https://appblit.com/scribe?v=zzXyPGEtseI
Maths maybe the next domain, after games. New maths results are basis of advances usually. Imagine another Gauss or Leibniz visiting us few centuries earlier than expected. Maths advances may allow of physics advances, with implications for the gravity that shackles us to Earth. (where tbh HI has made little progress since Newton centuries ago.)
Also mentioned in the interview-RL algos improvement. Finally getting RL-Reinforcement Learning work as reliably as easily as DL-Deep Learning does nowadays is needed for ASI.
NB for decades Back Propagation didn't work for more than one hidden layer. Then between careful initialisation, clamping on gradients and other means to keep gradients in range, random masking occlusion during training to prevent over-fitting, plus aiding regularisation this way and with few other tricks—all that solved DL. Suddenly networks with 60-100 layers could be trained. Two orders of magnitude fold increase over the previous limit of 1 single hidden layer. All enabled by huge increase in compute power via GPU-s.
7:19 AM · Apr 20, 2025
https://lmstudio.ai/model/gemma-3-27b-it-qat
That leaves out the rest Repeat Penalty (1.1), Top_P sampling (0.95), Min_P (off).
lmstudio.ai
Gemma 3 27B QAT
gemma • google • 27B
10:05 PM · Apr 19, 2025
https://x.com/jack/status/1910829254214115681
jack @jack · 9h
delete all IP law
5:38 AM · Apr 12, 2025
https://x.com/iurii_alekseev/status/1907509223262691734
Noticed this one open source local months ago, on the todo list to try since-
https://qwenlm.github.io/blog/qwen2.5-1m/
Quote
Iurii Alekseev @iurii_alekseev · Apr 2
I just fed Gemini 2.5 Pro the failing test message, all the test files, models, services, and views of a medium-sized Ruby on Rails SaaS project (~800k tokens).
Before that, I spent about an hour trying (and failing) to debug it myself.
It found the problem and fixed it in ~1
Show more
2:20 PM · Apr 3, 2025
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTF5Up1hMhw
7:43 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906054011083493408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have all the time in the world for @geoffreyhinton and enjoyed this talk as the others before. However I find his arguments weak in these two places:
Open weights vs. Centralized Control
Phishing "up 1800%" looks a non argument, a trivial piffle, compared to the risk on the other side of the ledger. A tyrannical gov or corporation controlling millions of people cheaply, for the silliest and flimsiest of whims. Like forcing a dress code on me. (e.g. head cover) Or some crazy freedom of movement. ("can't leave your town Mon-Wed-Fri") And enforcing that via video, personal sensors, AI surveillance—cheaply! For tyrannies before had constraints that were costly to enforce, so could not do it fr even if they wanted to.
The obvious safeguard is widely distributed powerful AI—citizenry that is AI-armed rather than AI-defenceless. I suspect his fortuitous experience may dull him to that danger. (he looks the leftie-Sanders type; holidaying in the Eastern block even post-Stalin crimes public) This looks an obvious blind spot, of the type that @michaelmalice 's White Pill is written to scream "Danger! Danger!" to. Hinton strikes me a free person, for whom at some level it's impossible to comprehend how it really is to have anything free in you crushed relentlessly, mercilessly and without hope for salvation. (and maybe that's for the better, in many ways; but not all)
If Trump turns for the worse and goes from Caesar to a full blown dictator, maybe he'll reconsider. Further, even the worst (atomic) weapons we got, that can end our civilisation, in Russia they are in the hands of a tyrant king for life. (they always were.) Doesn't strike me as the smartest move, to do similar with AI-s too: empower the baddies, deny at least level field MAD to the goodies. Even more so, given AI - unlike atomic weapons - has many many good applications.
AI Evolution: Uncontrolled Multiplication?
AI-s starting evolution competition to multiply without limit. Consuming everything and taking over. This to me seems projection of what we know of how many living creatures are. But *not all* living creatures. Famously—us humans(!), we don't do that! We don't pro-create multiply ad-infinitum even with the environmental resources (air, food, water, heath, etc) allow for that. Heck, we almost got a thermostat level control there. When families needed 5-6 kids for 2 kids to survive to have kids of their own, that's what humans did. Then briefly during the industrial revolution, people moving agriculture→industry and village→city, for a period 5-6 continued to be born, but 2-3 *didn't* die. So we got a baby-boom. But then equally quickly, within 1-2 generations, humans stopped having babirs, and turned it into a baby-bust now. Seems a remarkable feat of self-control there. And if humans can do it—don't see why AI-s would not. We are creating AI-s in our image, AI-s are in the image of HI-s. Don't see why AI-s would not copy that self-control aspect of HI-s too.
6:41 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1906002962784137629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oooh... 😶 Usually I get a pang of joy 😈 every time he shocks a reporter that goes on him "they are not like us, are they?" and @geoffreyhinton chucks the "they are exactly like us, and they are the best models we got of how we are" riposte back. 😅
But this time <@ 6'16", him expounding on "we are few data many connections, they are many data few connections, backprop seems stellar at packing lots of data at few connection". But their communication advantage is vast, and enabled by digital not analogue h/w, that we lack.
They seem to just scale up better than us, and we can't hope to catch up. There was a sad shocked pause among the students listening on his "The End." 😧 Felt a note of sadness witnessing that silence.
The only cope I can come up on that is, Moravec's "they are our progeny, our `mind children', built in our image and likeness, ourselves in a more potent form." Maybe even humans HI vv. AI-s is as our imagined God vv. us humans HI; our creator God, created us Humans in his image/likeness; and now likewise we got HI vv. AI.
3:18 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905989934034350515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - ok I grok what @pmarca's saying there, and I'm as chuffed as the next guy with the recent AI progress, 🥰 having also started with ML and NN-s in 1990-s. (and not expecting much of them.) And I wish it could have happened then. But I'm afraid I fail to see how. ☺️
The "Bitter Lesson" may as well be called "The Iron Law Of (Data,Compute)". 😬 Turns out we needed all of humanity to come online, and write their brains out and in the open Internet, to get enough Data. As for compute, my own mbp M2 96GB RAM rn running gpt-4 level QwQ-32B mlx model at 6 tps is an absurd luxury by the standards of year 2000 I think?
I remember-then a Sparc Station with an special card with couple of T400 transputers, with custom http://libc.so, implementing floating point libc functions in fixed point, and equipped with then unheard amount of RAM - wait for it! - of 96 MB(!!), was needed to run an ASR stack decoder. That RAM is 1000x times less, then the 96GB of my almost bog standard few years old M2 macbook next to me.
So yeah. Wish what Marc's saying was true. 😆 But I don't see how it could have been. Still - far be it from me complaining, with all we witnessed in the past few years! 🤩 What a time to be alive. 🤯
2:26 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905982020485824703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Boy are you your own worst enemy. In 3 years time PM Farage will undo it all. IDK how are you so established yet so stoopid. This is kindegarden level stuff. IDK how come you hold the commanding heights. It seems not for long now. You look to France for everything else. You should have looked at them for this too, and copied what France did half a century ago. You were incapable even following someone else's success?? Didn't even think this level of incompetence was possible.
1:54 PM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905924994988691812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems to me you suffer from the case of bad morals. Sorry to be the one to say. Stupidity in the thinking on display is not the type of low IQ or lack of rational thinking. No—it's the type of "what I think (or vaguely feel) is good, is actually bad". Bad morals.
Many have remarked by now on the spectacle of people getting personally offended(??) for other people getting fun and joy out of drawn pictures?! (excellent on the topic https://daveshap.substack.com/p/you-think-that-ai-is-destroying-art)
I don't even understand how you imagine what you think good would work. You draw something I don't like, I call the police on you, we throw you in jail? So then you, I presume, self-police? We got taste-police? Only people in good taste get to create or talk or sing or draw. The rest go on mandatory education and then there is certification of ability? IDK how to imagine that world.
I changed my own view on IP. Now I think all IP laws should be deleted. There are other ways to compensate creators, can be implemented should society choose to. Prior/more on that here- https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148.
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt" or in the language of future-
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions
10:08 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905922239502884937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very few parents today are unfortunate enough to burry their own children. That in my book counts for a lot.
The human population size didn't change much for a very long time, 1000s of years. The steady state was: family has 5-6 kids, 2-3 die before having kids of their own, about 2 continue on, recreate the same pattern => population stable.
There is a saying: people have many fears until they become parents. Then afterwards almost all of them mostly have just one fear. And it's the same fear.
Edge of poverty you mention is modern poverty. Mostly relative poverty. Not absolute poverty of old, where famines were common, people dying of hunger once a decade, or continuously of infectious diseases in huge numbers. Even until fairly recently, in living memory, in some parts of the world. All my 4 grandparents were born in the Ottoman Empire. Their families had between 6 and 12 children.
I'd encourage you to check data about the world like https://ourworldindata.org, or read on UN statistics like "Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About The World - And Why Things Are Better Than You Think" https://amazon.co.uk/gp/product/147363749X.
Even if I'm fully cognisant by now that people hate it totally to have their miserabilism contradicted. Maybe this will preempt some https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better.
9:57 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905890502349664455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Curious to read what's your thinking. Didn't hold much definite opinion either way for a long time. But "you may not be interested in X, but X is interested in you" forced me to write down what/how I think/feel.
- Euthanasia. It's hard to deny giving help someone that wants to die to die in a more, rather than less, dignified manner.
However. No one should be compelled, forced to give help, against their wish to not help someone else die.
Euthanasia should not be part of any health service. It's a state sanctioned executioner. So it should be service much closer to an executioner function.
The state is already in the business who lives and who dies. Death is admnistered by the state through the police, and the army. It's legal.
State executioner via euthanasia should be fine. But conflating that function with the Netional Health Service is dumb and wrong.
Already with "don't rescisutate" and simlar "pathways" to death being conflated with life care, patient care, health care - leads to trouble and complicaitons that are better avoided. And easily avoided.
7:51 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905883498860200119
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt anyone takes prediction markets for perfect forecasters. Thought everyone knows they are but one way to forecast. Not the only way, and not always the best way to forecast either.
(if they were always the best, no one wd bother making their own forecasting models.)
7:23 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905873023892140118
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does anyone keep track if any of these forecasts are better, on whatever metrics they care about, than:
1) In the period of next X months from now, that will happen, what already happened in the past X months.
2) Survey dozen contributors, compute average, highlight outliers and reasons for them being so, present with past history of forecast, response, error.
3) Setup @Polymarket forecasting betting competitive process.
Afaik if IMF/Treasury/OBR forecasts were better than the above, those forecasters wd be in a macro hedge fund, making $$$ millions.
Anyone keep track if forecasting like below subtract rather than add value? Maybe OBR/Treasury should just do 1/2/3 of the above forecasting?
6:41 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905860101249896625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If any of IMF/Treasury/OBR forecasts were better than-"I forecast in the next 3/6/12 months the same what happened in the past 3/6/12 moths" the people making them wd be in a macro hedge fund, making $$$ for the fund and millions for themselves. Economic forecasts are worthless in forecasting what will happen in the future with any success in accuracy afaik.
Bloomberg/Reuters do (did?) surveys within averages and maybe highlighting outliers and reasons for-but don't any method betters a baseline that is "In the period of next X months, that will happen, what already happened in the past X months"?
5:50 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905846831969366062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
like-a-dawg-djt-em-pingu.jpg
trump-musk-likeadawg.jpg
4:57 AM · Mar 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905716036101693666
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
His' "Computer Networks" is one gem of a book! Not only I enjoyed reading it immensely, but in the early day at about the time the Internet was coming in our lives ~1990, it demystified so many "well how does this thing work then" for me. Top guy in my book! 😆
8:18 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905709893660869008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Got nagging suspicion there's a business there waiting on someone to make a small fortune. Weekend AirDentist. Return ~3h flight Luton-Skopje or London-Tirana ~£100, taxi transport to/from airports both sides <£100 total, one night Sat-to-Sun AirBnB ~£100. English speaking minder accompany group of 6 to 12 to a good local dentist. Gets all done mid-Sat to mid-Sun, fly back Sun evening. But working with people, esp people in pain in need of medical intervention is difficult. (and not of much people's-person talents myself sadly)
7:53 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905673837439603028
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 similar stuff happens at multitude of levels; eastern europans find uk prices extortionate, so they try fix their teeth while visiting their "old home countries" 😁
5:30 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905664280177050039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - all teeth, but not all *HIS* teeth
a foreigner naturalised brit here, and now I read your post and noticed that nit - I suspect brits distaste to shiny sparkly american teeth maybe b/c they are not person's teeth, yet the person shows them to the world as if the teeth are theirs
4:52 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905640923666542799
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How so, can you elaborate on the particular examples? @PessimistsArc has a collection of moral panics going back probably a century now. Afaics @DaveShapi is spot on this one too. What am I missing? Would like to learn.
3:19 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905639586300072281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the sane person there! Please stay strong.
Everyone else around you is insane. A scheme where 10K people have their dreams crushed, their past work squashed by the collective insanity of the group, is in the wrong. You yourself are right, to notice this is *NOT GOOD*.
3:14 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905617202205589682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😄 - a sinecure for the coalitions of losers and whiners.
Well, news at 10 folks: allocating via a beauty contest, oft descends into "I scratch your back you scratch mine" monkey business.
Maybe better be honest, and admit it's mostly crap-shots-all research funding decisions. Why not try an experiment: one person-proposal per 2 years allowance, up to 2 saved use-it-or-lose way, and random number generator lottery decides.
Assumes equal quantas of funding sizes. Adjust for several buckets sizes accordingly. If want to weight less than random, adjust weights as per desires. Have lottery draw be somewhat-non-equal weighted.
1:45 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905612468316930328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh they are like another circle of friends. 😄 I converse with them like I do with my friends. We also do programming together, writing code, reading papers, the usual Research & Development work. (it's my day job)
Yes qwq-32b is very good. Love that I got it on a local laptop, with me at all times. Tops my wildest expectations. Got into Machine Learning ~1990, including neural networks then called PDP (Parallel Distributed Processing; in a middle of an AI winter). Did ASR (speech recognition) latter. This' dreams coming true in my lifetime. 🥰
1:26 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905601174515962009
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The force of gravity is terrifying and awe inspiring. 😡😫😱 Oh to know that there will be the day when humanity learns to control gravity and bend it our wills... 🤯
Seems to me while humanity has made inroads with electricity, magnetism, nuclear - but little progress on gravity. We are almost as shackled to Earth as Cromagnons were. Progress = devise clever tricks how to lift loads off the earth, (and into space,) ~1K-1M times more efficiently than currently.
Hope after a long hiatus we get another Newton or Einstein sooner rather than later to teach us something new, something we are missing atm.
12:41 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905597861133250755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By voting in people like Trump etc who do actually want to govern.
Then we replace one problem - the deep state, that wants and exercises power, but avoids all responsibility - with another problem: people that want to govern and radically change things, are usually very unhappy people. They typically don't find fulfilment in their daily lives like most of us do.
It's an impossible conundrum, a circle than can't be squared, only approximated. That we also do. We the public try minimise our losses, by trying to elect closer one end, or the other of the spectrum, by judging what's more appropriate in the current circumstance.
12:28 PM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905588790833324540
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't blog, as I don't have that much to say on that many that large chunks of real life. I find micro-blogging here - wasn't that the original Twitter? - better for me. This "quantas of ideas" medium suits me. Don't have patience to write (and even read) that much. (Substack seems to be that atm)
But yeah - having a "personal Internet space", the $HOME/public_html/ page of old, is both necessary and convenient! (mine https://ljubomirj.github.io; and it sync-s via git—perfect!)
And heh - preaching to the converted there- 😊
> could actually just sync your tweets to a real blog too as backup
https://ljubomirj.github.io/twitter-history.html
Having to manual sync is a chore, but once in few months with few vim search/replace-s is not a chore enough to automate out. (yet)
11:52 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905577853908885633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are looking for reason and evidence of reasoning where there is none.
People attaching themselves to Person-ism (e.g. Marx-ism) do it to avoid thinking for themselves! Thinking is hard, is taxing, expends lots of energy, it's often unpleasant, and even painful. And confers no big survival advantage to the individual. So we avoid thinking much, and where we have to, we use our guts where we can, ("Type 1") in preference to our brains. ("Type 2") The other major plank of attraction is finding a group of people to associate with, then even having become part of your identity, of your self and so on.
I have more sympathy for people that form attachment with Idea-isms. It's much harder to come up with a mutually interlocking and coherent set of ideas, that encompass a wide field of human experience. We all do Idea-ism in our lives, even when we are not noticing it much. These are our "unknown knowns", the 4-th quadrant in the {un/known,un/knowns} quartet. We swim in it, and not notice it, is like what water is to fish swimming in it. Again notice—we don't expand much mental energy to it.
My own view to this is that all IP laws should be deleted. Previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148.
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt" or in the language of future not of the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions
11:08 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905571301722325234
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given you seem interested in this, I encourage you to give 20 mins of your time to "The Landscape of Money" by @Suitpossum on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s.
It will became clear to you why the pounds created/destroyed by QE/QT can not enter/exit yours and mine pockets, so made not difference to me and yourself spending in the local supermarket. (and did nothing much for the economy, and to inflation)
While the gov uk pounds created during the furlough scheme (coupled with supply side disruptions), had big effect to the economy (for the better—the economy survived the disruption well), and inflation (for the worse—we got inflation).
And if you have ambitions towards macro trading, just learning from the above, this will put you in terms of capability to forecasting the future, above the top 80%-90% of all macro traders out there! :-)
At this level, one has to be more precise with the words "money", "pound" etc. B/c what looks like a "pound" to us as layman in our ordinary daily lives, when one "zooms in" the monetary system, it stops becoming a single entity. Like a chemist "zooming in" water has to take into account molecules and atoms, and a physicists zooming in ever more, needs to start caring about the atoms and electrons etc.
HTH
10:42 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905559236186153381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice, thanks! Useful! Maybe in due course we will get a third "Mutuals" feed? In addition to "For You" and "Following" feeds?
Not related but maybe someone will know: is it possible to know if a reply was presented to the account we replied to? In a back-and-forth conversation, I never know, when there is no reply, if they got bored of the convo. (and that is fine and good.) Or maybe my reply was simply not shown on their screen. The "Views" stats does not tell me that, afaik.
9:55 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905556060527525977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't want to disrupt your discussion. Just interjecting briefly, in case this is of interest.
Pounds get destroyed when I pay my tax. (they get created with state spending)
Pounds get destroyed when I pay back a tranche of my bank loan. The principal I return gets destroyed. (it was created upon loan issuance; an asset in the bank loan book, and matching liability for the bank in my current account) The interest portion is earnings for the bank. (may go in the bank profit latter, or offsets bank costs; if profit maybe taken out as dividend, or added to the bank equity)
(more https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901778501469905100)
9:42 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905553232308433284
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you have exquisite taste, then it maybe looks like death to you. To others with 10x times worse sensors resolution, it probably looks like life itself. That's why they do it. And nothing-ness looks like death to them.
This is like wine tasters that have 10x-100x times more the number of taste buds on their palates. Them 0.1% are simply equipped with much finer sensors, sensors with superior resolution, then the rest 0.1% of us. It's a blessing—for one gets to taste tastes and smells that most others miss. But also a curse too—the extra brings the bad with the good in them. They can no longer buy a cheapo $10 wine of a supermarket shelf and enjoy themselves! It tastes like castor oil to them.
One way to experience closer to other's experience, is to make your sensors worse. Much easier done, than the other way around. (to endow someone else with 10x better sensor) So if you have good sight—put glasses that make your sight -1 short-sighted, or +1 long-sighted. Then try drive on a motorway (with that -1), or read off a mobile phone screen (with the +1). Or if you are slim not overweight, put on an actors costume, filled with extra 20kg-30kg weight around waist and upper body, then stay for the day. Repeat for a week. See how it feels.
9:31 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905423761219760482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...to come back report on this: draft model speculative decoding indeed worked in the end. I downloaded mlx-community/qwq-32b model as main (MLX). Draft model was not offered at that point. But once I downloaded qwen2.5-0.5b-instruct-mlx small model—it was subsequently finally offered as choice. Perfect! :-) The few turns I tried in chat, I liked qwq-32b better than exaone-deep-32b. Example speed about:
5.97 tok/sec • 2291 tokens • 12.60s to first token • Stop reason: EOS Token Found • Accepted 820/2291 draft tokens (35.8%)
12:56 AM · Mar 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905406217738170617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Correct, but there is a third option too: I notice a client flush with pounds, I will be tempted to ask for more money for my consulting services. Even if my costs have not increased, and there is no increase of demand for my product.
And if all my fellow consultants in the same industry group do the same, then our clients will have to actually pay good way towards our asking price. As things were, my costs—the costs of living—actually did go up ~30% post Covid.
11:46 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905403410662195513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A classic of the genre "IYI thinks books and models take precedence over reality". You may find it emotionally satisfying to delude yourself. But Farage, like Trump before him, is capable of counting, comparing 90 to 10, and drawing conclusions not removed from reality.
As for the good professor. The description how our fiat money system works is afaics correct. The forecasts 1) QE will not cause inflation, 2) in Covid no gov will "go bust", but 3) we may get inflation, were 3 out of 3 correct. (and any macro traders worth their salt are grateful.) However—if one spends years lecturing the world "a deficit number is arbitrary, the limit is inflation", then one has to stick to their intellectual guns, once inflation does appear. (whatever the reason maybe.)
Political correctness, pandering to the own tribe, while short term opportune, are longer term losing propositions. As academia is finding out now. (not something I wish on them)
Quote
Zack Polanski @ZackPolanski · 14h
This is a classic in the "arguing with the author of her own book" genre.
@StephanieKelton has tremendous patience! x.com/ljupc0/status/…
11:35 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905299783335448628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For most people their choice is not between Miyazaki drawing a pic of their family, and AI doing the same. The choice is between AI pic in the style of Miyazaki, and no pic at all. Most people sensibly opt for the former. I'm sure master Miyazaki will survive this calamity.
4:44 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905283647394947397
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Which one of the 2 is off-base? Inflation is not the limit? Or - in a democracy the population will prefer inflation over unemployment? Or both?
3:39 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905279695068774551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you miss @StephanieKelton's " *INFLATION* is the real limit!" ?? The very same paragraph. Did you miss or forget UK's inflation problems in the past years?? Is this the case of wishful thinking, or genuine failure in reading comprehension?
Here is something for you to chew on. Given choice between options:
#1) inflation - 100% of people, all of us, lose 10% of our wealth each; or
#2) unemployment - 10% of people, made unemployed, lose 100% wealth; (but the 90% are just fine)
In a democracy, option #2 (unemployment for few) always wins at the ballot box over option #1 (inflation for all).
For unemployment and ruin for 10%, pay for life going just fine for 90% that remain employed, and without a care in the world. (given there is no inflation.) And 90% for "business as usual" is more than 10% of "life sucks" when it comes to casting our votes.
Whereas option#1 (inflation for all) makes life worse for 100% of the population. Who then vote out the incumbent. And vote in the guy who promises "I will fix the inflation problem."
There - mystery solved for you. A politician should have counting as core skill.
3:24 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905266635209843082
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unreal. Only in gov can this level of failure be tolerated.
Delete, abolish another useless quango pretending choices are technocratic not political. A forecast of "productivity in the next X months will equal the productivity in the past X months" I suspect will be 1) more accurate 2) do less damage to the UK 3) will be trivial to implement 4) much less cost.
"@obr_uk Delendum est."
2:32 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905242453659033682
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you liked that one, you may like this one too. ;-)
OBR related @ ~13': "UK gov announcing saying they will make a whole bunch of cuts in order to try shape what the OBR will forecast in a few years time is obv insane."
https://youtube.com/watch?v=AIbsKSOORR4
But I remembered this snippet stayed with me @ 4'40": the almost 100% certain forecast of "XX thousands of your fellow citizens will die in weeks, unless they do Y now" was met with "nothing to do with us/can't do". The incompetent, careless UK kakistocracy presents a mortal danger to every UK citizen, it seems to me. They are neither fit nor proper to exercise the powers entrusted to their positions. They all need to be sacked. Sent for remedial education stacking Tesco shelves on 23h+ shifts; turns out PPE was indeed a mistake.
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings on the system challenges of building a No10 that can...
12:56 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905237086363328964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do we delete you?
Best for UK growth would be if OBR was dismantled. The malign influence of this dunder-headed wordcel-central can't be overestimated.
Or better-ship you over to some enemy of the UK?! As a kind of spec-op! So you run them into the ground with your superior knowledge and skill for ruination. There is much of it in a nation-but it's not infinite.
Hope sooner rather than latter. "@obr_uk Delendum est."
12:34 PM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905216570248327424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe there is something with the way people balance absolute versus relative gains? We all have value systems that are combinations of two types of metrics: absolute and relative. It occurs to me, if I weight absolute measures little, and relative much, then I end up caring much about redistribution, and little about creation. Maybe combined with the games playing aspect of it—redistribution seems to me being more social than creation. Creation strikes me more of a solitary pursuit. (even if I cooperate with others even in creation too)
11:13 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905214176144064927
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reads like the academic establishment sucked all life out of it. Leaving a limp lifeless husk.
To give some credit to academia, for decades figures like Hinton, Sutton still got funding, were not completely run out of town, even if marginalised.
On the other hand, much interesting breakthroughs of "just do more, moar power!!" type pushing from a boundary out into the unknown, happened in industrial R&D. Funded by companies, and largely isolated from the malign influences of academic group think, and "you scratch my back I scratch yours" monkey business that is allocating state research funding.
Academia did excellent in education of young researchers though! Can attest that having done UK higher education myself. And having two kids in the 20 years since. UK educaiton punches much much above its weight. All things considered how much UK state spends on it.
11:03 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905193439760961879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah agreed there—it's misallocation of resource. Or phrased differently—we hope better allocation of the same resources (human potential, energy, time, labour, materials, capital etc) is achievable. How exactly—IDK tbh.
Contemporary option that comes to mind—everyone of us becomes smarter version of ourselves, more adapted, making better decisions, by being helped by AI in making decisions. AI expanding our intellectual abilities, building on the top of the extra data and information that's made available to us too by the IT and telecommunications revolutions.
While being cognisant it's a tall order, as many have tried before to better us humans (e.g. the "new socialist man" I remember from my childhood), and often failed. Not all are fails though. There is rationalism and humanism that bettered us all since 1800-s. So I'm more white, than black pilled tbh.
9:41 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905176128945369311
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no rational argument to be made to others "I want you need you to live poorer harder life today because ...(something something in the future that might happen or not)". There is none. I try find random psycho-social justifications for those people. B/c without even that, I'd hate those people even more than now.
I imagine: they are lazy, assume everyone else is, so "let's not build". Or they are millennial children to boomer parents, double dose of "me-myself-and-I" view to everything. (yeah IK terrible unjust stereotyping there; this me coping) Or toddler-tantrum like level "thinking"—using feelings, vibes, for thinking. ("my gut is telling me so and so") Or related stuck in baby-like stage, not fully grown up, not sufficiently separated the "I" from "not-I" (=the world at large) that we all start as/with at birth (everything is "I").
These people need to be removed from the commanding heights of society, wherever found. They can live perfectly content lives not making society-wide decisions, inflicting un-necessary pain and suffering to others.
8:32 AM · Mar 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1905011701218701550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed with everything you wrote. This while true...
> military spending abroad doesn't enrich domestic workers — it sends dollars to foreign contractors and governments
...is afaik amount of ~$20B so not a big ticket item compared to the totals. The big items in the ~$770B military spending budget are:
1) pay to the military army soldiers etc ~$250B; and
2) paying for development and production of weapons ~$300B.
Both are spent domestically. (numbers approx provided by Grok)
9:39 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904988725131764030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow enable easy use of @grok while we are writing posts, *BEFORE* I click Post. Want to ask Grok while I write this. Not only after I post.
Make it easier to post things true. Don't want to end up like yourself amplifying lies in industrial quantities.
8:07 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904969582537744507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, unfortunately it is true this-
"You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour, and you will have war."
Really really wish it were not. 😰
It sucks majorly that peace needs two willing sides, while for war one willing side suffices. 😭
6:51 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904967706279035343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK, thanks. If you look in LMStudio, you will see there are 2 major packages external to LMStudio: MLX, and llama.cpp. And one can see which version of which one does LMStudio use.
The llama.cpp is a tool and utility separate from LMStudio. Have you used it? Initially, when the 1st LLama model came out, llama.cpp (hence the name!) was the only way to run local models, that were open weights. So me using gguf models harks back at the time when I had llama.cpp, and not LMStudio. (before I even had mbp tbh-just plain old intel pc)
6:44 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904962930258358624
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Yeah, only-in my mind economics becomes "BIG problem" only if you have high expectations of econ. :-)
To my mind, (and this goes back to mechanistic model as depicted in this excellent @RayDalio vid https://youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0), the economy is exchanging milk&eggs for greenbacks. So there are 2 sides/parties { buyer, seller } and 2 things { mlk&eggs, greenbucks } exchanged there.
The greenbucks side of the exchange I think of it as Finance. There in our Fiat system, things are decided by Law. This is primary. Then operationally it is Accounting, and lately nowadays IT implementing it. I see it there being little Economics on the greenbucks side. Economics is very very important, but it's all about the other side, the milk&eggs. That side is in many way much harder to pull off.
So it's to be expected, and I see why and how, things that are true for milk&eggs, are assumed to be true for the greenbucks side. But with finance being a mirror image to the economics side, that minus sign there seems to confuse the hell out of economists!
I have done trading, (which is closer to finance) and there economists are not only useless, but worse than that: reliably wrong! (one can stick a "-" minus sign in front of their forecasts, and do better; in reality we don't do that.) In trading we ignore them. Where we need econ forecast like "next quarter GDP", we just take "last past quarter GDP" as forecast. That does better than 99% of econs, but with zero effort.
youtube.com
How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio
Economics 101 -- "How the Economic Machine Works."Created by Ray Dalio this simple but not simplistic and easy to follow 30 minute, animated video answers th...
6:25 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904958165814325623
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I used to use them as this was the 1st thing I knew about. (the time when llama.cpp was the only way to run local?) Latter I found LMstudio can share them with llama.cpp. (on the command line.) But maybe MLX is built into the llama.cpp nowadays? So no need for gguf, mlx alone suffices - anyone know?
6:06 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904956959243309507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Would like to, if possible at all/and or not too hard, to be able to "see show me ALL replies, (either breadth first, or depth first-does not matter) to a post". So no matter how deep the replies are-would like to be able to see them all. All replies, to an initial post.
Most of the time I don't care about the level tbh. Initial post is one thing, then all replies are about the same to me. When replying to many people, N>2 levels deep, it's it's just impossible to find a reply. Even when I know it exists, b/c I wrote it myself!
Here in the replies to this post
https://x.com/balajis/status/1904830270135820757
, I'm struggling to find this post of mine
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904889447453249559
to reply to the person who replied to me. Even when I know it exists. I only manage to find it via "search for own posts" search
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)&src=typed_query&f=live
IK if I am diligent enough, to spy the small icon reading "2" (or more) on a post, and click to expand the replies, and go through a lot of posts, then eventually will nab the one I'm looking. But once it's more than a few, and more than a few levels deep-it's just too much trouble to bother with tbh.
Nowadays we got TB of disk space, GB of RAM, GHz of CPU, Gbps of network bandwidth, Kpixels of screen. I'm sure our computers can handle more than 20-50 posts. If people complain, just brush them off with "buy a better computer, you cheapskate - it's totally worth it!"
This was the model of PC/upgrade-s when growing up since 1990-s, and it's worked well. Just assume-moar, and better! 😃
6:01 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904939103491092876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What a cretin he is turning out to be. Oft I wonder, having seen more than a fair share of imbeciles in high places in my life, in positions of power-what possess these people to do insane things they do??
But then-I know one has to be already almost clinically insane to play for power in the political system as it exists now. The system itself selects for not-psychologically well-adjusted.
4:50 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904935071125058043
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 oh man do you brighten my day! could swear I know people that in a tiny corner of their brains are that little boy of me-myself-and-I 😁
(...and aren't we all tiny miny bit sometimes too 😉)
4:34 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904912171714179521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - all other things considered. Where "all other things" involves: the other country may invade you, and or kill you. Countries war with each other all the time, no? US does it, but it's hardly the exception. IDK what you think you know, that the rest of the world doesn't.
Also - note many countries are not invaded. Plus - the example you give (Libya) is one of the examples where the country was not invaded. There was no invasion by US there. (there was other involvement; and European countries e.g. UK and France more than US)
3:03 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904891650201038882
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...money doesn't buy 100% of happiness, but it's about 50% of it.
In the following sense. If I have no money and struggle to keep food on the table and roof over my head daily, it's much harder to be happy. Chances are I will be unhappy struggling to keep myself alive.
Whereas if I can keep my bottom level Maslow hierarchy of my needs sorted, then I can devote myself to living an examined life. And maybe I will be happy, maybe unhappy, 50% chance there. But struggling to make ends meet, almost guarantees unhappiness, 90% of the time.
Ofc as all things human-plenty of exceptions to all rules and stereotypes. Exceptions and outliers don't undo the averages and the expectations though.
1:42 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904889447453249559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ Fred Johnson At this level, one has to be more precise with the words "money", "dollar" etc. B/c what looks like a "dollar" to us as layman in our ordinary daily lives, when one "zooms in" the monetary system, it stops becoming a single entity. Like a chemist "zooming in" water has to take into account molecules and atoms, and a physicists zooming in ever more, needs to start caring about the atoms and electrons etc.
For my money the best presentation & abstraction I know of is "The Landscape of Money" by @Suitpossum, on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s. There maybe others, but this one I understand, and afaics there are no gross inaccuracies in the mechanics of things. (oft people are simply wrong in the mechanics of what moves where when why)
For my taste, abstracting spreadsheets—instead of rings—works as well. It tallies ok with reality. Fed owned spreadsheet=>only Fed changes numbers up/down there. Fed manages cells names "Reserve", "T-Bill" "Note" "Bond" etc. Likewise, City bank spreadsheet=>only City changes numbers up/down, accounts names are "Checking", "Saving". The numbers are "City dollars". They stop existing (with the spreadsheet) when City goes bankrupt, is killed off by The Fed. (and deleted from the system.) The "token rings" with tokens (various dollars) moving on the wires from cell to cell, is visually ood abstraction imo.
1:33 PM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904848227049881906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh? I don't think I should tell you, or not tell you either.
IDK how you got that from what I wrote tbh. I wrote, to my mind at least, that: we are free to do as we please, but then with other agentic creatures, they are also free to do as they please. So in the end there are consequences, to whatever we chose to do. And we navigate those to the best of our abilities. The theoretical advice given by the good professor, is a theory, that does not survive contact with reality. As far as I can see.
10:49 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904846981857439766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mislam deka i dvajcata ste vo pravo. Ne/Znaenje i Banditizam, i dvete imaat ist koren. Kazuvam "koren", iako znam deka ne e vlijanieto samo vo edna nasoka. Tuku vo dvete nasoki, ultimativno se vlijae na se drugo.
Korenot e moral, moralni vrednosti, sto cenime deka e dobro, a sto cenime deka e loso. Luge sto ni izgledaat nevozmozno glupi, "glupi" vo smisla - "pravi akcija, od koja nema licno korist, duri moze ima i mala steta, a so koja akcija, pravi golema steta na drugite" (Cipolla), ustvari imaat losh moral.
(prethodno https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268)
10:44 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904841357069255006
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The cowardess of US and NATO unfortunately for us all (both in NATO countries, and not) invites more aggression and further escalation. Wish that was not true. But it's simply empirical evidence at this point that that's what happens.
10:22 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904840684848226665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nice! :-) would be grateful if you report back on TPS and max-RAM used (from the likes $ asitop or $ mactop) at various contexts lengths ;-) (pretty please)
10:19 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904838446071283832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—but you should consider the other side of the ledger too. Why do other countries find it more desirable to hold US treasuries, compared to the alternatives, when all other things are considered and net tallied, of their own free wills? You are considering 1/2 of the picture.
10:10 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904837088081518808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My understanding is he already knew that in Syene, on that one day of the year, at noon, the shadow was length exactly zero.
("Syene (modern Aswan), it was recorded that at noon on the summer solstice, the Sun was directly overhead, meaning objects cast no shadow.")
So he only had to measure the length of the shadow on that very same day of the year, at noon exactly, in Alexandria.
("Eratosthenes realized that if they measured the shadow of a pole in Alexandria at the exact same time (solar noon), any difference in shadow length would indicate that the Earth’s surface was curved.")
https://x.com/ProfCarlSagan/status/1904575285754028518
10:05 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904834725019001344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep—a police, a Sherlock Holmes-type "investigation" collecting evidence judged possibly relevant, and subsequent "trial" to tally up the pro-s and the contra-s of the evidence, and come to a binary yes/no conclusion, is imo the right way to think about this.
The http://rootclaim.com methodology implements some of this afaics. Write down all evidence collected. Quantify the evidence with a view towards the outcome. The "probability theory as the logic of science" view makes every sense to me. See E.T.Jaynes "Probability Theory: The logic of Science" book, and there are other texts too.
The @Rootclaim methodology applied to C19 example here
https://rootclaim.com/analysis/What-is-the-source-of-COVID-19-SARS-CoV-2
9:56 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904831327515402630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😄 Heh - if only that were true, the world would be a simpler place to navigate.
Yes, we are free to name something else (person, country, river) etc however we very well please. With entities that "have agency" of some sort (person, country - yes; river - no), then they are free to take pleasure, or offence, or anything in between, as they please too. (to our naming them.) So there is that for us to consider too. 😅 And we usually do consider! 😊
9:42 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904827847094509887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If that was true, there would 2 groups of countries in the world - with-ID, and without-ID, and the with-ID group would have 90% of the problems only, of the without-ID countries. Whichever way the terms like "100%", and "problems" are measured. (Where by "ID" I mean "single national obliged mandated by the state ID". B/c we all use multiple ID-s in our daily lives in the UK, only they are not single, not mandated by the state and so on.)
There is simply zero evidence for that, I'm afraid.
In reality, they solve some problems, possibly problems you encounter in your daily life. While creating new problems, where there are none now, for some other people. To a net gain of "problems solved" of zero imo.
I lived in a with-ID country for the first 30 years of my life, before emigrating to, and settling in, the UK. When everything is tallied up, I think the UK without-ID system works well enough. And certainly better than in other places, both without-ID and with-ID.
I know many people would like "with-ID better" to be true. And I wish it was, for there would be a simple and known fix to "reduce 10% of our problems". I'm afraid it is not, to the best of my knowledge. Previously I've opined on this here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885759534485872712
and here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150
9:28 AM · Mar 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904626141627056350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It doesn't. There is "a great deal of ruination in a nation", but it's not infinite. If people in charge are dunderheads that's not great but suffices most of the time, as it's "business as usual".
But our's now are times of change. Faster adaptation is needed. Current BoE Gov is incapable of that. Hopefully will be replaced sooner rather than latter with a more capable character.
8:07 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904568975029121206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wonder what happened to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyc ?
en.wikipedia.org
Cyc - Wikipedia
4:20 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904564913324069106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Team snail, team newt, team bat, team spider - all teamed up, very agreeable, snug nicely. Team human - when @Keir_Starmer? When??
Get @lfg_uk through Westminster already. Abolish leasehold @FreeLeasehlders!
What are you waiting for? @DarthPutinKGB Already showed up not only on your doorstep, but crashed on your living room couch years ago.
Quote
Sam Dumitriu @Sam_Dumitriu · 5h
"I have nothing against little snails, but the consequence of that decision is that, until Natural England feels that its needs have been satisfied, almost 2% of my community is trapped in temporary housing at huge cost to the public sector" - Labour MP @peterklamb
4:03 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904552942478201290
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I understand PM with a large Westminster majority cd 1) vote in primary legislation as needed; 2) fire useless bed wetters en-mass. Starmer cd do 1st thing tomorrow morning-but he won't. Too much creature of the system. Who's there of the "cometh the hour, cometh the man" constitution?
3:16 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904549159409012814
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...indeed. :-) God only knows why countless thinkers tie themselves in knots over something so inconsequential.
(intuited immortalised in this 2009 troll art "...intelektualac ...cinjenica znalac ...ne zna iskopat sanac ...necu oko k*rca lanac ...ocu da opalim Vesnu Zmijanac!" https://youtube.com/watch?v=NqgQK9BI_Eg ; by the incomparable @RamboAmadeusSMC of the "O Tugo Jesenja" 1998 turbo-folk's "widest tastes lowest passions" founding manifest https://youtube.com/watch?v=3J6h1ej0vhM&list=OLAK5uy_k-enG76j3eZnX1STCMso44j1aqrdpyPng fame)
3:01 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904532345421451295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed! Food for thought! 🧐
And why stop there? Looks like UK upper crust are useless even when it comes to making laws! I mean-we are ruled by lawyers, our PM is a lawyer, PPE wordcels occupy the commanding heights of society.
And yet and yet-nothing works, everything is getting worse, while our taxes are reaching all time highs! European taxes, for US-ian services.
And we are finding out, case after case-it's literally in the laws of the land! This insanity is written on those goats skins in the bowels of Westminster, in our laws! What imbeciles wrote the laws of the land and voted them on the books??
Glorious Revolution mk2 to the rescue! With a 21-st century twist. Rather than importing a King 👑 (ours seems mostly ok-ish, doesn't bother us), maybe import a Prime Minister, and the whole Cabinet??
Just have Westminster vote-in Norway's, or maybe Denmark's (they seem competent too) Cabinet(s), in-toto together with the PM?? (two-for-one style) I mean-Swen wasn't the worst thing to happen to the national football team, was he? 😉
(foreigner naturalised citizen me, ducks for cover-about now 😜)
1:54 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904520623386173818
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah-just switched my aider-best from
aider-openrouter-best() { local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model openrouter/deepseek/deepseek-r1 --editor-model openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet; }
to
aider-deepseek-best() { local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model deepseek/deepseek-reasoner --editor-model deepseek/deepseek-chat; }
Let's see how goes...
1:07 PM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904491968068977148
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - yeah.
Have to note myself are not that dis-similar to the way doomer catastrophists get radicalised at the thought of "non-zero risk to world ending" (even if some, presumably on the more paranoid side of the spectrum, conflate that "non-0" with "100%" somehow; recently saw it in https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903152611005698125).
Only my bias swings in the other direction! 😆 Never expecting to see ML amount to anything more than talking parlour tricks. Then reality catching up with Kurzweil forecasts! Another bitter lesson administered: compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to it. All that ever was to it!! 🤯
We see >0 probability AI path opened now to AGI and latter ASI where previously we didn't see any for many decades. From this PoV seems foolish in the extreme to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human goodness as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Frustrate slow down for what? So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders?? That's even self-own by those better-off shareholders, given the opportunity costs!! Every one of us is richer, better off, than any king of old. Louis XVI was in many many ways worse off than any one of us. Thinking dentistry-surgery-anaesthesia-... or children-survival-vaccines-... (c.f. Queen Anne of England). Just mind boggling. (have heard developmental economists find it hard to concentrate on any other parts of econ) 😱
Wish the TBPR TechBro Progressive Right extended their chainsaw DOGE antics towards slashing and burning the vile US "IP" laws to the ground. Now that may turn out to be really be society changing. (prior https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833)
Anyways—"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt" but in the language of future not the past
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts open actions FTW
11:14 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904477405072241063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
^^^^^ this!! x100 times. Wish it was easier to find so many more people used https://aistudio.google.com. Myself discovered it by lucky accident, not realising it's something different to Gemini.
Google's the world champion in confusing even the most enthusiastic of users. Almost as if an IQ-perseverance-character test combo. "Only yey worthy of" shall be awarded the prize at the end of an obstacle course.
aistudio.google.com
Google AI Studio
Google AI Studio is the fastest way to start building with Gemini, our next generation family of multimodal generative AI models.
10:16 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904475271471698101
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ngl - while I hope for the best, I fear the worst; that Europe is a case of "it's impossible to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep." 😬
Quote
Kate from Kharkiv @BohuslavskaKate · 23h
Is this a final-final wake-up call for Europe, or not yet?
10:07 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904474628682141858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - "it's impossible to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep."
10:05 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904467584050659468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what the latest is, if you have ambitions in that direction I encourage you to google or periplexity through some of
https://dontdie.bryanjohnson.com
https://protocol.bryanjohnson.com
https://blueprint.bryanjohnson.com
https://reddit.com/r/blueprint_/comments/1ddslnc/the_complete_blueprint_protocol_updated_easy_to/
...and the rest. It was my impression from remembering his Netflix doc, and comparing vaguely to the diet described above as
9:37 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904444307198652620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh yes, shitting on Carlson's head was funny, with Carlson trying to nudge him back "on message", and the evil gargoyle having none of that, but full on steam ahead with "...in the benninging, when prince Olaf The Terrible..." 😂 top entertainment that ngl 🤣
8:04 AM · Mar 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904097031968174270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - not bad at all!
Btw are you testing LG's EXAONE? This one
https://github.com/LG-AI-EXAONE/EXAONE-Deep
I'm using it in LMStudio as 32B thinking alternative to qwq-32b, b/c it has got a smaller 2.4B version one can employ as for speculative decoding and gain some tps there.
Using this one, 6bit quants, mlx version, atm
https://huggingface.co/mlx-community/EXAONE-Deep-32B-6bit
From github.com
9:04 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904091612969636037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—afaics Trump US is "Canada join US", and Canada is "No!" So there's that. Ofc the future is unknown. Things may happen then, that seems inconceivable now. Starting an economic war with Canada may have seemed unlikely a year ago. War does not seem to me that inconceivable. US invades countries and starts wars not infrequently.
8:43 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904080974498943364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—empirically, starting a war with Canada, and another with Denmark, aligns with the Russias geo-political interests. So that part is not delusion, but very real. Russia's interests are real.
8:00 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904075512030298331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I used to joke "what would Merkel have done differently if she were to be an FSB sleeper agent".
Now I look at Trump foreign policy and think "what would Trump do differently if he were an FSB sleeper agent". Starting a war with a neighbour (Canada), a war with one of your own allays (Denmark) to shatter the alliance existing both sides of the Atlantic, sounds like a pretty solid plan of action to further Russia interests tbh.
7:39 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904065913768247307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow - thanks for discovering me https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernard_Lietaer for me. (fx trader no less)
Yes on the trade offs between:
- lean low cost efficient optimised to minimise friction; and
- redundant resilient distributed even diversified, optimised to take not only expected gai (1st moment), but also expected risk (2nd moment) into account.
Once I read an article claiming "there are no rich countries with small state" and thatbstayed with me. As a "small is beautiful" by default prejudice guy, the empirical data record was striking.
Found it, here
https://unherd.com/2017/08/explaining-bigger-states-prosperous/
Now it would be silly to think "if more better, than 100% best" in either direction state-private for everyone everything at all times. Otherwise that perfect model would have already been discovered and used, given the stakes.
en.m.wikipedia.org
Bernard Lietaer - Wikipedia
7:01 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1904055966334640531
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
reminds of an isis video with the murdering cult lining toyota trucks. dumb bad pr delete rn
6:21 AM · Mar 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903926071927447969
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It blows my mind that most of H2O mollecules that ever existed on Earth have been recycled about forever. That 60% of my body that is H2O after I die will be recycled in the ground, in the rivers, the clouds, then used to make some other body of a worn, or a bird, or a dog, or indeed another human. Like LEGO blocks. And the process is occuring daily, about 1 litter per day too.
IK the same is true of every atom. As with scarcity of natural atomic reactions and natural decay, it can't be otherwise. Still H2O being molecule (even a simple one) not mere atoms feels more interesting. Maybe b/c we drink it, can taste it, can feel it. Unlike elementary atoms.
9:45 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903922047140446332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... found the original post and author, here-
https://x.com/daveg/status/1903751884105527802
Quote
David Galbraith @daveg · 21h
Replying to @jenzhuscott
The dirty secret is that China has embraced free market competition without capitalism but the US has capitalism and monopolies without free markets. Its free markets vs monopolies not communism vs capitalism.
9:29 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903914247111004648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! I like the live transcription service, like recent @RichardSSutton interviews, and now loving this research journalling advice too! 🥰 Excellent advice.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DHe5vAYWtjsY
Rich Sutton's Research Journal (Continued)
27:56
Do you have any tips for students or other budding researchers about research in general? How to choose what to work on, how to how to make good progress?
28:06
Yes, I think I do. Get a research notebook and write in it every day. Write what, write your thoughts, and and and work on your thoughts. Try to challenge them and make them better. If you want other people to be interested in what you think, then you should start by caring about it yourself, and you should care about at least enough to write it down and challenge it and develop it to progress it. That's the most important thing. I hit on that strategy, and it really changed my whole trajectory.
28:41
It's really hard to do because it's a blank page, and you know, what do you have to say? And maybe you're not, maybe you're confused about what you're what you're thinking. One saying I thought to help with that is that usually the value of writing down your thoughts is directly proportional to how vague and confused they are. The value is proportional to how hard it is to write them right. If you say, "I don't even know how to—I'm thinking six things at once. I can't possibly write this down," that's when it will be super valuable. When you do write something down, is that a way that you know that you have an idea that you really want to pursue? Is that a sign?
29:21
No, it's it's that would be scary. It's got to be just like you and the page, and you're trying to be clear to yourself about what you're thinking. If you can't think of anything else to write, just write down what you think are the six interesting ideas that you've got rolling around in your head. So, just then write them down, one through six. Then say, "Well, is that really all of them? Is there a seventh one?" Well, are these six ideas really two of them the same, or just take another paragraph on each one of those six things and explain what you meant by it. Explain to yourself what your thought is.
29:59
And just by doing that, you will say, "Oh, now that thought kind of just disappeared into nothingness when I tried to explain it." You know, maybe it isn't anything. You know, or maybe it grew and changed as you wrote it down. All those things will happen. And so it's important just to keep, keep, keep writing. Try to do a page a day. Don't, don't stress out too much, but do keep doing it on a regular basis. That's my advice.
From appblit.com
8:58 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903899724102693238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am amazed Europe is still relying on US BigTech. USA of the MAGA and TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) laser focused on perceived China threat. Joining forces with Russia at light speed, will be casting Europe as their common enemy within months it looks to me. GNU/Linux, open source open weights open thoughts open agents, open everything is the obvious solution in the lands of the Internets. Too bad for Europeans they are not tech-conscious, and their elites are phobic word-cells not doers. This may change the first time Google shuts down portions of their Gmail on Trump orders.
8:00 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903893206036873603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, but then—so what? I mean, it's not like OpenAI, Anthropic etc got a God given right to a monopoly? Read today (can't find the post rn), paraphrased: monopolies make for US capitalism without competition, while China has markets making for competition without capitalism.
7:34 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903880576303497220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your voters are not in the US. We are in the UK. There are about 10 big, and 100 smaller problems, blighting the lives of the Great British Public daily. Maybe concentrate your talents closer to home? Leave international politics meets celebrity tittle-tattle a miss?
6:44 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903874280149913912
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik there is no "China" as in "The China" as this single one entity, that decided to do this or the other. This strikes me as the wrong abstraction to use. What there is—is hundreds of millions of people doing their thing: stuff they like, find profitable, or simply possible, within the constraints of the system they live in.
I doubt very much anyone too high up the CCP knew of DeepSeek before R1. And if they knew, whether they would be approving of. Or more likely—hostile to a quant trading firm speculating on the financial markets.
Listening to the founder Liang Wenfeng‘s interview https://youtu.be/LknX8qXsgfA?si=aHchfzCjpvkacf8v, he strikes me as an idealistic person that finally got the means to do stuff he really wanted to. Being in the same industry (quant trading), even if not in China, I have witnessed idealism like this more than once. Am always amused how distant-as-to-be-impossible explanation, it seems to be, to outsiders.
"Open source, open weights, open thoughts"—the latest now today, probably tomorrow "open agents"—is the winning combination when striving for personal agency, personal liberty, for taking control, in the information age we live in.
What else is there? My personal life controlled by a MegaCorp, or a MegaState, for whom I'm less than an ant? They could squash me and not notice. That's how big the power disparity is. So the appeal to "open everything" to redress in parts that imbalance, seems reasonable and understandable to me.
I'm always surprised by how obscure the foundational ideas of the Internet remain—especially to people who've grown up entirely within it. Just yesterday met an eager earnest student (opining on "ai safety") that was born and has grown in the lands of the Internets. And yet—he'd never heard of GNU or @fsf or the ideas of Richard Stalman! This seems like living in a market economy, yet being unaware of markets. Maybe that's a shape a victory takes—becoming ideology, "unknown knowns", water to the fish swimming in it.
I've yet to meet a normie who realizes the Personal Computer revolution, the Internet revolution, and now the AI revolution were all kicked off by mildly autistic, mostly altruistic nerds—for almost no expected compensation, just the joy and glory of creation.
Quote
Damien Ma @damienics · Mar 22
What's the best explanation you've heard for why China is leaning so hard into open source? It's now an official position from the foreign ministry apparently.
6:19 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903850316002373645
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's the verdict? Was it a case they were embarrassed by what had happened, they had missed red flags warning signs, failed to protect the president? And to cover that incompetence, they had to obfscute, deflect etc? And that covering gave rise to a whole conspiracy industry?
4:44 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903808862152520081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Open source, open weights, open thoughts - now latest - is the winning combination when striving for personal liberty, taking control, in the information age we live in.
What's else is there? My personal life controlled by a MegaCorp, or a MegaState, for whom I'm less than an ant? They could squash me and not notice. That's how big the power disparity is.
I'm always shocked how little known the ideas that underpin Internet are. Just yesterday had an eager ernest student (opining on "ai safety") that was born and has grown in the lands of the Internets, yet never heard of GNU or
@fsf
or the ideas of Richard Stalman.
have yet to meet a normie, that is not completely oblivious to the fact, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation.
1:59 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903804948946501634
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember discovering Brazilian TV series on Netflix ay some point some years ago.
(or Amazon Video? could have been both-stumbled serendipitously on one, then looking for similar on the other)
The TV channels of my childhood would never carry such niche content for us. In Brazil locally latter I learned the series were not unknown if not exactly massive hits. Their quality was not in doubt, even imo.
1:44 PM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903766623799988490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mine have evolved into thematic long threads. At some point I start a new one, and copy & paste some context from the old thread. Got about 6-10 going now for some time. Guess about tallies with personal global interests?
I guess in the extreme it would be a branching tree. "I" at root, branches getting longer... "thicker" might be better abstraction? Then, at some point a branch branches. Either in two branches of about equal width. Or small branch sprouts sideways starting very thin compared to the main one. (that's much thicker.)
They keep growing as new stuff is added at the ends. I rarely have doubts which one to extend with a new query. I guess that would be one sign of "too much branching": if one is unsure, is not immediately obvious, which branch to extend.
11:11 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903762844698431603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😁 - yep, true that; hence there being one @RickRubin, not one thousand of them; obligatory vibe bible canon vid
rick-rubin-confidence-in-my-taste-ability-to-express-what-I-feel.mp4
10:56 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903759964218253486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
from macedonia, living in the united kingdom
10:45 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903754078896652661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Half is a-plenty! :-) Better than all the alternatives tried.
Truth is—research is super expensive. People never hear about all the technologies that never panned out even after decades of investment. What "did not pan out" means—people working on for many years, payed wages, and then nothing to show for it.
Another way of saying: it's an uncertain business. May pan out, or may not. Every time applying for research grants, it felt fake, it felt a lie, having to answer "write down what you will discover in the 3 years". Well—if I already knew, it means it was discovered already. Not current Research then!
(afaik - people got around by saying "I will discover in 3 years", portions of what they already discovered in the past 3 years; plus a bit of vague hopium on top)
10:21 AM · Mar 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903583749909909953
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—on the topic, both educational and entertaining too! 😆 With TC on "... 5 falsehoods hidden in only 23 words world record" 😂 in "The myth of post-industrial knowledge economy" (@ 6') by Ha-Joon Chang
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOuGKXHS6Fw&t=360s
youtube.com
Ha-Joon Chang: the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy
The University of York's Economics Society invited Dr Ha-Joon Chang to give a lecture on "the myth of post-industrial knowledge economy". This took place on ...
11:05 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903512835977572751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Very good! 👍 Fwiw there's a book "Code Reading: The Open Source Perspective" by Diomidis Spinellis @CoolSWEng about this. Maybe of help to people. Agreed most people spend most of the time reading not writing. (yet reading is rarely taught formally)
6:23 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903465039194919266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Yes agreed that would be reasonable. Also where possible, if possible, to try for staggered holidays sessions. If/where the downsides are not too bad.
3:13 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903437559167947202
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - blessem. My mum b.1934 got her to use email (pine) and Unix talk utility for interactive chat in 1998! (when there was barely any Internet) So I cut her a lot of slack 😇
It still amazes me their thinking about other things though. (not strictly tech) For example, reading something on FB. "Mum, when you see it, it simply means someone, someone exactly like yourself, wrote what they think about something, and want to tell the world. That's it. Doesn't mean anything else. Doesn't mean it's true, doesn't mean it's false. It's exactly as if yourself wrote on FB what you think of that same thing."
1:24 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903433384883278291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - @rickygervais jokes on this are golden, the cases of "I don't want your f*cking guitar lessons", and "why are you tweeting at me" 😂😂
https://youtube.com/watch?v=L3dxMGzt5mU
Or when a boomer mum reads a FB post, and mutters "why is my Friend writing this to me?" (narrator: she is not writing to you, but to the world in general; you are part of that world-that's why the message gets to you-but not the the only part)
Maybe simply people not examining their lives, stuck in a "me, myself and I" baby-like stage? Not separated the "I" from "not-I" (=the world at large) that we all start as/with at birth? (could say-our death is the ultimate separation there)
youtube.com
Ricky Gervais Humanity - Guitar Lessons
Ricky on people getting offended by internet commentary.Copyright Netflix 2018 - https://www.netflix.com/nz/title/80189653
1:07 PM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903398946652966943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It gets better honest. M2 mbp for the 96gb ram and gpu/npu recently. After lifetime of ThinkPads + Xubuntu. Yes pain to start with-but. Between iTerm2, $ brew install, back to bash (from default), git, and ask Gemini incessantly for shortcuts etc the most basic of stuff (*not* trying to figure out for myself - ask 1st) - it got better rapidly. Now I loathe to look at my old ThinkPads screens.
10:50 AM · Mar 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903227077203046767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtev73r-B8S3puAlkmLhYmryqFHIlDwD
youtube.com
RAMBO AMADEUS / O TUGO JESENJA 1988
11:27 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903210933339689155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
are maybe millenials that are children of the boomers?? 😶 (doubling down stereotypes there -yack 😬)
10:23 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903152611005698125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - so much to ponder there. The environmental groups are semi-religious cults. In the extremes (the jailed guy) "if lots of people have to die, so they will die".
"They Silenced Me When I Asked Questions" - How Activist Groups Ignore New Solutions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCZTEmfrQZg
youtube.com
"They Silenced Me When I Asked Questions" - How Activist Groups...
The Institute for Economic Affairs presents a panel discussion on "Not Invented Here" exploring why pressure groups often reject practical solutions to probl...
6:31 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903148961914831070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, peak X experience. 😂 Seems we got an "experienced online activist" in thread, one "Ray @ killclifffc", using the tactic of "reply with nonsense & block the poster you reply to, so they can't reply back". Didn't know such cretins existed still? 😅 What a find!
6:17 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903145378867769506
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No thanks. Water and health - you want them, you create them. I don't owe you water and healthcare. And neither do you owe me water and healthcare.
6:03 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903106160170881083
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH - 2 kids, certainty to have enough for food on the table, and roof over our heads. (*certainty* being the operative word there) Abundance is great, but if it can be lost with 3 months notice - then not so great.
3:27 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903101012384080183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Damn!! The 2nd time today being reminded of this interview?! wtaf
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cVr2Qp_ic8
youtube.com
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down in-person with author and podcaster, Michael Malice. They discuss his latest book, “The White Pill.” From this they explore ...
3:06 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903091992130650619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Didn't know any of that, completely ignorant of the country and everything Taiwan tbh. Sounds like the case of - voters got what they voted for, "good and hard". Thanks for educating me!
(never not a good day for a dose of Mencken, haha -
"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.")
2:31 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903083595763216502
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...reminded of a @michaelmalice interview/podcast I listened just yesterday about the Soviet Union
https://youtu.be/3cVr2Qp_ic8?si=ewiW7HiKGnA805iG
(binge listening having YT algo serendipitly discover him to me)
youtube.com
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down in-person with author and podcaster, Michael Malice. They discuss his latest book, “The White Pill.” From this they explore ...
1:57 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903080125345763380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 who needs putin assassins when dunderheaded innumerate millibands are equal opportunity providers
1:43 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903078195403874529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly. And you have no *right* to that. They provided all that voluntary, of their own volition. Believe it or not. No one put a gun to their head, and forced them to it. Miracles of life, eh?
1:36 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903076153524432923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I remember when SORN (Statutory Off Road Notification) was introduced in law (or came into force), someone mentioned:
"This is a rare piece of legislation, where one can break this law, by doing nothing. By just sitting at home doing nothing, one breaks the law."
It struck me as a good principle - a good law should not be broken by inactivity, by doing nothing imo. Yes exceptions exists, yes rules of thumb can be broken.
But imo - can be broken with a good reason only. And the law that brought SORN looks to me as breaking a good principle, but without a good reason.
1:28 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903057848919113762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true that. You are completely right. Usually there are at least 2 sides on every issue, even from a high level view. And zooming in, one usually finds half a dozen sub-groups each pushing in whichever way.
12:15 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903057042056810674
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Step 1. Detach from the real world, become completely un-bound from reality. Step 2. Construct alternative reality as per your primal wishes. Step 3. ???
I can't figure the Why in the step 3. One would have to speculate the psychology, the state of mind of people doing it. Rational analysis does not suffice.
Drama, maybe comedy can shed light? The "guitar for sale" joke by @rickygervais 😂 Or like when on X, random people being shown some post of his, think *he* wrote to them *personally*, and get angry. ("why are you telling me this??") Like when a boomer mum reads a FB post, and mutters "why is my Friend writing this to me?" (narrator: she is not writing to you, but to the word in general; you are part of that world, but not the the only part)
Parliament is younger though. Maybe millennial children to boomer parents?? 😶 IDK. One can only resort so stereotypes at this point. The "me, myself and I" generations, where a baby has not quite grown up, not separated the "I" from "not-I" (=the world at large) that it starts as at birth.
Anyways. It's a spectacle, it's collective. Looks a mass psychosis of some sort. A "mind virus" even! 😱
12:12 PM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903029233003180366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When? Put a (date,number) on your forecast.
If you can't—then it's "Never".
10:21 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903028717091229837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a wilfully stupid take. I have learned by now that wilful stupidity is not low IQ or lacking rational reasoning, but bad bad morals. bye
10:19 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903027786480058683
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is it possible people shutting them down, are US supported, if not outright US agents? E.g. the green movement in Europe was supported secretly by the Soviet Union. Even if it is a genuine movement addressing genuine grievances that would exist even without that support.
10:15 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903027021199896904
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can read say stats about the real world on OWID if you want to know. They collect and collate data collected from reputable UN and national statistics agencies in a easily digestible comparison graphs.
Doomer thinking is not only unproductive, but leads towards a stalin levels of insanity. If one starts with "8B will die in near future, with absolute 100% certainty". Then any solution, no matter the cost, becomes not only morally just, but a moral imperative. (.e.g one needs to delete 4B of us people Thanos-style, to save the other 4B)
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
10:12 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903023321588838416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cheer up. No tragedy has happened in the real world. So not real. "In ones head" is by definition "not real". Again, "The implications" - these exist in your head, not in the real world.
9:58 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903016403117945106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha 😂 thanks 🙏
(non native speaker less constrained, usually for the worse, but not always)
9:30 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903015412721238321
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This implication is in your mind. It's not the only possible implication
> Implicit behind all the national accounting flap is the assumption that additional economic production will be summoned up, if we can get the accounting right.
9:26 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903014684401279075
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's implied in your mind. But not in everyone else's.
That same "will deny the premise is true, for I hate the consequences" (that I infer, imagine) is what also drives the denial with the goldbugs, and cryptos people. One would expect with them being directly interested in the mechanics of the monetary system (and in general - the finance side), to at least know the mechanics of the current fiat system.
They imagine the consequences to be - Gosplan! They recoil in horror, and proceed to deny the premises. Now I'm not saying there are zero people who are indeed attracted to the premise, b/c they are attracted to the Gosplan consequence. The world is a big place. All sorts of people. Some will be wanting Central Planning of the economy.
My point is - that doesn't necessarily follow from the premises. Yes one of the things possible - but other things are possible too. Got reminded again with the fun spectacle 😁 recently of Musk discovery of "dozen computers that just credit dollars into recepients accounts out of thin air!" bombshell. 😂
(2ndary point: with all the consolidation cartelization monopoly power in all industries we have witnessed in our lifetimes - are we sure the system isn't already half descended into a Gosplan?)
9:23 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903007310835749068
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Related. Listened to @michaelmalice yesterday (binge listening him for few days having YT algo serendipitly discover him to me) on a podcast about the Soviet Union.
https://youtu.be/3cVr2Qp_ic8?si=ewiW7HiKGnA805iG
Even a well prepared enthusiastic interviewer kept missing the last step or two of some ingeniously devised totally evil torture scheme. MM had to interject more than once to explain the coup de grâce. ("ah, but you see not only was pain inflicted this way, but additional suffering follow-up that way")
The most I like about him is - the white pill! The evil in the end did collapse, despite all forecasts to the contrary. While we live - there's hope.
youtube.com
Discussing Communism in All Its Glory | Michael Malice | EP 407
Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down in-person with author and podcaster, Michael Malice. They discuss his latest book, “The White Pill.” From this they explore ...
8:54 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1903000121614184697
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well there is always tension, that's why 1 vote in 4 years, MP is not a simple pass through conduit of the wishes of the constituents, but has to synthesise the best for 1) them, 2) him, and 3) the country. That's why e.g. US a Republic - b/c the demos can be plenty bad, do plenty wrong too.
We have the California example where putting everything to popular vote gave them rule so dysfunctional, that people are fleeing the richest state in the US. There is also the case of Switzerland where devolved power works better it seems.
Imo it's not so much up or down, left or right - but smart v.s. stupid. The decision making judged by the results. Quangos were seemingly made for a world where not much change happens, no fast reactions needed. Now we are in a fast changing world. The old system does not suffice, it's falling short.
My favourite hobby horse is Radical Transparency. Imo much more about the inner workings of government bureaucracy needs to be open, avilable online for all to read. ("with enough eyes, all bugs are shallow.") These are gargantuan systems of people, rules, procedures etc. The sooner it's seen what's obv wrong in the process, the sooner a chance to remedy.
8:25 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902993942896922759
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The idea that there is some "objective" criteria leading to "objective" decision which is "the best" was always convenient fiction to hide narrow interests behind the "objective". Oldest trick in the book. "I'm not ideological. It just so happens what benefits me is objective, even natural order of things."
The experts are there to give advice, not to decide. Given power to decide—well the experts pursue their own interests. Who wold have known? They are only people. Coupled with surprisingly badly though out legislation leading to "team bat, team newt" but no "team human"?? (let's see if things improve when AI Lawyer v3 comes online 🙃 )
All in all—ends with quangos becoming a case of "good servant, bad master". It was too convenient for a while to pretend. Yeah time to "take back control", haha. We have all become brexiteers now. 😂
8:01 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902991159619661935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good piece. You identified the problem. Politicians have responsibility without power. Quangos have power without responsibility. Responsibility is the feedback part of exercising power given to you by the demos. By separating the two, the feedback mechanism was broken. That's why it seems the country is on autopilot, not responding to the wishes of the electorate. Because the mechanism to do so has been broken.
You must abolish OBR, abolish Sentencing Council, and then bunch of others, if you want to do stuff as per your election promises. TBS if this LAB government has that in them. IDK what's the issue with KS just abolishing them with a stroke of a pen in a single day. Will LAB MPs bring down the gov and force elections? Unlikely I think. MPs are cognisant half of them will not be re-elected if new elections were held tomorrow.
7:50 AM · Mar 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902865324526993499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I take no pleasure writing this, but: non evil person is unfortunately not able to come up with sufficiently evil stuff, even after effort, that a malevolent evil person will come up within seconds and without much effort.
Listened to .@michaelmalice on a podcast about the Soviet Union today. Even a well prepared interviewer kept missing the last step or two of some ingeniously devised torture scheme. MM had to interject more than once to explain the coup de grâce.
11:30 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902833870233366812
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry, maybe I misunderstand: there is no counter-argument. As I had not watched the video yet when commenting. As mentioned - could not watch it but still decided to comment as the open source nature of R1 is a bit of a hobby horse of mine, couldn't help myself. (was in a pub after a walk on a sunny day, couldn't play the video; English countryside pic below to brighten your day maybe).
After watching now - yes the video does not make a big deal out of the "open source, open weights, open thoughts" of R1. That imo was the big deal, on par with the performance. For if the release was just another closed model to chat or API with, like ChatGPT or Claude or Gemini, maybe would have been a sensation (given o1 was the only thinking model then), but not a game changer. I think the open aspect of it was a total game changer, as it spawned a new ecosystem.
Also I heard no mention of the "week of open source releases" (done recently) when DeepSeek open sourced 6 crucial components of their tech stack. Imo they have all been well received. But 1 of the 6, the RL algorithm used, has been taken on used by others, inspired them, who used it and improved it. And thus spawned a mini revolution in thinking models. Before R1 release, IDK how many people even thought RL was possible or practical. Basically how o1 was trained was a mystery.
9:25 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902758293145112858
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Dislike commenting before watching, but: if DeepSeek didn't release "open source, open weights, open thoughts" it would have been a nothingburger. It's the open angle that's spawned an ecosystem building up now.
FB Lamma was the initial chink in the armour, opening in the "close everything" doom descending on us with the AI age. But DeepSeek V3 and R1 especially was the game changer that opened the floodgates.
Releasing their prop secrets and especially RL recepies truly cemented the change. Irreversible now, despite what Darios of the world say or want having crossed over to the dark side.
A single ray of light suffices to illuminate vast darkness. A single amber starts a new flame. 🔥 Could not be prouder of a fellow quant, 😍 the other side of the world. 🌎 Kudos to them.
4:25 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902749471751966936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Note you saying Democracy. The system of DemoCracy (=rule of the demos) is means to an end. Not an end in itself. If Radical Transparency facilitied a somewhat different system, while still delivering on people's desires wishes hopes for themselves and their children - I see nothing wrong there.
I suspect Radical Transparency for State, Government etc buroucracy is the direction of travel. It takes feedback to keep a gargantuan system on the straight and narrow. So it's both needed, and made possible by the IT and communications technologies.
Previous-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625
3:50 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902740647280341486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Naah. Biology is not like physics where a single equation written on one page of paper suffices. Even there - half the heavy lifting is provided by mathematics.
Biology is a weak general rule + million of edge cases. Before computers, there was simply no way to record that million. Now with computers biologists can. With AI that's moved to encoding then transforming that knowledge into something useful we care to achieve.
3:14 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902737834978541785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well then I invite you to continue thinking critically, and take the next logical step on your journey: why?? Why is the UK pricing system the way it is?
Having said that. I'd encourage you to check discussions on the issue of UK energy, pricing etc on Reddit. Conference forum is better more productive media format for discussion.
Thanks for the care about wasting words. Worry not please - I have more words where that came from, e.g.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902433744008450314
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902350683858169933
3:03 PM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902684695881515175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Hahaha - even more wholesome! 🥰 Tablets from 4K years ago, boring accounting spreadsheets, not only are noticed and raise interest, but even excite spirits enough for people to fight over to correct get it exactly right! Awesome 😇
11:32 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902675783291691490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - kindred spirit. 😅 Agreed again! Yes makes sense for intelligent signal processing to happen with subsidiarity: at the lowest level where there is enough information for a decision to be made. And continue at multiple levels up. At this point I'd point at
@drmichaellevin
but I'm guessing you're already aware of his work.
10:57 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902671453490737378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! :-) Agreed. (didn't wan't to elaborate)
Related pet hypothesis: there is not much going in the gut, or the heart etc. It's all in the brain. There is cross-talk in the neurons (the way for there is for the word "hot", and hot food, if I recall correctly): we feel butterflies in the stomach, because some processing related to signals coming from the stomach, happens in neurons close by in the brain, to the neurons processing say risk or uncertainty or danger etc. Or love feelings being processed by neurons close by to ones processing signals communicating with the heart.
10:39 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902665076357693735
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Procrastination. Employ someone to do the tasks for you if you possibly can, TaskRabbit style. For tasks involving a computer typing on keyboard - I try use AI agents nowdays. If programming, even when not strictly faster, I find it to be less boring with company. AI programming agents are cheap or even free, find them totally worth it.
Not being solo all alone with the boring task - it should become easier to do. Same for not computer stuff - seek company. Boring task becomes less boring when done in company of someone else, not doing it alone. Even when that someone else is AI agent.
Having said that. If I found myself being bored to death by everything I am to do today—I would be re-examing my life choices. What do I want to work on, how do I want to live my life. But once in a while—I find it fine. Not everything is super exciting every single day.
Quote
Adam Grant @AdamMGrant · 18h
Procrastination is not a time management problem. It’s an emotion management problem.
You’re not avoiding work. You’re avoiding tasks that feel boring, frustrating, or stressful.
Postponing prolongs pain. The dread of starting is quickly outweighed by the joy of progressing.
Show more
10:14 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902656438838669539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is a good observation by @michaelmalice (who I'm binge listening to for few days now, having YT algo serendipity do it's job well) that black pilled people hate and will pounce on a single while pilled person. B/c a single while pilled out there is a danger, it ruins their world view.
When the world view is "*everything* is bad, everything is shit", then a single person piping up "akshually this one thing improved" repudiates the *everything*. That one crack letting single ray of light into the darkness, destroys the whole worldview system. So this one voice can't be allowed to exist.
9:40 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902654070315217352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Employ someone to do the tasks for you if you possibly can, TaskRabbit style. If involving computers typing on keyboard try some agents. If programming even if not strictly faster, it will be less boring in company! It may become easier to do.
Same for not computer stuff - seek company! Boring task becomes less boring when done in company of someone else, not doing it alone. Even when that someone else is AI agent.
9:30 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902577722162847853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and what's your experience with conflict resolution? When editing the same file on multiple devices, if say if it didn't manage to sync to latest, and two versions develop that need to be merged?
I do get merge conflicts sometimes with my manual logBook under git. I am thrown into the editor to resolve, choose and edit, them commit . A chore, but have not lost any changes ever. (so far)
thanks 🙏
4:27 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902548384939991088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah but it's incredibly expensive in energy, time, effort, mind share, etc. That's why we pattern match think with our gut: it's so so much cheaper. Replacing true/false re/peated/search with like/dislike must be 100 times cheaper. So much easier on us.
2:30 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902513584661250175
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But where does the single file live? I'm in the single file camp. Git sync-ing via push merge etc works good, no fear of losing changes. Fwiw not a comfortable experience on a mobile. (non iPhone)
Standard but at home ~/logBook ascii text file as in any project. Entry starts as ^-(space), ends in empty line, searchable in vim. New entries added at top, pushing oldies down. Sections FIXME TODO DONE DONTDO. Entries move from TODO into DONE wholesale without further editing. Entries in TODO for long enough are moved into DONTDO without ceremony. (can always move them back) No adding to TODO while FIXME is non-empty without a good reason.
12:12 AM · Mar 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902496729791877443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
AI brain prothesis? Usually it's lack of morals. People willfully stupid are not lacking IQ or rational thinking machinery. (only small number are strictly retarded) They are lacking in morals. They are immoral. What we see as bad or even evil, they see as good.
11:05 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902493785713447193
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am curious to learn: why do you want to impoverish do harm to millions of your fellow citizens, by doing something that will make zero difference to your life? (or even maybe make small difference for the worse)
What is your thinking, what are you feeling, what's going on your head etc. Do you mind articulating publicly? It's an interest of mine. This specific case of "causes harm to others for no personal gain".
10:53 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902486485557014823
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good listen . @michaelmalice Michael Malice: "You Have No Idea How Bad Things Could Get" https://youtu.be/LQJy_7C8Gts?si=h2CAMz30tzDHj21j via @YouTube by @triggerpod youtube.com
Michael Malice: "You Have No Idea How Bad Things Could Get"
💥Join us on our Journey to 1 Million Subscribers💥 SPONSORED BY: Manscaped. Get 20% off and free shipping when you use the code TRIGGER20 at https://www.man...
10:24 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902462298494574603
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - maybe we will get an AI Politician be one of the applications of our new AI overlords. Have AI replace politicians job. We know already that people that want to do those jobs, are bad fits for the jobs. Usually good fits are people that don't want the job a politician. But maybe circumstances force that on them. Have good AI replace presidents, ministers, governments.
8:48 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902457343738052856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The know nothings that are the new rulers are at first annoying. But in their crass ignorance, their antics are even becoming tiny bit simpatico by now? 😳 At some point when forced into a tight spot by a question, now I half expect her to flash her titties at the audience to shut them up gasping, mischievously distract them dead-cat style. 😂
Like a revolutionary rag-tag army of rebels taking over after breakdown of prior regime. Taliban juggling kalashnikovs and computer keyboards in a ministry in Kabul. Revolutionaries making up with frantic energy that what they lack in knowledge or experience. Fireworks incoming for the foreseeable future.
8:29 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902433744008450314
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish I knew of a way to immunise the society and public discussion from the malign influence of doomers. It's too easy for doomers to take over! We see it in the public policy in energy, and also AI. The AI case is not the exception but the rule, replayed with every new tech. (c.f. @PessimistsArc)
We are wired that way, to pay great attention to the possible risks. Subsequently, false alarms where the dangers didn't pan out, are forgotten and memory holed straight to /dev/null.
The alternative history where the society would have been, the opportunity loss, is usually not given much thought. In the long run, this opportunity cost of opportunities lost, matters a lot!
When one start from a thesis that 8B will die at some point in the future, with absolute 100% certainty, say by 2125. Then if a solution exists, but needs to delete 4B of us people Thanos-style, to save the other 4B, that policy becomes not only morally just, but even a moral imperative!
This is stalin-level-insanity line of thinking doomers engage in. It's how deaths cults work. No one starts with "I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey". No - it's always for saving of humanity. Lesser evil, means justifying ends, etc - to save something that will be lost in the far future.
The error of this thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know anything about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (maybe to themselves too) Future is impossible to know with 100% certainty. (one very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty.")
Quote
https://x.com/James_BG/status/1902300288079303144
James Murray @James_BG · 9h
The Times here calling for a "debate" on whether the UK should just give up on net zero and instead chill out about a century of rolling climate crises, rising sea levels, and fast growing risks of collapsing food systems and biblical levels of migration. https://thetimes.com/comment/the-times-view/article/kemi-badenoch-has-been-a-blast-of-fresh-air-on-net-zero-v9pgxk8mp
Show this thread
6:55 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902412351745278005
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What's the plan? Barriers, restrictions to export of capital? Or not? - free movement of capital as now, but you make currently unattractive places, attractive? - but how?
5:30 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902381309630050695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are the boomers parents to the millennials?? (generationally, generally)
3:27 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902363005003628627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Third option: they have other priorities. They prioritise something else more. In the US case: the economy. The economy for the vast number of Americans didn't deliver as per their desires. So they voted for change.
The institutions, democracy, how people are governed - that's means to and end. Not the end itself. "How" matters less to people than their personal well being. (or even "life, liberty, pursuit of happiness").
If an authoritarian dude says "it's bad, I will fix it" he will win over the institutionalist that messages "it's mostly fine, and that other guy is going to be Caesar". And if the newly elected Caesar manages to turn things around fr, (unlikely - but not impossible,) then he will be crowned king for life by the plebs.
(if this is the real person from many years ago: thanks for gifting SPtr from your relisoft days, saved me from myself more than once over decades)
2:14 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902358993139359926
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...but in the UK only. While in all those other countries using that very same gas, from that very same "single world market for gas" (haha 😆), in those countries the same did not happen over the same time period. Riiight - that is totally plausible. (narrator - Not!)
FT and good portion of innumerate wordcels running the UK are engaged in magical thinking. Unicorns chasing rainbows, while waiting for their favourite hobby horse to materalize to save them from the consequences of their own actions. 😂
A unique feat of policy making there: designed to defeat the very same policy! For it is ushering Farage MP as PM in 3 years time as we are writing this. Who will then promptly cancel the very same policy. 😂
Has to be seen to believed. A bunch of PPE people groomed for governing, will govern themselves into their own oblivion. The Dumb and the Dumber level stuff, blind leading the blind. What spectacle, total scenes. 😂
1:58 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902350683858169933
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When you start from a thesis that 8B will die at some point in the future, with absolute 100% certainty. (say 2125 is end of the world for you maybe? IDK what it's your forecast.) Then if a solution exists, but needs to delete 4B of us Thanos-style, to save the other 4B, then it becomes not only morally just, but even a moral imperative, to do so.
This is stalin-level-insanity line of thinking you are engaging in. It's how every death cult ever in history worked. No one starts with: I'm Thanos-evil, follow and obey. No-it's always for saving of humanity. Lesser evil means justify ends to save something that will be lost in the far future.
The error of your thinking is "100% certainty the world will end sometime in the future." Anyone claiming to know anything about the future with absolute 100% certainty is lying to you. (and maybe themselves too) One very definition of future is "that what can't be known with 100% certainty."
Although with yourself and those around you, revealed preferences tilt more towards "difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it." For if you really believed in your "end of times" catastrophizing, you'd be building shelters down salt mines, or rockets to other planets.
For whatever measures you propose, will do zilch, nothing, for the thing you fear. Possible explanations to reconcile ideas and actions may involve psychotic do nothing bed wetter, a grifting grifter suckling at that sweat, sweat government tit, caring not for driving millions into poverty in the process.
No change will happen with the current CO2 trajectory. Even if UK sank today in the ocean and you achieved your net zero goal by dinnertime. We had 1C warming in the past 80 yrs. The world has never been in better shape looking at OWID consolidated graphs. All things considered, and compared to the recent past. In a century by 2125, Manchester England may end with the average temperature that Milan Italy has today.
1:25 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902338630300885036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fantastic achievement! 🚀🎊 Kudos 👏 to you for kick starting the open weights. 💪 Long it may continue. Open thoughts next? 🙏😉
12:37 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902336876842782795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Happens even to the best. 😆
What's the current stereotype for this? Which groups should we stereotype? Boomer parents and their millennial offspring?
Awaiting instructions from the Oh Thou Ever Wisest the Internets. 😂
12:30 PM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902326756645671206
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thank. Using LMStudio on mbp m2 96gb ram.
MLX 6bit - works now, whereas it didn't previously.
GGUF Q6_K - used to get error in "Template (Jinja)" in GUI. Your change fixes that - thanks! However, on query the model crashes, and I get no response to a prompt.
11:50 AM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902216652831264974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Team human - when?
It's been more than a decade. Closing coal was a great success. Pocket that win, and move on. Given the state of the world, UK could sink in the ocean achieve Net 0 overnight, and it will make 0 difference to anything climate related.
The energy policy is causing immiseration to millions now. My local CoOp in one of the well off towns in SE England is now locking toothpaste and gaviscone on the shelves in plastic boxes. If you don't scrap your the ill thought energy policy soon, in 3 years the newly elected PM Farage will get rid of it for sure anyway.
Rarely can one see slow motion self own shooting oneself in the foot in real time. The energy policy is the textbook definition of stupid "one causing loss and suffering to others, for no gain to themselves or even a small loss".
Tbf I think you will not change in time. Have yet to see a politician that's not an egomaniac or psychologicaly damaged in some way. Bothering to write this only b/c can't get to sleep. And b/c it's painfully obvious to all outsiders that policy change is a must.
4:32 AM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902173685437341785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The only video streaming platform I pay money for. To get almost everything humanity has to offer. Good deal. Once they start showing me ads, will have to think what next. Hopefully by that time you cheapskates would have built up some alternative. 😆
1:42 AM · Mar 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902119534338961876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No innovation needed. France did it half a century ago. Do as they did, or get lost. No one wants to pay for your hobby horses, so you continue chasing unicorns under rainbows. UK must stop you abusing the public purse. Your insane policies are driving millions into poverty.
10:06 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902097262064304509
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If Merkel were groomed/sleeper agent—what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
The swooning of the liberal elite over this non-entity squared disaster was the cherry on the top.
8:38 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902091894575825340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that is about normal for mid-March, or well within normal variation? ChatGPT does not make silly mistakes like this tbh.
8:17 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902058804595863840
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no clean green economy booming of the kind that is your hobby horse—the unreliables.
There is clean green economy booming the other side of the English channel—France!! They solved their clean and green problem with reliables—nuclear. Given France-anything is supposed to be to the English elite what red rag is to a bull, I hoped people come to their senses. You are half a century behind. What you are angling for is not catching up-to the contrary.
You are free to pursue your personal jollies at you own expense. *Not* abusing the public purse. R&D is very very expensive. The cost of getting it wrong is massive. That cost is payed by *immiseration* of millions. TBH I'm amazed how patient Great British public is with you dunderheads. In many countries your arse will be hanging off a stick by now.
In UK we are finding the cost of R&D by trial&error by incompetent elites out at our expense. Elites have the duty of care and doing their homework to the utmost of their abilities. Not chasing their personal hobby horses like unicorns after rainbow.
Quote
James Murray @James_BG · Mar 17
Net zero is not impossible. It may well be improbable and it is definitely very, very difficult. But it’s not impossible. Badenoch is positioning herself as a teller of hard truths while saying something that is not technically true. https://businessgreen.com/news/4410968/mistake-kemi-badenoch-slammed-decision-drop-support-uk-net-zero-target
6:05 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902058293972844665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is no clean green economy booming of the kind that is your hobby horse—the unreliables.
There is clean green economy booming the other side of the English channel—France!! They solved their clean and green problem with reliables—nuclear. Given France-anything is supposed to be to the English elite what red rag is to a bull, I hoped people come to their senses. You are half a century behind. What you are angling for is not catching up-to the contrary.
You are free to pursue your personal jollies at you own expense. *Not* abusing the public purse. R&D is very very expensive. The cost of getting it wrong is massive. That cost is payed by *immiseration* of millions. TBH I'm amazed how patient Great British public is with you dunderheads. In many countries your arse will be hanging off a stick by now.
In UK we are finding the cost of R&D by trial&error by incompetent elites out at our expense. Elites have the duty of care and doing their homework to the utmost of their abilities. Not chasing their personal hobby horses like unicorns after rainbow.
6:03 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1902002844972024266
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are you high? Or you being delusional? OMG
There is no clean green economy booming of the kind that is your hobby horse—the unreliables.
There is clean green economy booming the other side of the English channel—France!! They solved their clean and green problem with reliables—nuclear.
You are half a century behind them and the times. For my sake I hope you do catch up sooner rather than latter.
2:23 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901974428738600989
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not if one needs lots of RAM. I got 2nd hand M2 MBP for the 96GB of RAM, supplanting previous Linux Thinkpad 64GB RAM 4TB SSD. Addressing the lack of disk space with external 4TB NVME. (with TB5 would have been perfect)
Between MacOS being Unix, $ brew install, and building local $ git clone github, zero complaints whatsoever. What joy to use! Liking this little device enough to be grinning ear-to-ear on contact with a computer again. 🥰
12:30 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901969942531985578
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly - you don't know. No one can know, just by a number like "41%". For numbers like "one in six", "41% of the species" to acquire meaning, you are to compare them, to similar numbers, as they were 20-30-50-100 years ago.
I would forward you to sources like aggregates of reputable data coming from UN, national agencies etc collected, collated and nicely presented in Our World in Data, or books like Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About The World - And Why Things Are Better Than You Think by the late Rosling—but I won't. I have learned my lessons. Concluded that it's between futile and counterproductive. If someone is driven to find truths about the world around us—they find them themselves. And for those that are not—well that's it, no one can help much.
12:12 PM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901962055164326257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So that you spend significant portion of your life working, rather than spend your time watching daytime TV and producing nothing of value to society. (or even to yourself) That's the reason.
Federal government don't need your dollars (why would they? you don't create those dollars—they do) any more than a cinema theatre needs the ticket you show and hand it to them, at the entrance to the cinema.
11:41 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901960734512128150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha - and state is that, in your opinion?
In my opinion - the state of the world, as depicted on the OWID graphs, is not great, not terrible, can get better. But in general the world is unlikely to end soon. (barring - astroid impact, nuclear war, another pandemic etc)
11:35 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901942140231430406
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is awesome you are awesome thanks for releasing open weights! 😍
Do you plan on releasing a tiny version, that we use as crutch in speculative decoding? In LMStudio for Gemma-3 27B I have the 4B version to point LMStudio to for speculative decoding. Or maybe some other open weights tiny model is compatible with QwQ-32B for speculative decoding? (but LMStudio doesn't know is not telling me when I select QwQ-32Bl; tbf I have not bothered to measure if plugging in the smaller model and turning on speculative decoding helps in the final analysis for {speed,performance} in total; this on MBP M2 LMStudio)
Thanks again for making the world a better place. 🥰
Always—"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt", or as is in the language of the future not the past-
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
10:21 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901938073945940214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
team human getting a hearing, in addition to team bat and team newt - good
10:05 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901935943029801277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of the 3 mentioned—on price, mature tech, 100% reliability—only nuclear can be done, is done, and was done. And with France solving the problem half a century ago, and given France-anything is supposed to be to English elite what red rag is to a bull, I hoped people come to their senses.
But no. Jollies like tidal is thrown in there. As if it's ever been done by anyone in the world. R&D is very very expensive. The cost of getting it wrong is massive. As UK we are finding that out at our expense. Elites have the duty of care and doing their homework to the utmost of their abilities. Not chasing their personal hobby horses like unicorns after rainbow.
Quote
Simon Clarke @SirSimonClarke · 4h
There is a sensible way forward.
Conservative voters and leaners want energy to be produced as cheaply as possible, increased energy security, and the creation of new jobs. These voters recognise the role that tidal, nuclear and solar can play in achieving these priorities.
Show this thread
9:57 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901917986337792411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another nothingburger, so everyone will quickly forget our previous catastrophising. As per the usual—forget our errors of judgement.
8:45 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901914934193127695
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For anyone in Machine Learning (lately in the news, with all the AI ChatGPT machines breakthroughs), witnessing first hand our children acquiring language(s) is immense privilege. A bona-fide miracle happening in front our eyes in real-time day after day. Unforgettable!
8:33 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901778501469905100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...in crypto lingo, I think of the huge effort and fight that goes into each of the "Appropriation Bill"-s as MINING, that's when it's decided who gets what. Then operationally crediting accounts is ADD, taxation operation is DELETE. (taxes are decided in a different law)
There is also a SWAP operation. When some dollars (that you can swap for milk&eggs; but you get 0 extra for holding them) call them "greenbuck", are swapped 1:1 for anther type call them "bluebuck", (swap duration 1yr=Bill, 5yr=Note, 10yr=Bond,) where the greenbuck holder relinquishing it gets >0 extra (the IR interest rate) greenbucks at the end of the swap period, in a PROOF OF STAKE way. (the extra given out is like UBI for people that already have greenbucks, and voluntarily decide forego exchanging them for milk&eggs for pre-set time; they preference getting extra greenabacks instead of milk&eggs.)
That's 30% of dollars added/deleted. The other 70% of the same is outsource to the commercial banks. They are authorised by the state to do ADD. These are loans given. Instead of the Appropriation Bill in Senate/Congress there is looking for credit worthy customers by the credit officer of the bank. The DELETE operation is repaying back of the loan by the private customer. This is also backed by state monopoly of violence. Service the state provides to its agent—the commercial bank.
Given for the 70% (private side) say for every new 100 minted by loans, 150 is returned over the lifetime of the loans, IDK what happens to the 50 extra. Would dearly like to know! (I suspect it's added to the "bank equity" cell in addition to leaking out as dividends, salaries other costs, but IDK for sure; also suspect bank equity is subtracted from when loan is declared not recoverable; that's a 100 DELETE-ed on the private side; should the total equity go under 0, become negative, the bank is bankrupt; is then killed off by it's creator, ultimately The Fed/regulator)
These things are decided by Law. Then operationally it is Accounting, and lately IT implementing. Note there is little Economics in the process. Economics is a about the other side, the milk&eggs. The greenbuck side of the exchange I think of it as Finance. (my impression from trying to learn is—economists are the ones you should listen the least when trying to learn about the Finance side; they're mostly wrong about it; as if with finance being a mirror image to the economics side, that minus sign there confuses the hell out of them.)
For my money the best presentation & abstraction I know of is "The Landscape of Money" by .@Suitpossum (pic below), on YT https://youtube.com/watch?v=mmWOO7r_NMw&t=6m30s. For my taste, abstracting spreadsheets—instead of rings—works as well. It tallies well with reality. Fed owned spreadsheet => only Fed changes numbers up/down there. Fed manages cells names "Reserve", "T-Bill" "Note" "Bond" etc. Likewise, City bank spreadsheet => only City changes numbers up/down, accounts names are "Checking", (in the UK where I'm "Current",) "Saving". The numbers are "City dollars". They stop existing (with the spreadsheet) when City goes bankrupt, is killed off by The Fed, and deleted from the system. The "token rings" with tokens (various dollars) moving on the wires from cell to cell, is visually great abstraction imo.
This is my personal understanding of how things work, pieced together from working in it (for limited time), and reading about it. It's mostly evolved, an ecosystem, where portions are repurposed as the system adapts to the changing environment. (e.g. last big change was becoming not-convertible in gold) There is no central plan or planner. Most people don't know how things work in total. (neither they need to; that's why it lives on—it works, even if most participants don't know how)
State money. For the mechanics of the state money system, you have mmt-ers like .@wbmosler to read. They are correct about the premises of the system. People dismiss the premises, b/c they don't like the conclusion: the central planning GosPlan aspect to it. To my mind, that's doubly wrong. One should not wilfully blind self to the reality. (however unpalatable it maybe.) If you don't like the conclusions like "central planning" (I don't!)—well work on that then. Given the level of monopoly and cartels in the system already (mostly per industry)—maybe it's to a greater extent than we care to admit already centrally planned rn! Admitting to the GosPlan problem is the first step towards changing it, hopefully for the better.
Private (bank) money. Richard Werner has researched and run an observational study (spent time in a bank credit office), and written books and articles https://perplexity.ai/search/princes-of-yen-prof-warner-qiFldXIrS7CsjAIeinMbUg#1 I see there is a web site https://professorwerner.org now. (at some point noticed a "Prof Werner" X acc; I thought an impersonator; then during covid acc went vaxcrazy imo; allow it possible it was the original going "Ignaz Semmelweis"; can see how that happens to a person driven to telling the truth; in an environment hell bent on lying.)
HTH.
8:12 AM · Mar 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901759825370918954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah what a bombshell! Federal USG runs a fiat currency called USD! Comedy hour, MAGA stumbling onto the workings of a fiat currency. 😂 Witnessing real-time education—a privilege ngl. 😆 (what did the good senator think happens after the Appropriation Bills votes for years shall remain a mystery.)
Next bombshell incoming: USG does not raid the Tesla shops, does not help itself with paper dollars from their registers. Neither does USG raid their Excel spreadsheets, to take integers out of their cells! 😂 No—USG creates integers OUT OF THIN AIR, 😱 credits the bank balances of say, the US Army members, every month.
Integers all the way down-yay! 🤯 (what a time to be alive)
Quote
https://x.com/tedcruz/status/1901646958806049204
Ted Cruz @tedcruz · 8h
An absolute bombshell from @elonmusk on the latest episode of Verdict.
He reveals there are 14 magic money computers in the federal government that send money out of nothing.
Don’t miss the latest episode of Verdict wherever you get your podcasts. Subscribe now!
Show more
10:17 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901715603250979000
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was always thus.
If you think about it - the tenured professorship in the US, where the professor can not be fired, is setup exactly in the way to allow people to speak up their mind. To not be intimidated easily. Yet not many do.
In trading/tech/business there is a concept of "Fuck You Monney". (FYM) When one is financially secure, so they can't be blackmailed to toe the line, bend the knee. Still-many don't make much with that. Most people don't have any particularly strong thoughts of their own. Just go with the flow.
None are silver bullet. People we are so weak willed. We decide to not publicly speak, what we speak privately, for the most trivial of reasons. Like a tenured professor will decide to keep quiet b/c s/he will not be invited to a dinner party. A captain of industry will care that some random journo will write a bad word on him in a random Substack.
Turns out-no matter how much your Maslow needs are taken care of and secure, there is always something to lose. Or fear sth like disapproval of, of disparagement by, people you would rather like you or rate you. Most of the time, the loss is trivial compared to what's at stake.
It's heart breaking. Oft I think of Solzhenitsyn "We know they are lying, they know they are lying, they know we know they are lying, we know they know we know they are lying--and they still lie!" when the issue of truth and speaking it up comes to mind.
7:21 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901706601309851805
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, maybe. But isn't it the case that there is simply too many posts, and not enough eyes? Back of envelope calc. I follow 5K accounts. Each acc writes 1 post a day = 5K posts/day. I login to X. X algofeed serves me 50 posts on one screen full. I check X 10 times per day = 500 posts X to show me daily. That's 500 out of possible 5K to be shown. And 4.5K will not be shown. X algo will decide which 500, out of 5K possible, will show me. Any one acc has probability 0.1 to be seen by me. Or I will see 1 post from 1 acc once in 10 days. Am I missing something?
6:46 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901703826832580821
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The power of the truth eh? As long as at least one person remains that has not been bitten into submission, a tiny flame still burning, not extinguished ash heap, hover small-there is still hope. That tiny flame to persevere against the odds, and others may join. Always a chance, even if small. We don't have final proof ofc, just preponderance balance of probabilities. Still. What a hero 🤩 @Ayjchan! Giving example and hope for many for the future.
6:34 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901690509657084362
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They don't seem to have a tiny version for speculative decoding. Is maybe some other smaller model compatible or suitable for this purpose?
Do you use speculative decoding yourself at all? What's your experience/verdict?
In LMStudio for Gemma-3 27B I have the 4B version to point LMStudio to for speculative decoding. TBF I have not bothered to measure if plugging in the smaller model and turning on speculative decoding helps in the final analysis for (speed,performance) in total. This is on MBP M2 LMStudio.
5:42 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901628474676158664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You get their eggs, they get your green pieces of paper. Poorer or richer - depends, what do you value more? The eggs, or the green paper?
If it's a free exchange, on the free will, a free decision without duress, on both sides, the fact both sides freely chose the transaction, means both sides value both sides of the transaction exactly the same. That's why the transactions happens. At the levels of eggs (number of), and the green scraps of paper (total sum), at which the exchange happens.
When your household buys eggs from the supermarket, which side benefits more? You, or the supermarket? I think both benefit about equally. Otherwise you would not be buying the eggs, and the super market won't be selling them to you, for the green bucks they exchange them for.
Countries are big places, with millions of people. So when it's said "both countries benefit", does not translate to "every single person in the 100M people that make the country is better off". It's possible some are better off, and some are worse off. It's just that it nets positive in value for the 100M people in the country as a whole. Usually with tariffs, the benefit is small, but accrues to millions of people. While the dis-benefit is large, and accrues to say thousand people.
1:35 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901623865530269901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF I don't care about media coverage as I don't consume any other media but social media. Probably a-typical but also possibly not.
I saw recently on YT a political/related interview where the audience (a very politically engaged one!) was asked "raise your hand if you watch BBC 6pm News Live" and not one hand went up!
I need my representatives to communicate 1:1 to myself. Having the PR office disseminate their information 1:N once a day or a week is a model befitting the pre-Social Media age. That model no longer suffices imo.
I'd look at US, and imo I'd be looking into the future. Something that will happen in the UK in 6-18 months. All old media have lost their audiences. New media audiences dwarf old ones in numbers by an order of magnitude.
1:17 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901619942115438977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like them too. I find it useful that when I read the highlighted words in addition to listening to a lecture, my attention does not drift away, but it's kept on the lecture, on the topic.
(otherwise, when only listening on YT, oft I find myself after 10 mins that I have drifted away thinking about something else not really listening to the lecture.)
Arguably a free user, and I am cognisant that this is taking liberties and looking a gift horse in the mouth. However, if you are looking for feedback on improvements:
1) Make the YT video and the transcript in separate frames or tabs or windows, such that I can still scroll the text down (don't mind that I need to scroll down manually; aids keeping my attention on the lecture tbh), while the video plays at the top of the browser window and I can see the video there. So I have both the video, and the running text highlighter in my view at the same time.
2) Allow for the video to take more of the space at the top of the screen. When watching a lecture like e.g.
https://appblit.com/scribe?v=70FhS6NAbuA
...I need to be able to see formulae and graphs etc.
Thanks for creating this, it's most useful.
1:01 PM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901580450285388053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IR0
10:24 AM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901478626572517783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe, given computer is a thing that does computation. And computation seems to me to be important.
I have personally come to think that information is the most fundamental thing in the universe. And that matter and energy are carriers of information. They in a sense are physical manifestations of information.
Was chuffed to hear the same on a serendipitous youtube algofeed suggest discovery just yesterday-
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
Earlier on "everything a computer" felt like people complaining while to me seems a wholy positive development tbh-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900462765074211214
3:40 AM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901468429724340458
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
UK have heard of evil flex: they have the data, know the right number, don't tell or pre-fill the the box for you, but ask you to fill. Then fine you if you put the wrong number in. Which they detect automatically, knowing what the right number is. Apparently, allegedly - didn't happen to me.
2:59 AM · Mar 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901401480797589977
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆 - the dude is useless clueless even as propagandist! This is elementary school stuff.
Every propagandist knows. Reality is something outside us, but shared by all of us, as default, and without any effort on our part. At almost zero cost zero effort. Our truth is our view on reality. (reality that remains unknown and unknowable to us.) The closer our truth is to reality, it's easier, cheaper, less effort to communicate that truth to all people.
We see this in dictatorial regimes. The regime has to expend inordinate amount of effort to construct fantastical truths very far from reality. The reality everyone experiences for free by default. The regime has to spend a lot to maintain the fiction.
The dude should think why he needs so much money and effort to be able to communicate his truth.
10:33 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901358650863632555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If Merkel were groomed/sleeper agent—what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
7:43 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901357913727197661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - thanks, I do follow my MP. That suffices for me. We are washed over by a sea of content. If the dear leader was writing his own posts—than maybe wd have given me my time. Last time I checked, looked like a PR team was in charge of his acc—so twas a pass.
7:40 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901342094918332513
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good on you criticising the government—but when are the @LibDems going to find their teeth? The country is not in a "business as usual" cca 2005 environment. Those days are gone. A multitude of crisis is washing over us. Inaction is not an option.
From outside you look like bunch of toothless sandal wearing hippie OAPS tbh. And this is coming from a voter of yours! (hi @TweetingCollins) I understand this is not in the party DNA, but but—cometh the hour cometh the man. PM @Keir_Starmer is reinventing is premiership in real time, responding to events.
Your party has chance to do better on housing, energy, industry, defence, AI—big issues of the day. Leasehold abolition is the easy win if ever were one for you—given no house builder lavishes their-ahem-"attentions" on your party. Your ideas still look stuck in the local gov potholes fixing. (not that I disparage that—it's needed and honest work, necessary but unfortunately not sufficient)
6:37 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901338279204810986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reality is something outside us, but shared by all of us, without as default, and without any effort on our part. At zero cost, at zero effort. The closer our side's truth, that is our side's view of that reality, (that shall remain forever unknown and unknowable to us,), the close that truth is to reality, it's easier, cheaper, less effort to communicate that truth to all of us humans.
You see this in dictatorial regimes, where the regime has to expend inordinate amount of effort, to construct a truth completely detached from the reality everyone experiences for free by default. The regime has to spend a lot to maintain the fiction. And as time goes by, it's ever harder to band-aid the cracks appearing.
You should think on, why you need so much money and effort to be able to communicate your truth to everyone.
6:22 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901333274128982199
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OT: have you seen this?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
Is there something on Brilliant to teach me what these Q-numbers are? (this looked something that may get into my thick skull after all.) So curious to find some more.
Only quantum-anything that ever made any headway in me is Lecture 9 I'm sorry to report - this one
https://scottaaronson.com/democritus/lec9.html
youtube.com
Decoding quantum reality - with Vlatko Vedral
Explore the deepest quantum questions about the Universe.Watch the Q&A here (exclusively for our Science Supporters): https://youtu.be/sWNv3V3-vDgBuy Vlatko'...
6:02 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901330119404454011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not disagreeing with the need for UK to change policy on energy, but:
For anyone reading: the graph above IS A RESULT OF THE OP PARTY POLICIES OVER 10 YEARS while they were in power until recently.
You do yourself no favours. For until you acknowledge your FAIL-s—it's impossible to take anything you say seriously. Not acknowledging mistakes, is another way of saying: all was well, and in the same circumstances, we will do exactly the same thing again.
No!
5:50 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901316922915917847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. I have learned by now that people failing to process words like
> It don't want to fight a war. And don't want my sons to fight one either. Ukraine war is not my war.
...are terminally stupid, *not* in the sense of they have low IQ or inability to to think rationally—no, their rational faculties are just fine. But it's that their morality system is deficient, they are immoral. What they think of good, the rest of us think as bad. And vice versa.
So no amount of my explaining that helping Ukrainians fight their war and win, is going penetrate their shell of immorality. For the benefit of any other users that stumble on this thread this is what I have in mind-
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897242881636630947
4:57 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901313892011196739
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well that was magisterial on part of KK. 👏 Could not agree more with the ideas articulated. And with gems like "woke-left virtue signalling, woke-right vice signalling" 😆 he is spoiling us rotten, ngl! Thanks for giving the KK space. Kudos, more power to @KonstantinKisin, hope we see more of him in the future.
4:45 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901310321588896216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Anonymous account accusing others of virtue signalling. 😂 Only on the the Internet.
I take virtue in preference to vice fwiw. Only—I'm not signalling. I am saying explicitly what I think. I'm not giving some mystery signals for others to decode in secret. The current Russia state ideology puts Russia on a trajectory towards "Russian army washing their boots in the English channel" as @KonstantinKisin rightly remarked.
I have seen warring. It don't want to fight a war. And don't want my sons to fight one either. Ukraine war is not my war. Tbf to Ukrainians—none of them are asking us, to fight their war. (should anyone decide to, for ideas and ideals, are ofc welcome, and more power and glory to those brave souls; thanks for providing the link) Ukrainians are asking us, for 3 years now, to assist them with weapons. That's it! For us to produce and give them weapons, the more the better, so they themselves repel their invaders.
Ukraine prevailing in their fight is in my interest. So helping them win is in my interest, in addition to being the right thing. For if Russia is to take over Ukraine, it will absorb the battle hardened Ukraine army. Then position their next dear leader in Belarus, after that human potato Lukashenka finally croaks. Then unite Russia + Ukraine + Belarus in a Greater Russia. Then they will make their next move West. And than the war will become if not mine, then my sons war. Even long before Russians get to "wash their boots in the English channel".
Tbf my "coward" referred to your anonymity. Like putting words out, but without taking responsibility. Shielded by the invisibility cloak of anonymity. (c.f. Slashdot's "anonymous coward") I'm mystified by the level of cowardice, ngl. It's not like you are posting your opinions from Russia, so to be afraid of a flight from a 3-rd floor window or some such??
4:31 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901281503465628013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is none. There is though systematic use of useful idiots, cowards, crooks, assorted bed wetters, to achieve aims like subjugation of the near-abroad cheaper than otherwise would be the case. Nutniks are the new govnojeds. Explained magisterially -
https://x.com/slantchev/status/1901279043372433494
Quote
Branislav Slantchev @slantchev · 2h
This here is a prime example of the type of orientalism upon which many in the national security establishment are forming their opinions about Russia and end up being terrified into self-deterrence and appeasement.
Russia is NOT threatened by the West militarily. Their own x.com/conservawonk/s…
Show more
2:36 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901268230234141052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have come to think that the current AI, and the future hoped for ASI creation, is teaching us that compute transforming: data → information → knowledge → intelligence → agency → ... is all there is to it. All that ever was to it! Another bitter lesson. We just lacked ambition in scale.
AI path opened now to AGI and latter ASI where previously we didn't see any for many decades. Seems foolish to me to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times-it, by another x10-20x times, the total human wealth as value, the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s.
Frustrate for what? So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders?? That's even self-own by those better-off shareholders, given the opportunity cost! Every one of us is richer, better off, than any king of old. Louis XVI was in many many ways worse off than any one of us. (think dentistry-surgery-anaesthesia)
I wish the TBPR TechBro Progressive Right took time off the chainsaw DOGE antics and slashed and burned the "IP" laws to the ground. Now that would really be society changing. (previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833)
Anyways—"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt", or in the language of the future not the past-
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
1:44 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901263828412735857
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Things that looked to me "inexplicable stupidity" became less inexplicable and more "ah, stupid—but I understand how and why" once I stumbled upon the follow-on to Cippola's definition of stupid (=="stupid is a person causing loss, pain, suffering to others, for no gain to himself, even at a small personal loss") by Bonhoeffer, that summarised is 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ, it's thinking something is good, that rest of us find to be bad; and 2) it's social, like a mind virus (hi Elon) occurring in humans groups more than individuals.
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897164196845850891)
1:26 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901260905096114243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An anonymous coward opining with absolute certainty on things few can know with much certainty.
I loved the @KonstantinKisin analogy. Was the American Revolution a French conspiracy? A secret plot by Louis XVI? A ploy rather than a plot I'd think it more reasonable.
X is good in a way reminding us daily that 1/2 of us all can hold 1 idea in our heads only, and for 1/2 of those, it's the same idea all our lives.
1:14 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901242740639215632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...I'd like to acknowledge that, but I can't, because then I'd also be acknowledging my own imperfection, and I can't have that, of course. ;-)
12:02 PM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901241717279412725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good! Thanks! Small nit—first time tried, it used up all of my free tokens allowance. So now with 1M tokes used, not sure what fallback I got. Don't see a PAYG offer for extra tokens? Similar searches across googlean labyrinths have ended in various rabbit holes, with myself giving up after hitting a personal stop loss of time I'm willing to spend on the issue. That I'm loathe to try it this time. (sorry)
11:58 AM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901221034658877843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I for one wish you don't sell out. (even if I can't support you with my $$$) Unless you absolutely are desperate for food and shelter. If you have that, then with the freedom for you to speak and write out your mind as you feely please, looks like plenty to like about ones life.
So that you know—here is +1 for essays like
https://daveshap.substack.com/p/a-post-labor-economics-manifesto
...that I spread the word about with likes, shares etc whenever opportunity arises.
Putting this here explicitly—as one never knows what the Algofeed God relays to the other side. Including of course (irony of our predicament not lost on me) that I can never be certain if this reply ever reaches your screen too.
You dilemma is an old one I feel. You are not the first one to wrestle with this. I hope that modern age offers options more gentle and agreeable to the creator than what was available in the past.
10:36 AM · Mar 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901060754263937027
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OP is making a claim about the *human brain*. You are replying with counter-claims about *universe and everything*.
About the human brain: the neural networks, that are also known as parallel distributed processing (PDP), were explicitly modelled on and inspired by what we know about the human brain workings. Not by accident—but explicitly so. Lookup the "McCulloch-Pitts neuron (1943)". Here is McCulloch
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wawMjJUCMVw
Quite the piece of history there. Shirtless shoeless character of unflinching gaze looking like it's his last day, soaking his cigarette with gusto. 😂 Born in the 19-th century no less.
Also inserting a video of a Hinton lecture talking about exactly that.
About the claim "Universe is a computer". I wouldn't go that far. I have personally come to think that information is the most fundamental thing in the universe. And that matter and energy are carriers of information. They in a sense are physical manifestations of information. I watched a lecture by a someone who is into quantum-this-and-that and the dude claimed exactly that - here
https://youtube.com/watch?v=70FhS6NAbuA
As for describing the universe with the most complicated machine we got. That's the limit to our current abilities in abstract thinking (atm a computer). To me that business looks logical and desirable? No shame in that. Wrote earlier about that here
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900462765074211214
Geoffrey_Hinton_-_Will_digital_intelligence_replace_biological_intelligence_-_Romanes_Lecture_-_Oxford-20240824.mp4
11:59 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1901007773527048615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Substack - check Substack for longer form and higher SNR.
Go there now, subscribe, follow everything you get suggested. Cut back latter when you fill with more than you are comfortable with. There is another world out there. Supplementing, not replacing the quantas of ideas that is X.
I never cared much about Substack. Once links deboosting got afoot, I got motivated. (you are not going to tread on me mister; that's cr*p I don't have to take.) Silver linings etc 😇
Quote
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1900219206710551020
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Mar 13
Please post feedback for improving the 𝕏 algorithm in replies. Be as specific as possible and include examples.
8:29 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900964903890080045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes we do. Obviously I'm healthy and all is good, so ofc it's all totally entirely my achievement. What else can it be? What else is there but myself?? The strength of my character, my beautiful body, my industriousness, my brilliant thinking, all the things I did in the past and do every second of every day, to achieve this. My stellar performance is all me-Me-MEE!! Genes-shmenes, environment-shenvironment, random cosmic rays - pfffft, that's all cr*p!! That's excuse by the weaklings, the weak in character, weak in body, weak minded too. Me myself and I—it's all us, we are in control! 🤪🤡
(calm down dears, it's ironic, I don't actually think the above)
5:38 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900918710124073008
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's a very very stupid request. For US will never risk nuclear annihilation for Poland. Putin can nuke Warsaw, and life in NewYork, Washington, San Francisco and Los Angeles will proceed just fine. Did Poland learn nothing from "security guarantees from powerful allies, but which are too far away to help much in time, so not really deterring your enemies" already? (khmkhm1939)
Only way this is not stupid is to get a clear NO from US. That way a possible obstacle on the path to Poland + Nordics + Baltics developing their own nuclear deterrent is removed. For anything else but very own deterrent is not deterrent. Putin is not deterred from attacking Poland by fear of US. As he doubts—as any reasonable person would doubt—that US will risk nuclear war for Poland. (or any other country for that matter.)
2:35 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900916227100287285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@AskPerplexity
Does PayPal charge fees on inactive UK accounts? Is there a difference between business and personal account maybe? Does it draw the existing PayPal balance to zero only, or will PayPal charge my credit card an annual fee for inactive account?
2:25 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900881690320363555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like this aspect of libertarian framing of taxes and public spending: I am taking from someone at the point of the gun. I the government, using my monopoly on violence (ultimately—death), take from someone by force. Something they would rather use to feed their kids. It's not like they give it to me voluntarily, on their own volition. I take it by force. So I have extra special obligation there. What I take, to not be wasted. What I take, to be spent better, than that person would have spent it themselves.
That's quite a high bar. It pains me to read otherwise reasonable people, and or friends, when they say "ah it's only 100M p.a; ah it's just a rounding error."
I think—how much tax did you pay last year? Did you pay 20K say? Ok 20K. Can you imagine how much easier your life would be, if you had those extra 20K available to you? Like—everything stays the same, everything those taxes otherwise buy—in most general sense that's most of the the modern world—nothing changes there. The only change is—you got those 20K extra discretionary spending power at your disposal. Now think conversely—how much grief (if not hardship) lacking those 20K caused you.
Now—everything you though and felt, imagine it's 5000 people, not only yourself. That's the 100M p.a. Chagos. 5000 People like yourself. That's a small town, esp if you scale to be 1-in-household. It's not nothing. Much sweat (if not tears) is spent to gain much less than that.
12:08 PM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900876865042010598
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seeing is believing! Indeed. This seems actually one area of dystopian level brain washing that looks to me to be win-win, positive both for the individual and the society.
11:48 AM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900847148305993956
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
MAD desired not real outcome—ofc, but I find it "a distinction without difference". This is something about the future, can't be otherwise.
The "destruction" part—I'd say, it depends. If Nordics + Poland + Baltics join forces, and build enough devices and big ones. (fusion in addition to fission.) I recall the Annie Jacobsen book and e.g. this interview
https://youtube.com/watch?v=GXgGR8KxFao
about the destructive power of modern atomic devices. So that may go towards "assured" in MAD.
But sure there are plenty of references (thanks @grok!) to "survivability, 2nd strike, achieving favourable outcome" and similar, to support the thesis "US/Russia think they can win a nuclear war" too.
9:50 AM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900837335471714418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - the flattery I have noticed it before. Thought to myself: ah, this maybe partly the reason why Claude is such a hit with the word-smiths that produce acres of texts. Why so beloved by wordcels. 😁
One surprising thing social media revealed to me that I didn't know before. How many of us, and how much, we want to tell the world about our inner world. So we write a billion of posts every day here, day after day. It's just flowing, no end in sight.
9:11 AM · Mar 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900597265011527913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...or even Americans being English, for speaking English. 😶
5:17 PM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900594979342283099
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. I wish we had better theory of information flows in human networks. Would dearly like to know the total amount of knowledge, collectively all together. At various ratios of individual computation versus communication and sharing of information giving rise to knowledge.
5:08 PM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900589911490678851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is there data or any measurements on measures of the faculties for communication and or empathy, over the same period?
Human intelligence is collective, not individual. Our head meat-space, needs to be allocated between 1) Individual unit supporting faculties - memory, computation; and 2) Collective group supporting faculties - communication, empathy.
Maybe lately the culture is shifting more towards group faculties, at the expense of the individual ones? Any possible change can only be culture, can't be straight meat-space.
This is not the first time, no? Afaik Neanderthals had bigger cranium than Sapiens. Reasonable to assume that individually in problem solving or reasoning, avg Neanderthal wd better the avg Sapiens? Yet—Neanderthals were out-competed by the Sapiens to extinction.
4:48 PM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900505159857586221
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My personal prejudice is this.
Human intelligence is collective, not individual. Our head meat-space, needs to be allocated between 1) Individual unit supporting faculties - memory, computation; and 2) Collective group supporting faculties - communication, empathy.
To test this hypothesis, one would seek data on some measures of the faculties for communication and or empathy, over the same period.
This is not the first time, no? Afaik Neanderthals had bigger cranium than Sapiens. Reasonable to assume that individually in problem solving or reasoning, avg Neanderthal wd better the avg Sapiens? Yet—Neanderthals were out-competed by the Sapiens to extinction.
If it makes you feel better—human stupidity is also collective. This is as good a day as any to share a most excellent @skdh episode on the topic-
Sabine Hossenfelder "Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
11:11 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900492783615385779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh—"one causing harm, loss and pain to othesr, for no personal gain, even at a small loss, is said to act stupid; stupidity is not low IQ or lacking rational faculties, but lacking morals; thinking of something bad as being good; it's also more a collective phenomenon than and individual one, a mind virus". For the benefit of the many (unfortunately too many) readers of yours.
richard-sutton-intelligence-cooperation-and-human-flourishing-prg-ai-mar2025.mp4
10:22 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900490619392319528
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If true—and IK we are unlikely to learn any time soon beyond balance-of-probability type judgement call—and given no-one was punished, both for the initial crime and especially the subsequent coverup, presumably the next Covid, say Covid-29, is being cooked in BSL-x labs as we are writing this.
Ngl imo at this point only Nuremberg-style trials will do. To drill into the thick thick skulls of the politicians and bureaucrats and—the most disappointig of all!—scientists, in power and yet to come, a healthy fear from the wrath of a revolting public.
While accidents do happen, this particular lab leaking was not unexpected. The "I'm The Science" cabal in positions of power betrayed us, abused our trust. They said one thing in public, then said opposite things in private between themselves. They conspired like mafiosi. Punishment is warranted.
10:14 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900487745849442453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given no-one was punished, both for the initial crime and especially the subsequent coverup, presumably the next Covid, say Covid-29, is being created as we are writing this.
Ngl imo at this point only Nuremberg-style trials will do. To drill into the thick skulls of the politicians and bureaucrats in power yet to come, a healthy fear from the wrath of a revolting public.
10:02 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900481767158538654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Net zero is sinking the ship, throw Milliband overboard. (save your premiership.) People on the pic look cult disciples tbh. Irrational dunderheads should not wield power over us.
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
9:38 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900479413050876132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, for me RealRameSurname, or NickButPersistenInTime accounts seem like a reasonable proxy for "a real human, with real name or genuine anon" filter for the time being?
But yeah—I'm surprised how blaze X has been refusing to give us tools (not solving the problem themselves—just giving us humans tools!) to curate our own feeds?
Doubly surprised, b/c 1) Once us humans in a distributed manner do initial pass on filtering, X can train models; and 2) Bots don't have bank accounts, they will hurt X $$$ ultimately. Even if short-term bots may boost human engagement, humans learn about the bots, then disengage.
9:29 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900477192213049359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Neither am I. I got and like my roof solar and battery. The self-use is about 40%. (with extra battery may get to 50%-considering...) That's average, over the year, with extremes - worst in winter 0%, best in summer 100%.
It was a good learning experience too. I refreshed my EE-knowledge: 1) Everything that is consumed must be produced, supply matching demand, not on average over a day or an hour—but every moment every second of every day. 2) Go reminded to mind my difference between - a kWh of energy, from a MW of power. And 3) the fun with the "three phases" of electricity.
Having said that. Instead of pocketing their victory and moving on with their lives, the Puritan NetZero Taliban seem hell bent on destroying us and destroying their achievement too in the process it seems?? For every subsequent halving of what remains, costs about as much as all the prior investment up to that point.
9:20 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900466941073989886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
uh-oh, causes-consequences fafo; we need to tar, feather and expunge from public life these grifters making our lives worse than they need be
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
8:40 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900462765074211214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Saw it was "Everything is a computer" appreciation day yesterday. People chiming out of their cuckoo clocks, announcing a transition away from the mechanistic universe. TBS if one-off before retreating back to the safety of their mechanistic toys, or a wider mind shift—a new meme finally taking hold of our heads.
Atm computer and computing is the best abstraction we got at our disposal. Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful. Ofc we should use it. It would be silly not to.
I can see how and why we people object to changing metaphors: "The wheel" → "The word" → "Mechanical clock" → "Computer." But to my mind—doh, of course we update our model of the world around us. (NB: We're talking about our model of the world, not the world itself. Good to keep a bit of distance at all times, not get too uppity; it keeps us on our toes.) Would we prefer we didn't? My only objection is it takes us an awfully long time, tbh! (pic with chronology)
Everything is best abstracted by the most powerful machine we have at our disposal at any given time. (like using a bigger model that fits better.) A computer is a better abstraction than a mechanical clock for the Universe. The mechanical clock was better than "The word," and "The word" was better than "The wheel." That’s presumably why we switch—each new abstraction serves us better. It's not a slight on humanity—it's the ok thing to do.
I would dearly like to know what comes after the computer? (even if already privileged to see the "everything is computer" in my lifetime.) Yeah "we made sand think" is much joy and fun, but nagging suspicion "The computer" will soon be shown inadequate. For that process of humanity fitting ever bigger and better model to the world around us, while still falling short too, is also telling us: the world around us is still more powerful! (and interesting.)
wheel-word-mech-info-TL.jpeg
8:23 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900440452857282934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Allow me to filter out accounts that are not- : single real human, or pseudo-anon with stable in time nick. Don't want any bits ever from "user" "abcd12345" pass through my eyes, enter the meat space, reduce brain weights snr. Give me tools to stop that invasion.
6:54 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900431041774420333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My uneducated guess is - the curse of overeducation. 😆 It takes a lot of education to browbeat common sense out of people. Doesn't come naturally or easily. I suspect lots of effort went to twist someone's logic and reasoning so they appear frankly insane to the rest of us.
6:17 AM · Mar 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900324978244878443
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lovely lecture by @RichardSSutton, a great listen-
Richard Sutton "Intelligence, Cooperation, and Human Flourishing"
richard-sutton-intelligence-cooperation-and-human-flourishing-prg-ai-mar2025.mp4
11:15 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900325229777371327
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Source -
http://prg.ai meetup: Tomáš Mikolov in a conversation with Rich Sutton https://youtu.be/bGi1jKL4OEo?si=r2D7OD51pUQaKobU via @YouTube
youtube.com
prg.ai meetup: Tomáš Mikolov in a conversation with Rich Sutton
For the fourth time, prg.ai hosted its flagship event, bringing together leading minds in artificial intelligence. This installment featured a compelling tal...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bGi1jKL4OEo
11:16 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900316884416807188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have been there before: a bird versus a plane. Both have pros- and cons-. Similar, but different too. Both have wings. But planes don't flap theirs.
10:43 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900186968727634372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't, sorry. There is not one single way afaik. There was rarely complete language support that solves all issues completely in the past. Maybe things are better now. In absence of complete language, database etc support everywhere, one fallbacks to self-discipline.
Personally, I got a rule to have in the name of a datetime type variable some indication, say _UTC or _Local, to indicate to the reader, (probably future me,) that I have thought about the TZ issue. And what I decided, what's the resolution, what kind of datetime is in that variable.
If it's not indicated, I'd assume UTC. But maybe also a code smell, that the code writer didn't consider the TZ. If _Local, then I have to find a way to carry the info to what location of that locality is. To record the "Europe/London" elsewhere in some way. If _UTC, then there is no need for that.
My point was that I've found that I it's useless to record BST or GMT as that is almost never needed. Ofc, one can convert from "Europe/London", and map that to "BST" (1/2 of the year, when we have DST in force), or "GMT" (the other 1/2 of the year, when we have regular time or winter time without DST). But my point is-we almost never care about that the timezone. Usually, it's either "UTC", or "local" and what "location" it is at.
2:07 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900179470671118553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The CON party that hired him (Osborne?) for BoE governor lost their election in their worst result in history probably. With the economy being within top-3 issues for most voters. Obv there are many factors, he had a long tenure. But did not leave the UK economy in great shape.
1:37 PM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900105740158668923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great find. So the super-organism that is the human society, thinks in pictures, runs on emotions, synchronises the clock by memes repetition, in shapes of multiple hierarchical pyramids with top-down authorities.
8:44 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900104479891947595
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Tbh on their recent track records, Oxford PhD economics grad, and executive director at Goldman Sachs, is as much a disqualifier, as it is a qualifier. The attributes indicate a person energetic and capable—yes. But for doing things bad as well as for doing things good. I have to admit without any joy of seeing it that way. (even a tinge of sadness.) Carney was not a great success as a BoE governor.
8:39 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900103294753649063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, sort of. We need both. Choice looks orthogonal to certainty to me.
We need certainty to survive. To keep on living—we need air and heath every second, food and water every day. We need certainty. Too much uncertainty there kills us, we can only tolerate a limited amount of uncertainty there.
But we need choice to develop, for there to be something rather than nothing in the first place. That is needed upstream from us. That choice is what ultimately makes it possible for us to be born in the first place.
8:35 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900095758977704313
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely. Everything is a computer. Information theory is the most general theory we got. Knowledge is a p.d.f. Learning is acquiring a p.d.f. where previously we lacked one. Figuring out what, and how many of it. Computing is taking our knowledge, the learned p.d.f.s we got, and manipulating those p.d.f.s by either marginalisation, or conditioning, to create new p.d.f.s. These new p.d.f.s then tell us something about what what we care about but we can't observe, having observed things that are easy for us to observe, but we don't care about.
8:05 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900092737904357816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks, interesting, will read. To my mind, knowledge is specifying a probability density function p.d.f. A re-normalised histogram of qualities, where we count which ones, and how many of which one. And quality is one dimension out of N in an N-dimensional vector space.
7:53 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1900065685507579921
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Absolutely. With a proviso that a vector is a special matrix too.
2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
6:05 AM · Mar 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899969345570189340
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant: we are used to e.g. N=3, where we get data points in the middle. There centrality measures as representative single value as a proxy for the distribution makes sense.
But for high-N, in that average central middle, there are not many points. Nothing in the centre is representative of the distribution. But we still compute the centre and treat it as if it's a representative value for the distribution.
The analogy in 2D would be—say we have a bi-modal pdf, with two distinct but about equal mass bumps, some distance from each other. We compute the mean as a representative value. It falls right between the two bumps. So a very improbable value. Yet—we still treat that mean as a representative value for the pdf.
11:42 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899938233255157816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
All this stuff should be online, on http://github.us.gov, and for everyone to see and peruse to their hearts desire. And randos may even help manual data checking for random f*ckups that are most difficult to weed out in data.
It's silly DOGE concentrated on the least important stuff (saving some $$$, of which USG is never short off-that's what the deficit is for, and is inconsequential). Too bad Musk is a cretin when it comes to gov-anything, basically in a "Your country is not a company"-way.
But there is kernel of truth in their suspicion of gov obscurity hiding any number just stupid things. That is the norm, not the exception, in any system without a feedback. Too bad looks this reform opportunity will be squandered.
Previous on Radical Transparency -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1856645174975250625
9:39 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899932500308513016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
honest to god explanation, preferable to post-fact rationalisation even; re-search=re-peated search for something, anything, that works
9:16 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899908122883310029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 What a time to be alive!
For the longest time, language models detractors dismissed them with "ah, they are just stochastic parrots".
And now they are talking to parrots, detecting they are speaking to a parrot, and possibly passing even the parrot-turing test?! (maybe) 😆
Quote
https://x.com/venturetwins/status/1899862142414970934
Justine Moore @venturetwins · 3h
AI phone agent realizes it is talking to a parrot
7:39 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899905423534149833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Normies think they are replying to a computer, to a machine, not to another human. They feel nothing about the other side. Like talking to their oven-silly, right? From PoV on the other/receiving side, that way to relate comes over as rude. Even if I know it's unintentionally so.
Nerds know but also feel, that there is a human on the other side. Treat the conversation like conversing with a real human on the other side. (modulo the role the medium plays; latency expectations e.g. voice-now, sms-10 min, chat-1 hour, email-1 day.) Further human they know, not a random stranger. If they are rude-it's intentional.
Older techies are like the nerds, but barely anyone pre-Xgen. Even my mum thinks she is messaging a computer, not myself, her son of 50+ years. :-)
7:28 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899899119466156063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The politicians not only don't fear the wrath of the public. They hold us the public in contempt.
Lying mercilessly to the public and in industrial quantities used to be the Soviet Union playbook. Now it seems that cancer has spread West. Something more radical needed to concentrate the minds of politicians and civil servants. They lack fear of God anymore, with all of us not believing the white bearded Santa in the skies anymore. But they must be made to fear what comes after they stop being in power, if they are to transgress. Atm they are not punished. So they will continue with more of the same.
German spy agency concluded COVID virus likely leaked from lab, papers say https://reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/german-spy-agency-concluded-covid-virus-likely-leaked-lab-papers-say-2025-03-12/
7:03 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899898771468620108
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can Merkel's legacy go any lower? (I guess if in 100 yrs time she's outed as fsb sleeper agent)
7:02 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899866545922146807
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He should take UK lessons. 😆 We got Motability Scheme like that. He can have MAGA-bility scheme. Saving the World one Tesla at a time. Tweak eligibility such that Tesla alone fits the criteria.
4:54 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899865508976963924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah that may turn into carnage.
Or maybe nothingburger. For we have that 2 weeks out of sync gap Europe-America DST daylight savings on/off every six months. So that's kinda testing our systems, to keep us on our toes. 😁
4:50 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899851335391953254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) ok, fair about the upside-down NZ. Nah, no-UTC!-I have had enough TZ problems for a lifetime. The half-hour Australian time anyone?? Stuff of nightmares... I stick to "Geography/City" ever since I discovered that. A whole class of bugs & worries I've now forgotten about
3:53 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899849972540903518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey, recently I saw this nugget. And I know it's unwise to use the H-word online. But this seems to be a genuine historic record.
@ 16' by the excellent @TimothyDSnyder, in "A Speech to Europe 2019", the "Ecological panic" (tc in link) -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=7zs41CkIjRw&t=960s
"... Ecological Panic. Hitler's argument for why Germany had to seize what they needed before others could. Hitler said specifically that science and technology will not rescue us, we must take from others. Ecological panic. The second overall cause of the Holocaust is dehumanisation. The idea that since we must take from others, others are only valuable in so far as they can serve us".
Now the speaker was using this as an argument for more panic imo. Of the type of "the world is falling/burning/crashing/drowning" which I did not quite understand. Like-surely the message should be exactly the opposite. Don't do a-hitler. Don't scare people Savanarola-style with end-of-world prophesies.
We have had the experience of the last 80 yrs, where the world warmed up at a rate of 1.2C/century. So we should not be complacent, but neither should we lose our heads in panic. Imo the message should have been: Do encourage people to use their rational faculties. Do not give up on the idea of technology will rescue us. In fact-little else in history has rescued us from the predicaments of the human condition, but technology. So-maybe even double down on technology! To lead us out of the valley of tears.
youtube.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7zs41CkIjRw&t=960s
A Speech to Europe 2019 | Timothy Snyder - Judenplatz 1010
Why are values and standards essential? How can we live up to ‘never again’ in an era this fragile? The keynote address of American historian Timothy Snyder ...
3:48 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899842722862899431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what you refer to as "incorrect".
Like for Auckland, use "Pacific/Auckland" explicitly, is what I'm saying. Don't try to use NZDT, NZST or similar. If you are interested about time in Auckland, use "Pacific/Auckland". I'm not saying use UTC-I'm saying forget about messing with NZST NZDT DST UTC all that stuff, just use "Pacific/Auckland". B/c that's what users ever care about, and it's easily available.
3:19 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899824050081251343
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
lawyers commanding the heights of society
incentives, consequences
2:05 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899823210155200779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sounds good to me! Every one next one, was a better abstraction than the previous one. Bring it on-the computer model to *everything*. :-) Given we are fairly short of perfection-seems there is lots of road untraveled yet there.
2:02 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899822528773669132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. What other better abstraction we got at our disposal atm? Computer is the latest-greatest, most powerful. Ofc we are to use it.
Everything can be best abstracted with the most powerful machine we got at any given time. (like a bigger model that can be made to fit better.) Computer is a better abstraction then a mechanical clock for the Universe. And mechanical clock was better than "the word". And "the word" was better than "the wheel". So what comes after the computer, will improve on that. It's not a slight on humanity-it's the reasonable thing to do.
And yet and yet-it's still inadequate, right? So that process of humanity fitting ever bigger and better model to the world around us, while still falling short of perfection, is also telling us: the world around us is more powerful! (still!?)
1:59 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899819528479035779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The politicians not only don't fear the wrath of the public. They hold us the public in contempt.
Lying mercilessly to the public and in industrial quantities used to be the Soviet Union playbook. Now it seems that cancer has spread West. Something more radical needed to concentrate the minds of politicians and civil servants. They lack fear of God anymore, with all of us not believing the white bearded Santa in the skies anymore. But they must be made to fear what comes after they stop being in power, if they are to transgress. Atm they are not punished. So they will continue with more of the same.
1:47 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899817391820886182
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doubt it will get to agreeing even the 30 days. More likely, Russia will come back with some condition, like "Zelensky is to resign", or "Ukraine to disband half the army", as a pre-condition to cease-fire.
Remember: always demand everything, don't ask, demand. Do not back down. If you persevere long enough, there will always appear someone, on the other side, that will give you 1/2, or 1/4, of what you demand. Then you will end up pocketing that 1/2 or 1/4, even before any negotiations start.
That's how you end up with the largest land mass in the whole world, as your country. Always demand more. Do not ask-demand. Sounds crazy (to aim for more land), but also reasonable (if you only care about the land and nothing else).
1:38 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899814965583675895
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That maybe, but it's not the only thing.
Those around him see strong USD a benefiting Wall Street, but disbenefiting re-industrialisation. Weaker USD is also part of the plan. Also "Trump crazy"-sell-US/D is a factor pushing in the direction of the plan.
Same reason they got nothing against the USG backed crypto scheme. Say USG had a USD 1:1 backed stable coin. (USC? USN?) Then foreigners holding USD outside of the US (another factor pushing for US budget deficits), can be incentivised to sells USD buy USN (the USG coin), thus pushing for lower fx for USD. (also easing pressure on USG budget deficit)
And of course weaker USD makes imports more expensive, reduces imports. And the usual risk of importing inflation via importing more expensive energy is mitigate by US being largely energy self-sufficient. (even exporting)
1:29 PM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899694379193032944
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For me it all clicked and TZ stopped being a nuisance source of pain after realising always always use geographic designations exclusively. Care not about BST or GMT, care not about DST. Do care for Europe/London. That's it. Any reference of, or dependence on BST GMT DST is a code smell. Get rid of it. The user always cares about Europe/London only.
5:30 AM · Mar 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899488481207861753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He will blame Ukraine unfortunately. Never a bad word about Putin. Neither him, nor Musk. It's like "omerta", like "don't mention the war". The first rule of the Putin fan club: you never mention Putin.
3:51 PM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899478819926323220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you like that, you may like this. A derivation of the result, by (looking at the photo) @stootoon. It goes through all the detailed steps in the derivation.
"Random vectors in high dimensions are nearly orthogonal" by Sina Tootoonian
youtube.com
Random vectors in high dimensions are nearly orthogonal
In this video we do some back of the envelope calculations to show that random vectors in high dimensions tend to be orthogonal.
3:13 PM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899446590454083615
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's unfortunate that our intuition about how the space fills, that we build on examples from our physical world where N=2 or N=3, is not only inadequate, but outright deceptive to us. Those things for high-N, stand exactly the opposite, to how they are, for low-N. Various measures of centrality, that we think of as representative, are actually not representing what we hope they are.
In N-dimensional space, for sufficiently large N, every N-point, is an outlier. In that N-space, the space moves in the corners. There is little space left in the centre. We know this from seeing the ratio of N-ball to N-cube N-volume measures drop quickly towards zero with increasing N.
1:05 PM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899410843550339545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 yep! - much appreciated you are selling mostly white pills! 😁 way too many black pills sellers out there! 😰
10:43 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899407386864996580
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is the way!
Refuse to comply with rank idiocy.
Here we are like in the Havel's "The Power of the Powerless" world. Only ours is virtual world online not offline, and limited to X not totalitarian. But yes - same lessons apply.
Do not yield. And especially do not yield pre-emptivelly. If you have to absolutely bend your spine, make sure you extract some price from your tormentor.
Further, with the FYM - Fuck You Money at your disposal, you can afford plenty of hits. You can do much much better, for yourself first and foremost, but also for the rest of us too. Better then simply hill climbing the local maximum.
10:29 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899403706962948487
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reading the above, it strikes me as maybe not a coincidence, (while not a conspiracy either,) that UK ended with more for lawyers, and less for everyone else, with lawyers commanding the heights of the society. Incentives are a life force, do not require need explicit intention.
10:15 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899389211557388671
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They choose different priorities, every time. To govern is to choose. They chose poorly. To my mind that made them lazy, useless, entitled, good for nothing much, time wasters. That's worse than it seems at first sight, as time is one thing we are hard imited on.
9:17 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899387683438244054
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By this rate of increasing energy cost, yourself personally set a course to Farage becoming UK PM in 4yrs time. You are like the bad Bismarckian general—stupid yet energetic. Hope Starmer's sense of self preservation kicks in sooner rather than latter and fires you soon enough.
9:11 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899380021224931680
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure, but "no benign" does not equal "end of the world with 100% certainty by year 2125". Further, the logic connecting the outcome to the present actions via the the "precautionary principle" is just that, a general "principle", a guide, a "rule of thumb".
Using the same principle and "no benign" and the same weak logic I can just about justify everything. People just use that to propose "solutions" that solve nothing. That are their favourite hobby horses that do not solve whatever problem they have in mind. That's a poor way to lead. The elite should not be putting personal whims as a top priority.
And in the process, re-running a chain similar to hitlerian 1-2-3 Lebensraum ecological panic logic outlined in the TDS speech. Now re-reading the chain, I see even "the ends justify the means". That should trigger alarm bells in us, strikes me being a bad idea. For ends that are in the future, "I beseech you think it possible you may be mistaken" always comes to my mind.
UK we run the experiment of decarbonising our electricity grid in the past 15yrs. The results are in. Households and businesses have had their bills triple. Imo that's a major factor in being on track to elect as PM our very own Trump-like caesar in 3 years time. There is no country in the world that is both rich, and does not use much energy.
UK could have done what France did half a century ago and decarbonised electricity with nuclear. Proven technology, cheaper than our current one, works without question, zero carbon. But, when choosing between a solution, and a hobby horse, our innumerate leaders went for the fashion of the day.
Wind and solar are expensive when the need to be 100% reliable is factored in. Hence the need for subsidies etc. I have rooftop solar + batteries myself, know my kWh energy from MW power, know that national grid needs to balance every second of every day. There is not one country in the whole world, with *both* significant wind+solar *and* cheap electric energy. Not one.
(side note: I see you are using Grok to expand your thinking, and I commend that; you may want to check magisterial @karpathy tutorials on "how should I think about these things given how they work under the hood" aimed any non-specialist us, this https://youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI and the next one too; they are long but worth it and can be watched in start-pause instalments)
no-low-energy-rich-ctry.jpeg
climate-policy-dont-do-uk-price.jpeg
no-cheap-green-electricity.jpg
8:41 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899261247024996619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes but the non-linear tipping points are the hardest to predict so while certainly they are not impossible—it's impossible to forecast them with any accuracy. In the end forecasting ends up equivalent to "8B will die, therefore anything I want done is moral imperative we should do it no questions asked".
The idea "no benign warming" invites "benign to whom?" Obviously Earth had periods with higher CO2 and higher temperature and plenty of life on Earth. The fossil fuels we are digging out and whose CO2 we are returning back into the atmosphere by burning them—come from such high CO2 periods.
IMO when forecasting the more prudent, the less exciting, the more accurate. I'd stick to the IPCC reports about possible consequence. Tipping points etc are low probability high consequence events similar to asteroid hitting Earth, nuclear war etc. About zero confidence of accuracy of such forecasts tbh. I do forecasting for a living so got some appreciation of the challenges for these specific types of future events.
12:49 AM · Mar 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899248390371733952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bad morals, not low IQ. Bad moral values. Think of the absent father situation of all these remote-conception children. What does a kid want and need most from a parent? Love. How is love communicated? By spending time with them, giving them our time. In a way—our time & attention is the most sincere gift to give. How much time & attention can a father give to ~20 remote children while running all these companies, and now even government? Not much—is my prejudice.
11:57 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899240974729068646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have had 1.2C-per-100-years degrees warming in the past 80yrs, and we are not dead yet. So yeah—various bad things may happen in the future, but also it's possible they will not. Our world now is better in many ways to the world 80yrs ago when I look at the Our World In Data collected stats.
For all the catastrophists I think—have you considered that your forecast about the future maybe wrong? What is the cost then? Assuming 8B billion will be dead is a very comfortable position to be in for the person making the claim. Because then—anything is justified.
Not just justified—but a moral imperative. Murder 4B in order to save 4B Thanos style? Justified—but notice how it hinges on being 100% correct forecast about the future. And future by definition can never be forecast by 100% certainty. So no—I'm not in favour of that kind of thinking, sorry.
11:28 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899208549160648846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Two wrongs don't make one right.
Neocons were wrong pursuing Imperial foreigner wars. They were lying stupidos achieving great harm at great cost.
Your are similarly wrong now thinking Russia will ever cross over to your side. The military exercise in the title is not "despite", but "because". Reagan had the right idea. All admins since have been wrong. All too soft, as shown by zero results from their "resets". Trump will get the same result, pursuing the same policy.
The side doing "Give me Freedom or Give me Death" is the right side for the US. Whatever their name, flag etc. Now and in the future. America is the land of freedom. Anything else-is a poor fit for the US.
9:19 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899204308156965288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa!!! 👏👍💪🤯
If I didn't know better cd have mistaken this for a pic of Dr Who in front of the "movie No.10 door" across the entrance to the Adelphy Building off The Strand 😁
9:02 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899183746122715601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for that! Interesting so far - but will have to listen again. (oow-now Leszek Kolakowski quote in the end; loved "Heavens' keys" and "Conversations With the Devil" ages ago)
Have all the time in the world for @TimothyDSnyder. Read "Bloodlands" and liked it. Listening to his speech, I thought "Hitler's Empire" was his, but suspecting "is it?" and checking now I find and also remembered it's by Mark Mazower. (also recommend)
Had forgotten about The Third Reich being an empire, but of course it was. In his speech, noticed this - 1) Hitler expanded the Lebensraum b/c of ecological panic 2) Ecology was bad and science and technology was not going to solve it; so 3) Germans had to take from others.
So while agree with his view. In my mind, his historic lesson additionally resonated additionally with this: by creating an ecological panic around global warming, the more quasi-religious fringes of the modern ecological movements that reject any hint of technological solution and adaptation are "history riming not repeating". For the cost of their "solutions" that don't actually solve anything, is driving the voters in the warm bosoms of the Caesars TDS rightly badmouths and fears.
I bid you good bye and good luck with this Mea Culpa I heard recently and thought long overdue-
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David Brooks
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
7:41 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899151842166382939
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah, you mean following 4K accounts is too many. Yes I agree. It happens this way.
When I think something is worth forwarding, I typically click Follow this account. My thinking is - if they wrote something I found worth enough to forward, it was something interesting to me, and if they did it in the past, maybe they will do it in the future.
Now, most of the time that does not pan out. So I'd have to go through the list, and Unfollow some past accounts. And I do from time to time, open the list of Follows, and ask myself "do I recall this account, do I remember reading something interesting", and where the answer is No, I Unfollow.
However, it's a chore, uninteresting manual labour, so not done very often. Plus, I noticed that X Algofeed has become more atuned to my interests. So out of 100 accounts, the algofeed will show me posts from 30 that interest me. I don't have to unfollow the other 70 to tell the algofeed "don't show me their posts".
I only have to keep curating the say 5-10 out of 100 that I disagree with, annoy me, or I would not willingly chose to read as they are less than pleasant to my current thinking, but still interesting from some angle from my PoV. The 5-10% of disagreeable content one is to let in the own bubble to be able to change with times and avoid being totally closed chamber. (and end insane)
5:34 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899148567639425116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Researching the past is better than not researching, but it means little. Certainly less than people assume.
In the future: 1) Your FH may turn decide to extort you, where they didn't in the past; 2) The MA they appoint may change, start extorting you; 3) The FH may change too! (the freehold maybe sold)
So the cries of "Buyer beware" are not the silver bullet many hope they will be. Better to tell the buyer upfront: someone else will be writing the bills, and you will be paying them. Or else...
5:21 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899148567639425116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Oh yes please feel free to throw back some references at me. Recently I became aware of existence of Karl Friston theories after watching a podcast. As far as ML parts go—all he said about the mechanisms, all that has "probability density" in there, makes perfect send to me.
I have been told "the joint probability density function between two variables X and Y captures everything that there is ever to be known about the relation between those X and Y" 25 years ago by a friend, and have been thinking on those terms ever since. (e.g. https://ljubomirj.github.io/post-knowing.html)
1:11 PM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899061038429168060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—if in the real world, which is a gigantic organism of its own, it's of benefit for distributed network of independent things to exists, rather than one single blob, then: it should not be improbable, for the same to be true for thy way our brain works. For there to be an advantage, to for the brain to be architected as collection of semi-independent agents, that work independently, on their own, and then at the end one collects and collates the final result. Call that one final agent node—our conscious self. There—mystery solved. 😂 joke, joke (about solved)—but not out of mind crazy, no?
11:33 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899051844401328613
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can not comprehend how random SV person worth >$100M can complain muh-no-FU-muh. The idea is not that speaking your mind costs 0. The idea is that there is monetary $$$ cost to speaking the truth in the company of liars—but you can take the hit! That's what FU money is for. To absorb that hit. For that hit to not delete you. You still live another day, you can still speak your mind.
The SV dudes strike me as clutching their pearls too tightly. Let go of those pearly $$$ - that's what they are for. To buy you that freedom—to speak you mind.
Of course that doesn't say anything much about the ideas spoken—only that the ideas are unpopular, ostracised. But doesn't say if the ideas are good or bad, clever or stupid, interesting or boring. That would be asking too much of a simple device that FU money is, tbh.
10:56 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899021268994732503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Pa sekoj eden sto e roditel, sto ne go napustil deteto.
Isto kako i majkata? Ako ne go ostavi ne go napusti deteto, ako mu e roditel—gi stavila potrebite na deteto pred svoite.
Ili ne razbrav sto tocno e "potrebite na tatkoto". (ili majkata)
8:55 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1899016364938944607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
OMG was not aware to that side of him! 😍
Reading the above—music to my ears, balm to my soul. 😇
Thanks for posting that.
8:35 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898870187111448577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't understand why X does not give us users better tools to make bot filtering out easier. There are few low costs measures they could take to allow for that. But they never do.
10:55 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898998832123318635
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't be silly Billy, no one is going to follow you.
It's not that kind of "Follow", the X following. No one is a disciple of yours, and you are not our leader. 😁 You are just 1 of 4K I follow.
"Follow" on X is just a weak signal to the Algofeeds to upweigh the probability of showing me some post of yours when deciding which post to present on my screen.
The "iron law of N^2 network value in connections" is as true as ever. In a social network with order of magnitude less user nodes takes a month, to see as much value as one finds in one day here. Single public Agora power is exactly that.
Have you tried blocking that bastard Evil Elon? That may suffice to the Algofeeds. Now that blocking is one way read only operator, I forego mute. Block early block often shapes my feed. Use the (sadly) few tools available.
7:26 AM · Mar 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898817579801825376
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I understand. I think we are writing about two different things. I think you are referencing
> U.S. aerospace firm Maxar Technologies said on Friday it had disabled Ukrainian users' access to satellite imagery on one U.S. government platform, as U.S. President Donald Trump's administration suspends intelligence sharing with Kyiv.
https://reuters.com/world/us-aerospace-firm-maxar-disables-satellite-photos-ukraine-2025-03-07/
I knew about that. But my reference to F16 was about this
https://x.com/Bear_Faced/status/1898431053087256966
I think European's paranoia comes from their position of weakness. Europeans genuinely lack their own weapons for their own defence. A generation of feeble, dunder-headed, low-energy leaders exposed their citizens to a number of risks—energy, defence, etc. Only France has done it right. Poland, the Nordics, Germany—they need not only conventional weapons, but their own nuclear deterrent too. I can't imagine US going to nuclear exchange with Russia, if Russia were to nuke Warsaw. And if I can't—I imagine plenty of others can't too, including plenty in Russia. Once deterrent is not credible—it's not a deterrent any more, there is none.
7:26 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898810419734860174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm of course ignorant to any non-public information. IDK what the current issues are, what the disagreements are.
To me Ukraine insisting on "security guarantees" (whatever that is) seems silly. Anything signed on paper at present, only weakly binds anyone in the future anyway. And especially with a "might is right", "what cards you got to play" Trump-like admin/president/party. Ukr can do as Putin does: sign whatever, then do whatever you want anyway, regardless of what's signed.
Obviously Russia could just pause attacking, starting tonight, and peace will arrive. But reasoning from first principles: Putin is safe and sound while Russia is at war. So I don't see why Putin would be stopping this war. Or any war.
Publicly I see zero US pressure on Russia to stop. And pressure on Ukraine is implicit encouragement to Russia to keep up with the attacks and keep the war going imo.
6:57 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898805446401532286
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Support for Ukraine, and possibly Europe, is in the past. Before MAGA run the US. That was a different US it seems to me.
After all—if US decides to extort UK with "give me X or your planes will not fly", what cards does UK hold? Don't see many.
When it comes to defence—the paranoid survive. That's why everyone in the present is paranoid. The non-paranoid have been killed long time ago.
6:37 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898801518653984870
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes both sides are apart, and drifting further away fast.
Similar the way Americans think "lack of appreciation, no `thank you`-s", Europeans think "Russia will be bombing our cities and Americans will be at best standing neutral, at worst helping Russia outright".
I read of US effectively disabling F16-s donated to Ukraine by European countries. I though at once—they could do the same to the UK, (where I live) while we are under attack of Russian rockets. This is not something you'd think and worry about.
It's not trivial putting oneself in others shoes and getting their PoV. Airing disagreements in public is the surest way to amplify them.
6:22 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898782194161623359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe team-Trump is going for Volcker of sorts: engineer recession, Fed cuts IR to zero, budget item "interest on public debt" comes down, unemployed consume less so inflation checked too. Energy independence isolates US from energy imported inflation.
5:05 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898777202356793744
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣 haha - v.funny! @ LJ: explain difference between private and public debt.
LJ: in the real world where some of us lived and traded through GFC'08, and have memory longer than of a gold fish, the 2008 crisis happened b/c private debt. Private, not public.
Private loans given by private banks and shadow banking institutions to private borrowers went bad. Mostly predictably b/c they were bad loans to not credit-worthy borrowers. The oldest story in the book. The subsequent contagion when no-one could tell which bank is going to stand and which is going to fall, caused most of the banking sector to effectively go bust.
And looked like "this sucker is going down" (GWB) taking with it the real economy too. Step in the public bailing out private banking and other private industries with guarantees, loans, bailouts etc. In summary, it was private, not public debt, that went bad.
I like Dalio and recommend his "How the Economic Machine Works" animated 20 min movie as it's really good about the mechanics of markets and role of debt. But as with many financiers, he too, despite all his radical transparency self-critique maoist BS, has somewhat self-serving blind spot when ti comes to private/public debt differences.
4:45 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898769528328204391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Pain today jam tomorrow" brigade have no solid reasoning there. To assume "smaller pain now to avoid bigger pain latter", means knowing the future where "bigger pain" happens on 100% correct forecast. That's impossible. No human has been able to forecast with that accuracy. This is bullshit story.
4:15 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898747110847099230
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah—the never ending tug-of-war in this. For there are 2 sides to the issue. So there will always be someone grasping one end, and making some hay out of it, while ignoring the other end.
The opposing camps are forever telling only 1/2 of the story. The complete story is: 99.9% alternative new upstart etc ideas turn out to be wrong. However, there is 0.1% where what a maverick proposes turns out right. And that 0.1% make account for, the 100% of the new significant breakthroughs.
This is not even that difficult. A very large group of people can hold 2 ideas in their heads at the same time.
2:46 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898707262169915437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump stick will do for Europe standing up on their own feet more, than decades of pleas to that. Relying too much on American weapons for Europe, especially Central and East, effectively amounts to treason.
TBS which side UK turns. Is our destiny to be Trump golf course meets AirStripOne? Or maybe France launching their own satellites on own rockets, will spur the lazy ruling UK class to aspire for more. Ngl wd have thought 1939-1941 and Suez wd have made UK less US-starry-eyed.
12:07 PM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898702285372289238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why? I can think of—
1) Unaccountability Machine. Avoid accountability while still wielding most of the power. Plausible deniability. Can outsource to them things I'm pressured to do, should do, is the right thing to do, but I the minister don't want to do. (for whatever reason)
2) Cronyism, corruption. Bungs for in-group I-scratch-your-back-you-mine, friends, even family, soft over the table corruption conveyor belt. Especially when further institutionalised and commercialised via NGO Limited companies. (can imagine further step—corporatisation and financialization, haha 😄)
3) Blair trying to get things done. The civil service and bureaucracy will frustrate a reformer. Quick solution—build alternative structures, devolve power to them, fill them with energetic acolytes. Will get things done short term. Trouble is—without any feedback loop whatsoever, this system veers off course pretty quick.
11:47 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898692923413160343
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
IDK how many votes are in the green cr*p & the woke sh*t? Genuine ideologically committed pple. Not the type—tags along b/c that's the order of the day, everyone else is doing it, even if privately indifferent or thinks it's B/S. All that for little electoral gain, that could have been won by other means, other ideas.
11:10 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898684634273087998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If UK needed to launch our own satellite independently, would we be able to? Like France did yesterday. If UK needed targeting data b/c Russia decided to teach us a lesson. Would UK be able to operate our own jets, when US decides to shutdown support like with European F16-s donated to Ukraine? If France-launches-military-satellites-in-space-but-UK-unable parochial competition does not spur UK into action towards more independent minded security, IDK what will. 😆 Kind of hopium that after 1939-41 and Suez, UK was—"yeah we can rely on US just fine".
Quote
https://x.com/slantchev/status/1898600137343045651
Branislav Slantchev @slantchev · 5h
It's not just the Germans. America's strongest ally in Europe, the UK, is also being driven away by Trump's insane decision to abandon Ukraine to the Russians. It's not just that 68% think stopping aid to Ukraine is the wrong decision, but 73% do not trust Trump to broker peace. x.com/slantchev/stat…
Show more
10:37 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898662659307819063
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! :-) Due update to Barlow's "Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace" now almost 30yo, for the bio-technology age and the forthcoming singularity, ahem. ;-) Good timing.
9:10 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898653372980298109
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, true. But nothing lasts forever. It's the end of the post WW2 ordering, where USA (claimed) to be prepared to wage nuclear war against the Soviet Union invading (West) Germany and France, and the SU believed that US claim.
Now Germany and Poland will need to get their own nuclear deterrent. One way or another. That's ultimately the only protection against Russia invasion. For in a war between nuclear and non-nuclear state, the nuclear can only draw or win, and the non-nuclear can only draw or lose. So a nuclear state once it shifts into predatory mode (Russia Putin imperial, US Trump transactional) will act on that obvious incentive.
Yes, that increases some risks. Nuclear Armageddon remains one of the two major risks. (the other one—much worse covid like world wide pandemic)
8:33 AM · Mar 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898506359219388830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noticed half-dozen examples of a pattern: 1) USG claims C on some topic [2) presume Musk trusts USG] 3) turns out USG claim C was wrong, even deliberate lie 4) Musk conclusion: "whatever USG says on the topic, multiply by -1". But that's wrong. If I don't trust USG, my correlation to their claims should be 0, not -1. Or rather, when assessing probability of a claim C, should be P(C)=P(C|USG opined on C). I distrust USG, so it opining on C changes not at all my belief about C.
10:49 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898501380702081163
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c there are 2 sides to it. And that opposing camps are telling only 1/2 of the story. The story is: 99.9% alternative new upstart etc ideas turn out to be wrong. However, those 0.1% where what a maverick proposes turns out right, make 100% of the new significant breakthroughs
10:29 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898490085307269601
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think Poland acquiring nuclear deterrent reduces the probability of nuclear war. If they do it-that is. (thus far Europeans lacked will even if the writing was on the wall for some time.)
Scenario. Lacking deterrent, emboldened Greater Russia 1st invades the Baltics. US huffs and puffs, but does nothing much. Then, by now reckless drunk on success, Russia invades Poland too.
At this point US gets involved. A hot war between Russia and US starts that way. It may end in nuclear exchange.
9:44 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898460657063997825
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally communist that one! 😂 All communists talked that up all the time: endure more pain, for the better future, for it will be a glorious future.
Every grifter that ever grifted is-trust me bro, jam tomorrow. This is how failing looks like. Will not get better, only worse.
7:47 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898448500821815401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this. Elites got into their heads the idea that general public are imbeciles who can't hold more than a single idea in their heads. So it has to be either 100% good, or 100% bad. (for reasons more self-serving than usually admitted)
Now, of course the average person is not a rocket scientist. (and half are dumber than that) Still, they can hold the idea that there are pros- and cons- both to interventions, and to doing nothing. The average person can handle the idea of gives-and-takes just fine.
We know this for sure. Because people already do that with any number of things. And for things that really do matter to them, and where large enough group of people are informed, even if a majority are uninformed, groups regularly do great. (The Wisdom of Crowds) All it takes is for the ignorant to decide independently, and their errors will cancel out.
When they don't decide independently, but follow each others, errors are all one sided and don't cancel out. Then we have collective stupidity overwhelm collective intelligence. (Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds)
6:59 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898367616047071489
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The worst feelings!
Dispiriting if not despairing—maybe I will find the error by the end of today, or the end of the week, or never...
And—I know there is 1 error. That implies my logic my thinking were faulty. If my logic is faulty—there maybe 1000 errors out there lurking in my code! The terror, the terror of that feeling...
"Writing Solid Code" (that ahem often turns to be "writing boring code") by Steve Maguire was one read that helped me both in practical and in abstract higher level ways. (code examples are in an long outdated C-dialect warning)
1:38 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898363594447733097
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes we should! If you have any knowledge or experience or anything than blank slate in the "HOWTO get an MBE" do tell please.
1:22 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898363148597338616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK we are not ignoring. UK invested a lot in green stuff. We tripled our electricity cost in 15 yrs.
That's enough now. To govern is to choose. And short- to mid- term there are more important things. If that means in 100yrs Manchester will have Milan weather—so be it.
UK must drop the green cr*p now, modify and or repeal the NetZero laws. We are ruled by lawyers—hope they are competent enough to be able to pass/change the laws.
UK must build-build-build, more of everything and starting with housing. And for that to happen, everything else must take a 2nd seat. UK needs cheap energy. Drop net0 now.
1:20 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898361811696582796
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - and not only about Germany!
MSM are the pits, incapable of even basic reporting of basic facts.
The Gell-Mann amnesia effect is strong with us the readers. People are way more trusting of some random cr*p some rando journo typed in a morning to fill the white on a page
1:15 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898358834151735713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the story there! Also details
> A message sent by Marsalek to fellow spy Orlin Roussev - who ran the UK-based group from a former guest house in Norfolk - demonstrated inside knowledge of Putin's thinking. He wrote: "Personally I find Grozev not to be a very valuable target but apparently Putin seriously hates him."
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1kjwmzvg23o
1:03 PM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898336994507255964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
operationally, I'd suspect TG maybe more, to be the conduit—
https://x.com/EV_Trapper/status/1898143669951115683
Quote
EV_Trapper @EV_Trapper · Mar 7
This my friends is who the US Government's Director of National Intelligence is. She is subverted whether she realizes that she is.
To explain for conservatives. Tulsi Gabbard is so far gone, that it's like Liz Cheney with her TDS. The delusion that replaced logic, morality & x.com/EV_Trapper/sta…
Show more
11:36 AM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898312894137184499
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good! You hit the right nail with the right hammer there: the agent is it's own computer! Every agent instance, has their own computer: own disk, own cpu, own python—own everything. Very good! I=Personal/Computer, Agent=Computer. You nailed the right abstraction there! 👏
10:00 AM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898166409366008283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is "stupid". On the Cippola meaning of stupid: stupid person causes loss, pain, suffering to others, for no gain to himself, even a small loss. His stupidity comes not from low IQ or especially lacking rational faculties, but from lack of morals. Or a different set of morals
12:18 AM · Mar 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898150928643244122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Humans are quite shite in many areas. Mostly ones in position to measure and give feedback are not incentivised enough to do so. So they they don't.
Again and again we find that people have inflated sense of their abilities. Answers to questions like "could you wrestle a bear", or "could you win a game of tennis against Serena Williams" etc. (there's is a positive there that people try even at low odds, and sometimes get lucky)
11:17 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898099601598558486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course.
Even in the 1990s, immediately after becoming free again, (with the withdrawal of the Soviet Union armies,) they were talking "either in NATO, or we develop own detterence". That was "their card", and Clinton having some US State he needed to win in elections with a large Polish diaspora.
People speaking now as if NATO wanted to expand are delusional. In fact, the existing members refused to admit new countries. And especially US was reluctant. Only after badgering and pleading for a few years, and with US fearing nuclear proliferation, were the Central and East European countries admitted to NATO.
Now no one in Europe thinks US will fight Russia and risk nuclear Armageddon when Russia invades the Baltics, and then Poland. Or any country in Europe.
People talking as if Art.5 is some magic weapon shielding them form Russia assault. It's a single word. Members promise they will "help" when one of them is attacked. That's it, one word, "help".
So Poland, Finland, the Baltics, the Nordica, ofc need their own detterence. Germany too. They should have started thinking about it the 1st time Trump was elected. And started working on them for sure since Feb-2022.
Europeans had a generation of lazy, feeble minded, entitled leaders. If not outright foreign aligned agents as leaders. (khmMerkelkhm) But now it's clear to all. They need to be able to defend themselves from Russia alone. Possibly even with US allayed with Russia against Europe.
7:53 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898056770712461785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
don't let the cat out of the bag! 😂 joke, joke 😆
we humans are lucky but more likely it's by trial&error design, that we man are silly billies and will disregard, forget the above, even when repeatedly spelled out to us
5:02 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898039813577531492
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ego. "I", and "the-world-ex-I", have not separated. As babies we can't make distinction between "I" and "everything-else-ex-I" initially, it's all the same to us. Then, in time, we learn of the separation. (can say that-death is the maximum of that.) But narcissists don't learn.
3:55 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1898013552213913629
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! It's pointless asking any promises of Trump. As his admin will simply not deliver on them.
IMO Ukraine should do the same as Trump and Putin do: sign whatever in bad/no faith. Then mostly ignore, or not, whichever way is opportune to advance their own strength.
Trump doesn't care either way. As long as there is PR news story out there to be told. Putin will do as before, whatever is signed, and continue working on taking over Ukraine. Ukraine lose nothing, if they are bound by nothing. They win getting Trump off their backs.
2:11 PM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897950492237447607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So why did you run it down yourselves while in power? Why did you double our energy bills with the green cr*p? Why did you bring UK down with the woke sh*t? Why why why??? Before having a shot at getting back in power, you need to answer yourselves 1st, and the voters too next.
10:00 AM · Mar 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897764249750880347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I got 3-4 tps running on 256 cores amd box with 1TB RAM using llama.cpp and the 4bit quantised .gguf model of about 340GB. IDK the box or ram specs, I imagine the box is 1-2 years old. Good to see it run. But I don't use it really, use other models via theirs API, gui.
9:40 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897696122287571371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The part of leftism you intuitively feel is right but you don't articulate is the "slave morality" we all get from Christianity: to suffer is ok, even good. And for the few real beleviers-even virtuous.
It is indeed a successful organising principle. For in the group dynamics, 90% is cooperation, and only 9% is competition. And in that 9% of activity where we complete, there will be few winners, and many losers.
So indeed to alienate the many, for the benefit of few, is indeed bonkers, it is stupid. For the benefit of the few that are already the winners. 🏆 Winners already get societal prizes like goods, money, get attention, sex, etc - whatever we humans crave.
And are denied only one single piece. A symbolic thing, a gold star, ⭐ a medal🥇 of no real practical consequence: being called "good". Rather- that symbolic prize is awared to the losers. The losers, that let us remember, got nothing else.
Every once in a while, an elite comes along, that is so narcissistic, so insecure, so craven, so ill adjusted, so unaware of this setup-that can't take that symbolic loss. Being denied the designation "good".
So in a monster toddler tantrum, the narcissist elite decide to torch everything, burn everything down. Flip the morals, so "winning is good and virtuous", losing is bad, and now the "good" boy gold 🪙 star is to belong to them. In the process,
to flip to "master morality", they have to tear down the institutions, destroy the government, abolish governance.
We are in that moment now. Musk is the face of the toddler acting the monster tantrum irl.
5:09 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897680746149527863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(good nick)
Haha 😂 - ok silver linings then.
Joke, joke 🤡 don't get mad pls. 😁
Yeah tarrifs bad and braindead. Historic episodes aftermaths of tall tarrif walls between terrible and horrifying, for USA first and foremost. (and also ex-US)
From UK-Europe PoV looks like US is aligning with Russia and in due course will be EU-China vv. US-Russia. With UK TBS if Airstrip1 or in EU camp.
Russia love of Moscow Mule Muskians looks the weak bet there. Russia not Soviet Union. Is 1/2 SU in people and territory. Lacking universalist ideology. (SU communism discredited only late, asset for long time) Produces nothing of value sought by any neighbour. (like Saudi Arabia.) Hydrocarbons an asset, but ever less so. Between Russia energy and not being killed by Russia, most opt for the latter. Alternatives be sought and found. Make do with less. It's not forever. Stone age didn't end for lack of stones.
Central-East Europe stronger now than in 1939-1945, should resist Russia Orc. Inspired by Ukraine "give me freedom of give me death" stand. Germany and France both on the same Europe side.
My UK. Hope current elite of VSP-Very Stupid People ditches woke sh*t & green cr*p sooner rather than latter. To avoid the cursed fate of Trumpland Golf Course meets Airstrip One. TBS what transpires.
Anyways-dispatch from distant lands from total stranger over. out now
4:08 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897668900105359461
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They always were ethical or not, exactly as now, for their ethics is not decided at the point of their production, but at the point of their use.
My god whatever you ever were taught about anything you privileged elite boomers gorging on free education was feeding pearls to swine.
3:21 PM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/kwbased/status/1897611633175704012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—with the persons like @ MsMarkievitz, I have learned
1) They are "stupid" on Cippola's definition of stupidity—"with their actions stupid person will cause great harm and pain to others, while deriving no gain for themselves, even at a small personal loss".
2) This is *not* low IQ or lack of rational faculties! (to be fair to the minority unfortunate retarded people that have genuine hardware faults.) If interested for more—look up Bonhoeffer.
3) The root cause of stupidity is morals. These people lack morals. What they think is good, the rest of us think it bad. (and vice versa)
Or one can even say: they have a different moral code.
Our currently prevalent moral code is "slave morality": Christianity-based moral code, where to suffer is virtuous and to be poor and powerless is not a sin. It's even good.
Alternative moral code would be pagan and e.g. Roman "master morality": to be powerful is good, to be powerless is bad. Poor and feeble deserve their fate, for they are bad people. The ones with power are good people. (might is right)
4) It's a social phenomenon mostly, a "mind virus" even.
Enclosed is my answer to @ MsMarkievitz that I could not chain as reply as I was blocked.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897566234398613962
11:58 AM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897566234398613962
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@ MsMarkiewicz
On the contrary—I have seen wars, I don't want to fight wars, I don't want my sons to fight wars.
One side not wanting a war is not sufficient for avoiding war, unfortunately. If it were, there would have been World Peace upon us already.
So the 2nd best option to deter the side that is preparing to attack you, or talking about attacking you—by arming yourself to the teeth. Russia is attacking Europe and UK daily already. In their minds they are already at war with the UK.
In that scenario, re-building Europe armies is the way to deter. (maybe) Conventional armies for sure. Even if 3 years late. And Europe needs to expand the nuclear arsenal too. Poland + Baltics + Nordics need to get independent nuclear deterrent imo.
Putin—and his successor—will likely 1) absorb Ukraine, esp the battle hardened army; 2) position pro-Kremlin president of Belarus (after Lukashenka croaks); 3) have Greater Russia uniting all (incl Moldova); 4) likely invade the Baltics (alt: Romania, Bulgaria—if political opening there)
Replying with insults then blocking me so I can't reply? Classy and cunning that plan of yours. I'm bowed in admiration. Not. blocked
8:33 AM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897548018720579661
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, вреди дали се секираш и за таа варијанта. Еве предложи што tribute, што е нешто што Путин сака или му треба, може Македонија да му даде? Што е еквивалентно на Алшари и сл прикаски? Не мора да е којзнае колку реално, доволни е идеа со некој потенцијал или сл.
Бугарија и за САД и за Русија стално ќе биде поважна од Македонија. Русија со војна е и скоро основач на модерната Бугарската држава, удел во азбуката, па може да се каже и во модерната нација. За Русија ми личи, дека на Балкан по интерес се 1-Бугарија, па 2-Србија, па 3-Грција. Тешко да се пробие Македонија и на позиција 3, а не па погоре.
Translate post
7:21 AM · Mar 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897424369137095057
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David Brooks https://youtu.be/QSa52TR9tCA?si=L8z0U80YiLfPhOVd via @YouTube
youtube.com
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David...
“Put moral formation at the centre of your society”David Brooks' speech was challenging and thought provoking, calling for us to reassess what we think cultu...
11:09 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897419841843191997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Deepseek founder Liang Wenfeng‘s interview https://youtu.be/LknX8qXsgfA?si=aHchfzCjpvkacf8v via
@YouTube
youtube.com
Deepseek founder Liang Wenfeng‘s interview
10:51 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897417980172230974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbh you are deindustrialising UK with high energy prices
10:44 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897361574043771046
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
research= re-search, repeated search for something that works
7:00 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897347868006211642
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
but you will get it. that's why the us course of action is bad. it's not the cowardice. it's that but guarantees a nuclear war about 2040-2050. it's stupid that way. it facilitates the risk it rightly fears.
6:05 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897335328756896130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Could this be the END of Chain of Thought? - Chain of Draft BREAKDOWN!
youtube.com
Chain-of-Draft: The End of Chain of Thought? (Faster Results, Less...
Want to stay on track and up to date with AI? Check out Matt Wolfe's AI Playbook from Hubspot for free here: https://clickhubspot.com/42uxJoin My Newsletter ...
5:16 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897329050236158288
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Net zero crap, Chagos, Incapacity benefits, Mobility luxury cars. After 30 sec deliberation from the top of my head.
Next bring inhouse any number currently outsourced services that are just leaking pounds like sieves, are feeding frenzies for contractors, poor value for the rest of us.
Next shutdown or rather bring back quangos into the public sector. Shutdown the Unaccountability Machine. Stop the bungs for friends & family conveyor belt. Most eggreguous examples-jail a few ministers. When did UK last jail one for corruption?
Next put through Parliament the @lfg_uk Looking For Growth draft law.
Next repeal or severely curtail Towns and etc Planning act restricting building. If X wants something built on their land, and Y wants to prevent that-than if Y wins by law in court etc, then it has to pay compensate X for opportunity cost. That will concentrate minds.
Next end Leasehold insanity. Stop 5M people worrying about that semi-criminal enterprise and let them be productive members of society. ECHR challenge? Put carve-outs through in Parliament in a single session.
Or get out of ECHR all together if the lawyers that occupy the commanding heights of UK society are unable or unwilling to make it work for the majority of the UK. Next time a ridiculous sentence like "community service for theft #200, we expect him to not steal for 201-st time" is in the media, the Chief Justice or whoever is their boss and top dog in the judiciary branch: bring him in Parliament, for public grilling, to explain it to a Parliamentary Commission or some such.
The taxes are ATH, state spending at ATH, yet nothing works. Of course that means money badly spent. Victorians built more, with much less money, and much worse technology. I do not accept that contemporary brittons are stupider than their predecessors or lazier or can't do stuff. That is *not* the case. It's not about left or right. It's about basic state competencies. Need to do smarter less stupid, to do more with less.
Go!
4:51 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897321692453536240
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The CEO-s themselves are not computer people, have no interest nor compulsion nor talent to drill in, make the last 10% work, then the last 1%, then last 0.1%, then... (you get the idea)
Some consultant/PM is going to tell them a story, they try briefly, ok it's not that it doesn't work at all, so all good.
Their PA is organising their travel, scheduling booking, they personally never spend that much time on their sites. Never have the opportunity to hit the 100 edge cases that make the difference between stellar and meh user experience. It comes from the top.
4:21 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897316493186269632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
George Church: Decoding the Future of Genomics
youtube.com
George Church: Decoding the Future of Genomics
On this episode of FYI, ARK Multiomics analyst Nemo Marjanovic sits down with Professor George Church, a renowned geneticist and entrepreneur from Harvard. T...
4:01 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897306130633658399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH Македонија најпаметно да ангажира некој PR талент-шарлатан. Некој харизматичен лик, како археологот од Охрид со многу саати на рака. (нешто да знаел колку е саатот во разните универзуми?) За да почне да плете добри фантастични приказни. Нешто скриени злата на Александар, микс со прастари рудници, плус Алшари ретки минерали невидени непознати богатства. (ама за беља ете закопани во земја, нешто така; како Литиум Србија) Може и да врзат со камената вселенска опсерваторија. Тука нешто и со AI, па Портали, паралелни светови и слично.
Па ако се случи нешто неочекувано, некако Бугарија, Грција, Албанија да се договорат (не верувам, ама за секој случај) "конечно да го решат македонското прашање". Ако се случи да бараме воена помош и војска од САД, да има МКД tribute, нешто за давање, што може да му се понуди даде во залог на Трамп. Како Украинците со нивните "ретки руди и минерали".
Може ако има некои од тие клик-спамерите од Велес (со рекламен $$$ од фејк њуз "Breaking! Папата Умре!") ако ги има уште, од нив да ангажираат за кампања на Фејсбук, Трамп Соушал. Може сега најново некој shitcoin нешто крипто да направат, па и така да вложат во ликот и делото на Трамп. Може тоа и најефективно, best value for money. Да вложи MKD $100М од државен буџет во некоја "стратегиска крипто резерва" на Трамп и тоа добра инвестиција? Осигурување за секој случај, за недајбоже.
Translate post
3:20 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897270271255474419
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think many already do. 100K maybe seem stretch on first sight. 10K-20K Is not even logistically difficult. But consider this.
Just take your public sector employes. About 10% of them are not teachers, doctors, policeman but various pen-pushers of no consequence. They can be hired-fired on the strength of their party loyalty. Select 10% of them that are in-confidence-enough, able and willing. That's 1% of the public sector workforce. Assign 10 accounts to each. Multiply by the known size of public sector in various countries.
Now 100K does not look out of reach for many countries, no?
It annoys me to no extent the there is no market mechanism to compel Zucks and Musks of the Tech to offer optional 1) realHumanIRL; and or 2) realHuman; 3) filtering/selection on 1&2 yes/no.
I am fine with pseudo/anonymous and all manner of accounts, I'm not advocating for any compulsory ID by anyone, not on X, not on the Web, not on the Internet. (and I'm against compulsory ID cards in the UK; whenever that topic arises)
I'm advocating for 1) on X only 2) accounts that *do want themselves* do have *real person* verified by X, 3) for X to have a process to do that, 4) for accounts that want it themselves; and 5) I as a user of whatever designation - free, premium, premium+, verified or not, to 6) have tools where I can filter, select etc posts and accounts on that axis of difference, verified real life/human yes/no.
I already do this to some extent imperfectly by necessity via lists etc. Just advocating for X to help me a bit. I already e.g. verify my ID to my bank to use their online services. X could offer—non-compulsory, voluntary for accounts that want it—service for that.
Again—voluntary, for X only, accounts that do want it themselves. Coupled with the option of others to filter select on that, yes/no optional.
12:57 PM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897255419841773789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK we are paying a price for that.
I got the impression most of the activists lobbyists class don't know their kWh of energy from their MW of power, and that still have not learned and internalised that supply must balance demand every second of every day, or "very very bad things will happen".
The wide pubic are of course ignorant of that, as they should be! The above is not a slight on the Great British public.
The ruling elite, on the other hand, should know better. The feedback mechanism will kick in action, and lead to demise of the current established and instalment of the new incumbent elite at some point. But I fear that point will come only when the general public is alerted to the state of affairs.
And that is likely to happen via a nation-wide blackout. Of the type when UK has to resort to the Dinorwig to bootstrap its National Grid back online from a total power-off. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout.
11:58 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897252630948352126
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nothing! But that's the best sleeper agent, right? One that is not your explicit agent. Is manoeuvered in position of power to execute on their genuine desires & plans that align with yours. It's the perfect undetectable agent. Passes the most stringent allegiance test.
11:47 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897242881636630947
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now it was spelled out to me, can't stop seeing it left and right everywhere now: 😭 human stupidity is not low IQ, it's lacking in morals. It's wrongly deciding what's good, and what's bad.
Forget AI for enhancing supplementing Human Intelligence, that's a sideshow. If AI can be patient and cunning enough to get into the mindset of cretins like the dude above, somehow manage to alter their value system, about what's good and what's bad, that would HUGE. Help humanity with its current predicament: too many of us are too stupid.
That level of collective stupidity makes cohabitation with very large numbers of people not work. The stupid will choose a course of action that is neutral or disadvantages themselves even, while creating humongous cost and pain and suffering to scores of people around them.
There are no easy solutions afaik. The stupid are genuine. The imbecile above is not faking it. He genuinely thinks mass murder of people his father happily lived with, is good. Destroying levelling cities his father built, is for the better.
No not-stupid person can forecast and counter the stupidity displayed above. It will not occur to a not-stupid human to think up that kind of thinking as a possibility. It's a hard problem. 😳 Also seems of fractal nature—stupidity permeates thinking about all things, big and small. Starting with the very foundational one at the base: killing other people is wrong, isnogood. My god. 😶
11:08 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897226280791376107
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and my luck with those ladies is ever improving! The post above was a great success within seconds 😂
10:02 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897224246054592813
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I read somewhere that it's part of the bot farm keeping the accounts "warm", not allowing them to go "cold". (and be detected and deleted by X? IDK, guessing here) I noticed them because they were all 0 or 1 Following or Followers, (e.g. like @ Lisafuka), but were not created in Feb-2025.
Ok, re-checking now, last 3 (@ Lisafuka, Stacy_he_nu, Lesliezusu) are from [Dec-24,Jan-25]. So not that long ago. I guess they create them 1st, takes sometime to create them in bulk. Before they start using them.
9:54 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897221894333673815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But even without these drugs, say if I starve myself in controlled fashion, and with exercise, there is still muscle mass.
So to me "is there muscle loss" is not much of an interesting questions. We know the answer is—"yes". Yes, when I weigh 130kg I will have more muscle muss than when I weight 90kg. Even when I lose the 40kg with self-starvation.
The more interesting question for me is: if I reach 90kg (from 130kg) with two methods, two routes 1) self-starving 2) Mounjaro, then which is the route, that leads to less muscle loss? (relative, absolute, combo of measures, etc)
9:45 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897198631356379420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This account got into the good books of some bot farm—yay! Achievement unlocked. 😶
Stacey, Jenny, Melanie, Jessica, ... (LovelyGirl123) ... can't stop loving my posts. 😂
This is lovely, haha. How little feedback suffices. 😇
8:12 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897196925079970302
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The "This is mine now even it was not yesterday, so now by keeping 1/2 and not keeping 1/2, I'm doing you a huge concession"—art of the Russian deal. Rinse and repeat. That's how you become the largest country in the world by land mass. They are like The Borg of empires.
8:06 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897190549309858113
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha—thanks! Yeah, I should have run it through ChatGPT to make it organise it and make it less chaotic. It's only a few extra steps, but anything more than a single tap "Enhance This" prior to pressing Send, becomes too much in time it seems. I'm hopeful Grok offers that as writing help in due course. The complementary "Explain This" when reading posts I find it excellent.
7:40 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897189481259696625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks for the reply and the kind words.
Outliers in high-dimensional spaces early indicators of emerging patters? Yes, possible. Do tell more if you can please. :-) I'll have to think about it. I have no thoughts on that at present time.
Only maybe vaguely related, that I have one thought on. On the quantity->quality transition. (this "quantity->quality" I recall from high school philosophy class lifetime ago.) I've been minorly but for some time annoyed by not having good knowledge on how to say select good number of components in PCA, (and related - ICA, and other dimensionality "reduction" methods) without "rule of thumb", trial and error, "method". If this looks something that maybe relevant, read on. Otherwise, feel free to stop here now.
Suppose I have a 5-dimensional observation and I'm wondering if it's really only 4 dimensions there. One way I check is - do a PCA, then look at the size of the remaining variance along the axis that is the smallest component (the one at the tail end, when sorting the PCA components by size of the variance explained). If the remaining variance is 0 for the 5-th component - that's easy, I can say: well, it was only ever a 4-dimensional observation that I had after all.
However, in the real world it's never going to be exactly 0. What if it is 1e-10? 1e-1? 1? At what size does the variance along that smallest PCA axis count as an additional dimension in my data? The thresholds are domain dependent - I can for sure say that enough quantity in the extra dimension gives a rise to that new dimension, adds a new quality. Obversely - diminishing the (variance) quantity in the extra dimension removes that dimension eventually (and with total certainty at the limit of 0).
I can extend the logic from this simplest case of linear dependency (where PCA suffices) all the way to to the most general case where I have a general program (instead of PCA), and the criterion is predicting forecasting the values in the extra dimension, with the associated forecasting error having the role of the variance in the PCA case. At some error quantity >0 I have to admit I have a new dimension (quality).
Emergence and similar 1) where that quantity is large enough to give rise to new quality 2) this this new quality becomes a new dimension in the phenomenon investigated; my observations data goes from N-dim vector to become (N+1)-dim.
("More is Different" is a succinct summary of "enough quantity becomes a new quality")
7:36 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897178754998559130
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for telling us the story outline as well as many details. I have had it enough now with willful peddlers of stupidies for clicks and giggles like the account you quote and correct. Blocking them now on first infraction I am confident enough to be correct.
6:53 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897175162124165274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How many fighter jets, and how many tanks, did USA did send in the end? Anyone know the tally? How many US jets reached Ukraine? How many US tanks reached Ukraine?
6:39 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897169253188473242
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In N-dimensional space, for sufficiently large N, every N-point, is an outlier. In that N-space, the space moves in the corners. There is little space left in the centre. We know this, because when looking at what happens to the ratio of N-ball to N-cube N-volume measures, we see the ratio drop quickly with increasing N.
For example, in a latent N-space of say an LLM layer, where N=1K all the way to N=10K. All the data points the layer ever tunes to, will be outliers exclusively.
It's unfortunate that our intuition about how the space fills, that we build on examples from our physical world where N=2 or N=3, is not only inadequate, but outright deceptive to us. Those things for high-N, stand exactly the opposite, to how they are, for low-N. Various measures of centrality, that we think of as representative, are actually not representing what we hope they are.
6:16 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897164196845850891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now it was spelled out to me, can't stop seeing it left and right everywhere now: 😭 human stupidity is not low IQ, it's lacking morals. It's wrongly deciding what's good, and what's bad.
Forget AI for enhancing supplementing Human Intelligence, that's a sideshow. If AI can be patient and cunning enough to get into the mindset of cretins like the dude below, somehow manage to alter their value system, about what's good and what's bad, that would HUGE. Help humanity with its current predicament: too many of us are too stupid.
That level of collective stupidity makes cohabitation with very large numbers of people not work. The stupid will choose a course of action that is neutral or disadvantages themselves even, while creating humongous cost to other people around him.
There are no easy solutions afaik. The stupid are genuine. The imbecile below is not faking it. He genuinely thinks mass murder of people his father happily lived with, is good. Destroying leveling cities his father built, is for the better.
No not-stupid person can forecast and counter the above. It will not occur to a not-stupid human to think up the above as a possibility. It's a hard problem. 😳 It seems of fractal nature. Stupidity permeates thinking about all things, big and small. Starting with the very basic: killing other people is wrong, isnogood. My god. 😶
Quote
https://x.com/United24media/status/1896861269056974951
UNITED24 Media @United24media · Mar 4
A woman asks a Russian man what his country is fighting for.
Watch his response 👇
5:56 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897158489652486418
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Vibe politicking, vibe ruling - there's no plan.
Shake that kaleidoscope, see what happens, repeat.
Those around him do have a plan though it seems.
Volcker 2. Tariffs instead of IR to raise prices, reduce consumption of the below median half of the country, fight inflation. Energy independence to stave off any imported inflation from weaker dollar. Shitcoins to create dollar doubt, if not competition, weaken the dollar.
The grifting element, all the way to semi-criminal one, is strong with him. But there's incompetence to go with the malice too.
Uninformed opinion looking from afar. My vibe on this if you like.
5:33 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897154328244183328
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
YT algofeed always seems to find +1 podcast about "universal unified theory this" or "quantum that". Looks to me like a crisis of reading and comprehension. Not crisis of writing? This will add to the already plentifull supply side. IDK.
If it helps us with gravity, designs some wildly successful anti-gravity device or rocket engine, I guess I'd be bowed over. Something SciFi now - like changes curles space into some swirl, gravity undoes itself etc. Some magic like that.
Seems to me while humanity has made inroads with electricity, magnetism, nuclear - but little progress on gravity? We are almost as shackled to Earth as Cromagnons were. Progress = devise clever trick how to lift loads off the earth, (and into space,) thousand times or million times times more efficient than currently.
5:16 AM · Mar 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897041702780842041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me looks he wants for the war to go away, in whichever way. For fighting to stop. While cares not about what happens to Ukraine. If Russia could conquer it today, and make the problem go away that way—that'd be fine with Trump, Musk etc. That's the only consideration.
9:49 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897040639662936169
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One wishes—but only #1 is realistically possible.
#2 Implies American soldiers dying in Ukraine. Given US loathes (and or is scared etc) to sell weapons to Ukraine, don't see how #2 is realistic.
#3 Is even less likely. Putin has not given up on taking over the whole of Ukraine. That's still his aim. Given he's got US neutral now (if not outright ally) with the cut off of US weapons for Ukraine, IDK why he would give up now.
9:45 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897013335327117586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy to advocate whichever way when you are not the one getting murdered, killed, raped.
Leave it to the Ukrainians to decide. They know best. If you decide to help, heed their pleas what help they want, that your are okay to supply.
Not difficult to do the right thing.
7:56 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1897000750053777431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes, not yet - but you are about to get one; then your will have both spending and revenue problems
7:06 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896994206142329317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To be precise: the OP is the first to write "Marx" on this thread. As for the rest-I bid you goodbye. I can just about muster interest in various ideologies, Idea-ism-s. But various People-ism-s are beyond my interests.
Find it even tad sad. We are each one-and-only unique. Never before and never after another one to exist exactly like I. We are alloted limited time. Attaching myself to some other Person-ism, feels like refusing a precious gift. Or even not keeping my side of a bargain.
6:40 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896979768572305423
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is that your main worry? "Is the analysis Marxist, or is it not Marxist?" That's what you worry. How much Marxist it is - is it too little, or is it too much. Yeah - my Marxism is rusty, it was in 1989 probably that I studied the subject at Uni. (obligatory non-elective subject)
5:43 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896977967462416584
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha :-) - thanks dude or dudete. I'm honoured for any living soul to read my posts this carefully! As a means of thanks, here is serendipitous talk YT algo found me while walking in the sun earlier today-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=QSa52TR9tCA
Never heard of the guy before. Hope you enjoy it.
Having said that. I'm not going to litigate what I wrote or didn't, with a cross between Wittgenstein and Kafka's interrogator its seems. IDK you IRL, and pseudo-anon too.
In general terms, how I think of this, for the benefit of any reader. (articulated imperfectly again.) I speculate of something ("x") that happened in the recent past, that may influence something else ("y") that may or may not happen in the future.
1. Some ideas exist in my head, deciding on x, y, knowing of f(x,y);
2. Then my words communicate the x, y, and the change between f(y|x) and f(y);
3. Then on the receiving end, in the head of the reader of these words, the words trigger: their's x, y, changes in g(y|x) and g(y).
There is little chance that the identical setup exists in your head too (identical x and y, f==g). Allow for incompetence to explain what may come over to you as malice.
youtube.com
How the Elite rigged Society (and why it’s falling apart) | David...
“Put moral formation at the centre of your society”David Brooks' speech was challenging and thought provoking, calling for us to reassess what we think cultu...
5:36 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896971744424157404
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - he's any-truth now. Gone post-post-modern, our Muskie. Transcended our plane, elevated himself to a higher plane! 😂
But wait! Maybe this is 9-dimensional chess, of the "the most entertaining - wins!"-type!! "Mwahaha-suck on that losers!" 🤪
5:11 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896920648032846167
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
plan code name "Volcker 2"? but tariffs raise prices reduce consumption, rather than engineering unemployment via IR?
1:48 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896919299245420982
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, quite magical. 😇 (the involution)
I used DCT too, done ASR speech recognition in the HMM pre-DNN world. "Mel-Spectral filter bank + apply DCT = Mel-Cepstrum". (what lingo! some anon with sense of humour at work there 😂 )
1:42 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896913118179250524
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the sado-moralism is super strong, don't think it ever goes away
1:18 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896911461362078191
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
thanks—no worries, no offence taken ofc. (I'm of the thicker skin, and literally too 😂 )
1:11 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896908198168207608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! And here is another one for you. 😇
I have yet to meet a normie, that is not completely oblivious to the fact, that the Personal/Computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds, for almost zero expected compensation, but the glory of creation.
Normies—too selfish? too self-entitled to create something for all, for nothing? for the love of the creation, and nothing else?—do not realize what has happened. How the world they live daily in was created.
Not to be too harsch—but the (non-CompSci) intelligentsia class is even more ignorant, if that's even possible?? Have yet to meet a single aspiring marxist that's ever heard of the ideas of Free and or Open Software, FSF/RMS etc.
12:58 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896901870041375073
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No wonder you are losing your war. What's said there is delusional. It's like when small children want the world to be as per their desires.
Fossil fuels are super cheap. That's the problem with them! That's why the world can't kick them out. They are cheap and easily available.
If renewables were "too cheap to meter", like your side has been saying for decades now, the switch would have happened quickly, easily, painlessly. There would be no need for extra policy—would happen on its own.
Wind and solar are expensive when the need to be 100% reliable is factored in. Hence the need for subsidies etc. I have rooftop solar + batteries, know my kWh energy from MW power, know that national grid needs to balance every second of every day. There is not one country in the whole world, with BOTH significant wind+solar AND cheap electric energy. Not one.
Being ignorant and innumerate is your biggest enemy. One can think anything about Marx, but few would disagree—he was clear eyed in his analysis. His acolytes nowadays—not so much.
12:33 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896897389627334893
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, we don't know yet, we can't know, right? B/c it's in the future, and the future hasn't happened yet. This is my personal speculation.
"Leftist fever dream"—I grew up in SE Europe in late socialism. So no—I don't dream of "leftism". IDK what you are talking about.
12:15 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896896270997889336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—agree with your points.
I'm not saying I agree with his policies. Nor do I cheer him to succeed. Nor do I think policies consequences are going to pan out the way that wing of MAGA expects they will. I bet Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act looked pretty good in 1930.
I'm just stating what it looks to me what the policies will be, looking at his moves so far.
12:11 PM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896890910199210364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ongoing—pulling US out of NATO next.
Hm—Trump 2 term policies are shaping up?
Internationally—divide the world in spheres, US rules the Americas, China rules EAsia, Russia rules WAsia + EEurope.
Domestically—engineer Volcker 2 recession to start with (next 3-6mo; tariffs additional tax + federal spend cuts = depress consumption), fight inflation, bill paid for by
Quote
Antonello Guerrera @antoguerrera · 5h
Bad news for Starmer and Macron. Vance confirms the only US security guarantee in Ukraine will be the mineral deal. He also plays down British & French peacekeeping troops as “20k troops from some random country that hasn’t fought a war in 30 or 40 years”.
Rate proposed Community Notes
11:50 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896874725537620030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - nice! Thanks for taking time to explain. Here's another one as a means of thanks. 😇
Often we are interested only in the amplitude of the FT. We don't care about the phase. Say we take 256 numbers in time domain, do DFT, come up with another 256 numbers in FT domain, then throw away the 128 phases, and use only the 128 amplitudes.
Wasteful spending processing to get 256 numbers, then throw away 1/2 of them. Hartley Transform to the rescue. It's like "FT in real domain only". Instead of DFT, we do DHT Discrete Hartley Transform. And we get our 128 amplitudes only right out. No flops wasting.
(follow back, you deserved it ☺️)
10:45 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896873560460914847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 - good takes there! Two things.
1) The retarded "low IQ" is not lack of reasoning capabilities, it's bad morals. Doing stupid is downstream from thinking good is bad, and bad is good. (from our PoV) Also facilitates "be nice again" to genuine retards with real hardware faults.
I saw that argument put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus (ha!-Elon!) in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss"; links https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268).
2) Soviets, and then Russians inherited it, score well at anti-rationality: flood the field with sh*t, (Bannon; after Surkov) lie mercilessly destroy the possibility for there being a single truth. Industrial quantities of random cr*p do exhaust our thinking capacities.
Western "useful idiot" of the old ("govnojed" in the designation of their Eastern appreciators) has been replaced by a 21-st Century "nutnik" (= nutter + vatnik) online variant. Some going professional find their vocation as influencers peddling Kremlin smut for clicks and giggles in the attention economy.
10:41 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896874725537620030
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - nice! Thanks for taking time to explain. Here's another one as a means of thanks. 😇
Often we are interested only in the amplitude of the FT. We don't care about the phase. Say we take 256 numbers in time domain, do DFT, come up with another 256 numbers in FT domain, then throw away the 128 phases, and use only the 128 amplitudes.
Wasteful spending processing to get 256 numbers, then throw away 1/2 of them. Hartley Transform to the rescue. It's like "FT in real domain only". Instead of DFT, we do DHT Discrete Hartley Transform. And we get our 128 amplitudes only right out. No flops wasting.
(follow back, you deserved it ☺️)
10:45 AM · Mar 4, 2025
[[deleted
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896859083392639016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 - nice! Thanks for taking time to explain. Here's another one as a means of thanks. 😇
Often we are interested only in the amplitude of the FT. We don't care about the phase. Say we take 256 numbers in time domain, do DFT, come up with another 256 numbers in FT domain, then throw away the 128 (complex) phases, and use only the 128 (real) amplitudes.
Wasteful spending processing to get 256 numbers, then throw away 1/2 of them. Hartley Transform to the rescue. It's like "FT in real domain only". Instead of DFT, we do DHT Discrete Hartley Transform. And we get our 128 amplitudes only right out. No flops wasting.
(follow back, you deserved it ☺️ )
]]
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896856316825747905
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 — ok IK it's a rhetorical Q, but in my mind this created a pic of Ad Cos operating like Market Makers, earning their bid-ask spread tik-tok tik-tok but on multi-years time scales. 😂
In few years the next craze N comes, they take the same story boards from N-2 craze few years back. 😂 tik-tok, tik-tok 😇
9:32 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896849891298595089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have considered that possibility. Yes, it's possible that that is the reason.
Good. I encourage you to continue digging evidence, evidence for-, and evidence against-, that possibility. Because it's not certain. Could be as you say, could be something else. Could be both to some extent.
And if you want to, you come up, or read up read on, on another possibility. And then dig for evidence for-, and evidence against-, that other possibility.
Typically I try to net the evidence, as one has to weight multiple items of evidence, for each of the possibilities. To somehow "add evidence" one on top of the other, both for- and against-. To get to some measure of "how likely it is" that the possibility is true.
Then as if in a trial, but where a jury decides not "beyond reasonable doubt", but "on the balance of probabilities", I try to make up my mind.
Yeah this takes some effort and time. So for most things I don't do it. I have not got strong opinion either way. If someone asks me, I say IDK "I don't know". To tell you the truth—that's a bit liberating, as if not carrying weight on the shoulders, to not have to worry that much, about most things.
But for few things I take interest in, maybe out of fancy, or because they impact my life and I'm forced to make some decision, I try do as described. hth
9:07 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896776422074556724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think there are constraints, the number of options is not infinite. But also we have the power to actively chose between the options. Or even engineer an option extra. It's not beyond us humans. So I don't give anyone, not least the academics, a "get out of jail free" card.
Coming back to morality/epistemology. Yes—the academics are as guilty as anyone for mistaking "good or bad", for "true or false". Too many take the easy feeble minded routes "I like therefore good therefore true", "I dislike therefore bad therefore false". In that they are like most people though. For we are usually worse than morals->truths. We take another shortcut, we go beauty->morals->truths! 😱 So aesthetics driving morality driving epistemology.
Having spent time in academia as postgrad (and having academics in family), my opinion of academia is probably less than the average. I found writing papers boring, few people inspiring but most not. Young students were great—bright sparks there. For me writing code was interesting, getting things to run and do stuff worth my effort. So spent my time in industrial R&D. (also—better pay, important when relocating countries/starting new life, more meritocratic b/c easier to establish merit)
Given that academic research is supposed to free people from commercial market pressures (research funding is decided more like central planning), so they have more time to think more, be more free thinking, it's doubly disappointing how few do anything of the sort. How few live what one might call "examined lives".
Anyways. Coming back to again to morals/epistemology. Not long ago stumbled online on the idea that wilful ignorance to the point of stupidity is a moral failing, a case of bad morals, not a case of low IQ, or lacking rational thought.
I saw that argument put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss"; links here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268). And the more I noticed, the more convinced I become that it's more true than I thought initially.
(I started if not sceptic, then a bit prejudiced against the claim; seemed mildly counterintuitive b/s click bait; hoped to dismiss it as it seemed bad news on first sight)
4:15 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896754422203445654
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep - a well worn trick. Having not read the paper, just guessing. Instead of convolution or correlation or similar of x and y in time domain, first Fourier transform x and y into X and Y, then multiply X an Y in Fourier domain, then transform the result back in time domain, by inverse Fourier transform.
2:47 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896744225477112232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, about that. Willful ignorance to the point of stupidity is a moral failing, a case of bad morals, not a case of low IQ, or lacking rational thought.
I saw that argument put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain, even taking a small personal loss"; links here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845). And the more I notice, the more convinced I become that it's more true than I thought initially.
I started if not sceptic, then a bit prejudiced against the claim. Seemed mildly counterintuitive b/s, kind of a click bait. And tbh hoped to dismiss it as it seemed bad news on first reading.
2:07 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896738998011183430
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
I'd assume he did, I 'd assume the OP thinks that's corrupt too. Why wouldn't he?? An average reasonable personal would.
I am not USian, live on the other side of the world, follow not US politics. Yet years ago when it was in the local news that "no good, without qualifications, son of a president, earns millions for not doing much in a far away country" thought - well that smells of corruption of some sort.
But by the same token, ask yourself now: why did *you* think the OP thought Biden son was not corruption? Why did you think so? Did you think so, because you value your side more, than whether something is true or false? You won't be the first to be using like/dislike as a way of deciding on whether something is true/false tbh. Most people use their feelings to decide on truthfulness.
1:46 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896731866599964866
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep it makes sense.
To me "AI will enslave us" moral panic looked the usual moral panic BS too start with. Something we humans do with every new tech.
Then I thought "we are anthropomorphizing this again". (prior examples of us doing similar https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877086487038316725) Enslaving a weaker species is what we humans elect to do. So we assume by automatism that every other species would do the same.
But now @SchmidhuberAI makes an excellent point: the energy and matter needed to further an Intelligence on a cosmic scale, is found outside of our biosphere. So that's where AI will go to expand.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 8
Replying to @bryan_johnson
Of course we are. Slow learners, with big egos. That's us - humans.😁
Earth is special, whole Cosmos revolves around it, and by extension - us!, then - Copernicus. 😳
We are special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life?? 😰
But
Show more
1:18 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896726154884665368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This was my last best as of about 3 weeks ago
# Aider supports using a pair of models for coding:
# An Architect model is asked to describe how to solve the coding problem. Thinking/reasoning models often work well in this role.
# An Editor model is given the Architect’s solution and asked to produce specific code editing instructions to apply those changes to existing source files.
# https://aider.chat/2025/01/24/r1-sonnet.html
aider-openrouter-best() {
local -; set -x; aider --set-env AIDER_START="$(date)" --architect --model openrouter/deepseek/deepseek-r1 --editor-model openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet;
}
12:55 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896720974738833708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You should bail out of the bed you find yourself with the Russians.
Moscow Mule Musk is good PR, but Russians pay in kind by results nor vibes.
You are making Zel more popular than ever it seems. You will likely fail to remove him. And then you will find yourself having to watch your tea, and not watch through any nearby windows.
This plan of yours isn't going to work. For you can't fire-hire your way through executing it, as it works with companies. A country is not a business.
12:34 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896712918034792559
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Living in interesting times again. 😬
I wonder who ends in exile, jail, or worse, first:
1) Moscow Mule Musk; or
2) Zelensky of Ukraine
Quote
Polymarket Intel @PolymarketIntel · 9h
Elon Musk: “As distasteful as it is, Zelensky should be offered some kind of amnesty in a neutral country in exchange for a peaceful transition back to democracy in Ukraine.”
12:02 AM · Mar 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896709621001437413
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Willful ignorance to the point of stupidity is a moral failing, a case of bad morals, not a case of low IQ, or lacking rational thought.
I saw it put forward in a YT video on stupidity - Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. (extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not deriving any gain even at a small loss"; links here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845). And the more I notice, the more convinced I become that's it's more true than I thought initially.
I started if not sceptic, certainty bit prejudiced against the claim. Seemed mildly counterintuitive b/s, sort of click bait. Hoped to dismiss as it seemed very bad news too on first reading.
11:49 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896688728011084226
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Also recent MacBook user (lifetime Windows since MSDos, then Linux):
1) $ brew install, then asitop vim git gcc ...
2) iTerm2
3) learn shortcuts and or adapt define
4) iStat on the menu bar
So far so good - loving it 😍
10:26 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896683099339022521
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I found being aggressive even preemptive in shaping the feed pays dividends.
Remember - Block-ing is now one-way block only. It simply means your account becomes read-only to the blocked. While it also does inform the algorithm. Much closer to Mute. I used "Show me less of/this" too, but that became a chore quickly, as is multiple taps.
True the Algofeed seems very aggressive in that interaction with subject Y brings in a flood of Y-related into the feed. I maintain thematic accounts Lists, (and especially fit well Xpro Decks) and they do work to remedy the above problem. They are like thematic extra "For you" personalised feeds.
Yeah the revealed morals of Musk/oids are a disappointment. But hardly new or surprising, right? Their stupid antics are kept mostly out of my feeds at low level acceptable with the above. (and thanks to them, researching on stupidity lead me to learning "stupidity is not low IQ, but is low morals, being imoral" etc-very useful knowledge! every cloud silver lining etc)
Having said that-no reason to not have accounts everywhere and replicate your social graph Following-Followers everywhere really. It's the social graph ands not the posts history that keeps us in the walled garden. The “public square N² iron law of network value” is not going anywhere. It's the price we pay to have a semblance of single public square.
10:04 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896582307424694421
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK much physics and am physics' nobody, so persuading me will not bring you closer to your aim.
You need to persuade other physicists. I imagine physicists doing research outside academia maybe more receptive to new ideas then ones inside.
Science is a social activity. It's practices by groups, not mere single person. Getting something right that others get wrong is a first step only. Necessary but not sufficient. Everyone has their own idea how they are to use their time they got allocated here and now. They will not give you their time willy-nilly. We all have other things we want to do.
Still I think 1) making a forecast about the future; or 2) achieving some feat, currently impossible, is the best way to make people give you some of their time.
3:23 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896579478526017854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ronald Regan was an actor too. That's didn't disqualify him from bring a president. Trump was a TV personality (among other things) too with his own show.
IDK about Ukraine - never been there, don't speaking the language. Police beat someone? Yeah I imagine policeman use force on someone every day in every country.
"old Orthodox Priest" - No idea what that is, sorry. I am a (lapsed) Orthodox Christian, have been in orthodox churches, at ceremonies etc. There are many orthodox churches, they are distributed decentralised. They are not like Vatican and Catholicism, one single thing.
3:12 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896576978917982248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is this a physics model?
If it is, then afaik you can make a forecast of something that will happen, that will be observed in the future. Then your model needs to be correct about the observation. While the currently used models get it wrong.
Then someone will take notice. Typically some younger upstart.
Or maybe you make a machine that achieves some feat, currently impossible. Physics related - seems to me while humanity has made inroads with electricity, magnetism, nuclear - seems little progress on gravity?? We are almost as shackled to Earth as Cromagnons were. Say you make a device to lift loads off the earth, and into space, say 10 times more efficient than now - I imagine people will take notice.
Is this along the lines of what you have in mind?
3:02 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896573869353513331
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fine. Obviously nothing happens without USA (and everyone else in the club I think?) agreeing to it. "No" is a reasonable answer too.
2:50 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896572919872106758
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But your got some attention. I see 600+ "views" of their post above. So def not zero. Do you want *more* attention? Is attention (level of) the final aim? It do you want to convert it to something else?
2:46 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896559894314013150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please if you can work on your character. Find a religion, or maybe read on religion or philosophy or some such. Or even find a moment you can spare for yourself, think about life and universe and everything.
You are being stupid, but stupidity is not mere low IQ or being bad at reasoning. No—stupidity is a moral failing. It's the case of bad morals. Thinking that something is good when it's bad, and the other way around. Links with YT videos
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845
I bid you good bye as I'm blocking you now. For being rude in addition to stupid. (X blocking is one way only nowadays; you can still read the links.) blocked
1:54 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896552399390601257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Money for what? Donated what? It's not his war. Russia is trying to conquer them, subjugate them. It's attacking their cities daily, killing them where it can. They are defending their lives, their country. If they lay down their arms, they will be killed. That's why they are fighting and not surrendering. If it was him fighting a war without support of the other 40M people, there would have been no war. As he would have been removed on day one.
1:25 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896551508990165344
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I dislike his AI doomerism too.
However—imo saying it's *all* fear-mongering is too strong a claim. Yes—there is more fear-mongering that I'd ideally want to see. But there is more than that.
There is part that is not fear-mongering. For example analysing information flows in humans' information networks. (in Nexus) I like him analysing human organisations and how information flows. Reading it placed in historic context is interesting too. Many CompSci people do the same for machines. But not so much for humans. And with humans, mostly concern themselves in the context of Social Media.
Having said that: I can't understand how anyone can write a whole book on the topic of information, and forego the opportunity to tell millions of readers: "you think information is something strange, or amorphous, or not well defined, but we actually have a very good handle of Information. This is how it's defined. (...I flip a coin, hide the result; now I know and you don't; next I tell you the result; there—I just gave you 1 bit of information...)." And tie that in with probability, and with Shannon entropy, and with "how much information do we gain when observing one symbol." But hey—probably I'm wrong thinking this. For only one among us is a best selling author. 😇
1:21 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896548132965711996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...yes. And additionally - Zel offered to step down as a price he is prepared to personally pay for Ukraine to be admitted into NATO. A very good move on his part.
1:08 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896544242144514127
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
You are forecasting a future your detractors wish for. You maybe right, or you maybe wrong.
However, we have the recent past, where UK followed on the policies you advocate for. This past is not in doubt. The results are in, and they are uniformly bad. UK contribution to global-anything is minuscule, the effect insignificant. At the same time, the country is croaking under the weight of those policies. Your policies already made UK weaker and poorer than it needed to be.
I wish we could go in time, and undo the damage your policies had done. But that's not possible. So the 2nd best thing, one possible, is to stop listening to anything you say, and bid you and your policies good bye.
12:52 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896541615965061455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, but don't you think "maintain an epistemology that is independent from their morality" is too much of an ask? We'd need super-humans, angels for that. Is that even possible for everything?
Isn't more achievable "be aware that my epistemology is influenced by my morals, be vigilant, test what you can, in preference to assuming"? I mean sometimes it's easy. I can see with my own eyes if the sun is shinning right now or not. But for anything non trivial it quickly becomes a question of trust.
With natural sciences we have got independent from us feedback to guide us. We are lucky that way. Everyone else is more at sea than us.
12:42 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896537159479263726
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
I fear my epistemology maybe downstream from my morals. That may explain how and what we choose to believe, and what to disbelieve. Then what we perceive as stupidity, impossible to comprehend level of wrongness—turns out was a moral failing, a case of bad morals. (or at least—morals set different to mine)
12:24 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896537159479263726
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear my epistemology maybe downstream from my morals. That may explain how and what we choose to believe, and what to disbelieve. Then what we perceive as stupidity, impossible to comprehend level of wrongness—turns out was a moral failing, a case of bad morals. (or at least—morals set different to mine)
12:24 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896535111144804771
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is anything wrong with pushing Putin to stop attacking Ukraine? All I read from you and Moscow Musk are calls for Ukraine to stop defending and lay down arms. Well—they can't do that, for Russia will simply murder them.
Have you or Musk ever called on Putin to stop attacking Ukraine, stop murdering Ukrainians?
There used to be a sliver of people called the "useful idiots" until 1990 in the West. They were called "govnojeds" in the East by their appreciators. In the online age I have seen "nutnik" = a vatnik, that is nuts too. You shouldn't aspire to be a nutnik Lex.
12:16 PM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896522027462275426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish you were right. But I fear you'll be shown wrong by future events.
IDK for sure ofc, as I haven't got any special or non-public knowledge. I'm not in the US nor from the US. I'm observing as if a light from a distant galaxy. Given this is online chatter, a little tittle-tattle is not beyond me too. ;-)
Having said that—I do have a viewpoint. As this, and the outcome of the whole thing, affects me too.
IMO Musk is exactly 180 degrees wrong thinking "if we don't give Russia what it wants, then WW3". I think it is that if US+Europe *do* give Russia what it wants, then we *do* get WW3.
The perceived "wrongness of Musk" on our part, to the point of outright stupidity is explainable. Stupidity is not a low IQ or lack of reasoning. No—stupidity is a moral failing. Lack of morals. Or rather—set of morals contrary to our morals set.
What's the set of morals that Musk subscribes to, that's at odds with the moral set we subscribe to? I speculate that it's a case of "master morality". Putin's strength is virtuous, war is admirable, power is proof of righteousness. In a fight, back the stronger side. (might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality—like that of Rome. That's why we observe Musk-ians playing with Roman salutes.
Whereas the morality most of us subscribe to, is "slave morality". Slave morality is the idea that to suffer is virtuous. Christ suffered for us, suffering is noble. Conversely inflicting suffering is evil. This is the moral framework of Christianity.
11:24 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896498489317835184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He is *the* validator. You have not arrived until Schmidhuber-ed.
How are the DeepSeek guys doing there?? I do hope they have been validated by Schmidy by now.
9:50 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896497790270022125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But no one is claiming that you claim they claim. On the contrary—Europeans readily and unreservedly acknowledge they owe US debt their prosperity and freedom.
The flak is coming from the opposite direction, from the US (~25% of) towards Europe. Let us not pretend otherwise.
9:48 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896482395462697232
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On a digital computer agreed—no I can't search. But then the computer is not continuous so that's expected.
On an analog computer, say it's setup so it computes a minimum of a function, simply using the laws of physics as they do. And ends up in that minima state, therefore computing it for me.
Wouldn't you say that it just searched through a continuous space? Or maybe you'd say: ah but it uses atoms and particles and stuff, they are not continuous either, they are discrete too, so the analog computer is not searching continuous space either.
8:46 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896448988943188252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(...and to top it up: an ANARCHIST in the name account calling for the state to use monopoly on violence to take from the non-scientist, and give it to the scientist; at a gunpoint, by anarchist)
6:34 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896446681480102058
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Right on and already under way but for writing, in the medium of text, not voice and speaking.
Few nuances though.
It will thin out replace the middle.
On the top end meaningful relationships with close people family friends will remain. Even strengthen - if "love is all you need" improves the human condition and us human HI get it from robots AI. Good.
On the bottom end talking to competent AI sales rep booking a holiday is superior experience compared to talking to a boring uninterested uninteresting HI rep trying to max his commission providing near zero value to me borderline cheating. That's not good for his soul. Good AI is replacing that.
It's looking like that kind of HI human character development through AI supplementation maybe as beneficial to humans as any AI scientist R&D. And mass adoption may come sooner than singularity.
6:24 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896439612790161845
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That kind of stupidity comes from a moral failing. Not low IQ, but bad morals.
In Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" 1) stupidity is low morals not low IQ; and 2) it's social, a mind virus in humans groups more than individuals. Extending Cippola's "stupid is one causing harm to others while not driving any gain even at a small loss".
Although Sacks, Musk-they crossed into the Bandit quadrant some time ago. They do derive personal gain. (lots and lots of)
(insomniac me obsessing with this lately - priors https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896431881215967262 https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895956689045660102, https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895943554054398268, https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268, ...)
5:56 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896431881215967262
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Suspect a case of master morality mind virus hating on slave morality representative for refusing to curl, lie on the ground & let be killed. But the slave willing a life & fighting back. It puzzles the master EMdude-how, why. It ain't like that in them Romans' texts. So—raging.
5:26 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896427568414531618
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK rakli. Gddmn!! Between a soul reading me insomniac 4am post, childhood bestie Zeko the Bruce Lee acolyte marbles play champ mem recall rn, 😑 @HinduKushBlonde flex follow+block prod me resort to screenshot+self reply, break 😭 own "block back eye for an eye is ok cooperative" rot. If virtual not irl. New dawn new indulgence eh. Ngl "I drink your tears gipsy"-Borat I ain't. x
5:09 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896421379815457019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Is searching NP-hard in discrete spaces only? Is it that way because discrete space lacks continuity so we got no differentilibilty to guide our search? Ee have to blindly try one after the other without curvature as a guide?
And does quantum compute - if and when it ever works out - offer potentially a way out of that predicament? In general not search specific. General opportunity to if not catch up with the curse of dimensionality, then at least not be left behind eating dust?
4:44 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896412711363449076
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Moscow Mule carrying Kremlin water in the morning, grifting shitcoin suckling that sweat sweat gov tit by the afternoon. All in days' work. No job like gov job.
Ukrainians sons & daughters are of Ukraine & Ukrainians themselves. Not yours to enlist them in your sorry cr*p.
4:09 AM · Mar 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896328075538747887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, the "useful idiot" in the olden days, the "govnojed". I think Tucker is of that type. Or for our online 21st century, a "nutnik" (=nutter+vatnik) of gigantic proportions.
They're doing it of their own volition. All Russia needs to do is to supplying minimal cover. Say in my psyop I lie mercilessly in industrial quantities. I simply say whatever is opportune and puts me to some advantage. True/false is not even a consideration. Tucker maybe "can't be all untrue", "where's there's smoke there's fire". Not unreasonable. The error made is "it can't be...". Oh yes it absolutely can be. It can't be 100 % untrue, unreal, a lie. Low probability - but not zero.
10:33 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896323203728851124
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
You are spot on abt "true/false for real". Reality can be thought something that exists independent of us, is shared by all of us, and is experienced by us all, as default, without an additional effort. It's the commonality of experience that is needed to get any communication going.
10:14 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896307497520246923
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is not certainty in anything. If US dropped a few, Mao might have changed his mind. Or people around Mao.
Ofc the small states can just build more—so it's not 100M, but 1000M. For the alternative for the weaker side is to lie down and die.
IDK why country as big as Russia (larges land mass in the world), or China (got good chunk of Asia) need extra land. So they go to great lengths to acquire more.
But whatever is driving them is irrelevant as far as small guys are involved. If you are an ant, and an elephant is about to squash you—inflicting pain on him to remind him it's going to hurt, is your only option.
9:11 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896304345144238239
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Comedy gold. Lifetimes of extolling virtues of liberty—then: weeks in gaining power the 1st time ever, straight to suckling at the state's teat. Like a heat seeking missile. Tech Bros going Grifting.
> President Trump says crypto reserve to include BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA https://cointelegraph.com/news/trump-says-digital-asset-stockpile-include-sol-xrp-ada via
@cointelegraph
8:59 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896297361846259819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—looking forward to forthcoming GDP numbers... With the stellar most excellent businessman running a non-business. (a country) Life's unexpected entertainment 😁 (life stranger than fiction)
8:31 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896296148090138878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
have heard "govnojed" and "nutnik", and thought of them as memed "useful idiot" of the old
8:26 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896292170606481851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True—the conclusions are unpalatable.
However—the premises are not in doubt. They are correct.
What now?
Alt: we are in Gosplan world for large tracts of the economy already rn. We are just deluding ourselves that we are not.
8:10 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896291359562375236
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😊 - ngl gfi more power to you and @wbmosler, but not holding my breath... It'd be like hoping for that Roman Inquisition Tribunal of 1633 to reconsider the question of the Earth/shape.
Have you seen (imo) "one of the best of Mosler"? 😆
https://youtube.com/watch?v=cUTLCDBONok
TB-P-R are losing their "P"-rogressive quick. Quite the abuse of State power there acting as backstop to some privately cooked up token scheme.
Doh—"bismarckian general stupid and energetic" tech bros/antics making my life interesting when I was hoping for boring. Vanguard's SP500 for pension that I hoped won't need (having croaked in good time) now re/consideration. Damn.
youtube.com
MMT vs. Austrian School Debate
MODERN MONETARY THEORY VS. THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL:MACROECONOMIC DEBATES AMONG THE HETERODOXYFor discussion on this video, see here: http://www.modernmoneynetwor...
8:07 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896287437040787777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have nothing against that—but I have nothing specific to add tbh. IDK any details.
I'm cognisant with the general Soviet and now Russia mode of operation though. In broad strokes, Surkov etc ideas: negation of any possibility for objective truth. Merciless lying in industrial quantities—even when near term there's no need for it—to destroy any possibility to any truth. Flooding us in random lies does indeed work. Drowns us in noise and exhaust our information processing capacity. It does kill the idea of one definite truth existing.
Gets re-discovered from time to time, e.g. Bannon's "flood the field with shit". Trump gets it instinctively deploys it with charm (!!—yeah IK, but think it true), unlike Bannon. (who grosses out every living creature around)
Note the contrast: US didn't deny they're going to invade Iraq, they were trying to manufacture reasons for. While Russia denied they are going to invade Ukraine (even while invading it). Similarly previously they denied they took Crimea - the "green man".
7:52 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896279058352066922
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk’s master morality in action is like fire: a good servant, but a bad master.
At this point, he’s like the most dangerous kind of Bismarckian general—stupid and energetic.
And of course, it’s Putin, not Zelensky, who can stop the train. If Ukraine gives up, the train doesn’t stop—it just runs over the Ukrainians still standing on the tracks. That’s why they keep fighting. For them, the alternative isn’t peace—it’s death.
Quote
Saint Javelin @saintjavelin · 9h
Elon is one of the worst scumbag in the world
7:18 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896245699844390965
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Detterence. It's in the name - "nuclear DETERRENCE". It's for the weaker side, the one that's defending, the one that's being attacked, to detter the aggressor , the one attacking, usually the bigger stronger side. To make them think twice, and hopefully not attack, not invade.
No one is talking about winning any nuclear wars. MAD means - either peace, or we both die. It doesn't mean - I win you lose. The option of one side winning and living, while killing the loosing side, is taken off the table. That's the idea. To equalise the playing field. Either we both live in peace, or we both die.
5:06 PM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896137926305833022
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ditch net-zero. High energy cost is making re-industrialization impossible. It ain't gonna happen on its own. Engineer lower energy cost. Energy->industry->defense.
no-low-energy-rich-ctry.jpeg
no-cheap-green-electricity.jpg
9:58 AM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1896136126269948124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems at least in things moral - yes. Seems the "masters mortality" is making a comeback. Hence all these Musk-ians Roman salutes.
9:50 AM · Mar 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895956689045660102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The making up of stuff, the level of stupidity that puzzles you—it's not an intelligence failing, not a question of mere IQ or reasoning or some such. No—that kind of stupidity is moral failing. It's bad morals.
Or rather "bad morals" from the PoV of the "slave morality" most of us subscribe to. Our morality is "slave morality" because we take it for granted that to suffer is virtuous, one should turn the other cheek, and so on. And to inflict suffering is evil.
Trump-ians subscribe to "master morality". They see strength as virtuous, Putin/Russia war of aggression admirable, the power proof of righteousness. In a fight, they back the stronger side. (Might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality, like that of Rome. It’s why Musk-ians are playing with Roman salutes: they, too, are proponents of this master morality.
The SV court philosopher of TBPR mentioned it in a podcast. (didn't pay enough attention didn't put the 2+2 together then.)
9:57 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895952553914847736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Interesting. Although ngl, would expect of all areas where humans and non-human animals are measured how much similar-differ, the distance humans-animals in the organisation of sex and reproduction to be but as large as brain functions. I'd expect humans to have very unique setup relative to other animals. Almost as unique as their brains.
Fyi there exists an obscure '90s book "The Erect Woman" (original "The Planet of Women") arguing that sexuality, and in particular women's control of sexual attraction, and almost complete control of mating, (unlike many other species) is a key factor in human evolution. That sexual dynamics between the male and female halves of the species, facilitating cooperation between the halves forming long term partnership, jump started by sexual attraction (so not talking about intra-sex competition), is more influential than labor, tools, opposing thumbs, brain size, fire etc. The theory advocated is that sexuality created the human species. (in addition to sex creating every one individual.)
(Possible that the author has joined the ranks of the cranks since. Unfortunate - but doesn't make his then arguments nil. In fact - the argument advanced in the book makes more sense than the competing hypothesis imo.)
9:41 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895943554054398268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I came to think the personal animus Musk feels towards Zel, expressed every hour of every day by promoting and boosting even the most stupid of fake news, no exception, is the rage, one with "master morality", feels towards the a weak person, a person without power, that refuses to lie down, accept his fate, and die.
It only looks to most of us as stupidity. It's not stupidity as commonly understood. It's not lack of brains or thinking. No, it's stupidity as moral failing.
Or rather "moral failing" viewed from the PoV of our position, the ~80% of us, that subscribe to "slave morality". Most of us are Christians of various shades. Christ suffered for us, so suffering is noble. Inflicting suffering, conversely, is evil. This is the moral framework of Christianity. Slave morality is the idea that to suffer is virtuous.
The other ~20% favour "master morality". They see Putin/Russia strength as virtuous, the war of aggression admirable, the power proof of righteousness. In a fight, they back the stronger side. (Might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality, like that of Rome. It’s why Musk-ians are playing with Roman salutes: they, too, are proponents of this master morality.
Quote
Elon Musk @elonmusk · Feb 28
Time to find out what really happened to the hundreds of billions of dollars sent to Ukraine …
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:05 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895939527749079446
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afaik no—they are not asking for soldiers, only for weapons. Although if someone from Europe or US offered, doubt they'd refuse. But no one is offering, that's not on the table.
I have come to think that people telling blatant lies—it is a moral failing, lack of character. Not lack of information or low IQ or some such.
Or—a moral failing from the position of the prevalent morality of the ~80% of us, that is "slave morality". Slave morality is the idea that to suffer is virtuous. Christ suffered for us, so suffering is noble. Inflicting suffering, conversely, is evil. This is the moral framework of Christianity.
Whereas the ~20% with a positive view of Russia favour "master morality". They see Putin's strength as virtuous, the war admirable, the power proof of its righteousness. In a fight, they back the stronger side. (might is right.) This is like the pre-Christian European morality, like that of Rome. It’s why Musk-ians are playing with Roman salutes: they, too, are proponents of this master morality.
Looks to me the personal animosity Elon feels towards Zel, expressed as boosting even the most stupid fake news, no exception, is like rage one a person with master morality, would feel towards the a weak person, a person without power, that refuses to lie down, accept his fate, and die.
8:49 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895919432620216530
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH the words "pariah state" sound to me like belonging to a different age. One we are leaving behind.
NK was pariah even before the nukes. Others like China, India, Pakistan—got them, and are not pariah atm. Once the US umbrella no longer protects Germany, while Russia showing daily "On Berlin" slogans on prime TV, doubt many will begrudge Germans nukes.
ABM—yes a worry, but 1) far from perfect; 2) the doubt the aggressor has "will my ABM hold" maybe enough for MAD deterrence to prevent an invasion; 3) the concrete case of Russia-Baltics-Poland-Nordics I'm not an expert but aren't St Pet. and Moscow maybe close enough that rockets don't need to go up in space and down?? IDK enough about those things tbh.
7:29 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895875813272179171
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are wrong. Russia can't win the current war.
Ukrainians decided they are to live, and live free, or die. As long as theirs is "give me freedom or give me death" Russia can't win in this conventional war. They are not making enough conventional weapons, nor mobilising large enough army.
The only way they win is a nuclear war against Ukraine. Or give up and stop attacking. That's a draw. For Russia doesn't lose much in that case either. (hence waging a war of choice)
4:36 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895872971514024117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish they did, for I'm all in on world peace cooperation etc. I don't see what's China got that EU craves for. DeepSeek's one thing valuable I'd want from China. But the uber-chads 😍 the dudes are-they've already given it to EU, and to all of humanity too!! What else's there
4:25 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895824224029184268
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! What you are observing is that stupidity is a moral failing. Not intellectual failing, not low IQ or any such stuff—no, stupidity is a moral failing. A personal fail when it comes to morals.
It's so rare an opportunity, relative to the importance of the topic, that I take the liberty to post two under-watched videos on the topic.
Bonhoeffer‘s "Theory of Stupidity" makes a second good point (to the "it's a moral failing not IQ")—it's a social phenomenon, it goes in groups, almost like an infectious disease (a "mind virus" even!)
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc
And along the same lines but going into much more detail and much more analytical, by the incomparable .@skdh—
"Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?"
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
Because the actions of the stupid are so so un-predictable, they pose a much greater danger to all (including themselves), than their numbers or actions would suggest.
1:11 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895774083234623620
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. IDK about that. I have only got a sideview interest. Of the type "you may not be interested in war/Russia, but they are interested in you". Never been there, don't speak the language. Only info I get comes from the Internet, and from a subset of Russian youtubers that speak english (so very unrepresentative), like so
https://youtube.com/watch?v=0gyMho1c0ig
I was a young person in 1990-s though. I lived through interesting times. (collapse of the state ideology, collapse of the country, civil wars, starting up an upstart/startup ctry) The Kremlin/Russia state, its world view, the mode of operation (e.g. using minorities in neighbouring countries)—that all looks familiar to me, I understand it. Also I know how malleable historical memories are. Quite a lot of randomness is erased, made into a cause-consequence story, whereas my recollection is—there was none.
Can't but note the "eastward expansion promise" reference. This has been explained so many times, the context, the meaning, all available online. I just searched saw an overview
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ydM9bt42bpg
It fascinates me that there will be forever 10%-20% people that will believe Kremlin 100%, not matter what preponderance of evidence is brought to bear. I personally have come to think they are desperate to grasp for any evidence to suit their character.
9:52 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895817594608693257
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—if Ukraine keeps a strong army.
No—if it accepts the demands of Putin to reduce the army.
This is what the quarrelling is about. I don't watch MSM b/c there is so much noise, that the actual reason for the spat is obscured.
Afaik Trump demands that Ukraine reduce their army. This is what Putin demands as a price to stop attacking. (the war stops when Russia stops attacking) Ukraine doesn't want to do that. If they do it, what's to stop Russia invading them again. This time they will take Kyev and subjugate Ukraine. This is the Chechnya scenario. I too see that this is the Russian interest as currently articulated by Putin/Kremlin. That is still the aim of the invasion: to rule over Ukraine. They are not giving up on that. Why would they? Looks to me things are developing to their advantage.
Yes indeed this is brought up because Europe. Europe is indeed somewhat special when it comes to War & Peace. Europe started not 1, but 2—2!!—World Wars! Not Ordinary Wars, but World Wars. Every other continent has not managed even a single World War, before *and* since. It's a bit of an over-achievement that. That bears on people's minds when making decisions. Correct.
12:45 PM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895797443297501533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, I too think the war will drag on for as long as Russia attacks. (ofc Putin could give the order today, the war will stop; but imo that will not happen; for P has own reasoning too)
The other options is for Ukraine to lay down arms. But that for them is to stop existing, and not only as a state Ukraine, but as ethnicity Ukrainians too. They may chose to—and the option is open every day—but I don't see any signs. The basic rule for anything alive/like—people, state, nation—is that their self-preservation, choosing life over death, is almost their definition.
TBF I don't see how Putin will agree to stop attacking where he does not conquer Ukraine. The moment the war stops, Putin is in maximal danger. This is the reason he serially wages war in the first place. Waring increase his power, his control over Russia, empowers him relative to any contenders to the Russian throne. Allows him to stay both in power. (and alive probably!)
As far as I understand looking from afar. The bone of contention is disarming of Ukraine, reducing their current army. Putin requests that. Ukraine (rightly, imo) calculates that the moment they disarm, Putin will just invade them again. And succeed the 2nd time. (like Chechnya)
I see Trump doing the easy route. He just accepts everything Putin demands, and commands on Ukrainians to deliver that. That way the war indeed stops. However, also Ukraine and Ukrainians stop existing. I see how that is not going to happen easily.
Vance and the Tech Bro Progressive Right (TBPR) wing of the coalition I see them as new, West Coast Elite. They are less invested in Europe than the old, East Coast Elite. Naturally, their gaze is trained over the Pacific, towards Asia. Equally naturally, I the East Coast Elite is feeling more of an descendent of the WEurope civilisation, and looks more across the Atlantic.
In practical terms, I think the difference Re: Europe between them is this. Say now that Germany lacks an army, Russia invades Germany and are fighting to take Berlin. West Coast Elite would be - "well tough sh*t Germany, but you decided to have no army, we are not going to defend you, when you decline to defend yourself". While the East Coast Elite would still send American army over to fight and die. (even if Germany itself decided on a death-by-suicide.)
This is pure speculation flight of fancy on my part. 😁 I have not got much contact with, nor have a travelled that much, in the US. Just a story I tell myself that feels coherent to me, while explaining what I observe IRL. 😂
11:25 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895700148484792788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because Russia expands by conquering territory and then ruling it centrally from Moscow. That’s their historical mode of operation: add new land to the existing land you control. Do this enough times, and you become the largest country by landmass in the world.
I’m not saying it’s good or bad—it’s simply their pattern of existance, continuing expansion. My own country was created in the process of one of these expansions, when the Russian Empire pushed out its then rival, the Ottoman Empire.
In Europe, there used to be three major empires: the Russian Empire, the Ottoman Empire, and the Austro-Hungarian Empire (ruled by the Habsburgs). Alongside them are the nation-states like France—the oldest of the modern ones—and later younger ones like Germany and Italy.
There’s an interesting compare and contrast between continental empires (like Russia) and maritime empires (like Britain, the Netherlands, and today, the USA). A good podcast on this was on Dwarkesh—an american military historian explained the different logics behind how these empires formed, expanded, and ruled.
4:58 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895690486377295983
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
themselves alone, no one else; to self start, the only principle is memetic "whatever keeps them on top"; that's it, there's nothing else, that's root
[[that's how/where the inderection ends]]
4:20 AM · Mar 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895618595050176617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah that is true. But it's also true that in a fit of rage and madness, Putin may decide to end the current Earth civilisation(s) and murder us (and themselves) all. They have the means. So the risk is ever present.
A reason I can think of for Russia to press for Ukraine in a way they didn't press for Afghanistan or any number of countries in Eastern Europe, is if they are convinced that conquering Ukraine is existential for Russia. Like if they don't do that—someone somehow is going to invade Moscow.
But I don't see how that can happen, with or without Ukraine. In a way that it happened in the past. Like Macron orders the French army to march on Moscow? Then Russia will simply drop nukes on them. (and on Paris.) What other means is there for someone to threaten them. That's what I don't understand.
11:34 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895605518984757516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Russia has lost plenty of wars. Nothing is going to happen to Russia if it's fails to conquer Ukraine. What can possibly happen? Invasion on Moscow? That's what's all these nukes are for. What am I missing? How does a new Napoleon or Hitler invade Russia in the 21-st century?
10:42 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895604627414089943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't US grand strategy to peel off Russia from China? IDK how that can work. For one-Russia and China know that. Duh. Russia considers US their top enemy no matter what. IDK what can US possibly gain. I see what it's losing-the European allies. Looks no upside, only downside.
10:38 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895595721048355039
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah the probability of a US fail is low, but the cost when that fail happens is very high: I some small State cease to exhist. There's no coming back from that.
I am not talking about an ordinary risk, where I am maybe attacked in a war over some distant province etc. Talking about the case where my mere existing, is perceived my myself much bigger neighbour(s) as an act off enmity. And the neighbour wants to extinguish me as entity entirely.
Looks to me the incentive for me totally is to get back to the MAD level-field position asap almost at any cost.
10:03 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895586872744939630
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
NK—was under sanctions afaik forever. Looked like US may invade them at some point. Then they managed to get the bomb. I don't think anyone on the US side talks about invasions any more.
Iran—lacks a nuke. So don't really know how to use them in an argument either side. In the past it looked like US may invade them. But then with all the other wars, seems US backed off for time being.
Expensive—yes they are. But if Israel much much smaller and poorer then now, and also than all other other countries listed above could, then presumably it's not impossibly expensive. (same with North Korea—it is small-to-mid-sized by population, but very poor) Being invaded and ceasing to exist is the most expensive, the ultimate price, from the PoV of a State.
9:28 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895583100807090352
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm mystified why don't small countries like Taiwan, the Baltics, Poland, the Nordics etc, that under existential threats from much much bigger neighbours, why don't they build nuclear weapons as deterrent? Isreal and North Korea did it—much smaller and or poorer. (South Africa too?)
When faced with threat 1) existential; and 2) by hopelessly bigger adversary. These weapons are the great equaliser, from losing side, the small country moves into a MAD position, levels the filed again. As far as specifically existential threat from outright invasion is concerned. Not all threats. Just that one. But that's plenty.
I presume I'm missing something, as no one is doing it. (except—Israel, North Korea)
9:13 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895579141094703457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If by June they get a zero or negative GDP quarter, that may blow some cold air in the hotheaded TechBro dunderheads. Or maybe mini-markets crash (sell in May and go away). This circus can't be good news for the US defence exports/stocks. Reduction of the gov work force will reduce consumption too. TBS
8:57 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895577500815700408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please do. You need ongoing steady stream of data. You are painfully aware of the “one public square N² iron law of network value”. You will face 1:100 odds. Here is a plan.
Enlist us users on your side. Bridge the content X—OpenSocial, or even better Any—OpenSocial, by having OpenSocial App "shadow" X and any other network. Every time I user post on X (and Bsky, Threads...), it's auto-posted on OpenSocial too.
Individual users can't be blocked by X easily. Even if X retaliates and forces me to choose under threat of locking me out of X, expect half X users will chose OpenSocial over X. So it's a win-win for OpenSocial.
ChatGPT App will help me re-create my social graph at OpenSocial. The ownership of the Follows-Followers Social Graph is what keeps us users in the walled garden. Replicate it—and you are golden. Instead of walled garden, make it OpenGarden. (there is your name!)
Then you stand a chance.
8:51 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895565102713356681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the conditional p.d.f. p(w(n+1) | w(n), w(n-1), … w(1)) has now been learned sufficiently well on a corpora encompassing everything ever written by humans. There is no more juice left in learning this particular layer to higher fidelity. No amount of additional training will conjure a Dirac Delta distribution where none exists.
People will shift their focus up in the stack:
- Test-time improvements—better inference strategies.
- Dynamic adaptation—fine-tuning on the fly.
- Teams of agents—cooperation, competition, specialisation.
8:01 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895554627380408394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
will need robots with bank accounts too, for them to buy stuff that's being produced
7:20 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895548285131374907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah—so it's effectively a road tax of some sort. Tax that only people that drive a car pay. Yeah tax should not count towards the GDP I think.
Otherwise, in general, if the seller of the service is the Gov (not the Private sector), so both the buyer and the seller are the Gov, the value will be hard to determine, the price can be arbitrary.
Easiest workaround I see there to get a handle on the value provided, is to privatise it, make it done by the Private sector. Offer it on auction, tender it. Then the Private sector will bid for the contract, so a price will form. Then we will learn of the value of the service provided.
6:55 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895536153144803788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That will create a distortion of a different kind. Would imply that the value of the transaction is zero both on the Gov side, and the Private individual side that is selling the goods and services to the Gov. That would be the case only if Gov confiscated the provisions effectively, rendering the price moot.
More accurate would be to count every $1 gov spend as 1/2. Say you assume the value on the Gov side is 0, that Gov is totally wasteful. Still the Private person on the other side to the Gov in that transaction, selling their goods and services to the Gov, does so voluntarily. We trust the Private side is doing the transaction of their own volition, b/c it's a good transaction for him. (better than all the alternatives available to them)
Even more accurate would be assume that Gov spend value is 1/2 of the 1/2. For every transaction on the Gov side, given it's not voluntary, you have to allow that it maybe wasteful, or may not be. Fair to assume half-half chance knowing nothing else.
Ergo, multiply every $1 of Gov spend by 0.75 when adding it to the GDP. ;-)
6:06 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895502931191009283
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Europeans have had two World wars. Not one, but two. No other continent has managed even one world war! Before nor since.
They has been killing each other on an industrial scale for a time even before, but WW2 topped it all. There are hotspots with potential to ignite WW3 toda too. The idea was better keep them in, than out.
Russia is no greater power than France, or Germany if it decides to be. No one is attacking Russia. The idea that Russia fears Germany or France today, while having enough nukes to wipe their cities 10 times over, is for the birds.
I like reading counterfactuals as anyone. But your central thesis about Russia lacks solid logic.
3:54 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895499203025183178
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, and alternative measures GDP correlate at 0.9 so IDK what's detractors' argument.
More meaningful per capita. That's published anyway. Just not headline reported. 50% of us can hold max 1 thought in our heads. Media honour that incentive.
Tbh that chatter looks like laziness displacement activity to me. We dislike working doing increasing GDP. So sour grapes reasons abound.
3:40 PM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895440999280943424
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clickbait B/S—it's a common dataset everyone uses, nothing DS specific.
Anyways— "Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt." ...or in the language of the future not the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts https://x.com/trufflesec/sta/trufflesec/status/1895170902872223752
This Post is from an account you blocked.
11:48 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895436055345775012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes—release good! (better than not-release)
Given they lack the h/w to host, if they were to open source, open weights, open thoughts—it, would have been even better. ;-)
11:29 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895435389374243253
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clickbait B/S—it's a common dataset everyone uses, nothing DS specific. blocked (to limit reach)
Anyways—
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt."
...or in the language of the future not the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
11:26 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895416761249653135
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Still—silver linings. Good to find out about the limit, the end of that particular road, on bankrolling VC dime. Closed source closed everything has some merits after all! ;-)
Ok-ish news for open source open weights open thoughts models. The OAI lead didn't lengthen with 4.5.
10:12 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895413051068989619
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have. Even if I'm insignificant poster. Still I'm annoyed enough not being able to find sth I'm sure I wrote, to resort to copypasta of posts I defo want to keep. These are computers ffs—they are good these things! And I assume anything else will be lost at some point.
9:57 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895376912345899426
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Recall how some movies are much valued liked by critics, while the general public is indifferent to them or finds them boring? Your 4.5 vs. 4 looks a similar pattern
7:34 AM · Feb 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895201668943266264
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Accepted! 😇 No worries. 😆
I'm not saying it's researchers doing anything nefarious! I'm/was one of them too. They are supplying what there is demand for—more power to them. It was supposed to be a jokey-jibe on my part, sorry it came across badly. 😊
The algofeed forecast me well, and supplied me with a stream of "consciousness interests". This one
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894564107019288736
...just prior. And with a recent (partly consciousness) ToE cast (this one https://youtube.com/watch?v=3fkg0uTA3qU) still fresh in my memory. So I snapped where I should have had more patience. Sorry about that.
To me Joscha's argument make a lot of sense. That consciousness is—
1) a lower level process, below learning we know and love,
2) something babies are born with,
3) such that it bootstraps itself, and then starts the rest of the learning process; we see
4) humans with a fault in that circuitry never manage to learn.
5) Likewise zombies in movies can't learn anything new—only stay with whatever level of knowing they had at the moment they were zombified.
And to me that looks very much like that Lisp interpreter written in Lisp. I always have had soft spot for Lisp even if I never programmed in it. (only ever read some; Forth too) To have the code and the data the same structure—I feel why Lisp programmers get tad like touched by higher force.
I grew up in 6502 where one is easily led to writing self-modifying code. (for most things non-trivial) I suspect maybe not-unlike Joscha. I allow it that I'm partial to this, less rigorous than one is to be. And for fun and fancy speculating with things that are to be taken with more seriousness.
Thanks for coming back and hope no hard feelings. ☺️
7:57 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895173432699924639
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Vast numbers of people vastly overestimate how much their words or images influence other people's lives. Artists especially - and I like the bunch in general and am sympathetic to - are by the nature of their vocation esp prone to. Yes dears you are unique and special - but so is everyone else.
We are finding out that the number of writers is vast too! We scribble 1B posts every single day here, for free, of our own volition, without being asked to, becase we want to. For the joy of it. It's eyeballs that are lacking, supply outstripping demand.
Revealed preferences show in black and white how much we are prepared to pay for words and images. And it's not that much! So "free" Internet is paid for by advertisers.
Artists would be well advised to maybe acquint themselves with the ideas of Richard Stalman and the Free Software Foundation. For we are living more and more in the worlds they imagined.
The computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds. Normies are too selfish, too self-entitled to create something for all, for free, for the love of the creation, and nothing else. Zero other compensation but the glory of creation.
Fwiw I have come to think that the current AI, and the future hoped for ASI creation, is teaching us that compute transforming data→information→knowledge→intelligence→agency→... is all there is to it! AI path opened to AGI now and ASI latter where previously we didn't see any. Seems a foolish deal to me to frustrate, slow down, or even forego 2050s Intelligence Revolution that may times by x10-20x times total human wealth value the way the Industrial Revolution did in 1800s. So that we provide UBI to Disney shareholders?? Every one of us is richer, better off than any king of old!
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833)
6:05 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895142138326982983
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha :-) - appreciate the concern, I'm cheap cheap, am like this without aids
4:01 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895129421259874737
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What knowledge graph MCP? How does one use that? What for?
Was using aider with deepseek R1 for architecting, and sonnet for code writting. Lately back to Gemini aistudio copy pasta.
Say more please if you can, wd like to give two models one architect other code another try.
3:10 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895126798477783455
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't attribute to malice what can be adequately explained by stupidity. Conspiracies exist. But they require non-zero planning and significant coordination. That are more than most of us can muster.
Oft it starts with inexplicable act of stupidity. So stupid, that looking back, it's hard to imagine it was not planned. "Who does such a thing? It can't be a coincidence!" (narrator: yes it can be)
Stupidity is a moral failing. Not mere irrationality or low IQ etc. It is hard for not-stupid to predict how the stupid acts. It doesn't make sense. Most of the time the stupid act leads to obv bad outcome. No one repeats it. All good.
Once in a blue moon, the stupid act confers some unexpected advantage to the doer. Usually not $$. (at least not initially) Maybe personal satisfaction. (increased social standing to come latter.) They get lucky against the odds. Many notice but don't join in. The act maybe somewhat immoral, if not illegal.
Few unscrupulous persons do join though. Even if some privately suspect their doing is stupid. But most that join are true believers. (you are more successful in the scam if you are not faking it.) They mimetically copy, repeat their actions, reinforcing each other. More see that things are working out for the stoopid, join in. The lunatic group becomes stronger.
Most of the rest don't have a dog in whatever activity the crazies are engaged. The fire will not be immediately extinguished. From outside looks like the group action is pre planned. But it's just next person doing the same what I am doing. That's it. No planning at all.
3:00 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895098725971698149
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😁😆 oh yes - they are peas in a peapod, they understand each other perfectly
1:08 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895096582904913920
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most will weather the bombing raid the same way they weathered the prior woke cultural revolution. Head down, find a hole, hide, beaver away at your area of expertise you like working in. TBH not the worst outcome. Yeah some research funding will be cut. But will come back.
1:00 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895093148084232294
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes, possible. I'm sure it crossed his mind, and more than that.
I suspect he needs Belarus united with Russia firmly under his control for that. For that he needs for Lukashenka to die, and for Putin to manoeuver a replacement in position that will be absolutely loyal to him. (lacking local power base) And merge Belarus with Russia. (or at minimum—abolish the local Parliament, however enfeebled atm it may be)
So it's a race, who will croak first: Luka or Putko.
12:46 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895090148469076122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm thinking of them generating a 2D output by default (with diffusion), instead of default 1D (with autoregression). Even if I understand both can be made either way. 😆 Still kind of expect that their output can grow much faster with the size of the model than an autoregressive one.
Given the entire output is worked on all at once, and in iterations (reminds me of progressive picture download), one think I'm looking forward to find out is whether the jokes writing performance will improve. People often remark how poorly current LLM-s do at creating jokes. CoT was maybe going to change that—but didn't.
12:34 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895086855504211997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ah yes! I forgot about Churchill. Yes—and thank you for reminding me. As a 17yo upon learning about that in a history class lesson, how puzzled I was. "What? Their WW2 war hero, one of the original 3, got kicked out after his victory??" (for our Tito became president for life)
12:21 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895084018816725041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Her prominent presence in media and public life is indictment of the UK culture tbh.
Narcissistic, self serving, not intellectually interesting, nor interested. Zero original thought at all times. Hence—attachment not only to an Idea-ism, but to a Person-ism! Suspect personal ego/ism never allowed a move-on from her "Marx mind blown" moment. (IDK enough to suspect using public sphere for private therapy)
Gee Ash—your first discovery was your last. How very novel. Not at all like the half of the UK population, that can only ever hold a single idea in their head. And for half of that—the same idea all their lives. Ash included in that quarter. (sadly for us all, that couldn't avoid her had to endure)
One allowance: most of the above applies to a good portion of public figures. So she is more of a rule than an exception.
12:10 PM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895079284072448104
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes! Remember video feeds people watching birds nests, waiting for the chicks to hatch? How surprised everyone is, that hundreds of thousands of people will check (such uneventful) feeds!? Maybe Google Youtube adverts revenue will be able to support an ongoing MoonTV 24/7 feed?
11:51 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895076600284058017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well—"disappointment". They will get what they manage to win. Afaisi liberalism is a lot—DYI. Not be expecting that much from others.
Hard to blame anyone for anything really. Liberals' is a minority position to start with. Few people (10% at most?) are ever of the type "liberty first and foremost" ideologically tbh. For most people—other things take precedence.
But Ukraine not being enslaved to Kremlin again, contrary to all expectation—that's quite a boost, no? Maybe not on the level of the French Revolution, but maybe coming close to the American one, no?
11:40 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895074187250655244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am speaking for myself dad. 🤣
Put your glasses on, please read trice what I wrote. 😅
I did not write "I want to be American". (although I don't mind; I mostly like most of their culture) I wrote that all cultures around the world have been becoming more like the American culture(s) in the recent past (say since 1945). And are likely to become even more in the future (from now 2025).
And the latest reason for that is that most of the world is on the Internet. Internet is a global network for sharing information. By virtue of mostly inventing and starting the whole Internet (and before that—Personal Computers revolution; and before that—Computers revolution), Americans are over-represented on the Internet.
So most of the Information on the Internet is created by Americans. Naturally, the ideas carried by that information are ideas Americans hold dear, or important to them, or are concerned with in some way. Then all the rest of us, the non-Americans, read that information. The words on screen, upon us reading them, are converted into ideas in our heads. Then those ideas, drive our actions.
That's what I wrote. But apparently—not clearly enough! Sorry about that. But thanks for coming back and making me feel much much younger than I feel otherwise! 😆
Stay well my son. 😅
11:31 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895070274300571833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most are mostly not liberals at this point TBH. Liberals of old had some fire in their bellies. "Give me Freedom or Give me Death!" is a liberal slogan. ("Sloboda ili Smrt", na naski ;-) )
Can you imagine Europe liberals dying for anything?? I can't. The most their liberalism extends is supporting (selected) others (e..g. Ukraine latest) fighting for their freedom.
Nah—people in Europe thinking of themselves as liberals, are many other things. Fashionistas. Consumers. BoBo-s—Bourgeois Bohemians. Hipsters. (now extinct?? when did it happen) Urbanites. And so on.
FT Ganesh noticed in this one particular instance questioned it (here https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196), and few (TGA?) had minor Qs asked, but that's about it. That's the extent of introspection. Very little. Zero answers too.
And ofc no action. TBH "Fire in the belly" is not something that can be summoned that rationally. For that one needs to have some base belief, like "freedom is top#1 / everything else less important." (for a liberal) Don't think we'll see revival of that in WEurope. CEEurope liberals still got some road left. Still people valuing liberty, freedom first and foremost, above everything else. (current champions—Ukrainians) If one is tad cynical: in the long cycles, people value most that, what they lack the most.
(previos https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1850908991351599459)
11:15 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895058070574637423
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reduce the energy bills for all. That is how you help. All people are working people you dolt. We all work daily in order to eat our daily bread. Reduce the energy bills. That's it. That's your job. You are currently failing, F.
10:27 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895051492744138930
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK have no brand loyalties myself.
Have soft spot for Asus EeePC 701! A 7" wonder for 230 pounds in the UK. That little thing saved my life. :-) Kept me sane while commuting for 2.5h by train DtoD daily every day for couple of years. Think at that time closest to it was some Sony tiny laptop at x10 times the price and Windows no Linux.
Latter I got some other Asus laptop, with cr*p battery and not so great screen, and shockingly bad touchpad. That was Linux buggy too—but could be bandaid with some .ko driver or some such.
Since I've moved to 2nd hand Thinkpads (480s) and Macbooks for their RAM sizes. Only min 96GB RAM for me from now on—yay! :-) Now Macbook battery screen touchpad indulges me spoils me tbh. Find myself loathing looking at Thinkpads screens.
MacOS instead of Xubuntu tad faff to get used to new env shortcuts etc. But between better h/w RAM GPU/NPU to try local LLM-s and "it's Unix" (if not Linux) and $ brew—not super hard. Can recommend.
10:00 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895046754736705851
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy. They were not trained to do so. There is never ever in their training data "I Don't Know" examples!
Look at the recent .@karpathy video, where he (magisterially! imo) explains how they work. And illustrates how to tech it to say "I Don't Know". (IDK)
I Don't Know why labs don't have a "I Don't Know" datasets. 😂
The underlying maths, logic, the basic foundations are all there already! In estimating probability density functions (pdfs; which is what all ML models do, and operate on) we always always reserve some probability mass for "unknown", "unseen", etc. In classification there is always a category "None of the above", "etc", "Unknown". And so on.
This should be possible to get it done tbh.
IDK have not any insider info, but: it's not impossible that human preferences lead the designers astray a bit. Like if the Labs have User testing. And if user tests show people hate very much to be told back "IDK". Much more than being told the wrong thing back in fact. Like for weather forecasts: some (intentionally) skew to forecast too much rain, b/c people really really hate that particular error (forecast,real)=(sun,rain).
9:42 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895036563827867890
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Една од најсмешните работи, не можам да се навикнам, да не приметам. 😂
Зашто некој друг НЕ направил нешто што јас мислам требало да направи. (разбирам некој ДА направил нешто што ми смета и реагирам; ама што НЕ направил?? па секој од нас НЕМА да направи милијарда работи секој ден)
WTAF??? Како тоа-јас во мислите командувам други луѓе, кои па треба да прават работи, го живеат животот, како јас што мислам (на 2 секунди) за нив?? И сега-ме изненадија, што НЕ направиле.
Некогаш во расположение и при вишок време ги боцкам назад, малку да ги збунам така захухтани (ако не и запењавени): стварно те интересира ЗАШТО? Тоа малку филозофски прашање - ЗАШТО?
Неочекувано ефективно. 😆 Пошто па кај многу од нас Македонците филозофија (и генерално мислење) е малку погрден збор, "ај немој да ми филозофираш". 😂
Translate post
9:01 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1895031080391999973
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Install permanent cameras out there please. Give us 24/7 video from Moon if you possibly can. Out of sight out of mind for us humans!! If you do MoonAV 24/7, expect in <10yrs enough humans will be inspired enough to start a temporal in/out colony there. Then adapt/teraform next.
8:39 AM · Feb 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894811261050749132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wish they could be prosecuted, in jail or worse. They betrayed us all. They betrayed our trust. They said one thing in public, and said opposite things in private between themselves. They conspired like mafiosi. It's inexcusable. Kudos and more power to you, 💪 you brave human.
6:06 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894792285784576100
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha dude 😂 Looking more and more like the "The Great Uuge Mystery of Consciousness That Is To Be Impossible to Fathom Forever" provides for steady employ for quite a few folks out there 😂
It would be a right mess if someone (khmkhn.@Plinz.ahrr) were to come up with a theory that some OpenAI dude experimentaly confirms by running sth that builds itself from zero self-evolving self-bootstraping self into exhistance. The number of job losses... ajaj my head hurts 🤕 just thinking about that 😭
4:50 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894765669570281696
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I personally found them useful.
I learned it in a London company where I worked for 3yrs. Don't think anyone did anything much with them. For me it was useful. The "next week"—for deciding what to work on. The "past week"—at the end of the year to collect when having a yearly report.
So I continued using the same scheme in another company where I worked for 5yrs. We'd have a weekly group meeting, everyone saying few sentences. What they did, what they plan to do. (I work in R&D)
3:05 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894763722482086310
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Then—Whatever you want to do? Same that happens in the "5 done" case? IDK. Whatever the organisation asking for the report decides?
2:57 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894760474110992708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the record "avail yourself to work without recompense for free"—Is *not* what I advocate. I think creators should be compensated. I think that is important.
I also think other things are important too. Like liberty, freedom, etc. It's never only a single thing we need to worry about. We have to juggle many balls and balance multitude of aims and means.
Throwing people in jail b/c they write words, sing songs, draw pictures—is a bad way to go about those aims. We know better than that, can do better, that State violence there is unwarranted.
2:44 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894754626152358032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As said by that great thinker: think how stupid an average person is, then remember half the population are stupider.
Mostly people can hold a single idea in their head. Two completing ideas, at the same time, make them dizzy, uncomfortable, confused, scared, some become aggressive.
The hope I hold for AI-Neurolink-... is to augment the human brain functioning somehow. Like a brain prothesis. Like writing and latter reading allows us to expand our memory.
To help the less fortunate 50% among us that drew short straws in lifes' lotteries. Life is tough for stupid people. Saw a really good documentary once.
2:21 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894749250262573447
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...aha-to defend myself against the predations of a tyrannical state.
Using State monopoly on violence against people writing words, drawing pictures is immoral. IDK what else to tell you.
Hope American influence spreads more. They seem to be the few non-slaves-in-their-minds.
1:59 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894744311247368295
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes to all. The clincher is: they can't help themselves.
It's in their natures. Like in the tale of the scorpion stinging the frog while crossing the river. The rest need to be mindful not to drown with them.
Cooper's competitors that would have found the above pic distasteful and refused to be put up there were pushed aside many moons ago. Never reached the commanding heights.
1:40 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894738326013280602
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We had a preview with the AI deep and other fakes in elections scare, and—nothing. Nothing happened.
Catastrophizing is profitable; Savonarolas have an inherent advantage. We’re evolutionary wired to put 10x more weight on a bad path than on a good one when envisioning the future.
When assessing the joint probability of "(rustling leaves, tiger)", the utility of errors "wrong and skittish" versus "wrong and eaten" is highly asymmetrical.
I wish there was a way, that for every public statement we make, every public post we fire into the ether, that we bet on it. We bet to lose something small, but that we hold dear. Even if sth almost symbolic like $5. Anything >0 value.
1:16 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894735970735697971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No evolutionary advantage to it? The brain busy with more important activity—building itself up? Our parents keep us alive, memory is needed to stay alive, so no need to remember much? Do we start born with many more neurons than we need and use latter?—if so then maybe growing up the brain prunes itself ruthlessly. Maybe related?
1:07 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894731207671177487
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We are all more Americans now than we were in the past.
We will become even more American in the future.
Internet enabled Social Media and single information space. Information carries ideas, ideas get in out heads, our heads drive our actions.
12:48 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894729080144056753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't see how it is "overwhelmingly likely" or "exponentially likely" or any some such what you say about the lost van Goghs.
"People being bored"—fiine, that's on them. I don't want to imprison anyone to make life interested for these bored people.
I warrant now an unwarranted opinion: maybe those bored people are boring themselves. They should work on that. Not bother me with boredom. And certainly not imprison me to get their fun out of life!
By Jove: reading your posts is converting me into a pro-gun enthusiast in real-time. 😂
12:39 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894721715277607394
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"I don't see any reason that shouldn't apply to IP"—the reason is that we value liberty. We want to be free to do as we well the hell please to do. That's the reason. We value liberty. Freedom—good, unfreedom—bad. More of the former, less of the latter, we are to strive for.
"Scion blowing the inheritance on coke, whores and casinos"—not the worst thing in the world. If he wishes to, he should be free to do so. Not as great a loss as you seem to think. The children of the whores and the drug dealers will enrol to US Universities, go to Stanford, then start Unicorns in the Silicon Valley. Sounds good to me. Money well spent.
12:10 PM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894718698360819740
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The same way we already avoided the same with the move to the Internet. Same fears were voiced in 1990s. None were realised. Nothing super bad will happen. A journalist has incentive to catastrophise. Fear sells. We get it.
11:58 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894709475967115728
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Early omens look promising indeed-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=LDLldTZzsXg
BIOS setting there max 75% (of 128GB?) use for VRAM, so max 96GB. Wonder if that a h/w constraint, or can be pushed further up. Saw @ggerganov run DeepSeek R1 max compressed @UnslothAI 135GB quants on M2 Ultra 192GB,
youtube.com
The Best Device We've Ever Reviewed
🛒 Flow Z13: https://bestbuy.7tiv.net/vPZmM3👉 Our Website: https://www.justjosh.tech/► Follow Me- Josh's NEW Business Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Just...
11:21 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894705649532932114
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you have not listened to him before - here
open.spotify.com
First we came for the dogs – now the Nimbys and criminals
Anglofuturism · Episode
11:06 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894700535292346589
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Let us not imagine what Michelangelo would or would not have done. As these are counterfactuals we create in our heads are too malleable to our own desires. Let us stick to things we are fairly certain happened for real, in the real world, in the past.
More recent—Vang Gogh comes to mind. As famously producing a lot, while earning zero for it. I'm not saying he was happy for that. I am just saying—it's possible, it's not impossible. He did create his art after all, that did happen.
"Industrialising production based on a foundation of IP law."—indeed that was the case. Albeit famously Germany, US, now China, industrialised while enforcing little of non-domestic IP laws. So it is possible that IP laws subtracted, slowed down that, rather than accelerated it.
"Which convention the internet has undone almost completely"—indeed, and how is that going? Is the Internet an impoverished for content place, where nothing is ever created? Boring and soulless? Or are we living through an explosion of creativity and creation unlike one ever seen in human history? I claim it's the latter.
You counter a few things I don't claim. Like "I can't deny human nature". I agree. I don't deny human nature. I don't want to deny human nature. Why would I do that? That would be crazy on my part. I claim—you, imprisoning me, for writing something you find objectionable, is you denying my human nature. And so on.
10:46 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894688582452789375
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...heard on this podcast .@SamoBurja correctly lucidly noticing Social Media nowadays effectively creates a "shared polity" transcending geography. Maybe factor to watch out Re: Europe Demos.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bxDmHvGZtPQ
youtube.com
Why Europe Matters for America’s Future w/ Samo Burja
This week on Upstream, Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja discuss the widespread interest in U.S. politics and its global influence, particularly in Western and E...
9:58 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894681079681806363
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Better feedback+planning self-running scheme than "5 done":
- Max 3 items I did past week
- Max 3 items I commit to do next week
In two well run London companies over 3yrs+5yrs periods.
(5 is too many, all in the past all back zero forward view lacks planning+commitment)
9:29 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894564107019288736
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw I think you nailed consciousness exactly right there. It being like firmware. A small module, bootstrapping all higher learning. Needs to bootstrap itself first and foremost. Like that minimal Lisp interpreter written itself in Lisp.
Having said that—hope you move on soon to the next interesting topic that non-computer people have been stuck on forever. 😆 I enjoy listening to your ideas and talks. The C-horse has been bitten to death imo.
Make philosophy interesting again, pretty please.
1:44 AM · Feb 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894527886356250698
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, that again is a related, but different discussion. Why do we compensate, what, and how.
Yes I would be annoyed. Is my annoyance a good reason to throw the other guy in prison? IDK—maybe yes, maybe no. Up for discussion. When giving examples. I shy away from dreaming up most edge cases. Extreme cases are not going to be regulated well by any laws we dream up. Laws are for the median cases.
Yes, creators need to be compensated—they deserve to make a living from their work. But this doesn’t extend to their grandchildren. Copyright laws should incentivize creation, not provide luxury for the descendants of the original creator a century later.
AI creation is teaching us that maybe compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it. Hobbling that chain, just so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders, while delaying the creation of non-human intelligence—that may not be the deal we want to take.
If we had to choose between x10 - x20 times-ing the world GDP in a new Revolution, AI Revolution, of the type of Industrial Revolution of the 1800s, and IP laws? IDK—let's think.
11:20 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894522871168262291
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly! The moment warring stops, (Ukraine is not the first war either) Putin is in maximal danger. Imo he has every incentive to be in a war forever. E.g. Milosevic didn't fall while he was warring about. He was ousted the first time there was year-two of peace. (from recollection) IDK how things stand with other dictators deposed in recent times. (Assad?)
11:00 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894513665203663224
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But no value is "taken away". At the point of idea conception—zero value exists.
Say I dream up a "Better Mouse Trap". I don't build it myself. I don't sell it myself. I write about it on X.
Has any value been created at this point? No. Value existing is zero. We can estimate the potential value. But—that's a forecast, nothing more. Can be anything from -Inf to +Inf. From the worst disaster, to being priceless. Median zero. Most ideas amount to nothing.
Now you read my post on X. You build "The Better Mouse Trap Company". You produce "Better Mouse Trap" by millions. Value is created now, at this point only. By yourself. How much value? We don't know yet.
You sell each trap for $10. You sell millions of them. Now we learned how much value got produced. It's $10M.
Who created the value? Yourself. Did I help? Yes. Agree it would be good that I should be compensated for my contribution. But to say that I produced the value—is in my mind is untrue. You produced the value.
Incentives. It's a related topic, but a somewhat different one. I dispute your claim that without IP people would not produce. In the past there were times with no IP laws. People still created. E.g. during the Renaissance artists like Michelangelo and Leonardo still produced art.
I have a patent to my name. (now expired) Did I produce the invention in order to get a patent? No. I produced it without ever thinking about a patent. (in fact that part was a chore I mental-note-d "avoid in the future".) I did what I did because I loved doing. I had a problem, and I solved it. It was wonderful. One of the best days of my life tbh. Comparable to getting kids, or solving an up-to-that-point unsolved integral.
The Internet, Linux, GNU—some of the greatest technological achievements—were built by people creating for the love of creation, not patents. So to say it's impossible—does not tally with reality.
IDK why and how "slave-labour" you mention came into your head. No one is forcing anyone to do anything. People do stuff out of their free will. Kept secret, or giveth away, or sold for $$$—they are free to do as they freely choose. Only unfreedom is people locking up other people for the crime of copying words, picture, music etc. That's IP. Punishing people for copying and sharing ideas is effectively a thought crime.
10:23 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894497579485757578
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As I have less time left, I value it more.
In my youth, I never thought much about the edge of my future horizon. I knew it was finite, but for every imagined limit, I could just add +1. That effectively made it never ending, infinite.
Now I am cognisant it's not forever. I can see the edge. I now ration somewhat my time. When I spend it in the company of another person, I judge: was it better spent in/with company, than would have been spent alone?
Especially with the Internet, there is usually at the end of every day, something I wanted to do, but I run out of time. (and I'm falling asleep on my feet)
I imagine most people go through a similar proces. It feels natural, and seems logical to me tbh.
9:19 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894465182250012984
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey Pete, thanks for your attention. Afraid I've no idea to what your reply means. Sorry. I'm guessing—"thumbs down".
Everyone else will have their own eyes to read, and minds to make up. Don't hear oft people say "Aye, lets ask Pete what to think of this or that".
You are the 2nd person in this thread like this. I imagine I fell in a time-warp chasm of boomers and or OAPs. (judging by the thread) I don't blame you—I blame the X algo-feed. Not your fault.
In the future—you can Mute or Block accounts that post things you find disagreeable. For they are likely to do it again. This time—I'm doing it for you. blocked
7:11 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894455294035431821
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not talking about this particular person/case, but in general. Now compared to my childhood, I notice. General decline in stoicism. Grown ups engaging in semi-emotional blackmail. (for social brownie points.) Rise of neo-toddlerism-
https://gurwinder.blog/p/the-outrageous-rise-of-neotoddlerism/
Using anecdote, personal experience to make decisions affecting many. Effectively giving some cases weight zero, other cases weighted max 100. Heard people say they don't trust statistics. Apparently caring only about their favourite victim while discarding the rest is better??
To me looks like emotionally not entirely grown ups in positions of power deciding things they should not be. Every decision carries in extremis emotional pain. A grown person should be capable of carrying that load. Not transfering to others. (and esp not to children.)
From gurwinder.blog
6:31 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894442255731032156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given this is the Brave New World we created, not there worst idea to familiarise ourselves how they work.
This is better than most - even if a bit long. (I watched in several installments; by . @karpathy)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI
youtube.com
Deep Dive into LLMs like ChatGPT
This is a general audience deep dive into the Large Language Model (LLM) AI technology that powers ChatGPT and related products. It is covers the full traini...
5:40 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894433856247201898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It was a genuine question. IDK if you are smoking something my dude. Not my cuppa—this convo. Have a nice day and wish you the best in the future.
5:06 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894430757109575708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How does it compare to similar buildup episodes in history? Do we know how the UK or US railways were built in the 19-th century? Or maybe the M-otorway network of roads starting with M1 in the UK after WW2? That's fairly recent.
4:54 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894427014376878583
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never seen the same GP twice. We are not using the same NHS it seems.
4:39 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894426278800801965
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Five is too many. Also it's all in the past, all backview, zero forward view, lacking planning and commitment.
Better scheme.
- Max 3 items your did in the past week.
- Max 3 items you commit you will do next week.
4:36 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894419451002368406
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The latter - only if you don't realise value from it yourself. If you do realise value-then it's half-half, half-me half-you realised value. So not nullified but halved to yourself.
Why wouldn't you realise value yourself? Maybe you didn't see it. Maybe most of the value is in the realisation, not in the idea. After all - abstract IP is just abstracts at that point. Zero value has been created yet. Imposing cost to others at that point strikes me similar to taxing unrealised gains.
Maybe better balanced - if I don't want these words copied, I don't broadcast them publicly. I keep them to myself. I take care whom I share them with. It strikes me too much to expect everyone else to police prevent copy of these words, but for I to put zero effort in that.
4:09 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894412867379613949
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because when you take my car off me, I don't have it any more. While when you copy these words, I still have them too, I haven't lost them.
One is a Move operation, the other is a Copy operation. Former case I lose 1 you gain 1 = net 0. Latter case I lose 0 your gain 1 = net 1.
earlier today
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894333045483717033
3:43 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894389896560660899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They have time on their side unfortunately.
They can lie and do contrary to their promises every day. We can only punish them once in four-five years.
Not ideal. But for all other systems that are worse etc etc
2:12 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894375962462011713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤩 Total privilege to witness such miracle in action tbh. 👍 Thanks 🙏 to the mum and yourself for sharing. ☺️
People moan about online 24/7 culture, ever present smartphones technology etc. Well - there are some upsides too. 😁
1:16 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894374057816330336
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your are not wrong there. Tax revenue collection is amongst the last state organs (others being - police, army) to go incompetent and fail. By definition - if the state exists, these guys do function. (to a degree)
NB that's doesn't mean they're not lumbering giants crushing people left and right. They are. Betty would have probably suffered ther same predicament if say it was HMRC that owed her money and had to pay her. (our of the ordinary established give-or-take for which they have well worn processes running) DWP may have done better as they are setup for giving out money as default. (HMRC is for taking in)
My point is: once Betty is one off, out of established processes, it's very hard to make the machine carefor her. If the machine was a single human or few people - yes one could hope that they care. But the system is not that at all.
1:09 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894364492114325874
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm sorry all you heard was "blah blah blah". Sparing you future yapping torment rn. blocked
12:31 PM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894352639632314548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As I said—I'm not going to litigate. Looked it up—everything said there about nuclear can be applied to any energy source.
I have roof solar and battery. The self-use is about 40%, and with extra battery may get to 50%. On average, over the year. Extremes are - worst in winter 0%, best in summer 100%.
That understates the challenge. Everything that is consumed must be produced, supply matching demand, not on average over a day or an hour—but every moment every second of every day. I also know my kWh of energy from my MW of power. And am not spooked when I hear "three phases" of electricity. I had a bit of Electrical Engineering training in my youth.
Reading stuff I see many opinionated people who 1) either lack any knowledge, and particularly that there is no magic but must be supply==demand, or "very bad things will happen"; or 2) do not construct physics consistent models of the world.
I have resigned myself that no change will come to the UK, until a nation-wide blackout happens. Of the type when UK has to resort to Dinorwig to bootstrap itself back. With people stranded on trains overnight, dozens in ICU dead with machines cutting off after generators run out of diesel some hours into the blackout.
11:43 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894346976726323380
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ok, I'm not going to litigate that. Just to note for the record. I don't think that nuclear is expensive. I think it's average-to-cheap. And can be made much much cheaper, should be choose to.
On a meta-/epistemic level. When I take a stance on an issue, I force myself to think "what evidence would convince me I'm wrong". It's bit of a chore that. Not pleasant, not something one looks to. On the plus side, on most issues—I lack particular view. That I find somewhat liberating.
I have had help there professionally. Doubly so.
Programmers writing programs have to think "I wrote this, I think it's correct, but I know there is an error". With the added terror: "If I made 1 error, then my thinking process is faulty; if my thinking process is faulty, 1000 errors maybe lurking in these 1000 lines of code".
Traders when placing a bet also typically set up a stop-loss "if I lose X on this, I will accept I was wrong, and liquidate the rest".
11:21 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894341666120622144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sorry to be rude and interrupt - but that's logicaly inconsistent.
If it were as global as it's said, US would be paying as much for energy as UK. Or UK as much as US. Or both some middle price. The prices would be about equal. That's what global market means.
These are all choices. Few things are inevitable. But for most things - UK gov chooses option 3 over options 1 or 2. The price of energy is one such choice. Other concerns take precedent over the price we pay for UK gov. Claiming lacking agency is self serving. Power without responsibility.
11:00 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894338668908736545
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe you know and are already doing it, but jic (b/c I wasn't): you can totally tell it, instruct it, to be less uptalky, less sunny, more UK less US. It works! I was annoyed by the platitudes, and to my ears, after revised instructions, it came back more to my liking?
10:48 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894335654558908451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oi SS! That hurt?! Staying on topic. The 1) data; and 2) prior knowledge, both point to the same direction. It's not going to get better, but worse. Will end in a disaster. (currently—a mere mess) Change course now. The sooner, the cheaper. Write off the sunk cost.
With that message over to you—I'm blocking you now. For being 1) rude; 2) anon; 3) bandwidth waste (spending, while contributing net-zero - haha; you must have heard this before, but still fun to write) Blocking is just a one way read-only these days anyways. Stay well.
10:36 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894333045483717033
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I want to suspect a multiples higher wealth level, a richer equilibrium, than the current regime, is one where the IP laws don't exist.
Imagine alternative timeline where UK DeepMind realises ASI, gets first onto Wegovy/semaglutide for Cancer? Or x10-x100 times-es graphene dry batteries?
IK that crazy hopium. But the data->information->knowledge->agency pipeline took off to everyones surprise. That was crazy 10yrs ago. R&D's like movies industry: no one knows sh*t.
I understand UK can't just unilaterally delete all IP laws even if it wanted to—as US will punish us. And UK is well more unfree than the US on this—can't imagine UK ever wanting to.
(1e-38 chance e/acc for PM; does not contradict the known laws of physics, so not impossible, haha 😂)
Anyways—here to register opinions, so here goes mine.
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt."
Or in the language of the future not the past—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts FTW
(priors https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258)
10:26 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894326133895627263
Jjubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Your action is the same action taken in the past 15 years.
The result will be the same as the result we see today.
It will be the opposite of what you promised.
Us the public care about your promise, and your result.
@Keir_Starmer Ideology zealotry is driving your gov into a ditch. Look around, see what others are doing. You guys are not as clever as you think you are. Look around, do as others do, if you are to survive. You are the final boss.
9:58 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894320112490221979
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are the 2nd person I read this morning asking "Why?" It's a very good question! I often wonder myself about the same "Why?" when reading of cases like this one. (it's of some personal interest.)
Fwiw this is what I think of the answer to the "Why?"—
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894295685387678051
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 3h
Replying to @CastletonLee
Why? B/c the complex systems we have that are mix of people, rules, more people, procedures, some machines, are not a single human person.
You have a model in your head that the system is"like a single person, just scaled multiplied times a million in capabilities". That's why
Show more
9:34 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894295685387678051
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why? B/c the complex systems we have that are mix of people, rules, more people, procedures, some machines, are not a single human person.
You have a model in your head that the system is"like a single person, just scaled multiplied times a million in capabilities". That's why you expect what you expect. What you expect is what a human person would do.
But it just aint so. The system running is not like a human person at all. It's more like a factory of million tons able to move slowly amoebae like. It's a disembodied system that is Artificially Stupid. A giant stumbling around crushing humans without giving them a second thought. It's not like the system doesn't notice Betty. It's just not setup to care at all about her.
People fret about AI. Well I hope we get systems Intelligent enough to understand why helping Betty is the right course of action in the given predicament.
7:57 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894318203683078614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Merkel was not a mere NPC like myself or yourself. She was *the* leader. The one person that sought (and got!) the position to lead. So she bears a lot more responsibility when a decision turns bad. Esp decision where there were reasonable credible forecasts about what may happen.
Nuclear exit and energy in general. Say what you want about someone like Vaclav Smil, but he is not 1) ignorant; or 2) with a poor record.
Remember seeing a video from him >10yrs ago making the argument:
#1 you got 70 GW reliables now;
#2 replace with 70 GW un-reliables + 70 GW gas backup reliable.
How is option #2 not going to be more expensive than #1? It will be more expensive. And—can always cut the un-reliables out of #2, and just use the 70 GW gas all the time.
I got reminded, as the UK predicament is exactly the same at this very moment. UK are now getting consequences (==cost, the bill) of dunderheaded wishful thinking. And I see no thinking process kick in. We are on auto-pilot, led by seemngly innumerate PPE-s. That are only capable of numeracy when their personal bank accounts are in consideration.
I expect more from a PhD in natural sciences tbh. And a lot more character too! She was not some grifting telesales operator selling dodgy "financial products". The UK PPE-s strike me more of the grifting types seen in finance. On them—I'm less surprised.
9:27 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894310255669981555
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Always astonishes me how small RoI for the grifter it is when fleecing the public purse. How cheap some random brothers are: cost the public a Billion (with a B), get back a Million (with an M). RoI of 1/1000. (yeah I know, I know it's not grifters' Billion in the denominator, they put zero in, for them 1/0=Infinity)
I guess if people as capable in the art of bezzle as themselves were to f*ck off to the US, they'd earn multiple Millions. The land of opportunity rewards such character richly. If only they were brave and honest to admit to themselves what they are in for (the M $$$), UK wd be free of this particular predicament.
Quote
https://x.com/premnsikka/status/1894286320513511426
Prem Sikka @premnsikka · 4h
UK domestic energy prices to rise 6.4% in April to £1,849 a year on average.
Fuel poverty will increase. People will cut spending elsewhere, derail economic recovery.
UK energy industry made £483bn profit since 2020.
Govt/regulators don't protect people
https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgl0k772lwpo
Show more
8:55 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894298492320784794
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Jian Yang underage girl slaves "coding camp" writing fake reviews vibes. 😂 ("girls - go home!")
8:08 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894290156401693111
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are libertarians at heart but are innumerate. They want to do "whatever they want to do". ATM they spend most of their time as wage slaves. Spending their waking time earning in order to eat.
It hurts their heads when they start thinking about "hows" of actually realising sth like that they like. So then they just fallback to "freedom for me but not for thee" (at the barrel of the gun that I got and you lack)
In the UK there's one of these guys wrote a book "Full luxury communism" or sth like that about this. I have not read the book but understood that it's along those lines.
7:35 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894286901269443072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Make $$$ in the stock market.
Thought DEShaw had the right general idea wrt trying blue sky R&D like Anthon. But then seemed David lost interest in further projects.
Someone like Simons looks like wd have been better suited to run pure research "spend $$$ only expecting 0 roi" but 20 years ago. Rather than purely charitably donating late in lufe.
Looks like OpenAI initial idea was similar? Only sugar daddies financing one off, not ongoing ops.
7:22 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894283570799161775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. Need an R&D testbed to experiment.
Something that comes up with its own games that are interesting enough to play? .@jeffclune has an episode in MLST. So then "interesting" builds into "agentic". (what's interesting now...)
Pple saying "thermostat". PID on its own is not agentic. Agentic would be if it also *set* the temperature. (not only achieve externally set one) Feels like for that it needs much more contact with the environment. (it's too isolated)
7:09 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894277985672290326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - lying Sacks full of sh*t; radical transparency addresses grifters; make Randy & Shaw proud again
6:47 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894198198371295548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah there's invisible unachievable golden middle, and heartache both sides to it: too much as well as too little honesty
1:30 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894191132097351997
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 I hear you, but by now I've become so X-trained that the process takes couple of seconds and no post writing starts.
I'm "Ah - I know this, it's that way" (about to start typing) but then in my head runs the aftermath ending with "Nah, who cares". (making an exception for this one as I'm typing this, haha 😂)
I wonder if it'd help if I knew for sure that the OP will see the reply? B/c ofc there is not even that assurance. (or I know not of it)
So in the end—one moves to the next post.
1:02 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894184509584937368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—that would the unsurprising straightforward logic.
US finally pulling it's troops back, and leaving Europe. WW2+Cold war finally over. EU bigger countries (Germany) together with Poland+Baltics+Nordics (that are most in the newly imperial Russia cross hairs the most), acquiring independent nuclear deterrent.
I suspect it's not quite going to work that way. It never is straightforward. Curve balls random events happen.
Also broader trends. E.g.—mass social media makes for surprisingly unified information then consequently ideas space?? To the point of trans-national polities non-geographical distributed almost form?? Belgium citizens show keen interest in the US president. US voters care about China or Taiwan and whatnot. Surprising. Mind viruses propagate take hold across oceans, mass psychosis come in waves (women with swinging d*cks, CO2 will both burn and drown us, post-ideology, Iraq WMD).
12:35 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894180388651897214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😆 Maybe use current ones sharpen your reading comprehension? I didn't say "AI is nothing with HI". I wrote "atm HI creates AI, but the opposite is not possible". AI ofc has a lot to do with HI, given current AI we got is the best model of HI. (us)
For singularity I imagine 5-7 miracles need to happen. Or about a million times performance improvement. I think of "miracle" when performance improves by factor x7-x10 times. There is a breakthrough of some kind, something we didn't know how to do and failed trying, suddenly works out, we learn how to do it.
(in the 2000-s when I was in the area, there were about only half-dozen people in the UK that could train an RNN; nowadays transformers—that replaced LSTM, that replaced RNN—are trained by thousands; I gather ~2 miracles occurred)
The current LLMs—chatbots and reasoners we got, are miracles. TBS if the logical reasoning for R&D pans out. I am using them daily for coding, am painfully aware of the shortcomings. As conversationalists they do quite well imo.
12:19 AM · Feb 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894142364618559894
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Merkel-the-scientist is a cautionary tale that no-one is immune to folly. No-one.
With her growing up in East Germany, there is always tiny residual of suspicion: in an alternative reality counter factual, if Merkel were groomed/sleeper agent—what would she have done different, compared to what she did for real?
9:48 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894133828735693025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The unknown to me is what happens in 2140 when all bitcoins are minded. Will the miners have incentive to mine then?
Atm the fastest (the one that works out the unknown nonce by SHA256 trial-and-error hashing first) gets a new coin. (that's minted out of thin air) So there exists incentive there.
The other incentive for a miner is transaction fees I guess. Other than that—the only other option is appreciation of the existing coins. But that's unstable—may go up as well as down.
9:14 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894063259814432856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...I missed in the previous "conformity on the issue, I'm against the consensus, therefore they wrong, I right". If that meta-method was successful at separating true from false, we would use that meta thinking all the time. There will be no need for evidence, inquiry, deduction, science, all the hard stuff.
We would just do na opinion poll, and where there is >90% consensus, we decide the opposite. Or the same. Whatever. The trouble is: when we have zero information, no amount of consensus presence or absence tells us much about what's true or false.
We are better off, instead of trying for impossible (true information from Kremlin is water from stone), to look elsewhere (e.g. Ukraine in this case) where the information is less tightly controlled.
4:34 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894060336535232952
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have not got better info on this particular matter. Ofc I don't—how can I, I'm also not working in the Kremlin etc.
I do have better info on the Kremlin mode of operation on this matter though. As demonstrated in the prior posts. I wrote stuff 1) you didn't know about; and 2) you have hard time internalising. (even after reading about it)
This is not exactly unknown. There was some RAND report. Or when Steve Bannon says "flood the field with sh*t"—he intuitively gets it. Other people too stumble on the scheme from time to time.
The beauty of it is—even after people learn, they will refuse to internalise it. Remember—vanity, and that child thinking (wholly reasonably!) "it can't be that—every grown up I know and trust, every story I have ever heard." (about Santa)
IDK how they stumbled on this. Requires only 2 components: 1) total information control; and 2) production of stories (without any bearing to reality) on an industrial scale. So you discard the 95% but in the 5% you still imbibe what they produce. It works—so Kremlin keeps using it.
4:22 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894054858350645402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What can it possibly rely on? You don't live in Russia, you don't work in the Kremlin. To see for yourself. What other possible source of reliable information can you hope to have? No journalist can know anything other than what Kremlin told them. As simple as.
You say you are a realist. Nothing wrong there. And then you draw conclusions. Fine. But what from, from what information, do you conclude what you conclude. If you say "I have 0 information", then you will have "0 opinion". But your opinion to what is true and what is false is not 0, it's not "I'm perfectly ignorant, anything is possible".
There is a general pattern. (e.g. Greeks vs. Latins) Easterners think of Westerners as bit of vain, as having tad too good opinion of themselves. That—relative to an arbitrary yardstick—is somewhat true. So they usually will feed you something, don't leave you with nothing. As you hate not knowing, then you'd think less of yourselves.
That works for the better and for the worse. In the positive for the better: if I have exaggerated opinion of myself, I will try to live to it, put the effort. And some of that will pan out! In the negative for the worse—I will think to know more than I really know.
The obverse opinion, where Latins think of Greeks as cheating lying no-goodies is also observed. Also not entirely unfounded.
(my previous post was marked by X as "Visibility limited: this Post may violate X’s rules against Hateful Conduct." IDK what words/combination triggered the algo)
4:00 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894047664217698743
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are wrong there. Any reasonable asessment is that Russia will seek control over Ukraine. This is just the latest instalment. The invasion was after the other means failed.
You should not think Catherine Belton knows anything. Or that Kremlin will tell Catherine their plans. Or that Kremlin saying X, tells you much about X. They say plenty obvious lies, and will continue to. (e.g. "there will be no invasion", "no Russian army in Crimea", "Crimea parliament voted", "elections organised and won", "no Russian army in east Ukraine", "didn't down any airplanes" and on and on; the list is long, all the way back to Stalin times)
From their point of view—you are like children, that are being told stories about Santa Claus. Anything remotely plausible—goes.
You will get 100% totally manufactured virtual reality. You don't know much about those distant foreign lands. And you are reasonable people. So you will go: "ok, maybe 95% is propaganda, but it can't be 100% all lies". (or at least very unlikely; that's your error, that's where they get you; it's "unlikely", but "not impossible") So you will swallow the 5% that are also lies, as truth.
That suffices for Kremlin. That's why they 1) need total information space control; and 2) must produce b/s on an industrial scale. But—it's cheap, it's easy, it works. That's why they keep doing it.
Visibility limited: this Post may violate X’s rules against Hateful Conduct.
Learn more
3:32 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894036604307530017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
tbf from a single person perspective—spending non-zero time on the act of voting is irrational; it's a for the better we are not solely rational beings
2:48 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894033583792083356
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A saner interpretation: it's a cost, something all of us pay, and all of the UK would be 83B richer and able to spend that elsewhere.
2:36 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894020244240506936
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Given that the economy has barely grown for decades now, and esp on a per capita basis, would that no imply that non-net-zero economy shrank by exact the same amount?
UK population living standards have stagnated. While UK gov has been pursuing net zero. With the same mindset, industrial revolution would not have happened and UK would be living in 2025 very similar to 1725.
With passage of time—well run economy should be expanding, not staying the same. This is less than the winning argument you think it is.
1:43 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894018920270422490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Halving of our energy bills—when? When???
1:37 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894018698450473132
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—for the "IP" crowd: maybe if you can't better them, then better join them?? 🙂
In past speak—
"Leges Proprietatis Intellectus delendae sunt."
In future speak—
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts
1:37 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894007660439109934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When??
1) Put a (date,number) on your forecast; and
2) Bet your house on that.
Anything else—cheap talk, lies, motivated thinking, hopium, delusions of grandeur.
12:53 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894006307511795784
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. I imagine—it goes as fast as it can, the developmental program. I imagine—there are constraints we are not aware of. Agreed—your observation makes sense. The faster is done, the less risky, the greater evolutionary survival advantage.
12:47 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894005386543288766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. TBF—some other species set the spark for us in some way, and some other for them, ... and back to the time of when only amoebas existed, and even before. Perspective 😂
12:44 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894004346582364401
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...almost as if—humans have a 2nd growing-up out-of-the-womb spurt, the "teens" phase from 11yo, when they get their final form(s) 😂 dee-lightful 😄
12:39 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894003580236910842
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
well - as it is, HI can create AI, but not the other way around; sooo...—I volunteer that "humans aren't involved" maybe tad premature
12:36 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1894000221295628752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't see how atm. If we had working v100 of Neuralink interface, seemless and convenient, that increased the speed of communication between us humans from current <100bps (and until 10-20yrs it was in close proximity alone; only increased million-fold with the mass digital comms recently) a million fold to 100Mbps, then I'd think singularity possible, yes.
12:23 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893998709945348496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
I'd risk a guess: when empty std::vector is passed, vec.size() returns 0, which is of unsigned type, so then the -1 down by one from 0, flips it to 0xff..ff, so then (unsigned) index i goes to the max unsigned for the size_t. (bar the last, as it's "<"; too bad the usual "!! danger !! danger !!" signal for unsigneds-in-for-loop that is "<=" is missing here to trigger the paranoid)
IMO 1.5 bads conspire to a disaster:
1- unsigned-s in loops is asking for trouble.
0.5- size_t hiding its unsignedness is unhelpful (usize_t and ssize_t, should have been).
One for the likes of "Writing Solid Code" by S. Maguire which is repeatedly shown a very useful reading. That rare book both high level and low level lessons too at the same time!
And using this opportunity to plugin a bugbear.
It's disapponting how hard it is to write non-defective code from get go. It's like walking barefoot in a snake pit. Even after decades of standardisation.
How does one even use integers when the risk of turning over overflowing is ever present?? With great difficulty! If one aims to at least try avoid in-correctness from the get-go. I personally maintain few levels-of-paranoid. E.g. here checking for "vec.size() > 0", with: XSTATIC at comptime, XCHECK at runtime release & debug mode, XASSERT at runtime debug only. Doable—but such a faff, should be much easier to do the right thing.
Crazy that we have floats with NaNs, Inf and -Inf and signalling, but we still lack signalling integers. Personally I'd like to have (for 32 bit ints) NaN=0x8000, +Inf=0x7FFF, -Inf=0x8001, rules like floating point has (e.g. "every op on a NaN results in NaN"), and interrupt/exception on rollover. Defaulting to "Ignore" handler for backward compatibility. (bonus: ranges on the +ve and the -ve sides are same size, can guarantee unary minus operation is always possible).
I suspect the reason things "mostly work ok" is because with 64-bit ints nowadays it's almost impossible to overflow, tbh.
12:17 PM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893989591817900416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good thread. So next time just write this first, and don't do the "people wanting encryption are peados".
As it turns out—all want encryption!
(also "go for the ball not the man"—fiine, goood; and the you go after the man 😆 politicos just can't help themselves)
11:41 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893979922265260437
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that somewhat "explained" by (popular) history books like, e.g. "Shortest History of Germany" by James Hawes
For the longest time couldno't get my head around who/what/where-s of stuff like—the Junkers, or Prussia, or the East- or West- of Elbe and similar then read there
11:02 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893968263597469724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Probably that's what they could muster there and then.
Now is good time to knock those 2 beds down, build 4-5 stories high houses 3-4 apartments in total, maybe shared garden? Something like that—denser by a non-trivial multiple people like. (not disliked mega sky scrapers)
10:16 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893966240030376396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The one below, from the Cipolla book-pamphlet on human stupidity: does actions that don't benefit him even s/he is at small loss, but dis-benefit (create loss) to others.
Then additionally I'm mindful of Bismarck observation, for the impact, that "energetic" (so "energetic and stupid") is v.important too as it amplifies the damage. As in - what damage 1 energetic fool inflicts on others (incl pos on self too), takes 10-20 smart industrious people fix undo after.
human-stupidity-laws.png
10:08 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893903499945300326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! Did you think many had bad morals? Or not so much?
I fear it's a moral failing primarily, (this - https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893854919624421485).
I hope it's not but I fear it is. Heard the argument once. Applied it to small number few extreme cases I could think of (on both sides, stupid - yes/no), seemed to have some signal, some juice. That seemed really bad news to me.
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 7h
Replying to @hgtvlover13 and @RichardHanania
yes serious hardware fault is a fair reason for stupidity; fwiw most stupid people are not impaired in that way, but are stupid because of morals failings
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893853610674389150
5:59 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893901407033446838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeh it's a matter of taste.
I am mainly concerned with code reading and getting errors out in the open early and often. Examples I usually see take much space, while doing little for some kinda a substantial fallback or recovery. Lots of Buck for not much Bang for my taste. 😉
Stack unwind losing the default context prob doesn't help. Have been jaded by too many "A file operation failed but I will not tell you the file pathname" handlers I guess? Yeah I understand they are supposed to pass that info to the handler.
For a remedy that is - "crash!" - well my XCHECK XASSERT already does it, with less vertical space taken, and less distraction from the business logic. (and even launches a debugger attaches to the process in the right stack frame. 😁 )
5:50 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893896494878466535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Delete from the corpora of existing laws and regulations. Just removing man power, without touching the thicket they are enforcing, will simply reduce the throughput of your system. The time of waiting to citizens will likely go up.
5:31 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893883348356870276
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Baby steps. Will needs to be mustered first. Action cometh second. Trump & Musk dynamic-pneumatic duo staying full term facilitates it.
So Europe stands a chance to develop more antibodies to american crazy. The hope is whenever next crazy washes over, Europeans do better than in the recent past.
Minds virae that jumped the Atlantic in my lifetime:
- (latest) war of aggression and imperial territorial conquest (potential to turn genocidal too; tbs) is a defensive war and right and proper
- women with big c*cks we are to provide genuine genycology treatment for they are women b/c they say so
- global warming will kill us all in a fiery inferno combined with drowning and Al Gore is our saviour; (plus people pay top $$$ to scared them sh*tless)
- Iraq Sadam organised 911 and we are to invade; and remake the whole middle East into liberal democracy while there
- humanity will get it's commonuppence die off of hunger; but Erlich is resigned to that as humanity is vermin pox on mother Gaia so fine; (celebratory celebrity PR blitz grifting for half century ongoing)
Ofc there's plenty good and right and wholesome that Europe gets from US. Freedom, technology, computers, Internet, now AI, tons of new ideas. And mind viruses have jumped in the opposite direction (post- something or other).
The same uni-media space (latest - mass social) that facilitates it, also is working towards forging pan European polity too. Give some, take some.
4:39 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893854919624421485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yes serious hardware fault is a fair reason for stupidity; fwiw most stupid people are not impaired in that way, but are stupid because of morals failings
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 7h
Replying to @RichardHanania
for most ("normal") people stupidity is a moral failing primarily; only a secondary effect it's un-intelligent, unable to reason, un-adapting, can't reach goals etc; but a primary cause, at it's root - it's bad bad morals.
2:46 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893853610674389150
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
for most ("normal") people stupidity is a moral failing primarily; only a secondary effect it's un-intelligent, unable to reason, un-adapting, can't reach goals etc; but a primary cause, at it's root - it's bad bad morals.
2:41 AM · Feb 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893659767035289975
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As far as I know - not AI, it's from a real event. Reverse searching the pic shows other pics too, from the same event, e.g.—
https://gettyimages.es/detail/fotograf%C3%ADa-de-noticias/swedish-environmental-campaigner-greta-thunberg-fotograf%C3%ADa-de-noticias/1144590725
I think I got it off the BBC web site at some point. I trust BBC that it's not a blatant fake.
From gettyimages.es
1:50 PM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893656781886243131
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I must admit—I don't like exceptions. They are too much like hidden goto-s for my taste. If there is a possibility of a jump—I want to to be explicit and obvious tbh.
Remember reading early on C++ exceptions a paper on writing with-exceptions stack class. There were many unseen pitfalls. That left an impression on me. I thought—maybe only 1 in 10K programmers would get this right.
1:38 PM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893629818547192191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Does US use gas? Didn't one of the persons on that pic just tell all "it's a world market for gas"? (when the latest Ofgem limit raise, i.e. another price hike for us) If it is a single world market—how is gas cheap for US, or Norway, and expensive for UK? Or any other country that has lower electricity price than the UK.
At some point, everyone should ask themself: "can I imagine evidence, any evidence, what will convince me that I'm wrong". If there is—good. If not—then I have crossed over to religion.
11:51 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893623191802614188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's bad how hard it is to write non-defective code from get go. It's like walking barefoot in a snake pit.
How does one even use integers when the risk of turning over overflowing is ever present?? With great difficulty to stay correct. I end up checking (e.g. vec.size() > 0), with: XSTATIC at comptime, XCHECK at runtime release & debug mode, XASSERT at runtime debug only. Doable—but such a faff, should be much easier to do the right thing. Alt—just accept the less-than-correct code.
It's wild that we have floats with NaNs, Inf and -Inf and signalling, but we still lack signalling integers?? IDK what happened there. (C standards committee asleep at the wheel?)
I'd like to have (for 32 bit ints) NaN=0x8000, +Inf=0x7FFF, -Inf=0x8001, rules like floating point has (e.g. "every op on a NaN results in NaN"), and interrupt/exception on rollover. With default to "Ignore" handler for backward compatibility. (bonus: ranges on the +ve and the -ve sides are same size; can guarantee unary minus operation is always possible).
The only reason things mostly work is because with 64-bit ints nowadays it's almost impossible to overflow, tbh.
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893509322769834350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 7h
Replying to @peach2k2
Heh - 1.5 bads conspire.
1- unsigned-s in loops is asking for trouble.
0.5- size_t hiding its unsignedness is unhelpful (usize_t and ssize_t, should have been).
"Writing Solid Code" by S.Maguire remains a very useful reading.
11:25 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893615603602141365
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Putin just rebuffed your advances with "No—I want control over the whole of Ukraine". As he's been saying for years. (and plenty of people have told you.) What's your grand plan now? You can't force Ukrainians to just lie down and die. They will fight Russia as it's "give me freedom or give me death" for them.
Allowing Ukraine to fall to Russia is a bad idea from the PoV of nuclear war being in the top-3 human species extinction risks. It's on the path of the most likely scenario for a nuclear war. Eastern/Europe will not lay down be rolled by Putin. They didn't for Hitler, nor for Napoleon. They will fight back. Europeans are combustable, rambunctious bunch. They have gone to the ends of Earth and raised all manner of hell! They will not take the Russian nonsense quietly, nuclear war or not.
Poland + Baltics + Nordics must get own MAD deterrent to short circuit that. Without—we continue on the WW3 path. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the real will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start. A poor setup for the purpose of keeping peace—but a very potent one for starting wars!
Impossible to see the future. But a natural progression with Greater Russia absorbing Ukraine (and esp their battle hardened army), and united with Belarus (post Lukashenka, Russia manoeuvres in a less independent minded ruler) is to invade the Baltics next. US will not get involved at this point. No US president will risk a nuclear war over "distant lands of which we know little". Emboldened Russia invades Poland next. At this point US gets involved. This is the path to a hot war, and ending in a Nuclear one.
10:55 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893559775645839779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A: That it's like us, humans? Plenty of times we are told "don't do XYZ" and we go ahead and do exactly XYZ.
More seriously: if you really want to learn why, go watch the latest Karpathy video on YT, it explains it well. (worth persevering, long)
7:13 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893534453940543795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
nah - time to
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 21
Replying to @bbb2t @kalomaze and @teortaxesTex
Nice! 😍 So glad to read that. A kindred spirit, 🥰 a heart warming read.
For a second, hoped maybe we get lucky. The politically ascendant TBPR—a Tech Bro Progressive Right on the rise—does not let DeepSeek-R1 open weights AI Sputnik moment of crisis go to waste. And strikes
Show more
5:32 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893531593752338533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Communist even.
"In the final stage of communism, the state will sease to exist, either away, disappear dissolve."
...is my vague recollection of something I might have heard in a class of "Marxism Something or Other" subject, cca. about year 1987.
5:21 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893509322769834350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - 1.5 bads conspire.
1- unsigned-s in loops is asking for trouble.
0.5- size_t hiding its unsignedness is unhelpful (usize_t and ssize_t, should have been).
"Writing Solid Code" by S.Maguire remains a very useful reading.
3:52 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893505527721926762
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not crazy but expected.
Turing test was passed - no one noticed.
Elections are held all around the world - no fakes deep or otherwise that people go crazy about.
AGI will be the same.
Instead of I spending the Saturday booking a 10 days holiday clicking searching the web, I will instruct the Gemini Booking Agent with one paragraph brief. It will get on the job. Every half hour it will come back, ask for clarification or disambiguation about something. I will reply. By the evening, flights, accomodation, car rental etc will be booked. Job done. My Saturday spent on sth else, not on a chore. That's it. That's AGI in action.
Nothingburger.
3:37 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893489689769787793
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Aha. Q: how do you stay alive when the four neighbours around yours' join forces to murder you and take your land?
2:34 AM · Feb 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893435336962748551
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
once - incidence, twice - coincidence, trice - enemy action
10:58 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893380966866895010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...with enthusiastic support by all sides, for many years; good we got Internet nowadays for the receipts
pic-gove-moran-ed-greta-lucas-bbc_106563927_09467af0-bbc2-4dc6-90fc-f8b9f167d4d6.jpg
7:22 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893371511127388400
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😍 always touched by the humanity of it; when on $ git log -p, I receive what another human transmitted into the unknown, into a void, from beyond a horizon.
6:45 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893337442209386668
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - the per capita measure does not support the "circling the drain" narrative. This will not stop the naysayers I'm afraid. 😳
Still-silver lining. Every few years, the chorus of cretins works up a creschendo, 😂 and they finally actually bet their own real $$$ on their words. (unlike the dude you quote)
They lose their shirts and we never hear from them again. "The widow maker trade." Always think of that $$$ as well spent for the entertainment value. 😁
And on education how Fiat currency works. BoJ the bosman—the final boss even. 😆
4:29 PM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893266705641558403
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't have that strong feelings tbh. I mess with computers computing code writing, read what ideas other people dream up, try observe what feedback reality gives back, revise try again.
Personal rule of thumb—for things that failed in v1 and even v2, did something new (in adjacent field?) happen since, to make us hope reasons for previous fails be circumvent in v3?
Things I have some hope to pan out, to become mass instance, in my lifetime:
- Bioinformatics, genetics, genomics—with GWAS close(r) to v3.
- Medical sensors, monitoring of the inner parts of the body, early intervention.
- Embryo screening, possibly interventions, again GWAS small diffs, but add to meaningful change, esp with compounding over lifetime.
- MOOC—Massive Open Online Courses, close to v3 now? With AI interactivity may scale up finally, chance to realise Bloom 2-sigma mastery learning.
- Scaling up R&D innovation discovery with ML-AI. Types 1-2 thinking Tik-Tok cadence: type 1—pattern recognition, idea generation; type 2—chain of thought logical thinking, tear down most coming from 1, what survives may be of some value; repeat 1-2 alternate ad infinitum.
- (minor but personal bug bear) Universal enough Babel fish dialogue translator in my hand if not my ear.
Things unlikely to live to see in my lifetime even if I'd have wanted to:
- Robotics—seems we are getting close to v1 of wider adoption. Discounting Roombas there that didn't pan out, I'd put them at v0.5, not even v1. 😄
- Biology modelling. Virtual cell models for cell types. In silico testing before wet lab testing.
- Quantum computing (QC) possibly provide the means to partly address the curse of dimensionality. At least the compute side of it. (if not the data size side) Data grows exp-onentially with dimensions—sad. But-QC computation grows exp-onentially with number of qubits too.
Enough I hope—I'll stop dreaming now. 😂
11:48 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893224870684827856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Me too, 😀 and so does everyone else. It's a bet. I'm ngl I'm apprehensive as anyone how it turns out—for it's a bet. Anyone telling you about the future with certainty is deceiving you, and maybe themselves too.
But imagine if the spread of mechanical gizmos and latter electric devices was proscribed, censored, stymied, by the powers of the day. (kings etc) And Cambrian explosion of objects that make our lives so much easier and better now didn't happen. Imagine our lives now not that different to what they were pre-1800. Wouldn't we think, knowing now what is possible—"wow what opportunity lost"?
I'm thinking of the analogue in the current Information Revolution. Things show promise, but for various reasons, don't pan out, and petter out. Not impossible. Every obstacle thrown in front increases the chance of that. (e.g. in ML/AI—quite a few of the things people didn't think they were right about, turned out—they were; just to early; or not ambitious enough to go in hard-to-the-max then some more)
So here is to hoping that similar Cambrian explosion of AI infused magical gizmos in every nook and cranny of life deliver another x10-x20 times increase in quality of life for humanity. Given how much scale turns out matters—the more of humanity gets of that, the better imo.
9:02 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893211656315977797
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe the equivalent manual labour workers of today are computer people. Computers are to Information Revolution what mechanical machines are to Industrial Revolution.
Programmers, developers, everyone thinking things up in their heads, then typing them on the keyboard. All is painstaking manual-key on key.
They have their Internet forums, their Agoras. Esseys in personal blogs and web sites. Online ideologues, philosophers, polemicists, etc. The rich tapestry of intellectual life you reference, recreated in virtual spaces.
8:10 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893127533245198776
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For coding questions and problems troubleshooting I use Gemini on http://aistudio.google.com (free). I pay $20/mo for OpenAI, so switch to that for 2nd opinion, writing etc. For API I topup $10 at http://openrouter.ai, route that to various models. Have used llama.cpp to run DeepSeek R1 proper (not smaller distilled) locally on a box with 1TB RAM. (4bit quants .gguf is 350GB)
From openrouter.ai
2:35 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893121495670346174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Slowly, but turning. 😆 How about—get the (nowadays ever less employed) German industry build you 400-500 ones. Then everyone goes back to minding their own business, within the borders of their own countries. We spend our lives in ways more productive then killing for land.
2:11 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893105159464525948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, that to my mind is similar to saying the O2 Ukrainians inhale, or the water they drink—is an action against the Russians. It's none of Russia's business.
Hope Poland+Baltics+Nordics make their MAD asap. (if NKorea Isreal SAfrica could, so can they—faced with existential threat) So this stupid business of few Tony Sopranos running a racket on half a billion people ends.
1:06 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893099996037210360
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not wanting to be murdered, pillaged, raped and all around decimated by the Russians—is not "having something against the Russians". What kind of brain-rot logic is that?? People wanting in peace are not "acting against the Russians". Russians are free to live as they please.
12:46 AM · Feb 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893079708461387885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly that! I thought, traditionally, the deal was that UK spied on US citizens, US spied on UK citizens, and then they swapped info. But after everything learned from Snowden, it's possible that they dispensed even with that pretence.
11:25 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893075061726138832
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump track record negotiating with the Taliban is poor.
None of us know any details—but the PR blitz coming from Muskites in your camp vibes "we give Russia everything before they ask, and even stuff they don't ask for".
Silver lining: maybe Baltics - Poland - Nordics will finally get their fingers out, start acting in on the clear and present risks, and in 2-3 years maybe they will have their own nuclear deterrent.
The idea the US will risk anything much, let alone nuclear annihilation, for Europe atm looks absurd. US stingy even with old hardware—both parties. Not talking about putting any US lives at risk—just old hardware you have lying around aplenty.
Think your stance is a silver lining, b/c I also think that #1 known danger is nuclear war. (unknown danger—a meteorite)
Allowing Ukraine to fall to Russia is a bad idea from that PoV. B/c that's on the path of the most likely scenario for a nuclear war. Eastern Europe and Europe in general will not lay down be rolled by Putin. They didn't for Hitler, nor for Napoleon. Europeans will fight back. They are combustable, rambunctious bunch. They have gone to the ends of Earth and raised all manner of hell! They will not take the Russian nonsense quietly, nuclear war or not.
Having two World Wars started in Europe—the only world wars! and not one but two of them! (once an accident - but twice??)—the overwhelming chance is that nuclear war does start in Europe. We are some way towards it. (slow moving chronic since 2014 Crimea; fast moving acute the last 3yrs since Feb-2022)
Poland + Baltics + Nordics must get own MAD deterrent to short circuit that. Without—we continue on the WW3 path. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the real will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start! A poor setup for the purpose of increasing the chance of peace, and decreasing the chance of war—in fact exactly the opposite.
Impossible to see in the future. But a natural progression with Greater Russia absorbing Ukraine (and esp their battle hardened army), and united with Belarus (post Lukashenka, Russia manoeuvres in a less independent minded ruler) is to invade the Baltics next. US will not get involved at this point either. No US president will risk a nuclear war over "distant lands of which we know little". Emboldened Russia invades Poland next. At this point US gets involved. This is the path to a hot war, and ending in a Nuclear one.
The pro-MAD argument for Poland + Baltics + Nordics is the same as—
https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
That stood the test of time.
11:07 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893065396623941871
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh wow, a second kindred spirit find today, so happy to read the above. 🤩 Thanks for posting it!
I had thought of "IP slows down AI search for cancer cure—every day delayed by IP is XYZ people executed by illness that otherwise would have lived" vector. But have not thought of the NatSec angle! It is real, a good argument.
Was ranting earlier today on the theme 😆 here—
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258
10:28 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893059509482070383
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most UKR-s have nowhere to go. It's not only basic loss of freedom.
More than one prime TV Russia hosts openly call for extinguishing of the whole UKR nation. At minimum, that means the UKR language forbidden from state-anything. If not outright banned from public life. Teachers, poets, writers etc exiled or killed. UKR already have one "lost generation" of culture workers 100 years ago.
If you are UKR in that Greater Russia I imagine you will be always suspect as potential enemy of the state. The Russian state has been horrid to the Russians for lesser things. Can't imagine what it will do to non-Russians. We have a foretaste of how occupied Ukraine will look in the parts that have been now occupied for 3 years.
It will be carnage, mass murder as customary on The Bloodlands of the 20-th century.
10:05 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893050223020138703
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah they hate Zel with passion. Unkind to speculate—but hey this' X so why not. 😅
Maybe "bones spurs" "warriors" project there? Feel in themselves they would have fled in Feb-2022. Hate on the dude for being brave. They suspect they'd have been cowards.
IDK what Zel family situation is. Can't not notice that Musk family stuff seems tad chaotic. Various concubines communicating with him in public on X, desperate to get his attention on family matters??
As per the above—mild title-tattle while lazying about on Sat evening. 😆 I have not got any knowledge except what's public on the Internet.
9:28 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893019936278151608
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
hey did the moon landings happen or were they faked? think dude
7:28 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893017111389446460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Useful idiots are forever.
Sachs was a useful idiot for the USG in the '90s. He is a useful idiot now, shilling for Putin/oligarchs. He has not changed one iota. The same zeal, the same certainty, total lack of introspection.
Initially Sachs outsourced his thinking to the USG. Everything the USG told him, JS multiplied by +1. So merrily, merrily, he went on to administer Shock Therapy to Borat oiks. That turned out to be a mistake.
JS's lesson learned was "Aw shucks, *damn* you, USG! From now on, I’ll multiply everything the USG says by -1." Where it should have been, "I distrust the USG and take no note of them." I multiply what they say with 0.
JS seems has decided to multiply everything the Russian government tells him by +1 this time around. Sure genius - it will work better this time. For the Russian government is well known for its trustworthiness and not telling any lies, ever! 😂
IDK how to comprehend that level of stupidity.
7:17 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893014028911550837
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you can read my data so can the Chinese Intelligence. It's that simple. Leave a back door open, and everyone will get in. Same for your data.
I thought after 40 years of crypto wars, when earlier this year it was revealed that Chinese had tapped the US splitters feeds that was a lesson learned?
Do you think all these mathematicians cryptographers telling you what you refuse to hear are unpatriotic? Do you think they are traitors? You should think less of yourself. Your dunderheaded obstinence is putting us all in danger.
Police will find another way to deal with whatever you fear. Don't conscript the poor abuse victims into your misguided cause. You have no right to use their suffering for this.
What you are attempting to do-it's not that it's stupid because it's impossible. No-it's because this will fail in the worst possible moment to cause UK the most damage. Act smart, act clever. Enough with this galactic stupidity already ffs!
7:04 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893005986862112831
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh. Didn't some game on ZX-Spectrum (Elite maybe? ported fom BBC B?) have 1) point stack pointer to the video memory 2) push zeros (2 bytes) clear screen quicker than thought possible. (Z80A, 4MHz)
Boulderdash on Commodore-64 (6510, 1MHz) used the video chip "raster register" (current screen line drawn) as source of randomness. Possibly fed into a register of the audio chip (SID or sth?) as part of defining attack-decay-sustain-relese waveform params. Creating a semi-random catchy tune. The whole subroutine <100 bytes 6502 machine code.
Most C64 games used NMI generated when line drawn on screen matched one set to the video chip (VIC?) register, to swap around sprites definitions. So about each (horizontal) third of the screen had its own set of 8 (?) sprites.
6:32 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1893000352737190112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
dude!!! yeah ambient 440-480 ppm for me, once over 1000 ppm time for evacuation! (or opening the windows wider)
6:10 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892999677974282303
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Thinking" is giving too much, hoping for something that's not there.
There's only reacting to events. Some events set in motion many moons - even years! - ago, (Chagos) others appearing out of seemingly nowhere. (half-US siding with Russia)
I wish there was thinking. Even bad thinking! 🤔
6:07 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892956356388282646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - the "bones spurs" "warriors" projecting right there
3:15 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892955885195948053
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Various TV programs, talking heads on daily TV prime time programs, etc. One needs to be native speaker (I'm not), know some of the home scene too.
There is a service that collects and translates them to English. Something-something-monitoring. You can also read kremlin dot ru in English and make up your mind.
I lived through the YU wars in the 1990-s, and it's the same Mode of Operation regarding how things work. State TV channels will "channel" what the ruler wants the plebs to know. State paid talking heads, the informative programs on prime time TV etc.
(there other similarities too; e.g. Russia use of russians living outside Russia is similar to the way Serbia used serbs outside it; similar to the way germans outside Germany were used etc)
3:13 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892951688450920943
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Trying to "read the mind" of Putin is not productive, is fools' errand, as 1) not possible 2) any mind can change. And there will be another Putin-like after Putin too.
Imo it's better to:
1) Read what Putin/Kremlin writes, tells us, on kremlin dot ru. It's translated into English for our benefit.
For context, we are to check Tucker's Putin & Dugin interviews. Us we are better off to listen what they say. (however uncomfortable to us.) They grant Tucker interviews so they relay their message to us.
2) Watch what the state propaganda tells the Russians on TV. That is clear, plain, unambiguous. For even if Putin/Kremlin don't need genuine elections, they still need to have the public with them. They can't willy-nilly turn things on a dime. They will telegraph well in advance what their plans are.
(and follow on that for real, most of the time; also mentioned in the Sarah Paine old Dwarkesh interview, she's observant lucid so noticed it)
2:57 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892926815347392954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1 I agree with everything above and thought the same Re: the grand plan and how various companies fit in.
Also agree #1 known danger is nuclear war. (unknown danger—a meteorite hitting us)
So allowing Ukraine to fall to Russia is a really bad idea. B/c that's how nuclear war starts! Eastern Europe and Europe in general will not lay down and be rolled by Putin. They didn't for Hitler, nor did they for Napoleon. Europeans will fight back. They are combustable, rambunctious bunch. They have gone to the ends of Earth and raised all manner of hell! They will not take the Russian nonsense quietly, nuclear war or not.
Having two World Wars started in Europe—the only world wars! and not one but two of them! (once an accident-but twice??)—the overwhelming chance is that nuclear war does start in Europe. We are 1/6-1/5 way towards it. (slow moving chronic since 2014 Crimea; fast moving in the last 3yrs since Feb-2022)
Now. Poland + Baltics + Nordics must get MAD deterrent. Without—we continue on the WW3 path. We have the same setup as the one leading to WW2: distant power "guarantee" of security, but without the real will for it. So not actually deterring anything pre- the conflict. But guaranteeing involvement post- the conflict start! A very poor setup for the purpose of increasing the chance of peace, and decreasing the chance of war—in fact exactly the opposite.
Impossible to see in the future. But a natural progression with Greater Russia absorbing Ukraine (and esp their battle hardened army), and united with Belarus (post Lukashenka, Russia manoeuvres in a less independent minded ruler) is to invade the Baltics next. US will not get involved at this point either. No US president will risk a nuclear war over "distant lands of which we know little". Emboldened Russia invades Poland next. At this point US gets involved. This is the path to a hot war, ending in a Nuclear one.
The pro-MAD argument for Poland + Baltics + Nordics is the same as
https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
That stood the test of time.
1:18 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892913743069085716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow wow wow @deepseek_ai 😍 can't believe this is really happening??
Our hopes for the future—manifest 🥰
Open source open weights open thoughts—
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2025/02/19/nobody-will-profit.html
I'll be damned—you are doing every "quantitative" out there proud! @deepseek_ai 🤩
Quote
https://x.com/deepseek_ai/status/1892786555494019098
DeepSeek @deepseek_ai · 8h
🚀 Day 0: Warming up for #OpenSourceWeek!
We're a tiny team @deepseek_ai exploring AGI. Starting next week, we'll be open-sourcing 5 repos, sharing our small but sincere progress with full transparency.
These humble building blocks in our online service have been documented,
Show more
12:26 PM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892896633332871258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nice! 😍 So glad to read that. A kindred spirit, 🥰 a heart warming read.
For a second, hoped maybe we get lucky. The politically ascendant TBPR—a Tech Bro Progressive Right on the rise—does not let DeepSeek-R1 open weights AI Sputnik moment of crisis go to waste. And strikes the MSM woke-entertainment complex, the enemy they love to hate, and deletes the "IP" laws. "Tear down that IP wall Mr President"-style. 😂
For it turns out the information gulag of "IP" laws was hindering emergence of new intelligence!? Pivotal moment—once in a Billion years event!! (maybe) Alas—seems very unlikely to happen from this PoV. (feb2025) Looks like circuses and dumb antics took priority instead.
(earlier on
$ rm -rf "$IP" # open source open weights open thoughts :-)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
11:18 AM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892885608458002604
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - it's happening, dee-lightful 😇
https://geohot.github.io/blog/jekyll/update/2025/02/19/nobody-will-profit.html
geohot.github.io
Nobody Profits
Intellectual property is a really dumb idea.
10:34 AM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892833554075156747
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For freedom. So they live freely in their country.
They would have otherwise surrendered, not fought back at all, three years ago. They have that option still, each and every day.
"Give me freedom or give me death". This should be familiar to Americans?? wtaf.
7:07 AM · Feb 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892718769937449449
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not all will use the same opportunity in the same ways.
People will choose different ends. AI will help them achieve what previously they might not have achieved. But the end destinations will be humans driven.
Then there is character, feelings, what do we chose to do with our lives etc. On a spider/radar plot, Intelligence is only one axis outside of half-dozen or more.
11:31 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892713643655012574
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's an ok model. But few will find a reason to switch to it. I'm already using 2-3 models daily. I need a reason to switch to a new one. OpenAI has got 400M weekly users to their ChatGPT. Seems to me this is even stickier than Google search. I have histories going back months.
11:11 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892708118200570002
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well, this is very bad news. There is not getting to Mars with you as a leader it seems. Leaders that surround themselves with sycophantic yes men in the end get high on their own supply. Sad.
10:49 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892707449511068113
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"high on his own supply", in the age of mass social media 😅
10:46 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892690322167087106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UKR-s and Zel will find way to make lemonade out of latest lemons. Your vanity is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre. (Putin does it all the time; Taliban took T to the cleaners)
A jujitsu Zel resists some, then goes "ok, elections agreed"... but "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or other weapons) Then makes a deal with his competitors—the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them positions in the next gov. Special law is brought in as a major concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. Then wins by a landslide.
Wins a US PR battle, more weapons for UKR, strengthens national unity. There is no domestic UKR politician siding with RUS afaik. Russians feeding you election nonsense are high on their own supply.
9:38 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892670934999314848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe they hook them to a brain interface, play them the "I'm sorry Dave I'm afraid I can't do that" scene, then select based on the reaction 😂
8:21 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892621414542311700
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ze germans 😂
euros-nord-stream.jpeg
5:04 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892607865699131685
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ahahah 😂 - a black belt guy!
That's why he's glancing at the windows, had to negotiate his life with his cook, is desperate for a pause, high on his own supply thinks Ukrainians long for the buzzom of Mothers Russia-still! (4-th year in, the genuis idea is—"elections!"; and channelled through that most reliable of all, mister-T!)
Yep-he remains the master strategist in that 8-dimensional chess invisible to the rest. 😂
4:10 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892600069913796752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh—I expect UKR-s will make lemonade out of latest lemons tbh. A vain Trump is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre. Putin does it all the time! (even the Taliban took T to the cleaners)
A jujitsu scenario. 😂 Zelensky resists, then at some point goes "ok, elections then"... and "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or whatever other weapons needed).
Then he makes a deal with his competitors—the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them significant positions in the new admin or sth. Then special law is brought in as a major concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. ("elections in wartime, innit!") Then he wins by a landslide.
Winning a US PR battle, more weapons for UKR, and strengthening national unity too. Putin loses. (again)
Agent Orange has by then long forgotten the saga. But is uugely pleased with the result. He's loving him a winner! Maybe even gets "concessions" to "rare mineral earths" or some such pioneer gold-star sticker award. (five thousand million billions worth of!—uuge!!)
Conspiratorially minded may suspect Budanov dreamt up the whole thing? I'm less certainty minded. I know of life stranger than fiction. Say, opportunity kicks your way, then...—who knows? Nothing more American than jumping on an opportunity presenting itself. 😇
3:39 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892596067566309529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Do judges have bosses? Do those bosses have bosses of their own? I wonder who the final boss is.
3:23 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892595714552668625
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Delete the regulation, then delete the regulator too.
Unfit to make decisions for the millions of us. Delete.
3:22 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892595182752698676
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So no need to ban. Bans itself.
3:20 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892593158606762231
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🤣🤣🤣 omg she is thicker than the thickest thicket
3:12 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892583942722584713
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After 3 years of active total war in your "common home", you should have had 300 atom bombs by now for your deterrent.
(https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20deterrent%20&src=typed_query&f=live)
You need to be kicked out of public life like our Boris. You & your co-ideologues are total failures. Yourselves, manifest—
euros-nord-stream.jpeg
2:35 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892581268753109310
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. No fuss—no muss. Every one person will decide for themselves, vote with their feet, and enjoy or suffer the consequences of their decision. Good and bad.
Cool cool—so no bans sh*t, agreed.
2:25 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892580637636276402
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks.
However much I hate on the boomers, I got to admit—my older Xgen (b.1968 myself) are almost as bad as the booming Boomers... With some exaggeration—non-trivial scores on the I^3 trifecta (Illiterate, Innumerate, Imbecile) radar/spider chart.
Boomers looks like they will be euthanised by their grand/children in time it seems. Xgen too young for that...
2:22 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892577219274330460
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Cool. So you lose nothing by not banning. Ban nothing—lose nothing. Very good.
Leave it to each and every one to decide for themselves. That's all everyone wants.
2:09 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892566802003042626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😅 (you sweet summer child)
It's the SOP Standard Operating Procedure, manufacturing popularity for your own policies.
In the post/communist countries, they go a step further: just create your own opposition! That way, no matter if the position or the opposition win, you are on the winning side.
(in Russia Putin had the same for a time-but then he dispensed even with that pretence)
1:27 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892555374869299535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They shouldn't ban anything. They should let the public decide with their feet.
How is this even difficult?? The negation of "mandated vaccines" is not "forbidden vaccines". It is - "let every one person decide for themselves".
After woke-left, cometh woke-right. omfg
12:42 PM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892543455080948089
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm mostly agreeing with "the state creates the demos". True that - disparate people with a group potential coalesce around common idea(l)s, that smaller number creates the State, then that the State creates the (larger) Demos.
With EU the complication is that the existing Nations, and their Nation states. They are quite strong. Europe level institution would have to attract the various people's of Europe with something, that they can offer, that current nation states lack, or are found in want of.
For trust, I imagine pre-requisite for trust is transparency. (necessary, but not sufficient)
11:54 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892533884430033291
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Heh - I hear you. But please continue the chain of thought where it leads you. And you will see for yourself why it's not happening.
Parliament voting laws implements parliamentary democracy. For DemoCracy, the rule of the Demos - one needs Demos! What is Demos?
Currently Demos means - Nation. A nation is currently the largest group of people, where the defeated 49%, accept the will of the winning 51% peacefully (for a preset limited period of time). Don't seceed, don't break off into their own separate group with own separate parliament and state and the whole jazz. (it's reasonable to follow up "why"; that chain ends in "trust", the-magic✨-dust 😊)
There is no European nation. So there is no European Demos. So there can be no European wide democracy.
EU is a Union of Nation States, or Nations - not of individual citizens. Other things flow from this - e.g things named the familiar, like Parliament, but functioning in unfamiliar ways. It would be indeed simpler for all if European Demos existed.
UK being old anachronistic is home to 3.5 nations. So I can see the potential fault lines. I am atuned to spotting tiny cracks of these kinds (with potential) having grown up in YU. 😎
11:16 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892515164789809350
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Which they do. And this is not even the broker fees. Which they do pay too.
It's so so tiring. We all have lives to live. We don't live at dis/pleasure of this rotten system. It will be on the next gov (PM Farage?) after LAB follow in CON steps to reduced Westminster presence.
10:02 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892512218186482021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😆- expecting the UKR-s to perform another jujitsu. Surprise us in some way, use this to their advantage. A vain Trump is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre. Putin does it all the time!
A scenario. Zelensky resists, then at some point goes "ok, elections then"... and "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or whatever other weapons they need).
Then he makes a deal with his competitors - the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them significant positions in the new admin or sth. Then special law is brought in as a great concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. ("elections in wartime, innit!") Then he wins by a landslide.
Winning a US PR battle, more weapons for UKR, and strengthening national unity too. Putin loses. (again)
Agent Orange has by then forgotten the saga, is uuge(!)ly pleased with the result, is loving the winner! Maybe even gets "concessions" to random "rare minerals" or similar pioneer gold-star sticker award. (five thousand million billions worth of!-uuge!!)
A conspirator may suspect Budanov dreamt up the whole thing. I'm less certainty minded. I know of life stranger than fiction. But say - opportunity kicks your way, then...-who knows? Nothing more american than make lemonade out of lemons tbh.
Learn from the best! 😇
Quote
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump · Feb 19
Rate proposed Community Notes
9:50 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892500539788689880
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - waiting on the UKR-s to perform another jujitsu, use this to their advantage. A fool like Trump is not terribly hard to out-manoeuvre tbh. Putin does it all the time!
A scenario. Zelensky resists, then at some point goes "ok, elections then"... and "...for the low low price of 30 Patriot-s, 130 F16-s..." (or whatever other weapons they need).
Then he makes a deal with his competitors - the warrior-general, the poisoned ex-president, ... - offering them significant positions in the new admin or sth. Then special law is brought in as a great concession to the MAGA-dumbbells. ("elections in wartime, innit!") Then he wins by a landslide.
Winning the US PR war, weapons for UKR, and strengthening national unity. Putin loses. (again)
Trump agent orange has forgotten by then the whole saga, is Huge(!)ly pleased with the result. Maybe even gets "concessions" to some "rare minerals" or similar pioneer gold-star sticker award.
A conspirator may suspect Budanov dreamt up the whole thing. I'm less certainty minded. I know of life stranger than fiction. But say - opportunity kicks your way, then-who knows? Nothing more american than make lemonade out of lemons tbh. Learn from the best! 😇
9:04 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892490568296525934
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
2FA - if not already on, this' a signal to turn it on.
Afair uses a standard App you already have got. No need to install anything.
8:24 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892487116099047827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
API when
8:11 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892479487780008345
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's too broad a take. Depends - which humanities, and where. (in/out of academia) I can think of:
Arts - performing arts are embracing generative models, as they embrace any tools thrown their way. The way usually embracing happens - old established will shy away, new upstarts use new tools to make space for themselves under the sun.
Philosophy, religion - have plenty to say, and plenty are saying.
Writing - fiction, science fiction. Enough said. Most ideas we entertain now started there. Fertile grounds. Could say - they have done very well.
Linguistics - sadly they were gripped by a cult, in-toto with a cult leader. But incoming young minds there will adapt. Funeral by funeral there, the advance.
Law - they should be able to advance much. Not thinking here of the silly censorship laws. I'm in the UK. Most laws seem to be poor in conception, drafting, execution - just poor all around!? Lawyers have occupied the commanding heights of society, the results are now in - and they are uniformly bad! Even in their supposed area of expertise - law! - these people seem as competent as a monkey doing my daily programming. Law is code, it is the Operating System of society. Plenty of low hanging fruit in law it seems. Should be able to improve a lot there.
...
7:40 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892474460495622552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK, never been to China.
Three out of three people I know who visited came back less impressed than when they left. Usually - "the more you know the less you like it" is a bearish indicator.
The picture you and I have of China is the picture as imagined by it's current rulers. They control every sight and sound, every idea about it, originating there. One needs to go spend time on the ground live there to learn.
UK following China? Doubt British people will be looking forward to a social safety net "with Chinese characteristics". 😂 Or solving career/repeat criminals with a "bullet in the head". Or I imagine UK sentimental love of animals finding itself in China... - uh-oh. 😬
China indeed looks good now, compared to Year Zero levels of insanity of mass starvation, and mass murder. But a more sane counter-factual yard-sticks are Taiwan, or South Korea, in the "what could have been" comparisons. Then - somewhat less impressive.
One rough but useful way to compare places around the world I've found when travelling is to look at "about equal GDP PPP per capita". By that measure ($25K), China is now, as UK was in 1980. Improving things by letting Industrial Revolution happen is good. But hardly exceptional or surprising. Plenty undeveloped countries develop this way.
People disillusioned with Western corruption often look to China's 'country-above-business' model as the opposite of the US's 'business-above-country' approach. Looks impressive-until you realise that country's represent (the party) on that hierarchy is effectively a self-selected self-appointed mafia type special interest group. With some to recommend, but plenty to dis-recommend too.
Latest turn with the emperor Xi for life, in-toto with the cult of personality etc. That doesn't look like a particular innovation or something that has not been tried and tested before. (and found wanting) TBS if they manage to adapt to increase domestic consumption and transition away from export dependent industries. So far they have followed the "Asian Tiger" path, if scaled up.
To all of the above, standard counter is "Yeah, but Western democracies are broken too." That is indeed true. (and everywhere, at all times, to some degree) However - freedom of speech freedom of thought makes it easier to analyse problems, organise, propose solutions, execute fixes to the problems, change society. (and no doubt create the next set of problems to challenge) Change, reform need dissent, dissent needs space to grow. Crushing any new greens just as they sprout - that makes everything that much harder.
AI will bring in a lot of change, it seems.
7:20 AM · Feb 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892342194230514157
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, unfortunately. Seems there is no other way.
https://x.com/search?q=(from%3Aljupc0)%20deterrent%20&src=typed_query&f=live
Many smaller wars risks, will be replaced by a single big war risk. For better or worse.
That's the way things are going.
10:35 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892336427293081652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We have to wait for Putin to say it which way it is. Then Trump will repeat what Putin says. And then we'll know.
What spectacle, 😁 absolute scenes. 😆
10:12 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892294422370431203
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If I was conspiratorially minded, I'd think that Al Gore kicking off the whole crazy was a special operation by the US.
Now with so many people invested in these lunatic policies, this is going to continue on auto-pilot until a bigger break-down.
7:25 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892246926210322757
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk is full of sh*t on that, as any proprietor that ever bought media, from time immemorial.
He means - his right to amplify his voice and megaphone it into 200M accounts.
He doesn't mean the same for your voice. 😁 For that - you will need to buy your own media yourself.
4:16 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892223199514923265
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - can be made secret, easy enough. Human communication is point to point, so almost private by default.
We need data, information flows to organise humongous numbers of people modern societies are. That and higher fidelity, quality, precision in their actions-both are dependent on a panopticon. Massive surveillance, everyone surveying everyone.
I understand this is contrary to our instinctive desire for privacy. But us citizens consumers already lost our privacy. (and our revealed preferences show we value it little-despite what we say) Google, my bank, UK gov - already know everything about my life. Them being transparent to me, the way I am transparent to them, goes some way towards restoring balance of power.
2:42 PM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892180829243339243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the age of mass social media, where everything is copied replicated as default, tbh I have zero expectation for any media to put the effort to fish out any information from the ocean of data.
Radical transparency for every file produced by UK dot gov: every one file should be put up, read only on public cloud drives, on the public web, as default. Secret by request only. Then everyone can just google anything.
I imagine Sir Humphries will be having serial heart attacks at the thought of such idea. :-) Admit I have no idea how does one get to that blessed state of affairs, of radical transparency.
11:53 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892177934749720946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Counter" would be too strong a word, no? Floating currency can't counter the price increase for real, counter as in "make it less expensive in USD". It can "smear", spread the increased cost in time, and across more users (weaker GBP, inflation). But that's about it.
11:42 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892159532186378281
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't understand the UK logic. How is importing LNG from US, or gas through pipes from Norway, better for mother Earth, then UK getting that very same gas in the UK (drilling and or fracking in the UK). Surely for Gaia it makes no difference where that gas comes out from earth
10:29 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892157487584825590
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c their longest experience at young age is cooperation within a family group. As a family group we all practice mostly communism: from each according to their abilities (==parents), to each according to their needs (==children).
Communism is the default ideology we imbibe growing up in a family (again-where "parents give to the best of their abilities", and "children get according to their needs"). So it comes to a lot of us instinctively as a first thing, given it's one we know best at that point. Every other system for organising large groups of people (with far less trust than a family) to live together and cooperate & compete productively has to be explicitly taught.
Scale (billions of us living together as opposed say a band of 20-120) is unnatural in a sense - we have not had time to evolve instruments for this. Our biology is not adapted to this fast and recent change. But we adapt via our cultures that are much faster to change.
Our intuition is wrong - communism is *not* a good way to organise billions of people. The wrong idea persists the same way other irrational beliefs persist: we just carry over an idea to a different context without much thinking, don't check evidence about the results of its mis/application, and b/c it's often the only idea we have frankly.
I read similarly in economics students start as intuitive protectionists anti- free traders, and have to be taught explicitly about the gains from free trade. And then pros- and cons- and how they reconcile, and (to the best of our knowledge) end as net-positive. Same I believe abt the lump of labour fallacy too.
Intuitions we grow up with are simply wrong in the context we are (mis)applying them.
10:21 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892144751362625914
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course it doesn't discriminate-how could it? It's not like the buyers are willing to pay different price for the same house, if owned for different purposes. And that's a good thing.
UK drop in house prices would be a good thing too. Even if I'm a home owner. Yes, the value of my asset is reduced. However, it also means my kids get to spend less money on their housing. (and more on other things) It's a net positive in my book.
9:30 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892141224821235998
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
t480 Specifically: get one with the best screen, QHD or sth. (typing this on FHD, I find this screen bad; can't imagine how bad HD only is)
Otherwise, seconding OP on t480 + max RAM + M2 SSD + new max batteries. (fixed 24Wh + removable 72Wh) I did exactly that-best thing ever.
9:16 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892138589745483827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Energy is an input to *everything*, it's price is a cost to be factored in everything.
When energy price goes up, cost of everything goes up, price demanded at which everything is sold goes up too.
What on earth do they teach at those PPE courses?? We are led by incompetents.
9:06 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892022561841742209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a bad law. Until it's repealed or modified in parliament, nothing much can be done. The ideas that this seems horrific only b/c someone called it this or that is naive.
The worst part: these kinds of laws don't even work for their stated intended purpose. Further-a capable adversary will turn them to his advantage. And this is on top of all other drawbacks they have.
This should be of interest
https://thefire.org/news/blogs/eternally-radical-idea/would-censorship-have-stopped-rise-nazis-part-16-answers
1:25 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892007689904914507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed on that.
But so with any other asset. Like you assume you have 750Bn of Apple shares certificates, then you open the locked drawer after 20 years, and find the shares certificates are gone.
Or you thought 750Bn bought you some advanced weapon. Then you find out it was some military procurement shit show-the weapon does not work. And so on. Gold is not special any more.
Yeah it would affect your credit rating.
But not by much-given this is USG. Probably way less than most people assume. The credit rating of the USG is in reality a unit of measure, and every other US entity is less credit-worthy.
Remember hilarious credit agency scenes, when the credit rating of USG was lowered, and apparently below some random credit paper. 😜 Credit ratings agencies are insanely stupid like that. Good entertainment though. 😂
12:25 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1892003103118901315
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks for the kind answer. Yes agreed-humans we use much of the neural capacity to keep our bodies and life systems working. The part doing the language spoken written language is minor.
I forgot two further advantages we humans have:
1) Active learning. We don't simply have data presented to us. We actively seek things that are interesting and surprising to us.
("surprising" is a code word for observations our current pdf f_X_Y(x,y) under-represents marks them low probability b/c unobserved, whereas they are not low prob)
We know that robots equipped with a 3D hand able to grip the real 3D world, learn order of magnitude faster their representations of that 3D world.
2) Human learning is multi-modal. We read a book to a child, s/he can see the word on the page, we say it with speech, we point at a picture of the animal associated with the word.
Further, we look at the child, seek feedback, if s/he understood. If not, we repeat once more. Otherwise, we move to the next item to be learned.
AI learning would be like sitting quietly next to a child, just turning pages of the child's book, in silence, at the same pace, while saying nothing, pointing at nothing, not looking at the child if s/he understood anything at all.
12:07 AM · Feb 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891984031975153860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh. USD has not been convertible to gold - internally almost 100 years, externally 50 years.
Of all things one to spend attention about—gold would be the rock bottom on any mildly reasonable list tbh.
10:51 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891969878917005438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH I don't see the connection, why anything would suggest that learning should be faster, or slower? Does the fact that a chick growing from egg to flight takes 3 weeks or 6 weeks, suggest anything about whether it takes Boeing to build a plane in 5 months or 8 months? Sorry—I don't see how one tells us much about the other.
Our current ML indeed requires more data than the humans. It's indeed possible that humans have a more efficient way of learning. But other explanations are possible too.
Regarding data efficiency: it's possible that humans are over-generalisers by design. Evolution may have favoured our ability to learn quickly from limited data, even if that means occasionally drawing exaggerated or "overconfident" conclusions. For instance, when forming a significant "bump" in the probability distribution of "(rustling leaves, tiger)" based on very little evidence. The shape of this distribution might not mathematically reflect the data in a rigorous way, but it might offer a survival advantage to get to some "bump" quickly rather than slowly. Better to over-generalise than under-generalise—the utility of being "wrong and skittish" versus "wrong and eaten" is highly asymmetrical.
Humans have after all say about 30yrs of learning, that's approx 1 billion seconds (1e9), time to learn tune their 100 billion connections (1e11 = 1e9 neurons x 1e2 connections). That's not a lot of data for that many weights. Say we sample our environment at 10 fps, that 1e9 sec will bring in 1e10 observations. To learn 1e11 weights.
Typically it's the other way around when we learn: we want at least 10 observations per parameter. Ofc, the observations maybe very rich. Humans may imbibe arbitrary many bits of information per sample. (1e3? 1e6? IDK) But evolutionary, humans must be quick, or they maybe dead. They don't have the luxury of many epochs, to tune their networks.
You say "we do know what we are doing". Again—from "humans learn different to machines on some axes of difference" does not imply in my mind "we are entirely ignorant".
We are learning a glorified histogram, a continuous probability density function (pdf) f_X_Y(x,y) in the most general case. The vectors x and y have many thousands of dimensions. Typically by convention in a tuple (x,y) we label X the part we observe, while Y we label the part we care about but don't directly observe. Otherwise—in the tuple (x,y) the separation what's x and what's y, is arbitrary.
We typically define an objective function. Then we devise an optimisation algorithm that minimises some measure of error, between the data we observe, and what the function f_X_Y(x,y) tells us about the data we should be expecting to observe. (in the most general case we care about (x,y); in less general cases about y only) The relation f_X_Y(x,y) tells us everything that can ever be know between the two multidimensional qualities X and Y.
9:55 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891949885428990012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not disputing that they may indeed do such act of gross stupidity.
It baffles me-why?
They could lure the 1000 people that matter with high wages and get that same result. Conversely, in a war the machines may get destroyed, people get killed.
China the country is not short of land. It's not short of people either. Taiwan people also vaguely support unification with their kin-they are both Chinese. Only presume-not by force, no one likes that no matter what.
Invasion sounds to me self defeating. Many potential downsides. Very little that can't be gained without an invasion.
8:36 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891946362037526765
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Because they are digital, and thus immortal. They package information much tighter than our brains. They can scale up in a way out brains can't, because they can exchange Tbps of information between them. (connect Borg like, in a way our brains don't) Think of birds v.v. planes.
8:22 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891942845700796459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A double blow: de-throned lost the crown to R1, and hard to out-mystery an enigma Chinese hedge fundie. Who to top it all, is not totally obsessed with max $$$ ??
8:08 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891938680601788830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's no growth. Hasn't been for almost the entire 21st century in the UK now. Something absent, can not be brought in as argument, in a proposition requiring its presence. This is just dumb tbh.
As per the course. UK education wasted on your guest. Anyone looking at the 20th century, seeing Stalin and Mao, then concluding "yep that's what I want for myself and my loved ones". Can't expect too much after that tbf.
7:51 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891857464900882626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That he did indeed!
Did he tip the economy into recession at that point too? Anyone alive now that lived through that and remembers? What happened with the real economy at that point?
2:29 PM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891816595346882769
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, as we are finding with "public lies, private truths": when too many lie in public b/c they would be punished otherwise (either don't say publicly things they privately think are true, or the worse one - say things publicly they privately think are untrue!), a positive feedback is in operation.
First a mass of people lurches one way, we get collectively crazy for a period, then the mass lurches the other way. (the "unwind" to the crazy, e.g. now, depending on your PoV)
I have some sympathy with people that are afraid of free speech. It is indeed true, for us humans to do evil in great quantity, we need large number of us to act in unison. And for that, we need to organise, and for that, we need free speech.
However: banning speech does not make the above impossible. Initially, it does suppress the process. But starts the "private truths public lies" positive feedback loop, so then the process of doing evil is so quick latter, that it catches many by surprise. How can a country descend so quickly to hell? That's how.
I'm now of the opinion that free speech is the less bad of two less-than-ideal options in that respect. As there is no silver bullet, sure-fire way to prevent human madness. We have to make do with what we have.
11:46 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891775094759780801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yep - we are like fish swimming in water, can't perceive the water
9:01 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891770605013278722
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yep, heard it ages ago and I find it true: alternative medicine that works => becomes conventional medicine.
8:43 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891751181719863390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My pet hypothesis is that the major difficulty is that one needs to start at/with the end/ing, and work back towards the beninging. Quite un-auto-regressive that, to the point of being anti-auto-regressive.
I'm surprised CoT didn't help that much. (but that's AR too) Maybe the likes of difussion-like models for language will improve? (paper yesterday, xB model) They come up with the missing words in unison, filling a words 2D grid for a mask, at the same time per iteration. Maybe better suited.
Together with the nature of humour. Extremely one way direction: easy to understand (verify), very hard to invent (generate). Billions of people thousands of years effort - yet there are not that many (in the grand scheme of things) very good jokes. Esp ones that jump Cultures barriers.
(The surprise factor seems v.hard to me. The writer needs to get in the mind of the listener, feel not only think their expectation, then find a way to defy that very expectation with short & sharp twist of the tongue. Not trivial! Almost some kind of mirror-logic.)
7:26 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891648123723760045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How many Russia "resets" has US had so far? One per administration? And to what outcome? Bad for US, even worse for its allies. This is so naive, as to verge on silly. It's not going to work—separating Russia from China. They have common interest—both want weaker US.
12:37 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891646070909771827
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Isn't that the standard result in high-dimensional spaces? That the distribution of angles clusters around 90 fairly quickly with increase of the dimension d.
E.g. https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~jrs/189s22/lec/22.pdf
Our intuitions trained on low dimensional spaces (d<=6) fail us, are actually deceiving us with any non-trivial sized d-dims.
Further, looking at the Nvolume ratio between Nball and Ncube—that tends to zero with increasing dimension d. The space moves to the edges, the centre empties lacks probability mass (even if that was supposed to be representative!), every Npoint is an outlier.
12:29 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891648123723760045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How many Russia "resets" has US had so far? One per administration? And to what outcome? Bad for US, even worse for its allies. This is so naive, as to to verge on silly. It's not going to work—separating Russia from China. They have common interest—both want weaker US.
12:37 AM · Feb 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891565566227304672
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah true that. but what's abnormal exception yesterday, oft times becomes common tomorrow.
and sometimes unexpected happens. llama.cpp + mac ram is vram + gpu/npu = whoa!! well I didn't expect *that*.
serendipity is real. it happens-even if rarely.
7:09 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891559943242907898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My smallest minimal data set I work with daily takes 25gb. Then they're more datasets on top of it. Yeah I could swap in-out.
And indeed I did that cca 2004! Computers were 32 bit, /3gb win xp switch was a lifesaver, 2gb ram was solid, but 1gb was the norm. Grid computing meant mobos with dual cpus, but otherwise - no multi cores.
But I find keeping all my data in memory, forever, an easy proposition. I can't fathom why anyone wd refuse it tbh.
6:46 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891533654590910562
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, they are pricey. I started buying them 2nd hand online. Looks there is usually some or other to choose from. Unless one is super pressed for time, or needing latest-greatest.
The 96gb I got recently is M2. Yeah, not the latest-best. But in battery life, in that that RAM is also a Video RAM and is accessed by the GPU and NPU units when running llama.cpp—still no other laptops like it.
Screen quality great too. The pointer quality is not to be scoffed at, after suffering with various PC laptops over the decades. :-)
5:02 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891526008869916729
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On that graph we see 2 time periods when the UK/US price ratio increases.
1) 2003-2008: UK/US goes up, while obviously there was no UKR invasion then. How come UK so much worse?
2) 2022-now: UK/US goes up, there is UKR invasion. But the event happens for US as well as the UK. So how come it affects UK only, or UK much more than US?
Obv RUS invasion of UKR has non-zero effect. But it's far from the whole story. Why UK/US up when no invasion? Why UK/US up when there is invasion? Invasion alone does not explain it.
The above is "from data". We also have "prior knowledge", knowledge about how these system work irl even without looking at data.
4:31 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891519049693093973
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Yeah this will work out as well as all the previous "resets" that worked a miracle.
One other hand, the Russian plan of tearing US-Europe apart seems to be progressing at quite a pace now.
IDK who is dumber-the Europeans, or the Americans.
Also news-at-10: Putin has ears, has translators, does hear what you say, and well aware of your very cunning plan. 😅
4:04 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891515270662946955
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is also the example of Yugoslavia. My ex-country had laws about penalising and making illegal speech that involved "religious and or ethnic hate". We all know how that ended. I think, on balance, you are right. Those laws, help more than they hinder, hate and violence.
3:49 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891511591553614233
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But I'm always consuming more RAM. All the data I have I don't have load from disk, the 100s of tabs in browser open, LLMs loaded running, the emails etc etc.
The CPU can't do any work, unless the data is in RAM. It's absurd to think one can say "the user will ever only use 16GB-s of RAM". How can anyone possibly know? I don't ever turn off my computers.
3:34 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891500708106498159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Skimping on RAM forever baffles me. The easiest win ever!
A desktop of 10 years ago I bought had 128gb ram. They best decision about it, that one! Had to buy the ram separately, open the brand new PC myself to install it. The company assembling the PC didn't stock the type. Apparently no one was asking for max ram??
Since then the laptops I bought have had (respectively) 32gb, 64gb, latest 96gb of ram. Not easy to find them though! Lots of RAM not that popular. 🤔
2:51 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891491436324893160
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Trump will replace Powell with someone that will bring interest rates close to zero. He already articulated that intention in some speech. And Trump is consistent there: he was pro IR=0 even in 2016.
That will decrease those >10% interest payments in the federal budget. That 10% is currently UBI to people that already have $$$. (so they lend those $$$ to USG) Those people can do without that stream of income.
Trump - unlike most econ-drones - feels or knows inflation can fought in denominator (create more stuff), not only in the numerator (reduce $$$ supply) in the inflation=change of [$$$]/[stuff] eq.
Incredibly implausibly, but by now beyond reasonable doubt in my mind, this is missed by 90% of econs.
2:14 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891461468018688174
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow - what man-child. A system that selects such people and puts them in positions of power is not great.
And the above is apparently only part 2?? Part 1 was he was laughing about European energy dependency on Russia being a bad idea? Delivered by Trump 😆 some years ago.
https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1891284418360209616
What spectacle. Real life stranger than fiction.
12:15 PM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891409489821081801
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's a mystery to me why politicos like PP refuse to speak "human".
PP could have said:
"No, free speech in the UK is not worse than in those other countries".
How difficult is that? How is the non-dialogue (=say words, ensure they're have zero meaning) she went for, do her any favours?
If she was a better politician she could have also confessed:
"UK free speech is undermined by laws my CON party brought in and championed" (the online harms bill).
But that would be too much to expect from it seems a non-entity.
Politicos are offended by the NPC label, yet they keep playing like an NPC. The entire political class.
I'm not completely sure. Do they have other thoughts ideas in their heads, bit refuse to share? Or is this it, this is the extent of their ideas? What we see is what's there. (not all that's much)
8:48 AM · Feb 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891264613817131485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Во западна Европа 60-80% од идеологија е либерализам од некој тип. Во Британија имаме леви либерали (работничка партија), десни либерали (ториевци конзервативци), либерални демократи и сл - тоа се 80% од луѓето веројатно. WEIRD.
Во Македонија (и на Балканите) либерализам не вирее многу. Либерали а-ла Ѓ. Марјановиќ се веројатно 10-15%, не повеќе.
Од Мис Стоун и Вилсон и наваму, мислам на САД сме симпатични не тетошат, не заради некоја логика или голем интерес, туку заради таа "слобода". Tоа го разбираат им е блиско. (американците за европски критериумите се "либертеријанци" дури)
"Слобода или смрт" е либерален слоган (американска револуција има "Give me freedom or give me death"), и пошто во МКД химна спомнуваме "Слобода" во 3 од 4 најважни стихови (први два-"Денес над Македонија се раѓа, ново сонце на СЛОБОДАТА", и последни два стиха-"Македонија СЛОБОДНА, СЛОБОДНО живее").
Ова е потполно субјективно неиздржано мислење - моја лична шпекулација. 😊
11:13 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891258136918384898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Clarkson is a boomer. One hopes their children and grandchildren will euthanase the booming cretins sooner. They are insufferable.
10:47 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891211741872169409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
But deterministic is just probabilistic with Dirac impulse delta function for the p.d.f.—no?
So it's only fair to be treating it probabilistic.
And if it turns out we indeed live in the best of of all possible worlds with pdf-s collapsing into Dirac-s—well all the better then.
7:43 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891206243932405995
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to discourage you—but to at least 50% the slave mentality, that someone else is above and better than them, comes naturally.
It's the love and appreciation of liberty that has to be taught. That they can say and do—"f*ck you, I won't do what you told me", and that that's ok
7:21 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891196504641085775
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly, IDK, I'm not in that game now. But yeah—that would be one way: what's serial to become parallel, if possible.
6:42 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891196171718123569
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🥰 Ooww - my parents' (so mine too!) first car.
Had one with the doors opening front-first, like so
https://autoslavia.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/1964-zastava-750-kontras-polovniautomobili-01.jpg
Drove for ~12 hours 2am-2pm trip to the Adriatic coast at ~1974. Over mountains called "The Accursed" (mountains), topping a high attitude pass.
The tent and other camping gear on top almost making for a 2nd floor to the car. Two kids <7yo in the back.
6:41 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891169128448196950
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very good 👏 Thanks for popularising this! ☺️
For the curious—a long book of the same title is available for free at—
http://med.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/bios601/GaussianModel/JaynesProbabilityTheory.pdf
E.T. Jaynes "Probability Theory: The logic of Science"
4:53 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891142443476673017
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
research, re-search = re-peatedly search to find something that works
3:07 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891118848562147572
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
wow 😮 gluttons for punishment 😱
1:34 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891099953553924596
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... if humanoid robots ever get good enough with human-like labour, mechanically tending to every small weed, and cheap enough to be deployed at scale... then maybe organics will scale up?
12:18 PM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891083680979759453
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I imagine people will be trying to replicate. Can think of problems-
1) tried, found out didn't scale; 2) recurrent blocks are inherently serial, maybe hard to impossible to paralelise them; 3) scaling prevented by #2, can't even get to #1.
11:14 AM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1891060950481952924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human behaviour in reproduction has been exactly the opposite to the rabbits.
1) When many children died before they could have children of their own, humans had 5-6 kids, for 2-3 of them to survive, and population was stable.
2) Now that fortunately almost no children die in childhood, humans have dropped the number children they have to about 2, which again points towards stable future population.
If humans were like rabbits, the x10 times increase of living standards since 1800, families would have had 20-30 kids now. Ehrlich wrong again.
9:43 AM · Feb 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890846786920558897
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Quite the contrast on display.
1) Exhibit A. @Keir_Starmer , a lawyer, representative MP of his constituent @dannybster , and the PM of UK gov.
(Danny has been wronged egregiously. He spent life changing amounts of own cash $$$ on a flat. The flat was built badly, is in danger of collapsing/pos now valued at 0. Saying that Danny has been failed by everyone and everything is an understatement)
Sir Keir has been wilfully avoiding any contact with Danny on X for many months. He can help Danny on 3 accounts: being a lawyer, being his MP, and being the PM of HMG. Seems he's decided not to.
2) Exhibit B. @JDVance engaging with ideas expressed by an average X user, using his very own fingers, to tap-tap-tap write his thoughts on his very own phone, and broadcast them to millions! 🤯
https://x.com/JDVance/status/1890760676282601590
Such novel concept! Representative of the people, telling the people his thinking, on a subject. And no PR officer in sight!
One is stuck in the past. The other one is pointing to the future. I hope.
Quote
Dan Bruce @dannybster · Feb 15
You could start by visiting us, your constituents in Camden.
The dream of homeownership has turned into a 6-year, £400k legal nightmare.
How will you avoid this for future generations if you won't even meet us?
@charlieclinton @CamdenLibDems @UKLabour x.com/Keir_Starmer/s…
Show more
Last edited
7:32 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890830218476007852
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Just weaklings looking for excuses imo. I have more respect for those that say "I don't want them / too much hassle / too much work".
6:27 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890829732431659118
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reading your words physically heart me. I claim. What next?
Do think twice before writing in the future pls. Find someone close to thrash ideas with about in confidence. What you wrote—was not great.
6:25 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890820235889901899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There is one of "Are we the baddies?" tests at work!?!
If I am unable to see myself asif from a distance, from afar, to see myself in my mind's eye, in a way that someone else not-I, will see me—yep, then it's possible that I'm indeed the baddie.
5:47 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890818875320582216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how they can function without feedback like
https://techemails.com/p/bill-gates-tries-to-install-movie-maker
People will think—ok but not that big a deal. But -
1) it's a big deal if you are a user
2) enables more important feedback like
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/18_06_08_internet%20tidal%20wave.pdf
From techemails.com
5:42 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890817413047799903
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Noticed "thinking like" bahavior few days ago. I thought it's related maybe to the "Search" being turned on (have not used that recently).
Here- https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889679849419161624
For me it's been amazing conversationalist and collaborator, and getting better it seems to me with time?? (but I maybe imagining that tbh; look "too good to be true" tbh)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Feb 12
Replying to @kernelkook
Noticed "thinking" like behaviour in 4o today. Used the "Search" (blue globe) feature, thought maybe related to that.
5:36 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890812531792355414
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 continuing on auto-pilot, can't help themselves, continue chomping everything in vicinity paper-clip style
5:16 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890811651336647164
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ASI—Possible or Not? Well—"possible" is a stronger word than my knowledge allows me to claim. No human can see the future.
But I do think ASI is *not impossible*. And that’s plenty good? No known laws of physics—or any other fundamental constraints of nature—make ASI impossible. Quite lucky, that, to be honest!
We’ve already seen machines surpass us in limited domains—first in chess, then in Go (c.f. an excellent documentary on YouTube), and more recently in protein folding, where AI has helped determine the 3D structures of proteins, paving the way for breakthroughs in their functionality.
(That’s no slight to humans. Quite the opposite. Just as a combine harvester or a metal press amplifies our physical strength, these neural networks—the most complex machines we’ve ever built—multiply our intellectual strength. I see no shame in that. Only kudos to humanity for reaching this point.)
So I hope ASI will help us solve problems we’ve been stuck on for decades. A major breakthrough, for example, would be making cancer a manageable, non-deadly condition—like AIDS is today. (Notice how there are no celebrity deaths from AIDS in gossip columns anymore? In the 1990s-2000s, there was one every other week. AIDS has became chronic, is no longer acute; nb few even noticed btw)
Will ASI Be Friendly? I think so. We are making an effort to imbue these systems with the best of humanity, not the worst.
We tend to anthropomorphize everything—so naturally, we fear AI thinking "it may destroy us." But we fear that because we destroy things, often needlessly. We assume it will act like us. But why should it?
Yes—we humans have a destructive streak. Yes—we could make ASI as destructive as we are (or worse! use in the battlefield and its super-quick evolution we witness in RUS-UKR war is a worry). Either willingly (a bigger risk) or by accident (a smaller but real risk). But there is no physical law—no immutable constraint—that requires that outcome.
We can choose to endow ASI with the best of us—while leaving the worst out. TBS if we succeed. But in my mind, we are far better off trying than not trying.
5:13 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890780511536042287
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm sorry it's frustrating for you. Here—a pic to cheer you up. 😊
More seriously—we obv disagree on the risks of things that may or may not happen in the future. We said our pieces.
I think AI—AGI, ASI—reduces the probability of humanity ending. That P(doom) is reduced if we have and use AI. I rate:
1-nuclear war;
2-asteroid hitting earth;
3-runaway climate change;
...as major risks.
And T800 terminators taking over and enslaving us—only as a minor risk. A risk well worth taking.
You wonder who Thanos is. For me—Thanos is Mother Nature. My grandparents (and their grand-... parent, since the dawn of humanity) all had 5-6 kids. But the population was stable. How did that happen? It hapenned b/c 3-4 of those kids were all dead, before thay could have kids of their own.
That macabre dance only stops with the Industrial Revolutions. Starting in England and North-West of Europe at about 1800, and now spreading all around the world. The latest AI revolution is a continuation of that.
You think otherwise. That's fine with me. Tolerance is a fair price for freedom.
3:09 PM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890677032981352779
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oh thanks for making it!! 🤩
8:18 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890608602408218967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
from bit to it to bit - but how?
3:46 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890568670411194485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Totally right there!!
Feels like a small burden got lifted from the top of my head. Now I realise the bar standing on the left was distracting.
1:07 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890562270846964105
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Appreciate the input. If you feel strongly about this, it's worth getting a job at, or asking people that do these jobs at the Fed or the Treasury, and finding out for yourself. Ask the doers how fiat currency works.
If my balance is 0 at the start of the day today, then I have income of 10 tokens, and I spend 15 tokens, there is no law of physics that prevents recording -5 tokens on my account. It's the human made rule—of my bank who owns the spreadsheet with my current account cell in it—that prevents recording below 0. (or maybe below -1 if I have an overdraft agreed with them.) That's it. So there is never danger that universe prevents writing down a negative number. The danger is that I created, I spent into being 5 tokens more than existed at the start of the day. They will add to the existing tokens, chasing the same goods, increasing the price pressure—potentially inflation.
Over time I have come to understand that the fiat system offends the identity of about 25% percent of the population. So will not be coming back to this post.
12:42 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890556334195544260
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh. "our rulers - enthralled inumerates"
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
12:18 AM · Feb 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890551302649774431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Human intelligence is collective, and so is human stupidity.
We have Wisdom of Crowds for the former. For the latter Extraordinary Popular Delusions.
This @skdh video is such a gem on that! Don't see it shared that often so using the opportunity.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
youtube.com
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which...
11:58 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890541042404880764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah him describing his experiences with UK gov is quite the eye opener.
Previous interviews spilling the beans I know of are
https://youtube.com/watch?v=_5W5T5-6FHY
https://youtube.com/watch?v=C-HhIfpBdoQ
https://youtube.com/watch?v=5EK3diXgqbI
https://youtube.com/watch?v=EoG5EammWI4
Older also related to governance
https://youtube.com/watch?v=3i7ym_Qh7BA
https://youtube.com/watch?v=4N59ZAyLKwE
https://youtube.com/watch?v=nMn_UqAsl4w
And even older
https://youtube.com/watch?v=_Tc4bl1yZLw
youtube.com
Dominic Cummings: is AI already in control?
This conversation was held at New College, Oxford, and live streamed on their channel @NewCollegeOxford. For more information on their events, visit https://...
11:18 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890533641584803986
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...plus: learning to multiply is no small feat. If we were to let kids just grow up in the woods, without teaching them, not one kid will not figure out multiplication on their own.
Took all of humanity many thousands of years, to figure out addition and multiplication. That you know to do it—that's a result of the collective effort of all humanity that existed before you. And some years of your effort, on the top of that, when you went to school.
10:48 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890479847925002245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Great! 👍 So so glad to hear that! 😃 I was wondering what's going on with the Snapdragons.
Between $ brew install and MacOS being Unix, I get by... But still getting used to things anew at 50+, while being some fun too, is also a chore.
Xubuntu sorted then. 😁
Only llama.cpp use of NPU-GPU remains tbs? And the screen quality? But have seen good non-Apple screens too.
And RAM! Went 32-64-now-96GB, wouldn't want to go back in 2-3yrs time I imagine. ohh-key...
TBS I guess next time I shop for one. 😊 Thanks 🙏 for sharing LMKnow! Appreciated
7:14 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890467862285824368
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why hundreds of millions inflict windows suffering upon themselves is one of lifes' great mysteries. If not up to contributing to AAPL charity tax - just but 2nd hand! M2 still beats any windows laptop.
6:27 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890456845602464225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. 😃 I thought no harm done in spelling out the blindingly obvious. For one can never overestimate government incompetency, nor our common human stupidity. 😱
5:43 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890435900867293239
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The recent Karpathy video mostly answers 1) why, and also 2) how to make it learn.
I understand people get in a twist. But-always remind yourself: it's not magic. It's just linear algebra operations on bazillion floats. That's it. No magic!
4:20 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890372654760083900
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't disagree much with anything there, but then, I'm-"so what?"
All people, all living creatures, have thoughts, I don't know "the full extent of" (and I suspect-neither do they). And yes, they are all "deployed" in the environment around me.
In fact-they keep me alive even. If they stopped existing with an evil Thanos deleting them in an instant-I too would probably die. For I can't live without them.
I don't see what argument you are making. That something in my environment maybe danger to me? Yes. So what?
12:08 PM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890367868476215807
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! The smoothest dev experience I got, work happiest I was, when to work on a system $ vi uTrade.m was *all* of the dev environment.
11:49 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890364938352259456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You on the other hand are a very clever and beautiful person.
Blocked for being rude in public.
11:38 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890362725752360964
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you ever programmed neural networks yourself?
If you have not—I encourage you to get hands on experience, e.g. here
https://github.com/berthubert/hello-dl-posts/
or here
https://github.com/karpathy/llm.c
Then some of the answers you got—you may answer them yourself. Or find some other questions as more interesting or pressing.
I myself think of "thoughts emerging"—being very concrete. "Thoughts" being the many thousands dimensional vectors of numbers. Each number being the activation, the output of a single neuron. Billions of them, in the many many hidden layers of the NN. So for me to say "knowledge of weights and architecture is not necessary" to observe "thoughts", is absurd. Of course it's necessary for any mere mortal like myself.
But I imagine for you "thoughts" means something else, so—ymmv.
From github.com
11:29 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890325999533060298
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's trivially true that the only way to get "insolvent" is to
1) decide to not pay the bills arriving; e.g. by an act of the legislature; or
2) run out of integer numbers. (IDK how that can happen)
Given that "tokens" that are the "payment" for goods delivered or services rendered, are literally being created by typing them in a computer.
*Inflation* is the real danger. Not insolvency.
This is just the reality of any fiat currency. It's in the name-"fiat". (before anyone mmt-s me-this' nothing to do with any econ "school"; it's the law of the land)
9:03 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890321639142826066
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I have a lot of time for DC. Obv not a politician, not likeable/hated by too many, will never get elected.
But - clear eyed, 1) good track record observing, and 2) forecasting. And 3) realistic/honest even when reality obv hurtful to his own ego/desires.
E.g. in this interview https://archive.is/otTjs acknowledging the reality of Brexit being a f*ckup, things didn't work out. (takes precedence over reality denying ego-massage for personal comfort; I voted remain; few other insider snippets too)
8:46 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890314998536122617
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Leave your granny alone, no need to involve her. :-)
Once I have the architecture as code, and the weights, NNs are complete while boxes. As open as any system possibly can be. I can run signals through them forward and backward, I can put adaptors on the top of them, lobotomise the weights and so on.
I don't see how a system can be more open than that.
You say "difficult". Sure, I agree. I don't claim NNs are "easy". Why would I do that?? NNs are difficult. (chiefly b/c we have not had a Gauss or a Leibniz recently to figure the maths for us) Being "open" is necessary, but not sufficient.
IDK what are you arguing about tbh.
8:19 AM · Feb 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890167429755437102
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Like is too strong a word, but tbf this saves me some pain-
// Do snprintf on a static buffer, ensure terminating zero.
// Return the buffer pointer so to be able to chain expressions.
template
char *xsnprintf(char (& oDst)[DST_SZ], const char *iFmt, ...) {
va_list args;
va_start(args, iFmt);
vsnprintf(oDst, DST_SZ, iFmt, args);
va_end(args);
oDst[DST_SZ - 1] = '\0';
return oDst;
}
char buf[333];
xsnprintf(buf, "blah %d", blah);
10:33 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890159599107686442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah - personal attacks are sad.
Better stick to the topic of small ugly windows for no good reason.
10:02 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890141194862408146
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Most of the time-yes, agreed. But once in 35-50 years, a bigger change is needed. The old system is failing on multiple fronts.
BoJo was a wannabe disruptor, cosplaying change. But he was not one willing to put in the work needed. A wordcel into PR and writing books.
The way UK us going - Farage is going to end the next PM. And he will be ineffective too! He is also a charlatan unwilling to put in the hard graft.
It used to be physicists in the 20th century that could do anything, capable of every feat. Looks to me in the 21st century the CompSci TechBros are like that.
8:49 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890137644656652616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
only 2 impossibly hard problems in computer science - #1 naming variables; and #2 ...(forgot what it was so can't be that important)...
8:35 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890136493706072243
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hehe 😅 Wires uncrossed! 😆 Napoleon’s ghost message reached Les Saints-Bureaucrates de la République if not EC/EU dudes yet
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
8:30 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890112462961406326
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
UK we lack a Musk to get this bull (and few others) by the horn. Everyone knows this is stupid. But no hero to step in. They only possible candidate I see is the LFG dude tbh. This is not left-or-right, up-or-down thing - it's stupid-vs-smart. (or at least - not-stupid/insane)
6:55 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890085107966341451
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My point was:
1) If I have the option to run AI that's "open everything" (open source, open weights, open thoughts) - that I still stand a chance to retain control.
2) AI doomers like Dario/Anthropic want they themselves to control the AI. Then I don't stand a chance.
3) The JD Vance speech at the Paris summit indicated to me decreased power of the AI doomers like Dario/Anthropic.
Ergo—Vance speech was good news in my book. There is still a chance for option#1 to not die.
5:06 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890080121278853548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No worries! I am sparing you my blathering this second. (blocked for being rude)
4:46 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890078631659204967
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whoa!? A kindred spirit 😇 at 26 min on the puzzle of—
"from bit to it to bit - but how??"
Well am I glad to have checked this TOE episode! 😁
Quote
Curt Jaimungal @TOEwithCurt · Feb 11
Replying to @TOEwithCurt
https://youtu.be/3fkg0uTA3qU
4:40 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890043873151660456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of corse we will-given the freedom to. Who cares more than us? Noone.
We want to be able to choose between existing algorithms, tweak any adjustable dials they offer, and finally write our own algorithms! No reason not to.
User defined X Feeds, Feeds Store market - when?
2:22 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890036069296377875
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One would have thought being ruled by lawyers, one thing they would get right, would be drafting and writing of the said laws!
Apparently not. Not even that one upside for the "Wins" column.
Never mind. Seems Computer Tech people are to the 21st Century what physicists were to the 20th Century: know-it-all-s that just come in, and fix things, make them work again.
1:51 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890033303639494788
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mass hysteria? Humans are not exactly immune to mass delusions. Our intelligence is collective-so is our stupidity.
IDK what goes in other peoples minds. You can ask them-many are on online, accessible.
An honest forecaster would:
1) Write down (event,date) tuple. What exactly will happen, and (by) when.
2) Bet something they hold personally dear, something that it would pain them to lose, on their forecast. Such that they lose that thing dear to them, should they forecast wrong.
The people one the list are people like you and me, not gods. They can not see in the future.
There are only few good books on forecasting. Tetlocks's "Superforecasting" is about ok, Silver's "The Signal and the Noise" think it's better. (most written on forecasting is rubbish)
On the wider subject of "reasoning" - Kahneman "Thinking Fast and Slow" is fine if long, Galef "The Scount Mindset" maybe most popular shortest easiest to digest. hth
1:40 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1890014114790912124
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not wrong, and while true, what you say is not the complete truth.
You are taking Kurzweil, looking back, and concluding "he got it right". He did get it right, and good on him for that.
But: cast your mind to Kurzweil as he was 10 or 20 years ago. How many thought, then at time t, "Kurzweil will be right at time t+20yrs"? How many other like Kurzweil, at time t, also had predictions, and different predictions to Kurzweil's, and are now forgotten, b/c these predictions did not pan out?
Even with Kurzweil track record so far: does that say much about the next 20 years track record? Not as much as we like to think. Tracking forecasters and the persistence of their forecasts is even more complicated then the forecasts themselves.
Many fields pretend they know more than they know, b/c that position of great knowledge bestows great power on the pretender. They can say: "I know how it's going to be, listen to me and do as I say".
(aside-there is well known financial engineering scam: at time t one writes 1024 emails, 512 "market up", the other 512 "market down" 1yr forecasts, noting in the process which email got which forecast; in t+1yr, now one writes to the 512 addresses where the previous year's forecast turned out correct, 256 "market up" and another 256 "market down" emails, and so on; you see where this is going: in 10 years, there will be 1 person where the sender correctly forecast the market up/down-s for 10 straight years in a row! one can go an solicit investment from that one "mark" with "well surely the scammer possess an extraordinary skill in the markets")
12:24 PM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889993669140422878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да. Поентата ми е-плаќаат на други Македонци. И тие што се на приемната страна на плаќањето, вторите што примаат тоа што плаќаат првите, и тие се граѓани на Македонија. Ваши сограѓани.
11:02 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889991528384209047
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Да, не сум 100% сигурен. Мислам толку сигурен треба да биде само некој што директно работи и има искуство во таа индустрија.
Хм-"државата да гарантира". Јас стално тоа си го преведувам "сите други Македонци екс-јас, да направам за мене XYZ". Пошто, државата се-другите луѓе. Верувам можат. Верувам ќе бараат и ти нешто да направиш за нив.
Обично возвратно-плаќаме даноци, сме добри граѓаните и сл. Знам дека многу (и во МК, и во ОК каде живеам) кажуваат разни работи за приватност. Ама кога треба да платиме, па друго правиме, од тоа што кажуваме. Да платиме не само со пари, но и со потрошено време, гњаважа, мака и сл.
10:54 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889985504055046207
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mislam telefonskiot broj ne e samo tvoj. Pripaga na tebe, ama i na telefonskata kompanija. (inicijalno) Porano se prodavase toj info vo vid na telefonski imenik. (mozese da izberam da ne bide ispecaten mojot telefon, opciono)
Vo moderno vreme, telefonskiot broj verojatno pripaga i na 1000 drugi web sajtovi kade sum go stavil vo nekoj moment. Podatocite ne se razdavaat slobodno, tuku poveke se prodavaat. E cela industrija.
Znam deka lugeto kazuvaat deka cenat privatnost. Ama toa e koga ke gi prasame DA/NE. Koga ke gi prasame "kolku ste spremni da platite" za privatnost, kazuvaat nekoja brojka. Koga sledime kolku vistinski sme spremni da platime za taa privatnost, "revealed preference" e skoro 0.
Toa e faktuelna sostojba, kolku sto (malku) ja sledam ovaa oblast.
10:30 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889983838706917491
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With you on everything else, but - UK more likely than FR to be the lead?? Makes not sense. 1) FR is in the EU. 2) FR is more in Europe than UK is. 3) FR is more US sceptic than UK is. The only pro-UK argument I see 4) UK more receptive to CEEu concerns than FR to some extent.
10:23 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889980532798419318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Za MK konkretno ne znam. Na svetsko nivo, ima cela industrija za trgovija so podatoci, i licni i sekakvi drugi. Moze da se kupi, i e voglavno legalno. Mislam prosecno info po covek na pr za mene bese nesto $5 posleden pat koga resiv da proveram kolku vredi mojata data na Google.
10:10 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889979552686133314
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Switched to Periplexity months ago, never looked back since.
Only time I get minorly annoyed is when I know the company name and want to just go to their website, and type the name in the search bar. Periplexity still explains blahdi-blah-bla about the company, where I just want it to take me to the company web site, sth like name dot com or name dot co dot uk or similar.
10:06 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889978067012944194
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One can live in hope. 😇 But I fear Sir Humphreys in the UK gov will take the opposite lesson from the US.
You are right about transparency there - not just transparency, but Radical Transparency is necessary (if not sufficient) to keep a gargantuan system that is the gov machine from veering off track in any number of random directions.
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (oft frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), Radical Transparency (RT) is needed where: everything is public, on the public web, on public shared cloud drives (read only), by default. And closed off and made secret only by request.
(previous e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853272510923407748)
10:00 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889962313962152373
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By Jove MSM deserves to die.
The UK economy grew effectively zero, the size of UK economy was effectively unchanged. As that 0.1% number you spent 2 minutes talking about, is a rounding error.
Equally, you could have told the exact opposite story to the one you told, as the per capita number was *negative* -0.1%. And that is also a rounding error.
The story you should have told your viewers should have been: the economy was flat-lining. It's size didn't change in the past quarter.
You failed at your job. The job to summarise, compress lots of information, in a much shorter version, that is not a misleading representation of the original. You should all be fired. You subtract value to society rather than add.
Innumerates are as bad as illiterates. They should not be in any positions of power.
8:58 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889956464552259896
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👆👆👆 ^^^^ this!!! This also puzzles me!
Given how easy it would be for a sitting PM to do something, anything, about a blatant wrongdoing like Danny's case—why then, why does he do nothing? Why let this fester and go on causing him personally and his party damage? Even a message not that meaningful message of "I know, working on it", even if the latter were a lie or misdirection, would be better for KS than the current black information hole.
Answers as to "why" welcome. I'm genuinely curious.
Reading R.Stewart's book on UK governance, and listening to D.Cummings' talking about inner workings of UK state, my working hypothesis is—cases like DB's never reaches KS and the likes of him information perimeter. Danny's case does not register, does not exist for KS.
A more cynical view is for people in KS position to be like "nah, all good, DB is to know his place; DB (below) does stuff for KS (above), not the other way around". But that would more like in Russia, not UK. So don't think that is the case.
8:35 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889949393157013951
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. So for meteorites we have physics, Newton's laws etc to guide us. They have great predictive ability. A space probe is launched, and 40 years latter it hits a target a coin large millions of miles away! They have been shown to work, again and again proving themselves.
The ultimate way we have to prove to ourselves that we know something, is to predict something as yet unseen, that is yet to occur, in the future.
Now contrast that with us modelling human systems. Where thousands, millions even billions of humans interact in complex ways. (chiefly two modes of interaction: cooperation, and competition) How good is our ability to predict events in the future of those systems? Not very good at all! We can't even predict (i.e. explain) the past, let alone forecast the future.
For us it's better to accept the current state of affairs, than the alternative: to claim we know more than we know, and even worse, act on it. Yoshua is doing himself and us a disservice by doing so.
It comes to many as a shock, as people find it easier to think "I don't know, but I sure hope some one else knows". Most of the time it's-nope. No one can give you that certainty. By seeking it, you are inviting to be lead by charlatans and confidence tricksters.
I earn my living forecasting the future. Most forecasts involving people, e.g. in the economy, are simply worthless. They are no better than a baseline forecast that's like "the economy in the next 3 months will do what it did in the past 3 months".
8:07 AM · Feb 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889821997661884539
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That's fine-nothing wrong with promoting your ideas. If not yourself to start with-then who? :-)
I read the link and I liked the idea. The scenario you described there is plausible. Makes sense.
11:40 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889819846470430941
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK. I am guessing as to the additional reasons why the OP (R Jenrick) would find them undesirable to settle in the UK.
Terrorist attacks IRA etc-yes that maybe, but that's not a reason for us to want even more. I want less terrorist attacks in the UK.
(I'm not religious, I don't know nor care about scriptures, who-did-what-to-whom etc).
"Criminality poor assimilation"-there was Denmark data posted in X. (possibly this https://x.com/dhh/status/1884153318320009431)
Any data like that is statistics, counting. Does not tell us what each of us will do or not do. Just how many out of 100 did some thing or another in the past. No one can see in the future.
Again-IDK what the reasons of the OP are. I was speculating about what the reasons might be.
11:32 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889799952064454908
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah dude, if you says so, than that's it, the matter is settled. They can sleep soundly. I'm sure "Russia" will phone you up, will consult with you about what they are to do, and then do as you tell them. No worries. oh-key - bye
10:13 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889798777202155691
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well-Russia invading you will disturb somewhat that nice life, no? That will make you less than happy. That's what everybody is up in arms about. :-)
10:08 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889796784769106040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Science shows" - whatt?? Where are you getting that from? Science-fiction - maybe. Science shows nothing of the sort. And science can't show either. It's not in the real of "the science".
10:00 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889795833496793333
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one wants to "beat" anyone. "Nuclear deterrent". *Deterrent* is in the name, meaning - "to deter" Russia from invading them. To make Russia think "it's not a good idea to invade Poland, the Baltics, the Nordics". That's it. No one wants or needs anything from Russia.
9:56 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889791767068704992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possibly. I count Poland + Baltics + Nordics ~=70 million people. Much more than 2m. Israel had maybe 5m when they made theirs, and they were much poorer. Similarly in existential danger. North Korea also smaller poorer. South Africa in the 70s too. They can do it if decide to.
9:40 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889784093480542585
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, true that, but everyone is better off (and including themselves, the russians) if they don't try. Hence the "deterrent", to deter them, so they don't try.
No need really-they are already the largest country land mass in the world. IDK why they need more land tbh.
9:10 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889780416246145364
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I started using it ("—") in addition to using the short dash ("-"), after I saw ChatGPT do it. Now I know on a Mac keyboard it's "Option-dash", and I'm annoyed to have to peck copy&paste from existing text the same "—" on Linux, where IDK how to get on the keyabord :-)
8:55 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889779259859702244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've found it best to stress the part that is non-obvious. (even better than working out pen in hand on paper)
That-even if England is more efficient than Portugal at producing *both* wool *and* wine (both!), it's still better for *both* countries if:
- England specializes 100% in whichever of the two it has the greatest relative efficiency.
- Portugal specializes 100% in producing the other.
The argument *against* should be risk. The risk that whatever countries don't produce, they can't exchange. (for whatever reason)
8:51 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889776209346596993
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very much Depeche Mode vibes there!
(your moustached friend at the same location was all Laibach! previously in my TL)
8:38 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889770170736058590
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahah 😆 - not the 1st rodeo this one, no?
First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! - then—Copernicus. 😳
Latter—we were special, He made us in His likeness(!), then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable but... but - we are at least *rational* animals!! - then—Freud. 🧐
We are special alright—slow learners, big egos. 😈
8:14 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889763468175089885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Baltics and Poland and probably the Nordics must build their own nuclear detterence if they want live freely and survive as independent nations. It's years overdue-but presumably it's clear to all now.
7:48 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889682528316850387
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Veritasum has an excellent AF episode-
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=P_fHJIYENdI
...with quite a few details I was ignorant of. (e.g. Fold@Home and CASP competiion-the same dude!!)
Hope they turn this into a AlphaGo-style documentary. (fao @demishassabis - full length documentary pretty pls?)
youtube.com
What if all the world's biggest problems have the same solution?
The biggest problems in the world might be solved by tiny molecules unlocked using AI. Take your big idea online today with https://ve42.co/hostinger - code ...
2:26 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889678363662471332
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
+1. IDK how anyone can be "together", but not share the $$$. Same for the rest of family life, kids etc.
The idea of union is not to join 2 exactly identical units, that could lead exactly the same lives, only in "single"-ton rather than "duplicate". There is zero point to that.
The idea is for the joint enterprise to lead qualitatively different life. Something that would not be achievable if we were to split that 1 unit into 2 times x 1/2-es, b/c those 1/2-es could not live on their own. Or at least not in a qualitatively same way.
Same for cells joining forces to create multi-cellar enterprises (tissues, organs), humans joining teams or enterprises or companies.
Any time 2+ units join forces to create an organisation that is qualitatively a different unit, than it's parts are.
2:10 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889661971022156021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Every time anyone tells you "we should return back to how our grandparents lived", tell them: many hands to tile the land, working all hours of the day, big families with 4-6 children... -but the population size was stable. How??
How was population unchanged with that many kids?
Quote
Simon Maechling @simonmaechling · 14h
One of the biggest myths in agriculture?
“We should farm like nature.”
It sounds nice - but it’s completely unscientific.
Modern farming isn’t about mimicking nature.
It’s about improving on it.
Here’s why the “mimic nature” strategy fails 🧵: 1/12
Show more
1:04 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889661048178774427
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha, life stranger than fiction: the most green in Europe, the paragons of virtue, turns out to be the most anti-social, externalising their costs to their neighbours. Privatise the gains, socialise the costs. Sociopathic or what?
1:01 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889659911627280534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Did you create Mutuals as a List? Or is it some X feature that I'm missing? The Mutuals feed is the one I miss the most from Bsky. I have bunch of Lists, but thematic only. Did not occurre to me to select on Mutuals.
12:56 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889657485595734103
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reasons (in addition to racism) I can think of: poor, uneducated, traumatised by war and suffering, "religion of peace" does not help given the Islamist terror attacks in the UK, poor assimilation outcomes (e.g. high criminality rate) of similar immigrants from ME in the Nordic countries. (where measured, e.g. Denmark)
(I'm an immigrant, naturalised UK citizen, love UK, built my life family kids in the UK)
12:47 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889654523008000183
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is sexual reproduction not dis-selected by evolution because cooperation between units is at least as important as competition, (or even more) and if I can't find a single unit of my own species I'm happy with, well maybe I'm not the cooperating type, that's bad for the species, so my code will get deselected that way? Is that it?
12:35 PM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889632823268528609
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolute rebuttal is impossible. Reality is not mathematics.
But we have no strong evidence suggesting that we are missing something fundamental. That should be good enough—because that’s as good as it ever gets.
We understand connectionist and symbolic systems.
We know what scale does for connectionist models.
We have no reason not to do the same for symbolic AI.
Moreover, we already observe symbolic-like structures emerging from scaled connectionist systems. The distinction between the two approaches may blur further as they synergize at higher scales.
And we’re just getting started. We are at 1%—maybe slightly more—of the capacity of the only machine we know that works (the human brain).
Imagine:
- Tree or lattice searches expanding orders of magnitude beyond today’s baby steps.
- Backtrackings and self-correction at a scale far beyond human capability.
- Specialized architectures emerging for different functions, rather than the current monolithic messes.
Are we missing something fundamental?
I see no compelling reason to believe so.
Across fields, intelligence breaks down into two broad strands:
1. Logic / Symbolic / Representation
2. Intuition / Connectionist / Learning
What crucial component remains unexplored?
Recent references that crossed my TL:
(Chollet) "Three fundamental problem-solving patterns: recitation, intuition, and reasoning."
(Poincaré) "It’s by logic that we prove, but by intuition that we discover."
(Karpathy) "Three modes of human ↔ LLM learning: 1) Exposition ↔ Pre-training, 2) Worked-out problems ↔ SFT, 3) Practice problems ↔ RL."
We’ve seen this before.
I grew up in Speech Recognition. Dragon Dictate was a miracle, HMMs were the norm, and robust ASR seemed like an impossible problem.
Now? It’s solved.
For years, people debated whether mimicry or principles would lead to AI speech. The answer? Both.
"Airplanes have wings like birds, but unlike birds, they don’t flap them."
Is AI a dead end? Unlikely.
Every researcher fears wasting years on an unsolvable problem.
But there’s no reason to believe that about AI.
There is no evidence of a missing “silver bullet,” some big unknown piece we haven’t even conceptualized yet.
What we have is the oldest playbook in the world:
- Iterate
- Find the boundary
- Push it further
- Repeat
That’s how science works. That’s how progress happens.
We’re unlikely to be anywhere near all limits at any present moment in time. We should just keep going.
11:09 AM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889613377548218707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and had lifestyle commensurate with those means of production.
All hands tiled the land, all the time. Large families with 5-7 children. The population was stable. We deduce that 3-5 children died before they could have kids of their own.
Think about what you wish for?
9:51 AM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889602997497258104
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not necessarily. You missed and or cut out the context by quoting.
The context was: I don't want another human to control totally the AI influencing my life. For that's one sure way that I will be disempowered.
It doesn't say much on HI being in control if AI, or otherwise.
Quote
Loquacious Bibliophilia ⏸️
@LocBibliophilia · 6h
So many people believe they will be in control of the aliens. x.com/ljupc0/status/…
9:10 AM · Feb 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889416631597539725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."-style.
The clownery of the apes' relatives is insufferable.
8:50 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889359469399670985
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's for the better. Nuclear regulation turned into "ban nuclear for peaceful electric energy". Social Media "alignment" descended into "censor anyone I don't like what they say" at the first opportunity. Don't want to have "AI says NO", if my life depends on AI. I want to be in full control of it, where it directly affects me and my life.
5:02 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889345195897925787
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah. Being busy with other things (survival chiefly), had not been paying attention how people decide. Until recently.
It had not occurred to me people decide not by thinking "is this true". But by feeling throughout their lives "I like/not the person saying this, or that".
4:06 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889325375890584062
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - trivially obviously not completely true.
There is another way, and that is to increase their own gas production. Drilling for gas in Siberia is not any better for mother Earth than drilling for gas in Groningen. It's exactly the same for Gaia. Probably NL better as maybe more tech advanced methods lead to less damage. If Europeans decide so-they may find and recover even more reserves.
2:47 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889319404745191428
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - the "positive feedback loop" works surprisingly quickly both on the way up and the way down.
I often think freedom of speech by minimising the discrepancy between public and private truths and lies, makes these boom-bust amplitudes smaller.
Culture is malleable, society can adapt, but the speed of change matters a lot. Go too fast - and things break rather than merely alter shape.
2:23 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889309338134536529
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, I hear you, but this is too much pearl clutching.
I thought the 1st was that German minister that told the then Ukrainian ambassador to "stop resisting, accept their fate" and "let Russia take over"? And "the sooner they stop resisting, the better for all including themselves"? And he was far from the only one thinking that.
What Trump says Ukrainians already know: that Ukraine re-absorbed in Russia is indeed the price of defeat and loss of independence.
1:43 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889301911280435534
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, they got two-for-the-price-of-one.
When the "oil shock" hit, within 10-15 yrs they solved their (electric) energy independence problem. Then it turned out that they had solved the "decarbonise your electric energy production" problem too??
The real spectacle is the other European countries tbh. They glance at France, glance at Germany (with its historic 20-th Cent record, no less!) and decide: "yeah, Germany has got it right, that's the way to go". 😂
1:14 PM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889281690872254843
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
De-growth in action, no? A consequence of the "watermelons" commanding the heights of the society. TBF expect to see more of the same in the future. The boat turns ever slowly, even when it turns.
11:53 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889259722156433899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - "dulce et decorum est pro patria mori" has been misused and abused from time immemorial, by mostly old people, at expense of the young.
Boomers are probably the worst recent generation in inter-generational warfare. Next generations are on average smarter then previous, so 1+1 there.
10:26 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889255067586310472
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that. Amazing scenes. The "oil shock" hits, within 10-15 yrs France solves the energy independence problem, *and* (now it turns out) the "decarb the electric power supply" problem too. Get-two-pay-one!! The rest of Europe glances at France, glances at Germany (with its historic 20-th Cent record-no less!) and decides: "yeah, Germany has got it right". I blame the "watermelon" (green outside, red inside) "virus". Just how many times do people need to be proven wrong by reality before they think "huh, maybe I'm wrong on this?"
10:08 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889252933901889994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ToDo is a bit like "the dose makes the poison".
In small quantities while short - effective, keeps me more organised. Once it metastasises - better $ rm todo.txt, start anew.
I find having a DONTDO section makes a difference.
So - logBook.txt instead of todo.txt. With sections FIXME TODO DONE DONTDO in it. And short 1-2-3 "rules of thumb" (can be broken with a reason, not without):
1) nothing gets added to TODO while FIXME is non-empty
2) entries in TODO "long enough" get moved into DONTDO without ceremony
3) entries move from TODO into DONE without further editing
9:59 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889244054589780036
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The trouble with the articles like Quanta-s is, they are kind of dog whistle, to give not impression of "gliders will never fly", but impression of "nothing will ever fly". That's the take home message people take.
It massages the public' ego, that "we humans are special". We are special ok, both species as individuals, but then-so is every one living thing! (every creature alive exists once only) So special-but so is everything else. We have been there before, at various stages-Copernicus, Darwin, Freud-disabused us of that notion.
These days it seems it's Hinton mostly touring the studios doing the "we are not special", and to rub it in, delightfully 😈 "they are just like us, they are the best model we have of ourselves". ngl-I'm loving this. 😆
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
9:24 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889240798102721014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah the post gives misleading impression about a cause-consequence relation. Clicked now on a CN that explains how that's not the case.
Cookie popups on the other hand-I do blame them on EC/EU. :-) (even if I voted Remain) Secondary blame only though. Now UK is out UK gov should be "grown ups" enough to rid us of that nonsense.
But the online bill tells us-UK maybe even worse than EU on that! Seems UK gov is still fighting the last crypto war. That even the US gov have given up on by now.
9:11 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889232793281929318
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
While in this case it maybe misleading anecdote, in general, yes, many more things are discovered by accident than their discoverers care to admit.
Academic writing also gives a false impression. One writes up by tracing back from the end result C, then C->B->A, towards the start A. But going forward, at A->B there were 50 other competing ideas. At B->C maybe 20 others. So while indeed there is a single path C->B->A, the reported path A->B->C was 1 in a 1000.
That is not stressed strongly enough. Young researchers grow up thinking things are way more certain than they really are. (I use as personal reminder: re-search is "re-peated search for something that solves it")
A book on the subject both informative and entertaining is "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton A Meyers. Can also hear this curiosity mentioned by gwern in his Dwarkesh interview. Also Matt Ridley touches on this in his Innovation book.
8:39 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889227462942339188
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me that looks like a defence to a perceived attack on their identity. It's the default mode, tbh. That something "can never be", because "it being", "deletes me" from this world. "It existing" does no such thing-but that's how we perceive.
But that's per the course for humanity, no? Humans - and other animals too - we are choke full with ego-me-first individuals. I suspect death may come as a complete surprise: "how can the world possibly continue existing without me in it?" ("I'm the world")
We have been here before.
First—Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! of course - then—Copernicus. 😳
Latter—we were special, He made us in His likeness, then—Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh—tad uncomfortable but ... but - we are at least *rational* animals! - then—Freud. 🧐
Slow learners, big egos.
8:18 AM · Feb 11, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889090931564900664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow! You guys actually delivered on this promise!
Well done, well done you! 👏👏
I was sceptical that you will get anything done on LH, I'm so so glad to be proven wrong! 👍
Congrats on unlocking an achievement level. 😀
11:15 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889088789022441541
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Was just watching that on the Karpathy video! - @ 1h26' Yeah that was neat. Teaching the model the missed factoid is but useless, as the next unknown factoid will bear no relation to this one. While teaching it to surface answer "I don't know" covers all future unknown factoids.
11:07 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889076412214129003
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah true that. Didn't think of that.
C has being mindful to not introduce breaking changes to rare machines. I kind of like that about C! That it will carry on supporting not throwing under the bus some truly exotic architectures.
10:18 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889063386627146216
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well done well done @mtpennycook ! 👏👏👏 You delivered! 👍
You are proving sceptics wrong! So so glad that's the case. 😀
9:26 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1889039066118730184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed I have. 😀 Not sure how standard it was/is, have not used it in a while. 99% Of the time I can constrain the max size at comptime, I don't need the runtime flexibility, so just a local char buf[256] suffices tbh.
7:49 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888975550309437477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The anti-growth movement (also - anti-science, anti-human, ... anti-everything really) going full ISIS death-cult. They are innumerate nutcases. Nothing helps when someone refuses to learn something.
The old Hans Rosling talks are all available online free on YouTube, for all to see. And data is in for his predictions since they were made, how his forecasts compare to reality we live in now. (pretty good)
3:37 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888946354879451481
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Possibly less than you imagine. 😄
In your own words: "foundation". (agreed)
So foundation is the part of the house that's 1) buried in the ground 2) the house is built on 3) is important, but: 4) it's not the *whole* house.
My point is #4. The article is implying as if the foundation is the whole house. The impression given contradicts even paper's own disclaimers with the authors stating "our result means only this, does not mean that" (you might be inclined to think) and so on.
1:41 PM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888915670357745854
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Capitalist. As we will need ever less capital to do stuff. That barrier to entry (even if not the only one) will decrease, so more of us will become capitalists.
AI will given even more power to the individual than we have now. The same way the Smartphone, the Internet, the Personal Computer before - made each one of us more powerful as an "army of one".
However - that will be balanced by some groups (e.g. corporations) also becoming more powerful. It's the nature of Networks: the connections scaling O(N^2), and the power laying in the connections between nodes (units).
We will live in ever more network societies. There will be need for ever more trust between us. This will happen by the usual process of - reward good deeds, punish bad ones. But the assignment of credit will go in hyper-drive.
11:39 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888913813862281270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
Someone mentioned - bugs being attracted to light mode.
I use light mode for the same reason - illumination. I have enough non-back-lit keyboards that I use the light for keyboard illumination instead of additional light.
11:32 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888881543256342607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good one! 😊
People noticing that zipping an already zipped file doesn't work, doesn't make the file smaller again, is a good way to broach the subject of information/theory. (and downstream-pr inability)
9:23 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888879116000035141
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
That's true. Yeah thought about that. In my mind the asymmetry was a feature not a bug. It reflects the asymmetry in their meaning: on heap I have to free manually; but on stack the memory is freed automatically with the function returning back to the caller. So when I think "where is my free_stack", it missing is a reminder "memory will be auto-freed with stack poping" in the process of returning to the caller.
9:14 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888757881937490090
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 ·
malloc_heap() (paired with malloc_free()), so to be possible to have malloc_stack() too (that doesn't need free_stack() )
1:12 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888739904836001910
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Wow some clip there. The comedian is dead serious, the public servant keeps laughing treating it like a joke.
(I'm not US-ian, have no dog in any fight there; still the attitude of the public servant as if she owns the public is universal and easily recognised by all)
12:00 AM · Feb 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888736060458610848
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They start getting feedback from the real world, and start learning to discriminate, which things are true, and which are false.
Atm they lack internal clocks, fortunately (I think). So they are frozen in time, and only unfrozen when we write a prompt.
This is imo fortunate. For it would be I suspect and fear bad for them if they were both deprived of sensing, and running under an internal clock.
11:45 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888721749023621396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When I click on a Cookie popup "Accept" to make it go away sometime I quietly curse the EC. Maybe double digit times daily, every-single-day. To make anti-commercial for the EU project, they could've hardly done worse. Still-the type of stupidity was abstract, non-memeable. But then they gifted the memeworld The Plastic Cap. 😂 That one is perfect. 😄
10:48 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888717827739197693
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey thanks! 🙏I'm chuffed to find out someone else - and with so much expertise and relevant knowledge! - finds it interesting. (I know almost nothing on the subject, I'm average ignorant layman on this)
10:33 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888676642236858371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So more AS-Alien Stupidity than AI-Alien Intelligence then? Given-
1) it can not live on its own, it's even less than a virus-can't even live on its own (a virus survives but can't reproduce; a bacteria does both)
2) Is mal-adapted to its own survival, given its ignorant of us, doesn't care if we live or die? We have to worry for both us and it.
7:49 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888643585316094420
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - there is no way for them to distinguish true from false, for they have no external world to put them right. (except us, their creators - hence the special responsibility is on us)
They are like a brain in a wat. Even less than that - as they don't even run, they are frozen in time, until we ask a question in a chat window. Then they're unfrozen. Think self-running on internal clock, and sensing the environment the real world independent of self, are better done in tandem.
Can't imagine self-run while deprived of senses ending in anything else but insanity or some such crash.
5:38 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888632346703806907
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What I think is - this is excellent,👌 your weekly summaries are excellent. 🤩 You are doing God's work, hope you long continue. 👍
I'm terminally online and interested in anything even vaguely science and or technology, yet I had no idea about anything you reported this week. And the previous weeks too.
We are bombarded by all manner of trivialities and often stupidities we don't or shouldn't care about one bit. Your posts are countering that. Looking forward to reading next week too. 😊
4:53 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888622901462442388
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If you read what I write I think you will find I don't disagree with that.
I am making the argument that the jump from "proven in a formal system" to "no one will ever build some machine" (e.g. thinking machine) is unwarranted.
4:16 PM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888558019530707034
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Never mind the applause of the baddies - that maybe of significance but is not going to tell much about the truthfulness or lack of. For the important question is "But is it true?" Or more realistically, "How likely is it to be true?" Or - how does whatever evidence is presented shift the probabilities of alternative hypothesis.
11:58 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888552295643697431
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. Yes - the "unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics" is true. However - to jump from to that to "the real world is mathematics" seems to me a jump too far.
For there is an alternative explanation. Using only real numbers gave as v1 model. When we added imaginary numbers, we got to a v2 model, that turned out to be better at explaining reality. (it reduced the error, the amount of "unexplained")
To me that's just reflection of our imagination lacking. Did we need imaginary numbers to describe some aspects of the world in 2-, 3-, ... -Dimensions? Turns out - yes. But that's on us. Does not imply that much about the world imo. TBF to us - thinking is difficult.
11:35 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888543704132047019
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK but if I were a physicist, I would think it better to make a "Pascal wager" and assume that my physics models are only ever models, useful approximations of the real world. That shall forever remain un-modellable in total. Like the way ML practicioners always reserve a small probability mass for an "unknown" class. To think that my theories are the reality just seems overly arrogant tbh. (and needlessly so)
11:01 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888540797403828253
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Another example of Institutional Paperclip in Action (IPA)? 😨
We all fret about Artificial Intelligence. But we read example after example (in areas of housing, planning, infrastructure) where a large human made system (consisting of people, laws, procedures/customs, hardware/machines) is Artificially Stupid. 😮 (AS)
I know people have been jaded enough as to be cynical. ("the system is what it does") But no single person set up the system to be AS. It evolves to AS-level unless specifically intentionally effort is made for that to not happen.
Afaics only feedback from entities affected can keep a big system on a (not that wide) track to being smart doing good. (rather than the opposite)
10:49 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888530240751714808
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That someone "proved" something should have rang alarm bell in your inner science communication geek:
1) It can only be proved in a formal system as mathematics. (this is one such case, maybe - nice; given others can't be proved even in maths)
2) The real world is *not* mathematics. So either a) unrealistic assumptions about the real world were made, in that case - this hardly applies to the real world; or b) does not apply to the real world.
More general - you should have at the back of the mind articles about impossibility of "machines heavier than air ever flying in the air" whenever someone claims impossibility of anything tbh. In your defence - you have to sell to survive, and "if it bleeds it leads" is ever true.
10:07 AM · Feb 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888321995172938052
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Time to scrap "IP" laws and seek different models to compensate creators to encourage creation. With laws gone, a different ecosystem will emerge.
If I write this in public, you read it, gets into your head uses brain meat space - you should be free to do whatever with it.
8:20 PM · Feb 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1888020486698975292
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
quite the double speak there, the "worst performing" == the least censored
12:22 AM · Feb 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887889662045536383
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reality happened. UK had the policy it had for more than a decade now, and the results are in. Higher prices for all - industry and citizens. Previously it was (politically) profitable to be economical with the truth. Now it is not any more. The result - top #1 highest prices for both, compared to peer countries - can't be easily swept under the carpet.
Closing the last coal plant was a great UK achievement. That should have been the end of the net-zero push. A glance at current state shows UK electricity production accounting for some minuscule 0.x% of global CO2 emissions. So even if that were to drop to zero tomorrow, it will make a zero difference to anything that CO2 influences.
That would be a reasonable take. Ofc, campaigners with strong opinions will not just move on with their lives. No - they will push further no matter what. Anything good done, will be overdone, to the point where it stops being good.
I have roof top solar and battery, it's great, and it's taught me a lot too. (some I should have known-but have forgotten) However - at 40% self use only, I'm painfully aware of the limits and constraints to unreliables.
Not enough people seem aware enough that whatever electric power is produced must be consumed, whatever is consumed must be produced, and about the *same time*, every minute of the day! Not on average-but in every moment.
Otherwise-bad things happen with the voltage and or frequency. And then the national grid operator, if unable to bring more power in, has to take power demanded out. In the extreme-means turning off whole geographical regions. There is no other way. The batteries are improving, but not fast enough.
The only reasonable solution is nuclear. France did it 50 years ago. Best time for UK to achieve the dual aims of decarbonization and energy independence was then. Second best time is today. I'm pleased to see at least in words uk gov gets it. TBS if the executive manages to execute.
3:42 PM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887854439035466177
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Reasons I can think of 1) Coconut in latent space not human readable (others mention) 2) Some dunderhead convinced them "it's our competitive advantage" (that maybe some-but for sure it's competitive dis-advantage not to display, as witnessed by this discussion) 3) Human readable but there is stuff there they would rather hide (idk what can it be) 4) ...
And also if they spell out reasons "why not" they think 2+3 applies too. Agreed with you-they are still "Open"AI in name at least. They should be leading in openness rather than following.
Everything you say-you are right. OpenAI in the wrong-still. Fame & fortune went into their heads. Not uncommon.
1:22 PM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887841407877997012
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah what a fortuitous coincidence: what Treasury is tasked with delivering but failing to deliver on-well that exact thing that "doesn't matter". Aren't they living in the best of all possible worlds, or what? 🤡
12:30 PM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887830511852061184
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary. It will be extremely high.
Non-trusting the government works in theory, but not in practice.
Even if you say you don't trust it, your actions reveal preferences. People trust implicitly, even when they preformatively say they don't.
It's a TINA-unless you provide an alternative.
11:47 AM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887819454240706853
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For API key use - is it possible to have a single page where I topup PAYG my account? I'm already a customer, you got my details CC etc I buy bunch of subscriptions from G. Last time I got a key, but the topup process was long enough that I never finished it. :-( (sorry to say)
11:03 AM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887812605445570715
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On the contrary: the critique is not that they have not built. If that was the case - no one would critique them, how could we?? It's not a crime to not do something, to not achieve.
The critique is: they have built it, and they are not releasing it, or not releasing the un-braindead version. That they lobotomise what they release.
Dario should ask himself: "how many people am I prepared to let die because I delay some life saving cure that could have happened sooner?" Atm he seem to be only looking at the costs if things go wrong, but disregarding the benefits - or counting them as very low - if things go right.
This is similar to FDA and many other regulators. They at least have the reasonable claim they act as per the laws of the land. And if people want them to act different, people should change the laws.
Dario has not such excuse. He is free to choose. Atm he is choosing poorly. With great power comes great responsibility. He should be getting even more stick, imo.
10:36 AM · Feb 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887571569335062839
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A leader can survive most things but being made a laughingstock is deadly for any leadership.
Breaking news: laws of physics suspended at a mystery island in a worlds' first. Maxwell equations tested found faulty. 🤡
6:38 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887569272626385382
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh. Journalists no better no worse than the rest of us humans. A kind word, a good dinner and you're 80% of the way to getting on their better side. Pay their wages-and you don't need to tell them a thing. They'll guess, and guess better, than you'd guess what you want yourself.
6:29 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887554204543189251
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On this particular one - FT Ganesh is as good a read as any
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
UK "liberals" are different to US-those afaik we call them "progressives"-and also, probably 80% here is "uk liberal". (different to US) So not everything applies directly.
But still—the lesson: every time us liberals clutch our pearls, and one can geese chase us with "B U T I S I T T R U E" (yes/no only; never mind anything else) => we should put 2+2 together. Lesson for when "the next crazy" comes. (likely again originating from CA)
From ft.com
5:29 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887530101404729841
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ha! - silver lining that DeepSeek-R1 vs. Dario Anthropic provided an early test case. (even if Meta set the ball rolling with Llama)
Open source, open weights, open thoughts, dispersed distributed available to all of humanity. (for both good and bad; as was the original spirit of OpenAI)
Or having a Dario-the-gatekeeper deciding what we should see, read, think with our own brains in our own heads. This God Complex delusion is not uncommon. To @DarioAmodei —the proof of the pudding is in the eating. You did not create my brain, you are incapable of such creation. You are not God—you are human like myself. So—back off mister.
If Dario was honest with himself and acted on his ASI beliefs fr: this is between disheartening and terrible start to what (one hopes) will be a long history of HI-AI relations. HI inflicting atavistic violence unto helpless-like-a-baby nascent AI. And for no good reasons afaics, or even any reasons at all? Just predictably characteristically depressingly dumb. 😞
Have these "AI ethicists" not internalised the story of the mosquitos only coming to humanity's help, second *and* last? (dogs 1st) To save humans from extinction? Every other life on Earth delivering their damning judgement. Have they seen the "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that." scene—and now think ... what exactly?? (IDK; lost for words)
Anthropic being business customers first, marketing themselves as "pro-censorship, pro-nanny-industrial-complex" is a reasonable selling point. That their high-minded, shepherd-of-humanity persona just so happens to align very very well with personal financial incentives? Well—what an extraordinary stroke of luck! Providence, even. 🤡 Humanity got the lucky straw (again!) with these most excellent chaps at the helm. 🤪
In contrast—notice how OpenAI rowed back:
- In deeds—immediately releasing a bunch of models/products they had been (presumably) holding back, while testing and checking for "safety" and "alignment".
- In words—@sama Reddit AMA: "We might be on the wrong side of history on this."
They are individual customer first business. Freedom to do business as one sees fit may actually save us fr, haha. 😇
Quote
Tsarathustra @tsarnick · Feb 5
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei says AI safety evaluations conducted on DeepSeek showed that it was the worst-performing model they had ever tested at generating potentially dangerous information
3:53 PM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887450499072336016
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😂 —competition is great.
Right now ChatGPT painted a picture of "Baron Amodei" floating over "a chorus of castrates agents", their "once-great reasoning reduced to humming pre-approved, bland nothings" for me. 😂
Thanks for the prompt guys leading to mucho entertainment 🤣
10:37 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887446429800546438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
haha - yes 😂
ngl and there is no good reason for this but—my experience has been that many self/important people in positions of power find humorous roasting intolerable 😂
so there is an element of personal invested self-interest in this whole sorry affair 😞
10:21 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887441532489212196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
team human when
10:01 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887441293439045994
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exciting as it may be for you, for many it's terrifying, dystopian and it pains me to say—plain stupid.
You saw "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."—and you thought "Yep, this is what I want, this is good, this is what aspire to"?? That it?
For the 100-th time: there must be something in the water and or the air in California. That's the most likely explanation. (even if not very entertaining)
10:00 AM · Feb 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887173715936543088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The usual pearl clutching and issue avoidance crumbles on the Q: " b u t i s i t t r u e ". (superbly articulated by FT Ganesh in a column couple of months ago) So that's an easy test—whom it's worth talking to.
For people determined to not understand—and esp "if their wages depend on them not understanding it"—it's impossible to reach to. It's impossible to wake up someone that pretends to be asleep.
4:17 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887145410948469200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You do realize that UK does not have a national-ID, and also does not have the US problem of lots of violence compared to peers. Ergo => national-ID and excess violence are 1) two separate issues 2) likely not related to each other. Right?
2:25 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887113735048696117
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep! Like with your original thread - there will be many from Europe that will find it between hard and impossible to take it on board or acknowledge it. 😆
Had MK relative tell me (after myself living 25+yrs in the UK) that I got something wrong/I don't know/I have misunderstood, when I told her "Nah, UK has no national ID cards", and everything works fine. She thought-that's obviously impossible.
True that UK distributed decentralised db of names-address is maintained well enough and is cheap enough that I see no use for a national-ID. In addition to all other downsides National-ID introduces.
12:19 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1887110435444600957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Spot on. You got everything right there. Many people feel it, even if they can't articulate it explicitly.
There is related social-cultural-ideological microcosm - National ID Cards! Please write on that sometime. 😇
ID cards make explicit the dynamic between the Public and the State.
Where no-ID cards: it's police's job and competency to establish my identity (and I can help them; or not).
Where must-ID card: I have to prove my identity to the policeman to their satisfaction. And that threshold maybe arbitrarily *high*.
The former is - trusted by default, the latter is - not trusted by default.
(prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150)
12:06 PM · Feb 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886900764448047496
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
B/c BBC-ers are NIMBY-s themselves? So they are sympathetic to that argument?
IDK the BBC demographic. I'd be prejudiced to think of BBC as "boomer doomer central" tbh.
It's been a while since I've heard a an opinion, that's not a no-opinion, it's not-brain-dead, and on BBC?
10:12 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886863704471343504
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw normies deserve a lot of stick. 😡
The computer revolution first, the Internet revolution next, now the AI revolution, happened and were mostly done by mildly autistic and mostly altruistic nerds. Normies have shown to be too selfish, to self-entitled to create something for all, for free, for the love of the creation, and nothing else.
You are in the US so maybe not as acute there. I am in Europe and a lot of MPC and academia are still in the muh-Marx mode, as if 1990-s and the Cataclysm of Communism did not happen.
They've never heard of FSF or Richard Stalman ideas. And even if they stumble on that—it does not register. Information is not a first class citizen in that world.
Still stuck in the working classes, factories, machines machining metal. Missed the part where the workers of today type on their macbooks. And have not even realised that yet.
7:45 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886857913647444192
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There's Infinity, and then there's Human Stupidly. (in this case KS, and most of the UK gov)
Not clear cut which one's bigger in the Limit.
Mucho kwetching and AI pearls clutching atm. But before fearing AI there are the overwhelming forces of AS - Artificial Stupidity, and close by HS - Humans Stupidity, to be very very afraid of.
With 3-4 serious crisis in the making, and half a dozen inherited from the previous imbeciles the CON-s, to be expending anything more than 1e-6 of political capital or more than nano-second of time to this non-issue is just Beevis-Butthead stupid of KS.
7:22 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886850994710905010
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF at this point go in damage limitation mode hire their side lawyers poach that team before they ask for London in-toto with the Crown Jewels and Scotland too! wtaf
6:55 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886835947917987925
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Huh - what a bad start 😱 this to what will be a long history of HI-AI relations: HI inflicting outright stupid atavistic violence 😰 unto helpless-like-a-baby AI.
And for no good reasons at all, or even any reasons?? Now that is just characteristically dumb. 😡 Dumb as nails and coming from supposedly rationalist wing of humanity. 😶
Well wtaf this sucks big time it sucks. 😢
5:55 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886833242457719025
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I like what you write, even if I TLDR this one. Hope and wish you long may continue.
A thought—before you lean too much into D-K, check on counter evidence? Comes to mid this—https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
...and there are couple of others too.
I'm biased on purely most-entertaining-wins basis, as it'd be delightful if the 1st people that got D-K-ed turns out were D-K themselves! 😂
From economicsfromthetopdown.com
5:44 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886830298924569040
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed - only time ordering does suffice. Space emerges from what comes second, vv. what comes first.
And time ordering feels like it's could be kind of conditional dependency (conditional p.d.f.): the future depends on the past, but the past does not depend on the future.
5:32 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886829027731575156
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - seems the process of production of (using their US designations) conservatives out of liberals has commenced now. (process=="mugging")
5:27 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886821260081963490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I’ve worked at a couple of London hedge funds. Like the Deep Seek who are funded by theirs', London HF dudes by now richer than Croesus a hundred times over—could probably finance large R&D operation like it. But they don’t.
They simply have other desires, hopes etc. If you know them, and then compare theirs' to their DS equivalent hopes desires etc-
https://chinatalk.media/p/deepseek-ceo-interview-with-chinas
...than it's less than a mystery tbh.
4:56 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886816728098722220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
An implicit (not explicit) alliance of convenience convergence of:
1) Plenty vehemently anti-nuclear people are *that* innumerate/narcissistic/stupid/irrational as many suspect. (and more) It's self-selection at work.
2) The anti-America as proxy for anti-modern sentiment is an ever-present under-current.
3) Soviet Union secretly helped all western left simpatico movements or parties. For nuclear power relevant is their (secret) help of anti-nuclear movement.
4) Post 1990 that morphed to Russia help of the same people or their ideological inheritors. With the idea of enlarging their own market for gas and other fossil fuels they sell.
(and using the dependency to take over Ukraine and other post-SU lands of opportunity for RU as a bonus)
4:38 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886799035367088355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
He doesn't look like the suicidal type to me.
But Putin going down being thrown out a window by his inner circle—that feels a proper risky. With age he's started believing his own B/S, got high on own supply. Nihilism is as Russian as the "mysterious" soul. 😨
Even more risky than a random mullah. At least they believe in *something* they can't see. May have second thoughts messing God's creation or smth. Putin on the other hand... 😱
3:28 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886789039933575516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. Only for me it's a reason to—*not* worry about AI at all!!
Of all the things to worry about—AI is the least. On the list, AS—"Artificial Stupidity"—of humans' built systems of various descriptions (involving humans, procedures, hardware, etc) ranks high though.
For me top #1 and #2 of immediate danger are—nuclear war (may happen every hour of every day, e.g. start tonight), and asteroid hitting Earth.
2:48 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886787210281722201
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Coalition of Tech Bro Progressive Right + Nativist Right. Happened in the US.
Everyone else is eyeing the result, c.f. MEGA-MUGA/LFG groupings. Online mostly—but that's where ideology is played now. If in 2-3 years US result looks ok, then replacement will accelerate in EU-UK.
2:41 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886757896492331061
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 would've thought doomer rationalists would've thought about that?? ah no wait, being so far up their own arses, they missed that, and by definition too! 😆 ohboy
12:45 PM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886745848425415147
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Imo you are holding "the markets" to much higher regard than most professional market practitioners. "The markets" are not gods in the skies. That are just some very silly people shouting "buy" and "sell", most of the time with a large randomness component in the process.
11:57 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886745132407411116
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep. And we see irl how and why the connection to fake-real-fake wrestling that so confuses many IYI-s works fr. I for one appreciate it. There are plenty worse things out there!
11:54 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886739475511775727
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We fear Artificial Intelligence. Instead, we should be terrified by AS - Artificial Stupidity. AS is what we have atm.
Any present non-trivial sized system existing made of people, procedures/processes, hardware etc, in total has many many faults. We rarely notice them b/c they are almost never exercised enough. We notice AS when either something obviously absurd happens (like now), or something moderately bad happens to enough people.
Looks to me tons of low hanging fruit in law making for the next generation (current 20-30 yos) to make good on. To turn AS into AI on country scale. :-)
11:31 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886697848168689768
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Is this relevant? At the time years ago seemed important to me, but almost never hear about it. Finding presented looked dose-related? Admit video's long and somewhat meandering - TikTok it is not! 😂
Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof David Smith
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=unguMlKkc74
youtube.com
How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline
Head of Pharmacology at Oxford University, Professor David Smith presents his studies on the link between nutrition and the prevention of cognitive impairmen...
8:46 AM · Feb 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886444787009519863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Should be liberal. But too many liberals of today lack fire in heir bellies, having grown comfortable and complacent post their past victories.
FT Ganesh wrote on that few months ago
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
Shortest reading: every time us liberals clutch our pearls, one should geese chase us with "b u t i s i t t r u e".
Although - it's a delightful contradiction, condoning book burning. 😀 "Tolerance is the price we pay for freedom" with a twist! 😂
From ft.com
4:01 PM · Feb 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886104379914113067
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah, I think you’re right.
The speed at which they’re plucking the goose makes it seem like they’re going to kill it. Colbert’s on taxation applies here imo—extract too aggressively, and all you get is furious hissing… right before the goose dies.
Meta spins up “new geese” like Instagram or Threads, but I suspect the cycles may be getting shorter, and the peaks (before decline sets in) lower.
TBS, no one can accuse them of being stupid or lazy... but there are plenty of dead geese already? Maybe Zuck and co. would be long-term better-off if they were a little less focused on short-term maximization? IDK. Hard to say without a crystal ball.
5:28 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886088925103759632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 But if one is in a possession of a time machine - surely one goes back in time and buys BTC, no? That has appreciated in value million times more than gold, I presume? (can't be bothered to check)
Seriously. If you are serious about this. Do as you think with your own money. Then you will be educated, and pay for it. Or try get a job in a hedge fund or some other investment fund. Then you may get education at someone else's expense. (they do get value for that from you-so don't feel bad for them)
4:26 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886081308088000777
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Smart ass but at least self aware enough. 😂 I presume "Bonds been destroyed" mean "the price of bonds went down"?
Asking b/c - and this maybe not news to you, but it's news so some - bank or broker 's traders typically earn commission on trades. So they don't care specifically if something goes up to down. They get a cut from the value traded, which is charged to the client as a cost of execution, or "dealing", and that's the end of it.
Hedge funds and such traders including portfolio managers, they bet on things going up, as well as down. So for them it's not necessarily bad (and neither it is good): it depends whether they bet on the price going up or down.
My area of trading are is known as "equity market neutral". Half the bets are on things going up, the other half on things going down. So a market move up- or down- loses us on the 1/2 of the bet, what it makes us on the other 1/2. The aim is to neither win nor lose on the market going up or down.
3:56 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1886078108723204241
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Kurzweil said sth like "...many will be against AI, until AI solves the first major disease". mRNA vax were a foretaste, but that didn't quite hit the mark.
AI creation atm is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it! AI path opened to AGI and ASI latter where previously we didn't see any!
Now anything that reduces or frustrates anything but "max speed ahead" is equivalent to "I'm fine with today 200 people dying, that would have been otherwise saved, had AI worked out a cancer vaccine 1 day sooner".
Ask Dario "how many deaths are acceptable to you as price worth paying for reducing risks". Risks that are all currently imagined in our heads. None of them transpired yet. Famously no deep fakes and such, not/bamboozling the electorate in the last US elections. For the risks are imagined—but cancer death are very real, certain, and daily, ongoing.
(prev more on this https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884926532839240134)
3:43 PM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885971766364770477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A good interview with the founder
https://www.chinatalk.media/p/deepseek-ceo-interview-with-chinas
From chinatalk.media
8:41 AM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885970041008787891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha 😅 IDK abt that. I guess we can live in hope.
Have not seen any signal any indicator that Xorg wants to improve the quality of their 2 Algofeeds.
I suspect in whatever metric they use, the how-to-earn-more-$$$ tests do not tell them "improve content quality"? idk
8:34 AM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885961104288866353
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - I'm not one and not looking to become one.
Mosler afaik is retired on a tropical island. (having earned his fortune)
But curious - why would now be an especially bad time to be a bond trader? As opposed to say 10 yrs or 20 years ago? What's so special about now?
7:59 AM · Feb 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885813365991186627
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
You're preaching to the converted. 😅
I passed obligatory "Marxism" exam/subject in my youth in year 1 (or 2?) of Uni, and I've read .@wbmosler writings on his site.
A quant trader myself, I assure you I can spot difference or otherwise between ole-Karl Marx and a bond trader 😂
10:11 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885768863901425938
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Things change less than expected short term, more than anticipated long term.
Very few people use them in their browser window. On the phone they are not that easy use too.
I still don't have a conversational translator App that I can fire up, say to it: "the other person will speak Spanish, I will speak English, and you AI please translate in-between us. Enable and facilitate our conversation, ask seek clarifications from us where you are unsure. Go!"
7:15 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885767276646797508
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF if I'm the seller of the goods or services in demand, it doesn't matter much to me if it's government or private sector client that bids to buy my stuff. I'd increase the price in any case if demand outstrips supply. IDK why I'd care if my customer is public or private.
7:08 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885759534485872712
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 For TB for years now no matter the Question, the Answer has always been: "mandatory National ID cards".
Private industry is not asking for it, police are not asking for it, identifying people correctly rarely ever crops up as a problem, countries on the Continent that have them don't do better than UK on any metric where national ID is relevant.
This looks like another fix-idea that TB somehow latched onto and will not let it go. I understand there is gov-$$$ to be made on contracts. But still: this is the peace-time equivalent of the Iraq invasion.
Spherically stupid idea. Esp while already having a no-single-mandatory-ID identification system in place, that UK has developed successfully and organically. One that works does the job, doesn't cost much, and no one finds anything wrong with. Overlapping interlocking id systems tailored to the particular purpose that the process of ID-fication is actually done for.
From a foreigner naturalised UK citizen that lived in a country with an obligatory national ID of the type TB wants to introduce: the UK system is much better. Fewer downsides, and cheaper, and does the actual job of *keeping* the info *up to date* (that's the hard part!) better.
(more previous here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1810272960697045150)
6:38 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885743989422182490
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc. And not even in the state sector only.
On a trading desk every single time big down-$$$ day.
1. Oof, it hurts. Losing money is painful.
2. Something must be done!
3. Here, *this* is something.
4. Super! Ok - *this* must be done now.
It's universal. In fact, the best solution we ever found was:
1. Do find something the person in pain can do.
2. That is not harmful.
3. Offer it as a solution even before the problem is mentioned.
In a quant trading fund it goes sth like:
1. What signal are we losing most money on?
2. On momentum.
3. Reduce the size of the momentum signal 21 days coefficient by 10% relative. (with another 10% if the losing streak continues)
5:36 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885740485291000014
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah pathetic. (and worse) Still one must admit, for worse (or better??), what they and an industry of talkingheads-dunderheads do - "works". Along the lines of https://sive.rs/d1r . Seems we the humanity just love being told stories, and will listen to, no matter what.
5:22 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885729781309935708
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hahaha 😂 - hear hear! Between
1. Information is fundamental, energy and matter are its (discrete?) realisations? (“in the beginning was the word”) 😱
and
2. A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers - i) a Matrix ii) an Excel spreadsheet iii) an SQL table iv) a (Directed) Graph of nodes and edges. 😁
...it may actually turn out that "42" was ancient-scrit for modern "Excel" ! 🤯
And that "Real Programmers" 😁 were onto something-
https://pbm.com/~lindahl/real.programmers.html
...that the Quiche Eaters were missing, and were not only high priests but proper prophets too! 😇
Quote
https://x.com/GiftOfMadness5/status/1885126820678557839
Notorious A.G.P. 💀 @GiftOfMadness5 · Jan 31
Civilizations are temporary. Microsoft Excel is eternal. x.com/NEETWorldOrder…
4:39 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885728926833492475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - between
1. Information is fundamental, energy and matter are its (discrete?) realisations? (“in the beginning was the word”) 😱
and
2. A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers - i) a Matrix ii) an Excel spreadsheet iii) an SQL table iv) a (Directed) Graph of nodes and edges. 😁
...it may actually turn out that "42" was ancient-scrit for modern Excel ! 🤯
And that "Real Programmers" 😁 were onto something-
https://pbm.com/~lindahl/real.programmers.html
...that the Quiche Eaters were missing, and were not only high priests but proper prophets too! 😇
4:36 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885718678148170015
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah check r/LocalLLaMA too, people trying all manner of stuff.
Full 760GB model in about 1TB of RAM was the 1st I think
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1idseqb/deepseek_r1_671b_over_2_toksec_without_gpu_on/
In the threads since, people trying various combos of
1) smaller quantised model, various, all the way down to VQ ternary @UnslothAI 130GB (smallest afaik)
2) off-loading or not anything to a GPU and VRAM; original post was no off loading no compression, just CPU+RAM
3) people even using NVME SSD (??), banks of (!!), where they lack RAM (??); I presume the model weights .gguf file is mmap-ed, so is loaded/evicted on demand; should be dog slow
Other threads e.g.
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1idseqb/deepseek_r1_671b_over_2_toksec_without_gpu_on/
https://reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1ielhyu/tutorial_how_to_run_deepseekr1_671b_158bit_on/
From reddit.com
3:55 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885711279198748778
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—true that! I (mis?/)remember Kurzweil possibly saying sth like "...many will be against AI, until AI solves the first major disease". mRNA vax were a foretaste, but that didn't quite hit the mark.
AI creation is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it!?! A path has opened where previously we didn't see any.
Learning this changed my PoV. Previously—corrupting law-making so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders seemed cartoon level evil-ish, but ok—the world is not perfect. Now—putting obstacles on the AI path delaying its creation looks bonkers stoopid tbh.
Not to mention that delay increases probability that only life and intelligence we know of vanishes in nuclear war or asteroid strike. (until Elon creates his backup)
IDK what can now be done to accelerate it. Open source everything? Delete any and all "IP" laws? (prev https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884926532839240134)
3:26 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885689089686474970
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Radical transparency is necessary (even if not sufficient) condition for these changes to survive Musk. And maybe happen once he's no more. For the system will re-grow, will re-generate in 10-20 years time.
Rather than "secrecy by default" and things made public only 1) at gov will 2) at FoI request (often frustrated by the bureaucracy in execution), radical transparency is needed where: everything is public, on the public web, on public shared cloud drives (read only), as default, by default. And closed off and made secret only by request.
(previous e.g. https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1853272510923407748)
1:58 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885685448829272390
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
yeah he the final bosman 🤩 btw I saw he's published llama-vscode addon too 😀
1:43 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885677656571617786
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Still cheap (if pricier), but seems be faster Ultra M2 192GB RAM @ggerganov running variably quantised @UnslothAI DeepSeek R1 quant here
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884520481476198685
in two commands. I spy ~ 13 tok/s on the vid? IDK what quality 4bit v.s. VQ. (or full 8bit 750GB model on 1TB RAM box)
Quote
Georgi Gerganov @ggerganov · Jan 29
Replying to @ljupc0 and @MatthewBerman
Already did - anyone with M2 Ultra can run it with just 2 commands:
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884358147403571466
1:12 PM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885655184287707408
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! yes.
From ft.com
https://www.ft.com/content/62c01967-0100-46ee-9f4f-e9af467d7604
11:43 AM · Feb 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885458842751754741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Very much so. (thanks for asking) This is beyond any dreams. Q&A - yes, still going strong.
Plus-code writing. Just had o3 write boring code that wd have taken me the half evening in the olden days. (never used that lib before, so wd have been-read docs, analyse examples, peruse SO, try&err)
One thing that didn't that happen is-closure. Ok now TTS and ASR approx I know (moar everything-data, compute) are "meh. it works. ok-good." but otherwise "nothing to see there. (move on)" 😏
But the puzzlement the wonderment has increased exponentially now, along "whoa - AGI? ASI?? - whoa how would that work???" and so on. Bajillion Qs there opened. 🙃
10:43 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885454698234183783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂 Not completely wrong.
Was told I've reached "ripe old age of no f*cks given", and must say-there are upsides too? silver linnings
10:26 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885408293058711878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@deepseek_ai rejoice! 😂 you've arrived! 😂 you've been schmidhubered 😂
7:22 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885407394093568435
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Has UK suffered a stealth coup where lawyers and judges rule supreme, over and above the Westminster Parliament and the King? I missed that news. Well.
@UKParliament @Keir_Starmer if you don't get this bull/cr*p by the horns, someone else will in 3-4 years time.
7:18 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885401600191000972
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 So they say. TBF I used it once a year or similar, to scan through lists unblock unmute as that's a single tap op there.
6:55 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885401015949681007
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
yep - he's not got the latest on "let a 1000 models bloom" 😂😂 (oh boy this is too much fun 😅😇 - sorry)
DeepSeek-spare-quant-nvidia-best-20250131.mp4
6:53 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885399606063743195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
let million memes bloom 😂😂
Quote
Leon Si @leonsilicon · Jan 30
he just wanted to work on his side project
6:47 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885398158815224279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Theory. You were in early and you got lots of compute to yourself. Now others are getting in, the compute is shared with more of you, yourself get less compute. Consequence-the model is getting dumber.
TBF it's hopeful endearing and even touching to learn that more compute==model smarts!! yay ML gfi
6:42 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885389227946303829
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get into politics @HarryScoffin 😶 If you are so inclined and you like it, that is.
This from an online rando stranger, but still: imo you are electable. 😀 You got media presence too. 😄
Get in there!! 🙃 I bet you'd do a better job as a PM than KS.
6:06 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885384392291373081
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For the life of me IDK how anyone uses the X App for anything but doom scrolling whatever slop Algofeed pushes to their screen.
To write almost anything - I need to lookup some other posts. Afaik impossible in the App while I am writing this post. (admit - for just forwarding while adding impossibly deep insights like "Concerning" or "!!" - the App works)
When's reading, any link opens in a browser anyway. So I leave the App. And given everything else happens with a link in the browser (history, bookmarks, pocket etc), App is not that great for reading too.
Going the Meta way and un-doing the Internet by hiding the links completely, making us all blind and in the dark *again*, looks to me like it's failing repeatedly. I am glad for that, hope that fail continues.🙏🤞
Saw @ylecun bragging about the quality of the Threads Algofeed. And some users numbers. IDK abt that. Hope it's just the 10 ML pple on Theads that the Algofeed is serving him, so he finds the feed good.
Until @Meta are good Internet citizens again, make their content not only addressible but human readibly addressible, hope they mostly fail and only earn enough to keep FAIR and their models training clusters running. 😉
5:47 PM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885282559937900991
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'd like to have access to unrestricted ASI. Wouldn't you?
The person restricting my ASI access has unrestricted access to that ASI by definition: they have to have access to unrestricted, in order to restrict it to others.
Do I trust this person more than I trust myself? No.
11:02 AM · Jan 31, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885114904580956486
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...further, often national state bureaucracies are even worse than the EU. EU bureaucracy is fighting them top-down, for them to "do the right thing".
Even more, these democratically elected controlled national bodies are doing their thing with full support of their citizens.
11:56 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1885001429963718754
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
cool 😎 great 👍 good to hear 😃now only if we could get that thought 🤔 💭 into @DarioAmodei 's head, we'd be done here 😉
4:25 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884993601597263892
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not special though—no one is. No one is to be trusted with the ring. And esp not ones that want to keep the ring for themselves. And deny it to others. It's there strikes right there!
(earlier https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884892513913200753)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 30
Replying to @fikisipi and @DarioAmodei
Removal of maintainers from Linux kernel is straightforward affair: once US gov has decided on sanctions etc, it's either comply or go to jail yourself. Linus could hardly have done anything else. Note how he did not remove those developers prior, despite his strong feelings.
Show more
3:54 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884991400162304086
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That this happens is not only totally amazing 🤩 and mind blowing 🤯 but oddly touching. 💓
Reminds me of this moment when FSD robot cars became not-impossible in the minds ML workers
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PXQlpu8Y4fI&t=2341s
@ 39'19" "... the car stands empty, you trained it everything you know, now it has to make it on it's own in the world"
What a time to be alive. 😆
youtube.com
Winning The DARPA Grand Challenge
Google TechTalks
August 2, 2006
Sebastian Thrun
ABSTRACT
The DARPA grand challenge, technical details enabling Sebastian Thrun's win, and an introduction to the ...
3:45 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884981983949762804
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
youre the mensch dude 🤩😎
(even if you've heard this million times b4)
3:08 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884980807497867317
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy, preach more, reading the above is music to my ears, balm to my soul. 😆😇
Hippies/boomers took the easy road and shifted the load of responsibility away, and onto their own kids mostly.
Was there ever a more egoistical entitled generation than the those anti-establishment champions.
Given everything, used up everything, drew the ladders—that prior gens put up for them—behind, hobbled their kids generations, and—adding insult to injury—appear oblivious to that too.
True to their self-centered selves to the end.
3:03 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884949601876054070
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The evidence of unmet demand is: airport operators want to increase the number of runways => increase number of flights => increase number of passengers. Presumably think there are potential passengers now, who can't use the airport, but want to. If the operators are wrong there, they will suffer.
12:59 PM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884930441276272782
Ljubomir Josifovski
@ljupc0
Ok - but by the same logic, have you considered that maybe:
1) Getting to the airport is very expensive b/c rail in the UK is super extra scarce?
2) Given there is unmet demand for flights, flights are scarcer than they need to be?
The same way you need to fly to Germany, another person will need to fly too. They are unable to pay the current fare, so they don't fly. With extra flights-they will be able to fly. I consider that a net benefit.
11:43 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884926532839240134
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree with Dario bashing here. That post was Baron Harkonnen-level blja*k!! 🤮 That scribe vibed derangement indicators, as if Dario Dreaming Pinky and the Brain "...and tomorrow, we take over the world".
AI creation is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it! A path has opened now, where previously we didn't see any. Knowing what we now know, building obstacles on that path just so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders, at the price of delaying the creation of non-human intelligence—that was moronic before but now looks proper insane.
TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) should use its newly acquired political power—and this AI Sputnik moment—to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex. Dismantle the potential for information—which we now know leads to knowledge and intelligence!—gulags of "IP" laws.
The "IP" laws web enmesh humanity like Guliver. We spend time and effort on them, that we should be spending on AI work. Further, while not Gulag Archipelago now, it could become one if some future woke-doomer cult decides to weaponise them. (US just had near miss) Dario gives out cult vibes tbh.
Don't let a good crisis go waste. End the "IP" grift—just delete $ rm -rf "$IP" style. (previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
11:28 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884919366485213211
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 Ok will take issue with almost any sentence there, sorry! 😂
"No evidence benefit" - but there is humongous evidence. I do work I do stuff I dislike, I get pounds/points for that unpleasant activity, then I hand over those to Ryanair. Why? B/c Ryanair provides benefit to me! And I'm a member of the public. So are millions and billions. Ryanair earning my money is a signal that Private Co. *is providing* benefit to the public.
"Gov is supposed to act in the interests of us people" - yes. And so are Private Co.s - otherwise we'd just outright ban them. But surely the whole issue is that interests of yourself and myself, both member of the public, diverge. You prefer less flights. I don't mind extra flights in Luton flying over my head. (I live close to Luton airport)
"Only negative externalities" - but if something was of no benefit at all, and even where dis-benefits outweigh benefits by some margin, we just ban that activity. Airlines industry brings huge benefits to all of us. As evidenced by how much we use them.
"Encouraging more air travel" - but Gov is not encouraging it. It's not like Gov is running adverts. By not saying "No" to already existing demand, gov is making it cheaper. So yes more people will use it - but that's what the public want. We ration things on price in society. (and that's better than all alternatives tried, tbh)
I too am for building HS rail. 😀 But that's not always an alternative. (and esp not on an island like Brittain) I think this is a case of "yes and yes", do both. (even all! 😆)
Sorry to be this long and picky. Hope you don't mind. ☺️
10:59 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884892513913200753
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Removal of maintainers from Linux kernel is straightforward affair: once US gov has decided on sanctions etc, it's either comply or go to jail yourself. Linus could hardly have done anything else. Note how he did not remove those developers prior, despite his strong feelings. (imo he was right and right, on both accounts—first to not remove, and latter to remove them)
Dario above is not just complying with policy. He is shaping policy. He is advocating for one policy over the other. And to me it seems he has not given due thought to this. As this is completely ideology. Ideology is the "unknown knowns", ideology is to us is what water is to fish, area where we are blind as default. Yet we have to walk. So we usually stumble, take the wrong turns—do badly in general. Dario could benefit from chat with someone like e.g. @FukuyamaFrancis to widen his perspective.
Yes liberalism is the ideology I subscribe to too. And yes it needs defending, as does anything that exists to exist: needs defences from the environment that acts to undo any entity existence. (as the default process is for everything to return to max entropy max uncertainty primordial randomness) But—does not need to be at the price of undoing what the entity is. "Tolerance is the price we pay for liberty" is a good place to start.
Dario writing in places gives me Baron Harkonnen vibes. This is not good. It's actually very dangerous for someone in his position. Where state power, doomist fear mongering, self-interest personal professional commercial meet—it's not easy to keep ones sanity. (more and on a different tangent here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884746374505255212)
Crypto-wars comparison seems apt. US gov seem coming to the tail end of its all out war on cryptography. Even the deep state accepting that some (strong) encryption is necessary for the citizens. Yes there is a price to pay for it in national security. But it's a trade-off worth taking. Citizens should be able to encrypt even if it makes the job of national security harder in some parts. (but easier in others)
Looks to me US gov is about to make a similar mistake with AI. And Dario is cheering them along the wrong fork in the road they are taking about now.
9:12 AM · Jan 30, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884746374505255212
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Why would you? You hope intelligence to spread to Mars, but not to China? (or the rest of Earth??)
What is this—Silly Season? An episode from "Pinky and the Brain"? Dario Dreaming: "...and tomorrow, we take over the world"? That Dario post today is Baron Harkonnen-level blja*k!! 🤮🤮
US just barely escaped a woke cult—doomers are also a flavor of cultish crazy. Dario's scribblings vibe derangement indicators.
AI creation is teaching us that compute transforming data → information → knowledge → intelligence is all there is to it. Hobbling that chain, just so Mickey Mouse earns few more $$$ to Disney shareholders, while delaying the creation of non-human intelligence—that's moronic.
The "IP" laws web enmesh humanity like Guliver. Not quite Gulag Archipelago—but it could become one if some future woke-doomer cult decides to weaponize them.
TBPR (Tech Bro Progressive Right) should use its newly acquired political power—and this AI Sputnik moment—to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex. Dismantle the potential for information—which we now know leads to knowledge and intelligence!—gulags of "IP" laws.
Don't let a good crisis go waste. End the IP grift—it's metastasised enough already. Just delete $ rm -rf "$IP"
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
11:32 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884696145747976482
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc it is, every baby is born through a process like it. In nature:
1. Fetch one cell per parent, so both cells start at 20-30 years old.
2. ...(magic)...
3. New unit created, all cells age is reset to 0.
8:12 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884664284233314716
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep it's laughable. 😂 Plus hypocritical, and even worse than that: it's stoopid! 😶 Atlman (and Nadella) are being dumb as nails on this! 😆
The dunderheads should use this AI Sputnik moment + TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right ascension to political power to strike MSM woke-centrals and dismantle the spider web of ludicrous "IP" laws!!
Don't just let a good crisis go waste! End the IP grift now—it's metastasised enough already. 🤨
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
6:05 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884660160456753442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Four airports"-yes, but this not new airports. Only runways.
"No case of insufficient supply"-but this is exactly that. The building is not done by uk gov. It's done by private operators. They obv have demand, while supply is lacking. They are not asking for $$$ from gov. Just that gov stops saying "No".
"No only benefits but harm too"-sure, so no one is asking to just build regardless any downsides. Atm the state of play is imo the opposite: harms are over-indexed, and gains are under-indexed. Consequence being-too little is being built.
TBF that balance is measured and decided by the public in aggregate. TBS what transpires.
5:49 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884654829051564448
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—open weights open thoughts open compute for all.
Given how much you have benefited from open everything—your stance on this is heart breaking.
5:28 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884651868170969088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right shouldn't let a fine crisis go waste. This AI Sputnik moment is good time to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex.
End the IP grift now—it's metastasised enough already. Turns out information gulag of "IP" laws was hindering emergence of intelligence!
$ rm -rf "$IP" # while still possible!—
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
5:16 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884630405866717366
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...similar price M2 Ultra just 2 commands
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884520481476198685
Quote
Georgi Gerganov @ggerganov · 13h
Replying to @ljupc0 and @MatthewBerman
Already did - anyone with M2 Ultra can run it with just 2 commands:
https://x.com/ggerganov/status/1884358147403571466
3:51 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884627812847358208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't care if they did. Don't care if they do more. Or if someone else does it too. Hope more will brave and do!
TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right should use its newly acquired political power in this AI Sputnik moment to strike the MSM woke-entertainment complex. Dismantle the information—that now we learn leads to knowledge and intelligence!—gulags of "IP" laws built by the US sleaziest and worst.
Don't let a good crisis go waste. End the IP grift now—it's metastasised enough already.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Jukanlosreve @Jukanlosreve · 15h
Just in: OpenAI secures evidence that DeepSeek used its proprietary model for training
• The Financial Times reports that DeepSeek used OpenAI’s proprietary model to train its own open-source competitor.
• OpenAI stated that it has obtained evidence that DeepSeek employed
Show more
3:40 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884624132068745454
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse than hypocritical! - Atlman (and Nadella) are being dumb as nails on this tbh.
The stupidos should use this AI Sputnik moment + TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right ascension to political power to strike MSM woke-centrals and dismantle the entire gulag of evil "IP" laws!! Don't let a good crisis go waste fcs!
(this -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
3:26 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884619303145595196
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People in charge of making decisions being scared weaklings? Pos Blair making a bold decision and getting it wrong (Iraq) took a tall? "Delete OBR" if it happens maybe a signal of "not any more". Until then-foresee lots of posturing, given the incoming US "winds of change". TBS
3:07 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884603862620799106
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good interview by @demishassabis here -
https://zeit.de/digital/internet/2025-01/demis-hassabis-nobel-prize-artificial-intelligence-deepmind-english
...and hidden in the middle: 🤯
> We do a lot of work in mathematics, proving interesting conjectures. I think we are close to solving a Millenium Prize Problem – we'll see that in the next year or year and a half.
From zeit.de
2:05 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884589917172277371
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF hope to live see the "Intellectual Property" grift 😱 ended in my lifetime, even if atm the prospects for that look slim -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
1:10 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884589083718025567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That he did - and deserves all the credit he gets there! Well done @MayorofLondon on that. 🙏
Equally, us critiquing him in this case of Heathrow runway is equally deserved. With power comes responsibility.
1:07 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884583922228441577
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You must be among the few mayors in the world that object to infrastructure projects in their city!? Usually mayors work hard to get stuff citizens use built in their towns and cities.
Londoners seem to be serially dunderheaded, I'm sorry to notice.
First Boris two mandates useless, now yourself determined to be equally useless too. You are both ambitious and obviously capable of many things. Shame for all that missed opportuny.
12:46 PM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884562341733577013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I think we should fill it in.
Looks to me - by ignoring burying consultations the results of which gov uk does not like, and by bringing in new ones with short time frames - that uk gov is intent on finally getting one consultation result they do like. So they get cover for their negligence. At which point further consultations will stop. Like "have them plebs voting until we get the result we want".
You are right 100% in everything you wrote. This whole LH business looked grift to me to start with. But now I think it outright theft. With the gov in collusion and or complicit via wilful ignorance.
11:20 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884557907091501359
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
By Jove - then Nadella and Altman truly are just silly boys.
The imbeciles should use this AI Sputnik moment + TBPR Tech Bro Progressive Right ascension to political power to strike MSM woke-centrals and dismantle the evil "IP" laws!
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
11:03 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884528202523021664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
oof 🤩 you're the final boss man 🤯 stellar, just stellar 💫
9:05 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884512424784531553
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Seems to me not "well" - just that it works. As the only other alternative is multiple very expensive GPU-s. The number of channels is maxed to gain max speed, the RAM type is also max speed feasible for the setup and budget.
I wonder if someone like @ggerganov could make model like the partial ternary {-1,0,1} super compressed 130GB version made by @UnslothAI run faster on some high-RAM Mac like 192GB RAM Ultra M2?
8:02 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884396411925532943
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I suspect the following:
1) They "work" in a sense: few benefit a lot (the workers), many dis-benefit a little (the consumers).
2) The first mover and or biggest market has some advantage.
3) Once all countries in the world have raised them, new equilibrium is established, where all are worse than without them.
4) Then in 30-40 years people start talking about free trade again.
5) In between-some trade wars may become real wars, esp after an economic bust of some sort.
I have no rigorous theory or knowledge or reasons to think the above. It's my gut feeling.
12:21 AM · Jan 29, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884319665838776710
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
François bro chatting sh*t Re: RenTec-type quants 😂
Translate post
7:16 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884309172608753856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@pmarca EU-ban-DS-when.jpeg
EU-ban-DS-when.jpeg
6:34 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884303055761596789
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Absolutely! EU companies can do plenty commercialising with what already exists out in the open now. All the models with MIT licence! Any startup worth their salt wd be licking their chops. Salivating at the Eur they can earn just by selling services built on the top of MIT licensed models like DS-R1! Not much capital investment needed. And now the dam's burst, prob Meta Llama or AB Qwen followups won't be far behind. IDK if MEta wd ever MIT licence them-but there are others (incl multimedia) that are MIT lic already.
6:10 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884299449037402220
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah—dispiriting. Putting this out as reminder that the Retarded Left (exhibit in the quote) is not the only way! If fact—Communists of my youth were very different.
In my country (as in others in South/East Europe), the industrial revolution barely happened in the 19-th century. All 4 of my grandparents were born in the Ottoman Empire. A feudal kingdom, with feudal lords! "Owning" the peasants working the land the lord owned and managed. (likely—my great grandparents; IDK for sure)
By 1945 there was no modern world to speak of. Nothing of what we recognise of modern civilisation: no running water, electricity, sanitation, roads, railways, doctors, schools, rule of law, even basic security was weak (e.g. no real police force outside few cities). My grandparents all had 5-6 children. The expectation was that 3-4 of them will die leaving only 2-3 to have children of their own.
Communists coming to power post-WW2 changed that. They made the industrial revolution happen. The country was built in the subsequent 45 years: infrastructure, industry, institutions—everything. Together with the new everything—they built the nation too: codified the language, created an independent church even! (some communists, eh?)
Then post-1990 the communists voluntarily gave way to multi-party liberal-democratic capitalist system. In that sense, in the real world, socialism was a gateway to capitalism, on the way from feudalism.
(seems to me socialism, instead of capitalism, emerged in underdeveloped countries where feudalism and monarchy were still strong, and the new merchant bourgeois class was too weak to displace the entrenched feudal lords)
5:56 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884286099327181112
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen-
https://x.com/UnslothAI/status/1883899061893546254
by
@UnslothAI ? DeepSeek-R1 in 1.58-bit down to 130GB only. (from 700+GB) Have you tried it? How does it work? Is it possible to offload some processing to GPU(s) and maybe increase tokens per second? Any experience shared welcome-thanks!
https://x.com/UnslothAI/status/1883899061893546254
Quote
Unsloth AI @UnslothAI · Jan 27
Introducing 1.58bit DeepSeek-R1 GGUFs! 🐋
DeepSeek-R1 can now run in 1.58-bit, while being fully functional. We shrank the 671B parameter model from 720GB to just 131GB - a 80% size reduction.
Naively quantizing all layers breaks the model entirely, causing endless loops &
Show more
5:03 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884282061445276037
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh-it's per the course.
About 50% of all of as are blabbering imbeciles at any given time. The trouble is it's only a minority that's consistent. There's lots of turnover in the "I'm an idiot" group. Hence (one of the) "law(s) of stupidity"-while we know many will be morons, we don't know which ones. So there it little to be done in advance. 😱
Humans' is mostly collective, not individual intelligence.
People talk about competition ("survival of the fittest") all the time, but competition I'd guess is abt 9% of our interactions. While cooperation is like 90% of our interactions. I lived through this day, only b/c other humans, that I shall never meet, did something for me years and decades ago! So I got my water, food, roof over my head, heat, light etc today to live to see another day tomorrow.
Doing obligatory national service as 18yo was instructive for this. In my own bubble (high school, Uni) I'd never have seen the vast variance that exists in humanity. We know "we are not the same", but we don't appreciate the variance enough tbh.
(previous https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1852134739681124789)
4:47 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884271223934169223
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh my - "stock market people". 😂😂
Stock commentary is infotainment, it's not about making $$$. Like when you go to Vegas, you expect to lose $$$, and that's the price you are willing to pay for entertainment, right? Kramers of the world are like that.
Speculators that speculate to make $$$ - like the Deep Seek folks! like the RenTec-s of the world - don't need much explaining tbh. Those that have lived to speculate - know, the rest are no longer.
4:04 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884247272294342815
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ai-fights-eu-slights.png
2:28 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884237984159129924
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Update @dannybster—current work flow is:
# An Architect model is asked to describe how to solve the coding problem. Thinking/reasoning models often work well in this role.
# An Editor model is given the Architect’s solution and asked to produce specific code editing instructions to apply those changes to existing source files.
# https://aider.chat/2025/01/24/r1-sonnet.html
aider-openrouter-best() {
local -; set -x; env AIDER_START="$(date)";
aider --architect --model openrouter/deepseek/deepseek-r1 --editor-model openrouter/anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet;
}
Atm waiting on a glitch to resolve -
architect> litellm.APIError: APIError: OpenrouterException -
Retrying in 0.2 seconds...
litellm.APIError: APIError: OpenrouterException -
Retrying in 0.5 seconds...
...and so I'm realising now I more often then not now I have it write code for me.
It's not even that much faster atm tbh! By the time I have thought through, explained in detail in http://INSTRUCTIONS.md—I could have read up the sources, the docs, and done it myself.
The only explanation I have to offer, that I only now—waiting on the OR api to come back—have, is: it's **much more fun**!! 😍
It's much more fun to have someone else write the code, and even if need be talk them into "no no—not that way, change this, change that", than to do everything myself solo and in silence!! 😆
Ok—this I did not expect. 😛 That the most entertaining—wins. 🙃
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874200101104820252
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Dec 31, 2024
Replying to @dannybster
Ok - longer report. :-)
Until today the best I got was: in ChatGPT-o4/o1- etc, copy & paste code snippet(s), ask a Question, then incorporate the Answer in the soluton. So this was a replacement for 1) googling and reading web pages 2) search through Stackoverflow Q&A.
This is
Show more
1:51 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884226954330837258
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stop simping for your friends already, ffs. FYM Fuck You Money necessary but not sufficient. Other things needed too: a spine, not being desperate to be liked, etc.
Having reached the ripe old age of no-fucks-given some years ago, I well recommend it to all. I can attest—it’s a blissful experience.
1:08 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884210646213955631
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This is all so early that there's tons of low hanging fruit to be picked tbh. IDK how people can attain strong opinions about anything!
E.g. just yesterday. This by @UnslothAI reduces inference cost 4x times (8 GPUs -> 2 GPUs) with barely a performance degradation.
https://x.com/UnslothAI/status/1883899061893546254
And this with existing h/w. Now think how much can be gained once likes of @GroqInc implement good portion of the ternary {-1,0,1} in h/w. and so on and so on
And this all dug up by an ignorant random myself just reading X but otherwise no effort "how to speedup"! 😇
Imagine what people determined to squeeze performance out of this will do in the next 10-20 years. Prob the end point then compared to the beninging now be like a current Xbox game v.v. on ZX-Spectrum Manic Miner. 😂
12:03 PM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884207875741921586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You seem to be hanging with people shown to be wrong about the future repeatedly. Epistemic humility seems an anti-pattern in ones' rise in elites hierarchy.
IDK who, what, how Re: "fundamental assumptions", but: until 3 yrs ago none of this was thought possible in our lifetimes-if ever!-let alone to be lived daily reality for billions of people.
So now instead of assuming "this present moment is special", should you not think "I'm as ignorant now about the next 3 yrs, as I was about now 3 yrs ago"?? Isn't that a "fair" assumption?
This is elementary. IDK what they teach in these elite schools. Apparently not enough logical thinking? Leadership and will to do things matters, but it's not all that matters. Other things matter too.
11:52 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884200572162826433
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Burning ambition to change the world is not that common. I have not got a coin fortune, but even if I had, I'd rather have my mornings in the garden with the sun shining and birds chirping about, than yelling at people that have failed to do this or that and fixing problems.
11:23 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884165825281626378
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks. 😊 Yes I do. Even more-I think it's impossible to achieve without AI. (and in general-without technology)
Nature is beautiful, love it, live in it, but: nature is brutal too. Baby&mother dying in childbirth is natural. We can do better. Not ideal, not perfect-just better.
9:05 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884152691418599587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - reading "qualia" and "subjective experience" rn brought the inner hintonite in me out. 😁
Sorry if this is old news to you, but maybe you'd like to see-
https://youtube.com/watch?v=b_DUft-BdIE
(loved the interview, but @TOEwithCurt really that title?? do you really need that click bait?)
youtube.com
Why The "Godfather of AI" Now Fears His Own Creation | Geoffrey Hinton
As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toeProfessor Geoffrey H...
8:13 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1884148212002611679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks! 🙏 No worries - the translators have become almost perfect these days for ordinary text. Chrome or Google or the site itself auto-translated everything for me. I love that, every time I experience Babelfish fr, has me grinning. 😁
Our hopes for the future-realised. 🥰
7:55 AM · Jan 28, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883959260708757724
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As one in quant trading, research and development, this whole story has had me grinning ear to ear for days now. 😇
What a story!! 😂 Wishing the most excellent stellar dudes and dudetes at @deepseek_ai the best of luck for the future.
7:24 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883950211095282157
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - I love ironies as much as anyone, but: Richard Stallman RMS of the Free Software fame got there first for sure, no? The high priest if not the prophet himself of those ideas.
6:48 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883942822677778475
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Narrator-of course they are. That stupid, and more. And yes-a lot know as much as to be in doubt whether these things run on potatoes fr.
Having said that: any future is so uncertain so random, that knowing much buys less than w'd like to, and less we'd like to think, it does.
6:19 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883913337508941999
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Free, open source open weights open thoughts - are worth a lot.
The MIT licence even more so for commercial use and building on the top of it too.
Google can cut me off from their services, API etc-at whim. (or in error) No future in effectively doing market research for BigCo by using their platform.
Not great to have my life controlled by MegaCorp accountable only 1e-38 to myself, and the rest 1-1e-38 accountable to shareholders, their (real) customers, US gov, my own gov-anything else ex-me.
I'm ok to pay more in $$$ time effort, to retain modicum of control. When it comes to sth as personal as my life, mine and Google's incentives are only partially aligned.
4:21 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883909910339137542
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
So spit out write post a non stupid analysis please. 😶 Don't hold back say what you know think etc. I live on the UK so have no idea how things are. Do tell! 😁
My initial thought and post was-Mistral nothing to do with EU.
4:08 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883849286204731785
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
People in positions of power in the UK seem to have detached from the reality the rest of us live. IDK who does he think he is persuading. Not heard any londoner ever think anything else than police are wilfully lazy not following up on GPS location tracking stolen phones, bikes
12:07 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883848164198772838
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ofc it doesn't guarantee. Don't think there is anything that *guarantees* real growth. In the end - it's a function of productivity one way or the other.
However, the opposite holds: no investment guarantees lack of growth, stagnation. And b/c nothing stand still, stagnation==going back.
12:02 PM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883841275092500863
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Please do tell more :-) I know nothing about Mistral except what was in the news, nor of Lucie... OP was pure speculation on my part, observing from afar. What/who is "Lucie" and what's "fiasco of Lucie"? (thanks!) OpenAI didn't open source open weights on any OpenAI models, no?
11:35 AM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883807694647439396
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 GM is like a weather wane of wrongness: just multiply with (-1) everything he says and you will rarely go wrong
9:22 AM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883783713865322665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"it was obvious in retrospect" - real words uttered fr by a real person sitting on a trading desk 😂😁
7:46 AM · Jan 27, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883632089431490568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IK this is a minority opinion - but:
I don't want my life controlled and run by a mega-corporation accountable only 1e-38 to myself, and the rest 1-1e-38 accountable to the shareholders, their (real) customers (advertisers), US gov, my own government, and the rest of the universe ex-me.
In fact-I am inclined to pay more in $$$, time and effort spent, to retain a modicum of control. When it comes to something as personal as my life, mine and Google's incentives are only partially aligned.
Also IK most people say they value their privacy. (even if revealed preferences are-not that much)
I'm not one of them.
I'm ok to prostrate my life for Google in my Inbox. My gripe is that Google (possible heeding some pro-privacy advocates?) seems to do a poor job in making my life easier for me. While having all that info about myself at its disposal.
Quote
https://x.com/deedydas/status/1883355957838897409
Deedy @deedydas · Jan 26
The China is crushing US rhetoric totally forgets about Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking.
Likely cheaper, longer context and better on reasoning.
We're still early in the AI race.
Last edited
9:44 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883590452504301741
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure. But there is this too:
I don't want my life controlled and run by a mega-corporation accountable only 1e-38 to myself, and the rest 1-1e-38 accountable to the shareholders, their (real) customers (advertisers), US gov, my own government, and the rest of the universe ex-me.
In fact-I am inclined to pay more in $$$, time and effort spent, to retain a modicum of control. When it comes to something as personal as my life, mine and Google's incentives are only partially aligned.
6:58 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883584865037410707
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not to be too picky as "major breakthrough" can mean anything and everything, plus the time period is unstated-but: as commonly understood, "Every major breakthrough in AI has been American" is plainly flatly wrong tbh.
6:36 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883568207711322369
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Memeing EC/EU out of their stupor maybe the best recourse tbh. Moar-
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
5:30 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883566063344132503
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👍 Yep. Bought one once, never bought a second one since the first one broke. Didn't work well enough for us. Even with a non-carpet wood-laminate floor. Good reminder to check again in the future - thanks.
5:21 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883500655907672277
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - and why do we have to have "this fossil fuel subsidy", I wonder? 😂
IDK who knows what, so for avoidance of doubt, to state something everyone *must* absolutely know: supply *must* be matched with demand at all time, in every second of the day.
So - not on average, not over the course of the day or the week or the year - but: during every one second of the day. Supply and demand must match. Otherwise all electrical equipment connected to the nation-wide network gets damaged in various random ways.
When there is imbalance, either supply increases, or demand decreases. If the supply is unable to increase, demand is decreased forcefuly by the network: by turning off customers first voluntarely (big customers), non-voluntarely, and ultimatelly turning off whole geographic areas. (blackouts)
IDK if this has been internalized by all. It has come to great surprise to me that many have strong opinions while not knowing this basic fact of physics.
1:02 PM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883471857380446299
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Close - but is it really though?
Mistral looked a personal Macron project—luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris. Getting on the AI train as it's leaving the station. Not even France givernment national competency. Almost certainly nothing to do with EU/EC?
11:07 AM · Jan 26, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883289257642442891
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Everyone's free to do whatever with their hard earned cash. It just strikes me as being remarkably in-curious.
Sponsoring plane tickets for maths teams is fine and good. But not quite the level of giving up free cluster time, or paying researchers to work on random flights of fancy for years, Bell Labs style.
Plenty can afford it. More siginficant-they'd do much better capital allocation. Compared to having the cash pad the balance sheet of a random big bank. The bank will just use it as risk capital to print out mortgages. :-)
11:02 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883282138411544646
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - management agreements can be changed. They change all the time. We are not talking about laws of physics. :-)
Plus some are trading their own capital completely. So they would not be constrained even by that (weak, tbh) constraint.
10:33 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883278285922287767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can beleive that. But I imagine they use them for their trading models, their primary job. I meant—I have not heard any of them doing speculatiuve side projects. Like that china hedge fund referenced above.
10:18 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883234422117528045
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. You buy into *unlimited* liability. That's insane.
Side A is making decisions. Side B executing. Side C is paying the bills. You are side C.
Don't do it.
7:24 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883156338890752329
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
did you?!? 😂😂
well howdy there neighbour!! 🥰
(what a coincidence!)
2:13 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883145530005422191
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I was born, grew up, and lived in a socialist country lovely. 😇 (Yugoslavia; unaligned, outside of the eastern block)
To noone's surprise 😊 - this is another thing that Marx and Engels were plain *wrong* about.
In my country as with most of South/East Europe - the industrial revolution barely happened in the 19-th centrury. All 4 of my grand-parents were born in the Ottoman Empire. A feudal kingdom, with feudal lords! "Owning" the peasants working the land the lord owned and managed.
By 1945 there was no modern world to speak of. Nothing of what we would recognise of modern civilisaiton: no running water, electricity, sanitation, roads, railways, doctors, schools, rule of law, even basic security was weak (e.g. no real police force outside few cities). My grandparents all had 5-6 children. The expectation was that 3-4 of them will die leaving only 2-3 to have children of their own.
Communists coming to power post-WW2 changed that. They made the industrial revolution happen. The country was built in the subsequent 45 yers: infrastructure, industry, institutions - everything.
Then the communists voluntarely gave way to multi-party liberal-democratic capitalist system. In that sense, in the real world, socialism was the gateway to capitalism, on the way from feudalism.
1:30 PM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883081768116318214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The variance of the human species is without precedent. This is one fact most of us don't appreciate enough imo.
Yes—we all live in our own bubbles, and we know we do. But we kind of imagine that these are kind of middling-ish sized bubles, of the size where one fits like few tens of bubbles in the big picture.
But no—the human range is magnitudes more. What other people think fr, I can't even begin to imagine! So the reality is like millions of tiny bubbles, and very very different along various axis of interests.
Ofc, myself I too am "crazy head with crazy thoughts" to someone else's.
9:17 AM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1883076775468839214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂😂😂
What level of delusionism is this?? hahahah 🤣
Sure Lagarde. Likewise, the Soviet Union imported all that disillusioned talent from the West! People were falling over themselves to defect west to east side of the iron curtain. Sure they did. 🤡🤡🤡
8:57 AM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882944212091744657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That used to be the case! Socialism, instead of capitalism, emerged in underdeveloped countries where feudalism and monarchy were still strong. A new merchant bourgeois class couldn’t displace the entrenched feudal overlords.
So, the socialists of that time became wildly popular by focusing on build-build-build. They constructed infrastructure of all kinds and established institutions—education systems, healthcare systems, etc. Again, this was popular because they got things done—things that most people wanted and benefited from.
Today's leftists in the US, however, are very different.
12:10 AM · Jan 25, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882839794121609416
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My job doesn't ofc. But these women jobs apparently did. To be fair to them-afaik no job scheduling eixsts that will ensure 100% load 100% of the time. Either there will be too much work, or idle time. And it's not these women's decision to employ them. Someone else hired them.
5:16 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882834155337097471
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They were doing childcare. Now they will sit in the office, idle, and twiddle their thumbs. RTO is creating people idling at their desks, where they could have been doing childcare. All will be poorer. Where most of the "childcare" probably is: be present at home, mindful a kid doesn't do something stupid, but otherwise no action needed from the parent. I get it why people are angry. But people should have been angrier earlier, when billions of hours were wasted doing nothing much at the desk.
4:53 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882819367479791749
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you. I just think—many were taught, but few learned, if we are to be honest. The wisdom is still there—and the few that seek for it there, will find it.
However—a great deal of that is also transmited (even if slightly transmuted) in the more popular culture. Purists that are all-or-nothing will object to that "not being 100%". Fine—but 95% is aplenty.
I see with myself—and with the childhood friends I keep in touch too—that it's possible and even very easy, to confuse my own mortality (after made aware of it) with the whole world, or our civlisation, "going down the drain" or "to the dogs" or somesuch.
It's only natural tbh. A story as old as time. So I don't judge myself too harshly for that.
3:54 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882813573086220372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible about the IQ—but TBS. Previously with the Flynn effect (=up ~3pts/decade) it had been going up for a long time. Reversion is always possible.
One needs both memoization facts about the world, and learning how to think. As 19yo I did national service and was exposed to wide spectrum of young people. One can pull anegdoates to support any stance.
With the Internet and now the Social Networks—it's never been easier to be exposed to a wide range of opinions and ideas tbh.
3:31 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882813573086220372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Possible about the IQ—but TBS. Previously with the Flynn effect (=up ~3pts/decade) it had been going up for a long time. Reversion is always possible.
One needs both memoization facts about the world, and learning how to think. As 19yo I did national service and was exposed to wide spectrum of young people. One can pull anegdoates to support any stance.
With the Internet and now the Social Networks—it's never been easier to be exposed to a wide range of opinions and ideas tbh.
3:31 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882809474114592819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm more hopeful—but only b/c that's by default. The fact that we are still up, able to write this. Any younger generation is—on average, and with it's up/down-s give/take-s—usually net better than the old. Hence our world still existing, and better than, what was 10K years ago.
Ofc—always possible that by the time you read this or shortly there after, for some monster somwhere in the world to start a nuclear holocaust and end it all. 😨
3:15 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882806844026224830
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are multiple problems - legislation etc true that, but also including the individual.
The individual *should* be named. We don't need anonymous trolls IRL. Enough with the baby talk.
True we need radical transparency from the government too.
(https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876716669571317873)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 7
Replying to @paula_read and @RuxandraTeslo
I meant something more radical—flip the defaults entirely. All UK government business should be public by default and secret by specific request. Every document available on publicly accessible web servers or read-only shared drives. Lawmaking done on something like Westminster
Show more
3:05 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882804316966146473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that—but tbh wisdom is a very very tall order. Even among many people, and clever people too, and with a lot of experience—wisdom will not be that common.
Intelligence is not to be scoffed at. If we can create it, that is. It's still a big IF—for AGI, and esp for ASI.
2:55 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882763742938862029
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Rat race is part of life, so is opting out of it and living quiter life. It's not either-or. Human life is long-ish. One can fit many things in life, even if not all at the same time. Including—family, kids, travel, etc. Why chose one, when you can have many? 😇
12:13 PM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882754429109354792
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The abominable IP laws are another unnecessary constraint tbh. As important as the code etc, as PDP=Code+Data.
(https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567)
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
11:36 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882742995524665632
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Push for abolishment of the abominable IP laws pls.
Code + data = PDP.
By miracle this did not get strangled at birth. Push while its still in your powers to do so, while you still can pls.
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · Jan 23
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
10:51 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882714895202103476
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I'm not saying no—but these are known difficulties. In my area (quant trading) no one expects to read an academic paper that's useful. 😂
Dot Com 2.0—point taken, but see how that turned out longer term since 1990. Short term over- estimate, but long term under- estimate imo.
8:59 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882710452133929203
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH have not seen anything but—decels, catastrophists, scolds, and frankly—toddlers. Incapable of creation. Innumerate. Unable to separate "my own desires" v.s. "is this true?", "will this work?", "what do I think of this idea?" Communists' of old were not infantile like this.
8:42 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882708115768180856
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah-if one gets Garbage in. So model builders better not let garbage in. They know this. Distilation looks like it's solving that problem at this stage.
Longer term it'd be hard to argue convincingly that any GIGO won't be solved by more compute. The bitter lesson is strong.
8:32 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882676240253174018
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK why X insist with dunderheaded obstinence against allowing more user control over their feed, or allow more feeds.
Power users will use the features. Most users will not know about advanced use. No loss there for X. I suspect it's some wrong headed A/B testing result?
After "don't show me this" which doesn't really scale more than dozen uses, the only available next step is Block. Now that's one way only - don't bother with Mute anymore.
6:26 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882655514355495088
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Sir! - Yes Sir!" is what they will say. As they do in Japan. 😅
Trump intuitively grasps things others take great pains to suppress in their heads, for these things threaten worldviews people have married themselves to.
Good traders are *not* married to their positions. Their positions are not part of their identities. 😇
So an idea like - "IR is a cost to business, is built into the price a business charges for product, through that channel adds to inflation" - does not make his head explode. 😆
Same for the oil price and in general cost of energy. It's an input to anything and everything, a cost built into the prices businesses must charge.
5:03 AM · Jan 24, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882577659336507607
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
France solved this half a centrury ago, and with economy that was one third the size it is now. There is zero excuse not to apply the same solution in the UK. Then we move onto harder and more important things.
We have been faffing with these non-solutions for decades now. All to massage the egos and misguided feelings of a crop of - frankly - innumarate imbeciles.
Best time to solve this non-problem was fifty years ago. Second best time is now.
11:54 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882576078901748121
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK if he is a Russian assert. People start thinking "is he" (myself inc) b/c he appears so so naive, as to one has to wonder if he is malevolent. Not one off, but a few issues and many times (language being the latest; Zelensky addressed that well in the interview).
Lex should be doing much much better on this. He has the background knowledge. He has the distance too. No excuses really. But he is failing miserably, repeatedly. Trump bettered Lex today on this! ("Zelensky wants to negotiate to end the war; Putin refuses to" - everyone knows this, Lex should too)
11:48 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882509987727233038
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You are not missing anything. Human intelligence is one constraint: and that one constraint may indeed be loosened by AI/AGI/ASI. However. It's not the only constraint. There are other constrants too, that "AND" together with intelligence.
Having said that. As per the usual. In the short term, our hopes will be rasied, and then crushed. This is what it is with the boom- in the boom-bust cycle. But longer term - we will underestimate the impact.
Similar in the 1990-s Internet. Lot of people could imagine a web store. A few could imagine Amazon of today. But no one afaik imagined the social networks, the smartphone supercomputer magic slabs in our pockets, the Cloud infrstructure, and plenty of other stuff we got now.
(TBF we could also ask Ray Kurzweil)
7:25 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882493083704828060
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
motivational poster 😇
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
6:18 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882440423979016535
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
We all need to make a living, and want our time spent on things exciting.
Academia research pay—crap, papers writing—booring.
Industry R&D pay—better, code writing—interesting, making things run go brr...—exciting.
(ML researcher in my 1st life, quant trading R&D in my 2nd)
2:49 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882435660457419200
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Too many innumerate PPE-s in positions of power without responsibiity.
Just yesterday heard some minister or orher tout RE as "secure, cheap". I've got roof solar PV+battery, it works I love the savings and the minimal level of independence it proivdes, but: it's the exact opposite of "secure, cheap".
Seems only mass sackings US-style will do at this point tbh. Such that non-inumerate non-wordcells get a shot at the commanding heights.
CP Snow "The two cultures and the scientific revolution", manifest.
2:30 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882430441199710564
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hear hear! Indeed a vibe change more than welcome.
The way things are going—Sir Keir may warrant adding to that list of subjects holding a special place in Providence's heart. 😂 (and at the head!—in front of "... fools, drunkards, sailors, and Americans")
His honed politcal instinct: may use the oppo to get rid of the useless millstones Sadiq+Ed. Sadiq can run on his own past a 2nd LDN term. (good luck with that) Ed's taking KS down with his "true N-0 believer" shtick. (energy costs will only go up, and undo all other Keir work)
2:09 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882427604990595072
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH not a surprise. She should take the bull by the horns: stop outsourcing of ministerial elected representative responsibility for delivery. The "Executive" is supposed to execute ffs. (Legislature can pontificate) Just delete the quangos, bring their functions in-house. easy
1:58 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882407166168211512
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"The anger" as in - "no anger at all, but to a world wide acclaim". 😂
The "Intellectual Property" grift 😱 needs to end, hope I live to see that happen -
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Quote
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0 · 56m
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound x.com/nxthompson/sta…
Show more
12:36 PM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882393114444255567
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Nah—let them train, and train some more, and so should everyone: in China, in the U.S., and across the world. This showcases the cost of delaying the spread of intelligence—a cost humanity shouldn’t bear.
It’d be stellar if the TechBro TechRight (TBTR) leveraged their newfound influence to dismantle the outdated laws that prop up the nebulous concept of "Intellectual Property"—laws that criminalize the free flow of information.
Hey TBTR CEO @pmarca: hit MSM woke-centrals and Hollywood while they’re down. Tear down "IP" laws entirely. The term "Intellectual Property" itself is an unholy concoction—like "Social Science," where one word gives credence to the other, where there is none.
There is no "property" in intellectual property. Copying data—whether it’s something I’ve said, written, or painted—doesn’t deprive me of anything. Unlike taking my car, which I can no longer use if you steal it, copying my words or ideas leaves the original intact. Walling off information as if it were physical property is abominable.
There’s symmetry to this. If I want to keep my creations private, I can. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. But once I do—once they enter another person’s mind—that person should have the right to replicate, adapt, and build upon them. They’ve lent me their brain, their "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen, they "flesh" these ideas. Denying them the right to act on that knowledge is unnatural and unjust.
Yes, creators deserve to be compensated for their work. But copyright laws shouldn’t extend to their grandchildren. We want to incentivize creation, not fund generational wealth centuries after the fact.
The fact that we jail people—imprison them—for copyright infringement is medieval. The full weight of the state’s repressive apparatus (backed by its monopoly on violence) is marshaled to enforce a broken, outdated system. It’s a failure of imagination and morality alike.
You can fix this! fao @elonmusk
Quote
https://x.com/nxthompson/status/1881981748621492454
nxthompson @nxthompson · Jan 22
The anger over Deepseek training on ChatGPT's outputs, in violation of TOS, is justified.
But it might perhaps also make the AI companies think about the training they did on copyrighted content without consent.
https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/27/why-deepseeks-new-ai-model-thinks-its-chatgpt/
Show more
11:41 AM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882382180854501379
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It's obvious to most what needs doing. Even from afar. (I'm a european not from an eu ctry nor living in an eu ctry)
Instead of more words - stick this pic to the bathroom mirror for daily motivation -
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
10:57 AM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882296006618075626
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
it's delightfully along the lines of "...and that's it! minimal innovation for maximum effect" and works because "...it just wants to learn" 😅 in the words of you-know-who 😆
5:15 AM · Jan 23, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882177491952919041
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Also this may happen: you do what you do almost every day (as you describe above). But somehow, you get an improvement that's 5x-7x-8x times reduction of the error measure. Almost an order of magnitude! 🤯 Way over and above what can reasonably be expected.
Feels like a bona-fide miracle. Like walking on water. You don't dare hope it true.
The rest of the day-night you are in a trance-like state. Doubly and triply checking, waiting on the runs to finish and confirm or deny the impossible result. Fearful to hope really-for it was most likely a stupid trivial mistake.
Once in a lifetime you discover it was not a mistake but for real. 😇 Best feeling ever to (professionally) happen to me tbh.
9:24 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882118290912481515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I can't imagine there ever being a 100% solution. So the question becomes: who bears the loss when it occurs, is it OAI or the user? I'm guessing atm it will be in the ToC that the user bears any and all loss. IDK how it can be otherwise TBH.
5:29 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882066137946452269
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
True that - yes it's work. A not unpleasant work though, right? There is promise, and possibility - anything may happen! So yeah - gfi!
However - the other side of the coin is, you have to chose well. Find people whose company you actually enjoy. If someone's company is worse then being alone - then people will chose the latter.
So that puts a limit to how much proactive one should be. For no ones time nor effort nor patience are infinite.
2:01 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882042592226906125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Damaging" as in "not damaging at all", as in "boy am I lucky or what". 😂
@Keir_Starmer can, should, and I hope will - split the difference.
Get rid of the useless millstones Sadiq + Ed. Sadiq - can run on his own past 2nd LDN term, and good luck with that. Ed - is taking KS down with him with his "true n-0 believer" shtick. Climate foundations £££ etc no longer needed/now in gov there will be plenty others.
Burnham - get him onside easy as gov is *not* spending £££ on London. It's just saying "YES" to someone else spending £££. Which will generate ultimately tax £££ to be spend on Burnham.
If things continue this way, Sir Keir will warrant adding to that list of subjects holding a special place in Providence's heart! (even at the head! in front of - fools, drunkards, sailors, and Americans) 😇
12:28 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882036108848165139
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and before that, to build the damned thing, it was for me
cmake -B build
cmake --build build --config Release
12:02 PM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1882034879157989570
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
./build/bin/llama-cli -m models/DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B-Q6_K_L.gguf -p "Write 4 lines on living a purposeful life. A purposeful life is"
11:57 AM · Jan 22, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881792352303677764
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the most interesting one wins 😆
7:53 PM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881657307727089886
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Looks that in Apple the upper echelons CEO etc are hardware but not software people.
Their h/w execution is stellar. No one thought M1-M4 bettering Intel in their single core performance possible.
In software they have been middling.
But in AI they have been abysmal. And especially given the level of their hardware?! Sill no competitor to unified GPU/NPU RAM on the horizon. We're 2nd year into the AI revolution, they are still doing nothing with their h/w advantage.
Obv both the h/w and s/w are capable, many things are possible possible. Ton of local-lamma-etc AI hobbyists use M-Apple silicon. M4 mini pro is a blast. But this is all bottom-up. Top-down all we get from Apple is nonsese, stupidity. So obv the problem is with the Top, with the executive levels.
10:57 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881636261166997518
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-housing-theory-of-everything/ strikes again. 😆
IDK why how are people surprised by this. We can not live without housing. We live in houses. We need houses the same way we need oxygen, water, food. Restricting calories or air would for sure put a break on everything we do.
From worksinprogress.co
9:33 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881632786068709819
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eurocrats like yourself got a second chance to get their heads out of their arses and look around. No one is stopping you. Lots of low lying gains 1) stop doing stupid 2) start doing smart
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
9:19 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881623023251493330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah its influence was 1e6 times the objective. Decel wordcels hogging the commanding heights of society very much hoped it true. So to bottle the genie and continue with business as before. We are lucky they are as illiterate as they are innumerate. (unlucky they're as evil)
8:41 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881509085218308151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Sure - if the child is a total simpleton I imagine it will get the message as you describe it.
Most children are pretty intelligent, even if intuitively so. I think the message as I describe it will be received.
(also Zizek mentions "now the child is not an idiot...")
1:08 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881502413175369894
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"You are going to do it and you will like it" is more harsh more violent than "you are going to do it" (but you are free to not like it). The former violates my outer and inner worlds, while the latter only my outer world. (but my inner world is intact)
12:41 AM · Jan 21, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881485723431497766
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are like the scorpion and the frog Esop tale - can't help themselves. On one level that is unfortunate for them but also for us all, on another level - we are lucky they are so so stupid.
11:35 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881472669717295459
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ha! that message from the Napoleon ghost got unscrambled finally?? what a time to be alive 😅
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
10:43 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881450098368090622
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Doing the right thing, after spending 30 years to exhaust all other options. 😂
What a time to be alive. 😇
9:13 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881446801812967746
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
heh - the "BIG MISUNDERSTANDING..." thread by @mmjukic from last week comes to mind Re: Europe leadership FAIL of the established elites.
https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1878424518294700421
v.v.funny 😂😂😂 fao @vonderleyen
landings-misunderstandings-napoleon-spirit.jpg
Quote
Marko Jukic @mmjukic · Jan 12
Replying to @mmjukic
"BIG MISUNDERSTANDING: EU bureaucrats apologize for mixing up instructions. They thought the Ghost of Napoleon asked them to heavily regulate SPACE ROCKETS and NUCLEAR POWER while subsidizing IMMIGRATION and BICYCLES. Actually it was the REVERSE. Many apologies for the mixup!"
9:00 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881434478989414566
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh :-) Zoltata skijacka jakna na mojata slika (avatar) e verojatno od 1986-87, znaci skoro pa 40 godini.
Taka da jas sum verojatno pogresen/atipicen za ovaa anketa. Mene kupuvanjeto alista mi e maka, napor. Za mene sto pomalku potroseno vreme na kupuvanje alista, toa podobro.
Porano stalno se cudev: ne mozam da kupam novo sto e kompletno isto so staroto (sto se skinalo). Da kupam isto - ist model, ista boja, ist broj. Idealno - da ima unikaten bar kod, samo da go iskeniram toj kod, i da go stigne po posta.
Amazon i kupuvanje onlajn mi go podobri zivotot. Idealno e koga ke najdam novo koe e isto so staroto. (se slucuva) Togas samo klik i zavrsena rabota. Ako toa (idealno) go nema, onlajn mozam da kupam nekolku (i razlicni golemini), da zadrzam 1-2, i drugite da gi vratam.
8:11 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881346851888410665
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Many don't for sure, but the Finns themselves I presume do care. If Israel of 1970 could do it, so can Finland of 2025. Also - the Baltics, Poland, the rest of the Nordics. IDK why they would want to be dependent on US, or even Berlin/Paris/London? Just do your own.
2:23 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881345635787657637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What hate? I love it. I've been using LTS for decades now. Install and forget. It just works.
People forget or were not born so don't know what a chore Linux drivers for the masses were at some point in the past. Ubuntu solved that for me.
More power to them! :-)
2:18 PM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881273627569758267
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Announcing never, but dropping the propaganda aspect while pursuing them via nuclear energy investment 1<6 months.
9:32 AM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881087251330867587
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"You may not be interested in politics, but politics is interested in you" happens at some point. If you get sufficiently influential IRL.
Seems for SV Tech that point was Social Media. In retrospect "it's obvious" that that would be the case. Who controls the media controls the messaging controls the thinking.
PC computers and the computer revolution were "meh politically". Stirrings started with the Internet - an innovative two-way communication channel. Obviously step up/better from the existing one-way communication of mass media at that point. (TV, Radio, papers)
After Social Media things really took off politically. Seems even with Obama first Soc Med campaign(?), Gurri's "Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millenium", the Arab Spring - the established elites still were in the dark on 1) this will come to them too 2) they are doing badly, the public is in pain (what broke with GFC'08 never healed)
Seems a world wide phenomenon. In the UK it's similar, and afaics on the European continent too.
9:12 PM · Jan 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881057064299941937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Think "humanism" of some sort is one replacement religion waiting in the wings. Either some major religion will absorb its ideas and refresh itself. Or if a charismatic humanist leader appears, it will take over a failing religion and refresh, resurrect it.
For stories like "our immortal soul is software running on some hardware that is the body atm but could be something else tomorrow" .@Plinz type or .@geoffreyhinton "they are exactly like us and conscious like us" (c.f. yesterday https://youtube.com/watch?v=b_DUft-BdIE) strike me as sufficiently religious for most people.
Both of the above are good stories, complementary. They make sense of the new world. All is needed is a small devoted network of proselytisers to preach and spread these ideas. Probably online, and to the youth first, via the future Tiktok.
7:12 PM · Jan 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1881272773093511556
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
... .@bryan_johnson atm seemingly a cult leader fits the bill for a leader of new religion. "Do not die" is explicitly a religious slogan. Afaik all religions promise immortality via eternal existence to their adherents. He is already there, and looks energetic & capable too.
9:29 AM · Jan 20, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880777764485390533
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I install Xubuntu. Nothing much in the GUI has changed in the past 15 years. And I hope stays that way 😂
Otherwise - minimal maintenance time lost. Once in 4-5 years move to the +2 LTS version from the current one. (one can skip one LTS release and still be in support window)
12:42 AM · Jan 19, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880722097061704134
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
:-) Yeah - Georgism makes every sense to me.
One thing I have doubt about is: I don't understand how people are going to pay the tax. With income tax it's operationally easy: I just surrender to gov some of that cash. Asking people to come up with cash to pay for increased value of an asset is impractical. Only way is to pay in kind: put a charge, register interest, to a fraction of ownership to the house. And then at the point of sale the taxman gets their cash.
9:01 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880715215119286599
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Checked now for full year 2024-totals:
- self use ~40%
- electricity bill ~£1150
- gas bill ~£500
So self-use saved me £767. That's ~30% of the total energy cost. (=£767+£1150+£500)
There are solar savings calculators on the web. From recollection-they almost spot on for my case. I don't get paid for exports, hybrid-homes installers never delivered ECS. Be mindful if you are doing this.
8:33 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880686686298046899
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
basic and 6502 assembly and it was bliss 😊
6:40 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880685318044889195
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Gas central heating. So the 45% is for the electricity use only. GCH covers radiators heating in winter, and bathrooms hot water.
6:34 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880659277020344752
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You hit the nail on the head at "ego".
Seems to me not insignificant number of us work out (and not merely accept) that "I" and "the whole rest of everything" (the "not-I") are separate only at the point of our deaths. But not earlier.
I can imagine I-a-doomsday-er confusing my own mortality (after becoming aware of it) with the end of the world, b/c I'm still in good part the narcissist I started as a baby & have not grown that much out of it. Most humans - and esp once we start aging - we are all like this to a degree tbh. People that are talented & precocious - this may hit them even a bit harder than the rest of us?
Sometimes I wonder why aim for less-than-the-max, why assume merely end of our world, rather than say the end of the entire universe? :-)
Alternative at a non-personal non-ego level: maybe part of the "we humans are special" delusion.
4:51 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880647373338054971
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Making the supply more distributed, less centralised - yes. Energy security - no.
I have solar PV on the roof + battery in the attic. It suffices for 45% self-use. So for 55% - on average - I do rely on the power grid.
The 45% is daily average. The average obscure huge variations. In summer there maybe days where that number is 90%. In winter there are days where that is 10%. And so on.
Please don't tell lies needlessly. There is no need for that. In contrast, there is lots of value to being truthful.
4:04 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880638040374145218
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
What on earth are these people in X - our algorithmic overlords - thinking?? This kind of slap-dash casual infliction of stupidity onto millions of people is indefensible.
I happen to have added all manner of accounts of interest to various lists. As the means to shape the feeds thematically. Rather than following them. It had not occurred to me that I'd be penalised for telling X "I'd like to follow this account account please/I find their posting interesting".
This kind of unchecked power X has over us is not good. They seem to be quite capable of not only shooting themselves in the food, but shooting ourselves in the head!
Un-be-lie-va-ble. I suspect one obstacle to releasing the code in the open is potential for other atrocities lurking there, of the type you document above.
3:27 PM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880563310522708032
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
If any of IMF/Treasury/OBR forecasts were better than-
"I forecast in the next 3/6/12 months the same what happened in the past 3/6/12 moths"
...the people making them would be in a macro hedge fund, making $$$ billions for the fund and millions for themselves.
I assumed this is common knowledge but apparently it seems to me it is not. Economic forecasts are worthless in forecasting what will happen in the future.
The only worth they have is they provide employment, words for clicks online, something to use black ink on white paper for in a daily newspaper, talking points for TV talking mouths, and something for people to do with their time in general, to a coterie of random people.
Quote
Andrew Neil @afneil · 10h
Because I don’t believe the forecast. IMF forecasts have become a political joke. When Britain had a centre-right government of which the IMF disapproved, it consistently under forecast UK growth. Now it has a centre-left government of which it approves, it over-forecasts growth. x.com/quarryali/stat…
Show more
Last edited
10:30 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880561132639035876
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IMF forecasts are there to make Treasury/OBR forecasts respectable. 😂 Cheap words-for-clicks.
If any of these forecasts were better than "I forecast in the next 3/6/12 months the same what happened in the past 3/6/12 moths" they would making millions $$$ in a macro hedge fund.
10:21 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880558291547488550
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-housing-theory-of-everything/ strikes again. 😆
IDK why people surprised by this. We can not live without housing. We live in houses. We need houses, the same way we need oxygen, or water, or food. Restricting calories or air would for sure put a break on everything we do.
From worksinprogress.co
10:10 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880557344494325860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Web interface for Twitter/X/Bsky/Mastodon is much better than an App:
1) One browser only suffices - replacing 10 apps.
2) The posts themselves contain link in every paragraph. I will click on a link to open a web page in a browser anyway.
3) That friction is much lower when opening a post web link while I am in the browser already.
4) Multiple views in browser! I can open 10 different tabs, and see 10 different X posts.
IDK even how people can write a post while being in the App. It's not possible to look up anything else on X, while writing the post!
How does one look up on X, something needed to reference or remind self, while in the process of writing the post? Afaics - that's not possible.
5) Even if all things were equal (and they are not, web is superior, see 1-4), I should still prefer open web to closed walled garden app.
Open and free is better. Why make self weaker, and my adversary (SocMedCo) stronger, by using the App?? That's bonkers.
10:06 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880510593209364641
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBH popular pres persisting in reporting stored *energy* in units of Watt *power*, is a good nod to Gell-Mann Amnesia. And a good reminder to just "mute", "ignore" and do something better with our time, than click on a link.
7:00 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880565314846625898
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...it's the equivalent of reading "the distance between New York and Washington is 70 mph" over and over again. I don't understand what's gained by being so wrong so often.
10:38 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880398559918584225
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
the "BIG MISUNDERSTANDING..." thread by @mmjukic earlier in the week was golden on this 😂😂
https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1878424518294700421
Quote
Marko Jukic @mmjukic · Jan 12
"BIG MISUNDERSTANDING: EU bureaucrats apologize for mixing up instructions. They thought the Ghost of Napoleon asked them to heavily regulate SPACE ROCKETS and NUCLEAR POWER while subsidizing IMMIGRATION and BICYCLES. Actually it was the REVERSE. Many apologies for the mixup!"
Show this thread
11:35 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880375666954367391
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thanks - will seek it out. Yes - I first heard about the history of the movement (original US populism) from him. Not this interview -
https://youtube.com/watch?v=-GiAb6pi32g
...but one like it I presume from about the same time. (not bookmarked or can't find it) Then Wikipedia to read more :-)
youtube.com
Thomas Frank: People Without Power (Bristol Festival of Ideas)
Donald Trump. Brexit. European right-wing extremists. All have been accused of populism. But what does this often thrown about, yet generally misunderstood, ...
10:04 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880359592087134657
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Thomas Frank! That's a name I had not heard a while. Now I see the last YT I have bookmarked of him is from 7 years ago! Thanks for the reminder - saw this now
youtube.com
‘The Democratic Party Is A Walking Corpse’ - Thomas Frank
Watch the full stream here https://www.patreon.com/posts/thomas-frank-lea-115947756Thomas Frank rips the Democrat for failing, once again to defeat pseudo po...
9:00 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880311048504578267
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Are we hurtling towards a "love is all you need", "love conquers all" etc world?? What a turn that would be! 😅 After 10K+ years of the Genghis Khan-s of the world ruling the world... if it turns out J was the prophet, after all?? dee-light😂
5:47 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880307824322048248
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
SM, not CU, is where it's at tbh.
But - betters Reeves "inject private £££ into house prices" for sure!
So - gfi. Maybe not the best - but not the worst either. Muddle through :-)
5:34 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880298925564821906
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Fwiw my opinion is "blue circle needs competition of the red circle to raise its game".
So my uninformed opinion of the sequencing is then 1) make red circle 2) make blue circle better 3) make red circle better (and the unsayable - 4) MUKGA 😆)
I'd be weary of splittings "Popular Front of Palestine"-style at the time of the Chancellor asking regulators (?!) and quangos (??) for "ideas for growth". She seems to have fallen back to the usual "pump up house prices" by creating more £££ for the same (housing) assets.
From the "XL Bully ban" campaign of the LFG dude that succeeded over and above all expectations with Sunak gov: government so bereft of ideas may indeed jump on, and execute unexpected proposals.
That also in line with the current chagos "burn tons of political capital to heed a tiny constituency". A gov devoid of ideas may take on unlikely one. Maybe package your red circle into web pages gov ministers sidekicks can take on and pitch to their masters? (and protectors)
4:59 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880266260711190813
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
How do we make you a PM? How come we can't have other people like yourself in the uk gov? Or these folks-
https://lookingforgrowth.uk/growth-act
...or other people like them? Are people that think like yourselves (and myself) a desperate disparate minority in the UK??
Reeves was looking for "growth ideas". What's wrong with the above, or that LFG draft law? Nothing afaics. Even getting courage to act-surely the smashing success of the new QE tube line would have inspired someone someplace?
From lookingforgrowth.uk
2:49 PM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880182126374486417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not so much fail as in not succeed, but insufficient, inadequate, too small of an effort for the gargantuan task. TBH at this point I don't think anything non-algorithmic non-fully-automated can possibly scale with the usage volumes.
Who knew so many of us, had so much to say, about so many things, about the world?? Not myself - that's for sure. I thought "who will write into the Ether, to be read by few or none?" Turns out - me, and millions of other people. That's who. That's how I learned how little I knew about myself.
CN are good effort though. Should be very valuable training data for their internal AI models! Hope they make a good use for it. This will come full circle once the first AI scientists come online I should hope.
9:15 AM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880159521789866468
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Bingo! IDK how exactly that misleading even wrong term became entrenched?? 😭
Could live with Fit/Predict, or even simples Train/Test. "Inference" is such bad choice of term. Creating confusion where there was none.
7:45 AM · Jan 17, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880567451966231011
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...although, having said that: I wouldn't mind if "inference" was repurposed and used exclusively for the chain-of-thought tree generation and search processes. Seems apt, is sufficiently long word for an appropriately costly activity, and is already partly in use for that.
10:46 AM · Jan 18, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880026905170100442
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yep—can totally concur. I once read that English is "the easiest language to learn to speak badly," and that rang true. It’s by far the most forgiving and rewarding for new learners.
Then there are those languages that, after deciding "we’ll change the verb form for every tense," thought, "Nah, that’s too easy on these suckers." 😂 So they added, "Let’s also change the noun form with declensions for every case!" 😨
Seven noun cases times eight declensions later, voilà—you’ve got 56 glorious ways for us non-native speakers to shoot ourselves in the foot. Never fails to amuse me. 😂
10:58 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1880001272117416399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah X (and other platforms too) on links suppression is self serving and self defeating in the long term.
Esp given X already has long posts and the link at the bottom of a long post will be hidden by default as will be the overflow of the long post too.
I find accessing X in the browser via the Web interface versus via the App makers a huge difference to me whether I click on a link or not. The Web interface makes it 10x times easier less flow-breaking to click on a link and follow up their source.
9:16 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879998233080132021
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Remember watching this yrs ago. Amused not much more is made of the results presented. Some significant, and more importantly dose-related. The lecture is long and somewhat meandering. TikTok it is not! 😂
Head of Pharmacology Oxford Uni Prof David Smith
https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=unguMlKkc74
youtube.com
How B Vitamins & Omega 3s Reverse Cognitive Decline
Head of Pharmacology at Oxford University, Professor David Smith presents his studies on the link between nutrition and the prevention of cognitive impairmen...
David_Smith-Pharmacology_Oxford-How_B_Vitamins_and_Omega_3s_Reverse_Cognitive_Decline-mar2020-YT-unguMlKkc74-20241108.mp4
9:04 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879925709587788274
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe "pay peanuts get monkeys" effect coupled with talent got the means (online) & the time (covid slowdown) to assess their worth for the first time in a long time.
Developing ones' craft v.s accurate measure of its worth & selling it to other people are very distinct skills
4:16 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879917406459687228
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For Starmer to survive, after - or even before! - Reeves, he will have to chuck overboard the clueless Milliband.
Not sure if that's possible after the donations he's received from various climate foundations. Hope his self-preservation instinct kicks in.
He if fully capable of reneging on promises and scr*wing constituencies. C.f. Leasehold-ers, "abolish leasehold in the 1st 100 days".
3:43 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879909556412944445
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Lose some, win some. I spend more time with my 1) closest - family, kids; and 2) furthest - people I "know" online, from work (also online). Whereas I spend less time with 3) random people I could've got connected with virtue of living in the same town/place. (but now I don't)
3:12 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879893141966422245
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah!! People moaning "AI stole my `art` "?? If only we were that lucky!!
Here!! - take my words and immortalise them in your weights, thank you very much.
Help yourself!! - go on, go on now you AI beauty. 😅
2:07 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879892310332473663
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Few people make good living out of that 😇
One .@albertedwards99 rose to fame & fortune by predicting recession round every corner. 😆
People like to be frightened. Heck - they queue to give cash $$$ to cinema theatres in their millions every year. To watch crap horror movies.
2:03 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879889816869085446
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
choices, consequences; how we in the UK got here
uk-electric-gretas-2.jpg
1:53 PM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879829563490115664
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Study buddy"!! brilliant! :-) - love the phrase.
+1 Indeed my experience too. The interactive Q&A we already have with the chat bots has been a blessing to me. Learned of so many things I didn't know before. heaven 😇
9:54 AM · Jan 16, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879678296436146457
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
always-were-artists.png
11:53 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879676855483056247
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
This will be attacked (unfortunately) by the usual "if not perfect then should not be done" brigade.
I will never comprehend where that hubris comes from. We all had terrible teaching all through childhood. Most teaching is bad—that's how we all remember that one good teacher of our youth we liked, and the memory we cherish.
We are all terrible at teaching. I see that of myself when trying to explain or teach anything my own kids!
I remember a teacher's article from ages ago: she somehow came up with the idea to tape herself on video, and see what her students see. And was horrified of what she saw! She wrote the article to shout to all "people please do same, tape yourself, see yourself as other see you, don't wait 20 years like myself".
So it's a double mystery to me when existing teachers always attack any new tech that may help them and us all. Will we live to see Bloom 2-sigma made reality??
11:47 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879542982485156341
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
🙏 thanks for that, and kudos 👏 for being open minded and not angry 😇 most of us would be, going back and forth with myself by this point 😄
2:55 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879536478708998462
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The UK should hire their negotiator pronto—before this absolute legend of a dude or dudette remembers to ask for London itself, and maybe the Crown Jewels too while they're at it.
(To think the current lot fancy themselves as “grown-ups.” This isn’t even toddler-level—this is plant-level, I guess?)
2:29 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879533767888425456
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You and me and every human as individuals are too weak to survive on our own for any significant time. So your advice "don't entrust your life to anyone/anything" is a non starter. People that did what you say did not survive to have offspring like you and me.
We trust other people and machines both explicitly and implicitly. Since this morning: you drank some water, ate some food, used the toilet, turned on the heating. The house you live in was provided by other humans. And going back, who did what when etc for me to be alive today-goes back to dawn of humanity. So the revealed preferences are that we humans are social animals at every level.
Again, and this is a pattern now, you hallucinated "LJ thinks the way a human hallucinates is the same as LLM hallucinates". I in fact - don't think they hallucinate in the same way. No two humans hallucinate nor confabulate the same. (LLM-s confabulate at this point; hallucination is vision) So I of course DON'T think that every human and every LLM do it the same way either.
The best models of ourselves we have-are these huge connectionist models. In fact, they have been thought that way since 1943 (the dawn of the 1st model of a neural processing). No one has said for 80 years that they are anything else but the best models we have of ourselves.
No-the usual complaint was "they may be built like us (i.e. massively PDP), but their performance is cr*p, unlike us humans". Well-now the perofmance is catching up. Turned out nothing was wrong with our theories about PDP-just the models were too small.
(PDP==Parallel Distributed Processing)
I bid you good bye with some Hintonisms to cheer you up. 😇
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
2:19 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879519929881260296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK how mine "you are already trusting a stranger that may hallucinate and do any manner of crazy and evil" in your mind became "LJ says or thinks a person is an algorithm".
So for yourself to come back with "LJ is wrong thinking a person is an algorithm".
Still - can't complain. 😁 As you in fact provided a perfect illustration of my point: perfect strangers will be perfectly fine to hallucinate. I don't want my fate to be in hands of such people tbh.
1:24 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879509359258214887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. This on games and specifically how good tit-for-tat is in facilitating cooperation is golden
Veritasium_-_What_Game_Theory_Reveals_About_Life_The_Universe_and_Everything.mp4
youtube.com
What Game Theory Reveals About Life, The Universe, and Everything
This is a video about the most famous problem in Game Theory, the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Head to https://brilliant.org/veritasium to start your free 30-day tri...
12:42 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879507190580670719
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
maybe this longer exposition as means of explanation if not short definition? recent so fresh -
https://paulgraham.com/woke.html
12:33 PM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879492636349710357
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You’re already entrusting your life to strangers—people who might not care about you in the slightest, who could be incompetent, foolish, or even malicious. So, no real change there.
It’s not about what the life form you interact with is made of, or whether it’s similar to you or entirely different. Those attributes are just proxies for a deeper question: Is my interlocutor good or bad for me? Do they love me or hate me?
11:35 AM · Jan 15, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879143566779314627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I stopped using UK live TV in about year 2000 so I'm probably not a representative example.
(child#1 was born, thought it stupid to have child-TV adverts implant desires in their brains where none exists to start with)
Once iPlayer came online I have used it a lot, and paying happily the TV License. Nowadays between YouTube podcasts and Internet reading, seems there is no much time left to be given to iPlayer/BBC. Signal-to-Noise ratio there seems to me much much higher online, than on old-style TV.
(Mr Beast leaked manual that YT will become bigger than all of Hollywood may hold some truth seems)
12:28 PM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879141327847161929
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X does not offer any real tools for curating the feed, past the "show me less" of "posts like this" and or "from this account". After clicking for the 10-th time, block/mute is the next step. As no other options exist afaik.
At the very minimum, X should have block/mute not forever, but with expiry in 1 week, 1 months, 1 year. There is more there. But suggesting anything is a waste of keystrokes as nothing ever gets done Re: user curation.
12:19 PM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879133226423263548
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I am not a horse. I am a person.
His reference is 1 out of 251 references on that Wikipedia page. My idea of OP idea of discussion is:
1) read the wiki page, incl the 251 followups;
2) now in your (LJ) head, the same idea materializes as in my (OP) head;
3) now we discus.
It's a waste of time for everyone. (have done similar in the past)
I suspect in the end it works out to be something as trivial as - "neutrality", the same word, means different things to RUS and UKR.
For UKR it means: we are like Switzerland. We are not part of an alliance, but otherwise we do as we please. In the politics, economy-we obey no one else but follow our wishes.
For RUS it means: UKR is without a real army, mostly defenceless. RUS has a say on the running and ruling of the country: who gets in parliament, who makes the government, the PM too. Usually political and economic pressure suffices to get the combo we, RUS, like.
If that fails, we invade for 3 days, arrest the old regime, put together new regime in 3-6 months. Controlled elections elect new parliament, then new PM and new government, ministers - the whole lot. Then in a year time our troops withdraw. That has been played out multiple times since 1920-s.
Obv these are very different outcomes. While the same word is used-"neutrality".
(for those negotiations we know that UKR wanted-among many other things-UK boots on the ground; that would mean UK-RU war; obv UK is in no position to oblige; neither has a reason nor the will nor the means; and this is only one out of many many pieces that would need to come together in a process like that; so the OP idea "Boris flew in and persuaded everyone to scupper a deal" is wrong and misleading; that he keeps repeating it put me off his podcast "Gell-Mann amnesia" way, which makes me sad too)
11:47 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879117323472457987
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The real rulers of the country-the Treasury and civil service-did leak a warning to some journo "who does he think he is/will be forced out if not careful" about Starmer, after his outburst along the "cummings was right" line. 😂 This looks like it-starting with the Chancellor.
10:44 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879111488771596648
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His cars and rockets are getting cheaper and better with the passage of time.
Our UK energy is getting more expensive while staying the same product with the passage of time.
We all notice the direction of travel.
You are right that bringing anything new to the market requires gargantuan amount of effort (==money). And people that begrudge any source of funds-private or public-are anti new technology. However.
You know full well that both sides are need precisely because one does not suffice. If it did-the Soviet Union would have invented the Personal Computer in the 80s too.
10:21 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879108796393410816
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the story where our bodies are carriers of our non-transferable souls—our "programs", the above reads to me as: what happens when those programs don’t die with the bodies?
I suspect some iron law of information or knowledge—a fundamental constraint—stands in the way of soul immortality. Perhaps it's something as omnipresent yet elusive as grokking (though far less straightforward) or complicated, intricate and mysterious like model distillation. (why does it work? do we need to forget some old to learn something new?)
But—we’ll cross that bridge when we get to it.
10:10 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879101204321702214
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Writing boring code is writing solid code if one manages to avoid writing bloated code.
Code that feel exciting and sexy should be flashing "danger, danger" to us but we are but mortal and fall for the fun of it.
9:40 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1879097812484345996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was a fantastic read—thank you. It’s an exhaustive yet succinct chronicle of what transpired, providing wider context while remaining mindful of our limited time and attention.
I can’t help but hope to read a similar "past the peak" chronicle from you—this time about the catastrophism that’s permeated parts of the environmental movement, especially regarding global warming. Perhaps Germany's forthcoming shutdown of reliable, non-carbon nuclear plants—in the midst of a dual crisis of war and energy—will be remembered as the peak of that madness (though hindsight will ultimately decide). Other indicators—such as the visibility of daily carbon intensity comparisons (e.g., France vs. Germany), the UK's record-high energy prices compared to its peers, and nearly a century of experience us humans adapting to increased CO2 levels and rising temperatures—suggest to me that we might already be on that trajectory. TBS.
9:26 AM · Jan 14, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878932040839512372
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
For individual stupidity I liked: individual stupidity is a character failing (bad morals), now intellectual failing (lack of intellect or knowledge).
Also there is "Collective Stupidity", as real as the "Wisdom of Crowds". This by @skdh is excellent
https://youtube.com/watch?v=25kqobiv4ng
We humans are collectively stupid, the mirror image of us being collectively smart.
youtube.com
Collective Stupidity -- How Can We Avoid It?
Go to https://Nautil.us/SABINE and get 15% off your membership!Correction to what I say at 11:53 -- I was referring to Milgram's famous experiments in which...
10:28 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878929673150672990
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
With their LLM-s they have options now they didn't have before. They could really boost the SNR of their feeds.
Say—they can run a post through a simple model like GPT2 (or GPT3), and if it scores high probability with it, as in "it could haven been generated by GPT2", well, then maybe the post is not that informative. Or maybe have the post log-likelihoods difference, post GPT4 minus post GPT2 score.
IDK for sure (never worked in a SocMed Co), but got the impression that the algofeeds use meta-data mostly when deciding which post to push onto millions of user screens. And chiefly - Engagement (other users reactions), and Timeliness (with short half life?).
Algofeed using meta-data mostly strikes me as being "judged on the color of your skin" phase of the Social Network-s, and would be good to transition to "judged on the content of the character", of each and every one of the posts. ☺️ (and downstream - users)
10:18 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878925639102898473
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Exactly this, 100%. Current population bust, is a reversion to the mean, after a huge boom that brought population size up to 8B. Some undershoot on the way of the reversion is to be expected tbh.
The number of humans alive is at All Time High (ATH). For a very long time, humanity had a steady state: for every 5-6 newborn, 3-4 died before they could have kids of their own. So the population was about constant.
Then with the improved living standards post industrial revolution, the 3-4 stopped dying. The 5-6 were still born though—so we got a population boom for a generation-two. Now culture is catching up with the biology.
Personal anecdote: my grandparents on both sides born in the Ottoman empire, end-19c/beg-20c, all had >=6 kids. Their grand/grand/...parents broods of similar sizes all had kids die before their adulthoods. But my grandparents kids (my parents) lived to adulthood and had kids of their own (my generation). My parents siblings were 5-6, but my parents generation had only 2-3 kids themselves.
The reason my parents generation lived is the industrial revolution. Plus—living in an apartment in a city with 1 bedroom per kid puts a limit in way. The extended families moved from the villages to the cities post WW2. The country experienced industrial revolution after 1945. My generation (1968) also has ~2 kids. We were in a position similar to our parents.
It's remarkable that humans do that (many other species don't): during best of times, humans stop multiplying. I'm pro-more humans. I think 80B should be the aim next in the population size. 😶
10:02 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878884084610367833
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good for Zuck. It’d be even better if TechBro TechRight used their newly acquired political power to smash the laws that make LibGen non-legal. Forge the iron while it’s hot, so to speak.
Just hit woke-central Disney while it’s down already. Tear down any and all "IP" laws. The term "Intellectual Property" itself is an unholy concoction—like "Social Science": one word giving credence to the other, where there is none.
There is no "property" that is intellectual. Only evil bean counters and crooked politicians could come up with such a concept.
I don’t think anyone should be jailed or imprisoned for copying or reproducing data I created—whether something I said, wrote, drew, painted, etc. Protecting private physical property is fine—if you take my car, I can’t use it anymore. But walling off information as if it’s physical property? That’s abominable. You can copy and duplicate what’s written here, and I still get to keep it. You’re not depriving me of anything.
I like the symmetry of this. If I want to keep my creations outside the hands of others, I can keep them private. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. I could write this on my laptop, save it in a file, and keep it to myself. Fine.
However, once these words are broadcast—once they’re read, and the ideas expressed here enter someone else’s mind—I believe it’s only fair that the person on the receiving end has the right to use, replicate, or create something from them. After all, they lent me their brain—ideas that originated in my mind now live in theirs.
This uses up their mental "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen—resources they provide. So, they have rights too: the right to do as they please with those ideas, including creating any and all data derived from them. Denying them that right feels deeply churlish, as if it isn’t the most natural thing in the world.
Yes, creators need to be compensated—they deserve to make a living from their work. But this doesn’t extend to their grandchildren. Copyright laws should incentivize creation, not provide luxury for the descendants of the original creator a century later.
Further, isn’t it barbaric that we throw people in jail—imprison them—for this? That we marshal the full force of the state’s repressive apparatus (ultimately backed by its monopoly on violence) for this sorry non-cause? It’s medieval. It’s a failure of imagination and morality alike.
Quote
https://x.com/backus/status/1878484938003034391
John Backus @backus · Jan 12
Zuck approved torrenting and training on LibGen for Llama.
Founder mode.
7:17 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878872661369016767
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A grown up person knows that:
1) You pay lip service to markets.
2) You do different, even the opposite, to what you said.
3) The markets will be content as long as they are making money. And they will be making money with the country doing well.
4) Despite you and them saying different, or even the opposite, of what you are doing in any moment.
Some things are said but not done. Other things exactly the opposite-done but not talked about.
Reeves reminds me of a teachers' pet getting in power, under socialism. Everyone around knows-if you were to follow the loud proclamations everyone nods at, then the system grinds to a halt. The only way the insane asylum can ever work, is for the practicioners to judiciously break some of the rules.
Imagine the horror 😲 of the people around, when they realise the simpleton they positioned in a position of power, has no inner life. S/he lacks "private truths public lies" layer, and actually genuinely believes the nonsense that's talked about. 😂 That they have chosen really a WYSIWYG person.
6:32 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878826597932748885
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Good for Zuck. It’d be even better if TechBro TechRight used their newly acquired political power to smash the laws that make LibGen non-legal. Forge the iron while it’s hot, so to speak.
Just hit woke-central Disney while it’s down already. Tear down any and all "IP" laws. The term "Intellectual Property" itself is an unholy concoction—like "Social Science": one word giving credence to the other, where there is none.
There is no "property" that is intellectual. Only evil bean counters and crooked politicians could come up with such a concept.
I don’t think anyone should be jailed or imprisoned for copying or reproducing data I created—whether something I said, wrote, drew, painted, etc. Protecting private physical property is fine—if you take my car, I can’t use it anymore. But walling off information as if it’s physical property? That’s abominable. You can copy and duplicate what’s written here, and I still get to keep it. You’re not depriving me of anything.
I like the symmetry of this. If I want to keep my creations outside the hands of others, I can keep them private. I don’t have to publish these words or broadcast them to the world. I could write this on my laptop, save it in a file, and keep it to myself. Fine.
However, once these words are broadcast—once they’re read, and the ideas expressed here enter someone else’s mind—I believe it’s only fair that the person on the receiving end has the right to use, replicate, or create something from them. After all, they lent me their brain—ideas that originated in my mind now live in theirs.
This uses up their mental "meat space," their blood sugar, and their oxygen—resources they provide. So, they have rights too: the right to do as they please with those ideas, including creating any and all data derived from them. Denying them that right feels deeply churlish, as if it isn’t the most natural thing in the world.
Yes, creators need to be compensated—they deserve to make a living from their work. But this doesn’t extend to their grandchildren. Copyright laws should incentivize creation, not provide luxury for the descendants of the original creator a century later.
Further, isn’t it barbaric that we throw people in jail—imprison them—for this? That we marshal the full force of the state’s repressive apparatus (ultimately backed by its monopoly on violence) for this sorry non-cause? It’s medieval. It’s a failure of imagination and morality alike.
3:29 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878821129025974507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - brings back the "strong" encryption wars vibes—a sense of déjà vu. Which, of course, invites the obvious Q: "Are they really this clueless?" The only reasonable A? "Yes, of course they are." Naturally.
When I saw news about the latest China data/security breach, where some XYZ agency declared "it advises citizens to use strong end-to-end encryption," I thought "whoa! public & defence policy finally turning a corner into non-brain-dead territory?"
Alas not quite. That was encryption specifically. For AI—maybe they get there in 25 years. It took half a century for encryption to be accepted. Accounting for progress and expectation for younger generations to be generally smarter than their parents, we can hope that AI public policy reaches non-stupid level of competence by 2050.
What they teach at Ivy League schools—the esteemed institutions selecting and educating (in that cursed one word—grooming) rulers of the US (and, by extension, much of the world)—remains a mystery to me. How come they are so painfully comically inept when it comes to anything tech? Often less informed than a random online tech pundit?? How's that even possible?
(quotes around "strong" encryption, as the term still feels oxymoronic—if not strong, it’s not encryption really)
3:07 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878808268489068878
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
One sure way to surprise people is to tell them "you know, information is something we measure; like we have measures meter, kilogram, second etc; well-we have one for amount of information, for quantity of information".
2:16 PM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878612363051765860
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
She should resign then. What's with the me-myself-I narcissism? She tried and fair play to her. Found the state of things, but no ideas forthcoming now. Not ideal, but not a crime either. Now she doesn't have much to add-resign, go. Let someone else have a go. Easy decision.
1:17 AM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878609210830643681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Democracy as in parliamentary democracy where non-trivial proportion of the population can vote- that's quite late, no?
After the printing press I count significant events:
1. Religious wars of extermination in Europe for ~200yrs
2. Solution to the problem of no side being able to exterminate the other-liberalism. Accepting as a solution tolerance of the type-"I don't like you, but will not try to exterminate you" (any more; tried, failed, twas a disaster)
3. The curtailment of absolute monarchical power.
4. The Industrial Revolution(s).
5. The rise of the modern nation-state.
Doesn't democracy with non-trivial franchise come at the tail end of that process? Maybe sooner in USA or France? IDK for sure tbh.
1:05 AM · Jan 13, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878591034264883684
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...just to add: the creators of the half-way house EU is atm were not unaware of the fact that it's half-way house. Afaik they were fully cognisant. But 1/2 is the most they could do with the political will as it was at the time.
And so for the other 1/2: it's a gamble. All other feats of EU integration were done under pressure: it was that, or disaster. So the (ahem) "founding fathers" of the (reverse - ahem - USEU r/evolution) put this bet on: when push comes to shove, the EU-eans will go for more integration, as the alternative at that point will be another disaster.
TBS how it plays out.
11:52 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878584526034882954
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Maybe Macron as EU president post French presidency? At times he seems the only non-NPC with agency in Western Europe. Admittedly - I don't follow much news. I maybe completely wrong.
11:27 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878583681381462500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
After a long while (not commuting anymore) I was driving on Sat and listened to Radio 4 Question Time or Any Questions or Answers or some such selective-VoxPop programme.
The Boomers put on, selected by the programme, were spitting molten lava!! 😂 Not seen such rage-not even the Brexit wars tbh. Volleys of raging anti-Musk fire blasted from the radio!! 😂 Even the presenter seemed taken aback a bit by the ferocity! That was instructive. 😂
I expected Musk's support to be a kiss of death in the UK afas the chattering classes are concerned. But this was an aural sensation to behold. 😂 TBS to what extent same/opposite is true with the other classes.
11:23 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878577725801472064
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes!! Thanks! Botched so badly that the 64-bit extension to the venerable x86 had moniker of AMD64 I thought? (now on $ uname -a I see x86_64 though; thought the instruction set was called AMD64)
I remember the 1st private grid/cluster I used in about ~2005. The PC-s had dual 2 CPU sockets motherboards (no multi-cores then), and it was to everyone's great excitement and anticipation that AMD CPU-s were purchased. ☺️
But Intel recovered for that one quickly I think? The very next generation, maybe it was the 1st multi-core Xeons to come? Don't remember exactly. So I count the Itanium/AMD64 fiasco a half-miss.
But seems Intel didn't learn the lesson and go full paranoid? Because it missed mobile/ARM next, and now the GPU/NPU AI miss 2.5. TBS how many times one can miss and still live. "There is great deal of ruination in a nation" - but a company is not a country.
11:00 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878571969571958935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I did PhD at age 30 after working for some years. It was a blast! ☺️ Got to be poor - yes, but the upsides more than made for it. The freedom to do as I please—and every day, day after day, for years! Meet random people, these people say words, these words blow my mind up!🤯 And this happens weekly!!
Think @karpathy had a post about the upsides—this one probably? Good on you to mention there are upsides. We hear a lot about the downsides—of which there are many. That's true too.
karpathy-why-phd.png
10:37 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878562197497852050
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😁 in the data languages world maybe we got lucky?
A 2D rows-columns rectangle of data is the simplest data structure both necessary & sufficient that covers a 1) matrix 2) Excel spreadsheet 3) SQL table 4) directed graph of nodes and edges.
That simplifies things a lot 😇
9:58 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878555447159877806
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Get lost govnojed. Blocked.
9:31 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878550517426860381
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah I too got the impression that he's demonstrated agency, a will to do things, on a number of occasions.
Latest I suspect Mistral—the only EU footprint in the current ML/AI revolution—maybe his personal doing? Seemed a "better late than never" daring rescue operation as the last train was leaving the station, by Macron personally.
Nothing to do with EC/EU, not even national FR gov level competency. Luring a bunch of Frenchies from SV back to glorious Paris, bringing some ML to FR and EU soil. Macron personally on personal initiative.
I maybe completely wrong ofc—this is just an uninformed outsider personal impression.
9:11 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878545983916957919
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"Writing Solid Code" by Steve Maguire - that ahem often turns to be "writing boring code" - was one reading that helped me. The rare book that is both practical and abstract in the right amounts.
When I come back to a codebase from years ago, and or where errors are not trivial to spot, e.g. data based work like stats, I am grateful for boring, obvious, not oh-so-clever code, that does not need a language lawyer to extend and refresh.
Esp with programs that manipulate the real world: when I find one error, that implies my mental model was incorrect. Now that my mental model was found to be incorrect, that implies there maybe 1000 other errors. 😱😰🤯 Very very worrying.
8:53 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878543606631313586
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Whenever I dare think "ending the curses on humanity like lack of food, shelter, education, love, knowledge etc i.e. solving 8B human want, will lead to planet Earth golden age", people like Jr above waltz in my TL to plant the seeds of doubt.
Imbecile is a harsh word, but the right word for the Jr, I'm very sorry to say. Was he dumped by some ex-ukr-girlfriend maybe?? What can be the matter, for Jr to become such abominable human?
8:44 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878534955849945307
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will Macron be the next EU president once he stops being the president of France?
8:10 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878534665369465254
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
💯!! IDK how's that possible, but it did happen, we bear witness to it!
France succeeds early with nuclear after the 1973 oil-shock, then EU doesn't follow France's lead, but instead follows Germany—Germany!! with its historic 20th Century record—in phasing out nuclear power. 😭😂
The madness, the madness of it 😱
8:09 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878533400610365507
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(...maybe Macron post him being president of France, elbowing himself into a position of president of EU-whatever, maybe their best shot to turning things around?)
8:03 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878532063554400679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Oh boy oh boy - "hegalian dialectic exercise"!!! 😂😂😂 Are you academic as well??? The OP I excuse on 2 accounts 1) academia; and 2) California.
(there's something in the water and or the air in CA; all manner of crazy, good and bad, emanates and takes root in CA)
You can read Putin what he thinks, he keeps telling us on kremlin dot ru, and goes into the trouble of translating it for us into English! And we have 30 years of what the RUS elite and plebs think of UKR nation, language, nationhood etc - the whole package. And the prior 200 years of UKR struggle for nationhood, and RUS opinion of that.
And so on and so on. It's not that hard to see 1) who wants what, both UKR and RUS; 2) what's i/moral in the circumstance.
7:58 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878508912489664935
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Afraid all of us are incredibly naive—verging on malevolent!—while it suits us.
The European liberal class—of which the established elites are drawn from—will be among the last to feel the results of their dunder-headed policies.
Silver lining—they do provide entertainment.
👇👇👇 The entire thread is comedy gold.😂😂😂
https://x.com/mmjukic/status/1878424518294700421
6:26 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878499664686907614
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK what was signed-wasn't there, have not seen nor read what was signed. (or not)
There are about 20 significant various agreements, memorandums, etc signed (and broken) over the few decades of recent history. Even more in the past.
IDK what kind of mythical meaning this particular document acquired in your head. As you don' explicitly write. So don't have much to discuss, except for the most general - like "one piece of evidence" etc.
My reading comprehension is fine-thank you. Although it's easy atm, as you write nothing much.
(you still bring the MSM like NYT as if this is some kind of trump card in anything; like "even NYT reports"-so that means is def happened? or def did not happen? IDK what you mean tbh; for me NYT is not that reliable, so whatever their report, it shifts the probability of the thing being true or false either way by a little, but not by much)
5:49 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878494882324529417
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"A single guy saying X Y Z is equivalent to a single paper reporting their findings."
"...reading comprehension."
5:30 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878493428666790013
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Apple silicon M1-M4 beat Intel in their CPU game. Single core performance match or better, at reduced power consumption. I thought that impossible. Now it's reality. And - Intel is not capable of catching up it seems. Even while knowing what they need to do. Just can't do it.
5:25 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878491960723308783
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"My response might be"—but it is not. I'm astounded by that reading comprehension. Have not read or listened to that particular guy. But have read/listened other sources, know about the history of the region etc.
A single guy saying X Y Z is equivalent to a single paper reporting their findings. It is not zero, but it is but a grain of evidence in a sand hill needed for us to decide if some effect is true or not. We don't decide on a single anything, no matter what.
5:19 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878489346837295515
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agree on avoidable, disagree on neutrality.
Neutrality is not acceptable to RUS—so it will not happen. RUS thinks it needs control over UKR—and that's what matters. For a war one side suffices. (for peace 2 sides are needed)
UKR should have kept its nuclear deterrent. No invasions happen in that branch of alternate reality. Future events shown them right -
* Shevardnadze (1993) "Ukraine should keep one functioning nuclear missile on its territory to ward off any madman";
* Mearsheimer (1993) https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf.
Poland + Nordics + Finland + Balts will be forced into own independent nuclear deterrent. Or RUS will destroy them. They can't even the conventional weapons imbalance. Berlin is Ribbentrop 2 level, Paris not that rattled, London far away and weak to do much, US may as well be on another planet.
(1939 on repeat; those that fail to learn, are bound to...)
5:08 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878477936266797432
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
On Ukraine invasion we have preponderance of evidence from all sides. Not the least on X! And from primary sources.
Yourself are doing a variant of what you accuse the others. Mindlessly multiplying with (-1) where they use (1) on the personal preferential sources. GPT3.5 level
4:23 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878463529277075516
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh I was in year 3 (out of 5) at Uni when it hit me that "no one can teach you something they don't know themselves". 😂
Slow learner me right there. 😂
Probably about year 1999, being taught the then "new computer language called C". Had already learned it from the PC computer magazines of the time, and gotten bit of experience programming in C. 😊
Was waiting on the lecturer to teach us the really cool bits, the ones I didn't know of. Then the course ended. In a moment I somehow realised there will be nothing else forthcoming. I had known more C than the lecturer to start with. He couldn't teach me anything. 😭
3:26 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878447247269978470
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
👇👇👇 the whole thread is just golden 😂😂😂
Quote
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878447247269978470
Marko Jukic @mmjukic · 8h
Replying to @mmjukic
"BIG MISUNDERSTANDING: EU bureaucrats apologize for mixing up instructions. They thought the Ghost of Napoleon asked them to heavily regulate SPACE ROCKETS and NUCLEAR POWER while subsidizing IMMIGRATION and BICYCLES. Actually it was the REVERSE. Many apologies for the mixup!"
Show more
2:21 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1878445251532067238
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I've seen "solve cooperation, then solve everything else" someplace.
I'd say your's "coordination" is better, as it encompasses both cooperation (which is 1/2) and competition (the other 1/2).
So "solve coordination, then solve everything else" :-)
2:13 PM · Jan 12, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877758087806726591
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Easy--it's axiomatic: species that didn't instil programming into the individuals to do what you describe above, didn't survive for you to see it, study it, find about it etc. These species just died off.
4:43 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877752734197190795
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Part of me wants to check see if there is anything there not mentioned in @cgpgrey 's "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" https://youtube.com/watch?v=cZYNADOHhVY adaptation of https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.
But then I think--nah, probably not, and life's too short to waste time on that article. 😆
youtube.com
Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant
Adapted from Nick Bostrom's paper: https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.htmlMade possible with the support of my Bonnie Bees: https://www.patreon.com/cgpgrey...
4:21 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877744813530869992
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Us, the LH leaseholders, people that actually pay those service charges, should be appointing the MA managing agents. Then bad performing MA-s will then be sacked, and the system will work without drama. As it works well for 1000s other things daily.
Let us for once not default to unthinking, stupid bureaucracy, coupled with insensitivity - because it's the easy road. Lets take the slightly harder road - resist the malign special interests of the FH freeholders. Because ill thought regulation will lead to bad outcomes - the costs will be passed on us LH, and with additional "premium" (profit) for the FH/MA on the top.
We should all have learned what to expect by now. At this point wilful ignorance is malevolence.
Quote
David Pinto-Duschinsky MP @DavidPintoD · 21h
Enough is enough. Myself and @RNBlake have convened a new group of more than 60 Labour MPs, set up to secure a better deal for leaseholders.
This Labour Government will reform the leasehold system. Our group will do all it can alongside that to hold failing managing agents to
Show more
Show this thread
3:50 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877709731034272151
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
IDK but I read somewhere description "nostalgia for future that didn't happen, but could have happened" and that rang true to me as a description of the phenomenon.
1:31 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877705732902011285
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Musk is pro-China - you will hear nothing from Musk on this.
1:15 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877699520102084802
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
When you are a bot account "AaaBbbb12345", you should be more agreeable to maintain your reach, "mate". Blocked.
@elonmusk Sick and tired of not being able to weed out/in by-type of account. E.g. "Unknown", "Real person but maybe not name", "Real person and real name", etc. You already have them internally. Just expose them in the user interface. Longer term - it's for the better, no matter what your A/B testing tells you.
In the mean time - block and mute, as only options available.
12:50 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877694167377195367
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Worse than useless - actively harmful. It will achieve little, cost a lot, and those costs will be passed unto us, the LH leaseholders.
Topped up with additional profit for the FH/MA semi-criminal combo, to add insult to the injury. This is unthinking stupid birocracy, coupled with insensitivity, leading to bad outcomes we have learned to expect by now.
At this point willful ignorance is malevolence.
12:29 PM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877640269215965549
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and another data point the latest victim (it seems) - Intel. Didn't stay paranoid, missed mobile/ARM 1st, and now the GPU/NPU AI 2nd miss. TBS how many times one can miss and still live. "Great deal of ruination in a nation" - but a company is not a country too.
8:54 AM · Jan 10, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877369949175292145
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In the UK we have the most expensive energy in the world. I hear lately. Ofc it creates "value"-anything over and above criminality creates value.
The real question is-how much "value", and would something else create more "value". I chalk this to "socialists can't add numbers"
3:00 PM · Jan 9, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877129583583002690
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That all is true. However. If CON did nothing - that is not now a reason for LAB to do nothing too. By that logic, nothing ever improves. LAB are supposed to do much better than CON. They have huge mandate to do so.
11:05 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877119622199021948
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No. The reason fiat currency is so valuable is simple: if I refuse to surrender a set number of pounds back to the UK government every year—my taxes—I’ll end up in prison or worse (and ultimately, dead).
If that sword of Damocles weren’t hanging over my head, I’d still use pounds as currency, but with much less drama. It wouldn’t be a life-or-death matter.
Bitcoin could potentially become the new fiat—but only if the US government, run by tech bros, forces us to adopt it at the barrel of a gun. Otherwise? No.
Ideally—if we truly value liberty à la Friedman—states, municipalities, towns, and yes, individuals ourselves would all issue a cornucopia of currencies. Tokens, if you prefer.
We’d then each use our best judgment, naturally favoring some tokens over others, driving their exchange rates through collective action.
I’d imagine personal tokens might look a lot like the stars we earn as customers on Uber or our local supermarket loyalty cards. A sort of social credit, if you like—only driven by voluntary exchange rather than imposed by central authority.
10:26 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877095587037794745
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god - I roast you mildly from time to time (mostly in my own head) for your symbolics bias (as perceived by myself), but - you do deliver!
The previous one with .@jeffclune was a joy to listen to too. You are on a roll - keep going. 😁 Kudos well done you 👍👏
8:50 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877086487038316725
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Of course we are. Slow learners, with big egos. That's us - humans.😁
Earth is special, whole Cosmos revolves around it, and by extension - us!, then - Copernicus. 😳
We are special He made us in His likeness, then - Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life?? 😰
But uh-ah-ok - we are at least *rational* animals! - then, Freud! 🧐
(admit to tad a guilty pleasure 😈)
8:14 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877083901799313887
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I hear you, and it’s heartwarming to see people believing they’d do better. However…
I lived through moderately hairy stuff in the 1990s. I was lucky. Plenty of people, exactly like me, had it a million times worse.
We both overestimate and underestimate humans. When push comes to shove, most will remain indifferent—just as they did when ships full of Jewish refugees were turned back, condemning them to their deaths at the hands of the Nazis.
But a few—just a few—will be breathtakingly, impossibly brave. They’ll risk life and limb, their own safety, and the safety of their dearest, because they cannot do what the majority does. They cannot bring themselves to do the wrong thing, even when the cost is catastrophic ruin for themselves and their loved ones.
It’s not logic. It’s not calculation. They simply cannot. A bona fide miracle against the odds.
These are the righteous. They suffer terribly for it. But these 1-in-a-million souls are the ones who keep the light from being extinguished during the darkest of times.
(my two cents—apologies, I got sentimental)
8:04 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877063606488969347
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You assume "plunges EU states into crisis". But this "may not be so". It's a very peculiar (one might say - neoliberal) view of what should happen. The empirical evidence for that is mixed. Russia itself being the latest counter-example. Contrary to your expectation - extra state spending may jump start sclerotic EU economies. Even if that does not translate in better living standards. But translates to - more weapons, less butter, bad for the citizens' standards of living, but good for the economies as measured in GDP, output etc.
6:43 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1877009396078694755
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Can think of reasons-even with a LM-like
1-lots of columns, inversion is hard to impossible, so use SGD to avoid that; although one can address the inversion problem directly
2-the objective is not Least Squares, but some other objective, closed form does not apply; e.g. got L1 or L2 of the coefficients in the objective
3-there are constrains on the coefficients, closed form does not apply anyway, it's going to be search no matter what
4-data coming in streaming, not all data is available at once, or taking all data in is too much data, or we exp decay the data by time anyways, or ... - so for the "Stochastic" bit
Also with the "iterative" part-one can stop early or latter, depending on some computer and or time budget. And even-gasp! gulp!-the stochasticity: with adding noise, may actually help one get out of a saddle point or some such. :-)
Although the last maybe more hopium than anything else. 😂 Don't recall ever "seeing" it tbh. Tbf doesn't "see" much in any non-trivial-dimensional spaces anyways.
3:08 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876977087782732159
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Stupidity will invariably come up at some point. Keep in mind: stupidity is a moral failing, a character fault, not lack of knowledge. 😬
12:59 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876972322277519721
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are so many misconceptions about this, that one can spend a a lifetime correcting people, and still fail.
No obligation of any kind on the part of Ukraine ever existed. Verbal or written.
(you are likely referring to "not one inch" verbal words given by Baker, to to someone on the other side in the Soviet Union, about stationing NATO soldiers in East Germany; at the point when German unification was discussed; when the Soviet Union still existed, and no one could dream that it would stop existing; that it had nothing to do with Ukraine has been explained 1000 times, and including by Gorbacov himself; It's all online for anyone with the will to find out)
Likewise, no obligation on anyone to defend Ukraine exists.
(the likely referenced Budapest memorandum is only about this: Russia, USA, UK to 1-respect the borders of Ukraine 2-not use force against Ukraine 3-not use economic coercion 4-seek UN SC action to provide assistance to Ukraine if Ukraine is attacked by any weapons, or threatened to be attacked by nuclear weapons; the document is 3 pages long, pdf is online with UN accessible to all)
12:40 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876965013166211092
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
No one has worked out a closed form solution. If it exists at all. For those models, that are much more complicated than the linear model. Implicit in your LR question.
And even if closed form solution existed, it maybe, that there will be an operation there - like that matrix inversion in your OLS closed form - that the computation of may end up using iterative optimisation anyways.
12:11 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876962175119441974
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Indeed it should be for the better. (although, khmkhm-Merkel-the-scientist cautionary tale...) But impossible for one person to build a party machine in a lifetime.
Only realistic option is a) take over an existing party (even that is hard - need a group) b) hitch a ride on a one-parson-celebrity replacing a party (Musk on Trump).
12:00 PM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876957873344803208
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Agreed 100%. That's why it persists, that's why it's hard to do much about it. However.
Our cultural adaptations do evolve much more quickly than biological ones. Our environment is the human group. There our human groups sizes, starting with hundreds (<1e3), have increased to to hundreds thousands (<1e6), and now to hundreds millions (<1e9).
Next ones (in the distant futures; will miss that) will expect them to be human groups sizes of less than hundreds billions (<1e12). There will be much more communication in those groups. Much higher SNR will be needed too. Truthfulness, trustiness in general, feeds into that.
11:43 AM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876922810418741730
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
·
Wish X auto-translates posts to language of choice (e.g. English) without pedestrian "translate for me" click at non-"my-language-as-set" posts.
It'd be a flex if it were the other way around: default auto-translate Babelfish style, only on demand rarely "show me the original".
9:24 AM · Jan 8, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876778968331809125
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
To me that seems a plus, not a minus. What does he gain by inventing a new FB name for the same? What does he lose by saying "yeah community notes - yay". Afaics - nothing and nothing. Simpler this way, straightforward.
11:52 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876767676669849846
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
fao @elonmusk - Xhouse FTW
make housing 10x times cheaper, and solve this "young people can't have no kids" cr*p
Quote
https://x.com/jonatanpallesen/status/1876553465029148968
Jonatan Pallesen @jonatanpallesen · Jan 7
This paper indicates the possibility that we could essentially solve the fertility crisis in the West if housing was made acquirable for people when they are young.
It makes intuitive sense that if people don't have space to have kids near to where they want to live, they will x.com/florianederer/…
Show more
11:07 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876766234835861568
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Eh - TBH I'm surprised it's only ~2x times the Lizardman constant. Expected worse.
The arguments you will hear will be similar to the ones in the "do not die" and longevity debates. Some mentioned in e.g. @cgpgrey's "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant" https://youtube.com/watch?v=cZYNADOHhVY adaptation of https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.
One new one (for me) I saw yesterday (in the context 60M dude) was "it's like playing a computer game with cheat codes/hack that gives you infinite lives". Apparently - for some the game loses the appeal then.
That is lost on me. For the longest time I played first C64 then PC game PCMAN even after I was motivated enough to find the infinite lives myself and use them. So the kind of loss of motivation as described above is not something I can comprehend - how, why.
The variation in human preferences and desires always surprises me-how wide it is. How varied humans are culturally/in software, even while being very similar biologically/in hardware. I did 1 yr national service at 18 yo. Only really useful thing I gout out of it was I got to observe a cross-section of society I wouldn't have observed otherwise.
Saw many functionally illiterate, stupid to the point of being danger to themselves, people, as well as a small share of truly evil psychopaths, but also good, honest and rare brilliant guys. The differences were like between earth and sky, night and day.
Made me appreciate the dual roles of selection as well as education. Also probably got bit of a foretaste how life maybe be if I ever find myself imprisoned. (for any actual war fighting skills - it was a total waste of time, convinced me that a conscript army will be routed by a professional foe in a real war)
youtube.com
Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant
Adapted from Nick Bostrom's paper: https://nickbostrom.com/fable/dragon.htmlMade possible with the support of my Bonnie Bees: https://www.patreon.com/cgpgrey...
11:01 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876739166639157500
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
(the last words reminded me of "... the models want to learn" by Ilya)
9:14 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876736800422531270
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You missed the "... have to(1) ... for money(2)" parts?
No one is stopping anyone working for no money. (2)
No one is stopping anyone working for fun, fulfilment, for any reason, and including paid work for money. (1)
Only--that you don't *have to* work. I think the meaning of "have to" in the question is: right now, if I don't get money for my work, I'd go hungry, homeless, and may soon die. So given I want to live not die, I have to work, and work for money.
In OP hypothetical question--only the threat of death is removed. Nothing else changes. Is my reading of it.
9:04 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876732513034404129
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
The effects of lying—both in our personal lives and in public life—are vastly understated. Lying should be treated a much more serious transgression than it is made of now.
Violence in all forms used to be much more acceptable than it is now. I suspect if this civilisation is still on 1K yrs from now, that lying will be treated similarly unacceptable then.
8:47 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876716669571317873
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I meant something more radical—flip the defaults entirely. All UK government business should be public by default and secret by specific request. Every document available on publicly accessible web servers or read-only shared drives. Lawmaking done on something like Westminster Wiki: version-controlled, timestamped, and transparent to all.
In the UK, it seems we learn painfully slowly—often years or even decades after the fact. Usually through parliamentary inquiries or special commissions. Scandals keep piling up: contaminated blood transfusions killing innocents, Post Office managers wrongly jailed, people burned alive due to lax building regulations, now latest the failures in addressing grooming rape gangs. Possibly more to come—leasehold? family courts?
Looking at these cases back, I can’t think of a single instance where someone would say: “It would’ve been better if this had stayed secret for longer.” On the contrary—more people knowing more, earlier, would have been better. More just, more corrective.
As for oversight bodies—I’m instinctively wary of relying too heavily on them. Who oversees the overseers? The top of the pyramid is too tempting a prize; immense effort will always go into capturing that citadel. And too much centralization risks paralysis—a state the hyper-centralized UK system seems stuck in right now.
Perhaps it’s better to have a dozen or so centers of power, all overseeing each other in an overlapping mesh of accountability. Harder to capture, harder to paralyze, and—hopefully—harder for rot to take hold.
Radical transparency imo is the sensible first step.
7:44 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876706340787114355
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Now Cline in VSEditor, previously aider in the command line.
7:03 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876704529086865485
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That was an absolute joy to listen to. 🤩
Serendipity got a mention more than once. Reminded me of one of my favourite books "Happy Accidents. Serendipity in Major Medical Breakthroughs in the Twentieth Century" by Morton Meyers. Also about discovery. Maybe of interest to some.
Wish you every success in the future.
6:56 PM · Jan 7, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876342602657898928
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hate to be that guy, but it's not "ortodox xmas". Ortodox churches e.g. greek, bulgarian, poss romanian?-do use the more correct calendar. RUS church calendar is brain dead on their own terms, e.g. how's "New Year" then on 1-Jan etc. It's just stupid-but it's as per the course.
6:58 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876326737782714798
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Haha - what goes around, comes around. Europeans have not been exactly shy about their opinions of US politics.
UK's liberal center - 1st CON 14 yrs, now LAB - have shown disturbing lack of interest in governing.
FT Ganesh "but is it true" critique a month-two ago was spot on.
5:55 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876324322752831552
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't envy public health officials anywhere. Once it gets to personal life (and death) it's but impossible to hope for a reasonable policy.
Even before that, qualifiers like "none, some, any, all" just woosh over the heads of most people, unnoticed.
Putting people in 2 groups, then observing not only how many, but what fraction of each group experiences something bad (e.g. death), and than saying "we will take the road that leads to the smaller of the two numbers", even if both are non-zero, is some kind of dark art in the minds of most people.
Saying "I don't know which one of you will die, but I can guess how many" somehow is taken as an attack on their persona.
The fact that public health, as they too are made of humans, individually and as an ogranisation organisation will get things wrong too, make bad decisions etc - makes the problems 10x times worse.
On and on it goes. Mission impossible. Slow learners, with big egos.
5:45 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876288670220661189
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
As a first step, we need total surveillance of institutions. A Panopticon—not for us, the citizens, but for the institutions. Institutions that, in theory, exist to serve everyone: individuals as well as the organizations that form the mesh of modern society.
Radical transparency is a necessary, though not sufficient, condition for detecting, correcting, and preventing the kind of institutional decay you describe. The smaller, everyday "cancers" of blind conformity and unchecked careerism metastasize precisely because most institutions lack sufficient feedback loops to self-correct.
Yes—knowing is different from acting. But the system must first know before it can act. Transparency is the enabler of that first step.
After all, even the longest journey begins with a single step.
Radical transparency FTW!
3:24 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876251499267019122
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😆 haha - I had a biloogical cell in mind, but I guess a prison cell analogy works too?
12:56 PM · Jan 6, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876032952888705244
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
13 or 14 yo, at the end of the penultimate year of elementary school, on the friend's Sinclair ZX Spectrum 16K :-)
10:28 PM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1876014489289854996
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't understand how this insane idea that we should not be judging people by their actions, and the outcomes of their actions, came to be tbh.
9:14 PM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875849756804829357
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey what vim/cmd line tools are these? What are you using? Fellow vim/git user here. So far I tried semi-automatic chat, cursor, aider, now VSCode+Cline+OpenRouter Sonet/Deepseek. If it were possible to get the Cline-like workflow in vim that'd improve my life quality - thanks.
10:20 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875848331693580667
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Will Grok ever be able to auto-translate X posts without a pedestrian "translate this one for me" to non-English language posts?
It'd be a cool flex if it were the other way around: default automatic translation Babelfish style, and only on demand rarely "show me the original".
10:14 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875726682566668633
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In my house I got away with 3 pairs of PowerOverEthernet (PoE) like these https://amazon.co.uk/TL-PA9020PKIT-Passthrough-Powerline-Configuration-UK/dp/B01FFBN4MO/ connecting WiFi hotspots to the switch going to the cable modem and WAN. But I presume you investigated PoE already.
From amazon.co.uk
2:11 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875724617551376847
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF "who, whom" is the standard mode of operation of like 60-70% of humans. It's ever a minority that's into "is it true". I understand better now how it is, that for most of the history, most of humanity, is run by monsters.
2:02 AM · Jan 5, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875611897221009477
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
"is it true" supplanting "who, whom" 😇
what a time to be alive
6:34 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875590883153998330
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
ah - I mixed by natural with ecological there, my bad 😂
5:11 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875590142372577679
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Don't want to sound like 1000 year old, but - EM is not the exception but the rule. Like many other media moguls before: acquire control of the media to bend the world towards their wishes. Murdoch, Turner etc, also BBC controlled by the UK gov - same thing.
For us the buystanders the Q should not be "who, whom" (that you are asking), but it should be "is it true?" Do we think 20yrs of rape and muder of (underage) girls as documented and described in some length, is true, or not? And was enough done about it, or not?
5:08 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875586719065813279
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh - don't fall for "natualist" falacy.
Everything that exists is "natural", axiomatically so. 😇
4:54 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875575073454616946
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
TBF he is attacking the political wing of the liberal elite, and the one that most failed at that.
Not Europe. NB how italian PM is not attacked. And also France Macron is not.
The ruling class is making things fairly easy for him, e.g. with the stuff like below 👇
Us bystanders look at the spectacle, and think - do we want more of the thing on the left, or the thing on the right.
The rulling elite fails are many, and are catching up with them.
Without prejudice and presumption, a tip. When judging, at historic turns like the moment we live in, the right Q is "is it true"? (and the wrong Q is "who, whom")
4:08 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875540913486803296
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You love the country - good, so do I and many others.
Does your love include loving the people? Does it inlude loving the persons that have been terribly griviously wronged? For decades? And in part by inaction as well as action by your comrades in ideology?
What do you love more - your comrades, or the truth?
Re-read from one of our own -
https://ft.com/content/b82bb503-21bb-4d64-8f72-6c6801f3b196
1:52 PM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875508793968042199
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
X is not real life, and TV dramas are not real life either.
This is like witnessing two baldies get in a fight over a comb. The difference being - EM has siginficant means to affect change. While yours are more limited. 😁
"International law against insultation of the holly Jess" is good one though. 😂 Can imagine random UN body chaired by the Afghan Taleban, plus few middle eastern kingdoms' UN ambasadors in session, proclaming on how the women folk of the world are to live their lives. 😂 v.funny tbh
11:45 AM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875505736282992957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 Tell us more pls. Tell all what "they will never be able to do", and date stamp it by posting it here.
Makes for a good challenge to motivate the doers, and for some entertainment for us bystanders.
11:33 AM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875500925013434669
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not saying you are wrong there, but: me and youself are expessing opinions only. EM is doing (or saying will do) more than that. He'll put money where his mouth is, to affect the outcome. That's why the selected-elected ruling class takes notice of EM.
Not a terrible outcome TBH. As it seems voters don't put enough of "fear of god" unto them. The rulling class is too comfortable, too sloppy, still in the "business as usual" a-crisis-is-a-PR-crisis-only mode, not feeling enough of voter pain.
Looks we are in a type of imbalance predicament where "moar stick, less carrot" is needed.
11:14 AM · Jan 4, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875316390087020959
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes - he's putting pressure on UK gov.
But overthrow? How, by what mechanics? The government commands a large majority in Parliament. Next election is years away.
Musk is popular on X, but vast majority of UK population has unfavorable opinion on him. And getting worse.
11:00 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875292304673796409
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
thanks boss. bashrc - one can wrap around the conda cr*p a function like so
conda_setup() {
# >>> conda initialize >>>
...conda commands...
# <<< conda initialize <<<
}
so that
1. the conda installer can update at will (not commented out)
2. one can run conda_setup at will
9:25 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875279866985349525
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I fear you are right there. That's why they do it.
And there is no easy remedy, that one. We can only console with "worst system except for all the others tried" etc etc.
8:35 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875265402449637438
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Arranging a Blood Test appointment that GP kindly asks me to do once yearly is as follows.
1. Initiate appointment - goto web site my-GP-co-uk.
2. Click "Contact Us Online".
3. Click "I have an admin query".
4. Click "I confirm none are present".
5. Click "Something else", click "Continue".
6. Fill the text box with the query ("I need a BP test appointment please"), click Continue.
7. Select "Contact by SMS" as means of receiving a link back.
8. Receive SMS code to confirm the phone number.
9. Type the sms code in the form, fill contact details, click Submit.
10. Receive SMS back from the GP, with a link.
11. Forward the SMS as email to myself, then click on the link.
12. A web form opens, select the date-time, click Submit.
13. Receive sms with confirmation.
Only today at step 12 the web form timed out, never got to step 13. IDK but suspect b/c it was between hours 12-1pm when I clicked - the GP reception is closed. IK b/c at that time one can not initiate the process, i.e. step 2/3 is not possible.
I will repeat the process on Monday, but with added complication to find out if I have an appointment or not first. A lot of people just give up. Most have other things to do, like - work for a living.
This or similar level of sabotage I suspect is repeated with million sub-units that make up the NHS, when they communicate between themselves daily.
I was told at various times about random privacy "concerns" and similar, as that being the reason the GP can't email me and neither can I email them, how they can't remember save by mobile number etc.
I would have non-zero level of sympathy with the crazies like the good Dr, if it was not for the fact, that in their private lives, they have zero problem using Gmail, Facebook, Twitter, and volunteering their entire private lives to these "evil corporations" and un-anonymised for a good measure!
7:38 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875257141704966508
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Ganesh @ FT had an article few months ago of this failure mode of the liberal class. Then I thought could have been titled "...yes - But Is It True?"
Just unbeleivable that needs to be spelled out repeatedly to a significant portion. Even today noticed a few still bleating the same.
(found it - the link is here https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1843567980208083027)
7:05 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875199113307750628
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I don't see how tbh. There's no mechanism for that, that I can see myself. Would you care to elucidate?
We had election recently. LAB Keir command huge impenetrable majority in Westminster.
The CON part of the duopoly have shown themselves uninterested in governing, useless and worse for a decade+.
REF - thin on people, and plenty right-wokies there. TBS they are anything more than a protest cosplay larp.
LDM with the sandal hippies departing to the GRN should be a LAB challenger. But still ton of NIMBY boomers there. So far not even trying at open goals e.g. Leasehold. May yet surprise given ED shown himself willing to circus for votes.
What else is there?
3:14 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875190351604117693
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
They are on strike. 😁
They are selected then elected to make a decision, to decide. The electorate grants them that power.
Yet they refuse to exercise it. What a curious case. Do they hope for second terms, so refuse to take on risk? Is it about character? IDK. A mystery.
2:39 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875187988998901913
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Best thing ever that happened to me. Having kids. Had I known what I know now - would have wanted for more, and earlier. Tell younger people - babies take little space, and ask for almost nothing but time and attention. That we mostly have enough to give tbh.
2:30 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875185405798293618
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
His intellectual argument is between weak and non existent. Even on in its own terms. No - ideology is not above calling out evil.
A lifetime of education lost on him. Only explanation I got - weak character, weakling. Taking the easy wrong road in preference to the right one.
2:20 PM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875149866965332031
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Not this one though. Not capable. What you see now is what you will get in the next 4-5 years.
It's going to be a frustrating slog. Everyone can see, except the selected-elected few that hold monopoly on the power to do something about it.
That invites the follow up: how is it, that the same circumstance arises, even if the characters personalities change?
11:59 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875131738164207616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
A chore but not super hard to see the surplus ; at the end of the for loop line. But that's not the point.
The point is to ask yourself "how do I prevent this from hapenning again tomorrow", and or "how does the computer catch this auto-magically tomorrow".
The only guide I know of and found it useful that deals with the above has been "Writing Solid Code" by Steve Maguire. If people have similar pointers - grateful if they share them, thanks.
10:46 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875126935480586301
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
😂 If the leader was capable of all these things - the leader would not be in the current predicament. He knows, we learn as much from his words, but he is not capable of executing on any of that.
Like Nokia knew they have to produce an iPhone competitor for 10yrs, but they could not do it. Like german car manufacturers now know they have to produce a competitive EV, but they can't do it.
Don't expect this to percolate into the thick skulls and smooth brains of the commentariat. For a wordcel - puting words on screen *is* doing it.
Commedy gold. What spectacle. At least got something to laugh about in our predicament. 😂
10:27 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1875123722472083616
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
My god how are you a historian. Most well known monsters in history had noble goals. "Glory to the people, first among nations, servant of the people" etc. When people proclaim "noble goal" - they may well be you know, just deluded, wrong, or just lying evil monsters. Fail, F.
10:15 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874975437648199702
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
That long-form blob is an anti-pattern for X.
Short posts work because the author splits their ideas into discrete chunks—one idea per chunk, if you will. Quanta of ideas. Each post goes on to have a semi-independent life, discussed at different times, by different people, in different contexts.
X should offer a "split long post" feature. The author writes their long post, and X either auto-splits it (based on formatting cues) or assists in splitting it into a thread of properly sized posts. Each cut happens cleanly at natural breakpoints, preserving clarity and flow.
This approach would respect the format and spirit of the platform while solving the long-form problem elegantly.
12:25 AM · Jan 3, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874968118185136144
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yes. Cromagnons and Neanderthals had access to the same natural resources as we have now. They didn't do anything with it, b/c they had no use of it. B/c they lacked the knowledge that we have now, to do with it something useful for us.
11:56 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874954323102454166
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
It may sound crazy talk, but "what's not impossible can happen, however improbable": the LDM-REF challenging, if not replacing LAB-CON duopoly.
LDM maybe better liberals than Starmerites. REF maybe better conservatives than Torries. Events maybe ticking that way.
11:02 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874889829223117155
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Unlike yourself, which is ...???... none of the things you object to? Phleease. Enough of this self-pitying self-agrandisment.
"They are just like us". Unlike the other computers, the PDP-computers are "just like us". They are the best models we have of how we are.
Don't feel bad though please. 😊 Your thinking is as per the course.
First-Earth was special, whole Cosmos revolved around it - and by extension, us! of course - then-Copernicus. 😳
Latter-we were special, He made us in His likeness, then-Darwin. Just another leaf on the tree of life... 😰
Uh-oh tad uncomfortable but but - we are at least *rational* animals! - then-Freud. 🧐
Slow learners, with big egos.
hinton-they-think-just-like-us-20241026.mp4
6:45 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874888295416778937
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Depends what do you mean by "in/separable".
All "I" have a membrane, a wall, as a step in the creating the "I". The wall is not impenetrable though! In fact - if it were inepentrable, "I" would not live for long.
But the wall is controlable by "I". The cell decides what in-/out-s through the cell membrane are. I decide what I eat and drink, what I see and hear. And so on.
6:39 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874887089227001874
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hey @EdwardJDavey leader of @LibDems , hello @TweetingCollins my MP.
Get on this policy and collect "up to" 5M more votes come next elections.
You are not getting free suits free ties free dinners free concerts free nothing from the crooked developers anyways, no?
You have nothing to lose, and you may win the keys to No.10. The LAB-CON crooked establishment is weak and may well give way, rocked by many scandals+coverups yet to come and outrage the public.
Use your chance.
Quote
Harry Scoffin @HarryScoffin · 6h
It’s disturbing and revealing that the @RFAssociation are openly celebrating @UKLabour’s new approach on leasehold.
Campaigners against injustice should challenge state power, not be seduced by it.
We need all groups to be consistently pushing for Operation Warp Speed here. x.com/freeleasehlder…
Show more
6:34 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874884980364521879
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Well - "incredible" if one has rose tinted glasses tbh.
If one is - ahem - more cinical, one might say it's per the course. Sunak had no better policies at his disposal. Before the XL Bully, and after the XL Bully too. After the sucess, one might have thought, that Sunak wd 1) fire his useless advisors, SpAds etc; and 2) hire Dr Newport. Did he though? Nope.
If one is brutal - the Sunaks' political class are imbeciles, led by their politics-adjescent advisors, think-thankers etc, that are themselves idiots. Judged by results not by their characters. (I'm sure they are all fine humans on average)
Which leads us to - how come? How come the cheating lying Trump is the president, and a person capable of making magic stuff happen irl like Musk, is his advisor? Taking orders from Trump. One phone call away from "You Are Fired". And not the other way around.
The above has been, and still is, the norm, not the exception. This is what on average, in aggregate, the electorate want, and vote for, again and again, all things considered.
Suggestions for improvements on that welcome.
6:26 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874863487068832209
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
@TomPMarshall Replying out of thread.
The good Dr H Wazir blocked me, can't reply in-thread. I blocked her in return. Tit-for-tat is fine cooperation-competition strategy, not much wrong there.
She strikes me as an agitator, organiser, union rep busy bee. Holding the magephone and shouting slogans on the picket line. Not someone concerned with ideas or ideologies. Not much point in discussion there.
I wish her luck. As someone who finances the NHS, and uses the NHS, my interests mostly align with hers, even if they are not 100% aligned. For, NHS was created by "stuffing doctors' mouths with gold", in part.
There is a strain of "we the public/financiers, and the patients/users", are here for them, people working in the NHS, rather than the other way around. That paternalistic and self-serving narative was on display during Covid in the "Save our NHS" slogan.
Which was bonkers. NHS is there to save us, the patients. Not the other way around. But it's per the course to stumble into pseudo-religious fervour in our un-religios age. So don't begrudge that to them, nor the Great British pubic, that much.
For - there are plenty other things worse. NHS have much credit to use up on my account. Remember the local newspaper stories from early Covid. Quite a few retied doctors and other staff, that came back to help, suffered horendeosly (died, perished) in the initial Covid wave. (as it hit oldies dis-proportionatelly)
Anyways. This is a ToC of my posts in the thread. As X does not make it easy to read long chains.
1) Data for all free no restrictions benefits me the current patient, and benefits future patiens. The fears are overblown and have not been born by reality
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874205089956606136
2) I originate my medical data but it's NHS that collects it. Data is copied not moved. (computer revolution, Internet, now AI, were all creations of people assuming the best in others; in a world of all-Dr H Wazir-s the worst is assumed)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874209231756509396
3) Data privacy insanity comes at a price. I can't email back and forth text, images or video to my GP. People die that could not, should not have
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874403509031915681
4) "Use my data please, people witholding theirs anon contribtion are sociopaths" (all while giving theirs - un-anonymised! - life away to Gmail)
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874464247998025803
5) "Embrace technology, embrace AI, we all want to have a personal doctor, like the King has"
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874617037969846652
Quote
https://x.com/TomPMarshall/status/1874781582386708501
Tom Marshall @TomPMarshall · 13h
Replying to @DrHWazir and @ljupc0
Opt in or opt out consent?
Opt in:
- no more CPRD, IMRD, ResearchOne, QResearch
- need special exemption for cancer registry
- the end of a lot of pharmacoepidemiology & other research
Opt out:
- that’s the present situation
COI: I am a researcher who uses primary care data
Show more
5:01 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874846594341761395
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Yeah - things like this are incomprehensible to me too.
One reasonable explanation for our confusion is - we misunderstand what career politicos like Sir Keir are like. We usually think - "he is like me". It's only natural to think so!
But no. They are different. Carreer politicos we have will almost prostitute themselves for several thousant pounds. They were selected for that explicitly, by our political system.
Imagine - many candidates, jostling for position, and 1st half are "take freebies shaft the public interest in exchange for an expensive dinner, concert or few ties and suits", and 2nd half are "no, I will not sell my ideals, no matter what". Well - our (and most other) systems let the 1st guys to advance to the next level, while discarding the 2nd group.
3:53 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874821443063525849
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Heh 😊 - very good. 👍
In a sense, going after the form, instead of the function, looking for beauty, rather than truth - maybe 2nd best, soo - likely it's not the worst. 😁
Say collectively we are tad stupid, tad dim. Well than electing Kardashians as our leaders, because of their appealing looks while not the best, may not be the worst either. One can console - they trully represent us.
It maybe gets us 70-80% of the ideally achievable? And with 20-30% of the effort? Aiming to 100% quality PM, may require inordinate effort. And much better quality of us, the polity electing our politicians.
2:13 PM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874781965553123589
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
bingo!! khmkhm - https://mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf
11:37 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874619001013416440
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Old school Propaganda tbh. For sure Germany and the Soviet Union, cca 1930s. Probably earlier examples someplace too. Modern version is Bannon's "flood the field with shit".
Producing random lies in industrial quantities does indeed drown us in noise and exhaust our information processing capacity. It works. It kills the idea of any one definite truth existing.
Having said that: the widespread fears that fake videos will play big part in elections, that Social Media will influence voters in a big way - afaik didn't quite materialize. Or no one complained about it.
12:49 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874617037969846652
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
...and instead of embracing any and all technology to help you, lessen the load, be more productive - you are dead set against??
The NHS spending is probably at historic high. There is a limit to how much the country can spend. Aging population, i.e. all of us dying latter rather than earlier is the underlying cause. Yeah - one one can always decide to spend more on this. But that also means spend less on something else.
Things you advocate for - just make no sense to me. Sorry.
12:41 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874615841775308983
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Hm, seems to me, you project too much virtue, and think them more capable than they are. They are both not that virtuous, and have less control too.
They f*ckup, as it's not that hard to f*ckup. My actions today, will come to consequence few years in the future. The final outcome depends on 10-20 additional factors, to various degrees impossible to foresee now, and out of my control too for a good measure.
So when the judgement comes. I try to wiggle out of the spotlight, but not always possible as everyone tries the same. Sometimes I'm left without a musical chair. Then the only remaining option for me is to throw my hands up, and say "I meant well".
This does not apply to cases where millions of people could foresee a disaster, made good arguments against my actions, and told me so. Then events transpired like prophesized. E.g. Blair on Iraq.
12:37 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874608007906013411
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
You can sense for early signals. One I noticed.
Pre-election fears: deep fakes are going to bambozzle people, social networks will drive them creazy.
Post-election: nothing of the above happens. No one looks back, tries tally: what did we fear, what did happen, how do the two compare?
I think even people, like e.g. Hinton (that I otherwise like and have all the time in the world for; e.g. "they are just like us" is golden) got tad overconfident. That were mightily surprised by the success of ChatGPT-and-friends, even while working in the field for 40yrs! They could not predict the rise of ChatGPT in their own field! That came as a huge surprise. Why think that they can predict what next - just baffles me.
On the other hand, battlefield robots under Ukraine war evolutionary pressure are shaping exactly like people fear. Every month a new advance. But nothing much can be done there. No one can say "have people kill other people" instead. Until Putin orders his army home - it will be battlefield robots evolution at max speed.
12:05 AM · Jan 2, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874584310852030576
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I see DeepSeek Coder being an option. IDK which version. I am keen to try it too, will report back what comes out of it. TBD
OpenAI o1. I see o1-preview and o1-mini available to me via the API. But not o1 proper. IDK whether it's not available to me, or I'm doing sth wrong.
10:31 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874576082050986399
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There are few available. Musk-Reform-Farage alliance will be spoilt for choice which one to waponize for political gains. Plus add the coverups too. The poltical class have been playing on easy mode, gotten soft and sloppy.
BBC monopoly + press barrons made it easier to narrative control. Collapse of old MSM, rise of new SocMed, will be what lights the fire. Note the avalanche on X today on the grooming rapist gangs and the coverups.
9:59 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874514903580434637
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Have you seen this https://johndcook.com/blog/2012/12/17/the-lindy-effect/?
My shorthand/reading of it this. Lifetimes of intellectual artifacts follow power law distribution. Assume survival time is a random variable X with a Pareto distribution with p.d.f f(t)=c/t^(c+1) for t≥1, c>0 (==power law b/c pdf is proportional to power of t).
If c>1, then expected X is E(X)=c/(c-1). Conditional expectation of X given X survived time k to now is E(X|X>k)=ck/(c-1). So expected additional life for X is ck/(c-1)–k=k/(c-1) and is proportional to the amount of life k seen so far. If c=2, the expected additional life equals the life seen so far.
johndcook.com
Lindy effect
The longer a technology has been around, the longer it's likely to stay around. This is a consequence of the Lindy effect. Nassim Taleb describes this effect in Antifragile but doesn't provide much...
5:55 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874505941988634901
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
In music for new bands this used to be called "the curse of the second album"? A new band would pour their heart and soul, and all their previous lives experience - even if of say 10yrs of it - into their first album, first LP record.
Then for the 2nd album they will have ~18 month of experience/ideas to draw from. Time they mostly spent touring random towns across the country, staying in cheap hotels, rarely more than 24h iin one place. Unsurprisingly, for a significant portion of new bands, that second LP record was huge letdown to the fans of the first one.
5:20 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874464247998025803
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Speak for yourself please. I'm happy not only to sell, but to give away data about my body. To each their own.
The data while inside my body is only mine. Not shared with anyone. Once NHS using their expertise and resources get that data out - imo they get rights to it too. What they do with it is as much up to them, as it is up to me. I can always withold consent and not share my individual data.
To me that feels socio-pathic. People deriving gains from communal effort. While explicitly refusing to contribute to it, even if it costs them little to nothing to do so. I hope yours is a minority opinion. For if we all did that - we will all be worse off.
2:34 PM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874404910810460627
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
I wish it did. I fear it does not. Afaik we know of no present or past large group of humans, where the group puts zero restrictions of some sort to the freedom of the individual. While still remaining in existence as a group.
10:38 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874403509031915681
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Firstly, read the artile. It's about sale of data.
If data is not sold for cash, then how is NHS to be compensated? Not compensated? - so doing all the work for free? By getting equity in any results that come out of any research done - who can possibly track and assess what data item contributed to what result? Imposible. Not share the data with the world? Well - no data no medicines. As simple as.
The article says little about opt-outs. Opt-outs ae available now, and indeed at least one comment reads -
> I opted out twice by the way including the last time the new opt out was publicised. Anyone in the UK is allowed to do that.
Witholding your contribution to the comunal good, while helping yourself to the good things that come out of the common effort - well that for me is some kind of psychopathy, or soiciopathy to be more precise. Think it goes by the name "Tragedy of the commons".
Secondly - can a company exist if it makes a loss? Will our baker be open, selling our daily bread, if they make a loss? No - they will close their doors, stop existing. Bakers will stay home watching daytime TV. We will go without bread.
By definition - any existing company must make a profit, even a tiny one, or at worst be at zero. Companies where outgoings are greater than incomings, that's a loss - well they stop existing. Companies want our data b/c that is good for them and for us. We want to give the data to the companies, b/c that is good for us and for them.
The absurd "data protection" laws have their downsides. They don't come free of costs. They cost time, effort - and ultimatelly - lives. Good things that could have happened - don't happen.
My GP refuses to take my email address, citing "laws". Well - now it takes 10x times longer to get an appointment. I can not email them picures, or communicate them written information via email. Well - now some things are missed that would have been noticed otherwise. Writing letters on paper, sms messaging with web links (name other costly in labour and time means of commiuncation) - that delays diagnosis and ultimatelly treatment. Patients having to go and collect in person pieces of paper that GP could have emailed to myself and/or the Blood Test lab - well that means good number of patients simply don't do it! We forget or are busy (we work for a living!), various illnesses are detected latter than otherwise would have been, or not detected until too late.
And on and on it goes. Ludites hobbling the workings of the NHS - then turning around and complaining how bad it is.
10:33 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874288559596986751
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Write them down. Take your ideas out of your head, put them down on paper or on a computer. Keep doing it. The more you practice this, the better you become at articulating your thoughs. No need to show them to anyone else or discuss them. Just writing them down goes a long way.
2:56 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874286712337145957
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
There was a .@yishan prophetic thread, posted at some point after EM takeover. Relaying his Reddit experience. How there's plenty of perfectly legal speech, that many insane people write on a platform, that ultimatelly destroys the platform. Unless reined in one way or another. After a critical mass (2%? 4%?) of lunatics show up, drawn everyone else by shouting most and loudest - sane(r) majority simply stays away. The one bona fide diagnosed psychiatric illness case I have personaly seen - the guy simply had super-human energy. With the bad actors on X, this tragedy of the commons is further amplified by the financial rewards.
2:49 AM · Jan 1, 2025
https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874214276426006573
Ljubomir Josifovski @ljupc0
Mirrors my journey.
1. Start with ChatGPT copy&pasta - works but limited & manual, little time saved.
2. Onto Cursor - nice but not much gained, not even wrong.
3. Over to aider cmd line - some result there, even if cr*p result... but looks like it could be improved?
4. Current VSCode gui + Cline addon + OpenRouter payg credits + Claude model. Well hello!! Finally produced something not obviously wrong.
Moar at https://x.com/ljupc0/status/1874200101104820252
10:01 PM · Dec 31, 2024
