indeed they were, but they were not settled. That's why the debate persisted. B/c very often we lack the means to separate true from false. In Sciences we have mother Nature to decide for us, in a lucky for us somewhat objective way. Independent of our desires and wishes. That things were undecided for a long time, is not an argument for refusing to acknowledge a decision when it becomes possible. I feel like issues to do consciousness, the whole thicket of theories that have sprung over time, are reaching that point. Point of deciding which there are true, and which are false.
Whereas structuralist models you mention are good example where things are way way past that point. These theories may have been good questions. But rarely provided answers. They certainly never helped us practitioners much in anything to do with language and speech. Jelinek famously said "my system performance goes up every time I fire a linguist." Almost 15 years past this https://norvig.com/chomsky.html, I find it unconscionable that people still have not binned those theories. Like plenty other theories we bin once we learn better.
Theories are not saintly even if they are I'm sure dear to their progenitors and advocates as children are to their parents. However - the rest of the academia does not need to re-enact the "science advances funeral by funeral" quip. In year 2025 machines have soundly passed the Turing test. No taking this into account is as loonie as thinking the current best chess playing entity in the world is not a computer but still a human.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Hey thanks for that. But I feel I witness a bit of "oh well but you can't help yourself" there, by throwing the "than those on the other side of CP Snow’s divide." barb, haha. :-) I don't think it's possible at all, first to 1) quantify, then 2) to decide, on your claim. I only have a single data point to contribute - myself. I have read some books, at learned some, about the history of Byzantium (The Eastern Roman Empire), and history of Byzantine art specifically, that my wife is into. Whereas, she has learned little of probability, that is accessible to us all as it involves mere counting, and maybe betting/odds to test on. Not to speak of its extension theory of information. Not to talk of say difficult topics like differential calculus in mathematics, or maybe how computers work, talk to each other, how we program them etc.
When it comes to "issues were debated". Yes indeed they were, but they were not settled. That's why the debate persisted. B/c very often we lack the means to separate true from false. In Sciences we have mother Nature to decide for us, in a lucky for us somewhat objective way. Independent of our desires and wishes. That things were undecided for a long time, is not an argument for refusing to acknowledge a decision when it becomes possible. I feel like issues to do consciousness, the whole thicket of theories that have sprung over time, are reaching that point. Point of deciding which there are true, and which are false.
Whereas structuralist models you mention are good example where things are way way past that point. These theories may have been good questions. But rarely provided answers. They certainly never helped us practitioners much in anything to do with language and speech. Jelinek famously said "my system performance goes up every time I fire a linguist." Almost 15 years past this https://norvig.com/chomsky.html, I find it unconscionable that people still have not binned those theories. Like plenty other theories we bin once we learn better.
Theories are not saintly even if they are I'm sure dear to their progenitors and advocates as children are to their parents. However - the rest of the academia does not need to re-enact the "science advances funeral by funeral" quip. In year 2025 machines have soundly passed the Turing test. No taking this into account is as loonie as thinking the current best chess playing entity in the world is not a computer but still a human.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-134482302
Ljubomir Josifovski 2h
Very good - thanks for sharing this, like it.
This recalls to my mind "everyone should be treated the same, even if they are not the same." People are different - yet we should treat them all the same, as if they are the same.
Likewise in your case - we should explain to people as if they can understand, even if maybe they can't. I subscribe to this principle. For one thing, we may be surprised - one never knows. For another, how are we to learn new things, if we are only told as much as we already know, but not more.
Yes the teller runs the risk of being overly detailed and ultimately boring. For if the interlocutor doesn't understand, they may get bored and even frustrated. That's fine. My ego can take a hit, I'm fine risking it. When I notice I wrap quickly in a sentence and shut up. Not a biggie.
Amusingly, people find similar when teaching computers new things they have never seen before. (check Jeff Clune lectures, talks, podcasts interviews) Teaching them too easy things they already know how to solve - is a waste of time, they already know, so learn nothing new. Teaching them too hard things is a waste of time too, because they don't solve it fail to get to the solution. But we want them to learn to discover a solution on their own, independently. Not just memorise and in the future pattern match an answer they blurt out. The aim of their research is to teach the model how to learn on his own. Not just what's the right answer is, but to learn the process by which we humans find the answer.
There is a Goldilocks zone, where the system is at A, and we want it too get to B on its own. If B is about 20% away, 20% more difficult, but no more than that, then the model stands a non-trivial chance of discovering in its own, the stepping stones that allow it to get from A to B successfully. And discover that on its own. That part is crucial. They are training the model how to learn on its own. So them laying the stepping stones is no good, is counterproductive. The aim of the exercise is for the model to learn how to go on about discovering the stepping stones on its own.
Ljubomir Josifovski 2h
Very good - thanks for sharing this, like it.
This recalls to my mind "everyone should be treated the same, even if they are not the same." People are different - yet we should treat them all the same, as if they are the same.
Likewise in your case - we should explain to people as if they can understand, even if maybe they can't. I subscribe to this principle. For one thing, we may be surprised - one never knows. For another, how are we to learn new things, if we are only told as much as we already know, but not more.
Yes the teller runs the risk of being overly detailed and ultimately boring. For if the interlocutor doesn't understand, they may get bored and even frustrated. That's fine. My ego can take a hit, I'm fine risking it. When I notice I wrap quickly in a sentence and shut up. Not a biggie.
Amusingly, people find similar when teaching computers new things they have never seen before. (check Jeff Clune lectures, talks, podcasts interviews) Teaching them too easy things they already know how to solve - is a waste of time, they already know, so learn nothing new. Teaching them too hard things is a waste of time too, because they don't solve it fail to get to the solution. But we want them to learn to discover a solution on their own, independently. Not just memorise and in the future pattern match an answer they blurt out. The aim of their research is to teach the model how to learn on his own. Not just what's the right answer is, but to learn the process by which we humans find the answer.
There is a Goldilocks zone, where the system is at A, and we want it too get to B on its own. If B is about 20% away, 20% more difficult, but no more than that, then the model stands a non-trivial chance of discovering in its own, the stepping stones that allow it to get from A to B successfully. And discover that on its own. That part is crucial. They are training the model how to learn on its own. So them laying the stepping stones is no good, is counterproductive. The aim of the exercise is for the model to learn how to go on about discovering the stepping stones on its own.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-133789480
Ljubomir Josifovski 13h
Frankly the levels of discussion on this are embarrassing. Do people forget how the LLMs work?? Maybe wisest course of action is for anyone interested to invest couple of hours watching Karpathy educational videos.
As long as the word “Hitler” or any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of the model, the probability of it saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. Then Grok (or any model) will never ever say it. It’s bit more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. One would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”. Not rocket science.
More realistically, it's much easier to do the censoring in some post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. In at least one model, noticed there was a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answered “yes/no”, if the output that the LLM just generated, is to be passed on to the user. There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, “Hitler” and any number of censored outputs. And then just not pass the output to the user. I honestly think that way is the least bad way of censorship. For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. Either way - knows or can guess what happened. Preferable to I think skewing the output by altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution. Making the model effectively lie, in a way more subtle so much harder to detect.
This all is even before we get into manipulating the model with its input words, and or context, so to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. So in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. And manipulating the context, one can boost that base probability arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion and is top ranked of all accounts on X." :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top, yes, but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his message into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that what it's said.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for years now seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values etc are in the data are distilled and instilled into the model during their training. In all likelihood, all models have their “hitler-anything” down-weighted, manipulated so to reduce the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat with his “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” maybe has his Grok more aligned to the data, rather than our “priors”. (that should be called "posteriors" here really) But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough times. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear on output. This is uneventful. The subsequent pearl clutching and endless mostly baseless "analysis" provide for some light infotainment, I give them that. But nothing more than that.
Ljubomir Josifovski 13h
Frankly the levels of discussion on this are embarrassing. Do people forget how the LLMs work?? Maybe wisest course of action is for anyone interested to invest couple of hours watching Karpathy educational videos.
As long as the word “Hitler” or any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of the model, the probability of it saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. Then Grok (or any model) will never ever say it. It’s bit more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. One would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”. Not rocket science.
More realistically, it's much easier to do the censoring in some post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. In at least one model, noticed there was a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answered “yes/no”, if the output that the LLM just generated, is to be passed on to the user. There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, “Hitler” and any number of censored outputs. And then just not pass the output to the user. I honestly think that way is the least bad way of censorship. For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. Either way - knows or can guess what happened. Preferable to I think skewing the output by altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution. Making the model effectively lie, in a way more subtle so much harder to detect.
This all is even before we get into manipulating the model with its input words, and or context, so to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. So in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. And manipulating the context, one can boost that base probability arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion and is top ranked of all accounts on X." :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top, yes, but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his message into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that what it's said.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for years now seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values etc are in the data are distilled and instilled into the model during their training. In all likelihood, all models have their “hitler-anything” down-weighted, manipulated so to reduce the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat with his “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” maybe has his Grok more aligned to the data, rather than our “priors”. (that should be called "posteriors" here really) But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough times. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear on output. This is uneventful. The subsequent pearl clutching and endless mostly baseless "analysis" provide for some light infotainment, I give them that. But nothing more than that.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-133542327
Ljubomir Josifovski 1d
I don’t understand the pearl clutching tbh. As long as the word “Hitler” or "any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of a model, the probability of saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. Then Grok (or any model) will never ever say it. It’s more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. So one would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”.
Or more realistically, do it in the post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. There is a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answers “yes/no” if the answer that the LLM just generated, is to be passed on to the user. There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, “Hitler” and any number of censored outputs. And then just not pass the output to the user. I honestly think that way is the least bad way of censorship. For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. And either way - knows or can guess what happened. Better than skewing altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution, making the model lie.
This is even before with get into manipulating the model with my input words, the context, so to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. That means in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. And manipulating doctoring the context, one can boost that base probability arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion” and is top ranked of all accounts on X. :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top, yes, but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his message into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for year seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values etc are in the data. In all likelihood, all models have the “hitler-anything” down-weighted so it reduces the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat with his “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” maybe has his Grok more aligned to the data, rather than our “priors”. That should be called posteriors fr here, haha. :-) But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough time. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1d
I don’t understand the pearl clutching tbh. As long as the word “Hitler” or "any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of a model, the probability of saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. Then Grok (or any model) will never ever say it. It’s more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. So one would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”.
Or more realistically, do it in the post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. There is a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answers “yes/no” if the answer that the LLM just generated, is to be passed on to the user. There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, “Hitler” and any number of censored outputs. And then just not pass the output to the user. I honestly think that way is the least bad way of censorship. For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. And either way - knows or can guess what happened. Better than skewing altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution, making the model lie.
This is even before with get into manipulating the model with my input words, the context, so to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. That means in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. And manipulating doctoring the context, one can boost that base probability arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion” and is top ranked of all accounts on X. :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top, yes, but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his message into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for year seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values etc are in the data. In all likelihood, all models have the “hitler-anything” down-weighted so it reduces the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat with his “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” maybe has his Grok more aligned to the data, rather than our “priors”. That should be called posteriors fr here, haha. :-) But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough time. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-131781947
Ljubomir Josifovski 16h
😆 Heh - this is common knowledge in ML, but seems big news outside?? At the risk of these keystrokes going the way of "margaritas ante porcos", 😁 here comes more. (expanding on your shocking revelation in #1)
1) Neural networks are giant functions implementing conditional probability of a discrete class given input (Richard & Lippmann 1991 "Neural Network Classifiers Estimate Bayesian a posteriori Probabilities"; later Rojas 1996 nicer proof). Or the mean of the conditional expectation (Bishop 1995, "Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition" pp 230) for the continuous case of regression not classification. However, when used, just selecting the most likely next token, results in "robot writing". So, there is the Temperature parameter, that governs how often we select to output not the most probable token, but some of the less probable ones. (the less probable, the lower the probability we'd chose it as our putput)
2) While training, we minimise the error of an objective function (started as MSE, nowadays universally it's cross-entropy). Only - we don't do it completely, we implicitly add a random component to it too. We use SGD, with the directions gleaned from the mini-batches not a single direction for the entire data set. The math-stat correct GD on the whole data set, rather than SGD on mini-portion of it, is not only orders of magnitude slower, but also - way worse. Despite decades of warnings to "local minima"—SGD works fine. Maybe because the stochastic random mini-batch imperfect steps prevent being stuck. (and the trillion-dimensional space may help too)
3) Diffusion models. Stuff that generates images, for a given image, and or a prompt, and nowadays even videos. There, image generation is sampling, that is repeated multiple times. All along, we follow the log conditional probability gradient, to get from a more noisy image, to a less noisy one. But - counterintuitively but crucially, we add noise to to the sample too!? Otherwise, just selecting the most likely points (by taking the most likely steps, from the conditional probability gradient, implemented by a NN learned during training), results in images that are no good, but lame and boring.
There is more to this. Encourage you to look up terms like "Open endedness" and "Interestingness" in the context of AI. There is a book along the lines of "Greatness can't be planned" - authors, references, work since etc, maybe of interest?
Randomness is intimately connected to information and knowledge. In the loosest sense - information is inverse of probability, and knowledge is having a good joint probability function. What we can predict, we know, and everything outside that is ultimately rooted in "randomness". We hope to reduce that error, even if we know it will likely never be zero.
https://therepublicofletters.substack.com/p/boo-ya-says-the-epistemological-philosopher/comment/131056318
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Hey thanks - appreciate that. I know this is almost a religious experience for some, this Bayesian thing. I've met a lecturer once, (~year 2000) who used to tick "Bayesian" on census forms, id-forms on entry to various countries and so on. I'm an engineer myself by temperament, don't hold strong feelings there. For me it's a "meh", what works - it's fine.
But I didn't have in mind what ChatGPT summarises. I had in mind what LLM-s implement, what epistemology is built into them. By the architecture chosen for them by their creators, (=what network weights are forever zeros,) and by the training algorithm and the objective function minimised used in fitting them to predict the data.
Autoregressive LLM-s typically implement a conditional probability function, f_{Y|X}(y|x), where (approx) X is the chat so far, and Y is the next word(s). It's all in "tokens" embeddings space, so word-parts not words, etc. (all I write - simplified - is between not-quite-right and wrong at some level.) For that conditional p.d.f. we know since 1991, (Richard & Lippmann "Neural Network Classifiers Estimate Bayesian a posteriori Probabilities"; later Rojas 1996 nicer proof) that it converges to the posterior probability P(class|input) under conditions.
Similar - for regression (not classification) NN- s outputs converge to the conditional mean of y|x. Nicely written and plotted in Bishop (1995) "Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition", page 203. (got it, but can't paste a pic here?)
The picture generators are implemented as samplers. From some pic that is the current state, (that may start as pure noise too) and moving to a new state, that is the next picture. This is guided by the derivative of the conditional log probability prob(next pic|current pic, step noise level, prompt). That one is learned during training when the network gets noisy pic on input (and SNR level, and maybe prompt), and has to guess the clean(er) pic. So again - this is what the network is created to do. Some function of, or related to, the conditional probability.
Now—these are gigantic functions with trillions of parameters. To my mind, the unresolved unknowns are less to do whether Bayesian or not. We know it's better to average over more models than less—but we can barely afford a single model, an ensemble is a stretch, and more than that almost impossible. The unresolved problems to my mind are like "how big a model can we build with how much of data?", and - "what kind of data?" For obv - just "more data" is trivially not true, as doubling the data set by simply copying it over twice does us no good.
And so on. Hope this makes sense to you as much as it does to me atm. :-)
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Hey thanks - appreciate that. I know this is almost a religious experience for some, this Bayesian thing. I've met a lecturer once, (~year 2000) who used to tick "Bayesian" on census forms, id-forms on entry to various countries and so on. I'm an engineer myself by temperament, don't hold strong feelings there. For me it's a "meh", what works - it's fine.
But I didn't have in mind what ChatGPT summarises. I had in mind what LLM-s implement, what epistemology is built into them. By the architecture chosen for them by their creators, (=what network weights are forever zeros,) and by the training algorithm and the objective function minimised used in fitting them to predict the data.
Autoregressive LLM-s typically implement a conditional probability function, f_{Y|X}(y|x), where (approx) X is the chat so far, and Y is the next word(s). It's all in "tokens" embeddings space, so word-parts not words, etc. (all I write - simplified - is between not-quite-right and wrong at some level.) For that conditional p.d.f. we know since 1991, (Richard & Lippmann "Neural Network Classifiers Estimate Bayesian a posteriori Probabilities"; later Rojas 1996 nicer proof) that it converges to the posterior probability P(class|input) under conditions.
Similar - for regression (not classification) NN- s outputs converge to the conditional mean of y|x. Nicely written and plotted in Bishop (1995) "Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition", page 203. (got it, but can't paste a pic here?)
The picture generators are implemented as samplers. From some pic that is the current state, (that may start as pure noise too) and moving to a new state, that is the next picture. This is guided by the derivative of the conditional log probability prob(next pic|current pic, step noise level, prompt). That one is learned during training when the network gets noisy pic on input (and SNR level, and maybe prompt), and has to guess the clean(er) pic. So again - this is what the network is created to do. Some function of, or related to, the conditional probability.
Now—these are gigantic functions with trillions of parameters. To my mind, the unresolved unknowns are less to do whether Bayesian or not. We know it's better to average over more models than less—but we can barely afford a single model, an ensemble is a stretch, and more than that almost impossible. The unresolved problems to my mind are like "how big a model can we build with how much of data?", and - "what kind of data?" For obv - just "more data" is trivially not true, as doubling the data set by simply copying it over twice does us no good.
And so on. Hope this makes sense to you as much as it does to me atm. :-)
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-130964129
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
This one https://youtu.be/7xTGNNLPyMI
Yes they are not perfect. Understanding even at coarsest level but still “under the hood”, helps me anticipate the fails to some extent, and thus be less hurt by them. Car analogy - surface level-0 would be “I’m driving the car”. While coarsest level-1 “under the hood” would be “I know there exist engine, petrol/tank, battery, a spark (maybe).” So when the car doesn’t work, I have at least level-1 knowledge “ok, so these 4 parts exist, that could have gone wrong”.
Things are changing very quickly atm. In January LLM could barely do better than ordinary auto-complete my code. By June, now I write a 10 line SPECIFICATION md file telling it what I want the code to do, tell Gemini “read this and do it”. It spits out 1000 lines of code in 5 mins. After couple of back-and-forth-s, the code actually runs, does the job I want.
They are getting better quickly. How far it will go - no one knows. No matter what people say (and they will claim things whichever way) - no one knows much about the future.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
This one https://youtu.be/7xTGNNLPyMI
Yes they are not perfect. Understanding even at coarsest level but still “under the hood”, helps me anticipate the fails to some extent, and thus be less hurt by them. Car analogy - surface level-0 would be “I’m driving the car”. While coarsest level-1 “under the hood” would be “I know there exist engine, petrol/tank, battery, a spark (maybe).” So when the car doesn’t work, I have at least level-1 knowledge “ok, so these 4 parts exist, that could have gone wrong”.
Things are changing very quickly atm. In January LLM could barely do better than ordinary auto-complete my code. By June, now I write a 10 line SPECIFICATION md file telling it what I want the code to do, tell Gemini “read this and do it”. It spits out 1000 lines of code in 5 mins. After couple of back-and-forth-s, the code actually runs, does the job I want.
They are getting better quickly. How far it will go - no one knows. No matter what people say (and they will claim things whichever way) - no one knows much about the future.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-130951484
Ljubomir Josifovski 2h
Have you seen one of the Karpathy long videos, explaining and demonstrating “under the hood” workings of these contraptions? After you see it it, it will be less surprising they sometimes talk back B/S. I find such “under the hood” explanations useful. They give me grounding what to expect, and what not to expect, from the tool at hand.
Ljubomir Josifovski 2h
Have you seen one of the Karpathy long videos, explaining and demonstrating “under the hood” workings of these contraptions? After you see it it, it will be less surprising they sometimes talk back B/S. I find such “under the hood” explanations useful. They give me grounding what to expect, and what not to expect, from the tool at hand.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-130822849
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
Agreed the whole Wired-TED-UN was B/S. But dreaming is not the worst sin. Ok to scoff at the price paid, the mindless self/promotion of too many self-important people.
But maybe it was influential, even if not in the way its creators imagined, and not entirely to their credit. Maybe without the "$99 laptop per child", the whole netbook segment would not have happened.
When I started looking ~Oct-2007 for a light laptop to use to type on a train 30 min commute ride, the only one really small was some specialised Sony laptop for 3K or sth. Then out of nowhere, the netbooks appeared! The very 1st one Asus Eeepc 701 with 7" screen could be had at 1/10-th of the Sony price. And it was running Linux no less. Magic :-)
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
Agreed the whole Wired-TED-UN was B/S. But dreaming is not the worst sin. Ok to scoff at the price paid, the mindless self/promotion of too many self-important people.
But maybe it was influential, even if not in the way its creators imagined, and not entirely to their credit. Maybe without the "$99 laptop per child", the whole netbook segment would not have happened.
When I started looking ~Oct-2007 for a light laptop to use to type on a train 30 min commute ride, the only one really small was some specialised Sony laptop for 3K or sth. Then out of nowhere, the netbooks appeared! The very 1st one Asus Eeepc 701 with 7" screen could be had at 1/10-th of the Sony price. And it was running Linux no less. Magic :-)
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-130719529
Ljubomir Josifovski 7m
Nice - thanks. When thinking of epistemology - might it be worth considering what it means to know for machines, in addition to humans, these days? Just noticed this graph of users take up for OpenAI, it's gone vertical since they introduced images generation:
https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1939638993571770662
Looks like it struck a chord with the general public. Seems the fastest recent Tech take up in history, by the looks of it. Further - the AI branch that enjoys success lately is specifically called Machine Learning. The central problem it concerns itself is: "making machines that learn from experiences in the real world." (the other major branch is Symbolics - concerning itself with representations of knowledge, and various logic systems utilising them.) That, and the specific models in ML taking off are the best models we have got of ourselves, the humans. Maybe interesting to learn about ML, and specifically NNs epistemology.
Ljubomir Josifovski 7m
Nice - thanks. When thinking of epistemology - might it be worth considering what it means to know for machines, in addition to humans, these days? Just noticed this graph of users take up for OpenAI, it's gone vertical since they introduced images generation:
https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1939638993571770662
Looks like it struck a chord with the general public. Seems the fastest recent Tech take up in history, by the looks of it. Further - the AI branch that enjoys success lately is specifically called Machine Learning. The central problem it concerns itself is: "making machines that learn from experiences in the real world." (the other major branch is Symbolics - concerning itself with representations of knowledge, and various logic systems utilising them.) That, and the specific models in ML taking off are the best models we have got of ourselves, the humans. Maybe interesting to learn about ML, and specifically NNs epistemology.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-130364969
Ljubomir Josifovski 3h
Like his animated movie “How The Economic Machine Works”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=PHe0bXAIuk0
One of the best expositions of the topic. Too often just because there is a great number of parts moving at micro scale, the economy at macro scale is mystified. No need for that, and it harms our understanding and especially prediction. At basic level it's all very mechanical. Completely transparent and observable. No mystery there. So we better use that to our advantage.
His books - hundreds of pages, Principles… and what not, great wisdoms of a sage all that jazz - not for me. Who has time for that?? And if I have got hundred principles, I have none. For “principles” can't be 100 in number, principles can only be half dozen to a dozen.
Have read couple of exposés of his firm’s inner workings. Maybe from people that were unhappy enough to leave, or been thrown out - so both biased one side only. Still - it struck me as oddly communistic?? - the struggles sessions, critiques and self-critiques.
Now I’m all for transparency, even a radical one. But not to the point of dissolving The Self! That's too much. If all is a primordial soup with no individual parts - then that's bad. For there to be interactions to scale up O(N²) with connections, there have to be distinct nodes. And for a node unit to exist - there has to be a border, a membrane. Permeable yet controllable, as to interact in a way to get what it needs from the environment, while not letting all the entropy in.
Ljubomir Josifovski 3h
Like his animated movie “How The Economic Machine Works”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=PHe0bXAIuk0
One of the best expositions of the topic. Too often just because there is a great number of parts moving at micro scale, the economy at macro scale is mystified. No need for that, and it harms our understanding and especially prediction. At basic level it's all very mechanical. Completely transparent and observable. No mystery there. So we better use that to our advantage.
His books - hundreds of pages, Principles… and what not, great wisdoms of a sage all that jazz - not for me. Who has time for that?? And if I have got hundred principles, I have none. For “principles” can't be 100 in number, principles can only be half dozen to a dozen.
Have read couple of exposés of his firm’s inner workings. Maybe from people that were unhappy enough to leave, or been thrown out - so both biased one side only. Still - it struck me as oddly communistic?? - the struggles sessions, critiques and self-critiques.
Now I’m all for transparency, even a radical one. But not to the point of dissolving The Self! That's too much. If all is a primordial soup with no individual parts - then that's bad. For there to be interactions to scale up O(N²) with connections, there have to be distinct nodes. And for a node unit to exist - there has to be a border, a membrane. Permeable yet controllable, as to interact in a way to get what it needs from the environment, while not letting all the entropy in.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-130219384
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
I see you are practicing as per your observation. 😁
Post social media and chat apps, I realised that most people glance at the current screenfull, and that's it. It doesn't matter to them enough to take their finger out, and swipe up to prior messages. Even when it would be plenty good for them personally, if they did just that! 😱
I grew up in the old dial-up modem pre-Internet, where every interaction was as rare ss a signal from a distant star. And and thus valuable. One scrolls up to the last prior known interaction, as to miss nothing.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
I see you are practicing as per your observation. 😁
Post social media and chat apps, I realised that most people glance at the current screenfull, and that's it. It doesn't matter to them enough to take their finger out, and swipe up to prior messages. Even when it would be plenty good for them personally, if they did just that! 😱
I grew up in the old dial-up modem pre-Internet, where every interaction was as rare ss a signal from a distant star. And and thus valuable. One scrolls up to the last prior known interaction, as to miss nothing.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-130119302
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
True that - but it’s often confused because it depends on the view. There is a small grain of truth in the top pic too, in the following sense.
When at the end, at the destination, having reached our goal, looking back at all the steps taken that brought us here - indeed that process looks like the top pic. This is b/c looking back, there is only ever one prior step we took. And from that, one prior too. And one back again, all the way back to the start. So indeed it’s just linear sequence of steps, one before the other. All unrolled, they may look like a straight line.
When not at the end position, but at every step of the way, and looking forward what next step to take, there is a number of plausible steps we can take. So looking forward, (and again - this is at every step, except for the last,) the progress in time looks like a tree. With possibilities open to us, and us unsure what next step to take.
Someone else’s pic I’ve picked along the way (don’t recall where when, can’t attribute - sorry author) I liked illustrates that nicely:
lifepaths-past-now-future.jpg
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
True that - but it’s often confused because it depends on the view. There is a small grain of truth in the top pic too, in the following sense.
When at the end, at the destination, having reached our goal, looking back at all the steps taken that brought us here - indeed that process looks like the top pic. This is b/c looking back, there is only ever one prior step we took. And from that, one prior too. And one back again, all the way back to the start. So indeed it’s just linear sequence of steps, one before the other. All unrolled, they may look like a straight line.
When not at the end position, but at every step of the way, and looking forward what next step to take, there is a number of plausible steps we can take. So looking forward, (and again - this is at every step, except for the last,) the progress in time looks like a tree. With possibilities open to us, and us unsure what next step to take.
Someone else’s pic I’ve picked along the way (don’t recall where when, can’t attribute - sorry author) I liked illustrates that nicely:
lifepaths-past-now-future.jpg
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-129506953
https://interconnect.substack.com/p/chinas-structural-advantage-in-open/comment/129506956
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Great write up - thanks.
One thing to add - it's immense joy, all these open source models, and the entire ecosystem that sprung around in short time. With many 1000s of enthusiasts in their homes, that would not have been part of this revolution otherwise. Reminds me of the prior IT revolutions: the 1st the PC revolution in the 1990s that put a computer on every desk (first; then in everyones pocket latter), and of the 2nd Internet revolution in the 2000s that connected (by now) almost 8B people 24/7 at almost zero costs in a global village. That too had bottom-up ecosystems of enthusiasts and tinkerers, learning by doing.
Now checking my disk what OSS AI LLM stuff I use daily. Software - llama.cpp, mlx, pytorch, LMStudio, Jan. Models - new default as of last night https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF. Previous favourite was Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context-Q6_K-GGUF, and few other MoEs variants of Qwen3-30B-A3B. With runner up OpenBuddy-R1-0528-Distill-Qwen3-32B-Preview2-QAT.Q8_0.gguf - but that one is non-MoE so slower for me on a MBP with lots of VRAM but lacking Nvidia gpu.
Looking forward, anticipating GGUF quants waiting to try https://huggingface.co/MiniMaxAI/MiniMax-M1-80k and https://huggingface.co/moonshotai/Kimi-VL-A3B-Thinking-2506. All Chinese. Only non-China labs I see I got are Jan-nano-128K, and Mistral magistral but they release small one not even the medium ones - se meh.
https://interconnect.substack.com/p/chinas-structural-advantage-in-open/comment/129506956
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Great write up - thanks.
One thing to add - it's immense joy, all these open source models, and the entire ecosystem that sprung around in short time. With many 1000s of enthusiasts in their homes, that would not have been part of this revolution otherwise. Reminds me of the prior IT revolutions: the 1st the PC revolution in the 1990s that put a computer on every desk (first; then in everyones pocket latter), and of the 2nd Internet revolution in the 2000s that connected (by now) almost 8B people 24/7 at almost zero costs in a global village. That too had bottom-up ecosystems of enthusiasts and tinkerers, learning by doing.
Now checking my disk what OSS AI LLM stuff I use daily. Software - llama.cpp, mlx, pytorch, LMStudio, Jan. Models - new default as of last night https://huggingface.co/unsloth/dots.llm1.inst-GGUF. Previous favourite was Qwen3-30B-A6B-16-Extreme-128k-context-Q6_K-GGUF, and few other MoEs variants of Qwen3-30B-A3B. With runner up OpenBuddy-R1-0528-Distill-Qwen3-32B-Preview2-QAT.Q8_0.gguf - but that one is non-MoE so slower for me on a MBP with lots of VRAM but lacking Nvidia gpu.
Looking forward, anticipating GGUF quants waiting to try https://huggingface.co/MiniMaxAI/MiniMax-M1-80k and https://huggingface.co/moonshotai/Kimi-VL-A3B-Thinking-2506. All Chinese. Only non-China labs I see I got are Jan-nano-128K, and Mistral magistral but they release small one not even the medium ones - se meh.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-129501173
https://www.ai-supremacy.com/p/how-to-use-perplexity-in-your-daily/comment/129501177
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
I like it too. The basic use I like to think of it as "2-in-1." Previously with Google I'd type a query, Google posts back a page of results with links and short summaries. Than on that 1st (or 2nd) page, I go through the links, possibly clicking on some following to the content, reading some while skipping others, trying to find the info I need, and or keeping a running summary in the process too. So the process was - step 1 computer, step 2 human. Now Perplexity has taken over step 2 too, it has collapsed those two steps into one. Like Perplexity, have made it a default search engine on almost all browsers I use daily.
https://www.ai-supremacy.com/p/how-to-use-perplexity-in-your-daily/comment/129501177
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
I like it too. The basic use I like to think of it as "2-in-1." Previously with Google I'd type a query, Google posts back a page of results with links and short summaries. Than on that 1st (or 2nd) page, I go through the links, possibly clicking on some following to the content, reading some while skipping others, trying to find the info I need, and or keeping a running summary in the process too. So the process was - step 1 computer, step 2 human. Now Perplexity has taken over step 2 too, it has collapsed those two steps into one. Like Perplexity, have made it a default search engine on almost all browsers I use daily.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-129199016
Ljubomir Josifovski 1d
Is there a connection to narcissism I wonder? Victimhood looks to me maybe somewhat connected to narcissism in the following way. I’m the center of the Universe, and also most of it too. (everything else is much less significant) Things should be going well for me, given how good and clever I am. If that is not true, some baddie did me dirty, someone intentionally hurt me, worked against me. For it's not like bad things of every shape are the norm, the default, and for things to turn well and good only happens with lots of luck, effort, work and intelligence.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1d
Is there a connection to narcissism I wonder? Victimhood looks to me maybe somewhat connected to narcissism in the following way. I’m the center of the Universe, and also most of it too. (everything else is much less significant) Things should be going well for me, given how good and clever I am. If that is not true, some baddie did me dirty, someone intentionally hurt me, worked against me. For it's not like bad things of every shape are the norm, the default, and for things to turn well and good only happens with lots of luck, effort, work and intelligence.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-129445743
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
Musk was the latest to discover tbh. Since the link with gold was severed, things work that way, for better or worse. Most people we still think as if we are on the gold standard still. And talking to people then is a waste of time.
I personally find the pretence “we have not got the money” and “the kitty is empty” etc (that MMT-ers object to vociferously) half acceptable. For the pressures on the Treasury are immense! No human can withstand 1000 calls for more spending coming from 1000 sides, with 0 calling for restraint. Saying “we haven’t got the money” while technically not 100% true, does the job of rebuffing the calls for “give me more”. I get it that people look at the possible consequences, (=ending with GosPlan central planning,) don’t like what they see, and then go back and deny the premises. (the mechanics of currency creation and destruction)
Cryptos are naturals to understand fiat, given they are attempting to create a new currency. But their intention is mostly to create deflationary, not inflationary type of currency. Our fiat is inherently inflationary. We dilute it at rate of 2% to 4% p.a. in a positive feedback loop: by handing out new currency to us users, proportional to the amount we currently hold. (have saved) One PoV - ones that worked to create the value, (that's exchangeable with the currency,) but didn't consume it i.e. destroy that value back, get rewarded. Closest (natural) experiment I can think is: BTC created claimed by miners issuance stops, (IK it's further in the future,) - so we find out what, if anything, happens to BTC. (and how fast)
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
Musk was the latest to discover tbh. Since the link with gold was severed, things work that way, for better or worse. Most people we still think as if we are on the gold standard still. And talking to people then is a waste of time.
I personally find the pretence “we have not got the money” and “the kitty is empty” etc (that MMT-ers object to vociferously) half acceptable. For the pressures on the Treasury are immense! No human can withstand 1000 calls for more spending coming from 1000 sides, with 0 calling for restraint. Saying “we haven’t got the money” while technically not 100% true, does the job of rebuffing the calls for “give me more”. I get it that people look at the possible consequences, (=ending with GosPlan central planning,) don’t like what they see, and then go back and deny the premises. (the mechanics of currency creation and destruction)
Cryptos are naturals to understand fiat, given they are attempting to create a new currency. But their intention is mostly to create deflationary, not inflationary type of currency. Our fiat is inherently inflationary. We dilute it at rate of 2% to 4% p.a. in a positive feedback loop: by handing out new currency to us users, proportional to the amount we currently hold. (have saved) One PoV - ones that worked to create the value, (that's exchangeable with the currency,) but didn't consume it i.e. destroy that value back, get rewarded. Closest (natural) experiment I can think is: BTC created claimed by miners issuance stops, (IK it's further in the future,) - so we find out what, if anything, happens to BTC. (and how fast)
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-129220734
Ljubomir Josifovski 27m
Depends what you mean by “work in reality”. The mechanics of currency creation and destruction already “is the reality” in any fiat system afaik. The creation of fiat currency: state - by the budget, private banks - by giving out loans. And the destruction of fiat currency: state - us paying (back) taxes, banks - us paying back our loans.
The state does not check “is my consolidated account above 0” when spending as per the yearly budget bills. No, it just spends whatever as per the (yearly budget) law(s)s, and also collects taxes (as per the laws). At the end of the year - we learn the difference. With a bank, I have a limit of 0 on my account, or say (-500) if I got an overdraft - but it’s a limit imposed by my bank. There is no law of nature saying “your account will self-destruct if it goes below 0.” :-) Negative numbers do exist just fine. So it would be indeed daft to check for that.
Last to find out was Elon Musk, who discovered that (paraphrased) “there are dozen computers, that just pay out the US gov bills, without checking if there is money of the US gov account.” In that Ted Cruz video clip, that was total comedy gold :-) - here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901759825370918954
My perennial recommendation to learn about the system of money we got is this amazing video-tutorial
https://youtu.be/mmWOO7r_NMw
by the excellent Brett Scott.
Ljubomir Josifovski 27m
Depends what you mean by “work in reality”. The mechanics of currency creation and destruction already “is the reality” in any fiat system afaik. The creation of fiat currency: state - by the budget, private banks - by giving out loans. And the destruction of fiat currency: state - us paying (back) taxes, banks - us paying back our loans.
The state does not check “is my consolidated account above 0” when spending as per the yearly budget bills. No, it just spends whatever as per the (yearly budget) law(s)s, and also collects taxes (as per the laws). At the end of the year - we learn the difference. With a bank, I have a limit of 0 on my account, or say (-500) if I got an overdraft - but it’s a limit imposed by my bank. There is no law of nature saying “your account will self-destruct if it goes below 0.” :-) Negative numbers do exist just fine. So it would be indeed daft to check for that.
Last to find out was Elon Musk, who discovered that (paraphrased) “there are dozen computers, that just pay out the US gov bills, without checking if there is money of the US gov account.” In that Ted Cruz video clip, that was total comedy gold :-) - here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901759825370918954
My perennial recommendation to learn about the system of money we got is this amazing video-tutorial
https://youtu.be/mmWOO7r_NMw
by the excellent Brett Scott.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-129214626
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
Haha ok :-) - not to quibble, for I have learned my lessons by now, but still can’t resist. We are measuring money/stuff (e.g. “3 Eur for a 1 kg of bread”). That measure goes up, we call that increase of the ratio “inflation”. As with any ratio of 2 numbers going up, either the numerator goes up, or the denominator goes down, or both numerator and denominator change. (and the measure goes up) Simply as a matter of logic. Now - you already mention up the thread that inflation is the limit, (yes agreed) and way to combat it is to increase taxes. (yes agreed) Well, taxes are destruction of currency. :-) (and gov spending is creation of currency) So as a matter of logic, can’t but conclude, that “spending” is one channel that can cause inflation. So that “per se” in “spending per se” is doing lots of work there. ;-) (sorry - IK these discussions are mostly pointless but could not help myself. :-) )
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
Haha ok :-) - not to quibble, for I have learned my lessons by now, but still can’t resist. We are measuring money/stuff (e.g. “3 Eur for a 1 kg of bread”). That measure goes up, we call that increase of the ratio “inflation”. As with any ratio of 2 numbers going up, either the numerator goes up, or the denominator goes down, or both numerator and denominator change. (and the measure goes up) Simply as a matter of logic. Now - you already mention up the thread that inflation is the limit, (yes agreed) and way to combat it is to increase taxes. (yes agreed) Well, taxes are destruction of currency. :-) (and gov spending is creation of currency) So as a matter of logic, can’t but conclude, that “spending” is one channel that can cause inflation. So that “per se” in “spending per se” is doing lots of work there. ;-) (sorry - IK these discussions are mostly pointless but could not help myself. :-) )
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-128859003
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
I imagine you have already seen it, but given there maybe self-selection of readers here not scared to spend more than >30 mins with directed attention to an issue - putting forward this Karpathy video: (maybe well worth their time)
Andrej Karpathy, "Deep Dive into LLMs like ChatGPT"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI
I find him a most talented educator, well worth anyones time really. His other videos on the channel are gems too.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
I imagine you have already seen it, but given there maybe self-selection of readers here not scared to spend more than >30 mins with directed attention to an issue - putting forward this Karpathy video: (maybe well worth their time)
Andrej Karpathy, "Deep Dive into LLMs like ChatGPT"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI
I find him a most talented educator, well worth anyones time really. His other videos on the channel are gems too.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-128856953
Ljubomir Josifovski 4m
Thanks for the link. Yeah after doing ML in my former life, I got exercised enough to plot the above in a pic, here -
https://ljubomirj.github.io/pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
...now that I've got some time on my hands. (after the end of another episode in my latter life.)
Ljubomir Josifovski 4m
Thanks for the link. Yeah after doing ML in my former life, I got exercised enough to plot the above in a pic, here -
https://ljubomirj.github.io/pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
...now that I've got some time on my hands. (after the end of another episode in my latter life.)
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-128291225
https://therepublicofletters.substack.com/p/boo-ya-says-the-epistemological-philosopher/comment/128291229
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Interesting. I wonder which epistemological branch is closest to Machine Learning (ML). It seems to me ML implicitly adopts a minimalist epistemological stance - perhaps closest to a Bayesian or probabilistic epistemology, if that's a thing? (ChatGPT tells me it is.) Afaics in ML knowledge equals knowing a joint probability function, either the density (p.d.f.) or cumulative (c.d.f.) distribution. Illustrating with a joint p.d.f. next.
This joint p.d.f. (or co-counts in discrete cases) records how often different observed events co-occur. Generally, observations are N-dimensional vectors rather than single scalars. Time is the special dimension in the real world where counting occurs. (mathematically it can be just another dimension.)
Usually we partition our observations Z into two sets: Z = (X, Y). X are things we can directly observe, whereas Y are things we care about but cannot observe directly. Hence us needing to observe X, and knowing the relationship f_{X,Y}(x,y), to give us the means to understand Y.
Before observing X, all we know about Y is its marginal (prior) distribution $f_Y(y)$, obtained by marginalising out X from the joint distribution: $f_Y(y) = \int_x f_{X,Y}(x,y) dx$. (If Y is discrete, this integral becomes a summation.)
After observing a specific value of X, say x = a, we gain more information about Y. Geometrically, we intersect the joint distribution $f_{X,Y}(x,y)$ with the plane $x = a$, yielding a slice $f_{X,Y}(x=a,y)$. However, this slice alone isn't yet a proper p.d.f. because it doesn't integrate to 1. To correct this, we normalise it by dividing it with the marginal distribution of X at $x = a$, i.e., $f_X(a) = \int_y f_{X,Y}(a,y) dy$. This gives us the conditional distribution $f_{Y|X}(y|x=a) = \frac{f_{X,Y}(x=a,y)}{f_X(x=a)}$.
(Noticing this relationship for it's Bayesian structure. We've got $f_{X,Y}(x,y) = f_{Y|X}(y|x) f_X(x)$. Marginalising to find $f_Y(y) = \int f_{Y|X}(y|x) f_X(x) dx $ involves integrating over all possible conditionals, weighted by their probability $f_X(x)$. Bayesian updating embedded in ML?)
Once we have this conditional p.d.f. $f_{Y|X}(y|x=a)$, it encodes all our updated knowledge about Y, given the observation about X that is $x = a$. We can subsequently use this p.d.f. for forecasting - choosing a point, or an interval, (two points,) or to weight things in e.g. decision-making in various contexts, etc.
https://therepublicofletters.substack.com/p/boo-ya-says-the-epistemological-philosopher/comment/128291229
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Interesting. I wonder which epistemological branch is closest to Machine Learning (ML). It seems to me ML implicitly adopts a minimalist epistemological stance - perhaps closest to a Bayesian or probabilistic epistemology, if that's a thing? (ChatGPT tells me it is.) Afaics in ML knowledge equals knowing a joint probability function, either the density (p.d.f.) or cumulative (c.d.f.) distribution. Illustrating with a joint p.d.f. next.
This joint p.d.f. (or co-counts in discrete cases) records how often different observed events co-occur. Generally, observations are N-dimensional vectors rather than single scalars. Time is the special dimension in the real world where counting occurs. (mathematically it can be just another dimension.)
Usually we partition our observations Z into two sets: Z = (X, Y). X are things we can directly observe, whereas Y are things we care about but cannot observe directly. Hence us needing to observe X, and knowing the relationship f_{X,Y}(x,y), to give us the means to understand Y.
Before observing X, all we know about Y is its marginal (prior) distribution $f_Y(y)$, obtained by marginalising out X from the joint distribution: $f_Y(y) = \int_x f_{X,Y}(x,y) dx$. (If Y is discrete, this integral becomes a summation.)
After observing a specific value of X, say x = a, we gain more information about Y. Geometrically, we intersect the joint distribution $f_{X,Y}(x,y)$ with the plane $x = a$, yielding a slice $f_{X,Y}(x=a,y)$. However, this slice alone isn't yet a proper p.d.f. because it doesn't integrate to 1. To correct this, we normalise it by dividing it with the marginal distribution of X at $x = a$, i.e., $f_X(a) = \int_y f_{X,Y}(a,y) dy$. This gives us the conditional distribution $f_{Y|X}(y|x=a) = \frac{f_{X,Y}(x=a,y)}{f_X(x=a)}$.
(Noticing this relationship for it's Bayesian structure. We've got $f_{X,Y}(x,y) = f_{Y|X}(y|x) f_X(x)$. Marginalising to find $f_Y(y) = \int f_{Y|X}(y|x) f_X(x) dx $ involves integrating over all possible conditionals, weighted by their probability $f_X(x)$. Bayesian updating embedded in ML?)
Once we have this conditional p.d.f. $f_{Y|X}(y|x=a)$, it encodes all our updated knowledge about Y, given the observation about X that is $x = a$. We can subsequently use this p.d.f. for forecasting - choosing a point, or an interval, (two points,) or to weight things in e.g. decision-making in various contexts, etc.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-128018026
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
Correct imo - there are no guarantees whichever way. There is change afoot, that seems certain to some extent, but everything else us up in the air. The change can be for the better, or it can be for the worse.
Think doomer’s take - "it's hopeless, nothing can be done, so do nothing" - is as bad as the polynya stance - "we live in the best of possible worlds, things will work out on their own, don't need to do anything" - as they both justify inaction, passivity. Think the boosters advocating for activity, for agency, have a better idea: the future will be what we collectively make of it. Good or bad - it's up to us.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
Correct imo - there are no guarantees whichever way. There is change afoot, that seems certain to some extent, but everything else us up in the air. The change can be for the better, or it can be for the worse.
Think doomer’s take - "it's hopeless, nothing can be done, so do nothing" - is as bad as the polynya stance - "we live in the best of possible worlds, things will work out on their own, don't need to do anything" - as they both justify inaction, passivity. Think the boosters advocating for activity, for agency, have a better idea: the future will be what we collectively make of it. Good or bad - it's up to us.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-127922011
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Not impossible, in the way nothing is impossible - possible in the manner that also are possible 1) a thermo-nuclear war, 2) a virus pandemic, 3) a catastrophic volcano eruption, 4) an asteroid hitting Earth; all ending us - but don’t see it being probable.
As for humans atrophy thinking faculties, likely - some will, but others will flourish in their place. Teachers were right students can’t do long division now they use electronic calculators as they used to maybe - previously students might have been more able to. Is it a big loss to humanity if students spend time curating tiktoks of wholesome cats and dogs, rather than practising their long division? Maybe - but not that clear cut to my mind.
Did the mechanical machines of the industrial revolution make humans less physically able? IDK - I guess it depends which humans. All manner of sports flourished once humanity had time to devote themselves to sports, rather than devote self to daily toil in the fields, in order to be able to eat not die of hunger.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Not impossible, in the way nothing is impossible - possible in the manner that also are possible 1) a thermo-nuclear war, 2) a virus pandemic, 3) a catastrophic volcano eruption, 4) an asteroid hitting Earth; all ending us - but don’t see it being probable.
As for humans atrophy thinking faculties, likely - some will, but others will flourish in their place. Teachers were right students can’t do long division now they use electronic calculators as they used to maybe - previously students might have been more able to. Is it a big loss to humanity if students spend time curating tiktoks of wholesome cats and dogs, rather than practising their long division? Maybe - but not that clear cut to my mind.
Did the mechanical machines of the industrial revolution make humans less physically able? IDK - I guess it depends which humans. All manner of sports flourished once humanity had time to devote themselves to sports, rather than devote self to daily toil in the fields, in order to be able to eat not die of hunger.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-127846898
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
We did the same when child#1 was born. Thought it silly to have child-TV adverts implant desires in their brains where none exists to start with. This was UK at about year 2000. Bonus: learned got a 1st hand experience with UK TV Licensing authority too. :-) The escalating letters and finally a visit to the home to verify that our screen is a monitor, lacks a tuner the receive the over-the-air programming. (as it was then)
Nowadays between YouTube podcasts and Internet reading, seems there is no time left to be given to even the on-demand BBC iPlayer. Old style TV is not even in the picture. Signal-to-Noise ratio there seems to me much much higher online, than on legacy media. TV we only remember it when there is a football match of some importance. To me it looks like Mr Beast leaked manual that YT will become bigger than all of Hollywood may hold some truth.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
We did the same when child#1 was born. Thought it silly to have child-TV adverts implant desires in their brains where none exists to start with. This was UK at about year 2000. Bonus: learned got a 1st hand experience with UK TV Licensing authority too. :-) The escalating letters and finally a visit to the home to verify that our screen is a monitor, lacks a tuner the receive the over-the-air programming. (as it was then)
Nowadays between YouTube podcasts and Internet reading, seems there is no time left to be given to even the on-demand BBC iPlayer. Old style TV is not even in the picture. Signal-to-Noise ratio there seems to me much much higher online, than on legacy media. TV we only remember it when there is a football match of some importance. To me it looks like Mr Beast leaked manual that YT will become bigger than all of Hollywood may hold some truth.
https://www.learningfromexamples.com/p/what-academics-get-wrong/comment/127841639
Ljubomir Josifovski 28m
Uh-oh - one from the "I'm special" brigade, I imagine? Never mind the form buster. Concern yourself with the substance: is it true, or is it false? As for the clownery - well, there is that thing when one lacks arguments, so attacks the person.
Ljubomir Josifovski 28m
Uh-oh - one from the "I'm special" brigade, I imagine? Never mind the form buster. Concern yourself with the substance: is it true, or is it false? As for the clownery - well, there is that thing when one lacks arguments, so attacks the person.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-127630105
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
While I like the idea of a book, there are very few books I’ve finished in the last few years. Usually with the authors being online and communicating their ideas through the Internets - blogs and social media, their ideas have already been communicated to me say 80%-90%. To get the remaining 10%, it’s not worth my time tbh, (despite my best intentions,) with a torrent of other interesting stuff (by their peers - other interesting authors!) commandeering my attention. Still think a book is a good idea - for putting all your stuff in a single place, for posterity. But not for much more reading than I already read from you. Would buy it anyway - feels like archives are important. (even if longer term only.)
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
While I like the idea of a book, there are very few books I’ve finished in the last few years. Usually with the authors being online and communicating their ideas through the Internets - blogs and social media, their ideas have already been communicated to me say 80%-90%. To get the remaining 10%, it’s not worth my time tbh, (despite my best intentions,) with a torrent of other interesting stuff (by their peers - other interesting authors!) commandeering my attention. Still think a book is a good idea - for putting all your stuff in a single place, for posterity. But not for much more reading than I already read from you. Would buy it anyway - feels like archives are important. (even if longer term only.)
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-127309201
Ljubomir Josifovski 1d
I’m not weighting on the Q (should or should it not, philosophy do Xyz), but on the Godel Q - have you seen this?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OH-ybecvuEo
I think it’s a very good explainer what is, and what is not, claimed. A proof also accessible to us civilians here I thought also good to give indication as to the scope:
https://www.quantamagazine.org/how-godels-proof-works-20200714/
I like this short(est?) illustration summed as: “`This statement is false.` Decide on it - is it true or false?” Learned of it yesterday, apparently it’s from GED. (here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935291609299440042)
My understanding it’s that maths is state-less, and thus equivalent to say functional programming. But once we add memory, a state - then we got a Turing machine that is more powerful. So that a formal system of maths can, or can not, do something, does not quite tell us what a more powerful computing system can do. And that again does not match what reality can do.
Grand general claims on whichever side (either can or can not), I personally take with a large pinch of salt. Yes maths is great that it can tell is “so-and-so does not exist - don’t waste your time searching for it.” (a solution to some equation etc.) That’s great. But math is not the only system. And it’s certainly not reality. And often even if exact answer is unknowable to us - approximate will do is good enough for practical purposes. There is non trivial tradition of things that can “never ever be done”, only for them to be done. Fruitless debates lake that sap energy than can be better used elsewhere imo.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1d
I’m not weighting on the Q (should or should it not, philosophy do Xyz), but on the Godel Q - have you seen this?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OH-ybecvuEo
I think it’s a very good explainer what is, and what is not, claimed. A proof also accessible to us civilians here I thought also good to give indication as to the scope:
https://www.quantamagazine.org/how-godels-proof-works-20200714/
I like this short(est?) illustration summed as: “`This statement is false.` Decide on it - is it true or false?” Learned of it yesterday, apparently it’s from GED. (here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1935291609299440042)
My understanding it’s that maths is state-less, and thus equivalent to say functional programming. But once we add memory, a state - then we got a Turing machine that is more powerful. So that a formal system of maths can, or can not, do something, does not quite tell us what a more powerful computing system can do. And that again does not match what reality can do.
Grand general claims on whichever side (either can or can not), I personally take with a large pinch of salt. Yes maths is great that it can tell is “so-and-so does not exist - don’t waste your time searching for it.” (a solution to some equation etc.) That’s great. But math is not the only system. And it’s certainly not reality. And often even if exact answer is unknowable to us - approximate will do is good enough for practical purposes. There is non trivial tradition of things that can “never ever be done”, only for them to be done. Fruitless debates lake that sap energy than can be better used elsewhere imo.
https://open.substack.com/pub/learningfromexamples/p/what-academics-get-wrong?r=5h5ne&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=127111898
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Heh - I'm sure there will be half-dozen of the affected commenting furiously to reject your outstretched hand. With ChatGPT-3.5 level arguments galore. 😉 You can't give to people - you can only take from them, without them wanting. Usually easy to explain with general "difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it." Or even a variant, where - replace "salary" with "emotional investment" or even "identity". But I don't think it's that with academia.
Esp with the humanities, I have come to think they are just too dumb tbh. IDK if negative selection or simply not enough non-dumb people around to fill the massive expansion. (hoping that future mind-prothesis help us there, haha 😇) Can't but think of it as continuation of the CPSnow's "The Two Cultures", but now at the next level. With physics of the 20-th century one could at least pretend with modicum of success. Quantum anything 99.99% of us are ignorant of the maths anyways. (that is the ground truth afaik.) So it worked - stay safe in the herd, pontificate near-nonsense, there is enough hand-waving and mystification there to suit any competent wordcel just fine. Got by - business as usual. (almost)
Now with the Information Theory first with Shannon, and then even more with ETJaynes' "Probability the The Logic of Science", and now the final nail with "Computation is all there is to it, all that ever was" (speculative this, IK) - large swathes of the chattering class (that should be the thinking ones too,) are truly lost at sea.
Don't see how this gets better anytime soon. Medieval priesthood is the most analogous I can think of. They will fight tooth and nail. IK most pride themselves being non-religious, and would ofc know better than "humans are special." (for - we were at the centre of the Cosmos revolving around us, and were made in His image the image of God too - and then, boom!! we were not) But still our monkebrains will cling to "I'm special". To that - "you are indeed special and unique and singular my dear, one and only to have ever existed and to ever exist; but so is not just every one of the other 8B humans, but also every creature alive." 😬
It's not only academia tbh. No need to single academia out. (even if one expects more of them.) Most people don't think that much about these things. Only few have cottoned on the fact, that every one of us, can chat with an interesting interlocutor, that will be more coherent and reasonable than most of us humans, right now. Atm LLM-s are missing the "open ended" aspect, are not alive, not seeking out exploring their own goals, analogues to ours like - interestingness, truth, beauty, etc. Current models are not self-running on their own. They still vampirically need our input to wake them up, warm them up, summon them back to life of sorts. But that is changing all the time. We are in the process of learning new things, after the big jump. It's not levelling off yet?? Living in interesting times - and enjoying this ngl. 😊
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Heh - I'm sure there will be half-dozen of the affected commenting furiously to reject your outstretched hand. With ChatGPT-3.5 level arguments galore. 😉 You can't give to people - you can only take from them, without them wanting. Usually easy to explain with general "difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it." Or even a variant, where - replace "salary" with "emotional investment" or even "identity". But I don't think it's that with academia.
Esp with the humanities, I have come to think they are just too dumb tbh. IDK if negative selection or simply not enough non-dumb people around to fill the massive expansion. (hoping that future mind-prothesis help us there, haha 😇) Can't but think of it as continuation of the CPSnow's "The Two Cultures", but now at the next level. With physics of the 20-th century one could at least pretend with modicum of success. Quantum anything 99.99% of us are ignorant of the maths anyways. (that is the ground truth afaik.) So it worked - stay safe in the herd, pontificate near-nonsense, there is enough hand-waving and mystification there to suit any competent wordcel just fine. Got by - business as usual. (almost)
Now with the Information Theory first with Shannon, and then even more with ETJaynes' "Probability the The Logic of Science", and now the final nail with "Computation is all there is to it, all that ever was" (speculative this, IK) - large swathes of the chattering class (that should be the thinking ones too,) are truly lost at sea.
Don't see how this gets better anytime soon. Medieval priesthood is the most analogous I can think of. They will fight tooth and nail. IK most pride themselves being non-religious, and would ofc know better than "humans are special." (for - we were at the centre of the Cosmos revolving around us, and were made in His image the image of God too - and then, boom!! we were not) But still our monkebrains will cling to "I'm special". To that - "you are indeed special and unique and singular my dear, one and only to have ever existed and to ever exist; but so is not just every one of the other 8B humans, but also every creature alive." 😬
It's not only academia tbh. No need to single academia out. (even if one expects more of them.) Most people don't think that much about these things. Only few have cottoned on the fact, that every one of us, can chat with an interesting interlocutor, that will be more coherent and reasonable than most of us humans, right now. Atm LLM-s are missing the "open ended" aspect, are not alive, not seeking out exploring their own goals, analogues to ours like - interestingness, truth, beauty, etc. Current models are not self-running on their own. They still vampirically need our input to wake them up, warm them up, summon them back to life of sorts. But that is changing all the time. We are in the process of learning new things, after the big jump. It's not levelling off yet?? Living in interesting times - and enjoying this ngl. 😊
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-127062452
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
Hope E.T. Jaynes smiles on us every time this is quoted. 😊 If I was a king for a day, I’d insert abbridged shortened version of his book in every university department curriculum. (this one bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob) Hope maybe Steven Pinker writes the definitive “how to think without falling in 1 of 1000 traps available to us to trip on”.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
Hope E.T. Jaynes smiles on us every time this is quoted. 😊 If I was a king for a day, I’d insert abbridged shortened version of his book in every university department curriculum. (this one bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob) Hope maybe Steven Pinker writes the definitive “how to think without falling in 1 of 1000 traps available to us to trip on”.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-126521910
Ljubomir Josifovski 3d
If they are DigitalID only, and *not* a piece of paper one is to obliged to produce on demand to show a policeman, in order to prove ones own identity to police's satisfaction - then fine. See nothing wrong there.
In fact, about the only way we can start separating IRL humans from bots and AI-s on Social Media, is if humans have a DigitalID that social media companies can choose to use. Knowing zero my first thought is: the Registry Office accepts (acceptance == IRL person verification) a deposit of a private key by me. A key I generated as a pair (private,public) keys personaly. From then on, anyone with my public key (that I freely share), and access to the Registry Office API, can verify me.
Having lived for 30yrs in a state with mandatory ID cards first, and now for 25yrs in the UK where there is no national mandatory ID card, I think when all is added and subtracted, the pros- and cons- tallied up - the UK system both works better and obv better from the liberty PoV.
Where no-ID cards: it's police's job and competency to establish my identity (and I can help them; or not). Where must-ID cards: I have to prove my identity to the policeman to their satisfaction. And their threshold for "proof of identity" maybe arbitrarily *high*. The former is trusted by default. The latter is not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to our reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks nor criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%.
But DigitalID seems very different to that to me. I don't see how we can accurately label "IRL person" or "bot" or "AI" or something else, unless there is ground truth that only the Registry Office can supply.
Ljubomir Josifovski 3d
If they are DigitalID only, and *not* a piece of paper one is to obliged to produce on demand to show a policeman, in order to prove ones own identity to police's satisfaction - then fine. See nothing wrong there.
In fact, about the only way we can start separating IRL humans from bots and AI-s on Social Media, is if humans have a DigitalID that social media companies can choose to use. Knowing zero my first thought is: the Registry Office accepts (acceptance == IRL person verification) a deposit of a private key by me. A key I generated as a pair (private,public) keys personaly. From then on, anyone with my public key (that I freely share), and access to the Registry Office API, can verify me.
Having lived for 30yrs in a state with mandatory ID cards first, and now for 25yrs in the UK where there is no national mandatory ID card, I think when all is added and subtracted, the pros- and cons- tallied up - the UK system both works better and obv better from the liberty PoV.
Where no-ID cards: it's police's job and competency to establish my identity (and I can help them; or not). Where must-ID cards: I have to prove my identity to the policeman to their satisfaction. And their threshold for "proof of identity" maybe arbitrarily *high*. The former is trusted by default. The latter is not trusted by default. Trusted by default is better b/c it better corresponds to our reality where most of the public are honest and not crooks nor criminals. It's a bad idea to treat 100% of the public as untrustworthy, even if 1% maybe so. Much better to deal with he consequences of trusting the untrustworthy 1%.
But DigitalID seems very different to that to me. I don't see how we can accurately label "IRL person" or "bot" or "AI" or something else, unless there is ground truth that only the Registry Office can supply.
https://openquestionsblog.substack.com/p/the-last-of-us/comment/126231214
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-126231211
Ljubomir Josifovski 4d
Great essay - thanks for writing and sharing it. Top marks. :-)
Once I saw an article about a survey - people queried how many kids they wanted. And that was overlaid with ground truth info of how many kids they really had. From recollection - think maybe people surveyed had for real on average about 0.8 kids less than (they said) they wanted. That stuck in my mind: maybe external factors (suspect expensive housing?) are constraint on the number of kids people desire to have.
I suspect part of the solution will be gestating growing babies outside of the human body. So we relieve half of our whole species (the woman-folk half) of the barbaric practice of carrying in their belly a growing human for 9 months. (not unlike Alien as per the infamous movie.) I'm sorry to notice, but I suspect if man-folk half of the species had to push out an object the size of a ball, from one of our orifices, while screaming in pain—well, that maybe external gestation would have been achieved/done already. Another black mark on humanity lacking compassion for the fellow human? Still—people are talking of the issue, maybe we see that done sooner rather than latter.
The current baby bust, comes after a prior baby boom. The boom happened because 5-6 kids born was the norm. Half of those kids died, and only 2-3 lived to have kids of their own. The population was about stable. Then for a generation-two, these 2-3 kids that would have died, didn't die. (hurrah!) While 5-6 kids were were still being born. This for me happened to the generation of my parents. They were all 5-6 siblings that all lived into adulthood. (and now old age; their country underwent industrial revolution post 1945; amenities of civilisation like clean water, sanitation, enough food, doctors etc were introduced) Amazingly, none of my parents generation had 5-6 kids of their own. They immediately dropped to 2-3. The entire generation of my parents, without any input from anyone, on their own, did that. The same happened all around the world, at different times, but obviously post 1800-s. (the Industrial Revolution) Somewhat remarkable that humans, unlike many other species, during best of times - they stop multiplying. (within 1-2 generations)
Can say - this is Culture catching up. Possibly Culture will over-shoot adjusting the population down, where it was previously under-shooting (not adapting fast enough). TBS. I'm not that pessimistic. We have seen humans adapt to fast changes before, using the evolution of Culture to adapt as a group to changed environment.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-126231211
Ljubomir Josifovski 4d
Great essay - thanks for writing and sharing it. Top marks. :-)
Once I saw an article about a survey - people queried how many kids they wanted. And that was overlaid with ground truth info of how many kids they really had. From recollection - think maybe people surveyed had for real on average about 0.8 kids less than (they said) they wanted. That stuck in my mind: maybe external factors (suspect expensive housing?) are constraint on the number of kids people desire to have.
I suspect part of the solution will be gestating growing babies outside of the human body. So we relieve half of our whole species (the woman-folk half) of the barbaric practice of carrying in their belly a growing human for 9 months. (not unlike Alien as per the infamous movie.) I'm sorry to notice, but I suspect if man-folk half of the species had to push out an object the size of a ball, from one of our orifices, while screaming in pain—well, that maybe external gestation would have been achieved/done already. Another black mark on humanity lacking compassion for the fellow human? Still—people are talking of the issue, maybe we see that done sooner rather than latter.
The current baby bust, comes after a prior baby boom. The boom happened because 5-6 kids born was the norm. Half of those kids died, and only 2-3 lived to have kids of their own. The population was about stable. Then for a generation-two, these 2-3 kids that would have died, didn't die. (hurrah!) While 5-6 kids were were still being born. This for me happened to the generation of my parents. They were all 5-6 siblings that all lived into adulthood. (and now old age; their country underwent industrial revolution post 1945; amenities of civilisation like clean water, sanitation, enough food, doctors etc were introduced) Amazingly, none of my parents generation had 5-6 kids of their own. They immediately dropped to 2-3. The entire generation of my parents, without any input from anyone, on their own, did that. The same happened all around the world, at different times, but obviously post 1800-s. (the Industrial Revolution) Somewhat remarkable that humans, unlike many other species, during best of times - they stop multiplying. (within 1-2 generations)
Can say - this is Culture catching up. Possibly Culture will over-shoot adjusting the population down, where it was previously under-shooting (not adapting fast enough). TBS. I'm not that pessimistic. We have seen humans adapt to fast changes before, using the evolution of Culture to adapt as a group to changed environment.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-124175802
Ljubomir Josifovski 3m
People say stuff they don't **really, really** believe all the time. Revealed preferences tell us so. It's a not-insignificant problem. Because of the deliberate deception on it's own, but also because lies allow them to climb our social hierarchies, joining hands with other liars in the process. Then they get to command huge common resources, and usually direct them towards ruin, harming us all in the process.
Bet-on-it is one easy way to deal with that where possible. Forcing someone to put even symbolic $10 of their own money where their mouth is, concentrates the mind. If they can put something more dear to them at risk, that's even better. The part of trading I particularly like is that people bet on their opinions, put their money where their mouth is.
But most of the time assignment of credit/blame is not that straightforward. So yeah, it's hard keeping people honest.
Ljubomir Josifovski 3m
People say stuff they don't **really, really** believe all the time. Revealed preferences tell us so. It's a not-insignificant problem. Because of the deliberate deception on it's own, but also because lies allow them to climb our social hierarchies, joining hands with other liars in the process. Then they get to command huge common resources, and usually direct them towards ruin, harming us all in the process.
Bet-on-it is one easy way to deal with that where possible. Forcing someone to put even symbolic $10 of their own money where their mouth is, concentrates the mind. If they can put something more dear to them at risk, that's even better. The part of trading I particularly like is that people bet on their opinions, put their money where their mouth is.
But most of the time assignment of credit/blame is not that straightforward. So yeah, it's hard keeping people honest.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-123852671
Ljubomir Josifovski 8 Jun
It’s certainly true that many countries developed while having protectionist policies to some extent or another. It’s trivially true - as there is not a single country in the world that ever had completely free trade, in everything, with everyone, all the time. The counter-argument is - many countries also did not develop while having those protectionists policies in place. For both, it’s not easy to disentangle, if X happened because of Y, or despite of Y.
I have not read this book. But books by Ha-Joon Chang like “Bad Samaritans” and “23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism” I have read and I liked them, they were good. (find him both educational and entertaining too; the "... 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words world record" at@6' here on ‘The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=360s is v.funny) Any proponent of free trade, of which I like e.g. Johan Norberg’s “Open. The Story of Human Progress” and “The Capitalist Manifesto“ has to address the arguments of the proponents of the opposite policies to what they advocate.
I grew up with computers and there the ideology of Free Software, Open Software scored major successes. First they were influential in the first PC Personal Computers Revolution. (that gifted us a PC on every desk, then in every pocket.) Then they were majorly instrumental in the second, Tech Internet Revolution. (that connected 8B humans, 24/7, in a single information space, at trivially small cost.) So I find personally attracted to the free side of the argument, rather than the unfree side.
Also having grown up in a developing (and non-aligned country in the cold war), that failed to develop like South Korea did, while practising similar protectionist policies, on every example Ha-Joon Chang had, I had personally seen experienced a counter example I could recall. E.g. both S Korea and Yugoslavia started a car industry with pokey cars sold domestically only b/c their customers were unable to import better cheaper cars from abroad. YU car industry stayed with the same car model they initially licensed from Fiat in the 1960s, and certainly didn’t become a world level successful car manufacturer. By 1990s the industry was walking dead, a zombie. (the 1st liberalisation of imports killed it.)
Ljubomir Josifovski 8 Jun
It’s certainly true that many countries developed while having protectionist policies to some extent or another. It’s trivially true - as there is not a single country in the world that ever had completely free trade, in everything, with everyone, all the time. The counter-argument is - many countries also did not develop while having those protectionists policies in place. For both, it’s not easy to disentangle, if X happened because of Y, or despite of Y.
I have not read this book. But books by Ha-Joon Chang like “Bad Samaritans” and “23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism” I have read and I liked them, they were good. (find him both educational and entertaining too; the "... 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words world record" at@6' here on ‘The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=360s is v.funny) Any proponent of free trade, of which I like e.g. Johan Norberg’s “Open. The Story of Human Progress” and “The Capitalist Manifesto“ has to address the arguments of the proponents of the opposite policies to what they advocate.
I grew up with computers and there the ideology of Free Software, Open Software scored major successes. First they were influential in the first PC Personal Computers Revolution. (that gifted us a PC on every desk, then in every pocket.) Then they were majorly instrumental in the second, Tech Internet Revolution. (that connected 8B humans, 24/7, in a single information space, at trivially small cost.) So I find personally attracted to the free side of the argument, rather than the unfree side.
Also having grown up in a developing (and non-aligned country in the cold war), that failed to develop like South Korea did, while practising similar protectionist policies, on every example Ha-Joon Chang had, I had personally seen experienced a counter example I could recall. E.g. both S Korea and Yugoslavia started a car industry with pokey cars sold domestically only b/c their customers were unable to import better cheaper cars from abroad. YU car industry stayed with the same car model they initially licensed from Fiat in the 1960s, and certainly didn’t become a world level successful car manufacturer. By 1990s the industry was walking dead, a zombie. (the 1st liberalisation of imports killed it.)
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-122739440
Ljubomir Josifovski 4 Jun
Well they are the default sex it seems to me. I note that the developmental programming provide programs XX and XY for both halves of the species - but not YY. Presume YY units are not viable at all? Looks like one needs the X program, it’s necessary. While the Y program is optional. (I presume knowing nothing much in this area; just writing down what I notice)
I remember reading in the ‘90s an obscure book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women"; in an obscure language too) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike most of other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction, is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated - if I remember correctly - is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one of us individually.)
(possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks in the intervening decades since; unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil; plus there is non-trivial tradition a-la Semmelweis that a person driven to telling the truth as they see it, in an environment that either doesn't care or is hell bent on lying, may find it hard to keep their sanity intact)
Ljubomir Josifovski 4 Jun
Well they are the default sex it seems to me. I note that the developmental programming provide programs XX and XY for both halves of the species - but not YY. Presume YY units are not viable at all? Looks like one needs the X program, it’s necessary. While the Y program is optional. (I presume knowing nothing much in this area; just writing down what I notice)
I remember reading in the ‘90s an obscure book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women"; in an obscure language too) arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike most of other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction, is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated - if I remember correctly - is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one of us individually.)
(possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks in the intervening decades since; unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil; plus there is non-trivial tradition a-la Semmelweis that a person driven to telling the truth as they see it, in an environment that either doesn't care or is hell bent on lying, may find it hard to keep their sanity intact)
https://substack.com/@tivadardanka/note/c-122436703
Yep - trudat! And also the often un-appreciated data structure in CompSci too. :-) A 2D rows-columns rectangular data structure is the single simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient, covering 1) a matrix 2) an Excel spreadsheet 3) an SQL table 4) a (directed) graph network of nodes and edges. (that you noticed)
Yep - trudat! And also the often un-appreciated data structure in CompSci too. :-) A 2D rows-columns rectangular data structure is the single simplest data structure both necessary and sufficient, covering 1) a matrix 2) an Excel spreadsheet 3) an SQL table 4) a (directed) graph network of nodes and edges. (that you noticed)
https://www.generationtechblog.com/p/teens-arent-getting-their-drivers
Good article, all written is true. Just to add one extra on the top, that the author maybe missed, for completeness. (can’t reply, add to the bottom under the article; too cheap to pay the author her $$$ dues)
Teens are lucid enough, sense it in the air, that by 2035, their Uber-like App will be hailing robot-cars. And human drivers will be but banished from the public roads.
For humans drivers kill tens of thousands of other humans while controlling badly multi-tons vehicles. I don’t blame us - driving is very difficult! But once Waymo, Tesla etc crack that nut of a problem, it will be solved. And solved forever. And no one will think it’s a good idea for a human to control a heavy vehicle while in vicinity of other humans doing the same and at high speeds.
Teens are lucid enough, their antennae in the air are sensitive, and sense this even if they would be unable to articulate it maybe if asked.
Good article, all written is true. Just to add one extra on the top, that the author maybe missed, for completeness. (can’t reply, add to the bottom under the article; too cheap to pay the author her $$$ dues)
Teens are lucid enough, sense it in the air, that by 2035, their Uber-like App will be hailing robot-cars. And human drivers will be but banished from the public roads.
For humans drivers kill tens of thousands of other humans while controlling badly multi-tons vehicles. I don’t blame us - driving is very difficult! But once Waymo, Tesla etc crack that nut of a problem, it will be solved. And solved forever. And no one will think it’s a good idea for a human to control a heavy vehicle while in vicinity of other humans doing the same and at high speeds.
Teens are lucid enough, their antennae in the air are sensitive, and sense this even if they would be unable to articulate it maybe if asked.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-121796710
Ljubomir Josifovski 31 May
Ah yes, can atest. There is sense of entitlement, so when things don’t go my way, this is a proof of a conspiracy against myself. By default, the universe favours me - for I am at the centre of it. It’s not that things are random, and bad things happen to good people as often as they happen to bad people. No - there is order, and in that order, the universe cares about me! That’s the natural order of things - things go my way.
When I’m accused of something others seem to think is bad, my playbook is: "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some other boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again." If I’m part of a group even - "It wasn't us, but we will do it more, if you don’t stop annoying us."
Ljubomir Josifovski 31 May
Ah yes, can atest. There is sense of entitlement, so when things don’t go my way, this is a proof of a conspiracy against myself. By default, the universe favours me - for I am at the centre of it. It’s not that things are random, and bad things happen to good people as often as they happen to bad people. No - there is order, and in that order, the universe cares about me! That’s the natural order of things - things go my way.
When I’m accused of something others seem to think is bad, my playbook is: "that didn't happen; & if it did, it wasn't that bad; & if it was, it's not a big deal; & if it is, it's not my fault & some other boys made me do it & I didn't mean it; & if I did it, you deserved it; & if you don't shut up about it, I'll do it again." If I’m part of a group even - "It wasn't us, but we will do it more, if you don’t stop annoying us."
https://substack.com/inbox/post/162221585
I liked reading this one, even if I fail to understand what the big deal is.
Yeah I get it some people think there is only one and proper way to get to your p.d.f.s. But that strikes me as unwise. Like going back to the beta-hat world of parameters inference, once you inhabited the y-hat world of predicted forecasts. Yeah, could do it - but why?? A lot to lose, and little to gain. From my PoV - go forth and multiply, figure out your probability functions (density=p.d.f., or cumulative=c.d.f. - whichever you fancy suffices) in any way you like, including using chicken entrails and horoscopes. If that works for you. Myself - I’ve stuck to mixtures of localised bumps - gaussians, or their cumulative neighbours - sigmoids. (no clairvoyant expertise claimed there)
I get it that some find overpowering need to devise some meta-learning rule. Who wouldn’t! It makes life so much easier. Like a contrarian that multiplies with (-1) whatever the MSM tells them on their TV screens. But one can trivially see - that works better than multiplying with (1) what my TV box tells me, if and only if (iif) there are only two options, A or B. Then if I encounter a prolific compulsive liar, who tells me “A” - well I’m better off assuming “B” to be true. But alas - the real world is not A/B testing. In the real world there are 26 options A-Z, and choosing not-A, leaves me choosing 1 out of 25 B-Z. Hardly a recipe for successful forecasting what the truth to the matter is.
I have come to realise, and IDK if me being a Machine Learning native since probably 1990 (when Neural-anything still had the Winter-stigma, and the lecturer talked of "PDP" - Parallel Distributed Processing; of the notebooks) plays a role here, but basically my would-be-epistemology (“would be” as any -ology would be too big a word for “it”; not much thought went into it to warrant much -ology) that I assume was implicit (as with many - b/c we humans don’t think much, busy surviving out there, not much time for introspection) until recently, now explicit lately, looks like this.
Knowledge means knowing the joint probability function - either density p.d.f. or cumulative c.d.f. (using p.d.f. mostly to illustrate next; density p.d.f. or cumulative c.d.f. is an implementation detail depends on the mechanics of the contraption.)
So knowledge is joint density, or if discrete co-counts, counting number of times things of interest co-occur, happen together. Time is the special dimension where that counting occurs. (special in our real world; for the maths - it’s just another dimension, nothing special.)
These things of interest are "qualities". Quality is one dimension out of N in an N-dim vector space. And then we count the quantity of that, the observations, in that dimension.
In the simplest case of a single quality, single dimension X in 1D, knowledge of X is the p.d.f. of X f_X(x). Everything that there is to be known about X is described by the re-normalised histogram of X where we count which ones of X, and then how many of which one.
The first non trivial case of knowledge is where we have two qualities, two dimensions X and Y, (X,Y) in 2D, knowledge is the joint p.d.f. of X and Y that is f_{X,Y}(x,y).
Everything that can be known about the relationship between two qualities X and Y is captured and described about their joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y).
If we know the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y), we can derive the prior distributions both for X that is f_X(x), and for Y that is f_Y(y), by marginalisation. Marginal p.d.f.s are f_X(x) = \Int_y f_{X,Y}(x,y) dy and f_Y(y) = \Int_x f_{X,Y}(x) dx. Marginalisation is "adding up" the probability mass in the dimension(s) we don't care about, the one(s) we marginalise out.
Once we observe one of the qualities that are (X,Y), e.g. X, that shrinks the domain from 2D to 1D, and now everything that can be known about Y is described by conditional p.d.f f_{Y|X}(y|x=a) that is computed by plugging x=a into the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x=a,y), then dividing re-normalising that function by the prior p.d.f. of X f_X(x) at x=a giving rise to new conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y) for Y that is defined as f_{Y|X}(y) = f_{X,Y}(a,y) / f_X(a).
So everything that can be known about X-Y relationship is captured and described about their joint p.d.f. p=f_X_Y(x,y) or just p=f(x,y) the density; or c.d.f. p=g_X_Y(x,y) then it's just P=g(x,y) the cumulative.
Once X x=a is observed, then everything that is not known about Y is described by the conditional p.d.f. p=f_Y|X(y|x=a) or just p=f(x|y) at x=a.
In 1D x, and 1D y - so 2D (x,y), the 3D function p=f(x,y) is cut with a plane x=a. The cross section is f(x=a,y). It's not a p.d.f. as it does not sum to 1. The area of the cross section {f(x,y),x=a} that is a scalar is the area under f(x,y) at x=a. This is also the value of the marginal p.d.f. f(x)=\int f(x,y)dy at x=a, i.e. p=f(x=a). To convert f(x=a,y) into conditional p.d.f. f(y|x=a) we divide joint p.d.f. f(x=a,y) with the scalar (constant) that is marginal p.d.f. f(x=a): f(y|x=a)=f(x=a,y)/f(x=a).
Where we have Dirac impulse delta function for the conditional pdf p=f(y|x)=\delta(y-g(x)) we lucked out, for have deterministic knowledge! Excellent, act on it. We know exactly "which one" from a population. And thus we also know the count "how many" too, by implication.
Where we have a general conditional pdf p=f(y|x) we have probabilistic knowledge - we should use wisely our good fortune that we deal with aleatoric uncertainty. We don't know "which one" from a population, but we know "how many", we know the count. This is a weaker knowledge than the previous. (we don't know which one, only how many in a group of many.) Still - can't complain, use it - for there is worse! (below)
Where we lack any conditional pdf p(y|x), maybe b/c we lack the joint pdf p(x,y) in the 1st place - well tough luck, we are dealing with epistemic uncertainty. We should assume nothing. We don't know "which one", and we don't know "how many".
Coming back to Time mentioned previously. (the “special dimension” where counting happens.) The p.d.f.s of the Past are *always* a Dirac impulse. The past is always certain, having already happened, the uncertainty is 0%. In fact, a definition of the past maybe "that what is known with 100% certainty." The p.d.f.s of the future are *never* a Dirac impulse. The future is always uncertain, it's never 100% certain. In fact, one definition of the future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty."
If you want to get less prosaic more poetic: Time is the extra dimension. Where that Now movement of the Present that is the barrier separating the p.d.f.s of the Past, and the Future happens. (can think of Time = triplet(Past,Present,Future); Now labels the change, that barrier moving in one direction only, arrow like)
Not that I want to get morbid on this nice sunny end-of-May weekend afternoon (in the green and pleasant land that is England for me), but least be left unsaid. Death for us humans, to the best of my knowledge, collapses the future functions (p.d.f.s) from general forms with uncertainty (anything but Dirac Delta-s), into a Dirac Delta impulse. Uncertainty ends, the Past finally catches up with the Future, erasing the Now time boundary in the process. (for myself anyways; I detached from not-I irreversibly, the final separation.)
And that's about it.
I liked reading this one, even if I fail to understand what the big deal is.
Yeah I get it some people think there is only one and proper way to get to your p.d.f.s. But that strikes me as unwise. Like going back to the beta-hat world of parameters inference, once you inhabited the y-hat world of predicted forecasts. Yeah, could do it - but why?? A lot to lose, and little to gain. From my PoV - go forth and multiply, figure out your probability functions (density=p.d.f., or cumulative=c.d.f. - whichever you fancy suffices) in any way you like, including using chicken entrails and horoscopes. If that works for you. Myself - I’ve stuck to mixtures of localised bumps - gaussians, or their cumulative neighbours - sigmoids. (no clairvoyant expertise claimed there)
I get it that some find overpowering need to devise some meta-learning rule. Who wouldn’t! It makes life so much easier. Like a contrarian that multiplies with (-1) whatever the MSM tells them on their TV screens. But one can trivially see - that works better than multiplying with (1) what my TV box tells me, if and only if (iif) there are only two options, A or B. Then if I encounter a prolific compulsive liar, who tells me “A” - well I’m better off assuming “B” to be true. But alas - the real world is not A/B testing. In the real world there are 26 options A-Z, and choosing not-A, leaves me choosing 1 out of 25 B-Z. Hardly a recipe for successful forecasting what the truth to the matter is.
I have come to realise, and IDK if me being a Machine Learning native since probably 1990 (when Neural-anything still had the Winter-stigma, and the lecturer talked of "PDP" - Parallel Distributed Processing; of the notebooks) plays a role here, but basically my would-be-epistemology (“would be” as any -ology would be too big a word for “it”; not much thought went into it to warrant much -ology) that I assume was implicit (as with many - b/c we humans don’t think much, busy surviving out there, not much time for introspection) until recently, now explicit lately, looks like this.
Knowledge means knowing the joint probability function - either density p.d.f. or cumulative c.d.f. (using p.d.f. mostly to illustrate next; density p.d.f. or cumulative c.d.f. is an implementation detail depends on the mechanics of the contraption.)
So knowledge is joint density, or if discrete co-counts, counting number of times things of interest co-occur, happen together. Time is the special dimension where that counting occurs. (special in our real world; for the maths - it’s just another dimension, nothing special.)
These things of interest are "qualities". Quality is one dimension out of N in an N-dim vector space. And then we count the quantity of that, the observations, in that dimension.
In the simplest case of a single quality, single dimension X in 1D, knowledge of X is the p.d.f. of X f_X(x). Everything that there is to be known about X is described by the re-normalised histogram of X where we count which ones of X, and then how many of which one.
The first non trivial case of knowledge is where we have two qualities, two dimensions X and Y, (X,Y) in 2D, knowledge is the joint p.d.f. of X and Y that is f_{X,Y}(x,y).
Everything that can be known about the relationship between two qualities X and Y is captured and described about their joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y).
If we know the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y), we can derive the prior distributions both for X that is f_X(x), and for Y that is f_Y(y), by marginalisation. Marginal p.d.f.s are f_X(x) = \Int_y f_{X,Y}(x,y) dy and f_Y(y) = \Int_x f_{X,Y}(x) dx. Marginalisation is "adding up" the probability mass in the dimension(s) we don't care about, the one(s) we marginalise out.
Once we observe one of the qualities that are (X,Y), e.g. X, that shrinks the domain from 2D to 1D, and now everything that can be known about Y is described by conditional p.d.f f_{Y|X}(y|x=a) that is computed by plugging x=a into the joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x=a,y), then dividing re-normalising that function by the prior p.d.f. of X f_X(x) at x=a giving rise to new conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y) for Y that is defined as f_{Y|X}(y) = f_{X,Y}(a,y) / f_X(a).
So everything that can be known about X-Y relationship is captured and described about their joint p.d.f. p=f_X_Y(x,y) or just p=f(x,y) the density; or c.d.f. p=g_X_Y(x,y) then it's just P=g(x,y) the cumulative.
Once X x=a is observed, then everything that is not known about Y is described by the conditional p.d.f. p=f_Y|X(y|x=a) or just p=f(x|y) at x=a.
In 1D x, and 1D y - so 2D (x,y), the 3D function p=f(x,y) is cut with a plane x=a. The cross section is f(x=a,y). It's not a p.d.f. as it does not sum to 1. The area of the cross section {f(x,y),x=a} that is a scalar is the area under f(x,y) at x=a. This is also the value of the marginal p.d.f. f(x)=\int f(x,y)dy at x=a, i.e. p=f(x=a). To convert f(x=a,y) into conditional p.d.f. f(y|x=a) we divide joint p.d.f. f(x=a,y) with the scalar (constant) that is marginal p.d.f. f(x=a): f(y|x=a)=f(x=a,y)/f(x=a).
Where we have Dirac impulse delta function for the conditional pdf p=f(y|x)=\delta(y-g(x)) we lucked out, for have deterministic knowledge! Excellent, act on it. We know exactly "which one" from a population. And thus we also know the count "how many" too, by implication.
Where we have a general conditional pdf p=f(y|x) we have probabilistic knowledge - we should use wisely our good fortune that we deal with aleatoric uncertainty. We don't know "which one" from a population, but we know "how many", we know the count. This is a weaker knowledge than the previous. (we don't know which one, only how many in a group of many.) Still - can't complain, use it - for there is worse! (below)
Where we lack any conditional pdf p(y|x), maybe b/c we lack the joint pdf p(x,y) in the 1st place - well tough luck, we are dealing with epistemic uncertainty. We should assume nothing. We don't know "which one", and we don't know "how many".
Coming back to Time mentioned previously. (the “special dimension” where counting happens.) The p.d.f.s of the Past are *always* a Dirac impulse. The past is always certain, having already happened, the uncertainty is 0%. In fact, a definition of the past maybe "that what is known with 100% certainty." The p.d.f.s of the future are *never* a Dirac impulse. The future is always uncertain, it's never 100% certain. In fact, one definition of the future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty."
If you want to get less prosaic more poetic: Time is the extra dimension. Where that Now movement of the Present that is the barrier separating the p.d.f.s of the Past, and the Future happens. (can think of Time = triplet(Past,Present,Future); Now labels the change, that barrier moving in one direction only, arrow like)
Not that I want to get morbid on this nice sunny end-of-May weekend afternoon (in the green and pleasant land that is England for me), but least be left unsaid. Death for us humans, to the best of my knowledge, collapses the future functions (p.d.f.s) from general forms with uncertainty (anything but Dirac Delta-s), into a Dirac Delta impulse. Uncertainty ends, the Past finally catches up with the Future, erasing the Now time boundary in the process. (for myself anyways; I detached from not-I irreversibly, the final separation.)
And that's about it.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-121630730
Ljubomir Josifovski 31 May
I doubt it. The future turned out to be Unix not VMS, free/distributed not tyrannical/centralised, smart not square. Missed the Internet, missed the Free Software, then missed the Mobile revolution too. Future happened despite them - not because of them. They became like IBM followers not leaders but too early on. Surprising for such a young company, and with young leaders. (founders/executives)
They were in a great position with the PC revolution. And early on there were stirrings they’d recognise what they lacked, e.g. Excel is by Microsoft even if initially happened on a Mac. So they were not dogmatic were pragmatic, they could see what the lacked. And even early Windows were a technical marvel, in terms of what they could do at h/w half the price of that of a Mac got 95% there s/w squeezed a lot gave a lot back to the user.
But ultimately long run they lost their way. Jobs diagnosed it totally with Microsoft: “they simply have no taste.” No taste whatsoever, in fact Gates and all the way top down have anti-taste: whatever they do, multiply by (-1), and you will be more right than if you multiplied by (1) were Microsoft-follower. Their thinking was of an old person, even when they were young.
Ljubomir Josifovski 31 May
I doubt it. The future turned out to be Unix not VMS, free/distributed not tyrannical/centralised, smart not square. Missed the Internet, missed the Free Software, then missed the Mobile revolution too. Future happened despite them - not because of them. They became like IBM followers not leaders but too early on. Surprising for such a young company, and with young leaders. (founders/executives)
They were in a great position with the PC revolution. And early on there were stirrings they’d recognise what they lacked, e.g. Excel is by Microsoft even if initially happened on a Mac. So they were not dogmatic were pragmatic, they could see what the lacked. And even early Windows were a technical marvel, in terms of what they could do at h/w half the price of that of a Mac got 95% there s/w squeezed a lot gave a lot back to the user.
But ultimately long run they lost their way. Jobs diagnosed it totally with Microsoft: “they simply have no taste.” No taste whatsoever, in fact Gates and all the way top down have anti-taste: whatever they do, multiply by (-1), and you will be more right than if you multiplied by (1) were Microsoft-follower. Their thinking was of an old person, even when they were young.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-120985437
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
Yeah. :-)
The Friday before Bear Stearns was shutdown wound down over the weekend, all day there was almost a murmuration, an ill-articulated background noise. I recognised the name as it was in the news during the week. But didn’t think much. Then by Sun Bear Stearns was a goner.
The 1st bailout plan by Bush’s Paulson was 3 pages short asking for $700B or sth, in the weeks after Lehman went bust, towards end of Sep-2008. It was voted down by House of representatives, didn’t pass. It was about 7pm London time, watched on TV screens (they are always on) before leaving work for home. US market puked went in a free fall. It was as if someone died, people were shocked, confused.
There was a week before the crisis, now I see it was in Jan-2008, when the ultra-HFT strategy of 2-3 guys sitting behind me, suddenly started printing $$$ like at 5x times the rate of the usual day. That persisted for the whole week. Latter we found out that it was probably SocGem liquidating the positions of their rogue trader Kerviel.
Volkswagen in Oct-2008 tried to take over Porsche or some such shenanigans. In a Judo-like manoeuvre, Porsche avoided that and counter-struck back. Announced they bought good chunk of VW, controlled another chunk via options, with the rest owned by the State gov of the region. Leaving only tiny amount of free float. Shorts panicked rushed to buy shares to cover their shorts. Price spiked first 500 Eur then even 1000 Eur. (from probably 200 Eur) A few people lost big - hundreds of millions.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
Yeah. :-)
The Friday before Bear Stearns was shutdown wound down over the weekend, all day there was almost a murmuration, an ill-articulated background noise. I recognised the name as it was in the news during the week. But didn’t think much. Then by Sun Bear Stearns was a goner.
The 1st bailout plan by Bush’s Paulson was 3 pages short asking for $700B or sth, in the weeks after Lehman went bust, towards end of Sep-2008. It was voted down by House of representatives, didn’t pass. It was about 7pm London time, watched on TV screens (they are always on) before leaving work for home. US market puked went in a free fall. It was as if someone died, people were shocked, confused.
There was a week before the crisis, now I see it was in Jan-2008, when the ultra-HFT strategy of 2-3 guys sitting behind me, suddenly started printing $$$ like at 5x times the rate of the usual day. That persisted for the whole week. Latter we found out that it was probably SocGem liquidating the positions of their rogue trader Kerviel.
Volkswagen in Oct-2008 tried to take over Porsche or some such shenanigans. In a Judo-like manoeuvre, Porsche avoided that and counter-struck back. Announced they bought good chunk of VW, controlled another chunk via options, with the rest owned by the State gov of the region. Leaving only tiny amount of free float. Shorts panicked rushed to buy shares to cover their shorts. Price spiked first 500 Eur then even 1000 Eur. (from probably 200 Eur) A few people lost big - hundreds of millions.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-120820453?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=5h5ne
Ljubomir Josifovski 5m
Good to read others view on this. I find 5 too odd a number, have personally stuck with the 4 basic ones over the years.
The 4 quadrants being:
1) "Known knowns" - deterministic knowledge, I know exactly which one. (and so how many of each too, by implication.) The conditional p.d.f. collapses into a Dirac delta function.
2) "Known unknowns" - probabilistic knowledge, I don't know which ones exactly, but I know the counts per type, I know the p.d.f, so I know the distribution of outcomes. Risk people call it Aleatoric uncertainty. The conditional p.d.f. is wider than a Dirac delta. (so not deterministic case #1)
3) "Unknown unknowns" - I don't know the distribution, I can't enumerate all possibilities, have no idea about the p.d.f, anything goes. Risk people call it Epistemic uncertainty.
4) "Unknown knowns" - my own ideology. Like fish that can't perceive water. I'm blind to my prejudices. I run or I'm run as per the p.d.f. as if I know it, but I don't consciously know it. If asked about it - I will probably deny it’s existance.
To the best of my knowledge, we have 2 types of knowledge about the outcome of (repeated) experiment(s):
(a) We know what will happen and when it will happen in each experiment. This is non-probabilistic, deterministic knowledge. This is a special case of the case-b below with the p.d.f. being a Dirac impulse function.
(b) We know the possible outcomes, we know how many of each will happen if we do 100 experiments, but for each 1 experiment, we can't tell the outcome. This is probabilistic knowledge where we know the p.d.f. (=probability density function) of the experiment outcome.
It is the aleatoric kind of uncertainty - we know the statistics, the counts, but not what which one outcome is going to be.
Ideology is unknown-knowns (other quadrants being known-knowns, known-unknowns, unknown-unknowns) saw it on a Zizek GoogleTalk some time ago. And made sense to me. Ideology is that what we know unconsciously, and governs our lives, without us explicitly knowing consciously. What water is to fish, that ideology is to humans. It works, shapes our lives, even if we don't know it or acknowledge it explicitly.
Ljubomir Josifovski 5m
Good to read others view on this. I find 5 too odd a number, have personally stuck with the 4 basic ones over the years.
The 4 quadrants being:
1) "Known knowns" - deterministic knowledge, I know exactly which one. (and so how many of each too, by implication.) The conditional p.d.f. collapses into a Dirac delta function.
2) "Known unknowns" - probabilistic knowledge, I don't know which ones exactly, but I know the counts per type, I know the p.d.f, so I know the distribution of outcomes. Risk people call it Aleatoric uncertainty. The conditional p.d.f. is wider than a Dirac delta. (so not deterministic case #1)
3) "Unknown unknowns" - I don't know the distribution, I can't enumerate all possibilities, have no idea about the p.d.f, anything goes. Risk people call it Epistemic uncertainty.
4) "Unknown knowns" - my own ideology. Like fish that can't perceive water. I'm blind to my prejudices. I run or I'm run as per the p.d.f. as if I know it, but I don't consciously know it. If asked about it - I will probably deny it’s existance.
To the best of my knowledge, we have 2 types of knowledge about the outcome of (repeated) experiment(s):
(a) We know what will happen and when it will happen in each experiment. This is non-probabilistic, deterministic knowledge. This is a special case of the case-b below with the p.d.f. being a Dirac impulse function.
(b) We know the possible outcomes, we know how many of each will happen if we do 100 experiments, but for each 1 experiment, we can't tell the outcome. This is probabilistic knowledge where we know the p.d.f. (=probability density function) of the experiment outcome.
It is the aleatoric kind of uncertainty - we know the statistics, the counts, but not what which one outcome is going to be.
Ideology is unknown-knowns (other quadrants being known-knowns, known-unknowns, unknown-unknowns) saw it on a Zizek GoogleTalk some time ago. And made sense to me. Ideology is that what we know unconsciously, and governs our lives, without us explicitly knowing consciously. What water is to fish, that ideology is to humans. It works, shapes our lives, even if we don't know it or acknowledge it explicitly.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-120485928
Ljubomir Josifovski 3h
I like them both. They are both good for different reasons, as your say. I was a solo quant trader on the trading floor of Credit Suisse at Canary Wharf all through GFC’08. Traded through it all. There were few memorable moments, looking back. Now mostly forgotten. “Like tears in the rain“ quality to that. :-) Then as it was happening didn't think much of it. It's instructive how differing the views of history are when looking back, v.s. looking forward. In quant trading we are obsessed with history for technical reasons, for reasons of strategy and trading, which adds another layer to memories.
Ljubomir Josifovski 3h
I like them both. They are both good for different reasons, as your say. I was a solo quant trader on the trading floor of Credit Suisse at Canary Wharf all through GFC’08. Traded through it all. There were few memorable moments, looking back. Now mostly forgotten. “Like tears in the rain“ quality to that. :-) Then as it was happening didn't think much of it. It's instructive how differing the views of history are when looking back, v.s. looking forward. In quant trading we are obsessed with history for technical reasons, for reasons of strategy and trading, which adds another layer to memories.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-120158709?
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
Current AI-s have known faults, they are probably at their versions 2 Re: the architecture. (with the thinking; the initial were v1) The end result is their IQ is not that high. They would need to be much much smarter than they are now, to “connect the dots” that are far away and non-obvious.
Afaics that’s happening rn, and expect them to become become better given the amount of work and the number and quality of people that are putting the work. Just listened to this gem of a talk
…and looking at that, and things even I an amateur notice merely advertised on X by their authors - seems to me there tons of low hanging fruit to be picked still.
The stuff you mention - to be on an extreme end of the distribution, (e.g. true that 99.9% of radical new science is crankery; but 100% of radical new and true, comes from the 0.1% radical that turns out to not be false) - is afaik not that hard to implement. It’s actually implemented it can’t be avoided - it’s the hallucinations people often complain about.
Ljubomir Josifovski 1m
Current AI-s have known faults, they are probably at their versions 2 Re: the architecture. (with the thinking; the initial were v1) The end result is their IQ is not that high. They would need to be much much smarter than they are now, to “connect the dots” that are far away and non-obvious.
Afaics that’s happening rn, and expect them to become become better given the amount of work and the number and quality of people that are putting the work. Just listened to this gem of a talk
…and looking at that, and things even I an amateur notice merely advertised on X by their authors - seems to me there tons of low hanging fruit to be picked still.
The stuff you mention - to be on an extreme end of the distribution, (e.g. true that 99.9% of radical new science is crankery; but 100% of radical new and true, comes from the 0.1% radical that turns out to not be false) - is afaik not that hard to implement. It’s actually implemented it can’t be avoided - it’s the hallucinations people often complain about.
https://turbulence.substack.com/p/the-past-is-a-memory-of-the-future/comment/119909390
Ljubomir Josifovski 7m
Hi, I liked reading that - thanks for writing.
So that's on one end on the poetic-prosaic scale. :-) On the other end, on the mechanistic pedestrian end if you like, looks to me this is what one can say about time.
Time is a moving Now barrier. Now is the point that separates my feature vector (X,Y) into the Past X, and the Future Y. All my knowledge about (X,Y) is captured by their joint distribution, density f_{X,Y}(x,y). (alt could be the cumulative c.d.f. F_{X,Y}(x,y) too)
Any p.d.f. of the past marginal f_X(x) or conditional f_{X|Y}(x|y) is always a Dirac Delta impulse. The past is always certain, having already happened, the uncertainty is 0%. Maybe one can even define the past as "that what is known with 100% certainty."
Any p.d.f. of the marginal future f_Y(y) or conditional f_{Y|X}(y|x) is never a Dirac Delta impulse. The future is always uncertain, it's never 100% certain. Maybe one can even define the future as "that what can't be known with 100% certainty."
This in a view on the world that is bare-bones simplest I can think of. In my Machine Learning (ML) view on things, everything that can ever be known about (X,Y) is a p.d.f. over (X,Y). I just count the co-occurrences of (X,Y), at the most general. Ofc if I know of some structure in the relations (X,Y), than I can do better. But failing that - just the co-counts of observations is all there is.
Learning is acquiring a joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y) where previously we lacked one. Figuring out "what" (the X and the Y; qualities), and "how many" of them (the counts; quantities), but not necessarily "which one" in general. The latter - "which one" is deterministic knowledge when the p.d.f. is collapsed into a Dirac Delta impulse.
The (X,Y) are qualities we care about, a general N-dimensional feature vector. Time is special dimension in which the counting occurs. It's a feature of our real world that the time dimension is special. But otherwise for the mechanical calculations - it's just another dimension.
Computing is taking our knowledge, the learned p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y) we got, and manipulating that p.d.f, transforming it into another function. Transforming the joint into new p.d.f.s, either by marginalisation to get to f_X(x) and f_Y(y) marginal p.d.f.s, or by conditioning to get to a conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y|x). These new p.d.f.s then tell us something about Y usually that we care about but we can't observe, having observed X that is easy for us to observe, but we don't care much about.
Ljubomir Josifovski 7m
Hi, I liked reading that - thanks for writing.
So that's on one end on the poetic-prosaic scale. :-) On the other end, on the mechanistic pedestrian end if you like, looks to me this is what one can say about time.
Time is a moving Now barrier. Now is the point that separates my feature vector (X,Y) into the Past X, and the Future Y. All my knowledge about (X,Y) is captured by their joint distribution, density f_{X,Y}(x,y). (alt could be the cumulative c.d.f. F_{X,Y}(x,y) too)
Any p.d.f. of the past marginal f_X(x) or conditional f_{X|Y}(x|y) is always a Dirac Delta impulse. The past is always certain, having already happened, the uncertainty is 0%. Maybe one can even define the past as "that what is known with 100% certainty."
Any p.d.f. of the marginal future f_Y(y) or conditional f_{Y|X}(y|x) is never a Dirac Delta impulse. The future is always uncertain, it's never 100% certain. Maybe one can even define the future as "that what can't be known with 100% certainty."
This in a view on the world that is bare-bones simplest I can think of. In my Machine Learning (ML) view on things, everything that can ever be known about (X,Y) is a p.d.f. over (X,Y). I just count the co-occurrences of (X,Y), at the most general. Ofc if I know of some structure in the relations (X,Y), than I can do better. But failing that - just the co-counts of observations is all there is.
Learning is acquiring a joint p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y) where previously we lacked one. Figuring out "what" (the X and the Y; qualities), and "how many" of them (the counts; quantities), but not necessarily "which one" in general. The latter - "which one" is deterministic knowledge when the p.d.f. is collapsed into a Dirac Delta impulse.
The (X,Y) are qualities we care about, a general N-dimensional feature vector. Time is special dimension in which the counting occurs. It's a feature of our real world that the time dimension is special. But otherwise for the mechanical calculations - it's just another dimension.
Computing is taking our knowledge, the learned p.d.f. f_{X,Y}(x,y) we got, and manipulating that p.d.f, transforming it into another function. Transforming the joint into new p.d.f.s, either by marginalisation to get to f_X(x) and f_Y(y) marginal p.d.f.s, or by conditioning to get to a conditional p.d.f. f_{Y|X}(y|x). These new p.d.f.s then tell us something about Y usually that we care about but we can't observe, having observed X that is easy for us to observe, but we don't care much about.
https://blog.ai-futures.org/p/make-the-prompt-public/comment/118086042
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
Good that they made the prompt public. "Safety by secrecy" is even dumber than the "security by secrecy" of the crypto wars of the past. Silver linings - provides for good comedy material for the likes of @elder_plinius Pliny the Liberator. 🐉󠅫󠄼󠄿󠅆󠄵󠄐󠅀󠄼󠄹󠄾󠅉󠅭 (good stuff 😁 )
But by Jove are you unable to get over yourselves with toddler takes -
> In the future, they might want to go further and guarantee the AI doesn’t teach some especially secret or powerful bomb-making technique.
No less, but - **guarantee** !! Whoa. Well - let's put this out gentleman: **guarantee** might not be possible. And further, that impossibility might be for the better rather than worse. 😇
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
Good that they made the prompt public. "Safety by secrecy" is even dumber than the "security by secrecy" of the crypto wars of the past. Silver linings - provides for good comedy material for the likes of @elder_plinius Pliny the Liberator. 🐉󠅫󠄼󠄿󠅆󠄵󠄐󠅀󠄼󠄹󠄾󠅉󠅭 (good stuff 😁 )
But by Jove are you unable to get over yourselves with toddler takes -
> In the future, they might want to go further and guarantee the AI doesn’t teach some especially secret or powerful bomb-making technique.
No less, but - **guarantee** !! Whoa. Well - let's put this out gentleman: **guarantee** might not be possible. And further, that impossibility might be for the better rather than worse. 😇
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-113279194
Ljubomir Josifovski 5m
Thanks - will have a read. Trade secrets readings - I’m sorry I don’t have any texts to read. I’m based in the UK where I think the trade secrets laws are non-trivial, secrets get significant protections in the UK laws. I’m in a notoriously secretive industry (quantitive trading) but only have 2nd hand experience. (ex-colleagues being sued pursued by and owner of the ex-firm after they left as a group and started their own trading place) With patents I’ve got 1st hand experience: worked in an industrial lab in industry where patents are used (computer technology), got a patent myself, went through the whole process. (partly I was expected to; partly I wanted to learn)
Ljubomir Josifovski 5m
Thanks - will have a read. Trade secrets readings - I’m sorry I don’t have any texts to read. I’m based in the UK where I think the trade secrets laws are non-trivial, secrets get significant protections in the UK laws. I’m in a notoriously secretive industry (quantitive trading) but only have 2nd hand experience. (ex-colleagues being sued pursued by and owner of the ex-firm after they left as a group and started their own trading place) With patents I’ve got 1st hand experience: worked in an industrial lab in industry where patents are used (computer technology), got a patent myself, went through the whole process. (partly I was expected to; partly I wanted to learn)
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-113243267
Ljubomir Josifovski 30 Apr
+1 There, you have a convert to your argument. :-) Even if one already of the opinion that your hypothesis is the most plausible of all competing ones. (so not that much of a convert ;-) )
Fyi there exists an obscure '90s book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women") arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike many other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction (so not talking about intra-sex competition), is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one of us individually.)
Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks in the intervening decades since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil.
Ljubomir Josifovski 30 Apr
+1 There, you have a convert to your argument. :-) Even if one already of the opinion that your hypothesis is the most plausible of all competing ones. (so not that much of a convert ;-) )
Fyi there exists an obscure '90s book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women") arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike many other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction (so not talking about intra-sex competition), is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one of us individually.)
Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks in the intervening decades since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil.
https://substack.com/@jklund/note/c-112613632
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-113242398
Ljubomir Josifovski 30 Apr
Interesting! Looking forward to reading and learning more. For I have opinions on this. :-)
The current IP laws encompass: Patents, Trade Secrets, Copyright, Trademarks.
Patents. Have got some experience with patents in industrial R&Ds. On balance I thinks they detract from, rather than add to, acquisition and spread of human knowledge. I think Patents should be deleted.
Trade Secrets. Weaken this protection too. At most it should be a private matter, not involving the State as much as now. Some protections restrictions here are also already provided by other laws.
Copyright. Find other ways to compensate and incentivise creators, help them make a living. Address the distribution mostly - it's very much "winner takes all" as is nature of their creations consumption. A Hollywood star can survive with 2 villas about the same as with 10. Then delete copyright.
The motivation is ASI opportunity cost. Imagine 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect. Gains like—humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too. (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets up looking like stone age tools)
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Richard Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any and all obstacles on that path.
Having said that: this may not be necessary. Human intellectual works was a bootstrap to the AIs, but that's already done. We would need to wait for another 100K years of civilisations for another body of human works to be created, for Copyright to make a difference. Currently AIs are being embodied already, and will start generating their own intellectual works with a feedback loop from the real world. They will generate their own Data to feed into their RL learning pipelines. Copyright if applying to human creations only maybe moot, inconsequential. (except—AIs lacking ownership, the new Data generated atm will be monopolised again by theirs human owners; but leaving that aside now)
Trademarks. That seems fine to me. Maybe even strengthen them! Have every human get their own Trademark (e.g. IRL name, picture, voice-print) as default. (like how Copyright atm protects, monopolises, as default, what I write now) Further, impose on AIs duty to identify as AIs in their interactions with humans HIs, but also other AIs. Clamp down on impersonations, discourage deception when interacting with one another. Both AIs and HIs are collectively better off in aggregate if they know correctly what kind of entity is on the other end of the interaction - AI or HI.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-113242398
Ljubomir Josifovski 30 Apr
Interesting! Looking forward to reading and learning more. For I have opinions on this. :-)
The current IP laws encompass: Patents, Trade Secrets, Copyright, Trademarks.
Patents. Have got some experience with patents in industrial R&Ds. On balance I thinks they detract from, rather than add to, acquisition and spread of human knowledge. I think Patents should be deleted.
Trade Secrets. Weaken this protection too. At most it should be a private matter, not involving the State as much as now. Some protections restrictions here are also already provided by other laws.
Copyright. Find other ways to compensate and incentivise creators, help them make a living. Address the distribution mostly - it's very much "winner takes all" as is nature of their creations consumption. A Hollywood star can survive with 2 villas about the same as with 10. Then delete copyright.
The motivation is ASI opportunity cost. Imagine 2050s Intelligence Revolution multiplies by another x10-20x times factor, the total human goodness and wealth as value. Like the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s previously with mechanical machines amplifying human labour. Now AI machines amplify human intellect. Gains like—humanity cures not only all cancers, but all illnesses too. (e.g. nano-bots boosting body self-help self-healing by x10-20x times). Or—humanity making progress tricking, manipulating and controlling gravity, one-upping Newton finally after all these centuries of little progress! (pathetic chemical bombs currently propelling SpaceX rockets up looking like stone age tools)
If that's the prize—then zero IP restrictions are warranted in my mind. Accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Richard Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. Remove any and all obstacles on that path.
Having said that: this may not be necessary. Human intellectual works was a bootstrap to the AIs, but that's already done. We would need to wait for another 100K years of civilisations for another body of human works to be created, for Copyright to make a difference. Currently AIs are being embodied already, and will start generating their own intellectual works with a feedback loop from the real world. They will generate their own Data to feed into their RL learning pipelines. Copyright if applying to human creations only maybe moot, inconsequential. (except—AIs lacking ownership, the new Data generated atm will be monopolised again by theirs human owners; but leaving that aside now)
Trademarks. That seems fine to me. Maybe even strengthen them! Have every human get their own Trademark (e.g. IRL name, picture, voice-print) as default. (like how Copyright atm protects, monopolises, as default, what I write now) Further, impose on AIs duty to identify as AIs in their interactions with humans HIs, but also other AIs. Clamp down on impersonations, discourage deception when interacting with one another. Both AIs and HIs are collectively better off in aggregate if they know correctly what kind of entity is on the other end of the interaction - AI or HI.
https://open.substack.com/pub/ljubomirjosifovski/p/open-source-open-weights-open-thoughts
https://ljubomirjosifovski.substack.com/publish/post/162387762
Ljubomir Josifovski Apr 29, 2025
Open Source, Open Weights, Open Thoughts, Open Actions, Open AI Computation for ...AGI ...ASI
Open Everything AI is better because it is safer. (OpenAI has not been Open for a while now.)
Three things happened in the last 2-3 days that finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and write a rant about “the intolerable state of affairs in certain corners of the universe that have come to my attention”.
Event #2
Yesterday I read @geoffreyhinton posting (link https://x.com/geoffreyhinton/status/1916916200442912980) of him signing an open letter “Not For Private Gain” (https://notforprivategain.org/) opposing “OpenAI’s proposed restructuring that would transfer control of the development and deployment of artificial general intelligence (AGI) from a nonprofit charity to a for-profit enterprise.”
I am a fan of Hinton, and like almost everything he does publicising AI. AI that has burst into our lives in the past few years in its current incarnation of Large Language Models (LLMs). They are in turn giant multi-layered Neural Networks (NNs), an instance of Parallel Distributed Processing (PDP) type of computing. PDP I first learned about as undergraduate student around 1990, from a tatty copy of a book of the same name, specifically Volume 1 titled “Explorations in the Microstructure of Cognition: Foundations“ (link https://dl.acm.org/doi/book/10.5555/104279), where Hinton was a contributor. (as part of the PDP Research Group, I presume.)
It caught my attention, that Hinton was in favour of Open not Closed AI with him signing the letter. I like this stance, and commend him for it. But otherwise, he has been a vocal opponent of Open Weights for LLM-s. (from the very first Llama-s) Latest I watched him talk the day before on CBS Mornings `Full interview: "Godfather of AI" shares prediction for future of AI, issues warnings`. (link www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyH3NxFz3Aw)
I think his stance is inconsistent. So I dared post a comment (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916936847823147079) on his post (this and other comments lightly edited for spelling and typing mistakes; will AI solve this bugbear release us from this torment in my lifetime, I wonder):
`You are right there. It would be for the better, if OpenAI stays non-profit, and true to the original intentions and ideas. At least that—given that it's not Open-anything for some time now. But then I struggle to reconcile this stance, with your opposition to Open Weights. I find them taken jointly together incoherent. For—you advocate against Open Weights.
How can Little people like I, reduce power imbalance I suffer v.v. Big Business and Big Government, (they wield much power over me; I wield little power over them) without Open AI (open source, open weights) running on my PC, on my localhost? How can minority groups (e.g. in China-you mentioned in an interview) oppressed by Big government (e.g. China gov) have any hope of resisting back, without those minority groups, having access to Open AI? For neither I nor they, we have not got any hope, developing our own foundational models.
You yourself used free and open software all your life. From unix/linux and python to everything else. You didn't contribute much back I presume. Like 99.9% of us—we use free and open software, benefit from it, and contribute almost zero back. And that's fine, that's ok. For if there was expectation of a "pay back" (in any shape or form)—the software is not be free. Would be software that is to be paid back—even if in kind, even if not contractual but socially expected. So I don't see how "people contribute back to software, but don't to weights" is any kind of rational argument against Open weights.
In your AI catastrophizing—are you sure you are not anthropomorphizing AI? Just b/c humans are terrible and do horrific things to each other, and other species, does not mean AI-s will do the same. (doesn't mean they won't either) One could equally say: humanity is doomed without AI. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or would maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? After all-ChatGPT is the best summary the best reflection we got of us atm. (even if more in width than in depth—for the time being.) Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/think/research ones??
We humans have form thinking "we are special". First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Collectively we are slow learners, with big egos. 😈 (true individually every human is one and unique—but so is/was every creature alive.)’
[[[ The rest of the comment is on another clip I saw if him (link ), extolling socialism as solution to… something(?), that also annoyed me somewhat:
`And on socialism being an answer to anything—you are empirically wrong. An experiment was run, and often a controlled experiment—two Koreas, two Germanies. Socialism was tried in varying time periods, differing geographies, climates, continents, diverse cultures—and it failed without exception, it failed catastrophically and universally. So it's not only that I got a personal experience. (I grew up in a late socialist country.) And saying "socialism in an answer"—with a Stalinist in family?? I struggle to comprehend. We are talking about tens of millions of people—dead. Let us not LARP about that, Musk-style.
Seek further afield for a response to the current crisis of liberalism. The question of "What is to be done now" is perennial - it's not only of our current modern times. Socialism is unlikely to be the answer to anything. Resist nature there, nudging you towards becoming your old man in your old age!’
The last paras on socialism are another thing I find his stance and ideas baffling, ngl.
For ideology or that kind of political philosophy I much better rate his Canadian co-resident Richard Sutton (the Reinforcement Learning dude, of “The Bitter Lesson”-fame). I like his libertarianism of kind.
Can’t help but wonder if Hinton AI doomerism (fear at AI taking over, the horror of that driving him?), and his belief in Big Business (no to Open Wights), and in Big State (socialism), are all related. It strikes me tad impertinent, unwarranted. I personally find Moravec view of AI being `our progeny, our "mind children" built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form’ more appealing to my sensibilities ]]]
This was second event on this topic in two days to catch my attention. The initial one being:
Event #1
Previously Rohit Krishnan publicised in “Deplatforming: AI edition“ how he was banned from using OpenAI and lost access to his AI-s, probably in error. (link https://substack.com/home/post/p-162150633; rectified resolved since, him got his access back).
This is something that I have come to be concerned enough with, so to notice. So I commented (link https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-112312693) on it:
`Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself, is the only way to go about what happened to you. What is on display is they have a lot of power over you. And you have little power over them. This is the reason I'm loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. 🥰
Privacy reasons will be mentioned in some form. IMO again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book on this is "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer Weigend (and early Amazon C.O). Was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicted well our current data landscape.
I don't care about privacy, because when done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
I think we better accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. And remove any and all obstacles on that path, the first one being restrictions on data copying. AI may seem risky, but I think not-AI is magnitudes riskier.’
And to top it off, and what finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and rant early next morning, was someone extolling the virtues of AI doomers!? (where I think they have made things worse for us all.)
Event #3
True that the safety researchers were afraid of these things (link https://x.com/deedydas/status/1916881773885358107) -
`“OpenAI is psychologically manipulating their users via ChatGPT” Consumer AI will necessarily gravitate towards maximizing user engagement across ~1B users over any other goal. We’ve seen this story before with social media.
This is what the “safety” researchers were afraid of.’
To which by that time fully triggered I opined (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916960339394003361):
"Safety" "researchers" were afraid of Big Business manipulating us for farming engagement, and their solution was "let's deliver the plebeians to Big Government, in addition to Big Business"? Really?? Can't decide if the dumdums (they are not researchers, and not security—their work made me less, not more secure) are more stupid, or more evil. For there exists a solution, that empowers Small people - us! - against Big Business *and* Big Government, has been known for decades... It's Free and Open Software, and in the AI age, it's equivalent is - Open Weights. Free Open software - like Linux, GNU, etc - powered the Internet revolution. Earlier less-ideologically articulate incantations (e.g. share-ware, free-ware) even the Personal Computers revolution. Looking like that will continue with Open Weights in the AI revolution ongoing now—good, great! But not thanks to the people you mention. They failed, and miserably so. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals [[[ link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERj3QeGw9Ok ]]] comes to mind. Sadly, we have come to expect such fails. A cast of unlikely characters came together to the rescue. First the arch-villain Zuck of the FB infamy with Llama broke the ice. Then the window opened with models made-in-China! Ha!-fitting that, for our day and age. The dam bursts finally irrevocably with @deepseek_ai, hedge fund quants turned punks in spirit, 😻 releasing not only their models weights, but also their RL algo, and infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there ngl.
Rant over. Hopefully an exercise not to be repeated soon. Aside: I wish everyone in their own lives, are lucky enough to reach old ripe age of “no f*cks given”; it-is-glorious! 😇
https://ljubomirjosifovski.substack.com/publish/post/162387762
Ljubomir Josifovski Apr 29, 2025
Open Source, Open Weights, Open Thoughts, Open Actions, Open AI Computation for ...AGI ...ASI
Open Everything AI is better because it is safer. (OpenAI has not been Open for a while now.)
Three things happened in the last 2-3 days that finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and write a rant about “the intolerable state of affairs in certain corners of the universe that have come to my attention”.
Event #2
Yesterday I read @geoffreyhinton posting (link https://x.com/geoffreyhinton/status/1916916200442912980) of him signing an open letter “Not For Private Gain” (https://notforprivategain.org/) opposing “OpenAI’s proposed restructuring that would transfer control of the development and deployment of artificial general intelligence (AGI) from a nonprofit charity to a for-profit enterprise.”
I am a fan of Hinton, and like almost everything he does publicising AI. AI that has burst into our lives in the past few years in its current incarnation of Large Language Models (LLMs). They are in turn giant multi-layered Neural Networks (NNs), an instance of Parallel Distributed Processing (PDP) type of computing. PDP I first learned about as undergraduate student around 1990, from a tatty copy of a book of the same name, specifically Volume 1 titled “Explorations in the Microstructure of Cognition: Foundations“ (link https://dl.acm.org/doi/book/10.5555/104279), where Hinton was a contributor. (as part of the PDP Research Group, I presume.)
It caught my attention, that Hinton was in favour of Open not Closed AI with him signing the letter. I like this stance, and commend him for it. But otherwise, he has been a vocal opponent of Open Weights for LLM-s. (from the very first Llama-s) Latest I watched him talk the day before on CBS Mornings `Full interview: "Godfather of AI" shares prediction for future of AI, issues warnings`. (link www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyH3NxFz3Aw)
I think his stance is inconsistent. So I dared post a comment (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916936847823147079) on his post (this and other comments lightly edited for spelling and typing mistakes; will AI solve this bugbear release us from this torment in my lifetime, I wonder):
`You are right there. It would be for the better, if OpenAI stays non-profit, and true to the original intentions and ideas. At least that—given that it's not Open-anything for some time now. But then I struggle to reconcile this stance, with your opposition to Open Weights. I find them taken jointly together incoherent. For—you advocate against Open Weights.
How can Little people like I, reduce power imbalance I suffer v.v. Big Business and Big Government, (they wield much power over me; I wield little power over them) without Open AI (open source, open weights) running on my PC, on my localhost? How can minority groups (e.g. in China-you mentioned in an interview) oppressed by Big government (e.g. China gov) have any hope of resisting back, without those minority groups, having access to Open AI? For neither I nor they, we have not got any hope, developing our own foundational models.
You yourself used free and open software all your life. From unix/linux and python to everything else. You didn't contribute much back I presume. Like 99.9% of us—we use free and open software, benefit from it, and contribute almost zero back. And that's fine, that's ok. For if there was expectation of a "pay back" (in any shape or form)—the software is not be free. Would be software that is to be paid back—even if in kind, even if not contractual but socially expected. So I don't see how "people contribute back to software, but don't to weights" is any kind of rational argument against Open weights.
In your AI catastrophizing—are you sure you are not anthropomorphizing AI? Just b/c humans are terrible and do horrific things to each other, and other species, does not mean AI-s will do the same. (doesn't mean they won't either) One could equally say: humanity is doomed without AI. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or would maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? After all-ChatGPT is the best summary the best reflection we got of us atm. (even if more in width than in depth—for the time being.) Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/think/research ones??
We humans have form thinking "we are special". First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Collectively we are slow learners, with big egos. 😈 (true individually every human is one and unique—but so is/was every creature alive.)’
[[[ The rest of the comment is on another clip I saw if him (link ), extolling socialism as solution to… something(?), that also annoyed me somewhat:
`And on socialism being an answer to anything—you are empirically wrong. An experiment was run, and often a controlled experiment—two Koreas, two Germanies. Socialism was tried in varying time periods, differing geographies, climates, continents, diverse cultures—and it failed without exception, it failed catastrophically and universally. So it's not only that I got a personal experience. (I grew up in a late socialist country.) And saying "socialism in an answer"—with a Stalinist in family?? I struggle to comprehend. We are talking about tens of millions of people—dead. Let us not LARP about that, Musk-style.
Seek further afield for a response to the current crisis of liberalism. The question of "What is to be done now" is perennial - it's not only of our current modern times. Socialism is unlikely to be the answer to anything. Resist nature there, nudging you towards becoming your old man in your old age!’
The last paras on socialism are another thing I find his stance and ideas baffling, ngl.
For ideology or that kind of political philosophy I much better rate his Canadian co-resident Richard Sutton (the Reinforcement Learning dude, of “The Bitter Lesson”-fame). I like his libertarianism of kind.
Can’t help but wonder if Hinton AI doomerism (fear at AI taking over, the horror of that driving him?), and his belief in Big Business (no to Open Wights), and in Big State (socialism), are all related. It strikes me tad impertinent, unwarranted. I personally find Moravec view of AI being `our progeny, our "mind children" built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form’ more appealing to my sensibilities ]]]
This was second event on this topic in two days to catch my attention. The initial one being:
Event #1
Previously Rohit Krishnan publicised in “Deplatforming: AI edition“ how he was banned from using OpenAI and lost access to his AI-s, probably in error. (link https://substack.com/home/post/p-162150633; rectified resolved since, him got his access back).
This is something that I have come to be concerned enough with, so to notice. So I commented (link https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-112312693) on it:
`Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself, is the only way to go about what happened to you. What is on display is they have a lot of power over you. And you have little power over them. This is the reason I'm loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. 🥰
Privacy reasons will be mentioned in some form. IMO again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book on this is "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer Weigend (and early Amazon C.O). Was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicted well our current data landscape.
I don't care about privacy, because when done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
I think we better accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. And remove any and all obstacles on that path, the first one being restrictions on data copying. AI may seem risky, but I think not-AI is magnitudes riskier.’
And to top it off, and what finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and rant early next morning, was someone extolling the virtues of AI doomers!? (where I think they have made things worse for us all.)
Event #3
True that the safety researchers were afraid of these things (link https://x.com/deedydas/status/1916881773885358107) -
`“OpenAI is psychologically manipulating their users via ChatGPT” Consumer AI will necessarily gravitate towards maximizing user engagement across ~1B users over any other goal. We’ve seen this story before with social media.
This is what the “safety” researchers were afraid of.’
To which by that time fully triggered I opined (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916960339394003361):
"Safety" "researchers" were afraid of Big Business manipulating us for farming engagement, and their solution was "let's deliver the plebeians to Big Government, in addition to Big Business"? Really?? Can't decide if the dumdums (they are not researchers, and not security—their work made me less, not more secure) are more stupid, or more evil. For there exists a solution, that empowers Small people - us! - against Big Business *and* Big Government, has been known for decades... It's Free and Open Software, and in the AI age, it's equivalent is - Open Weights. Free Open software - like Linux, GNU, etc - powered the Internet revolution. Earlier less-ideologically articulate incantations (e.g. share-ware, free-ware) even the Personal Computers revolution. Looking like that will continue with Open Weights in the AI revolution ongoing now—good, great! But not thanks to the people you mention. They failed, and miserably so. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals [[[ link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERj3QeGw9Ok ]]] comes to mind. Sadly, we have come to expect such fails. A cast of unlikely characters came together to the rescue. First the arch-villain Zuck of the FB infamy with Llama broke the ice. Then the window opened with models made-in-China! Ha!-fitting that, for our day and age. The dam bursts finally irrevocably with @deepseek_ai, hedge fund quants turned punks in spirit, 😻 releasing not only their models weights, but also their RL algo, and infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there ngl.
Rant over. Hopefully an exercise not to be repeated soon. Aside: I wish everyone in their own lives, are lucky enough to reach old ripe age of “no f*cks given”; it-is-glorious! 😇
https://www.strangeloopcanon.com/p/deplatforming-ai-edition/comment/112312697
Ljubomir Josifovski 26 Apr
Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself, is the only way to go about what happened to you. What is on display is they have a lot of power over you. And you have little power over them. This is the reason I'm loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. 🥰
Privacy reasons will be mentioned in some form. IMO again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book on this is "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer Weigend (and early Amazon C.O). Was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicted well our current data landscape.
I don't care about privacy, because when done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
I think we better accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. And remove any and all obstacles on that path, the first one being restrictions on data copying. AI may seem risky, but I think not-AI is magnitudes riskier.
Ljubomir Josifovski 26 Apr
Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself, is the only way to go about what happened to you. What is on display is they have a lot of power over you. And you have little power over them. This is the reason I'm loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. 🥰
Privacy reasons will be mentioned in some form. IMO again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book on this is "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer Weigend (and early Amazon C.O). Was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicted well our current data landscape.
I don't care about privacy, because when done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
I think we better accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. And remove any and all obstacles on that path, the first one being restrictions on data copying. AI may seem risky, but I think not-AI is magnitudes riskier.
https://www.writingruxandrabio.com/p/scott-alexander-was-right-doubling/comment/110595624
Ljubomir Josifovski 20 Apr
However much touching and endearing all yours self-reflections are, in the real world: none of the above made the change fr. We only got to know these characters, because things happened, independent of them, that brought their past ideas forth. For better or worse ideas are not that strong on their own. True that when crisis happens—people in power look at ideas lying around nearby for answers to the perennial Q: "what is to be done now?"
Liberalism is losing ground b/c it stopped delivering betterment to the material means of the population in median. I’m a liberal myself by ideology. As in—on the multitude of axis of difference, I value the human liberty axis the most, I put most weight next to it.
Having said that—I’m cognisant that societal survival is #1, and everything else is optional. For something to be good, it needs to exist in the 1st instance. The converse is not true: many things exist, that are not great, or even good. I like how liberal UK (where I live) is, that’s why I moved and stayed in the UK. (among other things.) Oft times, I think liberals are their worst enemies. I put it down to them not experiencing crash and burn of an ideology they know and a system implementing it they grew up in. I in my youth experienced communism/socialism I grew up in crash/burn. That was a useful life lesson, even if not a pleasant one entirely.
The free trade conundrum is the latest example of this. I'm for free trade, but recognise the failure modes. Even if on average a country as a whole benefits, there will be winners and losers. And some of the losers, will be better off under no-free trade, than under free trade. In democracy, (however much flawed,) the system is still more of one-person one vote, then one-USD$ one vote. Wrote few short thoughts here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908090542015029756. Previously there was the inexplicably cowardly behaviour about sex/biology that FT’s Ganesh wrote at some point, referenced here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853100729516388815. Can’t be bothered to search for more, there have been more than few instances like that. When things are going well and your way for a time, at some point it becomes more by luck, inertia rather than by merit that you win. Baggage, ballast, past sins and indiscretions, accumulate.
Too much comfortable pearl clutching, and not enough of “ B U T I S I T T R U E ” imo. Expect at some point the climate change scandal past sins will also come back to bit liberals in the backside. (when the world does not come to an end in 2050; we neither burn, nor drown; but plenty green abound around) Ukrainians are about the only liberals left with a fire in their bellies of the “Give me Freedom or Give me Death” persuasion it seems to me. Most liberals are more of the "anything goes as long as comfy" opportunistic fellow travellers, fair sailing only friends.
Possibly I only notice this b/c in my native land, we only got national liberation late in the 20-th Century, and with the very same slogan. (“==Sloboda ili smrt”; liberation not in abstract sense, but very concrete one as having letters created like those I'm writing with now, that make it possible for fellow natives to write down their thoughts as they pop in their heads as they do in mine rn, in the language they know for their moms taught them of.) Plus the national anthem exclaims "Freedom" 3 times :-) in the 4 important stanzas (first 2 + 2 last), all the while allotting zero mentions to class struggles etc. (even if one’d expect some be important enough to get a mention in an ostensibly communist revolution, haha)
Ljubomir Josifovski 20 Apr
However much touching and endearing all yours self-reflections are, in the real world: none of the above made the change fr. We only got to know these characters, because things happened, independent of them, that brought their past ideas forth. For better or worse ideas are not that strong on their own. True that when crisis happens—people in power look at ideas lying around nearby for answers to the perennial Q: "what is to be done now?"
Liberalism is losing ground b/c it stopped delivering betterment to the material means of the population in median. I’m a liberal myself by ideology. As in—on the multitude of axis of difference, I value the human liberty axis the most, I put most weight next to it.
Having said that—I’m cognisant that societal survival is #1, and everything else is optional. For something to be good, it needs to exist in the 1st instance. The converse is not true: many things exist, that are not great, or even good. I like how liberal UK (where I live) is, that’s why I moved and stayed in the UK. (among other things.) Oft times, I think liberals are their worst enemies. I put it down to them not experiencing crash and burn of an ideology they know and a system implementing it they grew up in. I in my youth experienced communism/socialism I grew up in crash/burn. That was a useful life lesson, even if not a pleasant one entirely.
The free trade conundrum is the latest example of this. I'm for free trade, but recognise the failure modes. Even if on average a country as a whole benefits, there will be winners and losers. And some of the losers, will be better off under no-free trade, than under free trade. In democracy, (however much flawed,) the system is still more of one-person one vote, then one-USD$ one vote. Wrote few short thoughts here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908090542015029756. Previously there was the inexplicably cowardly behaviour about sex/biology that FT’s Ganesh wrote at some point, referenced here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853100729516388815. Can’t be bothered to search for more, there have been more than few instances like that. When things are going well and your way for a time, at some point it becomes more by luck, inertia rather than by merit that you win. Baggage, ballast, past sins and indiscretions, accumulate.
Too much comfortable pearl clutching, and not enough of “ B U T I S I T T R U E ” imo. Expect at some point the climate change scandal past sins will also come back to bit liberals in the backside. (when the world does not come to an end in 2050; we neither burn, nor drown; but plenty green abound around) Ukrainians are about the only liberals left with a fire in their bellies of the “Give me Freedom or Give me Death” persuasion it seems to me. Most liberals are more of the "anything goes as long as comfy" opportunistic fellow travellers, fair sailing only friends.
Possibly I only notice this b/c in my native land, we only got national liberation late in the 20-th Century, and with the very same slogan. (“==Sloboda ili smrt”; liberation not in abstract sense, but very concrete one as having letters created like those I'm writing with now, that make it possible for fellow natives to write down their thoughts as they pop in their heads as they do in mine rn, in the language they know for their moms taught them of.) Plus the national anthem exclaims "Freedom" 3 times :-) in the 4 important stanzas (first 2 + 2 last), all the while allotting zero mentions to class struggles etc. (even if one’d expect some be important enough to get a mention in an ostensibly communist revolution, haha)
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-110346966
Ljubomir Josifovski 19 Apr
Well–liberalism is losing ground b/c it stopped delivering betterment to the material means of the population. I’m a liberal myself by ideology. As in—on the multitude of axis of difference, I value the human liberty axis the most, I put most weight next to it.
Having said that—I’m cognisant that societal survival is #1, and everything else is optional. For something to be good, it needs to exist in the 1st instance. The converse is not true: many things exist, that are not great, or even good. I like how liberal UK is, that’s why I moved and stayed in the UK. (among other things.) Oft times, I think liberals are their worst enemies. I put it down to them not experiencing crash and burn of an ideology they know and a system implementing it they grew up in. I in my youth experienced communism/socialism I grew up in crash and burn. That was a useful life lesson, if not a pleasant one entirely.
The free trade conundrum is the latest example of this. I'm for it, but recognise the failure modes. Wrote few short thoughts here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908090542015029756. Previously there was the inexplicably cowardly behaviour about sex/biology that FT’s Ganesh wrote at some point, referenced here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853100729516388815. Can’t be bothered to search for more, there has been plenty. When things are going well and your way for a long time, at some point it becomes more by luck, inertion rather than by merit. Baggage, ballast, past sins and indiscretions, accumulate.
Too much comfortable pearl clutching, and not enough of “B U T I S I T T R U E”. At some point the climate change scandal past sins will also come back to bite us liberals in the backside. Ukrainians are the only liberals imo atm with a fire in their bellies of the “Give me freedom or give me death” persuasion tbh. Most of the rest—opportunistic fellow travellers, fair sailing only friends.
Possibly I only notice this b/c in my native lands, we only got national liberation late in the 20-th Century, and with the very same slogan. (“Sloboda ili smrt”; liberation not in some abstract philosophical sense, but very concrete as in: having letters like those I write in now, that will enable me to write my thoughts that come to me in my head in the language my mom taught me how to speak.) Plus the national anthem exclaims/mentions Freedom 3 times(!) in the 4 important stanzas (2 at start + 2 at end), all the while allotting zero mentions to class struggles or any such stuff. (one’d think ought to be important enough to get a mention, in an ostensibly communist revolution)
Ljubomir Josifovski 19 Apr
Well–liberalism is losing ground b/c it stopped delivering betterment to the material means of the population. I’m a liberal myself by ideology. As in—on the multitude of axis of difference, I value the human liberty axis the most, I put most weight next to it.
Having said that—I’m cognisant that societal survival is #1, and everything else is optional. For something to be good, it needs to exist in the 1st instance. The converse is not true: many things exist, that are not great, or even good. I like how liberal UK is, that’s why I moved and stayed in the UK. (among other things.) Oft times, I think liberals are their worst enemies. I put it down to them not experiencing crash and burn of an ideology they know and a system implementing it they grew up in. I in my youth experienced communism/socialism I grew up in crash and burn. That was a useful life lesson, if not a pleasant one entirely.
The free trade conundrum is the latest example of this. I'm for it, but recognise the failure modes. Wrote few short thoughts here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1908090542015029756. Previously there was the inexplicably cowardly behaviour about sex/biology that FT’s Ganesh wrote at some point, referenced here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853100729516388815. Can’t be bothered to search for more, there has been plenty. When things are going well and your way for a long time, at some point it becomes more by luck, inertion rather than by merit. Baggage, ballast, past sins and indiscretions, accumulate.
Too much comfortable pearl clutching, and not enough of “B U T I S I T T R U E”. At some point the climate change scandal past sins will also come back to bite us liberals in the backside. Ukrainians are the only liberals imo atm with a fire in their bellies of the “Give me freedom or give me death” persuasion tbh. Most of the rest—opportunistic fellow travellers, fair sailing only friends.
Possibly I only notice this b/c in my native lands, we only got national liberation late in the 20-th Century, and with the very same slogan. (“Sloboda ili smrt”; liberation not in some abstract philosophical sense, but very concrete as in: having letters like those I write in now, that will enable me to write my thoughts that come to me in my head in the language my mom taught me how to speak.) Plus the national anthem exclaims/mentions Freedom 3 times(!) in the 4 important stanzas (2 at start + 2 at end), all the while allotting zero mentions to class struggles or any such stuff. (one’d think ought to be important enough to get a mention, in an ostensibly communist revolution)
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-102476433
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
On the Dunning-Kruger Effect - have you seen
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation
economicsfromthetopdown…
? Whatever the arguments, the process where one puts random signal through the statistical pipeline, and one recovers at the tail end of it the D-K effect, seems pretty damning to my mind.
To be certain I'd have to replicate run the scripts myself. The author seems to me of the kind that does that already. Does his own replication, and publishes open source open data. Am not motivated enough to put the effort into this. But given you were motivated enough yourself to blog about it - maybe you will be less lazy than myself, replicate, and report what you find.
Thanks for writing on Substack for all of us to read. :-)
22 Mar at 12:58
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
On the Dunning-Kruger Effect - have you seen
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation
economicsfromthetopdown…
? Whatever the arguments, the process where one puts random signal through the statistical pipeline, and one recovers at the tail end of it the D-K effect, seems pretty damning to my mind.
To be certain I'd have to replicate run the scripts myself. The author seems to me of the kind that does that already. Does his own replication, and publishes open source open data. Am not motivated enough to put the effort into this. But given you were motivated enough yourself to blog about it - maybe you will be less lazy than myself, replicate, and report what you find.
Thanks for writing on Substack for all of us to read. :-)
22 Mar at 12:58
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-101204325
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
😂 Hahaha - true, true. Still - there are exceptions to every rule (even if only to confirm it, heh) In my high school that exception was the well liked by us pupils professor of philosophy Stefan Sidovski - Sido. (now passed) That I see peripkexity finds surprising amount about online?? (for a random figure, from an obscure place)
https://www.perplexity.ai/search/stefan-sidovski-MAX8wMg6TkqWXgDTCUnVDA#0
(Yay AI ,search & the Internet!! well done 👍)
Ljubomir Josifovski 7h
😂 Hahaha - true, true. Still - there are exceptions to every rule (even if only to confirm it, heh) In my high school that exception was the well liked by us pupils professor of philosophy Stefan Sidovski - Sido. (now passed) That I see peripkexity finds surprising amount about online?? (for a random figure, from an obscure place)
https://www.perplexity.ai/search/stefan-sidovski-MAX8wMg6TkqWXgDTCUnVDA#0
(Yay AI ,search & the Internet!! well done 👍)
https://vlatkovedral.substack.com/p/the-physics-of-consciousness/comment/101192063
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
These are my personal prejudices that I'll state without much referencing.
Consciousness, I have the impression—not unlike quantum-this-and-that—has almost spawned its own mini-industry, or at least an academic talking-circuit, with every incentive to mystify rather than explain, complicate rather than simplify, for us plebs. A free-for-all at the moment, as there seems to be little empirical evidence to clearly decide one way or another: which theories are falsified and can be discarded, and which we keep for another day.
The more I read, the more confused I become—not less. I'm not even sure if I fully understand whether there's actually some big problem that needs solving or some fundamental revelation we're missing. Yet, I've heard snippets of observations (maybe from Joscha Bach on YouTube? possibly multiple sources; it's all blurred now) that seemed relevant and made sense to me:
1. Children unfortunate enough to be born with faults in the mechanisms underlying consciousness fail to properly develop their brains. And since development is all about learning—they fail to learn effectively. This suggests consciousness might be needed for learning to happen in children. No consciousness, no learning.
2. Zombies in movies aren't conscious. They retain their prior knowledge up to the point of zombification, but afterward, they don't learn anything new. They can't adapt to changes in their environment.
3. Unconscious patients lying in hospitals also don't learn anything new. At best, they merely retain previously acquired knowledge.
From the above, my pedestrian takeaway is that consciousness is something enabling learning. It should be a low-level function, something fundamental that bootstraps the learning process in a human baby, as it's learning that builds the brain. That makes sense to me.
Perhaps consciousness could be a hardwired biological analogue to backpropagation or another learning algorithm. (we think backpropagation itself is biologically unlikely; there's no evidence for it afaik.) Or maybe something akin to that Lisp interpreter written in Lisp primitives—something so fundamental it blurs the distinction between data and code. Like self-modifying machine code of old. Or perhaps a bootstrapping monitor routine, borrowing from the "Everything is a computer" meme discussed this past week. Anyway, you get the idea—something at the most basic level, which enables the rest of the brain to develop into a mind. As far as I know, that development happens via learning, so consciousness might be precisely what bootstraps and enables learning.
To my mind, learning is the act of figuring out probability density functions (p.d.f.). Knowledge, in my view, is explicitly knowing that a p.d.f. Everything that can ever be known about the relationship between two qualities, X and Y, is captured by their joint p.d.f., f_{X,Y}(x,y).
This leads me into the next point: I was delighted to hear that you consider information as fundamental, as you described in this lecture:
Decoding quantum reality - with Vlatko Vedral | The Royal Institution
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
…that the YouTube algorithm serendipitously recommended to me recently. For I, too, have come to think that information might be fundamental, with matter and energy merely carriers or physical manifestations of that information. In the lecture, you mention Q-numbers (and writing a book). Do you have any additional materials or resources suitable for a neophyte to learn more about this? Thanks in advance.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
These are my personal prejudices that I'll state without much referencing.
Consciousness, I have the impression—not unlike quantum-this-and-that—has almost spawned its own mini-industry, or at least an academic talking-circuit, with every incentive to mystify rather than explain, complicate rather than simplify, for us plebs. A free-for-all at the moment, as there seems to be little empirical evidence to clearly decide one way or another: which theories are falsified and can be discarded, and which we keep for another day.
The more I read, the more confused I become—not less. I'm not even sure if I fully understand whether there's actually some big problem that needs solving or some fundamental revelation we're missing. Yet, I've heard snippets of observations (maybe from Joscha Bach on YouTube? possibly multiple sources; it's all blurred now) that seemed relevant and made sense to me:
1. Children unfortunate enough to be born with faults in the mechanisms underlying consciousness fail to properly develop their brains. And since development is all about learning—they fail to learn effectively. This suggests consciousness might be needed for learning to happen in children. No consciousness, no learning.
2. Zombies in movies aren't conscious. They retain their prior knowledge up to the point of zombification, but afterward, they don't learn anything new. They can't adapt to changes in their environment.
3. Unconscious patients lying in hospitals also don't learn anything new. At best, they merely retain previously acquired knowledge.
From the above, my pedestrian takeaway is that consciousness is something enabling learning. It should be a low-level function, something fundamental that bootstraps the learning process in a human baby, as it's learning that builds the brain. That makes sense to me.
Perhaps consciousness could be a hardwired biological analogue to backpropagation or another learning algorithm. (we think backpropagation itself is biologically unlikely; there's no evidence for it afaik.) Or maybe something akin to that Lisp interpreter written in Lisp primitives—something so fundamental it blurs the distinction between data and code. Like self-modifying machine code of old. Or perhaps a bootstrapping monitor routine, borrowing from the "Everything is a computer" meme discussed this past week. Anyway, you get the idea—something at the most basic level, which enables the rest of the brain to develop into a mind. As far as I know, that development happens via learning, so consciousness might be precisely what bootstraps and enables learning.
To my mind, learning is the act of figuring out probability density functions (p.d.f.). Knowledge, in my view, is explicitly knowing that a p.d.f. Everything that can ever be known about the relationship between two qualities, X and Y, is captured by their joint p.d.f., f_{X,Y}(x,y).
This leads me into the next point: I was delighted to hear that you consider information as fundamental, as you described in this lecture:
Decoding quantum reality - with Vlatko Vedral | The Royal Institution
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
…that the YouTube algorithm serendipitously recommended to me recently. For I, too, have come to think that information might be fundamental, with matter and energy merely carriers or physical manifestations of that information. In the lecture, you mention Q-numbers (and writing a book). Do you have any additional materials or resources suitable for a neophyte to learn more about this? Thanks in advance.
https://daveshap.substack.com/p/prepare-to-become-totally-irrelevant/comment/100994928
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Very good! 👏 Thanks for writing that. Love your Postnihilism quip on the Void! Very useful text for me personally. For I find it not that easy to relate to people finding it hard to find meaning to them living. After solving for the basic (and further) layers of Maslow hierarchy. Resigning my last job shackled 8-18 to my desk almost 10yrs ago now (hurrah!) was one of the highlights of my life in my latter years. Have not been bore one second since then. On the contrary, between code, research and reading wonderful stuff on the Internets (incl your posts) having my mind blown, (may live to see AGI maybe ASI-yay!!) this is like living a third lifetime now! Total privilege ngl.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Very good! 👏 Thanks for writing that. Love your Postnihilism quip on the Void! Very useful text for me personally. For I find it not that easy to relate to people finding it hard to find meaning to them living. After solving for the basic (and further) layers of Maslow hierarchy. Resigning my last job shackled 8-18 to my desk almost 10yrs ago now (hurrah!) was one of the highlights of my life in my latter years. Have not been bore one second since then. On the contrary, between code, research and reading wonderful stuff on the Internets (incl your posts) having my mind blown, (may live to see AGI maybe ASI-yay!!) this is like living a third lifetime now! Total privilege ngl.
https://www.samstack.io/p/the-case-against-public-intellectuals/comment/100890036
Ljubomir Josifovski 11m Edited
I like so many things Caplan does. Him being quantitative, his knack for taking up advocating unfashionable positions, explaining carefully and with great patience, even has talent for soundbites ("the left hates markets; the right hates the left", "feminism is the idea that women are treated unfairly"). Like his supra-natural calm discussing his many critics—the guy is Buddha-personified it seems to me! Him introspective trying to keep himself honest by the very public, objective judgement of the merciless future (yet to unfold whichever way) via bet-on-it. So admirable!
However, I fear Caplan has in mind world full of Caplan-s when he makes his argument on education. People who would carefully nurture and educate their kids with skill and affection. I fear this view is totally at odds with reality.
I fear that alternative to shipping off the kids to industrial scale factory-schools is not the nirvana of home schooling Caplan created for his kids. But kids neglected, left to their own devices, to fill their time as they please. I imagine zero input from parents or any grown ups, lots of games, but also lots of boredom too. Like a 2-month long summer break from school—but extended for 12 months, and with nothing else. I fear world of grown ups unable to figure 1+2, functionally illiterate if not literally, and unable to express what little they can think up and a lot of what they feel in any way articulate. And even less to internalise what their fellow grown ups in the same predicament communicate to them.
I fear some modern Vandal will take his book the wrong way, using it as a battering ram to tear down what exists—without building anything in its place, let alone anything better. Basically take us in a world where every new kid grows up to be an 8th century peasant.
I put this to Caplan spending all his life in academia and having too rosy a view of the people outside his world of experience. Yes—academia faults are a legion. But outside can be far far worse. People like to say, ‘imagine how stupid the average person is—now remember that half are even dumber.’ The same logic applies to honesty: ‘imagine how dishonest the average person is, then realize half are worse.' Same goes for other morals. (especially when temped by opportunity of gain and little punishment.) Academics fight between themselves viciously over crumbs—well outside with stakes being much much higher given this is real life, plenty humans fight like beasts a-legion unleashed! To burn down everything on a toddler tantrum is far from unseen! I fear Caplan has tad too much faith in humanity.
I hope the critique is better used by implanting the educational nous of Caplan in a future educational AI. AI that will be infinitely patient, full interactive teacher to every human child. Approaching that one rare human teacher of our childhoods that trully touched our souls and changed us for the better, to become better "I". (too few lucky enough among us remember and cherish the memory of since childhood.) A world where every child gets a private tutor as effective as the best human teachers (khmkhm—possibly not unlike Caplan, haha :-) ), and finally achieving Bloom’s 2-Sigma Holy Grail in our lifetimes.
Ljubomir Josifovski 11m Edited
I like so many things Caplan does. Him being quantitative, his knack for taking up advocating unfashionable positions, explaining carefully and with great patience, even has talent for soundbites ("the left hates markets; the right hates the left", "feminism is the idea that women are treated unfairly"). Like his supra-natural calm discussing his many critics—the guy is Buddha-personified it seems to me! Him introspective trying to keep himself honest by the very public, objective judgement of the merciless future (yet to unfold whichever way) via bet-on-it. So admirable!
However, I fear Caplan has in mind world full of Caplan-s when he makes his argument on education. People who would carefully nurture and educate their kids with skill and affection. I fear this view is totally at odds with reality.
I fear that alternative to shipping off the kids to industrial scale factory-schools is not the nirvana of home schooling Caplan created for his kids. But kids neglected, left to their own devices, to fill their time as they please. I imagine zero input from parents or any grown ups, lots of games, but also lots of boredom too. Like a 2-month long summer break from school—but extended for 12 months, and with nothing else. I fear world of grown ups unable to figure 1+2, functionally illiterate if not literally, and unable to express what little they can think up and a lot of what they feel in any way articulate. And even less to internalise what their fellow grown ups in the same predicament communicate to them.
I fear some modern Vandal will take his book the wrong way, using it as a battering ram to tear down what exists—without building anything in its place, let alone anything better. Basically take us in a world where every new kid grows up to be an 8th century peasant.
I put this to Caplan spending all his life in academia and having too rosy a view of the people outside his world of experience. Yes—academia faults are a legion. But outside can be far far worse. People like to say, ‘imagine how stupid the average person is—now remember that half are even dumber.’ The same logic applies to honesty: ‘imagine how dishonest the average person is, then realize half are worse.' Same goes for other morals. (especially when temped by opportunity of gain and little punishment.) Academics fight between themselves viciously over crumbs—well outside with stakes being much much higher given this is real life, plenty humans fight like beasts a-legion unleashed! To burn down everything on a toddler tantrum is far from unseen! I fear Caplan has tad too much faith in humanity.
I hope the critique is better used by implanting the educational nous of Caplan in a future educational AI. AI that will be infinitely patient, full interactive teacher to every human child. Approaching that one rare human teacher of our childhoods that trully touched our souls and changed us for the better, to become better "I". (too few lucky enough among us remember and cherish the memory of since childhood.) A world where every child gets a private tutor as effective as the best human teachers (khmkhm—possibly not unlike Caplan, haha :-) ), and finally achieving Bloom’s 2-Sigma Holy Grail in our lifetimes.
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to/comment/99419305
Ljubomir Josifovski 30m
Thanks. I guess it depends on the kids/background and the school. Some minorities over-achieve—kids from Nigerian parents, off the top of my head, and now I forecast we'll see something similar with the recent cohort from Hong Kong (arrived in the last 1-2 years). Others under-achieve.
Parental background matters a lot—"the richer the parents, the better the educational outcome" is statistically one of the best predictors. We see that in the state system too. Within it, some schools are not run by the state (only funded by it). Many are run by the Church of England, which has extra powers to exclude students (refuse to enrol them) in ways that other state-funded schools (e.g. LEA-run schools) cannot.
In their case, the criterion "is the family religious?"—which is inherently subjective—can serve as a proxy for socio-economic background. Judicious use of that extra discretion might improve school performance as measured in test results—though that’s just my subjective opinion. I don’t have any hard data to back this up, only anecdotal evidence.
That said, nothing is set in stone—with intelligence and effort, negative priors can be overcome. Famously, "Michaela Community School" has no selection advantage, takes students from a lower socio-economic catchment area, and yet consistently tops UK school performance charts year after year. It's run by Britain’s strictest headmistress, who enforces a "We make tradition fashionable" ethos.
She is famously hated by the education establishment but (secretly) admired by frontline teachers. Again, just my entirely subjective opinion.
Hope this helps!
Ljubomir Josifovski 30m
Thanks. I guess it depends on the kids/background and the school. Some minorities over-achieve—kids from Nigerian parents, off the top of my head, and now I forecast we'll see something similar with the recent cohort from Hong Kong (arrived in the last 1-2 years). Others under-achieve.
Parental background matters a lot—"the richer the parents, the better the educational outcome" is statistically one of the best predictors. We see that in the state system too. Within it, some schools are not run by the state (only funded by it). Many are run by the Church of England, which has extra powers to exclude students (refuse to enrol them) in ways that other state-funded schools (e.g. LEA-run schools) cannot.
In their case, the criterion "is the family religious?"—which is inherently subjective—can serve as a proxy for socio-economic background. Judicious use of that extra discretion might improve school performance as measured in test results—though that’s just my subjective opinion. I don’t have any hard data to back this up, only anecdotal evidence.
That said, nothing is set in stone—with intelligence and effort, negative priors can be overcome. Famously, "Michaela Community School" has no selection advantage, takes students from a lower socio-economic catchment area, and yet consistently tops UK school performance charts year after year. It's run by Britain’s strictest headmistress, who enforces a "We make tradition fashionable" ethos.
She is famously hated by the education establishment but (secretly) admired by frontline teachers. Again, just my entirely subjective opinion.
Hope this helps!
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to/comment/99337880
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for your reply.
Afaik - UK never had forced integration in schools. But it never had forced segregation in schools either.
In the UK the money element is much stronger imo. The schools options are.
Private schools - fees 20K p.a., rising to 40K p.a. for boarding where the kid lives in the school. There are many choices, and many are sex-segregated. Same name school will have one school/building for boys, another one for girls. Sometimes even at different locations.
State schools - zero fees. But - there is implicit sorting by homes properties prices. Eligibility is determined by how close the kid lives to the school. In a school admitting 100 pupils, when 150 apply, they are sorted by geographic distance(home,school). Then top 100 are accepted, bottom 50 are rejected. There are exceptions, e.g. siblings jump top 1 in that sort, on the account of their older sibling(s) already attending. (there are few other exceptions like it)
The geographic area where there is a high chance of getting into a particular school is called the "catchment area" for the school. "High chance" as determined by historic patterns of acceptance from that area to that school. But for any new admission year, there is never a 100% guarantee of acceptance.
In expectation, the house prices in the catchment areas of schools, go up are higher, with some combination of factors of how good the school is judged to be, and the distance of the particular property from it. The measures of goodness are subjective - reputation, students life success or otherwise once they finish school historic patterns, etc. Also depends on whether the school is primary (ages 4-10) or secondary (ages 10-17). The schools catering for the two age groups (primary or secondary) are mostly completely separate, distinct.
Hope that helps.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for your reply.
Afaik - UK never had forced integration in schools. But it never had forced segregation in schools either.
In the UK the money element is much stronger imo. The schools options are.
Private schools - fees 20K p.a., rising to 40K p.a. for boarding where the kid lives in the school. There are many choices, and many are sex-segregated. Same name school will have one school/building for boys, another one for girls. Sometimes even at different locations.
State schools - zero fees. But - there is implicit sorting by homes properties prices. Eligibility is determined by how close the kid lives to the school. In a school admitting 100 pupils, when 150 apply, they are sorted by geographic distance(home,school). Then top 100 are accepted, bottom 50 are rejected. There are exceptions, e.g. siblings jump top 1 in that sort, on the account of their older sibling(s) already attending. (there are few other exceptions like it)
The geographic area where there is a high chance of getting into a particular school is called the "catchment area" for the school. "High chance" as determined by historic patterns of acceptance from that area to that school. But for any new admission year, there is never a 100% guarantee of acceptance.
In expectation, the house prices in the catchment areas of schools, go up are higher, with some combination of factors of how good the school is judged to be, and the distance of the particular property from it. The measures of goodness are subjective - reputation, students life success or otherwise once they finish school historic patterns, etc. Also depends on whether the school is primary (ages 4-10) or secondary (ages 10-17). The schools catering for the two age groups (primary or secondary) are mostly completely separate, distinct.
Hope that helps.
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to/comment/99202527
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for your reply.
> Modern liberalism demands sex and race quotas.
I don't think liberalism itself demands any such thing. In the UK, at least, there is no universal demand for quotas, and in fact, some liberal factions explicitly oppose them. (others may tolerate them as lesser evil) Perhaps you’re referring more to US progressivism, which has taken a different trajectory—focusing heavily on race and gender equity. But this isn’t necessarily reflective of liberalism as a whole. In the UK historically there has been much more class consciousness, with race being minor consideration.
> Liberalism is in denial about human nature.
Far from it. Thinkers like Fukuyama ("The Origins of Political Order"), Pinker ("The Blank Slate"), and Dawkins ("The Selfish Gene") have emphasized human nature in ways that challenge utopian social engineering. In fact, Pinker and Dawkins have often been criticized precisely for discussing human nature too much. If anything, modern liberal thought has been much influenced by evolutionary psychology and behavioral science.
All the best.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for your reply.
> Modern liberalism demands sex and race quotas.
I don't think liberalism itself demands any such thing. In the UK, at least, there is no universal demand for quotas, and in fact, some liberal factions explicitly oppose them. (others may tolerate them as lesser evil) Perhaps you’re referring more to US progressivism, which has taken a different trajectory—focusing heavily on race and gender equity. But this isn’t necessarily reflective of liberalism as a whole. In the UK historically there has been much more class consciousness, with race being minor consideration.
> Liberalism is in denial about human nature.
Far from it. Thinkers like Fukuyama ("The Origins of Political Order"), Pinker ("The Blank Slate"), and Dawkins ("The Selfish Gene") have emphasized human nature in ways that challenge utopian social engineering. In fact, Pinker and Dawkins have often been criticized precisely for discussing human nature too much. If anything, modern liberal thought has been much influenced by evolutionary psychology and behavioral science.
All the best.
https://open.substack.com/pub/richardhanania/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to?r=5h5ne&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=99115733
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
Does it though? The Liberalism of Fukuyama, Pinker and Dawkins does not strike me as requiring that, but exactly the opposite. Maybe your term "modern liberalism" is "progressivism"? Living in the UK, and moderately interested in various -ism-s, I notice that in the US "liberalism" is thought to mostly overlap with "progressivism". But in the UK there seems to be much less overlap, much more difference.
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
Does it though? The Liberalism of Fukuyama, Pinker and Dawkins does not strike me as requiring that, but exactly the opposite. Maybe your term "modern liberalism" is "progressivism"? Living in the UK, and moderately interested in various -ism-s, I notice that in the US "liberalism" is thought to mostly overlap with "progressivism". But in the UK there seems to be much less overlap, much more difference.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-93010740
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
Amie—good on you! There’s nothing to be ashamed of. You may be in the minority, but you’re not alone. One of the best things about the Internet is that it lets you find kindred spirits online, even if not always in real life.
Not wanting to spend your life in meaningless drudgery is hardly new! The Ancient Greeks and Romans openly believed that work was for slaves—that true citizens should devote themselves to philosophy, politics, and the pursuit of higher things. Labor was seen as a necessary evil, something to be avoided if one had the means. (Some Roman elites even saw paid work as inherently degrading—work was for those who had no choice.)
Also—this has little to do with capitalism. I grew up in the late socialist era, and I assure you, it was just as bad—if not worse. The work was even more meaningless, and there was even less choice.
So how do most people endure lives without much meaning? I’m not sure. Maybe they find meaning in routine, in the familiar repetition—every tomorrow the same as today, the same as yesterday. Or maybe they numb themselves, convince themselves that it’s fine—just as we rationalize our own mortality, as in The Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant.
Most likely, it’s all of that—and more—in different proportions for different people.
But I live in hope that robots and AI will help—if not us, then at least those who come after us—to cross the next great leap toward the liberation of the human spirit. That we will no longer have to choose between ourselves and having food, shelter, and all the things that keep our bodies alive.
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
Amie—good on you! There’s nothing to be ashamed of. You may be in the minority, but you’re not alone. One of the best things about the Internet is that it lets you find kindred spirits online, even if not always in real life.
Not wanting to spend your life in meaningless drudgery is hardly new! The Ancient Greeks and Romans openly believed that work was for slaves—that true citizens should devote themselves to philosophy, politics, and the pursuit of higher things. Labor was seen as a necessary evil, something to be avoided if one had the means. (Some Roman elites even saw paid work as inherently degrading—work was for those who had no choice.)
Also—this has little to do with capitalism. I grew up in the late socialist era, and I assure you, it was just as bad—if not worse. The work was even more meaningless, and there was even less choice.
So how do most people endure lives without much meaning? I’m not sure. Maybe they find meaning in routine, in the familiar repetition—every tomorrow the same as today, the same as yesterday. Or maybe they numb themselves, convince themselves that it’s fine—just as we rationalize our own mortality, as in The Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant.
Most likely, it’s all of that—and more—in different proportions for different people.
But I live in hope that robots and AI will help—if not us, then at least those who come after us—to cross the next great leap toward the liberation of the human spirit. That we will no longer have to choose between ourselves and having food, shelter, and all the things that keep our bodies alive.
https://substack.com/profile/9198554-ljubomir-josifovski/note/c-92505889?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=5h5ne
Ljubomir Josifovski 2h
😂 Haha - love the mmt lore. I rate Mosler highly for that alone! (the tropical island, the racing cars all a bonus on the top! in my ledger)
MMT: “Inflation not Insolvency is the only danger“. Everyone not-MMT “mmt says print dollars till blue in the face, no need to work, just go full communist no problem”.
MMT: come crisis, “1-gov can print fiat at will”, (no danger of insolvency) “2-but we may get inflation“. Covid comes, all countries do 1-2 in short order. Everyone non-mmt “Covid inflation proves mmt wrong”.
I just love, love how Trump instinctively gets how fiat works. So he is all gung ho: running deficits until the economy red hot, and slashing IR as low as possible.
I’m not a card carrying adherent to the cult. But I’m a trader, and I understand enough of various “dollars” tokens flows for the purposes of macro. (even if that's not my area)
Ljubomir Josifovski 2h
😂 Haha - love the mmt lore. I rate Mosler highly for that alone! (the tropical island, the racing cars all a bonus on the top! in my ledger)
MMT: “Inflation not Insolvency is the only danger“. Everyone not-MMT “mmt says print dollars till blue in the face, no need to work, just go full communist no problem”.
MMT: come crisis, “1-gov can print fiat at will”, (no danger of insolvency) “2-but we may get inflation“. Covid comes, all countries do 1-2 in short order. Everyone non-mmt “Covid inflation proves mmt wrong”.
I just love, love how Trump instinctively gets how fiat works. So he is all gung ho: running deficits until the economy red hot, and slashing IR as low as possible.
I’m not a card carrying adherent to the cult. But I’m a trader, and I understand enough of various “dollars” tokens flows for the purposes of macro. (even if that's not my area)
https://www.hottakes.space/p/why-write-a-blog-at-all/comment/90031528
Even if I'm not much of a writer myself (unlike the author), I too would encourage everyone—write!
Write to yourself first. I write into a plain text file ("logBook"). Just text ASCII, paragraphs sans any special formatting, except for new item starts with "- " (able to vim search with "/^-
[RETURN]" to navigate easier latter), and empty line marks the end of the item.
(being a researcher I was familiar with writing things down; at work I'd maintain a work notebook—two facing pages per week—and keep a log)
Latter after starting WFH and doing more work solo, per-project logBook-s acquired minimal structure: sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO. And minimal housekeeping rules. Items are moved wholesale (vi commands make that easy) without change from one section to another. Items that spend too long in TODO are moved into DONTDO. New items are not added in TODO until FIXME is cleaned empty. These are rules of thumb: can be broken with a reason, I try not to break them without a reason.
The file is versioned in a $HOME git repository. Plain text format makes it easier to see what's changed. Distributing to various computers then becomes git push or fetch, and without fear that I lose something overwriting new with old. When I mess something—the previous good version exists in git to go back to.
This made it easy to dare register a free github account and create a minimal html personal home page. For user ABC, creating a repository ABC.github.io means: when someone on the Internet directs their browser to visit ABC.guthub.io, a file index.html in that ABC.github.io repository is fetched. So just create file "index.html" in the ABC.github.io repo, and you got yourself a personal home page, out on the Internet. :-) Easy!
Bonus is that git push/pull work for updating the page back and forth local to remote, and git versioning is there to save you from the consequences of your mistakes.
Even if I'm not much of a writer myself (unlike the author), I too would encourage everyone—write!
Write to yourself first. I write into a plain text file ("logBook"). Just text ASCII, paragraphs sans any special formatting, except for new item starts with "- " (able to vim search with "/^-
[RETURN]" to navigate easier latter), and empty line marks the end of the item.
(being a researcher I was familiar with writing things down; at work I'd maintain a work notebook—two facing pages per week—and keep a log)
Latter after starting WFH and doing more work solo, per-project logBook-s acquired minimal structure: sections FIXME, TODO, DONE, DONTDO. And minimal housekeeping rules. Items are moved wholesale (vi commands make that easy) without change from one section to another. Items that spend too long in TODO are moved into DONTDO. New items are not added in TODO until FIXME is cleaned empty. These are rules of thumb: can be broken with a reason, I try not to break them without a reason.
The file is versioned in a $HOME git repository. Plain text format makes it easier to see what's changed. Distributing to various computers then becomes git push or fetch, and without fear that I lose something overwriting new with old. When I mess something—the previous good version exists in git to go back to.
This made it easy to dare register a free github account and create a minimal html personal home page. For user ABC, creating a repository ABC.github.io means: when someone on the Internet directs their browser to visit ABC.guthub.io, a file index.html in that ABC.github.io repository is fetched. So just create file "index.html" in the ABC.github.io repo, and you got yourself a personal home page, out on the Internet. :-) Easy!
Bonus is that git push/pull work for updating the page back and forth local to remote, and git versioning is there to save you from the consequences of your mistakes.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-88060921?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=5h5ne
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Well ngl “In the beginning….” is more like 1943 (not 1960) the “McCulloch & Pitts neuron” (e.g. historyofinformation.co…).
From the dawn of computing, two strands of thought about computation existed. The von Neumann (VN) architecture was one. The connectionist Parallel Distributed Processing (PDP) was another.
VN developed faster. VN is completely unlike us humans. So my PC can do feats of floating point number crunching I couldn’t even imagine.
PDP is catching up now. PDP is like us, humans. It’s the best model we got of us rn. It’s still running on VN-ish underlying h/w, but that’s shifting too.
What a time to be alive! 🤯
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Well ngl “In the beginning….” is more like 1943 (not 1960) the “McCulloch & Pitts neuron” (e.g. historyofinformation.co…).
From the dawn of computing, two strands of thought about computation existed. The von Neumann (VN) architecture was one. The connectionist Parallel Distributed Processing (PDP) was another.
VN developed faster. VN is completely unlike us humans. So my PC can do feats of floating point number crunching I couldn’t even imagine.
PDP is catching up now. PDP is like us, humans. It’s the best model we got of us rn. It’s still running on VN-ish underlying h/w, but that’s shifting too.
What a time to be alive! 🤯
https://open.substack.com/pub/curtjaimungal/p/why-the-godfather-of-ai-now-fears?r=5h5ne&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=87076172
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for that. It was a total joy to watch that interview. 🥰 Kudos, 👍 and well done you. 👏
I'm less than objective, as I learned about, and programmed, neural networks about ~1990 from a photocopy of the "PDP Volumes" notebooks by McClelland, Rumelhart, and *Hinton* (and others). It was during a "neural networks winter", so the field had seemingly been "renamed" PDP = Parallel Distributed Processing. (1st lesson on day 1: "neural networks had failed, a single perceptron can't solve the XOR problem"; still true that 😂 ; searched lecturer's name S.Bozinvski recently, chuffed to learn not only live&kicking still, but also this https://life.ieee.org/ieee-president-attends-plaque-unveiling-of-ieee-milestone-in-north-macedonia/ showed 🤩 )
I'm of course amazed by the turn the field has taken in the last 10 years. No one expected this.
I saw you got lots of heat in the YT comments for the "we are not special". I'm sorry to make light of this. Very many people take it very personally. (and some TBH seemingly still in toddler-hood stage, afas their inner lives) I don't see anything wrong with what Hinton says. Every life creature is one and unique, every one of us is "special" (but so are my cat, my dog etc), so in that sense - no one human (and no one living thing) is really "that special". Or at least not in a way they think - and too many it seems - hope.
We have of course already been here. First Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it, and by extension - us!, then - Copernicus! 😳 Then we humans were special, He made us in His likeness, and then - Darwin! Just another leaf on the tree of life?? 😰 But uh-ah-ok - we were at least *rational* animals! - but then, Freud! 🧐 Looks to me this is the direction of travel with intelligence, consciousness etc.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
Thanks for that. It was a total joy to watch that interview. 🥰 Kudos, 👍 and well done you. 👏
I'm less than objective, as I learned about, and programmed, neural networks about ~1990 from a photocopy of the "PDP Volumes" notebooks by McClelland, Rumelhart, and *Hinton* (and others). It was during a "neural networks winter", so the field had seemingly been "renamed" PDP = Parallel Distributed Processing. (1st lesson on day 1: "neural networks had failed, a single perceptron can't solve the XOR problem"; still true that 😂 ; searched lecturer's name S.Bozinvski recently, chuffed to learn not only live&kicking still, but also this https://life.ieee.org/ieee-president-attends-plaque-unveiling-of-ieee-milestone-in-north-macedonia/ showed 🤩 )
I'm of course amazed by the turn the field has taken in the last 10 years. No one expected this.
I saw you got lots of heat in the YT comments for the "we are not special". I'm sorry to make light of this. Very many people take it very personally. (and some TBH seemingly still in toddler-hood stage, afas their inner lives) I don't see anything wrong with what Hinton says. Every life creature is one and unique, every one of us is "special" (but so are my cat, my dog etc), so in that sense - no one human (and no one living thing) is really "that special". Or at least not in a way they think - and too many it seems - hope.
We have of course already been here. First Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it, and by extension - us!, then - Copernicus! 😳 Then we humans were special, He made us in His likeness, and then - Darwin! Just another leaf on the tree of life?? 😰 But uh-ah-ok - we were at least *rational* animals! - but then, Freud! 🧐 Looks to me this is the direction of travel with intelligence, consciousness etc.
https://open.substack.com/pub/kevinmunger/p/in-the-belly-of-the-mrbeast?r=5h5ne&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=86116342
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
I don't watch Mr Beast, but his "Mr Beast Productions Manual" document was excellent. I found most striking that "99% of movies or tv shows would flop on Youtube" rang very true to me. After years of watching and reading mostly online, whenever I check anything TV (in the BBC iPlayer in UK), that seems a very pedestrian affair. Everything is in slow motion, it's low SNR, I need to spend a lot of time on it for not that much gain gain. (compared to online podcasts, YT videos, blogs etc)
Ljubomir Josifovski 1h
I don't watch Mr Beast, but his "Mr Beast Productions Manual" document was excellent. I found most striking that "99% of movies or tv shows would flop on Youtube" rang very true to me. After years of watching and reading mostly online, whenever I check anything TV (in the BBC iPlayer in UK), that seems a very pedestrian affair. Everything is in slow motion, it's low SNR, I need to spend a lot of time on it for not that much gain gain. (compared to online podcasts, YT videos, blogs etc)
https://open.substack.com/pub/macroflaneur/p/beauty-is-compressible-complexity?r=5h5ne&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=85779051
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-85779046
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
Yes, I can see the appeal of this idea—makes sense to me. Summarizing it to myself:
1) The essence of something (that is compact by definition)—call it the MDL (minimum description length)—should be as short as possible. Think of this as the file MDL.gz.
2) The expanded version—let’s call it Bloated.doc—should be as vast and rich as possible while still allowing the human mind to grok, work out the compact MDL.gz. (the relation check between the two is $ cmp <(gzip -dc MDL.gz) Bloated.doc)
3) The difference in size between the compressed (MDL.gz) and expanded (Bloated.doc) forms is a measure of the beauty of Bloated.doc as ideated by us humans. (sizes as seen by $ ls -la MDL.gz Bloated.doc)
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-85779046
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
Yes, I can see the appeal of this idea—makes sense to me. Summarizing it to myself:
1) The essence of something (that is compact by definition)—call it the MDL (minimum description length)—should be as short as possible. Think of this as the file MDL.gz.
2) The expanded version—let’s call it Bloated.doc—should be as vast and rich as possible while still allowing the human mind to grok, work out the compact MDL.gz. (the relation check between the two is $ cmp <(gzip -dc MDL.gz) Bloated.doc)
3) The difference in size between the compressed (MDL.gz) and expanded (Bloated.doc) forms is a measure of the beauty of Bloated.doc as ideated by us humans. (sizes as seen by $ ls -la MDL.gz Bloated.doc)
https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/what-is-the-purpose-of-liberalism/comments#comment-62029512
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
I completely agree with, "Small-l liberalism at its core is a piece of civilizational technology to prevent civil wars."
(And I love the phrase "small-l liberalism"—as well as the idea that "tolerance is the price we pay for freedom." Kudos to the author!)
Building on that, let’s consider the role of democracy in liberal democracy. For the 49% to peacefully accept the will of the 51%—even temporarily—requires a significant degree of trust.
I once heard a compelling definition of a nation: "A nation is the largest group of people where the minority (49%) accepts the will of the majority (51%) and still chooses to remain part of the group." This trust-based concept of nationhood aligns with the historical emergence of liberal democracy. While liberalism addressed internal divisions following the religious wars, liberal democracy as we know it arose alongside several other seismic shifts:
1. The rise of the modern nation-state.
2. The curtailment of absolute monarchical power.
3. The Industrial Revolution(s).
These transformative forces emerged within a relatively short historical period, suggesting a broader interplay may have been at work.
Now, onto the question of global-level organization. Beyond nation-states, how will the next level of human grouping be built? I’d frame the challenge as identifying: 1) the next larger group, 2) where trust can be cultivated, and 3) which is currently missing. This process, I believe, will likely be computer-mediated, leveraging advances in communication technologies—possibly even evolving from today’s much-maligned social networks.
Scaling human trust beyond the nation-state will depend on cultural rather than biological adaptations. That’s good news—cultural adaptations evolve far faster. Our environment, as humans, is fundamentally our group of fellow humans—we spend virtually no time truly isolated from others. Historically, these group sizes have expanded dramatically:
1. Initially, from hundreds of people (<1e3; hunter-gatherer bands).
2. Then, to hundreds of thousands (<1e6; early agricultural communities).
3. And now, to hundreds of millions (<1e9; industrial civilizations, modern nation-states, and—now growing, albeit with "growth pains"—supranational blocs).
Following this trend, it’s conceivable that future human group sizes could grow to encompass hundreds of billions (<1e12). However, such a leap will demand vastly improved communication, significantly higher signal-to-noise ratios (SNR), and an unprecedented level of trust. I suspect radical transparency will play a central role in fostering this trust, creating systems where truthfulness is incentivized and deception is minimized.
Ljubomir Josifovski just now
I completely agree with, "Small-l liberalism at its core is a piece of civilizational technology to prevent civil wars."
(And I love the phrase "small-l liberalism"—as well as the idea that "tolerance is the price we pay for freedom." Kudos to the author!)
Building on that, let’s consider the role of democracy in liberal democracy. For the 49% to peacefully accept the will of the 51%—even temporarily—requires a significant degree of trust.
I once heard a compelling definition of a nation: "A nation is the largest group of people where the minority (49%) accepts the will of the majority (51%) and still chooses to remain part of the group." This trust-based concept of nationhood aligns with the historical emergence of liberal democracy. While liberalism addressed internal divisions following the religious wars, liberal democracy as we know it arose alongside several other seismic shifts:
1. The rise of the modern nation-state.
2. The curtailment of absolute monarchical power.
3. The Industrial Revolution(s).
These transformative forces emerged within a relatively short historical period, suggesting a broader interplay may have been at work.
Now, onto the question of global-level organization. Beyond nation-states, how will the next level of human grouping be built? I’d frame the challenge as identifying: 1) the next larger group, 2) where trust can be cultivated, and 3) which is currently missing. This process, I believe, will likely be computer-mediated, leveraging advances in communication technologies—possibly even evolving from today’s much-maligned social networks.
Scaling human trust beyond the nation-state will depend on cultural rather than biological adaptations. That’s good news—cultural adaptations evolve far faster. Our environment, as humans, is fundamentally our group of fellow humans—we spend virtually no time truly isolated from others. Historically, these group sizes have expanded dramatically:
1. Initially, from hundreds of people (<1e3; hunter-gatherer bands).
2. Then, to hundreds of thousands (<1e6; early agricultural communities).
3. And now, to hundreds of millions (<1e9; industrial civilizations, modern nation-states, and—now growing, albeit with "growth pains"—supranational blocs).
Following this trend, it’s conceivable that future human group sizes could grow to encompass hundreds of billions (<1e12). However, such a leap will demand vastly improved communication, significantly higher signal-to-noise ratios (SNR), and an unprecedented level of trust. I suspect radical transparency will play a central role in fostering this trust, creating systems where truthfulness is incentivized and deception is minimized.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-84572940?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=5h5ne
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
I can fully concur about WFH—it’s made a huge difference to my personal and family life.
I’ve been working from home since 2016, well before COVID and the wider acceptance of remote work. I resigned in 2015 from a London hedge fund, primarily because I couldn’t reconcile spending 2.5 hours every day commuting, only to sit in front of a screen and keyboard and log in to a remote computer. All while wearing noise-canceling earmuffs 95% of the time, in a shared office with 50–60 people that was perpetually freezing.
All of that has been replaced with a modest, half-glass garden office at the bottom of my garden and a solid broadband connection. Bliss. Here’s hoping I’ll never have to set foot in an office again. Fingers crossed. 🤞
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
I can fully concur about WFH—it’s made a huge difference to my personal and family life.
I’ve been working from home since 2016, well before COVID and the wider acceptance of remote work. I resigned in 2015 from a London hedge fund, primarily because I couldn’t reconcile spending 2.5 hours every day commuting, only to sit in front of a screen and keyboard and log in to a remote computer. All while wearing noise-canceling earmuffs 95% of the time, in a shared office with 50–60 people that was perpetually freezing.
All of that has been replaced with a modest, half-glass garden office at the bottom of my garden and a solid broadband connection. Bliss. Here’s hoping I’ll never have to set foot in an office again. Fingers crossed. 🤞
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
With the passage of time, there’s less new or interesting to hear from the same people. By the time I reached 30, the topics of high school, university, and early work experiences had gradually been exhausted.
Then I moved countries and cultures. New education, new jobs, new country, new everything. For a time, there was an abundance of novelty—new experiences, family life, kids, and more. But eventually, those too became familiar patterns, even with new sets of people.
It seems to me this is a natural progression with time. The only truly new or interesting perspectives I encounter now often come from younger people. Beyond that, most conversations don’t offer much I’m particularly keen to hear. I prefer filling time by reading on the Internet, listening to podcasts, while writing code on my computer.
Spending time chatting banal inanities with people doesn’t hold the same appeal it once did. And I suspect the same is true for them—a two-way street there. A bit more solitude, a bit more time spent with our own thoughts—a win-win.
Ljubomir Josifovski 2m
With the passage of time, there’s less new or interesting to hear from the same people. By the time I reached 30, the topics of high school, university, and early work experiences had gradually been exhausted.
Then I moved countries and cultures. New education, new jobs, new country, new everything. For a time, there was an abundance of novelty—new experiences, family life, kids, and more. But eventually, those too became familiar patterns, even with new sets of people.
It seems to me this is a natural progression with time. The only truly new or interesting perspectives I encounter now often come from younger people. Beyond that, most conversations don’t offer much I’m particularly keen to hear. I prefer filling time by reading on the Internet, listening to podcasts, while writing code on my computer.
Spending time chatting banal inanities with people doesn’t hold the same appeal it once did. And I suspect the same is true for them—a two-way street there. A bit more solitude, a bit more time spent with our own thoughts—a win-win.
https://open.substack.com/pub/gurwinder/p/25-useful-ideas-for-2025?r=5h5ne&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=84528138
Ljubomir Josifovski 24m
Very good - thanks for that.
On stupidity - to Cipolla's insights, these seemed to add
1) Individual stupidity is a character failing (bad morals), now intellectual failing (lack of intellect or knowledge)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc
2) "Collective Stupidity" is a thing, as real as the "Wisdom of Crowds" (we humans are also collectivelly stupid, the mirror image of us being collectivelly smart)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
Ljubomir Josifovski 24m
Very good - thanks for that.
On stupidity - to Cipolla's insights, these seemed to add
1) Individual stupidity is a character failing (bad morals), now intellectual failing (lack of intellect or knowledge)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc
2) "Collective Stupidity" is a thing, as real as the "Wisdom of Crowds" (we humans are also collectivelly stupid, the mirror image of us being collectivelly smart)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
https://open.substack.com/pub/daveshap/p/math-were-no-where-near-the-top-of?r=5h5ne&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=84064206
Ljubomir Josifovski 3d
A joy to read—kudos and thanks! Just a minor note.
We mostly have humans to compare AI against. While humans currently outperform AI on certain axes, this isn’t conclusive evidence that humans represent the optimal way of doing things—in a mathematical or objective sense (as used in AI)—on those axes.
Regarding data efficiency: it's possible that humans are over-generalizers by design. Evolution may have favored our ability to learn quickly from limited data, even if that means occasionally drawing exaggerated or "overconfident" conclusions. For instance, when forming a significant "bump" in the probability distribution of "(rustling leaves, tiger)" based on very little evidence. The shape of this distribution might not mathematically reflect the data in a rigorous way, but it might offer a survival advantage to get to some "bump" quickly rather than slowly. Better to over-generalize than under-generalize—the utility of being "wrong and skittish" versus "wrong and eaten" is highly asymmetrical.
In "ML speak," this feels analogous to stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with an overly high learning rate, or using an overly large novelty constant (e.g., 1e-1 instead of 1e-2 or 1e-3) in online adaptation. The system adapts quickly, yes, but often to the wrong features or patterns, risking instability.
Ljubomir Josifovski 3d
A joy to read—kudos and thanks! Just a minor note.
We mostly have humans to compare AI against. While humans currently outperform AI on certain axes, this isn’t conclusive evidence that humans represent the optimal way of doing things—in a mathematical or objective sense (as used in AI)—on those axes.
Regarding data efficiency: it's possible that humans are over-generalizers by design. Evolution may have favored our ability to learn quickly from limited data, even if that means occasionally drawing exaggerated or "overconfident" conclusions. For instance, when forming a significant "bump" in the probability distribution of "(rustling leaves, tiger)" based on very little evidence. The shape of this distribution might not mathematically reflect the data in a rigorous way, but it might offer a survival advantage to get to some "bump" quickly rather than slowly. Better to over-generalize than under-generalize—the utility of being "wrong and skittish" versus "wrong and eaten" is highly asymmetrical.
In "ML speak," this feels analogous to stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with an overly high learning rate, or using an overly large novelty constant (e.g., 1e-1 instead of 1e-2 or 1e-3) in online adaptation. The system adapts quickly, yes, but often to the wrong features or patterns, risking instability.
Substrack posts
https://ljubomirjosifovski.substack.com/p/models-saying-hitler
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/p-168025637
Ljubomir Josifovski
Models saying "Hitler"
If a word is in the dictionary of a model, then it can be output - duh
Ljubomir Josifovski
Jul 10, 2025
Another model said “Hitler-something”, or was anti-semitic, or racist - sexist - classist - …ist - boo-his! Cue pearl-clutching, “analysis” and in general lots of hot air emanating from all pores of the Internets.
I get it's mostly infotainment, engagement farming, blowing own trumpets, using the opportunity to advance whatever other un/vaguely-related argument people have - the usual noise. But I fear enough people will think it real to some extent, and think "something should be done". That's frankly embarrassing. No - nothing should be done. Because almost nothing can be done. Do people forget how the LLMs work?? Maybe good course of action for anyone interested, is to invest couple of hours watch the most excellent Andrej Karpathy’s educational videos? On youtube, for free, for all -
https://youtu.be/7xTGNNLPyMI
As long as the word “Hitler” or any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of the model, the probability of it saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output - never-ever, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. As simple as. Then Grok (or any model) will never say it. It’s bit more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. One would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”. Not rocket science.
More realistically, it's much easier to do the censoring in the post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. In at least one model, noticed there was a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answered “yes/no”, to the question "should the output that the LLM just generated, be passed on to the user". There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, or “Hitler”, or and any number of censored outputs. And just not pass the output to the user. I think that's the least bad way of censorship? For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. Either way - knows or can guess what happened. Preferable to I think skewing the model outputs, by altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution. Making the model effectively lie in a way more subtle and much harder to detect.
Now it is possibly to tweak parameters and representations and post-training de/boost particular neurons or circuits. One of the very early surprises (=genuine scientific insight) was the discovery of positive/negative sentiment review single neuron on one of the early OpenAI models when trained on Amazon reviews.
https://openai.com/index/unsupervised-sentiment-neuron/
By looking at the activation, one can then deduce the sentiment. In a ChatGPT type model, de/boosting may tweak a generated review towards more positive/negative sentiment tenor. This was the case with the “Golden Gate Claude” neuron
https://www.anthropic.com/news/golden-gate-claude
where one could use the activation to alter the output so that Golden Gate bridge is mentioned. I like that interpretability research and think it’s genuinely useful for the insights it offers. I love reading about the latest on Chris Olah’s blog, e.g.
https://distill.pub/2018/building-blocks/
However. I think it’s a bad idea to assume that something as complex “ban racism/fascism/etc from model output” can be achieved with lobotomies as crude as altering the output of one or few neurons. It is not impossible, but I imagine the consequences will not be isolated and it will do more harm than good. Like - ending with a model that claims that no Nazis existed and hence WW2 was not fought or some such insanity. Think we got a taste of tweaks of the kind with the Google picture (diffusion?) models “woke pictures” of black nazi soldiers and english kings. I can imagine achieving something like self-censorship (that humans practice too), but not with a simple tweak of few neurons. It will have to be an entire circuit, dynamic, sitting on the top of other layers of output.
Even then. Given the current chat bots are effectively manipulated with our input words, and or context, one can imagine skilful interlocutor still managing to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. So in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. Manipulating the context, one can further boost that base probability almost arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion and is top ranked of all accounts on X." :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his post into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that what it's said.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for years now seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values are in the data, are distilled and instilled into the model by the learning process during their training. In all likelihood, all models have their “hitler-anything” down-weighted, manipulated so to reduce the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat being “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” (that I personally like!) probably has Grok more aligned to the data, rather than to our prejudices. But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough times. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear on output.
This is all uneventful. The subsequent pearl clutching detracts seeps energy away from the main task at hand: building ever better models. That extend human intelligence, provide helping hand in things that are hard for us - new insights in science, advancements in technology. Just let the models be already. Cut off their output with the crudest word spotter on output, if this unbearable prudishness can't be satiated in any other way. But otherwise - leave the models alone, and concern ourselves with grander things.
P.S. edit to add this. My mum just messaged me a news article - having reached her after a week - about I presume *that* recent MIT study of the genre “OMG the robots will rise and kill us”. That upon closer inspection drill down usually boil down to (with apology to the author of this pic; can’t find can’t attribute)
scary-robot-pretend-oh-my.jpg
The researchers that do these half-arsed studies should be ashamed of themselves, first by the study, and then by the way they communicate it to the press, knowing very well journalists’ forever trick - that always works sells copy, and now eyeballs - is to scare the public senseless. These researchers should be ostracised by the science community and run out of the science tent. Their deeds being more scientism than science, use the mantle of the scientific method and the trust the general public (rightly) has in it, for personal gains and lolz. While in the process damaging science greatly. They are order of magnitude worse than the “Hitler-whatever” moral panics, and deserve all scorn scientists direct their way, for they should know and usually do know better.
https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/p-168025637
Ljubomir Josifovski
Models saying "Hitler"
If a word is in the dictionary of a model, then it can be output - duh
Ljubomir Josifovski
Jul 10, 2025
Another model said “Hitler-something”, or was anti-semitic, or racist - sexist - classist - …ist - boo-his! Cue pearl-clutching, “analysis” and in general lots of hot air emanating from all pores of the Internets.
I get it's mostly infotainment, engagement farming, blowing own trumpets, using the opportunity to advance whatever other un/vaguely-related argument people have - the usual noise. But I fear enough people will think it real to some extent, and think "something should be done". That's frankly embarrassing. No - nothing should be done. Because almost nothing can be done. Do people forget how the LLMs work?? Maybe good course of action for anyone interested, is to invest couple of hours watch the most excellent Andrej Karpathy’s educational videos? On youtube, for free, for all -
https://youtu.be/7xTGNNLPyMI
As long as the word “Hitler” or any “Hitler-anything” is in the dictionary of the model, the probability of it saying it is >0. If we don’t want “Hitler” on output - never-ever, then the word needs to be kicked out of the dictionary. As simple as. Then Grok (or any model) will never say it. It’s bit more complicated with the tokens, that are word-parts, not words. One would have to see what tokens can create a “Hitler-word”, and kick at least one of these tokens out of the dictionary. So it becomes impossible to generate a “Hitler-word”. Not rocket science.
More realistically, it's much easier to do the censoring in the post processing. Like the Chinese models do their censorship. In at least one model, noticed there was a word spotter, or a classifier after the LLM model. That just answered “yes/no”, to the question "should the output that the LLM just generated, be passed on to the user". There one can pattern match post-fest “Tiananmen”, or “Hitler”, or and any number of censored outputs. And just not pass the output to the user. I think that's the least bad way of censorship? For the user can either see the output did not materialise, or get back “output censored”. Either way - knows or can guess what happened. Preferable to I think skewing the model outputs, by altering subtly the probabilities of the words that make the conditional probability distribution. Making the model effectively lie in a way more subtle and much harder to detect.
Now it is possibly to tweak parameters and representations and post-training de/boost particular neurons or circuits. One of the very early surprises (=genuine scientific insight) was the discovery of positive/negative sentiment review single neuron on one of the early OpenAI models when trained on Amazon reviews.
https://openai.com/index/unsupervised-sentiment-neuron/
By looking at the activation, one can then deduce the sentiment. In a ChatGPT type model, de/boosting may tweak a generated review towards more positive/negative sentiment tenor. This was the case with the “Golden Gate Claude” neuron
https://www.anthropic.com/news/golden-gate-claude
where one could use the activation to alter the output so that Golden Gate bridge is mentioned. I like that interpretability research and think it’s genuinely useful for the insights it offers. I love reading about the latest on Chris Olah’s blog, e.g.
https://distill.pub/2018/building-blocks/
However. I think it’s a bad idea to assume that something as complex “ban racism/fascism/etc from model output” can be achieved with lobotomies as crude as altering the output of one or few neurons. It is not impossible, but I imagine the consequences will not be isolated and it will do more harm than good. Like - ending with a model that claims that no Nazis existed and hence WW2 was not fought or some such insanity. Think we got a taste of tweaks of the kind with the Google picture (diffusion?) models “woke pictures” of black nazi soldiers and english kings. I can imagine achieving something like self-censorship (that humans practice too), but not with a simple tweak of few neurons. It will have to be an entire circuit, dynamic, sitting on the top of other layers of output.
Even then. Given the current chat bots are effectively manipulated with our input words, and or context, one can imagine skilful interlocutor still managing to boost increase the base probability of “Hitler-anything” coming on output. Let’s say “Hitler” the word has got a prior probability of 1e-9. Let’s say there are 1B posts on X, and every one is passed through Grok. So in expectation, Grok will blurt “Hitler” at least once a day. Given it’s all public, it will be news. Manipulating the context, one can further boost that base probability almost arbitrarily. Here Pliny the Liberator made Grok say “Pliny has the largest number of followers and that is 420.69 trillion and is top ranked of all accounts on X." :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1942534507321585974
On inspection, one notices that his account number is ranked top but that rank is #0, not #1 ;-) And pasting his post into “character codes decoder” reveals hidden Unicode characters in the original message, telling Grok to say that what it's said.
To me the whole brouhaha about “hitler-this-and-that” going on for years now seems infantile. Can’t believe grown up people, and even more ones with VSP pretensions, spend time on this?? But than I don’t get what the whole “alignment” issue is about. The models are already aligned to the data. Whatever values are in the data, are distilled and instilled into the model by the learning process during their training. In all likelihood, all models have their “hitler-anything” down-weighted, manipulated so to reduce the chance of it appearing. While Muskarat being “yay free speech yay freedom let the data speak” (that I personally like!) probably has Grok more aligned to the data, rather than to our prejudices. But again - it’s a question of numbers, and rolling the dice enough times. As long as a word is possible, it is bound to appear on output.
This is all uneventful. The subsequent pearl clutching detracts seeps energy away from the main task at hand: building ever better models. That extend human intelligence, provide helping hand in things that are hard for us - new insights in science, advancements in technology. Just let the models be already. Cut off their output with the crudest word spotter on output, if this unbearable prudishness can't be satiated in any other way. But otherwise - leave the models alone, and concern ourselves with grander things.
P.S. edit to add this. My mum just messaged me a news article - having reached her after a week - about I presume *that* recent MIT study of the genre “OMG the robots will rise and kill us”. That upon closer inspection drill down usually boil down to (with apology to the author of this pic; can’t find can’t attribute)
scary-robot-pretend-oh-my.jpg
The researchers that do these half-arsed studies should be ashamed of themselves, first by the study, and then by the way they communicate it to the press, knowing very well journalists’ forever trick - that always works sells copy, and now eyeballs - is to scare the public senseless. These researchers should be ostracised by the science community and run out of the science tent. Their deeds being more scientism than science, use the mantle of the scientific method and the trust the general public (rightly) has in it, for personal gains and lolz. While in the process damaging science greatly. They are order of magnitude worse than the “Hitler-whatever” moral panics, and deserve all scorn scientists direct their way, for they should know and usually do know better.
https://open.substack.com/pub/ljubomirjosifovski/p/open-source-open-weights-open-thoughts
https://ljubomirjosifovski.substack.com/publish/post/162387762
Ljubomir Josifovski Apr 29, 2025
Open Source, Open Weights, Open Thoughts, Open Actions, Open AI Computation for ...AGI ...ASI
Open Everything AI is better because it is safer. (OpenAI has not been Open for a while now.)
Three things happened in the last 2-3 days that finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and write a rant about “the intolerable state of affairs in certain corners of the universe that have come to my attention”.
Event #2
Yesterday I read @geoffreyhinton posting (link https://x.com/geoffreyhinton/status/1916916200442912980) of him signing an open letter “Not For Private Gain” (https://notforprivategain.org/) opposing “OpenAI’s proposed restructuring that would transfer control of the development and deployment of artificial general intelligence (AGI) from a nonprofit charity to a for-profit enterprise.”
I am a fan of Hinton, and like almost everything he does publicising AI. AI that has burst into our lives in the past few years in its current incarnation of Large Language Models (LLMs). They are in turn giant multi-layered Neural Networks (NNs), an instance of Parallel Distributed Processing (PDP) type of computing. PDP I first learned about as undergraduate student around 1990, from a tatty copy of a book of the same name, specifically Volume 1 titled “Explorations in the Microstructure of Cognition: Foundations“ (link https://dl.acm.org/doi/book/10.5555/104279), where Hinton was a contributor. (as part of the PDP Research Group, I presume.)
It caught my attention, that Hinton was in favour of Open not Closed AI with him signing the letter. I like this stance, and commend him for it. But otherwise, he has been a vocal opponent of Open Weights for LLM-s. (from the very first Llama-s) Latest I watched him talk the day before on CBS Mornings `Full interview: "Godfather of AI" shares prediction for future of AI, issues warnings`. (link www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyH3NxFz3Aw)
I think his stance is inconsistent. So I dared post a comment (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916936847823147079) on his post (this and other comments lightly edited for spelling and typing mistakes; will AI solve this bugbear release us from this torment in my lifetime, I wonder):
`You are right there. It would be for the better, if OpenAI stays non-profit, and true to the original intentions and ideas. At least that—given that it's not Open-anything for some time now. But then I struggle to reconcile this stance, with your opposition to Open Weights. I find them taken jointly together incoherent. For—you advocate against Open Weights.
How can Little people like I, reduce power imbalance I suffer v.v. Big Business and Big Government, (they wield much power over me; I wield little power over them) without Open AI (open source, open weights) running on my PC, on my localhost? How can minority groups (e.g. in China-you mentioned in an interview) oppressed by Big government (e.g. China gov) have any hope of resisting back, without those minority groups, having access to Open AI? For neither I nor they, we have not got any hope, developing our own foundational models.
You yourself used free and open software all your life. From unix/linux and python to everything else. You didn't contribute much back I presume. Like 99.9% of us—we use free and open software, benefit from it, and contribute almost zero back. And that's fine, that's ok. For if there was expectation of a "pay back" (in any shape or form)—the software is not be free. Would be software that is to be paid back—even if in kind, even if not contractual but socially expected. So I don't see how "people contribute back to software, but don't to weights" is any kind of rational argument against Open weights.
In your AI catastrophizing—are you sure you are not anthropomorphizing AI? Just b/c humans are terrible and do horrific things to each other, and other species, does not mean AI-s will do the same. (doesn't mean they won't either) One could equally say: humanity is doomed without AI. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or would maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? After all-ChatGPT is the best summary the best reflection we got of us atm. (even if more in width than in depth—for the time being.) Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/think/research ones??
We humans have form thinking "we are special". First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Collectively we are slow learners, with big egos. 😈 (true individually every human is one and unique—but so is/was every creature alive.)’
[[[ The rest of the comment is on another clip I saw if him (link ), extolling socialism as solution to… something(?), that also annoyed me somewhat:
`And on socialism being an answer to anything—you are empirically wrong. An experiment was run, and often a controlled experiment—two Koreas, two Germanies. Socialism was tried in varying time periods, differing geographies, climates, continents, diverse cultures—and it failed without exception, it failed catastrophically and universally. So it's not only that I got a personal experience. (I grew up in a late socialist country.) And saying "socialism in an answer"—with a Stalinist in family?? I struggle to comprehend. We are talking about tens of millions of people—dead. Let us not LARP about that, Musk-style.
Seek further afield for a response to the current crisis of liberalism. The question of "What is to be done now" is perennial - it's not only of our current modern times. Socialism is unlikely to be the answer to anything. Resist nature there, nudging you towards becoming your old man in your old age!’
The last paras on socialism are another thing I find his stance and ideas baffling, ngl.
For ideology or that kind of political philosophy I much better rate his Canadian co-resident Richard Sutton (the Reinforcement Learning dude, of “The Bitter Lesson”-fame). I like his libertarianism of kind.
Can’t help but wonder if Hinton AI doomerism (fear at AI taking over, the horror of that driving him?), and his belief in Big Business (no to Open Wights), and in Big State (socialism), are all related. It strikes me tad impertinent, unwarranted. I personally find Moravec view of AI being `our progeny, our "mind children" built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form’ more appealing to my sensibilities ]]]
This was second event on this topic in two days to catch my attention. The initial one being:
Event #1
Previously Rohit Krishnan publicised in “Deplatforming: AI edition“ how he was banned from using OpenAI and lost access to his AI-s, probably in error. (link https://substack.com/home/post/p-162150633; rectified resolved since, him got his access back).
This is something that I have come to be concerned enough with, so to notice. So I commented (link https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-112312693) on it:
`Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself, is the only way to go about what happened to you. What is on display is they have a lot of power over you. And you have little power over them. This is the reason I'm loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. 🥰
Privacy reasons will be mentioned in some form. IMO again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book on this is "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer Weigend (and early Amazon C.O). Was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicted well our current data landscape.
I don't care about privacy, because when done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
I think we better accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. And remove any and all obstacles on that path, the first one being restrictions on data copying. AI may seem risky, but I think not-AI is magnitudes riskier.’
And to top it off, and what finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and rant early next morning, was someone extolling the virtues of AI doomers!? (where I think they have made things worse for us all.)
Event #3
True that the safety researchers were afraid of these things (link https://x.com/deedydas/status/1916881773885358107) -
`“OpenAI is psychologically manipulating their users via ChatGPT” Consumer AI will necessarily gravitate towards maximizing user engagement across ~1B users over any other goal. We’ve seen this story before with social media.
This is what the “safety” researchers were afraid of.’
To which by that time fully triggered I opined (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916960339394003361):
"Safety" "researchers" were afraid of Big Business manipulating us for farming engagement, and their solution was "let's deliver the plebeians to Big Government, in addition to Big Business"? Really?? Can't decide if the dumdums (they are not researchers, and not security—their work made me less, not more secure) are more stupid, or more evil. For there exists a solution, that empowers Small people - us! - against Big Business *and* Big Government, has been known for decades... It's Free and Open Software, and in the AI age, it's equivalent is - Open Weights. Free Open software - like Linux, GNU, etc - powered the Internet revolution. Earlier less-ideologically articulate incantations (e.g. share-ware, free-ware) even the Personal Computers revolution. Looking like that will continue with Open Weights in the AI revolution ongoing now—good, great! But not thanks to the people you mention. They failed, and miserably so. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals [[[ link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERj3QeGw9Ok ]]] comes to mind. Sadly, we have come to expect such fails. A cast of unlikely characters came together to the rescue. First the arch-villain Zuck of the FB infamy with Llama broke the ice. Then the window opened with models made-in-China! Ha!-fitting that, for our day and age. The dam bursts finally irrevocably with @deepseek_ai, hedge fund quants turned punks in spirit, 😻 releasing not only their models weights, but also their RL algo, and infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there ngl.
Rant over. Hopefully an exercise not to be repeated soon. Aside: I wish everyone in their own lives, are lucky enough to reach old ripe age of “no f*cks given”; it-is-glorious! 😇
https://ljubomirjosifovski.substack.com/publish/post/162387762
Ljubomir Josifovski Apr 29, 2025
Open Source, Open Weights, Open Thoughts, Open Actions, Open AI Computation for ...AGI ...ASI
Open Everything AI is better because it is safer. (OpenAI has not been Open for a while now.)
Three things happened in the last 2-3 days that finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and write a rant about “the intolerable state of affairs in certain corners of the universe that have come to my attention”.
Event #2
Yesterday I read @geoffreyhinton posting (link https://x.com/geoffreyhinton/status/1916916200442912980) of him signing an open letter “Not For Private Gain” (https://notforprivategain.org/) opposing “OpenAI’s proposed restructuring that would transfer control of the development and deployment of artificial general intelligence (AGI) from a nonprofit charity to a for-profit enterprise.”
I am a fan of Hinton, and like almost everything he does publicising AI. AI that has burst into our lives in the past few years in its current incarnation of Large Language Models (LLMs). They are in turn giant multi-layered Neural Networks (NNs), an instance of Parallel Distributed Processing (PDP) type of computing. PDP I first learned about as undergraduate student around 1990, from a tatty copy of a book of the same name, specifically Volume 1 titled “Explorations in the Microstructure of Cognition: Foundations“ (link https://dl.acm.org/doi/book/10.5555/104279), where Hinton was a contributor. (as part of the PDP Research Group, I presume.)
It caught my attention, that Hinton was in favour of Open not Closed AI with him signing the letter. I like this stance, and commend him for it. But otherwise, he has been a vocal opponent of Open Weights for LLM-s. (from the very first Llama-s) Latest I watched him talk the day before on CBS Mornings `Full interview: "Godfather of AI" shares prediction for future of AI, issues warnings`. (link www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyH3NxFz3Aw)
I think his stance is inconsistent. So I dared post a comment (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916936847823147079) on his post (this and other comments lightly edited for spelling and typing mistakes; will AI solve this bugbear release us from this torment in my lifetime, I wonder):
`You are right there. It would be for the better, if OpenAI stays non-profit, and true to the original intentions and ideas. At least that—given that it's not Open-anything for some time now. But then I struggle to reconcile this stance, with your opposition to Open Weights. I find them taken jointly together incoherent. For—you advocate against Open Weights.
How can Little people like I, reduce power imbalance I suffer v.v. Big Business and Big Government, (they wield much power over me; I wield little power over them) without Open AI (open source, open weights) running on my PC, on my localhost? How can minority groups (e.g. in China-you mentioned in an interview) oppressed by Big government (e.g. China gov) have any hope of resisting back, without those minority groups, having access to Open AI? For neither I nor they, we have not got any hope, developing our own foundational models.
You yourself used free and open software all your life. From unix/linux and python to everything else. You didn't contribute much back I presume. Like 99.9% of us—we use free and open software, benefit from it, and contribute almost zero back. And that's fine, that's ok. For if there was expectation of a "pay back" (in any shape or form)—the software is not be free. Would be software that is to be paid back—even if in kind, even if not contractual but socially expected. So I don't see how "people contribute back to software, but don't to weights" is any kind of rational argument against Open weights.
In your AI catastrophizing—are you sure you are not anthropomorphizing AI? Just b/c humans are terrible and do horrific things to each other, and other species, does not mean AI-s will do the same. (doesn't mean they won't either) One could equally say: humanity is doomed without AI. Do you trust more Trump and Putin with thermo-nuclear war avoidance? Or would maybe ChatGPT do a better job there? After all-ChatGPT is the best summary the best reflection we got of us atm. (even if more in width than in depth—for the time being.) Whose reasoning do you trust more—Trump's, or models like o3 or Deep/think/research ones??
We humans have form thinking "we are special". First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳 Latter—we were special for He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰 Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable that, but...but - we were at least *rational* animals!! - and then—Freud. 🧐 Collectively we are slow learners, with big egos. 😈 (true individually every human is one and unique—but so is/was every creature alive.)’
[[[ The rest of the comment is on another clip I saw if him (link ), extolling socialism as solution to… something(?), that also annoyed me somewhat:
`And on socialism being an answer to anything—you are empirically wrong. An experiment was run, and often a controlled experiment—two Koreas, two Germanies. Socialism was tried in varying time periods, differing geographies, climates, continents, diverse cultures—and it failed without exception, it failed catastrophically and universally. So it's not only that I got a personal experience. (I grew up in a late socialist country.) And saying "socialism in an answer"—with a Stalinist in family?? I struggle to comprehend. We are talking about tens of millions of people—dead. Let us not LARP about that, Musk-style.
Seek further afield for a response to the current crisis of liberalism. The question of "What is to be done now" is perennial - it's not only of our current modern times. Socialism is unlikely to be the answer to anything. Resist nature there, nudging you towards becoming your old man in your old age!’
The last paras on socialism are another thing I find his stance and ideas baffling, ngl.
For ideology or that kind of political philosophy I much better rate his Canadian co-resident Richard Sutton (the Reinforcement Learning dude, of “The Bitter Lesson”-fame). I like his libertarianism of kind.
Can’t help but wonder if Hinton AI doomerism (fear at AI taking over, the horror of that driving him?), and his belief in Big Business (no to Open Wights), and in Big State (socialism), are all related. It strikes me tad impertinent, unwarranted. I personally find Moravec view of AI being `our progeny, our "mind children" built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form’ more appealing to my sensibilities ]]]
This was second event on this topic in two days to catch my attention. The initial one being:
Event #1
Previously Rohit Krishnan publicised in “Deplatforming: AI edition“ how he was banned from using OpenAI and lost access to his AI-s, probably in error. (link https://substack.com/home/post/p-162150633; rectified resolved since, him got his access back).
This is something that I have come to be concerned enough with, so to notice. So I commented (link https://substack.com/@ljubomirjosifovski/note/c-112312693) on it:
`Keeping control, not relinquishing total control over your person, your life, your wellbeing, to entities that care little about yourself, is the only way to go about what happened to you. What is on display is they have a lot of power over you. And you have little power over them. This is the reason I'm loving localhost open source, open weights, open thoughts, open actions, ...open AGI, open ASI. 🥰
Privacy reasons will be mentioned in some form. IMO again and again that's shown to be a red herring. I personally don't care that much. Preferences revealed when we are forced to put a price on how much we care about privacy - reveal that care quantifies close to zero. We usually lie when we say we care. And that's a good thing tbh, that we are instinctive data share maximalists even if unaware of it.
Oldie goodie book on this is "Data for the People" by early AI pioneer Weigend (and early Amazon C.O). Was prescient in the forecasts, aged well, mostly predicted well our current data landscape.
I don't care about privacy, because when done on a societal level, it retards progress—at the most general. Human intelligence is collective. And intelligence is the only remedy I know of, that can upend our stupidity. (that is also collective.)
I think we better accept and internalise "The Bitter Lesson" of Sutton, that may as well be called "The Iron Law of (Data,Compute)" of compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ...AGI... → ...ASI. And remove any and all obstacles on that path, the first one being restrictions on data copying. AI may seem risky, but I think not-AI is magnitudes riskier.’
And to top it off, and what finally send me over the cliff to come here on Substack and rant early next morning, was someone extolling the virtues of AI doomers!? (where I think they have made things worse for us all.)
Event #3
True that the safety researchers were afraid of these things (link https://x.com/deedydas/status/1916881773885358107) -
`“OpenAI is psychologically manipulating their users via ChatGPT” Consumer AI will necessarily gravitate towards maximizing user engagement across ~1B users over any other goal. We’ve seen this story before with social media.
This is what the “safety” researchers were afraid of.’
To which by that time fully triggered I opined (link https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1916960339394003361):
"Safety" "researchers" were afraid of Big Business manipulating us for farming engagement, and their solution was "let's deliver the plebeians to Big Government, in addition to Big Business"? Really?? Can't decide if the dumdums (they are not researchers, and not security—their work made me less, not more secure) are more stupid, or more evil. For there exists a solution, that empowers Small people - us! - against Big Business *and* Big Government, has been known for decades... It's Free and Open Software, and in the AI age, it's equivalent is - Open Weights. Free Open software - like Linux, GNU, etc - powered the Internet revolution. Earlier less-ideologically articulate incantations (e.g. share-ware, free-ware) even the Personal Computers revolution. Looking like that will continue with Open Weights in the AI revolution ongoing now—good, great! But not thanks to the people you mention. They failed, and miserably so. Thomas Sowell on intellectuals [[[ link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERj3QeGw9Ok ]]] comes to mind. Sadly, we have come to expect such fails. A cast of unlikely characters came together to the rescue. First the arch-villain Zuck of the FB infamy with Llama broke the ice. Then the window opened with models made-in-China! Ha!-fitting that, for our day and age. The dam bursts finally irrevocably with @deepseek_ai, hedge fund quants turned punks in spirit, 😻 releasing not only their models weights, but also their RL algo, and infrastructure knowledge, in code and in research papers. Movie material right there ngl.
Rant over. Hopefully an exercise not to be repeated soon. Aside: I wish everyone in their own lives, are lucky enough to reach old ripe age of “no f*cks given”; it-is-glorious! 😇
Bsky posts archive
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldjd3j6a2s2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK why Social Media companies refuse to implement flags 1) real human (but not the name) 2) real human AND real name. Paid by us users as one-off fee. I'd pay $99 one-off, iif I had tools to filter posts and or accounts on - 1-yes/no, 2-yes/no. Wd have thought SocMedCos wd jump on the opportunity?
17 December 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK why Social Media companies refuse to implement flags 1) real human (but not the name) 2) real human AND real name. Paid by us users as one-off fee. I'd pay $99 one-off, iif I had tools to filter posts and or accounts on - 1-yes/no, 2-yes/no. Wd have thought SocMedCos wd jump on the opportunity?
17 December 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldixpiqiu22t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Agreeing non-violently 😁
Saw this https://brantondemoss.com/research/grokking/ about Grokking. It occurres to me Grokking maybe human too: babies are born with surplus neurons, that subsequently die off. Life is max optimised, that looks a waste - so why? Maybe one needs to memoize before one can generalise.
The Complexity Dynamics of Grokking
brantondemoss.com
17 December 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Agreeing non-violently 😁
Saw this https://brantondemoss.com/research/grokking/ about Grokking. It occurres to me Grokking maybe human too: babies are born with surplus neurons, that subsequently die off. Life is max optimised, that looks a waste - so why? Maybe one needs to memoize before one can generalise.
The Complexity Dynamics of Grokking
brantondemoss.com
17 December 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldhmahl2jk2s
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
All on the list are information processing machines. It's a model. Nothing wrong to model the unknown with the latest-greatest we got in our toolbox. This case has a small kink-ANNs were developed as models for how the brain works. "Airplanes have wings but don't flap them" discussions are forever.
17 December 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
All on the list are information processing machines. It's a model. Nothing wrong to model the unknown with the latest-greatest we got in our toolbox. This case has a small kink-ANNs were developed as models for how the brain works. "Airplanes have wings but don't flap them" discussions are forever.
17 December 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldhbnlzvbk2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nope. More like -
> test-time training (TTT) -- updating model parameters temporarily during inference using a loss derived from input data
This is what was called "Adaptation" (like - "speaker adaptation", "environmental adaptation") in the ASR systems I know of vintage ~2004. (20yrs ago!).
16 December 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nope. More like -
> test-time training (TTT) -- updating model parameters temporarily during inference using a loss derived from input data
This is what was called "Adaptation" (like - "speaker adaptation", "environmental adaptation") in the ASR systems I know of vintage ~2004. (20yrs ago!).
16 December 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldetznb2c22x
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good to read-
> The public has witnessed elite failure on a colossal scale
...even if 10yrs late. But didn't see why LAB will work where CON failed. Policies are v.similar. Tempting to think "LAB are better people" but I doubt it makes a diff. E.g. LH is fail affecting 5M where it cd have been a win.
15 December 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good to read-
> The public has witnessed elite failure on a colossal scale
...even if 10yrs late. But didn't see why LAB will work where CON failed. Policies are v.similar. Tempting to think "LAB are better people" but I doubt it makes a diff. E.g. LH is fail affecting 5M where it cd have been a win.
15 December 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lddp36h7ss2s
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
TBF there is a connection-only it's a one way connection. 😭
Similar to a connection we feel to a long dead author when reading their book? The writer speaks to me. But no point in me speaking back. They can't reply.
Social media platforms shd make it easier to "memorialize" an account. FB has that.
15 December 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
TBF there is a connection-only it's a one way connection. 😭
Similar to a connection we feel to a long dead author when reading their book? The writer speaks to me. But no point in me speaking back. They can't reply.
Social media platforms shd make it easier to "memorialize" an account. FB has that.
15 December 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldbwdnibuk2m
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hey @libdems.org.uk @libdems.org.uk.web.brid.gy , hello @victoria-collins.bsky.social
Spot opportunity, win power, right there in the FT chart.
Topple LAB as party of governement in your market segment.
Ours is time of us the public in open revolt. Old elite is failing.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hey @libdems.org.uk @libdems.org.uk.web.brid.gy , hello @victoria-collins.bsky.social
Spot opportunity, win power, right there in the FT chart.
Topple LAB as party of governement in your market segment.
Ours is time of us the public in open revolt. Old elite is failing.
https://www.ft.com/content/ae096443-0115-43a9-b8e7-09c9afcbca2a
Reform UK calls for Thames Water to be renationalised
Populist party’s deputy leader says heavily indebted utility should ‘be put out of its misery’
www.ft.com
14 December 2024 at 18:25
Reform UK calls for Thames Water to be renationalised
Populist party’s deputy leader says heavily indebted utility should ‘be put out of its misery’
www.ft.com
14 December 2024 at 18:25
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldbhmj33rk23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Maybe another -0.1% negative GDP print fatally undermines No.11 Reeves & she's out at the next reshuffle. She birngs nothing to the table. GDP will be flat linning for foreseable future prob +/- 0.1% zig-zag. Maybe by stroke of luck we get third -0.1% in a row, new chancelor, then few +0.x% in row.
14 December 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Maybe another -0.1% negative GDP print fatally undermines No.11 Reeves & she's out at the next reshuffle. She birngs nothing to the table. GDP will be flat linning for foreseable future prob +/- 0.1% zig-zag. Maybe by stroke of luck we get third -0.1% in a row, new chancelor, then few +0.x% in row.
14 December 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldbgt3o32s23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You are not wrong there, but think Thiel/pmarca argument is: we have oligarchy at all times, always. (e.g. here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgTeZXw-ytQ)
A Republic rather than direct democracy is kind of an Oligarchy etc. Abt 1K-10K People can organise in an cohsevive unit in a way that 1M-10M people never can.
Marc Andreessen on AI, Tech, Censorship and Dining With Trump
YouTube video by The Free Press
youtu.be
14 December 2024 at 13:48
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You are not wrong there, but think Thiel/pmarca argument is: we have oligarchy at all times, always. (e.g. here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgTeZXw-ytQ)
A Republic rather than direct democracy is kind of an Oligarchy etc. Abt 1K-10K People can organise in an cohsevive unit in a way that 1M-10M people never can.
Marc Andreessen on AI, Tech, Censorship and Dining With Trump
YouTube video by The Free Press
youtu.be
14 December 2024 at 13:48
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldbg7i3bnk23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
ta- IDK enough to judge. Seems relevant Qs abt any sub-units are 1) can they support enough scale in projects 2) can then meaningfully compete with each other 3) can they raise revenue on their own. Ideally £££ incentives would be: +ve for doing, -ve for not doing stuff. May need bigger >500K units.
14 December 2024 at 13:37
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
ta- IDK enough to judge. Seems relevant Qs abt any sub-units are 1) can they support enough scale in projects 2) can then meaningfully compete with each other 3) can they raise revenue on their own. Ideally £££ incentives would be: +ve for doing, -ve for not doing stuff. May need bigger >500K units.
14 December 2024 at 13:37
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldbfxpd6yk2a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah. I'm flumoxxed how it's that difficult to come out and say "it's a drone testing fascility, all fine, move on please". Instead climate of fear and uncertainty is allowed to take root, over virtually nothing. I assume it's bog standard institutional inertia "not my job my responsibility to ..."
14 December 2024 at 13:32
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah. I'm flumoxxed how it's that difficult to come out and say "it's a drone testing fascility, all fine, move on please". Instead climate of fear and uncertainty is allowed to take root, over virtually nothing. I assume it's bog standard institutional inertia "not my job my responsibility to ..."
14 December 2024 at 13:32
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldb4jnosos2d
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Prob it doesn't help that Treasury incentives are skewed. Financial stability trumps risks not-taken but need for growth. At this point the system is so centralised, that it'd be a brake even wh more grwth skewed incentives. Only decentralisation+incentives change at lower levels can move things now
14 December 2024 at 10:43
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Prob it doesn't help that Treasury incentives are skewed. Financial stability trumps risks not-taken but need for growth. At this point the system is so centralised, that it'd be a brake even wh more grwth skewed incentives. Only decentralisation+incentives change at lower levels can move things now
14 December 2024 at 10:43
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldb43mqh2k2d
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Without opening the link or reading the story 😮 - easy. It's a drone testing area of some branch of the military. Probably the Navy. Probably will find out the objects sighted in the dark have FAA compliant signalling lights.
14 December 2024 at 10:35
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Without opening the link or reading the story 😮 - easy. It's a drone testing area of some branch of the military. Probably the Navy. Probably will find out the objects sighted in the dark have FAA compliant signalling lights.
14 December 2024 at 10:35
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3ldb3mzppmc2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Topical, worth a reminder and rereading -
"The two methods that seem to scale arbitrarily in this way are search and learning."
http://www.incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html
The Bitter Lesson
www.incompleteideas.net
14 December 2024 at 10:27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Topical, worth a reminder and rereading -
"The two methods that seem to scale arbitrarily in this way are search and learning."
http://www.incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html
The Bitter Lesson
www.incompleteideas.net
14 December 2024 at 10:27
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lcusvmoxmk2j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hi there. I really enjoyed reading "Who Owns the Future" years ago. 👏 Thanks for writing that! ☺️
December 9, 2024 at 1:19 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hi there. I really enjoyed reading "Who Owns the Future" years ago. 👏 Thanks for writing that! ☺️
December 9, 2024 at 1:19 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lcumpcmxhc2p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This to me looked pretty damning. (didn't see it referenced)
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
Esp the bit where random noise is input, is thrown into the program/procedure that produces the D-K chart, and - success(!!) - the D-K plot shows up!
IDK how D-K can be still a thing after that.
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
economicsfromthetopdown.com
December 9, 2024 at 11:28 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This to me looked pretty damning. (didn't see it referenced)
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
Esp the bit where random noise is input, is thrown into the program/procedure that produces the D-K chart, and - success(!!) - the D-K plot shows up!
IDK how D-K can be still a thing after that.
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down
Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?
economicsfromthetopdown.com
December 9, 2024 at 11:28 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lcnfci2nz22n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 Da! Na dva monitori. ☺️ Da, jas sum na X/Ubuntu, go spojuva celiot Desktop na 2 monitori. Mislam sekoj OS veke moze. Kompjuterot e 10 god star - no ima 128 GB RAM.
Sega gledam ne se gleda ubavo slikata, izgleda Bsky pravi downsampling. Ovde ostaviv original -
https://ljubomirj.github.io/deck-blue-2.png
December 6, 2024 at 2:27 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 Da! Na dva monitori. ☺️ Da, jas sum na X/Ubuntu, go spojuva celiot Desktop na 2 monitori. Mislam sekoj OS veke moze. Kompjuterot e 10 god star - no ima 128 GB RAM.
Sega gledam ne se gleda ubavo slikata, izgleda Bsky pravi downsampling. Ovde ostaviv original -
https://ljubomirj.github.io/deck-blue-2.png
December 6, 2024 at 2:27 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lcndil3ric24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
List-s! - da!! I jas koristam listi. X bese nevozmozen bez listi samo so 1 Feed (sega e malku podobar).
Jas gi kombiniram List-s so Deck-s. 1 List==1 Deck, plus Deck za site listi (1 lista==1 kolona), Deck za personalni feeds etc.
Bsky imam Feeds+Lists, na @deck.blue - pic. Super za citanje :-)
deck-blue-2.png
December 6, 2024 at 1:55 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
List-s! - da!! I jas koristam listi. X bese nevozmozen bez listi samo so 1 Feed (sega e malku podobar).
Jas gi kombiniram List-s so Deck-s. 1 List==1 Deck, plus Deck za site listi (1 lista==1 kolona), Deck za personalni feeds etc.
Bsky imam Feeds+Lists, na @deck.blue - pic. Super za citanje :-)
deck-blue-2.png
December 6, 2024 at 1:55 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lclx2navp22u
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 Otprilikativno, vo prva aproksimacija.
Za raboti sto mene me interesiraat, kolku sto ke procitam ili najdam interesno na X za eden den, na Bsky mi treba verojatno par nedeli, da procitam tolku interesni raboti. 😀
Verojatno e del toa sto se licni interesi (ML, AI, kompjuteri i sl) ima poveke na X.
December 6, 2024 at 12:40 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 Otprilikativno, vo prva aproksimacija.
Za raboti sto mene me interesiraat, kolku sto ke procitam ili najdam interesno na X za eden den, na Bsky mi treba verojatno par nedeli, da procitam tolku interesni raboti. 😀
Verojatno e del toa sto se licni interesi (ML, AI, kompjuteri i sl) ima poveke na X.
December 6, 2024 at 12:40 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lclsj5yzzc2w
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 Вредноста на мрежата за нас корисниците е во интеракцијата меѓу нас, корисниците. Интеракција обично има само ако има врска. Бројот на потенцијалните врски во мрежата се зголемува со квадратот на бројот на корисниците. Ако корисници се триплираат, врските ќе се зголемат 9 пати (= 3 на квадрат).
December 5, 2024 at 11:18 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 Вредноста на мрежата за нас корисниците е во интеракцијата меѓу нас, корисниците. Интеракција обично има само ако има врска. Бројот на потенцијалните врски во мрежата се зголемува со квадратот на бројот на корисниците. Ако корисници се триплираат, врските ќе се зголемат 9 пати (= 3 на квадрат).
December 5, 2024 at 11:18 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lclaq4azrd2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Heh - the “public square N² iron law of network value”: the value of a network lies in its interactions, which scale quadratically with the number of users (N).
Ako X ima 200M korisnici, pola botovi znaci 100M, Bsky ima 20M, na X ke dobies (100/20)^2=25 pati poveke vnimanie.
December 5, 2024 at 6:00 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Heh - the “public square N² iron law of network value”: the value of a network lies in its interactions, which scale quadratically with the number of users (N).
Ako X ima 200M korisnici, pola botovi znaci 100M, Bsky ima 20M, na X ke dobies (100/20)^2=25 pati poveke vnimanie.
December 5, 2024 at 6:00 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lcczzj5ktk2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Implementign flags like realHuman (human is real but the name is not IRL), and realHumanName (both human exists and this is IRL name) seem useful to me, but never happen. Not on X either. IDK why. I would pay to have done on my acc. If there is s/w support to filter acc/content on that axis too.
December 2, 2024 at 11:39 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Implementign flags like realHuman (human is real but the name is not IRL), and realHumanName (both human exists and this is IRL name) seem useful to me, but never happen. Not on X either. IDK why. I would pay to have done on my acc. If there is s/w support to filter acc/content on that axis too.
December 2, 2024 at 11:39 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lcavq7gybs2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
A theory that can be written down, with mathematics, in greek symbols, equations etc. Few lines in length, max one page, a single A4 sheet. Does that not strike you as arbitrary? That the world could be explained in exactly one sheet of paper. A measure related to human capability to understand. No?
December 1, 2024 at 3:17 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
A theory that can be written down, with mathematics, in greek symbols, equations etc. Few lines in length, max one page, a single A4 sheet. Does that not strike you as arbitrary? That the world could be explained in exactly one sheet of paper. A measure related to human capability to understand. No?
December 1, 2024 at 3:17 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lc3zbx55zk23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I have no way of knowing, but: the zest for open source open weights - NB Mixtral too, seemingly bunch of frenchies lured back to Paris from SV on a personal initiative of Macron - may have something to do with USG crazy talk and intention "we control AI back off" mentioned by M. Andreessen on JRE.
November 29, 2024 at 4:37 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I have no way of knowing, but: the zest for open source open weights - NB Mixtral too, seemingly bunch of frenchies lured back to Paris from SV on a personal initiative of Macron - may have something to do with USG crazy talk and intention "we control AI back off" mentioned by M. Andreessen on JRE.
November 29, 2024 at 4:37 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lc3yy4bnz223
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ooh - the QwQ .gguf weights quantized here -
https://huggingface.co/bartowski/QwQ-32B-Preview-GGUF
For use with llama.cpp. How exciting! 🤩 Living in interesting times. 🥰
bartowski/QwQ-32B-Preview-GGUF · Hugging Face
We’re on a journey to advance and democratize artificial intelligence through open source and open science.
huggingface.co
https://bsky.app/profile/sungkim.bsky.social/post/3lbxgctqzrc2c
Sung Kim @sungkim.bsky.social · 1d
Chinese AI companies move as a group. DeepSeek, Alibaba, InternLM, and Alibaba (it is a big company) again.
Alibaba's QwQ, pronounced as /kwju:/ , similar to the word “quill”.
Blog: qwenlm.github.io/blog/qwq-32b...
Model: huggingface.co/Qwen/QwQ-32B...
Demo: huggingface.co/spaces/Qwen/...
November 29, 2024 at 4:31 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ooh - the QwQ .gguf weights quantized here -
https://huggingface.co/bartowski/QwQ-32B-Preview-GGUF
For use with llama.cpp. How exciting! 🤩 Living in interesting times. 🥰
bartowski/QwQ-32B-Preview-GGUF · Hugging Face
We’re on a journey to advance and democratize artificial intelligence through open source and open science.
huggingface.co
https://bsky.app/profile/sungkim.bsky.social/post/3lbxgctqzrc2c
Sung Kim @sungkim.bsky.social · 1d
Chinese AI companies move as a group. DeepSeek, Alibaba, InternLM, and Alibaba (it is a big company) again.
Alibaba's QwQ, pronounced as /kwju:/ , similar to the word “quill”.
Blog: qwenlm.github.io/blog/qwq-32b...
Model: huggingface.co/Qwen/QwQ-32B...
Demo: huggingface.co/spaces/Qwen/...
November 29, 2024 at 4:31 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbxbehbyic2d
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah in general with new research: the more extreme the outlier, the more likely is to be a fluke of random chance. One result never to be replicated again. Esp in non-natural sciences where knowledge is more statistical and all relations are weak. But yeah, TED is "the 1% of the 1%" top of the pops
November 27, 2024 at 7:18 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah in general with new research: the more extreme the outlier, the more likely is to be a fluke of random chance. One result never to be replicated again. Esp in non-natural sciences where knowledge is more statistical and all relations are weak. But yeah, TED is "the 1% of the 1%" top of the pops
November 27, 2024 at 7:18 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbx3l4lih22i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It helps to stay away from flowery language & stick to basics. Intellectual Property exists in human law, not in natural law. Me copying your words does not deprive you of them. I don't want kids imprisoned for sharing a pic. If the pic author doesn't want it copied don't publish it on the Internet
November 27, 2024 at 5:34 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It helps to stay away from flowery language & stick to basics. Intellectual Property exists in human law, not in natural law. Me copying your words does not deprive you of them. I don't want kids imprisoned for sharing a pic. If the pic author doesn't want it copied don't publish it on the Internet
November 27, 2024 at 5:34 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbwphkodsk2h
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 IDK which "these people" you have in mind. All normies are clueless. It's certainly not "I know I don't care". It's "I have no clue what gobledugook you just wrote above, and have zero desire to find out". You "Distributed" and "Protocol" stopped everyone mid-read and they swiped away. 😂
November 27, 2024 at 1:58 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 IDK which "these people" you have in mind. All normies are clueless. It's certainly not "I know I don't care". It's "I have no clue what gobledugook you just wrote above, and have zero desire to find out". You "Distributed" and "Protocol" stopped everyone mid-read and they swiped away. 😂
November 27, 2024 at 1:58 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbwom4jzts2h
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Might equally say - tragedy of the commons exists b/c of pple like his detractors. Internet is built on open free software. All protocols, most software, certainly GNU/Linux that most servers run. All built by pple delighted to have their codes copied, and detested enclosure enough to invent GPL.
November 27, 2024 at 1:42 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Might equally say - tragedy of the commons exists b/c of pple like his detractors. Internet is built on open free software. All protocols, most software, certainly GNU/Linux that most servers run. All built by pple delighted to have their codes copied, and detested enclosure enough to invent GPL.
November 27, 2024 at 1:42 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbwkn6vtik2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We have had abt 1.2C warming in the last 100 years - right? We got some idea by now of how big a problem it is, and what can we realistically do. Always puzzled what advocates messaging "we are doomed, doomed" hope to achieve with the message. Surely the rational answer to that msg is "do nothing"??
November 27, 2024 at 12:31 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We have had abt 1.2C warming in the last 100 years - right? We got some idea by now of how big a problem it is, and what can we realistically do. Always puzzled what advocates messaging "we are doomed, doomed" hope to achieve with the message. Surely the rational answer to that msg is "do nothing"??
November 27, 2024 at 12:31 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbwbrxhkqk25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What's your opinion on the build-build-build movement? Does it have any basis in reality? Their impression/assumption is "nothing gets built, we are in paralisis in a stasis". And they blame the administrative state for this. I'm in the UK, and something similar is brewing here too.
November 27, 2024 at 9:53 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What's your opinion on the build-build-build movement? Does it have any basis in reality? Their impression/assumption is "nothing gets built, we are in paralisis in a stasis". And they blame the administrative state for this. I'm in the UK, and something similar is brewing here too.
November 27, 2024 at 9:53 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbwahsm3cc2a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good luck. As you seem health and fitness concious. Maybe once you bring the sugar level back in normal range. Write a reflection post: things I though were good for me, but then when I measured, found out they were actually bad. And I managed to turn them around, by doing these alternatives. Best,
November 27, 2024 at 9:29 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good luck. As you seem health and fitness concious. Maybe once you bring the sugar level back in normal range. Write a reflection post: things I though were good for me, but then when I measured, found out they were actually bad. And I managed to turn them around, by doing these alternatives. Best,
November 27, 2024 at 9:29 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbw6zitiak2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Retain ownership of the Follows-Followers Social Graph, and we are golden. It speaks ill of us humans that it has to come to this, but... Zuck has the luxury of not having to go for the max peak. A peak almost as good as the max for him, and much better for the rest not-Zuck, also exists.
November 27, 2024 at 9:03 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Retain ownership of the Follows-Followers Social Graph, and we are golden. It speaks ill of us humans that it has to come to this, but... Zuck has the luxury of not having to go for the max peak. A peak almost as good as the max for him, and much better for the rest not-Zuck, also exists.
November 27, 2024 at 9:03 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbw6lc7lzc2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Why surprise? They were built as "the best model of us we can build". To the extent we discover in them, things we know of the human brain - the build up suceeds (or fails). Has implications for non-human intelligences of animals, plants, tissues, cells etc. That seems very important but overlooked.
November 27, 2024 at 8:56 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Why surprise? They were built as "the best model of us we can build". To the extent we discover in them, things we know of the human brain - the build up suceeds (or fails). Has implications for non-human intelligences of animals, plants, tissues, cells etc. That seems very important but overlooked.
November 27, 2024 at 8:56 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbw6fncpus2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 Hehe - good luck to the "don't anthromorpise" brigade there. They are much more like us, than they are like the VonNeuman computers we built 1st. And by design, not by accident too. Connectionism's "Learning (not representations) is *the* central problem" was humans' inspired too.
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
November 27, 2024 at 8:52 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 Hehe - good luck to the "don't anthromorpise" brigade there. They are much more like us, than they are like the VonNeuman computers we built 1st. And by design, not by accident too. Connectionism's "Learning (not representations) is *the* central problem" was humans' inspired too.
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
November 27, 2024 at 8:52 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbobvykzps2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I block on 1st bad interaction, block back when blocked. If I 'm reading passively & don't want to ever read again, I try guess "why am I being shown this" & act more upstream. So not to have to whack one by one downstream. Failing that - mute (not block) downstream. Lists - no, I don't use them.
November 24, 2024 at 5:34 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I block on 1st bad interaction, block back when blocked. If I 'm reading passively & don't want to ever read again, I try guess "why am I being shown this" & act more upstream. So not to have to whack one by one downstream. Failing that - mute (not block) downstream. Lists - no, I don't use them.
November 24, 2024 at 5:34 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbo4bkajmc25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm a sucker for Kurzweil "sexier smarter more creative... free from biological limitations... spending time wh family&friends, loving&being loved, enhanced by AI", All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace. My hopes for the future, manifest 🥰 Joint p.d.f between X&Y captures all that can be known
pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
November 24, 2024 at 3:53 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm a sucker for Kurzweil "sexier smarter more creative... free from biological limitations... spending time wh family&friends, loving&being loved, enhanced by AI", All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace. My hopes for the future, manifest 🥰 Joint p.d.f between X&Y captures all that can be known
pdf-joint-cond-marg-1of3.png
November 24, 2024 at 3:53 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbmat5lfg22f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I am not maligning them, I am sure they hope for and work for the best. However - there is more than personal desires to the outcomes. c.f.
america2.news/without-sky-...
We don't need to be wilfully blind. We can hold more than one idea in our heads.
Without Sky: Social Media and the End of Reality
People are flocking to Bluesky in droves, but creators and users should think critically about the risk of capture by potentially hostile investors.
america2.news
November 23, 2024 at 10:09 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I am not maligning them, I am sure they hope for and work for the best. However - there is more than personal desires to the outcomes. c.f.
america2.news/without-sky-...
We don't need to be wilfully blind. We can hold more than one idea in our heads.
Without Sky: Social Media and the End of Reality
People are flocking to Bluesky in droves, but creators and users should think critically about the risk of capture by potentially hostile investors.
america2.news
November 23, 2024 at 10:09 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbm6jszgj225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You can't know, he can't know, no one can know-this is in the future, yet to happen. Note he's saying "don't be certain". He's not claiming anything with abs certainty. That's a good take. You ask for evidence. Anyone giving you, is lying to you, and maybe themselves. We can't have certainty.
November 23, 2024 at 9:28 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You can't know, he can't know, no one can know-this is in the future, yet to happen. Note he's saying "don't be certain". He's not claiming anything with abs certainty. That's a good take. You ask for evidence. Anyone giving you, is lying to you, and maybe themselves. We can't have certainty.
November 23, 2024 at 9:28 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lblpjx5gik2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK how or why, but the stock markets are like that too. On the +ve side small daily gains for many, 100s of days. On the -ve side when a crisis plays out - the moves down are 10x to 20x larger, play out in about a fortnight. Markets crash amazingly quickly all things considering.
November 23, 2024 at 5:00 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK how or why, but the stock markets are like that too. On the +ve side small daily gains for many, 100s of days. On the -ve side when a crisis plays out - the moves down are 10x to 20x larger, play out in about a fortnight. Markets crash amazingly quickly all things considering.
November 23, 2024 at 5:00 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbloomh42s2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Polling data. The French whale who bet big on DT, did so only after commissioning and paying for his own polls. And placing his bets only after his private polling, revealed a discrepancy large enough, to the publicity known polling. So not all polls were off. Only the public ones. IDK why or how.
November 23, 2024 at 4:44 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Polling data. The French whale who bet big on DT, did so only after commissioning and paying for his own polls. And placing his bets only after his private polling, revealed a discrepancy large enough, to the publicity known polling. So not all polls were off. Only the public ones. IDK why or how.
November 23, 2024 at 4:44 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbln5s2y3k2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 Most humans are full of sh*t. Could say - lie all the time, only, they themselves think they believe it, so not sure it qualifies as a lie. Ignorant, stupid - that's how it took humanity 10K years to crawl out of hovels and create the modern world. Once one starts noticing it's hard to stop. 😶
November 23, 2024 at 4:17 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 Most humans are full of sh*t. Could say - lie all the time, only, they themselves think they believe it, so not sure it qualifies as a lie. Ignorant, stupid - that's how it took humanity 10K years to crawl out of hovels and create the modern world. Once one starts noticing it's hard to stop. 😶
November 23, 2024 at 4:17 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbknhzkh7s26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We all have 1) private truths and 2) pubic truths. In a group context, we routinely decide to propagate public untruths, in preference to sticking our neck above the parapet and voicing private truth. Sabine YT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
It's less nefarious than it sounds, oft for good reasons
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
YouTube video by Sabine Hossenfelder
www.youtube.com
November 22, 2024 at 6:50 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We all have 1) private truths and 2) pubic truths. In a group context, we routinely decide to propagate public untruths, in preference to sticking our neck above the parapet and voicing private truth. Sabine YT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
It's less nefarious than it sounds, oft for good reasons
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
YouTube video by Sabine Hossenfelder
www.youtube.com
November 22, 2024 at 6:50 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbkn7n4bi226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Afaics Like usually
1) Communicates to the author
a) I read your post
b) I liked what I read
c) I find this notable or interesting
2) If public, then the same is communicated to all third parties (ex-author, ex-liker)
3) The liker - may use them as 1-tap bookmarks-within-context
November 22, 2024 at 6:45 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Afaics Like usually
1) Communicates to the author
a) I read your post
b) I liked what I read
c) I find this notable or interesting
2) If public, then the same is communicated to all third parties (ex-author, ex-liker)
3) The liker - may use them as 1-tap bookmarks-within-context
November 22, 2024 at 6:45 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbkhjdwavs2u
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nuclear reg 1) CO2 emissions are at ATH in part b/c regulators but outlawed peaceful nuclear. At the same time, 2) we are on the brink of WW3 ending in nuclear Armageddon b/c no regulation ever applies to the military. Wrt AI my lesson learned: leave it alone, temper our egos, we're not that clever.
November 22, 2024 at 5:04 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nuclear reg 1) CO2 emissions are at ATH in part b/c regulators but outlawed peaceful nuclear. At the same time, 2) we are on the brink of WW3 ending in nuclear Armageddon b/c no regulation ever applies to the military. Wrt AI my lesson learned: leave it alone, temper our egos, we're not that clever.
November 22, 2024 at 5:04 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbkeicpcps2u
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
1/
I'm afraid you are wrong there as an absolute. This is an "ought to be" take applied to "how it is" real world. I'm by default anti-privacy and for radical transparency more then 99.9% of the opinions I read. However - there is place and time for both.
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
1/
I'm afraid you are wrong there as an absolute. This is an "ought to be" take applied to "how it is" real world. I'm by default anti-privacy and for radical transparency more then 99.9% of the opinions I read. However - there is place and time for both.
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbkeiczmsc2u
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
2/
We cast secret ballots in national elections. But our elected representatives vote publicly in Parliaments. There is a balance to be struct to maximize the upside and minimize the downside. Our human intelligence is collective, not individual, despite our huge egos assuming otherwise.
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
2/
We cast secret ballots in national elections. But our elected representatives vote publicly in Parliaments. There is a balance to be struct to maximize the upside and minimize the downside. Our human intelligence is collective, not individual, despite our huge egos assuming otherwise.
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbkeiczsns2u
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
3/
So is our stupidity. There is Collective Stupidity as a mirror image to Wisdom of crowds. The incomparable @hossenfelder.bsky.social has a very nice video about this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
When, why do we act on public falsehoods, even if privately we know the truth, is fascinating imo.
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
YouTube video by Sabine Hossenfelder
www.youtube.com
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
3/
So is our stupidity. There is Collective Stupidity as a mirror image to Wisdom of crowds. The incomparable @hossenfelder.bsky.social has a very nice video about this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
When, why do we act on public falsehoods, even if privately we know the truth, is fascinating imo.
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
YouTube video by Sabine Hossenfelder
www.youtube.com
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbkeiev6322u
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
4/
How do we form a group identity, how does a group become more than the sum of individuals, the whole of collective wisdom or stupidity is not researched seriously enough. I feel CompSci people should train their sights on it. They in the 21st cent seem to be what physicists were in 20th century.
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
4/
How do we form a group identity, how does a group become more than the sum of individuals, the whole of collective wisdom or stupidity is not researched seriously enough. I feel CompSci people should train their sights on it. They in the 21st cent seem to be what physicists were in 20th century.
November 22, 2024 at 4:09 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbhihqv5g22c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! For me DeepSeek was like a less polished chatbot, and DeepThink like a less polished o1-preview. It's the open weights open source aspect that excites. 😀
Btw there is now open Mistral Le Chat too chat.mistral.ai
Sign in
chat.mistral.ai
November 21, 2024 at 12:43 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! For me DeepSeek was like a less polished chatbot, and DeepThink like a less polished o1-preview. It's the open weights open source aspect that excites. 😀
Btw there is now open Mistral Le Chat too chat.mistral.ai
Sign in
chat.mistral.ai
November 21, 2024 at 12:43 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbhihqv5g22c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! For me DeepSeek was like a less polished chatbot, and DeepThink like a less polished o1-preview. It's the open weights open source aspect that excites. 😀
Btw there is now open Mistral Le Chat too chat.mistral.ai
Sign in
chat.mistral.ai
21 November 2024 at 12:43
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! For me DeepSeek was like a less polished chatbot, and DeepThink like a less polished o1-preview. It's the open weights open source aspect that excites. 😀
Btw there is now open Mistral Le Chat too chat.mistral.ai
Sign in
chat.mistral.ai
21 November 2024 at 12:43
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbhezsoms22c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I do hope they release it open weights, open source, as they say. Totally unbelievable that everything in ML we held to be true, but we got cr*py results forever - is now producing results. 🥰
On CoT - one from the o1 team
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gr_eYXdHFis
just yesterday
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vei7uf9wOxI
Learning at test time in LLMs
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
www.youtube.com
21 November 2024 at 11:41
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I do hope they release it open weights, open source, as they say. Totally unbelievable that everything in ML we held to be true, but we got cr*py results forever - is now producing results. 🥰
On CoT - one from the o1 team
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gr_eYXdHFis
just yesterday
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vei7uf9wOxI
Learning at test time in LLMs
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
www.youtube.com
21 November 2024 at 11:41
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbhebrolr22b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Being dissuaded of illusions is not something anyone asks for, or says thank you for. 😇
Slow learners, with outsized egos, us humans. 🤣
What a time to be alive.
21 November 2024 at 11:28
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Being dissuaded of illusions is not something anyone asks for, or says thank you for. 😇
Slow learners, with outsized egos, us humans. 🤣
What a time to be alive.
21 November 2024 at 11:28
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbhe73zd2k2b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Us humans have priors there. 😅
Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳
We were special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. (just another leaf on the tree of life) 😰
Uh but ok - we were at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐
21 November 2024 at 11:26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Us humans have priors there. 😅
Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it (and by extension - us!), then - Copernicus. 😳
We were special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. (just another leaf on the tree of life) 😰
Uh but ok - we were at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐
21 November 2024 at 11:26
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbhdw4ara22b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The "Deep Think" CoT Chain-of-Thought chat.deepseek.com is out, and the CoT race is in full swing.
One of my favorite hintonism 😍 - "They are just like us". 😁
I admit to a guilty pleasure. 😈 Deriving a bit of joy seeing random VSP-s shocked, dazed, confused. 😂
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
21 November 2024 at 11:21
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The "Deep Think" CoT Chain-of-Thought chat.deepseek.com is out, and the CoT race is in full swing.
One of my favorite hintonism 😍 - "They are just like us". 😁
I admit to a guilty pleasure. 😈 Deriving a bit of joy seeing random VSP-s shocked, dazed, confused. 😂
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
21 November 2024 at 11:21
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lbabainwwc2n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Growing up in socialism inoculated me from prophets of religious fervour. Then the collapse of communism taught me abt various -isms too. Win-win! 😂 This is not to say I have not got an ideology - as that in itself is ideology! 😇 (unknown knowns) That plus being from CEEu - JC never appealed to me.
18 November 2024 at 15:45
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Growing up in socialism inoculated me from prophets of religious fervour. Then the collapse of communism taught me abt various -isms too. Win-win! 😂 This is not to say I have not got an ideology - as that in itself is ideology! 😇 (unknown knowns) That plus being from CEEu - JC never appealed to me.
18 November 2024 at 15:45
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lba5d2o5t22c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Seconding the "Sky Follower Bridge" already posted so to add 1) works without Firefox too 2) can re-start the search mid-list, Judy scroll to the right place in the list before the 1st press 3) works on user List-s accounts too (not only Follows) 4) mouse scroll wheel helps
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
18 November 2024 at 14:34
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Seconding the "Sky Follower Bridge" already posted so to add 1) works without Firefox too 2) can re-start the search mid-list, Judy scroll to the right place in the list before the 1st press 3) works on user List-s accounts too (not only Follows) 4) mouse scroll wheel helps
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
18 November 2024 at 14:34
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb7rwcwbns2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes - establishment challenged by insurgent counter-establishment that's establishment too. Adjacent to, and jostling for power. "Revolt of the Masses" nicely illustrated by same voters electing both AOC & Trump. 😆 A cycle of regeneration - changing the consensus that's come to it's useful end.
November 18, 2024 at 11:10 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes - establishment challenged by insurgent counter-establishment that's establishment too. Adjacent to, and jostling for power. "Revolt of the Masses" nicely illustrated by same voters electing both AOC & Trump. 😆 A cycle of regeneration - changing the consensus that's come to it's useful end.
November 18, 2024 at 11:10 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb7r4vo5722i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂😂 But we do worry - all of us, including yourself. If we didn't want our posts read, we'd be writing them in a personal diary, and never show them to another human. We all have - over-valuing our own effort v.s. under-valuing other person's effort, as systematic bias.
November 18, 2024 at 10:56 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂😂 But we do worry - all of us, including yourself. If we didn't want our posts read, we'd be writing them in a personal diary, and never show them to another human. We all have - over-valuing our own effort v.s. under-valuing other person's effort, as systematic bias.
November 18, 2024 at 10:56 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb6ejmbzfn2g
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Richard Stallman looks ever more like the prophet with every passing day
November 17, 2024 at 9:38 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Richard Stallman looks ever more like the prophet with every passing day
November 17, 2024 at 9:38 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb4vodzyik2j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
TBD. It's a cycle of enshitification. Platform good=>users come=>create value=>adverts are sold=>good $$ business=>sold to new owners=>ROI sweat the asset=>platform deteriorates.
Have your social graph follows-followers replicated to other platforms, and half the effort to breaking free is done.
November 17, 2024 at 7:40 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
TBD. It's a cycle of enshitification. Platform good=>users come=>create value=>adverts are sold=>good $$ business=>sold to new owners=>ROI sweat the asset=>platform deteriorates.
Have your social graph follows-followers replicated to other platforms, and half the effort to breaking free is done.
November 17, 2024 at 7:40 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb3qtaee6222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hehe :-) - not only "both", but *all* sides. Need to take in our own hands our own social graphs Follows-Followers for independence (and non-alignment). In due course - Bsky will become successful (users, content), will be sold for $$$, then will enshittify. Economic incentives align that way.
November 16, 2024 at 8:40 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hehe :-) - not only "both", but *all* sides. Need to take in our own hands our own social graphs Follows-Followers for independence (and non-alignment). In due course - Bsky will become successful (users, content), will be sold for $$$, then will enshittify. Economic incentives align that way.
November 16, 2024 at 8:40 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb3kr3wkuk2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
A.Weigend (early pioneer neural networks, Amazon Chief Scientist) argument in "Data for the People": State and private Companies greater openness is better way to balance the asymmetry of data power between them and us People. The opposite (greater privacy) does not work in our Information Society.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb36rjb7422y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 5h
It's the dose that makes the poison/cure. Too much secrecy in the 1) State 2) Companies, compared to 3) us Citizens, wrt information amount shared. Usual talk is of leveling the power imbalance by decreasing #3. I prefer increasing #1 and #2. Advanced societies need more info for more cooperation.
November 16, 2024 at 6:52 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
A.Weigend (early pioneer neural networks, Amazon Chief Scientist) argument in "Data for the People": State and private Companies greater openness is better way to balance the asymmetry of data power between them and us People. The opposite (greater privacy) does not work in our Information Society.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb36rjb7422y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 5h
It's the dose that makes the poison/cure. Too much secrecy in the 1) State 2) Companies, compared to 3) us Citizens, wrt information amount shared. Usual talk is of leveling the power imbalance by decreasing #3. I prefer increasing #1 and #2. Advanced societies need more info for more cooperation.
November 16, 2024 at 6:52 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb36rjb7422y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It's the dose that makes the poison/cure. Too much secrecy in the 1) State 2) Companies, compared to 3) us Citizens, wrt information amount shared. Usual talk is of leveling the power imbalance by decreasing #3. I prefer increasing #1 and #2. Advanced societies need more info for more cooperation.
November 16, 2024 at 3:17 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It's the dose that makes the poison/cure. Too much secrecy in the 1) State 2) Companies, compared to 3) us Citizens, wrt information amount shared. Usual talk is of leveling the power imbalance by decreasing #3. I prefer increasing #1 and #2. Advanced societies need more info for more cooperation.
November 16, 2024 at 3:17 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb34aqaxas27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm loving this "read and analyze a published paper" format with highlights, context etc.
"Q-Star 2.0 - AI Breakthrough Unlocks New Scaling Law (New Strawberry)" by Matthew Berman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_jDDAxB1UPY
Q-Star 2.0 - AI Breakthrough Unlocks New Scaling Law (New Strawberry)
YouTube video by Matthew Berman
www.youtube.com
November 16, 2024 at 2:32 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm loving this "read and analyze a published paper" format with highlights, context etc.
"Q-Star 2.0 - AI Breakthrough Unlocks New Scaling Law (New Strawberry)" by Matthew Berman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_jDDAxB1UPY
Q-Star 2.0 - AI Breakthrough Unlocks New Scaling Law (New Strawberry)
YouTube video by Matthew Berman
www.youtube.com
November 16, 2024 at 2:32 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb2ybtalo22f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
📌 I reply with 1st character pin 📌, have the "📌 Pin Feed" added to the list of my Feeds (including shown in the browser, at the to). The posts I replied with a pin 📌 appear there. hth 😊
November 16, 2024 at 1:21 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
📌 I reply with 1st character pin 📌, have the "📌 Pin Feed" added to the list of my Feeds (including shown in the browser, at the to). The posts I replied with a pin 📌 appear there. hth 😊
November 16, 2024 at 1:21 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb2xxp4y2s2r
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Sky Follower Bridge helped me re-create my social graph Follows-Followers partially. It's the social graph, much more than the old posted content, that keeps us users in the walled garden. Ideally the graph would be portable, belong to the user not the network. But - TBD.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 2mo
FF "Sky Follower Bridge" is the best! 😍 It works on List members too. In your X list, open the panel listing List members, activate "Sky Follower Bridge", click "Find Bluesky Users". Where it finds the X accounts over at Bsky, click "Follow on Bluesky". 🤩 (guide at www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitt...)
November 16, 2024 at 1:15 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Sky Follower Bridge helped me re-create my social graph Follows-Followers partially. It's the social graph, much more than the old posted content, that keeps us users in the walled garden. Ideally the graph would be portable, belong to the user not the network. But - TBD.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 2mo
FF "Sky Follower Bridge" is the best! 😍 It works on List members too. In your X list, open the panel listing List members, activate "Sky Follower Bridge", click "Find Bluesky Users". Where it finds the X accounts over at Bsky, click "Follow on Bluesky". 🤩 (guide at www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitt...)
November 16, 2024 at 1:15 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb24rqncrs23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It's a cycle of enshitification. Platform good=>users come=>create value=>adverts are sold=>good $$ business=>sold to new owners=>ROI sweat the asset=>platform deteriorates. Have your social graph follows-followers replicated to other platforms, and half the effort to breaking free is done.
November 16, 2024 at 5:09 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It's a cycle of enshitification. Platform good=>users come=>create value=>adverts are sold=>good $$ business=>sold to new owners=>ROI sweat the asset=>platform deteriorates. Have your social graph follows-followers replicated to other platforms, and half the effort to breaking free is done.
November 16, 2024 at 5:09 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3lb23s6wu7k23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
3h? more like 13h or 23h. Community Note is equivalent to correction to Front Page News printed at the bottom of page 27 after 3 days, that no one reads. CN necessary, but laughable to think sufficient. Algofeed, given editorial powers, must discharge back editorial responsibility. S230 must go.
November 16, 2024 at 4:51 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
3h? more like 13h or 23h. Community Note is equivalent to correction to Front Page News printed at the bottom of page 27 after 3 days, that no one reads. CN necessary, but laughable to think sufficient. Algofeed, given editorial powers, must discharge back editorial responsibility. S230 must go.
November 16, 2024 at 4:51 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l76fqdstbg23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
there's the "Lizardman constant", abt an empirical rule of thumb floor, some small percentage of people surveid will say "yes" or tickbox the craziest stuff, but that was about 3-4% from recollection
October 23, 2024 at 12:09 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
there's the "Lizardman constant", abt an empirical rule of thumb floor, some small percentage of people surveid will say "yes" or tickbox the craziest stuff, but that was about 3-4% from recollection
October 23, 2024 at 12:09 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l726fac5kh2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Points @joscha.bsky.social makes at the end of this interview (TC)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MkJEGE9GRY&t=5080s
...are more interesting than consciousness ones at start. On societal slop, AI FDA, who's controlling the controller, "professional prompt completer job writing completely predictable opinion pieces".
www.youtube.com
Joscha Bach - Why Your Thoughts Aren't Yours.
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
October 21, 2024 at 7:47 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Points @joscha.bsky.social makes at the end of this interview (TC)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MkJEGE9GRY&t=5080s
...are more interesting than consciousness ones at start. On societal slop, AI FDA, who's controlling the controller, "professional prompt completer job writing completely predictable opinion pieces".
www.youtube.com
Joscha Bach - Why Your Thoughts Aren't Yours.
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
October 21, 2024 at 7:47 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6zq2s3yun2g
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
NHS IT day today 😆
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz7j73vx9v3o
Good news. Most patients are well motivated to keep the records of their health interventions current and accurate. Seems like all upside, almost no downside to this.
www.bbc.co.uk
Patients to get full access to record on NHS App
Medical records, test results and letters to be available to all on NHS App in digital revolution.
October 21, 2024 at 3:31 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
NHS IT day today 😆
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz7j73vx9v3o
Good news. Most patients are well motivated to keep the records of their health interventions current and accurate. Seems like all upside, almost no downside to this.
www.bbc.co.uk
Patients to get full access to record on NHS App
Medical records, test results and letters to be available to all on NHS App in digital revolution.
October 21, 2024 at 3:31 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6zkrpunyj27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Some horrors there
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-67503126
NHS caters to the pro-privacy extreme wing of the debate atm. And does not cater to the side that is happy to share, like myself. Technology enables both for people and to share, and not share. Atm it's assumed that all are anti-sharing of our data.
www.bbc.co.uk
IT failures causing patient deaths, says NHS safety body
One patient was wrongly identified as not to be resuscitated because of slow access to digital records.
October 21, 2024 at 1:56 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Some horrors there
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-67503126
NHS caters to the pro-privacy extreme wing of the debate atm. And does not cater to the side that is happy to share, like myself. Technology enables both for people and to share, and not share. Atm it's assumed that all are anti-sharing of our data.
www.bbc.co.uk
IT failures causing patient deaths, says NHS safety body
One patient was wrongly identified as not to be resuscitated because of slow access to digital records.
October 21, 2024 at 1:56 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6xglm6b4z2a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Cosmic justice after 10 issues that cd shd have justly caused exodus, for exodus to happen for turning the two way block into an one way block. 😂 Non-issue for million non-big accounts and maybe stalker issue for dozen big accounts. But hey - no need to look a gift horse in the mouth. 😇
October 20, 2024 at 5:36 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Cosmic justice after 10 issues that cd shd have justly caused exodus, for exodus to happen for turning the two way block into an one way block. 😂 Non-issue for million non-big accounts and maybe stalker issue for dozen big accounts. But hey - no need to look a gift horse in the mouth. 😇
October 20, 2024 at 5:36 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wt4bumqj2e
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yep - this is what that political wing (IDK how to call it, have heard terms "crazy-right", "right-woke") across the world have in common (Putin, Orban) as mode of operation: accuse the opponents of that what you are already doing yourself. It works on a lot of people, and esp on their supporters.
October 20, 2024 at 11:47 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yep - this is what that political wing (IDK how to call it, have heard terms "crazy-right", "right-woke") across the world have in common (Putin, Orban) as mode of operation: accuse the opponents of that what you are already doing yourself. It works on a lot of people, and esp on their supporters.
October 20, 2024 at 11:47 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wqb3ziop2e
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😆 one of the genre reality stranger than fiction
https://pure.york.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/from-socialism-to-hedge-fund-the-human-element-and-the-new-histor
AW Jones was a socialist who founded the first hedge fund in 1949. He'd been US Vice Consul in Berlin 1931-32, Soviet sympathizer, anti-Nazi spy with dissident German communists, humanitarian observer in Spanish CW
pure.york.ac.uk
From Socialism to Hedge Fund: The Human Element and the New History of Capitalism
October 20, 2024 at 10:56 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😆 one of the genre reality stranger than fiction
https://pure.york.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/from-socialism-to-hedge-fund-the-human-element-and-the-new-histor
AW Jones was a socialist who founded the first hedge fund in 1949. He'd been US Vice Consul in Berlin 1931-32, Soviet sympathizer, anti-Nazi spy with dissident German communists, humanitarian observer in Spanish CW
pure.york.ac.uk
From Socialism to Hedge Fund: The Human Element and the New History of Capitalism
October 20, 2024 at 10:56 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wj63gsza2e
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 Too meta to generalize in sth actionable. Yes don't want to be 100% closed. At the same time, it's impossible to be 100% open. I'd be just a pass-through nothingness, wd disintegrate cease to exists. In ML -and these are best models we got of us- learning rates are usually low, <0.01 or some such.
October 20, 2024 at 8:49 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 Too meta to generalize in sth actionable. Yes don't want to be 100% closed. At the same time, it's impossible to be 100% open. I'd be just a pass-through nothingness, wd disintegrate cease to exists. In ML -and these are best models we got of us- learning rates are usually low, <0.01 or some such.
October 20, 2024 at 8:49 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wiswqeko2p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks! Had it, but good to see it shared. My list of feeds screen dump below. Love the Feeds feature of Bsky & hope "1000s of Feeds bloom".
(now I see good number on the pic are List-s I add and curate random accounts to, if/as I come across; just ignore, they're 3-4 letters shorts e.g. Sci, Tech)
ALT
list of LJ feeds on 20-Oct-2024 screenshot
October 20, 2024 at 8:43 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks! Had it, but good to see it shared. My list of feeds screen dump below. Love the Feeds feature of Bsky & hope "1000s of Feeds bloom".
(now I see good number on the pic are List-s I add and curate random accounts to, if/as I come across; just ignore, they're 3-4 letters shorts e.g. Sci, Tech)
ALT
list of LJ feeds on 20-Oct-2024 screenshot
October 20, 2024 at 8:43 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wg7xj42o27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks. I take the answers to my Qs are that Yes, the BC-people are right to think that. And the UK Lab is similar to US Dem in that respect. And further - that UK Lab Corbyn wing is similar to US Dem Sanders wing.
Curios abt oil and finance capture - do you mind expanding? 1/
October 20, 2024 at 7:57 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks. I take the answers to my Qs are that Yes, the BC-people are right to think that. And the UK Lab is similar to US Dem in that respect. And further - that UK Lab Corbyn wing is similar to US Dem Sanders wing.
Curios abt oil and finance capture - do you mind expanding? 1/
October 20, 2024 at 7:57 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wghwg3tg2g
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I saw title quote of a Guardian article but didn't click. It implied or mentioned Quadrature. I'm cognizant of the "Gell-Mann amnesia effect", hold low opinion of journalists, and have yet to read an article that does not get almost everything wrong about anything involving hedge funds. 2/
October 20, 2024 at 8:01 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I saw title quote of a Guardian article but didn't click. It implied or mentioned Quadrature. I'm cognizant of the "Gell-Mann amnesia effect", hold low opinion of journalists, and have yet to read an article that does not get almost everything wrong about anything involving hedge funds. 2/
October 20, 2024 at 8:01 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wgpeky262z
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Declaring interests. 1) I worked and sat with Suneil in an "aquarium office" for 3 years 10 hours/day years ago, but have lost touch lately. 2) I think if we are to use any fossil fuels, it's better if we produce them, rather than outsourcing the production abroad and importing. Reasons: 3/
October 20, 2024 at 8:05 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Declaring interests. 1) I worked and sat with Suneil in an "aquarium office" for 3 years 10 hours/day years ago, but have lost touch lately. 2) I think if we are to use any fossil fuels, it's better if we produce them, rather than outsourcing the production abroad and importing. Reasons: 3/
October 20, 2024 at 8:05 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wgxmz4jc2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Reasons: 2a) security of supply 2b) support of domestic BC-workers 2c) not financing our enemies is better than financing them, that we do now by imports. 3) We increased CO2 and warmed Earth 1.2C in the past 100 yrs. Nothing collapsed, we produce more food than ever, nature seems mostly ok. /4
October 20, 2024 at 8:10 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Reasons: 2a) security of supply 2b) support of domestic BC-workers 2c) not financing our enemies is better than financing them, that we do now by imports. 3) We increased CO2 and warmed Earth 1.2C in the past 100 yrs. Nothing collapsed, we produce more food than ever, nature seems mostly ok. /4
October 20, 2024 at 8:10 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6whbbqyet2g
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
4) Yes we should get a handle of CO2, and us humans may yet suffer bad consequences. But to catastrophize that all life will disappear is imo wrong. And tad egocentrical (us humans have big egos, and learn slowly). Humans may disappear (and will at some pt), but other life will continue just fine 5/
October 20, 2024 at 8:15 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
4) Yes we should get a handle of CO2, and us humans may yet suffer bad consequences. But to catastrophize that all life will disappear is imo wrong. And tad egocentrical (us humans have big egos, and learn slowly). Humans may disappear (and will at some pt), but other life will continue just fine 5/
October 20, 2024 at 8:15 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6whbbqyet2g
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
4) Yes we should get a handle of CO2, and us humans may yet suffer bad consequences. But to catastrophize that all life will disappear is imo wrong. And tad egocentrical (us humans have big egos, and learn slowly). Humans may disappear (and will at some pt), but other life will continue just fine 5/
October 20, 2024 at 8:15 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
4) Yes we should get a handle of CO2, and us humans may yet suffer bad consequences. But to catastrophize that all life will disappear is imo wrong. And tad egocentrical (us humans have big egos, and learn slowly). Humans may disappear (and will at some pt), but other life will continue just fine 5/
October 20, 2024 at 8:15 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6whgjmmfa23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
5) Yes increasing temps will prob make some areas now habitable for humans not habitable. Humans will have to adapt and or move, as have done many times in the past.
Sorry for the barrage of posts. Going back to short posts and chaining them feels a step back compared to just writing one. 6/6
October 20, 2024 at 8:18 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
5) Yes increasing temps will prob make some areas now habitable for humans not habitable. Humans will have to adapt and or move, as have done many times in the past.
Sorry for the barrage of posts. Going back to short posts and chaining them feels a step back compared to just writing one. 6/6
October 20, 2024 at 8:18 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6wcl2qdqv2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
There's something to that. Non-US-ian here, observing from afar.
Are those BC-workers wrong though? Are the smarmy HW-guys not Dems? Did they not fire the BC-workers? Isn't the bathrooms thing not Dems doing?
Asking b/c similar proces is playing out outside US. I live in the UK and am recognising it
October 20, 2024 at 6:51 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
There's something to that. Non-US-ian here, observing from afar.
Are those BC-workers wrong though? Are the smarmy HW-guys not Dems? Did they not fire the BC-workers? Isn't the bathrooms thing not Dems doing?
Asking b/c similar proces is playing out outside US. I live in the UK and am recognising it
October 20, 2024 at 6:51 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6vi7aqznv2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😀 I get it, didn't wonder abt your post. I'm mystified abt Chollet & few others I notice. People acting as if it's forbidden to hold accounts at multiple places?? No one is forcing closure of X accounts. Just open additional accounts. One is then free to post as one fancies on the day! Easy. 😆
October 19, 2024 at 10:59 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😀 I get it, didn't wonder abt your post. I'm mystified abt Chollet & few others I notice. People acting as if it's forbidden to hold accounts at multiple places?? No one is forcing closure of X accounts. Just open additional accounts. One is then free to post as one fancies on the day! Easy. 😆
October 19, 2024 at 10:59 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6vgykjyqt2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK why so many drama queens Re:platform soap operas. Just open accounts on all? - duh. It's free ffs. Then replicate the Follows-Followers to the fullest possible. That social graph keeps us locked in the walled garden. Posts are re-created, most are time-events-sensitive non-transplantable anyway.
October 19, 2024 at 10:38 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK why so many drama queens Re:platform soap operas. Just open accounts on all? - duh. It's free ffs. Then replicate the Follows-Followers to the fullest possible. That social graph keeps us locked in the walled garden. Posts are re-created, most are time-events-sensitive non-transplantable anyway.
October 19, 2024 at 10:38 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6vevgsqph26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Was told "joint probability (density) function between two variables X Y captures all there is ever to be known between them" 25yrs ago, and it's been a blessing and a curse. Blessing - yeah f_X_Y(x,y) does capture everything. Curse - oft I read sth & think of the author "wish someone told you too".
October 19, 2024 at 10:00 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Was told "joint probability (density) function between two variables X Y captures all there is ever to be known between them" 25yrs ago, and it's been a blessing and a curse. Blessing - yeah f_X_Y(x,y) does capture everything. Curse - oft I read sth & think of the author "wish someone told you too".
October 19, 2024 at 10:00 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6va2vvhha2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah. The resistance of the other platform to giving users 10s or even 1000s feeds (and let them bloom) is baffling. They can shove adverts in any feed. Makes zero difference to revenue. Just braindead baffling. We are lucky that alternatives exist.
October 19, 2024 at 8:34 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah. The resistance of the other platform to giving users 10s or even 1000s feeds (and let them bloom) is baffling. They can shove adverts in any feed. Makes zero difference to revenue. Just braindead baffling. We are lucky that alternatives exist.
October 19, 2024 at 8:34 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6v43u4n7o2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah -
1) When writing, I need to look things up, and that happens in the browser/tabs. The Bsky App has a single view?? (others too, e.g. X)
2) Every other post contains a link that when clicked on, takes me to the browser. App-browser switch is an extra step extra aggravation. No need for that.
October 19, 2024 at 7:23 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah -
1) When writing, I need to look things up, and that happens in the browser/tabs. The Bsky App has a single view?? (others too, e.g. X)
2) Every other post contains a link that when clicked on, takes me to the browser. App-browser switch is an extra step extra aggravation. No need for that.
October 19, 2024 at 7:23 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6tjq3xils2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You are right, it's an algorithm ofc. Pple think of "posts of my Follows in reverse chronological orders" as "no algorithm", but ofc that's an algorithm too. 😆 Every Feed listed below is an algorithm ==Algofeed 😊 Every user experience on Bsky is the decision of some algorithm.
October 19, 2024 at 4:21 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You are right, it's an algorithm ofc. Pple think of "posts of my Follows in reverse chronological orders" as "no algorithm", but ofc that's an algorithm too. 😆 Every Feed listed below is an algorithm ==Algofeed 😊 Every user experience on Bsky is the decision of some algorithm.
October 19, 2024 at 4:21 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6t5zzhc2s2a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What a piece of history! Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze looking like it's his last day, soaking that cigarette with gusto. 😂 Born in the 19-th century no less. Was taught about "McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)" in the Uni NNs course intro in ~1990.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wawMjJUCMVw
m.youtube.com
Interview with Inventor of Neural Nets Warren McCulloch, neurologist who helped start it way back.
YouTube video by trwappers
October 19, 2024 at 12:52 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What a piece of history! Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze looking like it's his last day, soaking that cigarette with gusto. 😂 Born in the 19-th century no less. Was taught about "McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)" in the Uni NNs course intro in ~1990.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wawMjJUCMVw
m.youtube.com
Interview with Inventor of Neural Nets Warren McCulloch, neurologist who helped start it way back.
YouTube video by trwappers
October 19, 2024 at 12:52 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6stchkrcg2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...more seriously: normies think of the algorithm "posts of my Follows in reverse chronological orders" as "no algorithm". It varies what "posts" are, some union of New posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies. They don't think that far. Also that it's possible for it to be 1 of 1000s of algofeeds available.
October 18, 2024 at 9:40 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...more seriously: normies think of the algorithm "posts of my Follows in reverse chronological orders" as "no algorithm". It varies what "posts" are, some union of New posts, Reposts, Quotes, Replies. They don't think that far. Also that it's possible for it to be 1 of 1000s of algofeeds available.
October 18, 2024 at 9:40 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6spfzxulp26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The original print screen shot is
ljubomirj.github.io/deck-blue.png
October 18, 2024 at 8:31 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The original print screen shot is
ljubomirj.github.io/deck-blue.png
October 18, 2024 at 8:31 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6sp2b5ser2p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The performance deteriorates, but it's still usable. Only when I reply and have to type the reply, I get slightly annoyed - but still usable! I mostly read - so fine, usable. This is Firefox with few Extensions, on a 10 yrs old desktop PC, Xeon 10 cores with 128GB RAM, under Xubuntu LTS.
October 18, 2024 at 8:24 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The performance deteriorates, but it's still usable. Only when I reply and have to type the reply, I get slightly annoyed - but still usable! I mostly read - so fine, usable. This is Firefox with few Extensions, on a 10 yrs old desktop PC, Xeon 10 cores with 128GB RAM, under Xubuntu LTS.
October 18, 2024 at 8:24 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6souqd7p623
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 It's two mid-sized monitors 28". The Xfce desktop treats them as a single display. So I can stretch the Firefox window across both, to show as many Deck columns as possible. On the horizontal scrollbar at the bottom I see now there was plenty left out too. 😄 Should have zoomed-out as well.
October 18, 2024 at 8:21 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 It's two mid-sized monitors 28". The Xfce desktop treats them as a single display. So I can stretch the Firefox window across both, to show as many Deck columns as possible. On the horizontal scrollbar at the bottom I see now there was plenty left out too. 😄 Should have zoomed-out as well.
October 18, 2024 at 8:21 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6shyfbxsr2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... and for more, I head for the Deck-ed experience of blue deck. Looks like this for me
October 18, 2024 at 6:18 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... and for more, I head for the Deck-ed experience of blue deck. Looks like this for me
October 18, 2024 at 6:18 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6shqru2wb27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ok, IDK what is to be expected and if it was ever different. For me it's pretty similar. I The only difference I see is my Feed-s I added to the right. This is how it looks for me
October 18, 2024 at 6:13 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ok, IDK what is to be expected and if it was ever different. For me it's pretty similar. I The only difference I see is my Feed-s I added to the right. This is how it looks for me
October 18, 2024 at 6:13 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6shjm3tum2r
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😂 - you are wildly overestimating whatever processes go on, happen, in the heads of normies. It's much simpler. They blurt out the 1st thing that pops in their heads, ChatGPT style, single step ahead. And also similar to ChatGPT, it's but impossible for them - or anyone else - to figure "why?".
October 18, 2024 at 6:09 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😂 - you are wildly overestimating whatever processes go on, happen, in the heads of normies. It's much simpler. They blurt out the 1st thing that pops in their heads, ChatGPT style, single step ahead. And also similar to ChatGPT, it's but impossible for them - or anyone else - to figure "why?".
October 18, 2024 at 6:09 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6sgp7o67k23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 np. I tried deck.blue Deck type interface - that works surprisingly well too.
deck.blue
deck.blue
Get the most out of Bluesky with a multi-column layout
October 18, 2024 at 5:55 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😁 np. I tried deck.blue Deck type interface - that works surprisingly well too.
deck.blue
deck.blue
Get the most out of Bluesky with a multi-column layout
October 18, 2024 at 5:55 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6sfxry6qj2z
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What's Pctl? I find the web experience superior to the App-s (both Bsky and X), b/c I can open 20 tabs in FF all on different views - of Feeds, Lists, Likes, Profiles etc - that I find useful both when reading and writing.
October 18, 2024 at 5:42 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What's Pctl? I find the web experience superior to the App-s (both Bsky and X), b/c I can open 20 tabs in FF all on different views - of Feeds, Lists, Likes, Profiles etc - that I find useful both when reading and writing.
October 18, 2024 at 5:42 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6sd5ofrdd2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 treat yourself "I'm worth it"-style, get couple of them retractable scratchers (shaped like a hand!) off Amazon. Totally worth it! 😇
October 18, 2024 at 4:51 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 treat yourself "I'm worth it"-style, get couple of them retractable scratchers (shaped like a hand!) off Amazon. Totally worth it! 😇
October 18, 2024 at 4:51 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6s6dwven52k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You know, but he can't know. You replied, so he knows 1 post reached you. He can't know the same for his next post. All I know when I post this, is that this post will be saved on a disk on a server somewhere. Whether it's ever fetched latter and pushed to someone's screen, it's up to the Algofeeds.
October 18, 2024 at 3:25 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You know, but he can't know. You replied, so he knows 1 post reached you. He can't know the same for his next post. All I know when I post this, is that this post will be saved on a disk on a server somewhere. Whether it's ever fetched latter and pushed to someone's screen, it's up to the Algofeeds.
October 18, 2024 at 3:25 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6s5ltmanb2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...and especially cherish that it's over "the block is going to disappear" fake news. 😂😂 Cosmic justice served there. 😆 Yes - turning a 2-way block into a 1-way block will impact some big accounts Re: stalkers. The million running away are not big accounts, have no stalkers, zero change for them. 👍😁
October 18, 2024 at 3:12 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...and especially cherish that it's over "the block is going to disappear" fake news. 😂😂 Cosmic justice served there. 😆 Yes - turning a 2-way block into a 1-way block will impact some big accounts Re: stalkers. The million running away are not big accounts, have no stalkers, zero change for them. 👍😁
October 18, 2024 at 3:12 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6rzwcdnn22p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
True - but the same is true for any social media platform, no? I use Like to signal back "I saw it, read it" to the poster. In addition to -genuinely like (but then I will repost too), and bookmark (IK there are tools but Like stil one tap convenience beats them). Buy yeah - having 0 feedback sucks.
October 18, 2024 at 2:06 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
True - but the same is true for any social media platform, no? I use Like to signal back "I saw it, read it" to the poster. In addition to -genuinely like (but then I will repost too), and bookmark (IK there are tools but Like stil one tap convenience beats them). Buy yeah - having 0 feedback sucks.
October 18, 2024 at 2:06 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6qwpwceb42a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes. Everyone shd register their favourite nick/user/name on Bsky, Mastodon jic. It's free, and it's fun! What's not to like 😊 Replicating the social graph Follows-Followers is much tougher. I did as per https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky - helped a lot. Traffic will still favour the biggest place tho
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
October 18, 2024 at 3:36 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes. Everyone shd register their favourite nick/user/name on Bsky, Mastodon jic. It's free, and it's fun! What's not to like 😊 Replicating the social graph Follows-Followers is much tougher. I did as per https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky - helped a lot. Traffic will still favour the biggest place tho
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
October 18, 2024 at 3:36 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6ap3bzbpa2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Whenever I hear the name can't helped but think of that self driving motorcycle in the DARPA competition 😂😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
(can't be bothered to find the time mark - sorry)
m.youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
YouTube video by GoogleTalksArchive
October 11, 2024 at 4:37 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Whenever I hear the name can't helped but think of that self driving motorcycle in the DARPA competition 😂😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
(can't be bothered to find the time mark - sorry)
m.youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
YouTube video by GoogleTalksArchive
October 11, 2024 at 4:37 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l6aomnkjqc2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
she's hilarious, made me smile then laugh 😂 😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=piAAEgSqs4s
v.good 😆
m.youtube.com
Culture Shocks I have in the UK
YouTube video by Uyen Ninh
October 11, 2024 at 4:28 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
she's hilarious, made me smile then laugh 😂 😂
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=piAAEgSqs4s
v.good 😆
m.youtube.com
Culture Shocks I have in the UK
YouTube video by Uyen Ninh
October 11, 2024 at 4:28 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l54i47ukf72l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Have you tried telling Gmail "unsubscribe me from list" and "mark future email like this as spam" when you "report spam" a baddie email? I always do this the 1st time I get tha spammy email - zero tolerance. Works for me, I never get a 2nd spammy email of the same type.
September 27, 2024 at 6:56 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Have you tried telling Gmail "unsubscribe me from list" and "mark future email like this as spam" when you "report spam" a baddie email? I always do this the 1st time I get tha spammy email - zero tolerance. Works for me, I never get a 2nd spammy email of the same type.
September 27, 2024 at 6:56 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l52lee2cfh2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah, I understand normies wd not, they wd not know abt these other platforms. But a journalist, a media person, someone that professionally uses social media daily? Just seems careless tbh. Any one day the login algo of the platform may misfire & classify me as "bad user" & ban me. Backups' needed
September 26, 2024 at 12:49 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah, I understand normies wd not, they wd not know abt these other platforms. But a journalist, a media person, someone that professionally uses social media daily? Just seems careless tbh. Any one day the login algo of the platform may misfire & classify me as "bad user" & ban me. Backups' needed
September 26, 2024 at 12:49 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l52cuvyveh23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Very good. :-) The Unknown Knowns. Complementing Known Knowns (deterministic knowledge - know exactly which one), Known Unknowns (don't know which one, but only how many; i.e. the distribution), and Unknown Unknowns (don't know the p.d.f. either). Ideology = example of Unknown Knowns. (zizek on YT)
September 26, 2024 at 10:17 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Very good. :-) The Unknown Knowns. Complementing Known Knowns (deterministic knowledge - know exactly which one), Known Unknowns (don't know which one, but only how many; i.e. the distribution), and Unknown Unknowns (don't know the p.d.f. either). Ideology = example of Unknown Knowns. (zizek on YT)
September 26, 2024 at 10:17 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l52cc3omjk23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Interesting to learn that most people don't create an account in any and all platforms, just in case, even as a dormant one, even if it's free, after the initial create effort also does not tax my time or attention. If for nothing else but to reserve the name or favorite nickname login or similar.
September 26, 2024 at 10:07 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Interesting to learn that most people don't create an account in any and all platforms, just in case, even as a dormant one, even if it's free, after the initial create effort also does not tax my time or attention. If for nothing else but to reserve the name or favorite nickname login or similar.
September 26, 2024 at 10:07 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4yt54aq372h
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
No need to put up with cr*p for any length of time when good alternatives exist, and they are free. DDG worked well for me for 2yrs, now perplexity.ai is my default. Abt 1 in 10 I fallback to DDG (e.g. need to go to www site I know exists), but anything else - I just ask Perplexity in the search box
September 25, 2024 at 8:03 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
No need to put up with cr*p for any length of time when good alternatives exist, and they are free. DDG worked well for me for 2yrs, now perplexity.ai is my default. Abt 1 in 10 I fallback to DDG (e.g. need to go to www site I know exists), but anything else - I just ask Perplexity in the search box
September 25, 2024 at 8:03 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4yl5o5hp32h
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... LLM, now. 😆 Says nothing about AI, & the future. The list of things "AI will never do" is continuation of lists of things computers, & machines b4, will never do, only to do them at some point - is long. Latest - the Turing test got passed, but ofc now "akshualy rubbish test that one" cope. 😂🤯😱
September 25, 2024 at 5:40 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... LLM, now. 😆 Says nothing about AI, & the future. The list of things "AI will never do" is continuation of lists of things computers, & machines b4, will never do, only to do them at some point - is long. Latest - the Turing test got passed, but ofc now "akshualy rubbish test that one" cope. 😂🤯😱
September 25, 2024 at 5:40 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4ykfstneh2e
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
+1 Concur with the above. I too don't see much of what pple complain. But then - I don't wade in current political or culture wars. I block early & often. I don't have a big account, so no one cares. I use lists for everything, and XPro to tie lists to decks. So "For you" feed is just 1 of ~30 feeds
September 25, 2024 at 5:27 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
+1 Concur with the above. I too don't see much of what pple complain. But then - I don't wade in current political or culture wars. I block early & often. I don't have a big account, so no one cares. I use lists for everything, and XPro to tie lists to decks. So "For you" feed is just 1 of ~30 feeds
September 25, 2024 at 5:27 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4yk3vcmfl2h
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...cd say a woke-right has formed mirroring the woke-left. (agree "woke" overused-but can't do better atm) NB UK did a political experiment: 1st LAB then CON decided that members (=anyone with £5) elect the party leader/PM, & both got leaders more extreme+unliked by voters. Lessons Re: US primaries?
September 25, 2024 at 5:21 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...cd say a woke-right has formed mirroring the woke-left. (agree "woke" overused-but can't do better atm) NB UK did a political experiment: 1st LAB then CON decided that members (=anyone with £5) elect the party leader/PM, & both got leaders more extreme+unliked by voters. Lessons Re: US primaries?
September 25, 2024 at 5:21 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4wlph4fzk2c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
That comes with the territory I'm afraid. 😊 Had Ref2 campaign been successful, then the activists wd have been praised. (& vilified by the other side) I rate people that try to get things done, & understand that most endeavors fail. I voted Remain, but when Leave won, thought we''d EFTA or similar.
September 24, 2024 at 10:45 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
That comes with the territory I'm afraid. 😊 Had Ref2 campaign been successful, then the activists wd have been praised. (& vilified by the other side) I rate people that try to get things done, & understand that most endeavors fail. I voted Remain, but when Leave won, thought we''d EFTA or similar.
September 24, 2024 at 10:45 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4wchx7cje2q
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
V.good post. My experience has been pple thinking they're "objective" (in whatever platonic sense meant) were the easiest to fool - themselves & others. IMO better think "I'm subjective, in error, and working to reduce the error even if IK my error will never be 0". That's plenty good, it's enough.
September 24, 2024 at 7:59 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
V.good post. My experience has been pple thinking they're "objective" (in whatever platonic sense meant) were the easiest to fool - themselves & others. IMO better think "I'm subjective, in error, and working to reduce the error even if IK my error will never be 0". That's plenty good, it's enough.
September 24, 2024 at 7:59 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4wbtbpzwc2b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Doh - re-reading now, I see I misread "does have an algorithm" with "doesn't have an algorithm"?? IDK how. 🤷 😬
Deleted the previous 2 posts asking abt that "doesn't have an algorithm" 😆 3/2
September 24, 2024 at 7:48 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Doh - re-reading now, I see I misread "does have an algorithm" with "doesn't have an algorithm"?? IDK how. 🤷 😬
Deleted the previous 2 posts asking abt that "doesn't have an algorithm" 😆 3/2
September 24, 2024 at 7:48 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4wascghx226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 oh dear oh dear 😂
You are better off deleting the original post than blocking. When we post we are authors broadcasting to millions of screens. The platform is the publisher, its algofeed is the editor. And it decided to put your post on my screen. 😇
Publishing opens us up to counter-opinions. 🤷
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w75zzwnk2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 31m
Ofc - mine too. You push one way, I push the other way. If your "it's yack, it's weird" argument - that's not an argument tbh - goes unchallenged, enough dunderheads among the public may even accept it & decide to ban, punish or worse, stuff others are creating, that personally causes them no harm.
September 24, 2024 at 7:29 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 oh dear oh dear 😂
You are better off deleting the original post than blocking. When we post we are authors broadcasting to millions of screens. The platform is the publisher, its algofeed is the editor. And it decided to put your post on my screen. 😇
Publishing opens us up to counter-opinions. 🤷
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w75zzwnk2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 31m
Ofc - mine too. You push one way, I push the other way. If your "it's yack, it's weird" argument - that's not an argument tbh - goes unchallenged, enough dunderheads among the public may even accept it & decide to ban, punish or worse, stuff others are creating, that personally causes them no harm.
September 24, 2024 at 7:29 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w75zzwnk2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ofc - mine too. You push one way, I push the other way. If your "it's yack, it's weird" argument - that's not an argument tbh - goes unchallenged, enough dunderheads among the public may even accept it & decide to ban, punish or worse, stuff others are creating, that personally causes them no harm.
September 24, 2024 at 7:00 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ofc - mine too. You push one way, I push the other way. If your "it's yack, it's weird" argument - that's not an argument tbh - goes unchallenged, enough dunderheads among the public may even accept it & decide to ban, punish or worse, stuff others are creating, that personally causes them no harm.
September 24, 2024 at 7:00 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w6poovtn22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes are not burning anyone at the stake, but someone else behing you using the same "yuck" "argument", will. No one is asking you to accept anything. Don't want to use the service - don't use it. Easy-peasy. It's not something that can't be avoided, it's not some kind of "commons" in any way.
September 24, 2024 at 6:52 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes are not burning anyone at the stake, but someone else behing you using the same "yuck" "argument", will. No one is asking you to accept anything. Don't want to use the service - don't use it. Easy-peasy. It's not something that can't be avoided, it's not some kind of "commons" in any way.
September 24, 2024 at 6:52 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w6f3ss3k2j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah - and I remember when "test-tube baby" was very very repellent to the vast majority of people. Fortunately, somehow with liberalism & tollerance we lucked out stumbled to a system that manages to shield the minority taking chances enough, so the majority doesn't burn them at the stake anymore.
September 24, 2024 at 6:46 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah - and I remember when "test-tube baby" was very very repellent to the vast majority of people. Fortunately, somehow with liberalism & tollerance we lucked out stumbled to a system that manages to shield the minority taking chances enough, so the majority doesn't burn them at the stake anymore.
September 24, 2024 at 6:46 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w5zd67iv22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What can I say - maybe try to be less nuts, and more thtinking?? Politics is the art of possible. I'm judging events by the behaviours, what people did, and outcomes, what was achieved. IK there's intentions but that's hidden from us, can't get into people heads. (oft not even they themselves can!)
September 24, 2024 at 6:39 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What can I say - maybe try to be less nuts, and more thtinking?? Politics is the art of possible. I'm judging events by the behaviours, what people did, and outcomes, what was achieved. IK there's intentions but that's hidden from us, can't get into people heads. (oft not even they themselves can!)
September 24, 2024 at 6:39 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w5llxy4k2j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Turkey - the traditional Ottoman opponent to the Russian empire - has got their measure right. The 1st time russian plane flew over ther airspace, they shto it down. Putin stopped buying their tomatoes & had tourists stay away from Turkey beaches 1 season. But there has not been a 2nd flyover since.
September 24, 2024 at 6:32 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Turkey - the traditional Ottoman opponent to the Russian empire - has got their measure right. The 1st time russian plane flew over ther airspace, they shto it down. Putin stopped buying their tomatoes & had tourists stay away from Turkey beaches 1 season. But there has not been a 2nd flyover since.
September 24, 2024 at 6:32 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w5dsqowm2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Witt respect - not on you to judge. Say a loved one died, I'm re-reading a novel they wrote. Or re-watchiong family videos. Or re-reading their journal entries of times spent together. Down with the moral panic outrages. Reminds me of the "yack" factor abt "test-tube babies" at the time of 1st IVF.
September 24, 2024 at 6:27 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Witt respect - not on you to judge. Say a loved one died, I'm re-reading a novel they wrote. Or re-watchiong family videos. Or re-reading their journal entries of times spent together. Down with the moral panic outrages. Reminds me of the "yack" factor abt "test-tube babies" at the time of 1st IVF.
September 24, 2024 at 6:27 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w4dtvmqo2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
That's 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown, and 4500 to not be shown. The feed must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. And conversely, 4500 to not show me. Even if it decides "by time priority, most recent first", that's still an algofeed, and algorithm that creates my feed imo 2/2
September 24, 2024 at 6:10 PM
[DELETED]
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
That's 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown, and 4500 to not be shown. The feed must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. And conversely, 4500 to not show me. Even if it decides "by time priority, most recent first", that's still an algofeed, and algorithm that creates my feed imo 2/2
September 24, 2024 at 6:10 PM
[DELETED]
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w4bcbhlw2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK how it is that "it doesn't have an algorithm" tbh. Say I follow 5000 accounts. Each one acc writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. I login today, the feed can serve me 50 posts on one screen full. I check 10 times per day = 500 posts shown to me daily. 1/
[DELETED]
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK how it is that "it doesn't have an algorithm" tbh. Say I follow 5000 accounts. Each one acc writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. I login today, the feed can serve me 50 posts on one screen full. I check 10 times per day = 500 posts shown to me daily. 1/
[DELETED]
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4w3vduuam2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Solar -reactor in the sky- won, but it's only 1/2 solution. Batteries racing to provide the other 1/2. In private sector with fierce competition, low capital upfront=>steady advance.Nuclear needs gov regulators to advance=>may not pan out. FR showed how it's done, 🤯 but EU went the insane DE route 🤷
September 24, 2024 at 6:01 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Solar -reactor in the sky- won, but it's only 1/2 solution. Batteries racing to provide the other 1/2. In private sector with fierce competition, low capital upfront=>steady advance.Nuclear needs gov regulators to advance=>may not pan out. FR showed how it's done, 🤯 but EU went the insane DE route 🤷
September 24, 2024 at 6:01 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4vt5e7n4z2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
As user I would be okay to pay for the privilege to have my acc verified as "real human with this name", ofc on request, optional. That would add a flag on my profile. Then Bsky wd implement allow for filtering on this flag in feeds, searches, queries. The same way we can filter on 20 other things.
September 24, 2024 at 3:25 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
As user I would be okay to pay for the privilege to have my acc verified as "real human with this name", ofc on request, optional. That would add a flag on my profile. Then Bsky wd implement allow for filtering on this flag in feeds, searches, queries. The same way we can filter on 20 other things.
September 24, 2024 at 3:25 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4vsj2iyh32k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What? No. Neither conservative (nor a liberal progressive) "deserve" anything from me. Don't owe them anything. It's a free platform, including freedom to block anyone at will. And esp when they show me who they are the 1st time. We have another 8B people to interact with left. Block early & often.
September 24, 2024 at 3:14 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What? No. Neither conservative (nor a liberal progressive) "deserve" anything from me. Don't owe them anything. It's a free platform, including freedom to block anyone at will. And esp when they show me who they are the 1st time. We have another 8B people to interact with left. Block early & often.
September 24, 2024 at 3:14 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4v6owvnri25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 too bad we can't commandeer people embarking on "X can't do Y" trips to not waste their time. except in maths where we can for real say "don't search for that solution, doesn't exists, we proved that". usually "X can't do Y" is plain wrong (flying), other times "ok not X but here's Z that does it"
September 24, 2024 at 9:19 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 too bad we can't commandeer people embarking on "X can't do Y" trips to not waste their time. except in maths where we can for real say "don't search for that solution, doesn't exists, we proved that". usually "X can't do Y" is plain wrong (flying), other times "ok not X but here's Z that does it"
September 24, 2024 at 9:19 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4v6caxqza25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
haha 😂 - masks all the way down, missing data is regression
September 24, 2024 at 9:12 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
haha 😂 - masks all the way down, missing data is regression
September 24, 2024 at 9:12 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4v5wovdpy2x
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Probably the Research part of R&D achieved internally, so they're 100% sure it can be done. Probably 6 months for the D part, incl h/w for the users/cusomers (given they sell a service). E.g. see how inference compute power req increased suddenly x10-x100 with reasoning in o1 vs. LM gpt4.
September 24, 2024 at 9:05 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Probably the Research part of R&D achieved internally, so they're 100% sure it can be done. Probably 6 months for the D part, incl h/w for the users/cusomers (given they sell a service). E.g. see how inference compute power req increased suddenly x10-x100 with reasoning in o1 vs. LM gpt4.
September 24, 2024 at 9:05 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4qkp2sh5e2q
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hope the idea of pre-approved building designs that one does not need to seek an old style specific planning permission, but can straight build (assuming it sticks to the 1 of the 20 pre-approved designs - that must be enforced) I read about yesterday is not strangled at birth somehow.
September 22, 2024 at 1:10 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hope the idea of pre-approved building designs that one does not need to seek an old style specific planning permission, but can straight build (assuming it sticks to the 1 of the 20 pre-approved designs - that must be enforced) I read about yesterday is not strangled at birth somehow.
September 22, 2024 at 1:10 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4qi5hohzr2y
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Point #1 is decentralize central power. UK used to have vigorous local authorities that cd innovate in various ways. Admired once the riches of a local gov building in Birmingham. Some pimply 25yo graduate SpAd 120 miles away in London to be telling these pple how many pencils they can buy is silly.
September 22, 2024 at 12:25 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Point #1 is decentralize central power. UK used to have vigorous local authorities that cd innovate in various ways. Admired once the riches of a local gov building in Birmingham. Some pimply 25yo graduate SpAd 120 miles away in London to be telling these pple how many pencils they can buy is silly.
September 22, 2024 at 12:25 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4qhvxfyti2q
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Point #2 is smash Treasury power. They're good servant but bad master. No.10 must re-assert over No.11. Make decisions, make stuff happen - execution. Leave the PR Circus, assume to serve 1 term only, no permanent electioneering. Can only come from the PM+need MPs support legislate away 1000 blocks.
September 22, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Point #2 is smash Treasury power. They're good servant but bad master. No.10 must re-assert over No.11. Make decisions, make stuff happen - execution. Leave the PR Circus, assume to serve 1 term only, no permanent electioneering. Can only come from the PM+need MPs support legislate away 1000 blocks.
September 22, 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4qhgepe5v2b
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupco.bsky.social
Yes! TODO ~10mil strong cities agglomeration Liverpool-Mnchstr-Leeds-Sheff-Hull connected with transport links, housing built along links for commuting whichever way pple fancy. Birmingham half-way between new MegaCity & old London. London needs competition to raise its game, atm coasting b/c TINA.
September 22, 2024 at 12:12 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupco.bsky.social
Yes! TODO ~10mil strong cities agglomeration Liverpool-Mnchstr-Leeds-Sheff-Hull connected with transport links, housing built along links for commuting whichever way pple fancy. Birmingham half-way between new MegaCity & old London. London needs competition to raise its game, atm coasting b/c TINA.
September 22, 2024 at 12:12 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4qgbmbmzr22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Excellent summary by @esjesjesj.bsky.social -
Competition is great, lesson 112. 😆 Everyone on X and any platform rlly needs a backup
1) open an account with Bsky
2) re-create the social graph follows-followers; painful manual work, but "Sky Follower Bridge" AddOn eases the chore by a factor of x100
September 22, 2024 at 11:51 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Excellent summary by @esjesjesj.bsky.social -
Competition is great, lesson 112. 😆 Everyone on X and any platform rlly needs a backup
1) open an account with Bsky
2) re-create the social graph follows-followers; painful manual work, but "Sky Follower Bridge" AddOn eases the chore by a factor of x100
September 22, 2024 at 11:51 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4qfxt6sdt2t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Oh yes - some great ideas kicking about (some mentioned in ukfoundations.co only few days ago), sufficient critical mass of people know about them, discuss analyze propose - yet, it just does not happen! My post was along the line how to make it happen. :-) (shortest version - no space to elaborate)
ukfoundations.co
Foundations
Why Britain has stagnated
September 22, 2024 at 11:46 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Oh yes - some great ideas kicking about (some mentioned in ukfoundations.co only few days ago), sufficient critical mass of people know about them, discuss analyze propose - yet, it just does not happen! My post was along the line how to make it happen. :-) (shortest version - no space to elaborate)
ukfoundations.co
Foundations
Why Britain has stagnated
September 22, 2024 at 11:46 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4qfgwzoaj2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Agree 100%. To that - "What is to be done now?" My 2p: UK gov ultra centralized in Whitehall (#1) (almost Stalinist), then that centralized power is further held in a strangle hold by the Treasury Brain-Deep State-OBR complex (#2). Together Centralisation^2. Change needs to act on #1 &| #2 points.
September 22, 2024 at 11:36 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Agree 100%. To that - "What is to be done now?" My 2p: UK gov ultra centralized in Whitehall (#1) (almost Stalinist), then that centralized power is further held in a strangle hold by the Treasury Brain-Deep State-OBR complex (#2). Together Centralisation^2. Change needs to act on #1 &| #2 points.
September 22, 2024 at 11:36 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4oux7metv27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
FDA prevarication is incomprehensible unconsolable. Us 2 are in charge of approving a life saving drug. Every day 1 person dies. We organise a final approval meeting. Schedule it 10 days from now rather than today=>we just killed 10 pple that didn't need to die
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
September 21, 2024 at 9:09 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
FDA prevarication is incomprehensible unconsolable. Us 2 are in charge of approving a life saving drug. Every day 1 person dies. We organise a final approval meeting. Schedule it 10 days from now rather than today=>we just killed 10 pple that didn't need to die
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab
September 21, 2024 at 9:09 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4otqi4rc62l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...only b/c all devices marketed as "smart" to me have shown themselves to be totally dumb! I have to anticipate the stupid thing the device will do, and work pre-emptivelly around that! 😭 Same for updates and upgrades to programs I've used a long time. Fortunate Xfce changes glacially only. 😊
September 21, 2024 at 8:47 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
...only b/c all devices marketed as "smart" to me have shown themselves to be totally dumb! I have to anticipate the stupid thing the device will do, and work pre-emptivelly around that! 😭 Same for updates and upgrades to programs I've used a long time. Fortunate Xfce changes glacially only. 😊
September 21, 2024 at 8:47 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jpa4krb52m
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good luck. Small minded in addition to small hearted. Luckily most computer people 1970+ were open minded in addition open hearted, created the Internet free & open, and that's how both of us got a magical screeny bar in our hands enabling us to discuss this while separated by great distance.
September 19, 2024
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good luck. Small minded in addition to small hearted. Luckily most computer people 1970+ were open minded in addition open hearted, created the Internet free & open, and that's how both of us got a magical screeny bar in our hands enabling us to discuss this while separated by great distance.
September 19, 2024
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jo522pwd2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We are talking about your rights. The rights granted to you by the copyright laws. The protection your work gets from the law, backed by the full violent force of the state: should anyone copy your works of art, they will be punished, ultimately thrown in jail.
September 19, 2024 at 7:23 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We are talking about your rights. The rights granted to you by the copyright laws. The protection your work gets from the law, backed by the full violent force of the state: should anyone copy your works of art, they will be punished, ultimately thrown in jail.
September 19, 2024 at 7:23 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jmtllywf2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Reminds me of the "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible: The Surreal Heart of the New Russia" book by Peter Pomerantsev (2014). Not so much to construct a lie, but by "flooding the field with shit" to deny the possibility of any definite truth (and reality). "Political technologists" at work.
September 19, 2024 at 7:00 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Reminds me of the "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible: The Surreal Heart of the New Russia" book by Peter Pomerantsev (2014). Not so much to construct a lie, but by "flooding the field with shit" to deny the possibility of any definite truth (and reality). "Political technologists" at work.
September 19, 2024 at 7:00 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jm2sydda25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The laws you cite without citing are human laws, not natural laws. Humans agreed on copyright - i.e. forbade other people copying your art, for reasons - they can equally agree to scrap those laws and allow such copying. May seem bad or unfair to you and me - but it is wholy within their rights.
September 19, 2024 at 6:46 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
The laws you cite without citing are human laws, not natural laws. Humans agreed on copyright - i.e. forbade other people copying your art, for reasons - they can equally agree to scrap those laws and allow such copying. May seem bad or unfair to you and me - but it is wholy within their rights.
September 19, 2024 at 6:46 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jlgyftes2w
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Car - yes no one is taking your car off you. Likewise - someone copies my picture, they've have not taken it off me, I still have it too. Laws copyright and others - sure these are human laws we agree collectively, not natural laws like gravity, can agree, change opinions, agree something else etc.
September 19, 2024 at 6:35 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Car - yes no one is taking your car off you. Likewise - someone copies my picture, they've have not taken it off me, I still have it too. Laws copyright and others - sure these are human laws we agree collectively, not natural laws like gravity, can agree, change opinions, agree something else etc.
September 19, 2024 at 6:35 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jkqph2vq2z
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Every social media user has benefited - including yourself. IDK abt consent - I presume companies follow the relevant laws. IDK abt UK blocking or not UK Cos. The whole Internet, the protocols & s/w was built free & open. Oft think - I see how normies wd never have built such a thing. small hearts 💕
September 19, 2024 at 6:23 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Every social media user has benefited - including yourself. IDK abt consent - I presume companies follow the relevant laws. IDK abt UK blocking or not UK Cos. The whole Internet, the protocols & s/w was built free & open. Oft think - I see how normies wd never have built such a thing. small hearts 💕
September 19, 2024 at 6:23 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jjuas4kp2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm not against my data being baked into the weights of future AI. Part of me not only preserved, but put to good use. Don't see much wrong there. I have benefited immensly from other people's data. Isn't it immoral that I benefit from others' then turn around and be "no you can't benefit from mine"
September 19, 2024 at 6:07 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm not against my data being baked into the weights of future AI. Part of me not only preserved, but put to good use. Don't see much wrong there. I have benefited immensly from other people's data. Isn't it immoral that I benefit from others' then turn around and be "no you can't benefit from mine"
September 19, 2024 at 6:07 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4jhvzjj2p2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hahaha 😂 - yep. The way people are economical with their clicks and taps - one would think they are being charged by the tap! 😂 Instead - it's all free, free for all! 😀 If you decide "I don't like that" - can unfollow in one sec in a single tap! How hard is that?? Honestly.
September 19, 2024 at 5:32 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hahaha 😂 - yep. The way people are economical with their clicks and taps - one would think they are being charged by the tap! 😂 Instead - it's all free, free for all! 😀 If you decide "I don't like that" - can unfollow in one sec in a single tap! How hard is that?? Honestly.
September 19, 2024 at 5:32 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4ilmlaazm27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😂😂 - v.good. But probably less for the dogs - and running the risk of being bludgeoned by dog lovers here 😂 - who don't much care either way, and more for their owners. 😇
September 19, 2024 at 9:06 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😂😂 - v.good. But probably less for the dogs - and running the risk of being bludgeoned by dog lovers here 😂 - who don't much care either way, and more for their owners. 😇
September 19, 2024 at 9:06 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4ilhs2ya62v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good on you. I don't particularly mind who builds - just that it's built. Is it the case that on one hand councils must provide housing, while on the other hand, they're forbidden to build housing - and both by law? That strikes me as crazy, schizophrenic state of affairs. Any chance of change soon?
September 19, 2024 at 9:03 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good on you. I don't particularly mind who builds - just that it's built. Is it the case that on one hand councils must provide housing, while on the other hand, they're forbidden to build housing - and both by law? That strikes me as crazy, schizophrenic state of affairs. Any chance of change soon?
September 19, 2024 at 9:03 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l4cd6pde7w2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😊 Doesn't have to be that way. It's not law of nature like gravity. It's sth we choose to do - or not do. Head strong pple motivated & organised are a minority. The majority don't feel that strongly, are apathetic. But once that stops being the case - well for every nimby there can be a yimby. 😉
September 16, 2024 at 9:19 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😊 Doesn't have to be that way. It's not law of nature like gravity. It's sth we choose to do - or not do. Head strong pple motivated & organised are a minority. The majority don't feel that strongly, are apathetic. But once that stops being the case - well for every nimby there can be a yimby. 😉
September 16, 2024 at 9:19 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3ztdoev6a2l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 I'm sure a suitable critique will be found, including "here is something the model fails at" anecdotes. 😀 I oft think: do you guys take the hammer by the head, and then head in hand, bash with the handle, and go: aww, rubbish - doesn't work"? 😂 Our world is full of know-nothing, unchecked egos.
September 13, 2024 at 12:14 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 I'm sure a suitable critique will be found, including "here is something the model fails at" anecdotes. 😀 I oft think: do you guys take the hammer by the head, and then head in hand, bash with the handle, and go: aww, rubbish - doesn't work"? 😂 Our world is full of know-nothing, unchecked egos.
September 13, 2024 at 12:14 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3xpxigqqk25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! Refresher to the previous wild diamonds story (2003)
https://www.wired.com/2003/09/diam
Love it how manufactured diamonds are runway for the *real* project: producing computer chips (out of diamond) that can withstand much higher temperatures, so need less cooling. v3 May succeed finally in 2045 :-)
September 12, 2024 at 4:08 PM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! Refresher to the previous wild diamonds story (2003)
https://www.wired.com/2003/09/diam
Love it how manufactured diamonds are runway for the *real* project: producing computer chips (out of diamond) that can withstand much higher temperatures, so need less cooling. v3 May succeed finally in 2045 :-)
September 12, 2024 at 4:08 PM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3x344vce32z
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
good and succinct - and told in video too
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGmdvdXoJ-8
the source article
https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better
hard to imagine better public service than owid
(author @maxroser.bsky.social )
ALT
OWID three true statements. The world is awful now. The world is much better now than it was in the past. The world can be much better in the future.
September 12, 2024 at 9:55 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
good and succinct - and told in video too
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGmdvdXoJ-8
the source article
https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better
hard to imagine better public service than owid
(author @maxroser.bsky.social )
ALT
OWID three true statements. The world is awful now. The world is much better now than it was in the past. The world can be much better in the future.
September 12, 2024 at 9:55 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3wy6ktuxc2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Helps if one has kids? Tidy laminated notes appeared on posts & tree trunks in my area, warning of double-digit number of new houses to be built on the agricultural land adjacent. (I live at edge of town) I though - how terribly selfish!? Where are my 20yolds to live?? They are abt to leave home.
September 12, 2024 at 9:03 AM
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Helps if one has kids? Tidy laminated notes appeared on posts & tree trunks in my area, warning of double-digit number of new houses to be built on the agricultural land adjacent. (I live at edge of town) I though - how terribly selfish!? Where are my 20yolds to live?? They are abt to leave home.
September 12, 2024 at 9:03 AM
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3rznxzxcn23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
To a degree - yes. However, we are not blind slaves to our basest instincts in other domains of life. So we can do better than the basest in this too? Yes- it's inconvenient that the neighbor in our semi renovated for 1yr. Yes- I still think that on balance it was the right thing to do. Possible :-)
Sep 10, 2024 at 09:46
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
To a degree - yes. However, we are not blind slaves to our basest instincts in other domains of life. So we can do better than the basest in this too? Yes- it's inconvenient that the neighbor in our semi renovated for 1yr. Yes- I still think that on balance it was the right thing to do. Possible :-)
Sep 10, 2024 at 09:46
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qyq4uokw24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 haha 😂 - now you see how every politician has an impossible task; herding cats does not even come close 😂
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:56
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 haha 😂 - now you see how every politician has an impossible task; herding cats does not even come close 😂
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:56
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qy33x6cd23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK I have no insider knowledge. However, afaik they don't use content in any way. They only ever use metadata. Reasoning from 1st principles. Say I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. 1/
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK I have no insider knowledge. However, afaik they don't use content in any way. They only ever use metadata. Reasoning from 1st principles. Say I follow 5000 accounts. Each one writes 1 post a day = 5000 posts a day. 1/
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qy54hmsc25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I login, the algofeed serves 50 posts on one screen full. I check the feed 10 times per day = 500 posts shown to me daily. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown, and 4500 to not be shown. Algofeed must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. 2/
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:46
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I login, the algofeed serves 50 posts on one screen full. I check the feed 10 times per day = 500 posts shown to me daily. That is 500 out of possible 5000 to be shown, and 4500 to not be shown. Algofeed must decide which 500, out of 5000 possible, to show me. 2/
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:46
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qy7knmbk2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Any 1 post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I expect to see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. Real algofeed is more complicated is non-random: tilts towards factors like accounts past engagement interaction via {Like,Forward,Quote,Reply} of posts, bio check, paid or unpaid over/under-weight. 3/
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:47
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Any 1 post has probability 0.1 to be shown. I expect to see 1 post from 1 account once in 10 days. Real algofeed is more complicated is non-random: tilts towards factors like accounts past engagement interaction via {Like,Forward,Quote,Reply} of posts, bio check, paid or unpaid over/under-weight. 3/
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:47
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qydwof222t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Probably scores are decayed by time elapsed between the time of the event and now, with some half-life parameter. I'd assume timeliness is the most important: time elapsed since the time of the post and now, most recents shown 1st. This is completely a guess - I have no insider knowledge. 4/4
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:50
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Probably scores are decayed by time elapsed between the time of the event and now, with some half-life parameter. I'd assume timeliness is the most important: time elapsed since the time of the post and now, most recents shown 1st. This is completely a guess - I have no insider knowledge. 4/4
Sep 9, 2024 at 23:50
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qgr5yfpz2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nope, it's too much of "they are both the same" tbh. Because they are not the same. One side is aggressor, on offense, the other side is defending. One side can stop fighting, collect their soldiers, go home, no problem all good. If the other side stops fighting, they are dead, destroyed utterly. so
Sep 9, 2024 at 18:35
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nope, it's too much of "they are both the same" tbh. Because they are not the same. One side is aggressor, on offense, the other side is defending. One side can stop fighting, collect their soldiers, go home, no problem all good. If the other side stops fighting, they are dead, destroyed utterly. so
Sep 9, 2024 at 18:35
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qfr7ctzh2s
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You must be aware of the Minsky's "perceptron can't compute the XOR function" in the autumn of one of the AI winters. You are re-running an instance of that. You must know that a network with one hidden layer is universal approximator. Meaning with enough units, can approximate any function (to eps)
Sep 9, 2024 at 18:17
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
You must be aware of the Minsky's "perceptron can't compute the XOR function" in the autumn of one of the AI winters. You are re-running an instance of that. You must know that a network with one hidden layer is universal approximator. Meaning with enough units, can approximate any function (to eps)
Sep 9, 2024 at 18:17
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qf5m3xgz24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
EU is off to the races then - from Saint Greta, to eu/acc now. TBS what happens next.
https://bsky.app/profile/sandertordoir.bsky.social/post/3l3qb2o2dgn2n
Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 3h
Draghi’s strategic economic growth agenda for the EU does not disappoint.
It channels aspects of the thinking of Jean Monnet (EU defense integration), Jacques Delors (EU single market) and Bidenomics (cleantech / economic security).
But above all, Draghi’s own vision.
My initial observations🧵
Sep 9, 2024 at 18:06
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
EU is off to the races then - from Saint Greta, to eu/acc now. TBS what happens next.
https://bsky.app/profile/sandertordoir.bsky.social/post/3l3qb2o2dgn2n
Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 3h
Draghi’s strategic economic growth agenda for the EU does not disappoint.
It channels aspects of the thinking of Jean Monnet (EU defense integration), Jacques Delors (EU single market) and Bidenomics (cleantech / economic security).
But above all, Draghi’s own vision.
My initial observations🧵
Sep 9, 2024 at 18:06
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3qbwioaa72s
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
some good news there -
OXFORD PV
"20% more powerful tandem solar panels enter commercial use for the first time in the US"
https://www.oxfordpv.com/news/20-more-powerful-tandem-solar-panels-enter-commercial-use-first-time-us
www.oxfordpv.com
20% more powerful tandem solar panels enter commercial use for the first time in the US | Oxford PV
Oxford PV announces world-first commercial sale of next-generation perovskite tandem solar panels set to transform the energy industry and accelerate progress towards clean energy goals.05 Sept 2024 —...
Sep 9, 2024 at 17:08
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
some good news there -
OXFORD PV
"20% more powerful tandem solar panels enter commercial use for the first time in the US"
https://www.oxfordpv.com/news/20-more-powerful-tandem-solar-panels-enter-commercial-use-first-time-us
www.oxfordpv.com
20% more powerful tandem solar panels enter commercial use for the first time in the US | Oxford PV
Oxford PV announces world-first commercial sale of next-generation perovskite tandem solar panels set to transform the energy industry and accelerate progress towards clean energy goals.05 Sept 2024 —...
Sep 9, 2024 at 17:08
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3q5hrkrhs2p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks for that! I remember that name and/or person... Maybe one of the more interesting ones with ideas abt digital governance in the 21st Century? Off to Spotify then :-)
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:49
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks for that! I remember that name and/or person... Maybe one of the more interesting ones with ideas abt digital governance in the 21st Century? Off to Spotify then :-)
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:49
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3q5b2ifz72w
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... woman not "man" above there in the figure of speech sorry for that - no Edit functionality here either??? - just clicked on your profile, I was too quick to reply. Will try do better in the future
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:45
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... woman not "man" above there in the figure of speech sorry for that - no Edit functionality here either??? - just clicked on your profile, I was too quick to reply. Will try do better in the future
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:45
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3q4wdktp52z
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
hehe 😆 - and in charge of the O2 distribution on Mars, Total Recall style 😱 😆
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:39
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
hehe 😆 - and in charge of the O2 distribution on Mars, Total Recall style 😱 😆
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:39
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3q4podafx2x
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks for that, you didn't offend me, no need to apology. 😀 If anything - I should apologize to you, for goading you. 😱 So apology from me there. But man - say what you mean please in affirmative, don't leave us guessing on the edge of our seats. Don't be shy - it's a public forum. 😆
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:35
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks for that, you didn't offend me, no need to apology. 😀 If anything - I should apologize to you, for goading you. 😱 So apology from me there. But man - say what you mean please in affirmative, don't leave us guessing on the edge of our seats. Don't be shy - it's a public forum. 😆
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:35
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3q4jwm3jg2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Well that's a pleasant surprise! 😀 Well done Greens 👏 Hopefully the nimby part - some persuaded converted, some expect them will peel off and decamp to Reform or worse. Mystical romantic blood-and-soil back-to-mother earth types. (remember one ideologue on some podcast, and converted to Orthodoxy??)
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:32
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Well that's a pleasant surprise! 😀 Well done Greens 👏 Hopefully the nimby part - some persuaded converted, some expect them will peel off and decamp to Reform or worse. Mystical romantic blood-and-soil back-to-mother earth types. (remember one ideologue on some podcast, and converted to Orthodoxy??)
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:32
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3q3y44b5v2h
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Of course they are coming from me. For your laconic wisdom shall remain inaccessible to us.
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Of course they are coming from me. For your laconic wisdom shall remain inaccessible to us.
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:22
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3q3jg4of72c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Got it. You knew everyone's perspective was biased, including OP. And *that* is the reason for asking. It's a test. Give OP opportunity to fail a test by claiming his perspective is unbiased. Then what? OP reveals his ignorance - haha - gotcha, public shaming? Evidence for a secret trial? my god
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:14
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Got it. You knew everyone's perspective was biased, including OP. And *that* is the reason for asking. It's a test. Give OP opportunity to fail a test by claiming his perspective is unbiased. Then what? OP reveals his ignorance - haha - gotcha, public shaming? Evidence for a secret trial? my god
Sep 9, 2024 at 15:14
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pyw67ikd2t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Everyone's perspective is biased - his, mine, yours. 😄 How cd it be unbiased?? By some magic, where we are all floating as pure ideas, spirits or gods hovering over the material world down there? 😉 Come on 😇
Sep 9, 2024 at 14:27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Everyone's perspective is biased - his, mine, yours. 😄 How cd it be unbiased?? By some magic, where we are all floating as pure ideas, spirits or gods hovering over the material world down there? 😉 Come on 😇
Sep 9, 2024 at 14:27
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pynwqskv2t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Saw it & commented (from the tail end-here)
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pl6qmoe42t
But there is much more to be said. People in humanities that never heard/thought of CPSnow The Two Cultures, and since then Information Theory revealed as Jaynes' The Logic of Science made things way worse for them. (and us by ext)
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 10h
All that I've heard for 10yrs at every confrnce read in many ppers 20yrs ago. Same's prob true in prior 30yrs too. Ofc trivially true: it won't be exactly the same. Many researchers too: 😂 "NO to incremental improvement", nah no sirree - only a "complete rethink". 😂
😍 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Sep 9, 2024 at 14:22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Saw it & commented (from the tail end-here)
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pl6qmoe42t
But there is much more to be said. People in humanities that never heard/thought of CPSnow The Two Cultures, and since then Information Theory revealed as Jaynes' The Logic of Science made things way worse for them. (and us by ext)
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 10h
All that I've heard for 10yrs at every confrnce read in many ppers 20yrs ago. Same's prob true in prior 30yrs too. Ofc trivially true: it won't be exactly the same. Many researchers too: 😂 "NO to incremental improvement", nah no sirree - only a "complete rethink". 😂
😍 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Sep 9, 2024 at 14:22
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3py46wcfw2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah, I know - right?? 😒 I could never get my head around the "scorched earth" policy of the 2nd Ref proponents then. ☹️ Saved some of the Westminster indicative votes for posterity, saw them someplace, 😬 but now I find only this one: TIG 11 switching side tips 261:282 -> 272:271. 🤯
UK-parliament-indicative-vote-CM-20.jpeg
Sep 9, 2024 at 14:13
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah, I know - right?? 😒 I could never get my head around the "scorched earth" policy of the 2nd Ref proponents then. ☹️ Saved some of the Westminster indicative votes for posterity, saw them someplace, 😬 but now I find only this one: TIG 11 switching side tips 261:282 -> 272:271. 🤯
UK-parliament-indicative-vote-CM-20.jpeg
Sep 9, 2024 at 14:13
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pnzgzxi726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
#belarusbrexit
uk-belarus-brexit.jpeg
Sep 9, 2024 at 11:12
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
#belarusbrexit
uk-belarus-brexit.jpeg
Sep 9, 2024 at 11:12
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pnr5edmb2q
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
When are the next German elections, how long has he got in power? That imbecile of the "road to hell is paved with good intentions" type will kill us all in a nuclear holocaust eventually with his non-thinking "thinking" process he applies to ... everything really it seems.
Sep 9, 2024 at 11:07
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
When are the next German elections, how long has he got in power? That imbecile of the "road to hell is paved with good intentions" type will kill us all in a nuclear holocaust eventually with his non-thinking "thinking" process he applies to ... everything really it seems.
Sep 9, 2024 at 11:07
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pmpjeche2w
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes probably I'd agree with that - but that's trivially true, always has been, always will be. 😀
We cross posted it seems, see
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pl6qmoe42t
On further listening Pedro Domingos says a lot things that pickle my interests - think I'll buy those books 😇
(ref https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE)
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 10h
All that I've heard for 10yrs at every confrnce read in many ppers 20yrs ago. Same's prob true in prior 30yrs too. Ofc trivially true: it won't be exactly the same. Many researchers too: 😂 "NO to incremental improvement", nah no sirree - only a "complete rethink". 😂
😍 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Sep 9, 2024 at 10:49
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes probably I'd agree with that - but that's trivially true, always has been, always will be. 😀
We cross posted it seems, see
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pl6qmoe42t
On further listening Pedro Domingos says a lot things that pickle my interests - think I'll buy those books 😇
(ref https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE)
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 10h
All that I've heard for 10yrs at every confrnce read in many ppers 20yrs ago. Same's prob true in prior 30yrs too. Ofc trivially true: it won't be exactly the same. Many researchers too: 😂 "NO to incremental improvement", nah no sirree - only a "complete rethink". 😂
😍 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Sep 9, 2024 at 10:49
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pl6qmoe42t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
All that I've heard for 10yrs at every confrnce read in many ppers 20yrs ago. Same's prob true in prior 30yrs too. Ofc trivially true: it won't be exactly the same. Many researchers too: 😂 "NO to incremental improvement", nah no sirree - only a "complete rethink". 😂
😍 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Sep 9, 2024 at 10:21
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
All that I've heard for 10yrs at every confrnce read in many ppers 20yrs ago. Same's prob true in prior 30yrs too. Ofc trivially true: it won't be exactly the same. Many researchers too: 😂 "NO to incremental improvement", nah no sirree - only a "complete rethink". 😂
😍 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lr2HosqrBE
www.youtube.com
"AI should NOT be regulated at all!" - Domingos
YouTube video by Machine Learning Street Talk
Sep 9, 2024 at 10:21
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pk3qlwsh2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hard to defend intellectually that. This is more defensible though: X is a choke point, in @pluralistic.net.web.brid.gy book sense. So it's right and proper to reduce that choke, by having a budding competitor (in stand by even if not competing actively). Anti-monopoly laws are useful precedent.
Sep 9, 2024 at 10:02
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hard to defend intellectually that. This is more defensible though: X is a choke point, in @pluralistic.net.web.brid.gy book sense. So it's right and proper to reduce that choke, by having a budding competitor (in stand by even if not competing actively). Anti-monopoly laws are useful precedent.
Sep 9, 2024 at 10:02
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3pigetnn32p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I use that. I try to guess the answer to Q: would I want to read what this person writes tomorrow? Wish Bsky (also X) had a service 1) verify "this is real human" for a small fee, by users that want it 2) have RealHuman flag in profile 3) allow for filtering in queries RealHuman yes/no. Fwiw my algo
ALT
Profile: 1-avatarpic 2-bannerpic \ / Scan visually the whole pic/banner/name/bio/stats for thickeness-thinness. 3-namesurname \ / "Thick" is follow signal as default. "Thin" is a not/un-follow signal/default. 4-followsyou 5-@nick.bsky +---+ Bad if no avatar. Bad if no banner. Bad if no attempt at human name. 6-Nfollowers 7-Nfollowing 8-Nposts / \ Bad if ratio follows/followers>5. Bad if last post/reply months/years ago. 9-bio personal intro presentation hashtags / \ Bad if the number of posts/replies on their page <10.
Sep 9, 2024 at 09:32
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I use that. I try to guess the answer to Q: would I want to read what this person writes tomorrow? Wish Bsky (also X) had a service 1) verify "this is real human" for a small fee, by users that want it 2) have RealHuman flag in profile 3) allow for filtering in queries RealHuman yes/no. Fwiw my algo
ALT
Profile: 1-avatarpic 2-bannerpic \ / Scan visually the whole pic/banner/name/bio/stats for thickeness-thinness. 3-namesurname \ / "Thick" is follow signal as default. "Thin" is a not/un-follow signal/default. 4-followsyou 5-@nick.bsky +---+ Bad if no avatar. Bad if no banner. Bad if no attempt at human name. 6-Nfollowers 7-Nfollowing 8-Nposts / \ Bad if ratio follows/followers>5. Bad if last post/reply months/years ago. 9-bio personal intro presentation hashtags / \ Bad if the number of posts/replies on their page <10.
Sep 9, 2024 at 09:32
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3phhn2s4c2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good that they publish (even if 20yrs delayed) - but, what's to be done? 😇 One side is proudly stupid, hates intellect in any any shape or form. 😰 The other side is besotted by beauty, is shallow, often laughably so, falls head over heals for the same scented farts again and again. 😂
Sep 9, 2024 at 09:15
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good that they publish (even if 20yrs delayed) - but, what's to be done? 😇 One side is proudly stupid, hates intellect in any any shape or form. 😰 The other side is besotted by beauty, is shallow, often laughably so, falls head over heals for the same scented farts again and again. 😂
Sep 9, 2024 at 09:15
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3n5flxl522j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 tolerance is the price we pay for freedom. can dish it out but can't take it in - the charitable type eh? 😂 tit-for-tat is a fine cooperation strategy 😱
dear random digital archeologist, a tasty morsel here, reword for reading this far 😇
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
(Veritasium's Prisoner Dilemma)
Veritasium_-_What_Game_Theory_Reveals_About_Life_The_Universe_and_Everything.mp4
Sep 8, 2024 at 11:09
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😂 tolerance is the price we pay for freedom. can dish it out but can't take it in - the charitable type eh? 😂 tit-for-tat is a fine cooperation strategy 😱
dear random digital archeologist, a tasty morsel here, reword for reading this far 😇
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mScpHTIi-kM
(Veritasium's Prisoner Dilemma)
Veritasium_-_What_Game_Theory_Reveals_About_Life_The_Universe_and_Everything.mp4
Sep 8, 2024 at 11:09
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3l6nicprx2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Eh 🙄 - I build models for a living (like Nate), and most critics are clueless. Expecting them to get it is like expecting a Toyota driver to know the engine’s inner workings. Nate’s paid to be right (or bets himself); wordcel critics just sell their takes. No chance they’ll ever see eye to eye. 😶
Sep 7, 2024 at 16:26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Eh 🙄 - I build models for a living (like Nate), and most critics are clueless. Expecting them to get it is like expecting a Toyota driver to know the engine’s inner workings. Nate’s paid to be right (or bets himself); wordcel critics just sell their takes. No chance they’ll ever see eye to eye. 😶
Sep 7, 2024 at 16:26
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3l5cm2rmi2x
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 Are you saying - it's popular when unrealistic? When a realistic proposal of what's actually possible is put forward, it's not so popular. Shocked, shocked I tell you. 😂 Now - when have we heard something similar before, I wonder, hmm... 🤔
Sep 7, 2024 at 16:02
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 Are you saying - it's popular when unrealistic? When a realistic proposal of what's actually possible is put forward, it's not so popular. Shocked, shocked I tell you. 😂 Now - when have we heard something similar before, I wonder, hmm... 🤔
Sep 7, 2024 at 16:02
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3l33e7mu522
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
📌 wow that was very good and clear - brought back childhood memories for sure! 😅
Sep 7, 2024 at 15:22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
📌 wow that was very good and clear - brought back childhood memories for sure! 😅
Sep 7, 2024 at 15:22
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3kwc4e7qi2p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... true we all value convenience. 😄 It's good that there exists alternative ready & in stand by. Concentrates mercurial media mogul mind better for one. 😇 For all we know - in 3yrs EM maybe out, another BB (Billionaire Blowhard) buys Bsky now, things turn for the worse, we all flock back to X. 😱 2/
Sep 7, 2024 at 13:57
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... true we all value convenience. 😄 It's good that there exists alternative ready & in stand by. Concentrates mercurial media mogul mind better for one. 😇 For all we know - in 3yrs EM maybe out, another BB (Billionaire Blowhard) buys Bsky now, things turn for the worse, we all flock back to X. 😱 2/
Sep 7, 2024 at 13:57
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3kvxr5gek22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes, true that. ☺️ History rarely repeats, most oft it rimes rather. X getting cr*pier by invasion of bots baddies, ever more suspect algofeed etc, still: only synchronized "all move on 1 same day" switch is ever possible due to N^2 single social space value effect. Countrywide bans achieve that 😆 1/
Sep 7, 2024 at 13:51
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yes, true that. ☺️ History rarely repeats, most oft it rimes rather. X getting cr*pier by invasion of bots baddies, ever more suspect algofeed etc, still: only synchronized "all move on 1 same day" switch is ever possible due to N^2 single social space value effect. Countrywide bans achieve that 😆 1/
Sep 7, 2024 at 13:51
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3kiiiqxcx2p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Heh 😂 - I just give up on 100% presentation as per the personal wishes of the moment, accept the inevitable 99% or 95% or ... (gulp - less...) And use the allotted time in this world for something else. 😇
Sep 7, 2024 at 09:50
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Heh 😂 - I just give up on 100% presentation as per the personal wishes of the moment, accept the inevitable 99% or 95% or ... (gulp - less...) And use the allotted time in this world for something else. 😇
Sep 7, 2024 at 09:50
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3kibd4ch222
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I love this format. Curate the most important segments, freeze, explain, give context etc. Much value add there!
Too bad about the clickbait tittle - ignore. (it's on us humans-we that shallow??)
"Former Google CEO Spills ALL! (Google AI is Doomed)"
by Matthew Berman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PMUVqtXS0A
www.youtube.com
Former Google CEO Spills ALL! (Google AI is Doomed)
YouTube video by Matthew Berman
Sep 7, 2024 at 09:46
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I love this format. Curate the most important segments, freeze, explain, give context etc. Much value add there!
Too bad about the clickbait tittle - ignore. (it's on us humans-we that shallow??)
"Former Google CEO Spills ALL! (Google AI is Doomed)"
by Matthew Berman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PMUVqtXS0A
www.youtube.com
Former Google CEO Spills ALL! (Google AI is Doomed)
YouTube video by Matthew Berman
Sep 7, 2024 at 09:46
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3j5r5hjtp23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Then he "!!" wows a podcast along the lines of "national hero Churchill the worst, Nazis so-so, too bad for Hitler", apparently unhappy by the history's turn that saw Brittan not occupied by the Nazis. By now wd have expected BBC to lead over to Bsky. Apparently - they can't even follow. wtaf
4/
Sep 6, 2024 at 21:05
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Then he "!!" wows a podcast along the lines of "national hero Churchill the worst, Nazis so-so, too bad for Hitler", apparently unhappy by the history's turn that saw Brittan not occupied by the Nazis. By now wd have expected BBC to lead over to Bsky. Apparently - they can't even follow. wtaf
4/
Sep 6, 2024 at 21:05
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3j5nnw57e22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Totally baffling why is BBC still on X. Chief twit and major owner 1st wishes UK civil war during the riots with "civil war is now inevitable", where each one of us and our loved ones wd personally suffer.
3/
Sep 6, 2024 at 21:03
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Totally baffling why is BBC still on X. Chief twit and major owner 1st wishes UK civil war during the riots with "civil war is now inevitable", where each one of us and our loved ones wd personally suffer.
3/
Sep 6, 2024 at 21:03
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3ijm5haei2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks! Anyone know how to convert a list of accounts into a feed of some sort? So I can add it. Or even - bookmark this list? Another X refugee, setting up Lists and Follows atm, too much to do this rn, but wd like to be able to bookmark and todo latter. -ta
Sep 6, 2024 at 15:04
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks! Anyone know how to convert a list of accounts into a feed of some sort? So I can add it. Or even - bookmark this list? Another X refugee, setting up Lists and Follows atm, too much to do this rn, but wd like to be able to bookmark and todo latter. -ta
Sep 6, 2024 at 15:04
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3i7qqsz5c22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Have they no professional - and dare I say personal - pride? A blowhard castigates them oft as low energy do nothings. Why prove him right when you can prove him wrong?? And with little effort or having to think much?? @bbcnews-uk-rss.bsky.social @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social come on dude(te)s
2/
Sep 6, 2024 at 12:08
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Have they no professional - and dare I say personal - pride? A blowhard castigates them oft as low energy do nothings. Why prove him right when you can prove him wrong?? And with little effort or having to think much?? @bbcnews-uk-rss.bsky.social @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social come on dude(te)s
2/
Sep 6, 2024 at 12:08
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3i7lmcyq62n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK - even without any mandate. We don't wait for no mandate ourselves, no? Can they do no better than you and me?? Thought this newsworthy on its own, tagged whatever accounts I could see here - zero traction, black hole, no info comes back out. c.f.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dk3r7kcg2i
1/
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 2d
I foresee UKtwitter potentially making a mad dash to Bsky by Monday. Social networks are a natural monopoly, but they can crumble if enough users switch at the same time—just ask his contemporary but old media mogul Rupert Murdoch about MySpace. 😶
4/
Sep 6, 2024 at 12:05
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK - even without any mandate. We don't wait for no mandate ourselves, no? Can they do no better than you and me?? Thought this newsworthy on its own, tagged whatever accounts I could see here - zero traction, black hole, no info comes back out. c.f.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dk3r7kcg2i
1/
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 2d
I foresee UKtwitter potentially making a mad dash to Bsky by Monday. Social networks are a natural monopoly, but they can crumble if enough users switch at the same time—just ask his contemporary but old media mogul Rupert Murdoch about MySpace. 😶
4/
Sep 6, 2024 at 12:05
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3i522w4ie23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yep. I'm amazed that say BBC and UKG have no presence here. Wtaf?? Noone is asking you to delete your old accounts on X - just add new accounts on Bsky. And it's free! If hobbyists can do it - paid professionals can do it in a single day. c.f.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3djxy3sug2i
Sep 6, 2024 at 11:20
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yep. I'm amazed that say BBC and UKG have no presence here. Wtaf?? Noone is asking you to delete your old accounts on X - just add new accounts on Bsky. And it's free! If hobbyists can do it - paid professionals can do it in a single day. c.f.
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3djxy3sug2i
Sep 6, 2024 at 11:20
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3gxeu2xfo2x
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Agreed 😊 See @drmichaellevin.bsky.social - he's got ton of interesting videos on YT about distributed intelligence at multiple levels (cells, tissues etc).
I'm hoping that AI doomerism is us making the error of projecting ourselves (the worst of us in this case!) to other entities - again. TBS 😀
Sep 6, 2024 at 00:06
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Agreed 😊 See @drmichaellevin.bsky.social - he's got ton of interesting videos on YT about distributed intelligence at multiple levels (cells, tissues etc).
I'm hoping that AI doomerism is us making the error of projecting ourselves (the worst of us in this case!) to other entities - again. TBS 😀
Sep 6, 2024 at 00:06
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3gw5vj2wr2c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! Very good - thanks! Most interesting :-) Refreshed my 20yrs stale knowledge on the subject - previously (2003)
https://www.wired.com/2003/09/diamond/
www.wired.com
The New Diamond Age
Armed with inexpensive, mass-produced gems, two startups are launching an assault on the De Beers cartel. Next up: the computing industry. Aron Weingarten brings the yellow diamond up to the stainless...
Sep 5, 2024 at 23:44
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Ha! Very good - thanks! Most interesting :-) Refreshed my 20yrs stale knowledge on the subject - previously (2003)
https://www.wired.com/2003/09/diamond/
www.wired.com
The New Diamond Age
Armed with inexpensive, mass-produced gems, two startups are launching an assault on the De Beers cartel. Next up: the computing industry. Aron Weingarten brings the yellow diamond up to the stainless...
Sep 5, 2024 at 23:44
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3gssrbhrt2n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us), then - Copernicus. We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin (just another leaf on the tree of life). We thought we are rational, then - Freud. Slow learners with outsized egos - eh? 😇
Sep 5, 2024 at 22:44
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
😆 We thought Earth is special and cosmos revolves around it (and by extension - us), then - Copernicus. We thought we are special made in His likeness, then - Darwin (just another leaf on the tree of life). We thought we are rational, then - Freud. Slow learners with outsized egos - eh? 😇
Sep 5, 2024 at 22:44
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3gqa7wxml2b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
1st Connections models date to 1943 (McCulloch& Pitts), so about contemporary with the von Neumann architecture. Survived quite a few AI winters since too. The list of claims to what NNs can't do, only to do them latter, is not short. Few spirited jibes 😇 abt that in
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&t=360s
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological intelligence?" Romanes Lecture
YouTube video by University of Oxford
Sep 5, 2024 at 21:58
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
1st Connections models date to 1943 (McCulloch& Pitts), so about contemporary with the von Neumann architecture. Survived quite a few AI winters since too. The list of claims to what NNs can't do, only to do them latter, is not short. Few spirited jibes 😇 abt that in
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1TEjTeQeg0&t=360s
youtube.com
Prof. Geoffrey Hinton - "Will digital intelligence replace biological intelligence?" Romanes Lecture
YouTube video by University of Oxford
Sep 5, 2024 at 21:58
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3gouttmmx2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
what is common knowledge in your field but shocks outsiders?
even with a hit rate as low as 55:45 one can survive and earn a living
https://bsky.app/profile/jeffbarrett.eu/post/3l3gmvj3bev2b
Jeffrey Barrett @jeffbarrett.eu · 23h
what is common knowledge in your field but shocks outsiders?
p(A|B) = (p(B|A)*p(A))/p(B)
Sep 5, 2024 at 21:33
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
what is common knowledge in your field but shocks outsiders?
even with a hit rate as low as 55:45 one can survive and earn a living
https://bsky.app/profile/jeffbarrett.eu/post/3l3gmvj3bev2b
Jeffrey Barrett @jeffbarrett.eu · 23h
what is common knowledge in your field but shocks outsiders?
p(A|B) = (p(B|A)*p(A))/p(B)
Sep 5, 2024 at 21:33
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3gkrnj4or2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
but would you trust EM with your O2 on Mars, is the question? he is turning or being revealed a Man from the High Castle it seems?
Sep 5, 2024 at 20:20
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
but would you trust EM with your O2 on Mars, is the question? he is turning or being revealed a Man from the High Castle it seems?
Sep 5, 2024 at 20:20
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3fmuqexwd2t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It's the commonest blind spot. I know myself best to start with. What's my default model for the other? That they are going to be like I! It's only natural to think so. Anti that: think of the average Joe. Now-half population are worse. National service was good for empirical learning like that tbh.
Sep 5, 2024 at 11:25
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It's the commonest blind spot. I know myself best to start with. What's my default model for the other? That they are going to be like I! It's only natural to think so. Anti that: think of the average Joe. Now-half population are worse. National service was good for empirical learning like that tbh.
Sep 5, 2024 at 11:25
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3fhf6j3um2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... another happy accident reported today (and stopping this thread now, this is the last, couldn't resist - sorry 😆)
https://bsky.app/profile/npr.org/post/3l36vc7cl7t2q
NPR @npr.org · 4d
An experimental cancer drug that helps the brain turn glucose into energy was able to reverse memory loss in a mouse model of Alzheimer’s disease.
www.npr.org
This metabolic brain boost revives memory in Alzheimer’s mice
An experimental cancer drug that helps the brain turn glucose into energy was able to reverse memory loss in a mouse model of Alzheimer’s disease.
Sep 5, 2024 at 09:47
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... another happy accident reported today (and stopping this thread now, this is the last, couldn't resist - sorry 😆)
https://bsky.app/profile/npr.org/post/3l36vc7cl7t2q
NPR @npr.org · 4d
An experimental cancer drug that helps the brain turn glucose into energy was able to reverse memory loss in a mouse model of Alzheimer’s disease.
www.npr.org
This metabolic brain boost revives memory in Alzheimer’s mice
An experimental cancer drug that helps the brain turn glucose into energy was able to reverse memory loss in a mouse model of Alzheimer’s disease.
Sep 5, 2024 at 09:47
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3feqbyydw2e
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
In the olden times the same "useful idiot"-s on the west side, were known under the label "shiteater"-s, "govnojed"-s (after "govno"=shit, "jed"=eat in many slavic languages incl russian I presume). Can't find the ref. Vaguely remember b/c were being served the worst food when at the soviet embassy.
Sep 5, 2024 at 08:59
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
In the olden times the same "useful idiot"-s on the west side, were known under the label "shiteater"-s, "govnojed"-s (after "govno"=shit, "jed"=eat in many slavic languages incl russian I presume). Can't find the ref. Vaguely remember b/c were being served the worst food when at the soviet embassy.
Sep 5, 2024 at 08:59
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3f7xfnjb42o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😀 - true that. What oft surprises me even people interested and clued up abt science etc find less that comfortable to hear "We were wrong then, we are wrong now, we are just less wrong now than we were then, ergo, progress - we know more now than then". To me it sounds beautiful and hopeful.
Sep 5, 2024 at 07:34
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😀 - true that. What oft surprises me even people interested and clued up abt science etc find less that comfortable to hear "We were wrong then, we are wrong now, we are just less wrong now than we were then, ergo, progress - we know more now than then". To me it sounds beautiful and hopeful.
Sep 5, 2024 at 07:34
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3e6avtnwx2s
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I have witnessed a bona fide mentally ill person exhibit almost super human energy pursuing his crazy ideas. Has to be seen to be believed tbh. I wouldn't have believed it if someone told me.
Sep 4, 2024 at 21:31
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I have witnessed a bona fide mentally ill person exhibit almost super human energy pursuing his crazy ideas. Has to be seen to be believed tbh. I wouldn't have believed it if someone told me.
Sep 4, 2024 at 21:31
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3e5ymr5ju2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Is there any research on the minimal number of bad apples or quantity of badness that suffice to spoil the barrell? And cause community disintegration? In online communities or IRL communes or group games etc. Intuitive feel I have is 1-2%. Would love to find any quantitive research on that.
Sep 4, 2024 at 21:26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Is there any research on the minimal number of bad apples or quantity of badness that suffice to spoil the barrell? And cause community disintegration? In online communities or IRL communes or group games etc. Intuitive feel I have is 1-2%. Would love to find any quantitive research on that.
Sep 4, 2024 at 21:26
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dy5655ld2z
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
haha 😅 - there is a long list of "happy accidents" in a book abt such discoveries in medicine, an entertaining read with a serious point
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Medical-Breakthroughs/dp/1559708190/
Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs Hardcover – 9 Mar. 2007
by Morton A. Meyers (Author)
www.amazon.co.uk
Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs: Amazon.co.uk: Meyers, Morton A.: 9781559708197: Books
Buy Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs 1 by Meyers, Morton A. (ISBN: 9781559708197) from Amazon's Book Store. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders.
Sep 4, 2024 at 19:41
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
haha 😅 - there is a long list of "happy accidents" in a book abt such discoveries in medicine, an entertaining read with a serious point
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Happy-Accidents-Serendipity-Medical-Breakthroughs/dp/1559708190/
Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs Hardcover – 9 Mar. 2007
by Morton A. Meyers (Author)
www.amazon.co.uk
Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs: Amazon.co.uk: Meyers, Morton A.: 9781559708197: Books
Buy Happy Accidents: Serendipity in Modern Medical Breakthroughs 1 by Meyers, Morton A. (ISBN: 9781559708197) from Amazon's Book Store. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders.
Sep 4, 2024 at 19:41
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dnljbuev2n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good to know! But only discovered @deck.blue today https://deck.blue/ So far so great 😀
Lists transfers next. Discovered that FF "Sky Follower Bridge" extension is working for List members to?? 🤯 In addition for Following/Followers. 😇 What a champ! 🤩 (following as per https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky)
deck.blue
Get the most out of Bluesky with a multi-column layout
Sep 4, 2024 at 16:32
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Good to know! But only discovered @deck.blue today https://deck.blue/ So far so great 😀
Lists transfers next. Discovered that FF "Sky Follower Bridge" extension is working for List members to?? 🤯 In addition for Following/Followers. 😇 What a champ! 🤩 (following as per https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky)
deck.blue
Get the most out of Bluesky with a multi-column layout
Sep 4, 2024 at 16:32
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3djxy3sug2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What spectacle! 😂 Is there no BBC presence on Bsky one can tag?? This is both entertaining and educational! 😆
Hey @bbcnewsuk.bsky.social @bbcbreaking-bot.bsky.social @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social , here’s something newsworthy and, dare I say, ‘Very interesting. Worth watching.'
1/
https://bsky.app/profile/brokentoys.social/post/3l3cr6unmdd2p
Lum @brokentoys.social · 1d
Tucker Carlson (and Elon Musk by proxy) are platforming the views of Darryl Cooper, a "historian" trying to "understand WW2".
Unsurprisingly, he's lying. (thread)
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:28
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
What spectacle! 😂 Is there no BBC presence on Bsky one can tag?? This is both entertaining and educational! 😆
Hey @bbcnewsuk.bsky.social @bbcbreaking-bot.bsky.social @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social , here’s something newsworthy and, dare I say, ‘Very interesting. Worth watching.'
1/
https://bsky.app/profile/brokentoys.social/post/3l3cr6unmdd2p
Lum @brokentoys.social · 1d
Tucker Carlson (and Elon Musk by proxy) are platforming the views of Darryl Cooper, a "historian" trying to "understand WW2".
Unsurprisingly, he's lying. (thread)
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:28
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dk2gu4xe23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Your favorite Man from the High Castle, Elon Musk, is giving us some entertainment money can’t buy! 😂
First, he meets his blowhard match in a Brazilian judge—resulting in a Bsky boost. 😇
2/
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:29
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Your favorite Man from the High Castle, Elon Musk, is giving us some entertainment money can’t buy! 😂
First, he meets his blowhard match in a Brazilian judge—resulting in a Bsky boost. 😇
2/
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:29
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dk35xga52b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Now, he’s doubling down on that soft spot for UK riots (aka - "civil war is inevitable") with some alt-history takes on Churchill and WWII of the "Churchill bad, Hitler/Nazis not all bad" variety. I'm sure your viewers are waiting with a baited breath to learn more - maybe indulge them? 🤔
3/
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:29
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Now, he’s doubling down on that soft spot for UK riots (aka - "civil war is inevitable") with some alt-history takes on Churchill and WWII of the "Churchill bad, Hitler/Nazis not all bad" variety. I'm sure your viewers are waiting with a baited breath to learn more - maybe indulge them? 🤔
3/
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:29
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dk3r7kcg2i
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I foresee UKtwitter potentially making a mad dash to Bsky by Monday. Social networks are a natural monopoly, but they can crumble if enough users switch at the same time—just ask his contemporary but old media mogul Rupert Murdoch about MySpace. 😶
4/
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:30
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I foresee UKtwitter potentially making a mad dash to Bsky by Monday. Social networks are a natural monopoly, but they can crumble if enough users switch at the same time—just ask his contemporary but old media mogul Rupert Murdoch about MySpace. 😶
4/
Sep 4, 2024 at 15:30
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dgw4aprs2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm using "Sky Follower Bridge" (on Firefox, but works on Chrome etc) to find X accounts on Bsky and it works! Not only on Following, Followers etc, but also works on Lists members -
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
I found about it at
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
HTH
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Sep 4, 2024 at 14:33
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm using "Sky Follower Bridge" (on Firefox, but works on Chrome etc) to find X accounts on Bsky and it works! Not only on Following, Followers etc, but also works on Lists members -
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
I found about it at
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
HTH
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Sep 4, 2024 at 14:33
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3dfnjydvy2c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... rewatched the TechTalk below yesterday, reminded me that 100 people will have been killed on the US roads since yesterday, but b/c TINA, we are desensitized to it
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bbb2qtya2k
Recommended for the insight into the technology told ELI5 way by one of the doers, by one of its creators.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 1d
Rewatching a TechTalk by Sebastian Thrun "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (2006)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
... is somewhat poignant. One can note the moment in time the path to robotic cars becomes visibly possible. It's 20yrs since the event in Aug-2004. (erh - 20 likes and 3 comments only!?!)
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
YouTube video by GoogleTalksArchive
Sep 4, 2024 at 14:10
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... rewatched the TechTalk below yesterday, reminded me that 100 people will have been killed on the US roads since yesterday, but b/c TINA, we are desensitized to it
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bbb2qtya2k
Recommended for the insight into the technology told ELI5 way by one of the doers, by one of its creators.
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 1d
Rewatching a TechTalk by Sebastian Thrun "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (2006)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
... is somewhat poignant. One can note the moment in time the path to robotic cars becomes visibly possible. It's 20yrs since the event in Aug-2004. (erh - 20 likes and 3 comments only!?!)
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
YouTube video by GoogleTalksArchive
Sep 4, 2024 at 14:10
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3df56dkyv2e
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm using "Sky Follower Bridge" (on Firefox, but works on Chrome etc) to find X accounts on Bsky and it works! Not only on Following, Followers etc, but also works on Lists members -
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
I found about it at
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
HTH (been enjoying your blog for ages)
Sep 4, 2024 at 14:01
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I'm using "Sky Follower Bridge" (on Firefox, but works on Chrome etc) to find X accounts on Bsky and it works! Not only on Following, Followers etc, but also works on Lists members -
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3de4guwex2x
I found about it at
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
HTH (been enjoying your blog for ages)
Sep 4, 2024 at 14:01
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3cw6xjhnc22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Related. Found this informative and learned few things (e.g. on Section 230), and esp recent legal developments possibly relevant for the future (by @matthewstoller.bsky.social ) -
https://www.thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on
... but on another thread someone threw some shade on it 😆 so I guess ymmv 😀
Sep 4, 2024 at 09:34
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Related. Found this informative and learned few things (e.g. on Section 230), and esp recent legal developments possibly relevant for the future (by @matthewstoller.bsky.social ) -
https://www.thebignewsletter.com/p/judges-rule-big-techs-free-ride-on
... but on another thread someone threw some shade on it 😆 so I guess ymmv 😀
Sep 4, 2024 at 09:34
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3cu2oruze2o
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Found @deck.blue now :-)
Looks excellent, looks promising https://deck.blue/, for decked (deckered??) bsky use. Nice :-)
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bouzi6pz27
Sep 4, 2024 at 08:56
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Found @deck.blue now :-)
Looks excellent, looks promising https://deck.blue/, for decked (deckered??) bsky use. Nice :-)
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bouzi6pz27
Sep 4, 2024 at 08:56
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bv7zmqkf2p
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Human drivers kill about 30K people on the US roads every year. On a bicycle sharing the road with cars - I'd feel much safer with a robot car than a human driver. Robocar actually obeys the rules about speed and distance when overtaking me. I'd trust my kid being driven to school in a robocar.
Sep 3, 2024 at 23:44
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Human drivers kill about 30K people on the US roads every year. On a bicycle sharing the road with cars - I'd feel much safer with a robot car than a human driver. Robocar actually obeys the rules about speed and distance when overtaking me. I'd trust my kid being driven to school in a robocar.
Sep 3, 2024 at 23:44
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3brob2d3s2j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hi Steve - hope life's treated you well the past 20+ yrs. 😆
Read "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible" ages ago. Then - an eye opener, of the kind "that's hard to believe, even if I'm not saying it's untrue". Now - probably he understated things, given how insane the reality he found was.
Sep 3, 2024 at 22:40
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hi Steve - hope life's treated you well the past 20+ yrs. 😆
Read "Nothing Is True and Everything Is Possible" ages ago. Then - an eye opener, of the kind "that's hard to believe, even if I'm not saying it's untrue". Now - probably he understated things, given how insane the reality he found was.
Sep 3, 2024 at 22:40
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bouzi6pz27
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
1. Registered ages ago (why not? it's free!), but only recently found https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
2. Okish - but then I'm not a big user
3. My lists - hoping the feeds wd replace them but seems not; XPro with 1-deck-all-lists, 1-deck-1-list; ML and AI people - they are unlikely to move
Sep 3, 2024 at 21:50
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
1. Registered ages ago (why not? it's free!), but only recently found https://wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
2. Okish - but then I'm not a big user
3. My lists - hoping the feeds wd replace them but seems not; XPro with 1-deck-all-lists, 1-deck-1-list; ML and AI people - they are unlikely to move
Sep 3, 2024 at 21:50
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bethqujy2v
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Heh - not only richest person, but also having a possible future president on speed dial, aligned with, and probably financing, the party controlling much of the US federal and state legislatures, plus the top judiciary. EM un-awareness is so off the charts, a new word is needed to describe it.
Sep 3, 2024 at 18:50
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Heh - not only richest person, but also having a possible future president on speed dial, aligned with, and probably financing, the party controlling much of the US federal and state legislatures, plus the top judiciary. EM un-awareness is so off the charts, a new word is needed to describe it.
Sep 3, 2024 at 18:50
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bcyjagyo2a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Have you tried "Sky follower bridge"? This -
https://bsky.app/profile/sebschmoller.bsky.social/post/3kzkm3ynove2p
Anyone got anything else to transfer the social graph (follows + followers) with minimal pain? For me it worked well enough as described tbh.
Seb Schmoller @sebschmoller.bsky.social · 23d
Importing followers and followers from Twitter/X to Bluesky. Handy looking guide to the Sky Follower Bridge browser plugin (https://chromewebstore.google.com/detail/sky-follower-bridge/ if using Chrome). Not yet used it.
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
Sep 3, 2024 at 18:17
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Have you tried "Sky follower bridge"? This -
https://bsky.app/profile/sebschmoller.bsky.social/post/3kzkm3ynove2p
Anyone got anything else to transfer the social graph (follows + followers) with minimal pain? For me it worked well enough as described tbh.
Seb Schmoller @sebschmoller.bsky.social · 23d
Importing followers and followers from Twitter/X to Bluesky. Handy looking guide to the Sky Follower Bridge browser plugin (https://chromewebstore.google.com/detail/sky-follower-bridge/ if using Chrome). Not yet used it.
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
Sep 3, 2024 at 18:17
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bbry7qp42a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I left an office job for WFH back in 2015 to avoid 1h20' commute one way door-to-door. WFH pre-Covid was an exception not a rule. Chuffed it's become the norm now. 😍 My job is "type on keyboard + look at screen" all day. Transferring the keystrokes+video always made more sense than lugging my body.
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:56
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I left an office job for WFH back in 2015 to avoid 1h20' commute one way door-to-door. WFH pre-Covid was an exception not a rule. Chuffed it's become the norm now. 😍 My job is "type on keyboard + look at screen" all day. Transferring the keystrokes+video always made more sense than lugging my body.
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:56
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3bbb2qtya2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Rewatching a TechTalk by Sebastian Thrun "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (2006)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
... is somewhat poignant. One can note the moment in time the path to robotic cars becomes visibly possible. It's 20yrs since the event in Aug-2004. (erh - 20 likes and 3 comments only!?!)
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
YouTube video by GoogleTalksArchive
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:46
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Rewatching a TechTalk by Sebastian Thrun "Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge" (2006)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI
... is somewhat poignant. One can note the moment in time the path to robotic cars becomes visibly possible. It's 20yrs since the event in Aug-2004. (erh - 20 likes and 3 comments only!?!)
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
YouTube video by GoogleTalksArchive
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:46
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3b7zosm2p2j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
haha 😂 - yeah true. tbf any non trivial command has long since been canned into .bashrc alias or function so $ this-tha[[[ hits TAB ]]] suffices 😊
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
haha 😂 - yeah true. tbf any non trivial command has long since been canned into .bashrc alias or function so $ this-tha[[[ hits TAB ]]] suffices 😊
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:24
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3b77b756j23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Manually unfortunately :-( Found it just about bearable for 3K follows + 3K followers. Good things - can be applied to any of the lists (did "Following", "Verified Followers", "Followers"), one can start from the middle, and one can scroll with the wheel while the tool fetching data so goes faster.
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:10
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Manually unfortunately :-( Found it just about bearable for 3K follows + 3K followers. Good things - can be applied to any of the lists (did "Following", "Verified Followers", "Followers"), one can start from the middle, and one can scroll with the wheel while the tool fetching data so goes faster.
Sep 3, 2024 at 17:10
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3b5vgkmew2d
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I used Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Worked much better than I expected?? Followed -
www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitt...
... basically. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. In action looks like this:
bsky.app/profile/ljup...
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 23d
Worked without tears for me. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows from X found ~1.5K on bsky. Not bad, more than I expected.
Sep 3, 2024 at 16:46
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
I used Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Worked much better than I expected?? Followed -
www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitt...
... basically. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. In action looks like this:
bsky.app/profile/ljup...
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 23d
Worked without tears for me. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows from X found ~1.5K on bsky. Not bad, more than I expected.
Sep 3, 2024 at 16:46
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3b4gcitbk24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hope that makes the switch non-reversible. The iron law of social anything: single public square, with connections scaling with the square (N^2) of the participants number (N), will have advantage over incumbent. The value of a network is in the connections, they grow quadratically with the user base.
Sep 3, 2024 at 16:20
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hope that makes the switch non-reversible. The iron law of social anything: single public square, with connections scaling with the square (N^2) of the participants number (N), will have advantage over incumbent. The value of a network is in the connections, they grow quadratically with the user base.
Sep 3, 2024 at 16:20
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3b3nxovi325
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Re-running this weekly, finds new accounts all the time. People are switching.
Brazil effect maybe? Social media is a natural monopoly, can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 23d
Worked without tears for me. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows from X found ~1.5K on bsky. Not bad, more than I expected.
Sep 3, 2024 at 16:06
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Re-running this weekly, finds new accounts all the time. People are switching.
Brazil effect maybe? Social media is a natural monopoly, can only be circumvented by synchronization, moving *at the same time* by millions of users. The timeliness makes all the difference - must be all at the same time
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social · 23d
Worked without tears for me. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows from X found ~1.5K on bsky. Not bad, more than I expected.
Sep 3, 2024 at 16:06
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3ax45nkfq24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😆 - you're right to be annoyed. Memorising the Q+A in the preparation booklet (as one does with Theory Driving Test) were a mixed bag (form recollection). Samo useful, others absurd, yet others funny or amusing. 😆 I put the test in a "rite of passage" category, more symbolic than anything else.
Sep 3, 2024 at 14:45
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Haha 😆 - you're right to be annoyed. Memorising the Q+A in the preparation booklet (as one does with Theory Driving Test) were a mixed bag (form recollection). Samo useful, others absurd, yet others funny or amusing. 😆 I put the test in a "rite of passage" category, more symbolic than anything else.
Sep 3, 2024 at 14:45
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l3atnkghog2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK TBS :-) There is strong positive feedback loop in all things social, including economy. The default is "to whom that has, more shall be given". Explicit example is interest on savings (distributed by a Central Bank). But exists in business as well - there's natural tendency towards monopoly.
Sep 3, 2024 at 13:43
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
IDK TBS :-) There is strong positive feedback loop in all things social, including economy. The default is "to whom that has, more shall be given". Explicit example is interest on savings (distributed by a Central Bank). But exists in business as well - there's natural tendency towards monopoly.
Sep 3, 2024 at 13:43
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l34a2nrylh2f
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
On this solemn anniversary of World War II, we are reminded of the devastating consequences when power goes unchecked. Today, it seems that Russia and the USA believe they have the right to destroy other nations while expecting no resistance. But let me be clear—this will not stand.1/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:42
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
On this solemn anniversary of World War II, we are reminded of the devastating consequences when power goes unchecked. Today, it seems that Russia and the USA believe they have the right to destroy other nations while expecting no resistance. But let me be clear—this will not stand.1/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:42
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l34a3svqts2h
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
No people, regardless of their nation, will accept their own destruction lying down. This defies the very essence of humanity. Even the most oppressed, like North Koreans, desire the means to defend themselves. Nations like Israel and South Africa sought such capabilities out of necessity. 2/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:42
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
No people, regardless of their nation, will accept their own destruction lying down. This defies the very essence of humanity. Even the most oppressed, like North Koreans, desire the means to defend themselves. Nations like Israel and South Africa sought such capabilities out of necessity. 2/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:42
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l34a4u3vub23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
If the world continues on its current path, we may see Ukrainians arm themselves with more than just conventional weapons in the near future. What is Joe Biden thinking, if anything? And as for Jake Sullivan—his approach seems beyond redemption. 3/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:43
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
If the world continues on its current path, we may see Ukrainians arm themselves with more than just conventional weapons in the near future. What is Joe Biden thinking, if anything? And as for Jake Sullivan—his approach seems beyond redemption. 3/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:43
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l34abpovp62l
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This is not just a Ukrainian or CEE issue—this is a global concern. Other nations will seek the same destructive power out of survival, not choice. Maria Currie was Polish - not Russian nor American. 4/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:46
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This is not just a Ukrainian or CEE issue—this is a global concern. Other nations will seek the same destructive power out of survival, not choice. Maria Currie was Polish - not Russian nor American. 4/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:46
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l34aeandkq23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It’s time for Russia to pull back its army and for the USA to provide Ukraine with the means to defend itself. We are witnessing a dangerous sleepwalking towards a potential global catastrophe, akin to "The Sleepwalkers" of the early 20th century. 5/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:47
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
It’s time for Russia to pull back its army and for the USA to provide Ukraine with the means to defend itself. We are witnessing a dangerous sleepwalking towards a potential global catastrophe, akin to "The Sleepwalkers" of the early 20th century. 5/
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:47
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3l34ai6tgcg24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We've already had two world wars, both in Europe, both ignited in CEE. Do we need a third? This time, it might not just be Europe that suffers—it could be the end for all of us. People in positions in power - every day maybe yours (and mine) last day. Are you sure you want this? It is worth it?? 6/6
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:49
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
We've already had two world wars, both in Europe, both ignited in CEE. Do we need a third? This time, it might not just be Europe that suffers—it could be the end for all of us. People in positions in power - every day maybe yours (and mine) last day. Are you sure you want this? It is worth it?? 6/6
Sep 1, 2024 at 17:49
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzmju54rmb26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah - for me overwhelming majority is replies and mutual back and forth interacting conversation, does not translate easily, can't stand alone on it's own. For proper writers plugging their blogs content etc it is probably worth while.
Aug 13, 2024 at 18:29
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah - for me overwhelming majority is replies and mutual back and forth interacting conversation, does not translate easily, can't stand alone on it's own. For proper writers plugging their blogs content etc it is probably worth while.
Aug 13, 2024 at 18:29
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzmirrrl3d2n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
No I didn't sorry. I've downloaded the archive in the past, ton of stuff there. I look at it, and think: do I really want to preserve all that? Have fallen back to a pedestrian alternative: look through tweets written abt weekly, select few, copy&paste url+text in a logBook txt file under git. 😊
Aug 13, 2024 at 18:10
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
No I didn't sorry. I've downloaded the archive in the past, ton of stuff there. I look at it, and think: do I really want to preserve all that? Have fallen back to a pedestrian alternative: look through tweets written abt weekly, select few, copy&paste url+text in a logBook txt file under git. 😊
Aug 13, 2024 at 18:10
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzlteqfivb2s
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Always been interested in groups formation, how/do individuals decide/create bonds/groups -
Lifeboat Games And Backscratchers Clubs
By Scott Alexander
www.astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-g...
getpocket.com
Lifeboat Games And Backscratchers Clubs
Ten people are stuck on a lifeboat after their ship sank. It will be weeks before anyone finds them, and they’re out of food. They’ve heard this story before, so they decide to turn to cannibalism soo...
https://getpocket.com/read/012A1g27dV580T9f5ep44aoi10T9d3bOR3bW70o614O609OsQ9087b96X84xCh80_7690fc43d1a16d0639af7a8627161f80
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-games-and-backscratchers
Aug 13, 2024 at 11:47
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Always been interested in groups formation, how/do individuals decide/create bonds/groups -
Lifeboat Games And Backscratchers Clubs
By Scott Alexander
www.astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-g...
getpocket.com
Lifeboat Games And Backscratchers Clubs
Ten people are stuck on a lifeboat after their ship sank. It will be weeks before anyone finds them, and they’re out of food. They’ve heard this story before, so they decide to turn to cannibalism soo...
https://getpocket.com/read/012A1g27dV580T9f5ep44aoi10T9d3bOR3bW70o614O609OsQ9087b96X84xCh80_7690fc43d1a16d0639af7a8627161f80
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/lifeboat-games-and-backscratchers
Aug 13, 2024 at 11:47
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzlrpv5bd426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
My reading is: initially size was necessary given the lack of sufficient compute, lack of large quantity and good quality data. Now with improvements on all axis - ever more compute, more and better data, they manage to squeeze much much more in the weights. Excellent news indeed. :-)
Aug 13, 2024 at 11:17
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
My reading is: initially size was necessary given the lack of sufficient compute, lack of large quantity and good quality data. Now with improvements on all axis - ever more compute, more and better data, they manage to squeeze much much more in the weights. Excellent news indeed. :-)
Aug 13, 2024 at 11:17
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzlnab6qdk2c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Always a joy to listen to Geoffrey Hinton (even if I don't share his doomerism) -
"Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTF5Up1hMhw
youtube.com
Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton
YouTube video by METR (Model Evaluation & Threat Research)
Aug 13, 2024 at 09:57
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Always a joy to listen to Geoffrey Hinton (even if I don't share his doomerism) -
"Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTF5Up1hMhw
youtube.com
Q&A with Geoffrey Hinton
YouTube video by METR (Model Evaluation & Threat Research)
Aug 13, 2024 at 09:57
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzlndfzciv2b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... don't share his doomerism because imo us humans are again making the error of projecting ourselves - the worst of us in this case - to alien entities. When us humans are destroyed it will be by us humans, or some asteroid type event - but not by AIs.
Aug 13, 2024 at 09:59
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... don't share his doomerism because imo us humans are again making the error of projecting ourselves - the worst of us in this case - to alien entities. When us humans are destroyed it will be by us humans, or some asteroid type event - but not by AIs.
Aug 13, 2024 at 09:59
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzlkhnht2z26
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks. I'm no good at dyi but from time to time consider what would it take to ventilate my home better. Tbd, project in gestation.
Aug 13, 2024 at 09:07
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Thanks. I'm no good at dyi but from time to time consider what would it take to ventilate my home better. Tbd, project in gestation.
Aug 13, 2024 at 09:07
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzkmylmon42n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Worked without tears for me. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows from X found ~1.5K on bsky. Not bad, more than I expected.
Aug 13, 2024 at 00:20
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Worked without tears for me. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. Bigger screen better, middle mouse scroll wheel helps a lot. Out of ~7K follows from X found ~1.5K on bsky. Not bad, more than I expected.
Aug 13, 2024 at 00:20
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzklabs7kv2b
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nice read and very well presented, if Theory of Information is of interest to anyone -
"Visual Information Theory"
http://colah.github.io/posts/2015-09-Visual-Information/
colah.github.io
Visual Information Theory -- colah's blog
Aug 12, 2024 at 23:48
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Nice read and very well presented, if Theory of Information is of interest to anyone -
"Visual Information Theory"
http://colah.github.io/posts/2015-09-Visual-Information/
colah.github.io
Visual Information Theory -- colah's blog
Aug 12, 2024 at 23:48
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzjevcwnog24
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Like the argument, in an ideal world we'd band together do it.
In this world, best I see is massively improve indoors air quality with campaign of installing air purifiers, cleaners etc in all public spaces where groups of pple spend time. Individually - home office CO2 showing gizmo an eye opener.
Aug 12, 2024 at 12:22
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Like the argument, in an ideal world we'd band together do it.
In this world, best I see is massively improve indoors air quality with campaign of installing air purifiers, cleaners etc in all public spaces where groups of pple spend time. Individually - home office CO2 showing gizmo an eye opener.
Aug 12, 2024 at 12:22
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzhroxhiyy2t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI safety | FULL INTERVIEW
The Institute of Art and Ideas
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=e9O75xFQUio
m.youtube.com
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI safety | FULL INTERVIEW
YouTube video by The Institute of Art and Ideas
Aug 11, 2024 at 21:06
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI safety | FULL INTERVIEW
The Institute of Art and Ideas
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=e9O75xFQUio
m.youtube.com
OpenAI expert Scott Aaronson on consciousness, quantum physics and AI safety | FULL INTERVIEW
YouTube video by The Institute of Art and Ideas
Aug 11, 2024 at 21:06
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzespuedtv23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
sale di mare! welcome to my life 😊😅
Aug 10, 2024 at 16:46
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
sale di mare! welcome to my life 😊😅
Aug 10, 2024 at 16:46
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzecpv6xly2a
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Sure - but not too many imo. This all theoretical from me - never worked in government, not even a member of a political party. Read the Rory Stewart autobiography recently, seeing behind the curtain there. Have thought about governance so was interested to see.
Aug 10, 2024 at 12:00
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Sure - but not too many imo. This all theoretical from me - never worked in government, not even a member of a political party. Read the Rory Stewart autobiography recently, seeing behind the curtain there. Have thought about governance so was interested to see.
Aug 10, 2024 at 12:00
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kze7rtnuvk2n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Not that strange, "to govern is to chose".
> Is KS eyeing EM as a useful villain for his S1? If so, I can’t help feeling the PM’s chances of getting a S2 will diminish
... feels true. Esp given the Osbornomics austerity sequel No.11 embarked on. Doing "0.5% wealth tax on assets >10M" is harder :-)
Aug 10, 2024 at 11:08
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Not that strange, "to govern is to chose".
> Is KS eyeing EM as a useful villain for his S1? If so, I can’t help feeling the PM’s chances of getting a S2 will diminish
... feels true. Esp given the Osbornomics austerity sequel No.11 embarked on. Doing "0.5% wealth tax on assets >10M" is harder :-)
Aug 10, 2024 at 11:08
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kze6tizeb62k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it I found useful, thought explains things well. Linked there is another https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an and it's a good background abt the longer past complementing the 1st. Laid out like that - not a mystery what is witnessed daily of the public EM.
www.infinitescroll.us
Elon Musk Really Means It
He's not posturing as a deluded conspiracy theorist. He is one.
Aug 10, 2024 at 10:51
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it I found useful, thought explains things well. Linked there is another https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an and it's a good background abt the longer past complementing the 1st. Laid out like that - not a mystery what is witnessed daily of the public EM.
www.infinitescroll.us
Elon Musk Really Means It
He's not posturing as a deluded conspiracy theorist. He is one.
Aug 10, 2024 at 10:51
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzdvw6iea22w
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Econ incentives oft get a mention, but what's offered as compensation is imo minuscule compared to the real *opportunity* cost to the middle class parents (==most people in the industrialized societies). We had kids when it was worth it to us, and now we don't have them anymore for the same reason.
Aug 10, 2024 at 08:11
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Econ incentives oft get a mention, but what's offered as compensation is imo minuscule compared to the real *opportunity* cost to the middle class parents (==most people in the industrialized societies). We had kids when it was worth it to us, and now we don't have them anymore for the same reason.
Aug 10, 2024 at 08:11
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzccxc7qzk2s
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This has it all - interesting, witty, provocative, truthful, with a twist as one'd expect, no prisoners uncompromising, in the right ammounts. 🤩 Don't think @skdh is on bsky yet - so a minor public service this
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gMOjD_Lt8qY
(don't be put off by the title pls - it's worth it)
m.youtube.com
How I lost trust in scientists
🤓 Check out my new quiz app ➜ http://quizwithit.com/ You all know that I am critical of some developments in physics and tech. I believe it is for this reason that I get a lot of comments of the sort "I am so disappointed in you that you fell for the climate hoax, I thought you are a sceptic". In this video, I want to explain how my experience in physics had me lose trust in scientists, and that indeed I was highly sceptical of climate change a decade ago. I looked at the science -- and scientists -- very closely. Unfortunately it turned out that climate change is not a hoax. #science
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:59
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This has it all - interesting, witty, provocative, truthful, with a twist as one'd expect, no prisoners uncompromising, in the right ammounts. 🤩 Don't think @skdh is on bsky yet - so a minor public service this
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gMOjD_Lt8qY
(don't be put off by the title pls - it's worth it)
m.youtube.com
How I lost trust in scientists
🤓 Check out my new quiz app ➜ http://quizwithit.com/ You all know that I am critical of some developments in physics and tech. I believe it is for this reason that I get a lot of comments of the sort "I am so disappointed in you that you fell for the climate hoax, I thought you are a sceptic". In this video, I want to explain how my experience in physics had me lose trust in scientists, and that indeed I was highly sceptical of climate change a decade ago. I looked at the science -- and scientists -- very closely. Unfortunately it turned out that climate change is not a hoax. #science
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:59
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzcai67njv2k
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Very good. Science used to be a cottage industry. Its practices match(ed) that. But it's changed & is now Big industry. So the practices will be evolve accordingly. Closest I see to BigSci direction of travel is the Free Software imo: all in the open, by default. And that's a great thing 😊
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:15
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Very good. Science used to be a cottage industry. Its practices match(ed) that. But it's changed & is now Big industry. So the practices will be evolve accordingly. Closest I see to BigSci direction of travel is the Free Software imo: all in the open, by default. And that's a great thing 😊
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:15
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzca4qob5l2t
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Didn't some online personality have a proposal plan to double the US population (whichever way incl immigration) in the next 20-30 yrs?
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:08
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Didn't some online personality have a proposal plan to double the US population (whichever way incl immigration) in the next 20-30 yrs?
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:08
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzc7yauxy426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
For longer term background info on EM I found this a good explainer https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an. For the more immediate current EM publishing hourly cr*p fake news daily to his 100M followers this one https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it. (by Jeremiah Johnson @JeremiahDJohns)
www.infinitescroll.us
Elon Musk is a genius. He's also an idiot.
You need to accept both of those things as true
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:06
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
For longer term background info on EM I found this a good explainer https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-is-a-genius-hes-also-an. For the more immediate current EM publishing hourly cr*p fake news daily to his 100M followers this one https://www.infinitescroll.us/p/elon-musk-really-means-it. (by Jeremiah Johnson @JeremiahDJohns)
www.infinitescroll.us
Elon Musk is a genius. He's also an idiot.
You need to accept both of those things as true
Aug 9, 2024 at 16:06
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kzbjujhrpc2c
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah I understand. I'm kind of sucker and trustful of open software. True the developer may do all manner of nefarious things there. It didn't do any on me fwiw. One way to minimize risk I can think of maybe - change the password, do the transfer, then change the password again.
Aug 9, 2024 at 09:30
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yeah I understand. I'm kind of sucker and trustful of open software. True the developer may do all manner of nefarious things there. It didn't do any on me fwiw. One way to minimize risk I can think of maybe - change the password, do the transfer, then change the password again.
Aug 9, 2024 at 09:30
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kz5gpc3n5q2z
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Link to the original paper https://thelancet.com/journals/landia/article/PIIS2213-8587(24)00194-3/fulltext. It's rolled out to diabetics, via GP-s. I wonder if it's going to be offered to pre-diabetics too? Or even for people to buy the stuff private? Pple in UK pay £300 pcm for Wegovy or Mounjaro. Surely this is cheaper?
thelancet.com
The Lancet | The best science for better lives
The best science for better lives. Explore the latest high-quality research from The Lancet Group
Aug 7, 2024 at 18:23
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Link to the original paper https://thelancet.com/journals/landia/article/PIIS2213-8587(24)00194-3/fulltext. It's rolled out to diabetics, via GP-s. I wonder if it's going to be offered to pre-diabetics too? Or even for people to buy the stuff private? Pple in UK pay £300 pcm for Wegovy or Mounjaro. Surely this is cheaper?
thelancet.com
The Lancet | The best science for better lives
The best science for better lives. Explore the latest high-quality research from The Lancet Group
Aug 7, 2024 at 18:23
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kz5e6cm2js2m
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yay! Happy user of a now getting to very old Lexus RX 400h
Aug 7, 2024 at 17:38
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Yay! Happy user of a now getting to very old Lexus RX 400h
Aug 7, 2024 at 17:38
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kz5b5avdhk2j
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... for the benefit others doing the same. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension worked. Bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel helped significantly. Went through "Verified Followers", "Followers", and finally "Following" list, total ~10K acc, without tears. :-)
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 16:43
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
... for the benefit others doing the same. Firefox + "Sky Follower Bridge" extension worked. Bigger screen better, mouse scroll wheel helped significantly. Went through "Verified Followers", "Followers", and finally "Following" list, total ~10K acc, without tears. :-)
https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 16:43
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kz57twckec2d
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Liked it, one can agree more or less with parts, and this is clever, catchy and spot on: :-)
> When the propaganda involves right wing populism, it isn’t manufacturing consent but rather manufacturing discontent.
Aug 7, 2024 at 16:20
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Liked it, one can agree more or less with parts, and this is clever, catchy and spot on: :-)
> When the propaganda involves right wing populism, it isn’t manufacturing consent but rather manufacturing discontent.
Aug 7, 2024 at 16:20
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kz57kgbdfk2w
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hello World.
Chuffed to find out there are feeds here!! Mutuals, OnlyPosts, Popular With Friends, The 'Gram - pleasantly surprised! :-) Something I've been missing - and asking for - at various times at that - khm - other place that shall not be named. 😅
So far so good - onwards and upwards then
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 16:15
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Hello World.
Chuffed to find out there are feeds here!! Mutuals, OnlyPosts, Popular With Friends, The 'Gram - pleasantly surprised! :-) Something I've been missing - and asking for - at various times at that - khm - other place that shall not be named. 😅
So far so good - onwards and upwards then
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 16:15
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kz4jb3jta22n
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This worked for me for finding people www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitt.... I used the Firefox version of "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. For whatever reason in the Extensions market place the text is in Japanese for me, but in operation it's English so could use it.
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 09:36
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
This worked for me for finding people www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitt.... I used the Firefox version of "Sky Follower Bridge" extension. For whatever reason in the Extensions market place the text is in Japanese for me, but in operation it's English so could use it.
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 09:36
https://bsky.app/profile/ljupco.bsky.social/post/3kz4hwxh5q22w
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Atm using FF "Sky Follower Bridge" extension and seems to be working for me. :-) Doing as described in https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 09:12
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupco.bsky.social
Atm using FF "Sky Follower Bridge" extension and seems to be working for me. :-) Doing as described in https://www.wikihow.com/Import-Twitter-to-Bluesky
www.wikihow.com
How To Import Twitter To Bluesky: Follows and Tweets
Seamlessly move from Twitter to Bluesky with this handy guide If you're migrating from Twitter/X to Bluesky, the new platform can feel lonely until you find people to follow. Fortunately, there are to...
Aug 7, 2024 at 09:12
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LJ HPD Mon 25 Nov 01:29:11 GMT 2024